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000
FNUS53 KAPX 212008
FWFAPX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
408 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013

...SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES LINGER THROUGH THURSDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
THE STORM SYSTEM WHICH SETTLED INTO THE PLAINS EARLIER THIS WEEK...
WILL SLOWLY MOVE OVER THE GREAT LAKES WEDNESDAY...BEFORE FINALLY
EXITING EAST ON THURSDAY. THIS PATTERN WILL CONTINUE TO GENERATE
MILD TEMPERATURES THIS WEEK...ALONG WITH SEVERAL CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE GREAT LAKES FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.
THIS PATTERN WILL GENERATE PLENTY OF SUN AND SEASONAL
TEMPERATURES...OVER NORTHERN MICHIGAN THROUGH THE UPCOMING HOLIDAY
WEEKEND.

MIZ016-017-019-021>023-220845-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
408 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2300. PATCHY
                    FOG AFTER 2300.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (10).
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL
                    0800. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........76-81 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (190).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST
                    AROUND 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.15-0.44 IN.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2000. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
                    UNTIL 0200...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (40).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.16-0.50 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-53 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......25 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (760).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 21 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.19 IN.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-220845-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
408 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2300. PATCHY
                    FOG AFTER 2300.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (0).
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL
                    0800. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........75-80 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (190).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AROUND 9
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.19-0.53 IN.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2000. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
                    UNTIL 0200...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (60).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.23-0.57 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0800...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
                    UNTIL 1400...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
   24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-59 PERCENT...EXCEPT 77-82 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (500).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 21 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.05-0.28 IN.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-220845-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
408 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2300. PATCHY
                    FOG AFTER 2300.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (10).
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL
                    0800. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
   24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........73-78 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (200).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.17-0.45 IN.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2000. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
                    UNTIL 0200...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-92 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (20).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.19-0.41 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-56 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (740).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.14 IN.


$$

MIZ031>033-220845-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
408 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2300. PATCHY
                    FOG AFTER 2300.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (10).
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 18 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 6
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL 0800.
                    RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER 0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........71-76 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (240).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.34-0.56 IN.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 2000. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY UNTIL
                    0200...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-91 PERCENT...EXCEPT 72-77 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (20).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.30-0.42 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-53 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......23 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (690).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 21 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.04-0.14 IN.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-220845-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
408 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2300. PATCHY
                    FOG AFTER 2300.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (20).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 18 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 6
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL
                    0800. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........73-78 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (420).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.39-0.61 IN.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 2000. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY UNTIL
                    0200...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (40).
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.37-0.55 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
   24 HR TREND......16 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-58 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (470).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 18 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.22 IN.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PATCHY FROST. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY FROST. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.MEMORIAL DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SR





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000
FNUS83 KMQT 211947
FWMMQT

FCST,200405,130522,13,2,51,55,1,1,NE,14,M,51,39,100,54,8,0,N
FCST,200403,130522,13,2,53,54,1,1,NE,16,M,54,42,96,53,7,0,N
FCST,200401,130522,13,2,50,58,1,1,NE,14,M,51,40,100,55,8,0,N
FCST,200102,130522,13,3,49,78,1,1,NE,9,M,68,43,100,67,0,0,N
FCST,200103,130522,13,3,52,77,1,1,N,7,M,73,45,97,55,0,0,N
FCST,200301,130522,13,3,50,78,1,1,NE,10,M,63,43,100,73,0,0,N
FCST,200503,130522,13,3,52,76,1,1,NE,10,M,52,43,100,75,0,0,N
FCST,200802,130522,13,3,56,74,1,1,N,8,M,65,48,100,74,0,0,N
FCST,200703,130522,13,3,52,77,1,1,N,11,M,65,45,100,76,0,0,N
FCST,200903,130522,13,3,56,74,1,1,N,9,M,64,48,100,74,0,0,N
FCST,201102,130522,13,3,57,75,1,1,N,9,M,63,48,100,75,0,0,N
FCST,201103,130522,13,3,56,78,1,1,N,8,M,62,48,99,77,0,0,N
FCST,201002,130522,13,3,55,76,1,1,N,8,M,62,46,100,76,0,0,N
FCST,201004,130522,13,3,48,87,1,1,N,8,M,59,45,100,80,0,0,N
FCST,201202,130522,13,3,58,77,1,1,NE,8,M,61,49,100,77,0,0,N
FCST,201302,130522,13,3,56,79,1,1,N,6,M,59,48,100,79,0,0,N
FCST,201401,130522,13,3,60,78,1,1,NE,5,M,60,50,100,77,0,0,N
FCST,201504,130522,13,3,58,77,1,1,N,4,M,59,49,100,77,0,0,N
FCST,201505,130522,13,3,61,78,1,1,NE,6,M,61,50,100,77,0,0,N






