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000
FXUS61 KGYX 032021
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
421 PM EDT THU SEP 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION AND WILL PUSH
OFFSHORE THIS EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH FROM CANADA
FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY AND THEN MOVE OFFSHORE SATURDAY NIGHT. THE
HIGH WILL REMAIN ANCHORED OFF THE COAST INTO MIDWEEK AND ALLOW
FOR JULY-LIKE WEATHER SUNDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /TONIGHT/...
415PM UPDATE...
CONVERGENT LINE WHICH HAS PRODUCED THE MAJORITY OF THE SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS PUSHED TOWARD THE COAST... COLLIDING
WITH THE SEA BREEZE AS IT HAS DONE SO. ANY REMAINING ACTIVITY WILL
BE SCATTERED AND PUSHING OFFSHORE THIS EVENING. MORE ACTIVITY
STILL POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
HAVE ADJUSTED THE HOURLY PRECIPITATION CHANCES TO REFLECT EXPECTED
TIMING AND CONFIDENCE OF PRECIPITATION.

ORIGINAL DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH OF THE REGION BY THIS EVENING
BRINGING AN END TO THE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER
SOUTHERN AREAS..SOME BRIEF HEAVY RAINS AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE
WITH A FEW OF THE STORMS. SKIES WILL CLEAR FROM NORTH TO SOUTH BY
LATER TONIGHT. PATCHY VALLEY FOG IS EXPECTED IN THE CONNECTICUT
RIVER VALLEY ONCE AGAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
COOLER TONIGHT WITH LOWERING DEWPOINTS AS WELL AS THE CANADIAN AIR
MASS SLOWLY ADVECTS SOUTH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT/...
ALL MODELS LATCH ONTO A LARGE SURFACE/UPPER RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE THAT SETTLES OVER THE AREA FRIDAY WITH SUNNY
SKIES...COMFORTABLE TEMPERATURES AND LOW HUMIDITIES. FRIDAY NIGHT
CALM WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES WILL ALLOW RADIATIONAL COOLING TO TAKE
PLACE ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO BE RATHER COOL BOTTOMING OUT IN THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S. USED A BLEND OF MODELS FOR TEMPERATURE
FORECAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
SATURDAY BEGINS WITH HIGH PRESSURE IN PLACE OVER NEW ENGLAND. HIGH
PRESSURE SLOWLY SLIDES OFF SHORE ON SUNDAY AS RETURN FLOW SETS UP
OVER THE CWA. PERSISTENT SOUTHWEST FLOW ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY WILL
ALLOW HIGH TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB TO AROUND 10F TO 15F DEGREES
WARMER THAN NORMAL. SOME LOCATIONS OVER EXTREME SOUTHERN PORTIONS
OF THE CWA MAY EVEN BREAK 90F. A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL MOVE
THROUGH LATE TUESDAY AND EARLY WEDNESDAY. WHILE IT WILL BRING SOME
COOLER AND DRIER AIR INTO THE REGION...TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN
ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SHORT TERM...MVFR IN ANY SCATTERED EARLY EVENING SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS OVER SOUTHERN AREAS EARLY THIS EVENING...OTHERWISE
VFR. SOME VALLEY FOG IN THE CONNECTICUT RIVER VALLEY EXPECTED
LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY PRODUCING LIFR CONDITIONS.

LONG TERM...EXPECT MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS WITH SOME AREAS OF FOG
DEVELOPING BOTH SUNDAY AND MONDAY NIGHTS. THE FOG MAY GENERATE
SOME IFR/LIFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES BOTH OF THOSE NIGHTS.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...WINDS AND SEAS TO REMAIN SCA LEVELS THROUGH FRIDAY
NIGHT.

LONG TERM...NO FLAGS EXPECTED.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM UPDATE... KIMBLE



000
FXUS61 KGYX 032021
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
421 PM EDT THU SEP 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION AND WILL PUSH
OFFSHORE THIS EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH FROM CANADA
FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY AND THEN MOVE OFFSHORE SATURDAY NIGHT. THE
HIGH WILL REMAIN ANCHORED OFF THE COAST INTO MIDWEEK AND ALLOW
FOR JULY-LIKE WEATHER SUNDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /TONIGHT/...
415PM UPDATE...
CONVERGENT LINE WHICH HAS PRODUCED THE MAJORITY OF THE SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS PUSHED TOWARD THE COAST... COLLIDING
WITH THE SEA BREEZE AS IT HAS DONE SO. ANY REMAINING ACTIVITY WILL
BE SCATTERED AND PUSHING OFFSHORE THIS EVENING. MORE ACTIVITY
STILL POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
HAVE ADJUSTED THE HOURLY PRECIPITATION CHANCES TO REFLECT EXPECTED
TIMING AND CONFIDENCE OF PRECIPITATION.

ORIGINAL DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH OF THE REGION BY THIS EVENING
BRINGING AN END TO THE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER
SOUTHERN AREAS..SOME BRIEF HEAVY RAINS AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE
WITH A FEW OF THE STORMS. SKIES WILL CLEAR FROM NORTH TO SOUTH BY
LATER TONIGHT. PATCHY VALLEY FOG IS EXPECTED IN THE CONNECTICUT
RIVER VALLEY ONCE AGAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
COOLER TONIGHT WITH LOWERING DEWPOINTS AS WELL AS THE CANADIAN AIR
MASS SLOWLY ADVECTS SOUTH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT/...
ALL MODELS LATCH ONTO A LARGE SURFACE/UPPER RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE THAT SETTLES OVER THE AREA FRIDAY WITH SUNNY
SKIES...COMFORTABLE TEMPERATURES AND LOW HUMIDITIES. FRIDAY NIGHT
CALM WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES WILL ALLOW RADIATIONAL COOLING TO TAKE
PLACE ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO BE RATHER COOL BOTTOMING OUT IN THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S. USED A BLEND OF MODELS FOR TEMPERATURE
FORECAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
SATURDAY BEGINS WITH HIGH PRESSURE IN PLACE OVER NEW ENGLAND. HIGH
PRESSURE SLOWLY SLIDES OFF SHORE ON SUNDAY AS RETURN FLOW SETS UP
OVER THE CWA. PERSISTENT SOUTHWEST FLOW ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY WILL
ALLOW HIGH TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB TO AROUND 10F TO 15F DEGREES
WARMER THAN NORMAL. SOME LOCATIONS OVER EXTREME SOUTHERN PORTIONS
OF THE CWA MAY EVEN BREAK 90F. A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL MOVE
THROUGH LATE TUESDAY AND EARLY WEDNESDAY. WHILE IT WILL BRING SOME
COOLER AND DRIER AIR INTO THE REGION...TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN
ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SHORT TERM...MVFR IN ANY SCATTERED EARLY EVENING SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS OVER SOUTHERN AREAS EARLY THIS EVENING...OTHERWISE
VFR. SOME VALLEY FOG IN THE CONNECTICUT RIVER VALLEY EXPECTED
LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY PRODUCING LIFR CONDITIONS.

LONG TERM...EXPECT MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS WITH SOME AREAS OF FOG
DEVELOPING BOTH SUNDAY AND MONDAY NIGHTS. THE FOG MAY GENERATE
SOME IFR/LIFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES BOTH OF THOSE NIGHTS.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...WINDS AND SEAS TO REMAIN SCA LEVELS THROUGH FRIDAY
NIGHT.

LONG TERM...NO FLAGS EXPECTED.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM UPDATE... KIMBLE




000
FXUS61 KGYX 032021
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
421 PM EDT THU SEP 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION AND WILL PUSH
OFFSHORE THIS EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH FROM CANADA
FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY AND THEN MOVE OFFSHORE SATURDAY NIGHT. THE
HIGH WILL REMAIN ANCHORED OFF THE COAST INTO MIDWEEK AND ALLOW
FOR JULY-LIKE WEATHER SUNDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /TONIGHT/...
415PM UPDATE...
CONVERGENT LINE WHICH HAS PRODUCED THE MAJORITY OF THE SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS PUSHED TOWARD THE COAST... COLLIDING
WITH THE SEA BREEZE AS IT HAS DONE SO. ANY REMAINING ACTIVITY WILL
BE SCATTERED AND PUSHING OFFSHORE THIS EVENING. MORE ACTIVITY
STILL POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
HAVE ADJUSTED THE HOURLY PRECIPITATION CHANCES TO REFLECT EXPECTED
TIMING AND CONFIDENCE OF PRECIPITATION.

ORIGINAL DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH OF THE REGION BY THIS EVENING
BRINGING AN END TO THE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER
SOUTHERN AREAS..SOME BRIEF HEAVY RAINS AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE
WITH A FEW OF THE STORMS. SKIES WILL CLEAR FROM NORTH TO SOUTH BY
LATER TONIGHT. PATCHY VALLEY FOG IS EXPECTED IN THE CONNECTICUT
RIVER VALLEY ONCE AGAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
COOLER TONIGHT WITH LOWERING DEWPOINTS AS WELL AS THE CANADIAN AIR
MASS SLOWLY ADVECTS SOUTH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT/...
ALL MODELS LATCH ONTO A LARGE SURFACE/UPPER RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE THAT SETTLES OVER THE AREA FRIDAY WITH SUNNY
SKIES...COMFORTABLE TEMPERATURES AND LOW HUMIDITIES. FRIDAY NIGHT
CALM WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES WILL ALLOW RADIATIONAL COOLING TO TAKE
PLACE ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO BE RATHER COOL BOTTOMING OUT IN THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S. USED A BLEND OF MODELS FOR TEMPERATURE
FORECAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
SATURDAY BEGINS WITH HIGH PRESSURE IN PLACE OVER NEW ENGLAND. HIGH
PRESSURE SLOWLY SLIDES OFF SHORE ON SUNDAY AS RETURN FLOW SETS UP
OVER THE CWA. PERSISTENT SOUTHWEST FLOW ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY WILL
ALLOW HIGH TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB TO AROUND 10F TO 15F DEGREES
WARMER THAN NORMAL. SOME LOCATIONS OVER EXTREME SOUTHERN PORTIONS
OF THE CWA MAY EVEN BREAK 90F. A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL MOVE
THROUGH LATE TUESDAY AND EARLY WEDNESDAY. WHILE IT WILL BRING SOME
COOLER AND DRIER AIR INTO THE REGION...TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN
ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SHORT TERM...MVFR IN ANY SCATTERED EARLY EVENING SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS OVER SOUTHERN AREAS EARLY THIS EVENING...OTHERWISE
VFR. SOME VALLEY FOG IN THE CONNECTICUT RIVER VALLEY EXPECTED
LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY PRODUCING LIFR CONDITIONS.

LONG TERM...EXPECT MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS WITH SOME AREAS OF FOG
DEVELOPING BOTH SUNDAY AND MONDAY NIGHTS. THE FOG MAY GENERATE
SOME IFR/LIFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES BOTH OF THOSE NIGHTS.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...WINDS AND SEAS TO REMAIN SCA LEVELS THROUGH FRIDAY
NIGHT.

LONG TERM...NO FLAGS EXPECTED.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM UPDATE... KIMBLE



000
FXUS61 KGYX 032021
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
421 PM EDT THU SEP 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION AND WILL PUSH
OFFSHORE THIS EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH FROM CANADA
FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY AND THEN MOVE OFFSHORE SATURDAY NIGHT. THE
HIGH WILL REMAIN ANCHORED OFF THE COAST INTO MIDWEEK AND ALLOW
FOR JULY-LIKE WEATHER SUNDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /TONIGHT/...
415PM UPDATE...
CONVERGENT LINE WHICH HAS PRODUCED THE MAJORITY OF THE SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS PUSHED TOWARD THE COAST... COLLIDING
WITH THE SEA BREEZE AS IT HAS DONE SO. ANY REMAINING ACTIVITY WILL
BE SCATTERED AND PUSHING OFFSHORE THIS EVENING. MORE ACTIVITY
STILL POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
HAVE ADJUSTED THE HOURLY PRECIPITATION CHANCES TO REFLECT EXPECTED
TIMING AND CONFIDENCE OF PRECIPITATION.

ORIGINAL DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH OF THE REGION BY THIS EVENING
BRINGING AN END TO THE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER
SOUTHERN AREAS..SOME BRIEF HEAVY RAINS AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE
WITH A FEW OF THE STORMS. SKIES WILL CLEAR FROM NORTH TO SOUTH BY
LATER TONIGHT. PATCHY VALLEY FOG IS EXPECTED IN THE CONNECTICUT
RIVER VALLEY ONCE AGAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
COOLER TONIGHT WITH LOWERING DEWPOINTS AS WELL AS THE CANADIAN AIR
MASS SLOWLY ADVECTS SOUTH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT/...
ALL MODELS LATCH ONTO A LARGE SURFACE/UPPER RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE THAT SETTLES OVER THE AREA FRIDAY WITH SUNNY
SKIES...COMFORTABLE TEMPERATURES AND LOW HUMIDITIES. FRIDAY NIGHT
CALM WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES WILL ALLOW RADIATIONAL COOLING TO TAKE
PLACE ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO BE RATHER COOL BOTTOMING OUT IN THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S. USED A BLEND OF MODELS FOR TEMPERATURE
FORECAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
SATURDAY BEGINS WITH HIGH PRESSURE IN PLACE OVER NEW ENGLAND. HIGH
PRESSURE SLOWLY SLIDES OFF SHORE ON SUNDAY AS RETURN FLOW SETS UP
OVER THE CWA. PERSISTENT SOUTHWEST FLOW ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY WILL
ALLOW HIGH TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB TO AROUND 10F TO 15F DEGREES
WARMER THAN NORMAL. SOME LOCATIONS OVER EXTREME SOUTHERN PORTIONS
OF THE CWA MAY EVEN BREAK 90F. A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL MOVE
THROUGH LATE TUESDAY AND EARLY WEDNESDAY. WHILE IT WILL BRING SOME
COOLER AND DRIER AIR INTO THE REGION...TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN
ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SHORT TERM...MVFR IN ANY SCATTERED EARLY EVENING SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS OVER SOUTHERN AREAS EARLY THIS EVENING...OTHERWISE
VFR. SOME VALLEY FOG IN THE CONNECTICUT RIVER VALLEY EXPECTED
LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY PRODUCING LIFR CONDITIONS.

LONG TERM...EXPECT MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS WITH SOME AREAS OF FOG
DEVELOPING BOTH SUNDAY AND MONDAY NIGHTS. THE FOG MAY GENERATE
SOME IFR/LIFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES BOTH OF THOSE NIGHTS.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...WINDS AND SEAS TO REMAIN SCA LEVELS THROUGH FRIDAY
NIGHT.

LONG TERM...NO FLAGS EXPECTED.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM UPDATE... KIMBLE



  [top]

000
FXUS61 KCAR 032001
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
401 PM EDT THU SEP 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS TONIGHT AND FRIDAY WITH MUCH LOWER
HUMIDITY. THE HIGH WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA THROUGH LABOR DAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH ACROSS OUR CWA TONIGHT AND
TOMORROW. DRIER AND LESS HUMID CONDITIONS ALONG WITH CLEAR
SKIES WILL ACCOMPANY THIS HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM. TEMPERATURES WILL
BE COOLER WITH LOWS IN THE 40S FOR MANY AREAS TONIGHT. HIGHS ON
FRIDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST OVER THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT THEN
MOVE TO THE SOUTH OF THE STATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. EXPECT A MUCH
DRIER AIR MASS IN PLACE DURING THIS PERIOD WITH COOLER
TEMPERATURE. DO NOT EXPECT ANY PRECIPITATION THIS PERIOD. FOR
TEMPERATURE WILL INITIALIZE WITH THE SUPER BLEND BUT WILL LOWER
MINIMUM TEMPERATURE FRIDAY NIGHT AS RADIATIONAL COOLING IS
EXPECTED WITH THE STRONG HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM BEGINNING TO CREST
OVER THE REGION.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
A WARM FRONT MOVING UP THE ST. LAWRENCE VALLEY MAY TRIGGER SOME
SHWRS ACROSS THE FAR NORTHERN CWA SUN NIGHT. NOT SEEING MUCH IN
THE WAY OF INSTABILITY AS OF NOW, SO KEPT IT SHWRS. LOOKS LIKE
MEMORIAL DAY WILL BE WARM AND DRY FOR MUCH OF THE AREA, BUT DID
MAINTAIN SLIGHT CHC OF SHWRS FOR FAR NORTHERN AREAS DUE TO
PROXIMITY OF SFC FEATURES JUST TO THE NORTH. CAN`T RULE OUT A FEW
TSTMS TUESDAY PM AS THE NEXT UPPER TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE
WEST. THEN PUSH THROUGH THE NEXT COOL FRONT NEXT THURS, WITH MORE
SHWRS AND POSSIBLE TSTMS.

OVERALL, GFS IS MUCH MORE PROGRESSIVE THAN ECMWF, AND CANADIAN IS
SOMEWHERE IN BETWEEN - BUT THE CANADIAN ALSO SPINS UP A
COASTAL/TROPICAL LOW LATE IN ITS RUN, SO IT WASN`T STRONGLY
CONSIDERED. IN GENERAL ANY EDITS TO POPS AND PRECIP TIMING WERE
MADE IN THE DIRECTION OF THE ECMWF.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA
THROUGH FRIDAY.

SHORT TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN CONCERN ACROSS THE COASTAL
WATERS TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW. THE WINDS WILL INITIALLY START OUT
FROM THE WEST...THEN VEER NORTH AND EVENTUALLY
EAST/NORTHEAST...AND THEN STRENGTHEN LATE TONIGHT. WINDS COULD
BECOME GUSTY LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING...THEN DECREASE
DURING THE DAY ON FRIDAY. WAVES SHOULD REMAIN SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
CRITERIA...MAINLY FROM 1 TO 3 FT.

SHORT TERM: FOR WINDS WILL USE A 50/50 BLEND OF THE NAM AND GFS.
EXPECT LIGHT DIMINISHING WINDS FRIDAY NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS OVER THE WATERS THEN WINDS WILL SHIFT INTO THE SOUTHWEST
AND INCREASE AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES TO THE SOUTH. FOR WAVES: WITH
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE WATERS SATURDAY EXPECT PRIMARY
WAVE SYSTEM TO BE SOUTHEAST LONG PERIOD SWELL (AROUND 1 FOOT/11
SECONDS). AS SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS INCREASE SUNDAY ON THE BACK SIDE
OF HIGH PRESSURE WIND WAVE (AROUND 2 FEET/5 SECONDS) WILL BECOME
PRIMARY WAVE SYSTEM.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...BERDES
SHORT TERM...MIGNONE
LONG TERM...KREDENSOR
AVIATION...BERDES/MIGNONE
MARINE...BERDES/MIGNONE




000
FXUS61 KCAR 032001
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
401 PM EDT THU SEP 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS TONIGHT AND FRIDAY WITH MUCH LOWER
HUMIDITY. THE HIGH WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA THROUGH LABOR DAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH ACROSS OUR CWA TONIGHT AND
TOMORROW. DRIER AND LESS HUMID CONDITIONS ALONG WITH CLEAR
SKIES WILL ACCOMPANY THIS HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM. TEMPERATURES WILL
BE COOLER WITH LOWS IN THE 40S FOR MANY AREAS TONIGHT. HIGHS ON
FRIDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST OVER THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT THEN
MOVE TO THE SOUTH OF THE STATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. EXPECT A MUCH
DRIER AIR MASS IN PLACE DURING THIS PERIOD WITH COOLER
TEMPERATURE. DO NOT EXPECT ANY PRECIPITATION THIS PERIOD. FOR
TEMPERATURE WILL INITIALIZE WITH THE SUPER BLEND BUT WILL LOWER
MINIMUM TEMPERATURE FRIDAY NIGHT AS RADIATIONAL COOLING IS
EXPECTED WITH THE STRONG HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM BEGINNING TO CREST
OVER THE REGION.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
A WARM FRONT MOVING UP THE ST. LAWRENCE VALLEY MAY TRIGGER SOME
SHWRS ACROSS THE FAR NORTHERN CWA SUN NIGHT. NOT SEEING MUCH IN
THE WAY OF INSTABILITY AS OF NOW, SO KEPT IT SHWRS. LOOKS LIKE
MEMORIAL DAY WILL BE WARM AND DRY FOR MUCH OF THE AREA, BUT DID
MAINTAIN SLIGHT CHC OF SHWRS FOR FAR NORTHERN AREAS DUE TO
PROXIMITY OF SFC FEATURES JUST TO THE NORTH. CAN`T RULE OUT A FEW
TSTMS TUESDAY PM AS THE NEXT UPPER TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE
WEST. THEN PUSH THROUGH THE NEXT COOL FRONT NEXT THURS, WITH MORE
SHWRS AND POSSIBLE TSTMS.

OVERALL, GFS IS MUCH MORE PROGRESSIVE THAN ECMWF, AND CANADIAN IS
SOMEWHERE IN BETWEEN - BUT THE CANADIAN ALSO SPINS UP A
COASTAL/TROPICAL LOW LATE IN ITS RUN, SO IT WASN`T STRONGLY
CONSIDERED. IN GENERAL ANY EDITS TO POPS AND PRECIP TIMING WERE
MADE IN THE DIRECTION OF THE ECMWF.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA
THROUGH FRIDAY.

SHORT TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN CONCERN ACROSS THE COASTAL
WATERS TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW. THE WINDS WILL INITIALLY START OUT
FROM THE WEST...THEN VEER NORTH AND EVENTUALLY
EAST/NORTHEAST...AND THEN STRENGTHEN LATE TONIGHT. WINDS COULD
BECOME GUSTY LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING...THEN DECREASE
DURING THE DAY ON FRIDAY. WAVES SHOULD REMAIN SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
CRITERIA...MAINLY FROM 1 TO 3 FT.

SHORT TERM: FOR WINDS WILL USE A 50/50 BLEND OF THE NAM AND GFS.
EXPECT LIGHT DIMINISHING WINDS FRIDAY NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS OVER THE WATERS THEN WINDS WILL SHIFT INTO THE SOUTHWEST
AND INCREASE AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES TO THE SOUTH. FOR WAVES: WITH
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE WATERS SATURDAY EXPECT PRIMARY
WAVE SYSTEM TO BE SOUTHEAST LONG PERIOD SWELL (AROUND 1 FOOT/11
SECONDS). AS SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS INCREASE SUNDAY ON THE BACK SIDE
OF HIGH PRESSURE WIND WAVE (AROUND 2 FEET/5 SECONDS) WILL BECOME
PRIMARY WAVE SYSTEM.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...BERDES
SHORT TERM...MIGNONE
LONG TERM...KREDENSOR
AVIATION...BERDES/MIGNONE
MARINE...BERDES/MIGNONE



000
FXUS61 KCAR 032001
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
401 PM EDT THU SEP 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS TONIGHT AND FRIDAY WITH MUCH LOWER
HUMIDITY. THE HIGH WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA THROUGH LABOR DAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH ACROSS OUR CWA TONIGHT AND
TOMORROW. DRIER AND LESS HUMID CONDITIONS ALONG WITH CLEAR
SKIES WILL ACCOMPANY THIS HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM. TEMPERATURES WILL
BE COOLER WITH LOWS IN THE 40S FOR MANY AREAS TONIGHT. HIGHS ON
FRIDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST OVER THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT THEN
MOVE TO THE SOUTH OF THE STATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. EXPECT A MUCH
DRIER AIR MASS IN PLACE DURING THIS PERIOD WITH COOLER
TEMPERATURE. DO NOT EXPECT ANY PRECIPITATION THIS PERIOD. FOR
TEMPERATURE WILL INITIALIZE WITH THE SUPER BLEND BUT WILL LOWER
MINIMUM TEMPERATURE FRIDAY NIGHT AS RADIATIONAL COOLING IS
EXPECTED WITH THE STRONG HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM BEGINNING TO CREST
OVER THE REGION.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
A WARM FRONT MOVING UP THE ST. LAWRENCE VALLEY MAY TRIGGER SOME
SHWRS ACROSS THE FAR NORTHERN CWA SUN NIGHT. NOT SEEING MUCH IN
THE WAY OF INSTABILITY AS OF NOW, SO KEPT IT SHWRS. LOOKS LIKE
MEMORIAL DAY WILL BE WARM AND DRY FOR MUCH OF THE AREA, BUT DID
MAINTAIN SLIGHT CHC OF SHWRS FOR FAR NORTHERN AREAS DUE TO
PROXIMITY OF SFC FEATURES JUST TO THE NORTH. CAN`T RULE OUT A FEW
TSTMS TUESDAY PM AS THE NEXT UPPER TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE
WEST. THEN PUSH THROUGH THE NEXT COOL FRONT NEXT THURS, WITH MORE
SHWRS AND POSSIBLE TSTMS.

OVERALL, GFS IS MUCH MORE PROGRESSIVE THAN ECMWF, AND CANADIAN IS
SOMEWHERE IN BETWEEN - BUT THE CANADIAN ALSO SPINS UP A
COASTAL/TROPICAL LOW LATE IN ITS RUN, SO IT WASN`T STRONGLY
CONSIDERED. IN GENERAL ANY EDITS TO POPS AND PRECIP TIMING WERE
MADE IN THE DIRECTION OF THE ECMWF.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA
THROUGH FRIDAY.

SHORT TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN CONCERN ACROSS THE COASTAL
WATERS TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW. THE WINDS WILL INITIALLY START OUT
FROM THE WEST...THEN VEER NORTH AND EVENTUALLY
EAST/NORTHEAST...AND THEN STRENGTHEN LATE TONIGHT. WINDS COULD
BECOME GUSTY LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING...THEN DECREASE
DURING THE DAY ON FRIDAY. WAVES SHOULD REMAIN SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
CRITERIA...MAINLY FROM 1 TO 3 FT.

SHORT TERM: FOR WINDS WILL USE A 50/50 BLEND OF THE NAM AND GFS.
EXPECT LIGHT DIMINISHING WINDS FRIDAY NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS OVER THE WATERS THEN WINDS WILL SHIFT INTO THE SOUTHWEST
AND INCREASE AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES TO THE SOUTH. FOR WAVES: WITH
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE WATERS SATURDAY EXPECT PRIMARY
WAVE SYSTEM TO BE SOUTHEAST LONG PERIOD SWELL (AROUND 1 FOOT/11
SECONDS). AS SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS INCREASE SUNDAY ON THE BACK SIDE
OF HIGH PRESSURE WIND WAVE (AROUND 2 FEET/5 SECONDS) WILL BECOME
PRIMARY WAVE SYSTEM.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...BERDES
SHORT TERM...MIGNONE
LONG TERM...KREDENSOR
AVIATION...BERDES/MIGNONE
MARINE...BERDES/MIGNONE




000
FXUS61 KGYX 031840
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
240 PM EDT THU SEP 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION AND WILL PUSH
OFFSHORE THIS EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH FROM CANADA
FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY AND THEN MOVE OFFSHORE SATURDAY NIGHT. THE
HIGH WILL REMAIN ANCHORED OFF THE COAST INTO MIDWEEK AND ALLOW
FOR JULY-LIKE WEATHER SUNDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH OF THE REGION BY THIS EVENING
BRINGING AN END TO THE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER
SOUTHERN AREAS..SOME BRIEF HEAVY RAINS AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE
WITH A FEW OF THE STORMS. SKIES WILL CLEAR FROM NORTH TO SOUTH BY
LATER TONIGHT. PATCHY VALLEY FOG IS EXPECTED IN THE CT RIVER
VALLEY ONCE AGAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOLER
TONIGHT WITH LOWERING DEWPOINTS AS WELL AS THE CANADIAN AIR MASS
SLOWLY ADVECTS SOUTH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
ALL MODELS LATCH ONTO A LARGE SURFACE/UPPER RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE THAT SETTLES OVER THE AREA FRI WITH SUNNY SKIES...COMFORTABLE
TEMPERATURES AND LOW HUMIDITIES. FRI NIGHT CALM WINDS AND CLEAR
SKIES WILL ALLOW RADIATIONAL COOLING TO TAKE PLACE ALLOWING
TEMPERATURES TO BE RATHER COOL BOTTOMING OUT IN THE UPPER 40S TO
LOWER 50S. USED A BLEND OF MODELS FOR TEMPERATURE FORECAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
SATURDAY BEGINS WITH HIGH PRESSURE IN PLACE OVER NEW ENGLAND. HIGH
PRESSURE SLOWLY SLIDES OFF SHORE ON SUNDAY AS RETURN FLOW SETS UP
OVER THE CWA. PERSISTENT SOUTHWEST FLOW ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY WILL
ALLOW HIGH TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB TO AROUND 10F TO 15F DEGREES
WARMER THAN NORMAL. SOME LOCATIONS OVER EXTREME SOUTHERN PORTIONS
OF THE CWA MAY EVEN BREAK 90F. A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL MOVE
THROUGH LATE TUESDAY AND EARLY WEDNESDAY. WHILE IT WILL BRING SOME
COOLER AND DRIER AIR INTO THE REGION...TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN
ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SHORT TERM...MVFR IN ANY SCATTERED EARLY EVENING SHOWERS/TSTORMS
OVER SOUTHERN AREAS EARLY THIS EVENING...OTHERWISE VFR. SOME
VALLEY FOG IN THE CT RIVER VALLEY EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY
FRI PRODUCING LIFR CONDITIONS.

LONG TERM...EXPECT MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS WITH SOME AREAS OF FOG
DEVELOPING BOTH SUNDAY AND MONDAY NIGHTS. THE FOG MAY GENERATE
SOME IFR/LIFR CIGS AND VSBYS BOTH OF THOSE NIGHTS.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...WINDS AND SEAS TO REMAIN SCA LEVELS THROUGH FRI
NIGHT.

LONG TERM...NO FLAGS EXPECTED.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

MARINE/POHL



000
FXUS61 KGYX 031840
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
240 PM EDT THU SEP 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION AND WILL PUSH
OFFSHORE THIS EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH FROM CANADA
FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY AND THEN MOVE OFFSHORE SATURDAY NIGHT. THE
HIGH WILL REMAIN ANCHORED OFF THE COAST INTO MIDWEEK AND ALLOW
FOR JULY-LIKE WEATHER SUNDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH OF THE REGION BY THIS EVENING
BRINGING AN END TO THE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER
SOUTHERN AREAS..SOME BRIEF HEAVY RAINS AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE
WITH A FEW OF THE STORMS. SKIES WILL CLEAR FROM NORTH TO SOUTH BY
LATER TONIGHT. PATCHY VALLEY FOG IS EXPECTED IN THE CT RIVER
VALLEY ONCE AGAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOLER
TONIGHT WITH LOWERING DEWPOINTS AS WELL AS THE CANADIAN AIR MASS
SLOWLY ADVECTS SOUTH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
ALL MODELS LATCH ONTO A LARGE SURFACE/UPPER RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE THAT SETTLES OVER THE AREA FRI WITH SUNNY SKIES...COMFORTABLE
TEMPERATURES AND LOW HUMIDITIES. FRI NIGHT CALM WINDS AND CLEAR
SKIES WILL ALLOW RADIATIONAL COOLING TO TAKE PLACE ALLOWING
TEMPERATURES TO BE RATHER COOL BOTTOMING OUT IN THE UPPER 40S TO
LOWER 50S. USED A BLEND OF MODELS FOR TEMPERATURE FORECAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
SATURDAY BEGINS WITH HIGH PRESSURE IN PLACE OVER NEW ENGLAND. HIGH
PRESSURE SLOWLY SLIDES OFF SHORE ON SUNDAY AS RETURN FLOW SETS UP
OVER THE CWA. PERSISTENT SOUTHWEST FLOW ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY WILL
ALLOW HIGH TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB TO AROUND 10F TO 15F DEGREES
WARMER THAN NORMAL. SOME LOCATIONS OVER EXTREME SOUTHERN PORTIONS
OF THE CWA MAY EVEN BREAK 90F. A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL MOVE
THROUGH LATE TUESDAY AND EARLY WEDNESDAY. WHILE IT WILL BRING SOME
COOLER AND DRIER AIR INTO THE REGION...TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN
ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SHORT TERM...MVFR IN ANY SCATTERED EARLY EVENING SHOWERS/TSTORMS
OVER SOUTHERN AREAS EARLY THIS EVENING...OTHERWISE VFR. SOME
VALLEY FOG IN THE CT RIVER VALLEY EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY
FRI PRODUCING LIFR CONDITIONS.

LONG TERM...EXPECT MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS WITH SOME AREAS OF FOG
DEVELOPING BOTH SUNDAY AND MONDAY NIGHTS. THE FOG MAY GENERATE
SOME IFR/LIFR CIGS AND VSBYS BOTH OF THOSE NIGHTS.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...WINDS AND SEAS TO REMAIN SCA LEVELS THROUGH FRI
NIGHT.

LONG TERM...NO FLAGS EXPECTED.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

MARINE/POHL




000
FXUS61 KGYX 031840
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
240 PM EDT THU SEP 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION AND WILL PUSH
OFFSHORE THIS EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH FROM CANADA
FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY AND THEN MOVE OFFSHORE SATURDAY NIGHT. THE
HIGH WILL REMAIN ANCHORED OFF THE COAST INTO MIDWEEK AND ALLOW
FOR JULY-LIKE WEATHER SUNDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH OF THE REGION BY THIS EVENING
BRINGING AN END TO THE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER
SOUTHERN AREAS..SOME BRIEF HEAVY RAINS AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE
WITH A FEW OF THE STORMS. SKIES WILL CLEAR FROM NORTH TO SOUTH BY
LATER TONIGHT. PATCHY VALLEY FOG IS EXPECTED IN THE CT RIVER
VALLEY ONCE AGAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOLER
TONIGHT WITH LOWERING DEWPOINTS AS WELL AS THE CANADIAN AIR MASS
SLOWLY ADVECTS SOUTH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
ALL MODELS LATCH ONTO A LARGE SURFACE/UPPER RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE THAT SETTLES OVER THE AREA FRI WITH SUNNY SKIES...COMFORTABLE
TEMPERATURES AND LOW HUMIDITIES. FRI NIGHT CALM WINDS AND CLEAR
SKIES WILL ALLOW RADIATIONAL COOLING TO TAKE PLACE ALLOWING
TEMPERATURES TO BE RATHER COOL BOTTOMING OUT IN THE UPPER 40S TO
LOWER 50S. USED A BLEND OF MODELS FOR TEMPERATURE FORECAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
SATURDAY BEGINS WITH HIGH PRESSURE IN PLACE OVER NEW ENGLAND. HIGH
PRESSURE SLOWLY SLIDES OFF SHORE ON SUNDAY AS RETURN FLOW SETS UP
OVER THE CWA. PERSISTENT SOUTHWEST FLOW ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY WILL
ALLOW HIGH TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB TO AROUND 10F TO 15F DEGREES
WARMER THAN NORMAL. SOME LOCATIONS OVER EXTREME SOUTHERN PORTIONS
OF THE CWA MAY EVEN BREAK 90F. A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL MOVE
THROUGH LATE TUESDAY AND EARLY WEDNESDAY. WHILE IT WILL BRING SOME
COOLER AND DRIER AIR INTO THE REGION...TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN
ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SHORT TERM...MVFR IN ANY SCATTERED EARLY EVENING SHOWERS/TSTORMS
OVER SOUTHERN AREAS EARLY THIS EVENING...OTHERWISE VFR. SOME
VALLEY FOG IN THE CT RIVER VALLEY EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY
FRI PRODUCING LIFR CONDITIONS.

LONG TERM...EXPECT MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS WITH SOME AREAS OF FOG
DEVELOPING BOTH SUNDAY AND MONDAY NIGHTS. THE FOG MAY GENERATE
SOME IFR/LIFR CIGS AND VSBYS BOTH OF THOSE NIGHTS.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...WINDS AND SEAS TO REMAIN SCA LEVELS THROUGH FRI
NIGHT.

LONG TERM...NO FLAGS EXPECTED.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

MARINE/POHL




000
FXUS61 KGYX 031840
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
240 PM EDT THU SEP 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION AND WILL PUSH
OFFSHORE THIS EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH FROM CANADA
FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY AND THEN MOVE OFFSHORE SATURDAY NIGHT. THE
HIGH WILL REMAIN ANCHORED OFF THE COAST INTO MIDWEEK AND ALLOW
FOR JULY-LIKE WEATHER SUNDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH OF THE REGION BY THIS EVENING
BRINGING AN END TO THE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER
SOUTHERN AREAS..SOME BRIEF HEAVY RAINS AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE
WITH A FEW OF THE STORMS. SKIES WILL CLEAR FROM NORTH TO SOUTH BY
LATER TONIGHT. PATCHY VALLEY FOG IS EXPECTED IN THE CT RIVER
VALLEY ONCE AGAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOLER
TONIGHT WITH LOWERING DEWPOINTS AS WELL AS THE CANADIAN AIR MASS
SLOWLY ADVECTS SOUTH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
ALL MODELS LATCH ONTO A LARGE SURFACE/UPPER RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE THAT SETTLES OVER THE AREA FRI WITH SUNNY SKIES...COMFORTABLE
TEMPERATURES AND LOW HUMIDITIES. FRI NIGHT CALM WINDS AND CLEAR
SKIES WILL ALLOW RADIATIONAL COOLING TO TAKE PLACE ALLOWING
TEMPERATURES TO BE RATHER COOL BOTTOMING OUT IN THE UPPER 40S TO
LOWER 50S. USED A BLEND OF MODELS FOR TEMPERATURE FORECAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
SATURDAY BEGINS WITH HIGH PRESSURE IN PLACE OVER NEW ENGLAND. HIGH
PRESSURE SLOWLY SLIDES OFF SHORE ON SUNDAY AS RETURN FLOW SETS UP
OVER THE CWA. PERSISTENT SOUTHWEST FLOW ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY WILL
ALLOW HIGH TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB TO AROUND 10F TO 15F DEGREES
WARMER THAN NORMAL. SOME LOCATIONS OVER EXTREME SOUTHERN PORTIONS
OF THE CWA MAY EVEN BREAK 90F. A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL MOVE
THROUGH LATE TUESDAY AND EARLY WEDNESDAY. WHILE IT WILL BRING SOME
COOLER AND DRIER AIR INTO THE REGION...TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN
ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SHORT TERM...MVFR IN ANY SCATTERED EARLY EVENING SHOWERS/TSTORMS
OVER SOUTHERN AREAS EARLY THIS EVENING...OTHERWISE VFR. SOME
VALLEY FOG IN THE CT RIVER VALLEY EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY
FRI PRODUCING LIFR CONDITIONS.

LONG TERM...EXPECT MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS WITH SOME AREAS OF FOG
DEVELOPING BOTH SUNDAY AND MONDAY NIGHTS. THE FOG MAY GENERATE
SOME IFR/LIFR CIGS AND VSBYS BOTH OF THOSE NIGHTS.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...WINDS AND SEAS TO REMAIN SCA LEVELS THROUGH FRI
NIGHT.

LONG TERM...NO FLAGS EXPECTED.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

MARINE/POHL



000
FXUS61 KGYX 031335
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
935 AM EDT THU SEP 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION TODAY AND WILL
PUSH OFFSHORE THIS EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH FROM
CANADA FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE
SATURDAY NIGHT AND WILL REMAIN ANCHORED OFF THE COAST INTO MIDWEEK
AND ALLOW FOR JULY-LIKE WEATHER SUNDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
930 AM UPDATE: A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS MOVING THROUGH NORTHERN NH AT
THIS TIME OTHERWISE ONLY SOME CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH A COLD FRONT
THAT IS DROPPING SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION. WITH SOME DIURNAL
HEATING LAPSE RATES SHOULD SUFFICE IN DEVELOPING SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND EVEN AN ISOLATED TSTORM OR TWO DURING THE AFTERNOON. SO WITH
THIS THINKING FEELING IS TO LEAVE THE POPS IN PLACE AS PER
PREVIOUS FORECAST. ONLY MINOR TWEAKS THAT WERE MADE WAS THE CLOUD
GRIDS TO INDICATE A LITTLE MORE SUN FOR THE REST OF THE MORNING
OVER SOUTHERN AREAS AND ALSO ADJUSMTENTS TO TEMPERATURE GRIDS
ACCOUNTING FOR A SLOWER WARMING THIS MORNING OVER NORTHERN/CENTRAL
AREAS OF FA WHERE THERE WERE CLOUDS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION:
WEAK COLD FRONT DROPPING SOUTH FROM CANADA PRODUCING SOME ISOLATED
CONVECTION EARLY THIS MORNING ACROSS NORTHERN NEW YORK BUT THIS
ACTIVITY QUICKLY DIMINISHING AS IT HEADS INTO NORTHERN ZONES. THIS
BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE TO SAG SOUTH THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS
PRODUCING A FEW SHOWERS AND EXPECT CONVECTION TO REDEVELOP ACROSS
CENTRAL AND SOUTH PORTIONS OF NEW HAMPSHIRE AND SOUTHWEST MAINE AS
HEATING PICKS UP LATER TODAY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY EVENING IN SOUTHERN ZONES BEFORE
DIMINISHING WITH LOSS OF HEATING. HIGH TEMPS WILL RANGE FROM THE
UPPER 70S NORTH TO THE UPPER 80S SOUTH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
EXPECT CLOUDS TO PERSIST ACROSS SOUTHWEST ZONES THROUGH MUCH OF
THE NIGHT ALONG WITH A FEW WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS BEFORE
MIDNIGHT. REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA SHOULD SEE CLEARING SKIES
AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTH. LOWS WILL RANGE FROM
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S NORTH AND UPPER 50S TO MID 60S SOUTH.

SKIES WILL GRADUALLY CLEAR ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE ON FRIDAY
AS HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD IN FROM THE NORTH. WILL SEE A
MUCH COOLER AND LESS HUMID DAY WITH HIGHS RANGING THROUGH THE 70S.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE CENTERED OVERHEAD FRIDAY NIGHT. CLEAR AND
CALM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. THIS SHOULD LEAD TO PLENTY OF
LOCALLY DENSE VALLEY FOG. THE HIGH MOVES OFF TO THE SOUTH DURING
THE DAY ON SATURDAY ALLOWING FOR THE START OF ANOTHER WARMING
TREND. WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW AROUND THE HIGH WILL PERSIST THROUGH
AT LEAST TUESDAY AND LIKELY ALLOW FOR TEMPERATURES WELL ABOVE
NORMAL SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S WILL BE
POSSIBLE IN SPOTS MONDAY AND TUESDAY. THIS HEAT MAY VERY WELL LAST
INTO WEDNESDAY BEFORE A COLD FRONT POSSIBLY MOVES IN AND COOLS US
OFF. CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY LOOK
VERY LOW...WITH PERHAPS A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS BY TUESDAY OR WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /14Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...AREAS OF IFR/LIFR CIGS/VSBY IN MORNING VALLEY
FOG...OTHERWISE VFR.

LONG TERM...LOCALLY DENSE LATE NIGHT/EARLY MORNING VALLEY FOG
LIKELY FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. OTHERWISE...MAINLY
VFR WITH HIGH PRESSURE IN CONTROL.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...BRIEF PERIOD OF NORTHEASTERLY SCA WINDS MAY DEVELOP
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT BEFORE DROPPING OFF FRIDAY MORNING. THIS MAY
ALLOW SEAS TO BUILD CLOSE TO 5 FT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHERN
MARINE ZONES.

LONG TERM...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE IN CONTROL FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK ALLOWING FOR SUB-SCA CONDITIONS.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$




000
FXUS61 KGYX 031335
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
935 AM EDT THU SEP 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION TODAY AND WILL
PUSH OFFSHORE THIS EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH FROM
CANADA FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE
SATURDAY NIGHT AND WILL REMAIN ANCHORED OFF THE COAST INTO MIDWEEK
AND ALLOW FOR JULY-LIKE WEATHER SUNDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
930 AM UPDATE: A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS MOVING THROUGH NORTHERN NH AT
THIS TIME OTHERWISE ONLY SOME CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH A COLD FRONT
THAT IS DROPPING SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION. WITH SOME DIURNAL
HEATING LAPSE RATES SHOULD SUFFICE IN DEVELOPING SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND EVEN AN ISOLATED TSTORM OR TWO DURING THE AFTERNOON. SO WITH
THIS THINKING FEELING IS TO LEAVE THE POPS IN PLACE AS PER
PREVIOUS FORECAST. ONLY MINOR TWEAKS THAT WERE MADE WAS THE CLOUD
GRIDS TO INDICATE A LITTLE MORE SUN FOR THE REST OF THE MORNING
OVER SOUTHERN AREAS AND ALSO ADJUSMTENTS TO TEMPERATURE GRIDS
ACCOUNTING FOR A SLOWER WARMING THIS MORNING OVER NORTHERN/CENTRAL
AREAS OF FA WHERE THERE WERE CLOUDS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION:
WEAK COLD FRONT DROPPING SOUTH FROM CANADA PRODUCING SOME ISOLATED
CONVECTION EARLY THIS MORNING ACROSS NORTHERN NEW YORK BUT THIS
ACTIVITY QUICKLY DIMINISHING AS IT HEADS INTO NORTHERN ZONES. THIS
BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE TO SAG SOUTH THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS
PRODUCING A FEW SHOWERS AND EXPECT CONVECTION TO REDEVELOP ACROSS
CENTRAL AND SOUTH PORTIONS OF NEW HAMPSHIRE AND SOUTHWEST MAINE AS
HEATING PICKS UP LATER TODAY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY EVENING IN SOUTHERN ZONES BEFORE
DIMINISHING WITH LOSS OF HEATING. HIGH TEMPS WILL RANGE FROM THE
UPPER 70S NORTH TO THE UPPER 80S SOUTH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
EXPECT CLOUDS TO PERSIST ACROSS SOUTHWEST ZONES THROUGH MUCH OF
THE NIGHT ALONG WITH A FEW WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS BEFORE
MIDNIGHT. REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA SHOULD SEE CLEARING SKIES
AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTH. LOWS WILL RANGE FROM
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S NORTH AND UPPER 50S TO MID 60S SOUTH.

SKIES WILL GRADUALLY CLEAR ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE ON FRIDAY
AS HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD IN FROM THE NORTH. WILL SEE A
MUCH COOLER AND LESS HUMID DAY WITH HIGHS RANGING THROUGH THE 70S.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE CENTERED OVERHEAD FRIDAY NIGHT. CLEAR AND
CALM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. THIS SHOULD LEAD TO PLENTY OF
LOCALLY DENSE VALLEY FOG. THE HIGH MOVES OFF TO THE SOUTH DURING
THE DAY ON SATURDAY ALLOWING FOR THE START OF ANOTHER WARMING
TREND. WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW AROUND THE HIGH WILL PERSIST THROUGH
AT LEAST TUESDAY AND LIKELY ALLOW FOR TEMPERATURES WELL ABOVE
NORMAL SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S WILL BE
POSSIBLE IN SPOTS MONDAY AND TUESDAY. THIS HEAT MAY VERY WELL LAST
INTO WEDNESDAY BEFORE A COLD FRONT POSSIBLY MOVES IN AND COOLS US
OFF. CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY LOOK
VERY LOW...WITH PERHAPS A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS BY TUESDAY OR WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /14Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...AREAS OF IFR/LIFR CIGS/VSBY IN MORNING VALLEY
FOG...OTHERWISE VFR.

LONG TERM...LOCALLY DENSE LATE NIGHT/EARLY MORNING VALLEY FOG
LIKELY FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. OTHERWISE...MAINLY
VFR WITH HIGH PRESSURE IN CONTROL.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...BRIEF PERIOD OF NORTHEASTERLY SCA WINDS MAY DEVELOP
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT BEFORE DROPPING OFF FRIDAY MORNING. THIS MAY
ALLOW SEAS TO BUILD CLOSE TO 5 FT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHERN
MARINE ZONES.

LONG TERM...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE IN CONTROL FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK ALLOWING FOR SUB-SCA CONDITIONS.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$





000
FXUS61 KGYX 031335
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
935 AM EDT THU SEP 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION TODAY AND WILL
PUSH OFFSHORE THIS EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH FROM
CANADA FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE
SATURDAY NIGHT AND WILL REMAIN ANCHORED OFF THE COAST INTO MIDWEEK
AND ALLOW FOR JULY-LIKE WEATHER SUNDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
930 AM UPDATE: A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS MOVING THROUGH NORTHERN NH AT
THIS TIME OTHERWISE ONLY SOME CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH A COLD FRONT
THAT IS DROPPING SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION. WITH SOME DIURNAL
HEATING LAPSE RATES SHOULD SUFFICE IN DEVELOPING SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND EVEN AN ISOLATED TSTORM OR TWO DURING THE AFTERNOON. SO WITH
THIS THINKING FEELING IS TO LEAVE THE POPS IN PLACE AS PER
PREVIOUS FORECAST. ONLY MINOR TWEAKS THAT WERE MADE WAS THE CLOUD
GRIDS TO INDICATE A LITTLE MORE SUN FOR THE REST OF THE MORNING
OVER SOUTHERN AREAS AND ALSO ADJUSMTENTS TO TEMPERATURE GRIDS
ACCOUNTING FOR A SLOWER WARMING THIS MORNING OVER NORTHERN/CENTRAL
AREAS OF FA WHERE THERE WERE CLOUDS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION:
WEAK COLD FRONT DROPPING SOUTH FROM CANADA PRODUCING SOME ISOLATED
CONVECTION EARLY THIS MORNING ACROSS NORTHERN NEW YORK BUT THIS
ACTIVITY QUICKLY DIMINISHING AS IT HEADS INTO NORTHERN ZONES. THIS
BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE TO SAG SOUTH THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS
PRODUCING A FEW SHOWERS AND EXPECT CONVECTION TO REDEVELOP ACROSS
CENTRAL AND SOUTH PORTIONS OF NEW HAMPSHIRE AND SOUTHWEST MAINE AS
HEATING PICKS UP LATER TODAY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY EVENING IN SOUTHERN ZONES BEFORE
DIMINISHING WITH LOSS OF HEATING. HIGH TEMPS WILL RANGE FROM THE
UPPER 70S NORTH TO THE UPPER 80S SOUTH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
EXPECT CLOUDS TO PERSIST ACROSS SOUTHWEST ZONES THROUGH MUCH OF
THE NIGHT ALONG WITH A FEW WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS BEFORE
MIDNIGHT. REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA SHOULD SEE CLEARING SKIES
AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTH. LOWS WILL RANGE FROM
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S NORTH AND UPPER 50S TO MID 60S SOUTH.

SKIES WILL GRADUALLY CLEAR ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE ON FRIDAY
AS HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD IN FROM THE NORTH. WILL SEE A
MUCH COOLER AND LESS HUMID DAY WITH HIGHS RANGING THROUGH THE 70S.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE CENTERED OVERHEAD FRIDAY NIGHT. CLEAR AND
CALM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. THIS SHOULD LEAD TO PLENTY OF
LOCALLY DENSE VALLEY FOG. THE HIGH MOVES OFF TO THE SOUTH DURING
THE DAY ON SATURDAY ALLOWING FOR THE START OF ANOTHER WARMING
TREND. WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW AROUND THE HIGH WILL PERSIST THROUGH
AT LEAST TUESDAY AND LIKELY ALLOW FOR TEMPERATURES WELL ABOVE
NORMAL SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S WILL BE
POSSIBLE IN SPOTS MONDAY AND TUESDAY. THIS HEAT MAY VERY WELL LAST
INTO WEDNESDAY BEFORE A COLD FRONT POSSIBLY MOVES IN AND COOLS US
OFF. CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY LOOK
VERY LOW...WITH PERHAPS A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS BY TUESDAY OR WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /14Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...AREAS OF IFR/LIFR CIGS/VSBY IN MORNING VALLEY
FOG...OTHERWISE VFR.

LONG TERM...LOCALLY DENSE LATE NIGHT/EARLY MORNING VALLEY FOG
LIKELY FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. OTHERWISE...MAINLY
VFR WITH HIGH PRESSURE IN CONTROL.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...BRIEF PERIOD OF NORTHEASTERLY SCA WINDS MAY DEVELOP
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT BEFORE DROPPING OFF FRIDAY MORNING. THIS MAY
ALLOW SEAS TO BUILD CLOSE TO 5 FT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHERN
MARINE ZONES.

