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000
FXUS65 KVEF 241750 AAA
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
950 AM PST MON NOV 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL ALLOW FOR PLEASANT AND DRY
AUTUMN CONDITIONS THIS WEEK WITH TEMPERATURES RISING FROM NEAR
NORMAL TODAY TO ABOVE NORMAL BY WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN
TO COOL THIS WEEKEND AS A MORE UNSETTLED PATTERN SETS UP BY EARLY
NEXT WEEK.
&&

.UPDATE...SCATTERED HIGH CLOUDS TODAY WITH SOME LOCALLY ENHANCED
NORTH WINDS...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY. ALL WINDS
TODAY ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN UNDER ADVISORY LEVEL. TWEAKED SKY AND
WIND BUT OTHERWISE, THE FORECAST IS ON TRACK. -SALMEN-
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...LIGHT NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS GENERALLY
UNDER 10KTS EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THERE COULD BE A FEW
ISOLATED GUSTS INTO THE LOW-MID TEENS THIS AFTERNOON. OUTSIDE OF
WINDS...NO OPERATIONALLY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER EXPECTED.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...NORTH WINDS 10-20KTS ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY
INCLUDING THE KEED AREA. ELSEWHERE...NORTHERLY WINDS OF 5-15 KTS
EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE DAY...RETURNING TO TYPICAL DIURNAL TRENDS
OVERNIGHT. OUTSIDE OF WINDS...NO OPERATIONALLY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
EXPECTED.
&&

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...226 AM PST...

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A HIGH AMPLITUDE RIDGE
OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO SLIDE INTO THE WESTERN CONUS TODAY
ALLOWING FOR MAINLY QUIET CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION. THERE WILL
STILL BE A FEW AREAS OF BREEZY WINDS...CHIEFLY ALONG THE COLORADO
RIVER VALLEY FROM LAKE MOHAVE TO LAKE HAVASU...BUT THE DOWNWARD
TREND WILL BE APPARENT EVERYWHERE. A WARMING TREND IS ALSO EXPECTED
TO BRING TEMPERATURES FROM NEAR NORMAL TODAY TO A FEW DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL BY WEDNESDAY. FOR LAS VEGAS THIS TRANSLATES TO LOW TO MID
60`S TODAY INCREASING TO CLOSER TO 70 DEGREES BY WEDNESDAY.

.LONG TERM...THANKSGIVING DAY THROUGH SUNDAY...A PATTERN CHANGE IS
ON THE WAY. BUT FIRST...ENJOY A QUIET START TO THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND
AS HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN PLACE JUST WEST OF THE BAJA THANKSGIVING
DAY AND FRIDAY. EXPECT DRY WEATHER WITH TEMPERATURES SEVERAL DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL FOR LATE NOVEMBER. THE PATTERN CHANGE BEGINS FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY AS A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE CROSSES SOUTHERN
CANADA...KNOCKING DOWN OUR RIDGE AND OPENING THE DOOR FOR A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC TO APPROACH THE WEST COAST
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. THIS SYSTEM LOOKS WET...BUT RUN TO RUN MODEL
TRENDS HAVE BEEN SLOWER TO BRING IT INTO THE COAST...SO KEPT THE
HIGHER POPS FOR DAY 8 /MONDAY/. THE MAIN EFFECTS IN THIS FORECAST
PERIOD WILL BE INCREASING CLOUDS AND WINDS ON SUNDAY WITH
TEMPERATURES STARTING TO DROP A BIT IF THE CURRENT MODEL TIMING
HOLDS. IF FURTHER SLOWING OCCURS...IT MAY BE A DAY OR EVEN TWO
LATER. EVEN THOUGH THE TIMING AND DETAILS ARE UNCERTAIN...THE
PROBABILITY OF OCCURRENCE LOOKS HIGH...SO EXPECT A CHANGE TO COOLER
AND WETTER WEATHER EARLY NEXT WEEK.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED. &&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...WOLCOTT
LONG TERM.............MORGAN

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER









000
FXUS65 KVEF 241750 AAA
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
950 AM PST MON NOV 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL ALLOW FOR PLEASANT AND DRY
AUTUMN CONDITIONS THIS WEEK WITH TEMPERATURES RISING FROM NEAR
NORMAL TODAY TO ABOVE NORMAL BY WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN
TO COOL THIS WEEKEND AS A MORE UNSETTLED PATTERN SETS UP BY EARLY
NEXT WEEK.
&&

.UPDATE...SCATTERED HIGH CLOUDS TODAY WITH SOME LOCALLY ENHANCED
NORTH WINDS...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY. ALL WINDS
TODAY ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN UNDER ADVISORY LEVEL. TWEAKED SKY AND
WIND BUT OTHERWISE, THE FORECAST IS ON TRACK. -SALMEN-
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...LIGHT NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS GENERALLY
UNDER 10KTS EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THERE COULD BE A FEW
ISOLATED GUSTS INTO THE LOW-MID TEENS THIS AFTERNOON. OUTSIDE OF
WINDS...NO OPERATIONALLY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER EXPECTED.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...NORTH WINDS 10-20KTS ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY
INCLUDING THE KEED AREA. ELSEWHERE...NORTHERLY WINDS OF 5-15 KTS
EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE DAY...RETURNING TO TYPICAL DIURNAL TRENDS
OVERNIGHT. OUTSIDE OF WINDS...NO OPERATIONALLY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
EXPECTED.
&&

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...226 AM PST...

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A HIGH AMPLITUDE RIDGE
OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO SLIDE INTO THE WESTERN CONUS TODAY
ALLOWING FOR MAINLY QUIET CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION. THERE WILL
STILL BE A FEW AREAS OF BREEZY WINDS...CHIEFLY ALONG THE COLORADO
RIVER VALLEY FROM LAKE MOHAVE TO LAKE HAVASU...BUT THE DOWNWARD
TREND WILL BE APPARENT EVERYWHERE. A WARMING TREND IS ALSO EXPECTED
TO BRING TEMPERATURES FROM NEAR NORMAL TODAY TO A FEW DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL BY WEDNESDAY. FOR LAS VEGAS THIS TRANSLATES TO LOW TO MID
60`S TODAY INCREASING TO CLOSER TO 70 DEGREES BY WEDNESDAY.

.LONG TERM...THANKSGIVING DAY THROUGH SUNDAY...A PATTERN CHANGE IS
ON THE WAY. BUT FIRST...ENJOY A QUIET START TO THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND
AS HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN PLACE JUST WEST OF THE BAJA THANKSGIVING
DAY AND FRIDAY. EXPECT DRY WEATHER WITH TEMPERATURES SEVERAL DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL FOR LATE NOVEMBER. THE PATTERN CHANGE BEGINS FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY AS A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE CROSSES SOUTHERN
CANADA...KNOCKING DOWN OUR RIDGE AND OPENING THE DOOR FOR A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC TO APPROACH THE WEST COAST
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. THIS SYSTEM LOOKS WET...BUT RUN TO RUN MODEL
TRENDS HAVE BEEN SLOWER TO BRING IT INTO THE COAST...SO KEPT THE
HIGHER POPS FOR DAY 8 /MONDAY/. THE MAIN EFFECTS IN THIS FORECAST
PERIOD WILL BE INCREASING CLOUDS AND WINDS ON SUNDAY WITH
TEMPERATURES STARTING TO DROP A BIT IF THE CURRENT MODEL TIMING
HOLDS. IF FURTHER SLOWING OCCURS...IT MAY BE A DAY OR EVEN TWO
LATER. EVEN THOUGH THE TIMING AND DETAILS ARE UNCERTAIN...THE
PROBABILITY OF OCCURRENCE LOOKS HIGH...SO EXPECT A CHANGE TO COOLER
AND WETTER WEATHER EARLY NEXT WEEK.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED. &&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...WOLCOTT
LONG TERM.............MORGAN

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER









000
FXUS65 KVEF 241750 AAA
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
950 AM PST MON NOV 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL ALLOW FOR PLEASANT AND DRY
AUTUMN CONDITIONS THIS WEEK WITH TEMPERATURES RISING FROM NEAR
NORMAL TODAY TO ABOVE NORMAL BY WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN
TO COOL THIS WEEKEND AS A MORE UNSETTLED PATTERN SETS UP BY EARLY
NEXT WEEK.
&&

.UPDATE...SCATTERED HIGH CLOUDS TODAY WITH SOME LOCALLY ENHANCED
NORTH WINDS...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY. ALL WINDS
TODAY ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN UNDER ADVISORY LEVEL. TWEAKED SKY AND
WIND BUT OTHERWISE, THE FORECAST IS ON TRACK. -SALMEN-
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...LIGHT NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS GENERALLY
UNDER 10KTS EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THERE COULD BE A FEW
ISOLATED GUSTS INTO THE LOW-MID TEENS THIS AFTERNOON. OUTSIDE OF
WINDS...NO OPERATIONALLY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER EXPECTED.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...NORTH WINDS 10-20KTS ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY
INCLUDING THE KEED AREA. ELSEWHERE...NORTHERLY WINDS OF 5-15 KTS
EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE DAY...RETURNING TO TYPICAL DIURNAL TRENDS
OVERNIGHT. OUTSIDE OF WINDS...NO OPERATIONALLY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
EXPECTED.
&&

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...226 AM PST...

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A HIGH AMPLITUDE RIDGE
OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO SLIDE INTO THE WESTERN CONUS TODAY
ALLOWING FOR MAINLY QUIET CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION. THERE WILL
STILL BE A FEW AREAS OF BREEZY WINDS...CHIEFLY ALONG THE COLORADO
RIVER VALLEY FROM LAKE MOHAVE TO LAKE HAVASU...BUT THE DOWNWARD
TREND WILL BE APPARENT EVERYWHERE. A WARMING TREND IS ALSO EXPECTED
TO BRING TEMPERATURES FROM NEAR NORMAL TODAY TO A FEW DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL BY WEDNESDAY. FOR LAS VEGAS THIS TRANSLATES TO LOW TO MID
60`S TODAY INCREASING TO CLOSER TO 70 DEGREES BY WEDNESDAY.

.LONG TERM...THANKSGIVING DAY THROUGH SUNDAY...A PATTERN CHANGE IS
ON THE WAY. BUT FIRST...ENJOY A QUIET START TO THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND
AS HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN PLACE JUST WEST OF THE BAJA THANKSGIVING
DAY AND FRIDAY. EXPECT DRY WEATHER WITH TEMPERATURES SEVERAL DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL FOR LATE NOVEMBER. THE PATTERN CHANGE BEGINS FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY AS A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE CROSSES SOUTHERN
CANADA...KNOCKING DOWN OUR RIDGE AND OPENING THE DOOR FOR A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC TO APPROACH THE WEST COAST
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. THIS SYSTEM LOOKS WET...BUT RUN TO RUN MODEL
TRENDS HAVE BEEN SLOWER TO BRING IT INTO THE COAST...SO KEPT THE
HIGHER POPS FOR DAY 8 /MONDAY/. THE MAIN EFFECTS IN THIS FORECAST
PERIOD WILL BE INCREASING CLOUDS AND WINDS ON SUNDAY WITH
TEMPERATURES STARTING TO DROP A BIT IF THE CURRENT MODEL TIMING
HOLDS. IF FURTHER SLOWING OCCURS...IT MAY BE A DAY OR EVEN TWO
LATER. EVEN THOUGH THE TIMING AND DETAILS ARE UNCERTAIN...THE
PROBABILITY OF OCCURRENCE LOOKS HIGH...SO EXPECT A CHANGE TO COOLER
AND WETTER WEATHER EARLY NEXT WEEK.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED. &&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...WOLCOTT
LONG TERM.............MORGAN

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER









000
FXUS65 KVEF 241750 AAA
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
950 AM PST MON NOV 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL ALLOW FOR PLEASANT AND DRY
AUTUMN CONDITIONS THIS WEEK WITH TEMPERATURES RISING FROM NEAR
NORMAL TODAY TO ABOVE NORMAL BY WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN
TO COOL THIS WEEKEND AS A MORE UNSETTLED PATTERN SETS UP BY EARLY
NEXT WEEK.
&&

.UPDATE...SCATTERED HIGH CLOUDS TODAY WITH SOME LOCALLY ENHANCED
NORTH WINDS...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY. ALL WINDS
TODAY ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN UNDER ADVISORY LEVEL. TWEAKED SKY AND
WIND BUT OTHERWISE, THE FORECAST IS ON TRACK. -SALMEN-
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...LIGHT NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS GENERALLY
UNDER 10KTS EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THERE COULD BE A FEW
ISOLATED GUSTS INTO THE LOW-MID TEENS THIS AFTERNOON. OUTSIDE OF
WINDS...NO OPERATIONALLY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER EXPECTED.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...NORTH WINDS 10-20KTS ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY
INCLUDING THE KEED AREA. ELSEWHERE...NORTHERLY WINDS OF 5-15 KTS
EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE DAY...RETURNING TO TYPICAL DIURNAL TRENDS
OVERNIGHT. OUTSIDE OF WINDS...NO OPERATIONALLY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
EXPECTED.
&&

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...226 AM PST...

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A HIGH AMPLITUDE RIDGE
OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO SLIDE INTO THE WESTERN CONUS TODAY
ALLOWING FOR MAINLY QUIET CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION. THERE WILL
STILL BE A FEW AREAS OF BREEZY WINDS...CHIEFLY ALONG THE COLORADO
RIVER VALLEY FROM LAKE MOHAVE TO LAKE HAVASU...BUT THE DOWNWARD
TREND WILL BE APPARENT EVERYWHERE. A WARMING TREND IS ALSO EXPECTED
TO BRING TEMPERATURES FROM NEAR NORMAL TODAY TO A FEW DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL BY WEDNESDAY. FOR LAS VEGAS THIS TRANSLATES TO LOW TO MID
60`S TODAY INCREASING TO CLOSER TO 70 DEGREES BY WEDNESDAY.

.LONG TERM...THANKSGIVING DAY THROUGH SUNDAY...A PATTERN CHANGE IS
ON THE WAY. BUT FIRST...ENJOY A QUIET START TO THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND
AS HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN PLACE JUST WEST OF THE BAJA THANKSGIVING
DAY AND FRIDAY. EXPECT DRY WEATHER WITH TEMPERATURES SEVERAL DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL FOR LATE NOVEMBER. THE PATTERN CHANGE BEGINS FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY AS A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE CROSSES SOUTHERN
CANADA...KNOCKING DOWN OUR RIDGE AND OPENING THE DOOR FOR A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC TO APPROACH THE WEST COAST
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. THIS SYSTEM LOOKS WET...BUT RUN TO RUN MODEL
TRENDS HAVE BEEN SLOWER TO BRING IT INTO THE COAST...SO KEPT THE
HIGHER POPS FOR DAY 8 /MONDAY/. THE MAIN EFFECTS IN THIS FORECAST
PERIOD WILL BE INCREASING CLOUDS AND WINDS ON SUNDAY WITH
TEMPERATURES STARTING TO DROP A BIT IF THE CURRENT MODEL TIMING
HOLDS. IF FURTHER SLOWING OCCURS...IT MAY BE A DAY OR EVEN TWO
LATER. EVEN THOUGH THE TIMING AND DETAILS ARE UNCERTAIN...THE
PROBABILITY OF OCCURRENCE LOOKS HIGH...SO EXPECT A CHANGE TO COOLER
AND WETTER WEATHER EARLY NEXT WEEK.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED. &&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...WOLCOTT
LONG TERM.............MORGAN

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER








  [top]

000
FXUS65 KREV 241123
AFDREV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
323 AM PST MON NOV 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
SEASONABLY COOL TEMPERATURES WARM TO WELL ABOVE NORMAL BY MID-WEEK
AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE PACIFIC BUILDS INTO NORTHEAST
CALIFORNIA AND WESTERN NEVADA. THERE WILL BE A CHANCE FOR VALLEY
RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW NEXT WEEKEND AS THE RIDGE BREAKS DOWN.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
THE MAIN CHANGES TO THE SHORT TERM FORECAST WERE TO INCREASE RIDGE
WINDS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND ADD A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN TO FAR NORTHERN
WASHOE COUNTY AND THE SURPRISE VALLEY THIS EVENING.

AN UPPER RIDGE OVER THE PACIFIC WILL SLOWLY BUILD OVER EASTERN
CALIFORNIA AND WESTERN NEVADA THROUGH MID-WEEK. HIGH TEMPERATURES
WILL REMAIN NEAR AVERAGE TODAY BEFORE WARMING TO WELL ABOVE AVERAGE
BY MID-WEEK AS SUBSIDENCE WARMING ALOFT WORKS INTO THE VALLEYS AND
THE COOL SURFACE HIGH MODIFIES.

PRECIPITATION-WISE, THERE IS A LOW CHANCE FOR SOME LIGHT RAIN OR
SPRINKLES IN THE SURPRISE VALLEY AND ACROSS FAR NORTHERN WASHOE
COUNTY TONIGHT DUE TO WARM AIR ADVECTION (WAA). IT WILL BE A GLANCING
BLOW WITH MARGINAL MOISTURE DEPTH FOR PRECIPITATION AS THE STRONGEST
WAA WILL BE UP IN OREGON. THEREFORE, ANY PRECIPITATION WILL REMAIN
QUITE LIGHT. SNYDER

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...
FOR THE FIRST HALF OF THE THANKSGIVING HOLIDAY WEEKEND, DRY WEATHER
WILL PREVAIL WITH AREAS OF HIGH CLOUDS AS A FLAT RIDGE REMAINS
OVER THE GREAT BASIN. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS ARE EXPECTED WITH HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S FOR BOTH THE LOWER ELEVATIONS AND
SIERRA VALLEYS ON THURSDAY. FRIDAY WILL BE A FEW DEGREES COOLER AS
THE RIDGE STARTS TO WEAKEN AND THICKER CLOUD COVER SPREADS ACROSS
THE REGION.

THE REMAINDER OF THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND IS LOOKING MORE PROMISING FOR A
TRANSITION TO A WETTER PATTERN. LIGHT RAIN IS PROJECTED TO SPREAD
INTO NORTHEAST CA-NORTHWEST NV FRIDAY NIGHT, THEN EDGE SLOWLY EAST
AND SOUTH ON SATURDAY. THIS PRECIP IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LEADING
SHORTWAVE WHILE THE MAIN LOW PRESSURE REMAINS OFF THE CA COAST, SO
SNOW LEVELS SHOULD REMAIN RATHER HIGH.

FOR SUNDAY, ADDITIONAL MOISTURE IS LIKELY TO SPREAD ACROSS THE
SIERRA AND INTO WESTERN NV, WITH COOLER AIR ALSO SLOWLY ADVANCING
OVER THE REGION. PLENTY OF UNCERTAINTY EXISTS FOR SNOW LEVELS BUT
THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR SOME WEATHER IMPACTS ON THE BUSY TRAVEL DAY
OVER THE SIERRA AND INTO THE TAHOE BASIN FOR SUNDAY. WHILE POPS WILL
CONTINUE TO BE TRENDING UPWARD FOR SUNDAY, THE MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE
IS TARGETING SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY DECEMBER 1 FOR THE HIGHEST
PROBABILITY FOR RAIN AND SNOW, WITH SOME SNOW POSSIBLE DOWN INTO
LOWER ELEVATIONS. KEEP POSTED TO THE LATEST UPDATES AND DISCUSSIONS
AS SIGNIFICANT RAIN AND SNOW COULD FINALLY REACH THE SIERRA AND
WESTERN NEVADA AS THE NEW MONTH BEGINS. MJD

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED WITH GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS THRU TUESDAY.
ONLY EXCEPTION IS AROUND KTRK WHERE PATCHY FZFG IS EXPECTED THIS
MORNING AND AGAIN TUESDAY MORNING, MAINLY BETWEEN 11Z-16Z. DRY
CONDITIONS AND LIGHT WINDS EXPECTED THROUGH THANKSGIVING AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE WEST. FUENTES/MJD

&&


.REV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NV...NONE.
CA...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RENO (ALL LOWER CASE)







000
FXUS65 KREV 241123
AFDREV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
323 AM PST MON NOV 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
SEASONABLY COOL TEMPERATURES WARM TO WELL ABOVE NORMAL BY MID-WEEK
AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE PACIFIC BUILDS INTO NORTHEAST
CALIFORNIA AND WESTERN NEVADA. THERE WILL BE A CHANCE FOR VALLEY
RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW NEXT WEEKEND AS THE RIDGE BREAKS DOWN.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
THE MAIN CHANGES TO THE SHORT TERM FORECAST WERE TO INCREASE RIDGE
WINDS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND ADD A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN TO FAR NORTHERN
WASHOE COUNTY AND THE SURPRISE VALLEY THIS EVENING.

AN UPPER RIDGE OVER THE PACIFIC WILL SLOWLY BUILD OVER EASTERN
CALIFORNIA AND WESTERN NEVADA THROUGH MID-WEEK. HIGH TEMPERATURES
WILL REMAIN NEAR AVERAGE TODAY BEFORE WARMING TO WELL ABOVE AVERAGE
BY MID-WEEK AS SUBSIDENCE WARMING ALOFT WORKS INTO THE VALLEYS AND
THE COOL SURFACE HIGH MODIFIES.

PRECIPITATION-WISE, THERE IS A LOW CHANCE FOR SOME LIGHT RAIN OR
SPRINKLES IN THE SURPRISE VALLEY AND ACROSS FAR NORTHERN WASHOE
COUNTY TONIGHT DUE TO WARM AIR ADVECTION (WAA). IT WILL BE A GLANCING
BLOW WITH MARGINAL MOISTURE DEPTH FOR PRECIPITATION AS THE STRONGEST
WAA WILL BE UP IN OREGON. THEREFORE, ANY PRECIPITATION WILL REMAIN
QUITE LIGHT. SNYDER

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...
FOR THE FIRST HALF OF THE THANKSGIVING HOLIDAY WEEKEND, DRY WEATHER
WILL PREVAIL WITH AREAS OF HIGH CLOUDS AS A FLAT RIDGE REMAINS
OVER THE GREAT BASIN. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS ARE EXPECTED WITH HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S FOR BOTH THE LOWER ELEVATIONS AND
SIERRA VALLEYS ON THURSDAY. FRIDAY WILL BE A FEW DEGREES COOLER AS
THE RIDGE STARTS TO WEAKEN AND THICKER CLOUD COVER SPREADS ACROSS
THE REGION.

THE REMAINDER OF THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND IS LOOKING MORE PROMISING FOR A
TRANSITION TO A WETTER PATTERN. LIGHT RAIN IS PROJECTED TO SPREAD
INTO NORTHEAST CA-NORTHWEST NV FRIDAY NIGHT, THEN EDGE SLOWLY EAST
AND SOUTH ON SATURDAY. THIS PRECIP IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LEADING
SHORTWAVE WHILE THE MAIN LOW PRESSURE REMAINS OFF THE CA COAST, SO
SNOW LEVELS SHOULD REMAIN RATHER HIGH.

FOR SUNDAY, ADDITIONAL MOISTURE IS LIKELY TO SPREAD ACROSS THE
SIERRA AND INTO WESTERN NV, WITH COOLER AIR ALSO SLOWLY ADVANCING
OVER THE REGION. PLENTY OF UNCERTAINTY EXISTS FOR SNOW LEVELS BUT
THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR SOME WEATHER IMPACTS ON THE BUSY TRAVEL DAY
OVER THE SIERRA AND INTO THE TAHOE BASIN FOR SUNDAY. WHILE POPS WILL
CONTINUE TO BE TRENDING UPWARD FOR SUNDAY, THE MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE
IS TARGETING SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY DECEMBER 1 FOR THE HIGHEST
PROBABILITY FOR RAIN AND SNOW, WITH SOME SNOW POSSIBLE DOWN INTO
LOWER ELEVATIONS. KEEP POSTED TO THE LATEST UPDATES AND DISCUSSIONS
AS SIGNIFICANT RAIN AND SNOW COULD FINALLY REACH THE SIERRA AND
WESTERN NEVADA AS THE NEW MONTH BEGINS. MJD

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED WITH GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS THRU TUESDAY.
ONLY EXCEPTION IS AROUND KTRK WHERE PATCHY FZFG IS EXPECTED THIS
MORNING AND AGAIN TUESDAY MORNING, MAINLY BETWEEN 11Z-16Z. DRY
CONDITIONS AND LIGHT WINDS EXPECTED THROUGH THANKSGIVING AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE WEST. FUENTES/MJD

&&


.REV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NV...NONE.
CA...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RENO (ALL LOWER CASE)






000
FXUS65 KVEF 241026
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
226 AM PST MON NOV 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL ALLOW FOR PLEASANT AND DRY
AUTUMN CONDITIONS THIS WEEK WITH TEMPERATURES RISING FROM NEAR
NORMAL TODAY TO ABOVE NORMAL BY WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN
TO COOL THIS WEEKEND AS A MORE UNSETTLED PATTERN SETS UP BY EARLY
NEXT WEEK.
&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A HIGH AMPLITUDE RIDGE
OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO SLIDE INTO THE WESTERN CONUS TODAY
ALLOWING FOR MAINLY QUIET CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION. THERE WILL
STILL BE A FEW AREAS OF BREEZY WINDS...CHIEFLY ALONG THE COLORADO
RIVER VALLEY FROM LAKE MOHAVE TO LAKE HAVASU...BUT THE DOWNWARD
TREND WILL BE APPARENT EVERYWHERE. A WARMING TREND IS ALSO EXPECTED
TO BRING TEMPERATURES FROM NEAR NORMAL TODAY TO A FEW DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL BY WEDNESDAY. FOR LAS VEGAS THIS TRANSLATES TO LOW TO MID
60`S TODAY INCREASING TO CLOSER TO 70 DEGREES BY WEDNESDAY.

.LONG TERM...THANKSGIVING DAY THROUGH SUNDAY...A PATTERN CHANGE IS
ON THE WAY. BUT FIRST...ENJOY A QUIET START TO THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND
AS HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN PLACE JUST WEST OF THE BAJA THANKSGIVING
DAY AND FRIDAY. EXPECT DRY WEATHER WITH TEMPERATURES SEVERAL DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL FOR LATE NOVEMBER. THE PATTERN CHANGE BEGINS FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY AS A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE CROSSES SOUTHERN
CANADA...KNOCKING DOWN OUR RIDGE AND OPENING THE DOOR FOR A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC TO APPROACH THE WEST COAST
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. THIS SYSTEM LOOKS WET...BUT RUN TO RUN MODEL
TRENDS HAVE BEEN SLOWER TO BRING IT INTO THE COAST...SO KEPT THE
HIGHER POPS FOR DAY 8 /MONDAY/. THE MAIN EFFECTS IN THIS FORECAST
PERIOD WILL BE INCREASING CLOUDS AND WINDS ON SUNDAY WITH
TEMPERATURES STARTING TO DROP A BIT IF THE CURRENT MODEL TIMING
HOLDS. IF FURTHER SLOWING OCCURS...IT MAY BE A DAY OR EVEN TWO
LATER. EVEN THOUGH THE TIMING AND DETAILS ARE UNCERTAIN...THE
PROBABILITY OF OCCURRENCE LOOKS HIGH...SO EXPECT A CHANGE TO COOLER
AND WETTER WEATHER EARLY NEXT WEEK.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...MAINLY SOUTH-SOUTHWEST DRAINAGE WINDS
ARE EXPECTED THIS MORNING. THERE IS A VERY REMOTE CHANCE THAT
NORTHWESTERLY WINDS COULD RETURN EARLY THIS MORNING...BUT WOULD
REMAIN UNDER 10 KTS. IN ANY CASE NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. WIND
SPEEDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW 10 KTS EXCEPT PERHAPS A FEW
GUSTS INTO THE LOW-MID TEENS THIS AFTERNOON. OUTSIDE OF WINDS...NO
OPERATIONALLY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER EXPECTED.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...NORTHERLY WINDS OF 5-15 KTS EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE
DAY...RETURNING TO TYPICAL DIURNAL TRENDS OVERNIGHT. OUTSIDE OF
WINDS...NO OPERATIONALLY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER EXPECTED.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...WOLCOTT
LONG TERM.............MORGAN

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER






000
FXUS65 KVEF 241026
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
226 AM PST MON NOV 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL ALLOW FOR PLEASANT AND DRY
AUTUMN CONDITIONS THIS WEEK WITH TEMPERATURES RISING FROM NEAR
NORMAL TODAY TO ABOVE NORMAL BY WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN
TO COOL THIS WEEKEND AS A MORE UNSETTLED PATTERN SETS UP BY EARLY
NEXT WEEK.
&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A HIGH AMPLITUDE RIDGE
OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO SLIDE INTO THE WESTERN CONUS TODAY
ALLOWING FOR MAINLY QUIET CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION. THERE WILL
STILL BE A FEW AREAS OF BREEZY WINDS...CHIEFLY ALONG THE COLORADO
RIVER VALLEY FROM LAKE MOHAVE TO LAKE HAVASU...BUT THE DOWNWARD
TREND WILL BE APPARENT EVERYWHERE. A WARMING TREND IS ALSO EXPECTED
TO BRING TEMPERATURES FROM NEAR NORMAL TODAY TO A FEW DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL BY WEDNESDAY. FOR LAS VEGAS THIS TRANSLATES TO LOW TO MID
60`S TODAY INCREASING TO CLOSER TO 70 DEGREES BY WEDNESDAY.

