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000
FXUS61 KGYX 211356
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
956 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAKENING DISTURBANCE FROM THE GREAT LAKES WILL PROVIDE THE
CHANCE FOR A FEW SHOWERS OVER NORTHERN AND WESTERN SECTIONS OF
OUR AREA THROUGH FRIDAY. OTHERWISE...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
ANCHOR OVER MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE OVER THE WEEKEND AND EARLY
NEXT WEEK...WITH A GRADUAL WARMING TREND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
950 AM...HAVE UPDATED POPS A BIT TO REFLECT FIRST WAVE OF SHRA IN
SW ZONE MOVING THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING AND THRU MIDDAY...WITH
LOWER CHANCES THIS AFTERNOON...BUT STILL A CHANCE. ALSO...WILL SEE
INCR CHANCES FOR A FEW SHRA IN THE NERN ZONES AS LOW LVL MOISTURE
POOLING ENCOUNTERS WEAK SFC BOUNDARY TO THE NE. MAX TEMPS A LITTLE
PROBLEMATIC TODAY AS WELL...WITH HIGHEST TEMPS IN THE ERN ZONES
WHERE THERE WILL BE MORE SUN THIS MORNING AT LEAST...AND LOWEST
TEMPS IN INTERIOR SRN NH...WHERE CLOUDS AND SOME LIGHT SHRA WILL
KEEP TEMPS DOWN...BUT ANYWHERE THAT SEE A SIGNIFICANT BREAK OF SUN
COULD INCREASE MAXES BY ABOUT 5 F.

PREV DISC...
RADAR CONTINUED TO SHOW AN AREA OF SHOWERS ACROSS WESTERN NEW
ENGLAND. THE BLOCK IN PLACE AND HIGH PRESSURE DRAPED ACROSS THE
AREA WILL LIMIT THE EASTWARD PROGRESS OF THE PRECIPITATION INTO
OUR FORECAST AREA. I`VE CONFINED THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS TO
NORTHERN AND WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE AREA FOR TODAY. THE
CLOUDS...SHOWERS...AND AN ONSHORE FLOW WILL LIMIT HIGH
TEMPERATURES TO THE 70S...WITH SOME UPPER 60S ALONG THE IMMEDIATE
COAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
FOR TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...LITTLE CHANGE TO THE SENSIBLE WEATHER
WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR SHOWERS ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTHERN
SECTIONS IN CLOSEST PROXIMITY TO THE WEAK DISTURBANCE.
OTHERWISE...ONSHORE FLOW AND CLOUDS WILL LIMIT HIGH TEMPERATURES
TO THE UPPER 60S AND LOWER 70S.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD AS A SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE DOMINATES THE WEATHER ACROSS MAINE AND NEW
HAMPSHIRE. THE BUILDING RIDGE SHOULD LEAD TO SKIES BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY SATURDAY WITH CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER WILL
BE MID TO LATE WEEK NEXT WEEK. A FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL BE
APPROACHING FROM THE WEST BY MID WEEK. IN ADDITION...GFS AND ECMWF
MODELS ARE INDICATING THAT A TROPICAL SYSTEM COULD BE MOVING UP
THE EAST COAST MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK...HOWEVER STILL CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY
AT THAT TIME RANGE.

&&

.AVIATION /14Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...MAINLY VFR THROUGH FRI...EXCEPT FOR VLY FOG AT
KHIE/KLEB...AND PERHAPS A BRIEF PERIOD AROUND SUNRISE AT
KCON/KAUG.

LONG TERM...MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED WITH MORNING FOG IN
FAVORED LOCATIONS.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...WINDS AND SEAS TO REMAIN WELL BELOW SMALL CRAFT
LEVELS.

LONG TERM...WINDS AND SEAS EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT
CRITERIA.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...CEMPA
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...
MARINE...




000
FXUS61 KGYX 211356
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
956 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAKENING DISTURBANCE FROM THE GREAT LAKES WILL PROVIDE THE
CHANCE FOR A FEW SHOWERS OVER NORTHERN AND WESTERN SECTIONS OF
OUR AREA THROUGH FRIDAY. OTHERWISE...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
ANCHOR OVER MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE OVER THE WEEKEND AND EARLY
NEXT WEEK...WITH A GRADUAL WARMING TREND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
950 AM...HAVE UPDATED POPS A BIT TO REFLECT FIRST WAVE OF SHRA IN
SW ZONE MOVING THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING AND THRU MIDDAY...WITH
LOWER CHANCES THIS AFTERNOON...BUT STILL A CHANCE. ALSO...WILL SEE
INCR CHANCES FOR A FEW SHRA IN THE NERN ZONES AS LOW LVL MOISTURE
POOLING ENCOUNTERS WEAK SFC BOUNDARY TO THE NE. MAX TEMPS A LITTLE
PROBLEMATIC TODAY AS WELL...WITH HIGHEST TEMPS IN THE ERN ZONES
WHERE THERE WILL BE MORE SUN THIS MORNING AT LEAST...AND LOWEST
TEMPS IN INTERIOR SRN NH...WHERE CLOUDS AND SOME LIGHT SHRA WILL
KEEP TEMPS DOWN...BUT ANYWHERE THAT SEE A SIGNIFICANT BREAK OF SUN
COULD INCREASE MAXES BY ABOUT 5 F.

PREV DISC...
RADAR CONTINUED TO SHOW AN AREA OF SHOWERS ACROSS WESTERN NEW
ENGLAND. THE BLOCK IN PLACE AND HIGH PRESSURE DRAPED ACROSS THE
AREA WILL LIMIT THE EASTWARD PROGRESS OF THE PRECIPITATION INTO
OUR FORECAST AREA. I`VE CONFINED THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS TO
NORTHERN AND WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE AREA FOR TODAY. THE
CLOUDS...SHOWERS...AND AN ONSHORE FLOW WILL LIMIT HIGH
TEMPERATURES TO THE 70S...WITH SOME UPPER 60S ALONG THE IMMEDIATE
COAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
FOR TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...LITTLE CHANGE TO THE SENSIBLE WEATHER
WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR SHOWERS ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTHERN
SECTIONS IN CLOSEST PROXIMITY TO THE WEAK DISTURBANCE.
OTHERWISE...ONSHORE FLOW AND CLOUDS WILL LIMIT HIGH TEMPERATURES
TO THE UPPER 60S AND LOWER 70S.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD AS A SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE DOMINATES THE WEATHER ACROSS MAINE AND NEW
HAMPSHIRE. THE BUILDING RIDGE SHOULD LEAD TO SKIES BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY SATURDAY WITH CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER WILL
BE MID TO LATE WEEK NEXT WEEK. A FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL BE
APPROACHING FROM THE WEST BY MID WEEK. IN ADDITION...GFS AND ECMWF
MODELS ARE INDICATING THAT A TROPICAL SYSTEM COULD BE MOVING UP
THE EAST COAST MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK...HOWEVER STILL CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY
AT THAT TIME RANGE.

&&

.AVIATION /14Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...MAINLY VFR THROUGH FRI...EXCEPT FOR VLY FOG AT
KHIE/KLEB...AND PERHAPS A BRIEF PERIOD AROUND SUNRISE AT
KCON/KAUG.

LONG TERM...MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED WITH MORNING FOG IN
FAVORED LOCATIONS.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...WINDS AND SEAS TO REMAIN WELL BELOW SMALL CRAFT
LEVELS.

LONG TERM...WINDS AND SEAS EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT
CRITERIA.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...CEMPA
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...
MARINE...




000
FXUS61 KGYX 211356
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
956 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAKENING DISTURBANCE FROM THE GREAT LAKES WILL PROVIDE THE
CHANCE FOR A FEW SHOWERS OVER NORTHERN AND WESTERN SECTIONS OF
OUR AREA THROUGH FRIDAY. OTHERWISE...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
ANCHOR OVER MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE OVER THE WEEKEND AND EARLY
NEXT WEEK...WITH A GRADUAL WARMING TREND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
950 AM...HAVE UPDATED POPS A BIT TO REFLECT FIRST WAVE OF SHRA IN
SW ZONE MOVING THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING AND THRU MIDDAY...WITH
LOWER CHANCES THIS AFTERNOON...BUT STILL A CHANCE. ALSO...WILL SEE
INCR CHANCES FOR A FEW SHRA IN THE NERN ZONES AS LOW LVL MOISTURE
POOLING ENCOUNTERS WEAK SFC BOUNDARY TO THE NE. MAX TEMPS A LITTLE
PROBLEMATIC TODAY AS WELL...WITH HIGHEST TEMPS IN THE ERN ZONES
WHERE THERE WILL BE MORE SUN THIS MORNING AT LEAST...AND LOWEST
TEMPS IN INTERIOR SRN NH...WHERE CLOUDS AND SOME LIGHT SHRA WILL
KEEP TEMPS DOWN...BUT ANYWHERE THAT SEE A SIGNIFICANT BREAK OF SUN
COULD INCREASE MAXES BY ABOUT 5 F.

PREV DISC...
RADAR CONTINUED TO SHOW AN AREA OF SHOWERS ACROSS WESTERN NEW
ENGLAND. THE BLOCK IN PLACE AND HIGH PRESSURE DRAPED ACROSS THE
AREA WILL LIMIT THE EASTWARD PROGRESS OF THE PRECIPITATION INTO
OUR FORECAST AREA. I`VE CONFINED THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS TO
NORTHERN AND WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE AREA FOR TODAY. THE
CLOUDS...SHOWERS...AND AN ONSHORE FLOW WILL LIMIT HIGH
TEMPERATURES TO THE 70S...WITH SOME UPPER 60S ALONG THE IMMEDIATE
COAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
FOR TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...LITTLE CHANGE TO THE SENSIBLE WEATHER
WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR SHOWERS ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTHERN
SECTIONS IN CLOSEST PROXIMITY TO THE WEAK DISTURBANCE.
OTHERWISE...ONSHORE FLOW AND CLOUDS WILL LIMIT HIGH TEMPERATURES
TO THE UPPER 60S AND LOWER 70S.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD AS A SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE DOMINATES THE WEATHER ACROSS MAINE AND NEW
HAMPSHIRE. THE BUILDING RIDGE SHOULD LEAD TO SKIES BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY SATURDAY WITH CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER WILL
BE MID TO LATE WEEK NEXT WEEK. A FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL BE
APPROACHING FROM THE WEST BY MID WEEK. IN ADDITION...GFS AND ECMWF
MODELS ARE INDICATING THAT A TROPICAL SYSTEM COULD BE MOVING UP
THE EAST COAST MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK...HOWEVER STILL CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY
AT THAT TIME RANGE.

&&

.AVIATION /14Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...MAINLY VFR THROUGH FRI...EXCEPT FOR VLY FOG AT
KHIE/KLEB...AND PERHAPS A BRIEF PERIOD AROUND SUNRISE AT
KCON/KAUG.

LONG TERM...MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED WITH MORNING FOG IN
FAVORED LOCATIONS.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...WINDS AND SEAS TO REMAIN WELL BELOW SMALL CRAFT
LEVELS.

LONG TERM...WINDS AND SEAS EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT
CRITERIA.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...CEMPA
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...
MARINE...




000
FXUS61 KGYX 211356
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
956 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAKENING DISTURBANCE FROM THE GREAT LAKES WILL PROVIDE THE
CHANCE FOR A FEW SHOWERS OVER NORTHERN AND WESTERN SECTIONS OF
OUR AREA THROUGH FRIDAY. OTHERWISE...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
ANCHOR OVER MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE OVER THE WEEKEND AND EARLY
NEXT WEEK...WITH A GRADUAL WARMING TREND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
950 AM...HAVE UPDATED POPS A BIT TO REFLECT FIRST WAVE OF SHRA IN
SW ZONE MOVING THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING AND THRU MIDDAY...WITH
LOWER CHANCES THIS AFTERNOON...BUT STILL A CHANCE. ALSO...WILL SEE
INCR CHANCES FOR A FEW SHRA IN THE NERN ZONES AS LOW LVL MOISTURE
POOLING ENCOUNTERS WEAK SFC BOUNDARY TO THE NE. MAX TEMPS A LITTLE
PROBLEMATIC TODAY AS WELL...WITH HIGHEST TEMPS IN THE ERN ZONES
WHERE THERE WILL BE MORE SUN THIS MORNING AT LEAST...AND LOWEST
TEMPS IN INTERIOR SRN NH...WHERE CLOUDS AND SOME LIGHT SHRA WILL
KEEP TEMPS DOWN...BUT ANYWHERE THAT SEE A SIGNIFICANT BREAK OF SUN
COULD INCREASE MAXES BY ABOUT 5 F.

PREV DISC...
RADAR CONTINUED TO SHOW AN AREA OF SHOWERS ACROSS WESTERN NEW
ENGLAND. THE BLOCK IN PLACE AND HIGH PRESSURE DRAPED ACROSS THE
AREA WILL LIMIT THE EASTWARD PROGRESS OF THE PRECIPITATION INTO
OUR FORECAST AREA. I`VE CONFINED THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS TO
NORTHERN AND WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE AREA FOR TODAY. THE
CLOUDS...SHOWERS...AND AN ONSHORE FLOW WILL LIMIT HIGH
TEMPERATURES TO THE 70S...WITH SOME UPPER 60S ALONG THE IMMEDIATE
COAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
FOR TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...LITTLE CHANGE TO THE SENSIBLE WEATHER
WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR SHOWERS ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTHERN
SECTIONS IN CLOSEST PROXIMITY TO THE WEAK DISTURBANCE.
OTHERWISE...ONSHORE FLOW AND CLOUDS WILL LIMIT HIGH TEMPERATURES
TO THE UPPER 60S AND LOWER 70S.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD AS A SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE DOMINATES THE WEATHER ACROSS MAINE AND NEW
HAMPSHIRE. THE BUILDING RIDGE SHOULD LEAD TO SKIES BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY SATURDAY WITH CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER WILL
BE MID TO LATE WEEK NEXT WEEK. A FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL BE
APPROACHING FROM THE WEST BY MID WEEK. IN ADDITION...GFS AND ECMWF
MODELS ARE INDICATING THAT A TROPICAL SYSTEM COULD BE MOVING UP
THE EAST COAST MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK...HOWEVER STILL CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY
AT THAT TIME RANGE.

&&

.AVIATION /14Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...MAINLY VFR THROUGH FRI...EXCEPT FOR VLY FOG AT
KHIE/KLEB...AND PERHAPS A BRIEF PERIOD AROUND SUNRISE AT
KCON/KAUG.

LONG TERM...MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED WITH MORNING FOG IN
FAVORED LOCATIONS.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...WINDS AND SEAS TO REMAIN WELL BELOW SMALL CRAFT
LEVELS.

LONG TERM...WINDS AND SEAS EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT
CRITERIA.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...CEMPA
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...
MARINE...



  [top]

000
FXUS61 KCAR 211238
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
838 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD DOWN ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
COMING WEEKEND.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
8:40 AM UPDATE...A PATCH OF STRATUS CLOUDS HAS MOVED INTO EASTERN
AROOSTOOK COUNTY. INCREASED CLOUD COVER IN THIS REGION. STRATUS
SHOULD DISSIPATE AROUND MIDDAY BUT CUMULUS CLOUDS WILL LIKELY
RESULT IN PARTIAL CLOUDINESS DURING THE AFTERNOON.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD SOUTH
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT. MEANWHILE, WEAK UPPER
LOW PRESSURE WILL SLIDE SOUTHWARD OUT OF ONTARIO INTO WESTERN NEW
YORK. THIS LATTER FEATURE, ALONG WITH WEAK SOUTHEAST FLOW BRINGING
IN A BIT OF ADDITIONAL, WILL ALLOW FOR SLIGHT CHANCE/LOW CHANCES
OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS OVER CENTRAL/WESTERN PORTIONS OF OUR REGION.
CAPE LOOKS TO BE FAIRLY MEAGER DUE TO A LAYER OF WARM AIR ALOFT,
BUT CAN`T RULE OUT PERHAPS A RUMBLE OF THUNDER OR TWO. MUCH OF THE
SHORT-RANGE GUIDANCE INDICATES ISOLATED SHOWERS WILL LINGER OVER
WESTERN/NORTHERN MAINE THROUGH TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
SEASONABLE, WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO AROUND 80 AND LOWS IN THE
50S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
A WEAK, AND FURTHER WEAKENING, UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL SLIDE EAST
ACROSS NEW ENGLAND AND INTO THE GULF OF MAINE ON FRIDAY. NOT
ENOUGH MOISTURE OR DYNAMICS FOR MUCH...JUST PARTLY TO MOSTLY
CLOUDY SKIES WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS FOR MOST AREAS,
EXCEPT A CHANCE OF SHOWERS OVER THE WESTERN EDGE OF OUR AREA
AROUND MOOSEHEAD LAKE.

HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTH FRIDAY NIGHT AND
POSITIONS ITSELF OVER NEW ENGLAND FOR THE WEEKEND. EXPECT A DRY
WEEKEND WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
WARM LATE SUMMER WEATHER WILL BE THE BIG STORY FOR SUNDAY INTO THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE ON SUNDAY WILL
GRADUALLY GIVE WAY TO WESTERLY FLOW TOWARD THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK,
WITH PERHAPS SOMEWHAT INCREASED AFTERNOON/EVENING THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES AROUND WEDNESDAY, BUT STILL LIKELY DRY SUNDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY.

TEMPERATURES MAY REACH 80 ON SUNDAY FOR A FEW PLACES, WITH MORE
WIDESPREAD LOW TO MID 80S MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY, EXCEPT COOLER
70S NEAR THE COAST. WENT CLOSER TO THE CONSENSUS OF RAW MODEL
OUTPUT OVER MOS GUIDANCE FOR HIGHS, AS 925 MB AND 850 MB
TEMPERATURES JUSTIFY GOING WARMER THAN MOS, WHICH TRENDS TOWARD
CLIMATOLOGY IN THE EXTENDED ANYWAY.

MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH TUESDAY, BUT BEGIN TO HAVE
ISSUES AROUND WEDNESDAY AS TO WHETHER WE GET A COLD FRONTAL
PASSAGE FROM THE NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY OR THURSDAY, OR STAY IN THE
WARM WEST/SOUTHWEST FLOW FOR A BIT LONGER.

&&

.AVIATION /13Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ONLY
EXCEPTION IS LOCALIZED MVFR/POSSIBLE IFR IN FOG DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS.


SHORT TERM: GENERALLY VFR FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. ONE
EXCEPTION IS A POSSIBLE PERIOD OF MVFR CEILINGS EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP QUIESCENT CONDITIONS ON THE
WATERS TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO HEADLINES ARE ANTICIPATED.


SHORT TERM: WINDS AND SEAS EASILY STAY BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS
FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...HASTINGS/MCB
SHORT TERM...FOISY
LONG TERM...FOISY
AVIATION...HASTINGS/FOISY
MARINE...HASTINGS/FOISY






000
FXUS61 KCAR 211238
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
838 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD DOWN ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
COMING WEEKEND.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
8:40 AM UPDATE...A PATCH OF STRATUS CLOUDS HAS MOVED INTO EASTERN
AROOSTOOK COUNTY. INCREASED CLOUD COVER IN THIS REGION. STRATUS
SHOULD DISSIPATE AROUND MIDDAY BUT CUMULUS CLOUDS WILL LIKELY
RESULT IN PARTIAL CLOUDINESS DURING THE AFTERNOON.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD SOUTH
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT. MEANWHILE, WEAK UPPER
LOW PRESSURE WILL SLIDE SOUTHWARD OUT OF ONTARIO INTO WESTERN NEW
YORK. THIS LATTER FEATURE, ALONG WITH WEAK SOUTHEAST FLOW BRINGING
IN A BIT OF ADDITIONAL, WILL ALLOW FOR SLIGHT CHANCE/LOW CHANCES
OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS OVER CENTRAL/WESTERN PORTIONS OF OUR REGION.
CAPE LOOKS TO BE FAIRLY MEAGER DUE TO A LAYER OF WARM AIR ALOFT,
BUT CAN`T RULE OUT PERHAPS A RUMBLE OF THUNDER OR TWO. MUCH OF THE
SHORT-RANGE GUIDANCE INDICATES ISOLATED SHOWERS WILL LINGER OVER
WESTERN/NORTHERN MAINE THROUGH TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
SEASONABLE, WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO AROUND 80 AND LOWS IN THE
50S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
A WEAK, AND FURTHER WEAKENING, UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL SLIDE EAST
ACROSS NEW ENGLAND AND INTO THE GULF OF MAINE ON FRIDAY. NOT
ENOUGH MOISTURE OR DYNAMICS FOR MUCH...JUST PARTLY TO MOSTLY
CLOUDY SKIES WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS FOR MOST AREAS,
EXCEPT A CHANCE OF SHOWERS OVER THE WESTERN EDGE OF OUR AREA
AROUND MOOSEHEAD LAKE.

HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTH FRIDAY NIGHT AND
POSITIONS ITSELF OVER NEW ENGLAND FOR THE WEEKEND. EXPECT A DRY
WEEKEND WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
WARM LATE SUMMER WEATHER WILL BE THE BIG STORY FOR SUNDAY INTO THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE ON SUNDAY WILL
GRADUALLY GIVE WAY TO WESTERLY FLOW TOWARD THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK,
WITH PERHAPS SOMEWHAT INCREASED AFTERNOON/EVENING THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES AROUND WEDNESDAY, BUT STILL LIKELY DRY SUNDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY.

TEMPERATURES MAY REACH 80 ON SUNDAY FOR A FEW PLACES, WITH MORE
WIDESPREAD LOW TO MID 80S MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY, EXCEPT COOLER
70S NEAR THE COAST. WENT CLOSER TO THE CONSENSUS OF RAW MODEL
OUTPUT OVER MOS GUIDANCE FOR HIGHS, AS 925 MB AND 850 MB
TEMPERATURES JUSTIFY GOING WARMER THAN MOS, WHICH TRENDS TOWARD
CLIMATOLOGY IN THE EXTENDED ANYWAY.

MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH TUESDAY, BUT BEGIN TO HAVE
ISSUES AROUND WEDNESDAY AS TO WHETHER WE GET A COLD FRONTAL
PASSAGE FROM THE NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY OR THURSDAY, OR STAY IN THE
WARM WEST/SOUTHWEST FLOW FOR A BIT LONGER.

&&

.AVIATION /13Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ONLY
EXCEPTION IS LOCALIZED MVFR/POSSIBLE IFR IN FOG DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS.


SHORT TERM: GENERALLY VFR FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. ONE
EXCEPTION IS A POSSIBLE PERIOD OF MVFR CEILINGS EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP QUIESCENT CONDITIONS ON THE
WATERS TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO HEADLINES ARE ANTICIPATED.


SHORT TERM: WINDS AND SEAS EASILY STAY BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS
FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...HASTINGS/MCB
SHORT TERM...FOISY
LONG TERM...FOISY
AVIATION...HASTINGS/FOISY
MARINE...HASTINGS/FOISY






000
FXUS61 KCAR 211238
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
838 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD DOWN ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
COMING WEEKEND.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
8:40 AM UPDATE...A PATCH OF STRATUS CLOUDS HAS MOVED INTO EASTERN
AROOSTOOK COUNTY. INCREASED CLOUD COVER IN THIS REGION. STRATUS
SHOULD DISSIPATE AROUND MIDDAY BUT CUMULUS CLOUDS WILL LIKELY
RESULT IN PARTIAL CLOUDINESS DURING THE AFTERNOON.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD SOUTH
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT. MEANWHILE, WEAK UPPER
LOW PRESSURE WILL SLIDE SOUTHWARD OUT OF ONTARIO INTO WESTERN NEW
YORK. THIS LATTER FEATURE, ALONG WITH WEAK SOUTHEAST FLOW BRINGING
IN A BIT OF ADDITIONAL, WILL ALLOW FOR SLIGHT CHANCE/LOW CHANCES
OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS OVER CENTRAL/WESTERN PORTIONS OF OUR REGION.
CAPE LOOKS TO BE FAIRLY MEAGER DUE TO A LAYER OF WARM AIR ALOFT,
BUT CAN`T RULE OUT PERHAPS A RUMBLE OF THUNDER OR TWO. MUCH OF THE
SHORT-RANGE GUIDANCE INDICATES ISOLATED SHOWERS WILL LINGER OVER
WESTERN/NORTHERN MAINE THROUGH TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
SEASONABLE, WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO AROUND 80 AND LOWS IN THE
50S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
A WEAK, AND FURTHER WEAKENING, UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL SLIDE EAST
ACROSS NEW ENGLAND AND INTO THE GULF OF MAINE ON FRIDAY. NOT
ENOUGH MOISTURE OR DYNAMICS FOR MUCH...JUST PARTLY TO MOSTLY
CLOUDY SKIES WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS FOR MOST AREAS,
EXCEPT A CHANCE OF SHOWERS OVER THE WESTERN EDGE OF OUR AREA
AROUND MOOSEHEAD LAKE.

HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTH FRIDAY NIGHT AND
POSITIONS ITSELF OVER NEW ENGLAND FOR THE WEEKEND. EXPECT A DRY
WEEKEND WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
WARM LATE SUMMER WEATHER WILL BE THE BIG STORY FOR SUNDAY INTO THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE ON SUNDAY WILL
GRADUALLY GIVE WAY TO WESTERLY FLOW TOWARD THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK,
WITH PERHAPS SOMEWHAT INCREASED AFTERNOON/EVENING THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES AROUND WEDNESDAY, BUT STILL LIKELY DRY SUNDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY.

TEMPERATURES MAY REACH 80 ON SUNDAY FOR A FEW PLACES, WITH MORE
WIDESPREAD LOW TO MID 80S MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY, EXCEPT COOLER
70S NEAR THE COAST. WENT CLOSER TO THE CONSENSUS OF RAW MODEL
OUTPUT OVER MOS GUIDANCE FOR HIGHS, AS 925 MB AND 850 MB
TEMPERATURES JUSTIFY GOING WARMER THAN MOS, WHICH TRENDS TOWARD
CLIMATOLOGY IN THE EXTENDED ANYWAY.

MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH TUESDAY, BUT BEGIN TO HAVE
ISSUES AROUND WEDNESDAY AS TO WHETHER WE GET A COLD FRONTAL
PASSAGE FROM THE NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY OR THURSDAY, OR STAY IN THE
WARM WEST/SOUTHWEST FLOW FOR A BIT LONGER.

&&

.AVIATION /13Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ONLY
EXCEPTION IS LOCALIZED MVFR/POSSIBLE IFR IN FOG DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS.


SHORT TERM: GENERALLY VFR FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. ONE
EXCEPTION IS A POSSIBLE PERIOD OF MVFR CEILINGS EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP QUIESCENT CONDITIONS ON THE
WATERS TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO HEADLINES ARE ANTICIPATED.


SHORT TERM: WINDS AND SEAS EASILY STAY BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS
FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...HASTINGS/MCB
SHORT TERM...FOISY
LONG TERM...FOISY
AVIATION...HASTINGS/FOISY
MARINE...HASTINGS/FOISY






000
FXUS61 KCAR 211238
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
838 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD DOWN ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
COMING WEEKEND.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
8:40 AM UPDATE...A PATCH OF STRATUS CLOUDS HAS MOVED INTO EASTERN
AROOSTOOK COUNTY. INCREASED CLOUD COVER IN THIS REGION. STRATUS
SHOULD DISSIPATE AROUND MIDDAY BUT CUMULUS CLOUDS WILL LIKELY
RESULT IN PARTIAL CLOUDINESS DURING THE AFTERNOON.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD SOUTH
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT. MEANWHILE, WEAK UPPER
LOW PRESSURE WILL SLIDE SOUTHWARD OUT OF ONTARIO INTO WESTERN NEW
YORK. THIS LATTER FEATURE, ALONG WITH WEAK SOUTHEAST FLOW BRINGING
IN A BIT OF ADDITIONAL, WILL ALLOW FOR SLIGHT CHANCE/LOW CHANCES
OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS OVER CENTRAL/WESTERN PORTIONS OF OUR REGION.
CAPE LOOKS TO BE FAIRLY MEAGER DUE TO A LAYER OF WARM AIR ALOFT,
BUT CAN`T RULE OUT PERHAPS A RUMBLE OF THUNDER OR TWO. MUCH OF THE
SHORT-RANGE GUIDANCE INDICATES ISOLATED SHOWERS WILL LINGER OVER
WESTERN/NORTHERN MAINE THROUGH TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
SEASONABLE, WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO AROUND 80 AND LOWS IN THE
50S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
A WEAK, AND FURTHER WEAKENING, UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL SLIDE EAST
ACROSS NEW ENGLAND AND INTO THE GULF OF MAINE ON FRIDAY. NOT
ENOUGH MOISTURE OR DYNAMICS FOR MUCH...JUST PARTLY TO MOSTLY
CLOUDY SKIES WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS FOR MOST AREAS,
EXCEPT A CHANCE OF SHOWERS OVER THE WESTERN EDGE OF OUR AREA
AROUND MOOSEHEAD LAKE.

HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTH FRIDAY NIGHT AND
POSITIONS ITSELF OVER NEW ENGLAND FOR THE WEEKEND. EXPECT A DRY
WEEKEND WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
WARM LATE SUMMER WEATHER WILL BE THE BIG STORY FOR SUNDAY INTO THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE ON SUNDAY WILL
GRADUALLY GIVE WAY TO WESTERLY FLOW TOWARD THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK,
WITH PERHAPS SOMEWHAT INCREASED AFTERNOON/EVENING THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES AROUND WEDNESDAY, BUT STILL LIKELY DRY SUNDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY.

TEMPERATURES MAY REACH 80 ON SUNDAY FOR A FEW PLACES, WITH MORE
WIDESPREAD LOW TO MID 80S MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY, EXCEPT COOLER
70S NEAR THE COAST. WENT CLOSER TO THE CONSENSUS OF RAW MODEL
OUTPUT OVER MOS GUIDANCE FOR HIGHS, AS 925 MB AND 850 MB
TEMPERATURES JUSTIFY GOING WARMER THAN MOS, WHICH TRENDS TOWARD
CLIMATOLOGY IN THE EXTENDED ANYWAY.

MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH TUESDAY, BUT BEGIN TO HAVE
ISSUES AROUND WEDNESDAY AS TO WHETHER WE GET A COLD FRONTAL
PASSAGE FROM THE NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY OR THURSDAY, OR STAY IN THE
WARM WEST/SOUTHWEST FLOW FOR A BIT LONGER.

&&

.AVIATION /13Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ONLY
EXCEPTION IS LOCALIZED MVFR/POSSIBLE IFR IN FOG DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS.


SHORT TERM: GENERALLY VFR FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. ONE
EXCEPTION IS A POSSIBLE PERIOD OF MVFR CEILINGS EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP QUIESCENT CONDITIONS ON THE
WATERS TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO HEADLINES ARE ANTICIPATED.


SHORT TERM: WINDS AND SEAS EASILY STAY BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS
FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...HASTINGS/MCB
SHORT TERM...FOISY
LONG TERM...FOISY
AVIATION...HASTINGS/FOISY
MARINE...HASTINGS/FOISY






000
FXUS61 KCAR 211026
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
626 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD DOWN ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
COMING WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
625 AM...NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES WERE NEEDED WITH THIS UPDATE.
PATCHY RIVER VALLEY FOG HAS DEVELOPED IN SOME LOCATIONS AS PER
LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS, BUT THIS IS
LOCALIZED AND SHOULD BURN OFF FAIRLY QUICKLY THIS MORNING. AS
SUCH, DID NOT ADD TO THE FORECAST WITH THIS UPDATE. ONLY CHANGE
WAS TO ADJUST SKY COVER TO MATCH CURRENT SATELLITE TRENDS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD SOUTH
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT. MEANWHILE, WEAK UPPER
LOW PRESSURE WILL SLIDE SOUTHWARD OUT OF ONTARIO INTO WESTERN NEW
YORK. THIS LATTER FEATURE, ALONG WITH WEAK SOUTHEAST FLOW BRINGING
IN A BIT OF ADDITIONAL, WILL ALLOW FOR SLIGHT CHANCE/LOW CHANCES
OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS OVER CENTRAL/WESTERN PORTIONS OF OUR REGION.
CAPE LOOKS TO BE FAIRLY MEAGER DUE TO A LAYER OF WARM AIR ALOFT,
BUT CAN`T RULE OUT PERHAPS A RUMBLE OF THUNDER OR TWO. MUCH OF THE
SHORT-RANGE GUIDANCE INDICATES ISOLATED SHOWERS WILL LINGER OVER
WESTERN/NORTHERN MAINE THROUGH TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
SEASONABLE, WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO AROUND 80 AND LOWS IN THE
50S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
A WEAK, AND FURTHER WEAKENING, UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL SLIDE EAST
ACROSS NEW ENGLAND AND INTO THE GULF OF MAINE ON FRIDAY. NOT
ENOUGH MOISTURE OR DYNAMICS FOR MUCH...JUST PARTLY TO MOSTLY
CLOUDY SKIES WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS FOR MOST AREAS,
EXCEPT A CHANCE OF SHOWERS OVER THE WESTERN EDGE OF OUR AREA
AROUND MOOSEHEAD LAKE.

HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTH FRIDAY NIGHT AND
POSITIONS ITSELF OVER NEW ENGLAND FOR THE WEEKEND. EXPECT A DRY
WEEKEND WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
WARM LATE SUMMER WEATHER WILL BE THE BIG STORY FOR SUNDAY INTO THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE ON SUNDAY WILL
GRADUALLY GIVE WAY TO WESTERLY FLOW TOWARD THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK,
WITH PERHAPS SOMEWHAT INCREASED AFTERNOON/EVENING THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES AROUND WEDNESDAY, BUT STILL LIKELY DRY SUNDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY.

TEMPERATURES MAY REACH 80 ON SUNDAY FOR A FEW PLACES, WITH MORE
WIDESPREAD LOW TO MID 80S MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY, EXCEPT COOLER
70S NEAR THE COAST. WENT CLOSER TO THE CONSENSUS OF RAW MODEL
OUTPUT OVER MOS GUIDANCE FOR HIGHS, AS 925 MB AND 850 MB
TEMPERATURES JUSTIFY GOING WARMER THAN MOS, WHICH TRENDS TOWARD
CLIMATOLOGY IN THE EXTENDED ANYWAY.

MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH TUESDAY, BUT BEGIN TO HAVE
ISSUES AROUND WEDNESDAY AS TO WHETHER WE GET A COLD FRONTAL
PASSAGE FROM THE NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY OR THURSDAY, OR STAY IN THE
WARM WEST/SOUTHWEST FLOW FOR A BIT LONGER.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ONLY
EXCEPTION IS LOCALIZED MVFR/POSSIBLE IFR IN FOG DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS.


SHORT TERM: GENERALLY VFR FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. ONE
EXCEPTION IS A POSSIBLE PERIOD OF MVFR CEILINGS EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP QUIESCENT CONDITIONS ON THE
WATERS TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO HEADLINES ARE ANTICIPATED.


