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000
FXUS61 KCAR 030541
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
141 AM EDT FRI JUL 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT INTO
SATURDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT
INTO SUNDAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
UPDATE...
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD EAST ACROSS THE REGION
OVERNIGHT. AT THE SAME TIME...AN UPPER LEVEL TROF WILL CROSS THE
REGION. MOISTURE WITH THE UPPER LEVEL TROF WILL BRING INCREASING
CLOUDS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS OVERNIGHT...WITH POSSIBLY AN ISOLATED
SHOWER ACROSS THE SAINT JOHN VALLEY. GENERALLY EXPECT MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES ACROSS CENTRAL/DOWNEAST PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA
OVERNIGHT. OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER
40S TO AROUND 50 NORTH...TO AROUND 50 TO THE LOWER 50S DOWNEAST.
HAVE UPDATED THE FORECAST TO ADJUST FOR CURRENT CONDITIONS ALONG
WITH OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES AND CLOUD COVER.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
THE UPPER TROF WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST EARLY FRIDAY AS SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD IN FROM THE SOUTH AND WEST. EXPECT
PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS AND MOSTLY SUNNY CENTRAL
AND DOWNEAST. HIGHS ON FRIDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE LOW TO MID 70S
NORTH AND MID TO UPPER 70S CENTRAL AND DOWNEAST.
&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
EXPECT A BEAUTIFUL DAY FOR THE FOURTH OF JULY, WITH THE THREAT OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INCREASING ON SUNDAY.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT AND BEGIN TO
SHIFT OFFSHORE ON SATURDAY. MEANWHILE, A SLOW-MOVING COLD FRONT WILL
CROSS ONTARIO AND QUEBEC. WE`LL SEE PLENTY OF SUNSHINE ON THE
FOURTH, WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES TOPPING OUT AROUND 80 IN MANY
LOCATIONS, THOUGH A BIT COOLER ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST. DEWPOINTS
WILL RISE THROUGH THE 50S DURING THE DAY, SO IT COULD START TO FEEL
A LITTLE MUGGY TOWARD EVENING. WITH INCREASING MOISTURE AND THE
APPROACHING COLD FRONT, CAN`T TOTALLY RULE OUT A STRAY SHOWER OR TWO
ACROSS THE FAR NORTH DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.
HOWEVER, FEEL ANY SHOWERS WILL BE FEW AND FAR BETWEEN.

THE AFOREMENTIONED COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE STATE FROM NORTHWEST TO
SOUTHEAST ON SUNDAY, BRINGING A ROUND OF PRECIPITATION TO THE
REGION. THE FRONT LOOKS TO MOVE THROUGH AROUND MIDDAY, MEANING
TEMPERATURES WILL BE A FEW DEGREES COOLER IN THE NORTH ON SUNDAY,
WHILE DOWNEAST AREAS WILL LIKELY APPROACH 80 ONCE AGAIN. NOTE THAT
THE LATEST GUIDANCE IS INDICATING WE`LL SEE SOME DECENT INSTABILITY;
SB CAPES ARE PROGGED TO APPROACH 900 J/KG, WITH THE LATEST GFS
INDICATING UP TO 1500 J/KG (LIKELY OVERDONE). AS SUCH, EXPECT
WE`LL SEE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE FRONT.
MOISTURE WILL BE A BIT LACKING, SO PRECIPITATION WILL BE SCATTERED
NATURE.
&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
IT APPEARS SUMMER WILL FINALLY ARRIVE NEXT WEEK WITH HIGH PRESSURE
ALOFT OVER THE NORTHEAST. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST
WITH HIGHS IN THE 80S AND LOWS IN THE 50S. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT
MINOR DISTURBANCES MAY RIDE OVER THE TOP OF THE RIDGE AXIS AND
BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS TO FAR NORTHERN MAINE
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.
&&

.AVIATION /05Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: GENERALLY EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION
OVERNIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. HOWEVER...OCCASIONAL MVFR CEILINGS COULD
OCCUR ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS LATER TONIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY.

SHORT TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SUNDAY
AFTERNOON, BRINGING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AND MVFR
CONDITIONS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY. THEN HIGH PRESSURE AND VFR
CONDITIONS WILL RESUME THROUGH TUESDAY.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY LEVELS OVERNIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY.

SHORT TERM: HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE WATERS THROUGH
SUNDAY, KEEPING WINDS AND WAVES BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS.
THEREFORE NO HEADLINES ARE ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...NORCROSS/DUDA
SHORT TERM...HASTINGS
LONG TERM...OKULSKI
AVIATION...NORCROSS/HASTINGS
MARINE...NORCROSS/HASTINGS



000
FXUS61 KCAR 030541
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
141 AM EDT FRI JUL 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT INTO
SATURDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT
INTO SUNDAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
UPDATE...
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD EAST ACROSS THE REGION
OVERNIGHT. AT THE SAME TIME...AN UPPER LEVEL TROF WILL CROSS THE
REGION. MOISTURE WITH THE UPPER LEVEL TROF WILL BRING INCREASING
CLOUDS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS OVERNIGHT...WITH POSSIBLY AN ISOLATED
SHOWER ACROSS THE SAINT JOHN VALLEY. GENERALLY EXPECT MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES ACROSS CENTRAL/DOWNEAST PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA
OVERNIGHT. OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER
40S TO AROUND 50 NORTH...TO AROUND 50 TO THE LOWER 50S DOWNEAST.
HAVE UPDATED THE FORECAST TO ADJUST FOR CURRENT CONDITIONS ALONG
WITH OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES AND CLOUD COVER.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
THE UPPER TROF WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST EARLY FRIDAY AS SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD IN FROM THE SOUTH AND WEST. EXPECT
PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS AND MOSTLY SUNNY CENTRAL
AND DOWNEAST. HIGHS ON FRIDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE LOW TO MID 70S
NORTH AND MID TO UPPER 70S CENTRAL AND DOWNEAST.
&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
EXPECT A BEAUTIFUL DAY FOR THE FOURTH OF JULY, WITH THE THREAT OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INCREASING ON SUNDAY.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT AND BEGIN TO
SHIFT OFFSHORE ON SATURDAY. MEANWHILE, A SLOW-MOVING COLD FRONT WILL
CROSS ONTARIO AND QUEBEC. WE`LL SEE PLENTY OF SUNSHINE ON THE
FOURTH, WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES TOPPING OUT AROUND 80 IN MANY
LOCATIONS, THOUGH A BIT COOLER ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST. DEWPOINTS
WILL RISE THROUGH THE 50S DURING THE DAY, SO IT COULD START TO FEEL
A LITTLE MUGGY TOWARD EVENING. WITH INCREASING MOISTURE AND THE
APPROACHING COLD FRONT, CAN`T TOTALLY RULE OUT A STRAY SHOWER OR TWO
ACROSS THE FAR NORTH DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.
HOWEVER, FEEL ANY SHOWERS WILL BE FEW AND FAR BETWEEN.

THE AFOREMENTIONED COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE STATE FROM NORTHWEST TO
SOUTHEAST ON SUNDAY, BRINGING A ROUND OF PRECIPITATION TO THE
REGION. THE FRONT LOOKS TO MOVE THROUGH AROUND MIDDAY, MEANING
TEMPERATURES WILL BE A FEW DEGREES COOLER IN THE NORTH ON SUNDAY,
WHILE DOWNEAST AREAS WILL LIKELY APPROACH 80 ONCE AGAIN. NOTE THAT
THE LATEST GUIDANCE IS INDICATING WE`LL SEE SOME DECENT INSTABILITY;
SB CAPES ARE PROGGED TO APPROACH 900 J/KG, WITH THE LATEST GFS
INDICATING UP TO 1500 J/KG (LIKELY OVERDONE). AS SUCH, EXPECT
WE`LL SEE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE FRONT.
MOISTURE WILL BE A BIT LACKING, SO PRECIPITATION WILL BE SCATTERED
NATURE.
&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
IT APPEARS SUMMER WILL FINALLY ARRIVE NEXT WEEK WITH HIGH PRESSURE
ALOFT OVER THE NORTHEAST. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST
WITH HIGHS IN THE 80S AND LOWS IN THE 50S. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT
MINOR DISTURBANCES MAY RIDE OVER THE TOP OF THE RIDGE AXIS AND
BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS TO FAR NORTHERN MAINE
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.
&&

.AVIATION /05Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: GENERALLY EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION
OVERNIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. HOWEVER...OCCASIONAL MVFR CEILINGS COULD
OCCUR ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS LATER TONIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY.

SHORT TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SUNDAY
AFTERNOON, BRINGING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AND MVFR
CONDITIONS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY. THEN HIGH PRESSURE AND VFR
CONDITIONS WILL RESUME THROUGH TUESDAY.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY LEVELS OVERNIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY.

SHORT TERM: HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE WATERS THROUGH
SUNDAY, KEEPING WINDS AND WAVES BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS.
THEREFORE NO HEADLINES ARE ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...NORCROSS/DUDA
SHORT TERM...HASTINGS
LONG TERM...OKULSKI
AVIATION...NORCROSS/HASTINGS
MARINE...NORCROSS/HASTINGS



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000
FXUS61 KGYX 030132
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
932 PM EDT THU JUL 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT AND REMAINS IN
PLACE THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...PROVIDING DRY AND MAINLY CLEAR WEATHER
RIGHT THROUGH THE FOURTH OF JULY. A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE
MOVES TO OUR NORTH ON SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS IN THROUGH
MIDWEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/...
930 PM UPDATE...VERY LITTLE CHANGE TO THE FORECAST AS IT REMAINS
ON TRACK. EXPECT THE PLEASANT EVENING TO CONTINUE.

645 PM UDPATE...LITTLE CHANGE TO THE GOING FORECAST. SOME HIGH
CLOUDS OVER SOUTHERNMOST ZONES ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW PRESSURE WAVE
PASSING WELL TO OUR SOUTH WILL GRADUALLY MOVE AWAY THIS EVENING.
DIMINISHING WINDS...MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES...AND COOLING TEMPS ARE
EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE EVENING.

PREVIOUSLY...

SFC HIGH BUILDS IN SLOWLY FROM THE WEST OVERNIGHT...ALTHOUGH WEAK
500 MB TROUGH SWINGS THRU WHICH WILL KEEP A BIT OF GRADIENT FLOW
GOING ABV THE BOUNDARY LYR...AND PERHAPS MOVE SOME SCT CIRRUS
THRU OVERNIGHT. THE SHELTERED SPOTS SHOULD DECOUPLE...AND SOME
VLY FOG IS EXPECTED...ALTHOUGH WITH SOME FLOW AT THE TOP OF THE
PBL...WILL BE MORE PATCHY. IT WILL BE CHILLY WITH MINS RANGING
FROM THE MID TO UPPER 50S ON THE COAST...TO THE MID 40S IN THE N.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
WILL SEE THE 500 MB RIDGING BEGIN TO SHIFT IN ON FRIDAY AND THIS
WILL ALLOW SFC RIDGE TO BUILD AND WEAKEN GRADIENT FLOW
SIGNIFICANTLY. INLAND TEMPS SHOULD BE SIMILAR TO THU...MAY A TOUCH
WARMER. ON THE COAST WILL SEE A LIGHT SEA BREEZE DEVELOP...WHICH
WILL KEEP MAXES MAYBE A DEGREE OR TWO COOLER THAN THU....INLAND
HIGHS RANGE FROM THE LOW TO MID 70S IN THE MTNS...TO AROUND 80 IN
INTERIOR SRN NH AND SW ME.

FRIDAY NIGHT LOOKS COOL AND CLEAR...AND JUST A TOUCH WARMER THAN
TONIGHT...WITH LOWS AGAIN RANGING FROM THE MID TO UPPER 40S
N...TO THE MID TO UPPER 50S ON THE COAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
A RATHER TRANQUIL PATTERN SETTING UP FOR THE OUTLOOK PERIOD
ACCOMPANIED BY SUMMER CONDITIONS AND NEAR OR ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES...FINALLY! WE ARE ALSO STAYING IN THE NORTHERN
STREAM AND MAINLY BE AFFECTED BY CANADIAN AIR MASSES, SO HUMIDITY
LEVELS SHOULD REMAIN AT COMFORTABLE LEVELS.

ALTHOUGH THE UPPER AIR PATTERN CONTINUES THE TROUGH IN THE
EAST...ALL THE ENERGY AND PRECIPITATION WILL BE STAYING WELL TO
OUR SOUTH WITH ONLY VERY MINOR TROUGHS TO QUIETLY MOVE THROUGH
EVERY FEW DAYS BUT MOSTLY TO GO UNNOTICED. FORECAST H85
TEMPERATURES ARE MILD AND OTHER THAN SOME AFTERNOON SEABREEZES NO
CONSIDERABLE ONSHORE FLOW EXPECTED, THUS THE ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES.

THE ONLY TROUGH WORTH MENTIONING IS THE ONE FORECAST TO MOVE
THROUGH ON SUNDAY THAT MAY CAUSE SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS BUT WILL
BE QUICKLY FOLLOWED BY MORE HIGH PRESSURE AND DRY SUMMER
CONDITIONS AGAIN EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SHORT TERM...MAINLY VFR THRU FRI NIGHT. ONLY EXCEPTION WILL BE A
PERIOD OF VLY FOG TOWARD DAYBREAK AT KHIE/KLEB.

LONG TERM...POSSIBLE MVFR CEILINGS SUNDAY NIGHT IN SCATTERED SHOWERS
AS A WEAK TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SFC HIGH BUILDS JUST N OF THE WATERS THROUGH FRI
NIGHT...WITH GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS AND SEAS IN THE 1-3 FT RANGE
AFTER A FEW 4-5 FOOTERS SUBSIDE TONIGHT. EXPECT SOME ENHANCED
ONSHORE FLOW IN SEA BREEZE CIRCULATIONS FRI AFTERNOON ALONG THE
SHORE.

LONG TERM...NO FLAGS FOR THE OUTLOOK PERIOD AS GENERALLY HIGH
PRESSURE AND LIGHT WINDS DOMINATE FOR THE OUTLOOK PERIOD.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...MLE




000
FXUS61 KGYX 030132
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
932 PM EDT THU JUL 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT AND REMAINS IN
PLACE THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...PROVIDING DRY AND MAINLY CLEAR WEATHER
RIGHT THROUGH THE FOURTH OF JULY. A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE
MOVES TO OUR NORTH ON SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS IN THROUGH
MIDWEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/...
930 PM UPDATE...VERY LITTLE CHANGE TO THE FORECAST AS IT REMAINS
ON TRACK. EXPECT THE PLEASANT EVENING TO CONTINUE.

645 PM UDPATE...LITTLE CHANGE TO THE GOING FORECAST. SOME HIGH
CLOUDS OVER SOUTHERNMOST ZONES ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW PRESSURE WAVE
PASSING WELL TO OUR SOUTH WILL GRADUALLY MOVE AWAY THIS EVENING.
DIMINISHING WINDS...MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES...AND COOLING TEMPS ARE
EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE EVENING.

PREVIOUSLY...

SFC HIGH BUILDS IN SLOWLY FROM THE WEST OVERNIGHT...ALTHOUGH WEAK
500 MB TROUGH SWINGS THRU WHICH WILL KEEP A BIT OF GRADIENT FLOW
GOING ABV THE BOUNDARY LYR...AND PERHAPS MOVE SOME SCT CIRRUS
THRU OVERNIGHT. THE SHELTERED SPOTS SHOULD DECOUPLE...AND SOME
VLY FOG IS EXPECTED...ALTHOUGH WITH SOME FLOW AT THE TOP OF THE
PBL...WILL BE MORE PATCHY. IT WILL BE CHILLY WITH MINS RANGING
FROM THE MID TO UPPER 50S ON THE COAST...TO THE MID 40S IN THE N.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
WILL SEE THE 500 MB RIDGING BEGIN TO SHIFT IN ON FRIDAY AND THIS
WILL ALLOW SFC RIDGE TO BUILD AND WEAKEN GRADIENT FLOW
SIGNIFICANTLY. INLAND TEMPS SHOULD BE SIMILAR TO THU...MAY A TOUCH
WARMER. ON THE COAST WILL SEE A LIGHT SEA BREEZE DEVELOP...WHICH
WILL KEEP MAXES MAYBE A DEGREE OR TWO COOLER THAN THU....INLAND
HIGHS RANGE FROM THE LOW TO MID 70S IN THE MTNS...TO AROUND 80 IN
INTERIOR SRN NH AND SW ME.

FRIDAY NIGHT LOOKS COOL AND CLEAR...AND JUST A TOUCH WARMER THAN
TONIGHT...WITH LOWS AGAIN RANGING FROM THE MID TO UPPER 40S
N...TO THE MID TO UPPER 50S ON THE COAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
A RATHER TRANQUIL PATTERN SETTING UP FOR THE OUTLOOK PERIOD
ACCOMPANIED BY SUMMER CONDITIONS AND NEAR OR ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES...FINALLY! WE ARE ALSO STAYING IN THE NORTHERN
STREAM AND MAINLY BE AFFECTED BY CANADIAN AIR MASSES, SO HUMIDITY
LEVELS SHOULD REMAIN AT COMFORTABLE LEVELS.

ALTHOUGH THE UPPER AIR PATTERN CONTINUES THE TROUGH IN THE
EAST...ALL THE ENERGY AND PRECIPITATION WILL BE STAYING WELL TO
OUR SOUTH WITH ONLY VERY MINOR TROUGHS TO QUIETLY MOVE THROUGH
EVERY FEW DAYS BUT MOSTLY TO GO UNNOTICED. FORECAST H85
TEMPERATURES ARE MILD AND OTHER THAN SOME AFTERNOON SEABREEZES NO
CONSIDERABLE ONSHORE FLOW EXPECTED, THUS THE ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES.

THE ONLY TROUGH WORTH MENTIONING IS THE ONE FORECAST TO MOVE
THROUGH ON SUNDAY THAT MAY CAUSE SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS BUT WILL
BE QUICKLY FOLLOWED BY MORE HIGH PRESSURE AND DRY SUMMER
CONDITIONS AGAIN EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SHORT TERM...MAINLY VFR THRU FRI NIGHT. ONLY EXCEPTION WILL BE A
PERIOD OF VLY FOG TOWARD DAYBREAK AT KHIE/KLEB.

LONG TERM...POSSIBLE MVFR CEILINGS SUNDAY NIGHT IN SCATTERED SHOWERS
AS A WEAK TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SFC HIGH BUILDS JUST N OF THE WATERS THROUGH FRI
NIGHT...WITH GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS AND SEAS IN THE 1-3 FT RANGE
AFTER A FEW 4-5 FOOTERS SUBSIDE TONIGHT. EXPECT SOME ENHANCED
ONSHORE FLOW IN SEA BREEZE CIRCULATIONS FRI AFTERNOON ALONG THE
SHORE.

LONG TERM...NO FLAGS FOR THE OUTLOOK PERIOD AS GENERALLY HIGH
PRESSURE AND LIGHT WINDS DOMINATE FOR THE OUTLOOK PERIOD.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...MLE



000
FXUS61 KCAR 030115
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
915 PM EDT THU JUL 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY.
ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT INTO
SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
915 PM UPDATE...A MID/UPPER LOW IS EVIDENT ON WATER VAPOR
SATELLITE PICTURES NORTH OF THE ST LAWRENCE RIVER IN QUEBEC.
THE LOW WILL MOVE INTO SW LABRADOR OVERNIGHT WITH A TROUGH
EXTENDING SOUTH INTO NORTHERN MAINE. A WEAK BOUNDARY IS EVIDENT ON
SATELLITE PICTURES FROM NORTHERN SOMERSET COUNTY INTO CENTRAL
AROOSTOOK COUNTY WITH SOME CLOUDS. THERE WAS EVEN A VERY ISOLATED
SHOWER ALONG THIS BOUNDARY IN THE VICINITY OF CARIBOU/PRESQUE ISLE
EARLIER IN THE EVENING THAT HAS SINCE DISSIPATED. STRATOCU WILL
MOVE BACK INTO FAR NORTHERN MAINE OVERNIGHT AS THE UPPER TROUGH
BEGINS TO MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. THERE MAY EVEN BE ENOUGH
MOISTURE AND LIFT FOR AN ISOLATED SHOWER AFTER MIDNIGHT NORTH OF
CARIBOU. A JET STREAK IS SEEN MOVING ACROSS THE GULF OF MAINE AND
IS CLIPPING PARTS OF THE DOWNEAST REGION THIS EVENING WITH SOME
CIRRUS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES ARE PLANNED WITH THIS UPDATE.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
A 500 MB TROF WILL CROSS THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY.
EXPECT PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN MOST MAINE
AND ESPECIALLY THE ST JOHN VALLEY WHERE THERE COULD EVEN BE AN
ISOLATED SHOWER LATE TONIGHT. ACROSS CENTRAL AND DOWN EAST EXPECT
PARTLY CLOUDY TO MAINLY CLEAR SKIES. LOW TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE
FROM UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS AND LOW TO MID
50S ACROSS CENTRAL AND DOWN EAST AREAS.

THE UPPER TROF WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST EARLY FRIDAY AS SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD IN FROM THE SOUTH AND WEST. EXPECT
PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS AND MOSTLY SUNNY CENTRAL
AND DOWN EAST. HIGHS ON FRIDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE LOW TO MID 70S
NORTH AND MID TO UPPER 70S CENTRAL AND DOWN EAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
EXPECT A BEAUTIFUL DAY FOR THE FOURTH OF JULY, WITH THE THREAT OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INCREASING ON SUNDAY.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT AND BEGIN TO
SHIFT OFFSHORE ON SATURDAY. MEANWHILE, A SLOW-MOVING COLD FRONT WILL
CROSS ONTARIO AND QUEBEC. WE`LL SEE PLENTY OF SUNSHINE ON THE
FOURTH, WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES TOPPING OUT AROUND 80 IN MANY
LOCATIONS, THOUGH A BIT COOLER ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST. DEWPOINTS
WILL RISE THROUGH THE 50S DURING THE DAY, SO IT COULD START TO FEEL
A LITTLE MUGGY TOWARD EVENING. WITH INCREASING MOISTURE AND THE
APPROACHING COLD FRONT, CAN`T TOTALLY RULE OUT A STRAY SHOWER OR TWO
ACROSS THE FAR NORTH DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.
HOWEVER, FEEL ANY SHOWERS WILL BE FEW AND FAR BETWEEN.

THE AFOREMENTIONED COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE STATE FROM NORTHWEST TO
SOUTHEAST ON SUNDAY, BRINGING A ROUND OF PRECIPITATION TO THE
REGION. THE FRONT LOOKS TO MOVE THROUGH AROUND MIDDAY, MEANING
TEMPERATURES WILL BE A FEW DEGREES COOLER IN THE NORTH ON SUNDAY,
WHILE DOWNEAST AREAS WILL LIKELY APPROACH 80 ONCE AGAIN. NOTE THAT
THE LATEST GUIDANCE IS INDICATING WE`LL SEE SOME DECENT INSTABILITY;
SB CAPES ARE PROGGED TO APPROACH 900 J/KG, WITH THE LATEST GFS
INDICATING UP TO 1500 J/KG (LIKELY OVERDONE). AS SUCH, EXPECT
WE`LL SEE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE FRONT.
MOISTURE WILL BE A BIT LACKING, SO PRECIPITATION WILL BE SCATTERED
NATURE.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
IT APPEARS SUMMER WILL FINALLY ARRIVE NEXT WEEK WITH HIGH PRESSURE
ALOFT OVER THE NORTHEAST. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST
WITH HIGHS IN THE 80S AND LOWS IN THE 50S. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT
MINOR DISTURBANCES MAY RIDE OVER THE TOP OF THE RIDGE AXIS AND
BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS TO FAR NORTHERN MAINE
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /01Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR...EXCEPT THERE COULD BE BRIEF MVFR CIGS VCNTY KFVE
FROM AROUND 08-12Z.

SHORT TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SUNDAY
AFTERNOON, BRINGING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AND MVFR
CONDITIONS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY. THEN HIGH PRESSURE AND VFR
CONDITIONS WILL RESUME THROUGH TUESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: THE WIND AND SEAS WILL BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS THROUGH FRIDAY.

SHORT TERM: HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE WATERS THROUGH
SUNDAY, KEEPING WINDS AND WAVES BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS.
THEREFORE NO HEADLINES ARE ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...CB/DUDA
SHORT TERM...HASTINGS
LONG TERM...OKULSKI
AVIATION...CB/DUDA/HASTINGS
MARINE...CB/DUDA/HASTINGS



000
FXUS61 KCAR 030115
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
915 PM EDT THU JUL 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY.
ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT INTO
SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
915 PM UPDATE...A MID/UPPER LOW IS EVIDENT ON WATER VAPOR
SATELLITE PICTURES NORTH OF THE ST LAWRENCE RIVER IN QUEBEC.
THE LOW WILL MOVE INTO SW LABRADOR OVERNIGHT WITH A TROUGH
EXTENDING SOUTH INTO NORTHERN MAINE. A WEAK BOUNDARY IS EVIDENT ON
SATELLITE PICTURES FROM NORTHERN SOMERSET COUNTY INTO CENTRAL
AROOSTOOK COUNTY WITH SOME CLOUDS. THERE WAS EVEN A VERY ISOLATED
SHOWER ALONG THIS BOUNDARY IN THE VICINITY OF CARIBOU/PRESQUE ISLE
EARLIER IN THE EVENING THAT HAS SINCE DISSIPATED. STRATOCU WILL
MOVE BACK INTO FAR NORTHERN MAINE OVERNIGHT AS THE UPPER TROUGH
BEGINS TO MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. THERE MAY EVEN BE ENOUGH
MOISTURE AND LIFT FOR AN ISOLATED SHOWER AFTER MIDNIGHT NORTH OF
CARIBOU. A JET STREAK IS SEEN MOVING ACROSS THE GULF OF MAINE AND
IS CLIPPING PARTS OF THE DOWNEAST REGION THIS EVENING WITH SOME
CIRRUS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES ARE PLANNED WITH THIS UPDATE.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
A 500 MB TROF WILL CROSS THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY.
EXPECT PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN MOST MAINE
AND ESPECIALLY THE ST JOHN VALLEY WHERE THERE COULD EVEN BE AN
ISOLATED SHOWER LATE TONIGHT. ACROSS CENTRAL AND DOWN EAST EXPECT
PARTLY CLOUDY TO MAINLY CLEAR SKIES. LOW TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE
FROM UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS AND LOW TO MID
50S ACROSS CENTRAL AND DOWN EAST AREAS.

THE UPPER TROF WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST EARLY FRIDAY AS SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD IN FROM THE SOUTH AND WEST. EXPECT
PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS AND MOSTLY SUNNY CENTRAL
AND DOWN EAST. HIGHS ON FRIDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE LOW TO MID 70S
NORTH AND MID TO UPPER 70S CENTRAL AND DOWN EAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
EXPECT A BEAUTIFUL DAY FOR THE FOURTH OF JULY, WITH THE THREAT OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INCREASING ON SUNDAY.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT AND BEGIN TO
SHIFT OFFSHORE ON SATURDAY. MEANWHILE, A SLOW-MOVING COLD FRONT WILL
CROSS ONTARIO AND QUEBEC. WE`LL SEE PLENTY OF SUNSHINE ON THE
FOURTH, WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES TOPPING OUT AROUND 80 IN MANY
LOCATIONS, THOUGH A BIT COOLER ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST. DEWPOINTS
WILL RISE THROUGH THE 50S DURING THE DAY, SO IT COULD START TO FEEL
A LITTLE MUGGY TOWARD EVENING. WITH INCREASING MOISTURE AND THE
APPROACHING COLD FRONT, CAN`T TOTALLY RULE OUT A STRAY SHOWER OR TWO
ACROSS THE FAR NORTH DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.
HOWEVER, FEEL ANY SHOWERS WILL BE FEW AND FAR BETWEEN.

THE AFOREMENTIONED COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE STATE FROM NORTHWEST TO
SOUTHEAST ON SUNDAY, BRINGING A ROUND OF PRECIPITATION TO THE
REGION. THE FRONT LOOKS TO MOVE THROUGH AROUND MIDDAY, MEANING
TEMPERATURES WILL BE A FEW DEGREES COOLER IN THE NORTH ON SUNDAY,
WHILE DOWNEAST AREAS WILL LIKELY APPROACH 80 ONCE AGAIN. NOTE THAT
THE LATEST GUIDANCE IS INDICATING WE`LL SEE SOME DECENT INSTABILITY;
SB CAPES ARE PROGGED TO APPROACH 900 J/KG, WITH THE LATEST GFS
INDICATING UP TO 1500 J/KG (LIKELY OVERDONE). AS SUCH, EXPECT
WE`LL SEE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE FRONT.
MOISTURE WILL BE A BIT LACKING, SO PRECIPITATION WILL BE SCATTERED
NATURE.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
IT APPEARS SUMMER WILL FINALLY ARRIVE NEXT WEEK WITH HIGH PRESSURE
ALOFT OVER THE NORTHEAST. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST
WITH HIGHS IN THE 80S AND LOWS IN THE 50S. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT
MINOR DISTURBANCES MAY RIDE OVER THE TOP OF THE RIDGE AXIS AND
BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS TO FAR NORTHERN MAINE
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /01Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR...EXCEPT THERE COULD BE BRIEF MVFR CIGS VCNTY KFVE
FROM AROUND 08-12Z.

SHORT TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SUNDAY
AFTERNOON, BRINGING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AND MVFR
CONDITIONS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY. THEN HIGH PRESSURE AND VFR
CONDITIONS WILL RESUME THROUGH TUESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: THE WIND AND SEAS WILL BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS THROUGH FRIDAY.

SHORT TERM: HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE WATERS THROUGH
SUNDAY, KEEPING WINDS AND WAVES BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS.
THEREFORE NO HEADLINES ARE ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...CB/DUDA
SHORT TERM...HASTINGS
LONG TERM...OKULSKI
AVIATION...CB/DUDA/HASTINGS
MARINE...CB/DUDA/HASTINGS




000
FXUS61 KCAR 030115
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
915 PM EDT THU JUL 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY.
ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT INTO
SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
915 PM UPDATE...A MID/UPPER LOW IS EVIDENT ON WATER VAPOR
SATELLITE PICTURES NORTH OF THE ST LAWRENCE RIVER IN QUEBEC.
THE LOW WILL MOVE INTO SW LABRADOR OVERNIGHT WITH A TROUGH
EXTENDING SOUTH INTO NORTHERN MAINE. A WEAK BOUNDARY IS EVIDENT ON
SATELLITE PICTURES FROM NORTHERN SOMERSET COUNTY INTO CENTRAL
AROOSTOOK COUNTY WITH SOME CLOUDS. THERE WAS EVEN A VERY ISOLATED
SHOWER ALONG THIS BOUNDARY IN THE VICINITY OF CARIBOU/PRESQUE ISLE
EARLIER IN THE EVENING THAT HAS SINCE DISSIPATED. STRATOCU WILL
MOVE BACK INTO FAR NORTHERN MAINE OVERNIGHT AS THE UPPER TROUGH
BEGINS TO MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. THERE MAY EVEN BE ENOUGH
MOISTURE AND LIFT FOR AN ISOLATED SHOWER AFTER MIDNIGHT NORTH OF
CARIBOU. A JET STREAK IS SEEN MOVING ACROSS THE GULF OF MAINE AND
IS CLIPPING PARTS OF THE DOWNEAST REGION THIS EVENING WITH SOME
CIRRUS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES ARE PLANNED WITH THIS UPDATE.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
A 500 MB TROF WILL CROSS THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY.
EXPECT PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN MOST MAINE
AND ESPECIALLY THE ST JOHN VALLEY WHERE THERE COULD EVEN BE AN
ISOLATED SHOWER LATE TONIGHT. ACROSS CENTRAL AND DOWN EAST EXPECT
PARTLY CLOUDY TO MAINLY CLEAR SKIES. LOW TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE
FROM UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS AND LOW TO MID
50S ACROSS CENTRAL AND DOWN EAST AREAS.

THE UPPER TROF WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST EARLY FRIDAY AS SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD IN FROM THE SOUTH AND WEST. EXPECT
PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS AND MOSTLY SUNNY CENTRAL
AND DOWN EAST. HIGHS ON FRIDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE LOW TO MID 70S
NORTH AND MID TO UPPER 70S CENTRAL AND DOWN EAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
EXPECT A BEAUTIFUL DAY FOR THE FOURTH OF JULY, WITH THE THREAT OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INCREASING ON SUNDAY.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT AND BEGIN TO
SHIFT OFFSHORE ON SATURDAY. MEANWHILE, A SLOW-MOVING COLD FRONT WILL
CROSS ONTARIO AND QUEBEC. WE`LL SEE PLENTY OF SUNSHINE ON THE
FOURTH, WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES TOPPING OUT AROUND 80 IN MANY
LOCATIONS, THOUGH A BIT COOLER ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST. DEWPOINTS
WILL RISE THROUGH THE 50S DURING THE DAY, SO IT COULD START TO FEEL
A LITTLE MUGGY TOWARD EVENING. WITH INCREASING MOISTURE AND THE
APPROACHING COLD FRONT, CAN`T TOTALLY RULE OUT A STRAY SHOWER OR TWO
ACROSS THE FAR NORTH DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.
HOWEVER, FEEL ANY SHOWERS WILL BE FEW AND FAR BETWEEN.

THE AFOREMENTIONED COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE STATE FROM NORTHWEST TO
SOUTHEAST ON SUNDAY, BRINGING A ROUND OF PRECIPITATION TO THE
REGION. THE FRONT LOOKS TO MOVE THROUGH AROUND MIDDAY, MEANING
TEMPERATURES WILL BE A FEW DEGREES COOLER IN THE NORTH ON SUNDAY,
WHILE DOWNEAST AREAS WILL LIKELY APPROACH 80 ONCE AGAIN. NOTE THAT
THE LATEST GUIDANCE IS INDICATING WE`LL SEE SOME DECENT INSTABILITY;
SB CAPES ARE PROGGED TO APPROACH 900 J/KG, WITH THE LATEST GFS
INDICATING UP TO 1500 J/KG (LIKELY OVERDONE). AS SUCH, EXPECT
WE`LL SEE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE FRONT.
MOISTURE WILL BE A BIT LACKING, SO PRECIPITATION WILL BE SCATTERED
NATURE.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
IT APPEARS SUMMER WILL FINALLY ARRIVE NEXT WEEK WITH HIGH PRESSURE
ALOFT OVER THE NORTHEAST. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST
WITH HIGHS IN THE 80S AND LOWS IN THE 50S. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT
MINOR DISTURBANCES MAY RIDE OVER THE TOP OF THE RIDGE AXIS AND
BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS TO FAR NORTHERN MAINE
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /01Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR...EXCEPT THERE COULD BE BRIEF MVFR CIGS VCNTY KFVE
FROM AROUND 08-12Z.

SHORT TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SUNDAY
AFTERNOON, BRINGING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AND MVFR
CONDITIONS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY. THEN HIGH PRESSURE AND VFR
CONDITIONS WILL RESUME THROUGH TUESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: THE WIND AND SEAS WILL BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS THROUGH FRIDAY.

SHORT TERM: HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE WATERS THROUGH
SUNDAY, KEEPING WINDS AND WAVES BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS.
THEREFORE NO HEADLINES ARE ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...CB/DUDA
SHORT TERM...HASTINGS
LONG TERM...OKULSKI
AVIATION...CB/DUDA/HASTINGS
MARINE...CB/DUDA/HASTINGS



000
FXUS61 KCAR 030115
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
915 PM EDT THU JUL 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY.
ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT INTO
SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
915 PM UPDATE...A MID/UPPER LOW IS EVIDENT ON WATER VAPOR
SATELLITE PICTURES NORTH OF THE ST LAWRENCE RIVER IN QUEBEC.
THE LOW WILL MOVE INTO SW LABRADOR OVERNIGHT WITH A TROUGH
EXTENDING SOUTH INTO NORTHERN MAINE. A WEAK BOUNDARY IS EVIDENT ON
SATELLITE PICTURES FROM NORTHERN SOMERSET COUNTY INTO CENTRAL
AROOSTOOK COUNTY WITH SOME CLOUDS. THERE WAS EVEN A VERY ISOLATED
SHOWER ALONG THIS BOUNDARY IN THE VICINITY OF CARIBOU/PRESQUE ISLE
EARLIER IN THE EVENING THAT HAS SINCE DISSIPATED. STRATOCU WILL
MOVE BACK INTO FAR NORTHERN MAINE OVERNIGHT AS THE UPPER TROUGH
BEGINS TO MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. THERE MAY EVEN BE ENOUGH
MOISTURE AND LIFT FOR AN ISOLATED SHOWER AFTER MIDNIGHT NORTH OF
CARIBOU. A JET STREAK IS SEEN MOVING ACROSS THE GULF OF MAINE AND
IS CLIPPING PARTS OF THE DOWNEAST REGION THIS EVENING WITH SOME
CIRRUS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES ARE PLANNED WITH THIS UPDATE.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
A 500 MB TROF WILL CROSS THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY.
EXPECT PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN MOST MAINE
AND ESPECIALLY THE ST JOHN VALLEY WHERE THERE COULD EVEN BE AN
ISOLATED SHOWER LATE TONIGHT. ACROSS CENTRAL AND DOWN EAST EXPECT
PARTLY CLOUDY TO MAINLY CLEAR SKIES. LOW TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE
FROM UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS AND LOW TO MID
50S ACROSS CENTRAL AND DOWN EAST AREAS.

THE UPPER TROF WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST EARLY FRIDAY AS SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD IN FROM THE SOUTH AND WEST. EXPECT
PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS AND MOSTLY SUNNY CENTRAL
AND DOWN EAST. HIGHS ON FRIDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE LOW TO MID 70S
NORTH AND MID TO UPPER 70S CENTRAL AND DOWN EAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
EXPECT A BEAUTIFUL DAY FOR THE FOURTH OF JULY, WITH THE THREAT OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INCREASING ON SUNDAY.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT AND BEGIN TO
SHIFT OFFSHORE ON SATURDAY. MEANWHILE, A SLOW-MOVING COLD FRONT WILL
CROSS ONTARIO AND QUEBEC. WE`LL SEE PLENTY OF SUNSHINE ON THE
FOURTH, WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES TOPPING OUT AROUND 80 IN MANY
LOCATIONS, THOUGH A BIT COOLER ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST. DEWPOINTS
WILL RISE THROUGH THE 50S DURING THE DAY, SO IT COULD START TO FEEL
A LITTLE MUGGY TOWARD EVENING. WITH INCREASING MOISTURE AND THE
APPROACHING COLD FRONT, CAN`T TOTALLY RULE OUT A STRAY SHOWER OR TWO
ACROSS THE FAR NORTH DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.
HOWEVER, FEEL ANY SHOWERS WILL BE FEW AND FAR BETWEEN.

THE AFOREMENTIONED COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE STATE FROM NORTHWEST TO
SOUTHEAST ON SUNDAY, BRINGING A ROUND OF PRECIPITATION TO THE
REGION. THE FRONT LOOKS TO MOVE THROUGH AROUND MIDDAY, MEANING
TEMPERATURES WILL BE A FEW DEGREES COOLER IN THE NORTH ON SUNDAY,
WHILE DOWNEAST AREAS WILL LIKELY APPROACH 80 ONCE AGAIN. NOTE THAT
THE LATEST GUIDANCE IS INDICATING WE`LL SEE SOME DECENT INSTABILITY;
SB CAPES ARE PROGGED TO APPROACH 900 J/KG, WITH THE LATEST GFS
INDICATING UP TO 1500 J/KG (LIKELY OVERDONE). AS SUCH, EXPECT
WE`LL SEE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE FRONT.
MOISTURE WILL BE A BIT LACKING, SO PRECIPITATION WILL BE SCATTERED
NATURE.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
IT APPEARS SUMMER WILL FINALLY ARRIVE NEXT WEEK WITH HIGH PRESSURE
ALOFT OVER THE NORTHEAST. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST
WITH HIGHS IN THE 80S AND LOWS IN THE 50S. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT
MINOR DISTURBANCES MAY RIDE OVER THE TOP OF THE RIDGE AXIS AND
BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS TO FAR NORTHERN MAINE
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /01Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR...EXCEPT THERE COULD BE BRIEF MVFR CIGS VCNTY KFVE
FROM AROUND 08-12Z.

SHORT TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SUNDAY
AFTERNOON, BRINGING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AND MVFR
CONDITIONS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY. THEN HIGH PRESSURE AND VFR
CONDITIONS WILL RESUME THROUGH TUESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: THE WIND AND SEAS WILL BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS THROUGH FRIDAY.

SHORT TERM: HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE WATERS THROUGH
SUNDAY, KEEPING WINDS AND WAVES BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS.
THEREFORE NO HEADLINES ARE ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...CB/DUDA
SHORT TERM...HASTINGS
LONG TERM...OKULSKI
AVIATION...CB/DUDA/HASTINGS
MARINE...CB/DUDA/HASTINGS




000
FXUS61 KGYX 022243
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
643 PM EDT THU JUL 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT AND REMAINS IN
PLACE THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...PROVIDING DRY AND MAINLY CLEAR WEATHER
RIGHT THROUGH THE FOURTH OF JULY. A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE
MOVES TO OUR NORTH ON SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS IN THROUGH
MIDWEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/...
645 PM UDPATE...LITTLE CHANGE TO THE GOING FORECAST. SOME HIGH
CLOUDS OVER SOUTHERNMOST ZONES ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW PRESSURE WAVE
PASSING WELL TO OUR SOUTH WILL GRADUALLY MOVE AWAY THIS EVENING.
DIMINISHING WINDS...MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES...AND COOLING TEMPS ARE
EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE EVENING.

PREVIOUSLY...

SFC HIGH BUILDS IN SLOWLY FROM THE WEST OVERNIGHT...ALTHOUGH WEAK
500 MB TROUGH SWINGS THRU WHICH WILL KEEP A BIT OF GRADIENT FLOW
GOING ABV THE BOUNDARY LYR...AND PERHAPS MOVE SOME SCT CIRRUS
THRU OVERNIGHT. THE SHELTERED SPOTS SHOULD DECOUPLE...AND SOME
VLY FOG IS EXPECTED...ALTHOUGH WITH SOME FLOW AT THE TOP OF THE
PBL...WILL BE MORE PATCHY. IT WILL BE CHILLY WITH MINS RANGING
FROM THE MID TO UPPER 50S ON THE COAST...TO THE MID 40S IN THE N.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
WILL SEE THE 500 MB RIDGING BEGIN TO SHIFT IN ON FRIDAY AND THIS
WILL ALLOW SFC RIDGE TO BUILD AND WEAKEN GRADIENT FLOW
SIGNIFICANTLY. INLAND TEMPS SHOULD BE SIMILAR TO THU...MAY A TOUCH
WARMER. ON THE COAST WILL SEE A LIGHT SEA BREEZE DEVELOP...WHICH
WILL KEEP MAXES MAYBE A DEGREE OR TWO COOLER THAN THU....INLAND
HIGHS RANGE FROM THE LOW TO MID 70S IN THE MTNS...TO AROUND 80 IN
INTERIOR SRN NH AND SW ME.

FRIDAY NIGHT LOOKS COOL AND CLEAR...AND JUST A TOUCH WARMER THAN
TONIGHT...WITH LOWS AGAIN RANGING FROM THE MID TO UPPER 40S
N...TO THE MID TO UPPER 50S ON THE COAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
A RATHER TRANQUIL PATTERN SETTING UP FOR THE OUTLOOK PERIOD
ACCOMPANIED BY SUMMER CONDITIONS AND NEAR OR ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES...FINALLY! WE ARE ALSO STAYING IN THE NORTHERN
STREAM AND MAINLY BE AFFECTED BY CANADIAN AIR MASSES, SO HUMIDITY
LEVELS SHOULD REMAIN AT COMFORTABLE LEVELS.

ALTHOUGH THE UPPER AIR PATTERN CONTINUES THE TROUGH IN THE
EAST...ALL THE ENERGY AND PRECIPITATION WILL BE STAYING WELL TO
OUR SOUTH WITH ONLY VERY MINOR TROUGHS TO QUIETLY MOVE THROUGH
EVERY FEW DAYS BUT MOSTLY TO GO UNNOTICED. FORECAST H85
TEMPERATURES ARE MILD AND OTHER THAN SOME AFTERNOON SEABREEZES NO
CONSIDERABLE ONSHORE FLOW EXPECTED, THUS THE ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES.

THE ONLY TROUGH WORTH MENTIONING IS THE ONE FORECAST TO MOVE
THROUGH ON SUNDAY THAT MAY CAUSE SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS BUT WILL
BE QUICKLY FOLLOWED BY MORE HIGH PRESSURE AND DRY SUMMER
CONDITIONS AGAIN EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SHORT TERM...MAINLY VFR THRU FRI NIGHT. ONLY EXCEPTION WILL BE A
PERIOD OF VLY FOG TOWARD DAYBREAK AT KHIE/KLEB.

LONG TERM...POSSIBLE MVFR CEILINGS SUNDAY NIGHT IN SCATTERED SHOWERS
AS A WEAK TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SFC HIGH BUILDS JUST N OF THE WATERS THROUGH FRI
NIGHT...WITH GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS AND SEAS IN THE 1-3 FT RANGE.
EXPECT SOME ENHANCED ONSHORE FLOW IN SEA BREEZE CIRCULATIONS FRI
AFTERNOON ALONG THE SHORE.

LONG TERM...NO FLAGS FOR THE OUTLOOK PERIOD AS GENERALLY HIGH
PRESSURE AND LIGHT WINDS DOMINATE FOR THE OUTLOOK PERIOD.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$




000
FXUS61 KGYX 022243
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
643 PM EDT THU JUL 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT AND REMAINS IN
PLACE THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...PROVIDING DRY AND MAINLY CLEAR WEATHER
RIGHT THROUGH THE FOURTH OF JULY. A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE
MOVES TO OUR NORTH ON SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS IN THROUGH
MIDWEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/...
645 PM UDPATE...LITTLE CHANGE TO THE GOING FORECAST. SOME HIGH
CLOUDS OVER SOUTHERNMOST ZONES ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW PRESSURE WAVE
PASSING WELL TO OUR SOUTH WILL GRADUALLY MOVE AWAY THIS EVENING.
DIMINISHING WINDS...MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES...AND COOLING TEMPS ARE
EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE EVENING.

PREVIOUSLY...

SFC HIGH BUILDS IN SLOWLY FROM THE WEST OVERNIGHT...ALTHOUGH WEAK
500 MB TROUGH SWINGS THRU WHICH WILL KEEP A BIT OF GRADIENT FLOW
GOING ABV THE BOUNDARY LYR...AND PERHAPS MOVE SOME SCT CIRRUS
THRU OVERNIGHT. THE SHELTERED SPOTS SHOULD DECOUPLE...AND SOME
VLY FOG IS EXPECTED...ALTHOUGH WITH SOME FLOW AT THE TOP OF THE
PBL...WILL BE MORE PATCHY. IT WILL BE CHILLY WITH MINS RANGING
FROM THE MID TO UPPER 50S ON THE COAST...TO THE MID 40S IN THE N.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
WILL SEE THE 500 MB RIDGING BEGIN TO SHIFT IN ON FRIDAY AND THIS
WILL ALLOW SFC RIDGE TO BUILD AND WEAKEN GRADIENT FLOW
SIGNIFICANTLY. INLAND TEMPS SHOULD BE SIMILAR TO THU...MAY A TOUCH
WARMER. ON THE COAST WILL SEE A LIGHT SEA BREEZE DEVELOP...WHICH
WILL KEEP MAXES MAYBE A DEGREE OR TWO COOLER THAN THU....INLAND
HIGHS RANGE FROM THE LOW TO MID 70S IN THE MTNS...TO AROUND 80 IN
INTERIOR SRN NH AND SW ME.

FRIDAY NIGHT LOOKS COOL AND CLEAR...AND JUST A TOUCH WARMER THAN
TONIGHT...WITH LOWS AGAIN RANGING FROM THE MID TO UPPER 40S
N...TO THE MID TO UPPER 50S ON THE COAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
A RATHER TRANQUIL PATTERN SETTING UP FOR THE OUTLOOK PERIOD
ACCOMPANIED BY SUMMER CONDITIONS AND NEAR OR ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES...FINALLY! WE ARE ALSO STAYING IN THE NORTHERN
STREAM AND MAINLY BE AFFECTED BY CANADIAN AIR MASSES, SO HUMIDITY
LEVELS SHOULD REMAIN AT COMFORTABLE LEVELS.

