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000
FXUS65 KSLC 260934
AFDSLC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Salt Lake City UT
334 AM MDT SUN JUN 26 2016

.SYNOPSIS...High pressure aloft will build today, leading to
another round of hot temperatures for the first part of next week.
Moisture will begin working in from the south midweek and increase
through the end of the week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...Quiet weather is in store for Utah and southwest
Wyoming today as the northerly pressure gradient which brought
breezy winds to many locations yesterday has weakened and a very
dry and stable air mass has settled over the area. In fact,
yesterday afternoon`s sounding at SLC had a record-low PWAT
reading for the date of only 0.2" (previous record was 0.23")!

High pressure aloft will begin to build over the Intermountain
West today and generally persist for the foreseeable future. In
response, 700mb temps are progged to rebound quickly today to the
mid teens C. This warming should translate to highs near to a few
degrees above normal today across the area, followed by further
warming going into early next week. Triple digits may return to
portions of the Wasatch Front as soon as Monday, while lower
elevations of southern Utah approach 110.

.LONG TERM (After 12z Tuesday)...Upper level ridge will continue to
be in place across the Interior West. 700mb temps near 18C Tuesday
afternoon will likely translate to near the century mark along the
Wasatch Front.

Global models have continued to push back the moisture increase
across southern Utah. Previous runs suggested an increase in mid-
level moisture Tuesday afternoon with the attendant risk of a dry
thunderstorm outbreak across southern Utah.  This has transitioned
to Wednesday afternoon/evening. See the fire weather discussion for
more information.

A series of weak waves combined with increased mid/low-level
moisture will likely support more widespread convection Thursday and
possibly Friday. Given low levels of instability and a lack of any
deep layer shear, expect mainly showers with a few thunderstorms,
rather than any organized convection.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR conditions will continue today at the SLC
terminal, with clear skies and generally light winds. Southeast
winds this morning will switch to northwesterly around 17z-18z.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Dry and stable conditions will persist over the next
few days as high pressure builds back into the district through
Monday. This will also usher in a rapid warming trend, with high
temperatures running 10 to 15 degrees above seasonal normals by
Monday afternoon. The center of the ridge will then shift east of
the forecast area around Tuesday, allowing a more moist air mass
to reach the Utah/Arizona border as early as Tuesday afternoon.
This moisture is expected to gradually creep into southern Utah by
Wednesday afternoon before moving northward into the rest of Utah
by Thursday. Because the lower levels of the atmosphere will
initially be quite dry, thunderstorms may be dry at first,
particularly on Wednesday afternoon over southern Utah. The chance
of wetting rains should then increase as deeper moisture moves
into the area later in the week, bringing increased humidities and
increased cloud cover.

&&

.SLC Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
UT...None.
WY...None.
&&

$$

Van Cleave / Kruse

For more information from NOAA`s National Weather Service visit...
http://weather.gov/saltlakecity

For frequently asked questions about the Area Forecast Discussion
visit...
http://weather.gov/saltlakecity/general/afd_faqs.php




000
FXUS65 KSLC 260343
AFDSLC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Salt Lake City UT
943 PM MDT SAT JUN 25 2016

.SYNOPSIS...High pressure aloft will build tomorrow, leading to
another round of hot temperatures for the first part of next week.
Moisture will begin working in from the south midweek and increase
through the end of the week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...Remnant cold front continues to wash out over
southeastern Utah this evening, with a solid NW-SE mslp gradient
remaining in place heading into the nighttime hours. This will
further wash out by Sunday. H5 analysis already showing signs of
a strengthening ridge centered over the UT/AZ border into the
4-corners region, and guidance continues to suggest a net
strengthening of this over the next 48+ hours. Bottom line through
Monday, significant warming of temps areawide under an
increasingly subsident environment, with values ramping back
above climo tomorrow, and peaking some 10 to 15 degrees above
climo Monday afternoon.

