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000
WWUS83 KAPX 031336
RFWAPX

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
936 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

MIZ016-019>021-025>027-031>033-032145-
/O.EXA.KAPX.FW.W.0001.150503T1600Z-150504T0100Z/
EMMET-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-
MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-
936 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 016...019...020...021...025...026...027...031
...032 AND 033...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING.

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 016...019...020...021...
  025...026...027...031...032 AND 033.

* WIND...SOUTHWEST WIND INCREASING TO 10 TO 20 MPH THIS
  AFTERNOONAND EARLY EVENING...WITH FREQUENT GUSTS TO 25 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...HUMIDITIES WILL DROP TO 20 TO 25 PERCENT IN
  NORTHEAST LOWER MICHIGAN THIS AFTERNOON.

* TEMPERATURES...WILL RISE TO AROUND 80 DEGREES.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY.
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

MIZ017-018-022>024-028>030-034>036-041-042-032145-
/O.CON.KAPX.FW.W.0001.150503T1600Z-150504T0100Z/
CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-CRAWFORD-OSCODA-
ALCONA-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-GLADWIN-ARENAC-
936 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 017...018...022...023...024...028...029...030
...034...035...036...041 AND 042...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 017...018...022...023...
  024...028...029...030...034...035...036...041 AND 042.

* WIND...SOUTHWEST WIND INCREASING TO 10 TO 20 MPH THIS
  AFTERNOONAND EARLY EVENING...WITH FREQUENT GUSTS TO 25 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...HUMIDITIES WILL DROP TO 20 TO 25 PERCENT IN
  NORTHEAST LOWER MICHIGAN THIS AFTERNOON.

* TEMPERATURES...WILL RISE TO AROUND 80 DEGREES.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY.
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$



000
WWUS83 KAPX 031336
RFWAPX

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
936 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

MIZ016-019>021-025>027-031>033-032145-
/O.EXA.KAPX.FW.W.0001.150503T1600Z-150504T0100Z/
EMMET-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-
MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-
936 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 016...019...020...021...025...026...027...031
...032 AND 033...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING.

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 016...019...020...021...
  025...026...027...031...032 AND 033.

* WIND...SOUTHWEST WIND INCREASING TO 10 TO 20 MPH THIS
  AFTERNOONAND EARLY EVENING...WITH FREQUENT GUSTS TO 25 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...HUMIDITIES WILL DROP TO 20 TO 25 PERCENT IN
  NORTHEAST LOWER MICHIGAN THIS AFTERNOON.

* TEMPERATURES...WILL RISE TO AROUND 80 DEGREES.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY.
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

MIZ017-018-022>024-028>030-034>036-041-042-032145-
/O.CON.KAPX.FW.W.0001.150503T1600Z-150504T0100Z/
CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-CRAWFORD-OSCODA-
ALCONA-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-GLADWIN-ARENAC-
936 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 017...018...022...023...024...028...029...030
...034...035...036...041 AND 042...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 017...018...022...023...
  024...028...029...030...034...035...036...041 AND 042.

* WIND...SOUTHWEST WIND INCREASING TO 10 TO 20 MPH THIS
  AFTERNOONAND EARLY EVENING...WITH FREQUENT GUSTS TO 25 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...HUMIDITIES WILL DROP TO 20 TO 25 PERCENT IN
  NORTHEAST LOWER MICHIGAN THIS AFTERNOON.

* TEMPERATURES...WILL RISE TO AROUND 80 DEGREES.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY.
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$




000
WWUS83 KAPX 031336
RFWAPX

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
936 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

MIZ016-019>021-025>027-031>033-032145-
/O.EXA.KAPX.FW.W.0001.150503T1600Z-150504T0100Z/
EMMET-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-
MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-
936 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 016...019...020...021...025...026...027...031
...032 AND 033...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING.

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 016...019...020...021...
  025...026...027...031...032 AND 033.

* WIND...SOUTHWEST WIND INCREASING TO 10 TO 20 MPH THIS
  AFTERNOONAND EARLY EVENING...WITH FREQUENT GUSTS TO 25 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...HUMIDITIES WILL DROP TO 20 TO 25 PERCENT IN
  NORTHEAST LOWER MICHIGAN THIS AFTERNOON.

* TEMPERATURES...WILL RISE TO AROUND 80 DEGREES.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY.
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

MIZ017-018-022>024-028>030-034>036-041-042-032145-
/O.CON.KAPX.FW.W.0001.150503T1600Z-150504T0100Z/
CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-CRAWFORD-OSCODA-
ALCONA-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-GLADWIN-ARENAC-
936 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 017...018...022...023...024...028...029...030
...034...035...036...041 AND 042...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 017...018...022...023...
  024...028...029...030...034...035...036...041 AND 042.

* WIND...SOUTHWEST WIND INCREASING TO 10 TO 20 MPH THIS
  AFTERNOONAND EARLY EVENING...WITH FREQUENT GUSTS TO 25 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...HUMIDITIES WILL DROP TO 20 TO 25 PERCENT IN
  NORTHEAST LOWER MICHIGAN THIS AFTERNOON.

* TEMPERATURES...WILL RISE TO AROUND 80 DEGREES.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY.
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$




000
WWUS83 KAPX 031336
RFWAPX

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
936 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

MIZ016-019>021-025>027-031>033-032145-
/O.EXA.KAPX.FW.W.0001.150503T1600Z-150504T0100Z/
EMMET-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-
MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-
936 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 016...019...020...021...025...026...027...031
...032 AND 033...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING.

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 016...019...020...021...
  025...026...027...031...032 AND 033.

* WIND...SOUTHWEST WIND INCREASING TO 10 TO 20 MPH THIS
  AFTERNOONAND EARLY EVENING...WITH FREQUENT GUSTS TO 25 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...HUMIDITIES WILL DROP TO 20 TO 25 PERCENT IN
  NORTHEAST LOWER MICHIGAN THIS AFTERNOON.

* TEMPERATURES...WILL RISE TO AROUND 80 DEGREES.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY.
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

MIZ017-018-022>024-028>030-034>036-041-042-032145-
/O.CON.KAPX.FW.W.0001.150503T1600Z-150504T0100Z/
CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-CRAWFORD-OSCODA-
ALCONA-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-GLADWIN-ARENAC-
936 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 017...018...022...023...024...028...029...030
...034...035...036...041 AND 042...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 017...018...022...023...
  024...028...029...030...034...035...036...041 AND 042.

* WIND...SOUTHWEST WIND INCREASING TO 10 TO 20 MPH THIS
  AFTERNOONAND EARLY EVENING...WITH FREQUENT GUSTS TO 25 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...HUMIDITIES WILL DROP TO 20 TO 25 PERCENT IN
  NORTHEAST LOWER MICHIGAN THIS AFTERNOON.

* TEMPERATURES...WILL RISE TO AROUND 80 DEGREES.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY.
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$


  [top]

000
FNUS53 KAPX 031331
FWFAPX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
931 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

...UPDATED FOR RED FLAG WARNING FOR ALL OF NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
FOR MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY...

.DISCUSSION...SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TODAY...AHEAD OF A
COLD FRONT MOVING INTO MINNESOTA EARLY THIS MORNING. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL TOP OUT AT AROUND 80 DEGREES ACROSS MUCH OF
NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN. MOISTURE WILL START TO INCREASE THIS
AFTERNOON IN THE WEST SIDE OF LOWER MICHIGAN...BUT NOT
SIGNIFICANTLY SO THAT THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL STILL DROP TO
AROUND 25 PERCENT. IN NORTHEAST LOWER...HUMIDITIES WILL BOTTOM
OUT BELOW 25 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON...AND POSSIBLY BELOW 20
PERCENT. WITH VERY DRY SOILS AND FUELS ACROSS THE AREA...AND MORE
IN THE WAY OF WIND...OUR FIRE DANGER LOOKS CONSIDERABLY HIGHER
TODAY THAN IT WAS YESTERDAY.

THE COLD FRONT WILL ENTER THE REGION OVERNIGHT. SHOWERS AND A
FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE A GOOD BET IN NORTHWEST LOWER
MICHIGAN LATE TONIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING...BUT ARE LESS
CERTAIN AS YOU MOVE SOUTHEAST TOWARD SAGINAW BAY.


MIZ016-017-019-021>023-032030-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
931 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

.REST OF TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82...EXCEPT 61-66 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-27 PERCENT...EXCEPT 36-41 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 9 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
                    THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (2090).
MIXING HEIGHT.......8700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 2400...THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......27 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (30).
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.15-0.45 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
                    0800...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71...EXCEPT 51-56 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........39-44 PERCENT...EXCEPT 57-62 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 19 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (690).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........AROUND 0.11 IN.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-032030-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
931 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

.REST OF TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83...EXCEPT AROUND 70 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT...EXCEPT 33-38 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 19 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
                    THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (2160).
MIXING HEIGHT.......9600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 2400...THEN RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-91 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 12 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (20).
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.03-0.33 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY UNTIL 0800. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 1400. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72...EXCEPT 53-58 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT...EXCEPT 64-69 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 25 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (530).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........AROUND 0.10 IN.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-032030-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
931 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

.REST OF TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81...EXCEPT 54-59 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT UNCHANGED NEAR THE
                    COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........24-29 PERCENT...EXCEPT 42-47 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED...EXCEPT 5 PERCENT WETTER ALONG THE
                    COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (2090).
MIXING HEIGHT.......8100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 2400...THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 1 DEGREE COOLER NEAR
                    THE COAST.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT...EXCEPT 78-83 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......33 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (20).
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.27-0.55 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
                    0800...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68...EXCEPT AROUND 51 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........39-44 PERCENT...EXCEPT 58-63 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (490).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.07-0.14 IN.


$$

MIZ031>033-032030-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
931 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

.REST OF TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81...EXCEPT 67-72 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (2340).
MIXING HEIGHT.......9000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 2400...THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 1 DEGREE WARMER NEAR
                    THE COAST.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......30 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (0).
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.14-0.44 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY
                    SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
                    UNTIL 0800. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1400.
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70...EXCEPT 54-59 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-43 PERCENT...EXCEPT 55-60 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (590).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.09-0.15 IN.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-032030-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
931 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

.REST OF TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........21-26 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (2320).
MIXING HEIGHT.......10300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 2000 UNTIL 2400...THEN RAIN
                    SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......27 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (0).
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.04-0.33 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY
                    SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1400...THEN
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (660).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........AROUND 0.10 IN.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS AROUND 70. WEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

JSL




000
FNUS53 KAPX 031331
FWFAPX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
931 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

...UPDATED FOR RED FLAG WARNING FOR ALL OF NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
FOR MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY...