.LONG TERM...THANKSGIVING DAY THROUGH SUNDAY...A PATTERN CHANGE IS
ON THE WAY. BUT FIRST...ENJOY A QUIET START TO THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND
AS HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN PLACE JUST WEST OF THE BAJA THANKSGIVING
DAY AND FRIDAY. EXPECT DRY WEATHER WITH TEMPERATURES SEVERAL DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL FOR LATE NOVEMBER. THE PATTERN CHANGE BEGINS FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY AS A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE CROSSES SOUTHERN
CANADA...KNOCKING DOWN OUR RIDGE AND OPENING THE DOOR FOR A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC TO APPROACH THE WEST COAST
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. THIS SYSTEM LOOKS WET...BUT RUN TO RUN MODEL
TRENDS HAVE BEEN SLOWER TO BRING IT INTO THE COAST...SO KEPT THE
HIGHER POPS FOR DAY 8 /MONDAY/. THE MAIN EFFECTS IN THIS FORECAST
PERIOD WILL BE INCREASING CLOUDS AND WINDS ON SUNDAY WITH
TEMPERATURES STARTING TO DROP A BIT IF THE CURRENT MODEL TIMING
HOLDS. IF FURTHER SLOWING OCCURS...IT MAY BE A DAY OR EVEN TWO
LATER. EVEN THOUGH THE TIMING AND DETAILS ARE UNCERTAIN...THE
PROBABILITY OF OCCURRENCE LOOKS HIGH...SO EXPECT A CHANGE TO COOLER
AND WETTER WEATHER EARLY NEXT WEEK.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...MAINLY SOUTH-SOUTHWEST DRAINAGE WINDS
ARE EXPECTED THIS MORNING. THERE IS A VERY REMOTE CHANCE THAT
NORTHWESTERLY WINDS COULD RETURN EARLY THIS MORNING...BUT WOULD
REMAIN UNDER 10 KTS. IN ANY CASE NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. WIND
SPEEDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW 10 KTS EXCEPT PERHAPS A FEW
GUSTS INTO THE LOW-MID TEENS THIS AFTERNOON. OUTSIDE OF WINDS...NO
OPERATIONALLY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER EXPECTED.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...NORTHERLY WINDS OF 5-15 KTS EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE
DAY...RETURNING TO TYPICAL DIURNAL TRENDS OVERNIGHT. OUTSIDE OF
WINDS...NO OPERATIONALLY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER EXPECTED.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...WOLCOTT
LONG TERM.............MORGAN

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER






  [top]

000
FXUS65 KLKN 241000
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
200 AM PST MON NOV 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...NEVADA WILL ENJOY A WARMING TREND THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE GREAT BASIN. EXPECT A BEAUTIFUL
THANKSGIVING WITH MUCH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND LIGHT WINDS.
RAIN AND SNOW ARE EXPECTED TO RETURN TO NEVADA EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL STRENGTHEN THROUGH WEDNESDAY, WITH CLIMBING
HEIGHTS AND THICKNESS DELIVERING A PLEASANT WARMING TREND.

TODAY AND TUESDAY...WHILE THE RIDGE AXIS IS WEST OF NEVADA,
PACIFIC MOISTURE WILL SPREAD INTO NORTHERN NEVADA FROM TIME TO
TIME ON THE NW FLOW. EXPECT A MOSTLY CLOUDY SKY ALONG AND NORTH OF
I-80 THROUGH TUESDAY, WITH JUST A FEW SNOW SHOWERS ON THE HIGHER
TERRAIN OF ELKO COUNTY.

WEDNESDAY...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE AXIS ALIGNS DIRECTLY OVER
NEVADA, WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES PEAKING WELL INTO THE 50S WITH
A FEW LOWER 60S IN CENTRAL NEVADA. CLOUDS DECREASE UNDER THE
RIDGE, WITH FANTASTIC WEATHER FOR THE BIGGEST TRAVEL DAY OF THE
YEAR.

TURNER

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. THE MODELS ARE IN GOOD
AGREEMENT FOR THE LONG TERM PERIOD. HOWEVER HIGH PRESSURE IS
POSITIONED ABOUT 100 MILES FURTHER OFFSHORE TO START THIS PERIOD
THAN THE PREVIOUS MODEL RUNS INDICATED. SO THERE MAY BE MORE
DOWNSTREAM TIMING ISSUES WITH UPCOMING WEEKEND PRECIPITATION. THAT
SAID...ITS PRETTY SAFE TO SAY THAT DRY CONDITIONS SHOULD CONTINUE
THROUGH THANKSGIVING AND BLACK FRIDAY.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE SITUATED ABOUT 400
MILES OFFSHORE OF SOUTHERN BAJA WHILE A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS
NORTHEASTWARD FROM CENTRAL HIGH PRESSURE THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN.
THIS WILL BRING DRY CONDITIONS. LOW TEMPERATURES WILL START TO
MODERATE.

THANKSGIVING DAY. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO DROP SOUTH
ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST HOWEVER THE RIDGE WILL REMAIN STRONG ENOUGH
TO PROVIDE A BEAUTIFUL THANKSGIVING DAY WITH DRY CONDITIONS.
TEMPERATURES SHOULD RISE INTO THE 50S TO NEAR 60 DEGREES ACROSS MUCH
OF THE STATE.

THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH BLACK FRIDAY. LOW PRESSURE OVER THE MIDDLE OF
THE COUNTRY WILL SHIFT EAST ENOUGH TO CREATE A RESURGENCE OF RIDGING
OVER NEVADA AND ANOTHER NICE DAY WILL BE ON TAP. EARLY MORNING
SHOPPERS WILL HAVE TO DEAL WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 20S. HOWEVER
TEMPERATURES WILL RISE INTO THE 50S ONCE AGAIN ON BLACK FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.

FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO
DRIFT SLOWLY SOUTH NEAR THE PACIFIC COAST. THERE MAY BE SOME RAIN
AND SNOW SHOWERS SPREADING ACROSS NORTHERN NEVADA NEAR THE IDAHO AND
OREGON BORDERS.

SUNDAY. AS LOW PRESSURE NEARS THE CALIFORNIA COAST...HIGH PRESSURE
WILL GET NUDGED EAST AND SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL EXPAND EASTWARD ACROSS
THE STATE.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED AT KWMC KEKO KELY AND
KTPH THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

99/92/92




000
FXUS65 KVEF 240955
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
155 AM PST MON NOV 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL ALLOW FOR PLEASANT
AND DRY AUTUMN CONDITIONS THIS WEEK WITH TEMPERATURES RISING FROM
NEAR NORMAL TODAY TO ABOVE NORMAL BY WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES
WILL BEGIN TO COOL THIS WEEKEND AS A MORE UNSETTLED PATTERN SETS UP
BY EARLY NEXT WEEK.
&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A HIGH AMPLITUDE RIDGE
OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO SLIDE INTO THE WESTERN CONUS TODAY
ALLOWING FOR MAINLY QUIET CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION. THERE WILL
STILL BE A FEW AREAS OF BREEZY WINDS...CHIEFLY ALONG THE COLORADO
RIVER VALLEY FROM LAKE MOHAVE TO LAKE HAVASU...BUT THE DOWNWARD
TREND WILL BE APPARENT EVERYWHERE. A WARMING TREND IS ALSO EXPECTED
TO BRING TEMPERATURES FROM NEAR NORMAL TODAY TO A FEW DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL BY WEDNESDAY. FOR LAS VEGAS THIS TRANSLATES TO LOW TO MID
60`S TODAY INCREASING TO CLOSER TO 70 DEGREES BY WEDNESDAY.

.LONG TERM...THANKSGIVING DAY THROUGH SUNDAY...A PATTERN CHANGE IS
ON THE WAY. BUT FIRST...ENJOY A QUIET START TO THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND
AS HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN PLACE JUST WEST OF THE BAJA THANKSGIVING
DAY AND FRIDAY. EXPECT DRY WEATHER WITH TEMPERATURES SEVERAL DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL FOR LATE NOVEMBER. THE PATTERN CHANGE BEGINS FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY AS A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE CROSSES SOUTHERN
CANADA...KNOCKING DOWN OUR RIDGE AND OPENING THE DOOR FOR A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC TO APPROACH THE WEST COAST
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. THIS SYSTEM LOOKS WET...BUT RUN TO RUN MODEL
TRENDS HAVE BEEN SLOWER TO BRING IT INTO THE COAST...SO KEPT THE
HIGHER POPS FOR DAY 8 /MONDAY/. THE MAIN EFFECTS IN THIS FORECAST
PERIOD WILL BE INCREASING CLOUDS AND WINDS ON SUNDAY WITH
TEMPERATURES STARTING TO DROP A BIT IF THE CURRENT MODEL TIMING
HOLDS. IF FURTHER SLOWING OCCURS...IT MAY BE A DAY OR EVEN TWO
LATER. EVEN THOUGH THE TIMING AND DETAILS ARE UNCERTAIN...THE
PROBABILITY OF OCCURRENCE LOOKS HIGH...SO EXPECT A CHANGE TO COOLER
AND WETTER WEATHER EARLY NEXT WEEK.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...MAINLY SOUTH-SOUTHWEST DRAINAGE WINDS
ARE EXPECTED THIS MORNING. THERE IS A VERY REMOTE CHANCE THAT
NORTHWESTERLY WINDS COULD RETURN EARLY THIS MORNING...BUT WOULD
REMAIN UNDER 10 KTS. IN ANY CASE NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. WIND
SPEEDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW 10 KTS EXCEPT PERHAPS A FEW
GUSTS INTO THE LOW-MID TEENS THIS AFTERNOON. OUTSIDE OF WINDS...NO
OPERATIONALLY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER EXPECTED.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...NORTHERLY WINDS OF 5-15 KTS EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE
DAY...RETURNING TO TYPICAL DIURNAL TRENDS OVERNIGHT. OUTSIDE OF
WINDS...NO OPERATIONALLY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER EXPECTED.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...WOLCOTT
LONG TERM.............MORGAN

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER








000
FXUS65 KVEF 240955
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
155 AM PST MON NOV 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL ALLOW FOR PLEASANT
AND DRY AUTUMN CONDITIONS THIS WEEK WITH TEMPERATURES RISING FROM
NEAR NORMAL TODAY TO ABOVE NORMAL BY WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES
WILL BEGIN TO COOL THIS WEEKEND AS A MORE UNSETTLED PATTERN SETS UP
BY EARLY NEXT WEEK.
&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A HIGH AMPLITUDE RIDGE
OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO SLIDE INTO THE WESTERN CONUS TODAY
ALLOWING FOR MAINLY QUIET CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION. THERE WILL
STILL BE A FEW AREAS OF BREEZY WINDS...CHIEFLY ALONG THE COLORADO
RIVER VALLEY FROM LAKE MOHAVE TO LAKE HAVASU...BUT THE DOWNWARD
TREND WILL BE APPARENT EVERYWHERE. A WARMING TREND IS ALSO EXPECTED
TO BRING TEMPERATURES FROM NEAR NORMAL TODAY TO A FEW DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL BY WEDNESDAY. FOR LAS VEGAS THIS TRANSLATES TO LOW TO MID
60`S TODAY INCREASING TO CLOSER TO 70 DEGREES BY WEDNESDAY.

.LONG TERM...THANKSGIVING DAY THROUGH SUNDAY...A PATTERN CHANGE IS
ON THE WAY. BUT FIRST...ENJOY A QUIET START TO THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND
AS HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN PLACE JUST WEST OF THE BAJA THANKSGIVING
DAY AND FRIDAY. EXPECT DRY WEATHER WITH TEMPERATURES SEVERAL DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL FOR LATE NOVEMBER. THE PATTERN CHANGE BEGINS FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY AS A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE CROSSES SOUTHERN
CANADA...KNOCKING DOWN OUR RIDGE AND OPENING THE DOOR FOR A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC TO APPROACH THE WEST COAST
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. THIS SYSTEM LOOKS WET...BUT RUN TO RUN MODEL
TRENDS HAVE BEEN SLOWER TO BRING IT INTO THE COAST...SO KEPT THE
HIGHER POPS FOR DAY 8 /MONDAY/. THE MAIN EFFECTS IN THIS FORECAST
PERIOD WILL BE INCREASING CLOUDS AND WINDS ON SUNDAY WITH
TEMPERATURES STARTING TO DROP A BIT IF THE CURRENT MODEL TIMING
HOLDS. IF FURTHER SLOWING OCCURS...IT MAY BE A DAY OR EVEN TWO
LATER. EVEN THOUGH THE TIMING AND DETAILS ARE UNCERTAIN...THE
PROBABILITY OF OCCURRENCE LOOKS HIGH...SO EXPECT A CHANGE TO COOLER
AND WETTER WEATHER EARLY NEXT WEEK.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...MAINLY SOUTH-SOUTHWEST DRAINAGE WINDS
ARE EXPECTED THIS MORNING. THERE IS A VERY REMOTE CHANCE THAT
NORTHWESTERLY WINDS COULD RETURN EARLY THIS MORNING...BUT WOULD
REMAIN UNDER 10 KTS. IN ANY CASE NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. WIND
SPEEDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW 10 KTS EXCEPT PERHAPS A FEW
GUSTS INTO THE LOW-MID TEENS THIS AFTERNOON. OUTSIDE OF WINDS...NO
OPERATIONALLY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER EXPECTED.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...NORTHERLY WINDS OF 5-15 KTS EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE
DAY...RETURNING TO TYPICAL DIURNAL TRENDS OVERNIGHT. OUTSIDE OF
WINDS...NO OPERATIONALLY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER EXPECTED.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...WOLCOTT
LONG TERM.............MORGAN

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER







000
FXUS65 KVEF 240955
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
155 AM PST MON NOV 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL ALLOW FOR PLEASANT
AND DRY AUTUMN CONDITIONS THIS WEEK WITH TEMPERATURES RISING FROM
NEAR NORMAL TODAY TO ABOVE NORMAL BY WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES
WILL BEGIN TO COOL THIS WEEKEND AS A MORE UNSETTLED PATTERN SETS UP
BY EARLY NEXT WEEK.
&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A HIGH AMPLITUDE RIDGE
OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO SLIDE INTO THE WESTERN CONUS TODAY
ALLOWING FOR MAINLY QUIET CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION. THERE WILL
STILL BE A FEW AREAS OF BREEZY WINDS...CHIEFLY ALONG THE COLORADO
RIVER VALLEY FROM LAKE MOHAVE TO LAKE HAVASU...BUT THE DOWNWARD
TREND WILL BE APPARENT EVERYWHERE. A WARMING TREND IS ALSO EXPECTED
TO BRING TEMPERATURES FROM NEAR NORMAL TODAY TO A FEW DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL BY WEDNESDAY. FOR LAS VEGAS THIS TRANSLATES TO LOW TO MID
60`S TODAY INCREASING TO CLOSER TO 70 DEGREES BY WEDNESDAY.

.LONG TERM...THANKSGIVING DAY THROUGH SUNDAY...A PATTERN CHANGE IS
ON THE WAY. BUT FIRST...ENJOY A QUIET START TO THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND
AS HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN PLACE JUST WEST OF THE BAJA THANKSGIVING
DAY AND FRIDAY. EXPECT DRY WEATHER WITH TEMPERATURES SEVERAL DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL FOR LATE NOVEMBER. THE PATTERN CHANGE BEGINS FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY AS A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE CROSSES SOUTHERN
CANADA...KNOCKING DOWN OUR RIDGE AND OPENING THE DOOR FOR A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC TO APPROACH THE WEST COAST
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. THIS SYSTEM LOOKS WET...BUT RUN TO RUN MODEL
TRENDS HAVE BEEN SLOWER TO BRING IT INTO THE COAST...SO KEPT THE
HIGHER POPS FOR DAY 8 /MONDAY/. THE MAIN EFFECTS IN THIS FORECAST
PERIOD WILL BE INCREASING CLOUDS AND WINDS ON SUNDAY WITH
TEMPERATURES STARTING TO DROP A BIT IF THE CURRENT MODEL TIMING
HOLDS. IF FURTHER SLOWING OCCURS...IT MAY BE A DAY OR EVEN TWO
LATER. EVEN THOUGH THE TIMING AND DETAILS ARE UNCERTAIN...THE
PROBABILITY OF OCCURRENCE LOOKS HIGH...SO EXPECT A CHANGE TO COOLER
AND WETTER WEATHER EARLY NEXT WEEK.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...MAINLY SOUTH-SOUTHWEST DRAINAGE WINDS
ARE EXPECTED THIS MORNING. THERE IS A VERY REMOTE CHANCE THAT
NORTHWESTERLY WINDS COULD RETURN EARLY THIS MORNING...BUT WOULD
REMAIN UNDER 10 KTS. IN ANY CASE NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. WIND
SPEEDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW 10 KTS EXCEPT PERHAPS A FEW
GUSTS INTO THE LOW-MID TEENS THIS AFTERNOON. OUTSIDE OF WINDS...NO
OPERATIONALLY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER EXPECTED.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...NORTHERLY WINDS OF 5-15 KTS EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE
DAY...RETURNING TO TYPICAL DIURNAL TRENDS OVERNIGHT. OUTSIDE OF
WINDS...NO OPERATIONALLY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER EXPECTED.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...WOLCOTT
LONG TERM.............MORGAN

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER







000
FXUS65 KVEF 240955
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
155 AM PST MON NOV 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL ALLOW FOR PLEASANT
AND DRY AUTUMN CONDITIONS THIS WEEK WITH TEMPERATURES RISING FROM
NEAR NORMAL TODAY TO ABOVE NORMAL BY WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES
WILL BEGIN TO COOL THIS WEEKEND AS A MORE UNSETTLED PATTERN SETS UP
BY EARLY NEXT WEEK.
&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A HIGH AMPLITUDE RIDGE
OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO SLIDE INTO THE WESTERN CONUS TODAY
ALLOWING FOR MAINLY QUIET CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION. THERE WILL
STILL BE A FEW AREAS OF BREEZY WINDS...CHIEFLY ALONG THE COLORADO
RIVER VALLEY FROM LAKE MOHAVE TO LAKE HAVASU...BUT THE DOWNWARD
TREND WILL BE APPARENT EVERYWHERE. A WARMING TREND IS ALSO EXPECTED
TO BRING TEMPERATURES FROM NEAR NORMAL TODAY TO A FEW DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL BY WEDNESDAY. FOR LAS VEGAS THIS TRANSLATES TO LOW TO MID
60`S TODAY INCREASING TO CLOSER TO 70 DEGREES BY WEDNESDAY.

.LONG TERM...THANKSGIVING DAY THROUGH SUNDAY...A PATTERN CHANGE IS
ON THE WAY. BUT FIRST...ENJOY A QUIET START TO THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND
AS HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN PLACE JUST WEST OF THE BAJA THANKSGIVING
DAY AND FRIDAY. EXPECT DRY WEATHER WITH TEMPERATURES SEVERAL DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL FOR LATE NOVEMBER. THE PATTERN CHANGE BEGINS FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY AS A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE CROSSES SOUTHERN
CANADA...KNOCKING DOWN OUR RIDGE AND OPENING THE DOOR FOR A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC TO APPROACH THE WEST COAST
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. THIS SYSTEM LOOKS WET...BUT RUN TO RUN MODEL
TRENDS HAVE BEEN SLOWER TO BRING IT INTO THE COAST...SO KEPT THE
HIGHER POPS FOR DAY 8 /MONDAY/. THE MAIN EFFECTS IN THIS FORECAST
PERIOD WILL BE INCREASING CLOUDS AND WINDS ON SUNDAY WITH
TEMPERATURES STARTING TO DROP A BIT IF THE CURRENT MODEL TIMING
HOLDS. IF FURTHER SLOWING OCCURS...IT MAY BE A DAY OR EVEN TWO
LATER. EVEN THOUGH THE TIMING AND DETAILS ARE UNCERTAIN...THE
PROBABILITY OF OCCURRENCE LOOKS HIGH...SO EXPECT A CHANGE TO COOLER
AND WETTER WEATHER EARLY NEXT WEEK.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...MAINLY SOUTH-SOUTHWEST DRAINAGE WINDS
ARE EXPECTED THIS MORNING. THERE IS A VERY REMOTE CHANCE THAT
NORTHWESTERLY WINDS COULD RETURN EARLY THIS MORNING...BUT WOULD
REMAIN UNDER 10 KTS. IN ANY CASE NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. WIND
SPEEDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW 10 KTS EXCEPT PERHAPS A FEW
GUSTS INTO THE LOW-MID TEENS THIS AFTERNOON. OUTSIDE OF WINDS...NO
OPERATIONALLY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER EXPECTED.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...NORTHERLY WINDS OF 5-15 KTS EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE
DAY...RETURNING TO TYPICAL DIURNAL TRENDS OVERNIGHT. OUTSIDE OF
WINDS...NO OPERATIONALLY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER EXPECTED.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...WOLCOTT
LONG TERM.............MORGAN

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER







000
FXUS65 KVEF 240955
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
155 AM PST MON NOV 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL ALLOW FOR PLEASANT
AND DRY AUTUMN CONDITIONS THIS WEEK WITH TEMPERATURES RISING FROM
NEAR NORMAL TODAY TO ABOVE NORMAL BY WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES
WILL BEGIN TO COOL THIS WEEKEND AS A MORE UNSETTLED PATTERN SETS UP
BY EARLY NEXT WEEK.
&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A HIGH AMPLITUDE RIDGE
OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO SLIDE INTO THE WESTERN CONUS TODAY
ALLOWING FOR MAINLY QUIET CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION. THERE WILL
STILL BE A FEW AREAS OF BREEZY WINDS...CHIEFLY ALONG THE COLORADO
RIVER VALLEY FROM LAKE MOHAVE TO LAKE HAVASU...BUT THE DOWNWARD
TREND WILL BE APPARENT EVERYWHERE. A WARMING TREND IS ALSO EXPECTED
TO BRING TEMPERATURES FROM NEAR NORMAL TODAY TO A FEW DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL BY WEDNESDAY. FOR LAS VEGAS THIS TRANSLATES TO LOW TO MID
60`S TODAY INCREASING TO CLOSER TO 70 DEGREES BY WEDNESDAY.

.LONG TERM...THANKSGIVING DAY THROUGH SUNDAY...A PATTERN CHANGE IS
ON THE WAY. BUT FIRST...ENJOY A QUIET START TO THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND
AS HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN PLACE JUST WEST OF THE BAJA THANKSGIVING
DAY AND FRIDAY. EXPECT DRY WEATHER WITH TEMPERATURES SEVERAL DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL FOR LATE NOVEMBER. THE PATTERN CHANGE BEGINS FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY AS A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE CROSSES SOUTHERN
CANADA...KNOCKING DOWN OUR RIDGE AND OPENING THE DOOR FOR A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC TO APPROACH THE WEST COAST
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. THIS SYSTEM LOOKS WET...BUT RUN TO RUN MODEL
TRENDS HAVE BEEN SLOWER TO BRING IT INTO THE COAST...SO KEPT THE
HIGHER POPS FOR DAY 8 /MONDAY/. THE MAIN EFFECTS IN THIS FORECAST
PERIOD WILL BE INCREASING CLOUDS AND WINDS ON SUNDAY WITH
TEMPERATURES STARTING TO DROP A BIT IF THE CURRENT MODEL TIMING
HOLDS. IF FURTHER SLOWING OCCURS...IT MAY BE A DAY OR EVEN TWO
LATER. EVEN THOUGH THE TIMING AND DETAILS ARE UNCERTAIN...THE
PROBABILITY OF OCCURRENCE LOOKS HIGH...SO EXPECT A CHANGE TO COOLER
AND WETTER WEATHER EARLY NEXT WEEK.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...MAINLY SOUTH-SOUTHWEST DRAINAGE WINDS
ARE EXPECTED THIS MORNING. THERE IS A VERY REMOTE CHANCE THAT
NORTHWESTERLY WINDS COULD RETURN EARLY THIS MORNING...BUT WOULD
REMAIN UNDER 10 KTS. IN ANY CASE NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. WIND
SPEEDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW 10 KTS EXCEPT PERHAPS A FEW
GUSTS INTO THE LOW-MID TEENS THIS AFTERNOON. OUTSIDE OF WINDS...NO
OPERATIONALLY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER EXPECTED.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...NORTHERLY WINDS OF 5-15 KTS EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE
DAY...RETURNING TO TYPICAL DIURNAL TRENDS OVERNIGHT. OUTSIDE OF
WINDS...NO OPERATIONALLY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER EXPECTED.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...WOLCOTT
LONG TERM.............MORGAN

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER







000
FXUS65 KVEF 240955
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
155 AM PST MON NOV 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL ALLOW FOR PLEASANT
AND DRY AUTUMN CONDITIONS THIS WEEK WITH TEMPERATURES RISING FROM
NEAR NORMAL TODAY TO ABOVE NORMAL BY WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES
WILL BEGIN TO COOL THIS WEEKEND AS A MORE UNSETTLED PATTERN SETS UP
BY EARLY NEXT WEEK.
&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A HIGH AMPLITUDE RIDGE
OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO SLIDE INTO THE WESTERN CONUS TODAY
ALLOWING FOR MAINLY QUIET CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION. THERE WILL
STILL BE A FEW AREAS OF BREEZY WINDS...CHIEFLY ALONG THE COLORADO
RIVER VALLEY FROM LAKE MOHAVE TO LAKE HAVASU...BUT THE DOWNWARD
TREND WILL BE APPARENT EVERYWHERE. A WARMING TREND IS ALSO EXPECTED
TO BRING TEMPERATURES FROM NEAR NORMAL TODAY TO A FEW DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL BY WEDNESDAY. FOR LAS VEGAS THIS TRANSLATES TO LOW TO MID
60`S TODAY INCREASING TO CLOSER TO 70 DEGREES BY WEDNESDAY.

.LONG TERM...THANKSGIVING DAY THROUGH SUNDAY...A PATTERN CHANGE IS
ON THE WAY. BUT FIRST...ENJOY A QUIET START TO THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND
AS HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN PLACE JUST WEST OF THE BAJA THANKSGIVING
DAY AND FRIDAY. EXPECT DRY WEATHER WITH TEMPERATURES SEVERAL DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL FOR LATE NOVEMBER. THE PATTERN CHANGE BEGINS FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY AS A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE CROSSES SOUTHERN
CANADA...KNOCKING DOWN OUR RIDGE AND OPENING THE DOOR FOR A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC TO APPROACH THE WEST COAST
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. THIS SYSTEM LOOKS WET...BUT RUN TO RUN MODEL
TRENDS HAVE BEEN SLOWER TO BRING IT INTO THE COAST...SO KEPT THE
HIGHER POPS FOR DAY 8 /MONDAY/. THE MAIN EFFECTS IN THIS FORECAST
PERIOD WILL BE INCREASING CLOUDS AND WINDS ON SUNDAY WITH
TEMPERATURES STARTING TO DROP A BIT IF THE CURRENT MODEL TIMING
HOLDS. IF FURTHER SLOWING OCCURS...IT MAY BE A DAY OR EVEN TWO
LATER. EVEN THOUGH THE TIMING AND DETAILS ARE UNCERTAIN...THE
PROBABILITY OF OCCURRENCE LOOKS HIGH...SO EXPECT A CHANGE TO COOLER
AND WETTER WEATHER EARLY NEXT WEEK.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...MAINLY SOUTH-SOUTHWEST DRAINAGE WINDS
ARE EXPECTED THIS MORNING. THERE IS A VERY REMOTE CHANCE THAT
NORTHWESTERLY WINDS COULD RETURN EARLY THIS MORNING...BUT WOULD
REMAIN UNDER 10 KTS. IN ANY CASE NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. WIND
SPEEDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW 10 KTS EXCEPT PERHAPS A FEW
GUSTS INTO THE LOW-MID TEENS THIS AFTERNOON. OUTSIDE OF WINDS...NO
OPERATIONALLY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER EXPECTED.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...NORTHERLY WINDS OF 5-15 KTS EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE
DAY...RETURNING TO TYPICAL DIURNAL TRENDS OVERNIGHT. OUTSIDE OF
WINDS...NO OPERATIONALLY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER EXPECTED.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...WOLCOTT
LONG TERM.............MORGAN

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER







000
FXUS65 KVEF 240507
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
907 PM PST SUN NOV 23 2014

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL BE IN CONTROL FOR THE WEEK
AHEAD WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES EARLY IN THE WEEK QUICKLY
RETURNING TO ABOVE NORMAL BY MIDWEEK. CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN DRY.
&&

.UPDATE...UPDATED SKY GRIDS TO BETTER REFLECT CURRENT TRENDS AND SHORT
RANGE GUIDANCE. OTHERWISE THE FORECAST IS ON TRACK AN NO FURTHER
UPDATES PLANNING THIS EVENING. &&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...SOUTHWEST DRAINAGE WINDS KICKED IN AT
MCCARRAN AROUND 0230Z AND HAVE REMAINED FAIRLY STEADY AT AROUND 5
KTS. THERE IS STILL A CHANCE THAT WINDS COULD SWITCH BACK AND FORTH
BETWEEN THIS SOUTHWESTERLY DIRECTION AND A NORTHWESTERLY DIRECTION
OVERNIGHT...HOWEVER SPEEDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW 10 KTS. LIGHT
WINDS EXPECTED MONDAY FAVORING A NORTH OR NORTHEASTERLY DIRECTION.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH WINDS
EASING ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER BY SUNSET. NORTHERLY WINDS BETWEEN
10 AND 15 KTS EXPECTED MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR MOST TAF SITES WITH NO
OPERATIONALLY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER.
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
ISSUED 235 PM PST SUN NOV 23 2014

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...

MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES IN PLACE THIS AFTERNOON BEHIND A DEPARTING COLD
FRONT WHICH HAS LONG SINCE CLEARED THE AREA. BREEZY CONDITIONS
REMAIN IN SOME LOCATIONS...PARTICULARLY ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER
WHERE SUSTAINED WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH HAVE BEEN
PRETTY TYPICAL THIS AFTERNOON. BUT COMPARED TO NORTH WIND EVENTS OF
THE PAST FEW WEEKS...TODAY`S EVENT HAS BEEN QUITE TAME.  AS PRESSURE
GRADIENTS RELAX FURTHER THIS EVENING THE WINDS WILL EASE AS
WELL...AND I SEE NO REASON WHY THE GOING LAKE WIND ADVISORY WILL
NEED TO BE EXTENDED.

AS HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING BUILDS BACK ALONG THE WEST COAST MONDAY AND
TUESDAY...TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL WARM QUICKLY BUT WITH THE LOW SUN
ANGLE OF LATE NOVEMBER AND LIMITED MIXING TEMPERATURES AT THE
SURFACE WILL BE SLOW TO WARM...REMAINING NEAR SEASONAL NORMALS
THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

BY MIDWEEK THE RIDGE AXIS WILL SHIFT NEARLY OVERHEAD WITH
TEMPERATURES WARMING ABOVE NORMAL ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION. THE
RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO BREAK DOWN BY THE END OF THE WEEK BUT CONDITIONS
WILL REMAIN DRY WITH TEMPERATURES REMAINING ABOVE NORMAL.