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000
FNUS83 KAPX 211944
FWMAPX

FCST,202902,130522,13,8,69,76,1,1,E,03,M,78,57,100,52,0,0,N
FCST,202010,130522,13,8,61,80,1,1,N,03,M,74,53,100,66,0,0,N
FCST,203101,130522,13,8,69,75,1,1,NW,02,M,80,58,100,47,0,0,N
FCST,203601,130522,13,8,64,84,1,1,E,05,M,73,59,96,66,0,0,N






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000
FNUS53 KGRR 211942
FWFGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
342 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013

...SOAKING RAINS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
PERIODS OF RAIN WILL SPREAD OVER THE REGION LATE TONIGHT AND
REMAIN OVER THE AREA THROUGH THURSDAY. SEASONABLY COOL AND DRIER
WEATHER WITH LIGHT WINDS WILL THEN MOVE INTO THE REGION FOR THE
HOLIDAY WEEKEND.



MIZ037>039-043>045-220815-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...
FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS
342 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 0500...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0400.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...0-500 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...5300-5800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-300
                    FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1500 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN UNTIL
                    0900. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. RAIN AFTER 0900.
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........61-66 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AROUND 8 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-2200 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    5100-5600 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...400-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.32-0.65 IN.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-800 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 1800-2300
                    FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100-400 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.15-0.38 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
   24 HR TREND......16 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-51 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-2300 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    2700-3200 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600-800 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.03-0.29 IN.


$$

MIZ040-046-220815-
CLARE-ISABELLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT
342 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 0500...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 2100 UNTIL 0200. SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2100. SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-400 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...800 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN UNTIL
                    0900. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. RAIN AFTER 0900.
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........66-71 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......24 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 7 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100-5600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.55-0.65 IN.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 15 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5
                    MPH OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...100-400 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.23-0.38 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 1900...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY UNTIL 1400.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
   24 HR TREND......19 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-59 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-3100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...700-800 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.19-0.36 IN.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-220815-
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...JENISON...HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
342 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 0300...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    AFTER 0200 UNTIL 0600. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER 0200. RAIN LIKELY AFTER 0600.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...0-500 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...4800-5300 FT AGL DECREASING TO
                    800-1300 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1200 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 100 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.03-0.20 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN AND ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........63-68 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 73-78
                    PERCENT INLAND.
   24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT WETTER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 25
                    PERCENT WETTER INLAND.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    AROUND 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...2000-2500 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...4800-5300 FT AGL DECREASING TO
                    2800-3300 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...500-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.43-0.64 IN.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1300 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    2200-2700 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-400 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.14-0.33 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-56 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......24 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-2400 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    2900-3400 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO NORTH AROUND
                    25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...600-800 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.05-0.17 IN.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-220815-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS
342 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 0400...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AFTER 2200 UNTIL 0200. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2200. CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER
                    0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5700-6200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500-1000 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1100 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 100 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.08 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN UNTIL
                    0900. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. RAIN AFTER 0900.
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......24 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    AROUND 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300-4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.49-0.66 IN.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-2600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
                    OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...100-400 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.16-0.39 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 1900...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY UNTIL 1400...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-57 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO NORTH
                    AROUND 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...700 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.13-0.36 IN.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-220815-
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...
KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
342 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 0200...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0200. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS. RAIN LIKELY AFTER 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800-6300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1200-1700 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1500 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 200 (FAIR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.02-0.17 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN AND ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........66-71 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...700 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.43-0.58 IN.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300-2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-500 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.16-0.29 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY UNTIL 1400...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........61-66 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO NORTH AROUND
                    25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...600-700 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.14-0.26 IN.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTH WINDS
6 TO 11 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY FROST OVERNIGHT. LOWS AROUND
40. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING EAST 5 TO 6 MPH OVERNIGHT.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
8 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
.MEMORIAL DAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.



