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000
FXUS66 KSEW 260400
AFDSEW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
900 PM PDT FRI JUL 25 2014

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT AND WEAK LOW LEVEL ONSHORE FLOW WILL
PREVAIL FOR THE NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL GIVE A STRETCH OF SUNNY AND
WARM WEATHER TO WESTERN WASHINGTON.

&&

.SHORT TERM...UPPER HEIGHTS WILL GRADUALLY RISE ACROSS THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST THROUGH MONDAY. AT THE SAME TIME...LOW LEVEL NORTHERLY
FLOW WILL PREVAIL WHICH SHOULD LIMIT NIGHT AND MORNING CLOUDS. THE
LOW LEVEL AIR MASS WILL WARM AT LEAST A FEW DEGREES EACH DAY WHICH
SHOULD TRANSLATE INTO A WARMING TREND ACROSS THE AREA. BY
MONDAY...MOST INLAND AREAS WILL BE IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S EXCEPT
FOR 70S IN THE USUAL COOLER SPOTS NEAR THE WATER. SCHNEIDER

.LONG TERM...PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...AN UPPER RIDGE WILL DOMINATE THE
WEATHER PATTERN OVER THE REGION DURING THIS PERIOD. THE RIDGE AXIS
WILL REMAIN TO OUR EAST...THUS EXPECT LOW LEVEL ONSHORE FLOW TO
PERSIST. THE ONSHORE PRESSURE GRADIENT MAY STRENGTHEN LATE IN THE
PERIOD...LEADING TO MORE CLOUDS BUT THIS WAS TOO FAR IN THE FUTURE
TO BANK ON. ALSO...THERE IS A CHANCE THAT THERE COULD BE SOME TSTMS
OVER THE CASCADES ON DAY 7...DEPENDING ON WHICH MODEL ONE PREFERS.
CHOSE TO BROAD-BRUSH THE FORECAST BY INDICATING ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS
AND CONFINING LOW CLOUDS TO MAINLY THE COAST.

&&

.AVIATION...WEAK UPPER LEVEL RIDGING AND LOW LEVEL ONSHORE FLOW WILL
PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND. MODERATE WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL
BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AS THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
AXIS SHIFTS EAST AND OVER THE GREAT DIVIDE AND AMPLIFIES.

THE AIR MASS OVER WESTERN WASHINGTON WILL REMAIN GENERALLY DRY AND
STABLE THROUGH TONIGHT. AREAS OF LINGERING LOW CLOUDS HAVE CLEARED
THIS AFTERNOON TO CLEAR SKIES. THE FORECAST CHALLENGE OVERNIGHT WILL
BE THE EXTENT TO WHICH LOW CLOUDS AND STRATUS REFORM...ESPECIALLY
OVER THE INTERIOR. GIVEN THE DRYING TREND OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS
OVER THE INTERIOR...EXPECT LOWER CLOUDS TO REFORM ALONG THE
COAST...CHEHALIS GAP...AND STRAIT...WHILE THE REMAINDER OF THE
INTERIOR WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY CLEAR AND VFR THROUGH THE MORNING.

KSEA...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT WITH FEW-SCT025-040 POSSIBLE
EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. NORTHERLY WINDS 6 TO 8 KTS WILL BECOME
NORTHEASTERLY 2 TO 4 KTS AROUND 06Z AND PERSIST THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING.

&&

.MARINE...A PERSISTENT PATTERN OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS AND LOWER PRESSURE INLAND WILL SUPPORT ONSHORE FLOW THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK. AS IS TYPICAL WITH THIS SORT OF PATTERN...EXPECT
STRONGEST WESTERLIES THROUGH THE STRAIT...WITH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVEL WINDS POSSIBLE AT TIMES ESPECIALLY DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON
AND EVENING HOURS. HAVE UPDATED TO THE FORECAST TO REFLECT SOMEWHAT
STRONGER WESTERLIES THIS EVENING...REACHING SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS THROUGH 09Z. WINDS WILL WEAKEN SATURDAY MORNING BEFORE
STRENGTHENING AGAIN FOR SAT AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AND AGAIN ON
SUNDAY.

&&

.SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WA...NONE.
PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CENTRAL AND EASTERN STRAIT.

&&

$$

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE

YOU CAN SEE AN ILLUSTRATED VERSION OF THE FORECAST DISCUSSION AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE/GAFD/LATEST_WEBAFD.HTML





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000
FXUS66 KPQR 260400
AFDPQR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
900 PM PDT FRI JUL 25 2014

.SYNOPSIS...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD INLAND OVER
THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST...ESPECIALLY OVER THE WEEKEND...AND REMAIN NEAR
THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL BRING WARM AND
DRY WEATHER...EXCEPT FOR A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
CASCADES NEAR THE CREST BEGINNING SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS A
FEW WEAK DISTURBANCES LIFT NORTHEAST THROUGH THE REGION. THE MARINE
LAYER WILL BECOME MORE CONFINED TO THE COAST.
&&

.SHORT TERM...CLOUDS CONTINUED TO CLEAR LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING AS AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE AREA. AS OF 8 PM VISIBLE
IMAGERY SHOWS CLEAR SKIES ACROSS THE PORTLAND FORECAST AREA. THERE IS
NOT MUCH SIGNS OF MARINE STRATUS OVER THE WATERS ALTHOUGH NW WINDS
WILL LIKELY PUSH THE STRATO-CUMULUS THAT IS BEYOND 60 NM OFFSHORE
TOWARDS THE COAST LATE TONIGHT. HAVE REDUCED CLOUDS FOR THIS EVENING
ALONG THE COAST...BUT THINK THAT SOME RADIATION FOG OR LOW CLOUDS
COULD STILL DEVELOP ALONG THE COAST AND THE LOWER COLUMBIA RIVER
VALLEY. THINK SOME LOW CLOUDS MAY FORM OVER THE NORTHERN OREGON
CASCADE FOOTHILLS AS WELL...AND POSSIBLY INTO PARTS OF THE NORTHERN
WILLAMETTE VALLEY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

AN UPPER RIDGE ANCHORED INLAND OVER THE WESTERN U.S. WILL BUILD MORE
INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST SATURDAY...WITH LIGHT SOUTHWEST FLOW
ALOFT. THIS WILL BRING MORE WARMING TO THE AREA...WITH 850 MB TEMPS
SUPPORTING HIGHS INLAND IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
THE MAIN AREA OF MORNING LOW CLOUDS WILL BE ALONG THE NORTH COAST
WITH A FINGER EXTENDING INLAND ALONG THE COLUMBIA RIVER TO NEAR
PORTLAND. OTHERWISE EXPECT PLENTY OF SUNSHINE SATURDAY.

THE PATTERN SATURDAY WILL CONTINUE SUNDAY. 850 MB TEMPS SUPPORT HIGHS
INLAND IN THE UPPER 80S TO NEAR 90. AGAIN...THE MAIN CHANCE FOR ANY
LOW CLOUDS SUNDAY MORNING WILL BE ALONG THE FAR NORTH COAST...AND
LOCALLY INLAND ALONG THE COLUMBIA RIVER. THERE IS A WEAK DISTURBANCE
MOVING NORTH SUNDAY INTO CENTRAL OREGON FROM OFF THE CALIFORNIA COAST
THAT MAY GIVE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF DRY TYPE THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE
CASCADE CREST IN OREGON.

MONDAY IS LOOKING MUCH LIKE A REPEAT OF SUNDAY...WITH TEMPS INLAND
VERY SIMILAR...CLOSE TO 90. THERE REMAINS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
AFTERNOON AND EVENING DRY TYPE THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE CASCADE CREST
IN OREGON...MAINLY SOUTH OF MOUNT JEFFERSON OR SOUTH OF SANTIAM PASS.
ANY LOW CLOUDS ON MONDAY MAY NOT REACH PORTLAND. TOLLESON

.LONG TERM...NO CHANGES. PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FOLLOWS...MONDAY NIGHT
THROUGH FRIDAY. MODELS REMAIN IN GENERAL AGREEMENT THAT THE REGION
WILL REMAIN BETWEEN AN UPPER LOW IN THE GULF OF ALASKA AND A
DEVELOPING UPPER RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN CONUS THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT
WEEK. THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRES WILL AMPLIFY AND RETROGRADE WITH THE
AXIS ALIGNED NEAR THE ROCKIES OR EASTERN GREAT BASIN BY MID WEEK.
SOME VARIATION REMAINS IN THE POSITION OF THE RIDGE AXIS IN THE FCST
MODELS AND AMONG ENSEMBLE MEMBERS...WHICH WILL IMPACT WHERE THE
THERMAL TROUGH DEVELOPS. SO WHILE SOME OF THE FINER DETAILS WILL BE
WORKED OUT IN TIME...CONFIDENCE IS INCREASINGLY HIGH IN THE GENERAL
PICTURE. NAMELY...TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE WEEK AND WITH
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ACROSS THE INTERIOR EACH DAY...WITH GUSTY WINDS
ALONG THE COAST IN THE AFTERNOON/EVENING HOURS. MODELS CONTINUE TO
INDICATE POTENTIAL FOR THUNDERSTORMS...PRIMARILY ALONG THE CENTRAL
OREGON AND LANE COUNTY CASCADES AND FOOTHILLS. EXPANDED AREAS FOR WED
ONWARD IN THESE LOCATIONS...GENERALLY IN THE AFTERNOON/EVENING HOURS
BUT ALSO WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SOME LINGERING OVERNIGHT
THUNDERSTORMS. THEREFORE...GENERALIZED THE AREAS AND TIMING OF
POTENTIAL FOR NOW AND WILL FINE TUNE THIS PART OF THE FORECAST AS WE
GET CLOSER TO NEXT WEEK.  CULLEN
&&

.AVIATION...HIGH PRESSURE AND WEAK ONSHORE FLOW WILL RESULT IN
VFR CONDITIONS DOMINATING AT ALL TAF SITES THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY.
LARGER DEWPOINT DEPRESSIONS THIS EVENING SHOULD RESULT IN
SIGNIFICANTLY FEWER PATCHES OF IFR CONDITIONS DEVELOPING LATER
TONIGHT ACROSS THE AREA. NONETHELESS...THERE IS A CHANCE IFR
CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE LOWER COLUMBIA RIVER THAT COULD
EVENTUALLY IMPACT KAST...KPDX AND KTTD TOWARDS DAYBREAK.
HOWEVER...CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW...AND ANY RESTRICTIONS WOULD
LIKELY BE SHORT LIVED.

KPDX AND APPROACHES...VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD DOMINATE THROUGH 06Z
SUNDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE AND WEAK ONSHORE FLOW CONTINUE. THERE IS A
30 PERCENT CHANCE IFR CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP PRIMARILY BETWEEN
13Z AND 16Z SATURDAY. /NEUMAN
&&

.MARINE...HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC AND THERMAL LOW
PRESSURE OVER NORTHERN CALIFORNIA WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH AT
LEAST MONDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN GUSTY NORTH WINDS OF 25 TO 30 KT
ACROSS THE CENTRAL WATERS...THAT MAY PERIODICALLY EXTEND UP IN
THE NORTHERN WATERS LATER IN THE WEEKEND.

SEAS OF 2 TO 4 FT WILL BECOME MORE WIND DOMINATED AND LIKELY PUSH
INTO THE 5 TO 7 FT RANGE...ESPECIALLY FOR THE CENTRAL OREGON
WATERS LATER THIS WEEKEND AS NORTHERLY WINDS STRENGTHEN AND
EXPAND IN AREAL COVERAGE.

STRONG EBB CURRENTS DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS WILL ALSO
CREATE CHOPPY CONDITIONS OVER THE COLUMBIA RIVER BAR EACH DAY THIS
WEEKEND. /NEUMAN
&&

.PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...NONE.
WA...NONE.
PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS FROM 2 PM SATURDAY TO 5 AM PDT
     SUNDAY FOR COASTAL WATERS FROM CASCADE HEAD OR TO FLORENCE OR
    OUT 60 NM.
&&

$$

MORE WEATHER INFORMATION ONLINE AT...HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/PORTLAND

INTERACT WITH US VIA SOCIAL MEDIA
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/US.NATIONALWEATHERSERVICE.PORTLAND.GOV
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSPORTLAND

THIS DISCUSSION IS FOR NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON
FROM THE CASCADE CREST TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. THE AREA IS
COMMONLY REFERRED TO AS THE FORECAST AREA.



000
FXUS66 KPQR 260400
AFDPQR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
900 PM PDT FRI JUL 25 2014

.SYNOPSIS...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD INLAND OVER
THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST...ESPECIALLY OVER THE WEEKEND...AND REMAIN NEAR
THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL BRING WARM AND
DRY WEATHER...EXCEPT FOR A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
CASCADES NEAR THE CREST BEGINNING SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS A
FEW WEAK DISTURBANCES LIFT NORTHEAST THROUGH THE REGION. THE MARINE
LAYER WILL BECOME MORE CONFINED TO THE COAST.
&&

.SHORT TERM...CLOUDS CONTINUED TO CLEAR LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING AS AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE AREA. AS OF 8 PM VISIBLE
IMAGERY SHOWS CLEAR SKIES ACROSS THE PORTLAND FORECAST AREA. THERE IS
NOT MUCH SIGNS OF MARINE STRATUS OVER THE WATERS ALTHOUGH NW WINDS
WILL LIKELY PUSH THE STRATO-CUMULUS THAT IS BEYOND 60 NM OFFSHORE
TOWARDS THE COAST LATE TONIGHT. HAVE REDUCED CLOUDS FOR THIS EVENING
ALONG THE COAST...BUT THINK THAT SOME RADIATION FOG OR LOW CLOUDS
COULD STILL DEVELOP ALONG THE COAST AND THE LOWER COLUMBIA RIVER
VALLEY. THINK SOME LOW CLOUDS MAY FORM OVER THE NORTHERN OREGON
CASCADE FOOTHILLS AS WELL...AND POSSIBLY INTO PARTS OF THE NORTHERN
WILLAMETTE VALLEY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

AN UPPER RIDGE ANCHORED INLAND OVER THE WESTERN U.S. WILL BUILD MORE
INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST SATURDAY...WITH LIGHT SOUTHWEST FLOW
ALOFT. THIS WILL BRING MORE WARMING TO THE AREA...WITH 850 MB TEMPS
SUPPORTING HIGHS INLAND IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
THE MAIN AREA OF MORNING LOW CLOUDS WILL BE ALONG THE NORTH COAST
WITH A FINGER EXTENDING INLAND ALONG THE COLUMBIA RIVER TO NEAR
PORTLAND. OTHERWISE EXPECT PLENTY OF SUNSHINE SATURDAY.

THE PATTERN SATURDAY WILL CONTINUE SUNDAY. 850 MB TEMPS SUPPORT HIGHS
INLAND IN THE UPPER 80S TO NEAR 90. AGAIN...THE MAIN CHANCE FOR ANY
LOW CLOUDS SUNDAY MORNING WILL BE ALONG THE FAR NORTH COAST...AND
LOCALLY INLAND ALONG THE COLUMBIA RIVER. THERE IS A WEAK DISTURBANCE
MOVING NORTH SUNDAY INTO CENTRAL OREGON FROM OFF THE CALIFORNIA COAST
THAT MAY GIVE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF DRY TYPE THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE
CASCADE CREST IN OREGON.

MONDAY IS LOOKING MUCH LIKE A REPEAT OF SUNDAY...WITH TEMPS INLAND
VERY SIMILAR...CLOSE TO 90. THERE REMAINS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
AFTERNOON AND EVENING DRY TYPE THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE CASCADE CREST
IN OREGON...MAINLY SOUTH OF MOUNT JEFFERSON OR SOUTH OF SANTIAM PASS.
ANY LOW CLOUDS ON MONDAY MAY NOT REACH PORTLAND. TOLLESON

.LONG TERM...NO CHANGES. PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FOLLOWS...MONDAY NIGHT
THROUGH FRIDAY. MODELS REMAIN IN GENERAL AGREEMENT THAT THE REGION
WILL REMAIN BETWEEN AN UPPER LOW IN THE GULF OF ALASKA AND A
DEVELOPING UPPER RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN CONUS THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT
WEEK. THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRES WILL AMPLIFY AND RETROGRADE WITH THE
AXIS ALIGNED NEAR THE ROCKIES OR EASTERN GREAT BASIN BY MID WEEK.
SOME VARIATION REMAINS IN THE POSITION OF THE RIDGE AXIS IN THE FCST
MODELS AND AMONG ENSEMBLE MEMBERS...WHICH WILL IMPACT WHERE THE
THERMAL TROUGH DEVELOPS. SO WHILE SOME OF THE FINER DETAILS WILL BE
WORKED OUT IN TIME...CONFIDENCE IS INCREASINGLY HIGH IN THE GENERAL
PICTURE. NAMELY...TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE WEEK AND WITH
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ACROSS THE INTERIOR EACH DAY...WITH GUSTY WINDS
ALONG THE COAST IN THE AFTERNOON/EVENING HOURS. MODELS CONTINUE TO
INDICATE POTENTIAL FOR THUNDERSTORMS...PRIMARILY ALONG THE CENTRAL
OREGON AND LANE COUNTY CASCADES AND FOOTHILLS. EXPANDED AREAS FOR WED
ONWARD IN THESE LOCATIONS...GENERALLY IN THE AFTERNOON/EVENING HOURS
BUT ALSO WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SOME LINGERING OVERNIGHT
THUNDERSTORMS. THEREFORE...GENERALIZED THE AREAS AND TIMING OF
POTENTIAL FOR NOW AND WILL FINE TUNE THIS PART OF THE FORECAST AS WE
GET CLOSER TO NEXT WEEK.  CULLEN
&&

.AVIATION...HIGH PRESSURE AND WEAK ONSHORE FLOW WILL RESULT IN
VFR CONDITIONS DOMINATING AT ALL TAF SITES THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY.
LARGER DEWPOINT DEPRESSIONS THIS EVENING SHOULD RESULT IN
SIGNIFICANTLY FEWER PATCHES OF IFR CONDITIONS DEVELOPING LATER
TONIGHT ACROSS THE AREA. NONETHELESS...THERE IS A CHANCE IFR
CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE LOWER COLUMBIA RIVER THAT COULD
EVENTUALLY IMPACT KAST...KPDX AND KTTD TOWARDS DAYBREAK.
HOWEVER...CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW...AND ANY RESTRICTIONS WOULD
LIKELY BE SHORT LIVED.

KPDX AND APPROACHES...VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD DOMINATE THROUGH 06Z
SUNDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE AND WEAK ONSHORE FLOW CONTINUE. THERE IS A
30 PERCENT CHANCE IFR CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP PRIMARILY BETWEEN
13Z AND 16Z SATURDAY. /NEUMAN
&&

.MARINE...HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC AND THERMAL LOW
PRESSURE OVER NORTHERN CALIFORNIA WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH AT
LEAST MONDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN GUSTY NORTH WINDS OF 25 TO 30 KT
ACROSS THE CENTRAL WATERS...THAT MAY PERIODICALLY EXTEND UP IN
THE NORTHERN WATERS LATER IN THE WEEKEND.

SEAS OF 2 TO 4 FT WILL BECOME MORE WIND DOMINATED AND LIKELY PUSH
INTO THE 5 TO 7 FT RANGE...ESPECIALLY FOR THE CENTRAL OREGON
WATERS LATER THIS WEEKEND AS NORTHERLY WINDS STRENGTHEN AND
EXPAND IN AREAL COVERAGE.

STRONG EBB CURRENTS DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS WILL ALSO
CREATE CHOPPY CONDITIONS OVER THE COLUMBIA RIVER BAR EACH DAY THIS
WEEKEND. /NEUMAN
&&

.PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...NONE.
WA...NONE.
PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS FROM 2 PM SATURDAY TO 5 AM PDT
     SUNDAY FOR COASTAL WATERS FROM CASCADE HEAD OR TO FLORENCE OR
    OUT 60 NM.
&&

$$

MORE WEATHER INFORMATION ONLINE AT...HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/PORTLAND

INTERACT WITH US VIA SOCIAL MEDIA
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/US.NATIONALWEATHERSERVICE.PORTLAND.GOV
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSPORTLAND

THIS DISCUSSION IS FOR NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON
FROM THE CASCADE CREST TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. THE AREA IS
COMMONLY REFERRED TO AS THE FORECAST AREA.




000
FXUS66 KSEW 260400
AFDSEW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
900 PM PDT FRI JUL 25 2014

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT AND WEAK LOW LEVEL ONSHORE FLOW WILL
PREVAIL FOR THE NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL GIVE A STRETCH OF SUNNY AND
WARM WEATHER TO WESTERN WASHINGTON.

&&

.SHORT TERM...UPPER HEIGHTS WILL GRADUALLY RISE ACROSS THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST THROUGH MONDAY. AT THE SAME TIME...LOW LEVEL NORTHERLY
FLOW WILL PREVAIL WHICH SHOULD LIMIT NIGHT AND MORNING CLOUDS. THE
LOW LEVEL AIR MASS WILL WARM AT LEAST A FEW DEGREES EACH DAY WHICH
SHOULD TRANSLATE INTO A WARMING TREND ACROSS THE AREA. BY
MONDAY...MOST INLAND AREAS WILL BE IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S EXCEPT
FOR 70S IN THE USUAL COOLER SPOTS NEAR THE WATER. SCHNEIDER

.LONG TERM...PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...AN UPPER RIDGE WILL DOMINATE THE
WEATHER PATTERN OVER THE REGION DURING THIS PERIOD. THE RIDGE AXIS
WILL REMAIN TO OUR EAST...THUS EXPECT LOW LEVEL ONSHORE FLOW TO
PERSIST. THE ONSHORE PRESSURE GRADIENT MAY STRENGTHEN LATE IN THE
PERIOD...LEADING TO MORE CLOUDS BUT THIS WAS TOO FAR IN THE FUTURE
TO BANK ON. ALSO...THERE IS A CHANCE THAT THERE COULD BE SOME TSTMS
OVER THE CASCADES ON DAY 7...DEPENDING ON WHICH MODEL ONE PREFERS.
CHOSE TO BROAD-BRUSH THE FORECAST BY INDICATING ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS
AND CONFINING LOW CLOUDS TO MAINLY THE COAST.

&&

.AVIATION...WEAK UPPER LEVEL RIDGING AND LOW LEVEL ONSHORE FLOW WILL
PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND. MODERATE WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL
BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AS THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
AXIS SHIFTS EAST AND OVER THE GREAT DIVIDE AND AMPLIFIES.

THE AIR MASS OVER WESTERN WASHINGTON WILL REMAIN GENERALLY DRY AND
STABLE THROUGH TONIGHT. AREAS OF LINGERING LOW CLOUDS HAVE CLEARED
THIS AFTERNOON TO CLEAR SKIES. THE FORECAST CHALLENGE OVERNIGHT WILL
BE THE EXTENT TO WHICH LOW CLOUDS AND STRATUS REFORM...ESPECIALLY
OVER THE INTERIOR. GIVEN THE DRYING TREND OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS
OVER THE INTERIOR...EXPECT LOWER CLOUDS TO REFORM ALONG THE
COAST...CHEHALIS GAP...AND STRAIT...WHILE THE REMAINDER OF THE
INTERIOR WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY CLEAR AND VFR THROUGH THE MORNING.

KSEA...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT WITH FEW-SCT025-040 POSSIBLE
EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. NORTHERLY WINDS 6 TO 8 KTS WILL BECOME
NORTHEASTERLY 2 TO 4 KTS AROUND 06Z AND PERSIST THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING.

&&

.MARINE...A PERSISTENT PATTERN OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS AND LOWER PRESSURE INLAND WILL SUPPORT ONSHORE FLOW THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK. AS IS TYPICAL WITH THIS SORT OF PATTERN...EXPECT
STRONGEST WESTERLIES THROUGH THE STRAIT...WITH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVEL WINDS POSSIBLE AT TIMES ESPECIALLY DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON
AND EVENING HOURS. HAVE UPDATED TO THE FORECAST TO REFLECT SOMEWHAT
STRONGER WESTERLIES THIS EVENING...REACHING SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS THROUGH 09Z. WINDS WILL WEAKEN SATURDAY MORNING BEFORE
STRENGTHENING AGAIN FOR SAT AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AND AGAIN ON
SUNDAY.

&&

.SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WA...NONE.
PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CENTRAL AND EASTERN STRAIT.

&&

$$

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE

YOU CAN SEE AN ILLUSTRATED VERSION OF THE FORECAST DISCUSSION AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE/GAFD/LATEST_WEBAFD.HTML






  [top]

000
FXUS66 KOTX 252337
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
436 PM PDT FRI JUL 25 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
One more day of near average temperatures before a warming and
drying trend begins on Sunday. Hot and dry summer conditions will
continue through the middle of next week. Hot temperatures persist
into the weekend with an increasing risk for thunderstorms.


&&

.DISCUSSION...

Tonight and tomorrow...Flat ridge of high pressure continues
to amplify through this time interval allowing for a drying and
warming trend ending with the region back to near normal
temperatures for this time of year. Weak weather disturbance
passing across the North Cascades this evening may allow for a
small area of isolated light rain or sprinkles and an uptick in
west winds but by late evening all should stabilize and allow the
warming/drying trend to continue. /Pelatti

Saturday night through Monday: The four corners ridge will
continue to build northward into the Inland Northwest. Hot
temperatures are expected beginning Sunday and continuing through
next week. Temperatures in the 90s will be common on Sunday, with
temperatures a few degrees warmer on Monday. Precipitation chances
do not look very high, although some monsoonal moisture may try
and creep up and through the western portion of the ridge on
Monday. The previous forecast already had slight chances for
thunderstorms on Monday for the southern Idaho Panhandle. No
change was made to the location or probabilities. ty

Monday night through Friday: A strong ridge of high pressure
centered along the Northern Rockies will bring hot temperatures
back to the Inland Northwest during this time frame. 850mb
temperatures via the GFS/EC and ensemble means average 27C Tue/Wed
then cool 25-26C Thu/Fri as the ridge axis slips slightly east.
This will equate to high temperatures in the mid to upper 90`s for
most locations with lower 100`s in the lowest elevations from Omak
to Wenatchee, across the lower Columbia Basin, and into the L-C
Valley. Meanwhile, we will closely monitoring the evolution of
monsoonal moisture trickling northward and weak shortwave energy
ejecting from the Pacific near the CA Coast. Some models indicate
this moisture will arrive Wednesday night while others favor
Thur/Fri. The accompanying lift will be weak so we do not
anticipate a major severe weather outbreak as we saw last
Wednesday but the threat for showers and thunderstorms (likely
elevated in nature to start) will increase given the large scale
pattern. Initial concerns will be directly related to wildland
fire starts with the hot/dry days in place before hand. However,
as moisture continues to transport northward...layer precipitable
water values increase between 1.10-1.40" favoring much wetter
storms. /sb

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAFS: High pressure starts to build in over the next 24 hrs,
leading to dry, VFR conditions at TAF sites, with light diurnal
winds with speeds of 10 kts or less. /EK





&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        54  83  57  91  64  94 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Coeur d`Alene  50  81  52  90  59  93 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Pullman        47  83  49  91  55  93 /   0   0   0   0  10  10
Lewiston       57  91  61  97  66 100 /   0   0   0   0  10  10
Colville       51  85  52  94  55  97 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Sandpoint      47  78  48  88  52  93 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Kellogg        51  79  54  89  60  92 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Moses Lake     56  89  59  95  63  98 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Wenatchee      59  88  61  93  66  96 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Omak           53  89  56  94  60  97 /   0   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...None.
&&

$$




000
FXUS66 KOTX 252337
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
436 PM PDT FRI JUL 25 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
One more day of near average temperatures before a warming and
drying trend begins on Sunday. Hot and dry summer conditions will
continue through the middle of next week. Hot temperatures persist
into the weekend with an increasing risk for thunderstorms.


&&

.DISCUSSION...

Tonight and tomorrow...Flat ridge of high pressure continues
to amplify through this time interval allowing for a drying and
warming trend ending with the region back to near normal
temperatures for this time of year. Weak weather disturbance
passing across the North Cascades this evening may allow for a
small area of isolated light rain or sprinkles and an uptick in
west winds but by late evening all should stabilize and allow the
warming/drying trend to continue. /Pelatti

Saturday night through Monday: The four corners ridge will
continue to build northward into the Inland Northwest. Hot
temperatures are expected beginning Sunday and continuing through
next week. Temperatures in the 90s will be common on Sunday, with
temperatures a few degrees warmer on Monday. Precipitation chances
do not look very high, although some monsoonal moisture may try
and creep up and through the western portion of the ridge on
Monday. The previous forecast already had slight chances for
thunderstorms on Monday for the southern Idaho Panhandle. No
change was made to the location or probabilities. ty

Monday night through Friday: A strong ridge of high pressure
centered along the Northern Rockies will bring hot temperatures
back to the Inland Northwest during this time frame. 850mb
temperatures via the GFS/EC and ensemble means average 27C Tue/Wed
then cool 25-26C Thu/Fri as the ridge axis slips slightly east.
This will equate to high temperatures in the mid to upper 90`s for
most locations with lower 100`s in the lowest elevations from Omak
to Wenatchee, across the lower Columbia Basin, and into the L-C
Valley. Meanwhile, we will closely monitoring the evolution of
monsoonal moisture trickling northward and weak shortwave energy
ejecting from the Pacific near the CA Coast. Some models indicate
this moisture will arrive Wednesday night while others favor
Thur/Fri. The accompanying lift will be weak so we do not
anticipate a major severe weather outbreak as we saw last
Wednesday but the threat for showers and thunderstorms (likely
elevated in nature to start) will increase given the large scale
pattern. Initial concerns will be directly related to wildland
fire starts with the hot/dry days in place before hand. However,
as moisture continues to transport northward...layer precipitable
water values increase between 1.10-1.40" favoring much wetter
storms. /sb

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAFS: High pressure starts to build in over the next 24 hrs,
leading to dry, VFR conditions at TAF sites, with light diurnal
winds with speeds of 10 kts or less. /EK





&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        54  83  57  91  64  94 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Coeur d`Alene  50  81  52  90  59  93 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Pullman        47  83  49  91  55  93 /   0   0   0   0  10  10
Lewiston       57  91  61  97  66 100 /   0   0   0   0  10  10
Colville       51  85  52  94  55  97 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Sandpoint      47  78  48  88  52  93 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Kellogg        51  79  54  89  60  92 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Moses Lake     56  89  59  95  63  98 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Wenatchee      59  88  61  93  66  96 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Omak           53  89  56  94  60  97 /   0   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...None.
&&

$$




000
FXUS66 KOTX 252337
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
436 PM PDT FRI JUL 25 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
One more day of near average temperatures before a warming and
drying trend begins on Sunday. Hot and dry summer conditions will
continue through the middle of next week. Hot temperatures persist
into the weekend with an increasing risk for thunderstorms.


&&

.DISCUSSION...

Tonight and tomorrow...Flat ridge of high pressure continues
to amplify through this time interval allowing for a drying and
warming trend ending with the region back to near normal
temperatures for this time of year. Weak weather disturbance
passing across the North Cascades this evening may allow for a
small area of isolated light rain or sprinkles and an uptick in
west winds but by late evening all should stabilize and allow the
warming/drying trend to continue. /Pelatti

Saturday night through Monday: The four corners ridge will
continue to build northward into the Inland Northwest. Hot
temperatures are expected beginning Sunday and continuing through
next week. Temperatures in the 90s will be common on Sunday, with
temperatures a few degrees warmer on Monday. Precipitation chances
do not look very high, although some monsoonal moisture may try
and creep up and through the western portion of the ridge on
Monday. The previous forecast already had slight chances for
thunderstorms on Monday for the southern Idaho Panhandle. No
change was made to the location or probabilities. ty

Monday night through Friday: A strong ridge of high pressure
centered along the Northern Rockies will bring hot temperatures
back to the Inland Northwest during this time frame. 850mb
temperatures via the GFS/EC and ensemble means average 27C Tue/Wed
then cool 25-26C Thu/Fri as the ridge axis slips slightly east.
This will equate to high temperatures in the mid to upper 90`s for
most locations with lower 100`s in the lowest elevations from Omak
to Wenatchee, across the lower Columbia Basin, and into the L-C
Valley. Meanwhile, we will closely monitoring the evolution of
monsoonal moisture trickling northward and weak shortwave energy
ejecting from the Pacific near the CA Coast. Some models indicate
this moisture will arrive Wednesday night while others favor
Thur/Fri. The accompanying lift will be weak so we do not
anticipate a major severe weather outbreak as we saw last
Wednesday but the threat for showers and thunderstorms (likely
elevated in nature to start) will increase given the large scale
pattern. Initial concerns will be directly related to wildland
fire starts with the hot/dry days in place before hand. However,
as moisture continues to transport northward...layer precipitable
water values increase between 1.10-1.40" favoring much wetter
storms. /sb

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAFS: High pressure starts to build in over the next 24 hrs,
leading to dry, VFR conditions at TAF sites, with light diurnal
winds with speeds of 10 kts or less. /EK





&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        54  83  57  91  64  94 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Coeur d`Alene  50  81  52  90  59  93 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Pullman        47  83  49  91  55  93 /   0   0   0   0  10  10
Lewiston       57  91  61  97  66 100 /   0   0   0   0  10  10
Colville       51  85  52  94  55  97 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Sandpoint      47  78  48  88  52  93 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Kellogg        51  79  54  89  60  92 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Moses Lake     56  89  59  95  63  98 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Wenatchee      59  88  61  93  66  96 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Omak           53  89  56  94  60  97 /   0   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...None.
&&

$$




000
FXUS66 KOTX 252337
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
436 PM PDT FRI JUL 25 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
One more day of near average temperatures before a warming and
drying trend begins on Sunday. Hot and dry summer conditions will
continue through the middle of next week. Hot temperatures persist
into the weekend with an increasing risk for thunderstorms.


&&

.DISCUSSION...

Tonight and tomorrow...Flat ridge of high pressure continues
to amplify through this time interval allowing for a drying and
warming trend ending with the region back to near normal
temperatures for this time of year. Weak weather disturbance
passing across the North Cascades this evening may allow for a
small area of isolated light rain or sprinkles and an uptick in
west winds but by late evening all should stabilize and allow the
warming/drying trend to continue. /Pelatti

Saturday night through Monday: The four corners ridge will
continue to build northward into the Inland Northwest. Hot
temperatures are expected beginning Sunday and continuing through
next week. Temperatures in the 90s will be common on Sunday, with
temperatures a few degrees warmer on Monday. Precipitation chances
do not look very high, although some monsoonal moisture may try
and creep up and through the western portion of the ridge on
Monday. The previous forecast already had slight chances for
thunderstorms on Monday for the southern Idaho Panhandle. No
change was made to the location or probabilities. ty

Monday night through Friday: A strong ridge of high pressure
centered along the Northern Rockies will bring hot temperatures
back to the Inland Northwest during this time frame. 850mb
temperatures via the GFS/EC and ensemble means average 27C Tue/Wed
then cool 25-26C Thu/Fri as the ridge axis slips slightly east.
This will equate to high temperatures in the mid to upper 90`s for
most locations with lower 100`s in the lowest elevations from Omak
to Wenatchee, across the lower Columbia Basin, and into the L-C
Valley. Meanwhile, we will closely monitoring the evolution of
monsoonal moisture trickling northward and weak shortwave energy
ejecting from the Pacific near the CA Coast. Some models indicate
this moisture will arrive Wednesday night while others favor
Thur/Fri. The accompanying lift will be weak so we do not
anticipate a major severe weather outbreak as we saw last
Wednesday but the threat for showers and thunderstorms (likely
elevated in nature to start) will increase given the large scale
pattern. Initial concerns will be directly related to wildland
fire starts with the hot/dry days in place before hand. However,
as moisture continues to transport northward...layer precipitable
water values increase between 1.10-1.40" favoring much wetter
storms. /sb

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAFS: High pressure starts to build in over the next 24 hrs,
leading to dry, VFR conditions at TAF sites, with light diurnal
winds with speeds of 10 kts or less. /EK





&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        54  83  57  91  64  94 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Coeur d`Alene  50  81  52  90  59  93 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Pullman        47  83  49  91  55  93 /   0   0   0   0  10  10
Lewiston       57  91  61  97  66 100 /   0   0   0   0  10  10
Colville       51  85  52  94  55  97 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Sandpoint      47  78  48  88  52  93 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Kellogg        51  79  54  89  60  92 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Moses Lake     56  89  59  95  63  98 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Wenatchee      59  88  61  93  66  96 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Omak           53  89  56  94  60  97 /   0   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...None.
&&

$$




000
FXUS66 KSEW 252148
AFDSEW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
248 PM PDT FRI JUL 25 2014

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL PREVAIL OVER THE AREA THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK FOR DRY AND WARMER WEATHER.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
THERE WAS A NARROW BAND OF SHOWERS ABOUT 95 MILES OFFSHORE. THIS
BAND WILL LIKELY DISSIPATE AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE OUTER COASTAL
WATERS. MEANWHILE...CLOUDS BLANKETED THE COAST THIS AFTERNOON
WHILE ELSEWHERE SKIES WERE GENERALLY PARTLY SUNNY. ANTICIPATE
SOME CLEARING OVER THE CWA DURING THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON.

AN UPPER RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST WILL DOMINATE
THE WEATHER PATTERN OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST THROUGH MON. THE
RIDGE AXIS WILL REMAIN TO OUR EAST...THEREFORE ANTICIPATE LIGHT
ONSHORE FLOW TO PERSIST. THE MAIN IMPACT THE ONSHORE FLOW WILL
HAVE ON OUR WEATHER WILL BE TO PREVENT TEMPS FROM BECOMING TOO
HOT. AT ANY RATE...LOOK FOR DRY...SUNNIER...AND WARMER WEATHER
DURING THIS PERIOD.

.LONG TERM...
AN UPPER RIDGE WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER PATTERN OVER THE REGION
DURING THIS PERIOD. THE RIDGE AXIS WILL REMAIN TO OUR EAST...THUS
EXPECT LOW LEVEL ONSHORE FLOW TO PERSIST. THE ONSHORE PRESSURE
GRADIENT MAY STRENGTHEN LATE IN THE PERIOD...LEADING TO MORE
CLOUDS BUT THIS WAS TOO FAR IN THE FUTURE TO BANK ON. ALSO...
THERE IS A CHANCE THAT THERE COULD BE SOME TSTMS OVER THE
CASCADES ON DAY 7...DEPENDING ON WHICH MODEL ONE PREFERS. CHOSE
TO BROAD-BRUSH THE FORECAST BY INDICATING ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS AND
CONFINING LOW CLOUDS TO MAINLY THE COAST.

&&

.AVIATION...WEAK UPPER LEVEL RIDGING AND MODERATE WESTERLY FLOW
ALOFT WILL PERSIST OVER THE REGION TODAY. LOW LEVEL ONSHORE FLOW
WILL REMAIN THROUGH TONIGHT.

THE AIR MASS OVER WESTERN WASHINGTON IS STABLE. AREAS OF LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE REMAINS ALMOST EVERYWHERE EXCEPT OVER SOME OF THE WATER
WAYS OF PUGET SOUND. SCT-BKN CLOUD DECKS 3-5K FT MOST AREAS WILL
PROBABLY REMAIN THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON. THERE WILL BE SOME CLEARING
THIS EVENING BUT THEN EXPECT SOME CLOUD COVER TO RETURN SAT MORNING.
THERE WILL BE SOME MVFR CIGS SAT MORNING BUT THINGS SHOULD CLEAR OUT
FASTER AND MORE COMPLETELY THAN THIS MORNING.

KSEA...SCT-BKN 4K CLOUDS WILL LINGER THIS AFTERNOON BUT SHOULD GO TO
FEW-SCT BY THE EARLY EVENING. OVERNIGHT SHOULD REMAIN FEW-SCT025-040
BUT THERE IS A CHANCE TO BE ON THE EDGE OF BKN015 BY 13Z.

&&

.MARINE...A TYPICAL PATTERN OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS
AND LOWER PRESSURE INLAND WILL SUPPORT ONSHORE FLOW THROUGH EARLY
NEXT WEEK. EXPECT STRONGEST WESTERLIES THROUGH THE STRAIT...WITH
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS POSSIBLE AT TIMES ESPECIALLY DURING
THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. AT THIS POINT SCA WINDS ARE
BORDERLINE FOR TONIGHT...MORE LIKELY FOR SAT...AND BORDERLINE AGAIN
ON SUNDAY.

&&

.SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WA...NONE.
PZ...NONE.

&&

$$

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE

FOR THE GRAPHICAL AFD...VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE/GAFD/LATEST_WEBAFD.HTML




000
FXUS66 KSEW 252148
AFDSEW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
248 PM PDT FRI JUL 25 2014

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL PREVAIL OVER THE AREA THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK FOR DRY AND WARMER WEATHER.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
THERE WAS A NARROW BAND OF SHOWERS ABOUT 95 MILES OFFSHORE. THIS
BAND WILL LIKELY DISSIPATE AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE OUTER COASTAL
WATERS. MEANWHILE...CLOUDS BLANKETED THE COAST THIS AFTERNOON
WHILE ELSEWHERE SKIES WERE GENERALLY PARTLY SUNNY. ANTICIPATE
SOME CLEARING OVER THE CWA DURING THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON.

AN UPPER RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST WILL DOMINATE
THE WEATHER PATTERN OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST THROUGH MON. THE
RIDGE AXIS WILL REMAIN TO OUR EAST...THEREFORE ANTICIPATE LIGHT
ONSHORE FLOW TO PERSIST. THE MAIN IMPACT THE ONSHORE FLOW WILL
HAVE ON OUR WEATHER WILL BE TO PREVENT TEMPS FROM BECOMING TOO
HOT. AT ANY RATE...LOOK FOR DRY...SUNNIER...AND WARMER WEATHER
DURING THIS PERIOD.

.LONG TERM...
AN UPPER RIDGE WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER PATTERN OVER THE REGION
DURING THIS PERIOD. THE RIDGE AXIS WILL REMAIN TO OUR EAST...THUS
EXPECT LOW LEVEL ONSHORE FLOW TO PERSIST. THE ONSHORE PRESSURE
GRADIENT MAY STRENGTHEN LATE IN THE PERIOD...LEADING TO MORE
CLOUDS BUT THIS WAS TOO FAR IN THE FUTURE TO BANK ON. ALSO...
THERE IS A CHANCE THAT THERE COULD BE SOME TSTMS OVER THE
CASCADES ON DAY 7...DEPENDING ON WHICH MODEL ONE PREFERS. CHOSE
TO BROAD-BRUSH THE FORECAST BY INDICATING ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS AND
CONFINING LOW CLOUDS TO MAINLY THE COAST.

&&

.AVIATION...WEAK UPPER LEVEL RIDGING AND MODERATE WESTERLY FLOW
ALOFT WILL PERSIST OVER THE REGION TODAY. LOW LEVEL ONSHORE FLOW
WILL REMAIN THROUGH TONIGHT.

THE AIR MASS OVER WESTERN WASHINGTON IS STABLE. AREAS OF LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE REMAINS ALMOST EVERYWHERE EXCEPT OVER SOME OF THE WATER
WAYS OF PUGET SOUND. SCT-BKN CLOUD DECKS 3-5K FT MOST AREAS WILL
PROBABLY REMAIN THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON. THERE WILL BE SOME CLEARING
THIS EVENING BUT THEN EXPECT SOME CLOUD COVER TO RETURN SAT MORNING.
THERE WILL BE SOME MVFR CIGS SAT MORNING BUT THINGS SHOULD CLEAR OUT
FASTER AND MORE COMPLETELY THAN THIS MORNING.

KSEA...SCT-BKN 4K CLOUDS WILL LINGER THIS AFTERNOON BUT SHOULD GO TO
FEW-SCT BY THE EARLY EVENING. OVERNIGHT SHOULD REMAIN FEW-SCT025-040
BUT THERE IS A CHANCE TO BE ON THE EDGE OF BKN015 BY 13Z.

&&

.MARINE...A TYPICAL PATTERN OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS
AND LOWER PRESSURE INLAND WILL SUPPORT ONSHORE FLOW THROUGH EARLY
NEXT WEEK. EXPECT STRONGEST WESTERLIES THROUGH THE STRAIT...WITH
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS POSSIBLE AT TIMES ESPECIALLY DURING
THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. AT THIS POINT SCA WINDS ARE
BORDERLINE FOR TONIGHT...MORE LIKELY FOR SAT...AND BORDERLINE AGAIN
ON SUNDAY.

&&

.SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WA...NONE.
PZ...NONE.

&&

$$

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE

FOR THE GRAPHICAL AFD...VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE/GAFD/LATEST_WEBAFD.HTML





000
FXUS66 KOTX 252130
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
230 PM PDT FRI JUL 25 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
One more day of near average temperatures before a warming and
drying trend begins on Sunday. Hot and dry summer conditions will
continue through the middle of next week. Hot temperatures persist
into the weekend with an increasing risk for thunderstorms.


&&

.DISCUSSION...

Tonight and tomorrow...Flat ridge of high pressure continues
to amplify through this time interval allowing for a drying and
warming trend ending with the region back to near normal
temperatures for this time of year. Weak weather disturbance
passing across the North Cascades this evening may allow for a
small area of isolated light rain or sprinkles and an uptick in
west winds but by late evening all should stabilize and allow the
warming/drying trend to continue. /Pelatti

Saturday night through Monday: The four corners ridge will
continue to build northward into the Inland Northwest. Hot
temperatures are expected beginning Sunday and continuing through
next week. Temperatures in the 90s will be common on Sunday, with
temperatures a few degrees warmer on Monday. Precipitation chances
do not look very high, although some monsoonal moisture may try
and creep up and through the western portion of the ridge on
Monday. The previous forecast already had slight chances for
thunderstorms on Monday for the southern Idaho Panhandle. No
change was made to the location or probabilities. ty

Monday night through Friday: A strong ridge of high pressure
centered along the Northern Rockies will bring hot temperatures
back to the Inland Northwest during this time frame. 850mb
temperatures via the GFS/EC and ensemble means average 27C Tue/Wed
then cool 25-26C Thu/Fri as the ridge axis slips slightly east.
This will equate to high temperatures in the mid to upper 90`s for
most locations with lower 100`s in the lowest elevations from Omak
to Wenatchee, across the lower Columbia Basin, and into the L-C
Valley. Meanwhile, we will closely monitoring the evolution of
monsoonal moisture trickling northward and weak shortwave energy
ejecting from the Pacific near the CA Coast. Some models indicate
this moisture will arrive Wednesday night while others favor
Thur/Fri. The accompanying lift will be weak so we do not
anticipate a major severe weather outbreak as we saw last
Wednesday but the threat for showers and thunderstorms (likely
elevated in nature to start) will increase given the large scale
pattern. Initial concerns will be directly related to wildland
fire starts with the hot/dry days in place before hand. However,
as moisture continues to transport northward...layer precipitable
water values increase between 1.10-1.40" favoring much wetter
storms. /sb

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAFS: High pressure starts to build in over the next 24 hrs,
leading to dry, VFR conditions at TAF sites, with diurnal winds
with speeds peaking in the afternoon near 10 to 15 kts.





&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        54  83  57  91  64  94 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Coeur d`Alene  50  81  52  90  59  93 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Pullman        47  83  49  91  55  93 /   0   0   0   0  10  10
Lewiston       57  91  61  97  66 100 /   0   0   0   0  10  10
Colville       51  85  52  94  55  97 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Sandpoint      47  78  48  88  52  93 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Kellogg        51  79  54  89  60  92 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Moses Lake     56  89  59  95  63  98 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Wenatchee      59  88  61  93  66  96 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Omak           53  89  56  94  60  97 /   0   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...None.
&&

$$




000
FXUS66 KOTX 252130
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
230 PM PDT FRI JUL 25 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
One more day of near average temperatures before a warming and
drying trend begins on Sunday. Hot and dry summer conditions will
continue through the middle of next week. Hot temperatures persist
into the weekend with an increasing risk for thunderstorms.


&&

.DISCUSSION...

Tonight and tomorrow...Flat ridge of high pressure continues
to amplify through this time interval allowing for a drying and
warming trend ending with the region back to near normal
temperatures for this time of year. Weak weather disturbance
passing across the North Cascades this evening may allow for a
small area of isolated light rain or sprinkles and an uptick in
west winds but by late evening all should stabilize and allow the
warming/drying trend to continue. /Pelatti

Saturday night through Monday: The four corners ridge will
continue to build northward into the Inland Northwest. Hot
temperatures are expected beginning Sunday and continuing through
next week. Temperatures in the 90s will be common on Sunday, with
temperatures a few degrees warmer on Monday. Precipitation chances
do not look very high, although some monsoonal moisture may try
and creep up and through the western portion of the ridge on
Monday. The previous forecast already had slight chances for
thunderstorms on Monday for the southern Idaho Panhandle. No
change was made to the location or probabilities. ty

Monday night through Friday: A strong ridge of high pressure
centered along the Northern Rockies will bring hot temperatures
back to the Inland Northwest during this time frame. 850mb
temperatures via the GFS/EC and ensemble means average 27C Tue/Wed
then cool 25-26C Thu/Fri as the ridge axis slips slightly east.
This will equate to high temperatures in the mid to upper 90`s for
most locations with lower 100`s in the lowest elevations from Omak
to Wenatchee, across the lower Columbia Basin, and into the L-C
Valley. Meanwhile, we will closely monitoring the evolution of
monsoonal moisture trickling northward and weak shortwave energy
ejecting from the Pacific near the CA Coast. Some models indicate
this moisture will arrive Wednesday night while others favor
Thur/Fri. The accompanying lift will be weak so we do not
anticipate a major severe weather outbreak as we saw last
Wednesday but the threat for showers and thunderstorms (likely
elevated in nature to start) will increase given the large scale
pattern. Initial concerns will be directly related to wildland
fire starts with the hot/dry days in place before hand. However,
as moisture continues to transport northward...layer precipitable
water values increase between 1.10-1.40" favoring much wetter
storms. /sb

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAFS: High pressure starts to build in over the next 24 hrs,
leading to dry, VFR conditions at TAF sites, with diurnal winds
with speeds peaking in the afternoon near 10 to 15 kts.