BY NEXT WEEKEND...LONG RANGE MODELS ARE HINTING AT SOME STRONGER
PACIFIC TROUGHS AFFECTING THE WEST COAST AND GIVING US AT LEAST THE
CHANCE OF UNSETTLED WEATHER IN THE FIRST WEEK OF DECEMBER...BUT
DETAILS ARE STILL UNCLEAR AT THIS TIME SO STAY TUNED.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION...WOLCOTT
PREV DISCUSSION...OUTLER

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER








000
FXUS65 KVEF 240507
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
907 PM PST SUN NOV 23 2014

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL BE IN CONTROL FOR THE WEEK
AHEAD WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES EARLY IN THE WEEK QUICKLY
RETURNING TO ABOVE NORMAL BY MIDWEEK. CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN DRY.
&&

.UPDATE...UPDATED SKY GRIDS TO BETTER REFLECT CURRENT TRENDS AND SHORT
RANGE GUIDANCE. OTHERWISE THE FORECAST IS ON TRACK AN NO FURTHER
UPDATES PLANNING THIS EVENING. &&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...SOUTHWEST DRAINAGE WINDS KICKED IN AT
MCCARRAN AROUND 0230Z AND HAVE REMAINED FAIRLY STEADY AT AROUND 5
KTS. THERE IS STILL A CHANCE THAT WINDS COULD SWITCH BACK AND FORTH
BETWEEN THIS SOUTHWESTERLY DIRECTION AND A NORTHWESTERLY DIRECTION
OVERNIGHT...HOWEVER SPEEDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW 10 KTS. LIGHT
WINDS EXPECTED MONDAY FAVORING A NORTH OR NORTHEASTERLY DIRECTION.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH WINDS
EASING ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER BY SUNSET. NORTHERLY WINDS BETWEEN
10 AND 15 KTS EXPECTED MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR MOST TAF SITES WITH NO
OPERATIONALLY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER.
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
ISSUED 235 PM PST SUN NOV 23 2014

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...

MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES IN PLACE THIS AFTERNOON BEHIND A DEPARTING COLD
FRONT WHICH HAS LONG SINCE CLEARED THE AREA. BREEZY CONDITIONS
REMAIN IN SOME LOCATIONS...PARTICULARLY ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER
WHERE SUSTAINED WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH HAVE BEEN
PRETTY TYPICAL THIS AFTERNOON. BUT COMPARED TO NORTH WIND EVENTS OF
THE PAST FEW WEEKS...TODAY`S EVENT HAS BEEN QUITE TAME.  AS PRESSURE
GRADIENTS RELAX FURTHER THIS EVENING THE WINDS WILL EASE AS
WELL...AND I SEE NO REASON WHY THE GOING LAKE WIND ADVISORY WILL
NEED TO BE EXTENDED.

AS HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING BUILDS BACK ALONG THE WEST COAST MONDAY AND
TUESDAY...TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL WARM QUICKLY BUT WITH THE LOW SUN
ANGLE OF LATE NOVEMBER AND LIMITED MIXING TEMPERATURES AT THE
SURFACE WILL BE SLOW TO WARM...REMAINING NEAR SEASONAL NORMALS
THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

BY MIDWEEK THE RIDGE AXIS WILL SHIFT NEARLY OVERHEAD WITH
TEMPERATURES WARMING ABOVE NORMAL ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION. THE
RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO BREAK DOWN BY THE END OF THE WEEK BUT CONDITIONS
WILL REMAIN DRY WITH TEMPERATURES REMAINING ABOVE NORMAL.

BY NEXT WEEKEND...LONG RANGE MODELS ARE HINTING AT SOME STRONGER
PACIFIC TROUGHS AFFECTING THE WEST COAST AND GIVING US AT LEAST THE
CHANCE OF UNSETTLED WEATHER IN THE FIRST WEEK OF DECEMBER...BUT
DETAILS ARE STILL UNCLEAR AT THIS TIME SO STAY TUNED.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION...WOLCOTT
PREV DISCUSSION...OUTLER

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER







000
FXUS65 KREV 232300
AFDREV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
300 PM PST SUN NOV 23 2014

.SYNOPSIS...

SEASONABLY COOL CONDITIONS TREND WARMER TO WELL ABOVE NORMAL BY
MID-WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE PACIFIC BUILDS INTO NORTHEAST
CALIFORNIA AND WESTERN NEVADA. THE NEXT CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION
WILL HOLD OFF UNTIL NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.SHORT TERM...

NO MAJOR ADJUSTMENTS WERE NECESSARY TO THE EXISTING FORECAST WHICH
DEPICTS BENIGN CONDITIONS CONTINUING THROUGH MID-WEEK INTO THE
THANKSGIVING HOLIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN FIRMLY IN PLACE
OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES SHUNTING THE STORM TRACK INTO
THE INTER-MOUNTAIN WEST. EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO WARM EACH DAY WITH
VALLEY INVERSIONS FOR WESTERN NEVADA. THE INVERSIONS WILL KEEP
HIGHS SIMILAR BETWEEN THE SIERRA AND WESTERN NEVADA WITH SOME
SIERRA LOCATIONS POTENTIALLY WARMER THAN NEVADA. HIGHS INCREASE
FROM THE LOW/MID 50S TOMORROW TO THE LOW/MID 60S BY WEDNESDAY. BOYD

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

RIDGING ACROSS THE WESTERN U.S. WILL DECREASE AS AN UPPER LOW
APPROACHES THE WEST COAST NEXT WEEK. EXPECTING MILD CONDITIONS ON
THANKSGIVING DAY WITH HIGH CLOUDS STREAMING ACROSS THE SIERRA AND
WESTERN NEVADA. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL REACH INTO THE UPPER 50S TO
NEAR 60 AREA WIDE ONE THURSDAY BEFORE A COOLING TREND COMMENCES FOR
NEXT WEEKEND AS THE LOW PUSHES ALONG THE WEST COAST.

MODEL GUIDANCE IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN DEVELOPING THIS LOW OFF THE
COAST BUT HAVE LOWER AGREEMENT IN PRECIPITATION TIMING AND AMOUNTS
AS THE LOW SHEDS WEAKER SHORTWAVE IMPULSES ACROSS THE SIERRA. LATEST
MODELS DIRECT A BROAD SWATH OF 0.75-1.0" MOISTURE PLUME ACROSS
CENTRAL CALIFORNIA EARLY SATURDAY WITH PRECIPITATION PERSISTING
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. MODELS HAVE TRENDED WETTER WITH SOME SHOWING
POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT 2 DAY LIQUID ACCUMULATIONS BY THE END OF
NEXT WEEKEND INTO THE FOLLOWING WEEK. THERE IS QUITE A BIT OF
VARIABILITY IN LIQUID AMOUNTS, TIMING, AND TEMPERATURES SO WON`T
SPECULATE ON PRECIPITATION RANGES YET, BUT HAVE TRENDED FORECASTED
PRECIPITATION CHANCES UPWARDS MAINLY ALONG THE SIERRA SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY. FUENTES

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED WITH GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS THRU MONDAY.
AREAS OF FZFG POSSIBLE AT KTRK AS HIGH CLOUD COVER DIMINISHES
OVERNIGHT. DRY CONDITIONS AND LIGHT WINDS EXPECTED THROUGH
THANKSGIVING AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE WEST. FUENTES

&&


.REV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NV...NONE.
CA...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RENO (ALL LOWER CASE)






000
FXUS65 KLKN 232239
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
239 PM PST SUN NOV 23 2014

.SYNOPSIS...A STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING DRY
WEATHER ALONG WITH A WARMING TREND THROUGH THANKSGIVING.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE MUCH ABOVE NORMAL BY WEDNESDAY.
&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. UPPER RIDGE CENTERED OFF THE
WEST COAST WILL SLOWLY PROGRESS EASTWARD INTO THE WESTERN UNITED
STATES THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH AXIS ACROSS NEVADA BY WEDNESDAY.
THIS WILL RESULT IN A WARMING TREND WITH HIGH TEMPS MUCH ABOVE
NORMAL BY WEDNESDAY WITH HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE 50S TO THE LOWER
60S. RIDGE AXIS OFF THE WEST COAST EARLY IN THE PERIOD WILL ALLOW
ENOUGH MOISTURE TO BRUSH FAR NORTHERN NV FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF A
FEW SHOWERS, MAINLY OVER NORTHEAST ELKO COUNTY, TONIGHT AND AGAIN
MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. PERIOD WILL BEGIN WITH A
STRONG RIDGE OVER THE INTER-MOUNTAIN WEST BEFORE BREAKING DOWN BY
THE WEEKEND AS PACIFIC ENERGY BEGINS TO MOVE INTO THE REGION.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS AVERAGE...AS 500MB SPREAD BEGINS TO INCREASE
BY SATURDAY BETWEEN DETERMINISTIC MODELS AND THEIR ENSEMBLE
FAMILIES. TEMPS WILL RUN ABOVE AVERAGE FOR THIS PERIOD WITH BELOW
AVERAGE PRECIPITATION.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THANKSGIVING DAY 500MB RIDGE OVERHEAD WILL
BEGIN TO WEAKEN AS A WEAK SHORTWAVE PASSES ACROSS THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST. THIS WILL ESSENTIALLY BRING A DIRTY RIDGE TO THE REGION
ON TURKEY DAY...WITH SCATTERED MID-LEVEL CLOUDS ACROSS THE
NORTH...BUT OVERALL IT WILL BE A GREAT DAY WITH TEMPS IN THE 50S AND
ZERO TRAVEL CONCERNS.

FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY A PACIFIC 500MB TROUGH BEGINS TO CARVE OUT OFF
THE COAST. SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA WHICH WILL
KEEP TEMPS ABOVE AVERAGE. PACIFIC MID-LEVEL MOISTURE SHOULD CONTINUE
TO STREAM ACROSS THE REGION. FORECAST CONFIDENCE REALLY STARTS TO
DECREASE BY SATURDAY...WITH RUN-TO-RUN INCONSISTENCIES WITH THE
FIRST SHORTWAVE TROUGH SWINGING THROUGH CALIFORNIA. BY SUNDAY THERE
IS EVEN BIGGER SPREAD ON HOW PROGRESSIVE THE TROUGH WILL BE...BUT
POPS WILL DEFINITELY BE INCREASING BY THE END OF THE HOLIDAY
WEEKEND. NO MAJOR TRAVEL CONCERNS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME ON SUNDAY
FOR THE HOLIDAY RETURN TRAVEL. WILL HAVE TO WATCH THOUGH.
&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED AT ALL TAF TERMINALS OVER
THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WITH NO AVIATION ISSUES EXPECTED THROUGH
THANKSGIVING.
&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

91/95/95



000
FXUS65 KLKN 232239
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
239 PM PST SUN NOV 23 2014

.SYNOPSIS...A STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING DRY
WEATHER ALONG WITH A WARMING TREND THROUGH THANKSGIVING.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE MUCH ABOVE NORMAL BY WEDNESDAY.
&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. UPPER RIDGE CENTERED OFF THE
WEST COAST WILL SLOWLY PROGRESS EASTWARD INTO THE WESTERN UNITED
STATES THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH AXIS ACROSS NEVADA BY WEDNESDAY.
THIS WILL RESULT IN A WARMING TREND WITH HIGH TEMPS MUCH ABOVE
NORMAL BY WEDNESDAY WITH HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE 50S TO THE LOWER
60S. RIDGE AXIS OFF THE WEST COAST EARLY IN THE PERIOD WILL ALLOW
ENOUGH MOISTURE TO BRUSH FAR NORTHERN NV FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF A
FEW SHOWERS, MAINLY OVER NORTHEAST ELKO COUNTY, TONIGHT AND AGAIN
MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. PERIOD WILL BEGIN WITH A
STRONG RIDGE OVER THE INTER-MOUNTAIN WEST BEFORE BREAKING DOWN BY
THE WEEKEND AS PACIFIC ENERGY BEGINS TO MOVE INTO THE REGION.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS AVERAGE...AS 500MB SPREAD BEGINS TO INCREASE
BY SATURDAY BETWEEN DETERMINISTIC MODELS AND THEIR ENSEMBLE
FAMILIES. TEMPS WILL RUN ABOVE AVERAGE FOR THIS PERIOD WITH BELOW
AVERAGE PRECIPITATION.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THANKSGIVING DAY 500MB RIDGE OVERHEAD WILL
BEGIN TO WEAKEN AS A WEAK SHORTWAVE PASSES ACROSS THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST. THIS WILL ESSENTIALLY BRING A DIRTY RIDGE TO THE REGION
ON TURKEY DAY...WITH SCATTERED MID-LEVEL CLOUDS ACROSS THE
NORTH...BUT OVERALL IT WILL BE A GREAT DAY WITH TEMPS IN THE 50S AND
ZERO TRAVEL CONCERNS.

FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY A PACIFIC 500MB TROUGH BEGINS TO CARVE OUT OFF
THE COAST. SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA WHICH WILL
KEEP TEMPS ABOVE AVERAGE. PACIFIC MID-LEVEL MOISTURE SHOULD CONTINUE
TO STREAM ACROSS THE REGION. FORECAST CONFIDENCE REALLY STARTS TO
DECREASE BY SATURDAY...WITH RUN-TO-RUN INCONSISTENCIES WITH THE
FIRST SHORTWAVE TROUGH SWINGING THROUGH CALIFORNIA. BY SUNDAY THERE
IS EVEN BIGGER SPREAD ON HOW PROGRESSIVE THE TROUGH WILL BE...BUT
POPS WILL DEFINITELY BE INCREASING BY THE END OF THE HOLIDAY
WEEKEND. NO MAJOR TRAVEL CONCERNS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME ON SUNDAY
FOR THE HOLIDAY RETURN TRAVEL. WILL HAVE TO WATCH THOUGH.
&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED AT ALL TAF TERMINALS OVER
THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WITH NO AVIATION ISSUES EXPECTED THROUGH
THANKSGIVING.
&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

91/95/95




000
FXUS65 KVEF 232235
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
235 PM PST SUN NOV 23 2014

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL BE IN CONTROL FOR THE WEEK
AHEAD WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES EARLY IN THE WEEK QUICKLY
RETURNING TO ABOVE NORMAL BY MIDWEEK. CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN DRY.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...

MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES IN PLACE THIS AFTERNOON BEHIND A DEPARTING COLD
FRONT WHICH HAS LONG SINCE CLEARED THE AREA. BREEZY CONDITIONS
REMAIN IN SOME LOCATIONS...PARTICULARLY ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER
WHERE SUSTAINED WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH HAVE BEEN
PRETTY TYPICAL THIS AFTERNOON. BUT COMPARED TO NORTH WIND EVENTS OF
THE PAST FEW WEEKS...TODAYS EVENT HAS BEEN QUITE TAME.  AS PRESSURE
GRADIENTS RELAX FURTHER THIS EVENING THE WINDS WILL EASE AS
WELL...AND I SEE NO REASON WHY THE GOING LAKE WIND ADVISORY WILL
NEED TO BE EXTENDED.

AS HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING BUILDS BACK ALONG THE WEST COAST MONDAY AND
TUESDAY...TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL WARM QUICKLY BUT WITH THE LOW SUN
ANGLE OF LATE NOVEMBER AND LIMITED MIXING TEMPERATURES AT THE
SURFACE WILL BE SLOW TO WARM...REMAINING NEAR SEASONAL NORMALS
THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

BY MIDWEEK THE RIDGE AXIS WILL SHIFT NEARLY OVERHEAD WITH
TEMPERATURES WARMING ABOVE NORMAL ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION. THE
RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO BREAK DOWN BY THE END OF THE WEEK BUT CONDITIONS
WILL REMAIN DRY WITH TEMPERATURES REMAINING ABOVE NORMAL.

BY NEXT WEEKEND...LONG RANGE MODELS ARE HINTING AT SOME STRONGER
PACIFIC TROUGHS AFFECTING THE WEST COAST AND GIVING US AT LEAST THE
CHANCE OF UNSETTLED WEATHER IN THE FIRST WEEK OF DECEMBER...BUT
DETAILS ARE STILL UNCLEAR AT THIS TIME SO STAY TUNED.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...LOW CONFIDENCE REMAINS ON WIND DIRECTION
TONIGHT AS NORTHWESTERLY WINDS MAY PERSIST THROUGH THE ENTIRE NIGHT
OR THE SOUTHERLY DRAINAGE FLOW MAY KICK IN LATE. SUSPECT AS WINDS
DECOUPLE THE SOUTHERLY DRAINAGE WILL BEGIN TO TAKE OVER AFTER 6Z.
REGARDLESS WIND SPEEDS WILL CONTINUE TO EASE THIS EVENING AND REMAIN
AT OR BELOW 10KTS THROUGH THE NIGHT. LIGHT WINDS EXPECTED TOMORROW
FAVORING A NORTH OR NORTHEASTERLY DIRECTION.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH WINDS
EASING ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER BY SUNSET. NORTHERLY WINDS BETWEEN
10 AND 15 KTS EXPECTED MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR MOST TAF SITES WITH NO
OPERATIONALLY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...OUTLER

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER













000
FXUS65 KVEF 232235
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
235 PM PST SUN NOV 23 2014

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL BE IN CONTROL FOR THE WEEK
AHEAD WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES EARLY IN THE WEEK QUICKLY
RETURNING TO ABOVE NORMAL BY MIDWEEK. CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN DRY.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...

MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES IN PLACE THIS AFTERNOON BEHIND A DEPARTING COLD
FRONT WHICH HAS LONG SINCE CLEARED THE AREA. BREEZY CONDITIONS
REMAIN IN SOME LOCATIONS...PARTICULARLY ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER
WHERE SUSTAINED WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH HAVE BEEN
PRETTY TYPICAL THIS AFTERNOON. BUT COMPARED TO NORTH WIND EVENTS OF
THE PAST FEW WEEKS...TODAYS EVENT HAS BEEN QUITE TAME.  AS PRESSURE
GRADIENTS RELAX FURTHER THIS EVENING THE WINDS WILL EASE AS
WELL...AND I SEE NO REASON WHY THE GOING LAKE WIND ADVISORY WILL
NEED TO BE EXTENDED.

AS HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING BUILDS BACK ALONG THE WEST COAST MONDAY AND
TUESDAY...TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL WARM QUICKLY BUT WITH THE LOW SUN
ANGLE OF LATE NOVEMBER AND LIMITED MIXING TEMPERATURES AT THE
SURFACE WILL BE SLOW TO WARM...REMAINING NEAR SEASONAL NORMALS
THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

BY MIDWEEK THE RIDGE AXIS WILL SHIFT NEARLY OVERHEAD WITH
TEMPERATURES WARMING ABOVE NORMAL ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION. THE
RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO BREAK DOWN BY THE END OF THE WEEK BUT CONDITIONS
WILL REMAIN DRY WITH TEMPERATURES REMAINING ABOVE NORMAL.

BY NEXT WEEKEND...LONG RANGE MODELS ARE HINTING AT SOME STRONGER
PACIFIC TROUGHS AFFECTING THE WEST COAST AND GIVING US AT LEAST THE
CHANCE OF UNSETTLED WEATHER IN THE FIRST WEEK OF DECEMBER...BUT
DETAILS ARE STILL UNCLEAR AT THIS TIME SO STAY TUNED.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...LOW CONFIDENCE REMAINS ON WIND DIRECTION
TONIGHT AS NORTHWESTERLY WINDS MAY PERSIST THROUGH THE ENTIRE NIGHT
OR THE SOUTHERLY DRAINAGE FLOW MAY KICK IN LATE. SUSPECT AS WINDS
DECOUPLE THE SOUTHERLY DRAINAGE WILL BEGIN TO TAKE OVER AFTER 6Z.
REGARDLESS WIND SPEEDS WILL CONTINUE TO EASE THIS EVENING AND REMAIN
AT OR BELOW 10KTS THROUGH THE NIGHT. LIGHT WINDS EXPECTED TOMORROW
FAVORING A NORTH OR NORTHEASTERLY DIRECTION.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH WINDS
EASING ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER BY SUNSET. NORTHERLY WINDS BETWEEN
10 AND 15 KTS EXPECTED MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR MOST TAF SITES WITH NO
OPERATIONALLY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...OUTLER

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER













000
FXUS65 KVEF 232235
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
235 PM PST SUN NOV 23 2014

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL BE IN CONTROL FOR THE WEEK
AHEAD WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES EARLY IN THE WEEK QUICKLY
RETURNING TO ABOVE NORMAL BY MIDWEEK. CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN DRY.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...

MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES IN PLACE THIS AFTERNOON BEHIND A DEPARTING COLD
FRONT WHICH HAS LONG SINCE CLEARED THE AREA. BREEZY CONDITIONS
REMAIN IN SOME LOCATIONS...PARTICULARLY ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER
WHERE SUSTAINED WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH HAVE BEEN
PRETTY TYPICAL THIS AFTERNOON. BUT COMPARED TO NORTH WIND EVENTS OF
THE PAST FEW WEEKS...TODAYS EVENT HAS BEEN QUITE TAME.  AS PRESSURE
GRADIENTS RELAX FURTHER THIS EVENING THE WINDS WILL EASE AS
WELL...AND I SEE NO REASON WHY THE GOING LAKE WIND ADVISORY WILL
NEED TO BE EXTENDED.

AS HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING BUILDS BACK ALONG THE WEST COAST MONDAY AND
TUESDAY...TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL WARM QUICKLY BUT WITH THE LOW SUN
ANGLE OF LATE NOVEMBER AND LIMITED MIXING TEMPERATURES AT THE
SURFACE WILL BE SLOW TO WARM...REMAINING NEAR SEASONAL NORMALS
THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

BY MIDWEEK THE RIDGE AXIS WILL SHIFT NEARLY OVERHEAD WITH
TEMPERATURES WARMING ABOVE NORMAL ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION. THE
RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO BREAK DOWN BY THE END OF THE WEEK BUT CONDITIONS
WILL REMAIN DRY WITH TEMPERATURES REMAINING ABOVE NORMAL.

BY NEXT WEEKEND...LONG RANGE MODELS ARE HINTING AT SOME STRONGER
PACIFIC TROUGHS AFFECTING THE WEST COAST AND GIVING US AT LEAST THE
CHANCE OF UNSETTLED WEATHER IN THE FIRST WEEK OF DECEMBER...BUT
DETAILS ARE STILL UNCLEAR AT THIS TIME SO STAY TUNED.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...LOW CONFIDENCE REMAINS ON WIND DIRECTION
TONIGHT AS NORTHWESTERLY WINDS MAY PERSIST THROUGH THE ENTIRE NIGHT
OR THE SOUTHERLY DRAINAGE FLOW MAY KICK IN LATE. SUSPECT AS WINDS
DECOUPLE THE SOUTHERLY DRAINAGE WILL BEGIN TO TAKE OVER AFTER 6Z.
REGARDLESS WIND SPEEDS WILL CONTINUE TO EASE THIS EVENING AND REMAIN
AT OR BELOW 10KTS THROUGH THE NIGHT. LIGHT WINDS EXPECTED TOMORROW
FAVORING A NORTH OR NORTHEASTERLY DIRECTION.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH WINDS
EASING ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER BY SUNSET. NORTHERLY WINDS BETWEEN
10 AND 15 KTS EXPECTED MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR MOST TAF SITES WITH NO
OPERATIONALLY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...OUTLER

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER














000
FXUS65 KVEF 232235
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
235 PM PST SUN NOV 23 2014

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL BE IN CONTROL FOR THE WEEK
AHEAD WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES EARLY IN THE WEEK QUICKLY
RETURNING TO ABOVE NORMAL BY MIDWEEK. CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN DRY.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...

MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES IN PLACE THIS AFTERNOON BEHIND A DEPARTING COLD
FRONT WHICH HAS LONG SINCE CLEARED THE AREA. BREEZY CONDITIONS
REMAIN IN SOME LOCATIONS...PARTICULARLY ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER
WHERE SUSTAINED WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH HAVE BEEN
PRETTY TYPICAL THIS AFTERNOON. BUT COMPARED TO NORTH WIND EVENTS OF
THE PAST FEW WEEKS...TODAYS EVENT HAS BEEN QUITE TAME.  AS PRESSURE
GRADIENTS RELAX FURTHER THIS EVENING THE WINDS WILL EASE AS
WELL...AND I SEE NO REASON WHY THE GOING LAKE WIND ADVISORY WILL
NEED TO BE EXTENDED.

AS HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING BUILDS BACK ALONG THE WEST COAST MONDAY AND
TUESDAY...TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL WARM QUICKLY BUT WITH THE LOW SUN
ANGLE OF LATE NOVEMBER AND LIMITED MIXING TEMPERATURES AT THE
SURFACE WILL BE SLOW TO WARM...REMAINING NEAR SEASONAL NORMALS
THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

BY MIDWEEK THE RIDGE AXIS WILL SHIFT NEARLY OVERHEAD WITH
TEMPERATURES WARMING ABOVE NORMAL ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION. THE
RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO BREAK DOWN BY THE END OF THE WEEK BUT CONDITIONS
WILL REMAIN DRY WITH TEMPERATURES REMAINING ABOVE NORMAL.

BY NEXT WEEKEND...LONG RANGE MODELS ARE HINTING AT SOME STRONGER
PACIFIC TROUGHS AFFECTING THE WEST COAST AND GIVING US AT LEAST THE
CHANCE OF UNSETTLED WEATHER IN THE FIRST WEEK OF DECEMBER...BUT
DETAILS ARE STILL UNCLEAR AT THIS TIME SO STAY TUNED.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...LOW CONFIDENCE REMAINS ON WIND DIRECTION
TONIGHT AS NORTHWESTERLY WINDS MAY PERSIST THROUGH THE ENTIRE NIGHT
OR THE SOUTHERLY DRAINAGE FLOW MAY KICK IN LATE. SUSPECT AS WINDS
DECOUPLE THE SOUTHERLY DRAINAGE WILL BEGIN TO TAKE OVER AFTER 6Z.
REGARDLESS WIND SPEEDS WILL CONTINUE TO EASE THIS EVENING AND REMAIN
AT OR BELOW 10KTS THROUGH THE NIGHT. LIGHT WINDS EXPECTED TOMORROW
FAVORING A NORTH OR NORTHEASTERLY DIRECTION.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH WINDS
EASING ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER BY SUNSET. NORTHERLY WINDS BETWEEN
10 AND 15 KTS EXPECTED MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR MOST TAF SITES WITH NO
OPERATIONALLY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...OUTLER

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER














000
FXUS65 KVEF 231639
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
840 AM PST SUN NOV 23 2014

.SYNOPSIS...A COLD FRONT PUSHING SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION WILL BRING
BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS TODAY ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER
VALLEY FROM LAKE MOHAVE TO LAKE HAVASU. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING
CALMER CONDITIONS MONDAY THROUGH AT LEAST THE FIRST PART OF THE
THANKSGIVING WEEKEND. &&

.UPDATE...BREEZY TO LOCALLY WINDY CONDITIONS CONTINUE THIS MORNING
ACROSS THE REGION WITH THE WINDS EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE
CONCENTRATED ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER THIS AFTERNOON WHILE ELSEWHERE
THE WINDS RELAX.  A MUCH COOLER DAY IS IN STORE TODAY WITH HIGH
TEMPERATURES RUNNING ABOUT 5-10 DEGREES BELOW SATURDAYS HIGHS.
CURRENT FORECAST LOOKS ON TRACK AND NO UPDATES ARE NEEDED THIS
MORNING.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...A WELL DEFINED COLD
FRONT CONTINUES TO PUSH SOUTH ACROSS THE MOJAVE DESERT EARLY THIS
MORNING BRINGING BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS IN ITS WAKE. THE BIGGEST
IMPACT WILL BE WINDS DOWN THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY WHERE A LAKE
WIND ADVISORY WILL BE IN EFFECT TODAY. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE
LIKELY TO OCCUR BETWEEN LAKE MOHAVE AND LAKE HAVASU WITH GUSTS 30-40
MPH LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE COOLER AND
BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REST OF THE REGION. HIGHS
TODAY WILL BE 5-10 DEGREES COOLER THAN THOSE FELT YESTERDAY.

WINDS WILL PROGRESSIVELY WEAKEN MONDAY AND TUESDAY AS THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT RELAXES AND A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO PUSH INTO
THE WESTERN CONUS. LOCALLY BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE STILL LIKELY IN
FAVORED AREAS SUCH AS THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY. TEMPERATURES WILL
WILL REMAIN FAIRLY STEADY ACROSS THE MOJAVE DESERT MONDAY AND
TUESDAY WHILE A SLOW WARMING TREND IS LIKELY OVER THE SOUTHERN
GREAT BASIN.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...CONFIDENCE IN THE
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY FORECAST REMAINS HIGH AS MODELS CONTINUE TO
BE IN GOOD AGREEMENT AND SHOW GOOD RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY. AS STRONG
RIDGE STARTS TO BREAK DOWN ON FRIDAY MORE HIGH CLOUDS WILL START TO
INVADE OUR SKY. OTHERWISE, NORTH WINDS WILL DIMINISH DOWN THE
COLORADO RIVER VALLEY WHILE TEMPERATURES WILL BE QUITE PLEASANT FOR
LATE NOVEMBER.

