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000
FXUS64 KLCH 260101
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
701 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.UPDATE...

JUST ISSUED AN UPDATE AS CLEAR SKIES...LIGHT WINDS HAVE ALLOWED
TEMPERATURES TO RADIATE DOWN TO FORECAST LOWS ALREADY IN A FEW
LOCATIONS. WINDS ARE FORECAST TO TURN AROUND TO THE SOUTHWEST LATE
TONIGHT AND PERHAPS SLOW THE COOLING TREND. ALSO ADDED FROST TO
THE FORECAST...MAINLY IN CENTRAL LA WHERE TEMPERATURES WILL GET
INTO THE MIDDLE 30S.

WILL CONTINUE TO EVALUATE DATA FOR POSSIBLE ADDITIONAL UPDATES
THIS EVENING.

BRAZZELL

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 529 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

DISCUSSION...
FOR THE 26/00Z TAF ISSUANCE.

AVIATION...
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS MOVING EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS EVENING...AND
IS TAKING UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS WITH IT...LEAVING CLEAR SKIES. MAINLY
CLEAR SKIES AND VFR CONDITIONS WILL THEN PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD.
A SURFACE TROUGH (REINFORCING COLD FRONT) IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...THIS WILL ALLOW
FOR SOUTHWEST WINDS IN THE MORNING TO BECOME WESTERLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL ALSO BE A BIT ON THE BREEZY SIDE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON...WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 20 KNOTS AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
BRIEFLY INCREASES...FROM A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS THE
OZARKS INTO THE MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.

RUA

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 336 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

SYNOPSIS...MID AND UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH AN EASTWARD
TRANSLATING DEEP JET WILL BE MOVING EAST BEYOND CEN LA AND SW LA
OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. S CEN LA SHOULD ENCOUNTER CLEARING FROM
THE WEST EARLY THIS EVENING. A SURFACE RIDGE WILL PASS TNITE
BRINGING WARMER SOUTHWESTERLIES. TEMPS SHOULD BOTTOM OUT EARLY AND
BEGIN RISING BEFORE SUNRISE. WEAK GRADIENT AND NORTHWESTERLY FLOW
ALOFT SHOULD MAKE FOR A DELIGHTFUL WEDNESDAY WITH SUBSIDENCE
AIDING A WARM UP INTO THE LOWER 70S ACROSS THE I-10 CORRIDOR.

THE TAIL END OF A REINFORCING COOL FRONT WILL PASS WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH
LITTLE FANFARE OTHER THAN WEAK NORTHERLY WINDS AND DRIER
HUMIDITIES. A TRAILING RIDGE WILL MAKE FOR A SEASONABLY COOL YET
SUNNY THANKSGIVING DAY.

SHORT TERM...THICKNESSES RECOVER OVERNIGHT SO WENT WITH WARMER
TEMPS THAN PREVIOUSLY INDICATED FOR ALL EXCEPT S CEN LA CLOSER TO
THE DEPARTING THERMAL TROF.

LONG TERM...CONCENSUS IS TO GO WITH THE GFS IN THE LATE EXTENDED.
THE EURO IS COLDER BY TAKING A SOUTHERN SPLIT INTO THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST AND DIGGING A VIGOROUS UPPER TROF NEAR NORTHERN BAJA AND
PUSHING OUT A RIDGE OUT AHEAD. STILL RESPECTING THE WARMER AND
MORE MOIST GFS SOLUTION AND MAINTAINING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

MARINE...RIDGING INTO THE COASTAL WATERS FROM THE NORTHWEST
SHOULD ALLOW TO DIMINISH SUFFICIENTLY BELOW ADVISORY THRESHOLDS LATE
TONIGHT.  TO LOWER THE ADVISORY FLAGS. CAUTION CRITERIA UNTIL
DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY.

SWEENEY

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  41  70  42  62  42 /   0   0   0   0   0
KBPT  42  71  43  64  46 /   0   0   0   0   0
KAEX  36  68  38  59  35 /   0   0   0   0   0
KLFT  38  69  40  59  41 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON
     LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER
     TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM CST
     WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION FROM 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY THROUGH
     LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM
     CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION FROM MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT THROUGH
     LATE THURSDAY NIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM
     INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES

&&

$$







000
FXUS64 KLCH 260101
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
701 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.UPDATE...

JUST ISSUED AN UPDATE AS CLEAR SKIES...LIGHT WINDS HAVE ALLOWED
TEMPERATURES TO RADIATE DOWN TO FORECAST LOWS ALREADY IN A FEW
LOCATIONS. WINDS ARE FORECAST TO TURN AROUND TO THE SOUTHWEST LATE
TONIGHT AND PERHAPS SLOW THE COOLING TREND. ALSO ADDED FROST TO
THE FORECAST...MAINLY IN CENTRAL LA WHERE TEMPERATURES WILL GET
INTO THE MIDDLE 30S.

WILL CONTINUE TO EVALUATE DATA FOR POSSIBLE ADDITIONAL UPDATES
THIS EVENING.

BRAZZELL

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 529 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

DISCUSSION...
FOR THE 26/00Z TAF ISSUANCE.

AVIATION...
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS MOVING EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS EVENING...AND
IS TAKING UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS WITH IT...LEAVING CLEAR SKIES. MAINLY
CLEAR SKIES AND VFR CONDITIONS WILL THEN PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD.
A SURFACE TROUGH (REINFORCING COLD FRONT) IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...THIS WILL ALLOW
FOR SOUTHWEST WINDS IN THE MORNING TO BECOME WESTERLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL ALSO BE A BIT ON THE BREEZY SIDE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON...WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 20 KNOTS AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
BRIEFLY INCREASES...FROM A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS THE
OZARKS INTO THE MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.

RUA

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 336 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

SYNOPSIS...MID AND UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH AN EASTWARD
TRANSLATING DEEP JET WILL BE MOVING EAST BEYOND CEN LA AND SW LA
OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. S CEN LA SHOULD ENCOUNTER CLEARING FROM
THE WEST EARLY THIS EVENING. A SURFACE RIDGE WILL PASS TNITE
BRINGING WARMER SOUTHWESTERLIES. TEMPS SHOULD BOTTOM OUT EARLY AND
BEGIN RISING BEFORE SUNRISE. WEAK GRADIENT AND NORTHWESTERLY FLOW
ALOFT SHOULD MAKE FOR A DELIGHTFUL WEDNESDAY WITH SUBSIDENCE
AIDING A WARM UP INTO THE LOWER 70S ACROSS THE I-10 CORRIDOR.

THE TAIL END OF A REINFORCING COOL FRONT WILL PASS WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH
LITTLE FANFARE OTHER THAN WEAK NORTHERLY WINDS AND DRIER
HUMIDITIES. A TRAILING RIDGE WILL MAKE FOR A SEASONABLY COOL YET
SUNNY THANKSGIVING DAY.

SHORT TERM...THICKNESSES RECOVER OVERNIGHT SO WENT WITH WARMER
TEMPS THAN PREVIOUSLY INDICATED FOR ALL EXCEPT S CEN LA CLOSER TO
THE DEPARTING THERMAL TROF.

LONG TERM...CONCENSUS IS TO GO WITH THE GFS IN THE LATE EXTENDED.
THE EURO IS COLDER BY TAKING A SOUTHERN SPLIT INTO THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST AND DIGGING A VIGOROUS UPPER TROF NEAR NORTHERN BAJA AND
PUSHING OUT A RIDGE OUT AHEAD. STILL RESPECTING THE WARMER AND
MORE MOIST GFS SOLUTION AND MAINTAINING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

MARINE...RIDGING INTO THE COASTAL WATERS FROM THE NORTHWEST
SHOULD ALLOW TO DIMINISH SUFFICIENTLY BELOW ADVISORY THRESHOLDS LATE
TONIGHT.  TO LOWER THE ADVISORY FLAGS. CAUTION CRITERIA UNTIL
DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY.

SWEENEY

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  41  70  42  62  42 /   0   0   0   0   0
KBPT  42  71  43  64  46 /   0   0   0   0   0
KAEX  36  68  38  59  35 /   0   0   0   0   0
KLFT  38  69  40  59  41 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON
     LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER
     TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM CST
     WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION FROM 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY THROUGH
     LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM
     CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION FROM MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT THROUGH
     LATE THURSDAY NIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM
     INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES

&&

$$







000
FXUS64 KLCH 260101
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
701 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.UPDATE...

JUST ISSUED AN UPDATE AS CLEAR SKIES...LIGHT WINDS HAVE ALLOWED
TEMPERATURES TO RADIATE DOWN TO FORECAST LOWS ALREADY IN A FEW
LOCATIONS. WINDS ARE FORECAST TO TURN AROUND TO THE SOUTHWEST LATE
TONIGHT AND PERHAPS SLOW THE COOLING TREND. ALSO ADDED FROST TO
THE FORECAST...MAINLY IN CENTRAL LA WHERE TEMPERATURES WILL GET
INTO THE MIDDLE 30S.

WILL CONTINUE TO EVALUATE DATA FOR POSSIBLE ADDITIONAL UPDATES
THIS EVENING.

BRAZZELL

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 529 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

DISCUSSION...
FOR THE 26/00Z TAF ISSUANCE.

AVIATION...
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS MOVING EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS EVENING...AND
IS TAKING UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS WITH IT...LEAVING CLEAR SKIES. MAINLY
CLEAR SKIES AND VFR CONDITIONS WILL THEN PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD.
A SURFACE TROUGH (REINFORCING COLD FRONT) IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...THIS WILL ALLOW
FOR SOUTHWEST WINDS IN THE MORNING TO BECOME WESTERLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL ALSO BE A BIT ON THE BREEZY SIDE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON...WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 20 KNOTS AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
BRIEFLY INCREASES...FROM A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS THE
OZARKS INTO THE MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.

RUA

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 336 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

SYNOPSIS...MID AND UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH AN EASTWARD
TRANSLATING DEEP JET WILL BE MOVING EAST BEYOND CEN LA AND SW LA
OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. S CEN LA SHOULD ENCOUNTER CLEARING FROM
THE WEST EARLY THIS EVENING. A SURFACE RIDGE WILL PASS TNITE
BRINGING WARMER SOUTHWESTERLIES. TEMPS SHOULD BOTTOM OUT EARLY AND
BEGIN RISING BEFORE SUNRISE. WEAK GRADIENT AND NORTHWESTERLY FLOW
ALOFT SHOULD MAKE FOR A DELIGHTFUL WEDNESDAY WITH SUBSIDENCE
AIDING A WARM UP INTO THE LOWER 70S ACROSS THE I-10 CORRIDOR.

THE TAIL END OF A REINFORCING COOL FRONT WILL PASS WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH
LITTLE FANFARE OTHER THAN WEAK NORTHERLY WINDS AND DRIER
HUMIDITIES. A TRAILING RIDGE WILL MAKE FOR A SEASONABLY COOL YET
SUNNY THANKSGIVING DAY.

SHORT TERM...THICKNESSES RECOVER OVERNIGHT SO WENT WITH WARMER
TEMPS THAN PREVIOUSLY INDICATED FOR ALL EXCEPT S CEN LA CLOSER TO
THE DEPARTING THERMAL TROF.

LONG TERM...CONCENSUS IS TO GO WITH THE GFS IN THE LATE EXTENDED.
THE EURO IS COLDER BY TAKING A SOUTHERN SPLIT INTO THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST AND DIGGING A VIGOROUS UPPER TROF NEAR NORTHERN BAJA AND
PUSHING OUT A RIDGE OUT AHEAD. STILL RESPECTING THE WARMER AND
MORE MOIST GFS SOLUTION AND MAINTAINING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

MARINE...RIDGING INTO THE COASTAL WATERS FROM THE NORTHWEST
SHOULD ALLOW TO DIMINISH SUFFICIENTLY BELOW ADVISORY THRESHOLDS LATE
TONIGHT.  TO LOWER THE ADVISORY FLAGS. CAUTION CRITERIA UNTIL
DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY.

SWEENEY

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  41  70  42  62  42 /   0   0   0   0   0
KBPT  42  71  43  64  46 /   0   0   0   0   0
KAEX  36  68  38  59  35 /   0   0   0   0   0
KLFT  38  69  40  59  41 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON
     LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER
     TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM CST
     WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION FROM 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY THROUGH
     LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM
     CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION FROM MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT THROUGH
     LATE THURSDAY NIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM
     INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES

&&

$$







000
FXUS64 KLCH 260101
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
701 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.UPDATE...

JUST ISSUED AN UPDATE AS CLEAR SKIES...LIGHT WINDS HAVE ALLOWED
TEMPERATURES TO RADIATE DOWN TO FORECAST LOWS ALREADY IN A FEW
LOCATIONS. WINDS ARE FORECAST TO TURN AROUND TO THE SOUTHWEST LATE
TONIGHT AND PERHAPS SLOW THE COOLING TREND. ALSO ADDED FROST TO
THE FORECAST...MAINLY IN CENTRAL LA WHERE TEMPERATURES WILL GET
INTO THE MIDDLE 30S.

WILL CONTINUE TO EVALUATE DATA FOR POSSIBLE ADDITIONAL UPDATES
THIS EVENING.

BRAZZELL

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 529 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

DISCUSSION...
FOR THE 26/00Z TAF ISSUANCE.

AVIATION...
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS MOVING EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS EVENING...AND
IS TAKING UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS WITH IT...LEAVING CLEAR SKIES. MAINLY
CLEAR SKIES AND VFR CONDITIONS WILL THEN PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD.
A SURFACE TROUGH (REINFORCING COLD FRONT) IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...THIS WILL ALLOW
FOR SOUTHWEST WINDS IN THE MORNING TO BECOME WESTERLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL ALSO BE A BIT ON THE BREEZY SIDE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON...WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 20 KNOTS AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
BRIEFLY INCREASES...FROM A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS THE
OZARKS INTO THE MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.

RUA

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 336 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

SYNOPSIS...MID AND UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH AN EASTWARD
TRANSLATING DEEP JET WILL BE MOVING EAST BEYOND CEN LA AND SW LA
OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. S CEN LA SHOULD ENCOUNTER CLEARING FROM
THE WEST EARLY THIS EVENING. A SURFACE RIDGE WILL PASS TNITE
BRINGING WARMER SOUTHWESTERLIES. TEMPS SHOULD BOTTOM OUT EARLY AND
BEGIN RISING BEFORE SUNRISE. WEAK GRADIENT AND NORTHWESTERLY FLOW
ALOFT SHOULD MAKE FOR A DELIGHTFUL WEDNESDAY WITH SUBSIDENCE
AIDING A WARM UP INTO THE LOWER 70S ACROSS THE I-10 CORRIDOR.

THE TAIL END OF A REINFORCING COOL FRONT WILL PASS WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH
LITTLE FANFARE OTHER THAN WEAK NORTHERLY WINDS AND DRIER
HUMIDITIES. A TRAILING RIDGE WILL MAKE FOR A SEASONABLY COOL YET
SUNNY THANKSGIVING DAY.

SHORT TERM...THICKNESSES RECOVER OVERNIGHT SO WENT WITH WARMER
TEMPS THAN PREVIOUSLY INDICATED FOR ALL EXCEPT S CEN LA CLOSER TO
THE DEPARTING THERMAL TROF.

LONG TERM...CONCENSUS IS TO GO WITH THE GFS IN THE LATE EXTENDED.
THE EURO IS COLDER BY TAKING A SOUTHERN SPLIT INTO THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST AND DIGGING A VIGOROUS UPPER TROF NEAR NORTHERN BAJA AND
PUSHING OUT A RIDGE OUT AHEAD. STILL RESPECTING THE WARMER AND
MORE MOIST GFS SOLUTION AND MAINTAINING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

MARINE...RIDGING INTO THE COASTAL WATERS FROM THE NORTHWEST
SHOULD ALLOW TO DIMINISH SUFFICIENTLY BELOW ADVISORY THRESHOLDS LATE
TONIGHT.  TO LOWER THE ADVISORY FLAGS. CAUTION CRITERIA UNTIL
DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY.

SWEENEY

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  41  70  42  62  42 /   0   0   0   0   0
KBPT  42  71  43  64  46 /   0   0   0   0   0
KAEX  36  68  38  59  35 /   0   0   0   0   0
KLFT  38  69  40  59  41 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON
     LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER
     TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM CST
     WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION FROM 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY THROUGH
     LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM
     CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION FROM MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT THROUGH
     LATE THURSDAY NIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM
     INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES

&&

$$






  [top]

000
FXUS64 KLIX 260057
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
657 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

...SOUNDING DISCUSSION...

THE LAYER OF CLOUDS THAT ARE IN THE PROCESS OF EXITING OUR AREA
WAS WELL DEPICTED ON THIS EVENING/S SOUNDING BETWEEN 12000 AND
19000 FEET. THIS HELPED TO INCREASE THE PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUE
TO 0.74 INCHES...WHICH IS JUST SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME
OF YEAR. DRIER AIR WAS FOUND BELOW AND ABOVE THIS CLOUD LAYER.
TEMPERATURES ARE LOWER /COLDER/ THAN THEY WERE AT THIS TIME
YESTERDAY BELOW 23000 FEET ON AVERAGE BY 4 TO 5 DEGREES. WINDS
WERE FROM THE NORTH AT THE SURFACE AND THEN BACKED TO THE FROM THE
SOUTHWEST AROUND 12000 FEET. A MAXIMUM WIND SPEED OF 136 KNOTS
WAS LOCATED AT 38300 FEET.

00Z BALLOON INFO: NO ISSUES WITH THE BALLOON THIS EVENING THAT WAS
LAUNCHED ON TIME WITH A RAINBOW IN THE VICINITY /SEE OUR FACEBOOK
OR TWITTER FOR A PICTURE/. THE FLIGHT LASTED 107 MINUTES AND WENT
135 MILES DOWNRANGE. THE BALLOON BURST AT A HEIGHT OF 19.8 MILES
ABOVE THE GROUND NORTHWEST OF JACKSON AL.

ANSORGE

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 311 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

AVIATION...
MID AND HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE CONTINUE TO STREAM NORTHEASTWARD
ACROSS THE AREA AHEAD OF A TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE GREAT PLAINS.
LOWER LAYERS OF THE ATMOSPHERE ARE EXTREMELY DRY...SO VFR
CONDITIONS WILL BE THE RULE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE MID
AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS SHOULD SHIFT TO THE EAST OF THE AREA
SOMEWHERE BETWEEN 06Z AND 09Z WEDNESDAY WITH LITTLE OR NO
CLOUDINESS EXPECTED UNTIL SOMETIME FRIDAY. 35

MARINE...
STRONG NORTH WINDS AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE GULF WILL MAINTAIN
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS THROUGH THIS EVENING AND MOST OF
TONIGHT FOR THE OPEN GULF WATERS. PROTECTED WATER AREAS SHOULD SEE
WINDS ABATE RAPIDLY THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. ANOTHER COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA WED CAUSING WINDS TO HEIGHTEN ONCE
AGAIN BUT SHOULD REMAIN IN THE 20 TO 25 KNOT RANGE FOR WED NIGHT
AND THU MORNING. NO RAIN IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST.

DECISION SUPPORT...
DSS CODE...BLUE.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...SLURRY SUPPORT
             SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
         WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR
         AND/OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL
         SIGNIFICANCE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  36  65  40  60 /  10   0   0   0
BTR  37  66  41  63 /   0   0   0   0
ASD  37  65  42  63 /  10   0   0   0
MSY  42  64  47  62 /  10   0   0   0
GPT  39  63  44  61 /  20   0   0   0
PQL  38  63  42  61 /  30   0   0   0

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST
     PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND
     LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND
     COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...AND COASTAL
     WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER OUT 20
     NM.

MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...AND COASTAL
     WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER OUT 20
     NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST
     PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND
     LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND
     COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$







000
FXUS64 KLIX 260057
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
657 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

...SOUNDING DISCUSSION...

THE LAYER OF CLOUDS THAT ARE IN THE PROCESS OF EXITING OUR AREA
WAS WELL DEPICTED ON THIS EVENING/S SOUNDING BETWEEN 12000 AND
19000 FEET. THIS HELPED TO INCREASE THE PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUE
TO 0.74 INCHES...WHICH IS JUST SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME
OF YEAR. DRIER AIR WAS FOUND BELOW AND ABOVE THIS CLOUD LAYER.
TEMPERATURES ARE LOWER /COLDER/ THAN THEY WERE AT THIS TIME
YESTERDAY BELOW 23000 FEET ON AVERAGE BY 4 TO 5 DEGREES. WINDS
WERE FROM THE NORTH AT THE SURFACE AND THEN BACKED TO THE FROM THE
SOUTHWEST AROUND 12000 FEET. A MAXIMUM WIND SPEED OF 136 KNOTS
WAS LOCATED AT 38300 FEET.

00Z BALLOON INFO: NO ISSUES WITH THE BALLOON THIS EVENING THAT WAS
LAUNCHED ON TIME WITH A RAINBOW IN THE VICINITY /SEE OUR FACEBOOK
OR TWITTER FOR A PICTURE/. THE FLIGHT LASTED 107 MINUTES AND WENT
135 MILES DOWNRANGE. THE BALLOON BURST AT A HEIGHT OF 19.8 MILES
ABOVE THE GROUND NORTHWEST OF JACKSON AL.

ANSORGE

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 311 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

AVIATION...
MID AND HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE CONTINUE TO STREAM NORTHEASTWARD
ACROSS THE AREA AHEAD OF A TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE GREAT PLAINS.
LOWER LAYERS OF THE ATMOSPHERE ARE EXTREMELY DRY...SO VFR
CONDITIONS WILL BE THE RULE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE MID
AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS SHOULD SHIFT TO THE EAST OF THE AREA
SOMEWHERE BETWEEN 06Z AND 09Z WEDNESDAY WITH LITTLE OR NO
CLOUDINESS EXPECTED UNTIL SOMETIME FRIDAY. 35

MARINE...
STRONG NORTH WINDS AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE GULF WILL MAINTAIN
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS THROUGH THIS EVENING AND MOST OF
TONIGHT FOR THE OPEN GULF WATERS. PROTECTED WATER AREAS SHOULD SEE
WINDS ABATE RAPIDLY THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. ANOTHER COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA WED CAUSING WINDS TO HEIGHTEN ONCE
AGAIN BUT SHOULD REMAIN IN THE 20 TO 25 KNOT RANGE FOR WED NIGHT
AND THU MORNING. NO RAIN IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST.

DECISION SUPPORT...
DSS CODE...BLUE.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...SLURRY SUPPORT
             SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
         WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR
         AND/OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL
         SIGNIFICANCE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  36  65  40  60 /  10   0   0   0
BTR  37  66  41  63 /   0   0   0   0
ASD  37  65  42  63 /  10   0   0   0
MSY  42  64  47  62 /  10   0   0   0
GPT  39  63  44  61 /  20   0   0   0
PQL  38  63  42  61 /  30   0   0   0

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST
     PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND
     LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND
     COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...AND COASTAL
     WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER OUT 20
     NM.

MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...AND COASTAL
     WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER OUT 20
     NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST
     PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND
     LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND
     COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KLCH 252329
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
529 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.DISCUSSION...
FOR THE 26/00Z TAF ISSUANCE.

&&

.AVIATION...
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS MOVING EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS EVENING...AND
IS TAKING UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS WITH IT...LEAVING CLEAR SKIES. MAINLY
CLEAR SKIES AND VFR CONDITIONS WILL THEN PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD.
A SURFACE TROUGH (REINFORCING COLD FRONT) IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...THIS WILL ALLOW
FOR SOUTHWEST WINDS IN THE MORNING TO BECOME WESTERLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL ALSO BE A BIT ON THE BREEZY SIDE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON...WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 20 KNOTS AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
BRIEFLY INCREASES...FROM A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS THE
OZARKS INTO THE MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.

RUA

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 336 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

SYNOPSIS...MID AND UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH AN EASTWARD
TRANSLATING DEEP JET WILL BE MOVING EAST BEYOND CEN LA AND SW LA
OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. S CEN LA SHOULD ENCOUNTER CLEARING FROM
THE WEST EARLY THIS EVENING. A SURFACE RIDGE WILL PASS TNITE
BRINGING WARMER SOUTHWESTERLIES. TEMPS SHOULD BOTTOM OUT EARLY AND
BEGIN RISING BEFORE SUNRISE. WEAK GRADIENT AND NORTHWESTERLY FLOW
ALOFT SHOULD MAKE FOR A DELIGHTFUL WEDNESDAY WITH SUBSIDENCE
AIDING A WARM UP INTO THE LOWER 70S ACROSS THE I-10 CORRIDOR.

THE TAIL END OF A REINFORCING COOL FRONT WILL PASS WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH
LITTLE FANFARE OTHER THAN WEAK NORTHERLY WINDS AND DRIER
HUMIDITIES. A TRAILING RIDGE WILL MAKE FOR A SEASONABLY COOL YET
SUNNY THANKSGIVING DAY.

SHORT TERM...THICKNESSES RECOVER OVERNIGHT SO WENT WITH WARMER
TEMPS THAN PREVIOUSLY INDICATED FOR ALL EXCEPT S CEN LA CLOSER TO
THE DEPARTING THERMAL TROF.

LONG TERM...CONCENSUS IS TO GO WITH THE GFS IN THE LATE EXTENDED.
THE EURO IS COLDER BY TAKING A SOUTHERN SPLIT INTO THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST AND DIGGING A VIGOROUS UPPER TROF NEAR NORTHERN BAJA AND
PUSHING OUT A RIDGE OUT AHEAD. STILL RESPECTING THE WARMER AND
MORE MOIST GFS SOLUTION AND MAINTAINING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

MARINE...RIDGING INTO THE COASTAL WATERS FROM THE NORTHWEST
SHOULD ALLOW TO DIMINISH SUFFICIENTLY BELOW ADVISORY THRESHOLDS LATE
TONIGHT.  TO LOWER THE ADVISORY FLAGS. CAUTION CRITERIA UNTIL
DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY.

SWEENEY

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  45  70  42  62  42 /   0   0   0   0   0
KBPT  45  71  43  64  46 /   0   0   0   0   0
KAEX  40  68  38  59  35 /   0   0   0   0   0
KLFT  39  69  40  59  41 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON
     LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER
     TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION FROM MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT THROUGH
     LATE TONIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION FROM MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT THROUGH
     LATE THURSDAY NIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM
     INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO
     CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH
     ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE
     WEDNESDAY NIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM
     CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

$$







000
FXUS64 KLCH 252329
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
529 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.DISCUSSION...
FOR THE 26/00Z TAF ISSUANCE.

&&

.AVIATION...
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS MOVING EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS EVENING...AND
IS TAKING UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS WITH IT...LEAVING CLEAR SKIES. MAINLY
CLEAR SKIES AND VFR CONDITIONS WILL THEN PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD.
A SURFACE TROUGH (REINFORCING COLD FRONT) IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...THIS WILL ALLOW
FOR SOUTHWEST WINDS IN THE MORNING TO BECOME WESTERLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL ALSO BE A BIT ON THE BREEZY SIDE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON...WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 20 KNOTS AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
BRIEFLY INCREASES...FROM A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS THE
OZARKS INTO THE MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.

RUA

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 336 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

SYNOPSIS...MID AND UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH AN EASTWARD
TRANSLATING DEEP JET WILL BE MOVING EAST BEYOND CEN LA AND SW LA
OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. S CEN LA SHOULD ENCOUNTER CLEARING FROM
THE WEST EARLY THIS EVENING. A SURFACE RIDGE WILL PASS TNITE
BRINGING WARMER SOUTHWESTERLIES. TEMPS SHOULD BOTTOM OUT EARLY AND
BEGIN RISING BEFORE SUNRISE. WEAK GRADIENT AND NORTHWESTERLY FLOW
ALOFT SHOULD MAKE FOR A DELIGHTFUL WEDNESDAY WITH SUBSIDENCE
AIDING A WARM UP INTO THE LOWER 70S ACROSS THE I-10 CORRIDOR.

THE TAIL END OF A REINFORCING COOL FRONT WILL PASS WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH
LITTLE FANFARE OTHER THAN WEAK NORTHERLY WINDS AND DRIER
HUMIDITIES. A TRAILING RIDGE WILL MAKE FOR A SEASONABLY COOL YET
SUNNY THANKSGIVING DAY.

SHORT TERM...THICKNESSES RECOVER OVERNIGHT SO WENT WITH WARMER
TEMPS THAN PREVIOUSLY INDICATED FOR ALL EXCEPT S CEN LA CLOSER TO
THE DEPARTING THERMAL TROF.

LONG TERM...CONCENSUS IS TO GO WITH THE GFS IN THE LATE EXTENDED.
THE EURO IS COLDER BY TAKING A SOUTHERN SPLIT INTO THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST AND DIGGING A VIGOROUS UPPER TROF NEAR NORTHERN BAJA AND
PUSHING OUT A RIDGE OUT AHEAD. STILL RESPECTING THE WARMER AND
MORE MOIST GFS SOLUTION AND MAINTAINING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

MARINE...RIDGING INTO THE COASTAL WATERS FROM THE NORTHWEST
SHOULD ALLOW TO DIMINISH SUFFICIENTLY BELOW ADVISORY THRESHOLDS LATE
TONIGHT.  TO LOWER THE ADVISORY FLAGS. CAUTION CRITERIA UNTIL
DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY.

SWEENEY

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  45  70  42  62  42 /   0   0   0   0   0
KBPT  45  71  43  64  46 /   0   0   0   0   0
KAEX  40  68  38  59  35 /   0   0   0   0   0
KLFT  39  69  40  59  41 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON
     LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER
     TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION FROM MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT THROUGH
     LATE TONIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION FROM MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT THROUGH
     LATE THURSDAY NIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM
     INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO
     CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH
     ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE
     WEDNESDAY NIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM
     CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

$$







000
FXUS64 KLCH 252329
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
529 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.DISCUSSION...
FOR THE 26/00Z TAF ISSUANCE.

&&

.AVIATION...
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS MOVING EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS EVENING...AND
IS TAKING UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS WITH IT...LEAVING CLEAR SKIES. MAINLY
CLEAR SKIES AND VFR CONDITIONS WILL THEN PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD.
A SURFACE TROUGH (REINFORCING COLD FRONT) IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...THIS WILL ALLOW
FOR SOUTHWEST WINDS IN THE MORNING TO BECOME WESTERLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL ALSO BE A BIT ON THE BREEZY SIDE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON...WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 20 KNOTS AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
BRIEFLY INCREASES...FROM A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS THE
OZARKS INTO THE MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.

RUA

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 336 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

SYNOPSIS...MID AND UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH AN EASTWARD
TRANSLATING DEEP JET WILL BE MOVING EAST BEYOND CEN LA AND SW LA
OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. S CEN LA SHOULD ENCOUNTER CLEARING FROM
THE WEST EARLY THIS EVENING. A SURFACE RIDGE WILL PASS TNITE
BRINGING WARMER SOUTHWESTERLIES. TEMPS SHOULD BOTTOM OUT EARLY AND
BEGIN RISING BEFORE SUNRISE. WEAK GRADIENT AND NORTHWESTERLY FLOW
ALOFT SHOULD MAKE FOR A DELIGHTFUL WEDNESDAY WITH SUBSIDENCE
AIDING A WARM UP INTO THE LOWER 70S ACROSS THE I-10 CORRIDOR.

THE TAIL END OF A REINFORCING COOL FRONT WILL PASS WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH
LITTLE FANFARE OTHER THAN WEAK NORTHERLY WINDS AND DRIER
HUMIDITIES. A TRAILING RIDGE WILL MAKE FOR A SEASONABLY COOL YET
SUNNY THANKSGIVING DAY.

SHORT TERM...THICKNESSES RECOVER OVERNIGHT SO WENT WITH WARMER
TEMPS THAN PREVIOUSLY INDICATED FOR ALL EXCEPT S CEN LA CLOSER TO
THE DEPARTING THERMAL TROF.

LONG TERM...CONCENSUS IS TO GO WITH THE GFS IN THE LATE EXTENDED.
THE EURO IS COLDER BY TAKING A SOUTHERN SPLIT INTO THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST AND DIGGING A VIGOROUS UPPER TROF NEAR NORTHERN BAJA AND
PUSHING OUT A RIDGE OUT AHEAD. STILL RESPECTING THE WARMER AND
MORE MOIST GFS SOLUTION AND MAINTAINING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

MARINE...RIDGING INTO THE COASTAL WATERS FROM THE NORTHWEST
SHOULD ALLOW TO DIMINISH SUFFICIENTLY BELOW ADVISORY THRESHOLDS LATE
TONIGHT.  TO LOWER THE ADVISORY FLAGS. CAUTION CRITERIA UNTIL
DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY.

SWEENEY

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  45  70  42  62  42 /   0   0   0   0   0
KBPT  45  71  43  64  46 /   0   0   0   0   0
KAEX  40  68  38  59  35 /   0   0   0   0   0
KLFT  39  69  40  59  41 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON
     LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER
     TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION FROM MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT THROUGH
     LATE TONIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION FROM MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT THROUGH
     LATE THURSDAY NIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM
     INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO
     CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH
     ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE
     WEDNESDAY NIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM
     CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

$$







000
FXUS64 KLCH 252329
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
529 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.DISCUSSION...
FOR THE 26/00Z TAF ISSUANCE.

&&

.AVIATION...
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS MOVING EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS EVENING...AND
IS TAKING UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS WITH IT...LEAVING CLEAR SKIES. MAINLY
CLEAR SKIES AND VFR CONDITIONS WILL THEN PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD.
A SURFACE TROUGH (REINFORCING COLD FRONT) IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...THIS WILL ALLOW
FOR SOUTHWEST WINDS IN THE MORNING TO BECOME WESTERLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL ALSO BE A BIT ON THE BREEZY SIDE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON...WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 20 KNOTS AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
BRIEFLY INCREASES...FROM A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS THE
OZARKS INTO THE MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.

RUA

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 336 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

SYNOPSIS...MID AND UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH AN EASTWARD
TRANSLATING DEEP JET WILL BE MOVING EAST BEYOND CEN LA AND SW LA
OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. S CEN LA SHOULD ENCOUNTER CLEARING FROM
THE WEST EARLY THIS EVENING. A SURFACE RIDGE WILL PASS TNITE
BRINGING WARMER SOUTHWESTERLIES. TEMPS SHOULD BOTTOM OUT EARLY AND
BEGIN RISING BEFORE SUNRISE. WEAK GRADIENT AND NORTHWESTERLY FLOW
ALOFT SHOULD MAKE FOR A DELIGHTFUL WEDNESDAY WITH SUBSIDENCE
AIDING A WARM UP INTO THE LOWER 70S ACROSS THE I-10 CORRIDOR.

THE TAIL END OF A REINFORCING COOL FRONT WILL PASS WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH
LITTLE FANFARE OTHER THAN WEAK NORTHERLY WINDS AND DRIER
HUMIDITIES. A TRAILING RIDGE WILL MAKE FOR A SEASONABLY COOL YET
SUNNY THANKSGIVING DAY.

SHORT TERM...THICKNESSES RECOVER OVERNIGHT SO WENT WITH WARMER
TEMPS THAN PREVIOUSLY INDICATED FOR ALL EXCEPT S CEN LA CLOSER TO
THE DEPARTING THERMAL TROF.

LONG TERM...CONCENSUS IS TO GO WITH THE GFS IN THE LATE EXTENDED.
THE EURO IS COLDER BY TAKING A SOUTHERN SPLIT INTO THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST AND DIGGING A VIGOROUS UPPER TROF NEAR NORTHERN BAJA AND
PUSHING OUT A RIDGE OUT AHEAD. STILL RESPECTING THE WARMER AND
MORE MOIST GFS SOLUTION AND MAINTAINING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

MARINE...RIDGING INTO THE COASTAL WATERS FROM THE NORTHWEST
SHOULD ALLOW TO DIMINISH SUFFICIENTLY BELOW ADVISORY THRESHOLDS LATE
TONIGHT.  TO LOWER THE ADVISORY FLAGS. CAUTION CRITERIA UNTIL
DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY.

SWEENEY

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  45  70  42  62  42 /   0   0   0   0   0
KBPT  45  71  43  64  46 /   0   0   0   0   0
KAEX  40  68  38  59  35 /   0   0   0   0   0
KLFT  39  69  40  59  41 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON
     LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER
     TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION FROM MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT THROUGH
     LATE TONIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION FROM MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT THROUGH
     LATE THURSDAY NIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM
     INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO
     CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH
     ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE
     WEDNESDAY NIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM
     CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

$$






  [top]

000
FXUS64 KSHV 252256
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
456 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.AVIATION...
STEEP UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS DIRECTLY OVHD ATTM AND WILL QUICKLY
SHIFT EAST OF THE REGION BY MIDNIGHT. JUST CIRRUS ASSOCIATED WITH
THIS DISTURBANCE OVERNIGHT INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS ON WED.

SECOND TROUGH AXIS WILL QUICKLY FILL IN BEHIND THIS EVENINGS
TROUGH AND A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCE. A QUICK RETURN TO S WINDS ARE EXPECTED LATE
TONIGHT AND DURING THE MORNING HOURS ON WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF THE
FRONT. FRONT WILL QUICKLY MOVE THROUGH ALL TERMINAL LOCATIONS
DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY WITH AN INCREASING PRE FRONT AND POST
FRONTAL PRESSURE GRADIENT ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM. THE RESULT
WILL BE HIGHER GUSTS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS OUR N LA/S AR TERMINALS
BEYOND 15Z ON WED...WINDS WILL QUICKLY DECOUPLE JUST BEFORE SUNSET
WEDNESDAY EVENING.

13

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 231 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

DISCUSSION...
HIGH CIRRUS CLOUDS SLOWLY SHIFTING EAST ACROSS THE AREA...SHOULD
YIELD CLEAR SKIES OVERNIGHT. DEWPOINTS HAVE FALLEN WITH MIXING
INTO THE LOWER TO MID 20S...BUT SHOULD RISE UP AGAIN A FEW
DEGREES OVERNIGHT. THAT...ALONG WITH A LIGHT SOUTHERLY WIND
RETURNING LATER TONIGHT...SHOULD KEEP OVERNIGHT LOWS RANGING THRU
THE 30S. DAYTIME HIGHS WILL BEGIN TO RISE INTO THE 60S UNDER SUNNY SKIES
AND SW WINDS...AS A WEAK COLD FRONT BEGINS TO MOVE ACROSS THE
AREA DURG THE AFTN...ALONG WITH SOME POST FRONTAL INCREASED MID
LVL CLOUDINESS. GIVEN THESE MINOR SHORTWAVES IN OVERALL PATTERN...
LOOKING AT MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES EXCEPT FOR A FEW HIGHER CLOUDS...AND FAIRLY
PERSISTENT TEMPS...THROUGH THANKSGIVING. HOWEVER...A WARMING TREND
UNDERWAY FOR THE WEEKEND...WITH GRADUALLY INCREASING LOW LVL
MOISTURE THAT WILL EVENTUALLY BRING ABOUT A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS LATE IN WKND. AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT LATER IN EXTENDED
WILL DEEPEN MOISTURE...AND LOW LVL SHEAR WILL BE AT LEAST
MODEST...THUS A FEW TSTMS MAY ALSO BE POSSIBLE./VII/.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  37  67  35  59  36 /   0   0   0   0   0
MLU  35  65  34  56  33 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEQ  31  63  29  56  33 /   0   0   0   0   0
TXK  37  63  33  57  35 /   0   0   0   0   0
ELD  32  64  31  56  33 /   0   0   0   0   0
TYR  38  65  36  60  40 /   0   0   0   0   0
GGG  37  68  35  60  38 /   0   0   0   0   0
LFK  37  69  36  63  40 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

13





000
FXUS64 KSHV 252256
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
456 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.AVIATION...
STEEP UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS DIRECTLY OVHD ATTM AND WILL QUICKLY
SHIFT EAST OF THE REGION BY MIDNIGHT. JUST CIRRUS ASSOCIATED WITH
THIS DISTURBANCE OVERNIGHT INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS ON WED.

SECOND TROUGH AXIS WILL QUICKLY FILL IN BEHIND THIS EVENINGS
TROUGH AND A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCE. A QUICK RETURN TO S WINDS ARE EXPECTED LATE
TONIGHT AND DURING THE MORNING HOURS ON WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF THE
FRONT. FRONT WILL QUICKLY MOVE THROUGH ALL TERMINAL LOCATIONS
DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY WITH AN INCREASING PRE FRONT AND POST
FRONTAL PRESSURE GRADIENT ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM. THE RESULT
WILL BE HIGHER GUSTS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS OUR N LA/S AR TERMINALS
BEYOND 15Z ON WED...WINDS WILL QUICKLY DECOUPLE JUST BEFORE SUNSET
WEDNESDAY EVENING.

13

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 231 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

DISCUSSION...
HIGH CIRRUS CLOUDS SLOWLY SHIFTING EAST ACROSS THE AREA...SHOULD
YIELD CLEAR SKIES OVERNIGHT. DEWPOINTS HAVE FALLEN WITH MIXING
INTO THE LOWER TO MID 20S...BUT SHOULD RISE UP AGAIN A FEW
DEGREES OVERNIGHT. THAT...ALONG WITH A LIGHT SOUTHERLY WIND
RETURNING LATER TONIGHT...SHOULD KEEP OVERNIGHT LOWS RANGING THRU
THE 30S. DAYTIME HIGHS WILL BEGIN TO RISE INTO THE 60S UNDER SUNNY SKIES
AND SW WINDS...AS A WEAK COLD FRONT BEGINS TO MOVE ACROSS THE
AREA DURG THE AFTN...ALONG WITH SOME POST FRONTAL INCREASED MID
LVL CLOUDINESS. GIVEN THESE MINOR SHORTWAVES IN OVERALL PATTERN...
LOOKING AT MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES EXCEPT FOR A FEW HIGHER CLOUDS...AND FAIRLY
PERSISTENT TEMPS...THROUGH THANKSGIVING. HOWEVER...A WARMING TREND
UNDERWAY FOR THE WEEKEND...WITH GRADUALLY INCREASING LOW LVL
MOISTURE THAT WILL EVENTUALLY BRING ABOUT A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS LATE IN WKND. AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT LATER IN EXTENDED
WILL DEEPEN MOISTURE...AND LOW LVL SHEAR WILL BE AT LEAST
MODEST...THUS A FEW TSTMS MAY ALSO BE POSSIBLE./VII/.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  37  67  35  59  36 /   0   0   0   0   0
MLU  35  65  34  56  33 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEQ  31  63  29  56  33 /   0   0   0   0   0
TXK  37  63  33  57  35 /   0   0   0   0   0
ELD  32  64  31  56  33 /   0   0   0   0   0
TYR  38  65  36  60  40 /   0   0   0   0   0
GGG  37  68  35  60  38 /   0   0   0   0   0
LFK  37  69  36  63  40 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

13





000
FXUS64 KSHV 252256
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
456 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.AVIATION...
STEEP UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS DIRECTLY OVHD ATTM AND WILL QUICKLY
SHIFT EAST OF THE REGION BY MIDNIGHT. JUST CIRRUS ASSOCIATED WITH
THIS DISTURBANCE OVERNIGHT INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS ON WED.

SECOND TROUGH AXIS WILL QUICKLY FILL IN BEHIND THIS EVENINGS
TROUGH AND A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCE. A QUICK RETURN TO S WINDS ARE EXPECTED LATE
TONIGHT AND DURING THE MORNING HOURS ON WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF THE
FRONT. FRONT WILL QUICKLY MOVE THROUGH ALL TERMINAL LOCATIONS
DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY WITH AN INCREASING PRE FRONT AND POST
FRONTAL PRESSURE GRADIENT ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM. THE RESULT
WILL BE HIGHER GUSTS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS OUR N LA/S AR TERMINALS
BEYOND 15Z ON WED...WINDS WILL QUICKLY DECOUPLE JUST BEFORE SUNSET
WEDNESDAY EVENING.

13

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 231 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

DISCUSSION...
HIGH CIRRUS CLOUDS SLOWLY SHIFTING EAST ACROSS THE AREA...SHOULD
YIELD CLEAR SKIES OVERNIGHT. DEWPOINTS HAVE FALLEN WITH MIXING
INTO THE LOWER TO MID 20S...BUT SHOULD RISE UP AGAIN A FEW
DEGREES OVERNIGHT. THAT...ALONG WITH A LIGHT SOUTHERLY WIND
RETURNING LATER TONIGHT...SHOULD KEEP OVERNIGHT LOWS RANGING THRU
THE 30S. DAYTIME HIGHS WILL BEGIN TO RISE INTO THE 60S UNDER SUNNY SKIES
AND SW WINDS...AS A WEAK COLD FRONT BEGINS TO MOVE ACROSS THE
AREA DURG THE AFTN...ALONG WITH SOME POST FRONTAL INCREASED MID
LVL CLOUDINESS. GIVEN THESE MINOR SHORTWAVES IN OVERALL PATTERN...
LOOKING AT MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES EXCEPT FOR A FEW HIGHER CLOUDS...AND FAIRLY
PERSISTENT TEMPS...THROUGH THANKSGIVING. HOWEVER...A WARMING TREND
UNDERWAY FOR THE WEEKEND...WITH GRADUALLY INCREASING LOW LVL
MOISTURE THAT WILL EVENTUALLY BRING ABOUT A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS LATE IN WKND. AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT LATER IN EXTENDED
WILL DEEPEN MOISTURE...AND LOW LVL SHEAR WILL BE AT LEAST
MODEST...THUS A FEW TSTMS MAY ALSO BE POSSIBLE./VII/.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  37  67  35  59  36 /   0   0   0   0   0
MLU  35  65  34  56  33 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEQ  31  63  29  56  33 /   0   0   0   0   0
TXK  37  63  33  57  35 /   0   0   0   0   0
ELD  32  64  31  56  33 /   0   0   0   0   0
TYR  38  65  36  60  40 /   0   0   0   0   0
GGG  37  68  35  60  38 /   0   0   0   0   0
LFK  37  69  36  63  40 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

13





000
FXUS64 KSHV 252256
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
456 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.AVIATION...
STEEP UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS DIRECTLY OVHD ATTM AND WILL QUICKLY
SHIFT EAST OF THE REGION BY MIDNIGHT. JUST CIRRUS ASSOCIATED WITH
THIS DISTURBANCE OVERNIGHT INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS ON WED.

SECOND TROUGH AXIS WILL QUICKLY FILL IN BEHIND THIS EVENINGS
TROUGH AND A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCE. A QUICK RETURN TO S WINDS ARE EXPECTED LATE
TONIGHT AND DURING THE MORNING HOURS ON WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF THE
FRONT. FRONT WILL QUICKLY MOVE THROUGH ALL TERMINAL LOCATIONS
DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY WITH AN INCREASING PRE FRONT AND POST
FRONTAL PRESSURE GRADIENT ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM. THE RESULT
WILL BE HIGHER GUSTS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS OUR N LA/S AR TERMINALS
BEYOND 15Z ON WED...WINDS WILL QUICKLY DECOUPLE JUST BEFORE SUNSET
WEDNESDAY EVENING.

13

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 231 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

DISCUSSION...
HIGH CIRRUS CLOUDS SLOWLY SHIFTING EAST ACROSS THE AREA...SHOULD
YIELD CLEAR SKIES OVERNIGHT. DEWPOINTS HAVE FALLEN WITH MIXING
INTO THE LOWER TO MID 20S...BUT SHOULD RISE UP AGAIN A FEW
DEGREES OVERNIGHT. THAT...ALONG WITH A LIGHT SOUTHERLY WIND
RETURNING LATER TONIGHT...SHOULD KEEP OVERNIGHT LOWS RANGING THRU
THE 30S. DAYTIME HIGHS WILL BEGIN TO RISE INTO THE 60S UNDER SUNNY SKIES
AND SW WINDS...AS A WEAK COLD FRONT BEGINS TO MOVE ACROSS THE
AREA DURG THE AFTN...ALONG WITH SOME POST FRONTAL INCREASED MID
LVL CLOUDINESS. GIVEN THESE MINOR SHORTWAVES IN OVERALL PATTERN...
LOOKING AT MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES EXCEPT FOR A FEW HIGHER CLOUDS...AND FAIRLY
PERSISTENT TEMPS...THROUGH THANKSGIVING. HOWEVER...A WARMING TREND
UNDERWAY FOR THE WEEKEND...WITH GRADUALLY INCREASING LOW LVL
MOISTURE THAT WILL EVENTUALLY BRING ABOUT A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS LATE IN WKND. AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT LATER IN EXTENDED
WILL DEEPEN MOISTURE...AND LOW LVL SHEAR WILL BE AT LEAST
MODEST...THUS A FEW TSTMS MAY ALSO BE POSSIBLE./VII/.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  37  67  35  59  36 /   0   0   0   0   0
MLU  35  65  34  56  33 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEQ  31  63  29  56  33 /   0   0   0   0   0
TXK  37  63  33  57  35 /   0   0   0   0   0
ELD  32  64  31  56  33 /   0   0   0   0   0
TYR  38  65  36  60  40 /   0   0   0   0   0
GGG  37  68  35  60  38 /   0   0   0   0   0
LFK  37  69  36  63  40 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

13





000
FXUS64 KLCH 252136
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
336 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.SYNOPSIS...MID AND UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH AN EASTWARD
TRANSLATING DEEP JET WILL BE MOVING EAST BEYOND CEN LA AND SW LA
OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. S CEN LA SHOULD ENCOUNTER CLEARING FROM
THE WEST EARLY THIS EVENING. A SURFACE RIDGE WILL PASS TNITE
BRINGING WARMER SOUTHWESTERLIES. TEMPS SHOULD BOTTOM OUT EARLY AND
BEGIN RISING BEFORE SUNRISE. WEAK GRADIENT AND NORTHWESTERLY FLOW
ALOFT SHOULD MAKE FOR A DELIGHTFUL WEDNESDAY WITH SUBSIDENCE
AIDING A WARM UP INTO THE LOWER 70S ACROSS THE I-10 CORRIDOR.

THE TAIL END OF A REINFORCING COOL FRONT WILL PASS WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH
LITTLE FANFARE OTHER THAN WEAK NORTHERLY WINDS AND DRIER
HUMIDITIES. A TRAILING RIDGE WILL MAKE FOR A SEASONABLY COOL YET
SUNNY THANKSGIVING DAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM...THICKNESSES RECOVER OVERNIGHT SO WENT WITH WARMER
TEMPS THAN PREVIOUSLY INDICATED FOR ALL EXCEPT S CEN LA CLOSER TO
THE DEPARTING THERMAL TROF.

&&

.LONG TERM...CONCENSUS IS TO GO WITH THE GFS IN THE LATE EXTENDED.
THE EURO IS COLDER BY TAKING A SOUTHERN SPLIT INTO THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST AND DIGGING A VIGOROUS UPPER TROF NEAR NORTHERN BAJA AND
PUSHING OUT A RIDGE OUT AHEAD. STILL RESPECTING THE WARMER AND
MORE MOIST GFS SOLUTION AND MAINTAINING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.MARINE...RIDGING INTO THE COASTAL WATERS FROM THE NORTHWEST
SHOULD ALLOW TO DIMINISH SUFFICIENTLY BELOW ADVISORY THRESHOLDS LATE
TONIGHT.  TO LOWER THE ADVISORY FLAGS. CAUTION CRITERIA UNTIL
DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY.

SWEENEY

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  45  70  42  62  42 /   0   0   0   0   0
KBPT  45  71  43  64  46 /   0   0   0   0   0
KAEX  40  68  38  59  35 /   0   0   0   0   0
KLFT  39  69  40  59  41 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON
     LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER
     TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION FROM MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT THROUGH
     LATE TONIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION FROM MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT THROUGH
     LATE THURSDAY NIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM
     INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO
     CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH
     ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE
     WEDNESDAY NIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM
     CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES

&&

$$







000
FXUS64 KLIX 252111
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
311 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

LOT OF VIRGA FALLING TODAY OVER CENTRAL LOUISIANA. THE CURRENT
LONG WAVE POLAR TROUGHING IS CAUSING A VERY INTENSE THERMAL
GRADIENT TO EXIST OVER THE EAST PAC...MEXICO...AND GULF OF MEXICO.
THIS IN TURN CAUSES THE WINDS IN THE POLAR JET TO INCREASE. ONE
CAN SEE THIS VERY WELL WHEN LOOKING AT WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. WHILE
ON THEIR WAY NORTH...THE STRONG WINDS THEN CAUSE LAYER
LIFTING(CAUSING VIRGA) OVER LA. THE AREAS SEEING VIRGA CAN BE
PICKED OUT AT THE SFC BY HIGHER DEW PT TEMPS. IF THE VIRGA CAN
MOISTEN LAYERS DEEP ENOUGH...THERE MAY BE SOME LIGHT SHOWERS REACH
THE SFC THIS EVENING. THE UPPER LEVEL LONG WAVE TROUGH AXIS
LOCATED FROM THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES TO NE MEXICO WILL MOVE
THROUGH ALONG WITH A REINFORCING SFC COLD FRONT LATE WED. A VERY
DRY ENVIRONMENT WILL NOT ALLOW THIS SFC FRONT TO PRODUCE ANY
PRECIP. IT MAY NOT EVEN BE ABLE TO PRODUCE CLOUDS WHEN THE FRONT
MOVES THROUGH.