&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        54  83  57  91  64  94 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Coeur d`Alene  50  81  52  90  59  93 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Pullman        47  83  49  91  55  93 /   0   0   0   0  10  10
Lewiston       57  91  61  97  66 100 /   0   0   0   0  10  10
Colville       51  85  52  94  55  97 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Sandpoint      47  78  48  88  52  93 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Kellogg        51  79  54  89  60  92 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Moses Lake     56  89  59  95  63  98 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Wenatchee      59  88  61  93  66  96 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Omak           53  89  56  94  60  97 /   0   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...None.
&&

$$





000
FXUS66 KPQR 252105
AFDPQR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
205 PM PDT FRI JUL 25 2014

.SYNOPSIS...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD INLAND OVER
THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST...ESPECIALLY OVER THE WEEKEND...AND REMAIN NEAR
THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL BRING WARM AND
DRY WEATHER...EXCEPT FOR A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
CASCADES NEAR THE CREST BEGINNING SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS A
FEW WEAK DISTURBANCES LIFT NORTHEAST THROUGH THE REGION. THE MARINE
LAYER WILL BECOME MORE CONFINED TO THE COAST THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
&&

.SHORT TERM...CLOUDS HAVE MOSTLY CLEARED ACROSS SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON
AND NORTHWEST OREGON THIS AFTERNOON...WITH SOME STRATOCUMULUS
REMAINING ALONG THE SOUTH WASHINGTON COAST AND WILLAPA HILLS TO JUST
SOUTH AND EAST OF ASTORIA. TEMPS INLAND ARE RUNNING A FEW DEGREES
AHEAD OF THOSE THURSDAY...SO UPPER 70S TO NEAR 80 STILL APPEAR
WITHIN REACH.

AN UPPER RIDGE ANCHORED INLAND OVER THE WESTERN U.S. WILL BUILD MORE
INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST TONIGHT AND ESPECIALLY SATURDAY...WITH
LIGHT SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. THIS WILL BRING MORE WARMING TO THE AREA
SATURDAY...WITH 850 MB TEMPS SUPPORTING HIGHS INLAND IN THE LOWER TO
MID 80S. THE MAIN AREA OF MORNING LOW CLOUDS WILL BE ALONG THE NORTH
COAST WITH A FINGER EXTENDING INLAND ALONG THE COLUMBIA RIVER TO NEAR
PORTLAND. OTHERWISE EXPECT PLENTY OF SUNSHINE SATURDAY.

THE PATTERN SATURDAY WILL CONTINUE SUNDAY. 850 MB TEMPS SUPPORT HIGHS
INLAND IN THE UPPER 80S TO NEAR 90. AGAIN...THE MAIN CHANCE FOR ANY
LOW CLOUDS SUNDAY MORNING WILL BE ALONG THE FAR NORTH COAST...AND
LOCALLY INLAND ALONG THE COLUMBIA RIVER. THERE IS A WEAK DISTURBANCE
MOVING NORTH SUNDAY INTO CENTRAL OREGON FROM OFF THE CALIFORNIA COAST
THAT MAY GIVE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF DRY TYPE THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE
CASCADE CREST IN OREGON.

MONDAY IS LOOKING MUCH LIKE A REPEAT OF SUNDAY...WITH TEMPS INLAND
VERY SIMILAR...CLOSE TO 90. THERE REMAINS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
AFTERNOON AND EVENING DRY TYPE THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE CASCADE CREST
IN OREGON...MAINLY SOUTH OF MOUNT JEFFERSON OR SOUTH OF SANTIAM PASS.
ANY LOW CLOUDS ON MONDAY MAY NOT REACH PORTLAND. TOLLESON

.LONG TERM...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. MODELS REMAIN IN GENERAL
AGREEMENT THAT THE REGION WILL REMAIN BETWEEN AN UPPER LOW IN THE
GULF OF ALASKA AND A DEVELOPING UPPER RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN CONUS
THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK. THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRES WILL AMPLIFY AND
RETROGRADE WITH THE AXIS ALIGNED NEAR THE ROCKIES OR EASTERN GREAT
BASIN BY MID WEEK. SOME VARIATION REMAINS IN THE POSITION OF THE
RIDGE AXIS IN THE FCST MODELS AND AMONG ENSEMBLE MEMBERS...WHICH WILL
THAT WILL IMPACT WHERE THE THERMAL TROUGH DEVELOPS. SO WHILE SOME OF
THE FINER DETAILS WILL BE WORKED OUT IN TIME...CONFIDENCE IS
INCREASINGLY HIGH IN THE GENERAL PICTURE. NAMELY...TEMPERATURES ABOVE
NORMAL THROUGH THE WEEK AND WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ACROSS THE
INTERIOR EACH DAY...WITH GUSTY WINDS ALONG THE COAST IN THE
AFTERNOON/EVENING HOURS. MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE POTENTIAL FOR
THUNDERSTORMS...PRIMARILY ALONG THE CENTRAL OREGON AND LANE COUNTY
CASCADES AND FOOTHILLS. EXPANDED AREAS FOR WED ONWARD IN THESE
LOCATIONS...GENERALLY IN THE AFTERNOON/EVENING HOURS BUT ALSO WITH A
SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SOME LINGERING OVERNIGHT THUNDERSTORMS.
THEREFORE...GENERALIZED THE AREAS AND TIMING OF POTENTIAL FOR NOW AND
WILL FINE TUNE THIS PART OF THE FORECAST AS WE GET CLOSER TO NEXT
WEEK.  CULLEN
&&

.AVIATION...WIDESPREAD VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT.
MVFR STRATUS WITH CIGS AROUND 1500-2000 FT RETURNS ALONG THE COAST
AND COAST RANGE BETWEEN 10Z- 12Z SAT...PARTICULARLY IMPACTING THE SW
WA AND NW OR COAST. MAY SEE SOME MVFR STRATUS WORK ITS WAY ALONG THE
COLUMBIA RIVER AFTER 12Z SAT...BEFORE BURNING OFF BY 16Z-17Z SAT.
BREEZY NORTH WINDS WILL IMPACT THE CENTRAL OR COAST THROUGH THIS
EVENING AND AGAIN SAT AFTERNOON.

KPDX AND APPROACHES...VFR CONDITIONS CONTINUE NEXT 24 HRS. SHALLOW
MVFR STRATUS WILL ATTEMPT TO WORK ITS WAY ALONG THE COLUMBIA RIVER
AFTER 12Z SAT...WITH CIGS AROUND 1500-2000 FT POSSIBLE THROUGH
16Z-18Z SAT. /27
&&

.MARINE...HIGH PRES OVER THE NE PAC WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH AT
LEAST NEXT TUE...WHILE THERMAL LOW PRES OVER NW CALIF WILL
STRENGTHEN A BIT. EXPECT STRONGER NORTH WINDS TO IMPACT THE CENTRAL
COASTAL WATERS BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON...WITH GUSTS TO 25-30 KT
POSSIBLE. HAVE ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS FOR LATE
SATURDAY...BUT LOOKS LIKE IT MAY BE EXTENDED THROUGH THE REMAINDER
OF THE WEEKEND.

OTHERWISE...SEAS HOLDING AT 4 TO 5 FT...BUT BECOME CHOPPY AT 5 TO 7
FT S OF NEWPORT IN AFTERNOONS/EVENINGS DUE TO GUSTY N WINDS. THE
STRONG EBB CURRENTS EACH MORNING WILL ALSO CREATE CHOPPY CONDITIONS
OVER THE COLUMBIA RIVER BAR. ROCKEY/27
&&

.PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...NONE.
WA...NONE.
PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS FROM 2 PM SATURDAY TO 5 AM PDT
     SUNDAY FOR COASTAL WATERS FROM CASCADE HEAD TO FLORENCE OUT
     60 NM.

&&

$$

MORE WEATHER INFORMATION ONLINE AT...HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/PORTLAND

INTERACT WITH US VIA SOCIAL MEDIA
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/US.NATIONALWEATHERSERVICE.PORTLAND.GOV
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSPORTLAND

THIS DISCUSSION IS FOR NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON
FROM THE CASCADE CREST TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. THE AREA IS
COMMONLY REFERRED TO AS THE FORECAST AREA.




000
FXUS66 KPQR 252105
AFDPQR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
205 PM PDT FRI JUL 25 2014

.SYNOPSIS...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD INLAND OVER
THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST...ESPECIALLY OVER THE WEEKEND...AND REMAIN NEAR
THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL BRING WARM AND
DRY WEATHER...EXCEPT FOR A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
CASCADES NEAR THE CREST BEGINNING SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS A
FEW WEAK DISTURBANCES LIFT NORTHEAST THROUGH THE REGION. THE MARINE
LAYER WILL BECOME MORE CONFINED TO THE COAST THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
&&

.SHORT TERM...CLOUDS HAVE MOSTLY CLEARED ACROSS SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON
AND NORTHWEST OREGON THIS AFTERNOON...WITH SOME STRATOCUMULUS
REMAINING ALONG THE SOUTH WASHINGTON COAST AND WILLAPA HILLS TO JUST
SOUTH AND EAST OF ASTORIA. TEMPS INLAND ARE RUNNING A FEW DEGREES
AHEAD OF THOSE THURSDAY...SO UPPER 70S TO NEAR 80 STILL APPEAR
WITHIN REACH.

AN UPPER RIDGE ANCHORED INLAND OVER THE WESTERN U.S. WILL BUILD MORE
INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST TONIGHT AND ESPECIALLY SATURDAY...WITH
LIGHT SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. THIS WILL BRING MORE WARMING TO THE AREA
SATURDAY...WITH 850 MB TEMPS SUPPORTING HIGHS INLAND IN THE LOWER TO
MID 80S. THE MAIN AREA OF MORNING LOW CLOUDS WILL BE ALONG THE NORTH
COAST WITH A FINGER EXTENDING INLAND ALONG THE COLUMBIA RIVER TO NEAR
PORTLAND. OTHERWISE EXPECT PLENTY OF SUNSHINE SATURDAY.

THE PATTERN SATURDAY WILL CONTINUE SUNDAY. 850 MB TEMPS SUPPORT HIGHS
INLAND IN THE UPPER 80S TO NEAR 90. AGAIN...THE MAIN CHANCE FOR ANY
LOW CLOUDS SUNDAY MORNING WILL BE ALONG THE FAR NORTH COAST...AND
LOCALLY INLAND ALONG THE COLUMBIA RIVER. THERE IS A WEAK DISTURBANCE
MOVING NORTH SUNDAY INTO CENTRAL OREGON FROM OFF THE CALIFORNIA COAST
THAT MAY GIVE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF DRY TYPE THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE
CASCADE CREST IN OREGON.

MONDAY IS LOOKING MUCH LIKE A REPEAT OF SUNDAY...WITH TEMPS INLAND
VERY SIMILAR...CLOSE TO 90. THERE REMAINS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
AFTERNOON AND EVENING DRY TYPE THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE CASCADE CREST
IN OREGON...MAINLY SOUTH OF MOUNT JEFFERSON OR SOUTH OF SANTIAM PASS.
ANY LOW CLOUDS ON MONDAY MAY NOT REACH PORTLAND. TOLLESON

.LONG TERM...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. MODELS REMAIN IN GENERAL
AGREEMENT THAT THE REGION WILL REMAIN BETWEEN AN UPPER LOW IN THE
GULF OF ALASKA AND A DEVELOPING UPPER RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN CONUS
THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK. THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRES WILL AMPLIFY AND
RETROGRADE WITH THE AXIS ALIGNED NEAR THE ROCKIES OR EASTERN GREAT
BASIN BY MID WEEK. SOME VARIATION REMAINS IN THE POSITION OF THE
RIDGE AXIS IN THE FCST MODELS AND AMONG ENSEMBLE MEMBERS...WHICH WILL
THAT WILL IMPACT WHERE THE THERMAL TROUGH DEVELOPS. SO WHILE SOME OF
THE FINER DETAILS WILL BE WORKED OUT IN TIME...CONFIDENCE IS
INCREASINGLY HIGH IN THE GENERAL PICTURE. NAMELY...TEMPERATURES ABOVE
NORMAL THROUGH THE WEEK AND WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ACROSS THE
INTERIOR EACH DAY...WITH GUSTY WINDS ALONG THE COAST IN THE
AFTERNOON/EVENING HOURS. MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE POTENTIAL FOR
THUNDERSTORMS...PRIMARILY ALONG THE CENTRAL OREGON AND LANE COUNTY
CASCADES AND FOOTHILLS. EXPANDED AREAS FOR WED ONWARD IN THESE
LOCATIONS...GENERALLY IN THE AFTERNOON/EVENING HOURS BUT ALSO WITH A
SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SOME LINGERING OVERNIGHT THUNDERSTORMS.
THEREFORE...GENERALIZED THE AREAS AND TIMING OF POTENTIAL FOR NOW AND
WILL FINE TUNE THIS PART OF THE FORECAST AS WE GET CLOSER TO NEXT
WEEK.  CULLEN
&&

.AVIATION...WIDESPREAD VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT.
MVFR STRATUS WITH CIGS AROUND 1500-2000 FT RETURNS ALONG THE COAST
AND COAST RANGE BETWEEN 10Z- 12Z SAT...PARTICULARLY IMPACTING THE SW
WA AND NW OR COAST. MAY SEE SOME MVFR STRATUS WORK ITS WAY ALONG THE
COLUMBIA RIVER AFTER 12Z SAT...BEFORE BURNING OFF BY 16Z-17Z SAT.
BREEZY NORTH WINDS WILL IMPACT THE CENTRAL OR COAST THROUGH THIS
EVENING AND AGAIN SAT AFTERNOON.

KPDX AND APPROACHES...VFR CONDITIONS CONTINUE NEXT 24 HRS. SHALLOW
MVFR STRATUS WILL ATTEMPT TO WORK ITS WAY ALONG THE COLUMBIA RIVER
AFTER 12Z SAT...WITH CIGS AROUND 1500-2000 FT POSSIBLE THROUGH
16Z-18Z SAT. /27
&&

.MARINE...HIGH PRES OVER THE NE PAC WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH AT
LEAST NEXT TUE...WHILE THERMAL LOW PRES OVER NW CALIF WILL
STRENGTHEN A BIT. EXPECT STRONGER NORTH WINDS TO IMPACT THE CENTRAL
COASTAL WATERS BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON...WITH GUSTS TO 25-30 KT
POSSIBLE. HAVE ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS FOR LATE
SATURDAY...BUT LOOKS LIKE IT MAY BE EXTENDED THROUGH THE REMAINDER
OF THE WEEKEND.

OTHERWISE...SEAS HOLDING AT 4 TO 5 FT...BUT BECOME CHOPPY AT 5 TO 7
FT S OF NEWPORT IN AFTERNOONS/EVENINGS DUE TO GUSTY N WINDS. THE
STRONG EBB CURRENTS EACH MORNING WILL ALSO CREATE CHOPPY CONDITIONS
OVER THE COLUMBIA RIVER BAR. ROCKEY/27
&&

.PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...NONE.
WA...NONE.
PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS FROM 2 PM SATURDAY TO 5 AM PDT
     SUNDAY FOR COASTAL WATERS FROM CASCADE HEAD TO FLORENCE OUT
     60 NM.

&&

$$

MORE WEATHER INFORMATION ONLINE AT...HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/PORTLAND

INTERACT WITH US VIA SOCIAL MEDIA
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/US.NATIONALWEATHERSERVICE.PORTLAND.GOV
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSPORTLAND

THIS DISCUSSION IS FOR NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON
FROM THE CASCADE CREST TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. THE AREA IS
COMMONLY REFERRED TO AS THE FORECAST AREA.




000
FXUS66 KPQR 252105
AFDPQR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
205 PM PDT FRI JUL 25 2014

.SYNOPSIS...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD INLAND OVER
THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST...ESPECIALLY OVER THE WEEKEND...AND REMAIN NEAR
THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL BRING WARM AND
DRY WEATHER...EXCEPT FOR A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
CASCADES NEAR THE CREST BEGINNING SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS A
FEW WEAK DISTURBANCES LIFT NORTHEAST THROUGH THE REGION. THE MARINE
LAYER WILL BECOME MORE CONFINED TO THE COAST THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
&&

.SHORT TERM...CLOUDS HAVE MOSTLY CLEARED ACROSS SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON
AND NORTHWEST OREGON THIS AFTERNOON...WITH SOME STRATOCUMULUS
REMAINING ALONG THE SOUTH WASHINGTON COAST AND WILLAPA HILLS TO JUST
SOUTH AND EAST OF ASTORIA. TEMPS INLAND ARE RUNNING A FEW DEGREES
AHEAD OF THOSE THURSDAY...SO UPPER 70S TO NEAR 80 STILL APPEAR
WITHIN REACH.

AN UPPER RIDGE ANCHORED INLAND OVER THE WESTERN U.S. WILL BUILD MORE
INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST TONIGHT AND ESPECIALLY SATURDAY...WITH
LIGHT SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. THIS WILL BRING MORE WARMING TO THE AREA
SATURDAY...WITH 850 MB TEMPS SUPPORTING HIGHS INLAND IN THE LOWER TO
MID 80S. THE MAIN AREA OF MORNING LOW CLOUDS WILL BE ALONG THE NORTH
COAST WITH A FINGER EXTENDING INLAND ALONG THE COLUMBIA RIVER TO NEAR
PORTLAND. OTHERWISE EXPECT PLENTY OF SUNSHINE SATURDAY.

THE PATTERN SATURDAY WILL CONTINUE SUNDAY. 850 MB TEMPS SUPPORT HIGHS
INLAND IN THE UPPER 80S TO NEAR 90. AGAIN...THE MAIN CHANCE FOR ANY
LOW CLOUDS SUNDAY MORNING WILL BE ALONG THE FAR NORTH COAST...AND
LOCALLY INLAND ALONG THE COLUMBIA RIVER. THERE IS A WEAK DISTURBANCE
MOVING NORTH SUNDAY INTO CENTRAL OREGON FROM OFF THE CALIFORNIA COAST
THAT MAY GIVE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF DRY TYPE THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE
CASCADE CREST IN OREGON.

MONDAY IS LOOKING MUCH LIKE A REPEAT OF SUNDAY...WITH TEMPS INLAND
VERY SIMILAR...CLOSE TO 90. THERE REMAINS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
AFTERNOON AND EVENING DRY TYPE THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE CASCADE CREST
IN OREGON...MAINLY SOUTH OF MOUNT JEFFERSON OR SOUTH OF SANTIAM PASS.
ANY LOW CLOUDS ON MONDAY MAY NOT REACH PORTLAND. TOLLESON

.LONG TERM...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. MODELS REMAIN IN GENERAL
AGREEMENT THAT THE REGION WILL REMAIN BETWEEN AN UPPER LOW IN THE
GULF OF ALASKA AND A DEVELOPING UPPER RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN CONUS
THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK. THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRES WILL AMPLIFY AND
RETROGRADE WITH THE AXIS ALIGNED NEAR THE ROCKIES OR EASTERN GREAT
BASIN BY MID WEEK. SOME VARIATION REMAINS IN THE POSITION OF THE
RIDGE AXIS IN THE FCST MODELS AND AMONG ENSEMBLE MEMBERS...WHICH WILL
THAT WILL IMPACT WHERE THE THERMAL TROUGH DEVELOPS. SO WHILE SOME OF
THE FINER DETAILS WILL BE WORKED OUT IN TIME...CONFIDENCE IS
INCREASINGLY HIGH IN THE GENERAL PICTURE. NAMELY...TEMPERATURES ABOVE
NORMAL THROUGH THE WEEK AND WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ACROSS THE
INTERIOR EACH DAY...WITH GUSTY WINDS ALONG THE COAST IN THE
AFTERNOON/EVENING HOURS. MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE POTENTIAL FOR
THUNDERSTORMS...PRIMARILY ALONG THE CENTRAL OREGON AND LANE COUNTY
CASCADES AND FOOTHILLS. EXPANDED AREAS FOR WED ONWARD IN THESE
LOCATIONS...GENERALLY IN THE AFTERNOON/EVENING HOURS BUT ALSO WITH A
SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SOME LINGERING OVERNIGHT THUNDERSTORMS.
THEREFORE...GENERALIZED THE AREAS AND TIMING OF POTENTIAL FOR NOW AND
WILL FINE TUNE THIS PART OF THE FORECAST AS WE GET CLOSER TO NEXT
WEEK.  CULLEN
&&

.AVIATION...WIDESPREAD VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT.
MVFR STRATUS WITH CIGS AROUND 1500-2000 FT RETURNS ALONG THE COAST
AND COAST RANGE BETWEEN 10Z- 12Z SAT...PARTICULARLY IMPACTING THE SW
WA AND NW OR COAST. MAY SEE SOME MVFR STRATUS WORK ITS WAY ALONG THE
COLUMBIA RIVER AFTER 12Z SAT...BEFORE BURNING OFF BY 16Z-17Z SAT.
BREEZY NORTH WINDS WILL IMPACT THE CENTRAL OR COAST THROUGH THIS
EVENING AND AGAIN SAT AFTERNOON.

KPDX AND APPROACHES...VFR CONDITIONS CONTINUE NEXT 24 HRS. SHALLOW
MVFR STRATUS WILL ATTEMPT TO WORK ITS WAY ALONG THE COLUMBIA RIVER
AFTER 12Z SAT...WITH CIGS AROUND 1500-2000 FT POSSIBLE THROUGH
16Z-18Z SAT. /27
&&

.MARINE...HIGH PRES OVER THE NE PAC WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH AT
LEAST NEXT TUE...WHILE THERMAL LOW PRES OVER NW CALIF WILL
STRENGTHEN A BIT. EXPECT STRONGER NORTH WINDS TO IMPACT THE CENTRAL
COASTAL WATERS BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON...WITH GUSTS TO 25-30 KT
POSSIBLE. HAVE ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS FOR LATE
SATURDAY...BUT LOOKS LIKE IT MAY BE EXTENDED THROUGH THE REMAINDER
OF THE WEEKEND.

OTHERWISE...SEAS HOLDING AT 4 TO 5 FT...BUT BECOME CHOPPY AT 5 TO 7
FT S OF NEWPORT IN AFTERNOONS/EVENINGS DUE TO GUSTY N WINDS. THE
STRONG EBB CURRENTS EACH MORNING WILL ALSO CREATE CHOPPY CONDITIONS
OVER THE COLUMBIA RIVER BAR. ROCKEY/27
&&

.PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...NONE.
WA...NONE.
PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS FROM 2 PM SATURDAY TO 5 AM PDT
     SUNDAY FOR COASTAL WATERS FROM CASCADE HEAD TO FLORENCE OUT
     60 NM.

&&

$$

MORE WEATHER INFORMATION ONLINE AT...HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/PORTLAND

INTERACT WITH US VIA SOCIAL MEDIA
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/US.NATIONALWEATHERSERVICE.PORTLAND.GOV
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSPORTLAND

THIS DISCUSSION IS FOR NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON
FROM THE CASCADE CREST TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. THE AREA IS
COMMONLY REFERRED TO AS THE FORECAST AREA.




000
FXUS66 KPQR 252105
AFDPQR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
205 PM PDT FRI JUL 25 2014

.SYNOPSIS...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD INLAND OVER
THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST...ESPECIALLY OVER THE WEEKEND...AND REMAIN NEAR
THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL BRING WARM AND
DRY WEATHER...EXCEPT FOR A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
CASCADES NEAR THE CREST BEGINNING SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS A
FEW WEAK DISTURBANCES LIFT NORTHEAST THROUGH THE REGION. THE MARINE
LAYER WILL BECOME MORE CONFINED TO THE COAST THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
&&

.SHORT TERM...CLOUDS HAVE MOSTLY CLEARED ACROSS SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON
AND NORTHWEST OREGON THIS AFTERNOON...WITH SOME STRATOCUMULUS
REMAINING ALONG THE SOUTH WASHINGTON COAST AND WILLAPA HILLS TO JUST
SOUTH AND EAST OF ASTORIA. TEMPS INLAND ARE RUNNING A FEW DEGREES
AHEAD OF THOSE THURSDAY...SO UPPER 70S TO NEAR 80 STILL APPEAR
WITHIN REACH.

AN UPPER RIDGE ANCHORED INLAND OVER THE WESTERN U.S. WILL BUILD MORE
INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST TONIGHT AND ESPECIALLY SATURDAY...WITH
LIGHT SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. THIS WILL BRING MORE WARMING TO THE AREA
SATURDAY...WITH 850 MB TEMPS SUPPORTING HIGHS INLAND IN THE LOWER TO
MID 80S. THE MAIN AREA OF MORNING LOW CLOUDS WILL BE ALONG THE NORTH
COAST WITH A FINGER EXTENDING INLAND ALONG THE COLUMBIA RIVER TO NEAR
PORTLAND. OTHERWISE EXPECT PLENTY OF SUNSHINE SATURDAY.

THE PATTERN SATURDAY WILL CONTINUE SUNDAY. 850 MB TEMPS SUPPORT HIGHS
INLAND IN THE UPPER 80S TO NEAR 90. AGAIN...THE MAIN CHANCE FOR ANY
LOW CLOUDS SUNDAY MORNING WILL BE ALONG THE FAR NORTH COAST...AND
LOCALLY INLAND ALONG THE COLUMBIA RIVER. THERE IS A WEAK DISTURBANCE
MOVING NORTH SUNDAY INTO CENTRAL OREGON FROM OFF THE CALIFORNIA COAST
THAT MAY GIVE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF DRY TYPE THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE
CASCADE CREST IN OREGON.

MONDAY IS LOOKING MUCH LIKE A REPEAT OF SUNDAY...WITH TEMPS INLAND
VERY SIMILAR...CLOSE TO 90. THERE REMAINS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
AFTERNOON AND EVENING DRY TYPE THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE CASCADE CREST
IN OREGON...MAINLY SOUTH OF MOUNT JEFFERSON OR SOUTH OF SANTIAM PASS.
ANY LOW CLOUDS ON MONDAY MAY NOT REACH PORTLAND. TOLLESON

.LONG TERM...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. MODELS REMAIN IN GENERAL
AGREEMENT THAT THE REGION WILL REMAIN BETWEEN AN UPPER LOW IN THE
GULF OF ALASKA AND A DEVELOPING UPPER RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN CONUS
THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK. THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRES WILL AMPLIFY AND
RETROGRADE WITH THE AXIS ALIGNED NEAR THE ROCKIES OR EASTERN GREAT
BASIN BY MID WEEK. SOME VARIATION REMAINS IN THE POSITION OF THE
RIDGE AXIS IN THE FCST MODELS AND AMONG ENSEMBLE MEMBERS...WHICH WILL
THAT WILL IMPACT WHERE THE THERMAL TROUGH DEVELOPS. SO WHILE SOME OF
THE FINER DETAILS WILL BE WORKED OUT IN TIME...CONFIDENCE IS
INCREASINGLY HIGH IN THE GENERAL PICTURE. NAMELY...TEMPERATURES ABOVE
NORMAL THROUGH THE WEEK AND WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ACROSS THE
INTERIOR EACH DAY...WITH GUSTY WINDS ALONG THE COAST IN THE
AFTERNOON/EVENING HOURS. MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE POTENTIAL FOR
THUNDERSTORMS...PRIMARILY ALONG THE CENTRAL OREGON AND LANE COUNTY
CASCADES AND FOOTHILLS. EXPANDED AREAS FOR WED ONWARD IN THESE
LOCATIONS...GENERALLY IN THE AFTERNOON/EVENING HOURS BUT ALSO WITH A
SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SOME LINGERING OVERNIGHT THUNDERSTORMS.
THEREFORE...GENERALIZED THE AREAS AND TIMING OF POTENTIAL FOR NOW AND
WILL FINE TUNE THIS PART OF THE FORECAST AS WE GET CLOSER TO NEXT
WEEK.  CULLEN
&&

.AVIATION...WIDESPREAD VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT.
MVFR STRATUS WITH CIGS AROUND 1500-2000 FT RETURNS ALONG THE COAST
AND COAST RANGE BETWEEN 10Z- 12Z SAT...PARTICULARLY IMPACTING THE SW
WA AND NW OR COAST. MAY SEE SOME MVFR STRATUS WORK ITS WAY ALONG THE
COLUMBIA RIVER AFTER 12Z SAT...BEFORE BURNING OFF BY 16Z-17Z SAT.
BREEZY NORTH WINDS WILL IMPACT THE CENTRAL OR COAST THROUGH THIS
EVENING AND AGAIN SAT AFTERNOON.

KPDX AND APPROACHES...VFR CONDITIONS CONTINUE NEXT 24 HRS. SHALLOW
MVFR STRATUS WILL ATTEMPT TO WORK ITS WAY ALONG THE COLUMBIA RIVER
AFTER 12Z SAT...WITH CIGS AROUND 1500-2000 FT POSSIBLE THROUGH
16Z-18Z SAT. /27
&&

.MARINE...HIGH PRES OVER THE NE PAC WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH AT
LEAST NEXT TUE...WHILE THERMAL LOW PRES OVER NW CALIF WILL
STRENGTHEN A BIT. EXPECT STRONGER NORTH WINDS TO IMPACT THE CENTRAL
COASTAL WATERS BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON...WITH GUSTS TO 25-30 KT
POSSIBLE. HAVE ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS FOR LATE
SATURDAY...BUT LOOKS LIKE IT MAY BE EXTENDED THROUGH THE REMAINDER
OF THE WEEKEND.

OTHERWISE...SEAS HOLDING AT 4 TO 5 FT...BUT BECOME CHOPPY AT 5 TO 7
FT S OF NEWPORT IN AFTERNOONS/EVENINGS DUE TO GUSTY N WINDS. THE
STRONG EBB CURRENTS EACH MORNING WILL ALSO CREATE CHOPPY CONDITIONS
OVER THE COLUMBIA RIVER BAR. ROCKEY/27
&&

.PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...NONE.
WA...NONE.
PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS FROM 2 PM SATURDAY TO 5 AM PDT
     SUNDAY FOR COASTAL WATERS FROM CASCADE HEAD TO FLORENCE OUT
     60 NM.

&&

$$

MORE WEATHER INFORMATION ONLINE AT...HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/PORTLAND

INTERACT WITH US VIA SOCIAL MEDIA
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/US.NATIONALWEATHERSERVICE.PORTLAND.GOV
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSPORTLAND

THIS DISCUSSION IS FOR NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON
FROM THE CASCADE CREST TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. THE AREA IS
COMMONLY REFERRED TO AS THE FORECAST AREA.




000
FXUS66 KOTX 251713
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
1012 AM PDT FRI JUL 25 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A warming and drying trend will commence today and culminate in a
return to hot and dry summer conditions through the next week.


&&

.DISCUSSION...
No significant updates made to the forecast with the exception
of slight modification to the sky grids as some cumulus is
expected to develop in the afternoon in addition to the lingering
spotty stratocumulus wave clouds over parts of North Idaho and the
extreme North Cascades. /Pelatti



&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAFS: High pressure starts to build in over the next 24 hrs,
leading to dry, VFR conditions at TAF sites, with diurnal winds
with speeds peaking in the afternoon near 10 to 15 kts.




&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        75  54  83  59  91  64 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Coeur d`Alene  74  50  81  53  90  60 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Pullman        75  47  83  50  91  57 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Lewiston       83  57  91  61  97  68 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Colville       77  51  85  52  94  57 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Sandpoint      71  47  78  49  88  54 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Kellogg        70  51  79  54  89  60 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Moses Lake     83  56  89  59  95  65 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Wenatchee      82  59  88  62  94  69 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Omak           83  53  89  56  94  63 /   0   0   0   0   0  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...None.
&&

$$




000
FXUS66 KOTX 251713
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
1012 AM PDT FRI JUL 25 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A warming and drying trend will commence today and culminate in a
return to hot and dry summer conditions through the next week.


&&

.DISCUSSION...
No significant updates made to the forecast with the exception
of slight modification to the sky grids as some cumulus is
expected to develop in the afternoon in addition to the lingering
spotty stratocumulus wave clouds over parts of North Idaho and the
extreme North Cascades. /Pelatti



&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAFS: High pressure starts to build in over the next 24 hrs,
leading to dry, VFR conditions at TAF sites, with diurnal winds
with speeds peaking in the afternoon near 10 to 15 kts.




&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        75  54  83  59  91  64 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Coeur d`Alene  74  50  81  53  90  60 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Pullman        75  47  83  50  91  57 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Lewiston       83  57  91  61  97  68 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Colville       77  51  85  52  94  57 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Sandpoint      71  47  78  49  88  54 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Kellogg        70  51  79  54  89  60 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Moses Lake     83  56  89  59  95  65 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Wenatchee      82  59  88  62  94  69 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Omak           83  53  89  56  94  63 /   0   0   0   0   0  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...None.
&&

$$





000
FXUS66 KSEW 251624
AFDSEW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
924 AM PDT FRI JUL 25 2014

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL PREVAIL OVER THE REGION
THROUGH THIS WEEKEND FOR DRIER...SUNNIER...AND WARMER WEATHER.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
A WEAK UPPER RIDGE WILL PREVAIL OVER THE AREA TODAY. A WEAK
DISTURBANCE PASSING TO OUR NORTH MAY SET OFF A FEW SHOWERS OVER
THE NORTH COAST...OLYMPIC RANGE...AND FAR NORTH CASCADES THIS
AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE...LOOK FOR PARTLY SUNNY SKIES OVER THE
CWA TODAY.

HEIGHTS WILL SLOWLY RISE TONIGHT BUT THE LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL
STILL BE ONSHORE. THIS MAY ALLOW SOME STRATUS TO REDEVELOP OVER
THE AREA BUT IT SHOULD BE MORE PATCHY IN NATURE. THE FOUR CORNERS
HIGH WILL BUILD NWD INTO THE NRN ROCKIES SATURDAY AND SUNDAY WITH
500 MB HEIGHTS ABOVE 5800 M OVER WRN WA. THIS SUPPORTS A DRY AND
WARMING TREND WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOW 80S ACROSS THE
INTERIOR LOWLANDS ON SATURDAY...WARMING TO THE LOW TO MID 80S
SUNDAY. MERCER/05

.LONG TERM FROM THE PREV DISCUSSION...
GLOBAL MODELS CONTINUED TO ADVERTISE A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE
DOMINATING THE INTERIOR WRN U.S. THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK. THERE
WAS SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO HOW FAR WEST THE RIDGE WILL SHIFT AND
THIS WILL AFFECT WHERE THERMALLY INDUCED LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS.
MOST MODELS RUNS KEPT THE RIDGE AXIS ORIENTED NWD OVER THE GREAT
BASIN WHICH WOULD KEEP LOWER PRESSURE EAST OF THE CASCADES AND
ALLOW FOR LIGHT ONSHORE FLOW OVER WRN WA. IT WILL STILL BE QUITE
WARM...WELL INTO THE 80S...BUT HOT TEMPERATURES INTO THE 90S MAY
BE AVERTED IF THE RIDGE AXIS REMAINS FARTHER EAST. THE MORE
RELIABLE ECMWF HAS VARIED FROM RUN TO RUN...SOME PUTTING THE RIDGE
CLOSER TO OUR AREA SO A PERIOD OF EVEN WARMER WEATHER IS NOT OUT
OF THE QUESTION NEXT WEEK. HIGH TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE ABOVE
AVERAGE REGARDLESS OF THE EXACT RIDGE POSITION. MERCER

&&

.AVIATION...WEAK UPPER LEVEL RIDGING AND MODERATE WESTERLY FLOW
ALOFT WILL PERSIST OVER THE REGION TODAY. LOW LEVEL ONSHORE FLOW
WILL STRENGTHEN SOMEWHAT DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS
BEFORE RELAXING LATE TONIGHT.

THE AIR MASS OVER WESTERN WASHINGTON IS STABLE. LINGERING AREAS OF
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE REMAINS EVERYWHERE EXCEPT OVER PARTS OF THE
STRAIT AND THE CENTRAL PUGET SOUND AREA AS WELL AS WHATCOM COUNTY.
CEILINGS CURRENTLY 2-5K FT MOST AREAS...EXCEPT LOCAL CIGS NR 1K
AROUND THE KOLM AREA. LOWER CLOUDS SHOULD LIFT AND/OR SCATTER OUT TO
VFR LEVELS BY LATE MORNING...WITH CLEARING OVER MUCH OF THE INTERIOR
DURING THE AFTERNOON.

KSEA...FEW-SCT 2-45K CLOUDS WILL LINGER THIS MORNING WITH MORE
CLEARING BY THE AFTERNOON. LIGHT WINDS WILL BECOME NORTHWESTERLY
DURING THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.MARINE...ONSHORE GRADIENTS AND FLOW HAVE RELAXED THIS MORNING. A
TYPICAL PATTERN OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS AND LOWER
PRESSURE INLAND WILL SUPPORT ONSHORE FLOW THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
EXPECT STRONGEST WESTERLIES THROUGH THE STRAIT...WITH SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS POSSIBLE AT TIMES ESPECIALLY DURING THE LATE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. THE CURRENT FORECAST REFLECTS 10 TO 20
KT WESTERLIES THIS AFTERNOON AND NOMINAL SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WINDS
DURING THE EVENING HOURS ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

&&

.SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WA...NONE.
PZ...NONE.

&&

$$

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE

FOR THE GRAPHICAL AFD...VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE/GAFD/LATEST_WEBAFD.HTML




000
FXUS66 KSEW 251624
AFDSEW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
924 AM PDT FRI JUL 25 2014

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL PREVAIL OVER THE REGION
THROUGH THIS WEEKEND FOR DRIER...SUNNIER...AND WARMER WEATHER.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
A WEAK UPPER RIDGE WILL PREVAIL OVER THE AREA TODAY. A WEAK
DISTURBANCE PASSING TO OUR NORTH MAY SET OFF A FEW SHOWERS OVER
THE NORTH COAST...OLYMPIC RANGE...AND FAR NORTH CASCADES THIS
AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE...LOOK FOR PARTLY SUNNY SKIES OVER THE
CWA TODAY.

HEIGHTS WILL SLOWLY RISE TONIGHT BUT THE LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL
STILL BE ONSHORE. THIS MAY ALLOW SOME STRATUS TO REDEVELOP OVER
THE AREA BUT IT SHOULD BE MORE PATCHY IN NATURE. THE FOUR CORNERS
HIGH WILL BUILD NWD INTO THE NRN ROCKIES SATURDAY AND SUNDAY WITH
500 MB HEIGHTS ABOVE 5800 M OVER WRN WA. THIS SUPPORTS A DRY AND
WARMING TREND WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOW 80S ACROSS THE
INTERIOR LOWLANDS ON SATURDAY...WARMING TO THE LOW TO MID 80S
SUNDAY. MERCER/05

.LONG TERM FROM THE PREV DISCUSSION...
GLOBAL MODELS CONTINUED TO ADVERTISE A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE
DOMINATING THE INTERIOR WRN U.S. THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK. THERE
WAS SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO HOW FAR WEST THE RIDGE WILL SHIFT AND
THIS WILL AFFECT WHERE THERMALLY INDUCED LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS.
MOST MODELS RUNS KEPT THE RIDGE AXIS ORIENTED NWD OVER THE GREAT
BASIN WHICH WOULD KEEP LOWER PRESSURE EAST OF THE CASCADES AND
ALLOW FOR LIGHT ONSHORE FLOW OVER WRN WA. IT WILL STILL BE QUITE
WARM...WELL INTO THE 80S...BUT HOT TEMPERATURES INTO THE 90S MAY
BE AVERTED IF THE RIDGE AXIS REMAINS FARTHER EAST. THE MORE
RELIABLE ECMWF HAS VARIED FROM RUN TO RUN...SOME PUTTING THE RIDGE
CLOSER TO OUR AREA SO A PERIOD OF EVEN WARMER WEATHER IS NOT OUT
OF THE QUESTION NEXT WEEK. HIGH TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE ABOVE
AVERAGE REGARDLESS OF THE EXACT RIDGE POSITION. MERCER

&&

.AVIATION...WEAK UPPER LEVEL RIDGING AND MODERATE WESTERLY FLOW
ALOFT WILL PERSIST OVER THE REGION TODAY. LOW LEVEL ONSHORE FLOW
WILL STRENGTHEN SOMEWHAT DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS
BEFORE RELAXING LATE TONIGHT.

THE AIR MASS OVER WESTERN WASHINGTON IS STABLE. LINGERING AREAS OF
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE REMAINS EVERYWHERE EXCEPT OVER PARTS OF THE
STRAIT AND THE CENTRAL PUGET SOUND AREA AS WELL AS WHATCOM COUNTY.
CEILINGS CURRENTLY 2-5K FT MOST AREAS...EXCEPT LOCAL CIGS NR 1K
AROUND THE KOLM AREA. LOWER CLOUDS SHOULD LIFT AND/OR SCATTER OUT TO
VFR LEVELS BY LATE MORNING...WITH CLEARING OVER MUCH OF THE INTERIOR
DURING THE AFTERNOON.

KSEA...FEW-SCT 2-45K CLOUDS WILL LINGER THIS MORNING WITH MORE
CLEARING BY THE AFTERNOON. LIGHT WINDS WILL BECOME NORTHWESTERLY
DURING THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.MARINE...ONSHORE GRADIENTS AND FLOW HAVE RELAXED THIS MORNING. A
TYPICAL PATTERN OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS AND LOWER
PRESSURE INLAND WILL SUPPORT ONSHORE FLOW THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
EXPECT STRONGEST WESTERLIES THROUGH THE STRAIT...WITH SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS POSSIBLE AT TIMES ESPECIALLY DURING THE LATE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. THE CURRENT FORECAST REFLECTS 10 TO 20
KT WESTERLIES THIS AFTERNOON AND NOMINAL SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WINDS
DURING THE EVENING HOURS ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

&&

.SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WA...NONE.
PZ...NONE.

&&

$$

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE

FOR THE GRAPHICAL AFD...VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE/GAFD/LATEST_WEBAFD.HTML





000
FXUS66 KPQR 251607
AFDPQR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
907 AM PDT FRI JUL 25 2014

.SYNOPSIS...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD INLAND OVER THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST ESPECIALLY OVER THE WEEKEND...AND REMAIN THROUGH MUCH OF
NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL BRING WARM AND DRY WEATHER...EXCEPT FOR A SLIGHT
CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE OREGON CASCADES NEAR THE CREST
BEGINNING SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS A COUPLE OF WEAK
DISTURBANCES LIFT THROUGH THE REGION. THE MARINE LAYER WILL BECOME
MORE CONFINED TO THE COAST THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
&&

.SHORT TERM...WEAKLY CYCLONIC WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WAS OVER THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST THIS MORNING AS A WEAK UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE
MOVED THROUGH...MAINTAINING SOME CLOUDS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS AND
TO OUR NORTH WITH JUST SOME PATCHY STRATUS INLAND ALONG THE NORTH
CASCADE FOOTHILLS AND IN SOME OF THE MORE ELEVATED RIVER VALLEYS.
SKIES WILL CLEAR MOST OF OUR AREA LATER THIS MORNING AND IN THE
AFTERNOON AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE STARTS TO BUILD INLAND OVER THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST...THOUGH A FEW CLOUDS MAY HANG ON ALONG THE SOUTH
WASHINGTON COAST INTO THE AFTERNOON. 850 TEMPS SUPPORT INLAND TEMPS
REACHING THE UPPER 70S TO NEAR 80 TODAY.

THE UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD MORE TONIGHT AND ESPECIALLY SATURDAY...
WITH LIGHT SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. THIS WILL BRING MORE WARMING TO THE
AREA SUNDAY...WITH 850 MB TEMPS SUPPORTING HIGHS INLAND IN THE IN THE
LOWER TO MID 80S. MORNING LOW CLOUDS WILL BE CONFINED TO ALONG THE
COLUMBIA RIVER AND MAY NOT BE VERY SOLID. OTHERWISE EXPECT PLENTY OF
SUNSHINE SATURDAY.

THE PATTERN SATURDAY WILL CONTINUE SUNDAY. 850 MB TEMPS SUPPORT HIGHS
INLAND IN THE UPPER 80S TO NEAR 90. AGAIN...THE MAIN CHANCE FOR ANY
LOW CLOUDS SUNDAY MORNING WILL BE ALONG THE FAR NORTH COAST...WITH
PATCHY CLOUDS INLAND ALONG THE COLUMBIA RIVER. THERE IS A WEAK
DISTURBANCE MOVING NORTH SUNDAY INTO CENTRAL OREGON FROM OFF THE
CALIFORNIA COAST THAT MAY GIVE A SMALL CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS NEAR
THE CASCADE CREST IN OREGON SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THERE IS
NOT A LOT OF CHANGE IN THEPATTERN FROM SUNDAY AS WE GO INTO NEXT
WEEK. TOLLESON

.LONG TERM...NO CHANGES. PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FOLLOWS....A LARGE
UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE IS FORECAST TO BE POSITIONED OVER THE ROCKY
MOUNTAINS...PUTTING OUR REGION UNDER SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT NEXT
WEEK. SEVERAL WEAK SHORTWAVES ARE FORECAST UP THE RIDGE NEAR OUR
REGION.  MOST OF THESE LOOK LIKE THEY WILL MISS OUR AREA...BUT A
CHANCE FOR SOME SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
CASCADE CREST WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. THE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AND
SUNNY AFTERNOONS WILL KEEP OUR TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL. -MCCOY
&&

.AVIATION...POCKETS OF MVFR AND IFR STRATUS WITH CIGS AROUND 500-1500
FT NEAR KTMK AND OVER THE COAST RANGE...ALONG THE COLUMBIA RIVER AND
AGAINST THE CASCADES WILL LIFT TO VFR AFTER 16Z-17Z. WILL SEE MVFR
STRATUS RETURN AFTER 03Z SAT ALONG THE COAST AND POSSIBLY WORK ITS
WAY ALONG THE COLUMBIA RIVER EARLY SAT AM.

KPDX AND APPROACHES...IFR STRATUS AROUND 1000 FT WILL GRADUALLY LIFT
TO VFR THROUGH 17Z THIS MORNING. EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL
AFTER 18Z...WITH MVFR STRATUS POSSIBLY RETURNING ALONG THE COLUMBIA
RIVER EARLY SAT AM. KHIO WILL REMAIN VFR NEXT 24 HRS. /27
&&

.MARINE...NOT MUCH CHANGE. HIGH PRES OVER THE NE PAC WILL REMAIN IN
PLACE THROUGH AT LEAST NEXT TUE. MEANWHILE...THERMAL LOW PRES OVER NW
CALIF WILL STRENGTHEN A BIT. THIS WILL BRING NORTHERLY WINDS TO
COASTAL WATERS...WITH GUSTY WINDS S OF CASCADE IN AFTERNOONS AND
EVENINGS. MAY HAVE FEW GUSTS TO 25 KT IN THAT AREA TODAY...BUT
GRADIENTS NOT ALL THAT IMPRESSIVE YET. APPEARS THAT THE GUSTS 25 TO
30 KT WILL HOLD OFF UNTIL SAT AFTERNOON.

SEAS HOLDING AT 4 TO 5 FT...BUT BECOME CHOPPY AT 5 TO 7 FT S OF
NEWPORT IN AFTERNOONS/EVENINGS DUE TO GUSTY N WINDS. ROCKEY.
&&

.PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...NONE.
WA...NONE.
PZ...NONE.
&&

$$

MORE WEATHER INFORMATION ONLINE AT...HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/PORTLAND

INTERACT WITH US VIA SOCIAL MEDIA
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/US.NATIONALWEATHERSERVICE.PORTLAND.GOV
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSPORTLAND

THIS DISCUSSION IS FOR NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON
FROM THE CASCADE CREST TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. THE AREA IS
COMMONLY REFERRED TO AS THE FORECAST AREA.



000
FXUS66 KPQR 251607
AFDPQR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
907 AM PDT FRI JUL 25 2014

.SYNOPSIS...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD INLAND OVER THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST ESPECIALLY OVER THE WEEKEND...AND REMAIN THROUGH MUCH OF
NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL BRING WARM AND DRY WEATHER...EXCEPT FOR A SLIGHT
CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE OREGON CASCADES NEAR THE CREST
BEGINNING SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS A COUPLE OF WEAK
DISTURBANCES LIFT THROUGH THE REGION. THE MARINE LAYER WILL BECOME
MORE CONFINED TO THE COAST THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
&&

.SHORT TERM...WEAKLY CYCLONIC WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WAS OVER THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST THIS MORNING AS A WEAK UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE
MOVED THROUGH...MAINTAINING SOME CLOUDS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS AND
TO OUR NORTH WITH JUST SOME PATCHY STRATUS INLAND ALONG THE NORTH
CASCADE FOOTHILLS AND IN SOME OF THE MORE ELEVATED RIVER VALLEYS.
SKIES WILL CLEAR MOST OF OUR AREA LATER THIS MORNING AND IN THE
AFTERNOON AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE STARTS TO BUILD INLAND OVER THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST...THOUGH A FEW CLOUDS MAY HANG ON ALONG THE SOUTH
WASHINGTON COAST INTO THE AFTERNOON. 850 TEMPS SUPPORT INLAND TEMPS
REACHING THE UPPER 70S TO NEAR 80 TODAY.

THE UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD MORE TONIGHT AND ESPECIALLY SATURDAY...
WITH LIGHT SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. THIS WILL BRING MORE WARMING TO THE
AREA SUNDAY...WITH 850 MB TEMPS SUPPORTING HIGHS INLAND IN THE IN THE
LOWER TO MID 80S. MORNING LOW CLOUDS WILL BE CONFINED TO ALONG THE
COLUMBIA RIVER AND MAY NOT BE VERY SOLID. OTHERWISE EXPECT PLENTY OF
SUNSHINE SATURDAY.

