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000
FGUS72 KMHX 172012
ESFMHX
NCC013-031-049-055-061-079-095-103-107-117-133-137-147-177-187-
012015-

WINTER/SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
412 PM EDT THU APR 17 2014

...THE SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK CALLS FOR NEAR NORMAL POTENTIAL OF RIVER
FLOODING ACROSS MOST OF THE CAROLINAS THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
APRIL INTO MAY...

HISTORICALLY FOR THE CAROLINAS...THE RIVER FLOOD SEASON BEGINS IN
EARLY TO MID JANUARY...WITH THE NUMBER OF RIVER FLOOD EVENTS
INCREASING THROUGH LATE WINTER WITH A PEAK IN EARLY TO MID
MARCH...ENDING IN LATE APRIL FOR THE REGION.

FOR NORTH CAROLINA...WITH NEAR NORMAL STREAMFLOWS BEING CURRENTLY
OBSERVED AND NEAR NORMAL PRECIPITATION EXPECTED THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF APRIL...THE THREAT FOR RIVER FLOODING FOR THIS TIME
OF YEAR IS NEAR NORMAL. IT IS IMPORTANT TO NOTE THAT THE MONTH OF
APRIL...ESPECIALLY BY LATE APRIL AND EARLY MAY...IS TYPICALLY A
PERIOD WHERE THE NUMBER OF RIVER FLOODS BEGINS TO SUBSIDE ACROSS
THE SOUTHEAST AS NORMAL RAINFALL DECREASES AND EVAPOTRANSPIRATION
INCREASES. THIS IS THE TRANSITION TIME FROM WINTER AND EARLY
SPRING RECHARGE TO LATE SPRING AND SUMMER WARMING
TEMPERATURES...VEGETATION COMING OUT OF DORMANCY AND MORE
CONVECTIVE RAINFALL POTENTIAL.

CURRENT STREAMFLOWS...THE 14-DAY AVERAGE STREAMFLOWS PROVIDED BY THE
USGS AS OF APRIL 16TH ARE RUNNING NEAR NORMAL ACROSS MOST OF THE
CAROLINAS.

PAST PRECIPITATION...PRECIPITATION OVER THE LAST 30 DAYS...BASED ON
SERFC MULTISENSOR PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES...HAS BEEN NEAR NORMAL
ACROSS MOST OF REGION.

RESERVOIRS...MANY RESERVOIRS REMAIN NEAR THEIR TARGET POOLS.

SNOW PACK...NO SNOWPACK AT THIS TIME.

FUTURE PRECIPITATION...THE LATEST MEDIUM RANGE METEOROLOGICAL MODELS
INDICATE A POTENTIAL SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT
FEW DAYS IN THE SOUTHEAST. HOWEVER...THE WEATHER PATTERN AFTER THIS
WEEKEND SHOWS LESSER CHANCES AT ANY SIGNFICANT RAINFALL EVENTS
THROUGH THE END OF THE MONTH. THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER IS ALSO
HIGHLIGHTING BETTER CHANCES FOR NEAR NORMAL PRECIPITATION IN THE
SOUTHEAST IN THE 8 TO 14 DAY PERIOD.

AS FAR AS LONGER TERM PRECIPITATION OUTLOOKS...NEUTRAL ENSO
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
SPRING WITH POTENTIAL WEAK EL NINO CONDITIONS BEGINNING IN THE
SUMMER.  AS A RESULT AND BASED ON THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER
FORECAST...PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR NORMAL ACROSS THE
REGION FOR THE REMAINDER OF APRIL THROUGH MAY. WITH EL NINO
CONDITIONS POSSIBLE THIS SUMMER...THIS MAY LEAD TO HIGHER FLOOD
POTENTIAL AS WELL. SEE CPC WEB PAGE FOR MORE DETAILS.

WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

THE SERFC ISSUES A VARIETY OF PRODUCTS THROUGHOUT THE YEAR TO UPDATE
THE OUTLOOK FOR WATER RESOURCES.  THE SERFC WATER RESOURCES OUTLOOK
IS UPDATED EVERY TWO TO THREE WEEKS.

FOR THE LATEST MULTIMEDIA VERSION OF THE WATER RESOURCES
OUTLOOK...GO TO...
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SERFC AND CLICK ON WATER RESOURCE MENU.

$$







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000
FGUS52 KRAH 171628
RVDRAH
NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088>089-181628-


RIVER AND LAKE SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1228 PM EDT THU APR 17 2014

NO RAIN FELL OVER THE HYDROLOGIC SERVICE AREA DURING THE
PAST 24 HOURS.