$$






  [top]

000
FNUS53 KDTX 211940
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
336 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013

.DISCUSSION...
A LARGE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS WILL BRING
SEVERAL ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BRING IN WARM AND MOIST AIR TO THE
AREA. MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL RANGE FROM 50 TO 60 PERCENT WITH HIGH
TEMPERATURES GETTING INTO THE 80S TODAY. COOLER TEMPERATURES IN THE
70S AND HIGHER MIN RH VALUES OF 60 TO 70 PERCENT ARE EXPECTED ON
WEDNESDAY AS THE LOW MOVES THROUGH THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES. AN EVEN
COOLER AIRMASS WILL ARRIVE LATE IN THE WEEK AS THE LOW DEPARTS AND
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTH. HIGHS LATE THIS WEEK WILL BE
AROUND 60 DEGREES WITH MIN RH VALUES OF 50 TO 60 PERCENT.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-221400-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
336 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 7 AM...THEN
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. POP...60
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...DIMINISHING TO AROUND
                    5 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 5
                    MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS WITH
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. POP...80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........68-76 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......25 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4960-5460 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (970).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.51-0.75 IN.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS
                    LIKELY. POP...70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1380-1580 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 20 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND
                    10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN...BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (10).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SHOWERS
                    LIKELY. POP...60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
   24 HR TREND......18 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-61 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3380-3880 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTH AROUND
                    25 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (550).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-221400-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
336 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 7 AM...THEN
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. POP...60
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS
                    WITH THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. POP...80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........56-66 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5790-6290 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH 15 TO
                    20 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1120).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.51-0.75 IN.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS. POP...60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......780-980 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN...DECREASING TO AROUND 5
                    MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SHOWERS
                    LIKELY. POP...60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
   24 HR TREND......20 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........56-64 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1410-1910 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTH
                    25 TO 30 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (550).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-221400-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
336 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 7 AM...THEN
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. POP...60
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. POP...80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........62-72 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4750-5250 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 30 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1400).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) UNTIL 2 AM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 AM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
                    POP...50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND
                    10 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (10).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 4 PM. SHOWERS
                    LIKELY. POP...60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
   24 HR TREND......17 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5150-5650 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING WEST IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN...BECOMING NORTH AROUND
                    25 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (880).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A SLIGHT A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A SLIGHT A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MEMORIAL DAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.

$$

MR






  [top]

000
FNUS83 KGRR 211937
FWMGRR

FCST,203802,130522,13,3,67,81,1,1,NNE,06,M,78,57,100,58,0,5,Y







  [top]

000
FNUS53 KMQT 210943
FWFMQT

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR UPPER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
543 AM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013

...SHOWERS TO START THE MORNING...WITH HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE 60S...

.DISCUSSION...WE WILL START THE MORNING OFF DAMP...WITH THE
POSSIBILITY OF ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING
OVER NORTHERN WISCONSIN THIS AFTERNOON AND EDGING TOWARD SOUTH
CENTRAL AND EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN THIS EVENING. LOW PRESSURE ACROSS
SOUTHERN MINNESOTA WILL CROSS INTO WISCONSIN AND NORTHERN LAKE
MICHIGAN THIS EVENING...BEFORE EXITING EASTWARD ACROSS THE LOWER
GREAT LAKES WEDNESDAY. IN THE MEANTIME...STRONG...COOL...AND DRY HIGH
PRESSURE OVER NORTHERN CANADA IS EXPECTED TO SINK SOUTHWARD WITH A
RIDGE EXTENDING ACROSS THE UPPER GREAT LAKES. THE RESULT WILL BE
INCREASED NORTHERLY WINDS THURSDAY WITH GUSTS AROUND 20 TO 25 MPH
OVER MAINLY CENTRAL AND EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN. OTHERWISE...AN
EXTENDED PERIOD OF DRY BUT COOLER THAN NORMAL WEATHER FROM THURSDAY
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