A SLOW WARMING TREND WILL START BY THE END OF THIS WEEK BRINGING
TEMPS BACK INTO THE MID TO UPPER 70S BY SUNDAY. THE NEXT SYSTEM
WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE AREA BY THURSDAY OR FRIDAY.

THE ROSBY WAVE TRAIN WILL CONTINUE INTO THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE.
THIS SIMPLY MEANS THE COOL AND COLD AIR SURGES WILL CONTINUE WITH
SHORT WARM PERIODS IN BETWEEN.

&&

.AVIATION...
MID AND HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE CONTINUE TO STREAM NORTHEASTWARD
ACROSS THE AREA AHEAD OF A TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE GREAT PLAINS.
LOWER LAYERS OF THE ATMOSPHERE ARE EXTREMELY DRY...SO VFR
CONDITIONS WILL BE THE RULE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE MID
AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS SHOULD SHIFT TO THE EAST OF THE AREA
SOMEWHERE BETWEEN 06Z AND 09Z WEDNESDAY WITH LITTLE OR NO
CLOUDINESS EXPECTED UNTIL SOMETIME FRIDAY. 35

&&

.MARINE...
STRONG NORTH WINDS AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE GULF WILL MAINTAIN
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS THROUGH THIS EVENING AND MOST OF
TONIGHT FOR THE OPEN GULF WATERS. PROTECTED WATER AREAS SHOULD SEE
WINDS ABATE RAPIDLY THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. ANOTHER COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA WED CAUSING WINDS TO HEIGHTEN ONCE
AGAIN BUT SHOULD REMAIN IN THE 20 TO 25 KNOT RANGE FOR WED NIGHT
AND THU MORNING. NO RAIN IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST.

&&

.DECISION SUPPORT...
DSS CODE...BLUE.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...SLURRY SUPPORT
             SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
         WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR
         AND/OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL
         SIGNIFICANCE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  36  65  40  60 /  10   0   0   0
BTR  37  66  41  63 /   0   0   0   0
ASD  37  65  42  63 /  10   0   0   0
MSY  42  64  47  62 /  10   0   0   0
GPT  39  63  44  61 /  20   0   0   0
PQL  38  63  42  61 /  30   0   0   0

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST
     PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND
     LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND
     COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...AND COASTAL
     WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER OUT 20
     NM.

MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...AND COASTAL
     WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER OUT 20
     NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST
     PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND
     LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND
     COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$







000
FXUS64 KLIX 252111
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
311 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

LOT OF VIRGA FALLING TODAY OVER CENTRAL LOUISIANA. THE CURRENT
LONG WAVE POLAR TROUGHING IS CAUSING A VERY INTENSE THERMAL
GRADIENT TO EXIST OVER THE EAST PAC...MEXICO...AND GULF OF MEXICO.
THIS IN TURN CAUSES THE WINDS IN THE POLAR JET TO INCREASE. ONE
CAN SEE THIS VERY WELL WHEN LOOKING AT WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. WHILE
ON THEIR WAY NORTH...THE STRONG WINDS THEN CAUSE LAYER
LIFTING(CAUSING VIRGA) OVER LA. THE AREAS SEEING VIRGA CAN BE
PICKED OUT AT THE SFC BY HIGHER DEW PT TEMPS. IF THE VIRGA CAN
MOISTEN LAYERS DEEP ENOUGH...THERE MAY BE SOME LIGHT SHOWERS REACH
THE SFC THIS EVENING. THE UPPER LEVEL LONG WAVE TROUGH AXIS
LOCATED FROM THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES TO NE MEXICO WILL MOVE
THROUGH ALONG WITH A REINFORCING SFC COLD FRONT LATE WED. A VERY
DRY ENVIRONMENT WILL NOT ALLOW THIS SFC FRONT TO PRODUCE ANY
PRECIP. IT MAY NOT EVEN BE ABLE TO PRODUCE CLOUDS WHEN THE FRONT
MOVES THROUGH.

A SLOW WARMING TREND WILL START BY THE END OF THIS WEEK BRINGING
TEMPS BACK INTO THE MID TO UPPER 70S BY SUNDAY. THE NEXT SYSTEM
WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE AREA BY THURSDAY OR FRIDAY.

THE ROSBY WAVE TRAIN WILL CONTINUE INTO THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE.
THIS SIMPLY MEANS THE COOL AND COLD AIR SURGES WILL CONTINUE WITH
SHORT WARM PERIODS IN BETWEEN.

&&

.AVIATION...
MID AND HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE CONTINUE TO STREAM NORTHEASTWARD
ACROSS THE AREA AHEAD OF A TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE GREAT PLAINS.
LOWER LAYERS OF THE ATMOSPHERE ARE EXTREMELY DRY...SO VFR
CONDITIONS WILL BE THE RULE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE MID
AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS SHOULD SHIFT TO THE EAST OF THE AREA
SOMEWHERE BETWEEN 06Z AND 09Z WEDNESDAY WITH LITTLE OR NO
CLOUDINESS EXPECTED UNTIL SOMETIME FRIDAY. 35

&&

.MARINE...
STRONG NORTH WINDS AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE GULF WILL MAINTAIN
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS THROUGH THIS EVENING AND MOST OF
TONIGHT FOR THE OPEN GULF WATERS. PROTECTED WATER AREAS SHOULD SEE
WINDS ABATE RAPIDLY THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. ANOTHER COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA WED CAUSING WINDS TO HEIGHTEN ONCE
AGAIN BUT SHOULD REMAIN IN THE 20 TO 25 KNOT RANGE FOR WED NIGHT
AND THU MORNING. NO RAIN IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST.

&&

.DECISION SUPPORT...
DSS CODE...BLUE.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...SLURRY SUPPORT
             SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
         WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR
         AND/OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL
         SIGNIFICANCE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  36  65  40  60 /  10   0   0   0
BTR  37  66  41  63 /   0   0   0   0
ASD  37  65  42  63 /  10   0   0   0
MSY  42  64  47  62 /  10   0   0   0
GPT  39  63  44  61 /  20   0   0   0
PQL  38  63  42  61 /  30   0   0   0

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST
     PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND
     LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND
     COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...AND COASTAL
     WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER OUT 20
     NM.

MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...AND COASTAL
     WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER OUT 20
     NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST
     PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND
     LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND
     COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$







000
FXUS64 KLIX 252111
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
311 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

LOT OF VIRGA FALLING TODAY OVER CENTRAL LOUISIANA. THE CURRENT
LONG WAVE POLAR TROUGHING IS CAUSING A VERY INTENSE THERMAL
GRADIENT TO EXIST OVER THE EAST PAC...MEXICO...AND GULF OF MEXICO.
THIS IN TURN CAUSES THE WINDS IN THE POLAR JET TO INCREASE. ONE
CAN SEE THIS VERY WELL WHEN LOOKING AT WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. WHILE
ON THEIR WAY NORTH...THE STRONG WINDS THEN CAUSE LAYER
LIFTING(CAUSING VIRGA) OVER LA. THE AREAS SEEING VIRGA CAN BE
PICKED OUT AT THE SFC BY HIGHER DEW PT TEMPS. IF THE VIRGA CAN
MOISTEN LAYERS DEEP ENOUGH...THERE MAY BE SOME LIGHT SHOWERS REACH
THE SFC THIS EVENING. THE UPPER LEVEL LONG WAVE TROUGH AXIS
LOCATED FROM THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES TO NE MEXICO WILL MOVE
THROUGH ALONG WITH A REINFORCING SFC COLD FRONT LATE WED. A VERY
DRY ENVIRONMENT WILL NOT ALLOW THIS SFC FRONT TO PRODUCE ANY
PRECIP. IT MAY NOT EVEN BE ABLE TO PRODUCE CLOUDS WHEN THE FRONT
MOVES THROUGH.

A SLOW WARMING TREND WILL START BY THE END OF THIS WEEK BRINGING
TEMPS BACK INTO THE MID TO UPPER 70S BY SUNDAY. THE NEXT SYSTEM
WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE AREA BY THURSDAY OR FRIDAY.

THE ROSBY WAVE TRAIN WILL CONTINUE INTO THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE.
THIS SIMPLY MEANS THE COOL AND COLD AIR SURGES WILL CONTINUE WITH
SHORT WARM PERIODS IN BETWEEN.

&&

.AVIATION...
MID AND HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE CONTINUE TO STREAM NORTHEASTWARD
ACROSS THE AREA AHEAD OF A TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE GREAT PLAINS.
LOWER LAYERS OF THE ATMOSPHERE ARE EXTREMELY DRY...SO VFR
CONDITIONS WILL BE THE RULE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE MID
AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS SHOULD SHIFT TO THE EAST OF THE AREA
SOMEWHERE BETWEEN 06Z AND 09Z WEDNESDAY WITH LITTLE OR NO
CLOUDINESS EXPECTED UNTIL SOMETIME FRIDAY. 35

&&

.MARINE...
STRONG NORTH WINDS AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE GULF WILL MAINTAIN
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS THROUGH THIS EVENING AND MOST OF
TONIGHT FOR THE OPEN GULF WATERS. PROTECTED WATER AREAS SHOULD SEE
WINDS ABATE RAPIDLY THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. ANOTHER COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA WED CAUSING WINDS TO HEIGHTEN ONCE
AGAIN BUT SHOULD REMAIN IN THE 20 TO 25 KNOT RANGE FOR WED NIGHT
AND THU MORNING. NO RAIN IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST.

&&

.DECISION SUPPORT...
DSS CODE...BLUE.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...SLURRY SUPPORT
             SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
         WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR
         AND/OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL
         SIGNIFICANCE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  36  65  40  60 /  10   0   0   0
BTR  37  66  41  63 /   0   0   0   0
ASD  37  65  42  63 /  10   0   0   0
MSY  42  64  47  62 /  10   0   0   0
GPT  39  63  44  61 /  20   0   0   0
PQL  38  63  42  61 /  30   0   0   0

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST
     PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND
     LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND
     COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...AND COASTAL
     WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER OUT 20
     NM.

MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...AND COASTAL
     WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER OUT 20
     NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST
     PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND
     LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND
     COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$







000
FXUS64 KLIX 252111
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
311 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

LOT OF VIRGA FALLING TODAY OVER CENTRAL LOUISIANA. THE CURRENT
LONG WAVE POLAR TROUGHING IS CAUSING A VERY INTENSE THERMAL
GRADIENT TO EXIST OVER THE EAST PAC...MEXICO...AND GULF OF MEXICO.
THIS IN TURN CAUSES THE WINDS IN THE POLAR JET TO INCREASE. ONE
CAN SEE THIS VERY WELL WHEN LOOKING AT WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. WHILE
ON THEIR WAY NORTH...THE STRONG WINDS THEN CAUSE LAYER
LIFTING(CAUSING VIRGA) OVER LA. THE AREAS SEEING VIRGA CAN BE
PICKED OUT AT THE SFC BY HIGHER DEW PT TEMPS. IF THE VIRGA CAN
MOISTEN LAYERS DEEP ENOUGH...THERE MAY BE SOME LIGHT SHOWERS REACH
THE SFC THIS EVENING. THE UPPER LEVEL LONG WAVE TROUGH AXIS
LOCATED FROM THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES TO NE MEXICO WILL MOVE
THROUGH ALONG WITH A REINFORCING SFC COLD FRONT LATE WED. A VERY
DRY ENVIRONMENT WILL NOT ALLOW THIS SFC FRONT TO PRODUCE ANY
PRECIP. IT MAY NOT EVEN BE ABLE TO PRODUCE CLOUDS WHEN THE FRONT
MOVES THROUGH.

A SLOW WARMING TREND WILL START BY THE END OF THIS WEEK BRINGING
TEMPS BACK INTO THE MID TO UPPER 70S BY SUNDAY. THE NEXT SYSTEM
WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE AREA BY THURSDAY OR FRIDAY.

THE ROSBY WAVE TRAIN WILL CONTINUE INTO THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE.
THIS SIMPLY MEANS THE COOL AND COLD AIR SURGES WILL CONTINUE WITH
SHORT WARM PERIODS IN BETWEEN.

&&

.AVIATION...
MID AND HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE CONTINUE TO STREAM NORTHEASTWARD
ACROSS THE AREA AHEAD OF A TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE GREAT PLAINS.
LOWER LAYERS OF THE ATMOSPHERE ARE EXTREMELY DRY...SO VFR
CONDITIONS WILL BE THE RULE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE MID
AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS SHOULD SHIFT TO THE EAST OF THE AREA
SOMEWHERE BETWEEN 06Z AND 09Z WEDNESDAY WITH LITTLE OR NO
CLOUDINESS EXPECTED UNTIL SOMETIME FRIDAY. 35

&&

.MARINE...
STRONG NORTH WINDS AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE GULF WILL MAINTAIN
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS THROUGH THIS EVENING AND MOST OF
TONIGHT FOR THE OPEN GULF WATERS. PROTECTED WATER AREAS SHOULD SEE
WINDS ABATE RAPIDLY THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. ANOTHER COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA WED CAUSING WINDS TO HEIGHTEN ONCE
AGAIN BUT SHOULD REMAIN IN THE 20 TO 25 KNOT RANGE FOR WED NIGHT
AND THU MORNING. NO RAIN IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST.

&&

.DECISION SUPPORT...
DSS CODE...BLUE.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...SLURRY SUPPORT
             SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
         WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR
         AND/OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL
         SIGNIFICANCE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  36  65  40  60 /  10   0   0   0
BTR  37  66  41  63 /   0   0   0   0
ASD  37  65  42  63 /  10   0   0   0
MSY  42  64  47  62 /  10   0   0   0
GPT  39  63  44  61 /  20   0   0   0
PQL  38  63  42  61 /  30   0   0   0

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST
     PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND
     LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND
     COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...AND COASTAL
     WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER OUT 20
     NM.

MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...AND COASTAL
     WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER OUT 20
     NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST
     PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND
     LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND
     COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$







000
FXUS64 KSHV 252031
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
231 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH CIRRUS CLOUDS SLOWLY SHIFTING EAST ACROSS THE AREA...SHOULD
YIELD CLEAR SKIES OVERNIGHT. DEWPOINTS HAVE FALLEN WITH MIXING
INTO THE LOWER TO MID 20S...BUT SHOULD RISE UP AGAIN A FEW
DEGREES OVERNIGHT. THAT...ALONG WITH A LIGHT SOUTHERLY WIND
RETURNING LATER TONIGHT...SHOULD KEEP OVERNIGHT LOWS RANGING THRU
THE 30S. DAYTIME HIGHS WILL BEGIN TO RISE INTO THE 60S UNDER SUNNY SKIES
AND SW WINDS...AS A WEAK COLD FRONT BEGINS TO MOVE ACROSS THE
AREA DURG THE AFTN...ALONG WITH SOME POST FRONTAL INCREASED MID
LVL CLOUDINESS. GIVEN THESE MINOR SHORTWAVES IN OVERALL PATTERN...
LOOKING AT MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES EXCEPT FOR A FEW HIGHER CLOUDS...AND FAIRLY
PERSISTENT TEMPS...THROUGH THANSGIVING. HOWEVER...A WARMING TREND
UNDERWAY FOR THE WEEKEND...WITH GRADUALLY INCREASING LOW LVL
MOISTURE THAT WILL EVENTUALLY BRING ABOUT A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS LATE IN WKND. AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT LATER IN EXTENDED
WILL DEEPEN MOISTURE...AND LOW LVL SHEAR WILL BE AT LEAST
MODEST...THUS A FEW TSTMS MAY ALSO BE POSSIBLE./VII/.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1135 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE 25/18Z TAF PERIOD. AN
EXTENSIVE BAND OF CIRRUS WITH ELEVATED AC WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH AS
IT SHIFTS E ACROSS DEEP E TX/N LA/SCNTRL AR THIS AFTERNOON...WITH
THE LOWEST AC CIGS LINGERING ACROSS NCNTRL LA THROUGH MID TO LATE
AFTERNOON. SKC IS EXPECTED THIS EVENING...BEFORE ANOTHER EXTENSIVE
AREA OF CIRRUS SPILLS SE ACROSS THE REGION AFTER 06Z AHEAD OF THE
NEXT POLAR TROUGH. LIGHT NNW WINDS THIS AFTERNOON WILL BECOME
LT/VRB AFTER 00Z...BUT TAKE ON A LIGHT SSW COMPONENT LATE. /15/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  37  67  35  59  36 /   0   0   0   0   0
MLU  35  65  34  56  33 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEQ  31  63  29  56  33 /   0   0   0   0   0
TXK  37  63  33  57  35 /   0   0   0   0   0
ELD  32  64  31  56  33 /   0   0   0   0   0
TYR  38  65  36  60  40 /   0   0   0   0   0
GGG  37  68  35  60  38 /   0   0   0   0   0
LFK  37  69  36  63  40 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$







000
FXUS64 KSHV 252031
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
231 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH CIRRUS CLOUDS SLOWLY SHIFTING EAST ACROSS THE AREA...SHOULD
YIELD CLEAR SKIES OVERNIGHT. DEWPOINTS HAVE FALLEN WITH MIXING
INTO THE LOWER TO MID 20S...BUT SHOULD RISE UP AGAIN A FEW
DEGREES OVERNIGHT. THAT...ALONG WITH A LIGHT SOUTHERLY WIND
RETURNING LATER TONIGHT...SHOULD KEEP OVERNIGHT LOWS RANGING THRU
THE 30S. DAYTIME HIGHS WILL BEGIN TO RISE INTO THE 60S UNDER SUNNY SKIES
AND SW WINDS...AS A WEAK COLD FRONT BEGINS TO MOVE ACROSS THE
AREA DURG THE AFTN...ALONG WITH SOME POST FRONTAL INCREASED MID
LVL CLOUDINESS. GIVEN THESE MINOR SHORTWAVES IN OVERALL PATTERN...
LOOKING AT MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES EXCEPT FOR A FEW HIGHER CLOUDS...AND FAIRLY
PERSISTENT TEMPS...THROUGH THANSGIVING. HOWEVER...A WARMING TREND
UNDERWAY FOR THE WEEKEND...WITH GRADUALLY INCREASING LOW LVL
MOISTURE THAT WILL EVENTUALLY BRING ABOUT A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS LATE IN WKND. AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT LATER IN EXTENDED
WILL DEEPEN MOISTURE...AND LOW LVL SHEAR WILL BE AT LEAST
MODEST...THUS A FEW TSTMS MAY ALSO BE POSSIBLE./VII/.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1135 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE 25/18Z TAF PERIOD. AN
EXTENSIVE BAND OF CIRRUS WITH ELEVATED AC WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH AS
IT SHIFTS E ACROSS DEEP E TX/N LA/SCNTRL AR THIS AFTERNOON...WITH
THE LOWEST AC CIGS LINGERING ACROSS NCNTRL LA THROUGH MID TO LATE
AFTERNOON. SKC IS EXPECTED THIS EVENING...BEFORE ANOTHER EXTENSIVE
AREA OF CIRRUS SPILLS SE ACROSS THE REGION AFTER 06Z AHEAD OF THE
NEXT POLAR TROUGH. LIGHT NNW WINDS THIS AFTERNOON WILL BECOME
LT/VRB AFTER 00Z...BUT TAKE ON A LIGHT SSW COMPONENT LATE. /15/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  37  67  35  59  36 /   0   0   0   0   0
MLU  35  65  34  56  33 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEQ  31  63  29  56  33 /   0   0   0   0   0
TXK  37  63  33  57  35 /   0   0   0   0   0
ELD  32  64  31  56  33 /   0   0   0   0   0
TYR  38  65  36  60  40 /   0   0   0   0   0
GGG  37  68  35  60  38 /   0   0   0   0   0
LFK  37  69  36  63  40 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KLCH 252014
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
214 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.SYNOPSIS...MID AND UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH AN EASTWARD
TRANSLATING DEEP JET WILL BE MOVING EAST BEYOND CEN LA AND SW LA
OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. S CEN LA SHOULD ENCOUNTER CLEARING FROM
THE WEST EARLY THIS EVENING. A SURFACE RIDGE WILL PASS TNITE
BRINGING WARMER SOUTHWESTERLIES. TEMPS SHOULD BOTTOM OUT EARLY AND
BEGIN RISING BEFORE SUNRISE. WEAK GRADIENT AND NORTHWESTERLY FLOW
ALOFT SHOULD MAKE FOR A DELIGHTFUL WEDNESDAY WITH SUBSIDENCE
AIDING A WARM UP INTO THE LOWER 70S ACROSS THE I-10 CORRIDOR.

THE TAIL END OF A REINFORCING COOL FRONT WILL PASS WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH
LITTLE FANFARE OTHER THAN WEAK NORTHERLY WINDS AND DRIER
HUMIDITIES. A TRAILING RIDGE WILL MAKE FOR A SEASONABLY COOL YET
SUNNY THANKSGIVING DAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM...THICKNESSES RECOVER OVERNIGHT SO WENT WITH WARMER
TEMPS THAN PREVIOUSLY INDICATED FOR ALL EXCEPT S CEN LA CLOSER TO
THE DEPARTING THERMAL TROF.

&&

.LONG TERM...CONCENSUS IS TO GO WITH THE GFS IN THE LATE EXTENDED.
THE EURO IS COLDER BY TAKING A SOUTHERN SPLIT INTO THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST AND DIGGING A VIGOROUS UPPER TROF NEAR NORTHERN BAJA AND
PUSHING OUT A RIDGE OUT AHEAD. STILL RESPECTING THE WARMER AND
MORE MOIST GFS SOLUTION AND MAINTAINING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.MARINE...RIDGING INTO THE COASTAL WATERS FROM THE NORTHWEST
SHOULD ALLOW TO DIMINISH SUFFICIENTLY BELOW ADVISORY THRESHOLDS LATE
TONIGHT.  TO LOWER THE ADVISORY FLAGS. CAUTION CRITERIA UNTIL
DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY.

SWEENEY

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  59  45  70  42  64 /  10   0   0   0   0
KBPT  61  45  71  43  65 /  10   0   0   0   0
KAEX  58  40  68  38  60 /  10   0   0   0   0
KLFT  58  39  69  40  62 /  10   0   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON
     LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER
     TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION FROM MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT THROUGH
     LATE TONIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM
     INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS
     FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM
     20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO
     CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM...
     WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES

&&

$$







000
FXUS64 KLCH 252014
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
214 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.SYNOPSIS...MID AND UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH AN EASTWARD
TRANSLATING DEEP JET WILL BE MOVING EAST BEYOND CEN LA AND SW LA
OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. S CEN LA SHOULD ENCOUNTER CLEARING FROM
THE WEST EARLY THIS EVENING. A SURFACE RIDGE WILL PASS TNITE
BRINGING WARMER SOUTHWESTERLIES. TEMPS SHOULD BOTTOM OUT EARLY AND
BEGIN RISING BEFORE SUNRISE. WEAK GRADIENT AND NORTHWESTERLY FLOW
ALOFT SHOULD MAKE FOR A DELIGHTFUL WEDNESDAY WITH SUBSIDENCE
AIDING A WARM UP INTO THE LOWER 70S ACROSS THE I-10 CORRIDOR.

THE TAIL END OF A REINFORCING COOL FRONT WILL PASS WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH
LITTLE FANFARE OTHER THAN WEAK NORTHERLY WINDS AND DRIER
HUMIDITIES. A TRAILING RIDGE WILL MAKE FOR A SEASONABLY COOL YET
SUNNY THANKSGIVING DAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM...THICKNESSES RECOVER OVERNIGHT SO WENT WITH WARMER
TEMPS THAN PREVIOUSLY INDICATED FOR ALL EXCEPT S CEN LA CLOSER TO
THE DEPARTING THERMAL TROF.

&&

.LONG TERM...CONCENSUS IS TO GO WITH THE GFS IN THE LATE EXTENDED.
THE EURO IS COLDER BY TAKING A SOUTHERN SPLIT INTO THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST AND DIGGING A VIGOROUS UPPER TROF NEAR NORTHERN BAJA AND
PUSHING OUT A RIDGE OUT AHEAD. STILL RESPECTING THE WARMER AND
MORE MOIST GFS SOLUTION AND MAINTAINING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.MARINE...RIDGING INTO THE COASTAL WATERS FROM THE NORTHWEST
SHOULD ALLOW TO DIMINISH SUFFICIENTLY BELOW ADVISORY THRESHOLDS LATE
TONIGHT.  TO LOWER THE ADVISORY FLAGS. CAUTION CRITERIA UNTIL
DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY.

SWEENEY

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  59  45  70  42  64 /  10   0   0   0   0
KBPT  61  45  71  43  65 /  10   0   0   0   0
KAEX  58  40  68  38  60 /  10   0   0   0   0
KLFT  58  39  69  40  62 /  10   0   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON
     LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER
     TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION FROM MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT THROUGH
     LATE TONIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM
     INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS
     FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM
     20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO
     CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM...
     WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES

&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KLCH 251747
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1147 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.DISCUSSION...
FOR THE 18Z TAF PACKAGE.

&&

.AVIATION...
EXTENSIVE MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS OVER THE AREA TODAY AHEAD
OF LONGWAVE TROF APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. LATEST MODEL DATA
SUGGESTS THIS CLOUD COVER SHOULD SHIFT EAST WITH TIME...THOUGH THE
MODELS MAY BE A LITTLE TOO AGGRESSIVE IN DOING SO. IN ANY
EVENT...VFR IS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL...WITH GENERALLY LIGHT NORTH
WINDS THAT ARE FORECAST TO DECREASE THROUGH DAY...BECOMING NEARLY
CALM TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES SOUTHWARD...AND INCREASING
FROM THE WEST TOMORROW AS THE HIGH SINKS INTO THE GULF AND AN AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE TREKS THROUGH THE MID MS RIVER VALLEY.

13

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1044 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

UPDATE...VERY DEEP SOUTHWESTERLY JET ABOVE 15K FEET WITH LIFT
PRODUCING EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER OVER THE AREA AS FAR WEST AS EAST TEXAS.
THAT BEING SAID...EXPECTING THE CLOUD COVER TO SHIFT EAST WITH CLEARING
SKIES FOR ALL EXCEPT SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA. MODEL UPDATES
SUPPORTING LOWER AFTERNOON TEMPS AND WILL FOLLOW SUIT TWEAKING
TEMPS A COUPLE OF DEGREES LOWER FOR ALL EXCEPT INTERIOR SE TX.
ALSO MADE AN EXTENSION OF THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY OFF SHORE WHERE
TIGHT GRADIENT IS PERSISTING.

SWEENEY

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 525 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

AVIATION UPDATE...REGARDING 12Z TAF ISSUE. AN UPPER LEVEL TROF
ADVANCING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL BE PRECEDED BY
CONSIDERABLE HIGH CIRRUS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TODAY. CLEAR
SKIES WILL RETURN LATE WITH PASSAGE OF THIS FEATURE. THUS WITH
ONLY CIRRUS IN PLAY TODAY...VFR ON TAP AT ALL TERMINALS AND
THROUGHOUT THE TAF PACKAGES. OTHERWISE...WINDS WILL REMAIN
NORTHERLY AND GENERALLY LIGHT.

MARCOTTE

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 454 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

DISCUSSION...
A COOL MORNING ACROSS THE NATION WITH 20S IN THE UPPER PLAIN STATES
WITH 30S DOWN INTO OKLAHOMA AND 40S ACROSS TEXAS AND LOUISIANA. OF
COURSE SOUTH FLORIDA IS BASKING IN THE UPPER 70S AHEAD OF THE COLD
FRONT THAT MOVED THROUGH US SEVERAL DAYS AGO BUT THAT TOO WILL END
BY TOMORROW. STLT IS INDICATING SNOW IN THE ROCKIES AND THE DAKOTAS
AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW CONTINUES TO EXIT TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST
ALLOWING FOR THE NEXT SYSTEM TO DROP DOWN INTO THE PLAINS STATES
WITH ANOTHER FRONT THROUGH THE REGION ON LATE WEDNESDAY/ EARLY
THURSDAY. THIS NEXT SYSTEM WILL ONLY REINFORCE THE MILD/COOL WX
THAT IS ALREADY IN PLACE.

TOMORROW AFTERNOON WILL SEE TEMPS BACK INTO THE UPPER 60S. BUT
FRIDAY MORNING WILL START OUT IN THE UPPER 30S. NOT LOOKING FOR
ANY RAIN UNTIL THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AND OF COURSE LOW TO MID
60S FOR SE TX AND SRN LA TODAY.

19

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  41  67  43  64 /   0   0   0   0
KBPT  41  69  44  66 /   0   0   0   0
KAEX  37  66  39  61 /   0   0   0   0
KLFT  39  67  42  64 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR WATERS FROM
     INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-WATERS
     FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM
     20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION LATE TONIGHT FOR WATERS FROM
     INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-WATERS
     FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM
     20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR COASTAL WATERS
     FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20
     NM-WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60
     NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR
     COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL
     CITY LA OUT 20 NM-WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX
     FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR COASTAL
     WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM-
     VERMILION BAY.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR
     COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20
     NM.


&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KLCH 251747
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1147 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.DISCUSSION...
FOR THE 18Z TAF PACKAGE.

&&

.AVIATION...
EXTENSIVE MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS OVER THE AREA TODAY AHEAD
OF LONGWAVE TROF APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. LATEST MODEL DATA
SUGGESTS THIS CLOUD COVER SHOULD SHIFT EAST WITH TIME...THOUGH THE
MODELS MAY BE A LITTLE TOO AGGRESSIVE IN DOING SO. IN ANY
EVENT...VFR IS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL...WITH GENERALLY LIGHT NORTH
WINDS THAT ARE FORECAST TO DECREASE THROUGH DAY...BECOMING NEARLY
CALM TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES SOUTHWARD...AND INCREASING
FROM THE WEST TOMORROW AS THE HIGH SINKS INTO THE GULF AND AN AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE TREKS THROUGH THE MID MS RIVER VALLEY.

13

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1044 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

UPDATE...VERY DEEP SOUTHWESTERLY JET ABOVE 15K FEET WITH LIFT
PRODUCING EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER OVER THE AREA AS FAR WEST AS EAST TEXAS.
THAT BEING SAID...EXPECTING THE CLOUD COVER TO SHIFT EAST WITH CLEARING
SKIES FOR ALL EXCEPT SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA. MODEL UPDATES
SUPPORTING LOWER AFTERNOON TEMPS AND WILL FOLLOW SUIT TWEAKING
TEMPS A COUPLE OF DEGREES LOWER FOR ALL EXCEPT INTERIOR SE TX.
ALSO MADE AN EXTENSION OF THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY OFF SHORE WHERE
TIGHT GRADIENT IS PERSISTING.

SWEENEY

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 525 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

AVIATION UPDATE...REGARDING 12Z TAF ISSUE. AN UPPER LEVEL TROF
ADVANCING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL BE PRECEDED BY
CONSIDERABLE HIGH CIRRUS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TODAY. CLEAR
SKIES WILL RETURN LATE WITH PASSAGE OF THIS FEATURE. THUS WITH
ONLY CIRRUS IN PLAY TODAY...VFR ON TAP AT ALL TERMINALS AND
THROUGHOUT THE TAF PACKAGES. OTHERWISE...WINDS WILL REMAIN
NORTHERLY AND GENERALLY LIGHT.

MARCOTTE

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 454 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

DISCUSSION...
A COOL MORNING ACROSS THE NATION WITH 20S IN THE UPPER PLAIN STATES
WITH 30S DOWN INTO OKLAHOMA AND 40S ACROSS TEXAS AND LOUISIANA. OF
COURSE SOUTH FLORIDA IS BASKING IN THE UPPER 70S AHEAD OF THE COLD
FRONT THAT MOVED THROUGH US SEVERAL DAYS AGO BUT THAT TOO WILL END
BY TOMORROW. STLT IS INDICATING SNOW IN THE ROCKIES AND THE DAKOTAS
AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW CONTINUES TO EXIT TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST
ALLOWING FOR THE NEXT SYSTEM TO DROP DOWN INTO THE PLAINS STATES
WITH ANOTHER FRONT THROUGH THE REGION ON LATE WEDNESDAY/ EARLY
THURSDAY. THIS NEXT SYSTEM WILL ONLY REINFORCE THE MILD/COOL WX
THAT IS ALREADY IN PLACE.

TOMORROW AFTERNOON WILL SEE TEMPS BACK INTO THE UPPER 60S. BUT
FRIDAY MORNING WILL START OUT IN THE UPPER 30S. NOT LOOKING FOR
ANY RAIN UNTIL THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AND OF COURSE LOW TO MID
60S FOR SE TX AND SRN LA TODAY.

19

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  41  67  43  64 /   0   0   0   0
KBPT  41  69  44  66 /   0   0   0   0
KAEX  37  66  39  61 /   0   0   0   0
KLFT  39  67  42  64 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR WATERS FROM
     INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-WATERS
     FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM
     20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION LATE TONIGHT FOR WATERS FROM
     INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-WATERS
     FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM
     20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR COASTAL WATERS
     FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20
     NM-WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60
     NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR
     COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL
     CITY LA OUT 20 NM-WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX
     FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR COASTAL
     WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM-
     VERMILION BAY.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR
     COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20
     NM.


&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KLCH 251747
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1147 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.DISCUSSION...
FOR THE 18Z TAF PACKAGE.

&&

.AVIATION...
EXTENSIVE MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS OVER THE AREA TODAY AHEAD
OF LONGWAVE TROF APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. LATEST MODEL DATA
SUGGESTS THIS CLOUD COVER SHOULD SHIFT EAST WITH TIME...THOUGH THE
MODELS MAY BE A LITTLE TOO AGGRESSIVE IN DOING SO. IN ANY
EVENT...VFR IS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL...WITH GENERALLY LIGHT NORTH
WINDS THAT ARE FORECAST TO DECREASE THROUGH DAY...BECOMING NEARLY
CALM TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES SOUTHWARD...AND INCREASING
FROM THE WEST TOMORROW AS THE HIGH SINKS INTO THE GULF AND AN AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE TREKS THROUGH THE MID MS RIVER VALLEY.

13

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1044 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

UPDATE...VERY DEEP SOUTHWESTERLY JET ABOVE 15K FEET WITH LIFT
PRODUCING EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER OVER THE AREA AS FAR WEST AS EAST TEXAS.
THAT BEING SAID...EXPECTING THE CLOUD COVER TO SHIFT EAST WITH CLEARING
SKIES FOR ALL EXCEPT SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA. MODEL UPDATES
SUPPORTING LOWER AFTERNOON TEMPS AND WILL FOLLOW SUIT TWEAKING
TEMPS A COUPLE OF DEGREES LOWER FOR ALL EXCEPT INTERIOR SE TX.
ALSO MADE AN EXTENSION OF THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY OFF SHORE WHERE
TIGHT GRADIENT IS PERSISTING.

SWEENEY

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 525 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

AVIATION UPDATE...REGARDING 12Z TAF ISSUE. AN UPPER LEVEL TROF
ADVANCING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL BE PRECEDED BY
CONSIDERABLE HIGH CIRRUS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TODAY. CLEAR
SKIES WILL RETURN LATE WITH PASSAGE OF THIS FEATURE. THUS WITH
ONLY CIRRUS IN PLAY TODAY...VFR ON TAP AT ALL TERMINALS AND
THROUGHOUT THE TAF PACKAGES. OTHERWISE...WINDS WILL REMAIN
NORTHERLY AND GENERALLY LIGHT.

MARCOTTE

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 454 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

DISCUSSION...
A COOL MORNING ACROSS THE NATION WITH 20S IN THE UPPER PLAIN STATES
WITH 30S DOWN INTO OKLAHOMA AND 40S ACROSS TEXAS AND LOUISIANA. OF
COURSE SOUTH FLORIDA IS BASKING IN THE UPPER 70S AHEAD OF THE COLD
FRONT THAT MOVED THROUGH US SEVERAL DAYS AGO BUT THAT TOO WILL END
BY TOMORROW. STLT IS INDICATING SNOW IN THE ROCKIES AND THE DAKOTAS
AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW CONTINUES TO EXIT TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST
ALLOWING FOR THE NEXT SYSTEM TO DROP DOWN INTO THE PLAINS STATES
WITH ANOTHER FRONT THROUGH THE REGION ON LATE WEDNESDAY/ EARLY
THURSDAY. THIS NEXT SYSTEM WILL ONLY REINFORCE THE MILD/COOL WX
THAT IS ALREADY IN PLACE.

TOMORROW AFTERNOON WILL SEE TEMPS BACK INTO THE UPPER 60S. BUT
FRIDAY MORNING WILL START OUT IN THE UPPER 30S. NOT LOOKING FOR
ANY RAIN UNTIL THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AND OF COURSE LOW TO MID
60S FOR SE TX AND SRN LA TODAY.

19

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  41  67  43  64 /   0   0   0   0
KBPT  41  69  44  66 /   0   0   0   0
KAEX  37  66  39  61 /   0   0   0   0
KLFT  39  67  42  64 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR WATERS FROM
     INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-WATERS
     FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM
     20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION LATE TONIGHT FOR WATERS FROM
     INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-WATERS
     FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM
     20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR COASTAL WATERS
     FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20
     NM-WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60
     NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR
     COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL
     CITY LA OUT 20 NM-WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX
     FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR COASTAL
     WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM-
     VERMILION BAY.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR
     COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20
     NM.


&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KLCH 251747
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1147 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.DISCUSSION...
FOR THE 18Z TAF PACKAGE.

&&

.AVIATION...
EXTENSIVE MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS OVER THE AREA TODAY AHEAD
OF LONGWAVE TROF APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. LATEST MODEL DATA
SUGGESTS THIS CLOUD COVER SHOULD SHIFT EAST WITH TIME...THOUGH THE
MODELS MAY BE A LITTLE TOO AGGRESSIVE IN DOING SO. IN ANY
EVENT...VFR IS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL...WITH GENERALLY LIGHT NORTH
WINDS THAT ARE FORECAST TO DECREASE THROUGH DAY...BECOMING NEARLY
CALM TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES SOUTHWARD...AND INCREASING
FROM THE WEST TOMORROW AS THE HIGH SINKS INTO THE GULF AND AN AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE TREKS THROUGH THE MID MS RIVER VALLEY.

13

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1044 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

UPDATE...VERY DEEP SOUTHWESTERLY JET ABOVE 15K FEET WITH LIFT
PRODUCING EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER OVER THE AREA AS FAR WEST AS EAST TEXAS.
THAT BEING SAID...EXPECTING THE CLOUD COVER TO SHIFT EAST WITH CLEARING
SKIES FOR ALL EXCEPT SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA. MODEL UPDATES
SUPPORTING LOWER AFTERNOON TEMPS AND WILL FOLLOW SUIT TWEAKING
TEMPS A COUPLE OF DEGREES LOWER FOR ALL EXCEPT INTERIOR SE TX.
ALSO MADE AN EXTENSION OF THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY OFF SHORE WHERE
TIGHT GRADIENT IS PERSISTING.

SWEENEY

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 525 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

AVIATION UPDATE...REGARDING 12Z TAF ISSUE. AN UPPER LEVEL TROF
ADVANCING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL BE PRECEDED BY
CONSIDERABLE HIGH CIRRUS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TODAY. CLEAR
SKIES WILL RETURN LATE WITH PASSAGE OF THIS FEATURE. THUS WITH
ONLY CIRRUS IN PLAY TODAY...VFR ON TAP AT ALL TERMINALS AND
THROUGHOUT THE TAF PACKAGES. OTHERWISE...WINDS WILL REMAIN
NORTHERLY AND GENERALLY LIGHT.

MARCOTTE

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 454 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

DISCUSSION...
A COOL MORNING ACROSS THE NATION WITH 20S IN THE UPPER PLAIN STATES
WITH 30S DOWN INTO OKLAHOMA AND 40S ACROSS TEXAS AND LOUISIANA. OF
COURSE SOUTH FLORIDA IS BASKING IN THE UPPER 70S AHEAD OF THE COLD
FRONT THAT MOVED THROUGH US SEVERAL DAYS AGO BUT THAT TOO WILL END
BY TOMORROW. STLT IS INDICATING SNOW IN THE ROCKIES AND THE DAKOTAS
AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW CONTINUES TO EXIT TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST
ALLOWING FOR THE NEXT SYSTEM TO DROP DOWN INTO THE PLAINS STATES
WITH ANOTHER FRONT THROUGH THE REGION ON LATE WEDNESDAY/ EARLY
THURSDAY. THIS NEXT SYSTEM WILL ONLY REINFORCE THE MILD/COOL WX
THAT IS ALREADY IN PLACE.

TOMORROW AFTERNOON WILL SEE TEMPS BACK INTO THE UPPER 60S. BUT
FRIDAY MORNING WILL START OUT IN THE UPPER 30S. NOT LOOKING FOR
ANY RAIN UNTIL THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AND OF COURSE LOW TO MID
60S FOR SE TX AND SRN LA TODAY.

19

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  41  67  43  64 /   0   0   0   0
KBPT  41  69  44  66 /   0   0   0   0
KAEX  37  66  39  61 /   0   0   0   0
KLFT  39  67  42  64 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR WATERS FROM
     INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-WATERS
     FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM
     20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION LATE TONIGHT FOR WATERS FROM
     INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-WATERS
     FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM
     20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR COASTAL WATERS
     FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20
     NM-WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60
     NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR
     COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL
     CITY LA OUT 20 NM-WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX
     FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR COASTAL
     WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM-
     VERMILION BAY.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR
     COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20
     NM.


&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KSHV 251735 AAA
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1135 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE 25/18Z TAF PERIOD. AN
EXTENSIVE BAND OF CIRRUS WITH ELEVATED AC WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH AS
IT SHIFTS E ACROSS DEEP E TX/N LA/SCNTRL AR THIS AFTERNOON...WITH
THE LOWEST AC CIGS LINGERING ACROSS NCNTRL LA THROUGH MID TO LATE
AFTERNOON. SKC IS EXPECTED THIS EVENING...BEFORE ANOTHER EXTENSIVE
AREA OF CIRRUS SPILLS SE ACROSS THE REGION AFTER 06Z AHEAD OF THE
NEXT POLAR TROUGH. LIGHT NNW WINDS THIS AFTERNOON WILL BECOME
LT/VRB AFTER 00Z...BUT TAKE ON A LIGHT SSW COMPONENT LATE. /15/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1029 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

DISCUSSION...
BAND OF CIRRUS WILL SLOWLY MOVE EAST ACROSS THE AREA. WITH
OTHERWISE SUNNY SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS...EXPECT TEMPS TO RISE
AROUND AN ADDITIONAL 10 DEGREES OR SO FROM THE 10 AM READINGS.
NO UPDATE NEEDED. /VII/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  60  37  68  37  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
MLU  58  34  66  36  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEQ  57  30  64  31  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
TXK  57  37  64  35  58 /   0   0   0   0   0
ELD  57  32  65  33  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
TYR  61  39  66  38  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
GGG  60  37  69  37  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
LFK  63  37  70  38  64 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

15






000
FXUS64 KSHV 251735 AAA
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1135 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE 25/18Z TAF PERIOD. AN
EXTENSIVE BAND OF CIRRUS WITH ELEVATED AC WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH AS
IT SHIFTS E ACROSS DEEP E TX/N LA/SCNTRL AR THIS AFTERNOON...WITH
THE LOWEST AC CIGS LINGERING ACROSS NCNTRL LA THROUGH MID TO LATE
AFTERNOON. SKC IS EXPECTED THIS EVENING...BEFORE ANOTHER EXTENSIVE
AREA OF CIRRUS SPILLS SE ACROSS THE REGION AFTER 06Z AHEAD OF THE
NEXT POLAR TROUGH. LIGHT NNW WINDS THIS AFTERNOON WILL BECOME
LT/VRB AFTER 00Z...BUT TAKE ON A LIGHT SSW COMPONENT LATE. /15/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1029 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

DISCUSSION...
BAND OF CIRRUS WILL SLOWLY MOVE EAST ACROSS THE AREA. WITH
OTHERWISE SUNNY SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS...EXPECT TEMPS TO RISE
AROUND AN ADDITIONAL 10 DEGREES OR SO FROM THE 10 AM READINGS.
NO UPDATE NEEDED. /VII/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  60  37  68  37  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
MLU  58  34  66  36  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEQ  57  30  64  31  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
TXK  57  37  64  35  58 /   0   0   0   0   0
ELD  57  32  65  33  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
TYR  61  39  66  38  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
GGG  60  37  69  37  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
LFK  63  37  70  38  64 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

15






000
FXUS64 KSHV 251735 AAA
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1135 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE 25/18Z TAF PERIOD. AN
EXTENSIVE BAND OF CIRRUS WITH ELEVATED AC WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH AS
IT SHIFTS E ACROSS DEEP E TX/N LA/SCNTRL AR THIS AFTERNOON...WITH
THE LOWEST AC CIGS LINGERING ACROSS NCNTRL LA THROUGH MID TO LATE
AFTERNOON. SKC IS EXPECTED THIS EVENING...BEFORE ANOTHER EXTENSIVE
AREA OF CIRRUS SPILLS SE ACROSS THE REGION AFTER 06Z AHEAD OF THE
NEXT POLAR TROUGH. LIGHT NNW WINDS THIS AFTERNOON WILL BECOME
LT/VRB AFTER 00Z...BUT TAKE ON A LIGHT SSW COMPONENT LATE. /15/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1029 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

DISCUSSION...
BAND OF CIRRUS WILL SLOWLY MOVE EAST ACROSS THE AREA. WITH
OTHERWISE SUNNY SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS...EXPECT TEMPS TO RISE
AROUND AN ADDITIONAL 10 DEGREES OR SO FROM THE 10 AM READINGS.
NO UPDATE NEEDED. /VII/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  60  37  68  37  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
MLU  58  34  66  36  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEQ  57  30  64  31  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
TXK  57  37  64  35  58 /   0   0   0   0   0
ELD  57  32  65  33  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
TYR  61  39  66  38  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
GGG  60  37  69  37  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
LFK  63  37  70  38  64 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

15






000
FXUS64 KSHV 251735 AAA
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1135 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE 25/18Z TAF PERIOD. AN
EXTENSIVE BAND OF CIRRUS WITH ELEVATED AC WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH AS
IT SHIFTS E ACROSS DEEP E TX/N LA/SCNTRL AR THIS AFTERNOON...WITH
THE LOWEST AC CIGS LINGERING ACROSS NCNTRL LA THROUGH MID TO LATE
AFTERNOON. SKC IS EXPECTED THIS EVENING...BEFORE ANOTHER EXTENSIVE
AREA OF CIRRUS SPILLS SE ACROSS THE REGION AFTER 06Z AHEAD OF THE
NEXT POLAR TROUGH. LIGHT NNW WINDS THIS AFTERNOON WILL BECOME
LT/VRB AFTER 00Z...BUT TAKE ON A LIGHT SSW COMPONENT LATE. /15/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1029 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

DISCUSSION...
BAND OF CIRRUS WILL SLOWLY MOVE EAST ACROSS THE AREA. WITH
OTHERWISE SUNNY SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS...EXPECT TEMPS TO RISE
AROUND AN ADDITIONAL 10 DEGREES OR SO FROM THE 10 AM READINGS.
NO UPDATE NEEDED. /VII/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  60  37  68  37  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
MLU  58  34  66  36  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEQ  57  30  64  31  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
TXK  57  37  64  35  58 /   0   0   0   0   0
ELD  57  32  65  33  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
TYR  61  39  66  38  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
GGG  60  37  69  37  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
LFK  63  37  70  38  64 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

15






000
FXUS64 KLIX 251721
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1121 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.AVIATION...

MID AND HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE CONTINUE TO STREAM NORTHEASTWARD
ACROSS THE AREA AHEAD OF A TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE GREAT PLAINS.
LOWER LAYERS OF THE ATMOSPHERE ARE EXTREMELY DRY...SO VFR
CONDITIONS WILL BE THE RULE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE MID
AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS SHOULD SHIFT TO THE EAST OF THE AREA
SOMEWHERE BETWEEN 06Z AND 09Z WEDNESDAY WITH LITTLE OR NO
CLOUDINESS EXPECTED UNTIL SOMETIME FRIDAY. 35

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 403 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

DISCUSSION...
A QUIET NIGHT ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA AS CLOUDS AND ELEVATED
WINDS KEPT TEMPERATURES FROM FALLING INTO THE UPPER 30S. MID TO
UPPER 30S WERE NOT THAT FAR AWAY AS THE TEMPERATURE IN NATCHEZ IS
37 AND 35 IN ALEXANDRIA. EVEN WITH THE BUMP UP IN TEMPERATURES
WITH THE LAST PACKAGE I HAD TO BUMP THEM UP EVEN MORE AS CLOUDS
FROM THE FRONT IN THE GULF MOVED OVER THE FORECAST AREA. THIS
FRONT AND ANOTHER SHORTWAVE THAT WILL BE TRAVERSING THE AREA TODAY
INTO WEDNESDAY WILL BE THE MAIN FOCUS IN THE FORECAST. THE
AFOREMENTIONED SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA AND
INTERACT WITH THE FRONT IN THE GULF AND PULL THAT FRONT BACK CLOSE
TO THE FORECAST AREA AT THE SAME TIME DEVELOPING A LOW PRESSURE AT
THE SURFACE. THIS WILL GIVE THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST
AREA A CHANCE FOR A SHOWER TODAY. THIS DEVELOPING LOW WILL GO ON
TO POSSIBLY BECOME A NOR`EASTER FOR NEW ENGLAND ON WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY. AFTER THE SYSTEM KICKS OUT OF THE GULF WE WILL BE LEFT
WITH HIGH PRESSURE WORKS INTO THE AREA FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK.
THIS PATTERN WILL KEEP THE AREA COOLER THAN NORMAL. ONCE THIS
RIDGE SLIDES EAST THIS WEEKEND...SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL RETURN AND
PICK MOISTURE BACK UP OVER THE AREA. COULD SEE A FEW SHOWERS
RETURN LATE IN THE WEEKEND OR EARLY NEXT WEEK. 13/MH

AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL TERMINALS NEXT 24-30 HOURS. WINDS
SHOULD PREVAIL OUT OF THE NORTH WITH SOME GUSTY ENHANCEMENT AT KNEW
FROM THERMAL MIXING PROCESSES THIS MORNING. 24/RR

MARINE...
STRONG NORTH WINDS AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE GULF WILL MAINTAIN
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS TODAY BEFORE SETTLING TO LESSER LEVELS
LATER THIS AFTERNOON. MODELS SHOW ANOTHER RE-ENFORCING SURGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDING SOUTH WEDNESDAY AND REMAINING IN PLACE THROUGH FRIDAY
BEFORE MOVING EAST AND MODERATING. ANOTHER FRONT WILL APPROACH THE WEST
GULF OVER THE WEEKEND BUT WILL LIKELY STALL DUE TO RESISTANCE FROM THE
EAST COAST HIGH.  24/RR

DECISION SUPPORT...
DSS CODE...BLUE.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...SLURRY SUPPORT
             SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
         WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR
         AND/OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL
         SIGNIFICANCE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  58  36  65  40 /  10  10   0   0
BTR  59  37  66  41 /  10   0   0   0
ASD  61  37  65  42 /  10  10   0   0
MSY  60  42  64  47 /  10  10   0   0
GPT  61  39  63  44 /  20  20   0   0
PQL  62  38  63  42 /  30  30   0   0

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO
     STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO
     THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND
     COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM.

MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO
     STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO
     THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND
     COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KLIX 251721
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1121 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.AVIATION...

