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000
FNUS53 KAPX 041232
FWFAPX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
832 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

...MUCH COOLER AND DAMP TODAY...

.DISCUSSION...LOW PRESSURE WILL LINGER IN NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
TODAY...WITH CONTINUED RAIN THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY AND EVENING.
LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS ACROSS NE LOWER MICHIGAN WILL TURN
NORTHERLY ALL AREAS THROUGH THE DAY...WITH MUCH COOLER
TEMPERATURES AND DAMP CONDITIONS COMPARED TO YESTERDAY. THE
ATMOSPHERE DRIES OUT THURSDAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE ARRIVING. FIRE
DANGER THRESHOLDS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE REACHED.

MIZ016-017-019-021>023-042030-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
832 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

.REST OF TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL
                    1400...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY UNTIL
                    1700...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....47-52...EXCEPT 40-45 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......18 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 13 DEGREES COOLER
                    NEAR THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........68-73 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......44 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 29 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (700).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.02-0.31 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (50).
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.10 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64...EXCEPT 48-53 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT...EXCEPT 59-64 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......32 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 21 PERCENT DRIER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (370).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-042030-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
832 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

.REST OF TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-54...EXCEPT 41-46 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........73-78 PERCENT...EXCEPT 83-88 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......44 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (620).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.21-0.32 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 2000...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL
                    0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (90).
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.09 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63...EXCEPT 48-53 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT...EXCEPT 66-71 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......32 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 20 PERCENT DRIER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (510).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-042030-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
832 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

.REST OF TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL
                    1100...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
   24 HR TREND......17 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........68-73 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......35 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 28 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (750).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 18 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.29 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 11 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
                    THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 15 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND
                    5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 28 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (50).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 24 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 12 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.08 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63...EXCEPT 39-44 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT...EXCEPT 79-84 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......26 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 19 PERCENT DRIER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (350).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ031>033-042030-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
832 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

.REST OF TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL
                    1400...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
   24 HR TREND......18 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........67-72 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......36 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 28 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (950).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 21 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.04-0.29 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY UNTIL 2000...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-92 PERCENT...EXCEPT 74-79 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 15 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND
                    5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 28 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (60).
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 24 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 12 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.08 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63...EXCEPT 49-54 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT...EXCEPT 59-64 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......24 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 17 PERCENT DRIER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (510).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-042030-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
832 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

.REST OF TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
   24 HR TREND......17 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........73-78 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......46 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (860).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.16-0.32 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 2000...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY UNTIL
                    0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (100).
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.10 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......34 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (620).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 60. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SMD




000
FNUS53 KAPX 041232
FWFAPX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
832 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

...MUCH COOLER AND DAMP TODAY...

.DISCUSSION...LOW PRESSURE WILL LINGER IN NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
TODAY...WITH CONTINUED RAIN THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY AND EVENING.
LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS ACROSS NE LOWER MICHIGAN WILL TURN
NORTHERLY ALL AREAS THROUGH THE DAY...WITH MUCH COOLER
TEMPERATURES AND DAMP CONDITIONS COMPARED TO YESTERDAY. THE
ATMOSPHERE DRIES OUT THURSDAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE ARRIVING. FIRE
DANGER THRESHOLDS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE REACHED.

MIZ016-017-019-021>023-042030-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
832 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

.REST OF TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL
                    1400...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY UNTIL
                    1700...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....47-52...EXCEPT 40-45 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......18 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 13 DEGREES COOLER
                    NEAR THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........68-73 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......44 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 29 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (700).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.02-0.31 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (50).
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.10 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64...EXCEPT 48-53 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT...EXCEPT 59-64 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......32 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 21 PERCENT DRIER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (370).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-042030-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
832 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

.REST OF TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-54...EXCEPT 41-46 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........73-78 PERCENT...EXCEPT 83-88 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......44 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (620).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.21-0.32 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 2000...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL
                    0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (90).
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.09 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63...EXCEPT 48-53 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT...EXCEPT 66-71 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......32 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 20 PERCENT DRIER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (510).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-042030-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
832 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

.REST OF TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL
                    1100...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
   24 HR TREND......17 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........68-73 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......35 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 28 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (750).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 18 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.29 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 11 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
                    THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 15 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND
                    5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 28 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (50).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 24 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 12 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.08 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63...EXCEPT 39-44 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT...EXCEPT 79-84 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......26 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 19 PERCENT DRIER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (350).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ031>033-042030-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
832 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

.REST OF TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL
                    1400...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
   24 HR TREND......18 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........67-72 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......36 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 28 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (950).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 21 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.04-0.29 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY UNTIL 2000...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-92 PERCENT...EXCEPT 74-79 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 15 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND
                    5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 28 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (60).
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 24 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 12 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.08 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63...EXCEPT 49-54 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT...EXCEPT 59-64 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......24 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 17 PERCENT DRIER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (510).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-042030-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
832 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

.REST OF TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
   24 HR TREND......17 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........73-78 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......46 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (860).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.16-0.32 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 2000...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY UNTIL
                    0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (100).
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.10 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......34 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (620).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 60. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SMD



  [top]

000
FNUS53 KMQT 040945
FWFMQT

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR UPPER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
545 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

...COOL AND UNSETTLED TODAY...THEN TRENDING MUCH WARMER THROUGH
FRIDAY...WITH THE NEXT CHANCE OF SHOWERS FRIDAY NIGHT...

.DISCUSSION...GUSTY NORTH WINDS IN THE WAKE OF YESTERDAY`S FRONTAL
PASSAGE WILL RESULT IN MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES TODAY. SOME
LINGERING ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED MAINLY THIS
MORNING. TEMPERATURES WILL THEN MODERATE THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AHEAD
OF ANOTHER COLD FRONT DUE TO CROSS THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES
ON FRIDAY MAY REACH INTO THE MID TO UPPER 80S ACROSS THE INTERIOR
WEST...WITH MINIMUM RH VALUES DROPPING INTO THE LOWER TO MID 20S.
DESPITE THE FAIRLY LOW MINIMUM RH VALUES FOR BOTH THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY...WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS BOTH DAYS ARE EXPECTED TO BE UNDER
15 MPH. THE COLD FRONT WILL BRING A PERIOD OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
FRIDAY NIGHT...THEN USHER IN COOLER AND POSSIBLY BREEZY CONDITIONS FOR
SATURDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL AGAIN MODERATE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH
MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS.