.DISCUSSION...SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TODAY...AHEAD OF A
COLD FRONT MOVING INTO MINNESOTA EARLY THIS MORNING. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL TOP OUT AT AROUND 80 DEGREES ACROSS MUCH OF
NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN. MOISTURE WILL START TO INCREASE THIS
AFTERNOON IN THE WEST SIDE OF LOWER MICHIGAN...BUT NOT
SIGNIFICANTLY SO THAT THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL STILL DROP TO
AROUND 25 PERCENT. IN NORTHEAST LOWER...HUMIDITIES WILL BOTTOM
OUT BELOW 25 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON...AND POSSIBLY BELOW 20
PERCENT. WITH VERY DRY SOILS AND FUELS ACROSS THE AREA...AND MORE
IN THE WAY OF WIND...OUR FIRE DANGER LOOKS CONSIDERABLY HIGHER
TODAY THAN IT WAS YESTERDAY.

THE COLD FRONT WILL ENTER THE REGION OVERNIGHT. SHOWERS AND A
FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE A GOOD BET IN NORTHWEST LOWER
MICHIGAN LATE TONIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING...BUT ARE LESS
CERTAIN AS YOU MOVE SOUTHEAST TOWARD SAGINAW BAY.


MIZ016-017-019-021>023-032030-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
931 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

.REST OF TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82...EXCEPT 61-66 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-27 PERCENT...EXCEPT 36-41 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 9 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
                    THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (2090).
MIXING HEIGHT.......8700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 2400...THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......27 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (30).
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.15-0.45 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
                    0800...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71...EXCEPT 51-56 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........39-44 PERCENT...EXCEPT 57-62 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 19 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (690).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........AROUND 0.11 IN.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-032030-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
931 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

.REST OF TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83...EXCEPT AROUND 70 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT...EXCEPT 33-38 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 19 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
                    THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (2160).
MIXING HEIGHT.......9600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 2400...THEN RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-91 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 12 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (20).
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.03-0.33 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY UNTIL 0800. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 1400. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72...EXCEPT 53-58 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT...EXCEPT 64-69 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 25 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (530).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........AROUND 0.10 IN.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-032030-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
931 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

.REST OF TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81...EXCEPT 54-59 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT UNCHANGED NEAR THE
                    COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........24-29 PERCENT...EXCEPT 42-47 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED...EXCEPT 5 PERCENT WETTER ALONG THE
                    COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (2090).
MIXING HEIGHT.......8100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 2400...THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 1 DEGREE COOLER NEAR
                    THE COAST.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT...EXCEPT 78-83 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......33 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (20).
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.27-0.55 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
                    0800...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68...EXCEPT AROUND 51 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........39-44 PERCENT...EXCEPT 58-63 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (490).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.07-0.14 IN.


$$

MIZ031>033-032030-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
931 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

.REST OF TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81...EXCEPT 67-72 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (2340).
MIXING HEIGHT.......9000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 2400...THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 1 DEGREE WARMER NEAR
                    THE COAST.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......30 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (0).
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.14-0.44 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY
                    SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
                    UNTIL 0800. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1400.
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70...EXCEPT 54-59 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-43 PERCENT...EXCEPT 55-60 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (590).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.09-0.15 IN.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-032030-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
931 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

.REST OF TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........21-26 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (2320).
MIXING HEIGHT.......10300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 2000 UNTIL 2400...THEN RAIN
                    SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......27 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (0).
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.04-0.33 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY
                    SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1400...THEN
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (660).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........AROUND 0.10 IN.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS AROUND 70. WEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

JSL



  [top]

000
FNUS73 KMQT 031043
FWSMQT

SPOT FORECAST FOR DICK SETTLEMENT RX...USFS HIAWATHA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
643 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON MAY 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TODAY AS A COLD FRONT
APPROACHES THE REGION. LOOK FOR THICKENING HIGH CLOUDS OVER THE AREA
THIS AFTERNOON. THE FRONT WILL BRING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE
AREA THIS EVENING WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES
POSSIBLE. SOME OF THE STORMS MAY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS TO 40 MPH AND
SMALL HAIL. EXPECT THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO END OVERNIGHT
WITH PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ON MONDAY. AFTERNOON MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL FALL TO NEAR 40 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON
AND TO AROUND 35 PERCENT ON MONDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF
                    PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64 AT IGNITION...MAX 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 41 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 13 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15
                    MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 10 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5...OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 19 TO 37 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (347) AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD (484)
                    INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (621) IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 300-2000 FT
                    AGL INCREASING TO 800-2500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.

TIME (EDT)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........34     40     47     54
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............64     66     69     67
RH..............50     47     42     44
33-FOOT WIND....SW 13  SW 16  SW 16  SW 15
20-FOOT WIND....SW 10  SW 13  SW 13  SW 12
WIND GUST.......20     22     22     21
VINDX KT-FT/100.347    602    580    379
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 28  SW 29  SW 29  SW 31
MIX HGT (FT)....1400   2400   2300   1400
HAINES INDEX....4      3      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BY LATE EVENING. A
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT. AREAS OF FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE
                    OF PRECIPITATION 80 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 47.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 92 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    WEST 4 TO 9 MPH LATE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS BY LATE EVENING.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    UP TO 7 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3...OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 23 TO 42 MPH DECREASING TO 16 TO 29 MPH
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (24).
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.35 INCHES.

TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY (%).........63     74     85     95     86     77
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE DEFNTE DEFNTE CHANCE AREAS  AREAS
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RN/FG  FOG    FOG
TEMP............61     59     55     51     49     47
RH..............56     63     73     85     89     92
33-FOOT WIND....SW 12  SW 12  SW 11  SW 10  SW 10  W 9
20-FOOT WIND....SW 10  SW 10  SW 9   SW 8   SW 8   W 7
WIND GUST.......14     14
VINDX KT-FT/100.75     50     80     75     65     36
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 35  SW 37  SW 37  SW 35  W 30   W 24
MIX HGT (FT)....300    200    300    300    300    200
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      2      2      2

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING SUNNY. PATCHY FOG
                    THROUGH MID MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 65.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 35 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5...OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 13 TO 29 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (520) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (1096) IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-3800 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO
                    4100-5200 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO
                    3000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........68     50     31     12     16     17
WEATHER COV.....PATCHY PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE....FOG    FOG    NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............49     56     62     63     64     61
RH..............83     61     45     38     35     37
33-FOOT WIND....NW 10  NW 10  NW 13  NW 15  NW 15  NW 13
20-FOOT WIND....NW 8   NW 8   NW 10  NW 12  NW 12  NW 10
WIND GUST.......12     12     17     18     18     17
VINDX KT-FT/100.40     183    520    942    1096   858
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 18  NW 21  NW 22  NW 23  NW 24  NW 24
MIX HGT (FT)....300    1000   2700   4700   5200   4100
HAINES INDEX....3      4      5      5      5      5

$$
FORECASTER...JLB
REQUESTED BY...PATTY CARRICK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150503.DICKS.01/MQT




000
FNUS73 KMQT 031043
FWSMQT

SPOT FORECAST FOR DICK SETTLEMENT RX...USFS HIAWATHA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
643 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON MAY 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TODAY AS A COLD FRONT
APPROACHES THE REGION. LOOK FOR THICKENING HIGH CLOUDS OVER THE AREA
THIS AFTERNOON. THE FRONT WILL BRING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE
AREA THIS EVENING WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES
POSSIBLE. SOME OF THE STORMS MAY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS TO 40 MPH AND
SMALL HAIL. EXPECT THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO END OVERNIGHT
WITH PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ON MONDAY. AFTERNOON MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL FALL TO NEAR 40 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON
AND TO AROUND 35 PERCENT ON MONDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF
                    PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64 AT IGNITION...MAX 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 41 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 13 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15
                    MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 10 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5...OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 19 TO 37 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (347) AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD (484)
                    INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (621) IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 300-2000 FT
                    AGL INCREASING TO 800-2500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.

TIME (EDT)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........34     40     47     54
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............64     66     69     67
RH..............50     47     42     44
33-FOOT WIND....SW 13  SW 16  SW 16  SW 15
20-FOOT WIND....SW 10  SW 13  SW 13  SW 12
WIND GUST.......20     22     22     21
VINDX KT-FT/100.347    602    580    379
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 28  SW 29  SW 29  SW 31
MIX HGT (FT)....1400   2400   2300   1400
HAINES INDEX....4      3      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BY LATE EVENING. A
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT. AREAS OF FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE
                    OF PRECIPITATION 80 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 47.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 92 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    WEST 4 TO 9 MPH LATE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS BY LATE EVENING.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    UP TO 7 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3...OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 23 TO 42 MPH DECREASING TO 16 TO 29 MPH
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (24).
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.35 INCHES.

TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY (%).........63     74     85     95     86     77
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE DEFNTE DEFNTE CHANCE AREAS  AREAS
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RN/FG  FOG    FOG
TEMP............61     59     55     51     49     47
RH..............56     63     73     85     89     92
33-FOOT WIND....SW 12  SW 12  SW 11  SW 10  SW 10  W 9
20-FOOT WIND....SW 10  SW 10  SW 9   SW 8   SW 8   W 7
WIND GUST.......14     14
VINDX KT-FT/100.75     50     80     75     65     36
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 35  SW 37  SW 37  SW 35  W 30   W 24
MIX HGT (FT)....300    200    300    300    300    200
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      2      2      2

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING SUNNY. PATCHY FOG
                    THROUGH MID MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 65.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 35 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5...OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 13 TO 29 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (520) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (1096) IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-3800 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO
                    4100-5200 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO
                    3000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........68     50     31     12     16     17
WEATHER COV.....PATCHY PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE....FOG    FOG    NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............49     56     62     63     64     61
RH..............83     61     45     38     35     37
33-FOOT WIND....NW 10  NW 10  NW 13  NW 15  NW 15  NW 13
20-FOOT WIND....NW 8   NW 8   NW 10  NW 12  NW 12  NW 10
WIND GUST.......12     12     17     18     18     17
VINDX KT-FT/100.40     183    520    942    1096   858
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 18  NW 21  NW 22  NW 23  NW 24  NW 24
MIX HGT (FT)....300    1000   2700   4700   5200   4100
HAINES INDEX....3      4      5      5      5      5

$$
FORECASTER...JLB
REQUESTED BY...PATTY CARRICK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150503.DICKS.01/MQT



000
FNUS73 KMQT 031043
FWSMQT

SPOT FORECAST FOR DICK SETTLEMENT RX...USFS HIAWATHA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
643 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON MAY 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TODAY AS A COLD FRONT
APPROACHES THE REGION. LOOK FOR THICKENING HIGH CLOUDS OVER THE AREA
THIS AFTERNOON. THE FRONT WILL BRING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE
AREA THIS EVENING WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES
POSSIBLE. SOME OF THE STORMS MAY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS TO 40 MPH AND
SMALL HAIL. EXPECT THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO END OVERNIGHT
WITH PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ON MONDAY. AFTERNOON MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL FALL TO NEAR 40 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON
AND TO AROUND 35 PERCENT ON MONDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF
                    PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64 AT IGNITION...MAX 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 41 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 13 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15
                    MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 10 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5...OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 19 TO 37 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (347) AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD (484)
                    INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (621) IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 300-2000 FT
                    AGL INCREASING TO 800-2500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.

TIME (EDT)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........34     40     47     54
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............64     66     69     67
RH..............50     47     42     44
33-FOOT WIND....SW 13  SW 16  SW 16  SW 15
20-FOOT WIND....SW 10  SW 13  SW 13  SW 12
WIND GUST.......20     22     22     21
VINDX KT-FT/100.347    602    580    379
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 28  SW 29  SW 29  SW 31
MIX HGT (FT)....1400   2400   2300   1400
HAINES INDEX....4      3      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BY LATE EVENING. A
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT. AREAS OF FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE
                    OF PRECIPITATION 80 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 47.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 92 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    WEST 4 TO 9 MPH LATE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS BY LATE EVENING.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    UP TO 7 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3...OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 23 TO 42 MPH DECREASING TO 16 TO 29 MPH
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (24).
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.35 INCHES.

TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY (%).........63     74     85     95     86     77
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE DEFNTE DEFNTE CHANCE AREAS  AREAS
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RN/FG  FOG    FOG
TEMP............61     59     55     51     49     47
RH..............56     63     73     85     89     92
33-FOOT WIND....SW 12  SW 12  SW 11  SW 10  SW 10  W 9
20-FOOT WIND....SW 10  SW 10  SW 9   SW 8   SW 8   W 7
WIND GUST.......14     14
VINDX KT-FT/100.75     50     80     75     65     36
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 35  SW 37  SW 37  SW 35  W 30   W 24
MIX HGT (FT)....300    200    300    300    300    200
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      2      2      2

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING SUNNY. PATCHY FOG
                    THROUGH MID MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 65.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 35 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5...OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 13 TO 29 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (520) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (1096) IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-3800 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO
                    4100-5200 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO
                    3000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........68     50     31     12     16     17
WEATHER COV.....PATCHY PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE....FOG    FOG    NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............49     56     62     63     64     61
RH..............83     61     45     38     35     37
33-FOOT WIND....NW 10  NW 10  NW 13  NW 15  NW 15  NW 13
20-FOOT WIND....NW 8   NW 8   NW 10  NW 12  NW 12  NW 10
WIND GUST.......12     12     17     18     18     17
VINDX KT-FT/100.40     183    520    942    1096   858
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 18  NW 21  NW 22  NW 23  NW 24  NW 24
MIX HGT (FT)....300    1000   2700   4700   5200   4100
HAINES INDEX....3      4      5      5      5      5

$$
FORECASTER...JLB
REQUESTED BY...PATTY CARRICK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150503.DICKS.01/MQT


  [top]

000
FNUS53 KMQT 030847
FWFMQT

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR UPPER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
447 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT CROSSING THE REGION WILL BRING A ROUND
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...SOME POSSIBLY SEVERE...THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING TO MUCH OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL UPPER
MICHIGAN. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BRING MOSTLY SUNNY AND DRY
CONDITIONS FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY AS MINIMUM RH VALUES FALL TO
AROUND 20 PERCENT ACROSS INTERIOR WESTERN UPPER MICHIGAN. GENERALLY
LIGHT WINDS OF UNDER 15 MPH ARE EXPECTED DURING THIS TIME. A SERIES
OF DISTURBANCES WILL RESULT IN CHANCES OF RAIN SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY
SOME THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

MIZ001-003-040900-
KEWEENAW-NORTHERN HOUGHTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COPPER HARBOR...HOUGHTON...HANCOCK
447 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS. AREAS OF FOG LATE. CHANCE OF
                    PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78 INLAND TO AROUND 63 AT THE SHORE.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT INLAND TO 49 PERCENT AT THE
                    SHORE.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
33-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 8 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20
                    MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 6 TO 11 MPH BY MID
                    AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.12-0.24 INCH ON THE KEWEENAW PENINSULA...AND
                    AROUND 0.10 INCH OVER ISLE ROYALE.
HOURS OF SUN........5.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2 UNTIL 1500...THEN 3 UNTIL
                    1700...THEN 4.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. AREAS
                    OF FOG. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........76-81 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
33-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 6 TO 11 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 INCH.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2200...THEN 2 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. PATCHY FOG EARLY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65 INLAND TO AROUND 54 AT THE SHORE.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-34 PERCENT INLAND TO 38 PERCENT AT THE
                    SHORE.
33-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 9 TO 14 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
HOURS OF SUN........11.
LAL.................1.

$$

MIZ002-009-084-040900-
ONTONAGON-GOGEBIC-SOUTHERN HOUGHTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ONTONAGON...IRONWOOD...KENTON...SIDNAW
447 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS BY EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. CHANCE OF
                    PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78 INLAND TO AROUND 69 AT THE SHORE.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........39-44 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT WETTER.
33-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON.
                    GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.15-0.33 INCH.
HOURS OF SUN........5.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3 UNTIL
                    1600...THEN 4 UNTIL 1800...THEN 5.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR. A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    THROUGH MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........79-84 PERCENT INLAND TO 74 PERCENT AT THE
                    SHORE.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
33-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.18 INCH.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2300...THEN 2 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66 INLAND TO AROUND 58 AT THE SHORE.
MIN HUMIDITY........21-26 PERCENT INLAND TO 30 PERCENT AT THE
                    SHORE.
33-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 6 TO 11 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH
                    THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
HOURS OF SUN........12.
LAL.................1.

$$

MIZ004-005-040900-
BARAGA-MARQUETTE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...L`ANSE...GWINN...MARQUETTE
447 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    BY EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
                    70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77 INLAND TO AROUND 71 AT THE SHORE.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-43 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
33-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 8 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH BY
                    MID AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.14-0.27 INCH.
HOURS OF SUN........6.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 2 UNTIL 1500...THEN 3 UNTIL
                    1700...THEN 4 UNTIL 1800...THEN 5.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. A
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    THROUGH MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-91 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
33-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.04-0.36 INCH.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2300...THEN 3 UNTIL 0200...THEN 1.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67 INLAND TO AROUND 56 AT THE SHORE.
MIN HUMIDITY........26-31 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 9 TO 14 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
HOURS OF SUN........11.
LAL.................1.

$$

MIZ010-011-040900-
IRON-DICKINSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...IRON RIVER...IRON MOUNTAIN
447 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    BY EARLY AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY LATE. CHANCE OF
                    PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-43 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER.
33-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 8 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH BY
                    MID AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.15-0.30 INCH.
HOURS OF SUN........6.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 2 UNTIL 1600...THEN 3 UNTIL
                    1700...THEN 4 UNTIL 1800...THEN 5.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF
                    PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
33-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.08-0.41 INCH.
LAL.................5 UNTIL 2200...THEN 4 UNTIL 2300...THEN 3 UNTIL
                    0200...THEN 1.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-27 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 8 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 20 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
HOURS OF SUN........11.
LAL.................1.

