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000
FXUS64 KJAN 251512
AFDJAN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1010 AM CDT SAT OCT 25 2014

.UPDATE...LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWED THE REGION UNDER THE INFLUENCE
OF A BROAD MEAN RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WITH
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. WARMING ALOFT WILL HELP TEMPS TO REACH HIGHS
IN THE 82-84 RANGE WHICH WILL BE 5-8 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. SKIES WILL BE
CLEAR WITH LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. WILL GET SOME PATCHY STRATOCU
CLOUDS COMING IN FROM THE NORTH. SO WITH THIS IN MIND WILL STAY WITH
CURRENT FORECAST HIGHS./17/

./UPDATE...405 AM CDT SAT OCT 25 2014

.DISCUSSION...

TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...
A LARGE UPPER HIGH IS CENTERED OVER WESTERN TEXAS THIS MORNING WITH
AN EXPANSIVE RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN TWO-THIRDS OF THE CONUS. THIS
WILL SHIFT SLOWLY EASTWARD OVER THE WEEKEND AND CAUSE OUR
TEMPERATURES TO WARM. DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE AS WILL SUNNY
SKIES. PW`S WILL BE ON THE INCREASE THOUGH AS SOME LEFT OVER UPPER
LEVEL MOISTURE MOVES IN FROM THE NORTH. DUE TO THE ABUNDANCE OF
DRYNESS THIS MOISTURE WILL NOT AMOUNT TO ANY WIDESPREAD CLOUD COVER
OR ANYTHING...JUST SOME POSSIBLE HIGH CIRRUS...BEFORE IT FIZZLES OUT.
WINDS WILL BE FROM THE NORTHWEST TODAY AND SHIFT TO A MORE SOUTHERLY
DIRECTION SUNDAY AS THE HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS MORE DIRECTLY OVER OUR
AREA.

THE SHORT-TERM FORECAST IS PRETTY STRAIGHT-FORWARD. HIGHS TODAY WILL
BE IN THE LOW TO MID 80S FROM EAST TO WEST RESPECTIVELY WITH THE
LOCATIONS ACHIEVING HIGHER TEMPS IN CLOSER PROXIMITY TO THE UPPER
HIGH. LOWS WILL ABOVE NORMAL AS WELL...IN THE MID 50S. MUCH OF THE
SAME FOR SUNDAY. TEMPS WILL BE WIDESPREAD IN THE MID 80S AND THEN
LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S GOING INTO MONDAY. NORMAL TEMPS THIS
TIME OF YEAR INCLUDE HIGHS IN MID 70S WITH LOWS NEAR 50. /10/

MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...LOW AMPLITUDE TROF OVER THE FRONT RANGE OF
THE ROCKIES AND ITS ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL BE MOVING ACROSS THE
MS VALLEY AT THE BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD. THE CWA WILL BE UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF MID LEVEL SW FLOW AND LOW LEVEL SOUTHERLY FLOW WITH HIGH
PRESSURE CENTERED ALONG THE EASTERN SEA BOARD.

MAJORITY OF ENERGY WITH THIS SYSTEM LOOKS TO PULL ACROSS THE
MIDDLE/UPPER MS VALLEY...BUT TRAILING END OF COLD FRONT DOES LOOK AS
THOUGH IT WILL APPROACH THE AREA TUESDAY. AS IT DOES SO...THE DEEP
LAYERED SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO MOISTEN THE ATMOSPHERE WITH
PW VALUES APPROACHING 1.5 INCHES OVER FAR NORTHERN PORTIONS AHEAD OF
THE BOUNDARY.

GFS/ECMWF AGREE THAT BOUNDARY WILL DRIFT THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA
TUESDAY NIGHT/WEDNESDAY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...
BUT THEY DIFFER FROM HERE FORWARD. ECMWF WANTS TO RAPIDLY MOVE THE
PRECIP OUT WITH THE PASSAGE OF A WEAK SHORTWAVE THAT SEEMINGLY COMES
FROM NOWHERE. THE GFS IS SLOWER WITH ONE MORE DAY OF CONVECTION
ALONG WASHING OUT BOUNDARY FOR THURSDAY.

PATTERN WILL AMPLIFY OVER THE CONUS FOR FRIDAY AS LARGE SYSTEM DIGS
OVER THE OH VALLEY WHILE MID LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE HIGH
PLAINS. MID/UPPER LEVEL CONFLUENCE BETWEEN THESE FEATURES WILL ALLOW
A LARGE SURFACE ANTICYCLONE TO BUILD SOUTH TOWARD THE AREA GIVING
THE AREA A RETURN OF COOL/DRY AIR./26/

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THIS WEEKEND. PATCHY AREAS
OF LATE NIGHT/EARLY MORNING MVFR/IFR CATEGORY FOG CAN BE EXPECTED.
/EC/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       82  53  85  57 /   0   0   0   0
MERIDIAN      80  51  86  54 /   0   0   0   0
VICKSBURG     83  52  87  55 /   0   0   0   0
HATTIESBURG   83  52  88  57 /   0   0   0   0
NATCHEZ       81  54  84  58 /   0   0   0   0
GREENVILLE    84  58  87  58 /   0   0   0   0
GREENWOOD     82  56  86  59 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

17/EC/10/26









000
FXUS64 KJAN 250905
AFDJAN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
405 AM CDT SAT OCT 25 2014

.DISCUSSION...

SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...
A LARGE UPPER HIGH IS CENTERED OVER WESTERN TEXAS THIS MORNING WITH
AN EXPANSIVE RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN TWO-THIRDS OF THE CONUS. THIS
WILL SHIFT SLOWLY EASTWARD OVER THE WEEKEND AND CAUSE OUR
TEMPERATURES TO WARM. DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE AS WILL SUNNY
SKIES. PW`S WILL BE ON THE INCREASE THOUGH AS SOME LEFT OVER UPPER
LEVEL MOISTURE MOVES IN FROM THE NORTH. DUE TO THE ABUNDANCE OF
DRYNESS THIS MOISTURE WILL NOT AMOUNT TO ANY WIDESPREAD CLOUD COVER
OR ANYTHING...JUST SOME POSSIBLE HIGH CIRRUS...BEFORE IT FIZZLES OUT.
WINDS WILL BE FROM THE NORTHWEST TODAY AND SHIFT TO A MORE SOUTHERLY
DIRECTION SUNDAY AS THE HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS MORE DIRECTLY OVER OUR
AREA.

THE SHORT-TERM FORECAST IS PRETTY STRAIGHT-FORWARD. HIGHS TODAY WILL
BE IN THE LOW TO MID 80S FROM EAST TO WEST RESPECTIVELY WITH THE
LOCATIONS ACHIEVING HIGHER TEMPS IN CLOSER PROXIMITY TO THE UPPER
HIGH. LOWS WILL ABOVE NORMAL AS WELL...IN THE MID 50S. MUCH OF THE
SAME FOR SUNDAY. TEMPS WILL BE WIDESPREAD IN THE MID 80S AND THEN
LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S GOING INTO MONDAY. NORMAL TEMPS THIS
TIME OF YEAR INCLUDE HIGHS IN MID 70S WITH LOWS NEAR 50. /10/

MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...LOW AMPLITUDE TROF OVER THE FRONT RANGE OF
THE ROCKIES AND ITS ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL BE MOVING ACROSS THE
MS VALLEY AT THE BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD. THE CWA WILL BE UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF MID LEVEL SW FLOW AND LOW LEVEL SOUTHERLY FLOW WITH HIGH
PRESSURE CENTERED ALONG THE EASTERN SEA BOARD.

MAJORITY OF ENERGY WITH THIS SYSTEM LOOKS TO PULL ACROSS THE
MIDDLE/UPPER MS VALLEY...BUT TRAILING END OF COLD FRONT DOES LOOK AS
THOUGH IT WILL APPROACH THE AREA TUESDAY. AS IT DOES SO...THE DEEP
LAYERED SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO MOISTEN THE ATMOSPHERE WITH
PW VALUES APPROACHING 1.5 INCHES OVER FAR NORTHERN PORTIONS AHEAD OF
THE BOUNDARY.

GFS/ECMWF AGREE THAT BOUNDARY WILL DRIFT THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA
TUESDAY NIGHT/WEDNESDAY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...
BUT THEY DIFFER FROM HERE FORWARD. ECMWF WANTS TO RAPIDLY MOVE THE
PRECIP OUT WITH THE PASSAGE OF A WEAK SHORTWAVE THAT SEEMINGLY COMES
FROM NOWHERE. THE GFS IS SLOWER WITH ONE MORE DAY OF CONVECTION
ALONG WASHING OUT BOUNDARY FOR THURSDAY.

PATTERN WILL AMPLIFY OVER THE CONUS FOR FRIDAY AS LARGE SYSTEM DIGS
OVER THE OH VALLEY WHILE MID LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE HIGH
PLAINS. MID/UPPER LEVEL CONFLUENCE BETWEEN THESE FEATURES WILL ALLOW
A LARGE SURFACE ANTICYCLONE TO BUILD SOUTH TOWARD THE AREA GIVING
THE AREA A RETURN OF COOL/DRY AIR./26/

&&

.AVIATION...
SOME SHALLOW GROUND FOG IS POSSIBLE THIS MORNING AT TAF SITES
KJAN/KMEI/KHBG/KGWO AND MAY CAUSE JUST A BRIEF DROP TO MVFR STATUS.
WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE WEST-NORTHWEST TODAY INCREASING TO 5-7 KTS
THIS AFTERNOON. CLEAR SKIES. VFR CONDITIONS THRU THE REST OF THE
PERIOD. /10/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       82  53  85  57 /   0   0   0   0
MERIDIAN      80  51  86  54 /   0   0   0   0
VICKSBURG     83  52  87  55 /   0   0   0   0
HATTIESBURG   83  52  88  57 /   0   0   0   0
NATCHEZ       81  54  84  58 /   0   0   0   0
GREENVILLE    84  58  87  58 /   0   0   0   0
GREENWOOD     82  56  86  59 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

10/26






000
FXUS64 KJAN 250220 AAA
AFDJAN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
915 PM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014

.UPDATE...JUST A FEW HIGHER CIRRUS CLOUDS MOVING ACROSS THE REGION
OVERNIGHT AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE SLIDES ACROSS
THE REGION. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE...WORKING WITH THE
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES TO PROMOTE VERY GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING.
PREVIOUSLY-FORECASTED LOWS MAINLY IN THE 40S LOOK ON TRACK AND NO
ADJUSTMENTS MADE THERE. COULD BE SOME PATCHY AND SHALLOW FOG TOWARDS
DAYBREAK BUT NO WIDESPREAD OF DENSE FOG ANTICIPATED. /BB/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 348 PM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...

TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

A LONGWAVE RIDGE CURRENTLY CENTERED OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS WILL
SHIFT SLOWLY EAST AS WE GO INTO THE WEEKEND. THIS WILL ENSURE THAT
DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE ARKLAMISS...AND IT WILL ALSO
RESULT IN WARMER DAYTIME TEMPERATURES. TONIGHT WILL SEE TEMPERATURES
DIP WELL INTO THE 40S UNDER CLEAR SKIES...BUT TEMPERATURES WILL
REBOUND QUICKLY SATURDAY WITH HIGHS REACH THE LOWER 80S AT MOST
LOCATIONS. LOWS SATURDAY NIGHT WILL BE SLIGHTLY MILDER. /EC/

SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...AT THE BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD...
GFS/ECMWF AGREE THAT A BROAD MID LEVEL LONGWAVE RIDGE WILL EXTEND
ACROSS THE CENTER OF THE COUNTRY WITH HIGH PRESSURE DOMINANT AT THE
SURFACE. BOTH ARE ALSO INDICATING A SYSTEM DIGGING OVER THE PAC NW.

MOVING INTO MONDAY...MID LEVEL RIDGE AXIS SHIFTS TO THE EASTERN US
AND PUTS A WEAK SW FLOW REGIME BACK OVER OUR NECK OF THE WOODS. LOW
LEVEL SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL GET UNDERWAY...AS WELL...AS WE GET ON THE
BACK SIDE OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE.

MODELS CONTINUE IN AGREEMENT MOVING INTO TUESDAY WITH MID LEVEL WAVE
MOVING INTO THE MS VALLEY WITH ITS ATTENDANT COLD FRONT MOVING INTO
NW AR/OK. WHILE 80S WILL HAVE ALREADY BEEN REACHED FOR AFTERNOON
MAXES SUNDAY/MONDAY AND SHOULD BE AGAIN TUESDAY...DEWPOINTS NOW IN
THE 60S WILL BE SUFFICIENT TO ALLOW FOR AIRMASS SHOWERS TO START
BREAKING OUT ACROSS THE CWA...ESPECIALLY IN THE NORTH CLOSER TO THE
BOUNDAY AND TO THE SOUTH CLOSER TO THE GULF MOISTURE SOURCE.

MID LEVEL WAVE PULLS INTO NEW ENGLAND BY WEDNESDAY AND ALLOWS THE
BOUNDARY TO HANGUP OVER THE NORTH AS IT BECOMES INCREASINGLY
ORIENTED PARALLEL TO THE FLOW. AT THIS POINT THE MODELS DIVERGE ON
SOLUTIONS. WHILE BOTH MODELS AGREE THAT BOUNDARY WILL SUCCUMB TO
FRONTOLYSIS...THEY DISAGREE ON THE STRENGTH OF THE NEXT SYSTEM
PULLING OUT OF THE ROCKIES FOR THURSDAY. THE ECMWF WANTS TO AMPLIFY
THE FLOW AND BRING A RATHER POTENT SYSTEM RAPIDLY THROUGH THE AREA
THURSDAY/THURDAY NIGHT. WHILE THE GFS DOES AMPLIFY THE PATTERN
SOMEWHAT...ITS SHORTWAVE AND ATTENDANT COLD FRONT ARE MUCH WEAKER
THAN THE ECMWF AND THUS MAINTAINS A WARMER REGIME OVER THE CWA. WILL
HAVE TO WATCH THIS AS IT GETS CLOSER TO THE NEAR TERM. /26/

&&

.AVIATION...LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS ANTICIPATED TONIGHT ACROSS THE
REGION WITH SOME VERY BRIEF AND PATCHY SHALLOW FOG POSSIBLE AT SITES
SUCH AS KJAN/KMEI/KHBG/KGWO (ALTHOUGH CONDITIONS SHOULD STILL BE
MAINLY VFR). WINDS TOMORROW WILL RANGE FROM WEST TO NORTHWEST AND
WILL BE GENERALLY LIGHT (EXCEPT AROUND 10 MPH AT TIMES AROUND GLH).
CLEAR SKIES AND VFR CONDITIONS ON TAP IN WIDESPREAD FASHION
TOMORROW. /BB/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       47  83  52  84 /   0   0   0   0
MERIDIAN      44  81  50  85 /   0   0   0   0
VICKSBURG     43  84  49  85 /   0   0   0   0
HATTIESBURG   46  82  51  86 /   0   0   0   0
NATCHEZ       45  81  51  83 /   0   0   0   0
GREENVILLE    49  84  55  86 /   0   0   0   0
GREENWOOD     48  84  54  85 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

BB/EC/26






000
FXUS64 KJAN 242048
AFDJAN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
348 PM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...

TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

A LONGWAVE RIDGE CURRENTLY CENTERED OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS WILL
SHIFT SLOWLY EAST AS WE GO INTO THE WEEKEND. THIS WILL ENSURE THAT
DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE ARKLAMISS...AND IT WILL ALSO
RESULT IN WARMER DAYTIME TEMPERATURES. TONIGHT WILL SEE TEMPERATURES
DIP WELL INTO THE 40S UNDER CLEAR SKIES...BUT TEMPERATURES WILL
REBOUND QUICKLY SATURDAY WITH HIGHS REACH THE LOWER 80S AT MOST
LOCATIONS. LOWS SATURDAY NIGHT WILL BE SLIGHTLY MILDER. /EC/

SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...AT THE BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD...
GFS/ECMWF AGREE THAT A BROAD MID LEVEL LONGWAVE RIDGE WILL EXTEND
ACROSS THE CENTER OF THE COUNTRY WITH HIGH PRESSURE DOMINANT AT THE
SURFACE. BOTH ARE ALSO INDICATING A SYSTEM DIGGING OVER THE PAC NW.