Anticyclonic circulation associated with the ridge will gradually
jog east through midweek allowing a deeper tap of sub-tropical
moisture to phase in from the southwest within the return flow
regime of the high. Although cloud cover will begin working into
the south Tue, and isolated largely terrain based convection is
possible during the afternoon over the terrain and south, looking
to remain largely dry with similar temps as realized Monday.

Depth of moisture will continue to increase late week as the
return flow advection strengthens. Still expect weak disturbances
embedded within this flow to focus convection at times, most
likely Thu/Fri, but still expect subtle differences in placement
and timing of passage this far out.

No updates made or planned this evening.


&&

.AVIATION...Light northwesterly winds remain in place at the KSLC
terminal attm, but a transition to light and variable then to a
light southeast is expected to occur between 04-05z. Clear skies
will allow VFR conditions to hold through the valid TAF period.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Dry and stable conditions will persist over the next
few days as high pressure builds back into the district through
Monday. This will also usher in a rapid warming trend in
temperatures, with high temperatures running 10 to 15 degrees above
seasonal normals by Monday afternoon. The center of the ridge will
move east of the forecast area Tuesday, and this will cause a more
moist airmass to reach the Utah/Arizona border by Tuesday. This
moisture is expected to move into southern Utah during the day
Wednesday before moving northward into the rest of Utah Wednesday
night and Thursday. As this moisture will initially be high based,
thunderstorms could initially be dry, particularly on Wednesday
afternoon over southern Utah. As the moisture continues to spread
across the district, the storms will become more wet and the chance
of wetting rain will increase.

&&

.SLC Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
UT...None.
WY...None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Merrill
FIRE WEATHER...Traphagan

For more information from NOAA`s National Weather Service visit...
http://weather.gov/saltlakecity

For frequently asked questions about the Area Forecast Discussion
visit...
http://weather.gov/saltlakecity/general/afd_faqs.php




000
FXUS65 KSLC 252105
AFDSLC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Salt Lake City UT
305 PM MDT SAT JUN 25 2016

.SYNOPSIS...A pleasant afternoon and evening will continue
throughout the region with cooler temperatures and light north
winds. High pressure aloft will redevelop quickly tomorrow,
leading to another round of hot temperatures for the first part of
next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM....SHORT TERM (Through 06Z Wednesday)...The cold front
that moved through much of the forecast area overnight remains
stalled over southern Utah this afternoon. Behind the front,
temperatures over northern and central Utah are noticeably cooler
than yesterday, with maxes running up to 5F below seasonal norms.
With dry and stable conditions, skies are clear except for the
development of some cumulus over the higher terrain of southern
Utah.

High pressure will continue to build back over the area tonight
through early next week. This will keep very dry conditions in place
with a rapid warming trend in temperatures. By Monday, maxes across
the forecast area are expected to run 10-15F above seasonal norms.
The ridge axis is expected to shift east as a rather weak system
moves across the Pacific Northwest and then over the ridge. This
will shift the flow enough to start to draw moisture northward. 12Z
guidance is trending a bit slower compared to runs yesterday,
indicating moisture may reach the UT/AZ border by Tuesday
afternoon, but should not properly move into southern Utah until
Tuesday night/Wednesday.

&&

.LONG TERM (After 06z Wednesday)...Axis of high pressure
shifts eastward on Wednesday, drawing moisture into southern Utah
by midday. GFS showing PWAT values approaching an inch coupled
with significant instability and CAPE values, which would promote
convective activity over the higher terrain of southern Utah by
Wednesday afternoon. Precipitation may still be isolated at this
point,however,thus the threat remains of dry thunderstorms and
resulting lightning/fire starts. More information regarding
this subject can be found in the Fire Weather discussion section.

