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000
FXUS64 KJAN 022028
AFDJAN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
328 PM CDT MON MAY 2 2016

.DISCUSSION...PRECIPITATION HAS BEEN MORE POST-FRONTAL/STRATIFORM
AND SLOW TO DEVELOP TODAY WITH THE LACK OF INSOLATION. HOWEVER...A
FEW SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS HAVE MANAGED TO DEVELOP IN THE MID 70
WARMTH OUT AHEAD OF THE FRONT IN THE LAST COUPLE OF HOURS OVER THE
EAST. EXPECT THIS ACTIVITY TO MOVE INTO AL BEFORE BECOMING TOO ROBUST
THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING. STRATIFORM ACTIVITY THAT IS LEFT WILL LINGER
OVERNIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING IN THE EAST.

GFS CONTINUES TO SHOW MID LEVEL SW FLOW AS THE RESPONSIBLE PARTY FOR
THE PERSISTENT WET WEATHER...BUT VEERING OF THE FLOW JUST A FEW
DEGREES WILL BE SUFFICIENT TO GIVE FRONT AND WET WEATHER THE PUSH
NEEDED TO FINALLY EXIT THE AREA. EXPECT COOLER AIR TO GRADUALLY PUSH
INTO THE AREA LATER TONIGHT AS ONLY LIGHT POST FRONTAL SHOWERS
CONTINUE. CLOUDS LOOK TO LINGER OVERNIGHT TONIGHT...BUT CLEAR DURING
THE AFTERNOON TUESDAY. THE BETTER MID LEVEL TROF WILL MOVE THROUGH
WEDNESDAY ALLOWING THE COOLEST AIR TO POUR INTO THE REGION WEDNESDAY
NIGHT/THURSDAY.

GOOD RAD COOLING CONDITIONS LOOK TO SET UP FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY
MORNINGS AS THE SURFACE HIGH CENTER SETTLES OVER THE AREA LEADING TO
CALM OVERNIGHT WINDS WITH CLEAR SKIES. SOME 40S LOOK POSSIBLE IN THE
NORTH AND EAST EACH OF THOSE MORNINGS...WHILE MOST EVERYONE ELSE
WILL SETTLE IN THE 50S./26/


&&

.AVIATION...AS THE BOUNDARY SHIFTS EAST...IFR CIGS ARE
DEVELOPING IN THE COLD ADVECTION BEHIND THE FRONT. ALONG/AHEAD OF
THE FRONT...SHRA AND A FEW TSRA HAVE DEVELOPED AND ARE RESULTING IN
OCNL MVFR/IFR VSBY/CIGS. LOWER CIGS ARE EXPECTED MAINLY OVER EASTERN
PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA OVERNIGHT...BUT EXPECT THE STRATUS
WILL MOVE OUT FROM WEST TO EAST LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY AT
ALL LOCATIONS AS MUCH DRIER AIR MOVES IN AND BRINGS VFR CONDITIONS
TO THE ENTIRE AREA. /EC/


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       60  76  53  77 /  42  10   4   3
MERIDIAN      62  77  53  76 /  64  21  11   3
VICKSBURG     58  75  51  77 /  29  10   5   2
HATTIESBURG   64  78  57  78 /  52  25   3   4
NATCHEZ       61  76  54  77 /  27  12   4   3
GREENVILLE    56  73  53  77 /  15   7   7   3
GREENWOOD     56  74  51  75 /  23   8   6   4

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KJAN 021508
AFDJAN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1008 AM CDT MON MAY 2 2016

.UPDATE...BOUNDARY CONTINUES TO SLICE ACROSS THE NW SECTIONS OF THE
CWA AT THE MOMENT. CAA BEHIND THE BOUNDARY AND EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER
IN ADVANCE ARE KEEPING CONDITIONS RATHER COOL. UPDATED
TEMPS/DEWPOINTS AND MAXIMUMS FOR THE REST OF THE DAY BASED ON THE
LATEST TRENDS. WX GRIDS AND REST OF PACKAGE LOOKS GOOD./26/


&&

.AVIATION...VARIABLE CIGS ACROSS THE AREA ALONG A COLD FRONT
ARE MAKING FOR A DIFFICULT FORECAST. AS THE BOUNDARY SHIFTS
EAST...EXPECT COLD ADVECTION MVFR/IFR CATEGORY STRATUS TO CONTINUE
TO DEVELOP IN ITS WAKE THIS AFTN INTO THE OVERNIGHT. ALONG/AHEAD OF
THE FRONT...WE SHOULD SEE AN INCREASE IN SHRA/TSRA THIS AFTN THAT
WOULD RESULT IN OCNL MVFR/IFR VSBY/CIGS. THE STRATUS WILL MOVE OUT
FROM WEST TO EAST LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY AS MUCH DRIER AIR
MOVES IN AND BRINGS VFR CONDITIONS TO THE ENTIRE AREA LATER IN THE
DAY. /EC/


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 832 AM CDT MON MAY 2 2016/

UPDATE...

CONVECTIVE TRENDS ARE DOWNWARD EARLY THIS MORNING AND HAVE CUT BACK
ON POPS FOR TODAY. STILL EXPECT SHOWERS/TSTMS TO REDEVELOP LATER
THIS AFTERNOON PER VARIOUS HIGH-RES GUIDANCE AND HAVE KEPT HIGHER
POPS FOR MAINLY ALONG/SE OF THE NATCHEZ TRACE CORRIDOR.

IN TERMS OF SEVERE WEATHER...FIRST LOOK AT THE MORNING RAOBS REVEALS
FAIRLY STEEP LAPSE RATES AND FORECAST DEEP LAYER FLOW THIS AFTERNOON
COMBINED WITH MODEST MOISTURE CONVERGENCE WOULD BE SUPPORTIVE OF MULTICELL
TSTMS/LINE SEGMENTS WITH SOME STRONG/MARGINALLY SEVERE INTENSITIES
AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. VEERED AND RELATIVELY WEAK 0-1KM SHEAR
VECTORS SHOULD GENERALLY BE UNSUPPORTIVE OF ANY TORNADO ACTIVITY WITH
MAIN EMPHASIS FOR HAIL/DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. FOR THE HWO
GRAPHIC...WILL SHIFT THE THREAT AREA A LITTLE TO THE EAST TO ACCOUNT
FOR CURRENT SCENARIO AND EXPECT REDEVELOPMENT LATER TODAY. /EC/

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 522 AM CDT MON MAY 2 2016/

SHORT TERM...CHALLENGING FOR TODAY...WILL THE BOUNDARY MOVE EAST.
THERE HAS NOT BEEN MUCH FORWARD PROGRESS OVERNIGHT AND THE MODELS
ARE NOT IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE MOVEMENT OR THE AMOUNT OF RAIN
THROUGH TUESDAY AND POSSIBLY EARLY WEDNESDAY. TRIED TO BLEND THE NAM
AND THE HI-RES FOR TODAY AND GO WITH THE GFS/EURO FOR
TOMORROW...BASICALLY PUSHING THE BOUNDARY AND RAIN EAST OF THE AREA.

FOR TODAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WERE REDEVELOPING TO THE WEST.
MODELS SHOW GOOD LAPSE RATES FROM EAST TEXAS TO WEST
MISSISSIPPI...SUPPORTED BY AREA SOUNDINGS. EXPECTING ELEVATED STORMS
TO PRODUCE SOME HAIL AND WIND. THERE WAS WEAK CAP IN PLACE ON THE JAN
SOUNDING AND STORMS HAVE STRUGGLED TO MAINTAIN ONCE THEY MOVE EAST.
HOWEVER...STORMS FIRING ON THE BOUNDARY...WHICH WAS NEAR THE MS
RIVER...WILL INTENSIFY QUICKLY. MOVEMENT WAS VERY SLOWLY...SO HEAVY
RAIN AND LOCALIZED FLOODING MAY BECOME AN ISSUE. WPC HAS A RISK OF
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL TODAY...SO ADDED A LIMITED RISK AREA FOR SEVERE
AND HEAVY RAIN...GENERALLY ALONG AND WEST OF INTERSTATE 55 TO THE HWO
TODAY.