BEGINNING FRIDAY NIGHT...A QUARTER TO A HALF OF AN INCH OF
RAIN IS EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY WITH HIGHEST AMOUNTS IN
THE SOUTHEAST.

ALL MAIN STEM RIVERS ARE WITHIN THEIR BANKS AND NO FLOODING
IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

DETAILED RIVER AND PRECIPITATION INFORMATION MAY BE FOUND
ON THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICES ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC
PREDICTION SERVICE WEBSITE - USE LOWER CASE LETTERS.


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS

.B RAH 0417 DH12/HP
:
:                    TOP FLOOD   NORMAL   WATER   OBSERVED    24-HR
:ID      LAKE NAME       POOL     POOL    ELEV.   DAY TIME    CHANGE
HGRN7 : HIGH ROCK       655.2         : / 654.7 : THU 08 AM  -0.1
BADN7 : BADIN LAKE      541.1         : / 540.9 : THU 08 AM   0.9
MTGN7 : TILLERY                 278.2 : / 277.4 : THU 07 AM   0.0
BLFN7 : BLEWETT FALLS           178.1 : / 178.3 : THU 07 AM   0.6
KERV2 : JOHN H. KERR VA 320.0   300.0 : / 301.9 : THU 08 AM   0.0
GASN7 : LAKE GASTON     202     200.0 : / 199.7 : THU 08 AM  -0.0
NHPN7 : EVERETT JORDAN  240.0   216.0 : / 217.1 : THU 08 AM   0.5
NUDN7 : NEUSE FALLS     264.8   251.5 : / 252.5 : THU 08 AM   0.1
.END
:
.B RAH 0417 DC14041712 DH12/HG/DRH+24/HGIFF/DRH+48/HGIFF/
.B1 DRH+72/HGIFF/DRH+96/HGIFF/DRH+120/HGIFF
:
: ID   FORECAST POINT FS  7AM STG  24-HR  DAILY 7AM STAGE FORECASTS
:                    (FT)  (FT)   CHANGE  FRI  SAT  SUN  MON  TUE
:
:  HAW RIVER BASIN...
HAWN7 : HAW RIVER    18 :  6.6 /: -2.2 :  5.1/ 4.3/ 3.8/ 3.7/ 3.7/
BYNN7 : BYNUM        11 :  6.5 /: -1.4 :  5.8/ 5.4/ 5.1/ 4.7/ 4.7/
:  CAPE FEAR RIVER BASIN...
LLLN7 : LILLINGTON   15 :  6.7 /:  1.8 :  5.8/ 4.8/ 4.3/ 3.9/ 3.6/
FAYN7 : FAYETTEVILLE 35 : 18.5 /:  2.7 : 19.5/17.3/15.4/14.3/13.6/
:  FISHING CR ON TAR RIVER BASIN...
EFDN7 : ENFIELD      16 : 13.8 /:  0.5 : 11.9/ 9.0/ 7.5/ 6.4/ 5.7/
:  NEUSE RIVER BASIN...
CLYN7 : CLAYTON      09 :  4.5 /: -1.7 :  4.8/ 5.0/ 4.8/ 4.2/ 3.7/
SMFN7 : SMITHFIELD   15 : 12.1 /: -1.2 : 11.2/11.6/11.5/10.6/ 9.4/
GLDN7 : GOLDSBORO    18 : 12.7 /:  1.2 : 14.0/14.9/13.9/12.8/11.9/
.END
:
:DISCLAIMER: THE ABOVE STAGE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON PREDICTED
:RAINFALL AND ARE SUBJECT TO CHANGE. THE ACTUAL FIGURES WILL
:EITHER BE HIGHER...LOWER...OR CLOSE TO THEM...DEPENDING ON
:THE ACCURACY OF THE FORECASTED RAINFALL.
:
:DATA IN THIS REPORT WERE MADE POSSIBLE COURTESY OF THE U. S.
:GEOLOGICAL SURVEY, THE CORPS OF ENGINEERS, AND OTHER COOPERATORS.
:
.B RAH 0417 DH12/HG
:                              FS   NEAR 7AM  24-HR
:                             (FT)  STG (FT)  CHANGE
:  CAPE FEAR RIVER BASIN...
MONN7 : MONCURE (DEEP RIVER)    9  : / 4.3   :  0.6
:  CRABTREE CREEK BASIN...
EBNN7 : EBENEZER CHURCH ROAD   19  : / 5.8   : -0.4
RLHN7 : GLENWOOD AVENUE        18  : / 6.7   : -0.5
OWFN7 : WAKE FOREST ROAD       13  : / 3.0   : -0.6
ADRN7 : ANDERSON DRIVE         18  : / 4.6   : -0.6
CRBN7 : CAPITOL BLVD           18  : / 2.8   : -0.7
:  ENO RIVER BASIN...
ENON7 : DURHAM                 20  : / 2.8   : -1.1
:  LITTLE RIVER BASIN...
MANN7 : MANCHESTER             18  : /10.6   : -1.1
:  LOWER ROANOKE BASIN...
RRDN7 : ROANOKE RAPIDS          9  : / 8.4   : -0.0
SCON7 : SCOTLAND NECK          28  : /25.4   :  0.5
:  TAR RIVER BASIN...
LOUN7 : LOUISBURG              20  : / 8.9   :  0.2
ROKN7 : ROCKY MOUNT            21  : /12.4   :  1.6
TARN7 : TARBORO                19  : /13.1   :  3.8
:  YADKIN RIVER BASIN...
ENNN7 : ENON                   18  : / 5.5   : -1.8
YADN7 : YADKIN COLLEGE         18  : / 4.0   : -3.2
NRWN7 : NORWOOD                20  : / 4.8   : -4.3
.END


