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000
FNUS51 KCTP 171619
FWFCTP
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central Pennsylvania
National Weather Service State College PA
1119 AM EST Fri Nov 17 2017
.DISCUSSION...
A fair day is in store under high pressure. However, a strong cold
front will approach from the west and is expected to pass through
the area Saturday night. Rain showers and even a stray thunderstorm
are possible on Saturday before and along the front. This cold
front will usher in the coldest air of the season and lead to
gusty wind and lake effect snow Sunday into Monday.
PAZ004>006-010-011-172115-
Warren-McKean-Potter-Elk-Cameron-
Including the cities of Warren, Bradford, Coudersport, St. Marys,
Ridgway, and Emporium
1119 AM EST Fri Nov 17 2017
                                Today      Tonight          Sat
Cloud Cover                     PCldy        PCldy       Cloudy
Precip Type                      None         None        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0          100
Temp (24h trend)              44 (+2)      30 (+2)           48
RH % (24h trend)             37 (-33)     81 (-15)           64
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)        NW  8 G17                  S  9 G19
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)          LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR     S 10 G18
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.87
Precip Duration                                              11
Precip Begin                                               6 AM
Precip End                                           Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           2240          270          860
Transport Wnd (mph)             NW 12         S 10         S 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               30600          390        17590
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS  >25 STRIKES
Haines Index                        4            4            2
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent
REMARKS...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Breezy. Rain and snow showers. Lows in the lower 30s.
Highs in the mid 30s. Northwest winds 20 to 25 mph.
.MONDAY...Occasional snow showers. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in
the mid 30s. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the mid
40s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. Lows in
the upper 20s. Highs in the mid 30s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in
the mid 30s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
PAZ012-017-018-172115-
Northern Clinton-Clearfield-Northern Centre-
Including the cities of Renovo, DuBois, Clearfield,
and Philipsburg
1119 AM EST Fri Nov 17 2017
                                Today      Tonight          Sat
Cloud Cover                     PCldy        PCldy       Cloudy
Precip Type                      None         None        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0          100
Temp (24h trend)              42 (-3)      31 (+1)           47
RH % (24h trend)             41 (-23)      85 (-9)           68
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)        NW  9 G17                      S  6
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)             W  5      LGT/VAR         S  8
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.68
Precip Duration                                              11
Precip Begin                                               6 AM
Precip End                                           Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           2480          290          890
Transport Wnd (mph)             NW 14         S  7         S 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               33810           80        10950
Dispersion                          5            1            4
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS  >25 STRIKES
Haines Index                        4            4            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent
REMARKS...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Windy. Rain or snow showers. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs
in the upper 30s. Northwest winds 20 to 30 mph.
.MONDAY...Breezy. Mostly cloudy. A chance of snow showers. Lows
in the mid 20s. Highs in the mid 30s. West winds 15 to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Not as cool. Lows in the upper 20s.
Highs in the mid 40s. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 30. Highs in the upper
30s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in
the mid 30s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
PAZ024-033-172115-
Cambria-Somerset-
Including the cities of Johnstown and Somerset
1119 AM EST Fri Nov 17 2017
                                Today      Tonight          Sat
Cloud Cover                     PCldy        PCldy       Cloudy
Precip Type                      None         None        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0          100
Temp (24h trend)              44 (+1)      33 (+4)           53
RH % (24h trend)             40 (-16)     82 (-10)           57
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)        NW  9 G19                  S 10 G22
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)          LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR    SW 12 G25
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.49
Precip Duration                                              11
Precip Begin                                               6 AM
Precip End                                           Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           2330           30          890
Transport Wnd (mph)             NW 16         S  8         S 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               41250            0        16710
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS  >25 STRIKES
Haines Index                        4            4            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent
REMARKS...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Windy. Rain and snow showers. Lows in the lower 30s.
Highs in the mid 30s. Northwest winds 25 to 35 mph.
.MONDAY...Breezy. Mostly cloudy. A chance of snow showers. Lows
in the lower 20s. Highs in the mid 30s. West winds 15 to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY...Breezy. Partly cloudy. Not as cool. Lows in the upper
20s. Highs in the mid 40s. Southwest winds 15 to 25 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 30. Highs in the upper
30s. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in
the mid 30s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
PAZ019-025>028-034-035-172115-
Southern Centre-Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Bedford-Fulton-
Including the cities of State College, Altoona, Huntingdon,
Mount Union, Lewistown, Mifflintown, Bedford, and McConnellsburg
1119 AM EST Fri Nov 17 2017
                                Today      Tonight          Sat
Cloud Cover                     PCldy        PCldy       Cloudy
Precip Type                      None         None        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0          100
Temp (24h trend)              47 (-3)      31 (-3)           50
RH % (24h trend)             36 (-10)      89 (-3)           61
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)        NW  9 G17                      S  5
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)             W  5      LGT/VAR         S  8
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.40
Precip Duration                                              10
Precip Begin                                               7 AM
Precip End                                           Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           2880          160         1090
Transport Wnd (mph)             NW 16         S  5        SE  8
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               50530            0        23150
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS  >25 STRIKES
Haines Index                        4            4            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent
REMARKS...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Windy. Rain and a chance of flurries. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the lower 40s. Northwest winds 20 to 30 mph.
