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000
FXUS61 KGYX 061208
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
708 AM EST FRI MAR 6 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND TODAY. A COLD FRONT
WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST ON SATURDAY AND WILL CROSS THE
AREA SATURDAY NIGHT. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE
NORTHWEST SUNDAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION ON
MONDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION ON TUESDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /TODAY/...
UPDATE...
HAVE UPDATED THE GRIDS BASED ON CURRENT CONDITIONS. TEMPERATURES
ARE NOW BOTTOMING OUT WITH MINUS 23 DEGREES NOW IN WHITEFIELD. A
FEW CLOUDS REMAIN IN THE MOUNTAINS WITH MAINLY CLEAR SKIES
CONTINUING ELSEWHERE.

PREV DISC...
THIS MORNING WILL BEGIN WITH ARCTIC AIR ONCE AGAIN
OVER THE REGION. TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN THE DAY WITH READINGS IN
THE SINGLE NUMBERS AT THE COAST TO AS COLD AS 20 BELOW ZERO IN THE
MOUNTAINS.

IT WILL BE MAINLY SUNNY TODAY WITH SOME CLOUDINESS REMAINING
TRAPPED IN THE MOUNTAINS. HIGHS WILL MAINLY BE BETWEEN 15 AND 20
DEGREES FROM NORTH TO SOUTH...HOWEVER THIS MAY BE CONSERVATIVE
WITH THE STRONG MARCH SUN.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT AND SATURDAY/...
WHILE TONIGHT WILL BE YET ANOTHER VERY COLD NIGHT...SOME
SOUTHWESTERLY GRADIENT WILL KEEP READINGS FROM COMPLETELY
BOTTOMING OUT ACROSS THE REGION...ALBEIT EXPECT SOME READINGS
BELOW ZERO IN THE MOUNTAINS.

THE CHANCE FOR LIGHT SNOWFALL WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE IN THE
MOUNTAINS LATE ON SATURDAY AS A WEAK FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE
WEST. THIS SYSTEM IS MOISTURE STARVED...SO VERY LITTLE IN THE WAY
OF SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED OVER THE FAR NORTH AS THE SHORT WAVE
APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
SHORTWAVE TROUGH CROSSES THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT WITH ANY LIGHT
SNOW LIKELY LIMITED TO THE MOUNTAINS. GRADUALLY MODERATING AIR
MASS WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO SLOWLY RISE SUNDAY AND MONDAY. BY
TUESDAY THE ENTIRE AREA SHOULD RISE ABOVE FREEZING... WITH MUCH OF
THE SOUTHERN AND COASTAL AREAS SEEING LOW 40S. BUT A COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA DURING THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY... WITH
MUCH COLDER AIR BEHIND IT. COOLING WILL BE LIMITED BY DOWNSLOPING
CONDITIONS DOWNWIND OF THE MOUNTAINS INITIALLY ON WEDNESDAY... BUT
BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY THE COLD AIR TAKES A FIRMER HOLD
OVER THE AREA. WENT BELOW MODEL GUIDANCE VALUES FOR THURSDAY HIGH
TEMPERATURES AS THERE IS NOW A FAIR CONSENSUS THAT THE COLD AIR
WILL BE IN FULL CONTROL BY THAT POINT. TEMPERATURES MAY NOT RISE
ABOVE FREEZING FOR A COUPLE OF DAYS WHILE THIS COLD AIR MASS
LINGERS OVER THE AREA.

NO SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS
AS ANY WAVES PASSING THROUGH THE FLOW LACK A CONNECTION TO ANY
MOISTURE SOURCE.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE ENTIRE PERIOD
WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD.

LONG TERM...GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH MIDWEEK.
SOME MVFR CONDITIONS IN SNOW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY NIGHT
IN THE MOUNTAINS.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...COLD AIR ADVECTION OVER THE COASTAL WATERS WILL
CREATE GUSTY WINDS FOR A FEW MORE HOURS. WILL HOLD ONTO THE SMALL
CRAFT AND FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORIES UNTIL 7 AM.

LONG TERM...WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE AREA KEEPS WINDS
RELATIVELY LIGHT THROUGH THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$



000
FXUS61 KGYX 061208
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
708 AM EST FRI MAR 6 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND TODAY. A COLD FRONT
WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST ON SATURDAY AND WILL CROSS THE
AREA SATURDAY NIGHT. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE
NORTHWEST SUNDAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION ON
MONDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION ON TUESDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /TODAY/...
UPDATE...
HAVE UPDATED THE GRIDS BASED ON CURRENT CONDITIONS. TEMPERATURES
ARE NOW BOTTOMING OUT WITH MINUS 23 DEGREES NOW IN WHITEFIELD. A
FEW CLOUDS REMAIN IN THE MOUNTAINS WITH MAINLY CLEAR SKIES
CONTINUING ELSEWHERE.

PREV DISC...
THIS MORNING WILL BEGIN WITH ARCTIC AIR ONCE AGAIN
OVER THE REGION. TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN THE DAY WITH READINGS IN
THE SINGLE NUMBERS AT THE COAST TO AS COLD AS 20 BELOW ZERO IN THE
MOUNTAINS.

IT WILL BE MAINLY SUNNY TODAY WITH SOME CLOUDINESS REMAINING
TRAPPED IN THE MOUNTAINS. HIGHS WILL MAINLY BE BETWEEN 15 AND 20
DEGREES FROM NORTH TO SOUTH...HOWEVER THIS MAY BE CONSERVATIVE
WITH THE STRONG MARCH SUN.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT AND SATURDAY/...
WHILE TONIGHT WILL BE YET ANOTHER VERY COLD NIGHT...SOME
SOUTHWESTERLY GRADIENT WILL KEEP READINGS FROM COMPLETELY
BOTTOMING OUT ACROSS THE REGION...ALBEIT EXPECT SOME READINGS
BELOW ZERO IN THE MOUNTAINS.

THE CHANCE FOR LIGHT SNOWFALL WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE IN THE
MOUNTAINS LATE ON SATURDAY AS A WEAK FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE
WEST. THIS SYSTEM IS MOISTURE STARVED...SO VERY LITTLE IN THE WAY
OF SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED OVER THE FAR NORTH AS THE SHORT WAVE
APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
SHORTWAVE TROUGH CROSSES THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT WITH ANY LIGHT
SNOW LIKELY LIMITED TO THE MOUNTAINS. GRADUALLY MODERATING AIR
MASS WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO SLOWLY RISE SUNDAY AND MONDAY. BY
TUESDAY THE ENTIRE AREA SHOULD RISE ABOVE FREEZING... WITH MUCH OF
THE SOUTHERN AND COASTAL AREAS SEEING LOW 40S. BUT A COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA DURING THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY... WITH
MUCH COLDER AIR BEHIND IT. COOLING WILL BE LIMITED BY DOWNSLOPING
CONDITIONS DOWNWIND OF THE MOUNTAINS INITIALLY ON WEDNESDAY... BUT
BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY THE COLD AIR TAKES A FIRMER HOLD
OVER THE AREA. WENT BELOW MODEL GUIDANCE VALUES FOR THURSDAY HIGH
TEMPERATURES AS THERE IS NOW A FAIR CONSENSUS THAT THE COLD AIR
WILL BE IN FULL CONTROL BY THAT POINT. TEMPERATURES MAY NOT RISE
ABOVE FREEZING FOR A COUPLE OF DAYS WHILE THIS COLD AIR MASS
LINGERS OVER THE AREA.

NO SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS
AS ANY WAVES PASSING THROUGH THE FLOW LACK A CONNECTION TO ANY
MOISTURE SOURCE.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE ENTIRE PERIOD
WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD.

LONG TERM...GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH MIDWEEK.
SOME MVFR CONDITIONS IN SNOW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY NIGHT
IN THE MOUNTAINS.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...COLD AIR ADVECTION OVER THE COASTAL WATERS WILL
CREATE GUSTY WINDS FOR A FEW MORE HOURS. WILL HOLD ONTO THE SMALL
CRAFT AND FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORIES UNTIL 7 AM.

LONG TERM...WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE AREA KEEPS WINDS
RELATIVELY LIGHT THROUGH THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$



  [top]

000
FXUS61 KCAR 061042
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
542 AM EST FRI MAR 6 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE SOUTH OF THE AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT. A
COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH LATER SATURDAY THEN CROSS THE REGION
SATURDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD TOWARD THE REGION
SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
5:45 AM UPDATE...THIS MORNING WILL BEGIN VERY COLD, ESPECIALLY IN
THE VALLEYS ACROSS THE NORTH WHERE TEMPERATURES IN SOME AREAS
DROPPED TO THE MID 20S BELOW ZERO. NO MAJOR CHANGES WERE MADE TO
THE FORECAST FOR TODAY.

THE COLD HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WHICH CRESTED ACROSS THE AREA
OVERNIGHT WILL SLIDE SOUTH OF THE REGION TODAY. A CHILLY
SOUTHWESTERLY RETURN FLOW WILL SET IN BEHIND THE HIGH. DOWNEAST
WILL BE MOSTLY SUNNY WHILE SOME WARM ADVECTION MOISTURE ADVECTING
IN BEHIND THE HIGH WILL BRING SOME INCREASING CLOUDS TO NORTHERN
AREAS THIS AFTERNOON. CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE TONIGHT AS
WARM ADVECTION MOISTURE SUPPORTED BY A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE CONTINUES TO PUSH INTO THE AREA. THE NORTH WILL BECOME
MOSTLY CLOUDY WHILE DOWNEAST BECOMES PARTLY CLOUDY. SOME LIGHT
SNOW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS FAR NORTHWESTERN AREAS LATE AT
NIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH NORTHERN MAINE LATER SATURDAY. MOSTLY
CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS WILL OCCUR
ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS SATURDAY...WITH INCREASING CLOUDS DOWNEAST.
THE COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY
SUNDAY WITH A WEAK LOW POSSIBLY FORMING ALONG THE FRONT. EXPECT
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS
ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD TOWARD
THE REGION LATER SUNDAY WITH PARTLY/MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH
DECREASING SNOW SHOWER CHANCES. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE
REGION SUNDAY NIGHT WITH PARTLY/MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES. TEMPERATURES
WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS SATURDAY/SUNDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE COULD CROSS THE REGION MONDAY WITH
MOSTLY/PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOW PRESSURE SHOULD TRACK NORTH OF MAINE TUESDAY THROUGH EARLY
WEDNESDAY. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...WITH PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES DOWNEAST. THE LOW WILL DRAW A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE
REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY WITH PARTLY CLOUDY
SKIES. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS MONDAY AND
THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT NEAR NORMAL LEVELS
TUESDAY...WITH SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AND
TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS
NORTHERN AREAS SATURDAY WITH VFR CONDITIONS DOWNEAST. OCCASIONAL
MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION SATURDAY
NIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED LATER SUNDAY
THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY...PARTICULARLY THE NORTH AND MOUNTAINS.
OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS
TUESDAY...WITH VFR CONDITIONS DOWNEAST.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY AND FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORIES
FOR THIS MORNING WERE CANCELLED. SOME LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY IS
STILL POSSIBLE EARLY THIS MORNING. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN
ISSUED FOR THE OFFSHORE WATERS FOR SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS GUSTING UP
TO 25 KT TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY
INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     SATURDAY FOR ANZ050-051.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...BLOOMER
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/NORCROSS
MARINE...BLOOMER/NORCROSS



000
FXUS61 KCAR 061042
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
542 AM EST FRI MAR 6 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE SOUTH OF THE AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT. A
COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH LATER SATURDAY THEN CROSS THE REGION
SATURDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD TOWARD THE REGION
SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
5:45 AM UPDATE...THIS MORNING WILL BEGIN VERY COLD, ESPECIALLY IN
THE VALLEYS ACROSS THE NORTH WHERE TEMPERATURES IN SOME AREAS
DROPPED TO THE MID 20S BELOW ZERO. NO MAJOR CHANGES WERE MADE TO
THE FORECAST FOR TODAY.

THE COLD HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WHICH CRESTED ACROSS THE AREA
OVERNIGHT WILL SLIDE SOUTH OF THE REGION TODAY. A CHILLY
SOUTHWESTERLY RETURN FLOW WILL SET IN BEHIND THE HIGH. DOWNEAST
WILL BE MOSTLY SUNNY WHILE SOME WARM ADVECTION MOISTURE ADVECTING
IN BEHIND THE HIGH WILL BRING SOME INCREASING CLOUDS TO NORTHERN
AREAS THIS AFTERNOON. CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE TONIGHT AS
WARM ADVECTION MOISTURE SUPPORTED BY A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE CONTINUES TO PUSH INTO THE AREA. THE NORTH WILL BECOME
MOSTLY CLOUDY WHILE DOWNEAST BECOMES PARTLY CLOUDY. SOME LIGHT
SNOW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS FAR NORTHWESTERN AREAS LATE AT
NIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH NORTHERN MAINE LATER SATURDAY. MOSTLY
CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS WILL OCCUR
ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS SATURDAY...WITH INCREASING CLOUDS DOWNEAST.
THE COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY
SUNDAY WITH A WEAK LOW POSSIBLY FORMING ALONG THE FRONT. EXPECT
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS
ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD TOWARD
THE REGION LATER SUNDAY WITH PARTLY/MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH
DECREASING SNOW SHOWER CHANCES. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE
REGION SUNDAY NIGHT WITH PARTLY/MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES. TEMPERATURES
WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS SATURDAY/SUNDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE COULD CROSS THE REGION MONDAY WITH
MOSTLY/PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOW PRESSURE SHOULD TRACK NORTH OF MAINE TUESDAY THROUGH EARLY
WEDNESDAY. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...WITH PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES DOWNEAST. THE LOW WILL DRAW A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE
REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY WITH PARTLY CLOUDY
SKIES. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS MONDAY AND
THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT NEAR NORMAL LEVELS
TUESDAY...WITH SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AND
TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS
NORTHERN AREAS SATURDAY WITH VFR CONDITIONS DOWNEAST. OCCASIONAL
MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION SATURDAY
NIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED LATER SUNDAY
THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY...PARTICULARLY THE NORTH AND MOUNTAINS.
OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS
TUESDAY...WITH VFR CONDITIONS DOWNEAST.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY AND FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORIES
FOR THIS MORNING WERE CANCELLED. SOME LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY IS
STILL POSSIBLE EARLY THIS MORNING. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN
ISSUED FOR THE OFFSHORE WATERS FOR SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS GUSTING UP
TO 25 KT TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY
INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     SATURDAY FOR ANZ050-051.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...BLOOMER
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/NORCROSS
MARINE...BLOOMER/NORCROSS




000
FXUS61 KCAR 061042
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
542 AM EST FRI MAR 6 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE SOUTH OF THE AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT. A
COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH LATER SATURDAY THEN CROSS THE REGION
SATURDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD TOWARD THE REGION
SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
5:45 AM UPDATE...THIS MORNING WILL BEGIN VERY COLD, ESPECIALLY IN
THE VALLEYS ACROSS THE NORTH WHERE TEMPERATURES IN SOME AREAS
DROPPED TO THE MID 20S BELOW ZERO. NO MAJOR CHANGES WERE MADE TO
THE FORECAST FOR TODAY.

THE COLD HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WHICH CRESTED ACROSS THE AREA
OVERNIGHT WILL SLIDE SOUTH OF THE REGION TODAY. A CHILLY
SOUTHWESTERLY RETURN FLOW WILL SET IN BEHIND THE HIGH. DOWNEAST
WILL BE MOSTLY SUNNY WHILE SOME WARM ADVECTION MOISTURE ADVECTING
IN BEHIND THE HIGH WILL BRING SOME INCREASING CLOUDS TO NORTHERN
AREAS THIS AFTERNOON. CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE TONIGHT AS
WARM ADVECTION MOISTURE SUPPORTED BY A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE CONTINUES TO PUSH INTO THE AREA. THE NORTH WILL BECOME
MOSTLY CLOUDY WHILE DOWNEAST BECOMES PARTLY CLOUDY. SOME LIGHT
SNOW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS FAR NORTHWESTERN AREAS LATE AT
NIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH NORTHERN MAINE LATER SATURDAY. MOSTLY
CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS WILL OCCUR
ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS SATURDAY...WITH INCREASING CLOUDS DOWNEAST.
THE COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY
SUNDAY WITH A WEAK LOW POSSIBLY FORMING ALONG THE FRONT. EXPECT
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS
ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD TOWARD
THE REGION LATER SUNDAY WITH PARTLY/MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH
DECREASING SNOW SHOWER CHANCES. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE
REGION SUNDAY NIGHT WITH PARTLY/MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES. TEMPERATURES
WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS SATURDAY/SUNDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE COULD CROSS THE REGION MONDAY WITH
MOSTLY/PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOW PRESSURE SHOULD TRACK NORTH OF MAINE TUESDAY THROUGH EARLY
WEDNESDAY. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...WITH PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES DOWNEAST. THE LOW WILL DRAW A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE
REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY WITH PARTLY CLOUDY
SKIES. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS MONDAY AND
THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT NEAR NORMAL LEVELS
TUESDAY...WITH SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AND
TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS
NORTHERN AREAS SATURDAY WITH VFR CONDITIONS DOWNEAST. OCCASIONAL
MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION SATURDAY
NIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED LATER SUNDAY
THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY...PARTICULARLY THE NORTH AND MOUNTAINS.
OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS
TUESDAY...WITH VFR CONDITIONS DOWNEAST.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY AND FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORIES
FOR THIS MORNING WERE CANCELLED. SOME LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY IS
STILL POSSIBLE EARLY THIS MORNING. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN
ISSUED FOR THE OFFSHORE WATERS FOR SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS GUSTING UP
TO 25 KT TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY
INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     SATURDAY FOR ANZ050-051.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...BLOOMER
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/NORCROSS
MARINE...BLOOMER/NORCROSS




000
FXUS61 KCAR 061042
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
542 AM EST FRI MAR 6 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE SOUTH OF THE AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT. A
COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH LATER SATURDAY THEN CROSS THE REGION
SATURDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD TOWARD THE REGION
SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
5:45 AM UPDATE...THIS MORNING WILL BEGIN VERY COLD, ESPECIALLY IN
THE VALLEYS ACROSS THE NORTH WHERE TEMPERATURES IN SOME AREAS
DROPPED TO THE MID 20S BELOW ZERO. NO MAJOR CHANGES WERE MADE TO
THE FORECAST FOR TODAY.

THE COLD HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WHICH CRESTED ACROSS THE AREA
OVERNIGHT WILL SLIDE SOUTH OF THE REGION TODAY. A CHILLY
SOUTHWESTERLY RETURN FLOW WILL SET IN BEHIND THE HIGH. DOWNEAST
WILL BE MOSTLY SUNNY WHILE SOME WARM ADVECTION MOISTURE ADVECTING
IN BEHIND THE HIGH WILL BRING SOME INCREASING CLOUDS TO NORTHERN
AREAS THIS AFTERNOON. CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE TONIGHT AS
WARM ADVECTION MOISTURE SUPPORTED BY A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE CONTINUES TO PUSH INTO THE AREA. THE NORTH WILL BECOME
MOSTLY CLOUDY WHILE DOWNEAST BECOMES PARTLY CLOUDY. SOME LIGHT
SNOW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS FAR NORTHWESTERN AREAS LATE AT
NIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH NORTHERN MAINE LATER SATURDAY. MOSTLY
CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS WILL OCCUR
ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS SATURDAY...WITH INCREASING CLOUDS DOWNEAST.
THE COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY
SUNDAY WITH A WEAK LOW POSSIBLY FORMING ALONG THE FRONT. EXPECT
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS
ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD TOWARD
THE REGION LATER SUNDAY WITH PARTLY/MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH
DECREASING SNOW SHOWER CHANCES. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE
REGION SUNDAY NIGHT WITH PARTLY/MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES. TEMPERATURES
WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS SATURDAY/SUNDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE COULD CROSS THE REGION MONDAY WITH
MOSTLY/PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOW PRESSURE SHOULD TRACK NORTH OF MAINE TUESDAY THROUGH EARLY
WEDNESDAY. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...WITH PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES DOWNEAST. THE LOW WILL DRAW A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE
REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY WITH PARTLY CLOUDY
SKIES. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS MONDAY AND
THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT NEAR NORMAL LEVELS
TUESDAY...WITH SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AND
TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS
NORTHERN AREAS SATURDAY WITH VFR CONDITIONS DOWNEAST. OCCASIONAL
MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION SATURDAY
NIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED LATER SUNDAY
THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY...PARTICULARLY THE NORTH AND MOUNTAINS.
OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS
TUESDAY...WITH VFR CONDITIONS DOWNEAST.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY AND FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORIES
FOR THIS MORNING WERE CANCELLED. SOME LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY IS
STILL POSSIBLE EARLY THIS MORNING. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN
ISSUED FOR THE OFFSHORE WATERS FOR SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS GUSTING UP
TO 25 KT TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY
INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     SATURDAY FOR ANZ050-051.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...BLOOMER
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/NORCROSS
MARINE...BLOOMER/NORCROSS




000
FXUS61 KCAR 061042
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
542 AM EST FRI MAR 6 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE SOUTH OF THE AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT. A
COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH LATER SATURDAY THEN CROSS THE REGION
SATURDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD TOWARD THE REGION
SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
5:45 AM UPDATE...THIS MORNING WILL BEGIN VERY COLD, ESPECIALLY IN
THE VALLEYS ACROSS THE NORTH WHERE TEMPERATURES IN SOME AREAS
DROPPED TO THE MID 20S BELOW ZERO. NO MAJOR CHANGES WERE MADE TO
THE FORECAST FOR TODAY.

THE COLD HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WHICH CRESTED ACROSS THE AREA
OVERNIGHT WILL SLIDE SOUTH OF THE REGION TODAY. A CHILLY
SOUTHWESTERLY RETURN FLOW WILL SET IN BEHIND THE HIGH. DOWNEAST
WILL BE MOSTLY SUNNY WHILE SOME WARM ADVECTION MOISTURE ADVECTING
IN BEHIND THE HIGH WILL BRING SOME INCREASING CLOUDS TO NORTHERN
AREAS THIS AFTERNOON. CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE TONIGHT AS
WARM ADVECTION MOISTURE SUPPORTED BY A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE CONTINUES TO PUSH INTO THE AREA. THE NORTH WILL BECOME
MOSTLY CLOUDY WHILE DOWNEAST BECOMES PARTLY CLOUDY. SOME LIGHT
SNOW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS FAR NORTHWESTERN AREAS LATE AT
NIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH NORTHERN MAINE LATER SATURDAY. MOSTLY
CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS WILL OCCUR
ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS SATURDAY...WITH INCREASING CLOUDS DOWNEAST.
THE COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY
SUNDAY WITH A WEAK LOW POSSIBLY FORMING ALONG THE FRONT. EXPECT
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS
ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD TOWARD
THE REGION LATER SUNDAY WITH PARTLY/MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH
DECREASING SNOW SHOWER CHANCES. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE
REGION SUNDAY NIGHT WITH PARTLY/MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES. TEMPERATURES
WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS SATURDAY/SUNDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE COULD CROSS THE REGION MONDAY WITH
MOSTLY/PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOW PRESSURE SHOULD TRACK NORTH OF MAINE TUESDAY THROUGH EARLY
WEDNESDAY. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...WITH PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES DOWNEAST. THE LOW WILL DRAW A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE
REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY WITH PARTLY CLOUDY
SKIES. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS MONDAY AND
THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT NEAR NORMAL LEVELS
TUESDAY...WITH SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AND
TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS
NORTHERN AREAS SATURDAY WITH VFR CONDITIONS DOWNEAST. OCCASIONAL
MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION SATURDAY
NIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED LATER SUNDAY
THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY...PARTICULARLY THE NORTH AND MOUNTAINS.
OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS
TUESDAY...WITH VFR CONDITIONS DOWNEAST.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY AND FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORIES
FOR THIS MORNING WERE CANCELLED. SOME LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY IS
STILL POSSIBLE EARLY THIS MORNING. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN
ISSUED FOR THE OFFSHORE WATERS FOR SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS GUSTING UP
TO 25 KT TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY
INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     SATURDAY FOR ANZ050-051.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...BLOOMER
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/NORCROSS
MARINE...BLOOMER/NORCROSS




000
FXUS61 KCAR 061042
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
542 AM EST FRI MAR 6 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE SOUTH OF THE AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT. A
COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH LATER SATURDAY THEN CROSS THE REGION
SATURDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD TOWARD THE REGION
SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
5:45 AM UPDATE...THIS MORNING WILL BEGIN VERY COLD, ESPECIALLY IN
THE VALLEYS ACROSS THE NORTH WHERE TEMPERATURES IN SOME AREAS
DROPPED TO THE MID 20S BELOW ZERO. NO MAJOR CHANGES WERE MADE TO
THE FORECAST FOR TODAY.

THE COLD HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WHICH CRESTED ACROSS THE AREA
OVERNIGHT WILL SLIDE SOUTH OF THE REGION TODAY. A CHILLY
SOUTHWESTERLY RETURN FLOW WILL SET IN BEHIND THE HIGH. DOWNEAST
WILL BE MOSTLY SUNNY WHILE SOME WARM ADVECTION MOISTURE ADVECTING
IN BEHIND THE HIGH WILL BRING SOME INCREASING CLOUDS TO NORTHERN
AREAS THIS AFTERNOON. CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE TONIGHT AS
WARM ADVECTION MOISTURE SUPPORTED BY A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE CONTINUES TO PUSH INTO THE AREA. THE NORTH WILL BECOME
MOSTLY CLOUDY WHILE DOWNEAST BECOMES PARTLY CLOUDY. SOME LIGHT
SNOW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS FAR NORTHWESTERN AREAS LATE AT
NIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH NORTHERN MAINE LATER SATURDAY. MOSTLY
CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS WILL OCCUR
ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS SATURDAY...WITH INCREASING CLOUDS DOWNEAST.
THE COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY
SUNDAY WITH A WEAK LOW POSSIBLY FORMING ALONG THE FRONT. EXPECT
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS
ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD TOWARD
THE REGION LATER SUNDAY WITH PARTLY/MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH
DECREASING SNOW SHOWER CHANCES. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE
REGION SUNDAY NIGHT WITH PARTLY/MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES. TEMPERATURES
WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS SATURDAY/SUNDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE COULD CROSS THE REGION MONDAY WITH
MOSTLY/PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOW PRESSURE SHOULD TRACK NORTH OF MAINE TUESDAY THROUGH EARLY
WEDNESDAY. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...WITH PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES DOWNEAST. THE LOW WILL DRAW A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE
REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY WITH PARTLY CLOUDY
SKIES. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS MONDAY AND
THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT NEAR NORMAL LEVELS
TUESDAY...WITH SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AND
TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS
NORTHERN AREAS SATURDAY WITH VFR CONDITIONS DOWNEAST. OCCASIONAL
MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION SATURDAY
NIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED LATER SUNDAY
THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY...PARTICULARLY THE NORTH AND MOUNTAINS.
OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS
TUESDAY...WITH VFR CONDITIONS DOWNEAST.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY AND FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORIES
FOR THIS MORNING WERE CANCELLED. SOME LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY IS
STILL POSSIBLE EARLY THIS MORNING. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN
ISSUED FOR THE OFFSHORE WATERS FOR SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS GUSTING UP
TO 25 KT TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY
INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     SATURDAY FOR ANZ050-051.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...BLOOMER
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/NORCROSS
MARINE...BLOOMER/NORCROSS




000
FXUS61 KCAR 061040
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
540 AM EST FRI MAR 6 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE SOUTH OF THE AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT. A
COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH LATER SATURDAY THEN CROSS THE REGION
SATURDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD TOWARD THE REGION
SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
THE COLD HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WHICH CRESTED ACROSS THE AREA
OVERNIGHT WILL SLIDE SOUTH OF THE REGION TODAY. A CHILLY
SOUTHWESTERLY RETURN FLOW WILL SET IN BEHIND THE HIGH. DOWNEAST
WILL BE MOSTLY SUNNY WHILE SOME WARM ADVECTION MOISTURE ADVECTING
IN BEHIND THE HIGH WILL BRING SOME INCREASING CLOUDS TO NORTHERN
AREAS THIS AFTERNOON. CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE TONIGHT AS
WARM ADVECTION MOISTURE SUPPORTED BY A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE CONTINUES TO PUSH INTO THE AREA. THE NORTH WILL BECOME
MOSTLY CLOUDY WHILE DOWNEAST BECOMES PARTLY CLOUDY. SOME LIGHT
SNOW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS FAR NORTHWESTERN AREAS LATE AT
NIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH NORTHERN MAINE LATER SATURDAY. MOSTLY
CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS WILL OCCUR
ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS SATURDAY...WITH INCREASING CLOUDS DOWNEAST.
THE COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY
SUNDAY WITH A WEAK LOW POSSIBLY FORMING ALONG THE FRONT. EXPECT
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS
ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD TOWARD
THE REGION LATER SUNDAY WITH PARTLY/MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH
DECREASING SNOW SHOWER CHANCES. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE
REGION SUNDAY NIGHT WITH PARTLY/MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES. TEMPERATURES
WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS SATURDAY/SUNDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE COULD CROSS THE REGION MONDAY WITH
MOSTLY/PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOW PRESSURE SHOULD TRACK NORTH OF MAINE TUESDAY THROUGH EARLY
WEDNESDAY. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...WITH PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES DOWNEAST. THE LOW WILL DRAW A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE
REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY WITH PARTLY CLOUDY
SKIES. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS MONDAY AND
THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT NEAR NORMAL LEVELS
TUESDAY...WITH SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AND
TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS
NORTHERN AREAS SATURDAY WITH VFR CONDITIONS DOWNEAST. OCCASIONAL
MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION SATURDAY
NIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED LATER SUNDAY
THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY...PARTICULARLY THE NORTH AND MOUNTAINS.
OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS
TUESDAY...WITH VFR CONDITIONS DOWNEAST.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY AND FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORIES
FOR THIS MORNING WERE CANCELLED. SOME LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY IS
STILL POSSIBLE EARLY THIS MORNING. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN
ISSUED FOR THE OFFSHORE WATERS FOR SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS GUSTING UP
TO 25 KT TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY
INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     SATURDAY FOR ANZ050-051.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...BLOOMER
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/NORCROSS
MARINE...BLOOMER/NORCROSS




000
FXUS61 KCAR 061040
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
540 AM EST FRI MAR 6 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE SOUTH OF THE AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT. A
COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH LATER SATURDAY THEN CROSS THE REGION
SATURDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD TOWARD THE REGION
SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
THE COLD HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WHICH CRESTED ACROSS THE AREA
OVERNIGHT WILL SLIDE SOUTH OF THE REGION TODAY. A CHILLY
SOUTHWESTERLY RETURN FLOW WILL SET IN BEHIND THE HIGH. DOWNEAST
WILL BE MOSTLY SUNNY WHILE SOME WARM ADVECTION MOISTURE ADVECTING
IN BEHIND THE HIGH WILL BRING SOME INCREASING CLOUDS TO NORTHERN
AREAS THIS AFTERNOON. CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE TONIGHT AS
WARM ADVECTION MOISTURE SUPPORTED BY A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE CONTINUES TO PUSH INTO THE AREA. THE NORTH WILL BECOME
MOSTLY CLOUDY WHILE DOWNEAST BECOMES PARTLY CLOUDY. SOME LIGHT
SNOW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS FAR NORTHWESTERN AREAS LATE AT
NIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH NORTHERN MAINE LATER SATURDAY. MOSTLY
CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS WILL OCCUR
ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS SATURDAY...WITH INCREASING CLOUDS DOWNEAST.
THE COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY
SUNDAY WITH A WEAK LOW POSSIBLY FORMING ALONG THE FRONT. EXPECT
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS
ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD TOWARD
THE REGION LATER SUNDAY WITH PARTLY/MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH
DECREASING SNOW SHOWER CHANCES. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE
REGION SUNDAY NIGHT WITH PARTLY/MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES. TEMPERATURES
WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS SATURDAY/SUNDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE COULD CROSS THE REGION MONDAY WITH
MOSTLY/PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOW PRESSURE SHOULD TRACK NORTH OF MAINE TUESDAY THROUGH EARLY
WEDNESDAY. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...WITH PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES DOWNEAST. THE LOW WILL DRAW A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE
REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY WITH PARTLY CLOUDY
SKIES. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS MONDAY AND
THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT NEAR NORMAL LEVELS
TUESDAY...WITH SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AND
TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS
NORTHERN AREAS SATURDAY WITH VFR CONDITIONS DOWNEAST. OCCASIONAL
MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION SATURDAY
NIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED LATER SUNDAY
THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY...PARTICULARLY THE NORTH AND MOUNTAINS.
OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS
TUESDAY...WITH VFR CONDITIONS DOWNEAST.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY AND FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORIES
FOR THIS MORNING WERE CANCELLED. SOME LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY IS
STILL POSSIBLE EARLY THIS MORNING. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN
ISSUED FOR THE OFFSHORE WATERS FOR SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS GUSTING UP
TO 25 KT TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY
INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     SATURDAY FOR ANZ050-051.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...BLOOMER
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/NORCROSS
MARINE...BLOOMER/NORCROSS




000
FXUS61 KCAR 061040
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
540 AM EST FRI MAR 6 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE SOUTH OF THE AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT. A
COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH LATER SATURDAY THEN CROSS THE REGION
SATURDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD TOWARD THE REGION
SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
THE COLD HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WHICH CRESTED ACROSS THE AREA
OVERNIGHT WILL SLIDE SOUTH OF THE REGION TODAY. A CHILLY
SOUTHWESTERLY RETURN FLOW WILL SET IN BEHIND THE HIGH. DOWNEAST
WILL BE MOSTLY SUNNY WHILE SOME WARM ADVECTION MOISTURE ADVECTING
IN BEHIND THE HIGH WILL BRING SOME INCREASING CLOUDS TO NORTHERN
AREAS THIS AFTERNOON. CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE TONIGHT AS
WARM ADVECTION MOISTURE SUPPORTED BY A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE CONTINUES TO PUSH INTO THE AREA. THE NORTH WILL BECOME
MOSTLY CLOUDY WHILE DOWNEAST BECOMES PARTLY CLOUDY. SOME LIGHT
SNOW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS FAR NORTHWESTERN AREAS LATE AT
NIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH NORTHERN MAINE LATER SATURDAY. MOSTLY
CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS WILL OCCUR
ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS SATURDAY...WITH INCREASING CLOUDS DOWNEAST.
THE COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY
SUNDAY WITH A WEAK LOW POSSIBLY FORMING ALONG THE FRONT. EXPECT
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS
ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD TOWARD
THE REGION LATER SUNDAY WITH PARTLY/MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH
DECREASING SNOW SHOWER CHANCES. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE
REGION SUNDAY NIGHT WITH PARTLY/MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES. TEMPERATURES
WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS SATURDAY/SUNDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE COULD CROSS THE REGION MONDAY WITH
MOSTLY/PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOW PRESSURE SHOULD TRACK NORTH OF MAINE TUESDAY THROUGH EARLY
WEDNESDAY. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...WITH PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES DOWNEAST. THE LOW WILL DRAW A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE
REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY WITH PARTLY CLOUDY
SKIES. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS MONDAY AND
THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT NEAR NORMAL LEVELS
TUESDAY...WITH SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AND
TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS
NORTHERN AREAS SATURDAY WITH VFR CONDITIONS DOWNEAST. OCCASIONAL
MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION SATURDAY
NIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED LATER SUNDAY
THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY...PARTICULARLY THE NORTH AND MOUNTAINS.
OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS
TUESDAY...WITH VFR CONDITIONS DOWNEAST.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY AND FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORIES
FOR THIS MORNING WERE CANCELLED. SOME LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY IS
STILL POSSIBLE EARLY THIS MORNING. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN
ISSUED FOR THE OFFSHORE WATERS FOR SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS GUSTING UP
TO 25 KT TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY
INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     SATURDAY FOR ANZ050-051.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...BLOOMER
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/NORCROSS
MARINE...BLOOMER/NORCROSS




000
FXUS61 KCAR 061040
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
540 AM EST FRI MAR 6 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE SOUTH OF THE AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT. A
COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH LATER SATURDAY THEN CROSS THE REGION
SATURDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD TOWARD THE REGION
SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
THE COLD HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WHICH CRESTED ACROSS THE AREA
OVERNIGHT WILL SLIDE SOUTH OF THE REGION TODAY. A CHILLY
SOUTHWESTERLY RETURN FLOW WILL SET IN BEHIND THE HIGH. DOWNEAST
WILL BE MOSTLY SUNNY WHILE SOME WARM ADVECTION MOISTURE ADVECTING
IN BEHIND THE HIGH WILL BRING SOME INCREASING CLOUDS TO NORTHERN
AREAS THIS AFTERNOON. CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE TONIGHT AS
WARM ADVECTION MOISTURE SUPPORTED BY A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE CONTINUES TO PUSH INTO THE AREA. THE NORTH WILL BECOME
MOSTLY CLOUDY WHILE DOWNEAST BECOMES PARTLY CLOUDY. SOME LIGHT
SNOW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS FAR NORTHWESTERN AREAS LATE AT
NIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH NORTHERN MAINE LATER SATURDAY. MOSTLY
CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS WILL OCCUR
ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS SATURDAY...WITH INCREASING CLOUDS DOWNEAST.
THE COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY
SUNDAY WITH A WEAK LOW POSSIBLY FORMING ALONG THE FRONT. EXPECT
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS
ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD TOWARD
THE REGION LATER SUNDAY WITH PARTLY/MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH
DECREASING SNOW SHOWER CHANCES. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE
REGION SUNDAY NIGHT WITH PARTLY/MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES. TEMPERATURES
WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS SATURDAY/SUNDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE COULD CROSS THE REGION MONDAY WITH
MOSTLY/PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOW PRESSURE SHOULD TRACK NORTH OF MAINE TUESDAY THROUGH EARLY
WEDNESDAY. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...WITH PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES DOWNEAST. THE LOW WILL DRAW A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE
REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY WITH PARTLY CLOUDY
SKIES. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS MONDAY AND
THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT NEAR NORMAL LEVELS
TUESDAY...WITH SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AND
TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS
NORTHERN AREAS SATURDAY WITH VFR CONDITIONS DOWNEAST. OCCASIONAL
MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION SATURDAY
NIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED LATER SUNDAY
THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY...PARTICULARLY THE NORTH AND MOUNTAINS.
OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS
TUESDAY...WITH VFR CONDITIONS DOWNEAST.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY AND FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORIES
FOR THIS MORNING WERE CANCELLED. SOME LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY IS
STILL POSSIBLE EARLY THIS MORNING. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN
ISSUED FOR THE OFFSHORE WATERS FOR SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS GUSTING UP
TO 25 KT TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY
INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     SATURDAY FOR ANZ050-051.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...BLOOMER
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/NORCROSS
MARINE...BLOOMER/NORCROSS




000
FXUS61 KCAR 061040
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
540 AM EST FRI MAR 6 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE SOUTH OF THE AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT. A
COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH LATER SATURDAY THEN CROSS THE REGION
SATURDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD TOWARD THE REGION
SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
THE COLD HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WHICH CRESTED ACROSS THE AREA
OVERNIGHT WILL SLIDE SOUTH OF THE REGION TODAY. A CHILLY
SOUTHWESTERLY RETURN FLOW WILL SET IN BEHIND THE HIGH. DOWNEAST
WILL BE MOSTLY SUNNY WHILE SOME WARM ADVECTION MOISTURE ADVECTING
IN BEHIND THE HIGH WILL BRING SOME INCREASING CLOUDS TO NORTHERN
AREAS THIS AFTERNOON. CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE TONIGHT AS
WARM ADVECTION MOISTURE SUPPORTED BY A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE CONTINUES TO PUSH INTO THE AREA. THE NORTH WILL BECOME
MOSTLY CLOUDY WHILE DOWNEAST BECOMES PARTLY CLOUDY. SOME LIGHT
SNOW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS FAR NORTHWESTERN AREAS LATE AT
NIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH NORTHERN MAINE LATER SATURDAY. MOSTLY
CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS WILL OCCUR
ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS SATURDAY...WITH INCREASING CLOUDS DOWNEAST.
THE COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY
SUNDAY WITH A WEAK LOW POSSIBLY FORMING ALONG THE FRONT. EXPECT
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS
ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD TOWARD
THE REGION LATER SUNDAY WITH PARTLY/MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH
DECREASING SNOW SHOWER CHANCES. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE
REGION SUNDAY NIGHT WITH PARTLY/MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES. TEMPERATURES
WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS SATURDAY/SUNDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE COULD CROSS THE REGION MONDAY WITH
MOSTLY/PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOW PRESSURE SHOULD TRACK NORTH OF MAINE TUESDAY THROUGH EARLY
WEDNESDAY. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...WITH PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES DOWNEAST. THE LOW WILL DRAW A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE
REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY WITH PARTLY CLOUDY
SKIES. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS MONDAY AND
THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT NEAR NORMAL LEVELS
TUESDAY...WITH SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AND
TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS
NORTHERN AREAS SATURDAY WITH VFR CONDITIONS DOWNEAST. OCCASIONAL
MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION SATURDAY
NIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED LATER SUNDAY
THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY...PARTICULARLY THE NORTH AND MOUNTAINS.
OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS
TUESDAY...WITH VFR CONDITIONS DOWNEAST.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY AND FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORIES
FOR THIS MORNING WERE CANCELLED. SOME LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY IS
STILL POSSIBLE EARLY THIS MORNING. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN
ISSUED FOR THE OFFSHORE WATERS FOR SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS GUSTING UP
TO 25 KT TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY
INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     SATURDAY FOR ANZ050-051.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...BLOOMER
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/NORCROSS
MARINE...BLOOMER/NORCROSS




000
FXUS61 KCAR 061040
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
540 AM EST FRI MAR 6 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE SOUTH OF THE AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT. A
COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH LATER SATURDAY THEN CROSS THE REGION
SATURDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD TOWARD THE REGION
SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
THE COLD HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WHICH CRESTED ACROSS THE AREA
OVERNIGHT WILL SLIDE SOUTH OF THE REGION TODAY. A CHILLY
SOUTHWESTERLY RETURN FLOW WILL SET IN BEHIND THE HIGH. DOWNEAST
WILL BE MOSTLY SUNNY WHILE SOME WARM ADVECTION MOISTURE ADVECTING
IN BEHIND THE HIGH WILL BRING SOME INCREASING CLOUDS TO NORTHERN
AREAS THIS AFTERNOON. CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE TONIGHT AS
WARM ADVECTION MOISTURE SUPPORTED BY A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE CONTINUES TO PUSH INTO THE AREA. THE NORTH WILL BECOME
MOSTLY CLOUDY WHILE DOWNEAST BECOMES PARTLY CLOUDY. SOME LIGHT
SNOW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS FAR NORTHWESTERN AREAS LATE AT
NIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH NORTHERN MAINE LATER SATURDAY. MOSTLY
CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS WILL OCCUR
ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS SATURDAY...WITH INCREASING CLOUDS DOWNEAST.
THE COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY
SUNDAY WITH A WEAK LOW POSSIBLY FORMING ALONG THE FRONT. EXPECT
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS
ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD TOWARD
THE REGION LATER SUNDAY WITH PARTLY/MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH
DECREASING SNOW SHOWER CHANCES. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE
REGION SUNDAY NIGHT WITH PARTLY/MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES. TEMPERATURES
WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS SATURDAY/SUNDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE COULD CROSS THE REGION MONDAY WITH
MOSTLY/PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOW PRESSURE SHOULD TRACK NORTH OF MAINE TUESDAY THROUGH EARLY
WEDNESDAY. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...WITH PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES DOWNEAST. THE LOW WILL DRAW A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE
REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY WITH PARTLY CLOUDY
SKIES. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS MONDAY AND
THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT NEAR NORMAL LEVELS
TUESDAY...WITH SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AND
TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS
NORTHERN AREAS SATURDAY WITH VFR CONDITIONS DOWNEAST. OCCASIONAL
MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION SATURDAY
NIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED LATER SUNDAY
THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY...PARTICULARLY THE NORTH AND MOUNTAINS.
OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS
TUESDAY...WITH VFR CONDITIONS DOWNEAST.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY AND FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORIES
FOR THIS MORNING WERE CANCELLED. SOME LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY IS
STILL POSSIBLE EARLY THIS MORNING. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN
ISSUED FOR THE OFFSHORE WATERS FOR SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS GUSTING UP
TO 25 KT TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY
INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     SATURDAY FOR ANZ050-051.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...BLOOMER
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/NORCROSS
MARINE...BLOOMER/NORCROSS



000
FXUS61 KCAR 060941
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
441 AM EST FRI MAR 6 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE SOUTH OF THE AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT. A
COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH LATER SATURDAY THEN CROSS THE REGION
SATURDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD TOWARD THE REGION
SUNDAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
THE COLD HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WHICH CRESTED ACROSS THE AREA
OVERNIGHT WILL SLIDE SOUTH OF THE REGION TODAY. A CHILLY
SOUTHWESTERLY RETURN FLOW WILL SET IN BEHIND THE HIGH. DOWNEAST
WILL BE MOSTLY SUNNY WHILE SOME WARM ADVECTION MOISTURE ADVECTING
IN BEHIND THE HIGH WILL BRING SOME INCREASING CLOUDS TO NORTHERN
AREAS THIS AFTERNOON. CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE TONIGHT AS
WARM ADVECTION MOISTURE SUPPORTED BY A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE CONTINUES TO PUSH INTO THE AREA. THE NORTH WILL BECOME
MOSTLY CLOUDY WHILE DOWNEAST BECOMES PARTLY CLOUDY. SOME LIGHT
SNOW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS FAR NORTHWESTERN AREAS LATE AT
NIGHT.
&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH NORTHERN MAINE LATER SATURDAY. MOSTLY
CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS WILL OCCUR
ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS SATURDAY...WITH INCREASING CLOUDS DOWNEAST.
THE COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY
SUNDAY WITH A WEAK LOW POSSIBLY FORMING ALONG THE FRONT. EXPECT
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS
ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD TOWARD
THE REGION LATER SUNDAY WITH PARTLY/MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH
DECREASING SNOW SHOWER CHANCES. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE
REGION SUNDAY NIGHT WITH PARTLY/MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES. TEMPERATURES
WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS SATURDAY/SUNDAY.
&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE COULD CROSS THE REGION MONDAY WITH
MOSTLY/PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOW PRESSURE SHOULD TRACK NORTH OF MAINE TUESDAY THROUGH EARLY
WEDNESDAY. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...WITH PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES DOWNEAST. THE LOW WILL DRAW A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE
REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY WITH PARTLY CLOUDY
SKIES. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS MONDAY AND
THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT NEAR NORMAL LEVELS
TUESDAY...WITH SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY.
&&

.AVIATION /09Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AND
TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS
NORTHERN AREAS SATURDAY WITH VFR CONDITIONS DOWNEAST. OCCASIONAL
MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION SATURDAY
NIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED LATER SUNDAY
THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY...PARTICULARLY THE NORTH AND MOUNTAINS.
OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS
TUESDAY...WITH VFR CONDITIONS DOWNEAST.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DROP BELOW SCA TODAY AS HIGH
PRESSURE CRESTS OVER THE WATERS. WINDS WILL LIKELY INCREASE TO SCA
IN GUSTS IN THE OFFSHORE WATERS TONIGHT AS A RETURN SOUTHWESTERLY
WIND SETS IN BEHIND THE HIGH.

SHORT TERM: SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY
INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR
     ANZ050>052.
     FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR
     ANZ050>052.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...BLOOMER
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/NORCROSS
MARINE...BLOOMER/NORCROSS




000
FXUS61 KCAR 060941
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
441 AM EST FRI MAR 6 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE SOUTH OF THE AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT. A
COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH LATER SATURDAY THEN CROSS THE REGION
SATURDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD TOWARD THE REGION
SUNDAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
THE COLD HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WHICH CRESTED ACROSS THE AREA
OVERNIGHT WILL SLIDE SOUTH OF THE REGION TODAY. A CHILLY
SOUTHWESTERLY RETURN FLOW WILL SET IN BEHIND THE HIGH. DOWNEAST
WILL BE MOSTLY SUNNY WHILE SOME WARM ADVECTION MOISTURE ADVECTING
IN BEHIND THE HIGH WILL BRING SOME INCREASING CLOUDS TO NORTHERN
AREAS THIS AFTERNOON. CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE TONIGHT AS
WARM ADVECTION MOISTURE SUPPORTED BY A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE CONTINUES TO PUSH INTO THE AREA. THE NORTH WILL BECOME
MOSTLY CLOUDY WHILE DOWNEAST BECOMES PARTLY CLOUDY. SOME LIGHT
SNOW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS FAR NORTHWESTERN AREAS LATE AT
NIGHT.
&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH NORTHERN MAINE LATER SATURDAY. MOSTLY
CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS WILL OCCUR
ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS SATURDAY...WITH INCREASING CLOUDS DOWNEAST.
THE COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY
SUNDAY WITH A WEAK LOW POSSIBLY FORMING ALONG THE FRONT. EXPECT
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS
ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD TOWARD
THE REGION LATER SUNDAY WITH PARTLY/MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH
DECREASING SNOW SHOWER CHANCES. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE
REGION SUNDAY NIGHT WITH PARTLY/MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES. TEMPERATURES
WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS SATURDAY/SUNDAY.
&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE COULD CROSS THE REGION MONDAY WITH
MOSTLY/PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOW PRESSURE SHOULD TRACK NORTH OF MAINE TUESDAY THROUGH EARLY
WEDNESDAY. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...WITH PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES DOWNEAST. THE LOW WILL DRAW A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE
REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY WITH PARTLY CLOUDY
SKIES. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS MONDAY AND
THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT NEAR NORMAL LEVELS
TUESDAY...WITH SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY.
&&

.AVIATION /09Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AND
TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS
NORTHERN AREAS SATURDAY WITH VFR CONDITIONS DOWNEAST. OCCASIONAL
MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION SATURDAY
NIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED LATER SUNDAY
THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY...PARTICULARLY THE NORTH AND MOUNTAINS.
OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS
TUESDAY...WITH VFR CONDITIONS DOWNEAST.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DROP BELOW SCA TODAY AS HIGH
PRESSURE CRESTS OVER THE WATERS. WINDS WILL LIKELY INCREASE TO SCA
IN GUSTS IN THE OFFSHORE WATERS TONIGHT AS A RETURN SOUTHWESTERLY
WIND SETS IN BEHIND THE HIGH.

SHORT TERM: SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY
INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR
     ANZ050>052.
     FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR
     ANZ050>052.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...BLOOMER
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/NORCROSS
MARINE...BLOOMER/NORCROSS



000
FXUS61 KGYX 060800
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
300 AM EST FRI MAR 6 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND TODAY. A COLD FRONT
WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST ON SATURDAY AND WILL CROSS THE
AREA SATURDAY NIGHT. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE
NORTHWEST SUNDAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION ON
MONDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION ON TUESDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /TODAY/...
THIS MORNING WILL BEGIN WITH ARCTIC AIR ONCE AGAIN OVER THE
REGION. TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN THE DAY WITH READINGS IN THE
SINGLE NUMBERS AT THE COAST TO AS COLD AS 20 BELOW ZERO IN THE
MOUNTAINS.

IT WILL BE MAINLY SUNNY TODAY WITH SOME CLOUDINESS REMAINING
TRAPPED IN THE MOUNTAINS. HIGHS WILL MAINLY BE BETWEEN 15 AND 20
DEGREES FROM NORTH TO SOUTH...HOWEVER THIS MAY BE CONSERVATIVE
WITH THE STRONG MARCH SUN.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT AND SATURDAY/...
WHILE TONIGHT WILL BE YET ANOTHER VERY COLD NIGHT...SOME
SOUTHWESTERLY GRADIENT WILL KEEP READINGS FROM COMPLETELY
BOTTOMING OUT ACROSS THE REGION...ALBEIT EXPECT SOME READINGS
BELOW ZERO IN THE MOUNTAINS.

THE CHANCE FOR LIGHT SNOWFALL WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE IN THE
MOUNTAINS LATE ON SATURDAY AS A WEAK FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE
WEST. THIS SYSTEM IS MOISTURE STARVED...SO VERY LITTLE IN THE WAY
OF SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED OVER THE FAR NORTH AS THE SHORT WAVE
APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
SHORTWAVE TROUGH CROSSES THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT WITH ANY LIGHT
SNOW LIKELY LIMITED TO THE MOUNTAINS. GRADUALLY MODERATING AIR
MASS WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO SLOWLY RISE SUNDAY AND MONDAY. BY
TUESDAY THE ENTIRE AREA SHOULD RISE ABOVE FREEZING... WITH MUCH OF
THE SOUTHERN AND COASTAL AREAS SEEING LOW 40S. BUT A COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA DURING THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY... WITH
MUCH COLDER AIR BEHIND IT. COOLING WILL BE LIMITED BY DOWNSLOPING
CONDITIONS DOWNWIND OF THE MOUNTAINS INITIALLY ON WEDNESDAY... BUT
BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY THE COLD AIR TAKES A FIRMER HOLD
OVER THE AREA. WENT BELOW MODEL GUIDANCE VALUES FOR THURSDAY HIGH
TEMPERATURES AS THERE IS NOW A FAIR CONSENSUS THAT THE COLD AIR
WILL BE IN FULL CONTROL BY THAT POINT. TEMPERATURES MAY NOT RISE
ABOVE FREEZING FOR A COUPLE OF DAYS WHILE THIS COLD AIR MASS
LINGERS OVER THE AREA.

NO SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS
AS ANY WAVES PASSING THROUGH THE FLOW LACK A CONNECTION TO ANY
MOISTURE SOURCE.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE ENTIRE PERIOD
WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD.

LONG TERM...GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH MIDWEEK.
SOME MVFR CONDITIONS IN SNOW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY NIGHT
IN THE MOUNTAINS.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...COLD AIR ADVECTION OVER THE COASTAL WATERS WILL
CREATE GUSTY WINDS FOR A FEW MORE HOURS. WILL HOLD ONTO THE SMALL
CRAFT AND FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORIES UNTIL 7 AM.

LONG TERM...WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE AREA KEEPS WINDS
RELATIVELY LIGHT THROUGH THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR
     ANZ150>154.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR ANZ150-
     152-154.

&&

$$




000
FXUS61 KGYX 060800
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
300 AM EST FRI MAR 6 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND TODAY. A COLD FRONT
WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST ON SATURDAY AND WILL CROSS THE
AREA SATURDAY NIGHT. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE
NORTHWEST SUNDAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION ON
MONDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION ON TUESDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /TODAY/...
THIS MORNING WILL BEGIN WITH ARCTIC AIR ONCE AGAIN OVER THE
REGION. TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN THE DAY WITH READINGS IN THE
SINGLE NUMBERS AT THE COAST TO AS COLD AS 20 BELOW ZERO IN THE
MOUNTAINS.

IT WILL BE MAINLY SUNNY TODAY WITH SOME CLOUDINESS REMAINING
TRAPPED IN THE MOUNTAINS. HIGHS WILL MAINLY BE BETWEEN 15 AND 20
DEGREES FROM NORTH TO SOUTH...HOWEVER THIS MAY BE CONSERVATIVE
WITH THE STRONG MARCH SUN.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT AND SATURDAY/...
WHILE TONIGHT WILL BE YET ANOTHER VERY COLD NIGHT...SOME
SOUTHWESTERLY GRADIENT WILL KEEP READINGS FROM COMPLETELY
BOTTOMING OUT ACROSS THE REGION...ALBEIT EXPECT SOME READINGS
BELOW ZERO IN THE MOUNTAINS.

THE CHANCE FOR LIGHT SNOWFALL WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE IN THE
MOUNTAINS LATE ON SATURDAY AS A WEAK FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE
WEST. THIS SYSTEM IS MOISTURE STARVED...SO VERY LITTLE IN THE WAY
OF SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED OVER THE FAR NORTH AS THE SHORT WAVE
APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
SHORTWAVE TROUGH CROSSES THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT WITH ANY LIGHT
SNOW LIKELY LIMITED TO THE MOUNTAINS. GRADUALLY MODERATING AIR
MASS WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO SLOWLY RISE SUNDAY AND MONDAY. BY
TUESDAY THE ENTIRE AREA SHOULD RISE ABOVE FREEZING... WITH MUCH OF
THE SOUTHERN AND COASTAL AREAS SEEING LOW 40S. BUT A COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA DURING THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY... WITH
MUCH COLDER AIR BEHIND IT. COOLING WILL BE LIMITED BY DOWNSLOPING
CONDITIONS DOWNWIND OF THE MOUNTAINS INITIALLY ON WEDNESDAY... BUT
BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY THE COLD AIR TAKES A FIRMER HOLD
OVER THE AREA. WENT BELOW MODEL GUIDANCE VALUES FOR THURSDAY HIGH
TEMPERATURES AS THERE IS NOW A FAIR CONSENSUS THAT THE COLD AIR
WILL BE IN FULL CONTROL BY THAT POINT. TEMPERATURES MAY NOT RISE
ABOVE FREEZING FOR A COUPLE OF DAYS WHILE THIS COLD AIR MASS
LINGERS OVER THE AREA.

NO SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS
AS ANY WAVES PASSING THROUGH THE FLOW LACK A CONNECTION TO ANY
MOISTURE SOURCE.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE ENTIRE PERIOD
WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD.

LONG TERM...GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH MIDWEEK.
SOME MVFR CONDITIONS IN SNOW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY NIGHT
IN THE MOUNTAINS.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...COLD AIR ADVECTION OVER THE COASTAL WATERS WILL
CREATE GUSTY WINDS FOR A FEW MORE HOURS. WILL HOLD ONTO THE SMALL
CRAFT AND FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORIES UNTIL 7 AM.

LONG TERM...WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE AREA KEEPS WINDS
RELATIVELY LIGHT THROUGH THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR
     ANZ150>154.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR ANZ150-
     152-154.

&&

$$



000
FXUS61 KGYX 060557
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
1257 AM EST FRI MAR 6 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST ON SATURDAY
AND WILL CROSS THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHWEST SUNDAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL CROSS
THE REGION ON MONDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION ON
TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON
WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
UPDATE...CLOUDS HAVE ALL BUT EXITED THE COAST NOW...ALLOWING
TYPICAL COLD SPOTS TO REALLY BEGIN TO TUMBLE. KIZG HAS DROPPED 8
DEGREES IN THE LAST HOUR ALONE. HAVE ADJUSTED TEMPS IN THE NEAR
TERM TO MATCH THESE TRENDS. NORTHERN COOS COUNTY NOW ALREADY NEAR
20 BELOW ZERO.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD IN
ACROSS THE AREA ALONG WITH COLD AIR ADVECTION...WHICH HAS BEEN
DROPPING OUR TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT THE DAY. MID TO UPPER LEVEL
CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTH THIS EVENING AND MOST AREAS
SHOULD BECOME FAIRLY CLEAR BY MIDNIGHT WITH THE EXCEPTION OF MAYBE
SOUTHERN CHESHIRE AND HILLSBOROUGH COUNTIES IN NEW HAMPSHIRE. THE
NORTHERN CWA SHOULD BE ABLE TO RADIATE MOST EFFICIENTLY TONIGHT AS
CLOUDS MOVE OUT OF THERE FIRST AND THE BOUNDARY LAYER DECOUPLES
WITH USUAL COLD SPOTS ACROSS DROPPING POSSIBLY BETWEEN 15 AND 20
BELOW ZERO.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVERHEAD TOMORROW...AND ALTHOUGH WE WILL
START OFF QUITE COLD...THE STRONG MARCH SUNSHINE SHOULD CREATE
QUITE A LARGE DIURNAL SWING AS TEMPERATURES COULD CLIMB 25-30
DEGREES IN SOME SPOTS DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS. A WEAK WAVE WILL
APPROACH FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING AND THIS WILL INCREASE
CLOUDS TOMORROW NIGHT AND BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SNOW SHOWER
IN THE MOUNTAINS BY SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON
SATURDAY AS A WEAK COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE
NORTHWEST. THE DAY WILL FEATURE VARIABLE CLOUDS
WITH A STRAY SNOW SHOWER POSSIBLE IN NORTHERN SECTIONS.
HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 20S NORTH TO THE LOWER
30S SOUTH.

COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT.
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL
GIVE WAY TO PARTIAL CLEARING AFTER MIDNIGHT DOWNWIND
OF THE MOUNTAINS. ELSEWHERE SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY
CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
NORTH. LOWS WILL ONCE AGAIN FALL TO BELOW NORMAL
LEVELS WITH READINGS BY EARLY SATURDAY OF 5 TO 15
NORTH AND IN THE TEENS SOUTH.

WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTHWEST ON SUNDAY.
LINGERING FRONTAL TROUGH WILL KEEP VARIABLE CLOUDINESS ACROSS
THE REGION FOR MOST OF THE DAY. HIGH TEMPS WILL RANGE FROM
THE MID 20S TO MID 30S.

WEAK LOW PRESSURE CROSSING SOUTHERN CANADA SUNDAY NIGHT WILL
DRIVE A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION MONDAY BRINGING JUST A
GLANCING BLOW OF COOLER AIR MAINLY INTO NORTHERN ZONES. EXPECT
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH JUST A CHANCE OF A SNOW SHOWER. HIGH
WILL RANGE THROUGH THE 30S.

SHALLOW RIDGE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL BRING CLEARING SKIES
MONDAY EVENING ALTHOUGH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL KEEP CLOUDS IN
THE NORTH. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL RANGE THROUGH THE TEENS TO NEAR 20.

HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS OFFSHORE ON TUESDAY AND RETURN FLOW WILL BRING
WARMER AIR BACK INTO THE AREA. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES IN
NORTHERN SECTIONS CLOSER TO THE WARM FRONT. WILL LIKELY ALSO
INCLUDE SOME LOW CHANCE POPS FOR SNOW SHOWERS BUT MOST OF THIS
ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN NORTH OF THE BORDER. HIGH TEMPS WILL
FINALLY TOP OUT NEAR NORMAL WITH MID 30S NORTH TO LOWER 40S SOUTH.

WARMER WEATHER WILL CONTINUE ON WEDNESDAY AS ANOTHER AREA OF HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES
TO PERSIST IN THE NORTH WITH A CHANCE OF A RAIN OR SNOW SHOWER IN
THE AFTERNOON AS ANOTHER WARM FRONT PUSHES THROUGH SOUTHERN
CANADA. PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WILL PREVAIL IN THE SOUTH.
HIGHS WILL REACH THE LOWER TO MID 40S IN MOST LOCATIONS.

COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION ON THURSDAY. SHOULD SEE ONE MORE WARM
DAY AS COLD AIR LAGS BEHIND THE FRONT. LOOKING FOR LITTLE IF ANY
SHOWER ACTIVITY WITH THE FROPA. HIGHS WILL TOP OUT NEAR 40 BEFORE
DROPPING BACK LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE ENTIRE PERIOD
WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD.

LONG TERM...VFR SATURDAY. AREAS MVFR CEILINGS/VSBY SATURDAY NIGHT
AND SUNDAY. VFR MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SCAS WILL CONTINUE WITH SOME GUSTY WINDS BEHIND COLD
FRONT. COLD AIR ALONG WITH THE GUSTY WINDS WILL MAKE IT FAVORABLE
FOR FREEZING SPRAY ACROSS ALL AREAS TONIGHT THROUGH TOMORROW
MORNING.