SHORT TERM: WINDS AND SEAS EASILY STAY BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS
FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...HASTINGS
SHORT TERM...FOISY
LONG TERM...FOISY
AVIATION...HASTINGS/FOISY
MARINE...HASTINGS/FOISY







000
FXUS61 KCAR 211026
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
626 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD DOWN ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
COMING WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
625 AM...NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES WERE NEEDED WITH THIS UPDATE.
PATCHY RIVER VALLEY FOG HAS DEVELOPED IN SOME LOCATIONS AS PER
LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS, BUT THIS IS
LOCALIZED AND SHOULD BURN OFF FAIRLY QUICKLY THIS MORNING. AS
SUCH, DID NOT ADD TO THE FORECAST WITH THIS UPDATE. ONLY CHANGE
WAS TO ADJUST SKY COVER TO MATCH CURRENT SATELLITE TRENDS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD SOUTH
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT. MEANWHILE, WEAK UPPER
LOW PRESSURE WILL SLIDE SOUTHWARD OUT OF ONTARIO INTO WESTERN NEW
YORK. THIS LATTER FEATURE, ALONG WITH WEAK SOUTHEAST FLOW BRINGING
IN A BIT OF ADDITIONAL, WILL ALLOW FOR SLIGHT CHANCE/LOW CHANCES
OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS OVER CENTRAL/WESTERN PORTIONS OF OUR REGION.
CAPE LOOKS TO BE FAIRLY MEAGER DUE TO A LAYER OF WARM AIR ALOFT,
BUT CAN`T RULE OUT PERHAPS A RUMBLE OF THUNDER OR TWO. MUCH OF THE
SHORT-RANGE GUIDANCE INDICATES ISOLATED SHOWERS WILL LINGER OVER
WESTERN/NORTHERN MAINE THROUGH TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
SEASONABLE, WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO AROUND 80 AND LOWS IN THE
50S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
A WEAK, AND FURTHER WEAKENING, UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL SLIDE EAST
ACROSS NEW ENGLAND AND INTO THE GULF OF MAINE ON FRIDAY. NOT
ENOUGH MOISTURE OR DYNAMICS FOR MUCH...JUST PARTLY TO MOSTLY
CLOUDY SKIES WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS FOR MOST AREAS,
EXCEPT A CHANCE OF SHOWERS OVER THE WESTERN EDGE OF OUR AREA
AROUND MOOSEHEAD LAKE.

HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTH FRIDAY NIGHT AND
POSITIONS ITSELF OVER NEW ENGLAND FOR THE WEEKEND. EXPECT A DRY
WEEKEND WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
WARM LATE SUMMER WEATHER WILL BE THE BIG STORY FOR SUNDAY INTO THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE ON SUNDAY WILL
GRADUALLY GIVE WAY TO WESTERLY FLOW TOWARD THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK,
WITH PERHAPS SOMEWHAT INCREASED AFTERNOON/EVENING THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES AROUND WEDNESDAY, BUT STILL LIKELY DRY SUNDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY.

TEMPERATURES MAY REACH 80 ON SUNDAY FOR A FEW PLACES, WITH MORE
WIDESPREAD LOW TO MID 80S MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY, EXCEPT COOLER
70S NEAR THE COAST. WENT CLOSER TO THE CONSENSUS OF RAW MODEL
OUTPUT OVER MOS GUIDANCE FOR HIGHS, AS 925 MB AND 850 MB
TEMPERATURES JUSTIFY GOING WARMER THAN MOS, WHICH TRENDS TOWARD
CLIMATOLOGY IN THE EXTENDED ANYWAY.

MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH TUESDAY, BUT BEGIN TO HAVE
ISSUES AROUND WEDNESDAY AS TO WHETHER WE GET A COLD FRONTAL
PASSAGE FROM THE NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY OR THURSDAY, OR STAY IN THE
WARM WEST/SOUTHWEST FLOW FOR A BIT LONGER.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ONLY
EXCEPTION IS LOCALIZED MVFR/POSSIBLE IFR IN FOG DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS.


SHORT TERM: GENERALLY VFR FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. ONE
EXCEPTION IS A POSSIBLE PERIOD OF MVFR CEILINGS EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP QUIESCENT CONDITIONS ON THE
WATERS TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO HEADLINES ARE ANTICIPATED.


SHORT TERM: WINDS AND SEAS EASILY STAY BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS
FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...HASTINGS
SHORT TERM...FOISY
LONG TERM...FOISY
AVIATION...HASTINGS/FOISY
MARINE...HASTINGS/FOISY






000
FXUS61 KGYX 211000
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
600 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAKENING DISTURBANCE FROM THE GREAT LAKES WILL PROVIDE THE
CHANCE FOR A FEW SHOWERS OVER NORTHERN AND WESTERN SECTIONS OF
OUR AREA THROUGH FRIDAY. OTHERWISE...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
ANCHOR OVER MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE OVER THE WEEKEND AND EARLY
NEXT WEEK...WITH A GRADUAL WARMING TREND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...

600 AM...MINOR ESTF UPDATE TO REFLECT THE CURRENT MESONET AND
LATEST RADAR TRENDS.

PREV DISC...
RADAR CONTINUED TO SHOW AN AREA OF SHOWERS ACROSS WESTERN NEW
ENGLAND. THE BLOCK IN PLACE AND HIGH PRESSURE DRAPED ACROSS THE
AREA WILL LIMIT THE EASTWARD PROGRESS OF THE PRECIPITATION INTO
OUR FORECAST AREA. I`VE CONFINED THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS TO
NORTHERN AND WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE AREA FOR TODAY. THE
CLOUDS...SHOWERS...AND AN ONSHORE FLOW WILL LIMIT HIGH
TEMPERATURES TO THE 70S...WITH SOME UPPER 60S ALONG THE IMMEDIATE
COAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
FOR TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...LITTLE CHANGE TO THE SENSIBLE WEATHER
WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR SHOWERS ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTHERN
SECTIONS IN CLOSEST PROXIMITY TO THE WEAK DISTURBANCE.
OTHERWISE...ONSHORE FLOW AND CLOUDS WILL LIMIT HIGH TEMPERATURES
TO THE UPPER 60S AND LOWER 70S.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD AS A SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE DOMINATES THE WEATHER ACROSS MAINE AND NEW
HAMPSHIRE. THE BUILDING RIDGE SHOULD LEAD TO SKIES BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY SATURDAY WITH CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER WILL
BE MID TO LATE WEEK NEXT WEEK. A FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL BE
APPROACHING FROM THE WEST BY MID WEEK. IN ADDITION...GFS AND ECMWF
MODELS ARE INDICATING THAT A TROPICAL SYSTEM COULD BE MOVING UP
THE EAST COAST MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK...HOWEVER STILL CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY
AT THAT TIME RANGE.

&&

.AVIATION /10Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...MAINLY VFR THROUGH FRI...EXCEPT FOR VLY FOG AT
KHIE/KLEB...AND PERHAPS A BRIEF PERIOD AROUND SUNRISE AT
KCON/KAUG.

LONG TERM...MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED WITH MORNING FOG IN
FAVORED LOCATIONS.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...WINDS AND SEAS TO REMAIN WELL BELOW SMALL CRAFT
LEVELS.

LONG TERM...WINDS AND SEAS EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT
CRITERIA.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
ES



000
FXUS61 KGYX 211000
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
600 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAKENING DISTURBANCE FROM THE GREAT LAKES WILL PROVIDE THE
CHANCE FOR A FEW SHOWERS OVER NORTHERN AND WESTERN SECTIONS OF
OUR AREA THROUGH FRIDAY. OTHERWISE...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
ANCHOR OVER MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE OVER THE WEEKEND AND EARLY
NEXT WEEK...WITH A GRADUAL WARMING TREND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...

600 AM...MINOR ESTF UPDATE TO REFLECT THE CURRENT MESONET AND
LATEST RADAR TRENDS.

PREV DISC...
RADAR CONTINUED TO SHOW AN AREA OF SHOWERS ACROSS WESTERN NEW
ENGLAND. THE BLOCK IN PLACE AND HIGH PRESSURE DRAPED ACROSS THE
AREA WILL LIMIT THE EASTWARD PROGRESS OF THE PRECIPITATION INTO
OUR FORECAST AREA. I`VE CONFINED THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS TO
NORTHERN AND WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE AREA FOR TODAY. THE
CLOUDS...SHOWERS...AND AN ONSHORE FLOW WILL LIMIT HIGH
TEMPERATURES TO THE 70S...WITH SOME UPPER 60S ALONG THE IMMEDIATE
COAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
FOR TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...LITTLE CHANGE TO THE SENSIBLE WEATHER
WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR SHOWERS ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTHERN
SECTIONS IN CLOSEST PROXIMITY TO THE WEAK DISTURBANCE.
OTHERWISE...ONSHORE FLOW AND CLOUDS WILL LIMIT HIGH TEMPERATURES
TO THE UPPER 60S AND LOWER 70S.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD AS A SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE DOMINATES THE WEATHER ACROSS MAINE AND NEW
HAMPSHIRE. THE BUILDING RIDGE SHOULD LEAD TO SKIES BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY SATURDAY WITH CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER WILL
BE MID TO LATE WEEK NEXT WEEK. A FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL BE
APPROACHING FROM THE WEST BY MID WEEK. IN ADDITION...GFS AND ECMWF
MODELS ARE INDICATING THAT A TROPICAL SYSTEM COULD BE MOVING UP
THE EAST COAST MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK...HOWEVER STILL CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY
AT THAT TIME RANGE.

&&

.AVIATION /10Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...MAINLY VFR THROUGH FRI...EXCEPT FOR VLY FOG AT
KHIE/KLEB...AND PERHAPS A BRIEF PERIOD AROUND SUNRISE AT
KCON/KAUG.

LONG TERM...MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED WITH MORNING FOG IN
FAVORED LOCATIONS.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...WINDS AND SEAS TO REMAIN WELL BELOW SMALL CRAFT
LEVELS.

LONG TERM...WINDS AND SEAS EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT
CRITERIA.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
ES



000
FXUS61 KGYX 211000
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
600 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAKENING DISTURBANCE FROM THE GREAT LAKES WILL PROVIDE THE
CHANCE FOR A FEW SHOWERS OVER NORTHERN AND WESTERN SECTIONS OF
OUR AREA THROUGH FRIDAY. OTHERWISE...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
ANCHOR OVER MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE OVER THE WEEKEND AND EARLY
NEXT WEEK...WITH A GRADUAL WARMING TREND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...

600 AM...MINOR ESTF UPDATE TO REFLECT THE CURRENT MESONET AND
LATEST RADAR TRENDS.

PREV DISC...
RADAR CONTINUED TO SHOW AN AREA OF SHOWERS ACROSS WESTERN NEW
ENGLAND. THE BLOCK IN PLACE AND HIGH PRESSURE DRAPED ACROSS THE
AREA WILL LIMIT THE EASTWARD PROGRESS OF THE PRECIPITATION INTO
OUR FORECAST AREA. I`VE CONFINED THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS TO
NORTHERN AND WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE AREA FOR TODAY. THE
CLOUDS...SHOWERS...AND AN ONSHORE FLOW WILL LIMIT HIGH
TEMPERATURES TO THE 70S...WITH SOME UPPER 60S ALONG THE IMMEDIATE
COAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
FOR TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...LITTLE CHANGE TO THE SENSIBLE WEATHER
WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR SHOWERS ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTHERN
SECTIONS IN CLOSEST PROXIMITY TO THE WEAK DISTURBANCE.
OTHERWISE...ONSHORE FLOW AND CLOUDS WILL LIMIT HIGH TEMPERATURES
TO THE UPPER 60S AND LOWER 70S.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD AS A SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE DOMINATES THE WEATHER ACROSS MAINE AND NEW
HAMPSHIRE. THE BUILDING RIDGE SHOULD LEAD TO SKIES BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY SATURDAY WITH CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER WILL
BE MID TO LATE WEEK NEXT WEEK. A FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL BE
APPROACHING FROM THE WEST BY MID WEEK. IN ADDITION...GFS AND ECMWF
MODELS ARE INDICATING THAT A TROPICAL SYSTEM COULD BE MOVING UP
THE EAST COAST MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK...HOWEVER STILL CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY
AT THAT TIME RANGE.

&&

.AVIATION /10Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...MAINLY VFR THROUGH FRI...EXCEPT FOR VLY FOG AT
KHIE/KLEB...AND PERHAPS A BRIEF PERIOD AROUND SUNRISE AT
KCON/KAUG.

LONG TERM...MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED WITH MORNING FOG IN
FAVORED LOCATIONS.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...WINDS AND SEAS TO REMAIN WELL BELOW SMALL CRAFT
LEVELS.

LONG TERM...WINDS AND SEAS EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT
CRITERIA.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
ES



000
FXUS61 KGYX 211000
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
600 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAKENING DISTURBANCE FROM THE GREAT LAKES WILL PROVIDE THE
CHANCE FOR A FEW SHOWERS OVER NORTHERN AND WESTERN SECTIONS OF
OUR AREA THROUGH FRIDAY. OTHERWISE...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
ANCHOR OVER MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE OVER THE WEEKEND AND EARLY
NEXT WEEK...WITH A GRADUAL WARMING TREND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...

600 AM...MINOR ESTF UPDATE TO REFLECT THE CURRENT MESONET AND
LATEST RADAR TRENDS.

PREV DISC...
RADAR CONTINUED TO SHOW AN AREA OF SHOWERS ACROSS WESTERN NEW
ENGLAND. THE BLOCK IN PLACE AND HIGH PRESSURE DRAPED ACROSS THE
AREA WILL LIMIT THE EASTWARD PROGRESS OF THE PRECIPITATION INTO
OUR FORECAST AREA. I`VE CONFINED THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS TO
NORTHERN AND WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE AREA FOR TODAY. THE
CLOUDS...SHOWERS...AND AN ONSHORE FLOW WILL LIMIT HIGH
TEMPERATURES TO THE 70S...WITH SOME UPPER 60S ALONG THE IMMEDIATE
COAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
FOR TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...LITTLE CHANGE TO THE SENSIBLE WEATHER
WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR SHOWERS ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTHERN
SECTIONS IN CLOSEST PROXIMITY TO THE WEAK DISTURBANCE.
OTHERWISE...ONSHORE FLOW AND CLOUDS WILL LIMIT HIGH TEMPERATURES
TO THE UPPER 60S AND LOWER 70S.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD AS A SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE DOMINATES THE WEATHER ACROSS MAINE AND NEW
HAMPSHIRE. THE BUILDING RIDGE SHOULD LEAD TO SKIES BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY SATURDAY WITH CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER WILL
BE MID TO LATE WEEK NEXT WEEK. A FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL BE
APPROACHING FROM THE WEST BY MID WEEK. IN ADDITION...GFS AND ECMWF
MODELS ARE INDICATING THAT A TROPICAL SYSTEM COULD BE MOVING UP
THE EAST COAST MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK...HOWEVER STILL CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY
AT THAT TIME RANGE.

&&

.AVIATION /10Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...MAINLY VFR THROUGH FRI...EXCEPT FOR VLY FOG AT
KHIE/KLEB...AND PERHAPS A BRIEF PERIOD AROUND SUNRISE AT
KCON/KAUG.

LONG TERM...MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED WITH MORNING FOG IN
FAVORED LOCATIONS.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...WINDS AND SEAS TO REMAIN WELL BELOW SMALL CRAFT
LEVELS.

LONG TERM...WINDS AND SEAS EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT
CRITERIA.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
ES



000
FXUS61 KGYX 210722
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
249 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAKENING DISTURBANCE FROM THE GREAT LAKES WILL PROVIDE THE
CHANCE FOR A FEW SHOWERS OVER NORTHERN AND WESTERN SECTIONS OF
OUR AREA THROUGH FRIDAY. OTHERWISE...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
ANCHOR OVER MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE OVER THE WEEKEND AND EARLY
NEXT WEEK...WITH A GRADUAL WARMING TREND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
RADAR CONTINUED TO SHOW AN AREA OF SHOWERS ACROSS WESTERN NEW
ENGLAND. THE BLOCK IN PLACE AND HIGH PRESSURE DRAPED ACROSS THE
AREA WILL LIMIT THE EASTWARD PROGRESS OF THE PRECIPITATION INTO
OUR FORECAST AREA. I`VE CONFINED THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS TO
NORTHERN AND WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE AREA FOR TODAY. THE
CLOUDS...SHOWERS...AND AN ONSHORE FLOW WILL LIMIT HIGH
TEMPERATURES TO THE 70S...WITH SOME UPPER 60S ALONG THE IMMEDIATE
COAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
FOR TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...LITTLE CHANGE TO THE SENSIBLE WEATHER
WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR SHOWERS ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTHERN
SECTIONS IN CLOSEST PROXIMITY TO THE WEAK DISTURBANCE.
OTHERWISE...ONSHORE FLOW AND CLOUDS WILL LIMIT HIGH TEMPERATURES
TO THE UPPER 60S AND LOWER 70S.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD AS A SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE DOMINATES THE WEATHER ACROSS MAINE AND NEW
HAMPSHIRE. THE BUILDING RIDGE SHOULD LEAD TO SKIES BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY SATURDAY WITH CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER WILL
BE MID TO LATE WEEK NEXT WEEK. A FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL BE
APPROACHING FROM THE WEST BY MID WEEK. IN ADDITION...GFS AND ECMWF
MODELS ARE INDICATING THAT A TROPICAL SYSTEM COULD BE MOVING UP
THE EAST COAST MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK...HOWEVER STILL CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY
AT THAT TIME RANGE.


&&

.AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...MAINLY VFR THROUGH FRI...EXCEPT FOR VLY FOG AT
KHIE/KLEB...AND PERHAPS A BRIEF PERIOD AROUND SUNRISE AT
KCON/KAUG.

LONG TERM...MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED WITH MORNING FOG IN
FAVORED LOCATIONS.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...WINDS AND SEAS TO REMAIN WELL BELOW SMALL CRAFT
LEVELS.

LONG TERM...WINDS AND SEAS EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT
CRITERIA.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
SCHWIBS/JENSENIUS




000
FXUS61 KGYX 210722
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
249 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAKENING DISTURBANCE FROM THE GREAT LAKES WILL PROVIDE THE
CHANCE FOR A FEW SHOWERS OVER NORTHERN AND WESTERN SECTIONS OF
OUR AREA THROUGH FRIDAY. OTHERWISE...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
ANCHOR OVER MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE OVER THE WEEKEND AND EARLY
NEXT WEEK...WITH A GRADUAL WARMING TREND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
RADAR CONTINUED TO SHOW AN AREA OF SHOWERS ACROSS WESTERN NEW
ENGLAND. THE BLOCK IN PLACE AND HIGH PRESSURE DRAPED ACROSS THE
AREA WILL LIMIT THE EASTWARD PROGRESS OF THE PRECIPITATION INTO
OUR FORECAST AREA. I`VE CONFINED THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS TO
NORTHERN AND WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE AREA FOR TODAY. THE
CLOUDS...SHOWERS...AND AN ONSHORE FLOW WILL LIMIT HIGH
TEMPERATURES TO THE 70S...WITH SOME UPPER 60S ALONG THE IMMEDIATE
COAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
FOR TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...LITTLE CHANGE TO THE SENSIBLE WEATHER
WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR SHOWERS ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTHERN
SECTIONS IN CLOSEST PROXIMITY TO THE WEAK DISTURBANCE.
OTHERWISE...ONSHORE FLOW AND CLOUDS WILL LIMIT HIGH TEMPERATURES
TO THE UPPER 60S AND LOWER 70S.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD AS A SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE DOMINATES THE WEATHER ACROSS MAINE AND NEW
HAMPSHIRE. THE BUILDING RIDGE SHOULD LEAD TO SKIES BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY SATURDAY WITH CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER WILL
BE MID TO LATE WEEK NEXT WEEK. A FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL BE
APPROACHING FROM THE WEST BY MID WEEK. IN ADDITION...GFS AND ECMWF
MODELS ARE INDICATING THAT A TROPICAL SYSTEM COULD BE MOVING UP
THE EAST COAST MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK...HOWEVER STILL CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY
AT THAT TIME RANGE.


&&

.AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...MAINLY VFR THROUGH FRI...EXCEPT FOR VLY FOG AT
KHIE/KLEB...AND PERHAPS A BRIEF PERIOD AROUND SUNRISE AT
KCON/KAUG.

LONG TERM...MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED WITH MORNING FOG IN
FAVORED LOCATIONS.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...WINDS AND SEAS TO REMAIN WELL BELOW SMALL CRAFT
LEVELS.

LONG TERM...WINDS AND SEAS EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT
CRITERIA.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
SCHWIBS/JENSENIUS




000
FXUS61 KGYX 210722
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
249 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAKENING DISTURBANCE FROM THE GREAT LAKES WILL PROVIDE THE
CHANCE FOR A FEW SHOWERS OVER NORTHERN AND WESTERN SECTIONS OF
OUR AREA THROUGH FRIDAY. OTHERWISE...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
ANCHOR OVER MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE OVER THE WEEKEND AND EARLY
NEXT WEEK...WITH A GRADUAL WARMING TREND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
RADAR CONTINUED TO SHOW AN AREA OF SHOWERS ACROSS WESTERN NEW
ENGLAND. THE BLOCK IN PLACE AND HIGH PRESSURE DRAPED ACROSS THE
AREA WILL LIMIT THE EASTWARD PROGRESS OF THE PRECIPITATION INTO
OUR FORECAST AREA. I`VE CONFINED THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS TO
NORTHERN AND WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE AREA FOR TODAY. THE
CLOUDS...SHOWERS...AND AN ONSHORE FLOW WILL LIMIT HIGH
TEMPERATURES TO THE 70S...WITH SOME UPPER 60S ALONG THE IMMEDIATE
COAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
FOR TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...LITTLE CHANGE TO THE SENSIBLE WEATHER
WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR SHOWERS ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTHERN
SECTIONS IN CLOSEST PROXIMITY TO THE WEAK DISTURBANCE.
OTHERWISE...ONSHORE FLOW AND CLOUDS WILL LIMIT HIGH TEMPERATURES
TO THE UPPER 60S AND LOWER 70S.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD AS A SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE DOMINATES THE WEATHER ACROSS MAINE AND NEW
HAMPSHIRE. THE BUILDING RIDGE SHOULD LEAD TO SKIES BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY SATURDAY WITH CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER WILL
BE MID TO LATE WEEK NEXT WEEK. A FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL BE
APPROACHING FROM THE WEST BY MID WEEK. IN ADDITION...GFS AND ECMWF
MODELS ARE INDICATING THAT A TROPICAL SYSTEM COULD BE MOVING UP
THE EAST COAST MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK...HOWEVER STILL CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY
AT THAT TIME RANGE.


&&

.AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...MAINLY VFR THROUGH FRI...EXCEPT FOR VLY FOG AT
KHIE/KLEB...AND PERHAPS A BRIEF PERIOD AROUND SUNRISE AT
KCON/KAUG.

LONG TERM...MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED WITH MORNING FOG IN
FAVORED LOCATIONS.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...WINDS AND SEAS TO REMAIN WELL BELOW SMALL CRAFT
LEVELS.

LONG TERM...WINDS AND SEAS EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT
CRITERIA.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
SCHWIBS/JENSENIUS




000
FXUS61 KGYX 210722
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
249 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAKENING DISTURBANCE FROM THE GREAT LAKES WILL PROVIDE THE
CHANCE FOR A FEW SHOWERS OVER NORTHERN AND WESTERN SECTIONS OF
OUR AREA THROUGH FRIDAY. OTHERWISE...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
ANCHOR OVER MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE OVER THE WEEKEND AND EARLY
NEXT WEEK...WITH A GRADUAL WARMING TREND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
RADAR CONTINUED TO SHOW AN AREA OF SHOWERS ACROSS WESTERN NEW
ENGLAND. THE BLOCK IN PLACE AND HIGH PRESSURE DRAPED ACROSS THE
AREA WILL LIMIT THE EASTWARD PROGRESS OF THE PRECIPITATION INTO
OUR FORECAST AREA. I`VE CONFINED THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS TO
NORTHERN AND WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE AREA FOR TODAY. THE
CLOUDS...SHOWERS...AND AN ONSHORE FLOW WILL LIMIT HIGH
TEMPERATURES TO THE 70S...WITH SOME UPPER 60S ALONG THE IMMEDIATE
COAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
FOR TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...LITTLE CHANGE TO THE SENSIBLE WEATHER
WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR SHOWERS ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTHERN
SECTIONS IN CLOSEST PROXIMITY TO THE WEAK DISTURBANCE.
OTHERWISE...ONSHORE FLOW AND CLOUDS WILL LIMIT HIGH TEMPERATURES
TO THE UPPER 60S AND LOWER 70S.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD AS A SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE DOMINATES THE WEATHER ACROSS MAINE AND NEW
HAMPSHIRE. THE BUILDING RIDGE SHOULD LEAD TO SKIES BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY SATURDAY WITH CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER WILL
BE MID TO LATE WEEK NEXT WEEK. A FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL BE
APPROACHING FROM THE WEST BY MID WEEK. IN ADDITION...GFS AND ECMWF
MODELS ARE INDICATING THAT A TROPICAL SYSTEM COULD BE MOVING UP
THE EAST COAST MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK...HOWEVER STILL CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY
AT THAT TIME RANGE.


&&

.AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...MAINLY VFR THROUGH FRI...EXCEPT FOR VLY FOG AT
KHIE/KLEB...AND PERHAPS A BRIEF PERIOD AROUND SUNRISE AT
KCON/KAUG.

LONG TERM...MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED WITH MORNING FOG IN
FAVORED LOCATIONS.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...WINDS AND SEAS TO REMAIN WELL BELOW SMALL CRAFT
LEVELS.

LONG TERM...WINDS AND SEAS EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT
CRITERIA.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
SCHWIBS/JENSENIUS




000
FXUS61 KGYX 210649
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
249 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAKENING DISTURBANCE FROM THE GREAT LAKES WILL PROVIDE THE
CHANCE FOR A FEW SHOWERS OVER NORTHERN AND WESTERN SECTIONS OF
OUR AREA THROUGH FRIDAY. OTHERWISE...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
ANCHOR OVER MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE OVER THE WEEKEND AND EARLY
NEXT WEEK...WITH A GRADUAL WARMING TREND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
RADAR CONTINUED TO SHOW AN AREA OF SHOWERS ACROSS WESTERN NEW
ENGLAND. THE BLOCK IN PLACE AND HIGH PRESSURE DRAPED ACROSS THE
AREA WILL LIMIT THE EASTWARD PROGRESS OF THE PRECIPITATION INTO
OUR FORECAST AREA. I`VE CONFINED THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS TO
NORTHERN AND WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE AREA FOR TODAY. THE
CLOUDS...SHOWERS...AND AN ONSHORE FLOW WILL LIMIT HIGH
TEMPERATURES TO THE 70S...WITH SOME UPPER 60S ALONG THE IMMEDIATE
COAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
FOR TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...LITTLE CHANGE TO THE SENSIBLE WEATHER
WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR SHOWERS ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTHERN
SECTIONS IN CLOSEST PROXIMITY TO THE WEAK DISTURBANCE.
OTHERWISE...ONSHORE FLOW AND CLOUDS WILL LIMIT HIGH TEMPERATURES
TO THE UPPER 60S AND LOWER 70S.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD AS A SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE DOMINATES THE WEATHER ACROSS MAINE AND NEW
HAMPSHIRE. THE BUILDING RIDGE SHOULD LEAD TO SKIES BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY SATURDAY WITH CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER WILL
BE MID TO LATE WEEK NEXT WEEK. A FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL BE
APPROACHING FROM THE WEST BY MID WEEK. IN ADDITION...GFS AND ECMWF
MODELS ARE INDICATING THAT A TROPICAL SYSTEM COULD BE MOVING UP
THE EAST COAST MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK...HOWEVER STILL CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY
AT THAT TIME RANGE.


&&

.AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...MAINLY VFR THROUGH FRI...EXCEPT FOR VLY FOG AT
KHIE/KLEB...AND PERHAPS A BRIEF PERIOD AROUND SUNRISE AT
KCON/KAUG.

LONG TERM...MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED WITH MORNING FOG IN
FAVORED LOCATIONS.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...WINDS AND SEAS TO REMAIN WELL BELOW SMALL CRAFT
LEVELS.

LONG TERM...WINDS AND SEAS EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT
CRITERIA.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
SCHWIBS/JENSENIUS



000
FXUS61 KCAR 210644
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
244 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD DOWN ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
COMING WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD SOUTH ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TODAY
AND TONIGHT. MEANWHILE, WEAK UPPER LOW PRESSURE WILL SLIDE SOUTHWARD
OUT OF ONTARIO INTO WESTERN NEW YORK. THIS LATTER FEATURE, ALONG
WITH WEAK SOUTHEAST FLOW BRINGING IN A BIT OF ADDITIONAL, WILL ALLOW
FOR SLIGHT CHANCE/LOW CHANCES OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS OVER
CENTRAL/WESTERN PORTIONS OF OUR REGION. CAPE LOOKS TO BE FAIRLY
MEAGER DUE TO A LAYER OF WARM AIR ALOFT, BUT CAN`T RULE OUT PERHAPS
A RUMBLE OF THUNDER OR TWO. MUCH OF THE SHORT-RANGE GUIDANCE
INDICATES ISOLATED SHOWERS WILL LINGER OVER WESTERN/NORTHERN MAINE
THROUGH TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE SEASONABLE, WITH HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S TO AROUND 80 AND LOWS IN THE 50S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
A WEAK, AND FURTHER WEAKENING, UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL SLIDE EAST
ACROSS NEW ENGLAND AND INTO THE GULF OF MAINE ON FRIDAY. NOT
ENOUGH MOISTURE OR DYNAMICS FOR MUCH...JUST PARTLY TO MOSTLY
CLOUDY SKIES WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS FOR MOST AREAS,
EXCEPT A CHANCE OF SHOWERS OVER THE WESTERN EDGE OF OUR AREA
AROUND MOOSEHEAD LAKE.

HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTH FRIDAY NIGHT AND
POSITIONS ITSELF OVER NEW ENGLAND FOR THE WEEKEND. EXPECT A DRY
WEEKEND WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES.
&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
WARM LATE SUMMER WEATHER WILL BE THE BIG STORY FOR SUNDAY INTO THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE ON SUNDAY WILL
GRADUALLY GIVE WAY TO WESTERLY FLOW TOWARD THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK,
WITH PERHAPS SOMEWHAT INCREASED AFTERNOON/EVENING THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES AROUND WEDNESDAY, BUT STILL LIKELY DRY SUNDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY.

TEMPERATURES MAY REACH 80 ON SUNDAY FOR A FEW PLACES, WITH MORE
WIDESPREAD LOW TO MID 80S MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY, EXCEPT COOLER
70S NEAR THE COAST. WENT CLOSER TO THE CONSENSUS OF RAW MODEL
OUTPUT OVER MOS GUIDANCE FOR HIGHS, AS 925 MB AND 850 MB
TEMPERATURES JUSTIFY GOING WARMER THAN MOS, WHICH TRENDS TOWARD
CLIMATOLOGY IN THE EXTENDED ANYWAY.

MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH TUESDAY, BUT BEGIN TO HAVE
ISSUES AROUND WEDNESDAY AS TO WHETHER WE GET A COLD FRONTAL
PASSAGE FROM THE NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY OR THURSDAY, OR STAY IN THE
WARM WEST/SOUTHWEST FLOW FOR A BIT LONGER.
&&

.AVIATION /07Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ONLY
EXCEPTION IS LOCALIZED MVFR/POSSIBLE IFR IN FOG DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS.


SHORT TERM: GENERALLY VFR FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. ONE
EXCEPTION IS A POSSIBLE PERIOD OF MVFR CEILINGS EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP QUIESCENT CONDITIONS ON THE
WATERS TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO HEADLINES ARE ANTICIPATED.


SHORT TERM: WINDS AND SEAS EASILY STAY BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS
FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...HASTINGS
SHORT TERM...FOISY
LONG TERM...FOISY
AVIATION...HASTINGS/FOISY
MARINE...HASTINGS/FOISY









000
FXUS61 KCAR 210446
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1246 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD DOWN ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
COMING WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
1245 AM UPDATE...NO SIGNFICANT CHANGES WERE NEEDED WITH THIS
UPDATE AS THE FORECAST IS PRETTY MUCH ON TRACK.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
TONIGHT WILL BE MOSTLY CLEAR WITH LIGHT WINDS AS HIGH PRESSURE TO
OUR NORTH VERY SLOWLY BEGINS TO DROP SOUTH INTO OUR AREA. MOST
PLACES WILL REMAIN CLEAR BUT WINDS MAY BE LIGHT ENOUGH FOR SOME
PATCHY FOG TOWARD DAWN ALONG SOME OF THE RIVER VALLEYS. SKIES WILL
BEGIN MOSTLY CLEAR ON THURSDAY. A WEAK UPPER LOW WEST OF NEW
ENGLAND WILL DRAW JUST A BIT OF MOISTURE INTO THE REGION, MAINLY
ACROSS THE WEST. SOME CUMULUS WILL DEVELOP AND WEAKLY UPSLOPING
WINDS FROM HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING DOWN FROM THE NORTH MAY BE JUST
STRONG ENOUGH TO ALLOW SOME OF THE CUMULUS TO FORM ISOLATED
SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS, ESPECIALLY IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS IN
PISCATAQUIS COUNTY. SOUNDINGS ARE SHOWING SOME WEAK CAPE ALTHOUGH
A BIT OF CAPPING AROUND 12K FT MAY LIMIT CONVECTION IN MOST AREA.
OTHERWISE, THURSDAY WILL TURN OUT PARTLY CLOUDY AND WARM ACROSS
THE REGION.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
ANY SHOWERS WILL QUICKLY DIMINISH THURSDAY EVENING HOWEVER EXPECT
CONSIDERABLE CLOUD COVER TO PERSIST WHICH WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES
FROM DROPPING BELOW THE 50S.

FOR FRIDAY, A WEAK DISTURBANCE ALOFT COMBINED WITH JUST ENOUGH
MOISTURE AND DAYTIME HEATING WILL BRING THE CHANCE FOR SOME
ISOLATED AFTERNOON SHOWERS UNDER VARIABLE CLOUD COVER. HIGHS WILL
BE IN THE MID 70S.

HIGH PRESSURE NOSING IN FROM THE NORTHEAST WILL BRING DRIER AND
SLIGHTLY COOLER CONDITIONS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY WITH
SATURDAY LOOKING TO FEATURE PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES, LIGHT
WINDS, AND HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 70S.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BOTH AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL BUILD
IN FOR THE LONG RANGE RESULTING IN FAIR AND DRY WEATHER UNDER
PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WITH A WARMING TREND. HOW QUICKLY
TEMPERATURES WARM HEADING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL DEPEND ON
QUICKLY THE RIDGE MOVES OFF THE COAST AND THE RESULTING SW FLOW
KICKS IN. AT THIS POINT THE NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN DOESN`T LOOK TO
ARRIVE UNTIL MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY WITH THE
SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SOME PATCHY FOG VERY LATE TONIGHT OR AROUND DAWN
THURSDAY MORNING.


SHORT TERM: EXPECT VFR TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: THE WIND WILL BE LIGHT AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SCA LEVELS
AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS DOWN FROM THE NORTH.