MIZ001-003-050945-
KEWEENAW-NORTHERN HOUGHTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COPPER HARBOR...HOUGHTON...HANCOCK
545 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS EARLY.
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS 20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
   24 HR TREND......16 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
33-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 17 TO 22 MPH DECREASING TO 9 TO 14 MPH BY
                    MID AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
HOURS OF SUN........7.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........83-88 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
33-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    LATE.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
LAL.................1.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65 INLAND TO AROUND 54 AT THE SHORE.
MIN HUMIDITY........31-36 PERCENT INLAND TO 40 PERCENT AT THE
                    SHORE.
33-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 6 TO 11 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH BY MID AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
HOURS OF SUN........9.
LAL.................1.

$$

MIZ002-009-084-050945-
ONTONAGON-GOGEBIC-SOUTHERN HOUGHTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ONTONAGON...IRONWOOD...KENTON...SIDNAW
545 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016 /445 AM CDT WED MAY 4 2016/

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS EARLY.
                    ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON.
                    CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-51 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
33-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 11 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 INCH.
HOURS OF SUN........6.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 27 INLAND TO AROUND 35 AT THE SHORE.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........97-100 PERCENT INLAND TO 82 PERCENT AT THE
                    SHORE.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
33-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 4 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    LATE.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
LAL.................1.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68 INLAND TO AROUND 62 AT THE SHORE.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-33 PERCENT INLAND TO 38 PERCENT AT THE
                    SHORE.
33-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
HOURS OF SUN........9.
LAL.................1.

$$

MIZ004-005-050945-
BARAGA-MARQUETTE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...L`ANSE...GWINN...MARQUETTE
545 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED
                    SNOW SHOWERS THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. SCATTERED
                    RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH MID AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF
                    PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
   24 HR TREND......17 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-57 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT WETTER.
33-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 INCH.
HOURS OF SUN........4.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....26-31 INLAND TO AROUND 35 AT THE SHORE.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT INLAND TO 83 PERCENT AT THE
                    SHORE.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
33-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 9 TO 14 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 6 TO 11
                    MPH LATE.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
LAL.................1.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68 INLAND TO AROUND 56 AT THE SHORE.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32 PERCENT INLAND TO 36 PERCENT AT THE
                    SHORE.
33-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST BY MID AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
HOURS OF SUN........10.
LAL.................1.

$$

MIZ010-011-050945-
IRON-DICKINSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...IRON RIVER...IRON MOUNTAIN
445 AM CDT WED MAY 4 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED
                    RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON.
                    CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
   24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........47-52 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.
33-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 12 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 INCH.
HOURS OF SUN........3.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....25-30.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
33-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 7 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH
                    DECREASING TO 5 TO 10 MPH LATE.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
LAL.................1.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    WEST BY MID AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
HOURS OF SUN........11.
LAL.................1.

$$

MIZ012-050945-
MENOMINEE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...MENOMINEE
445 AM CDT WED MAY 4 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS EARLY.
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS 20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
   24 HR TREND......17 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......26 PERCENT WETTER.
33-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 18 TO 23 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
HOURS OF SUN........4.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 33.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT INLAND TO 83 PERCENT AT THE
                    SHORE.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
33-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 6 TO 11 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH THROUGH
                    MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
LAL.................1.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65 INLAND TO AROUND 57 AT THE SHORE.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-34 PERCENT INLAND TO 39 PERCENT AT THE
                    SHORE.
33-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 6 TO 11 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
                    BY MID AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
HOURS OF SUN........11.
LAL.................1.

$$

MIZ006-007-085-050945-
ALGER-LUCE-NORTHERN SCHOOLCRAFT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GRAND MARAIS...MUNISING...NEWBERRY...
SENEY
545 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH
                    MID AFTERNOON. ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS BY LATE
                    MORNING. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-49 INLAND TO AROUND 42 AT THE SHORE.
   24 HR TREND......21 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT INLAND TO 74 PERCENT AT THE
                    SHORE.
   24 HR TREND......30 PERCENT WETTER.
33-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 19 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 INCH.
HOURS OF SUN........3.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 33.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98 PERCENT INLAND TO 89 PERCENT AT THE
                    SHORE.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
33-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 7 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH THROUGH
                    MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
LAL.................1.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-61 INLAND TO AROUND 50 AT THE SHORE.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-37 PERCENT INLAND TO 42 PERCENT AT THE
                    SHORE.
33-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
HOURS OF SUN........11.
LAL.................1.

$$

MIZ008-050945-
CHIPPEWA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SAULT STE. MARIE
545 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS. CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS 50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........56-61 PERCENT INLAND TO 66 PERCENT AT THE
                    SHORE.
   24 HR TREND......24 PERCENT WETTER.
33-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.12 INCH.
HOURS OF SUN........3.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
33-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 7 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH THROUGH
                    MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
LAL.................1.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58 INLAND TO AROUND 50 AT THE SHORE.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-37 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 6 TO 11 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH
                    BY MID AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
HOURS OF SUN........10.
LAL.................1.

$$

MIZ013-014-050945-
DELTA-SOUTHERN SCHOOLCRAFT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ESCANABA...GLADSTONE...MANISTIQUE
545 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH
                    MID AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.
   24 HR TREND......18 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........56-61 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......27 PERCENT WETTER.
33-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. NORTH 20 TO 25 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 INCH.
HOURS OF SUN........3.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-36.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT INLAND TO 87 PERCENT AT THE
                    SHORE.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
33-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 7 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH THROUGH
                    MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
LAL.................1.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62 INLAND TO AROUND 54 AT THE SHORE.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT INLAND TO 39 PERCENT AT THE
                    SHORE.
33-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST 6 TO 11 MPH BY MID AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
HOURS OF SUN........11.
LAL.................1.

$$

MIZ015-050945-
MACKINAC-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ST. IGNACE
545 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS. CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS 50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-59 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT WETTER.
33-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.07 INCH.
HOURS OF SUN........3.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-91 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT DRIER.
33-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 7 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH THROUGH
                    MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
LAL.................1.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63 INLAND TO AROUND 55 AT THE SHORE.
MIN HUMIDITY........31-36 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 7 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST BY MID AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
HOURS OF SUN........10.
LAL.................1.

$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR WITH INCREASING CLOUDS FROM THE WEST LATE. A
50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TOWARD EVENING.
LOWS 42 TO 47. HIGHS 83 TO 88 INLAND TO AROUND 61 AT THE SHORE.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 9 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MUCH COOLER. PARTLY CLOUDY. A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY MORNING SOUTHEAST HALF. LOWS AROUND
45. HIGHS 58 TO 63 INLAND TO AROUND 52 AT THE SHORE. NORTHWEST WINDS
8 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 35 TO 40. HIGHS 60 TO 65 INLAND TO AROUND
53 AT THE SHORE. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
20 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 38 TO 43. HIGHS 65 TO 70 INLAND TO AROUND
57 AT THE SHORE.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
LOWS 43 TO 48. HIGHS 65 TO 70 INLAND TO AROUND 58 AT THE SHORE.