MIZ001-003-220945-
KEWEENAW-NORTHERN HOUGHTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COPPER HARBOR...HOUGHTON...HANCOCK
543 AM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG. NUMEROUS SHOWERS EARLY...
                    THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56 INLAND TO AROUND 46 AT THE SHORE.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........74-79 PERCENT INLAND TO 85 PERCENT AT THE
                    SHORE.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
AIRPORT WINDS.......EAST 15 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 10
                    TO 15 MPH BY MID AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.42-0.49 IN.
HOURS OF SUN........1.
LAL.................2.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    THROUGH MIDNIGHT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
                    PATCHY FOG LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
AIRPORT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........AROUND 0.11 IN.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 0200...THEN 1.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG EARLY. A CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56 INLAND TO AROUND 50 AT THE SHORE.
MIN HUMIDITY........64-69 PERCENT.
AIRPORT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH BECOMING 10 TO 15
                    MPH BY MID AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.10 IN.
HOURS OF SUN........2.
LAL.................1.

$$

MIZ002-009-084-220945-
ONTONAGON-GOGEBIC-SOUTHERN HOUGHTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ONTONAGON...IRONWOOD...KENTON...SIDNAW
543 AM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013 /443 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013/

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. NUMEROUS SHOWERS EARLY...BECOMING
                    SCATTERED. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66 INLAND TO AROUND 48 AT THE SHORE.
   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........62-67 PERCENT INLAND TO 79 PERCENT AT THE
                    SHORE.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER.
AIRPORT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.35-0.48 IN.
HOURS OF SUN........1.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 1700...THEN 2.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    THROUGH MIDNIGHT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
                    PATCHY FOG LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47 INLAND TO AROUND 41 AT THE SHORE.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
AIRPORT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.09-0.15 IN.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 0200...THEN 1.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG EARLY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
MIN HUMIDITY........62-67 PERCENT.
AIRPORT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO
                    15 MPH BY MID AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........AROUND 0.11 IN.
HOURS OF SUN........1.
LAL.................1.

$$

MIZ010-011-220945-
IRON-DICKINSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...IRON RIVER...IRON MOUNTAIN
443 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. NUMEROUS SHOWERS EARLY...BECOMING
                    SCATTERED. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........61-66 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER.
AIRPORT WINDS.......EAST 5 MPH OR LESS SHIFTING TO THE NORTH BY MID
                    AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.37-0.49 IN.
HOURS OF SUN........2.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 1700...THEN 2.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
AIRPORT WINDS.......NORTH 5 MPH OR LESS INCREASING TO 5 TO 10 MPH
                    LATE.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.10 IN.
LAL.................2.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MIN HUMIDITY........64-69 PERCENT.
AIRPORT WINDS.......NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15
                    MPH BY MID AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........AROUND 0.11 IN.
HOURS OF SUN........0.
LAL.................1.

$$

MIZ004-005-220945-
BARAGA-MARQUETTE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...L`ANSE...GWINN...MARQUETTE
543 AM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SHOWERS...BECOMING SCATTERED BY MID
                    MORNING. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68 INLAND TO AROUND 47 AT THE SHORE.
   24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........64-69 PERCENT INLAND TO 77 PERCENT AT THE
                    SHORE.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
AIRPORT WINDS.......EAST 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH BY MID
                    AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.40-0.51 IN.
HOURS OF SUN........1.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 1700...THEN 2.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. PATCHY FOG LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47 INLAND TO AROUND 41 AT THE SHORE.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........97-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
AIRPORT WINDS.......NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.05-0.11 IN.
LAL.................2.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG EARLY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-58 INLAND TO AROUND 50 AT THE SHORE.
MIN HUMIDITY........66-71 PERCENT.
AIRPORT WINDS.......NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15
                    MPH BY MID AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........AROUND 0.11 IN.
HOURS OF SUN........0.
LAL.................1.