LONG TERM...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE IN CONTROL FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK ALLOWING FOR SUB-SCA CONDITIONS.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$




000
FXUS61 KGYX 031335
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
935 AM EDT THU SEP 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION TODAY AND WILL
PUSH OFFSHORE THIS EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH FROM
CANADA FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE
SATURDAY NIGHT AND WILL REMAIN ANCHORED OFF THE COAST INTO MIDWEEK
AND ALLOW FOR JULY-LIKE WEATHER SUNDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
930 AM UPDATE: A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS MOVING THROUGH NORTHERN NH AT
THIS TIME OTHERWISE ONLY SOME CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH A COLD FRONT
THAT IS DROPPING SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION. WITH SOME DIURNAL
HEATING LAPSE RATES SHOULD SUFFICE IN DEVELOPING SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND EVEN AN ISOLATED TSTORM OR TWO DURING THE AFTERNOON. SO WITH
THIS THINKING FEELING IS TO LEAVE THE POPS IN PLACE AS PER
PREVIOUS FORECAST. ONLY MINOR TWEAKS THAT WERE MADE WAS THE CLOUD
GRIDS TO INDICATE A LITTLE MORE SUN FOR THE REST OF THE MORNING
OVER SOUTHERN AREAS AND ALSO ADJUSMTENTS TO TEMPERATURE GRIDS
ACCOUNTING FOR A SLOWER WARMING THIS MORNING OVER NORTHERN/CENTRAL
AREAS OF FA WHERE THERE WERE CLOUDS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION:
WEAK COLD FRONT DROPPING SOUTH FROM CANADA PRODUCING SOME ISOLATED
CONVECTION EARLY THIS MORNING ACROSS NORTHERN NEW YORK BUT THIS
ACTIVITY QUICKLY DIMINISHING AS IT HEADS INTO NORTHERN ZONES. THIS
BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE TO SAG SOUTH THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS
PRODUCING A FEW SHOWERS AND EXPECT CONVECTION TO REDEVELOP ACROSS
CENTRAL AND SOUTH PORTIONS OF NEW HAMPSHIRE AND SOUTHWEST MAINE AS
HEATING PICKS UP LATER TODAY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY EVENING IN SOUTHERN ZONES BEFORE
DIMINISHING WITH LOSS OF HEATING. HIGH TEMPS WILL RANGE FROM THE
UPPER 70S NORTH TO THE UPPER 80S SOUTH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
EXPECT CLOUDS TO PERSIST ACROSS SOUTHWEST ZONES THROUGH MUCH OF
THE NIGHT ALONG WITH A FEW WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS BEFORE
MIDNIGHT. REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA SHOULD SEE CLEARING SKIES
AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTH. LOWS WILL RANGE FROM
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S NORTH AND UPPER 50S TO MID 60S SOUTH.

SKIES WILL GRADUALLY CLEAR ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE ON FRIDAY
AS HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD IN FROM THE NORTH. WILL SEE A
MUCH COOLER AND LESS HUMID DAY WITH HIGHS RANGING THROUGH THE 70S.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE CENTERED OVERHEAD FRIDAY NIGHT. CLEAR AND
CALM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. THIS SHOULD LEAD TO PLENTY OF
LOCALLY DENSE VALLEY FOG. THE HIGH MOVES OFF TO THE SOUTH DURING
THE DAY ON SATURDAY ALLOWING FOR THE START OF ANOTHER WARMING
TREND. WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW AROUND THE HIGH WILL PERSIST THROUGH
AT LEAST TUESDAY AND LIKELY ALLOW FOR TEMPERATURES WELL ABOVE
NORMAL SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S WILL BE
POSSIBLE IN SPOTS MONDAY AND TUESDAY. THIS HEAT MAY VERY WELL LAST
INTO WEDNESDAY BEFORE A COLD FRONT POSSIBLY MOVES IN AND COOLS US
OFF. CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY LOOK
VERY LOW...WITH PERHAPS A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS BY TUESDAY OR WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /14Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...AREAS OF IFR/LIFR CIGS/VSBY IN MORNING VALLEY
FOG...OTHERWISE VFR.

LONG TERM...LOCALLY DENSE LATE NIGHT/EARLY MORNING VALLEY FOG
LIKELY FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. OTHERWISE...MAINLY
VFR WITH HIGH PRESSURE IN CONTROL.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...BRIEF PERIOD OF NORTHEASTERLY SCA WINDS MAY DEVELOP
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT BEFORE DROPPING OFF FRIDAY MORNING. THIS MAY
ALLOW SEAS TO BUILD CLOSE TO 5 FT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHERN
MARINE ZONES.

LONG TERM...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE IN CONTROL FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK ALLOWING FOR SUB-SCA CONDITIONS.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$





000
FXUS61 KCAR 031307
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
907 AM EDT THU SEP 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS TODAY AND FRIDAY WITH MUCH LOWER
HUMIDITY. THE HIGH WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA THROUGH LABOR DAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
9AM UPDATE...COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO SINK SOUTH ACROSS THE CWA
TODAY...BRINGING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS/STORMS TO SOUTHERN PORTIONS
OF OUR CWA. FARTHER NORTH A COOLER AND DRIER AIRMASS ASSOCIATED
WITH CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY SPREAD SOUTH ACROSS OUR
FCST AREA. HAVE UPDATED TEMPS/SKY/WIND TO BETTER MATCH CURRENT
CONDITIONS. ALSO INCREASED HIGHS FOR TODAY BY A DEGREE OR TWO
BASED ON CURRENT TEMPS.

6AM UPDATE...THE COLD FRONT CURRENTLY RESIDES IN NORTHERN
AROOSTOOK AND REMAINS ON TRACK TO PUSH THROUGH THE AREA THIS
MORNING.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
THE COLD FRONT IS STILL NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA AT THIS
TIME...BUT WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THIS MORNING. THE
FRONT WILL BRING SHARPLY LOWER HUMIDITY AND TEMPERATURES. DEW
POINTS WILL EVENTUALLY DROP SOME 20 TO 25 DEGREES FROM READINGS
MEASURED TONIGHT. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE LOWER 70S TOWARDS THE CROWN
OF MAINE AND RETURN TO THE LOWER 80S FOR BANGOR AND DOWN EAST AS
THE COOLER AIR WILL TAKE SOME TIME TO ADVECT TO THE SOUTHERN PARTS
OF THE FORECAST AREA. CLOUDINESS ASSOCIATED WITH THE COLD FRONT
WILL STEADILY PUSH SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE DAY WITH THE SAINT JOHN
VALLEY EXPERIENCING SUNSHINE THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY...WHILE
CLEARING WILL REACH THE COAST IN THE AFTERNOON. THERE WILL BE SOME
RESIDUAL INSTABILITY WITH THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY TOWARDS THE COAST
THIS AFTERNOON AND HAVE SPECIFIED A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS FOR
COASTAL HANCOCK AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON...BUT MOST
OF THE ACTION WILL BE IN SOUTHERN MAINE. THE COOL AND DRY AIR
MASS WILL SETTLE ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA TONIGHT WITH A TASTE OF
FALL AS TEMPERATURES DROP INTO THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. THIS WILL BE
THE FIRST TIME LOWS HAVE DROPPED INTO THE 40S AT CARIBOU SINCE MID
JULY. A FEW READINGS IN THE UPPER 30S CANNOT BE RULED OUT IN THE
ALLAGASH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
1025MB SFC HIPRES BUILDS INTO THE AREA BY FRI MRNG AND REIGNS
SUPREME THRU THE WEEKEND. MAX TEMPS WL LKLY BE BLO NORMAL ON FRIDAY
IN WAKE OF FRONTAL PASSAGE WITH INTERIOR DOWNEAST CREEPING INTO THE
LWR 70S AND NRN ZONES STUCK IN THE 60S.

H5 RIDGING EXPECTED TO BUILD IN BY SAT MRNG WITH 590 HEIGHTS CNTRD
OVR THE GREEN/WHITE MTNS. THIS WL HOLD TIGHT THRU THE END OF THE
SHORT TERM BFR WVS EJECTING TWD CWA FM UPR LOW OVR PRAIRIE PROVINCES
SERVE TO FLATTEN RIDGE. TEMPS WL MODERATE THRU THE WEEKEND WITH ABV
NRML MAXES PROGGED.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
FRONTAL BNDRY WL BE LURKING NORTH OF CWA ON MONDAY WITH AN ISOLD
SHOWER AND/OR SPRINKLE ACRS NRN ZONES AT BEST. FRONT WL DRIFT
SOUTH ON TUE AND FRCG ASSOC WITH S/WVS ROTATING THRU IN SW FLOW
ALONG WITH DIURNAL HTG WL RESULT IN CHC FOR SHRA/TSRA MAINLY NORTH
OF DOWNEAST AREAS. CWA WL BE IN BETWEEN SYSTEMS ON WED AND HV
LOWERED POPS TO JUST SLGT CHC. BETTER CHC OF SHOWERS WL EXIST ON
THURSDAY AHD OF FRONTAL BNDRY.

&&

.AVIATION /13Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: MVFR VIS AND SOME PATCHY STRATUS WILL QUICKLY MOVE OUT
OF THE AREA EARLY THIS MORNING. THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD WILL
BE VFR.

SHORT TERM: VFR THROUGH MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: FOG IS PUSHING EASTWARD AWAY FROM THE WATERS EARLY THIS
MORNING AND WILL BE GONE LATER THIS MORNING. NORTH WINDS WILL
INCREASE TOWARDS 20 KTS TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...BUT DO NOT ANTICIPATE
AN SCA AT THIS TIME.

SHORT TERM: WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
CRITERIA THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...BERDES
SHORT TERM...FARRAR
LONG TERM...FARRAR
AVIATION...BERDES/FARRAR
MARINE...BERDES/FARRAR



000
FXUS61 KCAR 031307
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
907 AM EDT THU SEP 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS TODAY AND FRIDAY WITH MUCH LOWER
HUMIDITY. THE HIGH WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA THROUGH LABOR DAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
9AM UPDATE...COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO SINK SOUTH ACROSS THE CWA
TODAY...BRINGING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS/STORMS TO SOUTHERN PORTIONS
OF OUR CWA. FARTHER NORTH A COOLER AND DRIER AIRMASS ASSOCIATED
WITH CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY SPREAD SOUTH ACROSS OUR
FCST AREA. HAVE UPDATED TEMPS/SKY/WIND TO BETTER MATCH CURRENT
CONDITIONS. ALSO INCREASED HIGHS FOR TODAY BY A DEGREE OR TWO
BASED ON CURRENT TEMPS.

6AM UPDATE...THE COLD FRONT CURRENTLY RESIDES IN NORTHERN
AROOSTOOK AND REMAINS ON TRACK TO PUSH THROUGH THE AREA THIS
MORNING.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
THE COLD FRONT IS STILL NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA AT THIS
TIME...BUT WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THIS MORNING. THE
FRONT WILL BRING SHARPLY LOWER HUMIDITY AND TEMPERATURES. DEW
POINTS WILL EVENTUALLY DROP SOME 20 TO 25 DEGREES FROM READINGS
MEASURED TONIGHT. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE LOWER 70S TOWARDS THE CROWN
OF MAINE AND RETURN TO THE LOWER 80S FOR BANGOR AND DOWN EAST AS
THE COOLER AIR WILL TAKE SOME TIME TO ADVECT TO THE SOUTHERN PARTS
OF THE FORECAST AREA. CLOUDINESS ASSOCIATED WITH THE COLD FRONT
WILL STEADILY PUSH SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE DAY WITH THE SAINT JOHN
VALLEY EXPERIENCING SUNSHINE THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY...WHILE
CLEARING WILL REACH THE COAST IN THE AFTERNOON. THERE WILL BE SOME
RESIDUAL INSTABILITY WITH THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY TOWARDS THE COAST
THIS AFTERNOON AND HAVE SPECIFIED A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS FOR
COASTAL HANCOCK AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON...BUT MOST
OF THE ACTION WILL BE IN SOUTHERN MAINE. THE COOL AND DRY AIR
MASS WILL SETTLE ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA TONIGHT WITH A TASTE OF
FALL AS TEMPERATURES DROP INTO THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. THIS WILL BE
THE FIRST TIME LOWS HAVE DROPPED INTO THE 40S AT CARIBOU SINCE MID
JULY. A FEW READINGS IN THE UPPER 30S CANNOT BE RULED OUT IN THE
ALLAGASH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
1025MB SFC HIPRES BUILDS INTO THE AREA BY FRI MRNG AND REIGNS
SUPREME THRU THE WEEKEND. MAX TEMPS WL LKLY BE BLO NORMAL ON FRIDAY
IN WAKE OF FRONTAL PASSAGE WITH INTERIOR DOWNEAST CREEPING INTO THE
LWR 70S AND NRN ZONES STUCK IN THE 60S.

H5 RIDGING EXPECTED TO BUILD IN BY SAT MRNG WITH 590 HEIGHTS CNTRD
OVR THE GREEN/WHITE MTNS. THIS WL HOLD TIGHT THRU THE END OF THE
SHORT TERM BFR WVS EJECTING TWD CWA FM UPR LOW OVR PRAIRIE PROVINCES
SERVE TO FLATTEN RIDGE. TEMPS WL MODERATE THRU THE WEEKEND WITH ABV
NRML MAXES PROGGED.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
FRONTAL BNDRY WL BE LURKING NORTH OF CWA ON MONDAY WITH AN ISOLD
SHOWER AND/OR SPRINKLE ACRS NRN ZONES AT BEST. FRONT WL DRIFT
SOUTH ON TUE AND FRCG ASSOC WITH S/WVS ROTATING THRU IN SW FLOW
ALONG WITH DIURNAL HTG WL RESULT IN CHC FOR SHRA/TSRA MAINLY NORTH
OF DOWNEAST AREAS. CWA WL BE IN BETWEEN SYSTEMS ON WED AND HV
LOWERED POPS TO JUST SLGT CHC. BETTER CHC OF SHOWERS WL EXIST ON
THURSDAY AHD OF FRONTAL BNDRY.

&&

.AVIATION /13Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: MVFR VIS AND SOME PATCHY STRATUS WILL QUICKLY MOVE OUT
OF THE AREA EARLY THIS MORNING. THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD WILL
BE VFR.

SHORT TERM: VFR THROUGH MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: FOG IS PUSHING EASTWARD AWAY FROM THE WATERS EARLY THIS
MORNING AND WILL BE GONE LATER THIS MORNING. NORTH WINDS WILL
INCREASE TOWARDS 20 KTS TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...BUT DO NOT ANTICIPATE
AN SCA AT THIS TIME.

SHORT TERM: WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
CRITERIA THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...BERDES
SHORT TERM...FARRAR
LONG TERM...FARRAR
AVIATION...BERDES/FARRAR
MARINE...BERDES/FARRAR




000
FXUS61 KCAR 031307
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
907 AM EDT THU SEP 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS TODAY AND FRIDAY WITH MUCH LOWER
HUMIDITY. THE HIGH WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA THROUGH LABOR DAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
9AM UPDATE...COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO SINK SOUTH ACROSS THE CWA
TODAY...BRINGING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS/STORMS TO SOUTHERN PORTIONS
OF OUR CWA. FARTHER NORTH A COOLER AND DRIER AIRMASS ASSOCIATED
WITH CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY SPREAD SOUTH ACROSS OUR
FCST AREA. HAVE UPDATED TEMPS/SKY/WIND TO BETTER MATCH CURRENT
CONDITIONS. ALSO INCREASED HIGHS FOR TODAY BY A DEGREE OR TWO
BASED ON CURRENT TEMPS.

6AM UPDATE...THE COLD FRONT CURRENTLY RESIDES IN NORTHERN
AROOSTOOK AND REMAINS ON TRACK TO PUSH THROUGH THE AREA THIS
MORNING.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
THE COLD FRONT IS STILL NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA AT THIS
TIME...BUT WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THIS MORNING. THE
FRONT WILL BRING SHARPLY LOWER HUMIDITY AND TEMPERATURES. DEW
POINTS WILL EVENTUALLY DROP SOME 20 TO 25 DEGREES FROM READINGS
MEASURED TONIGHT. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE LOWER 70S TOWARDS THE CROWN
OF MAINE AND RETURN TO THE LOWER 80S FOR BANGOR AND DOWN EAST AS
THE COOLER AIR WILL TAKE SOME TIME TO ADVECT TO THE SOUTHERN PARTS
OF THE FORECAST AREA. CLOUDINESS ASSOCIATED WITH THE COLD FRONT
WILL STEADILY PUSH SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE DAY WITH THE SAINT JOHN
VALLEY EXPERIENCING SUNSHINE THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY...WHILE
CLEARING WILL REACH THE COAST IN THE AFTERNOON. THERE WILL BE SOME
RESIDUAL INSTABILITY WITH THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY TOWARDS THE COAST
THIS AFTERNOON AND HAVE SPECIFIED A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS FOR
COASTAL HANCOCK AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON...BUT MOST
OF THE ACTION WILL BE IN SOUTHERN MAINE. THE COOL AND DRY AIR
MASS WILL SETTLE ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA TONIGHT WITH A TASTE OF
FALL AS TEMPERATURES DROP INTO THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. THIS WILL BE
THE FIRST TIME LOWS HAVE DROPPED INTO THE 40S AT CARIBOU SINCE MID
JULY. A FEW READINGS IN THE UPPER 30S CANNOT BE RULED OUT IN THE
ALLAGASH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
1025MB SFC HIPRES BUILDS INTO THE AREA BY FRI MRNG AND REIGNS
SUPREME THRU THE WEEKEND. MAX TEMPS WL LKLY BE BLO NORMAL ON FRIDAY
IN WAKE OF FRONTAL PASSAGE WITH INTERIOR DOWNEAST CREEPING INTO THE
LWR 70S AND NRN ZONES STUCK IN THE 60S.

H5 RIDGING EXPECTED TO BUILD IN BY SAT MRNG WITH 590 HEIGHTS CNTRD
OVR THE GREEN/WHITE MTNS. THIS WL HOLD TIGHT THRU THE END OF THE
SHORT TERM BFR WVS EJECTING TWD CWA FM UPR LOW OVR PRAIRIE PROVINCES
SERVE TO FLATTEN RIDGE. TEMPS WL MODERATE THRU THE WEEKEND WITH ABV
NRML MAXES PROGGED.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
FRONTAL BNDRY WL BE LURKING NORTH OF CWA ON MONDAY WITH AN ISOLD
SHOWER AND/OR SPRINKLE ACRS NRN ZONES AT BEST. FRONT WL DRIFT
SOUTH ON TUE AND FRCG ASSOC WITH S/WVS ROTATING THRU IN SW FLOW
ALONG WITH DIURNAL HTG WL RESULT IN CHC FOR SHRA/TSRA MAINLY NORTH
OF DOWNEAST AREAS. CWA WL BE IN BETWEEN SYSTEMS ON WED AND HV
LOWERED POPS TO JUST SLGT CHC. BETTER CHC OF SHOWERS WL EXIST ON
THURSDAY AHD OF FRONTAL BNDRY.

&&

.AVIATION /13Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: MVFR VIS AND SOME PATCHY STRATUS WILL QUICKLY MOVE OUT
OF THE AREA EARLY THIS MORNING. THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD WILL
BE VFR.

SHORT TERM: VFR THROUGH MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: FOG IS PUSHING EASTWARD AWAY FROM THE WATERS EARLY THIS
MORNING AND WILL BE GONE LATER THIS MORNING. NORTH WINDS WILL
INCREASE TOWARDS 20 KTS TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...BUT DO NOT ANTICIPATE
AN SCA AT THIS TIME.

SHORT TERM: WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
CRITERIA THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...BERDES
SHORT TERM...FARRAR
LONG TERM...FARRAR
AVIATION...BERDES/FARRAR
MARINE...BERDES/FARRAR



000
FXUS61 KCAR 031307
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
907 AM EDT THU SEP 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS TODAY AND FRIDAY WITH MUCH LOWER
HUMIDITY. THE HIGH WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA THROUGH LABOR DAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
9AM UPDATE...COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO SINK SOUTH ACROSS THE CWA
TODAY...BRINGING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS/STORMS TO SOUTHERN PORTIONS
OF OUR CWA. FARTHER NORTH A COOLER AND DRIER AIRMASS ASSOCIATED
WITH CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY SPREAD SOUTH ACROSS OUR
FCST AREA. HAVE UPDATED TEMPS/SKY/WIND TO BETTER MATCH CURRENT
CONDITIONS. ALSO INCREASED HIGHS FOR TODAY BY A DEGREE OR TWO
BASED ON CURRENT TEMPS.

6AM UPDATE...THE COLD FRONT CURRENTLY RESIDES IN NORTHERN
AROOSTOOK AND REMAINS ON TRACK TO PUSH THROUGH THE AREA THIS
MORNING.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
THE COLD FRONT IS STILL NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA AT THIS
TIME...BUT WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THIS MORNING. THE
FRONT WILL BRING SHARPLY LOWER HUMIDITY AND TEMPERATURES. DEW
POINTS WILL EVENTUALLY DROP SOME 20 TO 25 DEGREES FROM READINGS
MEASURED TONIGHT. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE LOWER 70S TOWARDS THE CROWN
OF MAINE AND RETURN TO THE LOWER 80S FOR BANGOR AND DOWN EAST AS
THE COOLER AIR WILL TAKE SOME TIME TO ADVECT TO THE SOUTHERN PARTS
OF THE FORECAST AREA. CLOUDINESS ASSOCIATED WITH THE COLD FRONT
WILL STEADILY PUSH SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE DAY WITH THE SAINT JOHN
VALLEY EXPERIENCING SUNSHINE THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY...WHILE
CLEARING WILL REACH THE COAST IN THE AFTERNOON. THERE WILL BE SOME
RESIDUAL INSTABILITY WITH THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY TOWARDS THE COAST
THIS AFTERNOON AND HAVE SPECIFIED A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS FOR
COASTAL HANCOCK AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON...BUT MOST
OF THE ACTION WILL BE IN SOUTHERN MAINE. THE COOL AND DRY AIR
MASS WILL SETTLE ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA TONIGHT WITH A TASTE OF
FALL AS TEMPERATURES DROP INTO THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. THIS WILL BE
THE FIRST TIME LOWS HAVE DROPPED INTO THE 40S AT CARIBOU SINCE MID
JULY. A FEW READINGS IN THE UPPER 30S CANNOT BE RULED OUT IN THE
ALLAGASH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
1025MB SFC HIPRES BUILDS INTO THE AREA BY FRI MRNG AND REIGNS
SUPREME THRU THE WEEKEND. MAX TEMPS WL LKLY BE BLO NORMAL ON FRIDAY
IN WAKE OF FRONTAL PASSAGE WITH INTERIOR DOWNEAST CREEPING INTO THE
LWR 70S AND NRN ZONES STUCK IN THE 60S.

H5 RIDGING EXPECTED TO BUILD IN BY SAT MRNG WITH 590 HEIGHTS CNTRD
OVR THE GREEN/WHITE MTNS. THIS WL HOLD TIGHT THRU THE END OF THE
SHORT TERM BFR WVS EJECTING TWD CWA FM UPR LOW OVR PRAIRIE PROVINCES
SERVE TO FLATTEN RIDGE. TEMPS WL MODERATE THRU THE WEEKEND WITH ABV
NRML MAXES PROGGED.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
FRONTAL BNDRY WL BE LURKING NORTH OF CWA ON MONDAY WITH AN ISOLD
SHOWER AND/OR SPRINKLE ACRS NRN ZONES AT BEST. FRONT WL DRIFT
SOUTH ON TUE AND FRCG ASSOC WITH S/WVS ROTATING THRU IN SW FLOW
ALONG WITH DIURNAL HTG WL RESULT IN CHC FOR SHRA/TSRA MAINLY NORTH
OF DOWNEAST AREAS. CWA WL BE IN BETWEEN SYSTEMS ON WED AND HV
LOWERED POPS TO JUST SLGT CHC. BETTER CHC OF SHOWERS WL EXIST ON
THURSDAY AHD OF FRONTAL BNDRY.

&&

.AVIATION /13Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: MVFR VIS AND SOME PATCHY STRATUS WILL QUICKLY MOVE OUT
OF THE AREA EARLY THIS MORNING. THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD WILL
BE VFR.

SHORT TERM: VFR THROUGH MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: FOG IS PUSHING EASTWARD AWAY FROM THE WATERS EARLY THIS
MORNING AND WILL BE GONE LATER THIS MORNING. NORTH WINDS WILL
INCREASE TOWARDS 20 KTS TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...BUT DO NOT ANTICIPATE
AN SCA AT THIS TIME.

SHORT TERM: WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
CRITERIA THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...BERDES
SHORT TERM...FARRAR
LONG TERM...FARRAR
AVIATION...BERDES/FARRAR
MARINE...BERDES/FARRAR




000
FXUS61 KCAR 031016
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
616 AM EDT THU SEP 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS TODAY AND FRIDAY WITH MUCH LOWER
HUMIDITY. THE HIGH WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA THROUGH LABOR DAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
6AM UPDATE...THE COLD FRONT CURRENTLY RESIDES IN NORTHERN
AROOSTOOK AND REMAINS ON TRACK TO PUSH THROUGH THE AREA THIS
MORNING.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
THE COLD FRONT IS STILL NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA AT THIS
TIME...BUT WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THIS MORNING. THE
FRONT WILL BRING SHARPLY LOWER HUMIDITY AND TEMPERATURES. DEW
POINTS WILL EVENTUALLY DROP SOME 20 TO 25 DEGREES FROM READINGS
MEASURED TONIGHT. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE LOWER 70S TOWARDS THE CROWN
OF MAINE AND RETURN TO THE LOWER 80S FOR BANGOR AND DOWN EAST AS
THE COOLER AIR WILL TAKE SOME TIME TO ADVECT TO THE SOUTHERN PARTS
OF THE FORECAST AREA. CLOUDINESS ASSOCIATED WITH THE COLD FRONT
WILL STEADILY PUSH SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE DAY WITH THE SAINT JOHN
VALLEY EXPERIENCING SUNSHINE THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY...WHILE
CLEARING WILL REACH THE COAST IN THE AFTERNOON. THERE WILL BE SOME
RESIDUAL INSTABILITY WITH THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY TOWARDS THE COAST
THIS AFTERNOON AND HAVE SPECIFIED A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS FOR
COASTAL HANCOCK AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON...BUT MOST
OF THE ACTION WILL BE IN SOUTHERN MAINE. THE COOL AND DRY AIR
MASS WILL SETTLE ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA TONIGHT WITH A TASTE OF
FALL AS TEMPERATURES DROP INTO THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. THIS WILL BE
THE FIRST TIME LOWS HAVE DROPPED INTO THE 40S AT CARIBOU SINCE MID
JULY. A FEW READINGS IN THE UPPER 30S CANNOT BE RULED OUT IN THE
ALLAGASH.
&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
1025MB SFC HIPRES BUILDS INTO THE AREA BY FRI MRNG AND REIGNS
SUPREME THRU THE WEEKEND. MAX TEMPS WL LKLY BE BLO NORMAL ON FRIDAY
IN WAKE OF FRONTAL PASSAGE WITH INTERIOR DOWNEAST CREEPING INTO THE
LWR 70S AND NRN ZONES STUCK IN THE 60S.

H5 RIDGING EXPECTED TO BUILD IN BY SAT MRNG WITH 590 HEIGHTS CNTRD
OVR THE GREEN/WHITE MTNS. THIS WL HOLD TIGHT THRU THE END OF THE
SHORT TERM BFR WVS EJECTING TWD CWA FM UPR LOW OVR PRAIRIE PROVINCES
SERVE TO FLATTEN RIDGE. TEMPS WL MODERATE THRU THE WEEKEND WITH ABV
NRML MAXES PROGGED.
&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
FRONTAL BNDRY WL BE LURKING NORTH OF CWA ON MONDAY WITH AN ISOLD
SHOWER AND/OR SPRINKLE ACRS NRN ZONES AT BEST. FRONT WL DRIFT
SOUTH ON TUE AND FRCG ASSOC WITH S/WVS ROTATING THRU IN SW FLOW
ALONG WITH DIURNAL HTG WL RESULT IN CHC FOR SHRA/TSRA MAINLY NORTH
OF DOWNEAST AREAS. CWA WL BE IN BETWEEN SYSTEMS ON WED AND HV
LOWERED POPS TO JUST SLGT CHC. BETTER CHC OF SHOWERS WL EXIST ON
THURSDAY AHD OF FRONTAL BNDRY.
&&

.AVIATION /10Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: MVFR VIS AND SOME PATCHY STRATUS WILL QUICKLY MOVE OUT
OF THE AREA EARLY THIS MORNING. THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD WILL
BE VFR.

SHORT TERM: VFR THROUGH MONDAY.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: FOG IS PUSHING EASTWARD AWAY FROM THE WATERS EARLY THIS
MORNING AND WILL BE GONE LATER THIS MORNING. NORTH WINDS WILL
INCREASE TOWARDS 20 KTS TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...BUT DO NOT ANTICIPATE
AN SCA AT THIS TIME.

SHORT TERM: WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
CRITERIA THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
&&
$$

NEAR TERM...MCW
SHORT TERM...FARRAR
LONG TERM...FARRAR
AVIATION...MCW/FARRAR
MARINE...MCW/FARRAR




000
FXUS61 KCAR 031016
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
616 AM EDT THU SEP 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS TODAY AND FRIDAY WITH MUCH LOWER
HUMIDITY. THE HIGH WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA THROUGH LABOR DAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
6AM UPDATE...THE COLD FRONT CURRENTLY RESIDES IN NORTHERN
AROOSTOOK AND REMAINS ON TRACK TO PUSH THROUGH THE AREA THIS
MORNING.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
THE COLD FRONT IS STILL NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA AT THIS
TIME...BUT WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THIS MORNING. THE
FRONT WILL BRING SHARPLY LOWER HUMIDITY AND TEMPERATURES. DEW
POINTS WILL EVENTUALLY DROP SOME 20 TO 25 DEGREES FROM READINGS
MEASURED TONIGHT. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE LOWER 70S TOWARDS THE CROWN
OF MAINE AND RETURN TO THE LOWER 80S FOR BANGOR AND DOWN EAST AS
THE COOLER AIR WILL TAKE SOME TIME TO ADVECT TO THE SOUTHERN PARTS
OF THE FORECAST AREA. CLOUDINESS ASSOCIATED WITH THE COLD FRONT
WILL STEADILY PUSH SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE DAY WITH THE SAINT JOHN
VALLEY EXPERIENCING SUNSHINE THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY...WHILE
CLEARING WILL REACH THE COAST IN THE AFTERNOON. THERE WILL BE SOME
RESIDUAL INSTABILITY WITH THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY TOWARDS THE COAST
THIS AFTERNOON AND HAVE SPECIFIED A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS FOR
COASTAL HANCOCK AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON...BUT MOST
OF THE ACTION WILL BE IN SOUTHERN MAINE. THE COOL AND DRY AIR
MASS WILL SETTLE ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA TONIGHT WITH A TASTE OF
FALL AS TEMPERATURES DROP INTO THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. THIS WILL BE
THE FIRST TIME LOWS HAVE DROPPED INTO THE 40S AT CARIBOU SINCE MID
JULY. A FEW READINGS IN THE UPPER 30S CANNOT BE RULED OUT IN THE
ALLAGASH.
&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
1025MB SFC HIPRES BUILDS INTO THE AREA BY FRI MRNG AND REIGNS
SUPREME THRU THE WEEKEND. MAX TEMPS WL LKLY BE BLO NORMAL ON FRIDAY
IN WAKE OF FRONTAL PASSAGE WITH INTERIOR DOWNEAST CREEPING INTO THE
LWR 70S AND NRN ZONES STUCK IN THE 60S.

H5 RIDGING EXPECTED TO BUILD IN BY SAT MRNG WITH 590 HEIGHTS CNTRD
OVR THE GREEN/WHITE MTNS. THIS WL HOLD TIGHT THRU THE END OF THE
SHORT TERM BFR WVS EJECTING TWD CWA FM UPR LOW OVR PRAIRIE PROVINCES
SERVE TO FLATTEN RIDGE. TEMPS WL MODERATE THRU THE WEEKEND WITH ABV
NRML MAXES PROGGED.
&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
FRONTAL BNDRY WL BE LURKING NORTH OF CWA ON MONDAY WITH AN ISOLD
SHOWER AND/OR SPRINKLE ACRS NRN ZONES AT BEST. FRONT WL DRIFT
SOUTH ON TUE AND FRCG ASSOC WITH S/WVS ROTATING THRU IN SW FLOW
ALONG WITH DIURNAL HTG WL RESULT IN CHC FOR SHRA/TSRA MAINLY NORTH
OF DOWNEAST AREAS. CWA WL BE IN BETWEEN SYSTEMS ON WED AND HV
LOWERED POPS TO JUST SLGT CHC. BETTER CHC OF SHOWERS WL EXIST ON
THURSDAY AHD OF FRONTAL BNDRY.
&&

.AVIATION /10Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: MVFR VIS AND SOME PATCHY STRATUS WILL QUICKLY MOVE OUT
OF THE AREA EARLY THIS MORNING. THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD WILL
BE VFR.

SHORT TERM: VFR THROUGH MONDAY.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: FOG IS PUSHING EASTWARD AWAY FROM THE WATERS EARLY THIS
MORNING AND WILL BE GONE LATER THIS MORNING. NORTH WINDS WILL
INCREASE TOWARDS 20 KTS TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...BUT DO NOT ANTICIPATE
AN SCA AT THIS TIME.

SHORT TERM: WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
CRITERIA THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
&&
$$

NEAR TERM...MCW
SHORT TERM...FARRAR
LONG TERM...FARRAR
AVIATION...MCW/FARRAR
MARINE...MCW/FARRAR



000
FXUS61 KCAR 030739
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
339 AM EDT THU SEP 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS TODAY AND FRIDAY WITH MUCH LOWER
HUMIDITY. THE HIGH WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA THROUGH LABOR DAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
THE COLD FRONT IS STILL NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA AT THIS
TIME...BUT WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THIS MORNING. THE
FRONT WILL BRING SHARPLY LOWER HUMIDITY AND TEMPERATURES. DEW
POINTS WILL EVENTUALLY DROP SOME 20 TO 25 DEGREES FROM READINGS
MEASURED TONIGHT. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE LOWER 70S TOWARDS THE CROWN
OF MAINE AND RETURN TO THE LOWER 80S FOR BANGOR AND DOWN EAST AS
THE COOLER AIR WILL TAKE SOME TIME TO ADVECT TO THE SOUTHERN PARTS
OF THE FORECAST AREA. CLOUDINESS ASSOCIATED WITH THE COLD FRONT
WILL STEADILY PUSH SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE DAY WITH THE SAINT JOHN
VALLEY EXPERIENCING SUNSHINE THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY...WHILE
CLEARING WILL REACH THE COAST IN THE AFTERNOON. THERE WILL BE SOME
RESIDUAL INSTABILITY WITH THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY TOWARDS THE COAST
THIS AFTERNOON AND HAVE SPECIFIED A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS FOR
COASTAL HANCOCK AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON...BUT MOST
OF THE ACTION WILL BE IN SOUTHERN MAINE. THE COOL AND DRY AIR
MASS WILL SETTLE ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA TONIGHT WITH A TASTE OF
FALL AS TEMPERATURES DROP INTO THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. THIS WILL BE
THE FIRST TIME LOWS HAVE DROPPED INTO THE 40S AT CARIBOU SINCE MID
JULY. A FEW READINGS IN THE UPPER 30S CANNOT BE RULED OUT IN THE
ALLAGASH.
&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
1025MB SFC HIPRES BUILDS INTO THE AREA BY FRI MRNG AND REIGNS
SUPREME THRU THE WEEKEND. MAX TEMPS WL LKLY BE BLO NORMAL ON FRIDAY
IN WAKE OF FRONTAL PASSAGE WITH INTERIOR DOWNEAST CREEPING INTO THE
LWR 70S AND NRN ZONES STUCK IN THE 60S.

H5 RIDGING EXPECTED TO BUILD IN BY SAT MRNG WITH 590 HEIGHTS CNTRD
OVR THE GREEN/WHITE MTNS. THIS WL HOLD TIGHT THRU THE END OF THE
SHORT TERM BFR WVS EJECTING TWD CWA FM UPR LOW OVR PRAIRIE PROVINCES
SERVE TO FLATTEN RIDGE. TEMPS WL MODERATE THRU THE WEEKEND WITH ABV
NRML MAXES PROGGED.
&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
FRONTAL BNDRY WL BE LURKING NORTH OF CWA ON MONDAY WITH AN ISOLD
SHOWER AND/OR SPRINKLE ACRS NRN ZONES AT BEST. FRONT WL DRIFT
SOUTH ON TUE AND FRCG ASSOC WITH S/WVS ROTATING THRU IN SW FLOW
ALONG WITH DIURNAL HTG WL RESULT IN CHC FOR SHRA/TSRA MAINLY NORTH
OF DOWNEAST AREAS. CWA WL BE IN BETWEEN SYSTEMS ON WED AND HV
LOWERED POPS TO JUST SLGT CHC. BETTER CHC OF SHOWERS WL EXIST ON
THURSDAY AHD OF FRONTAL BNDRY.
&&

.AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: MVFR VIS AND SOME PATCHY STRATUS WILL QUICKLY MOVE OUT
OF THE AREA EARLY THIS MORNING. THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD WILL
BE VFR.

SHORT TERM: VFR THROUGH MONDAY.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: FOG IS PUSHING EASTWARD AWAY FROM THE WATERS EARLY THIS
MORNING AND WILL BE GONE LATER THIS MORNING. NORTH WINDS WILL
INCREASE TOWARDS 20 KTS TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...BUT DO NOT ANTICIPATE
AN SCA AT THIS TIME.

SHORT TERM: WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
CRITERIA THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
&&
$$

NEAR TERM...MCW
SHORT TERM...FARRAR
LONG TERM...FARRAR
AVIATION...MCW/FARRAR
MARINE...MCW/FARRAR




000
FXUS61 KCAR 030739
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
339 AM EDT THU SEP 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS TODAY AND FRIDAY WITH MUCH LOWER
HUMIDITY. THE HIGH WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA THROUGH LABOR DAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
THE COLD FRONT IS STILL NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA AT THIS
TIME...BUT WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THIS MORNING. THE
FRONT WILL BRING SHARPLY LOWER HUMIDITY AND TEMPERATURES. DEW
POINTS WILL EVENTUALLY DROP SOME 20 TO 25 DEGREES FROM READINGS
MEASURED TONIGHT. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE LOWER 70S TOWARDS THE CROWN
OF MAINE AND RETURN TO THE LOWER 80S FOR BANGOR AND DOWN EAST AS
THE COOLER AIR WILL TAKE SOME TIME TO ADVECT TO THE SOUTHERN PARTS
OF THE FORECAST AREA. CLOUDINESS ASSOCIATED WITH THE COLD FRONT
WILL STEADILY PUSH SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE DAY WITH THE SAINT JOHN
VALLEY EXPERIENCING SUNSHINE THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY...WHILE
CLEARING WILL REACH THE COAST IN THE AFTERNOON. THERE WILL BE SOME
RESIDUAL INSTABILITY WITH THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY TOWARDS THE COAST
THIS AFTERNOON AND HAVE SPECIFIED A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS FOR
COASTAL HANCOCK AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON...BUT MOST
OF THE ACTION WILL BE IN SOUTHERN MAINE. THE COOL AND DRY AIR
MASS WILL SETTLE ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA TONIGHT WITH A TASTE OF
FALL AS TEMPERATURES DROP INTO THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. THIS WILL BE
THE FIRST TIME LOWS HAVE DROPPED INTO THE 40S AT CARIBOU SINCE MID
JULY. A FEW READINGS IN THE UPPER 30S CANNOT BE RULED OUT IN THE
ALLAGASH.
&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
1025MB SFC HIPRES BUILDS INTO THE AREA BY FRI MRNG AND REIGNS
SUPREME THRU THE WEEKEND. MAX TEMPS WL LKLY BE BLO NORMAL ON FRIDAY
IN WAKE OF FRONTAL PASSAGE WITH INTERIOR DOWNEAST CREEPING INTO THE
LWR 70S AND NRN ZONES STUCK IN THE 60S.

H5 RIDGING EXPECTED TO BUILD IN BY SAT MRNG WITH 590 HEIGHTS CNTRD
OVR THE GREEN/WHITE MTNS. THIS WL HOLD TIGHT THRU THE END OF THE
SHORT TERM BFR WVS EJECTING TWD CWA FM UPR LOW OVR PRAIRIE PROVINCES
SERVE TO FLATTEN RIDGE. TEMPS WL MODERATE THRU THE WEEKEND WITH ABV
NRML MAXES PROGGED.
&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
FRONTAL BNDRY WL BE LURKING NORTH OF CWA ON MONDAY WITH AN ISOLD
SHOWER AND/OR SPRINKLE ACRS NRN ZONES AT BEST. FRONT WL DRIFT
SOUTH ON TUE AND FRCG ASSOC WITH S/WVS ROTATING THRU IN SW FLOW
ALONG WITH DIURNAL HTG WL RESULT IN CHC FOR SHRA/TSRA MAINLY NORTH
OF DOWNEAST AREAS. CWA WL BE IN BETWEEN SYSTEMS ON WED AND HV
LOWERED POPS TO JUST SLGT CHC. BETTER CHC OF SHOWERS WL EXIST ON
THURSDAY AHD OF FRONTAL BNDRY.
&&

.AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: MVFR VIS AND SOME PATCHY STRATUS WILL QUICKLY MOVE OUT
OF THE AREA EARLY THIS MORNING. THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD WILL
BE VFR.

SHORT TERM: VFR THROUGH MONDAY.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: FOG IS PUSHING EASTWARD AWAY FROM THE WATERS EARLY THIS
MORNING AND WILL BE GONE LATER THIS MORNING. NORTH WINDS WILL
INCREASE TOWARDS 20 KTS TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...BUT DO NOT ANTICIPATE
AN SCA AT THIS TIME.

SHORT TERM: WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
CRITERIA THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
&&
$$

NEAR TERM...MCW
SHORT TERM...FARRAR
LONG TERM...FARRAR
AVIATION...MCW/FARRAR
MARINE...MCW/FARRAR




000
FXUS61 KCAR 030739
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
339 AM EDT THU SEP 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS TODAY AND FRIDAY WITH MUCH LOWER
HUMIDITY. THE HIGH WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA THROUGH LABOR DAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
THE COLD FRONT IS STILL NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA AT THIS
TIME...BUT WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THIS MORNING. THE
FRONT WILL BRING SHARPLY LOWER HUMIDITY AND TEMPERATURES. DEW
POINTS WILL EVENTUALLY DROP SOME 20 TO 25 DEGREES FROM READINGS
MEASURED TONIGHT. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE LOWER 70S TOWARDS THE CROWN
OF MAINE AND RETURN TO THE LOWER 80S FOR BANGOR AND DOWN EAST AS
THE COOLER AIR WILL TAKE SOME TIME TO ADVECT TO THE SOUTHERN PARTS
OF THE FORECAST AREA. CLOUDINESS ASSOCIATED WITH THE COLD FRONT
WILL STEADILY PUSH SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE DAY WITH THE SAINT JOHN
VALLEY EXPERIENCING SUNSHINE THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY...WHILE
CLEARING WILL REACH THE COAST IN THE AFTERNOON. THERE WILL BE SOME
RESIDUAL INSTABILITY WITH THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY TOWARDS THE COAST
THIS AFTERNOON AND HAVE SPECIFIED A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS FOR
COASTAL HANCOCK AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON...BUT MOST
OF THE ACTION WILL BE IN SOUTHERN MAINE. THE COOL AND DRY AIR
MASS WILL SETTLE ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA TONIGHT WITH A TASTE OF
FALL AS TEMPERATURES DROP INTO THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. THIS WILL BE
THE FIRST TIME LOWS HAVE DROPPED INTO THE 40S AT CARIBOU SINCE MID
JULY. A FEW READINGS IN THE UPPER 30S CANNOT BE RULED OUT IN THE
ALLAGASH.
&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
1025MB SFC HIPRES BUILDS INTO THE AREA BY FRI MRNG AND REIGNS
SUPREME THRU THE WEEKEND. MAX TEMPS WL LKLY BE BLO NORMAL ON FRIDAY
IN WAKE OF FRONTAL PASSAGE WITH INTERIOR DOWNEAST CREEPING INTO THE
LWR 70S AND NRN ZONES STUCK IN THE 60S.

H5 RIDGING EXPECTED TO BUILD IN BY SAT MRNG WITH 590 HEIGHTS CNTRD
OVR THE GREEN/WHITE MTNS. THIS WL HOLD TIGHT THRU THE END OF THE
SHORT TERM BFR WVS EJECTING TWD CWA FM UPR LOW OVR PRAIRIE PROVINCES
SERVE TO FLATTEN RIDGE. TEMPS WL MODERATE THRU THE WEEKEND WITH ABV
NRML MAXES PROGGED.
&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
FRONTAL BNDRY WL BE LURKING NORTH OF CWA ON MONDAY WITH AN ISOLD
SHOWER AND/OR SPRINKLE ACRS NRN ZONES AT BEST. FRONT WL DRIFT
SOUTH ON TUE AND FRCG ASSOC WITH S/WVS ROTATING THRU IN SW FLOW
ALONG WITH DIURNAL HTG WL RESULT IN CHC FOR SHRA/TSRA MAINLY NORTH
OF DOWNEAST AREAS. CWA WL BE IN BETWEEN SYSTEMS ON WED AND HV
LOWERED POPS TO JUST SLGT CHC. BETTER CHC OF SHOWERS WL EXIST ON
THURSDAY AHD OF FRONTAL BNDRY.
&&

.AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: MVFR VIS AND SOME PATCHY STRATUS WILL QUICKLY MOVE OUT
OF THE AREA EARLY THIS MORNING. THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD WILL
BE VFR.

SHORT TERM: VFR THROUGH MONDAY.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: FOG IS PUSHING EASTWARD AWAY FROM THE WATERS EARLY THIS
MORNING AND WILL BE GONE LATER THIS MORNING. NORTH WINDS WILL
INCREASE TOWARDS 20 KTS TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...BUT DO NOT ANTICIPATE
AN SCA AT THIS TIME.

SHORT TERM: WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
CRITERIA THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
&&
$$

NEAR TERM...MCW
SHORT TERM...FARRAR
LONG TERM...FARRAR
AVIATION...MCW/FARRAR
MARINE...MCW/FARRAR




000
FXUS61 KCAR 030739
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
339 AM EDT THU SEP 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS TODAY AND FRIDAY WITH MUCH LOWER
HUMIDITY. THE HIGH WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA THROUGH LABOR DAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
THE COLD FRONT IS STILL NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA AT THIS
TIME...BUT WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THIS MORNING. THE
FRONT WILL BRING SHARPLY LOWER HUMIDITY AND TEMPERATURES. DEW
POINTS WILL EVENTUALLY DROP SOME 20 TO 25 DEGREES FROM READINGS
MEASURED TONIGHT. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE LOWER 70S TOWARDS THE CROWN
OF MAINE AND RETURN TO THE LOWER 80S FOR BANGOR AND DOWN EAST AS
THE COOLER AIR WILL TAKE SOME TIME TO ADVECT TO THE SOUTHERN PARTS
OF THE FORECAST AREA. CLOUDINESS ASSOCIATED WITH THE COLD FRONT
WILL STEADILY PUSH SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE DAY WITH THE SAINT JOHN
VALLEY EXPERIENCING SUNSHINE THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY...WHILE
CLEARING WILL REACH THE COAST IN THE AFTERNOON. THERE WILL BE SOME
RESIDUAL INSTABILITY WITH THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY TOWARDS THE COAST
THIS AFTERNOON AND HAVE SPECIFIED A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS FOR
COASTAL HANCOCK AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON...BUT MOST
OF THE ACTION WILL BE IN SOUTHERN MAINE. THE COOL AND DRY AIR
MASS WILL SETTLE ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA TONIGHT WITH A TASTE OF
FALL AS TEMPERATURES DROP INTO THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. THIS WILL BE
THE FIRST TIME LOWS HAVE DROPPED INTO THE 40S AT CARIBOU SINCE MID
JULY. A FEW READINGS IN THE UPPER 30S CANNOT BE RULED OUT IN THE
ALLAGASH.
&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
1025MB SFC HIPRES BUILDS INTO THE AREA BY FRI MRNG AND REIGNS
SUPREME THRU THE WEEKEND. MAX TEMPS WL LKLY BE BLO NORMAL ON FRIDAY
IN WAKE OF FRONTAL PASSAGE WITH INTERIOR DOWNEAST CREEPING INTO THE
LWR 70S AND NRN ZONES STUCK IN THE 60S.

H5 RIDGING EXPECTED TO BUILD IN BY SAT MRNG WITH 590 HEIGHTS CNTRD
OVR THE GREEN/WHITE MTNS. THIS WL HOLD TIGHT THRU THE END OF THE
SHORT TERM BFR WVS EJECTING TWD CWA FM UPR LOW OVR PRAIRIE PROVINCES
SERVE TO FLATTEN RIDGE. TEMPS WL MODERATE THRU THE WEEKEND WITH ABV
NRML MAXES PROGGED.
&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
FRONTAL BNDRY WL BE LURKING NORTH OF CWA ON MONDAY WITH AN ISOLD
SHOWER AND/OR SPRINKLE ACRS NRN ZONES AT BEST. FRONT WL DRIFT
SOUTH ON TUE AND FRCG ASSOC WITH S/WVS ROTATING THRU IN SW FLOW
ALONG WITH DIURNAL HTG WL RESULT IN CHC FOR SHRA/TSRA MAINLY NORTH
OF DOWNEAST AREAS. CWA WL BE IN BETWEEN SYSTEMS ON WED AND HV
LOWERED POPS TO JUST SLGT CHC. BETTER CHC OF SHOWERS WL EXIST ON
THURSDAY AHD OF FRONTAL BNDRY.
&&

.AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: MVFR VIS AND SOME PATCHY STRATUS WILL QUICKLY MOVE OUT
OF THE AREA EARLY THIS MORNING. THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD WILL
BE VFR.

SHORT TERM: VFR THROUGH MONDAY.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: FOG IS PUSHING EASTWARD AWAY FROM THE WATERS EARLY THIS
MORNING AND WILL BE GONE LATER THIS MORNING. NORTH WINDS WILL
INCREASE TOWARDS 20 KTS TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...BUT DO NOT ANTICIPATE
AN SCA AT THIS TIME.

SHORT TERM: WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
CRITERIA THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
&&
$$

NEAR TERM...MCW
SHORT TERM...FARRAR
LONG TERM...FARRAR
AVIATION...MCW/FARRAR
MARINE...MCW/FARRAR




000
FXUS61 KCAR 030739
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
339 AM EDT THU SEP 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS TODAY AND FRIDAY WITH MUCH LOWER
HUMIDITY. THE HIGH WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA THROUGH LABOR DAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
THE COLD FRONT IS STILL NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA AT THIS
TIME...BUT WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THIS MORNING. THE
FRONT WILL BRING SHARPLY LOWER HUMIDITY AND TEMPERATURES. DEW
POINTS WILL EVENTUALLY DROP SOME 20 TO 25 DEGREES FROM READINGS
MEASURED TONIGHT. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE LOWER 70S TOWARDS THE CROWN
OF MAINE AND RETURN TO THE LOWER 80S FOR BANGOR AND DOWN EAST AS
THE COOLER AIR WILL TAKE SOME TIME TO ADVECT TO THE SOUTHERN PARTS
OF THE FORECAST AREA. CLOUDINESS ASSOCIATED WITH THE COLD FRONT
WILL STEADILY PUSH SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE DAY WITH THE SAINT JOHN
VALLEY EXPERIENCING SUNSHINE THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY...WHILE
CLEARING WILL REACH THE COAST IN THE AFTERNOON. THERE WILL BE SOME
RESIDUAL INSTABILITY WITH THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY TOWARDS THE COAST
THIS AFTERNOON AND HAVE SPECIFIED A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS FOR
COASTAL HANCOCK AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON...BUT MOST
OF THE ACTION WILL BE IN SOUTHERN MAINE. THE COOL AND DRY AIR
MASS WILL SETTLE ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA TONIGHT WITH A TASTE OF
FALL AS TEMPERATURES DROP INTO THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. THIS WILL BE
THE FIRST TIME LOWS HAVE DROPPED INTO THE 40S AT CARIBOU SINCE MID
JULY. A FEW READINGS IN THE UPPER 30S CANNOT BE RULED OUT IN THE
ALLAGASH.
&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
1025MB SFC HIPRES BUILDS INTO THE AREA BY FRI MRNG AND REIGNS
SUPREME THRU THE WEEKEND. MAX TEMPS WL LKLY BE BLO NORMAL ON FRIDAY
IN WAKE OF FRONTAL PASSAGE WITH INTERIOR DOWNEAST CREEPING INTO THE
LWR 70S AND NRN ZONES STUCK IN THE 60S.