RIGHT NOW IT SEEMS LIKE STORMS WILL BE BETTER OVER NORTHEAST
LOUISIANA AND MAYBE SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS FOR THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO.
THERE WERE SOME BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS...SO ONCE THE SUN COMES
UP...MORE STORMS MAY FIRE AND HOLD TOGETHER THROUGH THE MORNING.
THINKING THE BOUNDARY WILL BE SLOWER...SHIFTED THE BEST POPS ALONG
AND WEST OF I-55 FOR TODAY. WENT WITH MOS POPS AND TEMPS FOR THE REST
OF THE FORECAST PERIOD...WITH RAIN ENDING TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)...
MODELS AND THEIR ENSEMBLES GENERALLY AGREE WITH THE UPPER PATTERN
FOR THE PERIOD. A MID-UPPER CLOSED LOW WILL SPIN ABOUT IN AN UPPER
TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN US...WHILE AN MID-UPPER RIDGE WILL BE
PREVALENT IN THE PLAINS. THIS WILL PUT THE REGION IN NORTHWEST FLOW
ALOFT. A BROAD MID-UPPER CLOSED LOW OVER THE ROCKIES WILL PUSH
EASTWARD. IN RESPONSE AS WE PUSH INTO THE WEEKEND THE MID-UPPER RIDGE
AXIS WILL PUSH INTO THE MS VALLEY OVER THE WEEKEND. THIS WILL PROVIDE
A PERIOD OF DRY WEATHER FOR THE CWA FOR THE PERIOD. CLOUDS WILL
INCREASE ACROSS THE REGION ON SUNDAY AHEAD OF OUR NEXT SYSTEM FOR
NEXT WEEK. COOL NIGHTS AND MILD DAYS WILL BE EXPECTED. LOWS WILL BE
MAINLY IN THE 50S BEFORE WARMING INTO THE LOWER 60S OVER THE WEEKEND.
HIGHS WILL BE IN THE 70S BEFORE WARMING INTO THE LOWER 80S OVER THE
WEEKEND.

OUR NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN WILL BE FOR THE FOLLOWING WEEK AS THE CLOSED
LOW TO THE WEST OPENS UP AND GETS SETTLED INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS.
IT WILL SEND A SERIES OF IMPULSES ACROSS THE REGION FOR MORE
RAIN CHANCES./17/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       75  58  76  53 /  60  40  26  11
MERIDIAN      74  62  77  49 /  60  52  32  13
VICKSBURG     75  57  76  51 /  60  38  14   9
HATTIESBURG   79  65  81  56 /  60  50  33  14
NATCHEZ       73  59  75  52 /  60  40  20   6
GREENVILLE    70  55  74  51 /  60  17  11   9
GREENWOOD     71  56  73  51 /  60  26  18  10

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KJAN 021508
AFDJAN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1008 AM CDT MON MAY 2 2016

.UPDATE...BOUNDARY CONTINUES TO SLICE ACROSS THE NW SECTIONS OF THE
CWA AT THE MOMENT. CAA BEHIND THE BOUNDARY AND EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER
IN ADVANCE ARE KEEPING CONDITIONS RATHER COOL. UPDATED
TEMPS/DEWPOINTS AND MAXIMUMS FOR THE REST OF THE DAY BASED ON THE
LATEST TRENDS. WX GRIDS AND REST OF PACKAGE LOOKS GOOD./26/


&&

.AVIATION...VARIABLE CIGS ACROSS THE AREA ALONG A COLD FRONT
ARE MAKING FOR A DIFFICULT FORECAST. AS THE BOUNDARY SHIFTS
EAST...EXPECT COLD ADVECTION MVFR/IFR CATEGORY STRATUS TO CONTINUE
TO DEVELOP IN ITS WAKE THIS AFTN INTO THE OVERNIGHT. ALONG/AHEAD OF
THE FRONT...WE SHOULD SEE AN INCREASE IN SHRA/TSRA THIS AFTN THAT
WOULD RESULT IN OCNL MVFR/IFR VSBY/CIGS. THE STRATUS WILL MOVE OUT
FROM WEST TO EAST LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY AS MUCH DRIER AIR
MOVES IN AND BRINGS VFR CONDITIONS TO THE ENTIRE AREA LATER IN THE
DAY. /EC/


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 832 AM CDT MON MAY 2 2016/

UPDATE...

CONVECTIVE TRENDS ARE DOWNWARD EARLY THIS MORNING AND HAVE CUT BACK
ON POPS FOR TODAY. STILL EXPECT SHOWERS/TSTMS TO REDEVELOP LATER
THIS AFTERNOON PER VARIOUS HIGH-RES GUIDANCE AND HAVE KEPT HIGHER
POPS FOR MAINLY ALONG/SE OF THE NATCHEZ TRACE CORRIDOR.

IN TERMS OF SEVERE WEATHER...FIRST LOOK AT THE MORNING RAOBS REVEALS
FAIRLY STEEP LAPSE RATES AND FORECAST DEEP LAYER FLOW THIS AFTERNOON
COMBINED WITH MODEST MOISTURE CONVERGENCE WOULD BE SUPPORTIVE OF MULTICELL
TSTMS/LINE SEGMENTS WITH SOME STRONG/MARGINALLY SEVERE INTENSITIES
AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. VEERED AND RELATIVELY WEAK 0-1KM SHEAR
VECTORS SHOULD GENERALLY BE UNSUPPORTIVE OF ANY TORNADO ACTIVITY WITH
MAIN EMPHASIS FOR HAIL/DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. FOR THE HWO
GRAPHIC...WILL SHIFT THE THREAT AREA A LITTLE TO THE EAST TO ACCOUNT
FOR CURRENT SCENARIO AND EXPECT REDEVELOPMENT LATER TODAY. /EC/

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 522 AM CDT MON MAY 2 2016/

SHORT TERM...CHALLENGING FOR TODAY...WILL THE BOUNDARY MOVE EAST.
THERE HAS NOT BEEN MUCH FORWARD PROGRESS OVERNIGHT AND THE MODELS
ARE NOT IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE MOVEMENT OR THE AMOUNT OF RAIN
THROUGH TUESDAY AND POSSIBLY EARLY WEDNESDAY. TRIED TO BLEND THE NAM
AND THE HI-RES FOR TODAY AND GO WITH THE GFS/EURO FOR
TOMORROW...BASICALLY PUSHING THE BOUNDARY AND RAIN EAST OF THE AREA.

FOR TODAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WERE REDEVELOPING TO THE WEST.
MODELS SHOW GOOD LAPSE RATES FROM EAST TEXAS TO WEST
MISSISSIPPI...SUPPORTED BY AREA SOUNDINGS. EXPECTING ELEVATED STORMS
TO PRODUCE SOME HAIL AND WIND. THERE WAS WEAK CAP IN PLACE ON THE JAN
SOUNDING AND STORMS HAVE STRUGGLED TO MAINTAIN ONCE THEY MOVE EAST.
HOWEVER...STORMS FIRING ON THE BOUNDARY...WHICH WAS NEAR THE MS
RIVER...WILL INTENSIFY QUICKLY. MOVEMENT WAS VERY SLOWLY...SO HEAVY
RAIN AND LOCALIZED FLOODING MAY BECOME AN ISSUE. WPC HAS A RISK OF
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL TODAY...SO ADDED A LIMITED RISK AREA FOR SEVERE
AND HEAVY RAIN...GENERALLY ALONG AND WEST OF INTERSTATE 55 TO THE HWO
TODAY.

RIGHT NOW IT SEEMS LIKE STORMS WILL BE BETTER OVER NORTHEAST
LOUISIANA AND MAYBE SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS FOR THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO.
THERE WERE SOME BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS...SO ONCE THE SUN COMES
UP...MORE STORMS MAY FIRE AND HOLD TOGETHER THROUGH THE MORNING.
THINKING THE BOUNDARY WILL BE SLOWER...SHIFTED THE BEST POPS ALONG
AND WEST OF I-55 FOR TODAY. WENT WITH MOS POPS AND TEMPS FOR THE REST
OF THE FORECAST PERIOD...WITH RAIN ENDING TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)...
MODELS AND THEIR ENSEMBLES GENERALLY AGREE WITH THE UPPER PATTERN
FOR THE PERIOD. A MID-UPPER CLOSED LOW WILL SPIN ABOUT IN AN UPPER
TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN US...WHILE AN MID-UPPER RIDGE WILL BE
PREVALENT IN THE PLAINS. THIS WILL PUT THE REGION IN NORTHWEST FLOW
ALOFT. A BROAD MID-UPPER CLOSED LOW OVER THE ROCKIES WILL PUSH
EASTWARD. IN RESPONSE AS WE PUSH INTO THE WEEKEND THE MID-UPPER RIDGE
AXIS WILL PUSH INTO THE MS VALLEY OVER THE WEEKEND. THIS WILL PROVIDE
A PERIOD OF DRY WEATHER FOR THE CWA FOR THE PERIOD. CLOUDS WILL
INCREASE ACROSS THE REGION ON SUNDAY AHEAD OF OUR NEXT SYSTEM FOR
NEXT WEEK. COOL NIGHTS AND MILD DAYS WILL BE EXPECTED. LOWS WILL BE
MAINLY IN THE 50S BEFORE WARMING INTO THE LOWER 60S OVER THE WEEKEND.
HIGHS WILL BE IN THE 70S BEFORE WARMING INTO THE LOWER 80S OVER THE
WEEKEND.