THE PATTERN SATURDAY WILL CONTINUE SUNDAY. 850 MB TEMPS SUPPORT HIGHS
INLAND IN THE UPPER 80S TO NEAR 90. AGAIN...THE MAIN CHANCE FOR ANY
LOW CLOUDS SUNDAY MORNING WILL BE ALONG THE FAR NORTH COAST...WITH
PATCHY CLOUDS INLAND ALONG THE COLUMBIA RIVER. THERE IS A WEAK
DISTURBANCE MOVING NORTH SUNDAY INTO CENTRAL OREGON FROM OFF THE
CALIFORNIA COAST THAT MAY GIVE A SMALL CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS NEAR
THE CASCADE CREST IN OREGON SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THERE IS
NOT A LOT OF CHANGE IN THEPATTERN FROM SUNDAY AS WE GO INTO NEXT
WEEK. TOLLESON

.LONG TERM...NO CHANGES. PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FOLLOWS....A LARGE
UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE IS FORECAST TO BE POSITIONED OVER THE ROCKY
MOUNTAINS...PUTTING OUR REGION UNDER SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT NEXT
WEEK. SEVERAL WEAK SHORTWAVES ARE FORECAST UP THE RIDGE NEAR OUR
REGION.  MOST OF THESE LOOK LIKE THEY WILL MISS OUR AREA...BUT A
CHANCE FOR SOME SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
CASCADE CREST WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. THE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AND
SUNNY AFTERNOONS WILL KEEP OUR TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL. -MCCOY
&&

.AVIATION...POCKETS OF MVFR AND IFR STRATUS WITH CIGS AROUND 500-1500
FT NEAR KTMK AND OVER THE COAST RANGE...ALONG THE COLUMBIA RIVER AND
AGAINST THE CASCADES WILL LIFT TO VFR AFTER 16Z-17Z. WILL SEE MVFR
STRATUS RETURN AFTER 03Z SAT ALONG THE COAST AND POSSIBLY WORK ITS
WAY ALONG THE COLUMBIA RIVER EARLY SAT AM.

KPDX AND APPROACHES...IFR STRATUS AROUND 1000 FT WILL GRADUALLY LIFT
TO VFR THROUGH 17Z THIS MORNING. EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL
AFTER 18Z...WITH MVFR STRATUS POSSIBLY RETURNING ALONG THE COLUMBIA
RIVER EARLY SAT AM. KHIO WILL REMAIN VFR NEXT 24 HRS. /27
&&

.MARINE...NOT MUCH CHANGE. HIGH PRES OVER THE NE PAC WILL REMAIN IN
PLACE THROUGH AT LEAST NEXT TUE. MEANWHILE...THERMAL LOW PRES OVER NW
CALIF WILL STRENGTHEN A BIT. THIS WILL BRING NORTHERLY WINDS TO
COASTAL WATERS...WITH GUSTY WINDS S OF CASCADE IN AFTERNOONS AND
EVENINGS. MAY HAVE FEW GUSTS TO 25 KT IN THAT AREA TODAY...BUT
GRADIENTS NOT ALL THAT IMPRESSIVE YET. APPEARS THAT THE GUSTS 25 TO
30 KT WILL HOLD OFF UNTIL SAT AFTERNOON.

SEAS HOLDING AT 4 TO 5 FT...BUT BECOME CHOPPY AT 5 TO 7 FT S OF
NEWPORT IN AFTERNOONS/EVENINGS DUE TO GUSTY N WINDS. ROCKEY.
&&

.PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...NONE.
WA...NONE.
PZ...NONE.
&&

$$

MORE WEATHER INFORMATION ONLINE AT...HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/PORTLAND

INTERACT WITH US VIA SOCIAL MEDIA
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/US.NATIONALWEATHERSERVICE.PORTLAND.GOV
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSPORTLAND

THIS DISCUSSION IS FOR NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON
FROM THE CASCADE CREST TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. THE AREA IS
COMMONLY REFERRED TO AS THE FORECAST AREA.



000
FXUS66 KPQR 251607
AFDPQR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
907 AM PDT FRI JUL 25 2014

.SYNOPSIS...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD INLAND OVER THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST ESPECIALLY OVER THE WEEKEND...AND REMAIN THROUGH MUCH OF
NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL BRING WARM AND DRY WEATHER...EXCEPT FOR A SLIGHT
CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE OREGON CASCADES NEAR THE CREST
BEGINNING SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS A COUPLE OF WEAK
DISTURBANCES LIFT THROUGH THE REGION. THE MARINE LAYER WILL BECOME
MORE CONFINED TO THE COAST THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
&&

.SHORT TERM...WEAKLY CYCLONIC WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WAS OVER THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST THIS MORNING AS A WEAK UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE
MOVED THROUGH...MAINTAINING SOME CLOUDS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS AND
TO OUR NORTH WITH JUST SOME PATCHY STRATUS INLAND ALONG THE NORTH
CASCADE FOOTHILLS AND IN SOME OF THE MORE ELEVATED RIVER VALLEYS.
SKIES WILL CLEAR MOST OF OUR AREA LATER THIS MORNING AND IN THE
AFTERNOON AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE STARTS TO BUILD INLAND OVER THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST...THOUGH A FEW CLOUDS MAY HANG ON ALONG THE SOUTH
WASHINGTON COAST INTO THE AFTERNOON. 850 TEMPS SUPPORT INLAND TEMPS
REACHING THE UPPER 70S TO NEAR 80 TODAY.

THE UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD MORE TONIGHT AND ESPECIALLY SATURDAY...
WITH LIGHT SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. THIS WILL BRING MORE WARMING TO THE
AREA SUNDAY...WITH 850 MB TEMPS SUPPORTING HIGHS INLAND IN THE IN THE
LOWER TO MID 80S. MORNING LOW CLOUDS WILL BE CONFINED TO ALONG THE
COLUMBIA RIVER AND MAY NOT BE VERY SOLID. OTHERWISE EXPECT PLENTY OF
SUNSHINE SATURDAY.

THE PATTERN SATURDAY WILL CONTINUE SUNDAY. 850 MB TEMPS SUPPORT HIGHS
INLAND IN THE UPPER 80S TO NEAR 90. AGAIN...THE MAIN CHANCE FOR ANY
LOW CLOUDS SUNDAY MORNING WILL BE ALONG THE FAR NORTH COAST...WITH
PATCHY CLOUDS INLAND ALONG THE COLUMBIA RIVER. THERE IS A WEAK
DISTURBANCE MOVING NORTH SUNDAY INTO CENTRAL OREGON FROM OFF THE
CALIFORNIA COAST THAT MAY GIVE A SMALL CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS NEAR
THE CASCADE CREST IN OREGON SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THERE IS
NOT A LOT OF CHANGE IN THEPATTERN FROM SUNDAY AS WE GO INTO NEXT
WEEK. TOLLESON

.LONG TERM...NO CHANGES. PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FOLLOWS....A LARGE
UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE IS FORECAST TO BE POSITIONED OVER THE ROCKY
MOUNTAINS...PUTTING OUR REGION UNDER SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT NEXT
WEEK. SEVERAL WEAK SHORTWAVES ARE FORECAST UP THE RIDGE NEAR OUR
REGION.  MOST OF THESE LOOK LIKE THEY WILL MISS OUR AREA...BUT A
CHANCE FOR SOME SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
CASCADE CREST WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. THE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AND
SUNNY AFTERNOONS WILL KEEP OUR TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL. -MCCOY
&&

.AVIATION...POCKETS OF MVFR AND IFR STRATUS WITH CIGS AROUND 500-1500
FT NEAR KTMK AND OVER THE COAST RANGE...ALONG THE COLUMBIA RIVER AND
AGAINST THE CASCADES WILL LIFT TO VFR AFTER 16Z-17Z. WILL SEE MVFR
STRATUS RETURN AFTER 03Z SAT ALONG THE COAST AND POSSIBLY WORK ITS
WAY ALONG THE COLUMBIA RIVER EARLY SAT AM.

KPDX AND APPROACHES...IFR STRATUS AROUND 1000 FT WILL GRADUALLY LIFT
TO VFR THROUGH 17Z THIS MORNING. EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL
AFTER 18Z...WITH MVFR STRATUS POSSIBLY RETURNING ALONG THE COLUMBIA
RIVER EARLY SAT AM. KHIO WILL REMAIN VFR NEXT 24 HRS. /27
&&

.MARINE...NOT MUCH CHANGE. HIGH PRES OVER THE NE PAC WILL REMAIN IN
PLACE THROUGH AT LEAST NEXT TUE. MEANWHILE...THERMAL LOW PRES OVER NW
CALIF WILL STRENGTHEN A BIT. THIS WILL BRING NORTHERLY WINDS TO
COASTAL WATERS...WITH GUSTY WINDS S OF CASCADE IN AFTERNOONS AND
EVENINGS. MAY HAVE FEW GUSTS TO 25 KT IN THAT AREA TODAY...BUT
GRADIENTS NOT ALL THAT IMPRESSIVE YET. APPEARS THAT THE GUSTS 25 TO
30 KT WILL HOLD OFF UNTIL SAT AFTERNOON.

SEAS HOLDING AT 4 TO 5 FT...BUT BECOME CHOPPY AT 5 TO 7 FT S OF
NEWPORT IN AFTERNOONS/EVENINGS DUE TO GUSTY N WINDS. ROCKEY.
&&

.PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...NONE.
WA...NONE.
PZ...NONE.
&&

$$

MORE WEATHER INFORMATION ONLINE AT...HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/PORTLAND

INTERACT WITH US VIA SOCIAL MEDIA
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/US.NATIONALWEATHERSERVICE.PORTLAND.GOV
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSPORTLAND

THIS DISCUSSION IS FOR NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON
FROM THE CASCADE CREST TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. THE AREA IS
COMMONLY REFERRED TO AS THE FORECAST AREA.



000
FXUS66 KPQR 251607
AFDPQR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
907 AM PDT FRI JUL 25 2014

.SYNOPSIS...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD INLAND OVER THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST ESPECIALLY OVER THE WEEKEND...AND REMAIN THROUGH MUCH OF
NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL BRING WARM AND DRY WEATHER...EXCEPT FOR A SLIGHT
CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE OREGON CASCADES NEAR THE CREST
BEGINNING SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS A COUPLE OF WEAK
DISTURBANCES LIFT THROUGH THE REGION. THE MARINE LAYER WILL BECOME
MORE CONFINED TO THE COAST THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
&&

.SHORT TERM...WEAKLY CYCLONIC WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WAS OVER THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST THIS MORNING AS A WEAK UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE
MOVED THROUGH...MAINTAINING SOME CLOUDS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS AND
TO OUR NORTH WITH JUST SOME PATCHY STRATUS INLAND ALONG THE NORTH
CASCADE FOOTHILLS AND IN SOME OF THE MORE ELEVATED RIVER VALLEYS.
SKIES WILL CLEAR MOST OF OUR AREA LATER THIS MORNING AND IN THE
AFTERNOON AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE STARTS TO BUILD INLAND OVER THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST...THOUGH A FEW CLOUDS MAY HANG ON ALONG THE SOUTH
WASHINGTON COAST INTO THE AFTERNOON. 850 TEMPS SUPPORT INLAND TEMPS
REACHING THE UPPER 70S TO NEAR 80 TODAY.

THE UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD MORE TONIGHT AND ESPECIALLY SATURDAY...
WITH LIGHT SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. THIS WILL BRING MORE WARMING TO THE
AREA SUNDAY...WITH 850 MB TEMPS SUPPORTING HIGHS INLAND IN THE IN THE
LOWER TO MID 80S. MORNING LOW CLOUDS WILL BE CONFINED TO ALONG THE
COLUMBIA RIVER AND MAY NOT BE VERY SOLID. OTHERWISE EXPECT PLENTY OF
SUNSHINE SATURDAY.

THE PATTERN SATURDAY WILL CONTINUE SUNDAY. 850 MB TEMPS SUPPORT HIGHS
INLAND IN THE UPPER 80S TO NEAR 90. AGAIN...THE MAIN CHANCE FOR ANY
LOW CLOUDS SUNDAY MORNING WILL BE ALONG THE FAR NORTH COAST...WITH
PATCHY CLOUDS INLAND ALONG THE COLUMBIA RIVER. THERE IS A WEAK
DISTURBANCE MOVING NORTH SUNDAY INTO CENTRAL OREGON FROM OFF THE
CALIFORNIA COAST THAT MAY GIVE A SMALL CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS NEAR
THE CASCADE CREST IN OREGON SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THERE IS
NOT A LOT OF CHANGE IN THEPATTERN FROM SUNDAY AS WE GO INTO NEXT
WEEK. TOLLESON

.LONG TERM...NO CHANGES. PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FOLLOWS....A LARGE
UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE IS FORECAST TO BE POSITIONED OVER THE ROCKY
MOUNTAINS...PUTTING OUR REGION UNDER SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT NEXT
WEEK. SEVERAL WEAK SHORTWAVES ARE FORECAST UP THE RIDGE NEAR OUR
REGION.  MOST OF THESE LOOK LIKE THEY WILL MISS OUR AREA...BUT A
CHANCE FOR SOME SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
CASCADE CREST WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. THE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AND
SUNNY AFTERNOONS WILL KEEP OUR TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL. -MCCOY
&&

.AVIATION...POCKETS OF MVFR AND IFR STRATUS WITH CIGS AROUND 500-1500
FT NEAR KTMK AND OVER THE COAST RANGE...ALONG THE COLUMBIA RIVER AND
AGAINST THE CASCADES WILL LIFT TO VFR AFTER 16Z-17Z. WILL SEE MVFR
STRATUS RETURN AFTER 03Z SAT ALONG THE COAST AND POSSIBLY WORK ITS
WAY ALONG THE COLUMBIA RIVER EARLY SAT AM.

KPDX AND APPROACHES...IFR STRATUS AROUND 1000 FT WILL GRADUALLY LIFT
TO VFR THROUGH 17Z THIS MORNING. EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL
AFTER 18Z...WITH MVFR STRATUS POSSIBLY RETURNING ALONG THE COLUMBIA
RIVER EARLY SAT AM. KHIO WILL REMAIN VFR NEXT 24 HRS. /27
&&

.MARINE...NOT MUCH CHANGE. HIGH PRES OVER THE NE PAC WILL REMAIN IN
PLACE THROUGH AT LEAST NEXT TUE. MEANWHILE...THERMAL LOW PRES OVER NW
CALIF WILL STRENGTHEN A BIT. THIS WILL BRING NORTHERLY WINDS TO
COASTAL WATERS...WITH GUSTY WINDS S OF CASCADE IN AFTERNOONS AND
EVENINGS. MAY HAVE FEW GUSTS TO 25 KT IN THAT AREA TODAY...BUT
GRADIENTS NOT ALL THAT IMPRESSIVE YET. APPEARS THAT THE GUSTS 25 TO
30 KT WILL HOLD OFF UNTIL SAT AFTERNOON.

SEAS HOLDING AT 4 TO 5 FT...BUT BECOME CHOPPY AT 5 TO 7 FT S OF
NEWPORT IN AFTERNOONS/EVENINGS DUE TO GUSTY N WINDS. ROCKEY.
&&

.PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...NONE.
WA...NONE.
PZ...NONE.
&&

$$

MORE WEATHER INFORMATION ONLINE AT...HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/PORTLAND

INTERACT WITH US VIA SOCIAL MEDIA
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/US.NATIONALWEATHERSERVICE.PORTLAND.GOV
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSPORTLAND

THIS DISCUSSION IS FOR NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON
FROM THE CASCADE CREST TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. THE AREA IS
COMMONLY REFERRED TO AS THE FORECAST AREA.



000
FXUS66 KPQR 251607
AFDPQR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
907 AM PDT FRI JUL 25 2014

.SYNOPSIS...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD INLAND OVER THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST ESPECIALLY OVER THE WEEKEND...AND REMAIN THROUGH MUCH OF
NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL BRING WARM AND DRY WEATHER...EXCEPT FOR A SLIGHT
CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE OREGON CASCADES NEAR THE CREST
BEGINNING SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS A COUPLE OF WEAK
DISTURBANCES LIFT THROUGH THE REGION. THE MARINE LAYER WILL BECOME
MORE CONFINED TO THE COAST THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
&&

.SHORT TERM...WEAKLY CYCLONIC WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WAS OVER THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST THIS MORNING AS A WEAK UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE
MOVED THROUGH...MAINTAINING SOME CLOUDS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS AND
TO OUR NORTH WITH JUST SOME PATCHY STRATUS INLAND ALONG THE NORTH
CASCADE FOOTHILLS AND IN SOME OF THE MORE ELEVATED RIVER VALLEYS.
SKIES WILL CLEAR MOST OF OUR AREA LATER THIS MORNING AND IN THE
AFTERNOON AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE STARTS TO BUILD INLAND OVER THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST...THOUGH A FEW CLOUDS MAY HANG ON ALONG THE SOUTH
WASHINGTON COAST INTO THE AFTERNOON. 850 TEMPS SUPPORT INLAND TEMPS
REACHING THE UPPER 70S TO NEAR 80 TODAY.

THE UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD MORE TONIGHT AND ESPECIALLY SATURDAY...
WITH LIGHT SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. THIS WILL BRING MORE WARMING TO THE
AREA SUNDAY...WITH 850 MB TEMPS SUPPORTING HIGHS INLAND IN THE IN THE
LOWER TO MID 80S. MORNING LOW CLOUDS WILL BE CONFINED TO ALONG THE
COLUMBIA RIVER AND MAY NOT BE VERY SOLID. OTHERWISE EXPECT PLENTY OF
SUNSHINE SATURDAY.

THE PATTERN SATURDAY WILL CONTINUE SUNDAY. 850 MB TEMPS SUPPORT HIGHS
INLAND IN THE UPPER 80S TO NEAR 90. AGAIN...THE MAIN CHANCE FOR ANY
LOW CLOUDS SUNDAY MORNING WILL BE ALONG THE FAR NORTH COAST...WITH
PATCHY CLOUDS INLAND ALONG THE COLUMBIA RIVER. THERE IS A WEAK
DISTURBANCE MOVING NORTH SUNDAY INTO CENTRAL OREGON FROM OFF THE
CALIFORNIA COAST THAT MAY GIVE A SMALL CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS NEAR
THE CASCADE CREST IN OREGON SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THERE IS
NOT A LOT OF CHANGE IN THEPATTERN FROM SUNDAY AS WE GO INTO NEXT
WEEK. TOLLESON

.LONG TERM...NO CHANGES. PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FOLLOWS....A LARGE
UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE IS FORECAST TO BE POSITIONED OVER THE ROCKY
MOUNTAINS...PUTTING OUR REGION UNDER SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT NEXT
WEEK. SEVERAL WEAK SHORTWAVES ARE FORECAST UP THE RIDGE NEAR OUR
REGION.  MOST OF THESE LOOK LIKE THEY WILL MISS OUR AREA...BUT A
CHANCE FOR SOME SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
CASCADE CREST WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. THE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AND
SUNNY AFTERNOONS WILL KEEP OUR TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL. -MCCOY
&&

.AVIATION...POCKETS OF MVFR AND IFR STRATUS WITH CIGS AROUND 500-1500
FT NEAR KTMK AND OVER THE COAST RANGE...ALONG THE COLUMBIA RIVER AND
AGAINST THE CASCADES WILL LIFT TO VFR AFTER 16Z-17Z. WILL SEE MVFR
STRATUS RETURN AFTER 03Z SAT ALONG THE COAST AND POSSIBLY WORK ITS
WAY ALONG THE COLUMBIA RIVER EARLY SAT AM.

KPDX AND APPROACHES...IFR STRATUS AROUND 1000 FT WILL GRADUALLY LIFT
TO VFR THROUGH 17Z THIS MORNING. EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL
AFTER 18Z...WITH MVFR STRATUS POSSIBLY RETURNING ALONG THE COLUMBIA
RIVER EARLY SAT AM. KHIO WILL REMAIN VFR NEXT 24 HRS. /27
&&

.MARINE...NOT MUCH CHANGE. HIGH PRES OVER THE NE PAC WILL REMAIN IN
PLACE THROUGH AT LEAST NEXT TUE. MEANWHILE...THERMAL LOW PRES OVER NW
CALIF WILL STRENGTHEN A BIT. THIS WILL BRING NORTHERLY WINDS TO
COASTAL WATERS...WITH GUSTY WINDS S OF CASCADE IN AFTERNOONS AND
EVENINGS. MAY HAVE FEW GUSTS TO 25 KT IN THAT AREA TODAY...BUT
GRADIENTS NOT ALL THAT IMPRESSIVE YET. APPEARS THAT THE GUSTS 25 TO
30 KT WILL HOLD OFF UNTIL SAT AFTERNOON.

SEAS HOLDING AT 4 TO 5 FT...BUT BECOME CHOPPY AT 5 TO 7 FT S OF
NEWPORT IN AFTERNOONS/EVENINGS DUE TO GUSTY N WINDS. ROCKEY.
&&

.PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...NONE.
WA...NONE.
PZ...NONE.
&&

$$

MORE WEATHER INFORMATION ONLINE AT...HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/PORTLAND

INTERACT WITH US VIA SOCIAL MEDIA
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/US.NATIONALWEATHERSERVICE.PORTLAND.GOV
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSPORTLAND

THIS DISCUSSION IS FOR NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON
FROM THE CASCADE CREST TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. THE AREA IS
COMMONLY REFERRED TO AS THE FORECAST AREA.



000
FXUS66 KOTX 251120
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
420 AM PDT FRI JUL 25 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A warming and drying trend will commence today and culminate in a
return to hot and dry summer conditions through the next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Today to Saturday: Benign conditions accompany the start of a
warming trend. Today the Inland NW will be in a zonal flow. An
upper wave rounding the Gulf of AK trough pushes onshore late,
largely north of the BC border, weakening as it does so. With no
significant moisture or instability, aside from some increased
lapse rates in the low levels with the afternoon heating, look for
dry weather. Some clouds will linger across the Cascade crest and
northeast WA/north ID early. Otherwise look for some thin high
clouds and few flat cumulus near the mountains in the afternoon. A
diurnal increase in winds is projected, but overall speeds are
expected to be under 15 mph. Tonight into Saturday the Gulf of AK
low digs south and as a result a ridge begins amplifying over the
Inland NW. This will mean even less cloud cover, less wind and dry
weather. With a cool low exiting temperatures will begin to
moderate, though today`s values will still remain several degrees
under seasonal averages. By Saturday the increasing southwest flow
and amplifying ridge will allow temperatures to push back closer
to average. /J. Cote`

Saturday night through Wednesday...Very good model agreement
and run to run consistency exists through the extended term. A
strengthening 4 corners high pressure will build through early
next week and stabilize by the middle of the week. This will
promote a strong surface thermal trough over the Columbia Basin
for a general increase in temperature each day culminating in hot
and dry conditions through the upcoming week. The only potential
threats during this period will impact fire weather concerns
including elevated Cascade gap winds during the evening
hours...and a ghost of a chance of some monsoonal moisture
sneaking into the Blue Mountains and Idaho Panhandle by next week.
The monsoonal prospect is ill defined and low confidence at this
time. Condensing the preceding 122 words yields "Increasingly hot
and dry". /Fugazzi


&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAFS: High pressure starts to build in over the next 24 hrs,
leading to dry, VFR conditions at TAF sites, with diurnal winds
with speeds peaking in the afternoon near 10 to 15 kts. /J. Cote`



&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        75  54  83  59  91  64 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Coeur d`Alene  74  50  81  53  90  60 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Pullman        75  47  83  50  91  57 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Lewiston       83  57  91  61  97  68 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Colville       77  51  85  52  94  57 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Sandpoint      71  47  78  49  88  54 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Kellogg        70  51  79  54  89  60 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Moses Lake     83  56  89  59  95  65 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Wenatchee      82  59  88  62  94  69 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Omak           83  53  89  56  94  63 /   0   0   0   0   0  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...None.
&&

$$




000
FXUS66 KOTX 251120
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
420 AM PDT FRI JUL 25 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A warming and drying trend will commence today and culminate in a
return to hot and dry summer conditions through the next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Today to Saturday: Benign conditions accompany the start of a
warming trend. Today the Inland NW will be in a zonal flow. An
upper wave rounding the Gulf of AK trough pushes onshore late,
largely north of the BC border, weakening as it does so. With no
significant moisture or instability, aside from some increased
lapse rates in the low levels with the afternoon heating, look for
dry weather. Some clouds will linger across the Cascade crest and
northeast WA/north ID early. Otherwise look for some thin high
clouds and few flat cumulus near the mountains in the afternoon. A
diurnal increase in winds is projected, but overall speeds are
expected to be under 15 mph. Tonight into Saturday the Gulf of AK
low digs south and as a result a ridge begins amplifying over the
Inland NW. This will mean even less cloud cover, less wind and dry
weather. With a cool low exiting temperatures will begin to
moderate, though today`s values will still remain several degrees
under seasonal averages. By Saturday the increasing southwest flow
and amplifying ridge will allow temperatures to push back closer
to average. /J. Cote`

Saturday night through Wednesday...Very good model agreement
and run to run consistency exists through the extended term. A
strengthening 4 corners high pressure will build through early
next week and stabilize by the middle of the week. This will
promote a strong surface thermal trough over the Columbia Basin
for a general increase in temperature each day culminating in hot
and dry conditions through the upcoming week. The only potential
threats during this period will impact fire weather concerns
including elevated Cascade gap winds during the evening
hours...and a ghost of a chance of some monsoonal moisture
sneaking into the Blue Mountains and Idaho Panhandle by next week.
The monsoonal prospect is ill defined and low confidence at this
time. Condensing the preceding 122 words yields "Increasingly hot
and dry". /Fugazzi


&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAFS: High pressure starts to build in over the next 24 hrs,
leading to dry, VFR conditions at TAF sites, with diurnal winds
with speeds peaking in the afternoon near 10 to 15 kts. /J. Cote`



&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        75  54  83  59  91  64 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Coeur d`Alene  74  50  81  53  90  60 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Pullman        75  47  83  50  91  57 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Lewiston       83  57  91  61  97  68 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Colville       77  51  85  52  94  57 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Sandpoint      71  47  78  49  88  54 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Kellogg        70  51  79  54  89  60 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Moses Lake     83  56  89  59  95  65 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Wenatchee      82  59  88  62  94  69 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Omak           83  53  89  56  94  63 /   0   0   0   0   0  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...None.
&&

$$





000
FXUS66 KOTX 251120
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
420 AM PDT FRI JUL 25 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A warming and drying trend will commence today and culminate in a
return to hot and dry summer conditions through the next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Today to Saturday: Benign conditions accompany the start of a
warming trend. Today the Inland NW will be in a zonal flow. An
upper wave rounding the Gulf of AK trough pushes onshore late,
largely north of the BC border, weakening as it does so. With no
significant moisture or instability, aside from some increased
lapse rates in the low levels with the afternoon heating, look for
dry weather. Some clouds will linger across the Cascade crest and
northeast WA/north ID early. Otherwise look for some thin high
clouds and few flat cumulus near the mountains in the afternoon. A
diurnal increase in winds is projected, but overall speeds are
expected to be under 15 mph. Tonight into Saturday the Gulf of AK
low digs south and as a result a ridge begins amplifying over the
Inland NW. This will mean even less cloud cover, less wind and dry
weather. With a cool low exiting temperatures will begin to
moderate, though today`s values will still remain several degrees
under seasonal averages. By Saturday the increasing southwest flow
and amplifying ridge will allow temperatures to push back closer
to average. /J. Cote`

Saturday night through Wednesday...Very good model agreement
and run to run consistency exists through the extended term. A
strengthening 4 corners high pressure will build through early
next week and stabilize by the middle of the week. This will
promote a strong surface thermal trough over the Columbia Basin
for a general increase in temperature each day culminating in hot
and dry conditions through the upcoming week. The only potential
threats during this period will impact fire weather concerns
including elevated Cascade gap winds during the evening
hours...and a ghost of a chance of some monsoonal moisture
sneaking into the Blue Mountains and Idaho Panhandle by next week.
The monsoonal prospect is ill defined and low confidence at this
time. Condensing the preceding 122 words yields "Increasingly hot
and dry". /Fugazzi


&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAFS: High pressure starts to build in over the next 24 hrs,
leading to dry, VFR conditions at TAF sites, with diurnal winds
with speeds peaking in the afternoon near 10 to 15 kts. /J. Cote`



&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        75  54  83  59  91  64 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Coeur d`Alene  74  50  81  53  90  60 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Pullman        75  47  83  50  91  57 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Lewiston       83  57  91  61  97  68 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Colville       77  51  85  52  94  57 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Sandpoint      71  47  78  49  88  54 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Kellogg        70  51  79  54  89  60 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Moses Lake     83  56  89  59  95  65 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Wenatchee      82  59  88  62  94  69 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Omak           83  53  89  56  94  63 /   0   0   0   0   0  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...None.
&&

$$





000
FXUS66 KOTX 251120
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
420 AM PDT FRI JUL 25 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A warming and drying trend will commence today and culminate in a
return to hot and dry summer conditions through the next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Today to Saturday: Benign conditions accompany the start of a
warming trend. Today the Inland NW will be in a zonal flow. An
upper wave rounding the Gulf of AK trough pushes onshore late,
largely north of the BC border, weakening as it does so. With no
significant moisture or instability, aside from some increased
lapse rates in the low levels with the afternoon heating, look for
dry weather. Some clouds will linger across the Cascade crest and
northeast WA/north ID early. Otherwise look for some thin high
clouds and few flat cumulus near the mountains in the afternoon. A
diurnal increase in winds is projected, but overall speeds are
expected to be under 15 mph. Tonight into Saturday the Gulf of AK
low digs south and as a result a ridge begins amplifying over the
Inland NW. This will mean even less cloud cover, less wind and dry
weather. With a cool low exiting temperatures will begin to
moderate, though today`s values will still remain several degrees
under seasonal averages. By Saturday the increasing southwest flow
and amplifying ridge will allow temperatures to push back closer
to average. /J. Cote`

Saturday night through Wednesday...Very good model agreement
and run to run consistency exists through the extended term. A
strengthening 4 corners high pressure will build through early
next week and stabilize by the middle of the week. This will
promote a strong surface thermal trough over the Columbia Basin
for a general increase in temperature each day culminating in hot
and dry conditions through the upcoming week. The only potential
threats during this period will impact fire weather concerns
including elevated Cascade gap winds during the evening
hours...and a ghost of a chance of some monsoonal moisture
sneaking into the Blue Mountains and Idaho Panhandle by next week.
The monsoonal prospect is ill defined and low confidence at this
time. Condensing the preceding 122 words yields "Increasingly hot
and dry". /Fugazzi


&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAFS: High pressure starts to build in over the next 24 hrs,
leading to dry, VFR conditions at TAF sites, with diurnal winds
with speeds peaking in the afternoon near 10 to 15 kts. /J. Cote`



&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        75  54  83  59  91  64 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Coeur d`Alene  74  50  81  53  90  60 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Pullman        75  47  83  50  91  57 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Lewiston       83  57  91  61  97  68 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Colville       77  51  85  52  94  57 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Sandpoint      71  47  78  49  88  54 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Kellogg        70  51  79  54  89  60 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Moses Lake     83  56  89  59  95  65 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Wenatchee      82  59  88  62  94  69 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Omak           83  53  89  56  94  63 /   0   0   0   0   0  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...None.
&&

$$





000
FXUS66 KOTX 251120
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
420 AM PDT FRI JUL 25 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A warming and drying trend will commence today and culminate in a
return to hot and dry summer conditions through the next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Today to Saturday: Benign conditions accompany the start of a
warming trend. Today the Inland NW will be in a zonal flow. An
upper wave rounding the Gulf of AK trough pushes onshore late,
largely north of the BC border, weakening as it does so. With no
significant moisture or instability, aside from some increased
lapse rates in the low levels with the afternoon heating, look for
dry weather. Some clouds will linger across the Cascade crest and
northeast WA/north ID early. Otherwise look for some thin high
clouds and few flat cumulus near the mountains in the afternoon. A
diurnal increase in winds is projected, but overall speeds are
expected to be under 15 mph. Tonight into Saturday the Gulf of AK
low digs south and as a result a ridge begins amplifying over the
Inland NW. This will mean even less cloud cover, less wind and dry
weather. With a cool low exiting temperatures will begin to
moderate, though today`s values will still remain several degrees
under seasonal averages. By Saturday the increasing southwest flow
and amplifying ridge will allow temperatures to push back closer
to average. /J. Cote`

Saturday night through Wednesday...Very good model agreement
and run to run consistency exists through the extended term. A
strengthening 4 corners high pressure will build through early
next week and stabilize by the middle of the week. This will
promote a strong surface thermal trough over the Columbia Basin
for a general increase in temperature each day culminating in hot
and dry conditions through the upcoming week. The only potential
threats during this period will impact fire weather concerns
including elevated Cascade gap winds during the evening
hours...and a ghost of a chance of some monsoonal moisture
sneaking into the Blue Mountains and Idaho Panhandle by next week.
The monsoonal prospect is ill defined and low confidence at this
time. Condensing the preceding 122 words yields "Increasingly hot
and dry". /Fugazzi


&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAFS: High pressure starts to build in over the next 24 hrs,
leading to dry, VFR conditions at TAF sites, with diurnal winds
with speeds peaking in the afternoon near 10 to 15 kts. /J. Cote`



&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        75  54  83  59  91  64 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Coeur d`Alene  74  50  81  53  90  60 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Pullman        75  47  83  50  91  57 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Lewiston       83  57  91  61  97  68 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Colville       77  51  85  52  94  57 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Sandpoint      71  47  78  49  88  54 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Kellogg        70  51  79  54  89  60 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Moses Lake     83  56  89  59  95  65 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Wenatchee      82  59  88  62  94  69 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Omak           83  53  89  56  94  63 /   0   0   0   0   0  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...None.
&&

$$





000
FXUS66 KPQR 251102
AFDPQR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
400 AM PDT FRI JUL 25 2014

UPDATED AVIATION DISCUSSION...

.SYNOPSIS...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD IN OVER THE WESTERN
STATES OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...AND REMAIN INTO NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL
BRING WARM AND DRY WEATHER...EXCEPT FOR A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE CASCADES SUN AND AGAIN WED AS A COUPLE OF WEAK
DISTURBANCES LIFT THROUGH THE REGION.
&&

.SHORT TERM...SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWED A RIDGE OF HIGH PRES EXTENDING
FROM OFFSHORE NE INTO WESTERN WA...BRINGING A DRYING NORTHERLY LOW
LEVEL FLOW TO THE REGION. LINGERING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE KEPT SOME
CLOUDS IN OVER THE COAST RANGE AND NORTHERN PART OF THE
CASCADES...WITH MARINE CLOUDS LIMITED TO THE N PART OF THE COAST.
EXPECT SOME CLOUDS TO REDEVELOP INLAND EARLY THIS MORNING...MAINLY
ACROSS THE N PART OF THE AREA...BUT THESE CLOUDS ARE LIKELY TO BREAK
UP QUICKLY THIS MORNING AND RETREAT BACK TO THE COAST BY AFTERNOON.

MODELS INDICATE AN UPPER RIDGE TO BUILD OVER THE INTERIOR NW OVER
THE NEXT FEW DAYS. NW ONSHORE FLOW WILL BRING A PATTERN OF CLOUDS
PUSHING ONTO THE COAST AND INLAND UP THE LOWER COLUMBIA VALLEY
DURING THE LATE NIGHT AND MORNING HOURS...THEN RETREATING TO THE
COAST FOR THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. TEMPS TO WARM SOME TODAY
AND SAT AS UPPER HEIGHTS BUILD AND H8 TEMPS CLIMB. UPPER FLOW
EXPECTED TO BACK TOWARDS THE S OVER THE WEEKEND IN RESPONSE TO THE
RIDGE STRENGTHENING INLAND...WITH MODELS AGREEING ON A SHORTWAVE
LIFTING N SUN. WILL KEEP A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE
OREGON CASCADES SUN AFTERNOON AS SHORTWAVE LIFTS THROUGH.

.LONG TERM...NO CHANGES. PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FOLLOWS....A LARGE
UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE IS FORECAST TO BE POSITIONED OVER THE ROCKY
MOUNTAINS...PUTTING OUR REGION UNDER SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT NEXT
WEEK. SEVERAL WEAK SHORTWAVES ARE FORECAST UP THE RIDGE NEAR OUR
REGION.  MOST OF THESE LOOK LIKE THEY WILL MISS OUR AREA...BUT A
CHANCE FOR SOME SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
CASCADE CREST WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. THE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AND
SUNNY AFTERNOONS WILL KEEP OUR TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.
-MCCOY
&&

.AVIATION...VFR ACROSS REGION THIS AM...WITH POCKETS OF CIGS 3000
TO 4000 FT OVER COAST RANGE...COASTAL AREAS FROM KTMK NORTHWARD...
AND AGAINST THE CASCADES. ALSO HAVE AREAS OF CIGS 500 TO 1500 ALONG
THE COLUMBIA RIVER THROUGH 17Z. WITH WEAK FLOW ALOFT...VFR WILL
DOMINATE OVER MOST AREAS...WITH CLOUDS BREAKING UP THROUGH 19Z.

PATCHY SHALLOW FOG ALONG THE COAST AND INTERIOR THIS AM. WITH LOW
TIDES BETWEEN 4 AND 7 AM...WILL LIKELY SEE AREAS OF LOW IFR/FOG
ON COASTAL BAYS DUE TO WARMER MUDS EXPOSED TO COOLER AIR TIL 8 AM.

KPDX AND APPROACHES...VFR TODAY. AREAS OF LOW MVFR TO N AND E OF
KPDX WILL BUILD W AND SW ENOUGH TO BRING CIGS OF 1000 TO 1500 FT
TO KPDX FIELD BETWEEN 13Z AND 18Z.                      ROCKEY.
&&

.MARINE...NOT MUCH CHANGE. HIGH PRES OVER THE NE PAC WILL REMAIN
IN PLACE THROUGH AT LEAST NEXT TUE. MEANWHILE...THERMAL LOW PRES
OVER NW CALIF WILL STRENGTHEN A BIT. THIS WILL BRING NORTHERLY
WINDS TO COASTAL WATERS...WITH GUSTY WINDS S OF CASCADE IN
AFTERNOONS/EVENINGS. MAY HAVE FEW GUSTS TO 25 KT IN THAT AREA
TODAY...BUT GRADIENTS NOT ALL THAT IMPRESSIVE YET. APPEARS THAT
THE GUSTS OT 25 TO 30 KT WILL HOLD OFF UNTIL SAT AFTERNOON.

SEAS HOLDING AT 4 TO 5 FT...BUT BECOME CHOPPY AT 5 TO 7 FT S OF
NEWPORT IN AFTERNOONS/EVENINGS DUE TO GUSTY N WINDS. ROCKEY.
&&

.PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...NONE.
WA...NONE.
PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH COLUMBIA BAR CONDITIONS
         UNTIL 6 AM TODAY.

&&

$$

MORE WEATHER INFORMATION ONLINE AT...HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/PORTLAND

INTERACT WITH US VIA SOCIAL MEDIA
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/US.NATIONALWEATHERSERVICE.PORTLAND.GOV
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSPORTLAND

THIS DISCUSSION IS FOR NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON
FROM THE CASCADE CREST TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. THE AREA IS
COMMONLY REFERRED TO AS THE FORECAST AREA.



000
FXUS66 KSEW 251020
AFDSEW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
330 AM PDT FRI JUL 25 2014

.SYNOPSIS...MOIST WESTERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY AS A WEAK
WEATHER SYSTEM MOVES ONTO THE BRITISH COLUMBIA COAST. THERE COULD BE
SOME LIGHT SHOWERS OVER THE COAST AND MOUNTAINS...OTHERWISE CLOUDY
SKIES WILL GIVE WAY TO PARTIAL AFTERNOON SUNSHINE. HIGH PRESSURE
ALOFT WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION THIS WEEKEND...BRINGING SUNNY
WARMER WEATHER THAT SHOULD CONTINUE NEXT WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...WV/IR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A WEAK SHORT WAVE
EMBEDDED IN WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT MOVING ONTO THE B.C. COAST AND
BRUSHING WRN WA. THERE ARE SOME MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS ASSOCIATED
WITH THIS SYSTEM BUT THE MAIN AFFECT IS TO MAINTAIN MOIST LOW LEVEL
ONSHORE FLOW. THERE WAS ALREADY PLENTY OF MOISTURE IN THE LOW LEVELS
FROM EARLIER TODAY WHICH ALLOWED STRATUS TO REFORM AND EXPAND ACROSS
MUCH OF THE AREA. THE EXCEPTION IS THE SW INTERIOR ODDLY WHICH IS
MOSTLY CLOUDY FREE SO FAR EARLY THIS MORNING. THE FORECAST TODAY
INDICATES A CLOUDY START TO THE DAY...THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. I
RELUCTANTLY KEPT SOME LOW POPS ON THE COAST AND MOUNTAINS AS A MOS
BLEND STILL SHOWS A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THESE AREAS. CURRENT OBS DO
SHOW LIGHT RAIN ALONG VANCOUVER ISLAND SO IT IS POSSIBLE A BIT OF
THIS PRECIPITATION COULD SKIRT OUR AREA THIS MORNING. THE INTERIOR
LOWLANDS SHOULD BE DRY OUTSIDE OF A FEW LIGHT SPRINKLES FROM THE
STRATUS LAYER THIS MORNING. WITH SOME SUN BREAKING OUT THIS
AFTERNOON...HIGHS SHOULD REACH INTO THE LOW TO MID 70S AROUND PUGET
SOUND BUT STILL IN THE 60S COAST AND STRAIT.

HEIGHTS SLOWLY RISE TONIGHT BUT THE LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL STILL BE
ONSHORE. THIS MAY ALLOW SOME STRATUS TO REFORM OVER THE AREA BUT IT
SHOULD BE MORE PATCHY IN NATURE. THE FOUR CORNERS HIGH BUILDS NWD
INTO THE NRN ROCKIES SATURDAY AND SUNDAY WITH 500 MB HEIGHTS ABOVE
5800 M OVER WRN WA. THIS SUPPORTS A DRY AND WARMING TREND WITH HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOW 80S ON SATURDAY...WARNING TO THE LOW AND MID
80S SUNDAY UNDER SUNNY SKIES.

.LONG TERM...GLOBAL MODELS CONTINUE TO ADVERTISE A STRONG HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE DOMINATING THE INTERIOR WRN U.S. THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT
WEEK. THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO HOW FAR WEST THE RIDGE WILL
SHIFT AND THIS WILL AFFECT WHERE THERMALLY INDUCED LOW PRESSURE
DEVELOPS. MOST MODELS RUNS KEEP THE RIDGE AXIS ORIENTED NWD OVER THE
GREAT BASIN WHICH WOULD KEEP LOWER PRESSURE EAST OF THE CASCADES AND
ALLOW FOR LIGHT ONSHORE FLOW OVER WRN WA. IT WILL STILL BE QUITE
WARM...WELL INTO THE 80S...BUT HOT TEMPERATURES INTO THE 90S MAY BE
AVERTED IF THE RIDGE AXIS REMAINS FURTHER EAST. THE MORE RELIABLE
ECMWF HAS VARIED FROM RUN TO RUN...SOME PUTTING THE RIDGE CLOSER TO
OUR AREA SO A PERIOD OF EVEN WARMER  WEATHER IS NOT OUT OF THE
QUESTION NEXT WEEK. HIGH TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE ABOVE AVERAGE
REGARDLESS OF THE EXACT RIDGE POSITION. MERCER

&&

.AVIATION...WEAK UPPER LEVEL RIDGING AND MODERATE WESTERLY FLOW
ALOFT WILL PERSIST OVER THE REGION TODAY. LOW LEVEL ONSHORE FLOW
WILL STRENGTHEN SOMEWHAT DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS
BEFORE RELAXING LATE TONIGHT.

THE AIR MASS OVER WESTERN WASHINGTON HAS DRIED AND BECOME MORE
STABLE OVERNIGHT. LINGERING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND THE ONSHORE FLOW
HAS HELPED LOW CLOUDS ALONG THE COAST...STRAIT AND THROUGH THE
CENTRAL INTERIOR WHILE CLOUD COVER OVER THE NORTH AND SOUTHWEST
INTERIOR REMAINS SPOTTY AS OF 10Z. CEILINGS CURRENTLY 3-5K FT MOST
AREAS...EXPECTED TO LOWER TO MVFR LEVELS AT OR JUST AFTER SUNRISE
THIS MORNING. A WEAK UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM MOVING INTO BRITISH COLUMBIA
THIS MORNING WILL KEEP A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND OR DRIZZLE OVER THE
COAST AND OLYMPICS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE MORNING CLOUDS
WILL LIFT TO VFR LEVELS LATE MORNING...WITH CLEARING OVER MUCH OF
THE INTERIOR DURING THE AFTERNOON.

KSEA...VFR CEILINGS EXPECTED TO LOWER AROUND DAY BREAK TO MVFR
LEVELS NEAR 1.5K FT...THEN LIFT BY LATE MORNING AND CLEARING
DURING THE AFTERNOON. LIGHT NORTHEAST WINDS 4 TO 6 KT WILL BECOME
NORTHWESTERLY BY EARLY AFTERNOON.

&&

.MARINE...ONSHORE GRADIENTS AND FLOW HAVE RELAXED THIS MORNING. A
TYPICAL PATTERN OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS AND LOWER
PRESSURE INLAND WILL SUPPORT ONSHORE FLOW THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
EXPECT STRONGEST WESTERLIES THROUGH THE STRAIT...WITH SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS POSSIBLE AT TIMES ESPECIALLY DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. THE CURRENT FORECAST REFLECTS 10 TO 20
KT WESTERLIES THIS AFTERNOON AND NOMINAL SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WINDS
DURING THE EVENING HOURS ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. ALL OTHER WATERS
WILL REMAIN 10 TO 20 KTS.

&&

.SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WA...NONE.
PZ...NONE.


&&

$$

YOU CAN SEE AN ILLUSTRATED VERSION OF THE FORECAST DISCUSSION AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE/GAFD/LATEST_WEBAFD.HTML












000
FXUS66 KSEW 251020
AFDSEW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
330 AM PDT FRI JUL 25 2014

.SYNOPSIS...MOIST WESTERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY AS A WEAK
WEATHER SYSTEM MOVES ONTO THE BRITISH COLUMBIA COAST. THERE COULD BE
SOME LIGHT SHOWERS OVER THE COAST AND MOUNTAINS...OTHERWISE CLOUDY
SKIES WILL GIVE WAY TO PARTIAL AFTERNOON SUNSHINE. HIGH PRESSURE
ALOFT WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION THIS WEEKEND...BRINGING SUNNY
WARMER WEATHER THAT SHOULD CONTINUE NEXT WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...WV/IR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A WEAK SHORT WAVE
EMBEDDED IN WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT MOVING ONTO THE B.C. COAST AND
BRUSHING WRN WA. THERE ARE SOME MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS ASSOCIATED
WITH THIS SYSTEM BUT THE MAIN AFFECT IS TO MAINTAIN MOIST LOW LEVEL
ONSHORE FLOW. THERE WAS ALREADY PLENTY OF MOISTURE IN THE LOW LEVELS
FROM EARLIER TODAY WHICH ALLOWED STRATUS TO REFORM AND EXPAND ACROSS
MUCH OF THE AREA. THE EXCEPTION IS THE SW INTERIOR ODDLY WHICH IS
MOSTLY CLOUDY FREE SO FAR EARLY THIS MORNING. THE FORECAST TODAY
INDICATES A CLOUDY START TO THE DAY...THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. I
RELUCTANTLY KEPT SOME LOW POPS ON THE COAST AND MOUNTAINS AS A MOS
BLEND STILL SHOWS A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THESE AREAS. CURRENT OBS DO
SHOW LIGHT RAIN ALONG VANCOUVER ISLAND SO IT IS POSSIBLE A BIT OF
THIS PRECIPITATION COULD SKIRT OUR AREA THIS MORNING. THE INTERIOR
LOWLANDS SHOULD BE DRY OUTSIDE OF A FEW LIGHT SPRINKLES FROM THE
STRATUS LAYER THIS MORNING. WITH SOME SUN BREAKING OUT THIS
AFTERNOON...HIGHS SHOULD REACH INTO THE LOW TO MID 70S AROUND PUGET
SOUND BUT STILL IN THE 60S COAST AND STRAIT.

HEIGHTS SLOWLY RISE TONIGHT BUT THE LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL STILL BE
ONSHORE. THIS MAY ALLOW SOME STRATUS TO REFORM OVER THE AREA BUT IT
SHOULD BE MORE PATCHY IN NATURE. THE FOUR CORNERS HIGH BUILDS NWD
INTO THE NRN ROCKIES SATURDAY AND SUNDAY WITH 500 MB HEIGHTS ABOVE
5800 M OVER WRN WA. THIS SUPPORTS A DRY AND WARMING TREND WITH HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOW 80S ON SATURDAY...WARNING TO THE LOW AND MID
80S SUNDAY UNDER SUNNY SKIES.

.LONG TERM...GLOBAL MODELS CONTINUE TO ADVERTISE A STRONG HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE DOMINATING THE INTERIOR WRN U.S. THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT
WEEK. THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO HOW FAR WEST THE RIDGE WILL
SHIFT AND THIS WILL AFFECT WHERE THERMALLY INDUCED LOW PRESSURE
DEVELOPS. MOST MODELS RUNS KEEP THE RIDGE AXIS ORIENTED NWD OVER THE
GREAT BASIN WHICH WOULD KEEP LOWER PRESSURE EAST OF THE CASCADES AND
ALLOW FOR LIGHT ONSHORE FLOW OVER WRN WA. IT WILL STILL BE QUITE
WARM...WELL INTO THE 80S...BUT HOT TEMPERATURES INTO THE 90S MAY BE
AVERTED IF THE RIDGE AXIS REMAINS FURTHER EAST. THE MORE RELIABLE
ECMWF HAS VARIED FROM RUN TO RUN...SOME PUTTING THE RIDGE CLOSER TO
OUR AREA SO A PERIOD OF EVEN WARMER  WEATHER IS NOT OUT OF THE
QUESTION NEXT WEEK. HIGH TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE ABOVE AVERAGE
REGARDLESS OF THE EXACT RIDGE POSITION. MERCER

&&

.AVIATION...WEAK UPPER LEVEL RIDGING AND MODERATE WESTERLY FLOW
ALOFT WILL PERSIST OVER THE REGION TODAY. LOW LEVEL ONSHORE FLOW
WILL STRENGTHEN SOMEWHAT DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS
BEFORE RELAXING LATE TONIGHT.

THE AIR MASS OVER WESTERN WASHINGTON HAS DRIED AND BECOME MORE
STABLE OVERNIGHT. LINGERING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND THE ONSHORE FLOW
HAS HELPED LOW CLOUDS ALONG THE COAST...STRAIT AND THROUGH THE
CENTRAL INTERIOR WHILE CLOUD COVER OVER THE NORTH AND SOUTHWEST
INTERIOR REMAINS SPOTTY AS OF 10Z. CEILINGS CURRENTLY 3-5K FT MOST
AREAS...EXPECTED TO LOWER TO MVFR LEVELS AT OR JUST AFTER SUNRISE
THIS MORNING. A WEAK UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM MOVING INTO BRITISH COLUMBIA
THIS MORNING WILL KEEP A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND OR DRIZZLE OVER THE
COAST AND OLYMPICS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE MORNING CLOUDS
WILL LIFT TO VFR LEVELS LATE MORNING...WITH CLEARING OVER MUCH OF
THE INTERIOR DURING THE AFTERNOON.