LONG TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED LATE MONDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR
     ANZ150>154.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR ANZ150-
     152-154.

&&

$$




000
FXUS61 KGYX 060557
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
1257 AM EST FRI MAR 6 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST ON SATURDAY
AND WILL CROSS THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHWEST SUNDAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL CROSS
THE REGION ON MONDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION ON
TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON
WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
UPDATE...CLOUDS HAVE ALL BUT EXITED THE COAST NOW...ALLOWING
TYPICAL COLD SPOTS TO REALLY BEGIN TO TUMBLE. KIZG HAS DROPPED 8
DEGREES IN THE LAST HOUR ALONE. HAVE ADJUSTED TEMPS IN THE NEAR
TERM TO MATCH THESE TRENDS. NORTHERN COOS COUNTY NOW ALREADY NEAR
20 BELOW ZERO.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD IN
ACROSS THE AREA ALONG WITH COLD AIR ADVECTION...WHICH HAS BEEN
DROPPING OUR TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT THE DAY. MID TO UPPER LEVEL
CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTH THIS EVENING AND MOST AREAS
SHOULD BECOME FAIRLY CLEAR BY MIDNIGHT WITH THE EXCEPTION OF MAYBE
SOUTHERN CHESHIRE AND HILLSBOROUGH COUNTIES IN NEW HAMPSHIRE. THE
NORTHERN CWA SHOULD BE ABLE TO RADIATE MOST EFFICIENTLY TONIGHT AS
CLOUDS MOVE OUT OF THERE FIRST AND THE BOUNDARY LAYER DECOUPLES
WITH USUAL COLD SPOTS ACROSS DROPPING POSSIBLY BETWEEN 15 AND 20
BELOW ZERO.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVERHEAD TOMORROW...AND ALTHOUGH WE WILL
START OFF QUITE COLD...THE STRONG MARCH SUNSHINE SHOULD CREATE
QUITE A LARGE DIURNAL SWING AS TEMPERATURES COULD CLIMB 25-30
DEGREES IN SOME SPOTS DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS. A WEAK WAVE WILL
APPROACH FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING AND THIS WILL INCREASE
CLOUDS TOMORROW NIGHT AND BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SNOW SHOWER
IN THE MOUNTAINS BY SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON
SATURDAY AS A WEAK COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE
NORTHWEST. THE DAY WILL FEATURE VARIABLE CLOUDS
WITH A STRAY SNOW SHOWER POSSIBLE IN NORTHERN SECTIONS.
HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 20S NORTH TO THE LOWER
30S SOUTH.

COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT.
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL
GIVE WAY TO PARTIAL CLEARING AFTER MIDNIGHT DOWNWIND
OF THE MOUNTAINS. ELSEWHERE SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY
CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
NORTH. LOWS WILL ONCE AGAIN FALL TO BELOW NORMAL
LEVELS WITH READINGS BY EARLY SATURDAY OF 5 TO 15
NORTH AND IN THE TEENS SOUTH.

WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTHWEST ON SUNDAY.
LINGERING FRONTAL TROUGH WILL KEEP VARIABLE CLOUDINESS ACROSS
THE REGION FOR MOST OF THE DAY. HIGH TEMPS WILL RANGE FROM
THE MID 20S TO MID 30S.

WEAK LOW PRESSURE CROSSING SOUTHERN CANADA SUNDAY NIGHT WILL
DRIVE A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION MONDAY BRINGING JUST A
GLANCING BLOW OF COOLER AIR MAINLY INTO NORTHERN ZONES. EXPECT
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH JUST A CHANCE OF A SNOW SHOWER. HIGH
WILL RANGE THROUGH THE 30S.

SHALLOW RIDGE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL BRING CLEARING SKIES
MONDAY EVENING ALTHOUGH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL KEEP CLOUDS IN
THE NORTH. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL RANGE THROUGH THE TEENS TO NEAR 20.

HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS OFFSHORE ON TUESDAY AND RETURN FLOW WILL BRING
WARMER AIR BACK INTO THE AREA. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES IN
NORTHERN SECTIONS CLOSER TO THE WARM FRONT. WILL LIKELY ALSO
INCLUDE SOME LOW CHANCE POPS FOR SNOW SHOWERS BUT MOST OF THIS
ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN NORTH OF THE BORDER. HIGH TEMPS WILL
FINALLY TOP OUT NEAR NORMAL WITH MID 30S NORTH TO LOWER 40S SOUTH.

WARMER WEATHER WILL CONTINUE ON WEDNESDAY AS ANOTHER AREA OF HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES
TO PERSIST IN THE NORTH WITH A CHANCE OF A RAIN OR SNOW SHOWER IN
THE AFTERNOON AS ANOTHER WARM FRONT PUSHES THROUGH SOUTHERN
CANADA. PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WILL PREVAIL IN THE SOUTH.
HIGHS WILL REACH THE LOWER TO MID 40S IN MOST LOCATIONS.

COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION ON THURSDAY. SHOULD SEE ONE MORE WARM
DAY AS COLD AIR LAGS BEHIND THE FRONT. LOOKING FOR LITTLE IF ANY
SHOWER ACTIVITY WITH THE FROPA. HIGHS WILL TOP OUT NEAR 40 BEFORE
DROPPING BACK LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE ENTIRE PERIOD
WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD.

LONG TERM...VFR SATURDAY. AREAS MVFR CEILINGS/VSBY SATURDAY NIGHT
AND SUNDAY. VFR MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SCAS WILL CONTINUE WITH SOME GUSTY WINDS BEHIND COLD
FRONT. COLD AIR ALONG WITH THE GUSTY WINDS WILL MAKE IT FAVORABLE
FOR FREEZING SPRAY ACROSS ALL AREAS TONIGHT THROUGH TOMORROW
MORNING.

LONG TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED LATE MONDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR
     ANZ150>154.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR ANZ150-
     152-154.

&&

$$



000
FXUS61 KCAR 060438
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1138 PM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THROUGH FRIDAY.
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH SATURDAY THEN CROSS THE REGION SAT
EVENING. WEAK LOW PRESSURE FROM CENTRAL CANADA WILL APPROACH LATE
SUNDAY AND CROSS THE REGION MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
MIDNIGHT UPDATE...LOWERED TEMPS FOR SOME VALLEY SPOTS THAT HAVE
DROPPED TO NEAR 10 BELOW ALREADY INCLUDING PRESQUE ISLE AT 11
BELOW AND HOULTON AT 9 BELOW. OTHERWISE, NO MAJOR CHANGES THIS
HOUR.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
WHATS LEFT OF HI/MID CLD CVR SHOULD CONT TO SLOWLY MOVE SE OF THE
FA OVRNGT...WITH CLRG ADVCG FROM NRN ME LATE THIS AFTN TO THE
DOWNEAST COAST LATE TNGT. WITH A WSW TO ENE SFC RIDGE AXIS
SETTING UP ACROSS THE FA SIMILAR TO THE LAST COLD ARCTIC AIR MASS
LATE LAST WEEK...WINDS WILL DECOUPLE ACROSS BROAD VLY AREAS ARND
SUNSET AND LIGHTEN TO A GENTLE BREEZE OVR HIER TRRN. ONCE AGAIN...
THIS WILL RESULT IN SIG VLY TO HILL TOP OVRNGT LOW TEMP RANGES
ACROSS THE REGION...SPCLY ACROSS THE N AND W. BASED ON PROJECTED
LATE NGT 925MB TEMPS OF ARND -20 DEG C AND A CONSERVATIVE SFC BASE
INVSN STRENGTH OF 10 TO 15 DEG C...COLDEST VLY LCTNS OVR THE WRN
ST JOHN AND ALLAGASH RVR BASINS COULD DROP BLO 25 BELOW ZERO F.
ELSEWHERE...OVRNGT LOWS WILL BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO TENS BLO
ZERO AND ARND ZERO ALG THE IMMEDIATE COAST.

OTHERWISE...TEMPS SHOULD RAPIDLY RECOVER FRI MORN UNDER MSLY SUNNY
SKIES TO REACH FCST HIGHS RANGING FROM MID TEENS N TO LOWER 20S
DOWNEAST. WITH STEEPENING SFC-500M LAPSE RATES BY AFTN...WIND
SPEEDS ALF OF 20 TO 25 MPH WILL BE ABLE TO MIX DOWN IN GUSTS
ACROSS THE N HLF OF THE FA WITH 10 TO 20 MPH ACROSS THE S. CLDNSS
BEGINS TO INCREASE FROM NW TO SE ACROSS THE FA BEGINNING LATE DAY
FRI OVR THE FAR NW HOLDING OFF TIL LATE FRI NGT ACROSS THE SE AS
LOW AND MID LVL RETURN FLOW WARM ADVCN/OVRRNG COMMENCES. CANNOT
RULE SCT SN SHWRS REACHING FAR NW ME PRIOR TO DAYBREAK SAT...WITH
ANY SN ACCUMULATION LESS THAN AN INCH BASED ON THE LATEST MODEL
GUIDANCE ATTM.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL BRING INCREASING CLOUDS SATURDAY
AND THE CHANCE FOR SNOW SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY TO NORTHERN AREAS ON
SATURDAY. THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE TO THE EAST OF THE REGION
SATURDAY NIGHT WITH DECREASING CLOUDS OVERNIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST. HIGH TEMPERATURES BOTH SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY WILL BE BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT IN
ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THE COLD FRONT WILL CROSS
THE REGION MONDAY AND INTO MONDAY NIGHT WITH THE CHANCE FOR SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN LATER MONDAY NIGHT AND
TUESDAY. ANOTHER LOW WILL TRACK NORTH OF THE REGION BY MID WEEK.
TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE TO ABOVE NORMAL LEVEL BY MID WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: UNLMTD VFR XPCTD THRU FRI NGT...WITH MVFR CLGS/VSBYS
WITH SN SHWRS POSSIBLE VERY LATE FRI NGT AT KFVE.

SHORT TERM: VFR EXCEPT MVFR POSSIBLE IN ANY SNOW SHOWERS.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WILL CONT WITH SCA AND SCA/FZGSPY ADV FOR LATER TNGT
INTO FRI MORN. AFTWRDS...WINDS AND SEAS SHOULD DIMINISH BLO SCA
WITH FZGSPY BECOMING LIGHT FRI AFTN. WINDS SHOULD CONT TO
DIMINISH FRI EVE...THEN INCREASE SOMEWHAT VERY LATE FRI NGT. WV
HTS WERE SIG ABV WW3 WV GUIDANCE WV HTS...SO WE BEGAN THE NEAR
TERM WITH BUOY OBSVD WV HTS...THEN GRADUALLY TRENDED TOWARD WW3
WV GUIDANCE BY FRI AFTN.

SHORT TERM: SCA CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY AND SATURDAY
NIGHT AND THEN CONDITIONS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW SCA LEVELS.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ050>052.
     FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...MCB



000
FXUS61 KCAR 060438
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1138 PM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THROUGH FRIDAY.
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH SATURDAY THEN CROSS THE REGION SAT
EVENING. WEAK LOW PRESSURE FROM CENTRAL CANADA WILL APPROACH LATE
SUNDAY AND CROSS THE REGION MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
MIDNIGHT UPDATE...LOWERED TEMPS FOR SOME VALLEY SPOTS THAT HAVE
DROPPED TO NEAR 10 BELOW ALREADY INCLUDING PRESQUE ISLE AT 11
BELOW AND HOULTON AT 9 BELOW. OTHERWISE, NO MAJOR CHANGES THIS
HOUR.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
WHATS LEFT OF HI/MID CLD CVR SHOULD CONT TO SLOWLY MOVE SE OF THE
FA OVRNGT...WITH CLRG ADVCG FROM NRN ME LATE THIS AFTN TO THE
DOWNEAST COAST LATE TNGT. WITH A WSW TO ENE SFC RIDGE AXIS
SETTING UP ACROSS THE FA SIMILAR TO THE LAST COLD ARCTIC AIR MASS
LATE LAST WEEK...WINDS WILL DECOUPLE ACROSS BROAD VLY AREAS ARND
SUNSET AND LIGHTEN TO A GENTLE BREEZE OVR HIER TRRN. ONCE AGAIN...
THIS WILL RESULT IN SIG VLY TO HILL TOP OVRNGT LOW TEMP RANGES
ACROSS THE REGION...SPCLY ACROSS THE N AND W. BASED ON PROJECTED
LATE NGT 925MB TEMPS OF ARND -20 DEG C AND A CONSERVATIVE SFC BASE
INVSN STRENGTH OF 10 TO 15 DEG C...COLDEST VLY LCTNS OVR THE WRN
ST JOHN AND ALLAGASH RVR BASINS COULD DROP BLO 25 BELOW ZERO F.
ELSEWHERE...OVRNGT LOWS WILL BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO TENS BLO
ZERO AND ARND ZERO ALG THE IMMEDIATE COAST.

OTHERWISE...TEMPS SHOULD RAPIDLY RECOVER FRI MORN UNDER MSLY SUNNY
SKIES TO REACH FCST HIGHS RANGING FROM MID TEENS N TO LOWER 20S
DOWNEAST. WITH STEEPENING SFC-500M LAPSE RATES BY AFTN...WIND
SPEEDS ALF OF 20 TO 25 MPH WILL BE ABLE TO MIX DOWN IN GUSTS
ACROSS THE N HLF OF THE FA WITH 10 TO 20 MPH ACROSS THE S. CLDNSS
BEGINS TO INCREASE FROM NW TO SE ACROSS THE FA BEGINNING LATE DAY
FRI OVR THE FAR NW HOLDING OFF TIL LATE FRI NGT ACROSS THE SE AS
LOW AND MID LVL RETURN FLOW WARM ADVCN/OVRRNG COMMENCES. CANNOT
RULE SCT SN SHWRS REACHING FAR NW ME PRIOR TO DAYBREAK SAT...WITH
ANY SN ACCUMULATION LESS THAN AN INCH BASED ON THE LATEST MODEL
GUIDANCE ATTM.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL BRING INCREASING CLOUDS SATURDAY
AND THE CHANCE FOR SNOW SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY TO NORTHERN AREAS ON
SATURDAY. THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE TO THE EAST OF THE REGION
SATURDAY NIGHT WITH DECREASING CLOUDS OVERNIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST. HIGH TEMPERATURES BOTH SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY WILL BE BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT IN
ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THE COLD FRONT WILL CROSS
THE REGION MONDAY AND INTO MONDAY NIGHT WITH THE CHANCE FOR SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN LATER MONDAY NIGHT AND
TUESDAY. ANOTHER LOW WILL TRACK NORTH OF THE REGION BY MID WEEK.
TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE TO ABOVE NORMAL LEVEL BY MID WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: UNLMTD VFR XPCTD THRU FRI NGT...WITH MVFR CLGS/VSBYS
WITH SN SHWRS POSSIBLE VERY LATE FRI NGT AT KFVE.

SHORT TERM: VFR EXCEPT MVFR POSSIBLE IN ANY SNOW SHOWERS.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WILL CONT WITH SCA AND SCA/FZGSPY ADV FOR LATER TNGT
INTO FRI MORN. AFTWRDS...WINDS AND SEAS SHOULD DIMINISH BLO SCA
WITH FZGSPY BECOMING LIGHT FRI AFTN. WINDS SHOULD CONT TO
DIMINISH FRI EVE...THEN INCREASE SOMEWHAT VERY LATE FRI NGT. WV
HTS WERE SIG ABV WW3 WV GUIDANCE WV HTS...SO WE BEGAN THE NEAR
TERM WITH BUOY OBSVD WV HTS...THEN GRADUALLY TRENDED TOWARD WW3
WV GUIDANCE BY FRI AFTN.

SHORT TERM: SCA CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY AND SATURDAY
NIGHT AND THEN CONDITIONS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW SCA LEVELS.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ050>052.
     FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...MCB




000
FXUS61 KGYX 060328 AAC
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
1028 PM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST ON SATURDAY
AND WILL CROSS THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHWEST SUNDAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL CROSS
THE REGION ON MONDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION ON
TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON
WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
UPDATE...CLOUDS HAVE ALL BUT EXITED THE COAST NOW...ALLOWING
TYPICAL COLD SPOTS TO REALLY BEGIN TO TUMBLE. KIZG HAS DROPPED 8
DEGREES IN THE LAST HOUR ALONE. HAVE ADJUSTED TEMPS IN THE NEAR
TERM TO MATCH THESE TRENDS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD IN
ACROSS THE AREA ALONG WITH COLD AIR ADVECTION...WHICH HAS BEEN
DROPPING OUR TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT THE DAY. MID TO UPPER LEVEL
CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTH THIS EVENING AND MOST AREAS
SHOULD BECOME FAIRLY CLEAR BY MIDNIGHT WITH THE EXCEPTION OF MAYBE
SOUTHERN CHESHIRE AND HILLSBOROUGH COUNTIES IN NEW HAMPSHIRE. THE
NORTHERN CWA SHOULD BE ABLE TO RADIATE MOST EFFICIENTLY TONIGHT AS
CLOUDS MOVE OUT OF THERE FIRST AND THE BOUNDARY LAYER DECOUPLES
WITH USUAL COLD SPOTS ACROSS DROPPING POSSIBLY BETWEEN 15 AND 20
BELOW ZERO.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVERHEAD TOMORROW...AND ALTHOUGH WE WILL
START OFF QUITE COLD...THE STRONG MARCH SUNSHINE SHOULD CREATE
QUITE A LARGE DIURNAL SWING AS TEMPERATURES COULD CLIMB 25-30
DEGREES IN SOME SPOTS DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS. A WEAK WAVE WILL
APPROACH FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING AND THIS WILL INCREASE
CLOUDS TOMORROW NIGHT AND BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SNOW SHOWER
IN THE MOUNTAINS BY SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON
SATURDAY AS A WEAK COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE
NORTHWEST. THE DAY WILL FEATURE VARIABLE CLOUDS
WITH A STRAY SNOW SHOWER POSSIBLE IN NORTHERN SECTIONS.
HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 20S NORTH TO THE LOWER
30S SOUTH.

COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT.
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL
GIVE WAY TO PARTIAL CLEARING AFTER MIDNIGHT DOWNWIND
OF THE MOUNTAINS. ELSEWHERE SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY
CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
NORTH. LOWS WILL ONCE AGAIN FALL TO BELOW NORMAL
LEVELS WITH READINGS BY EARLY SATURDAY OF 5 TO 15
NORTH AND IN THE TEENS SOUTH.

WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTHWEST ON SUNDAY.
LINGERING FRONTAL TROUGH WILL KEEP VARIABLE CLOUDINESS ACROSS
THE REGION FOR MOST OF THE DAY. HIGH TEMPS WILL RANGE FROM
THE MID 20S TO MID 30S.

WEAK LOW PRESSURE CROSSING SOUTHERN CANADA SUNDAY NIGHT WILL
DRIVE A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION MONDAY BRINGING JUST A
GLANCING BLOW OF COOLER AIR MAINLY INTO NORTHERN ZONES. EXPECT
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH JUST A CHANCE OF A SNOW SHOWER. HIGH
WILL RANGE THROUGH THE 30S.

SHALLOW RIDGE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL BRING CLEARING SKIES
MONDAY EVENING ALTHOUGH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL KEEP CLOUDS IN
THE NORTH. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL RANGE THROUGH THE TEENS TO NEAR 20.

HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS OFFSHORE ON TUESDAY AND RETURN FLOW WILL BRING
WARMER AIR BACK INTO THE AREA. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES IN
NORTHERN SECTIONS CLOSER TO THE WARM FRONT. WILL LIKELY ALSO
INCLUDE SOME LOW CHANCE POPS FOR SNOW SHOWERS BUT MOST OF THIS
ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN NORTH OF THE BORDER. HIGH TEMPS WILL
FINALLY TOP OUT NEAR NORMAL WITH MID 30S NORTH TO LOWER 40S SOUTH.

WARMER WEATHER WILL CONTINUE ON WEDNESDAY AS ANOTHER AREA OF HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES
TO PERSIST IN THE NORTH WITH A CHANCE OF A RAIN OR SNOW SHOWER IN
THE AFTERNOON AS ANOTHER WARM FRONT PUSHES THROUGH SOUTHERN
CANADA. PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WILL PREVAIL IN THE SOUTH.
HIGHS WILL REACH THE LOWER TO MID 40S IN MOST LOCATIONS.

COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION ON THURSDAY. SHOULD SEE ONE MORE WARM
DAY AS COLD AIR LAGS BEHIND THE FRONT. LOOKING FOR LITTLE IF ANY
SHOWER ACTIVITY WITH THE FROPA. HIGHS WILL TOP OUT NEAR 40 BEFORE
DROPPING BACK LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.AVIATION /04Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE ENTIRE PERIOD
WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD.

LONG TERM...VFR SATURDAY. AREAS MVFR CEILINGS/VSBY SATURDAY NIGHT
AND SUNDAY. VFR MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SCAS WILL CONTINUE WITH SOME GUSTY WINDS BEHIND COLD
FRONT. COLD AIR ALONG WITH THE GUSTY WINDS WILL MAKE IT FAVORABLE
FOR FREEZING SPRAY ACROSS ALL AREAS TONIGHT THROUGH TOMORROW
MORNING.

LONG TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED LATE MONDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150-152-154.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...LEGRO



000
FXUS61 KGYX 060328 AAC
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
1028 PM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST ON SATURDAY
AND WILL CROSS THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHWEST SUNDAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL CROSS
THE REGION ON MONDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION ON
TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON
WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
UPDATE...CLOUDS HAVE ALL BUT EXITED THE COAST NOW...ALLOWING
TYPICAL COLD SPOTS TO REALLY BEGIN TO TUMBLE. KIZG HAS DROPPED 8
DEGREES IN THE LAST HOUR ALONE. HAVE ADJUSTED TEMPS IN THE NEAR
TERM TO MATCH THESE TRENDS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD IN
ACROSS THE AREA ALONG WITH COLD AIR ADVECTION...WHICH HAS BEEN
DROPPING OUR TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT THE DAY. MID TO UPPER LEVEL
CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTH THIS EVENING AND MOST AREAS
SHOULD BECOME FAIRLY CLEAR BY MIDNIGHT WITH THE EXCEPTION OF MAYBE
SOUTHERN CHESHIRE AND HILLSBOROUGH COUNTIES IN NEW HAMPSHIRE. THE
NORTHERN CWA SHOULD BE ABLE TO RADIATE MOST EFFICIENTLY TONIGHT AS
CLOUDS MOVE OUT OF THERE FIRST AND THE BOUNDARY LAYER DECOUPLES
WITH USUAL COLD SPOTS ACROSS DROPPING POSSIBLY BETWEEN 15 AND 20
BELOW ZERO.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVERHEAD TOMORROW...AND ALTHOUGH WE WILL
START OFF QUITE COLD...THE STRONG MARCH SUNSHINE SHOULD CREATE
QUITE A LARGE DIURNAL SWING AS TEMPERATURES COULD CLIMB 25-30
DEGREES IN SOME SPOTS DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS. A WEAK WAVE WILL
APPROACH FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING AND THIS WILL INCREASE
CLOUDS TOMORROW NIGHT AND BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SNOW SHOWER
IN THE MOUNTAINS BY SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON
SATURDAY AS A WEAK COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE
NORTHWEST. THE DAY WILL FEATURE VARIABLE CLOUDS
WITH A STRAY SNOW SHOWER POSSIBLE IN NORTHERN SECTIONS.
HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 20S NORTH TO THE LOWER
30S SOUTH.

COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT.
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL
GIVE WAY TO PARTIAL CLEARING AFTER MIDNIGHT DOWNWIND
OF THE MOUNTAINS. ELSEWHERE SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY
CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
NORTH. LOWS WILL ONCE AGAIN FALL TO BELOW NORMAL
LEVELS WITH READINGS BY EARLY SATURDAY OF 5 TO 15
NORTH AND IN THE TEENS SOUTH.

WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTHWEST ON SUNDAY.
LINGERING FRONTAL TROUGH WILL KEEP VARIABLE CLOUDINESS ACROSS
THE REGION FOR MOST OF THE DAY. HIGH TEMPS WILL RANGE FROM
THE MID 20S TO MID 30S.

WEAK LOW PRESSURE CROSSING SOUTHERN CANADA SUNDAY NIGHT WILL
DRIVE A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION MONDAY BRINGING JUST A
GLANCING BLOW OF COOLER AIR MAINLY INTO NORTHERN ZONES. EXPECT
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH JUST A CHANCE OF A SNOW SHOWER. HIGH
WILL RANGE THROUGH THE 30S.

SHALLOW RIDGE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL BRING CLEARING SKIES
MONDAY EVENING ALTHOUGH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL KEEP CLOUDS IN
THE NORTH. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL RANGE THROUGH THE TEENS TO NEAR 20.

HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS OFFSHORE ON TUESDAY AND RETURN FLOW WILL BRING
WARMER AIR BACK INTO THE AREA. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES IN
NORTHERN SECTIONS CLOSER TO THE WARM FRONT. WILL LIKELY ALSO
INCLUDE SOME LOW CHANCE POPS FOR SNOW SHOWERS BUT MOST OF THIS
ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN NORTH OF THE BORDER. HIGH TEMPS WILL
FINALLY TOP OUT NEAR NORMAL WITH MID 30S NORTH TO LOWER 40S SOUTH.

WARMER WEATHER WILL CONTINUE ON WEDNESDAY AS ANOTHER AREA OF HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES
TO PERSIST IN THE NORTH WITH A CHANCE OF A RAIN OR SNOW SHOWER IN
THE AFTERNOON AS ANOTHER WARM FRONT PUSHES THROUGH SOUTHERN
CANADA. PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WILL PREVAIL IN THE SOUTH.
HIGHS WILL REACH THE LOWER TO MID 40S IN MOST LOCATIONS.

COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION ON THURSDAY. SHOULD SEE ONE MORE WARM
DAY AS COLD AIR LAGS BEHIND THE FRONT. LOOKING FOR LITTLE IF ANY
SHOWER ACTIVITY WITH THE FROPA. HIGHS WILL TOP OUT NEAR 40 BEFORE
DROPPING BACK LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.AVIATION /04Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE ENTIRE PERIOD
WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD.

LONG TERM...VFR SATURDAY. AREAS MVFR CEILINGS/VSBY SATURDAY NIGHT
AND SUNDAY. VFR MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SCAS WILL CONTINUE WITH SOME GUSTY WINDS BEHIND COLD
FRONT. COLD AIR ALONG WITH THE GUSTY WINDS WILL MAKE IT FAVORABLE
FOR FREEZING SPRAY ACROSS ALL AREAS TONIGHT THROUGH TOMORROW
MORNING.

LONG TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED LATE MONDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150-152-154.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...LEGRO




000
FXUS61 KCAR 060314
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1014 PM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THROUGH FRIDAY.
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH SATURDAY THEN CROSS THE REGION SAT
EVENING. WEAK LOW PRESSURE FROM CENTRAL CANADA WILL APPROACH LATE
SUNDAY AND CROSS THE REGION MONDAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
10PM UPDATE...
CIRRUS IS MOVING OFFSHORE AND WINDS ARE DECREASING. AS A
RESULT...THE OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURE FORECAST CONTINUES TO LOOK
REASONABLE.  NO CHANGES WERE MADE WITH THIS UPDATE.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
WHATS LEFT OF HI/MID CLD CVR SHOULD CONT TO SLOWLY MOVE SE OF THE
FA OVRNGT...WITH CLRG ADVCG FROM NRN ME LATE THIS AFTN TO THE
DOWNEAST COAST LATE TNGT. WITH A WSW TO ENE SFC RIDGE AXIS
SETTING UP ACROSS THE FA SIMILAR TO THE LAST COLD ARCTIC AIR MASS
LATE LAST WEEK...WINDS WILL DECOUPLE ACROSS BROAD VLY AREAS ARND
SUNSET AND LIGHTEN TO A GENTLE BREEZE OVR HIER TRRN. ONCE AGAIN...
THIS WILL RESULT IN SIG VLY TO HILL TOP OVRNGT LOW TEMP RANGES
ACROSS THE REGION...SPCLY ACROSS THE N AND W. BASED ON PROJECTED
LATE NGT 925MB TEMPS OF ARND -20 DEG C AND A CONSERVATIVE SFC BASE
INVSN STRENGTH OF 10 TO 15 DEG C...COLDEST VLY LCTNS OVR THE WRN
ST JOHN AND ALLAGASH RVR BASINS COULD DROP BLO 25 BELOW ZERO F.
ELSEWHERE...OVRNGT LOWS WILL BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO TENS BLO
ZERO AND ARND ZERO ALG THE IMMEDIATE COAST.

OTHERWISE...TEMPS SHOULD RAPIDLY RECOVER FRI MORN UNDER MSLY SUNNY
SKIES TO REACH FCST HIGHS RANGING FROM MID TEENS N TO LOWER 20S
DOWNEAST. WITH STEEPENING SFC-500M LAPSE RATES BY AFTN...WIND
SPEEDS ALF OF 20 TO 25 MPH WILL BE ABLE TO MIX DOWN IN GUSTS
ACROSS THE N HLF OF THE FA WITH 10 TO 20 MPH ACROSS THE S. CLDNSS
BEGINS TO INCREASE FROM NW TO SE ACROSS THE FA BEGINNING LATE DAY
FRI OVR THE FAR NW HOLDING OFF TIL LATE FRI NGT ACROSS THE SE AS
LOW AND MID LVL RETURN FLOW WARM ADVCN/OVRRNG COMMENCES. CANNOT
RULE SCT SN SHWRS REACHING FAR NW ME PRIOR TO DAYBREAK SAT...WITH
ANY SN ACCUMULATION LESS THAN AN INCH BASED ON THE LATEST MODEL
GUIDANCE ATTM.
&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL BRING INCREASING CLOUDS SATURDAY
AND THE CHANCE FOR SNOW SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY TO NORTHERN AREAS ON
SATURDAY. THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE TO THE EAST OF THE REGION
SATURDAY NIGHT WITH DECREASING CLOUDS OVERNIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST. HIGH TEMPERATURES BOTH SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY WILL BE BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.
&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT IN
ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THE COLD FRONT WILL CROSS
THE REGION MONDAY AND INTO MONDAY NIGHT WITH THE CHANCE FOR SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN LATER MONDAY NIGHT AND
TUESDAY. ANOTHER LOW WILL TRACK NORTH OF THE REGION BY MID WEEK.
TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE TO ABOVE NORMAL LEVEL BY MID WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /03Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: UNLMTD VFR XPCTD THRU FRI NGT...WITH MVFR CLGS/VSBYS
WITH SN SHWRS POSSIBLE VERY LATE FRI NGT AT KFVE.

SHORT TERM: VFR EXCEPT MVFR POSSIBLE IN ANY SNOW SHOWERS.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WILL CONT WITH SCA AND SCA/FZGSPY ADV FOR LATER TNGT
INTO FRI MORN. AFTWRDS...WINDS AND SEAS SHOULD DIMINISH BLO SCA
WITH FZGSPY BECOMING LIGHT FRI AFTN. WINDS SHOULD CONT TO
DIMINISH FRI EVE...THEN INCREASE SOMEWHAT VERY LATE FRI NGT. WV
HTS WERE SIG ABV WW3 WV GUIDANCE WV HTS...SO WE BEGAN THE NEAR
TERM WITH BUOY OBSVD WV HTS...THEN GRADUALLY TRENDED TOWARD WW3
WV GUIDANCE BY FRI AFTN.

SHORT TERM: SCA CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY AND SATURDAY
NIGHT AND THEN CONDITIONS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW SCA LEVELS.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ050>052.
     FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ050>052.
&&
$$

NEAR TERM...VJN/MCW
SHORT TERM...DUDA
LONG TERM...DUDA
AVIATION...VJN/MCW/
MARINE...VJN/MCW/



000
FXUS61 KCAR 060314
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1014 PM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THROUGH FRIDAY.
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH SATURDAY THEN CROSS THE REGION SAT
EVENING. WEAK LOW PRESSURE FROM CENTRAL CANADA WILL APPROACH LATE
SUNDAY AND CROSS THE REGION MONDAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
10PM UPDATE...
CIRRUS IS MOVING OFFSHORE AND WINDS ARE DECREASING. AS A
RESULT...THE OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURE FORECAST CONTINUES TO LOOK
REASONABLE.  NO CHANGES WERE MADE WITH THIS UPDATE.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
WHATS LEFT OF HI/MID CLD CVR SHOULD CONT TO SLOWLY MOVE SE OF THE
FA OVRNGT...WITH CLRG ADVCG FROM NRN ME LATE THIS AFTN TO THE
DOWNEAST COAST LATE TNGT. WITH A WSW TO ENE SFC RIDGE AXIS
SETTING UP ACROSS THE FA SIMILAR TO THE LAST COLD ARCTIC AIR MASS
LATE LAST WEEK...WINDS WILL DECOUPLE ACROSS BROAD VLY AREAS ARND
SUNSET AND LIGHTEN TO A GENTLE BREEZE OVR HIER TRRN. ONCE AGAIN...
THIS WILL RESULT IN SIG VLY TO HILL TOP OVRNGT LOW TEMP RANGES
ACROSS THE REGION...SPCLY ACROSS THE N AND W. BASED ON PROJECTED
LATE NGT 925MB TEMPS OF ARND -20 DEG C AND A CONSERVATIVE SFC BASE
INVSN STRENGTH OF 10 TO 15 DEG C...COLDEST VLY LCTNS OVR THE WRN
ST JOHN AND ALLAGASH RVR BASINS COULD DROP BLO 25 BELOW ZERO F.
ELSEWHERE...OVRNGT LOWS WILL BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO TENS BLO
ZERO AND ARND ZERO ALG THE IMMEDIATE COAST.

OTHERWISE...TEMPS SHOULD RAPIDLY RECOVER FRI MORN UNDER MSLY SUNNY
SKIES TO REACH FCST HIGHS RANGING FROM MID TEENS N TO LOWER 20S
DOWNEAST. WITH STEEPENING SFC-500M LAPSE RATES BY AFTN...WIND
SPEEDS ALF OF 20 TO 25 MPH WILL BE ABLE TO MIX DOWN IN GUSTS
ACROSS THE N HLF OF THE FA WITH 10 TO 20 MPH ACROSS THE S. CLDNSS
BEGINS TO INCREASE FROM NW TO SE ACROSS THE FA BEGINNING LATE DAY
FRI OVR THE FAR NW HOLDING OFF TIL LATE FRI NGT ACROSS THE SE AS
LOW AND MID LVL RETURN FLOW WARM ADVCN/OVRRNG COMMENCES. CANNOT
RULE SCT SN SHWRS REACHING FAR NW ME PRIOR TO DAYBREAK SAT...WITH
ANY SN ACCUMULATION LESS THAN AN INCH BASED ON THE LATEST MODEL
GUIDANCE ATTM.
&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL BRING INCREASING CLOUDS SATURDAY
AND THE CHANCE FOR SNOW SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY TO NORTHERN AREAS ON
SATURDAY. THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE TO THE EAST OF THE REGION
SATURDAY NIGHT WITH DECREASING CLOUDS OVERNIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST. HIGH TEMPERATURES BOTH SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY WILL BE BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.
&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT IN
ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THE COLD FRONT WILL CROSS
THE REGION MONDAY AND INTO MONDAY NIGHT WITH THE CHANCE FOR SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN LATER MONDAY NIGHT AND
TUESDAY. ANOTHER LOW WILL TRACK NORTH OF THE REGION BY MID WEEK.
TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE TO ABOVE NORMAL LEVEL BY MID WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /03Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: UNLMTD VFR XPCTD THRU FRI NGT...WITH MVFR CLGS/VSBYS
WITH SN SHWRS POSSIBLE VERY LATE FRI NGT AT KFVE.

SHORT TERM: VFR EXCEPT MVFR POSSIBLE IN ANY SNOW SHOWERS.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WILL CONT WITH SCA AND SCA/FZGSPY ADV FOR LATER TNGT
INTO FRI MORN. AFTWRDS...WINDS AND SEAS SHOULD DIMINISH BLO SCA
WITH FZGSPY BECOMING LIGHT FRI AFTN. WINDS SHOULD CONT TO
DIMINISH FRI EVE...THEN INCREASE SOMEWHAT VERY LATE FRI NGT. WV
HTS WERE SIG ABV WW3 WV GUIDANCE WV HTS...SO WE BEGAN THE NEAR
TERM WITH BUOY OBSVD WV HTS...THEN GRADUALLY TRENDED TOWARD WW3
WV GUIDANCE BY FRI AFTN.

SHORT TERM: SCA CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY AND SATURDAY
NIGHT AND THEN CONDITIONS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW SCA LEVELS.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ050>052.
     FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ050>052.
&&
$$

NEAR TERM...VJN/MCW
SHORT TERM...DUDA
LONG TERM...DUDA
AVIATION...VJN/MCW/
MARINE...VJN/MCW/




000
FXUS61 KCAR 060314
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1014 PM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THROUGH FRIDAY.
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH SATURDAY THEN CROSS THE REGION SAT
EVENING. WEAK LOW PRESSURE FROM CENTRAL CANADA WILL APPROACH LATE
SUNDAY AND CROSS THE REGION MONDAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
10PM UPDATE...
CIRRUS IS MOVING OFFSHORE AND WINDS ARE DECREASING. AS A
RESULT...THE OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURE FORECAST CONTINUES TO LOOK
REASONABLE.  NO CHANGES WERE MADE WITH THIS UPDATE.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
WHATS LEFT OF HI/MID CLD CVR SHOULD CONT TO SLOWLY MOVE SE OF THE
FA OVRNGT...WITH CLRG ADVCG FROM NRN ME LATE THIS AFTN TO THE
DOWNEAST COAST LATE TNGT. WITH A WSW TO ENE SFC RIDGE AXIS
SETTING UP ACROSS THE FA SIMILAR TO THE LAST COLD ARCTIC AIR MASS
LATE LAST WEEK...WINDS WILL DECOUPLE ACROSS BROAD VLY AREAS ARND
SUNSET AND LIGHTEN TO A GENTLE BREEZE OVR HIER TRRN. ONCE AGAIN...
THIS WILL RESULT IN SIG VLY TO HILL TOP OVRNGT LOW TEMP RANGES
ACROSS THE REGION...SPCLY ACROSS THE N AND W. BASED ON PROJECTED
LATE NGT 925MB TEMPS OF ARND -20 DEG C AND A CONSERVATIVE SFC BASE
INVSN STRENGTH OF 10 TO 15 DEG C...COLDEST VLY LCTNS OVR THE WRN
ST JOHN AND ALLAGASH RVR BASINS COULD DROP BLO 25 BELOW ZERO F.
ELSEWHERE...OVRNGT LOWS WILL BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO TENS BLO
ZERO AND ARND ZERO ALG THE IMMEDIATE COAST.

OTHERWISE...TEMPS SHOULD RAPIDLY RECOVER FRI MORN UNDER MSLY SUNNY
SKIES TO REACH FCST HIGHS RANGING FROM MID TEENS N TO LOWER 20S
DOWNEAST. WITH STEEPENING SFC-500M LAPSE RATES BY AFTN...WIND
SPEEDS ALF OF 20 TO 25 MPH WILL BE ABLE TO MIX DOWN IN GUSTS
ACROSS THE N HLF OF THE FA WITH 10 TO 20 MPH ACROSS THE S. CLDNSS
BEGINS TO INCREASE FROM NW TO SE ACROSS THE FA BEGINNING LATE DAY
FRI OVR THE FAR NW HOLDING OFF TIL LATE FRI NGT ACROSS THE SE AS
LOW AND MID LVL RETURN FLOW WARM ADVCN/OVRRNG COMMENCES. CANNOT
RULE SCT SN SHWRS REACHING FAR NW ME PRIOR TO DAYBREAK SAT...WITH
ANY SN ACCUMULATION LESS THAN AN INCH BASED ON THE LATEST MODEL
GUIDANCE ATTM.
&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL BRING INCREASING CLOUDS SATURDAY
AND THE CHANCE FOR SNOW SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY TO NORTHERN AREAS ON
SATURDAY. THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE TO THE EAST OF THE REGION
SATURDAY NIGHT WITH DECREASING CLOUDS OVERNIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST. HIGH TEMPERATURES BOTH SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY WILL BE BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.
&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT IN
ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THE COLD FRONT WILL CROSS
THE REGION MONDAY AND INTO MONDAY NIGHT WITH THE CHANCE FOR SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN LATER MONDAY NIGHT AND
TUESDAY. ANOTHER LOW WILL TRACK NORTH OF THE REGION BY MID WEEK.
TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE TO ABOVE NORMAL LEVEL BY MID WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /03Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: UNLMTD VFR XPCTD THRU FRI NGT...WITH MVFR CLGS/VSBYS
WITH SN SHWRS POSSIBLE VERY LATE FRI NGT AT KFVE.

SHORT TERM: VFR EXCEPT MVFR POSSIBLE IN ANY SNOW SHOWERS.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WILL CONT WITH SCA AND SCA/FZGSPY ADV FOR LATER TNGT
INTO FRI MORN. AFTWRDS...WINDS AND SEAS SHOULD DIMINISH BLO SCA
WITH FZGSPY BECOMING LIGHT FRI AFTN. WINDS SHOULD CONT TO
DIMINISH FRI EVE...THEN INCREASE SOMEWHAT VERY LATE FRI NGT. WV
HTS WERE SIG ABV WW3 WV GUIDANCE WV HTS...SO WE BEGAN THE NEAR
TERM WITH BUOY OBSVD WV HTS...THEN GRADUALLY TRENDED TOWARD WW3
WV GUIDANCE BY FRI AFTN.

SHORT TERM: SCA CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY AND SATURDAY
NIGHT AND THEN CONDITIONS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW SCA LEVELS.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ050>052.
     FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ050>052.
&&
$$

NEAR TERM...VJN/MCW
SHORT TERM...DUDA
LONG TERM...DUDA
AVIATION...VJN/MCW/
MARINE...VJN/MCW/



000
FXUS61 KCAR 060314
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1014 PM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THROUGH FRIDAY.
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH SATURDAY THEN CROSS THE REGION SAT
EVENING. WEAK LOW PRESSURE FROM CENTRAL CANADA WILL APPROACH LATE
SUNDAY AND CROSS THE REGION MONDAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
10PM UPDATE...
CIRRUS IS MOVING OFFSHORE AND WINDS ARE DECREASING. AS A
RESULT...THE OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURE FORECAST CONTINUES TO LOOK
REASONABLE.  NO CHANGES WERE MADE WITH THIS UPDATE.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
WHATS LEFT OF HI/MID CLD CVR SHOULD CONT TO SLOWLY MOVE SE OF THE
FA OVRNGT...WITH CLRG ADVCG FROM NRN ME LATE THIS AFTN TO THE
DOWNEAST COAST LATE TNGT. WITH A WSW TO ENE SFC RIDGE AXIS
SETTING UP ACROSS THE FA SIMILAR TO THE LAST COLD ARCTIC AIR MASS
LATE LAST WEEK...WINDS WILL DECOUPLE ACROSS BROAD VLY AREAS ARND
SUNSET AND LIGHTEN TO A GENTLE BREEZE OVR HIER TRRN. ONCE AGAIN...
THIS WILL RESULT IN SIG VLY TO HILL TOP OVRNGT LOW TEMP RANGES
ACROSS THE REGION...SPCLY ACROSS THE N AND W. BASED ON PROJECTED
LATE NGT 925MB TEMPS OF ARND -20 DEG C AND A CONSERVATIVE SFC BASE
INVSN STRENGTH OF 10 TO 15 DEG C...COLDEST VLY LCTNS OVR THE WRN
ST JOHN AND ALLAGASH RVR BASINS COULD DROP BLO 25 BELOW ZERO F.
ELSEWHERE...OVRNGT LOWS WILL BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO TENS BLO
ZERO AND ARND ZERO ALG THE IMMEDIATE COAST.

OTHERWISE...TEMPS SHOULD RAPIDLY RECOVER FRI MORN UNDER MSLY SUNNY
SKIES TO REACH FCST HIGHS RANGING FROM MID TEENS N TO LOWER 20S
DOWNEAST. WITH STEEPENING SFC-500M LAPSE RATES BY AFTN...WIND
SPEEDS ALF OF 20 TO 25 MPH WILL BE ABLE TO MIX DOWN IN GUSTS
ACROSS THE N HLF OF THE FA WITH 10 TO 20 MPH ACROSS THE S. CLDNSS
BEGINS TO INCREASE FROM NW TO SE ACROSS THE FA BEGINNING LATE DAY
FRI OVR THE FAR NW HOLDING OFF TIL LATE FRI NGT ACROSS THE SE AS
LOW AND MID LVL RETURN FLOW WARM ADVCN/OVRRNG COMMENCES. CANNOT
RULE SCT SN SHWRS REACHING FAR NW ME PRIOR TO DAYBREAK SAT...WITH
ANY SN ACCUMULATION LESS THAN AN INCH BASED ON THE LATEST MODEL
GUIDANCE ATTM.
&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL BRING INCREASING CLOUDS SATURDAY
AND THE CHANCE FOR SNOW SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY TO NORTHERN AREAS ON
SATURDAY. THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE TO THE EAST OF THE REGION
SATURDAY NIGHT WITH DECREASING CLOUDS OVERNIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST. HIGH TEMPERATURES BOTH SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY WILL BE BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.
&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT IN
ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THE COLD FRONT WILL CROSS
THE REGION MONDAY AND INTO MONDAY NIGHT WITH THE CHANCE FOR SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN LATER MONDAY NIGHT AND
TUESDAY. ANOTHER LOW WILL TRACK NORTH OF THE REGION BY MID WEEK.
TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE TO ABOVE NORMAL LEVEL BY MID WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /03Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: UNLMTD VFR XPCTD THRU FRI NGT...WITH MVFR CLGS/VSBYS
WITH SN SHWRS POSSIBLE VERY LATE FRI NGT AT KFVE.

SHORT TERM: VFR EXCEPT MVFR POSSIBLE IN ANY SNOW SHOWERS.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WILL CONT WITH SCA AND SCA/FZGSPY ADV FOR LATER TNGT
INTO FRI MORN. AFTWRDS...WINDS AND SEAS SHOULD DIMINISH BLO SCA
WITH FZGSPY BECOMING LIGHT FRI AFTN. WINDS SHOULD CONT TO
DIMINISH FRI EVE...THEN INCREASE SOMEWHAT VERY LATE FRI NGT. WV
HTS WERE SIG ABV WW3 WV GUIDANCE WV HTS...SO WE BEGAN THE NEAR
TERM WITH BUOY OBSVD WV HTS...THEN GRADUALLY TRENDED TOWARD WW3
WV GUIDANCE BY FRI AFTN.

SHORT TERM: SCA CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY AND SATURDAY
NIGHT AND THEN CONDITIONS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW SCA LEVELS.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ050>052.
     FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ050>052.
&&
$$

NEAR TERM...VJN/MCW
SHORT TERM...DUDA
LONG TERM...DUDA
AVIATION...VJN/MCW/
MARINE...VJN/MCW/




000
FXUS61 KGYX 060130 AAB
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
830 PM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST ON SATURDAY
AND WILL CROSS THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHWEST SUNDAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL CROSS
THE REGION ON MONDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION ON
TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON
WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
UPDATE...CLEARING HAS MOVED INTO ALL BUT THE COAST AND SRN NH AT
THIS HOUR. TEMPS ACROSS THE NRN VALLEYS ARE APPROACHING...IF
NOT ALREADY BELOW ZERO. HAVE TWEAKED HOURLY TEMPS THRU MIDNIGHT TO
ACCOUNT FOR LATEST OBSERVATIONAL TRENDS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD IN
ACROSS THE AREA ALONG WITH COLD AIR ADVECTION...WHICH HAS BEEN
DROPPING OUR TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT THE DAY. MID TO UPPER LEVEL
CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTH THIS EVENING AND MOST AREAS
SHOULD BECOME FAIRLY CLEAR BY MIDNIGHT WITH THE EXCEPTION OF MAYBE
SOUTHERN CHESHIRE AND HILLSBOROUGH COUNTIES IN NEW HAMPSHIRE. THE
NORTHERN CWA SHOULD BE ABLE TO RADIATE MOST EFFICIENTLY TONIGHT AS
CLOUDS MOVE OUT OF THERE FIRST AND THE BOUNDARY LAYER DECOUPLES
WITH USUAL COLD SPOTS ACROSS DROPPING POSSIBLY BETWEEN 15 AND 20
BELOW ZERO.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVERHEAD TOMORROW...AND ALTHOUGH WE WILL
START OFF QUITE COLD...THE STRONG MARCH SUNSHINE SHOULD CREATE
QUITE A LARGE DIURNAL SWING AS TEMPERATURES COULD CLIMB 25-30
DEGREES IN SOME SPOTS DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS. A WEAK WAVE WILL
APPROACH FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING AND THIS WILL INCREASE
CLOUDS TOMORROW NIGHT AND BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SNOW SHOWER
IN THE MOUNTAINS BY SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON
SATURDAY AS A WEAK COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE
NORTHWEST. THE DAY WILL FEATURE VARIABLE CLOUDS
WITH A STRAY SNOW SHOWER POSSIBLE IN NORTHERN SECTIONS.
HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 20S NORTH TO THE LOWER
30S SOUTH.

COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT.
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL
GIVE WAY TO PARTIAL CLEARING AFTER MIDNIGHT DOWNWIND
OF THE MOUNTAINS. ELSEWHERE SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY
CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
NORTH. LOWS WILL ONCE AGAIN FALL TO BELOW NORMAL
LEVELS WITH READINGS BY EARLY SATURDAY OF 5 TO 15
NORTH AND IN THE TEENS SOUTH.

WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTHWEST ON SUNDAY.
LINGERING FRONTAL TROUGH WILL KEEP VARIABLE CLOUDINESS ACROSS
THE REGION FOR MOST OF THE DAY. HIGH TEMPS WILL RANGE FROM
THE MID 20S TO MID 30S.

WEAK LOW PRESSURE CROSSING SOUTHERN CANADA SUNDAY NIGHT WILL
DRIVE A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION MONDAY BRINGING JUST A
GLANCING BLOW OF COOLER AIR MAINLY INTO NORTHERN ZONES. EXPECT
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH JUST A CHANCE OF A SNOW SHOWER. HIGH
WILL RANGE THROUGH THE 30S.

SHALLOW RIDGE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL BRING CLEARING SKIES
MONDAY EVENING ALTHOUGH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL KEEP CLOUDS IN
THE NORTH. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL RANGE THROUGH THE TEENS TO NEAR 20.

HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS OFFSHORE ON TUESDAY AND RETURN FLOW WILL BRING
WARMER AIR BACK INTO THE AREA. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES IN
NORTHERN SECTIONS CLOSER TO THE WARM FRONT. WILL LIKELY ALSO
INCLUDE SOME LOW CHANCE POPS FOR SNOW SHOWERS BUT MOST OF THIS
ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN NORTH OF THE BORDER. HIGH TEMPS WILL
FINALLY TOP OUT NEAR NORMAL WITH MID 30S NORTH TO LOWER 40S SOUTH.

WARMER WEATHER WILL CONTINUE ON WEDNESDAY AS ANOTHER AREA OF HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES
TO PERSIST IN THE NORTH WITH A CHANCE OF A RAIN OR SNOW SHOWER IN
THE AFTERNOON AS ANOTHER WARM FRONT PUSHES THROUGH SOUTHERN
CANADA. PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WILL PREVAIL IN THE SOUTH.
HIGHS WILL REACH THE LOWER TO MID 40S IN MOST LOCATIONS.

COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION ON THURSDAY. SHOULD SEE ONE MORE WARM
DAY AS COLD AIR LAGS BEHIND THE FRONT. LOOKING FOR LITTLE IF ANY
SHOWER ACTIVITY WITH THE FROPA. HIGHS WILL TOP OUT NEAR 40 BEFORE
DROPPING BACK LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE ENTIRE PERIOD
WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD.

LONG TERM...VFR SATURDAY. AREAS MVFR CEILINGS/VSBY SATURDAY NIGHT
AND SUNDAY. VFR MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SCAS WILL CONTINUE WITH SOME GUSTY WINDS BEHIND COLD
FRONT. COLD AIR ALONG WITH THE GUSTY WINDS WILL MAKE IT FAVORABLE
FOR FREEZING SPRAY ACROSS ALL AREAS TONIGHT THROUGH TOMORROW
MORNING.

LONG TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED LATE MONDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150-152-154.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...LEGRO




000
FXUS61 KGYX 060130 AAB
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
830 PM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST ON SATURDAY
AND WILL CROSS THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHWEST SUNDAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL CROSS
THE REGION ON MONDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION ON
TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON
WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
UPDATE...CLEARING HAS MOVED INTO ALL BUT THE COAST AND SRN NH AT
THIS HOUR. TEMPS ACROSS THE NRN VALLEYS ARE APPROACHING...IF
NOT ALREADY BELOW ZERO. HAVE TWEAKED HOURLY TEMPS THRU MIDNIGHT TO
ACCOUNT FOR LATEST OBSERVATIONAL TRENDS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD IN
ACROSS THE AREA ALONG WITH COLD AIR ADVECTION...WHICH HAS BEEN
DROPPING OUR TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT THE DAY. MID TO UPPER LEVEL
CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTH THIS EVENING AND MOST AREAS
SHOULD BECOME FAIRLY CLEAR BY MIDNIGHT WITH THE EXCEPTION OF MAYBE
SOUTHERN CHESHIRE AND HILLSBOROUGH COUNTIES IN NEW HAMPSHIRE. THE
NORTHERN CWA SHOULD BE ABLE TO RADIATE MOST EFFICIENTLY TONIGHT AS
CLOUDS MOVE OUT OF THERE FIRST AND THE BOUNDARY LAYER DECOUPLES
WITH USUAL COLD SPOTS ACROSS DROPPING POSSIBLY BETWEEN 15 AND 20
BELOW ZERO.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVERHEAD TOMORROW...AND ALTHOUGH WE WILL
START OFF QUITE COLD...THE STRONG MARCH SUNSHINE SHOULD CREATE
QUITE A LARGE DIURNAL SWING AS TEMPERATURES COULD CLIMB 25-30
DEGREES IN SOME SPOTS DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS. A WEAK WAVE WILL
APPROACH FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING AND THIS WILL INCREASE
CLOUDS TOMORROW NIGHT AND BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SNOW SHOWER
IN THE MOUNTAINS BY SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON
SATURDAY AS A WEAK COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE
NORTHWEST. THE DAY WILL FEATURE VARIABLE CLOUDS
WITH A STRAY SNOW SHOWER POSSIBLE IN NORTHERN SECTIONS.
HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 20S NORTH TO THE LOWER
30S SOUTH.

COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT.
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL
GIVE WAY TO PARTIAL CLEARING AFTER MIDNIGHT DOWNWIND
OF THE MOUNTAINS. ELSEWHERE SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY
CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
NORTH. LOWS WILL ONCE AGAIN FALL TO BELOW NORMAL
LEVELS WITH READINGS BY EARLY SATURDAY OF 5 TO 15
NORTH AND IN THE TEENS SOUTH.

WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTHWEST ON SUNDAY.
LINGERING FRONTAL TROUGH WILL KEEP VARIABLE CLOUDINESS ACROSS
THE REGION FOR MOST OF THE DAY. HIGH TEMPS WILL RANGE FROM
THE MID 20S TO MID 30S.

WEAK LOW PRESSURE CROSSING SOUTHERN CANADA SUNDAY NIGHT WILL
DRIVE A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION MONDAY BRINGING JUST A
GLANCING BLOW OF COOLER AIR MAINLY INTO NORTHERN ZONES. EXPECT
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH JUST A CHANCE OF A SNOW SHOWER. HIGH
WILL RANGE THROUGH THE 30S.

SHALLOW RIDGE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL BRING CLEARING SKIES
MONDAY EVENING ALTHOUGH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL KEEP CLOUDS IN
THE NORTH. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL RANGE THROUGH THE TEENS TO NEAR 20.

HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS OFFSHORE ON TUESDAY AND RETURN FLOW WILL BRING
WARMER AIR BACK INTO THE AREA. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES IN
NORTHERN SECTIONS CLOSER TO THE WARM FRONT. WILL LIKELY ALSO
INCLUDE SOME LOW CHANCE POPS FOR SNOW SHOWERS BUT MOST OF THIS
ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN NORTH OF THE BORDER. HIGH TEMPS WILL
FINALLY TOP OUT NEAR NORMAL WITH MID 30S NORTH TO LOWER 40S SOUTH.

WARMER WEATHER WILL CONTINUE ON WEDNESDAY AS ANOTHER AREA OF HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES
TO PERSIST IN THE NORTH WITH A CHANCE OF A RAIN OR SNOW SHOWER IN
THE AFTERNOON AS ANOTHER WARM FRONT PUSHES THROUGH SOUTHERN
CANADA. PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WILL PREVAIL IN THE SOUTH.
HIGHS WILL REACH THE LOWER TO MID 40S IN MOST LOCATIONS.

COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION ON THURSDAY. SHOULD SEE ONE MORE WARM
DAY AS COLD AIR LAGS BEHIND THE FRONT. LOOKING FOR LITTLE IF ANY
SHOWER ACTIVITY WITH THE FROPA. HIGHS WILL TOP OUT NEAR 40 BEFORE
DROPPING BACK LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE ENTIRE PERIOD
WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD.

LONG TERM...VFR SATURDAY. AREAS MVFR CEILINGS/VSBY SATURDAY NIGHT
AND SUNDAY. VFR MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SCAS WILL CONTINUE WITH SOME GUSTY WINDS BEHIND COLD
FRONT. COLD AIR ALONG WITH THE GUSTY WINDS WILL MAKE IT FAVORABLE
FOR FREEZING SPRAY ACROSS ALL AREAS TONIGHT THROUGH TOMORROW
MORNING.

LONG TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED LATE MONDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150-152-154.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...LEGRO



000
FXUS61 KGYX 060130 AAB
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
830 PM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST ON SATURDAY
AND WILL CROSS THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHWEST SUNDAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL CROSS
THE REGION ON MONDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION ON
TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON
WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
UPDATE...CLEARING HAS MOVED INTO ALL BUT THE COAST AND SRN NH AT
THIS HOUR. TEMPS ACROSS THE NRN VALLEYS ARE APPROACHING...IF
NOT ALREADY BELOW ZERO. HAVE TWEAKED HOURLY TEMPS THRU MIDNIGHT TO
ACCOUNT FOR LATEST OBSERVATIONAL TRENDS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD IN
ACROSS THE AREA ALONG WITH COLD AIR ADVECTION...WHICH HAS BEEN
DROPPING OUR TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT THE DAY. MID TO UPPER LEVEL
CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTH THIS EVENING AND MOST AREAS
SHOULD BECOME FAIRLY CLEAR BY MIDNIGHT WITH THE EXCEPTION OF MAYBE
SOUTHERN CHESHIRE AND HILLSBOROUGH COUNTIES IN NEW HAMPSHIRE. THE
NORTHERN CWA SHOULD BE ABLE TO RADIATE MOST EFFICIENTLY TONIGHT AS
CLOUDS MOVE OUT OF THERE FIRST AND THE BOUNDARY LAYER DECOUPLES
WITH USUAL COLD SPOTS ACROSS DROPPING POSSIBLY BETWEEN 15 AND 20
BELOW ZERO.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVERHEAD TOMORROW...AND ALTHOUGH WE WILL
START OFF QUITE COLD...THE STRONG MARCH SUNSHINE SHOULD CREATE
QUITE A LARGE DIURNAL SWING AS TEMPERATURES COULD CLIMB 25-30
DEGREES IN SOME SPOTS DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS. A WEAK WAVE WILL
APPROACH FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING AND THIS WILL INCREASE
CLOUDS TOMORROW NIGHT AND BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SNOW SHOWER
IN THE MOUNTAINS BY SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON
SATURDAY AS A WEAK COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE
NORTHWEST. THE DAY WILL FEATURE VARIABLE CLOUDS
WITH A STRAY SNOW SHOWER POSSIBLE IN NORTHERN SECTIONS.
HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 20S NORTH TO THE LOWER
30S SOUTH.

COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT.
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL
GIVE WAY TO PARTIAL CLEARING AFTER MIDNIGHT DOWNWIND
OF THE MOUNTAINS. ELSEWHERE SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY
CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
NORTH. LOWS WILL ONCE AGAIN FALL TO BELOW NORMAL
LEVELS WITH READINGS BY EARLY SATURDAY OF 5 TO 15
NORTH AND IN THE TEENS SOUTH.

WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTHWEST ON SUNDAY.
LINGERING FRONTAL TROUGH WILL KEEP VARIABLE CLOUDINESS ACROSS
THE REGION FOR MOST OF THE DAY. HIGH TEMPS WILL RANGE FROM
THE MID 20S TO MID 30S.

WEAK LOW PRESSURE CROSSING SOUTHERN CANADA SUNDAY NIGHT WILL
DRIVE A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION MONDAY BRINGING JUST A
GLANCING BLOW OF COOLER AIR MAINLY INTO NORTHERN ZONES. EXPECT
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH JUST A CHANCE OF A SNOW SHOWER. HIGH
WILL RANGE THROUGH THE 30S.

SHALLOW RIDGE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL BRING CLEARING SKIES
MONDAY EVENING ALTHOUGH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL KEEP CLOUDS IN
THE NORTH. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL RANGE THROUGH THE TEENS TO NEAR 20.

HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS OFFSHORE ON TUESDAY AND RETURN FLOW WILL BRING
WARMER AIR BACK INTO THE AREA. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES IN
NORTHERN SECTIONS CLOSER TO THE WARM FRONT. WILL LIKELY ALSO
INCLUDE SOME LOW CHANCE POPS FOR SNOW SHOWERS BUT MOST OF THIS
ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN NORTH OF THE BORDER. HIGH TEMPS WILL
FINALLY TOP OUT NEAR NORMAL WITH MID 30S NORTH TO LOWER 40S SOUTH.

WARMER WEATHER WILL CONTINUE ON WEDNESDAY AS ANOTHER AREA OF HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES
TO PERSIST IN THE NORTH WITH A CHANCE OF A RAIN OR SNOW SHOWER IN
THE AFTERNOON AS ANOTHER WARM FRONT PUSHES THROUGH SOUTHERN
CANADA. PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WILL PREVAIL IN THE SOUTH.
HIGHS WILL REACH THE LOWER TO MID 40S IN MOST LOCATIONS.

COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION ON THURSDAY. SHOULD SEE ONE MORE WARM
DAY AS COLD AIR LAGS BEHIND THE FRONT. LOOKING FOR LITTLE IF ANY
SHOWER ACTIVITY WITH THE FROPA. HIGHS WILL TOP OUT NEAR 40 BEFORE
DROPPING BACK LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE ENTIRE PERIOD
WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD.

LONG TERM...VFR SATURDAY. AREAS MVFR CEILINGS/VSBY SATURDAY NIGHT
AND SUNDAY. VFR MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SCAS WILL CONTINUE WITH SOME GUSTY WINDS BEHIND COLD
FRONT. COLD AIR ALONG WITH THE GUSTY WINDS WILL MAKE IT FAVORABLE
FOR FREEZING SPRAY ACROSS ALL AREAS TONIGHT THROUGH TOMORROW
MORNING.