$$




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000
FGUS52 KGSP 171622
RVDGSP
NCC021-045-059-071-087-089-115-159-173-175-SCC007-021-045-077-091-
181622-

DAILY RIVER AND LAKE SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1222 PM EDT THU APR 17 2014

NO RAIN IS FORECASTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS ACROSS WESTERN
CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA.

MAJOR RIVERS ACROSS THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN STEADY OR FALL SLIGHTLY.

.B GSP 0417 DH07/HG/DRH+24/HGIFF
:
:STATION                  FLOOD     7AM     24-HR        7AM
:ID     NAME              STAGE    STAGE    CHG     FORECAST
:                                                     FRI    SAT
:FRENCH BROAD RIVER
AVLN7  :ASHEVILLE          9.5:    2.5/:  -0.36/:    2.30/   2.20
BLAN7  :BLANTYRE          16.0:    8.2/:  -0.98/:    7.80/   7.40
FLCN7  :FLETCHER          13.0:    6.0/:  -0.61/:    5.70/   5.60
MARN7  :MARSHALL           8.0:    2.8/:  -0.32/:    2.50/   2.30
HSPN7  :HOT SPRINGS        9.5:    3.7/:  -0.19/:      NA/     NA
:
:SWANNANOA RIVER
BLTN7  :BILTMORE          10.0:    2.0/:  -0.08/:    2.00/   2.00
:
:TUCKASEGEE RIVER
TKSN7  :BRYSON CITY       10.0:    3.2/:  -0.17/:    3.10/   3.10
:
OCONALUFTEE RIVER
BIRN7  :BIRDTOWN          10.0:    2.1/:  -0.09/:      NA/     NA
:
:PIGEON RIVER
CTPN7  :CANTON            10.0:    2.1/:  -0.10/:    2.10/   2.00
:
:S FORK CATAWBA RIVER
LOWN7  :LOWELL            10.0:    4.1/:  -0.19/:    3.80/   3.70
:
SOUTH YADKIN RIVER
MCKN7  :MOCKSVILLE 7 SW   19.0:    3.4/:  -0.77/:      NA/     NA
:
:BROAD RIVER IN NC
BSPN7  :BOILING SPRINGS   12.0:    2.9/:  -0.71/:    2.80/   2.70
:
:BROAD RIVER IN SC
BBGS1  :BLACKSBURG        16.0:     NA/:    NA/:    4.30/   4.10
:
:SALUDA RIVER
WEPS1  :WEST PELZER       12.0:    5.0/:  -0.40/:      NA/     NA
GSLS1  :GREENVILLE         9.5:    4.1/:  -0.34/:    3.90/   3.80
.END
:
.B GSP 0417 DH07/HP/DRH+24/HPIFF
:SAVANNAH RIVER
:
HRTG1  :HARTWELL DAM     665:  660.87/:  0.04/:    NA/    NA
.END
:
:
SAVANNAH RIVER BASIN LOCAL LAKE INFLOW FORECASTS
:
.B GSP 0417 DH12/QIIFF/DIH6
:
:                         7AM INFLOW IN CFS
 LAKE NAME          THU      FRI      SAT      SUN
:
: LAKE HARTWELL : 6260.00/ 4820.00/ 4200.00/ 3870.00
: LAKE RUSSELL  : 1730.00/ 1250.00/ 1050.00/ 990.00
.END
:
THESE DATA FURNISHED BY COOPERATION OF THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE...U.S.G.S. ...DUKE ENERGY AND GA POWER.