.MONDAY...Breezy. Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in
the upper 30s. West winds 15 to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
upper 40s. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
lower 40s. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs
in the upper 30s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
PAZ037-041-042-172115-
Tioga-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-
Including the cities of Mansfield, Wellsboro, Trout Run,
and Laporte
1119 AM EST Fri Nov 17 2017
                                Today      Tonight          Sat
Cloud Cover                     PCldy        PCldy       Cloudy
Precip Type                      None         None        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0          100
Temp (24h trend)              42 (-3)      28 (-1)           44
RH % (24h trend)             37 (-26)     81 (-11)           66
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)        NW 11 G21                  S  8 G19
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)             W  6      LGT/VAR     S 10 G20
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.51
Precip Duration                                              10
Precip Begin                                               6 AM
Precip End                                           Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           2540          190          990
Transport Wnd (mph)             NW 14         S  2         S 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               35760            0        19360
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS  >25 STRIKES
Haines Index                        4            4            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent
REMARKS...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Breezy. Rain or snow showers. Lows in the mid 30s.
Highs in the upper 30s. Northwest winds 20 to 25 mph.
.MONDAY...Breezy. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in
the mid 30s. West winds 15 to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the mid
40s. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 30. Highs in the upper
30s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in
the mid 30s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
PAZ045-046-049>053-172115-
Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour-
Northumberland-Columbia-
Including the cities of Lock Haven, Williamsport, Lewisburg,
Selinsgrove, Danville, Sunbury, Shamokin, Bloomsburg, and Berwick
1119 AM EST Fri Nov 17 2017
                                Today      Tonight          Sat
Cloud Cover                    MClear        PCldy       Cloudy
Precip Type                      None         None        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0          100
Temp (24h trend)              45 (-5)      27 (-8)           46
RH % (24h trend)             36 (-16)     96 (+12)           65
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)            NW 10                      S  5
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)            NW  5      LGT/VAR         S  7
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.50
Precip Duration                                               9
Precip Begin                                               7 AM
Precip End                                           Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           3110           60         1150
Transport Wnd (mph)             NW 15        SW  2         S 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               47870            0        26010
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS  >25 STRIKES
Haines Index                        4            4            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent
REMARKS...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Breezy. Rain or a chance of flurries. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the mid 40s. Northwest winds 20 to 25 mph.
.MONDAY...Breezy. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs
around 40. West winds 20 to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
upper 40s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
mid 40s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs
in the upper 30s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
PAZ036-056-057-059-063>066-172115-
Franklin-Perry-Dauphin-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster-
Including the cities of Chambersburg, Newport, Harrisburg,
Hershey, Lebanon, Carlisle, Gettysburg, York, and Lancaster
1119 AM EST Fri Nov 17 2017
                                Today      Tonight          Sat
Cloud Cover                    MClear        PCldy        MCldy
Precip Type                      None         None        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0           70
Temp (24h trend)              48 (-7)      30 (-6)           51
RH % (24h trend)              35 (-9)     96 (+18)           57
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)            NW 10                  S  6 G21
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)            NW  6      LGT/VAR     S  9 G19
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.26
Precip Duration                                               7
Precip Begin                                               7 AM
Precip End                                           Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           3390            0         1520
Transport Wnd (mph)             NW 18        SW  2         S 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               62710            0        33710
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMSDRY LIGHTNING
Haines Index                        4            4            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent
REMARKS...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Windy, rain. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid
40s. Northwest winds 20 to 30 mph.
.MONDAY...Breezy. Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in
the lower 40s. West winds 15 to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
lower 50s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the
upper 40s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 30. Highs in the
lower 40s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
PAZ058-172115-
Schuylkill-
Including the city of Pottsville
1119 AM EST Fri Nov 17 2017
                                Today      Tonight          Sat
Cloud Cover                    MClear        PCldy        MCldy
Precip Type                      None         None        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0           90
Temp (24h trend)              46 (-6)      29 (-6)           48
RH % (24h trend)             35 (-19)      88 (+7)           65
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)        NW 12 G22                  S  6 G17
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)            NW  7      LGT/VAR         S  8
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.37
Precip Duration                                               8
Precip Begin                                               7 AM
Precip End                                           Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           3040          100         1160
Transport Wnd (mph)             NW 20         S  2         S  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               61440            0        17570
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS  >25 STRIKES
Haines Index                        4            4            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent
REMARKS...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Breezy, rain. Lows around 40. Highs in the mid 40s.
Northwest winds 15 to 25 mph.
.MONDAY...Breezy. Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in
the upper 30s. West winds 20 to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
upper 40s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
mid 40s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs
in the upper 30s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation below normal.
$$


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