$$

MIZ012-040900-
MENOMINEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MENOMINEE
447 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    BY EARLY AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY LATE. CHANCE OF
                    PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78 INLAND TO AROUND 67 AT THE SHORE.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-43 PERCENT INLAND TO 48 PERCENT AT THE
                    SHORE.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
33-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 7 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.10-0.20 INCH.
HOURS OF SUN........7.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1600...THEN 2 UNTIL 1700...THEN 3 UNTIL
                    1900...THEN 4.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH MIDNIGHT...THEN
                    A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
                    PATCHY FOG. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 90 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
33-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
                    5 TO 10 MPH LATE.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.35-0.46 INCH.
LAL.................5 UNTIL 0100...THEN 4 UNTIL 0200...THEN 3 UNTIL
                    0400...THEN 2 UNTIL 0500...THEN 1.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70 INLAND TO AROUND 63 AT THE SHORE.
MIN HUMIDITY........23-28 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTH 6 TO 11 MPH BY MID AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
HOURS OF SUN........10.
LAL.................1.

$$

MIZ006-007-085-040900-
ALGER-LUCE-NORTHERN SCHOOLCRAFT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GRAND MARAIS...MUNISING...NEWBERRY...
SENEY
447 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE.
                    CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73 INLAND TO AROUND 63 AT THE SHORE.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
33-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 9 TO 14 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.15 INCH.
HOURS OF SUN........7.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1700...THEN 3 UNTIL 1900...THEN 4.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    LIKELY THROUGH MIDNIGHT...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. AREAS OF
                    FOG LATE. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-92 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
33-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 9 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 6 TO 11
                    MPH LATE.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.21-0.42 INCH.
LAL.................5 UNTIL 0100...THEN 4 UNTIL 0200...THEN 3 UNTIL
                    0400...THEN 2 UNTIL 0500...THEN 1.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. PATCHY FOG THROUGH EARLY
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63 INLAND TO AROUND 48 AT THE SHORE.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-42 PERCENT INLAND TO 48 PERCENT AT THE
                    SHORE.
33-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 9 TO 14 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
HOURS OF SUN........9.
LAL.................1.

$$

MIZ008-040900-
CHIPPEWA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE
447 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG LATE. A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE. CHANCE
                    OF PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70 INLAND TO AROUND 63 AT THE SHORE.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
33-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 8 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25
                    MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 INCH.
HOURS OF SUN........7.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1900...THEN 3.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF FOG. A CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
                    RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BY
                    MIDNIGHT...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 90
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
33-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 6 TO 11 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 5
                    TO 10 MPH LATE.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.24-0.40 INCH.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2100...THEN 4 UNTIL 2300...THEN 5 UNTIL
                    0200...THEN 4 UNTIL 0300...THEN 3 UNTIL
                    0700...THEN 2.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG THROUGH EARLY
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65 INLAND TO AROUND 52 AT THE SHORE.
MIN HUMIDITY........39-44 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 8 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH
                    BY MID AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
HOURS OF SUN........7.
LAL.................1.

$$

MIZ013-014-040900-
DELTA-SOUTHERN SCHOOLCRAFT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ESCANABA...GLADSTONE...MANISTIQUE
447 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    BY MID AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG LATE. CHANCE OF
                    PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75 INLAND TO AROUND 56 AT THE SHORE.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT INLAND TO 53 PERCENT AT THE
                    SHORE.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
33-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 9 TO 14 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.15 INCH.
HOURS OF SUN........7.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1600...THEN 2 UNTIL 1800...THEN 3.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    LIKELY THROUGH MIDNIGHT...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. AREAS OF
                    FOG. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
33-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 8 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 6 TO 11
                    MPH LATE.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.30-0.43 INCH.
LAL.................5 UNTIL 0100...THEN 4 UNTIL 0200...THEN 3 UNTIL
                    0400...THEN 2 UNTIL 0500...THEN 1.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. PATCHY FOG EARLY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65 INLAND TO AROUND 59 AT THE SHORE.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-37 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 7 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20
                    MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
HOURS OF SUN........10.
LAL.................1.

$$

MIZ015-040900-
MACKINAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ST. IGNACE
447 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG LATE. A CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE. CHANCE OF
                    PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69 INLAND TO AROUND 58 AT THE SHORE.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER.
33-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 8 TO 13 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 INCH.
HOURS OF SUN........8.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1800...THEN 2 UNTIL 1900...THEN 3.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF FOG. A CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
                    RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BY
                    MIDNIGHT...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 90
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
33-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 6 TO 11 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    LATE.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.28-0.41 INCH.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2300...THEN 5 UNTIL 0200...THEN 4 UNTIL
                    0300...THEN 3 UNTIL 0500...THEN 2 UNTIL
                    0700...THEN 1.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING SUNNY. PATCHY FOG
                    EARLY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67 INLAND TO AROUND 60 AT THE SHORE.
MIN HUMIDITY........33-38 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 8 TO 13 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
HOURS OF SUN........9.
LAL.................1.

$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 32 TO 37. HIGHS 65 TO 70 INLAND
TO AROUND 55 AT THE SHORE. VARIABLE WINDS 5 MPH OR LESS.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
LOWS 39 TO 44. HIGHS 63 TO 68 INLAND TO AROUND 56 AT THE SHORE.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
50 PERCENT. LOWS 46 TO 51. HIGHS 72 TO 77 INLAND TO AROUND 62 AT THE
SHORE. SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 52 TO 57. HIGHS 70 TO 75 INLAND TO AROUND 59 AT
THE SHORE.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 43 TO 48. HIGHS 62 TO 67 INLAND TO
AROUND 53 AT THE SHORE.

.OUTLOOK FOR SUN MAY 10 THROUGH SAT MAY 16...EXPECT NEAR NORMAL
TEMPERATURES AND NEAR NORMAL PRECIPITATION.

$$

...................SMOKE MANAGEMENT FORECAST DATA....................

THE FOLLOWING VALUES ARE FOR 1 PM EST (2 PM EDT) TODAY...

                          HAINES    MIXING  TRANSPORT  VENTILATION
WIMS ID/         SITE/     INDEX  / HEIGHT /  WIND   /    INDEX
------------------------------------------------------------------
471301 /    WAUSAUKEE/ 4 LOW       / 5200  / SW 21   /   1092 (E)
200301 /       KENTON/ 6 HIGH      / 3200  / SW 20   /   640 (E)
200504 /BARAGA PLAINS/ 6 HIGH      / 4300  / SW 20   /   860 (E)
201004 /     MUNISING/ 5 MODERATE  / 300   / SW 20   /   60 (P)
201002 /     DOE LAKE/ 5 MODERATE  / 2400  / SW 19   /   456 (G)
201103 /  HIGH BRIDGE/ 4 LOW       / 2200  / SW 20   /   440 (G)
200703 /        GWINN/ 6 HIGH      / 5400  / SW 20   /   1080 (E)
200903 /    LABRANCHE/ 5 MODERATE  / 4600  / SW 19   /   874 (E)
200503 /       PELKIE/ 5 MODERATE  / 4000  / SW 20   /   800 (E)
201504 /         RACO/ 4 LOW       / 2100  / SW 26   /   546 (G)
200802 /    RANDVILLE/ 4 LOW       / 6100  / SW 19   /   1159 (E)
201401 /       REXTON/ 3 VERY LOW  / 1300  / SW 26   /   338 (G)
201505 /      RUDYARD/ 4 LOW       / 3200  / SW 27   /   864 (E)
201202 /        SENEY/ 4 LOW       / 1500  / SW 21   /   315 (G)
201302 /SPINCICH LAKE/ 5 MODERATE  / 1800  / SW 23   /   414 (G)
201102 /   STONINGTON/ 4 LOW       / 2300  / SW 21   /   483 (G)
200102 /    WAKEFIELD/ 6 HIGH      / 3100  / SW 19   /   589 (G)
200103 /   WATERSMEET/ 5 MODERATE  / 4800  / SW 21   /   1008 (E)
       /DRUMND ISLAND/ 5 MODERATE  / 300   / SW 24   /   72 (P)
       /          KEW/ 5 MODERATE  / 800   / SW 19   /   152 (F)

THE FOLLOWING VALUES ARE FOR 1 PM EST (2 PM EDT) MON...

