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000
FNUS51 KCTP 281915
FWFCTP
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for PENNSYLVANIA
National Weather Service STATE COLLEGE PA
315 PM EDT Sun May 28 2017
.DISCUSSION...
A warm front will drift north and into the southwestern counties
of PA this afternoon as a cold front approaches from the west.
The cold front will pass through the western half of the state
later early Monday, before reaching the far east during the
afternoon hours.
Low pressure will become stalled over northern Ontario during
mid-week and will create a slightly cooler than normal and
unsettled stretch of weather with at least moderately high RH
values.
PAZ004>006-010-011-290815-
Warren-McKean-Potter-Elk-Cameron-
Including the cities of Warren, Bradford, Coudersport, St. Marys,
Ridgway, and Emporium
315 PM EDT Sun May 28 2017
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). A slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2400. showers. a slight
                    chance of thunderstorms after 2400.
LAL.................2 until 1900...then 3.
Min temperature.....Around 59.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........84-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
Humidity recovery...Excellent.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (0-45500 knot-ft).
Mixing height.......200-3700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.

.MEMORIAL DAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Scattered showers
                    and a slight chance of thunderstorms until
                    0800...then isolated showers until 1100.
                    isolated showers after 1500.
LAL.................3 until 0700...then 2 until 0800...then 1.
Max temperature.....68-76.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........41-53 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to very good (3100-136200 knot-ft).
Mixing height.......500-7300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2000...then
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Scattered
                    showers after 2000.
LAL.................1 until 2000...then 3.
Min temperature.....50-56.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........77-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Humidity recovery...Excellent.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to very good (0-111300 knot-ft).
Mixing height.......0-7000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Scattered
                    showers.
LAL.................3 until 0700...then 2 until 0800...then 1.
Max temperature.....67-74.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........46-56 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to very good (0-143100 knot-ft).
Mixing height.......0-7100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.

$$
PAZ012-017-018-290815-
Northern Clinton-Clearfield-Northern Centre-
Including the cities of Renovo, DuBois, Clearfield,
and Philipsburg
315 PM EDT Sun May 28 2017
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). A slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2400. showers. a slight
                    chance of thunderstorms after 2400.
LAL.................2 until 1900...then 3.
Min temperature.....56-61.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
Humidity recovery...Excellent.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to poor (3900-36800 knot-ft).
Mixing height.......500-2700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.

.MEMORIAL DAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 1400...then
                    mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Scattered showers
                    and a slight chance of thunderstorms until
                    0800...then isolated showers until 1100.
LAL.................3 until 0700...then 2 until 0800...then 1.
Max temperature.....70-78.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........40-51 percent.
   24 hr trend......22 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to very good (1100-149100 knot-ft).
Mixing height.......400-7600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 20 mph.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 2000...then
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....52-57.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
Humidity recovery...Excellent.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to very good (0-103600 knot-ft).
Mixing height.......0-7200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). A chance of
                    showers after 0800.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....68-75.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........44-55 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to very good (0-144800 knot-ft).
Mixing height.......0-6600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph...increasing to southwest
                    around 20 mph in the afternoon.

$$
PAZ037-041-042-290815-
Tioga-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-
Including the cities of Mansfield, Wellsboro, Trout Run,
and Laporte
315 PM EDT Sun May 28 2017
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). A chance of showers
                    until 2000. a slight chance of thunderstorms.
                    showers after 2000.
LAL.................2 until 1900...then 3.
Min temperature.....Around 59.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........87-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
Humidity recovery...Excellent.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (2100-57500 knot-ft).
Mixing height.......300-3600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.

.MEMORIAL DAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 1400...then
                    mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Showers likely
                    and a slight chance of thunderstorms until
                    0800...then scattered showers until 1100...then
                    isolated showers until 1500.
LAL.................3 until 0700...then 2 until 0800...then 1.
Max temperature.....71-79.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........38-46 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to very good (2100-134800 knot-ft).
Mixing height.......300-7800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph...becoming west in the
                    afternoon.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 2000...then
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 0500...then
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Scattered
                    showers after 0200.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....52-58.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........77-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
Humidity recovery...Excellent.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (0-95500 knot-ft).
Mixing height.......0-7100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Scattered
                    showers.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....67-75.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........44-56 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (800-90000 knot-ft).
Mixing height.......200-5100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.

$$
PAZ024-033-290815-
Cambria-Somerset-
Including the cities of Johnstown and Somerset
315 PM EDT Sun May 28 2017
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). A slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2400. showers. isolated
                    thunderstorms after 2400.
LAL.................3 until 0400...then 2 until 0500...then 1.
Min temperature.....56-61.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
Humidity recovery...Excellent.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to poor (3600-37100 knot-ft).
Mixing height.......500-2900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.

