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000
FXUS65 KVEF 020932
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
232 AM PDT TUE SEP 2 2014

.SYNOPSIS...WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND.
MONSOON MOISTURE MAY EDGE BACK INTO NORTHWEST ARIZONA FOR SUNDAY AND
MONDAY BRINGING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO MOHAVE
COUNTY.
&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...

THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN THIS MORNING FEATURES SLIGHT UPPER LEVEL
RIDGING ACROSS THE EAST COAST...A TROUGH AXIS PUSHING INTO THE
WESTERN GREAT LAKES...AND ANOTHER TROUGH PASSING ACROSS BRITISH
COLUMBIA HEADING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST CONUS. FLOW ACROSS OUR AREA IS
BECOMING MORE ZONAL AND AS TROUGHING BECOMES ESTABLISHED ALONG THE
WEST COAST DURING THE SHORT TERM PERIOD...SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL
PREVAIL.

MODELS HAVE BEEN INDICATING SOME MID LEVEL MOISTURE WILL MAKE IT
INTO WESTERN ARIZONA LATE WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. BELIEVE THIS
WILL JUST BE AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE APPEARS TO
STAY SOUTH AND EAST OF OUR FORECAST AREA. WHERE PREVIOUS MODEL RUNS
ONCE PRODUCED SOME QPF IN MOHAVE COUNTY...THE TREND IS NOW DRY WITH
MORE OF A DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW INFLUENCE. WILL RUN WITH SOME
INCREASING MID AND UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS...BUT KEEP THE FORECAST DRY
AND HIGHER MOISTURE SOUTH AND EAST OF OUR AREA. SOUTHERLY BREEZES
WILL BE COMMON EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING ALONG WITH TEMPERATURES
CONTINUING TO RUN A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

.LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

MODELS ARE STILL WORKING ON RESOLVING HOW TWO MAJOR WEATHER FEATURES
WILL EVOLVE AS WE HEAD INTO THE LONG TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST.
DIFFERENCES CONTINUE REGARDING THE NORTHWEST COAST TROUGH
EVOLUTION...WHETHER IT REMAINS AN OPEN WAVE OR CLOSES OFF AND WHEN
IT EVENTUALLY PUSHES THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN. DEPENDING ON HOW IT
ALL COMES TOGETHER WILL DETERMINE WHAT ROLE IT WILL PLAY IN LIMITING
THE WEST AND NORTHWARD EXTENT OF THE MOISTURE ADVECTION. THE 00Z GFS
GENERALLY LIMITS TSTORM DEVELOPMENT EAST OF THE COLORADO RIVER
VALLEY OR MAINLY OVER MOHAVE COUNTY AND POINTS EAST AND SOUTH WHILE
KEEPING THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA UNDER A DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW. IT
DOES FORECAST FAIRLY SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL OVER MOHAVE COUNTY
BEGINNING SUNDAY AND CONTINUING INTO MONDAY. THE ECMWF IS MUCH MORE
AGGRESSIVE IN BRINGING MOISTURE FURTHER WEST AND NORTH INTO THE CWA
INCLUDING EASTERN SAN BERN, CLARK AND LINCOLN COUNTIES BY SUNDAY. IT
ALSO BRINGS PRECIPITATION TO MOHAVE COUNTY A DAY EARLIER (SATURDAY)
THEN THE GFS. WHILE THE GFS ENSEMBLE MEAN SUPPORTS THE OPERATIONAL
GFS SOLUTION IN GENERAL, SEVERAL INDIVIDUAL GFS ENSEMBLE MEMBERS
SUPPORT THE ECMWF IDEA. REGARDLESS, THE TROPICAL NATURE OF THE
MOISTURE WILL SUPPORT INCREASED FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL WHERE THE
DEEPER MOISTURE SETS UP. AT THIS TIME, CONFIDENCE IS HIGHER THAT IT
WILL BE OVER MOHAVE COUNTY...ESPECIALLY THE SOUTHERN HALF.

NO SIGNIFICANT WIND IS EXPECTED IN THE LONG TERM AND TEMPERATURES
WILL GENERALLY TREND LOWER IN THE HIGHER MOISTURE AREAS OF THE EAST
WITH SMALLER IMPACTS FURTHER WEST.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...ANTICIPATE MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES THROUGH THE
VALID TAF PERIOD. A PERIOD OF EAST-SOUTHEAST WINDS IS EXPECTED AGAIN
16Z-20Z TODAY BEFORE BECOMING SOUTH 10-15 KTS FOR MUCH OF THE
AFTERNOON AND FAVORING CONFIG 1 THROUGH THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT
HOURS.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE VALID TAF
PERIOD. SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 10-20 KTS THROUGH MUCH OF TODAY.
LIGHTER DRAINAGE WINDS OVERNIGHT.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...PADDOCK
LONG TERM...SALMEN

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER





000
FXUS65 KVEF 020932
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
232 AM PDT TUE SEP 2 2014

.SYNOPSIS...WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND.
MONSOON MOISTURE MAY EDGE BACK INTO NORTHWEST ARIZONA FOR SUNDAY AND
MONDAY BRINGING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO MOHAVE
COUNTY.
&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...

THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN THIS MORNING FEATURES SLIGHT UPPER LEVEL
RIDGING ACROSS THE EAST COAST...A TROUGH AXIS PUSHING INTO THE
WESTERN GREAT LAKES...AND ANOTHER TROUGH PASSING ACROSS BRITISH
COLUMBIA HEADING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST CONUS. FLOW ACROSS OUR AREA IS
BECOMING MORE ZONAL AND AS TROUGHING BECOMES ESTABLISHED ALONG THE
WEST COAST DURING THE SHORT TERM PERIOD...SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL
PREVAIL.

MODELS HAVE BEEN INDICATING SOME MID LEVEL MOISTURE WILL MAKE IT
INTO WESTERN ARIZONA LATE WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. BELIEVE THIS
WILL JUST BE AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE APPEARS TO
STAY SOUTH AND EAST OF OUR FORECAST AREA. WHERE PREVIOUS MODEL RUNS
ONCE PRODUCED SOME QPF IN MOHAVE COUNTY...THE TREND IS NOW DRY WITH
MORE OF A DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW INFLUENCE. WILL RUN WITH SOME
INCREASING MID AND UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS...BUT KEEP THE FORECAST DRY
AND HIGHER MOISTURE SOUTH AND EAST OF OUR AREA. SOUTHERLY BREEZES
WILL BE COMMON EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING ALONG WITH TEMPERATURES
CONTINUING TO RUN A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

.LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

MODELS ARE STILL WORKING ON RESOLVING HOW TWO MAJOR WEATHER FEATURES
WILL EVOLVE AS WE HEAD INTO THE LONG TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST.
DIFFERENCES CONTINUE REGARDING THE NORTHWEST COAST TROUGH
EVOLUTION...WHETHER IT REMAINS AN OPEN WAVE OR CLOSES OFF AND WHEN
IT EVENTUALLY PUSHES THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN. DEPENDING ON HOW IT
ALL COMES TOGETHER WILL DETERMINE WHAT ROLE IT WILL PLAY IN LIMITING
THE WEST AND NORTHWARD EXTENT OF THE MOISTURE ADVECTION. THE 00Z GFS
GENERALLY LIMITS TSTORM DEVELOPMENT EAST OF THE COLORADO RIVER
VALLEY OR MAINLY OVER MOHAVE COUNTY AND POINTS EAST AND SOUTH WHILE
KEEPING THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA UNDER A DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW. IT
DOES FORECAST FAIRLY SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL OVER MOHAVE COUNTY
BEGINNING SUNDAY AND CONTINUING INTO MONDAY. THE ECMWF IS MUCH MORE
AGGRESSIVE IN BRINGING MOISTURE FURTHER WEST AND NORTH INTO THE CWA
INCLUDING EASTERN SAN BERN, CLARK AND LINCOLN COUNTIES BY SUNDAY. IT
ALSO BRINGS PRECIPITATION TO MOHAVE COUNTY A DAY EARLIER (SATURDAY)
THEN THE GFS. WHILE THE GFS ENSEMBLE MEAN SUPPORTS THE OPERATIONAL
GFS SOLUTION IN GENERAL, SEVERAL INDIVIDUAL GFS ENSEMBLE MEMBERS
SUPPORT THE ECMWF IDEA. REGARDLESS, THE TROPICAL NATURE OF THE
MOISTURE WILL SUPPORT INCREASED FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL WHERE THE
DEEPER MOISTURE SETS UP. AT THIS TIME, CONFIDENCE IS HIGHER THAT IT
WILL BE OVER MOHAVE COUNTY...ESPECIALLY THE SOUTHERN HALF.

NO SIGNIFICANT WIND IS EXPECTED IN THE LONG TERM AND TEMPERATURES
WILL GENERALLY TREND LOWER IN THE HIGHER MOISTURE AREAS OF THE EAST
WITH SMALLER IMPACTS FURTHER WEST.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...ANTICIPATE MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES THROUGH THE
VALID TAF PERIOD. A PERIOD OF EAST-SOUTHEAST WINDS IS EXPECTED AGAIN
16Z-20Z TODAY BEFORE BECOMING SOUTH 10-15 KTS FOR MUCH OF THE
AFTERNOON AND FAVORING CONFIG 1 THROUGH THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT
HOURS.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE VALID TAF
PERIOD. SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 10-20 KTS THROUGH MUCH OF TODAY.
LIGHTER DRAINAGE WINDS OVERNIGHT.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...PADDOCK
LONG TERM...SALMEN

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER





000
FXUS65 KVEF 020932
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
232 AM PDT TUE SEP 2 2014

.SYNOPSIS...WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND.
MONSOON MOISTURE MAY EDGE BACK INTO NORTHWEST ARIZONA FOR SUNDAY AND
MONDAY BRINGING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO MOHAVE
COUNTY.
&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...

THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN THIS MORNING FEATURES SLIGHT UPPER LEVEL
RIDGING ACROSS THE EAST COAST...A TROUGH AXIS PUSHING INTO THE
WESTERN GREAT LAKES...AND ANOTHER TROUGH PASSING ACROSS BRITISH
COLUMBIA HEADING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST CONUS. FLOW ACROSS OUR AREA IS
BECOMING MORE ZONAL AND AS TROUGHING BECOMES ESTABLISHED ALONG THE
WEST COAST DURING THE SHORT TERM PERIOD...SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL
PREVAIL.

MODELS HAVE BEEN INDICATING SOME MID LEVEL MOISTURE WILL MAKE IT
INTO WESTERN ARIZONA LATE WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. BELIEVE THIS
WILL JUST BE AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE APPEARS TO
STAY SOUTH AND EAST OF OUR FORECAST AREA. WHERE PREVIOUS MODEL RUNS
ONCE PRODUCED SOME QPF IN MOHAVE COUNTY...THE TREND IS NOW DRY WITH
MORE OF A DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW INFLUENCE. WILL RUN WITH SOME
INCREASING MID AND UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS...BUT KEEP THE FORECAST DRY
AND HIGHER MOISTURE SOUTH AND EAST OF OUR AREA. SOUTHERLY BREEZES
WILL BE COMMON EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING ALONG WITH TEMPERATURES
CONTINUING TO RUN A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

.LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

MODELS ARE STILL WORKING ON RESOLVING HOW TWO MAJOR WEATHER FEATURES
WILL EVOLVE AS WE HEAD INTO THE LONG TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST.
DIFFERENCES CONTINUE REGARDING THE NORTHWEST COAST TROUGH
EVOLUTION...WHETHER IT REMAINS AN OPEN WAVE OR CLOSES OFF AND WHEN
IT EVENTUALLY PUSHES THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN. DEPENDING ON HOW IT
ALL COMES TOGETHER WILL DETERMINE WHAT ROLE IT WILL PLAY IN LIMITING
THE WEST AND NORTHWARD EXTENT OF THE MOISTURE ADVECTION. THE 00Z GFS
GENERALLY LIMITS TSTORM DEVELOPMENT EAST OF THE COLORADO RIVER
VALLEY OR MAINLY OVER MOHAVE COUNTY AND POINTS EAST AND SOUTH WHILE
KEEPING THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA UNDER A DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW. IT
DOES FORECAST FAIRLY SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL OVER MOHAVE COUNTY
BEGINNING SUNDAY AND CONTINUING INTO MONDAY. THE ECMWF IS MUCH MORE
AGGRESSIVE IN BRINGING MOISTURE FURTHER WEST AND NORTH INTO THE CWA
INCLUDING EASTERN SAN BERN, CLARK AND LINCOLN COUNTIES BY SUNDAY. IT
ALSO BRINGS PRECIPITATION TO MOHAVE COUNTY A DAY EARLIER (SATURDAY)
THEN THE GFS. WHILE THE GFS ENSEMBLE MEAN SUPPORTS THE OPERATIONAL
GFS SOLUTION IN GENERAL, SEVERAL INDIVIDUAL GFS ENSEMBLE MEMBERS
SUPPORT THE ECMWF IDEA. REGARDLESS, THE TROPICAL NATURE OF THE
MOISTURE WILL SUPPORT INCREASED FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL WHERE THE
DEEPER MOISTURE SETS UP. AT THIS TIME, CONFIDENCE IS HIGHER THAT IT
WILL BE OVER MOHAVE COUNTY...ESPECIALLY THE SOUTHERN HALF.

NO SIGNIFICANT WIND IS EXPECTED IN THE LONG TERM AND TEMPERATURES
WILL GENERALLY TREND LOWER IN THE HIGHER MOISTURE AREAS OF THE EAST
WITH SMALLER IMPACTS FURTHER WEST.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...ANTICIPATE MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES THROUGH THE
VALID TAF PERIOD. A PERIOD OF EAST-SOUTHEAST WINDS IS EXPECTED AGAIN
16Z-20Z TODAY BEFORE BECOMING SOUTH 10-15 KTS FOR MUCH OF THE
AFTERNOON AND FAVORING CONFIG 1 THROUGH THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT
HOURS.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE VALID TAF
PERIOD. SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 10-20 KTS THROUGH MUCH OF TODAY.
LIGHTER DRAINAGE WINDS OVERNIGHT.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...PADDOCK
LONG TERM...SALMEN

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER





000
FXUS65 KVEF 020932
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
232 AM PDT TUE SEP 2 2014

.SYNOPSIS...WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND.
MONSOON MOISTURE MAY EDGE BACK INTO NORTHWEST ARIZONA FOR SUNDAY AND
MONDAY BRINGING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO MOHAVE
COUNTY.
&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...

THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN THIS MORNING FEATURES SLIGHT UPPER LEVEL
RIDGING ACROSS THE EAST COAST...A TROUGH AXIS PUSHING INTO THE
WESTERN GREAT LAKES...AND ANOTHER TROUGH PASSING ACROSS BRITISH
COLUMBIA HEADING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST CONUS. FLOW ACROSS OUR AREA IS
BECOMING MORE ZONAL AND AS TROUGHING BECOMES ESTABLISHED ALONG THE
WEST COAST DURING THE SHORT TERM PERIOD...SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL
PREVAIL.

MODELS HAVE BEEN INDICATING SOME MID LEVEL MOISTURE WILL MAKE IT
INTO WESTERN ARIZONA LATE WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. BELIEVE THIS
WILL JUST BE AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE APPEARS TO
STAY SOUTH AND EAST OF OUR FORECAST AREA. WHERE PREVIOUS MODEL RUNS
ONCE PRODUCED SOME QPF IN MOHAVE COUNTY...THE TREND IS NOW DRY WITH
MORE OF A DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW INFLUENCE. WILL RUN WITH SOME
INCREASING MID AND UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS...BUT KEEP THE FORECAST DRY
AND HIGHER MOISTURE SOUTH AND EAST OF OUR AREA. SOUTHERLY BREEZES
WILL BE COMMON EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING ALONG WITH TEMPERATURES
CONTINUING TO RUN A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

.LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

MODELS ARE STILL WORKING ON RESOLVING HOW TWO MAJOR WEATHER FEATURES
WILL EVOLVE AS WE HEAD INTO THE LONG TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST.
DIFFERENCES CONTINUE REGARDING THE NORTHWEST COAST TROUGH
EVOLUTION...WHETHER IT REMAINS AN OPEN WAVE OR CLOSES OFF AND WHEN
IT EVENTUALLY PUSHES THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN. DEPENDING ON HOW IT
ALL COMES TOGETHER WILL DETERMINE WHAT ROLE IT WILL PLAY IN LIMITING
THE WEST AND NORTHWARD EXTENT OF THE MOISTURE ADVECTION. THE 00Z GFS
GENERALLY LIMITS TSTORM DEVELOPMENT EAST OF THE COLORADO RIVER
VALLEY OR MAINLY OVER MOHAVE COUNTY AND POINTS EAST AND SOUTH WHILE
KEEPING THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA UNDER A DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW. IT
DOES FORECAST FAIRLY SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL OVER MOHAVE COUNTY
BEGINNING SUNDAY AND CONTINUING INTO MONDAY. THE ECMWF IS MUCH MORE
AGGRESSIVE IN BRINGING MOISTURE FURTHER WEST AND NORTH INTO THE CWA
INCLUDING EASTERN SAN BERN, CLARK AND LINCOLN COUNTIES BY SUNDAY. IT
ALSO BRINGS PRECIPITATION TO MOHAVE COUNTY A DAY EARLIER (SATURDAY)
THEN THE GFS. WHILE THE GFS ENSEMBLE MEAN SUPPORTS THE OPERATIONAL
GFS SOLUTION IN GENERAL, SEVERAL INDIVIDUAL GFS ENSEMBLE MEMBERS
SUPPORT THE ECMWF IDEA. REGARDLESS, THE TROPICAL NATURE OF THE
MOISTURE WILL SUPPORT INCREASED FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL WHERE THE
DEEPER MOISTURE SETS UP. AT THIS TIME, CONFIDENCE IS HIGHER THAT IT
WILL BE OVER MOHAVE COUNTY...ESPECIALLY THE SOUTHERN HALF.