$$

MIZ006-007-085-220945-
ALGER-LUCE-NORTHERN SCHOOLCRAFT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GRAND MARAIS...MUNISING...NEWBERRY...
SENEY
543 AM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SHOWERS THIS MORNING...BECOMING SCATTERED.
                    SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
                    BY MID AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67 INLAND TO AROUND 53 AT THE SHORE.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........66-71 PERCENT INLAND TO 79 PERCENT AT THE
                    SHORE.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
AIRPORT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.44-0.80 IN.
HOURS OF SUN........1.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 1700...THEN 2.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-49 INLAND TO AROUND 42 AT THE SHORE.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........96-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
AIRPORT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
                    LATE.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.07 IN.
LAL.................2.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-61 INLAND TO AROUND 50 AT THE SHORE.
MIN HUMIDITY........69-74 PERCENT.
AIRPORT WINDS.......NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15
                    MPH BY MID AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.10 IN.
HOURS OF SUN........0.
LAL.................1.

$$

MIZ012-220945-
MENOMINEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MENOMINEE
443 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. NUMEROUS SHOWERS BECOMING
                    SCATTERED EARLY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71 INLAND TO AROUND 64 AT THE SHORE.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
AIRPORT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING SOUTH 5 MPH OR
                    LESS BY MID AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.29-0.41 IN.
HOURS OF SUN........3.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 1700...THEN 2.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. PATCHY FOG LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
AIRPORT WINDS.......NORTH 5 MPH OR LESS INCREASING TO 5 TO 10 MPH
                    LATE.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN.
LAL.................2.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........66-71 PERCENT.
AIRPORT WINDS.......NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15
                    MPH BY MID AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........AROUND 0.10 IN.
HOURS OF SUN........0.
LAL.................1.

$$

MIZ013-014-220945-
DELTA-SOUTHERN SCHOOLCRAFT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ESCANABA...GLADSTONE...MANISTIQUE
543 AM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. NUMEROUS SHOWERS EARLY...BECOMING
                    BECOMING SCATTERED. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71 INLAND TO AROUND 57 AT THE SHORE.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........62-67 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
AIRPORT WINDS.......EAST 10 TO 15 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 MPH OR
                    LESS BY MID AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.34-0.70 IN.
HOURS OF SUN........2.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 1700...THEN 2.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. PATCHY FOG LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
AIRPORT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 5 MPH OR LESS INCREASING TO NORTH 5
                    TO 10 MPH LATE.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN.
LAL.................2.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MIN HUMIDITY........67-72 PERCENT.
AIRPORT WINDS.......NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15
                    MPH BY MID AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.10 IN.
HOURS OF SUN........0.
LAL.................1.

$$

MIZ015-220945-
MACKINAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ST. IGNACE
543 AM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SHOWERS THROUGH LATE MORNING...BECOMING
                    SCATTERED. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62 INLAND TO AROUND 55 AT THE SHORE.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........63-68 PERCENT INLAND TO 86 PERCENT AT THE
                    SHORE.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
AIRPORT WINDS.......EAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.63-0.78 IN.
HOURS OF SUN........1.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 1700...THEN 2.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. PATCHY FOG LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-80 PERCENT INLAND TO 95 PERCENT AT THE
                    SHORE.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
AIRPORT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 MPH
                    OR LESS LATE.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.07 IN.
LAL.................2.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64 INLAND TO AROUND 58 AT THE SHORE.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-62 PERCENT INLAND TO 78 PERCENT AT THE
                    SHORE.
AIRPORT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 5 MPH OR LESS INCREASING TO 5
                    TO 10 MPH BY MID AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........AROUND 0.10 IN.
HOURS OF SUN........0.
LAL.................1.

$$

MIZ008-220945-
CHIPPEWA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE
543 AM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH MID AFTERNOON.
                    SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS
                    LATE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........74-79 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
AIRPORT WINDS.......EAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.62-0.83 IN.
HOURS OF SUN........1.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 1700...THEN 2.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49 INLAND TO AROUND 43 AT THE SHORE.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
AIRPORT WINDS.......EAST 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 MPH OR
                    LESS LATE.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.08 IN.
LAL.................2.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
MIN HUMIDITY........68-73 PERCENT.
AIRPORT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 5 MPH OR LESS INCREASING TO 10
                    TO 15 MPH BY MID AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.05-0.12 IN.
HOURS OF SUN........0.
LAL.................1.