LONG TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED LATE MONDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150-152-154.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...LEGRO




000
FXUS61 KGYX 052254
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
554 PM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST ON SATURDAY
AND WILL CROSS THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHWEST SUNDAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL CROSS
THE REGION ON MONDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION ON
TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON
WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
UPDATE...NO MAJOR CHANGES TO THE CURRENT FORECAST. TRACKING THE
TRAILING EDGE OF HIGH CLOUDS ON IR SATELLITE...CLEARING SHOULD
REACH WRN ZONES IN THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...AND PROGRESS STEADILY
E FROM THERE. STILL EXPECT THIS TO SET THE STAGE FOR IDEAL
RADIATIONAL COOLING LATE TONIGHT.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD IN
ACROSS THE AREA ALONG WITH COLD AIR ADVECTION...WHICH HAS BEEN
DROPPING OUR TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT THE DAY. MID TO UPPER LEVEL
CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTH THIS EVENING AND MOST AREAS
SHOULD BECOME FAIRLY CLEAR BY MIDNIGHT WITH THE EXCEPTION OF MAYBE
SOUTHERN CHESHIRE AND HILLSBOROUGH COUNTIES IN NEW HAMPSHIRE. THE
NORTHERN CWA SHOULD BE ABLE TO RADIATE MOST EFFICIENTLY TONIGHT AS
CLOUDS MOVE OUT OF THERE FIRST AND THE BOUNDARY LAYER DECOUPLES
WITH USUAL COLD SPOTS ACROSS DROPPING POSSIBLY BETWEEN 15 AND 20
BELOW ZERO.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVERHEAD TOMORROW...AND ALTHOUGH WE WILL
START OFF QUITE COLD...THE STRONG MARCH SUNSHINE SHOULD CREATE
QUITE A LARGE DIURNAL SWING AS TEMPERATURES COULD CLIMB 25-30
DEGREES IN SOME SPOTS DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS. A WEAK WAVE WILL
APPROACH FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING AND THIS WILL INCREASE
CLOUDS TOMORROW NIGHT AND BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SNOW SHOWER
IN THE MOUNTAINS BY SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON
SATURDAY AS A WEAK COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE
NORTHWEST. THE DAY WILL FEATURE VARIABLE CLOUDS
WITH A STRAY SNOW SHOWER POSSIBLE IN NORTHERN SECTIONS.
HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 20S NORTH TO THE LOWER
30S SOUTH.

COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT.
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL
GIVE WAY TO PARTIAL CLEARING AFTER MIDNIGHT DOWNWIND
OF THE MOUNTAINS. ELSEWHERE SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY
CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
NORTH. LOWS WILL ONCE AGAIN FALL TO BELOW NORMAL
LEVELS WITH READINGS BY EARLY SATURDAY OF 5 TO 15
NORTH AND IN THE TEENS SOUTH.

WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTHWEST ON SUNDAY.
LINGERING FRONTAL TROUGH WILL KEEP VARIABLE CLOUDINESS ACROSS
THE REGION FOR MOST OF THE DAY. HIGH TEMPS WILL RANGE FROM
THE MID 20S TO MID 30S.

WEAK LOW PRESSURE CROSSING SOUTHERN CANADA SUNDAY NIGHT WILL
DRIVE A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION MONDAY BRINGING JUST A
GLANCING BLOW OF COOLER AIR MAINLY INTO NORTHERN ZONES. EXPECT
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH JUST A CHANCE OF A SNOW SHOWER. HIGH
WILL RANGE THROUGH THE 30S.

SHALLOW RIDGE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL BRING CLEARING SKIES
MONDAY EVENING ALTHOUGH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL KEEP CLOUDS IN
THE NORTH. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL RANGE THROUGH THE TEENS TO NEAR 20.

HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS OFFSHORE ON TUESDAY AND RETURN FLOW WILL BRING
WARMER AIR BACK INTO THE AREA. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES IN
NORTHERN SECTIONS CLOSER TO THE WARM FRONT. WILL LIKELY ALSO
INCLUDE SOME LOW CHANCE POPS FOR SNOW SHOWERS BUT MOST OF THIS
ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN NORTH OF THE BORDER. HIGH TEMPS WILL
FINALLY TOP OUT NEAR NORMAL WITH MID 30S NORTH TO LOWER 40S SOUTH.

WARMER WEATHER WILL CONTINUE ON WEDNESDAY AS ANOTHER AREA OF HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES
TO PERSIST IN THE NORTH WITH A CHANCE OF A RAIN OR SNOW SHOWER IN
THE AFTERNOON AS ANOTHER WARM FRONT PUSHES THROUGH SOUTHERN
CANADA. PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WILL PREVAIL IN THE SOUTH.
HIGHS WILL REACH THE LOWER TO MID 40S IN MOST LOCATIONS.

COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION ON THURSDAY. SHOULD SEE ONE MORE WARM
DAY AS COLD AIR LAGS BEHIND THE FRONT. LOOKING FOR LITTLE IF ANY
SHOWER ACTIVITY WITH THE FROPA. HIGHS WILL TOP OUT NEAR 40 BEFORE
DROPPING BACK LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE ENTIRE PERIOD
WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD.

LONG TERM...VFR SATURDAY. AREAS MVFR CEILINGS/VSBY SATURDAY NIGHT
AND SUNDAY. VFR MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SCAS WILL CONTINUE WITH SOME GUSTY WINDS BEHIND COLD
FRONT. COLD AIR ALONG WITH THE GUSTY WINDS WILL MAKE IT FAVORABLE
FOR FREEZING SPRAY ACROSS ALL AREAS TONIGHT THROUGH TOMORROW
MORNING.

LONG TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED LATE MONDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150-152-154.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...LEGRO



000
FXUS61 KGYX 052254
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
554 PM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST ON SATURDAY
AND WILL CROSS THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHWEST SUNDAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL CROSS
THE REGION ON MONDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION ON
TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON
WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
UPDATE...NO MAJOR CHANGES TO THE CURRENT FORECAST. TRACKING THE
TRAILING EDGE OF HIGH CLOUDS ON IR SATELLITE...CLEARING SHOULD
REACH WRN ZONES IN THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...AND PROGRESS STEADILY
E FROM THERE. STILL EXPECT THIS TO SET THE STAGE FOR IDEAL
RADIATIONAL COOLING LATE TONIGHT.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD IN
ACROSS THE AREA ALONG WITH COLD AIR ADVECTION...WHICH HAS BEEN
DROPPING OUR TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT THE DAY. MID TO UPPER LEVEL
CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTH THIS EVENING AND MOST AREAS
SHOULD BECOME FAIRLY CLEAR BY MIDNIGHT WITH THE EXCEPTION OF MAYBE
SOUTHERN CHESHIRE AND HILLSBOROUGH COUNTIES IN NEW HAMPSHIRE. THE
NORTHERN CWA SHOULD BE ABLE TO RADIATE MOST EFFICIENTLY TONIGHT AS
CLOUDS MOVE OUT OF THERE FIRST AND THE BOUNDARY LAYER DECOUPLES
WITH USUAL COLD SPOTS ACROSS DROPPING POSSIBLY BETWEEN 15 AND 20
BELOW ZERO.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVERHEAD TOMORROW...AND ALTHOUGH WE WILL
START OFF QUITE COLD...THE STRONG MARCH SUNSHINE SHOULD CREATE
QUITE A LARGE DIURNAL SWING AS TEMPERATURES COULD CLIMB 25-30
DEGREES IN SOME SPOTS DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS. A WEAK WAVE WILL
APPROACH FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING AND THIS WILL INCREASE
CLOUDS TOMORROW NIGHT AND BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SNOW SHOWER
IN THE MOUNTAINS BY SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON
SATURDAY AS A WEAK COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE
NORTHWEST. THE DAY WILL FEATURE VARIABLE CLOUDS
WITH A STRAY SNOW SHOWER POSSIBLE IN NORTHERN SECTIONS.
HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 20S NORTH TO THE LOWER
30S SOUTH.

COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT.
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL
GIVE WAY TO PARTIAL CLEARING AFTER MIDNIGHT DOWNWIND
OF THE MOUNTAINS. ELSEWHERE SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY
CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
NORTH. LOWS WILL ONCE AGAIN FALL TO BELOW NORMAL
LEVELS WITH READINGS BY EARLY SATURDAY OF 5 TO 15
NORTH AND IN THE TEENS SOUTH.

WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTHWEST ON SUNDAY.
LINGERING FRONTAL TROUGH WILL KEEP VARIABLE CLOUDINESS ACROSS
THE REGION FOR MOST OF THE DAY. HIGH TEMPS WILL RANGE FROM
THE MID 20S TO MID 30S.

WEAK LOW PRESSURE CROSSING SOUTHERN CANADA SUNDAY NIGHT WILL
DRIVE A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION MONDAY BRINGING JUST A
GLANCING BLOW OF COOLER AIR MAINLY INTO NORTHERN ZONES. EXPECT
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH JUST A CHANCE OF A SNOW SHOWER. HIGH
WILL RANGE THROUGH THE 30S.

SHALLOW RIDGE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL BRING CLEARING SKIES
MONDAY EVENING ALTHOUGH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL KEEP CLOUDS IN
THE NORTH. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL RANGE THROUGH THE TEENS TO NEAR 20.

HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS OFFSHORE ON TUESDAY AND RETURN FLOW WILL BRING
WARMER AIR BACK INTO THE AREA. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES IN
NORTHERN SECTIONS CLOSER TO THE WARM FRONT. WILL LIKELY ALSO
INCLUDE SOME LOW CHANCE POPS FOR SNOW SHOWERS BUT MOST OF THIS
ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN NORTH OF THE BORDER. HIGH TEMPS WILL
FINALLY TOP OUT NEAR NORMAL WITH MID 30S NORTH TO LOWER 40S SOUTH.

WARMER WEATHER WILL CONTINUE ON WEDNESDAY AS ANOTHER AREA OF HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES
TO PERSIST IN THE NORTH WITH A CHANCE OF A RAIN OR SNOW SHOWER IN
THE AFTERNOON AS ANOTHER WARM FRONT PUSHES THROUGH SOUTHERN
CANADA. PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WILL PREVAIL IN THE SOUTH.
HIGHS WILL REACH THE LOWER TO MID 40S IN MOST LOCATIONS.

COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION ON THURSDAY. SHOULD SEE ONE MORE WARM
DAY AS COLD AIR LAGS BEHIND THE FRONT. LOOKING FOR LITTLE IF ANY
SHOWER ACTIVITY WITH THE FROPA. HIGHS WILL TOP OUT NEAR 40 BEFORE
DROPPING BACK LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE ENTIRE PERIOD
WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD.

LONG TERM...VFR SATURDAY. AREAS MVFR CEILINGS/VSBY SATURDAY NIGHT
AND SUNDAY. VFR MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SCAS WILL CONTINUE WITH SOME GUSTY WINDS BEHIND COLD
FRONT. COLD AIR ALONG WITH THE GUSTY WINDS WILL MAKE IT FAVORABLE
FOR FREEZING SPRAY ACROSS ALL AREAS TONIGHT THROUGH TOMORROW
MORNING.

LONG TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED LATE MONDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150-152-154.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...LEGRO




000
FXUS61 KGYX 052254
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
554 PM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST ON SATURDAY
AND WILL CROSS THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHWEST SUNDAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL CROSS
THE REGION ON MONDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION ON
TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON
WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
UPDATE...NO MAJOR CHANGES TO THE CURRENT FORECAST. TRACKING THE
TRAILING EDGE OF HIGH CLOUDS ON IR SATELLITE...CLEARING SHOULD
REACH WRN ZONES IN THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...AND PROGRESS STEADILY
E FROM THERE. STILL EXPECT THIS TO SET THE STAGE FOR IDEAL
RADIATIONAL COOLING LATE TONIGHT.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD IN
ACROSS THE AREA ALONG WITH COLD AIR ADVECTION...WHICH HAS BEEN
DROPPING OUR TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT THE DAY. MID TO UPPER LEVEL
CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTH THIS EVENING AND MOST AREAS
SHOULD BECOME FAIRLY CLEAR BY MIDNIGHT WITH THE EXCEPTION OF MAYBE
SOUTHERN CHESHIRE AND HILLSBOROUGH COUNTIES IN NEW HAMPSHIRE. THE
NORTHERN CWA SHOULD BE ABLE TO RADIATE MOST EFFICIENTLY TONIGHT AS
CLOUDS MOVE OUT OF THERE FIRST AND THE BOUNDARY LAYER DECOUPLES
WITH USUAL COLD SPOTS ACROSS DROPPING POSSIBLY BETWEEN 15 AND 20
BELOW ZERO.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVERHEAD TOMORROW...AND ALTHOUGH WE WILL
START OFF QUITE COLD...THE STRONG MARCH SUNSHINE SHOULD CREATE
QUITE A LARGE DIURNAL SWING AS TEMPERATURES COULD CLIMB 25-30
DEGREES IN SOME SPOTS DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS. A WEAK WAVE WILL
APPROACH FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING AND THIS WILL INCREASE
CLOUDS TOMORROW NIGHT AND BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SNOW SHOWER
IN THE MOUNTAINS BY SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON
SATURDAY AS A WEAK COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE
NORTHWEST. THE DAY WILL FEATURE VARIABLE CLOUDS
WITH A STRAY SNOW SHOWER POSSIBLE IN NORTHERN SECTIONS.
HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 20S NORTH TO THE LOWER
30S SOUTH.

COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT.
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL
GIVE WAY TO PARTIAL CLEARING AFTER MIDNIGHT DOWNWIND
OF THE MOUNTAINS. ELSEWHERE SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY
CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
NORTH. LOWS WILL ONCE AGAIN FALL TO BELOW NORMAL
LEVELS WITH READINGS BY EARLY SATURDAY OF 5 TO 15
NORTH AND IN THE TEENS SOUTH.

WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTHWEST ON SUNDAY.
LINGERING FRONTAL TROUGH WILL KEEP VARIABLE CLOUDINESS ACROSS
THE REGION FOR MOST OF THE DAY. HIGH TEMPS WILL RANGE FROM
THE MID 20S TO MID 30S.

WEAK LOW PRESSURE CROSSING SOUTHERN CANADA SUNDAY NIGHT WILL
DRIVE A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION MONDAY BRINGING JUST A
GLANCING BLOW OF COOLER AIR MAINLY INTO NORTHERN ZONES. EXPECT
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH JUST A CHANCE OF A SNOW SHOWER. HIGH
WILL RANGE THROUGH THE 30S.

SHALLOW RIDGE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL BRING CLEARING SKIES
MONDAY EVENING ALTHOUGH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL KEEP CLOUDS IN
THE NORTH. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL RANGE THROUGH THE TEENS TO NEAR 20.

HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS OFFSHORE ON TUESDAY AND RETURN FLOW WILL BRING
WARMER AIR BACK INTO THE AREA. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES IN
NORTHERN SECTIONS CLOSER TO THE WARM FRONT. WILL LIKELY ALSO
INCLUDE SOME LOW CHANCE POPS FOR SNOW SHOWERS BUT MOST OF THIS
ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN NORTH OF THE BORDER. HIGH TEMPS WILL
FINALLY TOP OUT NEAR NORMAL WITH MID 30S NORTH TO LOWER 40S SOUTH.

WARMER WEATHER WILL CONTINUE ON WEDNESDAY AS ANOTHER AREA OF HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES
TO PERSIST IN THE NORTH WITH A CHANCE OF A RAIN OR SNOW SHOWER IN
THE AFTERNOON AS ANOTHER WARM FRONT PUSHES THROUGH SOUTHERN
CANADA. PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WILL PREVAIL IN THE SOUTH.
HIGHS WILL REACH THE LOWER TO MID 40S IN MOST LOCATIONS.

COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION ON THURSDAY. SHOULD SEE ONE MORE WARM
DAY AS COLD AIR LAGS BEHIND THE FRONT. LOOKING FOR LITTLE IF ANY
SHOWER ACTIVITY WITH THE FROPA. HIGHS WILL TOP OUT NEAR 40 BEFORE
DROPPING BACK LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE ENTIRE PERIOD
WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD.

LONG TERM...VFR SATURDAY. AREAS MVFR CEILINGS/VSBY SATURDAY NIGHT
AND SUNDAY. VFR MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SCAS WILL CONTINUE WITH SOME GUSTY WINDS BEHIND COLD
FRONT. COLD AIR ALONG WITH THE GUSTY WINDS WILL MAKE IT FAVORABLE
FOR FREEZING SPRAY ACROSS ALL AREAS TONIGHT THROUGH TOMORROW
MORNING.

LONG TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED LATE MONDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150-152-154.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...LEGRO



000
FXUS61 KGYX 052254
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
554 PM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST ON SATURDAY
AND WILL CROSS THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHWEST SUNDAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL CROSS
THE REGION ON MONDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION ON
TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON
WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
UPDATE...NO MAJOR CHANGES TO THE CURRENT FORECAST. TRACKING THE
TRAILING EDGE OF HIGH CLOUDS ON IR SATELLITE...CLEARING SHOULD
REACH WRN ZONES IN THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...AND PROGRESS STEADILY
E FROM THERE. STILL EXPECT THIS TO SET THE STAGE FOR IDEAL
RADIATIONAL COOLING LATE TONIGHT.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD IN
ACROSS THE AREA ALONG WITH COLD AIR ADVECTION...WHICH HAS BEEN
DROPPING OUR TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT THE DAY. MID TO UPPER LEVEL
CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTH THIS EVENING AND MOST AREAS
SHOULD BECOME FAIRLY CLEAR BY MIDNIGHT WITH THE EXCEPTION OF MAYBE
SOUTHERN CHESHIRE AND HILLSBOROUGH COUNTIES IN NEW HAMPSHIRE. THE
NORTHERN CWA SHOULD BE ABLE TO RADIATE MOST EFFICIENTLY TONIGHT AS
CLOUDS MOVE OUT OF THERE FIRST AND THE BOUNDARY LAYER DECOUPLES
WITH USUAL COLD SPOTS ACROSS DROPPING POSSIBLY BETWEEN 15 AND 20
BELOW ZERO.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVERHEAD TOMORROW...AND ALTHOUGH WE WILL
START OFF QUITE COLD...THE STRONG MARCH SUNSHINE SHOULD CREATE
QUITE A LARGE DIURNAL SWING AS TEMPERATURES COULD CLIMB 25-30
DEGREES IN SOME SPOTS DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS. A WEAK WAVE WILL
APPROACH FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING AND THIS WILL INCREASE
CLOUDS TOMORROW NIGHT AND BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SNOW SHOWER
IN THE MOUNTAINS BY SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON
SATURDAY AS A WEAK COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE
NORTHWEST. THE DAY WILL FEATURE VARIABLE CLOUDS
WITH A STRAY SNOW SHOWER POSSIBLE IN NORTHERN SECTIONS.
HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 20S NORTH TO THE LOWER
30S SOUTH.

COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT.
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL
GIVE WAY TO PARTIAL CLEARING AFTER MIDNIGHT DOWNWIND
OF THE MOUNTAINS. ELSEWHERE SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY
CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
NORTH. LOWS WILL ONCE AGAIN FALL TO BELOW NORMAL
LEVELS WITH READINGS BY EARLY SATURDAY OF 5 TO 15
NORTH AND IN THE TEENS SOUTH.

WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTHWEST ON SUNDAY.
LINGERING FRONTAL TROUGH WILL KEEP VARIABLE CLOUDINESS ACROSS
THE REGION FOR MOST OF THE DAY. HIGH TEMPS WILL RANGE FROM
THE MID 20S TO MID 30S.

WEAK LOW PRESSURE CROSSING SOUTHERN CANADA SUNDAY NIGHT WILL
DRIVE A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION MONDAY BRINGING JUST A
GLANCING BLOW OF COOLER AIR MAINLY INTO NORTHERN ZONES. EXPECT
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH JUST A CHANCE OF A SNOW SHOWER. HIGH
WILL RANGE THROUGH THE 30S.

SHALLOW RIDGE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL BRING CLEARING SKIES
MONDAY EVENING ALTHOUGH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL KEEP CLOUDS IN
THE NORTH. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL RANGE THROUGH THE TEENS TO NEAR 20.

HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS OFFSHORE ON TUESDAY AND RETURN FLOW WILL BRING
WARMER AIR BACK INTO THE AREA. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES IN
NORTHERN SECTIONS CLOSER TO THE WARM FRONT. WILL LIKELY ALSO
INCLUDE SOME LOW CHANCE POPS FOR SNOW SHOWERS BUT MOST OF THIS
ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN NORTH OF THE BORDER. HIGH TEMPS WILL
FINALLY TOP OUT NEAR NORMAL WITH MID 30S NORTH TO LOWER 40S SOUTH.

WARMER WEATHER WILL CONTINUE ON WEDNESDAY AS ANOTHER AREA OF HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES
TO PERSIST IN THE NORTH WITH A CHANCE OF A RAIN OR SNOW SHOWER IN
THE AFTERNOON AS ANOTHER WARM FRONT PUSHES THROUGH SOUTHERN
CANADA. PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WILL PREVAIL IN THE SOUTH.
HIGHS WILL REACH THE LOWER TO MID 40S IN MOST LOCATIONS.

COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION ON THURSDAY. SHOULD SEE ONE MORE WARM
DAY AS COLD AIR LAGS BEHIND THE FRONT. LOOKING FOR LITTLE IF ANY
SHOWER ACTIVITY WITH THE FROPA. HIGHS WILL TOP OUT NEAR 40 BEFORE
DROPPING BACK LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE ENTIRE PERIOD
WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD.

LONG TERM...VFR SATURDAY. AREAS MVFR CEILINGS/VSBY SATURDAY NIGHT
AND SUNDAY. VFR MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SCAS WILL CONTINUE WITH SOME GUSTY WINDS BEHIND COLD
FRONT. COLD AIR ALONG WITH THE GUSTY WINDS WILL MAKE IT FAVORABLE
FOR FREEZING SPRAY ACROSS ALL AREAS TONIGHT THROUGH TOMORROW
MORNING.

LONG TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED LATE MONDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150-152-154.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...LEGRO




000
FXUS61 KCAR 052244
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
544 PM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THROUGH FRIDAY.
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH SATURDAY THEN CROSS THE REGION SAT
EVENING. WEAK LOW PRESSURE FROM CENTRAL CANADA WILL APPROACH LATE
SUNDAY AND CROSS THE REGION MONDAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
545PM UPDATE...
INCREASED CLOUDS THIS EVENING WITH THE CIRRUS SHIELD ON THE NORTH
SIDE OF A LOW MOVING OFF THE VIRGINIA COAST. THE CIRRUS IS
EXPECTED MOVE OFFSHORE BY LATE THIS EVENING. TEMPERATURES ARE
TRACKING WELL WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
WHATS LEFT OF HI/MID CLD CVR SHOULD CONT TO SLOWLY MOVE SE OF THE
FA OVRNGT...WITH CLRG ADVCG FROM NRN ME LATE THIS AFTN TO THE
DOWNEAST COAST LATE TNGT. WITH A WSW TO ENE SFC RIDGE AXIS
SETTING UP ACROSS THE FA SIMILAR TO THE LAST COLD ARCTIC AIR MASS
LATE LAST WEEK...WINDS WILL DECOUPLE ACROSS BROAD VLY AREAS ARND
SUNSET AND LIGHTEN TO A GENTLE BREEZE OVR HIER TRRN. ONCE AGAIN...
THIS WILL RESULT IN SIG VLY TO HILL TOP OVRNGT LOW TEMP RANGES
ACROSS THE REGION...SPCLY ACROSS THE N AND W. BASED ON PROJECTED
LATE NGT 925MB TEMPS OF ARND -20 DEG C AND A CONSERVATIVE SFC BASE
INVSN STRENGTH OF 10 TO 15 DEG C...COLDEST VLY LCTNS OVR THE WRN
ST JOHN AND ALLAGASH RVR BASINS COULD DROP BLO 25 BELOW ZERO F.
ELSEWHERE...OVRNGT LOWS WILL BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO TENS BLO
ZERO AND ARND ZERO ALG THE IMMEDIATE COAST.

OTHERWISE...TEMPS SHOULD RAPIDLY RECOVER FRI MORN UNDER MSLY SUNNY
SKIES TO REACH FCST HIGHS RANGING FROM MID TEENS N TO LOWER 20S
DOWNEAST. WITH STEEPENING SFC-500M LAPSE RATES BY AFTN...WIND
SPEEDS ALF OF 20 TO 25 MPH WILL BE ABLE TO MIX DOWN IN GUSTS
ACROSS THE N HLF OF THE FA WITH 10 TO 20 MPH ACROSS THE S. CLDNSS
BEGINS TO INCREASE FROM NW TO SE ACROSS THE FA BEGINNING LATE DAY
FRI OVR THE FAR NW HOLDING OFF TIL LATE FRI NGT ACROSS THE SE AS
LOW AND MID LVL RETURN FLOW WARM ADVCN/OVRRNG COMMENCES. CANNOT
RULE SCT SN SHWRS REACHING FAR NW ME PRIOR TO DAYBREAK SAT...WITH
ANY SN ACCUMULATION LESS THAN AN INCH BASED ON THE LATEST MODEL
GUIDANCE ATTM.
&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL BRING INCREASING CLOUDS SATURDAY
AND THE CHANCE FOR SNOW SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY TO NORTHERN AREAS ON
SATURDAY. THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE TO THE EAST OF THE REGION
SATURDAY NIGHT WITH DECREASING CLOUDS OVERNIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST. HIGH TEMPERATURES BOTH SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY WILL BE BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.
&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT IN
ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THE COLD FRONT WILL CROSS
THE REGION MONDAY AND INTO MONDAY NIGHT WITH THE CHANCE FOR SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN LATER MONDAY NIGHT AND
TUESDAY. ANOTHER LOW WILL TRACK NORTH OF THE REGION BY MID WEEK.
TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE TO ABOVE NORMAL LEVEL BY MID WEEK.
&&

.AVIATION /00Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: UNLMTD VFR XPCTD THRU FRI NGT...WITH MVFR CLGS/VSBYS
WITH SN SHWRS POSSIBLE VERY LATE FRI NGT AT KFVE.

SHORT TERM: VFR EXCEPT MVFR POSSIBLE IN ANY SNOW SHOWERS.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WILL CONT WITH SCA AND SCA/FZGSPY ADV FOR LATER TNGT
INTO FRI MORN. AFTWRDS...WINDS AND SEAS SHOULD DIMINISH BLO SCA
WITH FZGSPY BECOMING LIGHT FRI AFTN. WINDS SHOULD CONT TO
DIMINISH FRI EVE...THEN INCREASE SOMEWHAT VERY LATE FRI NGT. WV
HTS WERE SIG ABV WW3 WV GUIDANCE WV HTS...SO WE BEGAN THE NEAR
TERM WITH BUOY OBSVD WV HTS...THEN GRADUALLY TRENDED TOWARD WW3
WV GUIDANCE BY FRI AFTN.

SHORT TERM: SCA CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY AND SATURDAY
NIGHT AND THEN CONDITIONS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW SCA LEVELS.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ050>052.
     FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     FRIDAY FOR ANZ050>052.
&&
$$

NEAR TERM...VJN/MCW
SHORT TERM...DUDA
LONG TERM...DUDA
AVIATION...VJN/MCW
MARINE...VJN/MCW



000
FXUS61 KCAR 052244
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
544 PM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THROUGH FRIDAY.
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH SATURDAY THEN CROSS THE REGION SAT
EVENING. WEAK LOW PRESSURE FROM CENTRAL CANADA WILL APPROACH LATE
SUNDAY AND CROSS THE REGION MONDAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
545PM UPDATE...
INCREASED CLOUDS THIS EVENING WITH THE CIRRUS SHIELD ON THE NORTH
SIDE OF A LOW MOVING OFF THE VIRGINIA COAST. THE CIRRUS IS
EXPECTED MOVE OFFSHORE BY LATE THIS EVENING. TEMPERATURES ARE
TRACKING WELL WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
WHATS LEFT OF HI/MID CLD CVR SHOULD CONT TO SLOWLY MOVE SE OF THE
FA OVRNGT...WITH CLRG ADVCG FROM NRN ME LATE THIS AFTN TO THE
DOWNEAST COAST LATE TNGT. WITH A WSW TO ENE SFC RIDGE AXIS
SETTING UP ACROSS THE FA SIMILAR TO THE LAST COLD ARCTIC AIR MASS
LATE LAST WEEK...WINDS WILL DECOUPLE ACROSS BROAD VLY AREAS ARND
SUNSET AND LIGHTEN TO A GENTLE BREEZE OVR HIER TRRN. ONCE AGAIN...
THIS WILL RESULT IN SIG VLY TO HILL TOP OVRNGT LOW TEMP RANGES
ACROSS THE REGION...SPCLY ACROSS THE N AND W. BASED ON PROJECTED
LATE NGT 925MB TEMPS OF ARND -20 DEG C AND A CONSERVATIVE SFC BASE
INVSN STRENGTH OF 10 TO 15 DEG C...COLDEST VLY LCTNS OVR THE WRN
ST JOHN AND ALLAGASH RVR BASINS COULD DROP BLO 25 BELOW ZERO F.
ELSEWHERE...OVRNGT LOWS WILL BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO TENS BLO
ZERO AND ARND ZERO ALG THE IMMEDIATE COAST.

OTHERWISE...TEMPS SHOULD RAPIDLY RECOVER FRI MORN UNDER MSLY SUNNY
SKIES TO REACH FCST HIGHS RANGING FROM MID TEENS N TO LOWER 20S
DOWNEAST. WITH STEEPENING SFC-500M LAPSE RATES BY AFTN...WIND
SPEEDS ALF OF 20 TO 25 MPH WILL BE ABLE TO MIX DOWN IN GUSTS
ACROSS THE N HLF OF THE FA WITH 10 TO 20 MPH ACROSS THE S. CLDNSS
BEGINS TO INCREASE FROM NW TO SE ACROSS THE FA BEGINNING LATE DAY
FRI OVR THE FAR NW HOLDING OFF TIL LATE FRI NGT ACROSS THE SE AS
LOW AND MID LVL RETURN FLOW WARM ADVCN/OVRRNG COMMENCES. CANNOT
RULE SCT SN SHWRS REACHING FAR NW ME PRIOR TO DAYBREAK SAT...WITH
ANY SN ACCUMULATION LESS THAN AN INCH BASED ON THE LATEST MODEL
GUIDANCE ATTM.
&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL BRING INCREASING CLOUDS SATURDAY
AND THE CHANCE FOR SNOW SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY TO NORTHERN AREAS ON
SATURDAY. THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE TO THE EAST OF THE REGION
SATURDAY NIGHT WITH DECREASING CLOUDS OVERNIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST. HIGH TEMPERATURES BOTH SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY WILL BE BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.
&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT IN
ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THE COLD FRONT WILL CROSS
THE REGION MONDAY AND INTO MONDAY NIGHT WITH THE CHANCE FOR SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN LATER MONDAY NIGHT AND
TUESDAY. ANOTHER LOW WILL TRACK NORTH OF THE REGION BY MID WEEK.
TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE TO ABOVE NORMAL LEVEL BY MID WEEK.
&&

.AVIATION /00Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: UNLMTD VFR XPCTD THRU FRI NGT...WITH MVFR CLGS/VSBYS
WITH SN SHWRS POSSIBLE VERY LATE FRI NGT AT KFVE.

SHORT TERM: VFR EXCEPT MVFR POSSIBLE IN ANY SNOW SHOWERS.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WILL CONT WITH SCA AND SCA/FZGSPY ADV FOR LATER TNGT
INTO FRI MORN. AFTWRDS...WINDS AND SEAS SHOULD DIMINISH BLO SCA
WITH FZGSPY BECOMING LIGHT FRI AFTN. WINDS SHOULD CONT TO
DIMINISH FRI EVE...THEN INCREASE SOMEWHAT VERY LATE FRI NGT. WV
HTS WERE SIG ABV WW3 WV GUIDANCE WV HTS...SO WE BEGAN THE NEAR
TERM WITH BUOY OBSVD WV HTS...THEN GRADUALLY TRENDED TOWARD WW3
WV GUIDANCE BY FRI AFTN.

SHORT TERM: SCA CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY AND SATURDAY
NIGHT AND THEN CONDITIONS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW SCA LEVELS.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ050>052.
     FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     FRIDAY FOR ANZ050>052.
&&
$$

NEAR TERM...VJN/MCW
SHORT TERM...DUDA
LONG TERM...DUDA
AVIATION...VJN/MCW
MARINE...VJN/MCW




000
FXUS61 KCAR 052048
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
348 PM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THROUGH FRIDAY.
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH SATURDAY THEN CROSS THE REGION SAT
EVENING. WEAK LOW PRESSURE FROM CENTRAL CANADA WILL APPROACH LATE
SUNDAY AND CROSS THE REGION MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
WHATS LEFT OF HI/MID CLD CVR SHOULD CONT TO SLOWLY MOVE SE OF THE
FA OVRNGT...WITH CLRG ADVCG FROM NRN ME LATE THIS AFTN TO THE
DOWNEAST COAST LATE TNGT. WITH A WSW TO ENE SFC RIDGE AXIS
SETTING UP ACROSS THE FA SIMILAR TO THE LAST COLD ARCTIC AIR MASS
LATE LAST WEEK...WINDS WILL DECOUPLE ACROSS BROAD VLY AREAS ARND
SUNSET AND LIGHTEN TO A GENTLE BREEZE OVR HIER TRRN. ONCE AGAIN...
THIS WILL RESULT IN SIG VLY TO HILL TOP OVRNGT LOW TEMP RANGES
ACROSS THE REGION...SPCLY ACROSS THE N AND W. BASED ON PROJECTED
LATE NGT 925MB TEMPS OF ARND -20 DEG C AND A CONSERVATIVE SFC BASE
INVSN STRENGTH OF 10 TO 15 DEG C...COLDEST VLY LCTNS OVR THE WRN
ST JOHN AND ALLAGASH RVR BASINS COULD DROP BLO 25 BELOW ZERO F.
ELSEWHERE...OVRNGT LOWS WILL BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO TENS BLO
ZERO AND ARND ZERO ALG THE IMMEDIATE COAST.

OTHERWISE...TEMPS SHOULD RAPIDLY RECOVER FRI MORN UNDER MSLY SUNNY
SKIES TO REACH FCST HIGHS RANGING FROM MID TEENS N TO LOWER 20S
DOWNEAST. WITH STEEPENING SFC-500M LAPSE RATES BY AFTN...WIND
SPEEDS ALF OF 20 TO 25 MPH WILL BE ABLE TO MIX DOWN IN GUSTS
ACROSS THE N HLF OF THE FA WITH 10 TO 20 MPH ACROSS THE S. CLDNSS
BEGINS TO INCREASE FROM NW TO SE ACROSS THE FA BEGINNING LATE DAY
FRI OVR THE FAR NW HOLDING OFF TIL LATE FRI NGT ACROSS THE SE AS
LOW AND MID LVL RETURN FLOW WARM ADVCN/OVRRNG COMMENCES. CANNOT
RULE SCT SN SHWRS REACHING FAR NW ME PRIOR TO DAYBREAK SAT...WITH
ANY SN ACCUMULATION LESS THAN AN INCH BASED ON THE LATEST MODEL
GUIDANCE ATTM.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL BRING INCREASING CLOUDS SATURDAY
AND THE CHANCE FOR SNOW SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY TO NORTHERN AREAS ON
SATURDAY. THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE TO THE EAST OF THE REGION
SATURDAY NIGHT WITH DECREASING CLOUDS OVERNIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST. HIGH TEMPERATURES BOTH SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY WILL BE BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT IN
ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THE COLD FRONT WILL CROSS
THE REGION MONDAY AND INTO MONDAY NIGHT WITH THE CHANCE FOR SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN LATER MONDAY NIGHT AND
TUESDAY. ANOTHER LOW WILL TRACK NORTH OF THE REGION BY MID WEEK.
TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE TO ABOVE NORMAL LEVEL BY MID WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: UNLMTD VFR XPCTD THRU FRI NGT...WITH MVFR CLGS/VSBYS
WITH SN SHWRS POSSIBLE VERY LATE FRI NGT AT KFVE.

SHORT TERM: VFR EXCEPT MVFR POSSIBLE IN ANY SNOW SHOWERS.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WILL CONT WITH SCA AND SCA/FZGSPY ADV FOR LATER TNGT
INTO FRI MORN. AFTWRDS...WINDS AND SEAS SHOULD DIMINISH BLO SCA
WITH FZGSPY BECOMING LIGHT FRI AFTN. WINDS SHOULD CONT TO
DIMINISH FRI EVE...THEN INCREASE SOMEWHAT VERY LATE FRI NGT. WV
HTS WERE SIG ABV WW3 WV GUIDANCE WV HTS...SO WE BEGAN THE NEAR
TERM WITH BUOY OBSVD WV HTS...THEN GRADUALLY TRENDED TOWARD WW3
WV GUIDANCE BY FRI AFTN.

SHORT TERM: SCA CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY AND SATURDAY
NIGHT AND THEN CONDITIONS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW SCA LEVELS.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ050>052.
     FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     FRIDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...VJN
SHORT TERM...DUDA
LONG TERM...DUDA
AVIATION...VJN/DUDA
MARINE...VJN/DUDA



000
FXUS61 KCAR 052048
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
348 PM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THROUGH FRIDAY.
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH SATURDAY THEN CROSS THE REGION SAT
EVENING. WEAK LOW PRESSURE FROM CENTRAL CANADA WILL APPROACH LATE
SUNDAY AND CROSS THE REGION MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
WHATS LEFT OF HI/MID CLD CVR SHOULD CONT TO SLOWLY MOVE SE OF THE
FA OVRNGT...WITH CLRG ADVCG FROM NRN ME LATE THIS AFTN TO THE
DOWNEAST COAST LATE TNGT. WITH A WSW TO ENE SFC RIDGE AXIS
SETTING UP ACROSS THE FA SIMILAR TO THE LAST COLD ARCTIC AIR MASS
LATE LAST WEEK...WINDS WILL DECOUPLE ACROSS BROAD VLY AREAS ARND
SUNSET AND LIGHTEN TO A GENTLE BREEZE OVR HIER TRRN. ONCE AGAIN...
THIS WILL RESULT IN SIG VLY TO HILL TOP OVRNGT LOW TEMP RANGES
ACROSS THE REGION...SPCLY ACROSS THE N AND W. BASED ON PROJECTED
LATE NGT 925MB TEMPS OF ARND -20 DEG C AND A CONSERVATIVE SFC BASE
INVSN STRENGTH OF 10 TO 15 DEG C...COLDEST VLY LCTNS OVR THE WRN
ST JOHN AND ALLAGASH RVR BASINS COULD DROP BLO 25 BELOW ZERO F.
ELSEWHERE...OVRNGT LOWS WILL BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO TENS BLO
ZERO AND ARND ZERO ALG THE IMMEDIATE COAST.

OTHERWISE...TEMPS SHOULD RAPIDLY RECOVER FRI MORN UNDER MSLY SUNNY
SKIES TO REACH FCST HIGHS RANGING FROM MID TEENS N TO LOWER 20S
DOWNEAST. WITH STEEPENING SFC-500M LAPSE RATES BY AFTN...WIND
SPEEDS ALF OF 20 TO 25 MPH WILL BE ABLE TO MIX DOWN IN GUSTS
ACROSS THE N HLF OF THE FA WITH 10 TO 20 MPH ACROSS THE S. CLDNSS
BEGINS TO INCREASE FROM NW TO SE ACROSS THE FA BEGINNING LATE DAY
FRI OVR THE FAR NW HOLDING OFF TIL LATE FRI NGT ACROSS THE SE AS
LOW AND MID LVL RETURN FLOW WARM ADVCN/OVRRNG COMMENCES. CANNOT
RULE SCT SN SHWRS REACHING FAR NW ME PRIOR TO DAYBREAK SAT...WITH
ANY SN ACCUMULATION LESS THAN AN INCH BASED ON THE LATEST MODEL
GUIDANCE ATTM.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL BRING INCREASING CLOUDS SATURDAY
AND THE CHANCE FOR SNOW SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY TO NORTHERN AREAS ON
SATURDAY. THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE TO THE EAST OF THE REGION
SATURDAY NIGHT WITH DECREASING CLOUDS OVERNIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST. HIGH TEMPERATURES BOTH SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY WILL BE BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT IN
ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THE COLD FRONT WILL CROSS
THE REGION MONDAY AND INTO MONDAY NIGHT WITH THE CHANCE FOR SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN LATER MONDAY NIGHT AND
TUESDAY. ANOTHER LOW WILL TRACK NORTH OF THE REGION BY MID WEEK.
TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE TO ABOVE NORMAL LEVEL BY MID WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: UNLMTD VFR XPCTD THRU FRI NGT...WITH MVFR CLGS/VSBYS
WITH SN SHWRS POSSIBLE VERY LATE FRI NGT AT KFVE.

SHORT TERM: VFR EXCEPT MVFR POSSIBLE IN ANY SNOW SHOWERS.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WILL CONT WITH SCA AND SCA/FZGSPY ADV FOR LATER TNGT
INTO FRI MORN. AFTWRDS...WINDS AND SEAS SHOULD DIMINISH BLO SCA
WITH FZGSPY BECOMING LIGHT FRI AFTN. WINDS SHOULD CONT TO
DIMINISH FRI EVE...THEN INCREASE SOMEWHAT VERY LATE FRI NGT. WV
HTS WERE SIG ABV WW3 WV GUIDANCE WV HTS...SO WE BEGAN THE NEAR
TERM WITH BUOY OBSVD WV HTS...THEN GRADUALLY TRENDED TOWARD WW3
WV GUIDANCE BY FRI AFTN.

SHORT TERM: SCA CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY AND SATURDAY
NIGHT AND THEN CONDITIONS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW SCA LEVELS.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ050>052.
     FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     FRIDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...VJN
SHORT TERM...DUDA
LONG TERM...DUDA
AVIATION...VJN/DUDA
MARINE...VJN/DUDA




000
FXUS61 KCAR 052048
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
348 PM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THROUGH FRIDAY.
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH SATURDAY THEN CROSS THE REGION SAT
EVENING. WEAK LOW PRESSURE FROM CENTRAL CANADA WILL APPROACH LATE
SUNDAY AND CROSS THE REGION MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
WHATS LEFT OF HI/MID CLD CVR SHOULD CONT TO SLOWLY MOVE SE OF THE
FA OVRNGT...WITH CLRG ADVCG FROM NRN ME LATE THIS AFTN TO THE
DOWNEAST COAST LATE TNGT. WITH A WSW TO ENE SFC RIDGE AXIS
SETTING UP ACROSS THE FA SIMILAR TO THE LAST COLD ARCTIC AIR MASS
LATE LAST WEEK...WINDS WILL DECOUPLE ACROSS BROAD VLY AREAS ARND
SUNSET AND LIGHTEN TO A GENTLE BREEZE OVR HIER TRRN. ONCE AGAIN...
THIS WILL RESULT IN SIG VLY TO HILL TOP OVRNGT LOW TEMP RANGES
ACROSS THE REGION...SPCLY ACROSS THE N AND W. BASED ON PROJECTED
LATE NGT 925MB TEMPS OF ARND -20 DEG C AND A CONSERVATIVE SFC BASE
INVSN STRENGTH OF 10 TO 15 DEG C...COLDEST VLY LCTNS OVR THE WRN
ST JOHN AND ALLAGASH RVR BASINS COULD DROP BLO 25 BELOW ZERO F.
ELSEWHERE...OVRNGT LOWS WILL BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO TENS BLO
ZERO AND ARND ZERO ALG THE IMMEDIATE COAST.

OTHERWISE...TEMPS SHOULD RAPIDLY RECOVER FRI MORN UNDER MSLY SUNNY
SKIES TO REACH FCST HIGHS RANGING FROM MID TEENS N TO LOWER 20S
DOWNEAST. WITH STEEPENING SFC-500M LAPSE RATES BY AFTN...WIND
SPEEDS ALF OF 20 TO 25 MPH WILL BE ABLE TO MIX DOWN IN GUSTS
ACROSS THE N HLF OF THE FA WITH 10 TO 20 MPH ACROSS THE S. CLDNSS
BEGINS TO INCREASE FROM NW TO SE ACROSS THE FA BEGINNING LATE DAY
FRI OVR THE FAR NW HOLDING OFF TIL LATE FRI NGT ACROSS THE SE AS
LOW AND MID LVL RETURN FLOW WARM ADVCN/OVRRNG COMMENCES. CANNOT
RULE SCT SN SHWRS REACHING FAR NW ME PRIOR TO DAYBREAK SAT...WITH
ANY SN ACCUMULATION LESS THAN AN INCH BASED ON THE LATEST MODEL
GUIDANCE ATTM.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL BRING INCREASING CLOUDS SATURDAY
AND THE CHANCE FOR SNOW SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY TO NORTHERN AREAS ON
SATURDAY. THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE TO THE EAST OF THE REGION
SATURDAY NIGHT WITH DECREASING CLOUDS OVERNIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST. HIGH TEMPERATURES BOTH SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY WILL BE BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT IN
ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THE COLD FRONT WILL CROSS
THE REGION MONDAY AND INTO MONDAY NIGHT WITH THE CHANCE FOR SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN LATER MONDAY NIGHT AND
TUESDAY. ANOTHER LOW WILL TRACK NORTH OF THE REGION BY MID WEEK.
TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE TO ABOVE NORMAL LEVEL BY MID WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: UNLMTD VFR XPCTD THRU FRI NGT...WITH MVFR CLGS/VSBYS
WITH SN SHWRS POSSIBLE VERY LATE FRI NGT AT KFVE.

SHORT TERM: VFR EXCEPT MVFR POSSIBLE IN ANY SNOW SHOWERS.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WILL CONT WITH SCA AND SCA/FZGSPY ADV FOR LATER TNGT
INTO FRI MORN. AFTWRDS...WINDS AND SEAS SHOULD DIMINISH BLO SCA
WITH FZGSPY BECOMING LIGHT FRI AFTN. WINDS SHOULD CONT TO
DIMINISH FRI EVE...THEN INCREASE SOMEWHAT VERY LATE FRI NGT. WV
HTS WERE SIG ABV WW3 WV GUIDANCE WV HTS...SO WE BEGAN THE NEAR
TERM WITH BUOY OBSVD WV HTS...THEN GRADUALLY TRENDED TOWARD WW3
WV GUIDANCE BY FRI AFTN.

SHORT TERM: SCA CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY AND SATURDAY
NIGHT AND THEN CONDITIONS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW SCA LEVELS.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ050>052.
     FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     FRIDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...VJN
SHORT TERM...DUDA
LONG TERM...DUDA
AVIATION...VJN/DUDA
MARINE...VJN/DUDA



000
FXUS61 KGYX 051950
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
250 PM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST ON SATURDAY
AND WILL CROSS THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHWEST SUNDAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL CROSS
THE REGION ON MONDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION ON
TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON
WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD IN ACROSS THE AREA ALONG
WITH COLD AIR ADVECTION...WHICH HAS BEEN DROPPING OUR TEMPERATURES
THROUGHOUT THE DAY. MID TO UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO
PUSH SOUTH THIS EVENING AND MOST AREAS SHOULD BECOME FAIRLY CLEAR
BY MIDNIGHT WITH THE EXCEPTION OF MAYBE SOUTHERN CHESHIRE AND
HILLSBOROUGH COUNTIES IN NEW HAMPSHIRE. THE NORTHERN CWA SHOULD BE
ABLE TO RADIATE MOST EFFICIENTLY TONIGHT AS CLOUDS MOVE OUT OF
THERE FIRST AND THE BOUNDARY LAYER DECOUPLES WITH USUAL COLD SPOTS
ACROSS DROPPING POSSIBLY BETWEEN 15 AND 20 BELOW ZERO.


&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVERHEAD TOMORROW...AND ALTHOUGH WE WILL
START OFF QUITE COLD...THE STRONG MARCH SUNSHINE SHOULD CREATE
QUITE A LARGE DIURNAL SWING AS TEMPERATURES COULD CLIMB 25-30
DEGREES IN SOME SPOTS DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS. A WEAK WAVE WILL
APPROACH FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING AND THIS WILL INCREASE
CLOUDS TOMORROW NIGHT AND BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SNOW SHOWER
IN THE MOUNTAINS BY SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON
SATURDAY AS A WEAK COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE
NORTHWEST. THE DAY WILL FEATURE VARIABLE CLOUDS
WITH A STRAY SNOW SHOWER POSSIBLE IN NORTHERN SECTIONS.
HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 20S NORTH TO THE LOWER
30S SOUTH.

COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT.
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL
GIVE WAY TO PARTIAL CLEARING AFTER MIDNIGHT DOWNWIND
OF THE MOUNTAINS. ELSEWHERE SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY
CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
NORTH. LOWS WILL ONCE AGAIN FALL TO BELOW NORMAL
LEVELS WITH READINGS BY EARLY SATURDAY OF 5 TO 15
NORTH AND IN THE TEENS SOUTH.

WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTHWEST ON SUNDAY.
LINGERING FRONTAL TROUGH WILL KEEP VARIABLE CLOUDINESS ACROSS
THE REGION FOR MOST OF THE DAY. HIGH TEMPS WILL RANGE FROM
THE MID 20S TO MID 30S.

WEAK LOW PRESSURE CROSSING SOUTHERN CANADA SUNDAY NIGHT WILL
DRIVE A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION MONDAY BRINGING JUST A
GLANCING BLOW OF COOLER AIR MAINLY INTO NORTHERN ZONES. EXPECT
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH JUST A CHANCE OF A SNOW SHOWER. HIGH
WILL RANGE THROUGH THE 30S.

SHALLOW RIDGE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL BRING CLEARING SKIES
MONDAY EVENING ALTHOUGH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL KEEP CLOUDS IN
THE NORTH. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL RANGE THROUGH THE TEENS TO NEAR 20.

HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS OFFSHORE ON TUESDAY AND RETURN FLOW WILL BRING
WARMER AIR BACK INTO THE AREA. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES IN
NORTHERN SECTIONS CLOSER TO THE WARM FRONT. WILL LIKELY ALSO
INCLUDE SOME LOW CHANCE POPS FOR SNOW SHOWERS BUT MOST OF THIS
ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN NORTH OF THE BORDER. HIGH TEMPS WILL
FINALLY TOP OUT NEAR NORMAL WITH MID 30S NORTH TO LOWER 40S SOUTH.

WARMER WEATHER WILL CONTINUE ON WEDNESDAY AS ANOTHER AREA OF HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES
TO PERSIST IN THE NORTH WITH A CHANCE OF A RAIN OR SNOW SHOWER IN
THE AFTERNOON AS ANOTHER WARM FRONT PUSHES THROUGH SOUTHERN
CANADA. PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WILL PREVAIL IN THE SOUTH.
HIGHS WILL REACH THE LOWER TO MID 40S IN MOST LOCATIONS.

COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION ON THURSDAY. SHOULD SEE ONE MORE WARM
DAY AS COLD AIR LAGS BEHIND THE FRONT. LOOKING FOR LITTLE IF ANY
SHOWER ACTIVITY WITH THE FROPA. HIGHS WILL TOP OUT NEAR 40 BEFORE
DROPPING BACK LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE ENTIRE PERIOD
WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD.

LONG TERM...VFR SATURDAY. AREAS MVFR CEILINGS/VSBY SATURDAY NIGHT
AND SUNDAY. VFR MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SCAS WILL CONTINUE WITH SOME GUSTY WINDS BEHIND COLD
FRONT. COLD AIR ALONG WITH THE GUSTY WINDS WILL MAKE IT FAVORABLE
FOR FREEZING SPRAY ACROSS ALL AREAS TONIGHT THROUGH TOMORROW
MORNING.

LONG TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED LATE MONDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.
     FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...KISTNER
SHORT TERM...KISTNER



000
FXUS61 KGYX 051950
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
250 PM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST ON SATURDAY
AND WILL CROSS THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHWEST SUNDAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL CROSS
THE REGION ON MONDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION ON
TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON
WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD IN ACROSS THE AREA ALONG
WITH COLD AIR ADVECTION...WHICH HAS BEEN DROPPING OUR TEMPERATURES
THROUGHOUT THE DAY. MID TO UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO
PUSH SOUTH THIS EVENING AND MOST AREAS SHOULD BECOME FAIRLY CLEAR
BY MIDNIGHT WITH THE EXCEPTION OF MAYBE SOUTHERN CHESHIRE AND
HILLSBOROUGH COUNTIES IN NEW HAMPSHIRE. THE NORTHERN CWA SHOULD BE
ABLE TO RADIATE MOST EFFICIENTLY TONIGHT AS CLOUDS MOVE OUT OF
THERE FIRST AND THE BOUNDARY LAYER DECOUPLES WITH USUAL COLD SPOTS
ACROSS DROPPING POSSIBLY BETWEEN 15 AND 20 BELOW ZERO.


&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVERHEAD TOMORROW...AND ALTHOUGH WE WILL
START OFF QUITE COLD...THE STRONG MARCH SUNSHINE SHOULD CREATE
QUITE A LARGE DIURNAL SWING AS TEMPERATURES COULD CLIMB 25-30
DEGREES IN SOME SPOTS DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS. A WEAK WAVE WILL
APPROACH FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING AND THIS WILL INCREASE
CLOUDS TOMORROW NIGHT AND BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SNOW SHOWER
IN THE MOUNTAINS BY SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON
SATURDAY AS A WEAK COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE
NORTHWEST. THE DAY WILL FEATURE VARIABLE CLOUDS
WITH A STRAY SNOW SHOWER POSSIBLE IN NORTHERN SECTIONS.
HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 20S NORTH TO THE LOWER
30S SOUTH.

COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT.
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL
GIVE WAY TO PARTIAL CLEARING AFTER MIDNIGHT DOWNWIND
OF THE MOUNTAINS. ELSEWHERE SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY
CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
NORTH. LOWS WILL ONCE AGAIN FALL TO BELOW NORMAL
LEVELS WITH READINGS BY EARLY SATURDAY OF 5 TO 15
NORTH AND IN THE TEENS SOUTH.

WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTHWEST ON SUNDAY.
LINGERING FRONTAL TROUGH WILL KEEP VARIABLE CLOUDINESS ACROSS
THE REGION FOR MOST OF THE DAY. HIGH TEMPS WILL RANGE FROM
THE MID 20S TO MID 30S.

WEAK LOW PRESSURE CROSSING SOUTHERN CANADA SUNDAY NIGHT WILL
DRIVE A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION MONDAY BRINGING JUST A
GLANCING BLOW OF COOLER AIR MAINLY INTO NORTHERN ZONES. EXPECT
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH JUST A CHANCE OF A SNOW SHOWER. HIGH
WILL RANGE THROUGH THE 30S.

SHALLOW RIDGE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL BRING CLEARING SKIES
MONDAY EVENING ALTHOUGH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL KEEP CLOUDS IN
THE NORTH. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL RANGE THROUGH THE TEENS TO NEAR 20.

HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS OFFSHORE ON TUESDAY AND RETURN FLOW WILL BRING
WARMER AIR BACK INTO THE AREA. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES IN
NORTHERN SECTIONS CLOSER TO THE WARM FRONT. WILL LIKELY ALSO
INCLUDE SOME LOW CHANCE POPS FOR SNOW SHOWERS BUT MOST OF THIS
ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN NORTH OF THE BORDER. HIGH TEMPS WILL
FINALLY TOP OUT NEAR NORMAL WITH MID 30S NORTH TO LOWER 40S SOUTH.

WARMER WEATHER WILL CONTINUE ON WEDNESDAY AS ANOTHER AREA OF HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES
TO PERSIST IN THE NORTH WITH A CHANCE OF A RAIN OR SNOW SHOWER IN
THE AFTERNOON AS ANOTHER WARM FRONT PUSHES THROUGH SOUTHERN
CANADA. PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WILL PREVAIL IN THE SOUTH.
HIGHS WILL REACH THE LOWER TO MID 40S IN MOST LOCATIONS.

COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION ON THURSDAY. SHOULD SEE ONE MORE WARM
DAY AS COLD AIR LAGS BEHIND THE FRONT. LOOKING FOR LITTLE IF ANY
SHOWER ACTIVITY WITH THE FROPA. HIGHS WILL TOP OUT NEAR 40 BEFORE
DROPPING BACK LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE ENTIRE PERIOD
WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD.

LONG TERM...VFR SATURDAY. AREAS MVFR CEILINGS/VSBY SATURDAY NIGHT
AND SUNDAY. VFR MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SCAS WILL CONTINUE WITH SOME GUSTY WINDS BEHIND COLD
FRONT. COLD AIR ALONG WITH THE GUSTY WINDS WILL MAKE IT FAVORABLE
FOR FREEZING SPRAY ACROSS ALL AREAS TONIGHT THROUGH TOMORROW
MORNING.

LONG TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED LATE MONDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.
     FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...KISTNER
SHORT TERM...KISTNER




000
FXUS61 KGYX 051950
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
250 PM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST ON SATURDAY
AND WILL CROSS THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHWEST SUNDAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL CROSS
THE REGION ON MONDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION ON
TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON
WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD IN ACROSS THE AREA ALONG
WITH COLD AIR ADVECTION...WHICH HAS BEEN DROPPING OUR TEMPERATURES
THROUGHOUT THE DAY. MID TO UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO
PUSH SOUTH THIS EVENING AND MOST AREAS SHOULD BECOME FAIRLY CLEAR
BY MIDNIGHT WITH THE EXCEPTION OF MAYBE SOUTHERN CHESHIRE AND
HILLSBOROUGH COUNTIES IN NEW HAMPSHIRE. THE NORTHERN CWA SHOULD BE
ABLE TO RADIATE MOST EFFICIENTLY TONIGHT AS CLOUDS MOVE OUT OF
THERE FIRST AND THE BOUNDARY LAYER DECOUPLES WITH USUAL COLD SPOTS
ACROSS DROPPING POSSIBLY BETWEEN 15 AND 20 BELOW ZERO.


&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVERHEAD TOMORROW...AND ALTHOUGH WE WILL
START OFF QUITE COLD...THE STRONG MARCH SUNSHINE SHOULD CREATE
QUITE A LARGE DIURNAL SWING AS TEMPERATURES COULD CLIMB 25-30
DEGREES IN SOME SPOTS DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS. A WEAK WAVE WILL
APPROACH FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING AND THIS WILL INCREASE
CLOUDS TOMORROW NIGHT AND BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SNOW SHOWER
IN THE MOUNTAINS BY SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON
SATURDAY AS A WEAK COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE
NORTHWEST. THE DAY WILL FEATURE VARIABLE CLOUDS
WITH A STRAY SNOW SHOWER POSSIBLE IN NORTHERN SECTIONS.
HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 20S NORTH TO THE LOWER
30S SOUTH.

COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT.
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL
GIVE WAY TO PARTIAL CLEARING AFTER MIDNIGHT DOWNWIND
OF THE MOUNTAINS. ELSEWHERE SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY
CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
NORTH. LOWS WILL ONCE AGAIN FALL TO BELOW NORMAL
LEVELS WITH READINGS BY EARLY SATURDAY OF 5 TO 15
NORTH AND IN THE TEENS SOUTH.

WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTHWEST ON SUNDAY.
LINGERING FRONTAL TROUGH WILL KEEP VARIABLE CLOUDINESS ACROSS
THE REGION FOR MOST OF THE DAY. HIGH TEMPS WILL RANGE FROM
THE MID 20S TO MID 30S.

WEAK LOW PRESSURE CROSSING SOUTHERN CANADA SUNDAY NIGHT WILL
DRIVE A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION MONDAY BRINGING JUST A
GLANCING BLOW OF COOLER AIR MAINLY INTO NORTHERN ZONES. EXPECT
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH JUST A CHANCE OF A SNOW SHOWER. HIGH
WILL RANGE THROUGH THE 30S.

SHALLOW RIDGE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL BRING CLEARING SKIES
MONDAY EVENING ALTHOUGH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL KEEP CLOUDS IN
THE NORTH. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL RANGE THROUGH THE TEENS TO NEAR 20.

HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS OFFSHORE ON TUESDAY AND RETURN FLOW WILL BRING
WARMER AIR BACK INTO THE AREA. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES IN
NORTHERN SECTIONS CLOSER TO THE WARM FRONT. WILL LIKELY ALSO
INCLUDE SOME LOW CHANCE POPS FOR SNOW SHOWERS BUT MOST OF THIS
ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN NORTH OF THE BORDER. HIGH TEMPS WILL
FINALLY TOP OUT NEAR NORMAL WITH MID 30S NORTH TO LOWER 40S SOUTH.

WARMER WEATHER WILL CONTINUE ON WEDNESDAY AS ANOTHER AREA OF HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES
TO PERSIST IN THE NORTH WITH A CHANCE OF A RAIN OR SNOW SHOWER IN
THE AFTERNOON AS ANOTHER WARM FRONT PUSHES THROUGH SOUTHERN
CANADA. PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WILL PREVAIL IN THE SOUTH.
HIGHS WILL REACH THE LOWER TO MID 40S IN MOST LOCATIONS.

COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION ON THURSDAY. SHOULD SEE ONE MORE WARM
DAY AS COLD AIR LAGS BEHIND THE FRONT. LOOKING FOR LITTLE IF ANY
SHOWER ACTIVITY WITH THE FROPA. HIGHS WILL TOP OUT NEAR 40 BEFORE
DROPPING BACK LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE ENTIRE PERIOD
WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD.

LONG TERM...VFR SATURDAY. AREAS MVFR CEILINGS/VSBY SATURDAY NIGHT
AND SUNDAY. VFR MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SCAS WILL CONTINUE WITH SOME GUSTY WINDS BEHIND COLD
FRONT. COLD AIR ALONG WITH THE GUSTY WINDS WILL MAKE IT FAVORABLE
FOR FREEZING SPRAY ACROSS ALL AREAS TONIGHT THROUGH TOMORROW
MORNING.

LONG TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED LATE MONDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.
     FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...KISTNER
SHORT TERM...KISTNER



000
FXUS61 KGYX 051950
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
250 PM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST ON SATURDAY
AND WILL CROSS THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHWEST SUNDAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL CROSS
THE REGION ON MONDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION ON
TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON
WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD IN ACROSS THE AREA ALONG
WITH COLD AIR ADVECTION...WHICH HAS BEEN DROPPING OUR TEMPERATURES
THROUGHOUT THE DAY. MID TO UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO
PUSH SOUTH THIS EVENING AND MOST AREAS SHOULD BECOME FAIRLY CLEAR
BY MIDNIGHT WITH THE EXCEPTION OF MAYBE SOUTHERN CHESHIRE AND
HILLSBOROUGH COUNTIES IN NEW HAMPSHIRE. THE NORTHERN CWA SHOULD BE
ABLE TO RADIATE MOST EFFICIENTLY TONIGHT AS CLOUDS MOVE OUT OF
THERE FIRST AND THE BOUNDARY LAYER DECOUPLES WITH USUAL COLD SPOTS
ACROSS DROPPING POSSIBLY BETWEEN 15 AND 20 BELOW ZERO.


&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVERHEAD TOMORROW...AND ALTHOUGH WE WILL
START OFF QUITE COLD...THE STRONG MARCH SUNSHINE SHOULD CREATE
QUITE A LARGE DIURNAL SWING AS TEMPERATURES COULD CLIMB 25-30
DEGREES IN SOME SPOTS DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS. A WEAK WAVE WILL
APPROACH FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING AND THIS WILL INCREASE
CLOUDS TOMORROW NIGHT AND BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SNOW SHOWER
IN THE MOUNTAINS BY SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON
SATURDAY AS A WEAK COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE
NORTHWEST. THE DAY WILL FEATURE VARIABLE CLOUDS
WITH A STRAY SNOW SHOWER POSSIBLE IN NORTHERN SECTIONS.
HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 20S NORTH TO THE LOWER
30S SOUTH.

COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT.
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL
GIVE WAY TO PARTIAL CLEARING AFTER MIDNIGHT DOWNWIND
OF THE MOUNTAINS. ELSEWHERE SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY
CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
NORTH. LOWS WILL ONCE AGAIN FALL TO BELOW NORMAL
LEVELS WITH READINGS BY EARLY SATURDAY OF 5 TO 15
NORTH AND IN THE TEENS SOUTH.

WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTHWEST ON SUNDAY.
LINGERING FRONTAL TROUGH WILL KEEP VARIABLE CLOUDINESS ACROSS
THE REGION FOR MOST OF THE DAY. HIGH TEMPS WILL RANGE FROM
THE MID 20S TO MID 30S.

WEAK LOW PRESSURE CROSSING SOUTHERN CANADA SUNDAY NIGHT WILL
DRIVE A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION MONDAY BRINGING JUST A
GLANCING BLOW OF COOLER AIR MAINLY INTO NORTHERN ZONES. EXPECT
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH JUST A CHANCE OF A SNOW SHOWER. HIGH
WILL RANGE THROUGH THE 30S.

SHALLOW RIDGE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL BRING CLEARING SKIES
MONDAY EVENING ALTHOUGH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL KEEP CLOUDS IN
THE NORTH. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL RANGE THROUGH THE TEENS TO NEAR 20.

HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS OFFSHORE ON TUESDAY AND RETURN FLOW WILL BRING
WARMER AIR BACK INTO THE AREA. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES IN
NORTHERN SECTIONS CLOSER TO THE WARM FRONT. WILL LIKELY ALSO
INCLUDE SOME LOW CHANCE POPS FOR SNOW SHOWERS BUT MOST OF THIS
ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN NORTH OF THE BORDER. HIGH TEMPS WILL
FINALLY TOP OUT NEAR NORMAL WITH MID 30S NORTH TO LOWER 40S SOUTH.

WARMER WEATHER WILL CONTINUE ON WEDNESDAY AS ANOTHER AREA OF HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES
TO PERSIST IN THE NORTH WITH A CHANCE OF A RAIN OR SNOW SHOWER IN
THE AFTERNOON AS ANOTHER WARM FRONT PUSHES THROUGH SOUTHERN
CANADA. PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WILL PREVAIL IN THE SOUTH.
HIGHS WILL REACH THE LOWER TO MID 40S IN MOST LOCATIONS.

COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION ON THURSDAY. SHOULD SEE ONE MORE WARM
DAY AS COLD AIR LAGS BEHIND THE FRONT. LOOKING FOR LITTLE IF ANY
SHOWER ACTIVITY WITH THE FROPA. HIGHS WILL TOP OUT NEAR 40 BEFORE
DROPPING BACK LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE ENTIRE PERIOD
WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD.

LONG TERM...VFR SATURDAY. AREAS MVFR CEILINGS/VSBY SATURDAY NIGHT
AND SUNDAY. VFR MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SCAS WILL CONTINUE WITH SOME GUSTY WINDS BEHIND COLD
FRONT. COLD AIR ALONG WITH THE GUSTY WINDS WILL MAKE IT FAVORABLE
FOR FREEZING SPRAY ACROSS ALL AREAS TONIGHT THROUGH TOMORROW
MORNING.

LONG TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED LATE MONDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.
     FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...KISTNER
SHORT TERM...KISTNER




000
FXUS61 KCAR 051805
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
105 PM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
COLD CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TODAY
INTO FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FRIDAY NIGHT AND CROSS
THE REGION SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
1 PM UPDATE: NO SIG CHGS TO PRIOR UPDATE...WITH FCST CLD CVR IN
REASONABLE AGREEMENT WITH LATEST SAT IMAGERY. OTHERWISE...MINOR
CHGS WERE MADE TO FCST HRLY CLD CVR AND TEMPS THRU THE REST OF THE
DAY BASED ON TRENDS FROM OBSVD NOON TEMPS TO UNCHGD AFTN FCST HI
TEMPS AT 3 PM OR SO. TEMPS HAVE BEEN STEADY OR VERY SLOWLY RISING
SINCE MID MORN OVR MOST LCTNS. GIVEN THE STRUGGLE TEMPS HAVE BEEN
TO RISE WITH EVEN FULL SUNSHINE...LIKELY THEY WILL BEGIN TO FALL
SIG EVEN BEFORE SUNSET TNGT.

ORGNL DISC: A LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE PUSHING IN FROM THE
WEST WILL BRING A RETURN OF VERY COLD WEATHER TO THE AREA TODAY
AND TONIGHT. CLEARING SKIES WILL PROGRESS SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA
TODAY AS A COLD FRONT PUSHES OFFSHORE. TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON
WILL ONLY BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS IN THE FAR NORTH TO MID 20S
DOWNEAST IN SPITE OF BRIGHT SUNSHINE. TONIGHT WILL THEN BE MOONLIT
AND VERY COLD WITH LOWS FROM THE TEENS BELOW ZERO ACROSS THE NORTH
TO NEAR ZERO DOWNEAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST OF THE REGION FRIDAY WITH
MOSTLY/PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS AND MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES DOWNEAST. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH NORTHERN AREAS LATER
FRIDAY NIGHT WITH INCREASING CLOUDS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS LATE...WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES DURING THE EVENING BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY OVERNIGHT DOWNEAST. THE COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE
REGION SATURDAY THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY NIGHT. MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES
ALONG WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
NORTHERN AREAS SATURDAY...WITH INCREASING CLOUDS ALONG WITH A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS LATE DOWNEAST. COULD HAVE A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA EARLY SATURDAY
NIGHT...WITH DECREASING CLOUDS OVERNIGHT WITH BUILDING HIGH
PRESSURE. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS
FRIDAY/SATURDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
UNCERTAINTY EXISTS REGARDING THE TIMING OF WEAK LOW PRESSURE WHICH
COULD MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY INTO MONDAY WITH A CHANCE
OF LIGHT SNOW OR SNOW SHOWERS. CLOUD COVER AND SNOW CHANCES SUNDAY
INTO MONDAY WILL BE DEPENDENT ON THE EVENTUAL TIMING OF THE LOW.
LOW PRESSURE SHOULD TRACK NORTH OF MAINE LATER TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY WITH MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF LIGHT
SNOW OR SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS...WITH PARTLY CLOUDY
SKIES DOWNEAST. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS
SUNDAY/MONDAY...WITH NEAR NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES TUESDAY AND
SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA TODAY
AND TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: GENERALLY EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION
FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...THOUGH OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS
COULD OCCUR ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS LATER FRIDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL
MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY INTO
SATURDAY NIGHT. CONDITIONS SUNDAY INTO MONDAY WILL BE DEPENDENT
ON THE UNCERTAIN TIMING OF WEAK LOW PRESSURE WHICH IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: AN SCA WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT FOR WINDS
GUSTING UP TO 25 KT. A FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY WILL BE UP FOR LATE
THIS EVENING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD TONIGHT AS COLD ARCTIC
AIR MOVES ACROSS THE WATERS.

SHORT TERM: CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY LEVELS FRIDAY. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE THEN
EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY IS
EXPECTED FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ050>052.
     FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     FRIDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...VJN
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...VJN/NORCROSS
MARINE...VJN/NORCROSS



000
FXUS61 KCAR 051805
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
105 PM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
COLD CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TODAY
INTO FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FRIDAY NIGHT AND CROSS
THE REGION SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
1 PM UPDATE: NO SIG CHGS TO PRIOR UPDATE...WITH FCST CLD CVR IN
REASONABLE AGREEMENT WITH LATEST SAT IMAGERY. OTHERWISE...MINOR
CHGS WERE MADE TO FCST HRLY CLD CVR AND TEMPS THRU THE REST OF THE
DAY BASED ON TRENDS FROM OBSVD NOON TEMPS TO UNCHGD AFTN FCST HI
TEMPS AT 3 PM OR SO. TEMPS HAVE BEEN STEADY OR VERY SLOWLY RISING
SINCE MID MORN OVR MOST LCTNS. GIVEN THE STRUGGLE TEMPS HAVE BEEN
TO RISE WITH EVEN FULL SUNSHINE...LIKELY THEY WILL BEGIN TO FALL
SIG EVEN BEFORE SUNSET TNGT.

ORGNL DISC: A LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE PUSHING IN FROM THE
WEST WILL BRING A RETURN OF VERY COLD WEATHER TO THE AREA TODAY
AND TONIGHT. CLEARING SKIES WILL PROGRESS SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA
TODAY AS A COLD FRONT PUSHES OFFSHORE. TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON
WILL ONLY BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS IN THE FAR NORTH TO MID 20S
DOWNEAST IN SPITE OF BRIGHT SUNSHINE. TONIGHT WILL THEN BE MOONLIT
AND VERY COLD WITH LOWS FROM THE TEENS BELOW ZERO ACROSS THE NORTH
TO NEAR ZERO DOWNEAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST OF THE REGION FRIDAY WITH
MOSTLY/PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS AND MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES DOWNEAST. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH NORTHERN AREAS LATER
FRIDAY NIGHT WITH INCREASING CLOUDS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS LATE...WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES DURING THE EVENING BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY OVERNIGHT DOWNEAST. THE COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE
REGION SATURDAY THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY NIGHT. MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES
ALONG WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
NORTHERN AREAS SATURDAY...WITH INCREASING CLOUDS ALONG WITH A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS LATE DOWNEAST. COULD HAVE A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA EARLY SATURDAY
NIGHT...WITH DECREASING CLOUDS OVERNIGHT WITH BUILDING HIGH
PRESSURE. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS
FRIDAY/SATURDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
UNCERTAINTY EXISTS REGARDING THE TIMING OF WEAK LOW PRESSURE WHICH
COULD MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY INTO MONDAY WITH A CHANCE
OF LIGHT SNOW OR SNOW SHOWERS. CLOUD COVER AND SNOW CHANCES SUNDAY
INTO MONDAY WILL BE DEPENDENT ON THE EVENTUAL TIMING OF THE LOW.
LOW PRESSURE SHOULD TRACK NORTH OF MAINE LATER TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY WITH MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF LIGHT
SNOW OR SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS...WITH PARTLY CLOUDY
SKIES DOWNEAST. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS
SUNDAY/MONDAY...WITH NEAR NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES TUESDAY AND
SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA TODAY
AND TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: GENERALLY EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION
FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...THOUGH OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS
COULD OCCUR ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS LATER FRIDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL
MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY INTO
SATURDAY NIGHT. CONDITIONS SUNDAY INTO MONDAY WILL BE DEPENDENT
ON THE UNCERTAIN TIMING OF WEAK LOW PRESSURE WHICH IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: AN SCA WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT FOR WINDS
GUSTING UP TO 25 KT. A FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY WILL BE UP FOR LATE
THIS EVENING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD TONIGHT AS COLD ARCTIC
AIR MOVES ACROSS THE WATERS.

SHORT TERM: CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY LEVELS FRIDAY. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE THEN
EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY IS
EXPECTED FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ050>052.
     FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     FRIDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...VJN
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...VJN/NORCROSS
MARINE...VJN/NORCROSS




000
FXUS61 KCAR 051805
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
105 PM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
COLD CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TODAY
INTO FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FRIDAY NIGHT AND CROSS
THE REGION SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
1 PM UPDATE: NO SIG CHGS TO PRIOR UPDATE...WITH FCST CLD CVR IN
REASONABLE AGREEMENT WITH LATEST SAT IMAGERY. OTHERWISE...MINOR
CHGS WERE MADE TO FCST HRLY CLD CVR AND TEMPS THRU THE REST OF THE
DAY BASED ON TRENDS FROM OBSVD NOON TEMPS TO UNCHGD AFTN FCST HI
TEMPS AT 3 PM OR SO. TEMPS HAVE BEEN STEADY OR VERY SLOWLY RISING
SINCE MID MORN OVR MOST LCTNS. GIVEN THE STRUGGLE TEMPS HAVE BEEN
TO RISE WITH EVEN FULL SUNSHINE...LIKELY THEY WILL BEGIN TO FALL
SIG EVEN BEFORE SUNSET TNGT.

ORGNL DISC: A LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE PUSHING IN FROM THE
WEST WILL BRING A RETURN OF VERY COLD WEATHER TO THE AREA TODAY
AND TONIGHT. CLEARING SKIES WILL PROGRESS SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA
TODAY AS A COLD FRONT PUSHES OFFSHORE. TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON
WILL ONLY BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS IN THE FAR NORTH TO MID 20S
DOWNEAST IN SPITE OF BRIGHT SUNSHINE. TONIGHT WILL THEN BE MOONLIT
AND VERY COLD WITH LOWS FROM THE TEENS BELOW ZERO ACROSS THE NORTH
TO NEAR ZERO DOWNEAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST OF THE REGION FRIDAY WITH
MOSTLY/PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS AND MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES DOWNEAST. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH NORTHERN AREAS LATER
FRIDAY NIGHT WITH INCREASING CLOUDS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS LATE...WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES DURING THE EVENING BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY OVERNIGHT DOWNEAST. THE COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE
REGION SATURDAY THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY NIGHT. MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES
ALONG WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
NORTHERN AREAS SATURDAY...WITH INCREASING CLOUDS ALONG WITH A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS LATE DOWNEAST. COULD HAVE A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA EARLY SATURDAY
NIGHT...WITH DECREASING CLOUDS OVERNIGHT WITH BUILDING HIGH
PRESSURE. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS
FRIDAY/SATURDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
UNCERTAINTY EXISTS REGARDING THE TIMING OF WEAK LOW PRESSURE WHICH
COULD MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY INTO MONDAY WITH A CHANCE
OF LIGHT SNOW OR SNOW SHOWERS. CLOUD COVER AND SNOW CHANCES SUNDAY
INTO MONDAY WILL BE DEPENDENT ON THE EVENTUAL TIMING OF THE LOW.
LOW PRESSURE SHOULD TRACK NORTH OF MAINE LATER TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY WITH MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF LIGHT
SNOW OR SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS...WITH PARTLY CLOUDY
SKIES DOWNEAST. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS
SUNDAY/MONDAY...WITH NEAR NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES TUESDAY AND
SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA TODAY
AND TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: GENERALLY EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION
FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...THOUGH OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS
COULD OCCUR ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS LATER FRIDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL
MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY INTO
SATURDAY NIGHT. CONDITIONS SUNDAY INTO MONDAY WILL BE DEPENDENT
ON THE UNCERTAIN TIMING OF WEAK LOW PRESSURE WHICH IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: AN SCA WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT FOR WINDS
GUSTING UP TO 25 KT. A FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY WILL BE UP FOR LATE
THIS EVENING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD TONIGHT AS COLD ARCTIC
AIR MOVES ACROSS THE WATERS.

SHORT TERM: CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY LEVELS FRIDAY. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE THEN
EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY IS
EXPECTED FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ050>052.
     FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     FRIDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...VJN
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...VJN/NORCROSS
MARINE...VJN/NORCROSS




000
FXUS61 KCAR 051805
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
105 PM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
COLD CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TODAY
INTO FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FRIDAY NIGHT AND CROSS
THE REGION SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
1 PM UPDATE: NO SIG CHGS TO PRIOR UPDATE...WITH FCST CLD CVR IN
REASONABLE AGREEMENT WITH LATEST SAT IMAGERY. OTHERWISE...MINOR
CHGS WERE MADE TO FCST HRLY CLD CVR AND TEMPS THRU THE REST OF THE
DAY BASED ON TRENDS FROM OBSVD NOON TEMPS TO UNCHGD AFTN FCST HI
TEMPS AT 3 PM OR SO. TEMPS HAVE BEEN STEADY OR VERY SLOWLY RISING
SINCE MID MORN OVR MOST LCTNS. GIVEN THE STRUGGLE TEMPS HAVE BEEN
TO RISE WITH EVEN FULL SUNSHINE...LIKELY THEY WILL BEGIN TO FALL
SIG EVEN BEFORE SUNSET TNGT.

ORGNL DISC: A LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE PUSHING IN FROM THE
WEST WILL BRING A RETURN OF VERY COLD WEATHER TO THE AREA TODAY
AND TONIGHT. CLEARING SKIES WILL PROGRESS SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA
TODAY AS A COLD FRONT PUSHES OFFSHORE. TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON
WILL ONLY BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS IN THE FAR NORTH TO MID 20S
DOWNEAST IN SPITE OF BRIGHT SUNSHINE. TONIGHT WILL THEN BE MOONLIT
AND VERY COLD WITH LOWS FROM THE TEENS BELOW ZERO ACROSS THE NORTH
TO NEAR ZERO DOWNEAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST OF THE REGION FRIDAY WITH
MOSTLY/PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS AND MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES DOWNEAST. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH NORTHERN AREAS LATER
FRIDAY NIGHT WITH INCREASING CLOUDS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS LATE...WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES DURING THE EVENING BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY OVERNIGHT DOWNEAST. THE COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE
REGION SATURDAY THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY NIGHT. MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES
ALONG WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
NORTHERN AREAS SATURDAY...WITH INCREASING CLOUDS ALONG WITH A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS LATE DOWNEAST. COULD HAVE A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA EARLY SATURDAY
NIGHT...WITH DECREASING CLOUDS OVERNIGHT WITH BUILDING HIGH
PRESSURE. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS
FRIDAY/SATURDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
UNCERTAINTY EXISTS REGARDING THE TIMING OF WEAK LOW PRESSURE WHICH
COULD MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY INTO MONDAY WITH A CHANCE
OF LIGHT SNOW OR SNOW SHOWERS. CLOUD COVER AND SNOW CHANCES SUNDAY
INTO MONDAY WILL BE DEPENDENT ON THE EVENTUAL TIMING OF THE LOW.
LOW PRESSURE SHOULD TRACK NORTH OF MAINE LATER TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY WITH MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF LIGHT
SNOW OR SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS...WITH PARTLY CLOUDY
SKIES DOWNEAST. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS
SUNDAY/MONDAY...WITH NEAR NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES TUESDAY AND
SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA TODAY
AND TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: GENERALLY EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION
FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...THOUGH OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS
COULD OCCUR ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS LATER FRIDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL
MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY INTO
SATURDAY NIGHT. CONDITIONS SUNDAY INTO MONDAY WILL BE DEPENDENT
ON THE UNCERTAIN TIMING OF WEAK LOW PRESSURE WHICH IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: AN SCA WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT FOR WINDS
GUSTING UP TO 25 KT. A FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY WILL BE UP FOR LATE
THIS EVENING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD TONIGHT AS COLD ARCTIC
AIR MOVES ACROSS THE WATERS.

SHORT TERM: CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY LEVELS FRIDAY. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE THEN
EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY IS
EXPECTED FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ050>052.
     FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     FRIDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...VJN
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...VJN/NORCROSS
MARINE...VJN/NORCROSS



000
FXUS61 KGYX 051731
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
1231 PM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THROUGH
THURSDAY...AND CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL
APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL CROSS THE AREA ON
SATURDAY. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST SATURDAY
NIGHT AND WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION MONDAY AND WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
1230 PM UPDATE...COLD AIR CONTINUES TO PUSH INTO THE AREA.
TEMPERATURES WERE RUNNING 1-3 DEGREES BELOW PREVIOUS FORECAST SO
LOWERED THE TEMPS BASED ON THESE CURRENT OBS AND TRENDS.

930 AM UPDATE...NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES MADE TO THE FORECAST.
ADJUSTED TEMPERATURES TO MATCH CURRENT OBS AND TRENDS. MODELS SHOW
T850 TO CONTINUE TO DROP THROUGH THE DAY WITH COLD AIR
ADVECTION AND AREAS ACROSS THE NORTH WILL LIKELY ONLY TOP OUT IN
THE UPPER SINGLE DIGITS TO LOW TEENS TODAY EVEN WITH SOME BREAKS
OF SUN THIS AFTERNOON. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO PUSH
INTO THE REGION...BUT MID TO UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH
THE FRONT TO OUR SOUTH WILL LIKELY LINGER OVER THE AREA INTO THIS
AFTERNOON ACROSS THE NORTH AND INTO THE EVENING HOURS ACROSS THE
SOUTH.

600 AM...FOR THIS ESTF UPDATE I MADE MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO 1ST
PERIOD GRIDS TO REFLECT THE LATEST MESONET AND SATELLITE TRENDS.


PREV DISC...
AT 07Z...A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WAS SITUATED ALONG THE COASTAL
PLAIN...WHILE A FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDED FROM THE DELMARVA TO
SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND WITH A SERIES OF WAVES RIDING ALONG IT. THE
COLD FRONT WILL EXIT THE COAST NEXT FEW HOURS. CLOUD SHIELD WITH
THE BOUNDARY TO OUR SOUTH WILL GRADUALLY SINK FURTHER SOUTHWARD
TODAY AS SURFACE HIGH BEGINS TO NOSE IN FROM THE WEST. MUCH COLDER
THEN YESTERDAY AS COLD AIR DEEPENS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA WITH
READINGS A GOOD 15 TO 20 DEGREES COOLER THAN WEDNESDAY. OUTSIDE OF
A STRAY FLURRY...IT WILL BE A DRY DAY ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA
TODAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
CLEARING AND SEASONABLY COLD TONIGHT AS SURFACE HIGH SETTLES
ACROSS THE REGION. LOWS WILL RANGE FROM AROUND ZERO NEAR THE COAST
TO 15 BELOW IN THE MOUNTAINS. ON FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY AND CONTINUED
COLD UNDER THE SURFACE RIDGE WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM
15 TO 25 DEGREES...OR A GOOD 15 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE FOR THE
DATE.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
PLENTY OF COLD AIR REMAINS IN PLACE DURING THE END OF THE WORKWEEK
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES MAINLY BETWEEN
15 AND 25 DEGREES FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. READINGS SHOULD BE AROUND
40 DEGREES FOR HIGHS IN PORTLAND THIS TIME OF THE YEAR.

A WEEK FRONT WILL CROSS NEW ENGLAND SATURDAY NIGHT. AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...WEAK WARM AIR ADVECTION WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO REACH
THE FREEZING LEVEL OVER SOUTHERN SECTIONS. FULL SUNSHINE SHOULD
ALLOW READINGS TO REACH THE FREEZING MARK OVER SOUTHERN SECTIONS
ON SUNDAY AS WELL. THIS IS STILL WELL BELOW NORMAL.

00Z MODEL SUITE STILL SHOWING A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CROSSING
OVER MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THIS WILL BRING
SOME SNOW SHOWERS OR A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW TO THE REGION.
THIS SYSTEM WILL BE SIMILAR TO THE OTHERS IN THAT IT WILL BE
MOISTURE STARVED.

LACK OF ARCTIC AIR BEHIND THIS DEPARTING SYSTEM WILL ALLOW FOR A
WARM UP EARLY TO MID NEXT WEEK WITH WIDESPREAD 40S. AN OFFSHORE
FLOW TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WILL BRING THE WARMEST LOCATIONS TO THE
COASTLINE.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR EXPECTED.

LONG TERM...IFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN DETERIORATING
CONDITIONS...LOWERING CEILINGS AND POSSIBLY LOWERING VISIBILITIES
IN SOME SNOW SHOWERS EARLY MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SMALL CRAFT WINDS AND SEAS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT
BEHIND THE SECONDARY COLD FRONT WITH CURRENT HEADLINE EXTENDED
ACCORDINGLY. COLD TEMPERATURES AND WIND TONIGHT WILL PRODUCE A
PERIOD OF MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY WITH A FREEZING SPRAY ADV ISSUED
FOR TONIGHT.

LONG TERM...QUICK MOVING...BUT RELATIVELY WEAK SYSTEMS WILL CROSS
THE WATERS DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THE HIGHEST CHANCE OF
REACHING SCA WIND THRESHOLDS OF GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS WILL OCCUR EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING...EARLY MONDAY MORNING AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.
     FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...KISTNER



000
FXUS61 KGYX 051731
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
1231 PM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THROUGH
THURSDAY...AND CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL
APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL CROSS THE AREA ON
SATURDAY. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST SATURDAY
NIGHT AND WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION MONDAY AND WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
1230 PM UPDATE...COLD AIR CONTINUES TO PUSH INTO THE AREA.
TEMPERATURES WERE RUNNING 1-3 DEGREES BELOW PREVIOUS FORECAST SO
LOWERED THE TEMPS BASED ON THESE CURRENT OBS AND TRENDS.

930 AM UPDATE...NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES MADE TO THE FORECAST.
ADJUSTED TEMPERATURES TO MATCH CURRENT OBS AND TRENDS. MODELS SHOW
T850 TO CONTINUE TO DROP THROUGH THE DAY WITH COLD AIR
ADVECTION AND AREAS ACROSS THE NORTH WILL LIKELY ONLY TOP OUT IN
THE UPPER SINGLE DIGITS TO LOW TEENS TODAY EVEN WITH SOME BREAKS
OF SUN THIS AFTERNOON. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO PUSH
INTO THE REGION...BUT MID TO UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH
THE FRONT TO OUR SOUTH WILL LIKELY LINGER OVER THE AREA INTO THIS
AFTERNOON ACROSS THE NORTH AND INTO THE EVENING HOURS ACROSS THE
SOUTH.

600 AM...FOR THIS ESTF UPDATE I MADE MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO 1ST
PERIOD GRIDS TO REFLECT THE LATEST MESONET AND SATELLITE TRENDS.


PREV DISC...
AT 07Z...A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WAS SITUATED ALONG THE COASTAL
PLAIN...WHILE A FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDED FROM THE DELMARVA TO
SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND WITH A SERIES OF WAVES RIDING ALONG IT. THE
COLD FRONT WILL EXIT THE COAST NEXT FEW HOURS. CLOUD SHIELD WITH
THE BOUNDARY TO OUR SOUTH WILL GRADUALLY SINK FURTHER SOUTHWARD
TODAY AS SURFACE HIGH BEGINS TO NOSE IN FROM THE WEST. MUCH COLDER
THEN YESTERDAY AS COLD AIR DEEPENS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA WITH
READINGS A GOOD 15 TO 20 DEGREES COOLER THAN WEDNESDAY. OUTSIDE OF
A STRAY FLURRY...IT WILL BE A DRY DAY ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA
TODAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
CLEARING AND SEASONABLY COLD TONIGHT AS SURFACE HIGH SETTLES
ACROSS THE REGION. LOWS WILL RANGE FROM AROUND ZERO NEAR THE COAST
TO 15 BELOW IN THE MOUNTAINS. ON FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY AND CONTINUED
COLD UNDER THE SURFACE RIDGE WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM
15 TO 25 DEGREES...OR A GOOD 15 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE FOR THE
DATE.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
PLENTY OF COLD AIR REMAINS IN PLACE DURING THE END OF THE WORKWEEK
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES MAINLY BETWEEN
15 AND 25 DEGREES FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. READINGS SHOULD BE AROUND
40 DEGREES FOR HIGHS IN PORTLAND THIS TIME OF THE YEAR.

A WEEK FRONT WILL CROSS NEW ENGLAND SATURDAY NIGHT. AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...WEAK WARM AIR ADVECTION WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO REACH
THE FREEZING LEVEL OVER SOUTHERN SECTIONS. FULL SUNSHINE SHOULD
ALLOW READINGS TO REACH THE FREEZING MARK OVER SOUTHERN SECTIONS
ON SUNDAY AS WELL. THIS IS STILL WELL BELOW NORMAL.

00Z MODEL SUITE STILL SHOWING A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CROSSING
OVER MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THIS WILL BRING
SOME SNOW SHOWERS OR A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW TO THE REGION.
THIS SYSTEM WILL BE SIMILAR TO THE OTHERS IN THAT IT WILL BE
MOISTURE STARVED.

LACK OF ARCTIC AIR BEHIND THIS DEPARTING SYSTEM WILL ALLOW FOR A
WARM UP EARLY TO MID NEXT WEEK WITH WIDESPREAD 40S. AN OFFSHORE
FLOW TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WILL BRING THE WARMEST LOCATIONS TO THE
COASTLINE.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR EXPECTED.

LONG TERM...IFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN DETERIORATING
CONDITIONS...LOWERING CEILINGS AND POSSIBLY LOWERING VISIBILITIES
IN SOME SNOW SHOWERS EARLY MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SMALL CRAFT WINDS AND SEAS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT
BEHIND THE SECONDARY COLD FRONT WITH CURRENT HEADLINE EXTENDED
ACCORDINGLY. COLD TEMPERATURES AND WIND TONIGHT WILL PRODUCE A
PERIOD OF MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY WITH A FREEZING SPRAY ADV ISSUED
FOR TONIGHT.

LONG TERM...QUICK MOVING...BUT RELATIVELY WEAK SYSTEMS WILL CROSS
THE WATERS DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THE HIGHEST CHANCE OF
REACHING SCA WIND THRESHOLDS OF GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS WILL OCCUR EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING...EARLY MONDAY MORNING AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.
     FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...KISTNER



000
FXUS61 KGYX 051731
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
1231 PM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THROUGH
THURSDAY...AND CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL
APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL CROSS THE AREA ON
SATURDAY. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST SATURDAY
NIGHT AND WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION MONDAY AND WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
1230 PM UPDATE...COLD AIR CONTINUES TO PUSH INTO THE AREA.
TEMPERATURES WERE RUNNING 1-3 DEGREES BELOW PREVIOUS FORECAST SO
LOWERED THE TEMPS BASED ON THESE CURRENT OBS AND TRENDS.

930 AM UPDATE...NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES MADE TO THE FORECAST.
ADJUSTED TEMPERATURES TO MATCH CURRENT OBS AND TRENDS. MODELS SHOW
T850 TO CONTINUE TO DROP THROUGH THE DAY WITH COLD AIR
ADVECTION AND AREAS ACROSS THE NORTH WILL LIKELY ONLY TOP OUT IN
THE UPPER SINGLE DIGITS TO LOW TEENS TODAY EVEN WITH SOME BREAKS
OF SUN THIS AFTERNOON. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO PUSH
INTO THE REGION...BUT MID TO UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH
THE FRONT TO OUR SOUTH WILL LIKELY LINGER OVER THE AREA INTO THIS
AFTERNOON ACROSS THE NORTH AND INTO THE EVENING HOURS ACROSS THE
SOUTH.

600 AM...FOR THIS ESTF UPDATE I MADE MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO 1ST
PERIOD GRIDS TO REFLECT THE LATEST MESONET AND SATELLITE TRENDS.


PREV DISC...
AT 07Z...A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WAS SITUATED ALONG THE COASTAL
PLAIN...WHILE A FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDED FROM THE DELMARVA TO
SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND WITH A SERIES OF WAVES RIDING ALONG IT. THE
COLD FRONT WILL EXIT THE COAST NEXT FEW HOURS. CLOUD SHIELD WITH
THE BOUNDARY TO OUR SOUTH WILL GRADUALLY SINK FURTHER SOUTHWARD
TODAY AS SURFACE HIGH BEGINS TO NOSE IN FROM THE WEST. MUCH COLDER
THEN YESTERDAY AS COLD AIR DEEPENS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA WITH
READINGS A GOOD 15 TO 20 DEGREES COOLER THAN WEDNESDAY. OUTSIDE OF
A STRAY FLURRY...IT WILL BE A DRY DAY ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA
TODAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
CLEARING AND SEASONABLY COLD TONIGHT AS SURFACE HIGH SETTLES
ACROSS THE REGION. LOWS WILL RANGE FROM AROUND ZERO NEAR THE COAST
TO 15 BELOW IN THE MOUNTAINS. ON FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY AND CONTINUED
COLD UNDER THE SURFACE RIDGE WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM
15 TO 25 DEGREES...OR A GOOD 15 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE FOR THE
DATE.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
PLENTY OF COLD AIR REMAINS IN PLACE DURING THE END OF THE WORKWEEK
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES MAINLY BETWEEN
15 AND 25 DEGREES FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. READINGS SHOULD BE AROUND
40 DEGREES FOR HIGHS IN PORTLAND THIS TIME OF THE YEAR.

A WEEK FRONT WILL CROSS NEW ENGLAND SATURDAY NIGHT. AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...WEAK WARM AIR ADVECTION WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO REACH
THE FREEZING LEVEL OVER SOUTHERN SECTIONS. FULL SUNSHINE SHOULD
ALLOW READINGS TO REACH THE FREEZING MARK OVER SOUTHERN SECTIONS
ON SUNDAY AS WELL. THIS IS STILL WELL BELOW NORMAL.

00Z MODEL SUITE STILL SHOWING A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CROSSING
OVER MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THIS WILL BRING
SOME SNOW SHOWERS OR A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW TO THE REGION.
THIS SYSTEM WILL BE SIMILAR TO THE OTHERS IN THAT IT WILL BE
MOISTURE STARVED.

LACK OF ARCTIC AIR BEHIND THIS DEPARTING SYSTEM WILL ALLOW FOR A
WARM UP EARLY TO MID NEXT WEEK WITH WIDESPREAD 40S. AN OFFSHORE
FLOW TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WILL BRING THE WARMEST LOCATIONS TO THE
COASTLINE.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR EXPECTED.

LONG TERM...IFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN DETERIORATING
CONDITIONS...LOWERING CEILINGS AND POSSIBLY LOWERING VISIBILITIES
IN SOME SNOW SHOWERS EARLY MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SMALL CRAFT WINDS AND SEAS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT
BEHIND THE SECONDARY COLD FRONT WITH CURRENT HEADLINE EXTENDED
ACCORDINGLY. COLD TEMPERATURES AND WIND TONIGHT WILL PRODUCE A
PERIOD OF MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY WITH A FREEZING SPRAY ADV ISSUED
FOR TONIGHT.

LONG TERM...QUICK MOVING...BUT RELATIVELY WEAK SYSTEMS WILL CROSS
THE WATERS DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THE HIGHEST CHANCE OF
REACHING SCA WIND THRESHOLDS OF GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS WILL OCCUR EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING...EARLY MONDAY MORNING AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.
     FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...KISTNER



000
FXUS61 KGYX 051731
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
1231 PM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THROUGH
THURSDAY...AND CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL
APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL CROSS THE AREA ON
SATURDAY. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST SATURDAY
NIGHT AND WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION MONDAY AND WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
1230 PM UPDATE...COLD AIR CONTINUES TO PUSH INTO THE AREA.
TEMPERATURES WERE RUNNING 1-3 DEGREES BELOW PREVIOUS FORECAST SO
LOWERED THE TEMPS BASED ON THESE CURRENT OBS AND TRENDS.

930 AM UPDATE...NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES MADE TO THE FORECAST.
ADJUSTED TEMPERATURES TO MATCH CURRENT OBS AND TRENDS. MODELS SHOW
T850 TO CONTINUE TO DROP THROUGH THE DAY WITH COLD AIR
ADVECTION AND AREAS ACROSS THE NORTH WILL LIKELY ONLY TOP OUT IN
THE UPPER SINGLE DIGITS TO LOW TEENS TODAY EVEN WITH SOME BREAKS
OF SUN THIS AFTERNOON. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO PUSH
INTO THE REGION...BUT MID TO UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH
THE FRONT TO OUR SOUTH WILL LIKELY LINGER OVER THE AREA INTO THIS
AFTERNOON ACROSS THE NORTH AND INTO THE EVENING HOURS ACROSS THE
SOUTH.

600 AM...FOR THIS ESTF UPDATE I MADE MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO 1ST
PERIOD GRIDS TO REFLECT THE LATEST MESONET AND SATELLITE TRENDS.


PREV DISC...
AT 07Z...A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WAS SITUATED ALONG THE COASTAL
PLAIN...WHILE A FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDED FROM THE DELMARVA TO
SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND WITH A SERIES OF WAVES RIDING ALONG IT. THE
COLD FRONT WILL EXIT THE COAST NEXT FEW HOURS. CLOUD SHIELD WITH
THE BOUNDARY TO OUR SOUTH WILL GRADUALLY SINK FURTHER SOUTHWARD
TODAY AS SURFACE HIGH BEGINS TO NOSE IN FROM THE WEST. MUCH COLDER
THEN YESTERDAY AS COLD AIR DEEPENS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA WITH
READINGS A GOOD 15 TO 20 DEGREES COOLER THAN WEDNESDAY. OUTSIDE OF
A STRAY FLURRY...IT WILL BE A DRY DAY ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA
TODAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
CLEARING AND SEASONABLY COLD TONIGHT AS SURFACE HIGH SETTLES
ACROSS THE REGION. LOWS WILL RANGE FROM AROUND ZERO NEAR THE COAST
TO 15 BELOW IN THE MOUNTAINS. ON FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY AND CONTINUED
COLD UNDER THE SURFACE RIDGE WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM
15 TO 25 DEGREES...OR A GOOD 15 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE FOR THE
DATE.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
PLENTY OF COLD AIR REMAINS IN PLACE DURING THE END OF THE WORKWEEK
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES MAINLY BETWEEN
15 AND 25 DEGREES FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. READINGS SHOULD BE AROUND
40 DEGREES FOR HIGHS IN PORTLAND THIS TIME OF THE YEAR.

A WEEK FRONT WILL CROSS NEW ENGLAND SATURDAY NIGHT. AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...WEAK WARM AIR ADVECTION WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO REACH
THE FREEZING LEVEL OVER SOUTHERN SECTIONS. FULL SUNSHINE SHOULD
ALLOW READINGS TO REACH THE FREEZING MARK OVER SOUTHERN SECTIONS
ON SUNDAY AS WELL. THIS IS STILL WELL BELOW NORMAL.

00Z MODEL SUITE STILL SHOWING A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CROSSING
OVER MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THIS WILL BRING
SOME SNOW SHOWERS OR A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW TO THE REGION.
THIS SYSTEM WILL BE SIMILAR TO THE OTHERS IN THAT IT WILL BE
MOISTURE STARVED.

LACK OF ARCTIC AIR BEHIND THIS DEPARTING SYSTEM WILL ALLOW FOR A
WARM UP EARLY TO MID NEXT WEEK WITH WIDESPREAD 40S. AN OFFSHORE
FLOW TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WILL BRING THE WARMEST LOCATIONS TO THE
COASTLINE.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR EXPECTED.

LONG TERM...IFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN DETERIORATING
CONDITIONS...LOWERING CEILINGS AND POSSIBLY LOWERING VISIBILITIES
IN SOME SNOW SHOWERS EARLY MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SMALL CRAFT WINDS AND SEAS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT
BEHIND THE SECONDARY COLD FRONT WITH CURRENT HEADLINE EXTENDED
ACCORDINGLY. COLD TEMPERATURES AND WIND TONIGHT WILL PRODUCE A
PERIOD OF MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY WITH A FREEZING SPRAY ADV ISSUED
FOR TONIGHT.

LONG TERM...QUICK MOVING...BUT RELATIVELY WEAK SYSTEMS WILL CROSS
THE WATERS DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THE HIGHEST CHANCE OF
REACHING SCA WIND THRESHOLDS OF GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS WILL OCCUR EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING...EARLY MONDAY MORNING AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.
     FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...KISTNER



000
FXUS61 KGYX 051449
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
949 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THROUGH
THURSDAY...AND CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL
APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL CROSS THE AREA ON
SATURDAY. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST SATURDAY
NIGHT AND WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION MONDAY AND WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
930 AM UPDATE...NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES MADE TO THE FORECAST.
ADJUSTED TEMPERATURES TO MATCH CURRENT OBS AND TRENDS. MODELS SHOW
T850 TO CONTINUE TO DROP THROUGH THE DAY WITH COLD AIR
ADVECTION AND AREAS ACROSS THE NORTH WILL LIKELY ONLY TOP OUT IN
THE UPPER SINGLE DIGITS TO LOW TEENS TODAY EVEN WITH SOME BREAKS
OF SUN THIS AFTERNOON. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO PUSH
INTO THE REGION...BUT MID TO UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH
THE FRONT TO OUR SOUTH WILL LIKELY LINGER OVER THE AREA INTO THIS
AFTERNOON ACROSS THE NORTH AND INTO THE EVENING HOURS ACROSS THE
SOUTH.

600 AM...FOR THIS ESTF UPDATE I MADE MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO 1ST
PERIOD GRIDS TO REFLECT THE LATEST MESONET AND SATELLITE TRENDS.


PREV DISC...
AT 07Z...A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WAS SITUATED ALONG THE COASTAL
PLAIN...WHILE A FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDED FROM THE DELMARVA TO
SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND WITH A SERIES OF WAVES RIDING ALONG IT. THE
COLD FRONT WILL EXIT THE COAST NEXT FEW HOURS. CLOUD SHIELD WITH
THE BOUNDARY TO OUR SOUTH WILL GRADUALLY SINK FURTHER SOUTHWARD
TODAY AS SURFACE HIGH BEGINS TO NOSE IN FROM THE WEST. MUCH COLDER
THEN YESTERDAY AS COLD AIR DEEPENS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA WITH
READINGS A GOOD 15 TO 20 DEGREES COOLER THAN WEDNESDAY. OUTSIDE OF
A STRAY FLURRY...IT WILL BE A DRY DAY ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA
TODAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
CLEARING AND SEASONABLY COLD TONIGHT AS SURFACE HIGH SETTLES
ACROSS THE REGION. LOWS WILL RANGE FROM AROUND ZERO NEAR THE COAST
TO 15 BELOW IN THE MOUNTAINS. ON FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY AND CONTINUED
COLD UNDER THE SURFACE RIDGE WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM
15 TO 25 DEGREES...OR A GOOD 15 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE FOR THE
DATE.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
PLENTY OF COLD AIR REMAINS IN PLACE DURING THE END OF THE WORKWEEK
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES MAINLY BETWEEN
15 AND 25 DEGREES FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. READINGS SHOULD BE AROUND
40 DEGREES FOR HIGHS IN PORTLAND THIS TIME OF THE YEAR.

A WEEK FRONT WILL CROSS NEW ENGLAND SATURDAY NIGHT. AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...WEAK WARM AIR ADVECTION WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO REACH
THE FREEZING LEVEL OVER SOUTHERN SECTIONS. FULL SUNSHINE SHOULD
ALLOW READINGS TO REACH THE FREEZING MARK OVER SOUTHERN SECTIONS
ON SUNDAY AS WELL. THIS IS STILL WELL BELOW NORMAL.

00Z MODEL SUITE STILL SHOWING A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CROSSING
OVER MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THIS WILL BRING
SOME SNOW SHOWERS OR A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW TO THE REGION.
THIS SYSTEM WILL BE SIMILAR TO THE OTHERS IN THAT IT WILL BE
MOISTURE STARVED.

LACK OF ARCTIC AIR BEHIND THIS DEPARTING SYSTEM WILL ALLOW FOR A
WARM UP EARLY TO MID NEXT WEEK WITH WIDESPREAD 40S. AN OFFSHORE
FLOW TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WILL BRING THE WARMEST LOCATIONS TO THE
COASTLINE.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR EXPECTED.

LONG TERM...IFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN DETERIORATING
CONDITIONS...LOWERING CEILINGS AND POSSIBLY LOWERING VISIBILITIES
IN SOME SNOW SHOWERS EARLY MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SMALL CRAFT WINDS AND SEAS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT
BEHIND THE SECONDARY COLD FRONT WITH CURRENT HEADLINE EXTENDED
ACCORDINGLY. COLD TEMPERATURES AND WIND TONIGHT WILL PRODUCE A
PERIOD OF MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY WITH A FREEZING SPRAY ADV ISSUED
FOR TONIGHT.

LONG TERM...QUICK MOVING...BUT RELATIVELY WEAK SYSTEMS WILL CROSS
THE WATERS DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THE HIGHEST CHANCE OF
REACHING SCA WIND THRESHOLDS OF GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS WILL OCCUR EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING...EARLY MONDAY MORNING AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.
     FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...KISTNER



000
FXUS61 KGYX 051449
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
949 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THROUGH
THURSDAY...AND CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL
APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL CROSS THE AREA ON
SATURDAY. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST SATURDAY
NIGHT AND WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION MONDAY AND WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
930 AM UPDATE...NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES MADE TO THE FORECAST.
ADJUSTED TEMPERATURES TO MATCH CURRENT OBS AND TRENDS. MODELS SHOW
T850 TO CONTINUE TO DROP THROUGH THE DAY WITH COLD AIR
ADVECTION AND AREAS ACROSS THE NORTH WILL LIKELY ONLY TOP OUT IN
THE UPPER SINGLE DIGITS TO LOW TEENS TODAY EVEN WITH SOME BREAKS
OF SUN THIS AFTERNOON. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO PUSH
INTO THE REGION...BUT MID TO UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH
THE FRONT TO OUR SOUTH WILL LIKELY LINGER OVER THE AREA INTO THIS
AFTERNOON ACROSS THE NORTH AND INTO THE EVENING HOURS ACROSS THE
SOUTH.

600 AM...FOR THIS ESTF UPDATE I MADE MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO 1ST
PERIOD GRIDS TO REFLECT THE LATEST MESONET AND SATELLITE TRENDS.


PREV DISC...
AT 07Z...A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WAS SITUATED ALONG THE COASTAL
PLAIN...WHILE A FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDED FROM THE DELMARVA TO
SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND WITH A SERIES OF WAVES RIDING ALONG IT. THE
COLD FRONT WILL EXIT THE COAST NEXT FEW HOURS. CLOUD SHIELD WITH
THE BOUNDARY TO OUR SOUTH WILL GRADUALLY SINK FURTHER SOUTHWARD
TODAY AS SURFACE HIGH BEGINS TO NOSE IN FROM THE WEST. MUCH COLDER
THEN YESTERDAY AS COLD AIR DEEPENS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA WITH
READINGS A GOOD 15 TO 20 DEGREES COOLER THAN WEDNESDAY. OUTSIDE OF
A STRAY FLURRY...IT WILL BE A DRY DAY ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA
TODAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
CLEARING AND SEASONABLY COLD TONIGHT AS SURFACE HIGH SETTLES
ACROSS THE REGION. LOWS WILL RANGE FROM AROUND ZERO NEAR THE COAST
TO 15 BELOW IN THE MOUNTAINS. ON FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY AND CONTINUED
COLD UNDER THE SURFACE RIDGE WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM
15 TO 25 DEGREES...OR A GOOD 15 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE FOR THE
DATE.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
PLENTY OF COLD AIR REMAINS IN PLACE DURING THE END OF THE WORKWEEK
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES MAINLY BETWEEN
15 AND 25 DEGREES FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. READINGS SHOULD BE AROUND
40 DEGREES FOR HIGHS IN PORTLAND THIS TIME OF THE YEAR.

A WEEK FRONT WILL CROSS NEW ENGLAND SATURDAY NIGHT. AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...WEAK WARM AIR ADVECTION WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO REACH
THE FREEZING LEVEL OVER SOUTHERN SECTIONS. FULL SUNSHINE SHOULD
ALLOW READINGS TO REACH THE FREEZING MARK OVER SOUTHERN SECTIONS
ON SUNDAY AS WELL. THIS IS STILL WELL BELOW NORMAL.

00Z MODEL SUITE STILL SHOWING A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CROSSING
OVER MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THIS WILL BRING
SOME SNOW SHOWERS OR A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW TO THE REGION.
THIS SYSTEM WILL BE SIMILAR TO THE OTHERS IN THAT IT WILL BE
MOISTURE STARVED.

LACK OF ARCTIC AIR BEHIND THIS DEPARTING SYSTEM WILL ALLOW FOR A
WARM UP EARLY TO MID NEXT WEEK WITH WIDESPREAD 40S. AN OFFSHORE
FLOW TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WILL BRING THE WARMEST LOCATIONS TO THE
COASTLINE.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR EXPECTED.

LONG TERM...IFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN DETERIORATING
CONDITIONS...LOWERING CEILINGS AND POSSIBLY LOWERING VISIBILITIES
IN SOME SNOW SHOWERS EARLY MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SMALL CRAFT WINDS AND SEAS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT
BEHIND THE SECONDARY COLD FRONT WITH CURRENT HEADLINE EXTENDED
ACCORDINGLY. COLD TEMPERATURES AND WIND TONIGHT WILL PRODUCE A
PERIOD OF MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY WITH A FREEZING SPRAY ADV ISSUED
FOR TONIGHT.

LONG TERM...QUICK MOVING...BUT RELATIVELY WEAK SYSTEMS WILL CROSS
THE WATERS DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THE HIGHEST CHANCE OF
REACHING SCA WIND THRESHOLDS OF GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS WILL OCCUR EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING...EARLY MONDAY MORNING AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.
     FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...KISTNER




000
FXUS61 KCAR 051447
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
947 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
COLD CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TODAY
INTO FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FRIDAY NIGHT AND CROSS
THE REGION SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
930 AM UPDATE: THE MOST SIG CHG THIS UPDATE WAS TO INCREASE THE
WIND GUST FACTOR FOR LATE MORN THRU MID AFTN...WITH STEEP LAPSE
RATES AND STRONGER WINDS ALF ALLOW FOR BETTER MIXING OF GUSTS
SPCLY FOR FAR NRN PTNS OF THE FA WHERE SKIES WILL BE SUNNIEST.
OTHERWISE...MINOR CHGS WERE MADE TO FCST HRLY CLD CVR AND TEMPS
THRU THE REST OF THE DAY BASED ON TRENDS FROM LATEST SAT IMAGERY
AND OBSVD 8-9 AM TEMPS.

ORGNL DISC: A LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE PUSHING IN FROM THE
WEST WILL BRING A RETURN OF VERY COLD WEATHER TO THE AREA TODAY
AND TONIGHT. CLEARING SKIES WILL PROGRESS SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA
TODAY AS A COLD FRONT PUSHES OFFSHORE. TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON
WILL ONLY BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS IN THE FAR NORTH TO MID 20S
DOWNEAST IN SPITE OF BRIGHT SUNSHINE. TONIGHT WILL THEN BE MOONLIT
AND VERY COLD WITH LOWS FROM THE TEENS BELOW ZERO ACROSS THE NORTH
TO NEAR ZERO DOWNEAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST OF THE REGION FRIDAY WITH
MOSTLY/PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS AND MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES DOWNEAST. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH NORTHERN AREAS LATER
FRIDAY NIGHT WITH INCREASING CLOUDS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS LATE...WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES DURING THE EVENING BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY OVERNIGHT DOWNEAST. THE COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE
REGION SATURDAY THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY NIGHT. MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES
ALONG WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
NORTHERN AREAS SATURDAY...WITH INCREASING CLOUDS ALONG WITH A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS LATE DOWNEAST. COULD HAVE A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA EARLY SATURDAY
NIGHT...WITH DECREASING CLOUDS OVERNIGHT WITH BUILDING HIGH
PRESSURE. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS
FRIDAY/SATURDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
UNCERTAINTY EXISTS REGARDING THE TIMING OF WEAK LOW PRESSURE WHICH
COULD MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY INTO MONDAY WITH A CHANCE
OF LIGHT SNOW OR SNOW SHOWERS. CLOUD COVER AND SNOW CHANCES SUNDAY
INTO MONDAY WILL BE DEPENDENT ON THE EVENTUAL TIMING OF THE LOW.
LOW PRESSURE SHOULD TRACK NORTH OF MAINE LATER TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY WITH MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF LIGHT
SNOW OR SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS...WITH PARTLY CLOUDY
SKIES DOWNEAST. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS
SUNDAY/MONDAY...WITH NEAR NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES TUESDAY AND
SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA TODAY
AND TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: GENERALLY EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION
FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...THOUGH OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS
COULD OCCUR ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS LATER FRIDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL
MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY INTO
SATURDAY NIGHT. CONDITIONS SUNDAY INTO MONDAY WILL BE DEPENDENT
ON THE UNCERTAIN TIMING OF WEAK LOW PRESSURE WHICH IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: AN SCA WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT FOR WINDS
GUSTING UP TO 25 KT. A FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY WILL BE UP FOR LATE
THIS EVENING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD TONIGHT AS COLD ARCTIC
AIR MOVES ACROSS THE WATERS.

SHORT TERM: CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY LEVELS FRIDAY. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE THEN
EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY IS
EXPECTED FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ050>052.
     FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     FRIDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...VJN
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...VJN/NORCROSS
MARINE...VJN/NORCROSS




000
FXUS61 KCAR 051447
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
947 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
COLD CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TODAY
INTO FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FRIDAY NIGHT AND CROSS
THE REGION SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
930 AM UPDATE: THE MOST SIG CHG THIS UPDATE WAS TO INCREASE THE
WIND GUST FACTOR FOR LATE MORN THRU MID AFTN...WITH STEEP LAPSE
RATES AND STRONGER WINDS ALF ALLOW FOR BETTER MIXING OF GUSTS
SPCLY FOR FAR NRN PTNS OF THE FA WHERE SKIES WILL BE SUNNIEST.
OTHERWISE...MINOR CHGS WERE MADE TO FCST HRLY CLD CVR AND TEMPS
THRU THE REST OF THE DAY BASED ON TRENDS FROM LATEST SAT IMAGERY
AND OBSVD 8-9 AM TEMPS.

ORGNL DISC: A LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE PUSHING IN FROM THE
WEST WILL BRING A RETURN OF VERY COLD WEATHER TO THE AREA TODAY
AND TONIGHT. CLEARING SKIES WILL PROGRESS SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA
TODAY AS A COLD FRONT PUSHES OFFSHORE. TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON
WILL ONLY BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS IN THE FAR NORTH TO MID 20S
DOWNEAST IN SPITE OF BRIGHT SUNSHINE. TONIGHT WILL THEN BE MOONLIT
AND VERY COLD WITH LOWS FROM THE TEENS BELOW ZERO ACROSS THE NORTH
TO NEAR ZERO DOWNEAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST OF THE REGION FRIDAY WITH
MOSTLY/PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS AND MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES DOWNEAST. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH NORTHERN AREAS LATER
FRIDAY NIGHT WITH INCREASING CLOUDS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS LATE...WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES DURING THE EVENING BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY OVERNIGHT DOWNEAST. THE COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE
REGION SATURDAY THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY NIGHT. MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES
ALONG WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
NORTHERN AREAS SATURDAY...WITH INCREASING CLOUDS ALONG WITH A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS LATE DOWNEAST. COULD HAVE A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA EARLY SATURDAY
NIGHT...WITH DECREASING CLOUDS OVERNIGHT WITH BUILDING HIGH
PRESSURE. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS
FRIDAY/SATURDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
UNCERTAINTY EXISTS REGARDING THE TIMING OF WEAK LOW PRESSURE WHICH
COULD MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY INTO MONDAY WITH A CHANCE
OF LIGHT SNOW OR SNOW SHOWERS. CLOUD COVER AND SNOW CHANCES SUNDAY
INTO MONDAY WILL BE DEPENDENT ON THE EVENTUAL TIMING OF THE LOW.
LOW PRESSURE SHOULD TRACK NORTH OF MAINE LATER TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY WITH MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF LIGHT
SNOW OR SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS...WITH PARTLY CLOUDY
SKIES DOWNEAST. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS
SUNDAY/MONDAY...WITH NEAR NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES TUESDAY AND
SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA TODAY
AND TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: GENERALLY EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION
FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...THOUGH OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS
COULD OCCUR ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS LATER FRIDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL
MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY INTO
SATURDAY NIGHT. CONDITIONS SUNDAY INTO MONDAY WILL BE DEPENDENT
ON THE UNCERTAIN TIMING OF WEAK LOW PRESSURE WHICH IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: AN SCA WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT FOR WINDS
GUSTING UP TO 25 KT. A FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY WILL BE UP FOR LATE
THIS EVENING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD TONIGHT AS COLD ARCTIC
AIR MOVES ACROSS THE WATERS.

SHORT TERM: CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY LEVELS FRIDAY. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE THEN
EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY IS
EXPECTED FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ050>052.
     FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     FRIDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...VJN
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...VJN/NORCROSS
MARINE...VJN/NORCROSS




000
FXUS61 KCAR 051447
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
947 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
COLD CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TODAY
INTO FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FRIDAY NIGHT AND CROSS
THE REGION SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
930 AM UPDATE: THE MOST SIG CHG THIS UPDATE WAS TO INCREASE THE
WIND GUST FACTOR FOR LATE MORN THRU MID AFTN...WITH STEEP LAPSE
RATES AND STRONGER WINDS ALF ALLOW FOR BETTER MIXING OF GUSTS
SPCLY FOR FAR NRN PTNS OF THE FA WHERE SKIES WILL BE SUNNIEST.
OTHERWISE...MINOR CHGS WERE MADE TO FCST HRLY CLD CVR AND TEMPS
THRU THE REST OF THE DAY BASED ON TRENDS FROM LATEST SAT IMAGERY
AND OBSVD 8-9 AM TEMPS.

ORGNL DISC: A LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE PUSHING IN FROM THE
WEST WILL BRING A RETURN OF VERY COLD WEATHER TO THE AREA TODAY
AND TONIGHT. CLEARING SKIES WILL PROGRESS SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA
TODAY AS A COLD FRONT PUSHES OFFSHORE. TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON
WILL ONLY BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS IN THE FAR NORTH TO MID 20S
DOWNEAST IN SPITE OF BRIGHT SUNSHINE. TONIGHT WILL THEN BE MOONLIT
AND VERY COLD WITH LOWS FROM THE TEENS BELOW ZERO ACROSS THE NORTH
TO NEAR ZERO DOWNEAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST OF THE REGION FRIDAY WITH
MOSTLY/PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS AND MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES DOWNEAST. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH NORTHERN AREAS LATER
FRIDAY NIGHT WITH INCREASING CLOUDS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS LATE...WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES DURING THE EVENING BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY OVERNIGHT DOWNEAST. THE COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE
REGION SATURDAY THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY NIGHT. MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES
ALONG WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
NORTHERN AREAS SATURDAY...WITH INCREASING CLOUDS ALONG WITH A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS LATE DOWNEAST. COULD HAVE A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA EARLY SATURDAY
NIGHT...WITH DECREASING CLOUDS OVERNIGHT WITH BUILDING HIGH
PRESSURE. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS
FRIDAY/SATURDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
UNCERTAINTY EXISTS REGARDING THE TIMING OF WEAK LOW PRESSURE WHICH
COULD MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY INTO MONDAY WITH A CHANCE
OF LIGHT SNOW OR SNOW SHOWERS. CLOUD COVER AND SNOW CHANCES SUNDAY
INTO MONDAY WILL BE DEPENDENT ON THE EVENTUAL TIMING OF THE LOW.
LOW PRESSURE SHOULD TRACK NORTH OF MAINE LATER TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY WITH MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF LIGHT
SNOW OR SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS...WITH PARTLY CLOUDY
SKIES DOWNEAST. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS
SUNDAY/MONDAY...WITH NEAR NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES TUESDAY AND
SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA TODAY
AND TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: GENERALLY EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION
FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...THOUGH OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS
COULD OCCUR ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS LATER FRIDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL
MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY INTO
SATURDAY NIGHT. CONDITIONS SUNDAY INTO MONDAY WILL BE DEPENDENT
ON THE UNCERTAIN TIMING OF WEAK LOW PRESSURE WHICH IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: AN SCA WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT FOR WINDS
GUSTING UP TO 25 KT. A FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY WILL BE UP FOR LATE
THIS EVENING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD TONIGHT AS COLD ARCTIC
AIR MOVES ACROSS THE WATERS.

SHORT TERM: CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY LEVELS FRIDAY. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE THEN
EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY IS
EXPECTED FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ050>052.
     FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     FRIDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...VJN
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...VJN/NORCROSS
MARINE...VJN/NORCROSS




000
FXUS61 KCAR 051447
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
947 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
COLD CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TODAY
INTO FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FRIDAY NIGHT AND CROSS
THE REGION SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
930 AM UPDATE: THE MOST SIG CHG THIS UPDATE WAS TO INCREASE THE
WIND GUST FACTOR FOR LATE MORN THRU MID AFTN...WITH STEEP LAPSE
RATES AND STRONGER WINDS ALF ALLOW FOR BETTER MIXING OF GUSTS
SPCLY FOR FAR NRN PTNS OF THE FA WHERE SKIES WILL BE SUNNIEST.
OTHERWISE...MINOR CHGS WERE MADE TO FCST HRLY CLD CVR AND TEMPS
THRU THE REST OF THE DAY BASED ON TRENDS FROM LATEST SAT IMAGERY
AND OBSVD 8-9 AM TEMPS.

ORGNL DISC: A LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE PUSHING IN FROM THE
WEST WILL BRING A RETURN OF VERY COLD WEATHER TO THE AREA TODAY
AND TONIGHT. CLEARING SKIES WILL PROGRESS SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA
TODAY AS A COLD FRONT PUSHES OFFSHORE. TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON
WILL ONLY BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS IN THE FAR NORTH TO MID 20S
DOWNEAST IN SPITE OF BRIGHT SUNSHINE. TONIGHT WILL THEN BE MOONLIT
AND VERY COLD WITH LOWS FROM THE TEENS BELOW ZERO ACROSS THE NORTH
TO NEAR ZERO DOWNEAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST OF THE REGION FRIDAY WITH
MOSTLY/PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS AND MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES DOWNEAST. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH NORTHERN AREAS LATER
FRIDAY NIGHT WITH INCREASING CLOUDS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS LATE...WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES DURING THE EVENING BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY OVERNIGHT DOWNEAST. THE COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE
REGION SATURDAY THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY NIGHT. MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES
ALONG WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
NORTHERN AREAS SATURDAY...WITH INCREASING CLOUDS ALONG WITH A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS LATE DOWNEAST. COULD HAVE A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA EARLY SATURDAY
NIGHT...WITH DECREASING CLOUDS OVERNIGHT WITH BUILDING HIGH
PRESSURE. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS
FRIDAY/SATURDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
UNCERTAINTY EXISTS REGARDING THE TIMING OF WEAK LOW PRESSURE WHICH
COULD MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY INTO MONDAY WITH A CHANCE
OF LIGHT SNOW OR SNOW SHOWERS. CLOUD COVER AND SNOW CHANCES SUNDAY
INTO MONDAY WILL BE DEPENDENT ON THE EVENTUAL TIMING OF THE LOW.
LOW PRESSURE SHOULD TRACK NORTH OF MAINE LATER TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY WITH MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF LIGHT
SNOW OR SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS...WITH PARTLY CLOUDY
SKIES DOWNEAST. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS
SUNDAY/MONDAY...WITH NEAR NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES TUESDAY AND
SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA TODAY
AND TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: GENERALLY EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION
FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...THOUGH OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS
COULD OCCUR ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS LATER FRIDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL
MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY INTO
SATURDAY NIGHT. CONDITIONS SUNDAY INTO MONDAY WILL BE DEPENDENT
ON THE UNCERTAIN TIMING OF WEAK LOW PRESSURE WHICH IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: AN SCA WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT FOR WINDS
GUSTING UP TO 25 KT. A FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY WILL BE UP FOR LATE
THIS EVENING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD TONIGHT AS COLD ARCTIC
AIR MOVES ACROSS THE WATERS.

SHORT TERM: CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY LEVELS FRIDAY. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE THEN
EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY IS
EXPECTED FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ050>052.
     FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     FRIDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...VJN
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...VJN/NORCROSS
MARINE...VJN/NORCROSS




000
FXUS61 KCAR 051447
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
947 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
COLD CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TODAY
INTO FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FRIDAY NIGHT AND CROSS
THE REGION SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
930 AM UPDATE: THE MOST SIG CHG THIS UPDATE WAS TO INCREASE THE
WIND GUST FACTOR FOR LATE MORN THRU MID AFTN...WITH STEEP LAPSE
RATES AND STRONGER WINDS ALF ALLOW FOR BETTER MIXING OF GUSTS
SPCLY FOR FAR NRN PTNS OF THE FA WHERE SKIES WILL BE SUNNIEST.
OTHERWISE...MINOR CHGS WERE MADE TO FCST HRLY CLD CVR AND TEMPS
THRU THE REST OF THE DAY BASED ON TRENDS FROM LATEST SAT IMAGERY
AND OBSVD 8-9 AM TEMPS.