NO SIGNIFICANT WIND IS EXPECTED IN THE LONG TERM AND TEMPERATURES
WILL GENERALLY TREND LOWER IN THE HIGHER MOISTURE AREAS OF THE EAST
WITH SMALLER IMPACTS FURTHER WEST.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...ANTICIPATE MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES THROUGH THE
VALID TAF PERIOD. A PERIOD OF EAST-SOUTHEAST WINDS IS EXPECTED AGAIN
16Z-20Z TODAY BEFORE BECOMING SOUTH 10-15 KTS FOR MUCH OF THE
AFTERNOON AND FAVORING CONFIG 1 THROUGH THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT
HOURS.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE VALID TAF
PERIOD. SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 10-20 KTS THROUGH MUCH OF TODAY.
LIGHTER DRAINAGE WINDS OVERNIGHT.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...PADDOCK
LONG TERM...SALMEN

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER




  [top]

000
FXUS65 KLKN 020922
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
222 AM PDT TUE SEP 2 2014

.SYNOPSIS...DRY WEATHER PATTERN THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND. A BIT
WARMER TODAY BUT A COLD FRONT WILL BRING TEMPERATURES CLOSER TO
NORMAL STARTING WEDNESDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL RISE
TODAY AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT BUT CONTINUED SUNNY.
WINDS WILL INCREASE TODAY WITH STRONGEST WINDS ACROSS CENTRAL
NEVADA AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT INCREASES AHEAD OF THE
AFOREMENTIONED FRONT. SMOKE HAS DECREASED ACROSS THE AREA SO LEFT
IT OUT OF GRIDS. WINDS MAY INCREASE OVER NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
TOMORROW AFTERNOON AS FLOW BECOMES MORE WESTERLY SO SMOKE MAY
FILTER BACK INTO NORTHERN NEVADA BY TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...BUT
CONFIDENCE NOT HIGH DUE TO FACTORS WHICH COULD AFFECT SMOKE
MOVEMENT. WEDNESDAY LOW PRESSURE OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WILL
TURN UPPER LEVEL WINDS MORE SOUTHWESTERLY WHICH WILL BRING IN AN
INCREASE IN MOISTURE WITH A FEW MORE CLOUDS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
ESPECIALLY ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN NEVADA...ADDITIONALLY
TEMPERATURES WILL RUN 5 TO 10 DEGREES COOLER THAN TODAY DUE TO THE
COLD FRONT...BUT WILL BE NEAR AVERAGE.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. BENIGN WEATHER WILL BE
THE RULE DURING THE LONG TERM PERIOD AS A WEAK LOW OFF THE NRN CA
COAST PUTS NRN AND CNTRL NV UNDER A MOSTLY DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW. THERE
IS SOME SPOTTY MID-LEVEL MOISTURE THROUGH MOST OF THE PERIOD THAT
WILL BE ENOUGH TO GENERATE SOME CLOUD BUILDUPS, BUT NO THUNDERSTORMS
OR PRECIP IS EXPECTED. TEMPS WILL BE NEAR NORMAL WITH HIGHS
GENERALLY IN THE MID 70S TO THE MID 80S.


.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS UNDER CLEAR SKIES NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...DRY AND WARMER TODAY AND THEN COOLER FROM WEDNESDAY
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON
WITH GUSTS NEAR OR ABOVE 30 MPH IN PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
NEVADA...BUT DO NOT EXPECT COVERAGE TO MEET CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONCERNS.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

90/91/91/90






000
FXUS65 KLKN 020922
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
222 AM PDT TUE SEP 2 2014

.SYNOPSIS...DRY WEATHER PATTERN THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND. A BIT
WARMER TODAY BUT A COLD FRONT WILL BRING TEMPERATURES CLOSER TO
NORMAL STARTING WEDNESDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL RISE
TODAY AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT BUT CONTINUED SUNNY.
WINDS WILL INCREASE TODAY WITH STRONGEST WINDS ACROSS CENTRAL
NEVADA AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT INCREASES AHEAD OF THE
AFOREMENTIONED FRONT. SMOKE HAS DECREASED ACROSS THE AREA SO LEFT
IT OUT OF GRIDS. WINDS MAY INCREASE OVER NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
TOMORROW AFTERNOON AS FLOW BECOMES MORE WESTERLY SO SMOKE MAY
FILTER BACK INTO NORTHERN NEVADA BY TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...BUT
CONFIDENCE NOT HIGH DUE TO FACTORS WHICH COULD AFFECT SMOKE
MOVEMENT. WEDNESDAY LOW PRESSURE OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WILL
TURN UPPER LEVEL WINDS MORE SOUTHWESTERLY WHICH WILL BRING IN AN
INCREASE IN MOISTURE WITH A FEW MORE CLOUDS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
ESPECIALLY ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN NEVADA...ADDITIONALLY
TEMPERATURES WILL RUN 5 TO 10 DEGREES COOLER THAN TODAY DUE TO THE
COLD FRONT...BUT WILL BE NEAR AVERAGE.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. BENIGN WEATHER WILL BE
THE RULE DURING THE LONG TERM PERIOD AS A WEAK LOW OFF THE NRN CA
COAST PUTS NRN AND CNTRL NV UNDER A MOSTLY DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW. THERE
IS SOME SPOTTY MID-LEVEL MOISTURE THROUGH MOST OF THE PERIOD THAT
WILL BE ENOUGH TO GENERATE SOME CLOUD BUILDUPS, BUT NO THUNDERSTORMS
OR PRECIP IS EXPECTED. TEMPS WILL BE NEAR NORMAL WITH HIGHS
GENERALLY IN THE MID 70S TO THE MID 80S.


.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS UNDER CLEAR SKIES NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...DRY AND WARMER TODAY AND THEN COOLER FROM WEDNESDAY
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON
WITH GUSTS NEAR OR ABOVE 30 MPH IN PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
NEVADA...BUT DO NOT EXPECT COVERAGE TO MEET CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONCERNS.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

90/91/91/90




  [top]

000
FXUS65 KREV 020901
AFDREV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
201 AM PDT TUE SEP 2 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. VERY WARM
TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL COOL A FEW DEGREES FOR MID WEEK AS LOW
PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST.

&&

.SHORT TERM...

NO MAJOR CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. AFTERNOON HIGHS FOR TODAY WILL
WARM INTO THE LOW TO MID 90S ACROSS THE WESTERN NEVADA VALLEYS
WITH 80S FOR THE SIERRA. WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON WITH
THE TYPICAL 20-30 MPH GUSTS OFF THE SIERRA INTO THIS EVENING.

LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND NORTHERN
ROCKIES TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL PROVIDE A FEW
DEGREES OF COOLING WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE 80S FOR THE LOWER
VALLEYS WITH 70S ACROSS THE SIERRA. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL ALSO DIP
CLOSE TO FREEZING IN THE SIERRA VALLEYS. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE
NORTH AND NORTHEAST FOR TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY BUT REMAIN
LIGHT FOR WESTERN NEVADA STANDARDS.

SOME HAZE FROM THE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA WILDFIRES MAY WORK INTO
THE NORTHERN SIERRA AND NORTHWEST NEVADA FOR TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY. HOWEVER DO NOT THINK THE SMOKE WILL PRODUCE ANY
SIGNIFICANT REDUCTIONS TO AIR QUALITY AND VISIBILITY. BRONG

.LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

THE UPPER TROUGH THAT DROPS THROUGH THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST MID-WEEK
WILL SPLIT OFF SOME ENERGY NEAR THE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST THAT
WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS LOW PRESSURE
WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES NEAR OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE SEASONAL THROUGH THE
EXTENDED.

THERE STILL REMAINS A BIT OF UNCERTAINTY BEYOND FRIDAY, AS MODELS
YESTERDAY WERE SHOWING THE JET FURTHER SOUTH IN SOUTHERN CA/NV AND
BUILDING CONVECTION INTO THE SIERRA BY THE WEEKEND. LATEST GFS/ECMWF
RUNS HAVE BACKED OFF ON THE PRECIP CHANCES, BUT ARE NOW TRENDING THE
JET FURTHER NORTH AGAIN OVER RENO-TAHOE WITH DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER
OUR FORECAST AREA. ENSEMBLES STILL SHOW QUITE A BIT OF SPREAD IN THE
HEIGHTS OVER CA/NV THIS WEEKEND AS WELL. WE INCREASED THE WINDS IN
THE EXTENDED TO MATCH LATEST DETERMINISTIC MODEL TRENDS. FOR NOW,
CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION WILL REMAIN NEAR ZERO THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK, BUT THIS WILL DEPEND HIGHLY ON WHERE THE LOW PRESSURE ENDS UP
THIS WEEKEND. HOON

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH TODAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD. A
LIGHT HAZE IS POSSIBLE FROM WILDFIRE SMOKE IN NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
AND OREGON WITH MINIMAL REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY. WINDS THIS
AFTERNOON WILL INCREASE FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 20-25KTS
THROUGH THIS EVENING. A WEAK FRONT ON WEDNESDAY WILL SHIFT THE WINDS
FROM THE NORTH TO NORTHEAST. HOON

&&

.REV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NV...NONE.
CA...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RENO (ALL LOWER CASE)





000
FXUS65 KREV 020901
AFDREV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
201 AM PDT TUE SEP 2 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. VERY WARM
TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL COOL A FEW DEGREES FOR MID WEEK AS LOW
PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST.

&&

.SHORT TERM...

NO MAJOR CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. AFTERNOON HIGHS FOR TODAY WILL
WARM INTO THE LOW TO MID 90S ACROSS THE WESTERN NEVADA VALLEYS
WITH 80S FOR THE SIERRA. WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON WITH
THE TYPICAL 20-30 MPH GUSTS OFF THE SIERRA INTO THIS EVENING.

LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND NORTHERN
ROCKIES TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL PROVIDE A FEW
DEGREES OF COOLING WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE 80S FOR THE LOWER
VALLEYS WITH 70S ACROSS THE SIERRA. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL ALSO DIP
CLOSE TO FREEZING IN THE SIERRA VALLEYS. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE
NORTH AND NORTHEAST FOR TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY BUT REMAIN
LIGHT FOR WESTERN NEVADA STANDARDS.

SOME HAZE FROM THE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA WILDFIRES MAY WORK INTO
THE NORTHERN SIERRA AND NORTHWEST NEVADA FOR TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY. HOWEVER DO NOT THINK THE SMOKE WILL PRODUCE ANY
SIGNIFICANT REDUCTIONS TO AIR QUALITY AND VISIBILITY. BRONG

.LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

THE UPPER TROUGH THAT DROPS THROUGH THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST MID-WEEK
WILL SPLIT OFF SOME ENERGY NEAR THE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST THAT
WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS LOW PRESSURE
WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES NEAR OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE SEASONAL THROUGH THE
EXTENDED.

THERE STILL REMAINS A BIT OF UNCERTAINTY BEYOND FRIDAY, AS MODELS
YESTERDAY WERE SHOWING THE JET FURTHER SOUTH IN SOUTHERN CA/NV AND
BUILDING CONVECTION INTO THE SIERRA BY THE WEEKEND. LATEST GFS/ECMWF
RUNS HAVE BACKED OFF ON THE PRECIP CHANCES, BUT ARE NOW TRENDING THE
JET FURTHER NORTH AGAIN OVER RENO-TAHOE WITH DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER
OUR FORECAST AREA. ENSEMBLES STILL SHOW QUITE A BIT OF SPREAD IN THE
HEIGHTS OVER CA/NV THIS WEEKEND AS WELL. WE INCREASED THE WINDS IN
THE EXTENDED TO MATCH LATEST DETERMINISTIC MODEL TRENDS. FOR NOW,
CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION WILL REMAIN NEAR ZERO THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK, BUT THIS WILL DEPEND HIGHLY ON WHERE THE LOW PRESSURE ENDS UP
THIS WEEKEND. HOON

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH TODAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD. A
LIGHT HAZE IS POSSIBLE FROM WILDFIRE SMOKE IN NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
AND OREGON WITH MINIMAL REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY. WINDS THIS
AFTERNOON WILL INCREASE FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 20-25KTS
THROUGH THIS EVENING. A WEAK FRONT ON WEDNESDAY WILL SHIFT THE WINDS
FROM THE NORTH TO NORTHEAST. HOON

&&

.REV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NV...NONE.
CA...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RENO (ALL LOWER CASE)





000
FXUS65 KREV 020901
AFDREV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
201 AM PDT TUE SEP 2 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. VERY WARM
TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL COOL A FEW DEGREES FOR MID WEEK AS LOW
PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST.

&&

.SHORT TERM...

NO MAJOR CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. AFTERNOON HIGHS FOR TODAY WILL
WARM INTO THE LOW TO MID 90S ACROSS THE WESTERN NEVADA VALLEYS
WITH 80S FOR THE SIERRA. WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON WITH
THE TYPICAL 20-30 MPH GUSTS OFF THE SIERRA INTO THIS EVENING.

LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND NORTHERN
ROCKIES TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL PROVIDE A FEW
DEGREES OF COOLING WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE 80S FOR THE LOWER
VALLEYS WITH 70S ACROSS THE SIERRA. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL ALSO DIP
CLOSE TO FREEZING IN THE SIERRA VALLEYS. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE
NORTH AND NORTHEAST FOR TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY BUT REMAIN
LIGHT FOR WESTERN NEVADA STANDARDS.

SOME HAZE FROM THE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA WILDFIRES MAY WORK INTO
THE NORTHERN SIERRA AND NORTHWEST NEVADA FOR TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY. HOWEVER DO NOT THINK THE SMOKE WILL PRODUCE ANY
SIGNIFICANT REDUCTIONS TO AIR QUALITY AND VISIBILITY. BRONG

.LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

THE UPPER TROUGH THAT DROPS THROUGH THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST MID-WEEK
WILL SPLIT OFF SOME ENERGY NEAR THE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST THAT
WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS LOW PRESSURE
WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES NEAR OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE SEASONAL THROUGH THE
EXTENDED.

THERE STILL REMAINS A BIT OF UNCERTAINTY BEYOND FRIDAY, AS MODELS
YESTERDAY WERE SHOWING THE JET FURTHER SOUTH IN SOUTHERN CA/NV AND
BUILDING CONVECTION INTO THE SIERRA BY THE WEEKEND. LATEST GFS/ECMWF
RUNS HAVE BACKED OFF ON THE PRECIP CHANCES, BUT ARE NOW TRENDING THE
JET FURTHER NORTH AGAIN OVER RENO-TAHOE WITH DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER
OUR FORECAST AREA. ENSEMBLES STILL SHOW QUITE A BIT OF SPREAD IN THE
HEIGHTS OVER CA/NV THIS WEEKEND AS WELL. WE INCREASED THE WINDS IN
THE EXTENDED TO MATCH LATEST DETERMINISTIC MODEL TRENDS. FOR NOW,
CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION WILL REMAIN NEAR ZERO THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK, BUT THIS WILL DEPEND HIGHLY ON WHERE THE LOW PRESSURE ENDS UP
THIS WEEKEND. HOON

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH TODAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD. A
LIGHT HAZE IS POSSIBLE FROM WILDFIRE SMOKE IN NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
AND OREGON WITH MINIMAL REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY. WINDS THIS
AFTERNOON WILL INCREASE FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 20-25KTS
THROUGH THIS EVENING. A WEAK FRONT ON WEDNESDAY WILL SHIFT THE WINDS
FROM THE NORTH TO NORTHEAST. HOON

&&

.REV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NV...NONE.
CA...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RENO (ALL LOWER CASE)





000
FXUS65 KREV 020901
AFDREV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
201 AM PDT TUE SEP 2 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. VERY WARM
TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL COOL A FEW DEGREES FOR MID WEEK AS LOW
PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST.

&&

.SHORT TERM...

NO MAJOR CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. AFTERNOON HIGHS FOR TODAY WILL
WARM INTO THE LOW TO MID 90S ACROSS THE WESTERN NEVADA VALLEYS
WITH 80S FOR THE SIERRA. WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON WITH
THE TYPICAL 20-30 MPH GUSTS OFF THE SIERRA INTO THIS EVENING.

LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND NORTHERN
ROCKIES TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL PROVIDE A FEW
DEGREES OF COOLING WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE 80S FOR THE LOWER
VALLEYS WITH 70S ACROSS THE SIERRA. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL ALSO DIP
CLOSE TO FREEZING IN THE SIERRA VALLEYS. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE
NORTH AND NORTHEAST FOR TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY BUT REMAIN
LIGHT FOR WESTERN NEVADA STANDARDS.

SOME HAZE FROM THE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA WILDFIRES MAY WORK INTO
THE NORTHERN SIERRA AND NORTHWEST NEVADA FOR TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY. HOWEVER DO NOT THINK THE SMOKE WILL PRODUCE ANY
SIGNIFICANT REDUCTIONS TO AIR QUALITY AND VISIBILITY. BRONG

.LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

THE UPPER TROUGH THAT DROPS THROUGH THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST MID-WEEK
WILL SPLIT OFF SOME ENERGY NEAR THE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST THAT
WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS LOW PRESSURE
WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES NEAR OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE SEASONAL THROUGH THE
EXTENDED.

THERE STILL REMAINS A BIT OF UNCERTAINTY BEYOND FRIDAY, AS MODELS
YESTERDAY WERE SHOWING THE JET FURTHER SOUTH IN SOUTHERN CA/NV AND
BUILDING CONVECTION INTO THE SIERRA BY THE WEEKEND. LATEST GFS/ECMWF
RUNS HAVE BACKED OFF ON THE PRECIP CHANCES, BUT ARE NOW TRENDING THE
JET FURTHER NORTH AGAIN OVER RENO-TAHOE WITH DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER
OUR FORECAST AREA. ENSEMBLES STILL SHOW QUITE A BIT OF SPREAD IN THE
HEIGHTS OVER CA/NV THIS WEEKEND AS WELL. WE INCREASED THE WINDS IN
THE EXTENDED TO MATCH LATEST DETERMINISTIC MODEL TRENDS. FOR NOW,
CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION WILL REMAIN NEAR ZERO THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK, BUT THIS WILL DEPEND HIGHLY ON WHERE THE LOW PRESSURE ENDS UP
THIS WEEKEND. HOON

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH TODAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD. A
LIGHT HAZE IS POSSIBLE FROM WILDFIRE SMOKE IN NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
AND OREGON WITH MINIMAL REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY. WINDS THIS
AFTERNOON WILL INCREASE FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 20-25KTS
THROUGH THIS EVENING. A WEAK FRONT ON WEDNESDAY WILL SHIFT THE WINDS
FROM THE NORTH TO NORTHEAST. HOON

&&

.REV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NV...NONE.
CA...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RENO (ALL LOWER CASE)





000
FXUS65 KVEF 020259
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
759 PM PDT MON SEP 1 2014

.SYNOPSIS...WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH NEXT
WEEKEND. MONSOON MOISTURE MAY CREEP BACK INTO NORTHWEST ARIZONA BY
NEXT MONDAY BRINGING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO MOHAVE
COUNTY.
&&

.UPDATE...QUIET WEATHER THIS EVENING. NO UPDATE PLANNED.
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
304 PM PDT MON SEP 1 2014

.SHORT TERM...THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...WESTERLY FLOW TONIGHT WILL
BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY THROUGH MID WEEK AS AN UPPER TROUGH DROPS TO
NORTHERN CALIFORNIA. OVERALL THIS LOOKS LIKE A DRY PATTERN WITH
TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL. THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE BRINGING A
LITTLE SHOT OF MID LEVEL MOISTURE INTO ARIZONA LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT
INTO THURSDAY BUT AT THIS TIME THE DEEPER MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY
LOOKS TO STAY EAST OF MOHAVE COUNTY. SOME LOCALLY BREEZY
SOUTH/SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP EACH AFTERNOON BUT WIND SPEEDS
ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW RED FLAG CRITERIA.

.LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE MOISTURE SLOWLY CREEPING NORTHWEST
TOWARD ARIZONA AS A TROPICAL SYSTEM MOVES UP THE BAJA COAST. HOW FAR
NORTH AND WEST THE MOISTURE IS ABLE TO GET DEPENDS ON A TROUGH
DIGGING DOWN THE WEST COAST AND WHERE THE STRONGER AND DRIER
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW SETS UP. FOR NOW THE MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE
THAT FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AFTERNOONS WILL REMAIN GENERALLY DRY IN
MOHAVE COUNTY...ALTHOUGH WE SHOULD START TO SEE A FEW MORE AFTERNOON
CLOUDS. THE MODELS REALLY START TO INCREASE THE MOISTURE SUNDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY...ESPECIALLY THE ECMWF WHICH SHOWS FAIRLY
WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION SPREADING OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CWA
BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. THE GFS NEVER REALLY PUSHES THE MOISTURE WEST
OF THE COLORADO RIVER. THIS IS ALSO DEPENDENT ON THE STRENGTH OF THE
TROUGH AND IF THE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE CAN OVERCOME THE SOUTHWEST
FLOW. AT THIS TIME WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP POPS OVER MOHAVE
COUNTY...BUT NOTHING WEST OF THE RIVER. TEMPERATURES SHOULD REMAIN
JUST A COUPLE OF DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD.

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...CLEAR SKIES THROUGH TUESDAY. EAST TO
SOUTHEAST WINDS 6-10 KTS THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON BECOMING SOUTH
AFTER ABOUT 02Z. A PERIOD OF EAST-SOUTHEAST WINDS AGAIN 16Z-20Z
TUESDAY BEFORE SHIFTING TO SOUTH 10-15 KTS MUCH OF TUESDAY
AFTERNOON.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...CLEAR SKIES THROUGH TUESDAY. SOUTH/SOUTHWEST WINDS
10-20 KTS THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING AND AGAIN MUCH OF TUESDAY.
LIGHTER DRAINAGE WINDS TONIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND.
&&

$$

UPDATE...MORGAN
SHORT TERM/AVIATION...HARRISON
LONG TERM...GORELOW

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER







000
FXUS65 KVEF 020259
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
759 PM PDT MON SEP 1 2014

.SYNOPSIS...WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH NEXT
WEEKEND. MONSOON MOISTURE MAY CREEP BACK INTO NORTHWEST ARIZONA BY
NEXT MONDAY BRINGING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO MOHAVE
COUNTY.
&&

.UPDATE...QUIET WEATHER THIS EVENING. NO UPDATE PLANNED.
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
304 PM PDT MON SEP 1 2014

.SHORT TERM...THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...WESTERLY FLOW TONIGHT WILL
BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY THROUGH MID WEEK AS AN UPPER TROUGH DROPS TO
NORTHERN CALIFORNIA. OVERALL THIS LOOKS LIKE A DRY PATTERN WITH
TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL. THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE BRINGING A
LITTLE SHOT OF MID LEVEL MOISTURE INTO ARIZONA LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT
INTO THURSDAY BUT AT THIS TIME THE DEEPER MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY
LOOKS TO STAY EAST OF MOHAVE COUNTY. SOME LOCALLY BREEZY
SOUTH/SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP EACH AFTERNOON BUT WIND SPEEDS
ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW RED FLAG CRITERIA.

.LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE MOISTURE SLOWLY CREEPING NORTHWEST
TOWARD ARIZONA AS A TROPICAL SYSTEM MOVES UP THE BAJA COAST. HOW FAR
NORTH AND WEST THE MOISTURE IS ABLE TO GET DEPENDS ON A TROUGH
DIGGING DOWN THE WEST COAST AND WHERE THE STRONGER AND DRIER
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW SETS UP. FOR NOW THE MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE
THAT FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AFTERNOONS WILL REMAIN GENERALLY DRY IN
MOHAVE COUNTY...ALTHOUGH WE SHOULD START TO SEE A FEW MORE AFTERNOON
CLOUDS. THE MODELS REALLY START TO INCREASE THE MOISTURE SUNDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY...ESPECIALLY THE ECMWF WHICH SHOWS FAIRLY
WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION SPREADING OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CWA
BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. THE GFS NEVER REALLY PUSHES THE MOISTURE WEST
OF THE COLORADO RIVER. THIS IS ALSO DEPENDENT ON THE STRENGTH OF THE
TROUGH AND IF THE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE CAN OVERCOME THE SOUTHWEST
FLOW. AT THIS TIME WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP POPS OVER MOHAVE
COUNTY...BUT NOTHING WEST OF THE RIVER. TEMPERATURES SHOULD REMAIN
JUST A COUPLE OF DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD.

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...CLEAR SKIES THROUGH TUESDAY. EAST TO
SOUTHEAST WINDS 6-10 KTS THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON BECOMING SOUTH
AFTER ABOUT 02Z. A PERIOD OF EAST-SOUTHEAST WINDS AGAIN 16Z-20Z
TUESDAY BEFORE SHIFTING TO SOUTH 10-15 KTS MUCH OF TUESDAY
AFTERNOON.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...CLEAR SKIES THROUGH TUESDAY. SOUTH/SOUTHWEST WINDS
10-20 KTS THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING AND AGAIN MUCH OF TUESDAY.
LIGHTER DRAINAGE WINDS TONIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND.
&&

$$

UPDATE...MORGAN
SHORT TERM/AVIATION...HARRISON
LONG TERM...GORELOW

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER







000
FXUS65 KVEF 020259
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
759 PM PDT MON SEP 1 2014

.SYNOPSIS...WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH NEXT
WEEKEND. MONSOON MOISTURE MAY CREEP BACK INTO NORTHWEST ARIZONA BY
NEXT MONDAY BRINGING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO MOHAVE
COUNTY.
&&

.UPDATE...QUIET WEATHER THIS EVENING. NO UPDATE PLANNED.
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
304 PM PDT MON SEP 1 2014

.SHORT TERM...THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...WESTERLY FLOW TONIGHT WILL
BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY THROUGH MID WEEK AS AN UPPER TROUGH DROPS TO
NORTHERN CALIFORNIA. OVERALL THIS LOOKS LIKE A DRY PATTERN WITH
TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL. THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE BRINGING A
LITTLE SHOT OF MID LEVEL MOISTURE INTO ARIZONA LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT
INTO THURSDAY BUT AT THIS TIME THE DEEPER MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY
LOOKS TO STAY EAST OF MOHAVE COUNTY. SOME LOCALLY BREEZY
SOUTH/SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP EACH AFTERNOON BUT WIND SPEEDS
ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW RED FLAG CRITERIA.

.LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE MOISTURE SLOWLY CREEPING NORTHWEST
TOWARD ARIZONA AS A TROPICAL SYSTEM MOVES UP THE BAJA COAST. HOW FAR
NORTH AND WEST THE MOISTURE IS ABLE TO GET DEPENDS ON A TROUGH
DIGGING DOWN THE WEST COAST AND WHERE THE STRONGER AND DRIER
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW SETS UP. FOR NOW THE MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE
THAT FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AFTERNOONS WILL REMAIN GENERALLY DRY IN
MOHAVE COUNTY...ALTHOUGH WE SHOULD START TO SEE A FEW MORE AFTERNOON
CLOUDS. THE MODELS REALLY START TO INCREASE THE MOISTURE SUNDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY...ESPECIALLY THE ECMWF WHICH SHOWS FAIRLY
WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION SPREADING OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CWA
BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. THE GFS NEVER REALLY PUSHES THE MOISTURE WEST
OF THE COLORADO RIVER. THIS IS ALSO DEPENDENT ON THE STRENGTH OF THE
TROUGH AND IF THE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE CAN OVERCOME THE SOUTHWEST
FLOW. AT THIS TIME WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP POPS OVER MOHAVE
COUNTY...BUT NOTHING WEST OF THE RIVER. TEMPERATURES SHOULD REMAIN
JUST A COUPLE OF DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD.

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...CLEAR SKIES THROUGH TUESDAY. EAST TO
SOUTHEAST WINDS 6-10 KTS THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON BECOMING SOUTH
AFTER ABOUT 02Z. A PERIOD OF EAST-SOUTHEAST WINDS AGAIN 16Z-20Z
TUESDAY BEFORE SHIFTING TO SOUTH 10-15 KTS MUCH OF TUESDAY
AFTERNOON.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...CLEAR SKIES THROUGH TUESDAY. SOUTH/SOUTHWEST WINDS
10-20 KTS THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING AND AGAIN MUCH OF TUESDAY.
LIGHTER DRAINAGE WINDS TONIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND.
&&

$$

UPDATE...MORGAN
SHORT TERM/AVIATION...HARRISON
LONG TERM...GORELOW

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER







000
FXUS65 KVEF 020259
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
759 PM PDT MON SEP 1 2014

.SYNOPSIS...WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH NEXT
WEEKEND. MONSOON MOISTURE MAY CREEP BACK INTO NORTHWEST ARIZONA BY
NEXT MONDAY BRINGING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO MOHAVE
COUNTY.
&&

.UPDATE...QUIET WEATHER THIS EVENING. NO UPDATE PLANNED.
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
304 PM PDT MON SEP 1 2014

.SHORT TERM...THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...WESTERLY FLOW TONIGHT WILL
BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY THROUGH MID WEEK AS AN UPPER TROUGH DROPS TO
NORTHERN CALIFORNIA. OVERALL THIS LOOKS LIKE A DRY PATTERN WITH
TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL. THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE BRINGING A
LITTLE SHOT OF MID LEVEL MOISTURE INTO ARIZONA LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT
INTO THURSDAY BUT AT THIS TIME THE DEEPER MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY
LOOKS TO STAY EAST OF MOHAVE COUNTY. SOME LOCALLY BREEZY
SOUTH/SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP EACH AFTERNOON BUT WIND SPEEDS
ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW RED FLAG CRITERIA.

.LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE MOISTURE SLOWLY CREEPING NORTHWEST
TOWARD ARIZONA AS A TROPICAL SYSTEM MOVES UP THE BAJA COAST. HOW FAR
NORTH AND WEST THE MOISTURE IS ABLE TO GET DEPENDS ON A TROUGH
DIGGING DOWN THE WEST COAST AND WHERE THE STRONGER AND DRIER
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW SETS UP. FOR NOW THE MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE
THAT FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AFTERNOONS WILL REMAIN GENERALLY DRY IN
MOHAVE COUNTY...ALTHOUGH WE SHOULD START TO SEE A FEW MORE AFTERNOON
CLOUDS. THE MODELS REALLY START TO INCREASE THE MOISTURE SUNDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY...ESPECIALLY THE ECMWF WHICH SHOWS FAIRLY
WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION SPREADING OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CWA
BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. THE GFS NEVER REALLY PUSHES THE MOISTURE WEST
OF THE COLORADO RIVER. THIS IS ALSO DEPENDENT ON THE STRENGTH OF THE
TROUGH AND IF THE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE CAN OVERCOME THE SOUTHWEST
FLOW. AT THIS TIME WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP POPS OVER MOHAVE
COUNTY...BUT NOTHING WEST OF THE RIVER. TEMPERATURES SHOULD REMAIN
JUST A COUPLE OF DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD.

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...CLEAR SKIES THROUGH TUESDAY. EAST TO
SOUTHEAST WINDS 6-10 KTS THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON BECOMING SOUTH
AFTER ABOUT 02Z. A PERIOD OF EAST-SOUTHEAST WINDS AGAIN 16Z-20Z
TUESDAY BEFORE SHIFTING TO SOUTH 10-15 KTS MUCH OF TUESDAY
AFTERNOON.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...CLEAR SKIES THROUGH TUESDAY. SOUTH/SOUTHWEST WINDS
10-20 KTS THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING AND AGAIN MUCH OF TUESDAY.
LIGHTER DRAINAGE WINDS TONIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND.
&&

$$

UPDATE...MORGAN
SHORT TERM/AVIATION...HARRISON
LONG TERM...GORELOW

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER







000
FXUS65 KLKN 012216
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
316 PM PDT MON SEP 1 2014

.SYNOPSIS...QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED THIS WEEK ALTHOUGH SUNNY
SKIES MAY BE DAMPENED AT TIMES BY SMOKE POURING IN FROM CALIFORNIA
FIRES. TEMPERATURES WILL BE RATHER WARM ON TUESDAY. THEN...LOW
PRESSURE MOVING TO THE NORTH OF THE STATE WILL BRING IN SOME
COOLER AIR FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. SOME VALLEYS ARE ALREADY
GETTING A LITTLE CHILLY AT NIGHT...SO ITS TIME TO START THINKING
ABOUT FINALIZING YOUR GARDENS.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE MODELS ARE IN
VERY GOOD AGREEMENT FOR THE SHORT TERM PERIOD. A DRY FORECAST WITH
PLENTY OF SUNSHINE IS IMPENDING HOWEVER SMOKY CONDITIONS WILL PLAGUE PARTS
OF CENTRAL NEVADA THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY TUESDAY. AS A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM DROPS SOUTH FROM THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST
REGION TUESDAY AFTERNOON...WINDS WILL GET A LITTLE GUSTY WITH SOME EXTRA
WARMING AHEAD OF A DRY COLD FRONT WHICH MAY IN TURN LESSEN THE
COVERAGE OF SMOKE OVER THE STATE. THE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL
THEN DRAG A DRY COLD FRONT THROUGH THE STATE WEDNESDAY. BECAUSE OF
THE TIMING OF THE FRONTAL PASSAGE...DAYTIME TEMPERATURES ACROSS
NORTHERN NEVADA WEDNESDAY WILL MAX OUT 10-15 DEGREES COOLER THAN
TUESDAY.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY. THE FORECAST
PERIOD COMMENCES WITH A POSITIVE TILT TROF EXTENDING FROM
SASKATCHEWAN TO CALIFORNIA...WITH MULTIPLE EMBEDDED SHORTWAVES.
AS TIME ELAPSES...EXPECTING THE TROF TO DIG DEEPER INTO THE GREAT
BASIN. THE DGEX...THE GFS AND EC ALL SHOW A SECONDARY IMPULSE MOVING
INTO CALIFORNIA THURSDAY/FRIDAY...WITH SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER THE LKN
CWA. THE NCEP RMOP IS WELL INTO CONFIDENT TERRITORY WITH THE TROF
MOVING INTO THE INTER-MOUNTAIN WEST...THRU F120 AND THEN THE
CONFIDENCE LEVEL WANES. WHILE THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN IS IN GENERAL
AGREEMENT...THE TIMING OF THE LOW OVER THE BATTLE BORN STATE IS
HIGHLY VARIABLE. BUMPED UP POPS THIS PACKAGE FOR DAY 5 AND DAY
6...TO ACCOUNT FOR SENSIBLE WEATHER IMPACTS.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE ENSUING 24 HR
PERIOD.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR MOST OF THIS
WEEK. NO SIGNIFICANT WIND ISSUES ARE FORESEEN EITHER HOWEVER
TEMPERATURES WILL MIX OUT A LITTLE BETTER ON TUESDAY AHEAD OF DRY
COLD FRONT...AND AS WINDS BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY...WIND GUSTS MAY
REACH 30 MPH IN SEVERAL SPOTS. THROUGH AFTERNOON IT APPEARS THAT
SUSTAINED WINDS WILL NOT BE THAT STRONG AND ANY GUSTS OVER 30 MPH
WILL NOT SUSTAIN BUT BE SPORADIC AND MAINLY AT MID-SLOPES AND
ABOVE. NO FIRE WEATHER EVENT PLANNED.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

92/97/97/92





000
FXUS65 KLKN 012216
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
316 PM PDT MON SEP 1 2014

.SYNOPSIS...QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED THIS WEEK ALTHOUGH SUNNY
SKIES MAY BE DAMPENED AT TIMES BY SMOKE POURING IN FROM CALIFORNIA
FIRES. TEMPERATURES WILL BE RATHER WARM ON TUESDAY. THEN...LOW
PRESSURE MOVING TO THE NORTH OF THE STATE WILL BRING IN SOME
COOLER AIR FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. SOME VALLEYS ARE ALREADY
GETTING A LITTLE CHILLY AT NIGHT...SO ITS TIME TO START THINKING
ABOUT FINALIZING YOUR GARDENS.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE MODELS ARE IN
VERY GOOD AGREEMENT FOR THE SHORT TERM PERIOD. A DRY FORECAST WITH
PLENTY OF SUNSHINE IS IMPENDING HOWEVER SMOKY CONDITIONS WILL PLAGUE PARTS
OF CENTRAL NEVADA THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY TUESDAY. AS A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM DROPS SOUTH FROM THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST
REGION TUESDAY AFTERNOON...WINDS WILL GET A LITTLE GUSTY WITH SOME EXTRA
WARMING AHEAD OF A DRY COLD FRONT WHICH MAY IN TURN LESSEN THE
COVERAGE OF SMOKE OVER THE STATE. THE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL
THEN DRAG A DRY COLD FRONT THROUGH THE STATE WEDNESDAY. BECAUSE OF
THE TIMING OF THE FRONTAL PASSAGE...DAYTIME TEMPERATURES ACROSS
NORTHERN NEVADA WEDNESDAY WILL MAX OUT 10-15 DEGREES COOLER THAN
TUESDAY.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY. THE FORECAST
PERIOD COMMENCES WITH A POSITIVE TILT TROF EXTENDING FROM
SASKATCHEWAN TO CALIFORNIA...WITH MULTIPLE EMBEDDED SHORTWAVES.
AS TIME ELAPSES...EXPECTING THE TROF TO DIG DEEPER INTO THE GREAT
BASIN. THE DGEX...THE GFS AND EC ALL SHOW A SECONDARY IMPULSE MOVING
INTO CALIFORNIA THURSDAY/FRIDAY...WITH SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER THE LKN
CWA. THE NCEP RMOP IS WELL INTO CONFIDENT TERRITORY WITH THE TROF
MOVING INTO THE INTER-MOUNTAIN WEST...THRU F120 AND THEN THE
CONFIDENCE LEVEL WANES. WHILE THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN IS IN GENERAL
AGREEMENT...THE TIMING OF THE LOW OVER THE BATTLE BORN STATE IS
HIGHLY VARIABLE. BUMPED UP POPS THIS PACKAGE FOR DAY 5 AND DAY
6...TO ACCOUNT FOR SENSIBLE WEATHER IMPACTS.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE ENSUING 24 HR
PERIOD.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR MOST OF THIS
WEEK. NO SIGNIFICANT WIND ISSUES ARE FORESEEN EITHER HOWEVER
TEMPERATURES WILL MIX OUT A LITTLE BETTER ON TUESDAY AHEAD OF DRY
COLD FRONT...AND AS WINDS BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY...WIND GUSTS MAY
REACH 30 MPH IN SEVERAL SPOTS. THROUGH AFTERNOON IT APPEARS THAT
SUSTAINED WINDS WILL NOT BE THAT STRONG AND ANY GUSTS OVER 30 MPH
WILL NOT SUSTAIN BUT BE SPORADIC AND MAINLY AT MID-SLOPES AND
ABOVE. NO FIRE WEATHER EVENT PLANNED.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