ALTHOUGH THE UPPER AIR PATTERN CONTINUES THE TROUGH IN THE
EAST...ALL THE ENERGY AND PRECIPITATION WILL BE STAYING WELL TO
OUR SOUTH WITH ONLY VERY MINOR TROUGHS TO QUIETLY MOVE THROUGH
EVERY FEW DAYS BUT MOSTLY TO GO UNNOTICED. FORECAST H85
TEMPERATURES ARE MILD AND OTHER THAN SOME AFTERNOON SEABREEZES NO
CONSIDERABLE ONSHORE FLOW EXPECTED, THUS THE ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES.

THE ONLY TROUGH WORTH MENTIONING IS THE ONE FORECAST TO MOVE
THROUGH ON SUNDAY THAT MAY CAUSE SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS BUT WILL
BE QUICKLY FOLLOWED BY MORE HIGH PRESSURE AND DRY SUMMER
CONDITIONS AGAIN EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SHORT TERM...MAINLY VFR THRU FRI NIGHT. ONLY EXCEPTION WILL BE A
PERIOD OF VLY FOG TOWARD DAYBREAK AT KHIE/KLEB.

LONG TERM...POSSIBLE MVFR CEILINGS SUNDAY NIGHT IN SCATTERED SHOWERS
AS A WEAK TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SFC HIGH BUILDS JUST N OF THE WATERS THROUGH FRI
NIGHT...WITH GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS AND SEAS IN THE 1-3 FT RANGE.
EXPECT SOME ENHANCED ONSHORE FLOW IN SEA BREEZE CIRCULATIONS FRI
AFTERNOON ALONG THE SHORE.

LONG TERM...NO FLAGS FOR THE OUTLOOK PERIOD AS GENERALLY HIGH
PRESSURE AND LIGHT WINDS DOMINATE FOR THE OUTLOOK PERIOD.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$



000
FXUS61 KCAR 022218
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
618 PM EDT THU JUL 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY.
ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT INTO
SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
618 PM UPDATE...A MID/UPPER LOW IS EVIDENT EARLY THIS EVENING ON
WATER VAPOR SATELLITE PICTURES NORTH OF THE ST LAWRENCE RIVER IN
QUEBEC. THE LOW WILL MOVE INTO SW LABRADOR OVERNIGHT WITH A TROUGH
EXTENDING SOUTH INTO NORTHERN MAINE. THIS WILL KEEP A FAIR AMOUNT
OF STRATOCU ACROSS FAR NORTHERN MAINE TONIGHT. THERE MAYBE ENOUGH
MOISTURE AND LIFT FOR AN ISOLATED SHOWER LATE TONIGHT TO THE NORTH
OF CARIBOU. A JET STREAK IS SEEN MOVING ACROSS THE GULF OF MAINE
AND WILL CLIP PARTS OF THE DOWNEAST REGION THIS EVENING WITH SOME
CIRRUS AT TIMES...MAINLY THE FIRST HALF OF THE NIGHT. THE ONGOING
FORECAST HAS THIS HANDLED WELL AND ONLY MINOR TWEAKS ARE PLANNED
BASED ON THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND SATELLITE TRENDS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
A 500 MB TROF WILL CROSS THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY.
EXPECT PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN MOST MAINE
AND ESPECIALLY THE ST JOHN VALLEY WHERE THERE COULD EVEN BE AN
ISOLATED SHOWER LATE TONIGHT. ACROSS CENTRAL AND DOWN EAST EXPECT
PARTLY CLOUDY TO MAINLY CLEAR SKIES. LOW TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE
FROM UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS AND LOW TO MID
50S ACROSS CENTRAL AND DOWN EAST AREAS.

THE UPPER TROF WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST EARLY FRIDAY AS SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD IN FROM THE SOUTH AND WEST. EXPECT
PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS AND MOSTLY SUNNY CENTRAL
AND DOWN EAST. HIGHS ON FRIDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE LOW TO MID 70S
NORTH AND MID TO UPPER 70S CENTRAL AND DOWN EAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
EXPECT A BEAUTIFUL DAY FOR THE FOURTH OF JULY, WITH THE THREAT OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INCREASING ON SUNDAY.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT AND BEGIN TO
SHIFT OFFSHORE ON SATURDAY. MEANWHILE, A SLOW-MOVING COLD FRONT WILL
CROSS ONTARIO AND QUEBEC. WE`LL SEE PLENTY OF SUNSHINE ON THE
FOURTH, WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES TOPPING OUT AROUND 80 IN MANY
LOCATIONS, THOUGH A BIT COOLER ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST. DEWPOINTS
WILL RISE THROUGH THE 50S DURING THE DAY, SO IT COULD START TO FEEL
A LITTLE MUGGY TOWARD EVENING. WITH INCREASING MOISTURE AND THE
APPROACHING COLD FRONT, CAN`T TOTALLY RULE OUT A STRAY SHOWER OR TWO
ACROSS THE FAR NORTH DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.
HOWEVER, FEEL ANY SHOWERS WILL BE FEW AND FAR BETWEEN.

THE AFOREMENTIONED COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE STATE FROM NORTHWEST TO
SOUTHEAST ON SUNDAY, BRINGING A ROUND OF PRECIPITATION TO THE
REGION. THE FRONT LOOKS TO MOVE THROUGH AROUND MIDDAY, MEANING
TEMPERATURES WILL BE A FEW DEGREES COOLER IN THE NORTH ON SUNDAY,
WHILE DOWNEAST AREAS WILL LIKELY APPROACH 80 ONCE AGAIN. NOTE THAT
THE LATEST GUIDANCE IS INDICATING WE`LL SEE SOME DECENT INSTABILITY;
SB CAPES ARE PROGGED TO APPROACH 900 J/KG, WITH THE LATEST GFS
INDICATING UP TO 1500 J/KG (LIKELY OVERDONE). AS SUCH, EXPECT
WE`LL SEE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE FRONT.
MOISTURE WILL BE A BIT LACKING, SO PRECIPITATION WILL BE SCATTERED
NATURE.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
IT APPEARS SUMMER WILL FINALLY ARRIVE NEXT WEEK WITH HIGH PRESSURE
ALOFT OVER THE NORTHEAST. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST
WITH HIGHS IN THE 80S AND LOWS IN THE 50S. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT
MINOR DISTURBANCES MAY RIDE OVER THE TOP OF THE RIDGE AXIS AND
BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS TO FAR NORTHERN MAINE
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /22Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR. THERE COULD BE BRIEF MVFR CIGS VCNTY KFVE THROUGH
THE PERIOD.

SHORT TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SUNDAY
AFTERNOON, BRINGING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AND MVFR
CONDITIONS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY. THEN HIGH PRESSURE AND VFR
CONDITIONS WILL RESUME THROUGH TUESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS
THROUGH FRIDAY.

SHORT TERM: HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE WATERS THROUGH
SUNDAY, KEEPING WINDS AND WAVES BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS.
THEREFORE NO HEADLINES ARE ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...CB/DUDA
SHORT TERM...HASTINGS
LONG TERM...OKULSKI
AVIATION...CB/DUDA/HASTINGS
MARINE...CB/DUDA/HASTINGS




000
FXUS61 KCAR 022218
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
618 PM EDT THU JUL 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY.
ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT INTO
SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
618 PM UPDATE...A MID/UPPER LOW IS EVIDENT EARLY THIS EVENING ON
WATER VAPOR SATELLITE PICTURES NORTH OF THE ST LAWRENCE RIVER IN
QUEBEC. THE LOW WILL MOVE INTO SW LABRADOR OVERNIGHT WITH A TROUGH
EXTENDING SOUTH INTO NORTHERN MAINE. THIS WILL KEEP A FAIR AMOUNT
OF STRATOCU ACROSS FAR NORTHERN MAINE TONIGHT. THERE MAYBE ENOUGH
MOISTURE AND LIFT FOR AN ISOLATED SHOWER LATE TONIGHT TO THE NORTH
OF CARIBOU. A JET STREAK IS SEEN MOVING ACROSS THE GULF OF MAINE
AND WILL CLIP PARTS OF THE DOWNEAST REGION THIS EVENING WITH SOME
CIRRUS AT TIMES...MAINLY THE FIRST HALF OF THE NIGHT. THE ONGOING
FORECAST HAS THIS HANDLED WELL AND ONLY MINOR TWEAKS ARE PLANNED
BASED ON THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND SATELLITE TRENDS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
A 500 MB TROF WILL CROSS THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY.
EXPECT PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN MOST MAINE
AND ESPECIALLY THE ST JOHN VALLEY WHERE THERE COULD EVEN BE AN
ISOLATED SHOWER LATE TONIGHT. ACROSS CENTRAL AND DOWN EAST EXPECT
PARTLY CLOUDY TO MAINLY CLEAR SKIES. LOW TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE
FROM UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS AND LOW TO MID
50S ACROSS CENTRAL AND DOWN EAST AREAS.

THE UPPER TROF WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST EARLY FRIDAY AS SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD IN FROM THE SOUTH AND WEST. EXPECT
PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS AND MOSTLY SUNNY CENTRAL
AND DOWN EAST. HIGHS ON FRIDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE LOW TO MID 70S
NORTH AND MID TO UPPER 70S CENTRAL AND DOWN EAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
EXPECT A BEAUTIFUL DAY FOR THE FOURTH OF JULY, WITH THE THREAT OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INCREASING ON SUNDAY.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT AND BEGIN TO
SHIFT OFFSHORE ON SATURDAY. MEANWHILE, A SLOW-MOVING COLD FRONT WILL
CROSS ONTARIO AND QUEBEC. WE`LL SEE PLENTY OF SUNSHINE ON THE
FOURTH, WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES TOPPING OUT AROUND 80 IN MANY
LOCATIONS, THOUGH A BIT COOLER ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST. DEWPOINTS
WILL RISE THROUGH THE 50S DURING THE DAY, SO IT COULD START TO FEEL
A LITTLE MUGGY TOWARD EVENING. WITH INCREASING MOISTURE AND THE
APPROACHING COLD FRONT, CAN`T TOTALLY RULE OUT A STRAY SHOWER OR TWO
ACROSS THE FAR NORTH DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.
HOWEVER, FEEL ANY SHOWERS WILL BE FEW AND FAR BETWEEN.

THE AFOREMENTIONED COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE STATE FROM NORTHWEST TO
SOUTHEAST ON SUNDAY, BRINGING A ROUND OF PRECIPITATION TO THE
REGION. THE FRONT LOOKS TO MOVE THROUGH AROUND MIDDAY, MEANING
TEMPERATURES WILL BE A FEW DEGREES COOLER IN THE NORTH ON SUNDAY,
WHILE DOWNEAST AREAS WILL LIKELY APPROACH 80 ONCE AGAIN. NOTE THAT
THE LATEST GUIDANCE IS INDICATING WE`LL SEE SOME DECENT INSTABILITY;
SB CAPES ARE PROGGED TO APPROACH 900 J/KG, WITH THE LATEST GFS
INDICATING UP TO 1500 J/KG (LIKELY OVERDONE). AS SUCH, EXPECT
WE`LL SEE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE FRONT.
MOISTURE WILL BE A BIT LACKING, SO PRECIPITATION WILL BE SCATTERED
NATURE.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
IT APPEARS SUMMER WILL FINALLY ARRIVE NEXT WEEK WITH HIGH PRESSURE
ALOFT OVER THE NORTHEAST. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST
WITH HIGHS IN THE 80S AND LOWS IN THE 50S. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT
MINOR DISTURBANCES MAY RIDE OVER THE TOP OF THE RIDGE AXIS AND
BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS TO FAR NORTHERN MAINE
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /22Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR. THERE COULD BE BRIEF MVFR CIGS VCNTY KFVE THROUGH
THE PERIOD.

SHORT TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SUNDAY
AFTERNOON, BRINGING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AND MVFR
CONDITIONS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY. THEN HIGH PRESSURE AND VFR
CONDITIONS WILL RESUME THROUGH TUESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS
THROUGH FRIDAY.

SHORT TERM: HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE WATERS THROUGH
SUNDAY, KEEPING WINDS AND WAVES BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS.
THEREFORE NO HEADLINES ARE ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...CB/DUDA
SHORT TERM...HASTINGS
LONG TERM...OKULSKI
AVIATION...CB/DUDA/HASTINGS
MARINE...CB/DUDA/HASTINGS



000
FXUS61 KCAR 021927
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
327 PM EDT THU JUL 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY.
ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT INTO
SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A 500 MB TROF WILL CROSS THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY.
EXPECT PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN MOST MAINE
AND ESPECIALLY THE ST JOHN VALLEY WHERE THERE COULD EVEN BE AN
ISOLATED SHOWER LATE TONIGHT. ACROSS CENTRAL AND DOWN EAST EXPECT
PARTLY CLOUDY TO MAINLY CLEAR SKIES. LOW TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE
FROM UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS AND LOW TO MID
50S ACROSS CENTRAL AND DOWN EAST AREAS.

THE UPPER TROF WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST EARLY FRIDAY AS SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD IN FROM THE SOUTH AND WEST. EXPECT
PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS AND MOSTLY SUNNY CENTRAL
AND DOWN EAST. HIGHS ON FRIDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE LOW TO MID 70S
NORTH AND MID TO UPPER 70S CENTRAL AND DOWN EAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
EXPECT A BEAUTIFUL DAY FOR THE FOURTH OF JULY, WITH THE THREAT OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INCREASING ON SUNDAY.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT AND BEGIN TO
SHIFT OFFSHORE ON SATURDAY. MEANWHILE, A SLOW-MOVING COLD FRONT WILL
CROSS ONTARIO AND QUEBEC. WE`LL SEE PLENTY OF SUNSHINE ON THE
FOURTH, WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES TOPPING OUT AROUND 80 IN MANY
LOCATIONS, THOUGH A BIT COOLER ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST. DEWPOINTS
WILL RISE THROUGH THE 50S DURING THE DAY, SO IT COULD START TO FEEL
A LITTLE MUGGY TOWARD EVENING. WITH INCREASING MOISTURE AND THE
APPROACHING COLD FRONT, CAN`T TOTALLY RULE OUT A STRAY SHOWER OR TWO
ACROSS THE FAR NORTH DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.
HOWEVER, FEEL ANY SHOWERS WILL BE FEW AND FAR BETWEEN.

THE AFOREMENTIONED COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE STATE FROM NORTHWEST TO
SOUTHEAST ON SUNDAY, BRINGING A ROUND OF PRECIPITATION TO THE
REGION. THE FRONT LOOKS TO MOVE THROUGH AROUND MIDDAY, MEANING
TEMPERATURES WILL BE A FEW DEGREES COOLER IN THE NORTH ON SUNDAY,
WHILE DOWNEAST AREAS WILL LIKELY APPROACH 80 ONCE AGAIN. NOTE THAT
THE LATEST GUIDANCE IS INDICATING WE`LL SEE SOME DECENT INSTABILITY;
SB CAPES ARE PROGGED TO APPROACH 900 J/KG, WITH THE LATEST GFS
INDICATING UP TO 1500 J/KG (LIKELY OVERDONE). AS SUCH, EXPECT
WE`LL SEE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE FRONT.
MOISTURE WILL BE A BIT LACKING, SO PRECIPITATION WILL BE SCATTERED
NATURE.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
IT APPEARS SUMMER WILL FINALLY ARRIVE NEXT WEEK WITH HIGH PRESSURE
ALOFT OVER THE NORTHEAST. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST
WITH HIGHS IN THE 80S AND LOWS IN THE 50S. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT
MINOR DISTURBANCES MAY RIDE OVER THE TOP OF THE RIDGE AXIS AND
BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS TO FAR NORTHERN MAINE
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.
&&

.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR. THERE COULD BE BRIEF MVFR CIGS VCNTY KFVE THROUGH
THE PERIOD.

SHORT TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SUNDAY
AFTERNOON, BRINGING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AND MVFR
CONDITIONS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY. THEN HIGH PRESSURE AND VFR
CONDITIONS WILL RESUME THROUGH TUESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS
THROUGH FRIDAY.

SHORT TERM: HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE WATERS THROUGH
SUNDAY, KEEPING WINDS AND WAVES BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS.
THEREFORE NO HEADLINES ARE ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...DUDA
SHORT TERM...HASTINGS
LONG TERM...OKULSKI
AVIATION...DUDA/HASTINGS
MARINE...DUDA/HASTINGS



000
FXUS61 KCAR 021927
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
327 PM EDT THU JUL 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY.
ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT INTO
SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A 500 MB TROF WILL CROSS THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY.
EXPECT PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN MOST MAINE
AND ESPECIALLY THE ST JOHN VALLEY WHERE THERE COULD EVEN BE AN
ISOLATED SHOWER LATE TONIGHT. ACROSS CENTRAL AND DOWN EAST EXPECT
PARTLY CLOUDY TO MAINLY CLEAR SKIES. LOW TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE
FROM UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS AND LOW TO MID
50S ACROSS CENTRAL AND DOWN EAST AREAS.

THE UPPER TROF WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST EARLY FRIDAY AS SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD IN FROM THE SOUTH AND WEST. EXPECT
PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS AND MOSTLY SUNNY CENTRAL
AND DOWN EAST. HIGHS ON FRIDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE LOW TO MID 70S
NORTH AND MID TO UPPER 70S CENTRAL AND DOWN EAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
EXPECT A BEAUTIFUL DAY FOR THE FOURTH OF JULY, WITH THE THREAT OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INCREASING ON SUNDAY.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT AND BEGIN TO
SHIFT OFFSHORE ON SATURDAY. MEANWHILE, A SLOW-MOVING COLD FRONT WILL
CROSS ONTARIO AND QUEBEC. WE`LL SEE PLENTY OF SUNSHINE ON THE
FOURTH, WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES TOPPING OUT AROUND 80 IN MANY
LOCATIONS, THOUGH A BIT COOLER ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST. DEWPOINTS
WILL RISE THROUGH THE 50S DURING THE DAY, SO IT COULD START TO FEEL
A LITTLE MUGGY TOWARD EVENING. WITH INCREASING MOISTURE AND THE
APPROACHING COLD FRONT, CAN`T TOTALLY RULE OUT A STRAY SHOWER OR TWO
ACROSS THE FAR NORTH DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.
HOWEVER, FEEL ANY SHOWERS WILL BE FEW AND FAR BETWEEN.

THE AFOREMENTIONED COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE STATE FROM NORTHWEST TO
SOUTHEAST ON SUNDAY, BRINGING A ROUND OF PRECIPITATION TO THE
REGION. THE FRONT LOOKS TO MOVE THROUGH AROUND MIDDAY, MEANING
TEMPERATURES WILL BE A FEW DEGREES COOLER IN THE NORTH ON SUNDAY,
WHILE DOWNEAST AREAS WILL LIKELY APPROACH 80 ONCE AGAIN. NOTE THAT
THE LATEST GUIDANCE IS INDICATING WE`LL SEE SOME DECENT INSTABILITY;
SB CAPES ARE PROGGED TO APPROACH 900 J/KG, WITH THE LATEST GFS
INDICATING UP TO 1500 J/KG (LIKELY OVERDONE). AS SUCH, EXPECT
WE`LL SEE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE FRONT.
MOISTURE WILL BE A BIT LACKING, SO PRECIPITATION WILL BE SCATTERED
NATURE.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
IT APPEARS SUMMER WILL FINALLY ARRIVE NEXT WEEK WITH HIGH PRESSURE
ALOFT OVER THE NORTHEAST. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST
WITH HIGHS IN THE 80S AND LOWS IN THE 50S. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT
MINOR DISTURBANCES MAY RIDE OVER THE TOP OF THE RIDGE AXIS AND
BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS TO FAR NORTHERN MAINE
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.
&&

.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR. THERE COULD BE BRIEF MVFR CIGS VCNTY KFVE THROUGH
THE PERIOD.

SHORT TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SUNDAY
AFTERNOON, BRINGING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AND MVFR
CONDITIONS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY. THEN HIGH PRESSURE AND VFR
CONDITIONS WILL RESUME THROUGH TUESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS
THROUGH FRIDAY.

SHORT TERM: HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE WATERS THROUGH
SUNDAY, KEEPING WINDS AND WAVES BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS.
THEREFORE NO HEADLINES ARE ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...DUDA
SHORT TERM...HASTINGS
LONG TERM...OKULSKI
AVIATION...DUDA/HASTINGS
MARINE...DUDA/HASTINGS




000
FXUS61 KGYX 021914
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
314 PM EDT THU JUL 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT AND REMAINS IN
PLACE THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...PROVIDING DRY AND MAINLY CLEAR WEATHER
RIGHT THROUGH THE FOURTH OF JULY. A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE
MOVES TO OUR NORTH ON SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS IN THROUGH
MIDWEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
SFC HIGH BUILDS IN SLOWLY FROM THE WEST OVERNIGHT...ALTHOUGH WEAK
500 MB TROUGH SWINGS THRU WHICH WILL KEEP A BIT OF GRADIENT FLOW
GOING ABV THE BOUNDARY LYR...AND PERHAPS MOVE SOME SCT CIRRUS
THRU OVERNIGHT. THE SHELTERED SPOTS SHOULD DECOUPLE...AND SOME
VLY FOG IS EXPECTED...ALTHOUGH WITH SOME FLOW AT THE TOP OF THE
PBL...WILL BE MORE PATCHY. IT WILL BE CHILLY WITH MINS RANGING
FROM THE MID TO UPPER 50S ON THE COAST...TO THE MID 40S IN THE N.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
WILL SEE THE 500 MB RIDGING BEGIN TO SHIFT IN ON FRIDAY AND THIS
WILL ALLOW SFC RIDGE TO BUILD AND WEAKEN GRADIENT FLOW
SIGNIFICANTLY. INLAND TEMPS SHOULD BE SIMILAR TO THU...MAY A TOUCH
WARMER. ON THE COAST WILL SEE A LIGHT SEA BREEZE DEVELOP...WHICH
WILL KEEP MAXES MAYBE A DEGREE OR TWO COOLER THAN THU....INLAND
HIGHS RANGE FROM THE LOW TO MID 70S IN THE MTNS...TO AROUND 80 IN
INTERIOR SRN NH AND SW ME.

FRIDAY NIGHT LOOKS COOL AND CLEAR...AND JUST A TOUCH WARMER THAN
TONIGHT...WITH LOWS AGAIN RANGING FROM THE MID TO UPPER 40S
N...TO THE MID TO UPPER 50S ON THE COAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A RATHER TRANQUIL PATTERN SETTING UP FOR THE OUTLOOK PERIOD
ACCOMPANIED BY SUMMER CONDITIONS AND NEAR OR ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES...FINALLY! WE ARE ALSO STAYING IN THE NORTHERN
STREAM AND MAINLY BE AFFECTED BY CANADIAN AIR MASSES, SO HUMIDITY
LEVELS SHOULD REMAIN AT COMFORTABLE LEVELS.

ALTHOUGH THE UPPER AIR PATTERN CONTINUES THE TROUGH IN THE
EAST...ALL THE ENERGY AND PRECIPITATION WILL BE STAYING WELL TO
OUR SOUTH WITH ONLY VERY MINOR TROUGHS TO QUIETLY MOVE THROUGH
EVERY FEW DAYS BUT MOSTLY TO GO UNNOTICED. FORECAST H85
TEMPERATURES ARE MILD AND OTHER THAN SOME AFTERNOON SEABREEZES NO
CONSIDERABLE ONSHORE FLOW EXPECTED, THUS THE ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES.

THE ONLY TROUGH WORTH MENTIONING IS THE ONE FORECAST TO MOVE
THROUGH ON SUNDAY THAT MAY CAUSE SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS BUT WILL
BE QUICKLY FOLLOWED BY MORE HIGH PRESSURE AND DRY SUMMER
CONDITIONS AGAIN EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SHORT TERM...MAINLY VFR THRU FRI NIGHT. ONLY EXCEPTION WILL BE A
PERIOD OF VLY FOG TOWARD DAYBREAK AT KHIE/KLEB.

LONG TERM...POSSIBLE MVFR CEILINGS SUNDAY NIGHT IN SCATTERED SHOWERS
AS A WEAK TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SFC HIGH BUILDS JUST N OF THE WATERS THROUGH FRI
NIGHT...WITH GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS AND SEAS IN THE 1-3 FT RANGE.
EXPECT SOME ENHANCED ONSHORE FLOW IN SEA BREEZE CIRCULATIONS FRI
AFTERNOON ALONG THE SHORE.

LONG TERM...NO FLAGS FOR THE OUTLOOK PERIOD AS GENERALLY HIGH
PRESSURE AND LIGHT WINDS DOMINATE FOR THE OUTLOOK PERIOD.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...CEMPA
SHORT TERM...CEMPA
LONG TERM...MARINE





000
FXUS61 KGYX 021914
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
314 PM EDT THU JUL 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT AND REMAINS IN
PLACE THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...PROVIDING DRY AND MAINLY CLEAR WEATHER
RIGHT THROUGH THE FOURTH OF JULY. A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE
MOVES TO OUR NORTH ON SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS IN THROUGH
MIDWEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
SFC HIGH BUILDS IN SLOWLY FROM THE WEST OVERNIGHT...ALTHOUGH WEAK
500 MB TROUGH SWINGS THRU WHICH WILL KEEP A BIT OF GRADIENT FLOW
GOING ABV THE BOUNDARY LYR...AND PERHAPS MOVE SOME SCT CIRRUS
THRU OVERNIGHT. THE SHELTERED SPOTS SHOULD DECOUPLE...AND SOME
VLY FOG IS EXPECTED...ALTHOUGH WITH SOME FLOW AT THE TOP OF THE
PBL...WILL BE MORE PATCHY. IT WILL BE CHILLY WITH MINS RANGING
FROM THE MID TO UPPER 50S ON THE COAST...TO THE MID 40S IN THE N.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
WILL SEE THE 500 MB RIDGING BEGIN TO SHIFT IN ON FRIDAY AND THIS
WILL ALLOW SFC RIDGE TO BUILD AND WEAKEN GRADIENT FLOW
SIGNIFICANTLY. INLAND TEMPS SHOULD BE SIMILAR TO THU...MAY A TOUCH
WARMER. ON THE COAST WILL SEE A LIGHT SEA BREEZE DEVELOP...WHICH
WILL KEEP MAXES MAYBE A DEGREE OR TWO COOLER THAN THU....INLAND
HIGHS RANGE FROM THE LOW TO MID 70S IN THE MTNS...TO AROUND 80 IN
INTERIOR SRN NH AND SW ME.

FRIDAY NIGHT LOOKS COOL AND CLEAR...AND JUST A TOUCH WARMER THAN
TONIGHT...WITH LOWS AGAIN RANGING FROM THE MID TO UPPER 40S
N...TO THE MID TO UPPER 50S ON THE COAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A RATHER TRANQUIL PATTERN SETTING UP FOR THE OUTLOOK PERIOD
ACCOMPANIED BY SUMMER CONDITIONS AND NEAR OR ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES...FINALLY! WE ARE ALSO STAYING IN THE NORTHERN
STREAM AND MAINLY BE AFFECTED BY CANADIAN AIR MASSES, SO HUMIDITY
LEVELS SHOULD REMAIN AT COMFORTABLE LEVELS.

ALTHOUGH THE UPPER AIR PATTERN CONTINUES THE TROUGH IN THE
EAST...ALL THE ENERGY AND PRECIPITATION WILL BE STAYING WELL TO
OUR SOUTH WITH ONLY VERY MINOR TROUGHS TO QUIETLY MOVE THROUGH
EVERY FEW DAYS BUT MOSTLY TO GO UNNOTICED. FORECAST H85
TEMPERATURES ARE MILD AND OTHER THAN SOME AFTERNOON SEABREEZES NO
CONSIDERABLE ONSHORE FLOW EXPECTED, THUS THE ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES.

THE ONLY TROUGH WORTH MENTIONING IS THE ONE FORECAST TO MOVE
THROUGH ON SUNDAY THAT MAY CAUSE SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS BUT WILL
BE QUICKLY FOLLOWED BY MORE HIGH PRESSURE AND DRY SUMMER
CONDITIONS AGAIN EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SHORT TERM...MAINLY VFR THRU FRI NIGHT. ONLY EXCEPTION WILL BE A
PERIOD OF VLY FOG TOWARD DAYBREAK AT KHIE/KLEB.

LONG TERM...POSSIBLE MVFR CEILINGS SUNDAY NIGHT IN SCATTERED SHOWERS
AS A WEAK TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SFC HIGH BUILDS JUST N OF THE WATERS THROUGH FRI
NIGHT...WITH GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS AND SEAS IN THE 1-3 FT RANGE.
EXPECT SOME ENHANCED ONSHORE FLOW IN SEA BREEZE CIRCULATIONS FRI
AFTERNOON ALONG THE SHORE.

LONG TERM...NO FLAGS FOR THE OUTLOOK PERIOD AS GENERALLY HIGH
PRESSURE AND LIGHT WINDS DOMINATE FOR THE OUTLOOK PERIOD.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...CEMPA
SHORT TERM...CEMPA
LONG TERM...MARINE





000
FXUS61 KGYX 021914
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
314 PM EDT THU JUL 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT AND REMAINS IN
PLACE THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...PROVIDING DRY AND MAINLY CLEAR WEATHER
RIGHT THROUGH THE FOURTH OF JULY. A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE
MOVES TO OUR NORTH ON SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS IN THROUGH
MIDWEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
SFC HIGH BUILDS IN SLOWLY FROM THE WEST OVERNIGHT...ALTHOUGH WEAK
500 MB TROUGH SWINGS THRU WHICH WILL KEEP A BIT OF GRADIENT FLOW
GOING ABV THE BOUNDARY LYR...AND PERHAPS MOVE SOME SCT CIRRUS
THRU OVERNIGHT. THE SHELTERED SPOTS SHOULD DECOUPLE...AND SOME
VLY FOG IS EXPECTED...ALTHOUGH WITH SOME FLOW AT THE TOP OF THE
PBL...WILL BE MORE PATCHY. IT WILL BE CHILLY WITH MINS RANGING
FROM THE MID TO UPPER 50S ON THE COAST...TO THE MID 40S IN THE N.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
WILL SEE THE 500 MB RIDGING BEGIN TO SHIFT IN ON FRIDAY AND THIS
WILL ALLOW SFC RIDGE TO BUILD AND WEAKEN GRADIENT FLOW
SIGNIFICANTLY. INLAND TEMPS SHOULD BE SIMILAR TO THU...MAY A TOUCH
WARMER. ON THE COAST WILL SEE A LIGHT SEA BREEZE DEVELOP...WHICH
WILL KEEP MAXES MAYBE A DEGREE OR TWO COOLER THAN THU....INLAND
HIGHS RANGE FROM THE LOW TO MID 70S IN THE MTNS...TO AROUND 80 IN
INTERIOR SRN NH AND SW ME.

FRIDAY NIGHT LOOKS COOL AND CLEAR...AND JUST A TOUCH WARMER THAN
TONIGHT...WITH LOWS AGAIN RANGING FROM THE MID TO UPPER 40S
N...TO THE MID TO UPPER 50S ON THE COAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A RATHER TRANQUIL PATTERN SETTING UP FOR THE OUTLOOK PERIOD
ACCOMPANIED BY SUMMER CONDITIONS AND NEAR OR ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES...FINALLY! WE ARE ALSO STAYING IN THE NORTHERN
STREAM AND MAINLY BE AFFECTED BY CANADIAN AIR MASSES, SO HUMIDITY
LEVELS SHOULD REMAIN AT COMFORTABLE LEVELS.

ALTHOUGH THE UPPER AIR PATTERN CONTINUES THE TROUGH IN THE
EAST...ALL THE ENERGY AND PRECIPITATION WILL BE STAYING WELL TO
OUR SOUTH WITH ONLY VERY MINOR TROUGHS TO QUIETLY MOVE THROUGH
EVERY FEW DAYS BUT MOSTLY TO GO UNNOTICED. FORECAST H85
TEMPERATURES ARE MILD AND OTHER THAN SOME AFTERNOON SEABREEZES NO
CONSIDERABLE ONSHORE FLOW EXPECTED, THUS THE ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES.

THE ONLY TROUGH WORTH MENTIONING IS THE ONE FORECAST TO MOVE
THROUGH ON SUNDAY THAT MAY CAUSE SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS BUT WILL
BE QUICKLY FOLLOWED BY MORE HIGH PRESSURE AND DRY SUMMER
CONDITIONS AGAIN EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SHORT TERM...MAINLY VFR THRU FRI NIGHT. ONLY EXCEPTION WILL BE A
PERIOD OF VLY FOG TOWARD DAYBREAK AT KHIE/KLEB.

LONG TERM...POSSIBLE MVFR CEILINGS SUNDAY NIGHT IN SCATTERED SHOWERS
AS A WEAK TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SFC HIGH BUILDS JUST N OF THE WATERS THROUGH FRI
NIGHT...WITH GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS AND SEAS IN THE 1-3 FT RANGE.
EXPECT SOME ENHANCED ONSHORE FLOW IN SEA BREEZE CIRCULATIONS FRI
AFTERNOON ALONG THE SHORE.

LONG TERM...NO FLAGS FOR THE OUTLOOK PERIOD AS GENERALLY HIGH
PRESSURE AND LIGHT WINDS DOMINATE FOR THE OUTLOOK PERIOD.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...CEMPA
SHORT TERM...CEMPA
LONG TERM...MARINE





000
FXUS61 KGYX 021914
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
314 PM EDT THU JUL 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT AND REMAINS IN
PLACE THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...PROVIDING DRY AND MAINLY CLEAR WEATHER
RIGHT THROUGH THE FOURTH OF JULY. A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE
MOVES TO OUR NORTH ON SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS IN THROUGH
MIDWEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
SFC HIGH BUILDS IN SLOWLY FROM THE WEST OVERNIGHT...ALTHOUGH WEAK
500 MB TROUGH SWINGS THRU WHICH WILL KEEP A BIT OF GRADIENT FLOW
GOING ABV THE BOUNDARY LYR...AND PERHAPS MOVE SOME SCT CIRRUS
THRU OVERNIGHT. THE SHELTERED SPOTS SHOULD DECOUPLE...AND SOME
VLY FOG IS EXPECTED...ALTHOUGH WITH SOME FLOW AT THE TOP OF THE
PBL...WILL BE MORE PATCHY. IT WILL BE CHILLY WITH MINS RANGING
FROM THE MID TO UPPER 50S ON THE COAST...TO THE MID 40S IN THE N.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
WILL SEE THE 500 MB RIDGING BEGIN TO SHIFT IN ON FRIDAY AND THIS
WILL ALLOW SFC RIDGE TO BUILD AND WEAKEN GRADIENT FLOW
SIGNIFICANTLY. INLAND TEMPS SHOULD BE SIMILAR TO THU...MAY A TOUCH
WARMER. ON THE COAST WILL SEE A LIGHT SEA BREEZE DEVELOP...WHICH
WILL KEEP MAXES MAYBE A DEGREE OR TWO COOLER THAN THU....INLAND
HIGHS RANGE FROM THE LOW TO MID 70S IN THE MTNS...TO AROUND 80 IN
INTERIOR SRN NH AND SW ME.

FRIDAY NIGHT LOOKS COOL AND CLEAR...AND JUST A TOUCH WARMER THAN
TONIGHT...WITH LOWS AGAIN RANGING FROM THE MID TO UPPER 40S
N...TO THE MID TO UPPER 50S ON THE COAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A RATHER TRANQUIL PATTERN SETTING UP FOR THE OUTLOOK PERIOD
ACCOMPANIED BY SUMMER CONDITIONS AND NEAR OR ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES...FINALLY! WE ARE ALSO STAYING IN THE NORTHERN
STREAM AND MAINLY BE AFFECTED BY CANADIAN AIR MASSES, SO HUMIDITY
LEVELS SHOULD REMAIN AT COMFORTABLE LEVELS.

ALTHOUGH THE UPPER AIR PATTERN CONTINUES THE TROUGH IN THE
EAST...ALL THE ENERGY AND PRECIPITATION WILL BE STAYING WELL TO
OUR SOUTH WITH ONLY VERY MINOR TROUGHS TO QUIETLY MOVE THROUGH
EVERY FEW DAYS BUT MOSTLY TO GO UNNOTICED. FORECAST H85
TEMPERATURES ARE MILD AND OTHER THAN SOME AFTERNOON SEABREEZES NO
CONSIDERABLE ONSHORE FLOW EXPECTED, THUS THE ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES.

THE ONLY TROUGH WORTH MENTIONING IS THE ONE FORECAST TO MOVE
THROUGH ON SUNDAY THAT MAY CAUSE SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS BUT WILL
BE QUICKLY FOLLOWED BY MORE HIGH PRESSURE AND DRY SUMMER
CONDITIONS AGAIN EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SHORT TERM...MAINLY VFR THRU FRI NIGHT. ONLY EXCEPTION WILL BE A
PERIOD OF VLY FOG TOWARD DAYBREAK AT KHIE/KLEB.

LONG TERM...POSSIBLE MVFR CEILINGS SUNDAY NIGHT IN SCATTERED SHOWERS
AS A WEAK TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SFC HIGH BUILDS JUST N OF THE WATERS THROUGH FRI
NIGHT...WITH GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS AND SEAS IN THE 1-3 FT RANGE.
EXPECT SOME ENHANCED ONSHORE FLOW IN SEA BREEZE CIRCULATIONS FRI
AFTERNOON ALONG THE SHORE.

LONG TERM...NO FLAGS FOR THE OUTLOOK PERIOD AS GENERALLY HIGH
PRESSURE AND LIGHT WINDS DOMINATE FOR THE OUTLOOK PERIOD.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...CEMPA
SHORT TERM...CEMPA
LONG TERM...MARINE





000
FXUS61 KCAR 021646
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1246 PM EDT THU JUL 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY CROSS THE REGION TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY. ANOTHER
COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPDATE...
HAVE LOWERED MAX TEMPS A FEW DEGREES WITH CLOUDS PERSISTING ACROSS
THE NORTH OTHERWISE NO OTHER CHANGES.


PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK NORTHWEST OF MAINE TODAY...SLOWLY DRAWING
A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. AT THE SAME TIME...AN UPPER
LEVEL TROF WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST. EXPECT PARTLY SUNNY/MOSTLY
CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF AN ISOLATED SHOWER
ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS THIS MORNING...WITH GENERALLY PARTLY SUNNY
SKIES THIS AFTERNOON. AFTER THE FOG DISSIPATES...EXPECT
PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES DOWNEAST. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD EAST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT WHILE THE UPPER TROF
CROSSES THE REGION. MOISTURE WITH THE UPPER TROF WILL SUPPORT
PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS TONIGHT...WITH MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES DOWNEAST. HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL RANGE FROM
AROUND 70 TO THE LOWER 70S NORTH...TO THE UPPER 70S INTERIOR
DOWNEAST WITH LOWER TO MID 70S ALONG THE DOWNEAST COAST. LOW
TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 40S TO AROUND 50
NORTH...TO AROUND 50 TO THE LOWER 50S DOWNEAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
DRY AND WARM FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. A WEAK UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL
GRAZE NORTHERN MAINE ON FRIDAY, BRINGING PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES IN
THE NORTH. MOSTLY SUNNY ELSEWHERE FRIDAY, WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TO
UPPER 70S AND COMFORTABLY LOW DEWPOINTS.

AS WE HEAD INTO LATE SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT, AN UPPER TROUGH
BEGINS TO APPROACH FROM THE WEST, BUT LOOKS LIKE ITS TIMING WILL
HOLD OFF THE BETTER CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS UNTIL SUNDAY.
STILL, PUT IN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE IN THE DAY AND INTO
SATURDAY NIGHT IN THE FAR NORTH IN CASE ITS TIMING SPEEDS UP A
BIT. SATURDAY THE 4TH LOOKS QUITE WARM WITH HIGHS AROUND 80. A
TOUCH MUGGIER THAN FRIDAY, BUT STILL PRETTY COMFORTABLE. DRY
SATURDAY EXCEPT FOR A SMALL CHANCE OF A SHOWER FAR NORTH/NORTHWEST
LATE IN THE DAY AND INTO THE EVENING, WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
SUNDAY LOOKING LIKE THE INFERIOR DAY OF THE TWO THIS WEEKEND.
HOWEVER, THERE WILL STILL BE A FAIR AMOUNT OF SUNSHINE (PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES) AND WARM TEMPERATURES (HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOW
80S). THE CATCH IS, A COLD FRONT WILL BE MOVING THROUGH FROM
NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST. NOT MUCH MOISTURE TO WORK WITH, BUT
INSTABILITY APPEARS SUFFICIENT TO IGNITE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE AFTERNOON. THERE ARE SOME MODEL DISAGREEMENTS IN HOW DEEP
THE UPPER TROUGH IS AND EXACTLY WHERE THE COLD FRONT SETS UP,
WHICH WILL DETERMINE THE STRENGTH OF THE STORMS AND WHAT PART OF
THE FORECAST AREA THEY FORM.

FRONT APPEARS TO MOVE JUST FAR ENOUGH EAST TO WHERE MONDAY WILL BE
DRY. TUESDAY LIKELY DRY AS WELL. WARM MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH
HIGHS AROUND 80 AND SOME PLACES POSSIBLY WARMER. SOUTHERLY FLOW
BEGINS TO INCREASE TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AS WE GET INTO A
JUICIER AIRMASS, WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS RETURNING
WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VARIABLE CONDITIONS...RANGING FROM VFR TO LIFR...WILL
OCCUR ACROSS THE REGION EARLY THIS MORNING. THE LOWEST
VISIBILITIES WILL OCCUR ACROSS DOWNEAST AREAS WITH FOG...THOUGH
CONDITIONS ARE NOW IMPROVING...WITH RESTRICTIONS ACROSS NORTHERN
AREAS MOSTLY DUE TO CEILINGS. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE TO VFR
LEVELS ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE MORNING HOURS. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE ENTIRE
REGION TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: VFR FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. POSSIBLE MVFR IN
SCATTERED SHOWERS/STORMS SUNDAY, BUT PREDOMINATE VFR SUNDAY. VFR
MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY LEVELS TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT. VISIBILITIES WILL BE
REDUCED IN FOG THIS MORNING.

SHORT TERM: CONDITIONS REMAINING BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS FRIDAY
THROUGH MONDAY.

&&

.CLIMATE...
THE FIRST HALF OF THE YEAR ENDED AS THE COLDEST ON RECORD AT
BANGOR AND TIED FOR THE 7TH COLDEST AT CARIBOU. JUNE WAS A COOL
MONTH AND RANKED AS THE 5TH COOLEST ON RECORD AT BANGOR AND 12TH
COOLEST AT CARIBOU.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...DUDA/NORCROSS
SHORT TERM...FOISY
LONG TERM...FOISY
AVIATION...DUDA/NORCROSS/FOISY
MARINE...DUDA/NORCROSS/FOISY
CLIMATE...




000
FXUS61 KCAR 021646
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1246 PM EDT THU JUL 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY CROSS THE REGION TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY. ANOTHER
COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPDATE...
HAVE LOWERED MAX TEMPS A FEW DEGREES WITH CLOUDS PERSISTING ACROSS
THE NORTH OTHERWISE NO OTHER CHANGES.


PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK NORTHWEST OF MAINE TODAY...SLOWLY DRAWING
A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. AT THE SAME TIME...AN UPPER
LEVEL TROF WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST. EXPECT PARTLY SUNNY/MOSTLY
CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF AN ISOLATED SHOWER
ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS THIS MORNING...WITH GENERALLY PARTLY SUNNY
SKIES THIS AFTERNOON. AFTER THE FOG DISSIPATES...EXPECT
PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES DOWNEAST. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD EAST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT WHILE THE UPPER TROF
CROSSES THE REGION. MOISTURE WITH THE UPPER TROF WILL SUPPORT
PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS TONIGHT...WITH MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES DOWNEAST. HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL RANGE FROM
AROUND 70 TO THE LOWER 70S NORTH...TO THE UPPER 70S INTERIOR
DOWNEAST WITH LOWER TO MID 70S ALONG THE DOWNEAST COAST. LOW
TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 40S TO AROUND 50
NORTH...TO AROUND 50 TO THE LOWER 50S DOWNEAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
DRY AND WARM FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. A WEAK UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL
GRAZE NORTHERN MAINE ON FRIDAY, BRINGING PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES IN
THE NORTH. MOSTLY SUNNY ELSEWHERE FRIDAY, WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TO
UPPER 70S AND COMFORTABLY LOW DEWPOINTS.

AS WE HEAD INTO LATE SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT, AN UPPER TROUGH
BEGINS TO APPROACH FROM THE WEST, BUT LOOKS LIKE ITS TIMING WILL
HOLD OFF THE BETTER CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS UNTIL SUNDAY.
STILL, PUT IN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE IN THE DAY AND INTO
SATURDAY NIGHT IN THE FAR NORTH IN CASE ITS TIMING SPEEDS UP A
BIT. SATURDAY THE 4TH LOOKS QUITE WARM WITH HIGHS AROUND 80. A
TOUCH MUGGIER THAN FRIDAY, BUT STILL PRETTY COMFORTABLE. DRY
SATURDAY EXCEPT FOR A SMALL CHANCE OF A SHOWER FAR NORTH/NORTHWEST
LATE IN THE DAY AND INTO THE EVENING, WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
SUNDAY LOOKING LIKE THE INFERIOR DAY OF THE TWO THIS WEEKEND.
HOWEVER, THERE WILL STILL BE A FAIR AMOUNT OF SUNSHINE (PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES) AND WARM TEMPERATURES (HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOW
80S). THE CATCH IS, A COLD FRONT WILL BE MOVING THROUGH FROM
NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST. NOT MUCH MOISTURE TO WORK WITH, BUT
INSTABILITY APPEARS SUFFICIENT TO IGNITE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE AFTERNOON. THERE ARE SOME MODEL DISAGREEMENTS IN HOW DEEP
THE UPPER TROUGH IS AND EXACTLY WHERE THE COLD FRONT SETS UP,
WHICH WILL DETERMINE THE STRENGTH OF THE STORMS AND WHAT PART OF
THE FORECAST AREA THEY FORM.

FRONT APPEARS TO MOVE JUST FAR ENOUGH EAST TO WHERE MONDAY WILL BE
DRY. TUESDAY LIKELY DRY AS WELL. WARM MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH
HIGHS AROUND 80 AND SOME PLACES POSSIBLY WARMER. SOUTHERLY FLOW
BEGINS TO INCREASE TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AS WE GET INTO A
JUICIER AIRMASS, WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS RETURNING
WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VARIABLE CONDITIONS...RANGING FROM VFR TO LIFR...WILL
OCCUR ACROSS THE REGION EARLY THIS MORNING. THE LOWEST
VISIBILITIES WILL OCCUR ACROSS DOWNEAST AREAS WITH FOG...THOUGH
CONDITIONS ARE NOW IMPROVING...WITH RESTRICTIONS ACROSS NORTHERN
AREAS MOSTLY DUE TO CEILINGS. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE TO VFR
LEVELS ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE MORNING HOURS. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE ENTIRE
REGION TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: VFR FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. POSSIBLE MVFR IN
SCATTERED SHOWERS/STORMS SUNDAY, BUT PREDOMINATE VFR SUNDAY. VFR
MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY LEVELS TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT. VISIBILITIES WILL BE
REDUCED IN FOG THIS MORNING.

SHORT TERM: CONDITIONS REMAINING BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS FRIDAY
THROUGH MONDAY.

&&

.CLIMATE...
THE FIRST HALF OF THE YEAR ENDED AS THE COLDEST ON RECORD AT
BANGOR AND TIED FOR THE 7TH COLDEST AT CARIBOU. JUNE WAS A COOL
MONTH AND RANKED AS THE 5TH COOLEST ON RECORD AT BANGOR AND 12TH
COOLEST AT CARIBOU.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...DUDA/NORCROSS
SHORT TERM...FOISY
LONG TERM...FOISY
AVIATION...DUDA/NORCROSS/FOISY
MARINE...DUDA/NORCROSS/FOISY
CLIMATE...



000
FXUS61 KGYX 021542
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
1142 AM EDT THU JUL 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN TODAY AND REMAINS IN PLACE THROUGH LATE
SATURDAY NIGHT...PROVIDING DRY AND MAINLY SUNNY WEATHER RIGHT
THROUGH THE FOURTH OF JULY. A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES
TO OUR NORTH ON SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS IN THROUGH
MIDWEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
1140 AM...JUST A QUICK UPDATE TO BRING T/TD/SKY/WIND INTO LINE
WITH CURRENT OBS...ALTHOUGH OVERALL FORECAST STILL HOLDS FOR A
MAINLY SUNNY AND SEASONABLY MILD AFTERNOON.