SHORT TERM:
CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY TRANQUIL ON THE SEAS WITH NO HEADLINES
EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...BLOOMER/HASTINGS
SHORT TERM...FITZSIMMONS
LONG TERM...FITZSIMMONS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/HASTINGS/FITZSIMMONS
MARINE...BLOOMER/HASTINGS/FITZSIMMONS







000
FXUS61 KCAR 210446
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1246 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD DOWN ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
COMING WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
1245 AM UPDATE...NO SIGNFICANT CHANGES WERE NEEDED WITH THIS
UPDATE AS THE FORECAST IS PRETTY MUCH ON TRACK.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
TONIGHT WILL BE MOSTLY CLEAR WITH LIGHT WINDS AS HIGH PRESSURE TO
OUR NORTH VERY SLOWLY BEGINS TO DROP SOUTH INTO OUR AREA. MOST
PLACES WILL REMAIN CLEAR BUT WINDS MAY BE LIGHT ENOUGH FOR SOME
PATCHY FOG TOWARD DAWN ALONG SOME OF THE RIVER VALLEYS. SKIES WILL
BEGIN MOSTLY CLEAR ON THURSDAY. A WEAK UPPER LOW WEST OF NEW
ENGLAND WILL DRAW JUST A BIT OF MOISTURE INTO THE REGION, MAINLY
ACROSS THE WEST. SOME CUMULUS WILL DEVELOP AND WEAKLY UPSLOPING
WINDS FROM HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING DOWN FROM THE NORTH MAY BE JUST
STRONG ENOUGH TO ALLOW SOME OF THE CUMULUS TO FORM ISOLATED
SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS, ESPECIALLY IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS IN
PISCATAQUIS COUNTY. SOUNDINGS ARE SHOWING SOME WEAK CAPE ALTHOUGH
A BIT OF CAPPING AROUND 12K FT MAY LIMIT CONVECTION IN MOST AREA.
OTHERWISE, THURSDAY WILL TURN OUT PARTLY CLOUDY AND WARM ACROSS
THE REGION.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
ANY SHOWERS WILL QUICKLY DIMINISH THURSDAY EVENING HOWEVER EXPECT
CONSIDERABLE CLOUD COVER TO PERSIST WHICH WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES
FROM DROPPING BELOW THE 50S.

FOR FRIDAY, A WEAK DISTURBANCE ALOFT COMBINED WITH JUST ENOUGH
MOISTURE AND DAYTIME HEATING WILL BRING THE CHANCE FOR SOME
ISOLATED AFTERNOON SHOWERS UNDER VARIABLE CLOUD COVER. HIGHS WILL
BE IN THE MID 70S.

HIGH PRESSURE NOSING IN FROM THE NORTHEAST WILL BRING DRIER AND
SLIGHTLY COOLER CONDITIONS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY WITH
SATURDAY LOOKING TO FEATURE PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES, LIGHT
WINDS, AND HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 70S.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BOTH AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL BUILD
IN FOR THE LONG RANGE RESULTING IN FAIR AND DRY WEATHER UNDER
PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WITH A WARMING TREND. HOW QUICKLY
TEMPERATURES WARM HEADING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL DEPEND ON
QUICKLY THE RIDGE MOVES OFF THE COAST AND THE RESULTING SW FLOW
KICKS IN. AT THIS POINT THE NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN DOESN`T LOOK TO
ARRIVE UNTIL MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY WITH THE
SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SOME PATCHY FOG VERY LATE TONIGHT OR AROUND DAWN
THURSDAY MORNING.


SHORT TERM: EXPECT VFR TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: THE WIND WILL BE LIGHT AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SCA LEVELS
AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS DOWN FROM THE NORTH.

SHORT TERM:
CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY TRANQUIL ON THE SEAS WITH NO HEADLINES
EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...BLOOMER/HASTINGS
SHORT TERM...FITZSIMMONS
LONG TERM...FITZSIMMONS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/HASTINGS/FITZSIMMONS
MARINE...BLOOMER/HASTINGS/FITZSIMMONS








000
FXUS61 KCAR 210130
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
930 PM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD DOWN ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
COMING WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
930 PM UPDATE...THE REGION REMAINS BETWEEN AN UPPER LOW OVER
NEWFOUNDLAND AND A SECOND LOW OVER THE GREAT LAKES. WEAK RIDGING
BETWEEN THE TWO LOWS WILL MAKE FOR TRANQUIL WEATHER OVERNIGHT.
THERE WILL BE JUST A BIT OF THIN CIRRUS AT TIMES FROM CONVECTION
THAT IS JUST WEST OF NEW ENGLAND ACROSS UPSTATE NY. THERE COULD BE A
LITTLE PATCHY FOG IN A FEW OF THE RIVER VALLEYS TOWARD MORNING
WITH A MAINLY CLEAR SKY AND LIGHT WIND. LOWS TONIGHT WILL MOSTLY
BE IN THE 50S...BUT A FEW OF THE DEEPER VALLEYS IN THE NW MAY DROP
INTO THE 40S. ONLY MINOR TWEAKS TO THE ONGOING FORECAST BASED ON
THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND SATELLITE PICTURES.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
TONIGHT WILL BE MOSTLY CLEAR WITH LIGHT WINDS AS HIGH PRESSURE TO
OUR NORTH VERY SLOWLY BEGINS TO DROP SOUTH INTO OUR AREA. MOST
PLACES WILL REMAIN CLEAR BUT WINDS MAY BE LIGHT ENOUGH FOR SOME
PATCHY FOG TOWARD DAWN ALONG SOME OF THE RIVER VALLEYS. SKIES WILL
BEGIN MOSTLY CLEAR ON THURSDAY. A WEAK UPPER LOW WEST OF NEW
ENGLAND WILL DRAW JUST A BIT OF MOISTURE INTO THE REGION, MAINLY
ACROSS THE WEST. SOME CUMULUS WILL DEVELOP AND WEAKLY UPSLOPING
WINDS FROM HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING DOWN FROM THE NORTH MAY BE JUST
STRONG ENOUGH TO ALLOW SOME OF THE CUMULUS TO FORM ISOLATED
SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS, ESPECIALLY IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS IN
PISCATAQUIS COUNTY. SOUNDINGS ARE SHOWING SOME WEAK CAPE ALTHOUGH
A BIT OF CAPPING AROUND 12K FT MAY LIMIT CONVECTION IN MOST AREA.
OTHERWISE, THURSDAY WILL TURN OUT PARTLY CLOUDY AND WARM ACROSS
THE REGION.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
ANY SHOWERS WILL QUICKLY DIMINISH THURSDAY EVENING HOWEVER EXPECT
CONSIDERABLE CLOUD COVER TO PERSIST WHICH WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES
FROM DROPPING BELOW THE 50S.

FOR FRIDAY, A WEAK DISTURBANCE ALOFT COMBINED WITH JUST ENOUGH
MOISTURE AND DAYTIME HEATING WILL BRING THE CHANCE FOR SOME
ISOLATED AFTERNOON SHOWERS UNDER VARIABLE CLOUD COVER. HIGHS WILL
BE IN THE MID 70S.

HIGH PRESSURE NOSING IN FROM THE NORTHEAST WILL BRING DRIER AND
SLIGHTLY COOLER CONDITIONS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY WITH
SATURDAY LOOKING TO FEATURE PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES, LIGHT
WINDS, AND HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 70S.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BOTH AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL BUILD
IN FOR THE LONG RANGE RESULTING IN FAIR AND DRY WEATHER UNDER
PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WITH A WARMING TREND. HOW QUICKLY
TEMPERATURES WARM HEADING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL DEPEND ON
QUICKLY THE RIDGE MOVES OFF THE COAST AND THE RESULTING SW FLOW
KICKS IN. AT THIS POINT THE NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN DOESN`T LOOK TO
ARRIVE UNTIL MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /01Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY WITH THE
SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SOME PATCHY FOG VERY LATE TONIGHT OR AROUND DAWN
THURSDAY MORNING.


SHORT TERM: EXPECT VFR TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: THE WIND WILL BE LIGHT AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SCA LEVELS
AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS DOWN FROM THE NORTH.

SHORT TERM:
CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY TRANQUIL ON THE SEAS WITH NO HEADLINES
EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...BLOOMER/CB
SHORT TERM...FITZSIMMONS
LONG TERM...FITZSIMMONS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/CB/FITZSIMMONS
MARINE...BLOOMER/CB/FITZSIMMONS






000
FXUS61 KCAR 210130
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
930 PM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD DOWN ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
COMING WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
930 PM UPDATE...THE REGION REMAINS BETWEEN AN UPPER LOW OVER
NEWFOUNDLAND AND A SECOND LOW OVER THE GREAT LAKES. WEAK RIDGING
BETWEEN THE TWO LOWS WILL MAKE FOR TRANQUIL WEATHER OVERNIGHT.
THERE WILL BE JUST A BIT OF THIN CIRRUS AT TIMES FROM CONVECTION
THAT IS JUST WEST OF NEW ENGLAND ACROSS UPSTATE NY. THERE COULD BE A
LITTLE PATCHY FOG IN A FEW OF THE RIVER VALLEYS TOWARD MORNING
WITH A MAINLY CLEAR SKY AND LIGHT WIND. LOWS TONIGHT WILL MOSTLY
BE IN THE 50S...BUT A FEW OF THE DEEPER VALLEYS IN THE NW MAY DROP
INTO THE 40S. ONLY MINOR TWEAKS TO THE ONGOING FORECAST BASED ON
THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND SATELLITE PICTURES.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
TONIGHT WILL BE MOSTLY CLEAR WITH LIGHT WINDS AS HIGH PRESSURE TO
OUR NORTH VERY SLOWLY BEGINS TO DROP SOUTH INTO OUR AREA. MOST
PLACES WILL REMAIN CLEAR BUT WINDS MAY BE LIGHT ENOUGH FOR SOME
PATCHY FOG TOWARD DAWN ALONG SOME OF THE RIVER VALLEYS. SKIES WILL
BEGIN MOSTLY CLEAR ON THURSDAY. A WEAK UPPER LOW WEST OF NEW
ENGLAND WILL DRAW JUST A BIT OF MOISTURE INTO THE REGION, MAINLY
ACROSS THE WEST. SOME CUMULUS WILL DEVELOP AND WEAKLY UPSLOPING
WINDS FROM HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING DOWN FROM THE NORTH MAY BE JUST
STRONG ENOUGH TO ALLOW SOME OF THE CUMULUS TO FORM ISOLATED
SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS, ESPECIALLY IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS IN
PISCATAQUIS COUNTY. SOUNDINGS ARE SHOWING SOME WEAK CAPE ALTHOUGH
A BIT OF CAPPING AROUND 12K FT MAY LIMIT CONVECTION IN MOST AREA.
OTHERWISE, THURSDAY WILL TURN OUT PARTLY CLOUDY AND WARM ACROSS
THE REGION.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
ANY SHOWERS WILL QUICKLY DIMINISH THURSDAY EVENING HOWEVER EXPECT
CONSIDERABLE CLOUD COVER TO PERSIST WHICH WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES
FROM DROPPING BELOW THE 50S.

FOR FRIDAY, A WEAK DISTURBANCE ALOFT COMBINED WITH JUST ENOUGH
MOISTURE AND DAYTIME HEATING WILL BRING THE CHANCE FOR SOME
ISOLATED AFTERNOON SHOWERS UNDER VARIABLE CLOUD COVER. HIGHS WILL
BE IN THE MID 70S.

HIGH PRESSURE NOSING IN FROM THE NORTHEAST WILL BRING DRIER AND
SLIGHTLY COOLER CONDITIONS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY WITH
SATURDAY LOOKING TO FEATURE PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES, LIGHT
WINDS, AND HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 70S.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BOTH AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL BUILD
IN FOR THE LONG RANGE RESULTING IN FAIR AND DRY WEATHER UNDER
PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WITH A WARMING TREND. HOW QUICKLY
TEMPERATURES WARM HEADING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL DEPEND ON
QUICKLY THE RIDGE MOVES OFF THE COAST AND THE RESULTING SW FLOW
KICKS IN. AT THIS POINT THE NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN DOESN`T LOOK TO
ARRIVE UNTIL MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /01Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY WITH THE
SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SOME PATCHY FOG VERY LATE TONIGHT OR AROUND DAWN
THURSDAY MORNING.


SHORT TERM: EXPECT VFR TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: THE WIND WILL BE LIGHT AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SCA LEVELS
AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS DOWN FROM THE NORTH.

SHORT TERM:
CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY TRANQUIL ON THE SEAS WITH NO HEADLINES
EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...BLOOMER/CB
SHORT TERM...FITZSIMMONS
LONG TERM...FITZSIMMONS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/CB/FITZSIMMONS
MARINE...BLOOMER/CB/FITZSIMMONS






000
FXUS61 KCAR 210130
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
930 PM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD DOWN ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
COMING WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
930 PM UPDATE...THE REGION REMAINS BETWEEN AN UPPER LOW OVER
NEWFOUNDLAND AND A SECOND LOW OVER THE GREAT LAKES. WEAK RIDGING
BETWEEN THE TWO LOWS WILL MAKE FOR TRANQUIL WEATHER OVERNIGHT.
THERE WILL BE JUST A BIT OF THIN CIRRUS AT TIMES FROM CONVECTION
THAT IS JUST WEST OF NEW ENGLAND ACROSS UPSTATE NY. THERE COULD BE A
LITTLE PATCHY FOG IN A FEW OF THE RIVER VALLEYS TOWARD MORNING
WITH A MAINLY CLEAR SKY AND LIGHT WIND. LOWS TONIGHT WILL MOSTLY
BE IN THE 50S...BUT A FEW OF THE DEEPER VALLEYS IN THE NW MAY DROP
INTO THE 40S. ONLY MINOR TWEAKS TO THE ONGOING FORECAST BASED ON
THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND SATELLITE PICTURES.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
TONIGHT WILL BE MOSTLY CLEAR WITH LIGHT WINDS AS HIGH PRESSURE TO
OUR NORTH VERY SLOWLY BEGINS TO DROP SOUTH INTO OUR AREA. MOST
PLACES WILL REMAIN CLEAR BUT WINDS MAY BE LIGHT ENOUGH FOR SOME
PATCHY FOG TOWARD DAWN ALONG SOME OF THE RIVER VALLEYS. SKIES WILL
BEGIN MOSTLY CLEAR ON THURSDAY. A WEAK UPPER LOW WEST OF NEW
ENGLAND WILL DRAW JUST A BIT OF MOISTURE INTO THE REGION, MAINLY
ACROSS THE WEST. SOME CUMULUS WILL DEVELOP AND WEAKLY UPSLOPING
WINDS FROM HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING DOWN FROM THE NORTH MAY BE JUST
STRONG ENOUGH TO ALLOW SOME OF THE CUMULUS TO FORM ISOLATED
SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS, ESPECIALLY IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS IN
PISCATAQUIS COUNTY. SOUNDINGS ARE SHOWING SOME WEAK CAPE ALTHOUGH
A BIT OF CAPPING AROUND 12K FT MAY LIMIT CONVECTION IN MOST AREA.
OTHERWISE, THURSDAY WILL TURN OUT PARTLY CLOUDY AND WARM ACROSS
THE REGION.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
ANY SHOWERS WILL QUICKLY DIMINISH THURSDAY EVENING HOWEVER EXPECT
CONSIDERABLE CLOUD COVER TO PERSIST WHICH WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES
FROM DROPPING BELOW THE 50S.

FOR FRIDAY, A WEAK DISTURBANCE ALOFT COMBINED WITH JUST ENOUGH
MOISTURE AND DAYTIME HEATING WILL BRING THE CHANCE FOR SOME
ISOLATED AFTERNOON SHOWERS UNDER VARIABLE CLOUD COVER. HIGHS WILL
BE IN THE MID 70S.

HIGH PRESSURE NOSING IN FROM THE NORTHEAST WILL BRING DRIER AND
SLIGHTLY COOLER CONDITIONS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY WITH
SATURDAY LOOKING TO FEATURE PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES, LIGHT
WINDS, AND HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 70S.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BOTH AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL BUILD
IN FOR THE LONG RANGE RESULTING IN FAIR AND DRY WEATHER UNDER
PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WITH A WARMING TREND. HOW QUICKLY
TEMPERATURES WARM HEADING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL DEPEND ON
QUICKLY THE RIDGE MOVES OFF THE COAST AND THE RESULTING SW FLOW
KICKS IN. AT THIS POINT THE NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN DOESN`T LOOK TO
ARRIVE UNTIL MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /01Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY WITH THE
SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SOME PATCHY FOG VERY LATE TONIGHT OR AROUND DAWN
THURSDAY MORNING.


SHORT TERM: EXPECT VFR TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: THE WIND WILL BE LIGHT AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SCA LEVELS
AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS DOWN FROM THE NORTH.

SHORT TERM:
CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY TRANQUIL ON THE SEAS WITH NO HEADLINES
EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...BLOOMER/CB
SHORT TERM...FITZSIMMONS
LONG TERM...FITZSIMMONS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/CB/FITZSIMMONS
MARINE...BLOOMER/CB/FITZSIMMONS






000
FXUS61 KCAR 210130
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
930 PM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD DOWN ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
COMING WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
930 PM UPDATE...THE REGION REMAINS BETWEEN AN UPPER LOW OVER
NEWFOUNDLAND AND A SECOND LOW OVER THE GREAT LAKES. WEAK RIDGING
BETWEEN THE TWO LOWS WILL MAKE FOR TRANQUIL WEATHER OVERNIGHT.
THERE WILL BE JUST A BIT OF THIN CIRRUS AT TIMES FROM CONVECTION
THAT IS JUST WEST OF NEW ENGLAND ACROSS UPSTATE NY. THERE COULD BE A
LITTLE PATCHY FOG IN A FEW OF THE RIVER VALLEYS TOWARD MORNING
WITH A MAINLY CLEAR SKY AND LIGHT WIND. LOWS TONIGHT WILL MOSTLY
BE IN THE 50S...BUT A FEW OF THE DEEPER VALLEYS IN THE NW MAY DROP
INTO THE 40S. ONLY MINOR TWEAKS TO THE ONGOING FORECAST BASED ON
THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND SATELLITE PICTURES.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
TONIGHT WILL BE MOSTLY CLEAR WITH LIGHT WINDS AS HIGH PRESSURE TO
OUR NORTH VERY SLOWLY BEGINS TO DROP SOUTH INTO OUR AREA. MOST
PLACES WILL REMAIN CLEAR BUT WINDS MAY BE LIGHT ENOUGH FOR SOME
PATCHY FOG TOWARD DAWN ALONG SOME OF THE RIVER VALLEYS. SKIES WILL
BEGIN MOSTLY CLEAR ON THURSDAY. A WEAK UPPER LOW WEST OF NEW
ENGLAND WILL DRAW JUST A BIT OF MOISTURE INTO THE REGION, MAINLY
ACROSS THE WEST. SOME CUMULUS WILL DEVELOP AND WEAKLY UPSLOPING
WINDS FROM HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING DOWN FROM THE NORTH MAY BE JUST
STRONG ENOUGH TO ALLOW SOME OF THE CUMULUS TO FORM ISOLATED
SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS, ESPECIALLY IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS IN
PISCATAQUIS COUNTY. SOUNDINGS ARE SHOWING SOME WEAK CAPE ALTHOUGH
A BIT OF CAPPING AROUND 12K FT MAY LIMIT CONVECTION IN MOST AREA.
OTHERWISE, THURSDAY WILL TURN OUT PARTLY CLOUDY AND WARM ACROSS
THE REGION.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
ANY SHOWERS WILL QUICKLY DIMINISH THURSDAY EVENING HOWEVER EXPECT
CONSIDERABLE CLOUD COVER TO PERSIST WHICH WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES
FROM DROPPING BELOW THE 50S.

FOR FRIDAY, A WEAK DISTURBANCE ALOFT COMBINED WITH JUST ENOUGH
MOISTURE AND DAYTIME HEATING WILL BRING THE CHANCE FOR SOME
ISOLATED AFTERNOON SHOWERS UNDER VARIABLE CLOUD COVER. HIGHS WILL
BE IN THE MID 70S.

HIGH PRESSURE NOSING IN FROM THE NORTHEAST WILL BRING DRIER AND
SLIGHTLY COOLER CONDITIONS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY WITH
SATURDAY LOOKING TO FEATURE PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES, LIGHT
WINDS, AND HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 70S.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BOTH AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL BUILD
IN FOR THE LONG RANGE RESULTING IN FAIR AND DRY WEATHER UNDER
PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WITH A WARMING TREND. HOW QUICKLY
TEMPERATURES WARM HEADING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL DEPEND ON
QUICKLY THE RIDGE MOVES OFF THE COAST AND THE RESULTING SW FLOW
KICKS IN. AT THIS POINT THE NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN DOESN`T LOOK TO
ARRIVE UNTIL MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /01Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY WITH THE
SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SOME PATCHY FOG VERY LATE TONIGHT OR AROUND DAWN
THURSDAY MORNING.


SHORT TERM: EXPECT VFR TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: THE WIND WILL BE LIGHT AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SCA LEVELS
AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS DOWN FROM THE NORTH.

SHORT TERM:
CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY TRANQUIL ON THE SEAS WITH NO HEADLINES
EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...BLOOMER/CB
SHORT TERM...FITZSIMMONS
LONG TERM...FITZSIMMONS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/CB/FITZSIMMONS
MARINE...BLOOMER/CB/FITZSIMMONS






000
FXUS61 KGYX 202330
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
730 PM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
TWO WEAK COLD FRONTS WILL AFFECT THE REGION THROUGH THE END OF THE
WEEK. ONE MOVES IN FROM THE WEST AND ONE FROM THE NORTHEAST. BOTH
WILL PRODUCE LITTLE MORE THEN AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR
THUNDERSTORM...AND AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS. HOWEVER...AN ONSHORE
FLOW WILL RETURN THE REGION TO COOLER WEATHER THROUGH THE END OF
THE WEEK. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL ANCHOR OVER MAINE AND NEW
HAMPSHIRE OVER THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK...WITH A GRADUAL
WARMING TREND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... 730 PM UPDATE...HAVE UPDATED THE
FORECAST BASED ON LATEST TRENDS IN OBSERVATIONAL DATA. ONE MAIN
CHANGE LATER TONIGHT AND TOMORROW MORNING WAS TO INCREASE POPS FOR
SHOWERS AND SWRN NH AS MODELS STARTING TO COME AROUND TO A WETTER
/ALBEIT MINOR/ SCENARIO.

PREVIOUSLY... THIS EVENING WILL STAY MOSTLY CLEAR...WITH LIGHT TO
CALM WINDS. TDS ARE A LITTLE HIGHER THAN LAST NIGHT...AND THIS WILL
KEEP MINS A FEW DEGREES HIGHER THAN PREVIOUS NIGHTS...AND CLOSER TO
NORMAL...GENERALLY IN THE 50S. WILL SEE PATCHY VALLEY FOG ONCE A
GAIN...BUT TI LOOKS TO BE MORE PREVALENT...DEVELOPING IN SOME OF THE
VALLEYS AT THE EDGE OF THE COASTAL PLAIN.


&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
500MB CLOSED LOW THE WEST BEGINS TO FILL ON THU...AS ANOTHER WEAK
LOW CLOSES OFF THE GULF OF ME. THIS WILL ACT TO WEAKEN AND STALL
THE SFC FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE WEST...BUT WILL ALSO PU;;
COOLER AIR FROM THE NE...WHICH WILL SET UP ANOTHER WEAK SFC
BOUNDARY...ENHANCED BY THE ONSHORE DENSITY FLOW. LOOK FOR CLOUDS
TO INCREASE OVER NERN ZONES AND IN THE CT VLY REGION DURING THE
DAY...PERHAPS BORDERING AT M/CDY IN BOTH PLACES DURING THE
AFTERNOON...WITH THE THREAT OF SHRA AND MAYBE A TSRA...ESPECIALLY
IN THE ME MTNS/FOOTHILLS. COASTAL AREAS SHOULD REMAIN PART-MOSTLY
SUNNY THRU THE DAY. HIGHS WILL BE LIMITED TO 70 TO 75.

THU NIGHT WILL SEE SOME CLEARING AS ANY CLOUDS AND SHRA WILL BE AT
LEAST PARTIALLY DRIVEN BY DIURNAL HEATING. SOME MOISTURE POOLING
BETWEEN THE TWO FRONTS WILL KEEP MINS FROM DROPPING TOO MUCH BLO
THE MID TO UPPER 50S.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL REMAIN SOUTHWEST OF AREA THROUGH EARLY
NEXT WEEK AS A SERIES OF WAVES MOVE ALONG THE FRONT. THIS WILL
BRING MORE CLOUDS INTO THE REGION FOR THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY.
A STRENGTHENING SURFACE RIDGE OVER MAINE WILL GRADUALLY PUSH
FRONTAL BOUNDARY SOUTHWEST LEADING TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES OVER THE
WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH PLEASANT TEMPERATURES. A COLD
FRONT WILL APPROACH THE REGION MID WEEK NEXT WEEK. NEW HAMPSHIRE
AND THE WESTERN MOUNTAINS OF MAINE COULD SEE A SHOWER LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT OR FRIDAY....OTHERWISE DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED
ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. DERIVED OUTLOOK PERIOD
FROM THE SUPERBLEND MODEL.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...MAINLY VFR THROUGH THU NIGHT...EXCEPT FOR VLY FOG AT
KHIE/KLEB...AND PERHAPS A BRIEF PERIOD AROUND SUNRISE AT
KCON/KAUG.

LONG TERM...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED EXCEPT FOR MORNING FOG IN
FAVORED AREAS.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...WINDS AND SEAS TO REMAIN WELL BELOW SMALL CRAFT
LEVELS.

LONG TERM...WINDS AND SEAS EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT
CRITERIA.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM UPDATE...MLE
NEAR TERM...CEMPA
SHORT TERM...CEMPA
LONG TERM...MARINE
AVIATION...CEMPA
MARINE...CEMPA



000
FXUS61 KCAR 202226
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
626 PM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD DOWN ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
COMING WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
625 PM UPDATE...A QUIET EVENING WEATHER-WISE AS THE REGION IS
BETWIXT UPPER LOWS ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES AND MARITIMES. THE
DIURNAL CU IS SHOWING SIGNS OF DISSIPATING IN MANY AREAS AND WILL
DISSIPATE IN ALL AREAS THIS EVENING WITH THE RAPID LOSS OF
DAYTIME HEATING. JUST SOME HIGH/THIN CIRRUS AT TIMES TONIGHT
ASSOCIATED WITH CONVECTION TO THE WEST OF NEW ENGLAND. LOADED THE
PAST FEW HOURS OF OBSERVED DATA AND INTERPOLATED THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE EVENING. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES ARE PLANNED WITH
THIS UPDATE.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
TONIGHT WILL BE MOSTLY CLEAR WITH LIGHT WINDS AS HIGH PRESSURE TO
OUR NORTH VERY SLOWLY BEGINS TO DROP SOUTH INTO OUR AREA. MOST
PLACES WILL REMAIN CLEAR BUT WINDS MAY BE LIGHT ENOUGH FOR SOME
PATCHY FOG TOWARD DAWN ALONG SOME OF THE RIVER VALLEYS. SKIES WILL
BEGIN MOSTLY CLEAR ON THURSDAY. A WEAK UPPER LOW WEST OF NEW
ENGLAND WILL DRAW JUST A BIT OF MOISTURE INTO THE REGION, MAINLY
ACROSS THE WEST. SOME CUMULUS WILL DEVELOP AND WEAKLY UPSLOPING
WINDS FROM HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING DOWN FROM THE NORTH MAY BE JUST
STRONG ENOUGH TO ALLOW SOME OF THE CUMULUS TO FORM ISOLATED
SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS, ESPECIALLY IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS IN
PISCATAQUIS COUNTY. SOUNDINGS ARE SHOWING SOME WEAK CAPE ALTHOUGH
A BIT OF CAPPING AROUND 12K FT MAY LIMIT CONVECTION IN MOST AREA.
OTHERWISE, THURSDAY WILL TURN OUT PARTLY CLOUDY AND WARM ACROSS
THE REGION.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
ANY SHOWERS WILL QUICKLY DIMINISH THURSDAY EVENING HOWEVER EXPECT
CONSIDERABLE CLOUD COVER TO PERSIST WHICH WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES
FROM DROPPING BELOW THE 50S.

FOR FRIDAY, A WEAK DISTURBANCE ALOFT COMBINED WITH JUST ENOUGH
MOISTURE AND DAYTIME HEATING WILL BRING THE CHANCE FOR SOME
ISOLATED AFTERNOON SHOWERS UNDER VARIABLE CLOUD COVER. HIGHS WILL
BE IN THE MID 70S.

HIGH PRESSURE NOSING IN FROM THE NORTHEAST WILL BRING DRIER AND
SLIGHTLY COOLER CONDITIONS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY WITH
SATURDAY LOOKING TO FEATURE PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES, LIGHT
WINDS, AND HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 70S.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BOTH AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL BUILD
IN FOR THE LONG RANGE RESULTING IN FAIR AND DRY WEATHER UNDER
PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WITH A WARMING TREND. HOW QUICKLY
TEMPERATURES WARM HEADING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL DEPEND ON
QUICKLY THE RIDGE MOVES OFF THE COAST AND THE RESULTING SW FLOW
KICKS IN. AT THIS POINT THE NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN DOESN`T LOOK TO
ARRIVE UNTIL MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /22Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY WITH THE
ISOLATED POSSIBILITY FOR SOME PATCHY FOG VERY LATE TONIGHT OR
AROUND DAWN THURSDAY MORNING.


SHORT TERM: EXPECT VFR TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SCA AS
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS DOWN FROM THE NORTH.

SHORT TERM:
CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY TRANQUIL ON THE SEAS WITH NO HEADLINES
EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...BLOOMER/CB
SHORT TERM...FITZSIMMONS
LONG TERM...FITZSIMMONS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/CB/FITZSIMMONS
MARINE...BLOOMER/CB/FITZSIMMONS






000
FXUS61 KCAR 202226
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
626 PM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD DOWN ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
COMING WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
625 PM UPDATE...A QUIET EVENING WEATHER-WISE AS THE REGION IS
BETWIXT UPPER LOWS ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES AND MARITIMES. THE
DIURNAL CU IS SHOWING SIGNS OF DISSIPATING IN MANY AREAS AND WILL
DISSIPATE IN ALL AREAS THIS EVENING WITH THE RAPID LOSS OF
DAYTIME HEATING. JUST SOME HIGH/THIN CIRRUS AT TIMES TONIGHT
ASSOCIATED WITH CONVECTION TO THE WEST OF NEW ENGLAND. LOADED THE
PAST FEW HOURS OF OBSERVED DATA AND INTERPOLATED THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE EVENING. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES ARE PLANNED WITH
THIS UPDATE.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
TONIGHT WILL BE MOSTLY CLEAR WITH LIGHT WINDS AS HIGH PRESSURE TO
OUR NORTH VERY SLOWLY BEGINS TO DROP SOUTH INTO OUR AREA. MOST
PLACES WILL REMAIN CLEAR BUT WINDS MAY BE LIGHT ENOUGH FOR SOME
PATCHY FOG TOWARD DAWN ALONG SOME OF THE RIVER VALLEYS. SKIES WILL
BEGIN MOSTLY CLEAR ON THURSDAY. A WEAK UPPER LOW WEST OF NEW
ENGLAND WILL DRAW JUST A BIT OF MOISTURE INTO THE REGION, MAINLY
ACROSS THE WEST. SOME CUMULUS WILL DEVELOP AND WEAKLY UPSLOPING
WINDS FROM HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING DOWN FROM THE NORTH MAY BE JUST
STRONG ENOUGH TO ALLOW SOME OF THE CUMULUS TO FORM ISOLATED
SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS, ESPECIALLY IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS IN
PISCATAQUIS COUNTY. SOUNDINGS ARE SHOWING SOME WEAK CAPE ALTHOUGH
A BIT OF CAPPING AROUND 12K FT MAY LIMIT CONVECTION IN MOST AREA.
OTHERWISE, THURSDAY WILL TURN OUT PARTLY CLOUDY AND WARM ACROSS
THE REGION.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
ANY SHOWERS WILL QUICKLY DIMINISH THURSDAY EVENING HOWEVER EXPECT
CONSIDERABLE CLOUD COVER TO PERSIST WHICH WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES
FROM DROPPING BELOW THE 50S.

FOR FRIDAY, A WEAK DISTURBANCE ALOFT COMBINED WITH JUST ENOUGH
MOISTURE AND DAYTIME HEATING WILL BRING THE CHANCE FOR SOME
ISOLATED AFTERNOON SHOWERS UNDER VARIABLE CLOUD COVER. HIGHS WILL
BE IN THE MID 70S.

HIGH PRESSURE NOSING IN FROM THE NORTHEAST WILL BRING DRIER AND
SLIGHTLY COOLER CONDITIONS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY WITH
SATURDAY LOOKING TO FEATURE PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES, LIGHT
WINDS, AND HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 70S.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BOTH AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL BUILD
IN FOR THE LONG RANGE RESULTING IN FAIR AND DRY WEATHER UNDER
PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WITH A WARMING TREND. HOW QUICKLY
TEMPERATURES WARM HEADING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL DEPEND ON
QUICKLY THE RIDGE MOVES OFF THE COAST AND THE RESULTING SW FLOW
KICKS IN. AT THIS POINT THE NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN DOESN`T LOOK TO
ARRIVE UNTIL MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /22Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY WITH THE
ISOLATED POSSIBILITY FOR SOME PATCHY FOG VERY LATE TONIGHT OR
AROUND DAWN THURSDAY MORNING.


SHORT TERM: EXPECT VFR TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SCA AS
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS DOWN FROM THE NORTH.

SHORT TERM:
CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY TRANQUIL ON THE SEAS WITH NO HEADLINES
EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...BLOOMER/CB
SHORT TERM...FITZSIMMONS
LONG TERM...FITZSIMMONS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/CB/FITZSIMMONS
MARINE...BLOOMER/CB/FITZSIMMONS







000
FXUS61 KCAR 201934
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
334 PM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD DOWN ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
COMING WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
TONIGHT WILL BE MOSTLY CLEAR WITH LIGHT WINDS AS HIGH PRESSURE TO
OUR NORTH VERY SLOWLY BEGINS TO DROP SOUTH INTO OUR AREA. MOST
PLACES WILL REMAIN CLEAR BUT WINDS MAY BE LIGHT ENOUGH FOR SOME
PATCHY FOG TOWARD DAWN ALONG SOME OF THE RIVER VALLEYS. SKIES WILL
BEGIN MOSTLY CLEAR ON THURSDAY. A WEAK UPPER LOW WEST OF NEW
ENGLAND WILL DRAW JUST A BIT OF MOISTURE INTO THE REGION, MAINLY
ACROSS THE WEST. SOME CUMULUS WILL DEVELOP AND WEAKLY UPSLOPING
WINDS FROM HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING DOWN FROM THE NORTH MAY BE JUST
STRONG ENOUGH TO ALLOW SOME OF THE CUMULUS TO FORM ISOLATED
SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS, ESPECIALLY IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS IN
PISCATAQUIS COUNTY. SOUNDINGS ARE SHOWING SOME WEAK CAPE ALTHOUGH
A BIT OF CAPPING AROUND 12K FT MAY LIMIT CONVECTION IN MOST AREA.
OTHERWISE, THURSDAY WILL TURN OUT PARTLY CLOUDY AND WARM ACROSS
THE REGION.
&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
ANY SHOWERS WILL QUICKLY DIMINISH THURSDAY EVENING HOWEVER EXPECT CONSIDERABLE
CLOUD COVER TO PERSIST WHICH WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES FROM DROPPING
BELOW THE 50S.