92/97/97/92





000
FXUS65 KLKN 012216
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
316 PM PDT MON SEP 1 2014

.SYNOPSIS...QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED THIS WEEK ALTHOUGH SUNNY
SKIES MAY BE DAMPENED AT TIMES BY SMOKE POURING IN FROM CALIFORNIA
FIRES. TEMPERATURES WILL BE RATHER WARM ON TUESDAY. THEN...LOW
PRESSURE MOVING TO THE NORTH OF THE STATE WILL BRING IN SOME
COOLER AIR FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. SOME VALLEYS ARE ALREADY
GETTING A LITTLE CHILLY AT NIGHT...SO ITS TIME TO START THINKING
ABOUT FINALIZING YOUR GARDENS.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE MODELS ARE IN
VERY GOOD AGREEMENT FOR THE SHORT TERM PERIOD. A DRY FORECAST WITH
PLENTY OF SUNSHINE IS IMPENDING HOWEVER SMOKY CONDITIONS WILL PLAGUE PARTS
OF CENTRAL NEVADA THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY TUESDAY. AS A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM DROPS SOUTH FROM THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST
REGION TUESDAY AFTERNOON...WINDS WILL GET A LITTLE GUSTY WITH SOME EXTRA
WARMING AHEAD OF A DRY COLD FRONT WHICH MAY IN TURN LESSEN THE
COVERAGE OF SMOKE OVER THE STATE. THE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL
THEN DRAG A DRY COLD FRONT THROUGH THE STATE WEDNESDAY. BECAUSE OF
THE TIMING OF THE FRONTAL PASSAGE...DAYTIME TEMPERATURES ACROSS
NORTHERN NEVADA WEDNESDAY WILL MAX OUT 10-15 DEGREES COOLER THAN
TUESDAY.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY. THE FORECAST
PERIOD COMMENCES WITH A POSITIVE TILT TROF EXTENDING FROM
SASKATCHEWAN TO CALIFORNIA...WITH MULTIPLE EMBEDDED SHORTWAVES.
AS TIME ELAPSES...EXPECTING THE TROF TO DIG DEEPER INTO THE GREAT
BASIN. THE DGEX...THE GFS AND EC ALL SHOW A SECONDARY IMPULSE MOVING
INTO CALIFORNIA THURSDAY/FRIDAY...WITH SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER THE LKN
CWA. THE NCEP RMOP IS WELL INTO CONFIDENT TERRITORY WITH THE TROF
MOVING INTO THE INTER-MOUNTAIN WEST...THRU F120 AND THEN THE
CONFIDENCE LEVEL WANES. WHILE THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN IS IN GENERAL
AGREEMENT...THE TIMING OF THE LOW OVER THE BATTLE BORN STATE IS
HIGHLY VARIABLE. BUMPED UP POPS THIS PACKAGE FOR DAY 5 AND DAY
6...TO ACCOUNT FOR SENSIBLE WEATHER IMPACTS.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE ENSUING 24 HR
PERIOD.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR MOST OF THIS
WEEK. NO SIGNIFICANT WIND ISSUES ARE FORESEEN EITHER HOWEVER
TEMPERATURES WILL MIX OUT A LITTLE BETTER ON TUESDAY AHEAD OF DRY
COLD FRONT...AND AS WINDS BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY...WIND GUSTS MAY
REACH 30 MPH IN SEVERAL SPOTS. THROUGH AFTERNOON IT APPEARS THAT
SUSTAINED WINDS WILL NOT BE THAT STRONG AND ANY GUSTS OVER 30 MPH
WILL NOT SUSTAIN BUT BE SPORADIC AND MAINLY AT MID-SLOPES AND
ABOVE. NO FIRE WEATHER EVENT PLANNED.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

92/97/97/92





000
FXUS65 KLKN 012216
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
316 PM PDT MON SEP 1 2014

.SYNOPSIS...QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED THIS WEEK ALTHOUGH SUNNY
SKIES MAY BE DAMPENED AT TIMES BY SMOKE POURING IN FROM CALIFORNIA
FIRES. TEMPERATURES WILL BE RATHER WARM ON TUESDAY. THEN...LOW
PRESSURE MOVING TO THE NORTH OF THE STATE WILL BRING IN SOME
COOLER AIR FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. SOME VALLEYS ARE ALREADY
GETTING A LITTLE CHILLY AT NIGHT...SO ITS TIME TO START THINKING
ABOUT FINALIZING YOUR GARDENS.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE MODELS ARE IN
VERY GOOD AGREEMENT FOR THE SHORT TERM PERIOD. A DRY FORECAST WITH
PLENTY OF SUNSHINE IS IMPENDING HOWEVER SMOKY CONDITIONS WILL PLAGUE PARTS
OF CENTRAL NEVADA THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY TUESDAY. AS A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM DROPS SOUTH FROM THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST
REGION TUESDAY AFTERNOON...WINDS WILL GET A LITTLE GUSTY WITH SOME EXTRA
WARMING AHEAD OF A DRY COLD FRONT WHICH MAY IN TURN LESSEN THE
COVERAGE OF SMOKE OVER THE STATE. THE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL
THEN DRAG A DRY COLD FRONT THROUGH THE STATE WEDNESDAY. BECAUSE OF
THE TIMING OF THE FRONTAL PASSAGE...DAYTIME TEMPERATURES ACROSS
NORTHERN NEVADA WEDNESDAY WILL MAX OUT 10-15 DEGREES COOLER THAN
TUESDAY.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY. THE FORECAST
PERIOD COMMENCES WITH A POSITIVE TILT TROF EXTENDING FROM
SASKATCHEWAN TO CALIFORNIA...WITH MULTIPLE EMBEDDED SHORTWAVES.
AS TIME ELAPSES...EXPECTING THE TROF TO DIG DEEPER INTO THE GREAT
BASIN. THE DGEX...THE GFS AND EC ALL SHOW A SECONDARY IMPULSE MOVING
INTO CALIFORNIA THURSDAY/FRIDAY...WITH SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER THE LKN
CWA. THE NCEP RMOP IS WELL INTO CONFIDENT TERRITORY WITH THE TROF
MOVING INTO THE INTER-MOUNTAIN WEST...THRU F120 AND THEN THE
CONFIDENCE LEVEL WANES. WHILE THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN IS IN GENERAL
AGREEMENT...THE TIMING OF THE LOW OVER THE BATTLE BORN STATE IS
HIGHLY VARIABLE. BUMPED UP POPS THIS PACKAGE FOR DAY 5 AND DAY
6...TO ACCOUNT FOR SENSIBLE WEATHER IMPACTS.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE ENSUING 24 HR
PERIOD.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR MOST OF THIS
WEEK. NO SIGNIFICANT WIND ISSUES ARE FORESEEN EITHER HOWEVER
TEMPERATURES WILL MIX OUT A LITTLE BETTER ON TUESDAY AHEAD OF DRY
COLD FRONT...AND AS WINDS BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY...WIND GUSTS MAY
REACH 30 MPH IN SEVERAL SPOTS. THROUGH AFTERNOON IT APPEARS THAT
SUSTAINED WINDS WILL NOT BE THAT STRONG AND ANY GUSTS OVER 30 MPH
WILL NOT SUSTAIN BUT BE SPORADIC AND MAINLY AT MID-SLOPES AND
ABOVE. NO FIRE WEATHER EVENT PLANNED.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

92/97/97/92





000
FXUS65 KVEF 012204
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
304 PM PDT MON SEP 1 2014

.SYNOPSIS...WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH NEXT
WEEKEND. MONSOON MOISTURE MAY CREEP BACK INTO NORTHWEST ARIZONA BY
NEXT MONDAY BRINGING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO MOHAVE
COUNTY.
&&

.SHORT TERM...THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...WESTERLY FLOW TONIGHT WILL
BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY THROUGH MID WEEK AS AN UPPER TROUGH DROPS TO
NORTHERN CALIFORNIA. OVERALL THIS LOOKS LIKE A DRY PATTERN WITH
TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL. THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE BRINGING A
LITTLE SHOT OF MID LEVEL MOISTURE INTO ARIZONA LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT
INTO THURSDAY BUT AT THIS TIME THE DEEPER MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY
LOOKS TO STAY EAST OF MOHAVE COUNTY. SOME LOCALLY BREEZY
SOUTH/SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP EACH AFTERNOON BUT WIND SPEEDS
ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW RED FLAG CRITERIA.

.LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE MOISTURE SLOWLY CREEPING NORTHWEST
TOWARD ARIZONA AS A TROPICAL SYSTEM MOVES UP THE BAJA COAST. HOW FAR
NORTH AND WEST THE MOISTURE IS ABLE TO GET DEPENDS ON A TROUGH
DIGGING DOWN THE WEST COAST AND WHERE THE STRONGER AND DRIER
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW SETS UP. FOR NOW THE MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE
THAT FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AFTERNOONS WILL REMAIN GENERALLY DRY IN
MOHAVE COUNTY...ALTHOUGH WE SHOULD START TO SEE A FEW MORE AFTERNOON
CLOUDS. THE MODELS REALLY START TO INCREASE THE MOISTURE SUNDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY...ESPECIALLY THE ECMWF WHICH SHOWS FAIRLY
WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION SPREADING OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CWA
BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. THE GFS NEVER REALLY PUSHES THE MOISTURE WEST
OF THE COLORADO RIVER. THIS IS ALSO DEPENDENT ON THE STRENGTH OF THE
TROUGH AND IF THE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE CAN OVERCOME THE SOUTHWEST
FLOW. AT THIS TIME WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP POPS OVER MOHAVE
COUNTY...BUT NOTHING WEST OF THE RIVER. TEMPERATURES SHOULD REMAIN
JUST A COUPLE OF DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...CLEAR SKIES THROUGH TUESDAY. EAST TO
SOUTHEAST WINDS 6-10 KTS THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON BECOMING SOUTH
AFTER ABOUT 02Z. A PERIOD OF EAST-SOUTHEAST WINDS AGAIN 16Z-20Z
TUESDAY BEFORE SHIFTING TO SOUTH 10-15 KTS MUCH OF TUESDAY
AFTERNOON.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...CLEAR SKIES THROUGH TUESDAY. SOUTH/SOUTHWEST WINDS
10-20 KTS THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING AND AGAIN MUCH OF TUESDAY.
LIGHTER DRAINAGE WINDS TONIGHT.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...HARRISON
LONG TERM...GORELOW

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER







000
FXUS65 KVEF 012204
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
304 PM PDT MON SEP 1 2014

.SYNOPSIS...WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH NEXT
WEEKEND. MONSOON MOISTURE MAY CREEP BACK INTO NORTHWEST ARIZONA BY
NEXT MONDAY BRINGING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO MOHAVE
COUNTY.
&&

.SHORT TERM...THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...WESTERLY FLOW TONIGHT WILL
BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY THROUGH MID WEEK AS AN UPPER TROUGH DROPS TO
NORTHERN CALIFORNIA. OVERALL THIS LOOKS LIKE A DRY PATTERN WITH
TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL. THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE BRINGING A
LITTLE SHOT OF MID LEVEL MOISTURE INTO ARIZONA LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT
INTO THURSDAY BUT AT THIS TIME THE DEEPER MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY
LOOKS TO STAY EAST OF MOHAVE COUNTY. SOME LOCALLY BREEZY
SOUTH/SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP EACH AFTERNOON BUT WIND SPEEDS
ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW RED FLAG CRITERIA.

.LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE MOISTURE SLOWLY CREEPING NORTHWEST
TOWARD ARIZONA AS A TROPICAL SYSTEM MOVES UP THE BAJA COAST. HOW FAR
NORTH AND WEST THE MOISTURE IS ABLE TO GET DEPENDS ON A TROUGH
DIGGING DOWN THE WEST COAST AND WHERE THE STRONGER AND DRIER
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW SETS UP. FOR NOW THE MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE
THAT FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AFTERNOONS WILL REMAIN GENERALLY DRY IN
MOHAVE COUNTY...ALTHOUGH WE SHOULD START TO SEE A FEW MORE AFTERNOON
CLOUDS. THE MODELS REALLY START TO INCREASE THE MOISTURE SUNDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY...ESPECIALLY THE ECMWF WHICH SHOWS FAIRLY
WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION SPREADING OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CWA
BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. THE GFS NEVER REALLY PUSHES THE MOISTURE WEST
OF THE COLORADO RIVER. THIS IS ALSO DEPENDENT ON THE STRENGTH OF THE
TROUGH AND IF THE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE CAN OVERCOME THE SOUTHWEST
FLOW. AT THIS TIME WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP POPS OVER MOHAVE
COUNTY...BUT NOTHING WEST OF THE RIVER. TEMPERATURES SHOULD REMAIN
JUST A COUPLE OF DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...CLEAR SKIES THROUGH TUESDAY. EAST TO
SOUTHEAST WINDS 6-10 KTS THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON BECOMING SOUTH
AFTER ABOUT 02Z. A PERIOD OF EAST-SOUTHEAST WINDS AGAIN 16Z-20Z
TUESDAY BEFORE SHIFTING TO SOUTH 10-15 KTS MUCH OF TUESDAY
AFTERNOON.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...CLEAR SKIES THROUGH TUESDAY. SOUTH/SOUTHWEST WINDS
10-20 KTS THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING AND AGAIN MUCH OF TUESDAY.
LIGHTER DRAINAGE WINDS TONIGHT.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...HARRISON
LONG TERM...GORELOW

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER








000
FXUS65 KREV 012122
AFDREV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
222 PM PDT MON SEP 1 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN FOR TUESDAY. A TROUGH OF
LOW PRESSURE WILL DROP SOUTH INTO THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL BRING SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES FOR THE
REST OF THE WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT CONTINUES INTO EARLY TUESDAY BEFORE THE FLOW
BECOMES MORE WESTERLY. A DEEPENING TROUGH OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST
WILL DROP TOWARD THE REGION LATE TUESDAY. AHEAD OF THIS TROUGH
WINDS BEGIN TO INCREASE...BUT GUSTS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW 30 MPH. A
DRY SLOT WILL ALSO MOVE IN AHEAD OF TROUGH BRINGING LOWER HUMIDITY
VALUES TO MID SLOPES AND RIDGES LATE TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH
TUESDAY NIGHT. INCREASED WINDS TUESDAY WILL ALSO AID MIXING AND
RESULT IN ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

A SURFACE BOUNDARY ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL
PUSH THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND SWITCH THE LOW LEVEL WINDS TO
THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST. THIS WILL USHER IN SLIGHTLY COOLER
TEMPERATURES FOR WEDNESDAY...NEAR NORMAL AS OPPOSED TO ABOVE
NORMAL. THESE WINDS WILL SHIFT TO A MORE EAST TO NORTHEAST
DIRECTION LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND INCREASE OVER THE RIDGES THROUGH
THE NIGHT.

THE OVERALL FLOW WEAKENS WEDNESDAY BUT TEMPERATURES REMAIN AT OR
SLIGHTLY BELOW AVERAGE. A LACK OF MOISTURE WILL LIMIT THE CHANCES
FOR ANY KIND OF PCPN THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...AND WILL LIKELY
LIMIT THE EXTENT OF ANY CLOUDINESS TO JUST PARTLY CLOUDY OVER NRN
SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA. 20

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY..
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL BE SPREAD ACROSS THE WESTERN U.S. NEXT
WEEK. MODEL GUIDANCE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT WITH MAINTAINING THIS
FEATURE THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND AND INTO THE FOLLOWING WEEK WHICH WILL
PROVIDE US WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES NEARER TO SEASONAL AVERAGES.
MODELS SHOW SOME DISCREPANCIES IN THE DETAILS OF THE POSITION OF THE
UPPER LOW BUT THUS FAR NEITHER THE GFS OR ECMWF SHOW ENOUGH INSTABILITY
OR MOISTURE WITH THE LOW TO PROVIDE ANY APPRECIABLE CHANCES FOR
PRECIPITATION AT THIS TIME.

THE BULK OF THE MOISTURE LOOKS TO ADVECT EAST ACROSS UTAH BUT THERE
IS ENOUGH SPREAD IN THE POSITION OF THE TROUGH IN THE GEFS TO NOT
RULE OUT A POTENTIAL WESTWARD SHIFT OF THIS MOISTURE SWATH. THIS
WOULD PROVIDED BETTER CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION BUT FOR NOW WILL
LEAVE MENTION OUT OF THE FORECAST AND WILL MAINTAIN HIGHER CLOUD
COVER, LIGHT NORTH TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS, AND SEASONABLE
TEMPERATURES. HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE MID TO
UPPER 80S ACROSS WESTERN NEVADA AND MID TO UPPER 70 ACROSS SIERRA
VALLEYS. FUENTES
&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO
THE AREA. LIGHT HAZE BUT MINIMAL REDUCTION TO VISIBILITY IS
POSSIBLE FROM SMOKE FROM WILDFIRES ACROSS NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AND
OREGON. LIGHT AFTERNOON BREEZES AND MINIMAL CLOUD COVER EXPECTED.
FUENTES
&&

.REV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NV...NONE.
CA...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RENO (ALL LOWER CASE)







000
FXUS65 KREV 012122
AFDREV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
222 PM PDT MON SEP 1 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN FOR TUESDAY. A TROUGH OF
LOW PRESSURE WILL DROP SOUTH INTO THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL BRING SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES FOR THE
REST OF THE WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT CONTINUES INTO EARLY TUESDAY BEFORE THE FLOW
BECOMES MORE WESTERLY. A DEEPENING TROUGH OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST
WILL DROP TOWARD THE REGION LATE TUESDAY. AHEAD OF THIS TROUGH
WINDS BEGIN TO INCREASE...BUT GUSTS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW 30 MPH. A
DRY SLOT WILL ALSO MOVE IN AHEAD OF TROUGH BRINGING LOWER HUMIDITY
VALUES TO MID SLOPES AND RIDGES LATE TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH
TUESDAY NIGHT. INCREASED WINDS TUESDAY WILL ALSO AID MIXING AND
RESULT IN ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

A SURFACE BOUNDARY ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL
PUSH THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND SWITCH THE LOW LEVEL WINDS TO
THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST. THIS WILL USHER IN SLIGHTLY COOLER
TEMPERATURES FOR WEDNESDAY...NEAR NORMAL AS OPPOSED TO ABOVE
NORMAL. THESE WINDS WILL SHIFT TO A MORE EAST TO NORTHEAST
DIRECTION LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND INCREASE OVER THE RIDGES THROUGH
THE NIGHT.