.OUTLOOK FOR WED MAY 11 THROUGH TUE MAY 17...EXPECT BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES AND NEAR NORMAL PRECIPITATION.

$$

...................SMOKE MANAGEMENT FORECAST DATA....................

THE FOLLOWING VALUES ARE FOR 1 PM EST (2 PM EDT) TODAY...

                          HAINES    MIXING  TRANSPORT  VENTILATION
WIMS ID/         SITE/     INDEX  / HEIGHT /  WIND   /    INDEX
------------------------------------------------------------------
471301 /    WAUSAUKEE/ 3 VERY LOW  / 4600  / N 26    /   1196 (E)
200301 /       KENTON/ 2 VERY LOW  / 3300  / N 19    /   627 (E)
200504 /BARAGA PLAINS/ 2 VERY LOW  / 3900  / N 20    /   780 (E)
201004 /     MUNISING/ 2 VERY LOW  / 3500  / N 26    /   910 (E)
201002 /     DOE LAKE/ 2 VERY LOW  / 3500  / N 28    /   980 (E)
201103 /  HIGH BRIDGE/ 2 VERY LOW  / 3700  / N 28    /   1036 (E)
200703 /        GWINN/ 2 VERY LOW  / 3400  / N 32    /   1088 (E)
200903 /    LABRANCHE/ 2 VERY LOW  / 3600  / N 31    /   1116 (E)
200503 /       PELKIE/ 3 VERY LOW  / 3900  / N 18    /   702 (E)
201504 /         RACO/ 2 VERY LOW  / 2900  / N 18    /   522 (G)
200802 /    RANDVILLE/ 2 VERY LOW  / 4200  / N 26    /   1092 (E)
201401 /       REXTON/ 3 VERY LOW  / 3800  / N 19    /   722 (E)
201505 /      RUDYARD/ 3 VERY LOW  / 3100  / N 18    /   558 (G)
201202 /        SENEY/ 3 VERY LOW  / 3800  / N 21    /   798 (E)
201302 /SPINCICH LAKE/ 3 VERY LOW  / 3300  / N 20    /   660 (E)
201102 /   STONINGTON/ 2 VERY LOW  / 4000  / N 32    /   1280 (E)
200102 /    WAKEFIELD/ 2 VERY LOW  / 3300  / N 18    /   594 (G)
200103 /   WATERSMEET/ 2 VERY LOW  / 3800  / N 21    /   798 (E)
       /DRUMND ISLAND/ 3 VERY LOW  / 300   / N 16    /   48 (P)
       /          KEW/ 2 VERY LOW  / 2700  / N 21    /   567 (G)

THE FOLLOWING VALUES ARE FOR 1 PM EST (2 PM EDT) THU...

                          HAINES    MIXING  TRANSPORT  VENTILATION
WIMS ID/         SITE/     INDEX  / HEIGHT /  WIND   /    INDEX
------------------------------------------------------------------
471301 /    WAUSAUKEE/ 5 MODERATE  / 4900  / NW 6    /   294 (F)
200301 /       KENTON/ 5 MODERATE  / 3400  / W 10    /   340 (G)
200504 /BARAGA PLAINS/ 5 MODERATE  / 3700  / W 9     /   333 (G)
201004 /     MUNISING/ 4 LOW       / 2700  / NW 5    /   135 (F)
201002 /     DOE LAKE/ 5 MODERATE  / 3400  / NW 6    /   204 (F)
201103 /  HIGH BRIDGE/ 5 MODERATE  / 3500  / NW 6    /   210 (F)
200703 /        GWINN/ 4 LOW       / 4400  / NW 6    /   264 (F)
200903 /    LABRANCHE/ 5 MODERATE  / 4600  / NW 5    /   230 (F)
200503 /       PELKIE/ 5 MODERATE  / 4000  / W 11    /   440 (G)
201504 /         RACO/ 4 LOW       / 3200  / NW 10   /   320 (G)
200802 /    RANDVILLE/ 5 MODERATE  / 4800  / NW 6    /   288 (F)
201401 /       REXTON/ 5 MODERATE  / 3900  / N 9     /   351 (G)
201505 /      RUDYARD/ 4 LOW       / 4000  / NW 12   /   480 (G)
201202 /        SENEY/ 5 MODERATE  / 3300  / NW 8    /   264 (F)
201302 /SPINCICH LAKE/ 4 LOW       / 3100  / NW 9    /   279 (F)
201102 /   STONINGTON/ 5 MODERATE  / 4100  / NW 6    /   246 (F)
200102 /    WAKEFIELD/ 4 LOW       / 3400  / W 10    /   340 (G)
200103 /   WATERSMEET/ 5 MODERATE  / 4000  / W 9     /   360 (G)
       /DRUMND ISLAND/ 4 LOW       / 3400  / NW 8    /   272 (F)
       /          KEW/ 4 LOW       / 1800  / W 14    /   252 (F)

NOTE:  MIXING HEIGHTS ARE IN FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL
       TRANSPORT WINDS ARE IN MILES PER HOUR

.....................................................................

THE FOLLOWING IS POINT FORECAST INFORMATION VALID AT 1 PM EST.
NOTE THAT THE QPF IS FROM 7 AM TO 1 PM EST. ALSO...WIND SPEEDS HAVE
BEEN REDUCED BY A FACTOR OF 0.7 BY THE REQUEST OF LOCAL FIRE OFFICIALS.

WIMS ID/         SITE/TEMP/  RH/WSPD/WGST/WDIR/ QPF
---------------------------------------------------
471301 /    WAUSAUKEE/  48/  55/  12/  19/   N/0.00
200301 /       KENTON/  42/  62/   8/  14/   N/0.00
200504 /BARAGA PLAINS/  43/  63/   8/  14/   N/0.01
201004 /     MUNISING/  39/  80/  13/  19/   N/0.00
201002 /     DOE LAKE/  40/  73/  12/  19/   N/0.01
201103 /  HIGH BRIDGE/  42/  67/  12/  19/   N/0.01
200703 /        GWINN/  41/  66/  12/  19/   N/0.01
200903 /    LABRANCHE/  44/  63/  11/  19/   N/0.00
200503 /       PELKIE/  45/  58/   8/  13/   N/0.00
201504 /         RACO/  46/  68/  10/  15/   N/0.01
200802 /    RANDVILLE/  45/  58/  11/  17/   N/0.00
201401 /       REXTON/  49/  58/  11/  16/   N/0.01
201505 /      RUDYARD/  49/  64/  12/  16/   N/0.02
201202 /        SENEY/  44/  66/  12/  18/   N/0.00
201302 /SPINCICH LAKE/  44/  67/  12/  17/   N/0.01
201102 /   STONINGTON/  44/  65/  12/  20/   N/0.00
200102 /    WAKEFIELD/  45/  56/   8/  14/   N/0.00
200103 /   WATERSMEET/  43/  58/  10/  16/   N/0.00
       /DRUMND ISLAND/  47/  81/   7/  11/   N/0.08
       /          KEW/  41/  62/  12/  17/   N/0.00
$$