FOR FRIDAY, A WEAK DISTURBANCE ALOFT COMBINED WITH JUST ENOUGH
MOISTURE AND DAYTIME HEATING WILL BRING THE CHANCE FOR SOME
ISOLATED AFTERNOON SHOWERS UNDER VARIABLE CLOUD COVER. HIGHS WILL
BE IN THE MID 70S.

HIGH PRESSURE NOSING IN FROM THE NORTHEAST WILL BRING DRIER AND
SLIGHTLY COOLER CONDITIONS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY WITH
SATURDAY LOOKING TO FEATURE PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES, LIGHT
WINDS, AND HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 70S.
&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BOTH AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL BUILD
IN FOR THE LONG RANGE RESULTING IN FAIR AND DRY WEATHER UNDER
PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WITH A WARMING TREND. HOW QUICKLY
TEMPERATURES WARM HEADING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL DEPEND ON
QUICKLY THE RIDGE MOVES OFF THE COAST AND THE RESULTING SW FLOW
KICKS IN. AT THIS POINT THE NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN DOESN`T LOOK TO
ARRIVE UNTIL MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK.
&&

.AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY WITH THE
ISOLATED POSSIBILITY FOR SOME PATCHY FOG VERY LATE TONIGHT OR
AROUND DAWN THURSDAY MORNING.


SHORT TERM: EXPECT VFR TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SCA AS
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS DOWN FROM THE NORTH.

SHORT TERM:
CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY TRANQUIL ON THE SEAS WITH NO HEADLINES
EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...BLOOMER
SHORT TERM...FITZSIMMONS
LONG TERM...FITZSIMMONS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/FITZSIMMONS
MARINE...BLOOMER/FITZSIMMONS













000
FXUS61 KCAR 201934
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
334 PM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD DOWN ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
COMING WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
TONIGHT WILL BE MOSTLY CLEAR WITH LIGHT WINDS AS HIGH PRESSURE TO
OUR NORTH VERY SLOWLY BEGINS TO DROP SOUTH INTO OUR AREA. MOST
PLACES WILL REMAIN CLEAR BUT WINDS MAY BE LIGHT ENOUGH FOR SOME
PATCHY FOG TOWARD DAWN ALONG SOME OF THE RIVER VALLEYS. SKIES WILL
BEGIN MOSTLY CLEAR ON THURSDAY. A WEAK UPPER LOW WEST OF NEW
ENGLAND WILL DRAW JUST A BIT OF MOISTURE INTO THE REGION, MAINLY
ACROSS THE WEST. SOME CUMULUS WILL DEVELOP AND WEAKLY UPSLOPING
WINDS FROM HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING DOWN FROM THE NORTH MAY BE JUST
STRONG ENOUGH TO ALLOW SOME OF THE CUMULUS TO FORM ISOLATED
SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS, ESPECIALLY IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS IN
PISCATAQUIS COUNTY. SOUNDINGS ARE SHOWING SOME WEAK CAPE ALTHOUGH
A BIT OF CAPPING AROUND 12K FT MAY LIMIT CONVECTION IN MOST AREA.
OTHERWISE, THURSDAY WILL TURN OUT PARTLY CLOUDY AND WARM ACROSS
THE REGION.
&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
ANY SHOWERS WILL QUICKLY DIMINISH THURSDAY EVENING HOWEVER EXPECT CONSIDERABLE
CLOUD COVER TO PERSIST WHICH WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES FROM DROPPING
BELOW THE 50S.

FOR FRIDAY, A WEAK DISTURBANCE ALOFT COMBINED WITH JUST ENOUGH
MOISTURE AND DAYTIME HEATING WILL BRING THE CHANCE FOR SOME
ISOLATED AFTERNOON SHOWERS UNDER VARIABLE CLOUD COVER. HIGHS WILL
BE IN THE MID 70S.

HIGH PRESSURE NOSING IN FROM THE NORTHEAST WILL BRING DRIER AND
SLIGHTLY COOLER CONDITIONS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY WITH
SATURDAY LOOKING TO FEATURE PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES, LIGHT
WINDS, AND HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 70S.
&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BOTH AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL BUILD
IN FOR THE LONG RANGE RESULTING IN FAIR AND DRY WEATHER UNDER
PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WITH A WARMING TREND. HOW QUICKLY
TEMPERATURES WARM HEADING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL DEPEND ON
QUICKLY THE RIDGE MOVES OFF THE COAST AND THE RESULTING SW FLOW
KICKS IN. AT THIS POINT THE NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN DOESN`T LOOK TO
ARRIVE UNTIL MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK.
&&

.AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY WITH THE
ISOLATED POSSIBILITY FOR SOME PATCHY FOG VERY LATE TONIGHT OR
AROUND DAWN THURSDAY MORNING.


SHORT TERM: EXPECT VFR TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SCA AS
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS DOWN FROM THE NORTH.

SHORT TERM:
CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY TRANQUIL ON THE SEAS WITH NO HEADLINES
EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...BLOOMER
SHORT TERM...FITZSIMMONS
LONG TERM...FITZSIMMONS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/FITZSIMMONS
MARINE...BLOOMER/FITZSIMMONS













000
FXUS61 KCAR 201934
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
334 PM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD DOWN ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
COMING WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
TONIGHT WILL BE MOSTLY CLEAR WITH LIGHT WINDS AS HIGH PRESSURE TO
OUR NORTH VERY SLOWLY BEGINS TO DROP SOUTH INTO OUR AREA. MOST
PLACES WILL REMAIN CLEAR BUT WINDS MAY BE LIGHT ENOUGH FOR SOME
PATCHY FOG TOWARD DAWN ALONG SOME OF THE RIVER VALLEYS. SKIES WILL
BEGIN MOSTLY CLEAR ON THURSDAY. A WEAK UPPER LOW WEST OF NEW
ENGLAND WILL DRAW JUST A BIT OF MOISTURE INTO THE REGION, MAINLY
ACROSS THE WEST. SOME CUMULUS WILL DEVELOP AND WEAKLY UPSLOPING
WINDS FROM HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING DOWN FROM THE NORTH MAY BE JUST
STRONG ENOUGH TO ALLOW SOME OF THE CUMULUS TO FORM ISOLATED
SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS, ESPECIALLY IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS IN
PISCATAQUIS COUNTY. SOUNDINGS ARE SHOWING SOME WEAK CAPE ALTHOUGH
A BIT OF CAPPING AROUND 12K FT MAY LIMIT CONVECTION IN MOST AREA.
OTHERWISE, THURSDAY WILL TURN OUT PARTLY CLOUDY AND WARM ACROSS
THE REGION.
&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
ANY SHOWERS WILL QUICKLY DIMINISH THURSDAY EVENING HOWEVER EXPECT CONSIDERABLE
CLOUD COVER TO PERSIST WHICH WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES FROM DROPPING
BELOW THE 50S.

FOR FRIDAY, A WEAK DISTURBANCE ALOFT COMBINED WITH JUST ENOUGH
MOISTURE AND DAYTIME HEATING WILL BRING THE CHANCE FOR SOME
ISOLATED AFTERNOON SHOWERS UNDER VARIABLE CLOUD COVER. HIGHS WILL
BE IN THE MID 70S.

HIGH PRESSURE NOSING IN FROM THE NORTHEAST WILL BRING DRIER AND
SLIGHTLY COOLER CONDITIONS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY WITH
SATURDAY LOOKING TO FEATURE PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES, LIGHT
WINDS, AND HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 70S.
&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BOTH AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL BUILD
IN FOR THE LONG RANGE RESULTING IN FAIR AND DRY WEATHER UNDER
PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WITH A WARMING TREND. HOW QUICKLY
TEMPERATURES WARM HEADING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL DEPEND ON
QUICKLY THE RIDGE MOVES OFF THE COAST AND THE RESULTING SW FLOW
KICKS IN. AT THIS POINT THE NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN DOESN`T LOOK TO
ARRIVE UNTIL MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK.
&&

.AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY WITH THE
ISOLATED POSSIBILITY FOR SOME PATCHY FOG VERY LATE TONIGHT OR
AROUND DAWN THURSDAY MORNING.


SHORT TERM: EXPECT VFR TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SCA AS
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS DOWN FROM THE NORTH.

SHORT TERM:
CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY TRANQUIL ON THE SEAS WITH NO HEADLINES
EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...BLOOMER
SHORT TERM...FITZSIMMONS
LONG TERM...FITZSIMMONS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/FITZSIMMONS
MARINE...BLOOMER/FITZSIMMONS













000
FXUS61 KCAR 201934
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
334 PM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD DOWN ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
COMING WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
TONIGHT WILL BE MOSTLY CLEAR WITH LIGHT WINDS AS HIGH PRESSURE TO
OUR NORTH VERY SLOWLY BEGINS TO DROP SOUTH INTO OUR AREA. MOST
PLACES WILL REMAIN CLEAR BUT WINDS MAY BE LIGHT ENOUGH FOR SOME
PATCHY FOG TOWARD DAWN ALONG SOME OF THE RIVER VALLEYS. SKIES WILL
BEGIN MOSTLY CLEAR ON THURSDAY. A WEAK UPPER LOW WEST OF NEW
ENGLAND WILL DRAW JUST A BIT OF MOISTURE INTO THE REGION, MAINLY
ACROSS THE WEST. SOME CUMULUS WILL DEVELOP AND WEAKLY UPSLOPING
WINDS FROM HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING DOWN FROM THE NORTH MAY BE JUST
STRONG ENOUGH TO ALLOW SOME OF THE CUMULUS TO FORM ISOLATED
SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS, ESPECIALLY IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS IN
PISCATAQUIS COUNTY. SOUNDINGS ARE SHOWING SOME WEAK CAPE ALTHOUGH
A BIT OF CAPPING AROUND 12K FT MAY LIMIT CONVECTION IN MOST AREA.
OTHERWISE, THURSDAY WILL TURN OUT PARTLY CLOUDY AND WARM ACROSS
THE REGION.
&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
ANY SHOWERS WILL QUICKLY DIMINISH THURSDAY EVENING HOWEVER EXPECT CONSIDERABLE
CLOUD COVER TO PERSIST WHICH WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES FROM DROPPING
BELOW THE 50S.

FOR FRIDAY, A WEAK DISTURBANCE ALOFT COMBINED WITH JUST ENOUGH
MOISTURE AND DAYTIME HEATING WILL BRING THE CHANCE FOR SOME
ISOLATED AFTERNOON SHOWERS UNDER VARIABLE CLOUD COVER. HIGHS WILL
BE IN THE MID 70S.

HIGH PRESSURE NOSING IN FROM THE NORTHEAST WILL BRING DRIER AND
SLIGHTLY COOLER CONDITIONS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY WITH
SATURDAY LOOKING TO FEATURE PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES, LIGHT
WINDS, AND HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 70S.
&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BOTH AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL BUILD
IN FOR THE LONG RANGE RESULTING IN FAIR AND DRY WEATHER UNDER
PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WITH A WARMING TREND. HOW QUICKLY
TEMPERATURES WARM HEADING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL DEPEND ON
QUICKLY THE RIDGE MOVES OFF THE COAST AND THE RESULTING SW FLOW
KICKS IN. AT THIS POINT THE NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN DOESN`T LOOK TO
ARRIVE UNTIL MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK.
&&

.AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY WITH THE
ISOLATED POSSIBILITY FOR SOME PATCHY FOG VERY LATE TONIGHT OR
AROUND DAWN THURSDAY MORNING.


SHORT TERM: EXPECT VFR TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SCA AS
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS DOWN FROM THE NORTH.

SHORT TERM:
CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY TRANQUIL ON THE SEAS WITH NO HEADLINES
EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...BLOOMER
SHORT TERM...FITZSIMMONS
LONG TERM...FITZSIMMONS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/FITZSIMMONS
MARINE...BLOOMER/FITZSIMMONS













000
FXUS61 KGYX 201902
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
302 PM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
TWO WEAK COLD FRONTS WILL AFFECT THE REGION THROUGH THE END OF THE
WEEK. ONE MOVES IN FROM THE WEST AND ONE FROM THE NORTHEAST. BOTH
WILL PRODUCE LITTLE MORE THEN AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR
THUNDERSTORM...AND AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS. HOWEVER...AN ONSHORE
FLOW WILL RETURN THE REGION TO COOLER WEATHER THROUGH THE END OF
THE WEEK. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL ANCHOR OVER MAINE AND NEW
HAMPSHIRE OVER THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK...WITH A GRADUAL
WARMING TREND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
THIS EVENING WILL STAY MOSTLY CLEAR...WITH LIGHT TO CALM WINDS.
TDS ARE A LITTLE HIGHER THAN LAST NIGHT...AND THIS WILL KEEP MINS
A FEW DEGREES HIGHER THAN PREVIOUS NIGHTS...AND CLOSER TO
NORMAL...GENERALLY IN THE 50S. WILL SEE PATCHY VALLEY FOG ONCE A
GAIN...BUT TI LOOKS TO BE MORE PREVALENT...DEVELOPING IN SOME OF
THE VALLEYS AT THE EDGE OF THE COASTAL PLAIN.


&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
500MB CLOSED LOW THE WEST BEGINS TO FILL ON THU...AS ANOTHER WEAK
LOW CLOSES OFF THE GULF OF ME. THIS WILL ACT TO WEAKEN AND STALL
THE SFC FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE WEST...BUT WILL ALSO PU;;
COOLER AIR FROM THE NE...WHICH WILL SET UP ANOTHER WEAK SFC
BOUNDARY...ENHANCED BY THE ONSHORE DENSITY FLOW. LOOK FOR CLOUDS
TO INCREASE OVER NERN ZONES AND IN THE CT VLY REGION DURING THE
DAY...PERHAPS BORDERING AT M/CDY IN BOTH PLACES DURING THE
AFTERNOON...WITH THE THREAT OF SHRA AND MAYBE A TSRA...ESPECIALLY
IN THE ME MTNS/FOOTHILLS. COASTAL AREAS SHOULD REMAIN PART-MOSTLY
SUNNY THRU THE DAY. HIGHS WILL BE LIMITED TO 70 TO 75.

THU NIGHT WILL SEE SOME CLEARING AS ANY CLOUDS AND SHRA WILL BE AT
LEAST PARTIALLY DRIVEN BY DIURNAL HEATING. SOME MOISTURE POOLING
BETWEEN THE TWO FRONTS WILL KEEP MINS FROM DROPPING TOO MUCH BLO
THE MID TO UPPER 50S.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL REMAIN SOUTHWEST OF AREA THROUGH EARLY
NEXT WEEK AS A SERIES OF WAVES MOVE ALONG THE FRONT. THIS WILL
BRING MORE CLOUDS INTO THE REGION FOR THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY.
A STRENGTHENING SURFACE RIDGE OVER MAINE WILL GRADUALLY PUSH
FRONTAL BOUNDARY SOUTHWEST LEADING TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES OVER THE
WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH PLEASANT TEMPERATURES. A COLD
FRONT WILL APPROACH THE REGION MID WEEK NEXT WEEK. NEW HAMPSHIRE
AND THE WESTERN MOUNTAINS OF MAINE COULD SEE A SHOWER LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT OR FRIDAY....OTHERWISE DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED
ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. DERIVED OUTLOOK PERIOD
FROM THE SUPERBLEND MODEL.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...MAINLY VFR THROUGH THU NIGHT...EXCEPT FOR VLY FOG AT
KHIE/KLEB...AND PERHAPS A BRIEF PERIOD AROUND SUNRISE AT
KCON/KAUG.

LONG TERM...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED EXCEPT FOR MORNING FOG IN
FAVORED AREAS.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...WINDS AND SEAS TO REMAIN WELL BELOW SMALL CRAFT
LEVELS.

LONG TERM...WINDS AND SEAS EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT
CRITERIA.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...CEMPA
SHORT TERM...CEMPA
LONG TERM...MARINE
AVIATION...CEMPA
MARINE...CEMPA




000
FXUS61 KGYX 201902
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
302 PM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
TWO WEAK COLD FRONTS WILL AFFECT THE REGION THROUGH THE END OF THE
WEEK. ONE MOVES IN FROM THE WEST AND ONE FROM THE NORTHEAST. BOTH
WILL PRODUCE LITTLE MORE THEN AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR
THUNDERSTORM...AND AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS. HOWEVER...AN ONSHORE
FLOW WILL RETURN THE REGION TO COOLER WEATHER THROUGH THE END OF
THE WEEK. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL ANCHOR OVER MAINE AND NEW
HAMPSHIRE OVER THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK...WITH A GRADUAL
WARMING TREND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
THIS EVENING WILL STAY MOSTLY CLEAR...WITH LIGHT TO CALM WINDS.
TDS ARE A LITTLE HIGHER THAN LAST NIGHT...AND THIS WILL KEEP MINS
A FEW DEGREES HIGHER THAN PREVIOUS NIGHTS...AND CLOSER TO
NORMAL...GENERALLY IN THE 50S. WILL SEE PATCHY VALLEY FOG ONCE A
GAIN...BUT TI LOOKS TO BE MORE PREVALENT...DEVELOPING IN SOME OF
THE VALLEYS AT THE EDGE OF THE COASTAL PLAIN.


&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
500MB CLOSED LOW THE WEST BEGINS TO FILL ON THU...AS ANOTHER WEAK
LOW CLOSES OFF THE GULF OF ME. THIS WILL ACT TO WEAKEN AND STALL
THE SFC FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE WEST...BUT WILL ALSO PU;;
COOLER AIR FROM THE NE...WHICH WILL SET UP ANOTHER WEAK SFC
BOUNDARY...ENHANCED BY THE ONSHORE DENSITY FLOW. LOOK FOR CLOUDS
TO INCREASE OVER NERN ZONES AND IN THE CT VLY REGION DURING THE
DAY...PERHAPS BORDERING AT M/CDY IN BOTH PLACES DURING THE
AFTERNOON...WITH THE THREAT OF SHRA AND MAYBE A TSRA...ESPECIALLY
IN THE ME MTNS/FOOTHILLS. COASTAL AREAS SHOULD REMAIN PART-MOSTLY
SUNNY THRU THE DAY. HIGHS WILL BE LIMITED TO 70 TO 75.

THU NIGHT WILL SEE SOME CLEARING AS ANY CLOUDS AND SHRA WILL BE AT
LEAST PARTIALLY DRIVEN BY DIURNAL HEATING. SOME MOISTURE POOLING
BETWEEN THE TWO FRONTS WILL KEEP MINS FROM DROPPING TOO MUCH BLO
THE MID TO UPPER 50S.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL REMAIN SOUTHWEST OF AREA THROUGH EARLY
NEXT WEEK AS A SERIES OF WAVES MOVE ALONG THE FRONT. THIS WILL
BRING MORE CLOUDS INTO THE REGION FOR THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY.
A STRENGTHENING SURFACE RIDGE OVER MAINE WILL GRADUALLY PUSH
FRONTAL BOUNDARY SOUTHWEST LEADING TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES OVER THE
WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH PLEASANT TEMPERATURES. A COLD
FRONT WILL APPROACH THE REGION MID WEEK NEXT WEEK. NEW HAMPSHIRE
AND THE WESTERN MOUNTAINS OF MAINE COULD SEE A SHOWER LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT OR FRIDAY....OTHERWISE DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED
ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. DERIVED OUTLOOK PERIOD
FROM THE SUPERBLEND MODEL.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...MAINLY VFR THROUGH THU NIGHT...EXCEPT FOR VLY FOG AT
KHIE/KLEB...AND PERHAPS A BRIEF PERIOD AROUND SUNRISE AT
KCON/KAUG.

LONG TERM...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED EXCEPT FOR MORNING FOG IN
FAVORED AREAS.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...WINDS AND SEAS TO REMAIN WELL BELOW SMALL CRAFT
LEVELS.

LONG TERM...WINDS AND SEAS EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT
CRITERIA.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...CEMPA
SHORT TERM...CEMPA
LONG TERM...MARINE
AVIATION...CEMPA
MARINE...CEMPA



000
FXUS61 KCAR 201521
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1121 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MID WEEK.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
11:30 AM UPDATE...DECREASED CLOUD COVER JUST A BIT. OTHERWISE, NO
MAJOR CHANGES FOR THE MIDDAY UPDATE.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE WILL CONTINUE
TO BUILD ACROSS NEW ENGLAND TODAY WHILE UPPER LOW PRESSURE MOVES
AWAY TO OUR EAST. AS SUCH, THE DRY WEATHER WILL PREVAIL TODAY AND
TONIGHT, WITH JUST SOME FAIR WEATHER CUMULUS CLOUDS POPPING UP
THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHS WILL BE MID 70S TO AROUND 80, WITH THE
IMMEDIATE COAST A BIT COOLER. WHILE SKIES WILL CLEAR OUT THIS
EVENING, CLOUDS WILL ONCE AGAIN INCREASE LATE TONIGHT AHEAD OF
ANOTHER UPPER LOW PRESSURE MOVING OUT OF THE GREAT LAKES. THIS
CLOUD COVER WILL KEEP OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES WARMER
THAN THE PREVIOUS NIGHT, EXCEPT ACROSS THE FAR NORTHWEST WHERE
SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY CLEAR FOR MUCH OF THE NIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
MODELS SHOW WEAK REX-LIKE BLOCKING SETTING UP OVR FAR NRN NEW ENG...
QB PROV AND THE MARITIMES THU INTO THE WEEKEND. INITIALLY...A WEAK
UPPER LOW MOVG E OVR THE GULF OF ME UNDERCUTS THE ANOMALOUS UPPER
RIDGE OVR NRN/CNTRL QB THU AFTN INTO ERLY EVE. THIS COULD RESULT
IN SCT SHWRS AND POSSIBLE TSTMS DURG THIS TM PD MSLY OVR W CNTRL
AND W INTERIOR DOWNEAST AREAS. DAYTIME HTG RESULTING IN SBCAPE UP
TO 500 J/KG WILL HELP WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF THESE SHWRS. BY MID
TO LATE EVE THESE SHWRS SHOULD DIMINISH AND LARGELY DISSIPATE WITH
THE LOSS OF HTG. AFTWRDS...WITH A WEAK SFC PRES GRAD AND SOME
REMNANT LVL MOISTURE...PATCHY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE OVR THE REGION
LATE THU NGT INTO ERLY FRI MORN.

ON FRI THE WEAK UPPER LOW OVR THE GULF OF ME WILL CONT TO SLOWLY
MOVE SE OF NOVA SCOTIA...WITH PERHAPS ENOUGH REMNANT LLVL MOISTURE
FOR ISOLD AFTN SHWRS...MSLY OVR WRN MTNS. HI TEMPS THU LOOK TO BE
A LITTLE ABV NORMAL WITH OVRNGT LOWS THU NGT NEAR NORMAL. SFC HI
PRES RIDGING SSWRD FROM WRN LABRADOR WILL LIKELY BRING SLIGHTLY
COOLER...BUT STILL NEAR SEASONAL NORMAL HI TEMPS UNDER PTLY SUNNY
SKIES. SLIGHTLY BREEZIER CONDITIONS FROM THE ENE FRI NGT SHOULD
MSLY PRECLUDE PATCHY FOG FRI NGT.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
REX BLOCKING WILL CONT INTO THE WEEKEND AS THE UPPER LOW S OF
NOVA SCOTIA SLOWLY MOVES ESE INTO THE OPEN ATLC AND THE UPPER
RIDGE/HIGH BEGINS TO RE-ASSERT ITSELF A LITTLE FURTHER S OVR CNTRL
QB. HI TEMPS SAT AND SUN WILL BE NEAR SEASONAL NORMS UNDER MSLY
SUNNY SKIES WITH OVRNGT LOWS A LITTLE BLO AVG AS THE SFC HI
CROSSES THE REGION. HI TEMPS MON AND TUE WILL BEGIN TO WARM AS THE
UPPER RIDGE AXIS MOVES SWRD OVR THE FA...ALLOWING THE SFC HI
CONTS TO TO MOVE INTO THE GULF OF ME AND A RETURN SW SFC WIND SETS
UP OVR THE FA. IN FACT...WE MAY BE CONSERVATIVE WITH HI TEMPS
SPCLY TUE IF THE UPPER RIDGE IS AS STRONG AS BOTH THE 00Z GFS AND
ECMWF MODELS INDICATE...WHICH WOULD SUGGEST HI TEMPS INTO THE 80S
ACROSS LOWER TRRN OF NRN/CNTRL ME. OVRNGT LOWS SUN NGT AND MON NGT
WILL ALSO BEGIN TO WARM DURING THIS TM.

&&

.AVIATION /16Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ONLY
EXCEPTION IS LOCALIZED MVFR/POSSIBLE IFR IN FOG DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS.

SHORT TO LONG TERM: VFR XPCTD...XCPT PERHAPS MVFR/IFR IN PATCHY
FOG LATE THU NGT INTO ERLY FRI.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP QUIESCENT CONDITIONS ON THE
WATERS TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO HEADLINES ARE ANTICIPATED.

SHORT TO LONG TERM: NO HDLNS ANTICIPATED WITH WV HTS IN THE 2 TO 3
FT RANGE OVR THE OUTER MZS AND 1 TO 2 FT OVR THE INNER BAY/HARBOR
MZS. WENT WITH ABOUT 80 TO 90 PERCENT OF WW3 WV GUIDANCE FOR FCST
WV HTS THIS PD.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...HASTINGS/MCB
SHORT TERM...VJN
LONG TERM...VJN
AVIATION...HASTINGS/VJN
MARINE...HASTINGS/VJN






000
FXUS61 KGYX 201509
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
1109 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN DRAPED ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH TONIGHT. A
WEAK DISTURBANCE FROM THE GREAT LAKES WILL WASHOUT AS IT APPROACHES
FROM THE GREAT LAKES ON THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. A RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE WILL ANCHOR OVER MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE OVER THE WEEKEND
AND EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
11 AM...JUST A QUICK UPDATE TO REFRESH THE THE GRIDS BASED ON
CURRENT OBS. OTHER THAN SOME SCT CU IN THE MTNS AND INCREASING
LATE IN SW ZONES...LOOK FOR MAINLY SUNNY SKIES...WITH HIGHS
MAINLY IN THE 75 TO 80 RANGE.

PREV DISC...
OUTSIDE OF SOME PATCHY VALLEY FOG AND STRATUS THIS MORNING...A
MOSTLY SUNNY DAY UNDER SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE. HIGHS WILL BE NEAR
80...BUT A FEW DEGREES COOLER ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND AT THE
IMMEDIATE COAST WHERE THE LIGHT SYNOPTIC FLOW WILL TURN ONSHORE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
A CLEAR START THEN A FEW CLOUDS LATE AHEAD OF THE GREAT LAKES
DISTURBANCE. ONCE AGAIN...THERE SHOULD BE SOME PATCHY VALLEY FOG
AND STRATUS. A COOLER DAY ON THURSDAY WITH MORE CLOUDS AND AN
ONSHORE BREEZE. WESTERN AND NORTHERN SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA
COULD SEE A BRIEF SHOWER ASSOCIATED WITH THE WEAKENING GREAT LAKES
SYSTEM.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL REMAIN SOUTHWEST OF AREA THROUGH EARLY
NEXT WEEK AS A SERIES OF WAVES MOVE ALONG THE FRONT. THIS WILL
BRING MORE CLOUDS INTO THE REGION FOR THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY.
A STRENGTHENING SURFACE RIDGE OVER MAINE WILL GRADUALLY PUSH
FRONTAL BOUNDARY SOUTHWEST LEADING TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES OVER THE
WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH PLEASANT TEMPERATURES. A COLD
FRONT WILL APPROACH THE REGION MID WEEK NEXT WEEK. NEW HAMPSHIRE
COULD SEE A SHOWER THURSDAY NIGHT OR FRIDAY....OTHERWISE DRY
WEATHER IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR EXCEPT FOR NOCTURNAL FOG AT LEBANON AND
WHITEFIELD.

LONG TERM...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED EXCEPT FOR MORNING FOG IN
FAVORED AREAS.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...WINDS AND SEAS EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT
THRESHOLD.

LONG TERM...WINDS AND SEAS EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT
CRITERIA.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...CEMPA
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...
MARINE...




000
FXUS61 KGYX 201509
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
1109 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN DRAPED ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH TONIGHT. A
WEAK DISTURBANCE FROM THE GREAT LAKES WILL WASHOUT AS IT APPROACHES
FROM THE GREAT LAKES ON THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. A RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE WILL ANCHOR OVER MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE OVER THE WEEKEND
AND EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
11 AM...JUST A QUICK UPDATE TO REFRESH THE THE GRIDS BASED ON
CURRENT OBS. OTHER THAN SOME SCT CU IN THE MTNS AND INCREASING
LATE IN SW ZONES...LOOK FOR MAINLY SUNNY SKIES...WITH HIGHS
MAINLY IN THE 75 TO 80 RANGE.

PREV DISC...
OUTSIDE OF SOME PATCHY VALLEY FOG AND STRATUS THIS MORNING...A
MOSTLY SUNNY DAY UNDER SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE. HIGHS WILL BE NEAR
80...BUT A FEW DEGREES COOLER ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND AT THE
IMMEDIATE COAST WHERE THE LIGHT SYNOPTIC FLOW WILL TURN ONSHORE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
A CLEAR START THEN A FEW CLOUDS LATE AHEAD OF THE GREAT LAKES
DISTURBANCE. ONCE AGAIN...THERE SHOULD BE SOME PATCHY VALLEY FOG
AND STRATUS. A COOLER DAY ON THURSDAY WITH MORE CLOUDS AND AN
ONSHORE BREEZE. WESTERN AND NORTHERN SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA
COULD SEE A BRIEF SHOWER ASSOCIATED WITH THE WEAKENING GREAT LAKES
SYSTEM.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL REMAIN SOUTHWEST OF AREA THROUGH EARLY
NEXT WEEK AS A SERIES OF WAVES MOVE ALONG THE FRONT. THIS WILL
BRING MORE CLOUDS INTO THE REGION FOR THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY.
A STRENGTHENING SURFACE RIDGE OVER MAINE WILL GRADUALLY PUSH
FRONTAL BOUNDARY SOUTHWEST LEADING TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES OVER THE
WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH PLEASANT TEMPERATURES. A COLD
FRONT WILL APPROACH THE REGION MID WEEK NEXT WEEK. NEW HAMPSHIRE
COULD SEE A SHOWER THURSDAY NIGHT OR FRIDAY....OTHERWISE DRY
WEATHER IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR EXCEPT FOR NOCTURNAL FOG AT LEBANON AND
WHITEFIELD.

LONG TERM...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED EXCEPT FOR MORNING FOG IN
FAVORED AREAS.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...WINDS AND SEAS EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT
THRESHOLD.

LONG TERM...WINDS AND SEAS EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT
CRITERIA.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...CEMPA
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...
MARINE...



000
FXUS61 KCAR 201303
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
903 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MID WEEK.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
9 PM UPDATE...MODIFIED SKY COVER A BIT TO KEEP SKIES MOSTLY CLEAR
ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH MIDDAY. OTHERWISE, NO MAJOR CHANGES.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE WILL CONTINUE
TO BUILD ACROSS NEW ENGLAND TODAY WHILE UPPER LOW PRESSURE MOVES
AWAY TO OUR EAST. AS SUCH, THE DRY WEATHER WILL PREVAIL TODAY AND
TONIGHT, WITH JUST SOME FAIR WEATHER CUMULUS CLOUDS POPPING UP
THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHS WILL BE MID 70S TO AROUND 80, WITH THE
IMMEDIATE COAST A BIT COOLER. WHILE SKIES WILL CLEAR OUT THIS
EVENING, CLOUDS WILL ONCE AGAIN INCREASE LATE TONIGHT AHEAD OF
ANOTHER UPPER LOW PRESSURE MOVING OUT OF THE GREAT LAKES. THIS
CLOUD COVER WILL KEEP OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES WARMER
THAN THE PREVIOUS NIGHT, EXCEPT ACROSS THE FAR NORTHWEST WHERE
SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY CLEAR FOR MUCH OF THE NIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
MODELS SHOW WEAK REX-LIKE BLOCKING SETTING UP OVR FAR NRN NEW ENG...
QB PROV AND THE MARITIMES THU INTO THE WEEKEND. INITIALLY...A WEAK
UPPER LOW MOVG E OVR THE GULF OF ME UNDERCUTS THE ANOMALOUS UPPER
RIDGE OVR NRN/CNTRL QB THU AFTN INTO ERLY EVE. THIS COULD RESULT
IN SCT SHWRS AND POSSIBLE TSTMS DURG THIS TM PD MSLY OVR W CNTRL
AND W INTERIOR DOWNEAST AREAS. DAYTIME HTG RESULTING IN SBCAPE UP
TO 500 J/KG WILL HELP WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF THESE SHWRS. BY MID
TO LATE EVE THESE SHWRS SHOULD DIMINISH AND LARGELY DISSIPATE WITH
THE LOSS OF HTG. AFTWRDS...WITH A WEAK SFC PRES GRAD AND SOME
REMNANT LVL MOISTURE...PATCHY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE OVR THE REGION
LATE THU NGT INTO ERLY FRI MORN.

ON FRI THE WEAK UPPER LOW OVR THE GULF OF ME WILL CONT TO SLOWLY
MOVE SE OF NOVA SCOTIA...WITH PERHAPS ENOUGH REMNANT LLVL MOISTURE
FOR ISOLD AFTN SHWRS...MSLY OVR WRN MTNS. HI TEMPS THU LOOK TO BE
A LITTLE ABV NORMAL WITH OVRNGT LOWS THU NGT NEAR NORMAL. SFC HI
PRES RIDGING SSWRD FROM WRN LABRADOR WILL LIKELY BRING SLIGHTLY
COOLER...BUT STILL NEAR SEASONAL NORMAL HI TEMPS UNDER PTLY SUNNY
SKIES. SLIGHTLY BREEZIER CONDITIONS FROM THE ENE FRI NGT SHOULD
MSLY PRECLUDE PATCHY FOG FRI NGT.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
REX BLOCKING WILL CONT INTO THE WEEKEND AS THE UPPER LOW S OF
NOVA SCOTIA SLOWLY MOVES ESE INTO THE OPEN ATLC AND THE UPPER
RIDGE/HIGH BEGINS TO RE-ASSERT ITSELF A LITTLE FURTHER S OVR CNTRL
QB. HI TEMPS SAT AND SUN WILL BE NEAR SEASONAL NORMS UNDER MSLY
SUNNY SKIES WITH OVRNGT LOWS A LITTLE BLO AVG AS THE SFC HI
CROSSES THE REGION. HI TEMPS MON AND TUE WILL BEGIN TO WARM AS THE
UPPER RIDGE AXIS MOVES SWRD OVR THE FA...ALLOWING THE SFC HI
CONTS TO TO MOVE INTO THE GULF OF ME AND A RETURN SW SFC WIND SETS
UP OVR THE FA. IN FACT...WE MAY BE CONSERVATIVE WITH HI TEMPS
SPCLY TUE IF THE UPPER RIDGE IS AS STRONG AS BOTH THE 00Z GFS AND
ECMWF MODELS INDICATE...WHICH WOULD SUGGEST HI TEMPS INTO THE 80S
ACROSS LOWER TRRN OF NRN/CNTRL ME. OVRNGT LOWS SUN NGT AND MON NGT
WILL ALSO BEGIN TO WARM DURING THIS TM.