CONFIDENCE LOWERS OVER THE WEEKEND AS MODELS CONTINUE TO DISAGREE ON
TIMING/STRENGTH OF A SHORTWAVE MOVING INTO THE WEST. ONE MODEL, THE
GEM ACTUALLY KEEPS RIDGING OVER THE GREAT BASIN. BOTH THE ECMWF/GFS
SUGGEST THE SHORTWAVE WILL BE WEAK AND KEEP ANY PRECIPITATION ACROSS
NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AND NEVADA. KEPT THE FORECAST DRY FOR NOW BUT IF
SHORTWAVE TURNS OUT TO BE STRONGER MAY NEED TO ADD SOME POPS TO THE
SRN SIERRA CREST OR MOUNTAINS OF SOUTH CENTRAL NEVADA OVER THE
WEEKEND.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...NORTHWEST WINDS OF 8-14 KTS WITH GUSTS
15-25 KTS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS MORNING. WINDS SHOULD THEN
DECREASE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND MAY TAKE ON A MORE NORTH OR
NORTHEASTERLY DIRECTION. CONFIDENCE IS A BIT LOWER THIS EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT ON WHETHER WINDS WILL FAVOR A TYPICAL SOUTH/SOUTHWEST
DIRECTION OR A NORTHWEST DIRECTION...IN ANY CASE WINDS SHOULD REMAIN
BELOW 10 KTS. OUTSIDE OF WINDS NO OPERATIONALLY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
EXPECTED.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...DECREASING NORTHERLY WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY ACROSS
MOST OF THE REGION. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE DOWN THE COLORADO RIVER
VALLEY WHERE WIND GUSTS OF 25-35 KTS WILL OCCUR...MAINLY FROM FROM
KIFP TO KHII. OUTSIDE OF WINDS...NO OPERATIONALLY SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER EXPECTED.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

UPDATE...OUTLER
SHORT TERM/AVIATION...WOLCOTT
LONG TERM.............PIERCE

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER











000
FXUS65 KVEF 231639
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
840 AM PST SUN NOV 23 2014

.SYNOPSIS...A COLD FRONT PUSHING SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION WILL BRING
BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS TODAY ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER
VALLEY FROM LAKE MOHAVE TO LAKE HAVASU. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING
CALMER CONDITIONS MONDAY THROUGH AT LEAST THE FIRST PART OF THE
THANKSGIVING WEEKEND. &&

.UPDATE...BREEZY TO LOCALLY WINDY CONDITIONS CONTINUE THIS MORNING
ACROSS THE REGION WITH THE WINDS EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE
CONCENTRATED ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER THIS AFTERNOON WHILE ELSEWHERE
THE WINDS RELAX.  A MUCH COOLER DAY IS IN STORE TODAY WITH HIGH
TEMPERATURES RUNNING ABOUT 5-10 DEGREES BELOW SATURDAYS HIGHS.
CURRENT FORECAST LOOKS ON TRACK AND NO UPDATES ARE NEEDED THIS
MORNING.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...A WELL DEFINED COLD
FRONT CONTINUES TO PUSH SOUTH ACROSS THE MOJAVE DESERT EARLY THIS
MORNING BRINGING BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS IN ITS WAKE. THE BIGGEST
IMPACT WILL BE WINDS DOWN THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY WHERE A LAKE
WIND ADVISORY WILL BE IN EFFECT TODAY. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE
LIKELY TO OCCUR BETWEEN LAKE MOHAVE AND LAKE HAVASU WITH GUSTS 30-40
MPH LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE COOLER AND
BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REST OF THE REGION. HIGHS
TODAY WILL BE 5-10 DEGREES COOLER THAN THOSE FELT YESTERDAY.

WINDS WILL PROGRESSIVELY WEAKEN MONDAY AND TUESDAY AS THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT RELAXES AND A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO PUSH INTO
THE WESTERN CONUS. LOCALLY BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE STILL LIKELY IN
FAVORED AREAS SUCH AS THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY. TEMPERATURES WILL
WILL REMAIN FAIRLY STEADY ACROSS THE MOJAVE DESERT MONDAY AND
TUESDAY WHILE A SLOW WARMING TREND IS LIKELY OVER THE SOUTHERN
GREAT BASIN.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...CONFIDENCE IN THE
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY FORECAST REMAINS HIGH AS MODELS CONTINUE TO
BE IN GOOD AGREEMENT AND SHOW GOOD RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY. AS STRONG
RIDGE STARTS TO BREAK DOWN ON FRIDAY MORE HIGH CLOUDS WILL START TO
INVADE OUR SKY. OTHERWISE, NORTH WINDS WILL DIMINISH DOWN THE
COLORADO RIVER VALLEY WHILE TEMPERATURES WILL BE QUITE PLEASANT FOR
LATE NOVEMBER.

CONFIDENCE LOWERS OVER THE WEEKEND AS MODELS CONTINUE TO DISAGREE ON
TIMING/STRENGTH OF A SHORTWAVE MOVING INTO THE WEST. ONE MODEL, THE
GEM ACTUALLY KEEPS RIDGING OVER THE GREAT BASIN. BOTH THE ECMWF/GFS
SUGGEST THE SHORTWAVE WILL BE WEAK AND KEEP ANY PRECIPITATION ACROSS
NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AND NEVADA. KEPT THE FORECAST DRY FOR NOW BUT IF
SHORTWAVE TURNS OUT TO BE STRONGER MAY NEED TO ADD SOME POPS TO THE
SRN SIERRA CREST OR MOUNTAINS OF SOUTH CENTRAL NEVADA OVER THE
WEEKEND.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...NORTHWEST WINDS OF 8-14 KTS WITH GUSTS
15-25 KTS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS MORNING. WINDS SHOULD THEN
DECREASE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND MAY TAKE ON A MORE NORTH OR
NORTHEASTERLY DIRECTION. CONFIDENCE IS A BIT LOWER THIS EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT ON WHETHER WINDS WILL FAVOR A TYPICAL SOUTH/SOUTHWEST
DIRECTION OR A NORTHWEST DIRECTION...IN ANY CASE WINDS SHOULD REMAIN
BELOW 10 KTS. OUTSIDE OF WINDS NO OPERATIONALLY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
EXPECTED.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...DECREASING NORTHERLY WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY ACROSS
MOST OF THE REGION. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE DOWN THE COLORADO RIVER
VALLEY WHERE WIND GUSTS OF 25-35 KTS WILL OCCUR...MAINLY FROM FROM
KIFP TO KHII. OUTSIDE OF WINDS...NO OPERATIONALLY SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER EXPECTED.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

UPDATE...OUTLER
SHORT TERM/AVIATION...WOLCOTT
LONG TERM.............PIERCE

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER










000
FXUS65 KREV 231058
AFDREV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
258 AM PST SUN NOV 23 2014

.SYNOPSIS...

SEASONABLY COOL CONDITIONS TODAY WILL BE FOLLOWED BY A WARMING
TREND TO WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES BY MID-WEEK AS HIGH
PRESSURE OVER THE PACIFIC BUILDS INTO NORTHEAST CALIFORNIA AND
WESTERN NEVADA.

&&

.SHORT TERM...

A DRY FORECAST WITH LIGHT WINDS (AT LEAST FOR VALLEYS) IS IN
STORE FOR NORTHEAST CALIFORNIA, THE EASTERN SIERRA AND WESTERN
NEVADA THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT AS AN UPPER RIDGE SLOWLY STRENGTHENS
OVERHEAD.

AT THE LOW LEVELS, A SEASONABLY COOL AIRMASS BUILDING INTO THE
GREAT BASIN TODAY WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ON MONDAY WITH ONLY A
SLIGHT UPTICK IN HIGH TEMPERATURES AS THE AIRMASS SLOWLY MODIFIES.
ON TUESDAY, HIGHS JUMP MORE SIGNIFICANTLY FOR MANY AREAS AS
SUBSIDENCE WARMING ALOFT UNDER THE BUILDING RIDGE WORKS DOWN INTO
THE VALLEYS. SNYDER

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IMPACTS TO TRAVEL ARE EXPECTED AS THE
THANKSGIVING HOLIDAY BEGINS. RIDGE AXIS IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY
DRIFT EAST AND FLATTEN, RESULTING IN AREAS OF HIGH CLOUDS SPREADING
OVER THE REGION BUT NO PRECIPITATION WEDNESDAY OR THURSDAY.
WEDNESDAY SHOULD BE THE WARMEST DAY OF THE WEEK FOR MOST AREAS
WITH HIGHS PUSHING ABOVE 60 DEGREES IN SOME VALLEYS, THEN SLIGHTLY
COOLER ON THURSDAY AS THE RIDGE BEGINS TO WEAKEN.

BY FRIDAY, THE NEXT LOW APPROACHES THE CALIFORNIA COAST BUT IT IS
SHOWING SIGNS OF PINCHING OFF, RESULTING IN THE RIDGE AMPLIFYING A
BIT OVER THE GREAT BASIN. HIGHS SHOULD REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL OVER
MOST OF THE REGION, EXCEPT THICKER CLOUDS SPREADING ACROSS
NORTHEAST CA-NORTHWEST NV COULD KEEP THOSE AREAS A FEW DEGREES
COLDER.

FOR NEXT WEEKEND, THE LATEST MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE KEEPS THE MAIN
LOW OFF THE CA COAST, BUT BREAKS OFF A SHORTWAVE WHICH MOVES
INLAND ACROSS NORTHERN CA WITH INCREASING PACIFIC MOISTURE. THIS
COULD LEAD TO SOME RAIN AND HIGH ELEVATION SNOW BY SATURDAY FOR
THE SIERRA MAINLY FROM TAHOE NORTHWARD TO NORTHEAST CA, WITH
LIGHTER RAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF WESTERN NV. A MAJOR
PRECIPITATION EVENT IS NOT EXPECTED FROM THIS WEATHER SYSTEM, AND
SNOW LEVELS ARE LIKELY TO REMAIN RATHER HIGH SINCE THE CORE OF THE
LOW STAYS OFFSHORE. MJD

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR CONDITIONS WITH GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS THRU MONDAY. ONLY
EXCEPTION IS PATCHY FZFG AROUND KTRK THIS MORNING WHICH SHOULD
DISPERSE BY 15Z AS HIGH CLOUDS INCREASE. THE POTENTIAL FOR FZFG AT
KTRK IS LOWER FOR EARLY MONDAY MORNING, BUT COULD STILL FORM IF
ENOUGH CLEARING OCCURS AFTER 08Z. MJD

&&

.REV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NV...NONE.
CA...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RENO (ALL LOWER CASE)










000
FXUS65 KREV 231058
AFDREV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
258 AM PST SUN NOV 23 2014

.SYNOPSIS...

SEASONABLY COOL CONDITIONS TODAY WILL BE FOLLOWED BY A WARMING
TREND TO WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES BY MID-WEEK AS HIGH
PRESSURE OVER THE PACIFIC BUILDS INTO NORTHEAST CALIFORNIA AND
WESTERN NEVADA.

&&

.SHORT TERM...

A DRY FORECAST WITH LIGHT WINDS (AT LEAST FOR VALLEYS) IS IN
STORE FOR NORTHEAST CALIFORNIA, THE EASTERN SIERRA AND WESTERN
NEVADA THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT AS AN UPPER RIDGE SLOWLY STRENGTHENS
OVERHEAD.

AT THE LOW LEVELS, A SEASONABLY COOL AIRMASS BUILDING INTO THE
GREAT BASIN TODAY WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ON MONDAY WITH ONLY A
SLIGHT UPTICK IN HIGH TEMPERATURES AS THE AIRMASS SLOWLY MODIFIES.
ON TUESDAY, HIGHS JUMP MORE SIGNIFICANTLY FOR MANY AREAS AS
SUBSIDENCE WARMING ALOFT UNDER THE BUILDING RIDGE WORKS DOWN INTO
THE VALLEYS. SNYDER

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IMPACTS TO TRAVEL ARE EXPECTED AS THE
THANKSGIVING HOLIDAY BEGINS. RIDGE AXIS IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY
DRIFT EAST AND FLATTEN, RESULTING IN AREAS OF HIGH CLOUDS SPREADING
OVER THE REGION BUT NO PRECIPITATION WEDNESDAY OR THURSDAY.
WEDNESDAY SHOULD BE THE WARMEST DAY OF THE WEEK FOR MOST AREAS
WITH HIGHS PUSHING ABOVE 60 DEGREES IN SOME VALLEYS, THEN SLIGHTLY
COOLER ON THURSDAY AS THE RIDGE BEGINS TO WEAKEN.

BY FRIDAY, THE NEXT LOW APPROACHES THE CALIFORNIA COAST BUT IT IS
SHOWING SIGNS OF PINCHING OFF, RESULTING IN THE RIDGE AMPLIFYING A
BIT OVER THE GREAT BASIN. HIGHS SHOULD REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL OVER
MOST OF THE REGION, EXCEPT THICKER CLOUDS SPREADING ACROSS
NORTHEAST CA-NORTHWEST NV COULD KEEP THOSE AREAS A FEW DEGREES
COLDER.

FOR NEXT WEEKEND, THE LATEST MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE KEEPS THE MAIN
LOW OFF THE CA COAST, BUT BREAKS OFF A SHORTWAVE WHICH MOVES
INLAND ACROSS NORTHERN CA WITH INCREASING PACIFIC MOISTURE. THIS
COULD LEAD TO SOME RAIN AND HIGH ELEVATION SNOW BY SATURDAY FOR
THE SIERRA MAINLY FROM TAHOE NORTHWARD TO NORTHEAST CA, WITH
LIGHTER RAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF WESTERN NV. A MAJOR
PRECIPITATION EVENT IS NOT EXPECTED FROM THIS WEATHER SYSTEM, AND
SNOW LEVELS ARE LIKELY TO REMAIN RATHER HIGH SINCE THE CORE OF THE
LOW STAYS OFFSHORE. MJD

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR CONDITIONS WITH GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS THRU MONDAY. ONLY
EXCEPTION IS PATCHY FZFG AROUND KTRK THIS MORNING WHICH SHOULD
DISPERSE BY 15Z AS HIGH CLOUDS INCREASE. THE POTENTIAL FOR FZFG AT
KTRK IS LOWER FOR EARLY MONDAY MORNING, BUT COULD STILL FORM IF
ENOUGH CLEARING OCCURS AFTER 08Z. MJD

&&

.REV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NV...NONE.
CA...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RENO (ALL LOWER CASE)











000
FXUS65 KLKN 231000
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
200 AM PST SUN NOV 23 2014

.SYNOPSIS...DRY WEATHER ACROSS NEVADA WITH A GRADUAL WARMING TREND
THROUGH THANKSGIVING.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

DRY WEATHER RETURNS TO NEVADA TODAY, AND REMAINS THROUGH TUESDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST FOR A GRADUAL INCREASE IN
HEIGHTS AND THICKNESSES EACH DAY. A PLEASANT WARMING TREND
WILL RESULT. SOME CLOUDS WILL SPILL INTO NEVADA FROM THE NORTH
FROM TIME TO TIME, AS THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE AMPLIFIES. FANTASTIC
WEATHER TO GET TO GRANDMA`S HOUSE FOR THANKSGIVING.  TURNER


.LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. OVER THE LKN CWFA THERE
TENDS TO BE GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING THEN
THERE IS SOME DOWNSTREAM MODEL INCONSISTENCIES. HOWEVER DRY
CONDITIONS SHOULD HOLD THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT AND THERE ARE NO
THANKSGIVING TRAVEL CONCERNS ACROSS THE MAJORITY OF THE INTER-
MOUNTAIN WEST.

TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BE SITUATED ABOUT 270 MILES OFFSHORE AND REMAIN STATIONARY
WHILE A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING FROM CENTAL HIGH PRESSURE ROLLS
EASTWARD OVER THE GREAT BASIN REGION. THIS WILL BRING DRY CONDITIONS.
LOW TEMPERATURES WILL START TO MODERATE AND HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM NEAR
50 DEGREES ACROSS NORTHERN NEVADA TO NEAR 60 DEGREES SOUTH OF HIGHWAY
50.

THANKSGIVING DAY. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BE DROPPING SOUTH INTO
THE MIDDLE OF THE COUNTRY. IN RESPONSE...HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE
GREAT BASIN WILL START TO DE-AMPLIFY. HOWEVER THE RIDGE WILL REMAIN
STRONG ENOUGH TO PROVIDE A BEAUTIFUL THANKSGIVING DAY WITH DRY
CONDITIONS. TEMPERATURES SHOULD RISE INTO THE 50S ACROSS MUCH OF
THE STATE.

THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH BLACK FRIDAY. LOW PRESSURE OVER THE MIDDLE OF
THE COUNTRY WILL SHIFT EAST ENOUGH TO CREATE A RESURGENCE OF RIDGING
OVER NEVADA AND ANOTHER NICE DAY WILL BE ON TAP. EARLY MORNING
SHOPPERS WILL HAVE TO DEAL WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 20S. HOWEVER
TEMPERATURES WILL RISE INTO THE 50S ONCE AGAIN ON BLACK FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.

FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. A WEAK WEATHER SYSTEM MAY BRING SOME
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS TO AREAS NEAR THE IDAHO AND OREGON BORDERS.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED AT KELY AND KTPH THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING. THERE MAY BE SOME FOG DEVELOPMENT NEAR KWMC AND
KEKO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

99/92/92




000
FXUS65 KLKN 231000
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
200 AM PST SUN NOV 23 2014

.SYNOPSIS...DRY WEATHER ACROSS NEVADA WITH A GRADUAL WARMING TREND
THROUGH THANKSGIVING.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

DRY WEATHER RETURNS TO NEVADA TODAY, AND REMAINS THROUGH TUESDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST FOR A GRADUAL INCREASE IN
HEIGHTS AND THICKNESSES EACH DAY. A PLEASANT WARMING TREND
WILL RESULT. SOME CLOUDS WILL SPILL INTO NEVADA FROM THE NORTH
FROM TIME TO TIME, AS THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE AMPLIFIES. FANTASTIC
WEATHER TO GET TO GRANDMA`S HOUSE FOR THANKSGIVING.  TURNER


.LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. OVER THE LKN CWFA THERE
TENDS TO BE GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING THEN
THERE IS SOME DOWNSTREAM MODEL INCONSISTENCIES. HOWEVER DRY
CONDITIONS SHOULD HOLD THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT AND THERE ARE NO
THANKSGIVING TRAVEL CONCERNS ACROSS THE MAJORITY OF THE INTER-
MOUNTAIN WEST.

TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BE SITUATED ABOUT 270 MILES OFFSHORE AND REMAIN STATIONARY
WHILE A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING FROM CENTAL HIGH PRESSURE ROLLS
EASTWARD OVER THE GREAT BASIN REGION. THIS WILL BRING DRY CONDITIONS.
LOW TEMPERATURES WILL START TO MODERATE AND HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM NEAR
50 DEGREES ACROSS NORTHERN NEVADA TO NEAR 60 DEGREES SOUTH OF HIGHWAY
50.

THANKSGIVING DAY. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BE DROPPING SOUTH INTO
THE MIDDLE OF THE COUNTRY. IN RESPONSE...HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE
GREAT BASIN WILL START TO DE-AMPLIFY. HOWEVER THE RIDGE WILL REMAIN
STRONG ENOUGH TO PROVIDE A BEAUTIFUL THANKSGIVING DAY WITH DRY
CONDITIONS. TEMPERATURES SHOULD RISE INTO THE 50S ACROSS MUCH OF
THE STATE.

THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH BLACK FRIDAY. LOW PRESSURE OVER THE MIDDLE OF
THE COUNTRY WILL SHIFT EAST ENOUGH TO CREATE A RESURGENCE OF RIDGING
OVER NEVADA AND ANOTHER NICE DAY WILL BE ON TAP. EARLY MORNING
SHOPPERS WILL HAVE TO DEAL WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 20S. HOWEVER
TEMPERATURES WILL RISE INTO THE 50S ONCE AGAIN ON BLACK FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.

FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. A WEAK WEATHER SYSTEM MAY BRING SOME
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS TO AREAS NEAR THE IDAHO AND OREGON BORDERS.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED AT KELY AND KTPH THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING. THERE MAY BE SOME FOG DEVELOPMENT NEAR KWMC AND
KEKO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

99/92/92



000
FXUS65 KLKN 231000
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
200 AM PST SUN NOV 23 2014

.SYNOPSIS...DRY WEATHER ACROSS NEVADA WITH A GRADUAL WARMING TREND
THROUGH THANKSGIVING.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

DRY WEATHER RETURNS TO NEVADA TODAY, AND REMAINS THROUGH TUESDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST FOR A GRADUAL INCREASE IN
HEIGHTS AND THICKNESSES EACH DAY. A PLEASANT WARMING TREND
WILL RESULT. SOME CLOUDS WILL SPILL INTO NEVADA FROM THE NORTH
FROM TIME TO TIME, AS THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE AMPLIFIES. FANTASTIC
WEATHER TO GET TO GRANDMA`S HOUSE FOR THANKSGIVING.  TURNER


.LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. OVER THE LKN CWFA THERE
TENDS TO BE GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING THEN
THERE IS SOME DOWNSTREAM MODEL INCONSISTENCIES. HOWEVER DRY
CONDITIONS SHOULD HOLD THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT AND THERE ARE NO
THANKSGIVING TRAVEL CONCERNS ACROSS THE MAJORITY OF THE INTER-
MOUNTAIN WEST.

TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BE SITUATED ABOUT 270 MILES OFFSHORE AND REMAIN STATIONARY
WHILE A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING FROM CENTAL HIGH PRESSURE ROLLS
EASTWARD OVER THE GREAT BASIN REGION. THIS WILL BRING DRY CONDITIONS.
LOW TEMPERATURES WILL START TO MODERATE AND HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM NEAR
50 DEGREES ACROSS NORTHERN NEVADA TO NEAR 60 DEGREES SOUTH OF HIGHWAY
50.

THANKSGIVING DAY. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BE DROPPING SOUTH INTO
THE MIDDLE OF THE COUNTRY. IN RESPONSE...HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE
GREAT BASIN WILL START TO DE-AMPLIFY. HOWEVER THE RIDGE WILL REMAIN
STRONG ENOUGH TO PROVIDE A BEAUTIFUL THANKSGIVING DAY WITH DRY
CONDITIONS. TEMPERATURES SHOULD RISE INTO THE 50S ACROSS MUCH OF
THE STATE.

THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH BLACK FRIDAY. LOW PRESSURE OVER THE MIDDLE OF
THE COUNTRY WILL SHIFT EAST ENOUGH TO CREATE A RESURGENCE OF RIDGING
OVER NEVADA AND ANOTHER NICE DAY WILL BE ON TAP. EARLY MORNING
SHOPPERS WILL HAVE TO DEAL WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 20S. HOWEVER
TEMPERATURES WILL RISE INTO THE 50S ONCE AGAIN ON BLACK FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.

FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. A WEAK WEATHER SYSTEM MAY BRING SOME
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS TO AREAS NEAR THE IDAHO AND OREGON BORDERS.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED AT KELY AND KTPH THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING. THERE MAY BE SOME FOG DEVELOPMENT NEAR KWMC AND
KEKO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

99/92/92




000
FXUS65 KVEF 230948
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
148 AM PST SUN NOV 23 2014

.SYNOPSIS...A COLD FRONT PUSHING SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION EARLY THIS
MORNING WILL BRING BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS TODAY. THE STRONGEST
WINDS WILL OCCUR ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY FROM LAKE MOHAVE TO
LAKE HAVASU. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING CALMER CONDITIONS MONDAY
THROUGH AT LEAST THE FIRST PART OF THE THANKSGIVING WEEKEND.
&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...A WELL DEFINED COLD
FRONT CONTINUES TO PUSH SOUTH ACROSS THE MOJAVE DESERT EARLY THIS
MORNING BRINGING BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS IN ITS WAKE. THE BIGGEST
IMPACT WILL BE WINDS DOWN THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY WHERE A LAKE
WIND ADVISORY WILL BE IN EFFECT TODAY. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE
LIKELY TO OCCUR BETWEEN LAKE MOHAVE AND LAKE HAVASU WITH GUSTS 30-40
MPH LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE COOLER AND
BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REST OF THE REGION. HIGHS
TODAY WILL BE 5-10 DEGREES COOLER THAN THOSE FELT YESTERDAY.

WINDS WILL PROGRESSIVELY WEAKEN MONDAY AND TUESDAY AS THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT RELAXES AND A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO PUSH INTO
THE WESTERN CONUS. LOCALLY BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE STILL LIKELY IN
FAVORED AREAS SUCH AS THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY. TEMPERATURES WILL
WILL REMAIN FAIRLY STEADY ACROSS THE MOJAVE DESERT MONDAY AND
TUESDAY WHILE A SLOW WARMING TREND IS LIKELY OVER THE SOUTHERN
GREAT BASIN.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...CONFIDENCE IN THE
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY FORECAST REMAINS HIGH AS MODELS CONTINUE TO
BE IN GOOD AGREEMENT AND SHOW GOOD RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY. AS STRONG
RIDGE STARTS TO BREAK DOWN ON FRIDAY MORE HIGH CLOUDS WILL START TO
INVADE OUR SKY. OTHERWISE, NORTH WINDS WILL DIMINISH DOWN THE
COLORADO RIVER VALLEY WHILE TEMPERATURES WILL BE QUITE PLEASANT FOR
LATE NOVEMBER.

CONFIDENCE LOWERS OVER THE WEEKEND AS MODELS CONTINUE TO DISAGREE ON
TIMING/STRENGTH OF A SHORTWAVE MOVING INTO THE WEST. ONE MODEL, THE
GEM ACTUALLY KEEPS RIDGING OVER THE GREAT BASIN. BOTH THE ECMWF/GFS
SUGGEST THE SHORTWAVE WILL BE WEAK AND KEEP ANY PRECIPITATION ACROSS
NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AND NEVADA. KEPT THE FORECAST DRY FOR NOW BUT IF
SHORTWAVE TURNS OUT TO BE STRONGER MAY NEED TO ADD SOME POPS TO THE
SRN SIERRA CREST OR MOUNTAINS OF SOUTH CENTRAL NEVADA OVER THE
WEEKEND.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...NORTHWEST WINDS OF 8-14 KTS WITH GUSTS
15-25 KTS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS MORNING. WINDS SHOULD THEN
DECREASE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND MAY TAKE ON A MORE NORTH OR
NORTHEASTERLY DIRECTION. CONFIDENCE IS A BIT LOWER THIS EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT ON WHETHER WINDS WILL FAVOR A TYPICAL SOUTH/SOUTHWEST
DIRECTION OR A NORTHWEST DIRECTION...IN ANY CASE WINDS SHOULD REMAIN
BELOW 10 KTS. OUTSIDE OF WINDS NO OPERATIONALLY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
EXPECTED.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...DECREASING NORTHERLY WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY ACROSS
MOST OF THE REGION. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE DOWN THE COLORADO RIVER
VALLEY WHERE WIND GUSTS OF 25-35 KTS WILL OCCUR...MAINLY FROM FROM KIFP
TO KHII. OUTSIDE OF WINDS...NO OPERATIONALLY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
EXPECTED.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...WOLCOTT
LONG TERM.............PIERCE

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER







000
FXUS65 KVEF 230948
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
148 AM PST SUN NOV 23 2014

.SYNOPSIS...A COLD FRONT PUSHING SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION EARLY THIS
MORNING WILL BRING BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS TODAY. THE STRONGEST
WINDS WILL OCCUR ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY FROM LAKE MOHAVE TO
LAKE HAVASU. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING CALMER CONDITIONS MONDAY
THROUGH AT LEAST THE FIRST PART OF THE THANKSGIVING WEEKEND.
&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...A WELL DEFINED COLD
FRONT CONTINUES TO PUSH SOUTH ACROSS THE MOJAVE DESERT EARLY THIS
MORNING BRINGING BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS IN ITS WAKE. THE BIGGEST
IMPACT WILL BE WINDS DOWN THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY WHERE A LAKE
WIND ADVISORY WILL BE IN EFFECT TODAY. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE
LIKELY TO OCCUR BETWEEN LAKE MOHAVE AND LAKE HAVASU WITH GUSTS 30-40
MPH LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE COOLER AND
BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REST OF THE REGION. HIGHS
TODAY WILL BE 5-10 DEGREES COOLER THAN THOSE FELT YESTERDAY.

WINDS WILL PROGRESSIVELY WEAKEN MONDAY AND TUESDAY AS THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT RELAXES AND A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO PUSH INTO
THE WESTERN CONUS. LOCALLY BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE STILL LIKELY IN
FAVORED AREAS SUCH AS THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY. TEMPERATURES WILL
WILL REMAIN FAIRLY STEADY ACROSS THE MOJAVE DESERT MONDAY AND
TUESDAY WHILE A SLOW WARMING TREND IS LIKELY OVER THE SOUTHERN
GREAT BASIN.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...CONFIDENCE IN THE
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY FORECAST REMAINS HIGH AS MODELS CONTINUE TO
BE IN GOOD AGREEMENT AND SHOW GOOD RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY. AS STRONG
RIDGE STARTS TO BREAK DOWN ON FRIDAY MORE HIGH CLOUDS WILL START TO
INVADE OUR SKY. OTHERWISE, NORTH WINDS WILL DIMINISH DOWN THE
COLORADO RIVER VALLEY WHILE TEMPERATURES WILL BE QUITE PLEASANT FOR
LATE NOVEMBER.

CONFIDENCE LOWERS OVER THE WEEKEND AS MODELS CONTINUE TO DISAGREE ON
TIMING/STRENGTH OF A SHORTWAVE MOVING INTO THE WEST. ONE MODEL, THE
GEM ACTUALLY KEEPS RIDGING OVER THE GREAT BASIN. BOTH THE ECMWF/GFS
SUGGEST THE SHORTWAVE WILL BE WEAK AND KEEP ANY PRECIPITATION ACROSS
NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AND NEVADA. KEPT THE FORECAST DRY FOR NOW BUT IF
SHORTWAVE TURNS OUT TO BE STRONGER MAY NEED TO ADD SOME POPS TO THE
SRN SIERRA CREST OR MOUNTAINS OF SOUTH CENTRAL NEVADA OVER THE
WEEKEND.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...NORTHWEST WINDS OF 8-14 KTS WITH GUSTS
15-25 KTS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS MORNING. WINDS SHOULD THEN
DECREASE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND MAY TAKE ON A MORE NORTH OR
NORTHEASTERLY DIRECTION. CONFIDENCE IS A BIT LOWER THIS EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT ON WHETHER WINDS WILL FAVOR A TYPICAL SOUTH/SOUTHWEST
DIRECTION OR A NORTHWEST DIRECTION...IN ANY CASE WINDS SHOULD REMAIN
BELOW 10 KTS. OUTSIDE OF WINDS NO OPERATIONALLY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
EXPECTED.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...DECREASING NORTHERLY WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY ACROSS
MOST OF THE REGION. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE DOWN THE COLORADO RIVER
VALLEY WHERE WIND GUSTS OF 25-35 KTS WILL OCCUR...MAINLY FROM FROM KIFP
TO KHII. OUTSIDE OF WINDS...NO OPERATIONALLY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
EXPECTED.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...WOLCOTT
LONG TERM.............PIERCE

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER








000
FXUS65 KVEF 230948
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
148 AM PST SUN NOV 23 2014

.SYNOPSIS...A COLD FRONT PUSHING SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION EARLY THIS
MORNING WILL BRING BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS TODAY. THE STRONGEST
WINDS WILL OCCUR ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY FROM LAKE MOHAVE TO
LAKE HAVASU. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING CALMER CONDITIONS MONDAY
THROUGH AT LEAST THE FIRST PART OF THE THANKSGIVING WEEKEND.
&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...A WELL DEFINED COLD
FRONT CONTINUES TO PUSH SOUTH ACROSS THE MOJAVE DESERT EARLY THIS
MORNING BRINGING BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS IN ITS WAKE. THE BIGGEST
IMPACT WILL BE WINDS DOWN THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY WHERE A LAKE
WIND ADVISORY WILL BE IN EFFECT TODAY. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE
LIKELY TO OCCUR BETWEEN LAKE MOHAVE AND LAKE HAVASU WITH GUSTS 30-40
MPH LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE COOLER AND
BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REST OF THE REGION. HIGHS
TODAY WILL BE 5-10 DEGREES COOLER THAN THOSE FELT YESTERDAY.