ORGNL DISC: A LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE PUSHING IN FROM THE
WEST WILL BRING A RETURN OF VERY COLD WEATHER TO THE AREA TODAY
AND TONIGHT. CLEARING SKIES WILL PROGRESS SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA
TODAY AS A COLD FRONT PUSHES OFFSHORE. TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON
WILL ONLY BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS IN THE FAR NORTH TO MID 20S
DOWNEAST IN SPITE OF BRIGHT SUNSHINE. TONIGHT WILL THEN BE MOONLIT
AND VERY COLD WITH LOWS FROM THE TEENS BELOW ZERO ACROSS THE NORTH
TO NEAR ZERO DOWNEAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST OF THE REGION FRIDAY WITH
MOSTLY/PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS AND MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES DOWNEAST. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH NORTHERN AREAS LATER
FRIDAY NIGHT WITH INCREASING CLOUDS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS LATE...WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES DURING THE EVENING BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY OVERNIGHT DOWNEAST. THE COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE
REGION SATURDAY THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY NIGHT. MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES
ALONG WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
NORTHERN AREAS SATURDAY...WITH INCREASING CLOUDS ALONG WITH A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS LATE DOWNEAST. COULD HAVE A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA EARLY SATURDAY
NIGHT...WITH DECREASING CLOUDS OVERNIGHT WITH BUILDING HIGH
PRESSURE. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS
FRIDAY/SATURDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
UNCERTAINTY EXISTS REGARDING THE TIMING OF WEAK LOW PRESSURE WHICH
COULD MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY INTO MONDAY WITH A CHANCE
OF LIGHT SNOW OR SNOW SHOWERS. CLOUD COVER AND SNOW CHANCES SUNDAY
INTO MONDAY WILL BE DEPENDENT ON THE EVENTUAL TIMING OF THE LOW.
LOW PRESSURE SHOULD TRACK NORTH OF MAINE LATER TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY WITH MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF LIGHT
SNOW OR SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS...WITH PARTLY CLOUDY
SKIES DOWNEAST. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS
SUNDAY/MONDAY...WITH NEAR NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES TUESDAY AND
SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA TODAY
AND TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: GENERALLY EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION
FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...THOUGH OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS
COULD OCCUR ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS LATER FRIDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL
MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY INTO
SATURDAY NIGHT. CONDITIONS SUNDAY INTO MONDAY WILL BE DEPENDENT
ON THE UNCERTAIN TIMING OF WEAK LOW PRESSURE WHICH IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: AN SCA WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT FOR WINDS
GUSTING UP TO 25 KT. A FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY WILL BE UP FOR LATE
THIS EVENING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD TONIGHT AS COLD ARCTIC
AIR MOVES ACROSS THE WATERS.

SHORT TERM: CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY LEVELS FRIDAY. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE THEN
EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY IS
EXPECTED FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ050>052.
     FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     FRIDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...VJN
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...VJN/NORCROSS
MARINE...VJN/NORCROSS




000
FXUS61 KCAR 051447
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
947 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
COLD CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TODAY
INTO FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FRIDAY NIGHT AND CROSS
THE REGION SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
930 AM UPDATE: THE MOST SIG CHG THIS UPDATE WAS TO INCREASE THE
WIND GUST FACTOR FOR LATE MORN THRU MID AFTN...WITH STEEP LAPSE
RATES AND STRONGER WINDS ALF ALLOW FOR BETTER MIXING OF GUSTS
SPCLY FOR FAR NRN PTNS OF THE FA WHERE SKIES WILL BE SUNNIEST.
OTHERWISE...MINOR CHGS WERE MADE TO FCST HRLY CLD CVR AND TEMPS
THRU THE REST OF THE DAY BASED ON TRENDS FROM LATEST SAT IMAGERY
AND OBSVD 8-9 AM TEMPS.

ORGNL DISC: A LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE PUSHING IN FROM THE
WEST WILL BRING A RETURN OF VERY COLD WEATHER TO THE AREA TODAY
AND TONIGHT. CLEARING SKIES WILL PROGRESS SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA
TODAY AS A COLD FRONT PUSHES OFFSHORE. TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON
WILL ONLY BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS IN THE FAR NORTH TO MID 20S
DOWNEAST IN SPITE OF BRIGHT SUNSHINE. TONIGHT WILL THEN BE MOONLIT
AND VERY COLD WITH LOWS FROM THE TEENS BELOW ZERO ACROSS THE NORTH
TO NEAR ZERO DOWNEAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST OF THE REGION FRIDAY WITH
MOSTLY/PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS AND MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES DOWNEAST. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH NORTHERN AREAS LATER
FRIDAY NIGHT WITH INCREASING CLOUDS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS LATE...WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES DURING THE EVENING BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY OVERNIGHT DOWNEAST. THE COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE
REGION SATURDAY THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY NIGHT. MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES
ALONG WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
NORTHERN AREAS SATURDAY...WITH INCREASING CLOUDS ALONG WITH A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS LATE DOWNEAST. COULD HAVE A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA EARLY SATURDAY
NIGHT...WITH DECREASING CLOUDS OVERNIGHT WITH BUILDING HIGH
PRESSURE. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS
FRIDAY/SATURDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
UNCERTAINTY EXISTS REGARDING THE TIMING OF WEAK LOW PRESSURE WHICH
COULD MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY INTO MONDAY WITH A CHANCE
OF LIGHT SNOW OR SNOW SHOWERS. CLOUD COVER AND SNOW CHANCES SUNDAY
INTO MONDAY WILL BE DEPENDENT ON THE EVENTUAL TIMING OF THE LOW.
LOW PRESSURE SHOULD TRACK NORTH OF MAINE LATER TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY WITH MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF LIGHT
SNOW OR SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS...WITH PARTLY CLOUDY
SKIES DOWNEAST. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS
SUNDAY/MONDAY...WITH NEAR NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES TUESDAY AND
SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA TODAY
AND TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: GENERALLY EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION
FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...THOUGH OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS
COULD OCCUR ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS LATER FRIDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL
MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY INTO
SATURDAY NIGHT. CONDITIONS SUNDAY INTO MONDAY WILL BE DEPENDENT
ON THE UNCERTAIN TIMING OF WEAK LOW PRESSURE WHICH IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: AN SCA WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT FOR WINDS
GUSTING UP TO 25 KT. A FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY WILL BE UP FOR LATE
THIS EVENING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD TONIGHT AS COLD ARCTIC
AIR MOVES ACROSS THE WATERS.

SHORT TERM: CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY LEVELS FRIDAY. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE THEN
EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY IS
EXPECTED FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ050>052.
     FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     FRIDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...VJN
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...VJN/NORCROSS
MARINE...VJN/NORCROSS




000
FXUS61 KCAR 051447
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
947 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
COLD CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TODAY
INTO FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FRIDAY NIGHT AND CROSS
THE REGION SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
930 AM UPDATE: THE MOST SIG CHG THIS UPDATE WAS TO INCREASE THE
WIND GUST FACTOR FOR LATE MORN THRU MID AFTN...WITH STEEP LAPSE
RATES AND STRONGER WINDS ALF ALLOW FOR BETTER MIXING OF GUSTS
SPCLY FOR FAR NRN PTNS OF THE FA WHERE SKIES WILL BE SUNNIEST.
OTHERWISE...MINOR CHGS WERE MADE TO FCST HRLY CLD CVR AND TEMPS
THRU THE REST OF THE DAY BASED ON TRENDS FROM LATEST SAT IMAGERY
AND OBSVD 8-9 AM TEMPS.

ORGNL DISC: A LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE PUSHING IN FROM THE
WEST WILL BRING A RETURN OF VERY COLD WEATHER TO THE AREA TODAY
AND TONIGHT. CLEARING SKIES WILL PROGRESS SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA
TODAY AS A COLD FRONT PUSHES OFFSHORE. TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON
WILL ONLY BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS IN THE FAR NORTH TO MID 20S
DOWNEAST IN SPITE OF BRIGHT SUNSHINE. TONIGHT WILL THEN BE MOONLIT
AND VERY COLD WITH LOWS FROM THE TEENS BELOW ZERO ACROSS THE NORTH
TO NEAR ZERO DOWNEAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST OF THE REGION FRIDAY WITH
MOSTLY/PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS AND MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES DOWNEAST. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH NORTHERN AREAS LATER
FRIDAY NIGHT WITH INCREASING CLOUDS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS LATE...WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES DURING THE EVENING BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY OVERNIGHT DOWNEAST. THE COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE
REGION SATURDAY THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY NIGHT. MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES
ALONG WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
NORTHERN AREAS SATURDAY...WITH INCREASING CLOUDS ALONG WITH A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS LATE DOWNEAST. COULD HAVE A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA EARLY SATURDAY
NIGHT...WITH DECREASING CLOUDS OVERNIGHT WITH BUILDING HIGH
PRESSURE. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS
FRIDAY/SATURDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
UNCERTAINTY EXISTS REGARDING THE TIMING OF WEAK LOW PRESSURE WHICH
COULD MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY INTO MONDAY WITH A CHANCE
OF LIGHT SNOW OR SNOW SHOWERS. CLOUD COVER AND SNOW CHANCES SUNDAY
INTO MONDAY WILL BE DEPENDENT ON THE EVENTUAL TIMING OF THE LOW.
LOW PRESSURE SHOULD TRACK NORTH OF MAINE LATER TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY WITH MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF LIGHT
SNOW OR SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS...WITH PARTLY CLOUDY
SKIES DOWNEAST. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS
SUNDAY/MONDAY...WITH NEAR NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES TUESDAY AND
SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA TODAY
AND TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: GENERALLY EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION
FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...THOUGH OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS
COULD OCCUR ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS LATER FRIDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL
MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY INTO
SATURDAY NIGHT. CONDITIONS SUNDAY INTO MONDAY WILL BE DEPENDENT
ON THE UNCERTAIN TIMING OF WEAK LOW PRESSURE WHICH IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: AN SCA WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT FOR WINDS
GUSTING UP TO 25 KT. A FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY WILL BE UP FOR LATE
THIS EVENING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD TONIGHT AS COLD ARCTIC
AIR MOVES ACROSS THE WATERS.

SHORT TERM: CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY LEVELS FRIDAY. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE THEN
EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY IS
EXPECTED FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ050>052.
     FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     FRIDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...VJN
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...VJN/NORCROSS
MARINE...VJN/NORCROSS




000
FXUS61 KCAR 051447
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
947 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
COLD CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TODAY
INTO FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FRIDAY NIGHT AND CROSS
THE REGION SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
930 AM UPDATE: THE MOST SIG CHG THIS UPDATE WAS TO INCREASE THE
WIND GUST FACTOR FOR LATE MORN THRU MID AFTN...WITH STEEP LAPSE
RATES AND STRONGER WINDS ALF ALLOW FOR BETTER MIXING OF GUSTS
SPCLY FOR FAR NRN PTNS OF THE FA WHERE SKIES WILL BE SUNNIEST.
OTHERWISE...MINOR CHGS WERE MADE TO FCST HRLY CLD CVR AND TEMPS
THRU THE REST OF THE DAY BASED ON TRENDS FROM LATEST SAT IMAGERY
AND OBSVD 8-9 AM TEMPS.

ORGNL DISC: A LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE PUSHING IN FROM THE
WEST WILL BRING A RETURN OF VERY COLD WEATHER TO THE AREA TODAY
AND TONIGHT. CLEARING SKIES WILL PROGRESS SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA
TODAY AS A COLD FRONT PUSHES OFFSHORE. TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON
WILL ONLY BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS IN THE FAR NORTH TO MID 20S
DOWNEAST IN SPITE OF BRIGHT SUNSHINE. TONIGHT WILL THEN BE MOONLIT
AND VERY COLD WITH LOWS FROM THE TEENS BELOW ZERO ACROSS THE NORTH
TO NEAR ZERO DOWNEAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST OF THE REGION FRIDAY WITH
MOSTLY/PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS AND MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES DOWNEAST. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH NORTHERN AREAS LATER
FRIDAY NIGHT WITH INCREASING CLOUDS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS LATE...WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES DURING THE EVENING BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY OVERNIGHT DOWNEAST. THE COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE
REGION SATURDAY THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY NIGHT. MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES
ALONG WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
NORTHERN AREAS SATURDAY...WITH INCREASING CLOUDS ALONG WITH A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS LATE DOWNEAST. COULD HAVE A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA EARLY SATURDAY
NIGHT...WITH DECREASING CLOUDS OVERNIGHT WITH BUILDING HIGH
PRESSURE. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS
FRIDAY/SATURDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
UNCERTAINTY EXISTS REGARDING THE TIMING OF WEAK LOW PRESSURE WHICH
COULD MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY INTO MONDAY WITH A CHANCE
OF LIGHT SNOW OR SNOW SHOWERS. CLOUD COVER AND SNOW CHANCES SUNDAY
INTO MONDAY WILL BE DEPENDENT ON THE EVENTUAL TIMING OF THE LOW.
LOW PRESSURE SHOULD TRACK NORTH OF MAINE LATER TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY WITH MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF LIGHT
SNOW OR SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS...WITH PARTLY CLOUDY
SKIES DOWNEAST. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS
SUNDAY/MONDAY...WITH NEAR NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES TUESDAY AND
SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA TODAY
AND TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: GENERALLY EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION
FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...THOUGH OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS
COULD OCCUR ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS LATER FRIDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL
MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY INTO
SATURDAY NIGHT. CONDITIONS SUNDAY INTO MONDAY WILL BE DEPENDENT
ON THE UNCERTAIN TIMING OF WEAK LOW PRESSURE WHICH IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: AN SCA WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT FOR WINDS
GUSTING UP TO 25 KT. A FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY WILL BE UP FOR LATE
THIS EVENING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD TONIGHT AS COLD ARCTIC
AIR MOVES ACROSS THE WATERS.

SHORT TERM: CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY LEVELS FRIDAY. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE THEN
EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY IS
EXPECTED FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ050>052.
     FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     FRIDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...VJN
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...VJN/NORCROSS
MARINE...VJN/NORCROSS




000
FXUS61 KGYX 051109
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
609 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THROUGH
THURSDAY...AND CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL
APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL CROSS THE AREA ON
SATURDAY. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST SATURDAY
NIGHT AND WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION MONDAY AND WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...

600 AM...FOR THIS ESTF UPDATE I MADE MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO 1ST
PERIOD GRIDS TO REFLECT THE LATEST MESONET AND SATELLITE TRENDS.


PREV DISC...
AT 07Z...A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WAS SITUATED ALONG THE COASTAL
PLAIN...WHILE A FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDED FROM THE DELMARVA TO
SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND WITH A SERIES OF WAVES RIDING ALONG IT. THE
COLD FRONT WILL EXIT THE COAST NEXT FEW HOURS. CLOUD SHIELD WITH
THE BOUNDARY TO OUR SOUTH WILL GRADUALLY SINK FURTHER SOUTHWARD
TODAY AS SURFACE HIGH BEGINS TO NOSE IN FROM THE WEST. MUCH COLDER
THEN YESTERDAY AS COLD AIR DEEPENS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA WITH
READINGS A GOOD 15 TO 20 DEGREES COOLER THAN WEDNESDAY. OUTSIDE OF
A STRAY FLURRY...IT WILL BE A DRY DAY ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA
TODAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
CLEARING AND SEASONABLY COLD TONIGHT AS SURFACE HIGH SETTLES
ACROSS THE REGION. LOWS WILL RANGE FROM AROUND ZERO NEAR THE COAST
TO 15 BELOW IN THE MOUNTAINS. ON FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY AND CONTINUED
COLD UNDER THE SURFACE RIDGE WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM
15 TO 25 DEGREES...OR A GOOD 15 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE FOR THE
DATE.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
PLENTY OF COLD AIR REMAINS IN PLACE DURING THE END OF THE WORKWEEK
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES MAINLY BETWEEN
15 AND 25 DEGREES FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. READINGS SHOULD BE AROUND
40 DEGREES FOR HIGHS IN PORTLAND THIS TIME OF THE YEAR.

A WEEK FRONT WILL CROSS NEW ENGLAND SATURDAY NIGHT. AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...WEAK WARM AIR ADVECTION WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO REACH
THE FREEZING LEVEL OVER SOUTHERN SECTIONS. FULL SUNSHINE SHOULD
ALLOW READINGS TO REACH THE FREEZING MARK OVER SOUTHERN SECTIONS
ON SUNDAY AS WELL. THIS IS STILL WELL BELOW NORMAL.

00Z MODEL SUITE STILL SHOWING A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CROSSING
OVER MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THIS WILL BRING
SOME SNOW SHOWERS OR A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW TO THE REGION.
THIS SYSTEM WILL BE SIMILAR TO THE OTHERS IN THAT IT WILL BE
MOISTURE STARVED.

LACK OF ARCTIC AIR BEHIND THIS DEPARTING SYSTEM WILL ALLOW FOR A
WARM UP EARLY TO MID NEXT WEEK WITH WIDESPREAD 40S. AN OFFSHORE
FLOW TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WILL BRING THE WARMEST LOCATIONS TO THE
COASTLINE.

&&

.AVIATION /11Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR EXPECTED.

LONG TERM...IFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN DETERIORATING
CONDITIONS...LOWERING CEILINGS AND POSSIBLY LOWERING VISIBILITIES
IN SOME SNOW SHOWERS EARLY MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SMALL CRAFT WINDS AND SEAS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT
BEHIND THE SECONDARY COLD FRONT WITH CURRENT HEADLINE EXTENDED
ACCORDINGLY. COLD TEMPERATURES AND WIND TONIGHT WILL PRODUCE A
PERIOD OF MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY WITH A FREEZING SPRAY ADV ISSUED
FOR TONIGHT.

LONG TERM...QUICK MOVING...BUT RELATIVELY WEAK SYSTEMS WILL CROSS
THE WATERS DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THE HIGHEST CHANCE OF
REACHING SCA WIND THRESHOLDS OF GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS WILL OCCUR EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING...EARLY MONDAY MORNING AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.
     FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$
ES




000
FXUS61 KGYX 051109
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
609 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THROUGH
THURSDAY...AND CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL
APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL CROSS THE AREA ON
SATURDAY. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST SATURDAY
NIGHT AND WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION MONDAY AND WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...

600 AM...FOR THIS ESTF UPDATE I MADE MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO 1ST
PERIOD GRIDS TO REFLECT THE LATEST MESONET AND SATELLITE TRENDS.


PREV DISC...
AT 07Z...A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WAS SITUATED ALONG THE COASTAL
PLAIN...WHILE A FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDED FROM THE DELMARVA TO
SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND WITH A SERIES OF WAVES RIDING ALONG IT. THE
COLD FRONT WILL EXIT THE COAST NEXT FEW HOURS. CLOUD SHIELD WITH
THE BOUNDARY TO OUR SOUTH WILL GRADUALLY SINK FURTHER SOUTHWARD
TODAY AS SURFACE HIGH BEGINS TO NOSE IN FROM THE WEST. MUCH COLDER
THEN YESTERDAY AS COLD AIR DEEPENS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA WITH
READINGS A GOOD 15 TO 20 DEGREES COOLER THAN WEDNESDAY. OUTSIDE OF
A STRAY FLURRY...IT WILL BE A DRY DAY ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA
TODAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
CLEARING AND SEASONABLY COLD TONIGHT AS SURFACE HIGH SETTLES
ACROSS THE REGION. LOWS WILL RANGE FROM AROUND ZERO NEAR THE COAST
TO 15 BELOW IN THE MOUNTAINS. ON FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY AND CONTINUED
COLD UNDER THE SURFACE RIDGE WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM
15 TO 25 DEGREES...OR A GOOD 15 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE FOR THE
DATE.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
PLENTY OF COLD AIR REMAINS IN PLACE DURING THE END OF THE WORKWEEK
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES MAINLY BETWEEN
15 AND 25 DEGREES FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. READINGS SHOULD BE AROUND
40 DEGREES FOR HIGHS IN PORTLAND THIS TIME OF THE YEAR.

A WEEK FRONT WILL CROSS NEW ENGLAND SATURDAY NIGHT. AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...WEAK WARM AIR ADVECTION WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO REACH
THE FREEZING LEVEL OVER SOUTHERN SECTIONS. FULL SUNSHINE SHOULD
ALLOW READINGS TO REACH THE FREEZING MARK OVER SOUTHERN SECTIONS
ON SUNDAY AS WELL. THIS IS STILL WELL BELOW NORMAL.

00Z MODEL SUITE STILL SHOWING A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CROSSING
OVER MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THIS WILL BRING
SOME SNOW SHOWERS OR A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW TO THE REGION.
THIS SYSTEM WILL BE SIMILAR TO THE OTHERS IN THAT IT WILL BE
MOISTURE STARVED.

LACK OF ARCTIC AIR BEHIND THIS DEPARTING SYSTEM WILL ALLOW FOR A
WARM UP EARLY TO MID NEXT WEEK WITH WIDESPREAD 40S. AN OFFSHORE
FLOW TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WILL BRING THE WARMEST LOCATIONS TO THE
COASTLINE.

&&

.AVIATION /11Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR EXPECTED.

LONG TERM...IFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN DETERIORATING
CONDITIONS...LOWERING CEILINGS AND POSSIBLY LOWERING VISIBILITIES
IN SOME SNOW SHOWERS EARLY MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SMALL CRAFT WINDS AND SEAS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT
BEHIND THE SECONDARY COLD FRONT WITH CURRENT HEADLINE EXTENDED
ACCORDINGLY. COLD TEMPERATURES AND WIND TONIGHT WILL PRODUCE A
PERIOD OF MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY WITH A FREEZING SPRAY ADV ISSUED
FOR TONIGHT.

LONG TERM...QUICK MOVING...BUT RELATIVELY WEAK SYSTEMS WILL CROSS
THE WATERS DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THE HIGHEST CHANCE OF
REACHING SCA WIND THRESHOLDS OF GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS WILL OCCUR EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING...EARLY MONDAY MORNING AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.
     FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$
ES




000
FXUS61 KGYX 051109
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
609 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THROUGH
THURSDAY...AND CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL
APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL CROSS THE AREA ON
SATURDAY. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST SATURDAY
NIGHT AND WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION MONDAY AND WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...

600 AM...FOR THIS ESTF UPDATE I MADE MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO 1ST
PERIOD GRIDS TO REFLECT THE LATEST MESONET AND SATELLITE TRENDS.


PREV DISC...
AT 07Z...A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WAS SITUATED ALONG THE COASTAL
PLAIN...WHILE A FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDED FROM THE DELMARVA TO
SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND WITH A SERIES OF WAVES RIDING ALONG IT. THE
COLD FRONT WILL EXIT THE COAST NEXT FEW HOURS. CLOUD SHIELD WITH
THE BOUNDARY TO OUR SOUTH WILL GRADUALLY SINK FURTHER SOUTHWARD
TODAY AS SURFACE HIGH BEGINS TO NOSE IN FROM THE WEST. MUCH COLDER
THEN YESTERDAY AS COLD AIR DEEPENS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA WITH
READINGS A GOOD 15 TO 20 DEGREES COOLER THAN WEDNESDAY. OUTSIDE OF
A STRAY FLURRY...IT WILL BE A DRY DAY ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA
TODAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
CLEARING AND SEASONABLY COLD TONIGHT AS SURFACE HIGH SETTLES
ACROSS THE REGION. LOWS WILL RANGE FROM AROUND ZERO NEAR THE COAST
TO 15 BELOW IN THE MOUNTAINS. ON FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY AND CONTINUED
COLD UNDER THE SURFACE RIDGE WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM
15 TO 25 DEGREES...OR A GOOD 15 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE FOR THE
DATE.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
PLENTY OF COLD AIR REMAINS IN PLACE DURING THE END OF THE WORKWEEK
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES MAINLY BETWEEN
15 AND 25 DEGREES FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. READINGS SHOULD BE AROUND
40 DEGREES FOR HIGHS IN PORTLAND THIS TIME OF THE YEAR.

A WEEK FRONT WILL CROSS NEW ENGLAND SATURDAY NIGHT. AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...WEAK WARM AIR ADVECTION WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO REACH
THE FREEZING LEVEL OVER SOUTHERN SECTIONS. FULL SUNSHINE SHOULD
ALLOW READINGS TO REACH THE FREEZING MARK OVER SOUTHERN SECTIONS
ON SUNDAY AS WELL. THIS IS STILL WELL BELOW NORMAL.

00Z MODEL SUITE STILL SHOWING A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CROSSING
OVER MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THIS WILL BRING
SOME SNOW SHOWERS OR A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW TO THE REGION.
THIS SYSTEM WILL BE SIMILAR TO THE OTHERS IN THAT IT WILL BE
MOISTURE STARVED.

LACK OF ARCTIC AIR BEHIND THIS DEPARTING SYSTEM WILL ALLOW FOR A
WARM UP EARLY TO MID NEXT WEEK WITH WIDESPREAD 40S. AN OFFSHORE
FLOW TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WILL BRING THE WARMEST LOCATIONS TO THE
COASTLINE.

&&

.AVIATION /11Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR EXPECTED.

LONG TERM...IFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN DETERIORATING
CONDITIONS...LOWERING CEILINGS AND POSSIBLY LOWERING VISIBILITIES
IN SOME SNOW SHOWERS EARLY MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SMALL CRAFT WINDS AND SEAS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT
BEHIND THE SECONDARY COLD FRONT WITH CURRENT HEADLINE EXTENDED
ACCORDINGLY. COLD TEMPERATURES AND WIND TONIGHT WILL PRODUCE A
PERIOD OF MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY WITH A FREEZING SPRAY ADV ISSUED
FOR TONIGHT.

LONG TERM...QUICK MOVING...BUT RELATIVELY WEAK SYSTEMS WILL CROSS
THE WATERS DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THE HIGHEST CHANCE OF
REACHING SCA WIND THRESHOLDS OF GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS WILL OCCUR EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING...EARLY MONDAY MORNING AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.
     FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$
ES



000
FXUS61 KGYX 051109
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
609 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THROUGH
THURSDAY...AND CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL
APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL CROSS THE AREA ON
SATURDAY. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST SATURDAY
NIGHT AND WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION MONDAY AND WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...

600 AM...FOR THIS ESTF UPDATE I MADE MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO 1ST
PERIOD GRIDS TO REFLECT THE LATEST MESONET AND SATELLITE TRENDS.


PREV DISC...
AT 07Z...A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WAS SITUATED ALONG THE COASTAL
PLAIN...WHILE A FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDED FROM THE DELMARVA TO
SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND WITH A SERIES OF WAVES RIDING ALONG IT. THE
COLD FRONT WILL EXIT THE COAST NEXT FEW HOURS. CLOUD SHIELD WITH
THE BOUNDARY TO OUR SOUTH WILL GRADUALLY SINK FURTHER SOUTHWARD
TODAY AS SURFACE HIGH BEGINS TO NOSE IN FROM THE WEST. MUCH COLDER
THEN YESTERDAY AS COLD AIR DEEPENS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA WITH
READINGS A GOOD 15 TO 20 DEGREES COOLER THAN WEDNESDAY. OUTSIDE OF
A STRAY FLURRY...IT WILL BE A DRY DAY ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA
TODAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
CLEARING AND SEASONABLY COLD TONIGHT AS SURFACE HIGH SETTLES
ACROSS THE REGION. LOWS WILL RANGE FROM AROUND ZERO NEAR THE COAST
TO 15 BELOW IN THE MOUNTAINS. ON FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY AND CONTINUED
COLD UNDER THE SURFACE RIDGE WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM
15 TO 25 DEGREES...OR A GOOD 15 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE FOR THE
DATE.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
PLENTY OF COLD AIR REMAINS IN PLACE DURING THE END OF THE WORKWEEK
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES MAINLY BETWEEN
15 AND 25 DEGREES FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. READINGS SHOULD BE AROUND
40 DEGREES FOR HIGHS IN PORTLAND THIS TIME OF THE YEAR.

A WEEK FRONT WILL CROSS NEW ENGLAND SATURDAY NIGHT. AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...WEAK WARM AIR ADVECTION WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO REACH
THE FREEZING LEVEL OVER SOUTHERN SECTIONS. FULL SUNSHINE SHOULD
ALLOW READINGS TO REACH THE FREEZING MARK OVER SOUTHERN SECTIONS
ON SUNDAY AS WELL. THIS IS STILL WELL BELOW NORMAL.

00Z MODEL SUITE STILL SHOWING A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CROSSING
OVER MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THIS WILL BRING
SOME SNOW SHOWERS OR A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW TO THE REGION.
THIS SYSTEM WILL BE SIMILAR TO THE OTHERS IN THAT IT WILL BE
MOISTURE STARVED.

LACK OF ARCTIC AIR BEHIND THIS DEPARTING SYSTEM WILL ALLOW FOR A
WARM UP EARLY TO MID NEXT WEEK WITH WIDESPREAD 40S. AN OFFSHORE
FLOW TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WILL BRING THE WARMEST LOCATIONS TO THE
COASTLINE.

&&

.AVIATION /11Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR EXPECTED.

LONG TERM...IFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN DETERIORATING
CONDITIONS...LOWERING CEILINGS AND POSSIBLY LOWERING VISIBILITIES
IN SOME SNOW SHOWERS EARLY MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SMALL CRAFT WINDS AND SEAS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT
BEHIND THE SECONDARY COLD FRONT WITH CURRENT HEADLINE EXTENDED
ACCORDINGLY. COLD TEMPERATURES AND WIND TONIGHT WILL PRODUCE A
PERIOD OF MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY WITH A FREEZING SPRAY ADV ISSUED
FOR TONIGHT.

LONG TERM...QUICK MOVING...BUT RELATIVELY WEAK SYSTEMS WILL CROSS
THE WATERS DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THE HIGHEST CHANCE OF
REACHING SCA WIND THRESHOLDS OF GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS WILL OCCUR EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING...EARLY MONDAY MORNING AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.
     FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$
ES



000
FXUS61 KCAR 051102
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
602 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
COLD CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TODAY
INTO FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FRIDAY NIGHT AND CROSS
THE REGION SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
6 AM UPDATE...A SOLID BAND OF HIGH CLOUDS REMAINS OVER CENTRAL AND
DOWNEAST AREAS WHILE THE NORTH IS MOSTLY CLEAR. THE HIGH CLOUDS
EXTEND WELL BACK TO THE WEST SOUTHWEST AND ARE NOT MOVING SOUTH
VERY FAST SO UPDATED FCST TO KEEP SOUTHERN AREAS MOSTLY CLOUDY
INTO MIDDAY. EXPECT CLEARING LATER AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN.

A LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE PUSHING IN FROM THE WEST WILL BRING
A RETURN OF VERY COLD WEATHER TO THE AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT.
CLEARING SKIES WILL PROGRESS SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AS A
COLD FRONT PUSHES OFFSHORE. TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON WILL ONLY
BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS IN THE FAR NORTH TO MID 20S DOWNEAST IN
SPITE OF BRIGHT SUNSHINE. TONIGHT WILL THEN BE MOONLIT AND VERY
COLD WITH LOWS FROM THE TEENS BELOW ZERO ACROSS THE NORTH TO NEAR
ZERO DOWNEAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST OF THE REGION FRIDAY WITH
MOSTLY/PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS AND MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES DOWNEAST. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH NORTHERN AREAS LATER
FRIDAY NIGHT WITH INCREASING CLOUDS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS LATE...WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES DURING THE EVENING BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY OVERNIGHT DOWNEAST. THE COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE
REGION SATURDAY THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY NIGHT. MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES
ALONG WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
NORTHERN AREAS SATURDAY...WITH INCREASING CLOUDS ALONG WITH A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS LATE DOWNEAST. COULD HAVE A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA EARLY SATURDAY
NIGHT...WITH DECREASING CLOUDS OVERNIGHT WITH BUILDING HIGH
PRESSURE. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS
FRIDAY/SATURDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
UNCERTAINTY EXISTS REGARDING THE TIMING OF WEAK LOW PRESSURE WHICH
COULD MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY INTO MONDAY WITH A CHANCE
OF LIGHT SNOW OR SNOW SHOWERS. CLOUD COVER AND SNOW CHANCES SUNDAY
INTO MONDAY WILL BE DEPENDENT ON THE EVENTUAL TIMING OF THE LOW.
LOW PRESSURE SHOULD TRACK NORTH OF MAINE LATER TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY WITH MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF LIGHT
SNOW OR SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS...WITH PARTLY CLOUDY
SKIES DOWNEAST. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS
SUNDAY/MONDAY...WITH NEAR NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES TUESDAY AND
SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /11Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA TODAY
AND TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: GENERALLY EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION
FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...THOUGH OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS
COULD OCCUR ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS LATER FRIDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL
MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY INTO
SATURDAY NIGHT. CONDITIONS SUNDAY INTO MONDAY WILL BE DEPENDENT
ON THE UNCERTAIN TIMING OF WEAK LOW PRESSURE WHICH IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: AN SCA WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT FOR WINDS
GUSTING UP TO 25 KT. A FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY WILL BE UP FOR LATE
THIS EVENING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD TONIGHT AS COLD ARCTIC
AIR MOVES ACROSS THE WATERS.

SHORT TERM: CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY LEVELS FRIDAY. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE THEN
EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY IS
EXPECTED FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ050>052.
     FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     FRIDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...BLOOMER
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/NORCROSS
MARINE...BLOOMER/NORCROSS



000
FXUS61 KCAR 051102
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
602 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
COLD CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TODAY
INTO FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FRIDAY NIGHT AND CROSS
THE REGION SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
6 AM UPDATE...A SOLID BAND OF HIGH CLOUDS REMAINS OVER CENTRAL AND
DOWNEAST AREAS WHILE THE NORTH IS MOSTLY CLEAR. THE HIGH CLOUDS
EXTEND WELL BACK TO THE WEST SOUTHWEST AND ARE NOT MOVING SOUTH
VERY FAST SO UPDATED FCST TO KEEP SOUTHERN AREAS MOSTLY CLOUDY
INTO MIDDAY. EXPECT CLEARING LATER AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN.

A LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE PUSHING IN FROM THE WEST WILL BRING
A RETURN OF VERY COLD WEATHER TO THE AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT.
CLEARING SKIES WILL PROGRESS SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AS A
COLD FRONT PUSHES OFFSHORE. TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON WILL ONLY
BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS IN THE FAR NORTH TO MID 20S DOWNEAST IN
SPITE OF BRIGHT SUNSHINE. TONIGHT WILL THEN BE MOONLIT AND VERY
COLD WITH LOWS FROM THE TEENS BELOW ZERO ACROSS THE NORTH TO NEAR
ZERO DOWNEAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST OF THE REGION FRIDAY WITH
MOSTLY/PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS AND MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES DOWNEAST. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH NORTHERN AREAS LATER
FRIDAY NIGHT WITH INCREASING CLOUDS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS LATE...WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES DURING THE EVENING BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY OVERNIGHT DOWNEAST. THE COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE
REGION SATURDAY THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY NIGHT. MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES
ALONG WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
NORTHERN AREAS SATURDAY...WITH INCREASING CLOUDS ALONG WITH A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS LATE DOWNEAST. COULD HAVE A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA EARLY SATURDAY
NIGHT...WITH DECREASING CLOUDS OVERNIGHT WITH BUILDING HIGH
PRESSURE. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS
FRIDAY/SATURDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
UNCERTAINTY EXISTS REGARDING THE TIMING OF WEAK LOW PRESSURE WHICH
COULD MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY INTO MONDAY WITH A CHANCE
OF LIGHT SNOW OR SNOW SHOWERS. CLOUD COVER AND SNOW CHANCES SUNDAY
INTO MONDAY WILL BE DEPENDENT ON THE EVENTUAL TIMING OF THE LOW.
LOW PRESSURE SHOULD TRACK NORTH OF MAINE LATER TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY WITH MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF LIGHT
SNOW OR SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS...WITH PARTLY CLOUDY
SKIES DOWNEAST. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS
SUNDAY/MONDAY...WITH NEAR NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES TUESDAY AND
SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /11Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA TODAY
AND TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: GENERALLY EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION
FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...THOUGH OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS
COULD OCCUR ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS LATER FRIDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL
MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY INTO
SATURDAY NIGHT. CONDITIONS SUNDAY INTO MONDAY WILL BE DEPENDENT
ON THE UNCERTAIN TIMING OF WEAK LOW PRESSURE WHICH IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: AN SCA WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT FOR WINDS
GUSTING UP TO 25 KT. A FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY WILL BE UP FOR LATE
THIS EVENING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD TONIGHT AS COLD ARCTIC
AIR MOVES ACROSS THE WATERS.

SHORT TERM: CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY LEVELS FRIDAY. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE THEN
EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY IS
EXPECTED FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ050>052.
     FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     FRIDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...BLOOMER
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/NORCROSS
MARINE...BLOOMER/NORCROSS




000
FXUS61 KCAR 050953
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
453 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
COLD CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TODAY
INTO FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FRIDAY NIGHT AND CROSS
THE REGION SATURDAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
A LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE PUSHING IN FROM THE WEST WILL BRING
A RETURN OF VERY COLD WEATHER TO THE AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT.
CLEARING SKIES WILL PROGRESS SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AS A
COLD FRONT PUSHES OFFSHORE. TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON WILL ONLY
BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS IN THE FAR NORTH TO MID 20S DOWNEAST IN
SPITE OF BRIGHT SUNSHINE. TONIGHT WILL THEN BE MOONLIT AND VERY
COLD WITH LOWS FROM THE TEENS BELOW ZERO ACROSS THE NORTH TO NEAR
ZERO DOWNEAST.
&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST OF THE REGION FRIDAY WITH
MOSTLY/PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS AND MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES DOWNEAST. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH NORTHERN AREAS LATER
FRIDAY NIGHT WITH INCREASING CLOUDS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS LATE...WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES DURING THE EVENING BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY OVERNIGHT DOWNEAST. THE COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE
REGION SATURDAY THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY NIGHT. MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES
ALONG WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
NORTHERN AREAS SATURDAY...WITH INCREASING CLOUDS ALONG WITH A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS LATE DOWNEAST. COULD HAVE A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA EARLY SATURDAY
NIGHT...WITH DECREASING CLOUDS OVERNIGHT WITH BUILDING HIGH
PRESSURE. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS
FRIDAY/SATURDAY.
&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
UNCERTAINTY EXISTS REGARDING THE TIMING OF WEAK LOW PRESSURE WHICH
COULD MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY INTO MONDAY WITH A CHANCE
OF LIGHT SNOW OR SNOW SHOWERS. CLOUD COVER AND SNOW CHANCES SUNDAY
INTO MONDAY WILL BE DEPENDENT ON THE EVENTUAL TIMING OF THE LOW.
LOW PRESSURE SHOULD TRACK NORTH OF MAINE LATER TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY WITH MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF LIGHT
SNOW OR SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS...WITH PARTLY CLOUDY
SKIES DOWNEAST. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS
SUNDAY/MONDAY...WITH NEAR NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES TUESDAY AND
SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY.
&&

.AVIATION /09Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA TODAY
AND TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: GENERALLY EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION
FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...THOUGH OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS
COULD OCCUR ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS LATER FRIDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL
MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY INTO
SATURDAY NIGHT. CONDITIONS SUNDAY INTO MONDAY WILL BE DEPENDENT
ON THE UNCERTAIN TIMING OF WEAK LOW PRESSURE WHICH IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: AN SCA WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT FOR WINDS
GUSTING UP TO 25 KT. A FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY WILL BE UP FOR LATE
THIS EVENING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD TONIGHT AS COLD ARCTIC
AIR MOVES ACROSS THE WATERS.

SHORT TERM: CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY LEVELS FRIDAY. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE THEN
EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY IS
EXPECTED FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY MORNING.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ050>052.
     FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     FRIDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...BLOOMER
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/NORCROSS
MARINE...BLOOMER/NORCROSS




000
FXUS61 KCAR 050953
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
453 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
COLD CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TODAY
INTO FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FRIDAY NIGHT AND CROSS
THE REGION SATURDAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
A LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE PUSHING IN FROM THE WEST WILL BRING
A RETURN OF VERY COLD WEATHER TO THE AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT.
CLEARING SKIES WILL PROGRESS SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AS A
COLD FRONT PUSHES OFFSHORE. TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON WILL ONLY
BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS IN THE FAR NORTH TO MID 20S DOWNEAST IN
SPITE OF BRIGHT SUNSHINE. TONIGHT WILL THEN BE MOONLIT AND VERY
COLD WITH LOWS FROM THE TEENS BELOW ZERO ACROSS THE NORTH TO NEAR
ZERO DOWNEAST.
&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST OF THE REGION FRIDAY WITH
MOSTLY/PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS AND MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES DOWNEAST. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH NORTHERN AREAS LATER
FRIDAY NIGHT WITH INCREASING CLOUDS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS LATE...WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES DURING THE EVENING BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY OVERNIGHT DOWNEAST. THE COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE
REGION SATURDAY THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY NIGHT. MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES
ALONG WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
NORTHERN AREAS SATURDAY...WITH INCREASING CLOUDS ALONG WITH A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS LATE DOWNEAST. COULD HAVE A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA EARLY SATURDAY
NIGHT...WITH DECREASING CLOUDS OVERNIGHT WITH BUILDING HIGH
PRESSURE. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS
FRIDAY/SATURDAY.
&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
UNCERTAINTY EXISTS REGARDING THE TIMING OF WEAK LOW PRESSURE WHICH
COULD MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY INTO MONDAY WITH A CHANCE
OF LIGHT SNOW OR SNOW SHOWERS. CLOUD COVER AND SNOW CHANCES SUNDAY
INTO MONDAY WILL BE DEPENDENT ON THE EVENTUAL TIMING OF THE LOW.
LOW PRESSURE SHOULD TRACK NORTH OF MAINE LATER TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY WITH MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF LIGHT
SNOW OR SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS...WITH PARTLY CLOUDY
SKIES DOWNEAST. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS
SUNDAY/MONDAY...WITH NEAR NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES TUESDAY AND
SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY.
&&

.AVIATION /09Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA TODAY
AND TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: GENERALLY EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION
FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...THOUGH OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS
COULD OCCUR ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS LATER FRIDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL
MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY INTO
SATURDAY NIGHT. CONDITIONS SUNDAY INTO MONDAY WILL BE DEPENDENT
ON THE UNCERTAIN TIMING OF WEAK LOW PRESSURE WHICH IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: AN SCA WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT FOR WINDS
GUSTING UP TO 25 KT. A FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY WILL BE UP FOR LATE
THIS EVENING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD TONIGHT AS COLD ARCTIC
AIR MOVES ACROSS THE WATERS.

SHORT TERM: CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY LEVELS FRIDAY. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE THEN
EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY IS
EXPECTED FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY MORNING.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ050>052.
     FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     FRIDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...BLOOMER
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/NORCROSS
MARINE...BLOOMER/NORCROSS




000
FXUS61 KCAR 050953
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
453 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
COLD CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TODAY
INTO FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FRIDAY NIGHT AND CROSS
THE REGION SATURDAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
A LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE PUSHING IN FROM THE WEST WILL BRING
A RETURN OF VERY COLD WEATHER TO THE AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT.
CLEARING SKIES WILL PROGRESS SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AS A
COLD FRONT PUSHES OFFSHORE. TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON WILL ONLY
BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS IN THE FAR NORTH TO MID 20S DOWNEAST IN
SPITE OF BRIGHT SUNSHINE. TONIGHT WILL THEN BE MOONLIT AND VERY
COLD WITH LOWS FROM THE TEENS BELOW ZERO ACROSS THE NORTH TO NEAR
ZERO DOWNEAST.
&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST OF THE REGION FRIDAY WITH
MOSTLY/PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS AND MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES DOWNEAST. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH NORTHERN AREAS LATER
FRIDAY NIGHT WITH INCREASING CLOUDS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS LATE...WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES DURING THE EVENING BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY OVERNIGHT DOWNEAST. THE COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE
REGION SATURDAY THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY NIGHT. MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES
ALONG WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
NORTHERN AREAS SATURDAY...WITH INCREASING CLOUDS ALONG WITH A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS LATE DOWNEAST. COULD HAVE A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA EARLY SATURDAY
NIGHT...WITH DECREASING CLOUDS OVERNIGHT WITH BUILDING HIGH
PRESSURE. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS
FRIDAY/SATURDAY.
&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
UNCERTAINTY EXISTS REGARDING THE TIMING OF WEAK LOW PRESSURE WHICH
COULD MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY INTO MONDAY WITH A CHANCE
OF LIGHT SNOW OR SNOW SHOWERS. CLOUD COVER AND SNOW CHANCES SUNDAY
INTO MONDAY WILL BE DEPENDENT ON THE EVENTUAL TIMING OF THE LOW.
LOW PRESSURE SHOULD TRACK NORTH OF MAINE LATER TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY WITH MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF LIGHT
SNOW OR SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS...WITH PARTLY CLOUDY
SKIES DOWNEAST. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS
SUNDAY/MONDAY...WITH NEAR NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES TUESDAY AND
SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY.
&&

.AVIATION /09Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA TODAY
AND TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: GENERALLY EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION
FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...THOUGH OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS
COULD OCCUR ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS LATER FRIDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL
MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY INTO
SATURDAY NIGHT. CONDITIONS SUNDAY INTO MONDAY WILL BE DEPENDENT
ON THE UNCERTAIN TIMING OF WEAK LOW PRESSURE WHICH IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: AN SCA WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT FOR WINDS
GUSTING UP TO 25 KT. A FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY WILL BE UP FOR LATE
THIS EVENING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD TONIGHT AS COLD ARCTIC
AIR MOVES ACROSS THE WATERS.

SHORT TERM: CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY LEVELS FRIDAY. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE THEN
EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY IS
EXPECTED FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY MORNING.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ050>052.
     FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     FRIDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...BLOOMER
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/NORCROSS
MARINE...BLOOMER/NORCROSS



000
FXUS61 KCAR 050953
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
453 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
COLD CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TODAY
INTO FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FRIDAY NIGHT AND CROSS
THE REGION SATURDAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
A LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE PUSHING IN FROM THE WEST WILL BRING
A RETURN OF VERY COLD WEATHER TO THE AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT.
CLEARING SKIES WILL PROGRESS SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AS A
COLD FRONT PUSHES OFFSHORE. TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON WILL ONLY
BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS IN THE FAR NORTH TO MID 20S DOWNEAST IN
SPITE OF BRIGHT SUNSHINE. TONIGHT WILL THEN BE MOONLIT AND VERY
COLD WITH LOWS FROM THE TEENS BELOW ZERO ACROSS THE NORTH TO NEAR
ZERO DOWNEAST.
&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST OF THE REGION FRIDAY WITH
MOSTLY/PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS AND MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES DOWNEAST. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH NORTHERN AREAS LATER
FRIDAY NIGHT WITH INCREASING CLOUDS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS LATE...WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES DURING THE EVENING BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY OVERNIGHT DOWNEAST. THE COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE
REGION SATURDAY THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY NIGHT. MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES
ALONG WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
NORTHERN AREAS SATURDAY...WITH INCREASING CLOUDS ALONG WITH A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS LATE DOWNEAST. COULD HAVE A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA EARLY SATURDAY
NIGHT...WITH DECREASING CLOUDS OVERNIGHT WITH BUILDING HIGH
PRESSURE. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS
FRIDAY/SATURDAY.
&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
UNCERTAINTY EXISTS REGARDING THE TIMING OF WEAK LOW PRESSURE WHICH
COULD MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY INTO MONDAY WITH A CHANCE
OF LIGHT SNOW OR SNOW SHOWERS. CLOUD COVER AND SNOW CHANCES SUNDAY
INTO MONDAY WILL BE DEPENDENT ON THE EVENTUAL TIMING OF THE LOW.
LOW PRESSURE SHOULD TRACK NORTH OF MAINE LATER TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY WITH MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF LIGHT
SNOW OR SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS...WITH PARTLY CLOUDY
SKIES DOWNEAST. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS
SUNDAY/MONDAY...WITH NEAR NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES TUESDAY AND
SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY.
&&

.AVIATION /09Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA TODAY
AND TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: GENERALLY EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION
FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...THOUGH OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS
COULD OCCUR ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS LATER FRIDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL
MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY INTO
SATURDAY NIGHT. CONDITIONS SUNDAY INTO MONDAY WILL BE DEPENDENT
ON THE UNCERTAIN TIMING OF WEAK LOW PRESSURE WHICH IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: AN SCA WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT FOR WINDS
GUSTING UP TO 25 KT. A FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY WILL BE UP FOR LATE
THIS EVENING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD TONIGHT AS COLD ARCTIC
AIR MOVES ACROSS THE WATERS.

SHORT TERM: CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY LEVELS FRIDAY. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE THEN
EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY IS
EXPECTED FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY MORNING.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ050>052.
     FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     FRIDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...BLOOMER
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/NORCROSS
MARINE...BLOOMER/NORCROSS



000
FXUS61 KGYX 050740
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
240 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THROUGH
THURSDAY...AND CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL
APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL CROSS THE AREA ON
SATURDAY. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST SATURDAY
NIGHT AND WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION MONDAY AND WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...

AT 07Z...A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WAS SITUATED ALONG THE COASTAL
PLAIN...WHILE A FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDED FROM THE DELMARVA TO
SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND WITH A SERIES OF WAVES RIDING ALONG IT. THE
COLD FRONT WILL EXIT THE COAST NEXT FEW HOURS. CLOUD SHIELD WITH
THE BOUNDARY TO OUR SOUTH WILL GRADUALLY SINK FURTHER SOUTHWARD
TODAY AS SURFACE HIGH BEGINS TO NOSE IN FROM THE WEST. MUCH COLDER
THEN YESTERDAY AS COLD AIR DEEPENS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA WITH
READINGS A GOOD 15 TO 20 DEGREES COOLER THAN WEDNESDAY. OUTSIDE OF
A STRAY FLURRY...IT WILL BE A DRY DAY ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA
TODAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
CLEARING AND SEASONABLY COLD TONIGHT AS SURFACE HIGH SETTLES
ACROSS THE REGION. LOWS WILL RANGE FROM AROUND ZERO NEAR THE COAST
TO 15 BELOW IN THE MOUNTAINS. ON FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY AND CONTINUED
COLD UNDER THE SURFACE RIDGE WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM
15 TO 25 DEGREES...OR A GOOD 15 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE FOR THE
DATE.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
PLENTY OF COLD AIR REMAINS IN PLACE DURING THE END OF THE WORKWEEK
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES MAINLY BETWEEN
15 AND 25 DEGREES FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. READINGS SHOULD BE AROUND
40 DEGREES FOR HIGHS IN PORTLAND THIS TIME OF THE YEAR.

A WEEK FRONT WILL CROSS NEW ENGLAND SATURDAY NIGHT. AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...WEAK WARM AIR ADVECTION WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO REACH
THE FREEZING LEVEL OVER SOUTHERN SECTIONS. FULL SUNSHINE SHOULD
ALLOW READINGS TO REACH THE FREEZING MARK OVER SOUTHERN SECTIONS
ON SUNDAY AS WELL. THIS IS STILL WELL BELOW NORMAL.

00Z MODEL SUITE STILL SHOWING A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CROSSING
OVER MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THIS WILL BRING
SOME SNOW SHOWERS OR A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW TO THE REGION.
THIS SYSTEM WILL BE SIMILAR TO THE OTHERS IN THAT IT WILL BE
MOISTURE STARVED.

LACK OF ARCTIC AIR BEHIND THIS DEPARTING SYSTEM WILL ALLOW FOR A
WARM UP EARLY TO MID NEXT WEEK WITH WIDESPREAD 40S. AN OFFSHORE
FLOW TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WILL BRING THE WARMEST LOCATIONS TO THE
COASTLINE.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR EXPECTED.

LONG TERM...IFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN DETERIORATING
CONDITIONS...LOWERING CEILINGS AND POSSIBLY LOWERING VISIBILITIES
IN SOME SNOW SHOWERS EARLY MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SMALL CRAFT WINDS AND SEAS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT
BEHIND THE SECONDARY COLD FRONT WITH CURRENT HEADLINE EXTENDED
ACCORDINGLY. COLD TEMPERATURES AND WIND TONIGHT WILL PRODUCE A
PERIOD OF MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY WITH A FREEZING SPRAY ADV ISSUED
FOR TONIGHT.

LONG TERM...QUICK MOVING...BUT RELATIVELY WEAK SYSTEMS WILL CROSS
THE WATERS DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THE HIGHEST CHANCE OF
REACHING SCA WIND THRESHOLDS OF GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS WILL OCCUR EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING...EARLY MONDAY MORNING AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.
     FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$

SCHWIBS/CANNON



000
FXUS61 KGYX 050740
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
240 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THROUGH
THURSDAY...AND CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL
APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL CROSS THE AREA ON
SATURDAY. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST SATURDAY
NIGHT AND WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION MONDAY AND WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...

AT 07Z...A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WAS SITUATED ALONG THE COASTAL
PLAIN...WHILE A FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDED FROM THE DELMARVA TO
SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND WITH A SERIES OF WAVES RIDING ALONG IT. THE
COLD FRONT WILL EXIT THE COAST NEXT FEW HOURS. CLOUD SHIELD WITH
THE BOUNDARY TO OUR SOUTH WILL GRADUALLY SINK FURTHER SOUTHWARD
TODAY AS SURFACE HIGH BEGINS TO NOSE IN FROM THE WEST. MUCH COLDER
THEN YESTERDAY AS COLD AIR DEEPENS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA WITH
READINGS A GOOD 15 TO 20 DEGREES COOLER THAN WEDNESDAY. OUTSIDE OF
A STRAY FLURRY...IT WILL BE A DRY DAY ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA
TODAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
CLEARING AND SEASONABLY COLD TONIGHT AS SURFACE HIGH SETTLES
ACROSS THE REGION. LOWS WILL RANGE FROM AROUND ZERO NEAR THE COAST
TO 15 BELOW IN THE MOUNTAINS. ON FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY AND CONTINUED
COLD UNDER THE SURFACE RIDGE WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM
15 TO 25 DEGREES...OR A GOOD 15 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE FOR THE
DATE.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
PLENTY OF COLD AIR REMAINS IN PLACE DURING THE END OF THE WORKWEEK
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES MAINLY BETWEEN
15 AND 25 DEGREES FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. READINGS SHOULD BE AROUND
40 DEGREES FOR HIGHS IN PORTLAND THIS TIME OF THE YEAR.

A WEEK FRONT WILL CROSS NEW ENGLAND SATURDAY NIGHT. AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...WEAK WARM AIR ADVECTION WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO REACH
THE FREEZING LEVEL OVER SOUTHERN SECTIONS. FULL SUNSHINE SHOULD
ALLOW READINGS TO REACH THE FREEZING MARK OVER SOUTHERN SECTIONS
ON SUNDAY AS WELL. THIS IS STILL WELL BELOW NORMAL.

00Z MODEL SUITE STILL SHOWING A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CROSSING
OVER MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THIS WILL BRING
SOME SNOW SHOWERS OR A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW TO THE REGION.
THIS SYSTEM WILL BE SIMILAR TO THE OTHERS IN THAT IT WILL BE
MOISTURE STARVED.

LACK OF ARCTIC AIR BEHIND THIS DEPARTING SYSTEM WILL ALLOW FOR A
WARM UP EARLY TO MID NEXT WEEK WITH WIDESPREAD 40S. AN OFFSHORE
FLOW TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WILL BRING THE WARMEST LOCATIONS TO THE
COASTLINE.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR EXPECTED.

LONG TERM...IFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN DETERIORATING
CONDITIONS...LOWERING CEILINGS AND POSSIBLY LOWERING VISIBILITIES
IN SOME SNOW SHOWERS EARLY MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SMALL CRAFT WINDS AND SEAS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT
BEHIND THE SECONDARY COLD FRONT WITH CURRENT HEADLINE EXTENDED
ACCORDINGLY. COLD TEMPERATURES AND WIND TONIGHT WILL PRODUCE A
PERIOD OF MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY WITH A FREEZING SPRAY ADV ISSUED
FOR TONIGHT.

LONG TERM...QUICK MOVING...BUT RELATIVELY WEAK SYSTEMS WILL CROSS
THE WATERS DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THE HIGHEST CHANCE OF
REACHING SCA WIND THRESHOLDS OF GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS WILL OCCUR EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING...EARLY MONDAY MORNING AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.
     FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$

SCHWIBS/CANNON



000
FXUS61 KGYX 050740
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
240 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THROUGH
THURSDAY...AND CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL
APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL CROSS THE AREA ON
SATURDAY. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST SATURDAY
NIGHT AND WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION MONDAY AND WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...

AT 07Z...A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WAS SITUATED ALONG THE COASTAL
PLAIN...WHILE A FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDED FROM THE DELMARVA TO
SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND WITH A SERIES OF WAVES RIDING ALONG IT. THE
COLD FRONT WILL EXIT THE COAST NEXT FEW HOURS. CLOUD SHIELD WITH
THE BOUNDARY TO OUR SOUTH WILL GRADUALLY SINK FURTHER SOUTHWARD
TODAY AS SURFACE HIGH BEGINS TO NOSE IN FROM THE WEST. MUCH COLDER
THEN YESTERDAY AS COLD AIR DEEPENS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA WITH
READINGS A GOOD 15 TO 20 DEGREES COOLER THAN WEDNESDAY. OUTSIDE OF
A STRAY FLURRY...IT WILL BE A DRY DAY ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA
TODAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
CLEARING AND SEASONABLY COLD TONIGHT AS SURFACE HIGH SETTLES
ACROSS THE REGION. LOWS WILL RANGE FROM AROUND ZERO NEAR THE COAST
TO 15 BELOW IN THE MOUNTAINS. ON FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY AND CONTINUED
COLD UNDER THE SURFACE RIDGE WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM
15 TO 25 DEGREES...OR A GOOD 15 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE FOR THE
DATE.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
PLENTY OF COLD AIR REMAINS IN PLACE DURING THE END OF THE WORKWEEK
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES MAINLY BETWEEN
15 AND 25 DEGREES FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. READINGS SHOULD BE AROUND
40 DEGREES FOR HIGHS IN PORTLAND THIS TIME OF THE YEAR.

A WEEK FRONT WILL CROSS NEW ENGLAND SATURDAY NIGHT. AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...WEAK WARM AIR ADVECTION WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO REACH
THE FREEZING LEVEL OVER SOUTHERN SECTIONS. FULL SUNSHINE SHOULD
ALLOW READINGS TO REACH THE FREEZING MARK OVER SOUTHERN SECTIONS
ON SUNDAY AS WELL. THIS IS STILL WELL BELOW NORMAL.

00Z MODEL SUITE STILL SHOWING A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CROSSING
OVER MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THIS WILL BRING
SOME SNOW SHOWERS OR A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW TO THE REGION.
THIS SYSTEM WILL BE SIMILAR TO THE OTHERS IN THAT IT WILL BE
MOISTURE STARVED.

LACK OF ARCTIC AIR BEHIND THIS DEPARTING SYSTEM WILL ALLOW FOR A
WARM UP EARLY TO MID NEXT WEEK WITH WIDESPREAD 40S. AN OFFSHORE
FLOW TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WILL BRING THE WARMEST LOCATIONS TO THE
COASTLINE.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR EXPECTED.

LONG TERM...IFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN DETERIORATING
CONDITIONS...LOWERING CEILINGS AND POSSIBLY LOWERING VISIBILITIES
IN SOME SNOW SHOWERS EARLY MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SMALL CRAFT WINDS AND SEAS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT
BEHIND THE SECONDARY COLD FRONT WITH CURRENT HEADLINE EXTENDED
ACCORDINGLY. COLD TEMPERATURES AND WIND TONIGHT WILL PRODUCE A
PERIOD OF MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY WITH A FREEZING SPRAY ADV ISSUED
FOR TONIGHT.

LONG TERM...QUICK MOVING...BUT RELATIVELY WEAK SYSTEMS WILL CROSS
THE WATERS DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THE HIGHEST CHANCE OF
REACHING SCA WIND THRESHOLDS OF GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS WILL OCCUR EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING...EARLY MONDAY MORNING AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.
     FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$

SCHWIBS/CANNON



000
FXUS61 KGYX 050740
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
240 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THROUGH
THURSDAY...AND CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL
APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL CROSS THE AREA ON
SATURDAY. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST SATURDAY
NIGHT AND WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION MONDAY AND WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...

AT 07Z...A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WAS SITUATED ALONG THE COASTAL
PLAIN...WHILE A FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDED FROM THE DELMARVA TO
SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND WITH A SERIES OF WAVES RIDING ALONG IT. THE
COLD FRONT WILL EXIT THE COAST NEXT FEW HOURS. CLOUD SHIELD WITH
THE BOUNDARY TO OUR SOUTH WILL GRADUALLY SINK FURTHER SOUTHWARD
TODAY AS SURFACE HIGH BEGINS TO NOSE IN FROM THE WEST. MUCH COLDER
THEN YESTERDAY AS COLD AIR DEEPENS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA WITH
READINGS A GOOD 15 TO 20 DEGREES COOLER THAN WEDNESDAY. OUTSIDE OF
A STRAY FLURRY...IT WILL BE A DRY DAY ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA
TODAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
CLEARING AND SEASONABLY COLD TONIGHT AS SURFACE HIGH SETTLES
ACROSS THE REGION. LOWS WILL RANGE FROM AROUND ZERO NEAR THE COAST
TO 15 BELOW IN THE MOUNTAINS. ON FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY AND CONTINUED
COLD UNDER THE SURFACE RIDGE WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM
15 TO 25 DEGREES...OR A GOOD 15 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE FOR THE
DATE.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
PLENTY OF COLD AIR REMAINS IN PLACE DURING THE END OF THE WORKWEEK
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES MAINLY BETWEEN
15 AND 25 DEGREES FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. READINGS SHOULD BE AROUND
40 DEGREES FOR HIGHS IN PORTLAND THIS TIME OF THE YEAR.

A WEEK FRONT WILL CROSS NEW ENGLAND SATURDAY NIGHT. AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...WEAK WARM AIR ADVECTION WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO REACH
THE FREEZING LEVEL OVER SOUTHERN SECTIONS. FULL SUNSHINE SHOULD
ALLOW READINGS TO REACH THE FREEZING MARK OVER SOUTHERN SECTIONS
ON SUNDAY AS WELL. THIS IS STILL WELL BELOW NORMAL.

00Z MODEL SUITE STILL SHOWING A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CROSSING
OVER MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THIS WILL BRING
SOME SNOW SHOWERS OR A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW TO THE REGION.
THIS SYSTEM WILL BE SIMILAR TO THE OTHERS IN THAT IT WILL BE
MOISTURE STARVED.

LACK OF ARCTIC AIR BEHIND THIS DEPARTING SYSTEM WILL ALLOW FOR A
WARM UP EARLY TO MID NEXT WEEK WITH WIDESPREAD 40S. AN OFFSHORE
FLOW TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WILL BRING THE WARMEST LOCATIONS TO THE
COASTLINE.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR EXPECTED.

LONG TERM...IFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN DETERIORATING
CONDITIONS...LOWERING CEILINGS AND POSSIBLY LOWERING VISIBILITIES
IN SOME SNOW SHOWERS EARLY MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SMALL CRAFT WINDS AND SEAS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT
BEHIND THE SECONDARY COLD FRONT WITH CURRENT HEADLINE EXTENDED
ACCORDINGLY. COLD TEMPERATURES AND WIND TONIGHT WILL PRODUCE A
PERIOD OF MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY WITH A FREEZING SPRAY ADV ISSUED
FOR TONIGHT.

