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000
FXUS65 KSLC 272126
AFDSLC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
326 PM MDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD WILL MOVE OFF TO THE EAST
SATURDAY AHEAD OF A WEAK STORM SYSTEM. THIS SYSTEM WILL SEND A
COLD FRONT INTO NORTHERN UTAH SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND SOUTH THROUGH
THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT.


&&

.DISCUSSION...STRONG MID LEVEL RIDGING CENTERED ACROSS THE GREAT
BASIN THIS AFTERNOON WILL SHIFT EAST TONIGHT...DOWNSTREAM FROM A
WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH CURRENTLY APPROACHING THE PACIFIC COAST.
THIS WAVE WILL MOVE ONSHORE TONIGHT BEFORE TRAVERSING THE
NORTHERN ROCKIES SATURDAY. THE BRUNT OF THIS WAVE WILL PASS WELL
NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA...WITH THE TRAILING SURFACE FRONT
FORECAST TO CROSS NORTHERN UT SATURDAY AFTERNOON BEFORE STALLING
ACROSS SOUTHERN UT SATURDAY NIGHT. PRE-FRONTAL MIXING SHOULD BE
SUFFICIENT TO ONCE AGAIN PUSH TEMPERATURES 15 OR MORE DEGREES
ABOVE CLIMO SATURDAY...WHICH WOULD BE ENCROACHING ON RECORD
TERRITORY IN A FEW LOCATIONS (THE RECORD HIGH FOR KSLC SATURDAY IS
77). WITH LIMITED MOISTURE AND WEAK DYNAMIC SUPPORT ONLY ISOLATED
CONVECTION IS EXPECTED AS THIS FEATURE CROSSES THE NORTH SATURDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING.

A PORTION OF THIS WAVE IS FORECAST TO SPLIT AS IT MOVES ASHORE
TONIGHT...THEN GRADUALLY CROSS THE SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN DURING THE
DAY SUNDAY. THIS FEATURE WILL INTERACT WITH THE STALLED SURFACE
BOUNDARY ACROSS SOUTHERN UT SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY EVENING
BRINGING A SOMEWHAT BETTER THREAT FOR CONVECTION...AND HAVE
RAISED POPS ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN ACCORDINGLY. MEANWHILE
SOMEWHAT COOLER AIR BEHIND THIS BOUNDARY WILL BRING A MODEST
COOLDOWN TO MOST AREAS FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEKEND.

MID LEVEL RIDGING IS FORECAST TO REBOUND ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY
WITH PERHAPS A SMALL THREAT FOR CONVECTION ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
MOUNTAINS OWING TO LINGERING MOISTURE.



&&

.LONG TERM (AFTER 00Z TUESDAY)...RIDGING WILL BE ONGOING AT THE
START OF THE LONG TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST AS A PACIFIC TROUGH
APPROACHES THE COAST MONDAY EVENING. THE 12Z GLOBAL MODELS HAVE
BECOME FAIRLY CONSISTENT WITH THE EVOLUTION OF THIS
SYSTEM...BRINGING THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT ACROSS THE CWA LATE
TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. THIS IS A BIT SLOWER THAN
PREVIOUS RUNS...SO WARMED THE TEMPERATURES FOR TUESDAY FOR MOST
LOCATIONS A BIT.

A MAJORITY OF THE MODEL GUIDANCE DEPICTS THIS FRONT AS MAINLY
DRY...BUT FELT THERE WAS ENOUGH DYNAMICS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FRONT
TO AT LEAST INCREASE THE RISK OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE HIGHER
TERRAIN INTO THE SLIGHT CATEGORY. BOTH THE EC AND THE GFS DEPICT
700MB TEMPERATURES FALLING TO NEAR -10 TO -12C POST FRONTAL
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING.

YET ANOTHER WAVE EMBEDDED IN THE NORTHERN JET WILL CROSS THE STATE
THURSDAY. THE MODELS ARE CONSIDERABLY DIFFERENT DURING THIS TIME
PERIOD...SO KEPT POPS NEAR CLIMO FOR DAYS 6 AND 7. CONFIDENCE DURING
THIS PORTION OF THE FORECAST IS FAIRLY LOW.

&&

.AVIATION...NORTHWEST WINDS WILL SWITCH TO THE SOUTHWEST AT THE
KSLC TERMINAL BETWEEN 03Z AND 05Z THIS EVENING.


&&

.SLC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
UT...NONE.
WY...NONE.
&&

$$

SEAMAN/KRUSE/LOEFFELBEIN

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/S NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SALTLAKECITY (ALL LOWER CASE)

FOR FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS ABOUT THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SALTLAKECITY/GENERAL/AFD_FAQS.PHP (ALL LOWER CASE)



000
FXUS65 KSLC 272126
AFDSLC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
326 PM MDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD WILL MOVE OFF TO THE EAST
SATURDAY AHEAD OF A WEAK STORM SYSTEM. THIS SYSTEM WILL SEND A
COLD FRONT INTO NORTHERN UTAH SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND SOUTH THROUGH
THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT.


&&

.DISCUSSION...STRONG MID LEVEL RIDGING CENTERED ACROSS THE GREAT
BASIN THIS AFTERNOON WILL SHIFT EAST TONIGHT...DOWNSTREAM FROM A
WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH CURRENTLY APPROACHING THE PACIFIC COAST.
THIS WAVE WILL MOVE ONSHORE TONIGHT BEFORE TRAVERSING THE
NORTHERN ROCKIES SATURDAY. THE BRUNT OF THIS WAVE WILL PASS WELL
NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA...WITH THE TRAILING SURFACE FRONT
FORECAST TO CROSS NORTHERN UT SATURDAY AFTERNOON BEFORE STALLING
ACROSS SOUTHERN UT SATURDAY NIGHT. PRE-FRONTAL MIXING SHOULD BE
SUFFICIENT TO ONCE AGAIN PUSH TEMPERATURES 15 OR MORE DEGREES
ABOVE CLIMO SATURDAY...WHICH WOULD BE ENCROACHING ON RECORD
TERRITORY IN A FEW LOCATIONS (THE RECORD HIGH FOR KSLC SATURDAY IS
77). WITH LIMITED MOISTURE AND WEAK DYNAMIC SUPPORT ONLY ISOLATED
CONVECTION IS EXPECTED AS THIS FEATURE CROSSES THE NORTH SATURDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING.

A PORTION OF THIS WAVE IS FORECAST TO SPLIT AS IT MOVES ASHORE
TONIGHT...THEN GRADUALLY CROSS THE SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN DURING THE
DAY SUNDAY. THIS FEATURE WILL INTERACT WITH THE STALLED SURFACE
BOUNDARY ACROSS SOUTHERN UT SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY EVENING
BRINGING A SOMEWHAT BETTER THREAT FOR CONVECTION...AND HAVE
RAISED POPS ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN ACCORDINGLY. MEANWHILE
SOMEWHAT COOLER AIR BEHIND THIS BOUNDARY WILL BRING A MODEST
COOLDOWN TO MOST AREAS FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEKEND.

MID LEVEL RIDGING IS FORECAST TO REBOUND ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY
WITH PERHAPS A SMALL THREAT FOR CONVECTION ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
MOUNTAINS OWING TO LINGERING MOISTURE.



&&

.LONG TERM (AFTER 00Z TUESDAY)...RIDGING WILL BE ONGOING AT THE
START OF THE LONG TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST AS A PACIFIC TROUGH
APPROACHES THE COAST MONDAY EVENING. THE 12Z GLOBAL MODELS HAVE
BECOME FAIRLY CONSISTENT WITH THE EVOLUTION OF THIS
SYSTEM...BRINGING THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT ACROSS THE CWA LATE
TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. THIS IS A BIT SLOWER THAN
PREVIOUS RUNS...SO WARMED THE TEMPERATURES FOR TUESDAY FOR MOST
LOCATIONS A BIT.

A MAJORITY OF THE MODEL GUIDANCE DEPICTS THIS FRONT AS MAINLY
DRY...BUT FELT THERE WAS ENOUGH DYNAMICS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FRONT
TO AT LEAST INCREASE THE RISK OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE HIGHER
TERRAIN INTO THE SLIGHT CATEGORY. BOTH THE EC AND THE GFS DEPICT
700MB TEMPERATURES FALLING TO NEAR -10 TO -12C POST FRONTAL
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING.

YET ANOTHER WAVE EMBEDDED IN THE NORTHERN JET WILL CROSS THE STATE
THURSDAY. THE MODELS ARE CONSIDERABLY DIFFERENT DURING THIS TIME
PERIOD...SO KEPT POPS NEAR CLIMO FOR DAYS 6 AND 7. CONFIDENCE DURING
THIS PORTION OF THE FORECAST IS FAIRLY LOW.

&&

.AVIATION...NORTHWEST WINDS WILL SWITCH TO THE SOUTHWEST AT THE
KSLC TERMINAL BETWEEN 03Z AND 05Z THIS EVENING.


&&

.SLC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
UT...NONE.
WY...NONE.
&&

$$

SEAMAN/KRUSE/LOEFFELBEIN

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/S NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SALTLAKECITY (ALL LOWER CASE)

FOR FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS ABOUT THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SALTLAKECITY/GENERAL/AFD_FAQS.PHP (ALL LOWER CASE)




000
FXUS65 KSLC 272126
AFDSLC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
326 PM MDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD WILL MOVE OFF TO THE EAST
SATURDAY AHEAD OF A WEAK STORM SYSTEM. THIS SYSTEM WILL SEND A
COLD FRONT INTO NORTHERN UTAH SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND SOUTH THROUGH
THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT.


&&

.DISCUSSION...STRONG MID LEVEL RIDGING CENTERED ACROSS THE GREAT
BASIN THIS AFTERNOON WILL SHIFT EAST TONIGHT...DOWNSTREAM FROM A
WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH CURRENTLY APPROACHING THE PACIFIC COAST.
THIS WAVE WILL MOVE ONSHORE TONIGHT BEFORE TRAVERSING THE
NORTHERN ROCKIES SATURDAY. THE BRUNT OF THIS WAVE WILL PASS WELL
NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA...WITH THE TRAILING SURFACE FRONT
FORECAST TO CROSS NORTHERN UT SATURDAY AFTERNOON BEFORE STALLING
ACROSS SOUTHERN UT SATURDAY NIGHT. PRE-FRONTAL MIXING SHOULD BE
SUFFICIENT TO ONCE AGAIN PUSH TEMPERATURES 15 OR MORE DEGREES
ABOVE CLIMO SATURDAY...WHICH WOULD BE ENCROACHING ON RECORD
TERRITORY IN A FEW LOCATIONS (THE RECORD HIGH FOR KSLC SATURDAY IS
77). WITH LIMITED MOISTURE AND WEAK DYNAMIC SUPPORT ONLY ISOLATED
CONVECTION IS EXPECTED AS THIS FEATURE CROSSES THE NORTH SATURDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING.

A PORTION OF THIS WAVE IS FORECAST TO SPLIT AS IT MOVES ASHORE
TONIGHT...THEN GRADUALLY CROSS THE SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN DURING THE
DAY SUNDAY. THIS FEATURE WILL INTERACT WITH THE STALLED SURFACE
BOUNDARY ACROSS SOUTHERN UT SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY EVENING
BRINGING A SOMEWHAT BETTER THREAT FOR CONVECTION...AND HAVE
RAISED POPS ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN ACCORDINGLY. MEANWHILE
SOMEWHAT COOLER AIR BEHIND THIS BOUNDARY WILL BRING A MODEST
COOLDOWN TO MOST AREAS FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEKEND.

MID LEVEL RIDGING IS FORECAST TO REBOUND ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY
WITH PERHAPS A SMALL THREAT FOR CONVECTION ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
MOUNTAINS OWING TO LINGERING MOISTURE.



&&

.LONG TERM (AFTER 00Z TUESDAY)...RIDGING WILL BE ONGOING AT THE
START OF THE LONG TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST AS A PACIFIC TROUGH
APPROACHES THE COAST MONDAY EVENING. THE 12Z GLOBAL MODELS HAVE
BECOME FAIRLY CONSISTENT WITH THE EVOLUTION OF THIS
SYSTEM...BRINGING THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT ACROSS THE CWA LATE
TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. THIS IS A BIT SLOWER THAN
PREVIOUS RUNS...SO WARMED THE TEMPERATURES FOR TUESDAY FOR MOST
LOCATIONS A BIT.

A MAJORITY OF THE MODEL GUIDANCE DEPICTS THIS FRONT AS MAINLY
DRY...BUT FELT THERE WAS ENOUGH DYNAMICS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FRONT
TO AT LEAST INCREASE THE RISK OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE HIGHER
TERRAIN INTO THE SLIGHT CATEGORY. BOTH THE EC AND THE GFS DEPICT
700MB TEMPERATURES FALLING TO NEAR -10 TO -12C POST FRONTAL
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING.

YET ANOTHER WAVE EMBEDDED IN THE NORTHERN JET WILL CROSS THE STATE
THURSDAY. THE MODELS ARE CONSIDERABLY DIFFERENT DURING THIS TIME
PERIOD...SO KEPT POPS NEAR CLIMO FOR DAYS 6 AND 7. CONFIDENCE DURING
THIS PORTION OF THE FORECAST IS FAIRLY LOW.