KSEA...VFR CEILINGS EXPECTED TO LOWER AROUND DAY BREAK TO MVFR
LEVELS NEAR 1.5K FT...THEN LIFT BY LATE MORNING AND CLEARING
DURING THE AFTERNOON. LIGHT NORTHEAST WINDS 4 TO 6 KT WILL BECOME
NORTHWESTERLY BY EARLY AFTERNOON.

&&

.MARINE...ONSHORE GRADIENTS AND FLOW HAVE RELAXED THIS MORNING. A
TYPICAL PATTERN OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS AND LOWER
PRESSURE INLAND WILL SUPPORT ONSHORE FLOW THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
EXPECT STRONGEST WESTERLIES THROUGH THE STRAIT...WITH SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS POSSIBLE AT TIMES ESPECIALLY DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. THE CURRENT FORECAST REFLECTS 10 TO 20
KT WESTERLIES THIS AFTERNOON AND NOMINAL SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WINDS
DURING THE EVENING HOURS ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. ALL OTHER WATERS
WILL REMAIN 10 TO 20 KTS.

&&

.SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WA...NONE.
PZ...NONE.


&&

$$

YOU CAN SEE AN ILLUSTRATED VERSION OF THE FORECAST DISCUSSION AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE/GAFD/LATEST_WEBAFD.HTML











000
FXUS66 KOTX 250910
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
210 AM PDT FRI JUL 25 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A warming and drying trend will commence today and culminate in a
return to hot and dry summer conditions through the next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Today to Saturday: Benign conditions accompany the start of a
warming trend. Today the Inland NW will be in a zonal flow. An
upper wave rounding the Gulf of AK trough pushes onshore late,
largely north of the BC border, weakening as it does so. With no
significant moisture or instability, aside from some increased
lapse rates in the low levels with the afternoon heating, look for
dry weather. Some clouds will linger across the Cascade crest and
northeast WA/north ID early. Otherwise look for some thin high
clouds and few flat cumulus near the mountains in the afternoon. A
diurnal increase in winds is projected, but overall speeds are
expected to be under 15 mph. Tonight into Saturday the Gulf of AK
low digs south and as a result a ridge begins amplifying over the
Inland NW. This will mean even less cloud cover, less wind and dry
weather. With a cool low exiting temperatures will begin to
moderate, though today`s values will still remain several degrees
under seasonal averages. By Saturday the increasing southwest flow
and amplifying ridge will allow temperatures to push back closer
to average. /J. Cote`

Saturday night through Wednesday...Very good model agreement
and run to run consistency exists through the extended term. A
strengthening 4 corners high pressure will build through early
next week and stabilize by the middle of the week. This will
promote a strong surface thermal trough over the Columbia Basin
for a general increase in temperature each day culminating in hot
and dry conditions through the upcoming week. The only potential
threats during this period will impact fire weather concerns
including elevated Cascade gap winds during the evening
hours...and a ghost of a chance of some monsoonal moisture
sneaking into the Blue Mountains and Idaho Panhandle by next week.
The monsoonal prospect is ill defined and low confidence at this
time. Condensing the preceding 122 words yields "Increasingly hot
and dry". /Fugazzi


&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAFS: A low pressure system will exit to the north tonight,
allowing cloud cover and winds to diminish overnight. Building
high pressure will foster VFR conditions at all TAF sites next 24
hours. /EK



&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        75  54  83  59  91  64 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Coeur d`Alene  74  50  81  53  90  60 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Pullman        75  47  83  50  91  57 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Lewiston       83  57  91  61  97  68 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Colville       77  51  85  52  94  57 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Sandpoint      71  47  78  49  88  54 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Kellogg        70  51  79  54  89  60 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Moses Lake     83  56  89  59  95  65 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Wenatchee      82  59  88  62  94  69 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Omak           83  53  89  56  94  63 /   0   0   0   0   0  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...None.
&&

$$





000
FXUS66 KOTX 250910
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
210 AM PDT FRI JUL 25 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A warming and drying trend will commence today and culminate in a
return to hot and dry summer conditions through the next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Today to Saturday: Benign conditions accompany the start of a
warming trend. Today the Inland NW will be in a zonal flow. An
upper wave rounding the Gulf of AK trough pushes onshore late,
largely north of the BC border, weakening as it does so. With no
significant moisture or instability, aside from some increased
lapse rates in the low levels with the afternoon heating, look for
dry weather. Some clouds will linger across the Cascade crest and
northeast WA/north ID early. Otherwise look for some thin high
clouds and few flat cumulus near the mountains in the afternoon. A
diurnal increase in winds is projected, but overall speeds are
expected to be under 15 mph. Tonight into Saturday the Gulf of AK
low digs south and as a result a ridge begins amplifying over the
Inland NW. This will mean even less cloud cover, less wind and dry
weather. With a cool low exiting temperatures will begin to
moderate, though today`s values will still remain several degrees
under seasonal averages. By Saturday the increasing southwest flow
and amplifying ridge will allow temperatures to push back closer
to average. /J. Cote`

Saturday night through Wednesday...Very good model agreement
and run to run consistency exists through the extended term. A
strengthening 4 corners high pressure will build through early
next week and stabilize by the middle of the week. This will
promote a strong surface thermal trough over the Columbia Basin
for a general increase in temperature each day culminating in hot
and dry conditions through the upcoming week. The only potential
threats during this period will impact fire weather concerns
including elevated Cascade gap winds during the evening
hours...and a ghost of a chance of some monsoonal moisture
sneaking into the Blue Mountains and Idaho Panhandle by next week.
The monsoonal prospect is ill defined and low confidence at this
time. Condensing the preceding 122 words yields "Increasingly hot
and dry". /Fugazzi


&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAFS: A low pressure system will exit to the north tonight,
allowing cloud cover and winds to diminish overnight. Building
high pressure will foster VFR conditions at all TAF sites next 24
hours. /EK



&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        75  54  83  59  91  64 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Coeur d`Alene  74  50  81  53  90  60 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Pullman        75  47  83  50  91  57 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Lewiston       83  57  91  61  97  68 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Colville       77  51  85  52  94  57 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Sandpoint      71  47  78  49  88  54 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Kellogg        70  51  79  54  89  60 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Moses Lake     83  56  89  59  95  65 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Wenatchee      82  59  88  62  94  69 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Omak           83  53  89  56  94  63 /   0   0   0   0   0  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...None.
&&

$$




000
FXUS66 KOTX 250910
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
210 AM PDT FRI JUL 25 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A warming and drying trend will commence today and culminate in a
return to hot and dry summer conditions through the next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Today to Saturday: Benign conditions accompany the start of a
warming trend. Today the Inland NW will be in a zonal flow. An
upper wave rounding the Gulf of AK trough pushes onshore late,
largely north of the BC border, weakening as it does so. With no
significant moisture or instability, aside from some increased
lapse rates in the low levels with the afternoon heating, look for
dry weather. Some clouds will linger across the Cascade crest and
northeast WA/north ID early. Otherwise look for some thin high
clouds and few flat cumulus near the mountains in the afternoon. A
diurnal increase in winds is projected, but overall speeds are
expected to be under 15 mph. Tonight into Saturday the Gulf of AK
low digs south and as a result a ridge begins amplifying over the
Inland NW. This will mean even less cloud cover, less wind and dry
weather. With a cool low exiting temperatures will begin to
moderate, though today`s values will still remain several degrees
under seasonal averages. By Saturday the increasing southwest flow
and amplifying ridge will allow temperatures to push back closer
to average. /J. Cote`

Saturday night through Wednesday...Very good model agreement
and run to run consistency exists through the extended term. A
strengthening 4 corners high pressure will build through early
next week and stabilize by the middle of the week. This will
promote a strong surface thermal trough over the Columbia Basin
for a general increase in temperature each day culminating in hot
and dry conditions through the upcoming week. The only potential
threats during this period will impact fire weather concerns
including elevated Cascade gap winds during the evening
hours...and a ghost of a chance of some monsoonal moisture
sneaking into the Blue Mountains and Idaho Panhandle by next week.
The monsoonal prospect is ill defined and low confidence at this
time. Condensing the preceding 122 words yields "Increasingly hot
and dry". /Fugazzi


&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAFS: A low pressure system will exit to the north tonight,
allowing cloud cover and winds to diminish overnight. Building
high pressure will foster VFR conditions at all TAF sites next 24
hours. /EK



&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        75  54  83  59  91  64 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Coeur d`Alene  74  50  81  53  90  60 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Pullman        75  47  83  50  91  57 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Lewiston       83  57  91  61  97  68 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Colville       77  51  85  52  94  57 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Sandpoint      71  47  78  49  88  54 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Kellogg        70  51  79  54  89  60 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Moses Lake     83  56  89  59  95  65 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Wenatchee      82  59  88  62  94  69 /   0   0   0   0   0  10
Omak           83  53  89  56  94  63 /   0   0   0   0   0  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...None.
&&

$$




000
FXUS66 KPQR 250905
AFDPQR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
205 AM PDT FRI JUL 25 2014

.SYNOPSIS...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD IN OVER THE WESTERN
STATES OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...AND REMAIN INTO NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL
BRING WARM AND DRY WEATHER...EXCEPT FOR A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE CASCADES SUN AND AGAIN WED AS A COUPLE OF WEAK
DISTURBANCES LIFT THROUGH THE REGION.
&&

.SHORT TERM...SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWED A RIDGE OF HIGH PRES EXTENDING
FROM OFFSHORE NE INTO WESTERN WA...BRINGING A DRYING NORTHERLY LOW
LEVEL FLOW TO THE REGION. LINGERING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE KEPT SOME
CLOUDS IN OVER THE COAST RANGE AND NORTHERN PART OF THE
CASCADES...WITH MARINE CLOUDS LIMITED TO THE N PART OF THE COAST.
EXPECT SOME CLOUDS TO REDEVELOP INLAND EARLY THIS MORNING...MAINLY
ACROSS THE N PART OF THE AREA...BUT THESE CLOUDS ARE LIKELY TO BREAK
UP QUICKLY THIS MORNING AND RETREAT BACK TO THE COAST BY AFTERNOON.

MODELS INDICATE AN UPPER RIDGE TO BUILD OVER THE INTERIOR NW OVER
THE NEXT FEW DAYS. NW ONSHORE FLOW WILL BRING A PATTERN OF CLOUDS
PUSHING ONTO THE COAST AND INLAND UP THE LOWER COLUMBIA VALLEY
DURING THE LATE NIGHT AND MORNING HOURS...THEN RETREATING TO THE
COAST FOR THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. TEMPS TO WARM SOME TODAY
AND SAT AS UPPER HEIGHTS BUILD AND H8 TEMPS CLIMB. UPPER FLOW
EXPECTED TO BACK TOWARDS THE S OVER THE WEEKEND IN RESPONSE TO THE
RIDGE STRENGTHENING INLAND...WITH MODELS AGREEING ON A SHORTWAVE
LIFTING N SUN. WILL KEEP A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE
OREGON CASCADES SUN AFTERNOON AS SHORTWAVE LIFTS THROUGH.

.LONG TERM...NO CHANGES. PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FOLLOWS....A LARGE
UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE IS FORECAST TO BE POSITIONED OVER THE ROCKY
MOUNTAINS...PUTTING OUR REGION UNDER SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT NEXT
WEEK. SEVERAL WEAK SHORTWAVES ARE FORECAST UP THE RIDGE NEAR OUR
REGION.  MOST OF THESE LOOK LIKE THEY WILL MISS OUR AREA...BUT A
CHANCE FOR SOME SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
CASCADE CREST WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. THE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AND
SUNNY AFTERNOONS WILL KEEP OUR TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.
-MCCOY
&&

.AVIATION...VFR ACROSS REGION THIS AM...WITH POCKETS OF CIGS 4000
TO 4500 FT OVER COAST RANGE...COASTAL AREAS FROM KTMK NORTHWARD...
AND AGAINST THE CASCADES. WITH WEAK FLOW ALOFT...SO WILL HAVE VFR
CONDITIONS DOMINATES TODAY WITH CLOUDS BREAKING UP THROUGH 19Z.

PATCHY SHALLOW FOG ALONG THE COAST AND INTERIOR THIS AM...BUT NOT
LIKELY TO AFFECT INLAND TAFS. WITH LOW TIDES AT 5 TO 6 AM...HAVE
BETTER THREAT OF BRIEF FOG ON COASTAL BAYS DUE TO WARMER MUDS
EXPOSED TO COOLER AIR UNTIL 7 OR 8 AM.

KPDX AND APPROACHES...VFR TODAY. WILL HAVE SCATTERED TO BROKEN
CLOUDS AT 4000 FT BETWEEN 12Z AND 18Z. OTHERWISE NO ADVERSE
WEATHER IMPACTS EXPECTED.                            ROCKEY.
&&

.MARINE...NOT MUCH CHANGE. HIGH PRES OVER THE NE PAC WILL REMAIN
IN PLACE THROUGH AT LEAST NEXT TUE. MEANWHILE...THERMAL LOW PRES
OVER NW CALIF WILL STRENGTHEN A BIT. THIS WILL BRING NORTHERLY
WINDS TO COASTAL WATERS...WITH GUSTY WINDS S OF CASCADE IN
AFTERNOONS/EVENINGS. MAY HAVE FEW GUSTS TO 25 KT IN THAT AREA
TODAY...BUT GRADIENTS NOT ALL THAT IMPRESSIVE YET. APPEARS THAT
THE GUSTS OT 25 TO 30 KT WILL HOLD OFF UNTIL SAT AFTERNOON.

SEAS HOLDING AT 4 TO 5 FT...BUT BECOME CHOPPY AT 5 TO 7 FT S OF
NEWPORT IN AFTERNOONS/EVENINGS DUE TO GUSTY N WINDS. ROCKEY.
&&

.PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...NONE.
WA...NONE.
PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH COLUMBIA BAR CONDITIONS
         UNTIL 6 AM TODAY.

&&

$$

MORE WEATHER INFORMATION ONLINE AT...HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/PORTLAND

INTERACT WITH US VIA SOCIAL MEDIA
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/US.NATIONALWEATHERSERVICE.PORTLAND.GOV
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSPORTLAND

THIS DISCUSSION IS FOR NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON
FROM THE CASCADE CREST TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. THE AREA IS
COMMONLY REFERRED TO AS THE FORECAST AREA.




000
FXUS66 KPQR 250905
AFDPQR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
205 AM PDT FRI JUL 25 2014

.SYNOPSIS...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD IN OVER THE WESTERN
STATES OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...AND REMAIN INTO NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL
BRING WARM AND DRY WEATHER...EXCEPT FOR A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE CASCADES SUN AND AGAIN WED AS A COUPLE OF WEAK
DISTURBANCES LIFT THROUGH THE REGION.
&&

.SHORT TERM...SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWED A RIDGE OF HIGH PRES EXTENDING
FROM OFFSHORE NE INTO WESTERN WA...BRINGING A DRYING NORTHERLY LOW
LEVEL FLOW TO THE REGION. LINGERING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE KEPT SOME
CLOUDS IN OVER THE COAST RANGE AND NORTHERN PART OF THE
CASCADES...WITH MARINE CLOUDS LIMITED TO THE N PART OF THE COAST.
EXPECT SOME CLOUDS TO REDEVELOP INLAND EARLY THIS MORNING...MAINLY
ACROSS THE N PART OF THE AREA...BUT THESE CLOUDS ARE LIKELY TO BREAK
UP QUICKLY THIS MORNING AND RETREAT BACK TO THE COAST BY AFTERNOON.

MODELS INDICATE AN UPPER RIDGE TO BUILD OVER THE INTERIOR NW OVER
THE NEXT FEW DAYS. NW ONSHORE FLOW WILL BRING A PATTERN OF CLOUDS
PUSHING ONTO THE COAST AND INLAND UP THE LOWER COLUMBIA VALLEY
DURING THE LATE NIGHT AND MORNING HOURS...THEN RETREATING TO THE
COAST FOR THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. TEMPS TO WARM SOME TODAY
AND SAT AS UPPER HEIGHTS BUILD AND H8 TEMPS CLIMB. UPPER FLOW
EXPECTED TO BACK TOWARDS THE S OVER THE WEEKEND IN RESPONSE TO THE
RIDGE STRENGTHENING INLAND...WITH MODELS AGREEING ON A SHORTWAVE
LIFTING N SUN. WILL KEEP A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE
OREGON CASCADES SUN AFTERNOON AS SHORTWAVE LIFTS THROUGH.

.LONG TERM...NO CHANGES. PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FOLLOWS....A LARGE
UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE IS FORECAST TO BE POSITIONED OVER THE ROCKY
MOUNTAINS...PUTTING OUR REGION UNDER SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT NEXT
WEEK. SEVERAL WEAK SHORTWAVES ARE FORECAST UP THE RIDGE NEAR OUR
REGION.  MOST OF THESE LOOK LIKE THEY WILL MISS OUR AREA...BUT A
CHANCE FOR SOME SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
CASCADE CREST WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. THE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AND
SUNNY AFTERNOONS WILL KEEP OUR TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.
-MCCOY
&&

.AVIATION...VFR ACROSS REGION THIS AM...WITH POCKETS OF CIGS 4000
TO 4500 FT OVER COAST RANGE...COASTAL AREAS FROM KTMK NORTHWARD...
AND AGAINST THE CASCADES. WITH WEAK FLOW ALOFT...SO WILL HAVE VFR
CONDITIONS DOMINATES TODAY WITH CLOUDS BREAKING UP THROUGH 19Z.

PATCHY SHALLOW FOG ALONG THE COAST AND INTERIOR THIS AM...BUT NOT
LIKELY TO AFFECT INLAND TAFS. WITH LOW TIDES AT 5 TO 6 AM...HAVE
BETTER THREAT OF BRIEF FOG ON COASTAL BAYS DUE TO WARMER MUDS
EXPOSED TO COOLER AIR UNTIL 7 OR 8 AM.

KPDX AND APPROACHES...VFR TODAY. WILL HAVE SCATTERED TO BROKEN
CLOUDS AT 4000 FT BETWEEN 12Z AND 18Z. OTHERWISE NO ADVERSE
WEATHER IMPACTS EXPECTED.                            ROCKEY.
&&

.MARINE...NOT MUCH CHANGE. HIGH PRES OVER THE NE PAC WILL REMAIN
IN PLACE THROUGH AT LEAST NEXT TUE. MEANWHILE...THERMAL LOW PRES
OVER NW CALIF WILL STRENGTHEN A BIT. THIS WILL BRING NORTHERLY
WINDS TO COASTAL WATERS...WITH GUSTY WINDS S OF CASCADE IN
AFTERNOONS/EVENINGS. MAY HAVE FEW GUSTS TO 25 KT IN THAT AREA
TODAY...BUT GRADIENTS NOT ALL THAT IMPRESSIVE YET. APPEARS THAT
THE GUSTS OT 25 TO 30 KT WILL HOLD OFF UNTIL SAT AFTERNOON.

SEAS HOLDING AT 4 TO 5 FT...BUT BECOME CHOPPY AT 5 TO 7 FT S OF
NEWPORT IN AFTERNOONS/EVENINGS DUE TO GUSTY N WINDS. ROCKEY.
&&

.PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...NONE.
WA...NONE.
PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH COLUMBIA BAR CONDITIONS
         UNTIL 6 AM TODAY.

&&

$$

MORE WEATHER INFORMATION ONLINE AT...HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/PORTLAND

INTERACT WITH US VIA SOCIAL MEDIA
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/US.NATIONALWEATHERSERVICE.PORTLAND.GOV
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSPORTLAND

THIS DISCUSSION IS FOR NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON
FROM THE CASCADE CREST TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. THE AREA IS
COMMONLY REFERRED TO AS THE FORECAST AREA.




000
FXUS66 KPQR 250905
AFDPQR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
205 AM PDT FRI JUL 25 2014

.SYNOPSIS...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD IN OVER THE WESTERN
STATES OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...AND REMAIN INTO NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL
BRING WARM AND DRY WEATHER...EXCEPT FOR A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE CASCADES SUN AND AGAIN WED AS A COUPLE OF WEAK
DISTURBANCES LIFT THROUGH THE REGION.
&&

.SHORT TERM...SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWED A RIDGE OF HIGH PRES EXTENDING
FROM OFFSHORE NE INTO WESTERN WA...BRINGING A DRYING NORTHERLY LOW
LEVEL FLOW TO THE REGION. LINGERING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE KEPT SOME
CLOUDS IN OVER THE COAST RANGE AND NORTHERN PART OF THE
CASCADES...WITH MARINE CLOUDS LIMITED TO THE N PART OF THE COAST.
EXPECT SOME CLOUDS TO REDEVELOP INLAND EARLY THIS MORNING...MAINLY
ACROSS THE N PART OF THE AREA...BUT THESE CLOUDS ARE LIKELY TO BREAK
UP QUICKLY THIS MORNING AND RETREAT BACK TO THE COAST BY AFTERNOON.

MODELS INDICATE AN UPPER RIDGE TO BUILD OVER THE INTERIOR NW OVER
THE NEXT FEW DAYS. NW ONSHORE FLOW WILL BRING A PATTERN OF CLOUDS
PUSHING ONTO THE COAST AND INLAND UP THE LOWER COLUMBIA VALLEY
DURING THE LATE NIGHT AND MORNING HOURS...THEN RETREATING TO THE
COAST FOR THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. TEMPS TO WARM SOME TODAY
AND SAT AS UPPER HEIGHTS BUILD AND H8 TEMPS CLIMB. UPPER FLOW
EXPECTED TO BACK TOWARDS THE S OVER THE WEEKEND IN RESPONSE TO THE
RIDGE STRENGTHENING INLAND...WITH MODELS AGREEING ON A SHORTWAVE
LIFTING N SUN. WILL KEEP A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE
OREGON CASCADES SUN AFTERNOON AS SHORTWAVE LIFTS THROUGH.

.LONG TERM...NO CHANGES. PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FOLLOWS....A LARGE
UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE IS FORECAST TO BE POSITIONED OVER THE ROCKY
MOUNTAINS...PUTTING OUR REGION UNDER SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT NEXT
WEEK. SEVERAL WEAK SHORTWAVES ARE FORECAST UP THE RIDGE NEAR OUR
REGION.  MOST OF THESE LOOK LIKE THEY WILL MISS OUR AREA...BUT A
CHANCE FOR SOME SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
CASCADE CREST WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. THE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AND
SUNNY AFTERNOONS WILL KEEP OUR TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.
-MCCOY
&&

.AVIATION...VFR ACROSS REGION THIS AM...WITH POCKETS OF CIGS 4000
TO 4500 FT OVER COAST RANGE...COASTAL AREAS FROM KTMK NORTHWARD...
AND AGAINST THE CASCADES. WITH WEAK FLOW ALOFT...SO WILL HAVE VFR
CONDITIONS DOMINATES TODAY WITH CLOUDS BREAKING UP THROUGH 19Z.

PATCHY SHALLOW FOG ALONG THE COAST AND INTERIOR THIS AM...BUT NOT
LIKELY TO AFFECT INLAND TAFS. WITH LOW TIDES AT 5 TO 6 AM...HAVE
BETTER THREAT OF BRIEF FOG ON COASTAL BAYS DUE TO WARMER MUDS
EXPOSED TO COOLER AIR UNTIL 7 OR 8 AM.

KPDX AND APPROACHES...VFR TODAY. WILL HAVE SCATTERED TO BROKEN
CLOUDS AT 4000 FT BETWEEN 12Z AND 18Z. OTHERWISE NO ADVERSE
WEATHER IMPACTS EXPECTED.                            ROCKEY.
&&

.MARINE...NOT MUCH CHANGE. HIGH PRES OVER THE NE PAC WILL REMAIN
IN PLACE THROUGH AT LEAST NEXT TUE. MEANWHILE...THERMAL LOW PRES
OVER NW CALIF WILL STRENGTHEN A BIT. THIS WILL BRING NORTHERLY
WINDS TO COASTAL WATERS...WITH GUSTY WINDS S OF CASCADE IN
AFTERNOONS/EVENINGS. MAY HAVE FEW GUSTS TO 25 KT IN THAT AREA
TODAY...BUT GRADIENTS NOT ALL THAT IMPRESSIVE YET. APPEARS THAT
THE GUSTS OT 25 TO 30 KT WILL HOLD OFF UNTIL SAT AFTERNOON.

SEAS HOLDING AT 4 TO 5 FT...BUT BECOME CHOPPY AT 5 TO 7 FT S OF
NEWPORT IN AFTERNOONS/EVENINGS DUE TO GUSTY N WINDS. ROCKEY.
&&

.PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...NONE.
WA...NONE.
PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH COLUMBIA BAR CONDITIONS
         UNTIL 6 AM TODAY.

&&

$$

MORE WEATHER INFORMATION ONLINE AT...HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/PORTLAND

INTERACT WITH US VIA SOCIAL MEDIA
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/US.NATIONALWEATHERSERVICE.PORTLAND.GOV
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSPORTLAND

THIS DISCUSSION IS FOR NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON
FROM THE CASCADE CREST TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. THE AREA IS
COMMONLY REFERRED TO AS THE FORECAST AREA.




000
FXUS66 KPQR 250905
AFDPQR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
205 AM PDT FRI JUL 25 2014

.SYNOPSIS...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD IN OVER THE WESTERN
STATES OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...AND REMAIN INTO NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL
BRING WARM AND DRY WEATHER...EXCEPT FOR A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE CASCADES SUN AND AGAIN WED AS A COUPLE OF WEAK
DISTURBANCES LIFT THROUGH THE REGION.
&&

.SHORT TERM...SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWED A RIDGE OF HIGH PRES EXTENDING
FROM OFFSHORE NE INTO WESTERN WA...BRINGING A DRYING NORTHERLY LOW
LEVEL FLOW TO THE REGION. LINGERING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE KEPT SOME
CLOUDS IN OVER THE COAST RANGE AND NORTHERN PART OF THE
CASCADES...WITH MARINE CLOUDS LIMITED TO THE N PART OF THE COAST.
EXPECT SOME CLOUDS TO REDEVELOP INLAND EARLY THIS MORNING...MAINLY
ACROSS THE N PART OF THE AREA...BUT THESE CLOUDS ARE LIKELY TO BREAK
UP QUICKLY THIS MORNING AND RETREAT BACK TO THE COAST BY AFTERNOON.

MODELS INDICATE AN UPPER RIDGE TO BUILD OVER THE INTERIOR NW OVER
THE NEXT FEW DAYS. NW ONSHORE FLOW WILL BRING A PATTERN OF CLOUDS
PUSHING ONTO THE COAST AND INLAND UP THE LOWER COLUMBIA VALLEY
DURING THE LATE NIGHT AND MORNING HOURS...THEN RETREATING TO THE
COAST FOR THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. TEMPS TO WARM SOME TODAY
AND SAT AS UPPER HEIGHTS BUILD AND H8 TEMPS CLIMB. UPPER FLOW
EXPECTED TO BACK TOWARDS THE S OVER THE WEEKEND IN RESPONSE TO THE
RIDGE STRENGTHENING INLAND...WITH MODELS AGREEING ON A SHORTWAVE
LIFTING N SUN. WILL KEEP A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE
OREGON CASCADES SUN AFTERNOON AS SHORTWAVE LIFTS THROUGH.

.LONG TERM...NO CHANGES. PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FOLLOWS....A LARGE
UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE IS FORECAST TO BE POSITIONED OVER THE ROCKY
MOUNTAINS...PUTTING OUR REGION UNDER SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT NEXT
WEEK. SEVERAL WEAK SHORTWAVES ARE FORECAST UP THE RIDGE NEAR OUR
REGION.  MOST OF THESE LOOK LIKE THEY WILL MISS OUR AREA...BUT A
CHANCE FOR SOME SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
CASCADE CREST WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. THE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AND
SUNNY AFTERNOONS WILL KEEP OUR TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.
-MCCOY
&&

.AVIATION...VFR ACROSS REGION THIS AM...WITH POCKETS OF CIGS 4000
TO 4500 FT OVER COAST RANGE...COASTAL AREAS FROM KTMK NORTHWARD...
AND AGAINST THE CASCADES. WITH WEAK FLOW ALOFT...SO WILL HAVE VFR
CONDITIONS DOMINATES TODAY WITH CLOUDS BREAKING UP THROUGH 19Z.

PATCHY SHALLOW FOG ALONG THE COAST AND INTERIOR THIS AM...BUT NOT
LIKELY TO AFFECT INLAND TAFS. WITH LOW TIDES AT 5 TO 6 AM...HAVE
BETTER THREAT OF BRIEF FOG ON COASTAL BAYS DUE TO WARMER MUDS
EXPOSED TO COOLER AIR UNTIL 7 OR 8 AM.

KPDX AND APPROACHES...VFR TODAY. WILL HAVE SCATTERED TO BROKEN
CLOUDS AT 4000 FT BETWEEN 12Z AND 18Z. OTHERWISE NO ADVERSE
WEATHER IMPACTS EXPECTED.                            ROCKEY.
&&

.MARINE...NOT MUCH CHANGE. HIGH PRES OVER THE NE PAC WILL REMAIN
IN PLACE THROUGH AT LEAST NEXT TUE. MEANWHILE...THERMAL LOW PRES
OVER NW CALIF WILL STRENGTHEN A BIT. THIS WILL BRING NORTHERLY
WINDS TO COASTAL WATERS...WITH GUSTY WINDS S OF CASCADE IN
AFTERNOONS/EVENINGS. MAY HAVE FEW GUSTS TO 25 KT IN THAT AREA
TODAY...BUT GRADIENTS NOT ALL THAT IMPRESSIVE YET. APPEARS THAT
THE GUSTS OT 25 TO 30 KT WILL HOLD OFF UNTIL SAT AFTERNOON.

SEAS HOLDING AT 4 TO 5 FT...BUT BECOME CHOPPY AT 5 TO 7 FT S OF
NEWPORT IN AFTERNOONS/EVENINGS DUE TO GUSTY N WINDS. ROCKEY.
&&

.PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...NONE.
WA...NONE.
PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH COLUMBIA BAR CONDITIONS
         UNTIL 6 AM TODAY.

&&

$$

MORE WEATHER INFORMATION ONLINE AT...HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/PORTLAND

INTERACT WITH US VIA SOCIAL MEDIA
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/US.NATIONALWEATHERSERVICE.PORTLAND.GOV
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSPORTLAND

THIS DISCUSSION IS FOR NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON
FROM THE CASCADE CREST TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. THE AREA IS
COMMONLY REFERRED TO AS THE FORECAST AREA.




000
FXUS66 KOTX 250533
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
1033 PM PDT THU JUL 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...Lingering showers will depart Northern Idaho this
evening. A cool and mostly clear night is expected across the
region coupled with decreasing winds. A dry warming trend is
expected through early next week.


&&

.DISCUSSION...
The upper level low that brought scattered showers to the area
today has moved off to the northeast. A few sprinkles may fall
over the northeast mts tonight but that will be about it for
precip. A cold pool aloft will remain over the northern tier and
could keep more cloud cover through the night. Evening update is to
adjust cloud cover and overnight temperatures. Rest of the
forecast is in good shape. A building ridge will put temperatures
on an upward trend along with dry conditions through the weekend.
/Kelch

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAFS: A low pressure system will exit to the north tonight,
allowing cloud cover and winds to diminish overnight. Building
high pressure will foster VFR conditions at all TAF sites next 24
hours. /EK


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        50  76  54  84  59  91 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Coeur d`Alene  48  75  48  82  53  90 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Pullman        43  75  44  83  50  91 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Lewiston       53  84  55  92  61  97 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Colville       47  78  48  86  52  94 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Sandpoint      47  73  46  80  49  88 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Kellogg        49  71  48  80  54  89 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Moses Lake     53  84  53  89  59  95 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Wenatchee      56  82  56  87  62  94 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Omak           50  83  53  88  56  94 /  10   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...None.
&&

$$





000
FXUS66 KOTX 250533
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
1033 PM PDT THU JUL 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...Lingering showers will depart Northern Idaho this
evening. A cool and mostly clear night is expected across the
region coupled with decreasing winds. A dry warming trend is
expected through early next week.


&&

.DISCUSSION...
The upper level low that brought scattered showers to the area
today has moved off to the northeast. A few sprinkles may fall
over the northeast mts tonight but that will be about it for
precip. A cold pool aloft will remain over the northern tier and
could keep more cloud cover through the night. Evening update is to
adjust cloud cover and overnight temperatures. Rest of the
forecast is in good shape. A building ridge will put temperatures
on an upward trend along with dry conditions through the weekend.
/Kelch

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAFS: A low pressure system will exit to the north tonight,
allowing cloud cover and winds to diminish overnight. Building
high pressure will foster VFR conditions at all TAF sites next 24
hours. /EK


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        50  76  54  84  59  91 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Coeur d`Alene  48  75  48  82  53  90 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Pullman        43  75  44  83  50  91 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Lewiston       53  84  55  92  61  97 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Colville       47  78  48  86  52  94 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Sandpoint      47  73  46  80  49  88 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Kellogg        49  71  48  80  54  89 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Moses Lake     53  84  53  89  59  95 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Wenatchee      56  82  56  87  62  94 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Omak           50  83  53  88  56  94 /  10   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...None.
&&

$$




000
FXUS66 KOTX 250410
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
909 PM PDT THU JUL 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...Lingering showers will depart Northern Idaho this
evening. A cool and mostly clear night is expected across the
region coupled with decreasing winds. A dry warming trend is
expected through early next week.


&&

.DISCUSSION...
The upper level low that brought scattered showers to the area
today has moved off to the northeast. A few sprinkles may fall
over the northeast mts tonight but that will be about it for
precip. A cold pool aloft will remain over the northern tier and
could keep more cloud cover through the night. Evening update is to
adjust cloud cover and overnight temperatures. Rest of the
forecast is in good shape. A building ridge will put temperatures
on an upward trend along with dry conditions through the weekend.
/Kelch

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAFS: A low pressure system will exit to the north tonight,
allowing cloud cover and winds to diminish overnight. Building
high pressure will foster VFR conditions at all TAF sites next 24
hours. /EK


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        50  76  54  84  59  91 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Coeur d`Alene  48  75  48  82  53  90 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Pullman        43  75  44  83  50  91 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Lewiston       53  84  55  92  61  97 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Colville       47  78  48  86  52  94 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Sandpoint      47  73  46  80  49  88 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Kellogg        49  71  48  80  54  89 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Moses Lake     53  84  53  89  59  95 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Wenatchee      56  82  56  87  62  94 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Omak           50  83  53  88  56  94 /  10   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...None.
&&

$$




000
FXUS66 KOTX 250410
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
909 PM PDT THU JUL 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...Lingering showers will depart Northern Idaho this
evening. A cool and mostly clear night is expected across the
region coupled with decreasing winds. A dry warming trend is
expected through early next week.


&&

.DISCUSSION...
The upper level low that brought scattered showers to the area
today has moved off to the northeast. A few sprinkles may fall
over the northeast mts tonight but that will be about it for
precip. A cold pool aloft will remain over the northern tier and
could keep more cloud cover through the night. Evening update is to
adjust cloud cover and overnight temperatures. Rest of the
forecast is in good shape. A building ridge will put temperatures
on an upward trend along with dry conditions through the weekend.
/Kelch

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAFS: A low pressure system will exit to the north tonight,
allowing cloud cover and winds to diminish overnight. Building
high pressure will foster VFR conditions at all TAF sites next 24
hours. /EK


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        50  76  54  84  59  91 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Coeur d`Alene  48  75  48  82  53  90 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Pullman        43  75  44  83  50  91 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Lewiston       53  84  55  92  61  97 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Colville       47  78  48  86  52  94 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Sandpoint      47  73  46  80  49  88 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Kellogg        49  71  48  80  54  89 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Moses Lake     53  84  53  89  59  95 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Wenatchee      56  82  56  87  62  94 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Omak           50  83  53  88  56  94 /  10   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...None.
&&

$$





000
FXUS66 KPQR 250409
AFDPQR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
908 PM PDT THU JUL 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...THE UPPER LEVEL LOW THAT BROUGHT ABUNDANT RAIN TO
SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON AND NORTHWEST OREGON THE PAST TWO DAYS HAS MOVED
WELL EAST OF THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON WITH CONTINUED ONSHORE FLOW BUT
DECREASING SHOWERS. A WEAK UPPER RIDGE WILL BEGIN MOVING INTO THE
AREA THROUGH TONIGHT AND FRIDAY IN ITS WAKE...WITH MORE AFTERNOON
SUNSHINE AND GRADUAL WARMING. THE UPPER RIDGE WILL AMPLIFY
OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST SATURDAY AND SUNDAY FOR MORE SUNSHINE AND
SIGNIFICANTLY WARMING TEMPERATURES. THE RIDGE WILL REMAIN INLAND OVER
THE NORTHWEST U.S. THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK WITH SOUTHWEST
FLOW ALOFT AND HIGH 500 MB HEIGHTS. MARINE CLOUDS CAN BE EXPECTED
NEAR THE COAST...AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS BRUSHING THE OREGON
CASCADE CREST AT TIMES.
&&

.UPDATE...MADE ONLY MINOR CHANGES TO TONIGHT`S SKY COVER WITH THE
EVENING UPDATE. OTHERWISE FORECAST IS ON TRACK WITH A WEAK UPPER
DISTURBANCE CLIPPING SW WASHINGTON FRIDAY MORNING BEFORE AN UPPER
RIDGE BUILDS AND LIFTS THIS DISTURBANCE NORTHWARD FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
GENERAL DRYING AND WARMING THIS WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK.

PREVIOUS SHORT TERM DISCUSSION FOLLOWS...THE LOW THAT HAD PLAGUED
SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON AND NORTHWEST OREGON THE PAST TWO DAYS WITH
COPIOUS RAINFALL HAS MOVED EAST OF THE CASCADES IN WASHINGTON THIS
AFTERNOON. SIGNIFICANT ONSHORE FLOW CONTINUES IN ITS WAKE IN THE
LIGHT WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT. THERE ARE A FEW SHOWERS REMAINING MAINLY
TILLAMOOK TO VANCOUVER NORTHWARD...BUT THESE SHOULD DECREASE EARLY
THIS EVENING. THERE ARE A LOT OF CLOUDS OVER SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON AND
NORTHWEST OREGON THIS AFTERNOON...AND PLENTY UPSTREAM OVER THE
NORTHEAST PACIFIC THAT WILL ADVECT IN OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. I THINK THE
BEST CHANCE FOR MUCH CLEARING THIS EVENING WILL BE SOUTH LANE
COUNTY...BUT SOME CLOUDS MAY FILTER IN OVERNIGHT DOWN THERE AS WELL.

THE MODELS REALLY DO NOT SHOW MUCH IF ANY UPPER RIDGING TONIGHT...
WITH THE UPPER FLOW EVEN SLIGHTLY CYCLONIC AT 12Z FRIDAY. THUS EXPECT
FAIRLY DECENT LOW CLOUD COVERAGE THROUGH TONIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY
MORNING ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA. THERE IS A WEAK DISTURBANCE AROUND
50N/130W THIS AFTERNOON THAT MAY BE THE FEATURE DEVELOPING SOME
PATCHY QPF ALONG THE NORTH COAST FORECAST ZONES EARLY FRIDAY...AND IS
ALSO PROBABLY PART OF WHY THE LOW CLOUDS WILL BE RATHER SOLID TONIGHT
INTO FRIDAY. SO WILL LEAVE THE CHANCE OF SPRINKLES AND DRIZZLE IN FOR
LATER TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING NEAR THE NORTH COAST AND COASTAL
MOUNTAINS.

500 MB HEIGHTS DO BEGIN TO BUILD A BIT FRIDAY SO WE SHOULD SEE MORE
SUNSHINE DEVELOP FRIDAY AFTERNOON THAN WE HAVE SEEN IN SEVERAL DAYS.
TEMPS INLAND SHOULD PUSH INTO THE UPPER 70S TO NEAR 80. CLOUDS ON THE
NORTH COAST MAY AGAIN TEND TO HANG ON FOR A WHILE IN THE AFTERNOON
DUE TO THE WEAK DISTURBANCE THAT CAUSES THE PATCHY LIGHT MORNING
PRECIPITATION.

THE UPPER RIDGE AMPLIFIES IN EARNEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND ESPECIALLY
SATURDAY...WITH 500 MB HEIGHTS INTO THE LOWER TO MID 580S BY SATURDAY
AFTERNOON. AFTER SOME BRIEF MORNING LOW CLOUDS INLAND ALONG THE
COLUMBIA RIVER...LOOK FOR PLENTY OF SUNSHINE AND INLAND TEMPS INTO
THE MID 80S ON SATURDAY. THERE IS NOT MUCH CHANGE ON SUNDAY... EXCEPT
TEMPS INLAND MAY GET CLOSER TO 90. THE MODELS SHOW A WEAK DISTURBANCE
LIFTING UP INTO CENTRAL OREGON FROM THE SOUTHWEST ON SUNDAY THAT
MIGHT BRUSH OUR OREGON CASCADE CREST AREA WITH AN ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORM OR TWO SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. TOLLESON

.LONG TERM...NO CHANGES. PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FOLLOWS....A LARGE
UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE IS FORECAST TO BE POSITIONED OVER THE ROCKY
MOUNTAINS...PUTTING OUR REGION UNDER SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT NEXT
WEEK. SEVERAL WEAK SHORTWAVES ARE FORECAST UP THE RIDGE NEAR OUR
REGION.  MOST OF THESE LOOK LIKE THEY WILL MISS OUR AREA...BUT A
CHANCE FOR SOME SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
CASCADE CREST WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. THE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AND
SUNNY AFTERNOONS WILL KEEP OUR TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.
-MCCOY
&&

.AVIATION...WEAK ONSHORE FLOW WILL LIKELY LEAD TO PREDOMINANTLY
VFR CONDITIONS AT ALL TAF SITES THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY. THE MAIN
EXCEPTION TO THIS WILL BE AT KAST WHERE MVFR CONDITIONS WILL
LIKELY DOMINATE FROM 09Z TO 18Z FRIDAY. THERE IS ALSO A DECENT
CHANCE LOW IFR CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP AROUND KONP FOR A COUPLE
HOURS NEAR 12Z FRIDAY. CONFIDENCE IS RELATIVELY LOW THAT MVFR
CONDITIONS APPROACHING KAST WILL MAKE THEIR WAY UP THE COLUMBIA
RIVER TO KPDX AND KTTD BY DAYBREAK.

KPDX AND APPROACHES...EXPECT MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH 06Z
SATURDAY UNDER WEAK ONSHORE FLOW. CONFIDENCE IS LOW TO MEDIUM MVFR
CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP BETWEEN 12Z AND 16Z FRIDAY SO PUT A TEMPO
IN THE TAF TO COVER THIS IDEA FOR NOW. /NEUMAN

&&

.MARINE...HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC AND
THERMAL LOW PRESSURE OVER NORTHERN CALIFORNIA WILL STRENGTHEN OVER
THE COMING DAYS. THIS WILL LEAD TO A TYPICAL SUMMERTIME PATTERN OF
GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS AND POTENTIALLY STEEP SEAS...ESPECIALLY
SOUTH OF NEWPORT. THERE IS A CHANCE WIND GUSTS OF 25 KT WILL
DEVELOP LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...BUT SUSPECT THIS MODEL
WINDS ARE SLIGHTLY OVERDONE...BUT PERHAPS A SMALL CRAFT WILL BE
NECESSARY FOR THE CENTRAL OREGON INNER WATERS. BETTER CHANCES FOR
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES WILL ARRIVE LATER IN THE WEEKEND INTO NEXT
WEEK...EVEN FOR THE NORTHERN WATERS. /NEUMAN


&&

.PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...NONE.
WA...NONE.
PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH COLUMBIA RIVER BAR FROM 3 AM TO 6
     AM PDT FRIDAY.

&&

$$

MORE WEATHER INFORMATION ONLINE AT...HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/PORTLAND

INTERACT WITH US VIA SOCIAL MEDIA
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/US.NATIONALWEATHERSERVICE.PORTLAND.GOV
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSPORTLAND

THIS DISCUSSION IS FOR NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON
FROM THE CASCADE CREST TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. THE AREA IS
COMMONLY REFERRED TO AS THE FORECAST AREA.



000
FXUS66 KPQR 250409
AFDPQR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
908 PM PDT THU JUL 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...THE UPPER LEVEL LOW THAT BROUGHT ABUNDANT RAIN TO
SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON AND NORTHWEST OREGON THE PAST TWO DAYS HAS MOVED
WELL EAST OF THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON WITH CONTINUED ONSHORE FLOW BUT
DECREASING SHOWERS. A WEAK UPPER RIDGE WILL BEGIN MOVING INTO THE
AREA THROUGH TONIGHT AND FRIDAY IN ITS WAKE...WITH MORE AFTERNOON
SUNSHINE AND GRADUAL WARMING. THE UPPER RIDGE WILL AMPLIFY
OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST SATURDAY AND SUNDAY FOR MORE SUNSHINE AND
SIGNIFICANTLY WARMING TEMPERATURES. THE RIDGE WILL REMAIN INLAND OVER
THE NORTHWEST U.S. THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK WITH SOUTHWEST
FLOW ALOFT AND HIGH 500 MB HEIGHTS. MARINE CLOUDS CAN BE EXPECTED
NEAR THE COAST...AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS BRUSHING THE OREGON
CASCADE CREST AT TIMES.
&&

.UPDATE...MADE ONLY MINOR CHANGES TO TONIGHT`S SKY COVER WITH THE
EVENING UPDATE. OTHERWISE FORECAST IS ON TRACK WITH A WEAK UPPER
DISTURBANCE CLIPPING SW WASHINGTON FRIDAY MORNING BEFORE AN UPPER
RIDGE BUILDS AND LIFTS THIS DISTURBANCE NORTHWARD FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
GENERAL DRYING AND WARMING THIS WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK.

PREVIOUS SHORT TERM DISCUSSION FOLLOWS...THE LOW THAT HAD PLAGUED
SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON AND NORTHWEST OREGON THE PAST TWO DAYS WITH
COPIOUS RAINFALL HAS MOVED EAST OF THE CASCADES IN WASHINGTON THIS
AFTERNOON. SIGNIFICANT ONSHORE FLOW CONTINUES IN ITS WAKE IN THE
LIGHT WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT. THERE ARE A FEW SHOWERS REMAINING MAINLY
TILLAMOOK TO VANCOUVER NORTHWARD...BUT THESE SHOULD DECREASE EARLY
THIS EVENING. THERE ARE A LOT OF CLOUDS OVER SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON AND
NORTHWEST OREGON THIS AFTERNOON...AND PLENTY UPSTREAM OVER THE
NORTHEAST PACIFIC THAT WILL ADVECT IN OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. I THINK THE
BEST CHANCE FOR MUCH CLEARING THIS EVENING WILL BE SOUTH LANE
COUNTY...BUT SOME CLOUDS MAY FILTER IN OVERNIGHT DOWN THERE AS WELL.

THE MODELS REALLY DO NOT SHOW MUCH IF ANY UPPER RIDGING TONIGHT...
WITH THE UPPER FLOW EVEN SLIGHTLY CYCLONIC AT 12Z FRIDAY. THUS EXPECT
FAIRLY DECENT LOW CLOUD COVERAGE THROUGH TONIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY
MORNING ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA. THERE IS A WEAK DISTURBANCE AROUND
50N/130W THIS AFTERNOON THAT MAY BE THE FEATURE DEVELOPING SOME
PATCHY QPF ALONG THE NORTH COAST FORECAST ZONES EARLY FRIDAY...AND IS
ALSO PROBABLY PART OF WHY THE LOW CLOUDS WILL BE RATHER SOLID TONIGHT
INTO FRIDAY. SO WILL LEAVE THE CHANCE OF SPRINKLES AND DRIZZLE IN FOR
LATER TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING NEAR THE NORTH COAST AND COASTAL
MOUNTAINS.

500 MB HEIGHTS DO BEGIN TO BUILD A BIT FRIDAY SO WE SHOULD SEE MORE
SUNSHINE DEVELOP FRIDAY AFTERNOON THAN WE HAVE SEEN IN SEVERAL DAYS.
TEMPS INLAND SHOULD PUSH INTO THE UPPER 70S TO NEAR 80. CLOUDS ON THE
NORTH COAST MAY AGAIN TEND TO HANG ON FOR A WHILE IN THE AFTERNOON
DUE TO THE WEAK DISTURBANCE THAT CAUSES THE PATCHY LIGHT MORNING
PRECIPITATION.

THE UPPER RIDGE AMPLIFIES IN EARNEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND ESPECIALLY
SATURDAY...WITH 500 MB HEIGHTS INTO THE LOWER TO MID 580S BY SATURDAY
AFTERNOON. AFTER SOME BRIEF MORNING LOW CLOUDS INLAND ALONG THE
COLUMBIA RIVER...LOOK FOR PLENTY OF SUNSHINE AND INLAND TEMPS INTO
THE MID 80S ON SATURDAY. THERE IS NOT MUCH CHANGE ON SUNDAY... EXCEPT
TEMPS INLAND MAY GET CLOSER TO 90. THE MODELS SHOW A WEAK DISTURBANCE
LIFTING UP INTO CENTRAL OREGON FROM THE SOUTHWEST ON SUNDAY THAT
MIGHT BRUSH OUR OREGON CASCADE CREST AREA WITH AN ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORM OR TWO SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. TOLLESON

.LONG TERM...NO CHANGES. PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FOLLOWS....A LARGE
UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE IS FORECAST TO BE POSITIONED OVER THE ROCKY
MOUNTAINS...PUTTING OUR REGION UNDER SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT NEXT
WEEK. SEVERAL WEAK SHORTWAVES ARE FORECAST UP THE RIDGE NEAR OUR
REGION.  MOST OF THESE LOOK LIKE THEY WILL MISS OUR AREA...BUT A
CHANCE FOR SOME SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
CASCADE CREST WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. THE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AND
SUNNY AFTERNOONS WILL KEEP OUR TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.
-MCCOY
&&

.AVIATION...WEAK ONSHORE FLOW WILL LIKELY LEAD TO PREDOMINANTLY
VFR CONDITIONS AT ALL TAF SITES THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY. THE MAIN
EXCEPTION TO THIS WILL BE AT KAST WHERE MVFR CONDITIONS WILL
LIKELY DOMINATE FROM 09Z TO 18Z FRIDAY. THERE IS ALSO A DECENT
CHANCE LOW IFR CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP AROUND KONP FOR A COUPLE
HOURS NEAR 12Z FRIDAY. CONFIDENCE IS RELATIVELY LOW THAT MVFR
CONDITIONS APPROACHING KAST WILL MAKE THEIR WAY UP THE COLUMBIA
RIVER TO KPDX AND KTTD BY DAYBREAK.

