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000
FNUS51 KCTP 161707
FWFCTP
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central Pennsylvania
National Weather Service State College PA
1207 PM EST Tue Jan 16 2018
.DISCUSSION...
A prolonged period of overcast skies with light snow will occur
today into early Wednesday as a slow moving frontal boundary
edges east across the region. A few weak upper-level
disturbances will ripple northeast along this boundary,
possibly bringing periods of briefly heavier snowfall. A few to
several inches of snow will fall over the upcoming 24 to 30
hours, with the greatest accumulations occurring over primarily
the Southeast half of the state..
After the light snow diminishes Wednesday morning, a gusty and
cold westerly flow will develop across the state late Wednesday
and continue through Thursday, as a strong pressure gradient forms
between an area of high pressure moving over the Deep South, and
low pressure over the Upper Great Lakes.
PAZ004>006-010-011-162115-
Warren-McKean-Potter-Elk-Cameron-
Including the cities of Warren, Bradford, Coudersport, St. Marys,
Ridgway, and Emporium
1207 PM EST Tue Jan 16 2018
                                Today      Tonight          Wed
Cloud Cover                     MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip Type                      Snow         Snow Snow Showers
Chance Precip (%)                  80           50           10
Temp (24h trend)              26 (+6)      2 (-14)           20
RH % (24h trend)              57 (+8)      91 (-9)           54
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)          LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)            SW  6         W  5     W  7 G20
Precip Amount                    0.09         0.09         0.00
Precip Duration                    12            2            2
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing         6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           3780          740         4410
Transport Wnd (mph)             SW 12         W 12        NW 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               56880          610        75940
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        3            3            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent
REMARKS...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 7. Highs in the lower 20s.
West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 15. Highs in the lower 30s.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs in the
lower 40s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Lows in
the mid 30s. Highs in the upper 40s. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 30s. Highs in the upper 40s. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
$$
PAZ012-017-018-162115-
Northern Clinton-Clearfield-Northern Centre-
Including the cities of Renovo, DuBois, Clearfield,
and Philipsburg
1207 PM EST Tue Jan 16 2018
                                Today      Tonight          Wed
Cloud Cover                    Cloudy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip Type                      Snow         Snow         None
Chance Precip (%)                 100           70            0
Temp (24h trend)              27 (+6)      4 (-13)           20
RH % (24h trend)              60 (+8)     88 (-12)           52
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)          LGT/VAR                  W  5 G18
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)            SW  6         W  6     W  8 G24
Precip Amount                    0.12         0.14         0.00
Precip Duration                    12            5
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing         6 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           2350         1160         4400
Transport Wnd (mph)              S  6        SW  9        NW 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               20430         3870        78630
Dispersion                          5            2            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        3            3            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent
REMARKS...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Breezy. Partly cloudy. Lows around 9. Highs in the
mid 20s. West winds 20 to 25 mph.
.FRIDAY...Breezy. Partly cloudy. Lows around 16. Highs in the
lower 30s. West winds 20 to 25 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs in the
lower 40s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Lows in
the mid 30s. Highs in the upper 40s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 30s. Highs in the upper 40s. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
$$
PAZ024-033-162115-
Cambria-Somerset-
Including the cities of Johnstown and Somerset
1207 PM EST Tue Jan 16 2018
                                Today      Tonight          Wed
Cloud Cover                    Cloudy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip Type                      Snow         Snow         None
Chance Precip (%)                 100          100            0
Temp (24h trend)              25 (+3)      4 (-14)           17
RH % (24h trend)             71 (+18)      96 (-4)           56
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)            SW  5                  W  6 G22
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)             W  6         W  6     W 10 G31
Precip Amount                    0.15         0.20         0.00
Precip Duration                    12            7
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing         6 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           2830         1410         3370
Transport Wnd (mph)             SW  8         W 20        NW 22
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               35820        18410        71030
Dispersion                          5            5            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        3            3            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent
REMARKS...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Windy. Partly cloudy. Lows around 9. Highs in the
lower 20s. West winds 20 to 30 mph.