MID AND HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE CONTINUE TO STREAM NORTHEASTWARD
ACROSS THE AREA AHEAD OF A TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE GREAT PLAINS.
LOWER LAYERS OF THE ATMOSPHERE ARE EXTREMELY DRY...SO VFR
CONDITIONS WILL BE THE RULE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE MID
AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS SHOULD SHIFT TO THE EAST OF THE AREA
SOMEWHERE BETWEEN 06Z AND 09Z WEDNESDAY WITH LITTLE OR NO
CLOUDINESS EXPECTED UNTIL SOMETIME FRIDAY. 35

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 403 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

DISCUSSION...
A QUIET NIGHT ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA AS CLOUDS AND ELEVATED
WINDS KEPT TEMPERATURES FROM FALLING INTO THE UPPER 30S. MID TO
UPPER 30S WERE NOT THAT FAR AWAY AS THE TEMPERATURE IN NATCHEZ IS
37 AND 35 IN ALEXANDRIA. EVEN WITH THE BUMP UP IN TEMPERATURES
WITH THE LAST PACKAGE I HAD TO BUMP THEM UP EVEN MORE AS CLOUDS
FROM THE FRONT IN THE GULF MOVED OVER THE FORECAST AREA. THIS
FRONT AND ANOTHER SHORTWAVE THAT WILL BE TRAVERSING THE AREA TODAY
INTO WEDNESDAY WILL BE THE MAIN FOCUS IN THE FORECAST. THE
AFOREMENTIONED SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA AND
INTERACT WITH THE FRONT IN THE GULF AND PULL THAT FRONT BACK CLOSE
TO THE FORECAST AREA AT THE SAME TIME DEVELOPING A LOW PRESSURE AT
THE SURFACE. THIS WILL GIVE THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST
AREA A CHANCE FOR A SHOWER TODAY. THIS DEVELOPING LOW WILL GO ON
TO POSSIBLY BECOME A NOR`EASTER FOR NEW ENGLAND ON WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY. AFTER THE SYSTEM KICKS OUT OF THE GULF WE WILL BE LEFT
WITH HIGH PRESSURE WORKS INTO THE AREA FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK.
THIS PATTERN WILL KEEP THE AREA COOLER THAN NORMAL. ONCE THIS
RIDGE SLIDES EAST THIS WEEKEND...SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL RETURN AND
PICK MOISTURE BACK UP OVER THE AREA. COULD SEE A FEW SHOWERS
RETURN LATE IN THE WEEKEND OR EARLY NEXT WEEK. 13/MH

AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL TERMINALS NEXT 24-30 HOURS. WINDS
SHOULD PREVAIL OUT OF THE NORTH WITH SOME GUSTY ENHANCEMENT AT KNEW
FROM THERMAL MIXING PROCESSES THIS MORNING. 24/RR

MARINE...
STRONG NORTH WINDS AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE GULF WILL MAINTAIN
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS TODAY BEFORE SETTLING TO LESSER LEVELS
LATER THIS AFTERNOON. MODELS SHOW ANOTHER RE-ENFORCING SURGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDING SOUTH WEDNESDAY AND REMAINING IN PLACE THROUGH FRIDAY
BEFORE MOVING EAST AND MODERATING. ANOTHER FRONT WILL APPROACH THE WEST
GULF OVER THE WEEKEND BUT WILL LIKELY STALL DUE TO RESISTANCE FROM THE
EAST COAST HIGH.  24/RR

DECISION SUPPORT...
DSS CODE...BLUE.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...SLURRY SUPPORT
             SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
         WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR
         AND/OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL
         SIGNIFICANCE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  58  36  65  40 /  10  10   0   0
BTR  59  37  66  41 /  10   0   0   0
ASD  61  37  65  42 /  10  10   0   0
MSY  60  42  64  47 /  10  10   0   0
GPT  61  39  63  44 /  20  20   0   0
PQL  62  38  63  42 /  30  30   0   0

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO
     STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO
     THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND
     COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM.

MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO
     STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO
     THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND
     COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KLIX 251721
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1121 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.AVIATION...

MID AND HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE CONTINUE TO STREAM NORTHEASTWARD
ACROSS THE AREA AHEAD OF A TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE GREAT PLAINS.
LOWER LAYERS OF THE ATMOSPHERE ARE EXTREMELY DRY...SO VFR
CONDITIONS WILL BE THE RULE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE MID
AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS SHOULD SHIFT TO THE EAST OF THE AREA
SOMEWHERE BETWEEN 06Z AND 09Z WEDNESDAY WITH LITTLE OR NO
CLOUDINESS EXPECTED UNTIL SOMETIME FRIDAY. 35

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 403 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

DISCUSSION...
A QUIET NIGHT ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA AS CLOUDS AND ELEVATED
WINDS KEPT TEMPERATURES FROM FALLING INTO THE UPPER 30S. MID TO
UPPER 30S WERE NOT THAT FAR AWAY AS THE TEMPERATURE IN NATCHEZ IS
37 AND 35 IN ALEXANDRIA. EVEN WITH THE BUMP UP IN TEMPERATURES
WITH THE LAST PACKAGE I HAD TO BUMP THEM UP EVEN MORE AS CLOUDS
FROM THE FRONT IN THE GULF MOVED OVER THE FORECAST AREA. THIS
FRONT AND ANOTHER SHORTWAVE THAT WILL BE TRAVERSING THE AREA TODAY
INTO WEDNESDAY WILL BE THE MAIN FOCUS IN THE FORECAST. THE
AFOREMENTIONED SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA AND
INTERACT WITH THE FRONT IN THE GULF AND PULL THAT FRONT BACK CLOSE
TO THE FORECAST AREA AT THE SAME TIME DEVELOPING A LOW PRESSURE AT
THE SURFACE. THIS WILL GIVE THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST
AREA A CHANCE FOR A SHOWER TODAY. THIS DEVELOPING LOW WILL GO ON
TO POSSIBLY BECOME A NOR`EASTER FOR NEW ENGLAND ON WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY. AFTER THE SYSTEM KICKS OUT OF THE GULF WE WILL BE LEFT
WITH HIGH PRESSURE WORKS INTO THE AREA FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK.
THIS PATTERN WILL KEEP THE AREA COOLER THAN NORMAL. ONCE THIS
RIDGE SLIDES EAST THIS WEEKEND...SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL RETURN AND
PICK MOISTURE BACK UP OVER THE AREA. COULD SEE A FEW SHOWERS
RETURN LATE IN THE WEEKEND OR EARLY NEXT WEEK. 13/MH

AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL TERMINALS NEXT 24-30 HOURS. WINDS
SHOULD PREVAIL OUT OF THE NORTH WITH SOME GUSTY ENHANCEMENT AT KNEW
FROM THERMAL MIXING PROCESSES THIS MORNING. 24/RR

MARINE...
STRONG NORTH WINDS AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE GULF WILL MAINTAIN
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS TODAY BEFORE SETTLING TO LESSER LEVELS
LATER THIS AFTERNOON. MODELS SHOW ANOTHER RE-ENFORCING SURGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDING SOUTH WEDNESDAY AND REMAINING IN PLACE THROUGH FRIDAY
BEFORE MOVING EAST AND MODERATING. ANOTHER FRONT WILL APPROACH THE WEST
GULF OVER THE WEEKEND BUT WILL LIKELY STALL DUE TO RESISTANCE FROM THE
EAST COAST HIGH.  24/RR

DECISION SUPPORT...
DSS CODE...BLUE.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...SLURRY SUPPORT
             SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
         WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR
         AND/OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL
         SIGNIFICANCE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  58  36  65  40 /  10  10   0   0
BTR  59  37  66  41 /  10   0   0   0
ASD  61  37  65  42 /  10  10   0   0
MSY  60  42  64  47 /  10  10   0   0
GPT  61  39  63  44 /  20  20   0   0
PQL  62  38  63  42 /  30  30   0   0

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO
     STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO
     THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND
     COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM.

MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO
     STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO
     THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND
     COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KLIX 251721
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1121 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.AVIATION...

MID AND HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE CONTINUE TO STREAM NORTHEASTWARD
ACROSS THE AREA AHEAD OF A TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE GREAT PLAINS.
LOWER LAYERS OF THE ATMOSPHERE ARE EXTREMELY DRY...SO VFR
CONDITIONS WILL BE THE RULE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE MID
AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS SHOULD SHIFT TO THE EAST OF THE AREA
SOMEWHERE BETWEEN 06Z AND 09Z WEDNESDAY WITH LITTLE OR NO
CLOUDINESS EXPECTED UNTIL SOMETIME FRIDAY. 35

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 403 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

DISCUSSION...
A QUIET NIGHT ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA AS CLOUDS AND ELEVATED
WINDS KEPT TEMPERATURES FROM FALLING INTO THE UPPER 30S. MID TO
UPPER 30S WERE NOT THAT FAR AWAY AS THE TEMPERATURE IN NATCHEZ IS
37 AND 35 IN ALEXANDRIA. EVEN WITH THE BUMP UP IN TEMPERATURES
WITH THE LAST PACKAGE I HAD TO BUMP THEM UP EVEN MORE AS CLOUDS
FROM THE FRONT IN THE GULF MOVED OVER THE FORECAST AREA. THIS
FRONT AND ANOTHER SHORTWAVE THAT WILL BE TRAVERSING THE AREA TODAY
INTO WEDNESDAY WILL BE THE MAIN FOCUS IN THE FORECAST. THE
AFOREMENTIONED SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA AND
INTERACT WITH THE FRONT IN THE GULF AND PULL THAT FRONT BACK CLOSE
TO THE FORECAST AREA AT THE SAME TIME DEVELOPING A LOW PRESSURE AT
THE SURFACE. THIS WILL GIVE THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST
AREA A CHANCE FOR A SHOWER TODAY. THIS DEVELOPING LOW WILL GO ON
TO POSSIBLY BECOME A NOR`EASTER FOR NEW ENGLAND ON WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY. AFTER THE SYSTEM KICKS OUT OF THE GULF WE WILL BE LEFT
WITH HIGH PRESSURE WORKS INTO THE AREA FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK.
THIS PATTERN WILL KEEP THE AREA COOLER THAN NORMAL. ONCE THIS
RIDGE SLIDES EAST THIS WEEKEND...SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL RETURN AND
PICK MOISTURE BACK UP OVER THE AREA. COULD SEE A FEW SHOWERS
RETURN LATE IN THE WEEKEND OR EARLY NEXT WEEK. 13/MH

AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL TERMINALS NEXT 24-30 HOURS. WINDS
SHOULD PREVAIL OUT OF THE NORTH WITH SOME GUSTY ENHANCEMENT AT KNEW
FROM THERMAL MIXING PROCESSES THIS MORNING. 24/RR

MARINE...
STRONG NORTH WINDS AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE GULF WILL MAINTAIN
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS TODAY BEFORE SETTLING TO LESSER LEVELS
LATER THIS AFTERNOON. MODELS SHOW ANOTHER RE-ENFORCING SURGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDING SOUTH WEDNESDAY AND REMAINING IN PLACE THROUGH FRIDAY
BEFORE MOVING EAST AND MODERATING. ANOTHER FRONT WILL APPROACH THE WEST
GULF OVER THE WEEKEND BUT WILL LIKELY STALL DUE TO RESISTANCE FROM THE
EAST COAST HIGH.  24/RR

DECISION SUPPORT...
DSS CODE...BLUE.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...SLURRY SUPPORT
             SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
         WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR
         AND/OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL
         SIGNIFICANCE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  58  36  65  40 /  10  10   0   0
BTR  59  37  66  41 /  10   0   0   0
ASD  61  37  65  42 /  10  10   0   0
MSY  60  42  64  47 /  10  10   0   0
GPT  61  39  63  44 /  20  20   0   0
PQL  62  38  63  42 /  30  30   0   0

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO
     STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO
     THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND
     COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM.

MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO
     STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO
     THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND
     COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KLCH 251644
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1044 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.UPDATE...VERY DEEP SOUTHWESTERLY JET ABOVE 15K FEET WITH LIFT
PRODUCING EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER OVER THE AREA AS FAR WEST AS EAST TEXAS.
THAT BEING SAID...EXPECTING THE CLOUD COVER TO SHIFT EAST WITH CLEARING
SKIES FOR ALL EXCEPT SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA. MODEL UPDATES
SUPPORTING LOWER AFTERNOON TEMPS AND WILL FOLLOW SUIT TWEAKING
TEMPS A COUPLE OF DEGREES LOWER FOR ALL EXCEPT INTERIOR SE TX.
ALSO MADE AN EXTENSION OF THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY OFF SHORE WHERE
TIGHT GRADIENT IS PERSISTING.

SWEENEY

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 525 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

AVIATION UPDATE...REGARDING 12Z TAF ISSUE. AN UPPER LEVEL TROF
ADVANCING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL BE PRECEDED BY
CONSIDERABLE HIGH CIRRUS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TODAY. CLEAR
SKIES WILL RETURN LATE WITH PASSAGE OF THIS FEATURE. THUS WITH
ONLY CIRRUS IN PLAY TODAY...VFR ON TAP AT ALL TERMINALS AND
THROUGHOUT THE TAF PACKAGES. OTHERWISE...WINDS WILL REMAIN
NORTHERLY AND GENERALLY LIGHT.

MARCOTTE

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 454 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

DISCUSSION...
A COOL MORNING ACROSS THE NATION WITH 20S IN THE UPPER PLAIN STATES
WITH 30S DOWN INTO OKLAHOMA AND 40S ACROSS TEXAS AND LOUISIANA. OF
COURSE SOUTH FLORIDA IS BASKING IN THE UPPER 70S AHEAD OF THE COLD
FRONT THAT MOVED THROUGH US SEVERAL DAYS AGO BUT THAT TOO WILL END
BY TOMORROW. STLT IS INDICATING SNOW IN THE ROCKIES AND THE DAKOTAS
AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW CONTINUES TO EXIT TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST
ALLOWING FOR THE NEXT SYSTEM TO DROP DOWN INTO THE PLAINS STATES
WITH ANOTHER FRONT THROUGH THE REGION ON LATE WEDNESDAY/ EARLY
THURSDAY. THIS NEXT SYSTEM WILL ONLY REINFORCE THE MILD/COOL WX
THAT IS ALREADY IN PLACE.

TOMORROW AFTERNOON WILL SEE TEMPS BACK INTO THE UPPER 60S. BUT
FRIDAY MORNING WILL START OUT IN THE UPPER 30S. NOT LOOKING FOR
ANY RAIN UNTIL THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AND OF COURSE LOW TO MID
60S FOR SE TX AND SRN LA TODAY.

19

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  59  41  67  43  64 /  10   0   0   0   0
KBPT  61  41  69  44  66 /  10   0   0   0   0
KAEX  58  37  66  39  61 /  10   0   0   0   0
KLFT  58  39  67  42  64 /  10  10   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON
     LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER
     TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION LATE TONIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO
     HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM
     CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH
     ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM...VERMILION BAY.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO
     CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM.

&&

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES

&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KLCH 251644
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1044 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.UPDATE...VERY DEEP SOUTHWESTERLY JET ABOVE 15K FEET WITH LIFT
PRODUCING EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER OVER THE AREA AS FAR WEST AS EAST TEXAS.
THAT BEING SAID...EXPECTING THE CLOUD COVER TO SHIFT EAST WITH CLEARING
SKIES FOR ALL EXCEPT SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA. MODEL UPDATES
SUPPORTING LOWER AFTERNOON TEMPS AND WILL FOLLOW SUIT TWEAKING
TEMPS A COUPLE OF DEGREES LOWER FOR ALL EXCEPT INTERIOR SE TX.
ALSO MADE AN EXTENSION OF THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY OFF SHORE WHERE
TIGHT GRADIENT IS PERSISTING.

SWEENEY

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 525 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

AVIATION UPDATE...REGARDING 12Z TAF ISSUE. AN UPPER LEVEL TROF
ADVANCING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL BE PRECEDED BY
CONSIDERABLE HIGH CIRRUS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TODAY. CLEAR
SKIES WILL RETURN LATE WITH PASSAGE OF THIS FEATURE. THUS WITH
ONLY CIRRUS IN PLAY TODAY...VFR ON TAP AT ALL TERMINALS AND
THROUGHOUT THE TAF PACKAGES. OTHERWISE...WINDS WILL REMAIN
NORTHERLY AND GENERALLY LIGHT.

MARCOTTE

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 454 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

DISCUSSION...
A COOL MORNING ACROSS THE NATION WITH 20S IN THE UPPER PLAIN STATES
WITH 30S DOWN INTO OKLAHOMA AND 40S ACROSS TEXAS AND LOUISIANA. OF
COURSE SOUTH FLORIDA IS BASKING IN THE UPPER 70S AHEAD OF THE COLD
FRONT THAT MOVED THROUGH US SEVERAL DAYS AGO BUT THAT TOO WILL END
BY TOMORROW. STLT IS INDICATING SNOW IN THE ROCKIES AND THE DAKOTAS
AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW CONTINUES TO EXIT TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST
ALLOWING FOR THE NEXT SYSTEM TO DROP DOWN INTO THE PLAINS STATES
WITH ANOTHER FRONT THROUGH THE REGION ON LATE WEDNESDAY/ EARLY
THURSDAY. THIS NEXT SYSTEM WILL ONLY REINFORCE THE MILD/COOL WX
THAT IS ALREADY IN PLACE.

TOMORROW AFTERNOON WILL SEE TEMPS BACK INTO THE UPPER 60S. BUT
FRIDAY MORNING WILL START OUT IN THE UPPER 30S. NOT LOOKING FOR
ANY RAIN UNTIL THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AND OF COURSE LOW TO MID
60S FOR SE TX AND SRN LA TODAY.

19

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  59  41  67  43  64 /  10   0   0   0   0
KBPT  61  41  69  44  66 /  10   0   0   0   0
KAEX  58  37  66  39  61 /  10   0   0   0   0
KLFT  58  39  67  42  64 /  10  10   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON
     LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER
     TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION LATE TONIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO
     HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM
     CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH
     ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM...VERMILION BAY.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO
     CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM.

&&

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES

&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KLCH 251644
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1044 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.UPDATE...VERY DEEP SOUTHWESTERLY JET ABOVE 15K FEET WITH LIFT
PRODUCING EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER OVER THE AREA AS FAR WEST AS EAST TEXAS.
THAT BEING SAID...EXPECTING THE CLOUD COVER TO SHIFT EAST WITH CLEARING
SKIES FOR ALL EXCEPT SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA. MODEL UPDATES
SUPPORTING LOWER AFTERNOON TEMPS AND WILL FOLLOW SUIT TWEAKING
TEMPS A COUPLE OF DEGREES LOWER FOR ALL EXCEPT INTERIOR SE TX.
ALSO MADE AN EXTENSION OF THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY OFF SHORE WHERE
TIGHT GRADIENT IS PERSISTING.

SWEENEY

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 525 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

AVIATION UPDATE...REGARDING 12Z TAF ISSUE. AN UPPER LEVEL TROF
ADVANCING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL BE PRECEDED BY
CONSIDERABLE HIGH CIRRUS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TODAY. CLEAR
SKIES WILL RETURN LATE WITH PASSAGE OF THIS FEATURE. THUS WITH
ONLY CIRRUS IN PLAY TODAY...VFR ON TAP AT ALL TERMINALS AND
THROUGHOUT THE TAF PACKAGES. OTHERWISE...WINDS WILL REMAIN
NORTHERLY AND GENERALLY LIGHT.

MARCOTTE

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 454 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

DISCUSSION...
A COOL MORNING ACROSS THE NATION WITH 20S IN THE UPPER PLAIN STATES
WITH 30S DOWN INTO OKLAHOMA AND 40S ACROSS TEXAS AND LOUISIANA. OF
COURSE SOUTH FLORIDA IS BASKING IN THE UPPER 70S AHEAD OF THE COLD
FRONT THAT MOVED THROUGH US SEVERAL DAYS AGO BUT THAT TOO WILL END
BY TOMORROW. STLT IS INDICATING SNOW IN THE ROCKIES AND THE DAKOTAS
AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW CONTINUES TO EXIT TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST
ALLOWING FOR THE NEXT SYSTEM TO DROP DOWN INTO THE PLAINS STATES
WITH ANOTHER FRONT THROUGH THE REGION ON LATE WEDNESDAY/ EARLY
THURSDAY. THIS NEXT SYSTEM WILL ONLY REINFORCE THE MILD/COOL WX
THAT IS ALREADY IN PLACE.

TOMORROW AFTERNOON WILL SEE TEMPS BACK INTO THE UPPER 60S. BUT
FRIDAY MORNING WILL START OUT IN THE UPPER 30S. NOT LOOKING FOR
ANY RAIN UNTIL THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AND OF COURSE LOW TO MID
60S FOR SE TX AND SRN LA TODAY.

19

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  59  41  67  43  64 /  10   0   0   0   0
KBPT  61  41  69  44  66 /  10   0   0   0   0
KAEX  58  37  66  39  61 /  10   0   0   0   0
KLFT  58  39  67  42  64 /  10  10   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON
     LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER
     TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION LATE TONIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO
     HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM
     CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH
     ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM...VERMILION BAY.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO
     CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM.

&&

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES

&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KLCH 251644
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1044 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.UPDATE...VERY DEEP SOUTHWESTERLY JET ABOVE 15K FEET WITH LIFT
PRODUCING EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER OVER THE AREA AS FAR WEST AS EAST TEXAS.
THAT BEING SAID...EXPECTING THE CLOUD COVER TO SHIFT EAST WITH CLEARING
SKIES FOR ALL EXCEPT SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA. MODEL UPDATES
SUPPORTING LOWER AFTERNOON TEMPS AND WILL FOLLOW SUIT TWEAKING
TEMPS A COUPLE OF DEGREES LOWER FOR ALL EXCEPT INTERIOR SE TX.
ALSO MADE AN EXTENSION OF THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY OFF SHORE WHERE
TIGHT GRADIENT IS PERSISTING.

SWEENEY

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 525 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

AVIATION UPDATE...REGARDING 12Z TAF ISSUE. AN UPPER LEVEL TROF
ADVANCING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL BE PRECEDED BY
CONSIDERABLE HIGH CIRRUS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TODAY. CLEAR
SKIES WILL RETURN LATE WITH PASSAGE OF THIS FEATURE. THUS WITH
ONLY CIRRUS IN PLAY TODAY...VFR ON TAP AT ALL TERMINALS AND
THROUGHOUT THE TAF PACKAGES. OTHERWISE...WINDS WILL REMAIN
NORTHERLY AND GENERALLY LIGHT.

MARCOTTE

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 454 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

DISCUSSION...
A COOL MORNING ACROSS THE NATION WITH 20S IN THE UPPER PLAIN STATES
WITH 30S DOWN INTO OKLAHOMA AND 40S ACROSS TEXAS AND LOUISIANA. OF
COURSE SOUTH FLORIDA IS BASKING IN THE UPPER 70S AHEAD OF THE COLD
FRONT THAT MOVED THROUGH US SEVERAL DAYS AGO BUT THAT TOO WILL END
BY TOMORROW. STLT IS INDICATING SNOW IN THE ROCKIES AND THE DAKOTAS
AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW CONTINUES TO EXIT TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST
ALLOWING FOR THE NEXT SYSTEM TO DROP DOWN INTO THE PLAINS STATES
WITH ANOTHER FRONT THROUGH THE REGION ON LATE WEDNESDAY/ EARLY
THURSDAY. THIS NEXT SYSTEM WILL ONLY REINFORCE THE MILD/COOL WX
THAT IS ALREADY IN PLACE.

TOMORROW AFTERNOON WILL SEE TEMPS BACK INTO THE UPPER 60S. BUT
FRIDAY MORNING WILL START OUT IN THE UPPER 30S. NOT LOOKING FOR
ANY RAIN UNTIL THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AND OF COURSE LOW TO MID
60S FOR SE TX AND SRN LA TODAY.

19

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  59  41  67  43  64 /  10   0   0   0   0
KBPT  61  41  69  44  66 /  10   0   0   0   0
KAEX  58  37  66  39  61 /  10   0   0   0   0
KLFT  58  39  67  42  64 /  10  10   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON
     LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER
     TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION LATE TONIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO
     HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM
     CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH
     ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM...VERMILION BAY.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO
     CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM.

&&

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES

&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KLCH 251644
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1044 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.UPDATE...VERY DEEP SOUTHWESTERLY JET ABOVE 15K FEET WITH LIFT
PRODUCING EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER OVER THE AREA AS FAR WEST AS EAST TEXAS.
THAT BEING SAID...EXPECTING THE CLOUD COVER TO SHIFT EAST WITH CLEARING
SKIES FOR ALL EXCEPT SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA. MODEL UPDATES
SUPPORTING LOWER AFTERNOON TEMPS AND WILL FOLLOW SUIT TWEAKING
TEMPS A COUPLE OF DEGREES LOWER FOR ALL EXCEPT INTERIOR SE TX.
ALSO MADE AN EXTENSION OF THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY OFF SHORE WHERE
TIGHT GRADIENT IS PERSISTING.

SWEENEY

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 525 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

AVIATION UPDATE...REGARDING 12Z TAF ISSUE. AN UPPER LEVEL TROF
ADVANCING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL BE PRECEDED BY
CONSIDERABLE HIGH CIRRUS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TODAY. CLEAR
SKIES WILL RETURN LATE WITH PASSAGE OF THIS FEATURE. THUS WITH
ONLY CIRRUS IN PLAY TODAY...VFR ON TAP AT ALL TERMINALS AND
THROUGHOUT THE TAF PACKAGES. OTHERWISE...WINDS WILL REMAIN
NORTHERLY AND GENERALLY LIGHT.

MARCOTTE

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 454 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

DISCUSSION...
A COOL MORNING ACROSS THE NATION WITH 20S IN THE UPPER PLAIN STATES
WITH 30S DOWN INTO OKLAHOMA AND 40S ACROSS TEXAS AND LOUISIANA. OF
COURSE SOUTH FLORIDA IS BASKING IN THE UPPER 70S AHEAD OF THE COLD
FRONT THAT MOVED THROUGH US SEVERAL DAYS AGO BUT THAT TOO WILL END
BY TOMORROW. STLT IS INDICATING SNOW IN THE ROCKIES AND THE DAKOTAS
AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW CONTINUES TO EXIT TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST
ALLOWING FOR THE NEXT SYSTEM TO DROP DOWN INTO THE PLAINS STATES
WITH ANOTHER FRONT THROUGH THE REGION ON LATE WEDNESDAY/ EARLY
THURSDAY. THIS NEXT SYSTEM WILL ONLY REINFORCE THE MILD/COOL WX
THAT IS ALREADY IN PLACE.

TOMORROW AFTERNOON WILL SEE TEMPS BACK INTO THE UPPER 60S. BUT
FRIDAY MORNING WILL START OUT IN THE UPPER 30S. NOT LOOKING FOR
ANY RAIN UNTIL THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AND OF COURSE LOW TO MID
60S FOR SE TX AND SRN LA TODAY.

19

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  59  41  67  43  64 /  10   0   0   0   0
KBPT  61  41  69  44  66 /  10   0   0   0   0
KAEX  58  37  66  39  61 /  10   0   0   0   0
KLFT  58  39  67  42  64 /  10  10   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON
     LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER
     TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION LATE TONIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO
     HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM
     CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH
     ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM...VERMILION BAY.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO
     CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM.

&&

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES

&&

$$







000
FXUS64 KLCH 251644
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1044 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.UPDATE...VERY DEEP SOUTHWESTERLY JET ABOVE 15K FEET WITH LIFT
PRODUCING EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER OVER THE AREA AS FAR WEST AS EAST TEXAS.
THAT BEING SAID...EXPECTING THE CLOUD COVER TO SHIFT EAST WITH CLEARING
SKIES FOR ALL EXCEPT SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA. MODEL UPDATES
SUPPORTING LOWER AFTERNOON TEMPS AND WILL FOLLOW SUIT TWEAKING
TEMPS A COUPLE OF DEGREES LOWER FOR ALL EXCEPT INTERIOR SE TX.
ALSO MADE AN EXTENSION OF THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY OFF SHORE WHERE
TIGHT GRADIENT IS PERSISTING.

SWEENEY

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 525 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

AVIATION UPDATE...REGARDING 12Z TAF ISSUE. AN UPPER LEVEL TROF
ADVANCING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL BE PRECEDED BY
CONSIDERABLE HIGH CIRRUS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TODAY. CLEAR
SKIES WILL RETURN LATE WITH PASSAGE OF THIS FEATURE. THUS WITH
ONLY CIRRUS IN PLAY TODAY...VFR ON TAP AT ALL TERMINALS AND
THROUGHOUT THE TAF PACKAGES. OTHERWISE...WINDS WILL REMAIN
NORTHERLY AND GENERALLY LIGHT.

MARCOTTE

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 454 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

DISCUSSION...
A COOL MORNING ACROSS THE NATION WITH 20S IN THE UPPER PLAIN STATES
WITH 30S DOWN INTO OKLAHOMA AND 40S ACROSS TEXAS AND LOUISIANA. OF
COURSE SOUTH FLORIDA IS BASKING IN THE UPPER 70S AHEAD OF THE COLD
FRONT THAT MOVED THROUGH US SEVERAL DAYS AGO BUT THAT TOO WILL END
BY TOMORROW. STLT IS INDICATING SNOW IN THE ROCKIES AND THE DAKOTAS
AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW CONTINUES TO EXIT TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST
ALLOWING FOR THE NEXT SYSTEM TO DROP DOWN INTO THE PLAINS STATES
WITH ANOTHER FRONT THROUGH THE REGION ON LATE WEDNESDAY/ EARLY
THURSDAY. THIS NEXT SYSTEM WILL ONLY REINFORCE THE MILD/COOL WX
THAT IS ALREADY IN PLACE.

TOMORROW AFTERNOON WILL SEE TEMPS BACK INTO THE UPPER 60S. BUT
FRIDAY MORNING WILL START OUT IN THE UPPER 30S. NOT LOOKING FOR
ANY RAIN UNTIL THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AND OF COURSE LOW TO MID
60S FOR SE TX AND SRN LA TODAY.

19

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  59  41  67  43  64 /  10   0   0   0   0
KBPT  61  41  69  44  66 /  10   0   0   0   0
KAEX  58  37  66  39  61 /  10   0   0   0   0
KLFT  58  39  67  42  64 /  10  10   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON
     LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER
     TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION LATE TONIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO
     HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM
     CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH
     ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM...VERMILION BAY.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO
     CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM.

&&

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES

&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KSHV 251629
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1029 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.DISCUSSION...
BAND OF CIRRUS WILL SLOWLY MOVE EAST ACROSS THE AREA. WITH
OTHERWISE SUNNY SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS...EXPECT TEMPS TO RISE
AROUND AN ADDITIONAL 10 DEGREES OR SO FROM THE 10 AM READINGS.
NO UPDATE NEEDED./VII/.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 544 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

AVIATION...
NO AVIATION CONCERNS WITH VFR FLIGHT WEATHER CONTINUING THROUGHOUT
THE TERMINAL FORECAST PERIOD ENDING AT 26/12Z.  /14/

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 416 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

DISCUSSION...
BENIGN WEATHER PATTERN TO CONTINUE THROUGH THIS WEEK DESPITE AN
UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE SHIFTING ACROSS THE REGION LATER TODAY...
WHICH WILL OFFER NO MORE THAN AN INCREASE IN MID AND HIGH CLOUDS.
AFTER THIS DISTURBANCE EXITS...A SECOND AND STRONGER SHORT WAVE
WILL QUICKLY DROP SOUTH FROM CANADA ON WEDNESDAY BUT REMAIN JUST
NORTH OF OUR REGION AS IT PASSES EAST ACROSS THE TN/OH VALLEYS.
HOWEVER...THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH OUR AREA
LATE WEDNESDAY INTO EARLY THURSDAY AND REINFORCE THE RELATIVELY
COOL AND DRY AIR IN PLACE...KNOCKING BACK TEMPERATURES SOME 8-10
DEGREES FOR HIGHS ON THURSDAY COMPARED TO WEDNESDAY WHEN WE WILL
SEE 60S AREA WIDE AND POSSIBLY A FEW LOWER 70S AHEAD OF THE FRONT.
NEVERTHELESS...THANKSGIVING DAY LOOKS TO BE QUITE NICE AND VERY
SEASONAL IF NOT JUST A FEW DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE.

THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN WILL BECOME MORE ZONAL BY WEEKS END WITH
SOUTH WINDS RETURNING ON FRIDAY. THIS WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO
CLIMB COMFORTABLY INTO THE 70S FOR HIGHS OVER THE WEEKEND. SHWRS
MAY ALSO RETURN BUT CONFIDENCE IS STILL QUITE LOW WITH JUST WEAK
ISENTROPIC LIFT BEGINNING BY LATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. THE NEXT
FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STALL NORTH OF THE REGION BY EARLY NEXT WEEK
AND MAY ALLOW FOR THE EXTENDED PERIOD TO REMAIN A BIT UNSETTLED.
/19/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  60  37  68  37  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
MLU  58  34  66  36  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEQ  57  30  64  31  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
TXK  57  37  64  35  58 /   0   0   0   0   0
ELD  57  32  65  33  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
TYR  61  39  66  38  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
GGG  60  37  69  37  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
LFK  63  37  70  38  64 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$







000
FXUS64 KSHV 251629
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1029 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.DISCUSSION...
BAND OF CIRRUS WILL SLOWLY MOVE EAST ACROSS THE AREA. WITH
OTHERWISE SUNNY SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS...EXPECT TEMPS TO RISE
AROUND AN ADDITIONAL 10 DEGREES OR SO FROM THE 10 AM READINGS.
NO UPDATE NEEDED./VII/.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 544 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

AVIATION...
NO AVIATION CONCERNS WITH VFR FLIGHT WEATHER CONTINUING THROUGHOUT
THE TERMINAL FORECAST PERIOD ENDING AT 26/12Z.  /14/

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 416 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

DISCUSSION...
BENIGN WEATHER PATTERN TO CONTINUE THROUGH THIS WEEK DESPITE AN
UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE SHIFTING ACROSS THE REGION LATER TODAY...
WHICH WILL OFFER NO MORE THAN AN INCREASE IN MID AND HIGH CLOUDS.
AFTER THIS DISTURBANCE EXITS...A SECOND AND STRONGER SHORT WAVE
WILL QUICKLY DROP SOUTH FROM CANADA ON WEDNESDAY BUT REMAIN JUST
NORTH OF OUR REGION AS IT PASSES EAST ACROSS THE TN/OH VALLEYS.
HOWEVER...THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH OUR AREA
LATE WEDNESDAY INTO EARLY THURSDAY AND REINFORCE THE RELATIVELY
COOL AND DRY AIR IN PLACE...KNOCKING BACK TEMPERATURES SOME 8-10
DEGREES FOR HIGHS ON THURSDAY COMPARED TO WEDNESDAY WHEN WE WILL
SEE 60S AREA WIDE AND POSSIBLY A FEW LOWER 70S AHEAD OF THE FRONT.
NEVERTHELESS...THANKSGIVING DAY LOOKS TO BE QUITE NICE AND VERY
SEASONAL IF NOT JUST A FEW DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE.

THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN WILL BECOME MORE ZONAL BY WEEKS END WITH
SOUTH WINDS RETURNING ON FRIDAY. THIS WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO
CLIMB COMFORTABLY INTO THE 70S FOR HIGHS OVER THE WEEKEND. SHWRS
MAY ALSO RETURN BUT CONFIDENCE IS STILL QUITE LOW WITH JUST WEAK
ISENTROPIC LIFT BEGINNING BY LATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. THE NEXT
FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STALL NORTH OF THE REGION BY EARLY NEXT WEEK
AND MAY ALLOW FOR THE EXTENDED PERIOD TO REMAIN A BIT UNSETTLED.
/19/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  60  37  68  37  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
MLU  58  34  66  36  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEQ  57  30  64  31  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
TXK  57  37  64  35  58 /   0   0   0   0   0
ELD  57  32  65  33  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
TYR  61  39  66  38  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
GGG  60  37  69  37  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
LFK  63  37  70  38  64 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KSHV 251144
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
544 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.AVIATION...
NO AVIATION CONCERNS WITH VFR FLIGHT WEATHER CONTINUING THROUGHOUT
THE TERMINAL FORECAST PERIOD ENDING AT 26/12Z.  /14/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 416 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

DISCUSSION...
BENIGN WEATHER PATTERN TO CONTINUE THROUGH THIS WEEK DESPITE AN
UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE SHIFTING ACROSS THE REGION LATER TODAY...
WHICH WILL OFFER NO MORE THAN AN INCREASE IN MID AND HIGH CLOUDS.
AFTER THIS DISTURBANCE EXITS...A SECOND AND STRONGER SHORT WAVE
WILL QUICKLY DROP SOUTH FROM CANADA ON WEDNESDAY BUT REMAIN JUST
NORTH OF OUR REGION AS IT PASSES EAST ACROSS THE TN/OH VALLEYS.
HOWEVER...THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH OUR AREA
LATE WEDNESDAY INTO EARLY THURSDAY AND REINFORCE THE RELATIVELY
COOL AND DRY AIR IN PLACE...KNOCKING BACK TEMPERATURES SOME 8-10
DEGREES FOR HIGHS ON THURSDAY COMPARED TO WEDNESDAY WHEN WE WILL
SEE 60S AREA WIDE AND POSSIBLY A FEW LOWER 70S AHEAD OF THE FRONT.
NEVERTHELESS...THANKSGIVING DAY LOOKS TO BE QUITE NICE AND VERY
SEASONAL IF NOT JUST A FEW DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE.

THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN WILL BECOME MORE ZONAL BY WEEKS END WITH
SOUTH WINDS RETURNING ON FRIDAY. THIS WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO
CLIMB COMFORTABLY INTO THE 70S FOR HIGHS OVER THE WEEKEND. SHWRS
MAY ALSO RETURN BUT CONFIDENCE IS STILL QUITE LOW WITH JUST WEAK
ISENTROPIC LIFT BEGINNING BY LATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. THE NEXT
FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STALL NORTH OF THE REGION BY EARLY NEXT WEEK
AND MAY ALLOW FOR THE EXTENDED PERIOD TO REMAIN A BIT UNSETTLED.
/19/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  60  37  68  37  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
MLU  58  34  66  36  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEQ  57  30  64  31  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
TXK  57  37  64  35  58 /   0   0   0   0   0
ELD  57  32  65  33  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
TYR  61  39  66  38  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
GGG  60  37  69  37  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
LFK  63  37  70  38  64 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$







000
FXUS64 KSHV 251144
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
544 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.AVIATION...
NO AVIATION CONCERNS WITH VFR FLIGHT WEATHER CONTINUING THROUGHOUT
THE TERMINAL FORECAST PERIOD ENDING AT 26/12Z.  /14/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 416 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

DISCUSSION...
BENIGN WEATHER PATTERN TO CONTINUE THROUGH THIS WEEK DESPITE AN
UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE SHIFTING ACROSS THE REGION LATER TODAY...
WHICH WILL OFFER NO MORE THAN AN INCREASE IN MID AND HIGH CLOUDS.
AFTER THIS DISTURBANCE EXITS...A SECOND AND STRONGER SHORT WAVE
WILL QUICKLY DROP SOUTH FROM CANADA ON WEDNESDAY BUT REMAIN JUST
NORTH OF OUR REGION AS IT PASSES EAST ACROSS THE TN/OH VALLEYS.
HOWEVER...THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH OUR AREA
LATE WEDNESDAY INTO EARLY THURSDAY AND REINFORCE THE RELATIVELY
COOL AND DRY AIR IN PLACE...KNOCKING BACK TEMPERATURES SOME 8-10
DEGREES FOR HIGHS ON THURSDAY COMPARED TO WEDNESDAY WHEN WE WILL
SEE 60S AREA WIDE AND POSSIBLY A FEW LOWER 70S AHEAD OF THE FRONT.
NEVERTHELESS...THANKSGIVING DAY LOOKS TO BE QUITE NICE AND VERY
SEASONAL IF NOT JUST A FEW DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE.

THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN WILL BECOME MORE ZONAL BY WEEKS END WITH
SOUTH WINDS RETURNING ON FRIDAY. THIS WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO
CLIMB COMFORTABLY INTO THE 70S FOR HIGHS OVER THE WEEKEND. SHWRS
MAY ALSO RETURN BUT CONFIDENCE IS STILL QUITE LOW WITH JUST WEAK
ISENTROPIC LIFT BEGINNING BY LATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. THE NEXT
FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STALL NORTH OF THE REGION BY EARLY NEXT WEEK
AND MAY ALLOW FOR THE EXTENDED PERIOD TO REMAIN A BIT UNSETTLED.
/19/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  60  37  68  37  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
MLU  58  34  66  36  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEQ  57  30  64  31  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
TXK  57  37  64  35  58 /   0   0   0   0   0
ELD  57  32  65  33  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
TYR  61  39  66  38  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
GGG  60  37  69  37  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
LFK  63  37  70  38  64 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KLCH 251125
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
525 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.AVIATION UPDATE...REGARDING 12Z TAF ISSUE. AN UPPER LEVEL TROF
ADVANCING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL BE PRECEDED BY
CONSIDERABLE HIGH CIRRUS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TODAY. CLEAR
SKIES WILL RETURN LATE WITH PASSAGE OF THIS FEATURE. THUS WITH
ONLY CIRRUS IN PLAY TODAY...VFR ON TAP AT ALL TERMINALS AND
THROUGHOUT THE TAF PACKAGES. OTHERWISE...WINDS WILL REMAIN
NORTHERLY AND GENERALLY LIGHT.

&&

MARCOTTE


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 454 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

DISCUSSION...
A COOL MORNING ACROSS THE NATION WITH 20S IN THE UPPER PLAIN STATES
WITH 30S DOWN INTO OKLAHOMA AND 40S ACROSS TEXAS AND LOUISIANA. OF
COURSE SOUTH FLORIDA IS BASKING IN THE UPPER 70S AHEAD OF THE COLD
FRONT THAT MOVED THROUGH US SEVERAL DAYS AGO BUT THAT TOO WILL END
BY TOMORROW. STLT IS INDICATING SNOW IN THE ROCKIES AND THE DAKOTAS
AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW CONTINUES TO EXIT TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST
ALLOWING FOR THE NEXT SYSTEM TO DROP DOWN INTO THE PLAINS STATES
WITH ANOTHER FRONT THROUGH THE REGION ON LATE WEDNESDAY/ EARLY
THURSDAY. THIS NEXT SYSTEM WILL ONLY REINFORCE THE MILD/COOL WX
THAT IS ALREADY IN PLACE.

TOMORROW AFTERNOON WILL SEE TEMPS BACK INTO THE UPPER 60S. BUT
FRIDAY MORNING WILL START OUT IN THE UPPER 30S. NOT LOOKING FOR
ANY RAIN UNTIL THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AND OF COURSE LOW TO MID
60S FOR SE TX AND SRN LA TODAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  61  41  67  43  64 /  10   0   0   0   0
KBPT  63  41  69  44  66 /  10   0   0   0   0
KAEX  59  37  66  39  61 /  10   0   0   0   0
KLFT  60  39  67  42  64 /  10  10   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL
     CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL
     CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON
     LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION FROM NOON CST TODAY THROUGH THIS
     AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM
     LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM...
     WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60
     NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO
     CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH
     ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$







000
FXUS64 KLCH 251125
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
525 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.AVIATION UPDATE...REGARDING 12Z TAF ISSUE. AN UPPER LEVEL TROF
ADVANCING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL BE PRECEDED BY
CONSIDERABLE HIGH CIRRUS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TODAY. CLEAR
SKIES WILL RETURN LATE WITH PASSAGE OF THIS FEATURE. THUS WITH
ONLY CIRRUS IN PLAY TODAY...VFR ON TAP AT ALL TERMINALS AND
THROUGHOUT THE TAF PACKAGES. OTHERWISE...WINDS WILL REMAIN
NORTHERLY AND GENERALLY LIGHT.

&&

MARCOTTE


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 454 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

DISCUSSION...
A COOL MORNING ACROSS THE NATION WITH 20S IN THE UPPER PLAIN STATES
WITH 30S DOWN INTO OKLAHOMA AND 40S ACROSS TEXAS AND LOUISIANA. OF
COURSE SOUTH FLORIDA IS BASKING IN THE UPPER 70S AHEAD OF THE COLD
FRONT THAT MOVED THROUGH US SEVERAL DAYS AGO BUT THAT TOO WILL END
BY TOMORROW. STLT IS INDICATING SNOW IN THE ROCKIES AND THE DAKOTAS
AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW CONTINUES TO EXIT TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST
ALLOWING FOR THE NEXT SYSTEM TO DROP DOWN INTO THE PLAINS STATES
WITH ANOTHER FRONT THROUGH THE REGION ON LATE WEDNESDAY/ EARLY
THURSDAY. THIS NEXT SYSTEM WILL ONLY REINFORCE THE MILD/COOL WX
THAT IS ALREADY IN PLACE.

TOMORROW AFTERNOON WILL SEE TEMPS BACK INTO THE UPPER 60S. BUT
FRIDAY MORNING WILL START OUT IN THE UPPER 30S. NOT LOOKING FOR
ANY RAIN UNTIL THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AND OF COURSE LOW TO MID
60S FOR SE TX AND SRN LA TODAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  61  41  67  43  64 /  10   0   0   0   0
KBPT  63  41  69  44  66 /  10   0   0   0   0
KAEX  59  37  66  39  61 /  10   0   0   0   0
KLFT  60  39  67  42  64 /  10  10   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL
     CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL
     CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON
     LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION FROM NOON CST TODAY THROUGH THIS
     AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM
     LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM...
     WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60
     NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO
     CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH
     ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KLCH 251054
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
454 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.DISCUSSION...
A COOL MORNING ACROSS THE NATION WITH 20S IN THE UPPER PLAIN STATES
WITH 30S DOWN INTO OKLAHOMA AND 40S ACROSS TEXAS AND LOUISIANA. OF
COURSE SOUTH FLORIDA IS BASKING IN THE UPPER 70S AHEAD OF THE COLD
FRONT THAT MOVED THROUGH US SEVERAL DAYS AGO BUT THAT TOO WILL END
BY TOMORROW. STLT IS INDICATING SNOW IN THE ROCKIES AND THE DAKOTAS
AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW CONTINUES TO EXIT TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST
ALLOWING FOR THE NEXT SYSTEM TO DROP DOWN INTO THE PLAINS STATES
WITH ANOTHER FRONT THROUGH THE REGION ON LATE WEDNESDAY/ EARLY
THURSDAY. THIS NEXT SYSTEM WILL ONLY REINFORCE THE MILD/COOL WX
THAT IS ALREADY IN PLACE.

TOMORROW AFTERNOON WILL SEE TEMPS BACK INTO THE UPPER 60S. BUT
FRIDAY MORNING WILL START OUT IN THE UPPER 30S. NOT LOOKING FOR
ANY RAIN UNTIL THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AND OF COURSE LOW TO MID
60S FOR SE TX AND SRN LA TODAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  61  41  67  43  64 /  10   0   0   0   0
KBPT  63  41  69  44  66 /  10   0   0   0   0
KAEX  59  37  66  39  61 /  10   0   0   0   0
KLFT  60  39  67  42  64 /  10  10   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL
     CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL
     CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON
     LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION FROM NOON CST TODAY THROUGH THIS
     AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM
     LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM...
     WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60
     NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO
     CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH
     ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM.

&&

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES

&&

$$

K. KUYPER







000
FXUS64 KLCH 251054
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
454 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.DISCUSSION...
A COOL MORNING ACROSS THE NATION WITH 20S IN THE UPPER PLAIN STATES
WITH 30S DOWN INTO OKLAHOMA AND 40S ACROSS TEXAS AND LOUISIANA. OF
COURSE SOUTH FLORIDA IS BASKING IN THE UPPER 70S AHEAD OF THE COLD
FRONT THAT MOVED THROUGH US SEVERAL DAYS AGO BUT THAT TOO WILL END
BY TOMORROW. STLT IS INDICATING SNOW IN THE ROCKIES AND THE DAKOTAS
AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW CONTINUES TO EXIT TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST
ALLOWING FOR THE NEXT SYSTEM TO DROP DOWN INTO THE PLAINS STATES
WITH ANOTHER FRONT THROUGH THE REGION ON LATE WEDNESDAY/ EARLY
THURSDAY. THIS NEXT SYSTEM WILL ONLY REINFORCE THE MILD/COOL WX
THAT IS ALREADY IN PLACE.

TOMORROW AFTERNOON WILL SEE TEMPS BACK INTO THE UPPER 60S. BUT
FRIDAY MORNING WILL START OUT IN THE UPPER 30S. NOT LOOKING FOR
ANY RAIN UNTIL THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AND OF COURSE LOW TO MID
60S FOR SE TX AND SRN LA TODAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  61  41  67  43  64 /  10   0   0   0   0
KBPT  63  41  69  44  66 /  10   0   0   0   0
KAEX  59  37  66  39  61 /  10   0   0   0   0
KLFT  60  39  67  42  64 /  10  10   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL
     CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL
     CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON
     LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION FROM NOON CST TODAY THROUGH THIS
     AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM
     LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM...
     WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60
     NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO
     CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH
     ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM.

&&

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES

&&

$$

K. KUYPER







000
FXUS64 KLCH 251054
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
454 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.DISCUSSION...
A COOL MORNING ACROSS THE NATION WITH 20S IN THE UPPER PLAIN STATES
WITH 30S DOWN INTO OKLAHOMA AND 40S ACROSS TEXAS AND LOUISIANA. OF
COURSE SOUTH FLORIDA IS BASKING IN THE UPPER 70S AHEAD OF THE COLD
FRONT THAT MOVED THROUGH US SEVERAL DAYS AGO BUT THAT TOO WILL END
BY TOMORROW. STLT IS INDICATING SNOW IN THE ROCKIES AND THE DAKOTAS
AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW CONTINUES TO EXIT TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST
ALLOWING FOR THE NEXT SYSTEM TO DROP DOWN INTO THE PLAINS STATES
WITH ANOTHER FRONT THROUGH THE REGION ON LATE WEDNESDAY/ EARLY
THURSDAY. THIS NEXT SYSTEM WILL ONLY REINFORCE THE MILD/COOL WX
THAT IS ALREADY IN PLACE.

TOMORROW AFTERNOON WILL SEE TEMPS BACK INTO THE UPPER 60S. BUT
FRIDAY MORNING WILL START OUT IN THE UPPER 30S. NOT LOOKING FOR
ANY RAIN UNTIL THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AND OF COURSE LOW TO MID
60S FOR SE TX AND SRN LA TODAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  61  41  67  43  64 /  10   0   0   0   0
KBPT  63  41  69  44  66 /  10   0   0   0   0
KAEX  59  37  66  39  61 /  10   0   0   0   0
KLFT  60  39  67  42  64 /  10  10   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL
     CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL
     CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON
     LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION FROM NOON CST TODAY THROUGH THIS
     AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM
     LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM...
     WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60
     NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO
     CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH
     ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM.

&&

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES

&&

$$

K. KUYPER







000
FXUS64 KLCH 251054
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
454 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.DISCUSSION...
A COOL MORNING ACROSS THE NATION WITH 20S IN THE UPPER PLAIN STATES
WITH 30S DOWN INTO OKLAHOMA AND 40S ACROSS TEXAS AND LOUISIANA. OF
COURSE SOUTH FLORIDA IS BASKING IN THE UPPER 70S AHEAD OF THE COLD
FRONT THAT MOVED THROUGH US SEVERAL DAYS AGO BUT THAT TOO WILL END
BY TOMORROW. STLT IS INDICATING SNOW IN THE ROCKIES AND THE DAKOTAS
AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW CONTINUES TO EXIT TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST
ALLOWING FOR THE NEXT SYSTEM TO DROP DOWN INTO THE PLAINS STATES
WITH ANOTHER FRONT THROUGH THE REGION ON LATE WEDNESDAY/ EARLY
THURSDAY. THIS NEXT SYSTEM WILL ONLY REINFORCE THE MILD/COOL WX
THAT IS ALREADY IN PLACE.