LONG TERM...QUICK MOVING...BUT RELATIVELY WEAK SYSTEMS WILL CROSS
THE WATERS DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THE HIGHEST CHANCE OF
REACHING SCA WIND THRESHOLDS OF GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS WILL OCCUR EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING...EARLY MONDAY MORNING AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.
     FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$

SCHWIBS/CANNON



000
FXUS61 KGYX 050740
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
240 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THROUGH
THURSDAY...AND CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL
APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL CROSS THE AREA ON
SATURDAY. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST SATURDAY
NIGHT AND WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION MONDAY AND WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...

AT 07Z...A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WAS SITUATED ALONG THE COASTAL
PLAIN...WHILE A FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDED FROM THE DELMARVA TO
SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND WITH A SERIES OF WAVES RIDING ALONG IT. THE
COLD FRONT WILL EXIT THE COAST NEXT FEW HOURS. CLOUD SHIELD WITH
THE BOUNDARY TO OUR SOUTH WILL GRADUALLY SINK FURTHER SOUTHWARD
TODAY AS SURFACE HIGH BEGINS TO NOSE IN FROM THE WEST. MUCH COLDER
THEN YESTERDAY AS COLD AIR DEEPENS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA WITH
READINGS A GOOD 15 TO 20 DEGREES COOLER THAN WEDNESDAY. OUTSIDE OF
A STRAY FLURRY...IT WILL BE A DRY DAY ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA
TODAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
CLEARING AND SEASONABLY COLD TONIGHT AS SURFACE HIGH SETTLES
ACROSS THE REGION. LOWS WILL RANGE FROM AROUND ZERO NEAR THE COAST
TO 15 BELOW IN THE MOUNTAINS. ON FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY AND CONTINUED
COLD UNDER THE SURFACE RIDGE WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM
15 TO 25 DEGREES...OR A GOOD 15 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE FOR THE
DATE.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
PLENTY OF COLD AIR REMAINS IN PLACE DURING THE END OF THE WORKWEEK
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES MAINLY BETWEEN
15 AND 25 DEGREES FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. READINGS SHOULD BE AROUND
40 DEGREES FOR HIGHS IN PORTLAND THIS TIME OF THE YEAR.

A WEEK FRONT WILL CROSS NEW ENGLAND SATURDAY NIGHT. AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...WEAK WARM AIR ADVECTION WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO REACH
THE FREEZING LEVEL OVER SOUTHERN SECTIONS. FULL SUNSHINE SHOULD
ALLOW READINGS TO REACH THE FREEZING MARK OVER SOUTHERN SECTIONS
ON SUNDAY AS WELL. THIS IS STILL WELL BELOW NORMAL.

00Z MODEL SUITE STILL SHOWING A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CROSSING
OVER MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THIS WILL BRING
SOME SNOW SHOWERS OR A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW TO THE REGION.
THIS SYSTEM WILL BE SIMILAR TO THE OTHERS IN THAT IT WILL BE
MOISTURE STARVED.

LACK OF ARCTIC AIR BEHIND THIS DEPARTING SYSTEM WILL ALLOW FOR A
WARM UP EARLY TO MID NEXT WEEK WITH WIDESPREAD 40S. AN OFFSHORE
FLOW TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WILL BRING THE WARMEST LOCATIONS TO THE
COASTLINE.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR EXPECTED.

LONG TERM...IFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN DETERIORATING
CONDITIONS...LOWERING CEILINGS AND POSSIBLY LOWERING VISIBILITIES
IN SOME SNOW SHOWERS EARLY MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SMALL CRAFT WINDS AND SEAS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT
BEHIND THE SECONDARY COLD FRONT WITH CURRENT HEADLINE EXTENDED
ACCORDINGLY. COLD TEMPERATURES AND WIND TONIGHT WILL PRODUCE A
PERIOD OF MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY WITH A FREEZING SPRAY ADV ISSUED
FOR TONIGHT.

LONG TERM...QUICK MOVING...BUT RELATIVELY WEAK SYSTEMS WILL CROSS
THE WATERS DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THE HIGHEST CHANCE OF
REACHING SCA WIND THRESHOLDS OF GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS WILL OCCUR EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING...EARLY MONDAY MORNING AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.
     FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$

SCHWIBS/CANNON



000
FXUS61 KGYX 050740
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
240 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THROUGH
THURSDAY...AND CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL
APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL CROSS THE AREA ON
SATURDAY. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST SATURDAY
NIGHT AND WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION MONDAY AND WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...

AT 07Z...A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WAS SITUATED ALONG THE COASTAL
PLAIN...WHILE A FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDED FROM THE DELMARVA TO
SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND WITH A SERIES OF WAVES RIDING ALONG IT. THE
COLD FRONT WILL EXIT THE COAST NEXT FEW HOURS. CLOUD SHIELD WITH
THE BOUNDARY TO OUR SOUTH WILL GRADUALLY SINK FURTHER SOUTHWARD
TODAY AS SURFACE HIGH BEGINS TO NOSE IN FROM THE WEST. MUCH COLDER
THEN YESTERDAY AS COLD AIR DEEPENS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA WITH
READINGS A GOOD 15 TO 20 DEGREES COOLER THAN WEDNESDAY. OUTSIDE OF
A STRAY FLURRY...IT WILL BE A DRY DAY ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA
TODAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
CLEARING AND SEASONABLY COLD TONIGHT AS SURFACE HIGH SETTLES
ACROSS THE REGION. LOWS WILL RANGE FROM AROUND ZERO NEAR THE COAST
TO 15 BELOW IN THE MOUNTAINS. ON FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY AND CONTINUED
COLD UNDER THE SURFACE RIDGE WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM
15 TO 25 DEGREES...OR A GOOD 15 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE FOR THE
DATE.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
PLENTY OF COLD AIR REMAINS IN PLACE DURING THE END OF THE WORKWEEK
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES MAINLY BETWEEN
15 AND 25 DEGREES FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. READINGS SHOULD BE AROUND
40 DEGREES FOR HIGHS IN PORTLAND THIS TIME OF THE YEAR.

A WEEK FRONT WILL CROSS NEW ENGLAND SATURDAY NIGHT. AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...WEAK WARM AIR ADVECTION WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO REACH
THE FREEZING LEVEL OVER SOUTHERN SECTIONS. FULL SUNSHINE SHOULD
ALLOW READINGS TO REACH THE FREEZING MARK OVER SOUTHERN SECTIONS
ON SUNDAY AS WELL. THIS IS STILL WELL BELOW NORMAL.

00Z MODEL SUITE STILL SHOWING A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CROSSING
OVER MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THIS WILL BRING
SOME SNOW SHOWERS OR A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW TO THE REGION.
THIS SYSTEM WILL BE SIMILAR TO THE OTHERS IN THAT IT WILL BE
MOISTURE STARVED.

LACK OF ARCTIC AIR BEHIND THIS DEPARTING SYSTEM WILL ALLOW FOR A
WARM UP EARLY TO MID NEXT WEEK WITH WIDESPREAD 40S. AN OFFSHORE
FLOW TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WILL BRING THE WARMEST LOCATIONS TO THE
COASTLINE.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR EXPECTED.

LONG TERM...IFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN DETERIORATING
CONDITIONS...LOWERING CEILINGS AND POSSIBLY LOWERING VISIBILITIES
IN SOME SNOW SHOWERS EARLY MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SMALL CRAFT WINDS AND SEAS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT
BEHIND THE SECONDARY COLD FRONT WITH CURRENT HEADLINE EXTENDED
ACCORDINGLY. COLD TEMPERATURES AND WIND TONIGHT WILL PRODUCE A
PERIOD OF MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY WITH A FREEZING SPRAY ADV ISSUED
FOR TONIGHT.

LONG TERM...QUICK MOVING...BUT RELATIVELY WEAK SYSTEMS WILL CROSS
THE WATERS DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THE HIGHEST CHANCE OF
REACHING SCA WIND THRESHOLDS OF GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS WILL OCCUR EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING...EARLY MONDAY MORNING AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.
     FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$

SCHWIBS/CANNON



000
FXUS61 KGYX 050740
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
240 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THROUGH
THURSDAY...AND CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL
APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL CROSS THE AREA ON
SATURDAY. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST SATURDAY
NIGHT AND WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION MONDAY AND WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...

AT 07Z...A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WAS SITUATED ALONG THE COASTAL
PLAIN...WHILE A FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDED FROM THE DELMARVA TO
SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND WITH A SERIES OF WAVES RIDING ALONG IT. THE
COLD FRONT WILL EXIT THE COAST NEXT FEW HOURS. CLOUD SHIELD WITH
THE BOUNDARY TO OUR SOUTH WILL GRADUALLY SINK FURTHER SOUTHWARD
TODAY AS SURFACE HIGH BEGINS TO NOSE IN FROM THE WEST. MUCH COLDER
THEN YESTERDAY AS COLD AIR DEEPENS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA WITH
READINGS A GOOD 15 TO 20 DEGREES COOLER THAN WEDNESDAY. OUTSIDE OF
A STRAY FLURRY...IT WILL BE A DRY DAY ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA
TODAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
CLEARING AND SEASONABLY COLD TONIGHT AS SURFACE HIGH SETTLES
ACROSS THE REGION. LOWS WILL RANGE FROM AROUND ZERO NEAR THE COAST
TO 15 BELOW IN THE MOUNTAINS. ON FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY AND CONTINUED
COLD UNDER THE SURFACE RIDGE WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM
15 TO 25 DEGREES...OR A GOOD 15 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE FOR THE
DATE.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
PLENTY OF COLD AIR REMAINS IN PLACE DURING THE END OF THE WORKWEEK
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES MAINLY BETWEEN
15 AND 25 DEGREES FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. READINGS SHOULD BE AROUND
40 DEGREES FOR HIGHS IN PORTLAND THIS TIME OF THE YEAR.

A WEEK FRONT WILL CROSS NEW ENGLAND SATURDAY NIGHT. AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...WEAK WARM AIR ADVECTION WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO REACH
THE FREEZING LEVEL OVER SOUTHERN SECTIONS. FULL SUNSHINE SHOULD
ALLOW READINGS TO REACH THE FREEZING MARK OVER SOUTHERN SECTIONS
ON SUNDAY AS WELL. THIS IS STILL WELL BELOW NORMAL.

00Z MODEL SUITE STILL SHOWING A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CROSSING
OVER MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THIS WILL BRING
SOME SNOW SHOWERS OR A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW TO THE REGION.
THIS SYSTEM WILL BE SIMILAR TO THE OTHERS IN THAT IT WILL BE
MOISTURE STARVED.

LACK OF ARCTIC AIR BEHIND THIS DEPARTING SYSTEM WILL ALLOW FOR A
WARM UP EARLY TO MID NEXT WEEK WITH WIDESPREAD 40S. AN OFFSHORE
FLOW TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WILL BRING THE WARMEST LOCATIONS TO THE
COASTLINE.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR EXPECTED.

LONG TERM...IFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN DETERIORATING
CONDITIONS...LOWERING CEILINGS AND POSSIBLY LOWERING VISIBILITIES
IN SOME SNOW SHOWERS EARLY MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SMALL CRAFT WINDS AND SEAS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT
BEHIND THE SECONDARY COLD FRONT WITH CURRENT HEADLINE EXTENDED
ACCORDINGLY. COLD TEMPERATURES AND WIND TONIGHT WILL PRODUCE A
PERIOD OF MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY WITH A FREEZING SPRAY ADV ISSUED
FOR TONIGHT.

LONG TERM...QUICK MOVING...BUT RELATIVELY WEAK SYSTEMS WILL CROSS
THE WATERS DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THE HIGHEST CHANCE OF
REACHING SCA WIND THRESHOLDS OF GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS WILL OCCUR EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING...EARLY MONDAY MORNING AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.
     FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$

SCHWIBS/CANNON



000
FXUS61 KGYX 050740
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
240 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THROUGH
THURSDAY...AND CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL
APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL CROSS THE AREA ON
SATURDAY. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST SATURDAY
NIGHT AND WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION MONDAY AND WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...

AT 07Z...A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WAS SITUATED ALONG THE COASTAL
PLAIN...WHILE A FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDED FROM THE DELMARVA TO
SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND WITH A SERIES OF WAVES RIDING ALONG IT. THE
COLD FRONT WILL EXIT THE COAST NEXT FEW HOURS. CLOUD SHIELD WITH
THE BOUNDARY TO OUR SOUTH WILL GRADUALLY SINK FURTHER SOUTHWARD
TODAY AS SURFACE HIGH BEGINS TO NOSE IN FROM THE WEST. MUCH COLDER
THEN YESTERDAY AS COLD AIR DEEPENS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA WITH
READINGS A GOOD 15 TO 20 DEGREES COOLER THAN WEDNESDAY. OUTSIDE OF
A STRAY FLURRY...IT WILL BE A DRY DAY ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA
TODAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
CLEARING AND SEASONABLY COLD TONIGHT AS SURFACE HIGH SETTLES
ACROSS THE REGION. LOWS WILL RANGE FROM AROUND ZERO NEAR THE COAST
TO 15 BELOW IN THE MOUNTAINS. ON FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY AND CONTINUED
COLD UNDER THE SURFACE RIDGE WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM
15 TO 25 DEGREES...OR A GOOD 15 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE FOR THE
DATE.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
PLENTY OF COLD AIR REMAINS IN PLACE DURING THE END OF THE WORKWEEK
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES MAINLY BETWEEN
15 AND 25 DEGREES FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. READINGS SHOULD BE AROUND
40 DEGREES FOR HIGHS IN PORTLAND THIS TIME OF THE YEAR.

A WEEK FRONT WILL CROSS NEW ENGLAND SATURDAY NIGHT. AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...WEAK WARM AIR ADVECTION WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO REACH
THE FREEZING LEVEL OVER SOUTHERN SECTIONS. FULL SUNSHINE SHOULD
ALLOW READINGS TO REACH THE FREEZING MARK OVER SOUTHERN SECTIONS
ON SUNDAY AS WELL. THIS IS STILL WELL BELOW NORMAL.

00Z MODEL SUITE STILL SHOWING A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CROSSING
OVER MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THIS WILL BRING
SOME SNOW SHOWERS OR A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW TO THE REGION.
THIS SYSTEM WILL BE SIMILAR TO THE OTHERS IN THAT IT WILL BE
MOISTURE STARVED.

LACK OF ARCTIC AIR BEHIND THIS DEPARTING SYSTEM WILL ALLOW FOR A
WARM UP EARLY TO MID NEXT WEEK WITH WIDESPREAD 40S. AN OFFSHORE
FLOW TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WILL BRING THE WARMEST LOCATIONS TO THE
COASTLINE.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR EXPECTED.

LONG TERM...IFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN DETERIORATING
CONDITIONS...LOWERING CEILINGS AND POSSIBLY LOWERING VISIBILITIES
IN SOME SNOW SHOWERS EARLY MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SMALL CRAFT WINDS AND SEAS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT
BEHIND THE SECONDARY COLD FRONT WITH CURRENT HEADLINE EXTENDED
ACCORDINGLY. COLD TEMPERATURES AND WIND TONIGHT WILL PRODUCE A
PERIOD OF MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY WITH A FREEZING SPRAY ADV ISSUED
FOR TONIGHT.

LONG TERM...QUICK MOVING...BUT RELATIVELY WEAK SYSTEMS WILL CROSS
THE WATERS DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THE HIGHEST CHANCE OF
REACHING SCA WIND THRESHOLDS OF GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS WILL OCCUR EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING...EARLY MONDAY MORNING AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.
     FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$

SCHWIBS/CANNON



000
FXUS61 KGYX 050534
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
1234 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THROUGH
THURSDAY...AND CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL
APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL CROSS THE AREA ON
SATURDAY. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST SATURDAY
NIGHT AND WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION MONDAY AND WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/...

1229 AM...MINOR ESTF UPDATE TO REFLECT SATELLITE TREND AND INGEST
THE 05Z MESONET INTO FIRST PERIOD GRIDS.

PREV DISC...
.UPDATE...
NO MAJOR CHANGES FOR THIS UPDATE... PRECIPITATION STAYING TO OUR
SOUTH WITH JUST THE LIGHTEST ECHOES ENCROACHING ON SOUTHERN NH.
MESO MODELS STILL SHOWING THIS SAGGING SOUTH THE NEXT FEW HOURS SO
THINK MINIMAL CHANCE OF POPS LOOKS GOOD.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 AM FRIDAY/...
A SERIES OF WAVES WILL RIPPLE ALONG THE SLOWLY ADVANCING COLD
FRONT THRU THU NIGHT. THE FIRST OF WHICH...CURRENTLY OVER THE MID
MS RIVER VALLEY...ARRIVES EARLY THU. HAVE MAINTAINED SOME SCHC POP
IN SRN NH ALONG THE MA BORDER. I REALLY DON/T EXPECT MUCH MORE
THAN SHSN ALONG THE BORDER IF PRECIP DOES FALL. THE SECOND WAVE
ARRIVES LATE THU EVENING...AND SHOULD BE EVEN FARTHER S THAN THE
FIRST.

HIGH PRES BEGINS TO ASSERT MORE CONTROL OVER THE REGION...AND
SKIES WILL QUICKLY CLEAR FROM N TO S. WITH SURFACE RIDGE AXIS
ALIGNED OVERHEAD...EXPECT BOUNDARY LAYER TO DECOUPLE AND THE
TYPICAL COLD SPOTS TO FALL WELL BELOW ZERO. SIDED WITH THE COLDER
MAV/MET GUIDANCE.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
PRETTY QUIET EXTENDED FORECAST THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK....
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY BEFORE
SHIFTING OFFSHORE. DESPITE A FAIR AMOUNT OF SUNSHINE
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO AVERAGE WELL BELOW NORMAL
WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TEENS NORTH AND LOWER TO MID 20S SOUTH.

COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT BRINGING
INCREASING CLOUDS AND A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN IN NORTHERN
ZONES AFTER MIDNIGHT. FRONT WILL TAKE ALL DAY SATURDAY TO PUSH
THROUGH THE REGION. WILL LIKELY INCLUDE LOW CHANCE POPS FOR MOST
OF THE FORECAST AREA BUT EXPECT ANY SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY TO BE LIGHT
AND SPOTTY WITH THIS MOISTURE STARVED SYSTEM. HIGHS ON SATURDAY WILL
REACH THE MID 20S TO MID 30S.

SKIES CLEAR BRIEFLY SATURDAY EVENING AS THE FRONT PUSHES OFFSHORE...
BUT CLOUDS WILL AGAIN BE ON THE INCREASE AFTER MIDNIGHT AS WEAK
CLIPPER APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. WILL SEE A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS TOWARD DAYBREAK IN SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE BUT ONCE AGAIN
EXPECT ANY AMOUNTS TO BE LIGHT AND SPOTTY. ENTIRE FORECAST AREA
WILL SEE THE CHANCE OF OCCASIONAL LIGHT SNOW ON SUNDAY AS LOW
PRESSURE MOVES INTO SOUTHERN MAINE BY LATE IN THE DAY. QPF
FORECAST TO BE LIGHT WITH THIS SYSTEM WITH MOST AREAS SEEING ONLY
AN INCH OR TWO OF SNOW THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.

EXPECT LIGHT SNOW TO WIND DOWN SUNDAY EVENING AS LOW PRESSURE
SHIFTS EAST INTO THE MARITIMES. VARIABLE CLOUDINESS WILL LINGER
THROUGH THE NIGHT AND INTO MONDAY AS LOW PRESSURE TROUGH LINGERS
OVER THE AREA. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL
GRADUALLY CLEAR SKIES DOWNWIND OF THE MOUNTAINS MONDAY AFTERNOON.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.
WARM FRONT PASSING THROUGH SOUTHERN QUEBEC WILL BRUSH NORTHERN
ZONES WITH CLOUDS MONDAY NIGHT BUT THE MAJORITY OF ASSOCIATED
PRECIP WILL REMAIN NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA. NET AFFECT WILL BE
A MODERATION IN TEMPS WITH MUCH OF THE AREA SEEING HIGHS AT OR
ABOVE NORMAL WITH MID 30S NORTH TO LOWER 40S SOUTH.

WARM AIR WILL STICK AROUND ON WEDNESDAY AS WEAK LOW PRESSURE
PASSES SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THRU FRI MORNING.
LOCAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN SCT SHSN ACROSS THE NRN
MOUNTAINS LATE THIS AFTERNOON...BEFORE UPSLOPE FLOW WEAKENS.

LONG TERM...VFR FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. AREAS MVFR/IFR
CEILINGS/VSBY SUNDAY. VFR MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...MARGINAL SCA CONDITIONS CONTINUE THRU THU NIGHT.
WINDS GUST 20 TO 25 KNOTS AT TIMES...WITH SEAS REMAINING RIGHT
AROUND 5 FT. A PERIOD OF MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY IS POSSIBLE LATE
THU NIGHT.

LONG TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED SATURDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR
     ANZ150>154.

&&

$$
ES



000
FXUS61 KGYX 050534
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
1234 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THROUGH
THURSDAY...AND CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL
APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL CROSS THE AREA ON
SATURDAY. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST SATURDAY
NIGHT AND WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION MONDAY AND WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/...

1229 AM...MINOR ESTF UPDATE TO REFLECT SATELLITE TREND AND INGEST
THE 05Z MESONET INTO FIRST PERIOD GRIDS.

PREV DISC...
.UPDATE...
NO MAJOR CHANGES FOR THIS UPDATE... PRECIPITATION STAYING TO OUR
SOUTH WITH JUST THE LIGHTEST ECHOES ENCROACHING ON SOUTHERN NH.
MESO MODELS STILL SHOWING THIS SAGGING SOUTH THE NEXT FEW HOURS SO
THINK MINIMAL CHANCE OF POPS LOOKS GOOD.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 AM FRIDAY/...
A SERIES OF WAVES WILL RIPPLE ALONG THE SLOWLY ADVANCING COLD
FRONT THRU THU NIGHT. THE FIRST OF WHICH...CURRENTLY OVER THE MID
MS RIVER VALLEY...ARRIVES EARLY THU. HAVE MAINTAINED SOME SCHC POP
IN SRN NH ALONG THE MA BORDER. I REALLY DON/T EXPECT MUCH MORE
THAN SHSN ALONG THE BORDER IF PRECIP DOES FALL. THE SECOND WAVE
ARRIVES LATE THU EVENING...AND SHOULD BE EVEN FARTHER S THAN THE
FIRST.

HIGH PRES BEGINS TO ASSERT MORE CONTROL OVER THE REGION...AND
SKIES WILL QUICKLY CLEAR FROM N TO S. WITH SURFACE RIDGE AXIS
ALIGNED OVERHEAD...EXPECT BOUNDARY LAYER TO DECOUPLE AND THE
TYPICAL COLD SPOTS TO FALL WELL BELOW ZERO. SIDED WITH THE COLDER
MAV/MET GUIDANCE.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
PRETTY QUIET EXTENDED FORECAST THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK....
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY BEFORE
SHIFTING OFFSHORE. DESPITE A FAIR AMOUNT OF SUNSHINE
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO AVERAGE WELL BELOW NORMAL
WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TEENS NORTH AND LOWER TO MID 20S SOUTH.

COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT BRINGING
INCREASING CLOUDS AND A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN IN NORTHERN
ZONES AFTER MIDNIGHT. FRONT WILL TAKE ALL DAY SATURDAY TO PUSH
THROUGH THE REGION. WILL LIKELY INCLUDE LOW CHANCE POPS FOR MOST
OF THE FORECAST AREA BUT EXPECT ANY SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY TO BE LIGHT
AND SPOTTY WITH THIS MOISTURE STARVED SYSTEM. HIGHS ON SATURDAY WILL
REACH THE MID 20S TO MID 30S.

SKIES CLEAR BRIEFLY SATURDAY EVENING AS THE FRONT PUSHES OFFSHORE...
BUT CLOUDS WILL AGAIN BE ON THE INCREASE AFTER MIDNIGHT AS WEAK
CLIPPER APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. WILL SEE A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS TOWARD DAYBREAK IN SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE BUT ONCE AGAIN
EXPECT ANY AMOUNTS TO BE LIGHT AND SPOTTY. ENTIRE FORECAST AREA
WILL SEE THE CHANCE OF OCCASIONAL LIGHT SNOW ON SUNDAY AS LOW
PRESSURE MOVES INTO SOUTHERN MAINE BY LATE IN THE DAY. QPF
FORECAST TO BE LIGHT WITH THIS SYSTEM WITH MOST AREAS SEEING ONLY
AN INCH OR TWO OF SNOW THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.

EXPECT LIGHT SNOW TO WIND DOWN SUNDAY EVENING AS LOW PRESSURE
SHIFTS EAST INTO THE MARITIMES. VARIABLE CLOUDINESS WILL LINGER
THROUGH THE NIGHT AND INTO MONDAY AS LOW PRESSURE TROUGH LINGERS
OVER THE AREA. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL
GRADUALLY CLEAR SKIES DOWNWIND OF THE MOUNTAINS MONDAY AFTERNOON.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.
WARM FRONT PASSING THROUGH SOUTHERN QUEBEC WILL BRUSH NORTHERN
ZONES WITH CLOUDS MONDAY NIGHT BUT THE MAJORITY OF ASSOCIATED
PRECIP WILL REMAIN NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA. NET AFFECT WILL BE
A MODERATION IN TEMPS WITH MUCH OF THE AREA SEEING HIGHS AT OR
ABOVE NORMAL WITH MID 30S NORTH TO LOWER 40S SOUTH.

WARM AIR WILL STICK AROUND ON WEDNESDAY AS WEAK LOW PRESSURE
PASSES SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THRU FRI MORNING.
LOCAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN SCT SHSN ACROSS THE NRN
MOUNTAINS LATE THIS AFTERNOON...BEFORE UPSLOPE FLOW WEAKENS.

LONG TERM...VFR FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. AREAS MVFR/IFR
CEILINGS/VSBY SUNDAY. VFR MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...MARGINAL SCA CONDITIONS CONTINUE THRU THU NIGHT.
WINDS GUST 20 TO 25 KNOTS AT TIMES...WITH SEAS REMAINING RIGHT
AROUND 5 FT. A PERIOD OF MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY IS POSSIBLE LATE
THU NIGHT.

LONG TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED SATURDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR
     ANZ150>154.

&&

$$
ES




000
FXUS61 KCAR 050455
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1155 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A SECONDARY ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT.
STRONG CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH LATE FRIDAY
NIGHT AND CROSS THE REGION LATE SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
MIDNIGHT UPDATE...A SOLID LINE OF SNOW SQUALLS EXTENDED FROM
PRESQUE ISLE AND MAPLETON WEST ACROSS ASHLAND AROUND MIDNIGHT.
SNOW SHOWERS ARE MOVING SOUTH AND FORECAST WAS UPDATED TO DETAIL
PROGRESSION OF SNOW SHOWERS SOUTHWARD ACROSS SOUTHEAST AROOSTOOK
COUNTY AND NORTHERN PENOBSCOT COUNTY EARLY IN THE OVERNIGHT
PERIOD.

OTHERWISE...SKIES SHOULD BE MSLY SUNNY...OR BECOMING MSLY SUNNY
THU AS COLDER ARCTIC AIR PREVAILS ACROSS THE REGION. UNDER FAIRLY
BRISK CONDITIONS...HI TEMPS THU WILL MAKE LMTD RECOVERY FROM LOWS
TNGT...AND WILL BE ABOUT 20 DEG F COLDER THAN TDY`S HIGHS. WINDS
SHOULD DIMINISH UNDER CLR SKIES THU EVE AS THE SFC RIDGE AXIS
XTNDS WSW TO ENE ACROSS THE FA...WITH DECENT RADIATIONAL FOR MSLY
BROAD VLY AREAS LATE THU NGT WHILE HIER TRRN HOLDS ON ON TO A LGT
BREEZE. LOWS THU NGT WILL BE QUITE COLD...POTENTIALLY INTO THE
-20S DEG F OVR THE COLDEST NW VLY AREAS WITH SINGLE DIGIT AND
TEENS BELOW ZERO ELSEWHERE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS TO THE REGION
FRIDAY. HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE TEENS NORTH THE LOWER 20S
DOWNEAST. A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FRIDAY NIGHT WITH INCREASING
CLOUDS LATE. LOWS FRIDAY NIGHT WILL BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS
ACROSS THE AREA. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY WITH
THE CHANCE FOR SOME NORTHERN SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS ON SATURDAY WILL
BE CLOSE TO NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN WILL BE FAIRLY ZONAL THROUGH MOST OF THE
LONG TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST. THIS WILL BRING A SERIES OF
SHORT WAVES ACROSS THE REGION DURING THIS PERIOD BUT NO MAJOR
STORMS ARE EXPECTED. TEMPERATURES WILL ACTUALLY BE CLOSE TO
SEASONAL LEVELS AT THE BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD AND THEN RISE TO A
BIT ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: MSLY VFR THRU THU NGT...WITH BRIEF INTERVALS OF MVFR
CLGS AND VSBYS POSSIBLE WITH ISOLD SN SHWRS OVR NRN MOST TAF SITES
LATE THIS EVE INTO THE OVRNGT TNGT.

SHORT TERM: VFR THROUGH MUCH OF THIS PERIOD ALTHOUGH MVFR IS
POSSIBLE AT TIMES IN SCT SNOW SHOWER MAINLY ACROSS THE NORTH.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: SCA WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT LEAST INTO
THU AFTN...SPCLY OVR OUTER MZS050-051. OTHERWISE...WITH COLDER AIR
MOVING BACK OVR THE WATERS...A PD OF MDT FZG SPY IS POSSIBLE THU
NGT. KEPT CLOSE TO WW3 WV HTS...WITH WV HTS THIS EVE RUNNING ABOUT
A FOOT OR TWO ABV GUIDANCE...THEN  TO GUIDANCE BY MID THU MORN.

SHORT TERM: WINDS/SEAS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW SCA LEVELS FRIDAY.
WIND GUSTS COULD APPROACH SCA LEVELS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY.
LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY IS POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...BLOOMER



000
FXUS61 KCAR 050455
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1155 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A SECONDARY ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT.
STRONG CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH LATE FRIDAY
NIGHT AND CROSS THE REGION LATE SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
MIDNIGHT UPDATE...A SOLID LINE OF SNOW SQUALLS EXTENDED FROM
PRESQUE ISLE AND MAPLETON WEST ACROSS ASHLAND AROUND MIDNIGHT.
SNOW SHOWERS ARE MOVING SOUTH AND FORECAST WAS UPDATED TO DETAIL
PROGRESSION OF SNOW SHOWERS SOUTHWARD ACROSS SOUTHEAST AROOSTOOK
COUNTY AND NORTHERN PENOBSCOT COUNTY EARLY IN THE OVERNIGHT
PERIOD.

OTHERWISE...SKIES SHOULD BE MSLY SUNNY...OR BECOMING MSLY SUNNY
THU AS COLDER ARCTIC AIR PREVAILS ACROSS THE REGION. UNDER FAIRLY
BRISK CONDITIONS...HI TEMPS THU WILL MAKE LMTD RECOVERY FROM LOWS
TNGT...AND WILL BE ABOUT 20 DEG F COLDER THAN TDY`S HIGHS. WINDS
SHOULD DIMINISH UNDER CLR SKIES THU EVE AS THE SFC RIDGE AXIS
XTNDS WSW TO ENE ACROSS THE FA...WITH DECENT RADIATIONAL FOR MSLY
BROAD VLY AREAS LATE THU NGT WHILE HIER TRRN HOLDS ON ON TO A LGT
BREEZE. LOWS THU NGT WILL BE QUITE COLD...POTENTIALLY INTO THE
-20S DEG F OVR THE COLDEST NW VLY AREAS WITH SINGLE DIGIT AND
TEENS BELOW ZERO ELSEWHERE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS TO THE REGION
FRIDAY. HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE TEENS NORTH THE LOWER 20S
DOWNEAST. A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FRIDAY NIGHT WITH INCREASING
CLOUDS LATE. LOWS FRIDAY NIGHT WILL BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS
ACROSS THE AREA. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY WITH
THE CHANCE FOR SOME NORTHERN SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS ON SATURDAY WILL
BE CLOSE TO NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN WILL BE FAIRLY ZONAL THROUGH MOST OF THE
LONG TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST. THIS WILL BRING A SERIES OF
SHORT WAVES ACROSS THE REGION DURING THIS PERIOD BUT NO MAJOR
STORMS ARE EXPECTED. TEMPERATURES WILL ACTUALLY BE CLOSE TO
SEASONAL LEVELS AT THE BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD AND THEN RISE TO A
BIT ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: MSLY VFR THRU THU NGT...WITH BRIEF INTERVALS OF MVFR
CLGS AND VSBYS POSSIBLE WITH ISOLD SN SHWRS OVR NRN MOST TAF SITES
LATE THIS EVE INTO THE OVRNGT TNGT.

SHORT TERM: VFR THROUGH MUCH OF THIS PERIOD ALTHOUGH MVFR IS
POSSIBLE AT TIMES IN SCT SNOW SHOWER MAINLY ACROSS THE NORTH.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: SCA WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT LEAST INTO
THU AFTN...SPCLY OVR OUTER MZS050-051. OTHERWISE...WITH COLDER AIR
MOVING BACK OVR THE WATERS...A PD OF MDT FZG SPY IS POSSIBLE THU
NGT. KEPT CLOSE TO WW3 WV HTS...WITH WV HTS THIS EVE RUNNING ABOUT
A FOOT OR TWO ABV GUIDANCE...THEN  TO GUIDANCE BY MID THU MORN.

SHORT TERM: WINDS/SEAS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW SCA LEVELS FRIDAY.
WIND GUSTS COULD APPROACH SCA LEVELS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY.
LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY IS POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...BLOOMER




000
FXUS61 KCAR 050357
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1057 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A SECONDARY ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT.
STRONG CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH LATE FRIDAY
NIGHT AND CROSS THE REGION LATE SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
1145 PM UPDATE: THE ARCTIC FRONT WAS MOVING INTO NORTHERN MAINE
W/SOME SNOW SHOWERS AND SQUALLS SETTING UP ACROSS NW AND NE
AROOSTOOK COUNTY. ANOTHER AREA WAS SHOWING UP ACROSS NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL PISCATAQUIS COUNTY. KEPT THE POPS 30-40% THROUGH THE
OVERNIGHT W/THE MAINE LINE ACROSS FAR NORTHERN MAINE BREAKING UP
AS IT DROPS SE. A QUICK 1/2 OF SNOW W/GUST TO 30 MPH IS POSSIBLE
W/THIS ACTIVITY. RAISED OVERNIGHT TEMPS A FEW DEGREES ESPECIALLY
ACROSS THE NORTH AND WEST GIVEN CLOUD COVER AND WINDS HANGING ON
FOR A TIME.

OTHERWISE...SKIES SHOULD BE MSLY SUNNY...OR BECOMING MSLY SUNNY
THU AS COLDER ARCTIC AIR PREVAILS ACROSS THE REGION. UNDER FAIRLY
BRISK CONDITIONS...HI TEMPS THU WILL MAKE LMTD RECOVERY FROM LOWS
TNGT...AND WILL BE ABOUT 20 DEG F COLDER THAN TDY`S HIGHS. WINDS
SHOULD DIMINISH UNDER CLR SKIES THU EVE AS THE SFC RIDGE AXIS
XTNDS WSW TO ENE ACROSS THE FA...WITH DECENT RADIATIONAL FOR MSLY
BROAD VLY AREAS LATE THU NGT WHILE HIER TRRN HOLDS ON ON TO A LGT
BREEZE. LOWS THU NGT WILL BE QUITE COLD...POTENTIALLY INTO THE
-20S DEG F OVR THE COLDEST NW VLY AREAS WITH SINGLE DIGIT AND
TEENS BELOW ZERO ELSEWHERE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS TO THE REGION
FRIDAY. HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE TEENS NORTH THE LOWER 20S
DOWNEAST. A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FRIDAY NIGHT WITH INCREASING
CLOUDS LATE. LOWS FRIDAY NIGHT WILL BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS
ACROSS THE AREA. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY WITH
THE CHANCE FOR SOME NORTHERN SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS ON SATURDAY WILL
BE CLOSE TO NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN WILL BE FAIRLY ZONAL THROUGH MOST OF THE
LONG TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST. THIS WILL BRING A SERIES OF
SHORT WAVES ACROSS THE REGION DURING THIS PERIOD BUT NO MAJOR
STORMS ARE EXPECTED. TEMPERATURES WILL ACTUALLY BE CLOSE TO
SEASONAL LEVELS AT THE BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD AND THEN RISE TO A
BIT ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /04Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: MSLY VFR THRU THU NGT...WITH BRIEF INTERVALS OF MVFR
CLGS AND VSBYS POSSIBLE WITH ISOLD SN SHWRS OVR NRN MOST TAF SITES
LATE THIS EVE INTO THE OVRNGT TNGT.

SHORT TERM: VFR THROUGH MUCH OF THIS PERIOD ALTHOUGH MVFR IS
POSSIBLE AT TIMES IN SCT SNOW SHOWER MAINLY ACROSS THE NORTH.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: SCA WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT LEAST INTO
THU AFTN...SPCLY OVR OUTER MZS050-051. OTHERWISE...WITH COLDER AIR
MOVING BACK OVR THE WATERS...A PD OF MDT FZG SPY IS POSSIBLE THU
NGT. KEPT CLOSE TO WW3 WV HTS...WITH WV HTS THIS EVE RUNNING ABOUT
A FOOT OR TWO ABV GUIDANCE...THEN  TO GUIDANCE BY MID THU MORN.

SHORT TERM: WINDS/SEAS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW SCA LEVELS FRIDAY.
WIND GUSTS COULD APPROACH SCA LEVELS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY.
LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY IS POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...HEWITT



000
FXUS61 KCAR 050357
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1057 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A SECONDARY ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT.
STRONG CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH LATE FRIDAY
NIGHT AND CROSS THE REGION LATE SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
1145 PM UPDATE: THE ARCTIC FRONT WAS MOVING INTO NORTHERN MAINE
W/SOME SNOW SHOWERS AND SQUALLS SETTING UP ACROSS NW AND NE
AROOSTOOK COUNTY. ANOTHER AREA WAS SHOWING UP ACROSS NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL PISCATAQUIS COUNTY. KEPT THE POPS 30-40% THROUGH THE
OVERNIGHT W/THE MAINE LINE ACROSS FAR NORTHERN MAINE BREAKING UP
AS IT DROPS SE. A QUICK 1/2 OF SNOW W/GUST TO 30 MPH IS POSSIBLE
W/THIS ACTIVITY. RAISED OVERNIGHT TEMPS A FEW DEGREES ESPECIALLY
ACROSS THE NORTH AND WEST GIVEN CLOUD COVER AND WINDS HANGING ON
FOR A TIME.

OTHERWISE...SKIES SHOULD BE MSLY SUNNY...OR BECOMING MSLY SUNNY
THU AS COLDER ARCTIC AIR PREVAILS ACROSS THE REGION. UNDER FAIRLY
BRISK CONDITIONS...HI TEMPS THU WILL MAKE LMTD RECOVERY FROM LOWS
TNGT...AND WILL BE ABOUT 20 DEG F COLDER THAN TDY`S HIGHS. WINDS
SHOULD DIMINISH UNDER CLR SKIES THU EVE AS THE SFC RIDGE AXIS
XTNDS WSW TO ENE ACROSS THE FA...WITH DECENT RADIATIONAL FOR MSLY
BROAD VLY AREAS LATE THU NGT WHILE HIER TRRN HOLDS ON ON TO A LGT
BREEZE. LOWS THU NGT WILL BE QUITE COLD...POTENTIALLY INTO THE
-20S DEG F OVR THE COLDEST NW VLY AREAS WITH SINGLE DIGIT AND
TEENS BELOW ZERO ELSEWHERE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS TO THE REGION
FRIDAY. HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE TEENS NORTH THE LOWER 20S
DOWNEAST. A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FRIDAY NIGHT WITH INCREASING
CLOUDS LATE. LOWS FRIDAY NIGHT WILL BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS
ACROSS THE AREA. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY WITH
THE CHANCE FOR SOME NORTHERN SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS ON SATURDAY WILL
BE CLOSE TO NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN WILL BE FAIRLY ZONAL THROUGH MOST OF THE
LONG TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST. THIS WILL BRING A SERIES OF
SHORT WAVES ACROSS THE REGION DURING THIS PERIOD BUT NO MAJOR
STORMS ARE EXPECTED. TEMPERATURES WILL ACTUALLY BE CLOSE TO
SEASONAL LEVELS AT THE BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD AND THEN RISE TO A
BIT ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /04Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: MSLY VFR THRU THU NGT...WITH BRIEF INTERVALS OF MVFR
CLGS AND VSBYS POSSIBLE WITH ISOLD SN SHWRS OVR NRN MOST TAF SITES
LATE THIS EVE INTO THE OVRNGT TNGT.

SHORT TERM: VFR THROUGH MUCH OF THIS PERIOD ALTHOUGH MVFR IS
POSSIBLE AT TIMES IN SCT SNOW SHOWER MAINLY ACROSS THE NORTH.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: SCA WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT LEAST INTO
THU AFTN...SPCLY OVR OUTER MZS050-051. OTHERWISE...WITH COLDER AIR
MOVING BACK OVR THE WATERS...A PD OF MDT FZG SPY IS POSSIBLE THU
NGT. KEPT CLOSE TO WW3 WV HTS...WITH WV HTS THIS EVE RUNNING ABOUT
A FOOT OR TWO ABV GUIDANCE...THEN  TO GUIDANCE BY MID THU MORN.

SHORT TERM: WINDS/SEAS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW SCA LEVELS FRIDAY.
WIND GUSTS COULD APPROACH SCA LEVELS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY.
LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY IS POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...HEWITT




000
FXUS61 KCAR 050357
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1057 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A SECONDARY ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT.
STRONG CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH LATE FRIDAY
NIGHT AND CROSS THE REGION LATE SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
1145 PM UPDATE: THE ARCTIC FRONT WAS MOVING INTO NORTHERN MAINE
W/SOME SNOW SHOWERS AND SQUALLS SETTING UP ACROSS NW AND NE
AROOSTOOK COUNTY. ANOTHER AREA WAS SHOWING UP ACROSS NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL PISCATAQUIS COUNTY. KEPT THE POPS 30-40% THROUGH THE
OVERNIGHT W/THE MAINE LINE ACROSS FAR NORTHERN MAINE BREAKING UP
AS IT DROPS SE. A QUICK 1/2 OF SNOW W/GUST TO 30 MPH IS POSSIBLE
W/THIS ACTIVITY. RAISED OVERNIGHT TEMPS A FEW DEGREES ESPECIALLY
ACROSS THE NORTH AND WEST GIVEN CLOUD COVER AND WINDS HANGING ON
FOR A TIME.

OTHERWISE...SKIES SHOULD BE MSLY SUNNY...OR BECOMING MSLY SUNNY
THU AS COLDER ARCTIC AIR PREVAILS ACROSS THE REGION. UNDER FAIRLY
BRISK CONDITIONS...HI TEMPS THU WILL MAKE LMTD RECOVERY FROM LOWS
TNGT...AND WILL BE ABOUT 20 DEG F COLDER THAN TDY`S HIGHS. WINDS
SHOULD DIMINISH UNDER CLR SKIES THU EVE AS THE SFC RIDGE AXIS
XTNDS WSW TO ENE ACROSS THE FA...WITH DECENT RADIATIONAL FOR MSLY
BROAD VLY AREAS LATE THU NGT WHILE HIER TRRN HOLDS ON ON TO A LGT
BREEZE. LOWS THU NGT WILL BE QUITE COLD...POTENTIALLY INTO THE
-20S DEG F OVR THE COLDEST NW VLY AREAS WITH SINGLE DIGIT AND
TEENS BELOW ZERO ELSEWHERE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS TO THE REGION
FRIDAY. HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE TEENS NORTH THE LOWER 20S
DOWNEAST. A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FRIDAY NIGHT WITH INCREASING
CLOUDS LATE. LOWS FRIDAY NIGHT WILL BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS
ACROSS THE AREA. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY WITH
THE CHANCE FOR SOME NORTHERN SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS ON SATURDAY WILL
BE CLOSE TO NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN WILL BE FAIRLY ZONAL THROUGH MOST OF THE
LONG TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST. THIS WILL BRING A SERIES OF
SHORT WAVES ACROSS THE REGION DURING THIS PERIOD BUT NO MAJOR
STORMS ARE EXPECTED. TEMPERATURES WILL ACTUALLY BE CLOSE TO
SEASONAL LEVELS AT THE BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD AND THEN RISE TO A
BIT ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /04Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: MSLY VFR THRU THU NGT...WITH BRIEF INTERVALS OF MVFR
CLGS AND VSBYS POSSIBLE WITH ISOLD SN SHWRS OVR NRN MOST TAF SITES
LATE THIS EVE INTO THE OVRNGT TNGT.

SHORT TERM: VFR THROUGH MUCH OF THIS PERIOD ALTHOUGH MVFR IS
POSSIBLE AT TIMES IN SCT SNOW SHOWER MAINLY ACROSS THE NORTH.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: SCA WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT LEAST INTO
THU AFTN...SPCLY OVR OUTER MZS050-051. OTHERWISE...WITH COLDER AIR
MOVING BACK OVR THE WATERS...A PD OF MDT FZG SPY IS POSSIBLE THU
NGT. KEPT CLOSE TO WW3 WV HTS...WITH WV HTS THIS EVE RUNNING ABOUT
A FOOT OR TWO ABV GUIDANCE...THEN  TO GUIDANCE BY MID THU MORN.

SHORT TERM: WINDS/SEAS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW SCA LEVELS FRIDAY.
WIND GUSTS COULD APPROACH SCA LEVELS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY.
LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY IS POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...HEWITT



000
FXUS61 KGYX 050250 AAC
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
950 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST TONIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY AND WILL CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A COLD
FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL CROSS THE
AREA ON SATURDAY. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST
SATURDAY NIGHT AND WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION MONDAY AND WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
.UPDATE...
NO MAJOR CHANGES FOR THIS UPDATE... PRECIPITATION STAYING TO OUR
SOUTH WITH JUST THE LIGHTEST ECHOES ENCROACHING ON SOUTHERN NH.
MESO MODELS STILL SHOWING THIS SAGGING SOUTH THE NEXT FEW HOURS SO
THINK MINIMAL CHANCE OF POPS LOOKS GOOD.

&&

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO DROP AFTER A RELATIVELY WARM DAY. SOME
LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS FALLING SOUTH OF NH AND THESE WILL WORK THEIR
WAY TOWARDS NH AND SW MAINE OVERNIGHT AS BAROCLINIC ZONE PUSHES
NORTH. HOWEVER MESO MODELS STILL SHOWING IT FALL JUST SHORT OF
ACCUMULATING PRECIPITATION OVER THE FORECAST AREA BEFORE THE
BOUNDARY DRIFTS BACK SOUTH AROUND DAYBREAK. HAVE MAINTAINED POPS
ACROSS FAR NORTH WITH THE APPROACH OF A COLD FRONT...OTHERWISE
ADJUSTED SKY... TEMPERATURES... AND DEW POINTS FOR CURRENT TRENDS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
A SERIES OF WAVES WILL RIPPLE ALONG THE SLOWLY ADVANCING COLD
FRONT THRU THU NIGHT. THE FIRST OF WHICH...CURRENTLY OVER THE MID
MS RIVER VALLEY...ARRIVES EARLY THU. HAVE MAINTAINED SOME SCHC POP
IN SRN NH ALONG THE MA BORDER. I REALLY DON/T EXPECT MUCH MORE
THAN SHSN ALONG THE BORDER IF PRECIP DOES FALL. THE SECOND WAVE
ARRIVES LATE THU EVENING...AND SHOULD BE EVEN FARTHER S THAN THE
FIRST.

HIGH PRES BEGINS TO ASSERT MORE CONTROL OVER THE REGION...AND
SKIES WILL QUICKLY CLEAR FROM N TO S. WITH SURFACE RIDGE AXIS
ALIGNED OVERHEAD...EXPECT BOUNDARY LAYER TO DECOUPLE AND THE
TYPICAL COLD SPOTS TO FALL WELL BELOW ZERO. SIDED WITH THE COLDER
MAV/MET GUIDANCE.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
PRETTY QUIET EXTENDED FORECAST THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK....
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY BEFORE
SHIFTING OFFSHORE. DESPITE A FAIR AMOUNT OF SUNSHINE
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO AVERAGE WELL BELOW NORMAL
WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TEENS NORTH AND LOWER TO MID 20S SOUTH.

COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT BRINGING
INCREASING CLOUDS AND A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN IN NORTHERN
ZONES AFTER MIDNIGHT. FRONT WILL TAKE ALL DAY SATURDAY TO PUSH
THROUGH THE REGION. WILL LIKELY INCLUDE LOW CHANCE POPS FOR MOST
OF THE FORECAST AREA BUT EXPECT ANY SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY TO BE LIGHT
AND SPOTTY WITH THIS MOISTURE STARVED SYSTEM. HIGHS ON SATURDAY WILL
REACH THE MID 20S TO MID 30S.

SKIES CLEAR BRIEFLY SATURDAY EVENING AS THE FRONT PUSHES OFFSHORE...
BUT CLOUDS WILL AGAIN BE ON THE INCREASE AFTER MIDNIGHT AS WEAK
CLIPPER APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. WILL SEE A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS TOWARD DAYBREAK IN SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE BUT ONCE AGAIN
EXPECT ANY AMOUNTS TO BE LIGHT AND SPOTTY. ENTIRE FORECAST AREA
WILL SEE THE CHANCE OF OCCASIONAL LIGHT SNOW ON SUNDAY AS LOW
PRESSURE MOVES INTO SOUTHERN MAINE BY LATE IN THE DAY. QPF
FORECAST TO BE LIGHT WITH THIS SYSTEM WITH MOST AREAS SEEING ONLY
AN INCH OR TWO OF SNOW THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.

EXPECT LIGHT SNOW TO WIND DOWN SUNDAY EVENING AS LOW PRESSURE
SHIFTS EAST INTO THE MARITIMES. VARIABLE CLOUDINESS WILL LINGER
THROUGH THE NIGHT AND INTO MONDAY AS LOW PRESSURE TROUGH LINGERS
OVER THE AREA. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL
GRADUALLY CLEAR SKIES DOWNWIND OF THE MOUNTAINS MONDAY AFTERNOON.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.
WARM FRONT PASSING THROUGH SOUTHERN QUEBEC WILL BRUSH NORTHERN
ZONES WITH CLOUDS MONDAY NIGHT BUT THE MAJORITY OF ASSOCIATED
PRECIP WILL REMAIN NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA. NET AFFECT WILL BE
A MODERATION IN TEMPS WITH MUCH OF THE AREA SEEING HIGHS AT OR
ABOVE NORMAL WITH MID 30S NORTH TO LOWER 40S SOUTH.

WARM AIR WILL STICK AROUND ON WEDNESDAY AS WEAK LOW PRESSURE
PASSES SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND.

&&

.AVIATION /03Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THRU FRI MORNING.
LOCAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN SCT SHSN ACROSS THE NRN
MOUNTAINS LATE THIS AFTERNOON...BEFORE UPSLOPE FLOW WEAKENS.

LONG TERM...VFR FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. AREAS MVFR/IFR
CEILINGS/VSBY SUNDAY. VFR MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...MARGINAL SCA CONDITIONS CONTINUE THRU THU NIGHT.
WINDS GUST 20 TO 25 KNOTS AT TIMES...WITH SEAS REMAINING RIGHT
AROUND 5 FT. A PERIOD OF MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY IS POSSIBLE LATE
THU NIGHT.

LONG TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED SATURDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$

UPDATE...HANES



000
FXUS61 KGYX 050250 AAC
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
950 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST TONIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY AND WILL CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A COLD
FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL CROSS THE
AREA ON SATURDAY. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST
SATURDAY NIGHT AND WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION MONDAY AND WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
.UPDATE...
NO MAJOR CHANGES FOR THIS UPDATE... PRECIPITATION STAYING TO OUR
SOUTH WITH JUST THE LIGHTEST ECHOES ENCROACHING ON SOUTHERN NH.
MESO MODELS STILL SHOWING THIS SAGGING SOUTH THE NEXT FEW HOURS SO
THINK MINIMAL CHANCE OF POPS LOOKS GOOD.

&&

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO DROP AFTER A RELATIVELY WARM DAY. SOME
LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS FALLING SOUTH OF NH AND THESE WILL WORK THEIR
WAY TOWARDS NH AND SW MAINE OVERNIGHT AS BAROCLINIC ZONE PUSHES
NORTH. HOWEVER MESO MODELS STILL SHOWING IT FALL JUST SHORT OF
ACCUMULATING PRECIPITATION OVER THE FORECAST AREA BEFORE THE
BOUNDARY DRIFTS BACK SOUTH AROUND DAYBREAK. HAVE MAINTAINED POPS
ACROSS FAR NORTH WITH THE APPROACH OF A COLD FRONT...OTHERWISE
ADJUSTED SKY... TEMPERATURES... AND DEW POINTS FOR CURRENT TRENDS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
A SERIES OF WAVES WILL RIPPLE ALONG THE SLOWLY ADVANCING COLD
FRONT THRU THU NIGHT. THE FIRST OF WHICH...CURRENTLY OVER THE MID
MS RIVER VALLEY...ARRIVES EARLY THU. HAVE MAINTAINED SOME SCHC POP
IN SRN NH ALONG THE MA BORDER. I REALLY DON/T EXPECT MUCH MORE
THAN SHSN ALONG THE BORDER IF PRECIP DOES FALL. THE SECOND WAVE
ARRIVES LATE THU EVENING...AND SHOULD BE EVEN FARTHER S THAN THE
FIRST.

HIGH PRES BEGINS TO ASSERT MORE CONTROL OVER THE REGION...AND
SKIES WILL QUICKLY CLEAR FROM N TO S. WITH SURFACE RIDGE AXIS
ALIGNED OVERHEAD...EXPECT BOUNDARY LAYER TO DECOUPLE AND THE
TYPICAL COLD SPOTS TO FALL WELL BELOW ZERO. SIDED WITH THE COLDER
MAV/MET GUIDANCE.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
PRETTY QUIET EXTENDED FORECAST THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK....
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY BEFORE
SHIFTING OFFSHORE. DESPITE A FAIR AMOUNT OF SUNSHINE
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO AVERAGE WELL BELOW NORMAL
WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TEENS NORTH AND LOWER TO MID 20S SOUTH.

COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT BRINGING
INCREASING CLOUDS AND A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN IN NORTHERN
ZONES AFTER MIDNIGHT. FRONT WILL TAKE ALL DAY SATURDAY TO PUSH
THROUGH THE REGION. WILL LIKELY INCLUDE LOW CHANCE POPS FOR MOST
OF THE FORECAST AREA BUT EXPECT ANY SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY TO BE LIGHT
AND SPOTTY WITH THIS MOISTURE STARVED SYSTEM. HIGHS ON SATURDAY WILL
REACH THE MID 20S TO MID 30S.

SKIES CLEAR BRIEFLY SATURDAY EVENING AS THE FRONT PUSHES OFFSHORE...
BUT CLOUDS WILL AGAIN BE ON THE INCREASE AFTER MIDNIGHT AS WEAK
CLIPPER APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. WILL SEE A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS TOWARD DAYBREAK IN SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE BUT ONCE AGAIN
EXPECT ANY AMOUNTS TO BE LIGHT AND SPOTTY. ENTIRE FORECAST AREA
WILL SEE THE CHANCE OF OCCASIONAL LIGHT SNOW ON SUNDAY AS LOW
PRESSURE MOVES INTO SOUTHERN MAINE BY LATE IN THE DAY. QPF
FORECAST TO BE LIGHT WITH THIS SYSTEM WITH MOST AREAS SEEING ONLY
AN INCH OR TWO OF SNOW THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.

EXPECT LIGHT SNOW TO WIND DOWN SUNDAY EVENING AS LOW PRESSURE
SHIFTS EAST INTO THE MARITIMES. VARIABLE CLOUDINESS WILL LINGER
THROUGH THE NIGHT AND INTO MONDAY AS LOW PRESSURE TROUGH LINGERS
OVER THE AREA. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL
GRADUALLY CLEAR SKIES DOWNWIND OF THE MOUNTAINS MONDAY AFTERNOON.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.
WARM FRONT PASSING THROUGH SOUTHERN QUEBEC WILL BRUSH NORTHERN
ZONES WITH CLOUDS MONDAY NIGHT BUT THE MAJORITY OF ASSOCIATED
PRECIP WILL REMAIN NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA. NET AFFECT WILL BE
A MODERATION IN TEMPS WITH MUCH OF THE AREA SEEING HIGHS AT OR
ABOVE NORMAL WITH MID 30S NORTH TO LOWER 40S SOUTH.

WARM AIR WILL STICK AROUND ON WEDNESDAY AS WEAK LOW PRESSURE
PASSES SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND.

&&

.AVIATION /03Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THRU FRI MORNING.
LOCAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN SCT SHSN ACROSS THE NRN
MOUNTAINS LATE THIS AFTERNOON...BEFORE UPSLOPE FLOW WEAKENS.

LONG TERM...VFR FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. AREAS MVFR/IFR
CEILINGS/VSBY SUNDAY. VFR MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...MARGINAL SCA CONDITIONS CONTINUE THRU THU NIGHT.
WINDS GUST 20 TO 25 KNOTS AT TIMES...WITH SEAS REMAINING RIGHT
AROUND 5 FT. A PERIOD OF MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY IS POSSIBLE LATE
THU NIGHT.

LONG TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED SATURDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$

UPDATE...HANES




000
FXUS61 KCAR 050042
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
742 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A SECONDARY ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT.
STRONG CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH LATE FRIDAY
NIGHT AND CROSS THE REGION LATE SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
730 PM UPDATE: SECOND ARCTIC FRONT IS SCHEDULED TO MOVE ACROSS
THE REGION OVERNIGHT. THIS FRONT WAS ACROSS QUEBEC ATTM AND MOVING
S. A LINE OF SNOW SHOWERS/SQUALLS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS
NORTHERN MAINE AROUND MIDNIGHT AND THEN SLIDE SE AND BREAK UP.
INCREASED THE POPS TO 40% ACROSS FAR NORTHERN MAINE(THE CROWN) AND
ADDED UP TO 0.5" OF FLUFFY SNOWFALL W/THIS LINE. TEMPERATURES WERE
ADJUSTED TO MATCH THE LATEST OBS.

COLDER AIR WILL BE MOVING INTO THE FA OVRNGT IN TWO SUCCESSIVE
WVS...THE FIRST MID TO LATE EVE...AND A SECOND ARND DAYBREAK. THE
FIRST COULD BE ACCOMPANIED BY SOME CLDNSS AND SN SHWRS WITH A
COUPLE OF ST LAWRENCE STREAMERS BEING IMPLIED FOR NRN ME BY THE
LATEST HRRR HRLY SIM RADAR FCST GOING INTO THE OVRNGT. ANY
ORGANIZATION OF SN SHWR STREAMERS SHOULD WEAKEN LATE TNGT AS LLVL
LAPSE RATES DECREASE. JUST S OF THE FA...PRECIP WITH A SECOND WV
OF LOW PRES MOVG ENE OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST SHOULD REMAIN JUST
S OF DOWNEAST COAST LATER TNGT INTO THU MORNING...WITH NRN EDGE OF
THE HI CLD SHIELD REACHING NWRD INTO INTERIOR DOWNEAST ME.

OTHERWISE...SKIES SHOULD BE MSLY SUNNY...OR BECOMING MSLY SUNNY
THU AS COLDER ARCTIC AIR PREVAILS ACROSS THE REGION. UNDER FAIRLY
BRISK CONDITIONS...HI TEMPS THU WILL MAKE LMTD RECOVERY FROM LOWS
TNGT...AND WILL BE ABOUT 20 DEG F COLDER THAN TDY`S HIGHS. WINDS
SHOULD DIMINISH UNDER CLR SKIES THU EVE AS THE SFC RIDGE AXIS
XTNDS WSW TO ENE ACROSS THE FA...WITH DECENT RADIATIONAL FOR MSLY
BROAD VLY AREAS LATE THU NGT WHILE HIER TRRN HOLDS ON ON TO A LGT
BREEZE. LOWS THU NGT WILL BE QUITE COLD...POTENTIALLY INTO THE
-20S DEG F OVR THE COLDEST NW VLY AREAS WITH SINGLE DIGIT AND
TEENS BELOW ZERO ELSEWHERE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS TO THE REGION
FRIDAY. HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE TEENS NORTH THE LOWER 20S
DOWNEAST. A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FRIDAY NIGHT WITH INCREASING
CLOUDS LATE. LOWS FRIDAY NIGHT WILL BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS
ACROSS THE AREA. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY WITH
THE CHANCE FOR SOME NORTHERN SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS ON SATURDAY WILL
BE CLOSE TO NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN WILL BE FAIRLY ZONAL THROUGH MOST OF THE
LONG TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST. THIS WILL BRING A SERIES OF
SHORT WAVES ACROSS THE REGION DURING THIS PERIOD BUT NO MAJOR
STORMS ARE EXPECTED. TEMPERATURES WILL ACTUALLY BE CLOSE TO
SEASONAL LEVELS AT THE BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD AND THEN RISE TO A
BIT ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: MSLY VFR THRU THU NGT...WITH BRIEF INTERVALS OF MVFR
CLGS AND VSBYS POSSIBLE WITH ISOLD SN SHWRS OVR NRN MOST TAF SITES
LATE THIS EVE INTO THE OVRNGT TNGT.

SHORT TERM: VFR THROUGH MUCH OF THIS PERIOD ALTHOUGH MVFR IS
POSSIBLE AT TIMES IN SCT SNOW SHOWER MAINLY ACROSS THE NORTH.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: SCA WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT LEAST INTO
THU AFTN...SPCLY OVR OUTER MZS050-051. OTHERWISE...WITH COLDER AIR
MOVING BACK OVR THE WATERS...A PD OF MDT FZG SPY IS POSSIBLE THU
NGT. KEPT CLOSE TO WW3 WV HTS...WITH WV HTS THIS EVE RUNNING ABOUT
A FOOT OR TWO ABV GUIDANCE...THEN  TO GUIDANCE BY MID THU MORN.

SHORT TERM: WINDS/SEAS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW SCA LEVELS FRIDAY.
WIND GUSTS COULD APPROACH SCA LEVELS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY.
LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY IS POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...HEWITT/VJN
SHORT TERM...DUDA
LONG TERM...DUDA
AVIATION...HEWITT/VJN/DUDA
MARINE...HEWITT/VJN/DUDA



000
FXUS61 KCAR 050042
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
742 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A SECONDARY ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT.
STRONG CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH LATE FRIDAY
NIGHT AND CROSS THE REGION LATE SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
730 PM UPDATE: SECOND ARCTIC FRONT IS SCHEDULED TO MOVE ACROSS
THE REGION OVERNIGHT. THIS FRONT WAS ACROSS QUEBEC ATTM AND MOVING
S. A LINE OF SNOW SHOWERS/SQUALLS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS
NORTHERN MAINE AROUND MIDNIGHT AND THEN SLIDE SE AND BREAK UP.
INCREASED THE POPS TO 40% ACROSS FAR NORTHERN MAINE(THE CROWN) AND
ADDED UP TO 0.5" OF FLUFFY SNOWFALL W/THIS LINE. TEMPERATURES WERE
ADJUSTED TO MATCH THE LATEST OBS.