VOSS




000
FNUS53 KAPX 040743
FWFAPX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
343 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

...COOL...RAINY AND BREEZY TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL SLIDE THROUGH LOWER MICHIGAN THIS MORNING...AND
WILL THEN STALL JUST EAST OF OUR AREA THROUGH TONIGHT. SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT OUR AREA THROUGH
TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS NORTHEAST LOWER MICHIGAN. ALL
PRECIPITATION WILL END BY THURSDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD
INTO THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES REGION.

MIZ016-017-019-021>023-042015-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
343 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL
                    0800...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY UNTIL
                    1400...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....47-52...EXCEPT 40-45 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......18 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 13 DEGREES COOLER
                    NEAR THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........69-74 PERCENT...EXCEPT 79-84 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......43 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 31 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (700).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.03-0.33 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 0200...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT...EXCEPT 80-85 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (50).
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.09 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64...EXCEPT 48-53 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT...EXCEPT 59-64 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......31 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 23 PERCENT DRIER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (370).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-042015-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
343 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-54...EXCEPT 41-46 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........73-78 PERCENT...EXCEPT 83-88 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......45 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (620).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.17-0.32 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL
                    2000...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY UNTIL
                    0200...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (90).
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.08 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63...EXCEPT 48-53 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT...EXCEPT 66-71 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......34 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 22 PERCENT DRIER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (510).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-042015-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
343 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
                    UNTIL 0800...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
   24 HR TREND......17 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........68-73 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......36 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (750).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 18 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.02-0.27 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0200. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 10 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
                    THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (50).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 24 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 12 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.07 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63...EXCEPT 39-44 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT...EXCEPT 79-84 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......28 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 19 PERCENT DRIER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (350).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ031>033-042015-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
343 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL
                    0800...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY UNTIL
                    1400...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
   24 HR TREND......18 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........68-73 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......36 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 30 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (950).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 18 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.05-0.30 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT...EXCEPT 74-79 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (60).
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 24 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 12 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.08 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63...EXCEPT 49-54 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT...EXCEPT 59-64 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......26 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 17 PERCENT DRIER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (510).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-042015-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
343 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
   24 HR TREND......17 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........74-79 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......47 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (860).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.22-0.34 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL
                    2000...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY UNTIL
                    0200...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (100).
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.10 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY
                    SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......35 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (620).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 60. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

MLR




000
FNUS53 KAPX 040743
FWFAPX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
343 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

...COOL...RAINY AND BREEZY TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL SLIDE THROUGH LOWER MICHIGAN THIS MORNING...AND
WILL THEN STALL JUST EAST OF OUR AREA THROUGH TONIGHT. SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT OUR AREA THROUGH
TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS NORTHEAST LOWER MICHIGAN. ALL
PRECIPITATION WILL END BY THURSDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD
INTO THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES REGION.

MIZ016-017-019-021>023-042015-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
343 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL
                    0800...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY UNTIL
                    1400...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....47-52...EXCEPT 40-45 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......18 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 13 DEGREES COOLER
                    NEAR THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........69-74 PERCENT...EXCEPT 79-84 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......43 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 31 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (700).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.03-0.33 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 0200...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT...EXCEPT 80-85 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (50).
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.09 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64...EXCEPT 48-53 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT...EXCEPT 59-64 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......31 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 23 PERCENT DRIER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (370).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-042015-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
343 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-54...EXCEPT 41-46 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........73-78 PERCENT...EXCEPT 83-88 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......45 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (620).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.17-0.32 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL
                    2000...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY UNTIL
                    0200...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (90).
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.08 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63...EXCEPT 48-53 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT...EXCEPT 66-71 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......34 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 22 PERCENT DRIER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (510).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-042015-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
343 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
                    UNTIL 0800...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
   24 HR TREND......17 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........68-73 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......36 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (750).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 18 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.02-0.27 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0200. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 10 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
                    THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (50).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 24 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 12 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.07 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63...EXCEPT 39-44 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT...EXCEPT 79-84 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......28 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 19 PERCENT DRIER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (350).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ031>033-042015-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
343 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL
                    0800...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY UNTIL
                    1400...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
   24 HR TREND......18 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........68-73 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......36 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 30 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (950).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 18 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.05-0.30 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT...EXCEPT 74-79 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (60).
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 24 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 12 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.08 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63...EXCEPT 49-54 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT...EXCEPT 59-64 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......26 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 17 PERCENT DRIER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (510).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-042015-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
343 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
   24 HR TREND......17 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........74-79 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......47 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (860).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.22-0.34 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL
                    2000...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY UNTIL
                    0200...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (100).
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.10 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY
                    SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......35 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (620).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 60. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

MLR



  [top]

000
FNUS53 KGRR 040737
FWFGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
337 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

...COLD AND WET TODAY THEN DRYING OUT BY FRIDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
A SYSTEM DROPPING INTO THE AREA TODAY WILL BRING SHOWERS TO ALL OF
THE AREA. THE BEST CHANCES OF RAIN WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT TO ALONG AND
EAST OF U.S.-131 THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. WINDS WILL BECOME
A BIT GUSTY...AND TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN COOL WITH HIGHS NO WARMER
THAN THE MID 50S WITH CLOUDS AND RAIN SHOWERS.

CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE ON THURSDAY AS THE SYSTEM MOVES OUT OF THE
AREA. HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN THROUGH FRIDAY BRINGING
DRIER AND WARMER WEATHER TO THE AREA.