&&

.AVIATION...NORTHWEST WINDS WILL SWITCH TO THE SOUTHWEST AT THE
KSLC TERMINAL BETWEEN 03Z AND 05Z THIS EVENING.


&&

.SLC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
UT...NONE.
WY...NONE.
&&

$$

SEAMAN/KRUSE/LOEFFELBEIN

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/S NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SALTLAKECITY (ALL LOWER CASE)

FOR FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS ABOUT THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SALTLAKECITY/GENERAL/AFD_FAQS.PHP (ALL LOWER CASE)




000
FXUS65 KSLC 272126
AFDSLC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
326 PM MDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD WILL MOVE OFF TO THE EAST
SATURDAY AHEAD OF A WEAK STORM SYSTEM. THIS SYSTEM WILL SEND A
COLD FRONT INTO NORTHERN UTAH SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND SOUTH THROUGH
THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT.


&&

.DISCUSSION...STRONG MID LEVEL RIDGING CENTERED ACROSS THE GREAT
BASIN THIS AFTERNOON WILL SHIFT EAST TONIGHT...DOWNSTREAM FROM A
WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH CURRENTLY APPROACHING THE PACIFIC COAST.
THIS WAVE WILL MOVE ONSHORE TONIGHT BEFORE TRAVERSING THE
NORTHERN ROCKIES SATURDAY. THE BRUNT OF THIS WAVE WILL PASS WELL
NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA...WITH THE TRAILING SURFACE FRONT
FORECAST TO CROSS NORTHERN UT SATURDAY AFTERNOON BEFORE STALLING
ACROSS SOUTHERN UT SATURDAY NIGHT. PRE-FRONTAL MIXING SHOULD BE
SUFFICIENT TO ONCE AGAIN PUSH TEMPERATURES 15 OR MORE DEGREES
ABOVE CLIMO SATURDAY...WHICH WOULD BE ENCROACHING ON RECORD
TERRITORY IN A FEW LOCATIONS (THE RECORD HIGH FOR KSLC SATURDAY IS
77). WITH LIMITED MOISTURE AND WEAK DYNAMIC SUPPORT ONLY ISOLATED
CONVECTION IS EXPECTED AS THIS FEATURE CROSSES THE NORTH SATURDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING.

A PORTION OF THIS WAVE IS FORECAST TO SPLIT AS IT MOVES ASHORE
TONIGHT...THEN GRADUALLY CROSS THE SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN DURING THE
DAY SUNDAY. THIS FEATURE WILL INTERACT WITH THE STALLED SURFACE
BOUNDARY ACROSS SOUTHERN UT SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY EVENING
BRINGING A SOMEWHAT BETTER THREAT FOR CONVECTION...AND HAVE
RAISED POPS ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN ACCORDINGLY. MEANWHILE
SOMEWHAT COOLER AIR BEHIND THIS BOUNDARY WILL BRING A MODEST
COOLDOWN TO MOST AREAS FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEKEND.

MID LEVEL RIDGING IS FORECAST TO REBOUND ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY
WITH PERHAPS A SMALL THREAT FOR CONVECTION ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
MOUNTAINS OWING TO LINGERING MOISTURE.



&&

.LONG TERM (AFTER 00Z TUESDAY)...RIDGING WILL BE ONGOING AT THE
START OF THE LONG TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST AS A PACIFIC TROUGH
APPROACHES THE COAST MONDAY EVENING. THE 12Z GLOBAL MODELS HAVE
BECOME FAIRLY CONSISTENT WITH THE EVOLUTION OF THIS
SYSTEM...BRINGING THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT ACROSS THE CWA LATE
TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. THIS IS A BIT SLOWER THAN
PREVIOUS RUNS...SO WARMED THE TEMPERATURES FOR TUESDAY FOR MOST
LOCATIONS A BIT.

A MAJORITY OF THE MODEL GUIDANCE DEPICTS THIS FRONT AS MAINLY
DRY...BUT FELT THERE WAS ENOUGH DYNAMICS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FRONT
TO AT LEAST INCREASE THE RISK OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE HIGHER
TERRAIN INTO THE SLIGHT CATEGORY. BOTH THE EC AND THE GFS DEPICT
700MB TEMPERATURES FALLING TO NEAR -10 TO -12C POST FRONTAL
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING.

YET ANOTHER WAVE EMBEDDED IN THE NORTHERN JET WILL CROSS THE STATE
THURSDAY. THE MODELS ARE CONSIDERABLY DIFFERENT DURING THIS TIME
PERIOD...SO KEPT POPS NEAR CLIMO FOR DAYS 6 AND 7. CONFIDENCE DURING
THIS PORTION OF THE FORECAST IS FAIRLY LOW.

&&

.AVIATION...NORTHWEST WINDS WILL SWITCH TO THE SOUTHWEST AT THE
KSLC TERMINAL BETWEEN 03Z AND 05Z THIS EVENING.


&&

.SLC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
UT...NONE.
WY...NONE.
&&

$$

SEAMAN/KRUSE/LOEFFELBEIN

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/S NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SALTLAKECITY (ALL LOWER CASE)

FOR FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS ABOUT THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SALTLAKECITY/GENERAL/AFD_FAQS.PHP (ALL LOWER CASE)



000
FXUS65 KSLC 271455
AFDSLC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
855 AM MDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT OVERHEAD THIS AFTERNOON THEN
OFF TO THE EAST SATURDAY AHEAD OF A WEAK STORM SYSTEM. THIS SYSTEM
WILL SEND A COLD FRONT INTO NORTHERN UTAH SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND
SOUTH THROUGH THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT.

&&

.DISCUSSION...STRONG MID LEVEL RIDGING CENTERED ACROSS THE GREAT
BASIN WILL BUILD EASTWARD TODAY...RESULTING IN SUNNY SKIES AND A
WARMING TREND REGIONWIDE. TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON WILL RUN 10
TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE CLIMO ACROSS MOST VALLEY LOCATIONS.

A WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH NEAR 135W IS FORECAST TO TRANSLATE
EASTWARD TODAY...REACHING THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST TONIGHT BEFORE
TRAVERSING THE NORTHERN ROCKIES SATURDAY. THE BRUNT OF THIS WAVE
WILL PASS WELL NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA...WITH THE TRAILING
SURFACE FRONT FORECAST TO CROSS NORTHERN UT SATURDAY AFTERNOON
BEFORE STALLING ACROSS SOUTHERN UT SATURDAY NIGHT. PRE-FRONTAL
MIXING SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT TO ONCE AGAIN PUSH TEMPERATURES 15 OR
MORE DEGREES ABOVE CLIMO SATURDAY...WHICH WOULD BE ENCROACHING ON
RECORD TERRITORY IN A FEW LOCATIONS (THE RECORD HIGH FOR KSLC
SATURDAY IS 77).

WITH LIMITED MOISTURE AND WEAK DYNAMIC SUPPORT ONLY ISOLATED
CONVECTION IS EXPECTED AS THIS FEATURE CROSSES THE NORTH SATURDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...WITH ISOLATED CONVECTION
REDEVELOPING ALONG THE STALLED BOUNDARY SUNDAY ACROSS SOUTHERN UT.

GOING FORECAST LOOKS IN GOOD SHAPE AND NO UPDATES PLANNED.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT KSLC THROUGH THE TAF
PERIOD WITH A WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST EXPECTED AROUND 19Z.

&&

.SLC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
UT...NONE.
WY...NONE.
&&

$$

SEAMAN

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/S NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SALTLAKECITY (ALL LOWER CASE)

FOR FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS ABOUT THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SALTLAKECITY/GENERAL/AFD_FAQS.PHP (ALL LOWER CASE)



000
FXUS65 KSLC 271455
AFDSLC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
855 AM MDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT OVERHEAD THIS AFTERNOON THEN
OFF TO THE EAST SATURDAY AHEAD OF A WEAK STORM SYSTEM. THIS SYSTEM
WILL SEND A COLD FRONT INTO NORTHERN UTAH SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND
SOUTH THROUGH THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT.

&&

.DISCUSSION...STRONG MID LEVEL RIDGING CENTERED ACROSS THE GREAT
BASIN WILL BUILD EASTWARD TODAY...RESULTING IN SUNNY SKIES AND A
WARMING TREND REGIONWIDE. TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON WILL RUN 10
TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE CLIMO ACROSS MOST VALLEY LOCATIONS.

A WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH NEAR 135W IS FORECAST TO TRANSLATE
EASTWARD TODAY...REACHING THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST TONIGHT BEFORE
TRAVERSING THE NORTHERN ROCKIES SATURDAY. THE BRUNT OF THIS WAVE
WILL PASS WELL NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA...WITH THE TRAILING
SURFACE FRONT FORECAST TO CROSS NORTHERN UT SATURDAY AFTERNOON
BEFORE STALLING ACROSS SOUTHERN UT SATURDAY NIGHT. PRE-FRONTAL
MIXING SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT TO ONCE AGAIN PUSH TEMPERATURES 15 OR
MORE DEGREES ABOVE CLIMO SATURDAY...WHICH WOULD BE ENCROACHING ON
RECORD TERRITORY IN A FEW LOCATIONS (THE RECORD HIGH FOR KSLC
SATURDAY IS 77).

WITH LIMITED MOISTURE AND WEAK DYNAMIC SUPPORT ONLY ISOLATED
CONVECTION IS EXPECTED AS THIS FEATURE CROSSES THE NORTH SATURDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...WITH ISOLATED CONVECTION
REDEVELOPING ALONG THE STALLED BOUNDARY SUNDAY ACROSS SOUTHERN UT.

GOING FORECAST LOOKS IN GOOD SHAPE AND NO UPDATES PLANNED.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT KSLC THROUGH THE TAF
PERIOD WITH A WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST EXPECTED AROUND 19Z.

&&

.SLC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
UT...NONE.
WY...NONE.
&&

$$

SEAMAN

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/S NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SALTLAKECITY (ALL LOWER CASE)

FOR FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS ABOUT THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SALTLAKECITY/GENERAL/AFD_FAQS.PHP (ALL LOWER CASE)




000
FXUS65 KSLC 270953
AFDSLC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
353 AM MDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT OVERHEAD THIS AFTERNOON THEN
OFF TO THE EAST SATURDAY AHEAD OF A WEAK STORM SYSTEM. THIS SYSTEM
WILL SEND A COLD FRONT INTO NORTHERN UTAH SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND
SOUTH THROUGH THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM (THRU 00Z TUE)...WARM DRY RIDGE CONDITIONS WITH PRETTY
MUCH CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TODAY
THROUGH TONIGHT. CONTINUED AIRMASS WARMING SHOULD TRANSLATE INTO
HIGHS ABOUT 10 DEG ABOVE YESTERDAYS MILD READINGS WITH TEMPS
REACHING THE 70S IN MOST VALLEYS.

THE RIDGE SHIFTS EAST SAT AS A WEAK SHORT WAVE TROF CROSSES THE
NRN ROCKIES AND SENDS A LOW LEVEL COLD FRONT INTO THE NRN CWA
DURING THE AFTN. THE FRONT THEN HEADS SOUTH OVERNIGHT STALLING
ACROSS SRN UT ON SUN. MODELS INDICATE THIS FRONT WILL BE THE FOCUS
FOR ISOLATED HIGH BASED CONVECTION BUT DONT SEE MUCH THREAT OF
MEASURABLE RAIN SO HAVE LIMITED POPS TO THE NRN AND CENTRAL MTNS
SAT AFTN SHIFTING INTO THE SRN MTNS OVERNIGHT THRU SUN.

THE FRONT COMES THRU NRN UT LATE ENOUGH IN THE DAY TO ALLOW MAX
TEMPS TO WARM A BIT FROM TODAY WITH MID 70S POSSIBLE FOR
SLC...ONLY A COUPLE DEG SHY OF THE RECORD OF 77 FOR THE DATE.
TEMPS SHOULD REACH MID 70S TO MID 80S CENTRAL AND SRN UT.

EXPECT SOME COOLING ACROSS THE NORTH SUN BUT AS PREV SHIFT
NOTED...ONLY DOWN TO ABOUT 10 DEG ABV NORMAL INSTEAD OF 15-20. THE
SOUTH COOLS A LITTLE.

EC SENDS ANOTHER WEAK GRAZING TROF THRU NRN UT SUN NIGHT/MON WITH
A LITTLE MORE COOLING WHILE THE GFS MAINTAINS A DRY W TO NW FLOW
WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN TEMPS. THE THREAT OF ISOLATED CONVECTION
PERSISTS OVER THE SOUTH AND INCLUDED THIS NORTHWARD INTO THE UINTA
MTNS MON AS A NOD TO THE EC ALTHO CONFIDENCE FOR THIS IS NOT VERY
HIGH.

&&

.LONG TERM (AFTER 00Z TUESDAY)...IN LARGE GLOBAL MODELS HAVE BECOME
MORE CONSISTENT MODEL TO MODEL DURING THE LONG TERM PERIOD IN THE
LATEST 00Z RUNS. GIVEN PREVIOUS INCONSISTENCIES AND SPREAD BOTH
MODEL TO MODEL AND RUN TO RUN OVER THE LAST SEVERAL...CONFIDENCE IN
MOST RECENT CONSISTENCY IS ONLY MARGINALLY BETTER THAN IT HAS BEEN.