H5 RIDGING EXPECTED TO BUILD IN BY SAT MRNG WITH 590 HEIGHTS CNTRD
OVR THE GREEN/WHITE MTNS. THIS WL HOLD TIGHT THRU THE END OF THE
SHORT TERM BFR WVS EJECTING TWD CWA FM UPR LOW OVR PRAIRIE PROVINCES
SERVE TO FLATTEN RIDGE. TEMPS WL MODERATE THRU THE WEEKEND WITH ABV
NRML MAXES PROGGED.
&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
FRONTAL BNDRY WL BE LURKING NORTH OF CWA ON MONDAY WITH AN ISOLD
SHOWER AND/OR SPRINKLE ACRS NRN ZONES AT BEST. FRONT WL DRIFT
SOUTH ON TUE AND FRCG ASSOC WITH S/WVS ROTATING THRU IN SW FLOW
ALONG WITH DIURNAL HTG WL RESULT IN CHC FOR SHRA/TSRA MAINLY NORTH
OF DOWNEAST AREAS. CWA WL BE IN BETWEEN SYSTEMS ON WED AND HV
LOWERED POPS TO JUST SLGT CHC. BETTER CHC OF SHOWERS WL EXIST ON
THURSDAY AHD OF FRONTAL BNDRY.
&&

.AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: MVFR VIS AND SOME PATCHY STRATUS WILL QUICKLY MOVE OUT
OF THE AREA EARLY THIS MORNING. THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD WILL
BE VFR.

SHORT TERM: VFR THROUGH MONDAY.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: FOG IS PUSHING EASTWARD AWAY FROM THE WATERS EARLY THIS
MORNING AND WILL BE GONE LATER THIS MORNING. NORTH WINDS WILL
INCREASE TOWARDS 20 KTS TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...BUT DO NOT ANTICIPATE
AN SCA AT THIS TIME.

SHORT TERM: WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
CRITERIA THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
&&
$$

NEAR TERM...MCW
SHORT TERM...FARRAR
LONG TERM...FARRAR
AVIATION...MCW/FARRAR
MARINE...MCW/FARRAR



000
FXUS61 KCAR 030739
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
339 AM EDT THU SEP 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS TODAY AND FRIDAY WITH MUCH LOWER
HUMIDITY. THE HIGH WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA THROUGH LABOR DAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
THE COLD FRONT IS STILL NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA AT THIS
TIME...BUT WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THIS MORNING. THE
FRONT WILL BRING SHARPLY LOWER HUMIDITY AND TEMPERATURES. DEW
POINTS WILL EVENTUALLY DROP SOME 20 TO 25 DEGREES FROM READINGS
MEASURED TONIGHT. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE LOWER 70S TOWARDS THE CROWN
OF MAINE AND RETURN TO THE LOWER 80S FOR BANGOR AND DOWN EAST AS
THE COOLER AIR WILL TAKE SOME TIME TO ADVECT TO THE SOUTHERN PARTS
OF THE FORECAST AREA. CLOUDINESS ASSOCIATED WITH THE COLD FRONT
WILL STEADILY PUSH SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE DAY WITH THE SAINT JOHN
VALLEY EXPERIENCING SUNSHINE THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY...WHILE
CLEARING WILL REACH THE COAST IN THE AFTERNOON. THERE WILL BE SOME
RESIDUAL INSTABILITY WITH THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY TOWARDS THE COAST
THIS AFTERNOON AND HAVE SPECIFIED A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS FOR
COASTAL HANCOCK AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON...BUT MOST
OF THE ACTION WILL BE IN SOUTHERN MAINE. THE COOL AND DRY AIR
MASS WILL SETTLE ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA TONIGHT WITH A TASTE OF
FALL AS TEMPERATURES DROP INTO THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. THIS WILL BE
THE FIRST TIME LOWS HAVE DROPPED INTO THE 40S AT CARIBOU SINCE MID
JULY. A FEW READINGS IN THE UPPER 30S CANNOT BE RULED OUT IN THE
ALLAGASH.
&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
1025MB SFC HIPRES BUILDS INTO THE AREA BY FRI MRNG AND REIGNS
SUPREME THRU THE WEEKEND. MAX TEMPS WL LKLY BE BLO NORMAL ON FRIDAY
IN WAKE OF FRONTAL PASSAGE WITH INTERIOR DOWNEAST CREEPING INTO THE
LWR 70S AND NRN ZONES STUCK IN THE 60S.

H5 RIDGING EXPECTED TO BUILD IN BY SAT MRNG WITH 590 HEIGHTS CNTRD
OVR THE GREEN/WHITE MTNS. THIS WL HOLD TIGHT THRU THE END OF THE
SHORT TERM BFR WVS EJECTING TWD CWA FM UPR LOW OVR PRAIRIE PROVINCES
SERVE TO FLATTEN RIDGE. TEMPS WL MODERATE THRU THE WEEKEND WITH ABV
NRML MAXES PROGGED.
&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
FRONTAL BNDRY WL BE LURKING NORTH OF CWA ON MONDAY WITH AN ISOLD
SHOWER AND/OR SPRINKLE ACRS NRN ZONES AT BEST. FRONT WL DRIFT
SOUTH ON TUE AND FRCG ASSOC WITH S/WVS ROTATING THRU IN SW FLOW
ALONG WITH DIURNAL HTG WL RESULT IN CHC FOR SHRA/TSRA MAINLY NORTH
OF DOWNEAST AREAS. CWA WL BE IN BETWEEN SYSTEMS ON WED AND HV
LOWERED POPS TO JUST SLGT CHC. BETTER CHC OF SHOWERS WL EXIST ON
THURSDAY AHD OF FRONTAL BNDRY.
&&

.AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: MVFR VIS AND SOME PATCHY STRATUS WILL QUICKLY MOVE OUT
OF THE AREA EARLY THIS MORNING. THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD WILL
BE VFR.

SHORT TERM: VFR THROUGH MONDAY.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: FOG IS PUSHING EASTWARD AWAY FROM THE WATERS EARLY THIS
MORNING AND WILL BE GONE LATER THIS MORNING. NORTH WINDS WILL
INCREASE TOWARDS 20 KTS TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...BUT DO NOT ANTICIPATE
AN SCA AT THIS TIME.

SHORT TERM: WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
CRITERIA THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
&&
$$

NEAR TERM...MCW
SHORT TERM...FARRAR
LONG TERM...FARRAR
AVIATION...MCW/FARRAR
MARINE...MCW/FARRAR




000
FXUS61 KGYX 030645
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
245 AM EDT THU SEP 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION TODAY AND WILL
PUSH OFFSHORE THIS EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH FROM
CANADA FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE
SATURDAY NIGHT AND WILL REMAIN ANCHORED OFF THE COAST INTO MIDWEEK
AND ALLOW FOR JULY-LIKE WEATHER SUNDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
WEAK COLD FRONT DROPPING SOUTH FROM CANADA PRODUCING SOME ISOLATED
CONVECTION EARLY THIS MORNING ACROSS NORTHERN NEW YORK BUT THIS
ACTIVITY QUICKLY DIMINISHING AS IT HEADS INTO NORTHERN ZONES. THIS
BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE TO SAG SOUTH THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS
PRODUCING A FEW SHOWERS AND EXPECT CONVECTION TO REDEVELOP ACROSS
CENTRAL AND SOUTH PORTIONS OF NEW HAMPSHIRE AND SOUTHWEST MAINE AS
HEATING PICKS UP LATER TODAY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY EVENING IN SOUTHERN ZONES BEFORE
DIMINISHING WITH LOSS OF HEATING. HIGH TEMPS WILL RANGE FROM THE
UPPER 70S NORTH TO THE UPPER 80S SOUTH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
EXPECT CLOUDS TO PERSIST ACROSS SOUTHWEST ZONES THROUGH MUCH OF
THE NIGHT ALONG WITH A FEW WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS BEFORE
MIDNIGHT. REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA SHOULD SEE CLEARING SKIES
AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTH. LOWS WILL RANGE FROM
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S NORTH AND UPPER 50S TO MID 60S SOUTH.

SKIES WILL GRADUALLY CLEAR ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE ON FRIDAY
AS HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD IN FROM THE NORTH. WILL SEE A
MUCH COOLER AND LESS HUMID DAY WITH HIGHS RANGING THROUGH THE 70S.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE CENTERED OVERHEAD FRIDAY NIGHT. CLEAR AND
CALM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. THIS SHOULD LEAD TO PLENTY OF
LOCALLY DENSE VALLEY FOG. THE HIGH MOVES OFF TO THE SOUTH DURING
THE DAY ON SATURDAY ALLOWING FOR THE START OF ANOTHER WARMING
TREND. WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW AROUND THE HIGH WILL PERSIST THROUGH
AT LEAST TUESDAY AND LIKELY ALLOW FOR TEMPERATURES WELL ABOVE
NORMAL SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S WILL BE
POSSIBLE IN SPOTS MONDAY AND TUESDAY. THIS HEAT MAY VERY WELL LAST
INTO WEDNESDAY BEFORE A COLD FRONT POSSIBLY MOVES IN AND COOLS US
OFF. CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY LOOK
VERY LOW...WITH PERHAPS A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS BY TUESDAY OR WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...AREAS OF IFR/LIFR CIGS/VSBY IN MORNING VALLEY
FOG...OTHERWISE VFR.

LONG TERM...LOCALLY DENSE LATE NIGHT/EARLY MORNING VALLEY FOG
LIKELY FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. OTHERWISE...MAINLY
VFR WITH HIGH PRESSURE IN CONTROL.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...BRIEF PERIOD OF NORTHEASTERLY SCA WINDS MAY DEVELOP
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT BEFORE DROPPING OFF FRIDAY MORNING. THIS MAY
ALLOW SEAS TO BUILD CLOSE TO 5 FT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHERN
MARINE ZONES.

LONG TERM...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE IN CONTROL FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK ALLOWING FOR SUB-SCA CONDITIONS.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$




000
FXUS61 KGYX 030645
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
245 AM EDT THU SEP 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION TODAY AND WILL
PUSH OFFSHORE THIS EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH FROM
CANADA FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE
SATURDAY NIGHT AND WILL REMAIN ANCHORED OFF THE COAST INTO MIDWEEK
AND ALLOW FOR JULY-LIKE WEATHER SUNDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
WEAK COLD FRONT DROPPING SOUTH FROM CANADA PRODUCING SOME ISOLATED
CONVECTION EARLY THIS MORNING ACROSS NORTHERN NEW YORK BUT THIS
ACTIVITY QUICKLY DIMINISHING AS IT HEADS INTO NORTHERN ZONES. THIS
BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE TO SAG SOUTH THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS
PRODUCING A FEW SHOWERS AND EXPECT CONVECTION TO REDEVELOP ACROSS
CENTRAL AND SOUTH PORTIONS OF NEW HAMPSHIRE AND SOUTHWEST MAINE AS
HEATING PICKS UP LATER TODAY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY EVENING IN SOUTHERN ZONES BEFORE
DIMINISHING WITH LOSS OF HEATING. HIGH TEMPS WILL RANGE FROM THE
UPPER 70S NORTH TO THE UPPER 80S SOUTH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
EXPECT CLOUDS TO PERSIST ACROSS SOUTHWEST ZONES THROUGH MUCH OF
THE NIGHT ALONG WITH A FEW WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS BEFORE
MIDNIGHT. REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA SHOULD SEE CLEARING SKIES
AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTH. LOWS WILL RANGE FROM
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S NORTH AND UPPER 50S TO MID 60S SOUTH.

SKIES WILL GRADUALLY CLEAR ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE ON FRIDAY
AS HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD IN FROM THE NORTH. WILL SEE A
MUCH COOLER AND LESS HUMID DAY WITH HIGHS RANGING THROUGH THE 70S.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE CENTERED OVERHEAD FRIDAY NIGHT. CLEAR AND
CALM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. THIS SHOULD LEAD TO PLENTY OF
LOCALLY DENSE VALLEY FOG. THE HIGH MOVES OFF TO THE SOUTH DURING
THE DAY ON SATURDAY ALLOWING FOR THE START OF ANOTHER WARMING
TREND. WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW AROUND THE HIGH WILL PERSIST THROUGH
AT LEAST TUESDAY AND LIKELY ALLOW FOR TEMPERATURES WELL ABOVE
NORMAL SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S WILL BE
POSSIBLE IN SPOTS MONDAY AND TUESDAY. THIS HEAT MAY VERY WELL LAST
INTO WEDNESDAY BEFORE A COLD FRONT POSSIBLY MOVES IN AND COOLS US
OFF. CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY LOOK
VERY LOW...WITH PERHAPS A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS BY TUESDAY OR WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...AREAS OF IFR/LIFR CIGS/VSBY IN MORNING VALLEY
FOG...OTHERWISE VFR.

LONG TERM...LOCALLY DENSE LATE NIGHT/EARLY MORNING VALLEY FOG
LIKELY FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. OTHERWISE...MAINLY
VFR WITH HIGH PRESSURE IN CONTROL.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...BRIEF PERIOD OF NORTHEASTERLY SCA WINDS MAY DEVELOP
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT BEFORE DROPPING OFF FRIDAY MORNING. THIS MAY
ALLOW SEAS TO BUILD CLOSE TO 5 FT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHERN
MARINE ZONES.

LONG TERM...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE IN CONTROL FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK ALLOWING FOR SUB-SCA CONDITIONS.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$



000
FXUS61 KGYX 030645
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
245 AM EDT THU SEP 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION TODAY AND WILL
PUSH OFFSHORE THIS EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH FROM
CANADA FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE
SATURDAY NIGHT AND WILL REMAIN ANCHORED OFF THE COAST INTO MIDWEEK
AND ALLOW FOR JULY-LIKE WEATHER SUNDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
WEAK COLD FRONT DROPPING SOUTH FROM CANADA PRODUCING SOME ISOLATED
CONVECTION EARLY THIS MORNING ACROSS NORTHERN NEW YORK BUT THIS
ACTIVITY QUICKLY DIMINISHING AS IT HEADS INTO NORTHERN ZONES. THIS
BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE TO SAG SOUTH THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS
PRODUCING A FEW SHOWERS AND EXPECT CONVECTION TO REDEVELOP ACROSS
CENTRAL AND SOUTH PORTIONS OF NEW HAMPSHIRE AND SOUTHWEST MAINE AS
HEATING PICKS UP LATER TODAY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY EVENING IN SOUTHERN ZONES BEFORE
DIMINISHING WITH LOSS OF HEATING. HIGH TEMPS WILL RANGE FROM THE
UPPER 70S NORTH TO THE UPPER 80S SOUTH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
EXPECT CLOUDS TO PERSIST ACROSS SOUTHWEST ZONES THROUGH MUCH OF
THE NIGHT ALONG WITH A FEW WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS BEFORE
MIDNIGHT. REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA SHOULD SEE CLEARING SKIES
AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTH. LOWS WILL RANGE FROM
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S NORTH AND UPPER 50S TO MID 60S SOUTH.

SKIES WILL GRADUALLY CLEAR ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE ON FRIDAY
AS HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD IN FROM THE NORTH. WILL SEE A
MUCH COOLER AND LESS HUMID DAY WITH HIGHS RANGING THROUGH THE 70S.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE CENTERED OVERHEAD FRIDAY NIGHT. CLEAR AND
CALM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. THIS SHOULD LEAD TO PLENTY OF
LOCALLY DENSE VALLEY FOG. THE HIGH MOVES OFF TO THE SOUTH DURING
THE DAY ON SATURDAY ALLOWING FOR THE START OF ANOTHER WARMING
TREND. WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW AROUND THE HIGH WILL PERSIST THROUGH
AT LEAST TUESDAY AND LIKELY ALLOW FOR TEMPERATURES WELL ABOVE
NORMAL SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S WILL BE
POSSIBLE IN SPOTS MONDAY AND TUESDAY. THIS HEAT MAY VERY WELL LAST
INTO WEDNESDAY BEFORE A COLD FRONT POSSIBLY MOVES IN AND COOLS US
OFF. CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY LOOK
VERY LOW...WITH PERHAPS A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS BY TUESDAY OR WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...AREAS OF IFR/LIFR CIGS/VSBY IN MORNING VALLEY
FOG...OTHERWISE VFR.

LONG TERM...LOCALLY DENSE LATE NIGHT/EARLY MORNING VALLEY FOG
LIKELY FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. OTHERWISE...MAINLY
VFR WITH HIGH PRESSURE IN CONTROL.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...BRIEF PERIOD OF NORTHEASTERLY SCA WINDS MAY DEVELOP
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT BEFORE DROPPING OFF FRIDAY MORNING. THIS MAY
ALLOW SEAS TO BUILD CLOSE TO 5 FT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHERN
MARINE ZONES.

LONG TERM...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE IN CONTROL FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK ALLOWING FOR SUB-SCA CONDITIONS.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$



000
FXUS61 KGYX 030645
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
245 AM EDT THU SEP 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION TODAY AND WILL
PUSH OFFSHORE THIS EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH FROM
CANADA FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE
SATURDAY NIGHT AND WILL REMAIN ANCHORED OFF THE COAST INTO MIDWEEK
AND ALLOW FOR JULY-LIKE WEATHER SUNDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
WEAK COLD FRONT DROPPING SOUTH FROM CANADA PRODUCING SOME ISOLATED
CONVECTION EARLY THIS MORNING ACROSS NORTHERN NEW YORK BUT THIS
ACTIVITY QUICKLY DIMINISHING AS IT HEADS INTO NORTHERN ZONES. THIS
BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE TO SAG SOUTH THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS
PRODUCING A FEW SHOWERS AND EXPECT CONVECTION TO REDEVELOP ACROSS
CENTRAL AND SOUTH PORTIONS OF NEW HAMPSHIRE AND SOUTHWEST MAINE AS
HEATING PICKS UP LATER TODAY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY EVENING IN SOUTHERN ZONES BEFORE
DIMINISHING WITH LOSS OF HEATING. HIGH TEMPS WILL RANGE FROM THE
UPPER 70S NORTH TO THE UPPER 80S SOUTH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
EXPECT CLOUDS TO PERSIST ACROSS SOUTHWEST ZONES THROUGH MUCH OF
THE NIGHT ALONG WITH A FEW WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS BEFORE
MIDNIGHT. REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA SHOULD SEE CLEARING SKIES
AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTH. LOWS WILL RANGE FROM
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S NORTH AND UPPER 50S TO MID 60S SOUTH.

SKIES WILL GRADUALLY CLEAR ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE ON FRIDAY
AS HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD IN FROM THE NORTH. WILL SEE A
MUCH COOLER AND LESS HUMID DAY WITH HIGHS RANGING THROUGH THE 70S.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE CENTERED OVERHEAD FRIDAY NIGHT. CLEAR AND
CALM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. THIS SHOULD LEAD TO PLENTY OF
LOCALLY DENSE VALLEY FOG. THE HIGH MOVES OFF TO THE SOUTH DURING
THE DAY ON SATURDAY ALLOWING FOR THE START OF ANOTHER WARMING
TREND. WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW AROUND THE HIGH WILL PERSIST THROUGH
AT LEAST TUESDAY AND LIKELY ALLOW FOR TEMPERATURES WELL ABOVE
NORMAL SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S WILL BE
POSSIBLE IN SPOTS MONDAY AND TUESDAY. THIS HEAT MAY VERY WELL LAST
INTO WEDNESDAY BEFORE A COLD FRONT POSSIBLY MOVES IN AND COOLS US
OFF. CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY LOOK
VERY LOW...WITH PERHAPS A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS BY TUESDAY OR WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...AREAS OF IFR/LIFR CIGS/VSBY IN MORNING VALLEY
FOG...OTHERWISE VFR.

LONG TERM...LOCALLY DENSE LATE NIGHT/EARLY MORNING VALLEY FOG
LIKELY FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. OTHERWISE...MAINLY
VFR WITH HIGH PRESSURE IN CONTROL.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...BRIEF PERIOD OF NORTHEASTERLY SCA WINDS MAY DEVELOP
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT BEFORE DROPPING OFF FRIDAY MORNING. THIS MAY
ALLOW SEAS TO BUILD CLOSE TO 5 FT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHERN
MARINE ZONES.

LONG TERM...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE IN CONTROL FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK ALLOWING FOR SUB-SCA CONDITIONS.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$



000
FXUS61 KGYX 030645
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
245 AM EDT THU SEP 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION TODAY AND WILL
PUSH OFFSHORE THIS EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH FROM
CANADA FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE
SATURDAY NIGHT AND WILL REMAIN ANCHORED OFF THE COAST INTO MIDWEEK
AND ALLOW FOR JULY-LIKE WEATHER SUNDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
WEAK COLD FRONT DROPPING SOUTH FROM CANADA PRODUCING SOME ISOLATED
CONVECTION EARLY THIS MORNING ACROSS NORTHERN NEW YORK BUT THIS
ACTIVITY QUICKLY DIMINISHING AS IT HEADS INTO NORTHERN ZONES. THIS
BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE TO SAG SOUTH THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS
PRODUCING A FEW SHOWERS AND EXPECT CONVECTION TO REDEVELOP ACROSS
CENTRAL AND SOUTH PORTIONS OF NEW HAMPSHIRE AND SOUTHWEST MAINE AS
HEATING PICKS UP LATER TODAY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY EVENING IN SOUTHERN ZONES BEFORE
DIMINISHING WITH LOSS OF HEATING. HIGH TEMPS WILL RANGE FROM THE
UPPER 70S NORTH TO THE UPPER 80S SOUTH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
EXPECT CLOUDS TO PERSIST ACROSS SOUTHWEST ZONES THROUGH MUCH OF
THE NIGHT ALONG WITH A FEW WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS BEFORE
MIDNIGHT. REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA SHOULD SEE CLEARING SKIES
AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTH. LOWS WILL RANGE FROM
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S NORTH AND UPPER 50S TO MID 60S SOUTH.

SKIES WILL GRADUALLY CLEAR ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE ON FRIDAY
AS HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD IN FROM THE NORTH. WILL SEE A
MUCH COOLER AND LESS HUMID DAY WITH HIGHS RANGING THROUGH THE 70S.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE CENTERED OVERHEAD FRIDAY NIGHT. CLEAR AND
CALM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. THIS SHOULD LEAD TO PLENTY OF
LOCALLY DENSE VALLEY FOG. THE HIGH MOVES OFF TO THE SOUTH DURING
THE DAY ON SATURDAY ALLOWING FOR THE START OF ANOTHER WARMING
TREND. WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW AROUND THE HIGH WILL PERSIST THROUGH
AT LEAST TUESDAY AND LIKELY ALLOW FOR TEMPERATURES WELL ABOVE
NORMAL SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S WILL BE
POSSIBLE IN SPOTS MONDAY AND TUESDAY. THIS HEAT MAY VERY WELL LAST
INTO WEDNESDAY BEFORE A COLD FRONT POSSIBLY MOVES IN AND COOLS US
OFF. CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY LOOK
VERY LOW...WITH PERHAPS A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS BY TUESDAY OR WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...AREAS OF IFR/LIFR CIGS/VSBY IN MORNING VALLEY
FOG...OTHERWISE VFR.

LONG TERM...LOCALLY DENSE LATE NIGHT/EARLY MORNING VALLEY FOG
LIKELY FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. OTHERWISE...MAINLY
VFR WITH HIGH PRESSURE IN CONTROL.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...BRIEF PERIOD OF NORTHEASTERLY SCA WINDS MAY DEVELOP
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT BEFORE DROPPING OFF FRIDAY MORNING. THIS MAY
ALLOW SEAS TO BUILD CLOSE TO 5 FT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHERN
MARINE ZONES.

LONG TERM...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE IN CONTROL FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK ALLOWING FOR SUB-SCA CONDITIONS.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$



000
FXUS61 KCAR 030446
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1246 AM EDT THU SEP 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
THEN BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
UPDATE...
A COLD FRONT CURRENTLY APPROACHING THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER
VALLEY WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA OVERNIGHT.
SHOWERS ALONG THE FRONT HAVE NOW MOSTLY DISSIPATED.
HOWEVER...COULD STILL HAVE AN ISOLATED SHOWER ACROSS NORTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH AROUND MIDNIGHT.
OTHERWISE...GENERALLY EXPECT PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH THE FRONT
OVERNIGHT. COULD ALSO HAVE FOG MOVE INLAND ALONG THE DOWNEAST
COAST OVERNIGHT IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT. OVERNIGHT LOW
TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE MID TO UPPER 50S NORTH...TO THE
LOWER TO MID 60S DOWNEAST. HAVE UPDATED THE FORECAST TO ADJUST FOR
CURRENT CONDITIONS ALONG WITH OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM FROM CANADA WILL BEGIN TO BUILD
ACROSS NEW ENGLAND ON THURSDAY...BRINGING COOLER AND DRIER
CONDITIONS TO THE FCST AREA. WINDS MAY BE STRONGER/GUSTY TOMORROW
DUE TO STRONG MIXING IN THE LOW/MID LEVELS.
&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHWEST THURSDAY
NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. THE HIGH WILL THEN CREST OVER THE REGION FRIDAY
NIGHT THEN MOVE TO THE SOUTHEAST SATURDAY. WILL BLEND THE GFS AND
NAM WHICH BOTH PRESENT REASONABLE SOLUTIONS. THE SUPER BLEND
CONTINUES TO WORK WELL WITH TEMPERATURE SO WILL USE IT THIS PERIOD
FOR MAX/MIN.
&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE EXTENDED MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT. A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE
WILL BE BUILT ACROSS THE REGION. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BE
EXTENDED EAST WEST ACROSS CANADA NORTH OF THE RIDGE. THE FRONT
WILL PUSH SOUTH INTO NORTHERN MAINE MONDAY AFTERNOON...AS THE
RIDGE SLIPS TO THE SOUTH. EARLY WED MRNG THE FRONT WILL MOVE EAST
OF THE AREA. THE ASSOCIATED LOW AND UPPER LOW WILL MOVE ACROSS
CENTRAL QUEBEC AND REMAIN NORTH OF THE AREA. A NEW LOW MOVING
ACROSS SOUTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN WED AFTERNOON WILL MOVE INTO THE ERN
GREAT LAKE EARLY THURS...ITS ASSOCIATED WARM FRONT WILL MOVE INTO
NRN MAINE. BY THE END OF THE PERIOD THE LOW WILL BE ALONG THE WRN
ME/QUEBEC BORDER.

DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD USED A BLEND OF THE
MODELS. LOADED NAWAVE 4 FOR SEAS IN THE COASTAL WATERS. ADDED 15
PERCENT TO WINDS FOR GUSTS OVER LAND...25 PERCENT OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS.
&&

.AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: GENERALLY EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION
OVERNIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. HOWEVER...VARIABLE CONDITIONS COULD
OCCUR WITH ANY FOG ALONG THE DOWNEAST COAST OVERNIGHT.

SHORT TERM: EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS THURSDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS OVERNIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. VISIBILITIES WILL BE REDUCED
IN AREAS OF FOG OVERNIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING.

SHORT TERM: FOR SUSTAINED WINDS WILL USE MULTI-MODEL APPROACH AND
BLEND THE GFS AND NAM. FOR WAVES: EXPECT NORTHEAST FETCH ACROSS
THE GULF OF MAINE FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE PUSHES DOWN FROM THE
NORTHWEST. NORTHEAST WIND WAVE EXPECTED TO DOMINATE EARLY FRIDAY
(2-3 FEET/5 SECONDS) BUT WILL BE LIMITED BY FETCH DISTANCE. WIND
WAVE WILL SUBSIDE LATER FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS ACROSS THE WATERS. PRIMARY WAVE SYSTEM SATURDAY WILL BE
LONG PERIOD INCOMING SWELL (AROUND 2 FEET/10-11 SECONDS).
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
&&
$$

NEAR TERM...NORCROSS/MCW/BERDES
SHORT TERM...MIGNONE
LONG TERM...NORTON
AVIATION...NORCROSS/MCW/BERDES/MIGNONE
MARINE...NORCROSS/MCW/BERDES/MIGNONE



000
FXUS61 KCAR 030446
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1246 AM EDT THU SEP 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
THEN BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
UPDATE...
A COLD FRONT CURRENTLY APPROACHING THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER
VALLEY WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA OVERNIGHT.
SHOWERS ALONG THE FRONT HAVE NOW MOSTLY DISSIPATED.
HOWEVER...COULD STILL HAVE AN ISOLATED SHOWER ACROSS NORTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH AROUND MIDNIGHT.
OTHERWISE...GENERALLY EXPECT PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH THE FRONT
OVERNIGHT. COULD ALSO HAVE FOG MOVE INLAND ALONG THE DOWNEAST
COAST OVERNIGHT IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT. OVERNIGHT LOW
TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE MID TO UPPER 50S NORTH...TO THE
LOWER TO MID 60S DOWNEAST. HAVE UPDATED THE FORECAST TO ADJUST FOR
CURRENT CONDITIONS ALONG WITH OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM FROM CANADA WILL BEGIN TO BUILD
ACROSS NEW ENGLAND ON THURSDAY...BRINGING COOLER AND DRIER
CONDITIONS TO THE FCST AREA. WINDS MAY BE STRONGER/GUSTY TOMORROW
DUE TO STRONG MIXING IN THE LOW/MID LEVELS.
&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHWEST THURSDAY
NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. THE HIGH WILL THEN CREST OVER THE REGION FRIDAY
NIGHT THEN MOVE TO THE SOUTHEAST SATURDAY. WILL BLEND THE GFS AND
NAM WHICH BOTH PRESENT REASONABLE SOLUTIONS. THE SUPER BLEND
CONTINUES TO WORK WELL WITH TEMPERATURE SO WILL USE IT THIS PERIOD
FOR MAX/MIN.
&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE EXTENDED MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT. A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE
WILL BE BUILT ACROSS THE REGION. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BE
EXTENDED EAST WEST ACROSS CANADA NORTH OF THE RIDGE. THE FRONT
WILL PUSH SOUTH INTO NORTHERN MAINE MONDAY AFTERNOON...AS THE
RIDGE SLIPS TO THE SOUTH. EARLY WED MRNG THE FRONT WILL MOVE EAST
OF THE AREA. THE ASSOCIATED LOW AND UPPER LOW WILL MOVE ACROSS
CENTRAL QUEBEC AND REMAIN NORTH OF THE AREA. A NEW LOW MOVING
ACROSS SOUTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN WED AFTERNOON WILL MOVE INTO THE ERN
GREAT LAKE EARLY THURS...ITS ASSOCIATED WARM FRONT WILL MOVE INTO
NRN MAINE. BY THE END OF THE PERIOD THE LOW WILL BE ALONG THE WRN
ME/QUEBEC BORDER.

DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD USED A BLEND OF THE
MODELS. LOADED NAWAVE 4 FOR SEAS IN THE COASTAL WATERS. ADDED 15
PERCENT TO WINDS FOR GUSTS OVER LAND...25 PERCENT OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS.
&&

.AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: GENERALLY EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION
OVERNIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. HOWEVER...VARIABLE CONDITIONS COULD
OCCUR WITH ANY FOG ALONG THE DOWNEAST COAST OVERNIGHT.

SHORT TERM: EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS THURSDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS OVERNIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. VISIBILITIES WILL BE REDUCED
IN AREAS OF FOG OVERNIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING.

SHORT TERM: FOR SUSTAINED WINDS WILL USE MULTI-MODEL APPROACH AND
BLEND THE GFS AND NAM. FOR WAVES: EXPECT NORTHEAST FETCH ACROSS
THE GULF OF MAINE FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE PUSHES DOWN FROM THE
NORTHWEST. NORTHEAST WIND WAVE EXPECTED TO DOMINATE EARLY FRIDAY
(2-3 FEET/5 SECONDS) BUT WILL BE LIMITED BY FETCH DISTANCE. WIND
WAVE WILL SUBSIDE LATER FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS ACROSS THE WATERS. PRIMARY WAVE SYSTEM SATURDAY WILL BE
LONG PERIOD INCOMING SWELL (AROUND 2 FEET/10-11 SECONDS).
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
&&
$$

NEAR TERM...NORCROSS/MCW/BERDES
SHORT TERM...MIGNONE
LONG TERM...NORTON
AVIATION...NORCROSS/MCW/BERDES/MIGNONE
MARINE...NORCROSS/MCW/BERDES/MIGNONE




000
FXUS61 KCAR 030446
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1246 AM EDT THU SEP 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
THEN BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
UPDATE...
A COLD FRONT CURRENTLY APPROACHING THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER
VALLEY WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA OVERNIGHT.
SHOWERS ALONG THE FRONT HAVE NOW MOSTLY DISSIPATED.
HOWEVER...COULD STILL HAVE AN ISOLATED SHOWER ACROSS NORTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH AROUND MIDNIGHT.
OTHERWISE...GENERALLY EXPECT PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH THE FRONT
OVERNIGHT. COULD ALSO HAVE FOG MOVE INLAND ALONG THE DOWNEAST
COAST OVERNIGHT IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT. OVERNIGHT LOW
TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE MID TO UPPER 50S NORTH...TO THE
LOWER TO MID 60S DOWNEAST. HAVE UPDATED THE FORECAST TO ADJUST FOR
CURRENT CONDITIONS ALONG WITH OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM FROM CANADA WILL BEGIN TO BUILD
ACROSS NEW ENGLAND ON THURSDAY...BRINGING COOLER AND DRIER
CONDITIONS TO THE FCST AREA. WINDS MAY BE STRONGER/GUSTY TOMORROW
DUE TO STRONG MIXING IN THE LOW/MID LEVELS.
&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHWEST THURSDAY
NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. THE HIGH WILL THEN CREST OVER THE REGION FRIDAY
NIGHT THEN MOVE TO THE SOUTHEAST SATURDAY. WILL BLEND THE GFS AND
NAM WHICH BOTH PRESENT REASONABLE SOLUTIONS. THE SUPER BLEND
CONTINUES TO WORK WELL WITH TEMPERATURE SO WILL USE IT THIS PERIOD
FOR MAX/MIN.
&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE EXTENDED MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT. A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE
WILL BE BUILT ACROSS THE REGION. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BE
EXTENDED EAST WEST ACROSS CANADA NORTH OF THE RIDGE. THE FRONT
WILL PUSH SOUTH INTO NORTHERN MAINE MONDAY AFTERNOON...AS THE
RIDGE SLIPS TO THE SOUTH. EARLY WED MRNG THE FRONT WILL MOVE EAST
OF THE AREA. THE ASSOCIATED LOW AND UPPER LOW WILL MOVE ACROSS
CENTRAL QUEBEC AND REMAIN NORTH OF THE AREA. A NEW LOW MOVING
ACROSS SOUTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN WED AFTERNOON WILL MOVE INTO THE ERN
GREAT LAKE EARLY THURS...ITS ASSOCIATED WARM FRONT WILL MOVE INTO
NRN MAINE. BY THE END OF THE PERIOD THE LOW WILL BE ALONG THE WRN
ME/QUEBEC BORDER.

DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD USED A BLEND OF THE
MODELS. LOADED NAWAVE 4 FOR SEAS IN THE COASTAL WATERS. ADDED 15
PERCENT TO WINDS FOR GUSTS OVER LAND...25 PERCENT OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS.
&&

.AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: GENERALLY EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION
OVERNIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. HOWEVER...VARIABLE CONDITIONS COULD
OCCUR WITH ANY FOG ALONG THE DOWNEAST COAST OVERNIGHT.

SHORT TERM: EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS THURSDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS OVERNIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. VISIBILITIES WILL BE REDUCED
IN AREAS OF FOG OVERNIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING.

SHORT TERM: FOR SUSTAINED WINDS WILL USE MULTI-MODEL APPROACH AND
BLEND THE GFS AND NAM. FOR WAVES: EXPECT NORTHEAST FETCH ACROSS
THE GULF OF MAINE FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE PUSHES DOWN FROM THE
NORTHWEST. NORTHEAST WIND WAVE EXPECTED TO DOMINATE EARLY FRIDAY
(2-3 FEET/5 SECONDS) BUT WILL BE LIMITED BY FETCH DISTANCE. WIND
WAVE WILL SUBSIDE LATER FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS ACROSS THE WATERS. PRIMARY WAVE SYSTEM SATURDAY WILL BE
LONG PERIOD INCOMING SWELL (AROUND 2 FEET/10-11 SECONDS).
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
&&
$$

NEAR TERM...NORCROSS/MCW/BERDES
SHORT TERM...MIGNONE
LONG TERM...NORTON
AVIATION...NORCROSS/MCW/BERDES/MIGNONE
MARINE...NORCROSS/MCW/BERDES/MIGNONE




000
FXUS61 KCAR 030446
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1246 AM EDT THU SEP 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
THEN BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
UPDATE...
A COLD FRONT CURRENTLY APPROACHING THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER
VALLEY WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA OVERNIGHT.
SHOWERS ALONG THE FRONT HAVE NOW MOSTLY DISSIPATED.
HOWEVER...COULD STILL HAVE AN ISOLATED SHOWER ACROSS NORTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH AROUND MIDNIGHT.
OTHERWISE...GENERALLY EXPECT PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH THE FRONT
OVERNIGHT. COULD ALSO HAVE FOG MOVE INLAND ALONG THE DOWNEAST
COAST OVERNIGHT IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT. OVERNIGHT LOW
TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE MID TO UPPER 50S NORTH...TO THE
LOWER TO MID 60S DOWNEAST. HAVE UPDATED THE FORECAST TO ADJUST FOR
CURRENT CONDITIONS ALONG WITH OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM FROM CANADA WILL BEGIN TO BUILD
ACROSS NEW ENGLAND ON THURSDAY...BRINGING COOLER AND DRIER
CONDITIONS TO THE FCST AREA. WINDS MAY BE STRONGER/GUSTY TOMORROW
DUE TO STRONG MIXING IN THE LOW/MID LEVELS.
&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHWEST THURSDAY
NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. THE HIGH WILL THEN CREST OVER THE REGION FRIDAY
NIGHT THEN MOVE TO THE SOUTHEAST SATURDAY. WILL BLEND THE GFS AND
NAM WHICH BOTH PRESENT REASONABLE SOLUTIONS. THE SUPER BLEND
CONTINUES TO WORK WELL WITH TEMPERATURE SO WILL USE IT THIS PERIOD
FOR MAX/MIN.
&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE EXTENDED MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT. A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE
WILL BE BUILT ACROSS THE REGION. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BE
EXTENDED EAST WEST ACROSS CANADA NORTH OF THE RIDGE. THE FRONT
WILL PUSH SOUTH INTO NORTHERN MAINE MONDAY AFTERNOON...AS THE
RIDGE SLIPS TO THE SOUTH. EARLY WED MRNG THE FRONT WILL MOVE EAST
OF THE AREA. THE ASSOCIATED LOW AND UPPER LOW WILL MOVE ACROSS
CENTRAL QUEBEC AND REMAIN NORTH OF THE AREA. A NEW LOW MOVING
ACROSS SOUTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN WED AFTERNOON WILL MOVE INTO THE ERN
GREAT LAKE EARLY THURS...ITS ASSOCIATED WARM FRONT WILL MOVE INTO
NRN MAINE. BY THE END OF THE PERIOD THE LOW WILL BE ALONG THE WRN
ME/QUEBEC BORDER.

DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD USED A BLEND OF THE
MODELS. LOADED NAWAVE 4 FOR SEAS IN THE COASTAL WATERS. ADDED 15
PERCENT TO WINDS FOR GUSTS OVER LAND...25 PERCENT OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS.
&&

.AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: GENERALLY EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION
OVERNIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. HOWEVER...VARIABLE CONDITIONS COULD
OCCUR WITH ANY FOG ALONG THE DOWNEAST COAST OVERNIGHT.

SHORT TERM: EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS THURSDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS OVERNIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. VISIBILITIES WILL BE REDUCED
IN AREAS OF FOG OVERNIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING.

SHORT TERM: FOR SUSTAINED WINDS WILL USE MULTI-MODEL APPROACH AND
BLEND THE GFS AND NAM. FOR WAVES: EXPECT NORTHEAST FETCH ACROSS
THE GULF OF MAINE FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE PUSHES DOWN FROM THE
NORTHWEST. NORTHEAST WIND WAVE EXPECTED TO DOMINATE EARLY FRIDAY
(2-3 FEET/5 SECONDS) BUT WILL BE LIMITED BY FETCH DISTANCE. WIND
WAVE WILL SUBSIDE LATER FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS ACROSS THE WATERS. PRIMARY WAVE SYSTEM SATURDAY WILL BE
LONG PERIOD INCOMING SWELL (AROUND 2 FEET/10-11 SECONDS).
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
&&
$$

NEAR TERM...NORCROSS/MCW/BERDES
SHORT TERM...MIGNONE
LONG TERM...NORTON
AVIATION...NORCROSS/MCW/BERDES/MIGNONE
MARINE...NORCROSS/MCW/BERDES/MIGNONE




000
FXUS61 KCAR 030446
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1246 AM EDT THU SEP 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
THEN BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
UPDATE...
A COLD FRONT CURRENTLY APPROACHING THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER
VALLEY WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA OVERNIGHT.
SHOWERS ALONG THE FRONT HAVE NOW MOSTLY DISSIPATED.
HOWEVER...COULD STILL HAVE AN ISOLATED SHOWER ACROSS NORTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH AROUND MIDNIGHT.
OTHERWISE...GENERALLY EXPECT PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH THE FRONT
OVERNIGHT. COULD ALSO HAVE FOG MOVE INLAND ALONG THE DOWNEAST
COAST OVERNIGHT IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT. OVERNIGHT LOW
TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE MID TO UPPER 50S NORTH...TO THE
LOWER TO MID 60S DOWNEAST. HAVE UPDATED THE FORECAST TO ADJUST FOR
CURRENT CONDITIONS ALONG WITH OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM FROM CANADA WILL BEGIN TO BUILD
ACROSS NEW ENGLAND ON THURSDAY...BRINGING COOLER AND DRIER
CONDITIONS TO THE FCST AREA. WINDS MAY BE STRONGER/GUSTY TOMORROW
DUE TO STRONG MIXING IN THE LOW/MID LEVELS.
&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHWEST THURSDAY
NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. THE HIGH WILL THEN CREST OVER THE REGION FRIDAY
NIGHT THEN MOVE TO THE SOUTHEAST SATURDAY. WILL BLEND THE GFS AND
NAM WHICH BOTH PRESENT REASONABLE SOLUTIONS. THE SUPER BLEND
CONTINUES TO WORK WELL WITH TEMPERATURE SO WILL USE IT THIS PERIOD
FOR MAX/MIN.
&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE EXTENDED MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT. A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE
WILL BE BUILT ACROSS THE REGION. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BE
EXTENDED EAST WEST ACROSS CANADA NORTH OF THE RIDGE. THE FRONT
WILL PUSH SOUTH INTO NORTHERN MAINE MONDAY AFTERNOON...AS THE
RIDGE SLIPS TO THE SOUTH. EARLY WED MRNG THE FRONT WILL MOVE EAST
OF THE AREA. THE ASSOCIATED LOW AND UPPER LOW WILL MOVE ACROSS
CENTRAL QUEBEC AND REMAIN NORTH OF THE AREA. A NEW LOW MOVING
ACROSS SOUTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN WED AFTERNOON WILL MOVE INTO THE ERN
GREAT LAKE EARLY THURS...ITS ASSOCIATED WARM FRONT WILL MOVE INTO
NRN MAINE. BY THE END OF THE PERIOD THE LOW WILL BE ALONG THE WRN
ME/QUEBEC BORDER.

DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD USED A BLEND OF THE
MODELS. LOADED NAWAVE 4 FOR SEAS IN THE COASTAL WATERS. ADDED 15
PERCENT TO WINDS FOR GUSTS OVER LAND...25 PERCENT OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS.
&&

.AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: GENERALLY EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION
OVERNIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. HOWEVER...VARIABLE CONDITIONS COULD
OCCUR WITH ANY FOG ALONG THE DOWNEAST COAST OVERNIGHT.

SHORT TERM: EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS THURSDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS OVERNIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. VISIBILITIES WILL BE REDUCED
IN AREAS OF FOG OVERNIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING.

SHORT TERM: FOR SUSTAINED WINDS WILL USE MULTI-MODEL APPROACH AND
BLEND THE GFS AND NAM. FOR WAVES: EXPECT NORTHEAST FETCH ACROSS
THE GULF OF MAINE FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE PUSHES DOWN FROM THE
NORTHWEST. NORTHEAST WIND WAVE EXPECTED TO DOMINATE EARLY FRIDAY
(2-3 FEET/5 SECONDS) BUT WILL BE LIMITED BY FETCH DISTANCE. WIND
WAVE WILL SUBSIDE LATER FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS ACROSS THE WATERS. PRIMARY WAVE SYSTEM SATURDAY WILL BE
LONG PERIOD INCOMING SWELL (AROUND 2 FEET/10-11 SECONDS).
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
&&
$$

NEAR TERM...NORCROSS/MCW/BERDES
SHORT TERM...MIGNONE
LONG TERM...NORTON
AVIATION...NORCROSS/MCW/BERDES/MIGNONE
MARINE...NORCROSS/MCW/BERDES/MIGNONE




000
FXUS61 KCAR 030446
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1246 AM EDT THU SEP 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
THEN BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
UPDATE...
A COLD FRONT CURRENTLY APPROACHING THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER
VALLEY WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA OVERNIGHT.
SHOWERS ALONG THE FRONT HAVE NOW MOSTLY DISSIPATED.
HOWEVER...COULD STILL HAVE AN ISOLATED SHOWER ACROSS NORTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH AROUND MIDNIGHT.
OTHERWISE...GENERALLY EXPECT PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH THE FRONT
OVERNIGHT. COULD ALSO HAVE FOG MOVE INLAND ALONG THE DOWNEAST
COAST OVERNIGHT IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT. OVERNIGHT LOW
TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE MID TO UPPER 50S NORTH...TO THE
LOWER TO MID 60S DOWNEAST. HAVE UPDATED THE FORECAST TO ADJUST FOR
CURRENT CONDITIONS ALONG WITH OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM FROM CANADA WILL BEGIN TO BUILD
ACROSS NEW ENGLAND ON THURSDAY...BRINGING COOLER AND DRIER
CONDITIONS TO THE FCST AREA. WINDS MAY BE STRONGER/GUSTY TOMORROW
DUE TO STRONG MIXING IN THE LOW/MID LEVELS.
&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHWEST THURSDAY
NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. THE HIGH WILL THEN CREST OVER THE REGION FRIDAY
NIGHT THEN MOVE TO THE SOUTHEAST SATURDAY. WILL BLEND THE GFS AND
NAM WHICH BOTH PRESENT REASONABLE SOLUTIONS. THE SUPER BLEND
CONTINUES TO WORK WELL WITH TEMPERATURE SO WILL USE IT THIS PERIOD
FOR MAX/MIN.
&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE EXTENDED MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT. A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE
WILL BE BUILT ACROSS THE REGION. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BE
EXTENDED EAST WEST ACROSS CANADA NORTH OF THE RIDGE. THE FRONT
WILL PUSH SOUTH INTO NORTHERN MAINE MONDAY AFTERNOON...AS THE
RIDGE SLIPS TO THE SOUTH. EARLY WED MRNG THE FRONT WILL MOVE EAST
OF THE AREA. THE ASSOCIATED LOW AND UPPER LOW WILL MOVE ACROSS
CENTRAL QUEBEC AND REMAIN NORTH OF THE AREA. A NEW LOW MOVING
ACROSS SOUTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN WED AFTERNOON WILL MOVE INTO THE ERN
GREAT LAKE EARLY THURS...ITS ASSOCIATED WARM FRONT WILL MOVE INTO
NRN MAINE. BY THE END OF THE PERIOD THE LOW WILL BE ALONG THE WRN
ME/QUEBEC BORDER.

DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD USED A BLEND OF THE
MODELS. LOADED NAWAVE 4 FOR SEAS IN THE COASTAL WATERS. ADDED 15
PERCENT TO WINDS FOR GUSTS OVER LAND...25 PERCENT OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS.
&&

.AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: GENERALLY EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION
OVERNIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. HOWEVER...VARIABLE CONDITIONS COULD
OCCUR WITH ANY FOG ALONG THE DOWNEAST COAST OVERNIGHT.

SHORT TERM: EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS THURSDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS OVERNIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. VISIBILITIES WILL BE REDUCED
IN AREAS OF FOG OVERNIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING.

SHORT TERM: FOR SUSTAINED WINDS WILL USE MULTI-MODEL APPROACH AND
BLEND THE GFS AND NAM. FOR WAVES: EXPECT NORTHEAST FETCH ACROSS
THE GULF OF MAINE FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE PUSHES DOWN FROM THE
NORTHWEST. NORTHEAST WIND WAVE EXPECTED TO DOMINATE EARLY FRIDAY
(2-3 FEET/5 SECONDS) BUT WILL BE LIMITED BY FETCH DISTANCE. WIND
WAVE WILL SUBSIDE LATER FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS ACROSS THE WATERS. PRIMARY WAVE SYSTEM SATURDAY WILL BE
LONG PERIOD INCOMING SWELL (AROUND 2 FEET/10-11 SECONDS).
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
&&
$$

NEAR TERM...NORCROSS/MCW/BERDES
SHORT TERM...MIGNONE
LONG TERM...NORTON
AVIATION...NORCROSS/MCW/BERDES/MIGNONE
MARINE...NORCROSS/MCW/BERDES/MIGNONE




000
FXUS61 KCAR 030220
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1020 PM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
THEN BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
UPDATE...
A COLD FRONT CURRENTLY APPROACHING THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER
VALLEY WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA OVERNIGHT.
SHOWERS ALONG THE FRONT HAVE NOW MOSTLY DISSIPATED.
HOWEVER...COULD STILL HAVE AN ISOLATED SHOWER ACROSS NORTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH AROUND MIDNIGHT.
OTHERWISE...GENERALLY EXPECT PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH THE FRONT
OVERNIGHT. COULD ALSO HAVE FOG MOVE INLAND ALONG THE DOWNEAST
COAST OVERNIGHT IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT. OVERNIGHT LOW
TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE MID TO UPPER 50S NORTH...TO THE
LOWER TO MID 60S DOWNEAST. HAVE UPDATED THE FORECAST TO ADJUST FOR
CURRENT CONDITIONS ALONG WITH OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM FROM CANADA WILL BEGIN TO BUILD
ACROSS NEW ENGLAND ON THURSDAY...BRINGING COOLER AND DRIER
CONDITIONS TO THE FCST AREA. WINDS MAY BE STRONGER/GUSTY TOMORROW
DUE TO STRONG MIXING IN THE LOW/MID LEVELS.
&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHWEST THURSDAY
NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. THE HIGH WILL THEN CREST OVER THE REGION FRIDAY
NIGHT THEN MOVE TO THE SOUTHEAST SATURDAY. WILL BLEND THE GFS AND
NAM WHICH BOTH PRESENT REASONABLE SOLUTIONS. THE SUPER BLEND
CONTINUES TO WORK WELL WITH TEMPERATURE SO WILL USE IT THIS PERIOD
FOR MAX/MIN.
&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE EXTENDED MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT. A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE
WILL BE BUILT ACROSS THE REGION. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BE
EXTENDED EAST WEST ACROSS CANADA NORTH OF THE RIDGE. THE FRONT
WILL PUSH SOUTH INTO NORTHERN MAINE MONDAY AFTERNOON...AS THE
RIDGE SLIPS TO THE SOUTH. EARLY WED MRNG THE FRONT WILL MOVE EAST
OF THE AREA. THE ASSOCIATED LOW AND UPPER LOW WILL MOVE ACROSS
CENTRAL QUEBEC AND REMAIN NORTH OF THE AREA. A NEW LOW MOVING
ACROSS SOUTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN WED AFTERNOON WILL MOVE INTO THE ERN
GREAT LAKE EARLY THURS...ITS ASSOCIATED WARM FRONT WILL MOVE INTO
NRN MAINE. BY THE END OF THE PERIOD THE LOW WILL BE ALONG THE WRN
ME/QUEBEC BORDER.

DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD USED A BLEND OF THE
MODELS. LOADED NAWAVE 4 FOR SEAS IN THE COASTAL WATERS. ADDED 15
PERCENT TO WINDS FOR GUSTS OVER LAND...25 PERCENT OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS.
&&

.AVIATION /02Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: GENERALLY EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION
OVERNIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. HOWEVER...VARIABLE CONDITIONS COULD
OCCUR WITH ANY FOG ALONG THE DOWNEAST COAST OVERNIGHT.

SHORT TERM: EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS THURSDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS OVERNIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. VISIBILITIES WILL BE REDUCED
IN AREAS OF FOG OVERNIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING.

SHORT TERM: FOR SUSTAINED WINDS WILL USE MULTI-MODEL APPROACH AND
BLEND THE GFS AND NAM. FOR WAVES: EXPECT NORTHEAST FETCH ACROSS
THE GULF OF MAINE FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE PUSHES DOWN FROM THE
NORTHWEST. NORTHEAST WIND WAVE EXPECTED TO DOMINATE EARLY FRIDAY
(2-3 FEET/5 SECONDS) BUT WILL BE LIMITED BY FETCH DISTANCE. WIND
WAVE WILL SUBSIDE LATER FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS ACROSS THE WATERS. PRIMARY WAVE SYSTEM SATURDAY WILL BE
LONG PERIOD INCOMING SWELL (AROUND 2 FEET/10-11 SECONDS).
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...NORCROSS/BERDES
SHORT TERM...MIGNONE
LONG TERM...NORTON
AVIATION...NORCROSS/MIGNONE
MARINE...NORCROSS/MIGNONE



000
FXUS61 KGYX 030141
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
941 PM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK CANADIAN COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY MOVE SOUTH THROUGH THE
REGION TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH FROM
CANADA THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST
OVER THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL PUSH SOUTH OFF THE COAST ON
SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL HOLD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
940 PM...THIS UPDATE MAINLY FOCUSED ON ADJUSTMENTS TO GRIDS BASED
ON CURRENT OBS. STILL SOME ONGOING CONVECTION IN SRN QUEBEC WHICH
WILL WEAKEN AS IT MOVES ESE...BUT COULD BRING A LIGHT SHRA TO
AREAS CLOSE TO THE INTL BORDER. OTHERWISE EXPECT PATCHY FOG AND
MINS GENERALLY FROM AROUND 60 IN THE N TO THE MID 60S IN THE
SOUTH.

610 PM...HAVE UPDATED POPS OVERNIGHT A BIT...KEEPING SLT CHC IN
FAR NRN ZONES THIS EVE...AS REMNANT CONVECTION MAY MAKE IT INTO
THE N BEFORE DYING. ALSO...BACKED OFF CHC POPS TO THE WEST UNTIL
AFTER SUNRISE...MOSTLY BASED ON MESOSCALE MODEL
CONSENSUS...ALTHOUGH CERTAINLY COULD NOT RULE OUT A SHOWER FROM
THE WHITES NWD DURING THE PRE-DAWN. ALSO MODIFIED T/TD A BIT
OVERNIGHT...MOSTLY BASED ON CURRENT OBS. THE COLD FRONT MAY SLIDE
INTO FAR NE ZONES BY DAYBREAK...MAINLY ALONG THE INTL BORDER IN
FRANKLIN SOMERSET CTYS.

PREVIOUSLY...THE CLEAR SKIES WILL SLOWLY GIVE WAY TO INCREASING
MID/HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE BY LATER TONIGHT AHEAD OF THE NEXT SYSTEM.
AREAS OF VALLEY FOG POSSIBLE IN THE CONNECTICUT AND MERRIMACK
RIVER VALLEYS LATER TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN MILD TONIGHT
DUE TO DEVELOPING CLOUD COVER.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
A WEAK CANADIAN COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION
THURSDAY PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
ALONG AND AHEAD OF ITS PASSAGE. ALL MODELS AGREE ON PUSHING FRONT
SOUTH OF THE AREA BY THURSDAY EVENING BRINGING AN END TO ANY
SHOWERS. CLEARING AND COOLER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY
NIGHT BEHIND THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. USED A BLEND OF THE MODELS WHICH
WERE ALL IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
VERY QUIET PATTERN IN PLACE FOR THE LONG TERM. FRIDAY STARTS WITH
HIGH PRESSURE FIRMLY IN PLACE OVER THE NORTHEAST. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL MOVE EVER SO SLOWLY OFF THE COAST DURING THE WEEKEND AND THEN
HOLD IN PLACE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE ONLY
CHANCE FOR SOME PRECIPITATION LOOKS TO BE LATE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY
NIGHT OVER THE MOUNTAINS.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR TONIGHT. CIGS/VSBYS MAY LOWER TO MVFR IN
SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY. THURSDAY NIGHT VFR
CONDITIONS.

LONG TERM...PRIMARILY VFR THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...WINDS AND SEAS REMAIN LIGHT TONIGHT AND
THURSDAY...THURSDAY NIGHT WINDS AND SEAS WILL INCREASE BUT SHOULD
REMAIN BELOW SCA CRITERIA.

LONG TERM...NO FLAGS EXPECTED.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...CEMPA/MARINE
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...
MARINE...



000
FXUS61 KGYX 030141
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
941 PM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK CANADIAN COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY MOVE SOUTH THROUGH THE
REGION TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH FROM
CANADA THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST
OVER THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL PUSH SOUTH OFF THE COAST ON
SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL HOLD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
940 PM...THIS UPDATE MAINLY FOCUSED ON ADJUSTMENTS TO GRIDS BASED
ON CURRENT OBS. STILL SOME ONGOING CONVECTION IN SRN QUEBEC WHICH
WILL WEAKEN AS IT MOVES ESE...BUT COULD BRING A LIGHT SHRA TO
AREAS CLOSE TO THE INTL BORDER. OTHERWISE EXPECT PATCHY FOG AND
MINS GENERALLY FROM AROUND 60 IN THE N TO THE MID 60S IN THE
SOUTH.

610 PM...HAVE UPDATED POPS OVERNIGHT A BIT...KEEPING SLT CHC IN
FAR NRN ZONES THIS EVE...AS REMNANT CONVECTION MAY MAKE IT INTO
THE N BEFORE DYING. ALSO...BACKED OFF CHC POPS TO THE WEST UNTIL
AFTER SUNRISE...MOSTLY BASED ON MESOSCALE MODEL
CONSENSUS...ALTHOUGH CERTAINLY COULD NOT RULE OUT A SHOWER FROM
THE WHITES NWD DURING THE PRE-DAWN. ALSO MODIFIED T/TD A BIT
OVERNIGHT...MOSTLY BASED ON CURRENT OBS. THE COLD FRONT MAY SLIDE
INTO FAR NE ZONES BY DAYBREAK...MAINLY ALONG THE INTL BORDER IN
FRANKLIN SOMERSET CTYS.

PREVIOUSLY...THE CLEAR SKIES WILL SLOWLY GIVE WAY TO INCREASING
MID/HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE BY LATER TONIGHT AHEAD OF THE NEXT SYSTEM.
AREAS OF VALLEY FOG POSSIBLE IN THE CONNECTICUT AND MERRIMACK
RIVER VALLEYS LATER TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN MILD TONIGHT
DUE TO DEVELOPING CLOUD COVER.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
A WEAK CANADIAN COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION
THURSDAY PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
ALONG AND AHEAD OF ITS PASSAGE. ALL MODELS AGREE ON PUSHING FRONT
SOUTH OF THE AREA BY THURSDAY EVENING BRINGING AN END TO ANY
SHOWERS. CLEARING AND COOLER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY
NIGHT BEHIND THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. USED A BLEND OF THE MODELS WHICH
WERE ALL IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
VERY QUIET PATTERN IN PLACE FOR THE LONG TERM. FRIDAY STARTS WITH
HIGH PRESSURE FIRMLY IN PLACE OVER THE NORTHEAST. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL MOVE EVER SO SLOWLY OFF THE COAST DURING THE WEEKEND AND THEN
HOLD IN PLACE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE ONLY
CHANCE FOR SOME PRECIPITATION LOOKS TO BE LATE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY
NIGHT OVER THE MOUNTAINS.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR TONIGHT. CIGS/VSBYS MAY LOWER TO MVFR IN
SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY. THURSDAY NIGHT VFR
CONDITIONS.

LONG TERM...PRIMARILY VFR THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...WINDS AND SEAS REMAIN LIGHT TONIGHT AND
THURSDAY...THURSDAY NIGHT WINDS AND SEAS WILL INCREASE BUT SHOULD
REMAIN BELOW SCA CRITERIA.

LONG TERM...NO FLAGS EXPECTED.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...CEMPA/MARINE
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...
MARINE...




000
FXUS61 KGYX 030141
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
941 PM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK CANADIAN COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY MOVE SOUTH THROUGH THE
REGION TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH FROM
CANADA THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST
OVER THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL PUSH SOUTH OFF THE COAST ON
SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL HOLD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
940 PM...THIS UPDATE MAINLY FOCUSED ON ADJUSTMENTS TO GRIDS BASED
ON CURRENT OBS. STILL SOME ONGOING CONVECTION IN SRN QUEBEC WHICH
WILL WEAKEN AS IT MOVES ESE...BUT COULD BRING A LIGHT SHRA TO
AREAS CLOSE TO THE INTL BORDER. OTHERWISE EXPECT PATCHY FOG AND
MINS GENERALLY FROM AROUND 60 IN THE N TO THE MID 60S IN THE
SOUTH.

610 PM...HAVE UPDATED POPS OVERNIGHT A BIT...KEEPING SLT CHC IN
FAR NRN ZONES THIS EVE...AS REMNANT CONVECTION MAY MAKE IT INTO
THE N BEFORE DYING. ALSO...BACKED OFF CHC POPS TO THE WEST UNTIL
AFTER SUNRISE...MOSTLY BASED ON MESOSCALE MODEL
CONSENSUS...ALTHOUGH CERTAINLY COULD NOT RULE OUT A SHOWER FROM
THE WHITES NWD DURING THE PRE-DAWN. ALSO MODIFIED T/TD A BIT
OVERNIGHT...MOSTLY BASED ON CURRENT OBS. THE COLD FRONT MAY SLIDE
INTO FAR NE ZONES BY DAYBREAK...MAINLY ALONG THE INTL BORDER IN
FRANKLIN SOMERSET CTYS.

PREVIOUSLY...THE CLEAR SKIES WILL SLOWLY GIVE WAY TO INCREASING
MID/HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE BY LATER TONIGHT AHEAD OF THE NEXT SYSTEM.
AREAS OF VALLEY FOG POSSIBLE IN THE CONNECTICUT AND MERRIMACK
RIVER VALLEYS LATER TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN MILD TONIGHT
DUE TO DEVELOPING CLOUD COVER.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
A WEAK CANADIAN COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION
THURSDAY PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
ALONG AND AHEAD OF ITS PASSAGE. ALL MODELS AGREE ON PUSHING FRONT
SOUTH OF THE AREA BY THURSDAY EVENING BRINGING AN END TO ANY
SHOWERS. CLEARING AND COOLER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY
NIGHT BEHIND THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. USED A BLEND OF THE MODELS WHICH
WERE ALL IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
VERY QUIET PATTERN IN PLACE FOR THE LONG TERM. FRIDAY STARTS WITH
HIGH PRESSURE FIRMLY IN PLACE OVER THE NORTHEAST. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL MOVE EVER SO SLOWLY OFF THE COAST DURING THE WEEKEND AND THEN
HOLD IN PLACE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE ONLY
CHANCE FOR SOME PRECIPITATION LOOKS TO BE LATE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY
NIGHT OVER THE MOUNTAINS.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR TONIGHT. CIGS/VSBYS MAY LOWER TO MVFR IN
SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY. THURSDAY NIGHT VFR
CONDITIONS.

LONG TERM...PRIMARILY VFR THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...WINDS AND SEAS REMAIN LIGHT TONIGHT AND
THURSDAY...THURSDAY NIGHT WINDS AND SEAS WILL INCREASE BUT SHOULD
REMAIN BELOW SCA CRITERIA.

LONG TERM...NO FLAGS EXPECTED.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...CEMPA/MARINE
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...
MARINE...



000
FXUS61 KGYX 030141
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
941 PM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK CANADIAN COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY MOVE SOUTH THROUGH THE
REGION TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH FROM
CANADA THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST
OVER THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL PUSH SOUTH OFF THE COAST ON
SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL HOLD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
940 PM...THIS UPDATE MAINLY FOCUSED ON ADJUSTMENTS TO GRIDS BASED
ON CURRENT OBS. STILL SOME ONGOING CONVECTION IN SRN QUEBEC WHICH
WILL WEAKEN AS IT MOVES ESE...BUT COULD BRING A LIGHT SHRA TO
AREAS CLOSE TO THE INTL BORDER. OTHERWISE EXPECT PATCHY FOG AND
MINS GENERALLY FROM AROUND 60 IN THE N TO THE MID 60S IN THE
SOUTH.

610 PM...HAVE UPDATED POPS OVERNIGHT A BIT...KEEPING SLT CHC IN
FAR NRN ZONES THIS EVE...AS REMNANT CONVECTION MAY MAKE IT INTO
THE N BEFORE DYING. ALSO...BACKED OFF CHC POPS TO THE WEST UNTIL
AFTER SUNRISE...MOSTLY BASED ON MESOSCALE MODEL
CONSENSUS...ALTHOUGH CERTAINLY COULD NOT RULE OUT A SHOWER FROM
THE WHITES NWD DURING THE PRE-DAWN. ALSO MODIFIED T/TD A BIT
OVERNIGHT...MOSTLY BASED ON CURRENT OBS. THE COLD FRONT MAY SLIDE
INTO FAR NE ZONES BY DAYBREAK...MAINLY ALONG THE INTL BORDER IN
FRANKLIN SOMERSET CTYS.

PREVIOUSLY...THE CLEAR SKIES WILL SLOWLY GIVE WAY TO INCREASING
MID/HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE BY LATER TONIGHT AHEAD OF THE NEXT SYSTEM.
AREAS OF VALLEY FOG POSSIBLE IN THE CONNECTICUT AND MERRIMACK
RIVER VALLEYS LATER TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN MILD TONIGHT
DUE TO DEVELOPING CLOUD COVER.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
A WEAK CANADIAN COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION
THURSDAY PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
ALONG AND AHEAD OF ITS PASSAGE. ALL MODELS AGREE ON PUSHING FRONT
SOUTH OF THE AREA BY THURSDAY EVENING BRINGING AN END TO ANY
SHOWERS. CLEARING AND COOLER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY
NIGHT BEHIND THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. USED A BLEND OF THE MODELS WHICH
WERE ALL IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
VERY QUIET PATTERN IN PLACE FOR THE LONG TERM. FRIDAY STARTS WITH
HIGH PRESSURE FIRMLY IN PLACE OVER THE NORTHEAST. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL MOVE EVER SO SLOWLY OFF THE COAST DURING THE WEEKEND AND THEN
HOLD IN PLACE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE ONLY
CHANCE FOR SOME PRECIPITATION LOOKS TO BE LATE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY
NIGHT OVER THE MOUNTAINS.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR TONIGHT. CIGS/VSBYS MAY LOWER TO MVFR IN
SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY. THURSDAY NIGHT VFR
CONDITIONS.

LONG TERM...PRIMARILY VFR THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...WINDS AND SEAS REMAIN LIGHT TONIGHT AND
THURSDAY...THURSDAY NIGHT WINDS AND SEAS WILL INCREASE BUT SHOULD
REMAIN BELOW SCA CRITERIA.

LONG TERM...NO FLAGS EXPECTED.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...CEMPA/MARINE
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...
MARINE...




000
FXUS61 KCAR 022353
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
753 PM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
THEN BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
UPDATE...
A COLD FRONT CURRENTLY APPROACHING THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER
VALLEY WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA OVERNIGHT.
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS CURRENTLY ALONG THE FRONT ACROSS QUEBEC
PROVINCE ARE NOW WEAKENING WITH THE LOSS OF DIURNAL HEATING. COULD
STILL HAVE AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORM ACROSS
NORTHERN AREAS THIS EVENING. OTHERWISE...GENERALLY EXPECT PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES WITH THE FRONT OVERNIGHT. COULD ALSO HAVE FOG MOVE
INLAND ALONG THE DOWNEAST COAST LATER TONIGHT IN ADVANCE OF THE
FRONT. OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE MID TO UPPER
50S NORTH...TO THE LOWER TO MID 60S DOWNEAST. HAVE UPDATED THE
FORECAST TO ADJUST FOR CURRENT CONDITIONS ALONG WITH OVERNIGHT
TEMPERATURES AND CLOUD COVER.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM FROM CANADA WILL BEGIN TO BUILD
ACROSS NEW ENGLAND ON THURSDAY...BRINGING COOLER AND DRIER
CONDITIONS TO THE FCST AREA. WINDS MAY BE STRONGER/GUSTY TOMORROW
DUE TO STRONG MIXING IN THE LOW/MID LEVELS.
&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHWEST THURSDAY
NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. THE HIGH WILL THEN CREST OVER THE REGION FRIDAY
NIGHT THEN MOVE TO THE SOUTHEAST SATURDAY. WILL BLEND THE GFS AND
NAM WHICH BOTH PRESENT REASONABLE SOLUTIONS. THE SUPER BLEND
CONTINUES TO WORK WELL WITH TEMPERATURE SO WILL USE IT THIS PERIOD
FOR MAX/MIN.
&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE EXTENDED MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT. A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE
WILL BE BUILT ACROSS THE REGION. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BE
EXTENDED EAST WEST ACROSS CANADA NORTH OF THE RIDGE. THE FRONT
WILL PUSH SOUTH INTO NORTHERN MAINE MONDAY AFTERNOON...AS THE
RIDGE SLIPS TO THE SOUTH. EARLY WED MRNG THE FRONT WILL MOVE EAST
OF THE AREA. THE ASSOCIATED LOW AND UPPER LOW WILL MOVE ACROSS
CENTRAL QUEBEC AND REMAIN NORTH OF THE AREA. A NEW LOW MOVING
ACROSS SOUTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN WED AFTERNOON WILL MOVE INTO THE ERN
GREAT LAKE EARLY THURS...ITS ASSOCIATED WARM FRONT WILL MOVE INTO
NRN MAINE. BY THE END OF THE PERIOD THE LOW WILL BE ALONG THE WRN
ME/QUEBEC BORDER.

DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD USED A BLEND OF THE
MODELS. LOADED NAWAVE 4 FOR SEAS IN THE COASTAL WATERS. ADDED 15
PERCENT TO WINDS FOR GUSTS OVER LAND...25 PERCENT OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS.
&&

.AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: GENERALLY EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION
TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. HOWEVER...VARIABLE CONDITIONS COULD
OCCUR WITH ANY ISOLATED SHOWER OR POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORM ACROSS
NORTHERN AREAS THIS EVENING. VARIABLE CONDITIONS COULD ALSO OCCUR
WITH ANY FOG ALONG THE DOWNEAST COAST LATER TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS THURSDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. VISIBILITIES WILL BE REDUCED IN
AREAS OF FOG TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING.

SHORT TERM: FOR SUSTAINED WINDS WILL USE MULTI-MODEL APPROACH AND
BLEND THE GFS AND NAM. FOR WAVES: EXPECT NORTHEAST FETCH ACROSS
THE GULF OF MAINE FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE PUSHES DOWN FROM THE
NORTHWEST. NORTHEAST WIND WAVE EXPECTED TO DOMINATE EARLY FRIDAY
(2-3 FEET/5 SECONDS) BUT WILL BE LIMITED BY FETCH DISTANCE. WIND
WAVE WILL SUBSIDE LATER FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS ACROSS THE WATERS. PRIMARY WAVE SYSTEM SATURDAY WILL BE
LONG PERIOD INCOMING SWELL (AROUND 2 FEET/10-11 SECONDS).
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...NORCROSS/BERDES
SHORT TERM...MIGNONE
LONG TERM...NORTON
AVIATION...NORCROSS/MIGNONE
MARINE...NORCROSS/MIGNONE



000
FXUS61 KCAR 022353
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
753 PM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
THEN BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
UPDATE...
A COLD FRONT CURRENTLY APPROACHING THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER
VALLEY WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA OVERNIGHT.
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS CURRENTLY ALONG THE FRONT ACROSS QUEBEC
PROVINCE ARE NOW WEAKENING WITH THE LOSS OF DIURNAL HEATING. COULD
STILL HAVE AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORM ACROSS
NORTHERN AREAS THIS EVENING. OTHERWISE...GENERALLY EXPECT PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES WITH THE FRONT OVERNIGHT. COULD ALSO HAVE FOG MOVE
INLAND ALONG THE DOWNEAST COAST LATER TONIGHT IN ADVANCE OF THE
FRONT. OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE MID TO UPPER
50S NORTH...TO THE LOWER TO MID 60S DOWNEAST. HAVE UPDATED THE
FORECAST TO ADJUST FOR CURRENT CONDITIONS ALONG WITH OVERNIGHT
TEMPERATURES AND CLOUD COVER.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM FROM CANADA WILL BEGIN TO BUILD
ACROSS NEW ENGLAND ON THURSDAY...BRINGING COOLER AND DRIER
CONDITIONS TO THE FCST AREA. WINDS MAY BE STRONGER/GUSTY TOMORROW
DUE TO STRONG MIXING IN THE LOW/MID LEVELS.
&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHWEST THURSDAY
NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. THE HIGH WILL THEN CREST OVER THE REGION FRIDAY
NIGHT THEN MOVE TO THE SOUTHEAST SATURDAY. WILL BLEND THE GFS AND
NAM WHICH BOTH PRESENT REASONABLE SOLUTIONS. THE SUPER BLEND
CONTINUES TO WORK WELL WITH TEMPERATURE SO WILL USE IT THIS PERIOD
FOR MAX/MIN.
&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE EXTENDED MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT. A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE
WILL BE BUILT ACROSS THE REGION. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BE
EXTENDED EAST WEST ACROSS CANADA NORTH OF THE RIDGE. THE FRONT
WILL PUSH SOUTH INTO NORTHERN MAINE MONDAY AFTERNOON...AS THE
RIDGE SLIPS TO THE SOUTH. EARLY WED MRNG THE FRONT WILL MOVE EAST
OF THE AREA. THE ASSOCIATED LOW AND UPPER LOW WILL MOVE ACROSS
CENTRAL QUEBEC AND REMAIN NORTH OF THE AREA. A NEW LOW MOVING
ACROSS SOUTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN WED AFTERNOON WILL MOVE INTO THE ERN
GREAT LAKE EARLY THURS...ITS ASSOCIATED WARM FRONT WILL MOVE INTO
NRN MAINE. BY THE END OF THE PERIOD THE LOW WILL BE ALONG THE WRN
ME/QUEBEC BORDER.

DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD USED A BLEND OF THE
MODELS. LOADED NAWAVE 4 FOR SEAS IN THE COASTAL WATERS. ADDED 15
PERCENT TO WINDS FOR GUSTS OVER LAND...25 PERCENT OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS.
&&

.AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: GENERALLY EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION
TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. HOWEVER...VARIABLE CONDITIONS COULD
OCCUR WITH ANY ISOLATED SHOWER OR POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORM ACROSS
NORTHERN AREAS THIS EVENING. VARIABLE CONDITIONS COULD ALSO OCCUR
WITH ANY FOG ALONG THE DOWNEAST COAST LATER TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS THURSDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. VISIBILITIES WILL BE REDUCED IN
AREAS OF FOG TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING.

SHORT TERM: FOR SUSTAINED WINDS WILL USE MULTI-MODEL APPROACH AND
BLEND THE GFS AND NAM. FOR WAVES: EXPECT NORTHEAST FETCH ACROSS
THE GULF OF MAINE FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE PUSHES DOWN FROM THE
NORTHWEST. NORTHEAST WIND WAVE EXPECTED TO DOMINATE EARLY FRIDAY
(2-3 FEET/5 SECONDS) BUT WILL BE LIMITED BY FETCH DISTANCE. WIND
WAVE WILL SUBSIDE LATER FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS ACROSS THE WATERS. PRIMARY WAVE SYSTEM SATURDAY WILL BE
LONG PERIOD INCOMING SWELL (AROUND 2 FEET/10-11 SECONDS).
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...NORCROSS/BERDES
SHORT TERM...MIGNONE
LONG TERM...NORTON
AVIATION...NORCROSS/MIGNONE
MARINE...NORCROSS/MIGNONE



000
FXUS61 KCAR 022353
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
753 PM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
THEN BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
UPDATE...
A COLD FRONT CURRENTLY APPROACHING THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER
VALLEY WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA OVERNIGHT.
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS CURRENTLY ALONG THE FRONT ACROSS QUEBEC
PROVINCE ARE NOW WEAKENING WITH THE LOSS OF DIURNAL HEATING. COULD
STILL HAVE AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORM ACROSS
NORTHERN AREAS THIS EVENING. OTHERWISE...GENERALLY EXPECT PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES WITH THE FRONT OVERNIGHT. COULD ALSO HAVE FOG MOVE
INLAND ALONG THE DOWNEAST COAST LATER TONIGHT IN ADVANCE OF THE
FRONT. OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE MID TO UPPER
50S NORTH...TO THE LOWER TO MID 60S DOWNEAST. HAVE UPDATED THE
FORECAST TO ADJUST FOR CURRENT CONDITIONS ALONG WITH OVERNIGHT
TEMPERATURES AND CLOUD COVER.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM FROM CANADA WILL BEGIN TO BUILD
ACROSS NEW ENGLAND ON THURSDAY...BRINGING COOLER AND DRIER
CONDITIONS TO THE FCST AREA. WINDS MAY BE STRONGER/GUSTY TOMORROW
DUE TO STRONG MIXING IN THE LOW/MID LEVELS.
&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHWEST THURSDAY
NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. THE HIGH WILL THEN CREST OVER THE REGION FRIDAY
NIGHT THEN MOVE TO THE SOUTHEAST SATURDAY. WILL BLEND THE GFS AND
NAM WHICH BOTH PRESENT REASONABLE SOLUTIONS. THE SUPER BLEND
CONTINUES TO WORK WELL WITH TEMPERATURE SO WILL USE IT THIS PERIOD
FOR MAX/MIN.
&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE EXTENDED MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT. A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE
WILL BE BUILT ACROSS THE REGION. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BE
EXTENDED EAST WEST ACROSS CANADA NORTH OF THE RIDGE. THE FRONT
WILL PUSH SOUTH INTO NORTHERN MAINE MONDAY AFTERNOON...AS THE
RIDGE SLIPS TO THE SOUTH. EARLY WED MRNG THE FRONT WILL MOVE EAST
OF THE AREA. THE ASSOCIATED LOW AND UPPER LOW WILL MOVE ACROSS
CENTRAL QUEBEC AND REMAIN NORTH OF THE AREA. A NEW LOW MOVING
ACROSS SOUTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN WED AFTERNOON WILL MOVE INTO THE ERN
GREAT LAKE EARLY THURS...ITS ASSOCIATED WARM FRONT WILL MOVE INTO
NRN MAINE. BY THE END OF THE PERIOD THE LOW WILL BE ALONG THE WRN
ME/QUEBEC BORDER.

DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD USED A BLEND OF THE
MODELS. LOADED NAWAVE 4 FOR SEAS IN THE COASTAL WATERS. ADDED 15
PERCENT TO WINDS FOR GUSTS OVER LAND...25 PERCENT OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS.
&&

.AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: GENERALLY EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION
TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. HOWEVER...VARIABLE CONDITIONS COULD
OCCUR WITH ANY ISOLATED SHOWER OR POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORM ACROSS
NORTHERN AREAS THIS EVENING. VARIABLE CONDITIONS COULD ALSO OCCUR
WITH ANY FOG ALONG THE DOWNEAST COAST LATER TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS THURSDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. VISIBILITIES WILL BE REDUCED IN
AREAS OF FOG TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING.

SHORT TERM: FOR SUSTAINED WINDS WILL USE MULTI-MODEL APPROACH AND
BLEND THE GFS AND NAM. FOR WAVES: EXPECT NORTHEAST FETCH ACROSS
THE GULF OF MAINE FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE PUSHES DOWN FROM THE
NORTHWEST. NORTHEAST WIND WAVE EXPECTED TO DOMINATE EARLY FRIDAY
(2-3 FEET/5 SECONDS) BUT WILL BE LIMITED BY FETCH DISTANCE. WIND
WAVE WILL SUBSIDE LATER FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS ACROSS THE WATERS. PRIMARY WAVE SYSTEM SATURDAY WILL BE
LONG PERIOD INCOMING SWELL (AROUND 2 FEET/10-11 SECONDS).
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...NORCROSS/BERDES
SHORT TERM...MIGNONE
LONG TERM...NORTON
AVIATION...NORCROSS/MIGNONE
MARINE...NORCROSS/MIGNONE




000
FXUS61 KGYX 022212
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
612 PM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK CANADIAN COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY MOVE SOUTH THROUGH THE
REGION TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH FROM
CANADA THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST
OVER THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL PUSH SOUTH OFF THE COAST ON
SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL HOLD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
610 PM...HAVE UPDATED POPS OVERNIGHT A BIT...KEEPING SLT CHC IN
FAR NRN ZONES THIS EVE...AS REMNANT CONVECTION MAY MAKE IT INTO
THE N BEFORE DYING. ALSO...BACKED OFF CHC POPS TO THE WEST UNTIL
AFTER SUNRISE...MOSTLY BASED ON MESOSCALE MODEL
CONSENSUS...ALTHOUGH CERTAINLY COULD NOT RULE OUT A SHOWER FROM
THE WHITES NWD DURING THE PRE-DAWN. ALSO MODIFIED T/TD A BIT
OVERNIGHT...MOSTLY BASED ON CURRENT OBS. THE COLD FRONT MAY SLIDE
INTO FAR NE ZONES BY DAYBREAK...MAINLY ALONG THE INTL BORDER IN
FRANKLIN SOMERSET CTYS.

PREVIOUSLY...THE CLEAR SKIES WILL SLOWLY GIVE WAY TO INCREASING
MID/HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE BY LATER TONIGHT AHEAD OF THE NEXT SYSTEM.
AREAS OF VALLEY FOG POSSIBLE IN THE CONNECTICUT AND MERRIMACK
RIVER VALLEYS LATER TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN MILD TONIGHT
DUE TO DEVELOPING CLOUD COVER.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
A WEAK CANADIAN COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION
THURSDAY PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
ALONG AND AHEAD OF ITS PASSAGE. ALL MODELS AGREE ON PUSHING FRONT
SOUTH OF THE AREA BY THURSDAY EVENING BRINGING AN END TO ANY
SHOWERS. CLEARING AND COOLER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY
NIGHT BEHIND THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. USED A BLEND OF THE MODELS WHICH
WERE ALL IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
VERY QUIET PATTERN IN PLACE FOR THE LONG TERM. FRIDAY STARTS WITH
HIGH PRESSURE FIRMLY IN PLACE OVER THE NORTHEAST. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL MOVE EVER SO SLOWLY OFF THE COAST DURING THE WEEKEND AND THEN
HOLD IN PLACE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE ONLY
CHANCE FOR SOME PRECIPITATION LOOKS TO BE LATE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY
NIGHT OVER THE MOUNTAINS.

&&

.AVIATION /22Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR TONIGHT. CIGS/VSBYS MAY LOWER TO MVFR IN
SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY. THURSDAY NIGHT VFR
CONDITIONS.

LONG TERM...PRIMARILY VFR THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...WINDS AND SEAS REMAIN LIGHT TONIGHT AND
THURSDAY...THURSDAY NIGHT WINDS AND SEAS WILL INCREASE BUT SHOULD
REMAIN BELOW SCA CRITERIA.

LONG TERM...NO FLAGS EXPECTED.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...CEMPA/MARINE
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...
MARINE...




000
FXUS61 KGYX 022212
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
612 PM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK CANADIAN COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY MOVE SOUTH THROUGH THE
REGION TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH FROM
CANADA THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST
OVER THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL PUSH SOUTH OFF THE COAST ON
SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL HOLD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
610 PM...HAVE UPDATED POPS OVERNIGHT A BIT...KEEPING SLT CHC IN
FAR NRN ZONES THIS EVE...AS REMNANT CONVECTION MAY MAKE IT INTO
THE N BEFORE DYING. ALSO...BACKED OFF CHC POPS TO THE WEST UNTIL
AFTER SUNRISE...MOSTLY BASED ON MESOSCALE MODEL
CONSENSUS...ALTHOUGH CERTAINLY COULD NOT RULE OUT A SHOWER FROM
THE WHITES NWD DURING THE PRE-DAWN. ALSO MODIFIED T/TD A BIT
OVERNIGHT...MOSTLY BASED ON CURRENT OBS. THE COLD FRONT MAY SLIDE
INTO FAR NE ZONES BY DAYBREAK...MAINLY ALONG THE INTL BORDER IN
FRANKLIN SOMERSET CTYS.

PREVIOUSLY...THE CLEAR SKIES WILL SLOWLY GIVE WAY TO INCREASING
MID/HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE BY LATER TONIGHT AHEAD OF THE NEXT SYSTEM.
AREAS OF VALLEY FOG POSSIBLE IN THE CONNECTICUT AND MERRIMACK
RIVER VALLEYS LATER TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN MILD TONIGHT
DUE TO DEVELOPING CLOUD COVER.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
A WEAK CANADIAN COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION
THURSDAY PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
ALONG AND AHEAD OF ITS PASSAGE. ALL MODELS AGREE ON PUSHING FRONT
SOUTH OF THE AREA BY THURSDAY EVENING BRINGING AN END TO ANY
SHOWERS. CLEARING AND COOLER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY
NIGHT BEHIND THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. USED A BLEND OF THE MODELS WHICH
WERE ALL IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
VERY QUIET PATTERN IN PLACE FOR THE LONG TERM. FRIDAY STARTS WITH
HIGH PRESSURE FIRMLY IN PLACE OVER THE NORTHEAST. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL MOVE EVER SO SLOWLY OFF THE COAST DURING THE WEEKEND AND THEN
HOLD IN PLACE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE ONLY
CHANCE FOR SOME PRECIPITATION LOOKS TO BE LATE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY
NIGHT OVER THE MOUNTAINS.

&&

.AVIATION /22Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR TONIGHT. CIGS/VSBYS MAY LOWER TO MVFR IN
SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY. THURSDAY NIGHT VFR
CONDITIONS.

LONG TERM...PRIMARILY VFR THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...WINDS AND SEAS REMAIN LIGHT TONIGHT AND
THURSDAY...THURSDAY NIGHT WINDS AND SEAS WILL INCREASE BUT SHOULD
REMAIN BELOW SCA CRITERIA.

LONG TERM...NO FLAGS EXPECTED.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...CEMPA/MARINE
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...
MARINE...



000
FXUS61 KGYX 022212
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
612 PM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK CANADIAN COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY MOVE SOUTH THROUGH THE
REGION TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH FROM
CANADA THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST
OVER THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL PUSH SOUTH OFF THE COAST ON
SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL HOLD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
610 PM...HAVE UPDATED POPS OVERNIGHT A BIT...KEEPING SLT CHC IN
FAR NRN ZONES THIS EVE...AS REMNANT CONVECTION MAY MAKE IT INTO
THE N BEFORE DYING. ALSO...BACKED OFF CHC POPS TO THE WEST UNTIL
AFTER SUNRISE...MOSTLY BASED ON MESOSCALE MODEL
CONSENSUS...ALTHOUGH CERTAINLY COULD NOT RULE OUT A SHOWER FROM
THE WHITES NWD DURING THE PRE-DAWN. ALSO MODIFIED T/TD A BIT
OVERNIGHT...MOSTLY BASED ON CURRENT OBS. THE COLD FRONT MAY SLIDE
INTO FAR NE ZONES BY DAYBREAK...MAINLY ALONG THE INTL BORDER IN
FRANKLIN SOMERSET CTYS.

PREVIOUSLY...THE CLEAR SKIES WILL SLOWLY GIVE WAY TO INCREASING
MID/HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE BY LATER TONIGHT AHEAD OF THE NEXT SYSTEM.
AREAS OF VALLEY FOG POSSIBLE IN THE CONNECTICUT AND MERRIMACK
RIVER VALLEYS LATER TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN MILD TONIGHT
DUE TO DEVELOPING CLOUD COVER.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
A WEAK CANADIAN COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION
THURSDAY PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
ALONG AND AHEAD OF ITS PASSAGE. ALL MODELS AGREE ON PUSHING FRONT
SOUTH OF THE AREA BY THURSDAY EVENING BRINGING AN END TO ANY
SHOWERS. CLEARING AND COOLER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY
NIGHT BEHIND THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. USED A BLEND OF THE MODELS WHICH
WERE ALL IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
VERY QUIET PATTERN IN PLACE FOR THE LONG TERM. FRIDAY STARTS WITH
HIGH PRESSURE FIRMLY IN PLACE OVER THE NORTHEAST. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL MOVE EVER SO SLOWLY OFF THE COAST DURING THE WEEKEND AND THEN
HOLD IN PLACE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE ONLY
CHANCE FOR SOME PRECIPITATION LOOKS TO BE LATE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY
NIGHT OVER THE MOUNTAINS.

&&

.AVIATION /22Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR TONIGHT. CIGS/VSBYS MAY LOWER TO MVFR IN
SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY. THURSDAY NIGHT VFR
CONDITIONS.

LONG TERM...PRIMARILY VFR THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...WINDS AND SEAS REMAIN LIGHT TONIGHT AND
THURSDAY...THURSDAY NIGHT WINDS AND SEAS WILL INCREASE BUT SHOULD
REMAIN BELOW SCA CRITERIA.

LONG TERM...NO FLAGS EXPECTED.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...CEMPA/MARINE
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...
MARINE...



000
FXUS61 KGYX 022212
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
612 PM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK CANADIAN COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY MOVE SOUTH THROUGH THE
REGION TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH FROM
CANADA THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST
OVER THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL PUSH SOUTH OFF THE COAST ON
SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL HOLD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
610 PM...HAVE UPDATED POPS OVERNIGHT A BIT...KEEPING SLT CHC IN
FAR NRN ZONES THIS EVE...AS REMNANT CONVECTION MAY MAKE IT INTO
THE N BEFORE DYING. ALSO...BACKED OFF CHC POPS TO THE WEST UNTIL
AFTER SUNRISE...MOSTLY BASED ON MESOSCALE MODEL
CONSENSUS...ALTHOUGH CERTAINLY COULD NOT RULE OUT A SHOWER FROM
THE WHITES NWD DURING THE PRE-DAWN. ALSO MODIFIED T/TD A BIT
OVERNIGHT...MOSTLY BASED ON CURRENT OBS. THE COLD FRONT MAY SLIDE
INTO FAR NE ZONES BY DAYBREAK...MAINLY ALONG THE INTL BORDER IN
FRANKLIN SOMERSET CTYS.

PREVIOUSLY...THE CLEAR SKIES WILL SLOWLY GIVE WAY TO INCREASING
MID/HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE BY LATER TONIGHT AHEAD OF THE NEXT SYSTEM.
AREAS OF VALLEY FOG POSSIBLE IN THE CONNECTICUT AND MERRIMACK
RIVER VALLEYS LATER TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN MILD TONIGHT
DUE TO DEVELOPING CLOUD COVER.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
A WEAK CANADIAN COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION
THURSDAY PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
ALONG AND AHEAD OF ITS PASSAGE. ALL MODELS AGREE ON PUSHING FRONT
SOUTH OF THE AREA BY THURSDAY EVENING BRINGING AN END TO ANY
SHOWERS. CLEARING AND COOLER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY
NIGHT BEHIND THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. USED A BLEND OF THE MODELS WHICH
WERE ALL IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
VERY QUIET PATTERN IN PLACE FOR THE LONG TERM. FRIDAY STARTS WITH
HIGH PRESSURE FIRMLY IN PLACE OVER THE NORTHEAST. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL MOVE EVER SO SLOWLY OFF THE COAST DURING THE WEEKEND AND THEN
HOLD IN PLACE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE ONLY
CHANCE FOR SOME PRECIPITATION LOOKS TO BE LATE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY
NIGHT OVER THE MOUNTAINS.

&&

.AVIATION /22Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR TONIGHT. CIGS/VSBYS MAY LOWER TO MVFR IN
SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY. THURSDAY NIGHT VFR
CONDITIONS.

LONG TERM...PRIMARILY VFR THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...WINDS AND SEAS REMAIN LIGHT TONIGHT AND
THURSDAY...THURSDAY NIGHT WINDS AND SEAS WILL INCREASE BUT SHOULD
REMAIN BELOW SCA CRITERIA.

LONG TERM...NO FLAGS EXPECTED.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...CEMPA/MARINE
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...
MARINE...



000
FXUS61 KGYX 022212
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
612 PM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK CANADIAN COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY MOVE SOUTH THROUGH THE
REGION TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH FROM
CANADA THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST
OVER THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL PUSH SOUTH OFF THE COAST ON
SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL HOLD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
610 PM...HAVE UPDATED POPS OVERNIGHT A BIT...KEEPING SLT CHC IN
FAR NRN ZONES THIS EVE...AS REMNANT CONVECTION MAY MAKE IT INTO
THE N BEFORE DYING. ALSO...BACKED OFF CHC POPS TO THE WEST UNTIL
AFTER SUNRISE...MOSTLY BASED ON MESOSCALE MODEL
CONSENSUS...ALTHOUGH CERTAINLY COULD NOT RULE OUT A SHOWER FROM
THE WHITES NWD DURING THE PRE-DAWN. ALSO MODIFIED T/TD A BIT
OVERNIGHT...MOSTLY BASED ON CURRENT OBS. THE COLD FRONT MAY SLIDE
INTO FAR NE ZONES BY DAYBREAK...MAINLY ALONG THE INTL BORDER IN
FRANKLIN SOMERSET CTYS.

PREVIOUSLY...THE CLEAR SKIES WILL SLOWLY GIVE WAY TO INCREASING
MID/HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE BY LATER TONIGHT AHEAD OF THE NEXT SYSTEM.
AREAS OF VALLEY FOG POSSIBLE IN THE CONNECTICUT AND MERRIMACK
RIVER VALLEYS LATER TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN MILD TONIGHT
DUE TO DEVELOPING CLOUD COVER.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
A WEAK CANADIAN COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION
THURSDAY PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
ALONG AND AHEAD OF ITS PASSAGE. ALL MODELS AGREE ON PUSHING FRONT
SOUTH OF THE AREA BY THURSDAY EVENING BRINGING AN END TO ANY
SHOWERS. CLEARING AND COOLER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY
NIGHT BEHIND THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. USED A BLEND OF THE MODELS WHICH
WERE ALL IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
VERY QUIET PATTERN IN PLACE FOR THE LONG TERM. FRIDAY STARTS WITH
HIGH PRESSURE FIRMLY IN PLACE OVER THE NORTHEAST. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL MOVE EVER SO SLOWLY OFF THE COAST DURING THE WEEKEND AND THEN
HOLD IN PLACE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE ONLY
CHANCE FOR SOME PRECIPITATION LOOKS TO BE LATE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY
NIGHT OVER THE MOUNTAINS.

&&

.AVIATION /22Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR TONIGHT. CIGS/VSBYS MAY LOWER TO MVFR IN
SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY. THURSDAY NIGHT VFR
CONDITIONS.

LONG TERM...PRIMARILY VFR THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...WINDS AND SEAS REMAIN LIGHT TONIGHT AND
THURSDAY...THURSDAY NIGHT WINDS AND SEAS WILL INCREASE BUT SHOULD
REMAIN BELOW SCA CRITERIA.

LONG TERM...NO FLAGS EXPECTED.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...CEMPA/MARINE
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...
MARINE...



000
FXUS61 KGYX 022212
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
612 PM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK CANADIAN COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY MOVE SOUTH THROUGH THE
REGION TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH FROM
CANADA THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST
OVER THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL PUSH SOUTH OFF THE COAST ON
SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL HOLD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
610 PM...HAVE UPDATED POPS OVERNIGHT A BIT...KEEPING SLT CHC IN
FAR NRN ZONES THIS EVE...AS REMNANT CONVECTION MAY MAKE IT INTO
THE N BEFORE DYING. ALSO...BACKED OFF CHC POPS TO THE WEST UNTIL
AFTER SUNRISE...MOSTLY BASED ON MESOSCALE MODEL
CONSENSUS...ALTHOUGH CERTAINLY COULD NOT RULE OUT A SHOWER FROM
THE WHITES NWD DURING THE PRE-DAWN. ALSO MODIFIED T/TD A BIT
OVERNIGHT...MOSTLY BASED ON CURRENT OBS. THE COLD FRONT MAY SLIDE
INTO FAR NE ZONES BY DAYBREAK...MAINLY ALONG THE INTL BORDER IN
FRANKLIN SOMERSET CTYS.

PREVIOUSLY...THE CLEAR SKIES WILL SLOWLY GIVE WAY TO INCREASING
MID/HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE BY LATER TONIGHT AHEAD OF THE NEXT SYSTEM.
AREAS OF VALLEY FOG POSSIBLE IN THE CONNECTICUT AND MERRIMACK
RIVER VALLEYS LATER TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN MILD TONIGHT
DUE TO DEVELOPING CLOUD COVER.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
A WEAK CANADIAN COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION
THURSDAY PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
ALONG AND AHEAD OF ITS PASSAGE. ALL MODELS AGREE ON PUSHING FRONT
SOUTH OF THE AREA BY THURSDAY EVENING BRINGING AN END TO ANY
SHOWERS. CLEARING AND COOLER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY
NIGHT BEHIND THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. USED A BLEND OF THE MODELS WHICH
WERE ALL IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
VERY QUIET PATTERN IN PLACE FOR THE LONG TERM. FRIDAY STARTS WITH
HIGH PRESSURE FIRMLY IN PLACE OVER THE NORTHEAST. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL MOVE EVER SO SLOWLY OFF THE COAST DURING THE WEEKEND AND THEN
HOLD IN PLACE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE ONLY
CHANCE FOR SOME PRECIPITATION LOOKS TO BE LATE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY
NIGHT OVER THE MOUNTAINS.

&&

.AVIATION /22Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR TONIGHT. CIGS/VSBYS MAY LOWER TO MVFR IN
SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY. THURSDAY NIGHT VFR
CONDITIONS.

LONG TERM...PRIMARILY VFR THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...WINDS AND SEAS REMAIN LIGHT TONIGHT AND
THURSDAY...THURSDAY NIGHT WINDS AND SEAS WILL INCREASE BUT SHOULD
REMAIN BELOW SCA CRITERIA.

LONG TERM...NO FLAGS EXPECTED.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...CEMPA/MARINE
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...
MARINE...



000
FXUS61 KGYX 022007
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
407 PM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK CANADIAN COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY MOVE SOUTH THROUGH THE
REGION TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH FROM
CANADA THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST
OVER THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL PUSH SOUTH OFF THE COAST ON
SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL HOLD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
THE CLEAR SKIES WILL SLOWLY GIVE WAY TO INCREASING MID/HIGH LEVEL
MOISTURE BY LATER TONIGHT AHEAD OF THE NEXT SYSTEM. AREAS OF
VALLEY FOG POSSIBLE IN THE CONNECTICUT AND MERRIMACK RIVER VALLEYS
LATER TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN MILD TONIGHT DUE TO
DEVELOPING CLOUD COVER.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
A WEAK CANADIAN COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION
THURSDAY PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
ALONG AND AHEAD OF ITS PASSAGE. ALL MODELS AGREE ON PUSHING FRONT
SOUTH OF THE AREA BY THURSDAY EVENING BRINGING AN END TO ANY
SHOWERS. CLEARING AND COOLER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY
NIGHT BEHIND THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. USED A BLEND OF THE MODELS WHICH
WERE ALL IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
VERY QUIET PATTERN IN PLACE FOR THE LONG TERM. FRIDAY STARTS WITH
HIGH PRESSURE FIRMLY IN PLACE OVER THE NORTHEAST. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL MOVE EVER SO SLOWLY OFF THE COAST DURING THE WEEKEND AND THEN
HOLD IN PLACE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE ONLY
CHANCE FOR SOME PRECIPITATION LOOKS TO BE LATE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY
NIGHT OVER THE MOUNTAINS.

&&

.AVIATION /17Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR TONIGHT. CIGS/VSBYS MAY LOWER TO MVFR IN
SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY. THURSDAY NIGHT VFR
CONDITIONS.

LONG TERM...PRIMARILY VFR THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...WINDS AND SEAS REMAIN LIGHT TONIGHT AND
THURSDAY...THURSDAY NIGHT WINDS AND SEAS WILL INCREASE BUT SHOULD
REMAIN BELOW SCA CRITERIA.

LONG TERM...NO FLAGS EXPECTED.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

MARINE/POHL



000
FXUS61 KGYX 022007
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
407 PM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK CANADIAN COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY MOVE SOUTH THROUGH THE
REGION TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH FROM
CANADA THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST
OVER THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL PUSH SOUTH OFF THE COAST ON
SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL HOLD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
THE CLEAR SKIES WILL SLOWLY GIVE WAY TO INCREASING MID/HIGH LEVEL
MOISTURE BY LATER TONIGHT AHEAD OF THE NEXT SYSTEM. AREAS OF
VALLEY FOG POSSIBLE IN THE CONNECTICUT AND MERRIMACK RIVER VALLEYS
LATER TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN MILD TONIGHT DUE TO
DEVELOPING CLOUD COVER.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
A WEAK CANADIAN COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION
THURSDAY PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
ALONG AND AHEAD OF ITS PASSAGE. ALL MODELS AGREE ON PUSHING FRONT
SOUTH OF THE AREA BY THURSDAY EVENING BRINGING AN END TO ANY
SHOWERS. CLEARING AND COOLER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY
NIGHT BEHIND THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. USED A BLEND OF THE MODELS WHICH
WERE ALL IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
VERY QUIET PATTERN IN PLACE FOR THE LONG TERM. FRIDAY STARTS WITH
HIGH PRESSURE FIRMLY IN PLACE OVER THE NORTHEAST. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL MOVE EVER SO SLOWLY OFF THE COAST DURING THE WEEKEND AND THEN
HOLD IN PLACE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE ONLY
CHANCE FOR SOME PRECIPITATION LOOKS TO BE LATE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY
NIGHT OVER THE MOUNTAINS.

&&

.AVIATION /17Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR TONIGHT. CIGS/VSBYS MAY LOWER TO MVFR IN
SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY. THURSDAY NIGHT VFR
CONDITIONS.

LONG TERM...PRIMARILY VFR THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...WINDS AND SEAS REMAIN LIGHT TONIGHT AND
THURSDAY...THURSDAY NIGHT WINDS AND SEAS WILL INCREASE BUT SHOULD
REMAIN BELOW SCA CRITERIA.