THE OVERALL FLOW WEAKENS WEDNESDAY BUT TEMPERATURES REMAIN AT OR
SLIGHTLY BELOW AVERAGE. A LACK OF MOISTURE WILL LIMIT THE CHANCES
FOR ANY KIND OF PCPN THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...AND WILL LIKELY
LIMIT THE EXTENT OF ANY CLOUDINESS TO JUST PARTLY CLOUDY OVER NRN
SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA. 20

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY..
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL BE SPREAD ACROSS THE WESTERN U.S. NEXT
WEEK. MODEL GUIDANCE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT WITH MAINTAINING THIS
FEATURE THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND AND INTO THE FOLLOWING WEEK WHICH WILL
PROVIDE US WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES NEARER TO SEASONAL AVERAGES.
MODELS SHOW SOME DISCREPANCIES IN THE DETAILS OF THE POSITION OF THE
UPPER LOW BUT THUS FAR NEITHER THE GFS OR ECMWF SHOW ENOUGH INSTABILITY
OR MOISTURE WITH THE LOW TO PROVIDE ANY APPRECIABLE CHANCES FOR
PRECIPITATION AT THIS TIME.

THE BULK OF THE MOISTURE LOOKS TO ADVECT EAST ACROSS UTAH BUT THERE
IS ENOUGH SPREAD IN THE POSITION OF THE TROUGH IN THE GEFS TO NOT
RULE OUT A POTENTIAL WESTWARD SHIFT OF THIS MOISTURE SWATH. THIS
WOULD PROVIDED BETTER CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION BUT FOR NOW WILL
LEAVE MENTION OUT OF THE FORECAST AND WILL MAINTAIN HIGHER CLOUD
COVER, LIGHT NORTH TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS, AND SEASONABLE
TEMPERATURES. HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE MID TO
UPPER 80S ACROSS WESTERN NEVADA AND MID TO UPPER 70 ACROSS SIERRA
VALLEYS. FUENTES
&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO
THE AREA. LIGHT HAZE BUT MINIMAL REDUCTION TO VISIBILITY IS
POSSIBLE FROM SMOKE FROM WILDFIRES ACROSS NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AND
OREGON. LIGHT AFTERNOON BREEZES AND MINIMAL CLOUD COVER EXPECTED.
FUENTES
&&

.REV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NV...NONE.
CA...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RENO (ALL LOWER CASE)






000
FXUS65 KVEF 011520
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
820 AM PDT MON SEP 1 2014

.SYNOPSIS...WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEK.
MONSOON MOISTURE SEEPING BACK INTO NORTHWEST ARIZONA WILL BRING A
RETURNED CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE LATTER HALF OF
THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.
&&

.UPDATE...ANOTHER QUITE MORNING WITH CLEAR SKIES AND FAIRLY LIGHT
WINDS. EXPECT CLEAR SKIES THROUGH THE DAY WITH THE TYPICAL INCREASE
IN SOUTHERLY WINDS IN PLACES THIS AFTERNOON. NO UPDATES NEEDED THIS
MORNING. -HARRISON-
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
245 AM PDT MON SEP 1 2014

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN THIS MORNING FEATURES BROAD UPPER LEVEL
TROUGHING THROUGH THE CENTRAL CONUS...NORTHWEST FLOW ACROSS THE
WESTERN CONUS...AND QUASI-ZONAL FLOW THROUGH THE EASTERN STATES.
CENTRAL CONUS TROUGHING WILL TRANSITION EASTWARD THROUGH THE SHORT
TERM PERIOD...WHILE A TROUGH CURRENTLY ENTERING THE GULF OF ALASKA
WILL SLIDE INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. THIS MEANS OUR NORTHWEST FLOW
ALOFT WILL TRANSITION TO A SOUTHWEST FLOW BY WEDNESDAY. CONDITIONS
WILL REMAIN DRY...WITH MAINLY CLEAR SKIES AND TYPICAL DIURNAL
SURFACE WIND PATTERNS EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. SHOULD START
TO SEE AN INCREASE IN HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS FROM THE SOUTH
TUESDAY...MORE SO WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO RUN JUST
A LITTLE ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

ALTHOUGH THE UPPER LEVEL WIND FLOW WOULD SUGGEST CONTINUED DRY
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY, MODELS
FORECAST SOME LIGHT QPF REACHING INTO MOHAVE COUNTY AT TIMES. THIS
IS PARTLY DUE TO TROUGHING NEAR OR ALONG THE PACIFIC NW COAST
COMBINING WITH A PRE-MOISTENED ENVIRONMENT OVER NORTHERN MEXICO. THE
DEEPER POOL OF MOISTURE IS THANKS TO A TROPICAL SYSTEM THAT IS
FORECAST BY THE MODELS TO BE NEAR THE SOUTHERN END OF THE BAJA
PENINSULA FRIDAY MORNING MOVING NORTHWEST ALONG THE WEST COAST OF
BAJA THROUGH SATURDAY. IT TAKES SEVERAL DAYS BEFORE SUFFICIENT
MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY REACHES INTO THE FORECAST AREA FOR
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT...SUNDAY ACCORDING TO THE GFS AND MONDAY
PER THE LATEST ECMWF. BOTH MODELS ARE VERY AGGRESSIVE IN BRINGING
PRECIPITATION TO BASICALLY THE EASTERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA
LATE IN THE WEEKEND OR EARLY THE FOLLOWING WEEK. FOR NOW, HAVE LEFT
THE FORECAST DRY THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY WITH THUNDERSTORMS
MENTIONED IN MOHAVE COUNTY SUNDAY AND MONDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL
LIKELY REMAIN ON THE WARM SIDE OF NORMAL THROUGH SATURDAY BUT THE
EASTERN HALF OF THE CWA COULD SEE COOLER TEMPERATURES SUNDAY AND
BEYOND WITH HIGHER MOISTURE AND MORE SHOWER ACTIVITY AND CLOUD COVER.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...CLEAR SKIES THROUGH LABOR DAY WITH WINDS
FAVORING TYPICAL DIURNAL TRENDS MAINLY BELOW 10 KTS.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...CLEAR SKIES THROUGH LABOR DAY WITH WINDS FAVORING
TYPICAL DIURNAL TRENDS. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS OVER WESTERN SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY
AND MOHAVE COUNTY WHERE WIND SPEEDS AROUND 15 KTS ARE EXPECTED.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...PADDOCK
LONG TERM...SALMEN

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER








000
FXUS65 KVEF 011520
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
820 AM PDT MON SEP 1 2014

.SYNOPSIS...WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEK.
MONSOON MOISTURE SEEPING BACK INTO NORTHWEST ARIZONA WILL BRING A
RETURNED CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE LATTER HALF OF
THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.
&&

.UPDATE...ANOTHER QUITE MORNING WITH CLEAR SKIES AND FAIRLY LIGHT
WINDS. EXPECT CLEAR SKIES THROUGH THE DAY WITH THE TYPICAL INCREASE
IN SOUTHERLY WINDS IN PLACES THIS AFTERNOON. NO UPDATES NEEDED THIS
MORNING. -HARRISON-
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
245 AM PDT MON SEP 1 2014

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN THIS MORNING FEATURES BROAD UPPER LEVEL
TROUGHING THROUGH THE CENTRAL CONUS...NORTHWEST FLOW ACROSS THE
WESTERN CONUS...AND QUASI-ZONAL FLOW THROUGH THE EASTERN STATES.
CENTRAL CONUS TROUGHING WILL TRANSITION EASTWARD THROUGH THE SHORT
TERM PERIOD...WHILE A TROUGH CURRENTLY ENTERING THE GULF OF ALASKA
WILL SLIDE INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. THIS MEANS OUR NORTHWEST FLOW
ALOFT WILL TRANSITION TO A SOUTHWEST FLOW BY WEDNESDAY. CONDITIONS
WILL REMAIN DRY...WITH MAINLY CLEAR SKIES AND TYPICAL DIURNAL
SURFACE WIND PATTERNS EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. SHOULD START
TO SEE AN INCREASE IN HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS FROM THE SOUTH
TUESDAY...MORE SO WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO RUN JUST
A LITTLE ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

ALTHOUGH THE UPPER LEVEL WIND FLOW WOULD SUGGEST CONTINUED DRY
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY, MODELS
FORECAST SOME LIGHT QPF REACHING INTO MOHAVE COUNTY AT TIMES. THIS
IS PARTLY DUE TO TROUGHING NEAR OR ALONG THE PACIFIC NW COAST
COMBINING WITH A PRE-MOISTENED ENVIRONMENT OVER NORTHERN MEXICO. THE
DEEPER POOL OF MOISTURE IS THANKS TO A TROPICAL SYSTEM THAT IS
FORECAST BY THE MODELS TO BE NEAR THE SOUTHERN END OF THE BAJA
PENINSULA FRIDAY MORNING MOVING NORTHWEST ALONG THE WEST COAST OF
BAJA THROUGH SATURDAY. IT TAKES SEVERAL DAYS BEFORE SUFFICIENT
MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY REACHES INTO THE FORECAST AREA FOR
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT...SUNDAY ACCORDING TO THE GFS AND MONDAY
PER THE LATEST ECMWF. BOTH MODELS ARE VERY AGGRESSIVE IN BRINGING
PRECIPITATION TO BASICALLY THE EASTERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA
LATE IN THE WEEKEND OR EARLY THE FOLLOWING WEEK. FOR NOW, HAVE LEFT
THE FORECAST DRY THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY WITH THUNDERSTORMS
MENTIONED IN MOHAVE COUNTY SUNDAY AND MONDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL
LIKELY REMAIN ON THE WARM SIDE OF NORMAL THROUGH SATURDAY BUT THE
EASTERN HALF OF THE CWA COULD SEE COOLER TEMPERATURES SUNDAY AND
BEYOND WITH HIGHER MOISTURE AND MORE SHOWER ACTIVITY AND CLOUD COVER.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...CLEAR SKIES THROUGH LABOR DAY WITH WINDS
FAVORING TYPICAL DIURNAL TRENDS MAINLY BELOW 10 KTS.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...CLEAR SKIES THROUGH LABOR DAY WITH WINDS FAVORING
TYPICAL DIURNAL TRENDS. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS OVER WESTERN SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY
AND MOHAVE COUNTY WHERE WIND SPEEDS AROUND 15 KTS ARE EXPECTED.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...PADDOCK
LONG TERM...SALMEN

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER









000
FXUS65 KVEF 010945
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
245 AM PDT MON SEP 1 2014

.SYNOPSIS...WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEK.
MONSOON MOISTURE SEEPING BACK INTO NORTHWEST ARIZONA WILL BRING A
RETURNED CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE LATTER HALF OF
THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.
&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN THIS MORNING FEATURES BROAD UPPER LEVEL
TROUGHING THROUGH THE CENTRAL CONUS...NORTHWEST FLOW ACROSS THE
WESTERN CONUS...AND QUASI-ZONAL FLOW THROUGH THE EASTERN STATES.
CENTRAL CONUS TROUGHING WILL TRANSITION EASTWARD THROUGH THE SHORT
TERM PERIOD...WHILE A TROUGH CURRENTLY ENTERING THE GULF OF ALASKA
WILL SLIDE INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. THIS MEANS OUR NORTHWEST FLOW
ALOFT WILL TRANSITION TO A SOUTHWEST FLOW BY WEDNESDAY. CONDITIONS
WILL REMAIN DRY...WITH MAINLY CLEAR SKIES AND TYPICAL DIURNAL
SURFACE WIND PATTERNS EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. SHOULD START
TO SEE AN INCREASE IN HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS FROM THE SOUTH
TUESDAY...MORE SO WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO RUN JUST
A LITTLE ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

ALTHOUGH THE UPPER LEVEL WIND FLOW WOULD SUGGEST CONTINUED DRY
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY, MODELS
FORECAST SOME LIGHT QPF REACHING INTO MOHAVE COUNTY AT TIMES. THIS
IS PARTLY DUE TO TROUGHING NEAR OR ALONG THE PACIFIC NW COAST
COMBINING WITH A PRE-MOISTENED ENVIRONMENT OVER NORTHERN MEXICO. THE
DEEPER POOL OF MOISTURE IS THANKS TO A TROPICAL SYSTEM THAT IS
FORECAST BY THE MODELS TO BE NEAR THE SOUTHERN END OF THE BAJA
PENINSULA FRIDAY MORNING MOVING NORTHWEST ALONG THE WEST COAST OF
BAJA THROUGH SATURDAY. IT TAKES SEVERAL DAYS BEFORE SUFFICIENT
MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY REACHES INTO THE FORECAST AREA FOR
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT...SUNDAY ACCORDING TO THE GFS AND MONDAY
PER THE LATEST ECMWF. BOTH MODELS ARE VERY AGGRESSIVE IN BRINGING
PRECIPITATION TO BASICALLY THE EASTERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA
LATE IN THE WEEKEND OR EARLY THE FOLLOWING WEEK. FOR NOW, HAVE LEFT
THE FORECAST DRY THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY WITH THUNDERSTORMS
MENTIONED IN MOHAVE COUNTY SUNDAY AND MONDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL
LIKELY REMAIN ON THE WARM SIDE OF NORMAL THROUGH SATURDAY BUT THE
EASTERN HALF OF THE CWA COULD SEE COOLER TEMPERATURES SUNDAY AND
BEYOND WITH HIGHER MOISTURE AND MORE SHOWER ACTIVITY AND CLOUD COVER.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...CLEAR SKIES THROUGH LABOR DAY WITH WINDS
FAVORING TYPICAL DIURNAL TRENDS MAINLY BELOW 10 KTS.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...CLEAR SKIES THROUGH LABOR DAY WITH WINDS FAVORING
TYPICAL DIURNAL TRENDS. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS OVER WESTERN SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY
AND MOHAVE COUNTY WHERE WIND SPEEDS AROUND 15 KTS ARE EXPECTED.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...PADDOCK
LONG TERM...SALMEN

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER





000
FXUS65 KREV 010931
AFDREV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
231 AM PDT MON SEP 1 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
NEAR AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND TEMPERATURES WILL
WARM A FEW DEGREES TUESDAY. EXPECT SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES FOR
THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...

HAZE FROM WILDFIRES IN NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AND SOUTHERN OREGON
WAS TRANSPORTED INTO NEVADA SOUTH OF YERINGTON AND WEST OF FALLON
YESTERDAY. TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE WEAKER TODAY AND MUCH LESS
SMOKE WILL MAKE IT INTO NORTHWEST CA/WESTERN NV. FOR TUESDAY
WESTERLY TRANSPORT WINDS 10-20 MPH WILL RETURN, BUT SURFACE WINDS
WILL INCREASE AS WELL. A WEAK ZEPHYR TUESDAY WILL CREATE WEST
WINDS GUSTING UP TO 20 MPH IN THE EVENING. WITH THESE CONDITIONS
HAZE IS LESS LIKELY TO SETTLE INTO WESTERN NV VALLEYS.

WEDNESDAY-WEDNESDAY NIGHT A PACIFIC NORTHWEST TROUGH BEGINS TO
INFLUENCE THE SIERRA AND WESTERN NV WITH WEAK UPPER IMPULSES
CROSSING THE AREA FROM WEST TO EAST. THE AIR MASS SHOULD BE TOO
DRY AND STABLE FOR MUCH OF A MOISTURE RESPONSE OTHER THAN
INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS. WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO BE A FEW DEGREES COOLER AS NORTH-NORTHEAST WINDS
10-15 MPH SUSTAINED DEVELOP IN THE AFTERNOON. THESE WINDS MAY
PERSIST OVERNIGHT WEDNESDAY NIGHT, MAINLY FOR LOCATIONS NORTH OF
I-80. JCM

LONG TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

THERE HAS BEEN A BIT OF CHANGE IN THE MODELS SINCE YESTERDAY. LATEST
00Z RUNS OF THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE STARTING TO DIVERGE IN THEIR
SOLUTIONS BEYOND THURSDAY, LEADING TO LOW OVERALL FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IN THE LONG TERM.

LATEST GFS IS SHOWING THE TROUGH STARTING TO CLOSE OFF LOW PRESSURE
OFF THE NORCAL COAST. THIS WOULD DEVELOP MORE OF A SOUTHEASTERLY
FLOW OVER THE SIERRA AND WESTERN NEVADA, DRAWING UP MOISTURE AND
POSSIBLY INCREASING CHANCES OF CONVECTION LATE IN THE WEEK. THE 00Z
ECMWF CONTINUES TO SHOW DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER THE SIERRA LATE IN
THE WEEK, ALTHOUGH DEVELOPING A CLOSED LOW BY THE WEEKEND. BOTTOM
LINE, WE DIDN`T WANT TO MAKE TOO BIG OF CHANGES IN THE FORECAST,
ALTHOUGH WE STARTED TO ADD ADDITIONAL CLOUDS AND LOW-END POPS TO THE
EXTENDED FORECAST. EITHER WAY, TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR AVERAGE FOR
EARLY SEPTEMBER, AS TROUGHING REMAINS OVER THE WEST COAST. HOON

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
INTO THE AREA. LIGHT AFTERNOON BREEZES AND CLEAR CONDITIONS
EXPECTED. FUENTES/HOON

&&

.REV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NV...NONE.
CA...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RENO (ALL LOWER CASE)









000
FXUS65 KREV 010931
AFDREV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
231 AM PDT MON SEP 1 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
NEAR AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND TEMPERATURES WILL
WARM A FEW DEGREES TUESDAY. EXPECT SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES FOR
THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...

HAZE FROM WILDFIRES IN NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AND SOUTHERN OREGON
WAS TRANSPORTED INTO NEVADA SOUTH OF YERINGTON AND WEST OF FALLON
YESTERDAY. TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE WEAKER TODAY AND MUCH LESS
SMOKE WILL MAKE IT INTO NORTHWEST CA/WESTERN NV. FOR TUESDAY
WESTERLY TRANSPORT WINDS 10-20 MPH WILL RETURN, BUT SURFACE WINDS
WILL INCREASE AS WELL. A WEAK ZEPHYR TUESDAY WILL CREATE WEST
WINDS GUSTING UP TO 20 MPH IN THE EVENING. WITH THESE CONDITIONS
HAZE IS LESS LIKELY TO SETTLE INTO WESTERN NV VALLEYS.

WEDNESDAY-WEDNESDAY NIGHT A PACIFIC NORTHWEST TROUGH BEGINS TO
INFLUENCE THE SIERRA AND WESTERN NV WITH WEAK UPPER IMPULSES
CROSSING THE AREA FROM WEST TO EAST. THE AIR MASS SHOULD BE TOO
DRY AND STABLE FOR MUCH OF A MOISTURE RESPONSE OTHER THAN
INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS. WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO BE A FEW DEGREES COOLER AS NORTH-NORTHEAST WINDS
10-15 MPH SUSTAINED DEVELOP IN THE AFTERNOON. THESE WINDS MAY
PERSIST OVERNIGHT WEDNESDAY NIGHT, MAINLY FOR LOCATIONS NORTH OF
I-80. JCM

LONG TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

THERE HAS BEEN A BIT OF CHANGE IN THE MODELS SINCE YESTERDAY. LATEST
00Z RUNS OF THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE STARTING TO DIVERGE IN THEIR
SOLUTIONS BEYOND THURSDAY, LEADING TO LOW OVERALL FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IN THE LONG TERM.