&&

.AVIATION /13Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ONLY
EXCEPTION IS LOCALIZED MVFR/POSSIBLE IFR IN FOG DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS.

SHORT TO LONG TERM: VFR XPCTD...XCPT PERHAPS MVFR/IFR IN PATCHY
FOG LATE THU NGT INTO ERLY FRI.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP QUIESCENT CONDITIONS ON THE
WATERS TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO HEADLINES ARE ANTICIPATED.

SHORT TO LONG TERM: NO HDLNS ANTICIPATED WITH WV HTS IN THE 2 TO 3
FT RANGE OVR THE OUTER MZS AND 1 TO 2 FT OVR THE INNER BAY/HARBOR
MZS. WENT WITH ABOUT 80 TO 90 PERCENT OF WW3 WV GUIDANCE FOR FCST
WV HTS THIS PD.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...HASTINGS/MCB
SHORT TERM...VJN
LONG TERM...VJN
AVIATION...HASTINGS/VJN
MARINE...HASTINGS/VJN







000
FXUS61 KCAR 201303
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
903 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MID WEEK.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
9 PM UPDATE...MODIFIED SKY COVER A BIT TO KEEP SKIES MOSTLY CLEAR
ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH MIDDAY. OTHERWISE, NO MAJOR CHANGES.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE WILL CONTINUE
TO BUILD ACROSS NEW ENGLAND TODAY WHILE UPPER LOW PRESSURE MOVES
AWAY TO OUR EAST. AS SUCH, THE DRY WEATHER WILL PREVAIL TODAY AND
TONIGHT, WITH JUST SOME FAIR WEATHER CUMULUS CLOUDS POPPING UP
THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHS WILL BE MID 70S TO AROUND 80, WITH THE
IMMEDIATE COAST A BIT COOLER. WHILE SKIES WILL CLEAR OUT THIS
EVENING, CLOUDS WILL ONCE AGAIN INCREASE LATE TONIGHT AHEAD OF
ANOTHER UPPER LOW PRESSURE MOVING OUT OF THE GREAT LAKES. THIS
CLOUD COVER WILL KEEP OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES WARMER
THAN THE PREVIOUS NIGHT, EXCEPT ACROSS THE FAR NORTHWEST WHERE
SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY CLEAR FOR MUCH OF THE NIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
MODELS SHOW WEAK REX-LIKE BLOCKING SETTING UP OVR FAR NRN NEW ENG...
QB PROV AND THE MARITIMES THU INTO THE WEEKEND. INITIALLY...A WEAK
UPPER LOW MOVG E OVR THE GULF OF ME UNDERCUTS THE ANOMALOUS UPPER
RIDGE OVR NRN/CNTRL QB THU AFTN INTO ERLY EVE. THIS COULD RESULT
IN SCT SHWRS AND POSSIBLE TSTMS DURG THIS TM PD MSLY OVR W CNTRL
AND W INTERIOR DOWNEAST AREAS. DAYTIME HTG RESULTING IN SBCAPE UP
TO 500 J/KG WILL HELP WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF THESE SHWRS. BY MID
TO LATE EVE THESE SHWRS SHOULD DIMINISH AND LARGELY DISSIPATE WITH
THE LOSS OF HTG. AFTWRDS...WITH A WEAK SFC PRES GRAD AND SOME
REMNANT LVL MOISTURE...PATCHY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE OVR THE REGION
LATE THU NGT INTO ERLY FRI MORN.

ON FRI THE WEAK UPPER LOW OVR THE GULF OF ME WILL CONT TO SLOWLY
MOVE SE OF NOVA SCOTIA...WITH PERHAPS ENOUGH REMNANT LLVL MOISTURE
FOR ISOLD AFTN SHWRS...MSLY OVR WRN MTNS. HI TEMPS THU LOOK TO BE
A LITTLE ABV NORMAL WITH OVRNGT LOWS THU NGT NEAR NORMAL. SFC HI
PRES RIDGING SSWRD FROM WRN LABRADOR WILL LIKELY BRING SLIGHTLY
COOLER...BUT STILL NEAR SEASONAL NORMAL HI TEMPS UNDER PTLY SUNNY
SKIES. SLIGHTLY BREEZIER CONDITIONS FROM THE ENE FRI NGT SHOULD
MSLY PRECLUDE PATCHY FOG FRI NGT.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
REX BLOCKING WILL CONT INTO THE WEEKEND AS THE UPPER LOW S OF
NOVA SCOTIA SLOWLY MOVES ESE INTO THE OPEN ATLC AND THE UPPER
RIDGE/HIGH BEGINS TO RE-ASSERT ITSELF A LITTLE FURTHER S OVR CNTRL
QB. HI TEMPS SAT AND SUN WILL BE NEAR SEASONAL NORMS UNDER MSLY
SUNNY SKIES WITH OVRNGT LOWS A LITTLE BLO AVG AS THE SFC HI
CROSSES THE REGION. HI TEMPS MON AND TUE WILL BEGIN TO WARM AS THE
UPPER RIDGE AXIS MOVES SWRD OVR THE FA...ALLOWING THE SFC HI
CONTS TO TO MOVE INTO THE GULF OF ME AND A RETURN SW SFC WIND SETS
UP OVR THE FA. IN FACT...WE MAY BE CONSERVATIVE WITH HI TEMPS
SPCLY TUE IF THE UPPER RIDGE IS AS STRONG AS BOTH THE 00Z GFS AND
ECMWF MODELS INDICATE...WHICH WOULD SUGGEST HI TEMPS INTO THE 80S
ACROSS LOWER TRRN OF NRN/CNTRL ME. OVRNGT LOWS SUN NGT AND MON NGT
WILL ALSO BEGIN TO WARM DURING THIS TM.

&&

.AVIATION /13Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ONLY
EXCEPTION IS LOCALIZED MVFR/POSSIBLE IFR IN FOG DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS.

SHORT TO LONG TERM: VFR XPCTD...XCPT PERHAPS MVFR/IFR IN PATCHY
FOG LATE THU NGT INTO ERLY FRI.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP QUIESCENT CONDITIONS ON THE
WATERS TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO HEADLINES ARE ANTICIPATED.

SHORT TO LONG TERM: NO HDLNS ANTICIPATED WITH WV HTS IN THE 2 TO 3
FT RANGE OVR THE OUTER MZS AND 1 TO 2 FT OVR THE INNER BAY/HARBOR
MZS. WENT WITH ABOUT 80 TO 90 PERCENT OF WW3 WV GUIDANCE FOR FCST
WV HTS THIS PD.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...HASTINGS/MCB
SHORT TERM...VJN
LONG TERM...VJN
AVIATION...HASTINGS/VJN
MARINE...HASTINGS/VJN







000
FXUS61 KCAR 201303
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
903 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MID WEEK.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
9 PM UPDATE...MODIFIED SKY COVER A BIT TO KEEP SKIES MOSTLY CLEAR
ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH MIDDAY. OTHERWISE, NO MAJOR CHANGES.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE WILL CONTINUE
TO BUILD ACROSS NEW ENGLAND TODAY WHILE UPPER LOW PRESSURE MOVES
AWAY TO OUR EAST. AS SUCH, THE DRY WEATHER WILL PREVAIL TODAY AND
TONIGHT, WITH JUST SOME FAIR WEATHER CUMULUS CLOUDS POPPING UP
THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHS WILL BE MID 70S TO AROUND 80, WITH THE
IMMEDIATE COAST A BIT COOLER. WHILE SKIES WILL CLEAR OUT THIS
EVENING, CLOUDS WILL ONCE AGAIN INCREASE LATE TONIGHT AHEAD OF
ANOTHER UPPER LOW PRESSURE MOVING OUT OF THE GREAT LAKES. THIS
CLOUD COVER WILL KEEP OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES WARMER
THAN THE PREVIOUS NIGHT, EXCEPT ACROSS THE FAR NORTHWEST WHERE
SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY CLEAR FOR MUCH OF THE NIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
MODELS SHOW WEAK REX-LIKE BLOCKING SETTING UP OVR FAR NRN NEW ENG...
QB PROV AND THE MARITIMES THU INTO THE WEEKEND. INITIALLY...A WEAK
UPPER LOW MOVG E OVR THE GULF OF ME UNDERCUTS THE ANOMALOUS UPPER
RIDGE OVR NRN/CNTRL QB THU AFTN INTO ERLY EVE. THIS COULD RESULT
IN SCT SHWRS AND POSSIBLE TSTMS DURG THIS TM PD MSLY OVR W CNTRL
AND W INTERIOR DOWNEAST AREAS. DAYTIME HTG RESULTING IN SBCAPE UP
TO 500 J/KG WILL HELP WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF THESE SHWRS. BY MID
TO LATE EVE THESE SHWRS SHOULD DIMINISH AND LARGELY DISSIPATE WITH
THE LOSS OF HTG. AFTWRDS...WITH A WEAK SFC PRES GRAD AND SOME
REMNANT LVL MOISTURE...PATCHY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE OVR THE REGION
LATE THU NGT INTO ERLY FRI MORN.

ON FRI THE WEAK UPPER LOW OVR THE GULF OF ME WILL CONT TO SLOWLY
MOVE SE OF NOVA SCOTIA...WITH PERHAPS ENOUGH REMNANT LLVL MOISTURE
FOR ISOLD AFTN SHWRS...MSLY OVR WRN MTNS. HI TEMPS THU LOOK TO BE
A LITTLE ABV NORMAL WITH OVRNGT LOWS THU NGT NEAR NORMAL. SFC HI
PRES RIDGING SSWRD FROM WRN LABRADOR WILL LIKELY BRING SLIGHTLY
COOLER...BUT STILL NEAR SEASONAL NORMAL HI TEMPS UNDER PTLY SUNNY
SKIES. SLIGHTLY BREEZIER CONDITIONS FROM THE ENE FRI NGT SHOULD
MSLY PRECLUDE PATCHY FOG FRI NGT.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
REX BLOCKING WILL CONT INTO THE WEEKEND AS THE UPPER LOW S OF
NOVA SCOTIA SLOWLY MOVES ESE INTO THE OPEN ATLC AND THE UPPER
RIDGE/HIGH BEGINS TO RE-ASSERT ITSELF A LITTLE FURTHER S OVR CNTRL
QB. HI TEMPS SAT AND SUN WILL BE NEAR SEASONAL NORMS UNDER MSLY
SUNNY SKIES WITH OVRNGT LOWS A LITTLE BLO AVG AS THE SFC HI
CROSSES THE REGION. HI TEMPS MON AND TUE WILL BEGIN TO WARM AS THE
UPPER RIDGE AXIS MOVES SWRD OVR THE FA...ALLOWING THE SFC HI
CONTS TO TO MOVE INTO THE GULF OF ME AND A RETURN SW SFC WIND SETS
UP OVR THE FA. IN FACT...WE MAY BE CONSERVATIVE WITH HI TEMPS
SPCLY TUE IF THE UPPER RIDGE IS AS STRONG AS BOTH THE 00Z GFS AND
ECMWF MODELS INDICATE...WHICH WOULD SUGGEST HI TEMPS INTO THE 80S
ACROSS LOWER TRRN OF NRN/CNTRL ME. OVRNGT LOWS SUN NGT AND MON NGT
WILL ALSO BEGIN TO WARM DURING THIS TM.

&&

.AVIATION /13Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ONLY
EXCEPTION IS LOCALIZED MVFR/POSSIBLE IFR IN FOG DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS.

SHORT TO LONG TERM: VFR XPCTD...XCPT PERHAPS MVFR/IFR IN PATCHY
FOG LATE THU NGT INTO ERLY FRI.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP QUIESCENT CONDITIONS ON THE
WATERS TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO HEADLINES ARE ANTICIPATED.

SHORT TO LONG TERM: NO HDLNS ANTICIPATED WITH WV HTS IN THE 2 TO 3
FT RANGE OVR THE OUTER MZS AND 1 TO 2 FT OVR THE INNER BAY/HARBOR
MZS. WENT WITH ABOUT 80 TO 90 PERCENT OF WW3 WV GUIDANCE FOR FCST
WV HTS THIS PD.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...HASTINGS/MCB
SHORT TERM...VJN
LONG TERM...VJN
AVIATION...HASTINGS/VJN
MARINE...HASTINGS/VJN







000
FXUS61 KCAR 201303
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
903 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MID WEEK.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
9 PM UPDATE...MODIFIED SKY COVER A BIT TO KEEP SKIES MOSTLY CLEAR
ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH MIDDAY. OTHERWISE, NO MAJOR CHANGES.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE WILL CONTINUE
TO BUILD ACROSS NEW ENGLAND TODAY WHILE UPPER LOW PRESSURE MOVES
AWAY TO OUR EAST. AS SUCH, THE DRY WEATHER WILL PREVAIL TODAY AND
TONIGHT, WITH JUST SOME FAIR WEATHER CUMULUS CLOUDS POPPING UP
THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHS WILL BE MID 70S TO AROUND 80, WITH THE
IMMEDIATE COAST A BIT COOLER. WHILE SKIES WILL CLEAR OUT THIS
EVENING, CLOUDS WILL ONCE AGAIN INCREASE LATE TONIGHT AHEAD OF
ANOTHER UPPER LOW PRESSURE MOVING OUT OF THE GREAT LAKES. THIS
CLOUD COVER WILL KEEP OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES WARMER
THAN THE PREVIOUS NIGHT, EXCEPT ACROSS THE FAR NORTHWEST WHERE
SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY CLEAR FOR MUCH OF THE NIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
MODELS SHOW WEAK REX-LIKE BLOCKING SETTING UP OVR FAR NRN NEW ENG...
QB PROV AND THE MARITIMES THU INTO THE WEEKEND. INITIALLY...A WEAK
UPPER LOW MOVG E OVR THE GULF OF ME UNDERCUTS THE ANOMALOUS UPPER
RIDGE OVR NRN/CNTRL QB THU AFTN INTO ERLY EVE. THIS COULD RESULT
IN SCT SHWRS AND POSSIBLE TSTMS DURG THIS TM PD MSLY OVR W CNTRL
AND W INTERIOR DOWNEAST AREAS. DAYTIME HTG RESULTING IN SBCAPE UP
TO 500 J/KG WILL HELP WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF THESE SHWRS. BY MID
TO LATE EVE THESE SHWRS SHOULD DIMINISH AND LARGELY DISSIPATE WITH
THE LOSS OF HTG. AFTWRDS...WITH A WEAK SFC PRES GRAD AND SOME
REMNANT LVL MOISTURE...PATCHY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE OVR THE REGION
LATE THU NGT INTO ERLY FRI MORN.

ON FRI THE WEAK UPPER LOW OVR THE GULF OF ME WILL CONT TO SLOWLY
MOVE SE OF NOVA SCOTIA...WITH PERHAPS ENOUGH REMNANT LLVL MOISTURE
FOR ISOLD AFTN SHWRS...MSLY OVR WRN MTNS. HI TEMPS THU LOOK TO BE
A LITTLE ABV NORMAL WITH OVRNGT LOWS THU NGT NEAR NORMAL. SFC HI
PRES RIDGING SSWRD FROM WRN LABRADOR WILL LIKELY BRING SLIGHTLY
COOLER...BUT STILL NEAR SEASONAL NORMAL HI TEMPS UNDER PTLY SUNNY
SKIES. SLIGHTLY BREEZIER CONDITIONS FROM THE ENE FRI NGT SHOULD
MSLY PRECLUDE PATCHY FOG FRI NGT.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
REX BLOCKING WILL CONT INTO THE WEEKEND AS THE UPPER LOW S OF
NOVA SCOTIA SLOWLY MOVES ESE INTO THE OPEN ATLC AND THE UPPER
RIDGE/HIGH BEGINS TO RE-ASSERT ITSELF A LITTLE FURTHER S OVR CNTRL
QB. HI TEMPS SAT AND SUN WILL BE NEAR SEASONAL NORMS UNDER MSLY
SUNNY SKIES WITH OVRNGT LOWS A LITTLE BLO AVG AS THE SFC HI
CROSSES THE REGION. HI TEMPS MON AND TUE WILL BEGIN TO WARM AS THE
UPPER RIDGE AXIS MOVES SWRD OVR THE FA...ALLOWING THE SFC HI
CONTS TO TO MOVE INTO THE GULF OF ME AND A RETURN SW SFC WIND SETS
UP OVR THE FA. IN FACT...WE MAY BE CONSERVATIVE WITH HI TEMPS
SPCLY TUE IF THE UPPER RIDGE IS AS STRONG AS BOTH THE 00Z GFS AND
ECMWF MODELS INDICATE...WHICH WOULD SUGGEST HI TEMPS INTO THE 80S
ACROSS LOWER TRRN OF NRN/CNTRL ME. OVRNGT LOWS SUN NGT AND MON NGT
WILL ALSO BEGIN TO WARM DURING THIS TM.

&&

.AVIATION /13Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ONLY
EXCEPTION IS LOCALIZED MVFR/POSSIBLE IFR IN FOG DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS.

SHORT TO LONG TERM: VFR XPCTD...XCPT PERHAPS MVFR/IFR IN PATCHY
FOG LATE THU NGT INTO ERLY FRI.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP QUIESCENT CONDITIONS ON THE
WATERS TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO HEADLINES ARE ANTICIPATED.

SHORT TO LONG TERM: NO HDLNS ANTICIPATED WITH WV HTS IN THE 2 TO 3
FT RANGE OVR THE OUTER MZS AND 1 TO 2 FT OVR THE INNER BAY/HARBOR
MZS. WENT WITH ABOUT 80 TO 90 PERCENT OF WW3 WV GUIDANCE FOR FCST
WV HTS THIS PD.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...HASTINGS/MCB
SHORT TERM...VJN
LONG TERM...VJN
AVIATION...HASTINGS/VJN
MARINE...HASTINGS/VJN







000
FXUS61 KCAR 201052
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
652 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MID WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
650 AM...HAVE REMOVED FOG WORDING FOR THIS MORNING AS ANY VALLEY
FOG SHOULD BURN OFF SOON. OTHERWISE, NO SIGNFICANT CHANGES WERE
NEEDED THIS MORNING.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE WILL CONTINUE
TO BUILD ACROSS NEW ENGLAND TODAY WHILE UPPER LOW PRESSURE MOVES
AWAY TO OUR EAST. AS SUCH, THE DRY WEATHER WILL PREVAIL TODAY AND
TONIGHT, WITH JUST SOME FAIR WEATHER CUMULUS CLOUDS POPPING UP
THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHS WILL BE MID 70S TO AROUND 80, WITH THE
IMMEDIATE COAST A BIT COOLER. WHILE SKIES WILL CLEAR OUT THIS
EVENING, CLOUDS WILL ONCE AGAIN INCREASE LATE TONIGHT AHEAD OF
ANOTHER UPPER LOW PRESSURE MOVING OUT OF THE GREAT LAKES. THIS
CLOUD COVER WILL KEEP OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES WARMER
THAN THE PREVIOUS NIGHT, EXCEPT ACROSS THE FAR NORTHWEST WHERE
SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY CLEAR FOR MUCH OF THE NIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
MODELS SHOW WEAK REX-LIKE BLOCKING SETTING UP OVR FAR NRN NEW ENG...
QB PROV AND THE MARITIMES THU INTO THE WEEKEND. INITIALLY...A WEAK
UPPER LOW MOVG E OVR THE GULF OF ME UNDERCUTS THE ANOMALOUS UPPER
RIDGE OVR NRN/CNTRL QB THU AFTN INTO ERLY EVE. THIS COULD RESULT
IN SCT SHWRS AND POSSIBLE TSTMS DURG THIS TM PD MSLY OVR W CNTRL
AND W INTERIOR DOWNEAST AREAS. DAYTIME HTG RESULTING IN SBCAPE UP
TO 500 J/KG WILL HELP WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF THESE SHWRS. BY MID
TO LATE EVE THESE SHWRS SHOULD DIMINISH AND LARGELY DISSIPATE WITH
THE LOSS OF HTG. AFTWRDS...WITH A WEAK SFC PRES GRAD AND SOME
REMNANT LVL MOISTURE...PATCHY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE OVR THE REGION
LATE THU NGT INTO ERLY FRI MORN.

ON FRI THE WEAK UPPER LOW OVR THE GULF OF ME WILL CONT TO SLOWLY
MOVE SE OF NOVA SCOTIA...WITH PERHAPS ENOUGH REMNANT LLVL MOISTURE
FOR ISOLD AFTN SHWRS...MSLY OVR WRN MTNS. HI TEMPS THU LOOK TO BE
A LITTLE ABV NORMAL WITH OVRNGT LOWS THU NGT NEAR NORMAL. SFC HI
PRES RIDGING SSWRD FROM WRN LABRADOR WILL LIKELY BRING SLIGHTLY
COOLER...BUT STILL NEAR SEASONAL NORMAL HI TEMPS UNDER PTLY SUNNY
SKIES. SLIGHTLY BREEZIER CONDITIONS FROM THE ENE FRI NGT SHOULD
MSLY PRECLUDE PATCHY FOG FRI NGT.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
REX BLOCKING WILL CONT INTO THE WEEKEND AS THE UPPER LOW S OF
NOVA SCOTIA SLOWLY MOVES ESE INTO THE OPEN ATLC AND THE UPPER
RIDGE/HIGH BEGINS TO RE-ASSERT ITSELF A LITTLE FURTHER S OVR CNTRL
QB. HI TEMPS SAT AND SUN WILL BE NEAR SEASONAL NORMS UNDER MSLY
SUNNY SKIES WITH OVRNGT LOWS A LITTLE BLO AVG AS THE SFC HI
CROSSES THE REGION. HI TEMPS MON AND TUE WILL BEGIN TO WARM AS THE
UPPER RIDGE AXIS MOVES SWRD OVR THE FA...ALLOWING THE SFC HI
CONTS TO TO MOVE INTO THE GULF OF ME AND A RETURN SW SFC WIND SETS
UP OVR THE FA. IN FACT...WE MAY BE CONSERVATIVE WITH HI TEMPS
SPCLY TUE IF THE UPPER RIDGE IS AS STRONG AS BOTH THE 00Z GFS AND
ECMWF MODELS INDICATE...WHICH WOULD SUGGEST HI TEMPS INTO THE 80S
ACROSS LOWER TRRN OF NRN/CNTRL ME. OVRNGT LOWS SUN NGT AND MON NGT
WILL ALSO BEGIN TO WARM DURING THIS TM.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ONLY
EXCEPTION IS LOCALIZED MVFR/POSSIBLE IFR IN FOG DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS.

SHORT TO LONG TERM: VFR XPCTD...XCPT PERHAPS MVFR/IFR IN PATCHY
FOG LATE THU NGT INTO ERLY FRI.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP QUIESCENT CONDITIONS ON THE
WATERS TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO HEADLINES ARE ANTICIPATED.

SHORT TO LONG TERM: NO HDLNS ANTICIPATED WITH WV HTS IN THE 2 TO 3
FT RANGE OVR THE OUTER MZS AND 1 TO 2 FT OVR THE INNER BAY/HARBOR
MZS. WENT WITH ABOUT 80 TO 90 PERCENT OF WW3 WV GUIDANCE FOR FCST
WV HTS THIS PD.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...HASTINGS
SHORT TERM...VJN
LONG TERM...VJN
AVIATION...HASTINGS/VJN
MARINE...HASTINGS/VJN






000
FXUS61 KCAR 201052
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
652 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MID WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
650 AM...HAVE REMOVED FOG WORDING FOR THIS MORNING AS ANY VALLEY
FOG SHOULD BURN OFF SOON. OTHERWISE, NO SIGNFICANT CHANGES WERE
NEEDED THIS MORNING.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE WILL CONTINUE
TO BUILD ACROSS NEW ENGLAND TODAY WHILE UPPER LOW PRESSURE MOVES
AWAY TO OUR EAST. AS SUCH, THE DRY WEATHER WILL PREVAIL TODAY AND
TONIGHT, WITH JUST SOME FAIR WEATHER CUMULUS CLOUDS POPPING UP
THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHS WILL BE MID 70S TO AROUND 80, WITH THE
IMMEDIATE COAST A BIT COOLER. WHILE SKIES WILL CLEAR OUT THIS
EVENING, CLOUDS WILL ONCE AGAIN INCREASE LATE TONIGHT AHEAD OF
ANOTHER UPPER LOW PRESSURE MOVING OUT OF THE GREAT LAKES. THIS
CLOUD COVER WILL KEEP OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES WARMER
THAN THE PREVIOUS NIGHT, EXCEPT ACROSS THE FAR NORTHWEST WHERE
SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY CLEAR FOR MUCH OF THE NIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
MODELS SHOW WEAK REX-LIKE BLOCKING SETTING UP OVR FAR NRN NEW ENG...
QB PROV AND THE MARITIMES THU INTO THE WEEKEND. INITIALLY...A WEAK
UPPER LOW MOVG E OVR THE GULF OF ME UNDERCUTS THE ANOMALOUS UPPER
RIDGE OVR NRN/CNTRL QB THU AFTN INTO ERLY EVE. THIS COULD RESULT
IN SCT SHWRS AND POSSIBLE TSTMS DURG THIS TM PD MSLY OVR W CNTRL
AND W INTERIOR DOWNEAST AREAS. DAYTIME HTG RESULTING IN SBCAPE UP
TO 500 J/KG WILL HELP WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF THESE SHWRS. BY MID
TO LATE EVE THESE SHWRS SHOULD DIMINISH AND LARGELY DISSIPATE WITH
THE LOSS OF HTG. AFTWRDS...WITH A WEAK SFC PRES GRAD AND SOME
REMNANT LVL MOISTURE...PATCHY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE OVR THE REGION
LATE THU NGT INTO ERLY FRI MORN.

ON FRI THE WEAK UPPER LOW OVR THE GULF OF ME WILL CONT TO SLOWLY
MOVE SE OF NOVA SCOTIA...WITH PERHAPS ENOUGH REMNANT LLVL MOISTURE
FOR ISOLD AFTN SHWRS...MSLY OVR WRN MTNS. HI TEMPS THU LOOK TO BE
A LITTLE ABV NORMAL WITH OVRNGT LOWS THU NGT NEAR NORMAL. SFC HI
PRES RIDGING SSWRD FROM WRN LABRADOR WILL LIKELY BRING SLIGHTLY
COOLER...BUT STILL NEAR SEASONAL NORMAL HI TEMPS UNDER PTLY SUNNY
SKIES. SLIGHTLY BREEZIER CONDITIONS FROM THE ENE FRI NGT SHOULD
MSLY PRECLUDE PATCHY FOG FRI NGT.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
REX BLOCKING WILL CONT INTO THE WEEKEND AS THE UPPER LOW S OF
NOVA SCOTIA SLOWLY MOVES ESE INTO THE OPEN ATLC AND THE UPPER
RIDGE/HIGH BEGINS TO RE-ASSERT ITSELF A LITTLE FURTHER S OVR CNTRL
QB. HI TEMPS SAT AND SUN WILL BE NEAR SEASONAL NORMS UNDER MSLY
SUNNY SKIES WITH OVRNGT LOWS A LITTLE BLO AVG AS THE SFC HI
CROSSES THE REGION. HI TEMPS MON AND TUE WILL BEGIN TO WARM AS THE
UPPER RIDGE AXIS MOVES SWRD OVR THE FA...ALLOWING THE SFC HI
CONTS TO TO MOVE INTO THE GULF OF ME AND A RETURN SW SFC WIND SETS
UP OVR THE FA. IN FACT...WE MAY BE CONSERVATIVE WITH HI TEMPS
SPCLY TUE IF THE UPPER RIDGE IS AS STRONG AS BOTH THE 00Z GFS AND
ECMWF MODELS INDICATE...WHICH WOULD SUGGEST HI TEMPS INTO THE 80S
ACROSS LOWER TRRN OF NRN/CNTRL ME. OVRNGT LOWS SUN NGT AND MON NGT
WILL ALSO BEGIN TO WARM DURING THIS TM.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ONLY
EXCEPTION IS LOCALIZED MVFR/POSSIBLE IFR IN FOG DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS.

SHORT TO LONG TERM: VFR XPCTD...XCPT PERHAPS MVFR/IFR IN PATCHY
FOG LATE THU NGT INTO ERLY FRI.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP QUIESCENT CONDITIONS ON THE
WATERS TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO HEADLINES ARE ANTICIPATED.

SHORT TO LONG TERM: NO HDLNS ANTICIPATED WITH WV HTS IN THE 2 TO 3
FT RANGE OVR THE OUTER MZS AND 1 TO 2 FT OVR THE INNER BAY/HARBOR
MZS. WENT WITH ABOUT 80 TO 90 PERCENT OF WW3 WV GUIDANCE FOR FCST
WV HTS THIS PD.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...HASTINGS
SHORT TERM...VJN
LONG TERM...VJN
AVIATION...HASTINGS/VJN
MARINE...HASTINGS/VJN






000
FXUS61 KCAR 201052
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
652 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MID WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
650 AM...HAVE REMOVED FOG WORDING FOR THIS MORNING AS ANY VALLEY
FOG SHOULD BURN OFF SOON. OTHERWISE, NO SIGNFICANT CHANGES WERE
NEEDED THIS MORNING.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE WILL CONTINUE
TO BUILD ACROSS NEW ENGLAND TODAY WHILE UPPER LOW PRESSURE MOVES
AWAY TO OUR EAST. AS SUCH, THE DRY WEATHER WILL PREVAIL TODAY AND
TONIGHT, WITH JUST SOME FAIR WEATHER CUMULUS CLOUDS POPPING UP
THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHS WILL BE MID 70S TO AROUND 80, WITH THE
IMMEDIATE COAST A BIT COOLER. WHILE SKIES WILL CLEAR OUT THIS
EVENING, CLOUDS WILL ONCE AGAIN INCREASE LATE TONIGHT AHEAD OF
ANOTHER UPPER LOW PRESSURE MOVING OUT OF THE GREAT LAKES. THIS
CLOUD COVER WILL KEEP OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES WARMER
THAN THE PREVIOUS NIGHT, EXCEPT ACROSS THE FAR NORTHWEST WHERE
SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY CLEAR FOR MUCH OF THE NIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
MODELS SHOW WEAK REX-LIKE BLOCKING SETTING UP OVR FAR NRN NEW ENG...
QB PROV AND THE MARITIMES THU INTO THE WEEKEND. INITIALLY...A WEAK
UPPER LOW MOVG E OVR THE GULF OF ME UNDERCUTS THE ANOMALOUS UPPER
RIDGE OVR NRN/CNTRL QB THU AFTN INTO ERLY EVE. THIS COULD RESULT
IN SCT SHWRS AND POSSIBLE TSTMS DURG THIS TM PD MSLY OVR W CNTRL
AND W INTERIOR DOWNEAST AREAS. DAYTIME HTG RESULTING IN SBCAPE UP
TO 500 J/KG WILL HELP WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF THESE SHWRS. BY MID
TO LATE EVE THESE SHWRS SHOULD DIMINISH AND LARGELY DISSIPATE WITH
THE LOSS OF HTG. AFTWRDS...WITH A WEAK SFC PRES GRAD AND SOME
REMNANT LVL MOISTURE...PATCHY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE OVR THE REGION
LATE THU NGT INTO ERLY FRI MORN.

ON FRI THE WEAK UPPER LOW OVR THE GULF OF ME WILL CONT TO SLOWLY
MOVE SE OF NOVA SCOTIA...WITH PERHAPS ENOUGH REMNANT LLVL MOISTURE
FOR ISOLD AFTN SHWRS...MSLY OVR WRN MTNS. HI TEMPS THU LOOK TO BE
A LITTLE ABV NORMAL WITH OVRNGT LOWS THU NGT NEAR NORMAL. SFC HI
PRES RIDGING SSWRD FROM WRN LABRADOR WILL LIKELY BRING SLIGHTLY
COOLER...BUT STILL NEAR SEASONAL NORMAL HI TEMPS UNDER PTLY SUNNY
SKIES. SLIGHTLY BREEZIER CONDITIONS FROM THE ENE FRI NGT SHOULD
MSLY PRECLUDE PATCHY FOG FRI NGT.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
REX BLOCKING WILL CONT INTO THE WEEKEND AS THE UPPER LOW S OF
NOVA SCOTIA SLOWLY MOVES ESE INTO THE OPEN ATLC AND THE UPPER
RIDGE/HIGH BEGINS TO RE-ASSERT ITSELF A LITTLE FURTHER S OVR CNTRL
QB. HI TEMPS SAT AND SUN WILL BE NEAR SEASONAL NORMS UNDER MSLY
SUNNY SKIES WITH OVRNGT LOWS A LITTLE BLO AVG AS THE SFC HI
CROSSES THE REGION. HI TEMPS MON AND TUE WILL BEGIN TO WARM AS THE
UPPER RIDGE AXIS MOVES SWRD OVR THE FA...ALLOWING THE SFC HI
CONTS TO TO MOVE INTO THE GULF OF ME AND A RETURN SW SFC WIND SETS
UP OVR THE FA. IN FACT...WE MAY BE CONSERVATIVE WITH HI TEMPS
SPCLY TUE IF THE UPPER RIDGE IS AS STRONG AS BOTH THE 00Z GFS AND
ECMWF MODELS INDICATE...WHICH WOULD SUGGEST HI TEMPS INTO THE 80S
ACROSS LOWER TRRN OF NRN/CNTRL ME. OVRNGT LOWS SUN NGT AND MON NGT
WILL ALSO BEGIN TO WARM DURING THIS TM.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ONLY
EXCEPTION IS LOCALIZED MVFR/POSSIBLE IFR IN FOG DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS.

SHORT TO LONG TERM: VFR XPCTD...XCPT PERHAPS MVFR/IFR IN PATCHY
FOG LATE THU NGT INTO ERLY FRI.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP QUIESCENT CONDITIONS ON THE
WATERS TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO HEADLINES ARE ANTICIPATED.