TOMORROW AFTERNOON WILL SEE TEMPS BACK INTO THE UPPER 60S. BUT
FRIDAY MORNING WILL START OUT IN THE UPPER 30S. NOT LOOKING FOR
ANY RAIN UNTIL THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AND OF COURSE LOW TO MID
60S FOR SE TX AND SRN LA TODAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  61  41  67  43  64 /  10   0   0   0   0
KBPT  63  41  69  44  66 /  10   0   0   0   0
KAEX  59  37  66  39  61 /  10   0   0   0   0
KLFT  60  39  67  42  64 /  10  10   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL
     CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL
     CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON
     LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION FROM NOON CST TODAY THROUGH THIS
     AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM
     LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM...
     WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60
     NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO
     CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH
     ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM.

&&

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES

&&

$$

K. KUYPER







000
FXUS64 KLCH 251054
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
454 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.DISCUSSION...
A COOL MORNING ACROSS THE NATION WITH 20S IN THE UPPER PLAIN STATES
WITH 30S DOWN INTO OKLAHOMA AND 40S ACROSS TEXAS AND LOUISIANA. OF
COURSE SOUTH FLORIDA IS BASKING IN THE UPPER 70S AHEAD OF THE COLD
FRONT THAT MOVED THROUGH US SEVERAL DAYS AGO BUT THAT TOO WILL END
BY TOMORROW. STLT IS INDICATING SNOW IN THE ROCKIES AND THE DAKOTAS
AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW CONTINUES TO EXIT TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST
ALLOWING FOR THE NEXT SYSTEM TO DROP DOWN INTO THE PLAINS STATES
WITH ANOTHER FRONT THROUGH THE REGION ON LATE WEDNESDAY/ EARLY
THURSDAY. THIS NEXT SYSTEM WILL ONLY REINFORCE THE MILD/COOL WX
THAT IS ALREADY IN PLACE.

TOMORROW AFTERNOON WILL SEE TEMPS BACK INTO THE UPPER 60S. BUT
FRIDAY MORNING WILL START OUT IN THE UPPER 30S. NOT LOOKING FOR
ANY RAIN UNTIL THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AND OF COURSE LOW TO MID
60S FOR SE TX AND SRN LA TODAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  61  41  67  43  64 /  10   0   0   0   0
KBPT  63  41  69  44  66 /  10   0   0   0   0
KAEX  59  37  66  39  61 /  10   0   0   0   0
KLFT  60  39  67  42  64 /  10  10   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL
     CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL
     CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON
     LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION FROM NOON CST TODAY THROUGH THIS
     AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM
     LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM...
     WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60
     NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO
     CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH
     ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM.

&&

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES

&&

$$

K. KUYPER






000
FXUS64 KLCH 251054
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
454 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.DISCUSSION...
A COOL MORNING ACROSS THE NATION WITH 20S IN THE UPPER PLAIN STATES
WITH 30S DOWN INTO OKLAHOMA AND 40S ACROSS TEXAS AND LOUISIANA. OF
COURSE SOUTH FLORIDA IS BASKING IN THE UPPER 70S AHEAD OF THE COLD
FRONT THAT MOVED THROUGH US SEVERAL DAYS AGO BUT THAT TOO WILL END
BY TOMORROW. STLT IS INDICATING SNOW IN THE ROCKIES AND THE DAKOTAS
AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW CONTINUES TO EXIT TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST
ALLOWING FOR THE NEXT SYSTEM TO DROP DOWN INTO THE PLAINS STATES
WITH ANOTHER FRONT THROUGH THE REGION ON LATE WEDNESDAY/ EARLY
THURSDAY. THIS NEXT SYSTEM WILL ONLY REINFORCE THE MILD/COOL WX
THAT IS ALREADY IN PLACE.

TOMORROW AFTERNOON WILL SEE TEMPS BACK INTO THE UPPER 60S. BUT
FRIDAY MORNING WILL START OUT IN THE UPPER 30S. NOT LOOKING FOR
ANY RAIN UNTIL THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AND OF COURSE LOW TO MID
60S FOR SE TX AND SRN LA TODAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  61  41  67  43  64 /  10   0   0   0   0
KBPT  63  41  69  44  66 /  10   0   0   0   0
KAEX  59  37  66  39  61 /  10   0   0   0   0
KLFT  60  39  67  42  64 /  10  10   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL
     CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL
     CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON
     LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION FROM NOON CST TODAY THROUGH THIS
     AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM
     LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM...
     WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60
     NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO
     CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH
     ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM.

&&

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES

&&

$$

K. KUYPER







000
FXUS64 KSHV 251016
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
416 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.DISCUSSION...
BENIGN WEATHER PATTERN TO CONTINUE THROUGH THIS WEEK DESPITE AN
UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE SHIFTING ACROSS THE REGION LATER TODAY...
WHICH WILL OFFER NO MORE THAN AN INCREASE IN MID AND HIGH CLOUDS.
AFTER THIS DISTURBANCE EXITS...A SECOND AND STRONGER SHORT WAVE
WILL QUICKLY DROP SOUTH FROM CANADA ON WEDNESDAY BUT REMAIN JUST
NORTH OF OUR REGION AS IT PASSES EAST ACROSS THE TN/OH VALLEYS.
HOWEVER...THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH OUR AREA
LATE WEDNESDAY INTO EARLY THURSDAY AND REINFORCE THE RELATIVELY
COOL AND DRY AIR IN PLACE...KNOCKING BACK TEMPERATURES SOME 8-10
DEGREES FOR HIGHS ON THURSDAY COMPARED TO WEDNESDAY WHEN WE WILL
SEE 60S AREA WIDE AND POSSIBLY A FEW LOWER 70S AHEAD OF THE FRONT.
NEVERTHELESS...THANKSGIVING DAY LOOKS TO BE QUITE NICE AND VERY
SEASONAL IF NOT JUST A FEW DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE.

THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN WILL BECOME MORE ZONAL BY WEEKS END WITH
SOUTH WINDS RETURNING ON FRIDAY. THIS WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO
CLIMB COMFORTABLY INTO THE 70S FOR HIGHS OVER THE WEEKEND. SHWRS
MAY ALSO RETURN BUT CONFIDENCE IS STILL QUITE LOW WITH JUST WEAK
ISENTROPIC LIFT BEGINNING BY LATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. THE NEXT
FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STALL NORTH OF THE REGION BY EARLY NEXT WEEK
AND MAY ALLOW FOR THE EXTENDED PERIOD TO REMAIN A BIT UNSETTLED.
/19/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  60  37  68  37  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
MLU  58  34  66  36  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEQ  57  30  64  31  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
TXK  57  37  64  35  58 /   0   0   0   0   0
ELD  57  32  65  33  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
TYR  61  39  66  38  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
GGG  60  37  69  37  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
LFK  63  37  70  38  64 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

19






000
FXUS64 KSHV 251016
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
416 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.DISCUSSION...
BENIGN WEATHER PATTERN TO CONTINUE THROUGH THIS WEEK DESPITE AN
UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE SHIFTING ACROSS THE REGION LATER TODAY...
WHICH WILL OFFER NO MORE THAN AN INCREASE IN MID AND HIGH CLOUDS.
AFTER THIS DISTURBANCE EXITS...A SECOND AND STRONGER SHORT WAVE
WILL QUICKLY DROP SOUTH FROM CANADA ON WEDNESDAY BUT REMAIN JUST
NORTH OF OUR REGION AS IT PASSES EAST ACROSS THE TN/OH VALLEYS.
HOWEVER...THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH OUR AREA
LATE WEDNESDAY INTO EARLY THURSDAY AND REINFORCE THE RELATIVELY
COOL AND DRY AIR IN PLACE...KNOCKING BACK TEMPERATURES SOME 8-10
DEGREES FOR HIGHS ON THURSDAY COMPARED TO WEDNESDAY WHEN WE WILL
SEE 60S AREA WIDE AND POSSIBLY A FEW LOWER 70S AHEAD OF THE FRONT.
NEVERTHELESS...THANKSGIVING DAY LOOKS TO BE QUITE NICE AND VERY
SEASONAL IF NOT JUST A FEW DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE.

THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN WILL BECOME MORE ZONAL BY WEEKS END WITH
SOUTH WINDS RETURNING ON FRIDAY. THIS WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO
CLIMB COMFORTABLY INTO THE 70S FOR HIGHS OVER THE WEEKEND. SHWRS
MAY ALSO RETURN BUT CONFIDENCE IS STILL QUITE LOW WITH JUST WEAK
ISENTROPIC LIFT BEGINNING BY LATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. THE NEXT
FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STALL NORTH OF THE REGION BY EARLY NEXT WEEK
AND MAY ALLOW FOR THE EXTENDED PERIOD TO REMAIN A BIT UNSETTLED.
/19/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  60  37  68  37  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
MLU  58  34  66  36  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEQ  57  30  64  31  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
TXK  57  37  64  35  58 /   0   0   0   0   0
ELD  57  32  65  33  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
TYR  61  39  66  38  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
GGG  60  37  69  37  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
LFK  63  37  70  38  64 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

19





000
FXUS64 KSHV 251016
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
416 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.DISCUSSION...
BENIGN WEATHER PATTERN TO CONTINUE THROUGH THIS WEEK DESPITE AN
UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE SHIFTING ACROSS THE REGION LATER TODAY...
WHICH WILL OFFER NO MORE THAN AN INCREASE IN MID AND HIGH CLOUDS.
AFTER THIS DISTURBANCE EXITS...A SECOND AND STRONGER SHORT WAVE
WILL QUICKLY DROP SOUTH FROM CANADA ON WEDNESDAY BUT REMAIN JUST
NORTH OF OUR REGION AS IT PASSES EAST ACROSS THE TN/OH VALLEYS.
HOWEVER...THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH OUR AREA
LATE WEDNESDAY INTO EARLY THURSDAY AND REINFORCE THE RELATIVELY
COOL AND DRY AIR IN PLACE...KNOCKING BACK TEMPERATURES SOME 8-10
DEGREES FOR HIGHS ON THURSDAY COMPARED TO WEDNESDAY WHEN WE WILL
SEE 60S AREA WIDE AND POSSIBLY A FEW LOWER 70S AHEAD OF THE FRONT.
NEVERTHELESS...THANKSGIVING DAY LOOKS TO BE QUITE NICE AND VERY
SEASONAL IF NOT JUST A FEW DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE.

THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN WILL BECOME MORE ZONAL BY WEEKS END WITH
SOUTH WINDS RETURNING ON FRIDAY. THIS WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO
CLIMB COMFORTABLY INTO THE 70S FOR HIGHS OVER THE WEEKEND. SHWRS
MAY ALSO RETURN BUT CONFIDENCE IS STILL QUITE LOW WITH JUST WEAK
ISENTROPIC LIFT BEGINNING BY LATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. THE NEXT
FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STALL NORTH OF THE REGION BY EARLY NEXT WEEK
AND MAY ALLOW FOR THE EXTENDED PERIOD TO REMAIN A BIT UNSETTLED.
/19/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  60  37  68  37  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
MLU  58  34  66  36  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEQ  57  30  64  31  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
TXK  57  37  64  35  58 /   0   0   0   0   0
ELD  57  32  65  33  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
TYR  61  39  66  38  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
GGG  60  37  69  37  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
LFK  63  37  70  38  64 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

19





000
FXUS64 KLIX 251003
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
403 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.DISCUSSION...
A QUIET NIGHT ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA AS CLOUDS AND ELEVATED
WINDS KEPT TEMPERATURES FROM FALLING INTO THE UPPER 30S. MID TO
UPPER 30S WERE NOT THAT FAR AWAY AS THE TEMPERATURE IN NATCHEZ IS
37 AND 35 IN ALEXANDRIA. EVEN WITH THE BUMP UP IN TEMPERATURES
WITH THE LAST PACKAGE I HAD TO BUMP THEM UP EVEN MORE AS CLOUDS
FROM THE FRONT IN THE GULF MOVED OVER THE FORECAST AREA. THIS
FRONT AND ANOTHER SHORTWAVE THAT WILL BE TRAVERSING THE AREA TODAY
INTO WEDNESDAY WILL BE THE MAIN FOCUS IN THE FORECAST. THE
AFOREMENTIONED SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA AND
INTERACT WITH THE FRONT IN THE GULF AND PULL THAT FRONT BACK CLOSE
TO THE FORECAST AREA AT THE SAME TIME DEVELOPING A LOW PRESSURE AT
THE SURFACE. THIS WILL GIVE THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST
AREA A CHANCE FOR A SHOWER TODAY. THIS DEVELOPING LOW WILL GO ON
TO POSSIBLY BECOME A NOR`EASTER FOR NEW ENGLAND ON WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY. AFTER THE SYSTEM KICKS OUT OF THE GULF WE WILL BE LEFT
WITH HIGH PRESSURE WORKS INTO THE AREA FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK.
THIS PATTERN WILL KEEP THE AREA COOLER THAN NORMAL. ONCE THIS
RIDGE SLIDES EAST THIS WEEKEND...SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL RETURN AND
PICK MOISTURE BACK UP OVER THE AREA. COULD SEE A FEW SHOWERS
RETURN LATE IN THE WEEKEND OR EARLY NEXT WEEK. 13/MH

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL TERMINALS NEXT 24-30 HOURS. WINDS
SHOULD PREVAIL OUT OF THE NORTH WITH SOME GUSTY ENHANCEMENT AT KNEW
FROM THERMAL MIXING PROCESSES THIS MORNING. 24/RR

&&

.MARINE...
STRONG NORTH WINDS AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE GULF WILL MAINTAIN
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS TODAY BEFORE SETTLING TO LESSER LEVELS
LATER THIS AFTERNOON. MODELS SHOW ANOTHER RE-ENFORCING SURGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDING SOUTH WEDNESDAY AND REMAINING IN PLACE THROUGH FRIDAY
BEFORE MOVING EAST AND MODERATING. ANOTHER FRONT WILL APPROACH THE WEST
GULF OVER THE WEEKEND BUT WILL LIKELY STALL DUE TO RESISTANCE FROM THE
EAST COAST HIGH.  24/RR

&&

.DECISION SUPPORT...
DSS CODE...BLUE.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...SLURRY SUPPORT
             SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
         WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR
         AND/OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL
         SIGNIFICANCE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  58  36  65  40 /  10  10   0   0
BTR  59  37  66  41 /  10   0   0   0
ASD  61  37  65  42 /  10  10   0   0
MSY  60  42  64  47 /  10  10   0   0
GPT  61  39  63  44 /  20  20   0   0
PQL  62  38  63  42 /  30  30   0   0

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO
     STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO
     THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND
     COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM.

MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO
     STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO
     THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND
     COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$







000
FXUS64 KLIX 251003
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
403 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.DISCUSSION...
A QUIET NIGHT ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA AS CLOUDS AND ELEVATED
WINDS KEPT TEMPERATURES FROM FALLING INTO THE UPPER 30S. MID TO
UPPER 30S WERE NOT THAT FAR AWAY AS THE TEMPERATURE IN NATCHEZ IS
37 AND 35 IN ALEXANDRIA. EVEN WITH THE BUMP UP IN TEMPERATURES
WITH THE LAST PACKAGE I HAD TO BUMP THEM UP EVEN MORE AS CLOUDS
FROM THE FRONT IN THE GULF MOVED OVER THE FORECAST AREA. THIS
FRONT AND ANOTHER SHORTWAVE THAT WILL BE TRAVERSING THE AREA TODAY
INTO WEDNESDAY WILL BE THE MAIN FOCUS IN THE FORECAST. THE
AFOREMENTIONED SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA AND
INTERACT WITH THE FRONT IN THE GULF AND PULL THAT FRONT BACK CLOSE
TO THE FORECAST AREA AT THE SAME TIME DEVELOPING A LOW PRESSURE AT
THE SURFACE. THIS WILL GIVE THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST
AREA A CHANCE FOR A SHOWER TODAY. THIS DEVELOPING LOW WILL GO ON
TO POSSIBLY BECOME A NOR`EASTER FOR NEW ENGLAND ON WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY. AFTER THE SYSTEM KICKS OUT OF THE GULF WE WILL BE LEFT
WITH HIGH PRESSURE WORKS INTO THE AREA FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK.
THIS PATTERN WILL KEEP THE AREA COOLER THAN NORMAL. ONCE THIS
RIDGE SLIDES EAST THIS WEEKEND...SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL RETURN AND
PICK MOISTURE BACK UP OVER THE AREA. COULD SEE A FEW SHOWERS
RETURN LATE IN THE WEEKEND OR EARLY NEXT WEEK. 13/MH

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL TERMINALS NEXT 24-30 HOURS. WINDS
SHOULD PREVAIL OUT OF THE NORTH WITH SOME GUSTY ENHANCEMENT AT KNEW
FROM THERMAL MIXING PROCESSES THIS MORNING. 24/RR

&&

.MARINE...
STRONG NORTH WINDS AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE GULF WILL MAINTAIN
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS TODAY BEFORE SETTLING TO LESSER LEVELS
LATER THIS AFTERNOON. MODELS SHOW ANOTHER RE-ENFORCING SURGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDING SOUTH WEDNESDAY AND REMAINING IN PLACE THROUGH FRIDAY
BEFORE MOVING EAST AND MODERATING. ANOTHER FRONT WILL APPROACH THE WEST
GULF OVER THE WEEKEND BUT WILL LIKELY STALL DUE TO RESISTANCE FROM THE
EAST COAST HIGH.  24/RR

&&

.DECISION SUPPORT...
DSS CODE...BLUE.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...SLURRY SUPPORT
             SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
         WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR
         AND/OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL
         SIGNIFICANCE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  58  36  65  40 /  10  10   0   0
BTR  59  37  66  41 /  10   0   0   0
ASD  61  37  65  42 /  10  10   0   0
MSY  60  42  64  47 /  10  10   0   0
GPT  61  39  63  44 /  20  20   0   0
PQL  62  38  63  42 /  30  30   0   0

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO
     STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO
     THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND
     COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM.

MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO
     STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO
     THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND
     COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KSHV 250552
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1152 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.AVIATION...

VFR FLIGHT CATEGORIES WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TERMINAL FORECAST
PERIOD ENDING AT 26/06Z ACROSS THE ARKLATEX. MAINLY HIGH MIDDLE
LEVEL CLOUDS BETWEEN 15-20 KFT OR CIRRUS AROUND 20-25 KFT
EXPECTED DURING THE PERIOD RANGING IN COVERAGE FROM FEW TO SCATTERED
WITH OCCASIONAL BROKEN. SURFACE WINDS LIGHT AND VARIABLE TO LIGHT
WEST OR NORTHWEST. SPEEDS MAY BE 5-9 KNOTS ON TUESDAY. /06/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 943 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
HIGH CLOUDS AND LIGHT WINDS SHOULD ALLOW TEMPS TO COOL NICELY
THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HRS AS THE CENTER OF A SFC HIGH GRADUALLY
SHIFTS EWD OVER THE REGION. MINOR ADJUSTMENTS WERE MADE TO
DEWPOINT/WIND/SKY GRIDS BASED ON TRENDS IN LATEST OBS.
OTHERWISE...REMAINDER OF GRIDS LEFT INTACT. UPDATED PRODUCTS HAVE
BEEN SENT. /09/

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 234 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
BROAD LONG WAVE TROUGH TO SLOWLY SWING ACROSS SOUTHERN PLAINS FOR
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. DESPITE GOOD RADIATION COOLING
CONDITIONS...SOME UPPER LVL CLOUDS WILL BE GENERATED BY THIS
TROUGH. RAISED OVERNIGHT LOWS TONIGHT A COUPLE DEGREES ACROSS
SOUTH CWA TO ACCOUNT FOR BAND OF CIRRUS ENTERING THAT REGION LATE
TONIGHT. TEMPS MAY DIP TO JUST BELOW FREEZING FURTHER
NORTH...MAINLY NORTH OF I-30...IN CLEARER SKIES. WHILE THE COLDEST
AIR AT BASE OF UPPER TROUGH TO MOVE ACROSS AREA TOMORROW NIGHT...
ADDITIONAL UPPER LVL...AND PERHAPS MID LVL CLOUDS...TO ADVANCE
INTO NORTHERN CWA....KEEPING ENTIRE AREA JUST ABOVE FRZG MARK.
THE STG NW FLOW ALOFT TO KEEP DRY WX PATTERN AND FAIRLY PERSISTENT
TEMPS TO JUST BELOW SEASONAL NORMS. A BAND OF ISENTROPIC LIFT
BEGINS TO BUILD INTO CWA FROM SOUTH TX BY AROUND SAT NIGHT....BUT
MOISTURE WILL REMAIN MARGINAL...WITH RAIN CHANCES INCREASING
SLIGHTLY BY SUNDAY NIGHT OR MONDAY./VII/.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  35  61  38  67  37 /  10  10   0   0   0
MLU  35  58  37  65  36 /  10  10   0   0   0
DEQ  30  57  32  63  33 /   0   0   0   0   0
TXK  33  57  38  63  35 /  10   0   0   0   0
ELD  32  57  34  64  35 /  10  10   0   0   0
TYR  35  61  38  65  38 /   0  10   0   0   0
GGG  33  61  37  68  37 /  10   0   0   0   0
LFK  37  63  38  69  38 /  10  10   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

06






000
FXUS64 KSHV 250552
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1152 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.AVIATION...

VFR FLIGHT CATEGORIES WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TERMINAL FORECAST
PERIOD ENDING AT 26/06Z ACROSS THE ARKLATEX. MAINLY HIGH MIDDLE
LEVEL CLOUDS BETWEEN 15-20 KFT OR CIRRUS AROUND 20-25 KFT
EXPECTED DURING THE PERIOD RANGING IN COVERAGE FROM FEW TO SCATTERED
WITH OCCASIONAL BROKEN. SURFACE WINDS LIGHT AND VARIABLE TO LIGHT
WEST OR NORTHWEST. SPEEDS MAY BE 5-9 KNOTS ON TUESDAY. /06/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 943 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
HIGH CLOUDS AND LIGHT WINDS SHOULD ALLOW TEMPS TO COOL NICELY
THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HRS AS THE CENTER OF A SFC HIGH GRADUALLY
SHIFTS EWD OVER THE REGION. MINOR ADJUSTMENTS WERE MADE TO
DEWPOINT/WIND/SKY GRIDS BASED ON TRENDS IN LATEST OBS.
OTHERWISE...REMAINDER OF GRIDS LEFT INTACT. UPDATED PRODUCTS HAVE
BEEN SENT. /09/

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 234 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
BROAD LONG WAVE TROUGH TO SLOWLY SWING ACROSS SOUTHERN PLAINS FOR
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. DESPITE GOOD RADIATION COOLING
CONDITIONS...SOME UPPER LVL CLOUDS WILL BE GENERATED BY THIS
TROUGH. RAISED OVERNIGHT LOWS TONIGHT A COUPLE DEGREES ACROSS
SOUTH CWA TO ACCOUNT FOR BAND OF CIRRUS ENTERING THAT REGION LATE
TONIGHT. TEMPS MAY DIP TO JUST BELOW FREEZING FURTHER
NORTH...MAINLY NORTH OF I-30...IN CLEARER SKIES. WHILE THE COLDEST
AIR AT BASE OF UPPER TROUGH TO MOVE ACROSS AREA TOMORROW NIGHT...
ADDITIONAL UPPER LVL...AND PERHAPS MID LVL CLOUDS...TO ADVANCE
INTO NORTHERN CWA....KEEPING ENTIRE AREA JUST ABOVE FRZG MARK.
THE STG NW FLOW ALOFT TO KEEP DRY WX PATTERN AND FAIRLY PERSISTENT
TEMPS TO JUST BELOW SEASONAL NORMS. A BAND OF ISENTROPIC LIFT
BEGINS TO BUILD INTO CWA FROM SOUTH TX BY AROUND SAT NIGHT....BUT
MOISTURE WILL REMAIN MARGINAL...WITH RAIN CHANCES INCREASING
SLIGHTLY BY SUNDAY NIGHT OR MONDAY./VII/.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  35  61  38  67  37 /  10  10   0   0   0
MLU  35  58  37  65  36 /  10  10   0   0   0
DEQ  30  57  32  63  33 /   0   0   0   0   0
TXK  33  57  38  63  35 /  10   0   0   0   0
ELD  32  57  34  64  35 /  10  10   0   0   0
TYR  35  61  38  65  38 /   0  10   0   0   0
GGG  33  61  37  68  37 /  10   0   0   0   0
LFK  37  63  38  69  38 /  10  10   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

06






000
FXUS64 KSHV 250552
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1152 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.AVIATION...

VFR FLIGHT CATEGORIES WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TERMINAL FORECAST
PERIOD ENDING AT 26/06Z ACROSS THE ARKLATEX. MAINLY HIGH MIDDLE
LEVEL CLOUDS BETWEEN 15-20 KFT OR CIRRUS AROUND 20-25 KFT
EXPECTED DURING THE PERIOD RANGING IN COVERAGE FROM FEW TO SCATTERED
WITH OCCASIONAL BROKEN. SURFACE WINDS LIGHT AND VARIABLE TO LIGHT
WEST OR NORTHWEST. SPEEDS MAY BE 5-9 KNOTS ON TUESDAY. /06/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 943 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
HIGH CLOUDS AND LIGHT WINDS SHOULD ALLOW TEMPS TO COOL NICELY
THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HRS AS THE CENTER OF A SFC HIGH GRADUALLY
SHIFTS EWD OVER THE REGION. MINOR ADJUSTMENTS WERE MADE TO
DEWPOINT/WIND/SKY GRIDS BASED ON TRENDS IN LATEST OBS.
OTHERWISE...REMAINDER OF GRIDS LEFT INTACT. UPDATED PRODUCTS HAVE
BEEN SENT. /09/

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 234 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
BROAD LONG WAVE TROUGH TO SLOWLY SWING ACROSS SOUTHERN PLAINS FOR
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. DESPITE GOOD RADIATION COOLING
CONDITIONS...SOME UPPER LVL CLOUDS WILL BE GENERATED BY THIS
TROUGH. RAISED OVERNIGHT LOWS TONIGHT A COUPLE DEGREES ACROSS
SOUTH CWA TO ACCOUNT FOR BAND OF CIRRUS ENTERING THAT REGION LATE
TONIGHT. TEMPS MAY DIP TO JUST BELOW FREEZING FURTHER
NORTH...MAINLY NORTH OF I-30...IN CLEARER SKIES. WHILE THE COLDEST
AIR AT BASE OF UPPER TROUGH TO MOVE ACROSS AREA TOMORROW NIGHT...
ADDITIONAL UPPER LVL...AND PERHAPS MID LVL CLOUDS...TO ADVANCE
INTO NORTHERN CWA....KEEPING ENTIRE AREA JUST ABOVE FRZG MARK.
THE STG NW FLOW ALOFT TO KEEP DRY WX PATTERN AND FAIRLY PERSISTENT
TEMPS TO JUST BELOW SEASONAL NORMS. A BAND OF ISENTROPIC LIFT
BEGINS TO BUILD INTO CWA FROM SOUTH TX BY AROUND SAT NIGHT....BUT
MOISTURE WILL REMAIN MARGINAL...WITH RAIN CHANCES INCREASING
SLIGHTLY BY SUNDAY NIGHT OR MONDAY./VII/.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  35  61  38  67  37 /  10  10   0   0   0
MLU  35  58  37  65  36 /  10  10   0   0   0
DEQ  30  57  32  63  33 /   0   0   0   0   0
TXK  33  57  38  63  35 /  10   0   0   0   0
ELD  32  57  34  64  35 /  10  10   0   0   0
TYR  35  61  38  65  38 /   0  10   0   0   0
GGG  33  61  37  68  37 /  10   0   0   0   0
LFK  37  63  38  69  38 /  10  10   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

06






000
FXUS64 KSHV 250552
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1152 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.AVIATION...

VFR FLIGHT CATEGORIES WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TERMINAL FORECAST
PERIOD ENDING AT 26/06Z ACROSS THE ARKLATEX. MAINLY HIGH MIDDLE
LEVEL CLOUDS BETWEEN 15-20 KFT OR CIRRUS AROUND 20-25 KFT
EXPECTED DURING THE PERIOD RANGING IN COVERAGE FROM FEW TO SCATTERED
WITH OCCASIONAL BROKEN. SURFACE WINDS LIGHT AND VARIABLE TO LIGHT
WEST OR NORTHWEST. SPEEDS MAY BE 5-9 KNOTS ON TUESDAY. /06/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 943 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
HIGH CLOUDS AND LIGHT WINDS SHOULD ALLOW TEMPS TO COOL NICELY
THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HRS AS THE CENTER OF A SFC HIGH GRADUALLY
SHIFTS EWD OVER THE REGION. MINOR ADJUSTMENTS WERE MADE TO
DEWPOINT/WIND/SKY GRIDS BASED ON TRENDS IN LATEST OBS.
OTHERWISE...REMAINDER OF GRIDS LEFT INTACT. UPDATED PRODUCTS HAVE
BEEN SENT. /09/

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 234 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
BROAD LONG WAVE TROUGH TO SLOWLY SWING ACROSS SOUTHERN PLAINS FOR
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. DESPITE GOOD RADIATION COOLING
CONDITIONS...SOME UPPER LVL CLOUDS WILL BE GENERATED BY THIS
TROUGH. RAISED OVERNIGHT LOWS TONIGHT A COUPLE DEGREES ACROSS
SOUTH CWA TO ACCOUNT FOR BAND OF CIRRUS ENTERING THAT REGION LATE
TONIGHT. TEMPS MAY DIP TO JUST BELOW FREEZING FURTHER
NORTH...MAINLY NORTH OF I-30...IN CLEARER SKIES. WHILE THE COLDEST
AIR AT BASE OF UPPER TROUGH TO MOVE ACROSS AREA TOMORROW NIGHT...
ADDITIONAL UPPER LVL...AND PERHAPS MID LVL CLOUDS...TO ADVANCE
INTO NORTHERN CWA....KEEPING ENTIRE AREA JUST ABOVE FRZG MARK.
THE STG NW FLOW ALOFT TO KEEP DRY WX PATTERN AND FAIRLY PERSISTENT
TEMPS TO JUST BELOW SEASONAL NORMS. A BAND OF ISENTROPIC LIFT
BEGINS TO BUILD INTO CWA FROM SOUTH TX BY AROUND SAT NIGHT....BUT
MOISTURE WILL REMAIN MARGINAL...WITH RAIN CHANCES INCREASING
SLIGHTLY BY SUNDAY NIGHT OR MONDAY./VII/.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  35  61  38  67  37 /  10  10   0   0   0
MLU  35  58  37  65  36 /  10  10   0   0   0
DEQ  30  57  32  63  33 /   0   0   0   0   0
TXK  33  57  38  63  35 /  10   0   0   0   0
ELD  32  57  34  64  35 /  10  10   0   0   0
TYR  35  61  38  65  38 /   0  10   0   0   0
GGG  33  61  37  68  37 /  10   0   0   0   0
LFK  37  63  38  69  38 /  10  10   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

06






000
FXUS64 KLCH 250526
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1126 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...
FOR THE 25/06Z TAF ISSUANCE.

&&

.AVIATION...
MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION AHEAD
OF A SHORT WAVE MOVING DOWN FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THESE CLOUDS
WILL PERSIST THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY...THEN MOVE OUT ON TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. A MAINLY DRY NORTHERLY FLOW...HOWEVER...WILL ALSO
CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD...KEEPING CONDITIONS AT VFR LEVELS.

RUA

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 835 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

UPDATE...THE AREA CONTINUES TO COOL WITH TEMPS DOWN INTO UPPER
40S NORTH TO AROUND 60 ALONG THE COAST... HOWEVER TEMPS WERE NOT
COOLING AS FAST AS PREVIOUSLY FORECAST. THE TEMPS AND CLOUD COVER
HAS BEEN INCREASED SOMEWHAT FOR TONIGHT TO REFLECT THE CURRENT
TRENDS.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 246 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

SYNOPSIS...TIGHT GRADIENT OFF SHORE REMAINS WHILE HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS IN FROM TEXAS. WINDS SHOULD DIMINISH TONIGHT AWAY FROM THE
COAST. COOL TEMPERATURES CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT
AS A REINFORCING COLD FRONT FILTERS THROUGH.

SOUTHERLY WINDS RETURN LATE FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE PUSHES ON TO
THE EAST. WEEKEND TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE QUITE WARM WITH NO RAIN
IN SIGHT THANKS TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGING TO THE WEST.

SHORT TERM...TEMPS SHOULD TREND A BIT LOWER THAN GUIDANCE TNITE
BUT NOT AS LOW AS PREVIOUSLY INDICATED WITH JET CIRRUS HELPING TO
KEEP TEMPS FROM BOTTOMING OUT. WE SHOULD REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING.
NOT EXPECTING FROST DUE TO THE HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS.

LONG TERM...SEASONABLY COOL FOR THANKSGIVING AND DRY AS THE
SURFACE RIDGE MOVES OVERHEAD. BLENDED IN SOME WARMER EURO MODEL
TEMPS THIS WEEKEND WITH LOWER 70S POSSIBLE SATURDAY AND SUNDAY
AFTERNOON. SOME MENTION OF RAIN EARLY NEXT WEEK AS GULF MOISTURE
BEGINS TO DEEPEN IN ADVANCE OF A WEST COAST TROF.

MARINE...MADE SOME ADJUSTMENTS TO EXTEND THE SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORIES OVER THE OFF SHORE WATERS MAINLY DUE TO WINDS
PERSISTING ESPECIALLY TO THE EAST DUE TO A TIGHT PRESSURE
GRADIENT.

SWEENEY

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  41  61  40  65  45 /   0  10   0   0   0
KBPT  42  63  41  66  45 /   0  10   0   0   0
KAEX  37  60  36  64  41 /   0  10   0   0   0
KLFT  42  59  37  64  43 /   0  10  10   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL
     CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL
     CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON
     LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL
     CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON
     LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO
     CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH
     ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$







000
FXUS64 KLCH 250526
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1126 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...
FOR THE 25/06Z TAF ISSUANCE.

&&

.AVIATION...
MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION AHEAD
OF A SHORT WAVE MOVING DOWN FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THESE CLOUDS
WILL PERSIST THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY...THEN MOVE OUT ON TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. A MAINLY DRY NORTHERLY FLOW...HOWEVER...WILL ALSO
CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD...KEEPING CONDITIONS AT VFR LEVELS.

RUA

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 835 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

UPDATE...THE AREA CONTINUES TO COOL WITH TEMPS DOWN INTO UPPER
40S NORTH TO AROUND 60 ALONG THE COAST... HOWEVER TEMPS WERE NOT
COOLING AS FAST AS PREVIOUSLY FORECAST. THE TEMPS AND CLOUD COVER
HAS BEEN INCREASED SOMEWHAT FOR TONIGHT TO REFLECT THE CURRENT
TRENDS.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 246 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

SYNOPSIS...TIGHT GRADIENT OFF SHORE REMAINS WHILE HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS IN FROM TEXAS. WINDS SHOULD DIMINISH TONIGHT AWAY FROM THE
COAST. COOL TEMPERATURES CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT
AS A REINFORCING COLD FRONT FILTERS THROUGH.

SOUTHERLY WINDS RETURN LATE FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE PUSHES ON TO
THE EAST. WEEKEND TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE QUITE WARM WITH NO RAIN
IN SIGHT THANKS TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGING TO THE WEST.

SHORT TERM...TEMPS SHOULD TREND A BIT LOWER THAN GUIDANCE TNITE
BUT NOT AS LOW AS PREVIOUSLY INDICATED WITH JET CIRRUS HELPING TO
KEEP TEMPS FROM BOTTOMING OUT. WE SHOULD REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING.
NOT EXPECTING FROST DUE TO THE HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS.

LONG TERM...SEASONABLY COOL FOR THANKSGIVING AND DRY AS THE
SURFACE RIDGE MOVES OVERHEAD. BLENDED IN SOME WARMER EURO MODEL
TEMPS THIS WEEKEND WITH LOWER 70S POSSIBLE SATURDAY AND SUNDAY
AFTERNOON. SOME MENTION OF RAIN EARLY NEXT WEEK AS GULF MOISTURE
BEGINS TO DEEPEN IN ADVANCE OF A WEST COAST TROF.

MARINE...MADE SOME ADJUSTMENTS TO EXTEND THE SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORIES OVER THE OFF SHORE WATERS MAINLY DUE TO WINDS
PERSISTING ESPECIALLY TO THE EAST DUE TO A TIGHT PRESSURE
GRADIENT.

SWEENEY

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  41  61  40  65  45 /   0  10   0   0   0
KBPT  42  63  41  66  45 /   0  10   0   0   0
KAEX  37  60  36  64  41 /   0  10   0   0   0
KLFT  42  59  37  64  43 /   0  10  10   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL
     CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL
     CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON
     LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL
     CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON
     LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO
     CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH
     ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$







000
FXUS64 KLCH 250526
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1126 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...
FOR THE 25/06Z TAF ISSUANCE.

&&

.AVIATION...
MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION AHEAD
OF A SHORT WAVE MOVING DOWN FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THESE CLOUDS
WILL PERSIST THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY...THEN MOVE OUT ON TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. A MAINLY DRY NORTHERLY FLOW...HOWEVER...WILL ALSO
CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD...KEEPING CONDITIONS AT VFR LEVELS.

RUA

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 835 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

UPDATE...THE AREA CONTINUES TO COOL WITH TEMPS DOWN INTO UPPER
40S NORTH TO AROUND 60 ALONG THE COAST... HOWEVER TEMPS WERE NOT
COOLING AS FAST AS PREVIOUSLY FORECAST. THE TEMPS AND CLOUD COVER
HAS BEEN INCREASED SOMEWHAT FOR TONIGHT TO REFLECT THE CURRENT
TRENDS.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 246 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

SYNOPSIS...TIGHT GRADIENT OFF SHORE REMAINS WHILE HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS IN FROM TEXAS. WINDS SHOULD DIMINISH TONIGHT AWAY FROM THE
COAST. COOL TEMPERATURES CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT
AS A REINFORCING COLD FRONT FILTERS THROUGH.

SOUTHERLY WINDS RETURN LATE FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE PUSHES ON TO
THE EAST. WEEKEND TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE QUITE WARM WITH NO RAIN
IN SIGHT THANKS TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGING TO THE WEST.

SHORT TERM...TEMPS SHOULD TREND A BIT LOWER THAN GUIDANCE TNITE
BUT NOT AS LOW AS PREVIOUSLY INDICATED WITH JET CIRRUS HELPING TO
KEEP TEMPS FROM BOTTOMING OUT. WE SHOULD REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING.
NOT EXPECTING FROST DUE TO THE HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS.

LONG TERM...SEASONABLY COOL FOR THANKSGIVING AND DRY AS THE
SURFACE RIDGE MOVES OVERHEAD. BLENDED IN SOME WARMER EURO MODEL
TEMPS THIS WEEKEND WITH LOWER 70S POSSIBLE SATURDAY AND SUNDAY
AFTERNOON. SOME MENTION OF RAIN EARLY NEXT WEEK AS GULF MOISTURE
BEGINS TO DEEPEN IN ADVANCE OF A WEST COAST TROF.

MARINE...MADE SOME ADJUSTMENTS TO EXTEND THE SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORIES OVER THE OFF SHORE WATERS MAINLY DUE TO WINDS
PERSISTING ESPECIALLY TO THE EAST DUE TO A TIGHT PRESSURE
GRADIENT.

SWEENEY

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  41  61  40  65  45 /   0  10   0   0   0
KBPT  42  63  41  66  45 /   0  10   0   0   0
KAEX  37  60  36  64  41 /   0  10   0   0   0
KLFT  42  59  37  64  43 /   0  10  10   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL
     CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL
     CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON
     LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL
     CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON
     LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO
     CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH
     ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$







000
FXUS64 KLCH 250526
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1126 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...
FOR THE 25/06Z TAF ISSUANCE.

&&

.AVIATION...
MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION AHEAD
OF A SHORT WAVE MOVING DOWN FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THESE CLOUDS
WILL PERSIST THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY...THEN MOVE OUT ON TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. A MAINLY DRY NORTHERLY FLOW...HOWEVER...WILL ALSO
CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD...KEEPING CONDITIONS AT VFR LEVELS.

RUA

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 835 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

UPDATE...THE AREA CONTINUES TO COOL WITH TEMPS DOWN INTO UPPER
40S NORTH TO AROUND 60 ALONG THE COAST... HOWEVER TEMPS WERE NOT
COOLING AS FAST AS PREVIOUSLY FORECAST. THE TEMPS AND CLOUD COVER
HAS BEEN INCREASED SOMEWHAT FOR TONIGHT TO REFLECT THE CURRENT
TRENDS.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 246 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

SYNOPSIS...TIGHT GRADIENT OFF SHORE REMAINS WHILE HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS IN FROM TEXAS. WINDS SHOULD DIMINISH TONIGHT AWAY FROM THE
COAST. COOL TEMPERATURES CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT
AS A REINFORCING COLD FRONT FILTERS THROUGH.

SOUTHERLY WINDS RETURN LATE FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE PUSHES ON TO
THE EAST. WEEKEND TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE QUITE WARM WITH NO RAIN
IN SIGHT THANKS TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGING TO THE WEST.

SHORT TERM...TEMPS SHOULD TREND A BIT LOWER THAN GUIDANCE TNITE
BUT NOT AS LOW AS PREVIOUSLY INDICATED WITH JET CIRRUS HELPING TO
KEEP TEMPS FROM BOTTOMING OUT. WE SHOULD REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING.
NOT EXPECTING FROST DUE TO THE HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS.

LONG TERM...SEASONABLY COOL FOR THANKSGIVING AND DRY AS THE
SURFACE RIDGE MOVES OVERHEAD. BLENDED IN SOME WARMER EURO MODEL
TEMPS THIS WEEKEND WITH LOWER 70S POSSIBLE SATURDAY AND SUNDAY
AFTERNOON. SOME MENTION OF RAIN EARLY NEXT WEEK AS GULF MOISTURE
BEGINS TO DEEPEN IN ADVANCE OF A WEST COAST TROF.

MARINE...MADE SOME ADJUSTMENTS TO EXTEND THE SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORIES OVER THE OFF SHORE WATERS MAINLY DUE TO WINDS
PERSISTING ESPECIALLY TO THE EAST DUE TO A TIGHT PRESSURE
GRADIENT.

SWEENEY

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  41  61  40  65  45 /   0  10   0   0   0
KBPT  42  63  41  66  45 /   0  10   0   0   0
KAEX  37  60  36  64  41 /   0  10   0   0   0
KLFT  42  59  37  64  43 /   0  10  10   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL
     CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL
     CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON
     LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL
     CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON
     LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO
     CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH
     ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$







000
FXUS64 KLIX 250457
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1057 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.AVIATION...
...06Z TAF ISSUANCE...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. HIGH CLOUDS WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT INTO TUESDAY. ANOTHER
IMPULSE LIFTING THROUGH THE BASE OF THE UPPER TROF WILL SPREAD MID
LEVEL CLOUDS ACROSS THE FAR EASTERN SECTIONS TOMORROW...AND
PROBABLY AFFECT KGPT...KPQL AND KBVE. WIND WILL BE THE MAIN
FORECAST CONCERN DOWNWIND OF LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN LATE TONIGHT AND
TUESDAY WITH 15 TO 20 KNOT WINDS EXPECTED. 18

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO
     STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO
     THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND
     COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM.

MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO
     STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO
     THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND
     COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$







000
FXUS64 KLIX 250457
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1057 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.AVIATION...
...06Z TAF ISSUANCE...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. HIGH CLOUDS WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT INTO TUESDAY. ANOTHER
IMPULSE LIFTING THROUGH THE BASE OF THE UPPER TROF WILL SPREAD MID
LEVEL CLOUDS ACROSS THE FAR EASTERN SECTIONS TOMORROW...AND
PROBABLY AFFECT KGPT...KPQL AND KBVE. WIND WILL BE THE MAIN
FORECAST CONCERN DOWNWIND OF LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN LATE TONIGHT AND
TUESDAY WITH 15 TO 20 KNOT WINDS EXPECTED. 18

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO
     STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO
     THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND
     COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM.

MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO
     STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO
     THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND
     COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KSHV 250343 AAA
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
943 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH CLOUDS AND LIGHT WINDS SHOULD ALLOW TEMPS TO COOL NICELY
THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HRS AS THE CENTER OF A SFC HIGH GRADUALLY
SHIFTS EWD OVER THE REGION. MINOR ADJUSTMENTS WERE MADE TO
DEWPOINT/WIND/SKY GRIDS BASED ON TRENDS IN LATEST OBS.
OTHERWISE...REMAINDER OF GRIDS LEFT INTACT. UPDATED PRODUCTS HAVE
BEEN SENT. /09/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 653 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

AVIATION...

VFR FLIGHT CATEGORIES WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TERMINAL FORECAST
PERIOD ENDING AT 26/00Z ACROSS THE ARKLATEX. MAINLY HIGH MIDDLE LEVEL
CLOUDS BETWEEN 15-20 KFT OR CIRRUS AROUND 20-25 KFT EXPECTED.
SURFACE WINDS WILL BE LIGHT WEST TO NORTHWEST LESS THAN 7 KNOTS AND
BECOMING NORTHWEST TO NORTH AND BETWEEN 6-10 KNOTS ON TUESDAY. /06/

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 234 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
BROAD LONG WAVE TROUGH TO SLOWLY SWING ACROSS SOUTHERN PLAINS FOR
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. DESPITE GOOD RADIATION COOLING
CONDITIONS...SOME UPPER LVL CLOUDS WILL BE GENERATED BY THIS
TROUGH. RAISED OVERNIGHT LOWS TONIGHT A COUPLE DEGREES ACROSS
SOUTH CWA TO ACCOUNT FOR BAND OF CIRRUS ENTERING THAT REGION LATE
TONIGHT. TEMPS MAY DIP TO JUST BELOW FREEZING FURTHER
NORTH...MAINLY NORTH OF I-30...IN CLEARER SKIES. WHILE THE COLDEST
AIR AT BASE OF UPPER TROUGH TO MOVE ACROSS AREA TOMORROW NIGHT...
ADDITIONAL UPPER LVL...AND PERHAPS MID LVL CLOUDS...TO ADVANCE
INTO NORTHERN CWA....KEEPING ENTIRE AREA JUST ABOVE FRZG MARK.
THE STG NW FLOW ALOFT TO KEEP DRY WX PATTERN AND FAIRLY PERSISTENT
TEMPS TO JUST BELOW SEASONAL NORMS. A BAND OF ISENTROPIC LIFT
BEGINS TO BUILD INTO CWA FROM SOUTH TX BY AROUND SAT NIGHT....BUT
MOISTURE WILL REMAIN MARGINAL...WITH RAIN CHANCES INCREASING
SLIGHTLY BY SUNDAY NIGHT OR MONDAY./VII/.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  35  61  38  67  37 /  10  10   0   0   0
MLU  35  58  37  65  36 /  10  10   0   0   0
DEQ  30  57  32  63  33 /   0   0   0   0   0
TXK  33  57  38  63  35 /  10   0   0   0   0
ELD  32  57  34  64  35 /  10  10   0   0   0
TYR  35  61  38  65  38 /   0  10   0   0   0
GGG  33  61  37  68  37 /  10   0   0   0   0
LFK  37  63  38  69  38 /  10  10   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

09





000
FXUS64 KSHV 250343 AAA
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
943 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH CLOUDS AND LIGHT WINDS SHOULD ALLOW TEMPS TO COOL NICELY
THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HRS AS THE CENTER OF A SFC HIGH GRADUALLY
SHIFTS EWD OVER THE REGION. MINOR ADJUSTMENTS WERE MADE TO
DEWPOINT/WIND/SKY GRIDS BASED ON TRENDS IN LATEST OBS.
OTHERWISE...REMAINDER OF GRIDS LEFT INTACT. UPDATED PRODUCTS HAVE
BEEN SENT. /09/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 653 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

AVIATION...

VFR FLIGHT CATEGORIES WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TERMINAL FORECAST
PERIOD ENDING AT 26/00Z ACROSS THE ARKLATEX. MAINLY HIGH MIDDLE LEVEL
CLOUDS BETWEEN 15-20 KFT OR CIRRUS AROUND 20-25 KFT EXPECTED.
SURFACE WINDS WILL BE LIGHT WEST TO NORTHWEST LESS THAN 7 KNOTS AND
BECOMING NORTHWEST TO NORTH AND BETWEEN 6-10 KNOTS ON TUESDAY. /06/

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 234 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
BROAD LONG WAVE TROUGH TO SLOWLY SWING ACROSS SOUTHERN PLAINS FOR
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. DESPITE GOOD RADIATION COOLING
CONDITIONS...SOME UPPER LVL CLOUDS WILL BE GENERATED BY THIS
TROUGH. RAISED OVERNIGHT LOWS TONIGHT A COUPLE DEGREES ACROSS
SOUTH CWA TO ACCOUNT FOR BAND OF CIRRUS ENTERING THAT REGION LATE
TONIGHT. TEMPS MAY DIP TO JUST BELOW FREEZING FURTHER
NORTH...MAINLY NORTH OF I-30...IN CLEARER SKIES. WHILE THE COLDEST
AIR AT BASE OF UPPER TROUGH TO MOVE ACROSS AREA TOMORROW NIGHT...
ADDITIONAL UPPER LVL...AND PERHAPS MID LVL CLOUDS...TO ADVANCE
INTO NORTHERN CWA....KEEPING ENTIRE AREA JUST ABOVE FRZG MARK.
THE STG NW FLOW ALOFT TO KEEP DRY WX PATTERN AND FAIRLY PERSISTENT
TEMPS TO JUST BELOW SEASONAL NORMS. A BAND OF ISENTROPIC LIFT
BEGINS TO BUILD INTO CWA FROM SOUTH TX BY AROUND SAT NIGHT....BUT
MOISTURE WILL REMAIN MARGINAL...WITH RAIN CHANCES INCREASING
SLIGHTLY BY SUNDAY NIGHT OR MONDAY./VII/.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  35  61  38  67  37 /  10  10   0   0   0
MLU  35  58  37  65  36 /  10  10   0   0   0
DEQ  30  57  32  63  33 /   0   0   0   0   0
TXK  33  57  38  63  35 /  10   0   0   0   0
ELD  32  57  34  64  35 /  10  10   0   0   0
TYR  35  61  38  65  38 /   0  10   0   0   0
GGG  33  61  37  68  37 /  10   0   0   0   0
LFK  37  63  38  69  38 /  10  10   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

09





000
FXUS64 KSHV 250343 AAA
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
943 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH CLOUDS AND LIGHT WINDS SHOULD ALLOW TEMPS TO COOL NICELY
THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HRS AS THE CENTER OF A SFC HIGH GRADUALLY
SHIFTS EWD OVER THE REGION. MINOR ADJUSTMENTS WERE MADE TO
DEWPOINT/WIND/SKY GRIDS BASED ON TRENDS IN LATEST OBS.
OTHERWISE...REMAINDER OF GRIDS LEFT INTACT. UPDATED PRODUCTS HAVE
BEEN SENT. /09/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 653 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

AVIATION...

VFR FLIGHT CATEGORIES WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TERMINAL FORECAST
PERIOD ENDING AT 26/00Z ACROSS THE ARKLATEX. MAINLY HIGH MIDDLE LEVEL
CLOUDS BETWEEN 15-20 KFT OR CIRRUS AROUND 20-25 KFT EXPECTED.
SURFACE WINDS WILL BE LIGHT WEST TO NORTHWEST LESS THAN 7 KNOTS AND
BECOMING NORTHWEST TO NORTH AND BETWEEN 6-10 KNOTS ON TUESDAY. /06/

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 234 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
BROAD LONG WAVE TROUGH TO SLOWLY SWING ACROSS SOUTHERN PLAINS FOR
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. DESPITE GOOD RADIATION COOLING
CONDITIONS...SOME UPPER LVL CLOUDS WILL BE GENERATED BY THIS
TROUGH. RAISED OVERNIGHT LOWS TONIGHT A COUPLE DEGREES ACROSS
SOUTH CWA TO ACCOUNT FOR BAND OF CIRRUS ENTERING THAT REGION LATE
TONIGHT. TEMPS MAY DIP TO JUST BELOW FREEZING FURTHER
NORTH...MAINLY NORTH OF I-30...IN CLEARER SKIES. WHILE THE COLDEST
AIR AT BASE OF UPPER TROUGH TO MOVE ACROSS AREA TOMORROW NIGHT...
ADDITIONAL UPPER LVL...AND PERHAPS MID LVL CLOUDS...TO ADVANCE
INTO NORTHERN CWA....KEEPING ENTIRE AREA JUST ABOVE FRZG MARK.
THE STG NW FLOW ALOFT TO KEEP DRY WX PATTERN AND FAIRLY PERSISTENT
TEMPS TO JUST BELOW SEASONAL NORMS. A BAND OF ISENTROPIC LIFT
BEGINS TO BUILD INTO CWA FROM SOUTH TX BY AROUND SAT NIGHT....BUT
MOISTURE WILL REMAIN MARGINAL...WITH RAIN CHANCES INCREASING
SLIGHTLY BY SUNDAY NIGHT OR MONDAY./VII/.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  35  61  38  67  37 /  10  10   0   0   0
MLU  35  58  37  65  36 /  10  10   0   0   0
DEQ  30  57  32  63  33 /   0   0   0   0   0
TXK  33  57  38  63  35 /  10   0   0   0   0
ELD  32  57  34  64  35 /  10  10   0   0   0
TYR  35  61  38  65  38 /   0  10   0   0   0
GGG  33  61  37  68  37 /  10   0   0   0   0
LFK  37  63  38  69  38 /  10  10   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

09





000
FXUS64 KSHV 250343 AAA
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
943 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH CLOUDS AND LIGHT WINDS SHOULD ALLOW TEMPS TO COOL NICELY
THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HRS AS THE CENTER OF A SFC HIGH GRADUALLY
SHIFTS EWD OVER THE REGION. MINOR ADJUSTMENTS WERE MADE TO
DEWPOINT/WIND/SKY GRIDS BASED ON TRENDS IN LATEST OBS.
OTHERWISE...REMAINDER OF GRIDS LEFT INTACT. UPDATED PRODUCTS HAVE
BEEN SENT. /09/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 653 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

AVIATION...