                          HAINES    MIXING  TRANSPORT  VENTILATION
WIMS ID/         SITE/     INDEX  / HEIGHT /  WIND   /    INDEX
------------------------------------------------------------------
471301 /    WAUSAUKEE/ 5 MODERATE  / 5900  / NW 14   /   826 (E)
200301 /       KENTON/ 4 LOW       / 4800  / NW 17   /   816 (E)
200504 /BARAGA PLAINS/ 4 LOW       / 6100  / NW 18   /   1098 (E)
201004 /     MUNISING/ 5 MODERATE  / 1100  / NW 25   /   275 (F)
201002 /     DOE LAKE/ 5 MODERATE  / 3700  / NW 24   /   888 (E)
201103 /  HIGH BRIDGE/ 5 MODERATE  / 4500  / NW 24   /   1080 (E)
200703 /        GWINN/ 3 VERY LOW  / 6100  / NW 18   /   1098 (E)
200903 /    LABRANCHE/ 3 VERY LOW  / 6300  / NW 17   /   1071 (E)
200503 /       PELKIE/ 5 MODERATE  / 4900  / NW 17   /   833 (E)
201504 /         RACO/ 5 MODERATE  / 3500  / NW 25   /   875 (E)
200802 /    RANDVILLE/ 3 VERY LOW  / 6500  / NW 18   /   1170 (E)
201401 /       REXTON/ 5 MODERATE  / 4500  / NW 23   /   1035 (E)
201505 /      RUDYARD/ 5 MODERATE  / 3900  / NW 23   /   897 (E)
201202 /        SENEY/ 5 MODERATE  / 3800  / NW 24   /   912 (E)
201302 /SPINCICH LAKE/ 5 MODERATE  / 3100  / NW 24   /   744 (E)
201102 /   STONINGTON/ 4 LOW       / 5600  / NW 17   /   952 (E)
200102 /    WAKEFIELD/ 4 LOW       / 4900  / NW 14   /   686 (E)
200103 /   WATERSMEET/ 3 VERY LOW  / 6400  / NW 17   /   1088 (E)
       /DRUMND ISLAND/ 5 MODERATE  / 500   / NW 24   /   120 (P)
       /          KEW/ 4 LOW       / 2200  / NW 21   /   462 (G)

NOTE:  MIXING HEIGHTS ARE IN FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL
       TRANSPORT WINDS ARE IN MILES PER HOUR

.....................................................................

THE FOLLOWING IS POINT FORECAST INFORMATION VALID AT 1 PM EST.
NOTE THAT THE QPF IS FROM 7 AM TO 1 PM EST. ALSO...WIND SPEEDS HAVE
BEEN REDUCED BY A FACTOR OF 0.7 BY THE REQUEST OF LOCAL FIRE OFFICIALS.

WIMS ID/         SITE/TEMP/  RH/WSPD/WGST/WDIR/ QPF
---------------------------------------------------
471301 /    WAUSAUKEE/  77/  42/   8/  13/   S/0.00
200301 /       KENTON/  75/  42/   7/  12/  SW/0.00
200504 /BARAGA PLAINS/  75/  42/   7/  12/  SW/0.00
201004 /     MUNISING/  68/  48/   8/  12/   S/0.00
201002 /     DOE LAKE/  72/  43/   8/  12/   S/0.00
201103 /  HIGH BRIDGE/  69/  48/   8/  13/   S/0.00
200703 /        GWINN/  76/  40/   8/  12/   S/0.00
200903 /    LABRANCHE/  76/  40/   7/  12/   S/0.00
200503 /       PELKIE/  77/  40/   6/  11/  SW/0.00
201504 /         RACO/  65/  48/   8/  14/  SW/0.00
200802 /    RANDVILLE/  77/  39/   7/  12/  SW/0.00
201401 /       REXTON/  63/  52/   8/  13/  SW/0.00
201505 /      RUDYARD/  68/  44/   9/  15/  SW/0.00
201202 /        SENEY/  66/  48/   9/  14/   S/0.00
201302 /SPINCICH LAKE/  66/  48/   8/  14/   S/0.00
201102 /   STONINGTON/  69/  51/   8/  12/   S/0.00
200102 /    WAKEFIELD/  74/  45/   7/  11/  SW/0.01
200103 /   WATERSMEET/  75/  41/   7/  12/  SW/0.00
       /DRUMND ISLAND/  65/  48/   4/   8/   S/0.00
       /          KEW/  71/  50/   5/   8/  SW/0.01
$$

KLUBER




000
FNUS53 KAPX 030832
FWFAPX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
432 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING NORTHEAST LOWER MICHIGAN TODAY...

.DISCUSSION...SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TODAY...AHEAD OF A
COLD FRONT MOVING INTO MINNESOTA EARLY THIS MORNING. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL TOP OUT AT AROUND 80 DEGREES ACROSS MUCH OF
NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN. MOISTURE WILL START TO INCREASE THIS
AFTERNOON IN THE WEST SIDE OF LOWER MICHIGAN. BUT IN NORTHEAST
LOWER...HUMIDITIES WILL BOTTOM OUT BELOW 25 PERCENT THIS
AFTERNOON. WITH VERY DRY SOILS AND FUELS ACROSS THE AREA...AND
MORE IN THE WAY OF WIND...OUR FIRE DANGER LOOKS CONSIDERABLY
HIGHER TODAY THAN IT WAS YESTERDAY.

THE COLD FRONT WILL ENTER THE REGION OVERNIGHT. SHOWERS AND A
FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE A GOOD BET IN NORTHWEST LOWER
MICHIGAN LATE TONIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING...BUT ARE LESS
CERTAIN AS YOU MOVE SOUTHEAST TOWARD SAGINAW BAY.

MIZ016-017-019-021>023-032030-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
432 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    SPRINKLES UNTIL 0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82...EXCEPT 61-66 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........24-29 PERCENT...EXCEPT 38-43 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 8 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
                    THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (2090).
MIXING HEIGHT.......8700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 24
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 2400...THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......27 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (30).
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.15-0.45 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
                    0800...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71...EXCEPT 51-56 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........39-44 PERCENT...EXCEPT 57-62 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 18 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (690).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........AROUND 0.11 IN.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-032030-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
432 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    SPRINKLES UNTIL 0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83...EXCEPT AROUND 70 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........21-26 PERCENT...EXCEPT 36-41 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 18 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
                    THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (2160).
MIXING HEIGHT.......9600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 2000 UNTIL 0400. CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2400. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
                    AFTER 0400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-91 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 12 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (20).
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.02-0.33 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY UNTIL 0800. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 1400. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72...EXCEPT 53-58 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT...EXCEPT 64-69 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 24 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (530).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........AROUND 0.10 IN.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-032030-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
432 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81...EXCEPT 54-59 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 2 DEGREES COOLER NEAR
                    THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........26-31 PERCENT...EXCEPT 42-47 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO
                    AROUND 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (2090).
MIXING HEIGHT.......8100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 24
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 2400...THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 1 DEGREE COOLER NEAR
                    THE COAST.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT...EXCEPT 78-83 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......33 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (20).
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.27-0.55 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
                    0800...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68...EXCEPT AROUND 51 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........39-44 PERCENT...EXCEPT 58-63 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (490).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.07-0.14 IN.


$$

MIZ031>033-032030-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
432 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81...EXCEPT 67-72 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-33 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO
                    AROUND 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (2340).
MIXING HEIGHT.......9000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 24
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 2400...THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......30 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (0).
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.14-0.44 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY
                    SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
                    UNTIL 0800. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1400.
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70...EXCEPT 54-59 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-43 PERCENT...EXCEPT 55-60 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (590).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.09-0.15 IN.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-032030-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
432 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........23-28 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (2320).
MIXING HEIGHT.......10300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 24
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 2000 UNTIL 2400...THEN RAIN
                    SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......27 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (0).
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.03-0.33 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY
                    SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1400...THEN
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (660).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........AROUND 0.10 IN.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS AROUND 70. WEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

JZ



  [top]

000
FNUS53 KGRR 030806
FWFGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
406 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

...ELEVATED FIRE DANGER TODAY...

.DISCUSSION...EXPECT AN ELEVATED FIRE RISK AGAIN TODAY.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE UPPER 70. THE AIR MASS IS DRY WITH
AFTERNOON RH VALUES DROPPING TO AROUND 30 PERCENT TODAY. WINDS
WILL BE FROM THE SOUTH SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.

SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARRIVE TONIGHT AND LINGER INTO
MONDAY. THE PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE ESPECIALLY ALONG AND SOUTH
OF I-96 INTO TUESDAY.


MIZ037>039-043>045-032015-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...
FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS
406 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1400.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300-3800 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    4200-4700 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 25 TO 30 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1500-1700 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 2300...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-2600 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    3400-3900 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 30 TO 35 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1200-1400 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.10-0.49 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 1900...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-41 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
                    AROUND 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-2700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...400-700 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.05-0.16 IN.


$$

MIZ040-046-032015-
CLARE-ISABELLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT
406 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000-6500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 25 TO 30 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1600-1700 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 0100...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0200...THEN
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400-4900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 35 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1400-1600 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.07-0.29 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 1900...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 20 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 10
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...500-800 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.08-0.17 IN.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-032015-
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...JENISON...HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
406 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-34 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600-5100 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    5700-6200 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 25 TO 30 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1300-1400 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 0400...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0200. CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS. THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AFTER 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300-4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 30 TO 35 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1300-1400 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.03-0.34 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........61-66 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 51-56
                    PERCENT INLAND.
   24 HR TREND......33 PERCENT WETTER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 32
                    PERCENT WETTER INLAND.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...800-1300 FT AGL INCREASING
                    TO 3100-3600 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...4000-4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...400-800 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.12-0.26 IN.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-032015-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS
406 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6300-6800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 25 TO 30 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1600 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 0500...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0200. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........81-86 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600-5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 35 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1500-1600 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.02-0.19 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-3500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 15
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...500-700 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.14-0.27 IN.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-032015-
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...
KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
406 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........26-31 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800-6300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1200-1300 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........78-83 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300-4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 30 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1100-1300 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.08 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1400...THEN
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......28 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400-4900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...900-1000 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.21-0.33 IN.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
EVENING...THEN SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
OVERNIGHT. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. EAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS AROUND 80.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.



$$






  [top]

000
FNUS53 KDTX 030742
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
342 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

...WARM TEMPERATURES TO COMBINE WITH LOW HUMIDITY AND GUSTY WINDS TODAY...