Moisture advection deepens into Thursday, allowing a better
potential for convective precipitation extending into central and
NE Utah. Current ECMWF run shows an upper level disturbance
tracking through southeastern Utah Wednesday into Thursday, which
could produce some stronger storms with better coverage. Have
thus raised midweek pops a bit in this region. Persistent PWAT
combined with another disturbance moving through the state by the
end of the week will keep dynamics and thus thunderstorm threat
extant into Day 7 of the forecast period. Temperatures during
this period should remain above season norms.


&&

.AVIATION...Winds at the SLC terminal will remain northwesterly
throughout the day. Winds are expected to shift to southeasterly
between 04-05z this evening.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Dry and stable conditions will persist over the next
few days as high pressure builds back into the district through
Monday. This will also usher in a rapid warming trend in
temperatures, with high temperatures running 10 to 15 degrees above
seasonal normals by Monday afternoon. The center of the ridge will
move east of the forecast area Tuesday, and this will cause a more
moist airmass to reach the Utah/Arizona border by Tuesday. This
moisture is expected to move into southern Utah during the day
Wednesday before moving northward into the rest of Utah Wednesday
night and Thursday. As this moisture will initially be high based,
thunderstorms could initially be dry, particularly on Wednesday
afternoon over southern Utah. As the moisture continues to spread
across the district, the storms will become more wet and the chance
of wetting rain will increase.

&&

.SLC Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
UT...None.
WY...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM/FIRE WEATHER...Traphagan
LONG TERM...Verzella
AVIATION...Wilensky

For more information from NOAA`s National Weather Service visit...
http://weather.gov/saltlakecity

For frequently asked questions about the Area Forecast Discussion
visit...
http://weather.gov/saltlakecity/general/afd_faqs.php




000
FXUS65 KSLC 251546
AFDSLC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Salt Lake City UT
946 AM MDT SAT JUN 25 2016

.SYNOPSIS...A pleasant day is in store for much of the area with
cooler temperatures and light north winds. High pressure aloft
will redevelop quickly on Sunday, leading to another round of hot
temperatures for the first part of next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...The upper level low that pushed a cold front through
most of the region yesterday is tracking quickly across Montana
today. Resultant northerly flow will maintain midlevel cold air
advection through the upper two thirds of the CWA, keeping temps
3-5 degrees below seasonal norms in this area. A dry and stable
airmass will promote clear skies throughout the day, with some
cumulus clouds popping over southeast Utah this afternoon.

Temperatures are on track to rise rapidly as high pressure
blossoms over the Four Corners, with maximums about 5 degrees
above normals on Sunday and 8-10 above by Monday. Instability over
the mountains will increase as well,though moderate PWAT values
should keep afternoon convective cloud development in check.

&&

.AVIATION...The SLC terminal will see VFR conditions throughout the
day with clear skies. Northwest winds are expected to continue
throughout the daytime hours.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Much of the district will see dry, stable, and
cooler conditions today behind a cold front. Most locations will see
maxes at or slightly below seasonal normals, with the exception of
far southern Utah where temperatures will remain on the warm side.
High pressure will build back in for Sunday and Monday, allowing for
a rapid temperature warming trend.

Moisture will begin to move up from the south Tuesday through the
remainder of the week, bringing an increasing chance of showers and
thunderstorms each day. With dry conditions near the surface, dry
thunderstorms are possible initially, though chances of wetting
rains will increase as the week goes on.

&&

.SLC Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
UT...None.
WY...None.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...Verzella
AVIATION/FIRE WEATHER...Traphagan

For more information from NOAA`s National Weather Service visit...
http://weather.gov/saltlakecity

For frequently asked questions about the Area Forecast Discussion
visit...
http://weather.gov/saltlakecity/general/afd_faqs.php




000
FXUS65 KSLC 251048 AAA
AFDSLC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Salt Lake City UT
314 AM MDT SAT JUN 25 2016

.SYNOPSIS...A pleasant day is in store for much of the area with
cooler temperatures and light north winds. High pressure aloft
will rebound on Sunday, leading to another round of hot
temperatures for the first part of next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...Water vapor satellite imagery early this morning
depicts an upper level disturbance moving through western
Montana, while a stream of moisture and convective activity
stretches from Arizona northeastward to the Great Plains. Our area
lies between those two features and under a very dry air mass. At
the surface, a cool front has pushed through most of the forecast
area yesterday evening, with breezy north winds continuing over
the west deserts at this hour.