$$




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000
FGUS52 KMHX 171548
RVDMHX
NCZ029-044>047-079>081-090>095-098-103-104-181548-


DAILY RIVER AND LAKE SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY, NC
1148 AM EDT THU APR 17 2014

.B MHX 0417 DC14041711 DH12/HG/DRH+24/HGIFF/DRH+48/HGIFF/DRH+72/HGIFF


:   STATION            FLOOD    8AM    24-HR             8AM
: ID       NAME        STAGE   STAGE   CHANGE         FORECASTS
:                                                FRI     SAT     SUN
:
: NORTH EAST CAPE FEAR RIVER
CHIN7   :CHINQUAPIN     13.0:  7.20 /:  1.25:      M /     M /     M
:
: NEW RIVER
GUMN7   :GUM BRANCH      N/A:  3.33 /: -0.13:      M /     M /     M
:
: NEUSE RIVER
BCKN7   :MAYS STORE      N/A:  4.05 /: -0.63:      M /     M /     M
KINN7   :KINSTON        14.0: 11.25 /:  0.36:  12.00 / 12.60 / 13.10
FTBN7   :FORT BARNWELL  12.5:  8.02 /:  0.31:      M /     M /     M
SWFN7   :STREETS FERRY   4.0:  2.55 /:  0.14:      M /     M /     M
:
: CONTENTNEA CREEK
NAHN7   :SHINE           N/A:  5.19 /: -0.33:      M /     M /     M
HOKN7   :HOOKERTON      13.0:  9.18 /:  0.66:  10.20 / 11.20 / 12.00
:
: TAR RIVER
PGVN7   :GREENVILLE     13.0:  9.27 /:  2.15:  10.60 / 11.70 / 12.50
SIMN7   :SIMPSON        10.0:  7.50 /: -0.06:      M /     M /     M
PAMN7   :WASHINGTON      4.5:  1.78 /:  0.93:      M /     M /     M
:
: TRENT RIVER
TNTN7   :TRENTON        14.0:  4.76 /:  0.28:      M /     M /     M
PLLN7   :POLLOCKSVILLE   5.0:  2.22 /: -0.10:      M /     M /     M
:
: ROANOKE RIVER
OAKN7   :OAK CITY       23.0: 20.04 /:  0.35:      M /     M /     M
HMLN7   :HAMILTON       19.0: 16.82 /:  0.26:      M /     M /     M
WLLN7   :WILLIAMSTON    12.0: 10.85 /:  0.16:  11.00 / 11.00 / 10.90
JAMN7   :JAMESVILLE      N/A:  2.49 /: -0.10:      M /     M /     M
WESN7   :WESTOVER        N/A:  1.17 /: -0.35:      M /     M /     M
:
.END


$$




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000
FGUS52 KILM 171425
RVDILM
NCZ087-096>097-099>100-SCZ017-023>024-032>034-039-046-180225-


DAILY RIVER AND LAKE SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
1025 AM EDT THU APR 17 2014

NO RAINFALL OCCURRED IN THE PREVIOUS 24 HOURS ENDING AT 8 AM.

NO RAINFALL IS EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY 8 AM.

.B ILM 0417 DC1404171023 DH12/HG/DRH+24/HGIFF/DRH+48/HGIFF/DRH+72/HGIFF


:    STATION           FLOOD  8 AM     24-HR            8 AM
: ID        NAME       STAGE  STAGE    CHANGE         FORECASTS
:                                                 FRI    SAT    SUN

LUMBER RIVER
MAXN7  :MAXTON          NA   :  9.81  /:  0.35 :    M /    M /    M
PMBN7  :PEMBROKE        NA   :  6.72  /:  0.00 :    M /    M /    M
LBRN7  :LUMBERTON      13.0  : 10.46  /:  0.17 :10.40 /10.70 /11.10
BRDN7  :BOARDMAN        NA   :  5.80  /: -0.06 :    M /    M /    M