MIZ037>039-043>045-042030-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...
FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS
337 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 1800...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........58-63 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......35 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 18 TO 23 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    32 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-2900 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    3200-3700 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 25 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 35 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...1000-1200 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.02-0.39 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 0600...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 14 TO 19 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1300 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    2500-3000 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 25 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND
                    15 MPH OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...1000 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 200 (FAIR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SPRINKLES AFTER 1100.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
   24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-2400 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    7300-7800 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...900-1000 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ040-046-042030-
CLARE-ISABELLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT
337 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
   24 HR TREND......16 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........66-71 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......42 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-3500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...900-1000 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.27-0.45 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY UNTIL 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100-400 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SPRINKLES AFTER 1100.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......27 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000-7500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...900-1200 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-042030-
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...GRAND HAVEN...JENISON...
HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
337 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 1400...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........63-68 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......34 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 17 TO 22 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    31 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 25 TO 30 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...900-1200 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.35 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0500.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...1800-2300 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...3000-3500 FT AGL DECREASING TO
                    800-1300 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 30 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH
                    OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...1100 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 300 (GOOD)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.08 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SPRINKLES AFTER 1100.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-43 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300-3800 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    7400-7900 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1300-1400 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-042030-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS
337 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........61-66 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......31 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 14 TO 19 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300-3800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...800-1200 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.22-0.51 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY UNTIL 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-3400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 800-1300 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1100 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 300 (GOOD)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.10 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SPRINKLES AFTER 1100.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7600-8100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1100-1500 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-042030-
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...
KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
337 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........59-64 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......31 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300-3800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 25
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...1400-1500 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.22-0.48 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
                    UNTIL 0200...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-3400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600-1100 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1000 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 200 (FAIR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........AROUND 0.10 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SPRINKLES AFTER 1100.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7300-7800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1400-1700 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...COLDER. MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. NORTHWEST
WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 6 TO
11 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS AROUND 70.



$$




000
FNUS53 KGRR 040737
FWFGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
337 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

...COLD AND WET TODAY THEN DRYING OUT BY FRIDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
A SYSTEM DROPPING INTO THE AREA TODAY WILL BRING SHOWERS TO ALL OF
THE AREA. THE BEST CHANCES OF RAIN WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT TO ALONG AND
EAST OF U.S.-131 THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. WINDS WILL BECOME
A BIT GUSTY...AND TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN COOL WITH HIGHS NO WARMER
THAN THE MID 50S WITH CLOUDS AND RAIN SHOWERS.

CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE ON THURSDAY AS THE SYSTEM MOVES OUT OF THE
AREA. HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN THROUGH FRIDAY BRINGING
DRIER AND WARMER WEATHER TO THE AREA.



MIZ037>039-043>045-042030-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...
FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS
337 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 1800...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........58-63 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......35 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 18 TO 23 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    32 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-2900 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    3200-3700 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 25 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 35 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...1000-1200 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.02-0.39 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 0600...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 14 TO 19 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1300 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    2500-3000 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 25 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND
                    15 MPH OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...1000 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 200 (FAIR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SPRINKLES AFTER 1100.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
   24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-2400 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    7300-7800 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...900-1000 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ040-046-042030-
CLARE-ISABELLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT
337 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
   24 HR TREND......16 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........66-71 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......42 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-3500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...900-1000 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.27-0.45 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY UNTIL 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100-400 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SPRINKLES AFTER 1100.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......27 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000-7500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...900-1200 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-042030-
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...GRAND HAVEN...JENISON...
HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
337 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 1400...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........63-68 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......34 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 17 TO 22 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    31 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 25 TO 30 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...900-1200 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.35 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0500.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...1800-2300 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...3000-3500 FT AGL DECREASING TO
                    800-1300 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 30 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH
                    OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...1100 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 300 (GOOD)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.08 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SPRINKLES AFTER 1100.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-43 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300-3800 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    7400-7900 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1300-1400 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-042030-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS
337 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........61-66 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......31 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 14 TO 19 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300-3800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...800-1200 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.22-0.51 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY UNTIL 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-3400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 800-1300 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1100 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 300 (GOOD)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.10 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SPRINKLES AFTER 1100.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7600-8100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1100-1500 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-042030-
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...
KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
337 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........59-64 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......31 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300-3800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 25
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...1400-1500 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.22-0.48 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
                    UNTIL 0200...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-3400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600-1100 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1000 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 200 (FAIR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........AROUND 0.10 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SPRINKLES AFTER 1100.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7300-7800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1400-1700 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...COLDER. MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. NORTHWEST
WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 6 TO
11 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS AROUND 70.



$$



  [top]

000
FNUS53 KDTX 040736
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
336 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

.DISCUSSION...A GREATER COVERAGE OF SHOWERS WILL EXIST THROUGHOUT
SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN TODAY AS LOW PRESSURE TRACKS ACROSS THE STATE.
THIS INCREASE IN MOISTURE WILL SUSTAIN A GENERALLY COOL ENVIRONMENT
TODAY. TURNING DRIER AND SLIGHTLY WARMER ON THURSDAY. A GREATER
WARMING TREND IS THEN EXPECTED TO GET UNDERWAY FRIDAY LASTING INTO
SATURDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB INTO THE LOWER TO MID 70S
SATURDAY...AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT EXPECTED TO BRING THE NEXT CHANCE OF
RAIN LATE SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-042115-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
336 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 6 AM...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
                    UNTIL 8 AM...THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. POP...100 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........62-72 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......43 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH
                    BY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5620-6120 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST
                    AROUND 15 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN...INCREASING TO NORTH AROUND
                    25 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (980).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.51-0.75 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 AM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY UNTIL 9 PM...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 1 AM...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 2 AM. POP...80 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-1100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 20 TO 25 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 15
                    MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (30).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-56 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......26 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6200-6700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (800).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-042115-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
336 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 AM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY UNTIL 8 AM...THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. POP...100 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-63 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......25 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING EAST LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7300-7800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST IN
                    THE AFTERNOON...THEN...BECOMING NORTHEAST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1260).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 2 AM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 9 PM...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1 AM. POP...50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......620-820 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (10).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-59 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5030-5530 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (980).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-042115-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
336 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY UNTIL NOON. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER 8 AM. RAIN SHOWERS AFTER NOON. POP...100
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-58 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......26 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING EAST LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8620-9120 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1470).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.51-0.75 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 AM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY UNTIL 9 PM...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 1 AM...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 4 AM. POP...80 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......420-620 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 20 MPH...BECOMING NORTH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). POP...20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-59 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7020-7520 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1410).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.

$$

JVC



  [top]

000
FNUS83 KGRR 031942
FWMGRR

FCST,203802,160504,13,3,48,71,1,1,N,14,M,66,41,100,28,9,3,N




000
FNUS83 KGRR 031942
FWMGRR

FCST,203802,160504,13,3,48,71,1,1,N,14,M,66,41,100,28,9,3,N



  [top]