Models indicate that the cool front is fairly shallow, and
consequently it has largely stalled in its southern push over
central Utah per latest surface obs. A few models suggest that a
wind shift may be able to reach as far south as Washington County
by daybreak, though time-height plots of potential temperature
indicate that the cooler air mass will not reach southern Utah.
Thus, southern Utah will be the one part of the forecast area to
not experience the cooler temperatures today. Elsewhere a pleasant
day is in store, with high temperatures running 5-10 degrees BELOW
normal (one of only a few such days this June).

The cool down will be short-lived as upper-level ridging once
again builds into the Desert Southwest starting Sunday and
continuing into next week. As a result, hot and dry weather
returns for at least the first part of next week.

.LONG TERM (After 12z Monday)...Typical late June/early July pattern
setting up through the long term portion of the forecast. Average
start date of the monsoon across southern Utah is roughly around
July 4th...though the last few years onset has been a bit earlier.
This year seems to be following that trend.

Large scale ridging will be in place across the Interior West
Monday morning. This ridge will expand through the day Monday.
With 700mb temperatures nearing 16-17C by 00Z Tuesday, expect a
rather warm day with temperatures approaching 100F along the
Wasatch Front.

Expect the ridge to shift sufficiently to begin to allow moisture
to return to southeastern Utah by Tuesday afternoon. With how dry
the antecedent conditions will be...expect the higher terrain of
southern Utah and possibly the Uinta Mountains to experience any
precipitating convection. The bigger impact may be dry
thunderstorms...and the resulting lightning/fire starts. More
information regarding this subject can be found in the fire
weather discussion section.

Mid and low-level moisture advection will continue through
Tuesday night and into Wednesday...deepening the moisture profile.
This will likely increase the coverage of convection across
southern Utah. 00Z model guidance suggested a slower increase in
moisture than previous model runs...so backed off the increase in
pops by about a day...with the highest pops Thursday and Friday.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR conditions to continue at the SLC terminal today
with light north breezes and clear skies. There is a 30% chance a
light southeast wind could develop from 12-15z.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Dry, stable, and cooler conditions are expected
for most of the district today, with high temperatures near or
slightly below seasonal normals. Far southern zones will be the
exception, where continued hot temperatures and breezy winds are
expected. Consequently, a few isolated locations of fire weather
zones 494 and 497 will be near critical conditions with receptive
fuels in place. High pressure will build back in for Sunday and
Monday, allowing temperatures to rapidly warm.

Moisture will begin to move up from the south Tuesday through the
remainder of the week, bringing an increasing chance of showers
and thunderstorms each day. With dry conditions near the surface,
dry thunderstorms are possible initially, though chances of
wetting rains will increase as the week goes on.

&&

.SLC Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
UT...None.
WY...None.
&&

$$

Van Cleave / Kruse

For more information from NOAA`s National Weather Service visit...
http://weather.gov/saltlakecity

For frequently asked questions about the Area Forecast Discussion
visit...
http://weather.gov/saltlakecity/general/afd_faqs.php




000
FXUS65 KSLC 250914
AFDSLC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Salt Lake City UT
314 AM MDT SAT JUN 25 2016

.SYNOPSIS...A pleasant day is in store for much of the area with
cooler temperatures and light north winds. High pressure aloft
will rebound on Sunday, leading to another round of hot
temperatures for the first part of next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...Water vapor satellite imagery early this morning
depicts an upper level disturbance moving through western
Montana, while a stream of moisture and convective activity
stretches from Arizona northeastward to the Great Plains. Our area
lies between those two features and under a very dry air mass. At
the surface, a cool front has pushed through most of the forecast
area yesterday evening, with breezy north winds continuing over
the west deserts at this hour.