WINDS WILL PROGRESSIVELY WEAKEN MONDAY AND TUESDAY AS THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT RELAXES AND A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO PUSH INTO
THE WESTERN CONUS. LOCALLY BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE STILL LIKELY IN
FAVORED AREAS SUCH AS THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY. TEMPERATURES WILL
WILL REMAIN FAIRLY STEADY ACROSS THE MOJAVE DESERT MONDAY AND
TUESDAY WHILE A SLOW WARMING TREND IS LIKELY OVER THE SOUTHERN
GREAT BASIN.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...CONFIDENCE IN THE
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY FORECAST REMAINS HIGH AS MODELS CONTINUE TO
BE IN GOOD AGREEMENT AND SHOW GOOD RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY. AS STRONG
RIDGE STARTS TO BREAK DOWN ON FRIDAY MORE HIGH CLOUDS WILL START TO
INVADE OUR SKY. OTHERWISE, NORTH WINDS WILL DIMINISH DOWN THE
COLORADO RIVER VALLEY WHILE TEMPERATURES WILL BE QUITE PLEASANT FOR
LATE NOVEMBER.

CONFIDENCE LOWERS OVER THE WEEKEND AS MODELS CONTINUE TO DISAGREE ON
TIMING/STRENGTH OF A SHORTWAVE MOVING INTO THE WEST. ONE MODEL, THE
GEM ACTUALLY KEEPS RIDGING OVER THE GREAT BASIN. BOTH THE ECMWF/GFS
SUGGEST THE SHORTWAVE WILL BE WEAK AND KEEP ANY PRECIPITATION ACROSS
NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AND NEVADA. KEPT THE FORECAST DRY FOR NOW BUT IF
SHORTWAVE TURNS OUT TO BE STRONGER MAY NEED TO ADD SOME POPS TO THE
SRN SIERRA CREST OR MOUNTAINS OF SOUTH CENTRAL NEVADA OVER THE
WEEKEND.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...NORTHWEST WINDS OF 8-14 KTS WITH GUSTS
15-25 KTS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS MORNING. WINDS SHOULD THEN
DECREASE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND MAY TAKE ON A MORE NORTH OR
NORTHEASTERLY DIRECTION. CONFIDENCE IS A BIT LOWER THIS EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT ON WHETHER WINDS WILL FAVOR A TYPICAL SOUTH/SOUTHWEST
DIRECTION OR A NORTHWEST DIRECTION...IN ANY CASE WINDS SHOULD REMAIN
BELOW 10 KTS. OUTSIDE OF WINDS NO OPERATIONALLY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
EXPECTED.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...DECREASING NORTHERLY WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY ACROSS
MOST OF THE REGION. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE DOWN THE COLORADO RIVER
VALLEY WHERE WIND GUSTS OF 25-35 KTS WILL OCCUR...MAINLY FROM FROM KIFP
TO KHII. OUTSIDE OF WINDS...NO OPERATIONALLY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
EXPECTED.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...WOLCOTT
LONG TERM.............PIERCE

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER







000
FXUS65 KVEF 230948
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
148 AM PST SUN NOV 23 2014

.SYNOPSIS...A COLD FRONT PUSHING SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION EARLY THIS
MORNING WILL BRING BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS TODAY. THE STRONGEST
WINDS WILL OCCUR ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY FROM LAKE MOHAVE TO
LAKE HAVASU. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING CALMER CONDITIONS MONDAY
THROUGH AT LEAST THE FIRST PART OF THE THANKSGIVING WEEKEND.
&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...A WELL DEFINED COLD
FRONT CONTINUES TO PUSH SOUTH ACROSS THE MOJAVE DESERT EARLY THIS
MORNING BRINGING BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS IN ITS WAKE. THE BIGGEST
IMPACT WILL BE WINDS DOWN THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY WHERE A LAKE
WIND ADVISORY WILL BE IN EFFECT TODAY. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE
LIKELY TO OCCUR BETWEEN LAKE MOHAVE AND LAKE HAVASU WITH GUSTS 30-40
MPH LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE COOLER AND
BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REST OF THE REGION. HIGHS
TODAY WILL BE 5-10 DEGREES COOLER THAN THOSE FELT YESTERDAY.

WINDS WILL PROGRESSIVELY WEAKEN MONDAY AND TUESDAY AS THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT RELAXES AND A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO PUSH INTO
THE WESTERN CONUS. LOCALLY BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE STILL LIKELY IN
FAVORED AREAS SUCH AS THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY. TEMPERATURES WILL
WILL REMAIN FAIRLY STEADY ACROSS THE MOJAVE DESERT MONDAY AND
TUESDAY WHILE A SLOW WARMING TREND IS LIKELY OVER THE SOUTHERN
GREAT BASIN.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...CONFIDENCE IN THE
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY FORECAST REMAINS HIGH AS MODELS CONTINUE TO
BE IN GOOD AGREEMENT AND SHOW GOOD RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY. AS STRONG
RIDGE STARTS TO BREAK DOWN ON FRIDAY MORE HIGH CLOUDS WILL START TO
INVADE OUR SKY. OTHERWISE, NORTH WINDS WILL DIMINISH DOWN THE
COLORADO RIVER VALLEY WHILE TEMPERATURES WILL BE QUITE PLEASANT FOR
LATE NOVEMBER.

CONFIDENCE LOWERS OVER THE WEEKEND AS MODELS CONTINUE TO DISAGREE ON
TIMING/STRENGTH OF A SHORTWAVE MOVING INTO THE WEST. ONE MODEL, THE
GEM ACTUALLY KEEPS RIDGING OVER THE GREAT BASIN. BOTH THE ECMWF/GFS
SUGGEST THE SHORTWAVE WILL BE WEAK AND KEEP ANY PRECIPITATION ACROSS
NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AND NEVADA. KEPT THE FORECAST DRY FOR NOW BUT IF
SHORTWAVE TURNS OUT TO BE STRONGER MAY NEED TO ADD SOME POPS TO THE
SRN SIERRA CREST OR MOUNTAINS OF SOUTH CENTRAL NEVADA OVER THE
WEEKEND.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...NORTHWEST WINDS OF 8-14 KTS WITH GUSTS
15-25 KTS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS MORNING. WINDS SHOULD THEN
DECREASE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND MAY TAKE ON A MORE NORTH OR
NORTHEASTERLY DIRECTION. CONFIDENCE IS A BIT LOWER THIS EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT ON WHETHER WINDS WILL FAVOR A TYPICAL SOUTH/SOUTHWEST
DIRECTION OR A NORTHWEST DIRECTION...IN ANY CASE WINDS SHOULD REMAIN
BELOW 10 KTS. OUTSIDE OF WINDS NO OPERATIONALLY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
EXPECTED.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...DECREASING NORTHERLY WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY ACROSS
MOST OF THE REGION. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE DOWN THE COLORADO RIVER
VALLEY WHERE WIND GUSTS OF 25-35 KTS WILL OCCUR...MAINLY FROM FROM KIFP
TO KHII. OUTSIDE OF WINDS...NO OPERATIONALLY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
EXPECTED.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...WOLCOTT
LONG TERM.............PIERCE

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER








000
FXUS65 KLKN 230506
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
906 PM PST SAT NOV 22 2014

.SYNOPSIS...DRY WEATHER WILL RETURN TO NEVADA SUNDAY WHILE
TEMPERATURES REMAIN CHILLY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP THE GREAT
BASIN DRY WITH A GRADUAL WARMING TREND THROUGH THANKSGIVING.

&&

.UPDATE...CANCELLED ALL WINTER WEATHER HEADLINES. REMAINING SNOW
SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE IN COVERAGE TONIGHT. SOME WET
ROADWAYS WILL REFREEZE OVERNIGHT FOR SOME SLICK SPOTS. DESPITE
WIDESPREAD RAINS TODAY, DRY AIR ADVECTION TONIGHT SHOULD PREVENT
FOG FORMATION. FINALLY, NW WINDS ARE STRONG AT THE NW WIND PRONE
LOCATIONS OF TONOPAH AND WEST WENDOVER, GUSTING 30-40 MPH. WINDS
WILL DECREASE GRADUALLY OVERNIGHT AS SHORTWAVE ENERGY PULLS AWAY
FROM NEVADA.  TURNER

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED AT 251 PM /

SYNOPSIS...STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE OUT OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
NEVADA TONIGHT WITH SHOWERS MOSTLY ENDING BY MIDNIGHT. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BRING DRY WEATHER WITH A WARMING TREND NEXT WEEK.

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. COLD FRONT LAYING NORTHEAST TO
SOUTHWEST ACROSS SOUTHERN ELKO COUNTY AT THIS TIME. COLDER AIR
BEHIND THE FRONT WILL BRING SNOW LEVELS DOWN TO VALLEY FLOORS BY
LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING ACROSS MOST OF NORTHERN NEVADA. BY
THE TIME SNOW LEVELS REACH VALLEY FLOORS MOISTURE WILL BE MOSTLY
GONE SO NOT EXPECTING MUCH IN THE WAY OF SNOW, GENERALLY LESS THAN
1 INCH, WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS IN UPSLOPE FAVORED AREAS SUCH
AS SPRING CREEK. WILL CONTINUE CURRENT WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES
DESPITE THE MARGINAL AMOUNT OF SNOW AS BELOW FREEZING TEMPERATURES
THIS EVENING WILL CAUSE WATER ON ROADWAYS TO TURN TO ICE MAKING
FOR SLIPPERY TRAVEL. WITH MOST PRECIPITATION ENDING BY LATE
EVENING WILL LET WINTER WEATHER PRODUCTS EXPIRE AT 10 PM. SNOW
LEVELS WILL LOWER TO VALLEY FLOORS ACROSS CENTRAL NV THIS EVENING
BUT WITH LIMITED MOISTURE SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE LESS THAN 1/2
INCH. COLD NORTHWEST FLOW ON SUNDAY WITH ENOUGH MOISTURE ACROSS
FAR NORTHEAST NV FOR A FEW MOUNTAIN SNOW SHOWERS. UPPER RIDGE WILL
SLOWLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST COAST MONDAY AND TUESDAY FOR DRY
WEATHER AND SLOWLY MODERATING TEMPERATURES. HOWEVER ENOUGH
MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS NORTHEAST NV FOR PARTLY TO
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES.

LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. RELATIVELY QUIET WEATHER
FOR THANKSGIVING WEEK WITH BROAD 500MB RIDGING EXPECTED ACROSS
THE INTER-MOUNTAIN WEST. FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS ABOVE AVERAGE
THROUGH THE END OF NEXT WEEK. PRECIPITATION WILL RUN BELOW AVERAGE
WITH ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES EXPECTED.

TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THANKSGIVING DAY AN ANOMALOUS 588DAM 500MB
RIDGE WILL SLOWLY PROGRESS EASTWARD FROM THE COAST OF CALIFORNIA TO
THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST THROUGH THE WEEK.  THIS WILL BRING WELL ABOVE
AVERAGE TEMPERATURES AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES...WITH TEMPS PEAKING ON
WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR GREAT TRAVEL WEATHER ACROSS THE
MAJORITY OF THE INTER-MOUNTAIN WEST FOR THANKSGIVING. HIGH TEMPS
WILL BE REACHING INTO THE 50S WITH LOWS IN THE 20S. THERE IS SOME
ENERGY OFF THE PACIFIC COAST BY THE END OF NEXT WEEK...BUT A LOT OF
SPREAD ON HOW THIS ENERGY WILL BE HANDLED. ADDED SOME SHADOW POPS
AND INCREASED CLOUDS BY SATURDAY. WILL HAVE TO WATCH HOW THIS ENERGY
PANS OUT FOR THE HOLIDAY RETURN TRAVEL.

AVIATION...COLD FRONT HAS PUSHED THROUGH NORTHER NEVADA THIS
AFTERNOON...ALLOWING FOR THE RAIN TO BEGIN TO MIX AND CHANGE OVER TO
SNOW. THIS WILL KEEP MVR CIGS AT KEKO THROUGH 02Z. NOT EXPECTING ANY
SNOW TO MIX IN AT KWMC THIS AFTERNOON. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE AT
THE NORTHERN TAF SITES AFTER 04Z AS MOISTURE BEGINS TO PUSH OUT OF
THE AREA. TEMPO MVR CIGS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE AT KELY THIS
EVENING...BUT CONDITIONS SHOULD ALSO IMPROVE THERE QUICKLY BY LATE
EVENING AS PRECIP PULLS OUT.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

99/99




000
FXUS65 KLKN 230506
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
906 PM PST SAT NOV 22 2014

.SYNOPSIS...DRY WEATHER WILL RETURN TO NEVADA SUNDAY WHILE
TEMPERATURES REMAIN CHILLY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP THE GREAT
BASIN DRY WITH A GRADUAL WARMING TREND THROUGH THANKSGIVING.

&&

.UPDATE...CANCELLED ALL WINTER WEATHER HEADLINES. REMAINING SNOW
SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE IN COVERAGE TONIGHT. SOME WET
ROADWAYS WILL REFREEZE OVERNIGHT FOR SOME SLICK SPOTS. DESPITE
WIDESPREAD RAINS TODAY, DRY AIR ADVECTION TONIGHT SHOULD PREVENT
FOG FORMATION. FINALLY, NW WINDS ARE STRONG AT THE NW WIND PRONE
LOCATIONS OF TONOPAH AND WEST WENDOVER, GUSTING 30-40 MPH. WINDS
WILL DECREASE GRADUALLY OVERNIGHT AS SHORTWAVE ENERGY PULLS AWAY
FROM NEVADA.  TURNER

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED AT 251 PM /

SYNOPSIS...STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE OUT OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
NEVADA TONIGHT WITH SHOWERS MOSTLY ENDING BY MIDNIGHT. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BRING DRY WEATHER WITH A WARMING TREND NEXT WEEK.

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. COLD FRONT LAYING NORTHEAST TO
SOUTHWEST ACROSS SOUTHERN ELKO COUNTY AT THIS TIME. COLDER AIR
BEHIND THE FRONT WILL BRING SNOW LEVELS DOWN TO VALLEY FLOORS BY
LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING ACROSS MOST OF NORTHERN NEVADA. BY
THE TIME SNOW LEVELS REACH VALLEY FLOORS MOISTURE WILL BE MOSTLY
GONE SO NOT EXPECTING MUCH IN THE WAY OF SNOW, GENERALLY LESS THAN
1 INCH, WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS IN UPSLOPE FAVORED AREAS SUCH
AS SPRING CREEK. WILL CONTINUE CURRENT WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES
DESPITE THE MARGINAL AMOUNT OF SNOW AS BELOW FREEZING TEMPERATURES
THIS EVENING WILL CAUSE WATER ON ROADWAYS TO TURN TO ICE MAKING
FOR SLIPPERY TRAVEL. WITH MOST PRECIPITATION ENDING BY LATE
EVENING WILL LET WINTER WEATHER PRODUCTS EXPIRE AT 10 PM. SNOW
LEVELS WILL LOWER TO VALLEY FLOORS ACROSS CENTRAL NV THIS EVENING
BUT WITH LIMITED MOISTURE SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE LESS THAN 1/2
INCH. COLD NORTHWEST FLOW ON SUNDAY WITH ENOUGH MOISTURE ACROSS
FAR NORTHEAST NV FOR A FEW MOUNTAIN SNOW SHOWERS. UPPER RIDGE WILL
SLOWLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST COAST MONDAY AND TUESDAY FOR DRY
WEATHER AND SLOWLY MODERATING TEMPERATURES. HOWEVER ENOUGH
MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS NORTHEAST NV FOR PARTLY TO
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES.

LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. RELATIVELY QUIET WEATHER
FOR THANKSGIVING WEEK WITH BROAD 500MB RIDGING EXPECTED ACROSS
THE INTER-MOUNTAIN WEST. FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS ABOVE AVERAGE
THROUGH THE END OF NEXT WEEK. PRECIPITATION WILL RUN BELOW AVERAGE
WITH ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES EXPECTED.

TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THANKSGIVING DAY AN ANOMALOUS 588DAM 500MB
RIDGE WILL SLOWLY PROGRESS EASTWARD FROM THE COAST OF CALIFORNIA TO
THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST THROUGH THE WEEK.  THIS WILL BRING WELL ABOVE
AVERAGE TEMPERATURES AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES...WITH TEMPS PEAKING ON
WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR GREAT TRAVEL WEATHER ACROSS THE
MAJORITY OF THE INTER-MOUNTAIN WEST FOR THANKSGIVING. HIGH TEMPS
WILL BE REACHING INTO THE 50S WITH LOWS IN THE 20S. THERE IS SOME
ENERGY OFF THE PACIFIC COAST BY THE END OF NEXT WEEK...BUT A LOT OF
SPREAD ON HOW THIS ENERGY WILL BE HANDLED. ADDED SOME SHADOW POPS
AND INCREASED CLOUDS BY SATURDAY. WILL HAVE TO WATCH HOW THIS ENERGY
PANS OUT FOR THE HOLIDAY RETURN TRAVEL.

AVIATION...COLD FRONT HAS PUSHED THROUGH NORTHER NEVADA THIS
AFTERNOON...ALLOWING FOR THE RAIN TO BEGIN TO MIX AND CHANGE OVER TO
SNOW. THIS WILL KEEP MVR CIGS AT KEKO THROUGH 02Z. NOT EXPECTING ANY
SNOW TO MIX IN AT KWMC THIS AFTERNOON. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE AT
THE NORTHERN TAF SITES AFTER 04Z AS MOISTURE BEGINS TO PUSH OUT OF
THE AREA. TEMPO MVR CIGS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE AT KELY THIS
EVENING...BUT CONDITIONS SHOULD ALSO IMPROVE THERE QUICKLY BY LATE
EVENING AS PRECIP PULLS OUT.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

99/99



000
FXUS65 KVEF 230338
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
738 PM PST SAT NOV 22 2014

.SYNOPSIS...A COLD FRONT PUSHING SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT
WILL BRING COOLER AND WINDY CONDITIONS SUNDAY WITH THE STRONGEST
WINDS ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY FROM LAKE MOHAVE TO LAKE
HAVASU. AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE SETTING UP OVER THE REGION EARLY IN
THE COMING WEEK WILL BRING TRANQUIL WEATHER WITH TEMPERATURES
CLIMBING A LITTLE ABOVE NORMAL TROUGH THANKSGIVING DAY AND
THE FOLLOWING WEEKEND.
&&

.UPDATE...AT 626 PM THE FILE MILE RAWS SITE IN THE SOUTHERN SIERRA
OF INYO COUNTY REPORTED A GUST TO 59 MPH...IT`S HIGHEST GUST YET
WITH THIS EVENT. THIS COMBINED WITH PILOT REPORTS OF MOUNTAIN WAVE
ACTIVITY OVER THE SIERRA PROMPTED AN EXTENSION OF THE WIND ADVISORY
FOR THE SIERRA THROUGH 06Z THIS EVENING. I ALSO REMOVED ANY MENTION
OF PRECIPITATION FROM THE SIERRA THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT
AS LOW/MID LEVEL CLOUDS HAVE CLEARED FROM THE AREA. WINDS STILL
GUSTING IN THE 35-45 MPH RANGE OVER THE WESTERN MOJAVE DESERT
INCLUDING IN THE BARSTOW DAGGETT AREA AND THE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS
IN PLACE. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT AND
ADDITIONAL UPDATES MAY BE NECESSARY.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...WINDS EXPECTED TO BE A CHALLENGE BETWEEN
330Z AND 07Z OR 08Z IN ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT.
GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS UNDER 10 KTS ARE EXPECTED HOWEVER THE
DIRECTIONS MAY VARY QUITE A BIT. BEST ESTIMATE PLACES WINDS FROM A
SOUTHWEST TO WEST DIRECTION DURING THIS TIME FRAME. A COLD FRONT
SWEEPS ACROSS THE TERMINAL AREA BETWEEN 07Z AND 08Z. WINDS BEHIND
THE FRONT WILL BE AROUND 10-16 KTS WITH GUSTS 15-25 KTS THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING. WINDS SHOULD THEN DECREASE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND MAY
TAKE ON A MORE NORTH OR NORTHEASTERLY DIRECTION. OUTSIDE OF WINDS NO
OPERATIONALLY SIGNIFICANT CLOUDS/WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...A COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP DOWN THROUGH SOUTHERN NEVADA
AND SURROUNDING AREAS OVERNIGHT FOLLOWED BY GUSTY NORTHWEST TO NORTH
WINDS. SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS OF 10-20 KTS AND GUSTS OF 25-30 KTS
WILL OCCUR AHEAD OF THE FRONT ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH EARLY THIS
EVENING. AREAS OF MECHANICAL TURBULENCE ARE POSSIBLE IN/AROUND THE
OWENS VALLEY AND THE EASTERN MOJAVE DESERT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY
MORNING. WIND GUSTS OF 20-30 KTS CAN BE EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT
ON SUNDAY ESPECIALLY IN THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY FROM KIFP TO KHII.
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
ISSUED 305 PM PST SAT NOV 22 2014

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...SOUTHWEST WINDS HAVE
INCREASED ACROSS THE MOJAVE DESERT AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THAT WILL
SWEEP DOWN THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN AND SOUTHERN NEVADA OVERNIGHT.
GUSTS OVER 50 MPH DEVELOPED AT THE BARSTOW-DAGGETT AIRPORT AROUND
22Z AND A WIND ADVISORY WAS ISSUED FOR THE WESTERN MOJAVE DESERT
THROUGH 3 AM SUNDAY. ELSEWHERE GUSTS OF 20-30 MPH WERE COMMON.
ISOLATED SHOWERS MAY BRUSH NORTHERN LINCOLN COUNTY THIS EVENING BUT
THE MAIN STORY WILL BE GUSTY NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS DEVELOPING AS
THE FRONT PUSHES DOWN THROUGH SOUTHERN NEVADA AND SURROUNDING AREAS
OVERNIGHT. THE LATEST HIGH RES MODELS STILL INDICATE THE FRONT WILL
MOVE THROUGH THE LAS VEGAS AREA AROUND MIDNIGHT LOCAL TIME THEN DOWN
THROUGH SOUTHEAST SAN BERNARDINO/SOUTHERN MOHAVE COUNTIES BY 12Z
SUNDAY. BRIEF GUSTS AROUND 40 MPH MAY OCCUR IMMEDIATELY FOLLOWING
THE FRONT FOR SOME AREAS. NORTH WINDS DOWN THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY
WILL BE STRONGEST FROM COTTONWOOD COVE ON LAKE MOHAVE DOWN TO LAKE
HAVASU WITH THE MAXIMA NEAR LAUGHLIN-BULLHEAD CITY...AS USUAL. A
LAKE WIND ADVISORY WAS ISSUED FROM 9 AM TO 4 PM SUNDAY. WIND SPEEDS
WILL DECREASE SUNDAY NIGHT BUT NORTH BREEZES OF 10-20 MPH WILL
PERSIST MONDAY WITH GUSTS AROUND 30 MPH NEAR LAUGHLIN-BULLHEAD CITY.
TEMPS WILL DROP AROUND 10 DEGREES SUNDAY WITH LITTLE CHANGE MONDAY.

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...WEATHER WILL HAVE NO IMPACT
ON HOLIDAY TRAVEL PLANS FOR THOSE HEADING IN AND OUT OF VEGAS.
STRONG RIDGE ALONG THE WEST COAST TUESDAY PROGGED TO SHIFT INLAND
ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. ALL MODELS START TO
BREAKDOWN THE RIDGE ON FRIDAY BUT DISAGREE ON THE STRENGTH/POSITION
OF A TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC. WILL CONTINUE TO UNDERCUT MOS
GUIDANCE HIGHS FOR THE VALLEYS DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF INVERSIONS
WHICH WILL INHIBIT MIXING. WITH THAT BEING SAID, 61 DEGREES IS THE
NORMAL HIGH FOR LAS VEGAS ON THURSDAY. THE CURRENT FORECAST IS FOR
68. THE REMAINDER OF THE SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN AND MOJAVE DESERT WILL
ENJOY SIMILAR CONDITIONS WITH HIGHS RUNNING 6 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL. A NORTH WIND WILL LINGER DOWN THE COLORADO RIVER SOUTH OF
LAKE MOHAVE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY THEN LESSEN ON THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY. NO SIGNIFICANT WINDS ARE EXPECTED ELSEWHERE.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION...WOLCOTT
SHORT TERM........ADAIR
LONG TERM.........PIERCE

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER








000
FXUS65 KVEF 230338
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
738 PM PST SAT NOV 22 2014

.SYNOPSIS...A COLD FRONT PUSHING SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT
WILL BRING COOLER AND WINDY CONDITIONS SUNDAY WITH THE STRONGEST
WINDS ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY FROM LAKE MOHAVE TO LAKE
HAVASU. AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE SETTING UP OVER THE REGION EARLY IN
THE COMING WEEK WILL BRING TRANQUIL WEATHER WITH TEMPERATURES
CLIMBING A LITTLE ABOVE NORMAL TROUGH THANKSGIVING DAY AND
THE FOLLOWING WEEKEND.
&&

.UPDATE...AT 626 PM THE FILE MILE RAWS SITE IN THE SOUTHERN SIERRA
OF INYO COUNTY REPORTED A GUST TO 59 MPH...IT`S HIGHEST GUST YET
WITH THIS EVENT. THIS COMBINED WITH PILOT REPORTS OF MOUNTAIN WAVE
ACTIVITY OVER THE SIERRA PROMPTED AN EXTENSION OF THE WIND ADVISORY
FOR THE SIERRA THROUGH 06Z THIS EVENING. I ALSO REMOVED ANY MENTION
OF PRECIPITATION FROM THE SIERRA THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT
AS LOW/MID LEVEL CLOUDS HAVE CLEARED FROM THE AREA. WINDS STILL
GUSTING IN THE 35-45 MPH RANGE OVER THE WESTERN MOJAVE DESERT
INCLUDING IN THE BARSTOW DAGGETT AREA AND THE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS
IN PLACE. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT AND
ADDITIONAL UPDATES MAY BE NECESSARY.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...WINDS EXPECTED TO BE A CHALLENGE BETWEEN
330Z AND 07Z OR 08Z IN ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT.
GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS UNDER 10 KTS ARE EXPECTED HOWEVER THE
DIRECTIONS MAY VARY QUITE A BIT. BEST ESTIMATE PLACES WINDS FROM A
SOUTHWEST TO WEST DIRECTION DURING THIS TIME FRAME. A COLD FRONT
SWEEPS ACROSS THE TERMINAL AREA BETWEEN 07Z AND 08Z. WINDS BEHIND
THE FRONT WILL BE AROUND 10-16 KTS WITH GUSTS 15-25 KTS THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING. WINDS SHOULD THEN DECREASE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND MAY
TAKE ON A MORE NORTH OR NORTHEASTERLY DIRECTION. OUTSIDE OF WINDS NO
OPERATIONALLY SIGNIFICANT CLOUDS/WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...A COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP DOWN THROUGH SOUTHERN NEVADA
AND SURROUNDING AREAS OVERNIGHT FOLLOWED BY GUSTY NORTHWEST TO NORTH
WINDS. SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS OF 10-20 KTS AND GUSTS OF 25-30 KTS
WILL OCCUR AHEAD OF THE FRONT ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH EARLY THIS
EVENING. AREAS OF MECHANICAL TURBULENCE ARE POSSIBLE IN/AROUND THE
OWENS VALLEY AND THE EASTERN MOJAVE DESERT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY
MORNING. WIND GUSTS OF 20-30 KTS CAN BE EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT
ON SUNDAY ESPECIALLY IN THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY FROM KIFP TO KHII.
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
ISSUED 305 PM PST SAT NOV 22 2014

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...SOUTHWEST WINDS HAVE
INCREASED ACROSS THE MOJAVE DESERT AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THAT WILL
SWEEP DOWN THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN AND SOUTHERN NEVADA OVERNIGHT.
GUSTS OVER 50 MPH DEVELOPED AT THE BARSTOW-DAGGETT AIRPORT AROUND
22Z AND A WIND ADVISORY WAS ISSUED FOR THE WESTERN MOJAVE DESERT
THROUGH 3 AM SUNDAY. ELSEWHERE GUSTS OF 20-30 MPH WERE COMMON.
ISOLATED SHOWERS MAY BRUSH NORTHERN LINCOLN COUNTY THIS EVENING BUT
THE MAIN STORY WILL BE GUSTY NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS DEVELOPING AS
THE FRONT PUSHES DOWN THROUGH SOUTHERN NEVADA AND SURROUNDING AREAS
OVERNIGHT. THE LATEST HIGH RES MODELS STILL INDICATE THE FRONT WILL
MOVE THROUGH THE LAS VEGAS AREA AROUND MIDNIGHT LOCAL TIME THEN DOWN
THROUGH SOUTHEAST SAN BERNARDINO/SOUTHERN MOHAVE COUNTIES BY 12Z
SUNDAY. BRIEF GUSTS AROUND 40 MPH MAY OCCUR IMMEDIATELY FOLLOWING
THE FRONT FOR SOME AREAS. NORTH WINDS DOWN THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY
WILL BE STRONGEST FROM COTTONWOOD COVE ON LAKE MOHAVE DOWN TO LAKE
HAVASU WITH THE MAXIMA NEAR LAUGHLIN-BULLHEAD CITY...AS USUAL. A
LAKE WIND ADVISORY WAS ISSUED FROM 9 AM TO 4 PM SUNDAY. WIND SPEEDS
WILL DECREASE SUNDAY NIGHT BUT NORTH BREEZES OF 10-20 MPH WILL
PERSIST MONDAY WITH GUSTS AROUND 30 MPH NEAR LAUGHLIN-BULLHEAD CITY.
TEMPS WILL DROP AROUND 10 DEGREES SUNDAY WITH LITTLE CHANGE MONDAY.