VFR FLIGHT CATEGORIES WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TERMINAL FORECAST
PERIOD ENDING AT 26/00Z ACROSS THE ARKLATEX. MAINLY HIGH MIDDLE LEVEL
CLOUDS BETWEEN 15-20 KFT OR CIRRUS AROUND 20-25 KFT EXPECTED.
SURFACE WINDS WILL BE LIGHT WEST TO NORTHWEST LESS THAN 7 KNOTS AND
BECOMING NORTHWEST TO NORTH AND BETWEEN 6-10 KNOTS ON TUESDAY. /06/

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 234 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
BROAD LONG WAVE TROUGH TO SLOWLY SWING ACROSS SOUTHERN PLAINS FOR
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. DESPITE GOOD RADIATION COOLING
CONDITIONS...SOME UPPER LVL CLOUDS WILL BE GENERATED BY THIS
TROUGH. RAISED OVERNIGHT LOWS TONIGHT A COUPLE DEGREES ACROSS
SOUTH CWA TO ACCOUNT FOR BAND OF CIRRUS ENTERING THAT REGION LATE
TONIGHT. TEMPS MAY DIP TO JUST BELOW FREEZING FURTHER
NORTH...MAINLY NORTH OF I-30...IN CLEARER SKIES. WHILE THE COLDEST
AIR AT BASE OF UPPER TROUGH TO MOVE ACROSS AREA TOMORROW NIGHT...
ADDITIONAL UPPER LVL...AND PERHAPS MID LVL CLOUDS...TO ADVANCE
INTO NORTHERN CWA....KEEPING ENTIRE AREA JUST ABOVE FRZG MARK.
THE STG NW FLOW ALOFT TO KEEP DRY WX PATTERN AND FAIRLY PERSISTENT
TEMPS TO JUST BELOW SEASONAL NORMS. A BAND OF ISENTROPIC LIFT
BEGINS TO BUILD INTO CWA FROM SOUTH TX BY AROUND SAT NIGHT....BUT
MOISTURE WILL REMAIN MARGINAL...WITH RAIN CHANCES INCREASING
SLIGHTLY BY SUNDAY NIGHT OR MONDAY./VII/.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  35  61  38  67  37 /  10  10   0   0   0
MLU  35  58  37  65  36 /  10  10   0   0   0
DEQ  30  57  32  63  33 /   0   0   0   0   0
TXK  33  57  38  63  35 /  10   0   0   0   0
ELD  32  57  34  64  35 /  10  10   0   0   0
TYR  35  61  38  65  38 /   0  10   0   0   0
GGG  33  61  37  68  37 /  10   0   0   0   0
LFK  37  63  38  69  38 /  10  10   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

09





000
FXUS64 KLCH 250235
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
835 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.UPDATE...THE AREA CONTINUES TO COOL WITH TEMPS DOWN INTO UPPER
40S NORTH TO AROUND 60 ALONG THE COAST... HOWEVER TEMPS WERE NOT
COOLING AS FAST AS PREVIOUSLY FORECAST. THE TEMPS AND CLOUD COVER
HAS BEEN INCREASED SOMEWHAT FOR TONIGHT TO REFLECT THE CURRENT
TRENDS.




&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 526 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
FOR THE 25/00Z TAF ISSUANCE.

AVIATION...
SHORT WAVE MOVING DOWN FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL HELP INCREASE
MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS ACROSS THE REGION DURING THE PERIOD.
HOWEVER...A MAINLY DRY NORTHERLY FLOW IN THE LOW LEVELS WILL KEEP
CONDITIONS AT VFR LEVELS.

RUA

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 246 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

SYNOPSIS...TIGHT GRADIENT OFF SHORE REMAINS WHILE HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS IN FROM TEXAS. WINDS SHOULD DIMINISH TONIGHT AWAY FROM THE
COAST. COOL TEMPERATURES CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT
AS A REINFORCING COLD FRONT FILTERS THROUGH.

SOUTHERLY WINDS RETURN LATE FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE PUSHES ON TO
THE EAST. WEEKEND TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE QUITE WARM WITH NO RAIN
IN SIGHT THANKS TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGING TO THE WEST.

SHORT TERM...TEMPS SHOULD TREND A BIT LOWER THAN GUIDANCE TNITE
BUT NOT AS LOW AS PREVIOUSLY INDICATED WITH JET CIRRUS HELPING TO
KEEP TEMPS FROM BOTTOMING OUT. WE SHOULD REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING.
NOT EXPECTING FROST DUE TO THE HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS.

LONG TERM...SEASONABLY COOL FOR THANKSGIVING AND DRY AS THE
SURFACE RIDGE MOVES OVERHEAD. BLENDED IN SOME WARMER EURO MODEL
TEMPS THIS WEEKEND WITH LOWER 70S POSSIBLE SATURDAY AND SUNDAY
AFTERNOON. SOME MENTION OF RAIN EARLY NEXT WEEK AS GULF MOISTURE
BEGINS TO DEEPEN IN ADVANCE OF A WEST COAST TROF.

MARINE...MADE SOME ADJUSTMENTS TO EXTEND THE SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORIES OVER THE OFF SHORE WATERS MAINLY DUE TO WINDS
PERSISTING ESPECIALLY TO THE EAST DUE TO A TIGHT PRESSURE
GRADIENT.

SWEENEY

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  41  61  40  65  45 /   0  10   0   0   0
KBPT  42  63  41  66  45 /   0  10   0   0   0
KAEX  37  60  36  64  41 /   0  10   0   0   0
KLFT  42  59  37  64  43 /   0  10  10   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL
     CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL
     CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON
     LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL
     CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON
     LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO
     CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH
     ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM.

&&

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES

&&

$$







000
FXUS64 KSHV 250053
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
653 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.AVIATION...

VFR FLIGHT CATEGORIES WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TERMINAL FORECAST
PERIOD ENDING AT 26/00Z ACROSS THE ARKLATEX. MAINLY HIGH MIDDLE LEVEL
CLOUDS BETWEEN 15-20 KFT OR CIRRUS AROUND 20-25 KFT EXPECTED.
SURFACE WINDS WILL BE LIGHT WEST TO NORTHWEST LESS THAN 7 KNOTS AND
BECOMING NORTHWEST TO NORTH AND BETWEEN 6-10 KNOTS ON TUESDAY. /06/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 234 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
BROAD LONG WAVE TROUGH TO SLOWLY SWING ACROSS SOUTHERN PLAINS FOR
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. DESPITE GOOD RADIATION COOLING
CONDITIONS...SOME UPPER LVL CLOUDS WILL BE GENERATED BY THIS
TROUGH. RAISED OVERNIGHT LOWS TONIGHT A COUPLE DEGREES ACROSS
SOUTH CWA TO ACCOUNT FOR BAND OF CIRRUS ENTERING THAT REGION LATE
TONIGHT. TEMPS MAY DIP TO JUST BELOW FREEZING FURTHER
NORTH...MAINLY NORTH OF I-30...IN CLEARER SKIES. WHILE THE COLDEST
AIR AT BASE OF UPPER TROUGH TO MOVE ACROSS AREA TOMORROW NIGHT...
ADDITIONAL UPPER LVL...AND PERHAPS MID LVL CLOUDS...TO ADVANCE
INTO NORTHERN CWA....KEEPING ENTIRE AREA JUST ABOVE FRZG MARK.
THE STG NW FLOW ALOFT TO KEEP DRY WX PATTERN AND FAIRLY PERSISTENT
TEMPS TO JUST BELOW SEASONAL NORMS. A BAND OF ISENTROPIC LIFT
BEGINS TO BUILD INTO CWA FROM SOUTH TX BY AROUND SAT NIGHT....BUT
MOISTURE WILL REMAIN MARGINAL...WITH RAIN CHANCES INCREASING
SLIGHTLY BY SUNDAY NIGHT OR MONDAY./VII/.


PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1121 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
COLD AIR ADVECTION WEAK TODAY...ON TAIL END OF COLD AIR THAT MOVED
ACROSS OHIO VALLEY. NW WINDS AROUND 10 MPH AND SUNNY SKIES WILL
ALLOW FOR MODEST WARMING...MAINLY INTO THE LOWER TO MID 60S.
RAISED DAYTIME HIGHS A COUPLE DEGREES SOUTHERN CWA. NO OTHER
CHANGES NEEDED. /VII/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  35  61  38  67  37 /  10  10   0   0   0
MLU  35  58  37  65  36 /  10  10   0   0   0
DEQ  30  57  32  63  33 /   0   0   0   0   0
TXK  33  57  38  63  35 /  10   0   0   0   0
ELD  32  57  34  64  35 /  10  10   0   0   0
TYR  35  61  38  65  38 /   0  10   0   0   0
GGG  33  61  37  68  37 /  10   0   0   0   0
LFK  37  63  38  69  38 /  10  10   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

06





000
FXUS64 KSHV 250053
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
653 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.AVIATION...

VFR FLIGHT CATEGORIES WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TERMINAL FORECAST
PERIOD ENDING AT 26/00Z ACROSS THE ARKLATEX. MAINLY HIGH MIDDLE LEVEL
CLOUDS BETWEEN 15-20 KFT OR CIRRUS AROUND 20-25 KFT EXPECTED.
SURFACE WINDS WILL BE LIGHT WEST TO NORTHWEST LESS THAN 7 KNOTS AND
BECOMING NORTHWEST TO NORTH AND BETWEEN 6-10 KNOTS ON TUESDAY. /06/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 234 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
BROAD LONG WAVE TROUGH TO SLOWLY SWING ACROSS SOUTHERN PLAINS FOR
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. DESPITE GOOD RADIATION COOLING
CONDITIONS...SOME UPPER LVL CLOUDS WILL BE GENERATED BY THIS
TROUGH. RAISED OVERNIGHT LOWS TONIGHT A COUPLE DEGREES ACROSS
SOUTH CWA TO ACCOUNT FOR BAND OF CIRRUS ENTERING THAT REGION LATE
TONIGHT. TEMPS MAY DIP TO JUST BELOW FREEZING FURTHER
NORTH...MAINLY NORTH OF I-30...IN CLEARER SKIES. WHILE THE COLDEST
AIR AT BASE OF UPPER TROUGH TO MOVE ACROSS AREA TOMORROW NIGHT...
ADDITIONAL UPPER LVL...AND PERHAPS MID LVL CLOUDS...TO ADVANCE
INTO NORTHERN CWA....KEEPING ENTIRE AREA JUST ABOVE FRZG MARK.
THE STG NW FLOW ALOFT TO KEEP DRY WX PATTERN AND FAIRLY PERSISTENT
TEMPS TO JUST BELOW SEASONAL NORMS. A BAND OF ISENTROPIC LIFT
BEGINS TO BUILD INTO CWA FROM SOUTH TX BY AROUND SAT NIGHT....BUT
MOISTURE WILL REMAIN MARGINAL...WITH RAIN CHANCES INCREASING
SLIGHTLY BY SUNDAY NIGHT OR MONDAY./VII/.


PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1121 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
COLD AIR ADVECTION WEAK TODAY...ON TAIL END OF COLD AIR THAT MOVED
ACROSS OHIO VALLEY. NW WINDS AROUND 10 MPH AND SUNNY SKIES WILL
ALLOW FOR MODEST WARMING...MAINLY INTO THE LOWER TO MID 60S.
RAISED DAYTIME HIGHS A COUPLE DEGREES SOUTHERN CWA. NO OTHER
CHANGES NEEDED. /VII/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  35  61  38  67  37 /  10  10   0   0   0
MLU  35  58  37  65  36 /  10  10   0   0   0
DEQ  30  57  32  63  33 /   0   0   0   0   0
TXK  33  57  38  63  35 /  10   0   0   0   0
ELD  32  57  34  64  35 /  10  10   0   0   0
TYR  35  61  38  65  38 /   0  10   0   0   0
GGG  33  61  37  68  37 /  10   0   0   0   0
LFK  37  63  38  69  38 /  10  10   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

06





000
FXUS64 KSHV 250053
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
653 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.AVIATION...

VFR FLIGHT CATEGORIES WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TERMINAL FORECAST
PERIOD ENDING AT 26/00Z ACROSS THE ARKLATEX. MAINLY HIGH MIDDLE LEVEL
CLOUDS BETWEEN 15-20 KFT OR CIRRUS AROUND 20-25 KFT EXPECTED.
SURFACE WINDS WILL BE LIGHT WEST TO NORTHWEST LESS THAN 7 KNOTS AND
BECOMING NORTHWEST TO NORTH AND BETWEEN 6-10 KNOTS ON TUESDAY. /06/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 234 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
BROAD LONG WAVE TROUGH TO SLOWLY SWING ACROSS SOUTHERN PLAINS FOR
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. DESPITE GOOD RADIATION COOLING
CONDITIONS...SOME UPPER LVL CLOUDS WILL BE GENERATED BY THIS
TROUGH. RAISED OVERNIGHT LOWS TONIGHT A COUPLE DEGREES ACROSS
SOUTH CWA TO ACCOUNT FOR BAND OF CIRRUS ENTERING THAT REGION LATE
TONIGHT. TEMPS MAY DIP TO JUST BELOW FREEZING FURTHER
NORTH...MAINLY NORTH OF I-30...IN CLEARER SKIES. WHILE THE COLDEST
AIR AT BASE OF UPPER TROUGH TO MOVE ACROSS AREA TOMORROW NIGHT...
ADDITIONAL UPPER LVL...AND PERHAPS MID LVL CLOUDS...TO ADVANCE
INTO NORTHERN CWA....KEEPING ENTIRE AREA JUST ABOVE FRZG MARK.
THE STG NW FLOW ALOFT TO KEEP DRY WX PATTERN AND FAIRLY PERSISTENT
TEMPS TO JUST BELOW SEASONAL NORMS. A BAND OF ISENTROPIC LIFT
BEGINS TO BUILD INTO CWA FROM SOUTH TX BY AROUND SAT NIGHT....BUT
MOISTURE WILL REMAIN MARGINAL...WITH RAIN CHANCES INCREASING
SLIGHTLY BY SUNDAY NIGHT OR MONDAY./VII/.


PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1121 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
COLD AIR ADVECTION WEAK TODAY...ON TAIL END OF COLD AIR THAT MOVED
ACROSS OHIO VALLEY. NW WINDS AROUND 10 MPH AND SUNNY SKIES WILL
ALLOW FOR MODEST WARMING...MAINLY INTO THE LOWER TO MID 60S.
RAISED DAYTIME HIGHS A COUPLE DEGREES SOUTHERN CWA. NO OTHER
CHANGES NEEDED. /VII/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  35  61  38  67  37 /  10  10   0   0   0
MLU  35  58  37  65  36 /  10  10   0   0   0
DEQ  30  57  32  63  33 /   0   0   0   0   0
TXK  33  57  38  63  35 /  10   0   0   0   0
ELD  32  57  34  64  35 /  10  10   0   0   0
TYR  35  61  38  65  38 /   0  10   0   0   0
GGG  33  61  37  68  37 /  10   0   0   0   0
LFK  37  63  38  69  38 /  10  10   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

06





000
FXUS64 KSHV 250053
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
653 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.AVIATION...

VFR FLIGHT CATEGORIES WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TERMINAL FORECAST
PERIOD ENDING AT 26/00Z ACROSS THE ARKLATEX. MAINLY HIGH MIDDLE LEVEL
CLOUDS BETWEEN 15-20 KFT OR CIRRUS AROUND 20-25 KFT EXPECTED.
SURFACE WINDS WILL BE LIGHT WEST TO NORTHWEST LESS THAN 7 KNOTS AND
BECOMING NORTHWEST TO NORTH AND BETWEEN 6-10 KNOTS ON TUESDAY. /06/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 234 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
BROAD LONG WAVE TROUGH TO SLOWLY SWING ACROSS SOUTHERN PLAINS FOR
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. DESPITE GOOD RADIATION COOLING
CONDITIONS...SOME UPPER LVL CLOUDS WILL BE GENERATED BY THIS
TROUGH. RAISED OVERNIGHT LOWS TONIGHT A COUPLE DEGREES ACROSS
SOUTH CWA TO ACCOUNT FOR BAND OF CIRRUS ENTERING THAT REGION LATE
TONIGHT. TEMPS MAY DIP TO JUST BELOW FREEZING FURTHER
NORTH...MAINLY NORTH OF I-30...IN CLEARER SKIES. WHILE THE COLDEST
AIR AT BASE OF UPPER TROUGH TO MOVE ACROSS AREA TOMORROW NIGHT...
ADDITIONAL UPPER LVL...AND PERHAPS MID LVL CLOUDS...TO ADVANCE
INTO NORTHERN CWA....KEEPING ENTIRE AREA JUST ABOVE FRZG MARK.
THE STG NW FLOW ALOFT TO KEEP DRY WX PATTERN AND FAIRLY PERSISTENT
TEMPS TO JUST BELOW SEASONAL NORMS. A BAND OF ISENTROPIC LIFT
BEGINS TO BUILD INTO CWA FROM SOUTH TX BY AROUND SAT NIGHT....BUT
MOISTURE WILL REMAIN MARGINAL...WITH RAIN CHANCES INCREASING
SLIGHTLY BY SUNDAY NIGHT OR MONDAY./VII/.


PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1121 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
COLD AIR ADVECTION WEAK TODAY...ON TAIL END OF COLD AIR THAT MOVED
ACROSS OHIO VALLEY. NW WINDS AROUND 10 MPH AND SUNNY SKIES WILL
ALLOW FOR MODEST WARMING...MAINLY INTO THE LOWER TO MID 60S.
RAISED DAYTIME HIGHS A COUPLE DEGREES SOUTHERN CWA. NO OTHER
CHANGES NEEDED. /VII/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  35  61  38  67  37 /  10  10   0   0   0
MLU  35  58  37  65  36 /  10  10   0   0   0
DEQ  30  57  32  63  33 /   0   0   0   0   0
TXK  33  57  38  63  35 /  10   0   0   0   0
ELD  32  57  34  64  35 /  10  10   0   0   0
TYR  35  61  38  65  38 /   0  10   0   0   0
GGG  33  61  37  68  37 /  10   0   0   0   0
LFK  37  63  38  69  38 /  10  10   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

06





000
FXUS64 KLIX 250052
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
652 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014

...SOUNDING DISCUSSION...

DRIER AIR HAS BEEN MOVING INTO SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWEST
MISSISSIPPI TODAY IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT THAT HAS PUSHED
THROUGH OUR AREA. THE PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUE HAS DROPPED FROM
0.91 INCHES THIS MORNING TO 0.63 INCHES THIS EVENING. THERE IS AN
ELEVATED TEMPERATURE INVERSION BETWEEN 2600 AND 4600 FEET AND A
FEW OTHER MUCH SMALLER INVERSIONS ABOVE THIS INVERSION.
OVERALL...TEMPERATURES ARE LOWER /COOLER/ AT ANY GIVEN LEVEL
THAN 24 HOURS AGO. THE WIND PROFILE IS TYPICAL OF A POST-FRONTAL
ATMOSPHERE WITH BACKING WINDS. WINDS FROM THE SURFACE TO 2500 FEET
WERE FROM THE NORTH BETWEEN 15 AND 20 KNOTS. THEN WINDS SHIFTED
AND WERE FROM THE SOUTHWEST FROM 5000 FEET TO THE TROPOPAUSE. A
PEAK WIND SPEED OF 129 KNOTS WAS LOCATED AT 33500 FEET.

00Z BALLOON INFO: NO ISSUES WITH THE FLIGHT THIS EVENING. THE
BALLOON ATTAINED A HEIGHT OF 19.7 MILES ABOVE THE GROUND BEFORE
BURSTING NEAR TIBBIE AL 118 MILES DOWNRANGE. THE BALLOON WAS IN
FLIGHT 102 MINUTES.

ANSORGE

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 402 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

SHORT TERM...
COLD FRONT PASSED OFFSHORE EARLIER THIS MORNING BUT TEMPS HAVE STILL
BEEN ABLE TO MAX OUT IN THE MID 60S TO MID 70S. DEWPOINTS PAID NO
ATTENTION AND HAVE BEEN FALLING ALL DAY LONG. ALTHOUGH LOWS WILL BE
MUCH COOLER TONIGHT THAN LAST NIGHT...THEY MAY NOT BE AS COLD AS
PREVIOUSLY FORECASTED. VISIBLE SATELLITE SHOWS A STREAM OF CIRRUS
CLOUDS MOVING IN FROM THE SW OVER CENTRAL PORTIONS OF LA AS WELL AS
THICKER MID/HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO
SLIGHTLY EXPANDING NORTH INTO THE CWA. THIS WILL BE ONE FACTOR TO
LIMIT OVERNIGHT COOLING SOMEWHAT. THE OTHER IS WIND. THE CENTER OF
THE HIGH PRESSURE BEHIND THE FRONT WILL STILL BE OVER EASTERN TEXAS
AND OKLAHOMA BY 12Z TUESDAY AND THUS STILL HAVE A DECENT PRESSURE
GRADIENT OVER THE CWA. THIS WILL KEEP WINDS ELEVATED OVERNIGHT AND
IN THE 5-10 MPH RANGE. JUST DONT SEE TEMPERATURES FALLING OVERLY LOW
IN A LIGHT BREEZE AND SLIGHTLY CLOUDY REGIME. SO HAVE BROUGHT UP
FORECAST LOWS BY 3 TO 5 DEGREES AREAWIDE AND THAT MAY NOT BE ENOUGH.

A WEAKER SHORTWAVE IN THE UPPER LEVELS WILL SWING ALONG THE BASE OF
THE TROUGH AND THROUGH THE AREA TUESDAY. THIS WILL DRAW THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY STALLED OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO BACK NORTH TOWARDS OUR CWA.
HOW FAR NORTH REMAINS TO BE SEEN AND CRUCIAL TO HOW FAR INLAND
SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH THE BOUNDARY MEET. LATEST GUIDANCE SHOWS
THIS TO BE SLIGHTLY LESS INLAND THAN PREVIOUS RUNS SO HAVE TRIMMED
THE WESTERN EDGE OF THIS PRECIP TO EAST OF A SLIDELL TO HOUMA LINE.
TIME FRAME OF SHOWERS LOOK TO BE TUESDAY AFTERNOON THRU MIDNIGHT...
OR UNTIL THE TROUGH FINALLY KICKS THE BOUNDARY EAST AND INTO THE
ATLANTIC OCEAN.

LONG TERM...
QUITE TRANQUIL CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AS
THE AREA WILL BE UNDER GENERAL NORTHWEST FLOW IN THE UPPER LEVELS
AND DOMINATED BY SURFACE RIDGE CENTERED TO THE NORTH. THIS PATTERN
WILL KEEP COOLER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN PLACE. ONCE THIS RIDGE
SLIDES EAST THIS WEEKEND...SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL RETURN AND PICK
MOISTURE BACK UP OVER THE AREA. COULD SEE A FEW SHOWERS RETURN LATE
IN THE WEEKEND OR EARLY NEXT WEEK.

MEFFER

AVIATION...

ANTICIPATE VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. CIRRUS WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT INTO TUESDAY. ANOTHER
IMPULSE LIFTING THROUGH THE BASE OF THE UPPER TROF WILL SPREAD MID
LEVEL CLOUDS ACROSS THE FAR EASTERN SECTIONS TOMORROW...AND
PROBABLY ONLY AFFECT KGPT. WIND WILL BE THE MAIN FORECAST CONCERN
DOWNWIND OF LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN LATE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY WITH 15 TO
20 KNOT WINDS EXPECTED. 35

MARINE...

COLDER AND DRIER AIR WILL REACH THE COASTAL WATERS THIS EVENING AND
WILL HOIST EXERCISE CAUTION FLAGS FOR THE TIDAL LAKES AND
MISSISSIPPI SOUND...AND SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY ELSEWHERE THROUGH
TUESDAY. WOULDNT BE SURPRISED TO SEE A FEW SPOTS ON THE LAKES GET
CLOSE TO ADVISORY LEVEL CONDITIONS. ADVISORY MAY NEED TO BE
LENGTHENED ON THE BACK END INTO TUESDAY NIGHT...AT LEAST OVER THE
OPEN WATERS. ANOTHER REINFORCING SHOT OF COOL AIR EXPECTED TO
INCREASE WINDS AGAIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...BUT COLD
ADVECTION NOT QUITE AS STRONG WITH THAT ONE. ONSHORE FLOW AROUND 10
KNOTS EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE WEEKEND. 35

DECISION SUPPORT...
DSS CODE...BLUE.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...SLURRY SUPPORT
             SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES BEGIN TONIGHT

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
         WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR
         AND/OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL
         SIGNIFICANCE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  41  58  36  64 /  10  10  10   0
BTR  42  59  37  65 /  10  10  10   0
ASD  43  61  37  63 /  10  10  10   0
MSY  48  60  42  63 /  10  10  10   0
GPT  44  60  39  61 /  10  20  30   0
PQL  42  61  38  61 /  10  30  30  10

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 9 PM MONDAY TO 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL
     WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL
     WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON
     TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     STAKE ISLAND LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST
     PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO
     60 NM...AND COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM.

MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 9 PM MONDAY TO 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL
     WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL
     WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON
     TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     STAKE ISLAND LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST
     PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO
     60 NM...AND COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$







000
FXUS64 KLIX 250052
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
652 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014

...SOUNDING DISCUSSION...

DRIER AIR HAS BEEN MOVING INTO SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWEST
MISSISSIPPI TODAY IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT THAT HAS PUSHED
THROUGH OUR AREA. THE PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUE HAS DROPPED FROM
0.91 INCHES THIS MORNING TO 0.63 INCHES THIS EVENING. THERE IS AN
ELEVATED TEMPERATURE INVERSION BETWEEN 2600 AND 4600 FEET AND A
FEW OTHER MUCH SMALLER INVERSIONS ABOVE THIS INVERSION.
OVERALL...TEMPERATURES ARE LOWER /COOLER/ AT ANY GIVEN LEVEL
THAN 24 HOURS AGO. THE WIND PROFILE IS TYPICAL OF A POST-FRONTAL
ATMOSPHERE WITH BACKING WINDS. WINDS FROM THE SURFACE TO 2500 FEET
WERE FROM THE NORTH BETWEEN 15 AND 20 KNOTS. THEN WINDS SHIFTED
AND WERE FROM THE SOUTHWEST FROM 5000 FEET TO THE TROPOPAUSE. A
PEAK WIND SPEED OF 129 KNOTS WAS LOCATED AT 33500 FEET.

00Z BALLOON INFO: NO ISSUES WITH THE FLIGHT THIS EVENING. THE
BALLOON ATTAINED A HEIGHT OF 19.7 MILES ABOVE THE GROUND BEFORE
BURSTING NEAR TIBBIE AL 118 MILES DOWNRANGE. THE BALLOON WAS IN
FLIGHT 102 MINUTES.

ANSORGE

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 402 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

SHORT TERM...
COLD FRONT PASSED OFFSHORE EARLIER THIS MORNING BUT TEMPS HAVE STILL
BEEN ABLE TO MAX OUT IN THE MID 60S TO MID 70S. DEWPOINTS PAID NO
ATTENTION AND HAVE BEEN FALLING ALL DAY LONG. ALTHOUGH LOWS WILL BE
MUCH COOLER TONIGHT THAN LAST NIGHT...THEY MAY NOT BE AS COLD AS
PREVIOUSLY FORECASTED. VISIBLE SATELLITE SHOWS A STREAM OF CIRRUS
CLOUDS MOVING IN FROM THE SW OVER CENTRAL PORTIONS OF LA AS WELL AS
THICKER MID/HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO
SLIGHTLY EXPANDING NORTH INTO THE CWA. THIS WILL BE ONE FACTOR TO
LIMIT OVERNIGHT COOLING SOMEWHAT. THE OTHER IS WIND. THE CENTER OF
THE HIGH PRESSURE BEHIND THE FRONT WILL STILL BE OVER EASTERN TEXAS
AND OKLAHOMA BY 12Z TUESDAY AND THUS STILL HAVE A DECENT PRESSURE
GRADIENT OVER THE CWA. THIS WILL KEEP WINDS ELEVATED OVERNIGHT AND
IN THE 5-10 MPH RANGE. JUST DONT SEE TEMPERATURES FALLING OVERLY LOW
IN A LIGHT BREEZE AND SLIGHTLY CLOUDY REGIME. SO HAVE BROUGHT UP
FORECAST LOWS BY 3 TO 5 DEGREES AREAWIDE AND THAT MAY NOT BE ENOUGH.

A WEAKER SHORTWAVE IN THE UPPER LEVELS WILL SWING ALONG THE BASE OF
THE TROUGH AND THROUGH THE AREA TUESDAY. THIS WILL DRAW THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY STALLED OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO BACK NORTH TOWARDS OUR CWA.
HOW FAR NORTH REMAINS TO BE SEEN AND CRUCIAL TO HOW FAR INLAND
SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH THE BOUNDARY MEET. LATEST GUIDANCE SHOWS
THIS TO BE SLIGHTLY LESS INLAND THAN PREVIOUS RUNS SO HAVE TRIMMED
THE WESTERN EDGE OF THIS PRECIP TO EAST OF A SLIDELL TO HOUMA LINE.
TIME FRAME OF SHOWERS LOOK TO BE TUESDAY AFTERNOON THRU MIDNIGHT...
OR UNTIL THE TROUGH FINALLY KICKS THE BOUNDARY EAST AND INTO THE
ATLANTIC OCEAN.

LONG TERM...
QUITE TRANQUIL CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AS
THE AREA WILL BE UNDER GENERAL NORTHWEST FLOW IN THE UPPER LEVELS
AND DOMINATED BY SURFACE RIDGE CENTERED TO THE NORTH. THIS PATTERN
WILL KEEP COOLER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN PLACE. ONCE THIS RIDGE
SLIDES EAST THIS WEEKEND...SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL RETURN AND PICK
MOISTURE BACK UP OVER THE AREA. COULD SEE A FEW SHOWERS RETURN LATE
IN THE WEEKEND OR EARLY NEXT WEEK.

MEFFER

AVIATION...

ANTICIPATE VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. CIRRUS WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT INTO TUESDAY. ANOTHER
IMPULSE LIFTING THROUGH THE BASE OF THE UPPER TROF WILL SPREAD MID
LEVEL CLOUDS ACROSS THE FAR EASTERN SECTIONS TOMORROW...AND
PROBABLY ONLY AFFECT KGPT. WIND WILL BE THE MAIN FORECAST CONCERN
DOWNWIND OF LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN LATE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY WITH 15 TO
20 KNOT WINDS EXPECTED. 35

MARINE...

COLDER AND DRIER AIR WILL REACH THE COASTAL WATERS THIS EVENING AND
WILL HOIST EXERCISE CAUTION FLAGS FOR THE TIDAL LAKES AND
MISSISSIPPI SOUND...AND SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY ELSEWHERE THROUGH
TUESDAY. WOULDNT BE SURPRISED TO SEE A FEW SPOTS ON THE LAKES GET
CLOSE TO ADVISORY LEVEL CONDITIONS. ADVISORY MAY NEED TO BE
LENGTHENED ON THE BACK END INTO TUESDAY NIGHT...AT LEAST OVER THE
OPEN WATERS. ANOTHER REINFORCING SHOT OF COOL AIR EXPECTED TO
INCREASE WINDS AGAIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...BUT COLD
ADVECTION NOT QUITE AS STRONG WITH THAT ONE. ONSHORE FLOW AROUND 10
KNOTS EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE WEEKEND. 35

DECISION SUPPORT...
DSS CODE...BLUE.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...SLURRY SUPPORT
             SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES BEGIN TONIGHT

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
         WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR
         AND/OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL
         SIGNIFICANCE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  41  58  36  64 /  10  10  10   0
BTR  42  59  37  65 /  10  10  10   0
ASD  43  61  37  63 /  10  10  10   0
MSY  48  60  42  63 /  10  10  10   0
GPT  44  60  39  61 /  10  20  30   0
PQL  42  61  38  61 /  10  30  30  10

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 9 PM MONDAY TO 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL
     WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL
     WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON
     TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     STAKE ISLAND LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST
     PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO
     60 NM...AND COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM.

MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 9 PM MONDAY TO 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL
     WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL
     WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON
     TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     STAKE ISLAND LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST
     PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO
     60 NM...AND COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KLCH 242326
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
526 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...
FOR THE 25/00Z TAF ISSUANCE.

&&

.AVIATION...
SHORT WAVE MOVING DOWN FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL HELP INCREASE
MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS ACROSS THE REGION DURING THE PERIOD.
HOWEVER...A MAINLY DRY NORTHERLY FLOW IN THE LOW LEVELS WILL KEEP
CONDITIONS AT VFR LEVELS.

RUA

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 246 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

SYNOPSIS...TIGHT GRADIENT OFF SHORE REMAINS WHILE HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS IN FROM TEXAS. WINDS SHOULD DIMINISH TONIGHT AWAY FROM THE
COAST. COOL TEMPERATURES CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT
AS A REINFORCING COLD FRONT FILTERS THROUGH.

SOUTHERLY WINDS RETURN LATE FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE PUSHES ON TO
THE EAST. WEEKEND TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE QUITE WARM WITH NO RAIN
IN SIGHT THANKS TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGING TO THE WEST.

SHORT TERM...TEMPS SHOULD TREND A BIT LOWER THAN GUIDANCE TNITE
BUT NOT AS LOW AS PREVIOUSLY INDICATED WITH JET CIRRUS HELPING TO
KEEP TEMPS FROM BOTTOMING OUT. WE SHOULD REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING.
NOT EXPECTING FROST DUE TO THE HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS.

LONG TERM...SEASONABLY COOL FOR THANKSGIVING AND DRY AS THE
SURFACE RIDGE MOVES OVERHEAD. BLENDED IN SOME WARMER EURO MODEL
TEMPS THIS WEEKEND WITH LOWER 70S POSSIBLE SATURDAY AND SUNDAY
AFTERNOON. SOME MENTION OF RAIN EARLY NEXT WEEK AS GULF MOISTURE
BEGINS TO DEEPEN IN ADVANCE OF A WEST COAST TROF.

MARINE...MADE SOME ADJUSTMENTS TO EXTEND THE SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORIES OVER THE OFF SHORE WATERS MAINLY DUE TO WINDS
PERSISTING ESPECIALLY TO THE EAST DUE TO A TIGHT PRESSURE
GRADIENT.

SWEENEY

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  38  61  40  65  45 /   0  10   0   0   0
KBPT  39  63  41  66  45 /   0  10   0   0   0
KAEX  35  60  36  64  41 /   0  10   0   0   0
KLFT  41  59  37  64  43 /   0  10  10   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL
     CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20
     TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20
     TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO
     CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH
     ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$







000
FXUS64 KLCH 242326
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
526 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...
FOR THE 25/00Z TAF ISSUANCE.

&&

.AVIATION...
SHORT WAVE MOVING DOWN FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL HELP INCREASE
MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS ACROSS THE REGION DURING THE PERIOD.
HOWEVER...A MAINLY DRY NORTHERLY FLOW IN THE LOW LEVELS WILL KEEP
CONDITIONS AT VFR LEVELS.

RUA

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 246 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

SYNOPSIS...TIGHT GRADIENT OFF SHORE REMAINS WHILE HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS IN FROM TEXAS. WINDS SHOULD DIMINISH TONIGHT AWAY FROM THE
COAST. COOL TEMPERATURES CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT
AS A REINFORCING COLD FRONT FILTERS THROUGH.

SOUTHERLY WINDS RETURN LATE FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE PUSHES ON TO
THE EAST. WEEKEND TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE QUITE WARM WITH NO RAIN
IN SIGHT THANKS TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGING TO THE WEST.

SHORT TERM...TEMPS SHOULD TREND A BIT LOWER THAN GUIDANCE TNITE
BUT NOT AS LOW AS PREVIOUSLY INDICATED WITH JET CIRRUS HELPING TO
KEEP TEMPS FROM BOTTOMING OUT. WE SHOULD REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING.
NOT EXPECTING FROST DUE TO THE HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS.

LONG TERM...SEASONABLY COOL FOR THANKSGIVING AND DRY AS THE
SURFACE RIDGE MOVES OVERHEAD. BLENDED IN SOME WARMER EURO MODEL
TEMPS THIS WEEKEND WITH LOWER 70S POSSIBLE SATURDAY AND SUNDAY
AFTERNOON. SOME MENTION OF RAIN EARLY NEXT WEEK AS GULF MOISTURE
BEGINS TO DEEPEN IN ADVANCE OF A WEST COAST TROF.

MARINE...MADE SOME ADJUSTMENTS TO EXTEND THE SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORIES OVER THE OFF SHORE WATERS MAINLY DUE TO WINDS
PERSISTING ESPECIALLY TO THE EAST DUE TO A TIGHT PRESSURE
GRADIENT.

SWEENEY

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  38  61  40  65  45 /   0  10   0   0   0
KBPT  39  63  41  66  45 /   0  10   0   0   0
KAEX  35  60  36  64  41 /   0  10   0   0   0
KLFT  41  59  37  64  43 /   0  10  10   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL
     CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20
     TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20
     TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO
     CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH
     ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KLIX 242202
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
402 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.SHORT TERM...
COLD FRONT PASSED OFFSHORE EARLIER THIS MORNING BUT TEMPS HAVE STILL
BEEN ABLE TO MAX OUT IN THE MID 60S TO MID 70S. DEWPOINTS PAID NO
ATTENTION AND HAVE BEEN FALLING ALL DAY LONG. ALTHOUGH LOWS WILL BE
MUCH COOLER TONIGHT THAN LAST NIGHT...THEY MAY NOT BE AS COLD AS
PREVIOUSLY FORECASTED. VISIBLE SATELLITE SHOWS A STREAM OF CIRRUS
CLOUDS MOVING IN FROM THE SW OVER CENTRAL PORTIONS OF LA AS WELL AS
THICKER MID/HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO
SLIGHTLY EXPANDING NORTH INTO THE CWA. THIS WILL BE ONE FACTOR TO
LIMIT OVERNIGHT COOLING SOMEWHAT. THE OTHER IS WIND. THE CENTER OF
THE HIGH PRESSURE BEHIND THE FRONT WILL STILL BE OVER EASTERN TEXAS
AND OKLAHOMA BY 12Z TUESDAY AND THUS STILL HAVE A DECENT PRESSURE
GRADIENT OVER THE CWA. THIS WILL KEEP WINDS ELEVATED OVERNIGHT AND
IN THE 5-10 MPH RANGE. JUST DONT SEE TEMPERATURES FALLING OVERLY LOW
IN A LIGHT BREEZE AND SLIGHTLY CLOUDY REGIME. SO HAVE BROUGHT UP
FORECAST LOWS BY 3 TO 5 DEGREES AREAWIDE AND THAT MAY NOT BE ENOUGH.

A WEAKER SHORTWAVE IN THE UPPER LEVELS WILL SWING ALONG THE BASE OF
THE TROUGH AND THROUGH THE AREA TUESDAY. THIS WILL DRAW THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY STALLED OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO BACK NORTH TOWARDS OUR CWA.
HOW FAR NORTH REMAINS TO BE SEEN AND CRUCIAL TO HOW FAR INLAND
SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH THE BOUNDARY MEET. LATEST GUIDANCE SHOWS
THIS TO BE SLIGHTLY LESS INLAND THAN PREVIOUS RUNS SO HAVE TRIMMED
THE WESTERN EDGE OF THIS PRECIP TO EAST OF A SLIDELL TO HOUMA LINE.
TIME FRAME OF SHOWERS LOOK TO BE TUESDAY AFTERNOON THRU MIDNIGHT...
OR UNTIL THE TROUGH FINALLY KICKS THE BOUNDARY EAST AND INTO THE
ATLANTIC OCEAN.

.LONG TERM...
QUITE TRANQUIL CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AS
THE AREA WILL BE UNDER GENERAL NORTHWEST FLOW IN THE UPPER LEVELS
AND DOMINATED BY SURFACE RIDGE CENTERED TO THE NORTH. THIS PATTERN
WILL KEEP COOLER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN PLACE. ONCE THIS RIDGE
SLIDES EAST THIS WEEKEND...SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL RETURN AND PICK
MOISTURE BACK UP OVER THE AREA. COULD SEE A FEW SHOWERS RETURN LATE
IN THE WEEKEND OR EARLY NEXT WEEK.

MEFFER
&&

.AVIATION...

ANTICIPATE VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. CIRRUS WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT INTO TUESDAY. ANOTHER
IMPULSE LIFTING THROUGH THE BASE OF THE UPPER TROF WILL SPREAD MID
LEVEL CLOUDS ACROSS THE FAR EASTERN SECTIONS TOMORROW...AND
PROBABLY ONLY AFFECT KGPT. WIND WILL BE THE MAIN FORECAST CONCERN
DOWNWIND OF LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN LATE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY WITH 15 TO
20 KNOT WINDS EXPECTED. 35

&&

.MARINE...

COLDER AND DRIER AIR WILL REACH THE COASTAL WATERS THIS EVENING AND
WILL HOIST EXERCISE CAUTION FLAGS FOR THE TIDAL LAKES AND
MISSISSIPPI SOUND...AND SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY ELSEWHERE THROUGH
TUESDAY. WOULDNT BE SURPRISED TO SEE A FEW SPOTS ON THE LAKES GET
CLOSE TO ADVISORY LEVEL CONDITIONS. ADVISORY MAY NEED TO BE
LENGTHENED ON THE BACK END INTO TUESDAY NIGHT...AT LEAST OVER THE
OPEN WATERS. ANOTHER REINFORCING SHOT OF COOL AIR EXPECTED TO
INCREASE WINDS AGAIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...BUT COLD
ADVECTION NOT QUITE AS STRONG WITH THAT ONE. ONSHORE FLOW AROUND 10
KNOTS EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE WEEKEND. 35

&&

.DECISION SUPPORT...
DSS CODE...BLUE.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...SLURRY SUPPORT
             SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES BEGIN TONIGHT

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
         WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR
         AND/OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL
         SIGNIFICANCE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  41  58  36  64 /  10  10  10   0
BTR  42  59  37  65 /  10  10  10   0
ASD  43  61  37  63 /  10  10  10   0
MSY  48  60  42  63 /  10  10  10   0
GPT  44  60  39  61 /  10  20  30   0
PQL  42  61  38  61 /  10  30  30  10

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 9 PM MONDAY TO 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL
     WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL
     WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON
     TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     STAKE ISLAND LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST
     PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO
     60 NM...AND COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM.

MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 9 PM MONDAY TO 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL
     WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL
     WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON
     TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     STAKE ISLAND LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST
     PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO
     60 NM...AND COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KLCH 242046
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
246 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...TIGHT GRADIENT OFF SHORE REMAINS WHILE HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS IN FROM TEXAS. WINDS SHOULD DIMINISH TONIGHT AWAY FROM THE
COAST. COOL TEMPERATURES CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT
AS A REINFORCING COLD FRONT FILTERS THROUGH.

SOUTHERLY WINDS RETURN LATE FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE PUSHES ON TO
THE EAST. WEEKEND TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE QUITE WARM WITH NO RAIN
IN SIGHT THANKS TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGING TO THE WEST.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TEMPS SHOULD TREND A BIT LOWER THAN GUIDANCE TNITE
BUT NOT AS LOW AS PREVIOUSLY INDICATED WITH JET CIRRUS HELPING TO
KEEP TEMPS FROM BOTTOMING OUT. WE SHOULD REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING.
NOT EXPECTING FROST DUE TO THE HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS.

&&

.LONG TERM...SEASONABLY COOL FOR THANKSGIVING AND DRY AS THE
SURFACE RIDGE MOVES OVERHEAD. BLENDED IN SOME WARMER EURO MODEL
TEMPS THIS WEEKEND WITH LOWER 70S POSSIBLE SATURDAY AND SUNDAY
AFTERNOON. SOME MENTION OF RAIN EARLY NEXT WEEK AS GULF MOISTURE
BEGINS TO DEEPEN IN ADVANCE OF A WEST COAST TROF.

&&

.MARINE...MADE SOME ADJUSTMENTS TO EXTEND THE SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORIES OVER THE OFF SHORE WATERS MAINLY DUE TO WINDS
PERSISTING ESPECIALLY TO THE EAST DUE TO A TIGHT PRESSURE
GRADIENT.

SWEENEY

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  38  61  40  65  45 /   0  10   0   0   0
KBPT  39  63  41  66  45 /   0  10   0   0   0
KAEX  35  60  36  64  41 /   0  10   0   0   0
KLFT  41  59  37  64  43 /   0  10  10   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL
     CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX
     FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION FROM 6 PM CST THIS EVENING THROUGH
     TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM
     CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20
     TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20
     TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH
     ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY
     TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM.

&&

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES

&&

$$







000
FXUS64 KLCH 242046
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
246 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...TIGHT GRADIENT OFF SHORE REMAINS WHILE HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS IN FROM TEXAS. WINDS SHOULD DIMINISH TONIGHT AWAY FROM THE
COAST. COOL TEMPERATURES CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT
AS A REINFORCING COLD FRONT FILTERS THROUGH.

SOUTHERLY WINDS RETURN LATE FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE PUSHES ON TO
THE EAST. WEEKEND TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE QUITE WARM WITH NO RAIN
IN SIGHT THANKS TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGING TO THE WEST.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TEMPS SHOULD TREND A BIT LOWER THAN GUIDANCE TNITE
BUT NOT AS LOW AS PREVIOUSLY INDICATED WITH JET CIRRUS HELPING TO
KEEP TEMPS FROM BOTTOMING OUT. WE SHOULD REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING.
NOT EXPECTING FROST DUE TO THE HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS.

&&

.LONG TERM...SEASONABLY COOL FOR THANKSGIVING AND DRY AS THE
SURFACE RIDGE MOVES OVERHEAD. BLENDED IN SOME WARMER EURO MODEL
TEMPS THIS WEEKEND WITH LOWER 70S POSSIBLE SATURDAY AND SUNDAY
AFTERNOON. SOME MENTION OF RAIN EARLY NEXT WEEK AS GULF MOISTURE
BEGINS TO DEEPEN IN ADVANCE OF A WEST COAST TROF.

&&

.MARINE...MADE SOME ADJUSTMENTS TO EXTEND THE SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORIES OVER THE OFF SHORE WATERS MAINLY DUE TO WINDS
PERSISTING ESPECIALLY TO THE EAST DUE TO A TIGHT PRESSURE
GRADIENT.

SWEENEY

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  38  61  40  65  45 /   0  10   0   0   0
KBPT  39  63  41  66  45 /   0  10   0   0   0
KAEX  35  60  36  64  41 /   0  10   0   0   0
KLFT  41  59  37  64  43 /   0  10  10   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL
     CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX
     FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION FROM 6 PM CST THIS EVENING THROUGH
     TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM
     CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20
     TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20
     TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH
     ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY
     TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM.