OUR NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN WILL BE FOR THE FOLLOWING WEEK AS THE CLOSED
LOW TO THE WEST OPENS UP AND GETS SETTLED INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS.
IT WILL SEND A SERIES OF IMPULSES ACROSS THE REGION FOR MORE
RAIN CHANCES./17/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       75  58  76  53 /  60  40  26  11
MERIDIAN      74  62  77  49 /  60  52  32  13
VICKSBURG     75  57  76  51 /  60  38  14   9
HATTIESBURG   79  65  81  56 /  60  50  33  14
NATCHEZ       73  59  75  52 /  60  40  20   6
GREENVILLE    70  55  74  51 /  60  17  11   9
GREENWOOD     71  56  73  51 /  60  26  18  10

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KJAN 021332
AFDJAN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
832 AM CDT MON MAY 2 2016

.UPDATE...

CONVECTIVE TRENDS ARE DOWNWARD EARLY THIS MORNING AND HAVE CUT BACK
ON POPS FOR TODAY. STILL EXPECT SHOWERS/TSTMS TO REDEVELOP LATER
THIS AFTERNOON PER VARIOUS HIGH-RES GUIDANCE AND HAVE KEPT HIGHER
POPS FOR MAINLY ALONG/SE OF THE NATCHEZ TRACE CORRIDOR.

IN TERMS OF SEVERE WEATHER...FIRST LOOK AT THE MORNING RAOBS REVEALS
FAIRLY STEEP LAPSE RATES AND FORECAST DEEP LAYER FLOW THIS AFTERNOON
COMBINED WITH MODEST MOISTURE CONVERGENCE WOULD BE SUPPORTIVE OF MULTICELL
TSTMS/LINE SEGMENTS WITH SOME STRONG/MARGINALLY SEVERE INTENSITIES
AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. VEERED AND RELATIVELY WEAK 0-1KM SHEAR
VECTORS SHOULD GENERALLY BE UNSUPPORTIVE OF ANY TORNADO ACTIVITY WITH
MAIN EMPHASIS FOR HAIL/DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. FOR THE HWO
GRAPHIC...WILL SHIFT THE THREAT AREA A LITTLE TO THE EAST TO ACCOUNT
FOR CURRENT SCENARIO AND EXPECT REDEVELOPMENT LATER TODAY. /EC/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 522 AM CDT MON MAY 2 2016/

SHORT TERM...CHALLENGING FOR TODAY...WILL THE BOUNDARY MOVE EAST.
THERE HAS NOT BEEN MUCH FORWARD PROGRESS OVERNIGHT AND THE MODELS
ARE NOT IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE MOVEMENT OR THE AMOUNT OF RAIN
THROUGH TUESDAY AND POSSIBLY EARLY WEDNESDAY. TRIED TO BLEND THE NAM
AND THE HI-RES FOR TODAY AND GO WITH THE GFS/EURO FOR
TOMORROW...BASICALLY PUSHING THE BOUNDARY AND RAIN EAST OF THE AREA.

FOR TODAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WERE REDEVELOPING TO THE WEST.
MODELS SHOW GOOD LAPSE RATES FROM EAST TEXAS TO WEST
MISSISSIPPI...SUPPORTED BY AREA SOUNDINGS. EXPECTING ELEVATED STORMS
TO PRODUCE SOME HAIL AND WIND. THERE WAS WEAK CAP IN PLACE ON THE JAN
SOUNDING AND STORMS HAVE STRUGGLED TO MAINTAIN ONCE THEY MOVE EAST.
HOWEVER...STORMS FIRING ON THE BOUNDARY...WHICH WAS NEAR THE MS
RIVER...WILL INTENSIFY QUICKLY. MOVEMENT WAS VERY SLOWLY...SO HEAVY
RAIN AND LOCALIZED FLOODING MAY BECOME AN ISSUE. WPC HAS A RISK OF
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL TODAY...SO ADDED A LIMITED RISK AREA FOR SEVERE
AND HEAVY RAIN...GENERALLY ALONG AND WEST OF INTERSTATE 55 TO THE HWO
TODAY.

RIGHT NOW IT SEEMS LIKE STORMS WILL BE BETTER OVER NORTHEAST
LOUISIANA AND MAYBE SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS FOR THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO.
THERE WERE SOME BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS...SO ONCE THE SUN COMES
UP...MORE STORMS MAY FIRE AND HOLD TOGETHER THROUGH THE MORNING.
THINKING THE BOUNDARY WILL BE SLOWER...SHIFTED THE BEST POPS ALONG
AND WEST OF I-55 FOR TODAY. WENT WITH MOS POPS AND TEMPS FOR THE REST
OF THE FORECAST PERIOD...WITH RAIN ENDING TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)...
MODELS AND THEIR ENSEMBLES GENERALLY AGREE WITH THE UPPER PATTERN
FOR THE PERIOD. A MID-UPPER CLOSED LOW WILL SPIN ABOUT IN AN UPPER
TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN US...WHILE AN MID-UPPER RIDGE WILL BE
PREVALENT IN THE PLAINS. THIS WILL PUT THE REGION IN NORTHWEST FLOW
ALOFT. A BROAD MID-UPPER CLOSED LOW OVER THE ROCKIES WILL PUSH
EASTWARD. IN RESPONSE AS WE PUSH INTO THE WEEKEND THE MID-UPPER RIDGE
AXIS WILL PUSH INTO THE MS VALLEY OVER THE WEEKEND. THIS WILL PROVIDE
A PERIOD OF DRY WEATHER FOR THE CWA FOR THE PERIOD. CLOUDS WILL
INCREASE ACROSS THE REGION ON SUNDAY AHEAD OF OUR NEXT SYSTEM FOR
NEXT WEEK. COOL NIGHTS AND MILD DAYS WILL BE EXPECTED. LOWS WILL BE
MAINLY IN THE 50S BEFORE WARMING INTO THE LOWER 60S OVER THE WEEKEND.
HIGHS WILL BE IN THE 70S BEFORE WARMING INTO THE LOWER 80S OVER THE
WEEKEND.

OUR NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN WILL BE FOR THE FOLLOWING WEEK AS THE CLOSED
LOW TO THE WEST OPENS UP AND GETS SETTLED INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS.
IT WILL SEND A SERIES OF IMPULSES ACROSS THE REGION FOR MORE
RAIN CHANCES./17/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       76  58  76  53 /  60  40  26  11
MERIDIAN      77  62  77  49 /  60  52  32  13
VICKSBURG     78  57  76  51 /  60  38  14   9
HATTIESBURG   80  65  81  56 /  60  50  33  14
NATCHEZ       78  59  75  52 /  60  40  20   6
GREENVILLE    70  55  74  51 /  60  17  11   9
GREENWOOD     73  56  73  51 /  60  26  18  10

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.

&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KJAN 021332
AFDJAN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
832 AM CDT MON MAY 2 2016

.UPDATE...

CONVECTIVE TRENDS ARE DOWNWARD EARLY THIS MORNING AND HAVE CUT BACK
ON POPS FOR TODAY. STILL EXPECT SHOWERS/TSTMS TO REDEVELOP LATER
THIS AFTERNOON PER VARIOUS HIGH-RES GUIDANCE AND HAVE KEPT HIGHER
POPS FOR MAINLY ALONG/SE OF THE NATCHEZ TRACE CORRIDOR.