KPDX AND APPROACHES...EXPECT MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH 06Z
SATURDAY UNDER WEAK ONSHORE FLOW. CONFIDENCE IS LOW TO MEDIUM MVFR
CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP BETWEEN 12Z AND 16Z FRIDAY SO PUT A TEMPO
IN THE TAF TO COVER THIS IDEA FOR NOW. /NEUMAN

&&

.MARINE...HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC AND
THERMAL LOW PRESSURE OVER NORTHERN CALIFORNIA WILL STRENGTHEN OVER
THE COMING DAYS. THIS WILL LEAD TO A TYPICAL SUMMERTIME PATTERN OF
GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS AND POTENTIALLY STEEP SEAS...ESPECIALLY
SOUTH OF NEWPORT. THERE IS A CHANCE WIND GUSTS OF 25 KT WILL
DEVELOP LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...BUT SUSPECT THIS MODEL
WINDS ARE SLIGHTLY OVERDONE...BUT PERHAPS A SMALL CRAFT WILL BE
NECESSARY FOR THE CENTRAL OREGON INNER WATERS. BETTER CHANCES FOR
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES WILL ARRIVE LATER IN THE WEEKEND INTO NEXT
WEEK...EVEN FOR THE NORTHERN WATERS. /NEUMAN


&&

.PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...NONE.
WA...NONE.
PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH COLUMBIA RIVER BAR FROM 3 AM TO 6
     AM PDT FRIDAY.

&&

$$

MORE WEATHER INFORMATION ONLINE AT...HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/PORTLAND

INTERACT WITH US VIA SOCIAL MEDIA
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/US.NATIONALWEATHERSERVICE.PORTLAND.GOV
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSPORTLAND

THIS DISCUSSION IS FOR NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON
FROM THE CASCADE CREST TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. THE AREA IS
COMMONLY REFERRED TO AS THE FORECAST AREA.




000
FXUS66 KSEW 250354
AFDSEW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
855 PM PDT THU JUL 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...MOIST ONSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY AS A
WEAK WEATHER SYSTEM MOVES TO THE BRITISH COLUMBIA COAST. THERE COULD
BE SOME LIGHT SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY AT THE COAST...BUT THE WESTERN
WASHINGTON INTERIOR SHOULD BE MOSTLY SUNNY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. HIGH
PRESSURE ALOFT WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION THIS WEEKEND...BRINGING
SUNNY WARM WEATHER THAT SHOULD CONTINUE NEXT WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...MOIST ONSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT. RADAR SHOWS
THE PUGET SOUND CONVERGENCE ZONE FROM EARLIER TODAY HAS PRETTY MUCH
ENDED AND SHOWERS LOOK THEY WILL BE CONFINED TO THE CASCADES FOR THE
REMAINDER OF TONIGHT...WITH MAYBE A FEW ALSO NEAR THE COAST AS A
VERY WEAK SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. CLOUDS HAVE CLEARED A BIT
THIS EVENING...ESPECIALLY OVER THE NORTHWEST AND SOUTHWEST INTERIOR
BUT THEY SHOULD FILL BACK IN WITH CONTINUED ONSHORE FLOW.

A VERY WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL REACH THE AREA FRIDAY. THE
LATEST NAM AND ECMWF WASH THIS FEATURE OUT COMPLETELY WHILE THE GFS
HAS SOME DRIPS AND DRABS NEAR THE COAST AND OVER THE NORTH CASCADES.
THE LOW LEVELS WILL BE DRYING BY AFTERNOON WHICH SHOULD RESULT IN
SOME MID TO LATE AFTERNOON SUNSHINE. HIGHS WILL WARM SEVERAL DEGREES
MOST AREAS. UPPER HEIGHTS WILL CONTINUE TO RISE ACROSS THE REGION
THIS WEEKEND...GIVING MOSTLY SUNNY AND WARMER WEATHER. SCHNEIDER

.LONG TERM...THE UPPER RIDGE WILL BE ALONG THE ROCKY MOUNTAINS ON
MONDAY AND IT SHOULD KEEP WESTERN WASHINGTON DRY THROUGH AT LEAST
THURSDAY. SOME RECENT RUNS OF THE LONGER RANGE MODELS -- ESPECIALLY
OF THE ECMWF -- SHOW THE UPPER RIDGE SHIFTING WESTWARDS TOWARD OUR
AREA DURING THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK...WHICH WOULD RESULT IN WARMER
WEATHER YET. FOR NOW WE CAN EXPECT LIGHT ONSHORE FLOW TO KEEP THE
COAST IN THE UPPER 60S TO 70S...WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 80S TO
LOWER 90S INLAND.   MCDONNAL

&&

.AVIATION...WEAK UPPER LEVEL RIDGING AND MODERATE WESTERLY FLOW
ALOFT WILL SETTLE OVER THE REGION TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. THE MODERATE
ONSHORE LOW LEVEL ONSHORE FLOW THAT ESTABLISHED ITSELF THIS
AFTERNOON WILL WEAKEN AFTER MIDNIGHT.

THE AIR MASS STILL REMAINS SOMEWHAT UNSTABLE THIS EVENING...THOUGH
THE PUGET SOUND CONVERGENCE ZONE THAT FORMED THIS AFTERNOON HAS
DISSIPATED...LEAVING ONLY A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS MAINLY OVER THE
CASCADES AND THE COASTAL WATERS. EXPECT THE AIR MASS TO CONTINUE TO
DRY AND BECOME MORE STABLE OVERNIGHT...THE EXCEPTION IS THE COAST
AND OLYMPICS WHERE A WEAK UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM MOVING INTO BRITISH
COLUMBIA COULD BRING A LITTLE RAIN OR DRIZZLE LATE TONIGHT INTO
FRIDAY MORNING.

CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN GENERALLY VFR TONIGHT WITH CEILINGS 4-6K
FT...FALLING TO MVFR LEVELS LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING. RAIN OR
DRIZZLE THAT MAY DEVELOP ALONG THE COAST WILL ALSO HELP LOWER
CONDITIONS. MORNING CLOUDS WILL LIFT TO VFR LEVELS BY MIDDAY...WITH
CLEARING OVER MUCH OF THE INTERIOR DURING THE AFTERNOON.

KSEA...VFR CONDITIONS...WITH CEILINGS 4-6K FT WILL PERSIST THIS
EVENING BEFORE LOWERING AROUND DAY BREAK TO MVFR LEVELS NEAR 1.5K
FT. LIGHT NORTHEAST WINDS 4 TO 6 KT WILL BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY BY
LATE MORNING.

&&

.MARINE...MODERATE ONSHORE FLOW HAS WEAKENED SOMEWHAT THIS
EVENING...KUIL TO KBLI GRADIENTS DOWN TO 1.3 MB AS OF 03Z. EXPECT
GRADIENTS TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN WITH WINDS THROUGH THE STRAIT
DROPPING BELOW THE ADVISORY LEVEL OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

EXPECT  A TYPICAL ONSHORE FLOW PATTERN THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH HIGH
PRESSURE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS AND ONSHORE FLOW DRIVING WESTERLIES
THROUGH THE STRAIT...WITH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS POSSIBLE
AT TIMES DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. EXPECT 10 TO 20 KT
WINDS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WINDS SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY EVENINGS.

&&

.SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WA...NONE.
PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CENTRAL AND EAST STRAIT.

&&

$$

YOU CAN SEE AN ILLUSTRATED VERSION OF THE FORECAST DISCUSSION AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE/GAFD/LATEST_WEBAFD.HTML









000
FXUS66 KSEW 250354
AFDSEW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
855 PM PDT THU JUL 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...MOIST ONSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY AS A
WEAK WEATHER SYSTEM MOVES TO THE BRITISH COLUMBIA COAST. THERE COULD
BE SOME LIGHT SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY AT THE COAST...BUT THE WESTERN
WASHINGTON INTERIOR SHOULD BE MOSTLY SUNNY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. HIGH
PRESSURE ALOFT WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION THIS WEEKEND...BRINGING
SUNNY WARM WEATHER THAT SHOULD CONTINUE NEXT WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...MOIST ONSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT. RADAR SHOWS
THE PUGET SOUND CONVERGENCE ZONE FROM EARLIER TODAY HAS PRETTY MUCH
ENDED AND SHOWERS LOOK THEY WILL BE CONFINED TO THE CASCADES FOR THE
REMAINDER OF TONIGHT...WITH MAYBE A FEW ALSO NEAR THE COAST AS A
VERY WEAK SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. CLOUDS HAVE CLEARED A BIT
THIS EVENING...ESPECIALLY OVER THE NORTHWEST AND SOUTHWEST INTERIOR
BUT THEY SHOULD FILL BACK IN WITH CONTINUED ONSHORE FLOW.

A VERY WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL REACH THE AREA FRIDAY. THE
LATEST NAM AND ECMWF WASH THIS FEATURE OUT COMPLETELY WHILE THE GFS
HAS SOME DRIPS AND DRABS NEAR THE COAST AND OVER THE NORTH CASCADES.
THE LOW LEVELS WILL BE DRYING BY AFTERNOON WHICH SHOULD RESULT IN
SOME MID TO LATE AFTERNOON SUNSHINE. HIGHS WILL WARM SEVERAL DEGREES
MOST AREAS. UPPER HEIGHTS WILL CONTINUE TO RISE ACROSS THE REGION
THIS WEEKEND...GIVING MOSTLY SUNNY AND WARMER WEATHER. SCHNEIDER

.LONG TERM...THE UPPER RIDGE WILL BE ALONG THE ROCKY MOUNTAINS ON
MONDAY AND IT SHOULD KEEP WESTERN WASHINGTON DRY THROUGH AT LEAST
THURSDAY. SOME RECENT RUNS OF THE LONGER RANGE MODELS -- ESPECIALLY
OF THE ECMWF -- SHOW THE UPPER RIDGE SHIFTING WESTWARDS TOWARD OUR
AREA DURING THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK...WHICH WOULD RESULT IN WARMER
WEATHER YET. FOR NOW WE CAN EXPECT LIGHT ONSHORE FLOW TO KEEP THE
COAST IN THE UPPER 60S TO 70S...WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 80S TO
LOWER 90S INLAND.   MCDONNAL

&&

.AVIATION...WEAK UPPER LEVEL RIDGING AND MODERATE WESTERLY FLOW
ALOFT WILL SETTLE OVER THE REGION TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. THE MODERATE
ONSHORE LOW LEVEL ONSHORE FLOW THAT ESTABLISHED ITSELF THIS
AFTERNOON WILL WEAKEN AFTER MIDNIGHT.

THE AIR MASS STILL REMAINS SOMEWHAT UNSTABLE THIS EVENING...THOUGH
THE PUGET SOUND CONVERGENCE ZONE THAT FORMED THIS AFTERNOON HAS
DISSIPATED...LEAVING ONLY A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS MAINLY OVER THE
CASCADES AND THE COASTAL WATERS. EXPECT THE AIR MASS TO CONTINUE TO
DRY AND BECOME MORE STABLE OVERNIGHT...THE EXCEPTION IS THE COAST
AND OLYMPICS WHERE A WEAK UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM MOVING INTO BRITISH
COLUMBIA COULD BRING A LITTLE RAIN OR DRIZZLE LATE TONIGHT INTO
FRIDAY MORNING.

CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN GENERALLY VFR TONIGHT WITH CEILINGS 4-6K
FT...FALLING TO MVFR LEVELS LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING. RAIN OR
DRIZZLE THAT MAY DEVELOP ALONG THE COAST WILL ALSO HELP LOWER
CONDITIONS. MORNING CLOUDS WILL LIFT TO VFR LEVELS BY MIDDAY...WITH
CLEARING OVER MUCH OF THE INTERIOR DURING THE AFTERNOON.

KSEA...VFR CONDITIONS...WITH CEILINGS 4-6K FT WILL PERSIST THIS
EVENING BEFORE LOWERING AROUND DAY BREAK TO MVFR LEVELS NEAR 1.5K
FT. LIGHT NORTHEAST WINDS 4 TO 6 KT WILL BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY BY
LATE MORNING.

&&

.MARINE...MODERATE ONSHORE FLOW HAS WEAKENED SOMEWHAT THIS
EVENING...KUIL TO KBLI GRADIENTS DOWN TO 1.3 MB AS OF 03Z. EXPECT
GRADIENTS TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN WITH WINDS THROUGH THE STRAIT
DROPPING BELOW THE ADVISORY LEVEL OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

EXPECT  A TYPICAL ONSHORE FLOW PATTERN THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH HIGH
PRESSURE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS AND ONSHORE FLOW DRIVING WESTERLIES
THROUGH THE STRAIT...WITH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS POSSIBLE
AT TIMES DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. EXPECT 10 TO 20 KT
WINDS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WINDS SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY EVENINGS.

&&

.SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WA...NONE.
PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CENTRAL AND EAST STRAIT.

&&

$$

YOU CAN SEE AN ILLUSTRATED VERSION OF THE FORECAST DISCUSSION AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE/GAFD/LATEST_WEBAFD.HTML









000
FXUS66 KSEW 250354
AFDSEW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
855 PM PDT THU JUL 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...MOIST ONSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY AS A
WEAK WEATHER SYSTEM MOVES TO THE BRITISH COLUMBIA COAST. THERE COULD
BE SOME LIGHT SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY AT THE COAST...BUT THE WESTERN
WASHINGTON INTERIOR SHOULD BE MOSTLY SUNNY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. HIGH
PRESSURE ALOFT WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION THIS WEEKEND...BRINGING
SUNNY WARM WEATHER THAT SHOULD CONTINUE NEXT WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...MOIST ONSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT. RADAR SHOWS
THE PUGET SOUND CONVERGENCE ZONE FROM EARLIER TODAY HAS PRETTY MUCH
ENDED AND SHOWERS LOOK THEY WILL BE CONFINED TO THE CASCADES FOR THE
REMAINDER OF TONIGHT...WITH MAYBE A FEW ALSO NEAR THE COAST AS A
VERY WEAK SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. CLOUDS HAVE CLEARED A BIT
THIS EVENING...ESPECIALLY OVER THE NORTHWEST AND SOUTHWEST INTERIOR
BUT THEY SHOULD FILL BACK IN WITH CONTINUED ONSHORE FLOW.

A VERY WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL REACH THE AREA FRIDAY. THE
LATEST NAM AND ECMWF WASH THIS FEATURE OUT COMPLETELY WHILE THE GFS
HAS SOME DRIPS AND DRABS NEAR THE COAST AND OVER THE NORTH CASCADES.
THE LOW LEVELS WILL BE DRYING BY AFTERNOON WHICH SHOULD RESULT IN
SOME MID TO LATE AFTERNOON SUNSHINE. HIGHS WILL WARM SEVERAL DEGREES
MOST AREAS. UPPER HEIGHTS WILL CONTINUE TO RISE ACROSS THE REGION
THIS WEEKEND...GIVING MOSTLY SUNNY AND WARMER WEATHER. SCHNEIDER

.LONG TERM...THE UPPER RIDGE WILL BE ALONG THE ROCKY MOUNTAINS ON
MONDAY AND IT SHOULD KEEP WESTERN WASHINGTON DRY THROUGH AT LEAST
THURSDAY. SOME RECENT RUNS OF THE LONGER RANGE MODELS -- ESPECIALLY
OF THE ECMWF -- SHOW THE UPPER RIDGE SHIFTING WESTWARDS TOWARD OUR
AREA DURING THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK...WHICH WOULD RESULT IN WARMER
WEATHER YET. FOR NOW WE CAN EXPECT LIGHT ONSHORE FLOW TO KEEP THE
COAST IN THE UPPER 60S TO 70S...WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 80S TO
LOWER 90S INLAND.   MCDONNAL

&&

.AVIATION...WEAK UPPER LEVEL RIDGING AND MODERATE WESTERLY FLOW
ALOFT WILL SETTLE OVER THE REGION TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. THE MODERATE
ONSHORE LOW LEVEL ONSHORE FLOW THAT ESTABLISHED ITSELF THIS
AFTERNOON WILL WEAKEN AFTER MIDNIGHT.

THE AIR MASS STILL REMAINS SOMEWHAT UNSTABLE THIS EVENING...THOUGH
THE PUGET SOUND CONVERGENCE ZONE THAT FORMED THIS AFTERNOON HAS
DISSIPATED...LEAVING ONLY A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS MAINLY OVER THE
CASCADES AND THE COASTAL WATERS. EXPECT THE AIR MASS TO CONTINUE TO
DRY AND BECOME MORE STABLE OVERNIGHT...THE EXCEPTION IS THE COAST
AND OLYMPICS WHERE A WEAK UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM MOVING INTO BRITISH
COLUMBIA COULD BRING A LITTLE RAIN OR DRIZZLE LATE TONIGHT INTO
FRIDAY MORNING.

CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN GENERALLY VFR TONIGHT WITH CEILINGS 4-6K
FT...FALLING TO MVFR LEVELS LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING. RAIN OR
DRIZZLE THAT MAY DEVELOP ALONG THE COAST WILL ALSO HELP LOWER
CONDITIONS. MORNING CLOUDS WILL LIFT TO VFR LEVELS BY MIDDAY...WITH
CLEARING OVER MUCH OF THE INTERIOR DURING THE AFTERNOON.

KSEA...VFR CONDITIONS...WITH CEILINGS 4-6K FT WILL PERSIST THIS
EVENING BEFORE LOWERING AROUND DAY BREAK TO MVFR LEVELS NEAR 1.5K
FT. LIGHT NORTHEAST WINDS 4 TO 6 KT WILL BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY BY
LATE MORNING.

&&

.MARINE...MODERATE ONSHORE FLOW HAS WEAKENED SOMEWHAT THIS
EVENING...KUIL TO KBLI GRADIENTS DOWN TO 1.3 MB AS OF 03Z. EXPECT
GRADIENTS TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN WITH WINDS THROUGH THE STRAIT
DROPPING BELOW THE ADVISORY LEVEL OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

EXPECT  A TYPICAL ONSHORE FLOW PATTERN THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH HIGH
PRESSURE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS AND ONSHORE FLOW DRIVING WESTERLIES
THROUGH THE STRAIT...WITH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS POSSIBLE
AT TIMES DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. EXPECT 10 TO 20 KT
WINDS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WINDS SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY EVENINGS.

&&

.SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WA...NONE.
PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CENTRAL AND EAST STRAIT.

&&

$$

YOU CAN SEE AN ILLUSTRATED VERSION OF THE FORECAST DISCUSSION AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE/GAFD/LATEST_WEBAFD.HTML









000
FXUS66 KSEW 250354
AFDSEW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
855 PM PDT THU JUL 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...MOIST ONSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY AS A
WEAK WEATHER SYSTEM MOVES TO THE BRITISH COLUMBIA COAST. THERE COULD
BE SOME LIGHT SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY AT THE COAST...BUT THE WESTERN
WASHINGTON INTERIOR SHOULD BE MOSTLY SUNNY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. HIGH
PRESSURE ALOFT WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION THIS WEEKEND...BRINGING
SUNNY WARM WEATHER THAT SHOULD CONTINUE NEXT WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...MOIST ONSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT. RADAR SHOWS
THE PUGET SOUND CONVERGENCE ZONE FROM EARLIER TODAY HAS PRETTY MUCH
ENDED AND SHOWERS LOOK THEY WILL BE CONFINED TO THE CASCADES FOR THE
REMAINDER OF TONIGHT...WITH MAYBE A FEW ALSO NEAR THE COAST AS A
VERY WEAK SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. CLOUDS HAVE CLEARED A BIT
THIS EVENING...ESPECIALLY OVER THE NORTHWEST AND SOUTHWEST INTERIOR
BUT THEY SHOULD FILL BACK IN WITH CONTINUED ONSHORE FLOW.

A VERY WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL REACH THE AREA FRIDAY. THE
LATEST NAM AND ECMWF WASH THIS FEATURE OUT COMPLETELY WHILE THE GFS
HAS SOME DRIPS AND DRABS NEAR THE COAST AND OVER THE NORTH CASCADES.
THE LOW LEVELS WILL BE DRYING BY AFTERNOON WHICH SHOULD RESULT IN
SOME MID TO LATE AFTERNOON SUNSHINE. HIGHS WILL WARM SEVERAL DEGREES
MOST AREAS. UPPER HEIGHTS WILL CONTINUE TO RISE ACROSS THE REGION
THIS WEEKEND...GIVING MOSTLY SUNNY AND WARMER WEATHER. SCHNEIDER

.LONG TERM...THE UPPER RIDGE WILL BE ALONG THE ROCKY MOUNTAINS ON
MONDAY AND IT SHOULD KEEP WESTERN WASHINGTON DRY THROUGH AT LEAST
THURSDAY. SOME RECENT RUNS OF THE LONGER RANGE MODELS -- ESPECIALLY
OF THE ECMWF -- SHOW THE UPPER RIDGE SHIFTING WESTWARDS TOWARD OUR
AREA DURING THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK...WHICH WOULD RESULT IN WARMER
WEATHER YET. FOR NOW WE CAN EXPECT LIGHT ONSHORE FLOW TO KEEP THE
COAST IN THE UPPER 60S TO 70S...WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 80S TO
LOWER 90S INLAND.   MCDONNAL

&&

.AVIATION...WEAK UPPER LEVEL RIDGING AND MODERATE WESTERLY FLOW
ALOFT WILL SETTLE OVER THE REGION TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. THE MODERATE
ONSHORE LOW LEVEL ONSHORE FLOW THAT ESTABLISHED ITSELF THIS
AFTERNOON WILL WEAKEN AFTER MIDNIGHT.

THE AIR MASS STILL REMAINS SOMEWHAT UNSTABLE THIS EVENING...THOUGH
THE PUGET SOUND CONVERGENCE ZONE THAT FORMED THIS AFTERNOON HAS
DISSIPATED...LEAVING ONLY A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS MAINLY OVER THE
CASCADES AND THE COASTAL WATERS. EXPECT THE AIR MASS TO CONTINUE TO
DRY AND BECOME MORE STABLE OVERNIGHT...THE EXCEPTION IS THE COAST
AND OLYMPICS WHERE A WEAK UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM MOVING INTO BRITISH
COLUMBIA COULD BRING A LITTLE RAIN OR DRIZZLE LATE TONIGHT INTO
FRIDAY MORNING.

CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN GENERALLY VFR TONIGHT WITH CEILINGS 4-6K
FT...FALLING TO MVFR LEVELS LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING. RAIN OR
DRIZZLE THAT MAY DEVELOP ALONG THE COAST WILL ALSO HELP LOWER
CONDITIONS. MORNING CLOUDS WILL LIFT TO VFR LEVELS BY MIDDAY...WITH
CLEARING OVER MUCH OF THE INTERIOR DURING THE AFTERNOON.

KSEA...VFR CONDITIONS...WITH CEILINGS 4-6K FT WILL PERSIST THIS
EVENING BEFORE LOWERING AROUND DAY BREAK TO MVFR LEVELS NEAR 1.5K
FT. LIGHT NORTHEAST WINDS 4 TO 6 KT WILL BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY BY
LATE MORNING.

&&

.MARINE...MODERATE ONSHORE FLOW HAS WEAKENED SOMEWHAT THIS
EVENING...KUIL TO KBLI GRADIENTS DOWN TO 1.3 MB AS OF 03Z. EXPECT
GRADIENTS TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN WITH WINDS THROUGH THE STRAIT
DROPPING BELOW THE ADVISORY LEVEL OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

EXPECT  A TYPICAL ONSHORE FLOW PATTERN THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH HIGH
PRESSURE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS AND ONSHORE FLOW DRIVING WESTERLIES
THROUGH THE STRAIT...WITH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS POSSIBLE
AT TIMES DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. EXPECT 10 TO 20 KT
WINDS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WINDS SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY EVENINGS.

&&

.SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WA...NONE.
PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CENTRAL AND EAST STRAIT.

&&

$$

YOU CAN SEE AN ILLUSTRATED VERSION OF THE FORECAST DISCUSSION AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE/GAFD/LATEST_WEBAFD.HTML









000
FXUS66 KOTX 242330
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
430 PM PDT THU JUL 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...Lingering showers will depart Northern Idaho this
evening. A cool and mostly clear night is expected across the
region coupled with decreasing winds. A dry warming trend is
expected through early next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Tonight through Sunday night: The vigorous low pressure system
responsible for yesterday`s severe weather will continue to lift
northeast into the Canadian Plains. Instability and moisture
associated with this feature will lift through far NE WA and Nrn
ID this evening and depart overnight with a decreasing trend in
showers. Zonal flow will be in place on Friday then the jet stream
will become a bit more amplified as a trof of low pressure deepens
over the Gulf of AK. This will result in rising heights across the
Northern Rockies and deliver a dry...warming trend for the Inland
NW. Temperatures will start off below average or generally in the
70`s to lower 80`s Friday...increase to the 80`s Saturday...then
continue warming into the 90`s to close out the weekend.  /sb

Monday through Thursday: Models are in good agreement of the upper
level ridge building back over the Western US next week. This will
provide just a few degrees of warming each day, so that by next
Thur all valley locations will see mid 90s to lower 100s. Both the
GFS and ECMWF show virtually no moisture over the area. Add to
that no significant weather disturbance moving though...next week
will be rather boring; just hot and dry. Skies will be mostly
clear. Winds will be fairly light. Some late afternoon/early
evening Cascade gap winds are likely. /Nisbet

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAFS: A low pressure system will exit to the north tonight,
allowing cloud cover and winds to diminish overnight. Building
high pressure will foster VFR conditions at all TAF sites next 24
hours. /EK

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        50  76  54  84  59  91 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Coeur d`Alene  48  75  48  82  53  90 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Pullman        45  75  44  83  50  91 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Lewiston       54  84  55  92  61  97 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Colville       47  78  48  86  52  94 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Sandpoint      47  73  46  80  49  88 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Kellogg        49  71  48  80  54  89 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Moses Lake     54  84  53  89  59  95 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Wenatchee      56  82  56  87  62  94 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Omak           51  83  53  88  56  94 /  10   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...None.
&&





000
FXUS66 KOTX 242330
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
430 PM PDT THU JUL 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...Lingering showers will depart Northern Idaho this
evening. A cool and mostly clear night is expected across the
region coupled with decreasing winds. A dry warming trend is
expected through early next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Tonight through Sunday night: The vigorous low pressure system
responsible for yesterday`s severe weather will continue to lift
northeast into the Canadian Plains. Instability and moisture
associated with this feature will lift through far NE WA and Nrn
ID this evening and depart overnight with a decreasing trend in
showers. Zonal flow will be in place on Friday then the jet stream
will become a bit more amplified as a trof of low pressure deepens
over the Gulf of AK. This will result in rising heights across the
Northern Rockies and deliver a dry...warming trend for the Inland
NW. Temperatures will start off below average or generally in the
70`s to lower 80`s Friday...increase to the 80`s Saturday...then
continue warming into the 90`s to close out the weekend.  /sb

Monday through Thursday: Models are in good agreement of the upper
level ridge building back over the Western US next week. This will
provide just a few degrees of warming each day, so that by next
Thur all valley locations will see mid 90s to lower 100s. Both the
GFS and ECMWF show virtually no moisture over the area. Add to
that no significant weather disturbance moving though...next week
will be rather boring; just hot and dry. Skies will be mostly
clear. Winds will be fairly light. Some late afternoon/early
evening Cascade gap winds are likely. /Nisbet

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAFS: A low pressure system will exit to the north tonight,
allowing cloud cover and winds to diminish overnight. Building
high pressure will foster VFR conditions at all TAF sites next 24
hours. /EK

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        50  76  54  84  59  91 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Coeur d`Alene  48  75  48  82  53  90 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Pullman        45  75  44  83  50  91 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Lewiston       54  84  55  92  61  97 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Colville       47  78  48  86  52  94 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Sandpoint      47  73  46  80  49  88 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Kellogg        49  71  48  80  54  89 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Moses Lake     54  84  53  89  59  95 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Wenatchee      56  82  56  87  62  94 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Omak           51  83  53  88  56  94 /  10   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...None.
&&




000
FXUS66 KSEW 242208
AFDSEW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
300 PM PDT THU JUL 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...MOIST ONSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY AS A
WEAK WEATHER SYSTEM MOVES TO THE BRITISH COLUMBIA COAST. THERE COULD
BE SOME LIGHT SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY AT THE COAST...BUT THE WESTERN
WASHINGTON INTERIOR SHOULD BE MOSTLY SUNNY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. HIGH
PRESSURE ALOFT WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION THIS WEEKEND...BRINGING
SUNNY WARM WEATHER THAT SHOULD CONTINUE NEXT WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...WESTERLY FLOW PREVAILS ACROSS WESTERN WASHINGTON THIS
AFTERNOON...AS THE UPPER LOW THAT WE HAVE BEEN DEALING WITH MOVES
ACROSS SOUTHERN ALBERTA. THE AIR MASS IS MOIST TO AROUND 7000 FT
WITH ONSHORE LOW LEVEL FLOW. SPOTTY LIGHT PRECIPITATION CONTINUES
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA ESPECIALLY OVER THE CASCADES AND THE
CENTRAL PUGET SOUND IN A WEAK CONVERGENCE ZONE. THE REAL SUN BREAKS
HAVE BEEN LIMITED TO THE SOUTH END OF PUGET SOUND AND HOOD CANAL AND
THE NORTHWEST INTERIOR.

WESTERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. THE AIR MASS WILL
REMAIN MOIST BELOW 7000 FT OR SO TONIGHT. SOME LIGHT SPOTTY SHOWERS
WILL PROBABLY CONTINUE TONIGHT IN THE MOUNTAINS...AT THE COAST...AND
IN THE CONVERGENCE ZONE. RECENT MODEL RUNS ARE DELAYING THE UPPER
RIDGE BUILDING NORTHWARD OVER THE REGION...AND THEY NOW SHOW THE
WEAK SHORTWAVE -- JUST NOW REACHING 130W -- MOVING ONTO THE BRITISH
COLUMBIA COAST FRIDAY AFTERNOON. SO WE ARE REVISING THE FORECAST TO
ADD A CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO THE COAST AND OLYMPICS...BUT STAYING WITH
THE FORECAST THAT SKIES WILL BECOME MOSTLY SUNNY IN THE INTERIOR.

THE UPPER RIDGE WILL START BUILDING FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY AND
BUILD FURTHER THROUGH SUNDAY...WITH ITS AXIS ALONG OR JUST WEST OF
THE ROCKY MOUNTAINS. THE 500 MB HEIGHTS OVER WESTERN WASHINGTON WILL
CLIMB TO AROUND 5820 METERS ON SATURDAY AND 5850 METERS ON SUNDAY.
ONSHORE FLOW WILL BE WEAK. THERE WILL BE SOME MARINE LAYER CLOUDS AT
NIGHT AND DURING THE MORNING HOURS...ESPECIALLY AT THE COAST...BUT
THE DAYS WILL BE SUNNY AND WARMER.   MCDONNAL

.LONG TERM...THE UPPER RIDGE WILL BE ALONG THE ROCKY MOUNTAINS ON
MONDAY AND IT SHOULD KEEP WESTERN WASHINGTON DRY THROUGH AT LEAST
THURSDAY. SOME RECENT RUNS OF THE LONGER RANGE MODELS -- ESPECIALLY
OF THE ECMWF -- SHOW THE UPPER RIDGE SHIFTING WESTWARDS TOWARD OUR
AREA DURING THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK...WHICH WOULD RESULT IN WARMER
WEATHER YET. FOR NOW WE CAN EXPECT LIGHT ONSHORE FLOW TO KEEP THE
COAST IN THE UPPER 60S TO 70S...WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 80S TO
LOWER 90S INLAND.   MCDONNAL

&&

.AVIATION...MODERATE WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT AND
FRIDAY. MODERATE LOW LEVEL ONSHORE FLOW WILL WEAKEN LATER TONIGHT.
AIR MASS IS UNSTABLE AND MOIST THIS AFTERNOON BUT WILL STABILIZE AND
DRY THIS EVENING. A PUGET SOUND CONVERGENCE ZONE EXTENDS WESTWARD
FROM NORTH KING COUNTY. A WEAK WEATHER SYSTEM COULD BRING A LITTLE
RAIN OR DRIZZLE TO THE COAST AND OLYMPICS OVERNIGHT AND FRIDAY.

CEILINGS ARE GENERALLY VFR 4-6K FT EXCEPT FOR MVFR 2-3K FT IN
SHOWERS...WHICH ARE MAINLY IN THE PSCZ. MOST AREAS WILL REMAIN VFR
THIS EVENING...THEN FALL TO MVFR LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING.
GOOD CLEARING IS LIKELY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

KSEA...PSCZ IS JUST NORTH OF THE TERMINAL. WILL FORECAST KSEA TO
STAY JUST SOUTH OF THE CONVERGENCE...KEEPING GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS
THIS EVENING AND CEILINGS RIGHT AROUND 3K FT. FORECAST IS IFFY
ENOUGH THAT THINGS COULD CHANGE BY NEXT TAF ISSUANCE TIME. CHB

&&

.MARINE...MODERATE ONSHORE FLOW HAS DEVELOPED WITH SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY STRENGTH WINDS OCCURRING IN THE STRAIT. MODELS INDICATE
ONSHORE GRADIENTS WILL DIMINISH THIS EVENING AND THE ADVISORY LEVEL
WINDS SHOULD END BY 06Z.

A MORE TYPICAL ONSHORE FLOW PATTERN WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND
WITH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WESTERLIES IN THE STRAIT POSSIBLE AT TIMES
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. FOR NOW HAVE INDICATED SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY WINDS SATURDAY AND SUNDAY EVENINGS. ELSEWHERE WINDS
SHOULD REMAIN BELOW 20 KT. CHB

&&

.SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WA...NONE.
PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CENTRAL AND EAST STRAIT.

&&

$$

YOU CAN SEE AN ILLUSTRATED VERSION OF THE FORECAST DISCUSSION AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE/GAFD/LATEST_WEBAFD.HTML





000
FXUS66 KSEW 242208
AFDSEW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
300 PM PDT THU JUL 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...MOIST ONSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY AS A
WEAK WEATHER SYSTEM MOVES TO THE BRITISH COLUMBIA COAST. THERE COULD
BE SOME LIGHT SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY AT THE COAST...BUT THE WESTERN
WASHINGTON INTERIOR SHOULD BE MOSTLY SUNNY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. HIGH
PRESSURE ALOFT WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION THIS WEEKEND...BRINGING
SUNNY WARM WEATHER THAT SHOULD CONTINUE NEXT WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...WESTERLY FLOW PREVAILS ACROSS WESTERN WASHINGTON THIS
AFTERNOON...AS THE UPPER LOW THAT WE HAVE BEEN DEALING WITH MOVES
ACROSS SOUTHERN ALBERTA. THE AIR MASS IS MOIST TO AROUND 7000 FT
WITH ONSHORE LOW LEVEL FLOW. SPOTTY LIGHT PRECIPITATION CONTINUES
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA ESPECIALLY OVER THE CASCADES AND THE
CENTRAL PUGET SOUND IN A WEAK CONVERGENCE ZONE. THE REAL SUN BREAKS
HAVE BEEN LIMITED TO THE SOUTH END OF PUGET SOUND AND HOOD CANAL AND
THE NORTHWEST INTERIOR.

WESTERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. THE AIR MASS WILL
REMAIN MOIST BELOW 7000 FT OR SO TONIGHT. SOME LIGHT SPOTTY SHOWERS
WILL PROBABLY CONTINUE TONIGHT IN THE MOUNTAINS...AT THE COAST...AND
IN THE CONVERGENCE ZONE. RECENT MODEL RUNS ARE DELAYING THE UPPER
RIDGE BUILDING NORTHWARD OVER THE REGION...AND THEY NOW SHOW THE
WEAK SHORTWAVE -- JUST NOW REACHING 130W -- MOVING ONTO THE BRITISH
COLUMBIA COAST FRIDAY AFTERNOON. SO WE ARE REVISING THE FORECAST TO
ADD A CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO THE COAST AND OLYMPICS...BUT STAYING WITH
THE FORECAST THAT SKIES WILL BECOME MOSTLY SUNNY IN THE INTERIOR.

THE UPPER RIDGE WILL START BUILDING FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY AND
BUILD FURTHER THROUGH SUNDAY...WITH ITS AXIS ALONG OR JUST WEST OF
THE ROCKY MOUNTAINS. THE 500 MB HEIGHTS OVER WESTERN WASHINGTON WILL
CLIMB TO AROUND 5820 METERS ON SATURDAY AND 5850 METERS ON SUNDAY.
ONSHORE FLOW WILL BE WEAK. THERE WILL BE SOME MARINE LAYER CLOUDS AT
NIGHT AND DURING THE MORNING HOURS...ESPECIALLY AT THE COAST...BUT
THE DAYS WILL BE SUNNY AND WARMER.   MCDONNAL

.LONG TERM...THE UPPER RIDGE WILL BE ALONG THE ROCKY MOUNTAINS ON
MONDAY AND IT SHOULD KEEP WESTERN WASHINGTON DRY THROUGH AT LEAST
THURSDAY. SOME RECENT RUNS OF THE LONGER RANGE MODELS -- ESPECIALLY
OF THE ECMWF -- SHOW THE UPPER RIDGE SHIFTING WESTWARDS TOWARD OUR
AREA DURING THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK...WHICH WOULD RESULT IN WARMER
WEATHER YET. FOR NOW WE CAN EXPECT LIGHT ONSHORE FLOW TO KEEP THE
COAST IN THE UPPER 60S TO 70S...WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 80S TO
LOWER 90S INLAND.   MCDONNAL

&&

.AVIATION...MODERATE WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT AND
FRIDAY. MODERATE LOW LEVEL ONSHORE FLOW WILL WEAKEN LATER TONIGHT.
AIR MASS IS UNSTABLE AND MOIST THIS AFTERNOON BUT WILL STABILIZE AND
DRY THIS EVENING. A PUGET SOUND CONVERGENCE ZONE EXTENDS WESTWARD
FROM NORTH KING COUNTY. A WEAK WEATHER SYSTEM COULD BRING A LITTLE
RAIN OR DRIZZLE TO THE COAST AND OLYMPICS OVERNIGHT AND FRIDAY.

CEILINGS ARE GENERALLY VFR 4-6K FT EXCEPT FOR MVFR 2-3K FT IN
SHOWERS...WHICH ARE MAINLY IN THE PSCZ. MOST AREAS WILL REMAIN VFR
THIS EVENING...THEN FALL TO MVFR LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING.
GOOD CLEARING IS LIKELY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

KSEA...PSCZ IS JUST NORTH OF THE TERMINAL. WILL FORECAST KSEA TO
STAY JUST SOUTH OF THE CONVERGENCE...KEEPING GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS
THIS EVENING AND CEILINGS RIGHT AROUND 3K FT. FORECAST IS IFFY
ENOUGH THAT THINGS COULD CHANGE BY NEXT TAF ISSUANCE TIME. CHB

&&

.MARINE...MODERATE ONSHORE FLOW HAS DEVELOPED WITH SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY STRENGTH WINDS OCCURRING IN THE STRAIT. MODELS INDICATE
ONSHORE GRADIENTS WILL DIMINISH THIS EVENING AND THE ADVISORY LEVEL
WINDS SHOULD END BY 06Z.

A MORE TYPICAL ONSHORE FLOW PATTERN WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND
WITH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WESTERLIES IN THE STRAIT POSSIBLE AT TIMES
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. FOR NOW HAVE INDICATED SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY WINDS SATURDAY AND SUNDAY EVENINGS. ELSEWHERE WINDS
SHOULD REMAIN BELOW 20 KT. CHB

&&

.SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WA...NONE.
PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CENTRAL AND EAST STRAIT.

&&

$$

YOU CAN SEE AN ILLUSTRATED VERSION OF THE FORECAST DISCUSSION AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE/GAFD/LATEST_WEBAFD.HTML






000
FXUS66 KPQR 242150
AFDPQR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
249 PM PDT THU JUL 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...THE UPPER LEVEL LOW THAT BROUGHT ABUNDANT RAIN TO
SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON AND NORTHWEST OREGON THE PAST TWO DAYS HAS MOVED
WELL EAST OF THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON WITH CONTINUED ONSHORE FLOW BUT
DECREASING SHOWERS. A WEAK UPPER RIDGE WILL BEGIN MOVING INTO THE
AREA THROUGH TONIGHT AND FRIDAY IN ITS WAKE...WITH MORE AFTERNOON
SUNSHINE AND GRADUAL WARMING ON FRIDAY. THE UPPER RIDGE WILL AMPLIFY
OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST SATURDAY AND SUNDAY FOR MORE SUNSHINE AND
SIGNIFICANTLY WARMING TEMPERATURES...AND WITH LESS LOW CLOUDS. AN
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL REMAIN INLAND OVER THE NORTHWEST U.S. THROUGH
THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK WITH SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT BUT HIGH 500 MB
HEIGHTS...FOR SOME MARINE INFLUENCE MAINLY NEAR THE COAST...AND A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLY BRUSHING THE OREGON CASCADE CREST AT
TIMES...AND CONTINUED WARM WEATHER INLAND.
&&

.SHORT TERM...THE LOW THAT HAD PLAGUED SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON AND
NORTHWEST OREGON THE PAST TWO DAYS WITH COPIOUS RAINFALL HAS MOVED
EAST OF THE CASCADES IN WASHINGTON THIS AFTERNOON. SIGNIFICANT
ONSHORE FLOW CONTINUES IN ITS WAKE IN THE LIGHT WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT.
THERE ARE A FEW SHOWERS REMAINING MAINLY TILLAMOOK TO VANCOUVER
NORTHWARD...BUT THESE SHOULD DECREASE EARLY THIS EVENING. THERE ARE A
LOT OF CLOUDS OVER SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON AND NORTHWEST OREGON THIS
AFTERNOON...AND PLENTY UPSTREAM OVER THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC THAT WILL
ADVECT IN OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. I THINK THE BEST CHANCE FOR MUCH
CLEARING THIS EVENING WILL BE SOUTH LANE COUNTY...BUT SOME CLOUDS MAY
FILTER IN OVERNIGHT DOWN THERE AS WELL.

THE MODELS REALLY DO NOT SHOW MUCH IF ANY UPPER RIDGING TONIGHT...
WITH THE UPPER FLOW EVEN SLIGHTLY CYCLONIC AT 12Z FRIDAY. THUS EXPECT
FAIRLY DECENT LOW CLOUD COVERAGE THROUGH TONIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY
MORNING ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA. THERE IS A WEAK DISTURBANCE AROUND
50N/130W THIS AFTERNOON THAT MAY BE THE FEATURE DEVELOPING SOME
PATCHY QPF ALONG THE NORTH COAST FORECAST ZONES EARLY FRIDAY...AND IS
ALSO PROBABLY PART OF WHY THE LOW CLOUDS WILL BE RATHER SOLID TONIGHT
INTO FRIDAY. SO WILL LEAVE THE CHANCE OF SPRINKLES AND DRIZZLE IN FOR
LATER TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING NEAR THE NORTH COAST AND COASTAL
MOUNTAINS.

500 MB HEIGHTS DO BEGIN TO BUILD A BIT FRIDAY SO WE SHOULD SEE MORE
SUNSHINE DEVELOP FRIDAY AFTERNOON THAN WE HAVE SEEN IN SEVERAL DAYS.
TEMPS INLAND SHOULD PUSH INTO THE UPPER 70S TO NEAR 80. CLOUDS ON THE
NORTH COAST MAY AGAIN TEND TO HANG ON FOR A WHILE IN THE AFTERNOON
DUE TO THE WEAK DISTURBANCE THAT CAUSES THE PATCHY LIGHT MORNING
PRECIPITATION.

THE UPPER RIDGE AMPLIFIES IN EARNEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND ESPECIALLY
SATURDAY...WITH 500 MB HEIGHTS INTO THE LOWER TO MID 580S BY SATURDAY
AFTERNOON. AFTER SOME BRIEF MORNING LOW CLOUDS INLAND ALONG THE
COLUMBIA RIVER...LOOK FOR PLENTY OF SUNSHINE AND INLAND TEMPS INTO
THE MID 80S ON SATURDAY. THERE IS NOT MUCH CHANGE ON SUNDAY... EXCEPT
TEMPS INLAND MAY GET CLOSER TO 90. THE MODELS SHOW A WEAK DISTURBANCE
LIFTING UP INTO CENTRAL OREGON FROM THE SOUTHWEST ON SUNDAY THAT
MIGHT BRUSH OUR OREGON CASCADE CREST AREA WITH AN ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORM OR TWO SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. TOLLESON

.LONG TERM....A LARGE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE IS FORECAST TO BE POSITIONED
OVER THE ROCKY MOUNTAINS...PUTTING OUR REGION UNDER SOUTHWESTERLY
FLOW ALOFT NEXT WEEK. SEVERAL WEAK SHORTWAVES ARE FORECAST UP THE
RIDGE NEAR OUR REGION.MOST OF THESE LOOK LIKE THEY WILL MISS OUR
AREA...BUT A CHANCE FOR SOME SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
ALONG THE CASCADE CREST WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. THE SOUTHWESTERLY
FLOW AND SUNNY AFTERNOONS WILL KEEP OUR TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.
-MCCOY
&&

.AVIATION...MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS NOW IN CONTROL THIS AFTERNOON...
EXCEPT FOR SOME MVFR CIGS ALONG THE S WA AND N OR COAST WHICH SHOULD
LIFT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HRS. MID LEVEL CLOUDS OVER THE REGION ON
THE LATEST SAT IMAGERY SHOULD SCATTER SOMEWHAT THIS AFTERNOON AND
THIS EVENING. BUT WITH NW ONSHORE FLOW NOW IN PLACE ACROSS THE
REGION...EXPECT CIGS TO LOWER BACK DOWN TO MVFR OVER THE N COAST
OVERNIGHT...AND TRY TO PUSH UP THE LOWER COLUMBIA INTO THE N VALLEY.
A HIGH MVFR DECK MAY ALSO TRY TO FORM ALONG THE CASCADE FOOTHILLS AND
BACK BUILD INTO KTTD AND KPDX AFTER 12Z FRI. SOME LOW STRATUS OR
PATCHY FOG IS A POSSIBILITY ALONG THE CENTRAL OR COAST
OVERNIGHT...WHERE LIGHT OFFSHORE DRIFT MAY DEVELOP. CONDITIONS SHOULD
RETURN TO WIDESPREAD VFR BY 17Z TO 19Z FRI.

KPDX AND APPROACHES...MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS TODAY. THE ONLY EXCEPTION
MAY BE A BRIEF PERIOD OF MVFR CIGS THROUGH 18Z IN A PASSING SHOWER.
CLOUDS BREAKING UP SIGNIFICANTLY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS
EVENING. PYLE
&&

.MARINE...LOW PRES HAS MOVED INLAND AND NW FLOW LESS THAN 15 KT IS
NOW IN CONTROL OVER THE COASTAL WATERS. SEAS REMAIN A BIT ON THE
CHOPPY SIDE WITH PERIODS OF 8 TO 9 SEC...BUT WAVE HEIGHTS HAVE
SUBSIDED A LITTLE TODAY AND CURRENTLY SIT IN THE 6 TO 8 FT RANGE.
EXPECT SEAS TO CONTINUE GRADUALLY DIMINISHING...REACHING 4 TO 5 FT BY
LATE EVENING.

HIGH PRES WILL BEGIN TO BUILD OVER NE PAC TONIGHT AND FRI...WITH
THERMAL LOW PRES BUILDING OVER NW CALIF. THIS WILL BRING A MORE
TYPICAL SUMMERTIME PATTERN OF GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS...AND POTENTIALLY
STEEP SEAS...ESPECIALLY S OF NEWPORT. WINDS WILL START TO INCREASE
FRI AFTERNOON AND EVENING...POSSIBLY REACHING LOW END SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY SPEEDS OVER THE CENTRAL OR WATERS. THE SURFACE PRES GRADIENT
WILL THEN STRENGTHEN OVER THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...WITH
SOLID SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WINDS EXPECTED BY SUN AND CONTINUING
THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.

A STRONG EBB WILL BRING CHOPPY CONDITIONS ON THE COLUMBIA RIVER BAR
DURING THE EBB AROUND 430 AM FRI MORNING. PYLE
&&

.PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...NONE.
WA...NONE.
PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH COLUMBIA RIVER BAR FROM
     3 AM TO 6 AM PDT FRIDAY.

&&

$$

MORE WEATHER INFORMATION ONLINE AT...HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/PORTLAND

INTERACT WITH US VIA SOCIAL MEDIA
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/US.NATIONALWEATHERSERVICE.PORTLAND.GOV
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSPORTLAND

THIS DISCUSSION IS FOR NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON
FROM THE CASCADE CREST TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. THE AREA IS
COMMONLY REFERRED TO AS THE FORECAST AREA.