SHORT TO LONG TERM: NO HDLNS ANTICIPATED WITH WV HTS IN THE 2 TO 3
FT RANGE OVR THE OUTER MZS AND 1 TO 2 FT OVR THE INNER BAY/HARBOR
MZS. WENT WITH ABOUT 80 TO 90 PERCENT OF WW3 WV GUIDANCE FOR FCST
WV HTS THIS PD.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...HASTINGS
SHORT TERM...VJN
LONG TERM...VJN
AVIATION...HASTINGS/VJN
MARINE...HASTINGS/VJN






000
FXUS61 KCAR 201052
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
652 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MID WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
650 AM...HAVE REMOVED FOG WORDING FOR THIS MORNING AS ANY VALLEY
FOG SHOULD BURN OFF SOON. OTHERWISE, NO SIGNFICANT CHANGES WERE
NEEDED THIS MORNING.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE WILL CONTINUE
TO BUILD ACROSS NEW ENGLAND TODAY WHILE UPPER LOW PRESSURE MOVES
AWAY TO OUR EAST. AS SUCH, THE DRY WEATHER WILL PREVAIL TODAY AND
TONIGHT, WITH JUST SOME FAIR WEATHER CUMULUS CLOUDS POPPING UP
THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHS WILL BE MID 70S TO AROUND 80, WITH THE
IMMEDIATE COAST A BIT COOLER. WHILE SKIES WILL CLEAR OUT THIS
EVENING, CLOUDS WILL ONCE AGAIN INCREASE LATE TONIGHT AHEAD OF
ANOTHER UPPER LOW PRESSURE MOVING OUT OF THE GREAT LAKES. THIS
CLOUD COVER WILL KEEP OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES WARMER
THAN THE PREVIOUS NIGHT, EXCEPT ACROSS THE FAR NORTHWEST WHERE
SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY CLEAR FOR MUCH OF THE NIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
MODELS SHOW WEAK REX-LIKE BLOCKING SETTING UP OVR FAR NRN NEW ENG...
QB PROV AND THE MARITIMES THU INTO THE WEEKEND. INITIALLY...A WEAK
UPPER LOW MOVG E OVR THE GULF OF ME UNDERCUTS THE ANOMALOUS UPPER
RIDGE OVR NRN/CNTRL QB THU AFTN INTO ERLY EVE. THIS COULD RESULT
IN SCT SHWRS AND POSSIBLE TSTMS DURG THIS TM PD MSLY OVR W CNTRL
AND W INTERIOR DOWNEAST AREAS. DAYTIME HTG RESULTING IN SBCAPE UP
TO 500 J/KG WILL HELP WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF THESE SHWRS. BY MID
TO LATE EVE THESE SHWRS SHOULD DIMINISH AND LARGELY DISSIPATE WITH
THE LOSS OF HTG. AFTWRDS...WITH A WEAK SFC PRES GRAD AND SOME
REMNANT LVL MOISTURE...PATCHY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE OVR THE REGION
LATE THU NGT INTO ERLY FRI MORN.

ON FRI THE WEAK UPPER LOW OVR THE GULF OF ME WILL CONT TO SLOWLY
MOVE SE OF NOVA SCOTIA...WITH PERHAPS ENOUGH REMNANT LLVL MOISTURE
FOR ISOLD AFTN SHWRS...MSLY OVR WRN MTNS. HI TEMPS THU LOOK TO BE
A LITTLE ABV NORMAL WITH OVRNGT LOWS THU NGT NEAR NORMAL. SFC HI
PRES RIDGING SSWRD FROM WRN LABRADOR WILL LIKELY BRING SLIGHTLY
COOLER...BUT STILL NEAR SEASONAL NORMAL HI TEMPS UNDER PTLY SUNNY
SKIES. SLIGHTLY BREEZIER CONDITIONS FROM THE ENE FRI NGT SHOULD
MSLY PRECLUDE PATCHY FOG FRI NGT.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
REX BLOCKING WILL CONT INTO THE WEEKEND AS THE UPPER LOW S OF
NOVA SCOTIA SLOWLY MOVES ESE INTO THE OPEN ATLC AND THE UPPER
RIDGE/HIGH BEGINS TO RE-ASSERT ITSELF A LITTLE FURTHER S OVR CNTRL
QB. HI TEMPS SAT AND SUN WILL BE NEAR SEASONAL NORMS UNDER MSLY
SUNNY SKIES WITH OVRNGT LOWS A LITTLE BLO AVG AS THE SFC HI
CROSSES THE REGION. HI TEMPS MON AND TUE WILL BEGIN TO WARM AS THE
UPPER RIDGE AXIS MOVES SWRD OVR THE FA...ALLOWING THE SFC HI
CONTS TO TO MOVE INTO THE GULF OF ME AND A RETURN SW SFC WIND SETS
UP OVR THE FA. IN FACT...WE MAY BE CONSERVATIVE WITH HI TEMPS
SPCLY TUE IF THE UPPER RIDGE IS AS STRONG AS BOTH THE 00Z GFS AND
ECMWF MODELS INDICATE...WHICH WOULD SUGGEST HI TEMPS INTO THE 80S
ACROSS LOWER TRRN OF NRN/CNTRL ME. OVRNGT LOWS SUN NGT AND MON NGT
WILL ALSO BEGIN TO WARM DURING THIS TM.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ONLY
EXCEPTION IS LOCALIZED MVFR/POSSIBLE IFR IN FOG DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS.

SHORT TO LONG TERM: VFR XPCTD...XCPT PERHAPS MVFR/IFR IN PATCHY
FOG LATE THU NGT INTO ERLY FRI.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP QUIESCENT CONDITIONS ON THE
WATERS TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO HEADLINES ARE ANTICIPATED.

SHORT TO LONG TERM: NO HDLNS ANTICIPATED WITH WV HTS IN THE 2 TO 3
FT RANGE OVR THE OUTER MZS AND 1 TO 2 FT OVR THE INNER BAY/HARBOR
MZS. WENT WITH ABOUT 80 TO 90 PERCENT OF WW3 WV GUIDANCE FOR FCST
WV HTS THIS PD.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...HASTINGS
SHORT TERM...VJN
LONG TERM...VJN
AVIATION...HASTINGS/VJN
MARINE...HASTINGS/VJN






000
FXUS61 KGYX 201005
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
605 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN DRAPED ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH TONIGHT. A
WEAK DISTURBANCE FROM THE GREAT LAKES WILL WASHOUT AS IT APPROACHES
FROM THE GREAT LAKES ON THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. A RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE WILL ANCHOR OVER MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE OVER THE WEEKEND
AND EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...

600 AM...MINOR ESTF UPDATE TO REFLECT THE CURRENT MESONET.

PREV DISC...
OUTSIDE OF SOME PATCHY VALLEY FOG AND STRATUS THIS MORNING...A
MOSTLY SUNNY DAY UNDER SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE. HIGHS WILL BE NEAR
80...BUT A FEW DEGREES COOLER ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND AT THE
IMMEDIATE COAST WHERE THE LIGHT SYNOPTIC FLOW WILL TURN ONSHORE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
A CLEAR START THEN A FEW CLOUDS LATE AHEAD OF THE GREAT LAKES
DISTURBANCE. ONCE AGAIN...THERE SHOULD BE SOME PATCHY VALLEY FOG
AND STRATUS. A COOLER DAY ON THURSDAY WITH MORE CLOUDS AND AN
ONSHORE BREEZE. WESTERN AND NORTHERN SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA
COULD SEE A BRIEF SHOWER ASSOCIATED WITH THE WEAKENING GREAT LAKES
SYSTEM.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL REMAIN SOUTHWEST OF AREA THROUGH EARLY
NEXT WEEK AS A SERIES OF WAVES MOVE ALONG THE FRONT. THIS WILL
BRING MORE CLOUDS INTO THE REGION FOR THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY.
A STRENGTHENING SURFACE RIDGE OVER MAINE WILL GRADUALLY PUSH
FRONTAL BOUNDARY SOUTHWEST LEADING TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES OVER THE
WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH PLEASANT TEMPERATURES. A COLD
FRONT WILL APPROACH THE REGION MID WEEK NEXT WEEK. NEW HAMPSHIRE
COULD SEE A SHOWER THURSDAY NIGHT OR FRIDAY....OTHERWISE DRY
WEATHER IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /10Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR EXCEPT FOR NOCTURNAL FOG AT LEBANON AND
WHITEFIELD.

LONG TERM...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED EXCEPT FOR MORNING FOG IN
FAVORED AREAS.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...

LONG TERM...
SHORT TERM...WINDS AND SEAS EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT
THRESHOLD.

LONG TERM...WINDS AND SEAS EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT
CRITERIA.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
ES



000
FXUS61 KGYX 201005
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
605 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN DRAPED ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH TONIGHT. A
WEAK DISTURBANCE FROM THE GREAT LAKES WILL WASHOUT AS IT APPROACHES
FROM THE GREAT LAKES ON THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. A RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE WILL ANCHOR OVER MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE OVER THE WEEKEND
AND EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...

600 AM...MINOR ESTF UPDATE TO REFLECT THE CURRENT MESONET.

PREV DISC...
OUTSIDE OF SOME PATCHY VALLEY FOG AND STRATUS THIS MORNING...A
MOSTLY SUNNY DAY UNDER SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE. HIGHS WILL BE NEAR
80...BUT A FEW DEGREES COOLER ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND AT THE
IMMEDIATE COAST WHERE THE LIGHT SYNOPTIC FLOW WILL TURN ONSHORE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
A CLEAR START THEN A FEW CLOUDS LATE AHEAD OF THE GREAT LAKES
DISTURBANCE. ONCE AGAIN...THERE SHOULD BE SOME PATCHY VALLEY FOG
AND STRATUS. A COOLER DAY ON THURSDAY WITH MORE CLOUDS AND AN
ONSHORE BREEZE. WESTERN AND NORTHERN SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA
COULD SEE A BRIEF SHOWER ASSOCIATED WITH THE WEAKENING GREAT LAKES
SYSTEM.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL REMAIN SOUTHWEST OF AREA THROUGH EARLY
NEXT WEEK AS A SERIES OF WAVES MOVE ALONG THE FRONT. THIS WILL
BRING MORE CLOUDS INTO THE REGION FOR THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY.
A STRENGTHENING SURFACE RIDGE OVER MAINE WILL GRADUALLY PUSH
FRONTAL BOUNDARY SOUTHWEST LEADING TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES OVER THE
WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH PLEASANT TEMPERATURES. A COLD
FRONT WILL APPROACH THE REGION MID WEEK NEXT WEEK. NEW HAMPSHIRE
COULD SEE A SHOWER THURSDAY NIGHT OR FRIDAY....OTHERWISE DRY
WEATHER IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /10Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR EXCEPT FOR NOCTURNAL FOG AT LEBANON AND
WHITEFIELD.

LONG TERM...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED EXCEPT FOR MORNING FOG IN
FAVORED AREAS.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...

LONG TERM...
SHORT TERM...WINDS AND SEAS EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT
THRESHOLD.

LONG TERM...WINDS AND SEAS EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT
CRITERIA.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
ES




000
FXUS61 KCAR 200707
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
307 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MID WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD ACROSS NEW
ENGLAND TODAY WHILE UPPER LOW PRESSURE MOVES AWAY TO OUR EAST. AS
SUCH, THE DRY WEATHER WILL PREVAIL TODAY AND TONIGHT, WITH JUST SOME
FAIR WEATHER CUMULUS CLOUDS POPPING UP THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHS WILL BE
MID 70S TO AROUND 80, WITH THE IMMEDIATE COAST A BIT COOLER. WHILE
SKIES WILL CLEAR OUT THIS EVENING, CLOUDS WILL ONCE AGAIN INCREASE
LATE TONIGHT AHEAD OF ANOTHER UPPER LOW PRESSURE MOVING OUT OF THE
GREAT LAKES. THIS CLOUD COVER WILL KEEP OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES A FEW
DEGREES WARMER THAN THE PREVIOUS NIGHT, EXCEPT ACROSS THE FAR
NORTHWEST WHERE SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY CLEAR FOR MUCH OF THE
NIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
MODELS SHOW WEAK REX-LIKE BLOCKING SETTING UP OVR FAR NRN NEW ENG...
QB PROV AND THE MARITIMES THU INTO THE WEEKEND. INITIALLY...A WEAK
UPPER LOW MOVG E OVR THE GULF OF ME UNDERCUTS THE ANOMALOUS UPPER
RIDGE OVR NRN/CNTRL QB THU AFTN INTO ERLY EVE. THIS COULD RESULT
IN SCT SHWRS AND POSSIBLE TSTMS DURG THIS TM PD MSLY OVR W CNTRL
AND W INTERIOR DOWNEAST AREAS. DAYTIME HTG RESULTING IN SBCAPE UP
TO 500 J/KG WILL HELP WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF THESE SHWRS. BY MID
TO LATE EVE THESE SHWRS SHOULD DIMINISH AND LARGELY DISSIPATE WITH
THE LOSS OF HTG. AFTWRDS...WITH A WEAK SFC PRES GRAD AND SOME
REMNANT LVL MOISTURE...PATCHY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE OVR THE REGION
LATE THU NGT INTO ERLY FRI MORN.

ON FRI THE WEAK UPPER LOW OVR THE GULF OF ME WILL CONT TO SLOWLY
MOVE SE OF NOVA SCOTIA...WITH PERHAPS ENOUGH REMNANT LLVL MOISTURE
FOR ISOLD AFTN SHWRS...MSLY OVR WRN MTNS. HI TEMPS THU LOOK TO BE
A LITTLE ABV NORMAL WITH OVRNGT LOWS THU NGT NEAR NORMAL. SFC HI
PRES RIDGING SSWRD FROM WRN LABRADOR WILL LIKELY BRING SLIGHTLY
COOLER...BUT STILL NEAR SEASONAL NORMAL HI TEMPS UNDER PTLY SUNNY
SKIES. SLIGHTLY BREEZIER CONDITIONS FROM THE ENE FRI NGT SHOULD
MSLY PRECLUDE PATCHY FOG FRI NGT.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
REX BLOCKING WILL CONT INTO THE WEEKEND AS THE UPPER LOW S OF
NOVA SCOTIA SLOWLY MOVES ESE INTO THE OPEN ATLC AND THE UPPER
RIDGE/HIGH BEGINS TO RE-ASSERT ITSELF A LITTLE FURTHER S OVR CNTRL
QB. HI TEMPS SAT AND SUN WILL BE NEAR SEASONAL NORMS UNDER MSLY
SUNNY SKIES WITH OVRNGT LOWS A LITTLE BLO AVG AS THE SFC HI
CROSSES THE REGION. HI TEMPS MON AND TUE WILL BEGIN TO WARM AS THE
UPPER RIDGE AXIS MOVES SWRD OVR THE FA...ALLOWING THE SFC HI
CONTS TO TO MOVE INTO THE GULF OF ME AND A RETURN SW SFC WIND SETS
UP OVR THE FA. IN FACT...WE MAY BE CONSERVATIVE WITH HI TEMPS
SPCLY TUE IF THE UPPER RIDGE IS AS STRONG AS BOTH THE 00Z GFS AND
ECMWF MODELS INDICATE...WHICH WOULD SUGGEST HI TEMPS INTO THE 80S
ACROSS LOWER TRRN OF NRN/CNTRL ME. OVRNGT LOWS SUN NGT AND MON NGT
WILL ALSO BEGIN TO WARM DURING THIS TM.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ONLY
EXCEPTION IS LOCALIZED MVFR/POSSIBLE IFR IN FOG DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS.

SHORT TO LONG TERM: VFR XPCTD...XCPT PERHAPS MVFR/IFR IN PATCHY
FOG LATE THU NGT INTO ERLY FRI.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP QUIESCENT CONDITIONS ON THE
WATERS TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO HEADLINES ARE ANTICIPATED.

SHORT TO LONG TERM: NO HDLNS ANTICIPATED WITH WV HTS IN THE 2 TO 3
FT RANGE OVR THE OUTER MZS AND 1 TO 2 FT OVR THE INNER BAY/HARBOR
MZS. WENT WITH ABOUT 80 TO 90 PERCENT OF WW3 WV GUIDANCE FOR FCST
WV HTS THIS PD.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...HASTINGS
SHORT TERM...VJN
LONG TERM...VJN
AVIATION...HASTINGS/VJN
MARINE...HASTINGS/VJN








000
FXUS61 KGYX 200649
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
249 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN DRAPED ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH TONIGHT. A
WEAK DISTURBANCE FROM THE GREAT LAKES WILL WASHOUT AS IT APPROACHES
FROM THE GREAT LAKES ON THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. A RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE WILL ANCHOR OVER MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE OVER THE WEEKEND
AND EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
OUTSIDE OF SOME PATCHY VALLEY FOG AND STRATUS THIS MORNING...A
MOSTLY SUNNY DAY UNDER SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE. HIGHS WILL BE NEAR
80...BUT A FEW DEGREES COOLER ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND AT THE
IMMEDIATE COAST WHERE THE LIGHT SYNOPTIC FLOW WILL TURN ONSHORE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
A CLEAR START THEN A FEW CLOUDS LATE AHEAD OF THE GREAT LAKES
DISTURBANCE. ONCE AGAIN...THERE SHOULD BE SOME PATCHY VALLEY FOG
AND STRATUS. A COOLER DAY ON THURSDAY WITH MORE CLOUDS AND AN
ONSHORE BREEZE. WESTERN AND NORTHERN SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA
COULD SEE A BRIEF SHOWER ASSOCIATED WITH THE WEAKENING GREAT LAKES
SYSTEM.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL REMAIN SOUTHWEST OF AREA THROUGH EARLY
NEXT WEEK AS A SERIES OF WAVES MOVE ALONG THE FRONT. THIS WILL
BRING MORE CLOUDS INTO THE REGION FOR THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY.
A STRENGTHENING SURFACE RIDGE OVER MAINE WILL GRADUALLY PUSH
FRONTAL BOUNDARY SOUTHWEST LEADING TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES OVER THE
WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH PLEASANT TEMPERATURES. A COLD
FRONT WILL APPROACH THE REGION MID WEEK NEXT WEEK. NEW HAMPSHIRE
COULD SEE A SHOWER THURSDAY NIGHT OR FRIDAY....OTHERWISE DRY
WEATHER IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR EXCEPT FOR NOCTURNAL FOG AT LEBANON AND
WHITEFIELD.

LONG TERM...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED EXCEPT FOR MORNING FOG IN
FAVORED AREAS.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...WINDS AND SEAS EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT
THRESHOLD.

LONG TERM...WINDS AND SEAS EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT
CRITERIA.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
SCHWIBS/JENSENIUS




000
FXUS61 KCAR 200444
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1244 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MID WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
1240 AM UPDATE...HAVE ADDED PATCHY VALLEY FOG TO THE FORECAST FOR
TONIGHT/EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING AS TEMPERATURES ARE APPROACHING
DEW POINTS IN SOME AREAS. OTHERWISE, MADE SLIGHT ADJUSTMENTS TO
SKY COVER TO MATCH CURRENT SATELLITE TRENDS. NO OTHER CHANGES WERE
NEEDED.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... SURFACE/UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. DIURNAL CLOUDS
WILL DISSIPATE THIS EVENING...LEAVING MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES
OVERNIGHT. AFTER A SUNNY MORNING...DIURNAL CLOUDS WILL DEVELOP
AGAIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WITH PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS
THE FORECAST AREA. LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE
MID 40S TO AROUND 50 NORTH...TO THE LOWER TO MID 50S DOWNEAST.
HIGH TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 70S
NORTH...TO AROUND 80 INTERIOR DOWNEAST WITH MID TO UPPER 70S ALONG
THE DOWNEAST COAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH A LARGE BLOCKING
HIGH SETTING UP IN EASTERN CANADA. A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS MAY POP UP
TOWARDS PISCATAQUIS COUNTY THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING BUT WITH
LATE SEASON SURFACE HEATING...LITTLE MOISTURE AND A LACK OF
DYNAMICS...CONFIDENCE IS NOT TOO HIGH. ON THURSDAY NIGHT...AS THE
SURFACE AND UPPER HIGHS STRENGTHEN IN NORTHERN QUEBEC...A BACKDOOR
COLD FRONT WILL ARRIVE FROM THE NORTHEAST. THIS FEATURE WILL
INCREASE CLOUDS ACROSS THE AREA WITH A FEW SPRINKLES AS MOISTURE
FROM THE GULF OF ST LAWRENCE ADVECTS INTO THE FORECAST AREA. LOWS
THURSDAY NIGHT WILL BE WARMER...IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. THE
CLOUDS AND SPRINKLES WILL PERSIST INTO FRIDAY MORNING. FRIDAY WILL
BE COOLER DUE TO THE MORNING CLOUDS...A STRONGER EASTERLY FLOW
AND COOLER AIR ALOFT. FOR THE MOUNTAINS FROM THE KATAHDIN
SOUTHWEST INTO PISCATAQUIS COUNTY...CLOUDS MAY NOT BREAK UP UNTIL
LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THE HIGH WITH ITS PLEASANT TEMPERATURES AND LOW HUMIDITY CONTINUES
SATURDAY INTO TUESDAY. SUFFICIENT H850 MOISTURE WILL EXIST FOR
MIDDAY CUMULUS FIELDS. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TUESDAY WITH
SOUTHWEST WINDS. TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE PERIOD WILL RANGE FROM
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWS IN THE 50S.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SHORT TERM: VFR OUTSIDE OF A CHANCE OF MVFR CEILINGS FOR TERMINALS
NORTH OF HUL AND GNR ON FRIDAY MORNING.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SHORT TERM: NO SIGNIFICANT ISSUES EXPECTED WITH SEAS AROUND 2 FEET
AND LIGHT WINDS.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...HASTINGS/NORCROSS
SHORT TERM...MCW
LONG TERM...MCW
AVIATION...HASTINGS/NORCROSS/MCW
MARINE...HASTINGS/NORCROSS/MCW






000
FXUS61 KCAR 200444
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1244 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MID WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
1240 AM UPDATE...HAVE ADDED PATCHY VALLEY FOG TO THE FORECAST FOR
TONIGHT/EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING AS TEMPERATURES ARE APPROACHING
DEW POINTS IN SOME AREAS. OTHERWISE, MADE SLIGHT ADJUSTMENTS TO
SKY COVER TO MATCH CURRENT SATELLITE TRENDS. NO OTHER CHANGES WERE
NEEDED.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... SURFACE/UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. DIURNAL CLOUDS
WILL DISSIPATE THIS EVENING...LEAVING MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES
OVERNIGHT. AFTER A SUNNY MORNING...DIURNAL CLOUDS WILL DEVELOP
AGAIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WITH PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS
THE FORECAST AREA. LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE
MID 40S TO AROUND 50 NORTH...TO THE LOWER TO MID 50S DOWNEAST.
HIGH TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 70S
NORTH...TO AROUND 80 INTERIOR DOWNEAST WITH MID TO UPPER 70S ALONG
THE DOWNEAST COAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH A LARGE BLOCKING
HIGH SETTING UP IN EASTERN CANADA. A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS MAY POP UP
TOWARDS PISCATAQUIS COUNTY THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING BUT WITH
LATE SEASON SURFACE HEATING...LITTLE MOISTURE AND A LACK OF
DYNAMICS...CONFIDENCE IS NOT TOO HIGH. ON THURSDAY NIGHT...AS THE
SURFACE AND UPPER HIGHS STRENGTHEN IN NORTHERN QUEBEC...A BACKDOOR
COLD FRONT WILL ARRIVE FROM THE NORTHEAST. THIS FEATURE WILL
INCREASE CLOUDS ACROSS THE AREA WITH A FEW SPRINKLES AS MOISTURE
FROM THE GULF OF ST LAWRENCE ADVECTS INTO THE FORECAST AREA. LOWS
THURSDAY NIGHT WILL BE WARMER...IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. THE
CLOUDS AND SPRINKLES WILL PERSIST INTO FRIDAY MORNING. FRIDAY WILL
BE COOLER DUE TO THE MORNING CLOUDS...A STRONGER EASTERLY FLOW
AND COOLER AIR ALOFT. FOR THE MOUNTAINS FROM THE KATAHDIN
SOUTHWEST INTO PISCATAQUIS COUNTY...CLOUDS MAY NOT BREAK UP UNTIL
LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THE HIGH WITH ITS PLEASANT TEMPERATURES AND LOW HUMIDITY CONTINUES
SATURDAY INTO TUESDAY. SUFFICIENT H850 MOISTURE WILL EXIST FOR
MIDDAY CUMULUS FIELDS. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TUESDAY WITH
SOUTHWEST WINDS. TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE PERIOD WILL RANGE FROM
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWS IN THE 50S.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SHORT TERM: VFR OUTSIDE OF A CHANCE OF MVFR CEILINGS FOR TERMINALS
NORTH OF HUL AND GNR ON FRIDAY MORNING.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SHORT TERM: NO SIGNIFICANT ISSUES EXPECTED WITH SEAS AROUND 2 FEET
AND LIGHT WINDS.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...HASTINGS/NORCROSS
SHORT TERM...MCW
LONG TERM...MCW
AVIATION...HASTINGS/NORCROSS/MCW
MARINE...HASTINGS/NORCROSS/MCW






000
FXUS61 KCAR 200444
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1244 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MID WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
1240 AM UPDATE...HAVE ADDED PATCHY VALLEY FOG TO THE FORECAST FOR
TONIGHT/EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING AS TEMPERATURES ARE APPROACHING
DEW POINTS IN SOME AREAS. OTHERWISE, MADE SLIGHT ADJUSTMENTS TO
SKY COVER TO MATCH CURRENT SATELLITE TRENDS. NO OTHER CHANGES WERE
NEEDED.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... SURFACE/UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. DIURNAL CLOUDS
WILL DISSIPATE THIS EVENING...LEAVING MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES
OVERNIGHT. AFTER A SUNNY MORNING...DIURNAL CLOUDS WILL DEVELOP
AGAIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WITH PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS
THE FORECAST AREA. LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE
MID 40S TO AROUND 50 NORTH...TO THE LOWER TO MID 50S DOWNEAST.
HIGH TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 70S
NORTH...TO AROUND 80 INTERIOR DOWNEAST WITH MID TO UPPER 70S ALONG
THE DOWNEAST COAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH A LARGE BLOCKING
HIGH SETTING UP IN EASTERN CANADA. A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS MAY POP UP
TOWARDS PISCATAQUIS COUNTY THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING BUT WITH
LATE SEASON SURFACE HEATING...LITTLE MOISTURE AND A LACK OF
DYNAMICS...CONFIDENCE IS NOT TOO HIGH. ON THURSDAY NIGHT...AS THE
SURFACE AND UPPER HIGHS STRENGTHEN IN NORTHERN QUEBEC...A BACKDOOR
COLD FRONT WILL ARRIVE FROM THE NORTHEAST. THIS FEATURE WILL
INCREASE CLOUDS ACROSS THE AREA WITH A FEW SPRINKLES AS MOISTURE
FROM THE GULF OF ST LAWRENCE ADVECTS INTO THE FORECAST AREA. LOWS
THURSDAY NIGHT WILL BE WARMER...IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. THE
CLOUDS AND SPRINKLES WILL PERSIST INTO FRIDAY MORNING. FRIDAY WILL
BE COOLER DUE TO THE MORNING CLOUDS...A STRONGER EASTERLY FLOW
AND COOLER AIR ALOFT. FOR THE MOUNTAINS FROM THE KATAHDIN
SOUTHWEST INTO PISCATAQUIS COUNTY...CLOUDS MAY NOT BREAK UP UNTIL
LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THE HIGH WITH ITS PLEASANT TEMPERATURES AND LOW HUMIDITY CONTINUES
SATURDAY INTO TUESDAY. SUFFICIENT H850 MOISTURE WILL EXIST FOR
MIDDAY CUMULUS FIELDS. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TUESDAY WITH
SOUTHWEST WINDS. TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE PERIOD WILL RANGE FROM
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWS IN THE 50S.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SHORT TERM: VFR OUTSIDE OF A CHANCE OF MVFR CEILINGS FOR TERMINALS
NORTH OF HUL AND GNR ON FRIDAY MORNING.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SHORT TERM: NO SIGNIFICANT ISSUES EXPECTED WITH SEAS AROUND 2 FEET
AND LIGHT WINDS.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...HASTINGS/NORCROSS
SHORT TERM...MCW
LONG TERM...MCW
AVIATION...HASTINGS/NORCROSS/MCW
MARINE...HASTINGS/NORCROSS/MCW






000
FXUS61 KCAR 200444
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1244 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MID WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
1240 AM UPDATE...HAVE ADDED PATCHY VALLEY FOG TO THE FORECAST FOR
TONIGHT/EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING AS TEMPERATURES ARE APPROACHING
DEW POINTS IN SOME AREAS. OTHERWISE, MADE SLIGHT ADJUSTMENTS TO
SKY COVER TO MATCH CURRENT SATELLITE TRENDS. NO OTHER CHANGES WERE
NEEDED.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... SURFACE/UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. DIURNAL CLOUDS
WILL DISSIPATE THIS EVENING...LEAVING MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES
OVERNIGHT. AFTER A SUNNY MORNING...DIURNAL CLOUDS WILL DEVELOP
AGAIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WITH PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS
THE FORECAST AREA. LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE
MID 40S TO AROUND 50 NORTH...TO THE LOWER TO MID 50S DOWNEAST.
HIGH TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 70S
NORTH...TO AROUND 80 INTERIOR DOWNEAST WITH MID TO UPPER 70S ALONG
THE DOWNEAST COAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH A LARGE BLOCKING
HIGH SETTING UP IN EASTERN CANADA. A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS MAY POP UP
TOWARDS PISCATAQUIS COUNTY THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING BUT WITH
LATE SEASON SURFACE HEATING...LITTLE MOISTURE AND A LACK OF
DYNAMICS...CONFIDENCE IS NOT TOO HIGH. ON THURSDAY NIGHT...AS THE
SURFACE AND UPPER HIGHS STRENGTHEN IN NORTHERN QUEBEC...A BACKDOOR
COLD FRONT WILL ARRIVE FROM THE NORTHEAST. THIS FEATURE WILL
INCREASE CLOUDS ACROSS THE AREA WITH A FEW SPRINKLES AS MOISTURE
FROM THE GULF OF ST LAWRENCE ADVECTS INTO THE FORECAST AREA. LOWS
THURSDAY NIGHT WILL BE WARMER...IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. THE
CLOUDS AND SPRINKLES WILL PERSIST INTO FRIDAY MORNING. FRIDAY WILL
BE COOLER DUE TO THE MORNING CLOUDS...A STRONGER EASTERLY FLOW
AND COOLER AIR ALOFT. FOR THE MOUNTAINS FROM THE KATAHDIN
SOUTHWEST INTO PISCATAQUIS COUNTY...CLOUDS MAY NOT BREAK UP UNTIL
LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THE HIGH WITH ITS PLEASANT TEMPERATURES AND LOW HUMIDITY CONTINUES
SATURDAY INTO TUESDAY. SUFFICIENT H850 MOISTURE WILL EXIST FOR
MIDDAY CUMULUS FIELDS. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TUESDAY WITH
SOUTHWEST WINDS. TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE PERIOD WILL RANGE FROM
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWS IN THE 50S.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SHORT TERM: VFR OUTSIDE OF A CHANCE OF MVFR CEILINGS FOR TERMINALS
NORTH OF HUL AND GNR ON FRIDAY MORNING.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SHORT TERM: NO SIGNIFICANT ISSUES EXPECTED WITH SEAS AROUND 2 FEET
AND LIGHT WINDS.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...HASTINGS/NORCROSS
SHORT TERM...MCW
LONG TERM...MCW
AVIATION...HASTINGS/NORCROSS/MCW
MARINE...HASTINGS/NORCROSS/MCW






000
FXUS61 KGYX 200254
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
1050 PM EDT TUE AUG 19 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS SOUTHWARD TONIGHT. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL
DROP SOUTHWARD OUT OF CANADA THURSDAY AND WASH OUT OVER THE AREA
ON FRIDAY...AND COULD PRODUCE A FEW SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY IN THE
MOUNTAINS. COOL...BUT FAIR WEATHER IS EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND
AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTH. A WARMING TREND IS
EXPECTED EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /TONIGHT/...
1040 PM UPDATE...HAVE UPDATED THE FORECAST
FOR MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO MAINLY TEMPERATURES AND SKY BASED ON LATEST
TRENDS IN OBSERVATIONAL DATA.

730 PM UPDATE...HAVE ADJUSTED THE FORECAST A
TINY BIT BASED ON LATEST TRENDS IN OBSERVATIONAL DATA. A QUIET NIGHT
REMAINS IN STORE.

HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE AREA BRINGS LIGHT WINDS AND A CLEAR SKY
TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES SHOULD FALL OFF AGAIN TONIGHT TO ABOUT THE
SAME LEVELS THEY DID LAST NIGHT. DEWPOINTS MAY BE A FEW DEGREES
HIGHER WHICH MEANS THERE WILL BE AT LEAST AS GREAT A CHANCE FOR
FOG TONIGHT AS THERE WAS LAST NIGHT... IF NOT A LITTLE BIT GREATER
TONIGHT. HAVE FAVORED THE MOUNTAIN VALLEYS WITH FOG TONIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVER THE AREA WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL
BE A FEW DEGREES WARMER ALOFT... AND THUS HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL
BE A FEW DEGREES WARMER AS WELL... NEAR 80. SEA BREEZE WILL OCCUR
AT THE COAST.

EXPECT VALLEY FOG AGAIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT IN FAVORED LOCATIONS. WITH
HIGHER DEWPOINTS... TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY STAY IN THE 50S.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
STAGNANT PATTERN EXPECTED AT THE END OF THE THE WEEK AND THROUGH
THE WEEKEND AS WEAK 500MB REX BLOCK SETS UP OVER EASTERN CANADA
AND THE NORTHEAST US...KEEPING THINGS ON THE COOLER SIDE THROUGH
THE WEEKEND.

ON THURSDAY...AS WEAK 500MB TROUGHING DEVELOPS...WILL SEE A WEAK
COLD FRONT DROP SWD...PERHAPS SOMETHING CLOSE TO A BACK-DOOR
FRONT. THIS WILL BRING A THREAT OF SHOWERS TO NE ZONES ON
THURSDAY. THE FRONT STALLS OVER THE N AND E ZONES THURSDAY NIGHT
INTO FRIDAY AND EVENTUALLY WASHES OUT BY FRIDAY NIGHT AND
SATURDAY. THERE WILL BE ANOTHER THREAT OF SHOWERS ON FRIDAY INTO
FRIDAY EVENING GENERALLY IN THE NORTHERN AND EASTERN ZONES. THE
WEAK FLOW AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL TREND TOWARD ONSHORE
WHICH WILL KEEP THINGS COOL...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE COAST...WITH
HIGHS THURSDAY AND FRIDAY ON THE COAST 70 TO 75...AND IN THE MID
TO UPPER 70S INLAND. ONE QUESTION IS IF THE ONSHORE FLOW WILL
PRODUCE ANY COASTAL STRATUS OR FOG...ESPECIALLY ON FRIDAY AND
FRIDAY NIGHT.

BY SATURDAY...SHOULD SEE HIGH PRESSURE START BUILDING IN FORM THE
NORTH...AND CLEARING OUT THE REMNANTS OF THE FRONT...WITH SOME
SLIGHT INCREASE IN TEMPERATURES OVER THE WEEKEND. A MORE WESTERLY
FLOW BEGINS TO DEVELOP ALOFT EARLY NEXT WEEK...AND THIS SHOULD
ALLOW THE WARMER SPOTS TO REACH AROUND 80...WITH MOST OTHER PLACES
IN THE MID-UPPER 70S.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR EXCEPT FOR NOCTURNAL FOG AT LEBANON AND
WHITEFIELD. FOG COULD ALSO OCCUR AT CONCORD AND AUGUSTA TONIGHT
THOUGH CONFIDENCE IS MUCH LESS HERE.