.MEMORIAL DAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 1100...then
                    mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Scattered showers
                    until 0800.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....69-78.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........40-51 percent.
   24 hr trend......30 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to very good (7200-146000 knot-ft).
Mixing height.......900-7100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 20 mph.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 55.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
Humidity recovery...Excellent.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to very good (0-116700 knot-ft).
Mixing height.......0-6700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph...becoming southwest around
                    5 mph after midnight.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). A chance of
                    showers after 0800.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....66-77.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........46-58 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to very good (0-143300 knot-ft).
Mixing height.......0-6900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph...increasing to around
                    25 mph in the afternoon.

$$
PAZ034>036-056-057-059-063>066-290815-
Bedford-Fulton-Franklin-Perry-Dauphin-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-
York-Lancaster-
Including the cities of Bedford, McConnellsburg, Chambersburg,
Newport, Harrisburg, Hershey, Lebanon, Carlisle, Gettysburg,
York, and Lancaster
315 PM EDT Sun May 28 2017
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Isolated thunderstorms
                    until 2400. showers. a slight chance of
                    thunderstorms after 2400.
LAL.................3.
Min temperature.....56-64.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........84-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
Humidity recovery...Excellent.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to poor (800-33100 knot-ft).
Mixing height.......300-2500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph.

.MEMORIAL DAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). A slight chance
                    of thunderstorms until 0800. a chance of
                    showers until 1100.
LAL.................3 until 0700...then 2 until 0800...then 1.
Max temperature.....70-83.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........36-54 percent.
   24 hr trend......22 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to very good (0-137600 knot-ft).
Mixing height.......200-8100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph...becoming west in the
                    afternoon.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....55-62.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........75-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Humidity recovery...Excellent.
20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph in the
                    evening...becoming light and variable.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to very good (0-110100 knot-ft).
Mixing height.......0-7100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). A chance of
                    showers after 0800.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....68-81.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........42-56 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to very good (0-131000 knot-ft).
Mixing height.......0-7300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.

$$
PAZ019-025>028-045-046-049>053-290815-
Southern Centre-Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Southern Clinton-
Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour-Northumberland-Columbia-
Including the cities of State College, Altoona, Huntingdon,
Mount Union, Lewistown, Mifflintown, Lock Haven, Williamsport,
Lewisburg, Selinsgrove, Danville, Sunbury, Shamokin, Bloomsburg,
and Berwick
315 PM EDT Sun May 28 2017
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Isolated thunderstorms
                    until 2400. showers. a slight chance of
                    thunderstorms after 2400.
LAL.................3.
Min temperature.....57-62.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........87-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
Humidity recovery...Excellent.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (500-48800 knot-ft).
Mixing height.......100-3400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 mph.

.MEMORIAL DAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 1400...then
                    mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Showers likely
                    and a slight chance of thunderstorms until
                    0800...then scattered showers until 1100.
LAL.................3 until 0700...then 2 until 0800...then 1.
Max temperature.....69-81.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........37-49 percent.
   24 hr trend......23 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to very good (0-142000 knot-ft).
Mixing height.......0-8000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....53-59.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........77-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
Humidity recovery...Excellent.
20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to very good (0-101300 knot-ft).
Mixing height.......0-7300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). A chance of
                    showers after 0800.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....68-79.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........43-55 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to very good (0-129600 knot-ft).
Mixing height.......0-6700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.

$$
PAZ058-290815-
Schuylkill-
Including the city of Pottsville
315 PM EDT Sun May 28 2017
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). A chance of showers
                    until 2300. a slight chance of thunderstorms.
                    showers after 2300.
LAL.................2 until 1900...then 3.
Min temperature.....Around 60.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........84-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
Humidity recovery...Excellent.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (3700-50700 knot-ft).
Mixing height.......400-3500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 mph.

.MEMORIAL DAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent) until 1400...then mostly
                    sunny (45-55 percent). Showers likely and a
                    slight chance of thunderstorms until
                    0800...then scattered showers until 1100...then
                    isolated showers until 1500.
LAL.................3 until 0700...then 2 until 0800...then 1.
Max temperature.....74-81.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........38-50 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph...becoming west in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to poor (4200-14600 knot-ft).
Mixing height.......700-1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 57.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........83-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Humidity recovery...Excellent.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph in the
                    evening...becoming light and variable.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to poor (2600-13500 knot-ft).
Mixing height.......500-1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). A chance of
                    showers after 0800.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....71-78.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........46-57 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to poor (4300-24500 knot-ft).
Mixing height.......600-2200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.

$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the mid
50s. Highs around 70. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the upper 60s. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs around 70.
West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Highs in the lower
70s.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper
60s.
.OUTLOOK

$$


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