DETAILS...NORTHERN BRANCH STREAM WILL REMAIN FAIRLY ACTIVE WITH A
TWO ADDITIONAL SHORT WAVE TROUGHS TRANSLATING EAST THROUGH THE
NORTHERN ROCKIES IN THE TUE-FRI TIMEFRAME. THE FIRST LOOKS TO ONLY
CLIP FAR NORTHERN PORTIONS LATE TUESDAY...THIS ALLOWING A SHALLOW
AND MOSTLY DRY COLD FRONT TO TRACK SOUTH THROUGH MUCH OF THE STATE
TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THE NIGHTTIME HOURS. FRONT WILL BE WORKING
ON A VERY DRY LOW LEVEL AIRMASS...WITH BULK OF COOLING OCCURRING AT
AND BELOW H7 AS COLD CORE OF THE SYSTEM WILL REMAIN WELL NORTH OF
THE AREA. THOUGH LARGELY DRY...THIS FRONT SHOULD LOWER TEMPS FAIRLY
CLOSE TO CLIMO ON WED HOWEVER. LOOKING AT ONLY SLIGHT CHANCE POPS IN
THE MTNS OF NORTHERN/CENTRAL UTAH WITH FRONT ATTM...AND HAVE TRENDED
TEMPS COOLER FOR WEDNESDAY IN WAKE OF PASSAGE.

GLOBAL GUIDANCE PORTRAYS THE NEXT SHORT WAVE TO BE SOMEWHAT MORE
AMPLIFIED ACROSS THE EASTERN GREAT BASIN THU INTO FRI...WITH AIRMASS
SLIGHTLY COOLER FROM A MORE NORTHERLY TAP ORIGINATING FROM CENTRAL
BRITCOL. AMPLIFICATION AND EVOLUTION OF THIS TROUGH IS QUITE SIMILAR
IN GLOBALS THOUGH SPREAD IN TIMING OF THE LEADING EDGE COLD FRONT
REMAINS 6 HRS OFF OR SO. BY 06Z FRI BOTH GFS/ECMWF ARE INDICATING H7
TEMPS FALLING TO -10 C AT KSLC...SO AGAIN MOST CONFIDENT IN ANOTHER
COOLDOWN WITH TEMPS DROPPING OT 5 TO POSSIBLY 10 DEGREES BELOW CLIMO
IN THE NORTH LATE NEXT WEEK. AMPLIFICATION OVERHEAD AND BREADTH OF
COLD ADVECTION DEPICTED MORE APT TO PRODUCE AT LEAST A BIT OF PRECIP
ACROSS THE AREA IF THESE SOLUTIONS HOLD TRUE. FOR NOW INCREASED POPS
TO CLIMO OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE...BUT MAY NEED TO INCREASE THIS TREND IF
MODELS CONTINUE TO STAND PAT W/THIS.

BOTTOM LINE...LARGELY A DRY FORECAST THROUGH MIDWEEK WITH POTENTIAL
OF A MORE AMPLIFIED TROUGH IMPACTING THE EASTERN GREAT BASIN LATE
WEEK OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...OPERATIONAL WEATHER CONCERNS WILL REMAIN MINIMAL AT THE
KSLC TERMINAL THROUGH THE VALID TAF PERIOD. SOUTHEAST SURFACE WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO SWITCH TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND 19Z PER NORM...WITH
CURRENT VFR CONDITIONS BEING MAINTAINED UNDER CLEAR SKY CONDITIONS.

&&

.SLC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
UT...NONE.
WY...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...WILENSKY
LONG TERM/AVIATION...MERRILL

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/S NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SALTLAKECITY (ALL LOWER CASE)

FOR FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS ABOUT THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SALTLAKECITY/GENERAL/AFD_FAQS.PHP (ALL LOWER CASE)



000
FXUS65 KSLC 270953
AFDSLC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
353 AM MDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT OVERHEAD THIS AFTERNOON THEN
OFF TO THE EAST SATURDAY AHEAD OF A WEAK STORM SYSTEM. THIS SYSTEM
WILL SEND A COLD FRONT INTO NORTHERN UTAH SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND
SOUTH THROUGH THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM (THRU 00Z TUE)...WARM DRY RIDGE CONDITIONS WITH PRETTY
MUCH CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TODAY
THROUGH TONIGHT. CONTINUED AIRMASS WARMING SHOULD TRANSLATE INTO
HIGHS ABOUT 10 DEG ABOVE YESTERDAYS MILD READINGS WITH TEMPS
REACHING THE 70S IN MOST VALLEYS.

THE RIDGE SHIFTS EAST SAT AS A WEAK SHORT WAVE TROF CROSSES THE
NRN ROCKIES AND SENDS A LOW LEVEL COLD FRONT INTO THE NRN CWA
DURING THE AFTN. THE FRONT THEN HEADS SOUTH OVERNIGHT STALLING
ACROSS SRN UT ON SUN. MODELS INDICATE THIS FRONT WILL BE THE FOCUS
FOR ISOLATED HIGH BASED CONVECTION BUT DONT SEE MUCH THREAT OF
MEASURABLE RAIN SO HAVE LIMITED POPS TO THE NRN AND CENTRAL MTNS
SAT AFTN SHIFTING INTO THE SRN MTNS OVERNIGHT THRU SUN.

THE FRONT COMES THRU NRN UT LATE ENOUGH IN THE DAY TO ALLOW MAX
TEMPS TO WARM A BIT FROM TODAY WITH MID 70S POSSIBLE FOR
SLC...ONLY A COUPLE DEG SHY OF THE RECORD OF 77 FOR THE DATE.
TEMPS SHOULD REACH MID 70S TO MID 80S CENTRAL AND SRN UT.

EXPECT SOME COOLING ACROSS THE NORTH SUN BUT AS PREV SHIFT
NOTED...ONLY DOWN TO ABOUT 10 DEG ABV NORMAL INSTEAD OF 15-20. THE
SOUTH COOLS A LITTLE.

EC SENDS ANOTHER WEAK GRAZING TROF THRU NRN UT SUN NIGHT/MON WITH
A LITTLE MORE COOLING WHILE THE GFS MAINTAINS A DRY W TO NW FLOW
WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN TEMPS. THE THREAT OF ISOLATED CONVECTION
PERSISTS OVER THE SOUTH AND INCLUDED THIS NORTHWARD INTO THE UINTA
MTNS MON AS A NOD TO THE EC ALTHO CONFIDENCE FOR THIS IS NOT VERY
HIGH.

&&

.LONG TERM (AFTER 00Z TUESDAY)...IN LARGE GLOBAL MODELS HAVE BECOME
MORE CONSISTENT MODEL TO MODEL DURING THE LONG TERM PERIOD IN THE
LATEST 00Z RUNS. GIVEN PREVIOUS INCONSISTENCIES AND SPREAD BOTH
MODEL TO MODEL AND RUN TO RUN OVER THE LAST SEVERAL...CONFIDENCE IN
MOST RECENT CONSISTENCY IS ONLY MARGINALLY BETTER THAN IT HAS BEEN.

DETAILS...NORTHERN BRANCH STREAM WILL REMAIN FAIRLY ACTIVE WITH A
TWO ADDITIONAL SHORT WAVE TROUGHS TRANSLATING EAST THROUGH THE
NORTHERN ROCKIES IN THE TUE-FRI TIMEFRAME. THE FIRST LOOKS TO ONLY
CLIP FAR NORTHERN PORTIONS LATE TUESDAY...THIS ALLOWING A SHALLOW
AND MOSTLY DRY COLD FRONT TO TRACK SOUTH THROUGH MUCH OF THE STATE
TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THE NIGHTTIME HOURS. FRONT WILL BE WORKING
ON A VERY DRY LOW LEVEL AIRMASS...WITH BULK OF COOLING OCCURRING AT
AND BELOW H7 AS COLD CORE OF THE SYSTEM WILL REMAIN WELL NORTH OF
THE AREA. THOUGH LARGELY DRY...THIS FRONT SHOULD LOWER TEMPS FAIRLY
CLOSE TO CLIMO ON WED HOWEVER. LOOKING AT ONLY SLIGHT CHANCE POPS IN
THE MTNS OF NORTHERN/CENTRAL UTAH WITH FRONT ATTM...AND HAVE TRENDED
TEMPS COOLER FOR WEDNESDAY IN WAKE OF PASSAGE.

GLOBAL GUIDANCE PORTRAYS THE NEXT SHORT WAVE TO BE SOMEWHAT MORE
AMPLIFIED ACROSS THE EASTERN GREAT BASIN THU INTO FRI...WITH AIRMASS
SLIGHTLY COOLER FROM A MORE NORTHERLY TAP ORIGINATING FROM CENTRAL
BRITCOL. AMPLIFICATION AND EVOLUTION OF THIS TROUGH IS QUITE SIMILAR
IN GLOBALS THOUGH SPREAD IN TIMING OF THE LEADING EDGE COLD FRONT
REMAINS 6 HRS OFF OR SO. BY 06Z FRI BOTH GFS/ECMWF ARE INDICATING H7
TEMPS FALLING TO -10 C AT KSLC...SO AGAIN MOST CONFIDENT IN ANOTHER
COOLDOWN WITH TEMPS DROPPING OT 5 TO POSSIBLY 10 DEGREES BELOW CLIMO
IN THE NORTH LATE NEXT WEEK. AMPLIFICATION OVERHEAD AND BREADTH OF
COLD ADVECTION DEPICTED MORE APT TO PRODUCE AT LEAST A BIT OF PRECIP
ACROSS THE AREA IF THESE SOLUTIONS HOLD TRUE. FOR NOW INCREASED POPS
TO CLIMO OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE...BUT MAY NEED TO INCREASE THIS TREND IF
MODELS CONTINUE TO STAND PAT W/THIS.

BOTTOM LINE...LARGELY A DRY FORECAST THROUGH MIDWEEK WITH POTENTIAL
OF A MORE AMPLIFIED TROUGH IMPACTING THE EASTERN GREAT BASIN LATE
WEEK OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...OPERATIONAL WEATHER CONCERNS WILL REMAIN MINIMAL AT THE
KSLC TERMINAL THROUGH THE VALID TAF PERIOD. SOUTHEAST SURFACE WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO SWITCH TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND 19Z PER NORM...WITH
CURRENT VFR CONDITIONS BEING MAINTAINED UNDER CLEAR SKY CONDITIONS.

&&

.SLC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
UT...NONE.
WY...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...WILENSKY
LONG TERM/AVIATION...MERRILL

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/S NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SALTLAKECITY (ALL LOWER CASE)

FOR FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS ABOUT THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SALTLAKECITY/GENERAL/AFD_FAQS.PHP (ALL LOWER CASE)



000
FXUS65 KSLC 270953
AFDSLC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
353 AM MDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT OVERHEAD THIS AFTERNOON THEN
OFF TO THE EAST SATURDAY AHEAD OF A WEAK STORM SYSTEM. THIS SYSTEM
WILL SEND A COLD FRONT INTO NORTHERN UTAH SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND
SOUTH THROUGH THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM (THRU 00Z TUE)...WARM DRY RIDGE CONDITIONS WITH PRETTY
MUCH CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TODAY
THROUGH TONIGHT. CONTINUED AIRMASS WARMING SHOULD TRANSLATE INTO
HIGHS ABOUT 10 DEG ABOVE YESTERDAYS MILD READINGS WITH TEMPS
REACHING THE 70S IN MOST VALLEYS.

THE RIDGE SHIFTS EAST SAT AS A WEAK SHORT WAVE TROF CROSSES THE
NRN ROCKIES AND SENDS A LOW LEVEL COLD FRONT INTO THE NRN CWA
DURING THE AFTN. THE FRONT THEN HEADS SOUTH OVERNIGHT STALLING
ACROSS SRN UT ON SUN. MODELS INDICATE THIS FRONT WILL BE THE FOCUS
FOR ISOLATED HIGH BASED CONVECTION BUT DONT SEE MUCH THREAT OF
MEASURABLE RAIN SO HAVE LIMITED POPS TO THE NRN AND CENTRAL MTNS
SAT AFTN SHIFTING INTO THE SRN MTNS OVERNIGHT THRU SUN.

THE FRONT COMES THRU NRN UT LATE ENOUGH IN THE DAY TO ALLOW MAX
TEMPS TO WARM A BIT FROM TODAY WITH MID 70S POSSIBLE FOR
SLC...ONLY A COUPLE DEG SHY OF THE RECORD OF 77 FOR THE DATE.
TEMPS SHOULD REACH MID 70S TO MID 80S CENTRAL AND SRN UT.

EXPECT SOME COOLING ACROSS THE NORTH SUN BUT AS PREV SHIFT
NOTED...ONLY DOWN TO ABOUT 10 DEG ABV NORMAL INSTEAD OF 15-20. THE
SOUTH COOLS A LITTLE.

EC SENDS ANOTHER WEAK GRAZING TROF THRU NRN UT SUN NIGHT/MON WITH
A LITTLE MORE COOLING WHILE THE GFS MAINTAINS A DRY W TO NW FLOW
WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN TEMPS. THE THREAT OF ISOLATED CONVECTION
PERSISTS OVER THE SOUTH AND INCLUDED THIS NORTHWARD INTO THE UINTA
MTNS MON AS A NOD TO THE EC ALTHO CONFIDENCE FOR THIS IS NOT VERY
HIGH.