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...WEATHER WILL HAVE NO IMPACT
ON HOLIDAY TRAVEL PLANS FOR THOSE HEADING IN AND OUT OF VEGAS.
STRONG RIDGE ALONG THE WEST COAST TUESDAY PROGGED TO SHIFT INLAND
ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. ALL MODELS START TO
BREAKDOWN THE RIDGE ON FRIDAY BUT DISAGREE ON THE STRENGTH/POSITION
OF A TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC. WILL CONTINUE TO UNDERCUT MOS
GUIDANCE HIGHS FOR THE VALLEYS DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF INVERSIONS
WHICH WILL INHIBIT MIXING. WITH THAT BEING SAID, 61 DEGREES IS THE
NORMAL HIGH FOR LAS VEGAS ON THURSDAY. THE CURRENT FORECAST IS FOR
68. THE REMAINDER OF THE SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN AND MOJAVE DESERT WILL
ENJOY SIMILAR CONDITIONS WITH HIGHS RUNNING 6 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL. A NORTH WIND WILL LINGER DOWN THE COLORADO RIVER SOUTH OF
LAKE MOHAVE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY THEN LESSEN ON THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY. NO SIGNIFICANT WINDS ARE EXPECTED ELSEWHERE.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION...WOLCOTT
SHORT TERM........ADAIR
LONG TERM.........PIERCE

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER








000
FXUS65 KVEF 230338
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
738 PM PST SAT NOV 22 2014

.SYNOPSIS...A COLD FRONT PUSHING SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT
WILL BRING COOLER AND WINDY CONDITIONS SUNDAY WITH THE STRONGEST
WINDS ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY FROM LAKE MOHAVE TO LAKE
HAVASU. AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE SETTING UP OVER THE REGION EARLY IN
THE COMING WEEK WILL BRING TRANQUIL WEATHER WITH TEMPERATURES
CLIMBING A LITTLE ABOVE NORMAL TROUGH THANKSGIVING DAY AND
THE FOLLOWING WEEKEND.
&&

.UPDATE...AT 626 PM THE FILE MILE RAWS SITE IN THE SOUTHERN SIERRA
OF INYO COUNTY REPORTED A GUST TO 59 MPH...IT`S HIGHEST GUST YET
WITH THIS EVENT. THIS COMBINED WITH PILOT REPORTS OF MOUNTAIN WAVE
ACTIVITY OVER THE SIERRA PROMPTED AN EXTENSION OF THE WIND ADVISORY
FOR THE SIERRA THROUGH 06Z THIS EVENING. I ALSO REMOVED ANY MENTION
OF PRECIPITATION FROM THE SIERRA THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT
AS LOW/MID LEVEL CLOUDS HAVE CLEARED FROM THE AREA. WINDS STILL
GUSTING IN THE 35-45 MPH RANGE OVER THE WESTERN MOJAVE DESERT
INCLUDING IN THE BARSTOW DAGGETT AREA AND THE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS
IN PLACE. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT AND
ADDITIONAL UPDATES MAY BE NECESSARY.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...WINDS EXPECTED TO BE A CHALLENGE BETWEEN
330Z AND 07Z OR 08Z IN ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT.
GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS UNDER 10 KTS ARE EXPECTED HOWEVER THE
DIRECTIONS MAY VARY QUITE A BIT. BEST ESTIMATE PLACES WINDS FROM A
SOUTHWEST TO WEST DIRECTION DURING THIS TIME FRAME. A COLD FRONT
SWEEPS ACROSS THE TERMINAL AREA BETWEEN 07Z AND 08Z. WINDS BEHIND
THE FRONT WILL BE AROUND 10-16 KTS WITH GUSTS 15-25 KTS THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING. WINDS SHOULD THEN DECREASE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND MAY
TAKE ON A MORE NORTH OR NORTHEASTERLY DIRECTION. OUTSIDE OF WINDS NO
OPERATIONALLY SIGNIFICANT CLOUDS/WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...A COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP DOWN THROUGH SOUTHERN NEVADA
AND SURROUNDING AREAS OVERNIGHT FOLLOWED BY GUSTY NORTHWEST TO NORTH
WINDS. SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS OF 10-20 KTS AND GUSTS OF 25-30 KTS
WILL OCCUR AHEAD OF THE FRONT ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH EARLY THIS
EVENING. AREAS OF MECHANICAL TURBULENCE ARE POSSIBLE IN/AROUND THE
OWENS VALLEY AND THE EASTERN MOJAVE DESERT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY
MORNING. WIND GUSTS OF 20-30 KTS CAN BE EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT
ON SUNDAY ESPECIALLY IN THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY FROM KIFP TO KHII.
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
ISSUED 305 PM PST SAT NOV 22 2014

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...SOUTHWEST WINDS HAVE
INCREASED ACROSS THE MOJAVE DESERT AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THAT WILL
SWEEP DOWN THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN AND SOUTHERN NEVADA OVERNIGHT.
GUSTS OVER 50 MPH DEVELOPED AT THE BARSTOW-DAGGETT AIRPORT AROUND
22Z AND A WIND ADVISORY WAS ISSUED FOR THE WESTERN MOJAVE DESERT
THROUGH 3 AM SUNDAY. ELSEWHERE GUSTS OF 20-30 MPH WERE COMMON.
ISOLATED SHOWERS MAY BRUSH NORTHERN LINCOLN COUNTY THIS EVENING BUT
THE MAIN STORY WILL BE GUSTY NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS DEVELOPING AS
THE FRONT PUSHES DOWN THROUGH SOUTHERN NEVADA AND SURROUNDING AREAS
OVERNIGHT. THE LATEST HIGH RES MODELS STILL INDICATE THE FRONT WILL
MOVE THROUGH THE LAS VEGAS AREA AROUND MIDNIGHT LOCAL TIME THEN DOWN
THROUGH SOUTHEAST SAN BERNARDINO/SOUTHERN MOHAVE COUNTIES BY 12Z
SUNDAY. BRIEF GUSTS AROUND 40 MPH MAY OCCUR IMMEDIATELY FOLLOWING
THE FRONT FOR SOME AREAS. NORTH WINDS DOWN THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY
WILL BE STRONGEST FROM COTTONWOOD COVE ON LAKE MOHAVE DOWN TO LAKE
HAVASU WITH THE MAXIMA NEAR LAUGHLIN-BULLHEAD CITY...AS USUAL. A
LAKE WIND ADVISORY WAS ISSUED FROM 9 AM TO 4 PM SUNDAY. WIND SPEEDS
WILL DECREASE SUNDAY NIGHT BUT NORTH BREEZES OF 10-20 MPH WILL
PERSIST MONDAY WITH GUSTS AROUND 30 MPH NEAR LAUGHLIN-BULLHEAD CITY.
TEMPS WILL DROP AROUND 10 DEGREES SUNDAY WITH LITTLE CHANGE MONDAY.

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...WEATHER WILL HAVE NO IMPACT
ON HOLIDAY TRAVEL PLANS FOR THOSE HEADING IN AND OUT OF VEGAS.
STRONG RIDGE ALONG THE WEST COAST TUESDAY PROGGED TO SHIFT INLAND
ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. ALL MODELS START TO
BREAKDOWN THE RIDGE ON FRIDAY BUT DISAGREE ON THE STRENGTH/POSITION
OF A TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC. WILL CONTINUE TO UNDERCUT MOS
GUIDANCE HIGHS FOR THE VALLEYS DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF INVERSIONS
WHICH WILL INHIBIT MIXING. WITH THAT BEING SAID, 61 DEGREES IS THE
NORMAL HIGH FOR LAS VEGAS ON THURSDAY. THE CURRENT FORECAST IS FOR
68. THE REMAINDER OF THE SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN AND MOJAVE DESERT WILL
ENJOY SIMILAR CONDITIONS WITH HIGHS RUNNING 6 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL. A NORTH WIND WILL LINGER DOWN THE COLORADO RIVER SOUTH OF
LAKE MOHAVE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY THEN LESSEN ON THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY. NO SIGNIFICANT WINDS ARE EXPECTED ELSEWHERE.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION...WOLCOTT
SHORT TERM........ADAIR
LONG TERM.........PIERCE

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER








000
FXUS65 KVEF 230338
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
738 PM PST SAT NOV 22 2014

.SYNOPSIS...A COLD FRONT PUSHING SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT
WILL BRING COOLER AND WINDY CONDITIONS SUNDAY WITH THE STRONGEST
WINDS ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY FROM LAKE MOHAVE TO LAKE
HAVASU. AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE SETTING UP OVER THE REGION EARLY IN
THE COMING WEEK WILL BRING TRANQUIL WEATHER WITH TEMPERATURES
CLIMBING A LITTLE ABOVE NORMAL TROUGH THANKSGIVING DAY AND
THE FOLLOWING WEEKEND.
&&

.UPDATE...AT 626 PM THE FILE MILE RAWS SITE IN THE SOUTHERN SIERRA
OF INYO COUNTY REPORTED A GUST TO 59 MPH...IT`S HIGHEST GUST YET
WITH THIS EVENT. THIS COMBINED WITH PILOT REPORTS OF MOUNTAIN WAVE
ACTIVITY OVER THE SIERRA PROMPTED AN EXTENSION OF THE WIND ADVISORY
FOR THE SIERRA THROUGH 06Z THIS EVENING. I ALSO REMOVED ANY MENTION
OF PRECIPITATION FROM THE SIERRA THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT
AS LOW/MID LEVEL CLOUDS HAVE CLEARED FROM THE AREA. WINDS STILL
GUSTING IN THE 35-45 MPH RANGE OVER THE WESTERN MOJAVE DESERT
INCLUDING IN THE BARSTOW DAGGETT AREA AND THE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS
IN PLACE. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT AND
ADDITIONAL UPDATES MAY BE NECESSARY.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...WINDS EXPECTED TO BE A CHALLENGE BETWEEN
330Z AND 07Z OR 08Z IN ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT.
GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS UNDER 10 KTS ARE EXPECTED HOWEVER THE
DIRECTIONS MAY VARY QUITE A BIT. BEST ESTIMATE PLACES WINDS FROM A
SOUTHWEST TO WEST DIRECTION DURING THIS TIME FRAME. A COLD FRONT
SWEEPS ACROSS THE TERMINAL AREA BETWEEN 07Z AND 08Z. WINDS BEHIND
THE FRONT WILL BE AROUND 10-16 KTS WITH GUSTS 15-25 KTS THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING. WINDS SHOULD THEN DECREASE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND MAY
TAKE ON A MORE NORTH OR NORTHEASTERLY DIRECTION. OUTSIDE OF WINDS NO
OPERATIONALLY SIGNIFICANT CLOUDS/WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...A COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP DOWN THROUGH SOUTHERN NEVADA
AND SURROUNDING AREAS OVERNIGHT FOLLOWED BY GUSTY NORTHWEST TO NORTH
WINDS. SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS OF 10-20 KTS AND GUSTS OF 25-30 KTS
WILL OCCUR AHEAD OF THE FRONT ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH EARLY THIS
EVENING. AREAS OF MECHANICAL TURBULENCE ARE POSSIBLE IN/AROUND THE
OWENS VALLEY AND THE EASTERN MOJAVE DESERT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY
MORNING. WIND GUSTS OF 20-30 KTS CAN BE EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT
ON SUNDAY ESPECIALLY IN THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY FROM KIFP TO KHII.
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
ISSUED 305 PM PST SAT NOV 22 2014

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...SOUTHWEST WINDS HAVE
INCREASED ACROSS THE MOJAVE DESERT AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THAT WILL
SWEEP DOWN THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN AND SOUTHERN NEVADA OVERNIGHT.
GUSTS OVER 50 MPH DEVELOPED AT THE BARSTOW-DAGGETT AIRPORT AROUND
22Z AND A WIND ADVISORY WAS ISSUED FOR THE WESTERN MOJAVE DESERT
THROUGH 3 AM SUNDAY. ELSEWHERE GUSTS OF 20-30 MPH WERE COMMON.
ISOLATED SHOWERS MAY BRUSH NORTHERN LINCOLN COUNTY THIS EVENING BUT
THE MAIN STORY WILL BE GUSTY NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS DEVELOPING AS
THE FRONT PUSHES DOWN THROUGH SOUTHERN NEVADA AND SURROUNDING AREAS
OVERNIGHT. THE LATEST HIGH RES MODELS STILL INDICATE THE FRONT WILL
MOVE THROUGH THE LAS VEGAS AREA AROUND MIDNIGHT LOCAL TIME THEN DOWN
THROUGH SOUTHEAST SAN BERNARDINO/SOUTHERN MOHAVE COUNTIES BY 12Z
SUNDAY. BRIEF GUSTS AROUND 40 MPH MAY OCCUR IMMEDIATELY FOLLOWING
THE FRONT FOR SOME AREAS. NORTH WINDS DOWN THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY
WILL BE STRONGEST FROM COTTONWOOD COVE ON LAKE MOHAVE DOWN TO LAKE
HAVASU WITH THE MAXIMA NEAR LAUGHLIN-BULLHEAD CITY...AS USUAL. A
LAKE WIND ADVISORY WAS ISSUED FROM 9 AM TO 4 PM SUNDAY. WIND SPEEDS
WILL DECREASE SUNDAY NIGHT BUT NORTH BREEZES OF 10-20 MPH WILL
PERSIST MONDAY WITH GUSTS AROUND 30 MPH NEAR LAUGHLIN-BULLHEAD CITY.
TEMPS WILL DROP AROUND 10 DEGREES SUNDAY WITH LITTLE CHANGE MONDAY.

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...WEATHER WILL HAVE NO IMPACT
ON HOLIDAY TRAVEL PLANS FOR THOSE HEADING IN AND OUT OF VEGAS.
STRONG RIDGE ALONG THE WEST COAST TUESDAY PROGGED TO SHIFT INLAND
ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. ALL MODELS START TO
BREAKDOWN THE RIDGE ON FRIDAY BUT DISAGREE ON THE STRENGTH/POSITION
OF A TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC. WILL CONTINUE TO UNDERCUT MOS
GUIDANCE HIGHS FOR THE VALLEYS DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF INVERSIONS
WHICH WILL INHIBIT MIXING. WITH THAT BEING SAID, 61 DEGREES IS THE
NORMAL HIGH FOR LAS VEGAS ON THURSDAY. THE CURRENT FORECAST IS FOR
68. THE REMAINDER OF THE SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN AND MOJAVE DESERT WILL
ENJOY SIMILAR CONDITIONS WITH HIGHS RUNNING 6 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL. A NORTH WIND WILL LINGER DOWN THE COLORADO RIVER SOUTH OF
LAKE MOHAVE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY THEN LESSEN ON THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY. NO SIGNIFICANT WINDS ARE EXPECTED ELSEWHERE.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION...WOLCOTT
SHORT TERM........ADAIR
LONG TERM.........PIERCE

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER








000
FXUS65 KVEF 230338
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
738 PM PST SAT NOV 22 2014

.SYNOPSIS...A COLD FRONT PUSHING SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT
WILL BRING COOLER AND WINDY CONDITIONS SUNDAY WITH THE STRONGEST
WINDS ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY FROM LAKE MOHAVE TO LAKE
HAVASU. AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE SETTING UP OVER THE REGION EARLY IN
THE COMING WEEK WILL BRING TRANQUIL WEATHER WITH TEMPERATURES
CLIMBING A LITTLE ABOVE NORMAL TROUGH THANKSGIVING DAY AND
THE FOLLOWING WEEKEND.
&&

.UPDATE...AT 626 PM THE FILE MILE RAWS SITE IN THE SOUTHERN SIERRA
OF INYO COUNTY REPORTED A GUST TO 59 MPH...IT`S HIGHEST GUST YET
WITH THIS EVENT. THIS COMBINED WITH PILOT REPORTS OF MOUNTAIN WAVE
ACTIVITY OVER THE SIERRA PROMPTED AN EXTENSION OF THE WIND ADVISORY
FOR THE SIERRA THROUGH 06Z THIS EVENING. I ALSO REMOVED ANY MENTION
OF PRECIPITATION FROM THE SIERRA THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT
AS LOW/MID LEVEL CLOUDS HAVE CLEARED FROM THE AREA. WINDS STILL
GUSTING IN THE 35-45 MPH RANGE OVER THE WESTERN MOJAVE DESERT
INCLUDING IN THE BARSTOW DAGGETT AREA AND THE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS
IN PLACE. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT AND
ADDITIONAL UPDATES MAY BE NECESSARY.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...WINDS EXPECTED TO BE A CHALLENGE BETWEEN
330Z AND 07Z OR 08Z IN ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT.
GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS UNDER 10 KTS ARE EXPECTED HOWEVER THE
DIRECTIONS MAY VARY QUITE A BIT. BEST ESTIMATE PLACES WINDS FROM A
SOUTHWEST TO WEST DIRECTION DURING THIS TIME FRAME. A COLD FRONT
SWEEPS ACROSS THE TERMINAL AREA BETWEEN 07Z AND 08Z. WINDS BEHIND
THE FRONT WILL BE AROUND 10-16 KTS WITH GUSTS 15-25 KTS THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING. WINDS SHOULD THEN DECREASE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND MAY
TAKE ON A MORE NORTH OR NORTHEASTERLY DIRECTION. OUTSIDE OF WINDS NO
OPERATIONALLY SIGNIFICANT CLOUDS/WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...A COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP DOWN THROUGH SOUTHERN NEVADA
AND SURROUNDING AREAS OVERNIGHT FOLLOWED BY GUSTY NORTHWEST TO NORTH
WINDS. SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS OF 10-20 KTS AND GUSTS OF 25-30 KTS
WILL OCCUR AHEAD OF THE FRONT ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH EARLY THIS
EVENING. AREAS OF MECHANICAL TURBULENCE ARE POSSIBLE IN/AROUND THE
OWENS VALLEY AND THE EASTERN MOJAVE DESERT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY
MORNING. WIND GUSTS OF 20-30 KTS CAN BE EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT
ON SUNDAY ESPECIALLY IN THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY FROM KIFP TO KHII.
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
ISSUED 305 PM PST SAT NOV 22 2014

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...SOUTHWEST WINDS HAVE
INCREASED ACROSS THE MOJAVE DESERT AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THAT WILL
SWEEP DOWN THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN AND SOUTHERN NEVADA OVERNIGHT.
GUSTS OVER 50 MPH DEVELOPED AT THE BARSTOW-DAGGETT AIRPORT AROUND
22Z AND A WIND ADVISORY WAS ISSUED FOR THE WESTERN MOJAVE DESERT
THROUGH 3 AM SUNDAY. ELSEWHERE GUSTS OF 20-30 MPH WERE COMMON.
ISOLATED SHOWERS MAY BRUSH NORTHERN LINCOLN COUNTY THIS EVENING BUT
THE MAIN STORY WILL BE GUSTY NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS DEVELOPING AS
THE FRONT PUSHES DOWN THROUGH SOUTHERN NEVADA AND SURROUNDING AREAS
OVERNIGHT. THE LATEST HIGH RES MODELS STILL INDICATE THE FRONT WILL
MOVE THROUGH THE LAS VEGAS AREA AROUND MIDNIGHT LOCAL TIME THEN DOWN
THROUGH SOUTHEAST SAN BERNARDINO/SOUTHERN MOHAVE COUNTIES BY 12Z
SUNDAY. BRIEF GUSTS AROUND 40 MPH MAY OCCUR IMMEDIATELY FOLLOWING
THE FRONT FOR SOME AREAS. NORTH WINDS DOWN THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY
WILL BE STRONGEST FROM COTTONWOOD COVE ON LAKE MOHAVE DOWN TO LAKE
HAVASU WITH THE MAXIMA NEAR LAUGHLIN-BULLHEAD CITY...AS USUAL. A
LAKE WIND ADVISORY WAS ISSUED FROM 9 AM TO 4 PM SUNDAY. WIND SPEEDS
WILL DECREASE SUNDAY NIGHT BUT NORTH BREEZES OF 10-20 MPH WILL
PERSIST MONDAY WITH GUSTS AROUND 30 MPH NEAR LAUGHLIN-BULLHEAD CITY.
TEMPS WILL DROP AROUND 10 DEGREES SUNDAY WITH LITTLE CHANGE MONDAY.

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...WEATHER WILL HAVE NO IMPACT
ON HOLIDAY TRAVEL PLANS FOR THOSE HEADING IN AND OUT OF VEGAS.
STRONG RIDGE ALONG THE WEST COAST TUESDAY PROGGED TO SHIFT INLAND
ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. ALL MODELS START TO
BREAKDOWN THE RIDGE ON FRIDAY BUT DISAGREE ON THE STRENGTH/POSITION
OF A TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC. WILL CONTINUE TO UNDERCUT MOS
GUIDANCE HIGHS FOR THE VALLEYS DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF INVERSIONS
WHICH WILL INHIBIT MIXING. WITH THAT BEING SAID, 61 DEGREES IS THE
NORMAL HIGH FOR LAS VEGAS ON THURSDAY. THE CURRENT FORECAST IS FOR
68. THE REMAINDER OF THE SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN AND MOJAVE DESERT WILL
ENJOY SIMILAR CONDITIONS WITH HIGHS RUNNING 6 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL. A NORTH WIND WILL LINGER DOWN THE COLORADO RIVER SOUTH OF
LAKE MOHAVE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY THEN LESSEN ON THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY. NO SIGNIFICANT WINDS ARE EXPECTED ELSEWHERE.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION...WOLCOTT
SHORT TERM........ADAIR
LONG TERM.........PIERCE

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER








000
FXUS65 KVEF 230338
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
738 PM PST SAT NOV 22 2014

.SYNOPSIS...A COLD FRONT PUSHING SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT
WILL BRING COOLER AND WINDY CONDITIONS SUNDAY WITH THE STRONGEST
WINDS ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY FROM LAKE MOHAVE TO LAKE
HAVASU. AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE SETTING UP OVER THE REGION EARLY IN
THE COMING WEEK WILL BRING TRANQUIL WEATHER WITH TEMPERATURES
CLIMBING A LITTLE ABOVE NORMAL TROUGH THANKSGIVING DAY AND
THE FOLLOWING WEEKEND.
&&

.UPDATE...AT 626 PM THE FILE MILE RAWS SITE IN THE SOUTHERN SIERRA
OF INYO COUNTY REPORTED A GUST TO 59 MPH...IT`S HIGHEST GUST YET
WITH THIS EVENT. THIS COMBINED WITH PILOT REPORTS OF MOUNTAIN WAVE
ACTIVITY OVER THE SIERRA PROMPTED AN EXTENSION OF THE WIND ADVISORY
FOR THE SIERRA THROUGH 06Z THIS EVENING. I ALSO REMOVED ANY MENTION
OF PRECIPITATION FROM THE SIERRA THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT
AS LOW/MID LEVEL CLOUDS HAVE CLEARED FROM THE AREA. WINDS STILL
GUSTING IN THE 35-45 MPH RANGE OVER THE WESTERN MOJAVE DESERT
INCLUDING IN THE BARSTOW DAGGETT AREA AND THE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS
IN PLACE. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT AND
ADDITIONAL UPDATES MAY BE NECESSARY.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...WINDS EXPECTED TO BE A CHALLENGE BETWEEN
330Z AND 07Z OR 08Z IN ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT.
GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS UNDER 10 KTS ARE EXPECTED HOWEVER THE
DIRECTIONS MAY VARY QUITE A BIT. BEST ESTIMATE PLACES WINDS FROM A
SOUTHWEST TO WEST DIRECTION DURING THIS TIME FRAME. A COLD FRONT
SWEEPS ACROSS THE TERMINAL AREA BETWEEN 07Z AND 08Z. WINDS BEHIND
THE FRONT WILL BE AROUND 10-16 KTS WITH GUSTS 15-25 KTS THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING. WINDS SHOULD THEN DECREASE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND MAY
TAKE ON A MORE NORTH OR NORTHEASTERLY DIRECTION. OUTSIDE OF WINDS NO
OPERATIONALLY SIGNIFICANT CLOUDS/WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...A COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP DOWN THROUGH SOUTHERN NEVADA
AND SURROUNDING AREAS OVERNIGHT FOLLOWED BY GUSTY NORTHWEST TO NORTH
WINDS. SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS OF 10-20 KTS AND GUSTS OF 25-30 KTS
WILL OCCUR AHEAD OF THE FRONT ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH EARLY THIS
EVENING. AREAS OF MECHANICAL TURBULENCE ARE POSSIBLE IN/AROUND THE
OWENS VALLEY AND THE EASTERN MOJAVE DESERT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY
MORNING. WIND GUSTS OF 20-30 KTS CAN BE EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT
ON SUNDAY ESPECIALLY IN THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY FROM KIFP TO KHII.
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
ISSUED 305 PM PST SAT NOV 22 2014

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...SOUTHWEST WINDS HAVE
INCREASED ACROSS THE MOJAVE DESERT AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THAT WILL
SWEEP DOWN THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN AND SOUTHERN NEVADA OVERNIGHT.
GUSTS OVER 50 MPH DEVELOPED AT THE BARSTOW-DAGGETT AIRPORT AROUND
22Z AND A WIND ADVISORY WAS ISSUED FOR THE WESTERN MOJAVE DESERT
THROUGH 3 AM SUNDAY. ELSEWHERE GUSTS OF 20-30 MPH WERE COMMON.
ISOLATED SHOWERS MAY BRUSH NORTHERN LINCOLN COUNTY THIS EVENING BUT
THE MAIN STORY WILL BE GUSTY NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS DEVELOPING AS
THE FRONT PUSHES DOWN THROUGH SOUTHERN NEVADA AND SURROUNDING AREAS
OVERNIGHT. THE LATEST HIGH RES MODELS STILL INDICATE THE FRONT WILL
MOVE THROUGH THE LAS VEGAS AREA AROUND MIDNIGHT LOCAL TIME THEN DOWN
THROUGH SOUTHEAST SAN BERNARDINO/SOUTHERN MOHAVE COUNTIES BY 12Z
SUNDAY. BRIEF GUSTS AROUND 40 MPH MAY OCCUR IMMEDIATELY FOLLOWING
THE FRONT FOR SOME AREAS. NORTH WINDS DOWN THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY
WILL BE STRONGEST FROM COTTONWOOD COVE ON LAKE MOHAVE DOWN TO LAKE
HAVASU WITH THE MAXIMA NEAR LAUGHLIN-BULLHEAD CITY...AS USUAL. A
LAKE WIND ADVISORY WAS ISSUED FROM 9 AM TO 4 PM SUNDAY. WIND SPEEDS
WILL DECREASE SUNDAY NIGHT BUT NORTH BREEZES OF 10-20 MPH WILL
PERSIST MONDAY WITH GUSTS AROUND 30 MPH NEAR LAUGHLIN-BULLHEAD CITY.
TEMPS WILL DROP AROUND 10 DEGREES SUNDAY WITH LITTLE CHANGE MONDAY.

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...WEATHER WILL HAVE NO IMPACT
ON HOLIDAY TRAVEL PLANS FOR THOSE HEADING IN AND OUT OF VEGAS.
STRONG RIDGE ALONG THE WEST COAST TUESDAY PROGGED TO SHIFT INLAND
ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. ALL MODELS START TO
BREAKDOWN THE RIDGE ON FRIDAY BUT DISAGREE ON THE STRENGTH/POSITION
OF A TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC. WILL CONTINUE TO UNDERCUT MOS
GUIDANCE HIGHS FOR THE VALLEYS DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF INVERSIONS
WHICH WILL INHIBIT MIXING. WITH THAT BEING SAID, 61 DEGREES IS THE
NORMAL HIGH FOR LAS VEGAS ON THURSDAY. THE CURRENT FORECAST IS FOR
68. THE REMAINDER OF THE SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN AND MOJAVE DESERT WILL
ENJOY SIMILAR CONDITIONS WITH HIGHS RUNNING 6 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL. A NORTH WIND WILL LINGER DOWN THE COLORADO RIVER SOUTH OF
LAKE MOHAVE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY THEN LESSEN ON THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY. NO SIGNIFICANT WINDS ARE EXPECTED ELSEWHERE.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION...WOLCOTT
SHORT TERM........ADAIR
LONG TERM.........PIERCE

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER







000
FXUS65 KREV 230312 AAA
AFDREV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
712 PM PST SAT NOV 22 2014

.UPDATE...
QUICK UPDATE TO EXPIRE THE WIND WARNING AND ADVISORIES. PEAK WIND
GUSTS ARE ONLY 30-35 MPH AND THOSE ARE ONLY IN ISOLATED LOCATIONS.
WITH THE COLD FRONT THROUGH, WINDS WILL BECOME MORE NORTHWEST AS
THE GRADIENTS CONTINUE TO WEAKEN. SHOWERS ALSO CONTINUE TO
DIMINISH WITH ANY SHOWERS EXPECTED TO END AROUND MIDNIGHT. NO
OTHER UPDATES PLANNED. WALLMANN

&&

.SYNOPSIS...

WINDS DIMINISH THIS EVENING IN THE WAKE OF A PASSING STORM SYSTEM
THAT BROUGHT STRONG WINDS AND PERIODS OF RAIN AND HIGH ELEVATION
SNOW TODAY. CONDITIONS BECOME COOLER AND DRIER ON SUNDAY FOLLOWED BY
A SLOW WARMING TREND NEXT WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER
NORTHEAST CALIFORNIA AND WESTERN NEVADA.