$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EAST THROUGH EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING. BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 38 TO 43. HIGHS 53 TO
58 INLAND TO AROUND 48 AT THE SHORE. NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.FRIDAY...CLEAR. LOWS 32 TO 37. HIGHS 57 TO 62 INLAND TO AROUND 50 AT
THE SHORE. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS 59 TO 64 INLAND TO
AROUND 52 AT THE SHORE. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 42. HIGHS 60 TO 65 INLAND TO
AROUND 53 AT THE SHORE.
.MEMORIAL DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS WEST
AND CENTRAL. LOWS AROUND 44. HIGHS 62 TO 67 INLAND TO AROUND 56 AT
THE SHORE.

.OUTLOOK FOR TUE MAY 28 THROUGH MON JUN  3...EXPECT ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES AND ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION.

$$

...................SMOKE MANAGEMENT FORECAST DATA....................

THE FOLLOWING VALUES ARE FOR 1 PM EST (2 PM EDT) TODAY...

                          HAINES    MIXING  TRANSPORT  VENTILATION
WIMS ID/         SITE/     INDEX  / HEIGHT /  WIND   /    INDEX
------------------------------------------------------------------
471301 /    WAUSAUKEE/ 3 VERY LOW  / 4300  / SW 14   /   602 (E)
200301 /       KENTON/ 3 VERY LOW  / 1700  / N 8     /   136 (F)
201004 /     MUNISING/ 4 LOW       / 300   / S 24    /   72 (P)
201002 /     DOE LAKE/ 4 LOW       / 1900  / SW 21   /   399 (G)
201103 /  HIGH BRIDGE/ 4 LOW       / 1500  / SW 21   /   315 (G)
200703 /        GWINN/ 4 LOW       / 2600  / SW 25   /   650 (E)
200903 /    LABRANCHE/ 4 LOW       / 4300  / SW 26   /   1118 (E)
200503 /       PELKIE/ 3 VERY LOW  / 2300  / N 10    /   230 (F)
201504 /         RACO/ 3 VERY LOW  / 1500  / S 23    /   345 (G)
200802 /    RANDVILLE/ 3 VERY LOW  / 4900  / SW 23   /   1127 (E)
201401 /       REXTON/ 3 VERY LOW  / 1300  / S 18    /   234 (F)
201505 /      RUDYARD/ 3 VERY LOW  / 1700  / S 18    /   306 (G)
201202 /        SENEY/ 3 VERY LOW  / 1600  / S 20    /   320 (G)
201302 /SPINCICH LAKE/ 3 VERY LOW  / 1500  / S 21    /   315 (G)
201102 /   STONINGTON/ 4 LOW       / 1700  / SW 18   /   306 (G)
200102 /    WAKEFIELD/ 3 VERY LOW  / 1900  / NE 4    /   76 (P)
200103 /   WATERSMEET/ 3 VERY LOW  / 4700  / W 3     /   141 (F)
       /DRUMND ISLAND/ 3 VERY LOW  / 300   / S 13    /   39 (P)
       /          KEW/ 3 VERY LOW  / 1200  / NE 18   /   216 (F)

THE FOLLOWING VALUES ARE FOR 1 PM EST (2 PM EDT) WED...