&&

.LONG TERM (AFTER 00Z TUESDAY)...IN LARGE GLOBAL MODELS HAVE BECOME
MORE CONSISTENT MODEL TO MODEL DURING THE LONG TERM PERIOD IN THE
LATEST 00Z RUNS. GIVEN PREVIOUS INCONSISTENCIES AND SPREAD BOTH
MODEL TO MODEL AND RUN TO RUN OVER THE LAST SEVERAL...CONFIDENCE IN
MOST RECENT CONSISTENCY IS ONLY MARGINALLY BETTER THAN IT HAS BEEN.

DETAILS...NORTHERN BRANCH STREAM WILL REMAIN FAIRLY ACTIVE WITH A
TWO ADDITIONAL SHORT WAVE TROUGHS TRANSLATING EAST THROUGH THE
NORTHERN ROCKIES IN THE TUE-FRI TIMEFRAME. THE FIRST LOOKS TO ONLY
CLIP FAR NORTHERN PORTIONS LATE TUESDAY...THIS ALLOWING A SHALLOW
AND MOSTLY DRY COLD FRONT TO TRACK SOUTH THROUGH MUCH OF THE STATE
TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THE NIGHTTIME HOURS. FRONT WILL BE WORKING
ON A VERY DRY LOW LEVEL AIRMASS...WITH BULK OF COOLING OCCURRING AT
AND BELOW H7 AS COLD CORE OF THE SYSTEM WILL REMAIN WELL NORTH OF
THE AREA. THOUGH LARGELY DRY...THIS FRONT SHOULD LOWER TEMPS FAIRLY
CLOSE TO CLIMO ON WED HOWEVER. LOOKING AT ONLY SLIGHT CHANCE POPS IN
THE MTNS OF NORTHERN/CENTRAL UTAH WITH FRONT ATTM...AND HAVE TRENDED
TEMPS COOLER FOR WEDNESDAY IN WAKE OF PASSAGE.

GLOBAL GUIDANCE PORTRAYS THE NEXT SHORT WAVE TO BE SOMEWHAT MORE
AMPLIFIED ACROSS THE EASTERN GREAT BASIN THU INTO FRI...WITH AIRMASS
SLIGHTLY COOLER FROM A MORE NORTHERLY TAP ORIGINATING FROM CENTRAL
BRITCOL. AMPLIFICATION AND EVOLUTION OF THIS TROUGH IS QUITE SIMILAR
IN GLOBALS THOUGH SPREAD IN TIMING OF THE LEADING EDGE COLD FRONT
REMAINS 6 HRS OFF OR SO. BY 06Z FRI BOTH GFS/ECMWF ARE INDICATING H7
TEMPS FALLING TO -10 C AT KSLC...SO AGAIN MOST CONFIDENT IN ANOTHER
COOLDOWN WITH TEMPS DROPPING OT 5 TO POSSIBLY 10 DEGREES BELOW CLIMO
IN THE NORTH LATE NEXT WEEK. AMPLIFICATION OVERHEAD AND BREADTH OF
COLD ADVECTION DEPICTED MORE APT TO PRODUCE AT LEAST A BIT OF PRECIP
ACROSS THE AREA IF THESE SOLUTIONS HOLD TRUE. FOR NOW INCREASED POPS
TO CLIMO OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE...BUT MAY NEED TO INCREASE THIS TREND IF
MODELS CONTINUE TO STAND PAT W/THIS.

BOTTOM LINE...LARGELY A DRY FORECAST THROUGH MIDWEEK WITH POTENTIAL
OF A MORE AMPLIFIED TROUGH IMPACTING THE EASTERN GREAT BASIN LATE
WEEK OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...OPERATIONAL WEATHER CONCERNS WILL REMAIN MINIMAL AT THE
KSLC TERMINAL THROUGH THE VALID TAF PERIOD. SOUTHEAST SURFACE WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO SWITCH TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND 19Z PER NORM...WITH
CURRENT VFR CONDITIONS BEING MAINTAINED UNDER CLEAR SKY CONDITIONS.

&&

.SLC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
UT...NONE.
WY...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...WILENSKY
LONG TERM/AVIATION...MERRILL

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/S NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SALTLAKECITY (ALL LOWER CASE)

FOR FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS ABOUT THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SALTLAKECITY/GENERAL/AFD_FAQS.PHP (ALL LOWER CASE)



000
FXUS65 KSLC 270953
AFDSLC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
353 AM MDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT OVERHEAD THIS AFTERNOON THEN
OFF TO THE EAST SATURDAY AHEAD OF A WEAK STORM SYSTEM. THIS SYSTEM
WILL SEND A COLD FRONT INTO NORTHERN UTAH SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND
SOUTH THROUGH THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM (THRU 00Z TUE)...WARM DRY RIDGE CONDITIONS WITH PRETTY
MUCH CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TODAY
THROUGH TONIGHT. CONTINUED AIRMASS WARMING SHOULD TRANSLATE INTO
HIGHS ABOUT 10 DEG ABOVE YESTERDAYS MILD READINGS WITH TEMPS
REACHING THE 70S IN MOST VALLEYS.

THE RIDGE SHIFTS EAST SAT AS A WEAK SHORT WAVE TROF CROSSES THE
NRN ROCKIES AND SENDS A LOW LEVEL COLD FRONT INTO THE NRN CWA
DURING THE AFTN. THE FRONT THEN HEADS SOUTH OVERNIGHT STALLING
ACROSS SRN UT ON SUN. MODELS INDICATE THIS FRONT WILL BE THE FOCUS
FOR ISOLATED HIGH BASED CONVECTION BUT DONT SEE MUCH THREAT OF
MEASURABLE RAIN SO HAVE LIMITED POPS TO THE NRN AND CENTRAL MTNS
SAT AFTN SHIFTING INTO THE SRN MTNS OVERNIGHT THRU SUN.

THE FRONT COMES THRU NRN UT LATE ENOUGH IN THE DAY TO ALLOW MAX
TEMPS TO WARM A BIT FROM TODAY WITH MID 70S POSSIBLE FOR
SLC...ONLY A COUPLE DEG SHY OF THE RECORD OF 77 FOR THE DATE.
TEMPS SHOULD REACH MID 70S TO MID 80S CENTRAL AND SRN UT.

EXPECT SOME COOLING ACROSS THE NORTH SUN BUT AS PREV SHIFT
NOTED...ONLY DOWN TO ABOUT 10 DEG ABV NORMAL INSTEAD OF 15-20. THE
SOUTH COOLS A LITTLE.

EC SENDS ANOTHER WEAK GRAZING TROF THRU NRN UT SUN NIGHT/MON WITH
A LITTLE MORE COOLING WHILE THE GFS MAINTAINS A DRY W TO NW FLOW
WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN TEMPS. THE THREAT OF ISOLATED CONVECTION
PERSISTS OVER THE SOUTH AND INCLUDED THIS NORTHWARD INTO THE UINTA
MTNS MON AS A NOD TO THE EC ALTHO CONFIDENCE FOR THIS IS NOT VERY
HIGH.

&&

.LONG TERM (AFTER 00Z TUESDAY)...IN LARGE GLOBAL MODELS HAVE BECOME
MORE CONSISTENT MODEL TO MODEL DURING THE LONG TERM PERIOD IN THE
LATEST 00Z RUNS. GIVEN PREVIOUS INCONSISTENCIES AND SPREAD BOTH
MODEL TO MODEL AND RUN TO RUN OVER THE LAST SEVERAL...CONFIDENCE IN
MOST RECENT CONSISTENCY IS ONLY MARGINALLY BETTER THAN IT HAS BEEN.

DETAILS...NORTHERN BRANCH STREAM WILL REMAIN FAIRLY ACTIVE WITH A
TWO ADDITIONAL SHORT WAVE TROUGHS TRANSLATING EAST THROUGH THE
NORTHERN ROCKIES IN THE TUE-FRI TIMEFRAME. THE FIRST LOOKS TO ONLY
CLIP FAR NORTHERN PORTIONS LATE TUESDAY...THIS ALLOWING A SHALLOW
AND MOSTLY DRY COLD FRONT TO TRACK SOUTH THROUGH MUCH OF THE STATE
TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THE NIGHTTIME HOURS. FRONT WILL BE WORKING
ON A VERY DRY LOW LEVEL AIRMASS...WITH BULK OF COOLING OCCURRING AT
AND BELOW H7 AS COLD CORE OF THE SYSTEM WILL REMAIN WELL NORTH OF
THE AREA. THOUGH LARGELY DRY...THIS FRONT SHOULD LOWER TEMPS FAIRLY
CLOSE TO CLIMO ON WED HOWEVER. LOOKING AT ONLY SLIGHT CHANCE POPS IN
THE MTNS OF NORTHERN/CENTRAL UTAH WITH FRONT ATTM...AND HAVE TRENDED
TEMPS COOLER FOR WEDNESDAY IN WAKE OF PASSAGE.

GLOBAL GUIDANCE PORTRAYS THE NEXT SHORT WAVE TO BE SOMEWHAT MORE
AMPLIFIED ACROSS THE EASTERN GREAT BASIN THU INTO FRI...WITH AIRMASS
SLIGHTLY COOLER FROM A MORE NORTHERLY TAP ORIGINATING FROM CENTRAL
BRITCOL. AMPLIFICATION AND EVOLUTION OF THIS TROUGH IS QUITE SIMILAR
IN GLOBALS THOUGH SPREAD IN TIMING OF THE LEADING EDGE COLD FRONT
REMAINS 6 HRS OFF OR SO. BY 06Z FRI BOTH GFS/ECMWF ARE INDICATING H7
TEMPS FALLING TO -10 C AT KSLC...SO AGAIN MOST CONFIDENT IN ANOTHER
COOLDOWN WITH TEMPS DROPPING OT 5 TO POSSIBLY 10 DEGREES BELOW CLIMO
IN THE NORTH LATE NEXT WEEK. AMPLIFICATION OVERHEAD AND BREADTH OF
COLD ADVECTION DEPICTED MORE APT TO PRODUCE AT LEAST A BIT OF PRECIP
ACROSS THE AREA IF THESE SOLUTIONS HOLD TRUE. FOR NOW INCREASED POPS
TO CLIMO OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE...BUT MAY NEED TO INCREASE THIS TREND IF
MODELS CONTINUE TO STAND PAT W/THIS.

BOTTOM LINE...LARGELY A DRY FORECAST THROUGH MIDWEEK WITH POTENTIAL
OF A MORE AMPLIFIED TROUGH IMPACTING THE EASTERN GREAT BASIN LATE
WEEK OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...OPERATIONAL WEATHER CONCERNS WILL REMAIN MINIMAL AT THE
KSLC TERMINAL THROUGH THE VALID TAF PERIOD. SOUTHEAST SURFACE WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO SWITCH TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND 19Z PER NORM...WITH
CURRENT VFR CONDITIONS BEING MAINTAINED UNDER CLEAR SKY CONDITIONS.

&&

.SLC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
UT...NONE.
WY...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...WILENSKY
LONG TERM/AVIATION...MERRILL

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/S NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SALTLAKECITY (ALL LOWER CASE)

FOR FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS ABOUT THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SALTLAKECITY/GENERAL/AFD_FAQS.PHP (ALL LOWER CASE)



000
FXUS65 KSLC 270953
AFDSLC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
353 AM MDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT OVERHEAD THIS AFTERNOON THEN
OFF TO THE EAST SATURDAY AHEAD OF A WEAK STORM SYSTEM. THIS SYSTEM
WILL SEND A COLD FRONT INTO NORTHERN UTAH SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND
SOUTH THROUGH THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM (THRU 00Z TUE)...WARM DRY RIDGE CONDITIONS WITH PRETTY
MUCH CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TODAY
THROUGH TONIGHT. CONTINUED AIRMASS WARMING SHOULD TRANSLATE INTO
HIGHS ABOUT 10 DEG ABOVE YESTERDAYS MILD READINGS WITH TEMPS
REACHING THE 70S IN MOST VALLEYS.

THE RIDGE SHIFTS EAST SAT AS A WEAK SHORT WAVE TROF CROSSES THE
NRN ROCKIES AND SENDS A LOW LEVEL COLD FRONT INTO THE NRN CWA
DURING THE AFTN. THE FRONT THEN HEADS SOUTH OVERNIGHT STALLING
ACROSS SRN UT ON SUN. MODELS INDICATE THIS FRONT WILL BE THE FOCUS
FOR ISOLATED HIGH BASED CONVECTION BUT DONT SEE MUCH THREAT OF
MEASURABLE RAIN SO HAVE LIMITED POPS TO THE NRN AND CENTRAL MTNS
SAT AFTN SHIFTING INTO THE SRN MTNS OVERNIGHT THRU SUN.

THE FRONT COMES THRU NRN UT LATE ENOUGH IN THE DAY TO ALLOW MAX
TEMPS TO WARM A BIT FROM TODAY WITH MID 70S POSSIBLE FOR
SLC...ONLY A COUPLE DEG SHY OF THE RECORD OF 77 FOR THE DATE.
TEMPS SHOULD REACH MID 70S TO MID 80S CENTRAL AND SRN UT.

EXPECT SOME COOLING ACROSS THE NORTH SUN BUT AS PREV SHIFT
NOTED...ONLY DOWN TO ABOUT 10 DEG ABV NORMAL INSTEAD OF 15-20. THE
SOUTH COOLS A LITTLE.