&&

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 304 PM PST SAT NOV 22 2014/

SYNOPSIS...

WINDS DIMINISH THIS EVENING IN THE WAKE OF A PASSING STORM SYSTEM
THAT BROUGHT STRONG WINDS AND PERIODS OF RAIN AND HIGH ELEVATION
SNOW TODAY. CONDITIONS BECOME COOLER AND DRIER ON SUNDAY FOLLOWED
BY A SLOW WARMING TREND NEXT WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER
NORTHEAST CALIFORNIA AND WESTERN NEVADA.

SHORT TERM...

ONLY A FEW MINOR ADJUSTMENTS WERE NECESSARY TO THE EXISTING
FORECAST. LOWERED PRECIPITATION CHANCES SLIGHTLY THIS EVENING
WHILE LINGERING WINDS OVER LAKE TAHOE TO AROUND 10 PM. THIS
RESULTED IN THE NEED FOR A LAKE WIND ADVISORY ON TAHOE FOR THIS
EVENING.

OTHERWISE, ADJUSTMENTS WERE BASED ON LATEST MODEL TRENDS BUMPING
TEMPERATURES GENERALLY DOWN BY A DEGREE OR SO OVER THE NEXT FEW
DAYS. THE OVERALL TREND FOR TEMPERATURES IS A LITTLE LOWER FOR
WESTERN NEVADA VALLEYS AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE
SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES STRENGTHENING SURFACE INVERSIONS
THROUGH MID WEEK. WINDS DROP THROUGH THE DAY ON SUNDAY BECOMING
GENERALLY LIGHT OUT OF THE NORTHEAST TO EAST BY MONDAY. HIGHS WILL
BE SEASONABLY COOL SUNDAY AND MONDAY IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOW 50S
BEFORE WARMING INTO THE UPPER 50S ON TUESDAY; SIERRA VALLEY HIGHS
WILL BE AROUND 60 WHERE MIXING WILL BE BETTER. BOYD

LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

DRY CONDITIONS AND MILD TEMPERATURES WILL PREVAIL OVER THE
THANKSGIVING HOLIDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BECOMES ESTABLISHED
ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN. LIGHT WINDS AND VALLEY INVERSIONS WILL BE IN
PLACE WED-THU WITH THE RIDGE OVERHEAD WHICH WILL PROMOTE HAZY VALLEY
CONDITIONS WITH TEMPERATURES ACROSS SIERRA VALLEYS VERY NEAR OR A
COUPLE OF DEGREES WARMER THAN WESTERN NEVADA LOCATIONS. OVERALL
EXPECTING HIGH TEMPERATURES TO BE IN THE UPPER 50S TO NEAR 60 REGION
WIDE OVER THE HOLIDAY.

AN UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL BEGIN TO DAMPEN THE RIDGE AS EARLY AS
THURSDAY EVENING AND USHER IN SOME HIGH CLOUDS AHEAD OF IT. MODELS
IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN DEVELOPING THIS LOW BUT DIFFER IN THE TIMING
OF ITS INLAND PROGRESSION. THE EC STALLS THE LOW OFF THE COAST AS
THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW BEGINS TO AMPLIFY WHILE THE GFS BECOMES MORE
PROGRESSIVE AND PROVIDES CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION AS EARLY AS
FRIDAY AFTERNOON. HAVE MAINTAINED SLIGHT CHANCES FOR PRECIP ALONG
PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST CALIFORNIA FRIDAY WITH CHANCES EXTENDING
ALONG THE SIERRA THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. OVERALL NOT LOOKING
LIKE AN IMPRESSIVE SYSTEM BUT CONFIDENCE IN DETAILS IS LOW THIS
FAR OUT IN THE FORECAST. FUENTES

AVIATION...

GUSTY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING WITH GUSTS BETWEEN
30-40KT EXPECTED ACROSS ALL TERMINALS THROUGH ABOUT 03Z. GUSTS
ACROSS THE RIDGES WILL ALSO DIMINISH THIS EVENING WITH WINDS ACROSS
THE SIERRA RIDGES DIMINISHING BELOW 25KTS AFTER 06Z. SHOWERS WILL
DIMINISH AFTER 06Z WITH VFR CONDITIONS AND LIGHT WINDS EXPECTED
THROUGH SUNDAY. FUENTES

&&

.REV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NV...NONE.
CA...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RENO (ALL LOWER CASE)







000
FXUS65 KREV 230312 AAA
AFDREV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
712 PM PST SAT NOV 22 2014

.UPDATE...
QUICK UPDATE TO EXPIRE THE WIND WARNING AND ADVISORIES. PEAK WIND
GUSTS ARE ONLY 30-35 MPH AND THOSE ARE ONLY IN ISOLATED LOCATIONS.
WITH THE COLD FRONT THROUGH, WINDS WILL BECOME MORE NORTHWEST AS
THE GRADIENTS CONTINUE TO WEAKEN. SHOWERS ALSO CONTINUE TO
DIMINISH WITH ANY SHOWERS EXPECTED TO END AROUND MIDNIGHT. NO
OTHER UPDATES PLANNED. WALLMANN

&&

.SYNOPSIS...

WINDS DIMINISH THIS EVENING IN THE WAKE OF A PASSING STORM SYSTEM
THAT BROUGHT STRONG WINDS AND PERIODS OF RAIN AND HIGH ELEVATION
SNOW TODAY. CONDITIONS BECOME COOLER AND DRIER ON SUNDAY FOLLOWED BY
A SLOW WARMING TREND NEXT WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER
NORTHEAST CALIFORNIA AND WESTERN NEVADA.


&&

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 304 PM PST SAT NOV 22 2014/

SYNOPSIS...

WINDS DIMINISH THIS EVENING IN THE WAKE OF A PASSING STORM SYSTEM
THAT BROUGHT STRONG WINDS AND PERIODS OF RAIN AND HIGH ELEVATION
SNOW TODAY. CONDITIONS BECOME COOLER AND DRIER ON SUNDAY FOLLOWED
BY A SLOW WARMING TREND NEXT WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER
NORTHEAST CALIFORNIA AND WESTERN NEVADA.

SHORT TERM...

ONLY A FEW MINOR ADJUSTMENTS WERE NECESSARY TO THE EXISTING
FORECAST. LOWERED PRECIPITATION CHANCES SLIGHTLY THIS EVENING
WHILE LINGERING WINDS OVER LAKE TAHOE TO AROUND 10 PM. THIS
RESULTED IN THE NEED FOR A LAKE WIND ADVISORY ON TAHOE FOR THIS
EVENING.

OTHERWISE, ADJUSTMENTS WERE BASED ON LATEST MODEL TRENDS BUMPING
TEMPERATURES GENERALLY DOWN BY A DEGREE OR SO OVER THE NEXT FEW
DAYS. THE OVERALL TREND FOR TEMPERATURES IS A LITTLE LOWER FOR
WESTERN NEVADA VALLEYS AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE
SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES STRENGTHENING SURFACE INVERSIONS
THROUGH MID WEEK. WINDS DROP THROUGH THE DAY ON SUNDAY BECOMING
GENERALLY LIGHT OUT OF THE NORTHEAST TO EAST BY MONDAY. HIGHS WILL
BE SEASONABLY COOL SUNDAY AND MONDAY IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOW 50S
BEFORE WARMING INTO THE UPPER 50S ON TUESDAY; SIERRA VALLEY HIGHS
WILL BE AROUND 60 WHERE MIXING WILL BE BETTER. BOYD

LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

DRY CONDITIONS AND MILD TEMPERATURES WILL PREVAIL OVER THE
THANKSGIVING HOLIDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BECOMES ESTABLISHED
ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN. LIGHT WINDS AND VALLEY INVERSIONS WILL BE IN
PLACE WED-THU WITH THE RIDGE OVERHEAD WHICH WILL PROMOTE HAZY VALLEY
CONDITIONS WITH TEMPERATURES ACROSS SIERRA VALLEYS VERY NEAR OR A
COUPLE OF DEGREES WARMER THAN WESTERN NEVADA LOCATIONS. OVERALL
EXPECTING HIGH TEMPERATURES TO BE IN THE UPPER 50S TO NEAR 60 REGION
WIDE OVER THE HOLIDAY.

AN UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL BEGIN TO DAMPEN THE RIDGE AS EARLY AS
THURSDAY EVENING AND USHER IN SOME HIGH CLOUDS AHEAD OF IT. MODELS
IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN DEVELOPING THIS LOW BUT DIFFER IN THE TIMING
OF ITS INLAND PROGRESSION. THE EC STALLS THE LOW OFF THE COAST AS
THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW BEGINS TO AMPLIFY WHILE THE GFS BECOMES MORE
PROGRESSIVE AND PROVIDES CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION AS EARLY AS
FRIDAY AFTERNOON. HAVE MAINTAINED SLIGHT CHANCES FOR PRECIP ALONG
PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST CALIFORNIA FRIDAY WITH CHANCES EXTENDING
ALONG THE SIERRA THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. OVERALL NOT LOOKING
LIKE AN IMPRESSIVE SYSTEM BUT CONFIDENCE IN DETAILS IS LOW THIS
FAR OUT IN THE FORECAST. FUENTES

AVIATION...

GUSTY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING WITH GUSTS BETWEEN
30-40KT EXPECTED ACROSS ALL TERMINALS THROUGH ABOUT 03Z. GUSTS
ACROSS THE RIDGES WILL ALSO DIMINISH THIS EVENING WITH WINDS ACROSS
THE SIERRA RIDGES DIMINISHING BELOW 25KTS AFTER 06Z. SHOWERS WILL
DIMINISH AFTER 06Z WITH VFR CONDITIONS AND LIGHT WINDS EXPECTED
THROUGH SUNDAY. FUENTES

&&

.REV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NV...NONE.
CA...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RENO (ALL LOWER CASE)







000
FXUS65 KREV 230312 AAA
AFDREV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
712 PM PST SAT NOV 22 2014

.UPDATE...
QUICK UPDATE TO EXPIRE THE WIND WARNING AND ADVISORIES. PEAK WIND
GUSTS ARE ONLY 30-35 MPH AND THOSE ARE ONLY IN ISOLATED LOCATIONS.
WITH THE COLD FRONT THROUGH, WINDS WILL BECOME MORE NORTHWEST AS
THE GRADIENTS CONTINUE TO WEAKEN. SHOWERS ALSO CONTINUE TO
DIMINISH WITH ANY SHOWERS EXPECTED TO END AROUND MIDNIGHT. NO
OTHER UPDATES PLANNED. WALLMANN

&&

.SYNOPSIS...

WINDS DIMINISH THIS EVENING IN THE WAKE OF A PASSING STORM SYSTEM
THAT BROUGHT STRONG WINDS AND PERIODS OF RAIN AND HIGH ELEVATION
SNOW TODAY. CONDITIONS BECOME COOLER AND DRIER ON SUNDAY FOLLOWED BY
A SLOW WARMING TREND NEXT WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER
NORTHEAST CALIFORNIA AND WESTERN NEVADA.


&&

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 304 PM PST SAT NOV 22 2014/

SYNOPSIS...

WINDS DIMINISH THIS EVENING IN THE WAKE OF A PASSING STORM SYSTEM
THAT BROUGHT STRONG WINDS AND PERIODS OF RAIN AND HIGH ELEVATION
SNOW TODAY. CONDITIONS BECOME COOLER AND DRIER ON SUNDAY FOLLOWED
BY A SLOW WARMING TREND NEXT WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER
NORTHEAST CALIFORNIA AND WESTERN NEVADA.

SHORT TERM...

ONLY A FEW MINOR ADJUSTMENTS WERE NECESSARY TO THE EXISTING
FORECAST. LOWERED PRECIPITATION CHANCES SLIGHTLY THIS EVENING
WHILE LINGERING WINDS OVER LAKE TAHOE TO AROUND 10 PM. THIS
RESULTED IN THE NEED FOR A LAKE WIND ADVISORY ON TAHOE FOR THIS
EVENING.

OTHERWISE, ADJUSTMENTS WERE BASED ON LATEST MODEL TRENDS BUMPING
TEMPERATURES GENERALLY DOWN BY A DEGREE OR SO OVER THE NEXT FEW
DAYS. THE OVERALL TREND FOR TEMPERATURES IS A LITTLE LOWER FOR
WESTERN NEVADA VALLEYS AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE
SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES STRENGTHENING SURFACE INVERSIONS
THROUGH MID WEEK. WINDS DROP THROUGH THE DAY ON SUNDAY BECOMING
GENERALLY LIGHT OUT OF THE NORTHEAST TO EAST BY MONDAY. HIGHS WILL
BE SEASONABLY COOL SUNDAY AND MONDAY IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOW 50S
BEFORE WARMING INTO THE UPPER 50S ON TUESDAY; SIERRA VALLEY HIGHS
WILL BE AROUND 60 WHERE MIXING WILL BE BETTER. BOYD

LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

DRY CONDITIONS AND MILD TEMPERATURES WILL PREVAIL OVER THE
THANKSGIVING HOLIDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BECOMES ESTABLISHED
ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN. LIGHT WINDS AND VALLEY INVERSIONS WILL BE IN
PLACE WED-THU WITH THE RIDGE OVERHEAD WHICH WILL PROMOTE HAZY VALLEY
CONDITIONS WITH TEMPERATURES ACROSS SIERRA VALLEYS VERY NEAR OR A
COUPLE OF DEGREES WARMER THAN WESTERN NEVADA LOCATIONS. OVERALL
EXPECTING HIGH TEMPERATURES TO BE IN THE UPPER 50S TO NEAR 60 REGION
WIDE OVER THE HOLIDAY.

AN UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL BEGIN TO DAMPEN THE RIDGE AS EARLY AS
THURSDAY EVENING AND USHER IN SOME HIGH CLOUDS AHEAD OF IT. MODELS
IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN DEVELOPING THIS LOW BUT DIFFER IN THE TIMING
OF ITS INLAND PROGRESSION. THE EC STALLS THE LOW OFF THE COAST AS
THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW BEGINS TO AMPLIFY WHILE THE GFS BECOMES MORE
PROGRESSIVE AND PROVIDES CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION AS EARLY AS
FRIDAY AFTERNOON. HAVE MAINTAINED SLIGHT CHANCES FOR PRECIP ALONG
PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST CALIFORNIA FRIDAY WITH CHANCES EXTENDING
ALONG THE SIERRA THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. OVERALL NOT LOOKING
LIKE AN IMPRESSIVE SYSTEM BUT CONFIDENCE IN DETAILS IS LOW THIS
FAR OUT IN THE FORECAST. FUENTES

AVIATION...

GUSTY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING WITH GUSTS BETWEEN
30-40KT EXPECTED ACROSS ALL TERMINALS THROUGH ABOUT 03Z. GUSTS
ACROSS THE RIDGES WILL ALSO DIMINISH THIS EVENING WITH WINDS ACROSS
THE SIERRA RIDGES DIMINISHING BELOW 25KTS AFTER 06Z. SHOWERS WILL
DIMINISH AFTER 06Z WITH VFR CONDITIONS AND LIGHT WINDS EXPECTED
THROUGH SUNDAY. FUENTES

&&

.REV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NV...NONE.
CA...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RENO (ALL LOWER CASE)







000
FXUS65 KREV 230312 AAA
AFDREV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
712 PM PST SAT NOV 22 2014

.UPDATE...
QUICK UPDATE TO EXPIRE THE WIND WARNING AND ADVISORIES. PEAK WIND
GUSTS ARE ONLY 30-35 MPH AND THOSE ARE ONLY IN ISOLATED LOCATIONS.
WITH THE COLD FRONT THROUGH, WINDS WILL BECOME MORE NORTHWEST AS
THE GRADIENTS CONTINUE TO WEAKEN. SHOWERS ALSO CONTINUE TO
DIMINISH WITH ANY SHOWERS EXPECTED TO END AROUND MIDNIGHT. NO
OTHER UPDATES PLANNED. WALLMANN

&&

.SYNOPSIS...

WINDS DIMINISH THIS EVENING IN THE WAKE OF A PASSING STORM SYSTEM
THAT BROUGHT STRONG WINDS AND PERIODS OF RAIN AND HIGH ELEVATION
SNOW TODAY. CONDITIONS BECOME COOLER AND DRIER ON SUNDAY FOLLOWED BY
A SLOW WARMING TREND NEXT WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER
NORTHEAST CALIFORNIA AND WESTERN NEVADA.


&&

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 304 PM PST SAT NOV 22 2014/

SYNOPSIS...

WINDS DIMINISH THIS EVENING IN THE WAKE OF A PASSING STORM SYSTEM
THAT BROUGHT STRONG WINDS AND PERIODS OF RAIN AND HIGH ELEVATION
SNOW TODAY. CONDITIONS BECOME COOLER AND DRIER ON SUNDAY FOLLOWED
BY A SLOW WARMING TREND NEXT WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER
NORTHEAST CALIFORNIA AND WESTERN NEVADA.

SHORT TERM...

ONLY A FEW MINOR ADJUSTMENTS WERE NECESSARY TO THE EXISTING
FORECAST. LOWERED PRECIPITATION CHANCES SLIGHTLY THIS EVENING
WHILE LINGERING WINDS OVER LAKE TAHOE TO AROUND 10 PM. THIS
RESULTED IN THE NEED FOR A LAKE WIND ADVISORY ON TAHOE FOR THIS
EVENING.

OTHERWISE, ADJUSTMENTS WERE BASED ON LATEST MODEL TRENDS BUMPING
TEMPERATURES GENERALLY DOWN BY A DEGREE OR SO OVER THE NEXT FEW
DAYS. THE OVERALL TREND FOR TEMPERATURES IS A LITTLE LOWER FOR
WESTERN NEVADA VALLEYS AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE
SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES STRENGTHENING SURFACE INVERSIONS
THROUGH MID WEEK. WINDS DROP THROUGH THE DAY ON SUNDAY BECOMING
GENERALLY LIGHT OUT OF THE NORTHEAST TO EAST BY MONDAY. HIGHS WILL
BE SEASONABLY COOL SUNDAY AND MONDAY IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOW 50S
BEFORE WARMING INTO THE UPPER 50S ON TUESDAY; SIERRA VALLEY HIGHS
WILL BE AROUND 60 WHERE MIXING WILL BE BETTER. BOYD

LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

DRY CONDITIONS AND MILD TEMPERATURES WILL PREVAIL OVER THE
THANKSGIVING HOLIDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BECOMES ESTABLISHED
ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN. LIGHT WINDS AND VALLEY INVERSIONS WILL BE IN
PLACE WED-THU WITH THE RIDGE OVERHEAD WHICH WILL PROMOTE HAZY VALLEY
CONDITIONS WITH TEMPERATURES ACROSS SIERRA VALLEYS VERY NEAR OR A
COUPLE OF DEGREES WARMER THAN WESTERN NEVADA LOCATIONS. OVERALL
EXPECTING HIGH TEMPERATURES TO BE IN THE UPPER 50S TO NEAR 60 REGION
WIDE OVER THE HOLIDAY.

AN UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL BEGIN TO DAMPEN THE RIDGE AS EARLY AS
THURSDAY EVENING AND USHER IN SOME HIGH CLOUDS AHEAD OF IT. MODELS
IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN DEVELOPING THIS LOW BUT DIFFER IN THE TIMING
OF ITS INLAND PROGRESSION. THE EC STALLS THE LOW OFF THE COAST AS
THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW BEGINS TO AMPLIFY WHILE THE GFS BECOMES MORE
PROGRESSIVE AND PROVIDES CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION AS EARLY AS
FRIDAY AFTERNOON. HAVE MAINTAINED SLIGHT CHANCES FOR PRECIP ALONG
PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST CALIFORNIA FRIDAY WITH CHANCES EXTENDING
ALONG THE SIERRA THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. OVERALL NOT LOOKING
LIKE AN IMPRESSIVE SYSTEM BUT CONFIDENCE IN DETAILS IS LOW THIS
FAR OUT IN THE FORECAST. FUENTES

AVIATION...

GUSTY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING WITH GUSTS BETWEEN
30-40KT EXPECTED ACROSS ALL TERMINALS THROUGH ABOUT 03Z. GUSTS
ACROSS THE RIDGES WILL ALSO DIMINISH THIS EVENING WITH WINDS ACROSS
THE SIERRA RIDGES DIMINISHING BELOW 25KTS AFTER 06Z. SHOWERS WILL
DIMINISH AFTER 06Z WITH VFR CONDITIONS AND LIGHT WINDS EXPECTED
THROUGH SUNDAY. FUENTES

&&

.REV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NV...NONE.
CA...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RENO (ALL LOWER CASE)







000
FXUS65 KVEF 222306
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
305 PM PST SAT NOV 22 2014

.SYNOPSIS...A COLD FRONT PUSHING SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT
WILL BRING COOLER AND WINDY CONDITIONS SUNDAY WITH THE STRONGEST
WINDS ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY FROM LAKE MOHAVE TO LAKE
HAVASU. AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE SETTING UP OVER THE REGION EARLY IN
THE COMING WEEK WILL BRING TRANQUIL WEATHER WITH TEMPERATURES
CLIMBING A LITTLE ABOVE NORMAL TROUGH THANKSGIVING DAY AND
THE FOLLOWING WEEKEND.
&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...SOUTHWEST WINDS HAVE
INCREASED ACROSS THE MOJAVE DESERT AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THAT WILL
SWEEP DOWN THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN AND SOUTHERN NEVADA OVERNIGHT.
GUSTS OVER 50 MPH DEVELOPED AT THE BARSTOW-DAGGETT AIRPORT AROUND
22Z AND A WIND ADVISORY WAS ISSUED FOR THE WESTERN MOJAVE DESERT
THROUGH 3 AM SUNDAY. ELSEWHERE GUSTS OF 20-30 MPH WERE COMMON.
ISOLATED SHOWERS MAY BRUSH NORTHERN LINCOLN COUNTY THIS EVENING BUT
THE MAIN STORY WILL BE GUSTY NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS DEVELOPING AS
THE FRONT PUSHES DOWN THROUGH SOUTHERN NEVADA AND SURROUNDING AREAS
OVERNIGHT. THE LATEST HIGH RES MODELS STILL INDICATE THE FRONT WILL
MOVE THROUGH THE LAS VEGAS AREA AROUND MIDNIGHT LOCAL TIME THEN DOWN
THROUGH SOUTHEAST SAN BERNARDINO/SOUTHERN MOHAVE COUNTIES BY 12Z
SUNDAY. BRIEF GUSTS AROUND 40 MPH MAY OCCUR IMMEDIATELY FOLLOWING
THE FRONT FOR SOME AREAS. NORTH WINDS DOWN THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY
WILL BE STRONGEST FROM COTTONWOOD COVE ON LAKE MOHAVE DOWN TO LAKE
HAVASU WITH THE MAXIMA NEAR LAUGHLIN-BULLHEAD CITY...AS USUAL. A
LAKE WIND ADVISORY WAS ISSUED FROM 9 AM TO 4 PM SUNDAY. WIND SPEEDS
WILL DECREASE SUNDAY NIGHT BUT NORTH BREEZES OF 10-20 MPH WILL
PERSIST MONDAY WITH GUSTS AROUND 30 MPH NEAR LAUGHLIN-BULLHEAD CITY.
TEMPS WILL DROP AROUND 10 DEGREES SUNDAY WITH LITTLE CHANGE MONDAY.

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...WEATHER WILL HAVE NO IMPACT
ON HOLIDAY TRAVEL PLANS FOR THOSE HEADING IN AND OUT OF VEGAS.
STRONG RIDGE ALONG THE WEST COAST TUESDAY PROGGED TO SHIFT INLAND
ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. ALL MODELS START TO
BREAKDOWN THE RIDGE ON FRIDAY BUT DISAGREE ON THE STRENGTH/POSITION
OF A TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC. WILL CONTINUE TO UNDERCUT MOS
GUIDANCE HIGHS FOR THE VALLEYS DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF INVERSIONS
WHICH WILL INHIBIT MIXING. WITH THAT BEING SAID, 61 DEGREES IS THE
NORMAL HIGH FOR LAS VEGAS ON THURSDAY. THE CURRENT FORECAST IS FOR
68. THE REMAINDER OF THE SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN AND MOJAVE DESERT WILL
ENJOY SIMILAR CONDITIONS WITH HIGHS RUNNING 6 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL. A NORTH WIND WILL LINGER DOWN THE COLORADO RIVER SOUTH OF
LAKE MOHAVE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY THEN LESSEN ON THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY. NO SIGNIFICANT WINDS ARE EXPECTED ELSEWHERE.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...SOUTH WINDS OF 10-16 KTS SHOULD DECREASE
BELOW 9 KTS AND BECOME WESTERLY THIS EVENING BEFORE A COLD FRONT
SWEEPS ACROSS THE TERMINAL AREA AROUND 08Z SUNDAY. WINDS BEHIND THE
FRONT WILL BE AROUND 10-16 KTS WITH GUSTS 15-25 KTS THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING. WINDS SHOULD THEN DECREASE SUNDAY AFTERNOON. OUTSIDE OF
WINDS NO OPERATIONALLY SIGNIFICANT CLOUDS/WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...A COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP DOWN THROUGH SOUTHERN NEVADA
AND SURROUNDING AREAS OVERNIGHT FOLLOWED BY GUSTY NORTHWEST TO NORTH
WINDS. SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS OF 10-20 KTS AND GUSTS OF 25-30 KTS
WILL OCCUR AHEAD OF THE FRONT ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH EARLY THIS
EVENING. AREAS OF MECHANICAL TURBULENCE ARE ALL POSSIBLE IN/AROUND
THE OWENS VALLEY THROUGH THIS EVENING. WIND GUSTS OF 20-30 KTS CAN
BE EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT ON SUNDAY ESPECIALLY IN THE COLORADO
RIVER VALLEY FROM KIFP TO KHII.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...ADAIR
LONG TERM.............PIERCE

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER









000
FXUS65 KVEF 222306
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
305 PM PST SAT NOV 22 2014

.SYNOPSIS...A COLD FRONT PUSHING SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT
WILL BRING COOLER AND WINDY CONDITIONS SUNDAY WITH THE STRONGEST
WINDS ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY FROM LAKE MOHAVE TO LAKE
HAVASU. AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE SETTING UP OVER THE REGION EARLY IN
THE COMING WEEK WILL BRING TRANQUIL WEATHER WITH TEMPERATURES
CLIMBING A LITTLE ABOVE NORMAL TROUGH THANKSGIVING DAY AND
THE FOLLOWING WEEKEND.
&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...SOUTHWEST WINDS HAVE
INCREASED ACROSS THE MOJAVE DESERT AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THAT WILL
SWEEP DOWN THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN AND SOUTHERN NEVADA OVERNIGHT.
GUSTS OVER 50 MPH DEVELOPED AT THE BARSTOW-DAGGETT AIRPORT AROUND
22Z AND A WIND ADVISORY WAS ISSUED FOR THE WESTERN MOJAVE DESERT
THROUGH 3 AM SUNDAY. ELSEWHERE GUSTS OF 20-30 MPH WERE COMMON.
ISOLATED SHOWERS MAY BRUSH NORTHERN LINCOLN COUNTY THIS EVENING BUT
THE MAIN STORY WILL BE GUSTY NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS DEVELOPING AS
THE FRONT PUSHES DOWN THROUGH SOUTHERN NEVADA AND SURROUNDING AREAS
OVERNIGHT. THE LATEST HIGH RES MODELS STILL INDICATE THE FRONT WILL
MOVE THROUGH THE LAS VEGAS AREA AROUND MIDNIGHT LOCAL TIME THEN DOWN
THROUGH SOUTHEAST SAN BERNARDINO/SOUTHERN MOHAVE COUNTIES BY 12Z
SUNDAY. BRIEF GUSTS AROUND 40 MPH MAY OCCUR IMMEDIATELY FOLLOWING
THE FRONT FOR SOME AREAS. NORTH WINDS DOWN THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY
WILL BE STRONGEST FROM COTTONWOOD COVE ON LAKE MOHAVE DOWN TO LAKE
HAVASU WITH THE MAXIMA NEAR LAUGHLIN-BULLHEAD CITY...AS USUAL. A
LAKE WIND ADVISORY WAS ISSUED FROM 9 AM TO 4 PM SUNDAY. WIND SPEEDS
WILL DECREASE SUNDAY NIGHT BUT NORTH BREEZES OF 10-20 MPH WILL
PERSIST MONDAY WITH GUSTS AROUND 30 MPH NEAR LAUGHLIN-BULLHEAD CITY.
TEMPS WILL DROP AROUND 10 DEGREES SUNDAY WITH LITTLE CHANGE MONDAY.