.DISCUSSION...FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE OF CONCERN TODAY AS
TEMPERATURES WARM TO THE UPPER 70S TO NEAR 80...HUMIDITY DROPS TO
BETWEEN 25 AND 30 PERCENT...AND FIRE DANGER REMAINS HIGH. WINDS OVER
THE SAGINAW VALLEY WILL ALSO INCREASE TO BETWEEN 15 AND 20 MPH THIS
AFTERNOON...BUT REMAIN SLIGHTLY LOWER ELSEWHERE. NEAR-RED FLAG
CONDITIONS WILL BE LIMITED TO ONLY TODAY HOWEVER AS AN APPROACHING
COLD FRONT BRINGS AN APPRECIABLE INCREASE IN HUMIDITY FOR MONDAY IN
ADDITION TO HIGH CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCES FOR
PRECIPITATION WILL THEN CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-032115-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
342 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

...WARM TEMPERATURES TO COMBINE WITH LOW HUMIDITY AND GUSTY WINDS TODAY...

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) UNTIL NOON...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-31 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO 15 TO 20
                    MPH BY AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10540-11040 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 15
                    TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2300).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 AM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT UNTIL
                    2 AM...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS. POP...40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
   24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........72-82 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 TO 15 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY
                    UNTIL 2 PM. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AFTER 2 PM. POP...60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-54 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......20 TO 30 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING WEST AROUND
                    10 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6470-6970 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH...BECOMING WEST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1710).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-032115-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
342 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

...WARM TEMPERATURES AND LOW HUMIDITY TODAY...

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) UNTIL NOON...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-36 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 TO 8 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO 15 TO 20
                    MPH BY AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10620-11120 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO 15 TO 20
                    MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2350).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 AM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT UNTIL
                    3 AM...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS. POP...40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........72-82 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 TO 15 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 9 AM. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
                    SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER 9 AM. POP...70
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-60 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......24 TO 30 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    AROUND 10 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500-7000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    AROUND 10 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1890).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-032115-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
342 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

...WARM TEMPERATURES AND LOW HUMIDITY TODAY...

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT) UNTIL NOON...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-34 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9680-10180 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO 15 TO 20
                    MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1800).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). POP...20
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........82-92 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE TO 10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS
                    LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. POP...70
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-56 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......20 TO 25 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7520-8020 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH...INCREASING TO 20 TO
                    25 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2030).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.

$$

HLO/BT




000
FNUS53 KDTX 030742
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
342 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

...WARM TEMPERATURES TO COMBINE WITH LOW HUMIDITY AND GUSTY WINDS TODAY...

.DISCUSSION...FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE OF CONCERN TODAY AS
TEMPERATURES WARM TO THE UPPER 70S TO NEAR 80...HUMIDITY DROPS TO
BETWEEN 25 AND 30 PERCENT...AND FIRE DANGER REMAINS HIGH. WINDS OVER
THE SAGINAW VALLEY WILL ALSO INCREASE TO BETWEEN 15 AND 20 MPH THIS
AFTERNOON...BUT REMAIN SLIGHTLY LOWER ELSEWHERE. NEAR-RED FLAG
CONDITIONS WILL BE LIMITED TO ONLY TODAY HOWEVER AS AN APPROACHING
COLD FRONT BRINGS AN APPRECIABLE INCREASE IN HUMIDITY FOR MONDAY IN
ADDITION TO HIGH CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCES FOR
PRECIPITATION WILL THEN CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-032115-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
342 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

...WARM TEMPERATURES TO COMBINE WITH LOW HUMIDITY AND GUSTY WINDS TODAY...

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) UNTIL NOON...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-31 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO 15 TO 20
                    MPH BY AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10540-11040 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 15
                    TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2300).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 AM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT UNTIL
                    2 AM...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS. POP...40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
   24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........72-82 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 TO 15 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY
                    UNTIL 2 PM. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AFTER 2 PM. POP...60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-54 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......20 TO 30 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING WEST AROUND
                    10 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6470-6970 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH...BECOMING WEST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1710).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-032115-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
342 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

...WARM TEMPERATURES AND LOW HUMIDITY TODAY...

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) UNTIL NOON...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-36 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 TO 8 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO 15 TO 20
                    MPH BY AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10620-11120 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO 15 TO 20
                    MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2350).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 AM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT UNTIL
                    3 AM...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS. POP...40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........72-82 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 TO 15 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 9 AM. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
                    SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER 9 AM. POP...70
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-60 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......24 TO 30 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    AROUND 10 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500-7000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    AROUND 10 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1890).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-032115-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
342 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

...WARM TEMPERATURES AND LOW HUMIDITY TODAY...

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT) UNTIL NOON...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-34 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9680-10180 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO 15 TO 20
                    MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1800).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). POP...20
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........82-92 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE TO 10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS
                    LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. POP...70
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-56 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......20 TO 25 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7520-8020 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH...INCREASING TO 20 TO
                    25 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2030).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.

$$

HLO/BT



  [top]

000
FNUS83 KMQT 021943
FWMMQT

FCST,200405,150503,13,2,57,64,1,3,SW,10,M,66,41,86,40,0,0,N
FCST,200403,150503,13,2,53,72,1,3,SW,10,M,74,41,87,28,0,0,N
FCST,200401,150503,13,2,56,64,1,3,SW,11,M,63,40,87,38,0,0,N
FCST,200102,150503,13,2,76,43,1,4,SSW,10,M,77,54,84,29,0,0,N
FCST,200103,150503,13,2,77,39,1,4,SSW,09,M,77,52,83,27,0,0,N
FCST,200301,150503,13,2,78,37,1,4,SW,09,M,78,52,83,30,0,0,N
FCST,200504,150503,13,2,77,39,1,4,SW,09,M,78,54,80,30,0,0,N
FCST,200503,150503,13,2,79,38,1,4,SW,09,M,80,52,76,30,0,0,N
FCST,200802,150503,13,2,78,39,1,4,SSW,10,M,78,50,88,28,0,0,N
FCST,200703,150503,13,2,75,42,1,4,SSW,11,M,75,51,80,32,0,0,N
FCST,200903,150503,13,2,76,42,1,4,SSW,11,M,76,51,85,27,0,0,N
FCST,201102,150503,13,1,70,52,1,4,S,11,M,72,44,94,33,0,0,N
FCST,201103,150503,13,1,71,48,1,4,S,10,M,71,46,90,34,0,0,N
FCST,201002,150503,13,1,73,45,1,4,S,10,M,73,45,92,34,0,0,N
FCST,201004,150503,13,1,69,48,1,4,S,10,M,73,47,83,32,0,0,N
FCST,201202,150503,13,1,68,49,1,4,SSW,11,M,69,44,91,33,0,0,N
FCST,201302,150503,13,1,66,49,1,4,SSW,12,M,70,43,92,31,0,0,N
FCST,201401,150503,13,1,63,54,1,4,SSW,11,M,67,43,88,35,0,0,N
FCST,201504,150503,13,1,65,52,1,4,SSW,11,M,69,44,86,33,0,0,N
FCST,201505,150503,13,1,68,48,1,4,SW,11,M,71,44,83,31,0,0,N




000
FNUS83 KMQT 021943
FWMMQT

FCST,200405,150503,13,2,57,64,1,3,SW,10,M,66,41,86,40,0,0,N
FCST,200403,150503,13,2,53,72,1,3,SW,10,M,74,41,87,28,0,0,N
FCST,200401,150503,13,2,56,64,1,3,SW,11,M,63,40,87,38,0,0,N
FCST,200102,150503,13,2,76,43,1,4,SSW,10,M,77,54,84,29,0,0,N
FCST,200103,150503,13,2,77,39,1,4,SSW,09,M,77,52,83,27,0,0,N
FCST,200301,150503,13,2,78,37,1,4,SW,09,M,78,52,83,30,0,0,N
FCST,200504,150503,13,2,77,39,1,4,SW,09,M,78,54,80,30,0,0,N
FCST,200503,150503,13,2,79,38,1,4,SW,09,M,80,52,76,30,0,0,N
FCST,200802,150503,13,2,78,39,1,4,SSW,10,M,78,50,88,28,0,0,N
FCST,200703,150503,13,2,75,42,1,4,SSW,11,M,75,51,80,32,0,0,N
FCST,200903,150503,13,2,76,42,1,4,SSW,11,M,76,51,85,27,0,0,N
FCST,201102,150503,13,1,70,52,1,4,S,11,M,72,44,94,33,0,0,N
FCST,201103,150503,13,1,71,48,1,4,S,10,M,71,46,90,34,0,0,N
FCST,201002,150503,13,1,73,45,1,4,S,10,M,73,45,92,34,0,0,N
FCST,201004,150503,13,1,69,48,1,4,S,10,M,73,47,83,32,0,0,N
FCST,201202,150503,13,1,68,49,1,4,SSW,11,M,69,44,91,33,0,0,N
FCST,201302,150503,13,1,66,49,1,4,SSW,12,M,70,43,92,31,0,0,N
FCST,201401,150503,13,1,63,54,1,4,SSW,11,M,67,43,88,35,0,0,N
FCST,201504,150503,13,1,65,52,1,4,SSW,11,M,69,44,86,33,0,0,N
FCST,201505,150503,13,1,68,48,1,4,SW,11,M,71,44,83,31,0,0,N


  [top]

000
FNUS73 KAPX 021929
FWSAPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR DNR REQUEST...DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
329 PM EDT SAT MAY 2 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1518 EDT ON MAY 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...CONDITIONS THROUGH EARLY EVENING WILL CHANGE LITTLE
FROM THOSE CURRENTLY...WITH LOW HUMIDITY AND TEMPERATURES TOPPING
OUT IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO REMAIN A
LITTLE GUSTY...UP TO 18 MPH AT TIMES...THROUGH EARLY EVENING BUT
DECREASE QUICKLY AFTER 8 PM. NO RAIN IS EXPECTED AT THE BURN SITE
THROUGH TOMORROW AFTERNOON.