EC SENDS ANOTHER WEAK GRAZING TROF THRU NRN UT SUN NIGHT/MON WITH
A LITTLE MORE COOLING WHILE THE GFS MAINTAINS A DRY W TO NW FLOW
WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN TEMPS. THE THREAT OF ISOLATED CONVECTION
PERSISTS OVER THE SOUTH AND INCLUDED THIS NORTHWARD INTO THE UINTA
MTNS MON AS A NOD TO THE EC ALTHO CONFIDENCE FOR THIS IS NOT VERY
HIGH.

&&

.LONG TERM (AFTER 00Z TUESDAY)...IN LARGE GLOBAL MODELS HAVE BECOME
MORE CONSISTENT MODEL TO MODEL DURING THE LONG TERM PERIOD IN THE
LATEST 00Z RUNS. GIVEN PREVIOUS INCONSISTENCIES AND SPREAD BOTH
MODEL TO MODEL AND RUN TO RUN OVER THE LAST SEVERAL...CONFIDENCE IN
MOST RECENT CONSISTENCY IS ONLY MARGINALLY BETTER THAN IT HAS BEEN.

DETAILS...NORTHERN BRANCH STREAM WILL REMAIN FAIRLY ACTIVE WITH A
TWO ADDITIONAL SHORT WAVE TROUGHS TRANSLATING EAST THROUGH THE
NORTHERN ROCKIES IN THE TUE-FRI TIMEFRAME. THE FIRST LOOKS TO ONLY
CLIP FAR NORTHERN PORTIONS LATE TUESDAY...THIS ALLOWING A SHALLOW
AND MOSTLY DRY COLD FRONT TO TRACK SOUTH THROUGH MUCH OF THE STATE
TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THE NIGHTTIME HOURS. FRONT WILL BE WORKING
ON A VERY DRY LOW LEVEL AIRMASS...WITH BULK OF COOLING OCCURRING AT
AND BELOW H7 AS COLD CORE OF THE SYSTEM WILL REMAIN WELL NORTH OF
THE AREA. THOUGH LARGELY DRY...THIS FRONT SHOULD LOWER TEMPS FAIRLY
CLOSE TO CLIMO ON WED HOWEVER. LOOKING AT ONLY SLIGHT CHANCE POPS IN
THE MTNS OF NORTHERN/CENTRAL UTAH WITH FRONT ATTM...AND HAVE TRENDED
TEMPS COOLER FOR WEDNESDAY IN WAKE OF PASSAGE.

GLOBAL GUIDANCE PORTRAYS THE NEXT SHORT WAVE TO BE SOMEWHAT MORE
AMPLIFIED ACROSS THE EASTERN GREAT BASIN THU INTO FRI...WITH AIRMASS
SLIGHTLY COOLER FROM A MORE NORTHERLY TAP ORIGINATING FROM CENTRAL
BRITCOL. AMPLIFICATION AND EVOLUTION OF THIS TROUGH IS QUITE SIMILAR
IN GLOBALS THOUGH SPREAD IN TIMING OF THE LEADING EDGE COLD FRONT
REMAINS 6 HRS OFF OR SO. BY 06Z FRI BOTH GFS/ECMWF ARE INDICATING H7
TEMPS FALLING TO -10 C AT KSLC...SO AGAIN MOST CONFIDENT IN ANOTHER
COOLDOWN WITH TEMPS DROPPING OT 5 TO POSSIBLY 10 DEGREES BELOW CLIMO
IN THE NORTH LATE NEXT WEEK. AMPLIFICATION OVERHEAD AND BREADTH OF
COLD ADVECTION DEPICTED MORE APT TO PRODUCE AT LEAST A BIT OF PRECIP
ACROSS THE AREA IF THESE SOLUTIONS HOLD TRUE. FOR NOW INCREASED POPS
TO CLIMO OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE...BUT MAY NEED TO INCREASE THIS TREND IF
MODELS CONTINUE TO STAND PAT W/THIS.

BOTTOM LINE...LARGELY A DRY FORECAST THROUGH MIDWEEK WITH POTENTIAL
OF A MORE AMPLIFIED TROUGH IMPACTING THE EASTERN GREAT BASIN LATE
WEEK OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...OPERATIONAL WEATHER CONCERNS WILL REMAIN MINIMAL AT THE
KSLC TERMINAL THROUGH THE VALID TAF PERIOD. SOUTHEAST SURFACE WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO SWITCH TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND 19Z PER NORM...WITH
CURRENT VFR CONDITIONS BEING MAINTAINED UNDER CLEAR SKY CONDITIONS.

&&

.SLC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
UT...NONE.
WY...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...WILENSKY
LONG TERM/AVIATION...MERRILL

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/S NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SALTLAKECITY (ALL LOWER CASE)

FOR FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS ABOUT THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SALTLAKECITY/GENERAL/AFD_FAQS.PHP (ALL LOWER CASE)




000
FXUS65 KSLC 270953
AFDSLC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
353 AM MDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT OVERHEAD THIS AFTERNOON THEN
OFF TO THE EAST SATURDAY AHEAD OF A WEAK STORM SYSTEM. THIS SYSTEM
WILL SEND A COLD FRONT INTO NORTHERN UTAH SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND
SOUTH THROUGH THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM (THRU 00Z TUE)...WARM DRY RIDGE CONDITIONS WITH PRETTY
MUCH CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TODAY
THROUGH TONIGHT. CONTINUED AIRMASS WARMING SHOULD TRANSLATE INTO
HIGHS ABOUT 10 DEG ABOVE YESTERDAYS MILD READINGS WITH TEMPS
REACHING THE 70S IN MOST VALLEYS.

THE RIDGE SHIFTS EAST SAT AS A WEAK SHORT WAVE TROF CROSSES THE
NRN ROCKIES AND SENDS A LOW LEVEL COLD FRONT INTO THE NRN CWA
DURING THE AFTN. THE FRONT THEN HEADS SOUTH OVERNIGHT STALLING
ACROSS SRN UT ON SUN. MODELS INDICATE THIS FRONT WILL BE THE FOCUS
FOR ISOLATED HIGH BASED CONVECTION BUT DONT SEE MUCH THREAT OF
MEASURABLE RAIN SO HAVE LIMITED POPS TO THE NRN AND CENTRAL MTNS
SAT AFTN SHIFTING INTO THE SRN MTNS OVERNIGHT THRU SUN.

THE FRONT COMES THRU NRN UT LATE ENOUGH IN THE DAY TO ALLOW MAX
TEMPS TO WARM A BIT FROM TODAY WITH MID 70S POSSIBLE FOR
SLC...ONLY A COUPLE DEG SHY OF THE RECORD OF 77 FOR THE DATE.
TEMPS SHOULD REACH MID 70S TO MID 80S CENTRAL AND SRN UT.

EXPECT SOME COOLING ACROSS THE NORTH SUN BUT AS PREV SHIFT
NOTED...ONLY DOWN TO ABOUT 10 DEG ABV NORMAL INSTEAD OF 15-20. THE
SOUTH COOLS A LITTLE.

EC SENDS ANOTHER WEAK GRAZING TROF THRU NRN UT SUN NIGHT/MON WITH
A LITTLE MORE COOLING WHILE THE GFS MAINTAINS A DRY W TO NW FLOW
WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN TEMPS. THE THREAT OF ISOLATED CONVECTION
PERSISTS OVER THE SOUTH AND INCLUDED THIS NORTHWARD INTO THE UINTA
MTNS MON AS A NOD TO THE EC ALTHO CONFIDENCE FOR THIS IS NOT VERY
HIGH.

&&

.LONG TERM (AFTER 00Z TUESDAY)...IN LARGE GLOBAL MODELS HAVE BECOME
MORE CONSISTENT MODEL TO MODEL DURING THE LONG TERM PERIOD IN THE
LATEST 00Z RUNS. GIVEN PREVIOUS INCONSISTENCIES AND SPREAD BOTH
MODEL TO MODEL AND RUN TO RUN OVER THE LAST SEVERAL...CONFIDENCE IN
MOST RECENT CONSISTENCY IS ONLY MARGINALLY BETTER THAN IT HAS BEEN.

DETAILS...NORTHERN BRANCH STREAM WILL REMAIN FAIRLY ACTIVE WITH A
TWO ADDITIONAL SHORT WAVE TROUGHS TRANSLATING EAST THROUGH THE
NORTHERN ROCKIES IN THE TUE-FRI TIMEFRAME. THE FIRST LOOKS TO ONLY
CLIP FAR NORTHERN PORTIONS LATE TUESDAY...THIS ALLOWING A SHALLOW
AND MOSTLY DRY COLD FRONT TO TRACK SOUTH THROUGH MUCH OF THE STATE
TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THE NIGHTTIME HOURS. FRONT WILL BE WORKING
ON A VERY DRY LOW LEVEL AIRMASS...WITH BULK OF COOLING OCCURRING AT
AND BELOW H7 AS COLD CORE OF THE SYSTEM WILL REMAIN WELL NORTH OF
THE AREA. THOUGH LARGELY DRY...THIS FRONT SHOULD LOWER TEMPS FAIRLY
CLOSE TO CLIMO ON WED HOWEVER. LOOKING AT ONLY SLIGHT CHANCE POPS IN
THE MTNS OF NORTHERN/CENTRAL UTAH WITH FRONT ATTM...AND HAVE TRENDED
TEMPS COOLER FOR WEDNESDAY IN WAKE OF PASSAGE.

GLOBAL GUIDANCE PORTRAYS THE NEXT SHORT WAVE TO BE SOMEWHAT MORE
AMPLIFIED ACROSS THE EASTERN GREAT BASIN THU INTO FRI...WITH AIRMASS
SLIGHTLY COOLER FROM A MORE NORTHERLY TAP ORIGINATING FROM CENTRAL
BRITCOL. AMPLIFICATION AND EVOLUTION OF THIS TROUGH IS QUITE SIMILAR
IN GLOBALS THOUGH SPREAD IN TIMING OF THE LEADING EDGE COLD FRONT
REMAINS 6 HRS OFF OR SO. BY 06Z FRI BOTH GFS/ECMWF ARE INDICATING H7
TEMPS FALLING TO -10 C AT KSLC...SO AGAIN MOST CONFIDENT IN ANOTHER
COOLDOWN WITH TEMPS DROPPING OT 5 TO POSSIBLY 10 DEGREES BELOW CLIMO
IN THE NORTH LATE NEXT WEEK. AMPLIFICATION OVERHEAD AND BREADTH OF
COLD ADVECTION DEPICTED MORE APT TO PRODUCE AT LEAST A BIT OF PRECIP
ACROSS THE AREA IF THESE SOLUTIONS HOLD TRUE. FOR NOW INCREASED POPS
TO CLIMO OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE...BUT MAY NEED TO INCREASE THIS TREND IF
MODELS CONTINUE TO STAND PAT W/THIS.

BOTTOM LINE...LARGELY A DRY FORECAST THROUGH MIDWEEK WITH POTENTIAL
OF A MORE AMPLIFIED TROUGH IMPACTING THE EASTERN GREAT BASIN LATE
WEEK OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...OPERATIONAL WEATHER CONCERNS WILL REMAIN MINIMAL AT THE
KSLC TERMINAL THROUGH THE VALID TAF PERIOD. SOUTHEAST SURFACE WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO SWITCH TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND 19Z PER NORM...WITH
CURRENT VFR CONDITIONS BEING MAINTAINED UNDER CLEAR SKY CONDITIONS.

&&

.SLC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
UT...NONE.
WY...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...WILENSKY
LONG TERM/AVIATION...MERRILL

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000
FXUS65 KSLC 270222
AFDSLC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
822 PM MDT THU MAR 26 2015

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING A WARMING TREND TO THE REGION
INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND...FOLLOWED BY A SLIGHT COOL DOWN LATE
SATURDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.


&&

.DISCUSSION...HIGH CLOUDS ARE STREAMING ACROSS UTAH AND SOUTHWEST
WYOMING THIS EVENING IN A MILD NORTHERLY FLOW...AS THE AREA SITS
ON THE EAST SIDE OF A RIDGE CENTERED OVER CALIFORNIA. EVEN THESE
UNOBTRUSIVE CIRRUS CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED TO VACATE THE FORECAST AREA
THROUGH TONIGHT...AS THE RIDGE AXIS SLOWLY ROLLS OVER THE GREAT
BASIN.

THE RIDGE MOVING OVERHEAD WILL HELP CONTINUE THE WARMING TREND
INTO FRIDAY AND...IN MOST LOCATIONS...SATURDAY AS WELL. A COLD
FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE CWA
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...BUT A WARM AIRMASS AND GOOD MIXING AHEAD OF
THIS WAVE SHOULD LEAD TO SIGNIFICANTLY ABOVE AVERAGE MAXIMUM
TEMPERATURES IN MOST PLACES SATURDAY. THIS COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED
TO LOWER MAX TEMPERATURES FOR SUNDAY ALL THE WAY DOWN TO...10
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE DAY ACROSS NORTHERN UTAH.

THE FORECAST FOR TONIGHT LOOKS GOOD AND NO UPDATES ARE PLANNED FOR
THE EVENING.

&&

.AVIATION...WINDS AT THE SLC TERMINAL WILL SWITCH TO THE SOUTHEAST
BETWEEN 03Z AND 05Z. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL UNDER MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES.