Models indicate that the cool front is fairly shallow, and
consequently it has largely stalled in its southern push over
central Utah per latest surface obs. A few models suggest that a
wind shift may be able to reach as far south as Washington County
by daybreak, though time-height plots of potential temperature
indicate that the cooler air mass will not reach southern Utah.
Thus, southern Utah will be the one part of the forecast area to
not experience the cooler temperatures today. Elsewhere a pleasant
day is in store, with high temperatures running 5-10 degrees BELOW
normal (one of only a few such days this June).

The cool down will be short-lived as upper-level ridging once
again builds into the Desert Southwest starting Sunday and
continuing into next week. As a result, hot and dry weather
returns for at least the first part of next week.

.LONG TERM (After 12z Monday)...Typical late June/early July pattern
setting up through the long term portion of the forecast. Average
start date of the monsoon across southern Utah is roughly around
July 4th...though the last few years onset has been a bit earlier.
This year seems to be following that trend.

Large scale ridging will be in place across the Interior West
Monday morning. This ridge will expand through the day Monday.
With 700mb temperatures nearing 16-17C by 00Z Tuesday, expect a
rather warm day with temperatures approaching 100F along the
Wasatch Front.

Expect the ridge to shift sufficiently to begin to allow moisture
to return to southeastern Utah by Tuesday afternoon. With how dry
the antecedent conditions will be...expect the higher terrain of
southern Utah and possibly the Uinta Mountains to experience any
precipitating convection. The bigger impact may be dry
thunderstorms...and the resulting lightning/fire starts. More
information regarding this subject can be found in the fire
weather discussion section.

Mid and low-level moisture advection will continue through
Tuesday night and into Wednesday...deepening the moisture profile.
This will likely increase the coverage of convection across
southern Utah. 00Z model guidance suggested a slower increase in
moisture than previous model runs...so backed off the increase in
pops by about a day...with the highest pops Thursday and Friday.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR conditions to continue at the SLC terminal today
with light north breezes. North winds around 10 knots early this
morning should gradually relax by sunrise, which could allow for a
southeasterly breeze to develop 12z-17z. However, there is a 30%
chance northerly flow will persist through the period.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Dry, stable, and cooler conditions are expected
for most of the district today, with high temperatures near or
slightly below seasonal normals. Far southern zones will be the
exception, where continued hot temperatures and breezy winds are
expected. Consequently, a few isolated locations of fire weather
zones 494 and 497 will be near critical conditions with receptive
fuels in place. High pressure will build back in for Sunday and
Monday, allowing temperatures to rapidly warm.

Moisture will begin to move up from the south Tuesday through the
remainder of the week, bringing an increasing chance of showers
and thunderstorms each day. With dry conditions near the surface,
dry thunderstorms are possible initially, though chances of
wetting rains will increase as the week goes on.

&&

.SLC Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
UT...None.
WY...None.
&&

$$

Van Cleave / Kruse

For more information from NOAA`s National Weather Service visit...
http://weather.gov/saltlakecity

For frequently asked questions about the Area Forecast Discussion
visit...
http://weather.gov/saltlakecity/general/afd_faqs.php




000
FXUS65 KSLC 250257
AFDSLC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Salt Lake City UT
857 PM MDT FRI JUN 24 2016

.SYNOPSIS...A dry cold front over Central Utah this evening will
settle into southern Utah and stall early Saturday. High pressure
aloft will rebound on Sunday, leading to another round of hot
temperatures for the first part of next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM (Through 12z Monday)...The upper trough currently over
western Montana will continue east into the northern plains on
Saturday. The associated dry surface cold front has already pushed
south into central Utah this evening, and will continue into
southern Utah where it will stall early Saturday.