IN TERMS OF SEVERE WEATHER...FIRST LOOK AT THE MORNING RAOBS REVEALS
FAIRLY STEEP LAPSE RATES AND FORECAST DEEP LAYER FLOW THIS AFTERNOON
COMBINED WITH MODEST MOISTURE CONVERGENCE WOULD BE SUPPORTIVE OF MULTICELL
TSTMS/LINE SEGMENTS WITH SOME STRONG/MARGINALLY SEVERE INTENSITIES
AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. VEERED AND RELATIVELY WEAK 0-1KM SHEAR
VECTORS SHOULD GENERALLY BE UNSUPPORTIVE OF ANY TORNADO ACTIVITY WITH
MAIN EMPHASIS FOR HAIL/DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. FOR THE HWO
GRAPHIC...WILL SHIFT THE THREAT AREA A LITTLE TO THE EAST TO ACCOUNT
FOR CURRENT SCENARIO AND EXPECT REDEVELOPMENT LATER TODAY. /EC/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 522 AM CDT MON MAY 2 2016/

SHORT TERM...CHALLENGING FOR TODAY...WILL THE BOUNDARY MOVE EAST.
THERE HAS NOT BEEN MUCH FORWARD PROGRESS OVERNIGHT AND THE MODELS
ARE NOT IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE MOVEMENT OR THE AMOUNT OF RAIN
THROUGH TUESDAY AND POSSIBLY EARLY WEDNESDAY. TRIED TO BLEND THE NAM
AND THE HI-RES FOR TODAY AND GO WITH THE GFS/EURO FOR
TOMORROW...BASICALLY PUSHING THE BOUNDARY AND RAIN EAST OF THE AREA.

FOR TODAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WERE REDEVELOPING TO THE WEST.
MODELS SHOW GOOD LAPSE RATES FROM EAST TEXAS TO WEST
MISSISSIPPI...SUPPORTED BY AREA SOUNDINGS. EXPECTING ELEVATED STORMS
TO PRODUCE SOME HAIL AND WIND. THERE WAS WEAK CAP IN PLACE ON THE JAN
SOUNDING AND STORMS HAVE STRUGGLED TO MAINTAIN ONCE THEY MOVE EAST.
HOWEVER...STORMS FIRING ON THE BOUNDARY...WHICH WAS NEAR THE MS
RIVER...WILL INTENSIFY QUICKLY. MOVEMENT WAS VERY SLOWLY...SO HEAVY
RAIN AND LOCALIZED FLOODING MAY BECOME AN ISSUE. WPC HAS A RISK OF
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL TODAY...SO ADDED A LIMITED RISK AREA FOR SEVERE
AND HEAVY RAIN...GENERALLY ALONG AND WEST OF INTERSTATE 55 TO THE HWO
TODAY.

RIGHT NOW IT SEEMS LIKE STORMS WILL BE BETTER OVER NORTHEAST
LOUISIANA AND MAYBE SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS FOR THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO.
THERE WERE SOME BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS...SO ONCE THE SUN COMES
UP...MORE STORMS MAY FIRE AND HOLD TOGETHER THROUGH THE MORNING.
THINKING THE BOUNDARY WILL BE SLOWER...SHIFTED THE BEST POPS ALONG
AND WEST OF I-55 FOR TODAY. WENT WITH MOS POPS AND TEMPS FOR THE REST
OF THE FORECAST PERIOD...WITH RAIN ENDING TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)...
MODELS AND THEIR ENSEMBLES GENERALLY AGREE WITH THE UPPER PATTERN
FOR THE PERIOD. A MID-UPPER CLOSED LOW WILL SPIN ABOUT IN AN UPPER
TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN US...WHILE AN MID-UPPER RIDGE WILL BE
PREVALENT IN THE PLAINS. THIS WILL PUT THE REGION IN NORTHWEST FLOW
ALOFT. A BROAD MID-UPPER CLOSED LOW OVER THE ROCKIES WILL PUSH
EASTWARD. IN RESPONSE AS WE PUSH INTO THE WEEKEND THE MID-UPPER RIDGE
AXIS WILL PUSH INTO THE MS VALLEY OVER THE WEEKEND. THIS WILL PROVIDE
A PERIOD OF DRY WEATHER FOR THE CWA FOR THE PERIOD. CLOUDS WILL
INCREASE ACROSS THE REGION ON SUNDAY AHEAD OF OUR NEXT SYSTEM FOR
NEXT WEEK. COOL NIGHTS AND MILD DAYS WILL BE EXPECTED. LOWS WILL BE
MAINLY IN THE 50S BEFORE WARMING INTO THE LOWER 60S OVER THE WEEKEND.
HIGHS WILL BE IN THE 70S BEFORE WARMING INTO THE LOWER 80S OVER THE
WEEKEND.

OUR NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN WILL BE FOR THE FOLLOWING WEEK AS THE CLOSED
LOW TO THE WEST OPENS UP AND GETS SETTLED INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS.
IT WILL SEND A SERIES OF IMPULSES ACROSS THE REGION FOR MORE
RAIN CHANCES./17/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       76  58  76  53 /  60  40  26  11
MERIDIAN      77  62  77  49 /  60  52  32  13
VICKSBURG     78  57  76  51 /  60  38  14   9
HATTIESBURG   80  65  81  56 /  60  50  33  14
NATCHEZ       78  59  75  52 /  60  40  20   6
GREENVILLE    70  55  74  51 /  60  17  11   9
GREENWOOD     73  56  73  51 /  60  26  18  10

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.

&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KJAN 021022
AFDJAN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
522 AM CDT MON MAY 2 2016

.SHORT TERM...CHALLENGING FOR TODAY...WILL THE BOUNDARY MOVE EAST.
THERE HAS NOT BEEN MUCH FORWARD PROGRESS OVERNIGHT AND THE MODELS
ARE NOT IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE MOVEMENT OR THE AMOUNT OF RAIN
THROUGH TUESDAY AND POSSIBLY EARLY WEDNESDAY. TRIED TO BLEND THE NAM
AND THE HI-RES FOR TODAY AND GO WITH THE GFS/EURO FOR
TOMORROW...BASICALLY PUSHING THE BOUNDARY AND RAIN EAST OF THE AREA.

FOR TODAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WERE REDEVELOPING TO THE WEST.
MODELS SHOW GOOD LAPSE RATES FROM EAST TEXAS TO WEST
MISSISSIPPI...SUPPORTED BY AREA SOUNDINGS. EXPECTING ELEVATED STORMS
TO PRODUCE SOME HAIL AND WIND. THERE WAS WEAK CAP IN PLACE ON THE JAN
SOUNDING AND STORMS HAVE STRUGGLED TO MAINTAIN ONCE THEY MOVE EAST.
HOWEVER...STORMS FIRING ON THE BOUNDARY...WHICH WAS NEAR THE MS
RIVER...WILL INTENSIFY QUICKLY. MOVEMENT WAS VERY SLOWLY...SO HEAVY
RAIN AND LOCALIZED FLOODING MAY BECOME AN ISSUE. WPC HAS A RISK OF
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL TODAY...SO ADDED A LIMITED RISK AREA FOR SEVERE
AND HEAVY RAIN...GENERALLY ALONG AND WEST OF INTERSTATE 55 TO THE HWO
TODAY.

RIGHT NOW IT SEEMS LIKE STORMS WILL BE BETTER OVER NORTHEAST
LOUISIANA AND MAYBE SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS FOR THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO.
THERE WERE SOME BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS...SO ONCE THE SUN COMES
UP...MORE STORMS MAY FIRE AND HOLD TOGETHER THROUGH THE MORNING.
THINKING THE BOUNDARY WILL BE SLOWER...SHIFTED THE BEST POPS ALONG
AND WEST OF I-55 FOR TODAY. WENT WITH MOS POPS AND TEMPS FOR THE REST
OF THE FORECAST PERIOD...WITH RAIN ENDING TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)...
MODELS AND THEIR ENSEMBLES GENERALLY AGREE WITH THE UPPER PATTERN
FOR THE PERIOD. A MID-UPPER CLOSED LOW WILL SPIN ABOUT IN AN UPPER
TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN US...WHILE AN MID-UPPER RIDGE WILL BE
PREVALENT IN THE PLAINS. THIS WILL PUT THE REGION IN NORTHWEST FLOW
ALOFT. A BROAD MID-UPPER CLOSED LOW OVER THE ROCKIES WILL PUSH
EASTWARD. IN RESPONSE AS WE PUSH INTO THE WEEKEND THE MID-UPPER RIDGE
AXIS WILL PUSH INTO THE MS VALLEY OVER THE WEEKEND. THIS WILL PROVIDE
A PERIOD OF DRY WEATHER FOR THE CWA FOR THE PERIOD. CLOUDS WILL
INCREASE ACROSS THE REGION ON SUNDAY AHEAD OF OUR NEXT SYSTEM FOR
NEXT WEEK. COOL NIGHTS AND MILD DAYS WILL BE EXPECTED. LOWS WILL BE
MAINLY IN THE 50S BEFORE WARMING INTO THE LOWER 60S OVER THE WEEKEND.
HIGHS WILL BE IN THE 70S BEFORE WARMING INTO THE LOWER 80S OVER THE
WEEKEND.