.THIS AFTERNOON...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........75 AT REQUEST...MAX 77.
RH..................24 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MIN 19 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST/SOUTHWEST 8 TO 11 MPH...GUSTING UP TO
                    18 MPH THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......AROUND 9000 FT AGL THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT REQUEST...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (1200) AT REQUEST. MAX...EXCELLENT
                    (1200).


TIME (EDT)      4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........13  15
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............77  76
RH..............22  21
20 FT WIND DIR..WSW WSW
20 FT WIND SPD..8   9
20 FT WIND GUST.18  18
HAINES INDEX....5   5
SMOKE DISP......12001200

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 50.
RH..................MAX 61 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST/SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    18 MPH THROUGH 8 PM...BECOMING SOUTHWEST UP TO
                    5 MPH THROUGH LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH THROUGH EARLY EVENING
                    OTHERWISE 8 TO 10 MPH OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........MIN 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN POOR (0).


TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........16  18  19  22  29  32  31  29  28  27  25  24
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............71  70  67  63  60  57  55  53  52  51  51  52
RH..............25  25  28  34  41  47  51  54  56  59  59  56
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..8   7   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.18  15  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
HAINES INDEX....5   5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
SMOKE DISP......120011001000900 800 500 400 200 100 0   0   0

$$
FORECASTER...DAVID LAWRENCE
REQUESTED BY...DON KLINGLER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150502.DNRRE.01/APX



000
FNUS73 KAPX 021929
FWSAPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR DNR REQUEST...DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
329 PM EDT SAT MAY 2 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1518 EDT ON MAY 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...CONDITIONS THROUGH EARLY EVENING WILL CHANGE LITTLE
FROM THOSE CURRENTLY...WITH LOW HUMIDITY AND TEMPERATURES TOPPING
OUT IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO REMAIN A
LITTLE GUSTY...UP TO 18 MPH AT TIMES...THROUGH EARLY EVENING BUT
DECREASE QUICKLY AFTER 8 PM. NO RAIN IS EXPECTED AT THE BURN SITE
THROUGH TOMORROW AFTERNOON.

.THIS AFTERNOON...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........75 AT REQUEST...MAX 77.
RH..................24 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MIN 19 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST/SOUTHWEST 8 TO 11 MPH...GUSTING UP TO
                    18 MPH THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......AROUND 9000 FT AGL THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT REQUEST...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (1200) AT REQUEST. MAX...EXCELLENT
                    (1200).


TIME (EDT)      4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........13  15
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............77  76
RH..............22  21
20 FT WIND DIR..WSW WSW
20 FT WIND SPD..8   9
20 FT WIND GUST.18  18
HAINES INDEX....5   5
SMOKE DISP......12001200

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 50.
RH..................MAX 61 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST/SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    18 MPH THROUGH 8 PM...BECOMING SOUTHWEST UP TO
                    5 MPH THROUGH LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH THROUGH EARLY EVENING
                    OTHERWISE 8 TO 10 MPH OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........MIN 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN POOR (0).


TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........16  18  19  22  29  32  31  29  28  27  25  24
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............71  70  67  63  60  57  55  53  52  51  51  52
RH..............25  25  28  34  41  47  51  54  56  59  59  56
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..8   7   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.18  15  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
HAINES INDEX....5   5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
SMOKE DISP......120011001000900 800 500 400 200 100 0   0   0

$$
FORECASTER...DAVID LAWRENCE
REQUESTED BY...DON KLINGLER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150502.DNRRE.01/APX



  [top]

000
FNUS83 KAPX 021928
FWMAPX

FCST,202902,150503,13,2,75,29,1,1,SW,11,M,75,49,66,21,0,0,N
FCST,202010,150503,13,2,67,50,1,1,SSW,11,M,70,54,69,31,0,0,N
FCST,203101,150503,13,2,74,41,1,1,SSW,10,M,75,51,74,22,0,0,N
FCST,203601,150503,13,1,74,33,1,1,SSW,10,M,75,49,66,24,0,0,N



000
FNUS83 KAPX 021928
FWMAPX

FCST,202902,150503,13,2,75,29,1,1,SW,11,M,75,49,66,21,0,0,N
FCST,202010,150503,13,2,67,50,1,1,SSW,11,M,70,54,69,31,0,0,N
FCST,203101,150503,13,2,74,41,1,1,SSW,10,M,75,51,74,22,0,0,N
FCST,203601,150503,13,1,74,33,1,1,SSW,10,M,75,49,66,24,0,0,N




000
FNUS83 KAPX 021928
FWMAPX

FCST,202902,150503,13,2,75,29,1,1,SW,11,M,75,49,66,21,0,0,N
FCST,202010,150503,13,2,67,50,1,1,SSW,11,M,70,54,69,31,0,0,N
FCST,203101,150503,13,2,74,41,1,1,SSW,10,M,75,51,74,22,0,0,N
FCST,203601,150503,13,1,74,33,1,1,SSW,10,M,75,49,66,24,0,0,N



  [top]

000
FNUS83 KGRR 021907
FWMGRR

FCST,203802,150503,13,1,72,46,1,1,SSW,14,M,72,52,69,24,0,0,N






000
FNUS83 KGRR 021907
FWMGRR

FCST,203802,150503,13,1,72,46,1,1,SSW,14,M,72,52,69,24,0,0,N







000
FNUS73 KMQT 020954
FWSMQT

SPOT FORECAST FOR DICK SETTLEMENT RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
554 AM EDT SAT MAY 2 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON MAY 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL DEPART THE REGION TODAY AND LEAD TO
PERSISTENT SOUTH TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS AND ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND. TODAY...GUSTS WILL PEAK IN THE UPPER
TEENS...WHILE GUSTS WILL BE HIGHER ON SUNDAY JUST AHEAD OF THE
APPROACHING COLD FRONT. DEEP MIXING TODAY WILL LEAD TO ANOTHER DAY OF
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES FALLING INTO THE 30 TO 40 PERCENT RANGE.
EXPECT PERIODS OF CLOUDS AND SUN THROUGH THE DAY...WITH DAYTIME
HEATING LEADING TO A PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKY THIS AFTERNOON.
PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL QUICKLY INCREASE SUNDAY EVENING AHEAD OF
THE COLD FRONT THAT WILL MOVE THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. AT THIS
TIME...A QUARTER OF AN INCH OF RAINFALL EXPECTED...ALTHOUGH AMOUNTS
MAY BE HIGHER IF A THUNDERSTORM PASSES OVER THE BURN SITE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68 AT IGNITION...MAX 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 35 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 10 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12
                    MPH.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 8 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5...OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 22 MPH INCREASING TO 17 TO 28
                    MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING.
VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (510) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (853) AT
                    IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT (1266) IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO GOOD (429) EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500-4200 FT AGL
                    BY LATE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 6100 FT
                    AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 5600-7400 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 2300-4000 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.

TIME (EDT)      1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........58     57     51     44
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............68     68     67     62
RH..............37     36     36     39
33-FOOT WIND....SW 10  SW 13  SW 12  SW 12
20-FOOT WIND....SW 8   SW 10  SW 10  SW 10
WIND GUST.......14     16     15     15
VINDX KT-FT/100.853    1266   1067   429
TRANSPORT WIND..W 16   W 20   SW 22  SW 22
MIX HGT (FT)....6100   7400   5600   2300
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 45.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 82 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17 TO 31 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (32).
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-800 FT AGL.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.

TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY (%).........40     39     38     37     39     41
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............59     51     48     47     46     45
RH..............42     56     66     67     74     80
33-FOOT WIND....SW 9   SW 9   SW 9   SW 10  SW 10  SW 10
20-FOOT WIND....SW 7   SW 7   SW 7   SW 8   SW 8   SW 8
WIND GUST.......
VINDX KT-FT/100.157    35     45     58     58     40
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 22  SW 24  SW 25  SW 26  W 26   W 25
MIX HGT (FT)....800    200    200    300    300    200
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      3      4      4

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 46 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 36 MPH INCREASING TO 28 TO 47
                    MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (530).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........43     44     44     45     58     71
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............47     57     64     66     68     66
RH..............82     61     51     51     47     49
33-FOOT WIND....SW 11  SW 11  SW 13  SW 15  SW 15  SW 16
20-FOOT WIND....SW 9   SW 9   SW 10  SW 12  SW 12  SW 13
WIND GUST.......12     12     20     22     22     21
VINDX KT-FT/100.50     223    350    375    504    407
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 23  SW 23  SW 25  SW 29  SW 35  SW 39
MIX HGT (FT)....300    1100   1600   1500   1700   1200
HAINES INDEX....4      3      2      3      3      3

$$
FORECASTER...SRF
REQUESTED BY...PATTY CARRICK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150502.DICKS.01/MQT



000
FNUS73 KMQT 020954
FWSMQT

SPOT FORECAST FOR DICK SETTLEMENT RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
554 AM EDT SAT MAY 2 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON MAY 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL DEPART THE REGION TODAY AND LEAD TO
PERSISTENT SOUTH TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS AND ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND. TODAY...GUSTS WILL PEAK IN THE UPPER
TEENS...WHILE GUSTS WILL BE HIGHER ON SUNDAY JUST AHEAD OF THE
APPROACHING COLD FRONT. DEEP MIXING TODAY WILL LEAD TO ANOTHER DAY OF
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES FALLING INTO THE 30 TO 40 PERCENT RANGE.
EXPECT PERIODS OF CLOUDS AND SUN THROUGH THE DAY...WITH DAYTIME
HEATING LEADING TO A PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKY THIS AFTERNOON.
PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL QUICKLY INCREASE SUNDAY EVENING AHEAD OF
THE COLD FRONT THAT WILL MOVE THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. AT THIS
TIME...A QUARTER OF AN INCH OF RAINFALL EXPECTED...ALTHOUGH AMOUNTS
MAY BE HIGHER IF A THUNDERSTORM PASSES OVER THE BURN SITE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68 AT IGNITION...MAX 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 35 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 10 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12
                    MPH.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 8 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5...OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 22 MPH INCREASING TO 17 TO 28
                    MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING.
VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (510) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (853) AT
                    IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT (1266) IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO GOOD (429) EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500-4200 FT AGL
                    BY LATE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 6100 FT
                    AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 5600-7400 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 2300-4000 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.