                          HAINES    MIXING  TRANSPORT  VENTILATION
WIMS ID/         SITE/     INDEX  / HEIGHT /  WIND   /    INDEX
------------------------------------------------------------------
471301 /    WAUSAUKEE/ 3 VERY LOW  / 2600  / N 9     /   234 (F)
200301 /       KENTON/ 3 VERY LOW  / 2500  / NE 25   /   625 (E)
201004 /     MUNISING/ 3 VERY LOW  / 1300  / NE 13   /   169 (F)
201002 /     DOE LAKE/ 3 VERY LOW  / 2200  / NE 10   /   220 (F)
201103 /  HIGH BRIDGE/ 3 VERY LOW  / 1900  / N 9     /   171 (F)
200703 /        GWINN/ 3 VERY LOW  / 2000  / NE 14   /   280 (F)
200903 /    LABRANCHE/ 3 VERY LOW  / 2900  / N 10    /   290 (F)
200503 /       PELKIE/ 3 VERY LOW  / 3200  / NE 26   /   832 (E)
201504 /         RACO/ 3 VERY LOW  / 2700  / NE 12   /   324 (G)
200802 /    RANDVILLE/ 3 VERY LOW  / 2600  / N 11    /   286 (F)
201401 /       REXTON/ 3 VERY LOW  / 2600  / NE 11   /   286 (F)
201505 /      RUDYARD/ 3 VERY LOW  / 2900  / N 10    /   290 (F)
201202 /        SENEY/ 3 VERY LOW  / 2400  / NE 12   /   288 (F)
201302 /SPINCICH LAKE/ 3 VERY LOW  / 2300  / NE 13   /   299 (F)
201102 /   STONINGTON/ 3 VERY LOW  / 2500  / N 10    /   250 (F)
200102 /    WAKEFIELD/ 3 VERY LOW  / 2500  / NE 27   /   675 (E)
200103 /   WATERSMEET/ 3 VERY LOW  / 3100  / NE 19   /   589 (G)
       /DRUMND ISLAND/ 3 VERY LOW  / 1800  / NW 10   /   180 (F)
       /          KEW/ 3 VERY LOW  / 500   / NE 31   /   155 (F)

NOTE:  MIXING HEIGHTS ARE IN FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL
       TRANSPORT WINDS ARE IN MILES PER HOUR

.....................................................................

THE FOLLOWING IS POINT FORECAST INFORMATION VALID AT 1 PM EST.
NOTE THAT THE QPF IS FROM 7 AM TO 1 PM EST. ALSO...WIND SPEEDS HAVE
BEEN REDUCED BY A FACTOR OF 0.7 BY THE REQUEST OF LOCAL FIRE OFFICIALS.

WIMS ID/         SITE/TEMP/  RH/WSPD/WGST/WDIR/ QPF
---------------------------------------------------
471301 /    WAUSAUKEE/  71/  68/   2/   4/   S/0.22
200301 /       KENTON/  60/  79/   3/   6/  NE/0.33
201004 /     MUNISING/  58/  84/   4/   6/   S/0.50
201002 /     DOE LAKE/  66/  70/   4/   6/   S/0.47
201103 /  HIGH BRIDGE/  67/  68/   4/   6/   S/0.45
200703 /        GWINN/  66/  70/   0/   2/  SW/0.36
200903 /    LABRANCHE/  71/  62/   1/   2/   S/0.29
200503 /       PELKIE/  58/  77/   5/   8/  NE/0.34
201504 /         RACO/  62/  78/   8/  12/  SE/0.65
200802 /    RANDVILLE/  70/  64/   0/   1/   S/0.28
201401 /       REXTON/  61/  80/   8/  11/  SE/0.64
201505 /      RUDYARD/  61/  78/   8/  12/   E/0.62
201202 /        SENEY/  64/  73/   7/  10/  SE/0.61
201302 /SPINCICH LAKE/  62/  79/   8/  12/  SE/0.64
201102 /   STONINGTON/  67/  70/   3/   4/   S/0.35
200102 /    WAKEFIELD/  62/  76/   4/   8/   N/0.29
200103 /   WATERSMEET/  67/  66/   1/   3/   N/0.30
       /DRUMND ISLAND/  54/  83/  12/  13/   E/0.46
       /          KEW/  50/  91/   8/  10/  NE/0.35
$$