LATEST GFS IS SHOWING THE TROUGH STARTING TO CLOSE OFF LOW PRESSURE
OFF THE NORCAL COAST. THIS WOULD DEVELOP MORE OF A SOUTHEASTERLY
FLOW OVER THE SIERRA AND WESTERN NEVADA, DRAWING UP MOISTURE AND
POSSIBLY INCREASING CHANCES OF CONVECTION LATE IN THE WEEK. THE 00Z
ECMWF CONTINUES TO SHOW DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER THE SIERRA LATE IN
THE WEEK, ALTHOUGH DEVELOPING A CLOSED LOW BY THE WEEKEND. BOTTOM
LINE, WE DIDN`T WANT TO MAKE TOO BIG OF CHANGES IN THE FORECAST,
ALTHOUGH WE STARTED TO ADD ADDITIONAL CLOUDS AND LOW-END POPS TO THE
EXTENDED FORECAST. EITHER WAY, TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR AVERAGE FOR
EARLY SEPTEMBER, AS TROUGHING REMAINS OVER THE WEST COAST. HOON

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
INTO THE AREA. LIGHT AFTERNOON BREEZES AND CLEAR CONDITIONS
EXPECTED. FUENTES/HOON

&&

.REV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NV...NONE.
CA...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RENO (ALL LOWER CASE)








000
FXUS65 KLKN 010920
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
220 AM PDT MON SEP 1 2014

.SYNOPSIS...SUNNY AND DRY WEATHER EXPECTED ALL WEEK WITH SOME
SMOKE THROUGH THIS EVENING FROM THE FIRES IN NORTHERN CALIFORNIA.
TEMPERATURES WILL WARM THROUGH TUESDAY THEN COOLER WEDNESDAY
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK AS A COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE
REGION TUESDAY NIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY. THE ONLY SENSIBLE WEATHER
WILL BE THE LINGERING SMOKE FROM THE FIRES BURNING IN NORTHERN
CALIFORNIA. HOWEVER WINDS WILL SHIFT THE BULK OF THE SMOKE TO THE
SOUTH WITH SOME LINGERING HAZE FROM SMOKE THROUGH THIS EVENING. EXPECT
MUCH WARMER TEMPERATURES ON TUESDAY AHEAD OF A DRY COLD FRONT
WHICH WILL CROSS THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT. OTHERWISE WINDS WILL
INCREASE A BIT TUESDAY AFTERNOON MAINLY ACROSS CENTRAL NEVADA.
LEFT PATCHY SMOKE OUT OF FORECAST FOR TUESDAY AS IT DEPENDS ON HOW
THE FIRES ARE BURNING AND THE WINDS NEAR THE FIRES...SO WILL NEED
TO MONITOR IF SMOKE PLUMES BEGIN TO PUSH WESTWARD AGAIN ON TUESDAY
AFTERNOON.

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT MONDAY. NOT TOO MUCH GOING
ON IN THE LONG TERM FOR NORTHERN NEVADA. THE IMPORTANT WEATHER
ELEMENTS BEGINNING ON TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY INCLUDE AN UPPER
LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH ACROSS BRITISH COLUMBIA AND A SUBTROPICAL
UPPER RIDGE OVER NEW MEXICO/TEXAS. THIS WILL KEEP NORTHERN NEVADA IN
A QUIET WEST-EAST FLOW. A PIECE OF ENERGY WILL SPLIT FROM THE MAIN
TROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT/THURSDAY MORNING AND GRADUALLY SETTLE
OVER NORTHERN CALIFORNIA FRIDAY/SATURDAY. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP
NORTHERN NEVADA DRY...WITH PERHAPS A LIGHT BUMP UP IN WINDS TO
BREEZY. EUROPEAN/GFS IS TRYING TO BRING SOME MOISTURE TO THE STATE
WITH SOME ACTIVITY SHOWING UP IN THE EAST. PREVIOUS SHIFT
BROADBRUSHED VERY ISOLATED POPS OVER THE EAST FOR FRIDAY...AND WILL
KEEP THIS. THE SOUTHWEST FLOW PATTERN IS ANTICIPATED TO CONTINUE
THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND...WITH DRY CONDITIONS FORECAST.

AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES DURING THIS PERIOD ARE EXPECTED TO BE AT OR
BELOW NORMAL WITH COOL OVERNIGHT LOWS.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR/SKC THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY. WINDS MOSTLY LIGHT WITH
NORMAL DIRECTION CHANGES. SIGNIFICANT SMOKE ALOFT AT KWMC AND
KEKO...BUT NOT REDUCING VISIBILITY BELOW P6SM. SOME SMOKY SKIES AT
KELY...EVEN LESS SO AT KTPH.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...DRY THROUGH THE COMING WEEK WITH WARMER
TEMPERATURES THROUGH TUESDAY AND THEN COOLER WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE
END OF THE WEEK AS A DRY COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH THE AREA
TUESDAY NIGHT. WINDS WILL INCREASE ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS
NEAR 30 MPH IN PORTIONS OF FIRE ZONES 455 AND 457 BUT DO NOT
EXPECT AREAL COVERAGE FOR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

90/86/86/90





000
FXUS65 KLKN 010920
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
220 AM PDT MON SEP 1 2014

.SYNOPSIS...SUNNY AND DRY WEATHER EXPECTED ALL WEEK WITH SOME
SMOKE THROUGH THIS EVENING FROM THE FIRES IN NORTHERN CALIFORNIA.
TEMPERATURES WILL WARM THROUGH TUESDAY THEN COOLER WEDNESDAY
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK AS A COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE
REGION TUESDAY NIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY. THE ONLY SENSIBLE WEATHER
WILL BE THE LINGERING SMOKE FROM THE FIRES BURNING IN NORTHERN
CALIFORNIA. HOWEVER WINDS WILL SHIFT THE BULK OF THE SMOKE TO THE
SOUTH WITH SOME LINGERING HAZE FROM SMOKE THROUGH THIS EVENING. EXPECT
MUCH WARMER TEMPERATURES ON TUESDAY AHEAD OF A DRY COLD FRONT
WHICH WILL CROSS THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT. OTHERWISE WINDS WILL
INCREASE A BIT TUESDAY AFTERNOON MAINLY ACROSS CENTRAL NEVADA.
LEFT PATCHY SMOKE OUT OF FORECAST FOR TUESDAY AS IT DEPENDS ON HOW
THE FIRES ARE BURNING AND THE WINDS NEAR THE FIRES...SO WILL NEED
TO MONITOR IF SMOKE PLUMES BEGIN TO PUSH WESTWARD AGAIN ON TUESDAY
AFTERNOON.

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT MONDAY. NOT TOO MUCH GOING
ON IN THE LONG TERM FOR NORTHERN NEVADA. THE IMPORTANT WEATHER
ELEMENTS BEGINNING ON TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY INCLUDE AN UPPER
LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH ACROSS BRITISH COLUMBIA AND A SUBTROPICAL
UPPER RIDGE OVER NEW MEXICO/TEXAS. THIS WILL KEEP NORTHERN NEVADA IN
A QUIET WEST-EAST FLOW. A PIECE OF ENERGY WILL SPLIT FROM THE MAIN
TROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT/THURSDAY MORNING AND GRADUALLY SETTLE
OVER NORTHERN CALIFORNIA FRIDAY/SATURDAY. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP
NORTHERN NEVADA DRY...WITH PERHAPS A LIGHT BUMP UP IN WINDS TO
BREEZY. EUROPEAN/GFS IS TRYING TO BRING SOME MOISTURE TO THE STATE
WITH SOME ACTIVITY SHOWING UP IN THE EAST. PREVIOUS SHIFT
BROADBRUSHED VERY ISOLATED POPS OVER THE EAST FOR FRIDAY...AND WILL
KEEP THIS. THE SOUTHWEST FLOW PATTERN IS ANTICIPATED TO CONTINUE
THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND...WITH DRY CONDITIONS FORECAST.

AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES DURING THIS PERIOD ARE EXPECTED TO BE AT OR
BELOW NORMAL WITH COOL OVERNIGHT LOWS.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR/SKC THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY. WINDS MOSTLY LIGHT WITH
NORMAL DIRECTION CHANGES. SIGNIFICANT SMOKE ALOFT AT KWMC AND
KEKO...BUT NOT REDUCING VISIBILITY BELOW P6SM. SOME SMOKY SKIES AT
KELY...EVEN LESS SO AT KTPH.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...DRY THROUGH THE COMING WEEK WITH WARMER
TEMPERATURES THROUGH TUESDAY AND THEN COOLER WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE
END OF THE WEEK AS A DRY COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH THE AREA
TUESDAY NIGHT. WINDS WILL INCREASE ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS
NEAR 30 MPH IN PORTIONS OF FIRE ZONES 455 AND 457 BUT DO NOT
EXPECT AREAL COVERAGE FOR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

90/86/86/90





000
FXUS65 KLKN 010920
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
220 AM PDT MON SEP 1 2014

.SYNOPSIS...SUNNY AND DRY WEATHER EXPECTED ALL WEEK WITH SOME
SMOKE THROUGH THIS EVENING FROM THE FIRES IN NORTHERN CALIFORNIA.
TEMPERATURES WILL WARM THROUGH TUESDAY THEN COOLER WEDNESDAY
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK AS A COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE
REGION TUESDAY NIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY. THE ONLY SENSIBLE WEATHER
WILL BE THE LINGERING SMOKE FROM THE FIRES BURNING IN NORTHERN
CALIFORNIA. HOWEVER WINDS WILL SHIFT THE BULK OF THE SMOKE TO THE
SOUTH WITH SOME LINGERING HAZE FROM SMOKE THROUGH THIS EVENING. EXPECT
MUCH WARMER TEMPERATURES ON TUESDAY AHEAD OF A DRY COLD FRONT
WHICH WILL CROSS THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT. OTHERWISE WINDS WILL
INCREASE A BIT TUESDAY AFTERNOON MAINLY ACROSS CENTRAL NEVADA.
LEFT PATCHY SMOKE OUT OF FORECAST FOR TUESDAY AS IT DEPENDS ON HOW
THE FIRES ARE BURNING AND THE WINDS NEAR THE FIRES...SO WILL NEED
TO MONITOR IF SMOKE PLUMES BEGIN TO PUSH WESTWARD AGAIN ON TUESDAY
AFTERNOON.

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT MONDAY. NOT TOO MUCH GOING
ON IN THE LONG TERM FOR NORTHERN NEVADA. THE IMPORTANT WEATHER
ELEMENTS BEGINNING ON TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY INCLUDE AN UPPER
LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH ACROSS BRITISH COLUMBIA AND A SUBTROPICAL
UPPER RIDGE OVER NEW MEXICO/TEXAS. THIS WILL KEEP NORTHERN NEVADA IN
A QUIET WEST-EAST FLOW. A PIECE OF ENERGY WILL SPLIT FROM THE MAIN
TROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT/THURSDAY MORNING AND GRADUALLY SETTLE
OVER NORTHERN CALIFORNIA FRIDAY/SATURDAY. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP
NORTHERN NEVADA DRY...WITH PERHAPS A LIGHT BUMP UP IN WINDS TO
BREEZY. EUROPEAN/GFS IS TRYING TO BRING SOME MOISTURE TO THE STATE
WITH SOME ACTIVITY SHOWING UP IN THE EAST. PREVIOUS SHIFT
BROADBRUSHED VERY ISOLATED POPS OVER THE EAST FOR FRIDAY...AND WILL
KEEP THIS. THE SOUTHWEST FLOW PATTERN IS ANTICIPATED TO CONTINUE
THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND...WITH DRY CONDITIONS FORECAST.

AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES DURING THIS PERIOD ARE EXPECTED TO BE AT OR
BELOW NORMAL WITH COOL OVERNIGHT LOWS.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR/SKC THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY. WINDS MOSTLY LIGHT WITH
NORMAL DIRECTION CHANGES. SIGNIFICANT SMOKE ALOFT AT KWMC AND
KEKO...BUT NOT REDUCING VISIBILITY BELOW P6SM. SOME SMOKY SKIES AT
KELY...EVEN LESS SO AT KTPH.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...DRY THROUGH THE COMING WEEK WITH WARMER
TEMPERATURES THROUGH TUESDAY AND THEN COOLER WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE
END OF THE WEEK AS A DRY COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH THE AREA
TUESDAY NIGHT. WINDS WILL INCREASE ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS
NEAR 30 MPH IN PORTIONS OF FIRE ZONES 455 AND 457 BUT DO NOT
EXPECT AREAL COVERAGE FOR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

90/86/86/90





000
FXUS65 KLKN 010920
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
220 AM PDT MON SEP 1 2014

.SYNOPSIS...SUNNY AND DRY WEATHER EXPECTED ALL WEEK WITH SOME
SMOKE THROUGH THIS EVENING FROM THE FIRES IN NORTHERN CALIFORNIA.
TEMPERATURES WILL WARM THROUGH TUESDAY THEN COOLER WEDNESDAY
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK AS A COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE
REGION TUESDAY NIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY. THE ONLY SENSIBLE WEATHER
WILL BE THE LINGERING SMOKE FROM THE FIRES BURNING IN NORTHERN
CALIFORNIA. HOWEVER WINDS WILL SHIFT THE BULK OF THE SMOKE TO THE
SOUTH WITH SOME LINGERING HAZE FROM SMOKE THROUGH THIS EVENING. EXPECT
MUCH WARMER TEMPERATURES ON TUESDAY AHEAD OF A DRY COLD FRONT
WHICH WILL CROSS THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT. OTHERWISE WINDS WILL
INCREASE A BIT TUESDAY AFTERNOON MAINLY ACROSS CENTRAL NEVADA.
LEFT PATCHY SMOKE OUT OF FORECAST FOR TUESDAY AS IT DEPENDS ON HOW
THE FIRES ARE BURNING AND THE WINDS NEAR THE FIRES...SO WILL NEED
TO MONITOR IF SMOKE PLUMES BEGIN TO PUSH WESTWARD AGAIN ON TUESDAY
AFTERNOON.

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT MONDAY. NOT TOO MUCH GOING
ON IN THE LONG TERM FOR NORTHERN NEVADA. THE IMPORTANT WEATHER
ELEMENTS BEGINNING ON TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY INCLUDE AN UPPER
LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH ACROSS BRITISH COLUMBIA AND A SUBTROPICAL
UPPER RIDGE OVER NEW MEXICO/TEXAS. THIS WILL KEEP NORTHERN NEVADA IN
A QUIET WEST-EAST FLOW. A PIECE OF ENERGY WILL SPLIT FROM THE MAIN
TROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT/THURSDAY MORNING AND GRADUALLY SETTLE
OVER NORTHERN CALIFORNIA FRIDAY/SATURDAY. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP
NORTHERN NEVADA DRY...WITH PERHAPS A LIGHT BUMP UP IN WINDS TO
BREEZY. EUROPEAN/GFS IS TRYING TO BRING SOME MOISTURE TO THE STATE
WITH SOME ACTIVITY SHOWING UP IN THE EAST. PREVIOUS SHIFT
BROADBRUSHED VERY ISOLATED POPS OVER THE EAST FOR FRIDAY...AND WILL
KEEP THIS. THE SOUTHWEST FLOW PATTERN IS ANTICIPATED TO CONTINUE
THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND...WITH DRY CONDITIONS FORECAST.

AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES DURING THIS PERIOD ARE EXPECTED TO BE AT OR
BELOW NORMAL WITH COOL OVERNIGHT LOWS.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR/SKC THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY. WINDS MOSTLY LIGHT WITH
NORMAL DIRECTION CHANGES. SIGNIFICANT SMOKE ALOFT AT KWMC AND
KEKO...BUT NOT REDUCING VISIBILITY BELOW P6SM. SOME SMOKY SKIES AT
KELY...EVEN LESS SO AT KTPH.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...DRY THROUGH THE COMING WEEK WITH WARMER
TEMPERATURES THROUGH TUESDAY AND THEN COOLER WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE
END OF THE WEEK AS A DRY COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH THE AREA
TUESDAY NIGHT. WINDS WILL INCREASE ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS
NEAR 30 MPH IN PORTIONS OF FIRE ZONES 455 AND 457 BUT DO NOT
EXPECT AREAL COVERAGE FOR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

90/86/86/90





000
FXUS65 KVEF 010434 AAA
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
935 PM PDT SUN AUG 31 2014

.SYNOPSIS...WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER
OF LABOR DAY WEEKEND AND INTO THE MIDDLE OF THE COMING WEEK.
&&

.UPDATE...OUTSIDE OF SOME HIGH CLOUDS ACROSS SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY,
SATELLITE SHOWS CLEAR SKIES. MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE A VERY DRY
AIR MASS THROUGH TUESDAY WITH NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES. THIS COVERED WELL IN FORECAST, NO UPDATE.
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
212 PM PDT SUN AUG 31 2014

.SHORT TERM...THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...QUITE WEATHER THROUGH THE
SHORT TERM AS A NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT TRANSITIONS TO A SOUTHWEST FLOW
BY WEDNESDAY. DRY CONDITIONS WITH MAINLY CLEAR SKIES EXPECTED
ALTHOUGH THERE MAY BE SOME INCREASE IN HIGH CLOUDS FROM THE SOUTH BY
TUESDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE JUST A BIT ABOVE NORMAL WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WINDS.