LONG TERM...NO FLAGS EXPECTED.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

MARINE/POHL




000
FXUS61 KCAR 022004
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
404 PM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
A COLD FRONT OVER NRN MAINE WILL SLOWLY TRACK SWD ACROSS THE REST
OF OUR CWA TONIGHT. THE FRONT WILL BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
STORMS TO THE CWA...MAINLY ACROSS OUR NRN ZONES THIS AFTERNOON AND
EARLY THIS EVENING. SINCE THE NAM12 MUCAPE VALUES ARE RANGING FROM
1000 TO 1500 J/KG BEFORE SUNSET TODAY...CANT RULE OUT AN ISOLD
STORM STORM. THE FROPA WILL BE MAINLY DRY ACROSS THE SRN HALF OUR
CWA LATER TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING. THEN A STRONG HIGH
PRESSURE SYSTEM FROM CANADA WILL BEGIN TO BUILD ACROSS NEW ENGLAND
ON THURSDAY...BRINGING COOLER AND DRIER CONDITIONS TO THE FCST
AREA. WINDS MAY BE STRONGER/GUSTY TOMORROW DUE TO STRONG MIXING
IN THE LOW/MID LEVELS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHWEST THURSDAY
NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. THE HIGH WILL THEN CREST OVER THE REGION FRIDAY
NIGHT THEN MOVE TO THE SOUTHEAST SATURDAY. WILL BLEND THE GFS AND
NAM WHICH BOTH PRESENT REASONABLE SOLUTIONS. THE SUPER BLEND
CONTINUES TO WORK WELL WITH TEMPERATURE SO WILL USE IT THIS PERIOD
FOR MAX/MIN.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE EXTENDED MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT. A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE
WILL BE BUILT ACROSS THE REGION. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BE
EXTENDED EAST WEST ACROSS CANADA NORTH OF THE RIDGE. THE FRONT
WILL PUSH SOUTH INTO NORTHERN MAINE MONDAY AFTERNOON...AS THE
RIDGE SLIPS TO THE SOUTH. EARLY WED MRNG THE FRONT WILL MOVE EAST
OF THE AREA. THE ASSOCIATED LOW AND UPPER LOW WILL MOVE ACROSS
CENTRAL QUEBEC AND REMAIN NORTH OF THE AREA. A NEW LOW MOVING
ACROSS SOUTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN WED AFTERNOON WILL MOVE INTO THE ERN
GREAT LAKE EARLY THURS...ITS ASSOCIATED WARM FRONT WILL MOVE INTO
NRN MAINE. BY THE END OF THE PERIOD THE LOW WILL BE ALONG THE WRN
ME/QUEBEC BORDER.

DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD USED A BLEND OF THE
MODELS. LOADED NAWAVE 4 FOR SEAS IN THE COASTAL WATERS. ADDED 15
PERCENT TO WINDS FOR GUSTS OVER LAND...25 PERCENT OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD PREVAIL ACROSS OUR CWA THROUGH
THE TAF PERIOD. HOWEVER MVFR/IFR CIGS/VSBYS SHOULD ACCOMPANY THE
SHOWERS AND STORMS THAT ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A FROPA. WINDS WILL
TURN OUT OF THE NORTHWEST TONIGHT...THEN INCREASE IN INTENSITY ON
THURSDAY DUE TO DAYTIME MIXING.

SHORT TERM: EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS THURSDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: AREAS OF FOG WILL AFFECT OUR COASTAL WATERS THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING. OTHERWISE WINDS AND SEAS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA.

SHORT TERM: FOR SUSTAINED WINDS WILL USE MULTI-MODEL APPROACH AND
BLEND THE GFS AND NAM. FOR WAVES: EXPECT NORTHEAST FETCH ACROSS
THE GULF OF MAINE FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE PUSHES DOWN FROM THE
NORTHWEST. NORTHEAST WIND WAVE EXPECTED TO DOMINATE EARLY FRIDAY
(2-3 FEET/5 SECONDS) BUT WILL BE LIMITED BY FETCH DISTANCE. WIND
WAVE WILL SUBSIDE LATER FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS ACROSS THE WATERS. PRIMARY WAVE SYSTEM SATURDAY WILL BE
LONG PERIOD INCOMING SWELL (AROUND 2 FEET/10-11 SECONDS).

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...BERDES
SHORT TERM...MIGNONE
LONG TERM...NORTON
AVIATION...BERDES/MIGNONE
MARINE...BERDES/MIGNONE



000
FXUS61 KCAR 022004
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
404 PM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
A COLD FRONT OVER NRN MAINE WILL SLOWLY TRACK SWD ACROSS THE REST
OF OUR CWA TONIGHT. THE FRONT WILL BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
STORMS TO THE CWA...MAINLY ACROSS OUR NRN ZONES THIS AFTERNOON AND
EARLY THIS EVENING. SINCE THE NAM12 MUCAPE VALUES ARE RANGING FROM
1000 TO 1500 J/KG BEFORE SUNSET TODAY...CANT RULE OUT AN ISOLD
STORM STORM. THE FROPA WILL BE MAINLY DRY ACROSS THE SRN HALF OUR
CWA LATER TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING. THEN A STRONG HIGH
PRESSURE SYSTEM FROM CANADA WILL BEGIN TO BUILD ACROSS NEW ENGLAND
ON THURSDAY...BRINGING COOLER AND DRIER CONDITIONS TO THE FCST
AREA. WINDS MAY BE STRONGER/GUSTY TOMORROW DUE TO STRONG MIXING
IN THE LOW/MID LEVELS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHWEST THURSDAY
NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. THE HIGH WILL THEN CREST OVER THE REGION FRIDAY
NIGHT THEN MOVE TO THE SOUTHEAST SATURDAY. WILL BLEND THE GFS AND
NAM WHICH BOTH PRESENT REASONABLE SOLUTIONS. THE SUPER BLEND
CONTINUES TO WORK WELL WITH TEMPERATURE SO WILL USE IT THIS PERIOD
FOR MAX/MIN.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE EXTENDED MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT. A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE
WILL BE BUILT ACROSS THE REGION. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BE
EXTENDED EAST WEST ACROSS CANADA NORTH OF THE RIDGE. THE FRONT
WILL PUSH SOUTH INTO NORTHERN MAINE MONDAY AFTERNOON...AS THE
RIDGE SLIPS TO THE SOUTH. EARLY WED MRNG THE FRONT WILL MOVE EAST
OF THE AREA. THE ASSOCIATED LOW AND UPPER LOW WILL MOVE ACROSS
CENTRAL QUEBEC AND REMAIN NORTH OF THE AREA. A NEW LOW MOVING
ACROSS SOUTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN WED AFTERNOON WILL MOVE INTO THE ERN
GREAT LAKE EARLY THURS...ITS ASSOCIATED WARM FRONT WILL MOVE INTO
NRN MAINE. BY THE END OF THE PERIOD THE LOW WILL BE ALONG THE WRN
ME/QUEBEC BORDER.

DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD USED A BLEND OF THE
MODELS. LOADED NAWAVE 4 FOR SEAS IN THE COASTAL WATERS. ADDED 15
PERCENT TO WINDS FOR GUSTS OVER LAND...25 PERCENT OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD PREVAIL ACROSS OUR CWA THROUGH
THE TAF PERIOD. HOWEVER MVFR/IFR CIGS/VSBYS SHOULD ACCOMPANY THE
SHOWERS AND STORMS THAT ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A FROPA. WINDS WILL
TURN OUT OF THE NORTHWEST TONIGHT...THEN INCREASE IN INTENSITY ON
THURSDAY DUE TO DAYTIME MIXING.

SHORT TERM: EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS THURSDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: AREAS OF FOG WILL AFFECT OUR COASTAL WATERS THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING. OTHERWISE WINDS AND SEAS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA.

SHORT TERM: FOR SUSTAINED WINDS WILL USE MULTI-MODEL APPROACH AND
BLEND THE GFS AND NAM. FOR WAVES: EXPECT NORTHEAST FETCH ACROSS
THE GULF OF MAINE FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE PUSHES DOWN FROM THE
NORTHWEST. NORTHEAST WIND WAVE EXPECTED TO DOMINATE EARLY FRIDAY
(2-3 FEET/5 SECONDS) BUT WILL BE LIMITED BY FETCH DISTANCE. WIND
WAVE WILL SUBSIDE LATER FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS ACROSS THE WATERS. PRIMARY WAVE SYSTEM SATURDAY WILL BE
LONG PERIOD INCOMING SWELL (AROUND 2 FEET/10-11 SECONDS).

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...BERDES
SHORT TERM...MIGNONE
LONG TERM...NORTON
AVIATION...BERDES/MIGNONE
MARINE...BERDES/MIGNONE



000
FXUS61 KCAR 021538
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1138 AM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH LATER TODAY...THEN CROSS THE REGION
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
1130AM UPDATE: FOG OVER OUR COASTAL WATERS HAS INCREASED IN
COVERAGE OVER THE LAST FEW HOURS. SO WE HAVE ADDED MENTION OF FOG
TO CWF AND ZFP FOR TODAY.

930AM UPDATE: GOING FORECAST LOOKS GOOD FOR TODAY. TWEAKED SKY AND
TEMPS TO BETTER MATCH CURRENT CONDITIONS. MAY HAVE TO INCREASE
POPS TO LIKELY ACROSS THE FAR NORTH IF SHOWERS/STORMS BECOME MORE
NUMEROUS THAN EXPECTED. BUT WILL DO THAT IN A LATER UPDATE TO SEE
HOW CONVECTION EVOLVES.

AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS CROSSING THE AREA EARLY THIS MORNING WITH
WIDESPREAD CIRRUS IN NORTHERN ZONES. IT WILL GIVE WAY TO AN
APPROACHING SHORTWAVE MOVING OUT OF QUEBEC LATER TODAY. THE
SHORTWAVE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY THE SURFACE COLD FRONT. HUMIDITY
WILL SURGE TODAY WITH DEWPOINTS RISING INTO THE MID 60S.  THE BIG
QUESTION FOR TODAY WILL BE DEVELOPMENT OF ANY CONVECTION. THE
BIGGEST PROBLEM IS A LACK OF MOISTURE AS UPPER AIR ANALYSIS AND
AVAILABLE UPSTREAM RAOBS SHOW VERY LITTLE. THUS...SUFFICIENT
MOISTURE FOR ANY CONVECTION WILL LIKELY BE CONFINED TO NARROW
BANDS. AS A RESULT...HAVE MAINTAINED NO GREATER THAN CHANCE POPS
THROUGH THE PERIOD. THIS APPEARS TO BE A TWO PART EVENT WITH
REGARDS TO CONVECTION. FIRST...A PRE FRONTAL TROUGH WILL MOVE
INTO THE CROWN OF MAINE THIS AFTERNOON. THIS TROUGH WILL COMBINE
WITH MAX HEATING AND THE ELEVATED DEW POINTS TO PRODUCE SOME
MODEST CAPE AND THE THREAT OF ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
IN NORTHERN AROOSTOOK THIS AFTERNOON. 0-6 SHEAR VALUES AND MID-
LEVEL LAPSE RATES LOOK REASONABLE FOR A FEW STORMS...BUT DO NOT
SEE THE NEED FOR ANY ENHANCED WORDING AT THIS TIME. HIGHS TODAY
WILL RISE WELL INTO THE 80S ACROSS THE AREA WITH AN ISOLATED 90F
READING POSSIBLE TOWARDS THE LOWER PENOBSCOT VALLEY. THE SECOND
PART OF THIS EVENT SEEMS LIKE IT COULD UNFOLD LATER IN THE EVENING
IN CENTRAL ZONES AS THE ACTUAL COLD FRONT ARRIVES AND THE UPPER
SHORTWAVE AMPLIFIES. AS A RESULT...HAVE FOLLOWED THE LEAD FROM THE
CANGEMS GUIDANCE AND MAINTAINED POPS THROUGH THE NIGHT AS THE
FRONT WORKS SOUTHWARD. EXPECT A WARM AND HUMID NIGHT ACROSS MOST
OF THE AREA WITH LOWS IN THE LOW TO MID 60S AND DEW POINTS ALSO
REMAINING ABOVE 60F. BY LATE NIGHT...DRIER AIR WILL ARRIVE TOWARDS
THE SAINT JOHN VALLEY AND CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTHWARD THROUGH
THURSDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
CDFNT WL HV PASSED OFFSHORE BY THUR MRNG. COOLER AND DRIER WX WL
FILTER INTO CWA DRG THE DAY WITH HIGH TEMPS ONLY PROGGED TO RISE TO
ARND 80F ACRS INTERIOR DOWNEAST AND STRUGGLING TO HIT 70F OVR THE
FAR NORTH. DWPTS THRU THE DAY WL DIP INTO THE 40S ACRS THE CROWN OF
MAINE.

HIPRES RAPIDLY BUILDS IN THUR NGT AS 1025MB HIGH SETTLES ACRS SRN
QUEBEC. DRY NW FLOW CONTS THRU FRI MRNG, LEADING TO CLR SKIES OVRNGT
WITH H9 TEMPS DIPPING INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS. THIS WL YIELD
WIDESPREAD MINS BY FRI MRNG IN THE 40S WITH U30S NOT ENTIRELY OUT OF
THE QUESTION IN THE NORTH WOODS.

SFC HIGH WL SETTLE OVR STATE OF MAINE FRI NGT WITH EXCELLENT RADN`L
COOLING CONDS. BUFKIT SNDGS FOR THIS TIMEFRAME SHOW SIGNIFICANT
RIDGE/VLY SPLIT IN MIN TEMPS BY SAT MRNG. 590 HEIGHTS BUILD IN SAT
FM THE WEST WHICH WL RESULT IN A PROLONGED PD OF SUNNY SKIES AND
WARMER THAN NORMAL TEMPS.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
EXTNDD BEGINS MUCH THE SAME WAY THE SAME WITH A PD OF
SUNNY, DRY AND WARM TEMPS THRU THE END OF THE WEEKEND. H5 RIDGE
STARTS TO FLATTEN DRG THE DAY ON SUNDAY WITH INCRSG CLDS ACRS THE
FAR NORTH LATE SUN NGT AND PERHAPS JUST A SPRINKLE OR TWO IN DRY
AIRMASS. FRONTAL BNDRY WL BE STRETCHED JUST TO THE NORTH OF CWA WITH
WVS RUNNING ALONG FRONT IN ZONAL FLOW. FRONTAL BNDRY WL SAG SOUTH
THRU THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK WITH CHC SHOWERS/TSTMS.

&&

.AVIATION /16Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR OUTSIDE OF SCT/ISOLD TS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. FOG MAY CREEP INTO BHB AND COASTAL
TERMINALS LATE TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: VFR THROUGH END OF THE WEEKEND UNDER EXTENSIVE HIGH
PRESSURE.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: FOG IS EXPECTED TO RETURN AS VERY HUMID AIR MOVES OVER
THE COLD WATERS TODAY.

SHORT TERM: COLD FRONT WILL CROSS WATERS ON THURSDAY WITH PRESSURE
GRADIENT INCREASING THUR NGT. THIS MAY LEAD TO WINDS GUSTING TO
OVER 25KTS AND POSSIBLY SEAS APPCHG 5FT. AT THIS TIME, CONFIDENCE
ON SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA BEING MET IS LOW.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...MCW/BERDES
SHORT TERM...FARRAR
LONG TERM...FARRAR
AVIATION...MCW/BERDES/FARRAR
MARINE...MCW/BERDES/FARRAR



000
FXUS61 KCAR 021538
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1138 AM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH LATER TODAY...THEN CROSS THE REGION
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
1130AM UPDATE: FOG OVER OUR COASTAL WATERS HAS INCREASED IN
COVERAGE OVER THE LAST FEW HOURS. SO WE HAVE ADDED MENTION OF FOG
TO CWF AND ZFP FOR TODAY.

930AM UPDATE: GOING FORECAST LOOKS GOOD FOR TODAY. TWEAKED SKY AND
TEMPS TO BETTER MATCH CURRENT CONDITIONS. MAY HAVE TO INCREASE
POPS TO LIKELY ACROSS THE FAR NORTH IF SHOWERS/STORMS BECOME MORE
NUMEROUS THAN EXPECTED. BUT WILL DO THAT IN A LATER UPDATE TO SEE
HOW CONVECTION EVOLVES.

AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS CROSSING THE AREA EARLY THIS MORNING WITH
WIDESPREAD CIRRUS IN NORTHERN ZONES. IT WILL GIVE WAY TO AN
APPROACHING SHORTWAVE MOVING OUT OF QUEBEC LATER TODAY. THE
SHORTWAVE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY THE SURFACE COLD FRONT. HUMIDITY
WILL SURGE TODAY WITH DEWPOINTS RISING INTO THE MID 60S.  THE BIG
QUESTION FOR TODAY WILL BE DEVELOPMENT OF ANY CONVECTION. THE
BIGGEST PROBLEM IS A LACK OF MOISTURE AS UPPER AIR ANALYSIS AND
AVAILABLE UPSTREAM RAOBS SHOW VERY LITTLE. THUS...SUFFICIENT
MOISTURE FOR ANY CONVECTION WILL LIKELY BE CONFINED TO NARROW
BANDS. AS A RESULT...HAVE MAINTAINED NO GREATER THAN CHANCE POPS
THROUGH THE PERIOD. THIS APPEARS TO BE A TWO PART EVENT WITH
REGARDS TO CONVECTION. FIRST...A PRE FRONTAL TROUGH WILL MOVE
INTO THE CROWN OF MAINE THIS AFTERNOON. THIS TROUGH WILL COMBINE
WITH MAX HEATING AND THE ELEVATED DEW POINTS TO PRODUCE SOME
MODEST CAPE AND THE THREAT OF ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
IN NORTHERN AROOSTOOK THIS AFTERNOON. 0-6 SHEAR VALUES AND MID-
LEVEL LAPSE RATES LOOK REASONABLE FOR A FEW STORMS...BUT DO NOT
SEE THE NEED FOR ANY ENHANCED WORDING AT THIS TIME. HIGHS TODAY
WILL RISE WELL INTO THE 80S ACROSS THE AREA WITH AN ISOLATED 90F
READING POSSIBLE TOWARDS THE LOWER PENOBSCOT VALLEY. THE SECOND
PART OF THIS EVENT SEEMS LIKE IT COULD UNFOLD LATER IN THE EVENING
IN CENTRAL ZONES AS THE ACTUAL COLD FRONT ARRIVES AND THE UPPER
SHORTWAVE AMPLIFIES. AS A RESULT...HAVE FOLLOWED THE LEAD FROM THE
CANGEMS GUIDANCE AND MAINTAINED POPS THROUGH THE NIGHT AS THE
FRONT WORKS SOUTHWARD. EXPECT A WARM AND HUMID NIGHT ACROSS MOST
OF THE AREA WITH LOWS IN THE LOW TO MID 60S AND DEW POINTS ALSO
REMAINING ABOVE 60F. BY LATE NIGHT...DRIER AIR WILL ARRIVE TOWARDS
THE SAINT JOHN VALLEY AND CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTHWARD THROUGH
THURSDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
CDFNT WL HV PASSED OFFSHORE BY THUR MRNG. COOLER AND DRIER WX WL
FILTER INTO CWA DRG THE DAY WITH HIGH TEMPS ONLY PROGGED TO RISE TO
ARND 80F ACRS INTERIOR DOWNEAST AND STRUGGLING TO HIT 70F OVR THE
FAR NORTH. DWPTS THRU THE DAY WL DIP INTO THE 40S ACRS THE CROWN OF
MAINE.

HIPRES RAPIDLY BUILDS IN THUR NGT AS 1025MB HIGH SETTLES ACRS SRN
QUEBEC. DRY NW FLOW CONTS THRU FRI MRNG, LEADING TO CLR SKIES OVRNGT
WITH H9 TEMPS DIPPING INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS. THIS WL YIELD
WIDESPREAD MINS BY FRI MRNG IN THE 40S WITH U30S NOT ENTIRELY OUT OF
THE QUESTION IN THE NORTH WOODS.

SFC HIGH WL SETTLE OVR STATE OF MAINE FRI NGT WITH EXCELLENT RADN`L
COOLING CONDS. BUFKIT SNDGS FOR THIS TIMEFRAME SHOW SIGNIFICANT
RIDGE/VLY SPLIT IN MIN TEMPS BY SAT MRNG. 590 HEIGHTS BUILD IN SAT
FM THE WEST WHICH WL RESULT IN A PROLONGED PD OF SUNNY SKIES AND
WARMER THAN NORMAL TEMPS.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
EXTNDD BEGINS MUCH THE SAME WAY THE SAME WITH A PD OF
SUNNY, DRY AND WARM TEMPS THRU THE END OF THE WEEKEND. H5 RIDGE
STARTS TO FLATTEN DRG THE DAY ON SUNDAY WITH INCRSG CLDS ACRS THE
FAR NORTH LATE SUN NGT AND PERHAPS JUST A SPRINKLE OR TWO IN DRY
AIRMASS. FRONTAL BNDRY WL BE STRETCHED JUST TO THE NORTH OF CWA WITH
WVS RUNNING ALONG FRONT IN ZONAL FLOW. FRONTAL BNDRY WL SAG SOUTH
THRU THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK WITH CHC SHOWERS/TSTMS.

&&

.AVIATION /16Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR OUTSIDE OF SCT/ISOLD TS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. FOG MAY CREEP INTO BHB AND COASTAL
TERMINALS LATE TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: VFR THROUGH END OF THE WEEKEND UNDER EXTENSIVE HIGH
PRESSURE.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: FOG IS EXPECTED TO RETURN AS VERY HUMID AIR MOVES OVER
THE COLD WATERS TODAY.

SHORT TERM: COLD FRONT WILL CROSS WATERS ON THURSDAY WITH PRESSURE
GRADIENT INCREASING THUR NGT. THIS MAY LEAD TO WINDS GUSTING TO
OVER 25KTS AND POSSIBLY SEAS APPCHG 5FT. AT THIS TIME, CONFIDENCE
ON SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA BEING MET IS LOW.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...MCW/BERDES
SHORT TERM...FARRAR
LONG TERM...FARRAR
AVIATION...MCW/BERDES/FARRAR
MARINE...MCW/BERDES/FARRAR



000
FXUS61 KCAR 021538
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1138 AM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH LATER TODAY...THEN CROSS THE REGION
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
1130AM UPDATE: FOG OVER OUR COASTAL WATERS HAS INCREASED IN
COVERAGE OVER THE LAST FEW HOURS. SO WE HAVE ADDED MENTION OF FOG
TO CWF AND ZFP FOR TODAY.

930AM UPDATE: GOING FORECAST LOOKS GOOD FOR TODAY. TWEAKED SKY AND
TEMPS TO BETTER MATCH CURRENT CONDITIONS. MAY HAVE TO INCREASE
POPS TO LIKELY ACROSS THE FAR NORTH IF SHOWERS/STORMS BECOME MORE
NUMEROUS THAN EXPECTED. BUT WILL DO THAT IN A LATER UPDATE TO SEE
HOW CONVECTION EVOLVES.

AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS CROSSING THE AREA EARLY THIS MORNING WITH
WIDESPREAD CIRRUS IN NORTHERN ZONES. IT WILL GIVE WAY TO AN
APPROACHING SHORTWAVE MOVING OUT OF QUEBEC LATER TODAY. THE
SHORTWAVE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY THE SURFACE COLD FRONT. HUMIDITY
WILL SURGE TODAY WITH DEWPOINTS RISING INTO THE MID 60S.  THE BIG
QUESTION FOR TODAY WILL BE DEVELOPMENT OF ANY CONVECTION. THE
BIGGEST PROBLEM IS A LACK OF MOISTURE AS UPPER AIR ANALYSIS AND
AVAILABLE UPSTREAM RAOBS SHOW VERY LITTLE. THUS...SUFFICIENT
MOISTURE FOR ANY CONVECTION WILL LIKELY BE CONFINED TO NARROW
BANDS. AS A RESULT...HAVE MAINTAINED NO GREATER THAN CHANCE POPS
THROUGH THE PERIOD. THIS APPEARS TO BE A TWO PART EVENT WITH
REGARDS TO CONVECTION. FIRST...A PRE FRONTAL TROUGH WILL MOVE
INTO THE CROWN OF MAINE THIS AFTERNOON. THIS TROUGH WILL COMBINE
WITH MAX HEATING AND THE ELEVATED DEW POINTS TO PRODUCE SOME
MODEST CAPE AND THE THREAT OF ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
IN NORTHERN AROOSTOOK THIS AFTERNOON. 0-6 SHEAR VALUES AND MID-
LEVEL LAPSE RATES LOOK REASONABLE FOR A FEW STORMS...BUT DO NOT
SEE THE NEED FOR ANY ENHANCED WORDING AT THIS TIME. HIGHS TODAY
WILL RISE WELL INTO THE 80S ACROSS THE AREA WITH AN ISOLATED 90F
READING POSSIBLE TOWARDS THE LOWER PENOBSCOT VALLEY. THE SECOND
PART OF THIS EVENT SEEMS LIKE IT COULD UNFOLD LATER IN THE EVENING
IN CENTRAL ZONES AS THE ACTUAL COLD FRONT ARRIVES AND THE UPPER
SHORTWAVE AMPLIFIES. AS A RESULT...HAVE FOLLOWED THE LEAD FROM THE
CANGEMS GUIDANCE AND MAINTAINED POPS THROUGH THE NIGHT AS THE
FRONT WORKS SOUTHWARD. EXPECT A WARM AND HUMID NIGHT ACROSS MOST
OF THE AREA WITH LOWS IN THE LOW TO MID 60S AND DEW POINTS ALSO
REMAINING ABOVE 60F. BY LATE NIGHT...DRIER AIR WILL ARRIVE TOWARDS
THE SAINT JOHN VALLEY AND CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTHWARD THROUGH
THURSDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
CDFNT WL HV PASSED OFFSHORE BY THUR MRNG. COOLER AND DRIER WX WL
FILTER INTO CWA DRG THE DAY WITH HIGH TEMPS ONLY PROGGED TO RISE TO
ARND 80F ACRS INTERIOR DOWNEAST AND STRUGGLING TO HIT 70F OVR THE
FAR NORTH. DWPTS THRU THE DAY WL DIP INTO THE 40S ACRS THE CROWN OF
MAINE.

HIPRES RAPIDLY BUILDS IN THUR NGT AS 1025MB HIGH SETTLES ACRS SRN
QUEBEC. DRY NW FLOW CONTS THRU FRI MRNG, LEADING TO CLR SKIES OVRNGT
WITH H9 TEMPS DIPPING INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS. THIS WL YIELD
WIDESPREAD MINS BY FRI MRNG IN THE 40S WITH U30S NOT ENTIRELY OUT OF
THE QUESTION IN THE NORTH WOODS.

SFC HIGH WL SETTLE OVR STATE OF MAINE FRI NGT WITH EXCELLENT RADN`L
COOLING CONDS. BUFKIT SNDGS FOR THIS TIMEFRAME SHOW SIGNIFICANT
RIDGE/VLY SPLIT IN MIN TEMPS BY SAT MRNG. 590 HEIGHTS BUILD IN SAT
FM THE WEST WHICH WL RESULT IN A PROLONGED PD OF SUNNY SKIES AND
WARMER THAN NORMAL TEMPS.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
EXTNDD BEGINS MUCH THE SAME WAY THE SAME WITH A PD OF
SUNNY, DRY AND WARM TEMPS THRU THE END OF THE WEEKEND. H5 RIDGE
STARTS TO FLATTEN DRG THE DAY ON SUNDAY WITH INCRSG CLDS ACRS THE
FAR NORTH LATE SUN NGT AND PERHAPS JUST A SPRINKLE OR TWO IN DRY
AIRMASS. FRONTAL BNDRY WL BE STRETCHED JUST TO THE NORTH OF CWA WITH
WVS RUNNING ALONG FRONT IN ZONAL FLOW. FRONTAL BNDRY WL SAG SOUTH
THRU THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK WITH CHC SHOWERS/TSTMS.

&&

.AVIATION /16Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR OUTSIDE OF SCT/ISOLD TS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. FOG MAY CREEP INTO BHB AND COASTAL
TERMINALS LATE TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: VFR THROUGH END OF THE WEEKEND UNDER EXTENSIVE HIGH
PRESSURE.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: FOG IS EXPECTED TO RETURN AS VERY HUMID AIR MOVES OVER
THE COLD WATERS TODAY.

SHORT TERM: COLD FRONT WILL CROSS WATERS ON THURSDAY WITH PRESSURE
GRADIENT INCREASING THUR NGT. THIS MAY LEAD TO WINDS GUSTING TO
OVER 25KTS AND POSSIBLY SEAS APPCHG 5FT. AT THIS TIME, CONFIDENCE
ON SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA BEING MET IS LOW.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...MCW/BERDES
SHORT TERM...FARRAR
LONG TERM...FARRAR
AVIATION...MCW/BERDES/FARRAR
MARINE...MCW/BERDES/FARRAR



000
FXUS61 KCAR 021538
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1138 AM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH LATER TODAY...THEN CROSS THE REGION
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
1130AM UPDATE: FOG OVER OUR COASTAL WATERS HAS INCREASED IN
COVERAGE OVER THE LAST FEW HOURS. SO WE HAVE ADDED MENTION OF FOG
TO CWF AND ZFP FOR TODAY.

930AM UPDATE: GOING FORECAST LOOKS GOOD FOR TODAY. TWEAKED SKY AND
TEMPS TO BETTER MATCH CURRENT CONDITIONS. MAY HAVE TO INCREASE
POPS TO LIKELY ACROSS THE FAR NORTH IF SHOWERS/STORMS BECOME MORE
NUMEROUS THAN EXPECTED. BUT WILL DO THAT IN A LATER UPDATE TO SEE
HOW CONVECTION EVOLVES.

AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS CROSSING THE AREA EARLY THIS MORNING WITH
WIDESPREAD CIRRUS IN NORTHERN ZONES. IT WILL GIVE WAY TO AN
APPROACHING SHORTWAVE MOVING OUT OF QUEBEC LATER TODAY. THE
SHORTWAVE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY THE SURFACE COLD FRONT. HUMIDITY
WILL SURGE TODAY WITH DEWPOINTS RISING INTO THE MID 60S.  THE BIG
QUESTION FOR TODAY WILL BE DEVELOPMENT OF ANY CONVECTION. THE
BIGGEST PROBLEM IS A LACK OF MOISTURE AS UPPER AIR ANALYSIS AND
AVAILABLE UPSTREAM RAOBS SHOW VERY LITTLE. THUS...SUFFICIENT
MOISTURE FOR ANY CONVECTION WILL LIKELY BE CONFINED TO NARROW
BANDS. AS A RESULT...HAVE MAINTAINED NO GREATER THAN CHANCE POPS
THROUGH THE PERIOD. THIS APPEARS TO BE A TWO PART EVENT WITH
REGARDS TO CONVECTION. FIRST...A PRE FRONTAL TROUGH WILL MOVE
INTO THE CROWN OF MAINE THIS AFTERNOON. THIS TROUGH WILL COMBINE
WITH MAX HEATING AND THE ELEVATED DEW POINTS TO PRODUCE SOME
MODEST CAPE AND THE THREAT OF ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
IN NORTHERN AROOSTOOK THIS AFTERNOON. 0-6 SHEAR VALUES AND MID-
LEVEL LAPSE RATES LOOK REASONABLE FOR A FEW STORMS...BUT DO NOT
SEE THE NEED FOR ANY ENHANCED WORDING AT THIS TIME. HIGHS TODAY
WILL RISE WELL INTO THE 80S ACROSS THE AREA WITH AN ISOLATED 90F
READING POSSIBLE TOWARDS THE LOWER PENOBSCOT VALLEY. THE SECOND
PART OF THIS EVENT SEEMS LIKE IT COULD UNFOLD LATER IN THE EVENING
IN CENTRAL ZONES AS THE ACTUAL COLD FRONT ARRIVES AND THE UPPER
SHORTWAVE AMPLIFIES. AS A RESULT...HAVE FOLLOWED THE LEAD FROM THE
CANGEMS GUIDANCE AND MAINTAINED POPS THROUGH THE NIGHT AS THE
FRONT WORKS SOUTHWARD. EXPECT A WARM AND HUMID NIGHT ACROSS MOST
OF THE AREA WITH LOWS IN THE LOW TO MID 60S AND DEW POINTS ALSO
REMAINING ABOVE 60F. BY LATE NIGHT...DRIER AIR WILL ARRIVE TOWARDS
THE SAINT JOHN VALLEY AND CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTHWARD THROUGH
THURSDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
CDFNT WL HV PASSED OFFSHORE BY THUR MRNG. COOLER AND DRIER WX WL
FILTER INTO CWA DRG THE DAY WITH HIGH TEMPS ONLY PROGGED TO RISE TO
ARND 80F ACRS INTERIOR DOWNEAST AND STRUGGLING TO HIT 70F OVR THE
FAR NORTH. DWPTS THRU THE DAY WL DIP INTO THE 40S ACRS THE CROWN OF
MAINE.

HIPRES RAPIDLY BUILDS IN THUR NGT AS 1025MB HIGH SETTLES ACRS SRN
QUEBEC. DRY NW FLOW CONTS THRU FRI MRNG, LEADING TO CLR SKIES OVRNGT
WITH H9 TEMPS DIPPING INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS. THIS WL YIELD
WIDESPREAD MINS BY FRI MRNG IN THE 40S WITH U30S NOT ENTIRELY OUT OF
THE QUESTION IN THE NORTH WOODS.

SFC HIGH WL SETTLE OVR STATE OF MAINE FRI NGT WITH EXCELLENT RADN`L
COOLING CONDS. BUFKIT SNDGS FOR THIS TIMEFRAME SHOW SIGNIFICANT
RIDGE/VLY SPLIT IN MIN TEMPS BY SAT MRNG. 590 HEIGHTS BUILD IN SAT
FM THE WEST WHICH WL RESULT IN A PROLONGED PD OF SUNNY SKIES AND
WARMER THAN NORMAL TEMPS.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
EXTNDD BEGINS MUCH THE SAME WAY THE SAME WITH A PD OF
SUNNY, DRY AND WARM TEMPS THRU THE END OF THE WEEKEND. H5 RIDGE
STARTS TO FLATTEN DRG THE DAY ON SUNDAY WITH INCRSG CLDS ACRS THE
FAR NORTH LATE SUN NGT AND PERHAPS JUST A SPRINKLE OR TWO IN DRY
AIRMASS. FRONTAL BNDRY WL BE STRETCHED JUST TO THE NORTH OF CWA WITH
WVS RUNNING ALONG FRONT IN ZONAL FLOW. FRONTAL BNDRY WL SAG SOUTH
THRU THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK WITH CHC SHOWERS/TSTMS.

&&

.AVIATION /16Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR OUTSIDE OF SCT/ISOLD TS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. FOG MAY CREEP INTO BHB AND COASTAL
TERMINALS LATE TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: VFR THROUGH END OF THE WEEKEND UNDER EXTENSIVE HIGH
PRESSURE.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: FOG IS EXPECTED TO RETURN AS VERY HUMID AIR MOVES OVER
THE COLD WATERS TODAY.

SHORT TERM: COLD FRONT WILL CROSS WATERS ON THURSDAY WITH PRESSURE
GRADIENT INCREASING THUR NGT. THIS MAY LEAD TO WINDS GUSTING TO
OVER 25KTS AND POSSIBLY SEAS APPCHG 5FT. AT THIS TIME, CONFIDENCE
ON SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA BEING MET IS LOW.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...MCW/BERDES
SHORT TERM...FARRAR
LONG TERM...FARRAR
AVIATION...MCW/BERDES/FARRAR
MARINE...MCW/BERDES/FARRAR



000
FXUS61 KGYX 021358
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
958 AM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTH TODAY AND WILL
GRADUALLY SETTLE SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION TONIGHT AND THURSDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH FROM CANADA THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST OVER THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT AND
WILL PUSH SOUTH OFF THE COAST ON SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL HOLD
SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
10 AM UPDATE: VERY QUIET WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION. THE
LAST OF THE VALLEY MORNING FOG IS BURNING OFF. ONLY TWEAK WAS WITH
TEMPS BASED ON THE LATEST INPUT MESONET DATA.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION:
QUIET WEATHER CONTINUES TODAY AS HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS ANCHORED
SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND. SHOULD BE A HOT ONE IN INTERIOR SECTIONS OF
MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE WITH HIGHS TOPPING OUT IN THE MID 80S TO
NEAR 90. ONCE AGAIN AN AFTERNOON SEA BREEZE WILL CAP TEMPS AT THE
COAST IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
WEAK COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH FROM CANADA OVERNIGHT BRINGING
VARIABLE HIGH AND MID LEVEL CLOUDINESS INTO THE FORECAST AREA
OVERNIGHT. WILL SEE A WARM NIGHT FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR WITH LOWS
RANGING THROUGH THE 60S IN MOST LOCATIONS.

COLD FRONT WILL LINGER OVER SOUTHERN ZONES ON THURSDAY BEFORE
SHIFTING OFFSHORE IN THE EVENING. SOME FAIRLY RESPECTABLE CAPES
DEVELOP DURING THE AFTERNOON IN SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL ZONES SO
EXPECT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP FROM LATE MORNING
ONWARD. NOT A LOT OF SHEAR SO NOT LOOKING FOR ANY WIDESPREAD
SEVERE BUT PWAT`S APPROACHING 1.5 INCHES AND SLOW STORM MOVEMENT
WILL PROVIDE SOME MUCH NEEDED RAINFALL FOR SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE
AND MAINE. EXPECT HIGHS TO RANGE THROUGH THE 80S FROM NORTH TO
SOUTH.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO DROP WELL TO OUR SOUTH THURSDAY
EVENING USHERING A COOLER AND DRIER AIRMASS. ANY SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHERN ZONES WILL END EARLY IN THE EVENING.
THEREAFTER...HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE IN THROUGH SATURDAY...THEN
SETTLE TO THE SOUTH OF THE AREA SUNDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
AFTER A BRIEF COOL DOWN FOR FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY...RETURN FLOW
AROUND HIGH PRESSURE FOR SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY WILL RESULT IN
INCREASING HEAT AND HUMIDITY ONCE AGAIN. AT THIS TIME...IT LOOKS
AS THOUGH MONDAY AND TUESDAY SHOULD FEATURE TEMPERATURES 85 TO 90
FOR MOST...AND POSSIBLY AS HIGH AS THE 92 TO 94 RANGE AT A FEW
SPOTS ACROSS SOUTHERNMOST ZONES. SUMMER IS NOT LEAVING US YET. DRY
WEATHER IS CURRENTLY EXPECTED THROUGH MUCH OF THE EXTENDED AFTER
WHATEVER SHOWERS/STORMS END THU EVENING.

&&

.AVIATION /14Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY. AREAS OF IFR/LIFR
CIGS/VSBY IN MORNING VALLEY FOG THURSDAY.

LONG TERM...MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THU NIGHT THROUGH
SUNDAY. A PERIOD OF LOWER CONDITIONS IS POSSIBLE THU EVENING IN
LEFTOVER SHOWERS.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...NO FLAGS.

LONG TERM...NORTHEASTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE THURSDAY
NIGHT IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT. SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS WILL BE
POSSIBLE THEN. OTHERWISE...NO SIGNIFICANT ISSUES FORESEEN.

&&


.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$




000
FXUS61 KGYX 021358
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
958 AM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTH TODAY AND WILL
GRADUALLY SETTLE SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION TONIGHT AND THURSDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH FROM CANADA THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST OVER THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT AND
WILL PUSH SOUTH OFF THE COAST ON SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL HOLD
SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
10 AM UPDATE: VERY QUIET WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION. THE
LAST OF THE VALLEY MORNING FOG IS BURNING OFF. ONLY TWEAK WAS WITH
TEMPS BASED ON THE LATEST INPUT MESONET DATA.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION:
QUIET WEATHER CONTINUES TODAY AS HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS ANCHORED
SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND. SHOULD BE A HOT ONE IN INTERIOR SECTIONS OF
MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE WITH HIGHS TOPPING OUT IN THE MID 80S TO
NEAR 90. ONCE AGAIN AN AFTERNOON SEA BREEZE WILL CAP TEMPS AT THE
COAST IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
WEAK COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH FROM CANADA OVERNIGHT BRINGING
VARIABLE HIGH AND MID LEVEL CLOUDINESS INTO THE FORECAST AREA
OVERNIGHT. WILL SEE A WARM NIGHT FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR WITH LOWS
RANGING THROUGH THE 60S IN MOST LOCATIONS.

COLD FRONT WILL LINGER OVER SOUTHERN ZONES ON THURSDAY BEFORE
SHIFTING OFFSHORE IN THE EVENING. SOME FAIRLY RESPECTABLE CAPES
DEVELOP DURING THE AFTERNOON IN SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL ZONES SO
EXPECT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP FROM LATE MORNING
ONWARD. NOT A LOT OF SHEAR SO NOT LOOKING FOR ANY WIDESPREAD
SEVERE BUT PWAT`S APPROACHING 1.5 INCHES AND SLOW STORM MOVEMENT
WILL PROVIDE SOME MUCH NEEDED RAINFALL FOR SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE
AND MAINE. EXPECT HIGHS TO RANGE THROUGH THE 80S FROM NORTH TO
SOUTH.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO DROP WELL TO OUR SOUTH THURSDAY
EVENING USHERING A COOLER AND DRIER AIRMASS. ANY SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHERN ZONES WILL END EARLY IN THE EVENING.
THEREAFTER...HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE IN THROUGH SATURDAY...THEN
SETTLE TO THE SOUTH OF THE AREA SUNDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
AFTER A BRIEF COOL DOWN FOR FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY...RETURN FLOW
AROUND HIGH PRESSURE FOR SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY WILL RESULT IN
INCREASING HEAT AND HUMIDITY ONCE AGAIN. AT THIS TIME...IT LOOKS
AS THOUGH MONDAY AND TUESDAY SHOULD FEATURE TEMPERATURES 85 TO 90
FOR MOST...AND POSSIBLY AS HIGH AS THE 92 TO 94 RANGE AT A FEW
SPOTS ACROSS SOUTHERNMOST ZONES. SUMMER IS NOT LEAVING US YET. DRY
WEATHER IS CURRENTLY EXPECTED THROUGH MUCH OF THE EXTENDED AFTER
WHATEVER SHOWERS/STORMS END THU EVENING.

&&

.AVIATION /14Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY. AREAS OF IFR/LIFR
CIGS/VSBY IN MORNING VALLEY FOG THURSDAY.

LONG TERM...MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THU NIGHT THROUGH
SUNDAY. A PERIOD OF LOWER CONDITIONS IS POSSIBLE THU EVENING IN
LEFTOVER SHOWERS.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...NO FLAGS.

LONG TERM...NORTHEASTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE THURSDAY
NIGHT IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT. SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS WILL BE
POSSIBLE THEN. OTHERWISE...NO SIGNIFICANT ISSUES FORESEEN.

&&


.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$





000
FXUS61 KCAR 021340
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
940 AM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH LATER TODAY...THEN CROSS THE REGION
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
930AM UPDATE: GOING FORECAST LOOKS GOOD FOR TODAY. TWEAKED SKY AND
TEMPS TO BETTER MATCH CURRENT CONDITIONS. MAY HAVE TO INCREASE
POPS TO LIKELY ACROSS THE FAR NORTH IF SHOWERS/STORMS BECOME MORE
NUMEROUS THAN EXPECTED. BUT WILL DO THAT IN A LATER UPDATE TO SEE
HOW CONVECTION EVOLVES.

AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS CROSSING THE AREA EARLY THIS MORNING WITH
WIDESPREAD CIRRUS IN NORTHERN ZONES. IT WILL GIVE WAY TO AN
APPROACHING SHORTWAVE MOVING OUT OF QUEBEC LATER TODAY. THE
SHORTWAVE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY THE SURFACE COLD FRONT. HUMIDITY
WILL SURGE TODAY WITH DEWPOINTS RISING INTO THE MID 60S.  THE BIG
QUESTION FOR TODAY WILL BE DEVELOPMENT OF ANY CONVECTION. THE
BIGGEST PROBLEM IS A LACK OF MOISTURE AS UPPER AIR ANALYSIS AND
AVAILABLE UPSTREAM RAOBS SHOW VERY LITTLE. THUS...SUFFICIENT
MOISTURE FOR ANY CONVECTION WILL LIKELY BE CONFINED TO NARROW
BANDS. AS A RESULT...HAVE MAINTAINED NO GREATER THAN CHANCE POPS
THROUGH THE PERIOD. THIS APPEARS TO BE A TWO PART EVENT WITH
REGARDS TO CONVECTION. FIRST...A PRE FRONTAL TROUGH WILL MOVE
INTO THE CROWN OF MAINE THIS AFTERNOON. THIS TROUGH WILL COMBINE
WITH MAX HEATING AND THE ELEVATED DEW POINTS TO PRODUCE SOME
MODEST CAPE AND THE THREAT OF ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
IN NORTHERN AROOSTOOK THIS AFTERNOON. 0-6 SHEAR VALUES AND MID-
LEVEL LAPSE RATES LOOK REASONABLE FOR A FEW STORMS...BUT DO NOT
SEE THE NEED FOR ANY ENHANCED WORDING AT THIS TIME. HIGHS TODAY
WILL RISE WELL INTO THE 80S ACROSS THE AREA WITH AN ISOLATED 90F
READING POSSIBLE TOWARDS THE LOWER PENOBSCOT VALLEY. THE SECOND
PART OF THIS EVENT SEEMS LIKE IT COULD UNFOLD LATER IN THE EVENING
IN CENTRAL ZONES AS THE ACTUAL COLD FRONT ARRIVES AND THE UPPER
SHORTWAVE AMPLIFIES. AS A RESULT...HAVE FOLLOWED THE LEAD FROM THE
CANGEMS GUIDANCE AND MAINTAINED POPS THROUGH THE NIGHT AS THE
FRONT WORKS SOUTHWARD. EXPECT A WARM AND HUMID NIGHT ACROSS MOST
OF THE AREA WITH LOWS IN THE LOW TO MID 60S AND DEW POINTS ALSO
REMAINING ABOVE 60F. BY LATE NIGHT...DRIER AIR WILL ARRIVE TOWARDS
THE SAINT JOHN VALLEY AND CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTHWARD THROUGH
THURSDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
CDFNT WL HV PASSED OFFSHORE BY THUR MRNG. COOLER AND DRIER WX WL
FILTER INTO CWA DRG THE DAY WITH HIGH TEMPS ONLY PROGGED TO RISE TO
ARND 80F ACRS INTERIOR DOWNEAST AND STRUGGLING TO HIT 70F OVR THE
FAR NORTH. DWPTS THRU THE DAY WL DIP INTO THE 40S ACRS THE CROWN OF
MAINE.

HIPRES RAPIDLY BUILDS IN THUR NGT AS 1025MB HIGH SETTLES ACRS SRN
QUEBEC. DRY NW FLOW CONTS THRU FRI MRNG, LEADING TO CLR SKIES OVRNGT
WITH H9 TEMPS DIPPING INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS. THIS WL YIELD
WIDESPREAD MINS BY FRI MRNG IN THE 40S WITH U30S NOT ENTIRELY OUT OF
THE QUESTION IN THE NORTH WOODS.

SFC HIGH WL SETTLE OVR STATE OF MAINE FRI NGT WITH EXCELLENT RADN`L
COOLING CONDS. BUFKIT SNDGS FOR THIS TIMEFRAME SHOW SIGNIFICANT
RIDGE/VLY SPLIT IN MIN TEMPS BY SAT MRNG. 590 HEIGHTS BUILD IN SAT
FM THE WEST WHICH WL RESULT IN A PROLONGED PD OF SUNNY SKIES AND
WARMER THAN NORMAL TEMPS.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
EXTNDD BEGINS MUCH THE SAME WAY THE SAME WITH A PD OF
SUNNY, DRY AND WARM TEMPS THRU THE END OF THE WEEKEND. H5 RIDGE
STARTS TO FLATTEN DRG THE DAY ON SUNDAY WITH INCRSG CLDS ACRS THE
FAR NORTH LATE SUN NGT AND PERHAPS JUST A SPRINKLE OR TWO IN DRY
AIRMASS. FRONTAL BNDRY WL BE STRETCHED JUST TO THE NORTH OF CWA WITH
WVS RUNNING ALONG FRONT IN ZONAL FLOW. FRONTAL BNDRY WL SAG SOUTH
THRU THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK WITH CHC SHOWERS/TSTMS.

&&

.AVIATION /14Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR OUTSIDE OF SCT/ISOLD TS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. FOG MAY CREEP INTO BHB AND COASTAL
TERMINALS LATE TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: VFR THROUGH END OF THE WEEKEND UNDER EXTENSIVE HIGH
PRESSURE.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: FOG IS EXPECTED TO RETURN AS VERY HUMID AIR MOVES OVER
THE COLD WATERS TODAY.

SHORT TERM: COLD FRONT WILL CROSS WATERS ON THURSDAY WITH PRESSURE
GRADIENT INCREASING THUR NGT. THIS MAY LEAD TO WINDS GUSTING TO
OVER 25KTS AND POSSIBLY SEAS APPCHG 5FT. AT THIS TIME, CONFIDENCE
ON SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA BEING MET IS LOW.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...BERDES/MCW
SHORT TERM...FARRAR
LONG TERM...FARRAR
AVIATION...MCW/BERDES/FARRAR
MARINE...MCW/BERDES/FARRAR




000
FXUS61 KCAR 021340
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
940 AM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH LATER TODAY...THEN CROSS THE REGION
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
930AM UPDATE: GOING FORECAST LOOKS GOOD FOR TODAY. TWEAKED SKY AND
TEMPS TO BETTER MATCH CURRENT CONDITIONS. MAY HAVE TO INCREASE
POPS TO LIKELY ACROSS THE FAR NORTH IF SHOWERS/STORMS BECOME MORE
NUMEROUS THAN EXPECTED. BUT WILL DO THAT IN A LATER UPDATE TO SEE
HOW CONVECTION EVOLVES.

AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS CROSSING THE AREA EARLY THIS MORNING WITH
WIDESPREAD CIRRUS IN NORTHERN ZONES. IT WILL GIVE WAY TO AN
APPROACHING SHORTWAVE MOVING OUT OF QUEBEC LATER TODAY. THE
SHORTWAVE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY THE SURFACE COLD FRONT. HUMIDITY
WILL SURGE TODAY WITH DEWPOINTS RISING INTO THE MID 60S.  THE BIG
QUESTION FOR TODAY WILL BE DEVELOPMENT OF ANY CONVECTION. THE
BIGGEST PROBLEM IS A LACK OF MOISTURE AS UPPER AIR ANALYSIS AND
AVAILABLE UPSTREAM RAOBS SHOW VERY LITTLE. THUS...SUFFICIENT
MOISTURE FOR ANY CONVECTION WILL LIKELY BE CONFINED TO NARROW
BANDS. AS A RESULT...HAVE MAINTAINED NO GREATER THAN CHANCE POPS
THROUGH THE PERIOD. THIS APPEARS TO BE A TWO PART EVENT WITH
REGARDS TO CONVECTION. FIRST...A PRE FRONTAL TROUGH WILL MOVE
INTO THE CROWN OF MAINE THIS AFTERNOON. THIS TROUGH WILL COMBINE
WITH MAX HEATING AND THE ELEVATED DEW POINTS TO PRODUCE SOME
MODEST CAPE AND THE THREAT OF ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
IN NORTHERN AROOSTOOK THIS AFTERNOON. 0-6 SHEAR VALUES AND MID-
LEVEL LAPSE RATES LOOK REASONABLE FOR A FEW STORMS...BUT DO NOT
SEE THE NEED FOR ANY ENHANCED WORDING AT THIS TIME. HIGHS TODAY
WILL RISE WELL INTO THE 80S ACROSS THE AREA WITH AN ISOLATED 90F
READING POSSIBLE TOWARDS THE LOWER PENOBSCOT VALLEY. THE SECOND
PART OF THIS EVENT SEEMS LIKE IT COULD UNFOLD LATER IN THE EVENING
IN CENTRAL ZONES AS THE ACTUAL COLD FRONT ARRIVES AND THE UPPER
SHORTWAVE AMPLIFIES. AS A RESULT...HAVE FOLLOWED THE LEAD FROM THE
CANGEMS GUIDANCE AND MAINTAINED POPS THROUGH THE NIGHT AS THE
FRONT WORKS SOUTHWARD. EXPECT A WARM AND HUMID NIGHT ACROSS MOST
OF THE AREA WITH LOWS IN THE LOW TO MID 60S AND DEW POINTS ALSO
REMAINING ABOVE 60F. BY LATE NIGHT...DRIER AIR WILL ARRIVE TOWARDS
THE SAINT JOHN VALLEY AND CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTHWARD THROUGH
THURSDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
CDFNT WL HV PASSED OFFSHORE BY THUR MRNG. COOLER AND DRIER WX WL
FILTER INTO CWA DRG THE DAY WITH HIGH TEMPS ONLY PROGGED TO RISE TO
ARND 80F ACRS INTERIOR DOWNEAST AND STRUGGLING TO HIT 70F OVR THE
FAR NORTH. DWPTS THRU THE DAY WL DIP INTO THE 40S ACRS THE CROWN OF
MAINE.