The western edge of the moisture plume extending from northwest
Mexico through the central Rockies remains over the southeast
quadrant of the state this evening. Light showers/virga over
east-central Utah has formed along the frontal boundary...and
should exit to the east or dissipate during the balance of the
evening.

After a somewhat cooler and dry day Saturday, high pressure aloft
will begin to strengthen once again across the interior west
Sunday. This high will eventually center near the four corners,
with hot temperatures the result across the region heading into
early next week.


.PREVIOUS LONG TERM (After 12z Monday)...With the mean ridge
position firmly established over the UT/AZ border Monday, and
the bulk of the area existing on the northern periphery of the
anticyclonic circulation, strong subsidence will aid to drive H7
temps into the +18-19 range by the afternoon. Flow at that time
will largely be westerly and quite dry, as the moisture tap will
remain shunted south, with return flow west in Nevada. As such,
looking at dry and hot conditions areawide with temps pushing 10
to 15 degrees above climo many areas.

Aforementioned return flow will slowly moisten from the southwest
through Tuesday as the ridge axis jogs east slightly, and the
initial stages of a modest deep layer moisture surge is expected
to occur at that time. Models continue to be a tad slower
advecting this moisture into the forecast area midweek, but
continue to agree that PWAT values will climb towards an inch
Thursday through Friday, with the deepest moisture residing
across the southern half of the state.

Expect as PWAT trends increase enough to support convection
Tue/Wed the sub-cloud layer will remain quite dry owing towards
cells remaining high based with limited rainfall, gusty winds, and
potential for dry lightning. Bulk if not all of these cells should
remain tide to the terrain due to lack of steering flow beneath
the high. Thereafter however, deeper moisture coupled with a
greater potential of return flow waves passing NE through the area
should trend to support scattered convection with greater
potential of rainfall Thu/Fri.

H7 temp trends plateau Tuesday then gradually fall through day 7,
and with increased cloud cover and RH still looking for slightly
cooler temps Wed on (still above climo however).

&&

.AVIATION...The very dry and stable post-frontal air mass across
northern Utah will maintain VFR conditions under clear skies
through the TAF period. The solid post-frontal northerly surface
gradient will maintain northerly surface winds through most of the
overnight hours. Any change to a southeast drainage winds will be
relatively short, with north winds return during around mid to
late Saturday morning.

&&



.SLC Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
UT...None.
WY...None.
&&

$$

Conger/Traphagan

For more information from NOAA`s National Weather Service visit...
http://weather.gov/saltlakecity

For frequently asked questions about the Area Forecast Discussion
visit...
http://weather.gov/saltlakecity/general/afd_faqs.php




000
FXUS65 KSLC 242132
AFDSLC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Salt Lake City UT
332 PM MDT FRI JUN 24 2016

.SYNOPSIS...A dry cold front will continue to push into Central
Utah tonight before stalling and washing out over the next 24
hours. High pressure aloft will rebound Sunday, leading to another
round of hot temperatures for the first part of next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM (Through 12z Monday)...The surface cold front is near a
KELY-KPVU-KEVW line this afternoon, moving slowly southeast as the
associated trough moves just north of the forecast area. Some
cumulus clouds have developed over the higher terrain out ahead of
the boundary, but have not materialized into showers. Some gusty
winds have been observed both along and behind the front, and will
continue to be gusty at times through the evening before weakening.

Behind the front, maxes will be much cooler over northern and
central Utah, up to 10F below today`s highs and a few degrees below
seasonal normals. Cooling will be much less dramatic over southern
Utah, just a change of a couple of degrees or so. High pressure is
then expected to rebuild Sunday and Monday, resulting in a rapid
warming trend in temperatures with continued dry and stable
conditions. Maxes Monday will run close to 10F above climo.