LONG TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

EXTENDED PERIOD IS FORECAST TO BE QUITE THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY AS
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS SITUATED TO THE SOUTH AND A TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE STARTS DIGGING INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. THE MODELS HAVE
TRENDED WEAKER AND SLOWER WITH THIS TROUGH SO IT LOOKS LIKE MOST OF
THE CWA WILL NOT SEE MUCH IN THE WAY OF GUSTY WINDS. TEMPERATURES
SHOULD REMAIN SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL INTO NEXT WEEKEND. WILL NEED TO
KEEP AN EYE ON A POTENTIAL DEVELOPING TROPICAL SYSTEM WHICH THE
MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW MOVING UP THE BAJA COAST SUNDAY AND MONDAY
WHICH COULD BRING A SURGE OF LOW AND MID LEVEL MOISTURE INTO THE
REGION. THE 12Z ECMWF PUSHES THE RIDGE FURTHER WEST AND NEVER REALLY
DROPS THE TROUGH INTO THE REGION WHICH WOULD ALLOW EASIER ACCESS FOR
THE MOISTURE TO BE PULLED NORTHWARD WHILE THE GFS IS STRONGER WITH
THE TROUGH AND BRINGS MORE OF A SOUTHWEST FLOW INTO THE CWA. BOTH
MODELS ARE PRODUCING FAIRLY WIDESPREAD AREAS OF QPF INTO ARIZONA AND
AS FAR WEST AS INTERSTATE 15. WE CURRENTLY HAVE SLIGHT CHANCE POPS
IN THE GRIDS SUNDAY AND MONDAY AND AT THIS TIME KEPT THEM AT SLIGHT
CHANCE...BUT IF THE MODELS REMAIN CONSISTENT THIS COULD CERTAINLY
TREND UPWARD.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...CLEAR SKIES THROUGH LABOR DAY WITH WINDS
FAVORING TYPICAL DIURNAL TRENDS MAINLY BELOW 10 KTS.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...CLEAR SKIES THROUGH LABOR DAY WITH WINDS FAVORING
TYPICAL DIURNAL TRENDS. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS OVER WESTERN SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY
AND MOHAVE COUNTY WHERE WIND SPEEDS AROUND 15 KTS ARE EXPECTED.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

$$

UPDATE...PIERCE
HARRISON/GORELOW

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER












000
FXUS65 KVEF 010434 AAA
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
935 PM PDT SUN AUG 31 2014

.SYNOPSIS...WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER
OF LABOR DAY WEEKEND AND INTO THE MIDDLE OF THE COMING WEEK.
&&

.UPDATE...OUTSIDE OF SOME HIGH CLOUDS ACROSS SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY,
SATELLITE SHOWS CLEAR SKIES. MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE A VERY DRY
AIR MASS THROUGH TUESDAY WITH NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES. THIS COVERED WELL IN FORECAST, NO UPDATE.
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
212 PM PDT SUN AUG 31 2014

.SHORT TERM...THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...QUITE WEATHER THROUGH THE
SHORT TERM AS A NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT TRANSITIONS TO A SOUTHWEST FLOW
BY WEDNESDAY. DRY CONDITIONS WITH MAINLY CLEAR SKIES EXPECTED
ALTHOUGH THERE MAY BE SOME INCREASE IN HIGH CLOUDS FROM THE SOUTH BY
TUESDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE JUST A BIT ABOVE NORMAL WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WINDS.

LONG TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

EXTENDED PERIOD IS FORECAST TO BE QUITE THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY AS
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS SITUATED TO THE SOUTH AND A TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE STARTS DIGGING INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. THE MODELS HAVE
TRENDED WEAKER AND SLOWER WITH THIS TROUGH SO IT LOOKS LIKE MOST OF
THE CWA WILL NOT SEE MUCH IN THE WAY OF GUSTY WINDS. TEMPERATURES
SHOULD REMAIN SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL INTO NEXT WEEKEND. WILL NEED TO
KEEP AN EYE ON A POTENTIAL DEVELOPING TROPICAL SYSTEM WHICH THE
MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW MOVING UP THE BAJA COAST SUNDAY AND MONDAY
WHICH COULD BRING A SURGE OF LOW AND MID LEVEL MOISTURE INTO THE
REGION. THE 12Z ECMWF PUSHES THE RIDGE FURTHER WEST AND NEVER REALLY
DROPS THE TROUGH INTO THE REGION WHICH WOULD ALLOW EASIER ACCESS FOR
THE MOISTURE TO BE PULLED NORTHWARD WHILE THE GFS IS STRONGER WITH
THE TROUGH AND BRINGS MORE OF A SOUTHWEST FLOW INTO THE CWA. BOTH
MODELS ARE PRODUCING FAIRLY WIDESPREAD AREAS OF QPF INTO ARIZONA AND
AS FAR WEST AS INTERSTATE 15. WE CURRENTLY HAVE SLIGHT CHANCE POPS
IN THE GRIDS SUNDAY AND MONDAY AND AT THIS TIME KEPT THEM AT SLIGHT
CHANCE...BUT IF THE MODELS REMAIN CONSISTENT THIS COULD CERTAINLY
TREND UPWARD.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...CLEAR SKIES THROUGH LABOR DAY WITH WINDS
FAVORING TYPICAL DIURNAL TRENDS MAINLY BELOW 10 KTS.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...CLEAR SKIES THROUGH LABOR DAY WITH WINDS FAVORING
TYPICAL DIURNAL TRENDS. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS OVER WESTERN SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY
AND MOHAVE COUNTY WHERE WIND SPEEDS AROUND 15 KTS ARE EXPECTED.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

$$

UPDATE...PIERCE
HARRISON/GORELOW

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER












000
FXUS65 KVEF 010434 AAA
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
935 PM PDT SUN AUG 31 2014

.SYNOPSIS...WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER
OF LABOR DAY WEEKEND AND INTO THE MIDDLE OF THE COMING WEEK.
&&

.UPDATE...OUTSIDE OF SOME HIGH CLOUDS ACROSS SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY,
SATELLITE SHOWS CLEAR SKIES. MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE A VERY DRY
AIR MASS THROUGH TUESDAY WITH NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES. THIS COVERED WELL IN FORECAST, NO UPDATE.
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
212 PM PDT SUN AUG 31 2014

.SHORT TERM...THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...QUITE WEATHER THROUGH THE
SHORT TERM AS A NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT TRANSITIONS TO A SOUTHWEST FLOW
BY WEDNESDAY. DRY CONDITIONS WITH MAINLY CLEAR SKIES EXPECTED
ALTHOUGH THERE MAY BE SOME INCREASE IN HIGH CLOUDS FROM THE SOUTH BY
TUESDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE JUST A BIT ABOVE NORMAL WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WINDS.

LONG TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

EXTENDED PERIOD IS FORECAST TO BE QUITE THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY AS
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS SITUATED TO THE SOUTH AND A TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE STARTS DIGGING INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. THE MODELS HAVE
TRENDED WEAKER AND SLOWER WITH THIS TROUGH SO IT LOOKS LIKE MOST OF
THE CWA WILL NOT SEE MUCH IN THE WAY OF GUSTY WINDS. TEMPERATURES
SHOULD REMAIN SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL INTO NEXT WEEKEND. WILL NEED TO
KEEP AN EYE ON A POTENTIAL DEVELOPING TROPICAL SYSTEM WHICH THE
MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW MOVING UP THE BAJA COAST SUNDAY AND MONDAY
WHICH COULD BRING A SURGE OF LOW AND MID LEVEL MOISTURE INTO THE
REGION. THE 12Z ECMWF PUSHES THE RIDGE FURTHER WEST AND NEVER REALLY
DROPS THE TROUGH INTO THE REGION WHICH WOULD ALLOW EASIER ACCESS FOR
THE MOISTURE TO BE PULLED NORTHWARD WHILE THE GFS IS STRONGER WITH
THE TROUGH AND BRINGS MORE OF A SOUTHWEST FLOW INTO THE CWA. BOTH
MODELS ARE PRODUCING FAIRLY WIDESPREAD AREAS OF QPF INTO ARIZONA AND
AS FAR WEST AS INTERSTATE 15. WE CURRENTLY HAVE SLIGHT CHANCE POPS
IN THE GRIDS SUNDAY AND MONDAY AND AT THIS TIME KEPT THEM AT SLIGHT
CHANCE...BUT IF THE MODELS REMAIN CONSISTENT THIS COULD CERTAINLY
TREND UPWARD.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...CLEAR SKIES THROUGH LABOR DAY WITH WINDS
FAVORING TYPICAL DIURNAL TRENDS MAINLY BELOW 10 KTS.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...CLEAR SKIES THROUGH LABOR DAY WITH WINDS FAVORING
TYPICAL DIURNAL TRENDS. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS OVER WESTERN SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY
AND MOHAVE COUNTY WHERE WIND SPEEDS AROUND 15 KTS ARE EXPECTED.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

$$

UPDATE...PIERCE
HARRISON/GORELOW

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER












000
FXUS65 KVEF 010434 AAA
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
935 PM PDT SUN AUG 31 2014

.SYNOPSIS...WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER
OF LABOR DAY WEEKEND AND INTO THE MIDDLE OF THE COMING WEEK.
&&

.UPDATE...OUTSIDE OF SOME HIGH CLOUDS ACROSS SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY,
SATELLITE SHOWS CLEAR SKIES. MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE A VERY DRY
AIR MASS THROUGH TUESDAY WITH NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES. THIS COVERED WELL IN FORECAST, NO UPDATE.
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
212 PM PDT SUN AUG 31 2014

.SHORT TERM...THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...QUITE WEATHER THROUGH THE
SHORT TERM AS A NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT TRANSITIONS TO A SOUTHWEST FLOW
BY WEDNESDAY. DRY CONDITIONS WITH MAINLY CLEAR SKIES EXPECTED
ALTHOUGH THERE MAY BE SOME INCREASE IN HIGH CLOUDS FROM THE SOUTH BY
TUESDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE JUST A BIT ABOVE NORMAL WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WINDS.

LONG TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

EXTENDED PERIOD IS FORECAST TO BE QUITE THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY AS
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS SITUATED TO THE SOUTH AND A TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE STARTS DIGGING INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. THE MODELS HAVE
TRENDED WEAKER AND SLOWER WITH THIS TROUGH SO IT LOOKS LIKE MOST OF
THE CWA WILL NOT SEE MUCH IN THE WAY OF GUSTY WINDS. TEMPERATURES
SHOULD REMAIN SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL INTO NEXT WEEKEND. WILL NEED TO
KEEP AN EYE ON A POTENTIAL DEVELOPING TROPICAL SYSTEM WHICH THE
MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW MOVING UP THE BAJA COAST SUNDAY AND MONDAY
WHICH COULD BRING A SURGE OF LOW AND MID LEVEL MOISTURE INTO THE
REGION. THE 12Z ECMWF PUSHES THE RIDGE FURTHER WEST AND NEVER REALLY
DROPS THE TROUGH INTO THE REGION WHICH WOULD ALLOW EASIER ACCESS FOR
THE MOISTURE TO BE PULLED NORTHWARD WHILE THE GFS IS STRONGER WITH
THE TROUGH AND BRINGS MORE OF A SOUTHWEST FLOW INTO THE CWA. BOTH
MODELS ARE PRODUCING FAIRLY WIDESPREAD AREAS OF QPF INTO ARIZONA AND
AS FAR WEST AS INTERSTATE 15. WE CURRENTLY HAVE SLIGHT CHANCE POPS
IN THE GRIDS SUNDAY AND MONDAY AND AT THIS TIME KEPT THEM AT SLIGHT
CHANCE...BUT IF THE MODELS REMAIN CONSISTENT THIS COULD CERTAINLY
TREND UPWARD.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...CLEAR SKIES THROUGH LABOR DAY WITH WINDS
FAVORING TYPICAL DIURNAL TRENDS MAINLY BELOW 10 KTS.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...CLEAR SKIES THROUGH LABOR DAY WITH WINDS FAVORING
TYPICAL DIURNAL TRENDS. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS OVER WESTERN SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY
AND MOHAVE COUNTY WHERE WIND SPEEDS AROUND 15 KTS ARE EXPECTED.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

$$

UPDATE...PIERCE
HARRISON/GORELOW

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER












000
FXUS65 KLKN 312141
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
241 PM PDT SUN AUG 31 2014

.SYNOPSIS...QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED THIS WEEK ALTHOUGH THE SUNNY
SKIES ACROSS MUCH OF NEVADA WILL BE HAMPERED AT TIMES BY SMOKE
POURING IN FROM CALIFORNIA FIRES. DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL WARM
A BIT AS THE WEEK WEARS ON HOWEVER SOME VALLEYS WILL BEGIN TO GET
A LITTLE CHILLY AT NIGHT...SO ITS TIME TO START THINKING ABOUT
FINALIZING YOUR GARDENS.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. THE MODELS ARE IN VERY
GOOD AGREEMENT FOR THE SHORT TERM PERIOD. A DRY FORECAST IS
IMPENDING. AN EXITING LOW PRESSURE TROUGH WILL ALLOW FOR A COOL
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT THROUGH MONDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL GET A BOOST
ON TUESDAY AS WINDS ALOFT BACK TOWARDS THE WEST. A BRIEF SURGE OF
WARMER AIR WILL ACCOMPANY A SHORT PERIOD OF SOUTHERLY FLOW LATE
TUESDAY AS ANOTHER SHORTWAVE LOW BEGINS TO ENTER THE PACIFIC NW
REGION. THIS MAY LESSEN THE COVERAGE OF SMOKE OVER THE STATE.

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. A DRY PATTERN IS ON DECK
THIS FORECAST PERIOD. AT THE ONSET...EXPECTING WIDESPREAD ZONAL FLOW
OVER THE LKN CWA...WITH A DEEP H5 LOW OVER WASHINGTON STATE. AS TIME
ELAPSES...EXPECTING THE TROF TO DIG DEEPER INTO THE GREAT BASIN. THE
DGEX...THE GFS AND EC ALL SHOW A SECONDARY IMPULSE MOVING INTO
CALIFORNIA THURSDAY/FRIDAY...WITH SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER THE LKN CWA.
THE NCEP RMOP IS WELL INTO CONFIDENT TERRITORY WITH THE TROF MOVING
INTO THE INTER-MOUNTAIN WEST. WHILE THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN IS IN
GENERAL AGREEMENT...THE TIMING OF THE LOW OVER THE SILVER STATE IS
HIGHLY VARIABLE. BUMPED UP POPS THIS PACKAGE FOR DAY 5 AND DAY
6...TO ACCOUNT FOR SENSIBLE WEATHER IMPACTS.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE ENSUING 24 HR
PERIOD.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...DRY AND STABLE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS WEEK.
NO SIGNIFICANT WIND ISSUES ARE FORESEEN EITHER HOWEVER
TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO WARM TUESDAY AND AS WINDS BECOME MORE
SOUTHERLY OVER FIRE ZONE 455...WIND GUSTS MAY EXCEED 30 MPH IN A
FEW SPOTS BUT THERE WILL NOT BE ENOUGH AREAL COVERAGE TO CALL FOR AN
EVENT.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

92/97/97/92






000
FXUS65 KLKN 312141
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
241 PM PDT SUN AUG 31 2014

.SYNOPSIS...QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED THIS WEEK ALTHOUGH THE SUNNY
SKIES ACROSS MUCH OF NEVADA WILL BE HAMPERED AT TIMES BY SMOKE
POURING IN FROM CALIFORNIA FIRES. DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL WARM
A BIT AS THE WEEK WEARS ON HOWEVER SOME VALLEYS WILL BEGIN TO GET
A LITTLE CHILLY AT NIGHT...SO ITS TIME TO START THINKING ABOUT
FINALIZING YOUR GARDENS.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. THE MODELS ARE IN VERY
GOOD AGREEMENT FOR THE SHORT TERM PERIOD. A DRY FORECAST IS
IMPENDING. AN EXITING LOW PRESSURE TROUGH WILL ALLOW FOR A COOL
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT THROUGH MONDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL GET A BOOST
ON TUESDAY AS WINDS ALOFT BACK TOWARDS THE WEST. A BRIEF SURGE OF
WARMER AIR WILL ACCOMPANY A SHORT PERIOD OF SOUTHERLY FLOW LATE
TUESDAY AS ANOTHER SHORTWAVE LOW BEGINS TO ENTER THE PACIFIC NW
REGION. THIS MAY LESSEN THE COVERAGE OF SMOKE OVER THE STATE.

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. A DRY PATTERN IS ON DECK
THIS FORECAST PERIOD. AT THE ONSET...EXPECTING WIDESPREAD ZONAL FLOW
OVER THE LKN CWA...WITH A DEEP H5 LOW OVER WASHINGTON STATE. AS TIME
ELAPSES...EXPECTING THE TROF TO DIG DEEPER INTO THE GREAT BASIN. THE
DGEX...THE GFS AND EC ALL SHOW A SECONDARY IMPULSE MOVING INTO
CALIFORNIA THURSDAY/FRIDAY...WITH SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER THE LKN CWA.
THE NCEP RMOP IS WELL INTO CONFIDENT TERRITORY WITH THE TROF MOVING
INTO THE INTER-MOUNTAIN WEST. WHILE THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN IS IN
GENERAL AGREEMENT...THE TIMING OF THE LOW OVER THE SILVER STATE IS
HIGHLY VARIABLE. BUMPED UP POPS THIS PACKAGE FOR DAY 5 AND DAY
6...TO ACCOUNT FOR SENSIBLE WEATHER IMPACTS.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE ENSUING 24 HR
PERIOD.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...DRY AND STABLE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS WEEK.
NO SIGNIFICANT WIND ISSUES ARE FORESEEN EITHER HOWEVER
TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO WARM TUESDAY AND AS WINDS BECOME MORE
SOUTHERLY OVER FIRE ZONE 455...WIND GUSTS MAY EXCEED 30 MPH IN A
FEW SPOTS BUT THERE WILL NOT BE ENOUGH AREAL COVERAGE TO CALL FOR AN
EVENT.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

92/97/97/92






000
FXUS65 KLKN 312141
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
241 PM PDT SUN AUG 31 2014

.SYNOPSIS...QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED THIS WEEK ALTHOUGH THE SUNNY
SKIES ACROSS MUCH OF NEVADA WILL BE HAMPERED AT TIMES BY SMOKE
POURING IN FROM CALIFORNIA FIRES. DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL WARM
A BIT AS THE WEEK WEARS ON HOWEVER SOME VALLEYS WILL BEGIN TO GET
A LITTLE CHILLY AT NIGHT...SO ITS TIME TO START THINKING ABOUT
FINALIZING YOUR GARDENS.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. THE MODELS ARE IN VERY
GOOD AGREEMENT FOR THE SHORT TERM PERIOD. A DRY FORECAST IS
IMPENDING. AN EXITING LOW PRESSURE TROUGH WILL ALLOW FOR A COOL
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT THROUGH MONDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL GET A BOOST
ON TUESDAY AS WINDS ALOFT BACK TOWARDS THE WEST. A BRIEF SURGE OF
WARMER AIR WILL ACCOMPANY A SHORT PERIOD OF SOUTHERLY FLOW LATE
TUESDAY AS ANOTHER SHORTWAVE LOW BEGINS TO ENTER THE PACIFIC NW
REGION. THIS MAY LESSEN THE COVERAGE OF SMOKE OVER THE STATE.