COLDER AIR WILL BE MOVING INTO THE FA OVRNGT IN TWO SUCCESSIVE
WVS...THE FIRST MID TO LATE EVE...AND A SECOND ARND DAYBREAK. THE
FIRST COULD BE ACCOMPANIED BY SOME CLDNSS AND SN SHWRS WITH A
COUPLE OF ST LAWRENCE STREAMERS BEING IMPLIED FOR NRN ME BY THE
LATEST HRRR HRLY SIM RADAR FCST GOING INTO THE OVRNGT. ANY
ORGANIZATION OF SN SHWR STREAMERS SHOULD WEAKEN LATE TNGT AS LLVL
LAPSE RATES DECREASE. JUST S OF THE FA...PRECIP WITH A SECOND WV
OF LOW PRES MOVG ENE OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST SHOULD REMAIN JUST
S OF DOWNEAST COAST LATER TNGT INTO THU MORNING...WITH NRN EDGE OF
THE HI CLD SHIELD REACHING NWRD INTO INTERIOR DOWNEAST ME.

OTHERWISE...SKIES SHOULD BE MSLY SUNNY...OR BECOMING MSLY SUNNY
THU AS COLDER ARCTIC AIR PREVAILS ACROSS THE REGION. UNDER FAIRLY
BRISK CONDITIONS...HI TEMPS THU WILL MAKE LMTD RECOVERY FROM LOWS
TNGT...AND WILL BE ABOUT 20 DEG F COLDER THAN TDY`S HIGHS. WINDS
SHOULD DIMINISH UNDER CLR SKIES THU EVE AS THE SFC RIDGE AXIS
XTNDS WSW TO ENE ACROSS THE FA...WITH DECENT RADIATIONAL FOR MSLY
BROAD VLY AREAS LATE THU NGT WHILE HIER TRRN HOLDS ON ON TO A LGT
BREEZE. LOWS THU NGT WILL BE QUITE COLD...POTENTIALLY INTO THE
-20S DEG F OVR THE COLDEST NW VLY AREAS WITH SINGLE DIGIT AND
TEENS BELOW ZERO ELSEWHERE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS TO THE REGION
FRIDAY. HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE TEENS NORTH THE LOWER 20S
DOWNEAST. A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FRIDAY NIGHT WITH INCREASING
CLOUDS LATE. LOWS FRIDAY NIGHT WILL BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS
ACROSS THE AREA. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY WITH
THE CHANCE FOR SOME NORTHERN SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS ON SATURDAY WILL
BE CLOSE TO NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN WILL BE FAIRLY ZONAL THROUGH MOST OF THE
LONG TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST. THIS WILL BRING A SERIES OF
SHORT WAVES ACROSS THE REGION DURING THIS PERIOD BUT NO MAJOR
STORMS ARE EXPECTED. TEMPERATURES WILL ACTUALLY BE CLOSE TO
SEASONAL LEVELS AT THE BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD AND THEN RISE TO A
BIT ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: MSLY VFR THRU THU NGT...WITH BRIEF INTERVALS OF MVFR
CLGS AND VSBYS POSSIBLE WITH ISOLD SN SHWRS OVR NRN MOST TAF SITES
LATE THIS EVE INTO THE OVRNGT TNGT.

SHORT TERM: VFR THROUGH MUCH OF THIS PERIOD ALTHOUGH MVFR IS
POSSIBLE AT TIMES IN SCT SNOW SHOWER MAINLY ACROSS THE NORTH.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: SCA WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT LEAST INTO
THU AFTN...SPCLY OVR OUTER MZS050-051. OTHERWISE...WITH COLDER AIR
MOVING BACK OVR THE WATERS...A PD OF MDT FZG SPY IS POSSIBLE THU
NGT. KEPT CLOSE TO WW3 WV HTS...WITH WV HTS THIS EVE RUNNING ABOUT
A FOOT OR TWO ABV GUIDANCE...THEN  TO GUIDANCE BY MID THU MORN.

SHORT TERM: WINDS/SEAS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW SCA LEVELS FRIDAY.
WIND GUSTS COULD APPROACH SCA LEVELS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY.
LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY IS POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...HEWITT/VJN
SHORT TERM...DUDA
LONG TERM...DUDA
AVIATION...HEWITT/VJN/DUDA
MARINE...HEWITT/VJN/DUDA



000
FXUS61 KCAR 050042
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
742 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A SECONDARY ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT.
STRONG CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH LATE FRIDAY
NIGHT AND CROSS THE REGION LATE SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
730 PM UPDATE: SECOND ARCTIC FRONT IS SCHEDULED TO MOVE ACROSS
THE REGION OVERNIGHT. THIS FRONT WAS ACROSS QUEBEC ATTM AND MOVING
S. A LINE OF SNOW SHOWERS/SQUALLS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS
NORTHERN MAINE AROUND MIDNIGHT AND THEN SLIDE SE AND BREAK UP.
INCREASED THE POPS TO 40% ACROSS FAR NORTHERN MAINE(THE CROWN) AND
ADDED UP TO 0.5" OF FLUFFY SNOWFALL W/THIS LINE. TEMPERATURES WERE
ADJUSTED TO MATCH THE LATEST OBS.

COLDER AIR WILL BE MOVING INTO THE FA OVRNGT IN TWO SUCCESSIVE
WVS...THE FIRST MID TO LATE EVE...AND A SECOND ARND DAYBREAK. THE
FIRST COULD BE ACCOMPANIED BY SOME CLDNSS AND SN SHWRS WITH A
COUPLE OF ST LAWRENCE STREAMERS BEING IMPLIED FOR NRN ME BY THE
LATEST HRRR HRLY SIM RADAR FCST GOING INTO THE OVRNGT. ANY
ORGANIZATION OF SN SHWR STREAMERS SHOULD WEAKEN LATE TNGT AS LLVL
LAPSE RATES DECREASE. JUST S OF THE FA...PRECIP WITH A SECOND WV
OF LOW PRES MOVG ENE OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST SHOULD REMAIN JUST
S OF DOWNEAST COAST LATER TNGT INTO THU MORNING...WITH NRN EDGE OF
THE HI CLD SHIELD REACHING NWRD INTO INTERIOR DOWNEAST ME.

OTHERWISE...SKIES SHOULD BE MSLY SUNNY...OR BECOMING MSLY SUNNY
THU AS COLDER ARCTIC AIR PREVAILS ACROSS THE REGION. UNDER FAIRLY
BRISK CONDITIONS...HI TEMPS THU WILL MAKE LMTD RECOVERY FROM LOWS
TNGT...AND WILL BE ABOUT 20 DEG F COLDER THAN TDY`S HIGHS. WINDS
SHOULD DIMINISH UNDER CLR SKIES THU EVE AS THE SFC RIDGE AXIS
XTNDS WSW TO ENE ACROSS THE FA...WITH DECENT RADIATIONAL FOR MSLY
BROAD VLY AREAS LATE THU NGT WHILE HIER TRRN HOLDS ON ON TO A LGT
BREEZE. LOWS THU NGT WILL BE QUITE COLD...POTENTIALLY INTO THE
-20S DEG F OVR THE COLDEST NW VLY AREAS WITH SINGLE DIGIT AND
TEENS BELOW ZERO ELSEWHERE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS TO THE REGION
FRIDAY. HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE TEENS NORTH THE LOWER 20S
DOWNEAST. A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FRIDAY NIGHT WITH INCREASING
CLOUDS LATE. LOWS FRIDAY NIGHT WILL BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS
ACROSS THE AREA. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY WITH
THE CHANCE FOR SOME NORTHERN SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS ON SATURDAY WILL
BE CLOSE TO NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN WILL BE FAIRLY ZONAL THROUGH MOST OF THE
LONG TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST. THIS WILL BRING A SERIES OF
SHORT WAVES ACROSS THE REGION DURING THIS PERIOD BUT NO MAJOR
STORMS ARE EXPECTED. TEMPERATURES WILL ACTUALLY BE CLOSE TO
SEASONAL LEVELS AT THE BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD AND THEN RISE TO A
BIT ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: MSLY VFR THRU THU NGT...WITH BRIEF INTERVALS OF MVFR
CLGS AND VSBYS POSSIBLE WITH ISOLD SN SHWRS OVR NRN MOST TAF SITES
LATE THIS EVE INTO THE OVRNGT TNGT.

SHORT TERM: VFR THROUGH MUCH OF THIS PERIOD ALTHOUGH MVFR IS
POSSIBLE AT TIMES IN SCT SNOW SHOWER MAINLY ACROSS THE NORTH.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: SCA WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT LEAST INTO
THU AFTN...SPCLY OVR OUTER MZS050-051. OTHERWISE...WITH COLDER AIR
MOVING BACK OVR THE WATERS...A PD OF MDT FZG SPY IS POSSIBLE THU
NGT. KEPT CLOSE TO WW3 WV HTS...WITH WV HTS THIS EVE RUNNING ABOUT
A FOOT OR TWO ABV GUIDANCE...THEN  TO GUIDANCE BY MID THU MORN.

SHORT TERM: WINDS/SEAS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW SCA LEVELS FRIDAY.
WIND GUSTS COULD APPROACH SCA LEVELS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY.
LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY IS POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...HEWITT/VJN
SHORT TERM...DUDA
LONG TERM...DUDA
AVIATION...HEWITT/VJN/DUDA
MARINE...HEWITT/VJN/DUDA



000
FXUS61 KCAR 050042
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
742 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A SECONDARY ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT.
STRONG CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH LATE FRIDAY
NIGHT AND CROSS THE REGION LATE SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
730 PM UPDATE: SECOND ARCTIC FRONT IS SCHEDULED TO MOVE ACROSS
THE REGION OVERNIGHT. THIS FRONT WAS ACROSS QUEBEC ATTM AND MOVING
S. A LINE OF SNOW SHOWERS/SQUALLS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS
NORTHERN MAINE AROUND MIDNIGHT AND THEN SLIDE SE AND BREAK UP.
INCREASED THE POPS TO 40% ACROSS FAR NORTHERN MAINE(THE CROWN) AND
ADDED UP TO 0.5" OF FLUFFY SNOWFALL W/THIS LINE. TEMPERATURES WERE
ADJUSTED TO MATCH THE LATEST OBS.

COLDER AIR WILL BE MOVING INTO THE FA OVRNGT IN TWO SUCCESSIVE
WVS...THE FIRST MID TO LATE EVE...AND A SECOND ARND DAYBREAK. THE
FIRST COULD BE ACCOMPANIED BY SOME CLDNSS AND SN SHWRS WITH A
COUPLE OF ST LAWRENCE STREAMERS BEING IMPLIED FOR NRN ME BY THE
LATEST HRRR HRLY SIM RADAR FCST GOING INTO THE OVRNGT. ANY
ORGANIZATION OF SN SHWR STREAMERS SHOULD WEAKEN LATE TNGT AS LLVL
LAPSE RATES DECREASE. JUST S OF THE FA...PRECIP WITH A SECOND WV
OF LOW PRES MOVG ENE OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST SHOULD REMAIN JUST
S OF DOWNEAST COAST LATER TNGT INTO THU MORNING...WITH NRN EDGE OF
THE HI CLD SHIELD REACHING NWRD INTO INTERIOR DOWNEAST ME.

OTHERWISE...SKIES SHOULD BE MSLY SUNNY...OR BECOMING MSLY SUNNY
THU AS COLDER ARCTIC AIR PREVAILS ACROSS THE REGION. UNDER FAIRLY
BRISK CONDITIONS...HI TEMPS THU WILL MAKE LMTD RECOVERY FROM LOWS
TNGT...AND WILL BE ABOUT 20 DEG F COLDER THAN TDY`S HIGHS. WINDS
SHOULD DIMINISH UNDER CLR SKIES THU EVE AS THE SFC RIDGE AXIS
XTNDS WSW TO ENE ACROSS THE FA...WITH DECENT RADIATIONAL FOR MSLY
BROAD VLY AREAS LATE THU NGT WHILE HIER TRRN HOLDS ON ON TO A LGT
BREEZE. LOWS THU NGT WILL BE QUITE COLD...POTENTIALLY INTO THE
-20S DEG F OVR THE COLDEST NW VLY AREAS WITH SINGLE DIGIT AND
TEENS BELOW ZERO ELSEWHERE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS TO THE REGION
FRIDAY. HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE TEENS NORTH THE LOWER 20S
DOWNEAST. A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FRIDAY NIGHT WITH INCREASING
CLOUDS LATE. LOWS FRIDAY NIGHT WILL BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS
ACROSS THE AREA. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY WITH
THE CHANCE FOR SOME NORTHERN SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS ON SATURDAY WILL
BE CLOSE TO NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN WILL BE FAIRLY ZONAL THROUGH MOST OF THE
LONG TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST. THIS WILL BRING A SERIES OF
SHORT WAVES ACROSS THE REGION DURING THIS PERIOD BUT NO MAJOR
STORMS ARE EXPECTED. TEMPERATURES WILL ACTUALLY BE CLOSE TO
SEASONAL LEVELS AT THE BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD AND THEN RISE TO A
BIT ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: MSLY VFR THRU THU NGT...WITH BRIEF INTERVALS OF MVFR
CLGS AND VSBYS POSSIBLE WITH ISOLD SN SHWRS OVR NRN MOST TAF SITES
LATE THIS EVE INTO THE OVRNGT TNGT.

SHORT TERM: VFR THROUGH MUCH OF THIS PERIOD ALTHOUGH MVFR IS
POSSIBLE AT TIMES IN SCT SNOW SHOWER MAINLY ACROSS THE NORTH.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: SCA WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT LEAST INTO
THU AFTN...SPCLY OVR OUTER MZS050-051. OTHERWISE...WITH COLDER AIR
MOVING BACK OVR THE WATERS...A PD OF MDT FZG SPY IS POSSIBLE THU
NGT. KEPT CLOSE TO WW3 WV HTS...WITH WV HTS THIS EVE RUNNING ABOUT
A FOOT OR TWO ABV GUIDANCE...THEN  TO GUIDANCE BY MID THU MORN.

SHORT TERM: WINDS/SEAS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW SCA LEVELS FRIDAY.
WIND GUSTS COULD APPROACH SCA LEVELS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY.
LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY IS POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...HEWITT/VJN
SHORT TERM...DUDA
LONG TERM...DUDA
AVIATION...HEWITT/VJN/DUDA
MARINE...HEWITT/VJN/DUDA



000
FXUS61 KGYX 050005 AAA
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
705 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST TONIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY AND WILL CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A COLD
FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL CROSS THE
AREA ON SATURDAY. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST
SATURDAY NIGHT AND WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION MONDAY AND WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
.UPDATE...
TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO DROP AFTER A RELATIVELY WARM DAY. SOME
LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS FALLING SOUTH OF NH AND THESE WILL WORK THEIR
WAY TOWARDS NH AND SW MAINE OVERNIGHT AS BAROCLINIC ZONE PUSHES
NORTH. HOWEVER MESOMODELS STILL SHOWING IT FALL JUST SHORT OF
ACCUMULATING PRECIPITATION OVER THE FORECAST AREA BEFORE THE
BOUNDARY DRIFTS BACK SOUTH AROUND DAYBREAK. HAVE MAINTAINED POPS
ACROSS FAR NORTH WITH THE APPROACH OF A COLD FRONT...OTHERWISE
ADJUSTED SKY... TEMPERATURES... AND DEW POINTS FOR CURRENT TRENDS.

&&

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRES CONTINUES TO NOSE TOWARDS THE FORECAST AREA THIS
AFTERNOON. FOR THE TIME BEING THE REAL COLD PUSH REMAINS BACK
ACROSS CANADA...AND WILL WAIT TO PUSH THRU UNTIL THE OVERNIGHT. AS
SUCH HAVE BLENDED 2 M TEMP GUIDANCE IN WITH THE MAV/MET FOR
OVERNIGHT LOWS. CAA WILL KEEP AT LEAST MARGINAL MIXING IN THE
LOWEST LEVELS...AND I DON/T EXPECT RADIATIONAL COOLING TO BE MUCH
OF AN ISSUE. WITH THE PUSH OF COLD/DRY AIR UPSLOPE SHSN AND CLOUDS
WILL COME TO AN END OVERNIGHT AS WELL.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
A SERIES OF WAVES WILL RIPPLE ALONG THE SLOWLY ADVANCING COLD
FRONT THRU THU NIGHT. THE FIRST OF WHICH...CURRENTLY OVER THE MID
MS RIVER VALLEY...ARRIVES EARLY THU. HAVE MAINTAINED SOME SCHC POP
IN SRN NH ALONG THE MA BORDER. I REALLY DON/T EXPECT MUCH MORE
THAN SHSN ALONG THE BORDER IF PRECIP DOES FALL. THE SECOND WAVE
ARRIVES LATE THU EVENING...AND SHOULD BE EVEN FARTHER S THAN THE
FIRST.

HIGH PRES BEGINS TO ASSERT MORE CONTROL OVER THE REGION...AND
SKIES WILL QUICKLY CLEAR FROM N TO S. WITH SURFACE RIDGE AXIS
ALIGNED OVERHEAD...EXPECT BOUNDARY LAYER TO DECOUPLE AND THE
TYPICAL COLD SPOTS TO FALL WELL BELOW ZERO. SIDED WITH THE COLDER
MAV/MET GUIDANCE.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
PRETTY QUIET EXTENDED FORECAST THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK....
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY BEFORE
SHIFTING OFFSHORE. DESPITE A FAIR AMOUNT OF SUNSHINE
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO AVERAGE WELL BELOW NORMAL
WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TEENS NORTH AND LOWER TO MID 20S SOUTH.

COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT BRINGING
INCREASING CLOUDS AND A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN IN NORTHERN
ZONES AFTER MIDNIGHT. FRONT WILL TAKE ALL DAY SATURDAY TO PUSH
THROUGH THE REGION. WILL LIKELY INCLUDE LOW CHANCE POPS FOR MOST
OF THE FORECAST AREA BUT EXPECT ANY SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY TO BE LIGHT
AND SPOTTY WITH THIS MOISTURE STARVED SYSTEM. HIGHS ON SATURDAY WILL
REACH THE MID 20S TO MID 30S.

SKIES CLEAR BRIEFLY SATURDAY EVENING AS THE FRONT PUSHES OFFSHORE...
BUT CLOUDS WILL AGAIN BE ON THE INCREASE AFTER MIDNIGHT AS WEAK
CLIPPER APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. WILL SEE A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS TOWARD DAYBREAK IN SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE BUT ONCE AGAIN
EXPECT ANY AMOUNTS TO BE LIGHT AND SPOTTY. ENTIRE FORECAST AREA
WILL SEE THE CHANCE OF OCCASIONAL LIGHT SNOW ON SUNDAY AS LOW
PRESSURE MOVES INTO SOUTHERN MAINE BY LATE IN THE DAY. QPF
FORECAST TO BE LIGHT WITH THIS SYSTEM WITH MOST AREAS SEEING ONLY
AN INCH OR TWO OF SNOW THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.

EXPECT LIGHT SNOW TO WIND DOWN SUNDAY EVENING AS LOW PRESSURE
SHIFTS EAST INTO THE MARITIMES. VARIABLE CLOUDINESS WILL LINGER
THROUGH THE NIGHT AND INTO MONDAY AS LOW PRESSURE TROUGH LINGERS
OVER THE AREA. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL
GRADUALLY CLEAR SKIES DOWNWIND OF THE MOUNTAINS MONDAY AFTERNOON.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.
WARM FRONT PASSING THROUGH SOUTHERN QUEBEC WILL BRUSH NORTHERN
ZONES WITH CLOUDS MONDAY NIGHT BUT THE MAJORITY OF ASSOCIATED
PRECIP WILL REMAIN NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA. NET AFFECT WILL BE
A MODERATION IN TEMPS WITH MUCH OF THE AREA SEEING HIGHS AT OR
ABOVE NORMAL WITH MID 30S NORTH TO LOWER 40S SOUTH.

WARM AIR WILL STICK AROUND ON WEDNESDAY AS WEAK LOW PRESSURE
PASSES SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THRU FRI MORNING.
LOCAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN SCT SHSN ACROSS THE NRN
MOUNTAINS LATE THIS AFTERNOON...BEFORE UPSLOPE FLOW WEAKENS.

LONG TERM...VFR FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. AREAS MVFR/IFR
CEILINGS/VSBY SUNDAY. VFR MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...MARGINAL SCA CONDITIONS CONTINUE THRU THU NIGHT.
WINDS GUST 20 TO 25 KNOTS AT TIMES...WITH SEAS REMAINING RIGHT
AROUND 5 FT. A PERIOD OF MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY IS POSSIBLE LATE
THU NIGHT.

LONG TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED SATURDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...
MARINE...




000
FXUS61 KGYX 050005 AAA
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
705 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST TONIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY AND WILL CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A COLD
FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL CROSS THE
AREA ON SATURDAY. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST
SATURDAY NIGHT AND WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION MONDAY AND WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
.UPDATE...
TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO DROP AFTER A RELATIVELY WARM DAY. SOME
LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS FALLING SOUTH OF NH AND THESE WILL WORK THEIR
WAY TOWARDS NH AND SW MAINE OVERNIGHT AS BAROCLINIC ZONE PUSHES
NORTH. HOWEVER MESOMODELS STILL SHOWING IT FALL JUST SHORT OF
ACCUMULATING PRECIPITATION OVER THE FORECAST AREA BEFORE THE
BOUNDARY DRIFTS BACK SOUTH AROUND DAYBREAK. HAVE MAINTAINED POPS
ACROSS FAR NORTH WITH THE APPROACH OF A COLD FRONT...OTHERWISE
ADJUSTED SKY... TEMPERATURES... AND DEW POINTS FOR CURRENT TRENDS.

&&

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRES CONTINUES TO NOSE TOWARDS THE FORECAST AREA THIS
AFTERNOON. FOR THE TIME BEING THE REAL COLD PUSH REMAINS BACK
ACROSS CANADA...AND WILL WAIT TO PUSH THRU UNTIL THE OVERNIGHT. AS
SUCH HAVE BLENDED 2 M TEMP GUIDANCE IN WITH THE MAV/MET FOR
OVERNIGHT LOWS. CAA WILL KEEP AT LEAST MARGINAL MIXING IN THE
LOWEST LEVELS...AND I DON/T EXPECT RADIATIONAL COOLING TO BE MUCH
OF AN ISSUE. WITH THE PUSH OF COLD/DRY AIR UPSLOPE SHSN AND CLOUDS
WILL COME TO AN END OVERNIGHT AS WELL.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
A SERIES OF WAVES WILL RIPPLE ALONG THE SLOWLY ADVANCING COLD
FRONT THRU THU NIGHT. THE FIRST OF WHICH...CURRENTLY OVER THE MID
MS RIVER VALLEY...ARRIVES EARLY THU. HAVE MAINTAINED SOME SCHC POP
IN SRN NH ALONG THE MA BORDER. I REALLY DON/T EXPECT MUCH MORE
THAN SHSN ALONG THE BORDER IF PRECIP DOES FALL. THE SECOND WAVE
ARRIVES LATE THU EVENING...AND SHOULD BE EVEN FARTHER S THAN THE
FIRST.

HIGH PRES BEGINS TO ASSERT MORE CONTROL OVER THE REGION...AND
SKIES WILL QUICKLY CLEAR FROM N TO S. WITH SURFACE RIDGE AXIS
ALIGNED OVERHEAD...EXPECT BOUNDARY LAYER TO DECOUPLE AND THE
TYPICAL COLD SPOTS TO FALL WELL BELOW ZERO. SIDED WITH THE COLDER
MAV/MET GUIDANCE.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
PRETTY QUIET EXTENDED FORECAST THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK....
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY BEFORE
SHIFTING OFFSHORE. DESPITE A FAIR AMOUNT OF SUNSHINE
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO AVERAGE WELL BELOW NORMAL
WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TEENS NORTH AND LOWER TO MID 20S SOUTH.

COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT BRINGING
INCREASING CLOUDS AND A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN IN NORTHERN
ZONES AFTER MIDNIGHT. FRONT WILL TAKE ALL DAY SATURDAY TO PUSH
THROUGH THE REGION. WILL LIKELY INCLUDE LOW CHANCE POPS FOR MOST
OF THE FORECAST AREA BUT EXPECT ANY SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY TO BE LIGHT
AND SPOTTY WITH THIS MOISTURE STARVED SYSTEM. HIGHS ON SATURDAY WILL
REACH THE MID 20S TO MID 30S.

SKIES CLEAR BRIEFLY SATURDAY EVENING AS THE FRONT PUSHES OFFSHORE...
BUT CLOUDS WILL AGAIN BE ON THE INCREASE AFTER MIDNIGHT AS WEAK
CLIPPER APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. WILL SEE A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS TOWARD DAYBREAK IN SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE BUT ONCE AGAIN
EXPECT ANY AMOUNTS TO BE LIGHT AND SPOTTY. ENTIRE FORECAST AREA
WILL SEE THE CHANCE OF OCCASIONAL LIGHT SNOW ON SUNDAY AS LOW
PRESSURE MOVES INTO SOUTHERN MAINE BY LATE IN THE DAY. QPF
FORECAST TO BE LIGHT WITH THIS SYSTEM WITH MOST AREAS SEEING ONLY
AN INCH OR TWO OF SNOW THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.

EXPECT LIGHT SNOW TO WIND DOWN SUNDAY EVENING AS LOW PRESSURE
SHIFTS EAST INTO THE MARITIMES. VARIABLE CLOUDINESS WILL LINGER
THROUGH THE NIGHT AND INTO MONDAY AS LOW PRESSURE TROUGH LINGERS
OVER THE AREA. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL
GRADUALLY CLEAR SKIES DOWNWIND OF THE MOUNTAINS MONDAY AFTERNOON.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.
WARM FRONT PASSING THROUGH SOUTHERN QUEBEC WILL BRUSH NORTHERN
ZONES WITH CLOUDS MONDAY NIGHT BUT THE MAJORITY OF ASSOCIATED
PRECIP WILL REMAIN NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA. NET AFFECT WILL BE
A MODERATION IN TEMPS WITH MUCH OF THE AREA SEEING HIGHS AT OR
ABOVE NORMAL WITH MID 30S NORTH TO LOWER 40S SOUTH.

WARM AIR WILL STICK AROUND ON WEDNESDAY AS WEAK LOW PRESSURE
PASSES SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THRU FRI MORNING.
LOCAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN SCT SHSN ACROSS THE NRN
MOUNTAINS LATE THIS AFTERNOON...BEFORE UPSLOPE FLOW WEAKENS.

LONG TERM...VFR FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. AREAS MVFR/IFR
CEILINGS/VSBY SUNDAY. VFR MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...MARGINAL SCA CONDITIONS CONTINUE THRU THU NIGHT.
WINDS GUST 20 TO 25 KNOTS AT TIMES...WITH SEAS REMAINING RIGHT
AROUND 5 FT. A PERIOD OF MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY IS POSSIBLE LATE
THU NIGHT.

LONG TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED SATURDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...
MARINE...



000
FXUS61 KCAR 042035
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
335 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A SECONDARY ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT.
STRONG CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH LATE FRIDAY
NIGHT AND CROSS THE REGION LATE SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
COLDER AIR WILL BE MOVING INTO THE FA OVRNGT IN TWO SUCCESSIVE
WVS...THE FIRST MID TO LATE EVE...AND A SECOND ARND DAYBREAK. THE
FIRST COULD BE ACCOMPANIED BY SOME CLDNSS AND ISOLD SN SHWRS WITH
A COUPLE OF ST LAWRENCE STREAMERS BEING IMPLIED FOR NRN ME BY THE
LATEST HRRR HRLY SIM RADAR FCST GOING INTO THE OVRNGT. ANY ORGANIZATION
OF SN SHWR STREAMERS SHOULD WEAKEN LATE TNGT AS LLVL LAPSE RATES
DECREASE. JUST S OF THE FA...PRECIP WITH A SECOND WV OF LOW PRES
MOVG ENE OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST SHOULD REMAIN JUST S OF
DOWNEAST COAST LATER TNGT INTO THU MORNING...WITH NRN EDGE OF THE
HI CLD SHIELD REACHING NWRD INTO INTERIOR DOWNEAST ME.

OTHERWISE...SKIES SHOULD BE MSLY SUNNY...OR BECOMING MSLY SUNNY
THU AS COLDER ARCTIC AIR PREVAILS ACROSS THE REGION. UNDER FAIRLY
BRISK CONDITIONS...HI TEMPS THU WILL MAKE LMTD RECOVERY FROM LOWS
TNGT...AND WILL BE ABOUT 20 DEG F COLDER THAN TDY`S HIGHS. WINDS
SHOULD DIMINISH UNDER CLR SKIES THU EVE AS THE SFC RIDGE AXIS
XTNDS WSW TO ENE ACROSS THE FA...WITH DECENT RADIATIONAL FOR MSLY
BROAD VLY AREAS LATE THU NGT WHILE HIER TRRN HOLDS ON ON TO A LGT
BREEZE. LOWS THU NGT WILL BE QUITE COLD...POTENTIALLY INTO THE
-20S DEG F OVR THE COLDEST NW VLY AREAS WITH SINGLE DIGIT AND
TEENS BELOW ZERO ELSEWHERE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS TO THE REGION
FRIDAY. HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE TEENS NORTH THE LOWER 20S
DOWNEAST. A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FRIDAY NIGHT WITH INCREASING
CLOUDS LATE. LOWS FRIDAY NIGHT WILL BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS
ACROSS THE AREA. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY WITH
THE CHANCE FOR SOME NORTHERN SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS ON SATURDAY WILL
BE CLOSE TO NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN WILL BE FAIRLY ZONAL THROUGH MOST OF THE
LONG TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST. THIS WILL BRING A SERIES OF
SHORT WAVES ACROSS THE REGION DURING THIS PERIOD BUT NO MAJOR
STORMS ARE EXPECTED. TEMPERATURES WILL ACTUALLY BE CLOSE TO
SEASONAL LEVELS AT THE BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD AND THEN RISE TO A
BIT ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: MSLY VFR THRU THU NGT...WITH BRIEF INTERVALS OF MVFR
CLGS AND VSBYS POSSIBLE WITH ISOLD SN SHWRS OVR NRN MOST TAF SITES
LATE THIS EVE INTO THE OVRNGT TNGT.

SHORT TERM: VFR THROUGH MUCH OF THIS PERIOD ALTHOUGH MVFR IS
POSSIBLE AT TIMES IN SCT SNOW SHOWER MAINLY ACROSS THE NORTH.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: SCA WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT LEAST INTO
THU AFTN...SPCLY OVR OUTER MZS050-051. OTHERWISE...WITH COLDER AIR
MOVING BACK OVR THE WATERS...A PD OF MDT FZG SPY IS POSSIBLE THU
NGT. KEPT CLOSE TO WW3 WV HTS...WITH WV HTS THIS EVE RUNNING ABOUT
A FOOT OR TWO ABV GUIDANCE...THEN  TO GUIDANCE BY MID THU MORN.

SHORT TERM: WINDS/SEAS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW SCA LEVELS FRIDAY.
WIND GUSTS COULD APPROACH SCA LEVELS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY.
LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY IS POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. &&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...VJN
SHORT TERM...DUDA
LONG TERM...DUDA
AVIATION...VJN/DUDA
MARINE...VJN/DUDA



000
FXUS61 KCAR 042035
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
335 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A SECONDARY ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT.
STRONG CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH LATE FRIDAY
NIGHT AND CROSS THE REGION LATE SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
COLDER AIR WILL BE MOVING INTO THE FA OVRNGT IN TWO SUCCESSIVE
WVS...THE FIRST MID TO LATE EVE...AND A SECOND ARND DAYBREAK. THE
FIRST COULD BE ACCOMPANIED BY SOME CLDNSS AND ISOLD SN SHWRS WITH
A COUPLE OF ST LAWRENCE STREAMERS BEING IMPLIED FOR NRN ME BY THE
LATEST HRRR HRLY SIM RADAR FCST GOING INTO THE OVRNGT. ANY ORGANIZATION
OF SN SHWR STREAMERS SHOULD WEAKEN LATE TNGT AS LLVL LAPSE RATES
DECREASE. JUST S OF THE FA...PRECIP WITH A SECOND WV OF LOW PRES
MOVG ENE OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST SHOULD REMAIN JUST S OF
DOWNEAST COAST LATER TNGT INTO THU MORNING...WITH NRN EDGE OF THE
HI CLD SHIELD REACHING NWRD INTO INTERIOR DOWNEAST ME.

OTHERWISE...SKIES SHOULD BE MSLY SUNNY...OR BECOMING MSLY SUNNY
THU AS COLDER ARCTIC AIR PREVAILS ACROSS THE REGION. UNDER FAIRLY
BRISK CONDITIONS...HI TEMPS THU WILL MAKE LMTD RECOVERY FROM LOWS
TNGT...AND WILL BE ABOUT 20 DEG F COLDER THAN TDY`S HIGHS. WINDS
SHOULD DIMINISH UNDER CLR SKIES THU EVE AS THE SFC RIDGE AXIS
XTNDS WSW TO ENE ACROSS THE FA...WITH DECENT RADIATIONAL FOR MSLY
BROAD VLY AREAS LATE THU NGT WHILE HIER TRRN HOLDS ON ON TO A LGT
BREEZE. LOWS THU NGT WILL BE QUITE COLD...POTENTIALLY INTO THE
-20S DEG F OVR THE COLDEST NW VLY AREAS WITH SINGLE DIGIT AND
TEENS BELOW ZERO ELSEWHERE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS TO THE REGION
FRIDAY. HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE TEENS NORTH THE LOWER 20S
DOWNEAST. A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FRIDAY NIGHT WITH INCREASING
CLOUDS LATE. LOWS FRIDAY NIGHT WILL BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS
ACROSS THE AREA. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY WITH
THE CHANCE FOR SOME NORTHERN SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS ON SATURDAY WILL
BE CLOSE TO NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN WILL BE FAIRLY ZONAL THROUGH MOST OF THE
LONG TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST. THIS WILL BRING A SERIES OF
SHORT WAVES ACROSS THE REGION DURING THIS PERIOD BUT NO MAJOR
STORMS ARE EXPECTED. TEMPERATURES WILL ACTUALLY BE CLOSE TO
SEASONAL LEVELS AT THE BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD AND THEN RISE TO A
BIT ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: MSLY VFR THRU THU NGT...WITH BRIEF INTERVALS OF MVFR
CLGS AND VSBYS POSSIBLE WITH ISOLD SN SHWRS OVR NRN MOST TAF SITES
LATE THIS EVE INTO THE OVRNGT TNGT.

SHORT TERM: VFR THROUGH MUCH OF THIS PERIOD ALTHOUGH MVFR IS
POSSIBLE AT TIMES IN SCT SNOW SHOWER MAINLY ACROSS THE NORTH.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: SCA WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT LEAST INTO
THU AFTN...SPCLY OVR OUTER MZS050-051. OTHERWISE...WITH COLDER AIR
MOVING BACK OVR THE WATERS...A PD OF MDT FZG SPY IS POSSIBLE THU
NGT. KEPT CLOSE TO WW3 WV HTS...WITH WV HTS THIS EVE RUNNING ABOUT
A FOOT OR TWO ABV GUIDANCE...THEN  TO GUIDANCE BY MID THU MORN.

SHORT TERM: WINDS/SEAS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW SCA LEVELS FRIDAY.
WIND GUSTS COULD APPROACH SCA LEVELS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY.
LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY IS POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. &&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...VJN
SHORT TERM...DUDA
LONG TERM...DUDA
AVIATION...VJN/DUDA
MARINE...VJN/DUDA




000
FXUS61 KGYX 042020 CCA
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
320 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST TONIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY AND WILL CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A COLD
FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL CROSS THE
AREA ON SATURDAY. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST
SATURDAY NIGHT AND WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION MONDAY AND WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
HIGH PRES CONTINUES TO NOSE TOWARDS THE FORECAST AREA THIS
AFTERNOON. FOR THE TIME BEING THE REAL COLD PUSH REMAINS BACK
ACROSS CANADA...AND WILL WAIT TO PUSH THRU UNTIL THE OVERNIGHT. AS
SUCH HAVE BLENDED 2 M TEMP GUIDANCE IN WITH THE MAV/MET FOR
OVERNIGHT LOWS. CAA WILL KEEP AT LEAST MARGINAL MIXING IN THE
LOWEST LEVELS...AND I DON/T EXPECT RADIATIONAL COOLING TO BE MUCH
OF AN ISSUE. WITH THE PUSH OF COLD/DRY AIR UPSLOPE SHSN AND CLOUDS
WILL COME TO AN END OVERNIGHT AS WELL.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
A SERIES OF WAVES WILL RIPPLE ALONG THE SLOWLY ADVANCING COLD
FRONT THRU THU NIGHT. THE FIRST OF WHICH...CURRENTLY OVER THE MID
MS RIVER VALLEY...ARRIVES EARLY THU. HAVE MAINTAINED SOME SCHC POP
IN SRN NH ALONG THE MA BORDER. I REALLY DON/T EXPECT MUCH MORE
THAN SHSN ALONG THE BORDER IF PRECIP DOES FALL. THE SECOND WAVE
ARRIVES LATE THU EVENING...AND SHOULD BE EVEN FARTHER S THAN THE
FIRST.

HIGH PRES BEGINS TO ASSERT MORE CONTROL OVER THE REGION...AND
SKIES WILL QUICKLY CLEAR FROM N TO S. WITH SURFACE RIDGE AXIS
ALIGNED OVERHEAD...EXPECT BOUNDARY LAYER TO DECOUPLE AND THE
TYPICAL COLD SPOTS TO FALL WELL BELOW ZERO. SIDED WITH THE COLDER
MAV/MET GUIDANCE.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
PRETTY QUIET EXTENDED FORECAST THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK....
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY BEFORE
SHIFTING OFFSHORE. DESPITE A FAIR AMOUNT OF SUNSHINE
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO AVERAGE WELL BELOW NORMAL
WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TEENS NORTH AND LOWER TO MID 20S SOUTH.

COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT BRINGING
INCREASING CLOUDS AND A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN IN NORTHERN
ZONES AFTER MIDNIGHT. FRONT WILL TAKE ALL DAY SATURDAY TO PUSH
THROUGH THE REGION. WILL LIKELY INCLUDE LOW CHANCE POPS FOR MOST
OF THE FORECAST AREA BUT EXPECT ANY SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY TO BE LIGHT
AND SPOTTY WITH THIS MOISTURE STARVED SYSTEM. HIGHS ON SATURDAY WILL
REACH THE MID 20S TO MID 30S.

SKIES CLEAR BRIEFLY SATURDAY EVENING AS THE FRONT PUSHES OFFSHORE...
BUT CLOUDS WILL AGAIN BE ON THE INCREASE AFTER MIDNIGHT AS WEAK
CLIPPER APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. WILL SEE A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS TOWARD DAYBREAK IN SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE BUT ONCE AGAIN
EXPECT ANY AMOUNTS TO BE LIGHT AND SPOTTY. ENTIRE FORECAST AREA
WILL SEE THE CHANCE OF OCCASIONAL LIGHT SNOW ON SUNDAY AS LOW
PRESSURE MOVES INTO SOUTHERN MAINE BY LATE IN THE DAY. QPF
FORECAST TO BE LIGHT WITH THIS SYSTEM WITH MOST AREAS SEEING ONLY
AN INCH OR TWO OF SNOW THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.

EXPECT LIGHT SNOW TO WIND DOWN SUNDAY EVENING AS LOW PRESSURE
SHIFTS EAST INTO THE MARITIMES. VARIABLE CLOUDINESS WILL LINGER
THROUGH THE NIGHT AND INTO MONDAY AS LOW PRESSURE TROUGH LINGERS
OVER THE AREA. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL
GRADUALLY CLEAR SKIES DOWNWIND OF THE MOUNTAINS MONDAY AFTERNOON.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.
WARM FRONT PASSING THROUGH SOUTHERN QUEBEC WILL BRUSH NORTHERN
ZONES WITH CLOUDS MONDAY NIGHT BUT THE MAJORITY OF ASSOCIATED
PRECIP WILL REMAIN NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA. NET AFFECT WILL BE
A MODERATION IN TEMPS WITH MUCH OF THE AREA SEEING HIGHS AT OR
ABOVE NORMAL WITH MID 30S NORTH TO LOWER 40S SOUTH.

WARM AIR WILL STICK AROUND ON WEDNESDAY AS WEAK LOW PRESSURE
PASSES SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THRU FRI MORNING.
LOCAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN SCT SHSN ACROSS THE NRN
MOUNTAINS LATE THIS AFTERNOON...BEFORE UPSLOPE FLOW WEAKENS.

LONG TERM...VFR FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. AREAS MVFR/IFR
CEILINGS/VSBY SUNDAY. VFR MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...MARGINAL SCA CONDITIONS CONTINUE THRU THU NIGHT.
WINDS GUST 20 TO 25 KNOTS AT TIMES...WITH SEAS REMAINING RIGHT
AROUND 5 FT. A PERIOD OF MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY IS POSSIBLE LATE
THU NIGHT.

LONG TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED SATURDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$

LEGRO/SINSABAUGH




000
FXUS61 KGYX 042020 CCA
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
320 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST TONIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY AND WILL CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A COLD
FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL CROSS THE
AREA ON SATURDAY. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST
SATURDAY NIGHT AND WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION MONDAY AND WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
HIGH PRES CONTINUES TO NOSE TOWARDS THE FORECAST AREA THIS
AFTERNOON. FOR THE TIME BEING THE REAL COLD PUSH REMAINS BACK
ACROSS CANADA...AND WILL WAIT TO PUSH THRU UNTIL THE OVERNIGHT. AS
SUCH HAVE BLENDED 2 M TEMP GUIDANCE IN WITH THE MAV/MET FOR
OVERNIGHT LOWS. CAA WILL KEEP AT LEAST MARGINAL MIXING IN THE
LOWEST LEVELS...AND I DON/T EXPECT RADIATIONAL COOLING TO BE MUCH
OF AN ISSUE. WITH THE PUSH OF COLD/DRY AIR UPSLOPE SHSN AND CLOUDS
WILL COME TO AN END OVERNIGHT AS WELL.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
A SERIES OF WAVES WILL RIPPLE ALONG THE SLOWLY ADVANCING COLD
FRONT THRU THU NIGHT. THE FIRST OF WHICH...CURRENTLY OVER THE MID
MS RIVER VALLEY...ARRIVES EARLY THU. HAVE MAINTAINED SOME SCHC POP
IN SRN NH ALONG THE MA BORDER. I REALLY DON/T EXPECT MUCH MORE
THAN SHSN ALONG THE BORDER IF PRECIP DOES FALL. THE SECOND WAVE
ARRIVES LATE THU EVENING...AND SHOULD BE EVEN FARTHER S THAN THE
FIRST.

HIGH PRES BEGINS TO ASSERT MORE CONTROL OVER THE REGION...AND
SKIES WILL QUICKLY CLEAR FROM N TO S. WITH SURFACE RIDGE AXIS
ALIGNED OVERHEAD...EXPECT BOUNDARY LAYER TO DECOUPLE AND THE
TYPICAL COLD SPOTS TO FALL WELL BELOW ZERO. SIDED WITH THE COLDER
MAV/MET GUIDANCE.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
PRETTY QUIET EXTENDED FORECAST THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK....
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY BEFORE
SHIFTING OFFSHORE. DESPITE A FAIR AMOUNT OF SUNSHINE
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO AVERAGE WELL BELOW NORMAL
WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TEENS NORTH AND LOWER TO MID 20S SOUTH.

COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT BRINGING
INCREASING CLOUDS AND A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN IN NORTHERN
ZONES AFTER MIDNIGHT. FRONT WILL TAKE ALL DAY SATURDAY TO PUSH
THROUGH THE REGION. WILL LIKELY INCLUDE LOW CHANCE POPS FOR MOST
OF THE FORECAST AREA BUT EXPECT ANY SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY TO BE LIGHT
AND SPOTTY WITH THIS MOISTURE STARVED SYSTEM. HIGHS ON SATURDAY WILL
REACH THE MID 20S TO MID 30S.

SKIES CLEAR BRIEFLY SATURDAY EVENING AS THE FRONT PUSHES OFFSHORE...
BUT CLOUDS WILL AGAIN BE ON THE INCREASE AFTER MIDNIGHT AS WEAK
CLIPPER APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. WILL SEE A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS TOWARD DAYBREAK IN SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE BUT ONCE AGAIN
EXPECT ANY AMOUNTS TO BE LIGHT AND SPOTTY. ENTIRE FORECAST AREA
WILL SEE THE CHANCE OF OCCASIONAL LIGHT SNOW ON SUNDAY AS LOW
PRESSURE MOVES INTO SOUTHERN MAINE BY LATE IN THE DAY. QPF
FORECAST TO BE LIGHT WITH THIS SYSTEM WITH MOST AREAS SEEING ONLY
AN INCH OR TWO OF SNOW THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.

EXPECT LIGHT SNOW TO WIND DOWN SUNDAY EVENING AS LOW PRESSURE
SHIFTS EAST INTO THE MARITIMES. VARIABLE CLOUDINESS WILL LINGER
THROUGH THE NIGHT AND INTO MONDAY AS LOW PRESSURE TROUGH LINGERS
OVER THE AREA. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL
GRADUALLY CLEAR SKIES DOWNWIND OF THE MOUNTAINS MONDAY AFTERNOON.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.
WARM FRONT PASSING THROUGH SOUTHERN QUEBEC WILL BRUSH NORTHERN
ZONES WITH CLOUDS MONDAY NIGHT BUT THE MAJORITY OF ASSOCIATED
PRECIP WILL REMAIN NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA. NET AFFECT WILL BE
A MODERATION IN TEMPS WITH MUCH OF THE AREA SEEING HIGHS AT OR
ABOVE NORMAL WITH MID 30S NORTH TO LOWER 40S SOUTH.

WARM AIR WILL STICK AROUND ON WEDNESDAY AS WEAK LOW PRESSURE
PASSES SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THRU FRI MORNING.
LOCAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN SCT SHSN ACROSS THE NRN
MOUNTAINS LATE THIS AFTERNOON...BEFORE UPSLOPE FLOW WEAKENS.

LONG TERM...VFR FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. AREAS MVFR/IFR
CEILINGS/VSBY SUNDAY. VFR MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...MARGINAL SCA CONDITIONS CONTINUE THRU THU NIGHT.
WINDS GUST 20 TO 25 KNOTS AT TIMES...WITH SEAS REMAINING RIGHT
AROUND 5 FT. A PERIOD OF MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY IS POSSIBLE LATE
THU NIGHT.

LONG TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED SATURDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$

LEGRO/SINSABAUGH




000
FXUS61 KGYX 042020 CCA
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
320 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST TONIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY AND WILL CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A COLD
FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL CROSS THE
AREA ON SATURDAY. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST
SATURDAY NIGHT AND WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION MONDAY AND WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
HIGH PRES CONTINUES TO NOSE TOWARDS THE FORECAST AREA THIS
AFTERNOON. FOR THE TIME BEING THE REAL COLD PUSH REMAINS BACK
ACROSS CANADA...AND WILL WAIT TO PUSH THRU UNTIL THE OVERNIGHT. AS
SUCH HAVE BLENDED 2 M TEMP GUIDANCE IN WITH THE MAV/MET FOR
OVERNIGHT LOWS. CAA WILL KEEP AT LEAST MARGINAL MIXING IN THE
LOWEST LEVELS...AND I DON/T EXPECT RADIATIONAL COOLING TO BE MUCH
OF AN ISSUE. WITH THE PUSH OF COLD/DRY AIR UPSLOPE SHSN AND CLOUDS
WILL COME TO AN END OVERNIGHT AS WELL.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
A SERIES OF WAVES WILL RIPPLE ALONG THE SLOWLY ADVANCING COLD
FRONT THRU THU NIGHT. THE FIRST OF WHICH...CURRENTLY OVER THE MID
MS RIVER VALLEY...ARRIVES EARLY THU. HAVE MAINTAINED SOME SCHC POP
IN SRN NH ALONG THE MA BORDER. I REALLY DON/T EXPECT MUCH MORE
THAN SHSN ALONG THE BORDER IF PRECIP DOES FALL. THE SECOND WAVE
ARRIVES LATE THU EVENING...AND SHOULD BE EVEN FARTHER S THAN THE
FIRST.

HIGH PRES BEGINS TO ASSERT MORE CONTROL OVER THE REGION...AND
SKIES WILL QUICKLY CLEAR FROM N TO S. WITH SURFACE RIDGE AXIS
ALIGNED OVERHEAD...EXPECT BOUNDARY LAYER TO DECOUPLE AND THE
TYPICAL COLD SPOTS TO FALL WELL BELOW ZERO. SIDED WITH THE COLDER
MAV/MET GUIDANCE.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
PRETTY QUIET EXTENDED FORECAST THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK....
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY BEFORE
SHIFTING OFFSHORE. DESPITE A FAIR AMOUNT OF SUNSHINE
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO AVERAGE WELL BELOW NORMAL
WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TEENS NORTH AND LOWER TO MID 20S SOUTH.

COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT BRINGING
INCREASING CLOUDS AND A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN IN NORTHERN
ZONES AFTER MIDNIGHT. FRONT WILL TAKE ALL DAY SATURDAY TO PUSH
THROUGH THE REGION. WILL LIKELY INCLUDE LOW CHANCE POPS FOR MOST
OF THE FORECAST AREA BUT EXPECT ANY SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY TO BE LIGHT
AND SPOTTY WITH THIS MOISTURE STARVED SYSTEM. HIGHS ON SATURDAY WILL
REACH THE MID 20S TO MID 30S.

SKIES CLEAR BRIEFLY SATURDAY EVENING AS THE FRONT PUSHES OFFSHORE...
BUT CLOUDS WILL AGAIN BE ON THE INCREASE AFTER MIDNIGHT AS WEAK
CLIPPER APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. WILL SEE A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS TOWARD DAYBREAK IN SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE BUT ONCE AGAIN
EXPECT ANY AMOUNTS TO BE LIGHT AND SPOTTY. ENTIRE FORECAST AREA
WILL SEE THE CHANCE OF OCCASIONAL LIGHT SNOW ON SUNDAY AS LOW
PRESSURE MOVES INTO SOUTHERN MAINE BY LATE IN THE DAY. QPF
FORECAST TO BE LIGHT WITH THIS SYSTEM WITH MOST AREAS SEEING ONLY
AN INCH OR TWO OF SNOW THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.

EXPECT LIGHT SNOW TO WIND DOWN SUNDAY EVENING AS LOW PRESSURE
SHIFTS EAST INTO THE MARITIMES. VARIABLE CLOUDINESS WILL LINGER
THROUGH THE NIGHT AND INTO MONDAY AS LOW PRESSURE TROUGH LINGERS
OVER THE AREA. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL
GRADUALLY CLEAR SKIES DOWNWIND OF THE MOUNTAINS MONDAY AFTERNOON.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.
WARM FRONT PASSING THROUGH SOUTHERN QUEBEC WILL BRUSH NORTHERN
ZONES WITH CLOUDS MONDAY NIGHT BUT THE MAJORITY OF ASSOCIATED
PRECIP WILL REMAIN NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA. NET AFFECT WILL BE
A MODERATION IN TEMPS WITH MUCH OF THE AREA SEEING HIGHS AT OR
ABOVE NORMAL WITH MID 30S NORTH TO LOWER 40S SOUTH.

WARM AIR WILL STICK AROUND ON WEDNESDAY AS WEAK LOW PRESSURE
PASSES SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THRU FRI MORNING.
LOCAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN SCT SHSN ACROSS THE NRN
MOUNTAINS LATE THIS AFTERNOON...BEFORE UPSLOPE FLOW WEAKENS.

LONG TERM...VFR FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. AREAS MVFR/IFR
CEILINGS/VSBY SUNDAY. VFR MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...MARGINAL SCA CONDITIONS CONTINUE THRU THU NIGHT.
WINDS GUST 20 TO 25 KNOTS AT TIMES...WITH SEAS REMAINING RIGHT
AROUND 5 FT. A PERIOD OF MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY IS POSSIBLE LATE
THU NIGHT.

LONG TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED SATURDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$

LEGRO/SINSABAUGH




000
FXUS61 KGYX 042020 CCA
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
320 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST TONIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY AND WILL CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A COLD
FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL CROSS THE
AREA ON SATURDAY. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST
SATURDAY NIGHT AND WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION MONDAY AND WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
HIGH PRES CONTINUES TO NOSE TOWARDS THE FORECAST AREA THIS
AFTERNOON. FOR THE TIME BEING THE REAL COLD PUSH REMAINS BACK
ACROSS CANADA...AND WILL WAIT TO PUSH THRU UNTIL THE OVERNIGHT. AS
SUCH HAVE BLENDED 2 M TEMP GUIDANCE IN WITH THE MAV/MET FOR
OVERNIGHT LOWS. CAA WILL KEEP AT LEAST MARGINAL MIXING IN THE
LOWEST LEVELS...AND I DON/T EXPECT RADIATIONAL COOLING TO BE MUCH
OF AN ISSUE. WITH THE PUSH OF COLD/DRY AIR UPSLOPE SHSN AND CLOUDS
WILL COME TO AN END OVERNIGHT AS WELL.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
A SERIES OF WAVES WILL RIPPLE ALONG THE SLOWLY ADVANCING COLD
FRONT THRU THU NIGHT. THE FIRST OF WHICH...CURRENTLY OVER THE MID
MS RIVER VALLEY...ARRIVES EARLY THU. HAVE MAINTAINED SOME SCHC POP
IN SRN NH ALONG THE MA BORDER. I REALLY DON/T EXPECT MUCH MORE
THAN SHSN ALONG THE BORDER IF PRECIP DOES FALL. THE SECOND WAVE
ARRIVES LATE THU EVENING...AND SHOULD BE EVEN FARTHER S THAN THE
FIRST.

HIGH PRES BEGINS TO ASSERT MORE CONTROL OVER THE REGION...AND
SKIES WILL QUICKLY CLEAR FROM N TO S. WITH SURFACE RIDGE AXIS
ALIGNED OVERHEAD...EXPECT BOUNDARY LAYER TO DECOUPLE AND THE
TYPICAL COLD SPOTS TO FALL WELL BELOW ZERO. SIDED WITH THE COLDER
MAV/MET GUIDANCE.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
PRETTY QUIET EXTENDED FORECAST THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK....
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY BEFORE
SHIFTING OFFSHORE. DESPITE A FAIR AMOUNT OF SUNSHINE
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO AVERAGE WELL BELOW NORMAL
WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TEENS NORTH AND LOWER TO MID 20S SOUTH.

COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT BRINGING
INCREASING CLOUDS AND A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN IN NORTHERN
ZONES AFTER MIDNIGHT. FRONT WILL TAKE ALL DAY SATURDAY TO PUSH
THROUGH THE REGION. WILL LIKELY INCLUDE LOW CHANCE POPS FOR MOST
OF THE FORECAST AREA BUT EXPECT ANY SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY TO BE LIGHT
AND SPOTTY WITH THIS MOISTURE STARVED SYSTEM. HIGHS ON SATURDAY WILL
REACH THE MID 20S TO MID 30S.

SKIES CLEAR BRIEFLY SATURDAY EVENING AS THE FRONT PUSHES OFFSHORE...
BUT CLOUDS WILL AGAIN BE ON THE INCREASE AFTER MIDNIGHT AS WEAK
CLIPPER APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. WILL SEE A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS TOWARD DAYBREAK IN SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE BUT ONCE AGAIN
EXPECT ANY AMOUNTS TO BE LIGHT AND SPOTTY. ENTIRE FORECAST AREA
WILL SEE THE CHANCE OF OCCASIONAL LIGHT SNOW ON SUNDAY AS LOW
PRESSURE MOVES INTO SOUTHERN MAINE BY LATE IN THE DAY. QPF
FORECAST TO BE LIGHT WITH THIS SYSTEM WITH MOST AREAS SEEING ONLY
AN INCH OR TWO OF SNOW THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.

EXPECT LIGHT SNOW TO WIND DOWN SUNDAY EVENING AS LOW PRESSURE
SHIFTS EAST INTO THE MARITIMES. VARIABLE CLOUDINESS WILL LINGER
THROUGH THE NIGHT AND INTO MONDAY AS LOW PRESSURE TROUGH LINGERS
OVER THE AREA. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL
GRADUALLY CLEAR SKIES DOWNWIND OF THE MOUNTAINS MONDAY AFTERNOON.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.
WARM FRONT PASSING THROUGH SOUTHERN QUEBEC WILL BRUSH NORTHERN
ZONES WITH CLOUDS MONDAY NIGHT BUT THE MAJORITY OF ASSOCIATED
PRECIP WILL REMAIN NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA. NET AFFECT WILL BE
A MODERATION IN TEMPS WITH MUCH OF THE AREA SEEING HIGHS AT OR
ABOVE NORMAL WITH MID 30S NORTH TO LOWER 40S SOUTH.

WARM AIR WILL STICK AROUND ON WEDNESDAY AS WEAK LOW PRESSURE
PASSES SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THRU FRI MORNING.
LOCAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN SCT SHSN ACROSS THE NRN
MOUNTAINS LATE THIS AFTERNOON...BEFORE UPSLOPE FLOW WEAKENS.

LONG TERM...VFR FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. AREAS MVFR/IFR
CEILINGS/VSBY SUNDAY. VFR MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...MARGINAL SCA CONDITIONS CONTINUE THRU THU NIGHT.
WINDS GUST 20 TO 25 KNOTS AT TIMES...WITH SEAS REMAINING RIGHT
AROUND 5 FT. A PERIOD OF MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY IS POSSIBLE LATE
THU NIGHT.

LONG TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED SATURDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$

LEGRO/SINSABAUGH




000
FXUS61 KGYX 042020 CCA
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
320 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST TONIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY AND WILL CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A COLD
FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL CROSS THE
AREA ON SATURDAY. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST
SATURDAY NIGHT AND WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION MONDAY AND WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
HIGH PRES CONTINUES TO NOSE TOWARDS THE FORECAST AREA THIS
AFTERNOON. FOR THE TIME BEING THE REAL COLD PUSH REMAINS BACK
ACROSS CANADA...AND WILL WAIT TO PUSH THRU UNTIL THE OVERNIGHT. AS
SUCH HAVE BLENDED 2 M TEMP GUIDANCE IN WITH THE MAV/MET FOR
OVERNIGHT LOWS. CAA WILL KEEP AT LEAST MARGINAL MIXING IN THE
LOWEST LEVELS...AND I DON/T EXPECT RADIATIONAL COOLING TO BE MUCH
OF AN ISSUE. WITH THE PUSH OF COLD/DRY AIR UPSLOPE SHSN AND CLOUDS
WILL COME TO AN END OVERNIGHT AS WELL.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
A SERIES OF WAVES WILL RIPPLE ALONG THE SLOWLY ADVANCING COLD
FRONT THRU THU NIGHT. THE FIRST OF WHICH...CURRENTLY OVER THE MID
MS RIVER VALLEY...ARRIVES EARLY THU. HAVE MAINTAINED SOME SCHC POP
IN SRN NH ALONG THE MA BORDER. I REALLY DON/T EXPECT MUCH MORE
THAN SHSN ALONG THE BORDER IF PRECIP DOES FALL. THE SECOND WAVE
ARRIVES LATE THU EVENING...AND SHOULD BE EVEN FARTHER S THAN THE
FIRST.

HIGH PRES BEGINS TO ASSERT MORE CONTROL OVER THE REGION...AND
SKIES WILL QUICKLY CLEAR FROM N TO S. WITH SURFACE RIDGE AXIS
ALIGNED OVERHEAD...EXPECT BOUNDARY LAYER TO DECOUPLE AND THE
TYPICAL COLD SPOTS TO FALL WELL BELOW ZERO. SIDED WITH THE COLDER
MAV/MET GUIDANCE.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
PRETTY QUIET EXTENDED FORECAST THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK....
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY BEFORE
SHIFTING OFFSHORE. DESPITE A FAIR AMOUNT OF SUNSHINE
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO AVERAGE WELL BELOW NORMAL
WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TEENS NORTH AND LOWER TO MID 20S SOUTH.

COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT BRINGING
INCREASING CLOUDS AND A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN IN NORTHERN
ZONES AFTER MIDNIGHT. FRONT WILL TAKE ALL DAY SATURDAY TO PUSH
THROUGH THE REGION. WILL LIKELY INCLUDE LOW CHANCE POPS FOR MOST
OF THE FORECAST AREA BUT EXPECT ANY SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY TO BE LIGHT
AND SPOTTY WITH THIS MOISTURE STARVED SYSTEM. HIGHS ON SATURDAY WILL
REACH THE MID 20S TO MID 30S.

SKIES CLEAR BRIEFLY SATURDAY EVENING AS THE FRONT PUSHES OFFSHORE...
BUT CLOUDS WILL AGAIN BE ON THE INCREASE AFTER MIDNIGHT AS WEAK
CLIPPER APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. WILL SEE A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS TOWARD DAYBREAK IN SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE BUT ONCE AGAIN
EXPECT ANY AMOUNTS TO BE LIGHT AND SPOTTY. ENTIRE FORECAST AREA
WILL SEE THE CHANCE OF OCCASIONAL LIGHT SNOW ON SUNDAY AS LOW
PRESSURE MOVES INTO SOUTHERN MAINE BY LATE IN THE DAY. QPF
FORECAST TO BE LIGHT WITH THIS SYSTEM WITH MOST AREAS SEEING ONLY
AN INCH OR TWO OF SNOW THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.

EXPECT LIGHT SNOW TO WIND DOWN SUNDAY EVENING AS LOW PRESSURE
SHIFTS EAST INTO THE MARITIMES. VARIABLE CLOUDINESS WILL LINGER
THROUGH THE NIGHT AND INTO MONDAY AS LOW PRESSURE TROUGH LINGERS
OVER THE AREA. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL
GRADUALLY CLEAR SKIES DOWNWIND OF THE MOUNTAINS MONDAY AFTERNOON.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.
WARM FRONT PASSING THROUGH SOUTHERN QUEBEC WILL BRUSH NORTHERN
ZONES WITH CLOUDS MONDAY NIGHT BUT THE MAJORITY OF ASSOCIATED
PRECIP WILL REMAIN NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA. NET AFFECT WILL BE
A MODERATION IN TEMPS WITH MUCH OF THE AREA SEEING HIGHS AT OR
ABOVE NORMAL WITH MID 30S NORTH TO LOWER 40S SOUTH.

WARM AIR WILL STICK AROUND ON WEDNESDAY AS WEAK LOW PRESSURE
PASSES SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THRU FRI MORNING.
LOCAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN SCT SHSN ACROSS THE NRN
MOUNTAINS LATE THIS AFTERNOON...BEFORE UPSLOPE FLOW WEAKENS.

LONG TERM...VFR FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. AREAS MVFR/IFR
CEILINGS/VSBY SUNDAY. VFR MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...MARGINAL SCA CONDITIONS CONTINUE THRU THU NIGHT.
WINDS GUST 20 TO 25 KNOTS AT TIMES...WITH SEAS REMAINING RIGHT
AROUND 5 FT. A PERIOD OF MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY IS POSSIBLE LATE
THU NIGHT.