7AM UPDATE...
HIGH THIN CIRRUS CLOUDS HAVE BEGUN MOVING INTO THE AREA. WHILE
THESE ARE NOT VERY OPAQUE AND THE SUN IS SHINING BRIGHTLY THROUGH
THEM... IT IS ENOUGH TO UPDATE THE SKY COVER IN THE FORECAST TO
INDICATE A BIT MORE CLOUDS THIS MORNING. OTHERWISE NO SIGNIFICANT
CHANGES WERE MADE.

ORIGINAL DISCUSSION...
AS LOW PRESSURE DEPARTS... HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE
WEST TODAY. IT SHOULD BE A MOSTLY SUNNY DAY... ALTHOUGH SOME
AFTERNOON CUMULUS ARE POSSIBLE. TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE 70S TO
NEAR 80 DEGREES IN SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE. LIGHT SOUTHWEST WINDS
WILL ALLOW A SEABREEZE TO APPROACH THE COAST AND PROVIDE THE MOST
IMPACT TO THE MIDCOAST REGION OF MAINE.

ALTHOUGH RIP CURRENTS HAVE BEEN NOTED THE PAST FEW DAYS AT SOME
AREA BEACHES... FORECAST CONDITIONS TODAY DO NOT APPEAR TO FAVOR
AN ENHANCED CHANCE OF RIP CURRENTS. WINDS OVER THE WATER TODAY
WILL BE VERY LIGHT OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST (INSTEAD OF ONSHORE) WITH
WAVE HEIGHTS DECREASING.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
CLEAR AND CALM CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER THE WESTERN PART OF THE
FORECAST AREA TONIGHT... CLOSER TO THE CENTER OF HIGH PRESSURE.
THIS WILL ALLOW GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS. DRY AIR IN
PLACE WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO FALL INTO THE 40S. COASTAL MAINE
AND THE SOUTHEAST HALF OF NEW HAMPSHIRE WILL BOTTOM OUT IN THE LOW
TO MID 50S.

SHOULD BE A DEGREE OR TWO WARMER ON FRIDAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE
STILL IN CONTROL. A SEABREEZE IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST LATER IN
THE DAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE NEXT TWO TO SEVEN DAYS LOOK MOSTLY PRECIPITATION FREE WITH
TEMPERATURES RIGHT AROUND OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL. ON SATURDAY
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS CENTERED OFFSHORE BUT INFLUENCES THE
WEATHER OVER NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND BY SUPPLYING SUNNY SKIES AND A
SEA BREEZE IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY COOLER
ALONG THE COAST DUE TO THIS FEATURE.

BY THAT NIGHT A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL HAVE ENTERED THE
NORTHERN COUNTIES AS LOW PRESSURE TRAVELS THROUGH EASTERN CANADA.
THE TROUGH SHARPENS ON SUNDAY AND SOME RAIN SHOWERS MAY DEVELOP
ESPECIALLY IN THE HEAT OF THE AFTERNOON. STILL THE SHOWERS WILL
HAVE MINIMAL IMPACT ON AS FAR AS RAINFALL AMOUNTS GO AND SHOULD
EXIT THE AREA BY THE EVENING.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST MONDAY AND REMAINS OVERHEAD
TUESDAY BRINGING SUNNY SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS. WE WILL SEE
TEMPERATURES IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S AREA WIDE. WEAK TROUGHING
STEERS ANOTHER BOUNDARY OUR WAY IN THE THURSDAY TIME FRAME... BUT
IT REMAINS TO BE SEEN WHETHER THIS FEATURE WILL WASH OUT BEFORE IT
REACHES US.

&&

.AVIATION /16Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...HIGH PRESSURE BRINGS A CLEAR SKY AND LIGHT WINDS FOR
THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

LONG TERM...POSSIBLE MVFR CEILINGS SATURDAY NIGHT UNTIL SUNDAY
NIGHT IN RAIN SHOWERS AS A FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS EAST INTO NEW ENGLAND AND THE
GULF OF MAINE BRINGING LIGHT WINDS AND DECREASING WAVE HEIGHTS.

LONG TERM...NO PROBLEMS NOTED ON THE WATERS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
CONTROL THE WATERS FOR MOST OF THE NEXT 7 DAYS. OVER THE WEEKEND A
FRONT WILL CROSS THE WATERS BUT WINDS AND WAVES WILL STAY BELOW
SCA CRITERIA.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...CEMPA
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...
MARINE...



000
FXUS61 KGYX 021542
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
1142 AM EDT THU JUL 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN TODAY AND REMAINS IN PLACE THROUGH LATE
SATURDAY NIGHT...PROVIDING DRY AND MAINLY SUNNY WEATHER RIGHT
THROUGH THE FOURTH OF JULY. A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES
TO OUR NORTH ON SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS IN THROUGH
MIDWEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
1140 AM...JUST A QUICK UPDATE TO BRING T/TD/SKY/WIND INTO LINE
WITH CURRENT OBS...ALTHOUGH OVERALL FORECAST STILL HOLDS FOR A
MAINLY SUNNY AND SEASONABLY MILD AFTERNOON.

7AM UPDATE...
HIGH THIN CIRRUS CLOUDS HAVE BEGUN MOVING INTO THE AREA. WHILE
THESE ARE NOT VERY OPAQUE AND THE SUN IS SHINING BRIGHTLY THROUGH
THEM... IT IS ENOUGH TO UPDATE THE SKY COVER IN THE FORECAST TO
INDICATE A BIT MORE CLOUDS THIS MORNING. OTHERWISE NO SIGNIFICANT
CHANGES WERE MADE.

ORIGINAL DISCUSSION...
AS LOW PRESSURE DEPARTS... HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE
WEST TODAY. IT SHOULD BE A MOSTLY SUNNY DAY... ALTHOUGH SOME
AFTERNOON CUMULUS ARE POSSIBLE. TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE 70S TO
NEAR 80 DEGREES IN SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE. LIGHT SOUTHWEST WINDS
WILL ALLOW A SEABREEZE TO APPROACH THE COAST AND PROVIDE THE MOST
IMPACT TO THE MIDCOAST REGION OF MAINE.

ALTHOUGH RIP CURRENTS HAVE BEEN NOTED THE PAST FEW DAYS AT SOME
AREA BEACHES... FORECAST CONDITIONS TODAY DO NOT APPEAR TO FAVOR
AN ENHANCED CHANCE OF RIP CURRENTS. WINDS OVER THE WATER TODAY
WILL BE VERY LIGHT OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST (INSTEAD OF ONSHORE) WITH
WAVE HEIGHTS DECREASING.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
CLEAR AND CALM CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER THE WESTERN PART OF THE
FORECAST AREA TONIGHT... CLOSER TO THE CENTER OF HIGH PRESSURE.
THIS WILL ALLOW GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS. DRY AIR IN
PLACE WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO FALL INTO THE 40S. COASTAL MAINE
AND THE SOUTHEAST HALF OF NEW HAMPSHIRE WILL BOTTOM OUT IN THE LOW
TO MID 50S.

SHOULD BE A DEGREE OR TWO WARMER ON FRIDAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE
STILL IN CONTROL. A SEABREEZE IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST LATER IN
THE DAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE NEXT TWO TO SEVEN DAYS LOOK MOSTLY PRECIPITATION FREE WITH
TEMPERATURES RIGHT AROUND OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL. ON SATURDAY
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS CENTERED OFFSHORE BUT INFLUENCES THE
WEATHER OVER NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND BY SUPPLYING SUNNY SKIES AND A
SEA BREEZE IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY COOLER
ALONG THE COAST DUE TO THIS FEATURE.

BY THAT NIGHT A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL HAVE ENTERED THE
NORTHERN COUNTIES AS LOW PRESSURE TRAVELS THROUGH EASTERN CANADA.
THE TROUGH SHARPENS ON SUNDAY AND SOME RAIN SHOWERS MAY DEVELOP
ESPECIALLY IN THE HEAT OF THE AFTERNOON. STILL THE SHOWERS WILL
HAVE MINIMAL IMPACT ON AS FAR AS RAINFALL AMOUNTS GO AND SHOULD
EXIT THE AREA BY THE EVENING.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST MONDAY AND REMAINS OVERHEAD
TUESDAY BRINGING SUNNY SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS. WE WILL SEE
TEMPERATURES IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S AREA WIDE. WEAK TROUGHING
STEERS ANOTHER BOUNDARY OUR WAY IN THE THURSDAY TIME FRAME... BUT
IT REMAINS TO BE SEEN WHETHER THIS FEATURE WILL WASH OUT BEFORE IT
REACHES US.

&&

.AVIATION /16Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...HIGH PRESSURE BRINGS A CLEAR SKY AND LIGHT WINDS FOR
THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

LONG TERM...POSSIBLE MVFR CEILINGS SATURDAY NIGHT UNTIL SUNDAY
NIGHT IN RAIN SHOWERS AS A FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS EAST INTO NEW ENGLAND AND THE
GULF OF MAINE BRINGING LIGHT WINDS AND DECREASING WAVE HEIGHTS.

LONG TERM...NO PROBLEMS NOTED ON THE WATERS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
CONTROL THE WATERS FOR MOST OF THE NEXT 7 DAYS. OVER THE WEEKEND A
FRONT WILL CROSS THE WATERS BUT WINDS AND WAVES WILL STAY BELOW
SCA CRITERIA.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...CEMPA
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...
MARINE...



000
FXUS61 KGYX 021542
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
1142 AM EDT THU JUL 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN TODAY AND REMAINS IN PLACE THROUGH LATE
SATURDAY NIGHT...PROVIDING DRY AND MAINLY SUNNY WEATHER RIGHT
THROUGH THE FOURTH OF JULY. A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES
TO OUR NORTH ON SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS IN THROUGH
MIDWEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
1140 AM...JUST A QUICK UPDATE TO BRING T/TD/SKY/WIND INTO LINE
WITH CURRENT OBS...ALTHOUGH OVERALL FORECAST STILL HOLDS FOR A
MAINLY SUNNY AND SEASONABLY MILD AFTERNOON.

7AM UPDATE...
HIGH THIN CIRRUS CLOUDS HAVE BEGUN MOVING INTO THE AREA. WHILE
THESE ARE NOT VERY OPAQUE AND THE SUN IS SHINING BRIGHTLY THROUGH
THEM... IT IS ENOUGH TO UPDATE THE SKY COVER IN THE FORECAST TO
INDICATE A BIT MORE CLOUDS THIS MORNING. OTHERWISE NO SIGNIFICANT
CHANGES WERE MADE.

ORIGINAL DISCUSSION...
AS LOW PRESSURE DEPARTS... HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE
WEST TODAY. IT SHOULD BE A MOSTLY SUNNY DAY... ALTHOUGH SOME
AFTERNOON CUMULUS ARE POSSIBLE. TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE 70S TO
NEAR 80 DEGREES IN SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE. LIGHT SOUTHWEST WINDS
WILL ALLOW A SEABREEZE TO APPROACH THE COAST AND PROVIDE THE MOST
IMPACT TO THE MIDCOAST REGION OF MAINE.

ALTHOUGH RIP CURRENTS HAVE BEEN NOTED THE PAST FEW DAYS AT SOME
AREA BEACHES... FORECAST CONDITIONS TODAY DO NOT APPEAR TO FAVOR
AN ENHANCED CHANCE OF RIP CURRENTS. WINDS OVER THE WATER TODAY
WILL BE VERY LIGHT OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST (INSTEAD OF ONSHORE) WITH
WAVE HEIGHTS DECREASING.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
CLEAR AND CALM CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER THE WESTERN PART OF THE
FORECAST AREA TONIGHT... CLOSER TO THE CENTER OF HIGH PRESSURE.
THIS WILL ALLOW GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS. DRY AIR IN
PLACE WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO FALL INTO THE 40S. COASTAL MAINE
AND THE SOUTHEAST HALF OF NEW HAMPSHIRE WILL BOTTOM OUT IN THE LOW
TO MID 50S.

SHOULD BE A DEGREE OR TWO WARMER ON FRIDAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE
STILL IN CONTROL. A SEABREEZE IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST LATER IN
THE DAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE NEXT TWO TO SEVEN DAYS LOOK MOSTLY PRECIPITATION FREE WITH
TEMPERATURES RIGHT AROUND OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL. ON SATURDAY
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS CENTERED OFFSHORE BUT INFLUENCES THE
WEATHER OVER NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND BY SUPPLYING SUNNY SKIES AND A
SEA BREEZE IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY COOLER
ALONG THE COAST DUE TO THIS FEATURE.

BY THAT NIGHT A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL HAVE ENTERED THE
NORTHERN COUNTIES AS LOW PRESSURE TRAVELS THROUGH EASTERN CANADA.
THE TROUGH SHARPENS ON SUNDAY AND SOME RAIN SHOWERS MAY DEVELOP
ESPECIALLY IN THE HEAT OF THE AFTERNOON. STILL THE SHOWERS WILL
HAVE MINIMAL IMPACT ON AS FAR AS RAINFALL AMOUNTS GO AND SHOULD
EXIT THE AREA BY THE EVENING.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST MONDAY AND REMAINS OVERHEAD
TUESDAY BRINGING SUNNY SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS. WE WILL SEE
TEMPERATURES IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S AREA WIDE. WEAK TROUGHING
STEERS ANOTHER BOUNDARY OUR WAY IN THE THURSDAY TIME FRAME... BUT
IT REMAINS TO BE SEEN WHETHER THIS FEATURE WILL WASH OUT BEFORE IT
REACHES US.

&&

.AVIATION /16Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...HIGH PRESSURE BRINGS A CLEAR SKY AND LIGHT WINDS FOR
THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

LONG TERM...POSSIBLE MVFR CEILINGS SATURDAY NIGHT UNTIL SUNDAY
NIGHT IN RAIN SHOWERS AS A FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS EAST INTO NEW ENGLAND AND THE
GULF OF MAINE BRINGING LIGHT WINDS AND DECREASING WAVE HEIGHTS.

LONG TERM...NO PROBLEMS NOTED ON THE WATERS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
CONTROL THE WATERS FOR MOST OF THE NEXT 7 DAYS. OVER THE WEEKEND A
FRONT WILL CROSS THE WATERS BUT WINDS AND WAVES WILL STAY BELOW
SCA CRITERIA.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...CEMPA
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...
MARINE...



000
FXUS61 KGYX 021542
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
1142 AM EDT THU JUL 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN TODAY AND REMAINS IN PLACE THROUGH LATE
SATURDAY NIGHT...PROVIDING DRY AND MAINLY SUNNY WEATHER RIGHT
THROUGH THE FOURTH OF JULY. A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES
TO OUR NORTH ON SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS IN THROUGH
MIDWEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
1140 AM...JUST A QUICK UPDATE TO BRING T/TD/SKY/WIND INTO LINE
WITH CURRENT OBS...ALTHOUGH OVERALL FORECAST STILL HOLDS FOR A
MAINLY SUNNY AND SEASONABLY MILD AFTERNOON.

7AM UPDATE...
HIGH THIN CIRRUS CLOUDS HAVE BEGUN MOVING INTO THE AREA. WHILE
THESE ARE NOT VERY OPAQUE AND THE SUN IS SHINING BRIGHTLY THROUGH
THEM... IT IS ENOUGH TO UPDATE THE SKY COVER IN THE FORECAST TO
INDICATE A BIT MORE CLOUDS THIS MORNING. OTHERWISE NO SIGNIFICANT
CHANGES WERE MADE.

ORIGINAL DISCUSSION...
AS LOW PRESSURE DEPARTS... HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE
WEST TODAY. IT SHOULD BE A MOSTLY SUNNY DAY... ALTHOUGH SOME
AFTERNOON CUMULUS ARE POSSIBLE. TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE 70S TO
NEAR 80 DEGREES IN SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE. LIGHT SOUTHWEST WINDS
WILL ALLOW A SEABREEZE TO APPROACH THE COAST AND PROVIDE THE MOST
IMPACT TO THE MIDCOAST REGION OF MAINE.

ALTHOUGH RIP CURRENTS HAVE BEEN NOTED THE PAST FEW DAYS AT SOME
AREA BEACHES... FORECAST CONDITIONS TODAY DO NOT APPEAR TO FAVOR
AN ENHANCED CHANCE OF RIP CURRENTS. WINDS OVER THE WATER TODAY
WILL BE VERY LIGHT OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST (INSTEAD OF ONSHORE) WITH
WAVE HEIGHTS DECREASING.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
CLEAR AND CALM CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER THE WESTERN PART OF THE
FORECAST AREA TONIGHT... CLOSER TO THE CENTER OF HIGH PRESSURE.
THIS WILL ALLOW GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS. DRY AIR IN
PLACE WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO FALL INTO THE 40S. COASTAL MAINE
AND THE SOUTHEAST HALF OF NEW HAMPSHIRE WILL BOTTOM OUT IN THE LOW
TO MID 50S.

SHOULD BE A DEGREE OR TWO WARMER ON FRIDAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE
STILL IN CONTROL. A SEABREEZE IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST LATER IN
THE DAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE NEXT TWO TO SEVEN DAYS LOOK MOSTLY PRECIPITATION FREE WITH
TEMPERATURES RIGHT AROUND OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL. ON SATURDAY
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS CENTERED OFFSHORE BUT INFLUENCES THE
WEATHER OVER NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND BY SUPPLYING SUNNY SKIES AND A
SEA BREEZE IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY COOLER
ALONG THE COAST DUE TO THIS FEATURE.

BY THAT NIGHT A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL HAVE ENTERED THE
NORTHERN COUNTIES AS LOW PRESSURE TRAVELS THROUGH EASTERN CANADA.
THE TROUGH SHARPENS ON SUNDAY AND SOME RAIN SHOWERS MAY DEVELOP
ESPECIALLY IN THE HEAT OF THE AFTERNOON. STILL THE SHOWERS WILL
HAVE MINIMAL IMPACT ON AS FAR AS RAINFALL AMOUNTS GO AND SHOULD
EXIT THE AREA BY THE EVENING.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST MONDAY AND REMAINS OVERHEAD
TUESDAY BRINGING SUNNY SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS. WE WILL SEE
TEMPERATURES IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S AREA WIDE. WEAK TROUGHING
STEERS ANOTHER BOUNDARY OUR WAY IN THE THURSDAY TIME FRAME... BUT
IT REMAINS TO BE SEEN WHETHER THIS FEATURE WILL WASH OUT BEFORE IT
REACHES US.

&&

.AVIATION /16Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...HIGH PRESSURE BRINGS A CLEAR SKY AND LIGHT WINDS FOR
THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

LONG TERM...POSSIBLE MVFR CEILINGS SATURDAY NIGHT UNTIL SUNDAY
NIGHT IN RAIN SHOWERS AS A FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS EAST INTO NEW ENGLAND AND THE
GULF OF MAINE BRINGING LIGHT WINDS AND DECREASING WAVE HEIGHTS.

LONG TERM...NO PROBLEMS NOTED ON THE WATERS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
CONTROL THE WATERS FOR MOST OF THE NEXT 7 DAYS. OVER THE WEEKEND A
FRONT WILL CROSS THE WATERS BUT WINDS AND WAVES WILL STAY BELOW
SCA CRITERIA.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...CEMPA
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...
MARINE...



000
FXUS61 KCAR 021426
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1026 AM EDT THU JUL 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY CROSS THE REGION TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY. ANOTHER
COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPDATE...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL START TO BUILD IN FROM THE WEST TODAY ALTHOUGH
THERE WILL BE PLENTY OF CLOUDS ACROSS THE NORTH INTO THE
AFTERNOON AND PERHAPS AN ISOLATED SPRINKLE. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES
NEEDED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE MORNING.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK NORTHWEST OF MAINE TODAY...SLOWLY DRAWING
A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. AT THE SAME TIME...AN UPPER
LEVEL TROF WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST. EXPECT PARTLY SUNNY/MOSTLY
CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF AN ISOLATED SHOWER
ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS THIS MORNING...WITH GENERALLY PARTLY SUNNY
SKIES THIS AFTERNOON. AFTER THE FOG DISSIPATES...EXPECT
PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES DOWNEAST. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD EAST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT WHILE THE UPPER TROF
CROSSES THE REGION. MOISTURE WITH THE UPPER TROF WILL SUPPORT
PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS TONIGHT...WITH MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES DOWNEAST. HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL RANGE FROM
AROUND 70 TO THE LOWER 70S NORTH...TO THE UPPER 70S INTERIOR
DOWNEAST WITH LOWER TO MID 70S ALONG THE DOWNEAST COAST. LOW
TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 40S TO AROUND 50
NORTH...TO AROUND 50 TO THE LOWER 50S DOWNEAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
DRY AND WARM FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. A WEAK UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL
GRAZE NORTHERN MAINE ON FRIDAY, BRINGING PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES IN
THE NORTH. MOSTLY SUNNY ELSEWHERE FRIDAY, WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TO
UPPER 70S AND COMFORTABLY LOW DEWPOINTS.

AS WE HEAD INTO LATE SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT, AN UPPER TROUGH
BEGINS TO APPROACH FROM THE WEST, BUT LOOKS LIKE ITS TIMING WILL
HOLD OFF THE BETTER CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS UNTIL SUNDAY.
STILL, PUT IN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE IN THE DAY AND INTO
SATURDAY NIGHT IN THE FAR NORTH IN CASE ITS TIMING SPEEDS UP A
BIT. SATURDAY THE 4TH LOOKS QUITE WARM WITH HIGHS AROUND 80. A
TOUCH MUGGIER THAN FRIDAY, BUT STILL PRETTY COMFORTABLE. DRY
SATURDAY EXCEPT FOR A SMALL CHANCE OF A SHOWER FAR NORTH/NORTHWEST
LATE IN THE DAY AND INTO THE EVENING, WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
SUNDAY LOOKING LIKE THE INFERIOR DAY OF THE TWO THIS WEEKEND.
HOWEVER, THERE WILL STILL BE A FAIR AMOUNT OF SUNSHINE (PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES) AND WARM TEMPERATURES (HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOW
80S). THE CATCH IS, A COLD FRONT WILL BE MOVING THROUGH FROM
NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST. NOT MUCH MOISTURE TO WORK WITH, BUT
INSTABILITY APPEARS SUFFICIENT TO IGNITE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE AFTERNOON. THERE ARE SOME MODEL DISAGREEMENTS IN HOW DEEP
THE UPPER TROUGH IS AND EXACTLY WHERE THE COLD FRONT SETS UP,
WHICH WILL DETERMINE THE STRENGTH OF THE STORMS AND WHAT PART OF
THE FORECAST AREA THEY FORM.

FRONT APPEARS TO MOVE JUST FAR ENOUGH EAST TO WHERE MONDAY WILL BE
DRY. TUESDAY LIKELY DRY AS WELL. WARM MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH
HIGHS AROUND 80 AND SOME PLACES POSSIBLY WARMER. SOUTHERLY FLOW
BEGINS TO INCREASE TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AS WE GET INTO A
JUICIER AIRMASS, WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS RETURNING
WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VARIABLE CONDITIONS...RANGING FROM VFR TO LIFR...WILL
OCCUR ACROSS THE REGION EARLY THIS MORNING. THE LOWEST
VISIBILITIES WILL OCCUR ACROSS DOWNEAST AREAS WITH FOG...THOUGH
CONDITIONS ARE NOW IMPROVING...WITH RESTRICTIONS ACROSS NORTHERN
AREAS MOSTLY DUE TO CEILINGS. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE TO VFR
LEVELS ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE MORNING HOURS. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE ENTIRE
REGION TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: VFR FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. POSSIBLE MVFR IN
SCATTERED SHOWERS/STORMS SUNDAY, BUT PREDOMINATE VFR SUNDAY. VFR
MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY LEVELS TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT. VISIBILITIES WILL BE
REDUCED IN FOG THIS MORNING.

SHORT TERM: CONDITIONS REMAINING BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS FRIDAY
THROUGH MONDAY.

&&

.CLIMATE...
THE FIRST HALF OF THE YEAR ENDED AS THE COLDEST ON RECORD AT
BANGOR AND TIED FOR THE 7TH COLDEST AT CARIBOU. JUNE WAS A COOL
MONTH AND RANKED AS THE 5TH COOLEST ON RECORD AT BANGOR AND 12TH
COOLEST AT CARIBOU.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...DUDA/NORCROSS
SHORT TERM...FOISY
LONG TERM...FOISY
AVIATION...DUDA/NORCROSS/FOISY
MARINE...DUDA/NORCROSS/FOISY
CLIMATE...



000
FXUS61 KCAR 021426
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1026 AM EDT THU JUL 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY CROSS THE REGION TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY. ANOTHER
COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPDATE...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL START TO BUILD IN FROM THE WEST TODAY ALTHOUGH
THERE WILL BE PLENTY OF CLOUDS ACROSS THE NORTH INTO THE
AFTERNOON AND PERHAPS AN ISOLATED SPRINKLE. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES
NEEDED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE MORNING.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK NORTHWEST OF MAINE TODAY...SLOWLY DRAWING
A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. AT THE SAME TIME...AN UPPER
LEVEL TROF WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST. EXPECT PARTLY SUNNY/MOSTLY
CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF AN ISOLATED SHOWER
ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS THIS MORNING...WITH GENERALLY PARTLY SUNNY
SKIES THIS AFTERNOON. AFTER THE FOG DISSIPATES...EXPECT
PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES DOWNEAST. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD EAST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT WHILE THE UPPER TROF
CROSSES THE REGION. MOISTURE WITH THE UPPER TROF WILL SUPPORT
PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS TONIGHT...WITH MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES DOWNEAST. HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL RANGE FROM
AROUND 70 TO THE LOWER 70S NORTH...TO THE UPPER 70S INTERIOR
DOWNEAST WITH LOWER TO MID 70S ALONG THE DOWNEAST COAST. LOW
TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 40S TO AROUND 50
NORTH...TO AROUND 50 TO THE LOWER 50S DOWNEAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
DRY AND WARM FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. A WEAK UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL
GRAZE NORTHERN MAINE ON FRIDAY, BRINGING PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES IN
THE NORTH. MOSTLY SUNNY ELSEWHERE FRIDAY, WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TO
UPPER 70S AND COMFORTABLY LOW DEWPOINTS.

AS WE HEAD INTO LATE SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT, AN UPPER TROUGH
BEGINS TO APPROACH FROM THE WEST, BUT LOOKS LIKE ITS TIMING WILL
HOLD OFF THE BETTER CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS UNTIL SUNDAY.
STILL, PUT IN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE IN THE DAY AND INTO
SATURDAY NIGHT IN THE FAR NORTH IN CASE ITS TIMING SPEEDS UP A
BIT. SATURDAY THE 4TH LOOKS QUITE WARM WITH HIGHS AROUND 80. A
TOUCH MUGGIER THAN FRIDAY, BUT STILL PRETTY COMFORTABLE. DRY
SATURDAY EXCEPT FOR A SMALL CHANCE OF A SHOWER FAR NORTH/NORTHWEST
LATE IN THE DAY AND INTO THE EVENING, WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
SUNDAY LOOKING LIKE THE INFERIOR DAY OF THE TWO THIS WEEKEND.
HOWEVER, THERE WILL STILL BE A FAIR AMOUNT OF SUNSHINE (PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES) AND WARM TEMPERATURES (HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOW
80S). THE CATCH IS, A COLD FRONT WILL BE MOVING THROUGH FROM
NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST. NOT MUCH MOISTURE TO WORK WITH, BUT
INSTABILITY APPEARS SUFFICIENT TO IGNITE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE AFTERNOON. THERE ARE SOME MODEL DISAGREEMENTS IN HOW DEEP
THE UPPER TROUGH IS AND EXACTLY WHERE THE COLD FRONT SETS UP,
WHICH WILL DETERMINE THE STRENGTH OF THE STORMS AND WHAT PART OF
THE FORECAST AREA THEY FORM.

FRONT APPEARS TO MOVE JUST FAR ENOUGH EAST TO WHERE MONDAY WILL BE
DRY. TUESDAY LIKELY DRY AS WELL. WARM MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH
HIGHS AROUND 80 AND SOME PLACES POSSIBLY WARMER. SOUTHERLY FLOW
BEGINS TO INCREASE TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AS WE GET INTO A
JUICIER AIRMASS, WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS RETURNING
WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VARIABLE CONDITIONS...RANGING FROM VFR TO LIFR...WILL
OCCUR ACROSS THE REGION EARLY THIS MORNING. THE LOWEST
VISIBILITIES WILL OCCUR ACROSS DOWNEAST AREAS WITH FOG...THOUGH
CONDITIONS ARE NOW IMPROVING...WITH RESTRICTIONS ACROSS NORTHERN
AREAS MOSTLY DUE TO CEILINGS. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE TO VFR
LEVELS ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE MORNING HOURS. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE ENTIRE
REGION TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: VFR FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. POSSIBLE MVFR IN
SCATTERED SHOWERS/STORMS SUNDAY, BUT PREDOMINATE VFR SUNDAY. VFR
MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY LEVELS TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT. VISIBILITIES WILL BE
REDUCED IN FOG THIS MORNING.

SHORT TERM: CONDITIONS REMAINING BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS FRIDAY
THROUGH MONDAY.

&&

.CLIMATE...
THE FIRST HALF OF THE YEAR ENDED AS THE COLDEST ON RECORD AT
BANGOR AND TIED FOR THE 7TH COLDEST AT CARIBOU. JUNE WAS A COOL
MONTH AND RANKED AS THE 5TH COOLEST ON RECORD AT BANGOR AND 12TH
COOLEST AT CARIBOU.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...DUDA/NORCROSS
SHORT TERM...FOISY
LONG TERM...FOISY
AVIATION...DUDA/NORCROSS/FOISY
MARINE...DUDA/NORCROSS/FOISY
CLIMATE...




000
FXUS61 KCAR 021217
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
817 AM EDT THU JUL 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY CROSS THE REGION TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY. ANOTHER
COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPDATE...
HAVE ALLOWED THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY TO EXPIRE WITH THIS UPDATE.
OTHERWISE...NO CHANGES.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK NORTHWEST OF MAINE TODAY...SLOWLY DRAWING
A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. AT THE SAME TIME...AN UPPER
LEVEL TROF WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST. EXPECT PARTLY SUNNY/MOSTLY
CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF AN ISOLATED SHOWER
ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS THIS MORNING...WITH GENERALLY PARTLY SUNNY
SKIES THIS AFTERNOON. AFTER THE FOG DISSIPATES...EXPECT
PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES DOWNEAST. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD EAST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT WHILE THE UPPER TROF
CROSSES THE REGION. MOISTURE WITH THE UPPER TROF WILL SUPPORT
PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS TONIGHT...WITH MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES DOWNEAST. HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL RANGE FROM
AROUND 70 TO THE LOWER 70S NORTH...TO THE UPPER 70S INTERIOR
DOWNEAST WITH LOWER TO MID 70S ALONG THE DOWNEAST COAST. LOW
TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 40S TO AROUND 50
NORTH...TO AROUND 50 TO THE LOWER 50S DOWNEAST.
&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
DRY AND WARM FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. A WEAK UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL
GRAZE NORTHERN MAINE ON FRIDAY, BRINGING PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES IN
THE NORTH. MOSTLY SUNNY ELSEWHERE FRIDAY, WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TO
UPPER 70S AND COMFORTABLY LOW DEWPOINTS.

AS WE HEAD INTO LATE SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT, AN UPPER TROUGH
BEGINS TO APPROACH FROM THE WEST, BUT LOOKS LIKE ITS TIMING WILL
HOLD OFF THE BETTER CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS UNTIL SUNDAY.
STILL, PUT IN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE IN THE DAY AND INTO
SATURDAY NIGHT IN THE FAR NORTH IN CASE ITS TIMING SPEEDS UP A
BIT. SATURDAY THE 4TH LOOKS QUITE WARM WITH HIGHS AROUND 80. A
TOUCH MUGGIER THAN FRIDAY, BUT STILL PRETTY COMFORTABLE. DRY
SATURDAY EXCEPT FOR A SMALL CHANCE OF A SHOWER FAR NORTH/NORTHWEST
LATE IN THE DAY AND INTO THE EVENING, WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES.
&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
SUNDAY LOOKING LIKE THE INFERIOR DAY OF THE TWO THIS WEEKEND.
HOWEVER, THERE WILL STILL BE A FAIR AMOUNT OF SUNSHINE (PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES) AND WARM TEMPERATURES (HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOW
80S). THE CATCH IS, A COLD FRONT WILL BE MOVING THROUGH FROM
NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST. NOT MUCH MOISTURE TO WORK WITH, BUT
INSTABILITY APPEARS SUFFICIENT TO IGNITE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE AFTERNOON. THERE ARE SOME MODEL DISAGREEMENTS IN HOW DEEP
THE UPPER TROUGH IS AND EXACTLY WHERE THE COLD FRONT SETS UP,
WHICH WILL DETERMINE THE STRENGTH OF THE STORMS AND WHAT PART OF
THE FORECAST AREA THEY FORM.

FRONT APPEARS TO MOVE JUST FAR ENOUGH EAST TO WHERE MONDAY WILL BE
DRY. TUESDAY LIKELY DRY AS WELL. WARM MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH
HIGHS AROUND 80 AND SOME PLACES POSSIBLY WARMER. SOUTHERLY FLOW
BEGINS TO INCREASE TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AS WE GET INTO A
JUICIER AIRMASS, WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS RETURNING
WEDNESDAY.
&&

.AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VARIABLE CONDITIONS...RANGING FROM VFR TO LIFR...WILL
OCCUR ACROSS THE REGION EARLY THIS MORNING. THE LOWEST
VISIBILITIES WILL OCCUR ACROSS DOWNEAST AREAS WITH FOG...THOUGH
CONDITIONS ARE NOW IMPROVING...WITH RESTRICTIONS ACROSS NORTHERN
AREAS MOSTLY DUE TO CEILINGS. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE TO VFR
LEVELS ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE MORNING HOURS. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE ENTIRE
REGION TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: VFR FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. POSSIBLE MVFR IN
SCATTERED SHOWERS/STORMS SUNDAY, BUT PREDOMINATE VFR SUNDAY. VFR
MONDAY.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY LEVELS TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT. VISIBILITIES WILL BE
REDUCED IN FOG THIS MORNING.

SHORT TERM: CONDITIONS REMAINING BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS FRIDAY
THROUGH MONDAY.
&&

.CLIMATE...
THE FIRST HALF OF THE YEAR ENDED AS THE COLDEST ON RECORD AT
BANGOR AND TIED FOR THE 7TH COLDEST AT CARIBOU. JUNE WAS A COOL
MONTH AND RANKED AS THE 5TH COOLEST ON RECORD AT BANGOR AND 12TH
COOLEST AT CARIBOU.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...NORCROSS
SHORT TERM...FOISY
LONG TERM...FOISY
AVIATION...NORCROSS/FOISY
MARINE...NORCROSS/FOISY
CLIMATE...BOGEL



000
FXUS61 KCAR 021217
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
817 AM EDT THU JUL 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY CROSS THE REGION TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY. ANOTHER
COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPDATE...
HAVE ALLOWED THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY TO EXPIRE WITH THIS UPDATE.
OTHERWISE...NO CHANGES.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK NORTHWEST OF MAINE TODAY...SLOWLY DRAWING
A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. AT THE SAME TIME...AN UPPER
LEVEL TROF WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST. EXPECT PARTLY SUNNY/MOSTLY
CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF AN ISOLATED SHOWER
ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS THIS MORNING...WITH GENERALLY PARTLY SUNNY
SKIES THIS AFTERNOON. AFTER THE FOG DISSIPATES...EXPECT
PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES DOWNEAST. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD EAST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT WHILE THE UPPER TROF
CROSSES THE REGION. MOISTURE WITH THE UPPER TROF WILL SUPPORT
PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS TONIGHT...WITH MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES DOWNEAST. HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL RANGE FROM
AROUND 70 TO THE LOWER 70S NORTH...TO THE UPPER 70S INTERIOR
DOWNEAST WITH LOWER TO MID 70S ALONG THE DOWNEAST COAST. LOW
TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 40S TO AROUND 50
NORTH...TO AROUND 50 TO THE LOWER 50S DOWNEAST.
&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
DRY AND WARM FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. A WEAK UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL
GRAZE NORTHERN MAINE ON FRIDAY, BRINGING PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES IN
THE NORTH. MOSTLY SUNNY ELSEWHERE FRIDAY, WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TO
UPPER 70S AND COMFORTABLY LOW DEWPOINTS.

AS WE HEAD INTO LATE SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT, AN UPPER TROUGH
BEGINS TO APPROACH FROM THE WEST, BUT LOOKS LIKE ITS TIMING WILL
HOLD OFF THE BETTER CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS UNTIL SUNDAY.
STILL, PUT IN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE IN THE DAY AND INTO
SATURDAY NIGHT IN THE FAR NORTH IN CASE ITS TIMING SPEEDS UP A
BIT. SATURDAY THE 4TH LOOKS QUITE WARM WITH HIGHS AROUND 80. A
TOUCH MUGGIER THAN FRIDAY, BUT STILL PRETTY COMFORTABLE. DRY
SATURDAY EXCEPT FOR A SMALL CHANCE OF A SHOWER FAR NORTH/NORTHWEST
LATE IN THE DAY AND INTO THE EVENING, WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES.
&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
SUNDAY LOOKING LIKE THE INFERIOR DAY OF THE TWO THIS WEEKEND.
HOWEVER, THERE WILL STILL BE A FAIR AMOUNT OF SUNSHINE (PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES) AND WARM TEMPERATURES (HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOW
80S). THE CATCH IS, A COLD FRONT WILL BE MOVING THROUGH FROM
NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST. NOT MUCH MOISTURE TO WORK WITH, BUT
INSTABILITY APPEARS SUFFICIENT TO IGNITE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE AFTERNOON. THERE ARE SOME MODEL DISAGREEMENTS IN HOW DEEP
THE UPPER TROUGH IS AND EXACTLY WHERE THE COLD FRONT SETS UP,
WHICH WILL DETERMINE THE STRENGTH OF THE STORMS AND WHAT PART OF
THE FORECAST AREA THEY FORM.

FRONT APPEARS TO MOVE JUST FAR ENOUGH EAST TO WHERE MONDAY WILL BE
DRY. TUESDAY LIKELY DRY AS WELL. WARM MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH
HIGHS AROUND 80 AND SOME PLACES POSSIBLY WARMER. SOUTHERLY FLOW
BEGINS TO INCREASE TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AS WE GET INTO A
JUICIER AIRMASS, WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS RETURNING
WEDNESDAY.
&&

.AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VARIABLE CONDITIONS...RANGING FROM VFR TO LIFR...WILL
OCCUR ACROSS THE REGION EARLY THIS MORNING. THE LOWEST
VISIBILITIES WILL OCCUR ACROSS DOWNEAST AREAS WITH FOG...THOUGH
CONDITIONS ARE NOW IMPROVING...WITH RESTRICTIONS ACROSS NORTHERN
AREAS MOSTLY DUE TO CEILINGS. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE TO VFR
LEVELS ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE MORNING HOURS. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE ENTIRE
REGION TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: VFR FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. POSSIBLE MVFR IN
SCATTERED SHOWERS/STORMS SUNDAY, BUT PREDOMINATE VFR SUNDAY. VFR
MONDAY.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY LEVELS TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT. VISIBILITIES WILL BE
REDUCED IN FOG THIS MORNING.

SHORT TERM: CONDITIONS REMAINING BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS FRIDAY
THROUGH MONDAY.
&&

.CLIMATE...
THE FIRST HALF OF THE YEAR ENDED AS THE COLDEST ON RECORD AT
BANGOR AND TIED FOR THE 7TH COLDEST AT CARIBOU. JUNE WAS A COOL
MONTH AND RANKED AS THE 5TH COOLEST ON RECORD AT BANGOR AND 12TH
COOLEST AT CARIBOU.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...NORCROSS
SHORT TERM...FOISY
LONG TERM...FOISY
AVIATION...NORCROSS/FOISY
MARINE...NORCROSS/FOISY
CLIMATE...BOGEL




000
FXUS61 KCAR 021217
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
817 AM EDT THU JUL 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY CROSS THE REGION TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY. ANOTHER
COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPDATE...
HAVE ALLOWED THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY TO EXPIRE WITH THIS UPDATE.
OTHERWISE...NO CHANGES.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK NORTHWEST OF MAINE TODAY...SLOWLY DRAWING
A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. AT THE SAME TIME...AN UPPER
LEVEL TROF WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST. EXPECT PARTLY SUNNY/MOSTLY
CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF AN ISOLATED SHOWER
ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS THIS MORNING...WITH GENERALLY PARTLY SUNNY
SKIES THIS AFTERNOON. AFTER THE FOG DISSIPATES...EXPECT
PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES DOWNEAST. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD EAST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT WHILE THE UPPER TROF
CROSSES THE REGION. MOISTURE WITH THE UPPER TROF WILL SUPPORT
PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS TONIGHT...WITH MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES DOWNEAST. HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL RANGE FROM
AROUND 70 TO THE LOWER 70S NORTH...TO THE UPPER 70S INTERIOR
DOWNEAST WITH LOWER TO MID 70S ALONG THE DOWNEAST COAST. LOW
TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 40S TO AROUND 50
NORTH...TO AROUND 50 TO THE LOWER 50S DOWNEAST.
&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
DRY AND WARM FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. A WEAK UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL
GRAZE NORTHERN MAINE ON FRIDAY, BRINGING PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES IN
THE NORTH. MOSTLY SUNNY ELSEWHERE FRIDAY, WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TO
UPPER 70S AND COMFORTABLY LOW DEWPOINTS.

AS WE HEAD INTO LATE SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT, AN UPPER TROUGH
BEGINS TO APPROACH FROM THE WEST, BUT LOOKS LIKE ITS TIMING WILL
HOLD OFF THE BETTER CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS UNTIL SUNDAY.
STILL, PUT IN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE IN THE DAY AND INTO
SATURDAY NIGHT IN THE FAR NORTH IN CASE ITS TIMING SPEEDS UP A
BIT. SATURDAY THE 4TH LOOKS QUITE WARM WITH HIGHS AROUND 80. A
TOUCH MUGGIER THAN FRIDAY, BUT STILL PRETTY COMFORTABLE. DRY
SATURDAY EXCEPT FOR A SMALL CHANCE OF A SHOWER FAR NORTH/NORTHWEST
LATE IN THE DAY AND INTO THE EVENING, WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES.
&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
SUNDAY LOOKING LIKE THE INFERIOR DAY OF THE TWO THIS WEEKEND.
HOWEVER, THERE WILL STILL BE A FAIR AMOUNT OF SUNSHINE (PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES) AND WARM TEMPERATURES (HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOW
80S). THE CATCH IS, A COLD FRONT WILL BE MOVING THROUGH FROM
NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST. NOT MUCH MOISTURE TO WORK WITH, BUT
INSTABILITY APPEARS SUFFICIENT TO IGNITE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE AFTERNOON. THERE ARE SOME MODEL DISAGREEMENTS IN HOW DEEP
THE UPPER TROUGH IS AND EXACTLY WHERE THE COLD FRONT SETS UP,
WHICH WILL DETERMINE THE STRENGTH OF THE STORMS AND WHAT PART OF
THE FORECAST AREA THEY FORM.

FRONT APPEARS TO MOVE JUST FAR ENOUGH EAST TO WHERE MONDAY WILL BE
DRY. TUESDAY LIKELY DRY AS WELL. WARM MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH
HIGHS AROUND 80 AND SOME PLACES POSSIBLY WARMER. SOUTHERLY FLOW
BEGINS TO INCREASE TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AS WE GET INTO A
JUICIER AIRMASS, WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS RETURNING
WEDNESDAY.
&&

.AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VARIABLE CONDITIONS...RANGING FROM VFR TO LIFR...WILL
OCCUR ACROSS THE REGION EARLY THIS MORNING. THE LOWEST
VISIBILITIES WILL OCCUR ACROSS DOWNEAST AREAS WITH FOG...THOUGH
CONDITIONS ARE NOW IMPROVING...WITH RESTRICTIONS ACROSS NORTHERN
AREAS MOSTLY DUE TO CEILINGS. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE TO VFR
LEVELS ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE MORNING HOURS. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE ENTIRE
REGION TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: VFR FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. POSSIBLE MVFR IN
SCATTERED SHOWERS/STORMS SUNDAY, BUT PREDOMINATE VFR SUNDAY. VFR
MONDAY.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY LEVELS TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT. VISIBILITIES WILL BE
REDUCED IN FOG THIS MORNING.

SHORT TERM: CONDITIONS REMAINING BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS FRIDAY
THROUGH MONDAY.
&&

.CLIMATE...
THE FIRST HALF OF THE YEAR ENDED AS THE COLDEST ON RECORD AT
BANGOR AND TIED FOR THE 7TH COLDEST AT CARIBOU. JUNE WAS A COOL
MONTH AND RANKED AS THE 5TH COOLEST ON RECORD AT BANGOR AND 12TH
COOLEST AT CARIBOU.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...NORCROSS
SHORT TERM...FOISY
LONG TERM...FOISY
AVIATION...NORCROSS/FOISY
MARINE...NORCROSS/FOISY
CLIMATE...BOGEL



000
FXUS61 KCAR 021217
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
817 AM EDT THU JUL 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY CROSS THE REGION TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY. ANOTHER
COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPDATE...
HAVE ALLOWED THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY TO EXPIRE WITH THIS UPDATE.
OTHERWISE...NO CHANGES.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK NORTHWEST OF MAINE TODAY...SLOWLY DRAWING
A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. AT THE SAME TIME...AN UPPER
LEVEL TROF WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST. EXPECT PARTLY SUNNY/MOSTLY
CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF AN ISOLATED SHOWER
ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS THIS MORNING...WITH GENERALLY PARTLY SUNNY
SKIES THIS AFTERNOON. AFTER THE FOG DISSIPATES...EXPECT
PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES DOWNEAST. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD EAST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT WHILE THE UPPER TROF
CROSSES THE REGION. MOISTURE WITH THE UPPER TROF WILL SUPPORT
PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS TONIGHT...WITH MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES DOWNEAST. HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL RANGE FROM
AROUND 70 TO THE LOWER 70S NORTH...TO THE UPPER 70S INTERIOR
DOWNEAST WITH LOWER TO MID 70S ALONG THE DOWNEAST COAST. LOW
TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 40S TO AROUND 50
NORTH...TO AROUND 50 TO THE LOWER 50S DOWNEAST.
&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
DRY AND WARM FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. A WEAK UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL
GRAZE NORTHERN MAINE ON FRIDAY, BRINGING PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES IN
THE NORTH. MOSTLY SUNNY ELSEWHERE FRIDAY, WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TO
UPPER 70S AND COMFORTABLY LOW DEWPOINTS.

AS WE HEAD INTO LATE SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT, AN UPPER TROUGH
BEGINS TO APPROACH FROM THE WEST, BUT LOOKS LIKE ITS TIMING WILL
HOLD OFF THE BETTER CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS UNTIL SUNDAY.
STILL, PUT IN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE IN THE DAY AND INTO
SATURDAY NIGHT IN THE FAR NORTH IN CASE ITS TIMING SPEEDS UP A
BIT. SATURDAY THE 4TH LOOKS QUITE WARM WITH HIGHS AROUND 80. A
TOUCH MUGGIER THAN FRIDAY, BUT STILL PRETTY COMFORTABLE. DRY
SATURDAY EXCEPT FOR A SMALL CHANCE OF A SHOWER FAR NORTH/NORTHWEST
LATE IN THE DAY AND INTO THE EVENING, WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES.
&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
SUNDAY LOOKING LIKE THE INFERIOR DAY OF THE TWO THIS WEEKEND.
HOWEVER, THERE WILL STILL BE A FAIR AMOUNT OF SUNSHINE (PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES) AND WARM TEMPERATURES (HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOW
80S). THE CATCH IS, A COLD FRONT WILL BE MOVING THROUGH FROM
NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST. NOT MUCH MOISTURE TO WORK WITH, BUT
INSTABILITY APPEARS SUFFICIENT TO IGNITE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE AFTERNOON. THERE ARE SOME MODEL DISAGREEMENTS IN HOW DEEP
THE UPPER TROUGH IS AND EXACTLY WHERE THE COLD FRONT SETS UP,
WHICH WILL DETERMINE THE STRENGTH OF THE STORMS AND WHAT PART OF
THE FORECAST AREA THEY FORM.