MOVING INTO MONDAY...MID LEVEL RIDGE AXIS SHIFTS TO THE EASTERN US
AND PUTS A WEAK SW FLOW REGIME BACK OVER OUR NECK OF THE WOODS. LOW
LEVEL SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL GET UNDERWAY...AS WELL...AS WE GET ON THE
BACK SIDE OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE.

MODELS CONTINUE IN AGREEMENT MOVING INTO TUESDAY WITH MID LEVEL WAVE
MOVING INTO THE MS VALLEY WITH ITS ATTENDANT COLD FRONT MOVING INTO
NW AR/OK. WHILE 80S WILL HAVE ALREADY BEEN REACHED FOR AFTERNOON
MAXES SUNDAY/MONDAY AND SHOULD BE AGAIN TUESDAY...DEWPOINTS NOW IN
THE 60S WILL BE SUFFICIENT TO ALLOW FOR AIRMASS SHOWERS TO START
BREAKING OUT ACROSS THE CWA...ESPECIALLY IN THE NORTH CLOSER TO THE
BOUNDAY AND TO THE SOUTH CLOSER TO THE GULF MOISTURE SOURCE.

MID LEVEL WAVE PULLS INTO NEW ENGLAND BY WEDNESDAY AND ALLOWS THE
BOUNDARY TO HANGUP OVER THE NORTH AS IT BECOMES INCREASINGLY
ORIENTED PARALLEL TO THE FLOW. AT THIS POINT THE MODELS DIVERGE ON
SOLUTIONS. WHILE BOTH MODELS AGREE THAT BOUNDARY WILL SUCCUMB TO
FRONTOLYSIS...THEY DISAGREE ON THE STRENGTH OF THE NEXT SYSTEM
PULLING OUT OF THE ROCKIES FOR THURSDAY. THE ECMWF WANTS TO AMPLIFY
THE FLOW AND BRING A RATHER POTENT SYSTEM RAPIDLY THROUGH THE AREA
THURSDAY/THURDAY NIGHT. WHILE THE GFS DOES AMPLIFY THE PATTERN
SOMEWHAT...ITS SHORTWAVE AND ATTENDANT COLD FRONT ARE MUCH WEAKER
THAN THE ECMWF AND THUS MAINTAINS A WARMER REGIME OVER THE CWA. WILL
HAVE TO WATCH THIS AS IT GETS CLOSER TO THE NEAR TERM. /26/

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO PREVAIL AT ALL TAF SITES OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. SOME PATCHY GROUND FOG MAY START TO AFFECT SOME SITES
AROUND 09Z UNTIL 14Z BEFORE GOING BACK TO VFR CONDITIONS. WINDS WILL
BE ON THE LIGHT SIDE. /17/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       47  83  52  84 /   0   0   0   0
MERIDIAN      44  81  50  85 /   0   0   0   0
VICKSBURG     43  84  49  85 /   0   0   0   0
HATTIESBURG   46  82  51  86 /   0   0   0   0
NATCHEZ       45  81  51  83 /   0   0   0   0
GREENVILLE    49  84  55  86 /   0   0   0   0
GREENWOOD     48  84  54  85 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.

&&

$$

EC/26/17/








000
FXUS64 KJAN 241532
AFDJAN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1032 AM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014

.UPDATE...

THE FORECAST IS ON TRACK WITH SKIES HAVING CLEARED OUT. NO
ADJUSTMENTS TO TEMPERATURES WERE NECESSARY IN THIS UPDATE. /EC/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 355 AM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...HIGH CLOUDS ASSOCIATED
WITH AN EASTWARD EXITING UPPER TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO FOLLOW SUIT
THIS MORNING IN EXITING THE REGION.  HIGH PRESSURE AT BOTH THE
SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER OVER THE FORECAST AREA
THROUGH AT LEAST THE NEXT 48 HOURS...RESULTING IN CLEAR SKIES AND
OVERALL QUIET AND NICE CONDITIONS.

HIGHS TODAY WILL WARM INTO THE MIDDLE 70S AND THEN INTO THE UPPER
70S AND LOWER 80S ON SATURDAY.  LOWS TONIGHT WILL REMAIN COOL AS
THEY RANGE FROM THE MID 40S TO AROUND 50.  THEN SATURDAY
NIGHT...THEY`LL BE A FEW DEGREES WARMER AS THEY FALL INTO THE LOW
AND MIDDLE 50S. /19/

SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...AT THE BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD...
GFS/ECMWF AGREE THAT A BROAD MID LEVEL LONGWAVE RIDGE WILL EXTEND
ACROSS THE CENTER OF THE COUNTRY WITH HIGH PRESSURE DOMINANT AT THE
SURFACE. BOTH ARE ALSO INDICATING A SYSTEM DIGGING OVER THE PAC NW.

MOVING INTO MONDAY...MID LEVEL RIDGE AXIS SHIFTS TO THE EASTERN US
AND PUTS A WEAK SW FLOW REGIME BACK OVER OUR NECK OF THE WOODS. LOW
LEVEL SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL GET UNDERWAY...AS WELL...AS WE GET ON THE
BACK SIDE OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE.