000
FXUS66 KPQR 242150
AFDPQR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
249 PM PDT THU JUL 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...THE UPPER LEVEL LOW THAT BROUGHT ABUNDANT RAIN TO
SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON AND NORTHWEST OREGON THE PAST TWO DAYS HAS MOVED
WELL EAST OF THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON WITH CONTINUED ONSHORE FLOW BUT
DECREASING SHOWERS. A WEAK UPPER RIDGE WILL BEGIN MOVING INTO THE
AREA THROUGH TONIGHT AND FRIDAY IN ITS WAKE...WITH MORE AFTERNOON
SUNSHINE AND GRADUAL WARMING ON FRIDAY. THE UPPER RIDGE WILL AMPLIFY
OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST SATURDAY AND SUNDAY FOR MORE SUNSHINE AND
SIGNIFICANTLY WARMING TEMPERATURES...AND WITH LESS LOW CLOUDS. AN
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL REMAIN INLAND OVER THE NORTHWEST U.S. THROUGH
THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK WITH SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT BUT HIGH 500 MB
HEIGHTS...FOR SOME MARINE INFLUENCE MAINLY NEAR THE COAST...AND A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLY BRUSHING THE OREGON CASCADE CREST AT
TIMES...AND CONTINUED WARM WEATHER INLAND.
&&

.SHORT TERM...THE LOW THAT HAD PLAGUED SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON AND
NORTHWEST OREGON THE PAST TWO DAYS WITH COPIOUS RAINFALL HAS MOVED
EAST OF THE CASCADES IN WASHINGTON THIS AFTERNOON. SIGNIFICANT
ONSHORE FLOW CONTINUES IN ITS WAKE IN THE LIGHT WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT.
THERE ARE A FEW SHOWERS REMAINING MAINLY TILLAMOOK TO VANCOUVER
NORTHWARD...BUT THESE SHOULD DECREASE EARLY THIS EVENING. THERE ARE A
LOT OF CLOUDS OVER SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON AND NORTHWEST OREGON THIS
AFTERNOON...AND PLENTY UPSTREAM OVER THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC THAT WILL
ADVECT IN OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. I THINK THE BEST CHANCE FOR MUCH
CLEARING THIS EVENING WILL BE SOUTH LANE COUNTY...BUT SOME CLOUDS MAY
FILTER IN OVERNIGHT DOWN THERE AS WELL.

THE MODELS REALLY DO NOT SHOW MUCH IF ANY UPPER RIDGING TONIGHT...
WITH THE UPPER FLOW EVEN SLIGHTLY CYCLONIC AT 12Z FRIDAY. THUS EXPECT
FAIRLY DECENT LOW CLOUD COVERAGE THROUGH TONIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY
MORNING ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA. THERE IS A WEAK DISTURBANCE AROUND
50N/130W THIS AFTERNOON THAT MAY BE THE FEATURE DEVELOPING SOME
PATCHY QPF ALONG THE NORTH COAST FORECAST ZONES EARLY FRIDAY...AND IS
ALSO PROBABLY PART OF WHY THE LOW CLOUDS WILL BE RATHER SOLID TONIGHT
INTO FRIDAY. SO WILL LEAVE THE CHANCE OF SPRINKLES AND DRIZZLE IN FOR
LATER TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING NEAR THE NORTH COAST AND COASTAL
MOUNTAINS.

500 MB HEIGHTS DO BEGIN TO BUILD A BIT FRIDAY SO WE SHOULD SEE MORE
SUNSHINE DEVELOP FRIDAY AFTERNOON THAN WE HAVE SEEN IN SEVERAL DAYS.
TEMPS INLAND SHOULD PUSH INTO THE UPPER 70S TO NEAR 80. CLOUDS ON THE
NORTH COAST MAY AGAIN TEND TO HANG ON FOR A WHILE IN THE AFTERNOON
DUE TO THE WEAK DISTURBANCE THAT CAUSES THE PATCHY LIGHT MORNING
PRECIPITATION.

THE UPPER RIDGE AMPLIFIES IN EARNEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND ESPECIALLY
SATURDAY...WITH 500 MB HEIGHTS INTO THE LOWER TO MID 580S BY SATURDAY
AFTERNOON. AFTER SOME BRIEF MORNING LOW CLOUDS INLAND ALONG THE
COLUMBIA RIVER...LOOK FOR PLENTY OF SUNSHINE AND INLAND TEMPS INTO
THE MID 80S ON SATURDAY. THERE IS NOT MUCH CHANGE ON SUNDAY... EXCEPT
TEMPS INLAND MAY GET CLOSER TO 90. THE MODELS SHOW A WEAK DISTURBANCE
LIFTING UP INTO CENTRAL OREGON FROM THE SOUTHWEST ON SUNDAY THAT
MIGHT BRUSH OUR OREGON CASCADE CREST AREA WITH AN ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORM OR TWO SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. TOLLESON

.LONG TERM....A LARGE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE IS FORECAST TO BE POSITIONED
OVER THE ROCKY MOUNTAINS...PUTTING OUR REGION UNDER SOUTHWESTERLY
FLOW ALOFT NEXT WEEK. SEVERAL WEAK SHORTWAVES ARE FORECAST UP THE
RIDGE NEAR OUR REGION.MOST OF THESE LOOK LIKE THEY WILL MISS OUR
AREA...BUT A CHANCE FOR SOME SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
ALONG THE CASCADE CREST WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. THE SOUTHWESTERLY
FLOW AND SUNNY AFTERNOONS WILL KEEP OUR TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.
-MCCOY
&&

.AVIATION...MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS NOW IN CONTROL THIS AFTERNOON...
EXCEPT FOR SOME MVFR CIGS ALONG THE S WA AND N OR COAST WHICH SHOULD
LIFT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HRS. MID LEVEL CLOUDS OVER THE REGION ON
THE LATEST SAT IMAGERY SHOULD SCATTER SOMEWHAT THIS AFTERNOON AND
THIS EVENING. BUT WITH NW ONSHORE FLOW NOW IN PLACE ACROSS THE
REGION...EXPECT CIGS TO LOWER BACK DOWN TO MVFR OVER THE N COAST
OVERNIGHT...AND TRY TO PUSH UP THE LOWER COLUMBIA INTO THE N VALLEY.
A HIGH MVFR DECK MAY ALSO TRY TO FORM ALONG THE CASCADE FOOTHILLS AND
BACK BUILD INTO KTTD AND KPDX AFTER 12Z FRI. SOME LOW STRATUS OR
PATCHY FOG IS A POSSIBILITY ALONG THE CENTRAL OR COAST
OVERNIGHT...WHERE LIGHT OFFSHORE DRIFT MAY DEVELOP. CONDITIONS SHOULD
RETURN TO WIDESPREAD VFR BY 17Z TO 19Z FRI.

KPDX AND APPROACHES...MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS TODAY. THE ONLY EXCEPTION
MAY BE A BRIEF PERIOD OF MVFR CIGS THROUGH 18Z IN A PASSING SHOWER.
CLOUDS BREAKING UP SIGNIFICANTLY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS
EVENING. PYLE
&&

.MARINE...LOW PRES HAS MOVED INLAND AND NW FLOW LESS THAN 15 KT IS
NOW IN CONTROL OVER THE COASTAL WATERS. SEAS REMAIN A BIT ON THE
CHOPPY SIDE WITH PERIODS OF 8 TO 9 SEC...BUT WAVE HEIGHTS HAVE
SUBSIDED A LITTLE TODAY AND CURRENTLY SIT IN THE 6 TO 8 FT RANGE.
EXPECT SEAS TO CONTINUE GRADUALLY DIMINISHING...REACHING 4 TO 5 FT BY
LATE EVENING.

HIGH PRES WILL BEGIN TO BUILD OVER NE PAC TONIGHT AND FRI...WITH
THERMAL LOW PRES BUILDING OVER NW CALIF. THIS WILL BRING A MORE
TYPICAL SUMMERTIME PATTERN OF GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS...AND POTENTIALLY
STEEP SEAS...ESPECIALLY S OF NEWPORT. WINDS WILL START TO INCREASE
FRI AFTERNOON AND EVENING...POSSIBLY REACHING LOW END SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY SPEEDS OVER THE CENTRAL OR WATERS. THE SURFACE PRES GRADIENT
WILL THEN STRENGTHEN OVER THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...WITH
SOLID SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WINDS EXPECTED BY SUN AND CONTINUING
THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.

A STRONG EBB WILL BRING CHOPPY CONDITIONS ON THE COLUMBIA RIVER BAR
DURING THE EBB AROUND 430 AM FRI MORNING. PYLE
&&

.PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...NONE.
WA...NONE.
PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH COLUMBIA RIVER BAR FROM
     3 AM TO 6 AM PDT FRIDAY.

&&

$$

MORE WEATHER INFORMATION ONLINE AT...HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/PORTLAND

INTERACT WITH US VIA SOCIAL MEDIA
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/US.NATIONALWEATHERSERVICE.PORTLAND.GOV
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSPORTLAND

THIS DISCUSSION IS FOR NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON
FROM THE CASCADE CREST TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. THE AREA IS
COMMONLY REFERRED TO AS THE FORECAST AREA.



000
FXUS66 KOTX 242111
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
210 PM PDT THU JUL 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...Lingering showers will depart Northern Idaho this
evening. A cool and mostly clear night is expected across the
region coupled with decreasing winds. A dry warming trend is
expected through early next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Tonight through Sunday night: The vigorous low pressure system
responsible for yesterday`s severe weather will continue to lift
northeast into the Canadian Plains. Instability and moisture
associated with this feature will lift through far NE WA and Nrn
ID this evening and depart overnight with a decreasing trend in
showers. Zonal flow will be in place on Friday then the jet stream
will become a bit more amplified as a trof of low pressure deepens
over the Gulf of AK. This will result in rising heights across the
Northern Rockies and deliver a dry...warming trend for the Inland
NW. Temperatures will start off below average or generally in the
70`s to lower 80`s Friday...increase to the 80`s Saturday...then
continue warming into the 90`s to close out the weekend.  /sb

Monday through Thursday: Models are in good agreement of the upper
level ridge building back over the Western US next week. This will
provide just a few degrees of warming each day, so that by next
Thur all valley locations will see mid 90s to lower 100s. Both the
GFS and ECMWF show virtually no moisture over the area. Add to
that no significant weather disturbance moving though...next week
will be rather boring; just hot and dry. Skies will be mostly
clear. Winds will be fairly light. Some late afternoon/early
evening Cascade gap winds are likely. /Nisbet

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAFS: An exiting low pressure system will bring some
cloudiness...more wdsprd across the north...and a threat of a
few light showers across NE WA and Nrn ID through 00z. Winds will
be the main aviation impact. Local wind gusts between 25 to 35 mph
will be possible this afternoon and early evening, focused
especially from 18-02Z. /sb

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        50  76  54  84  59  91 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Coeur d`Alene  48  75  48  82  53  90 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Pullman        45  75  44  83  50  91 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Lewiston       54  84  55  92  61  97 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Colville       47  78  48  86  52  94 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Sandpoint      47  73  46  80  49  88 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Kellogg        49  71  48  80  54  89 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Moses Lake     54  84  53  89  59  95 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Wenatchee      56  82  56  87  62  94 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Omak           51  83  53  88  56  94 /  10   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...None.
&&




000
FXUS66 KOTX 242111
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
210 PM PDT THU JUL 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...Lingering showers will depart Northern Idaho this
evening. A cool and mostly clear night is expected across the
region coupled with decreasing winds. A dry warming trend is
expected through early next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Tonight through Sunday night: The vigorous low pressure system
responsible for yesterday`s severe weather will continue to lift
northeast into the Canadian Plains. Instability and moisture
associated with this feature will lift through far NE WA and Nrn
ID this evening and depart overnight with a decreasing trend in
showers. Zonal flow will be in place on Friday then the jet stream
will become a bit more amplified as a trof of low pressure deepens
over the Gulf of AK. This will result in rising heights across the
Northern Rockies and deliver a dry...warming trend for the Inland
NW. Temperatures will start off below average or generally in the
70`s to lower 80`s Friday...increase to the 80`s Saturday...then
continue warming into the 90`s to close out the weekend.  /sb

Monday through Thursday: Models are in good agreement of the upper
level ridge building back over the Western US next week. This will
provide just a few degrees of warming each day, so that by next
Thur all valley locations will see mid 90s to lower 100s. Both the
GFS and ECMWF show virtually no moisture over the area. Add to
that no significant weather disturbance moving though...next week
will be rather boring; just hot and dry. Skies will be mostly
clear. Winds will be fairly light. Some late afternoon/early
evening Cascade gap winds are likely. /Nisbet

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAFS: An exiting low pressure system will bring some
cloudiness...more wdsprd across the north...and a threat of a
few light showers across NE WA and Nrn ID through 00z. Winds will
be the main aviation impact. Local wind gusts between 25 to 35 mph
will be possible this afternoon and early evening, focused
especially from 18-02Z. /sb

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        50  76  54  84  59  91 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Coeur d`Alene  48  75  48  82  53  90 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Pullman        45  75  44  83  50  91 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Lewiston       54  84  55  92  61  97 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Colville       47  78  48  86  52  94 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Sandpoint      47  73  46  80  49  88 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Kellogg        49  71  48  80  54  89 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Moses Lake     54  84  53  89  59  95 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Wenatchee      56  82  56  87  62  94 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Omak           51  83  53  88  56  94 /  10   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...None.
&&





000
FXUS66 KOTX 241751
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
1050 AM PDT THU JUL 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...Lingering showers will continue for the northern
mountains today as a cold front exits the region. Cool and breezy
weather is expected today behind the cold front. Temperatures will
rebound by the weekend and be accompanied by dry conditions. Hot
weather will return to the area on Sunday and early next week.


&&

.DISCUSSION...
Small update today to reduce pops in the Okanogan Valley and East
Slopes. The main precipitation threat for the remainder of today
will be along and ahead of a meridional band of showers currently
extending from Republic to Grand Coulee tied to a theta-e axis
wrapping around the backside of yesterday`s low pressure system.
Precipitation with this activity will generally be light with
rainfall amounts ranging between a trace to 0.01" in the Basin to
up to 0.06" in the northern mountains. The main story for today
will be the cooler temperatures and windy conditions. We are
already seeing breezy conditions region-wide with gusts 25-35 mph
and this will be in place through early evening. Clearing skies
and lighter winds overnight will deliver a cool night for the
Inland NW with sheltered northern valleys likely to dip into the
40`s while the Basin cools into the 50`s.

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAFS: An exiting low pressure system will bring some
cloudiness...more wdsprd across the north...and a threat of a
few light showers across NE WA and Nrn ID through 00z. Winds will
be the main aviation impact. Local wind gusts between 25 to 35 mph
will be possible this afternoon and early evening, focused
especially from 18-02Z. /sb


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        70  50  76  54  84  59 /  20  10   0   0   0   0
Coeur d`Alene  67  49  74  48  82  54 /  20  10   0   0   0   0
Pullman        69  46  75  44  83  50 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Lewiston       78  55  83  55  91  61 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Colville       70  49  78  48  87  53 /  30  10   0   0   0   0
Sandpoint      65  47  72  47  81  50 /  40  10   0   0   0   0
Kellogg        64  49  72  49  81  56 /  20  10   0   0   0   0
Moses Lake     76  54  83  53  89  60 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Wenatchee      73  57  82  60  87  65 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Omak           74  52  82  53  88  58 /  10  10   0   0   0   0

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...None.
&&

$$





000
FXUS66 KOTX 241751
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
1050 AM PDT THU JUL 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...Lingering showers will continue for the northern
mountains today as a cold front exits the region. Cool and breezy
weather is expected today behind the cold front. Temperatures will
rebound by the weekend and be accompanied by dry conditions. Hot
weather will return to the area on Sunday and early next week.


&&

.DISCUSSION...
Small update today to reduce pops in the Okanogan Valley and East
Slopes. The main precipitation threat for the remainder of today
will be along and ahead of a meridional band of showers currently
extending from Republic to Grand Coulee tied to a theta-e axis
wrapping around the backside of yesterday`s low pressure system.
Precipitation with this activity will generally be light with
rainfall amounts ranging between a trace to 0.01" in the Basin to
up to 0.06" in the northern mountains. The main story for today
will be the cooler temperatures and windy conditions. We are
already seeing breezy conditions region-wide with gusts 25-35 mph
and this will be in place through early evening. Clearing skies
and lighter winds overnight will deliver a cool night for the
Inland NW with sheltered northern valleys likely to dip into the
40`s while the Basin cools into the 50`s.

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAFS: An exiting low pressure system will bring some
cloudiness...more wdsprd across the north...and a threat of a
few light showers across NE WA and Nrn ID through 00z. Winds will
be the main aviation impact. Local wind gusts between 25 to 35 mph
will be possible this afternoon and early evening, focused
especially from 18-02Z. /sb


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        70  50  76  54  84  59 /  20  10   0   0   0   0
Coeur d`Alene  67  49  74  48  82  54 /  20  10   0   0   0   0
Pullman        69  46  75  44  83  50 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Lewiston       78  55  83  55  91  61 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Colville       70  49  78  48  87  53 /  30  10   0   0   0   0
Sandpoint      65  47  72  47  81  50 /  40  10   0   0   0   0
Kellogg        64  49  72  49  81  56 /  20  10   0   0   0   0
Moses Lake     76  54  83  53  89  60 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Wenatchee      73  57  82  60  87  65 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Omak           74  52  82  53  88  58 /  10  10   0   0   0   0

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...None.
&&

$$





000
FXUS66 KOTX 241751
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
1050 AM PDT THU JUL 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...Lingering showers will continue for the northern
mountains today as a cold front exits the region. Cool and breezy
weather is expected today behind the cold front. Temperatures will
rebound by the weekend and be accompanied by dry conditions. Hot
weather will return to the area on Sunday and early next week.


&&

.DISCUSSION...
Small update today to reduce pops in the Okanogan Valley and East
Slopes. The main precipitation threat for the remainder of today
will be along and ahead of a meridional band of showers currently
extending from Republic to Grand Coulee tied to a theta-e axis
wrapping around the backside of yesterday`s low pressure system.
Precipitation with this activity will generally be light with
rainfall amounts ranging between a trace to 0.01" in the Basin to
up to 0.06" in the northern mountains. The main story for today
will be the cooler temperatures and windy conditions. We are
already seeing breezy conditions region-wide with gusts 25-35 mph
and this will be in place through early evening. Clearing skies
and lighter winds overnight will deliver a cool night for the
Inland NW with sheltered northern valleys likely to dip into the
40`s while the Basin cools into the 50`s.

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAFS: An exiting low pressure system will bring some
cloudiness...more wdsprd across the north...and a threat of a
few light showers across NE WA and Nrn ID through 00z. Winds will
be the main aviation impact. Local wind gusts between 25 to 35 mph
will be possible this afternoon and early evening, focused
especially from 18-02Z. /sb


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        70  50  76  54  84  59 /  20  10   0   0   0   0
Coeur d`Alene  67  49  74  48  82  54 /  20  10   0   0   0   0
Pullman        69  46  75  44  83  50 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Lewiston       78  55  83  55  91  61 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Colville       70  49  78  48  87  53 /  30  10   0   0   0   0
Sandpoint      65  47  72  47  81  50 /  40  10   0   0   0   0
Kellogg        64  49  72  49  81  56 /  20  10   0   0   0   0
Moses Lake     76  54  83  53  89  60 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Wenatchee      73  57  82  60  87  65 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Omak           74  52  82  53  88  58 /  10  10   0   0   0   0

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...None.
&&

$$





000
FXUS66 KOTX 241751
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
1050 AM PDT THU JUL 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...Lingering showers will continue for the northern
mountains today as a cold front exits the region. Cool and breezy
weather is expected today behind the cold front. Temperatures will
rebound by the weekend and be accompanied by dry conditions. Hot
weather will return to the area on Sunday and early next week.


&&

.DISCUSSION...
Small update today to reduce pops in the Okanogan Valley and East
Slopes. The main precipitation threat for the remainder of today
will be along and ahead of a meridional band of showers currently
extending from Republic to Grand Coulee tied to a theta-e axis
wrapping around the backside of yesterday`s low pressure system.
Precipitation with this activity will generally be light with
rainfall amounts ranging between a trace to 0.01" in the Basin to
up to 0.06" in the northern mountains. The main story for today
will be the cooler temperatures and windy conditions. We are
already seeing breezy conditions region-wide with gusts 25-35 mph
and this will be in place through early evening. Clearing skies
and lighter winds overnight will deliver a cool night for the
Inland NW with sheltered northern valleys likely to dip into the
40`s while the Basin cools into the 50`s.

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAFS: An exiting low pressure system will bring some
cloudiness...more wdsprd across the north...and a threat of a
few light showers across NE WA and Nrn ID through 00z. Winds will
be the main aviation impact. Local wind gusts between 25 to 35 mph
will be possible this afternoon and early evening, focused
especially from 18-02Z. /sb


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        70  50  76  54  84  59 /  20  10   0   0   0   0
Coeur d`Alene  67  49  74  48  82  54 /  20  10   0   0   0   0
Pullman        69  46  75  44  83  50 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Lewiston       78  55  83  55  91  61 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Colville       70  49  78  48  87  53 /  30  10   0   0   0   0
Sandpoint      65  47  72  47  81  50 /  40  10   0   0   0   0
Kellogg        64  49  72  49  81  56 /  20  10   0   0   0   0
Moses Lake     76  54  83  53  89  60 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Wenatchee      73  57  82  60  87  65 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Omak           74  52  82  53  88  58 /  10  10   0   0   0   0

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...None.
&&

$$





000
FXUS66 KPQR 241608
AFDPQR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
908 AM PDT THU JUL 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...THE UPPER LEVEL LOW THAT BROUGHT ABUNDANT RAIN TO
SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON AND NORTHWEST OREGON THE PAST TWO DAYS WAS
MOVING EAST OF THE AREA THIS MORNING WITH CONTINUED ONSHORE FLOW BUT
DECREASING SHOWERS. A WEAK UPPER RIDGE WILL BEGIN MOVING INTO THE
AREA THROUGH TONIGHT AND FRIDAY IN ITS WAKE...WITH MORE AFTERNOON
SUNSHINE AND GRADUAL WARMING ON FRIDAY. THE UPPER RIDGE WILL AMPLIFY
OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST SATURDAY AND SUNDAY FOR MORE SUNSHINE AND
SIGNIFICANTLY WARMING TEMPERATURES...AND WITH LESS LOW CLOUDS. AN
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL REMAIN INLAND OVER THE NORTHWEST U.S. THROUGH
THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK WITH SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT BUT HIGH 500 MB
HEIGHTS...FOR SOME MARINE INFLUENCE MAINLY NEAR THE COAST...AND A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLY BRUSHING THE OREGON CASCADE CREST...AND
CONTINUED WARM WEATHER INLAND.
&&

.SHORT TERM...THE LOW THAT HAD PLAGUED SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON AND
NORTHWEST OREGON THE PAST TWO DAYS WITH COPIOUS RAINFALL HAS MOVED
EAST OF THE CASCADES IN WASHINGTON AND WILL CONTINUE MOVING EAST
TODAY. THE SURFACE LOW CENTER MOVED ONSHORE ALONG THE CENTRAL
WASHINGTON COAST AROUND 10Z EARLY THIS MORNING. SIGNIFICANT ONSHORE
FLOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY IN THE LIGHT WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT IN ITS
WAKE...WITH A FEW SHOWERS REMAINING...ESPECIALLY OVER THE NORTH COAST
RANGE AREAS AND THE NORTHERN CASCADES FROM MAYBE DETROIT OR SO
NORTHWARD. THERE IS A SMALL RISK OF A SHOWER IN THE NORTHERN VALLEYS
BUT THE CHANCE IS RATHER SMALL THE REMAINDER OF TODAY. CLOUDS WILL
CONTINUE TO PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF TODAY...AND POSSIBLY INTO THE
EVENING BEFORE BEGINNING TO BREAK UP. AREAS DOWN NEAR EUGENE MAY
BREAK UP A LITTLE EARLIER...MORE IN THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. AREAS
ON THE NORTH COAST AND IN SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON MAY NOT BREAK AT ALL
BEFORE CLOUDS RETHICKEN AND SPREAD BACK IN TONIGHT.

THE MODELS REALLY DO NOT SHOW MUCH IF ANY UPPER RIDGING TONIGHT...
WITH THE UPPER FLOW EVEN SLIGHTLY CYCLONIC AT 12Z FRIDAY. THUS EXPECT
FAIRLY DECENT LOW CLOUDS COVERAGE AGAIN LATER TONIGHT AND ON FRIDAY
MORNING ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA. THERE IS A WEAK DISTURBANCE AROUND
50N/135W THIS MORNING THAT MAY BE THE FEATURE DEVELOPING SOME PATCHY
QPF ALONG THE NORTH COAST FORECAST ZONES EARLY FRIDAY...AND WILL
LEAVE THE PATCHY DRIZZLE IN.

500 MB HEIGHTS DO BEGIN TO BUILD A BIT FRIDAY SO WE SHOULD SEE MORE
SUNSHINE DEVELOP FRIDAY AFTERNOON THAN WE HAVE SEEN IN SEVERAL DAYS.
TEMPS INLAND SHOULD PUSH INTO THE UPPER 70S TO NEAR 80. CLOUDS AT THE
COAST MAY AGAIN TEND TO HANG ON FOR A WHILE IN THE AFTERNOON DUE TO
THE WEAK DISTURBANCE THAT CAUSES THE PATCHY MORNING DRIZZLE.

THE UPPER RIDGE AMPLIFIES IN EARNEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND ESPECIALLY
SATURDAY...WITH 500 MB HEIGHTS INTO THE LOWER TO MID 580S BY
AFTERNOON. AFTER SOME BRIEF MORNING LOW CLOUDS INLAND ALONG THE
COLUMBIA RIVER...LOOK FOR PLENTY OF SUNSHINE AND INLAND TEMPS INTO
THE MID 80S ON SATURDAY. TOLLESON

.LONG TERM...NO CHANGES. PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FOLLOWS...HIGH PRESSURE
WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AHEAD OF A
SHORTWAVE TROUGH...FORECAST TO COME ONSHORE SOMETIME LATE SUNDAY
NIGHT OR MONDAY MORNING. THERE IS STILL UNCERTAINTY ON THE TIME THIS
SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO OUR AREA AND THE LOCATION OF ANY ASSOCIATED
PRECIPITATION.THE WAVE IS UNRESOLVED IN THE MEAN 500-MB HEIGHT
FIELD FROM GEFS AND NAEFS...BUT THE GFS AND ECMWF BOTH HAVE IT MOVING
THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY MORNING. BEHIND THIS
SYSTEM...THE LARGE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO BUILD
IN AMPLITUDE AND WESTWARD AND WILL BECOME CENTERED OVER THE ROCKIES
BY MID-WEEK.  SOUTHWESTERLY UPPER-LEVEL FLOW AND CLEAR SKIES INLAND
WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES FAIRLY WARM OVER OUR AREA TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY. -MCCOY
&&

.AVIATION...A MIX OF VFR AND MVFR IN SCATTERED SHOWERS THIS MORNING
WILL GRADUALLY GIVE WAY TO WIDESPREAD VFR CONDITIONS TODAY. ALSO
EXPECT BREEZY SSW WINDS TO TURN WESTERLY AND SUBSIDE LATER THIS
MORNING. BY 19Z...EXPECT WE WILL SEE VFR CONDITIONS WITH INCREASING
BREAKS BETWEEN CLOUDS AND ONLY A FEW SHOWERS REMAINING. SHOULD SEE
WIDESPREAD CLEARING AFTER 03Z AS THE AIR MASS STABILIZES.

KPDX AND APPROACHES...MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS TODAY. THE ONLY EXCEPTION
MAY BE A BRIEF PERIOD OF MVFR CIGS THROUGH 18Z IN A PASSING SHOWER.
CLOUDS BREAKING UP SIGNIFICANTLY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS
EVENING. PYLE
&&

.MARINE...LOW PRES MOVED INLAND THIS MORNING AND WINDS OVER THE
COASTAL WATERS NOW SHIFTING TO THE NW. AS THE LOW MOVES FARTHER
INLAND...WINDS WILL EASE AND TURN MORE WESTERLY LATER THIS AM INTO
THIS AFTERNOON.

SEAS GENERALLY 7 TO 9 FT ON THE WATERS N AT CURRENT...WITH PERIODS
STILL SHORT AT AROUND 9 SEC. HOWEVER...EXPECT SEAS TO SUBSIDE TODAY
AND TONIGHT...WITH 4 TO 5 FT BY LATE EVENING OVER MOST OF THE WATERS.

HIGH PRES WILL THEN BUILD OVER NE PAC TONIGHT AND FRI...WITH THERMAL
LOW PRES BUILDING OVER NW CALIF. THIS WILL BRING A MORE TYPICAL
SUMMERTIME PATTERN OF GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS...AND POTENTIALLY STEEP
SEAS...ESPECIALLY S OF NEWPORT. PYLE/ROCKEY
&&

.PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...NONE.
WA...NONE.
PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS UNTIL 9 AM PDT THIS MORNING FOR
     COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER WA TO CASCADE HEAD OR OUT
     60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 9 AM PDT THIS
     MORNING FOR COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER WA TO CASCADE
     HEAD OR OUT 60 NM.

&&

$$

MORE WEATHER INFORMATION ONLINE AT...HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/PORTLAND

INTERACT WITH US VIA SOCIAL MEDIA
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/US.NATIONALWEATHERSERVICE.PORTLAND.GOV
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSPORTLAND

THIS DISCUSSION IS FOR NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON
FROM THE CASCADE CREST TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. THE AREA IS
COMMONLY REFERRED TO AS THE FORECAST AREA.



000
FXUS66 KPQR 241608
AFDPQR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
908 AM PDT THU JUL 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...THE UPPER LEVEL LOW THAT BROUGHT ABUNDANT RAIN TO
SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON AND NORTHWEST OREGON THE PAST TWO DAYS WAS
MOVING EAST OF THE AREA THIS MORNING WITH CONTINUED ONSHORE FLOW BUT
DECREASING SHOWERS. A WEAK UPPER RIDGE WILL BEGIN MOVING INTO THE
AREA THROUGH TONIGHT AND FRIDAY IN ITS WAKE...WITH MORE AFTERNOON
SUNSHINE AND GRADUAL WARMING ON FRIDAY. THE UPPER RIDGE WILL AMPLIFY
OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST SATURDAY AND SUNDAY FOR MORE SUNSHINE AND
SIGNIFICANTLY WARMING TEMPERATURES...AND WITH LESS LOW CLOUDS. AN
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL REMAIN INLAND OVER THE NORTHWEST U.S. THROUGH
THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK WITH SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT BUT HIGH 500 MB
HEIGHTS...FOR SOME MARINE INFLUENCE MAINLY NEAR THE COAST...AND A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLY BRUSHING THE OREGON CASCADE CREST...AND
CONTINUED WARM WEATHER INLAND.
&&

.SHORT TERM...THE LOW THAT HAD PLAGUED SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON AND
NORTHWEST OREGON THE PAST TWO DAYS WITH COPIOUS RAINFALL HAS MOVED
EAST OF THE CASCADES IN WASHINGTON AND WILL CONTINUE MOVING EAST
TODAY. THE SURFACE LOW CENTER MOVED ONSHORE ALONG THE CENTRAL
WASHINGTON COAST AROUND 10Z EARLY THIS MORNING. SIGNIFICANT ONSHORE
FLOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY IN THE LIGHT WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT IN ITS
WAKE...WITH A FEW SHOWERS REMAINING...ESPECIALLY OVER THE NORTH COAST
RANGE AREAS AND THE NORTHERN CASCADES FROM MAYBE DETROIT OR SO
NORTHWARD. THERE IS A SMALL RISK OF A SHOWER IN THE NORTHERN VALLEYS
BUT THE CHANCE IS RATHER SMALL THE REMAINDER OF TODAY. CLOUDS WILL
CONTINUE TO PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF TODAY...AND POSSIBLY INTO THE
EVENING BEFORE BEGINNING TO BREAK UP. AREAS DOWN NEAR EUGENE MAY
BREAK UP A LITTLE EARLIER...MORE IN THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. AREAS
ON THE NORTH COAST AND IN SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON MAY NOT BREAK AT ALL
BEFORE CLOUDS RETHICKEN AND SPREAD BACK IN TONIGHT.

THE MODELS REALLY DO NOT SHOW MUCH IF ANY UPPER RIDGING TONIGHT...
WITH THE UPPER FLOW EVEN SLIGHTLY CYCLONIC AT 12Z FRIDAY. THUS EXPECT
FAIRLY DECENT LOW CLOUDS COVERAGE AGAIN LATER TONIGHT AND ON FRIDAY
MORNING ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA. THERE IS A WEAK DISTURBANCE AROUND
50N/135W THIS MORNING THAT MAY BE THE FEATURE DEVELOPING SOME PATCHY
QPF ALONG THE NORTH COAST FORECAST ZONES EARLY FRIDAY...AND WILL
LEAVE THE PATCHY DRIZZLE IN.

500 MB HEIGHTS DO BEGIN TO BUILD A BIT FRIDAY SO WE SHOULD SEE MORE
SUNSHINE DEVELOP FRIDAY AFTERNOON THAN WE HAVE SEEN IN SEVERAL DAYS.
TEMPS INLAND SHOULD PUSH INTO THE UPPER 70S TO NEAR 80. CLOUDS AT THE
COAST MAY AGAIN TEND TO HANG ON FOR A WHILE IN THE AFTERNOON DUE TO
THE WEAK DISTURBANCE THAT CAUSES THE PATCHY MORNING DRIZZLE.

THE UPPER RIDGE AMPLIFIES IN EARNEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND ESPECIALLY
SATURDAY...WITH 500 MB HEIGHTS INTO THE LOWER TO MID 580S BY
AFTERNOON. AFTER SOME BRIEF MORNING LOW CLOUDS INLAND ALONG THE
COLUMBIA RIVER...LOOK FOR PLENTY OF SUNSHINE AND INLAND TEMPS INTO
THE MID 80S ON SATURDAY. TOLLESON

.LONG TERM...NO CHANGES. PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FOLLOWS...HIGH PRESSURE
WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AHEAD OF A
SHORTWAVE TROUGH...FORECAST TO COME ONSHORE SOMETIME LATE SUNDAY
NIGHT OR MONDAY MORNING. THERE IS STILL UNCERTAINTY ON THE TIME THIS
SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO OUR AREA AND THE LOCATION OF ANY ASSOCIATED
PRECIPITATION.THE WAVE IS UNRESOLVED IN THE MEAN 500-MB HEIGHT
FIELD FROM GEFS AND NAEFS...BUT THE GFS AND ECMWF BOTH HAVE IT MOVING
THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY MORNING. BEHIND THIS
SYSTEM...THE LARGE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO BUILD
IN AMPLITUDE AND WESTWARD AND WILL BECOME CENTERED OVER THE ROCKIES
BY MID-WEEK.  SOUTHWESTERLY UPPER-LEVEL FLOW AND CLEAR SKIES INLAND
WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES FAIRLY WARM OVER OUR AREA TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY. -MCCOY
&&

.AVIATION...A MIX OF VFR AND MVFR IN SCATTERED SHOWERS THIS MORNING
WILL GRADUALLY GIVE WAY TO WIDESPREAD VFR CONDITIONS TODAY. ALSO
EXPECT BREEZY SSW WINDS TO TURN WESTERLY AND SUBSIDE LATER THIS
MORNING. BY 19Z...EXPECT WE WILL SEE VFR CONDITIONS WITH INCREASING
BREAKS BETWEEN CLOUDS AND ONLY A FEW SHOWERS REMAINING. SHOULD SEE
WIDESPREAD CLEARING AFTER 03Z AS THE AIR MASS STABILIZES.

KPDX AND APPROACHES...MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS TODAY. THE ONLY EXCEPTION
MAY BE A BRIEF PERIOD OF MVFR CIGS THROUGH 18Z IN A PASSING SHOWER.
CLOUDS BREAKING UP SIGNIFICANTLY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS
EVENING. PYLE
&&

.MARINE...LOW PRES MOVED INLAND THIS MORNING AND WINDS OVER THE
COASTAL WATERS NOW SHIFTING TO THE NW. AS THE LOW MOVES FARTHER
INLAND...WINDS WILL EASE AND TURN MORE WESTERLY LATER THIS AM INTO
THIS AFTERNOON.

SEAS GENERALLY 7 TO 9 FT ON THE WATERS N AT CURRENT...WITH PERIODS
STILL SHORT AT AROUND 9 SEC. HOWEVER...EXPECT SEAS TO SUBSIDE TODAY
AND TONIGHT...WITH 4 TO 5 FT BY LATE EVENING OVER MOST OF THE WATERS.

HIGH PRES WILL THEN BUILD OVER NE PAC TONIGHT AND FRI...WITH THERMAL
LOW PRES BUILDING OVER NW CALIF. THIS WILL BRING A MORE TYPICAL
SUMMERTIME PATTERN OF GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS...AND POTENTIALLY STEEP
SEAS...ESPECIALLY S OF NEWPORT. PYLE/ROCKEY
&&

.PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...NONE.
WA...NONE.
PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS UNTIL 9 AM PDT THIS MORNING FOR
     COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER WA TO CASCADE HEAD OR OUT
     60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 9 AM PDT THIS
     MORNING FOR COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER WA TO CASCADE
     HEAD OR OUT 60 NM.

&&

$$

MORE WEATHER INFORMATION ONLINE AT...HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/PORTLAND

INTERACT WITH US VIA SOCIAL MEDIA
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/US.NATIONALWEATHERSERVICE.PORTLAND.GOV
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSPORTLAND

THIS DISCUSSION IS FOR NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON
FROM THE CASCADE CREST TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. THE AREA IS
COMMONLY REFERRED TO AS THE FORECAST AREA.



000
FXUS66 KPQR 241608
AFDPQR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
908 AM PDT THU JUL 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...THE UPPER LEVEL LOW THAT BROUGHT ABUNDANT RAIN TO
SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON AND NORTHWEST OREGON THE PAST TWO DAYS WAS
MOVING EAST OF THE AREA THIS MORNING WITH CONTINUED ONSHORE FLOW BUT
DECREASING SHOWERS. A WEAK UPPER RIDGE WILL BEGIN MOVING INTO THE
AREA THROUGH TONIGHT AND FRIDAY IN ITS WAKE...WITH MORE AFTERNOON
SUNSHINE AND GRADUAL WARMING ON FRIDAY. THE UPPER RIDGE WILL AMPLIFY
OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST SATURDAY AND SUNDAY FOR MORE SUNSHINE AND
SIGNIFICANTLY WARMING TEMPERATURES...AND WITH LESS LOW CLOUDS. AN
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL REMAIN INLAND OVER THE NORTHWEST U.S. THROUGH
THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK WITH SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT BUT HIGH 500 MB
HEIGHTS...FOR SOME MARINE INFLUENCE MAINLY NEAR THE COAST...AND A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLY BRUSHING THE OREGON CASCADE CREST...AND
CONTINUED WARM WEATHER INLAND.
&&

.SHORT TERM...THE LOW THAT HAD PLAGUED SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON AND
NORTHWEST OREGON THE PAST TWO DAYS WITH COPIOUS RAINFALL HAS MOVED
EAST OF THE CASCADES IN WASHINGTON AND WILL CONTINUE MOVING EAST
TODAY. THE SURFACE LOW CENTER MOVED ONSHORE ALONG THE CENTRAL
WASHINGTON COAST AROUND 10Z EARLY THIS MORNING. SIGNIFICANT ONSHORE
FLOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY IN THE LIGHT WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT IN ITS
WAKE...WITH A FEW SHOWERS REMAINING...ESPECIALLY OVER THE NORTH COAST
RANGE AREAS AND THE NORTHERN CASCADES FROM MAYBE DETROIT OR SO
NORTHWARD. THERE IS A SMALL RISK OF A SHOWER IN THE NORTHERN VALLEYS
BUT THE CHANCE IS RATHER SMALL THE REMAINDER OF TODAY. CLOUDS WILL
CONTINUE TO PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF TODAY...AND POSSIBLY INTO THE
EVENING BEFORE BEGINNING TO BREAK UP. AREAS DOWN NEAR EUGENE MAY
BREAK UP A LITTLE EARLIER...MORE IN THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. AREAS
ON THE NORTH COAST AND IN SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON MAY NOT BREAK AT ALL
BEFORE CLOUDS RETHICKEN AND SPREAD BACK IN TONIGHT.

THE MODELS REALLY DO NOT SHOW MUCH IF ANY UPPER RIDGING TONIGHT...
WITH THE UPPER FLOW EVEN SLIGHTLY CYCLONIC AT 12Z FRIDAY. THUS EXPECT
FAIRLY DECENT LOW CLOUDS COVERAGE AGAIN LATER TONIGHT AND ON FRIDAY
MORNING ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA. THERE IS A WEAK DISTURBANCE AROUND
50N/135W THIS MORNING THAT MAY BE THE FEATURE DEVELOPING SOME PATCHY
QPF ALONG THE NORTH COAST FORECAST ZONES EARLY FRIDAY...AND WILL
LEAVE THE PATCHY DRIZZLE IN.

500 MB HEIGHTS DO BEGIN TO BUILD A BIT FRIDAY SO WE SHOULD SEE MORE
SUNSHINE DEVELOP FRIDAY AFTERNOON THAN WE HAVE SEEN IN SEVERAL DAYS.
TEMPS INLAND SHOULD PUSH INTO THE UPPER 70S TO NEAR 80. CLOUDS AT THE
COAST MAY AGAIN TEND TO HANG ON FOR A WHILE IN THE AFTERNOON DUE TO
THE WEAK DISTURBANCE THAT CAUSES THE PATCHY MORNING DRIZZLE.

THE UPPER RIDGE AMPLIFIES IN EARNEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND ESPECIALLY
SATURDAY...WITH 500 MB HEIGHTS INTO THE LOWER TO MID 580S BY
AFTERNOON. AFTER SOME BRIEF MORNING LOW CLOUDS INLAND ALONG THE
COLUMBIA RIVER...LOOK FOR PLENTY OF SUNSHINE AND INLAND TEMPS INTO
THE MID 80S ON SATURDAY. TOLLESON

.LONG TERM...NO CHANGES. PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FOLLOWS...HIGH PRESSURE
WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AHEAD OF A
SHORTWAVE TROUGH...FORECAST TO COME ONSHORE SOMETIME LATE SUNDAY
NIGHT OR MONDAY MORNING. THERE IS STILL UNCERTAINTY ON THE TIME THIS
SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO OUR AREA AND THE LOCATION OF ANY ASSOCIATED
PRECIPITATION.THE WAVE IS UNRESOLVED IN THE MEAN 500-MB HEIGHT
FIELD FROM GEFS AND NAEFS...BUT THE GFS AND ECMWF BOTH HAVE IT MOVING
THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY MORNING. BEHIND THIS
SYSTEM...THE LARGE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO BUILD
IN AMPLITUDE AND WESTWARD AND WILL BECOME CENTERED OVER THE ROCKIES
BY MID-WEEK.  SOUTHWESTERLY UPPER-LEVEL FLOW AND CLEAR SKIES INLAND
WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES FAIRLY WARM OVER OUR AREA TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY. -MCCOY
&&

.AVIATION...A MIX OF VFR AND MVFR IN SCATTERED SHOWERS THIS MORNING
WILL GRADUALLY GIVE WAY TO WIDESPREAD VFR CONDITIONS TODAY. ALSO
EXPECT BREEZY SSW WINDS TO TURN WESTERLY AND SUBSIDE LATER THIS
MORNING. BY 19Z...EXPECT WE WILL SEE VFR CONDITIONS WITH INCREASING
BREAKS BETWEEN CLOUDS AND ONLY A FEW SHOWERS REMAINING. SHOULD SEE
WIDESPREAD CLEARING AFTER 03Z AS THE AIR MASS STABILIZES.

KPDX AND APPROACHES...MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS TODAY. THE ONLY EXCEPTION
MAY BE A BRIEF PERIOD OF MVFR CIGS THROUGH 18Z IN A PASSING SHOWER.
CLOUDS BREAKING UP SIGNIFICANTLY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS
EVENING. PYLE
&&

.MARINE...LOW PRES MOVED INLAND THIS MORNING AND WINDS OVER THE
COASTAL WATERS NOW SHIFTING TO THE NW. AS THE LOW MOVES FARTHER
INLAND...WINDS WILL EASE AND TURN MORE WESTERLY LATER THIS AM INTO
THIS AFTERNOON.

SEAS GENERALLY 7 TO 9 FT ON THE WATERS N AT CURRENT...WITH PERIODS
STILL SHORT AT AROUND 9 SEC. HOWEVER...EXPECT SEAS TO SUBSIDE TODAY
AND TONIGHT...WITH 4 TO 5 FT BY LATE EVENING OVER MOST OF THE WATERS.

HIGH PRES WILL THEN BUILD OVER NE PAC TONIGHT AND FRI...WITH THERMAL
LOW PRES BUILDING OVER NW CALIF. THIS WILL BRING A MORE TYPICAL
SUMMERTIME PATTERN OF GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS...AND POTENTIALLY STEEP
SEAS...ESPECIALLY S OF NEWPORT. PYLE/ROCKEY
&&

.PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...NONE.
WA...NONE.
PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS UNTIL 9 AM PDT THIS MORNING FOR
     COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER WA TO CASCADE HEAD OR OUT
     60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 9 AM PDT THIS
     MORNING FOR COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER WA TO CASCADE
     HEAD OR OUT 60 NM.

&&

$$

MORE WEATHER INFORMATION ONLINE AT...HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/PORTLAND

INTERACT WITH US VIA SOCIAL MEDIA
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/US.NATIONALWEATHERSERVICE.PORTLAND.GOV
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSPORTLAND

THIS DISCUSSION IS FOR NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON
FROM THE CASCADE CREST TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. THE AREA IS
COMMONLY REFERRED TO AS THE FORECAST AREA.



000
FXUS66 KPQR 241608
AFDPQR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
908 AM PDT THU JUL 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...THE UPPER LEVEL LOW THAT BROUGHT ABUNDANT RAIN TO
SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON AND NORTHWEST OREGON THE PAST TWO DAYS WAS
MOVING EAST OF THE AREA THIS MORNING WITH CONTINUED ONSHORE FLOW BUT
DECREASING SHOWERS. A WEAK UPPER RIDGE WILL BEGIN MOVING INTO THE
AREA THROUGH TONIGHT AND FRIDAY IN ITS WAKE...WITH MORE AFTERNOON
SUNSHINE AND GRADUAL WARMING ON FRIDAY. THE UPPER RIDGE WILL AMPLIFY
OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST SATURDAY AND SUNDAY FOR MORE SUNSHINE AND
SIGNIFICANTLY WARMING TEMPERATURES...AND WITH LESS LOW CLOUDS. AN
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL REMAIN INLAND OVER THE NORTHWEST U.S. THROUGH
THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK WITH SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT BUT HIGH 500 MB
HEIGHTS...FOR SOME MARINE INFLUENCE MAINLY NEAR THE COAST...AND A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLY BRUSHING THE OREGON CASCADE CREST...AND
CONTINUED WARM WEATHER INLAND.
&&

.SHORT TERM...THE LOW THAT HAD PLAGUED SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON AND
NORTHWEST OREGON THE PAST TWO DAYS WITH COPIOUS RAINFALL HAS MOVED
EAST OF THE CASCADES IN WASHINGTON AND WILL CONTINUE MOVING EAST
TODAY. THE SURFACE LOW CENTER MOVED ONSHORE ALONG THE CENTRAL
WASHINGTON COAST AROUND 10Z EARLY THIS MORNING. SIGNIFICANT ONSHORE
FLOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY IN THE LIGHT WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT IN ITS
WAKE...WITH A FEW SHOWERS REMAINING...ESPECIALLY OVER THE NORTH COAST
RANGE AREAS AND THE NORTHERN CASCADES FROM MAYBE DETROIT OR SO
NORTHWARD. THERE IS A SMALL RISK OF A SHOWER IN THE NORTHERN VALLEYS
BUT THE CHANCE IS RATHER SMALL THE REMAINDER OF TODAY. CLOUDS WILL
CONTINUE TO PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF TODAY...AND POSSIBLY INTO THE
EVENING BEFORE BEGINNING TO BREAK UP. AREAS DOWN NEAR EUGENE MAY
BREAK UP A LITTLE EARLIER...MORE IN THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. AREAS
ON THE NORTH COAST AND IN SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON MAY NOT BREAK AT ALL
BEFORE CLOUDS RETHICKEN AND SPREAD BACK IN TONIGHT.

THE MODELS REALLY DO NOT SHOW MUCH IF ANY UPPER RIDGING TONIGHT...
WITH THE UPPER FLOW EVEN SLIGHTLY CYCLONIC AT 12Z FRIDAY. THUS EXPECT
FAIRLY DECENT LOW CLOUDS COVERAGE AGAIN LATER TONIGHT AND ON FRIDAY
MORNING ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA. THERE IS A WEAK DISTURBANCE AROUND
50N/135W THIS MORNING THAT MAY BE THE FEATURE DEVELOPING SOME PATCHY
QPF ALONG THE NORTH COAST FORECAST ZONES EARLY FRIDAY...AND WILL
LEAVE THE PATCHY DRIZZLE IN.

500 MB HEIGHTS DO BEGIN TO BUILD A BIT FRIDAY SO WE SHOULD SEE MORE
SUNSHINE DEVELOP FRIDAY AFTERNOON THAN WE HAVE SEEN IN SEVERAL DAYS.
TEMPS INLAND SHOULD PUSH INTO THE UPPER 70S TO NEAR 80. CLOUDS AT THE
COAST MAY AGAIN TEND TO HANG ON FOR A WHILE IN THE AFTERNOON DUE TO
THE WEAK DISTURBANCE THAT CAUSES THE PATCHY MORNING DRIZZLE.

THE UPPER RIDGE AMPLIFIES IN EARNEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND ESPECIALLY
SATURDAY...WITH 500 MB HEIGHTS INTO THE LOWER TO MID 580S BY
AFTERNOON. AFTER SOME BRIEF MORNING LOW CLOUDS INLAND ALONG THE
COLUMBIA RIVER...LOOK FOR PLENTY OF SUNSHINE AND INLAND TEMPS INTO
THE MID 80S ON SATURDAY. TOLLESON

.LONG TERM...NO CHANGES. PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FOLLOWS...HIGH PRESSURE
WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AHEAD OF A
SHORTWAVE TROUGH...FORECAST TO COME ONSHORE SOMETIME LATE SUNDAY
NIGHT OR MONDAY MORNING. THERE IS STILL UNCERTAINTY ON THE TIME THIS
SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO OUR AREA AND THE LOCATION OF ANY ASSOCIATED
PRECIPITATION.THE WAVE IS UNRESOLVED IN THE MEAN 500-MB HEIGHT
FIELD FROM GEFS AND NAEFS...BUT THE GFS AND ECMWF BOTH HAVE IT MOVING
THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY MORNING. BEHIND THIS
SYSTEM...THE LARGE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO BUILD
IN AMPLITUDE AND WESTWARD AND WILL BECOME CENTERED OVER THE ROCKIES
BY MID-WEEK.  SOUTHWESTERLY UPPER-LEVEL FLOW AND CLEAR SKIES INLAND
WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES FAIRLY WARM OVER OUR AREA TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY. -MCCOY
&&

.AVIATION...A MIX OF VFR AND MVFR IN SCATTERED SHOWERS THIS MORNING
WILL GRADUALLY GIVE WAY TO WIDESPREAD VFR CONDITIONS TODAY. ALSO
EXPECT BREEZY SSW WINDS TO TURN WESTERLY AND SUBSIDE LATER THIS
MORNING. BY 19Z...EXPECT WE WILL SEE VFR CONDITIONS WITH INCREASING
BREAKS BETWEEN CLOUDS AND ONLY A FEW SHOWERS REMAINING. SHOULD SEE
WIDESPREAD CLEARING AFTER 03Z AS THE AIR MASS STABILIZES.