LONG TERM...MAINLY VFR THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. WILL HAVE TO
WATCH FOR SOME COASTAL FOG AND STRATUS FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...
WIND FLOW WILL BE DOMINATED BY SEABREEZE CIRCULATIONS. WAVE
HEIGHTS VERY LOW THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

LONG TERM...WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN WELL BELOW SMALL CRAFT
THRESHOLDS INTO THE WEEKEND...WITH INCREASING W WINDS BY SUNDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM UPDATE...MLE



000
FXUS61 KCAR 200217
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1017 PM EDT TUE AUG 19 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MID WEEK.&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
10 PM UPDATE... OTHER THAN A FEW SCATTERED HIGH CLOUDS MOST
LOCATIONS ARE SEEING CLEAR TO MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES TONIGHT. A COOL
NIGHT IS IN STORE WITH LIGHT TO CALM WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES WHICH
WILL GIVE US DECENT RADIATIONAL COOLING ACROSS THE FA. LOWEST
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN VALLEY LOCATIONS INCLUDING NW
PORTIONS OF THE REGIONS WHICH ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE MID TO
UPPER 40S. NO MAJOR CHANGES WITH THIS UPDATE OTHER THAN MINOR
ADJUSTMENTS FOR CURRENT CONDITIONS AND TRENDS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... SURFACE/UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. DIURNAL CLOUDS
WILL DISSIPATE THIS EVENING...LEAVING MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES
OVERNIGHT. AFTER A SUNNY MORNING...DIURNAL CLOUDS WILL DEVELOP
AGAIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WITH PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS
THE FORECAST AREA. LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE
MID 40S TO AROUND 50 NORTH...TO THE LOWER TO MID 50S DOWNEAST.
HIGH TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 70S
NORTH...TO AROUND 80 INTERIOR DOWNEAST WITH MID TO UPPER 70S ALONG
THE DOWNEAST COAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH A LARGE BLOCKING
HIGH SETTING UP IN EASTERN CANADA. A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS MAY POP UP
TOWARDS PISCATAQUIS COUNTY THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING BUT WITH
LATE SEASON SURFACE HEATING...LITTLE MOISTURE AND A LACK OF
DYNAMICS...CONFIDENCE IS NOT TOO HIGH. ON THURSDAY NIGHT...AS THE
SURFACE AND UPPER HIGHS STRENGTHEN IN NORTHERN QUEBEC...A BACKDOOR
COLD FRONT WILL ARRIVE FROM THE NORTHEAST. THIS FEATURE WILL
INCREASE CLOUDS ACROSS THE AREA WITH A FEW SPRINKLES AS MOISTURE
FROM THE GULF OF ST LAWRENCE ADVECTS INTO THE FORECAST AREA. LOWS
THURSDAY NIGHT WILL BE WARMER...IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. THE
CLOUDS AND SPRINKLES WILL PERSIST INTO FRIDAY MORNING. FRIDAY WILL
BE COOLER DUE TO THE MORNING CLOUDS...A STRONGER EASTERLY FLOW
AND COOLER AIR ALOFT. FOR THE MOUNTAINS FROM THE KATAHDIN
SOUTHWEST INTO PISCATAQUIS COUNTY...CLOUDS MAY NOT BREAK UP UNTIL
LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THE HIGH WITH ITS PLEASANT TEMPERATURES AND LOW HUMIDITY CONTINUES
SATURDAY INTO TUESDAY. SUFFICIENT H850 MOISTURE WILL EXIST FOR
MIDDAY CUMULUS FIELDS. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TUESDAY WITH
SOUTHWEST WINDS. TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE PERIOD WILL RANGE FROM
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWS IN THE 50S.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SHORT TERM: VFR OUTSIDE OF A CHANCE OF MVFR CEILINGS FOR TERMINALS
NORTH OF HUL AND GNR ON FRIDAY MORNING.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SHORT TERM: NO SIGNIFICANT ISSUES EXPECTED WITH SEAS AROUND 2 FEET
AND LIGHT WINDS.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...JORDAN/NORCROSS
SHORT TERM...MCW
LONG TERM...MCW
AVIATION...JORDAN/NORCROSS/MCW
MARINE...JORDAN/NORCROSS/MCW







000
FXUS61 KCAR 200217
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1017 PM EDT TUE AUG 19 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MID WEEK.&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
10 PM UPDATE... OTHER THAN A FEW SCATTERED HIGH CLOUDS MOST
LOCATIONS ARE SEEING CLEAR TO MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES TONIGHT. A COOL
NIGHT IS IN STORE WITH LIGHT TO CALM WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES WHICH
WILL GIVE US DECENT RADIATIONAL COOLING ACROSS THE FA. LOWEST
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN VALLEY LOCATIONS INCLUDING NW
PORTIONS OF THE REGIONS WHICH ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE MID TO
UPPER 40S. NO MAJOR CHANGES WITH THIS UPDATE OTHER THAN MINOR
ADJUSTMENTS FOR CURRENT CONDITIONS AND TRENDS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... SURFACE/UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. DIURNAL CLOUDS
WILL DISSIPATE THIS EVENING...LEAVING MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES
OVERNIGHT. AFTER A SUNNY MORNING...DIURNAL CLOUDS WILL DEVELOP
AGAIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WITH PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS
THE FORECAST AREA. LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE
MID 40S TO AROUND 50 NORTH...TO THE LOWER TO MID 50S DOWNEAST.
HIGH TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 70S
NORTH...TO AROUND 80 INTERIOR DOWNEAST WITH MID TO UPPER 70S ALONG
THE DOWNEAST COAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH A LARGE BLOCKING
HIGH SETTING UP IN EASTERN CANADA. A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS MAY POP UP
TOWARDS PISCATAQUIS COUNTY THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING BUT WITH
LATE SEASON SURFACE HEATING...LITTLE MOISTURE AND A LACK OF
DYNAMICS...CONFIDENCE IS NOT TOO HIGH. ON THURSDAY NIGHT...AS THE
SURFACE AND UPPER HIGHS STRENGTHEN IN NORTHERN QUEBEC...A BACKDOOR
COLD FRONT WILL ARRIVE FROM THE NORTHEAST. THIS FEATURE WILL
INCREASE CLOUDS ACROSS THE AREA WITH A FEW SPRINKLES AS MOISTURE
FROM THE GULF OF ST LAWRENCE ADVECTS INTO THE FORECAST AREA. LOWS
THURSDAY NIGHT WILL BE WARMER...IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. THE
CLOUDS AND SPRINKLES WILL PERSIST INTO FRIDAY MORNING. FRIDAY WILL
BE COOLER DUE TO THE MORNING CLOUDS...A STRONGER EASTERLY FLOW
AND COOLER AIR ALOFT. FOR THE MOUNTAINS FROM THE KATAHDIN
SOUTHWEST INTO PISCATAQUIS COUNTY...CLOUDS MAY NOT BREAK UP UNTIL
LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THE HIGH WITH ITS PLEASANT TEMPERATURES AND LOW HUMIDITY CONTINUES
SATURDAY INTO TUESDAY. SUFFICIENT H850 MOISTURE WILL EXIST FOR
MIDDAY CUMULUS FIELDS. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TUESDAY WITH
SOUTHWEST WINDS. TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE PERIOD WILL RANGE FROM
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWS IN THE 50S.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SHORT TERM: VFR OUTSIDE OF A CHANCE OF MVFR CEILINGS FOR TERMINALS
NORTH OF HUL AND GNR ON FRIDAY MORNING.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SHORT TERM: NO SIGNIFICANT ISSUES EXPECTED WITH SEAS AROUND 2 FEET
AND LIGHT WINDS.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...JORDAN/NORCROSS
SHORT TERM...MCW
LONG TERM...MCW
AVIATION...JORDAN/NORCROSS/MCW
MARINE...JORDAN/NORCROSS/MCW







000
FXUS61 KCAR 200217
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1017 PM EDT TUE AUG 19 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MID WEEK.&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
10 PM UPDATE... OTHER THAN A FEW SCATTERED HIGH CLOUDS MOST
LOCATIONS ARE SEEING CLEAR TO MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES TONIGHT. A COOL
NIGHT IS IN STORE WITH LIGHT TO CALM WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES WHICH
WILL GIVE US DECENT RADIATIONAL COOLING ACROSS THE FA. LOWEST
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN VALLEY LOCATIONS INCLUDING NW
PORTIONS OF THE REGIONS WHICH ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE MID TO
UPPER 40S. NO MAJOR CHANGES WITH THIS UPDATE OTHER THAN MINOR
ADJUSTMENTS FOR CURRENT CONDITIONS AND TRENDS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... SURFACE/UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. DIURNAL CLOUDS
WILL DISSIPATE THIS EVENING...LEAVING MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES
OVERNIGHT. AFTER A SUNNY MORNING...DIURNAL CLOUDS WILL DEVELOP
AGAIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WITH PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS
THE FORECAST AREA. LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE
MID 40S TO AROUND 50 NORTH...TO THE LOWER TO MID 50S DOWNEAST.
HIGH TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 70S
NORTH...TO AROUND 80 INTERIOR DOWNEAST WITH MID TO UPPER 70S ALONG
THE DOWNEAST COAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH A LARGE BLOCKING
HIGH SETTING UP IN EASTERN CANADA. A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS MAY POP UP
TOWARDS PISCATAQUIS COUNTY THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING BUT WITH
LATE SEASON SURFACE HEATING...LITTLE MOISTURE AND A LACK OF
DYNAMICS...CONFIDENCE IS NOT TOO HIGH. ON THURSDAY NIGHT...AS THE
SURFACE AND UPPER HIGHS STRENGTHEN IN NORTHERN QUEBEC...A BACKDOOR
COLD FRONT WILL ARRIVE FROM THE NORTHEAST. THIS FEATURE WILL
INCREASE CLOUDS ACROSS THE AREA WITH A FEW SPRINKLES AS MOISTURE
FROM THE GULF OF ST LAWRENCE ADVECTS INTO THE FORECAST AREA. LOWS
THURSDAY NIGHT WILL BE WARMER...IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. THE
CLOUDS AND SPRINKLES WILL PERSIST INTO FRIDAY MORNING. FRIDAY WILL
BE COOLER DUE TO THE MORNING CLOUDS...A STRONGER EASTERLY FLOW
AND COOLER AIR ALOFT. FOR THE MOUNTAINS FROM THE KATAHDIN
SOUTHWEST INTO PISCATAQUIS COUNTY...CLOUDS MAY NOT BREAK UP UNTIL
LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THE HIGH WITH ITS PLEASANT TEMPERATURES AND LOW HUMIDITY CONTINUES
SATURDAY INTO TUESDAY. SUFFICIENT H850 MOISTURE WILL EXIST FOR
MIDDAY CUMULUS FIELDS. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TUESDAY WITH
SOUTHWEST WINDS. TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE PERIOD WILL RANGE FROM
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWS IN THE 50S.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SHORT TERM: VFR OUTSIDE OF A CHANCE OF MVFR CEILINGS FOR TERMINALS
NORTH OF HUL AND GNR ON FRIDAY MORNING.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SHORT TERM: NO SIGNIFICANT ISSUES EXPECTED WITH SEAS AROUND 2 FEET
AND LIGHT WINDS.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...JORDAN/NORCROSS
SHORT TERM...MCW
LONG TERM...MCW
AVIATION...JORDAN/NORCROSS/MCW
MARINE...JORDAN/NORCROSS/MCW







000
FXUS61 KCAR 200217
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1017 PM EDT TUE AUG 19 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MID WEEK.&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
10 PM UPDATE... OTHER THAN A FEW SCATTERED HIGH CLOUDS MOST
LOCATIONS ARE SEEING CLEAR TO MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES TONIGHT. A COOL
NIGHT IS IN STORE WITH LIGHT TO CALM WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES WHICH
WILL GIVE US DECENT RADIATIONAL COOLING ACROSS THE FA. LOWEST
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN VALLEY LOCATIONS INCLUDING NW
PORTIONS OF THE REGIONS WHICH ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE MID TO
UPPER 40S. NO MAJOR CHANGES WITH THIS UPDATE OTHER THAN MINOR
ADJUSTMENTS FOR CURRENT CONDITIONS AND TRENDS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... SURFACE/UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. DIURNAL CLOUDS
WILL DISSIPATE THIS EVENING...LEAVING MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES
OVERNIGHT. AFTER A SUNNY MORNING...DIURNAL CLOUDS WILL DEVELOP
AGAIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WITH PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS
THE FORECAST AREA. LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE
MID 40S TO AROUND 50 NORTH...TO THE LOWER TO MID 50S DOWNEAST.
HIGH TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 70S
NORTH...TO AROUND 80 INTERIOR DOWNEAST WITH MID TO UPPER 70S ALONG
THE DOWNEAST COAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH A LARGE BLOCKING
HIGH SETTING UP IN EASTERN CANADA. A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS MAY POP UP
TOWARDS PISCATAQUIS COUNTY THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING BUT WITH
LATE SEASON SURFACE HEATING...LITTLE MOISTURE AND A LACK OF
DYNAMICS...CONFIDENCE IS NOT TOO HIGH. ON THURSDAY NIGHT...AS THE
SURFACE AND UPPER HIGHS STRENGTHEN IN NORTHERN QUEBEC...A BACKDOOR
COLD FRONT WILL ARRIVE FROM THE NORTHEAST. THIS FEATURE WILL
INCREASE CLOUDS ACROSS THE AREA WITH A FEW SPRINKLES AS MOISTURE
FROM THE GULF OF ST LAWRENCE ADVECTS INTO THE FORECAST AREA. LOWS
THURSDAY NIGHT WILL BE WARMER...IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. THE
CLOUDS AND SPRINKLES WILL PERSIST INTO FRIDAY MORNING. FRIDAY WILL
BE COOLER DUE TO THE MORNING CLOUDS...A STRONGER EASTERLY FLOW
AND COOLER AIR ALOFT. FOR THE MOUNTAINS FROM THE KATAHDIN
SOUTHWEST INTO PISCATAQUIS COUNTY...CLOUDS MAY NOT BREAK UP UNTIL
LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THE HIGH WITH ITS PLEASANT TEMPERATURES AND LOW HUMIDITY CONTINUES
SATURDAY INTO TUESDAY. SUFFICIENT H850 MOISTURE WILL EXIST FOR
MIDDAY CUMULUS FIELDS. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TUESDAY WITH
SOUTHWEST WINDS. TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE PERIOD WILL RANGE FROM
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWS IN THE 50S.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SHORT TERM: VFR OUTSIDE OF A CHANCE OF MVFR CEILINGS FOR TERMINALS
NORTH OF HUL AND GNR ON FRIDAY MORNING.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SHORT TERM: NO SIGNIFICANT ISSUES EXPECTED WITH SEAS AROUND 2 FEET
AND LIGHT WINDS.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...JORDAN/NORCROSS
SHORT TERM...MCW
LONG TERM...MCW
AVIATION...JORDAN/NORCROSS/MCW
MARINE...JORDAN/NORCROSS/MCW







000
FXUS61 KGYX 192340
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
740 PM EDT TUE AUG 19 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS SOUTHWARD TONIGHT. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL
DROP SOUTHWARD OUT OF CANADA THURSDAY AND WASH OUT OVER THE AREA
ON FRIDAY...AND COULD PRODUCE A FEW SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY IN THE
MOUNTAINS. COOL...BUT FAIR WEATHER IS EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND
AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTH. A WARMING TREND IS
EXPECTED EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /TONIGHT/... 730 PM UPDATE...HAVE ADJUSTED THE FORECAST A
TINY BIT BASED ON LATEST TRENDS IN OBSERVATIONAL DATA. A QUIET NIGHT
REMAINS IN STORE.

HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE AREA BRINGS LIGHT WINDS AND A CLEAR SKY
TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES SHOULD FALL OFF AGAIN TONIGHT TO ABOUT THE
SAME LEVELS THEY DID LAST NIGHT. DEWPOINTS MAY BE A FEW DEGREES
HIGHER WHICH MEANS THERE WILL BE AT LEAST AS GREAT A CHANCE FOR
FOG TONIGHT AS THERE WAS LAST NIGHT... IF NOT A LITTLE BIT GREATER
TONIGHT. HAVE FAVORED THE MOUNTAIN VALLEYS WITH FOG TONIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVER THE AREA WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL
BE A FEW DEGREES WARMER ALOFT... AND THUS HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL
BE A FEW DEGREES WARMER AS WELL... NEAR 80. SEA BREEZE WILL OCCUR
AT THE COAST.

EXPECT VALLEY FOG AGAIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT IN FAVORED LOCATIONS. WITH
HIGHER DEWPOINTS... TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY STAY IN THE 50S.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
STAGNANT PATTERN EXPECTED AT THE END OF THE THE WEEK AND THROUGH
THE WEEKEND AS WEAK 500MB REX BLOCK SETS UP OVER EASTERN CANADA
AND THE NORTHEAST US...KEEPING THINGS ON THE COOLER SIDE THROUGH
THE WEEKEND.

ON THURSDAY...AS WEAK 500MB TROUGHING DEVELOPS...WILL SEE A WEAK
COLD FRONT DROP SWD...PERHAPS SOMETHING CLOSE TO A BACK-DOOR
FRONT. THIS WILL BRING A THREAT OF SHOWERS TO NE ZONES ON
THURSDAY. THE FRONT STALLS OVER THE N AND E ZONES THURSDAY NIGHT
INTO FRIDAY AND EVENTUALLY WASHES OUT BY FRIDAY NIGHT AND
SATURDAY. THERE WILL BE ANOTHER THREAT OF SHOWERS ON FRIDAY INTO
FRIDAY EVENING GENERALLY IN THE NORTHERN AND EASTERN ZONES. THE
WEAK FLOW AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL TREND TOWARD ONSHORE
WHICH WILL KEEP THINGS COOL...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE COAST...WITH
HIGHS THURSDAY AND FRIDAY ON THE COAST 70 TO 75...AND IN THE MID
TO UPPER 70S INLAND. ONE QUESTION IS IF THE ONSHORE FLOW WILL
PRODUCE ANY COASTAL STRATUS OR FOG...ESPECIALLY ON FRIDAY AND
FRIDAY NIGHT.

BY SATURDAY...SHOULD SEE HIGH PRESSURE START BUILDING IN FORM THE
NORTH...AND CLEARING OUT THE REMNANTS OF THE FRONT...WITH SOME
SLIGHT INCREASE IN TEMPERATURES OVER THE WEEKEND. A MORE WESTERLY
FLOW BEGINS TO DEVELOP ALOFT EARLY NEXT WEEK...AND THIS SHOULD
ALLOW THE WARMER SPOTS TO REACH AROUND 80...WITH MOST OTHER PLACES
IN THE MID-UPPER 70S.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR EXCEPT FOR NOCTURNAL FOG AT LEBANON AND
WHITEFIELD. FOG COULD ALSO OCCUR AT CONCORD AND AUGUSTA TONIGHT
THOUGH CONFIDENCE IS MUCH LESS HERE.

LONG TERM...MAINLY VFR THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. WILL HAVE TO
WATCH FOR SOME COASTAL FOG AND STRATUS FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...
WIND FLOW WILL BE DOMINATED BY SEABREEZE CIRCULATIONS. WAVE
HEIGHTS VERY LOW THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

LONG TERM...WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN WELL BELOW SMALL CRAFT
THRESHOLDS INTO THE WEEKEND...WITH INCREASING W WINDS BY SUNDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM UPDATE...MLE




000
FXUS61 KGYX 192340
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
740 PM EDT TUE AUG 19 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS SOUTHWARD TONIGHT. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL
DROP SOUTHWARD OUT OF CANADA THURSDAY AND WASH OUT OVER THE AREA
ON FRIDAY...AND COULD PRODUCE A FEW SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY IN THE
MOUNTAINS. COOL...BUT FAIR WEATHER IS EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND
AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTH. A WARMING TREND IS
EXPECTED EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /TONIGHT/... 730 PM UPDATE...HAVE ADJUSTED THE FORECAST A
TINY BIT BASED ON LATEST TRENDS IN OBSERVATIONAL DATA. A QUIET NIGHT
REMAINS IN STORE.

HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE AREA BRINGS LIGHT WINDS AND A CLEAR SKY
TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES SHOULD FALL OFF AGAIN TONIGHT TO ABOUT THE
SAME LEVELS THEY DID LAST NIGHT. DEWPOINTS MAY BE A FEW DEGREES
HIGHER WHICH MEANS THERE WILL BE AT LEAST AS GREAT A CHANCE FOR
FOG TONIGHT AS THERE WAS LAST NIGHT... IF NOT A LITTLE BIT GREATER
TONIGHT. HAVE FAVORED THE MOUNTAIN VALLEYS WITH FOG TONIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVER THE AREA WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL
BE A FEW DEGREES WARMER ALOFT... AND THUS HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL
BE A FEW DEGREES WARMER AS WELL... NEAR 80. SEA BREEZE WILL OCCUR
AT THE COAST.

EXPECT VALLEY FOG AGAIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT IN FAVORED LOCATIONS. WITH
HIGHER DEWPOINTS... TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY STAY IN THE 50S.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
STAGNANT PATTERN EXPECTED AT THE END OF THE THE WEEK AND THROUGH
THE WEEKEND AS WEAK 500MB REX BLOCK SETS UP OVER EASTERN CANADA
AND THE NORTHEAST US...KEEPING THINGS ON THE COOLER SIDE THROUGH
THE WEEKEND.

ON THURSDAY...AS WEAK 500MB TROUGHING DEVELOPS...WILL SEE A WEAK
COLD FRONT DROP SWD...PERHAPS SOMETHING CLOSE TO A BACK-DOOR
FRONT. THIS WILL BRING A THREAT OF SHOWERS TO NE ZONES ON
THURSDAY. THE FRONT STALLS OVER THE N AND E ZONES THURSDAY NIGHT
INTO FRIDAY AND EVENTUALLY WASHES OUT BY FRIDAY NIGHT AND
SATURDAY. THERE WILL BE ANOTHER THREAT OF SHOWERS ON FRIDAY INTO
FRIDAY EVENING GENERALLY IN THE NORTHERN AND EASTERN ZONES. THE
WEAK FLOW AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL TREND TOWARD ONSHORE
WHICH WILL KEEP THINGS COOL...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE COAST...WITH
HIGHS THURSDAY AND FRIDAY ON THE COAST 70 TO 75...AND IN THE MID
TO UPPER 70S INLAND. ONE QUESTION IS IF THE ONSHORE FLOW WILL
PRODUCE ANY COASTAL STRATUS OR FOG...ESPECIALLY ON FRIDAY AND
FRIDAY NIGHT.

BY SATURDAY...SHOULD SEE HIGH PRESSURE START BUILDING IN FORM THE
NORTH...AND CLEARING OUT THE REMNANTS OF THE FRONT...WITH SOME
SLIGHT INCREASE IN TEMPERATURES OVER THE WEEKEND. A MORE WESTERLY
FLOW BEGINS TO DEVELOP ALOFT EARLY NEXT WEEK...AND THIS SHOULD
ALLOW THE WARMER SPOTS TO REACH AROUND 80...WITH MOST OTHER PLACES
IN THE MID-UPPER 70S.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR EXCEPT FOR NOCTURNAL FOG AT LEBANON AND
WHITEFIELD. FOG COULD ALSO OCCUR AT CONCORD AND AUGUSTA TONIGHT
THOUGH CONFIDENCE IS MUCH LESS HERE.

LONG TERM...MAINLY VFR THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. WILL HAVE TO
WATCH FOR SOME COASTAL FOG AND STRATUS FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...
WIND FLOW WILL BE DOMINATED BY SEABREEZE CIRCULATIONS. WAVE
HEIGHTS VERY LOW THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

LONG TERM...WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN WELL BELOW SMALL CRAFT
THRESHOLDS INTO THE WEEKEND...WITH INCREASING W WINDS BY SUNDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM UPDATE...MLE



000
FXUS61 KCAR 192305
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
705 PM EDT TUE AUG 19 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MID WEEK.&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
7 PM UPDATE... CLOUD COVER HAS DROPPED OFF THROUGH THE LATE
AFTERNOON HOURS AND MOST OF THE DIURNALLY DRIVEN CUMULUS IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO DECREASE IN COVERAGE THROUGH THE EVENING.
THIS WILL GIVE WAY TO A MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ACROSS THE REGION
TONIGHT. NO MAJOR CHANGES MADE TO THE FORECAST BESIDES UPDATING
WITH CURRENT CONDITIONS AND TRENDS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... SURFACE/UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. DIURNAL CLOUDS
WILL DISSIPATE THIS EVENING...LEAVING MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES
OVERNIGHT. AFTER A SUNNY MORNING...DIURNAL CLOUDS WILL DEVELOP
AGAIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WITH PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS
THE FORECAST AREA. LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE
MID 40S TO AROUND 50 NORTH...TO THE LOWER TO MID 50S DOWNEAST.
HIGH TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 70S
NORTH...TO AROUND 80 INTERIOR DOWNEAST WITH MID TO UPPER 70S ALONG
THE DOWNEAST COAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH A LARGE BLOCKING
HIGH SETTING UP IN EASTERN CANADA. A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS MAY POP UP
TOWARDS PISCATAQUIS COUNTY THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING BUT WITH
LATE SEASON SURFACE HEATING...LITTLE MOISTURE AND A LACK OF
DYNAMICS...CONFIDENCE IS NOT TOO HIGH. ON THURSDAY NIGHT...AS THE
SURFACE AND UPPER HIGHS STRENGTHEN IN NORTHERN QUEBEC...A BACKDOOR
COLD FRONT WILL ARRIVE FROM THE NORTHEAST. THIS FEATURE WILL
INCREASE CLOUDS ACROSS THE AREA WITH A FEW SPRINKLES AS MOISTURE
FROM THE GULF OF ST LAWRENCE ADVECTS INTO THE FORECAST AREA. LOWS
THURSDAY NIGHT WILL BE WARMER...IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. THE
CLOUDS AND SPRINKLES WILL PERSIST INTO FRIDAY MORNING. FRIDAY WILL
BE COOLER DUE TO THE MORNING CLOUDS...A STRONGER EASTERLY FLOW
AND COOLER AIR ALOFT. FOR THE MOUNTAINS FROM THE KATAHDIN
SOUTHWEST INTO PISCATAQUIS COUNTY...CLOUDS MAY NOT BREAK UP UNTIL
LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THE HIGH WITH ITS PLEASANT TEMPERATURES AND LOW HUMIDITY CONTINUES
SATURDAY INTO TUESDAY. SUFFICIENT H850 MOISTURE WILL EXIST FOR
MIDDAY CUMULUS FIELDS. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TUESDAY WITH
SOUTHWEST WINDS. TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE PERIOD WILL RANGE FROM
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWS IN THE 50S.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SHORT TERM: VFR OUTSIDE OF A CHANCE OF MVFR CEILINGS FOR TERMINALS
NORTH OF HUL AND GNR ON FRIDAY MORNING.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SHORT TERM: NO SIGNIFICANT ISSUES EXPECTED WITH SEAS AROUND 2 FEET
AND LIGHT WINDS.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...JORDAN/NORCROSS
SHORT TERM...MCW
LONG TERM...MCW
AVIATION...JORDAN/NORCROSS/MCW
MARINE...JORDAN/NORCROSS/MCW







000
FXUS61 KCAR 192305
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
705 PM EDT TUE AUG 19 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MID WEEK.&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
7 PM UPDATE... CLOUD COVER HAS DROPPED OFF THROUGH THE LATE
AFTERNOON HOURS AND MOST OF THE DIURNALLY DRIVEN CUMULUS IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO DECREASE IN COVERAGE THROUGH THE EVENING.
THIS WILL GIVE WAY TO A MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ACROSS THE REGION
TONIGHT. NO MAJOR CHANGES MADE TO THE FORECAST BESIDES UPDATING
WITH CURRENT CONDITIONS AND TRENDS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... SURFACE/UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. DIURNAL CLOUDS
WILL DISSIPATE THIS EVENING...LEAVING MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES
OVERNIGHT. AFTER A SUNNY MORNING...DIURNAL CLOUDS WILL DEVELOP
AGAIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WITH PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS
THE FORECAST AREA. LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE
MID 40S TO AROUND 50 NORTH...TO THE LOWER TO MID 50S DOWNEAST.
HIGH TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 70S
NORTH...TO AROUND 80 INTERIOR DOWNEAST WITH MID TO UPPER 70S ALONG
THE DOWNEAST COAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH A LARGE BLOCKING
HIGH SETTING UP IN EASTERN CANADA. A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS MAY POP UP
TOWARDS PISCATAQUIS COUNTY THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING BUT WITH
LATE SEASON SURFACE HEATING...LITTLE MOISTURE AND A LACK OF
DYNAMICS...CONFIDENCE IS NOT TOO HIGH. ON THURSDAY NIGHT...AS THE
SURFACE AND UPPER HIGHS STRENGTHEN IN NORTHERN QUEBEC...A BACKDOOR
COLD FRONT WILL ARRIVE FROM THE NORTHEAST. THIS FEATURE WILL
INCREASE CLOUDS ACROSS THE AREA WITH A FEW SPRINKLES AS MOISTURE
FROM THE GULF OF ST LAWRENCE ADVECTS INTO THE FORECAST AREA. LOWS
THURSDAY NIGHT WILL BE WARMER...IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. THE
CLOUDS AND SPRINKLES WILL PERSIST INTO FRIDAY MORNING. FRIDAY WILL
BE COOLER DUE TO THE MORNING CLOUDS...A STRONGER EASTERLY FLOW
AND COOLER AIR ALOFT. FOR THE MOUNTAINS FROM THE KATAHDIN
SOUTHWEST INTO PISCATAQUIS COUNTY...CLOUDS MAY NOT BREAK UP UNTIL
LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THE HIGH WITH ITS PLEASANT TEMPERATURES AND LOW HUMIDITY CONTINUES
SATURDAY INTO TUESDAY. SUFFICIENT H850 MOISTURE WILL EXIST FOR
MIDDAY CUMULUS FIELDS. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TUESDAY WITH
SOUTHWEST WINDS. TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE PERIOD WILL RANGE FROM
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWS IN THE 50S.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SHORT TERM: VFR OUTSIDE OF A CHANCE OF MVFR CEILINGS FOR TERMINALS
NORTH OF HUL AND GNR ON FRIDAY MORNING.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SHORT TERM: NO SIGNIFICANT ISSUES EXPECTED WITH SEAS AROUND 2 FEET
AND LIGHT WINDS.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...JORDAN/NORCROSS
SHORT TERM...MCW
LONG TERM...MCW
AVIATION...JORDAN/NORCROSS/MCW
MARINE...JORDAN/NORCROSS/MCW






000
FXUS61 KCAR 192028
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
428 PM EDT TUE AUG 19 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MID WEEK.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
SURFACE/UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION
TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. DIURNAL CLOUDS WILL DISSIPATE THIS
EVENING...LEAVING MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES OVERNIGHT. AFTER A SUNNY
MORNING...DIURNAL CLOUDS WILL DEVELOP AGAIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
WITH PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. LOW
TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 40S TO AROUND 50
NORTH...TO THE LOWER TO MID 50S DOWNEAST. HIGH TEMPERATURES
WEDNESDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 70S NORTH...TO AROUND 80
INTERIOR DOWNEAST WITH MID TO UPPER 70S ALONG THE DOWNEAST COAST.
&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH A LARGE BLOCKING
HIGH SETTING UP IN EASTERN CANADA. A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS MAY POP UP
TOWARDS PISCATAQUIS COUNTY THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING BUT WITH
LATE SEASON SURFACE HEATING...LITTLE MOISTURE AND A LACK OF
DYNAMICS...CONFIDENCE IS NOT TOO HIGH. ON THURSDAY NIGHT...AS THE
SURFACE AND UPPER HIGHS STRENGTHEN IN NORTHERN QUEBEC...A BACKDOOR
COLD FRONT WILL ARRIVE FROM THE NORTHEAST. THIS FEATURE WILL
INCREASE CLOUDS ACROSS THE AREA WITH A FEW SPRINKLES AS MOISTURE
FROM THE GULF OF ST LAWRENCE ADVECTS INTO THE FORECAST AREA. LOWS
THURSDAY NIGHT WILL BE WARMER...IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. THE
CLOUDS AND SPRINKLES WILL PERSIST INTO FRIDAY MORNING. FRIDAY WILL
BE COOLER DUE TO THE MORNING CLOUDS...A STRONGER EASTERLY FLOW
AND COOLER AIR ALOFT. FOR THE MOUNTAINS FROM THE KATAHDIN
SOUTHWEST INTO PISCATAQUIS COUNTY...CLOUDS MAY NOT BREAK UP UNTIL
LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.
&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THE HIGH WITH ITS PLEASANT TEMPERATURES AND LOW HUMIDITY CONTINUES
SATURDAY INTO TUESDAY. SUFFICIENT H850 MOISTURE WILL EXIST FOR
MIDDAY CUMULUS FIELDS. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TUESDAY WITH
SOUTHWEST WINDS. TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE PERIOD WILL RANGE FROM
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWS IN THE 50S.
&&

.AVIATION /20Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SHORT TERM: VFR OUTSIDE OF A CHANCE OF MVFR CEILINGS FOR TERMINALS
NORTH OF HUL AND GNR ON FRIDAY MORNING.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SHORT TERM: NO SIGNIFICANT ISSUES EXPECTED WITH SEAS AROUND 2 FEET
AND LIGHT WINDS.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
&&

$$
NEAR TERM...NORCROSS
SHORT TERM...MCW
LONG TERM...MCW
AVIATION...NORCROSS/MCW
MARINE...NORCROSS/MCW











000
FXUS61 KGYX 191936
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
336 PM EDT TUE AUG 19 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS SOUTHWARD TONIGHT. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL
DROP SOUTHWARD OUT OF CANADA THURSDAY AND WASH OUT OVER THE AREA
ON FRIDAY...AND COULD PRODUCE A FEW SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY IN THE
MOUNTAINS. COOL...BUT FAIR WEATHER IS EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND
AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTH. A WARMING TREND IS
EXPECTED EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /TONIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE AREA BRINGS LIGHT WINDS AND A CLEAR SKY
TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES SHOULD FALL OFF AGAIN TONIGHT TO ABOUT THE
SAME LEVELS THEY DID LAST NIGHT. DEWPOINTS MAY BE A FEW DEGREES
HIGHER WHICH MEANS THERE WILL BE AT LEAST AS GREAT A CHANCE FOR
FOG TONIGHT AS THERE WAS LAST NIGHT... IF NOT A LITTLE BIT GREATER
TONIGHT. HAVE FAVORED THE MOUNTAIN VALLEYS WITH FOG TONIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVER THE AREA WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL
BE A FEW DEGREES WARMER ALOFT... AND THUS HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL
BE A FEW DEGREES WARMER AS WELL... NEAR 80. SEA BREEZE WILL OCCUR
AT THE COAST.

EXPECT VALLEY FOG AGAIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT IN FAVORED LOCATIONS. WITH
HIGHER DEWPOINTS... TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY STAY IN THE 50S.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
STAGNANT PATTERN EXPECTED AT THE END OF THE THE WEEK AND THROUGH
THE WEEKEND AS WEAK 500MB REX BLOCK SETS UP OVER EASTERN CANADA
AND THE NORTHEAST US...KEEPING THINGS ON THE COOLER SIDE THROUGH
THE WEEKEND.