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...WEATHER WILL HAVE NO IMPACT
ON HOLIDAY TRAVEL PLANS FOR THOSE HEADING IN AND OUT OF VEGAS.
STRONG RIDGE ALONG THE WEST COAST TUESDAY PROGGED TO SHIFT INLAND
ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. ALL MODELS START TO
BREAKDOWN THE RIDGE ON FRIDAY BUT DISAGREE ON THE STRENGTH/POSITION
OF A TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC. WILL CONTINUE TO UNDERCUT MOS
GUIDANCE HIGHS FOR THE VALLEYS DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF INVERSIONS
WHICH WILL INHIBIT MIXING. WITH THAT BEING SAID, 61 DEGREES IS THE
NORMAL HIGH FOR LAS VEGAS ON THURSDAY. THE CURRENT FORECAST IS FOR
68. THE REMAINDER OF THE SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN AND MOJAVE DESERT WILL
ENJOY SIMILAR CONDITIONS WITH HIGHS RUNNING 6 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL. A NORTH WIND WILL LINGER DOWN THE COLORADO RIVER SOUTH OF
LAKE MOHAVE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY THEN LESSEN ON THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY. NO SIGNIFICANT WINDS ARE EXPECTED ELSEWHERE.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...SOUTH WINDS OF 10-16 KTS SHOULD DECREASE
BELOW 9 KTS AND BECOME WESTERLY THIS EVENING BEFORE A COLD FRONT
SWEEPS ACROSS THE TERMINAL AREA AROUND 08Z SUNDAY. WINDS BEHIND THE
FRONT WILL BE AROUND 10-16 KTS WITH GUSTS 15-25 KTS THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING. WINDS SHOULD THEN DECREASE SUNDAY AFTERNOON. OUTSIDE OF
WINDS NO OPERATIONALLY SIGNIFICANT CLOUDS/WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...A COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP DOWN THROUGH SOUTHERN NEVADA
AND SURROUNDING AREAS OVERNIGHT FOLLOWED BY GUSTY NORTHWEST TO NORTH
WINDS. SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS OF 10-20 KTS AND GUSTS OF 25-30 KTS
WILL OCCUR AHEAD OF THE FRONT ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH EARLY THIS
EVENING. AREAS OF MECHANICAL TURBULENCE ARE ALL POSSIBLE IN/AROUND
THE OWENS VALLEY THROUGH THIS EVENING. WIND GUSTS OF 20-30 KTS CAN
BE EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT ON SUNDAY ESPECIALLY IN THE COLORADO
RIVER VALLEY FROM KIFP TO KHII.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...ADAIR
LONG TERM.............PIERCE

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER









000
FXUS65 KVEF 222306
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
305 PM PST SAT NOV 22 2014

.SYNOPSIS...A COLD FRONT PUSHING SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT
WILL BRING COOLER AND WINDY CONDITIONS SUNDAY WITH THE STRONGEST
WINDS ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY FROM LAKE MOHAVE TO LAKE
HAVASU. AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE SETTING UP OVER THE REGION EARLY IN
THE COMING WEEK WILL BRING TRANQUIL WEATHER WITH TEMPERATURES
CLIMBING A LITTLE ABOVE NORMAL TROUGH THANKSGIVING DAY AND
THE FOLLOWING WEEKEND.
&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...SOUTHWEST WINDS HAVE
INCREASED ACROSS THE MOJAVE DESERT AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THAT WILL
SWEEP DOWN THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN AND SOUTHERN NEVADA OVERNIGHT.
GUSTS OVER 50 MPH DEVELOPED AT THE BARSTOW-DAGGETT AIRPORT AROUND
22Z AND A WIND ADVISORY WAS ISSUED FOR THE WESTERN MOJAVE DESERT
THROUGH 3 AM SUNDAY. ELSEWHERE GUSTS OF 20-30 MPH WERE COMMON.
ISOLATED SHOWERS MAY BRUSH NORTHERN LINCOLN COUNTY THIS EVENING BUT
THE MAIN STORY WILL BE GUSTY NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS DEVELOPING AS
THE FRONT PUSHES DOWN THROUGH SOUTHERN NEVADA AND SURROUNDING AREAS
OVERNIGHT. THE LATEST HIGH RES MODELS STILL INDICATE THE FRONT WILL
MOVE THROUGH THE LAS VEGAS AREA AROUND MIDNIGHT LOCAL TIME THEN DOWN
THROUGH SOUTHEAST SAN BERNARDINO/SOUTHERN MOHAVE COUNTIES BY 12Z
SUNDAY. BRIEF GUSTS AROUND 40 MPH MAY OCCUR IMMEDIATELY FOLLOWING
THE FRONT FOR SOME AREAS. NORTH WINDS DOWN THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY
WILL BE STRONGEST FROM COTTONWOOD COVE ON LAKE MOHAVE DOWN TO LAKE
HAVASU WITH THE MAXIMA NEAR LAUGHLIN-BULLHEAD CITY...AS USUAL. A
LAKE WIND ADVISORY WAS ISSUED FROM 9 AM TO 4 PM SUNDAY. WIND SPEEDS
WILL DECREASE SUNDAY NIGHT BUT NORTH BREEZES OF 10-20 MPH WILL
PERSIST MONDAY WITH GUSTS AROUND 30 MPH NEAR LAUGHLIN-BULLHEAD CITY.
TEMPS WILL DROP AROUND 10 DEGREES SUNDAY WITH LITTLE CHANGE MONDAY.

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...WEATHER WILL HAVE NO IMPACT
ON HOLIDAY TRAVEL PLANS FOR THOSE HEADING IN AND OUT OF VEGAS.
STRONG RIDGE ALONG THE WEST COAST TUESDAY PROGGED TO SHIFT INLAND
ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. ALL MODELS START TO
BREAKDOWN THE RIDGE ON FRIDAY BUT DISAGREE ON THE STRENGTH/POSITION
OF A TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC. WILL CONTINUE TO UNDERCUT MOS
GUIDANCE HIGHS FOR THE VALLEYS DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF INVERSIONS
WHICH WILL INHIBIT MIXING. WITH THAT BEING SAID, 61 DEGREES IS THE
NORMAL HIGH FOR LAS VEGAS ON THURSDAY. THE CURRENT FORECAST IS FOR
68. THE REMAINDER OF THE SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN AND MOJAVE DESERT WILL
ENJOY SIMILAR CONDITIONS WITH HIGHS RUNNING 6 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL. A NORTH WIND WILL LINGER DOWN THE COLORADO RIVER SOUTH OF
LAKE MOHAVE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY THEN LESSEN ON THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY. NO SIGNIFICANT WINDS ARE EXPECTED ELSEWHERE.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...SOUTH WINDS OF 10-16 KTS SHOULD DECREASE
BELOW 9 KTS AND BECOME WESTERLY THIS EVENING BEFORE A COLD FRONT
SWEEPS ACROSS THE TERMINAL AREA AROUND 08Z SUNDAY. WINDS BEHIND THE
FRONT WILL BE AROUND 10-16 KTS WITH GUSTS 15-25 KTS THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING. WINDS SHOULD THEN DECREASE SUNDAY AFTERNOON. OUTSIDE OF
WINDS NO OPERATIONALLY SIGNIFICANT CLOUDS/WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...A COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP DOWN THROUGH SOUTHERN NEVADA
AND SURROUNDING AREAS OVERNIGHT FOLLOWED BY GUSTY NORTHWEST TO NORTH
WINDS. SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS OF 10-20 KTS AND GUSTS OF 25-30 KTS
WILL OCCUR AHEAD OF THE FRONT ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH EARLY THIS
EVENING. AREAS OF MECHANICAL TURBULENCE ARE ALL POSSIBLE IN/AROUND
THE OWENS VALLEY THROUGH THIS EVENING. WIND GUSTS OF 20-30 KTS CAN
BE EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT ON SUNDAY ESPECIALLY IN THE COLORADO
RIVER VALLEY FROM KIFP TO KHII.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...ADAIR
LONG TERM.............PIERCE

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER









000
FXUS65 KVEF 222306
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
305 PM PST SAT NOV 22 2014

.SYNOPSIS...A COLD FRONT PUSHING SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT
WILL BRING COOLER AND WINDY CONDITIONS SUNDAY WITH THE STRONGEST
WINDS ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY FROM LAKE MOHAVE TO LAKE
HAVASU. AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE SETTING UP OVER THE REGION EARLY IN
THE COMING WEEK WILL BRING TRANQUIL WEATHER WITH TEMPERATURES
CLIMBING A LITTLE ABOVE NORMAL TROUGH THANKSGIVING DAY AND
THE FOLLOWING WEEKEND.
&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...SOUTHWEST WINDS HAVE
INCREASED ACROSS THE MOJAVE DESERT AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THAT WILL
SWEEP DOWN THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN AND SOUTHERN NEVADA OVERNIGHT.
GUSTS OVER 50 MPH DEVELOPED AT THE BARSTOW-DAGGETT AIRPORT AROUND
22Z AND A WIND ADVISORY WAS ISSUED FOR THE WESTERN MOJAVE DESERT
THROUGH 3 AM SUNDAY. ELSEWHERE GUSTS OF 20-30 MPH WERE COMMON.
ISOLATED SHOWERS MAY BRUSH NORTHERN LINCOLN COUNTY THIS EVENING BUT
THE MAIN STORY WILL BE GUSTY NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS DEVELOPING AS
THE FRONT PUSHES DOWN THROUGH SOUTHERN NEVADA AND SURROUNDING AREAS
OVERNIGHT. THE LATEST HIGH RES MODELS STILL INDICATE THE FRONT WILL
MOVE THROUGH THE LAS VEGAS AREA AROUND MIDNIGHT LOCAL TIME THEN DOWN
THROUGH SOUTHEAST SAN BERNARDINO/SOUTHERN MOHAVE COUNTIES BY 12Z
SUNDAY. BRIEF GUSTS AROUND 40 MPH MAY OCCUR IMMEDIATELY FOLLOWING
THE FRONT FOR SOME AREAS. NORTH WINDS DOWN THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY
WILL BE STRONGEST FROM COTTONWOOD COVE ON LAKE MOHAVE DOWN TO LAKE
HAVASU WITH THE MAXIMA NEAR LAUGHLIN-BULLHEAD CITY...AS USUAL. A
LAKE WIND ADVISORY WAS ISSUED FROM 9 AM TO 4 PM SUNDAY. WIND SPEEDS
WILL DECREASE SUNDAY NIGHT BUT NORTH BREEZES OF 10-20 MPH WILL
PERSIST MONDAY WITH GUSTS AROUND 30 MPH NEAR LAUGHLIN-BULLHEAD CITY.
TEMPS WILL DROP AROUND 10 DEGREES SUNDAY WITH LITTLE CHANGE MONDAY.

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...WEATHER WILL HAVE NO IMPACT
ON HOLIDAY TRAVEL PLANS FOR THOSE HEADING IN AND OUT OF VEGAS.
STRONG RIDGE ALONG THE WEST COAST TUESDAY PROGGED TO SHIFT INLAND
ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. ALL MODELS START TO
BREAKDOWN THE RIDGE ON FRIDAY BUT DISAGREE ON THE STRENGTH/POSITION
OF A TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC. WILL CONTINUE TO UNDERCUT MOS
GUIDANCE HIGHS FOR THE VALLEYS DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF INVERSIONS
WHICH WILL INHIBIT MIXING. WITH THAT BEING SAID, 61 DEGREES IS THE
NORMAL HIGH FOR LAS VEGAS ON THURSDAY. THE CURRENT FORECAST IS FOR
68. THE REMAINDER OF THE SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN AND MOJAVE DESERT WILL
ENJOY SIMILAR CONDITIONS WITH HIGHS RUNNING 6 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL. A NORTH WIND WILL LINGER DOWN THE COLORADO RIVER SOUTH OF
LAKE MOHAVE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY THEN LESSEN ON THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY. NO SIGNIFICANT WINDS ARE EXPECTED ELSEWHERE.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...SOUTH WINDS OF 10-16 KTS SHOULD DECREASE
BELOW 9 KTS AND BECOME WESTERLY THIS EVENING BEFORE A COLD FRONT
SWEEPS ACROSS THE TERMINAL AREA AROUND 08Z SUNDAY. WINDS BEHIND THE
FRONT WILL BE AROUND 10-16 KTS WITH GUSTS 15-25 KTS THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING. WINDS SHOULD THEN DECREASE SUNDAY AFTERNOON. OUTSIDE OF
WINDS NO OPERATIONALLY SIGNIFICANT CLOUDS/WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...A COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP DOWN THROUGH SOUTHERN NEVADA
AND SURROUNDING AREAS OVERNIGHT FOLLOWED BY GUSTY NORTHWEST TO NORTH
WINDS. SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS OF 10-20 KTS AND GUSTS OF 25-30 KTS
WILL OCCUR AHEAD OF THE FRONT ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH EARLY THIS
EVENING. AREAS OF MECHANICAL TURBULENCE ARE ALL POSSIBLE IN/AROUND
THE OWENS VALLEY THROUGH THIS EVENING. WIND GUSTS OF 20-30 KTS CAN
BE EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT ON SUNDAY ESPECIALLY IN THE COLORADO
RIVER VALLEY FROM KIFP TO KHII.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...ADAIR
LONG TERM.............PIERCE

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER









000
FXUS65 KREV 222304
AFDREV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
304 PM PST SAT NOV 22 2014

.SYNOPSIS...

WINDS DIMINISH THIS EVENING IN THE WAKE OF A PASSING STORM SYSTEM
THAT BROUGHT STRONG WINDS AND PERIODS OF RAIN AND HIGH ELEVATION
SNOW TODAY. CONDITIONS BECOME COOLER AND DRIER ON SUNDAY FOLLOWED
BY A SLOW WARMING TREND NEXT WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER
NORTHEAST CALIFORNIA AND WESTERN NEVADA.

&&

.SHORT TERM...

ONLY A FEW MINOR ADJUSTMENTS WERE NECESSARY TO THE EXISTING
FORECAST. LOWERED PRECIPITATION CHANCES SLIGHTLY THIS EVENING
WHILE LINGERING WINDS OVER LAKE TAHOE TO AROUND 10 PM. THIS
RESULTED IN THE NEED FOR A LAKE WIND ADVISORY ON TAHOE FOR THIS
EVENING.

OTHERWISE, ADJUSTMENTS WERE BASED ON LATEST MODEL TRENDS BUMPING
TEMPERATURES GENERALLY DOWN BY A DEGREE OR SO OVER THE NEXT FEW
DAYS. THE OVERALL TREND FOR TEMPERATURES IS A LITTLE LOWER FOR
WESTERN NEVADA VALLEYS AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE
SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES STRENGTHENING SURFACE INVERSIONS
THROUGH MID WEEK. WINDS DROP THROUGH THE DAY ON SUNDAY BECOMING
GENERALLY LIGHT OUT OF THE NORTHEAST TO EAST BY MONDAY. HIGHS WILL
BE SEASONABLY COOL SUNDAY AND MONDAY IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOW 50S
BEFORE WARMING INTO THE UPPER 50S ON TUESDAY; SIERRA VALLEY HIGHS
WILL BE AROUND 60 WHERE MIXING WILL BE BETTER. BOYD

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

DRY CONDITIONS AND MILD TEMPERATURES WILL PREVAIL OVER THE
THANKSGIVING HOLIDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BECOMES ESTABLISHED
ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN. LIGHT WINDS AND VALLEY INVERSIONS WILL BE IN
PLACE WED-THU WITH THE RIDGE OVERHEAD WHICH WILL PROMOTE HAZY VALLEY
CONDITIONS WITH TEMPERATURES ACROSS SIERRA VALLEYS VERY NEAR OR A
COUPLE OF DEGREES WARMER THAN WESTERN NEVADA LOCATIONS. OVERALL
EXPECTING HIGH TEMPERATURES TO BE IN THE UPPER 50S TO NEAR 60 REGION
WIDE OVER THE HOLIDAY.

AN UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL BEGIN TO DAMPEN THE RIDGE AS EARLY AS
THURSDAY EVENING AND USHER IN SOME HIGH CLOUDS AHEAD OF IT. MODELS
IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN DEVELOPING THIS LOW BUT DIFFER IN THE TIMING
OF ITS INLAND PROGRESSION. THE EC STALLS THE LOW OFF THE COAST AS
THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW BEGINS TO AMPLIFY WHILE THE GFS BECOMES MORE
PROGRESSIVE AND PROVIDES CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION AS EARLY AS
FRIDAY AFTERNOON. HAVE MAINTAINED SLIGHT CHANCES FOR PRECIP ALONG
PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST CALIFORNIA FRIDAY WITH CHANCES EXTENDING
ALONG THE SIERRA THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. OVERALL NOT LOOKING
LIKE AN IMPRESSIVE SYSTEM BUT CONFIDENCE IN DETAILS IS LOW THIS
FAR OUT IN THE FORECAST. FUENTES

&&

.AVIATION...

GUSTY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING WITH GUSTS BETWEEN
30-40KT EXPECTED ACROSS ALL TERMINALS THROUGH ABOUT 03Z. GUSTS
ACROSS THE RIDGES WILL ALSO DIMINISH THIS EVENING WITH WINDS ACROSS
THE SIERRA RIDGES DIMINISHING BELOW 25KTS AFTER 06Z. SHOWERS WILL
DIMINISH AFTER 06Z WITH VFR CONDITIONS AND LIGHT WINDS EXPECTED
THROUGH SUNDAY. FUENTES

&&


.REV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NV...HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 4 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON NVZ003.

     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON NVZ002-005.

     LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR LAKE TAHOE IN
     NVZ002.

     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM PST THIS EVENING NVZ001-004.

CA...HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 4 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON CAZ071.

     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON CAZ070-072.

     HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 7 PM PST THIS EVENING CAZ073.

     LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR LAKE TAHOE IN
     CAZ072.

&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RENO (ALL LOWER CASE)







000
FXUS65 KREV 222304
AFDREV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
304 PM PST SAT NOV 22 2014

.SYNOPSIS...

WINDS DIMINISH THIS EVENING IN THE WAKE OF A PASSING STORM SYSTEM
THAT BROUGHT STRONG WINDS AND PERIODS OF RAIN AND HIGH ELEVATION
SNOW TODAY. CONDITIONS BECOME COOLER AND DRIER ON SUNDAY FOLLOWED
BY A SLOW WARMING TREND NEXT WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER
NORTHEAST CALIFORNIA AND WESTERN NEVADA.

&&

.SHORT TERM...

ONLY A FEW MINOR ADJUSTMENTS WERE NECESSARY TO THE EXISTING
FORECAST. LOWERED PRECIPITATION CHANCES SLIGHTLY THIS EVENING
WHILE LINGERING WINDS OVER LAKE TAHOE TO AROUND 10 PM. THIS
RESULTED IN THE NEED FOR A LAKE WIND ADVISORY ON TAHOE FOR THIS
EVENING.

OTHERWISE, ADJUSTMENTS WERE BASED ON LATEST MODEL TRENDS BUMPING
TEMPERATURES GENERALLY DOWN BY A DEGREE OR SO OVER THE NEXT FEW
DAYS. THE OVERALL TREND FOR TEMPERATURES IS A LITTLE LOWER FOR
WESTERN NEVADA VALLEYS AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE
SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES STRENGTHENING SURFACE INVERSIONS
THROUGH MID WEEK. WINDS DROP THROUGH THE DAY ON SUNDAY BECOMING
GENERALLY LIGHT OUT OF THE NORTHEAST TO EAST BY MONDAY. HIGHS WILL
BE SEASONABLY COOL SUNDAY AND MONDAY IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOW 50S
BEFORE WARMING INTO THE UPPER 50S ON TUESDAY; SIERRA VALLEY HIGHS
WILL BE AROUND 60 WHERE MIXING WILL BE BETTER. BOYD

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

DRY CONDITIONS AND MILD TEMPERATURES WILL PREVAIL OVER THE
THANKSGIVING HOLIDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BECOMES ESTABLISHED
ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN. LIGHT WINDS AND VALLEY INVERSIONS WILL BE IN
PLACE WED-THU WITH THE RIDGE OVERHEAD WHICH WILL PROMOTE HAZY VALLEY
CONDITIONS WITH TEMPERATURES ACROSS SIERRA VALLEYS VERY NEAR OR A
COUPLE OF DEGREES WARMER THAN WESTERN NEVADA LOCATIONS. OVERALL
EXPECTING HIGH TEMPERATURES TO BE IN THE UPPER 50S TO NEAR 60 REGION
WIDE OVER THE HOLIDAY.

AN UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL BEGIN TO DAMPEN THE RIDGE AS EARLY AS
THURSDAY EVENING AND USHER IN SOME HIGH CLOUDS AHEAD OF IT. MODELS
IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN DEVELOPING THIS LOW BUT DIFFER IN THE TIMING
OF ITS INLAND PROGRESSION. THE EC STALLS THE LOW OFF THE COAST AS
THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW BEGINS TO AMPLIFY WHILE THE GFS BECOMES MORE
PROGRESSIVE AND PROVIDES CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION AS EARLY AS
FRIDAY AFTERNOON. HAVE MAINTAINED SLIGHT CHANCES FOR PRECIP ALONG
PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST CALIFORNIA FRIDAY WITH CHANCES EXTENDING
ALONG THE SIERRA THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. OVERALL NOT LOOKING
LIKE AN IMPRESSIVE SYSTEM BUT CONFIDENCE IN DETAILS IS LOW THIS
FAR OUT IN THE FORECAST. FUENTES

&&

.AVIATION...

GUSTY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING WITH GUSTS BETWEEN
30-40KT EXPECTED ACROSS ALL TERMINALS THROUGH ABOUT 03Z. GUSTS
ACROSS THE RIDGES WILL ALSO DIMINISH THIS EVENING WITH WINDS ACROSS
THE SIERRA RIDGES DIMINISHING BELOW 25KTS AFTER 06Z. SHOWERS WILL
DIMINISH AFTER 06Z WITH VFR CONDITIONS AND LIGHT WINDS EXPECTED
THROUGH SUNDAY. FUENTES

&&


.REV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NV...HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 4 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON NVZ003.

     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON NVZ002-005.

     LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR LAKE TAHOE IN
     NVZ002.

     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM PST THIS EVENING NVZ001-004.

CA...HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 4 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON CAZ071.

     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON CAZ070-072.

     HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 7 PM PST THIS EVENING CAZ073.

     LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR LAKE TAHOE IN
     CAZ072.

&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RENO (ALL LOWER CASE)






000
FXUS65 KLKN 222251
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
251 PM PST SAT NOV 22 2014

.SYNOPSIS...STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE OUT OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
NEVADA TONIGHT WITH SHOWERS MOSTLY ENDING BY MIDNIGHT. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BRING DRY WEATHER WITH A WARMING TREND NEXT WEEK.
&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. COLD FRONT LAYING NORTHEAST TO
SOUTHWEST ACROSS SOUTHERN ELKO COUNTY AT THIS TIME. COLDER AIR
BEHIND THE FRONT WILL BRING SNOW LEVELS DOWN TO VALLEY FLOORS BY
LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING ACROSS MOST OF NORTHERN NEVADA. BY
THE TIME SNOW LEVELS REACH VALLEY FLOORS MOISTURE WILL BE MOSTLY
GONE SO NOT EXPECTING MUCH IN THE WAY OF SNOW, GENERALLY LESS THAN
1 INCH, WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS IN UPSLOPE FAVORED AREAS SUCH
AS SPRING CREEK. WILL CONTINUE CURRENT WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES
DESPITE THE MARGINAL AMOUNT OF SNOW AS BELOW FREEZING TEMPERATURES
THIS EVENING WILL CAUSE WATER ON ROADWAYS TO TURN TO ICE MAKING
FOR SLIPPERY TRAVEL. WITH MOST PRECIPITATION ENDING BY LATE
EVENING WILL LET WINTER WEATHER PRODUCTS EXPIRE AT 10 PM. SNOW
LEVELS WILL LOWER TO VALLEY FLOORS ACROSS CENTRAL NV THIS EVENING
BUT WITH LIMITED MOISTURE SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE LESS THAN 1/2
INCH. COLD NORTHWEST FLOW ON SUNDAY WITH ENOUGH MOISTURE ACROSS
FAR NORTHEAST NV FOR A FEW MOUNTAIN SNOW SHOWERS. UPPER RIDGE WILL
SLOWLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST COAST MONDAY AND TUESDAY FOR DRY
WEATHER AND SLOWLY MODERATING TEMPERATURES. HOWEVER ENOUGH
MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS NORTHEAST NV FOR PARTLY TO
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES.

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. RELATIVELY QUIET WEATHER
FOR THANKSGIVING WEEK WITH BROAD 500MB RIDGING EXPECTED ACROSS
THE INTER-MOUNTAIN WEST. FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS ABOVE AVERAGE
THROUGH THE END OF NEXT WEEK. PRECIPITATION WILL RUN BELOW AVERAGE
WITH ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES EXPECTED.

TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THANKSGIVING DAY AN ANOMALOUS 588DAM 500MB
RIDGE WILL SLOWLY PROGRESS EASTWARD FROM THE COAST OF CALIFORNIA TO
THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST THROUGH THE WEEK.  THIS WILL BRING WELL ABOVE
AVERAGE TEMPERATURES AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES...WITH TEMPS PEAKING ON
WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR GREAT TRAVEL WEATHER ACROSS THE
MAJORITY OF THE INTER-MOUNTAIN WEST FOR THANKSGIVING. HIGH TEMPS
WILL BE REACHING INTO THE 50S WITH LOWS IN THE 20S. THERE IS SOME
ENERGY OFF THE PACIFIC COAST BY THE END OF NEXT WEEK...BUT A LOT OF
SPREAD ON HOW THIS ENERGY WILL BE HANDLED. ADDED SOME SHADOW POPS
AND INCREASED CLOUDS BY SATURDAY. WILL HAVE TO WATCH HOW THIS ENERGY
PANS OUT FOR THE HOLIDAY RETURN TRAVEL.
&&

.AVIATION...COLD FRONT HAS PUSHED THROUGH NORTHER NEVADA THIS
AFTERNOON...ALLOWING FOR THE RAIN TO BEGIN TO MIX AND CHANGE OVER TO
SNOW. THIS WILL KEEP MVR CIGS AT KEKO THROUGH 02Z. NOT EXPECTING ANY
SNOW TO MIX IN AT KWMC THIS AFTERNOON. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE AT
THE NORTHERN TAF SITES AFTER 04Z AS MOISTURE BEGINS TO PUSH OUT OF
THE AREA. TEMPO MVR CIGS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE AT KELY THIS
EVENING...BUT CONDITIONS SHOULD ALSO IMPROVE THERE QUICKLY BY LATE
EVENING AS PRECIP PULLS OUT.
&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR
NORTHERN ELKO COUNTY-NORTHERN LANDER COUNTY AND NORTHERN EUREKA
COUNTY-SOUTH CENTRAL ELKO COUNTY-SOUTHWEST ELKO COUNTY.

WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR RUBY
MOUNTAINS AND EAST HUMBOLDT RANGE.

&&

$$

91/95/95



000
FXUS65 KLKN 222251
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
251 PM PST SAT NOV 22 2014

.SYNOPSIS...STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE OUT OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
NEVADA TONIGHT WITH SHOWERS MOSTLY ENDING BY MIDNIGHT. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BRING DRY WEATHER WITH A WARMING TREND NEXT WEEK.
&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. COLD FRONT LAYING NORTHEAST TO
SOUTHWEST ACROSS SOUTHERN ELKO COUNTY AT THIS TIME. COLDER AIR
BEHIND THE FRONT WILL BRING SNOW LEVELS DOWN TO VALLEY FLOORS BY
LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING ACROSS MOST OF NORTHERN NEVADA. BY
THE TIME SNOW LEVELS REACH VALLEY FLOORS MOISTURE WILL BE MOSTLY
GONE SO NOT EXPECTING MUCH IN THE WAY OF SNOW, GENERALLY LESS THAN
1 INCH, WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS IN UPSLOPE FAVORED AREAS SUCH
AS SPRING CREEK. WILL CONTINUE CURRENT WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES
DESPITE THE MARGINAL AMOUNT OF SNOW AS BELOW FREEZING TEMPERATURES
THIS EVENING WILL CAUSE WATER ON ROADWAYS TO TURN TO ICE MAKING
FOR SLIPPERY TRAVEL. WITH MOST PRECIPITATION ENDING BY LATE
EVENING WILL LET WINTER WEATHER PRODUCTS EXPIRE AT 10 PM. SNOW
LEVELS WILL LOWER TO VALLEY FLOORS ACROSS CENTRAL NV THIS EVENING
BUT WITH LIMITED MOISTURE SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE LESS THAN 1/2
INCH. COLD NORTHWEST FLOW ON SUNDAY WITH ENOUGH MOISTURE ACROSS
FAR NORTHEAST NV FOR A FEW MOUNTAIN SNOW SHOWERS. UPPER RIDGE WILL
SLOWLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST COAST MONDAY AND TUESDAY FOR DRY
WEATHER AND SLOWLY MODERATING TEMPERATURES. HOWEVER ENOUGH
MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS NORTHEAST NV FOR PARTLY TO
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES.

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. RELATIVELY QUIET WEATHER
FOR THANKSGIVING WEEK WITH BROAD 500MB RIDGING EXPECTED ACROSS
THE INTER-MOUNTAIN WEST. FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS ABOVE AVERAGE
THROUGH THE END OF NEXT WEEK. PRECIPITATION WILL RUN BELOW AVERAGE
WITH ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES EXPECTED.

TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THANKSGIVING DAY AN ANOMALOUS 588DAM 500MB
RIDGE WILL SLOWLY PROGRESS EASTWARD FROM THE COAST OF CALIFORNIA TO
THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST THROUGH THE WEEK.  THIS WILL BRING WELL ABOVE
AVERAGE TEMPERATURES AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES...WITH TEMPS PEAKING ON
WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR GREAT TRAVEL WEATHER ACROSS THE
MAJORITY OF THE INTER-MOUNTAIN WEST FOR THANKSGIVING. HIGH TEMPS
WILL BE REACHING INTO THE 50S WITH LOWS IN THE 20S. THERE IS SOME
ENERGY OFF THE PACIFIC COAST BY THE END OF NEXT WEEK...BUT A LOT OF
SPREAD ON HOW THIS ENERGY WILL BE HANDLED. ADDED SOME SHADOW POPS
AND INCREASED CLOUDS BY SATURDAY. WILL HAVE TO WATCH HOW THIS ENERGY
PANS OUT FOR THE HOLIDAY RETURN TRAVEL.
&&

.AVIATION...COLD FRONT HAS PUSHED THROUGH NORTHER NEVADA THIS
AFTERNOON...ALLOWING FOR THE RAIN TO BEGIN TO MIX AND CHANGE OVER TO
SNOW. THIS WILL KEEP MVR CIGS AT KEKO THROUGH 02Z. NOT EXPECTING ANY
SNOW TO MIX IN AT KWMC THIS AFTERNOON. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE AT
THE NORTHERN TAF SITES AFTER 04Z AS MOISTURE BEGINS TO PUSH OUT OF
THE AREA. TEMPO MVR CIGS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE AT KELY THIS
EVENING...BUT CONDITIONS SHOULD ALSO IMPROVE THERE QUICKLY BY LATE
EVENING AS PRECIP PULLS OUT.
&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR
NORTHERN ELKO COUNTY-NORTHERN LANDER COUNTY AND NORTHERN EUREKA
COUNTY-SOUTH CENTRAL ELKO COUNTY-SOUTHWEST ELKO COUNTY.

WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR RUBY
MOUNTAINS AND EAST HUMBOLDT RANGE.

&&

$$

91/95/95




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