FRONT APPEARS TO MOVE JUST FAR ENOUGH EAST TO WHERE MONDAY WILL BE
DRY. TUESDAY LIKELY DRY AS WELL. WARM MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH
HIGHS AROUND 80 AND SOME PLACES POSSIBLY WARMER. SOUTHERLY FLOW
BEGINS TO INCREASE TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AS WE GET INTO A
JUICIER AIRMASS, WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS RETURNING
WEDNESDAY.
&&

.AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VARIABLE CONDITIONS...RANGING FROM VFR TO LIFR...WILL
OCCUR ACROSS THE REGION EARLY THIS MORNING. THE LOWEST
VISIBILITIES WILL OCCUR ACROSS DOWNEAST AREAS WITH FOG...THOUGH
CONDITIONS ARE NOW IMPROVING...WITH RESTRICTIONS ACROSS NORTHERN
AREAS MOSTLY DUE TO CEILINGS. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE TO VFR
LEVELS ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE MORNING HOURS. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE ENTIRE
REGION TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: VFR FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. POSSIBLE MVFR IN
SCATTERED SHOWERS/STORMS SUNDAY, BUT PREDOMINATE VFR SUNDAY. VFR
MONDAY.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY LEVELS TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT. VISIBILITIES WILL BE
REDUCED IN FOG THIS MORNING.

SHORT TERM: CONDITIONS REMAINING BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS FRIDAY
THROUGH MONDAY.
&&

.CLIMATE...
THE FIRST HALF OF THE YEAR ENDED AS THE COLDEST ON RECORD AT
BANGOR AND TIED FOR THE 7TH COLDEST AT CARIBOU. JUNE WAS A COOL
MONTH AND RANKED AS THE 5TH COOLEST ON RECORD AT BANGOR AND 12TH
COOLEST AT CARIBOU.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...NORCROSS
SHORT TERM...FOISY
LONG TERM...FOISY
AVIATION...NORCROSS/FOISY
MARINE...NORCROSS/FOISY
CLIMATE...BOGEL




000
FXUS61 KCAR 021146
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
746 AM EDT THU JUL 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY CROSS THE REGION TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY. ANOTHER
COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPDATE...
FOG IS DISSIPATING DOWNEAST. THUS...THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY WILL BE
ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 8 AM. OTHERWISE...HAVE UPDATED THE FORECAST
TO ADJUST FOR CURRENT CONDITIONS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK NORTHWEST OF MAINE TODAY...SLOWLY DRAWING
A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. AT THE SAME TIME...AN UPPER
LEVEL TROF WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST. EXPECT PARTLY SUNNY/MOSTLY
CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF AN ISOLATED SHOWER
ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS THIS MORNING...WITH GENERALLY PARTLY SUNNY
SKIES THIS AFTERNOON. AFTER THE FOG DISSIPATES...EXPECT
PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES DOWNEAST. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD EAST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT WHILE THE UPPER TROF
CROSSES THE REGION. MOISTURE WITH THE UPPER TROF WILL SUPPORT
PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS TONIGHT...WITH MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES DOWNEAST. HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL RANGE FROM
AROUND 70 TO THE LOWER 70S NORTH...TO THE UPPER 70S INTERIOR
DOWNEAST WITH LOWER TO MID 70S ALONG THE DOWNEAST COAST. LOW
TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 40S TO AROUND 50
NORTH...TO AROUND 50 TO THE LOWER 50S DOWNEAST.
&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
DRY AND WARM FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. A WEAK UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL
GRAZE NORTHERN MAINE ON FRIDAY, BRINGING PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES IN
THE NORTH. MOSTLY SUNNY ELSEWHERE FRIDAY, WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TO
UPPER 70S AND COMFORTABLY LOW DEWPOINTS.

AS WE HEAD INTO LATE SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT, AN UPPER TROUGH
BEGINS TO APPROACH FROM THE WEST, BUT LOOKS LIKE ITS TIMING WILL
HOLD OFF THE BETTER CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS UNTIL SUNDAY.
STILL, PUT IN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE IN THE DAY AND INTO
SATURDAY NIGHT IN THE FAR NORTH IN CASE ITS TIMING SPEEDS UP A
BIT. SATURDAY THE 4TH LOOKS QUITE WARM WITH HIGHS AROUND 80. A
TOUCH MUGGIER THAN FRIDAY, BUT STILL PRETTY COMFORTABLE. DRY
SATURDAY EXCEPT FOR A SMALL CHANCE OF A SHOWER FAR NORTH/NORTHWEST
LATE IN THE DAY AND INTO THE EVENING, WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES.
&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
SUNDAY LOOKING LIKE THE INFERIOR DAY OF THE TWO THIS WEEKEND.
HOWEVER, THERE WILL STILL BE A FAIR AMOUNT OF SUNSHINE (PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES) AND WARM TEMPERATURES (HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOW
80S). THE CATCH IS, A COLD FRONT WILL BE MOVING THROUGH FROM
NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST. NOT MUCH MOISTURE TO WORK WITH, BUT
INSTABILITY APPEARS SUFFICIENT TO IGNITE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE AFTERNOON. THERE ARE SOME MODEL DISAGREEMENTS IN HOW DEEP
THE UPPER TROUGH IS AND EXACTLY WHERE THE COLD FRONT SETS UP,
WHICH WILL DETERMINE THE STRENGTH OF THE STORMS AND WHAT PART OF
THE FORECAST AREA THEY FORM.

FRONT APPEARS TO MOVE JUST FAR ENOUGH EAST TO WHERE MONDAY WILL BE
DRY. TUESDAY LIKELY DRY AS WELL. WARM MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH
HIGHS AROUND 80 AND SOME PLACES POSSIBLY WARMER. SOUTHERLY FLOW
BEGINS TO INCREASE TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AS WE GET INTO A
JUICIER AIRMASS, WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS RETURNING
WEDNESDAY.
&&

.AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VARIABLE CONDITIONS...RANGING FROM VFR TO LIFR...WILL
OCCUR ACROSS THE REGION EARLY THIS MORNING. THE LOWEST
VISIBILITIES WILL OCCUR ACROSS DOWNEAST AREAS WITH FOG...THOUGH
CONDITIONS ARE NOW IMPROVING...WITH RESTRICTIONS ACROSS NORTHERN
AREAS MOSTLY DUE TO CEILINGS. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE TO VFR
LEVELS ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE MORNING HOURS. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE ENTIRE
REGION TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: VFR FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. POSSIBLE MVFR IN
SCATTERED SHOWERS/STORMS SUNDAY, BUT PREDOMINATE VFR SUNDAY. VFR
MONDAY.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY LEVELS TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT. VISIBILITIES WILL BE
REDUCED IN FOG THIS MORNING.

SHORT TERM: CONDITIONS REMAINING BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS FRIDAY
THROUGH MONDAY.
&&

.CLIMATE...
THE FIRST HALF OF THE YEAR ENDED AS THE COLDEST ON RECORD AT
BANGOR AND TIED FOR THE 7TH COLDEST AT CARIBOU. JUNE WAS A COOL
MONTH AND RANKED AS THE 5TH COOLEST ON RECORD AT BANGOR AND 12TH
COOLEST AT CARIBOU.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR MEZ015>017-
     029-030.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...NORCROSS
SHORT TERM...FOISY
LONG TERM...FOISY
AVIATION...NORCROSS/FOISY
MARINE...NORCROSS/FOISY
CLIMATE...BOGEL




000
FXUS61 KCAR 021146
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
746 AM EDT THU JUL 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY CROSS THE REGION TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY. ANOTHER
COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPDATE...
FOG IS DISSIPATING DOWNEAST. THUS...THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY WILL BE
ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 8 AM. OTHERWISE...HAVE UPDATED THE FORECAST
TO ADJUST FOR CURRENT CONDITIONS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK NORTHWEST OF MAINE TODAY...SLOWLY DRAWING
A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. AT THE SAME TIME...AN UPPER
LEVEL TROF WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST. EXPECT PARTLY SUNNY/MOSTLY
CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF AN ISOLATED SHOWER
ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS THIS MORNING...WITH GENERALLY PARTLY SUNNY
SKIES THIS AFTERNOON. AFTER THE FOG DISSIPATES...EXPECT
PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES DOWNEAST. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD EAST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT WHILE THE UPPER TROF
CROSSES THE REGION. MOISTURE WITH THE UPPER TROF WILL SUPPORT
PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS TONIGHT...WITH MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES DOWNEAST. HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL RANGE FROM
AROUND 70 TO THE LOWER 70S NORTH...TO THE UPPER 70S INTERIOR
DOWNEAST WITH LOWER TO MID 70S ALONG THE DOWNEAST COAST. LOW
TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 40S TO AROUND 50
NORTH...TO AROUND 50 TO THE LOWER 50S DOWNEAST.
&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
DRY AND WARM FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. A WEAK UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL
GRAZE NORTHERN MAINE ON FRIDAY, BRINGING PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES IN
THE NORTH. MOSTLY SUNNY ELSEWHERE FRIDAY, WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TO
UPPER 70S AND COMFORTABLY LOW DEWPOINTS.

AS WE HEAD INTO LATE SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT, AN UPPER TROUGH
BEGINS TO APPROACH FROM THE WEST, BUT LOOKS LIKE ITS TIMING WILL
HOLD OFF THE BETTER CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS UNTIL SUNDAY.
STILL, PUT IN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE IN THE DAY AND INTO
SATURDAY NIGHT IN THE FAR NORTH IN CASE ITS TIMING SPEEDS UP A
BIT. SATURDAY THE 4TH LOOKS QUITE WARM WITH HIGHS AROUND 80. A
TOUCH MUGGIER THAN FRIDAY, BUT STILL PRETTY COMFORTABLE. DRY
SATURDAY EXCEPT FOR A SMALL CHANCE OF A SHOWER FAR NORTH/NORTHWEST
LATE IN THE DAY AND INTO THE EVENING, WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES.
&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
SUNDAY LOOKING LIKE THE INFERIOR DAY OF THE TWO THIS WEEKEND.
HOWEVER, THERE WILL STILL BE A FAIR AMOUNT OF SUNSHINE (PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES) AND WARM TEMPERATURES (HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOW
80S). THE CATCH IS, A COLD FRONT WILL BE MOVING THROUGH FROM
NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST. NOT MUCH MOISTURE TO WORK WITH, BUT
INSTABILITY APPEARS SUFFICIENT TO IGNITE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE AFTERNOON. THERE ARE SOME MODEL DISAGREEMENTS IN HOW DEEP
THE UPPER TROUGH IS AND EXACTLY WHERE THE COLD FRONT SETS UP,
WHICH WILL DETERMINE THE STRENGTH OF THE STORMS AND WHAT PART OF
THE FORECAST AREA THEY FORM.

FRONT APPEARS TO MOVE JUST FAR ENOUGH EAST TO WHERE MONDAY WILL BE
DRY. TUESDAY LIKELY DRY AS WELL. WARM MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH
HIGHS AROUND 80 AND SOME PLACES POSSIBLY WARMER. SOUTHERLY FLOW
BEGINS TO INCREASE TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AS WE GET INTO A
JUICIER AIRMASS, WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS RETURNING
WEDNESDAY.
&&

.AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VARIABLE CONDITIONS...RANGING FROM VFR TO LIFR...WILL
OCCUR ACROSS THE REGION EARLY THIS MORNING. THE LOWEST
VISIBILITIES WILL OCCUR ACROSS DOWNEAST AREAS WITH FOG...THOUGH
CONDITIONS ARE NOW IMPROVING...WITH RESTRICTIONS ACROSS NORTHERN
AREAS MOSTLY DUE TO CEILINGS. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE TO VFR
LEVELS ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE MORNING HOURS. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE ENTIRE
REGION TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: VFR FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. POSSIBLE MVFR IN
SCATTERED SHOWERS/STORMS SUNDAY, BUT PREDOMINATE VFR SUNDAY. VFR
MONDAY.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY LEVELS TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT. VISIBILITIES WILL BE
REDUCED IN FOG THIS MORNING.

SHORT TERM: CONDITIONS REMAINING BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS FRIDAY
THROUGH MONDAY.
&&

.CLIMATE...
THE FIRST HALF OF THE YEAR ENDED AS THE COLDEST ON RECORD AT
BANGOR AND TIED FOR THE 7TH COLDEST AT CARIBOU. JUNE WAS A COOL
MONTH AND RANKED AS THE 5TH COOLEST ON RECORD AT BANGOR AND 12TH
COOLEST AT CARIBOU.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR MEZ015>017-
     029-030.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...NORCROSS
SHORT TERM...FOISY
LONG TERM...FOISY
AVIATION...NORCROSS/FOISY
MARINE...NORCROSS/FOISY
CLIMATE...BOGEL



000
FXUS61 KCAR 021146
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
746 AM EDT THU JUL 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY CROSS THE REGION TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY. ANOTHER
COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPDATE...
FOG IS DISSIPATING DOWNEAST. THUS...THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY WILL BE
ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 8 AM. OTHERWISE...HAVE UPDATED THE FORECAST
TO ADJUST FOR CURRENT CONDITIONS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK NORTHWEST OF MAINE TODAY...SLOWLY DRAWING
A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. AT THE SAME TIME...AN UPPER
LEVEL TROF WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST. EXPECT PARTLY SUNNY/MOSTLY
CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF AN ISOLATED SHOWER
ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS THIS MORNING...WITH GENERALLY PARTLY SUNNY
SKIES THIS AFTERNOON. AFTER THE FOG DISSIPATES...EXPECT
PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES DOWNEAST. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD EAST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT WHILE THE UPPER TROF
CROSSES THE REGION. MOISTURE WITH THE UPPER TROF WILL SUPPORT
PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS TONIGHT...WITH MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES DOWNEAST. HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL RANGE FROM
AROUND 70 TO THE LOWER 70S NORTH...TO THE UPPER 70S INTERIOR
DOWNEAST WITH LOWER TO MID 70S ALONG THE DOWNEAST COAST. LOW
TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 40S TO AROUND 50
NORTH...TO AROUND 50 TO THE LOWER 50S DOWNEAST.
&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
DRY AND WARM FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. A WEAK UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL
GRAZE NORTHERN MAINE ON FRIDAY, BRINGING PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES IN
THE NORTH. MOSTLY SUNNY ELSEWHERE FRIDAY, WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TO
UPPER 70S AND COMFORTABLY LOW DEWPOINTS.

AS WE HEAD INTO LATE SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT, AN UPPER TROUGH
BEGINS TO APPROACH FROM THE WEST, BUT LOOKS LIKE ITS TIMING WILL
HOLD OFF THE BETTER CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS UNTIL SUNDAY.
STILL, PUT IN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE IN THE DAY AND INTO
SATURDAY NIGHT IN THE FAR NORTH IN CASE ITS TIMING SPEEDS UP A
BIT. SATURDAY THE 4TH LOOKS QUITE WARM WITH HIGHS AROUND 80. A
TOUCH MUGGIER THAN FRIDAY, BUT STILL PRETTY COMFORTABLE. DRY
SATURDAY EXCEPT FOR A SMALL CHANCE OF A SHOWER FAR NORTH/NORTHWEST
LATE IN THE DAY AND INTO THE EVENING, WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES.
&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
SUNDAY LOOKING LIKE THE INFERIOR DAY OF THE TWO THIS WEEKEND.
HOWEVER, THERE WILL STILL BE A FAIR AMOUNT OF SUNSHINE (PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES) AND WARM TEMPERATURES (HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOW
80S). THE CATCH IS, A COLD FRONT WILL BE MOVING THROUGH FROM
NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST. NOT MUCH MOISTURE TO WORK WITH, BUT
INSTABILITY APPEARS SUFFICIENT TO IGNITE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE AFTERNOON. THERE ARE SOME MODEL DISAGREEMENTS IN HOW DEEP
THE UPPER TROUGH IS AND EXACTLY WHERE THE COLD FRONT SETS UP,
WHICH WILL DETERMINE THE STRENGTH OF THE STORMS AND WHAT PART OF
THE FORECAST AREA THEY FORM.

FRONT APPEARS TO MOVE JUST FAR ENOUGH EAST TO WHERE MONDAY WILL BE
DRY. TUESDAY LIKELY DRY AS WELL. WARM MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH
HIGHS AROUND 80 AND SOME PLACES POSSIBLY WARMER. SOUTHERLY FLOW
BEGINS TO INCREASE TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AS WE GET INTO A
JUICIER AIRMASS, WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS RETURNING
WEDNESDAY.
&&

.AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VARIABLE CONDITIONS...RANGING FROM VFR TO LIFR...WILL
OCCUR ACROSS THE REGION EARLY THIS MORNING. THE LOWEST
VISIBILITIES WILL OCCUR ACROSS DOWNEAST AREAS WITH FOG...THOUGH
CONDITIONS ARE NOW IMPROVING...WITH RESTRICTIONS ACROSS NORTHERN
AREAS MOSTLY DUE TO CEILINGS. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE TO VFR
LEVELS ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE MORNING HOURS. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE ENTIRE
REGION TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: VFR FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. POSSIBLE MVFR IN
SCATTERED SHOWERS/STORMS SUNDAY, BUT PREDOMINATE VFR SUNDAY. VFR
MONDAY.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY LEVELS TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT. VISIBILITIES WILL BE
REDUCED IN FOG THIS MORNING.

SHORT TERM: CONDITIONS REMAINING BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS FRIDAY
THROUGH MONDAY.
&&

.CLIMATE...
THE FIRST HALF OF THE YEAR ENDED AS THE COLDEST ON RECORD AT
BANGOR AND TIED FOR THE 7TH COLDEST AT CARIBOU. JUNE WAS A COOL
MONTH AND RANKED AS THE 5TH COOLEST ON RECORD AT BANGOR AND 12TH
COOLEST AT CARIBOU.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR MEZ015>017-
     029-030.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...NORCROSS
SHORT TERM...FOISY
LONG TERM...FOISY
AVIATION...NORCROSS/FOISY
MARINE...NORCROSS/FOISY
CLIMATE...BOGEL




000
FXUS61 KCAR 021146
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
746 AM EDT THU JUL 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY CROSS THE REGION TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY. ANOTHER
COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPDATE...
FOG IS DISSIPATING DOWNEAST. THUS...THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY WILL BE
ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 8 AM. OTHERWISE...HAVE UPDATED THE FORECAST
TO ADJUST FOR CURRENT CONDITIONS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK NORTHWEST OF MAINE TODAY...SLOWLY DRAWING
A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. AT THE SAME TIME...AN UPPER
LEVEL TROF WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST. EXPECT PARTLY SUNNY/MOSTLY
CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF AN ISOLATED SHOWER
ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS THIS MORNING...WITH GENERALLY PARTLY SUNNY
SKIES THIS AFTERNOON. AFTER THE FOG DISSIPATES...EXPECT
PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES DOWNEAST. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD EAST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT WHILE THE UPPER TROF
CROSSES THE REGION. MOISTURE WITH THE UPPER TROF WILL SUPPORT
PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS TONIGHT...WITH MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES DOWNEAST. HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL RANGE FROM
AROUND 70 TO THE LOWER 70S NORTH...TO THE UPPER 70S INTERIOR
DOWNEAST WITH LOWER TO MID 70S ALONG THE DOWNEAST COAST. LOW
TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 40S TO AROUND 50
NORTH...TO AROUND 50 TO THE LOWER 50S DOWNEAST.
&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
DRY AND WARM FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. A WEAK UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL
GRAZE NORTHERN MAINE ON FRIDAY, BRINGING PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES IN
THE NORTH. MOSTLY SUNNY ELSEWHERE FRIDAY, WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TO
UPPER 70S AND COMFORTABLY LOW DEWPOINTS.

AS WE HEAD INTO LATE SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT, AN UPPER TROUGH
BEGINS TO APPROACH FROM THE WEST, BUT LOOKS LIKE ITS TIMING WILL
HOLD OFF THE BETTER CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS UNTIL SUNDAY.
STILL, PUT IN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE IN THE DAY AND INTO
SATURDAY NIGHT IN THE FAR NORTH IN CASE ITS TIMING SPEEDS UP A
BIT. SATURDAY THE 4TH LOOKS QUITE WARM WITH HIGHS AROUND 80. A
TOUCH MUGGIER THAN FRIDAY, BUT STILL PRETTY COMFORTABLE. DRY
SATURDAY EXCEPT FOR A SMALL CHANCE OF A SHOWER FAR NORTH/NORTHWEST
LATE IN THE DAY AND INTO THE EVENING, WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES.
&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
SUNDAY LOOKING LIKE THE INFERIOR DAY OF THE TWO THIS WEEKEND.
HOWEVER, THERE WILL STILL BE A FAIR AMOUNT OF SUNSHINE (PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES) AND WARM TEMPERATURES (HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOW
80S). THE CATCH IS, A COLD FRONT WILL BE MOVING THROUGH FROM
NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST. NOT MUCH MOISTURE TO WORK WITH, BUT
INSTABILITY APPEARS SUFFICIENT TO IGNITE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE AFTERNOON. THERE ARE SOME MODEL DISAGREEMENTS IN HOW DEEP
THE UPPER TROUGH IS AND EXACTLY WHERE THE COLD FRONT SETS UP,
WHICH WILL DETERMINE THE STRENGTH OF THE STORMS AND WHAT PART OF
THE FORECAST AREA THEY FORM.

FRONT APPEARS TO MOVE JUST FAR ENOUGH EAST TO WHERE MONDAY WILL BE
DRY. TUESDAY LIKELY DRY AS WELL. WARM MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH
HIGHS AROUND 80 AND SOME PLACES POSSIBLY WARMER. SOUTHERLY FLOW
BEGINS TO INCREASE TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AS WE GET INTO A
JUICIER AIRMASS, WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS RETURNING
WEDNESDAY.
&&

.AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VARIABLE CONDITIONS...RANGING FROM VFR TO LIFR...WILL
OCCUR ACROSS THE REGION EARLY THIS MORNING. THE LOWEST
VISIBILITIES WILL OCCUR ACROSS DOWNEAST AREAS WITH FOG...THOUGH
CONDITIONS ARE NOW IMPROVING...WITH RESTRICTIONS ACROSS NORTHERN
AREAS MOSTLY DUE TO CEILINGS. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE TO VFR
LEVELS ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE MORNING HOURS. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE ENTIRE
REGION TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: VFR FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. POSSIBLE MVFR IN
SCATTERED SHOWERS/STORMS SUNDAY, BUT PREDOMINATE VFR SUNDAY. VFR
MONDAY.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY LEVELS TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT. VISIBILITIES WILL BE
REDUCED IN FOG THIS MORNING.

SHORT TERM: CONDITIONS REMAINING BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS FRIDAY
THROUGH MONDAY.
&&

.CLIMATE...
THE FIRST HALF OF THE YEAR ENDED AS THE COLDEST ON RECORD AT
BANGOR AND TIED FOR THE 7TH COLDEST AT CARIBOU. JUNE WAS A COOL
MONTH AND RANKED AS THE 5TH COOLEST ON RECORD AT BANGOR AND 12TH
COOLEST AT CARIBOU.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR MEZ015>017-
     029-030.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...NORCROSS
SHORT TERM...FOISY
LONG TERM...FOISY
AVIATION...NORCROSS/FOISY
MARINE...NORCROSS/FOISY
CLIMATE...BOGEL



000
FXUS61 KGYX 021106
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
706 AM EDT THU JUL 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES TODAY. HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN TODAY AND REMAINS IN PLACE THROUGH LATE
SATURDAY NIGHT. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH SUNDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN THROUGH MIDWEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /TODAY/...
7AM UPDATE...
HIGH THIN CIRRUS CLOUDS HAVE BEGUN MOVING INTO THE AREA. WHILE
THESE ARE NOT VERY OPAQUE AND THE SUN IS SHINING BRIGHTLY THROUGH
THEM... IT IS ENOUGH TO UPDATE THE SKY COVER IN THE FORECAST TO
INDICATE A BIT MORE CLOUDS THIS MORNING. OTHERWISE NO SIGNIFICANT
CHANGES WERE MADE.

ORIGINAL DISCUSSION...
AS LOW PRESSURE DEPARTS... HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE
WEST TODAY. IT SHOULD BE A MOSTLY SUNNY DAY... ALTHOUGH SOME
AFTERNOON CUMULUS ARE POSSIBLE. TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE 70S TO
NEAR 80 DEGREES IN SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE. LIGHT SOUTHWEST WINDS
WILL ALLOW A SEABREEZE TO APPROACH THE COAST AND PROVIDE THE MOST
IMPACT TO THE MIDCOAST REGION OF MAINE.

ALTHOUGH RIP CURRENTS HAVE BEEN NOTED THE PAST FEW DAYS AT SOME
AREA BEACHES... FORECAST CONDITIONS TODAY DO NOT APPEAR TO FAVOR
AN ENHANCED CHANCE OF RIP CURRENTS. WINDS OVER THE WATER TODAY
WILL BE VERY LIGHT OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST (INSTEAD OF ONSHORE) WITH
WAVE HEIGHTS DECREASING.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT AND FRIDAY/...
CLEAR AND CALM CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER THE WESTERN PART OF THE
FORECAST AREA TONIGHT... CLOSER TO THE CENTER OF HIGH PRESSURE.
THIS WILL ALLOW GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS. DRY AIR IN
PLACE WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO FALL INTO THE 40S. COASTAL MAINE
AND THE SOUTHEAST HALF OF NEW HAMPSHIRE WILL BOTTOM OUT IN THE LOW
TO MID 50S.

SHOULD BE A DEGREE OR TWO WARMER ON FRIDAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE
STILL IN CONTROL. A SEABREEZE IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST LATER IN
THE DAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE NEXT TWO TO SEVEN DAYS LOOK MOSTLY PRECIPITATION FREE WITH
TEMPERATURES RIGHT AROUND OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL. ON SATURDAY
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS CENTERED OFFSHORE BUT INFLUENCES THE
WEATHER OVER NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND BY SUPPLYING SUNNY SKIES AND A
SEA BREEZE IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY COOLER
ALONG THE COAST DUE TO THIS FEATURE.

BY THAT NIGHT A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL HAVE ENTERED THE
NORTHERN COUNTIES AS LOW PRESSURE TRAVELS THROUGH EASTERN CANADA.
THE TROUGH SHARPENS ON SUNDAY AND SOME RAIN SHOWERS MAY DEVELOP
ESPECIALLY IN THE HEAT OF THE AFTERNOON. STILL THE SHOWERS WILL
HAVE MINIMAL IMPACT ON AS FAR AS RAINFALL AMOUNTS GO AND SHOULD
EXIT THE AREA BY THE EVENING.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST MONDAY AND REMAINS OVERHEAD
TUESDAY BRINGING SUNNY SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS. WE WILL SEE
TEMPERATURES IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S AREAWIDE. WEAK TROUGHING
STEERS ANOTHER BOUNDARY OUR WAY IN THE THURSDAY TIME FRAME... BUT
IT REMAINS TO BE SEEN WHETHER THIS FEATURE WILL WASH OUT BEFORE IT
REACHES US.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...HIGH PRESSURE BRINGS A CLEAR SKY AND LIGHT WINDS FOR
THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

LONG TERM...POSSIBLE MVFR CEILINGS SATURDAY NIGHT UNTIL SUNDAY
NIGHT IN RAIN SHOWERS AS A FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS EAST INTO NEW ENGLAND AND THE
GULF OF MAINE BRINGING LIGHT WINDS AND DECREASING WAVE HEIGHTS.

LONG TERM...NO PROBLEMS NOTED ON THE WATERS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
CONTROL THE WATERS FOR MOST OF THE NEXT 7 DAYS. OVER THE WEEKEND A
FRONT WILL CROSS THE WATERS BUT WINDS AND WAVES WILL STAY BELOW
SCA CRITERIA.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

KIMBLE/HANES



000
FXUS61 KGYX 021106
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
706 AM EDT THU JUL 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES TODAY. HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN TODAY AND REMAINS IN PLACE THROUGH LATE
SATURDAY NIGHT. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH SUNDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN THROUGH MIDWEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /TODAY/...
7AM UPDATE...
HIGH THIN CIRRUS CLOUDS HAVE BEGUN MOVING INTO THE AREA. WHILE
THESE ARE NOT VERY OPAQUE AND THE SUN IS SHINING BRIGHTLY THROUGH
THEM... IT IS ENOUGH TO UPDATE THE SKY COVER IN THE FORECAST TO
INDICATE A BIT MORE CLOUDS THIS MORNING. OTHERWISE NO SIGNIFICANT
CHANGES WERE MADE.

ORIGINAL DISCUSSION...
AS LOW PRESSURE DEPARTS... HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE
WEST TODAY. IT SHOULD BE A MOSTLY SUNNY DAY... ALTHOUGH SOME
AFTERNOON CUMULUS ARE POSSIBLE. TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE 70S TO
NEAR 80 DEGREES IN SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE. LIGHT SOUTHWEST WINDS
WILL ALLOW A SEABREEZE TO APPROACH THE COAST AND PROVIDE THE MOST
IMPACT TO THE MIDCOAST REGION OF MAINE.

ALTHOUGH RIP CURRENTS HAVE BEEN NOTED THE PAST FEW DAYS AT SOME
AREA BEACHES... FORECAST CONDITIONS TODAY DO NOT APPEAR TO FAVOR
AN ENHANCED CHANCE OF RIP CURRENTS. WINDS OVER THE WATER TODAY
WILL BE VERY LIGHT OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST (INSTEAD OF ONSHORE) WITH
WAVE HEIGHTS DECREASING.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT AND FRIDAY/...
CLEAR AND CALM CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER THE WESTERN PART OF THE
FORECAST AREA TONIGHT... CLOSER TO THE CENTER OF HIGH PRESSURE.
THIS WILL ALLOW GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS. DRY AIR IN
PLACE WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO FALL INTO THE 40S. COASTAL MAINE
AND THE SOUTHEAST HALF OF NEW HAMPSHIRE WILL BOTTOM OUT IN THE LOW
TO MID 50S.

SHOULD BE A DEGREE OR TWO WARMER ON FRIDAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE
STILL IN CONTROL. A SEABREEZE IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST LATER IN
THE DAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE NEXT TWO TO SEVEN DAYS LOOK MOSTLY PRECIPITATION FREE WITH
TEMPERATURES RIGHT AROUND OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL. ON SATURDAY
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS CENTERED OFFSHORE BUT INFLUENCES THE
WEATHER OVER NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND BY SUPPLYING SUNNY SKIES AND A
SEA BREEZE IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY COOLER
ALONG THE COAST DUE TO THIS FEATURE.

BY THAT NIGHT A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL HAVE ENTERED THE
NORTHERN COUNTIES AS LOW PRESSURE TRAVELS THROUGH EASTERN CANADA.
THE TROUGH SHARPENS ON SUNDAY AND SOME RAIN SHOWERS MAY DEVELOP
ESPECIALLY IN THE HEAT OF THE AFTERNOON. STILL THE SHOWERS WILL
HAVE MINIMAL IMPACT ON AS FAR AS RAINFALL AMOUNTS GO AND SHOULD
EXIT THE AREA BY THE EVENING.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST MONDAY AND REMAINS OVERHEAD
TUESDAY BRINGING SUNNY SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS. WE WILL SEE
TEMPERATURES IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S AREAWIDE. WEAK TROUGHING
STEERS ANOTHER BOUNDARY OUR WAY IN THE THURSDAY TIME FRAME... BUT
IT REMAINS TO BE SEEN WHETHER THIS FEATURE WILL WASH OUT BEFORE IT
REACHES US.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...HIGH PRESSURE BRINGS A CLEAR SKY AND LIGHT WINDS FOR
THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

LONG TERM...POSSIBLE MVFR CEILINGS SATURDAY NIGHT UNTIL SUNDAY
NIGHT IN RAIN SHOWERS AS A FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS EAST INTO NEW ENGLAND AND THE
GULF OF MAINE BRINGING LIGHT WINDS AND DECREASING WAVE HEIGHTS.

LONG TERM...NO PROBLEMS NOTED ON THE WATERS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
CONTROL THE WATERS FOR MOST OF THE NEXT 7 DAYS. OVER THE WEEKEND A
FRONT WILL CROSS THE WATERS BUT WINDS AND WAVES WILL STAY BELOW
SCA CRITERIA.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

KIMBLE/HANES




000
FXUS61 KCAR 020901
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
501 AM EDT THU JUL 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY CROSS THE REGION TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY. A COLD FRONT
WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK NORTHWEST OF MAINE TODAY...SLOWLY DRAWING
A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. AT THE SAME TIME...AN UPPER
LEVEL TROF WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST. EXPECT PARTLY SUNNY/MOSTLY
CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF AN ISOLATED SHOWER
ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS THIS MORNING...WITH GENERALLY PARTLY SUNNY
SKIES THIS AFTERNOON. A DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM
ACROSS DOWNEAST AREAS...WITH IMPROVING CONDITIONS OVER THE NEXT
SEVERAL HOURS. AFTER THE FOG DISSIPATES...EXPECT PARTLY/MOSTLY
SUNNY SKIES DOWNEAST. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD EAST ACROSS
THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT WHILE THE UPPER TROF CROSSES THE
REGION. MOISTURE WITH THE UPPER TROF WILL SUPPORT PARTLY CLOUDY
SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS TONIGHT...WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES
DOWNEAST. HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL RANGE FROM AROUND 70 TO
THE LOWER 70S NORTH...TO THE UPPER 70S INTERIOR DOWNEAST WITH
LOWER TO MID 70S ALONG THE DOWNEAST COAST. LOW TEMPERATURES
TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 40S TO AROUND 50 NORTH...TO
AROUND 50 TO THE LOWER 50S DOWNEAST.
&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
DRY AND WARM FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. A WEAK UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL
GRAZE NORTHERN MAINE ON FRIDAY, BRINGING PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES IN
THE NORTH. MOSTLY SUNNY ELSEWHERE FRIDAY, WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TO
UPPER 70S AND COMFORTABLY LOW DEWPOINTS.

AS WE HEAD INTO LATE SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT, AN UPPER TROUGH
BEGINS TO APPROACH FROM THE WEST, BUT LOOKS LIKE ITS TIMING WILL
HOLD OFF THE BETTER CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS UNTIL SUNDAY.
STILL, PUT IN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE IN THE DAY AND INTO
SATURDAY NIGHT IN THE FAR NORTH IN CASE ITS TIMING SPEEDS UP A
BIT. SATURDAY THE 4TH LOOKS QUITE WARM WITH HIGHS AROUND 80. A
TOUCH MUGGIER THAN FRIDAY, BUT STILL PRETTY COMFORTABLE. DRY
SATURDAY EXCEPT FOR A SMALL CHANCE OF A SHOWER FAR NORTH/NORTHWEST
LATE IN THE DAY AND INTO THE EVENING, WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES.
&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
SUNDAY LOOKING LIKE THE INFERIOR DAY OF THE TWO THIS WEEKEND.
HOWEVER, THERE WILL STILL BE A FAIR AMOUNT OF SUNSHINE (PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES) AND WARM TEMPERATURES (HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOW
80S). THE CATCH IS, A COLD FRONT WILL BE MOVING THROUGH FROM
NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST. NOT MUCH MOISTURE TO WORK WITH, BUT
INSTABILITY APPEARS SUFFICIENT TO IGNITE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE AFTERNOON. THERE ARE SOME MODEL DISAGREEMENTS IN HOW DEEP
THE UPPER TROUGH IS AND EXACTLY WHERE THE COLD FRONT SETS UP,
WHICH WILL DETERMINE THE STRENGTH OF THE STORMS AND WHAT PART OF
THE FORECAST AREA THEY FORM.

FRONT APPEARS TO MOVE JUST FAR ENOUGH EAST TO WHERE MONDAY WILL BE
DRY. TUESDAY LIKELY DRY AS WELL. WARM MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH
HIGHS AROUND 80 AND SOME PLACES POSSIBLY WARMER. SOUTHERLY FLOW
BEGINS TO INCREASE TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AS WE GET INTO A
JUICIER AIRMASS, WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS RETURNING
WEDNESDAY.
&&

.AVIATION /09Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VARIABLE CONDITIONS...RANGING FROM VFR TO VLIFR...WILL
OCCUR ACROSS THE REGION EARLY THIS MORNING. THE LOWEST
VISIBILITIES WILL OCCUR ACROSS DOWNEAST AREAS WITH FOG...WITH
RESTRICTIONS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS MOSTLY DUE TO CEILINGS.
CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE TO VFR LEVELS ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST
AREA THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
THE ENTIRE REGION TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: VFR FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. POSSIBLE MVFR IN
SCATTERED SHOWERS/STORMS SUNDAY, BUT PREDOMINATE VFR SUNDAY. VFR
MONDAY.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY LEVELS TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT. VISIBILITIES WILL BE
REDUCED IN FOG THIS MORNING.

SHORT TERM: CONDITIONS REMAINING BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS FRIDAY
THROUGH MONDAY.
&&

.CLIMATE...
THE FIRST HALF OF THE YEAR ENDED AS THE COLDEST ON RECORD AT
BANGOR AND TIED FOR THE 7TH COLDEST AT CARIBOU. JUNE WAS A COOL
MONTH AND RANKED AS THE 5TH COOLEST ON RECORD AT BANGOR AND 12TH
COOLEST AT CARIBOU.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR MEZ015>017-
     029-030.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...NORCROSS
SHORT TERM...FOISY
LONG TERM...FOISY
AVIATION...NORCROSS/FOISY
MARINE...NORCROSS/FOISY
CLIMATE...BOGEL



000
FXUS61 KGYX 020717
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
317 AM EDT THU JUL 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES TODAY. HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN TODAY AND REMAINS IN PLACE THROUGH LATE
SATURDAY NIGHT. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH SUNDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN THROUGH MIDWEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /TODAY/...
AS LOW PRESSURE DEPARTS... HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE
WEST TODAY. IT SHOULD BE A MOSTLY SUNNY DAY... ALTHOUGH SOME
AFTERNOON CUMULUS ARE POSSIBLE. TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE 70S TO
NEAR 80 DEGREES IN SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE. LIGHT SOUTHWEST WINDS
WILL ALLOW A SEABREEZE TO APPROACH THE COAST AND PROVIDE THE MOST
IMPACT TO THE MIDCOAST REGION OF MAINE.

ALTHOUGH RIP CURRENTS HAVE BEEN NOTED THE PAST FEW DAYS AT SOME
AREA BEACHES... FORECAST CONDITIONS TODAY DO NOT APPEAR TO FAVOR
AN ENHANCED CHANCE OF RIP CURRENTS. WINDS OVER THE WATER TODAY
WILL BE VERY LIGHT OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST (INSTEAD OF ONSHORE) WITH
WAVE HEIGHTS DECREASING.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT AND FRIDAY/...
CLEAR AND CALM CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER THE WESTERN PART OF THE
FORECAST AREA TONIGHT... CLOSER TO THE CENTER OF HIGH PRESSURE.
THIS WILL ALLOW GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS. DRY AIR IN
PLACE WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO FALL INTO THE 40S. COASTAL MAINE
AND THE SOUTHEAST HALF OF NEW HAMPSHIRE WILL BOTTOM OUT IN THE LOW
TO MID 50S.

SHOULD BE A DEGREE OR TWO WARMER ON FRIDAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE
STILL IN CONTROL. A SEABREEZE IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST LATER IN
THE DAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE NEXT TWO TO SEVEN DAYS LOOK MOSTLY PRECIPITATION FREE WITH
TEMPERATURES RIGHT AROUND OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL. ON SATURDAY
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS CENTERED OFFSHORE BUT INFLUENCES THE
WEATHER OVER NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND BY SUPPLYING SUNNY SKIES AND A
SEA BREEZE IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY COOLER
ALONG THE COAST DUE TO THIS FEATURE.

BY THAT NIGHT A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL HAVE ENTERED THE
NORTHERN COUNTIES AS LOW PRESSURE TRAVELS THROUGH EASTERN CANADA.
THE TROUGH SHARPENS ON SUNDAY AND SOME RAIN SHOWERS MAY DEVELOP
ESPECIALLY IN THE HEAT OF THE AFTERNOON. STILL THE SHOWERS WILL
HAVE MINIMAL IMPACT ON AS FAR AS RAINFALL AMOUNTS GO AND SHOULD
EXIT THE AREA BY THE EVENING.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST MONDAY AND REMAINS OVERHEAD
TUESDAY BRINGING SUNNY SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS. WE WILL SEE
TEMPERATURES IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S AREAWIDE. WEAK TROUGHING
STEERS ANOTHER BOUNDARY OUR WAY IN THE THURSDAY TIME FRAME... BUT
IT REMAINS TO BE SEEN WHETHER THIS FEATURE WILL WASH OUT BEFORE IT
REACHES US.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...HIGH PRESSURE BRINGS A CLEAR SKY AND LIGHT WINDS FOR
THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

LONG TERM...POSSIBLE MVFR CEILINGS SATURDAY NIGHT UNTIL SUNDAY
NIGHT IN RAIN SHOWERS AS A FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS EAST INTO NEW ENGLAND AND THE
GULF OF MAINE BRINGING LIGHT WINDS AND DECREASING WAVE HEIGHTS.

LONG TERM...NO PROBLEMS NOTED ON THE WATERS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
CONTROL THE WATERS FOR MOST OF THE NEXT 7 DAYS. OVER THE WEEKEND A
FRONT WILL CROSS THE WATERS BUT WINDS AND WAVES WILL STAY BELOW
SCA CRITERIA.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

KIMBLE/HANES




000
FXUS61 KGYX 020717
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
317 AM EDT THU JUL 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES TODAY. HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN TODAY AND REMAINS IN PLACE THROUGH LATE
SATURDAY NIGHT. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH SUNDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN THROUGH MIDWEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /TODAY/...
AS LOW PRESSURE DEPARTS... HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE
WEST TODAY. IT SHOULD BE A MOSTLY SUNNY DAY... ALTHOUGH SOME
AFTERNOON CUMULUS ARE POSSIBLE. TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE 70S TO
NEAR 80 DEGREES IN SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE. LIGHT SOUTHWEST WINDS
WILL ALLOW A SEABREEZE TO APPROACH THE COAST AND PROVIDE THE MOST
IMPACT TO THE MIDCOAST REGION OF MAINE.

ALTHOUGH RIP CURRENTS HAVE BEEN NOTED THE PAST FEW DAYS AT SOME
AREA BEACHES... FORECAST CONDITIONS TODAY DO NOT APPEAR TO FAVOR
AN ENHANCED CHANCE OF RIP CURRENTS. WINDS OVER THE WATER TODAY
WILL BE VERY LIGHT OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST (INSTEAD OF ONSHORE) WITH
WAVE HEIGHTS DECREASING.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT AND FRIDAY/...
CLEAR AND CALM CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER THE WESTERN PART OF THE
FORECAST AREA TONIGHT... CLOSER TO THE CENTER OF HIGH PRESSURE.
THIS WILL ALLOW GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS. DRY AIR IN
PLACE WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO FALL INTO THE 40S. COASTAL MAINE
AND THE SOUTHEAST HALF OF NEW HAMPSHIRE WILL BOTTOM OUT IN THE LOW
TO MID 50S.

SHOULD BE A DEGREE OR TWO WARMER ON FRIDAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE
STILL IN CONTROL. A SEABREEZE IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST LATER IN
THE DAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE NEXT TWO TO SEVEN DAYS LOOK MOSTLY PRECIPITATION FREE WITH
TEMPERATURES RIGHT AROUND OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL. ON SATURDAY
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS CENTERED OFFSHORE BUT INFLUENCES THE
WEATHER OVER NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND BY SUPPLYING SUNNY SKIES AND A
SEA BREEZE IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY COOLER
ALONG THE COAST DUE TO THIS FEATURE.

BY THAT NIGHT A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL HAVE ENTERED THE
NORTHERN COUNTIES AS LOW PRESSURE TRAVELS THROUGH EASTERN CANADA.
THE TROUGH SHARPENS ON SUNDAY AND SOME RAIN SHOWERS MAY DEVELOP
ESPECIALLY IN THE HEAT OF THE AFTERNOON. STILL THE SHOWERS WILL
HAVE MINIMAL IMPACT ON AS FAR AS RAINFALL AMOUNTS GO AND SHOULD
EXIT THE AREA BY THE EVENING.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST MONDAY AND REMAINS OVERHEAD
TUESDAY BRINGING SUNNY SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS. WE WILL SEE
TEMPERATURES IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S AREAWIDE. WEAK TROUGHING
STEERS ANOTHER BOUNDARY OUR WAY IN THE THURSDAY TIME FRAME... BUT
IT REMAINS TO BE SEEN WHETHER THIS FEATURE WILL WASH OUT BEFORE IT
REACHES US.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...HIGH PRESSURE BRINGS A CLEAR SKY AND LIGHT WINDS FOR
THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

LONG TERM...POSSIBLE MVFR CEILINGS SATURDAY NIGHT UNTIL SUNDAY
NIGHT IN RAIN SHOWERS AS A FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS EAST INTO NEW ENGLAND AND THE
GULF OF MAINE BRINGING LIGHT WINDS AND DECREASING WAVE HEIGHTS.

LONG TERM...NO PROBLEMS NOTED ON THE WATERS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
CONTROL THE WATERS FOR MOST OF THE NEXT 7 DAYS. OVER THE WEEKEND A
FRONT WILL CROSS THE WATERS BUT WINDS AND WAVES WILL STAY BELOW
SCA CRITERIA.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

KIMBLE/HANES



000
FXUS61 KCAR 020602
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
202 AM EDT THU JUL 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY CROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY
NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
UPDATE...
LOW PRESSURE TRACKING NORTHWEST OF MAINE WILL BEGIN TO DRAW A
COLD FRONT ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT. COULD HAVE LINGERING
SHOWERS ACROSS MOSTLY NORTHERN AREAS THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS. MOISTURE MOVING INLAND FROM THE GULF OF MAINE IS SUPPORTING
WIDESPREAD DENSE FOG ACROSS DOWNEAST AREAS WHERE A DENSE FOG
ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED THROUGH 4 AM WITH THIS UPDATE.
OTHERWISE...EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA
OVERNIGHT. OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE MID TO
UPPER 50S ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. HAVE ALSO UPDATED TO ADJUST
FOR CURRENT CONDITIONS ALONG WITH EXPECTED OVERNIGHT
TEMPERATURES...CLOUD COVER AND SHOWER CHANCES.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE THURSDAY MORNING WHILE THE FRONT PUSHES
ACROSS THE AREA WITH DRIER AIR AND PARTIAL CLEARING TOWARD
MORNING. THURSDAY WILL FEATURE PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AS
HIGH PRESSURE STARTS TO BUILD IN FROM THE WEST. HIGHS ON THURSDAY
WILL BE IN THE LOW TO MID 70S ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION.
&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
DRY AND WARM HEADING INTO THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND.  HIGH PRES SLIDES
SOUTH OF THE REGION FRI MAKING FOR A NICE DAY. A WEAK UPPER TROUGH
WILL LIKELY PRODUCE A BIT MORE CLOUD COVER IN THE NORTH...BUT EVEN
ACROSS THE CROWN OF MAINE IT SHOULD BE A P/SUNNY DAY.  MOSTLY SUNNY
WEATHER IS EXPECTED DOWN EAST.  HIGHS WILL MOSTLY BE IN THE M/U 70S
INLAND...BUT A WEAK ONSHORE FLOW/SEABREEZE WILL LIKELY DEVELOP
ALONG THE COAST KEEPING TEMPS COOLER AT THE SHORELINE. HIGH PRES
MOVES EAST ON THE 4TH AS A COLD FRONT BEGINS TO APPROACH FROM THE
NW LATE IN THE DAY. A LATE DAY OR EVENING SHOWER IS POSSIBLE
ACROSS NW AREAS...BUT OTHERWISE IT WILL BE DRY WITH CONTINUED WARM
TEMPS THAT MAY TOP 80 DEGREES ACROSS PARTS OF INTERIOR DOWN EAST
MAINE.
&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
A COLD FRONT SLOWLY PUSHES THROUGH THE AREA SAT NIGHT AND MAY
STALL OUT ACROSS DOWNEAST MAINE SUN. THE BEST CHANCE OF SHOWERS
WILL LIKELY BE DURING THE DAY SUN ACROSS DOWN EAST AREAS. THE
FRONT DOES NOT HAVE MUCH MOISTURE TO WORK WITH AND THE SHOWERS
WILL LIKELY BE SCATTERED. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
SUN AFTERNOON DOWN EAST. HIGH PRES BUILDS BACK ACROSS THE REGION
MON AND TUE WITH DRY AND WARM WEATHER. THE NEXT COLD FRONT IS
EXPECTED TO CROSS THE REGION WED WITH THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.
&&

.AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VARIABLE CONDITIONS...RANGING FROM MVFR TO
VLIFR...WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY
THURSDAY. CONDITIONS WILL THEN IMPROVE TO VFR LEVELS ACROSS THE
REGION THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.