OUR NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN WILL BE FOR THE FOLLOWING WEEK AS THE CLOSED
LOW TO THE WEST OPENS UP AND GETS SETTLED INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS.
IT WILL SEND A SERIES OF IMPULSES ACROSS THE REGION FOR MORE
RAIN CHANCES./17/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       76  58  76  53 /  99  59  26  11
MERIDIAN      77  62  77  49 /  73  59  32  13
VICKSBURG     78  57  76  51 /  98  54  14   9
HATTIESBURG   80  65  81  56 /  70  56  33  14
NATCHEZ       78  59  75  52 /  98  59  20   6
GREENVILLE    70  55  74  51 /  97  24  11   9
GREENWOOD     73  56  73  51 /  98  31  18  10

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

7/17




000
FXUS64 KJAN 021022
AFDJAN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
522 AM CDT MON MAY 2 2016

.SHORT TERM...CHALLENGING FOR TODAY...WILL THE BOUNDARY MOVE EAST.
THERE HAS NOT BEEN MUCH FORWARD PROGRESS OVERNIGHT AND THE MODELS
ARE NOT IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE MOVEMENT OR THE AMOUNT OF RAIN
THROUGH TUESDAY AND POSSIBLY EARLY WEDNESDAY. TRIED TO BLEND THE NAM
AND THE HI-RES FOR TODAY AND GO WITH THE GFS/EURO FOR
TOMORROW...BASICALLY PUSHING THE BOUNDARY AND RAIN EAST OF THE AREA.

FOR TODAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WERE REDEVELOPING TO THE WEST.
MODELS SHOW GOOD LAPSE RATES FROM EAST TEXAS TO WEST
MISSISSIPPI...SUPPORTED BY AREA SOUNDINGS. EXPECTING ELEVATED STORMS
TO PRODUCE SOME HAIL AND WIND. THERE WAS WEAK CAP IN PLACE ON THE JAN
SOUNDING AND STORMS HAVE STRUGGLED TO MAINTAIN ONCE THEY MOVE EAST.
HOWEVER...STORMS FIRING ON THE BOUNDARY...WHICH WAS NEAR THE MS
RIVER...WILL INTENSIFY QUICKLY. MOVEMENT WAS VERY SLOWLY...SO HEAVY
RAIN AND LOCALIZED FLOODING MAY BECOME AN ISSUE. WPC HAS A RISK OF
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL TODAY...SO ADDED A LIMITED RISK AREA FOR SEVERE
AND HEAVY RAIN...GENERALLY ALONG AND WEST OF INTERSTATE 55 TO THE HWO
TODAY.

RIGHT NOW IT SEEMS LIKE STORMS WILL BE BETTER OVER NORTHEAST
LOUISIANA AND MAYBE SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS FOR THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO.
THERE WERE SOME BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS...SO ONCE THE SUN COMES
UP...MORE STORMS MAY FIRE AND HOLD TOGETHER THROUGH THE MORNING.
THINKING THE BOUNDARY WILL BE SLOWER...SHIFTED THE BEST POPS ALONG
AND WEST OF I-55 FOR TODAY. WENT WITH MOS POPS AND TEMPS FOR THE REST
OF THE FORECAST PERIOD...WITH RAIN ENDING TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)...
MODELS AND THEIR ENSEMBLES GENERALLY AGREE WITH THE UPPER PATTERN
FOR THE PERIOD. A MID-UPPER CLOSED LOW WILL SPIN ABOUT IN AN UPPER
TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN US...WHILE AN MID-UPPER RIDGE WILL BE
PREVALENT IN THE PLAINS. THIS WILL PUT THE REGION IN NORTHWEST FLOW
ALOFT. A BROAD MID-UPPER CLOSED LOW OVER THE ROCKIES WILL PUSH
EASTWARD. IN RESPONSE AS WE PUSH INTO THE WEEKEND THE MID-UPPER RIDGE
AXIS WILL PUSH INTO THE MS VALLEY OVER THE WEEKEND. THIS WILL PROVIDE
A PERIOD OF DRY WEATHER FOR THE CWA FOR THE PERIOD. CLOUDS WILL
INCREASE ACROSS THE REGION ON SUNDAY AHEAD OF OUR NEXT SYSTEM FOR
NEXT WEEK. COOL NIGHTS AND MILD DAYS WILL BE EXPECTED. LOWS WILL BE
MAINLY IN THE 50S BEFORE WARMING INTO THE LOWER 60S OVER THE WEEKEND.
HIGHS WILL BE IN THE 70S BEFORE WARMING INTO THE LOWER 80S OVER THE
WEEKEND.

OUR NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN WILL BE FOR THE FOLLOWING WEEK AS THE CLOSED
LOW TO THE WEST OPENS UP AND GETS SETTLED INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS.
IT WILL SEND A SERIES OF IMPULSES ACROSS THE REGION FOR MORE
RAIN CHANCES./17/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       76  58  76  53 /  99  59  26  11
MERIDIAN      77  62  77  49 /  73  59  32  13
VICKSBURG     78  57  76  51 /  98  54  14   9
HATTIESBURG   80  65  81  56 /  70  56  33  14
NATCHEZ       78  59  75  52 /  98  59  20   6
GREENVILLE    70  55  74  51 /  97  24  11   9
GREENWOOD     73  56  73  51 /  98  31  18  10

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

7/17




000
FXUS64 KJAN 020253 AAA
AFDJAN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
953 PM CDT SUN MAY 1 2016

.UPDATE...A STALLED FRONT WAS NOTED JUST TO OUR NORTHWEST. SCATTERED
CONVECTION BROKE OUT ALONG THE FRONT EARLIER THIS EVENING AND SPREAD
INTO OUR NORTHWEST MOST ZONES BEFORE DISSIPATING. THE FORECAST WAS
UPDATED TO INCREASE POPS OVER THE WEST THIS EVENING. ADDITIONAL
CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO FIRE ALONG THE BOUNDARY AND SPREAD INTO OUR
CWA AFTER MIDNIGHT. MOST OF THE CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
NORTHWEST OF THE NATCHEZ TRACE TONIGHT BEFORE SPREADING OVER THE
REMAINDER OF OUR CWA. HAVE REDUCED POPS REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT OVER
THE SOUTHEAST HALF. MORNING LOWS WERE INCREASED SEVERAL DEGREES OVER
THE NORTHWEST HALF AS WELL. /22/

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WERE BEING OBSERVED THIS EVENING AREAWIDE
AND WL CONTINUE UNTIL 09Z. AFTER 09Z TSRA ACTIVITY WL BEGIN TO
DEVELOP AND COME IN VCTY OF GLH. ELSEWHERE...MVFR CIGS AND VSBYS WL
BE PSBL UNTIL 14Z. MVFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING DUE TO SCATTERED CONVECTION FROM THE NW AHEAD A COLD
FRONT. RAIN COULD BE HEAVY AT TIMES THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH GUSTY
WINDS WHERE CONVECTION IS OBSERVED. WINDS WILL BECOME NORTHWEST
MONDAY AFTN AND EVNG IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT. /22/19/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 444 PM CDT SUN MAY 1 2016/