MODELS CONTINUE IN AGREEMENT MOVING INTO TUESDAY WITH MID LEVEL WAVE
MOVING INTO THE MS VALLEY WITH ITS ATTENDANT COLD FRONT MOVING INTO
NW AR/OK. WHILE 80S WILL HAVE ALREADY BEEN REACHED FOR AFTERNOON
MAXES SUNDAY/MONDAY AND SHOULD BE AGAIN TUESDAY...DEWPOINTS NOW IN
THE 60S WILL BE SUFFICIENT TO ALLOW FOR AIRMASS SHOWERS TO START
BREAKING OUT ACROSS THE CWA...ESPECIALLY IN THE NORTH CLOSER TO THE
BOUNDAY AND TO THE SOUTH CLOSER TO THE GULF MOISTURE SOURCE.

MID LEVEL WAVE PULLS INTO NEW ENGLAND BY WEDNESDAY AND ALLOWS THE
BOUNDARY TO HANGUP OVER THE NORTH AS IT BECOMES INCREASINGLY
ORIENTED PARALLEL TO THE FLOW. AT THIS POINT THE MODELS DIVERGE ON
SOLUTIONS. WHILE BOTH MODELS AGREE THAT BOUNDARY WILL SUCCUMB TO
FRONTOLYSIS...THEY DISAGREE ON THE STRENGTH OF THE NEXT SYSTEM
PULLING OUT OF THE ROCKIES FOR THURSDAY. THE ECMWF WANTS TO AMPLIFY
THE FLOW AND BRING A RATHER POTENT SYSTEM RAPIDLY THROUGH THE AREA
THURSDAY/THURDAY NIGHT. WHILE THE GFS DOES AMPLIFY THE PATTERN
SOMEWHAT...ITS SHORTWAVE AND ATTENDANT COLD FRONT ARE MUCH WEAKER
THAN THE ECMWF AND THUS MAINTAINS A WARMER REGIME OVER THE CWA. WILL
HAVE TO WATCH THIS AS IT GETS CLOSER TO THE NEAR TERM. /26/

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO PREVAIL AT ALL TAF SITES OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. WINDS TODAY WILL BE FROM THE NORTH AROUND 5 KNOTS.
THESE WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TO LIGHT TO CALM THIS EVENING...AND
REMAIN SO OVERNIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING. /19/

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.

&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KJAN 240855
AFDJAN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
355 AM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...HIGH CLOUDS ASSOCIATED
WITH AN EASTWARD EXITING UPPER TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO FOLLOW SUIT
THIS MORNING IN EXITING THE REGION.  HIGH PRESSURE AT BOTH THE
SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER OVER THE FORECAST AREA
THROUGH AT LEAST THE NEXT 48 HOURS...RESULTING IN CLEAR SKIES AND
OVERALL QUIET AND NICE CONDITIONS.

HIGHS TODAY WILL WARM INTO THE MIDDLE 70S AND THEN INTO THE UPPER
70S AND LOWER 80S ON SATURDAY.  LOWS TONIGHT WILL REMAIN COOL AS
THEY RANGE FROM THE MID 40S TO AROUND 50.  THEN SATURDAY
NIGHT...THEY`LL BE A FEW DEGREES WARMER AS THEY FALL INTO THE LOW
AND MIDDLE 50S. /19/

SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...AT THE BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD...
GFS/ECMWF AGREE THAT A BROAD MID LEVEL LONGWAVE RIDGE WILL EXTEND
ACROSS THE CENTER OF THE COUNTRY WITH HIGH PRESSURE DOMINANT AT THE
SURFACE. BOTH ARE ALSO INDICATING A SYSTEM DIGGING OVER THE PAC NW.

MOVING INTO MONDAY...MID LEVEL RIDGE AXIS SHIFTS TO THE EASTERN US
AND PUTS A WEAK SW FLOW REGIME BACK OVER OUR NECK OF THE WOODS. LOW
LEVEL SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL GET UNDERWAY...AS WELL...AS WE GET ON THE
BACK SIDE OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE.

MODELS CONTINUE IN AGREEMENT MOVING INTO TUESDAY WITH MID LEVEL WAVE
MOVING INTO THE MS VALLEY WITH ITS ATTENDANT COLD FRONT MOVING INTO
NW AR/OK. WHILE 80S WILL HAVE ALREADY BEEN REACHED FOR AFTERNOON
MAXES SUNDAY/MONDAY AND SHOULD BE AGAIN TUESDAY...DEWPOINTS NOW IN
THE 60S WILL BE SUFFICIENT TO ALLOW FOR AIRMASS SHOWERS TO START
BREAKING OUT ACROSS THE CWA...ESPECIALLY IN THE NORTH CLOSER TO THE
BOUNDAY AND TO THE SOUTH CLOSER TO THE GULF MOISTURE SOURCE.