HIPRES RAPIDLY BUILDS IN THUR NGT AS 1025MB HIGH SETTLES ACRS SRN
QUEBEC. DRY NW FLOW CONTS THRU FRI MRNG, LEADING TO CLR SKIES OVRNGT
WITH H9 TEMPS DIPPING INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS. THIS WL YIELD
WIDESPREAD MINS BY FRI MRNG IN THE 40S WITH U30S NOT ENTIRELY OUT OF
THE QUESTION IN THE NORTH WOODS.

SFC HIGH WL SETTLE OVR STATE OF MAINE FRI NGT WITH EXCELLENT RADN`L
COOLING CONDS. BUFKIT SNDGS FOR THIS TIMEFRAME SHOW SIGNIFICANT
RIDGE/VLY SPLIT IN MIN TEMPS BY SAT MRNG. 590 HEIGHTS BUILD IN SAT
FM THE WEST WHICH WL RESULT IN A PROLONGED PD OF SUNNY SKIES AND
WARMER THAN NORMAL TEMPS.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
EXTNDD BEGINS MUCH THE SAME WAY THE SAME WITH A PD OF
SUNNY, DRY AND WARM TEMPS THRU THE END OF THE WEEKEND. H5 RIDGE
STARTS TO FLATTEN DRG THE DAY ON SUNDAY WITH INCRSG CLDS ACRS THE
FAR NORTH LATE SUN NGT AND PERHAPS JUST A SPRINKLE OR TWO IN DRY
AIRMASS. FRONTAL BNDRY WL BE STRETCHED JUST TO THE NORTH OF CWA WITH
WVS RUNNING ALONG FRONT IN ZONAL FLOW. FRONTAL BNDRY WL SAG SOUTH
THRU THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK WITH CHC SHOWERS/TSTMS.

&&

.AVIATION /14Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR OUTSIDE OF SCT/ISOLD TS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. FOG MAY CREEP INTO BHB AND COASTAL
TERMINALS LATE TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: VFR THROUGH END OF THE WEEKEND UNDER EXTENSIVE HIGH
PRESSURE.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: FOG IS EXPECTED TO RETURN AS VERY HUMID AIR MOVES OVER
THE COLD WATERS TODAY.

SHORT TERM: COLD FRONT WILL CROSS WATERS ON THURSDAY WITH PRESSURE
GRADIENT INCREASING THUR NGT. THIS MAY LEAD TO WINDS GUSTING TO
OVER 25KTS AND POSSIBLY SEAS APPCHG 5FT. AT THIS TIME, CONFIDENCE
ON SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA BEING MET IS LOW.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...BERDES/MCW
SHORT TERM...FARRAR
LONG TERM...FARRAR
AVIATION...MCW/BERDES/FARRAR
MARINE...MCW/BERDES/FARRAR



000
FXUS61 KCAR 021340
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
940 AM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH LATER TODAY...THEN CROSS THE REGION
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
930AM UPDATE: GOING FORECAST LOOKS GOOD FOR TODAY. TWEAKED SKY AND
TEMPS TO BETTER MATCH CURRENT CONDITIONS. MAY HAVE TO INCREASE
POPS TO LIKELY ACROSS THE FAR NORTH IF SHOWERS/STORMS BECOME MORE
NUMEROUS THAN EXPECTED. BUT WILL DO THAT IN A LATER UPDATE TO SEE
HOW CONVECTION EVOLVES.

AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS CROSSING THE AREA EARLY THIS MORNING WITH
WIDESPREAD CIRRUS IN NORTHERN ZONES. IT WILL GIVE WAY TO AN
APPROACHING SHORTWAVE MOVING OUT OF QUEBEC LATER TODAY. THE
SHORTWAVE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY THE SURFACE COLD FRONT. HUMIDITY
WILL SURGE TODAY WITH DEWPOINTS RISING INTO THE MID 60S.  THE BIG
QUESTION FOR TODAY WILL BE DEVELOPMENT OF ANY CONVECTION. THE
BIGGEST PROBLEM IS A LACK OF MOISTURE AS UPPER AIR ANALYSIS AND
AVAILABLE UPSTREAM RAOBS SHOW VERY LITTLE. THUS...SUFFICIENT
MOISTURE FOR ANY CONVECTION WILL LIKELY BE CONFINED TO NARROW
BANDS. AS A RESULT...HAVE MAINTAINED NO GREATER THAN CHANCE POPS
THROUGH THE PERIOD. THIS APPEARS TO BE A TWO PART EVENT WITH
REGARDS TO CONVECTION. FIRST...A PRE FRONTAL TROUGH WILL MOVE
INTO THE CROWN OF MAINE THIS AFTERNOON. THIS TROUGH WILL COMBINE
WITH MAX HEATING AND THE ELEVATED DEW POINTS TO PRODUCE SOME
MODEST CAPE AND THE THREAT OF ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
IN NORTHERN AROOSTOOK THIS AFTERNOON. 0-6 SHEAR VALUES AND MID-
LEVEL LAPSE RATES LOOK REASONABLE FOR A FEW STORMS...BUT DO NOT
SEE THE NEED FOR ANY ENHANCED WORDING AT THIS TIME. HIGHS TODAY
WILL RISE WELL INTO THE 80S ACROSS THE AREA WITH AN ISOLATED 90F
READING POSSIBLE TOWARDS THE LOWER PENOBSCOT VALLEY. THE SECOND
PART OF THIS EVENT SEEMS LIKE IT COULD UNFOLD LATER IN THE EVENING
IN CENTRAL ZONES AS THE ACTUAL COLD FRONT ARRIVES AND THE UPPER
SHORTWAVE AMPLIFIES. AS A RESULT...HAVE FOLLOWED THE LEAD FROM THE
CANGEMS GUIDANCE AND MAINTAINED POPS THROUGH THE NIGHT AS THE
FRONT WORKS SOUTHWARD. EXPECT A WARM AND HUMID NIGHT ACROSS MOST
OF THE AREA WITH LOWS IN THE LOW TO MID 60S AND DEW POINTS ALSO
REMAINING ABOVE 60F. BY LATE NIGHT...DRIER AIR WILL ARRIVE TOWARDS
THE SAINT JOHN VALLEY AND CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTHWARD THROUGH
THURSDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
CDFNT WL HV PASSED OFFSHORE BY THUR MRNG. COOLER AND DRIER WX WL
FILTER INTO CWA DRG THE DAY WITH HIGH TEMPS ONLY PROGGED TO RISE TO
ARND 80F ACRS INTERIOR DOWNEAST AND STRUGGLING TO HIT 70F OVR THE
FAR NORTH. DWPTS THRU THE DAY WL DIP INTO THE 40S ACRS THE CROWN OF
MAINE.

HIPRES RAPIDLY BUILDS IN THUR NGT AS 1025MB HIGH SETTLES ACRS SRN
QUEBEC. DRY NW FLOW CONTS THRU FRI MRNG, LEADING TO CLR SKIES OVRNGT
WITH H9 TEMPS DIPPING INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS. THIS WL YIELD
WIDESPREAD MINS BY FRI MRNG IN THE 40S WITH U30S NOT ENTIRELY OUT OF
THE QUESTION IN THE NORTH WOODS.

SFC HIGH WL SETTLE OVR STATE OF MAINE FRI NGT WITH EXCELLENT RADN`L
COOLING CONDS. BUFKIT SNDGS FOR THIS TIMEFRAME SHOW SIGNIFICANT
RIDGE/VLY SPLIT IN MIN TEMPS BY SAT MRNG. 590 HEIGHTS BUILD IN SAT
FM THE WEST WHICH WL RESULT IN A PROLONGED PD OF SUNNY SKIES AND
WARMER THAN NORMAL TEMPS.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
EXTNDD BEGINS MUCH THE SAME WAY THE SAME WITH A PD OF
SUNNY, DRY AND WARM TEMPS THRU THE END OF THE WEEKEND. H5 RIDGE
STARTS TO FLATTEN DRG THE DAY ON SUNDAY WITH INCRSG CLDS ACRS THE
FAR NORTH LATE SUN NGT AND PERHAPS JUST A SPRINKLE OR TWO IN DRY
AIRMASS. FRONTAL BNDRY WL BE STRETCHED JUST TO THE NORTH OF CWA WITH
WVS RUNNING ALONG FRONT IN ZONAL FLOW. FRONTAL BNDRY WL SAG SOUTH
THRU THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK WITH CHC SHOWERS/TSTMS.

&&

.AVIATION /14Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR OUTSIDE OF SCT/ISOLD TS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. FOG MAY CREEP INTO BHB AND COASTAL
TERMINALS LATE TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: VFR THROUGH END OF THE WEEKEND UNDER EXTENSIVE HIGH
PRESSURE.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: FOG IS EXPECTED TO RETURN AS VERY HUMID AIR MOVES OVER
THE COLD WATERS TODAY.

SHORT TERM: COLD FRONT WILL CROSS WATERS ON THURSDAY WITH PRESSURE
GRADIENT INCREASING THUR NGT. THIS MAY LEAD TO WINDS GUSTING TO
OVER 25KTS AND POSSIBLY SEAS APPCHG 5FT. AT THIS TIME, CONFIDENCE
ON SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA BEING MET IS LOW.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...BERDES/MCW
SHORT TERM...FARRAR
LONG TERM...FARRAR
AVIATION...MCW/BERDES/FARRAR
MARINE...MCW/BERDES/FARRAR




000
FXUS61 KCAR 021340
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
940 AM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH LATER TODAY...THEN CROSS THE REGION
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
930AM UPDATE: GOING FORECAST LOOKS GOOD FOR TODAY. TWEAKED SKY AND
TEMPS TO BETTER MATCH CURRENT CONDITIONS. MAY HAVE TO INCREASE
POPS TO LIKELY ACROSS THE FAR NORTH IF SHOWERS/STORMS BECOME MORE
NUMEROUS THAN EXPECTED. BUT WILL DO THAT IN A LATER UPDATE TO SEE
HOW CONVECTION EVOLVES.

AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS CROSSING THE AREA EARLY THIS MORNING WITH
WIDESPREAD CIRRUS IN NORTHERN ZONES. IT WILL GIVE WAY TO AN
APPROACHING SHORTWAVE MOVING OUT OF QUEBEC LATER TODAY. THE
SHORTWAVE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY THE SURFACE COLD FRONT. HUMIDITY
WILL SURGE TODAY WITH DEWPOINTS RISING INTO THE MID 60S.  THE BIG
QUESTION FOR TODAY WILL BE DEVELOPMENT OF ANY CONVECTION. THE
BIGGEST PROBLEM IS A LACK OF MOISTURE AS UPPER AIR ANALYSIS AND
AVAILABLE UPSTREAM RAOBS SHOW VERY LITTLE. THUS...SUFFICIENT
MOISTURE FOR ANY CONVECTION WILL LIKELY BE CONFINED TO NARROW
BANDS. AS A RESULT...HAVE MAINTAINED NO GREATER THAN CHANCE POPS
THROUGH THE PERIOD. THIS APPEARS TO BE A TWO PART EVENT WITH
REGARDS TO CONVECTION. FIRST...A PRE FRONTAL TROUGH WILL MOVE
INTO THE CROWN OF MAINE THIS AFTERNOON. THIS TROUGH WILL COMBINE
WITH MAX HEATING AND THE ELEVATED DEW POINTS TO PRODUCE SOME
MODEST CAPE AND THE THREAT OF ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
IN NORTHERN AROOSTOOK THIS AFTERNOON. 0-6 SHEAR VALUES AND MID-
LEVEL LAPSE RATES LOOK REASONABLE FOR A FEW STORMS...BUT DO NOT
SEE THE NEED FOR ANY ENHANCED WORDING AT THIS TIME. HIGHS TODAY
WILL RISE WELL INTO THE 80S ACROSS THE AREA WITH AN ISOLATED 90F
READING POSSIBLE TOWARDS THE LOWER PENOBSCOT VALLEY. THE SECOND
PART OF THIS EVENT SEEMS LIKE IT COULD UNFOLD LATER IN THE EVENING
IN CENTRAL ZONES AS THE ACTUAL COLD FRONT ARRIVES AND THE UPPER
SHORTWAVE AMPLIFIES. AS A RESULT...HAVE FOLLOWED THE LEAD FROM THE
CANGEMS GUIDANCE AND MAINTAINED POPS THROUGH THE NIGHT AS THE
FRONT WORKS SOUTHWARD. EXPECT A WARM AND HUMID NIGHT ACROSS MOST
OF THE AREA WITH LOWS IN THE LOW TO MID 60S AND DEW POINTS ALSO
REMAINING ABOVE 60F. BY LATE NIGHT...DRIER AIR WILL ARRIVE TOWARDS
THE SAINT JOHN VALLEY AND CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTHWARD THROUGH
THURSDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
CDFNT WL HV PASSED OFFSHORE BY THUR MRNG. COOLER AND DRIER WX WL
FILTER INTO CWA DRG THE DAY WITH HIGH TEMPS ONLY PROGGED TO RISE TO
ARND 80F ACRS INTERIOR DOWNEAST AND STRUGGLING TO HIT 70F OVR THE
FAR NORTH. DWPTS THRU THE DAY WL DIP INTO THE 40S ACRS THE CROWN OF
MAINE.

HIPRES RAPIDLY BUILDS IN THUR NGT AS 1025MB HIGH SETTLES ACRS SRN
QUEBEC. DRY NW FLOW CONTS THRU FRI MRNG, LEADING TO CLR SKIES OVRNGT
WITH H9 TEMPS DIPPING INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS. THIS WL YIELD
WIDESPREAD MINS BY FRI MRNG IN THE 40S WITH U30S NOT ENTIRELY OUT OF
THE QUESTION IN THE NORTH WOODS.

SFC HIGH WL SETTLE OVR STATE OF MAINE FRI NGT WITH EXCELLENT RADN`L
COOLING CONDS. BUFKIT SNDGS FOR THIS TIMEFRAME SHOW SIGNIFICANT
RIDGE/VLY SPLIT IN MIN TEMPS BY SAT MRNG. 590 HEIGHTS BUILD IN SAT
FM THE WEST WHICH WL RESULT IN A PROLONGED PD OF SUNNY SKIES AND
WARMER THAN NORMAL TEMPS.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
EXTNDD BEGINS MUCH THE SAME WAY THE SAME WITH A PD OF
SUNNY, DRY AND WARM TEMPS THRU THE END OF THE WEEKEND. H5 RIDGE
STARTS TO FLATTEN DRG THE DAY ON SUNDAY WITH INCRSG CLDS ACRS THE
FAR NORTH LATE SUN NGT AND PERHAPS JUST A SPRINKLE OR TWO IN DRY
AIRMASS. FRONTAL BNDRY WL BE STRETCHED JUST TO THE NORTH OF CWA WITH
WVS RUNNING ALONG FRONT IN ZONAL FLOW. FRONTAL BNDRY WL SAG SOUTH
THRU THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK WITH CHC SHOWERS/TSTMS.

&&

.AVIATION /14Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR OUTSIDE OF SCT/ISOLD TS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. FOG MAY CREEP INTO BHB AND COASTAL
TERMINALS LATE TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: VFR THROUGH END OF THE WEEKEND UNDER EXTENSIVE HIGH
PRESSURE.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: FOG IS EXPECTED TO RETURN AS VERY HUMID AIR MOVES OVER
THE COLD WATERS TODAY.

SHORT TERM: COLD FRONT WILL CROSS WATERS ON THURSDAY WITH PRESSURE
GRADIENT INCREASING THUR NGT. THIS MAY LEAD TO WINDS GUSTING TO
OVER 25KTS AND POSSIBLY SEAS APPCHG 5FT. AT THIS TIME, CONFIDENCE
ON SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA BEING MET IS LOW.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...BERDES/MCW
SHORT TERM...FARRAR
LONG TERM...FARRAR
AVIATION...MCW/BERDES/FARRAR
MARINE...MCW/BERDES/FARRAR



000
FXUS61 KCAR 021021
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
621 AM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH LATER TODAY...THEN CROSS THE REGION
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS CROSSING THE AREA EARLY THIS MORNING WITH
WIDESPREAD CIRRUS IN NORTHERN ZONES. IT WILL GIVE WAY TO AN
APPROACHING SHORTWAVE MOVING OUT OF QUEBEC LATER TODAY. THE
SHORTWAVE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY THE SURFACE COLD FRONT. HUMIDITY
WILL SURGE TODAY WITH DEWPOINTS RISING INTO THE MID 60S.  THE BIG
QUESTION FOR TODAY WILL BE DEVELOPMENT OF ANY CONVECTION. THE
BIGGEST PROBLEM IS A LACK OF MOISTURE AS UPPER AIR ANALYSIS AND
AVAILABLE UPSTREAM RAOBS SHOW VERY LITTLE. THUS...SUFFICIENT
MOISTURE FOR ANY CONVECTION WILL LIKELY BE CONFINED TO NARROW
BANDS. AS A RESULT...HAVE MAINTAINED NO GREATER THAN CHANCE POPS
THROUGH THE PERIOD. THIS APPEARS TO BE A TWO PART EVENT WITH
REGARDS TO CONVECTION. FIRST...A PRE FRONTAL TROUGH WILL MOVE
INTO THE CROWN OF MAINE THIS AFTERNOON. THIS TROUGH WILL COMBINE
WITH MAX HEATING AND THE ELEVATED DEW POINTS TO PRODUCE SOME
MODEST CAPE AND THE THREAT OF ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
IN NORTHERN AROOSTOOK THIS AFTERNOON. 0-6 SHEAR VALUES AND MID-
LEVEL LAPSE RATES LOOK REASONABLE FOR A FEW STORMS...BUT DO NOT
SEE THE NEED FOR ANY ENHANCED WORDING AT THIS TIME. HIGHS TODAY
WILL RISE WELL INTO THE 80S ACROSS THE AREA WITH AN ISOLATED 90F
READING POSSIBLE TOWARDS THE LOWER PENOBSCOT VALLEY. THE SECOND
PART OF THIS EVENT SEEMS LIKE IT COULD UNFOLD LATER IN THE EVENING
IN CENTRAL ZONES AS THE ACTUAL COLD FRONT ARRIVES AND THE UPPER
SHORTWAVE AMPLIFIES. AS A RESULT...HAVE FOLLOWED THE LEAD FROM THE
CANGEMS GUIDANCE AND MAINTAINED POPS THROUGH THE NIGHT AS THE
FRONT WORKS SOUTHWARD. EXPECT A WARM AND HUMID NIGHT ACROSS MOST
OF THE AREA WITH LOWS IN THE LOW TO MID 60S AND DEW POINTS ALSO
REMAINING ABOVE 60F. BY LATE NIGHT...DRIER AIR WILL ARRIVE TOWARDS
THE SAINT JOHN VALLEY AND CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTHWARD THROUGH
THURSDAY.
&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
CDFNT WL HV PASSED OFFSHORE BY THUR MRNG. COOLER AND DRIER WX WL
FILTER INTO CWA DRG THE DAY WITH HIGH TEMPS ONLY PROGGED TO RISE TO
ARND 80F ACRS INTERIOR DOWNEAST AND STRUGGLING TO HIT 70F OVR THE
FAR NORTH. DWPTS THRU THE DAY WL DIP INTO THE 40S ACRS THE CROWN OF
MAINE.

HIPRES RAPIDLY BUILDS IN THUR NGT AS 1025MB HIGH SETTLES ACRS SRN
QUEBEC. DRY NW FLOW CONTS THRU FRI MRNG, LEADING TO CLR SKIES OVRNGT
WITH H9 TEMPS DIPPING INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS. THIS WL YIELD
WIDESPREAD MINS BY FRI MRNG IN THE 40S WITH U30S NOT ENTIRELY OUT OF
THE QUESTION IN THE NORTH WOODS.

SFC HIGH WL SETTLE OVR STATE OF MAINE FRI NGT WITH EXCELLENT RADN`L
COOLING CONDS. BUFKIT SNDGS FOR THIS TIMEFRAME SHOW SIGNIFICANT
RIDGE/VLY SPLIT IN MIN TEMPS BY SAT MRNG. 590 HEIGHTS BUILD IN SAT
FM THE WEST WHICH WL RESULT IN A PROLONGED PD OF SUNNY SKIES AND
WARMER THAN NORMAL TEMPS.
&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
EXTNDD BEGINS MUCH THE SAME WAY THE SAME WITH A PD OF
SUNNY, DRY AND WARM TEMPS THRU THE END OF THE WEEKEND. H5 RIDGE
STARTS TO FLATTEN DRG THE DAY ON SUNDAY WITH INCRSG CLDS ACRS THE
FAR NORTH LATE SUN NGT AND PERHAPS JUST A SPRINKLE OR TWO IN DRY
AIRMASS. FRONTAL BNDRY WL BE STRETCHED JUST TO THE NORTH OF CWA WITH
WVS RUNNING ALONG FRONT IN ZONAL FLOW. FRONTAL BNDRY WL SAG SOUTH
THRU THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK WITH CHC SHOWERS/TSTMS.
&&

.AVIATION /10Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR OUTSIDE OF SCT/ISOLD TS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. FOG MAY CREEP INTO BHB AND COASTAL
TERMINALS LATE TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: VFR THROUGH END OF THE WEEKEND UNDER EXTENSIVE HIGH
PRESSURE.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: FOG IS EXPECTED TO RETURN AS VERY HUMID AIR MOVES OVER
THE COLD WATERS TODAY.

SHORT TERM: COLD FRONT WILL CROSS WATERS ON THURSDAY WITH PRESSURE
GRADIENT INCREASING THUR NGT. THIS MAY LEAD TO WINDS GUSTING TO
OVER 25KTS AND POSSIBLY SEAS APPCHG 5FT. AT THIS TIME, CONFIDENCE
ON SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA BEING MET IS LOW.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
&&
$$

NEAR TERM...MCW
SHORT TERM...FARRAR
LONG TERM...FARRAR
AVIATION...MCW/FARRAR
MARINE...MCW/FARRAR




000
FXUS61 KCAR 021021
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
621 AM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH LATER TODAY...THEN CROSS THE REGION
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS CROSSING THE AREA EARLY THIS MORNING WITH
WIDESPREAD CIRRUS IN NORTHERN ZONES. IT WILL GIVE WAY TO AN
APPROACHING SHORTWAVE MOVING OUT OF QUEBEC LATER TODAY. THE
SHORTWAVE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY THE SURFACE COLD FRONT. HUMIDITY
WILL SURGE TODAY WITH DEWPOINTS RISING INTO THE MID 60S.  THE BIG
QUESTION FOR TODAY WILL BE DEVELOPMENT OF ANY CONVECTION. THE
BIGGEST PROBLEM IS A LACK OF MOISTURE AS UPPER AIR ANALYSIS AND
AVAILABLE UPSTREAM RAOBS SHOW VERY LITTLE. THUS...SUFFICIENT
MOISTURE FOR ANY CONVECTION WILL LIKELY BE CONFINED TO NARROW
BANDS. AS A RESULT...HAVE MAINTAINED NO GREATER THAN CHANCE POPS
THROUGH THE PERIOD. THIS APPEARS TO BE A TWO PART EVENT WITH
REGARDS TO CONVECTION. FIRST...A PRE FRONTAL TROUGH WILL MOVE
INTO THE CROWN OF MAINE THIS AFTERNOON. THIS TROUGH WILL COMBINE
WITH MAX HEATING AND THE ELEVATED DEW POINTS TO PRODUCE SOME
MODEST CAPE AND THE THREAT OF ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
IN NORTHERN AROOSTOOK THIS AFTERNOON. 0-6 SHEAR VALUES AND MID-
LEVEL LAPSE RATES LOOK REASONABLE FOR A FEW STORMS...BUT DO NOT
SEE THE NEED FOR ANY ENHANCED WORDING AT THIS TIME. HIGHS TODAY
WILL RISE WELL INTO THE 80S ACROSS THE AREA WITH AN ISOLATED 90F
READING POSSIBLE TOWARDS THE LOWER PENOBSCOT VALLEY. THE SECOND
PART OF THIS EVENT SEEMS LIKE IT COULD UNFOLD LATER IN THE EVENING
IN CENTRAL ZONES AS THE ACTUAL COLD FRONT ARRIVES AND THE UPPER
SHORTWAVE AMPLIFIES. AS A RESULT...HAVE FOLLOWED THE LEAD FROM THE
CANGEMS GUIDANCE AND MAINTAINED POPS THROUGH THE NIGHT AS THE
FRONT WORKS SOUTHWARD. EXPECT A WARM AND HUMID NIGHT ACROSS MOST
OF THE AREA WITH LOWS IN THE LOW TO MID 60S AND DEW POINTS ALSO
REMAINING ABOVE 60F. BY LATE NIGHT...DRIER AIR WILL ARRIVE TOWARDS
THE SAINT JOHN VALLEY AND CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTHWARD THROUGH
THURSDAY.
&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
CDFNT WL HV PASSED OFFSHORE BY THUR MRNG. COOLER AND DRIER WX WL
FILTER INTO CWA DRG THE DAY WITH HIGH TEMPS ONLY PROGGED TO RISE TO
ARND 80F ACRS INTERIOR DOWNEAST AND STRUGGLING TO HIT 70F OVR THE
FAR NORTH. DWPTS THRU THE DAY WL DIP INTO THE 40S ACRS THE CROWN OF
MAINE.

HIPRES RAPIDLY BUILDS IN THUR NGT AS 1025MB HIGH SETTLES ACRS SRN
QUEBEC. DRY NW FLOW CONTS THRU FRI MRNG, LEADING TO CLR SKIES OVRNGT
WITH H9 TEMPS DIPPING INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS. THIS WL YIELD
WIDESPREAD MINS BY FRI MRNG IN THE 40S WITH U30S NOT ENTIRELY OUT OF
THE QUESTION IN THE NORTH WOODS.

SFC HIGH WL SETTLE OVR STATE OF MAINE FRI NGT WITH EXCELLENT RADN`L
COOLING CONDS. BUFKIT SNDGS FOR THIS TIMEFRAME SHOW SIGNIFICANT
RIDGE/VLY SPLIT IN MIN TEMPS BY SAT MRNG. 590 HEIGHTS BUILD IN SAT
FM THE WEST WHICH WL RESULT IN A PROLONGED PD OF SUNNY SKIES AND
WARMER THAN NORMAL TEMPS.
&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
EXTNDD BEGINS MUCH THE SAME WAY THE SAME WITH A PD OF
SUNNY, DRY AND WARM TEMPS THRU THE END OF THE WEEKEND. H5 RIDGE
STARTS TO FLATTEN DRG THE DAY ON SUNDAY WITH INCRSG CLDS ACRS THE
FAR NORTH LATE SUN NGT AND PERHAPS JUST A SPRINKLE OR TWO IN DRY
AIRMASS. FRONTAL BNDRY WL BE STRETCHED JUST TO THE NORTH OF CWA WITH
WVS RUNNING ALONG FRONT IN ZONAL FLOW. FRONTAL BNDRY WL SAG SOUTH
THRU THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK WITH CHC SHOWERS/TSTMS.
&&

.AVIATION /10Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR OUTSIDE OF SCT/ISOLD TS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. FOG MAY CREEP INTO BHB AND COASTAL
TERMINALS LATE TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: VFR THROUGH END OF THE WEEKEND UNDER EXTENSIVE HIGH
PRESSURE.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: FOG IS EXPECTED TO RETURN AS VERY HUMID AIR MOVES OVER
THE COLD WATERS TODAY.

SHORT TERM: COLD FRONT WILL CROSS WATERS ON THURSDAY WITH PRESSURE
GRADIENT INCREASING THUR NGT. THIS MAY LEAD TO WINDS GUSTING TO
OVER 25KTS AND POSSIBLY SEAS APPCHG 5FT. AT THIS TIME, CONFIDENCE
ON SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA BEING MET IS LOW.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
&&
$$

NEAR TERM...MCW
SHORT TERM...FARRAR
LONG TERM...FARRAR
AVIATION...MCW/FARRAR
MARINE...MCW/FARRAR



000
FXUS61 KCAR 021021
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
621 AM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH LATER TODAY...THEN CROSS THE REGION
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS CROSSING THE AREA EARLY THIS MORNING WITH
WIDESPREAD CIRRUS IN NORTHERN ZONES. IT WILL GIVE WAY TO AN
APPROACHING SHORTWAVE MOVING OUT OF QUEBEC LATER TODAY. THE
SHORTWAVE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY THE SURFACE COLD FRONT. HUMIDITY
WILL SURGE TODAY WITH DEWPOINTS RISING INTO THE MID 60S.  THE BIG
QUESTION FOR TODAY WILL BE DEVELOPMENT OF ANY CONVECTION. THE
BIGGEST PROBLEM IS A LACK OF MOISTURE AS UPPER AIR ANALYSIS AND
AVAILABLE UPSTREAM RAOBS SHOW VERY LITTLE. THUS...SUFFICIENT
MOISTURE FOR ANY CONVECTION WILL LIKELY BE CONFINED TO NARROW
BANDS. AS A RESULT...HAVE MAINTAINED NO GREATER THAN CHANCE POPS
THROUGH THE PERIOD. THIS APPEARS TO BE A TWO PART EVENT WITH
REGARDS TO CONVECTION. FIRST...A PRE FRONTAL TROUGH WILL MOVE
INTO THE CROWN OF MAINE THIS AFTERNOON. THIS TROUGH WILL COMBINE
WITH MAX HEATING AND THE ELEVATED DEW POINTS TO PRODUCE SOME
MODEST CAPE AND THE THREAT OF ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
IN NORTHERN AROOSTOOK THIS AFTERNOON. 0-6 SHEAR VALUES AND MID-
LEVEL LAPSE RATES LOOK REASONABLE FOR A FEW STORMS...BUT DO NOT
SEE THE NEED FOR ANY ENHANCED WORDING AT THIS TIME. HIGHS TODAY
WILL RISE WELL INTO THE 80S ACROSS THE AREA WITH AN ISOLATED 90F
READING POSSIBLE TOWARDS THE LOWER PENOBSCOT VALLEY. THE SECOND
PART OF THIS EVENT SEEMS LIKE IT COULD UNFOLD LATER IN THE EVENING
IN CENTRAL ZONES AS THE ACTUAL COLD FRONT ARRIVES AND THE UPPER
SHORTWAVE AMPLIFIES. AS A RESULT...HAVE FOLLOWED THE LEAD FROM THE
CANGEMS GUIDANCE AND MAINTAINED POPS THROUGH THE NIGHT AS THE
FRONT WORKS SOUTHWARD. EXPECT A WARM AND HUMID NIGHT ACROSS MOST
OF THE AREA WITH LOWS IN THE LOW TO MID 60S AND DEW POINTS ALSO
REMAINING ABOVE 60F. BY LATE NIGHT...DRIER AIR WILL ARRIVE TOWARDS
THE SAINT JOHN VALLEY AND CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTHWARD THROUGH
THURSDAY.
&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
CDFNT WL HV PASSED OFFSHORE BY THUR MRNG. COOLER AND DRIER WX WL
FILTER INTO CWA DRG THE DAY WITH HIGH TEMPS ONLY PROGGED TO RISE TO
ARND 80F ACRS INTERIOR DOWNEAST AND STRUGGLING TO HIT 70F OVR THE
FAR NORTH. DWPTS THRU THE DAY WL DIP INTO THE 40S ACRS THE CROWN OF
MAINE.

HIPRES RAPIDLY BUILDS IN THUR NGT AS 1025MB HIGH SETTLES ACRS SRN
QUEBEC. DRY NW FLOW CONTS THRU FRI MRNG, LEADING TO CLR SKIES OVRNGT
WITH H9 TEMPS DIPPING INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS. THIS WL YIELD
WIDESPREAD MINS BY FRI MRNG IN THE 40S WITH U30S NOT ENTIRELY OUT OF
THE QUESTION IN THE NORTH WOODS.

SFC HIGH WL SETTLE OVR STATE OF MAINE FRI NGT WITH EXCELLENT RADN`L
COOLING CONDS. BUFKIT SNDGS FOR THIS TIMEFRAME SHOW SIGNIFICANT
RIDGE/VLY SPLIT IN MIN TEMPS BY SAT MRNG. 590 HEIGHTS BUILD IN SAT
FM THE WEST WHICH WL RESULT IN A PROLONGED PD OF SUNNY SKIES AND
WARMER THAN NORMAL TEMPS.
&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
EXTNDD BEGINS MUCH THE SAME WAY THE SAME WITH A PD OF
SUNNY, DRY AND WARM TEMPS THRU THE END OF THE WEEKEND. H5 RIDGE
STARTS TO FLATTEN DRG THE DAY ON SUNDAY WITH INCRSG CLDS ACRS THE
FAR NORTH LATE SUN NGT AND PERHAPS JUST A SPRINKLE OR TWO IN DRY
AIRMASS. FRONTAL BNDRY WL BE STRETCHED JUST TO THE NORTH OF CWA WITH
WVS RUNNING ALONG FRONT IN ZONAL FLOW. FRONTAL BNDRY WL SAG SOUTH
THRU THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK WITH CHC SHOWERS/TSTMS.
&&

.AVIATION /10Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR OUTSIDE OF SCT/ISOLD TS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. FOG MAY CREEP INTO BHB AND COASTAL
TERMINALS LATE TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: VFR THROUGH END OF THE WEEKEND UNDER EXTENSIVE HIGH
PRESSURE.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: FOG IS EXPECTED TO RETURN AS VERY HUMID AIR MOVES OVER
THE COLD WATERS TODAY.

SHORT TERM: COLD FRONT WILL CROSS WATERS ON THURSDAY WITH PRESSURE
GRADIENT INCREASING THUR NGT. THIS MAY LEAD TO WINDS GUSTING TO
OVER 25KTS AND POSSIBLY SEAS APPCHG 5FT. AT THIS TIME, CONFIDENCE
ON SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA BEING MET IS LOW.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
&&
$$

NEAR TERM...MCW
SHORT TERM...FARRAR
LONG TERM...FARRAR
AVIATION...MCW/FARRAR
MARINE...MCW/FARRAR



000
FXUS61 KCAR 020742
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
342 AM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH LATER TODAY...THEN CROSS THE REGION
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS CROSSING THE AREA EARLY THIS MORNING WITH
WIDESPREAD CIRRUS IN NORTHERN ZONES. IT WILL GIVE WAY TO AN
APPROACHING SHORTWAVE MOVING OUT OF QUEBEC LATER TODAY. THE
SHORTWAVE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY THE SURFACE COLD FRONT. HUMIDITY
WILL SURGE TODAY WITH DEWPOINTS RISING INTO THE MID 60S.  THE BIG
QUESTION FOR TODAY WILL BE DEVELOPMENT OF ANY CONVECTION. THE
BIGGEST PROBLEM IS A LACK OF MOISTURE AS UPPER AIR ANALYSIS AND
AVAILABLE UPSTREAM RAOBS SHOW VERY LITTLE. THUS...SUFFICIENT
MOISTURE FOR ANY CONVECTION WILL LIKELY BE CONFINED TO NARROW
BANDS. AS A RESULT...HAVE MAINTAINED NO GREATER THAN CHANCE POPS
THROUGH THE PERIOD. THIS APPEARS TO BE A TWO PART EVENT WITH
REGARDS TO CONVECTION. FIRST...A PRE FRONTAL TROUGH WILL MOVE
INTO THE CROWN OF MAINE THIS AFTERNOON. THIS TROUGH WILL COMBINE
WITH MAX HEATING AND THE ELEVATED DEW POINTS TO PRODUCE SOME
MODEST CAPE AND THE THREAT OF ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
IN NORTHERN AROOSTOOK THIS AFTERNOON. 0-6 SHEAR VALUES AND MID-
LEVEL LAPSE RATES LOOK REASONABLE FOR A FEW STORMS...BUT DO NOT
SEE THE NEED FOR ANY ENHANCED WORDING AT THIS TIME. HIGHS TODAY
WILL RISE WELL INTO THE 80S ACROSS THE AREA WITH AN ISOLATED 90F
READING POSSIBLE TOWARDS THE LOWER PENOBSCOT VALLEY. THE SECOND
PART OF THIS EVENT SEEMS LIKE IT COULD UNFOLD LATER IN THE EVENING
IN CENTRAL ZONES AS THE ACTUAL COLD FRONT ARRIVES AND THE UPPER
SHORTWAVE AMPLIFIES. AS A RESULT...HAVE FOLLOWED THE LEAD FROM THE
CANGEMS GUIDANCE AND MAINTAINED POPS THROUGH THE NIGHT AS THE
FRONT WORKS SOUTHWARD. EXPECT A WARM AND HUMID NIGHT ACROSS MOST
OF THE AREA WITH LOWS IN THE LOW TO MID 60S AND DEW POINTS ALSO
REMAINING ABOVE 60F. BY LATE NIGHT...DRIER AIR WILL ARRIVE TOWARDS
THE SAINT JOHN VALLEY AND CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTHWARD THROUGH
THURSDAY.
&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
CDFNT WL HV PASSED OFFSHORE BY THUR MRNG. COOLER AND DRIER WX WL
FILTER INTO CWA DRG THE DAY WITH HIGH TEMPS ONLY PROGGED TO RISE TO
ARND 80F ACRS INTERIOR DOWNEAST AND STRUGGLING TO HIT 70F OVR THE
FAR NORTH. DWPTS THRU THE DAY WL DIP INTO THE 40S ACRS THE CROWN OF
MAINE.

HIPRES RAPIDLY BUILDS IN THUR NGT AS 1025MB HIGH SETTLES ACRS SRN
QUEBEC. DRY NW FLOW CONTS THRU FRI MRNG, LEADING TO CLR SKIES OVRNGT
WITH H9 TEMPS DIPPING INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS. THIS WL YIELD
WIDESPREAD MINS BY FRI MRNG IN THE 40S WITH U30S NOT ENTIRELY OUT OF
THE QUESTION IN THE NORTH WOODS.

SFC HIGH WL SETTLE OVR STATE OF MAINE FRI NGT WITH EXCELLENT RADN`L
COOLING CONDS. BUFKIT SNDGS FOR THIS TIMEFRAME SHOW SIGNIFICANT
RIDGE/VLY SPLIT IN MIN TEMPS BY SAT MRNG. 590 HEIGHTS BUILD IN SAT
FM THE WEST WHICH WL RESULT IN A PROLONGED PD OF SUNNY SKIES AND
WARMER THAN NORMAL TEMPS.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
EXTNDD BEGINS MUCH THE SAME WAY THE SAME WITH A PD OF
SUNNY, DRY AND WARM TEMPS THRU THE END OF THE WEEKEND. H5 RIDGE
STARTS TO FLATTEN DRG THE DAY ON SUNDAY WITH INCRSG CLDS ACRS THE
FAR NORTH LATE SUN NGT AND PERHAPS JUST A SPRINKLE OR TWO IN DRY
AIRMASS. FRONTAL BNDRY WL BE STRETCHED JUST TO THE NORTH OF CWA WITH
WVS RUNNING ALONG FRONT IN ZONAL FLOW. FRONTAL BNDRY WL SAG SOUTH
THRU THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK WITH CHC SHOWERS/TSTMS.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR OUTSIDE OF SCT/ISOLD TS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. FOG MAY CREEP INTO BHB AND COASTAL
TERMINALS LATE TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: VFR THROUGH END OF THE WEEKEND UNDER EXTENSIVE HIGH
PRESSURE.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: FOG IS EXPECTED TO RETURN AS VERY HUMID AIR MOVES OVER
THE COLD WATERS TODAY.

SHORT TERM: COLD FRONT WILL CROSS WATERS ON THURSDAY WITH PRESSURE
GRADIENT INCREASING THUR NGT. THIS MAY LEAD TO WINDS GUSTING TO
OVER 25KTS AND POSSIBLY SEAS APPCHG 5FT. AT THIS TIME, CONFIDENCE
ON SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA BEING MET IS LOW.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
&&
$$

NEAR TERM...MCW
SHORT TERM...FARRAR
LONG TERM...FARRAR
AVIATION...MCW/FARRAR
MARINE...MCW/FARRAR



000
FXUS61 KCAR 020742
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
342 AM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH LATER TODAY...THEN CROSS THE REGION
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS CROSSING THE AREA EARLY THIS MORNING WITH
WIDESPREAD CIRRUS IN NORTHERN ZONES. IT WILL GIVE WAY TO AN
APPROACHING SHORTWAVE MOVING OUT OF QUEBEC LATER TODAY. THE
SHORTWAVE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY THE SURFACE COLD FRONT. HUMIDITY
WILL SURGE TODAY WITH DEWPOINTS RISING INTO THE MID 60S.  THE BIG
QUESTION FOR TODAY WILL BE DEVELOPMENT OF ANY CONVECTION. THE
BIGGEST PROBLEM IS A LACK OF MOISTURE AS UPPER AIR ANALYSIS AND
AVAILABLE UPSTREAM RAOBS SHOW VERY LITTLE. THUS...SUFFICIENT
MOISTURE FOR ANY CONVECTION WILL LIKELY BE CONFINED TO NARROW
BANDS. AS A RESULT...HAVE MAINTAINED NO GREATER THAN CHANCE POPS
THROUGH THE PERIOD. THIS APPEARS TO BE A TWO PART EVENT WITH
REGARDS TO CONVECTION. FIRST...A PRE FRONTAL TROUGH WILL MOVE
INTO THE CROWN OF MAINE THIS AFTERNOON. THIS TROUGH WILL COMBINE
WITH MAX HEATING AND THE ELEVATED DEW POINTS TO PRODUCE SOME
MODEST CAPE AND THE THREAT OF ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
IN NORTHERN AROOSTOOK THIS AFTERNOON. 0-6 SHEAR VALUES AND MID-
LEVEL LAPSE RATES LOOK REASONABLE FOR A FEW STORMS...BUT DO NOT
SEE THE NEED FOR ANY ENHANCED WORDING AT THIS TIME. HIGHS TODAY
WILL RISE WELL INTO THE 80S ACROSS THE AREA WITH AN ISOLATED 90F
READING POSSIBLE TOWARDS THE LOWER PENOBSCOT VALLEY. THE SECOND
PART OF THIS EVENT SEEMS LIKE IT COULD UNFOLD LATER IN THE EVENING
IN CENTRAL ZONES AS THE ACTUAL COLD FRONT ARRIVES AND THE UPPER
SHORTWAVE AMPLIFIES. AS A RESULT...HAVE FOLLOWED THE LEAD FROM THE
CANGEMS GUIDANCE AND MAINTAINED POPS THROUGH THE NIGHT AS THE
FRONT WORKS SOUTHWARD. EXPECT A WARM AND HUMID NIGHT ACROSS MOST
OF THE AREA WITH LOWS IN THE LOW TO MID 60S AND DEW POINTS ALSO
REMAINING ABOVE 60F. BY LATE NIGHT...DRIER AIR WILL ARRIVE TOWARDS
THE SAINT JOHN VALLEY AND CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTHWARD THROUGH
THURSDAY.
&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
CDFNT WL HV PASSED OFFSHORE BY THUR MRNG. COOLER AND DRIER WX WL
FILTER INTO CWA DRG THE DAY WITH HIGH TEMPS ONLY PROGGED TO RISE TO
ARND 80F ACRS INTERIOR DOWNEAST AND STRUGGLING TO HIT 70F OVR THE
FAR NORTH. DWPTS THRU THE DAY WL DIP INTO THE 40S ACRS THE CROWN OF
MAINE.

HIPRES RAPIDLY BUILDS IN THUR NGT AS 1025MB HIGH SETTLES ACRS SRN
QUEBEC. DRY NW FLOW CONTS THRU FRI MRNG, LEADING TO CLR SKIES OVRNGT
WITH H9 TEMPS DIPPING INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS. THIS WL YIELD
WIDESPREAD MINS BY FRI MRNG IN THE 40S WITH U30S NOT ENTIRELY OUT OF
THE QUESTION IN THE NORTH WOODS.

SFC HIGH WL SETTLE OVR STATE OF MAINE FRI NGT WITH EXCELLENT RADN`L
COOLING CONDS. BUFKIT SNDGS FOR THIS TIMEFRAME SHOW SIGNIFICANT
RIDGE/VLY SPLIT IN MIN TEMPS BY SAT MRNG. 590 HEIGHTS BUILD IN SAT
FM THE WEST WHICH WL RESULT IN A PROLONGED PD OF SUNNY SKIES AND
WARMER THAN NORMAL TEMPS.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
EXTNDD BEGINS MUCH THE SAME WAY THE SAME WITH A PD OF
SUNNY, DRY AND WARM TEMPS THRU THE END OF THE WEEKEND. H5 RIDGE
STARTS TO FLATTEN DRG THE DAY ON SUNDAY WITH INCRSG CLDS ACRS THE
FAR NORTH LATE SUN NGT AND PERHAPS JUST A SPRINKLE OR TWO IN DRY
AIRMASS. FRONTAL BNDRY WL BE STRETCHED JUST TO THE NORTH OF CWA WITH
WVS RUNNING ALONG FRONT IN ZONAL FLOW. FRONTAL BNDRY WL SAG SOUTH
THRU THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK WITH CHC SHOWERS/TSTMS.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR OUTSIDE OF SCT/ISOLD TS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. FOG MAY CREEP INTO BHB AND COASTAL
TERMINALS LATE TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: VFR THROUGH END OF THE WEEKEND UNDER EXTENSIVE HIGH
PRESSURE.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: FOG IS EXPECTED TO RETURN AS VERY HUMID AIR MOVES OVER
THE COLD WATERS TODAY.

SHORT TERM: COLD FRONT WILL CROSS WATERS ON THURSDAY WITH PRESSURE
GRADIENT INCREASING THUR NGT. THIS MAY LEAD TO WINDS GUSTING TO
OVER 25KTS AND POSSIBLY SEAS APPCHG 5FT. AT THIS TIME, CONFIDENCE
ON SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA BEING MET IS LOW.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
&&
$$

NEAR TERM...MCW
SHORT TERM...FARRAR
LONG TERM...FARRAR
AVIATION...MCW/FARRAR
MARINE...MCW/FARRAR




000
FXUS61 KGYX 020703
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
303 AM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTH TODAY AND WILL
GRADUALLY SETTLE SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION TONIGHT AND THURSDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH FROM CANADA THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST OVER THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT AND
WILL PUSH SOUTH OFF THE COAST ON SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL HOLD
SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
QUIET WEATHER CONTINUES TODAY AS HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS ANCHORED
SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND. SHOULD BE A HOT ONE IN INTERIOR SECTIONS OF
MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE WITH HIGHS TOPPING OUT IN THE MID 80S TO
NEAR 90. ONCE AGAIN AN AFTERNOON SEA BREEZE WILL CAP TEMPS AT THE
COAST IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
WEAK COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH FROM CANADA OVERNIGHT BRINGING
VARIABLE HIGH AND MID LEVEL CLOUDINESS INTO THE FORECAST AREA
OVERNIGHT. WILL SEE A WARM NIGHT FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR WITH LOWS
RANGING THROUGH THE 60S IN MOST LOCATIONS.

COLD FRONT WILL LINGER OVER SOUTHERN ZONES ON THURSDAY BEFORE
SHIFTING OFFSHORE IN THE EVENING. SOME FAIRLY RESPECTABLE CAPES
DEVELOP DURING THE AFTERNOON IN SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL ZONES SO
EXPECT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP FROM LATE MORNING
ONWARD. NOT A LOT OF SHEAR SO NOT LOOKING FOR ANY WIDESPREAD
SEVERE BUT PWAT`S APPROACHING 1.5 INCHES AND SLOW STORM MOVEMENT
WILL PROVIDE SOME MUCH NEEDED RAINFALL FOR SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE
AND MAINE. EXPECT HIGHS TO RANGE THROUGH THE 80S FROM NORTH TO
SOUTH.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO DROP WELL TO OUR SOUTH THURSDAY
EVENING USHERING A COOLER AND DRIER AIRMASS. ANY SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHERN ZONES WILL END EARLY IN THE EVENING.
THEREAFTER...HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE IN THROUGH SATURDAY...THEN
SETTLE TO THE SOUTH OF THE AREA SUNDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
AFTER A BRIEF COOL DOWN FOR FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY...RETURN FLOW
AROUND HIGH PRESSURE FOR SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY WILL RESULT IN
INCREASING HEAT AND HUMIDITY ONCE AGAIN. AT THIS TIME...IT LOOKS
AS THOUGH MONDAY AND TUESDAY SHOULD FEATURE TEMPERATURES 85 TO 90
FOR MOST...AND POSSIBLY AS HIGH AS THE 92 TO 94 RANGE AT A FEW
SPOTS ACROSS SOUTHERNMOST ZONES. SUMMER IS NOT LEAVING US YET. DRY
WEATHER IS CURRENTLY EXPECTED THROUGH MUCH OF THE EXTENDED AFTER
WHATEVER SHOWERS/STORMS END THU EVENING.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY. AREAS OF IFR/LIFR
CIGS/VSBY IN MORNING VALLEY FOG THURSDAY.

LONG TERM...MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THU NIGHT THROUGH
SUNDAY. A PERIOD OF LOWER CONDITIONS IS POSSIBLE THU EVENING IN
LEFTOVER SHOWERS.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...NO FLAGS.

LONG TERM...NORTHEASTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE THURSDAY
NIGHT IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT. SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS WILL BE
POSSIBLE THEN. OTHERWISE...NO SIGNIFICANT ISSUES FORESEEN.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

LONG TERM...MLE



000
FXUS61 KGYX 020703
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
303 AM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTH TODAY AND WILL
GRADUALLY SETTLE SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION TONIGHT AND THURSDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH FROM CANADA THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST OVER THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT AND
WILL PUSH SOUTH OFF THE COAST ON SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL HOLD
SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
QUIET WEATHER CONTINUES TODAY AS HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS ANCHORED
SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND. SHOULD BE A HOT ONE IN INTERIOR SECTIONS OF
MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE WITH HIGHS TOPPING OUT IN THE MID 80S TO
NEAR 90. ONCE AGAIN AN AFTERNOON SEA BREEZE WILL CAP TEMPS AT THE
COAST IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
WEAK COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH FROM CANADA OVERNIGHT BRINGING
VARIABLE HIGH AND MID LEVEL CLOUDINESS INTO THE FORECAST AREA
OVERNIGHT. WILL SEE A WARM NIGHT FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR WITH LOWS
RANGING THROUGH THE 60S IN MOST LOCATIONS.

COLD FRONT WILL LINGER OVER SOUTHERN ZONES ON THURSDAY BEFORE
SHIFTING OFFSHORE IN THE EVENING. SOME FAIRLY RESPECTABLE CAPES
DEVELOP DURING THE AFTERNOON IN SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL ZONES SO
EXPECT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP FROM LATE MORNING
ONWARD. NOT A LOT OF SHEAR SO NOT LOOKING FOR ANY WIDESPREAD
SEVERE BUT PWAT`S APPROACHING 1.5 INCHES AND SLOW STORM MOVEMENT
WILL PROVIDE SOME MUCH NEEDED RAINFALL FOR SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE
AND MAINE. EXPECT HIGHS TO RANGE THROUGH THE 80S FROM NORTH TO
SOUTH.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO DROP WELL TO OUR SOUTH THURSDAY
EVENING USHERING A COOLER AND DRIER AIRMASS. ANY SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHERN ZONES WILL END EARLY IN THE EVENING.
THEREAFTER...HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE IN THROUGH SATURDAY...THEN
SETTLE TO THE SOUTH OF THE AREA SUNDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
AFTER A BRIEF COOL DOWN FOR FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY...RETURN FLOW
AROUND HIGH PRESSURE FOR SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY WILL RESULT IN
INCREASING HEAT AND HUMIDITY ONCE AGAIN. AT THIS TIME...IT LOOKS
AS THOUGH MONDAY AND TUESDAY SHOULD FEATURE TEMPERATURES 85 TO 90
FOR MOST...AND POSSIBLY AS HIGH AS THE 92 TO 94 RANGE AT A FEW
SPOTS ACROSS SOUTHERNMOST ZONES. SUMMER IS NOT LEAVING US YET. DRY
WEATHER IS CURRENTLY EXPECTED THROUGH MUCH OF THE EXTENDED AFTER
WHATEVER SHOWERS/STORMS END THU EVENING.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY. AREAS OF IFR/LIFR
CIGS/VSBY IN MORNING VALLEY FOG THURSDAY.