DISCUSSION...LEANED HEAVILY ON THE HI-RES MODELS IN THE SHORT TERM.
THEY SEEMED TO HAVE THE BEST HANDLE ON WHAT WAS HAPPENING AROUND THE
CWA. THE BOUNDARY REMAINS TO THE WEST OF THE AREA...WHERE A FEW
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FIRED THIS AFTERNOON. THE ACTIVITY
GENERALLY MISSED US...GENERALLY MOVING NORTHEAST. THERE ALSO SEEMS
TO BE AN INVERTED TROUGH AXIS/BOUNDARY/MOISTURE CONVERGENCE TO THE
OVER CENTRAL/WEST LOUISIANA...WHERE SOME ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND A
FEW THUNDERSTORMS WERE GOING. ACTIVITY WAS GENERALLY DISSIPATING AS
IT MOVED EAST INTO THE CWA...WHERE SOME MID LEVEL DRYING MIXED DOWN
AND AIR WAS A LITTLE MORE STABLE. FORECAST MAY BE TOTALLY OFF FOR THE
REST OF THE DAY...BUT OPTED TO LEAVE SOME CHANCE POPS IN FOR THE
LATE AFTERNOON AND LEAVE RAIN OUT FOR MOST OF THE EVENING. RIGHT NOW
IT LOOKS LIKE THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM/FRONT WILL FINALLY START TO
MOVE EAST EARLY MONDAY. THE NEXT CUT OFF LOW MOVES INTO THE WEST
COAST FORCING THE UPPER TROUGH OVER THE GREAT LAKES TO MOVE EAST. A
FEW LOW LEVEL WAVES MOVE ALONG THE BOUNDARY...SUPPORTING WIDESPREAD
RAIN ACROSS THE AREA FOR MUCH OF THE DAY MONDAY. BROUGHT RAIN BACK
INTO THE NORTHWEST BEFORE DAYBREAK...HI- RES AND NAM BOTH SUGGEST
THERE COULD WIDESPREAD CONVECTION GOING IN THE 9-12Z TIME FRAME. NOT
RULING OUT A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WITH FORCING AVAILABLE ALONG
THE BOUNDARY AND SOME MARGINAL LAPSE RATES AHEAD OF IT. WILL LIKELY
SEE DOWNPOURS OF HEAVY RAIN ALSO...BUT LOOKS LIKE THINGS WILL BE
PROGRESSIVE TOMORROW AND PASSING IN WAVES...SO WIDESPREAD FLASH
FLOODING IS NOT ANTICIPATED. COULD SEE SOME LOCALIZED STREET FLOODING
IN THE POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. THE HWO WAS CLEAR FOR NOW...WITH IMPACTS
LOOKING ISOLATED AT BEST AT THIS POINT.

THE EURO SHOWS SOME SHOWERS LINGERING EARLY TUESDAY...BUT
GENERALLY DRY FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. THE LATEST NAM SUGGESTS
THERE MAY BE SOME CONVECTION WEDNESDAY...WHERE THERE APPEAR TO BE A
SERIES OF UPPER WAVES THAT PASS TO THE EAST OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
LEANED TOWARD THE EURO FOR THE MID AND LONG TERM. LOOKS LIKE RIDGING
IN THE WEST SETS UP AN OMEGA BLOCK...KEEPING THE AREA COOL AND DRY
FOR MUCH OF THE WEEK...EVEN WITH A FEW PASSING WAVES. SHOULD SEE
UNSEASONABLY COOLER VALUES FOR HIGHS AND LOWS BY MID WEEK...RIDGING
WILL ALLOW SOME CANADIAN AIR TO REACH THE ARKLAMISS TUESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. THE WARMING TREND SHOULD DEVELOP BY THE
WEEKEND...MAYBE A LITTLE EARLIER...WITH SOUTHERLY FLOW EXPECTED TO
RETURN. RIGHT NOW IT LOOKS LIKE A NICE WEEK ONCE THE RAIN MOVES OUT
TUESDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       67  77  58  74 /  48  88  39  12
MERIDIAN      66  79  59  75 /  47  84  58  16
VICKSBURG     66  77  56  74 /  69  85  39  11
HATTIESBURG   68  82  63  78 /  42  79  64  22
NATCHEZ       67  78  58  72 /  61  83  39   9
GREENVILLE    65  74  54  72 /  79  84  33  10
GREENWOOD     66  75  54  72 /  73  86  40  10

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

22/07/28




000
FXUS64 KJAN 012144
AFDJAN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
444 PM CDT SUN MAY 1 2016

.DISCUSSION...LEANED HEAVILY ON THE HI-RES MODELS IN THE SHORT TERM.
THEY SEEMED TO HAVE THE BEST HANDLE ON WHAT WAS HAPPENING AROUND THE
CWA. THE BOUNDARY REMAINS TO THE WEST OF THE AREA...WHERE A FEW
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FIRED THIS AFTERNOON. THE ACTIVITY
GENERALLY MISSED US...GENERALLY MOVING NORTHEAST. THERE ALSO SEEMS
TO BE AN INVERTED TROUGH AXIS/BOUNDARY/MOISTURE CONVERGENCE TO THE
OVER CENTRAL/WEST LOUISIANA...WHERE SOME ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND A
FEW THUNDERSTORMS WERE GOING. ACTIVITY WAS GENERALLY DISSIPATING AS
IT MOVED EAST INTO THE CWA...WHERE SOME MID LEVEL DRYING MIXED DOWN
AND AIR WAS A LITTLE MORE STABLE. FORECAST MAY BE TOTALLY OFF FOR THE
REST OF THE DAY...BUT OPTED TO LEAVE SOME CHANCE POPS IN FOR THE
LATE AFTERNOON AND LEAVE RAIN OUT FOR MOST OF THE EVENING. RIGHT NOW
IT LOOKS LIKE THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM/FRONT WILL FINALLY START TO
MOVE EAST EARLY MONDAY. THE NEXT CUT OFF LOW MOVES INTO THE WEST
COAST FORCING THE UPPER TROUGH OVER THE GREAT LAKES TO MOVE EAST. A
FEW LOW LEVEL WAVES MOVE ALONG THE BOUNDARY...SUPPORTING WIDESPREAD
RAIN ACROSS THE AREA FOR MUCH OF THE DAY MONDAY. BROUGHT RAIN BACK
INTO THE NORTHWEST BEFORE DAYBREAK...HI- RES AND NAM BOTH SUGGEST
THERE COULD WIDESPREAD CONVECTION GOING IN THE 9-12Z TIME FRAME. NOT
RULING OUT A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WITH FORCING AVAILABLE ALONG
THE BOUNDARY AND SOME MARGINAL LAPSE RATES AHEAD OF IT. WILL LIKELY
SEE DOWNPOURS OF HEAVY RAIN ALSO...BUT LOOKS LIKE THINGS WILL BE
PROGRESSIVE TOMORROW AND PASSING IN WAVES...SO WIDESPREAD FLASH
FLOODING IS NOT ANTICIPATED. COULD SEE SOME LOCALIZED STREET FLOODING
IN THE POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. THE HWO WAS CLEAR FOR NOW...WITH IMPACTS
LOOKING ISOLATED AT BEST AT THIS POINT.

THE EURO SHOWS SOME SHOWERS LINGERING EARLY TUESDAY...BUT
GENERALLY DRY FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. THE LATEST NAM SUGGESTS
THERE MAY BE SOME CONVECTION WEDNESDAY...WHERE THERE APPEAR TO BE A
SERIES OF UPPER WAVES THAT PASS TO THE EAST OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
LEANED TOWARD THE EURO FOR THE MID AND LONG TERM. LOOKS LIKE RIDGING
IN THE WEST SETS UP AN OMEGA BLOCK...KEEPING THE AREA COOL AND DRY
FOR MUCH OF THE WEEK...EVEN WITH A FEW PASSING WAVES. SHOULD SEE
UNSEASONABLY COOLER VALUES FOR HIGHS AND LOWS BY MID WEEK...RIDGING
WILL ALLOW SOME CANADIAN AIR TO REACH THE ARKLAMISS TUESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. THE WARMING TREND SHOULD DEVELOP BY THE
WEEKEND...MAYBE A LITTLE EARLIER...WITH SOUTHERLY FLOW EXPECTED TO
RETURN. RIGHT NOW IT LOOKS LIKE A NICE WEEK ONCE THE RAIN MOVES OUT
TUESDAY.