&&

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES

&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KSHV 242034
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
234 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...
BROAD LONG WAVE TROUGH TO SLOWLY SWING ACROSS SOUTHERN PLAINS FOR
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. DESPITE GOOD RADIATION COOLING
CONDITIONS...SOME UPPER LVL CLOUDS WILL BE GENERATED BY THIS
TROUGH. RAISED OVERNIGHT LOWS TONIGHT A COUPLE DEGREES ACROSS
SOUTH CWA TO ACCOUNT FOR BAND OF CIRRUS ENTERING THAT REGION LATE
TONIGHT. TEMPS MAY DIP TO JUST BELOW FREEZING FURTHER
NORTH...MAINLY NORTH OF I-30...IN CLEARER SKIES. WHILE THE COLDEST
AIR AT BASE OF UPPER TROUGH TO MOVE ACROSS AREA TOMORROW NIGHT...
ADDITIONAL UPPER LVL...AND PERHAPS MID LVL CLOUDS...TO ADVANCE
INTO NORTHERN CWA....KEEPING ENTIRE AREA JUST ABOVE FRZG MARK.
THE STG NW FLOW ALOFT TO KEEP DRY WX PATTERN AND FAIRLY PERSISTENT
TEMPS TO JUST BELOW SEASONAL NORMS. A BAND OF ISENTROPC LIFT
BEGINS TO BUILD INTO CWA FROM SOUTH TX BY AROUND SAT NIGHT....BUT
MOISTURE WILL REMAIN MARGINAL...WITH RAIN CHANCES INCREASING
SLIGHTLY BY SUNDAY NIGHT OR MONDAY./VII/.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1137 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE 24/18Z TAF PERIOD. WILL
SEE AN INCREASE IN CIRRUS THIS AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT...AHEAD OF
THE NEXT SHORTWAVE THAT WILL SLIDE E ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS AND MID
MS VALLEY. THIS CIRRUS SHOULD LINGER THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...BEFORE
ERODING FROM W TO E BY AFTERNOON WITH THE NEXT UPPER TROUGH
PASSAGE. WNW WINDS 7-11KTS THIS AFTERNOON WILL BECOME LIGHT WNW
AFTER 00Z. /15/

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1121 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
COLD AIR ADVECTION WEAK TODAY...ON TAIL END OF COLD AIR THAT MOVED
ACROSS OHIO VALLEY. NW WINDS AROUND 10 MPH AND SUNNY SKIES WILL
ALLOW FOR MODEST WARMING...MAINLY INTO THE LOWER TO MID 60S.
RAISED DAYTIME HIGHS A COUPLE DEGREES SOUTHERN CWA. NO OTHER
CHANGES NEEDED. /VII/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  35  61  38  67  37 /  10  10   0   0   0
MLU  35  58  37  65  36 /  10  10   0   0   0
DEQ  30  57  32  63  33 /   0   0   0   0   0
TXK  33  57  38  63  35 /  10   0   0   0   0
ELD  32  57  34  64  35 /  10  10   0   0   0
TYR  35  61  38  65  38 /   0  10   0   0   0
GGG  33  61  37  68  37 /  10   0   0   0   0
LFK  37  63  38  69  38 /  10  10   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KSHV 241737 AAA
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1137 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE 24/18Z TAF PERIOD. WILL
SEE AN INCREASE IN CIRRUS THIS AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT...AHEAD OF
THE NEXT SHORTWAVE THAT WILL SLIDE E ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS AND MID
MS VALLEY. THIS CIRRUS SHOULD LINGER THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...BEFORE
ERODING FROM W TO E BY AFTERNOON WITH THE NEXT UPPER TROUGH
PASSAGE. WNW WINDS 7-11KTS THIS AFTERNOON WILL BECOME LIGHT WNW
AFTER 00Z. /15/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1121 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
COLD AIR ADVECTION WEAK TODAY...ON TAIL END OF COLD AIR THAT MOVED
ACROSS OHIO VALLEY. NW WINDS AROUND 10 MPH AND SUNNY SKIES WILL
ALLOW FOR MODEST WARMING...MAINLY INTO THE LOWER TO MID 60S.
RAISED DAYTIME HIGHS A COUPLE DEGREES SOUTHERN CWA. NO OTHER
CHANGES NEEDED. /VII/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  62  38  62  37  65 /   0  10  10   0   0
MLU  64  36  59  35  63 /   0  10  10   0   0
DEQ  61  31  58  30  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
TXK  60  36  58  36  61 /   0  10   0   0   0
ELD  60  34  58  33  62 /   0  10  10   0   0
TYR  61  37  62  37  63 /   0   0  10   0   0
GGG  62  35  62  37  66 /   0  10   0   0   0
LFK  66  37  64  37  67 /   0  10  10   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

15






000
FXUS64 KSHV 241737 AAA
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1137 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE 24/18Z TAF PERIOD. WILL
SEE AN INCREASE IN CIRRUS THIS AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT...AHEAD OF
THE NEXT SHORTWAVE THAT WILL SLIDE E ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS AND MID
MS VALLEY. THIS CIRRUS SHOULD LINGER THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...BEFORE
ERODING FROM W TO E BY AFTERNOON WITH THE NEXT UPPER TROUGH
PASSAGE. WNW WINDS 7-11KTS THIS AFTERNOON WILL BECOME LIGHT WNW
AFTER 00Z. /15/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1121 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
COLD AIR ADVECTION WEAK TODAY...ON TAIL END OF COLD AIR THAT MOVED
ACROSS OHIO VALLEY. NW WINDS AROUND 10 MPH AND SUNNY SKIES WILL
ALLOW FOR MODEST WARMING...MAINLY INTO THE LOWER TO MID 60S.
RAISED DAYTIME HIGHS A COUPLE DEGREES SOUTHERN CWA. NO OTHER
CHANGES NEEDED. /VII/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  62  38  62  37  65 /   0  10  10   0   0
MLU  64  36  59  35  63 /   0  10  10   0   0
DEQ  61  31  58  30  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
TXK  60  36  58  36  61 /   0  10   0   0   0
ELD  60  34  58  33  62 /   0  10  10   0   0
TYR  61  37  62  37  63 /   0   0  10   0   0
GGG  62  35  62  37  66 /   0  10   0   0   0
LFK  66  37  64  37  67 /   0  10  10   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

15






000
FXUS64 KSHV 241737 AAA
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1137 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE 24/18Z TAF PERIOD. WILL
SEE AN INCREASE IN CIRRUS THIS AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT...AHEAD OF
THE NEXT SHORTWAVE THAT WILL SLIDE E ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS AND MID
MS VALLEY. THIS CIRRUS SHOULD LINGER THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...BEFORE
ERODING FROM W TO E BY AFTERNOON WITH THE NEXT UPPER TROUGH
PASSAGE. WNW WINDS 7-11KTS THIS AFTERNOON WILL BECOME LIGHT WNW
AFTER 00Z. /15/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1121 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
COLD AIR ADVECTION WEAK TODAY...ON TAIL END OF COLD AIR THAT MOVED
ACROSS OHIO VALLEY. NW WINDS AROUND 10 MPH AND SUNNY SKIES WILL
ALLOW FOR MODEST WARMING...MAINLY INTO THE LOWER TO MID 60S.
RAISED DAYTIME HIGHS A COUPLE DEGREES SOUTHERN CWA. NO OTHER
CHANGES NEEDED. /VII/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  62  38  62  37  65 /   0  10  10   0   0
MLU  64  36  59  35  63 /   0  10  10   0   0
DEQ  61  31  58  30  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
TXK  60  36  58  36  61 /   0  10   0   0   0
ELD  60  34  58  33  62 /   0  10  10   0   0
TYR  61  37  62  37  63 /   0   0  10   0   0
GGG  62  35  62  37  66 /   0  10   0   0   0
LFK  66  37  64  37  67 /   0  10  10   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

15






000
FXUS64 KSHV 241737 AAA
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1137 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE 24/18Z TAF PERIOD. WILL
SEE AN INCREASE IN CIRRUS THIS AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT...AHEAD OF
THE NEXT SHORTWAVE THAT WILL SLIDE E ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS AND MID
MS VALLEY. THIS CIRRUS SHOULD LINGER THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...BEFORE
ERODING FROM W TO E BY AFTERNOON WITH THE NEXT UPPER TROUGH
PASSAGE. WNW WINDS 7-11KTS THIS AFTERNOON WILL BECOME LIGHT WNW
AFTER 00Z. /15/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1121 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
COLD AIR ADVECTION WEAK TODAY...ON TAIL END OF COLD AIR THAT MOVED
ACROSS OHIO VALLEY. NW WINDS AROUND 10 MPH AND SUNNY SKIES WILL
ALLOW FOR MODEST WARMING...MAINLY INTO THE LOWER TO MID 60S.
RAISED DAYTIME HIGHS A COUPLE DEGREES SOUTHERN CWA. NO OTHER
CHANGES NEEDED. /VII/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  62  38  62  37  65 /   0  10  10   0   0
MLU  64  36  59  35  63 /   0  10  10   0   0
DEQ  61  31  58  30  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
TXK  60  36  58  36  61 /   0  10   0   0   0
ELD  60  34  58  33  62 /   0  10  10   0   0
TYR  61  37  62  37  63 /   0   0  10   0   0
GGG  62  35  62  37  66 /   0  10   0   0   0
LFK  66  37  64  37  67 /   0  10  10   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

15






000
FXUS64 KLIX 241724
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1124 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.AVIATION...

COLD FRONT HAS PASSED THROUGH ALL TERMINALS CLEARING AWAY FOG AND
LOW CLOUDS. ANTICIPATE VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
ANOTHER IMPULSE MOVING THROUGH THE BASE OF THE UPPER TROF WILL
SPREAD MID LEVEL CLOUDS ACROSS THE FAR EASTERN SECTIONS...AND
PROBABLY ONLY AFFECT KGPT. WIND WILL BE THE MAIN FORECAST
CONCERN DOWNWIND OF LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN LATE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY
WITH 15 TO 20 KNOT WINDS EXPECTED. 35

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 956 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

UPDATE...
VIS SATELLITE AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS BOTH INDICATE THAT THE
COLD FRONT HAS PUSHED OFFSHORE WITH WINDS NW TO WEST AT ALL
INLAND LOCATIONS. DEWPOINTS WILL STEADILY DROP AS DRIER AIR MOVES
IN. TEMPERATURES HAVE FALLEN FROM BTR TO MCB AND NW. THE FIGHT
BETWEEN INCOMING SHORTWAVE RADIATION AND CAA WILL RESULT IN NEAR
STEADY TEMPERATURES THE REST OF THE DAY..GIVE OR TAKE A FEW
DEGREES. THE BEST CHANCE FOR COOLING IS AREAS CLOSEST TO THE
FRONT OR SOUTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA. SO HAVE UPDATED THE
FORECAST TO ATTEMPT TO CAPTURE THE LATEST TEMPERATURE TRENDS.

MEFFER

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 352 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
FOG AND STRATUS WILL BEGIN OUR MORNING ACROSS MOST OF THE FORECAST
AREA AS TEMPERATURES STAYED IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S THROUGH MOST
OF THE EVENING. PATCHY LOCALLY DENSE FOG HAS BEEN REPORTED IN A
FEW SPOTS THIS MORNING AND SHOULD BEGIN TO MIX OUT AFTER SUNRISE.
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA TODAY AND USHER
IN A COOLER AND DRIER AIR MASS. WINDS WILL PICK UP SOME BEHIND THE
FRONT A PERSIST INTO THE EVENING HOURS. YOU MIGHT NOT FEEL THAT
MUCH OF A DIFFERENCE IN TEMPERATURES TODAY BUT YOU WILL FEEL IT
TONIGHT AS LOWS DIVE BACK DOWN INTO THE UPPER 30S AND LOWER 40S.
HIGHS TOMORROW WILL TOP OUT AROUND 60 DEGREES.

ANOTHER FAST MOVING UPPER TROUGH WILL BE MOVING THROUGH THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. MODEL GUIDANCE
SUGGESTING THERE WILL BE JUST ENOUGH MOISTURE RETURN TO SQUEEZE
OUT SOME SHOWERS DURING THIS TIME FRAME. WILL CONTINUE TO CARRY A
CHANCE FOR SOME SHOWERS FOR TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT MAINLY FOR
AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF A LINE FROM SLIDELL TO NEW ORLEANS DOWN TO
HOUMA. ONCE THE TROUGH SWINGS THROUGH...A REINFORCING HIGH WILL
BUILD IN AND THIS HIGH WILL SLOWLY PROGRESS EASTWARD THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE SECOND
HALF OF THE WORK WEEK WILL BE NEAR OR BELOW NORMAL. AS THE HIGH
SLIDES EAST OF THE AREA LATE IN THE WEEK...A GRADUAL WARMING TREND
WILL BEGIN AND TEMPS WILL RISE ABOVE NORMAL OVER THE WEEKEND.
13/MH

AVIATION...
STRATUS AND FOG HAS DEVELOPED OVER POTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA
RESULTING IN MVFR TO LIFR CONDITIONS AT MOST TAF LOCATIONS. THE
WORST CONDITIONS WERE ACROSS COASTAL AREAS WHERE SOME ADVECTION
FOG WAS ALSO BEING OBSERVED. THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE THROUGH 14Z BEFORE IMPROVING TO VFR DURING THE MID AND LATE
MORNING HOURS. A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION DURING
THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON MONDAY.

MARINE...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN TODAY PROVIDING LIGHT TO
MODERATE OFFSHORE FLOW BUT THIS WILL BE SHORT LIVED. MON NIGHT
THROUGH TUE NIGHT...A REINFORCING FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA
AND LEAD TO WINDS RAMPING BACK UP ONCE AGAIN. SCY CONDITIONS WILL
LIKELY REDEVELOP AS EARLY AS LATE TONIGHT BUT LIKELY MORE TOMORROW
AND PERSISTING THROUGH TUE NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN WED
MORNING AND MUCH LIGHTER WINDS WILL ENCOMPASS ALL OF THE MARINE
ZONES. /CAB/

DECISION SUPPORT...
DSS CODE...GREEN.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...SLURRY SUPPORT.

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
         WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR
         AND/OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL
         SIGNIFICANCE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  63  37  58  36 /  10  10  10  10
BTR  64  39  60  37 /  10  10  10  10
ASD  71  38  60  37 /  10  10  20  10
MSY  70  46  59  42 /  10  10  20  10
GPT  73  40  59  39 /  10  20  20  30
PQL  71  37  60  38 /  10  20  20  30

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$







000
FXUS64 KLIX 241724
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1124 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.AVIATION...

COLD FRONT HAS PASSED THROUGH ALL TERMINALS CLEARING AWAY FOG AND
LOW CLOUDS. ANTICIPATE VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
ANOTHER IMPULSE MOVING THROUGH THE BASE OF THE UPPER TROF WILL
SPREAD MID LEVEL CLOUDS ACROSS THE FAR EASTERN SECTIONS...AND
PROBABLY ONLY AFFECT KGPT. WIND WILL BE THE MAIN FORECAST
CONCERN DOWNWIND OF LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN LATE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY
WITH 15 TO 20 KNOT WINDS EXPECTED. 35

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 956 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

UPDATE...
VIS SATELLITE AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS BOTH INDICATE THAT THE
COLD FRONT HAS PUSHED OFFSHORE WITH WINDS NW TO WEST AT ALL
INLAND LOCATIONS. DEWPOINTS WILL STEADILY DROP AS DRIER AIR MOVES
IN. TEMPERATURES HAVE FALLEN FROM BTR TO MCB AND NW. THE FIGHT
BETWEEN INCOMING SHORTWAVE RADIATION AND CAA WILL RESULT IN NEAR
STEADY TEMPERATURES THE REST OF THE DAY..GIVE OR TAKE A FEW
DEGREES. THE BEST CHANCE FOR COOLING IS AREAS CLOSEST TO THE
FRONT OR SOUTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA. SO HAVE UPDATED THE
FORECAST TO ATTEMPT TO CAPTURE THE LATEST TEMPERATURE TRENDS.

MEFFER

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 352 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
FOG AND STRATUS WILL BEGIN OUR MORNING ACROSS MOST OF THE FORECAST
AREA AS TEMPERATURES STAYED IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S THROUGH MOST
OF THE EVENING. PATCHY LOCALLY DENSE FOG HAS BEEN REPORTED IN A
FEW SPOTS THIS MORNING AND SHOULD BEGIN TO MIX OUT AFTER SUNRISE.
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA TODAY AND USHER
IN A COOLER AND DRIER AIR MASS. WINDS WILL PICK UP SOME BEHIND THE
FRONT A PERSIST INTO THE EVENING HOURS. YOU MIGHT NOT FEEL THAT
MUCH OF A DIFFERENCE IN TEMPERATURES TODAY BUT YOU WILL FEEL IT
TONIGHT AS LOWS DIVE BACK DOWN INTO THE UPPER 30S AND LOWER 40S.
HIGHS TOMORROW WILL TOP OUT AROUND 60 DEGREES.

ANOTHER FAST MOVING UPPER TROUGH WILL BE MOVING THROUGH THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. MODEL GUIDANCE
SUGGESTING THERE WILL BE JUST ENOUGH MOISTURE RETURN TO SQUEEZE
OUT SOME SHOWERS DURING THIS TIME FRAME. WILL CONTINUE TO CARRY A
CHANCE FOR SOME SHOWERS FOR TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT MAINLY FOR
AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF A LINE FROM SLIDELL TO NEW ORLEANS DOWN TO
HOUMA. ONCE THE TROUGH SWINGS THROUGH...A REINFORCING HIGH WILL
BUILD IN AND THIS HIGH WILL SLOWLY PROGRESS EASTWARD THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE SECOND
HALF OF THE WORK WEEK WILL BE NEAR OR BELOW NORMAL. AS THE HIGH
SLIDES EAST OF THE AREA LATE IN THE WEEK...A GRADUAL WARMING TREND
WILL BEGIN AND TEMPS WILL RISE ABOVE NORMAL OVER THE WEEKEND.
13/MH

AVIATION...
STRATUS AND FOG HAS DEVELOPED OVER POTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA
RESULTING IN MVFR TO LIFR CONDITIONS AT MOST TAF LOCATIONS. THE
WORST CONDITIONS WERE ACROSS COASTAL AREAS WHERE SOME ADVECTION
FOG WAS ALSO BEING OBSERVED. THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE THROUGH 14Z BEFORE IMPROVING TO VFR DURING THE MID AND LATE
MORNING HOURS. A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION DURING
THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON MONDAY.

MARINE...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN TODAY PROVIDING LIGHT TO
MODERATE OFFSHORE FLOW BUT THIS WILL BE SHORT LIVED. MON NIGHT
THROUGH TUE NIGHT...A REINFORCING FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA
AND LEAD TO WINDS RAMPING BACK UP ONCE AGAIN. SCY CONDITIONS WILL
LIKELY REDEVELOP AS EARLY AS LATE TONIGHT BUT LIKELY MORE TOMORROW
AND PERSISTING THROUGH TUE NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN WED
MORNING AND MUCH LIGHTER WINDS WILL ENCOMPASS ALL OF THE MARINE
ZONES. /CAB/

DECISION SUPPORT...
DSS CODE...GREEN.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...SLURRY SUPPORT.

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
         WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR
         AND/OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL
         SIGNIFICANCE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  63  37  58  36 /  10  10  10  10
BTR  64  39  60  37 /  10  10  10  10
ASD  71  38  60  37 /  10  10  20  10
MSY  70  46  59  42 /  10  10  20  10
GPT  73  40  59  39 /  10  20  20  30
PQL  71  37  60  38 /  10  20  20  30

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KSHV 241721
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1121 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...
COLD AIR ADVECTION WEAK TODAY...ON TAIL END OF COLD AIR THAT MOVED
ACROSS OHIO VALLEY. NW WINDS AROUND 10 MPH AND SUNNY SKIES WILL
ALLOW FOR MODEST WARMING...MAINLY INTO THE LOWER TO MID 60S.
RAISED DAYTIME HIGHS A COUPLE DEGREES SOUTHERN CWA. NO OTHER
CHANGES NEEDED./VII/.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 617 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

AVIATION...
VFR FLIGHT WEATHER EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE 24/12Z TAF FORECAST PERIOD.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 350 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
COOLER AIR CONTINUES TO FILTER INTO THE REGION THIS MORNING IN THE
WAKE OF A COLD FRONT. AS A RESULT...TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL RUN A
GOOD 10-15 DEGREES COOLER FOR MOST AREAS. BROAD-SCALE UPPER TROF
PRESENT OVER THE CENTRAL U.S. WILL ALLOW FOR SEVERAL SHORTWAVE
DISTURBANCES/COLD FRONTS TO MOVE ACROSS OUR REGION IN THE COMING
DAYS...KEEPING OUR TEMPS SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE
THANKSGIVING HOLIDAY.

TEMPS WILL BEGIN TO WARM UP TO NEAR AND ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS
DURING THE WEEKEND AHEAD OF ANOTHER COLD FRONT. THIS FRONT IS FCST
TO BECOME STALLED OVER OUR REGION DURING SUNDAY...AS THE UPPER
FLOW BECOMES MORE SWLY. RAIN CHANCES LOOK TO FIND THEIR WAY BACK
INTO THE FCST SUNDAY AND BEYOND...AS ANOTHER BROAD-SCALE UPPER TROF
APPROACHES. /12/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  62  38  62  37  65 /   0  10  10   0   0
MLU  64  36  59  35  63 /   0  10  10   0   0
DEQ  61  31  58  30  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
TXK  60  36  58  36  61 /   0  10   0   0   0
ELD  60  34  58  33  62 /   0  10  10   0   0
TYR  61  37  62  37  63 /   0   0  10   0   0
GGG  62  35  62  37  66 /   0  10   0   0   0
LFK  66  37  64  37  67 /   0  10  10   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$







000
FXUS64 KSHV 241721
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1121 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...
COLD AIR ADVECTION WEAK TODAY...ON TAIL END OF COLD AIR THAT MOVED
ACROSS OHIO VALLEY. NW WINDS AROUND 10 MPH AND SUNNY SKIES WILL
ALLOW FOR MODEST WARMING...MAINLY INTO THE LOWER TO MID 60S.
RAISED DAYTIME HIGHS A COUPLE DEGREES SOUTHERN CWA. NO OTHER
CHANGES NEEDED./VII/.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 617 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

AVIATION...
VFR FLIGHT WEATHER EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE 24/12Z TAF FORECAST PERIOD.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 350 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
COOLER AIR CONTINUES TO FILTER INTO THE REGION THIS MORNING IN THE
WAKE OF A COLD FRONT. AS A RESULT...TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL RUN A
GOOD 10-15 DEGREES COOLER FOR MOST AREAS. BROAD-SCALE UPPER TROF
PRESENT OVER THE CENTRAL U.S. WILL ALLOW FOR SEVERAL SHORTWAVE
DISTURBANCES/COLD FRONTS TO MOVE ACROSS OUR REGION IN THE COMING
DAYS...KEEPING OUR TEMPS SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE
THANKSGIVING HOLIDAY.

TEMPS WILL BEGIN TO WARM UP TO NEAR AND ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS
DURING THE WEEKEND AHEAD OF ANOTHER COLD FRONT. THIS FRONT IS FCST
TO BECOME STALLED OVER OUR REGION DURING SUNDAY...AS THE UPPER
FLOW BECOMES MORE SWLY. RAIN CHANCES LOOK TO FIND THEIR WAY BACK
INTO THE FCST SUNDAY AND BEYOND...AS ANOTHER BROAD-SCALE UPPER TROF
APPROACHES. /12/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  62  38  62  37  65 /   0  10  10   0   0
MLU  64  36  59  35  63 /   0  10  10   0   0
DEQ  61  31  58  30  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
TXK  60  36  58  36  61 /   0  10   0   0   0
ELD  60  34  58  33  62 /   0  10  10   0   0
TYR  61  37  62  37  63 /   0   0  10   0   0
GGG  62  35  62  37  66 /   0  10   0   0   0
LFK  66  37  64  37  67 /   0  10  10   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KLCH 241719
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1119 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...
FOR THE 18Z TAF PACKAGE.

&&

.AVIATION...
MODERATE NORTH WINDS...AT TIMES WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 20KT...WILL
CONTINUE FOR THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL DECREASE LATE
THIS AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING AS HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO SETTLE
IN AND THE BOUNDARY LAYER BEGINS TO DECOUPLE. FCST TIME HEIGHTS
POINT TOWARD MID/HIGH CLOUDS TONIGHT AND INTO TOMORROW WITH THE
APPROACH/PASSAGE OF THE UPPER TROF TO THE WEST...BUT SAW NO REASON
TO CLUTTER UP THE TAFS WITH OPERATIONALLY INSIGNIFICANT CLOUD
GROUPS.

13

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1032 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

UPDATE...LOOKS LIKE SOME JET CIRRUS WILL BE AFFECTING ALL BUT
ACADIANA THIS AFTERNOON. SINCE COLD ADVECTION CONTINUES I TWEAKED TEMPS
DOWN A FEW DEGREES FOR ALL BUT THE S CEN LA AREA. ALSO EXTENDED
CAUTION OVER THE NEAR SHORE WATERS THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
AFTERNOON AND MADE ADJUSTMENTS TO EXTEND THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
OVER THE OUTER WATERS. GRIDS ALREADY UPDATED. ZONES TO FOLLOW.

SWEENEY

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 544 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

AVIATION UPDATE...REGARDING 12Z TAF ISSUANCE. OUR LATEST COLD
FRONT HAS ADVANCED ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT AND IS CURRENTLY EXITING
LOWER ACADIANA. SHARPLY DRIER AIR OVERSPREADING THE FORECAST AREA
IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT WILL YIELD CLEAR SKIES THROUGHOUT THIS TAF
PACKAGE. MODERATE NORTHERLIES CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY...RAPIDLY
DIMINISHING TOWARD SUNSET.

MARCOTTE

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 431 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
THE LATEST DRY COLD FRONT HAS SLIPPED THROUGH LAKE CHARLES THIS
MORNING WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING ON NORTHWEST WINDS. THE FRONT
WILL EXIT THE SOUTH CENTRAL LOUSIANA COAST BEFORE THE NOON HOUR.
THIS LATEST FRONT WILL PULL AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES BACK INTO THE
LOW TO MID 60S. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PICKUP OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS TODAY AND A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN POSTED FOR THE
OFFSHORE WATERS. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION HAS BEEN
POSTED ON AREA LAKES AND BAYS INCLUDING THE NEARSHORE WATERS.

MORE COOLER AIR IS ON THE WAY ON TUESDAY WITH TEMPERATURES
EXPECTED TO REMAIN ON THE COOLER SIDE THROUGH MIDWEEK. A WARM-UP
TAKES HOLD WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES BACK INTO THE 70S ON
THURSDAY WITH WINDS BECOMING LIGHT. RAINS LOOK TO HOLD OFF
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THIS WEEK.

19

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  62  40  61  39 /   0  10  10  10
KBPT  62  40  62  40 /   0  10  10  10
KAEX  59  35  59  36 /   0  10  10  10
KLFT  64  40  59  38 /   0  10  10  10

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM CST TUESDAY FOR WATERS FROM
     INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-WATERS
     FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM
     20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR WATERS FROM
     CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION FROM 6 PM CST THIS EVENING THROUGH
     LATE TONIGHT FOR WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX
     FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR CALCASIEU
     LAKE-SABINE LAKE-VERMILION BAY.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR
     COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM-
     COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20
     NM-COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM.


&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KLCH 241719
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1119 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...
FOR THE 18Z TAF PACKAGE.

&&

.AVIATION...
MODERATE NORTH WINDS...AT TIMES WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 20KT...WILL
CONTINUE FOR THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL DECREASE LATE
THIS AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING AS HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO SETTLE
IN AND THE BOUNDARY LAYER BEGINS TO DECOUPLE. FCST TIME HEIGHTS
POINT TOWARD MID/HIGH CLOUDS TONIGHT AND INTO TOMORROW WITH THE
APPROACH/PASSAGE OF THE UPPER TROF TO THE WEST...BUT SAW NO REASON
TO CLUTTER UP THE TAFS WITH OPERATIONALLY INSIGNIFICANT CLOUD
GROUPS.

13

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1032 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

UPDATE...LOOKS LIKE SOME JET CIRRUS WILL BE AFFECTING ALL BUT
ACADIANA THIS AFTERNOON. SINCE COLD ADVECTION CONTINUES I TWEAKED TEMPS
DOWN A FEW DEGREES FOR ALL BUT THE S CEN LA AREA. ALSO EXTENDED
CAUTION OVER THE NEAR SHORE WATERS THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
AFTERNOON AND MADE ADJUSTMENTS TO EXTEND THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
OVER THE OUTER WATERS. GRIDS ALREADY UPDATED. ZONES TO FOLLOW.

SWEENEY

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 544 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

AVIATION UPDATE...REGARDING 12Z TAF ISSUANCE. OUR LATEST COLD
FRONT HAS ADVANCED ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT AND IS CURRENTLY EXITING
LOWER ACADIANA. SHARPLY DRIER AIR OVERSPREADING THE FORECAST AREA
IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT WILL YIELD CLEAR SKIES THROUGHOUT THIS TAF
PACKAGE. MODERATE NORTHERLIES CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY...RAPIDLY
DIMINISHING TOWARD SUNSET.

MARCOTTE

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 431 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
THE LATEST DRY COLD FRONT HAS SLIPPED THROUGH LAKE CHARLES THIS
MORNING WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING ON NORTHWEST WINDS. THE FRONT
WILL EXIT THE SOUTH CENTRAL LOUSIANA COAST BEFORE THE NOON HOUR.
THIS LATEST FRONT WILL PULL AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES BACK INTO THE
LOW TO MID 60S. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PICKUP OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS TODAY AND A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN POSTED FOR THE
OFFSHORE WATERS. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION HAS BEEN
POSTED ON AREA LAKES AND BAYS INCLUDING THE NEARSHORE WATERS.

MORE COOLER AIR IS ON THE WAY ON TUESDAY WITH TEMPERATURES
EXPECTED TO REMAIN ON THE COOLER SIDE THROUGH MIDWEEK. A WARM-UP
TAKES HOLD WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES BACK INTO THE 70S ON
THURSDAY WITH WINDS BECOMING LIGHT. RAINS LOOK TO HOLD OFF
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THIS WEEK.

19

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  62  40  61  39 /   0  10  10  10
KBPT  62  40  62  40 /   0  10  10  10
KAEX  59  35  59  36 /   0  10  10  10
KLFT  64  40  59  38 /   0  10  10  10

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM CST TUESDAY FOR WATERS FROM
     INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-WATERS
     FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM
     20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR WATERS FROM
     CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION FROM 6 PM CST THIS EVENING THROUGH
     LATE TONIGHT FOR WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX
     FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR CALCASIEU
     LAKE-SABINE LAKE-VERMILION BAY.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR
     COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM-
     COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20
     NM-COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM.


&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KLCH 241719
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1119 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...
FOR THE 18Z TAF PACKAGE.

&&

.AVIATION...
MODERATE NORTH WINDS...AT TIMES WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 20KT...WILL
CONTINUE FOR THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL DECREASE LATE
THIS AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING AS HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO SETTLE
IN AND THE BOUNDARY LAYER BEGINS TO DECOUPLE. FCST TIME HEIGHTS
POINT TOWARD MID/HIGH CLOUDS TONIGHT AND INTO TOMORROW WITH THE
APPROACH/PASSAGE OF THE UPPER TROF TO THE WEST...BUT SAW NO REASON
TO CLUTTER UP THE TAFS WITH OPERATIONALLY INSIGNIFICANT CLOUD
GROUPS.

13

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1032 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

UPDATE...LOOKS LIKE SOME JET CIRRUS WILL BE AFFECTING ALL BUT
ACADIANA THIS AFTERNOON. SINCE COLD ADVECTION CONTINUES I TWEAKED TEMPS
DOWN A FEW DEGREES FOR ALL BUT THE S CEN LA AREA. ALSO EXTENDED
CAUTION OVER THE NEAR SHORE WATERS THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
AFTERNOON AND MADE ADJUSTMENTS TO EXTEND THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
OVER THE OUTER WATERS. GRIDS ALREADY UPDATED. ZONES TO FOLLOW.

SWEENEY

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 544 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

AVIATION UPDATE...REGARDING 12Z TAF ISSUANCE. OUR LATEST COLD
FRONT HAS ADVANCED ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT AND IS CURRENTLY EXITING
LOWER ACADIANA. SHARPLY DRIER AIR OVERSPREADING THE FORECAST AREA
IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT WILL YIELD CLEAR SKIES THROUGHOUT THIS TAF
PACKAGE. MODERATE NORTHERLIES CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY...RAPIDLY
DIMINISHING TOWARD SUNSET.

MARCOTTE

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 431 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
THE LATEST DRY COLD FRONT HAS SLIPPED THROUGH LAKE CHARLES THIS
MORNING WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING ON NORTHWEST WINDS. THE FRONT
WILL EXIT THE SOUTH CENTRAL LOUSIANA COAST BEFORE THE NOON HOUR.
THIS LATEST FRONT WILL PULL AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES BACK INTO THE
LOW TO MID 60S. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PICKUP OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS TODAY AND A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN POSTED FOR THE
OFFSHORE WATERS. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION HAS BEEN
POSTED ON AREA LAKES AND BAYS INCLUDING THE NEARSHORE WATERS.

MORE COOLER AIR IS ON THE WAY ON TUESDAY WITH TEMPERATURES
EXPECTED TO REMAIN ON THE COOLER SIDE THROUGH MIDWEEK. A WARM-UP
TAKES HOLD WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES BACK INTO THE 70S ON
THURSDAY WITH WINDS BECOMING LIGHT. RAINS LOOK TO HOLD OFF
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THIS WEEK.

19

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  62  40  61  39 /   0  10  10  10
KBPT  62  40  62  40 /   0  10  10  10
KAEX  59  35  59  36 /   0  10  10  10
KLFT  64  40  59  38 /   0  10  10  10

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM CST TUESDAY FOR WATERS FROM
     INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-WATERS
     FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM
     20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR WATERS FROM
     CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION FROM 6 PM CST THIS EVENING THROUGH
     LATE TONIGHT FOR WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX
     FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR CALCASIEU
     LAKE-SABINE LAKE-VERMILION BAY.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR
     COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM-
     COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20
     NM-COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM.


&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KLCH 241719
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1119 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...
FOR THE 18Z TAF PACKAGE.

&&

.AVIATION...
MODERATE NORTH WINDS...AT TIMES WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 20KT...WILL
CONTINUE FOR THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL DECREASE LATE
THIS AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING AS HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO SETTLE
IN AND THE BOUNDARY LAYER BEGINS TO DECOUPLE. FCST TIME HEIGHTS
POINT TOWARD MID/HIGH CLOUDS TONIGHT AND INTO TOMORROW WITH THE
APPROACH/PASSAGE OF THE UPPER TROF TO THE WEST...BUT SAW NO REASON
TO CLUTTER UP THE TAFS WITH OPERATIONALLY INSIGNIFICANT CLOUD
GROUPS.

13

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1032 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

UPDATE...LOOKS LIKE SOME JET CIRRUS WILL BE AFFECTING ALL BUT
ACADIANA THIS AFTERNOON. SINCE COLD ADVECTION CONTINUES I TWEAKED TEMPS
DOWN A FEW DEGREES FOR ALL BUT THE S CEN LA AREA. ALSO EXTENDED
CAUTION OVER THE NEAR SHORE WATERS THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
AFTERNOON AND MADE ADJUSTMENTS TO EXTEND THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
OVER THE OUTER WATERS. GRIDS ALREADY UPDATED. ZONES TO FOLLOW.

SWEENEY

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 544 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

AVIATION UPDATE...REGARDING 12Z TAF ISSUANCE. OUR LATEST COLD
FRONT HAS ADVANCED ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT AND IS CURRENTLY EXITING
LOWER ACADIANA. SHARPLY DRIER AIR OVERSPREADING THE FORECAST AREA
IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT WILL YIELD CLEAR SKIES THROUGHOUT THIS TAF
PACKAGE. MODERATE NORTHERLIES CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY...RAPIDLY
DIMINISHING TOWARD SUNSET.

MARCOTTE

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 431 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
THE LATEST DRY COLD FRONT HAS SLIPPED THROUGH LAKE CHARLES THIS
MORNING WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING ON NORTHWEST WINDS. THE FRONT
WILL EXIT THE SOUTH CENTRAL LOUSIANA COAST BEFORE THE NOON HOUR.
THIS LATEST FRONT WILL PULL AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES BACK INTO THE
LOW TO MID 60S. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PICKUP OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS TODAY AND A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN POSTED FOR THE
OFFSHORE WATERS. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION HAS BEEN
POSTED ON AREA LAKES AND BAYS INCLUDING THE NEARSHORE WATERS.

MORE COOLER AIR IS ON THE WAY ON TUESDAY WITH TEMPERATURES
EXPECTED TO REMAIN ON THE COOLER SIDE THROUGH MIDWEEK. A WARM-UP
TAKES HOLD WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES BACK INTO THE 70S ON
THURSDAY WITH WINDS BECOMING LIGHT. RAINS LOOK TO HOLD OFF
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THIS WEEK.

19

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  62  40  61  39 /   0  10  10  10
KBPT  62  40  62  40 /   0  10  10  10
KAEX  59  35  59  36 /   0  10  10  10
KLFT  64  40  59  38 /   0  10  10  10

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM CST TUESDAY FOR WATERS FROM
     INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-WATERS
     FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM
     20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR WATERS FROM
     CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION FROM 6 PM CST THIS EVENING THROUGH
     LATE TONIGHT FOR WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX
     FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR CALCASIEU
     LAKE-SABINE LAKE-VERMILION BAY.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR
     COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM-
     COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20
     NM-COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM.


&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KLCH 241632
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1032 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.UPDATE...LOOKS LIKE SOME JET CIRRUS WILL BE AFFECTING ALL BUT
ACADIANA THIS AFTERNOON. SINCE COLD ADVECTION CONTINUES I TWEAKED TEMPS
DOWN A FEW DEGREES FOR ALL BUT THE S CEN LA AREA. ALSO EXTENDED
CAUTION OVER THE NEAR SHORE WATERS THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
AFTERNOON AND MADE ADJUSTMENTS TO EXTEND THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
OVER THE OUTER WATERS. GRIDS ALREADY UPDATED. ZONES TO FOLLOW.

SWEENEY

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 544 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

AVIATION UPDATE...REGARDING 12Z TAF ISSUANCE. OUR LATEST COLD
FRONT HAS ADVANCED ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT AND IS CURRENTLY EXITING
LOWER ACADIANA. SHARPLY DRIER AIR OVERSPREADING THE FORECAST AREA
IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT WILL YIELD CLEAR SKIES THROUGHOUT THIS TAF
PACKAGE. MODERATE NORTHERLIES CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY...RAPIDLY
DIMINISHING TOWARD SUNSET.

MARCOTTE

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 431 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
THE LATEST DRY COLD FRONT HAS SLIPPED THROUGH LAKE CHARLES THIS
MORNING WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING ON NORTHWEST WINDS. THE FRONT
WILL EXIT THE SOUTH CENTRAL LOUSIANA COAST BEFORE THE NOON HOUR.
THIS LATEST FRONT WILL PULL AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES BACK INTO THE
LOW TO MID 60S. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PICKUP OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS TODAY AND A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN POSTED FOR THE
OFFSHORE WATERS. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION HAS BEEN
POSTED ON AREA LAKES AND BAYS INCLUDING THE NEARSHORE WATERS.

MORE COOLER AIR IS ON THE WAY ON TUESDAY WITH TEMPERATURES
EXPECTED TO REMAIN ON THE COOLER SIDE THROUGH MIDWEEK. A WARM-UP
TAKES HOLD WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES BACK INTO THE 70S ON
THURSDAY WITH WINDS BECOMING LIGHT. RAINS LOOK TO HOLD OFF
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THIS WEEK.

19

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  62  40  61  39  65 /   0  10  10  10  10
KBPT  62  40  62  40  66 /   0  10  10  10  10
KAEX  59  35  59  36  64 /   0  10  10  10  10
KLFT  64  40  59  38  64 /   0  10  10  10  10

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM CST TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX
     FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION FROM 6 PM CST THIS EVENING THROUGH
     LATE TONIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM CAMERON
     LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: CALCASIEU LAKE...SABINE LAKE...VERMILION
     BAY.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH
     ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY
     TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM.

&&

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES

&&

$$







000
FXUS64 KLCH 241632
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1032 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.UPDATE...LOOKS LIKE SOME JET CIRRUS WILL BE AFFECTING ALL BUT
ACADIANA THIS AFTERNOON. SINCE COLD ADVECTION CONTINUES I TWEAKED TEMPS
DOWN A FEW DEGREES FOR ALL BUT THE S CEN LA AREA. ALSO EXTENDED
CAUTION OVER THE NEAR SHORE WATERS THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
AFTERNOON AND MADE ADJUSTMENTS TO EXTEND THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
OVER THE OUTER WATERS. GRIDS ALREADY UPDATED. ZONES TO FOLLOW.

SWEENEY

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 544 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

AVIATION UPDATE...REGARDING 12Z TAF ISSUANCE. OUR LATEST COLD
FRONT HAS ADVANCED ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT AND IS CURRENTLY EXITING
LOWER ACADIANA. SHARPLY DRIER AIR OVERSPREADING THE FORECAST AREA
IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT WILL YIELD CLEAR SKIES THROUGHOUT THIS TAF
PACKAGE. MODERATE NORTHERLIES CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY...RAPIDLY
DIMINISHING TOWARD SUNSET.

MARCOTTE

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 431 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
THE LATEST DRY COLD FRONT HAS SLIPPED THROUGH LAKE CHARLES THIS
MORNING WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING ON NORTHWEST WINDS. THE FRONT
WILL EXIT THE SOUTH CENTRAL LOUSIANA COAST BEFORE THE NOON HOUR.
THIS LATEST FRONT WILL PULL AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES BACK INTO THE
LOW TO MID 60S. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PICKUP OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS TODAY AND A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN POSTED FOR THE
OFFSHORE WATERS. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION HAS BEEN
POSTED ON AREA LAKES AND BAYS INCLUDING THE NEARSHORE WATERS.

MORE COOLER AIR IS ON THE WAY ON TUESDAY WITH TEMPERATURES
EXPECTED TO REMAIN ON THE COOLER SIDE THROUGH MIDWEEK. A WARM-UP
TAKES HOLD WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES BACK INTO THE 70S ON
THURSDAY WITH WINDS BECOMING LIGHT. RAINS LOOK TO HOLD OFF
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THIS WEEK.

19

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  62  40  61  39  65 /   0  10  10  10  10
KBPT  62  40  62  40  66 /   0  10  10  10  10
KAEX  59  35  59  36  64 /   0  10  10  10  10
KLFT  64  40  59  38  64 /   0  10  10  10  10

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM CST TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX
     FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION FROM 6 PM CST THIS EVENING THROUGH
     LATE TONIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM CAMERON
     LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: CALCASIEU LAKE...SABINE LAKE...VERMILION
     BAY.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH
     ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY
     TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM.

&&

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES

&&

$$







000
FXUS64 KLCH 241632
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1032 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.UPDATE...LOOKS LIKE SOME JET CIRRUS WILL BE AFFECTING ALL BUT
ACADIANA THIS AFTERNOON. SINCE COLD ADVECTION CONTINUES I TWEAKED TEMPS
DOWN A FEW DEGREES FOR ALL BUT THE S CEN LA AREA. ALSO EXTENDED
CAUTION OVER THE NEAR SHORE WATERS THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
AFTERNOON AND MADE ADJUSTMENTS TO EXTEND THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
OVER THE OUTER WATERS. GRIDS ALREADY UPDATED. ZONES TO FOLLOW.

SWEENEY

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 544 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

AVIATION UPDATE...REGARDING 12Z TAF ISSUANCE. OUR LATEST COLD
FRONT HAS ADVANCED ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT AND IS CURRENTLY EXITING
LOWER ACADIANA. SHARPLY DRIER AIR OVERSPREADING THE FORECAST AREA
IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT WILL YIELD CLEAR SKIES THROUGHOUT THIS TAF
PACKAGE. MODERATE NORTHERLIES CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY...RAPIDLY
DIMINISHING TOWARD SUNSET.

MARCOTTE

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 431 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
THE LATEST DRY COLD FRONT HAS SLIPPED THROUGH LAKE CHARLES THIS
MORNING WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING ON NORTHWEST WINDS. THE FRONT
WILL EXIT THE SOUTH CENTRAL LOUSIANA COAST BEFORE THE NOON HOUR.
THIS LATEST FRONT WILL PULL AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES BACK INTO THE
LOW TO MID 60S. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PICKUP OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS TODAY AND A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN POSTED FOR THE
OFFSHORE WATERS. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION HAS BEEN
POSTED ON AREA LAKES AND BAYS INCLUDING THE NEARSHORE WATERS.

MORE COOLER AIR IS ON THE WAY ON TUESDAY WITH TEMPERATURES
EXPECTED TO REMAIN ON THE COOLER SIDE THROUGH MIDWEEK. A WARM-UP
TAKES HOLD WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES BACK INTO THE 70S ON
THURSDAY WITH WINDS BECOMING LIGHT. RAINS LOOK TO HOLD OFF
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THIS WEEK.

19

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  62  40  61  39  65 /   0  10  10  10  10
KBPT  62  40  62  40  66 /   0  10  10  10  10
KAEX  59  35  59  36  64 /   0  10  10  10  10
KLFT  64  40  59  38  64 /   0  10  10  10  10

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM CST TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX
     FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION FROM 6 PM CST THIS EVENING THROUGH
     LATE TONIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM CAMERON
     LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: CALCASIEU LAKE...SABINE LAKE...VERMILION
     BAY.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH
     ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY
     TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM.

&&

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES

&&

$$







000
FXUS64 KLCH 241632
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1032 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.UPDATE...LOOKS LIKE SOME JET CIRRUS WILL BE AFFECTING ALL BUT
ACADIANA THIS AFTERNOON. SINCE COLD ADVECTION CONTINUES I TWEAKED TEMPS
DOWN A FEW DEGREES FOR ALL BUT THE S CEN LA AREA. ALSO EXTENDED
CAUTION OVER THE NEAR SHORE WATERS THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
AFTERNOON AND MADE ADJUSTMENTS TO EXTEND THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
OVER THE OUTER WATERS. GRIDS ALREADY UPDATED. ZONES TO FOLLOW.

SWEENEY

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 544 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

AVIATION UPDATE...REGARDING 12Z TAF ISSUANCE. OUR LATEST COLD
FRONT HAS ADVANCED ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT AND IS CURRENTLY EXITING
LOWER ACADIANA. SHARPLY DRIER AIR OVERSPREADING THE FORECAST AREA
IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT WILL YIELD CLEAR SKIES THROUGHOUT THIS TAF
PACKAGE. MODERATE NORTHERLIES CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY...RAPIDLY
DIMINISHING TOWARD SUNSET.

MARCOTTE

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 431 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
THE LATEST DRY COLD FRONT HAS SLIPPED THROUGH LAKE CHARLES THIS
MORNING WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING ON NORTHWEST WINDS. THE FRONT
WILL EXIT THE SOUTH CENTRAL LOUSIANA COAST BEFORE THE NOON HOUR.
THIS LATEST FRONT WILL PULL AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES BACK INTO THE
LOW TO MID 60S. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PICKUP OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS TODAY AND A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN POSTED FOR THE
OFFSHORE WATERS. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION HAS BEEN
POSTED ON AREA LAKES AND BAYS INCLUDING THE NEARSHORE WATERS.

MORE COOLER AIR IS ON THE WAY ON TUESDAY WITH TEMPERATURES
EXPECTED TO REMAIN ON THE COOLER SIDE THROUGH MIDWEEK. A WARM-UP
TAKES HOLD WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES BACK INTO THE 70S ON
THURSDAY WITH WINDS BECOMING LIGHT. RAINS LOOK TO HOLD OFF
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THIS WEEK.

19

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  62  40  61  39  65 /   0  10  10  10  10
KBPT  62  40  62  40  66 /   0  10  10  10  10
KAEX  59  35  59  36  64 /   0  10  10  10  10
KLFT  64  40  59  38  64 /   0  10  10  10  10

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM CST TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX
     FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION FROM 6 PM CST THIS EVENING THROUGH
     LATE TONIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM CAMERON
     LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: CALCASIEU LAKE...SABINE LAKE...VERMILION
     BAY.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH
     ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY
     TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM.

&&

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES

&&

$$







000
FXUS64 KLIX 241556
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
956 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.UPDATE...
VIS SATELLITE AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS BOTH INDICATE THAT THE
COLD FRONT HAS PUSHED OFFSHORE WITH WINDS NW TO WEST AT ALL
INLAND LOCATIONS. DEWPOINTS WILL STEADILY DROP AS DRIER AIR MOVES
IN. TEMPERATURES HAVE FALLEN FROM BTR TO MCB AND NW. THE FIGHT
BETWEEN INCOMING SHORTWAVE RADIATION AND CAA WILL RESULT IN NEAR
STEADY TEMPERATURES THE REST OF THE DAY..GIVE OR TAKE A FEW
DEGREES. THE BEST CHANCE FOR COOLING IS AREAS CLOSEST TO THE
FRONT OR SOUTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA. SO HAVE UPDATED THE
FORECAST TO ATTEMPT TO CAPTURE THE LATEST TEMPERATURE TRENDS.

MEFFER
&&


.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 352 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
FOG AND STRATUS WILL BEGIN OUR MORNING ACROSS MOST OF THE FORECAST
AREA AS TEMPERATURES STAYED IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S THROUGH MOST
OF THE EVENING. PATCHY LOCALLY DENSE FOG HAS BEEN REPORTED IN A
FEW SPOTS THIS MORNING AND SHOULD BEGIN TO MIX OUT AFTER SUNRISE.
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA TODAY AND USHER
IN A COOLER AND DRIER AIR MASS. WINDS WILL PICK UP SOME BEHIND THE
FRONT A PERSIST INTO THE EVENING HOURS. YOU MIGHT NOT FEEL THAT
MUCH OF A DIFFERENCE IN TEMPERATURES TODAY BUT YOU WILL FEEL IT
TONIGHT AS LOWS DIVE BACK DOWN INTO THE UPPER 30S AND LOWER 40S.
HIGHS TOMORROW WILL TOP OUT AROUND 60 DEGREES.

ANOTHER FAST MOVING UPPER TROUGH WILL BE MOVING THROUGH THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. MODEL GUIDANCE
SUGGESTING THERE WILL BE JUST ENOUGH MOISTURE RETURN TO SQUEEZE
OUT SOME SHOWERS DURING THIS TIME FRAME. WILL CONTINUE TO CARRY A
CHANCE FOR SOME SHOWERS FOR TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT MAINLY FOR
AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF A LINE FROM SLIDELL TO NEW ORLEANS DOWN TO
HOUMA. ONCE THE TROUGH SWINGS THROUGH...A REINFORCING HIGH WILL
BUILD IN AND THIS HIGH WILL SLOWLY PROGRESS EASTWARD THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE SECOND
HALF OF THE WORK WEEK WILL BE NEAR OR BELOW NORMAL. AS THE HIGH
SLIDES EAST OF THE AREA LATE IN THE WEEK...A GRADUAL WARMING TREND
WILL BEGIN AND TEMPS WILL RISE ABOVE NORMAL OVER THE WEEKEND.
13/MH

AVIATION...
STRATUS AND FOG HAS DEVELOPED OVER POTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA
RESULTING IN MVFR TO LIFR CONDITIONS AT MOST TAF LOCATIONS. THE
WORST CONDITIONS WERE ACROSS COASTAL AREAS WHERE SOME ADVECTION
FOG WAS ALSO BEING OBSERVED. THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE THROUGH 14Z BEFORE IMPROVING TO VFR DURING THE MID AND LATE
MORNING HOURS. A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION DURING
THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON MONDAY.

MARINE...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN TODAY PROVIDING LIGHT TO
MODERATE OFFSHORE FLOW BUT THIS WILL BE SHORT LIVED. MON NIGHT
THROUGH TUE NIGHT...A REINFORCING FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA
AND LEAD TO WINDS RAMPING BACK UP ONCE AGAIN. SCY CONDITIONS WILL
LIKELY REDEVELOP AS EARLY AS LATE TONIGHT BUT LIKELY MORE TOMORROW
AND PERSISTING THROUGH TUE NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN WED
MORNING AND MUCH LIGHTER WINDS WILL ENCOMPASS ALL OF THE MARINE
ZONES. /CAB/

DECISION SUPPORT...
DSS CODE...GREEN.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...SLURRY SUPPORT.

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
         WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR
         AND/OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL
         SIGNIFICANCE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  63  37  58  36 /  10  10  10  10
BTR  64  39  60  37 /  10  10  10  10
ASD  71  38  60  37 /  10  10  20  10
MSY  70  46  59  42 /  10  10  20  10
GPT  73  40  59  39 /  10  20  20  30
PQL  71  37  60  38 /  10  20  20  30

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$







000
FXUS64 KLIX 241556
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
956 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.UPDATE...
VIS SATELLITE AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS BOTH INDICATE THAT THE
COLD FRONT HAS PUSHED OFFSHORE WITH WINDS NW TO WEST AT ALL
INLAND LOCATIONS. DEWPOINTS WILL STEADILY DROP AS DRIER AIR MOVES
IN. TEMPERATURES HAVE FALLEN FROM BTR TO MCB AND NW. THE FIGHT
BETWEEN INCOMING SHORTWAVE RADIATION AND CAA WILL RESULT IN NEAR
STEADY TEMPERATURES THE REST OF THE DAY..GIVE OR TAKE A FEW
DEGREES. THE BEST CHANCE FOR COOLING IS AREAS CLOSEST TO THE
FRONT OR SOUTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA. SO HAVE UPDATED THE
FORECAST TO ATTEMPT TO CAPTURE THE LATEST TEMPERATURE TRENDS.

MEFFER
&&


.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 352 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
FOG AND STRATUS WILL BEGIN OUR MORNING ACROSS MOST OF THE FORECAST
AREA AS TEMPERATURES STAYED IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S THROUGH MOST
OF THE EVENING. PATCHY LOCALLY DENSE FOG HAS BEEN REPORTED IN A
FEW SPOTS THIS MORNING AND SHOULD BEGIN TO MIX OUT AFTER SUNRISE.
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA TODAY AND USHER
IN A COOLER AND DRIER AIR MASS. WINDS WILL PICK UP SOME BEHIND THE
FRONT A PERSIST INTO THE EVENING HOURS. YOU MIGHT NOT FEEL THAT
MUCH OF A DIFFERENCE IN TEMPERATURES TODAY BUT YOU WILL FEEL IT
TONIGHT AS LOWS DIVE BACK DOWN INTO THE UPPER 30S AND LOWER 40S.
HIGHS TOMORROW WILL TOP OUT AROUND 60 DEGREES.

ANOTHER FAST MOVING UPPER TROUGH WILL BE MOVING THROUGH THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. MODEL GUIDANCE
SUGGESTING THERE WILL BE JUST ENOUGH MOISTURE RETURN TO SQUEEZE
OUT SOME SHOWERS DURING THIS TIME FRAME. WILL CONTINUE TO CARRY A
CHANCE FOR SOME SHOWERS FOR TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT MAINLY FOR
AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF A LINE FROM SLIDELL TO NEW ORLEANS DOWN TO
HOUMA. ONCE THE TROUGH SWINGS THROUGH...A REINFORCING HIGH WILL
BUILD IN AND THIS HIGH WILL SLOWLY PROGRESS EASTWARD THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE SECOND
HALF OF THE WORK WEEK WILL BE NEAR OR BELOW NORMAL. AS THE HIGH
SLIDES EAST OF THE AREA LATE IN THE WEEK...A GRADUAL WARMING TREND
WILL BEGIN AND TEMPS WILL RISE ABOVE NORMAL OVER THE WEEKEND.
13/MH

AVIATION...
STRATUS AND FOG HAS DEVELOPED OVER POTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA
RESULTING IN MVFR TO LIFR CONDITIONS AT MOST TAF LOCATIONS. THE
WORST CONDITIONS WERE ACROSS COASTAL AREAS WHERE SOME ADVECTION
FOG WAS ALSO BEING OBSERVED. THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE THROUGH 14Z BEFORE IMPROVING TO VFR DURING THE MID AND LATE
MORNING HOURS. A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION DURING
THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON MONDAY.