LONG TERM...MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THU NIGHT THROUGH
SUNDAY. A PERIOD OF LOWER CONDITIONS IS POSSIBLE THU EVENING IN
LEFTOVER SHOWERS.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...NO FLAGS.

LONG TERM...NORTHEASTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE THURSDAY
NIGHT IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT. SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS WILL BE
POSSIBLE THEN. OTHERWISE...NO SIGNIFICANT ISSUES FORESEEN.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

LONG TERM...MLE




000
FXUS61 KGYX 020703
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
303 AM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTH TODAY AND WILL
GRADUALLY SETTLE SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION TONIGHT AND THURSDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH FROM CANADA THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST OVER THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT AND
WILL PUSH SOUTH OFF THE COAST ON SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL HOLD
SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
QUIET WEATHER CONTINUES TODAY AS HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS ANCHORED
SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND. SHOULD BE A HOT ONE IN INTERIOR SECTIONS OF
MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE WITH HIGHS TOPPING OUT IN THE MID 80S TO
NEAR 90. ONCE AGAIN AN AFTERNOON SEA BREEZE WILL CAP TEMPS AT THE
COAST IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
WEAK COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH FROM CANADA OVERNIGHT BRINGING
VARIABLE HIGH AND MID LEVEL CLOUDINESS INTO THE FORECAST AREA
OVERNIGHT. WILL SEE A WARM NIGHT FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR WITH LOWS
RANGING THROUGH THE 60S IN MOST LOCATIONS.

COLD FRONT WILL LINGER OVER SOUTHERN ZONES ON THURSDAY BEFORE
SHIFTING OFFSHORE IN THE EVENING. SOME FAIRLY RESPECTABLE CAPES
DEVELOP DURING THE AFTERNOON IN SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL ZONES SO
EXPECT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP FROM LATE MORNING
ONWARD. NOT A LOT OF SHEAR SO NOT LOOKING FOR ANY WIDESPREAD
SEVERE BUT PWAT`S APPROACHING 1.5 INCHES AND SLOW STORM MOVEMENT
WILL PROVIDE SOME MUCH NEEDED RAINFALL FOR SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE
AND MAINE. EXPECT HIGHS TO RANGE THROUGH THE 80S FROM NORTH TO
SOUTH.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO DROP WELL TO OUR SOUTH THURSDAY
EVENING USHERING A COOLER AND DRIER AIRMASS. ANY SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHERN ZONES WILL END EARLY IN THE EVENING.
THEREAFTER...HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE IN THROUGH SATURDAY...THEN
SETTLE TO THE SOUTH OF THE AREA SUNDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
AFTER A BRIEF COOL DOWN FOR FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY...RETURN FLOW
AROUND HIGH PRESSURE FOR SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY WILL RESULT IN
INCREASING HEAT AND HUMIDITY ONCE AGAIN. AT THIS TIME...IT LOOKS
AS THOUGH MONDAY AND TUESDAY SHOULD FEATURE TEMPERATURES 85 TO 90
FOR MOST...AND POSSIBLY AS HIGH AS THE 92 TO 94 RANGE AT A FEW
SPOTS ACROSS SOUTHERNMOST ZONES. SUMMER IS NOT LEAVING US YET. DRY
WEATHER IS CURRENTLY EXPECTED THROUGH MUCH OF THE EXTENDED AFTER
WHATEVER SHOWERS/STORMS END THU EVENING.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY. AREAS OF IFR/LIFR
CIGS/VSBY IN MORNING VALLEY FOG THURSDAY.

LONG TERM...MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THU NIGHT THROUGH
SUNDAY. A PERIOD OF LOWER CONDITIONS IS POSSIBLE THU EVENING IN
LEFTOVER SHOWERS.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...NO FLAGS.

LONG TERM...NORTHEASTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE THURSDAY
NIGHT IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT. SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS WILL BE
POSSIBLE THEN. OTHERWISE...NO SIGNIFICANT ISSUES FORESEEN.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

LONG TERM...MLE




000
FXUS61 KGYX 020703
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
303 AM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTH TODAY AND WILL
GRADUALLY SETTLE SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION TONIGHT AND THURSDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH FROM CANADA THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST OVER THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT AND
WILL PUSH SOUTH OFF THE COAST ON SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL HOLD
SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
QUIET WEATHER CONTINUES TODAY AS HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS ANCHORED
SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND. SHOULD BE A HOT ONE IN INTERIOR SECTIONS OF
MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE WITH HIGHS TOPPING OUT IN THE MID 80S TO
NEAR 90. ONCE AGAIN AN AFTERNOON SEA BREEZE WILL CAP TEMPS AT THE
COAST IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
WEAK COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH FROM CANADA OVERNIGHT BRINGING
VARIABLE HIGH AND MID LEVEL CLOUDINESS INTO THE FORECAST AREA
OVERNIGHT. WILL SEE A WARM NIGHT FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR WITH LOWS
RANGING THROUGH THE 60S IN MOST LOCATIONS.

COLD FRONT WILL LINGER OVER SOUTHERN ZONES ON THURSDAY BEFORE
SHIFTING OFFSHORE IN THE EVENING. SOME FAIRLY RESPECTABLE CAPES
DEVELOP DURING THE AFTERNOON IN SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL ZONES SO
EXPECT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP FROM LATE MORNING
ONWARD. NOT A LOT OF SHEAR SO NOT LOOKING FOR ANY WIDESPREAD
SEVERE BUT PWAT`S APPROACHING 1.5 INCHES AND SLOW STORM MOVEMENT
WILL PROVIDE SOME MUCH NEEDED RAINFALL FOR SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE
AND MAINE. EXPECT HIGHS TO RANGE THROUGH THE 80S FROM NORTH TO
SOUTH.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO DROP WELL TO OUR SOUTH THURSDAY
EVENING USHERING A COOLER AND DRIER AIRMASS. ANY SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHERN ZONES WILL END EARLY IN THE EVENING.
THEREAFTER...HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE IN THROUGH SATURDAY...THEN
SETTLE TO THE SOUTH OF THE AREA SUNDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
AFTER A BRIEF COOL DOWN FOR FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY...RETURN FLOW
AROUND HIGH PRESSURE FOR SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY WILL RESULT IN
INCREASING HEAT AND HUMIDITY ONCE AGAIN. AT THIS TIME...IT LOOKS
AS THOUGH MONDAY AND TUESDAY SHOULD FEATURE TEMPERATURES 85 TO 90
FOR MOST...AND POSSIBLY AS HIGH AS THE 92 TO 94 RANGE AT A FEW
SPOTS ACROSS SOUTHERNMOST ZONES. SUMMER IS NOT LEAVING US YET. DRY
WEATHER IS CURRENTLY EXPECTED THROUGH MUCH OF THE EXTENDED AFTER
WHATEVER SHOWERS/STORMS END THU EVENING.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY. AREAS OF IFR/LIFR
CIGS/VSBY IN MORNING VALLEY FOG THURSDAY.

LONG TERM...MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THU NIGHT THROUGH
SUNDAY. A PERIOD OF LOWER CONDITIONS IS POSSIBLE THU EVENING IN
LEFTOVER SHOWERS.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...NO FLAGS.

LONG TERM...NORTHEASTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE THURSDAY
NIGHT IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT. SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS WILL BE
POSSIBLE THEN. OTHERWISE...NO SIGNIFICANT ISSUES FORESEEN.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

LONG TERM...MLE



000
FXUS61 KCAR 020503
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
103 AM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA OVERNIGHT. A COLD
FRONT WILL APPROACH LATER WEDNESDAY...THEN CROSS THE REGION
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
1AM UPDATE: NO CHANGES TO PREVIOUS FORECAST.

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL CROSS NORTHERN MAINE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON IN ADVANCE OF A COLD FRONT WHICH WILL APPROACH NORTHERN
MAINE LATE. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP
ACROSS NORTHERN MAINE DURING THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON
HOURS WEDNESDAY...THEN PERSIST THROUGH THE DURATION OF THE
AFTERNOON. MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS CENTRAL AND
DOWNEAST PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA WEDNESDAY MORNING...WITH
PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES DURING THE AFTERNOON. LOW TEMPERATURES
TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE MID TO UPPER 50S ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA. HIGH TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER TO MID
80S NORTH AND ALONG THE DOWNEAST COAST...WITH MID TO UPPER 80S
ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA.
&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A COLD FRONT SLIDES THROUGH EASTERN MAINE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY. THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF EVENING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WITH THIS FRONTAL PASSAGE.

NOTICEABLY COOLER AND DRIER AIR SETTLES INTO THE REGION THURSDAY
INTO FRIDAY WITH A TOUCH OF AUTUMN.  HIGHS WILL ONLY BE IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S ON FRIDAY WITH A CHILLY START FRIDAY MORNING WITH LOWS
IN THE 40S NORTH AND 50S DOWNEAST.
&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD INTO THE NORTHEAST OVER LABOR
DAY WEEKEND BRINGING A STRETCH OF VERY WARM SUMMER WEATHER. HIGH
PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE WILL CREST OVER THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT
BRINGING A CALM, COOL NIGHT WITH SOME PATCHY VALLEY FOG POSSIBLE
AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE HIGH WILL SINK SOUTH OF THE REGION ON SATURDAY.
AFTER A COOL MORNING, A RETURN FLOW BEHIND THE HIGH WILL BOOST
TEMPERATURES TO MID SUMMER NORMS ACROSS THE AREA WITH PLENTY OF
SUNSHINE. SATURDAY NIGHT WILL BE CLEAR AND MILD THEN SUNDAY WILL BE
EVEN WARMER WITH SUNSHINE AS THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS OVER. THE
STRONG UPPER HIGH WILL REMAIN ANCHORED ACROSS NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY
NIGHT INTO MONDAY BRINGING A MILD NIGHT SUNDAY NIGHT FOLLOWED BY
ANOTHER VERY WARM AND SUNNY DAY ON LABOR DAY. THE VERY WARM
WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY. HOWEVER, A STRONG COLD FRONT
APPROACHING LATE IN THE DAY MAY BRING SOME SHOWERS OR A
THUNDERSTORM TO NORTHERN AREAS AS IT MOVES IN AT THE END OF THE
DAY.
&&

.AVIATION /05Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION
TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. VARIABLE CONDITIONS WILL THEN
OCCUR ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WITH ANY SHOWERS
OR THUNDERSTORMS. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST DOWNEAST WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON.

SHORT TERM: MVFR CEILINGS AND VSBYS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY
EVENING ACROSS THE NORTHERN TAF SITES /FVE CAR PQI HUL / IN
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. PATCHY VALLEY FOG MAY BRIEFLY RESULT IN
MVFR OR IFR CONDITIONS EARLY SAT MORNING. OTHERWISE, VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SHORT TERM: NO HEADLINES ARE EXPECTED DURING THIS TIME PERIOD.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
&&
$$

NEAR TERM...HEWITT/MCW
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...HEWITT/MCW/
MARINE...HEWITT/MCW/




000
FXUS61 KCAR 020503
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
103 AM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA OVERNIGHT. A COLD
FRONT WILL APPROACH LATER WEDNESDAY...THEN CROSS THE REGION
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
1AM UPDATE: NO CHANGES TO PREVIOUS FORECAST.

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL CROSS NORTHERN MAINE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON IN ADVANCE OF A COLD FRONT WHICH WILL APPROACH NORTHERN
MAINE LATE. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP
ACROSS NORTHERN MAINE DURING THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON
HOURS WEDNESDAY...THEN PERSIST THROUGH THE DURATION OF THE
AFTERNOON. MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS CENTRAL AND
DOWNEAST PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA WEDNESDAY MORNING...WITH
PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES DURING THE AFTERNOON. LOW TEMPERATURES
TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE MID TO UPPER 50S ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA. HIGH TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER TO MID
80S NORTH AND ALONG THE DOWNEAST COAST...WITH MID TO UPPER 80S
ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA.
&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A COLD FRONT SLIDES THROUGH EASTERN MAINE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY. THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF EVENING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WITH THIS FRONTAL PASSAGE.

NOTICEABLY COOLER AND DRIER AIR SETTLES INTO THE REGION THURSDAY
INTO FRIDAY WITH A TOUCH OF AUTUMN.  HIGHS WILL ONLY BE IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S ON FRIDAY WITH A CHILLY START FRIDAY MORNING WITH LOWS
IN THE 40S NORTH AND 50S DOWNEAST.
&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD INTO THE NORTHEAST OVER LABOR
DAY WEEKEND BRINGING A STRETCH OF VERY WARM SUMMER WEATHER. HIGH
PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE WILL CREST OVER THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT
BRINGING A CALM, COOL NIGHT WITH SOME PATCHY VALLEY FOG POSSIBLE
AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE HIGH WILL SINK SOUTH OF THE REGION ON SATURDAY.
AFTER A COOL MORNING, A RETURN FLOW BEHIND THE HIGH WILL BOOST
TEMPERATURES TO MID SUMMER NORMS ACROSS THE AREA WITH PLENTY OF
SUNSHINE. SATURDAY NIGHT WILL BE CLEAR AND MILD THEN SUNDAY WILL BE
EVEN WARMER WITH SUNSHINE AS THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS OVER. THE
STRONG UPPER HIGH WILL REMAIN ANCHORED ACROSS NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY
NIGHT INTO MONDAY BRINGING A MILD NIGHT SUNDAY NIGHT FOLLOWED BY
ANOTHER VERY WARM AND SUNNY DAY ON LABOR DAY. THE VERY WARM
WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY. HOWEVER, A STRONG COLD FRONT
APPROACHING LATE IN THE DAY MAY BRING SOME SHOWERS OR A
THUNDERSTORM TO NORTHERN AREAS AS IT MOVES IN AT THE END OF THE
DAY.
&&

.AVIATION /05Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION
TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. VARIABLE CONDITIONS WILL THEN
OCCUR ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WITH ANY SHOWERS
OR THUNDERSTORMS. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST DOWNEAST WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON.

SHORT TERM: MVFR CEILINGS AND VSBYS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY
EVENING ACROSS THE NORTHERN TAF SITES /FVE CAR PQI HUL / IN
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. PATCHY VALLEY FOG MAY BRIEFLY RESULT IN
MVFR OR IFR CONDITIONS EARLY SAT MORNING. OTHERWISE, VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SHORT TERM: NO HEADLINES ARE EXPECTED DURING THIS TIME PERIOD.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
&&
$$

NEAR TERM...HEWITT/MCW
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...HEWITT/MCW/
MARINE...HEWITT/MCW/



000
FXUS61 KCAR 020503
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
103 AM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA OVERNIGHT. A COLD
FRONT WILL APPROACH LATER WEDNESDAY...THEN CROSS THE REGION
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
1AM UPDATE: NO CHANGES TO PREVIOUS FORECAST.

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL CROSS NORTHERN MAINE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON IN ADVANCE OF A COLD FRONT WHICH WILL APPROACH NORTHERN
MAINE LATE. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP
ACROSS NORTHERN MAINE DURING THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON
HOURS WEDNESDAY...THEN PERSIST THROUGH THE DURATION OF THE
AFTERNOON. MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS CENTRAL AND
DOWNEAST PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA WEDNESDAY MORNING...WITH
PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES DURING THE AFTERNOON. LOW TEMPERATURES
TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE MID TO UPPER 50S ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA. HIGH TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER TO MID
80S NORTH AND ALONG THE DOWNEAST COAST...WITH MID TO UPPER 80S
ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA.
&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A COLD FRONT SLIDES THROUGH EASTERN MAINE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY. THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF EVENING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WITH THIS FRONTAL PASSAGE.

NOTICEABLY COOLER AND DRIER AIR SETTLES INTO THE REGION THURSDAY
INTO FRIDAY WITH A TOUCH OF AUTUMN.  HIGHS WILL ONLY BE IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S ON FRIDAY WITH A CHILLY START FRIDAY MORNING WITH LOWS
IN THE 40S NORTH AND 50S DOWNEAST.
&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD INTO THE NORTHEAST OVER LABOR
DAY WEEKEND BRINGING A STRETCH OF VERY WARM SUMMER WEATHER. HIGH
PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE WILL CREST OVER THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT
BRINGING A CALM, COOL NIGHT WITH SOME PATCHY VALLEY FOG POSSIBLE
AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE HIGH WILL SINK SOUTH OF THE REGION ON SATURDAY.
AFTER A COOL MORNING, A RETURN FLOW BEHIND THE HIGH WILL BOOST
TEMPERATURES TO MID SUMMER NORMS ACROSS THE AREA WITH PLENTY OF
SUNSHINE. SATURDAY NIGHT WILL BE CLEAR AND MILD THEN SUNDAY WILL BE
EVEN WARMER WITH SUNSHINE AS THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS OVER. THE
STRONG UPPER HIGH WILL REMAIN ANCHORED ACROSS NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY
NIGHT INTO MONDAY BRINGING A MILD NIGHT SUNDAY NIGHT FOLLOWED BY
ANOTHER VERY WARM AND SUNNY DAY ON LABOR DAY. THE VERY WARM
WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY. HOWEVER, A STRONG COLD FRONT
APPROACHING LATE IN THE DAY MAY BRING SOME SHOWERS OR A
THUNDERSTORM TO NORTHERN AREAS AS IT MOVES IN AT THE END OF THE
DAY.
&&

.AVIATION /05Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION
TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. VARIABLE CONDITIONS WILL THEN
OCCUR ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WITH ANY SHOWERS
OR THUNDERSTORMS. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST DOWNEAST WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON.

SHORT TERM: MVFR CEILINGS AND VSBYS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY
EVENING ACROSS THE NORTHERN TAF SITES /FVE CAR PQI HUL / IN
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. PATCHY VALLEY FOG MAY BRIEFLY RESULT IN
MVFR OR IFR CONDITIONS EARLY SAT MORNING. OTHERWISE, VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SHORT TERM: NO HEADLINES ARE EXPECTED DURING THIS TIME PERIOD.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
&&
$$

NEAR TERM...HEWITT/MCW
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...HEWITT/MCW/
MARINE...HEWITT/MCW/



000
FXUS61 KCAR 020503
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
103 AM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA OVERNIGHT. A COLD
FRONT WILL APPROACH LATER WEDNESDAY...THEN CROSS THE REGION
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
1AM UPDATE: NO CHANGES TO PREVIOUS FORECAST.

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL CROSS NORTHERN MAINE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON IN ADVANCE OF A COLD FRONT WHICH WILL APPROACH NORTHERN
MAINE LATE. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP
ACROSS NORTHERN MAINE DURING THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON
HOURS WEDNESDAY...THEN PERSIST THROUGH THE DURATION OF THE
AFTERNOON. MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS CENTRAL AND
DOWNEAST PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA WEDNESDAY MORNING...WITH
PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES DURING THE AFTERNOON. LOW TEMPERATURES
TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE MID TO UPPER 50S ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA. HIGH TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER TO MID
80S NORTH AND ALONG THE DOWNEAST COAST...WITH MID TO UPPER 80S
ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA.
&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A COLD FRONT SLIDES THROUGH EASTERN MAINE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY. THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF EVENING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WITH THIS FRONTAL PASSAGE.

NOTICEABLY COOLER AND DRIER AIR SETTLES INTO THE REGION THURSDAY
INTO FRIDAY WITH A TOUCH OF AUTUMN.  HIGHS WILL ONLY BE IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S ON FRIDAY WITH A CHILLY START FRIDAY MORNING WITH LOWS
IN THE 40S NORTH AND 50S DOWNEAST.
&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD INTO THE NORTHEAST OVER LABOR
DAY WEEKEND BRINGING A STRETCH OF VERY WARM SUMMER WEATHER. HIGH
PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE WILL CREST OVER THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT
BRINGING A CALM, COOL NIGHT WITH SOME PATCHY VALLEY FOG POSSIBLE
AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE HIGH WILL SINK SOUTH OF THE REGION ON SATURDAY.
AFTER A COOL MORNING, A RETURN FLOW BEHIND THE HIGH WILL BOOST
TEMPERATURES TO MID SUMMER NORMS ACROSS THE AREA WITH PLENTY OF
SUNSHINE. SATURDAY NIGHT WILL BE CLEAR AND MILD THEN SUNDAY WILL BE
EVEN WARMER WITH SUNSHINE AS THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS OVER. THE
STRONG UPPER HIGH WILL REMAIN ANCHORED ACROSS NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY
NIGHT INTO MONDAY BRINGING A MILD NIGHT SUNDAY NIGHT FOLLOWED BY
ANOTHER VERY WARM AND SUNNY DAY ON LABOR DAY. THE VERY WARM
WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY. HOWEVER, A STRONG COLD FRONT
APPROACHING LATE IN THE DAY MAY BRING SOME SHOWERS OR A
THUNDERSTORM TO NORTHERN AREAS AS IT MOVES IN AT THE END OF THE
DAY.
&&

.AVIATION /05Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION
TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. VARIABLE CONDITIONS WILL THEN
OCCUR ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WITH ANY SHOWERS
OR THUNDERSTORMS. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST DOWNEAST WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON.

SHORT TERM: MVFR CEILINGS AND VSBYS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY
EVENING ACROSS THE NORTHERN TAF SITES /FVE CAR PQI HUL / IN
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. PATCHY VALLEY FOG MAY BRIEFLY RESULT IN
MVFR OR IFR CONDITIONS EARLY SAT MORNING. OTHERWISE, VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SHORT TERM: NO HEADLINES ARE EXPECTED DURING THIS TIME PERIOD.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
&&
$$

NEAR TERM...HEWITT/MCW
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...HEWITT/MCW/
MARINE...HEWITT/MCW/



000
FXUS61 KCAR 020503
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
103 AM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA OVERNIGHT. A COLD
FRONT WILL APPROACH LATER WEDNESDAY...THEN CROSS THE REGION
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
1AM UPDATE: NO CHANGES TO PREVIOUS FORECAST.

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL CROSS NORTHERN MAINE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON IN ADVANCE OF A COLD FRONT WHICH WILL APPROACH NORTHERN
MAINE LATE. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP
ACROSS NORTHERN MAINE DURING THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON
HOURS WEDNESDAY...THEN PERSIST THROUGH THE DURATION OF THE
AFTERNOON. MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS CENTRAL AND
DOWNEAST PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA WEDNESDAY MORNING...WITH
PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES DURING THE AFTERNOON. LOW TEMPERATURES
TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE MID TO UPPER 50S ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA. HIGH TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER TO MID
80S NORTH AND ALONG THE DOWNEAST COAST...WITH MID TO UPPER 80S
ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA.
&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A COLD FRONT SLIDES THROUGH EASTERN MAINE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY. THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF EVENING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WITH THIS FRONTAL PASSAGE.

NOTICEABLY COOLER AND DRIER AIR SETTLES INTO THE REGION THURSDAY
INTO FRIDAY WITH A TOUCH OF AUTUMN.  HIGHS WILL ONLY BE IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S ON FRIDAY WITH A CHILLY START FRIDAY MORNING WITH LOWS
IN THE 40S NORTH AND 50S DOWNEAST.
&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD INTO THE NORTHEAST OVER LABOR
DAY WEEKEND BRINGING A STRETCH OF VERY WARM SUMMER WEATHER. HIGH
PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE WILL CREST OVER THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT
BRINGING A CALM, COOL NIGHT WITH SOME PATCHY VALLEY FOG POSSIBLE
AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE HIGH WILL SINK SOUTH OF THE REGION ON SATURDAY.
AFTER A COOL MORNING, A RETURN FLOW BEHIND THE HIGH WILL BOOST
TEMPERATURES TO MID SUMMER NORMS ACROSS THE AREA WITH PLENTY OF
SUNSHINE. SATURDAY NIGHT WILL BE CLEAR AND MILD THEN SUNDAY WILL BE
EVEN WARMER WITH SUNSHINE AS THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS OVER. THE
STRONG UPPER HIGH WILL REMAIN ANCHORED ACROSS NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY
NIGHT INTO MONDAY BRINGING A MILD NIGHT SUNDAY NIGHT FOLLOWED BY
ANOTHER VERY WARM AND SUNNY DAY ON LABOR DAY. THE VERY WARM
WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY. HOWEVER, A STRONG COLD FRONT
APPROACHING LATE IN THE DAY MAY BRING SOME SHOWERS OR A
THUNDERSTORM TO NORTHERN AREAS AS IT MOVES IN AT THE END OF THE
DAY.
&&

.AVIATION /05Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION
TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. VARIABLE CONDITIONS WILL THEN
OCCUR ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WITH ANY SHOWERS
OR THUNDERSTORMS. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST DOWNEAST WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON.

SHORT TERM: MVFR CEILINGS AND VSBYS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY
EVENING ACROSS THE NORTHERN TAF SITES /FVE CAR PQI HUL / IN
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. PATCHY VALLEY FOG MAY BRIEFLY RESULT IN
MVFR OR IFR CONDITIONS EARLY SAT MORNING. OTHERWISE, VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SHORT TERM: NO HEADLINES ARE EXPECTED DURING THIS TIME PERIOD.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
&&
$$

NEAR TERM...HEWITT/MCW
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...HEWITT/MCW/
MARINE...HEWITT/MCW/



000
FXUS61 KCAR 020307
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1107 PM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA OVERNIGHT. A COLD
FRONT WILL APPROACH LATER WEDNESDAY...THEN CROSS THE REGION
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
1055 PM UPDATE: ADJUSTED THE TEMPS TO MATCH THE LATEST CONDITIONS
W/READINGS DROPPING BACK. CLOUDS MOVING ACROSS NORTHERN MAINE W/HIGH
CLOUDS W/THE UPPER DISTURBANCE.

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL CROSS NORTHERN MAINE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON IN ADVANCE OF A COLD FRONT WHICH WILL APPROACH NORTHERN
MAINE LATE. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP
ACROSS NORTHERN MAINE DURING THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON
HOURS WEDNESDAY...THEN PERSIST THROUGH THE DURATION OF THE
AFTERNOON. MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS CENTRAL AND
DOWNEAST PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA WEDNESDAY MORNING...WITH
PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES DURING THE AFTERNOON. LOW TEMPERATURES
TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE MID TO UPPER 50S ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA. HIGH TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER TO MID
80S NORTH AND ALONG THE DOWNEAST COAST...WITH MID TO UPPER 80S
ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A COLD FRONT SLIDES THROUGH EASTERN MAINE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY. THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF EVENING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WITH THIS FRONTAL PASSAGE.

NOTICEABLY COOLER AND DRIER AIR SETTLES INTO THE REGION THURSDAY
INTO FRIDAY WITH A TOUCH OF AUTUMN.  HIGHS WILL ONLY BE IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S ON FRIDAY WITH A CHILLY START FRIDAY MORNING WITH LOWS
IN THE 40S NORTH AND 50S DOWNEAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD INTO THE NORTHEAST OVER LABOR
DAY WEEKEND BRINGING A STRETCH OF VERY WARM SUMMER WEATHER. HIGH
PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE WILL CREST OVER THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT
BRINGING A CALM, COOL NIGHT WITH SOME PATCHY VALLEY FOG POSSIBLE
AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE HIGH WILL SINK SOUTH OF THE REGION ON SATURDAY.
AFTER A COOL MORNING, A RETURN FLOW BEHIND THE HIGH WILL BOOST
TEMPERATURES TO MID SUMMER NORMS ACROSS THE AREA WITH PLENTY OF
SUNSHINE. SATURDAY NIGHT WILL BE CLEAR AND MILD THEN SUNDAY WILL BE
EVEN WARMER WITH SUNSHINE AS THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS OVER. THE
STRONG UPPER HIGH WILL REMAIN ANCHORED ACROSS NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY
NIGHT INTO MONDAY BRINGING A MILD NIGHT SUNDAY NIGHT FOLLOWED BY
ANOTHER VERY WARM AND SUNNY DAY ON LABOR DAY. THE VERY WARM
WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY. HOWEVER, A STRONG COLD FRONT
APPROACHING LATE IN THE DAY MAY BRING SOME SHOWERS OR A
THUNDERSTORM TO NORTHERN AREAS AS IT MOVES IN AT THE END OF THE
DAY.

&&

.AVIATION /03Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION
TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. VARIABLE CONDITIONS WILL THEN
OCCUR ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WITH ANY SHOWERS
OR THUNDERSTORMS. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST DOWNEAST WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON.

SHORT TERM: MVFR CEILINGS AND VSBYS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY
EVENING ACROSS THE NORTHERN TAF SITES /FVE CAR PQI HUL / IN
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. PATCHY VALLEY FOG MAY BRIEFLY RESULT IN
MVFR OR IFR CONDITIONS EARLY SAT MORNING. OTHERWISE, VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SHORT TERM: NO HEADLINES ARE EXPECTED DURING THIS TIME PERIOD.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...HEWITT




000
FXUS61 KCAR 020307
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1107 PM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA OVERNIGHT. A COLD
FRONT WILL APPROACH LATER WEDNESDAY...THEN CROSS THE REGION
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
1055 PM UPDATE: ADJUSTED THE TEMPS TO MATCH THE LATEST CONDITIONS
W/READINGS DROPPING BACK. CLOUDS MOVING ACROSS NORTHERN MAINE W/HIGH
CLOUDS W/THE UPPER DISTURBANCE.

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL CROSS NORTHERN MAINE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON IN ADVANCE OF A COLD FRONT WHICH WILL APPROACH NORTHERN
MAINE LATE. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP
ACROSS NORTHERN MAINE DURING THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON
HOURS WEDNESDAY...THEN PERSIST THROUGH THE DURATION OF THE
AFTERNOON. MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS CENTRAL AND
DOWNEAST PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA WEDNESDAY MORNING...WITH
PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES DURING THE AFTERNOON. LOW TEMPERATURES
TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE MID TO UPPER 50S ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA. HIGH TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER TO MID
80S NORTH AND ALONG THE DOWNEAST COAST...WITH MID TO UPPER 80S
ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A COLD FRONT SLIDES THROUGH EASTERN MAINE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY. THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF EVENING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WITH THIS FRONTAL PASSAGE.

NOTICEABLY COOLER AND DRIER AIR SETTLES INTO THE REGION THURSDAY
INTO FRIDAY WITH A TOUCH OF AUTUMN.  HIGHS WILL ONLY BE IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S ON FRIDAY WITH A CHILLY START FRIDAY MORNING WITH LOWS
IN THE 40S NORTH AND 50S DOWNEAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD INTO THE NORTHEAST OVER LABOR
DAY WEEKEND BRINGING A STRETCH OF VERY WARM SUMMER WEATHER. HIGH
PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE WILL CREST OVER THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT
BRINGING A CALM, COOL NIGHT WITH SOME PATCHY VALLEY FOG POSSIBLE
AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE HIGH WILL SINK SOUTH OF THE REGION ON SATURDAY.
AFTER A COOL MORNING, A RETURN FLOW BEHIND THE HIGH WILL BOOST
TEMPERATURES TO MID SUMMER NORMS ACROSS THE AREA WITH PLENTY OF
SUNSHINE. SATURDAY NIGHT WILL BE CLEAR AND MILD THEN SUNDAY WILL BE
EVEN WARMER WITH SUNSHINE AS THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS OVER. THE
STRONG UPPER HIGH WILL REMAIN ANCHORED ACROSS NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY
NIGHT INTO MONDAY BRINGING A MILD NIGHT SUNDAY NIGHT FOLLOWED BY
ANOTHER VERY WARM AND SUNNY DAY ON LABOR DAY. THE VERY WARM
WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY. HOWEVER, A STRONG COLD FRONT
APPROACHING LATE IN THE DAY MAY BRING SOME SHOWERS OR A
THUNDERSTORM TO NORTHERN AREAS AS IT MOVES IN AT THE END OF THE
DAY.

&&

.AVIATION /03Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION
TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. VARIABLE CONDITIONS WILL THEN
OCCUR ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WITH ANY SHOWERS
OR THUNDERSTORMS. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST DOWNEAST WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON.

SHORT TERM: MVFR CEILINGS AND VSBYS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY
EVENING ACROSS THE NORTHERN TAF SITES /FVE CAR PQI HUL / IN
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. PATCHY VALLEY FOG MAY BRIEFLY RESULT IN
MVFR OR IFR CONDITIONS EARLY SAT MORNING. OTHERWISE, VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SHORT TERM: NO HEADLINES ARE EXPECTED DURING THIS TIME PERIOD.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...HEWITT



000
FXUS61 KCAR 020307
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1107 PM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA OVERNIGHT. A COLD
FRONT WILL APPROACH LATER WEDNESDAY...THEN CROSS THE REGION
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
1055 PM UPDATE: ADJUSTED THE TEMPS TO MATCH THE LATEST CONDITIONS
W/READINGS DROPPING BACK. CLOUDS MOVING ACROSS NORTHERN MAINE W/HIGH
CLOUDS W/THE UPPER DISTURBANCE.

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL CROSS NORTHERN MAINE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON IN ADVANCE OF A COLD FRONT WHICH WILL APPROACH NORTHERN
MAINE LATE. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP
ACROSS NORTHERN MAINE DURING THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON
HOURS WEDNESDAY...THEN PERSIST THROUGH THE DURATION OF THE
AFTERNOON. MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS CENTRAL AND
DOWNEAST PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA WEDNESDAY MORNING...WITH
PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES DURING THE AFTERNOON. LOW TEMPERATURES
TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE MID TO UPPER 50S ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA. HIGH TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER TO MID
80S NORTH AND ALONG THE DOWNEAST COAST...WITH MID TO UPPER 80S
ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A COLD FRONT SLIDES THROUGH EASTERN MAINE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY. THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF EVENING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WITH THIS FRONTAL PASSAGE.

NOTICEABLY COOLER AND DRIER AIR SETTLES INTO THE REGION THURSDAY
INTO FRIDAY WITH A TOUCH OF AUTUMN.  HIGHS WILL ONLY BE IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S ON FRIDAY WITH A CHILLY START FRIDAY MORNING WITH LOWS
IN THE 40S NORTH AND 50S DOWNEAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD INTO THE NORTHEAST OVER LABOR
DAY WEEKEND BRINGING A STRETCH OF VERY WARM SUMMER WEATHER. HIGH
PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE WILL CREST OVER THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT
BRINGING A CALM, COOL NIGHT WITH SOME PATCHY VALLEY FOG POSSIBLE
AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE HIGH WILL SINK SOUTH OF THE REGION ON SATURDAY.
AFTER A COOL MORNING, A RETURN FLOW BEHIND THE HIGH WILL BOOST
TEMPERATURES TO MID SUMMER NORMS ACROSS THE AREA WITH PLENTY OF
SUNSHINE. SATURDAY NIGHT WILL BE CLEAR AND MILD THEN SUNDAY WILL BE
EVEN WARMER WITH SUNSHINE AS THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS OVER. THE
STRONG UPPER HIGH WILL REMAIN ANCHORED ACROSS NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY
NIGHT INTO MONDAY BRINGING A MILD NIGHT SUNDAY NIGHT FOLLOWED BY
ANOTHER VERY WARM AND SUNNY DAY ON LABOR DAY. THE VERY WARM
WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY. HOWEVER, A STRONG COLD FRONT
APPROACHING LATE IN THE DAY MAY BRING SOME SHOWERS OR A
THUNDERSTORM TO NORTHERN AREAS AS IT MOVES IN AT THE END OF THE
DAY.

&&

.AVIATION /03Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION
TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. VARIABLE CONDITIONS WILL THEN
OCCUR ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WITH ANY SHOWERS
OR THUNDERSTORMS. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST DOWNEAST WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON.

SHORT TERM: MVFR CEILINGS AND VSBYS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY
EVENING ACROSS THE NORTHERN TAF SITES /FVE CAR PQI HUL / IN
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. PATCHY VALLEY FOG MAY BRIEFLY RESULT IN
MVFR OR IFR CONDITIONS EARLY SAT MORNING. OTHERWISE, VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SHORT TERM: NO HEADLINES ARE EXPECTED DURING THIS TIME PERIOD.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...HEWITT



000
FXUS61 KCAR 020307
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1107 PM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA OVERNIGHT. A COLD
FRONT WILL APPROACH LATER WEDNESDAY...THEN CROSS THE REGION
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
1055 PM UPDATE: ADJUSTED THE TEMPS TO MATCH THE LATEST CONDITIONS
W/READINGS DROPPING BACK. CLOUDS MOVING ACROSS NORTHERN MAINE W/HIGH
CLOUDS W/THE UPPER DISTURBANCE.

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL CROSS NORTHERN MAINE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON IN ADVANCE OF A COLD FRONT WHICH WILL APPROACH NORTHERN
MAINE LATE. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP
ACROSS NORTHERN MAINE DURING THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON
HOURS WEDNESDAY...THEN PERSIST THROUGH THE DURATION OF THE
AFTERNOON. MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS CENTRAL AND
DOWNEAST PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA WEDNESDAY MORNING...WITH
PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES DURING THE AFTERNOON. LOW TEMPERATURES
TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE MID TO UPPER 50S ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA. HIGH TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER TO MID
80S NORTH AND ALONG THE DOWNEAST COAST...WITH MID TO UPPER 80S
ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A COLD FRONT SLIDES THROUGH EASTERN MAINE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY. THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF EVENING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WITH THIS FRONTAL PASSAGE.

NOTICEABLY COOLER AND DRIER AIR SETTLES INTO THE REGION THURSDAY
INTO FRIDAY WITH A TOUCH OF AUTUMN.  HIGHS WILL ONLY BE IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S ON FRIDAY WITH A CHILLY START FRIDAY MORNING WITH LOWS
IN THE 40S NORTH AND 50S DOWNEAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD INTO THE NORTHEAST OVER LABOR
DAY WEEKEND BRINGING A STRETCH OF VERY WARM SUMMER WEATHER. HIGH
PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE WILL CREST OVER THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT
BRINGING A CALM, COOL NIGHT WITH SOME PATCHY VALLEY FOG POSSIBLE
AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE HIGH WILL SINK SOUTH OF THE REGION ON SATURDAY.
AFTER A COOL MORNING, A RETURN FLOW BEHIND THE HIGH WILL BOOST
TEMPERATURES TO MID SUMMER NORMS ACROSS THE AREA WITH PLENTY OF
SUNSHINE. SATURDAY NIGHT WILL BE CLEAR AND MILD THEN SUNDAY WILL BE
EVEN WARMER WITH SUNSHINE AS THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS OVER. THE
STRONG UPPER HIGH WILL REMAIN ANCHORED ACROSS NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY
NIGHT INTO MONDAY BRINGING A MILD NIGHT SUNDAY NIGHT FOLLOWED BY
ANOTHER VERY WARM AND SUNNY DAY ON LABOR DAY. THE VERY WARM
WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY. HOWEVER, A STRONG COLD FRONT
APPROACHING LATE IN THE DAY MAY BRING SOME SHOWERS OR A
THUNDERSTORM TO NORTHERN AREAS AS IT MOVES IN AT THE END OF THE
DAY.

&&

.AVIATION /03Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION
TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. VARIABLE CONDITIONS WILL THEN
OCCUR ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WITH ANY SHOWERS
OR THUNDERSTORMS. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST DOWNEAST WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON.

SHORT TERM: MVFR CEILINGS AND VSBYS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY
EVENING ACROSS THE NORTHERN TAF SITES /FVE CAR PQI HUL / IN
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. PATCHY VALLEY FOG MAY BRIEFLY RESULT IN
MVFR OR IFR CONDITIONS EARLY SAT MORNING. OTHERWISE, VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SHORT TERM: NO HEADLINES ARE EXPECTED DURING THIS TIME PERIOD.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...HEWITT



000
FXUS61 KCAR 020307
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1107 PM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA OVERNIGHT. A COLD
FRONT WILL APPROACH LATER WEDNESDAY...THEN CROSS THE REGION
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
1055 PM UPDATE: ADJUSTED THE TEMPS TO MATCH THE LATEST CONDITIONS
W/READINGS DROPPING BACK. CLOUDS MOVING ACROSS NORTHERN MAINE W/HIGH
CLOUDS W/THE UPPER DISTURBANCE.

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL CROSS NORTHERN MAINE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON IN ADVANCE OF A COLD FRONT WHICH WILL APPROACH NORTHERN
MAINE LATE. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP
ACROSS NORTHERN MAINE DURING THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON
HOURS WEDNESDAY...THEN PERSIST THROUGH THE DURATION OF THE
AFTERNOON. MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS CENTRAL AND
DOWNEAST PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA WEDNESDAY MORNING...WITH
PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES DURING THE AFTERNOON. LOW TEMPERATURES
TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE MID TO UPPER 50S ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA. HIGH TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER TO MID
80S NORTH AND ALONG THE DOWNEAST COAST...WITH MID TO UPPER 80S
ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A COLD FRONT SLIDES THROUGH EASTERN MAINE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY. THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF EVENING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WITH THIS FRONTAL PASSAGE.

NOTICEABLY COOLER AND DRIER AIR SETTLES INTO THE REGION THURSDAY
INTO FRIDAY WITH A TOUCH OF AUTUMN.  HIGHS WILL ONLY BE IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S ON FRIDAY WITH A CHILLY START FRIDAY MORNING WITH LOWS
IN THE 40S NORTH AND 50S DOWNEAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD INTO THE NORTHEAST OVER LABOR
DAY WEEKEND BRINGING A STRETCH OF VERY WARM SUMMER WEATHER. HIGH
PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE WILL CREST OVER THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT
BRINGING A CALM, COOL NIGHT WITH SOME PATCHY VALLEY FOG POSSIBLE
AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE HIGH WILL SINK SOUTH OF THE REGION ON SATURDAY.
AFTER A COOL MORNING, A RETURN FLOW BEHIND THE HIGH WILL BOOST
TEMPERATURES TO MID SUMMER NORMS ACROSS THE AREA WITH PLENTY OF
SUNSHINE. SATURDAY NIGHT WILL BE CLEAR AND MILD THEN SUNDAY WILL BE
EVEN WARMER WITH SUNSHINE AS THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS OVER. THE
STRONG UPPER HIGH WILL REMAIN ANCHORED ACROSS NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY
NIGHT INTO MONDAY BRINGING A MILD NIGHT SUNDAY NIGHT FOLLOWED BY
ANOTHER VERY WARM AND SUNNY DAY ON LABOR DAY. THE VERY WARM
WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY. HOWEVER, A STRONG COLD FRONT
APPROACHING LATE IN THE DAY MAY BRING SOME SHOWERS OR A
THUNDERSTORM TO NORTHERN AREAS AS IT MOVES IN AT THE END OF THE
DAY.

&&

.AVIATION /03Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION
TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. VARIABLE CONDITIONS WILL THEN
OCCUR ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WITH ANY SHOWERS
OR THUNDERSTORMS. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST DOWNEAST WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON.

SHORT TERM: MVFR CEILINGS AND VSBYS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY
EVENING ACROSS THE NORTHERN TAF SITES /FVE CAR PQI HUL / IN
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. PATCHY VALLEY FOG MAY BRIEFLY RESULT IN
MVFR OR IFR CONDITIONS EARLY SAT MORNING. OTHERWISE, VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SHORT TERM: NO HEADLINES ARE EXPECTED DURING THIS TIME PERIOD.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...HEWITT



000
FXUS61 KGYX 020153
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
953 PM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A LARGE BLOCKING HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BE IN CONTROL THE REST
OF THE WEEK AND THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK WITH AN
EXTENDED PERIOD OF QUIET WEATHER EXPECTED. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH GRADUALLY INCREASING
HUMIDITY. THE ONLY EXCEPTION BEING THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WHERE A
BRIEF COOL DOWN MAY OCCUR BEHIND A WEAK COLD FRONT.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
950 PM...THIS UPDATE MOSTLY MAKES SOME ADJUSTMENTS TO TEMPS AS
DE-COUPLED LOCATIONS...ESPECIALLY IN THE ELEVATED VALLEYS...HAVE
DROPPED QUICKLY THIS EVENING. THEIR FALL SHOULD SLOW AS BOUNDARY
LYR FLOW INCREASES AS BIT...AS DO CIRRUS....AND MINS IN THE MTNS
MAY BE CLOSER TO MIDNIGHT THAN DAYBREAK.

630 PM...JUST A QUICK UPDATE TO TEMPS TOP ACCOUNT FOR MARINE
INFLUENCE MAKING FOR COOLER TEMPS ALONG THE COAST EARLY THIS
EVENING BEFORE TEMPS DROP THERE SLOWS TOWARD MIDNIGHT.
ALSO...ADJUSTED SKY TO ACCOUNT FOR SLIGHTLY MORE CIRRUS.

PREVIOUSLY...QUIET NIGHT ON TAP ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...AS
CENTER OF SURFACE HIGH PRES SLIDES SE. INCREASINGLY HUMID AIR WILL
LEAD TO ANOTHER ROUND OF VALLEY FOG TONIGHT...WHICH COULD BE DENSE
AT TIMES IN THE CT RIVER VALLEY. HAVE ADDED 1/4SM VSBYS TO THE
GRIDS AFTER 06Z TONIGHT IN THAT AREA. OTHERWISE TEMPS WILL BE
ABOVE NORMAL...AS WARMEST PART OF THE AIR MASS MOVES IN FOR WED.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
WED LOOKS TO BE THE WARMEST OF THE RECENT HOT STRETCH. H8 TEMPS
CLIMB TO PLUS 18 TO 20 DEGREES C ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA.
FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE WE SHOULD BE ABLE TO MIX TO THIS
HEIGHT...AND RESULTING TEMPS WOULD TOP OUT IN THE LOW 90S FOR MUCH
OF SRN NH AND SWRN ME. WE ARE MISSING A FEW THINGS THAT COULD PUSH
TEMPS EVEN HIGHER...NAMELY ADVECTION WILL BE NEUTRAL
TOMORROW...AND FLOW IS RATHER WEAK IN THE BOUNDARY LAYER SO WE
LACK MUCH DOWNSLOPE WARMING ON SW FLOW. THE LATTER WILL ALSO MEAN
THAT A SEA BREEZE COULD FORCE ITS WAY INLAND ON THE COAST. STILL
EXPECTING TEMPS TO CLIMB WELL INTO THE 80S BEFORE ANY MARINE
INFLUENCE TAKES OVER THOUGH.

WEAK COLD FRONT AGAIN TRIES TO PUSH SWD INTO THE FORECAST AREA
FROM CANADA LATE IN THE DAY. MUCH LIKE MON...THIS FRONT IS
MOISTURE STARVED. COUPLED WITH A BIT OF A CAP ABOVE
H8...CONVECTION WILL HAVE A HARD TIME GETTING GOING AND SUSTAINING
THRU THE EVENING. HI-RES CONVECTION ALLOWING MODELS DO FIRE
SHOWERS/STORMS IN CANADA DURING THE AFTERNOON...BUT WEAKEN
EVERYTHING AS IT ENTERS NRN ZONES. WILL HAVE ISOLATED TSTMS FOR
FAR N AROUND AND AFTER 00Z WED...BUT DRY ELSEWHERE UNTIL THU. WITH
FRONT CROSSING THE AREA WED NIGHT...VALLEY FOG SHOULD BE A LITTLE
LESS WIDESPREAD.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY MOVE SOUTH THROUGH SOUTHERN
AREAS BY THURSDAY MORNING AND MOVING SOUTH OF THE AREA IN THE
AFTERNOON. THERE MAY BE WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS ON THURSDAY ALONG
AND BEHIND THIS THIS FRONT.

A BRIEF COOL DOWN TO SEASONAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED FOR THURSDAY
AND INTO FRIDAY AS CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH INTO THE
AREA.

BY THE WEEKEND THE LARGE BLOCKING HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL
GRADUALLY BUILD AND ALLOW A SOUTHWEST FLOW TO DEVELOP AS ITS
CENTER GETS ALIGNED ALONG THE COAST. A RETURN TO VERY WARM AND
EVEN HOT CONDITIONS WITH HIGHER HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED OVER THE
WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK WITH PLENTY OF SUNSHINE AS STRONG
SUBSIDENCE WILL BE THE RULE UNDER THIS LARGE DOME OF BLOCKING HIGH
PRESSURE.

SUPERBLEND MODEL WILL BE GENERALLY ACCEPTED...TEMPERATURES OVER
THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK MAY BE A LITTLE LOW DUE TO THE
WEIGHTS OF CLIMO INTO THE MODELS.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL DURING THE DAY
THRU WED NIGHT. VALLEY FOG WILL BE LIKELY AGAIN TONIGHT...WITH
CONDITIONS QUICKLY DROPPING TO LIFR AT LEB AND HIE AFTER 06Z.
LEANED MAINLY ON PERSISTENCE FROM LAST NIGHT TO TIME FOG AT
TERMINALS. LATE WED EVE VERY ISOLATED SHRA ARE POSSIBLE AT
HIE...BUT CHANCES ARE LOWER THAN 30 PERCENT.

LONG TERM...VFR THROUGH THE OUTLOOK PERIOD.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SCA THRESHOLDS.

LONG TERM...WINDS AND SEAS TO REMAIN LIGHT.

&&

.CLIMATE...
WHILE TEMPERATURES WILL SOAR INTO THE 80S ALONG THE COAST TO THE
LOWER 90S INLAND ON WEDNESDAY...THIS WILL BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL
BUT LIKELY NOT SET RECORDS FOR SEPT 2ND. THE RECORD HIGH AT
CONCORD ON WEDNESDAY IS 98 DEGREES...WHILE IT IS 94 DEGREES AT
PORTLAND.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...CEMPA/LEGRO
SHORT TERM...LEGRO




000
FXUS61 KGYX 020153
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
953 PM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A LARGE BLOCKING HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BE IN CONTROL THE REST
OF THE WEEK AND THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK WITH AN
EXTENDED PERIOD OF QUIET WEATHER EXPECTED. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH GRADUALLY INCREASING
HUMIDITY. THE ONLY EXCEPTION BEING THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WHERE A
BRIEF COOL DOWN MAY OCCUR BEHIND A WEAK COLD FRONT.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
950 PM...THIS UPDATE MOSTLY MAKES SOME ADJUSTMENTS TO TEMPS AS
DE-COUPLED LOCATIONS...ESPECIALLY IN THE ELEVATED VALLEYS...HAVE
DROPPED QUICKLY THIS EVENING. THEIR FALL SHOULD SLOW AS BOUNDARY
LYR FLOW INCREASES AS BIT...AS DO CIRRUS....AND MINS IN THE MTNS
MAY BE CLOSER TO MIDNIGHT THAN DAYBREAK.

630 PM...JUST A QUICK UPDATE TO TEMPS TOP ACCOUNT FOR MARINE
INFLUENCE MAKING FOR COOLER TEMPS ALONG THE COAST EARLY THIS
EVENING BEFORE TEMPS DROP THERE SLOWS TOWARD MIDNIGHT.
ALSO...ADJUSTED SKY TO ACCOUNT FOR SLIGHTLY MORE CIRRUS.