&&

.AVIATION...FLIGHT CATEGORIES WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO BOUNCE FROM
VFR TO AT LEAST MVFR STATUS THROUGH MONDAY MORNING DUE TO VARYING
CEILINGS HEIGHTS AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES FROM SCATTERED CONVECTION.
SOME IFR CEILINGS ARE POSSIBLE AT SITES AFTER MIDNIGHT AND INTO
EARLY MONDAY MORNING DUE TO LOW STRATUS.  RAIN COULD BE HEAVY AT
TIMES THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH GUSTS WINDS POSSIBLE AS WELL AT
SITES WHERE CONVECTION IS OBSERVED. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL SUBSIDE TO
AROUND 5 KNOTS TONIGHT...BUT WILL BECOME MORE NORTHWEST THROUGH THE
DAY MONDAY AS A COLD FRONT SHIFTS EAST THROUGH THE REGION. /19/


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       63  77  58  74 /  60  88  39  12
MERIDIAN      63  79  59  75 /  63  84  58  16
VICKSBURG     64  77  56  74 /  77  85  39  11
HATTIESBURG   65  82  63  78 /  41  79  64  22
NATCHEZ       65  78  58  72 /  64  83  39   9
GREENVILLE    64  74  54  72 /  78  84  33  10
GREENWOOD     66  75  54  72 /  79  86  40  10

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

07/19




000
FXUS64 KJAN 011619 AAA
AFDJAN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1119 AM CDT SUN MAY 1 2016

.DISCUSSION...TWEAKED THE HOURLY VALUES...BUT NO BIG CHANGES TO THE
ACTUAL FORECAST. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHEAST
ACROSS THE AREA. EXPECTING SOUTHERLY FLOW TO HELP BOOST TEMPERATURES
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...EVEN WITH A BRIEF DROP WITH RAIN. MODELS
CONTINUE TO SUGGEST THERE MAY BE A WAKE LOW MOVING THROUGH THE AREA
TODAY FROM THE SOUTHWEST. WOULD EXPECT TO SEE SOME SIGNS OF
DEVELOPMENT AT THIS POINT...BUT NO BIG PRESSURE FALLS SO FAR. A FEW
STORMS THIS MORNING HAVE PEAKED...BUT STILL NOT ANTICIPATING ANY
WIDESPREAD SEVERE FOR THE DAY. WILL MAINTAIN THE RISK FOR HEAVY RAIN
AND LOCALIZED FLOODING WITH STORMS PRODUCING SOME HEAVY DOWNPOURS.
LOOKS LIKE THE BOUNDARY REMAINS OFF TO THE WEST AND MAY REMAIN LIKE
THE MODELS SUGGEST AND ALLOW THINGS TO CLEAR OUT BY THIS EVENING
BEFORE REDEVELOPING TOMORROW MORNING.

&&

.AVIATION...MVFR CIGS WILL PERSIST THROUGH LATE MORNING ACROSS THE
AREA. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT NEARLY
EVERYWHERE BUT GLH/GWO FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS. THUNDERSTORMS WERE
EXPECTED TO SPREAD INTO GWO AROUND NOON AND MAYBE GLH...BEFORE
TAPERING OFF ACROSS THE AREA IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. CIGS AND VISBYS
MAY BRIEFLY DROP TO MVFR/IFR RANGE IN HEAVIER SHRA. STRATUS AND MAYBE
SOME FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE AFTER MIDNIGHT THROUGH MID-MORNING
MONDAY...THEN THE RAIN RETURNS.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       80  65  75  59 /  98  53  88  43
MERIDIAN      81  68  77  61 /  86  34  84  57
VICKSBURG     81  67  73  59 /  88  58  85  37
HATTIESBURG   79  71  78  64 / 100  34  79  52
NATCHEZ       78  66  74  60 / 100  53  83  41
GREENVILLE    82  66  70  57 /  45  60  84  18
GREENWOOD     81  64  71  56 /  52  47  86  33

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

7




000
FXUS64 KJAN 010905
AFDJAN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
405 AM CDT SUN MAY 1 2016

.DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)..."WET" WILL REMAIN THE MAIN
THEME THROUGH THE SHORT TERM AS THE CWA REMAINS IN A BROAD REGION OF
UPPER DIVERGENCE, PROVIDING CONTINUED OPPORTUNITIES FOR ROUNDS OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THIS DIVERGENCE WILL RESULT FROM BEING
SITUATED BETWEEN THE NORTHERN STREAM OF THE JET (EXTENDING FROM THE
PLAINS THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY) AND THE SUBTROPICAL JET (EXTENDING
ALONG THE GULF COAST). MEANWHILE, A SURFACE FRONT IS NOW POSITIONED
FROM EAST TX INTO THE MID MS VALLEY AND IS MAKING VERY SLOW PROGRESS
TOWARD THE AREA.

FOR TODAY, OUR FOCUS IS ON A CONVECTIVE CLUSTER DEVELOPING ACROSS SW
LOUISIANA. THROUGH THIS MORNING, THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD
EAST/NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA,
GRADUALLY DEVELOPING EASTWARD THROUGH THE DAY. MORE ISOLATED/
SCATTERED CONVECTION IS ANTICIPATED FARTHER NORTH. THIS WILL CONTINUE
A LIMITED POTENTIAL FOR LOCALIZED FLOODING, AND MENTION OF THIS WILL
BE MAINTAINED IN THE HWO FOR AN AREA LOOSELY MATCHING UP WITH WPC`S
SLIGHT RISK FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL. THERE IS SOME LIMITED POTENTIAL
FOR STRONG/SEVERE STORMS, BUT WITH DEVELOPMENT TAKING PLACE SO EARLY
IN THE DAY, INSTABILITY WILL LIKELY BE LIMITED. THIS ALONG WITH WEAK
FORCING SHOULD PRECLUDE A MORE WIDESPREAD THREAT. WITH CONSIDERABLE
CLOUD COVER/PRECIP EXPECTED DURING MUCH OF THE DAY ACROSS THAT AREA,
HIGH TEMP GUIDANCE WAS UNDERCUT.

MUCH LIKE YESTERDAY, A BIT OF A LULL IS ANTICIPATED THIS EVENING.
THEN AS A NEW SHORTWAVE SWINGS THROUGH THE MID SOUTH AND MID MS
VALLEY, IT IS EXPECTED TO SPARK NEW DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE FRONT LATE
TONIGHT THROUGH THE DAYTIME MONDAY, WITH WIDESPREAD COVERAGE EXPECTED
ON MONDAY. SCATTERED CONVECTION WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE MONDAY NIGHT AS
THE FRONT MAKES SLOW PROGRESS SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE AREA. /DL/

LONG TERM (TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...THE ACTIVE STORMY PERIOD THAT
WE HAVE BEEN IN WILL FINALLY COME TO AN END ON TUESDAY. MODELS ARE IN
GENERAL AGREEMENT THAT THE FRONT THAT HAS BEEN STALLED TO OUR WEST
WILL FINALLY MAKE ITS WAY THROUGH THE ARKLAMISS REGION TUESDAY. THE
GFS IS A LITTLE FASTER THAN THE ECMWF AND CANADIAN WHICH BOTH KEEP
THE FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE AREA TUESDAY. THEY BOTH SHOW SHOWERS/
STORMS SOUTH OF THE FRONT STARTING IN THE MORNING AND SLOWLY MOVING
OUT BY THE AFTERNOON AND HAVE CONTINUED WITH THIS SOLUTION. RAIN AND
STORMS SHOULD CLEAR QUICKLY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND THE UPPER
TROUGH WILL SWING ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE EVENING...EFFECTIVELY
CLEARING OUT THE AREA OF ANY STORMS AND ALLOWING COOLER DRIER AIR TO
FILTER IN.