SHORT TERM: VFR EXPECTED THU NIGHT THROUGH SAT EVE. CONDITIONS
MAY LOWER TO MVFR AT TIMES LATER SAT NIGHT INTO SUN IN SHOWERS.
VFR MON.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS OVERNIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. VISIBILITIES WILL BE REDUCED IN
FOG OVERNIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING.

SHORT TERM: NO HEADLINES ARE EXPECTED THU NIGHT THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.
&&

.CLIMATE...
THE FIRST HALF OF THE YEAR ENDED AS THE COLDEST ON
RECORD AT BANGOR AND TIED FOR THE 7TH COLDEST AT CARIBOU. JUNE
WAS A COOL MONTH AND RANKED AS THE 5TH COOLEST ON RECORD AT BANGOR
AND 12TH COOLEST AT CARIBOU.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM EDT EARLY THIS MORNING FOR
     MEZ015>017-029-030.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...NORCROSS/DUDA
SHORT TERM...CB
LONG TERM...CB
AVIATION...NORCROSS/CB
MARINE...NORCROSS/CB
CLIMATE...CB




000
FXUS61 KCAR 020602
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
202 AM EDT THU JUL 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY CROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY
NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
UPDATE...
LOW PRESSURE TRACKING NORTHWEST OF MAINE WILL BEGIN TO DRAW A
COLD FRONT ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT. COULD HAVE LINGERING
SHOWERS ACROSS MOSTLY NORTHERN AREAS THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS. MOISTURE MOVING INLAND FROM THE GULF OF MAINE IS SUPPORTING
WIDESPREAD DENSE FOG ACROSS DOWNEAST AREAS WHERE A DENSE FOG
ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED THROUGH 4 AM WITH THIS UPDATE.
OTHERWISE...EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA
OVERNIGHT. OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE MID TO
UPPER 50S ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. HAVE ALSO UPDATED TO ADJUST
FOR CURRENT CONDITIONS ALONG WITH EXPECTED OVERNIGHT
TEMPERATURES...CLOUD COVER AND SHOWER CHANCES.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE THURSDAY MORNING WHILE THE FRONT PUSHES
ACROSS THE AREA WITH DRIER AIR AND PARTIAL CLEARING TOWARD
MORNING. THURSDAY WILL FEATURE PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AS
HIGH PRESSURE STARTS TO BUILD IN FROM THE WEST. HIGHS ON THURSDAY
WILL BE IN THE LOW TO MID 70S ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION.
&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
DRY AND WARM HEADING INTO THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND.  HIGH PRES SLIDES
SOUTH OF THE REGION FRI MAKING FOR A NICE DAY. A WEAK UPPER TROUGH
WILL LIKELY PRODUCE A BIT MORE CLOUD COVER IN THE NORTH...BUT EVEN
ACROSS THE CROWN OF MAINE IT SHOULD BE A P/SUNNY DAY.  MOSTLY SUNNY
WEATHER IS EXPECTED DOWN EAST.  HIGHS WILL MOSTLY BE IN THE M/U 70S
INLAND...BUT A WEAK ONSHORE FLOW/SEABREEZE WILL LIKELY DEVELOP
ALONG THE COAST KEEPING TEMPS COOLER AT THE SHORELINE. HIGH PRES
MOVES EAST ON THE 4TH AS A COLD FRONT BEGINS TO APPROACH FROM THE
NW LATE IN THE DAY. A LATE DAY OR EVENING SHOWER IS POSSIBLE
ACROSS NW AREAS...BUT OTHERWISE IT WILL BE DRY WITH CONTINUED WARM
TEMPS THAT MAY TOP 80 DEGREES ACROSS PARTS OF INTERIOR DOWN EAST
MAINE.
&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
A COLD FRONT SLOWLY PUSHES THROUGH THE AREA SAT NIGHT AND MAY
STALL OUT ACROSS DOWNEAST MAINE SUN. THE BEST CHANCE OF SHOWERS
WILL LIKELY BE DURING THE DAY SUN ACROSS DOWN EAST AREAS. THE
FRONT DOES NOT HAVE MUCH MOISTURE TO WORK WITH AND THE SHOWERS
WILL LIKELY BE SCATTERED. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
SUN AFTERNOON DOWN EAST. HIGH PRES BUILDS BACK ACROSS THE REGION
MON AND TUE WITH DRY AND WARM WEATHER. THE NEXT COLD FRONT IS
EXPECTED TO CROSS THE REGION WED WITH THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.
&&

.AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VARIABLE CONDITIONS...RANGING FROM MVFR TO
VLIFR...WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY
THURSDAY. CONDITIONS WILL THEN IMPROVE TO VFR LEVELS ACROSS THE
REGION THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.

SHORT TERM: VFR EXPECTED THU NIGHT THROUGH SAT EVE. CONDITIONS
MAY LOWER TO MVFR AT TIMES LATER SAT NIGHT INTO SUN IN SHOWERS.
VFR MON.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS OVERNIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. VISIBILITIES WILL BE REDUCED IN
FOG OVERNIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING.

SHORT TERM: NO HEADLINES ARE EXPECTED THU NIGHT THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.
&&

.CLIMATE...
THE FIRST HALF OF THE YEAR ENDED AS THE COLDEST ON
RECORD AT BANGOR AND TIED FOR THE 7TH COLDEST AT CARIBOU. JUNE
WAS A COOL MONTH AND RANKED AS THE 5TH COOLEST ON RECORD AT BANGOR
AND 12TH COOLEST AT CARIBOU.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM EDT EARLY THIS MORNING FOR
     MEZ015>017-029-030.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...NORCROSS/DUDA
SHORT TERM...CB
LONG TERM...CB
AVIATION...NORCROSS/CB
MARINE...NORCROSS/CB
CLIMATE...CB



000
FXUS61 KGYX 020300 AAA
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
1100 PM EDT WED JUL 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION EARLY TONIGHT. THIS SYSTEM
WILL BRING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION THROUGH THIS
EVENING...BEFORE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN ON THURSDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL THEN REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. LOW
PRESSURE ALONG THE NEW ENGLAND COASTLINE MAY BRING SHOWERS TO THE
REGION LATE IN THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
UPDATE...A FEW MINOR CHANGES TO ACCOUNT FOR LATEST OBSERVATIONAL
TRENDS. SHOWERS NOW CONFINED TO THE MTNS...AND WILL DRIFT ACROSS
NRN ZONES THRU THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. WILL HAVE TO WATCH FOR
PATCHY VALLEY FOG GIVEN RECENT RAINS AND COOLING TEMPS OVERNIGHT.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE BEGINNING TO SEE A
LITTLE BIT OF HEATING THIS AFTERNOON. ONCE TEMPERATURES CLIMB INTO
THE MID 70S...CONVECTION SHOULD GET GOING. ALREADY SEEING SOME
CONVECTION FIRING OVER SOUTHERN VERMONT AND EASTERN NEW YORK. THE
REST OF THE FORECAST AREA PROBABLY WILL NOT SEE ENOUGH HEATING FOR
MUCH IN THE WAY OF CONVECTION. LOW CLOUDS AND RAIN WILL HANG
AROUND UNTIL THE COLD FRONT SWINGS THROUGH LATER TONIGHT. EXPECT
PATCHY FOG TO DEVELOP AS SKIES BEGIN TO CLEAR AND RADIATIONAL
COOLING GETS GOING.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE REGION WITH SUNNY SKIES TOMORROW AND
CLEAR SKIES TOMORROW NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION LATE IN THE
WEEKEND. THIS WILL BRING ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS TO THE
AREA AS THE WEAK SURFACE FRONT WILL BE RELATIVELY MOISTURE
STARVED.

HIGH PRESSURE WITH MODERATING TEMPERATURES WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR
EARLY NEXT WEEK. MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS WILL ACCOMPANY THE 850 MB
TEMPERATURES WILL FINALLY BE ON THE RISE WITHIN A WEAK DEVELOPING
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW.

12Z MODEL SUITE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH A SURFACE LOW DEVELOPING
SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND LATE IN THE WEEK. HOWEVER...THE PASSAGE AND
EXACT TRACK OF THAT SYSTEM WILL PLAY A SIGNIFICANT ROLE AS TO
WHETHER A STEADY RAIN WILL FALL OVER SOUTHERN AREAS...OR SCATTERED
SHOWER ACTIVITY.

&&

.AVIATION /03Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS WILL BE SLOW TO IMPROVE. EVEN
THOUGH CIGS WILL LIKELY BEGIN TO INCREASE LATER THIS
EVENING...RADIATIONAL COOLING WILL FORM FOG THAT WILL KEEP VSBYS
AT IFR/LIFR AT MOST LOCATIONS THROUGH MORNING. VFR CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TOMORROW AND TOMORROW NIGHT.

LONG TERM...HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA
THROUGH EARLY THIS WEEKEND. NIGHTTIME FOG IS POSSIBLE EACH NIGHT
AT LEBANON AND WHITEFIELD. IFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY
AND AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...NO FLAGS EXPECTED.

LONG TERM...WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENTS LEAD TO LIGHT WINDS AND LOW
WAVE HEIGHTS THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...LEGRO



000
FXUS61 KGYX 020300 AAA
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
1100 PM EDT WED JUL 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION EARLY TONIGHT. THIS SYSTEM
WILL BRING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION THROUGH THIS
EVENING...BEFORE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN ON THURSDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL THEN REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. LOW
PRESSURE ALONG THE NEW ENGLAND COASTLINE MAY BRING SHOWERS TO THE
REGION LATE IN THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
UPDATE...A FEW MINOR CHANGES TO ACCOUNT FOR LATEST OBSERVATIONAL
TRENDS. SHOWERS NOW CONFINED TO THE MTNS...AND WILL DRIFT ACROSS
NRN ZONES THRU THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. WILL HAVE TO WATCH FOR
PATCHY VALLEY FOG GIVEN RECENT RAINS AND COOLING TEMPS OVERNIGHT.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE BEGINNING TO SEE A
LITTLE BIT OF HEATING THIS AFTERNOON. ONCE TEMPERATURES CLIMB INTO
THE MID 70S...CONVECTION SHOULD GET GOING. ALREADY SEEING SOME
CONVECTION FIRING OVER SOUTHERN VERMONT AND EASTERN NEW YORK. THE
REST OF THE FORECAST AREA PROBABLY WILL NOT SEE ENOUGH HEATING FOR
MUCH IN THE WAY OF CONVECTION. LOW CLOUDS AND RAIN WILL HANG
AROUND UNTIL THE COLD FRONT SWINGS THROUGH LATER TONIGHT. EXPECT
PATCHY FOG TO DEVELOP AS SKIES BEGIN TO CLEAR AND RADIATIONAL
COOLING GETS GOING.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE REGION WITH SUNNY SKIES TOMORROW AND
CLEAR SKIES TOMORROW NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION LATE IN THE
WEEKEND. THIS WILL BRING ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS TO THE
AREA AS THE WEAK SURFACE FRONT WILL BE RELATIVELY MOISTURE
STARVED.

HIGH PRESSURE WITH MODERATING TEMPERATURES WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR
EARLY NEXT WEEK. MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS WILL ACCOMPANY THE 850 MB
TEMPERATURES WILL FINALLY BE ON THE RISE WITHIN A WEAK DEVELOPING
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW.

12Z MODEL SUITE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH A SURFACE LOW DEVELOPING
SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND LATE IN THE WEEK. HOWEVER...THE PASSAGE AND
EXACT TRACK OF THAT SYSTEM WILL PLAY A SIGNIFICANT ROLE AS TO
WHETHER A STEADY RAIN WILL FALL OVER SOUTHERN AREAS...OR SCATTERED
SHOWER ACTIVITY.

&&

.AVIATION /03Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS WILL BE SLOW TO IMPROVE. EVEN
THOUGH CIGS WILL LIKELY BEGIN TO INCREASE LATER THIS
EVENING...RADIATIONAL COOLING WILL FORM FOG THAT WILL KEEP VSBYS
AT IFR/LIFR AT MOST LOCATIONS THROUGH MORNING. VFR CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TOMORROW AND TOMORROW NIGHT.

LONG TERM...HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA
THROUGH EARLY THIS WEEKEND. NIGHTTIME FOG IS POSSIBLE EACH NIGHT
AT LEBANON AND WHITEFIELD. IFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY
AND AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...NO FLAGS EXPECTED.

LONG TERM...WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENTS LEAD TO LIGHT WINDS AND LOW
WAVE HEIGHTS THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...LEGRO




000
FXUS61 KCAR 020232
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1032 PM EDT WED JUL 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT INTO THURSDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD BACK ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL MOVE EAST OF NEW ENGLAND SATURDAY. A COLD
FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT AND MAY STALL OUT ACROSS
DOWN EAST MAINE SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
1030 PM UPDATE...EXTENDED THE MENTION OF TSTMS OUT INTO THE EARLY
MORNING HRS ON THURSDAY. THE RAP SOUNDINGS SUPPORT SOME ELEVATED
INSTABILITY W/MUCAPES APCHG 300-400 JOULES ACROSS MUCH OF THE CWA
W/THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN AREAS SEEING THE BEST CHANCE OF ANY
CONVECTION. 0-6KM SHEAR 30+ KTS W/700-500MB LAPSE RATES OF 6.5+
C/KM. FRONTAL BOUNDARY SLATED TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT
W/A STRONG UPPER DISTURBANCE. DECIDED TO MENTION GUSTY WINDS IN
THE FORECAST FOR THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD. CARRIED FOG FOR EVERYWHERE
ESPECIALLY DOWNEAST AND THE COAST WHERE VSBYS ARE ALREADY AOB 1
MILE.

PLENTY OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL LINGER INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS
WITH PLENTY OF CLOUDS AND AREAS OF FOG ALONG THE COAST. CONDITIONS
WILL IMPROVE BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING AS A FRONT PUSHES ACROSS
THE AREA WITH DRIER AIR AND PARTIAL CLEARING TOWARD MORNING. LOWS
TONIGHT WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. THURSDAY WILL
FEATURE PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AS HIGH PRESSURE STARTS TO
BUILD IN FROM THE WEST. HIGHS ON THURSDAY WILL BE IN THE LOW TO
MID 70S ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
DRY AND WARM HEADING INTO THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND.  HIGH PRES SLIDES
SOUTH OF THE REGION FRI MAKING FOR A NICE DAY. A WEAK UPPER TROUGH
WILL LIKELY PRODUCE A BIT MORE CLOUD COVER IN THE NORTH...BUT EVEN
ACROSS THE CROWN OF MAINE IT SHOULD BE A P/SUNNY DAY.  MOSTLY SUNNY
WEATHER IS EXPECTED DOWN EAST.  HIGHS WILL MOSTLY BE IN THE M/U 70S
INLAND...BUT A WEAK ONSHORE FLOW/SEABREEZE WILL LIKELY DEVELOP
ALONG THE COAST KEEPING TEMPS COOLER AT THE SHORELINE. HIGH PRES
MOVES EAST ON THE 4TH AS A COLD FRONT BEGINS TO APPROACH FROM THE
NW LATE IN THE DAY. A LATE DAY OR EVENING SHOWER IS POSSIBLE
ACROSS NW AREAS...BUT OTHERWISE IT WILL BE DRY WITH CONTINUED WARM
TEMPS THAT MAY TOP 80 DEGREES ACROSS PARTS OF INTERIOR DOWN EAST
MAINE.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A COLD FRONT SLOWLY PUSHES THROUGH THE AREA SAT NIGHT AND MAY
STALL OUT ACROSS DOWNEAST MAINE SUN. THE BEST CHANCE OF SHOWERS
WILL LIKELY BE DURING THE DAY SUN ACROSS DOWN EAST AREAS. THE
FRONT DOES NOT HAVE MUCH MOISTURE TO WORK WITH AND THE SHOWERS
WILL LIKELY BE SCATTERED. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
SUN AFTERNOON DOWN EAST. HIGH PRES BUILDS BACK ACROSS THE REGION
MON AND TUE WITH DRY AND WARM WEATHER. THE NEXT COLD FRONT IS
EXPECTED TO CROSS THE REGION WED WITH THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: CONDITIONS WILL RANGE FROM MVFR/VFR AT THE NORTHERN TAF
SITES TO AS LOW AS IFR/LIFR IN LOW CIGS AND AREAS OF FOG AT KBGR
AND KBHB.

VFR THURSDAY.

SHORT TERM: VFR EXPECTED THU NIGHT THROUGH SAT EVE. CONDITIONS
MAY LOWER TO MVFR AT TIMES LATER SAT NIGHT INTO SUN IN SHOWERS.
VFR MON.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SCA LEVELS THROUGH
THURSDAY. VISIBILITY WILL BE REDUCED BELOW 1 NM AT TIMES IN AREAS
OF FOG THIS EVENING ALONG WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND AN ISOLATED
TSTM.

SHORT TERM: NO HEADLINES ARE EXPECTED THU NIGHT THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.

&&

.CLIMATE...
THE FIRST HALF OF THE YEAR ENDED AS THE COLDEST ON
RECORD AT BANGOR AND TIED FOR THE 7TH COLDEST AT CARIBOU. JUNE
WAS A COOL MONTH AND RANKED AS THE 5TH COOLEST ON RECORD AT BANGOR
AND 12TH COOLEST AT CARIBOU.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...HEWITT




000
FXUS61 KCAR 020232
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1032 PM EDT WED JUL 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT INTO THURSDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD BACK ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL MOVE EAST OF NEW ENGLAND SATURDAY. A COLD
FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT AND MAY STALL OUT ACROSS
DOWN EAST MAINE SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
1030 PM UPDATE...EXTENDED THE MENTION OF TSTMS OUT INTO THE EARLY
MORNING HRS ON THURSDAY. THE RAP SOUNDINGS SUPPORT SOME ELEVATED
INSTABILITY W/MUCAPES APCHG 300-400 JOULES ACROSS MUCH OF THE CWA
W/THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN AREAS SEEING THE BEST CHANCE OF ANY
CONVECTION. 0-6KM SHEAR 30+ KTS W/700-500MB LAPSE RATES OF 6.5+
C/KM. FRONTAL BOUNDARY SLATED TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT
W/A STRONG UPPER DISTURBANCE. DECIDED TO MENTION GUSTY WINDS IN
THE FORECAST FOR THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD. CARRIED FOG FOR EVERYWHERE
ESPECIALLY DOWNEAST AND THE COAST WHERE VSBYS ARE ALREADY AOB 1
MILE.

PLENTY OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL LINGER INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS
WITH PLENTY OF CLOUDS AND AREAS OF FOG ALONG THE COAST. CONDITIONS
WILL IMPROVE BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING AS A FRONT PUSHES ACROSS
THE AREA WITH DRIER AIR AND PARTIAL CLEARING TOWARD MORNING. LOWS
TONIGHT WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. THURSDAY WILL
FEATURE PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AS HIGH PRESSURE STARTS TO
BUILD IN FROM THE WEST. HIGHS ON THURSDAY WILL BE IN THE LOW TO
MID 70S ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
DRY AND WARM HEADING INTO THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND.  HIGH PRES SLIDES
SOUTH OF THE REGION FRI MAKING FOR A NICE DAY. A WEAK UPPER TROUGH
WILL LIKELY PRODUCE A BIT MORE CLOUD COVER IN THE NORTH...BUT EVEN
ACROSS THE CROWN OF MAINE IT SHOULD BE A P/SUNNY DAY.  MOSTLY SUNNY
WEATHER IS EXPECTED DOWN EAST.  HIGHS WILL MOSTLY BE IN THE M/U 70S
INLAND...BUT A WEAK ONSHORE FLOW/SEABREEZE WILL LIKELY DEVELOP
ALONG THE COAST KEEPING TEMPS COOLER AT THE SHORELINE. HIGH PRES
MOVES EAST ON THE 4TH AS A COLD FRONT BEGINS TO APPROACH FROM THE
NW LATE IN THE DAY. A LATE DAY OR EVENING SHOWER IS POSSIBLE
ACROSS NW AREAS...BUT OTHERWISE IT WILL BE DRY WITH CONTINUED WARM
TEMPS THAT MAY TOP 80 DEGREES ACROSS PARTS OF INTERIOR DOWN EAST
MAINE.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A COLD FRONT SLOWLY PUSHES THROUGH THE AREA SAT NIGHT AND MAY
STALL OUT ACROSS DOWNEAST MAINE SUN. THE BEST CHANCE OF SHOWERS
WILL LIKELY BE DURING THE DAY SUN ACROSS DOWN EAST AREAS. THE
FRONT DOES NOT HAVE MUCH MOISTURE TO WORK WITH AND THE SHOWERS
WILL LIKELY BE SCATTERED. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
SUN AFTERNOON DOWN EAST. HIGH PRES BUILDS BACK ACROSS THE REGION
MON AND TUE WITH DRY AND WARM WEATHER. THE NEXT COLD FRONT IS
EXPECTED TO CROSS THE REGION WED WITH THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: CONDITIONS WILL RANGE FROM MVFR/VFR AT THE NORTHERN TAF
SITES TO AS LOW AS IFR/LIFR IN LOW CIGS AND AREAS OF FOG AT KBGR
AND KBHB.

VFR THURSDAY.

SHORT TERM: VFR EXPECTED THU NIGHT THROUGH SAT EVE. CONDITIONS
MAY LOWER TO MVFR AT TIMES LATER SAT NIGHT INTO SUN IN SHOWERS.
VFR MON.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SCA LEVELS THROUGH
THURSDAY. VISIBILITY WILL BE REDUCED BELOW 1 NM AT TIMES IN AREAS
OF FOG THIS EVENING ALONG WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND AN ISOLATED
TSTM.

SHORT TERM: NO HEADLINES ARE EXPECTED THU NIGHT THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.

&&

.CLIMATE...
THE FIRST HALF OF THE YEAR ENDED AS THE COLDEST ON
RECORD AT BANGOR AND TIED FOR THE 7TH COLDEST AT CARIBOU. JUNE
WAS A COOL MONTH AND RANKED AS THE 5TH COOLEST ON RECORD AT BANGOR
AND 12TH COOLEST AT CARIBOU.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...HEWITT




000
FXUS61 KCAR 020232
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1032 PM EDT WED JUL 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT INTO THURSDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD BACK ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL MOVE EAST OF NEW ENGLAND SATURDAY. A COLD
FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT AND MAY STALL OUT ACROSS
DOWN EAST MAINE SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
1030 PM UPDATE...EXTENDED THE MENTION OF TSTMS OUT INTO THE EARLY
MORNING HRS ON THURSDAY. THE RAP SOUNDINGS SUPPORT SOME ELEVATED
INSTABILITY W/MUCAPES APCHG 300-400 JOULES ACROSS MUCH OF THE CWA
W/THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN AREAS SEEING THE BEST CHANCE OF ANY
CONVECTION. 0-6KM SHEAR 30+ KTS W/700-500MB LAPSE RATES OF 6.5+
C/KM. FRONTAL BOUNDARY SLATED TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT
W/A STRONG UPPER DISTURBANCE. DECIDED TO MENTION GUSTY WINDS IN
THE FORECAST FOR THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD. CARRIED FOG FOR EVERYWHERE
ESPECIALLY DOWNEAST AND THE COAST WHERE VSBYS ARE ALREADY AOB 1
MILE.

PLENTY OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL LINGER INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS
WITH PLENTY OF CLOUDS AND AREAS OF FOG ALONG THE COAST. CONDITIONS
WILL IMPROVE BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING AS A FRONT PUSHES ACROSS
THE AREA WITH DRIER AIR AND PARTIAL CLEARING TOWARD MORNING. LOWS
TONIGHT WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. THURSDAY WILL
FEATURE PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AS HIGH PRESSURE STARTS TO
BUILD IN FROM THE WEST. HIGHS ON THURSDAY WILL BE IN THE LOW TO
MID 70S ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
DRY AND WARM HEADING INTO THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND.  HIGH PRES SLIDES
SOUTH OF THE REGION FRI MAKING FOR A NICE DAY. A WEAK UPPER TROUGH
WILL LIKELY PRODUCE A BIT MORE CLOUD COVER IN THE NORTH...BUT EVEN
ACROSS THE CROWN OF MAINE IT SHOULD BE A P/SUNNY DAY.  MOSTLY SUNNY
WEATHER IS EXPECTED DOWN EAST.  HIGHS WILL MOSTLY BE IN THE M/U 70S
INLAND...BUT A WEAK ONSHORE FLOW/SEABREEZE WILL LIKELY DEVELOP
ALONG THE COAST KEEPING TEMPS COOLER AT THE SHORELINE. HIGH PRES
MOVES EAST ON THE 4TH AS A COLD FRONT BEGINS TO APPROACH FROM THE
NW LATE IN THE DAY. A LATE DAY OR EVENING SHOWER IS POSSIBLE
ACROSS NW AREAS...BUT OTHERWISE IT WILL BE DRY WITH CONTINUED WARM
TEMPS THAT MAY TOP 80 DEGREES ACROSS PARTS OF INTERIOR DOWN EAST
MAINE.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A COLD FRONT SLOWLY PUSHES THROUGH THE AREA SAT NIGHT AND MAY
STALL OUT ACROSS DOWNEAST MAINE SUN. THE BEST CHANCE OF SHOWERS
WILL LIKELY BE DURING THE DAY SUN ACROSS DOWN EAST AREAS. THE
FRONT DOES NOT HAVE MUCH MOISTURE TO WORK WITH AND THE SHOWERS
WILL LIKELY BE SCATTERED. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
SUN AFTERNOON DOWN EAST. HIGH PRES BUILDS BACK ACROSS THE REGION
MON AND TUE WITH DRY AND WARM WEATHER. THE NEXT COLD FRONT IS
EXPECTED TO CROSS THE REGION WED WITH THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: CONDITIONS WILL RANGE FROM MVFR/VFR AT THE NORTHERN TAF
SITES TO AS LOW AS IFR/LIFR IN LOW CIGS AND AREAS OF FOG AT KBGR
AND KBHB.

VFR THURSDAY.

SHORT TERM: VFR EXPECTED THU NIGHT THROUGH SAT EVE. CONDITIONS
MAY LOWER TO MVFR AT TIMES LATER SAT NIGHT INTO SUN IN SHOWERS.
VFR MON.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SCA LEVELS THROUGH
THURSDAY. VISIBILITY WILL BE REDUCED BELOW 1 NM AT TIMES IN AREAS
OF FOG THIS EVENING ALONG WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND AN ISOLATED
TSTM.

SHORT TERM: NO HEADLINES ARE EXPECTED THU NIGHT THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.

&&

.CLIMATE...
THE FIRST HALF OF THE YEAR ENDED AS THE COLDEST ON
RECORD AT BANGOR AND TIED FOR THE 7TH COLDEST AT CARIBOU. JUNE
WAS A COOL MONTH AND RANKED AS THE 5TH COOLEST ON RECORD AT BANGOR
AND 12TH COOLEST AT CARIBOU.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...HEWITT




000
FXUS61 KCAR 020232
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1032 PM EDT WED JUL 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT INTO THURSDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD BACK ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL MOVE EAST OF NEW ENGLAND SATURDAY. A COLD
FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT AND MAY STALL OUT ACROSS
DOWN EAST MAINE SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
1030 PM UPDATE...EXTENDED THE MENTION OF TSTMS OUT INTO THE EARLY
MORNING HRS ON THURSDAY. THE RAP SOUNDINGS SUPPORT SOME ELEVATED
INSTABILITY W/MUCAPES APCHG 300-400 JOULES ACROSS MUCH OF THE CWA
W/THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN AREAS SEEING THE BEST CHANCE OF ANY
CONVECTION. 0-6KM SHEAR 30+ KTS W/700-500MB LAPSE RATES OF 6.5+
C/KM. FRONTAL BOUNDARY SLATED TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT
W/A STRONG UPPER DISTURBANCE. DECIDED TO MENTION GUSTY WINDS IN
THE FORECAST FOR THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD. CARRIED FOG FOR EVERYWHERE
ESPECIALLY DOWNEAST AND THE COAST WHERE VSBYS ARE ALREADY AOB 1
MILE.

PLENTY OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL LINGER INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS
WITH PLENTY OF CLOUDS AND AREAS OF FOG ALONG THE COAST. CONDITIONS
WILL IMPROVE BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING AS A FRONT PUSHES ACROSS
THE AREA WITH DRIER AIR AND PARTIAL CLEARING TOWARD MORNING. LOWS
TONIGHT WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. THURSDAY WILL
FEATURE PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AS HIGH PRESSURE STARTS TO
BUILD IN FROM THE WEST. HIGHS ON THURSDAY WILL BE IN THE LOW TO
MID 70S ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
DRY AND WARM HEADING INTO THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND.  HIGH PRES SLIDES
SOUTH OF THE REGION FRI MAKING FOR A NICE DAY. A WEAK UPPER TROUGH
WILL LIKELY PRODUCE A BIT MORE CLOUD COVER IN THE NORTH...BUT EVEN
ACROSS THE CROWN OF MAINE IT SHOULD BE A P/SUNNY DAY.  MOSTLY SUNNY
WEATHER IS EXPECTED DOWN EAST.  HIGHS WILL MOSTLY BE IN THE M/U 70S
INLAND...BUT A WEAK ONSHORE FLOW/SEABREEZE WILL LIKELY DEVELOP
ALONG THE COAST KEEPING TEMPS COOLER AT THE SHORELINE. HIGH PRES
MOVES EAST ON THE 4TH AS A COLD FRONT BEGINS TO APPROACH FROM THE
NW LATE IN THE DAY. A LATE DAY OR EVENING SHOWER IS POSSIBLE
ACROSS NW AREAS...BUT OTHERWISE IT WILL BE DRY WITH CONTINUED WARM
TEMPS THAT MAY TOP 80 DEGREES ACROSS PARTS OF INTERIOR DOWN EAST
MAINE.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A COLD FRONT SLOWLY PUSHES THROUGH THE AREA SAT NIGHT AND MAY
STALL OUT ACROSS DOWNEAST MAINE SUN. THE BEST CHANCE OF SHOWERS
WILL LIKELY BE DURING THE DAY SUN ACROSS DOWN EAST AREAS. THE
FRONT DOES NOT HAVE MUCH MOISTURE TO WORK WITH AND THE SHOWERS
WILL LIKELY BE SCATTERED. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
SUN AFTERNOON DOWN EAST. HIGH PRES BUILDS BACK ACROSS THE REGION
MON AND TUE WITH DRY AND WARM WEATHER. THE NEXT COLD FRONT IS
EXPECTED TO CROSS THE REGION WED WITH THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: CONDITIONS WILL RANGE FROM MVFR/VFR AT THE NORTHERN TAF
SITES TO AS LOW AS IFR/LIFR IN LOW CIGS AND AREAS OF FOG AT KBGR
AND KBHB.

VFR THURSDAY.

SHORT TERM: VFR EXPECTED THU NIGHT THROUGH SAT EVE. CONDITIONS
MAY LOWER TO MVFR AT TIMES LATER SAT NIGHT INTO SUN IN SHOWERS.
VFR MON.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SCA LEVELS THROUGH
THURSDAY. VISIBILITY WILL BE REDUCED BELOW 1 NM AT TIMES IN AREAS
OF FOG THIS EVENING ALONG WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND AN ISOLATED
TSTM.

SHORT TERM: NO HEADLINES ARE EXPECTED THU NIGHT THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.

&&

.CLIMATE...
THE FIRST HALF OF THE YEAR ENDED AS THE COLDEST ON
RECORD AT BANGOR AND TIED FOR THE 7TH COLDEST AT CARIBOU. JUNE
WAS A COOL MONTH AND RANKED AS THE 5TH COOLEST ON RECORD AT BANGOR
AND 12TH COOLEST AT CARIBOU.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...HEWITT




000
FXUS61 KGYX 020049 AAA
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
849 PM EDT WED JUL 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION EARLY TONIGHT. THIS SYSTEM
WILL BRING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION THROUGH THIS
EVENING...BEFORE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN ON THURSDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL THEN REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. LOW
PRESSURE ALONG THE NEW ENGLAND COASTLINE MAY BRING SHOWERS TO THE
REGION LATE IN THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
UPDATE...WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING...TSTM THREAT HAS
SIGNIFICANT LOWERED FOR THE EVENING. HAVE REMOVED THUNDER FROM THE
GRIDS...AND ADJUSTED POP TO ACCOUNT FOR LATEST RADAR TRENDS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE BEGINNING TO SEE A
LITTLE BIT OF HEATING THIS AFTERNOON. ONCE TEMPERATURES CLIMB INTO
THE MID 70S...CONVECTION SHOULD GET GOING. ALREADY SEEING SOME
CONVECTION FIRING OVER SOUTHERN VERMONT AND EASTERN NEW YORK. THE
REST OF THE FORECAST AREA PROBABLY WILL NOT SEE ENOUGH HEATING FOR
MUCH IN THE WAY OF CONVECTION. LOW CLOUDS AND RAIN WILL HANG
AROUND UNTIL THE COLD FRONT SWINGS THROUGH LATER TONIGHT. EXPECT
PATCHY FOG TO DEVELOP AS SKIES BEGIN TO CLEAR AND RADIATIONAL
COOLING GETS GOING.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE REGION WITH SUNNY SKIES TOMORROW AND
CLEAR SKIES TOMORROW NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION LATE IN THE
WEEKEND. THIS WILL BRING ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS TO THE
AREA AS THE WEAK SURFACE FRONT WILL BE RELATIVELY MOISTURE
STARVED.

HIGH PRESSURE WITH MODERATING TEMPERATURES WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR
EARLY NEXT WEEK. MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS WILL ACCOMPANY THE 850 MB
TEMPERATURES WILL FINALLY BE ON THE RISE WITHIN A WEAK DEVELOPING
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW.

12Z MODEL SUITE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH A SURFACE LOW DEVELOPING
SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND LATE IN THE WEEK. HOWEVER...THE PASSAGE AND
EXACT TRACK OF THAT SYSTEM WILL PLAY A SIGNIFICANT ROLE AS TO
WHETHER A STEADY RAIN WILL FALL OVER SOUTHERN AREAS...OR SCATTERED
SHOWER ACTIVITY.

&&

.AVIATION /01Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS WILL BE SLOW TO IMPROVE. EVEN
THOUGH CIGS WILL LIKELY BEGIN TO INCREASE LATER THIS
EVENING...RADIATIONAL COOLING WILL FORM FOG THAT WILL KEEP VSBYS
AT IFR/LIFR AT MOST LOCATIONS THROUGH MORNING. VFR CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TOMORROW AND TOMORROW NIGHT.

LONG TERM...HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA
THROUGH EARLY THIS WEEKEND. NIGHTTIME FOG IS POSSIBLE EACH NIGHT
AT LEBANON AND WHITEFIELD. IFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY
AND AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...NO FLAGS EXPECTED.

LONG TERM...WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENTS LEAD TO LIGHT WINDS AND LOW
WAVE HEIGHTS THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...LEGRO




000
FXUS61 KGYX 020049 AAA
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
849 PM EDT WED JUL 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION EARLY TONIGHT. THIS SYSTEM
WILL BRING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION THROUGH THIS
EVENING...BEFORE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN ON THURSDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL THEN REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. LOW
PRESSURE ALONG THE NEW ENGLAND COASTLINE MAY BRING SHOWERS TO THE
REGION LATE IN THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
UPDATE...WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING...TSTM THREAT HAS
SIGNIFICANT LOWERED FOR THE EVENING. HAVE REMOVED THUNDER FROM THE
GRIDS...AND ADJUSTED POP TO ACCOUNT FOR LATEST RADAR TRENDS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE BEGINNING TO SEE A
LITTLE BIT OF HEATING THIS AFTERNOON. ONCE TEMPERATURES CLIMB INTO
THE MID 70S...CONVECTION SHOULD GET GOING. ALREADY SEEING SOME
CONVECTION FIRING OVER SOUTHERN VERMONT AND EASTERN NEW YORK. THE
REST OF THE FORECAST AREA PROBABLY WILL NOT SEE ENOUGH HEATING FOR
MUCH IN THE WAY OF CONVECTION. LOW CLOUDS AND RAIN WILL HANG
AROUND UNTIL THE COLD FRONT SWINGS THROUGH LATER TONIGHT. EXPECT
PATCHY FOG TO DEVELOP AS SKIES BEGIN TO CLEAR AND RADIATIONAL
COOLING GETS GOING.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE REGION WITH SUNNY SKIES TOMORROW AND
CLEAR SKIES TOMORROW NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION LATE IN THE
WEEKEND. THIS WILL BRING ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS TO THE
AREA AS THE WEAK SURFACE FRONT WILL BE RELATIVELY MOISTURE
STARVED.

HIGH PRESSURE WITH MODERATING TEMPERATURES WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR
EARLY NEXT WEEK. MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS WILL ACCOMPANY THE 850 MB
TEMPERATURES WILL FINALLY BE ON THE RISE WITHIN A WEAK DEVELOPING
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW.

12Z MODEL SUITE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH A SURFACE LOW DEVELOPING
SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND LATE IN THE WEEK. HOWEVER...THE PASSAGE AND
EXACT TRACK OF THAT SYSTEM WILL PLAY A SIGNIFICANT ROLE AS TO
WHETHER A STEADY RAIN WILL FALL OVER SOUTHERN AREAS...OR SCATTERED
SHOWER ACTIVITY.

&&

.AVIATION /01Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS WILL BE SLOW TO IMPROVE. EVEN
THOUGH CIGS WILL LIKELY BEGIN TO INCREASE LATER THIS
EVENING...RADIATIONAL COOLING WILL FORM FOG THAT WILL KEEP VSBYS
AT IFR/LIFR AT MOST LOCATIONS THROUGH MORNING. VFR CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TOMORROW AND TOMORROW NIGHT.

LONG TERM...HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA
THROUGH EARLY THIS WEEKEND. NIGHTTIME FOG IS POSSIBLE EACH NIGHT
AT LEBANON AND WHITEFIELD. IFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY
AND AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...NO FLAGS EXPECTED.

LONG TERM...WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENTS LEAD TO LIGHT WINDS AND LOW
WAVE HEIGHTS THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...LEGRO




000
FXUS61 KGYX 020049 AAA
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
849 PM EDT WED JUL 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION EARLY TONIGHT. THIS SYSTEM
WILL BRING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION THROUGH THIS
EVENING...BEFORE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN ON THURSDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL THEN REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. LOW
PRESSURE ALONG THE NEW ENGLAND COASTLINE MAY BRING SHOWERS TO THE
REGION LATE IN THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
UPDATE...WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING...TSTM THREAT HAS
SIGNIFICANT LOWERED FOR THE EVENING. HAVE REMOVED THUNDER FROM THE
GRIDS...AND ADJUSTED POP TO ACCOUNT FOR LATEST RADAR TRENDS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE BEGINNING TO SEE A
LITTLE BIT OF HEATING THIS AFTERNOON. ONCE TEMPERATURES CLIMB INTO
THE MID 70S...CONVECTION SHOULD GET GOING. ALREADY SEEING SOME
CONVECTION FIRING OVER SOUTHERN VERMONT AND EASTERN NEW YORK. THE
REST OF THE FORECAST AREA PROBABLY WILL NOT SEE ENOUGH HEATING FOR
MUCH IN THE WAY OF CONVECTION. LOW CLOUDS AND RAIN WILL HANG
AROUND UNTIL THE COLD FRONT SWINGS THROUGH LATER TONIGHT. EXPECT
PATCHY FOG TO DEVELOP AS SKIES BEGIN TO CLEAR AND RADIATIONAL
COOLING GETS GOING.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE REGION WITH SUNNY SKIES TOMORROW AND
CLEAR SKIES TOMORROW NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION LATE IN THE
WEEKEND. THIS WILL BRING ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS TO THE
AREA AS THE WEAK SURFACE FRONT WILL BE RELATIVELY MOISTURE
STARVED.

HIGH PRESSURE WITH MODERATING TEMPERATURES WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR
EARLY NEXT WEEK. MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS WILL ACCOMPANY THE 850 MB
TEMPERATURES WILL FINALLY BE ON THE RISE WITHIN A WEAK DEVELOPING
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW.

12Z MODEL SUITE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH A SURFACE LOW DEVELOPING
SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND LATE IN THE WEEK. HOWEVER...THE PASSAGE AND
EXACT TRACK OF THAT SYSTEM WILL PLAY A SIGNIFICANT ROLE AS TO
WHETHER A STEADY RAIN WILL FALL OVER SOUTHERN AREAS...OR SCATTERED
SHOWER ACTIVITY.

&&

.AVIATION /01Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS WILL BE SLOW TO IMPROVE. EVEN
THOUGH CIGS WILL LIKELY BEGIN TO INCREASE LATER THIS
EVENING...RADIATIONAL COOLING WILL FORM FOG THAT WILL KEEP VSBYS
AT IFR/LIFR AT MOST LOCATIONS THROUGH MORNING. VFR CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TOMORROW AND TOMORROW NIGHT.

LONG TERM...HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA
THROUGH EARLY THIS WEEKEND. NIGHTTIME FOG IS POSSIBLE EACH NIGHT
AT LEBANON AND WHITEFIELD. IFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY
AND AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...NO FLAGS EXPECTED.

LONG TERM...WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENTS LEAD TO LIGHT WINDS AND LOW
WAVE HEIGHTS THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...LEGRO



000
FXUS61 KGYX 020049 AAA
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
849 PM EDT WED JUL 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION EARLY TONIGHT. THIS SYSTEM
WILL BRING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION THROUGH THIS
EVENING...BEFORE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN ON THURSDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL THEN REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. LOW
PRESSURE ALONG THE NEW ENGLAND COASTLINE MAY BRING SHOWERS TO THE
REGION LATE IN THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
UPDATE...WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING...TSTM THREAT HAS
SIGNIFICANT LOWERED FOR THE EVENING. HAVE REMOVED THUNDER FROM THE
GRIDS...AND ADJUSTED POP TO ACCOUNT FOR LATEST RADAR TRENDS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE BEGINNING TO SEE A
LITTLE BIT OF HEATING THIS AFTERNOON. ONCE TEMPERATURES CLIMB INTO
THE MID 70S...CONVECTION SHOULD GET GOING. ALREADY SEEING SOME
CONVECTION FIRING OVER SOUTHERN VERMONT AND EASTERN NEW YORK. THE
REST OF THE FORECAST AREA PROBABLY WILL NOT SEE ENOUGH HEATING FOR
MUCH IN THE WAY OF CONVECTION. LOW CLOUDS AND RAIN WILL HANG
AROUND UNTIL THE COLD FRONT SWINGS THROUGH LATER TONIGHT. EXPECT
PATCHY FOG TO DEVELOP AS SKIES BEGIN TO CLEAR AND RADIATIONAL
COOLING GETS GOING.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE REGION WITH SUNNY SKIES TOMORROW AND
CLEAR SKIES TOMORROW NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION LATE IN THE
WEEKEND. THIS WILL BRING ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS TO THE
AREA AS THE WEAK SURFACE FRONT WILL BE RELATIVELY MOISTURE
STARVED.

HIGH PRESSURE WITH MODERATING TEMPERATURES WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR
EARLY NEXT WEEK. MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS WILL ACCOMPANY THE 850 MB
TEMPERATURES WILL FINALLY BE ON THE RISE WITHIN A WEAK DEVELOPING
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW.

12Z MODEL SUITE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH A SURFACE LOW DEVELOPING
SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND LATE IN THE WEEK. HOWEVER...THE PASSAGE AND
EXACT TRACK OF THAT SYSTEM WILL PLAY A SIGNIFICANT ROLE AS TO
WHETHER A STEADY RAIN WILL FALL OVER SOUTHERN AREAS...OR SCATTERED
SHOWER ACTIVITY.

&&

.AVIATION /01Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS WILL BE SLOW TO IMPROVE. EVEN
THOUGH CIGS WILL LIKELY BEGIN TO INCREASE LATER THIS
EVENING...RADIATIONAL COOLING WILL FORM FOG THAT WILL KEEP VSBYS
AT IFR/LIFR AT MOST LOCATIONS THROUGH MORNING. VFR CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TOMORROW AND TOMORROW NIGHT.

LONG TERM...HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA
THROUGH EARLY THIS WEEKEND. NIGHTTIME FOG IS POSSIBLE EACH NIGHT
AT LEBANON AND WHITEFIELD. IFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY
AND AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...NO FLAGS EXPECTED.

LONG TERM...WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENTS LEAD TO LIGHT WINDS AND LOW
WAVE HEIGHTS THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...LEGRO



000
FXUS61 KCAR 012200
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
600 PM EDT WED JUL 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD BACK ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL MOVE EAST OF NEW ENGLAND SATURDAY. A COLD
FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT AND MAY STALL OUT ACROSS
DOWN EAST MAINE SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
6 PM UPDATE...DECIDED TO CARRY ISOLATED TSTMS INTO THE LATE
EVENING HRS FURTHER N INTO CENTRAL AND NORTHERN AREAS. RAP/LAP
SOUNDINGS SHOW MUCAPES APCHG 200+ JOULES W/SOME LLVL WAA NOTED.
PLUS 700-500MB LAPSE RATES HIT 6.5C/KM FROM NOW THROUGH LATE
EVENING. SATL WV IMAGERY SHOWED STRONG VORT MAX LIFTING NE W/SOME
DRIER AIR MOVING OVERHEAD. 0-6KM SHEAR IS FCST TO HIT 35+ KTS, SO
SOME GUSTY WINDS PSBL W/PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL AS PWS AOA 1.45
INCHES. ACTIVITY SHOULD WIND DOWN AFTER 10 PM OR SO.

PLENTY OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL LINGER INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS
WITH PLENTY OF CLOUDS AND AREAS OF FOG ALONG THE COAST. CONDITIONS
WILL IMPROVE BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING AS A FRONT PUSHES ACROSS
THE AREA WITH DRIER AIR AND PARTIAL CLEARING TOWARD MORNING. LOWS
TONIGHT WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. THURSDAY WILL
FEATURE PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AS HIGH PRESSURE STARTS TO
BUILD IN FROM THE WEST. HIGHS ON THURSDAY WILL BE IN THE LOW TO
MID 70S ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
DRY AND WARM HEADING INTO THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND.  HIGH PRES SLIDES
SOUTH OF THE REGION FRI MAKING FOR A NICE DAY. A WEAK UPPER TROUGH
WILL LIKELY PRODUCE A BIT MORE CLOUD COVER IN THE NORTH...BUT EVEN
ACROSS THE CROWN OF MAINE IT SHOULD BE A P/SUNNY DAY.  MOSTLY SUNNY
WEATHER IS EXPECTED DOWN EAST.  HIGHS WILL MOSTLY BE IN THE M/U 70S
INLAND...BUT A WEAK ONSHORE FLOW/SEABREEZE WILL LIKELY DEVELOP
ALONG THE COAST KEEPING TEMPS COOLER AT THE SHORELINE. HIGH PRES
MOVES EAST ON THE 4TH AS A COLD FRONT BEGINS TO APPROACH FROM THE
NW LATE IN THE DAY. A LATE DAY OR EVENING SHOWER IS POSSIBLE
ACROSS NW AREAS...BUT OTHERWISE IT WILL BE DRY WITH CONTINUED WARM
TEMPS THAT MAY TOP 80 DEGREES ACROSS PARTS OF INTERIOR DOWN EAST
MAINE.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A COLD FRONT SLOWLY PUSHES THROUGH THE AREA SAT NIGHT AND MAY
STALL OUT ACROSS DOWNEAST MAINE SUN. THE BEST CHANCE OF SHOWERS
WILL LIKELY BE DURING THE DAY SUN ACROSS DOWN EAST AREAS. THE
FRONT DOES NOT HAVE MUCH MOISTURE TO WORK WITH AND THE SHOWERS
WILL LIKELY BE SCATTERED. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
SUN AFTERNOON DOWN EAST. HIGH PRES BUILDS BACK ACROSS THE REGION
MON AND TUE WITH DRY AND WARM WEATHER. THE NEXT COLD FRONT IS
EXPECTED TO CROSS THE REGION WED WITH THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.AVIATION /22Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: CONDITIONS WILL RANGE FROM MVFR/VFR AT THE NORTHERN TAF
SITES TO AS LOW AS IFR/LIFR IN LOW CIGS AND AREAS OF FOG AT KBGR
AND KBHB.