KPDX AND APPROACHES...MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS TODAY. THE ONLY EXCEPTION
MAY BE A BRIEF PERIOD OF MVFR CIGS THROUGH 18Z IN A PASSING SHOWER.
CLOUDS BREAKING UP SIGNIFICANTLY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS
EVENING. PYLE
&&

.MARINE...LOW PRES MOVED INLAND THIS MORNING AND WINDS OVER THE
COASTAL WATERS NOW SHIFTING TO THE NW. AS THE LOW MOVES FARTHER
INLAND...WINDS WILL EASE AND TURN MORE WESTERLY LATER THIS AM INTO
THIS AFTERNOON.

SEAS GENERALLY 7 TO 9 FT ON THE WATERS N AT CURRENT...WITH PERIODS
STILL SHORT AT AROUND 9 SEC. HOWEVER...EXPECT SEAS TO SUBSIDE TODAY
AND TONIGHT...WITH 4 TO 5 FT BY LATE EVENING OVER MOST OF THE WATERS.

HIGH PRES WILL THEN BUILD OVER NE PAC TONIGHT AND FRI...WITH THERMAL
LOW PRES BUILDING OVER NW CALIF. THIS WILL BRING A MORE TYPICAL
SUMMERTIME PATTERN OF GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS...AND POTENTIALLY STEEP
SEAS...ESPECIALLY S OF NEWPORT. PYLE/ROCKEY
&&

.PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...NONE.
WA...NONE.
PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS UNTIL 9 AM PDT THIS MORNING FOR
     COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER WA TO CASCADE HEAD OR OUT
     60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 9 AM PDT THIS
     MORNING FOR COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER WA TO CASCADE
     HEAD OR OUT 60 NM.

&&

$$

MORE WEATHER INFORMATION ONLINE AT...HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/PORTLAND

INTERACT WITH US VIA SOCIAL MEDIA
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/US.NATIONALWEATHERSERVICE.PORTLAND.GOV
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSPORTLAND

THIS DISCUSSION IS FOR NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON
FROM THE CASCADE CREST TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. THE AREA IS
COMMONLY REFERRED TO AS THE FORECAST AREA.



000
FXUS66 KPQR 241608
AFDPQR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
908 AM PDT THU JUL 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...THE UPPER LEVEL LOW THAT BROUGHT ABUNDANT RAIN TO
SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON AND NORTHWEST OREGON THE PAST TWO DAYS WAS
MOVING EAST OF THE AREA THIS MORNING WITH CONTINUED ONSHORE FLOW BUT
DECREASING SHOWERS. A WEAK UPPER RIDGE WILL BEGIN MOVING INTO THE
AREA THROUGH TONIGHT AND FRIDAY IN ITS WAKE...WITH MORE AFTERNOON
SUNSHINE AND GRADUAL WARMING ON FRIDAY. THE UPPER RIDGE WILL AMPLIFY
OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST SATURDAY AND SUNDAY FOR MORE SUNSHINE AND
SIGNIFICANTLY WARMING TEMPERATURES...AND WITH LESS LOW CLOUDS. AN
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL REMAIN INLAND OVER THE NORTHWEST U.S. THROUGH
THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK WITH SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT BUT HIGH 500 MB
HEIGHTS...FOR SOME MARINE INFLUENCE MAINLY NEAR THE COAST...AND A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLY BRUSHING THE OREGON CASCADE CREST...AND
CONTINUED WARM WEATHER INLAND.
&&

.SHORT TERM...THE LOW THAT HAD PLAGUED SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON AND
NORTHWEST OREGON THE PAST TWO DAYS WITH COPIOUS RAINFALL HAS MOVED
EAST OF THE CASCADES IN WASHINGTON AND WILL CONTINUE MOVING EAST
TODAY. THE SURFACE LOW CENTER MOVED ONSHORE ALONG THE CENTRAL
WASHINGTON COAST AROUND 10Z EARLY THIS MORNING. SIGNIFICANT ONSHORE
FLOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY IN THE LIGHT WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT IN ITS
WAKE...WITH A FEW SHOWERS REMAINING...ESPECIALLY OVER THE NORTH COAST
RANGE AREAS AND THE NORTHERN CASCADES FROM MAYBE DETROIT OR SO
NORTHWARD. THERE IS A SMALL RISK OF A SHOWER IN THE NORTHERN VALLEYS
BUT THE CHANCE IS RATHER SMALL THE REMAINDER OF TODAY. CLOUDS WILL
CONTINUE TO PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF TODAY...AND POSSIBLY INTO THE
EVENING BEFORE BEGINNING TO BREAK UP. AREAS DOWN NEAR EUGENE MAY
BREAK UP A LITTLE EARLIER...MORE IN THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. AREAS
ON THE NORTH COAST AND IN SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON MAY NOT BREAK AT ALL
BEFORE CLOUDS RETHICKEN AND SPREAD BACK IN TONIGHT.

THE MODELS REALLY DO NOT SHOW MUCH IF ANY UPPER RIDGING TONIGHT...
WITH THE UPPER FLOW EVEN SLIGHTLY CYCLONIC AT 12Z FRIDAY. THUS EXPECT
FAIRLY DECENT LOW CLOUDS COVERAGE AGAIN LATER TONIGHT AND ON FRIDAY
MORNING ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA. THERE IS A WEAK DISTURBANCE AROUND
50N/135W THIS MORNING THAT MAY BE THE FEATURE DEVELOPING SOME PATCHY
QPF ALONG THE NORTH COAST FORECAST ZONES EARLY FRIDAY...AND WILL
LEAVE THE PATCHY DRIZZLE IN.

500 MB HEIGHTS DO BEGIN TO BUILD A BIT FRIDAY SO WE SHOULD SEE MORE
SUNSHINE DEVELOP FRIDAY AFTERNOON THAN WE HAVE SEEN IN SEVERAL DAYS.
TEMPS INLAND SHOULD PUSH INTO THE UPPER 70S TO NEAR 80. CLOUDS AT THE
COAST MAY AGAIN TEND TO HANG ON FOR A WHILE IN THE AFTERNOON DUE TO
THE WEAK DISTURBANCE THAT CAUSES THE PATCHY MORNING DRIZZLE.

THE UPPER RIDGE AMPLIFIES IN EARNEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND ESPECIALLY
SATURDAY...WITH 500 MB HEIGHTS INTO THE LOWER TO MID 580S BY
AFTERNOON. AFTER SOME BRIEF MORNING LOW CLOUDS INLAND ALONG THE
COLUMBIA RIVER...LOOK FOR PLENTY OF SUNSHINE AND INLAND TEMPS INTO
THE MID 80S ON SATURDAY. TOLLESON

.LONG TERM...NO CHANGES. PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FOLLOWS...HIGH PRESSURE
WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AHEAD OF A
SHORTWAVE TROUGH...FORECAST TO COME ONSHORE SOMETIME LATE SUNDAY
NIGHT OR MONDAY MORNING. THERE IS STILL UNCERTAINTY ON THE TIME THIS
SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO OUR AREA AND THE LOCATION OF ANY ASSOCIATED
PRECIPITATION.THE WAVE IS UNRESOLVED IN THE MEAN 500-MB HEIGHT
FIELD FROM GEFS AND NAEFS...BUT THE GFS AND ECMWF BOTH HAVE IT MOVING
THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY MORNING. BEHIND THIS
SYSTEM...THE LARGE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO BUILD
IN AMPLITUDE AND WESTWARD AND WILL BECOME CENTERED OVER THE ROCKIES
BY MID-WEEK.  SOUTHWESTERLY UPPER-LEVEL FLOW AND CLEAR SKIES INLAND
WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES FAIRLY WARM OVER OUR AREA TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY. -MCCOY
&&

.AVIATION...A MIX OF VFR AND MVFR IN SCATTERED SHOWERS THIS MORNING
WILL GRADUALLY GIVE WAY TO WIDESPREAD VFR CONDITIONS TODAY. ALSO
EXPECT BREEZY SSW WINDS TO TURN WESTERLY AND SUBSIDE LATER THIS
MORNING. BY 19Z...EXPECT WE WILL SEE VFR CONDITIONS WITH INCREASING
BREAKS BETWEEN CLOUDS AND ONLY A FEW SHOWERS REMAINING. SHOULD SEE
WIDESPREAD CLEARING AFTER 03Z AS THE AIR MASS STABILIZES.

KPDX AND APPROACHES...MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS TODAY. THE ONLY EXCEPTION
MAY BE A BRIEF PERIOD OF MVFR CIGS THROUGH 18Z IN A PASSING SHOWER.
CLOUDS BREAKING UP SIGNIFICANTLY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS
EVENING. PYLE
&&

.MARINE...LOW PRES MOVED INLAND THIS MORNING AND WINDS OVER THE
COASTAL WATERS NOW SHIFTING TO THE NW. AS THE LOW MOVES FARTHER
INLAND...WINDS WILL EASE AND TURN MORE WESTERLY LATER THIS AM INTO
THIS AFTERNOON.

SEAS GENERALLY 7 TO 9 FT ON THE WATERS N AT CURRENT...WITH PERIODS
STILL SHORT AT AROUND 9 SEC. HOWEVER...EXPECT SEAS TO SUBSIDE TODAY
AND TONIGHT...WITH 4 TO 5 FT BY LATE EVENING OVER MOST OF THE WATERS.

HIGH PRES WILL THEN BUILD OVER NE PAC TONIGHT AND FRI...WITH THERMAL
LOW PRES BUILDING OVER NW CALIF. THIS WILL BRING A MORE TYPICAL
SUMMERTIME PATTERN OF GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS...AND POTENTIALLY STEEP
SEAS...ESPECIALLY S OF NEWPORT. PYLE/ROCKEY
&&

.PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...NONE.
WA...NONE.
PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS UNTIL 9 AM PDT THIS MORNING FOR
     COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER WA TO CASCADE HEAD OR OUT
     60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 9 AM PDT THIS
     MORNING FOR COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER WA TO CASCADE
     HEAD OR OUT 60 NM.

&&

$$

MORE WEATHER INFORMATION ONLINE AT...HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/PORTLAND

INTERACT WITH US VIA SOCIAL MEDIA
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/US.NATIONALWEATHERSERVICE.PORTLAND.GOV
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSPORTLAND

THIS DISCUSSION IS FOR NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON
FROM THE CASCADE CREST TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. THE AREA IS
COMMONLY REFERRED TO AS THE FORECAST AREA.



000
FXUS66 KSEW 241539
AFDSEW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
900 AM PDT THU JUL 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...PRECIPITATION OVER WESTERN WASHINGTON WILL DECREASE
TODAY AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER SOUTHEAST BRITISH COLUMBIA MOVES
INTO ALBERTA. THERE MAY BE A FEW SUN BREAKS IN THE AFTERNOON AS THE
AIR MASS BEGINS TO DRY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL START BUILDING OVER THE
REGION FRIDAY...BRINGING SUNNY WARMER WEATHER THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...A 5590 METER UPPER LOW IS OVER SOUTHEAST BRITISH
COLUMBIA THIS MORNING AND MOVING SLOWLY EAST-NORTHEAST. THE AIR MASS
OVER WESTERN WASHINGTON REMAINS QUITE MOIST...WITH MID AND HIGH
LEVEL MOISTURE WRAPPING AROUND THE NORTH SIDE OF THE LOW AND MOIST
ONSHORE FLOW AT LOW LEVELS. PRECIPITATION HAS BEEN STEADILY
DECREASING THIS MORNING THOUGH...AND AT 8 AM WAS LIMITED MAINLY TO
THE NORTHWEST INTERIOR...EVERETT AREA...AND THE CENTRAL AND NORTH
CASCADES.

THE UPPER LOW WILL MOVE INTO SOUTHERN ALBERTA LATE TODAY...AND THE
WRAP AROUND MOISTURE WILL MOVE NORTHEAST WITH IT. THE AIR MASS OVER
WESTERN WASHINGTON WILL REMAIN GENERALLY MOIST BELOW 6000 OR 7000 FT
THOUGH AS ONSHORE FLOW CONTINUES. SOME SHOWERS SHOULD CONTINUE OVER
THE CASCADES AND THERE WILL PROBABLY BE A WEAK PUGET SOUND
CONVERGENCE ZONE NORTH OF SEATTLE...BUT OUTSIDE OF THAT SHOWERS
SHOULD BE LIGHT AND SPOTTY AT MOST. THERE WILL PROBABLY BE SOME SUN
BREAKS IN THE AFTERNOON.

WESTERLY FLOW WILL PREVAIL OVER WESTERN WASHINGTON TONIGHT AS THE
LOW MOVES INTO SASKATCHEWAN...AND AN UPPER RIDGE WILL JUST BEGIN
BUILDING OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. LOW LEVEL ONSHORE FLOW WILL VEER
TO NORTHWEST...AND THE AIR MASS WILL GRADUALLY DRY. CLOUDS OVER
WESTERN WASHINGTON TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING SHOULD GIVE WAY TO
PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES FRIDAY AFTERNOON. HIGH TEMPERATURES
WILL BE BACK INTO THE 70S OVER MOST OF THE AREA.

THE UPPER RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...
WITH ITS AXIS ALONG OR JUST WEST OF THE ROCKY MOUNTAINS. THE 500 MB
HEIGHTS OVER WESTERN WASHINGTON WILL CLIMB TO AROUND 5820 METERS...
AND ONSHORE FLOW WILL BE WEAK. THERE WILL BE SOME MARINE LAYER
CLOUDS AT NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING...ESPECIALLY AT THE COAST...BUT
THE DAY WILL BE SUNNY AND WARMER YET.   MCDONNAL

.LONG TERM...HERE IS THE LONG TERM SECTION FROM THE EARLY MORNING
FORECAST DISCUSSION -- LONG RANGE MODELS ARE FAIRLY CONSISTENT IN
STRENGTHENING A LARGE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OVER THE INTERIOR WRN U.S.
SUNDAY THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. IT APPEARS THE RIDGE AXIS
WILL EXTEND THROUGH THE NRN ROCKIES WHICH SHOULD RESULT IN SW FLOW
ALOFT OVER WA. THIS UPPER FLOW PATTERN FAVORS LIGHT W-NW SURFACE
GRADIENTS WHICH MAY BRING SOME CLOUDS TO THE COAST BUT PROBABLY NOT
MAKING MUCH PROGRESS INLAND. GFS MOS GIVES LOW TO MID 80S SUNDAY
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THE ECMWF IS STRONGER AND FURTHER
WEST WITH THE RIDGE WHICH COULD RESULT IN TEMPERATURES APPROACHING
90 DEGREES. EITHER WAY IT WILL BE A BIG CHANGE IN THE PATTERN WITH
DRY WEATHER AND ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES. MERCER

&&

.AVIATION...THE UPPER LEVEL LOW NOW OVER SOUTHEAST BRITISH COLUMBIA
WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST TODAY. MODERATE NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL
DEVELOP AS AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE AREA. LOW LEVEL ONSHORE
FLOW WILL STRENGTHEN TODAY. AIR MASS IS UNSTABLE AND MOIST THIS
MORNING BUT WILL STABILIZE AND DRY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

CEILINGS ARE GENERALLY MVFR 2-3K FT THIS MORNING EXCEPT FOR SOME IFR
PATCHES MAINLY IN THE NORTH INTERIOR. THERE WILL BE AN OVERALL
IMPROVING TREND IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING...EXCEPT MESOSCALE
MODELS SHOW THE DEVELOPMENT OF A PUGET SOUND CONVERGENCE ZONE OVER
THE CENTRAL SOUND LATE IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

KSEA...MVFR CONDITIONS WITH SHOWERS WILL BECOME MORE VFR AFTER 21Z.
THERE IS SOME CHANCE A PSCZ OVER THE CENTRAL SOUND WILL AFFECT THE
TERMINAL. SOUTHWEST WIND 8-12 KT. CHB

&&

.MARINE...MODERATE ONSHORE FLOW HAS ALREADY DEVELOPED WITH SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY STRENGTH WINDS ALREADY OCCURRING IN THE STRAIT. HAVE
UPDATED THE GRIDS AND FORECASTS FOR 20-30 KT WESTERLY WINDS IN THE
STRAIT BEGINNING THIS MORNING. MODERATE NORTHWESTERLY WINDS OVER THE
OUTER COASTAL WATERS WILL EASE THIS AFTERNOON.

A MORE TYPICAL ONSHORE FLOW PATTERN WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND
WITH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WESTERLIES IN THE STRAIT POSSIBLE AT TIMES
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. CHB

&&

.SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WA...NONE.
PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY OUTER COAST...CENTRAL AND EAST STRAIT...
NORTHERN INLAND WATERS.

&&

$$

YOU CAN SEE AN ILLUSTRATED VERSION OF THE FORECAST DISCUSSION AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE/GAFD/LATEST_WEBAFD.HTML






000
FXUS66 KSEW 241539
AFDSEW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
900 AM PDT THU JUL 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...PRECIPITATION OVER WESTERN WASHINGTON WILL DECREASE
TODAY AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER SOUTHEAST BRITISH COLUMBIA MOVES
INTO ALBERTA. THERE MAY BE A FEW SUN BREAKS IN THE AFTERNOON AS THE
AIR MASS BEGINS TO DRY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL START BUILDING OVER THE
REGION FRIDAY...BRINGING SUNNY WARMER WEATHER THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...A 5590 METER UPPER LOW IS OVER SOUTHEAST BRITISH
COLUMBIA THIS MORNING AND MOVING SLOWLY EAST-NORTHEAST. THE AIR MASS
OVER WESTERN WASHINGTON REMAINS QUITE MOIST...WITH MID AND HIGH
LEVEL MOISTURE WRAPPING AROUND THE NORTH SIDE OF THE LOW AND MOIST
ONSHORE FLOW AT LOW LEVELS. PRECIPITATION HAS BEEN STEADILY
DECREASING THIS MORNING THOUGH...AND AT 8 AM WAS LIMITED MAINLY TO
THE NORTHWEST INTERIOR...EVERETT AREA...AND THE CENTRAL AND NORTH
CASCADES.

THE UPPER LOW WILL MOVE INTO SOUTHERN ALBERTA LATE TODAY...AND THE
WRAP AROUND MOISTURE WILL MOVE NORTHEAST WITH IT. THE AIR MASS OVER
WESTERN WASHINGTON WILL REMAIN GENERALLY MOIST BELOW 6000 OR 7000 FT
THOUGH AS ONSHORE FLOW CONTINUES. SOME SHOWERS SHOULD CONTINUE OVER
THE CASCADES AND THERE WILL PROBABLY BE A WEAK PUGET SOUND
CONVERGENCE ZONE NORTH OF SEATTLE...BUT OUTSIDE OF THAT SHOWERS
SHOULD BE LIGHT AND SPOTTY AT MOST. THERE WILL PROBABLY BE SOME SUN
BREAKS IN THE AFTERNOON.

WESTERLY FLOW WILL PREVAIL OVER WESTERN WASHINGTON TONIGHT AS THE
LOW MOVES INTO SASKATCHEWAN...AND AN UPPER RIDGE WILL JUST BEGIN
BUILDING OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. LOW LEVEL ONSHORE FLOW WILL VEER
TO NORTHWEST...AND THE AIR MASS WILL GRADUALLY DRY. CLOUDS OVER
WESTERN WASHINGTON TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING SHOULD GIVE WAY TO
PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES FRIDAY AFTERNOON. HIGH TEMPERATURES
WILL BE BACK INTO THE 70S OVER MOST OF THE AREA.

THE UPPER RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...
WITH ITS AXIS ALONG OR JUST WEST OF THE ROCKY MOUNTAINS. THE 500 MB
HEIGHTS OVER WESTERN WASHINGTON WILL CLIMB TO AROUND 5820 METERS...
AND ONSHORE FLOW WILL BE WEAK. THERE WILL BE SOME MARINE LAYER
CLOUDS AT NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING...ESPECIALLY AT THE COAST...BUT
THE DAY WILL BE SUNNY AND WARMER YET.   MCDONNAL

.LONG TERM...HERE IS THE LONG TERM SECTION FROM THE EARLY MORNING
FORECAST DISCUSSION -- LONG RANGE MODELS ARE FAIRLY CONSISTENT IN
STRENGTHENING A LARGE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OVER THE INTERIOR WRN U.S.
SUNDAY THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. IT APPEARS THE RIDGE AXIS
WILL EXTEND THROUGH THE NRN ROCKIES WHICH SHOULD RESULT IN SW FLOW
ALOFT OVER WA. THIS UPPER FLOW PATTERN FAVORS LIGHT W-NW SURFACE
GRADIENTS WHICH MAY BRING SOME CLOUDS TO THE COAST BUT PROBABLY NOT
MAKING MUCH PROGRESS INLAND. GFS MOS GIVES LOW TO MID 80S SUNDAY
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THE ECMWF IS STRONGER AND FURTHER
WEST WITH THE RIDGE WHICH COULD RESULT IN TEMPERATURES APPROACHING
90 DEGREES. EITHER WAY IT WILL BE A BIG CHANGE IN THE PATTERN WITH
DRY WEATHER AND ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES. MERCER

&&

.AVIATION...THE UPPER LEVEL LOW NOW OVER SOUTHEAST BRITISH COLUMBIA
WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST TODAY. MODERATE NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL
DEVELOP AS AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE AREA. LOW LEVEL ONSHORE
FLOW WILL STRENGTHEN TODAY. AIR MASS IS UNSTABLE AND MOIST THIS
MORNING BUT WILL STABILIZE AND DRY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

CEILINGS ARE GENERALLY MVFR 2-3K FT THIS MORNING EXCEPT FOR SOME IFR
PATCHES MAINLY IN THE NORTH INTERIOR. THERE WILL BE AN OVERALL
IMPROVING TREND IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING...EXCEPT MESOSCALE
MODELS SHOW THE DEVELOPMENT OF A PUGET SOUND CONVERGENCE ZONE OVER
THE CENTRAL SOUND LATE IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

KSEA...MVFR CONDITIONS WITH SHOWERS WILL BECOME MORE VFR AFTER 21Z.
THERE IS SOME CHANCE A PSCZ OVER THE CENTRAL SOUND WILL AFFECT THE
TERMINAL. SOUTHWEST WIND 8-12 KT. CHB

&&

.MARINE...MODERATE ONSHORE FLOW HAS ALREADY DEVELOPED WITH SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY STRENGTH WINDS ALREADY OCCURRING IN THE STRAIT. HAVE
UPDATED THE GRIDS AND FORECASTS FOR 20-30 KT WESTERLY WINDS IN THE
STRAIT BEGINNING THIS MORNING. MODERATE NORTHWESTERLY WINDS OVER THE
OUTER COASTAL WATERS WILL EASE THIS AFTERNOON.

A MORE TYPICAL ONSHORE FLOW PATTERN WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND
WITH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WESTERLIES IN THE STRAIT POSSIBLE AT TIMES
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. CHB

&&

.SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WA...NONE.
PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY OUTER COAST...CENTRAL AND EAST STRAIT...
NORTHERN INLAND WATERS.

&&

$$

YOU CAN SEE AN ILLUSTRATED VERSION OF THE FORECAST DISCUSSION AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE/GAFD/LATEST_WEBAFD.HTML





000
FXUS66 KOTX 241130
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
430 AM PDT THU JUL 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...Lingering showers and a few minor thunderstorms will
continue for the northern mountains today as a cold front exits
the region. Cool and breezy weather is expected today behind the
cold front. Temperatures will rebound by the weekend and be
accompanied by dry conditions. Hot weather will return to the area
on Sunday and early next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Today through Friday: The Inland Northwest will find waning
shower chances, breezy conditions and cool temperatures. Over the
next 24-hours an upper low centered over north Washington tracks
toward the Canadian Prairies. The low, and a weakening deformation
axis wrapped around it, will provide continued shower chances
across the Cascades and northern mountains. Some showers may also
impact the Highway 2 and I-90 corridor, from the Waterville
Plateau into the central Panhandle. However as the low continues
to shift northeast and drier air and large-scale subsidence moves
in behind it, shower chances will begin retreat toward the Cascade
crest and shift further into the northeast Washington and northern
Panhandle mountains and dissipate this afternoon and evening. With
a lack of significant instability, the threat of thunder will be
minimal.

A modest pressure gradient and good mixing this afternoon with
the strong subsidence will produce breezy conditions through the
day. Gusts between 25 and 35 mph will be common from Chelan county
east through the Spokane area and Palouse. Winds are expected to
abate through the evening, particularly past 8 pm or so. As for
temperatures, readings will be below normal. Regional 850mb
temperatures under the low range from the upper single digits in
the Cascades to the lower teens toward the Panhandle. This
supports high temperatures some 10-15 degree below average. This
means many areas, outside of the deeper Columbia Basin and L-C
Valley, will only see highs in the upper 60s to mid-70s.

Tonight and Friday the region transitions to a more zonal flow. A
secondary mid-level disturbance slips onshore overnight into
Friday morning, but the brunt of the lift remains north of the
Canadian border. So look for dry weather and a few clouds. Winds
will be pick up again in the afternoon as the gradients tighten
again slightly with the northern wave and increased mixing, but
speeds will be relatively lower. A few gusts between 15 to 20 mph
will be possible in the afternoon. Temperatures will remain on the
cool side of average, but overall values look about 5 degrees
milder as compared to Thursday. /J. Cote`

Friday night through Wednesday...Latest medium range GFS and ECMWF
guidance is in remarkably good agreement in depicting a return to
torrid dog-day summer conditions through the extended period. A
strong 4 corners upper high will build into the region...becoming
progressively stronger each day through Monday before stabilizing.
this will allow the establishment of a strong low level thermal
trough over the Columbia Basin which will promote hot days and
sultry overnights through Wednesday. On or about Monday a shot of
monsoonal moisture may side-swipe the southeastern zones and Idaho
Panhandle with a small threat of thunderstorms...but this is a low
confidence forecast at this point. Confidence is high that the
forecast area will return to a dry and sunny above normal/hot
stretch of summer weather this weekend through the middle of next
week. /Fugazzi


&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAFS: An exiting upper low will bring some cloudiness and a
threat of a few showers and, more notably, breezy conditions.
Local wind gusts between 25 to 35 mph will be possible this
afternoon and early evening, focused especially from 18-02Z. The
shower threat will be best across the Cascade crest and northern
mountains, away from TAF sites. However the isolated shower
cannot be ruled out this morning. Also with recent precipitation
and the low level southwest flow brief MVFR cigs are possible this
morning across the GEG/SFF/COE/PUW area. However confidence is
low and VFR conditions are depicted in TAFs. /J. Cote`

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        70  50  76  54  84  59 /  20  10   0   0   0   0
Coeur d`Alene  67  49  74  48  82  54 /  30  10   0   0   0   0
Pullman        69  46  75  44  83  50 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Lewiston       78  55  83  55  91  61 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Colville       70  49  78  48  87  53 /  30  10   0   0   0   0
Sandpoint      65  47  72  47  81  50 /  40  10   0   0   0   0
Kellogg        64  49  72  49  81  56 /  30  10   0   0   0   0
Moses Lake     76  54  83  53  89  60 /  20   0   0   0   0   0
Wenatchee      73  57  82  60  87  65 /  20   0   0   0   0   0
Omak           74  52  82  53  88  58 /  20  10   0   0   0   0

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...None.
&&

$$




000
FXUS66 KOTX 241130
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
430 AM PDT THU JUL 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...Lingering showers and a few minor thunderstorms will
continue for the northern mountains today as a cold front exits
the region. Cool and breezy weather is expected today behind the
cold front. Temperatures will rebound by the weekend and be
accompanied by dry conditions. Hot weather will return to the area
on Sunday and early next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Today through Friday: The Inland Northwest will find waning
shower chances, breezy conditions and cool temperatures. Over the
next 24-hours an upper low centered over north Washington tracks
toward the Canadian Prairies. The low, and a weakening deformation
axis wrapped around it, will provide continued shower chances
across the Cascades and northern mountains. Some showers may also
impact the Highway 2 and I-90 corridor, from the Waterville
Plateau into the central Panhandle. However as the low continues
to shift northeast and drier air and large-scale subsidence moves
in behind it, shower chances will begin retreat toward the Cascade
crest and shift further into the northeast Washington and northern
Panhandle mountains and dissipate this afternoon and evening. With
a lack of significant instability, the threat of thunder will be
minimal.

A modest pressure gradient and good mixing this afternoon with
the strong subsidence will produce breezy conditions through the
day. Gusts between 25 and 35 mph will be common from Chelan county
east through the Spokane area and Palouse. Winds are expected to
abate through the evening, particularly past 8 pm or so. As for
temperatures, readings will be below normal. Regional 850mb
temperatures under the low range from the upper single digits in
the Cascades to the lower teens toward the Panhandle. This
supports high temperatures some 10-15 degree below average. This
means many areas, outside of the deeper Columbia Basin and L-C
Valley, will only see highs in the upper 60s to mid-70s.

Tonight and Friday the region transitions to a more zonal flow. A
secondary mid-level disturbance slips onshore overnight into
Friday morning, but the brunt of the lift remains north of the
Canadian border. So look for dry weather and a few clouds. Winds
will be pick up again in the afternoon as the gradients tighten
again slightly with the northern wave and increased mixing, but
speeds will be relatively lower. A few gusts between 15 to 20 mph
will be possible in the afternoon. Temperatures will remain on the
cool side of average, but overall values look about 5 degrees
milder as compared to Thursday. /J. Cote`

Friday night through Wednesday...Latest medium range GFS and ECMWF
guidance is in remarkably good agreement in depicting a return to
torrid dog-day summer conditions through the extended period. A
strong 4 corners upper high will build into the region...becoming
progressively stronger each day through Monday before stabilizing.
this will allow the establishment of a strong low level thermal
trough over the Columbia Basin which will promote hot days and
sultry overnights through Wednesday. On or about Monday a shot of
monsoonal moisture may side-swipe the southeastern zones and Idaho
Panhandle with a small threat of thunderstorms...but this is a low
confidence forecast at this point. Confidence is high that the
forecast area will return to a dry and sunny above normal/hot
stretch of summer weather this weekend through the middle of next
week. /Fugazzi


&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAFS: An exiting upper low will bring some cloudiness and a
threat of a few showers and, more notably, breezy conditions.
Local wind gusts between 25 to 35 mph will be possible this
afternoon and early evening, focused especially from 18-02Z. The
shower threat will be best across the Cascade crest and northern
mountains, away from TAF sites. However the isolated shower
cannot be ruled out this morning. Also with recent precipitation
and the low level southwest flow brief MVFR cigs are possible this
morning across the GEG/SFF/COE/PUW area. However confidence is
low and VFR conditions are depicted in TAFs. /J. Cote`

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        70  50  76  54  84  59 /  20  10   0   0   0   0
Coeur d`Alene  67  49  74  48  82  54 /  30  10   0   0   0   0
Pullman        69  46  75  44  83  50 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Lewiston       78  55  83  55  91  61 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Colville       70  49  78  48  87  53 /  30  10   0   0   0   0
Sandpoint      65  47  72  47  81  50 /  40  10   0   0   0   0
Kellogg        64  49  72  49  81  56 /  30  10   0   0   0   0
Moses Lake     76  54  83  53  89  60 /  20   0   0   0   0   0
Wenatchee      73  57  82  60  87  65 /  20   0   0   0   0   0
Omak           74  52  82  53  88  58 /  20  10   0   0   0   0

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...None.
&&

$$





000
FXUS66 KSEW 241041
AFDSEW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
330 AM PDT THU JUL 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE OVER WASHINGTON WILL SHIFT
NORTHEASTWARD INTO SOUTHERN ALBERTA TODAY. SHOWERS THIS MORNING WILL
GRADUALLY TAPER OFF THIS AFTERNOON...EXCEPT WHERE A PUGET SOUND
CONVERGENCE ZONE DEVELOPS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION
ON FRIDAY AND DOMINATE THE PATTERN THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS
WILL MAINTAIN DRY WEATHER AND MUCH WARMER TEMPERATURES.

&&

.SHORT TERM...WATER VAPOR IMAGERY CLEARLY SHOWS THE POSITION OF THE
UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER CENTRAL WA EARLY THIS MORNING. MODELS AGREE
THAT THE MAIN LOW CENTER WILL TRACK NE AND MOVE INTO SRN ALBERTA
THIS AFTERNOON. THERE ARE STILL SEVERAL FEATURES OF INTEREST THAT
WILL AFFECT THE WEATHER TODAY EVEN AS THE LOW SHIFTS AWAY FROM THE
AREA. THE LATEST RADAR LOOP INDICATES SHOWERS ARE MOSTLY
CONCENTRATED OVER THE S COAST...SW INTERIOR...AND THROUGH PUGET
SOUND EASTWARD OVER THE CASCADES. CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED NOTABLY
OVERNIGHT WITH NO LIGHTNING STRIKES SINCE LAST EVENING INDICATING
LOWER TOPPED SHOWERS. THE VORT MAX RESPONSIBLE FOR SOME OF THE
SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL ROTATE E OF THE CASCADES EARLY THIS MORNING SO
PRECIPITATION COVERAGE SHOULD GENERALLY DECREASE. ANOTHER AREA TO
WATCH IS THE BAND OF WRAP AROUND MOISTURE/RAINFALL OVER
B.C./VANCOUVER ISLAND AND JUST BEGINNING TO AFFECT THE EXTREME N
INTERIOR. THE WRFGFS APPEARS TO MATCH UP BEST WITH CURRENT RADAR
TRENDS AND IS WETTER ACROSS THE N INTERIOR THIS MORNING. DECIDED TO
GO WITH A BLEND OF MOS POPS WEIGHTED TOWARD THE WRFGFS
IDEA...CATEGORICAL ACROSS THE N AND LIKELY POPS SOUTH.

SHOWERS WILL GENERALLY BE ON THE DECREASE THIS AFTERNOON BUT MOIST
ONSHORE FLOW WILL MAINTAIN SHOWERS IN THE MOUNTAINS. CHANCE POPS
SHOULD SUFFICE FOR MOST OF THE LOWLANDS WITH LOSS OF DYNAMICS AND
COOL TEMPERATURES LIMITING DIURNAL CONVECTION. HOWEVER...BOTH THE
NAM-12 AND WRFGFS DEVELOP A PUGET SOUND CONVERGENCE ZONE DURING THE
AFTERNOON AS THE FLOW THROUGH THE STRAIT EXTENDS INTO THE N SOUND
AND ENCOUNTERS THE SOUTHERLIES. BOTH THE NAM AND WRFGFS INDICATE THE
CONVERGENCE ZONE WILL GET GOING DURING THE AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE
THROUGH THE EVENING. NOT ALL MODELS SHOW THE CONVERGENCE ZONE
LASTING INTO THE EVENING AND EVEN THE NAM-12 HAS NOT BEEN CONSISTENT
FROM RUN TO RUN. WILL OPT TO LEAVE THE EVENING FORECAST UNCHANGED
AND ALLOW THE NEXT SHIFT TO FINE TUNE THE TIMING AND POPS.

MOIST WESTERLY FLOW CONTINUES INTO FRIDAY. THERE COULD BE A FEW
SHOWERS IN THE MOUNTAINS BUT IT WILL BE DRY FOR MOST THE AREA. MOST
AREAS WILL GET SOME SUNSHINE IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS WILL WARM UP
INTO THE LOW TO MID 70S...EXCEPT COOLER ALONG THE COAST/STRAIT.
UPPER HEIGHTS RISE FRIDAY NIGHT AS THE FOUR CORNERS HIGHS NUDGES
NWD. THE RIDGE WILL PROVIDE A STRETCH OF DRY WEATHER AND WARMING
TEMPERATURES. HIGHS ON SATURDAY COULD REACH CLOSE TO 80...ABOUT 15
DEGREES WARMER THAN WEDNESDAY`S CHILLY HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.

.LONG TERM...LONG RANGE MODELS ARE FAIRLY CONSISTENT IN
STRENGTHENING A LARGE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OVER THE INTERIOR WRN U.S.
SUNDAY THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. IT APPEARS THE RIDGE AXIS
WILL EXTEND THROUGH THE NRN ROCKIES WHICH SHOULD RESULT IN SW FLOW
ALOFT OVER WA. THIS UPPER FLOW PATTERN FAVORS LIGHT W-NW SURFACE
GRADIENTS WHICH MAY BRING SOME CLOUDS TO THE COAST BUT PROBABLY NOT
MAKING MUCH PROGRESS INLAND. GFS MOS GIVES LOW TO MID 80S SUNDAY
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THE ECMWF IS STRONGER AND FURTHER
WEST WITH THE RIDGE WHICH COULD RESULT IN TEMPERATURES APPROACHING
90 DEGREES. EITHER WAY IT WILL BE A BIG CHANGE IN THE PATTERN WITH
DRY WEATHER AND ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES. MERCER

&&

.AVIATION...THE UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE WASHINGTON COAST WILL
CONTINUE TO LIFT NORTH AND EAST INTO EASTERN BRITISH COLUMBIA THIS
MORNING. LIGHT FLOW ALOFT WILL BECOME NORTHWEST AND STRENGTHEN AS
THE UPPER LEVEL LOW SHIFTS TO THE NORTHEAST. LOW LEVEL ONSHORE FLOW
WILL STRENGTHEN THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

THE AIR MASS OVER WESTERN WASHINGTON WILL REMAIN UNSTABLE AND MOIST
THIS MORNING WITH SHOWERS PERSISTING AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVES
INLAND. VFR CONDITIONS WILL GENERALLY LOWER EARLY THIS MORNING TO
MVFR LEVELS WITH SOME IMPROVEMENT DURING THE AFTERNOON
HOURS. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE IN AREAS WITH LINGERING
SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY OVER THE NORTH AS WRAP AROUND MOISTURE AND
UPPER LEVEL DYNAMICS CONTINUE TO WORK THEIR WAY AROUND THE UPPER
LEVEL LOW AND INTO THE AREA. IN ADDITION...MESOSCALE MODELS SHOWING
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A PSCZ OVER THE CENTRAL SOUND LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

KSEA...VFR CONDITIONS WILL LOWER TO MVFR LEVELS OVER THE NEXT FEW
HOURS. EXPECT SHOWERS TO LINGER THROUGH THE MORNING WITH SOME
IMPROVEMENT IN THE AFTERNOON. MESOSCALE MODELS SHOWING PSCZ FORMING
OVER THE CENTRAL SOUND DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS WITH
SOME CHANCE THAT IT WILL AFFECT THE METRO TERMINALS. SOUTH WINDS 8
TO 10 KT WILL BECOME SOUTHWEST BY MIDDAY.

&&

.MARINE...THE SURFACE LOW MOVING ONSHORE THIS MORNING WILL WEAKEN
AND CONTINUE TO MOVE INLAND. MODERATE NORTHWESTERLY WINDS OVER THE
OUTER COASTAL WATERS WILL EASE THIS AFTERNOON...WHILE THE ONSHORE
FLOW THROUGH THE STRAIT WILL STRENGTHEN THIS AFTERNOON PRODUCING
15-25 KT WESTERLIES THROUGH THE CENTRAL AND EAST STRAIT THROUGH
TONIGHT. SIMILARLY SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SOUTHWESTERLIES WILL AFFECT
THE NORTHERN INLAND WATERS THIS EVENING BEFORE EASING AFTER
MIDNIGHT.

A MORE TYPICAL ONSHORE FLOW PATTERN WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND
WITH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WESTERLIES IN THE STRAIT AT
TIMES...ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.

&&

.SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WA...NONE.
PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY OUTER COASTAL WATERS...CENTRAL AND EAST
     STRAIT...NORTHERN INLAND WATERS.

&&

$$

YOU CAN SEE AN ILLUSTRATED VERSION OF THE FORECAST DISCUSSION AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE/GAFD/LATEST_WEBAFD.HTML











000
FXUS66 KSEW 241041
AFDSEW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
330 AM PDT THU JUL 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE OVER WASHINGTON WILL SHIFT
NORTHEASTWARD INTO SOUTHERN ALBERTA TODAY. SHOWERS THIS MORNING WILL
GRADUALLY TAPER OFF THIS AFTERNOON...EXCEPT WHERE A PUGET SOUND
CONVERGENCE ZONE DEVELOPS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION
ON FRIDAY AND DOMINATE THE PATTERN THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS
WILL MAINTAIN DRY WEATHER AND MUCH WARMER TEMPERATURES.

&&

.SHORT TERM...WATER VAPOR IMAGERY CLEARLY SHOWS THE POSITION OF THE
UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER CENTRAL WA EARLY THIS MORNING. MODELS AGREE
THAT THE MAIN LOW CENTER WILL TRACK NE AND MOVE INTO SRN ALBERTA
THIS AFTERNOON. THERE ARE STILL SEVERAL FEATURES OF INTEREST THAT
WILL AFFECT THE WEATHER TODAY EVEN AS THE LOW SHIFTS AWAY FROM THE
AREA. THE LATEST RADAR LOOP INDICATES SHOWERS ARE MOSTLY
CONCENTRATED OVER THE S COAST...SW INTERIOR...AND THROUGH PUGET
SOUND EASTWARD OVER THE CASCADES. CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED NOTABLY
OVERNIGHT WITH NO LIGHTNING STRIKES SINCE LAST EVENING INDICATING
LOWER TOPPED SHOWERS. THE VORT MAX RESPONSIBLE FOR SOME OF THE
SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL ROTATE E OF THE CASCADES EARLY THIS MORNING SO
PRECIPITATION COVERAGE SHOULD GENERALLY DECREASE. ANOTHER AREA TO
WATCH IS THE BAND OF WRAP AROUND MOISTURE/RAINFALL OVER
B.C./VANCOUVER ISLAND AND JUST BEGINNING TO AFFECT THE EXTREME N
INTERIOR. THE WRFGFS APPEARS TO MATCH UP BEST WITH CURRENT RADAR
TRENDS AND IS WETTER ACROSS THE N INTERIOR THIS MORNING. DECIDED TO
GO WITH A BLEND OF MOS POPS WEIGHTED TOWARD THE WRFGFS
IDEA...CATEGORICAL ACROSS THE N AND LIKELY POPS SOUTH.

SHOWERS WILL GENERALLY BE ON THE DECREASE THIS AFTERNOON BUT MOIST
ONSHORE FLOW WILL MAINTAIN SHOWERS IN THE MOUNTAINS. CHANCE POPS
SHOULD SUFFICE FOR MOST OF THE LOWLANDS WITH LOSS OF DYNAMICS AND
COOL TEMPERATURES LIMITING DIURNAL CONVECTION. HOWEVER...BOTH THE
NAM-12 AND WRFGFS DEVELOP A PUGET SOUND CONVERGENCE ZONE DURING THE
AFTERNOON AS THE FLOW THROUGH THE STRAIT EXTENDS INTO THE N SOUND
AND ENCOUNTERS THE SOUTHERLIES. BOTH THE NAM AND WRFGFS INDICATE THE
CONVERGENCE ZONE WILL GET GOING DURING THE AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE
THROUGH THE EVENING. NOT ALL MODELS SHOW THE CONVERGENCE ZONE
LASTING INTO THE EVENING AND EVEN THE NAM-12 HAS NOT BEEN CONSISTENT
FROM RUN TO RUN. WILL OPT TO LEAVE THE EVENING FORECAST UNCHANGED
AND ALLOW THE NEXT SHIFT TO FINE TUNE THE TIMING AND POPS.

MOIST WESTERLY FLOW CONTINUES INTO FRIDAY. THERE COULD BE A FEW
SHOWERS IN THE MOUNTAINS BUT IT WILL BE DRY FOR MOST THE AREA. MOST
AREAS WILL GET SOME SUNSHINE IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS WILL WARM UP
INTO THE LOW TO MID 70S...EXCEPT COOLER ALONG THE COAST/STRAIT.
UPPER HEIGHTS RISE FRIDAY NIGHT AS THE FOUR CORNERS HIGHS NUDGES
NWD. THE RIDGE WILL PROVIDE A STRETCH OF DRY WEATHER AND WARMING
TEMPERATURES. HIGHS ON SATURDAY COULD REACH CLOSE TO 80...ABOUT 15
DEGREES WARMER THAN WEDNESDAY`S CHILLY HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.

.LONG TERM...LONG RANGE MODELS ARE FAIRLY CONSISTENT IN
STRENGTHENING A LARGE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OVER THE INTERIOR WRN U.S.
SUNDAY THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. IT APPEARS THE RIDGE AXIS
WILL EXTEND THROUGH THE NRN ROCKIES WHICH SHOULD RESULT IN SW FLOW
ALOFT OVER WA. THIS UPPER FLOW PATTERN FAVORS LIGHT W-NW SURFACE
GRADIENTS WHICH MAY BRING SOME CLOUDS TO THE COAST BUT PROBABLY NOT
MAKING MUCH PROGRESS INLAND. GFS MOS GIVES LOW TO MID 80S SUNDAY
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THE ECMWF IS STRONGER AND FURTHER
WEST WITH THE RIDGE WHICH COULD RESULT IN TEMPERATURES APPROACHING
90 DEGREES. EITHER WAY IT WILL BE A BIG CHANGE IN THE PATTERN WITH
DRY WEATHER AND ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES. MERCER

&&

.AVIATION...THE UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE WASHINGTON COAST WILL
CONTINUE TO LIFT NORTH AND EAST INTO EASTERN BRITISH COLUMBIA THIS
MORNING. LIGHT FLOW ALOFT WILL BECOME NORTHWEST AND STRENGTHEN AS
THE UPPER LEVEL LOW SHIFTS TO THE NORTHEAST. LOW LEVEL ONSHORE FLOW
WILL STRENGTHEN THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

THE AIR MASS OVER WESTERN WASHINGTON WILL REMAIN UNSTABLE AND MOIST
THIS MORNING WITH SHOWERS PERSISTING AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVES
INLAND. VFR CONDITIONS WILL GENERALLY LOWER EARLY THIS MORNING TO
MVFR LEVELS WITH SOME IMPROVEMENT DURING THE AFTERNOON
HOURS. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE IN AREAS WITH LINGERING
SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY OVER THE NORTH AS WRAP AROUND MOISTURE AND
UPPER LEVEL DYNAMICS CONTINUE TO WORK THEIR WAY AROUND THE UPPER
LEVEL LOW AND INTO THE AREA. IN ADDITION...MESOSCALE MODELS SHOWING
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A PSCZ OVER THE CENTRAL SOUND LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

KSEA...VFR CONDITIONS WILL LOWER TO MVFR LEVELS OVER THE NEXT FEW
HOURS. EXPECT SHOWERS TO LINGER THROUGH THE MORNING WITH SOME
IMPROVEMENT IN THE AFTERNOON. MESOSCALE MODELS SHOWING PSCZ FORMING
OVER THE CENTRAL SOUND DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS WITH
SOME CHANCE THAT IT WILL AFFECT THE METRO TERMINALS. SOUTH WINDS 8
TO 10 KT WILL BECOME SOUTHWEST BY MIDDAY.

&&

.MARINE...THE SURFACE LOW MOVING ONSHORE THIS MORNING WILL WEAKEN
AND CONTINUE TO MOVE INLAND. MODERATE NORTHWESTERLY WINDS OVER THE
OUTER COASTAL WATERS WILL EASE THIS AFTERNOON...WHILE THE ONSHORE
FLOW THROUGH THE STRAIT WILL STRENGTHEN THIS AFTERNOON PRODUCING
15-25 KT WESTERLIES THROUGH THE CENTRAL AND EAST STRAIT THROUGH
TONIGHT. SIMILARLY SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SOUTHWESTERLIES WILL AFFECT
THE NORTHERN INLAND WATERS THIS EVENING BEFORE EASING AFTER
MIDNIGHT.

A MORE TYPICAL ONSHORE FLOW PATTERN WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND
WITH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WESTERLIES IN THE STRAIT AT
TIMES...ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.

&&

.SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WA...NONE.
PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY OUTER COASTAL WATERS...CENTRAL AND EAST
     STRAIT...NORTHERN INLAND WATERS.

&&

$$

YOU CAN SEE AN ILLUSTRATED VERSION OF THE FORECAST DISCUSSION AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE/GAFD/LATEST_WEBAFD.HTML












000
FXUS66 KPQR 240938
AFDPQR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
237 AM PDT THU JUL 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THAT WAS OVER WESTERN WA EARLY
THU MORNING WILL MOVE QUICKLY E TODAY. AFTER THE LOW DEPARTS...AN
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL SLOWLY BUILD OVER THE WESTERN STATES...
RESULTING IN A RETURN TO DRY WEATHER WITH WARMING TEMPS THROUGH THE
REST OF THE WEEK AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
&&

.SHORT TERM...WATER VAPOR PICTURES SHOWED AN UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER
WESTERN WA EARLY THIS MORNING WITH A VORT MAX WRAPPING AROUND THE
BASE OF THE LOW PUSHING INTO NW OREGON. MOST OF THE REMAINING RAIN
SHOWERS WERE AHEAD OF THE VORT LOBE OVER NW OREGON AND SW WA. THERE
IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR SHOWERS LINGERING TODAY IN THE WRAP AROUND
MOISTURE ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE LOW TODAY...BUT OVERALL EXPECT
SHOWERS TO DECREASE QUICKLY THIS MORNING AS THE LOW ACCELERATES
EASTWARD. TEMPS AGAIN WILL BE BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS TODAY...WITH
MODELS GENERALLY SHOWING MODEST WARMING AT H8 TO AROUND 8 DEG C BY
00Z FRI.