THE REGION WILL REMAIN UNDER MAINLY NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT THROUGH THE
WEEKEND AS WE SIT BETWEEN UPPER RIDGING TO THE WEST AND AN UPPER LOW
ACROSS THE NORTHEAST STATES. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR VERY NICE WEATHER
THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL
RETURN TO NEAR SEASONAL NORMALS WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S AND LOWS IN
THE 50S. THE UPPER RIDGE LOOKS TO SHIFT EAST FOR THE WEEKEND WHICH
MAY INCREASE TEMPERATURES SOME BUT OVERALL...THE WEATHER LOOKS RATHER
NICE FOR EARLY MAY. /28/

&&

.AVIATION...MVFR CIGS HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA AND
WILL PERSIST THROUGH MID MORNING ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA, BEFORE
LIFTING TO VFR. SHRA/TSRA WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY, ESPECIALLY
AT SITES SOUTH AND EAST OF A LINE FROM HEZ TO JAN TO GTR, AS A FRONT
REMAINS STALLED ACROSS THE REGION. CIGS AND VISBYS MAY BRIEFLY DROP
TO MVFR/IFR RANGE IN HEAVIER SHRA, BUT THESE CONDITIONS SHOULD NOT
PERSIST FOR AN EXCESSIVE AMOUNT OF TIME. ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT OF
STRATUS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
/DL/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       80  65  75  59 / 100  53  88  43
MERIDIAN      81  68  77  61 /  80  34  84  57
VICKSBURG     81  67  73  59 /  91  58  85  37
HATTIESBURG   79  71  78  64 /  85  34  79  52
NATCHEZ       78  66  74  60 / 100  53  83  41
GREENVILLE    82  66  70  57 /  45  60  84  18
GREENWOOD     81  64  71  56 /  52  47  86  33

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

DL/28




000
FXUS64 KJAN 010308 AAA
AFDJAN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1008 PM CDT SAT APR 30 2016

.UPDATE...OUR AREA HAS BEEN CLEARED OUT IN THE WAKE OF TODAY`S
CONVECTION. WE STILL HAVE SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT BUT WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY/RAP ANALYSIS HAS NO DISCERNIBLE SHORTWAVE IMMEDIATELY
UPSTREAM OF OUR CWA AND PLENTY OF MID LEVEL DRY AIR STREAMING
OVERHEAD. LATEST HI-RES MODELS HAVE BACKED OFF ON THE AMOUNT OF
REDEVELOPMENT OVER NIGHT BUT STILL INSIST ON SOME DEVELOPMENT
TOWARD MORNING SO HAVE LOWERED POPS UNTIL DURING THE DAY SUNDAY.
TEMPERATURES HAVE BEEN RAIN COOLED BELOW FORECAST LOWS SO MIN
TEMPERATURES WERE ADJUSTED AS WELL. /22/

&&

.AVIATION...VERY LITTLE CLOUD COVER WAS NOTED OVER THE TAF SITES AT
03Z AND VFR CONDITIONS WERE BEING OBSERVED AREAWIDE. HI-RES MODELS
STILL SHOW ISOLD TO SCT SHRA/TSRA DEVELOPMENT BY 09Z BUT CONFIDENCE
IS LOW UNTIL AFTER 15Z. MVFR CIGS AND VSBYS ARE PSBL FROM 09Z TO 14Z
WITH IMPROVING CONDITIONS BY 15Z AWAY FROM TSRA ACTIVITY. /22


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 359 PM CDT SAT APRIL 30 2016/

SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)...
LATEST SATELLITE ANALYSIS...SHOWED AN UPPER TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN
CONUS...WHICH WAS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW TO MIDLEVEL CLOSED LOW OVER
SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA. IT WAS SENDING SHORTWAVES INTO THE SOUTHERN STREAM
INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY IN SOUTHWEST FLOW. AREA RADARS WERE PICKING
UP THE CONVECTION MOVING THROUGH THE CWA FROM THE WEST. WE WERE
STILL TRACKING OUR WAKE LOW MOVING ACROSS THE REGION NEAR THE BACK
END OF THE RAINS BRINGING SOME BRIEF GUSTY WINDS TO THE CWA. VISIBLE
IMAGERY SHOWED THAT THE RAINS HAD TAPERED OFF WEST OF I-55
FOR NOW. ON THE SURFACE A COLD FRONT WAS APPROACHING FROM EAST TEXAS
WITH AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW OVER THE MO.

FOR THIS EVENING EXPECT A DECREASE IN RAIN COVERAGE COMING IN FROM
THE WEST...BUT EXPECT ANOTHER DISTURBANCE TO COME ACROSS THE REGION
LATER TONIGHT WHICH WILL INCREASE OUR CHANCES OF CONVECTION AFTER
MIDNIGHT...BUT AM NOT EXPECTING ANY SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL
OVERNIGHT. THUS WILL DROP THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH OVER THE CWA...EVEN
THOUGH WPC HAS A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL ACROSS THE SOUTH
HALF GOING THROUGH TONIGHT.  AS FAR AS THE SEVERE RISK IS CONCERN
CURRENT CONDITIONS HAS DOWNPLAYED OUR SEVERE RISK SOME INTO THIS
EVENING AS THE CONVECTION MOVES EAST ACROSS THE REGION. IT LOOKS
LIKE THE BEST INSTABILITY WILL STAY SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 20. SO WILL
KEEP OUR RISK OF LIMITED SEVERE EAST OF I-55 WITH THE PRIMARY
RISKS OF DAMAGING WINDS AND QUARTER SIZED HAIL. WILL KEEP THE
PRIMARY RISKS OF QUARTER SIZED HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS GOING
UNTIL 00Z. IT WILL BE ANOTHER MILD NIGHT WITH LOWS IN THE MIDDLE TO
UPPER 60S.

FOR SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT...EXPECT SEVERAL MORE ROUNDS OF
CONVECTION CROSSING THE CWA AS THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT BECOMES
STATIONARY NORTHWEST OF THE REGION. THIS WILL BE DUE TO A SERIES
OF DISTURBANCES CROSSING THE REGION. WPC WILL CONTINUE A SLIGHT RISK
OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL ACROSS THE SOUTH. NOT SEEING MUCH IN THE WAY
OF FORCING TO GO WITH OUR INSTABILITY FOR THE PERIOD. SO CONFIDENCE
IS NOT HIGH ENOUGH TO WARRANT ANY SEVERE RISK FOR SUNDAY AS SPC HAS
A MARGINAL RISK FOR THE REGION. WE MAY GET SOME LOCALLY HEAVY
DOWNPOURS WITH PWATS APPROACHING 2 INCHES IN SOME LOCATIONS. HIGHS
WILL IN THE LOWER 80S AND LOWS WILL DIP INTO THE LOWER TO UPPER 60S.

FOR MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT...THE COLD FRONT WILL FINALLY PUSH
THROUGH THE REGION ON MONDAY NIGHT AS WE GET SEVERAL MORE ROUNDS OF
CONVECTION. INSTABILITY WILL DECREASE FROM THE NORTHWEST ON MONDAY
NIGHT. WPC WILL CONTINUE ITS SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FOR
PORTIONS OF THE SOUTH AS PWATS WILL BE APPROACHING 2 INCHES ONE
AGAIN FOR LOCALLY HEAVY DOWN POURS. HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER
70S NORTHWEST TO THE LOWER 80S SOUTHEAST. LOWS WILL RANGE FROM THE
MIDDLE 50S NORTHWEST TO THE LOWER 60S SOUTHEAST./17/

LONG TERM (TUESDAY THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND)...THE PERIOD OF ACTIVE
WEATHER IN THE SHORT TERM WILL DIMINISH AS WE MOVE INTO THE LONG
TERM. ON TUESDAY THE COLD FRONT WILL EXIT THE REGION AS WE HAVE SOME
SCATTERED SHOWERS IN ITS WAKE. THE SHOWERS WILL EXIT THE REGION BY
TUESDAY EVENING. MUCH DRIER CONDITIONS SHOULD PREVAIL THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD. WITH A LARGE UPPER LOW SPINNING ACROSS THE
EASTERN HALF OF THE COUNTRY...THIS WILL LEAVE OUR REGION UNDER
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. THIS WOULD SUGGEST COOLER TEMPERATURES AND WE
SHOULD SEE READINGS BACK CLOSER TO SEASONAL NORMALS. BRIEF SHORTWAVE
RIDGING WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA FOR THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEKEND.
OVERALL...SHOULD BE SOME NICE WEATHER FOR THE LATTER PORTIONS OF THE
WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND.17/28

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       66  82  67  77 /  22  55  47  70
MERIDIAN      64  81  65  78 /  22  63  35  63
VICKSBURG     67  83  68  76 /  23  46  53  71
HATTIESBURG   65  82  67  81 /  24  65  30  61
NATCHEZ       67  81  68  76 /  23  64  50  69
GREENVILLE    67  82  65  73 /  23  25  48  67
GREENWOOD     67  82  65  73 /  21  35  46  68

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

22/17/28




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