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. A DRY PATTERN IS ON DECK
THIS FORECAST PERIOD. AT THE ONSET...EXPECTING WIDESPREAD ZONAL FLOW
OVER THE LKN CWA...WITH A DEEP H5 LOW OVER WASHINGTON STATE. AS TIME
ELAPSES...EXPECTING THE TROF TO DIG DEEPER INTO THE GREAT BASIN. THE
DGEX...THE GFS AND EC ALL SHOW A SECONDARY IMPULSE MOVING INTO
CALIFORNIA THURSDAY/FRIDAY...WITH SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER THE LKN CWA.
THE NCEP RMOP IS WELL INTO CONFIDENT TERRITORY WITH THE TROF MOVING
INTO THE INTER-MOUNTAIN WEST. WHILE THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN IS IN
GENERAL AGREEMENT...THE TIMING OF THE LOW OVER THE SILVER STATE IS
HIGHLY VARIABLE. BUMPED UP POPS THIS PACKAGE FOR DAY 5 AND DAY
6...TO ACCOUNT FOR SENSIBLE WEATHER IMPACTS.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE ENSUING 24 HR
PERIOD.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...DRY AND STABLE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS WEEK.
NO SIGNIFICANT WIND ISSUES ARE FORESEEN EITHER HOWEVER
TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO WARM TUESDAY AND AS WINDS BECOME MORE
SOUTHERLY OVER FIRE ZONE 455...WIND GUSTS MAY EXCEED 30 MPH IN A
FEW SPOTS BUT THERE WILL NOT BE ENOUGH AREAL COVERAGE TO CALL FOR AN
EVENT.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

92/97/97/92






000
FXUS65 KLKN 312141
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
241 PM PDT SUN AUG 31 2014

.SYNOPSIS...QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED THIS WEEK ALTHOUGH THE SUNNY
SKIES ACROSS MUCH OF NEVADA WILL BE HAMPERED AT TIMES BY SMOKE
POURING IN FROM CALIFORNIA FIRES. DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL WARM
A BIT AS THE WEEK WEARS ON HOWEVER SOME VALLEYS WILL BEGIN TO GET
A LITTLE CHILLY AT NIGHT...SO ITS TIME TO START THINKING ABOUT
FINALIZING YOUR GARDENS.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. THE MODELS ARE IN VERY
GOOD AGREEMENT FOR THE SHORT TERM PERIOD. A DRY FORECAST IS
IMPENDING. AN EXITING LOW PRESSURE TROUGH WILL ALLOW FOR A COOL
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT THROUGH MONDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL GET A BOOST
ON TUESDAY AS WINDS ALOFT BACK TOWARDS THE WEST. A BRIEF SURGE OF
WARMER AIR WILL ACCOMPANY A SHORT PERIOD OF SOUTHERLY FLOW LATE
TUESDAY AS ANOTHER SHORTWAVE LOW BEGINS TO ENTER THE PACIFIC NW
REGION. THIS MAY LESSEN THE COVERAGE OF SMOKE OVER THE STATE.

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. A DRY PATTERN IS ON DECK
THIS FORECAST PERIOD. AT THE ONSET...EXPECTING WIDESPREAD ZONAL FLOW
OVER THE LKN CWA...WITH A DEEP H5 LOW OVER WASHINGTON STATE. AS TIME
ELAPSES...EXPECTING THE TROF TO DIG DEEPER INTO THE GREAT BASIN. THE
DGEX...THE GFS AND EC ALL SHOW A SECONDARY IMPULSE MOVING INTO
CALIFORNIA THURSDAY/FRIDAY...WITH SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER THE LKN CWA.
THE NCEP RMOP IS WELL INTO CONFIDENT TERRITORY WITH THE TROF MOVING
INTO THE INTER-MOUNTAIN WEST. WHILE THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN IS IN
GENERAL AGREEMENT...THE TIMING OF THE LOW OVER THE SILVER STATE IS
HIGHLY VARIABLE. BUMPED UP POPS THIS PACKAGE FOR DAY 5 AND DAY
6...TO ACCOUNT FOR SENSIBLE WEATHER IMPACTS.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE ENSUING 24 HR
PERIOD.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...DRY AND STABLE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS WEEK.
NO SIGNIFICANT WIND ISSUES ARE FORESEEN EITHER HOWEVER
TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO WARM TUESDAY AND AS WINDS BECOME MORE
SOUTHERLY OVER FIRE ZONE 455...WIND GUSTS MAY EXCEED 30 MPH IN A
FEW SPOTS BUT THERE WILL NOT BE ENOUGH AREAL COVERAGE TO CALL FOR AN
EVENT.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

92/97/97/92






000
FXUS65 KVEF 312113
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
212 PM PDT SUN AUG 31 2014

.SYNOPSIS...WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER
OF LABOR DAY WEEKEND AND INTO THE MIDDLE OF THE COMING WEEK.  &&

.SHORT TERM...THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...QUITE WEATHER THROUGH THE
SHORT TERM AS A NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT TRANSITIONS TO A SOUTHWEST FLOW
BY WEDNESDAY. DRY CONDITIONS WITH MAINLY CLEAR SKIES EXPECTED
ALTHOUGH THERE MAY BE SOME INCREASE IN HIGH CLOUDS FROM THE SOUTH BY
TUESDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE JUST A BIT ABOVE NORMAL WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WINDS.

LONG TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

EXTENDED PERIOD IS FORECAST TO BE QUITE THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY AS
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS SITUATED TO THE SOUTH AND A TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE STARTS DIGGING INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. THE MODELS HAVE
TRENDED WEAKER AND SLOWER WITH THIS TROUGH SO IT LOOKS LIKE MOST OF
THE CWA WILL NOT SEE MUCH IN THE WAY OF GUSTY WINDS. TEMPERATURES
SHOULD REMAIN SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL INTO NEXT WEEKEND. WILL NEED TO
KEEP AN EYE ON A POTENTIAL DEVELOPING TROPICAL SYSTEM WHICH THE
MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW MOVING UP THE BAJA COAST SUNDAY AND MONDAY
WHICH COULD BRING A SURGE OF LOW AND MID LEVEL MOISTURE INTO THE
REGION. THE 12Z ECMWF PUSHES THE RIDGE FURTHER WEST AND NEVER REALLY
DROPS THE TROUGH INTO THE REGION WHICH WOULD ALLOW EASIER ACCESS FOR
THE MOISTURE TO BE PULLED NORTHWARD WHILE THE GFS IS STRONGER WITH
THE TROUGH AND BRINGS MORE OF A SOUTHWEST FLOW INTO THE CWA. BOTH
MODELS ARE PRODUCING FAIRLY WIDESPREAD AREAS OF QPF INTO ARIZONA AND
AS FAR WEST AS INTERSTATE 15. WE CURRENTLY HAVE SLIGHT CHANCE POPS
IN THE GRIDS SUNDAY AND MONDAY AND AT THIS TIME KEPT THEM AT SLIGHT
CHANCE...BUT IF THE MODELS REMAIN CONSISTENT THIS COULD CERTAINLY
TREND UPWARD.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...CLEAR SKIES THROUGH LABOR DAY WITH WINDS
FAVORING TYPICAL DIURNAL TRENDS MAINLY BELOW 10 KTS.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...CLEAR SKIES THROUGH LABOR DAY WITH WINDS FAVORING
TYPICAL DIURNAL TRENDS. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS OVER WESTERN SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY
AND MOHAVE COUNTY WHERE WIND SPEEDS AROUND 15 KTS ARE EXPECTED.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

$$

HARRISON/GORELOW

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER










000
FXUS65 KREV 312052
AFDREV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
152 PM PDT SUN AUG 31 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
NEAR AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND.
TEMPERATURES WILL WARM A FEW DEGREES EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH SLIGHTLY
COOLER TEMPERATURES AND BREEZY CONDITIONS POSSIBLE BY THE MIDDLE
OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
SMOKE AND HAZE HAVE BEEN AFFECTING PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEVADA THIS
AFTERNOON. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY DOESN`T SHOW THE LOW LEVEL
SMOKE AND HAZE, BUT IT CAN BE SEEN ON LOCAL WEB CAMS, ESPECIALLY NEAR
PYRAMID LAKE. WE ALSO RECEIVED MULTIPLE PHONE CALLS AND REPORTS FROM
FACEBOOK. WITH NORTHERLY LOW LEVEL SURFACE WINDS, THE SMOKE IS
LIKELY COMING FROM FIRES IN NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AND OREGON. WINDS
SHOULD INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON ENOUGH TO CLEAR OUT THE HAZE IN THE
VALLEYS, SO WILL LEAVE SMOKE/HAZE OUT OF THE FORECAST.

DRY STABLE NORTHWEST FLOW ACROSS THE SIERRA AND WESTERN NEVADA WILL
MAINTAIN CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS THROUGH THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND.
TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL REMAIN SLIGHTLY COOLER WITH LOW LEVEL NORTH
FLOW IN PLACE BEFORE WEAK RIDGING BUILDS INTO THE REGION. WEAK
RIDGING WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO WARM A FEW DEGREES FOR LABOR DAY
AND THEN ON AGAIN ON TUESDAY. WINDS WILL BE PREDOMINANTLY UPSLOPE
DURING THE DAY AND DOWNSLOPE AT NIGHT WITH WIND SPEEDS AROUND 10 MPH
OR LESS. TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING A WEAK ZEPHYR WILL RESULT IN
STRONGER WEST WINDS, BUT WIND GUSTS 20 MPH OR LESS. ELW

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...
A BROAD TROUGHING PATTERN WILL BE PRESENT NEXT WEEK WHICH WILL KEEP
US IN A DRY PATTERN WITH SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. THIS WILL ALSO PROVIDE
COOLER CONDITIONS NEARER TO SEASONAL AVERAGES. ON WEDNESDAY, A
NORTHERLY SURFACE GRADIENT DEVELOPS PROVIDING NORTHERLY SURFACE
FLOW WHICH WILL PRODUCE ABOUT 5 DEGREES OF COOLING OVER TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. LIGHT NORTH TO NORTHEAST SURFACE GRADIENT WILL REMAIN
IN PLACE THROUGH THE WEEK WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES GENERALLY IN THE
MID TO UPPER 80S ACROSS WESTERN NEVADA AND MID TO UPPER 70S ACROSS
SIERRA VALLEYS. LITTLE TO NO CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION EXPECTED IN
THIS PATTERN WITH GENERALLY CLEAR CONDITIONS THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
FUENTES

.AVIATION...

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
INTO THE AREA. LIGHT AFTERNOON BREEZES AND CLEAR CONDITIONS
EXPECTED. FUENTES


.REV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NV...NONE.
CA...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RENO (ALL LOWER CASE)











000
FXUS65 KREV 312052
AFDREV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
152 PM PDT SUN AUG 31 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
NEAR AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND.
TEMPERATURES WILL WARM A FEW DEGREES EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH SLIGHTLY
COOLER TEMPERATURES AND BREEZY CONDITIONS POSSIBLE BY THE MIDDLE
OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
SMOKE AND HAZE HAVE BEEN AFFECTING PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEVADA THIS
AFTERNOON. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY DOESN`T SHOW THE LOW LEVEL
SMOKE AND HAZE, BUT IT CAN BE SEEN ON LOCAL WEB CAMS, ESPECIALLY NEAR
PYRAMID LAKE. WE ALSO RECEIVED MULTIPLE PHONE CALLS AND REPORTS FROM
FACEBOOK. WITH NORTHERLY LOW LEVEL SURFACE WINDS, THE SMOKE IS
LIKELY COMING FROM FIRES IN NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AND OREGON. WINDS
SHOULD INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON ENOUGH TO CLEAR OUT THE HAZE IN THE
VALLEYS, SO WILL LEAVE SMOKE/HAZE OUT OF THE FORECAST.

DRY STABLE NORTHWEST FLOW ACROSS THE SIERRA AND WESTERN NEVADA WILL
MAINTAIN CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS THROUGH THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND.
TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL REMAIN SLIGHTLY COOLER WITH LOW LEVEL NORTH
FLOW IN PLACE BEFORE WEAK RIDGING BUILDS INTO THE REGION. WEAK
RIDGING WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO WARM A FEW DEGREES FOR LABOR DAY
AND THEN ON AGAIN ON TUESDAY. WINDS WILL BE PREDOMINANTLY UPSLOPE
DURING THE DAY AND DOWNSLOPE AT NIGHT WITH WIND SPEEDS AROUND 10 MPH
OR LESS. TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING A WEAK ZEPHYR WILL RESULT IN
STRONGER WEST WINDS, BUT WIND GUSTS 20 MPH OR LESS. ELW

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...
A BROAD TROUGHING PATTERN WILL BE PRESENT NEXT WEEK WHICH WILL KEEP
US IN A DRY PATTERN WITH SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. THIS WILL ALSO PROVIDE
COOLER CONDITIONS NEARER TO SEASONAL AVERAGES. ON WEDNESDAY, A
NORTHERLY SURFACE GRADIENT DEVELOPS PROVIDING NORTHERLY SURFACE
FLOW WHICH WILL PRODUCE ABOUT 5 DEGREES OF COOLING OVER TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. LIGHT NORTH TO NORTHEAST SURFACE GRADIENT WILL REMAIN
IN PLACE THROUGH THE WEEK WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES GENERALLY IN THE
MID TO UPPER 80S ACROSS WESTERN NEVADA AND MID TO UPPER 70S ACROSS
SIERRA VALLEYS. LITTLE TO NO CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION EXPECTED IN
THIS PATTERN WITH GENERALLY CLEAR CONDITIONS THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
FUENTES

.AVIATION...

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
INTO THE AREA. LIGHT AFTERNOON BREEZES AND CLEAR CONDITIONS
EXPECTED. FUENTES


.REV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NV...NONE.
CA...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RENO (ALL LOWER CASE)










000
FXUS65 KVEF 311540
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
840 AM PDT SUN AUG 31 2014

.SYNOPSIS...

WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF LABOR DAY
WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL COOL SLIGHTLY TODAY BUT WILL REMAIN ABOVE
NORMAL. THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST INTO MID WEEK.
&&

.UPDATE...CLEAR SKIES AND MAINLY LIGHT WINDS AT THIS TIME. NO
CONCERNS THIS MORNING AND NO UPDATES ANTICIPATED. -HARRISON-
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
248 AM PDT SUN AUG 31 2014

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

A DRY NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL BE IN PLACE TODAY IN THE WAKE OF
YESTERDAYS TROUGH PASSAGE.  THIS WILL BRING SLIGHTLY COOLER BUT
STILL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES TO THE AREA. BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE PARTICULARLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS ACROSS
THE WESTERN MOJAVE DESERT IN SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY.
ELSEWHERE...WIND WILL BE LIGHT. THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
PERSIST THROUGH TUESDAY.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

TROUGH LOCATED OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY WILL KEEP
DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER THE AREA THROUGH FRIDAY. SOME LOCATIONS WILL
SEE AFTERNOON BREEZES EACH DAY. MODELS HAVE BACKED OFF IN RETURNING
MOISTURE TO NORTHWEST ARIZONA ON FRIDAY. THE ECMWF AND TO A LESSER
EXTENT THE GFS SHOW A TROPICAL SYSTEM DEVELOPING AND MOVING NEAR THE
TIP OF BAJA FRIDAY. THIS WILL NEED TO BE WATCHED CLOSELY AS STORMS
THAT HAVE MOVED ACROSS THE OPENING TO THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA CAN
TRIGGER INCREASED SOUTHERLY FLOW AND A QUICK RETURN OF MOISTURE TO
THE AREA. LEFT THE SLIGHT CHANCE OF PRECIP GOING IN MOHAVE COUNTY ON
SATURDAY. DUE TO THE MODEL INCONSISTENCIES THERE REMAINS LOW
CONFIDENCE IN THE RETURN OF ANY MOISTURE NEXT WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES
THROUGH THE PERIOD WILL BE NEAR NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...

HIGH CLOUDS WILL MOVE OUT LEAVING SKC WITH WIND MAINLY BELOW 10 KTS
TODAY. SOUTHERLY WIND WILL BECOME NORTHEAST DURING THE LATE MORNING
HOURS BEFORE BECOMING SOUTHEAST AND SOUTH LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...

HIGH CLOUDS WILL MOVE OUT EARLY LEAVING SKC AND LIGHT
SOUTHERLY WIND FOR MUCH OF THE AREA. THE WESTERN MOJAVE DESERT WILL
REMAIN BREEZY WITH WEST TO SOUTHWEST WIND OF 10-15 KTS THROUGH THE
DAY INCREASING TO 15-20 KTS THIS AFTERNOON.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TUESDAY.

&&

$$

BERC/STUMPF

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER











000
FXUS65 KVEF 311540
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
840 AM PDT SUN AUG 31 2014

.SYNOPSIS...

WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF LABOR DAY
WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL COOL SLIGHTLY TODAY BUT WILL REMAIN ABOVE
NORMAL. THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST INTO MID WEEK.
&&

.UPDATE...CLEAR SKIES AND MAINLY LIGHT WINDS AT THIS TIME. NO
CONCERNS THIS MORNING AND NO UPDATES ANTICIPATED. -HARRISON-
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
248 AM PDT SUN AUG 31 2014

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

A DRY NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL BE IN PLACE TODAY IN THE WAKE OF
YESTERDAYS TROUGH PASSAGE.  THIS WILL BRING SLIGHTLY COOLER BUT
STILL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES TO THE AREA. BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE PARTICULARLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS ACROSS
THE WESTERN MOJAVE DESERT IN SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY.
ELSEWHERE...WIND WILL BE LIGHT. THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
PERSIST THROUGH TUESDAY.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

TROUGH LOCATED OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY WILL KEEP
DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER THE AREA THROUGH FRIDAY. SOME LOCATIONS WILL
SEE AFTERNOON BREEZES EACH DAY. MODELS HAVE BACKED OFF IN RETURNING
MOISTURE TO NORTHWEST ARIZONA ON FRIDAY. THE ECMWF AND TO A LESSER
EXTENT THE GFS SHOW A TROPICAL SYSTEM DEVELOPING AND MOVING NEAR THE
TIP OF BAJA FRIDAY. THIS WILL NEED TO BE WATCHED CLOSELY AS STORMS
THAT HAVE MOVED ACROSS THE OPENING TO THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA CAN
TRIGGER INCREASED SOUTHERLY FLOW AND A QUICK RETURN OF MOISTURE TO
THE AREA. LEFT THE SLIGHT CHANCE OF PRECIP GOING IN MOHAVE COUNTY ON
SATURDAY. DUE TO THE MODEL INCONSISTENCIES THERE REMAINS LOW
CONFIDENCE IN THE RETURN OF ANY MOISTURE NEXT WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES
THROUGH THE PERIOD WILL BE NEAR NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...

HIGH CLOUDS WILL MOVE OUT LEAVING SKC WITH WIND MAINLY BELOW 10 KTS
TODAY. SOUTHERLY WIND WILL BECOME NORTHEAST DURING THE LATE MORNING
HOURS BEFORE BECOMING SOUTHEAST AND SOUTH LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...

HIGH CLOUDS WILL MOVE OUT EARLY LEAVING SKC AND LIGHT
SOUTHERLY WIND FOR MUCH OF THE AREA. THE WESTERN MOJAVE DESERT WILL
REMAIN BREEZY WITH WEST TO SOUTHWEST WIND OF 10-15 KTS THROUGH THE
DAY INCREASING TO 15-20 KTS THIS AFTERNOON.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TUESDAY.

&&

$$

BERC/STUMPF

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER












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