.FRIDAY...Breezy. Mostly clear. Lows around 18. Highs in the
lower 30s. West winds 20 to 25 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the
lower 40s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. Lows in the
mid 30s. Highs in the lower 50s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 30s. Highs in the upper 40s. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
$$
PAZ019-025>028-034-035-162115-
Southern Centre-Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Bedford-Fulton-
Including the cities of State College, Altoona, Huntingdon,
Mount Union, Lewistown, Mifflintown, Bedford, and McConnellsburg
1207 PM EST Tue Jan 16 2018
                                Today      Tonight          Wed
Cloud Cover                    Cloudy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip Type                      Snow         Snow         None
Chance Precip (%)                 100          100            0
Temp (24h trend)              29 (+5)     10 (-11)           24
RH % (24h trend)             63 (+13)      92 (-4)           47
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)          LGT/VAR                 NW  5 G20
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)          LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR    NW  9 G29
Precip Amount                    0.15         0.22         0.00
Precip Duration                    12            8
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing         6 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           1850         1070         4420
Transport Wnd (mph)              S  7        SW  6        NW 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               19850            0        91140
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        2            3            4
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent
REMARKS...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Windy. Partly cloudy. Lows around 12. Highs in the
upper 20s. West winds 25 to 35 mph.
.FRIDAY...Windy. Mostly clear. Lows around 19. Highs in the upper
30s. West winds 20 to 30 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the mid
40s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the lower
50s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 30s. Highs in the lower 50s. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
$$
PAZ037-041-042-162115-
Tioga-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-
Including the cities of Mansfield, Wellsboro, Trout Run,
and Laporte
1207 PM EST Tue Jan 16 2018
                                Today      Tonight          Wed
Cloud Cover                    Cloudy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip Type                      Snow         Snow         None
Chance Precip (%)                 100           70            0
Temp (24h trend)              28 (+8)      6 (-10)           22
RH % (24h trend)              63 (+3)      96 (-4)           52
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)          LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)            SW  5      LGT/VAR    NW  7 G21
Precip Amount                    0.14         0.18         0.00
Precip Duration                    12            6
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing         6 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           2180          760         4400
Transport Wnd (mph)              S  8        NW 12        NW 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               29800          780        71720
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        2            3            4
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent
REMARKS...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 8. Highs in the mid 20s.
West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 16. Highs in the lower 30s.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs around
40. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
upper 40s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Lows in
the upper 30s. Highs in the upper 40s. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
$$
PAZ045-046-049>053-058-162115-
Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour-
Northumberland-Columbia-Schuylkill-
Including the cities of Lock Haven, Williamsport, Lewisburg,
Selinsgrove, Danville, Sunbury, Shamokin, Bloomsburg, Berwick,
and Pottsville
1207 PM EST Tue Jan 16 2018
                                Today      Tonight          Wed
Cloud Cover                    Cloudy       Cloudy        PCldy
Precip Type                      Snow         Snow         None
Chance Precip (%)                 100          100            0
Temp (24h trend)              31 (+8)      13 (-8)           26
RH % (24h trend)              60 (-2)      100 (0)           50
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)          LGT/VAR                     NW  5
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)          LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR    NW  8 G25
Precip Amount                    0.15         0.23         0.00
Precip Duration                    12           10
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing         6 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           2280         1020         4640
Transport Wnd (mph)              S 10        SW  8        NW 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               27050          580        81500
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        2            2            4
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent
REMARKS...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 11. Highs in the upper
20s. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 17. Highs in the mid 30s.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs in the
lower 40s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
upper 40s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Lows in
the mid 30s. Highs in the lower 50s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
PAZ036-056-057-059-063>066-162115-
Franklin-Perry-Dauphin-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster-
Including the cities of Chambersburg, Newport, Harrisburg,
Hershey, Lebanon, Carlisle, Gettysburg, York, and Lancaster
1207 PM EST Tue Jan 16 2018
                                Today      Tonight          Wed
Cloud Cover                    Cloudy       Cloudy        PCldy
Precip Type                      Snow         Snow Snow Showers
Chance Precip (%)                  90          100           20
Temp (24h trend)              34 (+8)      17 (-6)           27
RH % (24h trend)              61 (+8)      100 (0)           48
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)          LGT/VAR                 NW  7 G20
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)          LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR    NW 10 G32
Precip Amount                    0.11         0.26         0.01
Precip Duration                    12           12            1
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing        10 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           2010          650         4380
Transport Wnd (mph)              S 10         S  6        NW 23
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               25600            0        92860
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        2            2            4
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent
REMARKS...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 13. Highs in the lower
30s. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 20. Highs in the upper 30s.
West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the mid
40s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs around 50.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Lows in
the upper 30s. Highs in the lower 50s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.
$$


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