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000
FNUS51 KCTP 151300
FWFCTP
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central Pennsylvania
National Weather Service State College PA
900 AM EDT Tue May 15 2018
.DISCUSSION...
A frontal boundary will remain nearly stationary over, or just to
the south of Pennsylvania through much of the coming week. The
front will keep the pattern unsettled with high relative humidity
and widespread showers and thunderstorms this afternoon and
evening across much of the district. Some of the thunderstorms may
become strong to severe.
PAZ004>006-010-011-152115-
Warren-McKean-Potter-Elk-Cameron-
Including the cities of Warren, Bradford, Coudersport, St. Marys,
Ridgway, and Emporium
900 AM EDT Tue May 15 2018
                                Today      Tonight          Wed
Cloud Cover                     MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Type                     Tstms      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)                  80           10           30
Temp (24h trend)              76 (+3)      49 (-8)           74
RH % (24h trend)              58 (+5)      100 (0)           48
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)        SW  5 G21                   Lgt/Var
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)         W  8 G21      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount                    0.49         0.04         0.01
Precip Duration                    10            3            2
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           3950          480         4180
Transport Wnd (mph)             NW 17        NE  9        SE  8
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               80280          870        29880
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                       >25 STRIKES16-25 STRIKES     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        3            3            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent
REMARKS...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 70 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs around 70. Minimum RH
65 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum
RH 59 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the mid
50s. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 56 percent. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
$$
PAZ012-017-018-152115-
Northern Clinton-Clearfield-Northern Centre-
Including the cities of Renovo, DuBois, Clearfield,
and Philipsburg
900 AM EDT Tue May 15 2018
                                Today      Tonight          Wed
Cloud Cover                     MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Type                     Tstms      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)                  80           30           50
Temp (24h trend)              80 (+6)      53 (-5)           71
RH % (24h trend)              54 (-2)      96 (-4)           59
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)        SW  5 G22                   Lgt/Var
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)         W 10 G24         N  5      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount                    0.32         0.15         0.07
Precip Duration                     9            4            2
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           6750          880         1660
Transport Wnd (mph)              W 23        NE 12        SE  6
Vent Rate (kt-ft)              186940         4660        10910
Dispersion                          5            3            4
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                       >25 STRIKES16-25 STRIKES     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        3            3            2
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent
REMARKS...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 57 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 60s.
Minimum RH 74 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 70s.
Minimum RH 67 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 70s.
Minimum RH 63 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 58 percent. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
PAZ024-033-152115-
Cambria-Somerset-
Including the cities of Johnstown and Somerset
900 AM EDT Tue May 15 2018
                                Today      Tonight          Wed
Cloud Cover                     MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Type                     Tstms        Tstms      Showers
Chance Precip (%)                  80           60           60
Temp (24h trend)              81 (+5)      56 (-5)           74
RH % (24h trend)              48 (+2)      97 (-3)           64
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)         W  7 G24                   Lgt/Var
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)         W 12 G26      Lgt/Var        SE  5
Precip Amount                    0.23         0.29         0.17
Precip Duration                     6           10            9
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           6890          450         2690
Transport Wnd (mph)              W 29        SE  6        SE  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)              183330          530        34080
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 0            0            1
LAL                       >25 STRIKES  >25 STRIKES     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        3            3            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent
REMARKS...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the upper 50s.
Highs around 70. Minimum RH 72 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 60s.
Minimum RH 80 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 70s.
Minimum RH 69 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 70s.
Minimum RH 65 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 61 percent. West
winds 15 to 20 mph.
$$
PAZ019-045-046-152115-
Southern Centre-Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-
Including the cities of State College, Lock Haven,
and Williamsport
900 AM EDT Tue May 15 2018
                                Today      Tonight          Wed
Cloud Cover                     MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Type                     Tstms      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)                  80           40           60
Temp (24h trend)              83 (+5)      55 (-3)           71
RH % (24h trend)              51 (+4)      93 (-7)           61
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)          Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)         W 10 G22      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount                    0.29         0.18         0.08
Precip Duration                     5            4            8
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           6600          570         1650
Transport Wnd (mph)             SW 23        NE 12        SE  5
Vent Rate (kt-ft)              182600         1540         8890
Dispersion                          5            1            4
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                       >25 STRIKES16-25 STRIKES     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        3            3            2
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent
REMARKS...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the upper
50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 60s.
Minimum RH 74 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 70s.
Minimum RH 66 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
61 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows around 60.
Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
$$
PAZ025>028-034-035-152115-
Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Bedford-Fulton-
Including the cities of Altoona, Huntingdon, Mount Union,
Lewistown, Mifflintown, Bedford, and McConnellsburg
900 AM EDT Tue May 15 2018
                                Today      Tonight          Wed
Cloud Cover                     PCldy        MCldy       Cloudy
Precip Type                     Tstms        Tstms      Showers
Chance Precip (%)                  80           60           60
Temp (24h trend)              85 (+6)      57 (-3)           72
RH % (24h trend)              45 (+2)      97 (-3)           64
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)        SW  5 G20                   Lgt/Var
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)         W 11 G25        NW  5      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount                    0.20         0.25         0.15
Precip Duration                     5           10            9
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           7440          780         1730
Transport Wnd (mph)             SW 24        NW 12         E  6
Vent Rate (kt-ft)              190300            0        14030
Dispersion                          5            1            4
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                       >25 STRIKES  >25 STRIKES     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        3            3            2
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent
REMARKS...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the upper
50s. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 69 percent. East winds
5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 60s.
Minimum RH 78 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 70s.
Minimum RH 67 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
62 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows around 60.
Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 60 percent. West winds 10 to
15 mph.
$$
PAZ037-041-042-152115-
Tioga-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-
Including the cities of Mansfield, Wellsboro, Trout Run,
and Laporte
900 AM EDT Tue May 15 2018
                                Today      Tonight          Wed
Cloud Cover                     MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Type                     Tstms      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)                  90           20           40
Temp (24h trend)              79 (+4)      50 (-6)           70
RH % (24h trend)             58 (+11)      96 (-4)           57
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)        SW  5 G20                   Lgt/Var
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)         W  9 G21         N  5      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount                    0.41         0.13         0.03
Precip Duration                     9            3            2
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           4760          510         2710
Transport Wnd (mph)              W 20        NE  5         S  7
Vent Rate (kt-ft)              121760          740        27140
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                       >25 STRIKES16-25 STRIKES     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        3            3            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent
REMARKS...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs
in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 72 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 60s.
Minimum RH 69 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 70s.
Minimum RH 63 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
PAZ049>053-152115-
Union-Snyder-Montour-Northumberland-Columbia-
Including the cities of Lewisburg, Selinsgrove, Danville,
Sunbury, Shamokin, Bloomsburg, and Berwick
900 AM EDT Tue May 15 2018
                                Today      Tonight          Wed
Cloud Cover                     MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Type                     Tstms      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)                  80           40           60
Temp (24h trend)              85 (+8)      56 (-2)           71
RH % (24h trend)              53 (-3)      93 (-7)           61
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)          Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)         W  9 G20      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount                    0.30         0.23         0.11
Precip Duration                     5            4            8
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           6390          660         1960
Transport Wnd (mph)             SW 24        NE 12        SE  6
Vent Rate (kt-ft)              153410         2150        13240
Dispersion                          5            2            4
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                       >25 STRIKES16-25 STRIKES     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        3            3            2
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent
REMARKS...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the upper
50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Northeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 60s.
Minimum RH 74 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
mid 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 67 percent. South
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
61 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows around 60.
Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
$$
PAZ036-056-057-059-063>066-152115-
Franklin-Perry-Dauphin-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster-
Including the cities of Chambersburg, Newport, Harrisburg,
Hershey, Lebanon, Carlisle, Gettysburg, York, and Lancaster
900 AM EDT Tue May 15 2018
                                Today      Tonight          Wed
Cloud Cover                     PCldy       Cloudy       Cloudy
Precip Type                     Tstms        Tstms      Showers
Chance Precip (%)                  80           70           70
Temp (24h trend)             87 (+11)      59 (-2)           72
RH % (24h trend)             46 (-16)      97 (-3)           66
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)          Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)        SW 10 G21      Lgt/Var         E  5
Precip Amount                    0.19         0.35         0.17
Precip Duration                     5           10            9
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           7300          290         1680
Transport Wnd (mph)             SW 28         N 10         E  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)              186240            0        17630
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                       >25 STRIKES  >25 STRIKES     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        3            2            2
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent
REMARKS...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the upper
50s. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s.
Minimum RH 78 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
upper 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 69 percent. South
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s.
Minimum RH 62 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
PAZ058-152115-
Schuylkill-
Including the city of Pottsville
900 AM EDT Tue May 15 2018
                                Today      Tonight          Wed
Cloud Cover                     MCldy        MCldy       Cloudy
Precip Type                     Tstms        Tstms      Showers
Chance Precip (%)                  80           50           60
Temp (24h trend)              85 (+9)       58 (0)           69
RH % (24h trend)              53 (-7)      93 (-7)           63
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)          Lgt/Var                      E  5
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)        SW  9 G20      Lgt/Var         E  6
Precip Amount                    0.31         0.28         0.15
Precip Duration                     5            4            8
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           6840          520         1780
Transport Wnd (mph)             SW 25         W 17         E 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)              152750            0        21180
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 1            0            0
LAL                       >25 STRIKES  >25 STRIKES     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        3            3            2
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent
REMARKS...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the mid 50s.
Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Northeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 60s.
Minimum RH 76 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
mid 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 70 percent. South
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
64 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows around 60.
Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.
$$


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