KF





000
FNUS83 KMQT 201948
FWMMQT

FCST,200405,130521,13,3,47,76,1,1,NE,17,M,47,42,100,74,13,2,N
FCST,200403,130521,13,3,49,72,1,1,NE,17,M,49,43,100,71,13,2,N
FCST,200401,130521,13,3,45,80,1,1,NE,17,M,47,39,100,75,13,2,N
FCST,200102,130521,13,2,63,68,1,1,E,5,M,77,52,92,47,0,6,N
FCST,200103,130521,13,8,67,63,1,1,SE,5,M,76,55,95,53,0,0,N
FCST,200301,130521,13,2,65,63,1,1,E,4,M,67,48,100,63,0,0,N
FCST,200503,130521,13,2,62,69,1,1,E,8,M,68,45,100,62,0,0,N
FCST,200802,130521,13,2,68,62,1,1,SE,5,M,74,56,93,58,0,0,N
FCST,200703,130521,13,2,64,70,1,1,SE,5,M,68,55,96,68,0,0,N
FCST,200903,130521,13,2,67,66,1,1,SE,5,M,71,56,98,62,0,0,N
FCST,201102,130521,13,3,64,70,1,1,SE,6,M,65,55,100,69,0,0,N
FCST,201103,130521,13,3,62,75,1,1,SE,8,M,63,55,92,75,0,0,N
FCST,201002,130521,13,3,62,72,1,1,SE,8,M,65,55,90,71,0,0,N
FCST,201004,130521,13,3,58,79,1,1,SE,8,M,62,53,93,76,0,0,N
FCST,201202,130521,13,3,62,73,1,1,E,9,M,64,56,89,72,8,0,N
FCST,201302,130521,13,2,60,75,1,1,E,8,M,65,55,95,72,0,0,N
FCST,201401,130521,13,3,61,74,1,1,E,9,M,65,54,100,71,8,0,N
FCST,201504,130521,13,3,61,73,1,1,E,9,M,65,52,97,72,0,0,N
FCST,201505,130521,13,3,60,73,1,1,E,10,M,67,52,95,66,8,0,N







000
FNUS83 KAPX 201941
FWMAPX

FCST,202902,130521,13,8,71,65,1,1,NE,05,M,88,60,93,43,4,0,N
FCST,202010,130521,13,8,67,70,1,1,S,04,M,80,59,90,56,0,0,N
FCST,203101,130521,13,8,74,64,1,1,S,07,M,84,63,93,49,0,0,N
FCST,203601,130521,13,8,68,70,1,1,E,04,M,72,59,100,70,3,0,N







000
FNUS83 KGRR 201820
FWMGRR

FCST,203802,130521,13,8,73,71,1,1,SSW,12,M,81,61,100,60,11,6,N






  [top]

000
FNUS73 KAPX 201331
FWSAPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR GREEN TIMBERS...STATE OF MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
931 AM EDT MON MAY 20 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 EDT ON MAY 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...INCREASING CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH PERIODIC BOUTS OF SHOWERS AND STORM CONTINUING RIGHT
THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE BURN
SITE...WITH THE BEST POTENTIAL EXPECTED FROM MID AFTERNOON INTO THE
EARLY EVENING HOURS. IN ADDITION...ANY THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VERY GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...IN EXCESS OF 35 MPH.
DESPITE THE WARM TEMPERATURES...RH VALUES WILL REMAIN ELEVATED DUE TO
ABUNDANT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
TEMPERATURE.........77 AT IGNITION...MAX 79.
RH..................62 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 6 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 18
                    TO 23 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 100-2000 FT
                    AGL INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (1200) AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT
                    (1300).

TIME (EDT)      2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........73  74  76  77
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............77  78  78  78
RH..............62  60  60  60
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..6   6   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  10  10
HAINES INDEX....3   3   4   4
SMOKE DISP......120013001100800

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    LIKELY.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 57.
RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 16 MPH DECREASING TO 3 TO 7 MPH LATE
                    IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN POOR(0).

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........73  69  65  82  84  84  86  89  90  87  79  76
WEATHER COV.....CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............77  75  72  69  66  64  62  61  60  59  59  58
RH..............62  64  71  78  84  90  97  97  100 100 100 100
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..6   5   5   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  10  5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
SMOKE DISP......600 300 100 0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

$$
FORECASTER...MIKE BOGUTH
REQUESTED BY...LEE OSTERLAND
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130520.GREEN.01/APX







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