000
FNUS83 KMQT 031942
FWMMQT

FCST,200405,160504,13,1,42,61,1,1,N,10,M,54,36,83,53,0,0,N
FCST,200403,160504,13,1,46,54,1,1,NNE,09,M,57,37,79,44,0,0,N
FCST,200401,160504,13,1,41,64,1,1,N,11,M,51,36,85,57,0,0,N
FCST,200102,160504,13,2,45,55,2,1,N,09,M,62,37,84,44,0,0,N
FCST,200103,160504,13,2,43,57,2,1,N,10,M,61,35,91,41,5,0,N
FCST,200301,160504,13,2,42,60,2,1,N,09,M,60,35,100,49,3,0,N
FCST,200504,160504,13,2,43,61,2,1,N,09,M,59,36,89,53,4,0,N
FCST,200503,160504,13,2,45,57,2,1,N,09,M,61,38,92,46,0,0,N
FCST,200802,160504,13,2,46,53,2,1,N,11,M,67,37,86,28,5,0,N
FCST,200703,160504,13,2,42,64,2,1,N,12,M,65,36,91,30,6,0,N
FCST,200903,160504,13,2,44,60,1,1,N,12,M,67,37,89,25,6,0,N
FCST,201102,160504,13,2,44,64,1,1,N,14,M,67,38,88,29,6,0,N
FCST,201103,160504,13,2,43,64,1,1,N,13,M,65,37,91,33,6,0,N
FCST,201002,160504,13,2,41,69,1,1,N,13,M,66,36,95,26,6,0,N
FCST,201004,160504,13,2,40,78,1,1,N,15,M,65,38,90,28,5,0,N
FCST,201202,160504,13,2,46,61,1,1,N,13,M,62,38,94,41,0,0,N
FCST,201302,160504,13,2,45,65,1,1,N,12,M,63,37,98,34,0,0,N
FCST,201401,160504,13,2,50,54,1,1,N,11,M,61,38,96,40,0,0,N
FCST,201504,160504,13,2,47,62,1,1,N,11,M,61,37,99,36,5,0,N
FCST,201505,160504,13,2,50,56,1,1,N,11,M,63,39,96,36,0,0,N




000
FNUS53 KDTX 031938
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
338 PM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

.DISCUSSION...DRY AND WARMER CONDITIONS TODAY WILL GIVE WAY TO
ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS WEDNESDAY AS THE NEXT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
AND COLD FRONT MOVE THROUGH THE REGION. THIS WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES
COOL AND DAYTIME HUMIDITY ON THE HIGH SIDE EVEN AS RAIN DIMINISHES BY
THURSDAY. A WARMING TREND IS THEN EXPECTED TO GET UNDERWAY FRIDAY
LASTING INTO SATURDAY WHEN HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REACH
THE LOWER TO MID 70S AHEAD OF THE NEXT COLD FRONT DUE TO ARRIVE
SATURDAY NIGHT.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-041415-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
338 PM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 10 PM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 2 AM UNTIL 5 AM...THEN RAIN
                    SHOWERS LIKELY. POP...90 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
   24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........81-89 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS AND A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. POP...100
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
   24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........64-74 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......41 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 10 TO
                    15 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5960-6460 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST IN
                    THE AFTERNOON...THEN...INCREASING TO AROUND 25
                    MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1070).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 5 AM...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 7 AM. POP...60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 20 TO 25 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 15
                    MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (40).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-57 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH...DIMINISHING TO AROUND 5
                    MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6830-7330 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (890).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-041415-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
338 PM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 10 PM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 2 AM. POP...60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
   24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........81-86 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
                    UNTIL 10 AM. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 10 AM. POP...90 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........56-66 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......26 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST
                    LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6360-6860 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING EAST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1150).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 AM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 4 AM...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 7 AM. POP...50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......460-660 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (10).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-63 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6830-7330 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1200).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-041415-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
338 PM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 2 AM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 2 AM UNTIL 3 AM...THEN
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. POP...60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........79-87 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
                    UNTIL 9 AM. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 9 AM. POP...100 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-58 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......30 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7890-8390 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1610).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 AM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY UNTIL 2 AM...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 6 AM...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS. POP...70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......620-820 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-61 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8310-8810 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1680).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS AROUND 70.

$$

SF



  [top]

000
FNUS83 KAPX 031915
FWMAPX

FCST,202902,160504,13,3,49,77,1,1,N,08,M,67,45,93,27,4,6,N
FCST,202010,160504,13,3,46,75,1,1,N,15,M,62,41,93,42,6,0,N
FCST,203101,160504,13,3,47,72,1,1,N,12,M,66,42,89,33,0,0,N
FCST,203601,160504,13,3,51,75,1,1,NNE,07,M,65,46,86,33,3,6,N




000
FNUS83 KAPX 031915
FWMAPX

FCST,202902,160504,13,3,49,77,1,1,N,08,M,67,45,93,27,4,6,N
FCST,202010,160504,13,3,46,75,1,1,N,15,M,62,41,93,42,6,0,N
FCST,203101,160504,13,3,47,72,1,1,N,12,M,66,42,89,33,0,0,N
FCST,203601,160504,13,3,51,75,1,1,NNE,07,M,65,46,86,33,3,6,N



  [top]

000
FNUS73 KGRR 031259
FWSGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR PINES POINT UNITS B   C...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
859 AM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 EDT ON MAY 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH FROM ONTARIO TODAY MOVING THROUGH THE
U.P. THIS EVENING AND THROUGH SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN OVERNIGHT.
A BAND OF SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE THROUGH
TONIGHT. TODAY...HIGH CLOUDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY WITH
SKIES TRENDING FROM MOSTLY SUNNY TO PARTLY SUNNY THIS AFTERNOON.
LOOK FOR SOUTHWEST WINDS TODAY AT 10 TO 20 MPH. TONIGHT THE WINDS
WILL SHIFT OUT OF THE NORTH BEHIND THE FRONT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........57 AT IGNITION...MAX 64.
RH..................57 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 10 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTHWEST WINDS 11 TO 19 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AT 10 MPH INCREASING TO 12 TO 21 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3800-4300
                    FT AGL INCREASING TO 8200-8700 FT AGL...THEN
                    DECREASING TO 5500 FT AGL LATE IN THE DAY
                    DECREASING TO 3000 FT AGL IN THE EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0-1700 (POOR TO EXCELLENT).

TIME (EDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........17     22     27     42     63
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............53     61     63     64     62
RH..............57     40     38     38     41
20 FT WIND......SW 11  SW 15  SW 15  SW 16  SW 17
20 FT GUST......15     20     20     20     20
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 43.
RH..................MAX 98 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 6 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
                    5 TO 10 MPH OVERNIGHT...THEN SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTH AROUND 16 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1300 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0-200 (POOR TO FAIR).