MARINE...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN TODAY PROVIDING LIGHT TO
MODERATE OFFSHORE FLOW BUT THIS WILL BE SHORT LIVED. MON NIGHT
THROUGH TUE NIGHT...A REINFORCING FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA
AND LEAD TO WINDS RAMPING BACK UP ONCE AGAIN. SCY CONDITIONS WILL
LIKELY REDEVELOP AS EARLY AS LATE TONIGHT BUT LIKELY MORE TOMORROW
AND PERSISTING THROUGH TUE NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN WED
MORNING AND MUCH LIGHTER WINDS WILL ENCOMPASS ALL OF THE MARINE
ZONES. /CAB/

DECISION SUPPORT...
DSS CODE...GREEN.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...SLURRY SUPPORT.

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
         WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR
         AND/OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL
         SIGNIFICANCE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  63  37  58  36 /  10  10  10  10
BTR  64  39  60  37 /  10  10  10  10
ASD  71  38  60  37 /  10  10  20  10
MSY  70  46  59  42 /  10  10  20  10
GPT  73  40  59  39 /  10  20  20  30
PQL  71  37  60  38 /  10  20  20  30

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KSHV 241217
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
617 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.AVIATION...
VFR FLIGHT WEATHER EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE 24/12Z TAF FORECAST PERIOD.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 350 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
COOLER AIR CONTINUES TO FILTER INTO THE REGION THIS MORNING IN THE
WAKE OF A COLD FRONT. AS A RESULT...TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL RUN A
GOOD 10-15 DEGREES COOLER FOR MOST AREAS. BROAD-SCALE UPPER TROF
PRESENT OVER THE CENTRAL U.S. WILL ALLOW FOR SEVERAL SHORTWAVE
DISTURBANCES/COLD FRONTS TO MOVE ACROSS OUR REGION IN THE COMING
DAYS...KEEPING OUR TEMPS SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE
THANKSGIVING HOLIDAY.

TEMPS WILL BEGIN TO WARM UP TO NEAR AND ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS
DURING THE WEEKEND AHEAD OF ANOTHER COLD FRONT. THIS FRONT IS FCST
TO BECOME STALLED OVER OUR REGION DURING SUNDAY...AS THE UPPER
FLOW BECOMES MORE SWLY. RAIN CHANCES LOOK TO FIND THEIR WAY BACK
INTO THE FCST SUNDAY AND BEYOND...AS ANOTHER BROAD-SCALE UPPER TROF
APPROACHES. /12/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  62  38  62  37  65 /   0  10  10   0   0
MLU  61  36  59  35  63 /   0  10  10   0   0
DEQ  61  31  58  30  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
TXK  60  36  58  36  61 /   0  10   0   0   0
ELD  60  34  58  33  62 /   0  10  10   0   0
TYR  61  37  62  37  63 /   0   0  10   0   0
GGG  62  35  62  37  66 /   0  10   0   0   0
LFK  64  37  64  37  67 /   0  10  10   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KLCH 241144
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
544 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.AVIATION UPDATE...REGARDING 12Z TAF ISSUANCE. OUR LATEST COLD
FRONT HAS ADVANCED ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT AND IS CURRENTLY EXITING
LOWER ACADIANA. SHARPLY DRIER AIR OVERSPREADING THE FORECAST AREA
IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT WILL YIELD CLEAR SKIES THROUGHOUT THIS TAF
PACKAGE. MODERATE NORTHERLIES CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY...RAPIDLY
DIMINISHING TOWARD SUNSET.

&&

MARCOTTE


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 431 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
THE LATEST DRY COLD FRONT HAS SLIPPED THROUGH LAKE CHARLES THIS
MORNING WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING ON NORTHWEST WINDS. THE FRONT
WILL EXIT THE SOUTH CENTRAL LOUSIANA COAST BEFORE THE NOON HOUR.
THIS LATEST FRONT WILL PULL AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES BACK INTO THE
LOW TO MID 60S. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PICKUP OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS TODAY AND A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN POSTED FOR THE
OFFSHORE WATERS. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION HAS BEEN
POSTED ON AREA LAKES AND BAYS INCLUDING THE NEARSHORE WATERS.

MORE COOLER AIR IS ON THE WAY ON TUESDAY WITH TEMPERATURES
EXPECTED TO REMAIN ON THE COOLER SIDE THROUGH MIDWEEK. A WARM-UP
TAKES HOLD WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES BACK INTO THE 70S ON
THURSDAY WITH WINDS BECOMING LIGHT. RAINS LOOK TO HOLD OFF
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THIS WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  64  40  61  39  65 /  10  10  10  10  10
KBPT  64  40  62  40  66 /  10  10  10  10  10
KAEX  62  35  59  36  64 /  10  10  10  10  10
KLFT  64  40  59  38  64 /  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION FROM NOON CST TODAY THROUGH THIS
     EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL
     CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON
     LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: CALCASIEU LAKE...SABINE LAKE...VERMILION
     BAY.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH
     ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY
     TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$







000
FXUS64 KLCH 241144
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
544 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.AVIATION UPDATE...REGARDING 12Z TAF ISSUANCE. OUR LATEST COLD
FRONT HAS ADVANCED ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT AND IS CURRENTLY EXITING
LOWER ACADIANA. SHARPLY DRIER AIR OVERSPREADING THE FORECAST AREA
IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT WILL YIELD CLEAR SKIES THROUGHOUT THIS TAF
PACKAGE. MODERATE NORTHERLIES CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY...RAPIDLY
DIMINISHING TOWARD SUNSET.

&&

MARCOTTE


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 431 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
THE LATEST DRY COLD FRONT HAS SLIPPED THROUGH LAKE CHARLES THIS
MORNING WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING ON NORTHWEST WINDS. THE FRONT
WILL EXIT THE SOUTH CENTRAL LOUSIANA COAST BEFORE THE NOON HOUR.
THIS LATEST FRONT WILL PULL AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES BACK INTO THE
LOW TO MID 60S. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PICKUP OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS TODAY AND A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN POSTED FOR THE
OFFSHORE WATERS. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION HAS BEEN
POSTED ON AREA LAKES AND BAYS INCLUDING THE NEARSHORE WATERS.

MORE COOLER AIR IS ON THE WAY ON TUESDAY WITH TEMPERATURES
EXPECTED TO REMAIN ON THE COOLER SIDE THROUGH MIDWEEK. A WARM-UP
TAKES HOLD WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES BACK INTO THE 70S ON
THURSDAY WITH WINDS BECOMING LIGHT. RAINS LOOK TO HOLD OFF
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THIS WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  64  40  61  39  65 /  10  10  10  10  10
KBPT  64  40  62  40  66 /  10  10  10  10  10
KAEX  62  35  59  36  64 /  10  10  10  10  10
KLFT  64  40  59  38  64 /  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION FROM NOON CST TODAY THROUGH THIS
     EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL
     CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON
     LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: CALCASIEU LAKE...SABINE LAKE...VERMILION
     BAY.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH
     ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY
     TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$







000
FXUS64 KLCH 241144
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
544 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.AVIATION UPDATE...REGARDING 12Z TAF ISSUANCE. OUR LATEST COLD
FRONT HAS ADVANCED ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT AND IS CURRENTLY EXITING
LOWER ACADIANA. SHARPLY DRIER AIR OVERSPREADING THE FORECAST AREA
IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT WILL YIELD CLEAR SKIES THROUGHOUT THIS TAF
PACKAGE. MODERATE NORTHERLIES CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY...RAPIDLY
DIMINISHING TOWARD SUNSET.

&&

MARCOTTE


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 431 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
THE LATEST DRY COLD FRONT HAS SLIPPED THROUGH LAKE CHARLES THIS
MORNING WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING ON NORTHWEST WINDS. THE FRONT
WILL EXIT THE SOUTH CENTRAL LOUSIANA COAST BEFORE THE NOON HOUR.
THIS LATEST FRONT WILL PULL AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES BACK INTO THE
LOW TO MID 60S. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PICKUP OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS TODAY AND A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN POSTED FOR THE
OFFSHORE WATERS. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION HAS BEEN
POSTED ON AREA LAKES AND BAYS INCLUDING THE NEARSHORE WATERS.

MORE COOLER AIR IS ON THE WAY ON TUESDAY WITH TEMPERATURES
EXPECTED TO REMAIN ON THE COOLER SIDE THROUGH MIDWEEK. A WARM-UP
TAKES HOLD WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES BACK INTO THE 70S ON
THURSDAY WITH WINDS BECOMING LIGHT. RAINS LOOK TO HOLD OFF
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THIS WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  64  40  61  39  65 /  10  10  10  10  10
KBPT  64  40  62  40  66 /  10  10  10  10  10
KAEX  62  35  59  36  64 /  10  10  10  10  10
KLFT  64  40  59  38  64 /  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION FROM NOON CST TODAY THROUGH THIS
     EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL
     CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON
     LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: CALCASIEU LAKE...SABINE LAKE...VERMILION
     BAY.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH
     ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY
     TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$







000
FXUS64 KLCH 241144
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
544 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.AVIATION UPDATE...REGARDING 12Z TAF ISSUANCE. OUR LATEST COLD
FRONT HAS ADVANCED ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT AND IS CURRENTLY EXITING
LOWER ACADIANA. SHARPLY DRIER AIR OVERSPREADING THE FORECAST AREA
IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT WILL YIELD CLEAR SKIES THROUGHOUT THIS TAF
PACKAGE. MODERATE NORTHERLIES CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY...RAPIDLY
DIMINISHING TOWARD SUNSET.

&&

MARCOTTE


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 431 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
THE LATEST DRY COLD FRONT HAS SLIPPED THROUGH LAKE CHARLES THIS
MORNING WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING ON NORTHWEST WINDS. THE FRONT
WILL EXIT THE SOUTH CENTRAL LOUSIANA COAST BEFORE THE NOON HOUR.
THIS LATEST FRONT WILL PULL AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES BACK INTO THE
LOW TO MID 60S. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PICKUP OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS TODAY AND A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN POSTED FOR THE
OFFSHORE WATERS. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION HAS BEEN
POSTED ON AREA LAKES AND BAYS INCLUDING THE NEARSHORE WATERS.

MORE COOLER AIR IS ON THE WAY ON TUESDAY WITH TEMPERATURES
EXPECTED TO REMAIN ON THE COOLER SIDE THROUGH MIDWEEK. A WARM-UP
TAKES HOLD WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES BACK INTO THE 70S ON
THURSDAY WITH WINDS BECOMING LIGHT. RAINS LOOK TO HOLD OFF
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THIS WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  64  40  61  39  65 /  10  10  10  10  10
KBPT  64  40  62  40  66 /  10  10  10  10  10
KAEX  62  35  59  36  64 /  10  10  10  10  10
KLFT  64  40  59  38  64 /  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION FROM NOON CST TODAY THROUGH THIS
     EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL
     CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON
     LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: CALCASIEU LAKE...SABINE LAKE...VERMILION
     BAY.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH
     ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY
     TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$







000
FXUS64 KLCH 241031
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
431 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...
THE LATEST DRY COLD FRONT HAS SLIPPED THROUGH LAKE CHARLES THIS
MORNING WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING ON NORTHWEST WINDS. THE FRONT
WILL EXIT THE SOUTH CENTRAL LOUSIANA COAST BEFORE THE NOON HOUR.
THIS LATEST FRONT WILL PULL AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES BACK INTO THE
LOW TO MID 60S. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PICKUP OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS TODAY AND A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN POSTED FOR THE
OFFSHORE WATERS. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION HAS BEEN
POSTED ON AREA LAKES AND BAYS INCLUDING THE NEARSHORE WATERS.

MORE COOLER AIR IS ON THE WAY ON TUESDAY WITH TEMPERATURES
EXPECTED TO REMAIN ON THE COOLER SIDE THROUGH MIDWEEK. A WARM-UP
TAKES HOLD WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES BACK INTO THE 70S ON
THURSDAY WITH WINDS BECOMING LIGHT. RAINS LOOK TO HOLD OFF
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THIS WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  64  40  61  39  65 /  10  10  10  10  10
KBPT  64  40  62  40  66 /  10  10  10  10  10
KAEX  62  35  59  36  64 /  10  10  10  10  10
KLFT  64  40  59  38  64 /  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 5 AM CST EARLY THIS MORNING
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO
     CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO
     HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION FROM NOON CST TODAY THROUGH THIS
     EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL
     CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON
     LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: CALCASIEU LAKE...SABINE LAKE...VERMILION
     BAY.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH
     ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY
     TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM.

&&

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES

&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KLCH 241031
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
431 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...
THE LATEST DRY COLD FRONT HAS SLIPPED THROUGH LAKE CHARLES THIS
MORNING WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING ON NORTHWEST WINDS. THE FRONT
WILL EXIT THE SOUTH CENTRAL LOUSIANA COAST BEFORE THE NOON HOUR.
THIS LATEST FRONT WILL PULL AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES BACK INTO THE
LOW TO MID 60S. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PICKUP OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS TODAY AND A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN POSTED FOR THE
OFFSHORE WATERS. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION HAS BEEN
POSTED ON AREA LAKES AND BAYS INCLUDING THE NEARSHORE WATERS.

MORE COOLER AIR IS ON THE WAY ON TUESDAY WITH TEMPERATURES
EXPECTED TO REMAIN ON THE COOLER SIDE THROUGH MIDWEEK. A WARM-UP
TAKES HOLD WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES BACK INTO THE 70S ON
THURSDAY WITH WINDS BECOMING LIGHT. RAINS LOOK TO HOLD OFF
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THIS WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  64  40  61  39  65 /  10  10  10  10  10
KBPT  64  40  62  40  66 /  10  10  10  10  10
KAEX  62  35  59  36  64 /  10  10  10  10  10
KLFT  64  40  59  38  64 /  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 5 AM CST EARLY THIS MORNING
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO
     CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO
     HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION FROM NOON CST TODAY THROUGH THIS
     EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL
     CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON
     LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: CALCASIEU LAKE...SABINE LAKE...VERMILION
     BAY.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH
     ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY
     TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM.

&&

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES

&&

$$







000
FXUS64 KLIX 240952
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
352 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...
FOG AND STRATUS WILL BEGIN OUR MORNING ACROSS MOST OF THE FORECAST
AREA AS TEMPERATURES STAYED IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S THROUGH MOST
OF THE EVENING. PATCHY LOCALLY DENSE FOG HAS BEEN REPORTED IN A
FEW SPOTS THIS MORNING AND SHOULD BEGIN TO MIX OUT AFTER SUNRISE.
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA TODAY AND USHER
IN A COOLER AND DRIER AIR MASS. WINDS WILL PICK UP SOME BEHIND THE
FRONT A PERSIST INTO THE EVENING HOURS. YOU MIGHT NOT FEEL THAT
MUCH OF A DIFFERENCE IN TEMPERATURES TODAY BUT YOU WILL FEEL IT
TONIGHT AS LOWS DIVE BACK DOWN INTO THE UPPER 30S AND LOWER 40S.
HIGHS TOMORROW WILL TOP OUT AROUND 60 DEGREES.

ANOTHER FAST MOVING UPPER TROUGH WILL BE MOVING THROUGH THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. MODEL GUIDANCE
SUGGESTING THERE WILL BE JUST ENOUGH MOISTURE RETURN TO SQUEEZE
OUT SOME SHOWERS DURING THIS TIME FRAME. WILL CONTINUE TO CARRY A
CHANCE FOR SOME SHOWERS FOR TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT MAINLY FOR
AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF A LINE FROM SLIDELL TO NEW ORLEANS DOWN TO
HOUMA. ONCE THE TROUGH SWINGS THROUGH...A REINFORCING HIGH WILL
BUILD IN AND THIS HIGH WILL SLOWLY PROGRESS EASTWARD THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE SECOND
HALF OF THE WORK WEEK WILL BE NEAR OR BELOW NORMAL. AS THE HIGH
SLIDES EAST OF THE AREA LATE IN THE WEEK...A GRADUAL WARMING TREND
WILL BEGIN AND TEMPS WILL RISE ABOVE NORMAL OVER THE WEEKEND.
13/MH


&&

.AVIATION...
STRATUS AND FOG HAS DEVELOPED OVER POTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA
RESULTING IN MVFR TO LIFR CONDITIONS AT MOST TAF LOCATIONS. THE
WORST CONDITIONS WERE ACROSS COASTAL AREAS WHERE SOME ADVECTION
FOG WAS ALSO BEING OBSERVED. THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE THROUGH 14Z BEFORE IMPROVING TO VFR DURING THE MID AND LATE
MORNING HOURS. A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION DURING
THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN TODAY PROVIDING LIGHT TO
MODERATE OFFSHORE FLOW BUT THIS WILL BE SHORT LIVED. MON NIGHT
THROUGH TUE NIGHT...A REINFORCING FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA
AND LEAD TO WINDS RAMPING BACK UP ONCE AGAIN. SCY CONDITIONS WILL
LIKELY REDEVELOP AS EARLY AS LATE TONIGHT BUT LIKELY MORE TOMORROW
AND PERSISTING THROUGH TUE NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN WED
MORNING AND MUCH LIGHTER WINDS WILL ENCOMPASS ALL OF THE MARINE
ZONES. /CAB/

&&

.DECISION SUPPORT...
DSS CODE...GREEN.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...SLURRY SUPPORT.

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
         WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR
         AND/OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL
         SIGNIFICANCE.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  63  37  58  36 /  10  10  10  10
BTR  64  39  60  37 /  10  10  10  10
ASD  68  38  60  37 /  10  10  20  10
MSY  67  46  59  42 /  10  10  20  10
GPT  70  40  59  39 /  10  20  20  30
PQL  72  37  60  38 /  10  20  20  30

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM
     20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     STAKE ISLAND LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND COASTAL WATERS FROM THE
     SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON
     FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM
     20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     STAKE ISLAND LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND COASTAL WATERS FROM THE
     SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON
     FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KLIX 240952
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
352 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...
FOG AND STRATUS WILL BEGIN OUR MORNING ACROSS MOST OF THE FORECAST
AREA AS TEMPERATURES STAYED IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S THROUGH MOST
OF THE EVENING. PATCHY LOCALLY DENSE FOG HAS BEEN REPORTED IN A
FEW SPOTS THIS MORNING AND SHOULD BEGIN TO MIX OUT AFTER SUNRISE.
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA TODAY AND USHER
IN A COOLER AND DRIER AIR MASS. WINDS WILL PICK UP SOME BEHIND THE
FRONT A PERSIST INTO THE EVENING HOURS. YOU MIGHT NOT FEEL THAT
MUCH OF A DIFFERENCE IN TEMPERATURES TODAY BUT YOU WILL FEEL IT
TONIGHT AS LOWS DIVE BACK DOWN INTO THE UPPER 30S AND LOWER 40S.
HIGHS TOMORROW WILL TOP OUT AROUND 60 DEGREES.

ANOTHER FAST MOVING UPPER TROUGH WILL BE MOVING THROUGH THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. MODEL GUIDANCE
SUGGESTING THERE WILL BE JUST ENOUGH MOISTURE RETURN TO SQUEEZE
OUT SOME SHOWERS DURING THIS TIME FRAME. WILL CONTINUE TO CARRY A
CHANCE FOR SOME SHOWERS FOR TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT MAINLY FOR
AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF A LINE FROM SLIDELL TO NEW ORLEANS DOWN TO
HOUMA. ONCE THE TROUGH SWINGS THROUGH...A REINFORCING HIGH WILL
BUILD IN AND THIS HIGH WILL SLOWLY PROGRESS EASTWARD THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE SECOND
HALF OF THE WORK WEEK WILL BE NEAR OR BELOW NORMAL. AS THE HIGH
SLIDES EAST OF THE AREA LATE IN THE WEEK...A GRADUAL WARMING TREND
WILL BEGIN AND TEMPS WILL RISE ABOVE NORMAL OVER THE WEEKEND.
13/MH


&&

.AVIATION...
STRATUS AND FOG HAS DEVELOPED OVER POTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA
RESULTING IN MVFR TO LIFR CONDITIONS AT MOST TAF LOCATIONS. THE
WORST CONDITIONS WERE ACROSS COASTAL AREAS WHERE SOME ADVECTION
FOG WAS ALSO BEING OBSERVED. THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE THROUGH 14Z BEFORE IMPROVING TO VFR DURING THE MID AND LATE
MORNING HOURS. A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION DURING
THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN TODAY PROVIDING LIGHT TO
MODERATE OFFSHORE FLOW BUT THIS WILL BE SHORT LIVED. MON NIGHT
THROUGH TUE NIGHT...A REINFORCING FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA
AND LEAD TO WINDS RAMPING BACK UP ONCE AGAIN. SCY CONDITIONS WILL
LIKELY REDEVELOP AS EARLY AS LATE TONIGHT BUT LIKELY MORE TOMORROW
AND PERSISTING THROUGH TUE NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN WED
MORNING AND MUCH LIGHTER WINDS WILL ENCOMPASS ALL OF THE MARINE
ZONES. /CAB/

&&

.DECISION SUPPORT...
DSS CODE...GREEN.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...SLURRY SUPPORT.

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
         WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR
         AND/OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL
         SIGNIFICANCE.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  63  37  58  36 /  10  10  10  10
BTR  64  39  60  37 /  10  10  10  10
ASD  68  38  60  37 /  10  10  20  10
MSY  67  46  59  42 /  10  10  20  10
GPT  70  40  59  39 /  10  20  20  30
PQL  72  37  60  38 /  10  20  20  30

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM
     20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     STAKE ISLAND LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND COASTAL WATERS FROM THE
     SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON
     FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM
     20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     STAKE ISLAND LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND COASTAL WATERS FROM THE
     SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON
     FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KLIX 240952
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
352 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...
FOG AND STRATUS WILL BEGIN OUR MORNING ACROSS MOST OF THE FORECAST
AREA AS TEMPERATURES STAYED IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S THROUGH MOST
OF THE EVENING. PATCHY LOCALLY DENSE FOG HAS BEEN REPORTED IN A
FEW SPOTS THIS MORNING AND SHOULD BEGIN TO MIX OUT AFTER SUNRISE.
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA TODAY AND USHER
IN A COOLER AND DRIER AIR MASS. WINDS WILL PICK UP SOME BEHIND THE
FRONT A PERSIST INTO THE EVENING HOURS. YOU MIGHT NOT FEEL THAT
MUCH OF A DIFFERENCE IN TEMPERATURES TODAY BUT YOU WILL FEEL IT
TONIGHT AS LOWS DIVE BACK DOWN INTO THE UPPER 30S AND LOWER 40S.
HIGHS TOMORROW WILL TOP OUT AROUND 60 DEGREES.

ANOTHER FAST MOVING UPPER TROUGH WILL BE MOVING THROUGH THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. MODEL GUIDANCE
SUGGESTING THERE WILL BE JUST ENOUGH MOISTURE RETURN TO SQUEEZE
OUT SOME SHOWERS DURING THIS TIME FRAME. WILL CONTINUE TO CARRY A
CHANCE FOR SOME SHOWERS FOR TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT MAINLY FOR
AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF A LINE FROM SLIDELL TO NEW ORLEANS DOWN TO
HOUMA. ONCE THE TROUGH SWINGS THROUGH...A REINFORCING HIGH WILL
BUILD IN AND THIS HIGH WILL SLOWLY PROGRESS EASTWARD THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE SECOND
HALF OF THE WORK WEEK WILL BE NEAR OR BELOW NORMAL. AS THE HIGH
SLIDES EAST OF THE AREA LATE IN THE WEEK...A GRADUAL WARMING TREND
WILL BEGIN AND TEMPS WILL RISE ABOVE NORMAL OVER THE WEEKEND.
13/MH


&&

.AVIATION...
STRATUS AND FOG HAS DEVELOPED OVER POTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA
RESULTING IN MVFR TO LIFR CONDITIONS AT MOST TAF LOCATIONS. THE
WORST CONDITIONS WERE ACROSS COASTAL AREAS WHERE SOME ADVECTION
FOG WAS ALSO BEING OBSERVED. THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE THROUGH 14Z BEFORE IMPROVING TO VFR DURING THE MID AND LATE
MORNING HOURS. A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION DURING
THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN TODAY PROVIDING LIGHT TO
MODERATE OFFSHORE FLOW BUT THIS WILL BE SHORT LIVED. MON NIGHT
THROUGH TUE NIGHT...A REINFORCING FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA
AND LEAD TO WINDS RAMPING BACK UP ONCE AGAIN. SCY CONDITIONS WILL
LIKELY REDEVELOP AS EARLY AS LATE TONIGHT BUT LIKELY MORE TOMORROW
AND PERSISTING THROUGH TUE NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN WED
MORNING AND MUCH LIGHTER WINDS WILL ENCOMPASS ALL OF THE MARINE
ZONES. /CAB/

&&

.DECISION SUPPORT...
DSS CODE...GREEN.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...SLURRY SUPPORT.

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
         WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR
         AND/OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL
         SIGNIFICANCE.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  63  37  58  36 /  10  10  10  10
BTR  64  39  60  37 /  10  10  10  10
ASD  68  38  60  37 /  10  10  20  10
MSY  67  46  59  42 /  10  10  20  10
GPT  70  40  59  39 /  10  20  20  30
PQL  72  37  60  38 /  10  20  20  30

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM
     20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     STAKE ISLAND LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND COASTAL WATERS FROM THE
     SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON
     FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM
     20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     STAKE ISLAND LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND COASTAL WATERS FROM THE
     SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON
     FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

$$







000
FXUS64 KSHV 240950
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
350 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...
COOLER AIR CONTINUES TO FILTER INTO THE REGION THIS MORNING IN THE
WAKE OF A COLD FRONT. AS A RESULT...TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL RUN A
GOOD 10-15 DEGREES COOLER FOR MOST AREAS. BROAD-SCALE UPPER TROF
PRESENT OVER THE CENTRAL U.S. WILL ALLOW FOR SEVERAL SHORTWAVE
DISTURBANCES/COLD FRONTS TO MOVE ACROSS OUR REGION IN THE COMING
DAYS...KEEPING OUR TEMPS SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE
THANKSGIVING HOLIDAY.

TEMPS WILL BEGIN TO WARM UP TO NEAR AND ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS
DURING THE WEEKEND AHEAD OF ANOTHER COLD FRONT. THIS FRONT IS FCST
TO BECOME STALLED OVER OUR REGION DURING SUNDAY...AS THE UPPER
FLOW BECOMES MORE SWLY. RAIN CHANCES LOOK TO FIND THEIR WAY BACK
INTO THE FCST SUNDAY AND BEYOND...AS ANOTHER BROAD-SCALE UPPER TROF
APPROACHES. /12/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  62  38  62  37  65 /   0  10  10   0   0
MLU  61  36  59  35  63 /   0  10  10   0   0
DEQ  61  31  58  30  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
TXK  60  36  58  36  61 /   0  10   0   0   0
ELD  60  34  58  33  62 /   0  10  10   0   0
TYR  61  37  62  37  63 /   0   0  10   0   0
GGG  62  35  62  37  66 /   0  10   0   0   0
LFK  64  37  64  37  67 /   0  10  10   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

12






000
FXUS64 KSHV 240950
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
350 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...
COOLER AIR CONTINUES TO FILTER INTO THE REGION THIS MORNING IN THE
WAKE OF A COLD FRONT. AS A RESULT...TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL RUN A
GOOD 10-15 DEGREES COOLER FOR MOST AREAS. BROAD-SCALE UPPER TROF
PRESENT OVER THE CENTRAL U.S. WILL ALLOW FOR SEVERAL SHORTWAVE
DISTURBANCES/COLD FRONTS TO MOVE ACROSS OUR REGION IN THE COMING
DAYS...KEEPING OUR TEMPS SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE
THANKSGIVING HOLIDAY.

TEMPS WILL BEGIN TO WARM UP TO NEAR AND ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS
DURING THE WEEKEND AHEAD OF ANOTHER COLD FRONT. THIS FRONT IS FCST
TO BECOME STALLED OVER OUR REGION DURING SUNDAY...AS THE UPPER
FLOW BECOMES MORE SWLY. RAIN CHANCES LOOK TO FIND THEIR WAY BACK
INTO THE FCST SUNDAY AND BEYOND...AS ANOTHER BROAD-SCALE UPPER TROF
APPROACHES. /12/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  62  38  62  37  65 /   0  10  10   0   0
MLU  61  36  59  35  63 /   0  10  10   0   0
DEQ  61  31  58  30  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
TXK  60  36  58  36  61 /   0  10   0   0   0
ELD  60  34  58  33  62 /   0  10  10   0   0
TYR  61  37  62  37  63 /   0   0  10   0   0
GGG  62  35  62  37  66 /   0  10   0   0   0
LFK  64  37  64  37  67 /   0  10  10   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

12






000
FXUS64 KSHV 240950
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
350 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...
COOLER AIR CONTINUES TO FILTER INTO THE REGION THIS MORNING IN THE
WAKE OF A COLD FRONT. AS A RESULT...TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL RUN A
GOOD 10-15 DEGREES COOLER FOR MOST AREAS. BROAD-SCALE UPPER TROF
PRESENT OVER THE CENTRAL U.S. WILL ALLOW FOR SEVERAL SHORTWAVE
DISTURBANCES/COLD FRONTS TO MOVE ACROSS OUR REGION IN THE COMING
DAYS...KEEPING OUR TEMPS SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE
THANKSGIVING HOLIDAY.

TEMPS WILL BEGIN TO WARM UP TO NEAR AND ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS
DURING THE WEEKEND AHEAD OF ANOTHER COLD FRONT. THIS FRONT IS FCST
TO BECOME STALLED OVER OUR REGION DURING SUNDAY...AS THE UPPER
FLOW BECOMES MORE SWLY. RAIN CHANCES LOOK TO FIND THEIR WAY BACK
INTO THE FCST SUNDAY AND BEYOND...AS ANOTHER BROAD-SCALE UPPER TROF
APPROACHES. /12/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  62  38  62  37  65 /   0  10  10   0   0
MLU  61  36  59  35  63 /   0  10  10   0   0
DEQ  61  31  58  30  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
TXK  60  36  58  36  61 /   0  10   0   0   0
ELD  60  34  58  33  62 /   0  10  10   0   0
TYR  61  37  62  37  63 /   0   0  10   0   0
GGG  62  35  62  37  66 /   0  10   0   0   0
LFK  64  37  64  37  67 /   0  10  10   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

12







000
FXUS64 KSHV 240950
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
350 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...
COOLER AIR CONTINUES TO FILTER INTO THE REGION THIS MORNING IN THE
WAKE OF A COLD FRONT. AS A RESULT...TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL RUN A
GOOD 10-15 DEGREES COOLER FOR MOST AREAS. BROAD-SCALE UPPER TROF
PRESENT OVER THE CENTRAL U.S. WILL ALLOW FOR SEVERAL SHORTWAVE
DISTURBANCES/COLD FRONTS TO MOVE ACROSS OUR REGION IN THE COMING
DAYS...KEEPING OUR TEMPS SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE
THANKSGIVING HOLIDAY.

TEMPS WILL BEGIN TO WARM UP TO NEAR AND ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS
DURING THE WEEKEND AHEAD OF ANOTHER COLD FRONT. THIS FRONT IS FCST
TO BECOME STALLED OVER OUR REGION DURING SUNDAY...AS THE UPPER
FLOW BECOMES MORE SWLY. RAIN CHANCES LOOK TO FIND THEIR WAY BACK
INTO THE FCST SUNDAY AND BEYOND...AS ANOTHER BROAD-SCALE UPPER TROF
APPROACHES. /12/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  62  38  62  37  65 /   0  10  10   0   0
MLU  61  36  59  35  63 /   0  10  10   0   0
DEQ  61  31  58  30  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
TXK  60  36  58  36  61 /   0  10   0   0   0
ELD  60  34  58  33  62 /   0  10  10   0   0
TYR  61  37  62  37  63 /   0   0  10   0   0
GGG  62  35  62  37  66 /   0  10   0   0   0
LFK  64  37  64  37  67 /   0  10  10   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

12







000
FXUS64 KSHV 240555
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1155 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014

.AVIATION...

MVFR CEILINGS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD INTO THE AREA AND AFFECT
THE TERMINAL FORECAST SITES MAINLY ALONG AND TO THE NORTH OF
INTERSTATE 20. CLOUDS EXPECTED TO AFFECT KTXK 24/06-11Z...KSHV
AND KELD 24/08-13Z...AND KMLU 24/09-14Z. THE LOWER CLOUDS WILL BE
MOVING INTO KGGG AND KTYR AROUND 24/06-10Z AND KLFK 24/08-12Z BUT
SHOULD REMAIN SCATTERED. SURFACE WINDS WILL BE SHIFTING TO WEST
AND THEN NORTHWEST WITH SPEEDS INCREASING TO 10-15 KNOTS WITH HIGHER
GUSTS INTO THE MID DAY TO EARLY AFTERNOON BEFORE GRADUALLY LOWERING
BELOW 7 KNOTS NEAR 25/00Z. /06/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 958 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...
AT 0340Z...A PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH WAS RACING EWD AND WAS LOCATED
FROM NEAR KLFK...TO KRSN...TO NEAR KCDH. A COLD FRONT WAS FARTHER
NW ROUGHLY FROM NEAR KTYR...TO KDEQ . DRY AIR IS QUICKLY INVADING
BEHIND THE PRE- FRONTAL TROUGH BUT THE COLD AIR IS STILL WELL TO
THE NW. TEMPS SHOULD QUICKLY DROP DURING THE OVERNIGHT HRS AS THE
COLD AIR ARRIVES. NWLY SFC WINDS WILL INCREASE TO UP 15 KTS WITH
HIGHER GUSTS AS THE GRADIENT TIGHTENS. SPEEDS WILL LIKELY FLIRT
WITH LAKE WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA BUT CURRENT THINKING IS THAT ANY
OCCURRENCES WILL BE TOO ISOLATED AND SPOTTY TO WARRANT ISSUING A
HEADLINE AT THIS TIME. WINDS SHOULD ALSO DIMINISH DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HRS AS THE SFC LOW QUICKLY LIFTS NEWD TOWARDS THE GREAT
LAKES.

HAVE UPDATED WIND/DEWPOINT GRIDS BASED ON LATEST OBS AND THE
PROGRESS OF THE FRONT AND TROUGH. ALSO ADJUSTED SKY GRIDS TO
ACCOUNT FOR SOME WRAP-AROUND STRATUS THAT WILL AFFECT SE OK/SW
AR/NE TX. REMAINDER OF THE GRIDS WERE LEFT INTACT. /09/

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 314 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...
RAIN HAS QUICKLY MOVED EAST OF THE MS RIVER WITH DRY SLOTTING
CLEARING OUT CLOUDS IN ALL BUT EXTREME EASTERN CWA. COLD FRONT
WEST OF DFW...HOWEVER...LOWER DEW POINTS APPROACHING NE TX IN
PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH. SKIES TO REMAIN CLEAR OVERNIGHT...EXCEPT
WRAPAROUND CLOUDS OVER PANHANDLE REGION MAY CLIP AREAS MAINLY
NORTH OF I-30 LATER TONIGHT. THE REST OF THE WEEK WILL BE FAIRLY
QUIET WEATHER-WISE AS BROAD RIDGING OVER WESTERN US BRINGING WNW
FLOW ALOFT TO AREA. UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS LIKELY JUST ENOUGH TO KEEP
TEMPS ABOVE FREEZING FOR ALL BUT EXTREME NORTHERN CWA MONDAY
NIGHT. COLD CORE UPPER TROUGH TUESDAY WILL LIKELY NOT CONTAIN
ENOUGH MOISTURE FOR ANY ISOLD CONVECTION...AS NAM IS TRYING TO
ADVERTISE. SKIES SHOULD BE MOSTLY CLEAR THROUGH THANKSGIVING
HOLIDAY WITH SHALLOW MOISTURE RETURNING LATE IN WEEKEND...COULD BE
ENOUGH FOR SOME LIGHT SHOWERS./VII/.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  44  62  35  64  37 /   0   0  10  10   0
MLU  45  62  35  62  36 /   0   0  10  10   0
DEQ  39  60  32  60  33 /  10   0   0   0   0
TXK  41  59  31  61  35 /   0   0  10   0   0
ELD  43  59  35  61  34 /  10   0  10  10   0
TYR  42  62  35  63  37 /   0   0   0  10   0
GGG  43  61  34  64  36 /   0   0  10   0   0
LFK  44  64  37  65  37 /   0   0  10  10   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

06






000
FXUS64 KSHV 240555
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1155 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014

.AVIATION...

MVFR CEILINGS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD INTO THE AREA AND AFFECT
THE TERMINAL FORECAST SITES MAINLY ALONG AND TO THE NORTH OF
INTERSTATE 20. CLOUDS EXPECTED TO AFFECT KTXK 24/06-11Z...KSHV
AND KELD 24/08-13Z...AND KMLU 24/09-14Z. THE LOWER CLOUDS WILL BE
MOVING INTO KGGG AND KTYR AROUND 24/06-10Z AND KLFK 24/08-12Z BUT
SHOULD REMAIN SCATTERED. SURFACE WINDS WILL BE SHIFTING TO WEST
AND THEN NORTHWEST WITH SPEEDS INCREASING TO 10-15 KNOTS WITH HIGHER
GUSTS INTO THE MID DAY TO EARLY AFTERNOON BEFORE GRADUALLY LOWERING
BELOW 7 KNOTS NEAR 25/00Z. /06/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 958 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...
AT 0340Z...A PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH WAS RACING EWD AND WAS LOCATED
FROM NEAR KLFK...TO KRSN...TO NEAR KCDH. A COLD FRONT WAS FARTHER
NW ROUGHLY FROM NEAR KTYR...TO KDEQ . DRY AIR IS QUICKLY INVADING
BEHIND THE PRE- FRONTAL TROUGH BUT THE COLD AIR IS STILL WELL TO
THE NW. TEMPS SHOULD QUICKLY DROP DURING THE OVERNIGHT HRS AS THE
COLD AIR ARRIVES. NWLY SFC WINDS WILL INCREASE TO UP 15 KTS WITH
HIGHER GUSTS AS THE GRADIENT TIGHTENS. SPEEDS WILL LIKELY FLIRT
WITH LAKE WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA BUT CURRENT THINKING IS THAT ANY
OCCURRENCES WILL BE TOO ISOLATED AND SPOTTY TO WARRANT ISSUING A
HEADLINE AT THIS TIME. WINDS SHOULD ALSO DIMINISH DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HRS AS THE SFC LOW QUICKLY LIFTS NEWD TOWARDS THE GREAT
LAKES.

HAVE UPDATED WIND/DEWPOINT GRIDS BASED ON LATEST OBS AND THE
PROGRESS OF THE FRONT AND TROUGH. ALSO ADJUSTED SKY GRIDS TO
ACCOUNT FOR SOME WRAP-AROUND STRATUS THAT WILL AFFECT SE OK/SW
AR/NE TX. REMAINDER OF THE GRIDS WERE LEFT INTACT. /09/

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 314 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...
RAIN HAS QUICKLY MOVED EAST OF THE MS RIVER WITH DRY SLOTTING
CLEARING OUT CLOUDS IN ALL BUT EXTREME EASTERN CWA. COLD FRONT
WEST OF DFW...HOWEVER...LOWER DEW POINTS APPROACHING NE TX IN
PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH. SKIES TO REMAIN CLEAR OVERNIGHT...EXCEPT
WRAPAROUND CLOUDS OVER PANHANDLE REGION MAY CLIP AREAS MAINLY
NORTH OF I-30 LATER TONIGHT. THE REST OF THE WEEK WILL BE FAIRLY
QUIET WEATHER-WISE AS BROAD RIDGING OVER WESTERN US BRINGING WNW
FLOW ALOFT TO AREA. UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS LIKELY JUST ENOUGH TO KEEP
TEMPS ABOVE FREEZING FOR ALL BUT EXTREME NORTHERN CWA MONDAY
NIGHT. COLD CORE UPPER TROUGH TUESDAY WILL LIKELY NOT CONTAIN
ENOUGH MOISTURE FOR ANY ISOLD CONVECTION...AS NAM IS TRYING TO
ADVERTISE. SKIES SHOULD BE MOSTLY CLEAR THROUGH THANKSGIVING
HOLIDAY WITH SHALLOW MOISTURE RETURNING LATE IN WEEKEND...COULD BE
ENOUGH FOR SOME LIGHT SHOWERS./VII/.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  44  62  35  64  37 /   0   0  10  10   0
MLU  45  62  35  62  36 /   0   0  10  10   0
DEQ  39  60  32  60  33 /  10   0   0   0   0
TXK  41  59  31  61  35 /   0   0  10   0   0
ELD  43  59  35  61  34 /  10   0  10  10   0
TYR  42  62  35  63  37 /   0   0   0  10   0
GGG  43  61  34  64  36 /   0   0  10   0   0
LFK  44  64  37  65  37 /   0   0  10  10   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

06





000
FXUS64 KLIX 240532
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1132 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014

.AVIATION...
STRATUS HAS DEVELOPED OVER POTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS
EVENING RESULTING IN CONDITIONS RANGING FROM MVFR TO LIFR AT MOST
TAF LOCATIONS. THE WORST CONDITIONS WERE ACROSS COASTAL AREAS WHERE
SOME ADVECTION FOG WAS ALSO BEING OBSERVED. THESE CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS MONDAY BEFORE
IMPROVING TO VFR DURING THE MID AND LATE MORNING HOURS. A COLD
FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION DURING THE MORNING AND EARLY
AFTERNOON MONDAY. 11

&&


.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  52  64  40  58 /  10  10  10  10
BTR  55  67  39  61 /  10  10  10  10
ASD  55  68  38  59 /  10  10  10  10
MSY  59  68  46  59 /  10  10  10  10
GPT  59  71  40  59 /  10  10  10  10
PQL  57  72  37  60 /  10  10  10  20

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM
     20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     STAKE ISLAND LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND COASTAL WATERS FROM THE
     SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON
     FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM
     20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     STAKE ISLAND LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND COASTAL WATERS FROM THE
     SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON
     FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KLCH 240523
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1123 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014

.DISCUSSION...
FOR 06Z TAFS...VFR CONDITIONS AT MOST SITES...EXCEPT LFT-ARA WHERE
LOW CLOUDS AND FOG BRINGS IT DOWN TO MVFR/IFR AT TIMES. THIS WILL
IMPROVE BASED ON TIMING OF COLD FRONT PASSAGE...STARTING IN SE TX
SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT...AND EXITING SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA
TOWARDS DAYBREAK.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 933 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014/

UPDATE...A COLD FRONT IS CURRENTLY STRETCHED FROM AROUND AUSTIN
TO PARIS, TEXAS THIS EVENING AND IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE CWA
A LITTLE AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE FRONT SHOULD BE IN LOWER ACADIANA BY
SUNRISE. AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY MOISTURE IS RUNNING HIGH WITH
PATCHY FOG AND STRATUS SLOWLY DEVELOPING ACROSS SOUTH LA AND THE
NEAR SHORE WATERS. THE FOG IS EXPECTED TO CLEAR THE AREA AROUND
SUNRISE OR SHORTLY AFTER AS THE FRONT PASSES. A SCA HAS BEEN
HOISTED FOR THE OUTER WATERS AS WINDS WILL INCREASE BEHIND THE
FRONT MONDAY MORNING.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 534 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...
FOR 00Z TAFS...EXPECTING VFR CONDITIONS TONIGHT. WIND SHIFT
FORECAST BETWEEN 07-12Z AS COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 422 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...
GENERALLY QUIET WEATHER ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AS THE VIGOROUS
SHORTWAVE TROF THAT AFFECTED THE AREA LAST NIGHT CONTINUES TO
QUICKLY EJECT OUT TO THE NORTHEAST. ON ITS HEELS...A MEAN LONGWAVE
TROF IS POISED TO DIG INTO THE CENTRAL CONUS...WITH ANOTHER
SHORTWAVE TROF TRANSLATING THROUGH THE BASE OF THE TROF PROGGED TO
SEND A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE AREA LATER TONIGHT.

SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY WANE OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF HOURS...WITH THE WIND ADVISORY OVER ACADIANA CONTINUING
UNTIL 6 PM. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR A FT POLK TO HOUSTON
LINE BY MIDNIGHT...THEN JUST OVER THE FAR SE MARINE ZONE BY 6 AM.
DRYING OF THE ATMOSPHERIC COLUMN IN THE MID AND UPPER LEVELS HAS
ALREADY ENSUED THANKS TO THE WESTERLY FLOW IN THE WAKE OF THE LEAD
SHORTWAVE...AND THE NORTHWEST WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT WILL TAKE
CARE OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE...WITH SFC DEWPOINTS PROGGED TO DROP
INTO THE 30S BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON. DRY AND COOL...WITH GENERALLY
MODERATE NORTH WINDS...CAN BE EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
NIGHT.

A SECONDARY/REINFORCING SURGE OF COOL AIR IS PROGGED TO ARRIVE
TUE/TUE NIGHT AS THE BASE OF THE MEAN TROF PIVOTS THROUGH THE
AREA. ACCOMPANIED BY PERHAPS SOME DRY/MID LEVEL CLOUDS...THE
PASSAGE OF THIS FEATURE SHOULD OTHERWISE REMAIN DRY.

A GRADUAL WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED FOR THE END OF THE WEEK AND
INTO THE WEEKEND AS GENERALLY ZONAL FLOW ALOFT PREVAILS AMID
SOUTHERLY SFC FLOW BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE TO THE EAST AND LOW
PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS.

13

MARINE...
MODERATE SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING...BECOMING
WEST OVERNIGHT AND FINALLY NORTHWEST MONDAY MORNING AS A COLD
FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION. MODEST OFFSHORE FLOW IS EXPECTED
BEHIND THE FRONT THROUGH TUESDAY...WITH WINDS BECOMING LIGHT AND
SOMEWHAT VARIABLE BY MIDWEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES OVER THE
WESTERN GULF. A MORE PREVALENT SOUTHERLY FLOW IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP BY THE END OF THE WEEK.

13

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  51  65  41  61  39 /   0   0  10  10  10
KBPT  50  65  42  62  40 /   0   0  10  10  10
KAEX  48  62  37  60  36 /   0  10  10  10  10
KLFT  54  65  42  60  39 /   0  10  10  10  10

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 5 AM TO NOON CST MONDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON
     LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND
     TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER
     TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 5 AM CST MONDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON
     LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND
     TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER
     TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH
     ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY
     TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM.

&&

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES

&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KLCH 240523
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1123 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014

.DISCUSSION...
FOR 06Z TAFS...VFR CONDITIONS AT MOST SITES...EXCEPT LFT-ARA WHERE
LOW CLOUDS AND FOG BRINGS IT DOWN TO MVFR/IFR AT TIMES. THIS WILL
IMPROVE BASED ON TIMING OF COLD FRONT PASSAGE...STARTING IN SE TX
SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT...AND EXITING SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA
TOWARDS DAYBREAK.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 933 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014/

UPDATE...A COLD FRONT IS CURRENTLY STRETCHED FROM AROUND AUSTIN
TO PARIS, TEXAS THIS EVENING AND IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE CWA
A LITTLE AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE FRONT SHOULD BE IN LOWER ACADIANA BY
SUNRISE. AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY MOISTURE IS RUNNING HIGH WITH
PATCHY FOG AND STRATUS SLOWLY DEVELOPING ACROSS SOUTH LA AND THE
NEAR SHORE WATERS. THE FOG IS EXPECTED TO CLEAR THE AREA AROUND
SUNRISE OR SHORTLY AFTER AS THE FRONT PASSES. A SCA HAS BEEN
HOISTED FOR THE OUTER WATERS AS WINDS WILL INCREASE BEHIND THE
FRONT MONDAY MORNING.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 534 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...
FOR 00Z TAFS...EXPECTING VFR CONDITIONS TONIGHT. WIND SHIFT
FORECAST BETWEEN 07-12Z AS COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 422 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...
GENERALLY QUIET WEATHER ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AS THE VIGOROUS
SHORTWAVE TROF THAT AFFECTED THE AREA LAST NIGHT CONTINUES TO
QUICKLY EJECT OUT TO THE NORTHEAST. ON ITS HEELS...A MEAN LONGWAVE
TROF IS POISED TO DIG INTO THE CENTRAL CONUS...WITH ANOTHER
SHORTWAVE TROF TRANSLATING THROUGH THE BASE OF THE TROF PROGGED TO
SEND A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE AREA LATER TONIGHT.

SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY WANE OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF HOURS...WITH THE WIND ADVISORY OVER ACADIANA CONTINUING
UNTIL 6 PM. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR A FT POLK TO HOUSTON
LINE BY MIDNIGHT...THEN JUST OVER THE FAR SE MARINE ZONE BY 6 AM.
DRYING OF THE ATMOSPHERIC COLUMN IN THE MID AND UPPER LEVELS HAS
ALREADY ENSUED THANKS TO THE WESTERLY FLOW IN THE WAKE OF THE LEAD
SHORTWAVE...AND THE NORTHWEST WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT WILL TAKE
CARE OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE...WITH SFC DEWPOINTS PROGGED TO DROP
INTO THE 30S BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON. DRY AND COOL...WITH GENERALLY
MODERATE NORTH WINDS...CAN BE EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
NIGHT.

A SECONDARY/REINFORCING SURGE OF COOL AIR IS PROGGED TO ARRIVE
TUE/TUE NIGHT AS THE BASE OF THE MEAN TROF PIVOTS THROUGH THE
AREA. ACCOMPANIED BY PERHAPS SOME DRY/MID LEVEL CLOUDS...THE
PASSAGE OF THIS FEATURE SHOULD OTHERWISE REMAIN DRY.

A GRADUAL WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED FOR THE END OF THE WEEK AND
INTO THE WEEKEND AS GENERALLY ZONAL FLOW ALOFT PREVAILS AMID
SOUTHERLY SFC FLOW BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE TO THE EAST AND LOW
PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS.

13

MARINE...
MODERATE SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING...BECOMING
WEST OVERNIGHT AND FINALLY NORTHWEST MONDAY MORNING AS A COLD
FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION. MODEST OFFSHORE FLOW IS EXPECTED
BEHIND THE FRONT THROUGH TUESDAY...WITH WINDS BECOMING LIGHT AND
SOMEWHAT VARIABLE BY MIDWEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES OVER THE
WESTERN GULF. A MORE PREVALENT SOUTHERLY FLOW IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP BY THE END OF THE WEEK.

13

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  51  65  41  61  39 /   0   0  10  10  10
KBPT  50  65  42  62  40 /   0   0  10  10  10
KAEX  48  62  37  60  36 /   0  10  10  10  10
KLFT  54  65  42  60  39 /   0  10  10  10  10

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 5 AM TO NOON CST MONDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON
     LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND
     TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER
     TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 5 AM CST MONDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON
     LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND
     TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER
     TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH
     ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY
     TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM.

&&

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES

&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KLCH 240523
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1123 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014

.DISCUSSION...
FOR 06Z TAFS...VFR CONDITIONS AT MOST SITES...EXCEPT LFT-ARA WHERE
LOW CLOUDS AND FOG BRINGS IT DOWN TO MVFR/IFR AT TIMES. THIS WILL
IMPROVE BASED ON TIMING OF COLD FRONT PASSAGE...STARTING IN SE TX
SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT...AND EXITING SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA
TOWARDS DAYBREAK.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 933 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014/

UPDATE...A COLD FRONT IS CURRENTLY STRETCHED FROM AROUND AUSTIN
TO PARIS, TEXAS THIS EVENING AND IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE CWA
A LITTLE AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE FRONT SHOULD BE IN LOWER ACADIANA BY
SUNRISE. AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY MOISTURE IS RUNNING HIGH WITH
PATCHY FOG AND STRATUS SLOWLY DEVELOPING ACROSS SOUTH LA AND THE
NEAR SHORE WATERS. THE FOG IS EXPECTED TO CLEAR THE AREA AROUND
SUNRISE OR SHORTLY AFTER AS THE FRONT PASSES. A SCA HAS BEEN
HOISTED FOR THE OUTER WATERS AS WINDS WILL INCREASE BEHIND THE
FRONT MONDAY MORNING.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 534 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...
FOR 00Z TAFS...EXPECTING VFR CONDITIONS TONIGHT. WIND SHIFT
FORECAST BETWEEN 07-12Z AS COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 422 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...
GENERALLY QUIET WEATHER ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AS THE VIGOROUS
SHORTWAVE TROF THAT AFFECTED THE AREA LAST NIGHT CONTINUES TO
QUICKLY EJECT OUT TO THE NORTHEAST. ON ITS HEELS...A MEAN LONGWAVE
TROF IS POISED TO DIG INTO THE CENTRAL CONUS...WITH ANOTHER
SHORTWAVE TROF TRANSLATING THROUGH THE BASE OF THE TROF PROGGED TO
SEND A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE AREA LATER TONIGHT.

SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY WANE OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF HOURS...WITH THE WIND ADVISORY OVER ACADIANA CONTINUING
UNTIL 6 PM. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR A FT POLK TO HOUSTON
LINE BY MIDNIGHT...THEN JUST OVER THE FAR SE MARINE ZONE BY 6 AM.
DRYING OF THE ATMOSPHERIC COLUMN IN THE MID AND UPPER LEVELS HAS
ALREADY ENSUED THANKS TO THE WESTERLY FLOW IN THE WAKE OF THE LEAD
SHORTWAVE...AND THE NORTHWEST WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT WILL TAKE
CARE OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE...WITH SFC DEWPOINTS PROGGED TO DROP
INTO THE 30S BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON. DRY AND COOL...WITH GENERALLY
MODERATE NORTH WINDS...CAN BE EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
NIGHT.

A SECONDARY/REINFORCING SURGE OF COOL AIR IS PROGGED TO ARRIVE
TUE/TUE NIGHT AS THE BASE OF THE MEAN TROF PIVOTS THROUGH THE
AREA. ACCOMPANIED BY PERHAPS SOME DRY/MID LEVEL CLOUDS...THE
PASSAGE OF THIS FEATURE SHOULD OTHERWISE REMAIN DRY.

A GRADUAL WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED FOR THE END OF THE WEEK AND
INTO THE WEEKEND AS GENERALLY ZONAL FLOW ALOFT PREVAILS AMID
SOUTHERLY SFC FLOW BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE TO THE EAST AND LOW
PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS.

13

MARINE...
MODERATE SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING...BECOMING
WEST OVERNIGHT AND FINALLY NORTHWEST MONDAY MORNING AS A COLD
FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION. MODEST OFFSHORE FLOW IS EXPECTED
BEHIND THE FRONT THROUGH TUESDAY...WITH WINDS BECOMING LIGHT AND
SOMEWHAT VARIABLE BY MIDWEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES OVER THE
WESTERN GULF. A MORE PREVALENT SOUTHERLY FLOW IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP BY THE END OF THE WEEK.

13

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  51  65  41  61  39 /   0   0  10  10  10
KBPT  50  65  42  62  40 /   0   0  10  10  10
KAEX  48  62  37  60  36 /   0  10  10  10  10
KLFT  54  65  42  60  39 /   0  10  10  10  10

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 5 AM TO NOON CST MONDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON
     LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND
     TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER
     TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 5 AM CST MONDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON
     LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND
     TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER
     TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH
     ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY
     TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM.

&&

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES

&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KLCH 240523
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1123 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014

.DISCUSSION...
FOR 06Z TAFS...VFR CONDITIONS AT MOST SITES...EXCEPT LFT-ARA WHERE
LOW CLOUDS AND FOG BRINGS IT DOWN TO MVFR/IFR AT TIMES. THIS WILL
IMPROVE BASED ON TIMING OF COLD FRONT PASSAGE...STARTING IN SE TX
SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT...AND EXITING SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA
TOWARDS DAYBREAK.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 933 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014/

UPDATE...A COLD FRONT IS CURRENTLY STRETCHED FROM AROUND AUSTIN
TO PARIS, TEXAS THIS EVENING AND IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE CWA
A LITTLE AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE FRONT SHOULD BE IN LOWER ACADIANA BY
SUNRISE. AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY MOISTURE IS RUNNING HIGH WITH
PATCHY FOG AND STRATUS SLOWLY DEVELOPING ACROSS SOUTH LA AND THE
NEAR SHORE WATERS. THE FOG IS EXPECTED TO CLEAR THE AREA AROUND
SUNRISE OR SHORTLY AFTER AS THE FRONT PASSES. A SCA HAS BEEN
HOISTED FOR THE OUTER WATERS AS WINDS WILL INCREASE BEHIND THE
FRONT MONDAY MORNING.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 534 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...
FOR 00Z TAFS...EXPECTING VFR CONDITIONS TONIGHT. WIND SHIFT
FORECAST BETWEEN 07-12Z AS COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 422 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...
GENERALLY QUIET WEATHER ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AS THE VIGOROUS
SHORTWAVE TROF THAT AFFECTED THE AREA LAST NIGHT CONTINUES TO
QUICKLY EJECT OUT TO THE NORTHEAST. ON ITS HEELS...A MEAN LONGWAVE
TROF IS POISED TO DIG INTO THE CENTRAL CONUS...WITH ANOTHER
SHORTWAVE TROF TRANSLATING THROUGH THE BASE OF THE TROF PROGGED TO
SEND A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE AREA LATER TONIGHT.

SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY WANE OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF HOURS...WITH THE WIND ADVISORY OVER ACADIANA CONTINUING
UNTIL 6 PM. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR A FT POLK TO HOUSTON
LINE BY MIDNIGHT...THEN JUST OVER THE FAR SE MARINE ZONE BY 6 AM.
DRYING OF THE ATMOSPHERIC COLUMN IN THE MID AND UPPER LEVELS HAS
ALREADY ENSUED THANKS TO THE WESTERLY FLOW IN THE WAKE OF THE LEAD
SHORTWAVE...AND THE NORTHWEST WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT WILL TAKE
CARE OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE...WITH SFC DEWPOINTS PROGGED TO DROP
INTO THE 30S BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON. DRY AND COOL...WITH GENERALLY
MODERATE NORTH WINDS...CAN BE EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
NIGHT.

A SECONDARY/REINFORCING SURGE OF COOL AIR IS PROGGED TO ARRIVE
TUE/TUE NIGHT AS THE BASE OF THE MEAN TROF PIVOTS THROUGH THE
AREA. ACCOMPANIED BY PERHAPS SOME DRY/MID LEVEL CLOUDS...THE
PASSAGE OF THIS FEATURE SHOULD OTHERWISE REMAIN DRY.

A GRADUAL WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED FOR THE END OF THE WEEK AND
INTO THE WEEKEND AS GENERALLY ZONAL FLOW ALOFT PREVAILS AMID
SOUTHERLY SFC FLOW BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE TO THE EAST AND LOW
PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS.

13

MARINE...
MODERATE SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING...BECOMING
WEST OVERNIGHT AND FINALLY NORTHWEST MONDAY MORNING AS A COLD
FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION. MODEST OFFSHORE FLOW IS EXPECTED
BEHIND THE FRONT THROUGH TUESDAY...WITH WINDS BECOMING LIGHT AND
SOMEWHAT VARIABLE BY MIDWEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES OVER THE
WESTERN GULF. A MORE PREVALENT SOUTHERLY FLOW IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP BY THE END OF THE WEEK.

13

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  51  65  41  61  39 /   0   0  10  10  10
KBPT  50  65  42  62  40 /   0   0  10  10  10
KAEX  48  62  37  60  36 /   0  10  10  10  10
KLFT  54  65  42  60  39 /   0  10  10  10  10

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 5 AM TO NOON CST MONDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON
     LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND
     TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER
     TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 5 AM CST MONDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON
     LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND
     TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER
     TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH
     ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY
     TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM.

&&

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES

&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KSHV 240358 AAA
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
958 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014

.DISCUSSION...
AT 0340Z...A PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH WAS RACING EWD AND WAS LOCATED
FROM NEAR KLFK...TO KRSN...TO NEAR KCDH. A COLD FRONT WAS FARTHER
NW ROUGHLY FROM NEAR KTYR...TO KDEQ . DRY AIR IS QUICKLY INVADING
BEHIND THE PRE- FRONTAL TROUGH BUT THE COLD AIR IS STILL WELL TO
THE NW. TEMPS SHOULD QUICKLY DROP DURING THE OVERNIGHT HRS AS THE
COLD AIR ARRIVES. NWLY SFC WINDS WILL INCREASE TO UP 15 KTS WITH
HIGHER GUSTS AS THE GRADIENT TIGHTENS. SPEEDS WILL LIKELY FLIRT
WITH LAKE WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA BUT CURRENT THINKING IS THAT ANY
OCCURRENCES WILL BE TOO ISOLATED AND SPOTTY TO WARRANT ISSUING A
HEADLINE AT THIS TIME. WINDS SHOULD ALSO DIMINISH DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HRS AS THE SFC LOW QUICKLY LIFTS NEWD TOWARDS THE GREAT
LAKES.

HAVE UPDATED WIND/DEWPOINT GRIDS BASED ON LATEST OBS AND THE
PROGRESS OF THE FRONT AND TROUGH. ALSO ADJUSTED SKY GRIDS TO
ACCOUNT FOR SOME WRAP-AROUND STRATUS THAT WILL AFFECT SE OK/SW
AR/NE TX. REMAINDER OF THE GRIDS WERE LEFT INTACT. /09/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 648 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014/

AVIATION...

MVFR CEILINGS WILL SPREAD INTO THE AREA DURING THE LATE EVENING AND
AFTER MIDNIGHT OVER PARTS OF EXTREME NORTHEAST TEXAS...SOUTHWEST
AND SOUTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS AND NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL
LOUISIANA. CLOUDS EXPECTED TO AFFECT KTXK 24/05-11Z...KSHV AND
KELD 24/07-13Z...AND KMLU 24/10-14Z. THE LOWER CLOUDS WILL BE
MOVING INTO KGGG AND KTYR AROUND 24/06-10Z AND KLFK 24/08-12Z BUT
SHOULD REMAIN SCATTERED. SURFACE WINDS WILL BE SOUTHWEST 6-11
KNOTS SHIFTING TO THE WEST OVERNIGHT AND INCREASING TO 10-15 KNOTS...
AND THEN TO THE NORTHWEST. /06/

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 314 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...
RAIN HAS QUICKLY MOVED EAST OF THE MS RIVER WITH DRY SLOTTING
CLEARING OUT CLOUDS IN ALL BUT EXTREME EASTERN CWA. COLD FRONT
WEST OF DFW...HOWEVER...LOWER DEW POINTS APPROACHING NE TX IN
PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH. SKIES TO REMAIN CLEAR OVERNIGHT...EXCEPT
WRAPAROUND CLOUDS OVER PANHANDLE REGION MAY CLIP AREAS MAINLY
NORTH OF I-30 LATER TONIGHT. THE REST OF THE WEEK WILL BE FAIRLY
QUIET WEATHER-WISE AS BROAD RIDGING OVER WESTERN US BRINGING WNW
FLOW ALOFT TO AREA. UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS LIKELY JUST ENOUGH TO KEEP
TEMPS ABOVE FREEZING FOR ALL BUT EXTREME NORTHERN CWA MONDAY
NIGHT. COLD CORE UPPER TROUGH TUESDAY WILL LIKELY NOT CONTAIN
ENOUGH MOISTURE FOR ANY ISOLD CONVECTION...AS NAM IS TRYING TO
ADVERTISE. SKIES SHOULD BE MOSTLY CLEAR THROUGH THANKSGIVING
HOLIDAY WITH SHALLOW MOISTURE RETURNING LATE IN WEEKEND...COULD BE
ENOUGH FOR SOME LIGHT SHOWERS./VII/.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  44  62  35  64  37 /   0   0  10  10   0
MLU  45  62  35  62  36 /   0   0  10  10   0
DEQ  39  60  32  60  33 /  10   0   0   0   0
TXK  41  59  31  61  35 /   0   0  10   0   0
ELD  43  59  35  61  34 /  10   0  10  10   0
TYR  42  62  35  63  37 /   0   0   0  10   0
GGG  43  61  34  64  36 /   0   0  10   0   0
LFK  44  64  37  65  37 /   0   0  10  10   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

09






000
FXUS64 KSHV 240358 AAA
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
958 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014

.DISCUSSION...
AT 0340Z...A PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH WAS RACING EWD AND WAS LOCATED
FROM NEAR KLFK...TO KRSN...TO NEAR KCDH. A COLD FRONT WAS FARTHER
NW ROUGHLY FROM NEAR KTYR...TO KDEQ . DRY AIR IS QUICKLY INVADING
BEHIND THE PRE- FRONTAL TROUGH BUT THE COLD AIR IS STILL WELL TO
THE NW. TEMPS SHOULD QUICKLY DROP DURING THE OVERNIGHT HRS AS THE
COLD AIR ARRIVES. NWLY SFC WINDS WILL INCREASE TO UP 15 KTS WITH
HIGHER GUSTS AS THE GRADIENT TIGHTENS. SPEEDS WILL LIKELY FLIRT
WITH LAKE WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA BUT CURRENT THINKING IS THAT ANY
OCCURRENCES WILL BE TOO ISOLATED AND SPOTTY TO WARRANT ISSUING A
HEADLINE AT THIS TIME. WINDS SHOULD ALSO DIMINISH DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HRS AS THE SFC LOW QUICKLY LIFTS NEWD TOWARDS THE GREAT
LAKES.

HAVE UPDATED WIND/DEWPOINT GRIDS BASED ON LATEST OBS AND THE
PROGRESS OF THE FRONT AND TROUGH. ALSO ADJUSTED SKY GRIDS TO
ACCOUNT FOR SOME WRAP-AROUND STRATUS THAT WILL AFFECT SE OK/SW
AR/NE TX. REMAINDER OF THE GRIDS WERE LEFT INTACT. /09/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 648 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014/

AVIATION...

MVFR CEILINGS WILL SPREAD INTO THE AREA DURING THE LATE EVENING AND
AFTER MIDNIGHT OVER PARTS OF EXTREME NORTHEAST TEXAS...SOUTHWEST
AND SOUTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS AND NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL
LOUISIANA. CLOUDS EXPECTED TO AFFECT KTXK 24/05-11Z...KSHV AND
KELD 24/07-13Z...AND KMLU 24/10-14Z. THE LOWER CLOUDS WILL BE
MOVING INTO KGGG AND KTYR AROUND 24/06-10Z AND KLFK 24/08-12Z BUT
SHOULD REMAIN SCATTERED. SURFACE WINDS WILL BE SOUTHWEST 6-11
KNOTS SHIFTING TO THE WEST OVERNIGHT AND INCREASING TO 10-15 KNOTS...
AND THEN TO THE NORTHWEST. /06/

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 314 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...
RAIN HAS QUICKLY MOVED EAST OF THE MS RIVER WITH DRY SLOTTING
CLEARING OUT CLOUDS IN ALL BUT EXTREME EASTERN CWA. COLD FRONT
WEST OF DFW...HOWEVER...LOWER DEW POINTS APPROACHING NE TX IN
PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH. SKIES TO REMAIN CLEAR OVERNIGHT...EXCEPT
WRAPAROUND CLOUDS OVER PANHANDLE REGION MAY CLIP AREAS MAINLY
NORTH OF I-30 LATER TONIGHT. THE REST OF THE WEEK WILL BE FAIRLY
QUIET WEATHER-WISE AS BROAD RIDGING OVER WESTERN US BRINGING WNW
FLOW ALOFT TO AREA. UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS LIKELY JUST ENOUGH TO KEEP
TEMPS ABOVE FREEZING FOR ALL BUT EXTREME NORTHERN CWA MONDAY
NIGHT. COLD CORE UPPER TROUGH TUESDAY WILL LIKELY NOT CONTAIN
ENOUGH MOISTURE FOR ANY ISOLD CONVECTION...AS NAM IS TRYING TO
ADVERTISE. SKIES SHOULD BE MOSTLY CLEAR THROUGH THANKSGIVING
HOLIDAY WITH SHALLOW MOISTURE RETURNING LATE IN WEEKEND...COULD BE
ENOUGH FOR SOME LIGHT SHOWERS./VII/.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  44  62  35  64  37 /   0   0  10  10   0
MLU  45  62  35  62  36 /   0   0  10  10   0
DEQ  39  60  32  60  33 /  10   0   0   0   0
TXK  41  59  31  61  35 /   0   0  10   0   0
ELD  43  59  35  61  34 /  10   0  10  10   0
TYR  42  62  35  63  37 /   0   0   0  10   0
GGG  43  61  34  64  36 /   0   0  10   0   0
LFK  44  64  37  65  37 /   0   0  10  10   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

09






000
FXUS64 KSHV 240358 AAA
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
958 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014

.DISCUSSION...
AT 0340Z...A PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH WAS RACING EWD AND WAS LOCATED
FROM NEAR KLFK...TO KRSN...TO NEAR KCDH. A COLD FRONT WAS FARTHER
NW ROUGHLY FROM NEAR KTYR...TO KDEQ . DRY AIR IS QUICKLY INVADING
BEHIND THE PRE- FRONTAL TROUGH BUT THE COLD AIR IS STILL WELL TO
THE NW. TEMPS SHOULD QUICKLY DROP DURING THE OVERNIGHT HRS AS THE
COLD AIR ARRIVES. NWLY SFC WINDS WILL INCREASE TO UP 15 KTS WITH
HIGHER GUSTS AS THE GRADIENT TIGHTENS. SPEEDS WILL LIKELY FLIRT
WITH LAKE WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA BUT CURRENT THINKING IS THAT ANY
OCCURRENCES WILL BE TOO ISOLATED AND SPOTTY TO WARRANT ISSUING A
HEADLINE AT THIS TIME. WINDS SHOULD ALSO DIMINISH DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HRS AS THE SFC LOW QUICKLY LIFTS NEWD TOWARDS THE GREAT
LAKES.

HAVE UPDATED WIND/DEWPOINT GRIDS BASED ON LATEST OBS AND THE
PROGRESS OF THE FRONT AND TROUGH. ALSO ADJUSTED SKY GRIDS TO
ACCOUNT FOR SOME WRAP-AROUND STRATUS THAT WILL AFFECT SE OK/SW
AR/NE TX. REMAINDER OF THE GRIDS WERE LEFT INTACT. /09/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 648 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014/

AVIATION...

MVFR CEILINGS WILL SPREAD INTO THE AREA DURING THE LATE EVENING AND
AFTER MIDNIGHT OVER PARTS OF EXTREME NORTHEAST TEXAS...SOUTHWEST
AND SOUTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS AND NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL
LOUISIANA. CLOUDS EXPECTED TO AFFECT KTXK 24/05-11Z...KSHV AND
KELD 24/07-13Z...AND KMLU 24/10-14Z. THE LOWER CLOUDS WILL BE
MOVING INTO KGGG AND KTYR AROUND 24/06-10Z AND KLFK 24/08-12Z BUT
SHOULD REMAIN SCATTERED. SURFACE WINDS WILL BE SOUTHWEST 6-11
KNOTS SHIFTING TO THE WEST OVERNIGHT AND INCREASING TO 10-15 KNOTS...
AND THEN TO THE NORTHWEST. /06/

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 314 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...
RAIN HAS QUICKLY MOVED EAST OF THE MS RIVER WITH DRY SLOTTING
CLEARING OUT CLOUDS IN ALL BUT EXTREME EASTERN CWA. COLD FRONT
WEST OF DFW...HOWEVER...LOWER DEW POINTS APPROACHING NE TX IN
PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH. SKIES TO REMAIN CLEAR OVERNIGHT...EXCEPT
WRAPAROUND CLOUDS OVER PANHANDLE REGION MAY CLIP AREAS MAINLY
NORTH OF I-30 LATER TONIGHT. THE REST OF THE WEEK WILL BE FAIRLY
QUIET WEATHER-WISE AS BROAD RIDGING OVER WESTERN US BRINGING WNW
FLOW ALOFT TO AREA. UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS LIKELY JUST ENOUGH TO KEEP
TEMPS ABOVE FREEZING FOR ALL BUT EXTREME NORTHERN CWA MONDAY
NIGHT. COLD CORE UPPER TROUGH TUESDAY WILL LIKELY NOT CONTAIN
ENOUGH MOISTURE FOR ANY ISOLD CONVECTION...AS NAM IS TRYING TO
ADVERTISE. SKIES SHOULD BE MOSTLY CLEAR THROUGH THANKSGIVING
HOLIDAY WITH SHALLOW MOISTURE RETURNING LATE IN WEEKEND...COULD BE
ENOUGH FOR SOME LIGHT SHOWERS./VII/.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  44  62  35  64  37 /   0   0  10  10   0
MLU  45  62  35  62  36 /   0   0  10  10   0
DEQ  39  60  32  60  33 /  10   0   0   0   0
TXK  41  59  31  61  35 /   0   0  10   0   0
ELD  43  59  35  61  34 /  10   0  10  10   0
TYR  42  62  35  63  37 /   0   0   0  10   0
GGG  43  61  34  64  36 /   0   0  10   0   0
LFK  44  64  37  65  37 /   0   0  10  10   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

09






000
FXUS64 KSHV 240358 AAA
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
958 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014

.DISCUSSION...
AT 0340Z...A PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH WAS RACING EWD AND WAS LOCATED
FROM NEAR KLFK...TO KRSN...TO NEAR KCDH. A COLD FRONT WAS FARTHER
NW ROUGHLY FROM NEAR KTYR...TO KDEQ . DRY AIR IS QUICKLY INVADING
BEHIND THE PRE- FRONTAL TROUGH BUT THE COLD AIR IS STILL WELL TO
THE NW. TEMPS SHOULD QUICKLY DROP DURING THE OVERNIGHT HRS AS THE
COLD AIR ARRIVES. NWLY SFC WINDS WILL INCREASE TO UP 15 KTS WITH
HIGHER GUSTS AS THE GRADIENT TIGHTENS. SPEEDS WILL LIKELY FLIRT
WITH LAKE WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA BUT CURRENT THINKING IS THAT ANY
OCCURRENCES WILL BE TOO ISOLATED AND SPOTTY TO WARRANT ISSUING A
HEADLINE AT THIS TIME. WINDS SHOULD ALSO DIMINISH DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HRS AS THE SFC LOW QUICKLY LIFTS NEWD TOWARDS THE GREAT
LAKES.

HAVE UPDATED WIND/DEWPOINT GRIDS BASED ON LATEST OBS AND THE
PROGRESS OF THE FRONT AND TROUGH. ALSO ADJUSTED SKY GRIDS TO
ACCOUNT FOR SOME WRAP-AROUND STRATUS THAT WILL AFFECT SE OK/SW
AR/NE TX. REMAINDER OF THE GRIDS WERE LEFT INTACT. /09/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 648 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014/

AVIATION...

MVFR CEILINGS WILL SPREAD INTO THE AREA DURING THE LATE EVENING AND
AFTER MIDNIGHT OVER PARTS OF EXTREME NORTHEAST TEXAS...SOUTHWEST
AND SOUTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS AND NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL
LOUISIANA. CLOUDS EXPECTED TO AFFECT KTXK 24/05-11Z...KSHV AND
KELD 24/07-13Z...AND KMLU 24/10-14Z. THE LOWER CLOUDS WILL BE
MOVING INTO KGGG AND KTYR AROUND 24/06-10Z AND KLFK 24/08-12Z BUT
SHOULD REMAIN SCATTERED. SURFACE WINDS WILL BE SOUTHWEST 6-11
KNOTS SHIFTING TO THE WEST OVERNIGHT AND INCREASING TO 10-15 KNOTS...
AND THEN TO THE NORTHWEST. /06/

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 314 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...
RAIN HAS QUICKLY MOVED EAST OF THE MS RIVER WITH DRY SLOTTING
CLEARING OUT CLOUDS IN ALL BUT EXTREME EASTERN CWA. COLD FRONT
WEST OF DFW...HOWEVER...LOWER DEW POINTS APPROACHING NE TX IN
PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH. SKIES TO REMAIN CLEAR OVERNIGHT...EXCEPT
WRAPAROUND CLOUDS OVER PANHANDLE REGION MAY CLIP AREAS MAINLY
NORTH OF I-30 LATER TONIGHT. THE REST OF THE WEEK WILL BE FAIRLY
QUIET WEATHER-WISE AS BROAD RIDGING OVER WESTERN US BRINGING WNW
FLOW ALOFT TO AREA. UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS LIKELY JUST ENOUGH TO KEEP
TEMPS ABOVE FREEZING FOR ALL BUT EXTREME NORTHERN CWA MONDAY
NIGHT. COLD CORE UPPER TROUGH TUESDAY WILL LIKELY NOT CONTAIN
ENOUGH MOISTURE FOR ANY ISOLD CONVECTION...AS NAM IS TRYING TO
ADVERTISE. SKIES SHOULD BE MOSTLY CLEAR THROUGH THANKSGIVING
HOLIDAY WITH SHALLOW MOISTURE RETURNING LATE IN WEEKEND...COULD BE
ENOUGH FOR SOME LIGHT SHOWERS./VII/.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  44  62  35  64  37 /   0   0  10  10   0
MLU  45  62  35  62  36 /   0   0  10  10   0
DEQ  39  60  32  60  33 /  10   0   0   0   0
TXK  41  59  31  61  35 /   0   0  10   0   0
ELD  43  59  35  61  34 /  10   0  10  10   0
TYR  42  62  35  63  37 /   0   0   0  10   0
GGG  43  61  34  64  36 /   0   0  10   0   0
LFK  44  64  37  65  37 /   0   0  10  10   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

09






000
FXUS64 KLIX 240345
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
945 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014

.MARINE...
MARINE FORECAST AND GRIDS HAVE BEEN UPDATED TO REMOVE THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY FOR THE INNER COASTAL WATERS THAT WAS IN EFFECT
THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. THE WINDS HAVE BEEN GRADUALLY
DIMINISHING ACROSS THIS AREA. 11

&&


.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  74  52  64  40 / 100  10  10  10
BTR  75  55  67  39 / 100  10  10  10
ASD  75  55  68  38 / 100  10  10  10
MSY  75  59  68  46 / 100  10  10  10
GPT  73  59  71  40 / 100  10  10  10
PQL  73  57  72  37 / 100  10  10  10

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM
     20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     STAKE ISLAND LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND COASTAL WATERS FROM THE
     SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON
     FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM
     20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     STAKE ISLAND LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND COASTAL WATERS FROM THE
     SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON
     FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KLIX 240345
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
945 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014

.MARINE...
MARINE FORECAST AND GRIDS HAVE BEEN UPDATED TO REMOVE THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY FOR THE INNER COASTAL WATERS THAT WAS IN EFFECT
THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. THE WINDS HAVE BEEN GRADUALLY
DIMINISHING ACROSS THIS AREA. 11

&&


.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  74  52  64  40 / 100  10  10  10
BTR  75  55  67  39 / 100  10  10  10
ASD  75  55  68  38 / 100  10  10  10
MSY  75  59  68  46 / 100  10  10  10
GPT  73  59  71  40 / 100  10  10  10
PQL  73  57  72  37 / 100  10  10  10

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM
     20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     STAKE ISLAND LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND COASTAL WATERS FROM THE
     SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON
     FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM
     20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     STAKE ISLAND LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND COASTAL WATERS FROM THE
     SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON
     FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KLIX 240345
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
945 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014

.MARINE...
MARINE FORECAST AND GRIDS HAVE BEEN UPDATED TO REMOVE THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY FOR THE INNER COASTAL WATERS THAT WAS IN EFFECT
THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. THE WINDS HAVE BEEN GRADUALLY
DIMINISHING ACROSS THIS AREA. 11

&&


.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  74  52  64  40 / 100  10  10  10
BTR  75  55  67  39 / 100  10  10  10
ASD  75  55  68  38 / 100  10  10  10
MSY  75  59  68  46 / 100  10  10  10
GPT  73  59  71  40 / 100  10  10  10
PQL  73  57  72  37 / 100  10  10  10

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM
     20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     STAKE ISLAND LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND COASTAL WATERS FROM THE
     SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON
     FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM
     20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     STAKE ISLAND LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND COASTAL WATERS FROM THE
     SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON
     FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KLIX 240345
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
945 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014

.MARINE...
MARINE FORECAST AND GRIDS HAVE BEEN UPDATED TO REMOVE THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY FOR THE INNER COASTAL WATERS THAT WAS IN EFFECT
THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. THE WINDS HAVE BEEN GRADUALLY
DIMINISHING ACROSS THIS AREA. 11

&&


.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  74  52  64  40 / 100  10  10  10
BTR  75  55  67  39 / 100  10  10  10
ASD  75  55  68  38 / 100  10  10  10
MSY  75  59  68  46 / 100  10  10  10
GPT  73  59  71  40 / 100  10  10  10
PQL  73  57  72  37 / 100  10  10  10

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM
     20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     STAKE ISLAND LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND COASTAL WATERS FROM THE
     SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON
     FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM
     20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     STAKE ISLAND LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND COASTAL WATERS FROM THE
     SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON
     FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KLCH 240333
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
933 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014

.UPDATE...A COLD FRONT IS CURRENTLY STRETCHED FROM AROUND AUSTIN
TO PARIS, TEXAS THIS EVENING AND IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE CWA
A LITTLE AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE FRONT SHOULD BE IN LOWER ACADIANA BY
SUNRISE. AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY MOISTURE IS RUNNING HIGH WITH
PATCHY FOG AND STRATUS SLOWLY DEVELOPING ACROSS SOUTH LA AND THE
NEAR SHORE WATERS. THE FOG IS EXPECTED TO CLEAR THE AREA AROUND
SUNRISE OR SHORTLY AFTER AS THE FRONT PASSES. A SCA HAS BEEN
HOISTED FOR THE OUTER WATERS AS WINDS WILL INCREASE BEHIND THE
FRONT MONDAY MORNING.





&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 534 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...
FOR 00Z TAFS...EXPECTING VFR CONDITIONS TONIGHT. WIND SHIFT
FORECAST BETWEEN 07-12Z AS COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 422 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...
GENERALLY QUIET WEATHER ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AS THE VIGOROUS
SHORTWAVE TROF THAT AFFECTED THE AREA LAST NIGHT CONTINUES TO
QUICKLY EJECT OUT TO THE NORTHEAST. ON ITS HEELS...A MEAN LONGWAVE
TROF IS POISED TO DIG INTO THE CENTRAL CONUS...WITH ANOTHER
SHORTWAVE TROF TRANSLATING THROUGH THE BASE OF THE TROF PROGGED TO
SEND A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE AREA LATER TONIGHT.

SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY WANE OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF HOURS...WITH THE WIND ADVISORY OVER ACADIANA CONTINUING
UNTIL 6 PM. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR A FT POLK TO HOUSTON
LINE BY MIDNIGHT...THEN JUST OVER THE FAR SE MARINE ZONE BY 6 AM.
DRYING OF THE ATMOSPHERIC COLUMN IN THE MID AND UPPER LEVELS HAS
ALREADY ENSUED THANKS TO THE WESTERLY FLOW IN THE WAKE OF THE LEAD
SHORTWAVE...AND THE NORTHWEST WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT WILL TAKE
CARE OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE...WITH SFC DEWPOINTS PROGGED TO DROP
INTO THE 30S BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON. DRY AND COOL...WITH GENERALLY
MODERATE NORTH WINDS...CAN BE EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
NIGHT.

A SECONDARY/REINFORCING SURGE OF COOL AIR IS PROGGED TO ARRIVE
TUE/TUE NIGHT AS THE BASE OF THE MEAN TROF PIVOTS THROUGH THE
AREA. ACCOMPANIED BY PERHAPS SOME DRY/MID LEVEL CLOUDS...THE
PASSAGE OF THIS FEATURE SHOULD OTHERWISE REMAIN DRY.

A GRADUAL WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED FOR THE END OF THE WEEK AND
INTO THE WEEKEND AS GENERALLY ZONAL FLOW ALOFT PREVAILS AMID
SOUTHERLY SFC FLOW BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE TO THE EAST AND LOW
PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS.

13

MARINE...
MODERATE SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING...BECOMING
WEST OVERNIGHT AND FINALLY NORTHWEST MONDAY MORNING AS A COLD
FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION. MODEST OFFSHORE FLOW IS EXPECTED
BEHIND THE FRONT THROUGH TUESDAY...WITH WINDS BECOMING LIGHT AND
SOMEWHAT VARIABLE BY MIDWEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES OVER THE
WESTERN GULF. A MORE PREVALENT SOUTHERLY FLOW IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP BY THE END OF THE WEEK.

13

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  51  65  41  61  39 /   0   0  10  10  10
KBPT  50  65  42  62  40 /   0   0  10  10  10
KAEX  48  62  37  60  36 /   0  10  10  10  10
KLFT  54  65  42  60  39 /   0  10  10  10  10

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 5 AM TO NOON CST MONDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON
     LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND
     TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER
     TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 5 AM CST MONDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON
     LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND
     TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER
     TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH
     ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY
     TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM.

&&

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES

&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KLCH 240333
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
933 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014

.UPDATE...A COLD FRONT IS CURRENTLY STRETCHED FROM AROUND AUSTIN
TO PARIS, TEXAS THIS EVENING AND IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE CWA
A LITTLE AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE FRONT SHOULD BE IN LOWER ACADIANA BY
SUNRISE. AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY MOISTURE IS RUNNING HIGH WITH
PATCHY FOG AND STRATUS SLOWLY DEVELOPING ACROSS SOUTH LA AND THE
NEAR SHORE WATERS. THE FOG IS EXPECTED TO CLEAR THE AREA AROUND
SUNRISE OR SHORTLY AFTER AS THE FRONT PASSES. A SCA HAS BEEN
HOISTED FOR THE OUTER WATERS AS WINDS WILL INCREASE BEHIND THE
FRONT MONDAY MORNING.





&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 534 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...
FOR 00Z TAFS...EXPECTING VFR CONDITIONS TONIGHT. WIND SHIFT
FORECAST BETWEEN 07-12Z AS COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 422 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...
GENERALLY QUIET WEATHER ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AS THE VIGOROUS
SHORTWAVE TROF THAT AFFECTED THE AREA LAST NIGHT CONTINUES TO
QUICKLY EJECT OUT TO THE NORTHEAST. ON ITS HEELS...A MEAN LONGWAVE
TROF IS POISED TO DIG INTO THE CENTRAL CONUS...WITH ANOTHER
SHORTWAVE TROF TRANSLATING THROUGH THE BASE OF THE TROF PROGGED TO
SEND A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE AREA LATER TONIGHT.

SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY WANE OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF HOURS...WITH THE WIND ADVISORY OVER ACADIANA CONTINUING
UNTIL 6 PM. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR A FT POLK TO HOUSTON
LINE BY MIDNIGHT...THEN JUST OVER THE FAR SE MARINE ZONE BY 6 AM.
DRYING OF THE ATMOSPHERIC COLUMN IN THE MID AND UPPER LEVELS HAS
ALREADY ENSUED THANKS TO THE WESTERLY FLOW IN THE WAKE OF THE LEAD
SHORTWAVE...AND THE NORTHWEST WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT WILL TAKE
CARE OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE...WITH SFC DEWPOINTS PROGGED TO DROP
INTO THE 30S BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON. DRY AND COOL...WITH GENERALLY
MODERATE NORTH WINDS...CAN BE EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
NIGHT.

A SECONDARY/REINFORCING SURGE OF COOL AIR IS PROGGED TO ARRIVE
TUE/TUE NIGHT AS THE BASE OF THE MEAN TROF PIVOTS THROUGH THE
AREA. ACCOMPANIED BY PERHAPS SOME DRY/MID LEVEL CLOUDS...THE
PASSAGE OF THIS FEATURE SHOULD OTHERWISE REMAIN DRY.

A GRADUAL WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED FOR THE END OF THE WEEK AND
INTO THE WEEKEND AS GENERALLY ZONAL FLOW ALOFT PREVAILS AMID
SOUTHERLY SFC FLOW BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE TO THE EAST AND LOW
PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS.

13

MARINE...
MODERATE SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING...BECOMING
WEST OVERNIGHT AND FINALLY NORTHWEST MONDAY MORNING AS A COLD
FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION. MODEST OFFSHORE FLOW IS EXPECTED
BEHIND THE FRONT THROUGH TUESDAY...WITH WINDS BECOMING LIGHT AND
SOMEWHAT VARIABLE BY MIDWEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES OVER THE
WESTERN GULF. A MORE PREVALENT SOUTHERLY FLOW IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP BY THE END OF THE WEEK.

13

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  51  65  41  61  39 /   0   0  10  10  10
KBPT  50  65  42  62  40 /   0   0  10  10  10
KAEX  48  62  37  60  36 /   0  10  10  10  10
KLFT  54  65  42  60  39 /   0  10  10  10  10

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 5 AM TO NOON CST MONDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON
     LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND
     TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER
     TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 5 AM CST MONDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON
     LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND
     TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER
     TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH
     ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY
     TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM.

&&

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES

&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KLCH 240333
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
933 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014

.UPDATE...A COLD FRONT IS CURRENTLY STRETCHED FROM AROUND AUSTIN
TO PARIS, TEXAS THIS EVENING AND IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE CWA
A LITTLE AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE FRONT SHOULD BE IN LOWER ACADIANA BY
SUNRISE. AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY MOISTURE IS RUNNING HIGH WITH
PATCHY FOG AND STRATUS SLOWLY DEVELOPING ACROSS SOUTH LA AND THE
NEAR SHORE WATERS. THE FOG IS EXPECTED TO CLEAR THE AREA AROUND
SUNRISE OR SHORTLY AFTER AS THE FRONT PASSES. A SCA HAS BEEN
HOISTED FOR THE OUTER WATERS AS WINDS WILL INCREASE BEHIND THE
FRONT MONDAY MORNING.





&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 534 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...
FOR 00Z TAFS...EXPECTING VFR CONDITIONS TONIGHT. WIND SHIFT
FORECAST BETWEEN 07-12Z AS COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 422 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...
GENERALLY QUIET WEATHER ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AS THE VIGOROUS
SHORTWAVE TROF THAT AFFECTED THE AREA LAST NIGHT CONTINUES TO
QUICKLY EJECT OUT TO THE NORTHEAST. ON ITS HEELS...A MEAN LONGWAVE
TROF IS POISED TO DIG INTO THE CENTRAL CONUS...WITH ANOTHER
SHORTWAVE TROF TRANSLATING THROUGH THE BASE OF THE TROF PROGGED TO
SEND A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE AREA LATER TONIGHT.

SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY WANE OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF HOURS...WITH THE WIND ADVISORY OVER ACADIANA CONTINUING
UNTIL 6 PM. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR A FT POLK TO HOUSTON
LINE BY MIDNIGHT...THEN JUST OVER THE FAR SE MARINE ZONE BY 6 AM.
DRYING OF THE ATMOSPHERIC COLUMN IN THE MID AND UPPER LEVELS HAS
ALREADY ENSUED THANKS TO THE WESTERLY FLOW IN THE WAKE OF THE LEAD
SHORTWAVE...AND THE NORTHWEST WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT WILL TAKE
CARE OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE...WITH SFC DEWPOINTS PROGGED TO DROP
INTO THE 30S BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON. DRY AND COOL...WITH GENERALLY
MODERATE NORTH WINDS...CAN BE EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
NIGHT.

A SECONDARY/REINFORCING SURGE OF COOL AIR IS PROGGED TO ARRIVE
TUE/TUE NIGHT AS THE BASE OF THE MEAN TROF PIVOTS THROUGH THE
AREA. ACCOMPANIED BY PERHAPS SOME DRY/MID LEVEL CLOUDS...THE
PASSAGE OF THIS FEATURE SHOULD OTHERWISE REMAIN DRY.

A GRADUAL WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED FOR THE END OF THE WEEK AND
INTO THE WEEKEND AS GENERALLY ZONAL FLOW ALOFT PREVAILS AMID
SOUTHERLY SFC FLOW BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE TO THE EAST AND LOW
PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS.

13

MARINE...
MODERATE SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING...BECOMING
WEST OVERNIGHT AND FINALLY NORTHWEST MONDAY MORNING AS A COLD
FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION. MODEST OFFSHORE FLOW IS EXPECTED
BEHIND THE FRONT THROUGH TUESDAY...WITH WINDS BECOMING LIGHT AND
SOMEWHAT VARIABLE BY MIDWEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES OVER THE
WESTERN GULF. A MORE PREVALENT SOUTHERLY FLOW IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP BY THE END OF THE WEEK.

13

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  51  65  41  61  39 /   0   0  10  10  10
KBPT  50  65  42  62  40 /   0   0  10  10  10
KAEX  48  62  37  60  36 /   0  10  10  10  10
KLFT  54  65  42  60  39 /   0  10  10  10  10

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 5 AM TO NOON CST MONDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON
     LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND
     TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER
     TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 5 AM CST MONDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON
     LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND
     TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER
     TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH
     ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY
     TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM.

&&

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES

&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KLCH 240333
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
933 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014

.UPDATE...A COLD FRONT IS CURRENTLY STRETCHED FROM AROUND AUSTIN
TO PARIS, TEXAS THIS EVENING AND IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE CWA
A LITTLE AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE FRONT SHOULD BE IN LOWER ACADIANA BY
SUNRISE. AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY MOISTURE IS RUNNING HIGH WITH
PATCHY FOG AND STRATUS SLOWLY DEVELOPING ACROSS SOUTH LA AND THE
NEAR SHORE WATERS. THE FOG IS EXPECTED TO CLEAR THE AREA AROUND
SUNRISE OR SHORTLY AFTER AS THE FRONT PASSES. A SCA HAS BEEN
HOISTED FOR THE OUTER WATERS AS WINDS WILL INCREASE BEHIND THE
FRONT MONDAY MORNING.





&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 534 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...
FOR 00Z TAFS...EXPECTING VFR CONDITIONS TONIGHT. WIND SHIFT
FORECAST BETWEEN 07-12Z AS COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 422 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...
GENERALLY QUIET WEATHER ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AS THE VIGOROUS
SHORTWAVE TROF THAT AFFECTED THE AREA LAST NIGHT CONTINUES TO
QUICKLY EJECT OUT TO THE NORTHEAST. ON ITS HEELS...A MEAN LONGWAVE
TROF IS POISED TO DIG INTO THE CENTRAL CONUS...WITH ANOTHER
SHORTWAVE TROF TRANSLATING THROUGH THE BASE OF THE TROF PROGGED TO
SEND A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE AREA LATER TONIGHT.

SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY WANE OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF HOURS...WITH THE WIND ADVISORY OVER ACADIANA CONTINUING
UNTIL 6 PM. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR A FT POLK TO HOUSTON
LINE BY MIDNIGHT...THEN JUST OVER THE FAR SE MARINE ZONE BY 6 AM.
DRYING OF THE ATMOSPHERIC COLUMN IN THE MID AND UPPER LEVELS HAS
ALREADY ENSUED THANKS TO THE WESTERLY FLOW IN THE WAKE OF THE LEAD
SHORTWAVE...AND THE NORTHWEST WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT WILL TAKE
CARE OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE...WITH SFC DEWPOINTS PROGGED TO DROP
INTO THE 30S BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON. DRY AND COOL...WITH GENERALLY
MODERATE NORTH WINDS...CAN BE EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
NIGHT.

A SECONDARY/REINFORCING SURGE OF COOL AIR IS PROGGED TO ARRIVE
TUE/TUE NIGHT AS THE BASE OF THE MEAN TROF PIVOTS THROUGH THE
AREA. ACCOMPANIED BY PERHAPS SOME DRY/MID LEVEL CLOUDS...THE
PASSAGE OF THIS FEATURE SHOULD OTHERWISE REMAIN DRY.

A GRADUAL WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED FOR THE END OF THE WEEK AND
INTO THE WEEKEND AS GENERALLY ZONAL FLOW ALOFT PREVAILS AMID
SOUTHERLY SFC FLOW BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE TO THE EAST AND LOW
PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS.

13

MARINE...
MODERATE SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING...BECOMING
WEST OVERNIGHT AND FINALLY NORTHWEST MONDAY MORNING AS A COLD
FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION. MODEST OFFSHORE FLOW IS EXPECTED
BEHIND THE FRONT THROUGH TUESDAY...WITH WINDS BECOMING LIGHT AND
SOMEWHAT VARIABLE BY MIDWEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES OVER THE
WESTERN GULF. A MORE PREVALENT SOUTHERLY FLOW IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP BY THE END OF THE WEEK.

13

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  51  65  41  61  39 /   0   0  10  10  10
KBPT  50  65  42  62  40 /   0   0  10  10  10
KAEX  48  62  37  60  36 /   0  10  10  10  10
KLFT  54  65  42  60  39 /   0  10  10  10  10

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 5 AM TO NOON CST MONDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON
     LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND
     TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER
     TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 5 AM CST MONDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON
     LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND
     TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER
     TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH
     ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY
     TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM.

&&

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES

&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KLCH 240333
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
933 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014

.UPDATE...A COLD FRONT IS CURRENTLY STRETCHED FROM AROUND AUSTIN
TO PARIS, TEXAS THIS EVENING AND IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE CWA
A LITTLE AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE FRONT SHOULD BE IN LOWER ACADIANA BY
SUNRISE. AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY MOISTURE IS RUNNING HIGH WITH
PATCHY FOG AND STRATUS SLOWLY DEVELOPING ACROSS SOUTH LA AND THE
NEAR SHORE WATERS. THE FOG IS EXPECTED TO CLEAR THE AREA AROUND
SUNRISE OR SHORTLY AFTER AS THE FRONT PASSES. A SCA HAS BEEN
HOISTED FOR THE OUTER WATERS AS WINDS WILL INCREASE BEHIND THE
FRONT MONDAY MORNING.





&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 534 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...
FOR 00Z TAFS...EXPECTING VFR CONDITIONS TONIGHT. WIND SHIFT
FORECAST BETWEEN 07-12Z AS COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 422 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...
GENERALLY QUIET WEATHER ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AS THE VIGOROUS
SHORTWAVE TROF THAT AFFECTED THE AREA LAST NIGHT CONTINUES TO
QUICKLY EJECT OUT TO THE NORTHEAST. ON ITS HEELS...A MEAN LONGWAVE
TROF IS POISED TO DIG INTO THE CENTRAL CONUS...WITH ANOTHER
SHORTWAVE TROF TRANSLATING THROUGH THE BASE OF THE TROF PROGGED TO
SEND A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE AREA LATER TONIGHT.

SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY WANE OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF HOURS...WITH THE WIND ADVISORY OVER ACADIANA CONTINUING
UNTIL 6 PM. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR A FT POLK TO HOUSTON
LINE BY MIDNIGHT...THEN JUST OVER THE FAR SE MARINE ZONE BY 6 AM.
DRYING OF THE ATMOSPHERIC COLUMN IN THE MID AND UPPER LEVELS HAS
ALREADY ENSUED THANKS TO THE WESTERLY FLOW IN THE WAKE OF THE LEAD
SHORTWAVE...AND THE NORTHWEST WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT WILL TAKE
CARE OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE...WITH SFC DEWPOINTS PROGGED TO DROP
INTO THE 30S BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON. DRY AND COOL...WITH GENERALLY
MODERATE NORTH WINDS...CAN BE EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
NIGHT.

A SECONDARY/REINFORCING SURGE OF COOL AIR IS PROGGED TO ARRIVE
TUE/TUE NIGHT AS THE BASE OF THE MEAN TROF PIVOTS THROUGH THE
AREA. ACCOMPANIED BY PERHAPS SOME DRY/MID LEVEL CLOUDS...THE
PASSAGE OF THIS FEATURE SHOULD OTHERWISE REMAIN DRY.

A GRADUAL WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED FOR THE END OF THE WEEK AND
INTO THE WEEKEND AS GENERALLY ZONAL FLOW ALOFT PREVAILS AMID
SOUTHERLY SFC FLOW BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE TO THE EAST AND LOW
PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS.

13

MARINE...
MODERATE SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING...BECOMING
WEST OVERNIGHT AND FINALLY NORTHWEST MONDAY MORNING AS A COLD
FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION. MODEST OFFSHORE FLOW IS EXPECTED
BEHIND THE FRONT THROUGH TUESDAY...WITH WINDS BECOMING LIGHT AND
SOMEWHAT VARIABLE BY MIDWEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES OVER THE
WESTERN GULF. A MORE PREVALENT SOUTHERLY FLOW IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP BY THE END OF THE WEEK.

13

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  51  65  41  61  39 /   0   0  10  10  10
KBPT  50  65  42  62  40 /   0   0  10  10  10
KAEX  48  62  37  60  36 /   0  10  10  10  10
KLFT  54  65  42  60  39 /   0  10  10  10  10

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 5 AM TO NOON CST MONDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON
     LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND
     TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER
     TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 5 AM CST MONDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON
     LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND
     TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER
     TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH
     ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY
     TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM.

&&

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES

&&

$$







000
FXUS64 KLCH 240333
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
933 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014

.UPDATE...A COLD FRONT IS CURRENTLY STRETCHED FROM AROUND AUSTIN
TO PARIS, TEXAS THIS EVENING AND IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE CWA
A LITTLE AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE FRONT SHOULD BE IN LOWER ACADIANA BY
SUNRISE. AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY MOISTURE IS RUNNING HIGH WITH
PATCHY FOG AND STRATUS SLOWLY DEVELOPING ACROSS SOUTH LA AND THE
NEAR SHORE WATERS. THE FOG IS EXPECTED TO CLEAR THE AREA AROUND
SUNRISE OR SHORTLY AFTER AS THE FRONT PASSES. A SCA HAS BEEN
HOISTED FOR THE OUTER WATERS AS WINDS WILL INCREASE BEHIND THE
FRONT MONDAY MORNING.





&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 534 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...
FOR 00Z TAFS...EXPECTING VFR CONDITIONS TONIGHT. WIND SHIFT
FORECAST BETWEEN 07-12Z AS COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 422 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...
GENERALLY QUIET WEATHER ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AS THE VIGOROUS
SHORTWAVE TROF THAT AFFECTED THE AREA LAST NIGHT CONTINUES TO
QUICKLY EJECT OUT TO THE NORTHEAST. ON ITS HEELS...A MEAN LONGWAVE
TROF IS POISED TO DIG INTO THE CENTRAL CONUS...WITH ANOTHER
SHORTWAVE TROF TRANSLATING THROUGH THE BASE OF THE TROF PROGGED TO
SEND A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE AREA LATER TONIGHT.

SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY WANE OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF HOURS...WITH THE WIND ADVISORY OVER ACADIANA CONTINUING
UNTIL 6 PM. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR A FT POLK TO HOUSTON
LINE BY MIDNIGHT...THEN JUST OVER THE FAR SE MARINE ZONE BY 6 AM.
DRYING OF THE ATMOSPHERIC COLUMN IN THE MID AND UPPER LEVELS HAS
ALREADY ENSUED THANKS TO THE WESTERLY FLOW IN THE WAKE OF THE LEAD
SHORTWAVE...AND THE NORTHWEST WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT WILL TAKE
CARE OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE...WITH SFC DEWPOINTS PROGGED TO DROP
INTO THE 30S BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON. DRY AND COOL...WITH GENERALLY
MODERATE NORTH WINDS...CAN BE EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
NIGHT.

A SECONDARY/REINFORCING SURGE OF COOL AIR IS PROGGED TO ARRIVE
TUE/TUE NIGHT AS THE BASE OF THE MEAN TROF PIVOTS THROUGH THE
AREA. ACCOMPANIED BY PERHAPS SOME DRY/MID LEVEL CLOUDS...THE
PASSAGE OF THIS FEATURE SHOULD OTHERWISE REMAIN DRY.

A GRADUAL WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED FOR THE END OF THE WEEK AND
INTO THE WEEKEND AS GENERALLY ZONAL FLOW ALOFT PREVAILS AMID
SOUTHERLY SFC FLOW BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE TO THE EAST AND LOW
PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS.

13

MARINE...
MODERATE SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING...BECOMING
WEST OVERNIGHT AND FINALLY NORTHWEST MONDAY MORNING AS A COLD
FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION. MODEST OFFSHORE FLOW IS EXPECTED
BEHIND THE FRONT THROUGH TUESDAY...WITH WINDS BECOMING LIGHT AND
SOMEWHAT VARIABLE BY MIDWEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES OVER THE
WESTERN GULF. A MORE PREVALENT SOUTHERLY FLOW IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP BY THE END OF THE WEEK.

13

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  51  65  41  61  39 /   0   0  10  10  10
KBPT  50  65  42  62  40 /   0   0  10  10  10
KAEX  48  62  37  60  36 /   0  10  10  10  10
KLFT  54  65  42  60  39 /   0  10  10  10  10

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 5 AM TO NOON CST MONDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON
     LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND
     TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER
     TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 5 AM CST MONDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON
     LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND
     TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER
     TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH
     ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY
     TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM.

&&

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES

&&

$$








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