A MORE CLIMATOLOGICALLY NORMAL PATTERN RETURNS TONIGHT AND IN
GENERAL REMAINS THROUGH SAT AS HIGH PRES OFFSHORE TURNS THE LOW
LEVEL FLOW BACK TO THE NW...AND THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW GOES FROM W
TONIGHT TO SW BY SAT WITH SLOWLY BUILDING HEIGHTS IN RESPONSE TO A
SLOWLY STRENGTHENING UPPER RIDGE OFF TO THE E. MARINE CLOUDS WILL
TEND TOWARDS A PATTERN OF RETREATING TO THE COAST IN THE AFTERNOONS
FRI AND SAT...AND LOCALLY PUSHING INLAND ESP UP THE LOWER COLUMBIA
DURING THE LATE NIGHT AND MORNING HOURS. THE ONLY EXCEPTION TO THE
DRY WEATHER DEPICTED BY THE MODELS IS SOME LIGHT QPF SEEN IN NAM AND
TO A LESSER EXTENT THE GFS LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY FRI. THIS APPEARS
TO COME FROM SOME WEAK OOIST ISENTROPIC LIFT DEPICTED ALONG THE 290K
ISENTROPE IN THE MARINE LAYER OF THOSE MODELS 12Z FRI MORNING.
ALTHOUGH WEAK LOOKING...SINCE BOTH NAM AND GFS INDICATE THIS...WILL
ADD CHANCE FOR SOME DRIZZLE BUT WITH JUST 10 PERCENT POPS FOR THE
FAR N PART OF THE COAST FRI MORNING. WITH RISING HEIGHTS ALOFT AND
SHALLOWER MARINE INFLUENCE...WILL SEE DAYTIME TEMPS CLIMB ABOVE
NORMAL BY SAT.

.LONG TERM...NO CHANGES. PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FOLLOWS...HIGH PRESSURE
WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AHEAD OF A
SHORTWAVE TROUGH...FORECAST TO COME ONSHORE SOMETIME LATE SUNDAY
NIGHT OR MONDAY MORNING. THERE IS STILL UNCERTAINTY ON THE TIME THIS
SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO OUR AREA AND THE LOCATION OF ANY ASSOCIATED
PRECIPITATION.THE WAVE IS UNRESOLVED IN THE MEAN 500-MB HEIGHT
FIELD FROM GEFS AND NAEFS...BUT THE GFS AND ECMWF BOTH HAVE IT MOVING
THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY MORNING. BEHIND THIS
SYSTEM...THE LARGE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO BUILD
IN AMPLITUDE AND WESTWARD AND WILL BECOME CENTERED OVER THE ROCKIES
BY MID-WEEK.  SOUTHWESTERLY UPPER-LEVEL FLOW AND CLEAR SKIES INLAND
WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES FAIRLY WARM OVER OUR AREA TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY. -MCCOY
&&

.AVIATION...VFR ACROSS THE REGION...BUT MVFR CIGS ALONG THE COAST
WITH POCKETS OF MVFR INLAND N OF A KMMV TO KPDX LINE...THOUGH
WORST CONDITIONS OVER INLAND SW WASHINGTON. SEVERAL BANDS OF
SHOWERS ROTATING INLAND N OF A KONP TO KSLE LINE. THESE SHOWERS
WILL DECREASE AFT 13Z OR 14Z. BY 19Z...WILL SEE VFR CONDITIONS
WITH INCREASING BREAKS BETWEEN CLOUDS AND ONLY A FEW SHOWERS.
SHOULD SEE WIDESPREAD CLEARING AFTER 03Z AS AIR MASS STABILIZES.

KPDX AND APPROACHES...VFR CONDITIONS TODAY...WITH SHOWERS
THROUGH 15Z. CIGS WILL OCCASIONALLY LOWER TO 2500 FT DURING THAT
TIME. CLOUDS BREAKING UP SIGNIFICANTLY AFTER 20Z.     ROCKEY.
&&

.MARINE...LOW PRES CONTINUES TO WORK INLAND OVER W WASHINGTON.
THIS MAINTAINING GUSTY S TO SW WINDS ON THE COASTAL WATERS N OF
CASCADE HEAD...WITH GUSTS 25 KT THROUGH 9 AM. AS THE LOW MOVES
FURTHER INLAND...WINDS WILL EASE AND TURN MORE WESTERLY LATER THIS
AM INTO THIS AFTERNOON.

SEAS GENERALLY 7 TO 9 FT ON THE WATERS N OF CASCADE HEAD THIS
AM...WITH SEAS 5 TO 7 FT TO THE S. PERIODS STILL SHORT...GENERALLY
AROUND 8 SEC. SO WILL MAINTAIN SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR STEEP
CHOPPY SEAS ON WATERS BETWEEN CAPE SHOALWATER AND CASCADE HEAD
UNTIL 9 AM. LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT...SEAS WILL SUBSIDE...WITH 4
TO 5 FT BY LATE EVENING ON MOST WATERS.

HIGH PRES WILL THEN BUILD OVER NE PAC TONIGHT AND FRI...WITH
THERMAL LOW PRES BUILDING OVER NW CALIF. THIS WILL BRING A MORE
TYPICAL SUMMERTIME PATTERN OF GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS...AND
POTENTIALLY STEEP SEAS...ESPECIALLY S OF NEWPORT.   ROCKEY.
&&

.PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...NONE.
WA...NONE.
PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS THIS MORNING ON ALL
         COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER TO CASCADE HEAD.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 9 AM TODAY
         ON COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER TO CASCADE HEAD.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH COLUMBIA BAR CONDITIONS
         UNTIL 6 AM TODAY.
&&

$$

MORE WEATHER INFORMATION ONLINE AT...HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/PORTLAND

INTERACT WITH US VIA SOCIAL MEDIA
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/US.NATIONALWEATHERSERVICE.PORTLAND.GOV
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSPORTLAND

THIS DISCUSSION IS FOR NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON
FROM THE CASCADE CREST TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. THE AREA IS
COMMONLY REFERRED TO AS THE FORECAST AREA.



000
FXUS66 KPQR 240938
AFDPQR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
237 AM PDT THU JUL 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THAT WAS OVER WESTERN WA EARLY
THU MORNING WILL MOVE QUICKLY E TODAY. AFTER THE LOW DEPARTS...AN
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL SLOWLY BUILD OVER THE WESTERN STATES...
RESULTING IN A RETURN TO DRY WEATHER WITH WARMING TEMPS THROUGH THE
REST OF THE WEEK AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
&&

.SHORT TERM...WATER VAPOR PICTURES SHOWED AN UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER
WESTERN WA EARLY THIS MORNING WITH A VORT MAX WRAPPING AROUND THE
BASE OF THE LOW PUSHING INTO NW OREGON. MOST OF THE REMAINING RAIN
SHOWERS WERE AHEAD OF THE VORT LOBE OVER NW OREGON AND SW WA. THERE
IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR SHOWERS LINGERING TODAY IN THE WRAP AROUND
MOISTURE ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE LOW TODAY...BUT OVERALL EXPECT
SHOWERS TO DECREASE QUICKLY THIS MORNING AS THE LOW ACCELERATES
EASTWARD. TEMPS AGAIN WILL BE BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS TODAY...WITH
MODELS GENERALLY SHOWING MODEST WARMING AT H8 TO AROUND 8 DEG C BY
00Z FRI.

A MORE CLIMATOLOGICALLY NORMAL PATTERN RETURNS TONIGHT AND IN
GENERAL REMAINS THROUGH SAT AS HIGH PRES OFFSHORE TURNS THE LOW
LEVEL FLOW BACK TO THE NW...AND THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW GOES FROM W
TONIGHT TO SW BY SAT WITH SLOWLY BUILDING HEIGHTS IN RESPONSE TO A
SLOWLY STRENGTHENING UPPER RIDGE OFF TO THE E. MARINE CLOUDS WILL
TEND TOWARDS A PATTERN OF RETREATING TO THE COAST IN THE AFTERNOONS
FRI AND SAT...AND LOCALLY PUSHING INLAND ESP UP THE LOWER COLUMBIA
DURING THE LATE NIGHT AND MORNING HOURS. THE ONLY EXCEPTION TO THE
DRY WEATHER DEPICTED BY THE MODELS IS SOME LIGHT QPF SEEN IN NAM AND
TO A LESSER EXTENT THE GFS LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY FRI. THIS APPEARS
TO COME FROM SOME WEAK OOIST ISENTROPIC LIFT DEPICTED ALONG THE 290K
ISENTROPE IN THE MARINE LAYER OF THOSE MODELS 12Z FRI MORNING.
ALTHOUGH WEAK LOOKING...SINCE BOTH NAM AND GFS INDICATE THIS...WILL
ADD CHANCE FOR SOME DRIZZLE BUT WITH JUST 10 PERCENT POPS FOR THE
FAR N PART OF THE COAST FRI MORNING. WITH RISING HEIGHTS ALOFT AND
SHALLOWER MARINE INFLUENCE...WILL SEE DAYTIME TEMPS CLIMB ABOVE
NORMAL BY SAT.

.LONG TERM...NO CHANGES. PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FOLLOWS...HIGH PRESSURE
WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AHEAD OF A
SHORTWAVE TROUGH...FORECAST TO COME ONSHORE SOMETIME LATE SUNDAY
NIGHT OR MONDAY MORNING. THERE IS STILL UNCERTAINTY ON THE TIME THIS
SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO OUR AREA AND THE LOCATION OF ANY ASSOCIATED
PRECIPITATION.THE WAVE IS UNRESOLVED IN THE MEAN 500-MB HEIGHT
FIELD FROM GEFS AND NAEFS...BUT THE GFS AND ECMWF BOTH HAVE IT MOVING
THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY MORNING. BEHIND THIS
SYSTEM...THE LARGE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO BUILD
IN AMPLITUDE AND WESTWARD AND WILL BECOME CENTERED OVER THE ROCKIES
BY MID-WEEK.  SOUTHWESTERLY UPPER-LEVEL FLOW AND CLEAR SKIES INLAND
WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES FAIRLY WARM OVER OUR AREA TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY. -MCCOY
&&

.AVIATION...VFR ACROSS THE REGION...BUT MVFR CIGS ALONG THE COAST
WITH POCKETS OF MVFR INLAND N OF A KMMV TO KPDX LINE...THOUGH
WORST CONDITIONS OVER INLAND SW WASHINGTON. SEVERAL BANDS OF
SHOWERS ROTATING INLAND N OF A KONP TO KSLE LINE. THESE SHOWERS
WILL DECREASE AFT 13Z OR 14Z. BY 19Z...WILL SEE VFR CONDITIONS
WITH INCREASING BREAKS BETWEEN CLOUDS AND ONLY A FEW SHOWERS.
SHOULD SEE WIDESPREAD CLEARING AFTER 03Z AS AIR MASS STABILIZES.

KPDX AND APPROACHES...VFR CONDITIONS TODAY...WITH SHOWERS
THROUGH 15Z. CIGS WILL OCCASIONALLY LOWER TO 2500 FT DURING THAT
TIME. CLOUDS BREAKING UP SIGNIFICANTLY AFTER 20Z.     ROCKEY.
&&

.MARINE...LOW PRES CONTINUES TO WORK INLAND OVER W WASHINGTON.
THIS MAINTAINING GUSTY S TO SW WINDS ON THE COASTAL WATERS N OF
CASCADE HEAD...WITH GUSTS 25 KT THROUGH 9 AM. AS THE LOW MOVES
FURTHER INLAND...WINDS WILL EASE AND TURN MORE WESTERLY LATER THIS
AM INTO THIS AFTERNOON.

SEAS GENERALLY 7 TO 9 FT ON THE WATERS N OF CASCADE HEAD THIS
AM...WITH SEAS 5 TO 7 FT TO THE S. PERIODS STILL SHORT...GENERALLY
AROUND 8 SEC. SO WILL MAINTAIN SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR STEEP
CHOPPY SEAS ON WATERS BETWEEN CAPE SHOALWATER AND CASCADE HEAD
UNTIL 9 AM. LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT...SEAS WILL SUBSIDE...WITH 4
TO 5 FT BY LATE EVENING ON MOST WATERS.

HIGH PRES WILL THEN BUILD OVER NE PAC TONIGHT AND FRI...WITH
THERMAL LOW PRES BUILDING OVER NW CALIF. THIS WILL BRING A MORE
TYPICAL SUMMERTIME PATTERN OF GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS...AND
POTENTIALLY STEEP SEAS...ESPECIALLY S OF NEWPORT.   ROCKEY.
&&

.PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...NONE.
WA...NONE.
PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS THIS MORNING ON ALL
         COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER TO CASCADE HEAD.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 9 AM TODAY
         ON COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER TO CASCADE HEAD.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH COLUMBIA BAR CONDITIONS
         UNTIL 6 AM TODAY.
&&

$$

MORE WEATHER INFORMATION ONLINE AT...HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/PORTLAND

INTERACT WITH US VIA SOCIAL MEDIA
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/US.NATIONALWEATHERSERVICE.PORTLAND.GOV
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSPORTLAND

THIS DISCUSSION IS FOR NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON
FROM THE CASCADE CREST TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. THE AREA IS
COMMONLY REFERRED TO AS THE FORECAST AREA.




000
FXUS66 KPQR 240938
AFDPQR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
237 AM PDT THU JUL 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THAT WAS OVER WESTERN WA EARLY
THU MORNING WILL MOVE QUICKLY E TODAY. AFTER THE LOW DEPARTS...AN
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL SLOWLY BUILD OVER THE WESTERN STATES...
RESULTING IN A RETURN TO DRY WEATHER WITH WARMING TEMPS THROUGH THE
REST OF THE WEEK AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
&&

.SHORT TERM...WATER VAPOR PICTURES SHOWED AN UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER
WESTERN WA EARLY THIS MORNING WITH A VORT MAX WRAPPING AROUND THE
BASE OF THE LOW PUSHING INTO NW OREGON. MOST OF THE REMAINING RAIN
SHOWERS WERE AHEAD OF THE VORT LOBE OVER NW OREGON AND SW WA. THERE
IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR SHOWERS LINGERING TODAY IN THE WRAP AROUND
MOISTURE ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE LOW TODAY...BUT OVERALL EXPECT
SHOWERS TO DECREASE QUICKLY THIS MORNING AS THE LOW ACCELERATES
EASTWARD. TEMPS AGAIN WILL BE BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS TODAY...WITH
MODELS GENERALLY SHOWING MODEST WARMING AT H8 TO AROUND 8 DEG C BY
00Z FRI.

A MORE CLIMATOLOGICALLY NORMAL PATTERN RETURNS TONIGHT AND IN
GENERAL REMAINS THROUGH SAT AS HIGH PRES OFFSHORE TURNS THE LOW
LEVEL FLOW BACK TO THE NW...AND THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW GOES FROM W
TONIGHT TO SW BY SAT WITH SLOWLY BUILDING HEIGHTS IN RESPONSE TO A
SLOWLY STRENGTHENING UPPER RIDGE OFF TO THE E. MARINE CLOUDS WILL
TEND TOWARDS A PATTERN OF RETREATING TO THE COAST IN THE AFTERNOONS
FRI AND SAT...AND LOCALLY PUSHING INLAND ESP UP THE LOWER COLUMBIA
DURING THE LATE NIGHT AND MORNING HOURS. THE ONLY EXCEPTION TO THE
DRY WEATHER DEPICTED BY THE MODELS IS SOME LIGHT QPF SEEN IN NAM AND
TO A LESSER EXTENT THE GFS LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY FRI. THIS APPEARS
TO COME FROM SOME WEAK OOIST ISENTROPIC LIFT DEPICTED ALONG THE 290K
ISENTROPE IN THE MARINE LAYER OF THOSE MODELS 12Z FRI MORNING.
ALTHOUGH WEAK LOOKING...SINCE BOTH NAM AND GFS INDICATE THIS...WILL
ADD CHANCE FOR SOME DRIZZLE BUT WITH JUST 10 PERCENT POPS FOR THE
FAR N PART OF THE COAST FRI MORNING. WITH RISING HEIGHTS ALOFT AND
SHALLOWER MARINE INFLUENCE...WILL SEE DAYTIME TEMPS CLIMB ABOVE
NORMAL BY SAT.

.LONG TERM...NO CHANGES. PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FOLLOWS...HIGH PRESSURE
WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AHEAD OF A
SHORTWAVE TROUGH...FORECAST TO COME ONSHORE SOMETIME LATE SUNDAY
NIGHT OR MONDAY MORNING. THERE IS STILL UNCERTAINTY ON THE TIME THIS
SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO OUR AREA AND THE LOCATION OF ANY ASSOCIATED
PRECIPITATION.THE WAVE IS UNRESOLVED IN THE MEAN 500-MB HEIGHT
FIELD FROM GEFS AND NAEFS...BUT THE GFS AND ECMWF BOTH HAVE IT MOVING
THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY MORNING. BEHIND THIS
SYSTEM...THE LARGE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO BUILD
IN AMPLITUDE AND WESTWARD AND WILL BECOME CENTERED OVER THE ROCKIES
BY MID-WEEK.  SOUTHWESTERLY UPPER-LEVEL FLOW AND CLEAR SKIES INLAND
WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES FAIRLY WARM OVER OUR AREA TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY. -MCCOY
&&

.AVIATION...VFR ACROSS THE REGION...BUT MVFR CIGS ALONG THE COAST
WITH POCKETS OF MVFR INLAND N OF A KMMV TO KPDX LINE...THOUGH
WORST CONDITIONS OVER INLAND SW WASHINGTON. SEVERAL BANDS OF
SHOWERS ROTATING INLAND N OF A KONP TO KSLE LINE. THESE SHOWERS
WILL DECREASE AFT 13Z OR 14Z. BY 19Z...WILL SEE VFR CONDITIONS
WITH INCREASING BREAKS BETWEEN CLOUDS AND ONLY A FEW SHOWERS.
SHOULD SEE WIDESPREAD CLEARING AFTER 03Z AS AIR MASS STABILIZES.

KPDX AND APPROACHES...VFR CONDITIONS TODAY...WITH SHOWERS
THROUGH 15Z. CIGS WILL OCCASIONALLY LOWER TO 2500 FT DURING THAT
TIME. CLOUDS BREAKING UP SIGNIFICANTLY AFTER 20Z.     ROCKEY.
&&

.MARINE...LOW PRES CONTINUES TO WORK INLAND OVER W WASHINGTON.
THIS MAINTAINING GUSTY S TO SW WINDS ON THE COASTAL WATERS N OF
CASCADE HEAD...WITH GUSTS 25 KT THROUGH 9 AM. AS THE LOW MOVES
FURTHER INLAND...WINDS WILL EASE AND TURN MORE WESTERLY LATER THIS
AM INTO THIS AFTERNOON.

SEAS GENERALLY 7 TO 9 FT ON THE WATERS N OF CASCADE HEAD THIS
AM...WITH SEAS 5 TO 7 FT TO THE S. PERIODS STILL SHORT...GENERALLY
AROUND 8 SEC. SO WILL MAINTAIN SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR STEEP
CHOPPY SEAS ON WATERS BETWEEN CAPE SHOALWATER AND CASCADE HEAD
UNTIL 9 AM. LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT...SEAS WILL SUBSIDE...WITH 4
TO 5 FT BY LATE EVENING ON MOST WATERS.

HIGH PRES WILL THEN BUILD OVER NE PAC TONIGHT AND FRI...WITH
THERMAL LOW PRES BUILDING OVER NW CALIF. THIS WILL BRING A MORE
TYPICAL SUMMERTIME PATTERN OF GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS...AND
POTENTIALLY STEEP SEAS...ESPECIALLY S OF NEWPORT.   ROCKEY.
&&

.PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...NONE.
WA...NONE.
PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS THIS MORNING ON ALL
         COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER TO CASCADE HEAD.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 9 AM TODAY
         ON COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER TO CASCADE HEAD.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH COLUMBIA BAR CONDITIONS
         UNTIL 6 AM TODAY.
&&

$$

MORE WEATHER INFORMATION ONLINE AT...HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/PORTLAND

INTERACT WITH US VIA SOCIAL MEDIA
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/US.NATIONALWEATHERSERVICE.PORTLAND.GOV
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSPORTLAND

THIS DISCUSSION IS FOR NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON
FROM THE CASCADE CREST TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. THE AREA IS
COMMONLY REFERRED TO AS THE FORECAST AREA.




000
FXUS66 KPQR 240938
AFDPQR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
237 AM PDT THU JUL 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THAT WAS OVER WESTERN WA EARLY
THU MORNING WILL MOVE QUICKLY E TODAY. AFTER THE LOW DEPARTS...AN
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL SLOWLY BUILD OVER THE WESTERN STATES...
RESULTING IN A RETURN TO DRY WEATHER WITH WARMING TEMPS THROUGH THE
REST OF THE WEEK AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
&&

.SHORT TERM...WATER VAPOR PICTURES SHOWED AN UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER
WESTERN WA EARLY THIS MORNING WITH A VORT MAX WRAPPING AROUND THE
BASE OF THE LOW PUSHING INTO NW OREGON. MOST OF THE REMAINING RAIN
SHOWERS WERE AHEAD OF THE VORT LOBE OVER NW OREGON AND SW WA. THERE
IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR SHOWERS LINGERING TODAY IN THE WRAP AROUND
MOISTURE ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE LOW TODAY...BUT OVERALL EXPECT
SHOWERS TO DECREASE QUICKLY THIS MORNING AS THE LOW ACCELERATES
EASTWARD. TEMPS AGAIN WILL BE BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS TODAY...WITH
MODELS GENERALLY SHOWING MODEST WARMING AT H8 TO AROUND 8 DEG C BY
00Z FRI.

A MORE CLIMATOLOGICALLY NORMAL PATTERN RETURNS TONIGHT AND IN
GENERAL REMAINS THROUGH SAT AS HIGH PRES OFFSHORE TURNS THE LOW
LEVEL FLOW BACK TO THE NW...AND THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW GOES FROM W
TONIGHT TO SW BY SAT WITH SLOWLY BUILDING HEIGHTS IN RESPONSE TO A
SLOWLY STRENGTHENING UPPER RIDGE OFF TO THE E. MARINE CLOUDS WILL
TEND TOWARDS A PATTERN OF RETREATING TO THE COAST IN THE AFTERNOONS
FRI AND SAT...AND LOCALLY PUSHING INLAND ESP UP THE LOWER COLUMBIA
DURING THE LATE NIGHT AND MORNING HOURS. THE ONLY EXCEPTION TO THE
DRY WEATHER DEPICTED BY THE MODELS IS SOME LIGHT QPF SEEN IN NAM AND
TO A LESSER EXTENT THE GFS LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY FRI. THIS APPEARS
TO COME FROM SOME WEAK OOIST ISENTROPIC LIFT DEPICTED ALONG THE 290K
ISENTROPE IN THE MARINE LAYER OF THOSE MODELS 12Z FRI MORNING.
ALTHOUGH WEAK LOOKING...SINCE BOTH NAM AND GFS INDICATE THIS...WILL
ADD CHANCE FOR SOME DRIZZLE BUT WITH JUST 10 PERCENT POPS FOR THE
FAR N PART OF THE COAST FRI MORNING. WITH RISING HEIGHTS ALOFT AND
SHALLOWER MARINE INFLUENCE...WILL SEE DAYTIME TEMPS CLIMB ABOVE
NORMAL BY SAT.

.LONG TERM...NO CHANGES. PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FOLLOWS...HIGH PRESSURE
WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AHEAD OF A
SHORTWAVE TROUGH...FORECAST TO COME ONSHORE SOMETIME LATE SUNDAY
NIGHT OR MONDAY MORNING. THERE IS STILL UNCERTAINTY ON THE TIME THIS
SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO OUR AREA AND THE LOCATION OF ANY ASSOCIATED
PRECIPITATION.THE WAVE IS UNRESOLVED IN THE MEAN 500-MB HEIGHT
FIELD FROM GEFS AND NAEFS...BUT THE GFS AND ECMWF BOTH HAVE IT MOVING
THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY MORNING. BEHIND THIS
SYSTEM...THE LARGE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO BUILD
IN AMPLITUDE AND WESTWARD AND WILL BECOME CENTERED OVER THE ROCKIES
BY MID-WEEK.  SOUTHWESTERLY UPPER-LEVEL FLOW AND CLEAR SKIES INLAND
WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES FAIRLY WARM OVER OUR AREA TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY. -MCCOY
&&

.AVIATION...VFR ACROSS THE REGION...BUT MVFR CIGS ALONG THE COAST
WITH POCKETS OF MVFR INLAND N OF A KMMV TO KPDX LINE...THOUGH
WORST CONDITIONS OVER INLAND SW WASHINGTON. SEVERAL BANDS OF
SHOWERS ROTATING INLAND N OF A KONP TO KSLE LINE. THESE SHOWERS
WILL DECREASE AFT 13Z OR 14Z. BY 19Z...WILL SEE VFR CONDITIONS
WITH INCREASING BREAKS BETWEEN CLOUDS AND ONLY A FEW SHOWERS.
SHOULD SEE WIDESPREAD CLEARING AFTER 03Z AS AIR MASS STABILIZES.

KPDX AND APPROACHES...VFR CONDITIONS TODAY...WITH SHOWERS
THROUGH 15Z. CIGS WILL OCCASIONALLY LOWER TO 2500 FT DURING THAT
TIME. CLOUDS BREAKING UP SIGNIFICANTLY AFTER 20Z.     ROCKEY.
&&

.MARINE...LOW PRES CONTINUES TO WORK INLAND OVER W WASHINGTON.
THIS MAINTAINING GUSTY S TO SW WINDS ON THE COASTAL WATERS N OF
CASCADE HEAD...WITH GUSTS 25 KT THROUGH 9 AM. AS THE LOW MOVES
FURTHER INLAND...WINDS WILL EASE AND TURN MORE WESTERLY LATER THIS
AM INTO THIS AFTERNOON.

SEAS GENERALLY 7 TO 9 FT ON THE WATERS N OF CASCADE HEAD THIS
AM...WITH SEAS 5 TO 7 FT TO THE S. PERIODS STILL SHORT...GENERALLY
AROUND 8 SEC. SO WILL MAINTAIN SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR STEEP
CHOPPY SEAS ON WATERS BETWEEN CAPE SHOALWATER AND CASCADE HEAD
UNTIL 9 AM. LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT...SEAS WILL SUBSIDE...WITH 4
TO 5 FT BY LATE EVENING ON MOST WATERS.

HIGH PRES WILL THEN BUILD OVER NE PAC TONIGHT AND FRI...WITH
THERMAL LOW PRES BUILDING OVER NW CALIF. THIS WILL BRING A MORE
TYPICAL SUMMERTIME PATTERN OF GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS...AND
POTENTIALLY STEEP SEAS...ESPECIALLY S OF NEWPORT.   ROCKEY.
&&

.PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...NONE.
WA...NONE.
PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS THIS MORNING ON ALL
         COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER TO CASCADE HEAD.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 9 AM TODAY
         ON COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER TO CASCADE HEAD.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH COLUMBIA BAR CONDITIONS
         UNTIL 6 AM TODAY.
&&

$$

MORE WEATHER INFORMATION ONLINE AT...HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/PORTLAND

INTERACT WITH US VIA SOCIAL MEDIA
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/US.NATIONALWEATHERSERVICE.PORTLAND.GOV
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSPORTLAND

THIS DISCUSSION IS FOR NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON
FROM THE CASCADE CREST TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. THE AREA IS
COMMONLY REFERRED TO AS THE FORECAST AREA.




000
FXUS66 KPQR 240938
AFDPQR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
237 AM PDT THU JUL 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THAT WAS OVER WESTERN WA EARLY
THU MORNING WILL MOVE QUICKLY E TODAY. AFTER THE LOW DEPARTS...AN
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL SLOWLY BUILD OVER THE WESTERN STATES...
RESULTING IN A RETURN TO DRY WEATHER WITH WARMING TEMPS THROUGH THE
REST OF THE WEEK AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
&&

.SHORT TERM...WATER VAPOR PICTURES SHOWED AN UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER
WESTERN WA EARLY THIS MORNING WITH A VORT MAX WRAPPING AROUND THE
BASE OF THE LOW PUSHING INTO NW OREGON. MOST OF THE REMAINING RAIN
SHOWERS WERE AHEAD OF THE VORT LOBE OVER NW OREGON AND SW WA. THERE
IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR SHOWERS LINGERING TODAY IN THE WRAP AROUND
MOISTURE ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE LOW TODAY...BUT OVERALL EXPECT
SHOWERS TO DECREASE QUICKLY THIS MORNING AS THE LOW ACCELERATES
EASTWARD. TEMPS AGAIN WILL BE BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS TODAY...WITH
MODELS GENERALLY SHOWING MODEST WARMING AT H8 TO AROUND 8 DEG C BY
00Z FRI.

A MORE CLIMATOLOGICALLY NORMAL PATTERN RETURNS TONIGHT AND IN
GENERAL REMAINS THROUGH SAT AS HIGH PRES OFFSHORE TURNS THE LOW
LEVEL FLOW BACK TO THE NW...AND THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW GOES FROM W
TONIGHT TO SW BY SAT WITH SLOWLY BUILDING HEIGHTS IN RESPONSE TO A
SLOWLY STRENGTHENING UPPER RIDGE OFF TO THE E. MARINE CLOUDS WILL
TEND TOWARDS A PATTERN OF RETREATING TO THE COAST IN THE AFTERNOONS
FRI AND SAT...AND LOCALLY PUSHING INLAND ESP UP THE LOWER COLUMBIA
DURING THE LATE NIGHT AND MORNING HOURS. THE ONLY EXCEPTION TO THE
DRY WEATHER DEPICTED BY THE MODELS IS SOME LIGHT QPF SEEN IN NAM AND
TO A LESSER EXTENT THE GFS LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY FRI. THIS APPEARS
TO COME FROM SOME WEAK OOIST ISENTROPIC LIFT DEPICTED ALONG THE 290K
ISENTROPE IN THE MARINE LAYER OF THOSE MODELS 12Z FRI MORNING.
ALTHOUGH WEAK LOOKING...SINCE BOTH NAM AND GFS INDICATE THIS...WILL
ADD CHANCE FOR SOME DRIZZLE BUT WITH JUST 10 PERCENT POPS FOR THE
FAR N PART OF THE COAST FRI MORNING. WITH RISING HEIGHTS ALOFT AND
SHALLOWER MARINE INFLUENCE...WILL SEE DAYTIME TEMPS CLIMB ABOVE
NORMAL BY SAT.

.LONG TERM...NO CHANGES. PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FOLLOWS...HIGH PRESSURE
WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AHEAD OF A
SHORTWAVE TROUGH...FORECAST TO COME ONSHORE SOMETIME LATE SUNDAY
NIGHT OR MONDAY MORNING. THERE IS STILL UNCERTAINTY ON THE TIME THIS
SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO OUR AREA AND THE LOCATION OF ANY ASSOCIATED
PRECIPITATION.THE WAVE IS UNRESOLVED IN THE MEAN 500-MB HEIGHT
FIELD FROM GEFS AND NAEFS...BUT THE GFS AND ECMWF BOTH HAVE IT MOVING
THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY MORNING. BEHIND THIS
SYSTEM...THE LARGE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO BUILD
IN AMPLITUDE AND WESTWARD AND WILL BECOME CENTERED OVER THE ROCKIES
BY MID-WEEK.  SOUTHWESTERLY UPPER-LEVEL FLOW AND CLEAR SKIES INLAND
WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES FAIRLY WARM OVER OUR AREA TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY. -MCCOY
&&

.AVIATION...VFR ACROSS THE REGION...BUT MVFR CIGS ALONG THE COAST
WITH POCKETS OF MVFR INLAND N OF A KMMV TO KPDX LINE...THOUGH
WORST CONDITIONS OVER INLAND SW WASHINGTON. SEVERAL BANDS OF
SHOWERS ROTATING INLAND N OF A KONP TO KSLE LINE. THESE SHOWERS
WILL DECREASE AFT 13Z OR 14Z. BY 19Z...WILL SEE VFR CONDITIONS
WITH INCREASING BREAKS BETWEEN CLOUDS AND ONLY A FEW SHOWERS.
SHOULD SEE WIDESPREAD CLEARING AFTER 03Z AS AIR MASS STABILIZES.

KPDX AND APPROACHES...VFR CONDITIONS TODAY...WITH SHOWERS
THROUGH 15Z. CIGS WILL OCCASIONALLY LOWER TO 2500 FT DURING THAT
TIME. CLOUDS BREAKING UP SIGNIFICANTLY AFTER 20Z.     ROCKEY.
&&

.MARINE...LOW PRES CONTINUES TO WORK INLAND OVER W WASHINGTON.
THIS MAINTAINING GUSTY S TO SW WINDS ON THE COASTAL WATERS N OF
CASCADE HEAD...WITH GUSTS 25 KT THROUGH 9 AM. AS THE LOW MOVES
FURTHER INLAND...WINDS WILL EASE AND TURN MORE WESTERLY LATER THIS
AM INTO THIS AFTERNOON.

SEAS GENERALLY 7 TO 9 FT ON THE WATERS N OF CASCADE HEAD THIS
AM...WITH SEAS 5 TO 7 FT TO THE S. PERIODS STILL SHORT...GENERALLY
AROUND 8 SEC. SO WILL MAINTAIN SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR STEEP
CHOPPY SEAS ON WATERS BETWEEN CAPE SHOALWATER AND CASCADE HEAD
UNTIL 9 AM. LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT...SEAS WILL SUBSIDE...WITH 4
TO 5 FT BY LATE EVENING ON MOST WATERS.

HIGH PRES WILL THEN BUILD OVER NE PAC TONIGHT AND FRI...WITH
THERMAL LOW PRES BUILDING OVER NW CALIF. THIS WILL BRING A MORE
TYPICAL SUMMERTIME PATTERN OF GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS...AND
POTENTIALLY STEEP SEAS...ESPECIALLY S OF NEWPORT.   ROCKEY.
&&

.PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...NONE.
WA...NONE.
PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS THIS MORNING ON ALL
         COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER TO CASCADE HEAD.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 9 AM TODAY
         ON COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER TO CASCADE HEAD.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH COLUMBIA BAR CONDITIONS
         UNTIL 6 AM TODAY.
&&

$$

MORE WEATHER INFORMATION ONLINE AT...HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/PORTLAND

INTERACT WITH US VIA SOCIAL MEDIA
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/US.NATIONALWEATHERSERVICE.PORTLAND.GOV
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSPORTLAND

THIS DISCUSSION IS FOR NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON
FROM THE CASCADE CREST TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. THE AREA IS
COMMONLY REFERRED TO AS THE FORECAST AREA.




000
FXUS66 KOTX 240915
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
215 AM PDT THU JUL 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...Lingering showers and a few minor thunderstorms will
continue for the northern mountains today as a cold front exits
the region. Cool and breezy weather is expected today behind the
cold front. Temperatures will rebound by the weekend and be
accompanied by dry conditions. Hot weather will return to the area
on Sunday and early next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Today through Friday: The Inland Northwest will find waning
shower chances, breezy conditions and cool temperatures. Over the
next 24-hours an upper low centered over north Washington tracks
toward the Canadian Prairies. The low, and a weakening deformation
axis wrapped around it, will provide continued shower chances
across the Cascades and northern mountains. Some showers may also
impact the Highway 2 and I-90 corridor, from the Waterville
Plateau into the central Panhandle. However as the low continues
to shift northeast and drier air and large-scale subsidence moves
in behind it, shower chances will begin retreat toward the Cascade
crest and shift further into the northeast Washington and northern
Panhandle mountains and dissipate this afternoon and evening. With
a lack of significant instability, the threat of thunder will be
minimal. A modest pressure gradient and good mixing this afternoon
with the strong subsidence will produce breezy conditions through
the day. Gusts between 25 and 35 mph will be common from Chelan
county east through the Spokane area and Palouse. Winds are
expected to abate through the evening, particularly past 8 pm or
so. As for temperatures, readings will be below normal. Regional
850mb temperatures under the low range from the upper single
digits in the Cascades to the lower teens toward the Panhandle.
This supports high temperatures some 10-15 degree below average.
This means many areas, outside of the deeper Columbia Basin and
L-C Valley, will only see highs in the upper 60s to mid-70s.
Tonight and Friday the region transitions to a more zonal flow. A
secondary mid-level disturbance slips onshore overnight into
Friday morning, but the brunt of the lift remains north of the
Canadian border. So look for dry weather and a few clouds. Winds
will be pick up again in the afternoon as the gradients tighten
again slightly with the northern wave and increased mixing, but
speeds will be relatively lower. A few gusts between 15 to 20 mph
will be possible in the afternoon. Temperatures will remain on the
cool side of average, but overall values look about 5 degrees
milder as compared to Thursday. /J. Cote`

Friday night through Wednesday...Latest medium range GFS and ECMWF
guidance is in remarkably good agreement in depicting a return to
torrid dog-day summer conditions through the extended period. A
strong 4 corners upper high will build into the region...becoming
progressively stronger each day through Monday before stabilizing.
this will allow the establishment of a strong low level thermal
trough over the Columbia Basin which will promote hot days and
sultry overnights through Wednesday. On or about Monday a shot of
monsoonal moisture may side-swipe the southeastern zones and Idaho
Panhandle with a small threat of thunderstorms...but this is a low
confidence forecast at this point. Confidence is high that the
forecast area will return to a dry and sunny above normal/hot
stretch of summer weather this weekend through the middle of next
week. /Fugazzi


&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAFS: Unstable post frontal air mass will foster scattered
showers across the region with isolated thunderstorms possible
across the mountains of northern WA and north Idaho tonight and
into Thursday. Gusty winds will diminish somewhat overnight. If
winds become light, MVFR cigs are possible at KGEG/KSFF/KCOE
generally between 10z-14Z. Lower confidence in lowering cigs for
KPUW/KEAT. Expect dry conditions and winds 12 kts or less after
03Z Friday. /EK

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        70  50  76  54  84  59 /  20  10   0   0   0   0
Coeur d`Alene  67  49  74  48  82  54 /  30  10   0   0   0   0
Pullman        69  46  75  44  83  50 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Lewiston       78  55  83  55  91  61 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Colville       70  49  78  48  87  53 /  30  10   0   0   0   0
Sandpoint      65  47  72  47  81  50 /  40  10   0   0   0   0
Kellogg        64  49  72  49  81  56 /  30  10   0   0   0   0
Moses Lake     76  54  83  53  89  60 /  20   0   0   0   0   0
Wenatchee      73  57  82  60  87  65 /  20   0   0   0   0   0
Omak           74  52  82  53  88  58 /  20  10   0   0   0   0

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...None.
&&

$$





000
FXUS66 KOTX 240915
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
215 AM PDT THU JUL 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...Lingering showers and a few minor thunderstorms will
continue for the northern mountains today as a cold front exits
the region. Cool and breezy weather is expected today behind the
cold front. Temperatures will rebound by the weekend and be
accompanied by dry conditions. Hot weather will return to the area
on Sunday and early next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Today through Friday: The Inland Northwest will find waning
shower chances, breezy conditions and cool temperatures. Over the
next 24-hours an upper low centered over north Washington tracks
toward the Canadian Prairies. The low, and a weakening deformation
axis wrapped around it, will provide continued shower chances
across the Cascades and northern mountains. Some showers may also
impact the Highway 2 and I-90 corridor, from the Waterville
Plateau into the central Panhandle. However as the low continues
to shift northeast and drier air and large-scale subsidence moves
in behind it, shower chances will begin retreat toward the Cascade
crest and shift further into the northeast Washington and northern
Panhandle mountains and dissipate this afternoon and evening. With
a lack of significant instability, the threat of thunder will be
minimal. A modest pressure gradient and good mixing this afternoon
with the strong subsidence will produce breezy conditions through
the day. Gusts between 25 and 35 mph will be common from Chelan
county east through the Spokane area and Palouse. Winds are
expected to abate through the evening, particularly past 8 pm or
so. As for temperatures, readings will be below normal. Regional
850mb temperatures under the low range from the upper single
digits in the Cascades to the lower teens toward the Panhandle.
This supports high temperatures some 10-15 degree below average.
This means many areas, outside of the deeper Columbia Basin and
L-C Valley, will only see highs in the upper 60s to mid-70s.
Tonight and Friday the region transitions to a more zonal flow. A
secondary mid-level disturbance slips onshore overnight into
Friday morning, but the brunt of the lift remains north of the
Canadian border. So look for dry weather and a few clouds. Winds
will be pick up again in the afternoon as the gradients tighten
again slightly with the northern wave and increased mixing, but
speeds will be relatively lower. A few gusts between 15 to 20 mph
will be possible in the afternoon. Temperatures will remain on the
cool side of average, but overall values look about 5 degrees
milder as compared to Thursday. /J. Cote`

Friday night through Wednesday...Latest medium range GFS and ECMWF
guidance is in remarkably good agreement in depicting a return to
torrid dog-day summer conditions through the extended period. A
strong 4 corners upper high will build into the region...becoming
progressively stronger each day through Monday before stabilizing.
this will allow the establishment of a strong low level thermal
trough over the Columbia Basin which will promote hot days and
sultry overnights through Wednesday. On or about Monday a shot of
monsoonal moisture may side-swipe the southeastern zones and Idaho
Panhandle with a small threat of thunderstorms...but this is a low
confidence forecast at this point. Confidence is high that the
forecast area will return to a dry and sunny above normal/hot
stretch of summer weather this weekend through the middle of next
week. /Fugazzi


&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAFS: Unstable post frontal air mass will foster scattered
showers across the region with isolated thunderstorms possible
across the mountains of northern WA and north Idaho tonight and
into Thursday. Gusty winds will diminish somewhat overnight. If
winds become light, MVFR cigs are possible at KGEG/KSFF/KCOE
generally between 10z-14Z. Lower confidence in lowering cigs for
KPUW/KEAT. Expect dry conditions and winds 12 kts or less after
03Z Friday. /EK

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        70  50  76  54  84  59 /  20  10   0   0   0   0
Coeur d`Alene  67  49  74  48  82  54 /  30  10   0   0   0   0
Pullman        69  46  75  44  83  50 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Lewiston       78  55  83  55  91  61 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Colville       70  49  78  48  87  53 /  30  10   0   0   0   0
Sandpoint      65  47  72  47  81  50 /  40  10   0   0   0   0
Kellogg        64  49  72  49  81  56 /  30  10   0   0   0   0
Moses Lake     76  54  83  53  89  60 /  20   0   0   0   0   0
Wenatchee      73  57  82  60  87  65 /  20   0   0   0   0   0
Omak           74  52  82  53  88  58 /  20  10   0   0   0   0

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...None.
&&

$$




000
FXUS66 KOTX 240528
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
1028 PM PDT WED JUL 23 2014

.SYNOPSIS...Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms will
continue for the northern mountains tonight as a cold front exits
the region. Cool and windy weather is expected tonight behind the
cold front. Temperatures will rebound by the weekend and be
accompanied by dry conditions. Hot weather will return to the area
on Sunday and early next week.



&&

.DISCUSSION...
Removed thunderstorms for this evening for the lower elevations
but left slight chance in for the higher terrain surrounding the
basin. Conditions have stabilized now that the convective storms
have moved off to the northeast. More showers are on the way as
the upper level cold pool slides overhead tonight but quiet
weather is expected for the next couple of hours. Winds are
beginning to pick up and will remain gusty tonight. /Kelch

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAFS: Unstable post frontal air mass will foster scattered
showers across the region with isolated thunderstorms possible
across the mountains of northern WA and north Idaho tonight and
into Thursday. Gusty winds will diminish somewhat overnight. If
winds become light, MVFR cigs are possible at KGEG/KSFF/KCOE
generally between 10z-14Z. Lower confidence in lowering cigs for
KPUW/KEAT. Expect dry conditions and winds 12 kts or less after
03Z Friday. /EK



&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        51  71  50  76  54  84 /  30  20  10   0   0   0
Coeur d`Alene  53  67  49  75  48  82 /  40  30  10   0   0   0
Pullman        49  69  45  75  44  83 /  30  10   0   0   0   0
Lewiston       57  78  54  83  55  91 /  30  10   0   0   0   0
Colville       53  71  50  79  48  87 /  50  30  10   0   0   0
Sandpoint      54  66  48  73  47  81 /  60  40  10   0   0   0
Kellogg        52  65  49  73  49  81 /  50  30  10   0   0   0
Moses Lake     56  75  53  83  53  89 /  40  10   0   0   0   0
Wenatchee      57  73  56  82  60  87 /  50  20   0   0   0   0
Omak           54  74  52  82  53  88 /  50  20  10   0   0   0

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...None.
&&

$$





000
FXUS66 KOTX 240528
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
1028 PM PDT WED JUL 23 2014

.SYNOPSIS...Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms will
continue for the northern mountains tonight as a cold front exits
the region. Cool and windy weather is expected tonight behind the
cold front. Temperatures will rebound by the weekend and be
accompanied by dry conditions. Hot weather will return to the area
on Sunday and early next week.



&&

.DISCUSSION...
Removed thunderstorms for this evening for the lower elevations
but left slight chance in for the higher terrain surrounding the
basin. Conditions have stabilized now that the convective storms
have moved off to the northeast. More showers are on the way as
the upper level cold pool slides overhead tonight but quiet
weather is expected for the next couple of hours. Winds are
beginning to pick up and will remain gusty tonight. /Kelch

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAFS: Unstable post frontal air mass will foster scattered
showers across the region with isolated thunderstorms possible
across the mountains of northern WA and north Idaho tonight and
into Thursday. Gusty winds will diminish somewhat overnight. If
winds become light, MVFR cigs are possible at KGEG/KSFF/KCOE
generally between 10z-14Z. Lower confidence in lowering cigs for
KPUW/KEAT. Expect dry conditions and winds 12 kts or less after
03Z Friday. /EK



&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        51  71  50  76  54  84 /  30  20  10   0   0   0
Coeur d`Alene  53  67  49  75  48  82 /  40  30  10   0   0   0
Pullman        49  69  45  75  44  83 /  30  10   0   0   0   0
Lewiston       57  78  54  83  55  91 /  30  10   0   0   0   0
Colville       53  71  50  79  48  87 /  50  30  10   0   0   0
Sandpoint      54  66  48  73  47  81 /  60  40  10   0   0   0
Kellogg        52  65  49  73  49  81 /  50  30  10   0   0   0
Moses Lake     56  75  53  83  53  89 /  40  10   0   0   0   0
Wenatchee      57  73  56  82  60  87 /  50  20   0   0   0   0
Omak           54  74  52  82  53  88 /  50  20  10   0   0   0

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...None.
&&

$$





000
FXUS66 KOTX 240528
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
1028 PM PDT WED JUL 23 2014

.SYNOPSIS...Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms will
continue for the northern mountains tonight as a cold front exits
the region. Cool and windy weather is expected tonight behind the
cold front. Temperatures will rebound by the weekend and be
accompanied by dry conditions. Hot weather will return to the area
on Sunday and early next week.



&&

.DISCUSSION...
Removed thunderstorms for this evening for the lower elevations
but left slight chance in for the higher terrain surrounding the
basin. Conditions have stabilized now that the convective storms
have moved off to the northeast. More showers are on the way as
the upper level cold pool slides overhead tonight but quiet
weather is expected for the next couple of hours. Winds are
beginning to pick up and will remain gusty tonight. /Kelch

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAFS: Unstable post frontal air mass will foster scattered
showers across the region with isolated thunderstorms possible
across the mountains of northern WA and north Idaho tonight and
into Thursday. Gusty winds will diminish somewhat overnight. If
winds become light, MVFR cigs are possible at KGEG/KSFF/KCOE
generally between 10z-14Z. Lower confidence in lowering cigs for
KPUW/KEAT. Expect dry conditions and winds 12 kts or less after
03Z Friday. /EK



&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        51  71  50  76  54  84 /  30  20  10   0   0   0
Coeur d`Alene  53  67  49  75  48  82 /  40  30  10   0   0   0
Pullman        49  69  45  75  44  83 /  30  10   0   0   0   0
Lewiston       57  78  54  83  55  91 /  30  10   0   0   0   0
Colville       53  71  50  79  48  87 /  50  30  10   0   0   0
Sandpoint      54  66  48  73  47  81 /  60  40  10   0   0   0
Kellogg        52  65  49  73  49  81 /  50  30  10   0   0   0
Moses Lake     56  75  53  83  53  89 /  40  10   0   0   0   0
Wenatchee      57  73  56  82  60  87 /  50  20   0   0   0   0
Omak           54  74  52  82  53  88 /  50  20  10   0   0   0

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...None.
&&

$$





000
FXUS66 KOTX 240528
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
1028 PM PDT WED JUL 23 2014

.SYNOPSIS...Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms will
continue for the northern mountains tonight as a cold front exits
the region. Cool and windy weather is expected tonight behind the
cold front. Temperatures will rebound by the weekend and be
accompanied by dry conditions. Hot weather will return to the area
on Sunday and early next week.



&&

.DISCUSSION...
Removed thunderstorms for this evening for the lower elevations
but left slight chance in for the higher terrain surrounding the
basin. Conditions have stabilized now that the convective storms
have moved off to the northeast. More showers are on the way as
the upper level cold pool slides overhead tonight but quiet
weather is expected for the next couple of hours. Winds are
beginning to pick up and will remain gusty tonight. /Kelch

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAFS: Unstable post frontal air mass will foster scattered
showers across the region with isolated thunderstorms possible
across the mountains of northern WA and north Idaho tonight and
into Thursday. Gusty winds will diminish somewhat overnight. If
winds become light, MVFR cigs are possible at KGEG/KSFF/KCOE
generally between 10z-14Z. Lower confidence in lowering cigs for
KPUW/KEAT. Expect dry conditions and winds 12 kts or less after
03Z Friday. /EK



&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        51  71  50  76  54  84 /  30  20  10   0   0   0
Coeur d`Alene  53  67  49  75  48  82 /  40  30  10   0   0   0
Pullman        49  69  45  75  44  83 /  30  10   0   0   0   0
Lewiston       57  78  54  83  55  91 /  30  10   0   0   0   0
Colville       53  71  50  79  48  87 /  50  30  10   0   0   0
Sandpoint      54  66  48  73  47  81 /  60  40  10   0   0   0
Kellogg        52  65  49  73  49  81 /  50  30  10   0   0   0
Moses Lake     56  75  53  83  53  89 /  40  10   0   0   0   0
Wenatchee      57  73  56  82  60  87 /  50  20   0   0   0   0
Omak           54  74  52  82  53  88 /  50  20  10   0   0   0

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...None.
&&

$$





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