MID LEVEL WAVE PULLS INTO NEW ENGLAND BY WEDNESDAY AND ALLOWS THE
BOUNDARY TO HANGUP OVER THE NORTH AS IT BECOMES INCREASINGLY
ORIENTED PARALLEL TO THE FLOW. AT THIS POINT THE MODELS DIVERGE ON
SOLUTIONS. WHILE BOTH MODELS AGREE THAT BOUNDARY WILL SUCCUMB TO
FRONTOLYSIS...THEY DISAGREE ON THE STRENGTH OF THE NEXT SYSTEM
PULLING OUT OF THE ROCKIES FOR THURSDAY. THE ECMWF WANTS TO AMPLIFY
THE FLOW AND BRING A RATHER POTENT SYSTEM RAPIDLY THROUGH THE AREA
THURSDAY/THURDAY NIGHT. WHILE THE GFS DOES AMPLIFY THE PATTERN
SOMEWHAT...ITS SHORTWAVE AND ATTENDANT COLD FRONT ARE MUCH WEAKER
THAN THE ECMWF AND THUS MAINTAINS A WARMER REGIME OVER THE CWA. WILL
HAVE TO WATCH THIS AS IT GETS CLOSER TO THE NEAR TERM. /26/

&&

.AVIATION...HIGH CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO EXIT EAST MISSISSIPPI THIS
MORNING.  OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO PREVAIL AT ALL
TAF SITES OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  WINDS TODAY WILL BE FROM THE
NORTH AROUND 5 KNOTS.  THESE WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TO LIGHT TO CALM
THIS EVENING...AND REMAIN SO OVERNIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING. /19/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       75  45  82  54 /   0   0   0   0
MERIDIAN      76  43  82  51 /   0   0   0   0
VICKSBURG     76  42  83  51 /   0   0   0   0
HATTIESBURG   77  45  82  52 /   0   0   0   0
NATCHEZ       75  46  83  54 /   0   0   0   0
GREENVILLE    75  50  83  57 /   0   0   0   0
GREENWOOD     74  48  82  56 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

19/26






000
FXUS64 KJAN 240138 AAA
AFDJAN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
834 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

.UPDATE...UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE PASSING ACROSS THE REGION THIS
EVENING AT THE BACK END OF EVOLVING NORTHWEST FLOW REGIME OVER THE
EASTERN CONUS WILL PROVIDE US LITTLE IMPACT DESPITE SOME PASSING
OVERNIGHT CLOUDS. CLOUDS HELPED KEEP TEMPS COOLS THIS AFTERNOON AND
A WINDOW OF MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES LATER TONIGHT AT MOST SPOTS WILL
ALLOW FOR DECENT RADIATIONAL COOLING AND TEMPS WELL DOWN IN THE 40S.
WINDS WILL PROBABLY NOT GO CALM ENOUGH TO ALLOW FOR OPTIMAL
RADIATIONAL COOLING AND/OR PATCHY GROUND FOG. UPDATES TO THE
PREVIOUS FORECAST WERE MINOR. /BB/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 246 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)...DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE SHORT TERM PERIOD WITH GRADUALLY MODERATING
TEMPERATURES.

HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS CONTINUE TO STREAM ACROSS THE AREA AS AN UPPER
TROUGH SWINGS THROUGH THE REGION OVERNIGHT. RADAR HAS BEEN DETECTING
SOME ECHOES AROUND 10 KFT AND HIGHER. GIVEN THE DEARTH OF MOISTURE IN
THE LOW AND MID LEVELS...IT IS UNLIKELY THAT MEASURABLE RAIN WILL
OCCUR AS THIS PRECIP STRUGGLES TO MAKE IT TO THE SURFACE.
NEVERTHELESS...CLOUDS WILL BE THICK ENOUGH IN SOME AREAS TO
INTERRUPT VIEWING OF THE PARTIAL SOLAR ECLIPSE.

HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND UPPER RIDGING WILL BUILD EASTWARD INTO THE
AREA WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN AT THE SURFACE. IN SPITE OF
CONTINUED LIGHT NORTHERLY...AND THEN WESTERLY...SURFACE FLOW
TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE WITH HIGHS RETURNING TO ABOVE NORMAL BY
SATURDAY. /DL/

LONG TERM (SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)...AT THE BEGINNING OF THE
PERIOD...MID LEVEL PATTERN WILL BE DOMINATED BY A LONGWAVE RIDGE
EXTENDING FROM TX NORTHWARD THROUGH THE EASTERN PLAINS AND INTO
CANADA. DRY NW FLOW CONTINUES OVER THE CWA. MEANWHILE...A PATTERN
CHANGING SYSTEM WILL BE DIGGING INTO THE PAC NW AND THEN RAPIDLY PULL
INTO THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

THE SYSTEM CONTINUE TO DEEPEN AS IT PULLS INTO THE WESTERN HIGH
PLAINS WHILE ITS ATTENDANT COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE MID MS VALLEY.
DOWN IN OUR NECK OF THE WOODS...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE
EAST AS MID LEVEL SW FLOW GETS UNDERWAY MONDAY. THIS WARM AIR
ADVECTION REGIME WILL SLOWLY BEGIN INCREASING MOISTURE...BUT IT WILL
TAKE SOME TIME GIVEN THE DRY AIR IN PLACE (PW/S < 0.75 IN).

GFS/ECMWF INDICATE THAT MOISTURE AVAILABILITY WILL BE SUFFICIENT
ENOUGH (PW/S 1-1.5 IN) BY TUESDAY TO COMBINE WITH THE GOOD
ISENTROPIC LIFT FOR SHOWERS TO BREAK OUT BY THE AFTERNOON.
INSTABILITY LOOKS PRETTY MEAGER...THUS JUST EXPECTING SHOWERS
INITIALLY.