.LONG TERM (After 12z Monday)...With the mean ridge position
firmly established over the UT/AZ border Monday, and the bulk of
the area existing on the northern periphery of the anticyclonic
circulation, strong subsidence will aid to drive H7 temps into
the +18-19 range by the afternoon. Flow at that time will largely
be westerly and quite dry, as the moisture tap will remain shunted
south, with return flow west in Nevada. As such, looking at dry
and hot conditions areawide with temps pushing 10 to 15 degrees
above climo many areas.

Aforementioned return flow will slowly moisten from the southwest
through Tuesday as the ridge axis jogs east slightly, and the
initial stages of a modest deep layer moisture surge is expected
to occur at that time. Models continue to be a tad slower
advecting this moisture into the forecast area midweek, but
continue to agree that PWAT values will climb towards an inch
Thursday through Friday, with the deepest moisture residing
across the southern half of the state.

Expect as PWAT trends increase enough to support convection
Tue/Wed the sub-cloud layer will remain quite dry owing towards
cells remaining high based with limited rainfall, gusty winds, and
potential for dry lightning. Bulk if not all of these cells should
remain tide to the terrain due to lack of steering flow beneath
the high. Thereafter however, deeper moisture coupled with a
greater potential of return flow waves passing NE through the area
should trend to support scattered convection with greater
potential of rainfall Thu/Fri.

H7 temp trends plateau Tuesday then gradually fall through day 7,
and with increased cloud cover and RH still looking for slightly
cooler temps Wed on (still above climo however).

&&

.AVIATION...North winds are expected to continue at the SLC terminal
through the night and into Saturday. There is only a 20 percent
chance that winds will become briefly light southerly or light and
variable, mainly in the 10-15z timeframe. Otherwise, VFR conditions
will prevail under mostly clear skies.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...A cold front has moved into northern Utah this
afternoon and will continue through central Utah tonight before
weakening. Winds will be breezy in association with the front, but
will weaken overnight and become much lighter tomorrow. Behind the
front, conditions will be dry, stable, and much cooler, with high
temperatures near or slightly below seasonal normals. High pressure
will build back in for Sunday and Monday, allowing temperatures to
rapidly warm. Moisture will start to return to the area on Tuesday,
bringing a chance of showers and thunderstorms back into the
forecast.

&&

.SLC Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
UT...None.
WY...None.
&&

$$

Traphagan/Merrill/Cheng

For more information from NOAA`s National Weather Service visit...
http://weather.gov/saltlakecity

For frequently asked questions about the Area Forecast Discussion
visit...
http://weather.gov/saltlakecity/general/afd_faqs.php




000
FXUS65 KSLC 241615
AFDSLC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Salt Lake City UT
1015 AM MDT FRI JUN 24 2016

.SYNOPSIS...A dry cold front will move through northern and
central Utah through tonight, resulting in noticeable cooling by
tomorrow. High pressure aloft will rebound Sunday, leading to
another round of hot temperatures for the first part of next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...A broad Pacific trough is spinning over Washington
and Oregon this morning. Ahead of it, skies are mostly clear over
the forecast area, with the exception of some clouds associated
with a few showers over far southeastern Utah. These showers will
continue to weaken through the morning.

The Pacific storm system will track east today and tonight,
remaining just north of the area but pushing a dry cold front over
northern and central Utah today through the overnight hours.
Winds will be gusty at times with the front, especially over
northern Utah, but the most noticeable impact will be a big drop
in temperatures. Maxes Saturday are expected to be up to 10F
cooler than today over northern Utah, a couple of degrees below
seasonal normals. Cooling with the front will be limited over
southern Utah, however, with maxes only cooling off by a few
degrees at best.

Temperatures are expected to warm back up quickly for Sunday as
high pressure rebounds, with maxes running up to 10F above climo.
Further warming is expected for Monday before cooling some as an
influx of moisture arrives beginning Tuesday.

No updates expected to the forecast this morning.