ON THURSDAY...AS WEAK 500MB TROUGHING DEVELOPS...WILL SEE A WEAK
COLD FRONT DROP SWD...PERHAPS SOMETHING CLOSE TO A BACK-DOOR
FRONT. THIS WILL BRING A THREAT OF SHOWERS TO NE ZONES ON
THURSDAY. THE FRONT STALLS OVER THE N AND E ZONES THURSDAY NIGHT
INTO FRIDAY AND EVENTUALLY WASHES OUT BY FRIDAY NIGHT AND
SATURDAY. THERE WILL BE ANOTHER THREAT OF SHOWERS ON FRIDAY INTO
FRIDAY EVENING GENERALLY IN THE NORTHERN AND EASTERN ZONES. THE
WEAK FLOW AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL TREND TOWARD ONSHORE
WHICH WILL KEEP THINGS COOL...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE COAST...WITH
HIGHS THURSDAY AND FRIDAY ON THE COAST 70 TO 75...AND IN THE MID
TO UPPER 70S INLAND. ONE QUESTION IS IF THE ONSHORE FLOW WILL
PRODUCE ANY COASTAL STRATUS OR FOG...ESPECIALLY ON FRIDAY AND
FRIDAY NIGHT.

BY SATURDAY...SHOULD SEE HIGH PRESSURE START BUILDING IN FORM THE
NORTH...AND CLEARING OUT THE REMNANTS OF THE FRONT...WITH SOME
SLIGHT INCREASE IN TEMPERATURES OVER THE WEEKEND. A MORE WESTERLY
FLOW BEGINS TO DEVELOP ALOFT EARLY NEXT WEEK...AND THIS SHOULD
ALLOW THE WARMER SPOTS TO REACH AROUND 80...WITH MOST OTHER PLACES
IN THE MID-UPPER 70S.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR EXCEPT FOR NOCTURNAL FOG AT LEBANON AND
WHITEFIELD. FOG COULD ALSO OCCUR AT CONCORD AND AUGUSTA TONIGHT
THOUGH CONFIDENCE IS MUCH LESS HERE.

LONG TERM...MAINLY VFR THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. WILL HAVE TO
WATCH FOR SOME COASTAL FOG AND STRATUS FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...
WIND FLOW WILL BE DOMINATED BY SEABREEZE CIRCULATIONS. WAVE
HEIGHTS VERY LOW THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

LONG TERM...WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN WELL BELOW SMALL CRAFT
THRESHOLDS INTO THE WEEKEND...WITH INCREASING W WINDS BY SUNDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...CEMPA
NEAR TERM...KIMBLE
SHORT TERM...KIMBLE
LONG TERM...CEMPA
AVIATION...CEMPA/KIMBLE
MARINE...CEMPA/KIMBLE



000
FXUS61 KGYX 191936
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
336 PM EDT TUE AUG 19 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS SOUTHWARD TONIGHT. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL
DROP SOUTHWARD OUT OF CANADA THURSDAY AND WASH OUT OVER THE AREA
ON FRIDAY...AND COULD PRODUCE A FEW SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY IN THE
MOUNTAINS. COOL...BUT FAIR WEATHER IS EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND
AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTH. A WARMING TREND IS
EXPECTED EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /TONIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE AREA BRINGS LIGHT WINDS AND A CLEAR SKY
TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES SHOULD FALL OFF AGAIN TONIGHT TO ABOUT THE
SAME LEVELS THEY DID LAST NIGHT. DEWPOINTS MAY BE A FEW DEGREES
HIGHER WHICH MEANS THERE WILL BE AT LEAST AS GREAT A CHANCE FOR
FOG TONIGHT AS THERE WAS LAST NIGHT... IF NOT A LITTLE BIT GREATER
TONIGHT. HAVE FAVORED THE MOUNTAIN VALLEYS WITH FOG TONIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVER THE AREA WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL
BE A FEW DEGREES WARMER ALOFT... AND THUS HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL
BE A FEW DEGREES WARMER AS WELL... NEAR 80. SEA BREEZE WILL OCCUR
AT THE COAST.

EXPECT VALLEY FOG AGAIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT IN FAVORED LOCATIONS. WITH
HIGHER DEWPOINTS... TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY STAY IN THE 50S.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
STAGNANT PATTERN EXPECTED AT THE END OF THE THE WEEK AND THROUGH
THE WEEKEND AS WEAK 500MB REX BLOCK SETS UP OVER EASTERN CANADA
AND THE NORTHEAST US...KEEPING THINGS ON THE COOLER SIDE THROUGH
THE WEEKEND.

ON THURSDAY...AS WEAK 500MB TROUGHING DEVELOPS...WILL SEE A WEAK
COLD FRONT DROP SWD...PERHAPS SOMETHING CLOSE TO A BACK-DOOR
FRONT. THIS WILL BRING A THREAT OF SHOWERS TO NE ZONES ON
THURSDAY. THE FRONT STALLS OVER THE N AND E ZONES THURSDAY NIGHT
INTO FRIDAY AND EVENTUALLY WASHES OUT BY FRIDAY NIGHT AND
SATURDAY. THERE WILL BE ANOTHER THREAT OF SHOWERS ON FRIDAY INTO
FRIDAY EVENING GENERALLY IN THE NORTHERN AND EASTERN ZONES. THE
WEAK FLOW AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL TREND TOWARD ONSHORE
WHICH WILL KEEP THINGS COOL...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE COAST...WITH
HIGHS THURSDAY AND FRIDAY ON THE COAST 70 TO 75...AND IN THE MID
TO UPPER 70S INLAND. ONE QUESTION IS IF THE ONSHORE FLOW WILL
PRODUCE ANY COASTAL STRATUS OR FOG...ESPECIALLY ON FRIDAY AND
FRIDAY NIGHT.

BY SATURDAY...SHOULD SEE HIGH PRESSURE START BUILDING IN FORM THE
NORTH...AND CLEARING OUT THE REMNANTS OF THE FRONT...WITH SOME
SLIGHT INCREASE IN TEMPERATURES OVER THE WEEKEND. A MORE WESTERLY
FLOW BEGINS TO DEVELOP ALOFT EARLY NEXT WEEK...AND THIS SHOULD
ALLOW THE WARMER SPOTS TO REACH AROUND 80...WITH MOST OTHER PLACES
IN THE MID-UPPER 70S.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR EXCEPT FOR NOCTURNAL FOG AT LEBANON AND
WHITEFIELD. FOG COULD ALSO OCCUR AT CONCORD AND AUGUSTA TONIGHT
THOUGH CONFIDENCE IS MUCH LESS HERE.

LONG TERM...MAINLY VFR THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. WILL HAVE TO
WATCH FOR SOME COASTAL FOG AND STRATUS FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...
WIND FLOW WILL BE DOMINATED BY SEABREEZE CIRCULATIONS. WAVE
HEIGHTS VERY LOW THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

LONG TERM...WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN WELL BELOW SMALL CRAFT
THRESHOLDS INTO THE WEEKEND...WITH INCREASING W WINDS BY SUNDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...CEMPA
NEAR TERM...KIMBLE
SHORT TERM...KIMBLE
LONG TERM...CEMPA
AVIATION...CEMPA/KIMBLE
MARINE...CEMPA/KIMBLE




000
FXUS61 KCAR 191622
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1222 PM EDT TUE AUG 19 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MID WEEK.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPDATE...
SURFACE/UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE GULF OF
SAINT LAWRENCE THIS AFTERNOON...WITH HIGH PRESSURE WEST OF THE
REGION. CLOUDS WRAPPING AROUND THE MARITIMES LOW AND DIURNAL CLOUD
DEVELOPMENT WILL PRODUCE PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS MUCH OF THE
FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON...WITH PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES
ACROSS SOUTHWEST AREAS. AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE
FROM THE LOWER TO MID 70S NORTH...TO THE MID TO UPPER 70S
DOWNEAST. HAVE UPDATED THE FORECAST TO ADJUST FOR CURRENT
CONDITIONS ALONG WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES AND CLOUD COVER.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE
REGION TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD EAST. LOW
TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 40S TO THE LOWER 50S
NORTH AND LOW TO MID 50S CENTRAL AND DOWNEAST.
&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
FAIRLY QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THIS PERIOD AS HIGH PRESSURE
SETTLES OVER THE NORTHEAST CONTINENTAL UNITED STATES. WEDNESDAY WILL
FEATURE MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO AROUND 80.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL ALSO BE DRY, WITH INCREASING CLOUDS LATE AS A
WEAK SHORTWAVE ROTATES AROUND UPPER LOW PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN
GREAT LAKES. LOWS WILL BE THE COOL ACROSS THE NORTH...LOWER 50S WITH
SOME 40S POSSIBLE IN THE NORTHWEST...BUT SOUTHERN AREAS WILL BE A
BIT WARMER OWING TO THE AFOREMENTIONED CLOUDS. THE SHORTWAVE WILL
TRAVERSE ACROSS CENTRAL/SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND ON THURSDAY. MODEL
GUIDANCE IS INDICATING THAT SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS OUR
WESTERN SECTIONS AS THE SHORTWAVE PASSES BY. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE
MID TO UPPER 70S, EXCEPT ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST, WHICH WILL BE
AROUND 70 FOR DAYTIME TEMPERATURES.
&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
THE QUIET WEATHER WILL CONTINUE RIGHT THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS HIGH
PRESSURE KEEPS HOLD OF THE REGION. THERE WILL BE THE CHANCE FOR
AFTERNOON SHOWERS FRIDAY AND TO A LESSER EXTENT SATURDAY, MAINLY
OVER WESTERN AREAS. THIS IS DUE TO WEAK LOW PRESSURE THAT WILL
DEVELOP OVER SOUTHERN ONTARIO ON THURSDAY AND SLOWLY SLIDE SOUTHEAST
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. THE REST OF THE PERIOD LOOKS TO STAY
DRY. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN SEASONABLE, WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S AND
LOWS IN THE 50S.
&&

.AVIATION /16Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
NEAR TERM: COULD HAVE OCCASIONAL MVFR CEILINGS ACROSS NORTHERN
AND NORTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA INTO EARLY
AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
REGION THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE
LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK. THE EXCEPTION IS THE POTENTIAL FOR
LOCALIZED IFR IN PATCHY FOG LATE EACH NIGHT/EARLY EACH MORNING.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP QUIESCENT CONDITIONS ON THE
WATERS THROUGH THE END OF THIS WEEK. NO HEADLINES ARE ANTICIPATED.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...NORCROSS/DUDA
SHORT TERM...HASTINGS
LONG TERM...HASTINGS
AVIATION...NORCROSS/HASTINGS
MARINE...NORCROSS/HASTINGS






000
FXUS61 KCAR 191622
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1222 PM EDT TUE AUG 19 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MID WEEK.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPDATE...
SURFACE/UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE GULF OF
SAINT LAWRENCE THIS AFTERNOON...WITH HIGH PRESSURE WEST OF THE
REGION. CLOUDS WRAPPING AROUND THE MARITIMES LOW AND DIURNAL CLOUD
DEVELOPMENT WILL PRODUCE PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS MUCH OF THE
FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON...WITH PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES
ACROSS SOUTHWEST AREAS. AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE
FROM THE LOWER TO MID 70S NORTH...TO THE MID TO UPPER 70S
DOWNEAST. HAVE UPDATED THE FORECAST TO ADJUST FOR CURRENT
CONDITIONS ALONG WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES AND CLOUD COVER.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE
REGION TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD EAST. LOW
TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 40S TO THE LOWER 50S
NORTH AND LOW TO MID 50S CENTRAL AND DOWNEAST.
&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
FAIRLY QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THIS PERIOD AS HIGH PRESSURE
SETTLES OVER THE NORTHEAST CONTINENTAL UNITED STATES. WEDNESDAY WILL
FEATURE MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO AROUND 80.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL ALSO BE DRY, WITH INCREASING CLOUDS LATE AS A
WEAK SHORTWAVE ROTATES AROUND UPPER LOW PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN
GREAT LAKES. LOWS WILL BE THE COOL ACROSS THE NORTH...LOWER 50S WITH
SOME 40S POSSIBLE IN THE NORTHWEST...BUT SOUTHERN AREAS WILL BE A
BIT WARMER OWING TO THE AFOREMENTIONED CLOUDS. THE SHORTWAVE WILL
TRAVERSE ACROSS CENTRAL/SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND ON THURSDAY. MODEL
GUIDANCE IS INDICATING THAT SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS OUR
WESTERN SECTIONS AS THE SHORTWAVE PASSES BY. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE
MID TO UPPER 70S, EXCEPT ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST, WHICH WILL BE
AROUND 70 FOR DAYTIME TEMPERATURES.
&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
THE QUIET WEATHER WILL CONTINUE RIGHT THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS HIGH
PRESSURE KEEPS HOLD OF THE REGION. THERE WILL BE THE CHANCE FOR
AFTERNOON SHOWERS FRIDAY AND TO A LESSER EXTENT SATURDAY, MAINLY
OVER WESTERN AREAS. THIS IS DUE TO WEAK LOW PRESSURE THAT WILL
DEVELOP OVER SOUTHERN ONTARIO ON THURSDAY AND SLOWLY SLIDE SOUTHEAST
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. THE REST OF THE PERIOD LOOKS TO STAY
DRY. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN SEASONABLE, WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S AND
LOWS IN THE 50S.
&&

.AVIATION /16Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
NEAR TERM: COULD HAVE OCCASIONAL MVFR CEILINGS ACROSS NORTHERN
AND NORTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA INTO EARLY
AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
REGION THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE
LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK. THE EXCEPTION IS THE POTENTIAL FOR
LOCALIZED IFR IN PATCHY FOG LATE EACH NIGHT/EARLY EACH MORNING.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP QUIESCENT CONDITIONS ON THE
WATERS THROUGH THE END OF THIS WEEK. NO HEADLINES ARE ANTICIPATED.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...NORCROSS/DUDA
SHORT TERM...HASTINGS
LONG TERM...HASTINGS
AVIATION...NORCROSS/HASTINGS
MARINE...NORCROSS/HASTINGS







000
FXUS61 KGYX 191521
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
1121 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER NEW ENGLAND TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
A WEAK FRONT WILL WASHOUT AS IT APPROACHES FROM THE GREAT LAKES
LATE THIS WEEK. OTHERWISE...HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO BUILD
ACROSS THE WESTERN ATLANTIC FOR MUCH OF THE PERIOD.

&&

.NEAR TERM /TODAY/...
MADE MINOR UPDATES TO HOURLY TEMPERATURE TRENDS. OTHERWISE
FORECAST REMAINS UNCHANGED.

ORIGINAL DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE REGION TODAY GIVING US MOSTLY SUNNY
WEATHER WITH LIGHT WINDS. THIS ALLOWS A SEA BREEZE TO DEVELOP
ALONG THE COAST. HIGHS WILL BE MOSTLY IN THE 70S...MAYBE AROUND 80
OVER SOUTHERN INTERIOR NH. VALLEY FOG AROUND EARLY THIS MORNING
SHOULD BURN OFF FAIRLY QUICKLY EARLY THIS MORNING.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVER THE REGION TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. THIS
WILL GIVE US MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WITH LIGHT WINDS TONIGHT ALLOWING
TEMPERATURES TO COOL AND VALLEY FOG TO FORM AGAIN. OVERNIGHT LOWS
WILL BE MOSTLY IN THE 40S...EXCEPT SOME LOWER TO MID 50S NEAR THE
COAST AND PERHAPS SOME UPPER 30S IN THE NORMALLY COLDEST SPOTS IN
THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTHERN NH AND WESTERN ME. THE VALLEY FOG
SHOULD BURN OFF QUICKLY EARLY WEDNESDAY...LEAVING US WITH MOSTLY
SUNNY SKIES IN THE MORNING BEFORE SOME HIGH/MID LEVEL CLOUDS MOVE
IN FROM THE SW LATER IN THE DAY. THE LIGHT WINDS ALLOW FOR A SEA
BREEZE TO DEVELOP ALONG THE COAST ON WEDNESDAY. HIGHS MAY BE A FEW
DEGREES WARMER... MOSTLY IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
THE MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT ON THE LONG WAVE PATTERN
THROUGH LATE THIS WEEK. WE BEGIN THE PERIOD WITH A WEAK IMPULSE
AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE DISTURBANCE APPROACHING FROM THE GREAT
LAKES. THE BLOCK AND HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED JUST OFFSHORE WILL
SLOW THE EASTWARD PROGRESSION OF THE GREAT LAKES SYSTEM.
ADDITIONALLY...ONSHORE FLOW AND INCREASING CLOUDS WILL RESULT IN
SEVERAL DAYS OF SEASONABLY COOL WEATHER FOR THE TAIL-END OF THE
WORKWEEK. THE RIDGE WILL ONCE AGAIN REESTABLISH ITSELF BY THE
WEEKEND. BUT WITH THE SURFACE HIGH SITUATED OVER THE
MARITIMES...WE`LL BE LOCKED INTO A COOL AND PERSISTENT EAST TO
NORTHEAST FLOW WITH POTENTIAL FOR MARINE STRATUS TO EVENTUALLY
IMPACT SOUTHERN AND COASTAL SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR THRU THE SHORT TERM FORECAST PERIOD EXCEPT
IFR/LIFR IN VALLEY FOG THRU EARLY THIS MORNING AND AGAIN LATE
TONIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY. FOG WILL MAINLY IMPACT HIE AND LEB
AND PERHAPS CON.

LONG TERM...

THU - FRI...SCATTERED MVFR POSSIBLE IN SHOWERS.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...
HIGH PRESSURE KEEPS WINDS AND SEAS WELL BELOW SCA LEVELS THRU THE
SHORT TERM FORECAST PERIOD.

LONG TERM...
WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT
THRESHOLD.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM UPDATE... KIMBLE



000
FXUS61 KGYX 191521
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
1121 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER NEW ENGLAND TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
A WEAK FRONT WILL WASHOUT AS IT APPROACHES FROM THE GREAT LAKES
LATE THIS WEEK. OTHERWISE...HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO BUILD
ACROSS THE WESTERN ATLANTIC FOR MUCH OF THE PERIOD.

&&

.NEAR TERM /TODAY/...
MADE MINOR UPDATES TO HOURLY TEMPERATURE TRENDS. OTHERWISE
FORECAST REMAINS UNCHANGED.

ORIGINAL DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE REGION TODAY GIVING US MOSTLY SUNNY
WEATHER WITH LIGHT WINDS. THIS ALLOWS A SEA BREEZE TO DEVELOP
ALONG THE COAST. HIGHS WILL BE MOSTLY IN THE 70S...MAYBE AROUND 80
OVER SOUTHERN INTERIOR NH. VALLEY FOG AROUND EARLY THIS MORNING
SHOULD BURN OFF FAIRLY QUICKLY EARLY THIS MORNING.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVER THE REGION TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. THIS
WILL GIVE US MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WITH LIGHT WINDS TONIGHT ALLOWING
TEMPERATURES TO COOL AND VALLEY FOG TO FORM AGAIN. OVERNIGHT LOWS
WILL BE MOSTLY IN THE 40S...EXCEPT SOME LOWER TO MID 50S NEAR THE
COAST AND PERHAPS SOME UPPER 30S IN THE NORMALLY COLDEST SPOTS IN
THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTHERN NH AND WESTERN ME. THE VALLEY FOG
SHOULD BURN OFF QUICKLY EARLY WEDNESDAY...LEAVING US WITH MOSTLY
SUNNY SKIES IN THE MORNING BEFORE SOME HIGH/MID LEVEL CLOUDS MOVE
IN FROM THE SW LATER IN THE DAY. THE LIGHT WINDS ALLOW FOR A SEA
BREEZE TO DEVELOP ALONG THE COAST ON WEDNESDAY. HIGHS MAY BE A FEW
DEGREES WARMER... MOSTLY IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
THE MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT ON THE LONG WAVE PATTERN
THROUGH LATE THIS WEEK. WE BEGIN THE PERIOD WITH A WEAK IMPULSE
AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE DISTURBANCE APPROACHING FROM THE GREAT
LAKES. THE BLOCK AND HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED JUST OFFSHORE WILL
SLOW THE EASTWARD PROGRESSION OF THE GREAT LAKES SYSTEM.
ADDITIONALLY...ONSHORE FLOW AND INCREASING CLOUDS WILL RESULT IN
SEVERAL DAYS OF SEASONABLY COOL WEATHER FOR THE TAIL-END OF THE
WORKWEEK. THE RIDGE WILL ONCE AGAIN REESTABLISH ITSELF BY THE
WEEKEND. BUT WITH THE SURFACE HIGH SITUATED OVER THE
MARITIMES...WE`LL BE LOCKED INTO A COOL AND PERSISTENT EAST TO
NORTHEAST FLOW WITH POTENTIAL FOR MARINE STRATUS TO EVENTUALLY
IMPACT SOUTHERN AND COASTAL SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR THRU THE SHORT TERM FORECAST PERIOD EXCEPT
IFR/LIFR IN VALLEY FOG THRU EARLY THIS MORNING AND AGAIN LATE
TONIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY. FOG WILL MAINLY IMPACT HIE AND LEB
AND PERHAPS CON.

LONG TERM...

THU - FRI...SCATTERED MVFR POSSIBLE IN SHOWERS.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...
HIGH PRESSURE KEEPS WINDS AND SEAS WELL BELOW SCA LEVELS THRU THE
SHORT TERM FORECAST PERIOD.

LONG TERM...
WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT
THRESHOLD.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM UPDATE... KIMBLE




000
FXUS61 KCAR 191447
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1047 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MID WEEK.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPDATE...
SURFACE/UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE GULF OF
SAINT LAWRENCE THIS AFTERNOON...WITH HIGH PRESSURE WEST OF THE
REGION. CLOUDS WRAPPING AROUND THE MARITIMES LOW WILL CLIP MOSTLY
NORTHERN AND NORTHEAST PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS
AFTERNOON WITH PARTLY SUNNY SKIES. MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ARE EXPECTED
ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON.
AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER TO MID 70S
NORTH...TO THE MID TO UPPER 70S DOWNEAST. HAVE UPDATED THE
FORECAST TO ADJUST FOR CURRENT CONDITIONS ALONG WITH AFTERNOON
TEMPERATURES AND CLOUD COVER.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE
REGION TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD EAST. LOW
TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 40S TO THE LOWER 50S
NORTH AND LOW TO MID 50S CENTRAL AND DOWNEAST.
&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
FAIRLY QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THIS PERIOD AS HIGH PRESSURE
SETTLES OVER THE NORTHEAST CONTINENTAL UNITED STATES. WEDNESDAY WILL
FEATURE MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO AROUND 80.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL ALSO BE DRY, WITH INCREASING CLOUDS LATE AS A
WEAK SHORTWAVE ROTATES AROUND UPPER LOW PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN
GREAT LAKES. LOWS WILL BE THE COOL ACROSS THE NORTH...LOWER 50S WITH
SOME 40S POSSIBLE IN THE NORTHWEST...BUT SOUTHERN AREAS WILL BE A
BIT WARMER OWING TO THE AFOREMENTIONED CLOUDS. THE SHORTWAVE WILL
TRAVERSE ACROSS CENTRAL/SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND ON THURSDAY. MODEL
GUIDANCE IS INDICATING THAT SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS OUR
WESTERN SECTIONS AS THE SHORTWAVE PASSES BY. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE
MID TO UPPER 70S, EXCEPT ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST, WHICH WILL BE
AROUND 70 FOR DAYTIME TEMPERATURES.
&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
THE QUIET WEATHER WILL CONTINUE RIGHT THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS HIGH
PRESSURE KEEPS HOLD OF THE REGION. THERE WILL BE THE CHANCE FOR
AFTERNOON SHOWERS FRIDAY AND TO A LESSER EXTENT SATURDAY, MAINLY
OVER WESTERN AREAS. THIS IS DUE TO WEAK LOW PRESSURE THAT WILL
DEVELOP OVER SOUTHERN ONTARIO ON THURSDAY AND SLOWLY SLIDE SOUTHEAST
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. THE REST OF THE PERIOD LOOKS TO STAY
DRY. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN SEASONABLE, WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S AND
LOWS IN THE 50S.
&&

.AVIATION /15Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
NEAR TERM: COULD HAVE OCCASIONAL MVFR CEILINGS ACROSS NORTHERN
AND NORTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA INTO EARLY
AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
REGION THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE
LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK. THE EXCEPTION IS THE POTENTIAL FOR
LOCALIZED IFR IN PATCHY FOG LATE EACH NIGHT/EARLY EACH MORNING.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP QUIESCENT CONDITIONS ON THE
WATERS THROUGH THE END OF THIS WEEK. NO HEADLINES ARE ANTICIPATED.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...NORCROSS/DUDA
SHORT TERM...HASTINGS
LONG TERM...HASTINGS
AVIATION...NORCROSS/HASTINGS
MARINE...NORCROSS/HASTINGS






000
FXUS61 KCAR 191447
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1047 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MID WEEK.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPDATE...
SURFACE/UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE GULF OF
SAINT LAWRENCE THIS AFTERNOON...WITH HIGH PRESSURE WEST OF THE
REGION. CLOUDS WRAPPING AROUND THE MARITIMES LOW WILL CLIP MOSTLY
NORTHERN AND NORTHEAST PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS
AFTERNOON WITH PARTLY SUNNY SKIES. MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ARE EXPECTED
ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON.
AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER TO MID 70S
NORTH...TO THE MID TO UPPER 70S DOWNEAST. HAVE UPDATED THE
FORECAST TO ADJUST FOR CURRENT CONDITIONS ALONG WITH AFTERNOON
TEMPERATURES AND CLOUD COVER.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE
REGION TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD EAST. LOW
TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 40S TO THE LOWER 50S
NORTH AND LOW TO MID 50S CENTRAL AND DOWNEAST.
&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
FAIRLY QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THIS PERIOD AS HIGH PRESSURE
SETTLES OVER THE NORTHEAST CONTINENTAL UNITED STATES. WEDNESDAY WILL
FEATURE MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO AROUND 80.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL ALSO BE DRY, WITH INCREASING CLOUDS LATE AS A
WEAK SHORTWAVE ROTATES AROUND UPPER LOW PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN
GREAT LAKES. LOWS WILL BE THE COOL ACROSS THE NORTH...LOWER 50S WITH
SOME 40S POSSIBLE IN THE NORTHWEST...BUT SOUTHERN AREAS WILL BE A
BIT WARMER OWING TO THE AFOREMENTIONED CLOUDS. THE SHORTWAVE WILL
TRAVERSE ACROSS CENTRAL/SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND ON THURSDAY. MODEL
GUIDANCE IS INDICATING THAT SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS OUR
WESTERN SECTIONS AS THE SHORTWAVE PASSES BY. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE
MID TO UPPER 70S, EXCEPT ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST, WHICH WILL BE
AROUND 70 FOR DAYTIME TEMPERATURES.
&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
THE QUIET WEATHER WILL CONTINUE RIGHT THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS HIGH
PRESSURE KEEPS HOLD OF THE REGION. THERE WILL BE THE CHANCE FOR
AFTERNOON SHOWERS FRIDAY AND TO A LESSER EXTENT SATURDAY, MAINLY
OVER WESTERN AREAS. THIS IS DUE TO WEAK LOW PRESSURE THAT WILL
DEVELOP OVER SOUTHERN ONTARIO ON THURSDAY AND SLOWLY SLIDE SOUTHEAST
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. THE REST OF THE PERIOD LOOKS TO STAY
DRY. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN SEASONABLE, WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S AND
LOWS IN THE 50S.
&&

.AVIATION /15Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
NEAR TERM: COULD HAVE OCCASIONAL MVFR CEILINGS ACROSS NORTHERN
AND NORTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA INTO EARLY
AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
REGION THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE
LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK. THE EXCEPTION IS THE POTENTIAL FOR
LOCALIZED IFR IN PATCHY FOG LATE EACH NIGHT/EARLY EACH MORNING.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP QUIESCENT CONDITIONS ON THE
WATERS THROUGH THE END OF THIS WEEK. NO HEADLINES ARE ANTICIPATED.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...NORCROSS/DUDA
SHORT TERM...HASTINGS
LONG TERM...HASTINGS
AVIATION...NORCROSS/HASTINGS
MARINE...NORCROSS/HASTINGS






000
FXUS61 KCAR 191447
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1047 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MID WEEK.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPDATE...
SURFACE/UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE GULF OF
SAINT LAWRENCE THIS AFTERNOON...WITH HIGH PRESSURE WEST OF THE
REGION. CLOUDS WRAPPING AROUND THE MARITIMES LOW WILL CLIP MOSTLY
NORTHERN AND NORTHEAST PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS
AFTERNOON WITH PARTLY SUNNY SKIES. MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ARE EXPECTED
ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON.
AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER TO MID 70S
NORTH...TO THE MID TO UPPER 70S DOWNEAST. HAVE UPDATED THE
FORECAST TO ADJUST FOR CURRENT CONDITIONS ALONG WITH AFTERNOON
TEMPERATURES AND CLOUD COVER.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE
REGION TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD EAST. LOW
TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 40S TO THE LOWER 50S
NORTH AND LOW TO MID 50S CENTRAL AND DOWNEAST.
&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
FAIRLY QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THIS PERIOD AS HIGH PRESSURE
SETTLES OVER THE NORTHEAST CONTINENTAL UNITED STATES. WEDNESDAY WILL
FEATURE MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO AROUND 80.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL ALSO BE DRY, WITH INCREASING CLOUDS LATE AS A
WEAK SHORTWAVE ROTATES AROUND UPPER LOW PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN
GREAT LAKES. LOWS WILL BE THE COOL ACROSS THE NORTH...LOWER 50S WITH
SOME 40S POSSIBLE IN THE NORTHWEST...BUT SOUTHERN AREAS WILL BE A
BIT WARMER OWING TO THE AFOREMENTIONED CLOUDS. THE SHORTWAVE WILL
TRAVERSE ACROSS CENTRAL/SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND ON THURSDAY. MODEL
GUIDANCE IS INDICATING THAT SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS OUR
WESTERN SECTIONS AS THE SHORTWAVE PASSES BY. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE
MID TO UPPER 70S, EXCEPT ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST, WHICH WILL BE
AROUND 70 FOR DAYTIME TEMPERATURES.
&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
THE QUIET WEATHER WILL CONTINUE RIGHT THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS HIGH
PRESSURE KEEPS HOLD OF THE REGION. THERE WILL BE THE CHANCE FOR
AFTERNOON SHOWERS FRIDAY AND TO A LESSER EXTENT SATURDAY, MAINLY
OVER WESTERN AREAS. THIS IS DUE TO WEAK LOW PRESSURE THAT WILL
DEVELOP OVER SOUTHERN ONTARIO ON THURSDAY AND SLOWLY SLIDE SOUTHEAST
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. THE REST OF THE PERIOD LOOKS TO STAY
DRY. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN SEASONABLE, WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S AND
LOWS IN THE 50S.
&&

.AVIATION /15Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
NEAR TERM: COULD HAVE OCCASIONAL MVFR CEILINGS ACROSS NORTHERN
AND NORTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA INTO EARLY
AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
REGION THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE
LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK. THE EXCEPTION IS THE POTENTIAL FOR
LOCALIZED IFR IN PATCHY FOG LATE EACH NIGHT/EARLY EACH MORNING.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP QUIESCENT CONDITIONS ON THE
WATERS THROUGH THE END OF THIS WEEK. NO HEADLINES ARE ANTICIPATED.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...NORCROSS/DUDA
SHORT TERM...HASTINGS
LONG TERM...HASTINGS
AVIATION...NORCROSS/HASTINGS
MARINE...NORCROSS/HASTINGS






000
FXUS61 KCAR 191447
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1047 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MID WEEK.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPDATE...
SURFACE/UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE GULF OF
SAINT LAWRENCE THIS AFTERNOON...WITH HIGH PRESSURE WEST OF THE
REGION. CLOUDS WRAPPING AROUND THE MARITIMES LOW WILL CLIP MOSTLY
NORTHERN AND NORTHEAST PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS
AFTERNOON WITH PARTLY SUNNY SKIES. MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ARE EXPECTED
ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON.
AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER TO MID 70S
NORTH...TO THE MID TO UPPER 70S DOWNEAST. HAVE UPDATED THE
FORECAST TO ADJUST FOR CURRENT CONDITIONS ALONG WITH AFTERNOON
TEMPERATURES AND CLOUD COVER.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE
REGION TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD EAST. LOW
TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 40S TO THE LOWER 50S
NORTH AND LOW TO MID 50S CENTRAL AND DOWNEAST.
&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
FAIRLY QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THIS PERIOD AS HIGH PRESSURE
SETTLES OVER THE NORTHEAST CONTINENTAL UNITED STATES. WEDNESDAY WILL
FEATURE MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO AROUND 80.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL ALSO BE DRY, WITH INCREASING CLOUDS LATE AS A
WEAK SHORTWAVE ROTATES AROUND UPPER LOW PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN
GREAT LAKES. LOWS WILL BE THE COOL ACROSS THE NORTH...LOWER 50S WITH
SOME 40S POSSIBLE IN THE NORTHWEST...BUT SOUTHERN AREAS WILL BE A
BIT WARMER OWING TO THE AFOREMENTIONED CLOUDS. THE SHORTWAVE WILL
TRAVERSE ACROSS CENTRAL/SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND ON THURSDAY. MODEL
GUIDANCE IS INDICATING THAT SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS OUR
WESTERN SECTIONS AS THE SHORTWAVE PASSES BY. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE
MID TO UPPER 70S, EXCEPT ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST, WHICH WILL BE
AROUND 70 FOR DAYTIME TEMPERATURES.
&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
THE QUIET WEATHER WILL CONTINUE RIGHT THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS HIGH
PRESSURE KEEPS HOLD OF THE REGION. THERE WILL BE THE CHANCE FOR
AFTERNOON SHOWERS FRIDAY AND TO A LESSER EXTENT SATURDAY, MAINLY
OVER WESTERN AREAS. THIS IS DUE TO WEAK LOW PRESSURE THAT WILL
DEVELOP OVER SOUTHERN ONTARIO ON THURSDAY AND SLOWLY SLIDE SOUTHEAST
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. THE REST OF THE PERIOD LOOKS TO STAY
DRY. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN SEASONABLE, WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S AND
LOWS IN THE 50S.
&&

.AVIATION /15Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
NEAR TERM: COULD HAVE OCCASIONAL MVFR CEILINGS ACROSS NORTHERN
AND NORTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA INTO EARLY
AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
REGION THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE
LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK. THE EXCEPTION IS THE POTENTIAL FOR
LOCALIZED IFR IN PATCHY FOG LATE EACH NIGHT/EARLY EACH MORNING.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP QUIESCENT CONDITIONS ON THE
WATERS THROUGH THE END OF THIS WEEK. NO HEADLINES ARE ANTICIPATED.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...NORCROSS/DUDA
SHORT TERM...HASTINGS
LONG TERM...HASTINGS
AVIATION...NORCROSS/HASTINGS
MARINE...NORCROSS/HASTINGS






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