MOVING INTO WEDNESDAY...ECMWF LOOKS SLIGHTLY DEEPER AND MORE
PROGRESSIVE WITH THE SYSTEM AS IT PULLS INTO THE MS/OH VALLEYS.
BOUNDARY LOOKS TO BE SLOWING IN THE GFS AS IT BECOMES ORIENTED
PARALLEL TO THE MID LEVEL SW FLOW. WHILE DIFFERENCES EXIST IN THE
GFS/ECMWF ON THE EVOLUTION OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY AT THE END OF THE
PERIOD...IT SEEMS PRUDENT TO CONTINUE RAIN CHANCES AS PATTERN
SUGGESTS THAT ISENTROPIC ASCENT WILL CONTINUE OVERTOP OF THE
BOUNDARY. LAPSE RATES STILL LOOK SCANTY SO WILL CONTINUE WITH JUST
SHOWERS FOR NOW. /26/

&&

.AVIATION...MID AND HIGH CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH
THIS EVENING UNTIL THE DISTURBANCE SHIFTS EAST. OTHERWISE....VFR
CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT ALL SITES THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. NORTHERLY
WINDS THIS AFTERNOON OF 3-6 KNOTS AND WILL SUBSIDE TO NEAR CALM THIS
EVENING...AND REMAIN SO OVERNIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. /22/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       45  75  49  82 /   1   0   0   0
MERIDIAN      42  76  42  80 /   0   0   0   0
VICKSBURG     41  77  45  83 /   2   0   0   0
HATTIESBURG   44  77  45  81 /   0   0   0   0
NATCHEZ       44  74  49  80 /   1   0   0   0
GREENVILLE    45  75  51  84 /   3   0   0   0
GREENWOOD     43  75  48  82 /   2   0   0   0

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

BB/DL/26






000
FXUS64 KJAN 231946
AFDJAN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
246 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

.DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)...DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE SHORT TERM PERIOD WITH GRADUALLY MODERATING TEMPERATURES.

HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS CONTINUE TO STREAM ACROSS THE AREA AS AN UPPER
TROUGH SWINGS THROUGH THE REGION OVERNIGHT. RADAR HAS BEEN DETECTING
SOME ECHOES AROUND 10 KFT AND HIGHER. GIVEN THE DEARTH OF MOISTURE IN
THE LOW AND MID LEVELS...IT IS UNLIKELY THAT MEASURABLE RAIN WILL
OCCUR AS THIS PRECIP STRUGGLES TO MAKE IT TO THE SURFACE.
NEVERTHELESS...CLOUDS WILL BE THICK ENOUGH IN SOME AREAS TO
INTERRUPT VIEWING OF THE PARTIAL SOLAR ECLIPSE.

HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND UPPER RIDGING WILL BUILD EASTWARD INTO THE
AREA WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN AT THE SURFACE. IN SPITE OF
CONTINUED LIGHT NORTHERLY...AND THEN WESTERLY...SURFACE FLOW
TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE WITH HIGHS RETURNING TO ABOVE NORMAL BY
SATURDAY. /DL/

LONG TERM (SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)...AT THE BEGINNING OF THE
PERIOD...MID LEVEL PATTERN WILL BE DOMINATED BY A LONGWAVE RIDGE
EXTENDING FROM TX NORTHWARD THROUGH THE EASTERN PLAINS AND INTO
CANADA. DRY NW FLOW CONTINUES OVER THE CWA. MEANWHILE...A PATTERN
CHANGING SYSTEM WILL BE DIGGING INTO THE PAC NW AND THEN RAPIDLY PULL
INTO THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

THE SYSTEM CONTINUE TO DEEPEN AS IT PULLS INTO THE WESTERN HIGH
PLAINS WHILE ITS ATTENDANT COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE MID MS VALLEY.
DOWN IN OUR NECK OF THE WOODS...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE
EAST AS MID LEVEL SW FLOW GETS UNDERWAY MONDAY. THIS WARM AIR
ADVECTION REGIME WILL SLOWLY BEGIN INCREASING MOISTURE...BUT IT WILL
TAKE SOME TIME GIVEN THE DRY AIR IN PLACE (PW/S < 0.75 IN).

GFS/ECMWF INDICATE THAT MOISTURE AVAILABILITY WILL BE SUFFICIENT
ENOUGH (PW/S 1-1.5 IN) BY TUESDAY TO COMBINE WITH THE GOOD
ISENTROPIC LIFT FOR SHOWERS TO BREAK OUT BY THE AFTERNOON.
INSTABILITY LOOKS PRETTY MEAGER...THUS JUST EXPECTING SHOWERS
INITIALLY.

MOVING INTO WEDNESDAY...ECMWF LOOKS SLIGHTLY DEEPER AND MORE
PROGRESSIVE WITH THE SYSTEM AS IT PULLS INTO THE MS/OH VALLEYS.
BOUNDARY LOOKS TO BE SLOWING IN THE GFS AS IT BECOMES ORIENTED
PARALLEL TO THE MID LEVEL SW FLOW. WHILE DIFFERENCES EXIST IN THE
GFS/ECMWF ON THE EVOLUTION OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY AT THE END OF THE
PERIOD...IT SEEMS PRUDENT TO CONTINUE RAIN CHANCES AS PATTERN
SUGGESTS THAT ISENTROPIC ASCENT WILL CONTINUE OVERTOP OF THE
BOUNDARY. LAPSE RATES STILL LOOK SCANTY SO WILL CONTINUE WITH JUST
SHOWERS FOR NOW. /26/