CAPE FEAR RIVER
STPN7  :WILLIAM O HUS  42.0  : 37.43  /:  0.98 :39.90 /38.20 /36.30
ELZN7  :ELIZABETHTOWN  25.0  : 16.00  /:  1.20 :18.80 /18.50 /16.10
CPFN7  :LOCK AND DAM   24.0  : 18.34  /:  0.34 :18.90 /19.30 /19.10

NORTHEAST CAPE FEAR RIVER
BGWN7  :BURGAW         10.0  :  3.27  /:  0.29 :    M /    M /    M

GREAT PEE DEE RIVER
PDES1  :PEE DEE        19.0  : 17.67  /:  1.47 :18.90 /20.10 /20.70

BLACK CREEK
BCRS1  :QUINBY         10.0  :  4.48  /: -0.03 : 5.90 / 6.00 / 5.50

WACCAMAW RIVER
FREN7  :FREELAND        NA   : 10.05  /: -0.32 :    M /    M /    M
LNGS1  :LONGS           NA   :  8.92  /: -0.15 :    M /    M /    M
ACWS1  :ABOVE CONWAY    NA   :  5.44  /: -0.19 :    M /    M /    M
CNWS1  :CONWAY         11.0  :  8.66  /:  0.09 : 8.60 / 8.50 / 8.50

LYNCHES RIVER
EFFS1  :EFFINGHAM      14.0  :  5.52  /: -0.13 :    M /    M /    M

LITTLE PEE DEE RIVER
GALS1  :GALIVANTS FER   9.0  :  7.57  /: -0.11 : 7.60 / 7.60 / 7.70

BLACK RIVER
KINS1  :KINGSTREE      12.0  :  8.17  /: -0.14 : 8.10 / 7.90 / 7.90
.END

RIVER FLOODING IS OCCURRING IN THE WILMINGTON SERVICE AREA.  FOR DETAILS...SEE
OUR FLOOD PRODUCTS...RDUFLWILM OR RDUFLSILM.  INFORMATION IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON
OUR WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/ILM UNDER THE RIVERS/LAKES AHPS LINK.

$$




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000
SRUS42 KILM 171337
RVAILM
SCZ017-023>024-032>034-039-046-NCZ087-090-096>097-099>101-180137-


HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
937 AM EDT THU APR 17 2014

                         FLOOD    8 AM     24 HOUR
RIVER BASIN              STAGE    STAGE    CHANGE

 CAPE FEAR RIVER
WM O HUSKE LOCK AND DAM    42     37.43      0.98
ELIZABETHTOWN              25         M         M
CAPE FEAR LOCK AND DAM     24     18.34      0.34


 NORTHEAST CAPE FEAR RIVER
CHINQUAPIN                 13      7.20      1.25
BURGAW                     10      3.27      0.29


 BLACK RIVER NC
TOMAHAWK 4NE               NA      6.72      1.30


 LUMBER RIVER
MAXTON 3N                  NA      9.81      0.35
PEMBROKE                   NA      6.72      0.00
LUMBERTON                  13     10.46      0.17
LUMBERTON W FIFTH STREET   NA     10.52      0.10
BOARDMAN                   NA      5.80     -0.06


 BIG SHOEHEEL CREEK
5 E LAURINBURG/2 W MAXTON  NA      3.47      0.24


 BLACK CREEK
HARTSVILLE  5W             NA      4.43     -0.07
HARTSVILLE                 NA    157.20      0.00
QUINBY                     10      4.48     -0.03


 GREAT PEE DEE RIVER
ROCKINGHAM 6W              NA      7.41      0.79
BENNETTSVILLE 10SW         NA     73.46      5.91
PEE DEE                    19     17.67      1.47
PEE DEE 4S                 NA     25.13      1.05
BUCKSPORT                  NA         M         M


 LYNCHES RIVER
EFFINGHAM                  14      5.52     -0.13


 LITTLE PEE DEE RIVER
GALIVANTS FERRY             9      7.57     -0.11


 BLACK RIVER SC
KINGSTREE                  12      8.17     -0.14


 WACCAMAW RIVER
FREELAND 1SW               NA     10.05     -0.32
LONGS  2SE                 NA      8.92     -0.15
ABOVE CONWAY               NA      5.44     -0.19
CONWAY                     11      8.66      0.09
BUCKSPORT                  NA     16.87      1.47
PAWLEYS ISLAND             NA      4.20     -0.41

$$
47




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