VFR THURSDAY.

SHORT TERM: VFR EXPECTED THU NIGHT THROUGH SAT EVE. CONDITIONS
MAY LOWER TO MVFR AT TIMES LATER SAT NIGHT INTO SUN IN SHOWERS.
VFR MON.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SCA LEVELS THROUGH
THURSDAY. VISIBILITY WILL BE REDUCED BELOW 1 NM AT TIMES IN AREAS
OF FOG THIS EVENING ALONG WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND AN ISOLATED
TSTM.

SHORT TERM: NO HEADLINES ARE EXPECTED THU NIGHT THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.

&&

.CLIMATE...
THE FIRST HALF OF THE YEAR ENDED AS THE COLDEST ON
RECORD AT BANGOR AND TIED FOR THE 7TH COLDEST AT CARIBOU. JUNE
WAS A COOL MONTH AND RANKED AS THE 5TH COOLEST ON RECORD AT BANGOR
AND 12TH COOLEST AT CARIBOU.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...DUDA/HEWITT
SHORT TERM...CB
LONG TERM...CB
AVIATION...DUDA/HEWITT/CB
MARINE...DUDA/HEWITT/CB
CLIMATE...CB



000
FXUS61 KGYX 012109 AAA
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
509 PM EDT WED JUL 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION EARLY TONIGHT. THIS SYSTEM
WILL BRING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION THROUGH THIS
EVENING...BEFORE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN ON THURSDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL THEN REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. LOW
PRESSURE ALONG THE NEW ENGLAND COASTLINE MAY BRING SHOWERS TO THE
REGION LATE IN THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
UPDATE...TRACKING A COUPLE AREAS OF TSTMS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA
AT THIS HOUR. A COUPLE MARGINALLY SEVERE STORMS ARE TRACKING SERN
NH...TAPPING THE REMAINING HIGHER THETA-E AIR AHEAD OF THE WIND
SHIFT. FARTHER W...A BROKEN LINE OF STORMS IS DEVELOPING AND
MOVING INTO STEEPENING LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES. THE SEVERE THREAT IS
NOW TRANSITIONING FROM HAIL...AND ISOLD TORNADO...TOWARDS STRAIGHT
LINE WIND WITH THE DEVELOPING LINE. SINCE THESE LOW LEVEL LAPSE
RATES ARE TIED TO DIURNAL HEATING...THESE STORMS SHOULD GRADUALLY
WEAKEN AS THE SUN SETS THIS EVENING. HAVE TWEAKED POP TO MATCH
LATEST RADAR TRENDS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE BEGINNING TO SEE A
LITTLE BIT OF HEATING THIS AFTERNOON. ONCE TEMPERATURES CLIMB INTO
THE MID 70S...CONVECTION SHOULD GET GOING. ALREADY SEEING SOME
CONVECTION FIRING OVER SOUTHERN VERMONT AND EASTERN NEW YORK. THE
REST OF THE FORECAST AREA PROBABLY WILL NOT SEE ENOUGH HEATING FOR
MUCH IN THE WAY OF CONVECTION. LOW CLOUDS AND RAIN WILL HANG
AROUND UNTIL THE COLD FRONT SWINGS THROUGH LATER TONIGHT. EXPECT
PATCHY FOG TO DEVELOP AS SKIES BEGIN TO CLEAR AND RADIATIONAL
COOLING GETS GOING.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE REGION WITH SUNNY SKIES TOMORROW AND
CLEAR SKIES TOMORROW NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION LATE IN THE
WEEKEND. THIS WILL BRING ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS TO THE
AREA AS THE WEAK SURFACE FRONT WILL BE RELATIVELY MOISTURE
STARVED.

HIGH PRESSURE WITH MODERATING TEMPERATURES WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR
EARLY NEXT WEEK. MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS WILL ACCOMPANY THE 850 MB
TEMPERATURES WILL FINALLY BE ON THE RISE WITHIN A WEAK DEVELOPING
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW.

12Z MODEL SUITE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH A SURFACE LOW DEVELOPING
SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND LATE IN THE WEEK. HOWEVER...THE PASSAGE AND
EXACT TRACK OF THAT SYSTEM WILL PLAY A SIGNIFICANT ROLE AS TO
WHETHER A STEADY RAIN WILL FALL OVER SOUTHERN AREAS...OR SCATTERED
SHOWER ACTIVITY.

&&

.AVIATION /21Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS WILL BE SLOW TO IMPROVE. EVEN
THOUGH CIGS WILL LIKELY BEGIN TO INCREASE LATER THIS
EVENING...RADIATIONAL COOLING WILL FORM FOG THAT WILL KEEP VSBYS
AT IFR/LIFR AT MOST LOCATIONS THROUGH MORNING. VFR CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TOMORROW AND TOMORROW NIGHT.

LONG TERM...HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA
THROUGH EARLY THIS WEEKEND. NIGHTTIME FOG IS POSSIBLE EACH NIGHT
AT LEBANON AND WHITEFIELD. IFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY
AND AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...NO FLAGS EXPECTED.

LONG TERM...WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENTS LEAD TO LIGHT WINDS AND LOW
WAVE HEIGHTS THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...LEGRO



000
FXUS61 KGYX 012109 AAA
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
509 PM EDT WED JUL 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION EARLY TONIGHT. THIS SYSTEM
WILL BRING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION THROUGH THIS
EVENING...BEFORE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN ON THURSDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL THEN REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. LOW
PRESSURE ALONG THE NEW ENGLAND COASTLINE MAY BRING SHOWERS TO THE
REGION LATE IN THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
UPDATE...TRACKING A COUPLE AREAS OF TSTMS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA
AT THIS HOUR. A COUPLE MARGINALLY SEVERE STORMS ARE TRACKING SERN
NH...TAPPING THE REMAINING HIGHER THETA-E AIR AHEAD OF THE WIND
SHIFT. FARTHER W...A BROKEN LINE OF STORMS IS DEVELOPING AND
MOVING INTO STEEPENING LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES. THE SEVERE THREAT IS
NOW TRANSITIONING FROM HAIL...AND ISOLD TORNADO...TOWARDS STRAIGHT
LINE WIND WITH THE DEVELOPING LINE. SINCE THESE LOW LEVEL LAPSE
RATES ARE TIED TO DIURNAL HEATING...THESE STORMS SHOULD GRADUALLY
WEAKEN AS THE SUN SETS THIS EVENING. HAVE TWEAKED POP TO MATCH
LATEST RADAR TRENDS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE BEGINNING TO SEE A
LITTLE BIT OF HEATING THIS AFTERNOON. ONCE TEMPERATURES CLIMB INTO
THE MID 70S...CONVECTION SHOULD GET GOING. ALREADY SEEING SOME
CONVECTION FIRING OVER SOUTHERN VERMONT AND EASTERN NEW YORK. THE
REST OF THE FORECAST AREA PROBABLY WILL NOT SEE ENOUGH HEATING FOR
MUCH IN THE WAY OF CONVECTION. LOW CLOUDS AND RAIN WILL HANG
AROUND UNTIL THE COLD FRONT SWINGS THROUGH LATER TONIGHT. EXPECT
PATCHY FOG TO DEVELOP AS SKIES BEGIN TO CLEAR AND RADIATIONAL
COOLING GETS GOING.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE REGION WITH SUNNY SKIES TOMORROW AND
CLEAR SKIES TOMORROW NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION LATE IN THE
WEEKEND. THIS WILL BRING ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS TO THE
AREA AS THE WEAK SURFACE FRONT WILL BE RELATIVELY MOISTURE
STARVED.

HIGH PRESSURE WITH MODERATING TEMPERATURES WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR
EARLY NEXT WEEK. MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS WILL ACCOMPANY THE 850 MB
TEMPERATURES WILL FINALLY BE ON THE RISE WITHIN A WEAK DEVELOPING
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW.

12Z MODEL SUITE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH A SURFACE LOW DEVELOPING
SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND LATE IN THE WEEK. HOWEVER...THE PASSAGE AND
EXACT TRACK OF THAT SYSTEM WILL PLAY A SIGNIFICANT ROLE AS TO
WHETHER A STEADY RAIN WILL FALL OVER SOUTHERN AREAS...OR SCATTERED
SHOWER ACTIVITY.

&&

.AVIATION /21Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS WILL BE SLOW TO IMPROVE. EVEN
THOUGH CIGS WILL LIKELY BEGIN TO INCREASE LATER THIS
EVENING...RADIATIONAL COOLING WILL FORM FOG THAT WILL KEEP VSBYS
AT IFR/LIFR AT MOST LOCATIONS THROUGH MORNING. VFR CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TOMORROW AND TOMORROW NIGHT.

LONG TERM...HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA
THROUGH EARLY THIS WEEKEND. NIGHTTIME FOG IS POSSIBLE EACH NIGHT
AT LEBANON AND WHITEFIELD. IFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY
AND AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...NO FLAGS EXPECTED.

LONG TERM...WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENTS LEAD TO LIGHT WINDS AND LOW
WAVE HEIGHTS THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...LEGRO




000
FXUS61 KCAR 011908
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
308 PM EDT WED JUL 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD BACK ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL MOVE EAST OF NEW ENGLAND SATURDAY. A COLD
FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT AND MAY STALL OUT ACROSS
DOWN EAST MAINE SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK TO OUR NORTH TONIGHT. AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE WILL CROSS THE REGION THIS EVENING WITH A FEW SHOWERS
EXPECTED. ALTHOUGH SHOWERS WILL BE ENDING PLENTY OF LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE WILL LINGER INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS WITH PLENTY OF
CLOUDS AND AREAS OF FOG ALONG THE COAST. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE
BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING AS A FRONT PUSHES ACROSS THE AREA WITH
DRIER AIR AND PARTIAL CLEARING TOWARD MORNING. LOWS TONIGHT WILL
GENERALLY BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. THURSDAY WILL FEATURE
PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AS HIGH PRESSURE STARTS TO BUILD IN
FROM THE WEST. HIGHS ON THURSDAY WILL BE IN THE LOW TO MID 70S
ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
DRY AND WARM HEADING INTO THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND.  HIGH PRES SLIDES
SOUTH OF THE REGION FRI MAKING FOR A NICE DAY. A WEAK UPPER TROUGH
WILL LIKELY PRODUCE A BIT MORE CLOUD COVER IN THE NORTH...BUT EVEN
ACROSS THE CROWN OF MAINE IT SHOULD BE A P/SUNNY DAY.  MOSTLY SUNNY
WEATHER IS EXPECTED DOWN EAST.  HIGHS WILL MOSTLY BE IN THE M/U 70S
INLAND...BUT A WEAK ONSHORE FLOW/SEABREEZE WILL LIKELY DEVELOP
ALONG THE COAST KEEPING TEMPS COOLER AT THE SHORELINE. HIGH PRES
MOVES EAST ON THE 4TH AS A COLD FRONT BEGINS TO APPROACH FROM THE
NW LATE IN THE DAY. A LATE DAY OR EVENING SHOWER IS POSSIBLE
ACROSS NW AREAS...BUT OTHERWISE IT WILL BE DRY WITH CONTINUED WARM
TEMPS THAT MAY TOP 80 DEGREES ACROSS PARTS OF INTERIOR DOWN EAST
MAINE.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A COLD FRONT SLOWLY PUSHES THROUGH THE AREA SAT NIGHT AND MAY
STALL OUT ACROSS DOWNEAST MAINE SUN. THE BEST CHANCE OF SHOWERS
WILL LIKELY BE DURING THE DAY SUN ACROSS DOWN EAST AREAS. THE
FRONT DOES NOT HAVE MUCH MOISTURE TO WORK WITH AND THE SHOWERS
WILL LIKELY BE SCATTERED. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
SUN AFTERNOON DOWN EAST. HIGH PRES BUILDS BACK ACROSS THE REGION
MON AND TUE WITH DRY AND WARM WEATHER. THE NEXT COLD FRONT IS
EXPECTED TO CROSS THE REGION WED WITH THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: CONDITIONS WILL RANGE FROM MVFR/VFR AT THE NORTHERN TAF
SITES TO AS LOW AS IFR/LIFR IN LOW CIGS AND AREAS OF FOG AT KBGR
AND KBHB.

VFR THURSDAY.

SHORT TERM: VFR EXPECTED THU NIGHT THROUGH SAT EVE. CONDITIONS
MAY LOWER TO MVFR AT TIMES LATER SAT NIGHT INTO SUN IN SHOWERS.
VFR MON.

&&

.MARINE...

NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SCA LEVELS THROUGH
THURSDAY. VISIBILITY WILL BE REDUCED BELOW 1 NM AT TIMES IN AREAS
OF FOG THIS EVENING ALONG WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND AN ISOLATED
TSTM.

SHORT TERM: NO HEADLINES ARE EXPECTED THU NIGHT THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.

&&

.CLIMATE...THE FIRST HALF OF THE YEAR ENDED AS THE COLDEST ON
RECORD AT BANGOR AND TIED FOR THE 7TH COLDEST AT CARIBOU. JUNE
WAS A COOL MONTH AND RANKED AS THE 5TH COOLEST ON RECORD AT BANGOR
AND 12TH COOLEST AT CARIBOU.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...DUDA
SHORT TERM...CB
LONG TERM...CB
AVIATION...DUDA/CB
MARINE...DUDA/CB
CLIMATE...CB



000
FXUS61 KCAR 011908
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
308 PM EDT WED JUL 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD BACK ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL MOVE EAST OF NEW ENGLAND SATURDAY. A COLD
FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT AND MAY STALL OUT ACROSS
DOWN EAST MAINE SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK TO OUR NORTH TONIGHT. AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE WILL CROSS THE REGION THIS EVENING WITH A FEW SHOWERS
EXPECTED. ALTHOUGH SHOWERS WILL BE ENDING PLENTY OF LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE WILL LINGER INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS WITH PLENTY OF
CLOUDS AND AREAS OF FOG ALONG THE COAST. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE
BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING AS A FRONT PUSHES ACROSS THE AREA WITH
DRIER AIR AND PARTIAL CLEARING TOWARD MORNING. LOWS TONIGHT WILL
GENERALLY BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. THURSDAY WILL FEATURE
PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AS HIGH PRESSURE STARTS TO BUILD IN
FROM THE WEST. HIGHS ON THURSDAY WILL BE IN THE LOW TO MID 70S
ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
DRY AND WARM HEADING INTO THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND.  HIGH PRES SLIDES
SOUTH OF THE REGION FRI MAKING FOR A NICE DAY. A WEAK UPPER TROUGH
WILL LIKELY PRODUCE A BIT MORE CLOUD COVER IN THE NORTH...BUT EVEN
ACROSS THE CROWN OF MAINE IT SHOULD BE A P/SUNNY DAY.  MOSTLY SUNNY
WEATHER IS EXPECTED DOWN EAST.  HIGHS WILL MOSTLY BE IN THE M/U 70S
INLAND...BUT A WEAK ONSHORE FLOW/SEABREEZE WILL LIKELY DEVELOP
ALONG THE COAST KEEPING TEMPS COOLER AT THE SHORELINE. HIGH PRES
MOVES EAST ON THE 4TH AS A COLD FRONT BEGINS TO APPROACH FROM THE
NW LATE IN THE DAY. A LATE DAY OR EVENING SHOWER IS POSSIBLE
ACROSS NW AREAS...BUT OTHERWISE IT WILL BE DRY WITH CONTINUED WARM
TEMPS THAT MAY TOP 80 DEGREES ACROSS PARTS OF INTERIOR DOWN EAST
MAINE.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A COLD FRONT SLOWLY PUSHES THROUGH THE AREA SAT NIGHT AND MAY
STALL OUT ACROSS DOWNEAST MAINE SUN. THE BEST CHANCE OF SHOWERS
WILL LIKELY BE DURING THE DAY SUN ACROSS DOWN EAST AREAS. THE
FRONT DOES NOT HAVE MUCH MOISTURE TO WORK WITH AND THE SHOWERS
WILL LIKELY BE SCATTERED. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
SUN AFTERNOON DOWN EAST. HIGH PRES BUILDS BACK ACROSS THE REGION
MON AND TUE WITH DRY AND WARM WEATHER. THE NEXT COLD FRONT IS
EXPECTED TO CROSS THE REGION WED WITH THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: CONDITIONS WILL RANGE FROM MVFR/VFR AT THE NORTHERN TAF
SITES TO AS LOW AS IFR/LIFR IN LOW CIGS AND AREAS OF FOG AT KBGR
AND KBHB.

VFR THURSDAY.

SHORT TERM: VFR EXPECTED THU NIGHT THROUGH SAT EVE. CONDITIONS
MAY LOWER TO MVFR AT TIMES LATER SAT NIGHT INTO SUN IN SHOWERS.
VFR MON.

&&

.MARINE...

NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SCA LEVELS THROUGH
THURSDAY. VISIBILITY WILL BE REDUCED BELOW 1 NM AT TIMES IN AREAS
OF FOG THIS EVENING ALONG WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND AN ISOLATED
TSTM.

SHORT TERM: NO HEADLINES ARE EXPECTED THU NIGHT THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.

&&

.CLIMATE...THE FIRST HALF OF THE YEAR ENDED AS THE COLDEST ON
RECORD AT BANGOR AND TIED FOR THE 7TH COLDEST AT CARIBOU. JUNE
WAS A COOL MONTH AND RANKED AS THE 5TH COOLEST ON RECORD AT BANGOR
AND 12TH COOLEST AT CARIBOU.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...DUDA
SHORT TERM...CB
LONG TERM...CB
AVIATION...DUDA/CB
MARINE...DUDA/CB
CLIMATE...CB




000
FXUS61 KGYX 011844
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
244 PM EDT WED JUL 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION EARLY TONIGHT. THIS SYSTEM
WILL BRING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION THROUGH THIS
EVENING...BEFORE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN ON THURSDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL THEN REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. LOW
PRESSURE ALONG THE NEW ENGLAND COASTLINE MAY BRING SHOWERS TO THE
REGION LATE IN THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE BEGINNING TO SEE A LITTLE BIT OF HEATING
THIS AFTERNOON. ONCE TEMPERATURES CLIMB INTO THE MID
70S...CONVECTION SHOULD GET GOING. ALREADY SEEING SOME CONVECTION
FIRING OVER SOUTHERN VERMONT AND EASTERN NEW YORK. THE REST OF THE
FORECAST AREA PROBABLY WILL NOT SEE ENOUGH HEATING FOR MUCH IN THE
WAY OF CONVECTION. LOW CLOUDS AND RAIN WILL HANG AROUND UNTIL THE
COLD FRONT SWINGS THROUGH LATER TONIGHT. EXPECT PATCHY FOG TO
DEVELOP AS SKIES BEGIN TO CLEAR AND RADIATIONAL COOLING GETS
GOING.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE REGION WITH SUNNY SKIES TOMORROW AND
CLEAR SKIES TOMORROW NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION LATE IN THE
WEEKEND. THIS WILL BRING ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS TO THE
AREA AS THE WEAK SURFACE FRONT WILL BE RELATIVELY MOISTURE
STARVED.

HIGH PRESSURE WITH MODERATING TEMPERATURES WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR
EARLY NEXT WEEK. MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS WILL ACCOMPANY THE 850 MB
TEMPERATURES WILL FINALLY BE ON THE RISE WITHIN A WEAK DEVELOPING
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW.

12Z MODEL SUITE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH A SURFACE LOW DEVELOPING
SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND LATE IN THE WEEK. HOWEVER...THE PASSAGE AND
EXACT TRACK OF THAT SYSTEM WILL PLAY A SIGNIFICANT ROLE AS TO
WHETHER A STEADY RAIN WILL FALL OVER SOUTHERN AREAS...OR SCATTERED
SHOWER ACTIVITY.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS WILL BE SLOW TO IMPROVE. EVEN
THOUGH CIGS WILL LIKELY BEGIN TO INCREASE LATER THIS
EVENING...RADIATIONAL COOLING WILL FORM FOG THAT WILL KEEP VSBYS
AT IFR/LIFR AT MOST LOCATIONS THROUGH MORNING. VFR CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TOMORROW AND TOMORROW NIGHT.

LONG TERM...HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA
THROUGH EARLY THIS WEEKEND. NIGHTTIME FOG IS POSSIBLE EACH NIGHT
AT LEBANON AND WHITEFIELD. IFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY
AND AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...NO FLAGS EXPECTED.

LONG TERM...WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENTS LEAD TO LIGHT WINDS AND LOW
WAVE HEIGHTS THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$



000
FXUS61 KGYX 011844
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
244 PM EDT WED JUL 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION EARLY TONIGHT. THIS SYSTEM
WILL BRING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION THROUGH THIS
EVENING...BEFORE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN ON THURSDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL THEN REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. LOW
PRESSURE ALONG THE NEW ENGLAND COASTLINE MAY BRING SHOWERS TO THE
REGION LATE IN THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE BEGINNING TO SEE A LITTLE BIT OF HEATING
THIS AFTERNOON. ONCE TEMPERATURES CLIMB INTO THE MID
70S...CONVECTION SHOULD GET GOING. ALREADY SEEING SOME CONVECTION
FIRING OVER SOUTHERN VERMONT AND EASTERN NEW YORK. THE REST OF THE
FORECAST AREA PROBABLY WILL NOT SEE ENOUGH HEATING FOR MUCH IN THE
WAY OF CONVECTION. LOW CLOUDS AND RAIN WILL HANG AROUND UNTIL THE
COLD FRONT SWINGS THROUGH LATER TONIGHT. EXPECT PATCHY FOG TO
DEVELOP AS SKIES BEGIN TO CLEAR AND RADIATIONAL COOLING GETS
GOING.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE REGION WITH SUNNY SKIES TOMORROW AND
CLEAR SKIES TOMORROW NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION LATE IN THE
WEEKEND. THIS WILL BRING ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS TO THE
AREA AS THE WEAK SURFACE FRONT WILL BE RELATIVELY MOISTURE
STARVED.

HIGH PRESSURE WITH MODERATING TEMPERATURES WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR
EARLY NEXT WEEK. MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS WILL ACCOMPANY THE 850 MB
TEMPERATURES WILL FINALLY BE ON THE RISE WITHIN A WEAK DEVELOPING
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW.

12Z MODEL SUITE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH A SURFACE LOW DEVELOPING
SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND LATE IN THE WEEK. HOWEVER...THE PASSAGE AND
EXACT TRACK OF THAT SYSTEM WILL PLAY A SIGNIFICANT ROLE AS TO
WHETHER A STEADY RAIN WILL FALL OVER SOUTHERN AREAS...OR SCATTERED
SHOWER ACTIVITY.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS WILL BE SLOW TO IMPROVE. EVEN
THOUGH CIGS WILL LIKELY BEGIN TO INCREASE LATER THIS
EVENING...RADIATIONAL COOLING WILL FORM FOG THAT WILL KEEP VSBYS
AT IFR/LIFR AT MOST LOCATIONS THROUGH MORNING. VFR CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TOMORROW AND TOMORROW NIGHT.

LONG TERM...HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA
THROUGH EARLY THIS WEEKEND. NIGHTTIME FOG IS POSSIBLE EACH NIGHT
AT LEBANON AND WHITEFIELD. IFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY
AND AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...NO FLAGS EXPECTED.

LONG TERM...WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENTS LEAD TO LIGHT WINDS AND LOW
WAVE HEIGHTS THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$



000
FXUS61 KGYX 011844
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
244 PM EDT WED JUL 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION EARLY TONIGHT. THIS SYSTEM
WILL BRING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION THROUGH THIS
EVENING...BEFORE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN ON THURSDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL THEN REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. LOW
PRESSURE ALONG THE NEW ENGLAND COASTLINE MAY BRING SHOWERS TO THE
REGION LATE IN THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE BEGINNING TO SEE A LITTLE BIT OF HEATING
THIS AFTERNOON. ONCE TEMPERATURES CLIMB INTO THE MID
70S...CONVECTION SHOULD GET GOING. ALREADY SEEING SOME CONVECTION
FIRING OVER SOUTHERN VERMONT AND EASTERN NEW YORK. THE REST OF THE
FORECAST AREA PROBABLY WILL NOT SEE ENOUGH HEATING FOR MUCH IN THE
WAY OF CONVECTION. LOW CLOUDS AND RAIN WILL HANG AROUND UNTIL THE
COLD FRONT SWINGS THROUGH LATER TONIGHT. EXPECT PATCHY FOG TO
DEVELOP AS SKIES BEGIN TO CLEAR AND RADIATIONAL COOLING GETS
GOING.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE REGION WITH SUNNY SKIES TOMORROW AND
CLEAR SKIES TOMORROW NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION LATE IN THE
WEEKEND. THIS WILL BRING ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS TO THE
AREA AS THE WEAK SURFACE FRONT WILL BE RELATIVELY MOISTURE
STARVED.

HIGH PRESSURE WITH MODERATING TEMPERATURES WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR
EARLY NEXT WEEK. MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS WILL ACCOMPANY THE 850 MB
TEMPERATURES WILL FINALLY BE ON THE RISE WITHIN A WEAK DEVELOPING
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW.

12Z MODEL SUITE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH A SURFACE LOW DEVELOPING
SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND LATE IN THE WEEK. HOWEVER...THE PASSAGE AND
EXACT TRACK OF THAT SYSTEM WILL PLAY A SIGNIFICANT ROLE AS TO
WHETHER A STEADY RAIN WILL FALL OVER SOUTHERN AREAS...OR SCATTERED
SHOWER ACTIVITY.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS WILL BE SLOW TO IMPROVE. EVEN
THOUGH CIGS WILL LIKELY BEGIN TO INCREASE LATER THIS
EVENING...RADIATIONAL COOLING WILL FORM FOG THAT WILL KEEP VSBYS
AT IFR/LIFR AT MOST LOCATIONS THROUGH MORNING. VFR CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TOMORROW AND TOMORROW NIGHT.

LONG TERM...HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA
THROUGH EARLY THIS WEEKEND. NIGHTTIME FOG IS POSSIBLE EACH NIGHT
AT LEBANON AND WHITEFIELD. IFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY
AND AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...NO FLAGS EXPECTED.

LONG TERM...WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENTS LEAD TO LIGHT WINDS AND LOW
WAVE HEIGHTS THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$




000
FXUS61 KGYX 011844
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
244 PM EDT WED JUL 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION EARLY TONIGHT. THIS SYSTEM
WILL BRING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION THROUGH THIS
EVENING...BEFORE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN ON THURSDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL THEN REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. LOW
PRESSURE ALONG THE NEW ENGLAND COASTLINE MAY BRING SHOWERS TO THE
REGION LATE IN THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE BEGINNING TO SEE A LITTLE BIT OF HEATING
THIS AFTERNOON. ONCE TEMPERATURES CLIMB INTO THE MID
70S...CONVECTION SHOULD GET GOING. ALREADY SEEING SOME CONVECTION
FIRING OVER SOUTHERN VERMONT AND EASTERN NEW YORK. THE REST OF THE
FORECAST AREA PROBABLY WILL NOT SEE ENOUGH HEATING FOR MUCH IN THE
WAY OF CONVECTION. LOW CLOUDS AND RAIN WILL HANG AROUND UNTIL THE
COLD FRONT SWINGS THROUGH LATER TONIGHT. EXPECT PATCHY FOG TO
DEVELOP AS SKIES BEGIN TO CLEAR AND RADIATIONAL COOLING GETS
GOING.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE REGION WITH SUNNY SKIES TOMORROW AND
CLEAR SKIES TOMORROW NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION LATE IN THE
WEEKEND. THIS WILL BRING ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS TO THE
AREA AS THE WEAK SURFACE FRONT WILL BE RELATIVELY MOISTURE
STARVED.

HIGH PRESSURE WITH MODERATING TEMPERATURES WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR
EARLY NEXT WEEK. MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS WILL ACCOMPANY THE 850 MB
TEMPERATURES WILL FINALLY BE ON THE RISE WITHIN A WEAK DEVELOPING
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW.

12Z MODEL SUITE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH A SURFACE LOW DEVELOPING
SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND LATE IN THE WEEK. HOWEVER...THE PASSAGE AND
EXACT TRACK OF THAT SYSTEM WILL PLAY A SIGNIFICANT ROLE AS TO
WHETHER A STEADY RAIN WILL FALL OVER SOUTHERN AREAS...OR SCATTERED
SHOWER ACTIVITY.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS WILL BE SLOW TO IMPROVE. EVEN
THOUGH CIGS WILL LIKELY BEGIN TO INCREASE LATER THIS
EVENING...RADIATIONAL COOLING WILL FORM FOG THAT WILL KEEP VSBYS
AT IFR/LIFR AT MOST LOCATIONS THROUGH MORNING. VFR CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TOMORROW AND TOMORROW NIGHT.

LONG TERM...HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA
THROUGH EARLY THIS WEEKEND. NIGHTTIME FOG IS POSSIBLE EACH NIGHT
AT LEBANON AND WHITEFIELD. IFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY
AND AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...NO FLAGS EXPECTED.

LONG TERM...WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENTS LEAD TO LIGHT WINDS AND LOW
WAVE HEIGHTS THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$




000
FXUS61 KGYX 011844
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
244 PM EDT WED JUL 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION EARLY TONIGHT. THIS SYSTEM
WILL BRING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION THROUGH THIS
EVENING...BEFORE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN ON THURSDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL THEN REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. LOW
PRESSURE ALONG THE NEW ENGLAND COASTLINE MAY BRING SHOWERS TO THE
REGION LATE IN THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE BEGINNING TO SEE A LITTLE BIT OF HEATING
THIS AFTERNOON. ONCE TEMPERATURES CLIMB INTO THE MID
70S...CONVECTION SHOULD GET GOING. ALREADY SEEING SOME CONVECTION
FIRING OVER SOUTHERN VERMONT AND EASTERN NEW YORK. THE REST OF THE
FORECAST AREA PROBABLY WILL NOT SEE ENOUGH HEATING FOR MUCH IN THE
WAY OF CONVECTION. LOW CLOUDS AND RAIN WILL HANG AROUND UNTIL THE
COLD FRONT SWINGS THROUGH LATER TONIGHT. EXPECT PATCHY FOG TO
DEVELOP AS SKIES BEGIN TO CLEAR AND RADIATIONAL COOLING GETS
GOING.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE REGION WITH SUNNY SKIES TOMORROW AND
CLEAR SKIES TOMORROW NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION LATE IN THE
WEEKEND. THIS WILL BRING ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS TO THE
AREA AS THE WEAK SURFACE FRONT WILL BE RELATIVELY MOISTURE
STARVED.

HIGH PRESSURE WITH MODERATING TEMPERATURES WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR
EARLY NEXT WEEK. MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS WILL ACCOMPANY THE 850 MB
TEMPERATURES WILL FINALLY BE ON THE RISE WITHIN A WEAK DEVELOPING
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW.

12Z MODEL SUITE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH A SURFACE LOW DEVELOPING
SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND LATE IN THE WEEK. HOWEVER...THE PASSAGE AND
EXACT TRACK OF THAT SYSTEM WILL PLAY A SIGNIFICANT ROLE AS TO
WHETHER A STEADY RAIN WILL FALL OVER SOUTHERN AREAS...OR SCATTERED
SHOWER ACTIVITY.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS WILL BE SLOW TO IMPROVE. EVEN
THOUGH CIGS WILL LIKELY BEGIN TO INCREASE LATER THIS
EVENING...RADIATIONAL COOLING WILL FORM FOG THAT WILL KEEP VSBYS
AT IFR/LIFR AT MOST LOCATIONS THROUGH MORNING. VFR CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TOMORROW AND TOMORROW NIGHT.

LONG TERM...HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA
THROUGH EARLY THIS WEEKEND. NIGHTTIME FOG IS POSSIBLE EACH NIGHT
AT LEBANON AND WHITEFIELD. IFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY
AND AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...NO FLAGS EXPECTED.

LONG TERM...WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENTS LEAD TO LIGHT WINDS AND LOW
WAVE HEIGHTS THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$




000
FXUS61 KGYX 011844
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
244 PM EDT WED JUL 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION EARLY TONIGHT. THIS SYSTEM
WILL BRING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION THROUGH THIS
EVENING...BEFORE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN ON THURSDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL THEN REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. LOW
PRESSURE ALONG THE NEW ENGLAND COASTLINE MAY BRING SHOWERS TO THE
REGION LATE IN THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE BEGINNING TO SEE A LITTLE BIT OF HEATING
THIS AFTERNOON. ONCE TEMPERATURES CLIMB INTO THE MID
70S...CONVECTION SHOULD GET GOING. ALREADY SEEING SOME CONVECTION
FIRING OVER SOUTHERN VERMONT AND EASTERN NEW YORK. THE REST OF THE
FORECAST AREA PROBABLY WILL NOT SEE ENOUGH HEATING FOR MUCH IN THE
WAY OF CONVECTION. LOW CLOUDS AND RAIN WILL HANG AROUND UNTIL THE
COLD FRONT SWINGS THROUGH LATER TONIGHT. EXPECT PATCHY FOG TO
DEVELOP AS SKIES BEGIN TO CLEAR AND RADIATIONAL COOLING GETS
GOING.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE REGION WITH SUNNY SKIES TOMORROW AND
CLEAR SKIES TOMORROW NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION LATE IN THE
WEEKEND. THIS WILL BRING ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS TO THE
AREA AS THE WEAK SURFACE FRONT WILL BE RELATIVELY MOISTURE
STARVED.

HIGH PRESSURE WITH MODERATING TEMPERATURES WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR
EARLY NEXT WEEK. MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS WILL ACCOMPANY THE 850 MB
TEMPERATURES WILL FINALLY BE ON THE RISE WITHIN A WEAK DEVELOPING
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW.

12Z MODEL SUITE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH A SURFACE LOW DEVELOPING
SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND LATE IN THE WEEK. HOWEVER...THE PASSAGE AND
EXACT TRACK OF THAT SYSTEM WILL PLAY A SIGNIFICANT ROLE AS TO
WHETHER A STEADY RAIN WILL FALL OVER SOUTHERN AREAS...OR SCATTERED
SHOWER ACTIVITY.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS WILL BE SLOW TO IMPROVE. EVEN
THOUGH CIGS WILL LIKELY BEGIN TO INCREASE LATER THIS
EVENING...RADIATIONAL COOLING WILL FORM FOG THAT WILL KEEP VSBYS
AT IFR/LIFR AT MOST LOCATIONS THROUGH MORNING. VFR CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TOMORROW AND TOMORROW NIGHT.

LONG TERM...HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA
THROUGH EARLY THIS WEEKEND. NIGHTTIME FOG IS POSSIBLE EACH NIGHT
AT LEBANON AND WHITEFIELD. IFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY
AND AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...NO FLAGS EXPECTED.

LONG TERM...WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENTS LEAD TO LIGHT WINDS AND LOW
WAVE HEIGHTS THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$




000
FXUS61 KCAR 011645
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1245 PM EDT WED JUL 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK WEST OF MAINE TODAY. THE LOW WILL DRAW
A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPDATE...ADJUSTED POPS AND TEMPS FOR THSI AFTERNOON BASED ON
LATEST OBSERVATIONS. HAVE CONFINED THE MENTION OF ISOLATED TSTMS
TO DOWN EAST AREAS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION
LOW PRESSURE LIFTING TO OUR WEST TODAY WILL PULL HUMID AND MOIST
AIR NORTH ACROSS THE AREA. THE UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE ASSOCIATED
WITH THIS LOW COMBINED WITH A SURFACE TROUGH WILL PUSH SHOWERS
ACROSS THE AREA, MAINLY OVER THE WEST THIS MORNING THEN OVER THE
REST OF THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON. FORECAST SOUNDINGS ARE SHOWING
UP TO 200 J/KG CAPE OVER THE REGION. UPPER LEVEL DYNAMICS, SOME
SURFACE CONVERGENCE AND A BIT OF INSTABILITY MAY SUPPORT SOME
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WHICH HAVE BEEN INCLUDED IN THE FORECAST
THIS AFTERNOON. HUMID AIR MOVING OVER THE COLDER WATERS WILL
LIKELY PRODUCE SOME FOG DOWNEAST EARLY TODAY. SOME FOG MAY LINGER
OVER THE WATERS THROUGH THE DAY. SHOWERS SHOULD LIFT NORTH AND
AWAY EARLY TONIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE LIFTS TO OUR NORTHWEST AND
PULLS DRIER AIR IN FROM THE WEST. SKIES SHOULD PARTIALLY CLEAR
DOWNEAST OVERNIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK NORTHWEST OF MAINE THURSDAY WHILE A COLD
FRONT SLOWLY CROSSES DOWNEAST AREAS...WITH AN UPPER LEVEL TROF
APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS THURSDAY MORNING
WITH PARTLY SUNNY SKIES DURING THE AFTERNOON. GENERALLY EXPECT
PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA
THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD EAST ACROSS THE REGION
THURSDAY NIGHT WHILE THE UPPER TROF CROSSES THE FORECAST AREA.
EXPECT PARTLY CLOUDY/MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES NORTH THURSDAY NIGHT WITH
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA. HIGH
PRESSURE THEN BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
NIGHT. EXPECT PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS
FRIDAY...WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE
FORECAST AREA. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA FRIDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT NEAR NORMAL LEVELS
THURSDAY/FRIDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO MOVE EAST SATURDAY...WITH A COLD FRONT
APPROACHING LATER SATURDAY NIGHT. EXPECT PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES
ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY...WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH
A SLIGHT OF SHOWERS SATURDAY NIGHT. THE COLD FRONT SHOULD CROSS
THE REGION SUNDAY WITH PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS...THOUGH THE EXACT TIMING OF THE FRONT IS STILL UNCERTAIN.
HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL THEN BEGIN TO APPROACH LATER TUESDAY
WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN AT NEAR NORMAL LEVELS SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: MVFR TO OCCASIONALLY IFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY
INTO EARLY TONIGHT. CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE TO VFR FROM SOUTH TO
NORTH LATE TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS
NORTHERN AREAS THURSDAY MORNING. OTHERWISE...GENERALLY VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY INTO SATURDAY.
OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: HUMID AIR OVER THE WATERS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN SOME
FOG TODAY. WIND AND SEAS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW SCA TODAY AND
TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: WINDS/SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY LEVELS THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...BLOOMER/DUDA
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/DUDA/NORCROSS
MARINE...BLOOMER/DUDA/NORCROSS



000
FXUS61 KCAR 011645
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1245 PM EDT WED JUL 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK WEST OF MAINE TODAY. THE LOW WILL DRAW
A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPDATE...ADJUSTED POPS AND TEMPS FOR THSI AFTERNOON BASED ON
LATEST OBSERVATIONS. HAVE CONFINED THE MENTION OF ISOLATED TSTMS
TO DOWN EAST AREAS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION
LOW PRESSURE LIFTING TO OUR WEST TODAY WILL PULL HUMID AND MOIST
AIR NORTH ACROSS THE AREA. THE UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE ASSOCIATED
WITH THIS LOW COMBINED WITH A SURFACE TROUGH WILL PUSH SHOWERS
ACROSS THE AREA, MAINLY OVER THE WEST THIS MORNING THEN OVER THE
REST OF THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON. FORECAST SOUNDINGS ARE SHOWING
UP TO 200 J/KG CAPE OVER THE REGION. UPPER LEVEL DYNAMICS, SOME
SURFACE CONVERGENCE AND A BIT OF INSTABILITY MAY SUPPORT SOME
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WHICH HAVE BEEN INCLUDED IN THE FORECAST
THIS AFTERNOON. HUMID AIR MOVING OVER THE COLDER WATERS WILL
LIKELY PRODUCE SOME FOG DOWNEAST EARLY TODAY. SOME FOG MAY LINGER
OVER THE WATERS THROUGH THE DAY. SHOWERS SHOULD LIFT NORTH AND
AWAY EARLY TONIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE LIFTS TO OUR NORTHWEST AND
PULLS DRIER AIR IN FROM THE WEST. SKIES SHOULD PARTIALLY CLEAR
DOWNEAST OVERNIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK NORTHWEST OF MAINE THURSDAY WHILE A COLD
FRONT SLOWLY CROSSES DOWNEAST AREAS...WITH AN UPPER LEVEL TROF
APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS THURSDAY MORNING
WITH PARTLY SUNNY SKIES DURING THE AFTERNOON. GENERALLY EXPECT
PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA
THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD EAST ACROSS THE REGION
THURSDAY NIGHT WHILE THE UPPER TROF CROSSES THE FORECAST AREA.
EXPECT PARTLY CLOUDY/MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES NORTH THURSDAY NIGHT WITH
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA. HIGH
PRESSURE THEN BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
NIGHT. EXPECT PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS
FRIDAY...WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE
FORECAST AREA. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA FRIDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT NEAR NORMAL LEVELS
THURSDAY/FRIDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO MOVE EAST SATURDAY...WITH A COLD FRONT
APPROACHING LATER SATURDAY NIGHT. EXPECT PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES
ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY...WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH
A SLIGHT OF SHOWERS SATURDAY NIGHT. THE COLD FRONT SHOULD CROSS
THE REGION SUNDAY WITH PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS...THOUGH THE EXACT TIMING OF THE FRONT IS STILL UNCERTAIN.
HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL THEN BEGIN TO APPROACH LATER TUESDAY
WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN AT NEAR NORMAL LEVELS SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: MVFR TO OCCASIONALLY IFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY
INTO EARLY TONIGHT. CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE TO VFR FROM SOUTH TO
NORTH LATE TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS
NORTHERN AREAS THURSDAY MORNING. OTHERWISE...GENERALLY VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY INTO SATURDAY.
OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: HUMID AIR OVER THE WATERS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN SOME
FOG TODAY. WIND AND SEAS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW SCA TODAY AND
TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: WINDS/SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY LEVELS THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...BLOOMER/DUDA
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/DUDA/NORCROSS
MARINE...BLOOMER/DUDA/NORCROSS




000
FXUS61 KGYX 011616
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
1216 PM EDT WED JUL 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL PULL A WARM FRONT NORTH INTO THE AREA TODAY...FOLLOWED
BY A TRAILING COLD FRONT EARLY TONIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION THROUGH THIS EVENING...BEFORE HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS IN ON THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN REMAIN IN PLACE INTO
THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
---1215PM UPDATE---
SHOWERS ARE PRETTY WIDESPREAD ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...BUT
LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LOOKS TO BE VERY LIMITED. WILL UPDATE TO
ACCOUNT FOR CURRENT PRECIPITATION AND TEMPERATURE TRENDS. THERE IS
STILL A POSSIBILITY FOR STORMS TO FIRE ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW
HAMPSHIRE LATE THIS AFTERNOON...DEPENDING ON HOW MUCH WARNING
OCCURS.

---905AM UPDATE---
QUICK UPDATE THIS MORNING TO BETTER CAPTURE THE RAIN MOVING ACROSS
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF CWA THIS MORNING. OTHERWISE...REMAINDER OF
FORECAST PACKAGE REMAINS LARGELY UNCHANGED.

600 AM...I ADJUSTED TIMING ON POPS TO REFLECT CURRENT RADAR
TRENDS..AND INGESTED THE LATEST MESONET INTO 1ST PERIOD GRIDS FOR
THIS ESTF UPDATE.

PREV DISC...
AT 06Z...A 1006 MILLIBAR LOW WAS OVER THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES
WITH A WARM FRONT EXTENDING SOUTHEASTWARD INTO THE MID ATLANTIC
REGION. SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO RIDE
NORTHEAST INTO THE FORECAST AREA TODAY IN ADVANCE OF THIS FRONTAL
BOUNDARY. MUCH OF SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST
MAINE WILL MAKE IT INTO THE WARM SECTOR DURING THE AFTERNOON. THE
QUESTION WILL BE HOW MUCH THE ATMOSPHERE CAN RECOVER FROM THE
EARLIER CONVECTION TODAY. MODELS SUGGEST AN AVERAGE OF 1000 J/KG
FOR CAPE IN THE WARM SECTOR ALONG WITH SUFFICIENT SHEAR FOR A FEW
STORMS TO APPROACH SEVERE CRITERIA WITH STRONG WINDS ALONG WITH
HAIL. HAVE OPTED TO INCLUDE GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL FOR THUNDERSTORMS
LATER TODAY ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE WARM FRONT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
THE COLD/OCCLUDED FRONT WILL SWING ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING
BRINGING CONVECTION QUICKLY TO AN END AS IT SWEEPS OFFSHORE. THERE
COULD BE A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS OVERNIGHT IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN
WITH THE UPPER TROUGH...OTHERWISE PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SOME PATCHY
VALLEY FOG. LOWS WILL BE IN THE 50S AND LOWER 60S. OUTSIDE OF A
FEW CLOUDS OVER NORTHERN AND EASTERN SECTIONS ASSOCIATED WITH THE
UPPER TROUGH...IT SHOULD BE A MOSTLY SUNNY DAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
BEGINS TO BUILD IN FROM THE WEST. AN OFFSHORE BREEZE SHOULD ALLOW
EVEN THE COAST TO WARM WELL INTO THE 70S...WITH A FEW 80 DEGREE
READINGS OVER SOUTHERN INTERIOR NEW HAMPSHIRE.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
BROADLY SPEAKING WEAK SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SPREADS INTO THE
NORTHEAST AND REMAINS OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK. ABOVE THE SURFACE... A BROADER TROUGH REMAINS
OVER EASTERN CANADA AND THE NORTHEAST UNITED STATES. THIS IS
BRIEFLY REPLACED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE ON MONDAY BEFORE
ANOTHER TROUGH ARRIVES BY MID NEXT WEEK.

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN FOR US PREFERRING TO LIVE AT GROUND LEVEL IN
NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND? GENERALLY DRY CONDITIONS WITH SLIGHTLY
COOLER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
IMPULSES PASSING THROUGH THE BROADER TROUGH WILL LARGELY GO
UNNOTICED. A MORE PRONOUNCED TROUGH CROSSES THE AREA SATURDAY
NIGHT BUT SURFACE FEATURES REMAIN QUITE WEAK AND PRECIPITATION
THREAT SEEMS MINIMAL. TEMPERATURES WARM UP A BIT BENEATH THE RIDGE
FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY BUT THIS WARM UP WILL BE TEMPERED BY AN
ONSHORE WIND OVER MUCH OF MAINE. 70S AND LOW 80S WILL BE COMMON
ACROSS THE AREA. THE NEXT SIGNIFICANT CHANCE OF RAIN WILL BE MID
NEXT WEEK WHEN THE NEXT UPPER TROUGH AXIS MOVES THROUGH.

&&

.AVIATION /16Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM /THROUGH 00Z FRI/...
CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE TO MVFR/IFR THIS MORNING IN A MIX OF
RAIN AND FOG. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE TO VFR AFT 04Z BEHIND A
COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE WITH SCATTERED MVFR IN CLOUDS AND SHOWERS
WITH LOCAL IFR IN VALLEY FOG. CONDITIONS IMPROVE TO VFR
THROUGHOUT AFTER 13Z THURSDAY.

LONG TERM...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. NIGHTTIME FOG IS POSSIBLE EACH NIGHT AT LEBANON AND
WHITEFIELD.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...
NO FLAGS EXPECTED...ALTHOUGH WINDS AND SEAS COULD COME CLOSE TO
SCA CRITERIA LATE TODAY.