&&

.AVIATION...MID AND HIGH CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH
THIS EVENING UNTIL THE DISTURBANCE SHIFTS EAST. OTHERWISE....VFR
CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT ALL SITES THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. NORTHERLY
WINDS THIS AFTERNOON OF 3-6 KNOTS AND WILL SUBSIDE TO NEAR CALM THIS
EVENING...AND REMAIN SO OVERNIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. /22/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       45  75  49  82 /   0   0   0   0
MERIDIAN      40  76  42  80 /   0   0   0   0
VICKSBURG     41  77  45  83 /   0   0   0   0
HATTIESBURG   44  77  45  81 /   0   0   0   0
NATCHEZ       44  74  49  80 /   0   0   0   0
GREENVILLE    45  75  51  84 /   0   0   0   0
GREENWOOD     43  75  48  82 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

DL/22/26





000
FXUS64 KJAN 231946
AFDJAN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
246 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

.DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)...DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE SHORT TERM PERIOD WITH GRADUALLY MODERATING TEMPERATURES.

HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS CONTINUE TO STREAM ACROSS THE AREA AS AN UPPER
TROUGH SWINGS THROUGH THE REGION OVERNIGHT. RADAR HAS BEEN DETECTING
SOME ECHOES AROUND 10 KFT AND HIGHER. GIVEN THE DEARTH OF MOISTURE IN
THE LOW AND MID LEVELS...IT IS UNLIKELY THAT MEASURABLE RAIN WILL
OCCUR AS THIS PRECIP STRUGGLES TO MAKE IT TO THE SURFACE.
NEVERTHELESS...CLOUDS WILL BE THICK ENOUGH IN SOME AREAS TO
INTERRUPT VIEWING OF THE PARTIAL SOLAR ECLIPSE.

HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND UPPER RIDGING WILL BUILD EASTWARD INTO THE
AREA WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN AT THE SURFACE. IN SPITE OF
CONTINUED LIGHT NORTHERLY...AND THEN WESTERLY...SURFACE FLOW
TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE WITH HIGHS RETURNING TO ABOVE NORMAL BY
SATURDAY. /DL/

LONG TERM (SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)...AT THE BEGINNING OF THE
PERIOD...MID LEVEL PATTERN WILL BE DOMINATED BY A LONGWAVE RIDGE
EXTENDING FROM TX NORTHWARD THROUGH THE EASTERN PLAINS AND INTO
CANADA. DRY NW FLOW CONTINUES OVER THE CWA. MEANWHILE...A PATTERN
CHANGING SYSTEM WILL BE DIGGING INTO THE PAC NW AND THEN RAPIDLY PULL
INTO THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

THE SYSTEM CONTINUE TO DEEPEN AS IT PULLS INTO THE WESTERN HIGH
PLAINS WHILE ITS ATTENDANT COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE MID MS VALLEY.
DOWN IN OUR NECK OF THE WOODS...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE
EAST AS MID LEVEL SW FLOW GETS UNDERWAY MONDAY. THIS WARM AIR
ADVECTION REGIME WILL SLOWLY BEGIN INCREASING MOISTURE...BUT IT WILL
TAKE SOME TIME GIVEN THE DRY AIR IN PLACE (PW/S < 0.75 IN).

GFS/ECMWF INDICATE THAT MOISTURE AVAILABILITY WILL BE SUFFICIENT
ENOUGH (PW/S 1-1.5 IN) BY TUESDAY TO COMBINE WITH THE GOOD
ISENTROPIC LIFT FOR SHOWERS TO BREAK OUT BY THE AFTERNOON.
INSTABILITY LOOKS PRETTY MEAGER...THUS JUST EXPECTING SHOWERS
INITIALLY.

MOVING INTO WEDNESDAY...ECMWF LOOKS SLIGHTLY DEEPER AND MORE
PROGRESSIVE WITH THE SYSTEM AS IT PULLS INTO THE MS/OH VALLEYS.
BOUNDARY LOOKS TO BE SLOWING IN THE GFS AS IT BECOMES ORIENTED
PARALLEL TO THE MID LEVEL SW FLOW. WHILE DIFFERENCES EXIST IN THE
GFS/ECMWF ON THE EVOLUTION OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY AT THE END OF THE
PERIOD...IT SEEMS PRUDENT TO CONTINUE RAIN CHANCES AS PATTERN
SUGGESTS THAT ISENTROPIC ASCENT WILL CONTINUE OVERTOP OF THE
BOUNDARY. LAPSE RATES STILL LOOK SCANTY SO WILL CONTINUE WITH JUST
SHOWERS FOR NOW. /26/


&&

.AVIATION...MID AND HIGH CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH
THIS EVENING UNTIL THE DISTURBANCE SHIFTS EAST. OTHERWISE....VFR
CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT ALL SITES THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. NORTHERLY
WINDS THIS AFTERNOON OF 3-6 KNOTS AND WILL SUBSIDE TO NEAR CALM THIS
EVENING...AND REMAIN SO OVERNIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. /22/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       45  75  49  82 /   0   0   0   0
MERIDIAN      40  76  42  80 /   0   0   0   0
VICKSBURG     41  77  45  83 /   0   0   0   0
HATTIESBURG   44  77  45  81 /   0   0   0   0
NATCHEZ       44  74  49  80 /   0   0   0   0
GREENVILLE    45  75  51  84 /   0   0   0   0
GREENWOOD     43  75  48  82 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

DL/22/26





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