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 50.
RH..................MIN 58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 16 TO 21 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 21 TO 30 MPH INCREASING TO 30 TO 31 MPH
                    LATE IN THE DAY.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-3500 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....300-1000 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).

$$
FORECASTER...DUKE
REQUESTED BY...KORY BORGMAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160503.PINES.01/GRR




000
FNUS73 KGRR 031259
FWSGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR PINES POINT UNITS B   C...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
859 AM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 EDT ON MAY 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH FROM ONTARIO TODAY MOVING THROUGH THE
U.P. THIS EVENING AND THROUGH SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN OVERNIGHT.
A BAND OF SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE THROUGH
TONIGHT. TODAY...HIGH CLOUDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY WITH
SKIES TRENDING FROM MOSTLY SUNNY TO PARTLY SUNNY THIS AFTERNOON.
LOOK FOR SOUTHWEST WINDS TODAY AT 10 TO 20 MPH. TONIGHT THE WINDS
WILL SHIFT OUT OF THE NORTH BEHIND THE FRONT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........57 AT IGNITION...MAX 64.
RH..................57 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 10 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTHWEST WINDS 11 TO 19 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AT 10 MPH INCREASING TO 12 TO 21 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3800-4300
                    FT AGL INCREASING TO 8200-8700 FT AGL...THEN
                    DECREASING TO 5500 FT AGL LATE IN THE DAY
                    DECREASING TO 3000 FT AGL IN THE EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0-1700 (POOR TO EXCELLENT).

TIME (EDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........17     22     27     42     63
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............53     61     63     64     62
RH..............57     40     38     38     41
20 FT WIND......SW 11  SW 15  SW 15  SW 16  SW 17
20 FT GUST......15     20     20     20     20
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 43.
RH..................MAX 98 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 6 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
                    5 TO 10 MPH OVERNIGHT...THEN SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTH AROUND 16 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1300 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0-200 (POOR TO FAIR).

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 50.
RH..................MIN 58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 16 TO 21 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 21 TO 30 MPH INCREASING TO 30 TO 31 MPH
                    LATE IN THE DAY.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-3500 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....300-1000 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).

$$
FORECASTER...DUKE
REQUESTED BY...KORY BORGMAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160503.PINES.01/GRR




000
FNUS73 KGRR 031256
FWSGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR PINES POINT UNITS B   C...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
856 AM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 EDT ON MAY 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH FROM ONTARIO TODAY MOVING THROUGH THE
U.P. THIS EVENING AND THROUGH SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN OVERNIGHT.
A BAND OF SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE THROUGH
TONIGHT. TODAY...HIGH CLOUDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY WITH
SKIES TRENDING FROM MOSTLY SUNNY TO PARTLY SUNNY THIS AFTERNOON.
LOOK FOR SOUTHWEST WINDS TODAY AT 10 TO 20 MPH. TONIGHT THE WINDS
WILL SHIFT OUT OF THE NORTH BEHIND THE FRONT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........57 AT IGNITION...MAX 64.
RH..................57 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 10 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTHWEST WINDS 11 TO 19 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AT 10 MPH INCREASING TO 12 TO 21 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3800-4300
                    FT AGL INCREASING TO 8200-8700 FT AGL...THEN
                    DECREASING TO 5500 FT AGL LATE IN THE DAY
                    DECREASING TO 3000 FT AGL IN THE EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0-1700 (POOR TO EXCELLENT).

TIME (EDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........17     22     27     42     63
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............53     61     63     64     62
RH..............57     40     38     38     41
20 FT WIND......SW 11  SW 15  SW 15  SW 16  SW 17
20 FT GUST......15     20     20     20     20
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 43.
RH..................MAX 98 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 6 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
                    5 TO 10 MPH OVERNIGHT...THEN SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTH AROUND 16 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1300 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0-200 (POOR TO FAIR).

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 50.
RH..................MIN 58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 16 TO 21 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 21 TO 30 MPH INCREASING TO 30 TO 31 MPH
                    LATE IN THE DAY.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-3500 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....300-1000 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).

$$
FORECASTER...DUKE
REQUESTED BY...KORY BORGMAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160503.PINES.01/GRR




000
FNUS73 KGRR 031256
FWSGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR PINES POINT UNITS B   C...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
856 AM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 EDT ON MAY 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH FROM ONTARIO TODAY MOVING THROUGH THE
U.P. THIS EVENING AND THROUGH SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN OVERNIGHT.
A BAND OF SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE THROUGH
TONIGHT. TODAY...HIGH CLOUDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY WITH
SKIES TRENDING FROM MOSTLY SUNNY TO PARTLY SUNNY THIS AFTERNOON.
LOOK FOR SOUTHWEST WINDS TODAY AT 10 TO 20 MPH. TONIGHT THE WINDS
WILL SHIFT OUT OF THE NORTH BEHIND THE FRONT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........57 AT IGNITION...MAX 64.
RH..................57 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 10 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTHWEST WINDS 11 TO 19 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AT 10 MPH INCREASING TO 12 TO 21 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3800-4300
                    FT AGL INCREASING TO 8200-8700 FT AGL...THEN
                    DECREASING TO 5500 FT AGL LATE IN THE DAY
                    DECREASING TO 3000 FT AGL IN THE EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0-1700 (POOR TO EXCELLENT).

TIME (EDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........17     22     27     42     63
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............53     61     63     64     62
RH..............57     40     38     38     41
20 FT WIND......SW 11  SW 15  SW 15  SW 16  SW 17
20 FT GUST......15     20     20     20     20
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 43.
RH..................MAX 98 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 6 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
                    5 TO 10 MPH OVERNIGHT...THEN SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTH AROUND 16 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1300 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0-200 (POOR TO FAIR).

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 50.
RH..................MIN 58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 16 TO 21 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 21 TO 30 MPH INCREASING TO 30 TO 31 MPH
                    LATE IN THE DAY.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-3500 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....300-1000 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).

$$
FORECASTER...DUKE
REQUESTED BY...KORY BORGMAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160503.PINES.01/GRR



  [top]

000
FNUS73 KAPX 031012
FWSAPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR LOUD CREEK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
612 AM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MAY 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
AFTER A SUNNY AND COLD START TO THE DAY...CLOUDS WILL STEADILY
INCREASE FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST IN ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING
COLD FRONT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AHEAD OF THIS FRONT WILL BOOST
AFTERNOON HIGHS WELL INTO THE 60S. CHANCES OF RAIN SHOWERS WILL
INCREASE TONIGHT AS THE COLD FRONT SLIDES THROUGH MICHIGAN...
WITH PRECIPITATION CHANCES LINGERING INTO WEDNESDAY AS WELL.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........54 AT IGNITION...MAX 67.
RH..................46 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 3 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 2 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 13 TO 16 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10800 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (400) AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT (1900).

TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........11  14  25  46  57  61  69  73
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............54  60  63  64  65  66  66  65
RH..............46  36  32  30  30  30  31  32
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..3   4   5   5   6   6   7   7
20 FT WIND GUST.5   10  10  10  15  15  15  15
HAINES INDEX....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
SMOKE DISP......400 800 110013001500170018001900

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. RAIN
                    SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 43.
RH..................MAX 90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 24 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 13
                    TO 14 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1800-3500 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........MIN 3.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN FAIR(200).

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........76  82  85  86  89  90  91  93  94  95  96  97
WEATHER COV.....        CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE....        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............64  61  59  57  54  52  50  49  48  46  45  44
RH..............34  37  40  46  52  59  65  71  77  82  86  89
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD..7   6   6   6   6   6   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  10  15  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
HAINES INDEX....5   5   5   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
SMOKE DISP......18001900170016001200900 600 500 400 400 300 200

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
                    THROUGH THE DAY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 50.
RH..................MIN 65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 14 TO 21 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000-4200 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MAX EXCELLENT(900).

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........97     96     97     97     97     98
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............44     45     47     49     50     50
RH..............90     89     88     82     73     68
20 FT WIND......NW 5   NW 6   N 6    N 6    N 7    N 7
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     15     15     15     15
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      3      4      4
SMOKE DISP......300    400    600    700    800    900

$$
FORECASTER...MONIQUE RUNYAN
REQUESTED BY...PERSEPHONE WHELAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160503.LOUDC.01/APX




000
FNUS83 KGRR 021953
FWMGRR

FCST,203802,160503,13,1,64,35,1,1,W,06,M,64,36,96,31,0,0,N




000
FNUS83 KMQT 021937
FWMMQT

FCST,200405,160503,13,2,53,56,1,1,W,06,M,55,42,73,45,0,0,N
FCST,200403,160503,13,2,54,53,1,2,WSW,07,M,57,41,75,40,0,0,N
FCST,200401,160503,13,2,50,62,1,1,W,06,M,52,42,74,50,0,0,N
FCST,200102,160503,13,3,63,37,1,3,W,11,M,64,40,72,29,0,0,N
FCST,200103,160503,13,8,63,32,1,3,W,11,M,64,35,86,27,0,0,N
FCST,200301,160503,13,3,60,43,1,3,W,11,M,65,37,77,27,0,0,N
FCST,200504,160503,13,8,60,43,1,3,W,11,M,64,36,81,29,0,0,N
FCST,200503,160503,13,3,57,55,1,3,W,09,M,65,39,75,31,0,0,N
FCST,200802,160503,13,2,67,27,1,3,WSW,10,M,68,35,88,24,0,0,N
FCST,200703,160503,13,8,66,29,1,3,WSW,09,M,66,36,86,29,0,0,N
FCST,200903,160503,13,2,66,29,1,3,WSW,09,M,66,35,92,28,0,0,N
FCST,201102,160503,13,2,64,35,1,2,SW,08,M,66,35,92,26,0,0,N
FCST,201103,160503,13,3,63,35,1,2,SW,08,M,63,36,90,32,0,0,N
FCST,201002,160503,13,3,63,35,1,2,SW,08,M,64,35,91,34,0,0,N
FCST,201004,160503,13,3,59,45,1,2,SW,08,M,59,38,83,45,0,0,N
FCST,201202,160503,13,3,62,40,1,2,SSW,08,M,64,35,91,31,0,0,N
FCST,201302,160503,13,3,60,41,1,1,SSW,08,M,61,33,97,33,0,0,N
FCST,201401,160503,13,2,59,42,1,1,SSW,08,M,63,35,91,30,0,0,N
FCST,201504,160503,13,2,59,44,1,1,SSW,09,M,64,33,96,30,0,0,N
FCST,201505,160503,13,2,61,37,1,1,SSW,09,M,64,34,93,27,0,0,N




000
FNUS83 KMQT 021937
FWMMQT

FCST,200405,160503,13,2,53,56,1,1,W,06,M,55,42,73,45,0,0,N
FCST,200403,160503,13,2,54,53,1,2,WSW,07,M,57,41,75,40,0,0,N
FCST,200401,160503,13,2,50,62,1,1,W,06,M,52,42,74,50,0,0,N
FCST,200102,160503,13,3,63,37,1,3,W,11,M,64,40,72,29,0,0,N
FCST,200103,160503,13,8,63,32,1,3,W,11,M,64,35,86,27,0,0,N
FCST,200301,160503,13,3,60,43,1,3,W,11,M,65,37,77,27,0,0,N
FCST,200504,160503,13,8,60,43,1,3,W,11,M,64,36,81,29,0,0,N
FCST,200503,160503,13,3,57,55,1,3,W,09,M,65,39,75,31,0,0,N
FCST,200802,160503,13,2,67,27,1,3,WSW,10,M,68,35,88,24,0,0,N
FCST,200703,160503,13,8,66,29,1,3,WSW,09,M,66,36,86,29,0,0,N
FCST,200903,160503,13,2,66,29,1,3,WSW,09,M,66,35,92,28,0,0,N
FCST,201102,160503,13,2,64,35,1,2,SW,08,M,66,35,92,26,0,0,N
FCST,201103,160503,13,3,63,35,1,2,SW,08,M,63,36,90,32,0,0,N
FCST,201002,160503,13,3,63,35,1,2,SW,08,M,64,35,91,34,0,0,N
FCST,201004,160503,13,3,59,45,1,2,SW,08,M,59,38,83,45,0,0,N
FCST,201202,160503,13,3,62,40,1,2,SSW,08,M,64,35,91,31,0,0,N
FCST,201302,160503,13,3,60,41,1,1,SSW,08,M,61,33,97,33,0,0,N
FCST,201401,160503,13,2,59,42,1,1,SSW,08,M,63,35,91,30,0,0,N
FCST,201504,160503,13,2,59,44,1,1,SSW,09,M,64,33,96,30,0,0,N
FCST,201505,160503,13,2,61,37,1,1,SSW,09,M,64,34,93,27,0,0,N




000
FNUS83 KAPX 021917
FWMAPX

FCST,202902,160503,13,2,65,31,1,1,WSW,08,M,65,35,96,31,0,0,N
FCST,202010,160503,13,2,59,46,1,1,SW,10,M,59,40,82,45,0,0,N
FCST,203101,160503,13,1,64,38,1,1,WSW,09,M,64,38,82,31,0,0,N
FCST,203601,160503,13,1,64,36,1,1,SSW,07,M,64,37,85,35,0,0,N




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