LONG TERM...WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENTS LEAD TO LIGHT WINDS AND LOW
WAVE HEIGHTS THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

POHL



000
FXUS61 KCAR 011308
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
908 AM EDT WED JUL 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK WEST OF MAINE TODAY. THE LOW WILL DRAW
A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPDATE...MADE A FEW ADJUSTMENTS TO POP/QPF BASED ON LATEST RADAR
AND MESOSCALE GUIDANCE. VORT MAX SWINGING THROUGH SRN NEW
ENGLAND WITH SHOWERS AND A FEW TSTMS. EXPECT THIS ACTIVITY TO
START TO AFFECT CWA LATE THIS MORNING AND INTO THIS AFTERNOON.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION
LOW PRESSURE LIFTING TO OUR WEST TODAY WILL PULL HUMID AND MOIST
AIR NORTH ACROSS THE AREA. THE UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE ASSOCIATED
WITH THIS LOW COMBINED WITH A SURFACE TROUGH WILL PUSH SHOWERS
ACROSS THE AREA, MAINLY OVER THE WEST THIS MORNING THEN OVER THE
REST OF THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON. FORECAST SOUNDINGS ARE SHOWING
UP TO 200 J/KG CAPE OVER THE REGION. UPPER LEVEL DYNAMICS, SOME
SURFACE CONVERGENCE AND A BIT OF INSTABILITY MAY SUPPORT SOME
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WHICH HAVE BEEN INCLUDED IN THE FORECAST
THIS AFTERNOON. HUMID AIR MOVING OVER THE COLDER WATERS WILL
LIKELY PRODUCE SOME FOG DOWNEAST EARLY TODAY. SOME FOG MAY LINGER
OVER THE WATERS THROUGH THE DAY. SHOWERS SHOULD LIFT NORTH AND
AWAY EARLY TONIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE LIFTS TO OUR NORTHWEST AND
PULLS DRIER AIR IN FROM THE WEST. SKIES SHOULD PARTIALLY CLEAR
DOWNEAST OVERNIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK NORTHWEST OF MAINE THURSDAY WHILE A COLD
FRONT SLOWLY CROSSES DOWNEAST AREAS...WITH AN UPPER LEVEL TROF
APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS THURSDAY MORNING
WITH PARTLY SUNNY SKIES DURING THE AFTERNOON. GENERALLY EXPECT
PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA
THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD EAST ACROSS THE REGION
THURSDAY NIGHT WHILE THE UPPER TROF CROSSES THE FORECAST AREA.
EXPECT PARTLY CLOUDY/MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES NORTH THURSDAY NIGHT WITH
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA. HIGH
PRESSURE THEN BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
NIGHT. EXPECT PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS
FRIDAY...WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE
FORECAST AREA. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA FRIDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT NEAR NORMAL LEVELS
THURSDAY/FRIDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO MOVE EAST SATURDAY...WITH A COLD FRONT
APPROACHING LATER SATURDAY NIGHT. EXPECT PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES
ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY...WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH
A SLIGHT OF SHOWERS SATURDAY NIGHT. THE COLD FRONT SHOULD CROSS
THE REGION SUNDAY WITH PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS...THOUGH THE EXACT TIMING OF THE FRONT IS STILL UNCERTAIN.
HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL THEN BEGIN TO APPROACH LATER TUESDAY
WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN AT NEAR NORMAL LEVELS SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /13Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: MVFR TO OCCASIONALLY IFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY
INTO EARLY TONIGHT. CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE TO VFR FROM SOUTH TO
NORTH LATE TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS
NORTHERN AREAS THURSDAY MORNING. OTHERWISE...GENERALLY VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY INTO SATURDAY.
OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: HUMID AIR OVER THE WATERS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN SOME
FOG TODAY. WIND AND SEAS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW SCA TODAY AND
TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: WINDS/SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY LEVELS THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...BLOOMER/DUDA
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/DUDA/NORCROSS
MARINE...BLOOMER/DUDA/NORCROSS



000
FXUS61 KCAR 011308
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
908 AM EDT WED JUL 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK WEST OF MAINE TODAY. THE LOW WILL DRAW
A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPDATE...MADE A FEW ADJUSTMENTS TO POP/QPF BASED ON LATEST RADAR
AND MESOSCALE GUIDANCE. VORT MAX SWINGING THROUGH SRN NEW
ENGLAND WITH SHOWERS AND A FEW TSTMS. EXPECT THIS ACTIVITY TO
START TO AFFECT CWA LATE THIS MORNING AND INTO THIS AFTERNOON.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION
LOW PRESSURE LIFTING TO OUR WEST TODAY WILL PULL HUMID AND MOIST
AIR NORTH ACROSS THE AREA. THE UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE ASSOCIATED
WITH THIS LOW COMBINED WITH A SURFACE TROUGH WILL PUSH SHOWERS
ACROSS THE AREA, MAINLY OVER THE WEST THIS MORNING THEN OVER THE
REST OF THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON. FORECAST SOUNDINGS ARE SHOWING
UP TO 200 J/KG CAPE OVER THE REGION. UPPER LEVEL DYNAMICS, SOME
SURFACE CONVERGENCE AND A BIT OF INSTABILITY MAY SUPPORT SOME
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WHICH HAVE BEEN INCLUDED IN THE FORECAST
THIS AFTERNOON. HUMID AIR MOVING OVER THE COLDER WATERS WILL
LIKELY PRODUCE SOME FOG DOWNEAST EARLY TODAY. SOME FOG MAY LINGER
OVER THE WATERS THROUGH THE DAY. SHOWERS SHOULD LIFT NORTH AND
AWAY EARLY TONIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE LIFTS TO OUR NORTHWEST AND
PULLS DRIER AIR IN FROM THE WEST. SKIES SHOULD PARTIALLY CLEAR
DOWNEAST OVERNIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK NORTHWEST OF MAINE THURSDAY WHILE A COLD
FRONT SLOWLY CROSSES DOWNEAST AREAS...WITH AN UPPER LEVEL TROF
APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS THURSDAY MORNING
WITH PARTLY SUNNY SKIES DURING THE AFTERNOON. GENERALLY EXPECT
PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA
THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD EAST ACROSS THE REGION
THURSDAY NIGHT WHILE THE UPPER TROF CROSSES THE FORECAST AREA.
EXPECT PARTLY CLOUDY/MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES NORTH THURSDAY NIGHT WITH
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA. HIGH
PRESSURE THEN BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
NIGHT. EXPECT PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS
FRIDAY...WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE
FORECAST AREA. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA FRIDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT NEAR NORMAL LEVELS
THURSDAY/FRIDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO MOVE EAST SATURDAY...WITH A COLD FRONT
APPROACHING LATER SATURDAY NIGHT. EXPECT PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES
ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY...WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH
A SLIGHT OF SHOWERS SATURDAY NIGHT. THE COLD FRONT SHOULD CROSS
THE REGION SUNDAY WITH PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS...THOUGH THE EXACT TIMING OF THE FRONT IS STILL UNCERTAIN.
HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL THEN BEGIN TO APPROACH LATER TUESDAY
WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN AT NEAR NORMAL LEVELS SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /13Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: MVFR TO OCCASIONALLY IFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY
INTO EARLY TONIGHT. CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE TO VFR FROM SOUTH TO
NORTH LATE TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS
NORTHERN AREAS THURSDAY MORNING. OTHERWISE...GENERALLY VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY INTO SATURDAY.
OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: HUMID AIR OVER THE WATERS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN SOME
FOG TODAY. WIND AND SEAS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW SCA TODAY AND
TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: WINDS/SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY LEVELS THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...BLOOMER/DUDA
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/DUDA/NORCROSS
MARINE...BLOOMER/DUDA/NORCROSS




000
FXUS61 KCAR 011308
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
908 AM EDT WED JUL 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK WEST OF MAINE TODAY. THE LOW WILL DRAW
A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPDATE...MADE A FEW ADJUSTMENTS TO POP/QPF BASED ON LATEST RADAR
AND MESOSCALE GUIDANCE. VORT MAX SWINGING THROUGH SRN NEW
ENGLAND WITH SHOWERS AND A FEW TSTMS. EXPECT THIS ACTIVITY TO
START TO AFFECT CWA LATE THIS MORNING AND INTO THIS AFTERNOON.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION
LOW PRESSURE LIFTING TO OUR WEST TODAY WILL PULL HUMID AND MOIST
AIR NORTH ACROSS THE AREA. THE UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE ASSOCIATED
WITH THIS LOW COMBINED WITH A SURFACE TROUGH WILL PUSH SHOWERS
ACROSS THE AREA, MAINLY OVER THE WEST THIS MORNING THEN OVER THE
REST OF THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON. FORECAST SOUNDINGS ARE SHOWING
UP TO 200 J/KG CAPE OVER THE REGION. UPPER LEVEL DYNAMICS, SOME
SURFACE CONVERGENCE AND A BIT OF INSTABILITY MAY SUPPORT SOME
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WHICH HAVE BEEN INCLUDED IN THE FORECAST
THIS AFTERNOON. HUMID AIR MOVING OVER THE COLDER WATERS WILL
LIKELY PRODUCE SOME FOG DOWNEAST EARLY TODAY. SOME FOG MAY LINGER
OVER THE WATERS THROUGH THE DAY. SHOWERS SHOULD LIFT NORTH AND
AWAY EARLY TONIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE LIFTS TO OUR NORTHWEST AND
PULLS DRIER AIR IN FROM THE WEST. SKIES SHOULD PARTIALLY CLEAR
DOWNEAST OVERNIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK NORTHWEST OF MAINE THURSDAY WHILE A COLD
FRONT SLOWLY CROSSES DOWNEAST AREAS...WITH AN UPPER LEVEL TROF
APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS THURSDAY MORNING
WITH PARTLY SUNNY SKIES DURING THE AFTERNOON. GENERALLY EXPECT
PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA
THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD EAST ACROSS THE REGION
THURSDAY NIGHT WHILE THE UPPER TROF CROSSES THE FORECAST AREA.
EXPECT PARTLY CLOUDY/MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES NORTH THURSDAY NIGHT WITH
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA. HIGH
PRESSURE THEN BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
NIGHT. EXPECT PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS
FRIDAY...WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE
FORECAST AREA. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA FRIDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT NEAR NORMAL LEVELS
THURSDAY/FRIDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO MOVE EAST SATURDAY...WITH A COLD FRONT
APPROACHING LATER SATURDAY NIGHT. EXPECT PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES
ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY...WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH
A SLIGHT OF SHOWERS SATURDAY NIGHT. THE COLD FRONT SHOULD CROSS
THE REGION SUNDAY WITH PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS...THOUGH THE EXACT TIMING OF THE FRONT IS STILL UNCERTAIN.
HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL THEN BEGIN TO APPROACH LATER TUESDAY
WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN AT NEAR NORMAL LEVELS SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /13Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: MVFR TO OCCASIONALLY IFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY
INTO EARLY TONIGHT. CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE TO VFR FROM SOUTH TO
NORTH LATE TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS
NORTHERN AREAS THURSDAY MORNING. OTHERWISE...GENERALLY VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY INTO SATURDAY.
OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: HUMID AIR OVER THE WATERS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN SOME
FOG TODAY. WIND AND SEAS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW SCA TODAY AND
TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: WINDS/SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY LEVELS THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...BLOOMER/DUDA
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/DUDA/NORCROSS
MARINE...BLOOMER/DUDA/NORCROSS



000
FXUS61 KCAR 011308
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
908 AM EDT WED JUL 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK WEST OF MAINE TODAY. THE LOW WILL DRAW
A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPDATE...MADE A FEW ADJUSTMENTS TO POP/QPF BASED ON LATEST RADAR
AND MESOSCALE GUIDANCE. VORT MAX SWINGING THROUGH SRN NEW
ENGLAND WITH SHOWERS AND A FEW TSTMS. EXPECT THIS ACTIVITY TO
START TO AFFECT CWA LATE THIS MORNING AND INTO THIS AFTERNOON.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION
LOW PRESSURE LIFTING TO OUR WEST TODAY WILL PULL HUMID AND MOIST
AIR NORTH ACROSS THE AREA. THE UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE ASSOCIATED
WITH THIS LOW COMBINED WITH A SURFACE TROUGH WILL PUSH SHOWERS
ACROSS THE AREA, MAINLY OVER THE WEST THIS MORNING THEN OVER THE
REST OF THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON. FORECAST SOUNDINGS ARE SHOWING
UP TO 200 J/KG CAPE OVER THE REGION. UPPER LEVEL DYNAMICS, SOME
SURFACE CONVERGENCE AND A BIT OF INSTABILITY MAY SUPPORT SOME
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WHICH HAVE BEEN INCLUDED IN THE FORECAST
THIS AFTERNOON. HUMID AIR MOVING OVER THE COLDER WATERS WILL
LIKELY PRODUCE SOME FOG DOWNEAST EARLY TODAY. SOME FOG MAY LINGER
OVER THE WATERS THROUGH THE DAY. SHOWERS SHOULD LIFT NORTH AND
AWAY EARLY TONIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE LIFTS TO OUR NORTHWEST AND
PULLS DRIER AIR IN FROM THE WEST. SKIES SHOULD PARTIALLY CLEAR
DOWNEAST OVERNIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK NORTHWEST OF MAINE THURSDAY WHILE A COLD
FRONT SLOWLY CROSSES DOWNEAST AREAS...WITH AN UPPER LEVEL TROF
APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS THURSDAY MORNING
WITH PARTLY SUNNY SKIES DURING THE AFTERNOON. GENERALLY EXPECT
PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA
THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD EAST ACROSS THE REGION
THURSDAY NIGHT WHILE THE UPPER TROF CROSSES THE FORECAST AREA.
EXPECT PARTLY CLOUDY/MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES NORTH THURSDAY NIGHT WITH
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA. HIGH
PRESSURE THEN BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
NIGHT. EXPECT PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS
FRIDAY...WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE
FORECAST AREA. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA FRIDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT NEAR NORMAL LEVELS
THURSDAY/FRIDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO MOVE EAST SATURDAY...WITH A COLD FRONT
APPROACHING LATER SATURDAY NIGHT. EXPECT PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES
ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY...WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH
A SLIGHT OF SHOWERS SATURDAY NIGHT. THE COLD FRONT SHOULD CROSS
THE REGION SUNDAY WITH PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS...THOUGH THE EXACT TIMING OF THE FRONT IS STILL UNCERTAIN.
HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL THEN BEGIN TO APPROACH LATER TUESDAY
WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN AT NEAR NORMAL LEVELS SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /13Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: MVFR TO OCCASIONALLY IFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY
INTO EARLY TONIGHT. CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE TO VFR FROM SOUTH TO
NORTH LATE TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS
NORTHERN AREAS THURSDAY MORNING. OTHERWISE...GENERALLY VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY INTO SATURDAY.
OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: HUMID AIR OVER THE WATERS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN SOME
FOG TODAY. WIND AND SEAS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW SCA TODAY AND
TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: WINDS/SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY LEVELS THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...BLOOMER/DUDA
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/DUDA/NORCROSS
MARINE...BLOOMER/DUDA/NORCROSS




000
FXUS61 KGYX 011307
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
907 AM EDT WED JUL 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL PULL A WARM FRONT NORTH INTO THE AREA TODAY...FOLLOWED
BY A TRAILING COLD FRONT EARLY TONIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION THROUGH THIS EVENING...BEFORE HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS IN ON THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN REMAIN IN PLACE INTO
THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
---905AM UPDATE---
QUICK UPDATE THIS MORNING TO BETTER CAPTURE THE RAIN MOVING ACROSS
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF CWA THIS MORNING. OTHERWISE...REMAINDER OF
FORECAST PACKAGE REMAINS LARGELY UNCHANGED.

600 AM...I ADJUSTED TIMING ON POPS TO REFLECT CURRENT RADAR
TRENDS..AND INGESTED THE LATEST MESONET INTO 1ST PERIOD GRIDS FOR
THIS ESTF UPDATE.

PREV DISC...
AT 06Z...A 1006 MILLIBAR LOW WAS OVER THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES
WITH A WARM FRONT EXTENDING SOUTHEASTWARD INTO THE MID ATLANTIC
REGION. SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO RIDE
NORTHEAST INTO THE FORECAST AREA TODAY IN ADVANCE OF THIS FRONTAL
BOUNDARY. MUCH OF SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST
MAINE WILL MAKE IT INTO THE WARM SECTOR DURING THE AFTERNOON. THE
QUESTION WILL BE HOW MUCH THE ATMOSPHERE CAN RECOVER FROM THE
EARLIER CONVECTION TODAY. MODELS SUGGEST AN AVERAGE OF 1000 J/KG
FOR CAPE IN THE WARM SECTOR ALONG WITH SUFFICIENT SHEAR FOR A FEW
STORMS TO APPROACH SEVERE CRITERIA WITH STRONG WINDS ALONG WITH
HAIL. HAVE OPTED TO INCLUDE GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL FOR THUNDERSTORMS
LATER TODAY ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE WARM FRONT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
THE COLD/OCCLUDED FRONT WILL SWING ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING
BRINGING CONVECTION QUICKLY TO AN END AS IT SWEEPS OFFSHORE. THERE
COULD BE A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS OVERNIGHT IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN
WITH THE UPPER TROUGH...OTHERWISE PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SOME PATCHY
VALLEY FOG. LOWS WILL BE IN THE 50S AND LOWER 60S. OUTSIDE OF A
FEW CLOUDS OVER NORTHERN AND EASTERN SECTIONS ASSOCIATED WITH THE
UPPER TROUGH...IT SHOULD BE A MOSTLY SUNNY DAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
BEGINS TO BUILD IN FROM THE WEST. AN OFFSHORE BREEZE SHOULD ALLOW
EVEN THE COAST TO WARM WELL INTO THE 70S...WITH A FEW 80 DEGREE
READINGS OVER SOUTHERN INTERIOR NEW HAMPSHIRE.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
BROADLY SPEAKING WEAK SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SPREADS INTO THE
NORTHEAST AND REMAINS OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK. ABOVE THE SURFACE... A BROADER TROUGH REMAINS
OVER EASTERN CANADA AND THE NORTHEAST UNITED STATES. THIS IS
BRIEFLY REPLACED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE ON MONDAY BEFORE
ANOTHER TROUGH ARRIVES BY MID NEXT WEEK.

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN FOR US PREFERRING TO LIVE AT GROUND LEVEL IN
NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND? GENERALLY DRY CONDITIONS WITH SLIGHTLY
COOLER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
IMPULSES PASSING THROUGH THE BROADER TROUGH WILL LARGELY GO
UNNOTICED. A MORE PRONOUNCED TROUGH CROSSES THE AREA SATURDAY
NIGHT BUT SURFACE FEATURES REMAIN QUITE WEAK AND PRECIPITATION
THREAT SEEMS MINIMAL. TEMPERATURES WARM UP A BIT BENEATH THE RIDGE
FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY BUT THIS WARM UP WILL BE TEMPERED BY AN
ONSHORE WIND OVER MUCH OF MAINE. 70S AND LOW 80S WILL BE COMMON
ACROSS THE AREA. THE NEXT SIGNIFICANT CHANCE OF RAIN WILL BE MID
NEXT WEEK WHEN THE NEXT UPPER TROUGH AXIS MOVES THROUGH.

&&

.AVIATION /13Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM /THROUGH 00Z FRI/...
CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE TO MVFR/IFR THIS MORNING IN A MIX OF
RAIN AND FOG. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE TO VFR AFT 04Z BEHIND A
COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE WITH SCATTERED MVFR IN CLOUDS AND SHOWERS
WITH LOCAL IFR IN VALLEY FOG. CONDITIONS IMPROVE TO VFR
THROUGHOUT AFTER 13Z THURSDAY.

LONG TERM...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. NIGHTTIME FOG IS POSSIBLE EACH NIGHT AT LEBANON AND
WHITEFIELD.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...
NO FLAGS EXPECTED...ALTHOUGH WINDS AND SEAS COULD COME CLOSE TO
SCA CRITERIA LATE TODAY.

LONG TERM...WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENTS LEAD TO LIGHT WINDS AND LOW
WAVE HEIGHTS THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

POHL



000
FXUS61 KGYX 011307
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
907 AM EDT WED JUL 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL PULL A WARM FRONT NORTH INTO THE AREA TODAY...FOLLOWED
BY A TRAILING COLD FRONT EARLY TONIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION THROUGH THIS EVENING...BEFORE HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS IN ON THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN REMAIN IN PLACE INTO
THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
---905AM UPDATE---
QUICK UPDATE THIS MORNING TO BETTER CAPTURE THE RAIN MOVING ACROSS
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF CWA THIS MORNING. OTHERWISE...REMAINDER OF
FORECAST PACKAGE REMAINS LARGELY UNCHANGED.

600 AM...I ADJUSTED TIMING ON POPS TO REFLECT CURRENT RADAR
TRENDS..AND INGESTED THE LATEST MESONET INTO 1ST PERIOD GRIDS FOR
THIS ESTF UPDATE.

PREV DISC...
AT 06Z...A 1006 MILLIBAR LOW WAS OVER THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES
WITH A WARM FRONT EXTENDING SOUTHEASTWARD INTO THE MID ATLANTIC
REGION. SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO RIDE
NORTHEAST INTO THE FORECAST AREA TODAY IN ADVANCE OF THIS FRONTAL
BOUNDARY. MUCH OF SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST
MAINE WILL MAKE IT INTO THE WARM SECTOR DURING THE AFTERNOON. THE
QUESTION WILL BE HOW MUCH THE ATMOSPHERE CAN RECOVER FROM THE
EARLIER CONVECTION TODAY. MODELS SUGGEST AN AVERAGE OF 1000 J/KG
FOR CAPE IN THE WARM SECTOR ALONG WITH SUFFICIENT SHEAR FOR A FEW
STORMS TO APPROACH SEVERE CRITERIA WITH STRONG WINDS ALONG WITH
HAIL. HAVE OPTED TO INCLUDE GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL FOR THUNDERSTORMS
LATER TODAY ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE WARM FRONT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
THE COLD/OCCLUDED FRONT WILL SWING ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING
BRINGING CONVECTION QUICKLY TO AN END AS IT SWEEPS OFFSHORE. THERE
COULD BE A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS OVERNIGHT IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN
WITH THE UPPER TROUGH...OTHERWISE PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SOME PATCHY
VALLEY FOG. LOWS WILL BE IN THE 50S AND LOWER 60S. OUTSIDE OF A
FEW CLOUDS OVER NORTHERN AND EASTERN SECTIONS ASSOCIATED WITH THE
UPPER TROUGH...IT SHOULD BE A MOSTLY SUNNY DAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
BEGINS TO BUILD IN FROM THE WEST. AN OFFSHORE BREEZE SHOULD ALLOW
EVEN THE COAST TO WARM WELL INTO THE 70S...WITH A FEW 80 DEGREE
READINGS OVER SOUTHERN INTERIOR NEW HAMPSHIRE.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
BROADLY SPEAKING WEAK SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SPREADS INTO THE
NORTHEAST AND REMAINS OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK. ABOVE THE SURFACE... A BROADER TROUGH REMAINS
OVER EASTERN CANADA AND THE NORTHEAST UNITED STATES. THIS IS
BRIEFLY REPLACED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE ON MONDAY BEFORE
ANOTHER TROUGH ARRIVES BY MID NEXT WEEK.

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN FOR US PREFERRING TO LIVE AT GROUND LEVEL IN
NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND? GENERALLY DRY CONDITIONS WITH SLIGHTLY
COOLER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
IMPULSES PASSING THROUGH THE BROADER TROUGH WILL LARGELY GO
UNNOTICED. A MORE PRONOUNCED TROUGH CROSSES THE AREA SATURDAY
NIGHT BUT SURFACE FEATURES REMAIN QUITE WEAK AND PRECIPITATION
THREAT SEEMS MINIMAL. TEMPERATURES WARM UP A BIT BENEATH THE RIDGE
FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY BUT THIS WARM UP WILL BE TEMPERED BY AN
ONSHORE WIND OVER MUCH OF MAINE. 70S AND LOW 80S WILL BE COMMON
ACROSS THE AREA. THE NEXT SIGNIFICANT CHANCE OF RAIN WILL BE MID
NEXT WEEK WHEN THE NEXT UPPER TROUGH AXIS MOVES THROUGH.

&&

.AVIATION /13Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM /THROUGH 00Z FRI/...
CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE TO MVFR/IFR THIS MORNING IN A MIX OF
RAIN AND FOG. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE TO VFR AFT 04Z BEHIND A
COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE WITH SCATTERED MVFR IN CLOUDS AND SHOWERS
WITH LOCAL IFR IN VALLEY FOG. CONDITIONS IMPROVE TO VFR
THROUGHOUT AFTER 13Z THURSDAY.

LONG TERM...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. NIGHTTIME FOG IS POSSIBLE EACH NIGHT AT LEBANON AND
WHITEFIELD.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...
NO FLAGS EXPECTED...ALTHOUGH WINDS AND SEAS COULD COME CLOSE TO
SCA CRITERIA LATE TODAY.

LONG TERM...WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENTS LEAD TO LIGHT WINDS AND LOW
WAVE HEIGHTS THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

POHL



000
FXUS61 KGYX 011307
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
907 AM EDT WED JUL 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL PULL A WARM FRONT NORTH INTO THE AREA TODAY...FOLLOWED
BY A TRAILING COLD FRONT EARLY TONIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION THROUGH THIS EVENING...BEFORE HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS IN ON THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN REMAIN IN PLACE INTO
THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
---905AM UPDATE---
QUICK UPDATE THIS MORNING TO BETTER CAPTURE THE RAIN MOVING ACROSS
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF CWA THIS MORNING. OTHERWISE...REMAINDER OF
FORECAST PACKAGE REMAINS LARGELY UNCHANGED.

600 AM...I ADJUSTED TIMING ON POPS TO REFLECT CURRENT RADAR
TRENDS..AND INGESTED THE LATEST MESONET INTO 1ST PERIOD GRIDS FOR
THIS ESTF UPDATE.

PREV DISC...
AT 06Z...A 1006 MILLIBAR LOW WAS OVER THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES
WITH A WARM FRONT EXTENDING SOUTHEASTWARD INTO THE MID ATLANTIC
REGION. SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO RIDE
NORTHEAST INTO THE FORECAST AREA TODAY IN ADVANCE OF THIS FRONTAL
BOUNDARY. MUCH OF SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST
MAINE WILL MAKE IT INTO THE WARM SECTOR DURING THE AFTERNOON. THE
QUESTION WILL BE HOW MUCH THE ATMOSPHERE CAN RECOVER FROM THE
EARLIER CONVECTION TODAY. MODELS SUGGEST AN AVERAGE OF 1000 J/KG
FOR CAPE IN THE WARM SECTOR ALONG WITH SUFFICIENT SHEAR FOR A FEW
STORMS TO APPROACH SEVERE CRITERIA WITH STRONG WINDS ALONG WITH
HAIL. HAVE OPTED TO INCLUDE GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL FOR THUNDERSTORMS
LATER TODAY ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE WARM FRONT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
THE COLD/OCCLUDED FRONT WILL SWING ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING
BRINGING CONVECTION QUICKLY TO AN END AS IT SWEEPS OFFSHORE. THERE
COULD BE A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS OVERNIGHT IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN
WITH THE UPPER TROUGH...OTHERWISE PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SOME PATCHY
VALLEY FOG. LOWS WILL BE IN THE 50S AND LOWER 60S. OUTSIDE OF A
FEW CLOUDS OVER NORTHERN AND EASTERN SECTIONS ASSOCIATED WITH THE
UPPER TROUGH...IT SHOULD BE A MOSTLY SUNNY DAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
BEGINS TO BUILD IN FROM THE WEST. AN OFFSHORE BREEZE SHOULD ALLOW
EVEN THE COAST TO WARM WELL INTO THE 70S...WITH A FEW 80 DEGREE
READINGS OVER SOUTHERN INTERIOR NEW HAMPSHIRE.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
BROADLY SPEAKING WEAK SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SPREADS INTO THE
NORTHEAST AND REMAINS OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK. ABOVE THE SURFACE... A BROADER TROUGH REMAINS
OVER EASTERN CANADA AND THE NORTHEAST UNITED STATES. THIS IS
BRIEFLY REPLACED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE ON MONDAY BEFORE
ANOTHER TROUGH ARRIVES BY MID NEXT WEEK.

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN FOR US PREFERRING TO LIVE AT GROUND LEVEL IN
NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND? GENERALLY DRY CONDITIONS WITH SLIGHTLY
COOLER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
IMPULSES PASSING THROUGH THE BROADER TROUGH WILL LARGELY GO
UNNOTICED. A MORE PRONOUNCED TROUGH CROSSES THE AREA SATURDAY
NIGHT BUT SURFACE FEATURES REMAIN QUITE WEAK AND PRECIPITATION
THREAT SEEMS MINIMAL. TEMPERATURES WARM UP A BIT BENEATH THE RIDGE
FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY BUT THIS WARM UP WILL BE TEMPERED BY AN
ONSHORE WIND OVER MUCH OF MAINE. 70S AND LOW 80S WILL BE COMMON
ACROSS THE AREA. THE NEXT SIGNIFICANT CHANCE OF RAIN WILL BE MID
NEXT WEEK WHEN THE NEXT UPPER TROUGH AXIS MOVES THROUGH.

&&

.AVIATION /13Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM /THROUGH 00Z FRI/...
CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE TO MVFR/IFR THIS MORNING IN A MIX OF
RAIN AND FOG. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE TO VFR AFT 04Z BEHIND A
COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE WITH SCATTERED MVFR IN CLOUDS AND SHOWERS
WITH LOCAL IFR IN VALLEY FOG. CONDITIONS IMPROVE TO VFR
THROUGHOUT AFTER 13Z THURSDAY.

LONG TERM...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. NIGHTTIME FOG IS POSSIBLE EACH NIGHT AT LEBANON AND
WHITEFIELD.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...
NO FLAGS EXPECTED...ALTHOUGH WINDS AND SEAS COULD COME CLOSE TO
SCA CRITERIA LATE TODAY.

LONG TERM...WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENTS LEAD TO LIGHT WINDS AND LOW
WAVE HEIGHTS THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

POHL




000
FXUS61 KGYX 011307
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
907 AM EDT WED JUL 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL PULL A WARM FRONT NORTH INTO THE AREA TODAY...FOLLOWED
BY A TRAILING COLD FRONT EARLY TONIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION THROUGH THIS EVENING...BEFORE HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS IN ON THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN REMAIN IN PLACE INTO
THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
---905AM UPDATE---
QUICK UPDATE THIS MORNING TO BETTER CAPTURE THE RAIN MOVING ACROSS
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF CWA THIS MORNING. OTHERWISE...REMAINDER OF
FORECAST PACKAGE REMAINS LARGELY UNCHANGED.

600 AM...I ADJUSTED TIMING ON POPS TO REFLECT CURRENT RADAR
TRENDS..AND INGESTED THE LATEST MESONET INTO 1ST PERIOD GRIDS FOR
THIS ESTF UPDATE.

PREV DISC...
AT 06Z...A 1006 MILLIBAR LOW WAS OVER THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES
WITH A WARM FRONT EXTENDING SOUTHEASTWARD INTO THE MID ATLANTIC
REGION. SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO RIDE
NORTHEAST INTO THE FORECAST AREA TODAY IN ADVANCE OF THIS FRONTAL
BOUNDARY. MUCH OF SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST
MAINE WILL MAKE IT INTO THE WARM SECTOR DURING THE AFTERNOON. THE
QUESTION WILL BE HOW MUCH THE ATMOSPHERE CAN RECOVER FROM THE
EARLIER CONVECTION TODAY. MODELS SUGGEST AN AVERAGE OF 1000 J/KG
FOR CAPE IN THE WARM SECTOR ALONG WITH SUFFICIENT SHEAR FOR A FEW
STORMS TO APPROACH SEVERE CRITERIA WITH STRONG WINDS ALONG WITH
HAIL. HAVE OPTED TO INCLUDE GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL FOR THUNDERSTORMS
LATER TODAY ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE WARM FRONT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
THE COLD/OCCLUDED FRONT WILL SWING ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING
BRINGING CONVECTION QUICKLY TO AN END AS IT SWEEPS OFFSHORE. THERE
COULD BE A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS OVERNIGHT IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN
WITH THE UPPER TROUGH...OTHERWISE PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SOME PATCHY
VALLEY FOG. LOWS WILL BE IN THE 50S AND LOWER 60S. OUTSIDE OF A
FEW CLOUDS OVER NORTHERN AND EASTERN SECTIONS ASSOCIATED WITH THE
UPPER TROUGH...IT SHOULD BE A MOSTLY SUNNY DAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
BEGINS TO BUILD IN FROM THE WEST. AN OFFSHORE BREEZE SHOULD ALLOW
EVEN THE COAST TO WARM WELL INTO THE 70S...WITH A FEW 80 DEGREE
READINGS OVER SOUTHERN INTERIOR NEW HAMPSHIRE.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
BROADLY SPEAKING WEAK SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SPREADS INTO THE
NORTHEAST AND REMAINS OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK. ABOVE THE SURFACE... A BROADER TROUGH REMAINS
OVER EASTERN CANADA AND THE NORTHEAST UNITED STATES. THIS IS
BRIEFLY REPLACED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE ON MONDAY BEFORE
ANOTHER TROUGH ARRIVES BY MID NEXT WEEK.

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN FOR US PREFERRING TO LIVE AT GROUND LEVEL IN
NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND? GENERALLY DRY CONDITIONS WITH SLIGHTLY
COOLER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
IMPULSES PASSING THROUGH THE BROADER TROUGH WILL LARGELY GO
UNNOTICED. A MORE PRONOUNCED TROUGH CROSSES THE AREA SATURDAY
NIGHT BUT SURFACE FEATURES REMAIN QUITE WEAK AND PRECIPITATION
THREAT SEEMS MINIMAL. TEMPERATURES WARM UP A BIT BENEATH THE RIDGE
FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY BUT THIS WARM UP WILL BE TEMPERED BY AN
ONSHORE WIND OVER MUCH OF MAINE. 70S AND LOW 80S WILL BE COMMON
ACROSS THE AREA. THE NEXT SIGNIFICANT CHANCE OF RAIN WILL BE MID
NEXT WEEK WHEN THE NEXT UPPER TROUGH AXIS MOVES THROUGH.

&&

.AVIATION /13Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM /THROUGH 00Z FRI/...
CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE TO MVFR/IFR THIS MORNING IN A MIX OF
RAIN AND FOG. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE TO VFR AFT 04Z BEHIND A
COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE WITH SCATTERED MVFR IN CLOUDS AND SHOWERS
WITH LOCAL IFR IN VALLEY FOG. CONDITIONS IMPROVE TO VFR
THROUGHOUT AFTER 13Z THURSDAY.

LONG TERM...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. NIGHTTIME FOG IS POSSIBLE EACH NIGHT AT LEBANON AND
WHITEFIELD.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...
NO FLAGS EXPECTED...ALTHOUGH WINDS AND SEAS COULD COME CLOSE TO
SCA CRITERIA LATE TODAY.

LONG TERM...WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENTS LEAD TO LIGHT WINDS AND LOW
WAVE HEIGHTS THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

POHL




000
FXUS61 KCAR 011049
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
649 AM EDT WED JUL 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK WEST OF MAINE TODAY. THE LOW WILL DRAW
A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
6:45 AM UPDATE...CUT BACK ON SHOWERS EARLY THIS MORNING WITH ONLY
SPOTTY SHOWERS, MAINLY IN WESTERN AREAS, TO START THE DAY. STRONG
SHORTWAVE IS CURRENTLY LIFTING THROUGH SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND
EXPECTED TO ENHANCE SHOWER ACTIVITY ACROSS OUR AREA THIS
AFTERNOON. SOME EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE, DOWNEAST
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AND FURTHER NORTH DURING THE MIDDLE LATTER
PART OF THE AFTERNOON.

LOW PRESSURE LIFTING TO OUR WEST TODAY WILL PULL HUMID AND MOIST
AIR NORTH ACROSS THE AREA. THE UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE ASSOCIATED
WITH THIS LOW COMBINED WITH A SURFACE TROUGH WILL PUSH SHOWERS
ACROSS THE AREA, MAINLY OVER THE WEST THIS MORNING THEN OVER THE
REST OF THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON. FORECAST SOUNDINGS ARE SHOWING
UP TO 200 J/KG CAPE OVER THE REGION. UPPER LEVEL DYNAMICS, SOME
SURFACE CONVERGENCE AND A BIT OF INSTABILITY MAY SUPPORT SOME
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WHICH HAVE BEEN INCLUDED IN THE FORECAST
THIS AFTERNOON. HUMID AIR MOVING OVER THE COLDER WATERS WILL
LIKELY PRODUCE SOME FOG DOWNEAST EARLY TODAY. SOME FOG MAY LINGER
OVER THE WATERS THROUGH THE DAY. SHOWERS SHOULD LIFT NORTH AND
AWAY EARLY TONIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE LIFTS TO OUR NORTHWEST AND
PULLS DRIER AIR IN FROM THE WEST. SKIES SHOULD PARTIALLY CLEAR
DOWNEAST OVERNIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK NORTHWEST OF MAINE THURSDAY WHILE A COLD
FRONT SLOWLY CROSSES DOWNEAST AREAS...WITH AN UPPER LEVEL TROF
APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS THURSDAY MORNING
WITH PARTLY SUNNY SKIES DURING THE AFTERNOON. GENERALLY EXPECT
PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA
THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD EAST ACROSS THE REGION
THURSDAY NIGHT WHILE THE UPPER TROF CROSSES THE FORECAST AREA.
EXPECT PARTLY CLOUDY/MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES NORTH THURSDAY NIGHT WITH
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA. HIGH
PRESSURE THEN BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
NIGHT. EXPECT PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS
FRIDAY...WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE
FORECAST AREA. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA FRIDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT NEAR NORMAL LEVELS
THURSDAY/FRIDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO MOVE EAST SATURDAY...WITH A COLD FRONT
APPROACHING LATER SATURDAY NIGHT. EXPECT PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES
ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY...WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH
A SLIGHT OF SHOWERS SATURDAY NIGHT. THE COLD FRONT SHOULD CROSS
THE REGION SUNDAY WITH PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS...THOUGH THE EXACT TIMING OF THE FRONT IS STILL UNCERTAIN.
HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL THEN BEGIN TO APPROACH LATER TUESDAY
WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN AT NEAR NORMAL LEVELS SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: MVFR TO OCCASIONALLY IFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY
INTO EARLY TONIGHT. CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE TO VFR FROM SOUTH TO
NORTH LATE TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS
NORTHERN AREAS THURSDAY MORNING. OTHERWISE...GENERALLY VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY INTO SATURDAY.
OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: HUMID AIR OVER THE WATERS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN SOME
FOG TODAY. WIND AND SEAS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW SCA TODAY AND
TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: WINDS/SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY LEVELS THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...BLOOMER
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/NORCROSS
MARINE...BLOOMER/NORCROSS




000
FXUS61 KCAR 011008
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
608 AM EDT WED JUL 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK WEST OF MAINE TODAY. THE LOW WILL DRAW
A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
6 AM UPDATE...CUT BACK ON SHOWERS EARLY THIS MORNING WITH ONLY
SPOTTY SHOWERS, MAINLY IN WESTERN AREAS, TO START THE DAY. STRONG
SHORTWAVE IS CURRENTLY LIFTING THROUGH SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND
EXPECTED TO ENHANCE SHOWER ACTIVITY ACROSS OUR AREA THIS
AFTERNOON.

LOW PRESSURE LIFTING TO OUR WEST TODAY WILL PULL HUMID AND MOIST
AIR NORTH ACROSS THE AREA. THE UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE ASSOCIATED
WITH THIS LOW COMBINED WITH A SURFACE TROUGH WILL PUSH SHOWERS
ACROSS THE AREA, MAINLY OVER THE WEST THIS MORNING THEN OVER THE
REST OF THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON. FORECAST SOUNDINGS ARE SHOWING
UP TO 200 J/KG CAPE OVER THE REGION. UPPER LEVEL DYNAMICS, SOME
SURFACE CONVERGENCE AND A BIT OF INSTABILITY MAY SUPPORT SOME
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WHICH HAVE BEEN INCLUDED IN THE FORECAST
THIS AFTERNOON. HUMID AIR MOVING OVER THE COLDER WATERS WILL
LIKELY PRODUCE SOME FOG DOWNEAST EARLY TODAY. SOME FOG MAY LINGER
OVER THE WATERS THROUGH THE DAY. SHOWERS SHOULD LIFT NORTH AND
AWAY EARLY TONIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE LIFTS TO OUR NORTHWEST AND
PULLS DRIER AIR IN FROM THE WEST. SKIES SHOULD PARTIALLY CLEAR
DOWNEAST OVERNIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK NORTHWEST OF MAINE THURSDAY WHILE A COLD
FRONT SLOWLY CROSSES DOWNEAST AREAS...WITH AN UPPER LEVEL TROF
APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS THURSDAY MORNING
WITH PARTLY SUNNY SKIES DURING THE AFTERNOON. GENERALLY EXPECT
PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA
THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD EAST ACROSS THE REGION
THURSDAY NIGHT WHILE THE UPPER TROF CROSSES THE FORECAST AREA.
EXPECT PARTLY CLOUDY/MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES NORTH THURSDAY NIGHT WITH
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA. HIGH
PRESSURE THEN BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
NIGHT. EXPECT PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS
FRIDAY...WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE
FORECAST AREA. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA FRIDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT NEAR NORMAL LEVELS
THURSDAY/FRIDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO MOVE EAST SATURDAY...WITH A COLD FRONT
APPROACHING LATER SATURDAY NIGHT. EXPECT PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES
ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY...WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH
A SLIGHT OF SHOWERS SATURDAY NIGHT. THE COLD FRONT SHOULD CROSS
THE REGION SUNDAY WITH PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS...THOUGH THE EXACT TIMING OF THE FRONT IS STILL UNCERTAIN.
HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL THEN BEGIN TO APPROACH LATER TUESDAY
WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN AT NEAR NORMAL LEVELS SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /10Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: MVFR TO OCCASIONALLY IFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY
INTO EARLY TONIGHT. CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE TO VFR FROM SOUTH TO
NORTH LATE TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS
NORTHERN AREAS THURSDAY MORNING. OTHERWISE...GENERALLY VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY INTO SATURDAY.
OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: HUMID AIR OVER THE WATERS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN SOME
FOG TODAY. WIND AND SEAS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW SCA TODAY AND
TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: WINDS/SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY LEVELS THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...BLOOMER
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/NORCROSS
MARINE...BLOOMER/NORCROSS



000
FXUS61 KCAR 011008
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
608 AM EDT WED JUL 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK WEST OF MAINE TODAY. THE LOW WILL DRAW
A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
6 AM UPDATE...CUT BACK ON SHOWERS EARLY THIS MORNING WITH ONLY
SPOTTY SHOWERS, MAINLY IN WESTERN AREAS, TO START THE DAY. STRONG
SHORTWAVE IS CURRENTLY LIFTING THROUGH SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND
EXPECTED TO ENHANCE SHOWER ACTIVITY ACROSS OUR AREA THIS
AFTERNOON.

LOW PRESSURE LIFTING TO OUR WEST TODAY WILL PULL HUMID AND MOIST
AIR NORTH ACROSS THE AREA. THE UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE ASSOCIATED
WITH THIS LOW COMBINED WITH A SURFACE TROUGH WILL PUSH SHOWERS
ACROSS THE AREA, MAINLY OVER THE WEST THIS MORNING THEN OVER THE
REST OF THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON. FORECAST SOUNDINGS ARE SHOWING
UP TO 200 J/KG CAPE OVER THE REGION. UPPER LEVEL DYNAMICS, SOME
SURFACE CONVERGENCE AND A BIT OF INSTABILITY MAY SUPPORT SOME
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WHICH HAVE BEEN INCLUDED IN THE FORECAST
THIS AFTERNOON. HUMID AIR MOVING OVER THE COLDER WATERS WILL
LIKELY PRODUCE SOME FOG DOWNEAST EARLY TODAY. SOME FOG MAY LINGER
OVER THE WATERS THROUGH THE DAY. SHOWERS SHOULD LIFT NORTH AND
AWAY EARLY TONIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE LIFTS TO OUR NORTHWEST AND
PULLS DRIER AIR IN FROM THE WEST. SKIES SHOULD PARTIALLY CLEAR
DOWNEAST OVERNIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK NORTHWEST OF MAINE THURSDAY WHILE A COLD
FRONT SLOWLY CROSSES DOWNEAST AREAS...WITH AN UPPER LEVEL TROF
APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS THURSDAY MORNING
WITH PARTLY SUNNY SKIES DURING THE AFTERNOON. GENERALLY EXPECT
PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA
THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD EAST ACROSS THE REGION
THURSDAY NIGHT WHILE THE UPPER TROF CROSSES THE FORECAST AREA.
EXPECT PARTLY CLOUDY/MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES NORTH THURSDAY NIGHT WITH
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA. HIGH
PRESSURE THEN BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
NIGHT. EXPECT PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS
FRIDAY...WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE
FORECAST AREA. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA FRIDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT NEAR NORMAL LEVELS
THURSDAY/FRIDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO MOVE EAST SATURDAY...WITH A COLD FRONT
APPROACHING LATER SATURDAY NIGHT. EXPECT PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES
ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY...WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH
A SLIGHT OF SHOWERS SATURDAY NIGHT. THE COLD FRONT SHOULD CROSS
THE REGION SUNDAY WITH PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS...THOUGH THE EXACT TIMING OF THE FRONT IS STILL UNCERTAIN.
HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL THEN BEGIN TO APPROACH LATER TUESDAY
WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN AT NEAR NORMAL LEVELS SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /10Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: MVFR TO OCCASIONALLY IFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY
INTO EARLY TONIGHT. CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE TO VFR FROM SOUTH TO
NORTH LATE TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS
NORTHERN AREAS THURSDAY MORNING. OTHERWISE...GENERALLY VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY INTO SATURDAY.
OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: HUMID AIR OVER THE WATERS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN SOME
FOG TODAY. WIND AND SEAS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW SCA TODAY AND
TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: WINDS/SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY LEVELS THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...BLOOMER
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/NORCROSS
MARINE...BLOOMER/NORCROSS




000
FXUS61 KGYX 011006
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
606 AM EDT WED JUL 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL PULL A WARM FRONT NORTH INTO THE AREA TODAY...FOLLOWED
BY A TRAILING COLD FRONT EARLY TONIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION THROUGH THIS EVENING...BEFORE HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS IN ON THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN REMAIN IN PLACE INTO
THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...

600 AM...I ADJUSTED TIMING ON POPS TO REFLECT CURRENT RADAR
TRENDS..AND INGESTED THE LATEST MESONET INTO 1ST PERIOD GRIDS FOR
THIS ESTF UPDATE.

PREV DISC...
AT 06Z...A 1006 MILLIBAR LOW WAS OVER THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES
WITH A WARM FRONT EXTENDING SOUTHEASTWARD INTO THE MID ATLANTIC
REGION. SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO RIDE
NORTHEAST INTO THE FORECAST AREA TODAY IN ADVANCE OF THIS FRONTAL
BOUNDARY. MUCH OF SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST
MAINE WILL MAKE IT INTO THE WARM SECTOR DURING THE AFTERNOON. THE
QUESTION WILL BE HOW MUCH THE ATMOSPHERE CAN RECOVER FROM THE
EARLIER CONVECTION TODAY. MODELS SUGGEST AN AVERAGE OF 1000 J/KG
FOR CAPE IN THE WARM SECTOR ALONG WITH SUFFICIENT SHEAR FOR A FEW
STORMS TO APPROACH SEVERE CRITERIA WITH STRONG WINDS ALONG WITH
HAIL. HAVE OPTED TO INCLUDE GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL FOR THUNDERSTORMS
LATER TODAY ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE WARM FRONT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
THE COLD/OCCLUDED FRONT WILL SWING ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING
BRINGING CONVECTION QUICKLY TO AN END AS IT SWEEPS OFFSHORE. THERE
COULD BE A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS OVERNIGHT IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN
WITH THE UPPER TROUGH...OTHERWISE PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SOME PATCHY
VALLEY FOG. LOWS WILL BE IN THE 50S AND LOWER 60S. OUTSIDE OF A
FEW CLOUDS OVER NORTHERN AND EASTERN SECTIONS ASSOCIATED WITH THE
UPPER TROUGH...IT SHOULD BE A MOSTLY SUNNY DAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
BEGINS TO BUILD IN FROM THE WEST. AN OFFSHORE BREEZE SHOULD ALLOW
EVEN THE COAST TO WARM WELL INTO THE 70S...WITH A FEW 80 DEGREE
READINGS OVER SOUTHERN INTERIOR NEW HAMPSHIRE.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
BROADLY SPEAKING WEAK SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SPREADS INTO THE
NORTHEAST AND REMAINS OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK. ABOVE THE SURFACE... A BROADER TROUGH REMAINS
OVER EASTERN CANADA AND THE NORTHEAST UNITED STATES. THIS IS
BRIEFLY REPLACED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE ON MONDAY BEFORE
ANOTHER TROUGH ARRIVES BY MID NEXT WEEK.