&&

.SLC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
UT...NONE.
WY...NONE.
&&

$$

SCHOENING

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VISIT...
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000
FXUS65 KSLC 270222
AFDSLC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
822 PM MDT THU MAR 26 2015

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING A WARMING TREND TO THE REGION
INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND...FOLLOWED BY A SLIGHT COOL DOWN LATE
SATURDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.


&&

.DISCUSSION...HIGH CLOUDS ARE STREAMING ACROSS UTAH AND SOUTHWEST
WYOMING THIS EVENING IN A MILD NORTHERLY FLOW...AS THE AREA SITS
ON THE EAST SIDE OF A RIDGE CENTERED OVER CALIFORNIA. EVEN THESE
UNOBTRUSIVE CIRRUS CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED TO VACATE THE FORECAST AREA
THROUGH TONIGHT...AS THE RIDGE AXIS SLOWLY ROLLS OVER THE GREAT
BASIN.

THE RIDGE MOVING OVERHEAD WILL HELP CONTINUE THE WARMING TREND
INTO FRIDAY AND...IN MOST LOCATIONS...SATURDAY AS WELL. A COLD
FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE CWA
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...BUT A WARM AIRMASS AND GOOD MIXING AHEAD OF
THIS WAVE SHOULD LEAD TO SIGNIFICANTLY ABOVE AVERAGE MAXIMUM
TEMPERATURES IN MOST PLACES SATURDAY. THIS COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED
TO LOWER MAX TEMPERATURES FOR SUNDAY ALL THE WAY DOWN TO...10
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE DAY ACROSS NORTHERN UTAH.

THE FORECAST FOR TONIGHT LOOKS GOOD AND NO UPDATES ARE PLANNED FOR
THE EVENING.

&&

.AVIATION...WINDS AT THE SLC TERMINAL WILL SWITCH TO THE SOUTHEAST
BETWEEN 03Z AND 05Z. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL UNDER MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES.

&&

.SLC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
UT...NONE.
WY...NONE.
&&

$$

SCHOENING

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HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SALTLAKECITY (ALL LOWER CASE)

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VISIT...
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000
FXUS65 KSLC 270222
AFDSLC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
822 PM MDT THU MAR 26 2015

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING A WARMING TREND TO THE REGION
INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND...FOLLOWED BY A SLIGHT COOL DOWN LATE
SATURDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.


&&

.DISCUSSION...HIGH CLOUDS ARE STREAMING ACROSS UTAH AND SOUTHWEST
WYOMING THIS EVENING IN A MILD NORTHERLY FLOW...AS THE AREA SITS
ON THE EAST SIDE OF A RIDGE CENTERED OVER CALIFORNIA. EVEN THESE
UNOBTRUSIVE CIRRUS CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED TO VACATE THE FORECAST AREA
THROUGH TONIGHT...AS THE RIDGE AXIS SLOWLY ROLLS OVER THE GREAT
BASIN.

THE RIDGE MOVING OVERHEAD WILL HELP CONTINUE THE WARMING TREND
INTO FRIDAY AND...IN MOST LOCATIONS...SATURDAY AS WELL. A COLD
FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE CWA
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...BUT A WARM AIRMASS AND GOOD MIXING AHEAD OF
THIS WAVE SHOULD LEAD TO SIGNIFICANTLY ABOVE AVERAGE MAXIMUM
TEMPERATURES IN MOST PLACES SATURDAY. THIS COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED
TO LOWER MAX TEMPERATURES FOR SUNDAY ALL THE WAY DOWN TO...10
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE DAY ACROSS NORTHERN UTAH.

THE FORECAST FOR TONIGHT LOOKS GOOD AND NO UPDATES ARE PLANNED FOR
THE EVENING.

&&

.AVIATION...WINDS AT THE SLC TERMINAL WILL SWITCH TO THE SOUTHEAST
BETWEEN 03Z AND 05Z. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL UNDER MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES.

&&

.SLC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
UT...NONE.
WY...NONE.
&&

$$

SCHOENING

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VISIT...
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000
FXUS65 KSLC 262156
AFDSLC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
356 PM MDT THU MAR 26 2015

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING A WARMING TREND TO THE REGION
INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND...FOLLOWED BY A SLIGHT COOL DOWN SUNDAY
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM (THROUGH 12Z MONDAY)...STRONG MID LEVEL RIDGING ALONG
THE WEST COAST WILL SLOWLY BUILD EASTWARD ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN
DURING THE DAY FRIDAY...RESULTING IN A WARMING TREND REGIONWIDE
WITH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO RUN MORE THAN 10 DEGREES ABOVE
CLIMO.

THE MODELS CONTINUE TO DISAGREE WITH THE EVOLUTION OF A
PROGRESSIVE SHORTWAVE TROUGH WHICH IS FORECAST TO CROSS THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST/NORTHERN ROCKIES REGION SATURDAY. THE EC
REMAINS DEEPER AND MORE CONSOLIDATED WITH THIS FEATURE...PUSHING
A STRONGER COLD FRONT THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA SATURDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. THE GFS MEANWHILE OFFERS A MORE SPLITTY
SOLUTION...AND STALLS THIS FRONT ACROSS CENTRAL UT SATURDAY
NIGHT...PROVIDING A FOCUS FOR ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS INTO
THE DAY SUNDAY.

CONFIDENCE IS LOW IN WITH RESPECT TO FAVORING ONE SOLUTION OVER
ANOTHER...AND AS SUCH HAVE MAINTAINED THE GOING IDEA OF ISOLATED
CONVECTION ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO
SATURDAY EVENING WITH THE INITIAL FRONTAL PASSAGE...WITH ANOTHER
ROUND OF ISOLATED CONVECTION SUNDAY IN RESPECT TO THE GFS
SOLUTION.

&&

.LONG TERM (AFTER 12Z MONDAY)...LONG TERM FORECAST CONTINUES TO BE
RIFE WITH MODEL TO MODEL AND RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY ISSUES. THE 12Z
GFS AND 12Z EC CONTINUE TO DEPICT DIVERGENT SOLUTIONS...WITH THE 12Z
EC CONTINUING TO THE TREND TOWARD A PROGRESSIVE TROUGH CLEARING THE
CWA WELL IN ADVANCE OF THE LONG TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST.

THE 12Z GFS ON THE OTHER HAND...CONTINUES WITH A STRONGER SOUTHERN
SPLIT OF THE WEEKEND TROUGH...WHICH CUTS OFF NEAR SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA...KEEPING A DEFORMATION AXIS ACROSS PORTIONS OF UTAH
MONDAY. THE MAIN DIFFERENCE FOR THE SENSIBLE WEATHER ACROSS THE
STATE WOULD BE THE CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE AREA WITH THE
GFS SOLUTION. KEPT LOW END POPS IN THE FORECAST AS A BLEND OF THE
TWO SOLUTIONS.

HIGH PRESSURE IS THEN EXPECTED TO BUILD INTO THE AREA THROUGH EARLY
TUESDAY. ANOTHER STRONGER SHORTWAVE WILL CROSS THE NORTHERN ROCKIES
ON TUESDAY...BRINGING A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE STATE TUESDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. AGAIN...THE GLOBAL MODELS ARE QUITE DIFFERENT
WITH THE GFS BRINGING A MUCH MORE DYNAMIC FRONT THROUGH THE CWA
ACCOMPANIED BY PRECIPITATION...WHILE THE EC IS LARGELY A DRY COLD
FRONT. AGAIN KEPT LOW END POPS IN AS A BLEND OF THE TWO SOLUTIONS.

TOWARD NEXT WEEKEND...THE EC DEVELOPS A FAIRLY ROBUST PACIFIC SYSTEM
ACROSS THE WEST...BRINGING A STRONG COLD FRONT AND ASSOCIATED
PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE STATE. THE GFS...ON THE OTHER HAND HAS A
FAIRLY WEAK...SPLITTING TROUGH ACROSS THE AREA.

GIVEN THE MODEL DISCREPANCIES...CONFIDENCE IN THE LONG TERM FORECAST
IS LOWER THAN NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION...NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS AT THE SLC TERMINAL WILL SHIFT
TO THE SOUTHEAST BETWEEN 03-05Z.

&&

.SLC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
UT...NONE.
WY...NONE.
&&

$$

SEAMAN/KRUSE

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/S NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SALTLAKECITY (ALL LOWER CASE)

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VISIT...
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000
FXUS65 KSLC 262156
AFDSLC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
356 PM MDT THU MAR 26 2015

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING A WARMING TREND TO THE REGION
INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND...FOLLOWED BY A SLIGHT COOL DOWN SUNDAY
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM (THROUGH 12Z MONDAY)...STRONG MID LEVEL RIDGING ALONG
THE WEST COAST WILL SLOWLY BUILD EASTWARD ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN
DURING THE DAY FRIDAY...RESULTING IN A WARMING TREND REGIONWIDE
WITH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO RUN MORE THAN 10 DEGREES ABOVE
CLIMO.

THE MODELS CONTINUE TO DISAGREE WITH THE EVOLUTION OF A
PROGRESSIVE SHORTWAVE TROUGH WHICH IS FORECAST TO CROSS THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST/NORTHERN ROCKIES REGION SATURDAY. THE EC
REMAINS DEEPER AND MORE CONSOLIDATED WITH THIS FEATURE...PUSHING
A STRONGER COLD FRONT THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA SATURDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. THE GFS MEANWHILE OFFERS A MORE SPLITTY
SOLUTION...AND STALLS THIS FRONT ACROSS CENTRAL UT SATURDAY
NIGHT...PROVIDING A FOCUS FOR ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS INTO
THE DAY SUNDAY.

CONFIDENCE IS LOW IN WITH RESPECT TO FAVORING ONE SOLUTION OVER
ANOTHER...AND AS SUCH HAVE MAINTAINED THE GOING IDEA OF ISOLATED
CONVECTION ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO
SATURDAY EVENING WITH THE INITIAL FRONTAL PASSAGE...WITH ANOTHER
ROUND OF ISOLATED CONVECTION SUNDAY IN RESPECT TO THE GFS
SOLUTION.

&&

.LONG TERM (AFTER 12Z MONDAY)...LONG TERM FORECAST CONTINUES TO BE
RIFE WITH MODEL TO MODEL AND RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY ISSUES. THE 12Z
GFS AND 12Z EC CONTINUE TO DEPICT DIVERGENT SOLUTIONS...WITH THE 12Z
EC CONTINUING TO THE TREND TOWARD A PROGRESSIVE TROUGH CLEARING THE
CWA WELL IN ADVANCE OF THE LONG TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST.

THE 12Z GFS ON THE OTHER HAND...CONTINUES WITH A STRONGER SOUTHERN
SPLIT OF THE WEEKEND TROUGH...WHICH CUTS OFF NEAR SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA...KEEPING A DEFORMATION AXIS ACROSS PORTIONS OF UTAH
MONDAY. THE MAIN DIFFERENCE FOR THE SENSIBLE WEATHER ACROSS THE
STATE WOULD BE THE CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE AREA WITH THE
GFS SOLUTION. KEPT LOW END POPS IN THE FORECAST AS A BLEND OF THE
TWO SOLUTIONS.

HIGH PRESSURE IS THEN EXPECTED TO BUILD INTO THE AREA THROUGH EARLY
TUESDAY. ANOTHER STRONGER SHORTWAVE WILL CROSS THE NORTHERN ROCKIES
ON TUESDAY...BRINGING A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE STATE TUESDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. AGAIN...THE GLOBAL MODELS ARE QUITE DIFFERENT
WITH THE GFS BRINGING A MUCH MORE DYNAMIC FRONT THROUGH THE CWA
ACCOMPANIED BY PRECIPITATION...WHILE THE EC IS LARGELY A DRY COLD
FRONT. AGAIN KEPT LOW END POPS IN AS A BLEND OF THE TWO SOLUTIONS.

TOWARD NEXT WEEKEND...THE EC DEVELOPS A FAIRLY ROBUST PACIFIC SYSTEM
ACROSS THE WEST...BRINGING A STRONG COLD FRONT AND ASSOCIATED
PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE STATE. THE GFS...ON THE OTHER HAND HAS A
FAIRLY WEAK...SPLITTING TROUGH ACROSS THE AREA.

GIVEN THE MODEL DISCREPANCIES...CONFIDENCE IN THE LONG TERM FORECAST
IS LOWER THAN NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION...NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS AT THE SLC TERMINAL WILL SHIFT
TO THE SOUTHEAST BETWEEN 03-05Z.

&&

.SLC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
UT...NONE.
WY...NONE.
&&

$$

SEAMAN/KRUSE

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/S NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SALTLAKECITY (ALL LOWER CASE)

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VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SALTLAKECITY/GENERAL/AFD_FAQS.PHP (ALL LOWER CASE)



000
FXUS65 KSLC 262156
AFDSLC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
356 PM MDT THU MAR 26 2015

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING A WARMING TREND TO THE REGION
INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND...FOLLOWED BY A SLIGHT COOL DOWN SUNDAY
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM (THROUGH 12Z MONDAY)...STRONG MID LEVEL RIDGING ALONG
THE WEST COAST WILL SLOWLY BUILD EASTWARD ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN
DURING THE DAY FRIDAY...RESULTING IN A WARMING TREND REGIONWIDE
WITH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO RUN MORE THAN 10 DEGREES ABOVE
CLIMO.