LONG TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED SATURDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$

LEGRO/SINSABAUGH




000
FXUS61 KGYX 042020 CCA
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
320 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST TONIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY AND WILL CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A COLD
FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL CROSS THE
AREA ON SATURDAY. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST
SATURDAY NIGHT AND WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION MONDAY AND WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
HIGH PRES CONTINUES TO NOSE TOWARDS THE FORECAST AREA THIS
AFTERNOON. FOR THE TIME BEING THE REAL COLD PUSH REMAINS BACK
ACROSS CANADA...AND WILL WAIT TO PUSH THRU UNTIL THE OVERNIGHT. AS
SUCH HAVE BLENDED 2 M TEMP GUIDANCE IN WITH THE MAV/MET FOR
OVERNIGHT LOWS. CAA WILL KEEP AT LEAST MARGINAL MIXING IN THE
LOWEST LEVELS...AND I DON/T EXPECT RADIATIONAL COOLING TO BE MUCH
OF AN ISSUE. WITH THE PUSH OF COLD/DRY AIR UPSLOPE SHSN AND CLOUDS
WILL COME TO AN END OVERNIGHT AS WELL.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
A SERIES OF WAVES WILL RIPPLE ALONG THE SLOWLY ADVANCING COLD
FRONT THRU THU NIGHT. THE FIRST OF WHICH...CURRENTLY OVER THE MID
MS RIVER VALLEY...ARRIVES EARLY THU. HAVE MAINTAINED SOME SCHC POP
IN SRN NH ALONG THE MA BORDER. I REALLY DON/T EXPECT MUCH MORE
THAN SHSN ALONG THE BORDER IF PRECIP DOES FALL. THE SECOND WAVE
ARRIVES LATE THU EVENING...AND SHOULD BE EVEN FARTHER S THAN THE
FIRST.

HIGH PRES BEGINS TO ASSERT MORE CONTROL OVER THE REGION...AND
SKIES WILL QUICKLY CLEAR FROM N TO S. WITH SURFACE RIDGE AXIS
ALIGNED OVERHEAD...EXPECT BOUNDARY LAYER TO DECOUPLE AND THE
TYPICAL COLD SPOTS TO FALL WELL BELOW ZERO. SIDED WITH THE COLDER
MAV/MET GUIDANCE.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
PRETTY QUIET EXTENDED FORECAST THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK....
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY BEFORE
SHIFTING OFFSHORE. DESPITE A FAIR AMOUNT OF SUNSHINE
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO AVERAGE WELL BELOW NORMAL
WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TEENS NORTH AND LOWER TO MID 20S SOUTH.

COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT BRINGING
INCREASING CLOUDS AND A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN IN NORTHERN
ZONES AFTER MIDNIGHT. FRONT WILL TAKE ALL DAY SATURDAY TO PUSH
THROUGH THE REGION. WILL LIKELY INCLUDE LOW CHANCE POPS FOR MOST
OF THE FORECAST AREA BUT EXPECT ANY SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY TO BE LIGHT
AND SPOTTY WITH THIS MOISTURE STARVED SYSTEM. HIGHS ON SATURDAY WILL
REACH THE MID 20S TO MID 30S.

SKIES CLEAR BRIEFLY SATURDAY EVENING AS THE FRONT PUSHES OFFSHORE...
BUT CLOUDS WILL AGAIN BE ON THE INCREASE AFTER MIDNIGHT AS WEAK
CLIPPER APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. WILL SEE A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS TOWARD DAYBREAK IN SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE BUT ONCE AGAIN
EXPECT ANY AMOUNTS TO BE LIGHT AND SPOTTY. ENTIRE FORECAST AREA
WILL SEE THE CHANCE OF OCCASIONAL LIGHT SNOW ON SUNDAY AS LOW
PRESSURE MOVES INTO SOUTHERN MAINE BY LATE IN THE DAY. QPF
FORECAST TO BE LIGHT WITH THIS SYSTEM WITH MOST AREAS SEEING ONLY
AN INCH OR TWO OF SNOW THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.

EXPECT LIGHT SNOW TO WIND DOWN SUNDAY EVENING AS LOW PRESSURE
SHIFTS EAST INTO THE MARITIMES. VARIABLE CLOUDINESS WILL LINGER
THROUGH THE NIGHT AND INTO MONDAY AS LOW PRESSURE TROUGH LINGERS
OVER THE AREA. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL
GRADUALLY CLEAR SKIES DOWNWIND OF THE MOUNTAINS MONDAY AFTERNOON.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.
WARM FRONT PASSING THROUGH SOUTHERN QUEBEC WILL BRUSH NORTHERN
ZONES WITH CLOUDS MONDAY NIGHT BUT THE MAJORITY OF ASSOCIATED
PRECIP WILL REMAIN NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA. NET AFFECT WILL BE
A MODERATION IN TEMPS WITH MUCH OF THE AREA SEEING HIGHS AT OR
ABOVE NORMAL WITH MID 30S NORTH TO LOWER 40S SOUTH.

WARM AIR WILL STICK AROUND ON WEDNESDAY AS WEAK LOW PRESSURE
PASSES SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THRU FRI MORNING.
LOCAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN SCT SHSN ACROSS THE NRN
MOUNTAINS LATE THIS AFTERNOON...BEFORE UPSLOPE FLOW WEAKENS.

LONG TERM...VFR FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. AREAS MVFR/IFR
CEILINGS/VSBY SUNDAY. VFR MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...MARGINAL SCA CONDITIONS CONTINUE THRU THU NIGHT.
WINDS GUST 20 TO 25 KNOTS AT TIMES...WITH SEAS REMAINING RIGHT
AROUND 5 FT. A PERIOD OF MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY IS POSSIBLE LATE
THU NIGHT.

LONG TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED SATURDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$

LEGRO/SINSABAUGH



000
FXUS61 KGYX 041946
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
246 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST TONIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY AND WILL CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A COLD
FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL CROSS THE
AREA ON SATURDAY. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST
SATURDAY NIGHT AND WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION MONDAY AND WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
HIGH PRES CONTINUES TO NOSE TOWARDS THE FORECAST AREA THIS
AFTERNOON. FOR THE TIME BEING THE REAL COLD PUSH REMAINS BACK
ACROSS CANADA...AND WILL WAIT TO PUSH THRU UNTIL THE OVERNIGHT. AS
SUCH HAVE BLENDED 2 M TEMP GUIDANCE IN WITH THE MAV/MET FOR
OVERNIGHT LOWS. CAA WILL KEEP AT LEAST MARGINAL MIXING IN THE
LOWEST LEVELS...AND I DON/T EXPECT RADIATIONAL COOLING TO BE MUCH
OF AN ISSUE. WITH THE PUSH OF COLD/DRY AIR UPSLOPE SHSN AND CLOUDS
WILL COME TO AN END OVERNIGHT AS WELL.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
A SERIES OF WAVES WILL RIPPLE ALONG THE SLOWLY ADVANCING COLD
FRONT THRU THU NIGHT. THE FIRST OF WHICH...CURRENTLY OVER THE MID
MS RIVER VALLEY...ARRIVES EARLY THU. HAVE MAINTAINED SOME SCHC POP
IN SRN NH ALONG THE MA BORDER. I REALLY DON/T EXPECT MUCH MORE
THAN SHSN ALONG THE BORDER IF PRECIP DOES FALL. THE SECOND WAVE
ARRIVES LATE THU EVENING...AND SHOULD BE EVEN FARTHER S THAN THE
FIRST.

HIGH PRES BEGINS TO ASSERT MORE CONTROL OVER THE REGION...AND
SKIES WILL QUICKLY CLEAR FROM N TO S. WITH SURFACE RIDGE AXIS
ALIGNED OVERHEAD...EXPECT BOUNDARY LAYER TO DECOUPLE AND THE
TYPICAL COLD SPOTS TO FALL WELL BELOW ZERO. SIDED WITH THE COLDER
MAV/MET GUIDANCE.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
PRETTY QUIET EXTENDED FORECAST THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK....
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY BEFORE
SHIFTING OFFSHORE. DESPITE A FAIR AMOUNT OF SUNSHINE
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO AVERAGE WELL BELOW NORMAL
WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TEENS NORTH AND LOWER TO MID 20S SOUTH.

COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT BRINGING
INCREASING CLOUDS AND A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN IN NORTHERN
ZONES AFTER MIDNIGHT. FRONT WILL TAKE ALL DAY SATURDAY TO PUSH
THROUGH THE REGION. WILL LIKELY INCLUDE LOW CHANCE POPS FOR MOST
OF THE FORECAST AREA BUT EXPECT ANY SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY TO BE
LIGHT AND SPOTTY WITH THIS MOISTURE STAVED SYSTEM. HIGHS ON
SATURDAY WILL REACH THE MID 20S TO MID 30S.

SKIES CLEAR BRIEFLY SATURDAY EVENING AS THE FRONT PUSHES OFFSHORE...
BUT CLOUDS WILL AGAIN BE ON THE INCREASE AFTER MIDNIGHT AS WEAK
CLIPPER APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. WILL SEE A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS TOWARD DAYBREAK IN SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE BUT ONCE AGAIN
EXPECT ANY AMOUNTS TO BE LIGHT AND SPOTTY. ENTIRE FORECAST AREA
WILL SEE THE CHANCE OF OCCASIONAL LIGHT SNOW ON SUNDAY AS LOW
PRESSURE MOVES INTO SOUTHERN MAINE BY LATE IN THE DAY. QPF
FORECAST TO BE LIGHT WITH THIS SYSTEM WITH MOST AREAS SEEING ONLY
AN INCH OR TWO OF SNOW THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.

EXPECT LIGHT SNOW TO WIND DOWN SUNDAY EVENING AS LOW PRESSURE
SHIFTS EAST INTO THE MARITIMES. VARIABLE CLOUDINESS WILL LINGER
THROUGH THE NIGHT AND INTO MONDAY AS LOW PRESSURE TROUGH LINGERS
OVER THE AREA. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL
GRADUALLY CLEAR SKIES DOWNWIND OF THE MOUNTAINS MONDAY AFTERNOON.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.
WARM FRONT PASSING THROUGH SOUTHERN QUEBEC WILL BRUSH NORTHERN
ZONES WITH CLOUDS MONDAY NIGHT BUT THE MAJORITY OF ASSOCIATED
PRECIP WILL REMAIN NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA. NET AFFECT WILL BE
A MODERATION IN TEMPS WITH MUCH OF THE AREA SEEING HIGHS AT OR
ABOVE NORMAL WITH MID 30S NORTH TO LOWER 40S SOUTH.

WARM AIR WILL STICK AROUND ON WEDNESDAY AS WEAK LOW PRESSURE
PASSES SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THRU FRI MORNING.
LOCAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN SCT SHSN ACROSS THE NRN
MOUNTAINS LATE THIS AFTERNOON...BEFORE UPSLOPE FLOW WEAKENS.

LONG TERM...VFR FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. AREAS MVFR/IFR
CEILINGS/VSBY SUNDAY. VFR MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...MARGINAL SCA CONDITIONS CONTINUE THRU THU NIGHT.
WINDS GUST 20 TO 25 KNOTS AT TIMES...WITH SEAS REMAINING RIGHT
AROUND 5 FT. A PERIOD OF MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY IS POSSIBLE LATE
THU NIGHT.

LONG TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED SATURDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$

LEGRO/SINSABAUGH



000
FXUS61 KGYX 041946
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
246 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST TONIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY AND WILL CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A COLD
FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL CROSS THE
AREA ON SATURDAY. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST
SATURDAY NIGHT AND WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION MONDAY AND WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
HIGH PRES CONTINUES TO NOSE TOWARDS THE FORECAST AREA THIS
AFTERNOON. FOR THE TIME BEING THE REAL COLD PUSH REMAINS BACK
ACROSS CANADA...AND WILL WAIT TO PUSH THRU UNTIL THE OVERNIGHT. AS
SUCH HAVE BLENDED 2 M TEMP GUIDANCE IN WITH THE MAV/MET FOR
OVERNIGHT LOWS. CAA WILL KEEP AT LEAST MARGINAL MIXING IN THE
LOWEST LEVELS...AND I DON/T EXPECT RADIATIONAL COOLING TO BE MUCH
OF AN ISSUE. WITH THE PUSH OF COLD/DRY AIR UPSLOPE SHSN AND CLOUDS
WILL COME TO AN END OVERNIGHT AS WELL.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
A SERIES OF WAVES WILL RIPPLE ALONG THE SLOWLY ADVANCING COLD
FRONT THRU THU NIGHT. THE FIRST OF WHICH...CURRENTLY OVER THE MID
MS RIVER VALLEY...ARRIVES EARLY THU. HAVE MAINTAINED SOME SCHC POP
IN SRN NH ALONG THE MA BORDER. I REALLY DON/T EXPECT MUCH MORE
THAN SHSN ALONG THE BORDER IF PRECIP DOES FALL. THE SECOND WAVE
ARRIVES LATE THU EVENING...AND SHOULD BE EVEN FARTHER S THAN THE
FIRST.

HIGH PRES BEGINS TO ASSERT MORE CONTROL OVER THE REGION...AND
SKIES WILL QUICKLY CLEAR FROM N TO S. WITH SURFACE RIDGE AXIS
ALIGNED OVERHEAD...EXPECT BOUNDARY LAYER TO DECOUPLE AND THE
TYPICAL COLD SPOTS TO FALL WELL BELOW ZERO. SIDED WITH THE COLDER
MAV/MET GUIDANCE.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
PRETTY QUIET EXTENDED FORECAST THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK....
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY BEFORE
SHIFTING OFFSHORE. DESPITE A FAIR AMOUNT OF SUNSHINE
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO AVERAGE WELL BELOW NORMAL
WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TEENS NORTH AND LOWER TO MID 20S SOUTH.

COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT BRINGING
INCREASING CLOUDS AND A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN IN NORTHERN
ZONES AFTER MIDNIGHT. FRONT WILL TAKE ALL DAY SATURDAY TO PUSH
THROUGH THE REGION. WILL LIKELY INCLUDE LOW CHANCE POPS FOR MOST
OF THE FORECAST AREA BUT EXPECT ANY SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY TO BE
LIGHT AND SPOTTY WITH THIS MOISTURE STAVED SYSTEM. HIGHS ON
SATURDAY WILL REACH THE MID 20S TO MID 30S.

SKIES CLEAR BRIEFLY SATURDAY EVENING AS THE FRONT PUSHES OFFSHORE...
BUT CLOUDS WILL AGAIN BE ON THE INCREASE AFTER MIDNIGHT AS WEAK
CLIPPER APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. WILL SEE A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS TOWARD DAYBREAK IN SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE BUT ONCE AGAIN
EXPECT ANY AMOUNTS TO BE LIGHT AND SPOTTY. ENTIRE FORECAST AREA
WILL SEE THE CHANCE OF OCCASIONAL LIGHT SNOW ON SUNDAY AS LOW
PRESSURE MOVES INTO SOUTHERN MAINE BY LATE IN THE DAY. QPF
FORECAST TO BE LIGHT WITH THIS SYSTEM WITH MOST AREAS SEEING ONLY
AN INCH OR TWO OF SNOW THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.

EXPECT LIGHT SNOW TO WIND DOWN SUNDAY EVENING AS LOW PRESSURE
SHIFTS EAST INTO THE MARITIMES. VARIABLE CLOUDINESS WILL LINGER
THROUGH THE NIGHT AND INTO MONDAY AS LOW PRESSURE TROUGH LINGERS
OVER THE AREA. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL
GRADUALLY CLEAR SKIES DOWNWIND OF THE MOUNTAINS MONDAY AFTERNOON.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.
WARM FRONT PASSING THROUGH SOUTHERN QUEBEC WILL BRUSH NORTHERN
ZONES WITH CLOUDS MONDAY NIGHT BUT THE MAJORITY OF ASSOCIATED
PRECIP WILL REMAIN NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA. NET AFFECT WILL BE
A MODERATION IN TEMPS WITH MUCH OF THE AREA SEEING HIGHS AT OR
ABOVE NORMAL WITH MID 30S NORTH TO LOWER 40S SOUTH.

WARM AIR WILL STICK AROUND ON WEDNESDAY AS WEAK LOW PRESSURE
PASSES SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THRU FRI MORNING.
LOCAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN SCT SHSN ACROSS THE NRN
MOUNTAINS LATE THIS AFTERNOON...BEFORE UPSLOPE FLOW WEAKENS.

LONG TERM...VFR FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. AREAS MVFR/IFR
CEILINGS/VSBY SUNDAY. VFR MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...MARGINAL SCA CONDITIONS CONTINUE THRU THU NIGHT.
WINDS GUST 20 TO 25 KNOTS AT TIMES...WITH SEAS REMAINING RIGHT
AROUND 5 FT. A PERIOD OF MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY IS POSSIBLE LATE
THU NIGHT.

LONG TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED SATURDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$

LEGRO/SINSABAUGH




000
FXUS61 KGYX 041946
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
246 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST TONIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY AND WILL CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A COLD
FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL CROSS THE
AREA ON SATURDAY. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST
SATURDAY NIGHT AND WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION MONDAY AND WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
HIGH PRES CONTINUES TO NOSE TOWARDS THE FORECAST AREA THIS
AFTERNOON. FOR THE TIME BEING THE REAL COLD PUSH REMAINS BACK
ACROSS CANADA...AND WILL WAIT TO PUSH THRU UNTIL THE OVERNIGHT. AS
SUCH HAVE BLENDED 2 M TEMP GUIDANCE IN WITH THE MAV/MET FOR
OVERNIGHT LOWS. CAA WILL KEEP AT LEAST MARGINAL MIXING IN THE
LOWEST LEVELS...AND I DON/T EXPECT RADIATIONAL COOLING TO BE MUCH
OF AN ISSUE. WITH THE PUSH OF COLD/DRY AIR UPSLOPE SHSN AND CLOUDS
WILL COME TO AN END OVERNIGHT AS WELL.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
A SERIES OF WAVES WILL RIPPLE ALONG THE SLOWLY ADVANCING COLD
FRONT THRU THU NIGHT. THE FIRST OF WHICH...CURRENTLY OVER THE MID
MS RIVER VALLEY...ARRIVES EARLY THU. HAVE MAINTAINED SOME SCHC POP
IN SRN NH ALONG THE MA BORDER. I REALLY DON/T EXPECT MUCH MORE
THAN SHSN ALONG THE BORDER IF PRECIP DOES FALL. THE SECOND WAVE
ARRIVES LATE THU EVENING...AND SHOULD BE EVEN FARTHER S THAN THE
FIRST.

HIGH PRES BEGINS TO ASSERT MORE CONTROL OVER THE REGION...AND
SKIES WILL QUICKLY CLEAR FROM N TO S. WITH SURFACE RIDGE AXIS
ALIGNED OVERHEAD...EXPECT BOUNDARY LAYER TO DECOUPLE AND THE
TYPICAL COLD SPOTS TO FALL WELL BELOW ZERO. SIDED WITH THE COLDER
MAV/MET GUIDANCE.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
PRETTY QUIET EXTENDED FORECAST THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK....
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY BEFORE
SHIFTING OFFSHORE. DESPITE A FAIR AMOUNT OF SUNSHINE
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO AVERAGE WELL BELOW NORMAL
WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TEENS NORTH AND LOWER TO MID 20S SOUTH.

COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT BRINGING
INCREASING CLOUDS AND A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN IN NORTHERN
ZONES AFTER MIDNIGHT. FRONT WILL TAKE ALL DAY SATURDAY TO PUSH
THROUGH THE REGION. WILL LIKELY INCLUDE LOW CHANCE POPS FOR MOST
OF THE FORECAST AREA BUT EXPECT ANY SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY TO BE
LIGHT AND SPOTTY WITH THIS MOISTURE STAVED SYSTEM. HIGHS ON
SATURDAY WILL REACH THE MID 20S TO MID 30S.

SKIES CLEAR BRIEFLY SATURDAY EVENING AS THE FRONT PUSHES OFFSHORE...
BUT CLOUDS WILL AGAIN BE ON THE INCREASE AFTER MIDNIGHT AS WEAK
CLIPPER APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. WILL SEE A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS TOWARD DAYBREAK IN SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE BUT ONCE AGAIN
EXPECT ANY AMOUNTS TO BE LIGHT AND SPOTTY. ENTIRE FORECAST AREA
WILL SEE THE CHANCE OF OCCASIONAL LIGHT SNOW ON SUNDAY AS LOW
PRESSURE MOVES INTO SOUTHERN MAINE BY LATE IN THE DAY. QPF
FORECAST TO BE LIGHT WITH THIS SYSTEM WITH MOST AREAS SEEING ONLY
AN INCH OR TWO OF SNOW THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.

EXPECT LIGHT SNOW TO WIND DOWN SUNDAY EVENING AS LOW PRESSURE
SHIFTS EAST INTO THE MARITIMES. VARIABLE CLOUDINESS WILL LINGER
THROUGH THE NIGHT AND INTO MONDAY AS LOW PRESSURE TROUGH LINGERS
OVER THE AREA. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL
GRADUALLY CLEAR SKIES DOWNWIND OF THE MOUNTAINS MONDAY AFTERNOON.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.
WARM FRONT PASSING THROUGH SOUTHERN QUEBEC WILL BRUSH NORTHERN
ZONES WITH CLOUDS MONDAY NIGHT BUT THE MAJORITY OF ASSOCIATED
PRECIP WILL REMAIN NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA. NET AFFECT WILL BE
A MODERATION IN TEMPS WITH MUCH OF THE AREA SEEING HIGHS AT OR
ABOVE NORMAL WITH MID 30S NORTH TO LOWER 40S SOUTH.

WARM AIR WILL STICK AROUND ON WEDNESDAY AS WEAK LOW PRESSURE
PASSES SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THRU FRI MORNING.
LOCAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN SCT SHSN ACROSS THE NRN
MOUNTAINS LATE THIS AFTERNOON...BEFORE UPSLOPE FLOW WEAKENS.

LONG TERM...VFR FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. AREAS MVFR/IFR
CEILINGS/VSBY SUNDAY. VFR MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...MARGINAL SCA CONDITIONS CONTINUE THRU THU NIGHT.
WINDS GUST 20 TO 25 KNOTS AT TIMES...WITH SEAS REMAINING RIGHT
AROUND 5 FT. A PERIOD OF MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY IS POSSIBLE LATE
THU NIGHT.

LONG TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED SATURDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$

LEGRO/SINSABAUGH




000
FXUS61 KGYX 041946
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
246 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST TONIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY AND WILL CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A COLD
FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL CROSS THE
AREA ON SATURDAY. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST
SATURDAY NIGHT AND WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION MONDAY AND WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
HIGH PRES CONTINUES TO NOSE TOWARDS THE FORECAST AREA THIS
AFTERNOON. FOR THE TIME BEING THE REAL COLD PUSH REMAINS BACK
ACROSS CANADA...AND WILL WAIT TO PUSH THRU UNTIL THE OVERNIGHT. AS
SUCH HAVE BLENDED 2 M TEMP GUIDANCE IN WITH THE MAV/MET FOR
OVERNIGHT LOWS. CAA WILL KEEP AT LEAST MARGINAL MIXING IN THE
LOWEST LEVELS...AND I DON/T EXPECT RADIATIONAL COOLING TO BE MUCH
OF AN ISSUE. WITH THE PUSH OF COLD/DRY AIR UPSLOPE SHSN AND CLOUDS
WILL COME TO AN END OVERNIGHT AS WELL.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
A SERIES OF WAVES WILL RIPPLE ALONG THE SLOWLY ADVANCING COLD
FRONT THRU THU NIGHT. THE FIRST OF WHICH...CURRENTLY OVER THE MID
MS RIVER VALLEY...ARRIVES EARLY THU. HAVE MAINTAINED SOME SCHC POP
IN SRN NH ALONG THE MA BORDER. I REALLY DON/T EXPECT MUCH MORE
THAN SHSN ALONG THE BORDER IF PRECIP DOES FALL. THE SECOND WAVE
ARRIVES LATE THU EVENING...AND SHOULD BE EVEN FARTHER S THAN THE
FIRST.

HIGH PRES BEGINS TO ASSERT MORE CONTROL OVER THE REGION...AND
SKIES WILL QUICKLY CLEAR FROM N TO S. WITH SURFACE RIDGE AXIS
ALIGNED OVERHEAD...EXPECT BOUNDARY LAYER TO DECOUPLE AND THE
TYPICAL COLD SPOTS TO FALL WELL BELOW ZERO. SIDED WITH THE COLDER
MAV/MET GUIDANCE.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
PRETTY QUIET EXTENDED FORECAST THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK....
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY BEFORE
SHIFTING OFFSHORE. DESPITE A FAIR AMOUNT OF SUNSHINE
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO AVERAGE WELL BELOW NORMAL
WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TEENS NORTH AND LOWER TO MID 20S SOUTH.

COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT BRINGING
INCREASING CLOUDS AND A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN IN NORTHERN
ZONES AFTER MIDNIGHT. FRONT WILL TAKE ALL DAY SATURDAY TO PUSH
THROUGH THE REGION. WILL LIKELY INCLUDE LOW CHANCE POPS FOR MOST
OF THE FORECAST AREA BUT EXPECT ANY SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY TO BE
LIGHT AND SPOTTY WITH THIS MOISTURE STAVED SYSTEM. HIGHS ON
SATURDAY WILL REACH THE MID 20S TO MID 30S.

SKIES CLEAR BRIEFLY SATURDAY EVENING AS THE FRONT PUSHES OFFSHORE...
BUT CLOUDS WILL AGAIN BE ON THE INCREASE AFTER MIDNIGHT AS WEAK
CLIPPER APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. WILL SEE A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS TOWARD DAYBREAK IN SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE BUT ONCE AGAIN
EXPECT ANY AMOUNTS TO BE LIGHT AND SPOTTY. ENTIRE FORECAST AREA
WILL SEE THE CHANCE OF OCCASIONAL LIGHT SNOW ON SUNDAY AS LOW
PRESSURE MOVES INTO SOUTHERN MAINE BY LATE IN THE DAY. QPF
FORECAST TO BE LIGHT WITH THIS SYSTEM WITH MOST AREAS SEEING ONLY
AN INCH OR TWO OF SNOW THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.

EXPECT LIGHT SNOW TO WIND DOWN SUNDAY EVENING AS LOW PRESSURE
SHIFTS EAST INTO THE MARITIMES. VARIABLE CLOUDINESS WILL LINGER
THROUGH THE NIGHT AND INTO MONDAY AS LOW PRESSURE TROUGH LINGERS
OVER THE AREA. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL
GRADUALLY CLEAR SKIES DOWNWIND OF THE MOUNTAINS MONDAY AFTERNOON.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.
WARM FRONT PASSING THROUGH SOUTHERN QUEBEC WILL BRUSH NORTHERN
ZONES WITH CLOUDS MONDAY NIGHT BUT THE MAJORITY OF ASSOCIATED
PRECIP WILL REMAIN NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA. NET AFFECT WILL BE
A MODERATION IN TEMPS WITH MUCH OF THE AREA SEEING HIGHS AT OR
ABOVE NORMAL WITH MID 30S NORTH TO LOWER 40S SOUTH.

WARM AIR WILL STICK AROUND ON WEDNESDAY AS WEAK LOW PRESSURE
PASSES SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THRU FRI MORNING.
LOCAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN SCT SHSN ACROSS THE NRN
MOUNTAINS LATE THIS AFTERNOON...BEFORE UPSLOPE FLOW WEAKENS.

LONG TERM...VFR FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. AREAS MVFR/IFR
CEILINGS/VSBY SUNDAY. VFR MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...MARGINAL SCA CONDITIONS CONTINUE THRU THU NIGHT.
WINDS GUST 20 TO 25 KNOTS AT TIMES...WITH SEAS REMAINING RIGHT
AROUND 5 FT. A PERIOD OF MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY IS POSSIBLE LATE
THU NIGHT.

LONG TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED SATURDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$

LEGRO/SINSABAUGH



000
FXUS61 KCAR 041752
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1252 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK ACROSS QUEBEC TODAY. A COLD FRONT WILL
CROSS THE REGION TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE
REGION THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
1230 PM: ONLY CHG THIS UPDATE IS MINOR CHGS TO FCST HRLY TEMPS
BASED ON LATEST OBSVD TEMPS AND MSLY UNCHGD FCST HI TEMPS POSTED
AT 3-4 PM UPDATE.

ORGNL DISC: THE SNOW WHICH MOVED THROUGH THE AREA OVERNIGHT WILL
CONTINUE AWAY TO THE EAST TODAY AS AN OCCLUDED FRONT PUSHES EAST
ACROSS THE REGION. THE AIR BEHIND THE FRONT IS RELATIVELY MILD.
TODAY WILL TURN OUT PARTLY SUNNY AND BREEZY WITH HIGHS FROM THE
MID 30S NORTH TO NEAR 40 DOWNEAST. COLDER AIR WILL BEGIN TO FILTER
INTO THE AREA TONIGHT UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AS LOW PRESSURE
OVER QUEBEC TRACKS EAST AND COLD HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS PUSHING INTO
THE AREA. LOWS BY MORNING WILL BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS ACROSS THE
NORTH AND TEENS DOWNEAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD TOWARD THE REGION THURSDAY WITH PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES...THEN CROSS THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT WITH MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES. HIGH PRESSURE THEN BEGINS TO MOVE SOUTHEAST FRIDAY
WITH MOSTLY/PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS AND MOSTLY
SUNNY SKIES DOWNEAST. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH NORTHERN AREAS
LATER FRIDAY NIGHT WITH INCREASING CLOUDS ALONG WITH A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS...WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES DOWNEAST.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS THURSDAY/FRIDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT
WITH PARTLY/MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION EARLY SUNDAY...WITH
A COLD FRONT OR POSSIBLE WEAK LOW PRESSURE CROSSING THE REGION
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY THOUGH THE EXACT TIMING IS STILL
UNCERTAIN. THE COLD FRONT OR WEAK LOW COULD BRING A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS OR LIGHT SNOW. LOW PRESSURE SHOULD TRACK NORTH OF THE
REGION TUESDAY...DRAWING A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE REGION LATE.
EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS
ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS TUESDAY WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES DOWNEAST.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS SATURDAY THROUGH
MONDAY...WITH NEAR NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES TUESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: IFR AND MVFR CONDITIONS IN LOW CLOUDS AND SOME
LINGERING SNOW THIS MORNING WILL IMPROVE TO VFR LATE THIS MORNING.
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: GENERALLY EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION
THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...THOUGH OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS LATER FRIDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL
MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION
SATURDAY...PARTICULARLY ACROSS THE NORTH AND MOUNTAINS. VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION EARLY SUNDAY WITH
OCCASIONAL MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: AN SCA WILL CONTINUE TODAY FOR WEST WINDS GUSTING UP TO
30 KT AND TONIGHT FOR NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING UP TO 30 KT.

SHORT TERM: SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY
INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS FRIDAY. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE
THEN POSSIBLE AGAIN FRIDAY NIGHT. A FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FOR
MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY COULD BE NEEDED THURSDAY NIGHT. LIGHT
FREEZING SPRAY IS EXPECTED THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...VJN
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...VJN/NORCROSS
MARINE...VJN/NORCROSS




000
FXUS61 KCAR 041752
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1252 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK ACROSS QUEBEC TODAY. A COLD FRONT WILL
CROSS THE REGION TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE
REGION THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
1230 PM: ONLY CHG THIS UPDATE IS MINOR CHGS TO FCST HRLY TEMPS
BASED ON LATEST OBSVD TEMPS AND MSLY UNCHGD FCST HI TEMPS POSTED
AT 3-4 PM UPDATE.

ORGNL DISC: THE SNOW WHICH MOVED THROUGH THE AREA OVERNIGHT WILL
CONTINUE AWAY TO THE EAST TODAY AS AN OCCLUDED FRONT PUSHES EAST
ACROSS THE REGION. THE AIR BEHIND THE FRONT IS RELATIVELY MILD.
TODAY WILL TURN OUT PARTLY SUNNY AND BREEZY WITH HIGHS FROM THE
MID 30S NORTH TO NEAR 40 DOWNEAST. COLDER AIR WILL BEGIN TO FILTER
INTO THE AREA TONIGHT UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AS LOW PRESSURE
OVER QUEBEC TRACKS EAST AND COLD HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS PUSHING INTO
THE AREA. LOWS BY MORNING WILL BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS ACROSS THE
NORTH AND TEENS DOWNEAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD TOWARD THE REGION THURSDAY WITH PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES...THEN CROSS THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT WITH MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES. HIGH PRESSURE THEN BEGINS TO MOVE SOUTHEAST FRIDAY
WITH MOSTLY/PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS AND MOSTLY
SUNNY SKIES DOWNEAST. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH NORTHERN AREAS
LATER FRIDAY NIGHT WITH INCREASING CLOUDS ALONG WITH A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS...WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES DOWNEAST.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS THURSDAY/FRIDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT
WITH PARTLY/MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION EARLY SUNDAY...WITH
A COLD FRONT OR POSSIBLE WEAK LOW PRESSURE CROSSING THE REGION
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY THOUGH THE EXACT TIMING IS STILL
UNCERTAIN. THE COLD FRONT OR WEAK LOW COULD BRING A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS OR LIGHT SNOW. LOW PRESSURE SHOULD TRACK NORTH OF THE
REGION TUESDAY...DRAWING A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE REGION LATE.
EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS
ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS TUESDAY WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES DOWNEAST.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS SATURDAY THROUGH
MONDAY...WITH NEAR NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES TUESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: IFR AND MVFR CONDITIONS IN LOW CLOUDS AND SOME
LINGERING SNOW THIS MORNING WILL IMPROVE TO VFR LATE THIS MORNING.
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: GENERALLY EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION
THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...THOUGH OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS LATER FRIDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL
MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION
SATURDAY...PARTICULARLY ACROSS THE NORTH AND MOUNTAINS. VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION EARLY SUNDAY WITH
OCCASIONAL MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: AN SCA WILL CONTINUE TODAY FOR WEST WINDS GUSTING UP TO
30 KT AND TONIGHT FOR NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING UP TO 30 KT.

SHORT TERM: SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY
INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS FRIDAY. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE
THEN POSSIBLE AGAIN FRIDAY NIGHT. A FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FOR
MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY COULD BE NEEDED THURSDAY NIGHT. LIGHT
FREEZING SPRAY IS EXPECTED THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...VJN
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...VJN/NORCROSS
MARINE...VJN/NORCROSS




000
FXUS61 KCAR 041752
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1252 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK ACROSS QUEBEC TODAY. A COLD FRONT WILL
CROSS THE REGION TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE
REGION THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
1230 PM: ONLY CHG THIS UPDATE IS MINOR CHGS TO FCST HRLY TEMPS
BASED ON LATEST OBSVD TEMPS AND MSLY UNCHGD FCST HI TEMPS POSTED
AT 3-4 PM UPDATE.

ORGNL DISC: THE SNOW WHICH MOVED THROUGH THE AREA OVERNIGHT WILL
CONTINUE AWAY TO THE EAST TODAY AS AN OCCLUDED FRONT PUSHES EAST
ACROSS THE REGION. THE AIR BEHIND THE FRONT IS RELATIVELY MILD.
TODAY WILL TURN OUT PARTLY SUNNY AND BREEZY WITH HIGHS FROM THE
MID 30S NORTH TO NEAR 40 DOWNEAST. COLDER AIR WILL BEGIN TO FILTER
INTO THE AREA TONIGHT UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AS LOW PRESSURE
OVER QUEBEC TRACKS EAST AND COLD HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS PUSHING INTO
THE AREA. LOWS BY MORNING WILL BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS ACROSS THE
NORTH AND TEENS DOWNEAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD TOWARD THE REGION THURSDAY WITH PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES...THEN CROSS THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT WITH MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES. HIGH PRESSURE THEN BEGINS TO MOVE SOUTHEAST FRIDAY
WITH MOSTLY/PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS AND MOSTLY
SUNNY SKIES DOWNEAST. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH NORTHERN AREAS
LATER FRIDAY NIGHT WITH INCREASING CLOUDS ALONG WITH A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS...WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES DOWNEAST.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS THURSDAY/FRIDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT
WITH PARTLY/MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION EARLY SUNDAY...WITH
A COLD FRONT OR POSSIBLE WEAK LOW PRESSURE CROSSING THE REGION
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY THOUGH THE EXACT TIMING IS STILL
UNCERTAIN. THE COLD FRONT OR WEAK LOW COULD BRING A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS OR LIGHT SNOW. LOW PRESSURE SHOULD TRACK NORTH OF THE
REGION TUESDAY...DRAWING A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE REGION LATE.
EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS
ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS TUESDAY WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES DOWNEAST.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS SATURDAY THROUGH
MONDAY...WITH NEAR NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES TUESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: IFR AND MVFR CONDITIONS IN LOW CLOUDS AND SOME
LINGERING SNOW THIS MORNING WILL IMPROVE TO VFR LATE THIS MORNING.
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: GENERALLY EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION
THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...THOUGH OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS LATER FRIDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL
MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION
SATURDAY...PARTICULARLY ACROSS THE NORTH AND MOUNTAINS. VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION EARLY SUNDAY WITH
OCCASIONAL MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: AN SCA WILL CONTINUE TODAY FOR WEST WINDS GUSTING UP TO
30 KT AND TONIGHT FOR NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING UP TO 30 KT.

SHORT TERM: SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY
INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS FRIDAY. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE
THEN POSSIBLE AGAIN FRIDAY NIGHT. A FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FOR
MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY COULD BE NEEDED THURSDAY NIGHT. LIGHT
FREEZING SPRAY IS EXPECTED THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...VJN
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...VJN/NORCROSS
MARINE...VJN/NORCROSS



000
FXUS61 KCAR 041752
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1252 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK ACROSS QUEBEC TODAY. A COLD FRONT WILL
CROSS THE REGION TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE
REGION THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
1230 PM: ONLY CHG THIS UPDATE IS MINOR CHGS TO FCST HRLY TEMPS
BASED ON LATEST OBSVD TEMPS AND MSLY UNCHGD FCST HI TEMPS POSTED
AT 3-4 PM UPDATE.

ORGNL DISC: THE SNOW WHICH MOVED THROUGH THE AREA OVERNIGHT WILL
CONTINUE AWAY TO THE EAST TODAY AS AN OCCLUDED FRONT PUSHES EAST
ACROSS THE REGION. THE AIR BEHIND THE FRONT IS RELATIVELY MILD.
TODAY WILL TURN OUT PARTLY SUNNY AND BREEZY WITH HIGHS FROM THE
MID 30S NORTH TO NEAR 40 DOWNEAST. COLDER AIR WILL BEGIN TO FILTER
INTO THE AREA TONIGHT UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AS LOW PRESSURE
OVER QUEBEC TRACKS EAST AND COLD HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS PUSHING INTO
THE AREA. LOWS BY MORNING WILL BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS ACROSS THE
NORTH AND TEENS DOWNEAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD TOWARD THE REGION THURSDAY WITH PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES...THEN CROSS THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT WITH MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES. HIGH PRESSURE THEN BEGINS TO MOVE SOUTHEAST FRIDAY
WITH MOSTLY/PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS AND MOSTLY
SUNNY SKIES DOWNEAST. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH NORTHERN AREAS
LATER FRIDAY NIGHT WITH INCREASING CLOUDS ALONG WITH A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS...WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES DOWNEAST.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS THURSDAY/FRIDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT
WITH PARTLY/MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION EARLY SUNDAY...WITH
A COLD FRONT OR POSSIBLE WEAK LOW PRESSURE CROSSING THE REGION
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY THOUGH THE EXACT TIMING IS STILL
UNCERTAIN. THE COLD FRONT OR WEAK LOW COULD BRING A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS OR LIGHT SNOW. LOW PRESSURE SHOULD TRACK NORTH OF THE
REGION TUESDAY...DRAWING A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE REGION LATE.
EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS
ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS TUESDAY WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES DOWNEAST.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS SATURDAY THROUGH
MONDAY...WITH NEAR NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES TUESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: IFR AND MVFR CONDITIONS IN LOW CLOUDS AND SOME
LINGERING SNOW THIS MORNING WILL IMPROVE TO VFR LATE THIS MORNING.
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: GENERALLY EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION
THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...THOUGH OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS LATER FRIDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL
MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION
SATURDAY...PARTICULARLY ACROSS THE NORTH AND MOUNTAINS. VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION EARLY SUNDAY WITH
OCCASIONAL MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: AN SCA WILL CONTINUE TODAY FOR WEST WINDS GUSTING UP TO
30 KT AND TONIGHT FOR NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING UP TO 30 KT.

SHORT TERM: SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY
INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS FRIDAY. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE
THEN POSSIBLE AGAIN FRIDAY NIGHT. A FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FOR
MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY COULD BE NEEDED THURSDAY NIGHT. LIGHT
FREEZING SPRAY IS EXPECTED THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...VJN
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...VJN/NORCROSS
MARINE...VJN/NORCROSS



000
FXUS61 KGYX 041429
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
929 AM EST WED MAR 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL PASS TO OUR NORTH TODAY...DRAGGING A COLD FRONT
THROUGH THE REGION. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST
THURSDAY AND CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A WEAK DISTURBANCE
WILL DRAG TRAILING WARM AND COLD FRONTS ACROSS THE REGION THIS
WEEKEND. ANOTHER VERY WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL CROSS THE REGION EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
UPDATE...HAVE BLENDED IN CMC-REGIONAL CLOUD COVER FOR THE REST OF
THE DAY TO REFLECT FEWER CLOUDS ACROSS NRN ZONES. WITH CANADIAN
HIGH PRES NOSING INTO THE NORTHEAST...LOW CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY BE
SHUNTED S OF THE REGION. LATEST HRRR RUN SHOWS ADDITIONAL CLOUD
COVER MOVING IN FROM THE W THIS AFTERNOON...BUT COLD CLOUD TOPS
REFLECT THAT THESE WILL MAINLY BE HIGH CLOUDS IN NATURE AND
PROBABLY ONLY PARTIALLY OBSCURE THE SUN. UPSLOPE CLOUDS WILL
CONTINUE IN THE MTNS HOWEVER. OTHERWISE...NO CHANGES TO THE
PREVIOUS FORECAST.

PREV DISC...
THE STEADIER WARM AIR ADVECTION PRECIPITATION WAS EXITING THE AREA
AS OF 07Z. IN ITS WAKE...LOW CLOUDS AND PATCHY FOG. THERE WAS SOME
SPOTTY SNOW SHOWERS...SLEET...AND FREEZING DRIZZLE AS WELL. WITH
STEADIER PRECIPITATION NOW ENDED...THE CURRENT WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORIES ARE THEREFORE DROPPED AS OF THE NEW PUBLIC PACKAGE
ISSUANCE THIS MORNING. THE COLD/OCCLUDED FRONT ENTERING WESTERN
NEW ENGLAND AT 07Z WILL RACE EAST AND EXIT THE COAST THIS
MORNING. SOUTHWEST FLOW AND PARTIAL CLEARING BEHIND IT WILL ALLOW
TEMPERATURES TO WARM TO A FEW DEGREES EITHER SIDE OF 40 ACROSS THE
AREA TODAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA TONIGHT WITH A FEW UPSLOPE
SNOW SHOWERS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN. WITH COLD AIR
DEEPENING ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...LOWS WILL RANGE FROM NEAR 20
AT THE COAST TO THE SINGLE NUMBERS ABOVE ZERO NEAR THE
INTERNATIONAL BORDER.

ON THURSDAY...SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE TO COASTAL MAINE SEES A FEW
CLOUDS WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE SITUATED TO OUR SOUTH AND
EAST...OTHERWISE A MOSTLY SUNNY AND SEASONABLY COLD DAY WITH HIGHS
ONLY IN THE TEENS AND 20S.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
MOISTURE STARVED WOULD BE A GOOD LABEL FOR THE THEME FOR ANY
SYSTEMS CROSSING OUR REGION DURING THE LONG TERM PORTION OF THE
FORECAST.

AFTER A COLD SHOT OF AIR DURING THE LATER PART OF THE WORK WEEK...A
PATTERN CHANGE WILL ALLOW FOR MILDER AIR INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL FINALLY ARRIVE NEXT WEEK WITH
READINGS IN THE LOWER 40S EXPECTED OVER MANY LOCATIONS. THE JET
STREAM WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT OUR REGION FROM CANADA.
HOWEVER...UNLIKE FEBRUARY...OUR AIRMASS WILL NOT BE BUILDING FROM
THE ARCTIC AND PLUNGING SOUTHWARD. RATHER...THEY WILL BE
SIGNIFICANTLY MODIFIED WITH TIME AFTER CROSSING NORTH AMERICA.

SEVERAL CLIPPER TYPE SYSTEMS WILL BE CROSSING OUR FORECAST AREA
DURING THE EXTENDED PORTION OF THE FORECAST. THREE SEPARATE SYSTEM
PASSAGES WILL OCCUR SATURDAY NIGHT...MONDAY AND AGAIN ON TUESDAY.
AGAIN...THESE WILL BE VERY MOISTURE STARVED SYSTEMS...SO ONLY VERY
LIGHT SNOW...SNOW FLURRIES OR RAIN SHOWERS WILL ACCOMPANY THE
AREAS OF LOW PRESSURE.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...CONDS IMPROVING TO VFR THROUGHOUT BY 15Z.

LONG TERM...MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SMALL CRAFT EXTENDED THROUGH TONIGHT AS COLD/OCCLUDED
FRONT CROSSES THE AREA THIS MORNING...WITH A SECONDARY COLD
FRONTAL PASSAGE TONIGHT.

LONG TERM...WINDS AND SEAS WILL BE MAINLY BELOW SCA THRESHOLDS
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...HOWEVER WINDS MAY BECOME GUSTY FROM THE
WEST ON MONDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...LEGRO



000
FXUS61 KGYX 041429
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
929 AM EST WED MAR 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL PASS TO OUR NORTH TODAY...DRAGGING A COLD FRONT
THROUGH THE REGION. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST
THURSDAY AND CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A WEAK DISTURBANCE
WILL DRAG TRAILING WARM AND COLD FRONTS ACROSS THE REGION THIS
WEEKEND. ANOTHER VERY WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL CROSS THE REGION EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
UPDATE...HAVE BLENDED IN CMC-REGIONAL CLOUD COVER FOR THE REST OF
THE DAY TO REFLECT FEWER CLOUDS ACROSS NRN ZONES. WITH CANADIAN
HIGH PRES NOSING INTO THE NORTHEAST...LOW CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY BE
SHUNTED S OF THE REGION. LATEST HRRR RUN SHOWS ADDITIONAL CLOUD
COVER MOVING IN FROM THE W THIS AFTERNOON...BUT COLD CLOUD TOPS
REFLECT THAT THESE WILL MAINLY BE HIGH CLOUDS IN NATURE AND
PROBABLY ONLY PARTIALLY OBSCURE THE SUN. UPSLOPE CLOUDS WILL
CONTINUE IN THE MTNS HOWEVER. OTHERWISE...NO CHANGES TO THE
PREVIOUS FORECAST.

PREV DISC...
THE STEADIER WARM AIR ADVECTION PRECIPITATION WAS EXITING THE AREA
AS OF 07Z. IN ITS WAKE...LOW CLOUDS AND PATCHY FOG. THERE WAS SOME
SPOTTY SNOW SHOWERS...SLEET...AND FREEZING DRIZZLE AS WELL. WITH
STEADIER PRECIPITATION NOW ENDED...THE CURRENT WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORIES ARE THEREFORE DROPPED AS OF THE NEW PUBLIC PACKAGE
ISSUANCE THIS MORNING. THE COLD/OCCLUDED FRONT ENTERING WESTERN
NEW ENGLAND AT 07Z WILL RACE EAST AND EXIT THE COAST THIS
MORNING. SOUTHWEST FLOW AND PARTIAL CLEARING BEHIND IT WILL ALLOW
TEMPERATURES TO WARM TO A FEW DEGREES EITHER SIDE OF 40 ACROSS THE
AREA TODAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA TONIGHT WITH A FEW UPSLOPE
SNOW SHOWERS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN. WITH COLD AIR
DEEPENING ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...LOWS WILL RANGE FROM NEAR 20
AT THE COAST TO THE SINGLE NUMBERS ABOVE ZERO NEAR THE
INTERNATIONAL BORDER.

ON THURSDAY...SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE TO COASTAL MAINE SEES A FEW
CLOUDS WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE SITUATED TO OUR SOUTH AND
EAST...OTHERWISE A MOSTLY SUNNY AND SEASONABLY COLD DAY WITH HIGHS
ONLY IN THE TEENS AND 20S.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
MOISTURE STARVED WOULD BE A GOOD LABEL FOR THE THEME FOR ANY
SYSTEMS CROSSING OUR REGION DURING THE LONG TERM PORTION OF THE
FORECAST.

AFTER A COLD SHOT OF AIR DURING THE LATER PART OF THE WORK WEEK...A
PATTERN CHANGE WILL ALLOW FOR MILDER AIR INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL FINALLY ARRIVE NEXT WEEK WITH
READINGS IN THE LOWER 40S EXPECTED OVER MANY LOCATIONS. THE JET
STREAM WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT OUR REGION FROM CANADA.
HOWEVER...UNLIKE FEBRUARY...OUR AIRMASS WILL NOT BE BUILDING FROM
THE ARCTIC AND PLUNGING SOUTHWARD. RATHER...THEY WILL BE
SIGNIFICANTLY MODIFIED WITH TIME AFTER CROSSING NORTH AMERICA.

SEVERAL CLIPPER TYPE SYSTEMS WILL BE CROSSING OUR FORECAST AREA
DURING THE EXTENDED PORTION OF THE FORECAST. THREE SEPARATE SYSTEM
PASSAGES WILL OCCUR SATURDAY NIGHT...MONDAY AND AGAIN ON TUESDAY.
AGAIN...THESE WILL BE VERY MOISTURE STARVED SYSTEMS...SO ONLY VERY
LIGHT SNOW...SNOW FLURRIES OR RAIN SHOWERS WILL ACCOMPANY THE
AREAS OF LOW PRESSURE.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...CONDS IMPROVING TO VFR THROUGHOUT BY 15Z.

LONG TERM...MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SMALL CRAFT EXTENDED THROUGH TONIGHT AS COLD/OCCLUDED
FRONT CROSSES THE AREA THIS MORNING...WITH A SECONDARY COLD
FRONTAL PASSAGE TONIGHT.

LONG TERM...WINDS AND SEAS WILL BE MAINLY BELOW SCA THRESHOLDS
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...HOWEVER WINDS MAY BECOME GUSTY FROM THE
WEST ON MONDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...LEGRO



000
FXUS61 KGYX 041429
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
929 AM EST WED MAR 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL PASS TO OUR NORTH TODAY...DRAGGING A COLD FRONT
THROUGH THE REGION. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST
THURSDAY AND CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A WEAK DISTURBANCE
WILL DRAG TRAILING WARM AND COLD FRONTS ACROSS THE REGION THIS
WEEKEND. ANOTHER VERY WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL CROSS THE REGION EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
UPDATE...HAVE BLENDED IN CMC-REGIONAL CLOUD COVER FOR THE REST OF
THE DAY TO REFLECT FEWER CLOUDS ACROSS NRN ZONES. WITH CANADIAN
HIGH PRES NOSING INTO THE NORTHEAST...LOW CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY BE
SHUNTED S OF THE REGION. LATEST HRRR RUN SHOWS ADDITIONAL CLOUD
COVER MOVING IN FROM THE W THIS AFTERNOON...BUT COLD CLOUD TOPS
REFLECT THAT THESE WILL MAINLY BE HIGH CLOUDS IN NATURE AND
PROBABLY ONLY PARTIALLY OBSCURE THE SUN. UPSLOPE CLOUDS WILL
CONTINUE IN THE MTNS HOWEVER. OTHERWISE...NO CHANGES TO THE
PREVIOUS FORECAST.

PREV DISC...
THE STEADIER WARM AIR ADVECTION PRECIPITATION WAS EXITING THE AREA
AS OF 07Z. IN ITS WAKE...LOW CLOUDS AND PATCHY FOG. THERE WAS SOME
SPOTTY SNOW SHOWERS...SLEET...AND FREEZING DRIZZLE AS WELL. WITH
STEADIER PRECIPITATION NOW ENDED...THE CURRENT WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORIES ARE THEREFORE DROPPED AS OF THE NEW PUBLIC PACKAGE
ISSUANCE THIS MORNING. THE COLD/OCCLUDED FRONT ENTERING WESTERN
NEW ENGLAND AT 07Z WILL RACE EAST AND EXIT THE COAST THIS
MORNING. SOUTHWEST FLOW AND PARTIAL CLEARING BEHIND IT WILL ALLOW
TEMPERATURES TO WARM TO A FEW DEGREES EITHER SIDE OF 40 ACROSS THE
AREA TODAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA TONIGHT WITH A FEW UPSLOPE
SNOW SHOWERS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN. WITH COLD AIR
DEEPENING ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...LOWS WILL RANGE FROM NEAR 20
AT THE COAST TO THE SINGLE NUMBERS ABOVE ZERO NEAR THE
INTERNATIONAL BORDER.

ON THURSDAY...SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE TO COASTAL MAINE SEES A FEW
CLOUDS WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE SITUATED TO OUR SOUTH AND
EAST...OTHERWISE A MOSTLY SUNNY AND SEASONABLY COLD DAY WITH HIGHS
ONLY IN THE TEENS AND 20S.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
MOISTURE STARVED WOULD BE A GOOD LABEL FOR THE THEME FOR ANY
SYSTEMS CROSSING OUR REGION DURING THE LONG TERM PORTION OF THE
FORECAST.

AFTER A COLD SHOT OF AIR DURING THE LATER PART OF THE WORK WEEK...A
PATTERN CHANGE WILL ALLOW FOR MILDER AIR INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL FINALLY ARRIVE NEXT WEEK WITH
READINGS IN THE LOWER 40S EXPECTED OVER MANY LOCATIONS. THE JET
STREAM WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT OUR REGION FROM CANADA.
HOWEVER...UNLIKE FEBRUARY...OUR AIRMASS WILL NOT BE BUILDING FROM
THE ARCTIC AND PLUNGING SOUTHWARD. RATHER...THEY WILL BE
SIGNIFICANTLY MODIFIED WITH TIME AFTER CROSSING NORTH AMERICA.

SEVERAL CLIPPER TYPE SYSTEMS WILL BE CROSSING OUR FORECAST AREA
DURING THE EXTENDED PORTION OF THE FORECAST. THREE SEPARATE SYSTEM
PASSAGES WILL OCCUR SATURDAY NIGHT...MONDAY AND AGAIN ON TUESDAY.
AGAIN...THESE WILL BE VERY MOISTURE STARVED SYSTEMS...SO ONLY VERY
LIGHT SNOW...SNOW FLURRIES OR RAIN SHOWERS WILL ACCOMPANY THE
AREAS OF LOW PRESSURE.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...CONDS IMPROVING TO VFR THROUGHOUT BY 15Z.

LONG TERM...MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SMALL CRAFT EXTENDED THROUGH TONIGHT AS COLD/OCCLUDED
FRONT CROSSES THE AREA THIS MORNING...WITH A SECONDARY COLD
FRONTAL PASSAGE TONIGHT.

LONG TERM...WINDS AND SEAS WILL BE MAINLY BELOW SCA THRESHOLDS
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...HOWEVER WINDS MAY BECOME GUSTY FROM THE
WEST ON MONDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...LEGRO



000
FXUS61 KGYX 041429
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
929 AM EST WED MAR 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL PASS TO OUR NORTH TODAY...DRAGGING A COLD FRONT
THROUGH THE REGION. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST
THURSDAY AND CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A WEAK DISTURBANCE
WILL DRAG TRAILING WARM AND COLD FRONTS ACROSS THE REGION THIS
WEEKEND. ANOTHER VERY WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL CROSS THE REGION EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
UPDATE...HAVE BLENDED IN CMC-REGIONAL CLOUD COVER FOR THE REST OF
THE DAY TO REFLECT FEWER CLOUDS ACROSS NRN ZONES. WITH CANADIAN
HIGH PRES NOSING INTO THE NORTHEAST...LOW CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY BE
SHUNTED S OF THE REGION. LATEST HRRR RUN SHOWS ADDITIONAL CLOUD
COVER MOVING IN FROM THE W THIS AFTERNOON...BUT COLD CLOUD TOPS
REFLECT THAT THESE WILL MAINLY BE HIGH CLOUDS IN NATURE AND
PROBABLY ONLY PARTIALLY OBSCURE THE SUN. UPSLOPE CLOUDS WILL
CONTINUE IN THE MTNS HOWEVER. OTHERWISE...NO CHANGES TO THE
PREVIOUS FORECAST.

PREV DISC...
THE STEADIER WARM AIR ADVECTION PRECIPITATION WAS EXITING THE AREA
AS OF 07Z. IN ITS WAKE...LOW CLOUDS AND PATCHY FOG. THERE WAS SOME
SPOTTY SNOW SHOWERS...SLEET...AND FREEZING DRIZZLE AS WELL. WITH
STEADIER PRECIPITATION NOW ENDED...THE CURRENT WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORIES ARE THEREFORE DROPPED AS OF THE NEW PUBLIC PACKAGE
ISSUANCE THIS MORNING. THE COLD/OCCLUDED FRONT ENTERING WESTERN
NEW ENGLAND AT 07Z WILL RACE EAST AND EXIT THE COAST THIS
MORNING. SOUTHWEST FLOW AND PARTIAL CLEARING BEHIND IT WILL ALLOW
TEMPERATURES TO WARM TO A FEW DEGREES EITHER SIDE OF 40 ACROSS THE
AREA TODAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA TONIGHT WITH A FEW UPSLOPE
SNOW SHOWERS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN. WITH COLD AIR
DEEPENING ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...LOWS WILL RANGE FROM NEAR 20
AT THE COAST TO THE SINGLE NUMBERS ABOVE ZERO NEAR THE
INTERNATIONAL BORDER.

ON THURSDAY...SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE TO COASTAL MAINE SEES A FEW
CLOUDS WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE SITUATED TO OUR SOUTH AND
EAST...OTHERWISE A MOSTLY SUNNY AND SEASONABLY COLD DAY WITH HIGHS
ONLY IN THE TEENS AND 20S.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
MOISTURE STARVED WOULD BE A GOOD LABEL FOR THE THEME FOR ANY
SYSTEMS CROSSING OUR REGION DURING THE LONG TERM PORTION OF THE
FORECAST.

AFTER A COLD SHOT OF AIR DURING THE LATER PART OF THE WORK WEEK...A
PATTERN CHANGE WILL ALLOW FOR MILDER AIR INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL FINALLY ARRIVE NEXT WEEK WITH
READINGS IN THE LOWER 40S EXPECTED OVER MANY LOCATIONS. THE JET
STREAM WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT OUR REGION FROM CANADA.
HOWEVER...UNLIKE FEBRUARY...OUR AIRMASS WILL NOT BE BUILDING FROM
THE ARCTIC AND PLUNGING SOUTHWARD. RATHER...THEY WILL BE
SIGNIFICANTLY MODIFIED WITH TIME AFTER CROSSING NORTH AMERICA.

SEVERAL CLIPPER TYPE SYSTEMS WILL BE CROSSING OUR FORECAST AREA
DURING THE EXTENDED PORTION OF THE FORECAST. THREE SEPARATE SYSTEM
PASSAGES WILL OCCUR SATURDAY NIGHT...MONDAY AND AGAIN ON TUESDAY.
AGAIN...THESE WILL BE VERY MOISTURE STARVED SYSTEMS...SO ONLY VERY
LIGHT SNOW...SNOW FLURRIES OR RAIN SHOWERS WILL ACCOMPANY THE
AREAS OF LOW PRESSURE.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...CONDS IMPROVING TO VFR THROUGHOUT BY 15Z.

LONG TERM...MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SMALL CRAFT EXTENDED THROUGH TONIGHT AS COLD/OCCLUDED
FRONT CROSSES THE AREA THIS MORNING...WITH A SECONDARY COLD
FRONTAL PASSAGE TONIGHT.

LONG TERM...WINDS AND SEAS WILL BE MAINLY BELOW SCA THRESHOLDS
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...HOWEVER WINDS MAY BECOME GUSTY FROM THE
WEST ON MONDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...LEGRO



000
FXUS61 KCAR 041416
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
916 AM EST WED MAR 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK ACROSS QUEBEC TODAY. A COLD FRONT WILL
CROSS THE REGION TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE
REGION THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
9 AM UPDATE: WE DROPPED THE REMAINDER OF THE SN ADV AREA WITH BACK
EDGE OF ACCUMULATING SNFL NOW EXITED WELL E OF THE FA INTO NB.
WITH WIND GUSTS XPCTD TO INCREASE ACROSS SPCLY NRN/WRN PTNS OF THE
FA BY AFTN...WE ADDED PATCHY BLSN THRU THE AFTN...BUT WITH TEMPS
XPCTD TO REACH AOA FZG EVEN ACROSS THE N...THE AMOUNT OF BLSN
COULD BE REDUCED BY MID TO LATE AFTN. OTHERWISE...MINOR CHGS TO
FCST HRLY TEMPS TO UNCHGD FCST HI TEMPS ATTM BASED ON 8-9 SM OBSVD
TEMPS.

ORGNL DISC: THE SNOW WHICH MOVED THROUGH THE AREA OVERNIGHT WILL
CONTINUE AWAY TO THE EAST TODAY AS AN OCCLUDED FRONT PUSHES EAST
ACROSS THE REGION. THE AIR BEHIND THE FRONT IS RELATIVELY MILD.
TODAY WILL TURN OUT PARTLY SUNNY AND BREEZY WITH HIGHS FROM THE
MID 30S NORTH TO NEAR 40 DOWNEAST. COLDER AIR WILL BEGIN TO FILTER
INTO THE AREA TONIGHT UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AS LOW PRESSURE
OVER QUEBEC TRACKS EAST AND COLD HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS PUSHING INTO
THE AREA. LOWS BY MORNING WILL BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS ACROSS THE
NORTH AND TEENS DOWNEAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD TOWARD THE REGION THURSDAY WITH PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES...THEN CROSS THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT WITH MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES. HIGH PRESSURE THEN BEGINS TO MOVE SOUTHEAST FRIDAY
WITH MOSTLY/PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS AND MOSTLY
SUNNY SKIES DOWNEAST. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH NORTHERN AREAS
LATER FRIDAY NIGHT WITH INCREASING CLOUDS ALONG WITH A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS...WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES DOWNEAST.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS THURSDAY/FRIDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT
WITH PARTLY/MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION EARLY SUNDAY...WITH
A COLD FRONT OR POSSIBLE WEAK LOW PRESSURE CROSSING THE REGION
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY THOUGH THE EXACT TIMING IS STILL
UNCERTAIN. THE COLD FRONT OR WEAK LOW COULD BRING A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS OR LIGHT SNOW. LOW PRESSURE SHOULD TRACK NORTH OF THE
REGION TUESDAY...DRAWING A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE REGION LATE.
EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS
ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS TUESDAY WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES DOWNEAST.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS SATURDAY THROUGH
MONDAY...WITH NEAR NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES TUESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /14Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: IFR AND MVFR CONDITIONS IN LOW CLOUDS AND SOME
LINGERING SNOW THIS MORNING WILL IMPROVE TO VFR LATE THIS MORNING.
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: GENERALLY EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION
THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...THOUGH OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS LATER FRIDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL
MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION
SATURDAY...PARTICULARLY ACROSS THE NORTH AND MOUNTAINS. VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION EARLY SUNDAY WITH
OCCASIONAL MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: AN SCA WILL CONTINUE TODAY FOR WEST WINDS GUSTING UP TO
30 KT AND TONIGHT FOR NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING UP TO 30 KT.

SHORT TERM: SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY
INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS FRIDAY. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE
THEN POSSIBLE AGAIN FRIDAY NIGHT. A FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FOR
MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY COULD BE NEEDED THURSDAY NIGHT. LIGHT
FREEZING SPRAY IS EXPECTED THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...VJN
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...VJN/NORCROSS
MARINE...VJN/NORCROSS




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