&&

.AVIATION...The SLC terminal will see VFR conditions throughout
the day with mostly clear skies. Northwest winds are expected to
continue throughout the day, becoming gusty at times this
afternoon and into the early evening.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Another hot day is in store for much of the region
under dry southwest flow aloft, while a trough brushing by to our
north will push a dry cool front across the district later today
into Saturday morning. Gusty north winds can be expected late this
afternoon and evening as the front pushes through, especially
across the west deserts. Isolated areas of critical fire weather
conditions are possible across fire weather zones 494 and 498
today with the breezy and dry conditions and critical fuels in
place. Cooler temperatures will reach most locations Saturday,
except for the most southern zones which will not see much of a
change. High pressure then returns Sunday into early next week
with warming and drying conditions district wide.

Increased mid-level moisture is still expected to creep into the
area from the south by the middle of next week, bringing a threat
of showers and thunderstorms. Dry thunderstorms are possible
around mid week, giving way to wetting rains by later in the week.

&&

.SLC Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
UT...None.
WY...None.
&&

$$

Traphagan

For more information from NOAA`s National Weather Service visit...
http://weather.gov/saltlakecity

For frequently asked questions about the Area Forecast Discussion
visit...
http://weather.gov/saltlakecity/general/afd_faqs.php




000
FXUS65 KSLC 241615
AFDSLC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Salt Lake City UT
1015 AM MDT FRI JUN 24 2016

.SYNOPSIS...A dry cold front will move through northern and
central Utah through tonight, resulting in noticeable cooling by
tomorrow. High pressure aloft will rebound Sunday, leading to
another round of hot temperatures for the first part of next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...A broad Pacific trough is spinning over Washington
and Oregon this morning. Ahead of it, skies are mostly clear over
the forecast area, with the exception of some clouds associated
with a few showers over far southeastern Utah. These showers will
continue to weaken through the morning.

The Pacific storm system will track east today and tonight,
remaining just north of the area but pushing a dry cold front over
northern and central Utah today through the overnight hours.
Winds will be gusty at times with the front, especially over
northern Utah, but the most noticeable impact will be a big drop
in temperatures. Maxes Saturday are expected to be up to 10F
cooler than today over northern Utah, a couple of degrees below
seasonal normals. Cooling with the front will be limited over
southern Utah, however, with maxes only cooling off by a few
degrees at best.

Temperatures are expected to warm back up quickly for Sunday as
high pressure rebounds, with maxes running up to 10F above climo.
Further warming is expected for Monday before cooling some as an
influx of moisture arrives beginning Tuesday.

No updates expected to the forecast this morning.

&&

.AVIATION...The SLC terminal will see VFR conditions throughout
the day with mostly clear skies. Northwest winds are expected to
continue throughout the day, becoming gusty at times this
afternoon and into the early evening.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Another hot day is in store for much of the region
under dry southwest flow aloft, while a trough brushing by to our
north will push a dry cool front across the district later today
into Saturday morning. Gusty north winds can be expected late this
afternoon and evening as the front pushes through, especially
across the west deserts. Isolated areas of critical fire weather
conditions are possible across fire weather zones 494 and 498
today with the breezy and dry conditions and critical fuels in
place. Cooler temperatures will reach most locations Saturday,
except for the most southern zones which will not see much of a
change. High pressure then returns Sunday into early next week
with warming and drying conditions district wide.

Increased mid-level moisture is still expected to creep into the
area from the south by the middle of next week, bringing a threat
of showers and thunderstorms. Dry thunderstorms are possible
around mid week, giving way to wetting rains by later in the week.

&&

.SLC Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
UT...None.
WY...None.
&&

$$

Traphagan

For more information from NOAA`s National Weather Service visit...
http://weather.gov/saltlakecity

For frequently asked questions about the Area Forecast Discussion
visit...
http://weather.gov/saltlakecity/general/afd_faqs.php




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