THE MODELS CONTINUE TO DISAGREE WITH THE EVOLUTION OF A
PROGRESSIVE SHORTWAVE TROUGH WHICH IS FORECAST TO CROSS THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST/NORTHERN ROCKIES REGION SATURDAY. THE EC
REMAINS DEEPER AND MORE CONSOLIDATED WITH THIS FEATURE...PUSHING
A STRONGER COLD FRONT THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA SATURDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. THE GFS MEANWHILE OFFERS A MORE SPLITTY
SOLUTION...AND STALLS THIS FRONT ACROSS CENTRAL UT SATURDAY
NIGHT...PROVIDING A FOCUS FOR ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS INTO
THE DAY SUNDAY.

CONFIDENCE IS LOW IN WITH RESPECT TO FAVORING ONE SOLUTION OVER
ANOTHER...AND AS SUCH HAVE MAINTAINED THE GOING IDEA OF ISOLATED
CONVECTION ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO
SATURDAY EVENING WITH THE INITIAL FRONTAL PASSAGE...WITH ANOTHER
ROUND OF ISOLATED CONVECTION SUNDAY IN RESPECT TO THE GFS
SOLUTION.

&&

.LONG TERM (AFTER 12Z MONDAY)...LONG TERM FORECAST CONTINUES TO BE
RIFE WITH MODEL TO MODEL AND RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY ISSUES. THE 12Z
GFS AND 12Z EC CONTINUE TO DEPICT DIVERGENT SOLUTIONS...WITH THE 12Z
EC CONTINUING TO THE TREND TOWARD A PROGRESSIVE TROUGH CLEARING THE
CWA WELL IN ADVANCE OF THE LONG TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST.

THE 12Z GFS ON THE OTHER HAND...CONTINUES WITH A STRONGER SOUTHERN
SPLIT OF THE WEEKEND TROUGH...WHICH CUTS OFF NEAR SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA...KEEPING A DEFORMATION AXIS ACROSS PORTIONS OF UTAH
MONDAY. THE MAIN DIFFERENCE FOR THE SENSIBLE WEATHER ACROSS THE
STATE WOULD BE THE CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE AREA WITH THE
GFS SOLUTION. KEPT LOW END POPS IN THE FORECAST AS A BLEND OF THE
TWO SOLUTIONS.

HIGH PRESSURE IS THEN EXPECTED TO BUILD INTO THE AREA THROUGH EARLY
TUESDAY. ANOTHER STRONGER SHORTWAVE WILL CROSS THE NORTHERN ROCKIES
ON TUESDAY...BRINGING A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE STATE TUESDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. AGAIN...THE GLOBAL MODELS ARE QUITE DIFFERENT
WITH THE GFS BRINGING A MUCH MORE DYNAMIC FRONT THROUGH THE CWA
ACCOMPANIED BY PRECIPITATION...WHILE THE EC IS LARGELY A DRY COLD
FRONT. AGAIN KEPT LOW END POPS IN AS A BLEND OF THE TWO SOLUTIONS.

TOWARD NEXT WEEKEND...THE EC DEVELOPS A FAIRLY ROBUST PACIFIC SYSTEM
ACROSS THE WEST...BRINGING A STRONG COLD FRONT AND ASSOCIATED
PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE STATE. THE GFS...ON THE OTHER HAND HAS A
FAIRLY WEAK...SPLITTING TROUGH ACROSS THE AREA.

GIVEN THE MODEL DISCREPANCIES...CONFIDENCE IN THE LONG TERM FORECAST
IS LOWER THAN NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION...NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS AT THE SLC TERMINAL WILL SHIFT
TO THE SOUTHEAST BETWEEN 03-05Z.

&&

.SLC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
UT...NONE.
WY...NONE.
&&

$$

SEAMAN/KRUSE

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/S NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SALTLAKECITY (ALL LOWER CASE)

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VISIT...
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000
FXUS65 KSLC 262156
AFDSLC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
356 PM MDT THU MAR 26 2015

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING A WARMING TREND TO THE REGION
INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND...FOLLOWED BY A SLIGHT COOL DOWN SUNDAY
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM (THROUGH 12Z MONDAY)...STRONG MID LEVEL RIDGING ALONG
THE WEST COAST WILL SLOWLY BUILD EASTWARD ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN
DURING THE DAY FRIDAY...RESULTING IN A WARMING TREND REGIONWIDE
WITH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO RUN MORE THAN 10 DEGREES ABOVE
CLIMO.

THE MODELS CONTINUE TO DISAGREE WITH THE EVOLUTION OF A
PROGRESSIVE SHORTWAVE TROUGH WHICH IS FORECAST TO CROSS THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST/NORTHERN ROCKIES REGION SATURDAY. THE EC
REMAINS DEEPER AND MORE CONSOLIDATED WITH THIS FEATURE...PUSHING
A STRONGER COLD FRONT THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA SATURDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. THE GFS MEANWHILE OFFERS A MORE SPLITTY
SOLUTION...AND STALLS THIS FRONT ACROSS CENTRAL UT SATURDAY
NIGHT...PROVIDING A FOCUS FOR ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS INTO
THE DAY SUNDAY.

CONFIDENCE IS LOW IN WITH RESPECT TO FAVORING ONE SOLUTION OVER
ANOTHER...AND AS SUCH HAVE MAINTAINED THE GOING IDEA OF ISOLATED
CONVECTION ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO
SATURDAY EVENING WITH THE INITIAL FRONTAL PASSAGE...WITH ANOTHER
ROUND OF ISOLATED CONVECTION SUNDAY IN RESPECT TO THE GFS
SOLUTION.

&&

.LONG TERM (AFTER 12Z MONDAY)...LONG TERM FORECAST CONTINUES TO BE
RIFE WITH MODEL TO MODEL AND RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY ISSUES. THE 12Z
GFS AND 12Z EC CONTINUE TO DEPICT DIVERGENT SOLUTIONS...WITH THE 12Z
EC CONTINUING TO THE TREND TOWARD A PROGRESSIVE TROUGH CLEARING THE
CWA WELL IN ADVANCE OF THE LONG TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST.

THE 12Z GFS ON THE OTHER HAND...CONTINUES WITH A STRONGER SOUTHERN
SPLIT OF THE WEEKEND TROUGH...WHICH CUTS OFF NEAR SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA...KEEPING A DEFORMATION AXIS ACROSS PORTIONS OF UTAH
MONDAY. THE MAIN DIFFERENCE FOR THE SENSIBLE WEATHER ACROSS THE
STATE WOULD BE THE CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE AREA WITH THE
GFS SOLUTION. KEPT LOW END POPS IN THE FORECAST AS A BLEND OF THE
TWO SOLUTIONS.

HIGH PRESSURE IS THEN EXPECTED TO BUILD INTO THE AREA THROUGH EARLY
TUESDAY. ANOTHER STRONGER SHORTWAVE WILL CROSS THE NORTHERN ROCKIES
ON TUESDAY...BRINGING A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE STATE TUESDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. AGAIN...THE GLOBAL MODELS ARE QUITE DIFFERENT
WITH THE GFS BRINGING A MUCH MORE DYNAMIC FRONT THROUGH THE CWA
ACCOMPANIED BY PRECIPITATION...WHILE THE EC IS LARGELY A DRY COLD
FRONT. AGAIN KEPT LOW END POPS IN AS A BLEND OF THE TWO SOLUTIONS.

TOWARD NEXT WEEKEND...THE EC DEVELOPS A FAIRLY ROBUST PACIFIC SYSTEM
ACROSS THE WEST...BRINGING A STRONG COLD FRONT AND ASSOCIATED
PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE STATE. THE GFS...ON THE OTHER HAND HAS A
FAIRLY WEAK...SPLITTING TROUGH ACROSS THE AREA.

GIVEN THE MODEL DISCREPANCIES...CONFIDENCE IN THE LONG TERM FORECAST
IS LOWER THAN NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION...NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS AT THE SLC TERMINAL WILL SHIFT
TO THE SOUTHEAST BETWEEN 03-05Z.

&&

.SLC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
UT...NONE.
WY...NONE.
&&

$$

SEAMAN/KRUSE

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000
FXUS65 KSLC 262156
AFDSLC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
356 PM MDT THU MAR 26 2015

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING A WARMING TREND TO THE REGION
INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND...FOLLOWED BY A SLIGHT COOL DOWN SUNDAY
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM (THROUGH 12Z MONDAY)...STRONG MID LEVEL RIDGING ALONG
THE WEST COAST WILL SLOWLY BUILD EASTWARD ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN
DURING THE DAY FRIDAY...RESULTING IN A WARMING TREND REGIONWIDE
WITH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO RUN MORE THAN 10 DEGREES ABOVE
CLIMO.

THE MODELS CONTINUE TO DISAGREE WITH THE EVOLUTION OF A
PROGRESSIVE SHORTWAVE TROUGH WHICH IS FORECAST TO CROSS THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST/NORTHERN ROCKIES REGION SATURDAY. THE EC
REMAINS DEEPER AND MORE CONSOLIDATED WITH THIS FEATURE...PUSHING
A STRONGER COLD FRONT THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA SATURDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. THE GFS MEANWHILE OFFERS A MORE SPLITTY
SOLUTION...AND STALLS THIS FRONT ACROSS CENTRAL UT SATURDAY
NIGHT...PROVIDING A FOCUS FOR ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS INTO
THE DAY SUNDAY.

CONFIDENCE IS LOW IN WITH RESPECT TO FAVORING ONE SOLUTION OVER
ANOTHER...AND AS SUCH HAVE MAINTAINED THE GOING IDEA OF ISOLATED
CONVECTION ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO
SATURDAY EVENING WITH THE INITIAL FRONTAL PASSAGE...WITH ANOTHER
ROUND OF ISOLATED CONVECTION SUNDAY IN RESPECT TO THE GFS
SOLUTION.

&&

.LONG TERM (AFTER 12Z MONDAY)...LONG TERM FORECAST CONTINUES TO BE
RIFE WITH MODEL TO MODEL AND RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY ISSUES. THE 12Z
GFS AND 12Z EC CONTINUE TO DEPICT DIVERGENT SOLUTIONS...WITH THE 12Z
EC CONTINUING TO THE TREND TOWARD A PROGRESSIVE TROUGH CLEARING THE
CWA WELL IN ADVANCE OF THE LONG TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST.

THE 12Z GFS ON THE OTHER HAND...CONTINUES WITH A STRONGER SOUTHERN
SPLIT OF THE WEEKEND TROUGH...WHICH CUTS OFF NEAR SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA...KEEPING A DEFORMATION AXIS ACROSS PORTIONS OF UTAH
MONDAY. THE MAIN DIFFERENCE FOR THE SENSIBLE WEATHER ACROSS THE
STATE WOULD BE THE CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE AREA WITH THE
GFS SOLUTION. KEPT LOW END POPS IN THE FORECAST AS A BLEND OF THE
TWO SOLUTIONS.

HIGH PRESSURE IS THEN EXPECTED TO BUILD INTO THE AREA THROUGH EARLY
TUESDAY. ANOTHER STRONGER SHORTWAVE WILL CROSS THE NORTHERN ROCKIES
ON TUESDAY...BRINGING A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE STATE TUESDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. AGAIN...THE GLOBAL MODELS ARE QUITE DIFFERENT
WITH THE GFS BRINGING A MUCH MORE DYNAMIC FRONT THROUGH THE CWA
ACCOMPANIED BY PRECIPITATION...WHILE THE EC IS LARGELY A DRY COLD
FRONT. AGAIN KEPT LOW END POPS IN AS A BLEND OF THE TWO SOLUTIONS.

TOWARD NEXT WEEKEND...THE EC DEVELOPS A FAIRLY ROBUST PACIFIC SYSTEM
ACROSS THE WEST...BRINGING A STRONG COLD FRONT AND ASSOCIATED
PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE STATE. THE GFS...ON THE OTHER HAND HAS A
FAIRLY WEAK...SPLITTING TROUGH ACROSS THE AREA.

GIVEN THE MODEL DISCREPANCIES...CONFIDENCE IN THE LONG TERM FORECAST
IS LOWER THAN NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION...NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS AT THE SLC TERMINAL WILL SHIFT
TO THE SOUTHEAST BETWEEN 03-05Z.

&&

.SLC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
UT...NONE.
WY...NONE.
&&

$$

SEAMAN/KRUSE

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VISIT...
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000
FXUS65 KSLC 261540
AFDSLC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
940 AM MDT THU MAR 26 2015

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING A WARMING TREND TO THE REGION
INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.

&&

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD INTO THE CWA THIS
MORNING. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO WARM WELL ABOVE YESTERDAYS
READINGS...WITH MUCH OF THE WASATCH FRONT REACHING THE LOWER 60S.
WITH SUNNY SKIES AND SPRING-LIKE TEMPERATURES...THE CURRENT
FORECAST IS ON TRACK AND NO UPDATES ARE EXPECTED.

&&

.AVIATION...WINDS AT THE SLC TERMINAL WILL SWITCH TO THE
NORTHWEST BETWEEN 18-19Z. THERE IS A 20 PERCENT CHANCE WINDS WILL
SWITCH AS EARLY AS 17Z.

&&

.SLC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
UT...NONE.
WY...NONE.
&&

$$

KRUSE/LOEFFELBEIN

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000
FXUS65 KSLC 261540
AFDSLC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
940 AM MDT THU MAR 26 2015

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING A WARMING TREND TO THE REGION
INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.