TIME (EDT)      1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........58     57     51     44
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............68     68     67     62
RH..............37     36     36     39
33-FOOT WIND....SW 10  SW 13  SW 12  SW 12
20-FOOT WIND....SW 8   SW 10  SW 10  SW 10
WIND GUST.......14     16     15     15
VINDX KT-FT/100.853    1266   1067   429
TRANSPORT WIND..W 16   W 20   SW 22  SW 22
MIX HGT (FT)....6100   7400   5600   2300
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 45.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 82 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17 TO 31 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (32).
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-800 FT AGL.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.

TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY (%).........40     39     38     37     39     41
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............59     51     48     47     46     45
RH..............42     56     66     67     74     80
33-FOOT WIND....SW 9   SW 9   SW 9   SW 10  SW 10  SW 10
20-FOOT WIND....SW 7   SW 7   SW 7   SW 8   SW 8   SW 8
WIND GUST.......
VINDX KT-FT/100.157    35     45     58     58     40
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 22  SW 24  SW 25  SW 26  W 26   W 25
MIX HGT (FT)....800    200    200    300    300    200
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      3      4      4

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 46 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 36 MPH INCREASING TO 28 TO 47
                    MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (530).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........43     44     44     45     58     71
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............47     57     64     66     68     66
RH..............82     61     51     51     47     49
33-FOOT WIND....SW 11  SW 11  SW 13  SW 15  SW 15  SW 16
20-FOOT WIND....SW 9   SW 9   SW 10  SW 12  SW 12  SW 13
WIND GUST.......12     12     20     22     22     21
VINDX KT-FT/100.50     223    350    375    504    407
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 23  SW 23  SW 25  SW 29  SW 35  SW 39
MIX HGT (FT)....300    1100   1600   1500   1700   1200
HAINES INDEX....4      3      2      3      3      3

$$
FORECASTER...SRF
REQUESTED BY...PATTY CARRICK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150502.DICKS.01/MQT




000
FNUS83 KMQT 011941
FWMMQT

FCST,200405,150502,13,1,47,76,1,1,SSE,04,M,53,37,93,51,0,0,N
FCST,200403,150502,13,1,54,60,1,1,SSW,04,M,55,39,91,47,0,0,N
FCST,200401,150502,13,1,44,83,1,1,SSE,05,M,52,37,92,55,0,0,N
FCST,200102,150502,13,1,75,30,1,1,WSW,04,M,75,44,95,27,0,0,N
FCST,200103,150502,13,1,73,31,1,1,SW,04,M,73,42,95,26,0,0,N
FCST,200301,150502,13,1,73,33,1,1,WSW,03,M,73,42,94,26,0,0,N
FCST,200504,150502,13,1,72,34,1,1,WSW,03,M,72,43,94,22,0,0,N
FCST,200503,150502,13,1,76,32,1,1,WSW,02,M,76,43,92,23,0,0,N
FCST,200802,150502,13,1,75,31,1,1,SSW,04,M,75,41,97,22,0,0,N
FCST,200703,150502,13,1,71,36,1,1,SW,03,M,71,43,88,26,0,0,N
FCST,200903,150502,13,1,72,37,1,1,SSW,05,M,72,42,92,26,0,0,N
FCST,201102,150502,13,1,66,47,1,1,S,08,M,66,38,98,35,0,0,N
FCST,201103,150502,13,1,67,44,1,1,S,06,M,69,41,91,29,0,0,N
FCST,201002,150502,13,1,69,40,1,1,SSW,04,M,70,42,89,29,0,0,N
FCST,201004,150502,13,1,65,43,1,1,SSW,00,M,66,42,86,31,0,0,N
FCST,201202,150502,13,1,67,42,1,1,SSW,06,M,70,40,89,32,0,0,N
FCST,201302,150502,13,2,64,46,1,1,SSW,06,M,70,41,87,27,0,0,N
FCST,201401,150502,13,2,63,45,1,1,SSW,07,M,65,37,97,36,0,0,N
FCST,201504,150502,13,2,63,47,1,1,SW,04,M,69,40,89,31,0,0,N
FCST,201505,150502,13,1,63,45,1,1,SW,07,M,70,39,88,30,0,0,N




000
FNUS83 KMQT 011941
FWMMQT

FCST,200405,150502,13,1,47,76,1,1,SSE,04,M,53,37,93,51,0,0,N
FCST,200403,150502,13,1,54,60,1,1,SSW,04,M,55,39,91,47,0,0,N
FCST,200401,150502,13,1,44,83,1,1,SSE,05,M,52,37,92,55,0,0,N
FCST,200102,150502,13,1,75,30,1,1,WSW,04,M,75,44,95,27,0,0,N
FCST,200103,150502,13,1,73,31,1,1,SW,04,M,73,42,95,26,0,0,N
FCST,200301,150502,13,1,73,33,1,1,WSW,03,M,73,42,94,26,0,0,N
FCST,200504,150502,13,1,72,34,1,1,WSW,03,M,72,43,94,22,0,0,N
FCST,200503,150502,13,1,76,32,1,1,WSW,02,M,76,43,92,23,0,0,N
FCST,200802,150502,13,1,75,31,1,1,SSW,04,M,75,41,97,22,0,0,N
FCST,200703,150502,13,1,71,36,1,1,SW,03,M,71,43,88,26,0,0,N
FCST,200903,150502,13,1,72,37,1,1,SSW,05,M,72,42,92,26,0,0,N
FCST,201102,150502,13,1,66,47,1,1,S,08,M,66,38,98,35,0,0,N
FCST,201103,150502,13,1,67,44,1,1,S,06,M,69,41,91,29,0,0,N
FCST,201002,150502,13,1,69,40,1,1,SSW,04,M,70,42,89,29,0,0,N
FCST,201004,150502,13,1,65,43,1,1,SSW,00,M,66,42,86,31,0,0,N
FCST,201202,150502,13,1,67,42,1,1,SSW,06,M,70,40,89,32,0,0,N
FCST,201302,150502,13,2,64,46,1,1,SSW,06,M,70,41,87,27,0,0,N
FCST,201401,150502,13,2,63,45,1,1,SSW,07,M,65,37,97,36,0,0,N
FCST,201504,150502,13,2,63,47,1,1,SW,04,M,69,40,89,31,0,0,N
FCST,201505,150502,13,1,63,45,1,1,SW,07,M,70,39,88,30,0,0,N



000
FNUS83 KAPX 011929
FWMAPX

FCST,202902,150502,13,2,71,31,1,1,WSW,06,M,72,40,96,23,0,0,N
FCST,202010,150502,13,2,62,45,1,1,SW,08,M,63,46,83,42,0,0,N
FCST,203101,150502,13,2,69,39,1,1,WSW,07,M,70,39,96,32,0,0,N
FCST,203601,150502,13,2,69,34,1,1,SSW,06,M,69,38,96,33,0,0,N



000
FNUS83 KAPX 011929
FWMAPX

FCST,202902,150502,13,2,71,31,1,1,WSW,06,M,72,40,96,23,0,0,N
FCST,202010,150502,13,2,62,45,1,1,SW,08,M,63,46,83,42,0,0,N
FCST,203101,150502,13,2,69,39,1,1,WSW,07,M,70,39,96,32,0,0,N
FCST,203601,150502,13,2,69,34,1,1,SSW,06,M,69,38,96,33,0,0,N




000
FNUS83 KAPX 011929
FWMAPX

FCST,202902,150502,13,2,71,31,1,1,WSW,06,M,72,40,96,23,0,0,N
FCST,202010,150502,13,2,62,45,1,1,SW,08,M,63,46,83,42,0,0,N
FCST,203101,150502,13,2,69,39,1,1,WSW,07,M,70,39,96,32,0,0,N
FCST,203601,150502,13,2,69,34,1,1,SSW,06,M,69,38,96,33,0,0,N



000
FNUS83 KGRR 011918
FWMGRR

FCST,203802,150502,13,2,66,42,1,1,WSW,11,M,67,45,76,36,0,0,N







000
FNUS83 KGRR 011918
FWMGRR

FCST,203802,150502,13,2,66,42,1,1,WSW,11,M,67,45,76,36,0,0,N







000
FNUS83 KGRR 011918
FWMGRR

FCST,203802,150502,13,2,66,42,1,1,WSW,11,M,67,45,76,36,0,0,N







000
FNUS83 KGRR 011918
FWMGRR

FCST,203802,150502,13,2,66,42,1,1,WSW,11,M,67,45,76,36,0,0,N







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