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN FOR US PREFERRING TO LIVE AT GROUND LEVEL IN
NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND? GENERALLY DRY CONDITIONS WITH SLIGHTLY
COOLER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
IMPULSES PASSING THROUGH THE BROADER TROUGH WILL LARGELY GO
UNNOTICED. A MORE PRONOUNCED TROUGH CROSSES THE AREA SATURDAY
NIGHT BUT SURFACE FEATURES REMAIN QUITE WEAK AND PRECIPITATION
THREAT SEEMS MINIMAL. TEMPERATURES WARM UP A BIT BENEATH THE RIDGE
FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY BUT THIS WARM UP WILL BE TEMPERED BY AN
ONSHORE WIND OVER MUCH OF MAINE. 70S AND LOW 80S WILL BE COMMON
ACROSS THE AREA. THE NEXT SIGNIFICANT CHANCE OF RAIN WILL BE MID
NEXT WEEK WHEN THE NEXT UPPER TROUGH AXIS MOVES THROUGH.

&&

.AVIATION /10Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM /THROUGH 00Z FRI/...
CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE TO MVFR/IFR THIS MORNING IN A MIX OF
RAIN AND FOG. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE TO VFR AFT 04Z BEHIND A
COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE WITH SCATTERED MVFR IN CLOUDS AND SHOWERS
WITH LOCAL IFR IN VALLEY FOG. CONDITIONS IMPROVE TO VFR
THROUGHOUT AFTER 13Z THURSDAY.

LONG TERM...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. NIGHTTIME FOG IS POSSIBLE EACH NIGHT AT LEBANON AND
WHITEFIELD.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...
NO FLAGS EXPECTED...ALTHOUGH WINDS AND SEAS COULD COME CLOSE TO
SCA CRITERIA LATE TODAY.

LONG TERM...WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENTS LEAD TO LIGHT WINDS AND LOW
WAVE HEIGHTS THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
ES



000
FXUS61 KGYX 011006
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
606 AM EDT WED JUL 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL PULL A WARM FRONT NORTH INTO THE AREA TODAY...FOLLOWED
BY A TRAILING COLD FRONT EARLY TONIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION THROUGH THIS EVENING...BEFORE HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS IN ON THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN REMAIN IN PLACE INTO
THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...

600 AM...I ADJUSTED TIMING ON POPS TO REFLECT CURRENT RADAR
TRENDS..AND INGESTED THE LATEST MESONET INTO 1ST PERIOD GRIDS FOR
THIS ESTF UPDATE.

PREV DISC...
AT 06Z...A 1006 MILLIBAR LOW WAS OVER THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES
WITH A WARM FRONT EXTENDING SOUTHEASTWARD INTO THE MID ATLANTIC
REGION. SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO RIDE
NORTHEAST INTO THE FORECAST AREA TODAY IN ADVANCE OF THIS FRONTAL
BOUNDARY. MUCH OF SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST
MAINE WILL MAKE IT INTO THE WARM SECTOR DURING THE AFTERNOON. THE
QUESTION WILL BE HOW MUCH THE ATMOSPHERE CAN RECOVER FROM THE
EARLIER CONVECTION TODAY. MODELS SUGGEST AN AVERAGE OF 1000 J/KG
FOR CAPE IN THE WARM SECTOR ALONG WITH SUFFICIENT SHEAR FOR A FEW
STORMS TO APPROACH SEVERE CRITERIA WITH STRONG WINDS ALONG WITH
HAIL. HAVE OPTED TO INCLUDE GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL FOR THUNDERSTORMS
LATER TODAY ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE WARM FRONT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
THE COLD/OCCLUDED FRONT WILL SWING ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING
BRINGING CONVECTION QUICKLY TO AN END AS IT SWEEPS OFFSHORE. THERE
COULD BE A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS OVERNIGHT IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN
WITH THE UPPER TROUGH...OTHERWISE PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SOME PATCHY
VALLEY FOG. LOWS WILL BE IN THE 50S AND LOWER 60S. OUTSIDE OF A
FEW CLOUDS OVER NORTHERN AND EASTERN SECTIONS ASSOCIATED WITH THE
UPPER TROUGH...IT SHOULD BE A MOSTLY SUNNY DAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
BEGINS TO BUILD IN FROM THE WEST. AN OFFSHORE BREEZE SHOULD ALLOW
EVEN THE COAST TO WARM WELL INTO THE 70S...WITH A FEW 80 DEGREE
READINGS OVER SOUTHERN INTERIOR NEW HAMPSHIRE.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
BROADLY SPEAKING WEAK SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SPREADS INTO THE
NORTHEAST AND REMAINS OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK. ABOVE THE SURFACE... A BROADER TROUGH REMAINS
OVER EASTERN CANADA AND THE NORTHEAST UNITED STATES. THIS IS
BRIEFLY REPLACED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE ON MONDAY BEFORE
ANOTHER TROUGH ARRIVES BY MID NEXT WEEK.

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN FOR US PREFERRING TO LIVE AT GROUND LEVEL IN
NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND? GENERALLY DRY CONDITIONS WITH SLIGHTLY
COOLER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
IMPULSES PASSING THROUGH THE BROADER TROUGH WILL LARGELY GO
UNNOTICED. A MORE PRONOUNCED TROUGH CROSSES THE AREA SATURDAY
NIGHT BUT SURFACE FEATURES REMAIN QUITE WEAK AND PRECIPITATION
THREAT SEEMS MINIMAL. TEMPERATURES WARM UP A BIT BENEATH THE RIDGE
FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY BUT THIS WARM UP WILL BE TEMPERED BY AN
ONSHORE WIND OVER MUCH OF MAINE. 70S AND LOW 80S WILL BE COMMON
ACROSS THE AREA. THE NEXT SIGNIFICANT CHANCE OF RAIN WILL BE MID
NEXT WEEK WHEN THE NEXT UPPER TROUGH AXIS MOVES THROUGH.

&&

.AVIATION /10Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM /THROUGH 00Z FRI/...
CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE TO MVFR/IFR THIS MORNING IN A MIX OF
RAIN AND FOG. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE TO VFR AFT 04Z BEHIND A
COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE WITH SCATTERED MVFR IN CLOUDS AND SHOWERS
WITH LOCAL IFR IN VALLEY FOG. CONDITIONS IMPROVE TO VFR
THROUGHOUT AFTER 13Z THURSDAY.

LONG TERM...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. NIGHTTIME FOG IS POSSIBLE EACH NIGHT AT LEBANON AND
WHITEFIELD.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...
NO FLAGS EXPECTED...ALTHOUGH WINDS AND SEAS COULD COME CLOSE TO
SCA CRITERIA LATE TODAY.

LONG TERM...WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENTS LEAD TO LIGHT WINDS AND LOW
WAVE HEIGHTS THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
ES



000
FXUS61 KGYX 011006
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
606 AM EDT WED JUL 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL PULL A WARM FRONT NORTH INTO THE AREA TODAY...FOLLOWED
BY A TRAILING COLD FRONT EARLY TONIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION THROUGH THIS EVENING...BEFORE HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS IN ON THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN REMAIN IN PLACE INTO
THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...

600 AM...I ADJUSTED TIMING ON POPS TO REFLECT CURRENT RADAR
TRENDS..AND INGESTED THE LATEST MESONET INTO 1ST PERIOD GRIDS FOR
THIS ESTF UPDATE.

PREV DISC...
AT 06Z...A 1006 MILLIBAR LOW WAS OVER THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES
WITH A WARM FRONT EXTENDING SOUTHEASTWARD INTO THE MID ATLANTIC
REGION. SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO RIDE
NORTHEAST INTO THE FORECAST AREA TODAY IN ADVANCE OF THIS FRONTAL
BOUNDARY. MUCH OF SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST
MAINE WILL MAKE IT INTO THE WARM SECTOR DURING THE AFTERNOON. THE
QUESTION WILL BE HOW MUCH THE ATMOSPHERE CAN RECOVER FROM THE
EARLIER CONVECTION TODAY. MODELS SUGGEST AN AVERAGE OF 1000 J/KG
FOR CAPE IN THE WARM SECTOR ALONG WITH SUFFICIENT SHEAR FOR A FEW
STORMS TO APPROACH SEVERE CRITERIA WITH STRONG WINDS ALONG WITH
HAIL. HAVE OPTED TO INCLUDE GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL FOR THUNDERSTORMS
LATER TODAY ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE WARM FRONT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
THE COLD/OCCLUDED FRONT WILL SWING ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING
BRINGING CONVECTION QUICKLY TO AN END AS IT SWEEPS OFFSHORE. THERE
COULD BE A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS OVERNIGHT IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN
WITH THE UPPER TROUGH...OTHERWISE PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SOME PATCHY
VALLEY FOG. LOWS WILL BE IN THE 50S AND LOWER 60S. OUTSIDE OF A
FEW CLOUDS OVER NORTHERN AND EASTERN SECTIONS ASSOCIATED WITH THE
UPPER TROUGH...IT SHOULD BE A MOSTLY SUNNY DAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
BEGINS TO BUILD IN FROM THE WEST. AN OFFSHORE BREEZE SHOULD ALLOW
EVEN THE COAST TO WARM WELL INTO THE 70S...WITH A FEW 80 DEGREE
READINGS OVER SOUTHERN INTERIOR NEW HAMPSHIRE.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
BROADLY SPEAKING WEAK SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SPREADS INTO THE
NORTHEAST AND REMAINS OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK. ABOVE THE SURFACE... A BROADER TROUGH REMAINS
OVER EASTERN CANADA AND THE NORTHEAST UNITED STATES. THIS IS
BRIEFLY REPLACED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE ON MONDAY BEFORE
ANOTHER TROUGH ARRIVES BY MID NEXT WEEK.

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN FOR US PREFERRING TO LIVE AT GROUND LEVEL IN
NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND? GENERALLY DRY CONDITIONS WITH SLIGHTLY
COOLER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
IMPULSES PASSING THROUGH THE BROADER TROUGH WILL LARGELY GO
UNNOTICED. A MORE PRONOUNCED TROUGH CROSSES THE AREA SATURDAY
NIGHT BUT SURFACE FEATURES REMAIN QUITE WEAK AND PRECIPITATION
THREAT SEEMS MINIMAL. TEMPERATURES WARM UP A BIT BENEATH THE RIDGE
FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY BUT THIS WARM UP WILL BE TEMPERED BY AN
ONSHORE WIND OVER MUCH OF MAINE. 70S AND LOW 80S WILL BE COMMON
ACROSS THE AREA. THE NEXT SIGNIFICANT CHANCE OF RAIN WILL BE MID
NEXT WEEK WHEN THE NEXT UPPER TROUGH AXIS MOVES THROUGH.

&&

.AVIATION /10Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM /THROUGH 00Z FRI/...
CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE TO MVFR/IFR THIS MORNING IN A MIX OF
RAIN AND FOG. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE TO VFR AFT 04Z BEHIND A
COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE WITH SCATTERED MVFR IN CLOUDS AND SHOWERS
WITH LOCAL IFR IN VALLEY FOG. CONDITIONS IMPROVE TO VFR
THROUGHOUT AFTER 13Z THURSDAY.

LONG TERM...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. NIGHTTIME FOG IS POSSIBLE EACH NIGHT AT LEBANON AND
WHITEFIELD.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...
NO FLAGS EXPECTED...ALTHOUGH WINDS AND SEAS COULD COME CLOSE TO
SCA CRITERIA LATE TODAY.

LONG TERM...WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENTS LEAD TO LIGHT WINDS AND LOW
WAVE HEIGHTS THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
ES



000
FXUS61 KGYX 011006
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
606 AM EDT WED JUL 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL PULL A WARM FRONT NORTH INTO THE AREA TODAY...FOLLOWED
BY A TRAILING COLD FRONT EARLY TONIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION THROUGH THIS EVENING...BEFORE HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS IN ON THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN REMAIN IN PLACE INTO
THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...

600 AM...I ADJUSTED TIMING ON POPS TO REFLECT CURRENT RADAR
TRENDS..AND INGESTED THE LATEST MESONET INTO 1ST PERIOD GRIDS FOR
THIS ESTF UPDATE.

PREV DISC...
AT 06Z...A 1006 MILLIBAR LOW WAS OVER THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES
WITH A WARM FRONT EXTENDING SOUTHEASTWARD INTO THE MID ATLANTIC
REGION. SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO RIDE
NORTHEAST INTO THE FORECAST AREA TODAY IN ADVANCE OF THIS FRONTAL
BOUNDARY. MUCH OF SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST
MAINE WILL MAKE IT INTO THE WARM SECTOR DURING THE AFTERNOON. THE
QUESTION WILL BE HOW MUCH THE ATMOSPHERE CAN RECOVER FROM THE
EARLIER CONVECTION TODAY. MODELS SUGGEST AN AVERAGE OF 1000 J/KG
FOR CAPE IN THE WARM SECTOR ALONG WITH SUFFICIENT SHEAR FOR A FEW
STORMS TO APPROACH SEVERE CRITERIA WITH STRONG WINDS ALONG WITH
HAIL. HAVE OPTED TO INCLUDE GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL FOR THUNDERSTORMS
LATER TODAY ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE WARM FRONT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
THE COLD/OCCLUDED FRONT WILL SWING ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING
BRINGING CONVECTION QUICKLY TO AN END AS IT SWEEPS OFFSHORE. THERE
COULD BE A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS OVERNIGHT IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN
WITH THE UPPER TROUGH...OTHERWISE PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SOME PATCHY
VALLEY FOG. LOWS WILL BE IN THE 50S AND LOWER 60S. OUTSIDE OF A
FEW CLOUDS OVER NORTHERN AND EASTERN SECTIONS ASSOCIATED WITH THE
UPPER TROUGH...IT SHOULD BE A MOSTLY SUNNY DAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
BEGINS TO BUILD IN FROM THE WEST. AN OFFSHORE BREEZE SHOULD ALLOW
EVEN THE COAST TO WARM WELL INTO THE 70S...WITH A FEW 80 DEGREE
READINGS OVER SOUTHERN INTERIOR NEW HAMPSHIRE.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
BROADLY SPEAKING WEAK SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SPREADS INTO THE
NORTHEAST AND REMAINS OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK. ABOVE THE SURFACE... A BROADER TROUGH REMAINS
OVER EASTERN CANADA AND THE NORTHEAST UNITED STATES. THIS IS
BRIEFLY REPLACED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE ON MONDAY BEFORE
ANOTHER TROUGH ARRIVES BY MID NEXT WEEK.

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN FOR US PREFERRING TO LIVE AT GROUND LEVEL IN
NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND? GENERALLY DRY CONDITIONS WITH SLIGHTLY
COOLER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
IMPULSES PASSING THROUGH THE BROADER TROUGH WILL LARGELY GO
UNNOTICED. A MORE PRONOUNCED TROUGH CROSSES THE AREA SATURDAY
NIGHT BUT SURFACE FEATURES REMAIN QUITE WEAK AND PRECIPITATION
THREAT SEEMS MINIMAL. TEMPERATURES WARM UP A BIT BENEATH THE RIDGE
FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY BUT THIS WARM UP WILL BE TEMPERED BY AN
ONSHORE WIND OVER MUCH OF MAINE. 70S AND LOW 80S WILL BE COMMON
ACROSS THE AREA. THE NEXT SIGNIFICANT CHANCE OF RAIN WILL BE MID
NEXT WEEK WHEN THE NEXT UPPER TROUGH AXIS MOVES THROUGH.

&&

.AVIATION /10Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM /THROUGH 00Z FRI/...
CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE TO MVFR/IFR THIS MORNING IN A MIX OF
RAIN AND FOG. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE TO VFR AFT 04Z BEHIND A
COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE WITH SCATTERED MVFR IN CLOUDS AND SHOWERS
WITH LOCAL IFR IN VALLEY FOG. CONDITIONS IMPROVE TO VFR
THROUGHOUT AFTER 13Z THURSDAY.

LONG TERM...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. NIGHTTIME FOG IS POSSIBLE EACH NIGHT AT LEBANON AND
WHITEFIELD.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...
NO FLAGS EXPECTED...ALTHOUGH WINDS AND SEAS COULD COME CLOSE TO
SCA CRITERIA LATE TODAY.

LONG TERM...WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENTS LEAD TO LIGHT WINDS AND LOW
WAVE HEIGHTS THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
ES



000
FXUS61 KGYX 011006
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
606 AM EDT WED JUL 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL PULL A WARM FRONT NORTH INTO THE AREA TODAY...FOLLOWED
BY A TRAILING COLD FRONT EARLY TONIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION THROUGH THIS EVENING...BEFORE HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS IN ON THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN REMAIN IN PLACE INTO
THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...

600 AM...I ADJUSTED TIMING ON POPS TO REFLECT CURRENT RADAR
TRENDS..AND INGESTED THE LATEST MESONET INTO 1ST PERIOD GRIDS FOR
THIS ESTF UPDATE.

PREV DISC...
AT 06Z...A 1006 MILLIBAR LOW WAS OVER THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES
WITH A WARM FRONT EXTENDING SOUTHEASTWARD INTO THE MID ATLANTIC
REGION. SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO RIDE
NORTHEAST INTO THE FORECAST AREA TODAY IN ADVANCE OF THIS FRONTAL
BOUNDARY. MUCH OF SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST
MAINE WILL MAKE IT INTO THE WARM SECTOR DURING THE AFTERNOON. THE
QUESTION WILL BE HOW MUCH THE ATMOSPHERE CAN RECOVER FROM THE
EARLIER CONVECTION TODAY. MODELS SUGGEST AN AVERAGE OF 1000 J/KG
FOR CAPE IN THE WARM SECTOR ALONG WITH SUFFICIENT SHEAR FOR A FEW
STORMS TO APPROACH SEVERE CRITERIA WITH STRONG WINDS ALONG WITH
HAIL. HAVE OPTED TO INCLUDE GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL FOR THUNDERSTORMS
LATER TODAY ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE WARM FRONT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
THE COLD/OCCLUDED FRONT WILL SWING ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING
BRINGING CONVECTION QUICKLY TO AN END AS IT SWEEPS OFFSHORE. THERE
COULD BE A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS OVERNIGHT IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN
WITH THE UPPER TROUGH...OTHERWISE PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SOME PATCHY
VALLEY FOG. LOWS WILL BE IN THE 50S AND LOWER 60S. OUTSIDE OF A
FEW CLOUDS OVER NORTHERN AND EASTERN SECTIONS ASSOCIATED WITH THE
UPPER TROUGH...IT SHOULD BE A MOSTLY SUNNY DAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
BEGINS TO BUILD IN FROM THE WEST. AN OFFSHORE BREEZE SHOULD ALLOW
EVEN THE COAST TO WARM WELL INTO THE 70S...WITH A FEW 80 DEGREE
READINGS OVER SOUTHERN INTERIOR NEW HAMPSHIRE.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
BROADLY SPEAKING WEAK SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SPREADS INTO THE
NORTHEAST AND REMAINS OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK. ABOVE THE SURFACE... A BROADER TROUGH REMAINS
OVER EASTERN CANADA AND THE NORTHEAST UNITED STATES. THIS IS
BRIEFLY REPLACED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE ON MONDAY BEFORE
ANOTHER TROUGH ARRIVES BY MID NEXT WEEK.

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN FOR US PREFERRING TO LIVE AT GROUND LEVEL IN
NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND? GENERALLY DRY CONDITIONS WITH SLIGHTLY
COOLER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
IMPULSES PASSING THROUGH THE BROADER TROUGH WILL LARGELY GO
UNNOTICED. A MORE PRONOUNCED TROUGH CROSSES THE AREA SATURDAY
NIGHT BUT SURFACE FEATURES REMAIN QUITE WEAK AND PRECIPITATION
THREAT SEEMS MINIMAL. TEMPERATURES WARM UP A BIT BENEATH THE RIDGE
FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY BUT THIS WARM UP WILL BE TEMPERED BY AN
ONSHORE WIND OVER MUCH OF MAINE. 70S AND LOW 80S WILL BE COMMON
ACROSS THE AREA. THE NEXT SIGNIFICANT CHANCE OF RAIN WILL BE MID
NEXT WEEK WHEN THE NEXT UPPER TROUGH AXIS MOVES THROUGH.

&&

.AVIATION /10Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM /THROUGH 00Z FRI/...
CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE TO MVFR/IFR THIS MORNING IN A MIX OF
RAIN AND FOG. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE TO VFR AFT 04Z BEHIND A
COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE WITH SCATTERED MVFR IN CLOUDS AND SHOWERS
WITH LOCAL IFR IN VALLEY FOG. CONDITIONS IMPROVE TO VFR
THROUGHOUT AFTER 13Z THURSDAY.

LONG TERM...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. NIGHTTIME FOG IS POSSIBLE EACH NIGHT AT LEBANON AND
WHITEFIELD.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...
NO FLAGS EXPECTED...ALTHOUGH WINDS AND SEAS COULD COME CLOSE TO
SCA CRITERIA LATE TODAY.

LONG TERM...WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENTS LEAD TO LIGHT WINDS AND LOW
WAVE HEIGHTS THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
ES




000
FXUS61 KGYX 011006
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
606 AM EDT WED JUL 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL PULL A WARM FRONT NORTH INTO THE AREA TODAY...FOLLOWED
BY A TRAILING COLD FRONT EARLY TONIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION THROUGH THIS EVENING...BEFORE HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS IN ON THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN REMAIN IN PLACE INTO
THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...

600 AM...I ADJUSTED TIMING ON POPS TO REFLECT CURRENT RADAR
TRENDS..AND INGESTED THE LATEST MESONET INTO 1ST PERIOD GRIDS FOR
THIS ESTF UPDATE.

PREV DISC...
AT 06Z...A 1006 MILLIBAR LOW WAS OVER THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES
WITH A WARM FRONT EXTENDING SOUTHEASTWARD INTO THE MID ATLANTIC
REGION. SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO RIDE
NORTHEAST INTO THE FORECAST AREA TODAY IN ADVANCE OF THIS FRONTAL
BOUNDARY. MUCH OF SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST
MAINE WILL MAKE IT INTO THE WARM SECTOR DURING THE AFTERNOON. THE
QUESTION WILL BE HOW MUCH THE ATMOSPHERE CAN RECOVER FROM THE
EARLIER CONVECTION TODAY. MODELS SUGGEST AN AVERAGE OF 1000 J/KG
FOR CAPE IN THE WARM SECTOR ALONG WITH SUFFICIENT SHEAR FOR A FEW
STORMS TO APPROACH SEVERE CRITERIA WITH STRONG WINDS ALONG WITH
HAIL. HAVE OPTED TO INCLUDE GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL FOR THUNDERSTORMS
LATER TODAY ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE WARM FRONT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
THE COLD/OCCLUDED FRONT WILL SWING ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING
BRINGING CONVECTION QUICKLY TO AN END AS IT SWEEPS OFFSHORE. THERE
COULD BE A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS OVERNIGHT IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN
WITH THE UPPER TROUGH...OTHERWISE PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SOME PATCHY
VALLEY FOG. LOWS WILL BE IN THE 50S AND LOWER 60S. OUTSIDE OF A
FEW CLOUDS OVER NORTHERN AND EASTERN SECTIONS ASSOCIATED WITH THE
UPPER TROUGH...IT SHOULD BE A MOSTLY SUNNY DAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
BEGINS TO BUILD IN FROM THE WEST. AN OFFSHORE BREEZE SHOULD ALLOW
EVEN THE COAST TO WARM WELL INTO THE 70S...WITH A FEW 80 DEGREE
READINGS OVER SOUTHERN INTERIOR NEW HAMPSHIRE.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
BROADLY SPEAKING WEAK SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SPREADS INTO THE
NORTHEAST AND REMAINS OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK. ABOVE THE SURFACE... A BROADER TROUGH REMAINS
OVER EASTERN CANADA AND THE NORTHEAST UNITED STATES. THIS IS
BRIEFLY REPLACED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE ON MONDAY BEFORE
ANOTHER TROUGH ARRIVES BY MID NEXT WEEK.

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN FOR US PREFERRING TO LIVE AT GROUND LEVEL IN
NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND? GENERALLY DRY CONDITIONS WITH SLIGHTLY
COOLER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
IMPULSES PASSING THROUGH THE BROADER TROUGH WILL LARGELY GO
UNNOTICED. A MORE PRONOUNCED TROUGH CROSSES THE AREA SATURDAY
NIGHT BUT SURFACE FEATURES REMAIN QUITE WEAK AND PRECIPITATION
THREAT SEEMS MINIMAL. TEMPERATURES WARM UP A BIT BENEATH THE RIDGE
FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY BUT THIS WARM UP WILL BE TEMPERED BY AN
ONSHORE WIND OVER MUCH OF MAINE. 70S AND LOW 80S WILL BE COMMON
ACROSS THE AREA. THE NEXT SIGNIFICANT CHANCE OF RAIN WILL BE MID
NEXT WEEK WHEN THE NEXT UPPER TROUGH AXIS MOVES THROUGH.

&&

.AVIATION /10Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM /THROUGH 00Z FRI/...
CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE TO MVFR/IFR THIS MORNING IN A MIX OF
RAIN AND FOG. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE TO VFR AFT 04Z BEHIND A
COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE WITH SCATTERED MVFR IN CLOUDS AND SHOWERS
WITH LOCAL IFR IN VALLEY FOG. CONDITIONS IMPROVE TO VFR
THROUGHOUT AFTER 13Z THURSDAY.

LONG TERM...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. NIGHTTIME FOG IS POSSIBLE EACH NIGHT AT LEBANON AND
WHITEFIELD.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...
NO FLAGS EXPECTED...ALTHOUGH WINDS AND SEAS COULD COME CLOSE TO
SCA CRITERIA LATE TODAY.

LONG TERM...WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENTS LEAD TO LIGHT WINDS AND LOW
WAVE HEIGHTS THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
ES



000
FXUS61 KCAR 010856
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
456 AM EDT WED JUL 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK WEST OF MAINE TODAY. THE LOW WILL DRAW
A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
LOW PRESSURE LIFTING TO OUR WEST TODAY WILL PULL HUMID AND MOIST
AIR NORTH ACROSS THE AREA. THE UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE ASSOCIATED
WITH THIS LOW COMBINED WITH A SURFACE TROUGH WILL PUSH SHOWERS
ACROSS THE AREA, MAINLY OVER THE WEST THIS MORNING THEN OVER THE
REST OF THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON. FORECAST SOUNDINGS ARE SHOWING
UP TO 200 J/KG CAPE OVER THE REGION. UPPER LEVEL DYNAMICS, SOME
SURFACE CONVERGENCE AND A BIT OF INSTABILITY MAY SUPPORT SOME
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WHICH HAVE BEEN INCLUDED IN THE FORECAST
THIS AFTERNOON. HUMID AIR MOVING OVER THE COLDER WATERS WILL
LIKELY PRODUCE SOME FOG DOWNEAST EARLY TODAY. SOME FOG MAY LINGER
OVER THE WATERS THROUGH THE DAY. SHOWERS SHOULD LIFT NORTH AND
AWAY EARLY TONIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE LIFTS TO OUR NORTHWEST AND
PULLS DRIER AIR IN FROM THE WEST. SKIES SHOULD PARTIALLY CLEAR
DOWNEAST OVERNIGHT.
&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK NORTHWEST OF MAINE THURSDAY WHILE A COLD
FRONT SLOWLY CROSSES DOWNEAST AREAS...WITH AN UPPER LEVEL TROF
APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS THURSDAY MORNING
WITH PARTLY SUNNY SKIES DURING THE AFTERNOON. GENERALLY EXPECT
PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA
THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD EAST ACROSS THE REGION
THURSDAY NIGHT WHILE THE UPPER TROF CROSSES THE FORECAST AREA.
EXPECT PARTLY CLOUDY/MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES NORTH THURSDAY NIGHT WITH
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA. HIGH
PRESSURE THEN BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
NIGHT. EXPECT PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS
FRIDAY...WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE
FORECAST AREA. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA FRIDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT NEAR NORMAL LEVELS
THURSDAY/FRIDAY.
&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO MOVE EAST SATURDAY...WITH A COLD FRONT
APPROACHING LATER SATURDAY NIGHT. EXPECT PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES
ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY...WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH
A SLIGHT OF SHOWERS SATURDAY NIGHT. THE COLD FRONT SHOULD CROSS
THE REGION SUNDAY WITH PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS...THOUGH THE EXACT TIMING OF THE FRONT IS STILL UNCERTAIN.
HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL THEN BEGIN TO APPROACH LATER TUESDAY
WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN AT NEAR NORMAL LEVELS SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
&&

.AVIATION /08Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: MVFR TO OCCASIONALLY IFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY
INTO EARLY TONIGHT. CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE TO VFR FROM SOUTH TO
NORTH LATE TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS
NORTHERN AREAS THURSDAY MORNING. OTHERWISE...GENERALLY VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY INTO SATURDAY.
OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: HUMID AIR OVER THE WATERS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN SOME
FOG TODAY. WIND AND SEAS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW SCA TODAY AND
TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: WINDS/SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY LEVELS THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...BLOOMER
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/NORCROSS
MARINE...BLOOMER/NORCROSS




000
FXUS61 KCAR 010856
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
456 AM EDT WED JUL 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK WEST OF MAINE TODAY. THE LOW WILL DRAW
A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
LOW PRESSURE LIFTING TO OUR WEST TODAY WILL PULL HUMID AND MOIST
AIR NORTH ACROSS THE AREA. THE UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE ASSOCIATED
WITH THIS LOW COMBINED WITH A SURFACE TROUGH WILL PUSH SHOWERS
ACROSS THE AREA, MAINLY OVER THE WEST THIS MORNING THEN OVER THE
REST OF THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON. FORECAST SOUNDINGS ARE SHOWING
UP TO 200 J/KG CAPE OVER THE REGION. UPPER LEVEL DYNAMICS, SOME
SURFACE CONVERGENCE AND A BIT OF INSTABILITY MAY SUPPORT SOME
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WHICH HAVE BEEN INCLUDED IN THE FORECAST
THIS AFTERNOON. HUMID AIR MOVING OVER THE COLDER WATERS WILL
LIKELY PRODUCE SOME FOG DOWNEAST EARLY TODAY. SOME FOG MAY LINGER
OVER THE WATERS THROUGH THE DAY. SHOWERS SHOULD LIFT NORTH AND
AWAY EARLY TONIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE LIFTS TO OUR NORTHWEST AND
PULLS DRIER AIR IN FROM THE WEST. SKIES SHOULD PARTIALLY CLEAR
DOWNEAST OVERNIGHT.
&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK NORTHWEST OF MAINE THURSDAY WHILE A COLD
FRONT SLOWLY CROSSES DOWNEAST AREAS...WITH AN UPPER LEVEL TROF
APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS THURSDAY MORNING
WITH PARTLY SUNNY SKIES DURING THE AFTERNOON. GENERALLY EXPECT
PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA
THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD EAST ACROSS THE REGION
THURSDAY NIGHT WHILE THE UPPER TROF CROSSES THE FORECAST AREA.
EXPECT PARTLY CLOUDY/MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES NORTH THURSDAY NIGHT WITH
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA. HIGH
PRESSURE THEN BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
NIGHT. EXPECT PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS
FRIDAY...WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE
FORECAST AREA. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA FRIDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT NEAR NORMAL LEVELS
THURSDAY/FRIDAY.
&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO MOVE EAST SATURDAY...WITH A COLD FRONT
APPROACHING LATER SATURDAY NIGHT. EXPECT PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES
ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY...WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH
A SLIGHT OF SHOWERS SATURDAY NIGHT. THE COLD FRONT SHOULD CROSS
THE REGION SUNDAY WITH PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS...THOUGH THE EXACT TIMING OF THE FRONT IS STILL UNCERTAIN.
HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL THEN BEGIN TO APPROACH LATER TUESDAY
WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN AT NEAR NORMAL LEVELS SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
&&

.AVIATION /08Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: MVFR TO OCCASIONALLY IFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY
INTO EARLY TONIGHT. CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE TO VFR FROM SOUTH TO
NORTH LATE TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS
NORTHERN AREAS THURSDAY MORNING. OTHERWISE...GENERALLY VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY INTO SATURDAY.
OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: HUMID AIR OVER THE WATERS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN SOME
FOG TODAY. WIND AND SEAS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW SCA TODAY AND
TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: WINDS/SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY LEVELS THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...BLOOMER
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/NORCROSS
MARINE...BLOOMER/NORCROSS




000
FXUS61 KCAR 010856
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
456 AM EDT WED JUL 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK WEST OF MAINE TODAY. THE LOW WILL DRAW
A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
LOW PRESSURE LIFTING TO OUR WEST TODAY WILL PULL HUMID AND MOIST
AIR NORTH ACROSS THE AREA. THE UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE ASSOCIATED
WITH THIS LOW COMBINED WITH A SURFACE TROUGH WILL PUSH SHOWERS
ACROSS THE AREA, MAINLY OVER THE WEST THIS MORNING THEN OVER THE
REST OF THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON. FORECAST SOUNDINGS ARE SHOWING
UP TO 200 J/KG CAPE OVER THE REGION. UPPER LEVEL DYNAMICS, SOME
SURFACE CONVERGENCE AND A BIT OF INSTABILITY MAY SUPPORT SOME
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WHICH HAVE BEEN INCLUDED IN THE FORECAST
THIS AFTERNOON. HUMID AIR MOVING OVER THE COLDER WATERS WILL
LIKELY PRODUCE SOME FOG DOWNEAST EARLY TODAY. SOME FOG MAY LINGER
OVER THE WATERS THROUGH THE DAY. SHOWERS SHOULD LIFT NORTH AND
AWAY EARLY TONIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE LIFTS TO OUR NORTHWEST AND
PULLS DRIER AIR IN FROM THE WEST. SKIES SHOULD PARTIALLY CLEAR
DOWNEAST OVERNIGHT.
&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK NORTHWEST OF MAINE THURSDAY WHILE A COLD
FRONT SLOWLY CROSSES DOWNEAST AREAS...WITH AN UPPER LEVEL TROF
APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS THURSDAY MORNING
WITH PARTLY SUNNY SKIES DURING THE AFTERNOON. GENERALLY EXPECT
PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA
THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD EAST ACROSS THE REGION
THURSDAY NIGHT WHILE THE UPPER TROF CROSSES THE FORECAST AREA.
EXPECT PARTLY CLOUDY/MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES NORTH THURSDAY NIGHT WITH
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA. HIGH
PRESSURE THEN BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
NIGHT. EXPECT PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS
FRIDAY...WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE
FORECAST AREA. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA FRIDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT NEAR NORMAL LEVELS
THURSDAY/FRIDAY.
&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO MOVE EAST SATURDAY...WITH A COLD FRONT
APPROACHING LATER SATURDAY NIGHT. EXPECT PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES
ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY...WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH
A SLIGHT OF SHOWERS SATURDAY NIGHT. THE COLD FRONT SHOULD CROSS
THE REGION SUNDAY WITH PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS...THOUGH THE EXACT TIMING OF THE FRONT IS STILL UNCERTAIN.
HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL THEN BEGIN TO APPROACH LATER TUESDAY
WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN AT NEAR NORMAL LEVELS SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
&&

.AVIATION /08Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: MVFR TO OCCASIONALLY IFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY
INTO EARLY TONIGHT. CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE TO VFR FROM SOUTH TO
NORTH LATE TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS
NORTHERN AREAS THURSDAY MORNING. OTHERWISE...GENERALLY VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY INTO SATURDAY.
OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: HUMID AIR OVER THE WATERS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN SOME
FOG TODAY. WIND AND SEAS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW SCA TODAY AND
TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: WINDS/SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY LEVELS THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...BLOOMER
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/NORCROSS
MARINE...BLOOMER/NORCROSS




000
FXUS61 KCAR 010856
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
456 AM EDT WED JUL 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK WEST OF MAINE TODAY. THE LOW WILL DRAW
A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
LOW PRESSURE LIFTING TO OUR WEST TODAY WILL PULL HUMID AND MOIST
AIR NORTH ACROSS THE AREA. THE UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE ASSOCIATED
WITH THIS LOW COMBINED WITH A SURFACE TROUGH WILL PUSH SHOWERS
ACROSS THE AREA, MAINLY OVER THE WEST THIS MORNING THEN OVER THE
REST OF THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON. FORECAST SOUNDINGS ARE SHOWING
UP TO 200 J/KG CAPE OVER THE REGION. UPPER LEVEL DYNAMICS, SOME
SURFACE CONVERGENCE AND A BIT OF INSTABILITY MAY SUPPORT SOME
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WHICH HAVE BEEN INCLUDED IN THE FORECAST
THIS AFTERNOON. HUMID AIR MOVING OVER THE COLDER WATERS WILL
LIKELY PRODUCE SOME FOG DOWNEAST EARLY TODAY. SOME FOG MAY LINGER
OVER THE WATERS THROUGH THE DAY. SHOWERS SHOULD LIFT NORTH AND
AWAY EARLY TONIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE LIFTS TO OUR NORTHWEST AND
PULLS DRIER AIR IN FROM THE WEST. SKIES SHOULD PARTIALLY CLEAR
DOWNEAST OVERNIGHT.
&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK NORTHWEST OF MAINE THURSDAY WHILE A COLD
FRONT SLOWLY CROSSES DOWNEAST AREAS...WITH AN UPPER LEVEL TROF
APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS THURSDAY MORNING
WITH PARTLY SUNNY SKIES DURING THE AFTERNOON. GENERALLY EXPECT
PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA
THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD EAST ACROSS THE REGION
THURSDAY NIGHT WHILE THE UPPER TROF CROSSES THE FORECAST AREA.
EXPECT PARTLY CLOUDY/MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES NORTH THURSDAY NIGHT WITH
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA. HIGH
PRESSURE THEN BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
NIGHT. EXPECT PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS
FRIDAY...WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE
FORECAST AREA. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA FRIDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT NEAR NORMAL LEVELS
THURSDAY/FRIDAY.
&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO MOVE EAST SATURDAY...WITH A COLD FRONT
APPROACHING LATER SATURDAY NIGHT. EXPECT PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES
ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY...WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH
A SLIGHT OF SHOWERS SATURDAY NIGHT. THE COLD FRONT SHOULD CROSS
THE REGION SUNDAY WITH PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS...THOUGH THE EXACT TIMING OF THE FRONT IS STILL UNCERTAIN.
HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL THEN BEGIN TO APPROACH LATER TUESDAY
WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN AT NEAR NORMAL LEVELS SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
&&

.AVIATION /08Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: MVFR TO OCCASIONALLY IFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY
INTO EARLY TONIGHT. CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE TO VFR FROM SOUTH TO
NORTH LATE TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS
NORTHERN AREAS THURSDAY MORNING. OTHERWISE...GENERALLY VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY INTO SATURDAY.
OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: HUMID AIR OVER THE WATERS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN SOME
FOG TODAY. WIND AND SEAS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW SCA TODAY AND
TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: WINDS/SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY LEVELS THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...BLOOMER
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/NORCROSS
MARINE...BLOOMER/NORCROSS




000
FXUS61 KGYX 010709
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
309 AM EDT WED JUL 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL PULL A WARM FRONT NORTH INTO THE AREA TODAY...FOLLOWED
BY A TRAILING COLD FRONT EARLY TONIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION THROUGH THIS EVENING...BEFORE HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS IN ON THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN REMAIN IN PLACE INTO
THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /TODAY/...
AT 06Z...A 1006 MILLIBAR LOW WAS OVER THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES
WITH A WARM FRONT EXTENDING SOUTHEASTWARD INTO THE MID ATLANTIC
REGION. SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO RIDE
NORTHEAST INTO THE FORECAST AREA TODAY IN ADVANCE OF THIS FRONTAL
BOUNDARY. MUCH OF SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST
MAINE WILL MAKE IT INTO THE WARM SECTOR DURING THE AFTERNOON. THE
QUESTION WILL BE HOW MUCH THE ATMOSPHERE CAN RECOVER FROM THE
EARLIER CONVECTION TODAY. MODELS SUGGEST AN AVERAGE OF 1000 J/KG
FOR CAPE IN THE WARM SECTOR ALONG WITH SUFFICIENT SHEAR FOR A FEW
STORMS TO APPROACH SEVERE CRITERIA WITH STRONG WINDS ALONG WITH
HAIL. HAVE OPTED TO INCLUDE GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL FOR THUNDERSTORMS
LATER TODAY ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE WARM FRONT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT AND THURSDAY/...
THE COLD/OCCLUDED FRONT WILL SWING ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING
BRINGING CONVECTION QUICKLY TO AN END AS IT SWEEPS OFFSHORE. THERE
COULD BE A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS OVERNIGHT IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN
WITH THE UPPER TROUGH...OTHERWISE PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SOME PATCHY
VALLEY FOG. LOWS WILL BE IN THE 50S AND LOWER 60S. OUTSIDE OF A
FEW CLOUDS OVER NORTHERN AND EASTERN SECTIONS ASSOCIATED WITH THE
UPPER TROUGH...IT SHOULD BE A MOSTLY SUNNY DAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
BEGINS TO BUILD IN FROM THE WEST. AN OFFSHORE BREEZE SHOULD ALLOW
EVEN THE COAST TO WARM WELL INTO THE 70S...WITH A FEW 80 DEGREE
READINGS OVER SOUTHERN INTERIOR NEW HAMPSHIRE.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
BROADLY SPEAKING WEAK SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SPREADS INTO THE
NORTHEAST AND REMAINS OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK. ABOVE THE SURFACE... A BROADER TROUGH REMAINS
OVER EASTERN CANADA AND THE NORTHEAST UNITED STATES. THIS IS
BRIEFLY REPLACED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE ON MONDAY BEFORE
ANOTHER TROUGH ARRIVES BY MID NEXT WEEK.

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN FOR US PREFERRING TO LIVE AT GROUND LEVEL IN
NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND? GENERALLY DRY CONDITIONS WITH SLIGHTLY
COOLER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
IMPULSES PASSING THROUGH THE BROADER TROUGH WILL LARGELY GO
UNNOTICED. A MORE PRONOUNCED TROUGH CROSSES THE AREA SATURDAY
NIGHT BUT SURFACE FEATURES REMAIN QUITE WEAK AND PRECIPITATION
THREAT SEEMS MINIMAL. TEMPERATURES WARM UP A BIT BENEATH THE RIDGE
FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY BUT THIS WARM UP WILL BE TEMPERED BY AN
ONSHORE WIND OVER MUCH OF MAINE. 70S AND LOW 80S WILL BE COMMON
ACROSS THE AREA. THE NEXT SIGNIFICANT CHANCE OF RAIN WILL BE MID
NEXT WEEK WHEN THE NEXT UPPER TROUGH AXIS MOVES THROUGH.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM /THROUGH 00Z FRI/...
CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE TO MVFR/IFR THIS MORNING IN A MIX OF
RAIN AND FOG. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE TO VFR AFT 04Z BEHIND A
COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE WITH SCATTERED MVFR IN CLOUDS AND SHOWERS
WITH LOCAL IFR IN VALLEY FOG. CONDITIONS IMPROVE TO VFR
THROUGHOUT AFTER 13Z THURSDAY.

LONG TERM...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. NIGHTTIME FOG IS POSSIBLE EACH NIGHT AT LEBANON AND
WHITEFIELD.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...
NO FLAGS EXPECTED...ALTHOUGH WINDS AND SEAS COULD COME CLOSE TO
SCA CRITERIA LATE TODAY.

LONG TERM...WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENTS LEAD TO LIGHT WINDS AND LOW
WAVE HEIGHTS THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.


&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
SCHWIBS/KIMBLE



000
FXUS61 KGYX 010709
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
309 AM EDT WED JUL 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL PULL A WARM FRONT NORTH INTO THE AREA TODAY...FOLLOWED
BY A TRAILING COLD FRONT EARLY TONIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION THROUGH THIS EVENING...BEFORE HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS IN ON THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN REMAIN IN PLACE INTO
THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /TODAY/...
AT 06Z...A 1006 MILLIBAR LOW WAS OVER THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES
WITH A WARM FRONT EXTENDING SOUTHEASTWARD INTO THE MID ATLANTIC
REGION. SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO RIDE
NORTHEAST INTO THE FORECAST AREA TODAY IN ADVANCE OF THIS FRONTAL
BOUNDARY. MUCH OF SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST
MAINE WILL MAKE IT INTO THE WARM SECTOR DURING THE AFTERNOON. THE
QUESTION WILL BE HOW MUCH THE ATMOSPHERE CAN RECOVER FROM THE
EARLIER CONVECTION TODAY. MODELS SUGGEST AN AVERAGE OF 1000 J/KG
FOR CAPE IN THE WARM SECTOR ALONG WITH SUFFICIENT SHEAR FOR A FEW
STORMS TO APPROACH SEVERE CRITERIA WITH STRONG WINDS ALONG WITH
HAIL. HAVE OPTED TO INCLUDE GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL FOR THUNDERSTORMS
LATER TODAY ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE WARM FRONT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT AND THURSDAY/...
THE COLD/OCCLUDED FRONT WILL SWING ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING
BRINGING CONVECTION QUICKLY TO AN END AS IT SWEEPS OFFSHORE. THERE
COULD BE A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS OVERNIGHT IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN
WITH THE UPPER TROUGH...OTHERWISE PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SOME PATCHY
VALLEY FOG. LOWS WILL BE IN THE 50S AND LOWER 60S. OUTSIDE OF A
FEW CLOUDS OVER NORTHERN AND EASTERN SECTIONS ASSOCIATED WITH THE
UPPER TROUGH...IT SHOULD BE A MOSTLY SUNNY DAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
BEGINS TO BUILD IN FROM THE WEST. AN OFFSHORE BREEZE SHOULD ALLOW
EVEN THE COAST TO WARM WELL INTO THE 70S...WITH A FEW 80 DEGREE
READINGS OVER SOUTHERN INTERIOR NEW HAMPSHIRE.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
BROADLY SPEAKING WEAK SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SPREADS INTO THE
NORTHEAST AND REMAINS OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK. ABOVE THE SURFACE... A BROADER TROUGH REMAINS
OVER EASTERN CANADA AND THE NORTHEAST UNITED STATES. THIS IS
BRIEFLY REPLACED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE ON MONDAY BEFORE
ANOTHER TROUGH ARRIVES BY MID NEXT WEEK.

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN FOR US PREFERRING TO LIVE AT GROUND LEVEL IN
NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND? GENERALLY DRY CONDITIONS WITH SLIGHTLY
COOLER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
IMPULSES PASSING THROUGH THE BROADER TROUGH WILL LARGELY GO
UNNOTICED. A MORE PRONOUNCED TROUGH CROSSES THE AREA SATURDAY
NIGHT BUT SURFACE FEATURES REMAIN QUITE WEAK AND PRECIPITATION
THREAT SEEMS MINIMAL. TEMPERATURES WARM UP A BIT BENEATH THE RIDGE
FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY BUT THIS WARM UP WILL BE TEMPERED BY AN
ONSHORE WIND OVER MUCH OF MAINE. 70S AND LOW 80S WILL BE COMMON
ACROSS THE AREA. THE NEXT SIGNIFICANT CHANCE OF RAIN WILL BE MID
NEXT WEEK WHEN THE NEXT UPPER TROUGH AXIS MOVES THROUGH.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM /THROUGH 00Z FRI/...
CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE TO MVFR/IFR THIS MORNING IN A MIX OF
RAIN AND FOG. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE TO VFR AFT 04Z BEHIND A
COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE WITH SCATTERED MVFR IN CLOUDS AND SHOWERS
WITH LOCAL IFR IN VALLEY FOG. CONDITIONS IMPROVE TO VFR
THROUGHOUT AFTER 13Z THURSDAY.

LONG TERM...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. NIGHTTIME FOG IS POSSIBLE EACH NIGHT AT LEBANON AND
WHITEFIELD.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...
NO FLAGS EXPECTED...ALTHOUGH WINDS AND SEAS COULD COME CLOSE TO
SCA CRITERIA LATE TODAY.

LONG TERM...WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENTS LEAD TO LIGHT WINDS AND LOW
WAVE HEIGHTS THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.


&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
SCHWIBS/KIMBLE




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