&&

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD INTO THE CWA THIS
MORNING. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO WARM WELL ABOVE YESTERDAYS
READINGS...WITH MUCH OF THE WASATCH FRONT REACHING THE LOWER 60S.
WITH SUNNY SKIES AND SPRING-LIKE TEMPERATURES...THE CURRENT
FORECAST IS ON TRACK AND NO UPDATES ARE EXPECTED.

&&

.AVIATION...WINDS AT THE SLC TERMINAL WILL SWITCH TO THE
NORTHWEST BETWEEN 18-19Z. THERE IS A 20 PERCENT CHANCE WINDS WILL
SWITCH AS EARLY AS 17Z.

&&

.SLC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
UT...NONE.
WY...NONE.
&&

$$

KRUSE/LOEFFELBEIN

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000
FXUS65 KSLC 261016
AFDSLC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
416 AM MDT THU MAR 26 2015

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING A WARMING TREND TO THE REGION
INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.

&&

.SHORT TERM (THRU 00Z MON)...THE AXIS OF THE UPPER RIDGE REMAINS
OVER THE WEST COAST STATES EARLY THIS MORNING WITH A COOL DRY
NORTHERLY FLOW OVER THE CWA. WEAK WARM ADVECTION DID GENERATE A
FEW MID CLOUDS ACROSS THE NORTH DURING THE NIGHT BUT THESE ARE
DISSIPATING AT THIS TIME AND SHOULD BE GONE NOT LONG AFTER
SUNRISE.

OTHERWISE EXPECT OCCASIONAL MOSTLY THIN CIRRUS TO CROSS THE CWA
TODAY WITH AIRMASS WARMING PUSHING MAX TEMPS UP ABOUT 10 DEG FROM
YESTERDAY. THE LOCAL NORTH WINDS THAT PERSISTED IN DOWNSLOPE AREAS
OF ERN AND SRN UT SHOULD DIMINISH EARLY TODAY AS THE FLOW ALOFT
BECOMES LIGHTER AND THE SURFACE GRADIENT RELAXES.

EXPECT LESS CIRRUS AND A CONTINUED WARMING AIRMASS TONIGHT THRU
FRI AS THE UPPER RIDGE SHIFTS INTO THE GREAT BASIN. THE RIDGE AXIS
SHIFTS EAST SAT AS A WEAKENING PAC SHORT WAVE CROSSES THE NRN
ROCKIES AND SENDS A LOW LEVEL COLD FRONT INTO NRN UT DURING THE
AFTN.

MED RANGE GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO DIVERGE ON HOW THEY HANDLE THIS
WAVE WITH THE GFS LEAVING THE BOUNDARY STALLED ACROSS THE NRN CWA
INTO SUNDAY AND GENERATING SOME ISOLATED CONVECTION ALONG IT.

THIS WAVE IS DEEPER IN THE EC AND THE SURFACE BOUNDARY SWEEPS OUT
OF THE CWA BY SAT NIGHT TAKING THE THREAT OF ISOLATED CONVECTION
WITH IT.

HAVE KEPT A LOW POP IN THE FORECAST FOR SAT AFTN/EVE AND AGAIN SUN
PER GFS AND RELUCTANCE TO MAKE CHANGES AS CONFIDENCE IS LOW IN
THE FORECAST PAST SAT MORNING. ALSO KEPT SAT TEMPS WARM BUT THE
EC COULD JUST AS EASILY BE RIGHT WITH THE STRONGER FRONT SENDING
COOLER AIR INTO THE CWA SAT AFTN.

&&

.LONG TERM (AFTER 00Z MONDAY)...MADE MINIMAL CHANGES TO PREVIOUS
LONG TERM FORECAST AS SIMILAR SPREAD IN GLOBAL GUIDANCE EXISTS AND
CONFIDENCE IN FORECAST DETAIL REMAINS LOW. WHAT IS EVIDENT IS THAT
SEVERAL PROGRESSIVE SHORT WAVES WILL BE TRANSLATING EAST THROUGH THE
PACNW INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES REGION DURING THE LONG TERM
PERIOD...WITH SOUTHERN EXTENT OF WAVES BOTH TUE AND THU POTENTIALLY
CLIPPING NORTHERN UTAH/SW WYOMING. FOR NOW MODELS SUGGEST PRIMARILY
SHALLOW AND MOSTLY DRY COLD FRONTS PASSING THROUGH THE NORTH WITH
EACH WAVE...WITH A NET COOLING OF TEMPS THE MOST NOTED CHANGE IN
SENSIBLE WEATHER. THIS SAID...A SLIGHT SOUTHERN SHIFT OF THE MEAN
STORM TRACK WOULD MORE LIKELY BRING A BETTER THREAT FOR PRECIP AND
COLDER TEMPS. FOR NOW AM MAINTAINING SLIGHT CHANCE POPS OVER THE
NORTHERN MTNS DURING PERIODS OF FRONTAL PASSAGES AND A COOLER TREND
OF MAX/MIN TEMPS.

&&

.AVIATION...OPERATIONAL WEATHER CONCERNS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
MINIMAL AT THE KSLC TERMINAL THROUGH THE VALID TAF PERIOD. SOUTHEAST
SURFACE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SWITCH TO THE NORTHWEST BETWEEN 18-19Z
PER NORM...WITH VFR CONDITIONS HOLDING UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES.

&&

.SLC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
UT...NONE.
WY...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...WILENSKY
LONG TERM/AVIATION...MERRILL

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/S NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
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FOR FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS ABOUT THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
VISIT...
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000
FXUS65 KSLC 261016
AFDSLC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
416 AM MDT THU MAR 26 2015

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING A WARMING TREND TO THE REGION
INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.

&&

.SHORT TERM (THRU 00Z MON)...THE AXIS OF THE UPPER RIDGE REMAINS
OVER THE WEST COAST STATES EARLY THIS MORNING WITH A COOL DRY
NORTHERLY FLOW OVER THE CWA. WEAK WARM ADVECTION DID GENERATE A
FEW MID CLOUDS ACROSS THE NORTH DURING THE NIGHT BUT THESE ARE
DISSIPATING AT THIS TIME AND SHOULD BE GONE NOT LONG AFTER
SUNRISE.

OTHERWISE EXPECT OCCASIONAL MOSTLY THIN CIRRUS TO CROSS THE CWA
TODAY WITH AIRMASS WARMING PUSHING MAX TEMPS UP ABOUT 10 DEG FROM
YESTERDAY. THE LOCAL NORTH WINDS THAT PERSISTED IN DOWNSLOPE AREAS
OF ERN AND SRN UT SHOULD DIMINISH EARLY TODAY AS THE FLOW ALOFT
BECOMES LIGHTER AND THE SURFACE GRADIENT RELAXES.

EXPECT LESS CIRRUS AND A CONTINUED WARMING AIRMASS TONIGHT THRU
FRI AS THE UPPER RIDGE SHIFTS INTO THE GREAT BASIN. THE RIDGE AXIS
SHIFTS EAST SAT AS A WEAKENING PAC SHORT WAVE CROSSES THE NRN
ROCKIES AND SENDS A LOW LEVEL COLD FRONT INTO NRN UT DURING THE
AFTN.

MED RANGE GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO DIVERGE ON HOW THEY HANDLE THIS
WAVE WITH THE GFS LEAVING THE BOUNDARY STALLED ACROSS THE NRN CWA
INTO SUNDAY AND GENERATING SOME ISOLATED CONVECTION ALONG IT.

THIS WAVE IS DEEPER IN THE EC AND THE SURFACE BOUNDARY SWEEPS OUT
OF THE CWA BY SAT NIGHT TAKING THE THREAT OF ISOLATED CONVECTION
WITH IT.

HAVE KEPT A LOW POP IN THE FORECAST FOR SAT AFTN/EVE AND AGAIN SUN
PER GFS AND RELUCTANCE TO MAKE CHANGES AS CONFIDENCE IS LOW IN
THE FORECAST PAST SAT MORNING. ALSO KEPT SAT TEMPS WARM BUT THE
EC COULD JUST AS EASILY BE RIGHT WITH THE STRONGER FRONT SENDING
COOLER AIR INTO THE CWA SAT AFTN.

&&

.LONG TERM (AFTER 00Z MONDAY)...MADE MINIMAL CHANGES TO PREVIOUS
LONG TERM FORECAST AS SIMILAR SPREAD IN GLOBAL GUIDANCE EXISTS AND
CONFIDENCE IN FORECAST DETAIL REMAINS LOW. WHAT IS EVIDENT IS THAT
SEVERAL PROGRESSIVE SHORT WAVES WILL BE TRANSLATING EAST THROUGH THE
PACNW INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES REGION DURING THE LONG TERM
PERIOD...WITH SOUTHERN EXTENT OF WAVES BOTH TUE AND THU POTENTIALLY
CLIPPING NORTHERN UTAH/SW WYOMING. FOR NOW MODELS SUGGEST PRIMARILY
SHALLOW AND MOSTLY DRY COLD FRONTS PASSING THROUGH THE NORTH WITH
EACH WAVE...WITH A NET COOLING OF TEMPS THE MOST NOTED CHANGE IN
SENSIBLE WEATHER. THIS SAID...A SLIGHT SOUTHERN SHIFT OF THE MEAN
STORM TRACK WOULD MORE LIKELY BRING A BETTER THREAT FOR PRECIP AND
COLDER TEMPS. FOR NOW AM MAINTAINING SLIGHT CHANCE POPS OVER THE
NORTHERN MTNS DURING PERIODS OF FRONTAL PASSAGES AND A COOLER TREND
OF MAX/MIN TEMPS.

&&

.AVIATION...OPERATIONAL WEATHER CONCERNS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
MINIMAL AT THE KSLC TERMINAL THROUGH THE VALID TAF PERIOD. SOUTHEAST
SURFACE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SWITCH TO THE NORTHWEST BETWEEN 18-19Z
PER NORM...WITH VFR CONDITIONS HOLDING UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES.

&&

.SLC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
UT...NONE.
WY...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...WILENSKY
LONG TERM/AVIATION...MERRILL

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/S NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
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VISIT...
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000
FXUS65 KSLC 260338
AFDSLC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
938 PM MDT WED MAR 25 2015

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING A WARMING TREND TO THE REGION
INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.

&&

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE WEST COAST THIS
EVENING IS ALLOWING A COOL NORTHERLY FLOW TO REMAIN OVER UTAH. THIS
FLOW COMBINED WITH A NORTHERLY GRADIENT IN PLACE HAVE KEPT LOCALLY
ENHANCED WINDS IN DOWNSLOPE REGIONS OF EAST-CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
UTAH. THESE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN OVERNIGHT...EXCEPT IN
WASHINGTON COUNTY WHERE GUSTY CANYON WINDS COULD PERSIST THROUGH
MUCH OF THE NIGHTTIME HOURS. OTHERWISE...SOME MOSTLY THIN HIGH
CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT. DESPITE
700MB WARM ADVECTION TAKING PLACE OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS...THE LACK
OF SIGNIFICANT CLOUD COVER WILL KEEP OVERNIGHT MIN TEMPERATURES ON
THE COOL SIDE...ALTHOUGH IN REALITY THE CURRENT FORECAST
TEMPERATURES ARE ACTUALLY QUITE CLOSE TO NORMAL.

NO UPDATES THIS EVENING.

&&

.AVIATION...SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME
ESTABLISHED OVER THE SLC TERMINAL BY 04-05Z. OTHERWISE...EXPECT VFR
CONDITIONS UNDER THIN HIGH CLOUDS THROUGH THE NIGHT.

&&

.SLC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
UT...NONE.
WY...NONE.
&&

$$

CHENG

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/S NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SALTLAKECITY (ALL LOWER CASE)

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VISIT...
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000
FXUS65 KSLC 260338
AFDSLC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
938 PM MDT WED MAR 25 2015

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING A WARMING TREND TO THE REGION
INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.

&&

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE WEST COAST THIS
EVENING IS ALLOWING A COOL NORTHERLY FLOW TO REMAIN OVER UTAH. THIS
FLOW COMBINED WITH A NORTHERLY GRADIENT IN PLACE HAVE KEPT LOCALLY
ENHANCED WINDS IN DOWNSLOPE REGIONS OF EAST-CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
UTAH. THESE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN OVERNIGHT...EXCEPT IN
WASHINGTON COUNTY WHERE GUSTY CANYON WINDS COULD PERSIST THROUGH
MUCH OF THE NIGHTTIME HOURS. OTHERWISE...SOME MOSTLY THIN HIGH
CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT. DESPITE
700MB WARM ADVECTION TAKING PLACE OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS...THE LACK
OF SIGNIFICANT CLOUD COVER WILL KEEP OVERNIGHT MIN TEMPERATURES ON
THE COOL SIDE...ALTHOUGH IN REALITY THE CURRENT FORECAST
TEMPERATURES ARE ACTUALLY QUITE CLOSE TO NORMAL.

NO UPDATES THIS EVENING.

&&

.AVIATION...SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME
ESTABLISHED OVER THE SLC TERMINAL BY 04-05Z. OTHERWISE...EXPECT VFR
CONDITIONS UNDER THIN HIGH CLOUDS THROUGH THE NIGHT.

&&

.SLC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
UT...NONE.
WY...NONE.
&&

$$

CHENG

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/S NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SALTLAKECITY (ALL LOWER CASE)

FOR FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS ABOUT THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
VISIT...
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