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FXUS61 KBTV 260604
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
204 AM EDT Wed Apr 26 2017
A low pressure system off the North Carolina coast will move
slowly northeast through Wednesday. This will keep quite a bit
of moisture over the area tonight through Wednesday morning with
occasional light rain expected. Improving conditions develop
Wednesday afternoon and especially into Thursday as a ridge of
high pressure moves into the region. Above normal temperatures
are expected Wednesday and especially on Thursday with highs in
the 70s to around 80.
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
As of 203 AM EDT Wednesday...Current forecast in good shape, so
no changes have been made.
Previous discussion from 1029 PM EDT Tuesday...overall forecast
in good shape. Areal coverage of light rain expanding just to
our south and working its way north...which is what the current
forecast has. Made just a few minor tweaks to temperatures and
dew points...otherwise no other changes needed at this time.
On Wednesday...the upper low to our south that has been bringing
the moisture up into our region moves east and takes a bulk of
the precipitation with it. Improving conditions are expected
with drier weather moving in and some decrease in cloud cover.
Highs should generally be in the 60s to around 70.
.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
As of 417 PM EDT Tuesday...Upper ridge builds into the region
Wednesday night and Thursday with upper trough well to the west
and upper low to our east still moving slowly. This should bring
a period of warmer and drier weather starting Wednesday and
continuing into Thursday. Should see a good deal of sun on
Thursday and highs in the 70s to around 80. Looks like ridge
axis moves east Thursday night and this will allow a cold front
and some showers to move into the region late Thursday night.
Lows will be in the lower 50s to lower 60s.
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 417 PM EDT Tuesday...No significant weather is expected
through the period. Generally dry on Friday with highs in the
lower 60s to lower 70s...then an upper trough passes just to our
north on Saturday and brings a chance of showers to the region.
Northwest flow aloft on the backside of this system will bring
cooler temperatures for Sunday...but upper ridge building in on
Monday suggests a warming trend develops. However...this will be
short lived as another upper trough moves into the region for
Monday night and Tuesday bringing more clouds and showers back
into the area.
.AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Through 06Z Thursday...Mainly VFR in light rain showers across
the region as of 06Z Wednesday, with some local pockets of
IFR/MVFR in fog and mist. Expecting most of the light rain
shower activity will come to an end by 18Z Wednesday, as an
upper ridge builds into the region this afternoon.
Thursday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Thursday Night: VFR. Slight Chance SHRA.
Friday: VFR. Chance SHRA.
Friday Night: VFR. Chance SHRA.
Saturday: VFR. Chance SHRA.
Saturday Night: VFR. Slight Chance SHRA.
Sunday: VFR. Slight Chance SHRA.