PREVIOUSLY...QUIET NIGHT ON TAP ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...AS
CENTER OF SURFACE HIGH PRES SLIDES SE. INCREASINGLY HUMID AIR WILL
LEAD TO ANOTHER ROUND OF VALLEY FOG TONIGHT...WHICH COULD BE DENSE
AT TIMES IN THE CT RIVER VALLEY. HAVE ADDED 1/4SM VSBYS TO THE
GRIDS AFTER 06Z TONIGHT IN THAT AREA. OTHERWISE TEMPS WILL BE
ABOVE NORMAL...AS WARMEST PART OF THE AIR MASS MOVES IN FOR WED.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
WED LOOKS TO BE THE WARMEST OF THE RECENT HOT STRETCH. H8 TEMPS
CLIMB TO PLUS 18 TO 20 DEGREES C ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA.
FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE WE SHOULD BE ABLE TO MIX TO THIS
HEIGHT...AND RESULTING TEMPS WOULD TOP OUT IN THE LOW 90S FOR MUCH
OF SRN NH AND SWRN ME. WE ARE MISSING A FEW THINGS THAT COULD PUSH
TEMPS EVEN HIGHER...NAMELY ADVECTION WILL BE NEUTRAL
TOMORROW...AND FLOW IS RATHER WEAK IN THE BOUNDARY LAYER SO WE
LACK MUCH DOWNSLOPE WARMING ON SW FLOW. THE LATTER WILL ALSO MEAN
THAT A SEA BREEZE COULD FORCE ITS WAY INLAND ON THE COAST. STILL
EXPECTING TEMPS TO CLIMB WELL INTO THE 80S BEFORE ANY MARINE
INFLUENCE TAKES OVER THOUGH.

WEAK COLD FRONT AGAIN TRIES TO PUSH SWD INTO THE FORECAST AREA
FROM CANADA LATE IN THE DAY. MUCH LIKE MON...THIS FRONT IS
MOISTURE STARVED. COUPLED WITH A BIT OF A CAP ABOVE
H8...CONVECTION WILL HAVE A HARD TIME GETTING GOING AND SUSTAINING
THRU THE EVENING. HI-RES CONVECTION ALLOWING MODELS DO FIRE
SHOWERS/STORMS IN CANADA DURING THE AFTERNOON...BUT WEAKEN
EVERYTHING AS IT ENTERS NRN ZONES. WILL HAVE ISOLATED TSTMS FOR
FAR N AROUND AND AFTER 00Z WED...BUT DRY ELSEWHERE UNTIL THU. WITH
FRONT CROSSING THE AREA WED NIGHT...VALLEY FOG SHOULD BE A LITTLE
LESS WIDESPREAD.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY MOVE SOUTH THROUGH SOUTHERN
AREAS BY THURSDAY MORNING AND MOVING SOUTH OF THE AREA IN THE
AFTERNOON. THERE MAY BE WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS ON THURSDAY ALONG
AND BEHIND THIS THIS FRONT.

A BRIEF COOL DOWN TO SEASONAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED FOR THURSDAY
AND INTO FRIDAY AS CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH INTO THE
AREA.

BY THE WEEKEND THE LARGE BLOCKING HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL
GRADUALLY BUILD AND ALLOW A SOUTHWEST FLOW TO DEVELOP AS ITS
CENTER GETS ALIGNED ALONG THE COAST. A RETURN TO VERY WARM AND
EVEN HOT CONDITIONS WITH HIGHER HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED OVER THE
WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK WITH PLENTY OF SUNSHINE AS STRONG
SUBSIDENCE WILL BE THE RULE UNDER THIS LARGE DOME OF BLOCKING HIGH
PRESSURE.

SUPERBLEND MODEL WILL BE GENERALLY ACCEPTED...TEMPERATURES OVER
THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK MAY BE A LITTLE LOW DUE TO THE
WEIGHTS OF CLIMO INTO THE MODELS.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL DURING THE DAY
THRU WED NIGHT. VALLEY FOG WILL BE LIKELY AGAIN TONIGHT...WITH
CONDITIONS QUICKLY DROPPING TO LIFR AT LEB AND HIE AFTER 06Z.
LEANED MAINLY ON PERSISTENCE FROM LAST NIGHT TO TIME FOG AT
TERMINALS. LATE WED EVE VERY ISOLATED SHRA ARE POSSIBLE AT
HIE...BUT CHANCES ARE LOWER THAN 30 PERCENT.

LONG TERM...VFR THROUGH THE OUTLOOK PERIOD.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SCA THRESHOLDS.

LONG TERM...WINDS AND SEAS TO REMAIN LIGHT.

&&

.CLIMATE...
WHILE TEMPERATURES WILL SOAR INTO THE 80S ALONG THE COAST TO THE
LOWER 90S INLAND ON WEDNESDAY...THIS WILL BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL
BUT LIKELY NOT SET RECORDS FOR SEPT 2ND. THE RECORD HIGH AT
CONCORD ON WEDNESDAY IS 98 DEGREES...WHILE IT IS 94 DEGREES AT
PORTLAND.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...CEMPA/LEGRO
SHORT TERM...LEGRO




000
FXUS61 KGYX 020153
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
953 PM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A LARGE BLOCKING HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BE IN CONTROL THE REST
OF THE WEEK AND THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK WITH AN
EXTENDED PERIOD OF QUIET WEATHER EXPECTED. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH GRADUALLY INCREASING
HUMIDITY. THE ONLY EXCEPTION BEING THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WHERE A
BRIEF COOL DOWN MAY OCCUR BEHIND A WEAK COLD FRONT.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
950 PM...THIS UPDATE MOSTLY MAKES SOME ADJUSTMENTS TO TEMPS AS
DE-COUPLED LOCATIONS...ESPECIALLY IN THE ELEVATED VALLEYS...HAVE
DROPPED QUICKLY THIS EVENING. THEIR FALL SHOULD SLOW AS BOUNDARY
LYR FLOW INCREASES AS BIT...AS DO CIRRUS....AND MINS IN THE MTNS
MAY BE CLOSER TO MIDNIGHT THAN DAYBREAK.

630 PM...JUST A QUICK UPDATE TO TEMPS TOP ACCOUNT FOR MARINE
INFLUENCE MAKING FOR COOLER TEMPS ALONG THE COAST EARLY THIS
EVENING BEFORE TEMPS DROP THERE SLOWS TOWARD MIDNIGHT.
ALSO...ADJUSTED SKY TO ACCOUNT FOR SLIGHTLY MORE CIRRUS.

PREVIOUSLY...QUIET NIGHT ON TAP ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...AS
CENTER OF SURFACE HIGH PRES SLIDES SE. INCREASINGLY HUMID AIR WILL
LEAD TO ANOTHER ROUND OF VALLEY FOG TONIGHT...WHICH COULD BE DENSE
AT TIMES IN THE CT RIVER VALLEY. HAVE ADDED 1/4SM VSBYS TO THE
GRIDS AFTER 06Z TONIGHT IN THAT AREA. OTHERWISE TEMPS WILL BE
ABOVE NORMAL...AS WARMEST PART OF THE AIR MASS MOVES IN FOR WED.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
WED LOOKS TO BE THE WARMEST OF THE RECENT HOT STRETCH. H8 TEMPS
CLIMB TO PLUS 18 TO 20 DEGREES C ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA.
FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE WE SHOULD BE ABLE TO MIX TO THIS
HEIGHT...AND RESULTING TEMPS WOULD TOP OUT IN THE LOW 90S FOR MUCH
OF SRN NH AND SWRN ME. WE ARE MISSING A FEW THINGS THAT COULD PUSH
TEMPS EVEN HIGHER...NAMELY ADVECTION WILL BE NEUTRAL
TOMORROW...AND FLOW IS RATHER WEAK IN THE BOUNDARY LAYER SO WE
LACK MUCH DOWNSLOPE WARMING ON SW FLOW. THE LATTER WILL ALSO MEAN
THAT A SEA BREEZE COULD FORCE ITS WAY INLAND ON THE COAST. STILL
EXPECTING TEMPS TO CLIMB WELL INTO THE 80S BEFORE ANY MARINE
INFLUENCE TAKES OVER THOUGH.

WEAK COLD FRONT AGAIN TRIES TO PUSH SWD INTO THE FORECAST AREA
FROM CANADA LATE IN THE DAY. MUCH LIKE MON...THIS FRONT IS
MOISTURE STARVED. COUPLED WITH A BIT OF A CAP ABOVE
H8...CONVECTION WILL HAVE A HARD TIME GETTING GOING AND SUSTAINING
THRU THE EVENING. HI-RES CONVECTION ALLOWING MODELS DO FIRE
SHOWERS/STORMS IN CANADA DURING THE AFTERNOON...BUT WEAKEN
EVERYTHING AS IT ENTERS NRN ZONES. WILL HAVE ISOLATED TSTMS FOR
FAR N AROUND AND AFTER 00Z WED...BUT DRY ELSEWHERE UNTIL THU. WITH
FRONT CROSSING THE AREA WED NIGHT...VALLEY FOG SHOULD BE A LITTLE
LESS WIDESPREAD.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY MOVE SOUTH THROUGH SOUTHERN
AREAS BY THURSDAY MORNING AND MOVING SOUTH OF THE AREA IN THE
AFTERNOON. THERE MAY BE WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS ON THURSDAY ALONG
AND BEHIND THIS THIS FRONT.

A BRIEF COOL DOWN TO SEASONAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED FOR THURSDAY
AND INTO FRIDAY AS CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH INTO THE
AREA.

BY THE WEEKEND THE LARGE BLOCKING HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL
GRADUALLY BUILD AND ALLOW A SOUTHWEST FLOW TO DEVELOP AS ITS
CENTER GETS ALIGNED ALONG THE COAST. A RETURN TO VERY WARM AND
EVEN HOT CONDITIONS WITH HIGHER HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED OVER THE
WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK WITH PLENTY OF SUNSHINE AS STRONG
SUBSIDENCE WILL BE THE RULE UNDER THIS LARGE DOME OF BLOCKING HIGH
PRESSURE.

SUPERBLEND MODEL WILL BE GENERALLY ACCEPTED...TEMPERATURES OVER
THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK MAY BE A LITTLE LOW DUE TO THE
WEIGHTS OF CLIMO INTO THE MODELS.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL DURING THE DAY
THRU WED NIGHT. VALLEY FOG WILL BE LIKELY AGAIN TONIGHT...WITH
CONDITIONS QUICKLY DROPPING TO LIFR AT LEB AND HIE AFTER 06Z.
LEANED MAINLY ON PERSISTENCE FROM LAST NIGHT TO TIME FOG AT
TERMINALS. LATE WED EVE VERY ISOLATED SHRA ARE POSSIBLE AT
HIE...BUT CHANCES ARE LOWER THAN 30 PERCENT.

LONG TERM...VFR THROUGH THE OUTLOOK PERIOD.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SCA THRESHOLDS.

LONG TERM...WINDS AND SEAS TO REMAIN LIGHT.

&&

.CLIMATE...
WHILE TEMPERATURES WILL SOAR INTO THE 80S ALONG THE COAST TO THE
LOWER 90S INLAND ON WEDNESDAY...THIS WILL BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL
BUT LIKELY NOT SET RECORDS FOR SEPT 2ND. THE RECORD HIGH AT
CONCORD ON WEDNESDAY IS 98 DEGREES...WHILE IT IS 94 DEGREES AT
PORTLAND.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...CEMPA/LEGRO
SHORT TERM...LEGRO



000
FXUS61 KGYX 020153
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
953 PM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A LARGE BLOCKING HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BE IN CONTROL THE REST
OF THE WEEK AND THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK WITH AN
EXTENDED PERIOD OF QUIET WEATHER EXPECTED. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH GRADUALLY INCREASING
HUMIDITY. THE ONLY EXCEPTION BEING THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WHERE A
BRIEF COOL DOWN MAY OCCUR BEHIND A WEAK COLD FRONT.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
950 PM...THIS UPDATE MOSTLY MAKES SOME ADJUSTMENTS TO TEMPS AS
DE-COUPLED LOCATIONS...ESPECIALLY IN THE ELEVATED VALLEYS...HAVE
DROPPED QUICKLY THIS EVENING. THEIR FALL SHOULD SLOW AS BOUNDARY
LYR FLOW INCREASES AS BIT...AS DO CIRRUS....AND MINS IN THE MTNS
MAY BE CLOSER TO MIDNIGHT THAN DAYBREAK.

630 PM...JUST A QUICK UPDATE TO TEMPS TOP ACCOUNT FOR MARINE
INFLUENCE MAKING FOR COOLER TEMPS ALONG THE COAST EARLY THIS
EVENING BEFORE TEMPS DROP THERE SLOWS TOWARD MIDNIGHT.
ALSO...ADJUSTED SKY TO ACCOUNT FOR SLIGHTLY MORE CIRRUS.

PREVIOUSLY...QUIET NIGHT ON TAP ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...AS
CENTER OF SURFACE HIGH PRES SLIDES SE. INCREASINGLY HUMID AIR WILL
LEAD TO ANOTHER ROUND OF VALLEY FOG TONIGHT...WHICH COULD BE DENSE
AT TIMES IN THE CT RIVER VALLEY. HAVE ADDED 1/4SM VSBYS TO THE
GRIDS AFTER 06Z TONIGHT IN THAT AREA. OTHERWISE TEMPS WILL BE
ABOVE NORMAL...AS WARMEST PART OF THE AIR MASS MOVES IN FOR WED.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
WED LOOKS TO BE THE WARMEST OF THE RECENT HOT STRETCH. H8 TEMPS
CLIMB TO PLUS 18 TO 20 DEGREES C ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA.
FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE WE SHOULD BE ABLE TO MIX TO THIS
HEIGHT...AND RESULTING TEMPS WOULD TOP OUT IN THE LOW 90S FOR MUCH
OF SRN NH AND SWRN ME. WE ARE MISSING A FEW THINGS THAT COULD PUSH
TEMPS EVEN HIGHER...NAMELY ADVECTION WILL BE NEUTRAL
TOMORROW...AND FLOW IS RATHER WEAK IN THE BOUNDARY LAYER SO WE
LACK MUCH DOWNSLOPE WARMING ON SW FLOW. THE LATTER WILL ALSO MEAN
THAT A SEA BREEZE COULD FORCE ITS WAY INLAND ON THE COAST. STILL
EXPECTING TEMPS TO CLIMB WELL INTO THE 80S BEFORE ANY MARINE
INFLUENCE TAKES OVER THOUGH.

WEAK COLD FRONT AGAIN TRIES TO PUSH SWD INTO THE FORECAST AREA
FROM CANADA LATE IN THE DAY. MUCH LIKE MON...THIS FRONT IS
MOISTURE STARVED. COUPLED WITH A BIT OF A CAP ABOVE
H8...CONVECTION WILL HAVE A HARD TIME GETTING GOING AND SUSTAINING
THRU THE EVENING. HI-RES CONVECTION ALLOWING MODELS DO FIRE
SHOWERS/STORMS IN CANADA DURING THE AFTERNOON...BUT WEAKEN
EVERYTHING AS IT ENTERS NRN ZONES. WILL HAVE ISOLATED TSTMS FOR
FAR N AROUND AND AFTER 00Z WED...BUT DRY ELSEWHERE UNTIL THU. WITH
FRONT CROSSING THE AREA WED NIGHT...VALLEY FOG SHOULD BE A LITTLE
LESS WIDESPREAD.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY MOVE SOUTH THROUGH SOUTHERN
AREAS BY THURSDAY MORNING AND MOVING SOUTH OF THE AREA IN THE
AFTERNOON. THERE MAY BE WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS ON THURSDAY ALONG
AND BEHIND THIS THIS FRONT.

A BRIEF COOL DOWN TO SEASONAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED FOR THURSDAY
AND INTO FRIDAY AS CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH INTO THE
AREA.

BY THE WEEKEND THE LARGE BLOCKING HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL
GRADUALLY BUILD AND ALLOW A SOUTHWEST FLOW TO DEVELOP AS ITS
CENTER GETS ALIGNED ALONG THE COAST. A RETURN TO VERY WARM AND
EVEN HOT CONDITIONS WITH HIGHER HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED OVER THE
WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK WITH PLENTY OF SUNSHINE AS STRONG
SUBSIDENCE WILL BE THE RULE UNDER THIS LARGE DOME OF BLOCKING HIGH
PRESSURE.

SUPERBLEND MODEL WILL BE GENERALLY ACCEPTED...TEMPERATURES OVER
THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK MAY BE A LITTLE LOW DUE TO THE
WEIGHTS OF CLIMO INTO THE MODELS.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL DURING THE DAY
THRU WED NIGHT. VALLEY FOG WILL BE LIKELY AGAIN TONIGHT...WITH
CONDITIONS QUICKLY DROPPING TO LIFR AT LEB AND HIE AFTER 06Z.
LEANED MAINLY ON PERSISTENCE FROM LAST NIGHT TO TIME FOG AT
TERMINALS. LATE WED EVE VERY ISOLATED SHRA ARE POSSIBLE AT
HIE...BUT CHANCES ARE LOWER THAN 30 PERCENT.

LONG TERM...VFR THROUGH THE OUTLOOK PERIOD.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SCA THRESHOLDS.

LONG TERM...WINDS AND SEAS TO REMAIN LIGHT.

&&

.CLIMATE...
WHILE TEMPERATURES WILL SOAR INTO THE 80S ALONG THE COAST TO THE
LOWER 90S INLAND ON WEDNESDAY...THIS WILL BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL
BUT LIKELY NOT SET RECORDS FOR SEPT 2ND. THE RECORD HIGH AT
CONCORD ON WEDNESDAY IS 98 DEGREES...WHILE IT IS 94 DEGREES AT
PORTLAND.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...CEMPA/LEGRO
SHORT TERM...LEGRO



000
FXUS61 KCAR 012357
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
757 PM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA OVERNIGHT. A COLD
FRONT WILL APPROACH LATER WEDNESDAY...THEN CROSS THE REGION
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
730 PM UPDATE: ADJUSTED THE SKY TO ACCOUNT FOR SOME HIGH
CLOUDINESS DROPPING S ACROSS THE DOWNEAST REGION. ACROSS THE
NORTH AND WEST, IR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWED SOME MID/HIGH CLOUDS
MOVING INTO THE REGION FROM QUEBEC. WV IMAGERY SHOWED AN UPPER
DISTURBANCE ASSOCIATED W/THIS CLOUDINESS. THE LATEST HRRR
3KM MODEL HAD A NICE HANDLE ON THE SKY FORECAST AND LEANED CLOSE
TO THIS MESOSCALE GUIDANCE. THEREFORE, DECIDED TO BRING UP
PERCENTAGES BASED ON THIS SETUP W/AT LEAST PARTLY CLOUDY
OVERNIGHT.

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL CROSS NORTHERN MAINE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON IN ADVANCE OF A COLD FRONT WHICH WILL APPROACH NORTHERN
MAINE LATE. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP
ACROSS NORTHERN MAINE DURING THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON
HOURS WEDNESDAY...THEN PERSIST THROUGH THE DURATION OF THE
AFTERNOON. MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS CENTRAL AND
DOWNEAST PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA WEDNESDAY MORNING...WITH
PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES DURING THE AFTERNOON. LOW TEMPERATURES
TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE MID TO UPPER 50S ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA. HIGH TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER TO MID
80S NORTH AND ALONG THE DOWNEAST COAST...WITH MID TO UPPER 80S
ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A COLD FRONT SLIDES THROUGH EASTERN MAINE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY. THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF EVENING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WITH THIS FRONTAL PASSAGE.

NOTICEABLY COOLER AND DRIER AIR SETTLES INTO THE REGION THURSDAY
INTO FRIDAY WITH A TOUCH OF AUTUMN.  HIGHS WILL ONLY BE IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S ON FRIDAY WITH A CHILLY START FRIDAY MORNING WITH LOWS
IN THE 40S NORTH AND 50S DOWNEAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD INTO THE NORTHEAST OVER LABOR
DAY WEEKEND BRINGING A STRETCH OF VERY WARM SUMMER WEATHER. HIGH
PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE WILL CREST OVER THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT
BRINGING A CALM, COOL NIGHT WITH SOME PATCHY VALLEY FOG POSSIBLE
AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE HIGH WILL SINK SOUTH OF THE REGION ON SATURDAY.
AFTER A COOL MORNING, A RETURN FLOW BEHIND THE HIGH WILL BOOST
TEMPERATURES TO MID SUMMER NORMS ACROSS THE AREA WITH PLENTY OF
SUNSHINE. SATURDAY NIGHT WILL BE CLEAR AND MILD THEN SUNDAY WILL BE
EVEN WARMER WITH SUNSHINE AS THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS OVER. THE
STRONG UPPER HIGH WILL REMAIN ANCHORED ACROSS NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY
NIGHT INTO MONDAY BRINGING A MILD NIGHT SUNDAY NIGHT FOLLOWED BY
ANOTHER VERY WARM AND SUNNY DAY ON LABOR DAY. THE VERY WARM
WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY. HOWEVER, A STRONG COLD FRONT
APPROACHING LATE IN THE DAY MAY BRING SOME SHOWERS OR A
THUNDERSTORM TO NORTHERN AREAS AS IT MOVES IN AT THE END OF THE
DAY.

&&

.AVIATION /23Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION
TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. VARIABLE CONDITIONS WILL THEN
OCCUR ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WITH ANY SHOWERS
OR THUNDERSTORMS. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST DOWNEAST WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON.

SHORT TERM: MVFR CEILINGS AND VSBYS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY
EVENING ACROSS THE NORTHERN TAF SITES /FVE CAR PQI HUL / IN
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. PATCHY VALLEY FOG MAY BRIEFLY RESULT IN
MVFR OR IFR CONDITIONS EARLY SAT MORNING. OTHERWISE, VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SHORT TERM: NO HEADLINES ARE EXPECTED DURING THIS TIME PERIOD.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...HEWITT/NORCROSS
SHORT TERM...OKULSKI
LONG TERM...BLOOMER
AVIATION...HEWITT/NORCROSS/OKULSKI
MARINE...HEWITT/NORCROSS/OKULSKI



000
FXUS61 KCAR 012357
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
757 PM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA OVERNIGHT. A COLD
FRONT WILL APPROACH LATER WEDNESDAY...THEN CROSS THE REGION
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
730 PM UPDATE: ADJUSTED THE SKY TO ACCOUNT FOR SOME HIGH
CLOUDINESS DROPPING S ACROSS THE DOWNEAST REGION. ACROSS THE
NORTH AND WEST, IR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWED SOME MID/HIGH CLOUDS
MOVING INTO THE REGION FROM QUEBEC. WV IMAGERY SHOWED AN UPPER
DISTURBANCE ASSOCIATED W/THIS CLOUDINESS. THE LATEST HRRR
3KM MODEL HAD A NICE HANDLE ON THE SKY FORECAST AND LEANED CLOSE
TO THIS MESOSCALE GUIDANCE. THEREFORE, DECIDED TO BRING UP
PERCENTAGES BASED ON THIS SETUP W/AT LEAST PARTLY CLOUDY
OVERNIGHT.

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL CROSS NORTHERN MAINE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON IN ADVANCE OF A COLD FRONT WHICH WILL APPROACH NORTHERN
MAINE LATE. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP
ACROSS NORTHERN MAINE DURING THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON
HOURS WEDNESDAY...THEN PERSIST THROUGH THE DURATION OF THE
AFTERNOON. MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS CENTRAL AND
DOWNEAST PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA WEDNESDAY MORNING...WITH
PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES DURING THE AFTERNOON. LOW TEMPERATURES
TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE MID TO UPPER 50S ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA. HIGH TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER TO MID
80S NORTH AND ALONG THE DOWNEAST COAST...WITH MID TO UPPER 80S
ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A COLD FRONT SLIDES THROUGH EASTERN MAINE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY. THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF EVENING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WITH THIS FRONTAL PASSAGE.

NOTICEABLY COOLER AND DRIER AIR SETTLES INTO THE REGION THURSDAY
INTO FRIDAY WITH A TOUCH OF AUTUMN.  HIGHS WILL ONLY BE IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S ON FRIDAY WITH A CHILLY START FRIDAY MORNING WITH LOWS
IN THE 40S NORTH AND 50S DOWNEAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD INTO THE NORTHEAST OVER LABOR
DAY WEEKEND BRINGING A STRETCH OF VERY WARM SUMMER WEATHER. HIGH
PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE WILL CREST OVER THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT
BRINGING A CALM, COOL NIGHT WITH SOME PATCHY VALLEY FOG POSSIBLE
AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE HIGH WILL SINK SOUTH OF THE REGION ON SATURDAY.
AFTER A COOL MORNING, A RETURN FLOW BEHIND THE HIGH WILL BOOST
TEMPERATURES TO MID SUMMER NORMS ACROSS THE AREA WITH PLENTY OF
SUNSHINE. SATURDAY NIGHT WILL BE CLEAR AND MILD THEN SUNDAY WILL BE
EVEN WARMER WITH SUNSHINE AS THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS OVER. THE
STRONG UPPER HIGH WILL REMAIN ANCHORED ACROSS NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY
NIGHT INTO MONDAY BRINGING A MILD NIGHT SUNDAY NIGHT FOLLOWED BY
ANOTHER VERY WARM AND SUNNY DAY ON LABOR DAY. THE VERY WARM
WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY. HOWEVER, A STRONG COLD FRONT
APPROACHING LATE IN THE DAY MAY BRING SOME SHOWERS OR A
THUNDERSTORM TO NORTHERN AREAS AS IT MOVES IN AT THE END OF THE
DAY.

&&

.AVIATION /23Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION
TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. VARIABLE CONDITIONS WILL THEN
OCCUR ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WITH ANY SHOWERS
OR THUNDERSTORMS. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST DOWNEAST WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON.

SHORT TERM: MVFR CEILINGS AND VSBYS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY
EVENING ACROSS THE NORTHERN TAF SITES /FVE CAR PQI HUL / IN
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. PATCHY VALLEY FOG MAY BRIEFLY RESULT IN
MVFR OR IFR CONDITIONS EARLY SAT MORNING. OTHERWISE, VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SHORT TERM: NO HEADLINES ARE EXPECTED DURING THIS TIME PERIOD.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...HEWITT/NORCROSS
SHORT TERM...OKULSKI
LONG TERM...BLOOMER
AVIATION...HEWITT/NORCROSS/OKULSKI
MARINE...HEWITT/NORCROSS/OKULSKI



000
FXUS61 KCAR 012357
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
757 PM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA OVERNIGHT. A COLD
FRONT WILL APPROACH LATER WEDNESDAY...THEN CROSS THE REGION
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
730 PM UPDATE: ADJUSTED THE SKY TO ACCOUNT FOR SOME HIGH
CLOUDINESS DROPPING S ACROSS THE DOWNEAST REGION. ACROSS THE
NORTH AND WEST, IR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWED SOME MID/HIGH CLOUDS
MOVING INTO THE REGION FROM QUEBEC. WV IMAGERY SHOWED AN UPPER
DISTURBANCE ASSOCIATED W/THIS CLOUDINESS. THE LATEST HRRR
3KM MODEL HAD A NICE HANDLE ON THE SKY FORECAST AND LEANED CLOSE
TO THIS MESOSCALE GUIDANCE. THEREFORE, DECIDED TO BRING UP
PERCENTAGES BASED ON THIS SETUP W/AT LEAST PARTLY CLOUDY
OVERNIGHT.

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL CROSS NORTHERN MAINE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON IN ADVANCE OF A COLD FRONT WHICH WILL APPROACH NORTHERN
MAINE LATE. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP
ACROSS NORTHERN MAINE DURING THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON
HOURS WEDNESDAY...THEN PERSIST THROUGH THE DURATION OF THE
AFTERNOON. MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS CENTRAL AND
DOWNEAST PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA WEDNESDAY MORNING...WITH
PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES DURING THE AFTERNOON. LOW TEMPERATURES
TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE MID TO UPPER 50S ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA. HIGH TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER TO MID
80S NORTH AND ALONG THE DOWNEAST COAST...WITH MID TO UPPER 80S
ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A COLD FRONT SLIDES THROUGH EASTERN MAINE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY. THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF EVENING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WITH THIS FRONTAL PASSAGE.

NOTICEABLY COOLER AND DRIER AIR SETTLES INTO THE REGION THURSDAY
INTO FRIDAY WITH A TOUCH OF AUTUMN.  HIGHS WILL ONLY BE IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S ON FRIDAY WITH A CHILLY START FRIDAY MORNING WITH LOWS
IN THE 40S NORTH AND 50S DOWNEAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD INTO THE NORTHEAST OVER LABOR
DAY WEEKEND BRINGING A STRETCH OF VERY WARM SUMMER WEATHER. HIGH
PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE WILL CREST OVER THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT
BRINGING A CALM, COOL NIGHT WITH SOME PATCHY VALLEY FOG POSSIBLE
AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE HIGH WILL SINK SOUTH OF THE REGION ON SATURDAY.
AFTER A COOL MORNING, A RETURN FLOW BEHIND THE HIGH WILL BOOST
TEMPERATURES TO MID SUMMER NORMS ACROSS THE AREA WITH PLENTY OF
SUNSHINE. SATURDAY NIGHT WILL BE CLEAR AND MILD THEN SUNDAY WILL BE
EVEN WARMER WITH SUNSHINE AS THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS OVER. THE
STRONG UPPER HIGH WILL REMAIN ANCHORED ACROSS NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY
NIGHT INTO MONDAY BRINGING A MILD NIGHT SUNDAY NIGHT FOLLOWED BY
ANOTHER VERY WARM AND SUNNY DAY ON LABOR DAY. THE VERY WARM
WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY. HOWEVER, A STRONG COLD FRONT
APPROACHING LATE IN THE DAY MAY BRING SOME SHOWERS OR A
THUNDERSTORM TO NORTHERN AREAS AS IT MOVES IN AT THE END OF THE
DAY.

&&

.AVIATION /23Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION
TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. VARIABLE CONDITIONS WILL THEN
OCCUR ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WITH ANY SHOWERS
OR THUNDERSTORMS. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST DOWNEAST WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON.

SHORT TERM: MVFR CEILINGS AND VSBYS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY
EVENING ACROSS THE NORTHERN TAF SITES /FVE CAR PQI HUL / IN
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. PATCHY VALLEY FOG MAY BRIEFLY RESULT IN
MVFR OR IFR CONDITIONS EARLY SAT MORNING. OTHERWISE, VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SHORT TERM: NO HEADLINES ARE EXPECTED DURING THIS TIME PERIOD.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...HEWITT/NORCROSS
SHORT TERM...OKULSKI
LONG TERM...BLOOMER
AVIATION...HEWITT/NORCROSS/OKULSKI
MARINE...HEWITT/NORCROSS/OKULSKI



000
FXUS61 KCAR 012357
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
757 PM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA OVERNIGHT. A COLD
FRONT WILL APPROACH LATER WEDNESDAY...THEN CROSS THE REGION
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
730 PM UPDATE: ADJUSTED THE SKY TO ACCOUNT FOR SOME HIGH
CLOUDINESS DROPPING S ACROSS THE DOWNEAST REGION. ACROSS THE
NORTH AND WEST, IR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWED SOME MID/HIGH CLOUDS
MOVING INTO THE REGION FROM QUEBEC. WV IMAGERY SHOWED AN UPPER
DISTURBANCE ASSOCIATED W/THIS CLOUDINESS. THE LATEST HRRR
3KM MODEL HAD A NICE HANDLE ON THE SKY FORECAST AND LEANED CLOSE
TO THIS MESOSCALE GUIDANCE. THEREFORE, DECIDED TO BRING UP
PERCENTAGES BASED ON THIS SETUP W/AT LEAST PARTLY CLOUDY
OVERNIGHT.

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL CROSS NORTHERN MAINE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON IN ADVANCE OF A COLD FRONT WHICH WILL APPROACH NORTHERN
MAINE LATE. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP
ACROSS NORTHERN MAINE DURING THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON
HOURS WEDNESDAY...THEN PERSIST THROUGH THE DURATION OF THE
AFTERNOON. MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS CENTRAL AND
DOWNEAST PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA WEDNESDAY MORNING...WITH
PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES DURING THE AFTERNOON. LOW TEMPERATURES
TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE MID TO UPPER 50S ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA. HIGH TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER TO MID
80S NORTH AND ALONG THE DOWNEAST COAST...WITH MID TO UPPER 80S
ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A COLD FRONT SLIDES THROUGH EASTERN MAINE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY. THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF EVENING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WITH THIS FRONTAL PASSAGE.

NOTICEABLY COOLER AND DRIER AIR SETTLES INTO THE REGION THURSDAY
INTO FRIDAY WITH A TOUCH OF AUTUMN.  HIGHS WILL ONLY BE IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S ON FRIDAY WITH A CHILLY START FRIDAY MORNING WITH LOWS
IN THE 40S NORTH AND 50S DOWNEAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD INTO THE NORTHEAST OVER LABOR
DAY WEEKEND BRINGING A STRETCH OF VERY WARM SUMMER WEATHER. HIGH
PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE WILL CREST OVER THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT
BRINGING A CALM, COOL NIGHT WITH SOME PATCHY VALLEY FOG POSSIBLE
AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE HIGH WILL SINK SOUTH OF THE REGION ON SATURDAY.
AFTER A COOL MORNING, A RETURN FLOW BEHIND THE HIGH WILL BOOST
TEMPERATURES TO MID SUMMER NORMS ACROSS THE AREA WITH PLENTY OF
SUNSHINE. SATURDAY NIGHT WILL BE CLEAR AND MILD THEN SUNDAY WILL BE
EVEN WARMER WITH SUNSHINE AS THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS OVER. THE
STRONG UPPER HIGH WILL REMAIN ANCHORED ACROSS NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY
NIGHT INTO MONDAY BRINGING A MILD NIGHT SUNDAY NIGHT FOLLOWED BY
ANOTHER VERY WARM AND SUNNY DAY ON LABOR DAY. THE VERY WARM
WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY. HOWEVER, A STRONG COLD FRONT
APPROACHING LATE IN THE DAY MAY BRING SOME SHOWERS OR A
THUNDERSTORM TO NORTHERN AREAS AS IT MOVES IN AT THE END OF THE
DAY.

&&

.AVIATION /23Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION
TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. VARIABLE CONDITIONS WILL THEN
OCCUR ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WITH ANY SHOWERS
OR THUNDERSTORMS. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST DOWNEAST WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON.

SHORT TERM: MVFR CEILINGS AND VSBYS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY
EVENING ACROSS THE NORTHERN TAF SITES /FVE CAR PQI HUL / IN
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. PATCHY VALLEY FOG MAY BRIEFLY RESULT IN
MVFR OR IFR CONDITIONS EARLY SAT MORNING. OTHERWISE, VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SHORT TERM: NO HEADLINES ARE EXPECTED DURING THIS TIME PERIOD.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...HEWITT/NORCROSS
SHORT TERM...OKULSKI
LONG TERM...BLOOMER
AVIATION...HEWITT/NORCROSS/OKULSKI
MARINE...HEWITT/NORCROSS/OKULSKI



000
FXUS61 KGYX 012232
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
632 PM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A LARGE BLOCKING HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BE IN CONTROL THE REST
OF THE WEEK AND THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK WITH AN
EXTENDED PERIOD OF QUIET WEATHER EXPECTED. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH GRADUALLY INCREASING
HUMIDITY. THE ONLY EXCEPTION BEING THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WHERE A
BRIEF COOL DOWN MAY OCCUR BEHIND A WEAK COLD FRONT.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
630 PM...JUST A QUICK UPDATE TO TEMPS TOP ACCOUNT FOR MARINE
INFLUENCE MAKING FOR COOLER TEMPS ALONG THE COAST EARLY THIS
EVENING BEFORE TEMPS DROP THERE SLOWS TOWARD MIDNIGHT.
ALSO...ADJUSTED SKY TO ACCOUNT FOR SLIGHTLY MORE CIRRUS.

PREVIOUSLY...QUIET NIGHT ON TAP ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...AS
CENTER OF SURFACE HIGH PRES SLIDES SE. INCREASINGLY HUMID AIR WILL
LEAD TO ANOTHER ROUND OF VALLEY FOG TONIGHT...WHICH COULD BE DENSE
AT TIMES IN THE CT RIVER VALLEY. HAVE ADDED 1/4SM VSBYS TO THE
GRIDS AFTER 06Z TONIGHT IN THAT AREA. OTHERWISE TEMPS WILL BE
ABOVE NORMAL...AS WARMEST PART OF THE AIR MASS MOVES IN FOR WED.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
WED LOOKS TO BE THE WARMEST OF THE RECENT HOT STRETCH. H8 TEMPS
CLIMB TO PLUS 18 TO 20 DEGREES C ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA.
FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE WE SHOULD BE ABLE TO MIX TO THIS
HEIGHT...AND RESULTING TEMPS WOULD TOP OUT IN THE LOW 90S FOR MUCH
OF SRN NH AND SWRN ME. WE ARE MISSING A FEW THINGS THAT COULD PUSH
TEMPS EVEN HIGHER...NAMELY ADVECTION WILL BE NEUTRAL
TOMORROW...AND FLOW IS RATHER WEAK IN THE BOUNDARY LAYER SO WE
LACK MUCH DOWNSLOPE WARMING ON SW FLOW. THE LATTER WILL ALSO MEAN
THAT A SEA BREEZE COULD FORCE ITS WAY INLAND ON THE COAST. STILL
EXPECTING TEMPS TO CLIMB WELL INTO THE 80S BEFORE ANY MARINE
INFLUENCE TAKES OVER THOUGH.

WEAK COLD FRONT AGAIN TRIES TO PUSH SWD INTO THE FORECAST AREA
FROM CANADA LATE IN THE DAY. MUCH LIKE MON...THIS FRONT IS
MOISTURE STARVED. COUPLED WITH A BIT OF A CAP ABOVE
H8...CONVECTION WILL HAVE A HARD TIME GETTING GOING AND SUSTAINING
THRU THE EVENING. HI-RES CONVECTION ALLOWING MODELS DO FIRE
SHOWERS/STORMS IN CANADA DURING THE AFTERNOON...BUT WEAKEN
EVERYTHING AS IT ENTERS NRN ZONES. WILL HAVE ISOLATED TSTMS FOR
FAR N AROUND AND AFTER 00Z WED...BUT DRY ELSEWHERE UNTIL THU. WITH
FRONT CROSSING THE AREA WED NIGHT...VALLEY FOG SHOULD BE A LITTLE
LESS WIDESPREAD.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY MOVE SOUTH THROUGH SOUTHERN
AREAS BY THURSDAY MORNING AND MOVING SOUTH OF THE AREA IN THE
AFTERNOON. THERE MAY BE WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS ON THURSDAY ALONG
AND BEHIND THIS THIS FRONT.

A BRIEF COOL DOWN TO SEASONAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED FOR THURSDAY
AND INTO FRIDAY AS CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH INTO THE
AREA.

BY THE WEEKEND THE LARGE BLOCKING HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL
GRADUALLY BUILD AND ALLOW A SOUTHWEST FLOW TO DEVELOP AS ITS
CENTER GETS ALIGNED ALONG THE COAST. A RETURN TO VERY WARM AND
EVEN HOT CONDITIONS WITH HIGHER HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED OVER THE
WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK WITH PLENTY OF SUNSHINE AS STRONG
SUBSIDENCE WILL BE THE RULE UNDER THIS LARGE DOME OF BLOCKING HIGH
PRESSURE.

SUPERBLEND MODEL WILL BE GENERALLY ACCEPTED...TEMPERATURES OVER
THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK MAY BE A LITTLE LOW DUE TO THE
WEIGHTS OF CLIMO INTO THE MODELS.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL DURING THE DAY
THRU WED NIGHT. VALLEY FOG WILL BE LIKELY AGAIN TONIGHT...WITH
CONDITIONS QUICKLY DROPPING TO LIFR AT LEB AND HIE AFTER 06Z.
LEANED MAINLY ON PERSISTENCE FROM LAST NIGHT TO TIME FOG AT
TERMINALS. LATE WED EVE VERY ISOLATED SHRA ARE POSSIBLE AT
HIE...BUT CHANCES ARE LOWER THAN 30 PERCENT.

LONG TERM...VFR THROUGH THE OUTLOOK PERIOD.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SCA THRESHOLDS.

LONG TERM...WINDS AND SEAS TO REMAIN LIGHT.

&&

.CLIMATE...
WHILE TEMPERATURES WILL SOAR INTO THE 80S ALONG THE COAST TO THE
LOWER 90S INLAND ON WEDNESDAY...THIS WILL BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL
BUT LIKELY NOT SET RECORDS FOR SEPT 2ND. THE RECORD HIGH AT
CONCORD ON WEDNESDAY IS 98 DEGREES...WHILE IT IS 94 DEGREES AT
PORTLAND.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...CEMPA/LEGRO
SHORT TERM...LEGRO



000
FXUS61 KGYX 012232
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
632 PM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A LARGE BLOCKING HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BE IN CONTROL THE REST
OF THE WEEK AND THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK WITH AN
EXTENDED PERIOD OF QUIET WEATHER EXPECTED. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH GRADUALLY INCREASING
HUMIDITY. THE ONLY EXCEPTION BEING THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WHERE A
BRIEF COOL DOWN MAY OCCUR BEHIND A WEAK COLD FRONT.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
630 PM...JUST A QUICK UPDATE TO TEMPS TOP ACCOUNT FOR MARINE
INFLUENCE MAKING FOR COOLER TEMPS ALONG THE COAST EARLY THIS
EVENING BEFORE TEMPS DROP THERE SLOWS TOWARD MIDNIGHT.
ALSO...ADJUSTED SKY TO ACCOUNT FOR SLIGHTLY MORE CIRRUS.

PREVIOUSLY...QUIET NIGHT ON TAP ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...AS
CENTER OF SURFACE HIGH PRES SLIDES SE. INCREASINGLY HUMID AIR WILL
LEAD TO ANOTHER ROUND OF VALLEY FOG TONIGHT...WHICH COULD BE DENSE
AT TIMES IN THE CT RIVER VALLEY. HAVE ADDED 1/4SM VSBYS TO THE
GRIDS AFTER 06Z TONIGHT IN THAT AREA. OTHERWISE TEMPS WILL BE
ABOVE NORMAL...AS WARMEST PART OF THE AIR MASS MOVES IN FOR WED.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
WED LOOKS TO BE THE WARMEST OF THE RECENT HOT STRETCH. H8 TEMPS
CLIMB TO PLUS 18 TO 20 DEGREES C ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA.
FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE WE SHOULD BE ABLE TO MIX TO THIS
HEIGHT...AND RESULTING TEMPS WOULD TOP OUT IN THE LOW 90S FOR MUCH
OF SRN NH AND SWRN ME. WE ARE MISSING A FEW THINGS THAT COULD PUSH
TEMPS EVEN HIGHER...NAMELY ADVECTION WILL BE NEUTRAL
TOMORROW...AND FLOW IS RATHER WEAK IN THE BOUNDARY LAYER SO WE
LACK MUCH DOWNSLOPE WARMING ON SW FLOW. THE LATTER WILL ALSO MEAN
THAT A SEA BREEZE COULD FORCE ITS WAY INLAND ON THE COAST. STILL
EXPECTING TEMPS TO CLIMB WELL INTO THE 80S BEFORE ANY MARINE
INFLUENCE TAKES OVER THOUGH.

WEAK COLD FRONT AGAIN TRIES TO PUSH SWD INTO THE FORECAST AREA
FROM CANADA LATE IN THE DAY. MUCH LIKE MON...THIS FRONT IS
MOISTURE STARVED. COUPLED WITH A BIT OF A CAP ABOVE
H8...CONVECTION WILL HAVE A HARD TIME GETTING GOING AND SUSTAINING
THRU THE EVENING. HI-RES CONVECTION ALLOWING MODELS DO FIRE
SHOWERS/STORMS IN CANADA DURING THE AFTERNOON...BUT WEAKEN
EVERYTHING AS IT ENTERS NRN ZONES. WILL HAVE ISOLATED TSTMS FOR
FAR N AROUND AND AFTER 00Z WED...BUT DRY ELSEWHERE UNTIL THU. WITH
FRONT CROSSING THE AREA WED NIGHT...VALLEY FOG SHOULD BE A LITTLE
LESS WIDESPREAD.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY MOVE SOUTH THROUGH SOUTHERN
AREAS BY THURSDAY MORNING AND MOVING SOUTH OF THE AREA IN THE
AFTERNOON. THERE MAY BE WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS ON THURSDAY ALONG
AND BEHIND THIS THIS FRONT.

A BRIEF COOL DOWN TO SEASONAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED FOR THURSDAY
AND INTO FRIDAY AS CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH INTO THE
AREA.

BY THE WEEKEND THE LARGE BLOCKING HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL
GRADUALLY BUILD AND ALLOW A SOUTHWEST FLOW TO DEVELOP AS ITS
CENTER GETS ALIGNED ALONG THE COAST. A RETURN TO VERY WARM AND
EVEN HOT CONDITIONS WITH HIGHER HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED OVER THE
WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK WITH PLENTY OF SUNSHINE AS STRONG
SUBSIDENCE WILL BE THE RULE UNDER THIS LARGE DOME OF BLOCKING HIGH
PRESSURE.

SUPERBLEND MODEL WILL BE GENERALLY ACCEPTED...TEMPERATURES OVER
THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK MAY BE A LITTLE LOW DUE TO THE
WEIGHTS OF CLIMO INTO THE MODELS.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL DURING THE DAY
THRU WED NIGHT. VALLEY FOG WILL BE LIKELY AGAIN TONIGHT...WITH
CONDITIONS QUICKLY DROPPING TO LIFR AT LEB AND HIE AFTER 06Z.
LEANED MAINLY ON PERSISTENCE FROM LAST NIGHT TO TIME FOG AT
TERMINALS. LATE WED EVE VERY ISOLATED SHRA ARE POSSIBLE AT
HIE...BUT CHANCES ARE LOWER THAN 30 PERCENT.

LONG TERM...VFR THROUGH THE OUTLOOK PERIOD.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SCA THRESHOLDS.

LONG TERM...WINDS AND SEAS TO REMAIN LIGHT.

&&

.CLIMATE...
WHILE TEMPERATURES WILL SOAR INTO THE 80S ALONG THE COAST TO THE
LOWER 90S INLAND ON WEDNESDAY...THIS WILL BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL
BUT LIKELY NOT SET RECORDS FOR SEPT 2ND. THE RECORD HIGH AT
CONCORD ON WEDNESDAY IS 98 DEGREES...WHILE IT IS 94 DEGREES AT
PORTLAND.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...CEMPA/LEGRO
SHORT TERM...LEGRO




000
FXUS61 KGYX 012232
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
632 PM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A LARGE BLOCKING HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BE IN CONTROL THE REST
OF THE WEEK AND THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK WITH AN
EXTENDED PERIOD OF QUIET WEATHER EXPECTED. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH GRADUALLY INCREASING
HUMIDITY. THE ONLY EXCEPTION BEING THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WHERE A
BRIEF COOL DOWN MAY OCCUR BEHIND A WEAK COLD FRONT.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
630 PM...JUST A QUICK UPDATE TO TEMPS TOP ACCOUNT FOR MARINE
INFLUENCE MAKING FOR COOLER TEMPS ALONG THE COAST EARLY THIS
EVENING BEFORE TEMPS DROP THERE SLOWS TOWARD MIDNIGHT.
ALSO...ADJUSTED SKY TO ACCOUNT FOR SLIGHTLY MORE CIRRUS.

PREVIOUSLY...QUIET NIGHT ON TAP ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...AS
CENTER OF SURFACE HIGH PRES SLIDES SE. INCREASINGLY HUMID AIR WILL
LEAD TO ANOTHER ROUND OF VALLEY FOG TONIGHT...WHICH COULD BE DENSE
AT TIMES IN THE CT RIVER VALLEY. HAVE ADDED 1/4SM VSBYS TO THE
GRIDS AFTER 06Z TONIGHT IN THAT AREA. OTHERWISE TEMPS WILL BE
ABOVE NORMAL...AS WARMEST PART OF THE AIR MASS MOVES IN FOR WED.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
WED LOOKS TO BE THE WARMEST OF THE RECENT HOT STRETCH. H8 TEMPS
CLIMB TO PLUS 18 TO 20 DEGREES C ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA.
FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE WE SHOULD BE ABLE TO MIX TO THIS
HEIGHT...AND RESULTING TEMPS WOULD TOP OUT IN THE LOW 90S FOR MUCH
OF SRN NH AND SWRN ME. WE ARE MISSING A FEW THINGS THAT COULD PUSH
TEMPS EVEN HIGHER...NAMELY ADVECTION WILL BE NEUTRAL
TOMORROW...AND FLOW IS RATHER WEAK IN THE BOUNDARY LAYER SO WE
LACK MUCH DOWNSLOPE WARMING ON SW FLOW. THE LATTER WILL ALSO MEAN
THAT A SEA BREEZE COULD FORCE ITS WAY INLAND ON THE COAST. STILL
EXPECTING TEMPS TO CLIMB WELL INTO THE 80S BEFORE ANY MARINE
INFLUENCE TAKES OVER THOUGH.

WEAK COLD FRONT AGAIN TRIES TO PUSH SWD INTO THE FORECAST AREA
FROM CANADA LATE IN THE DAY. MUCH LIKE MON...THIS FRONT IS
MOISTURE STARVED. COUPLED WITH A BIT OF A CAP ABOVE
H8...CONVECTION WILL HAVE A HARD TIME GETTING GOING AND SUSTAINING
THRU THE EVENING. HI-RES CONVECTION ALLOWING MODELS DO FIRE
SHOWERS/STORMS IN CANADA DURING THE AFTERNOON...BUT WEAKEN
EVERYTHING AS IT ENTERS NRN ZONES. WILL HAVE ISOLATED TSTMS FOR
FAR N AROUND AND AFTER 00Z WED...BUT DRY ELSEWHERE UNTIL THU. WITH
FRONT CROSSING THE AREA WED NIGHT...VALLEY FOG SHOULD BE A LITTLE
LESS WIDESPREAD.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY MOVE SOUTH THROUGH SOUTHERN
AREAS BY THURSDAY MORNING AND MOVING SOUTH OF THE AREA IN THE
AFTERNOON. THERE MAY BE WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS ON THURSDAY ALONG
AND BEHIND THIS THIS FRONT.

A BRIEF COOL DOWN TO SEASONAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED FOR THURSDAY
AND INTO FRIDAY AS CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH INTO THE
AREA.

BY THE WEEKEND THE LARGE BLOCKING HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL
GRADUALLY BUILD AND ALLOW A SOUTHWEST FLOW TO DEVELOP AS ITS
CENTER GETS ALIGNED ALONG THE COAST. A RETURN TO VERY WARM AND
EVEN HOT CONDITIONS WITH HIGHER HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED OVER THE
WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK WITH PLENTY OF SUNSHINE AS STRONG
SUBSIDENCE WILL BE THE RULE UNDER THIS LARGE DOME OF BLOCKING HIGH
PRESSURE.

SUPERBLEND MODEL WILL BE GENERALLY ACCEPTED...TEMPERATURES OVER
THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK MAY BE A LITTLE LOW DUE TO THE
WEIGHTS OF CLIMO INTO THE MODELS.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL DURING THE DAY
THRU WED NIGHT. VALLEY FOG WILL BE LIKELY AGAIN TONIGHT...WITH
CONDITIONS QUICKLY DROPPING TO LIFR AT LEB AND HIE AFTER 06Z.
LEANED MAINLY ON PERSISTENCE FROM LAST NIGHT TO TIME FOG AT
TERMINALS. LATE WED EVE VERY ISOLATED SHRA ARE POSSIBLE AT
HIE...BUT CHANCES ARE LOWER THAN 30 PERCENT.

LONG TERM...VFR THROUGH THE OUTLOOK PERIOD.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SCA THRESHOLDS.

LONG TERM...WINDS AND SEAS TO REMAIN LIGHT.

&&

.CLIMATE...
WHILE TEMPERATURES WILL SOAR INTO THE 80S ALONG THE COAST TO THE
LOWER 90S INLAND ON WEDNESDAY...THIS WILL BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL
BUT LIKELY NOT SET RECORDS FOR SEPT 2ND. THE RECORD HIGH AT
CONCORD ON WEDNESDAY IS 98 DEGREES...WHILE IT IS 94 DEGREES AT
PORTLAND.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...CEMPA/LEGRO
SHORT TERM...LEGRO




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