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Fire Weather Forecast
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000
FNUS51 KCTP 220929
FWFCTP
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central Pennsylvania
National Weather Service State College PA
529 AM EDT Sun Oct 22 2017
.DISCUSSION...
A large area of high pressure centered off the New Jersey
coast will bring spectacular Autumn conditions today through
much of Monday, to enjoy the near peak color of the fall
foliage.
A high-amplitude and deepening, cold upper trough will become
located across the eastern U.S. during the Wednesday and
Thursday timeframe. This weather feature will be preceded and
accompanied by rain that could be heavy at times late Monday
into Tuesday. There is also a chance that a narrow band of
gusty thunderstorms will develop and push east across the state
along a cold front during the day Tuesday.
Brisk and colder weather will follow for Wednesday afternoon
through Thursday with the likelihood of the first snowflakes of
the season across the Northern and Western Mountains of
Pennsylvania.
PAZ004>006-010-011-222115-
Warren-McKean-Potter-Elk-Cameron-
Including the cities of Warren, Bradford, Coudersport, St. Marys,
Ridgway, and Emporium
529 AM EDT Sun Oct 22 2017
                                Today      Tonight          Mon
Cloud Cover                     PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip Type                      None         None      Showers
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0           40
Temp (24h trend)              73 (+1)      50 (+4)           69
RH % (24h trend)              41 (+6)     90 (-10)           57
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)          LGT/VAR                      S  6
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)             S  6         S  7         S  8
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.01
Precip Duration                                               2
Precip Begin                                               8 AM
Precip End                                           Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           3800          760         2170
Transport Wnd (mph)              S 14         S 14        SE 22
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               55960         6220        55000
Dispersion                          5            3            5
DSI                                 1            0            0
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        4            4            4
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent
REMARKS...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 60s.
South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and scattered
snow showers. Cooler. Lows around 40. Highs in the lower 50s.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered rain and snow showers. Lows
in the mid 30s. Highs around 50. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the mid
50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the upper 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
PAZ012-017-018-222115-
Northern Clinton-Clearfield-Northern Centre-
Including the cities of Renovo, DuBois, Clearfield,
and Philipsburg
529 AM EDT Sun Oct 22 2017
                                Today      Tonight          Mon
Cloud Cover                     PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip Type                      None         None      Showers
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0           40
Temp (24h trend)              74 (+2)      51 (+6)           69
RH % (24h trend)              41 (+4)     90 (-10)           57
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)          LGT/VAR                      S  5
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)             S  6        SE  6         S  7
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                                               2
Precip Begin                                               8 AM
Precip End                                           Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           3820          760         2730
Transport Wnd (mph)              S 12         S 10         S 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               47830         3670        67260
Dispersion                          5            2            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        4            4            4
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent
REMARKS...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 60s.
South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and scattered
snow showers. Cooler. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower
50s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered rain and snow showers. Lows
in the mid 30s. Highs in the lower 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
upper 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the lower 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
PAZ024-033-222115-
Cambria-Somerset-
Including the cities of Johnstown and Somerset
529 AM EDT Sun Oct 22 2017
                                Today      Tonight          Mon
Cloud Cover                     PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip Type                      None         None      Showers
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0           50
Temp (24h trend)              72 (+2)      51 (+4)           68
RH % (24h trend)              45 (+3)     90 (-10)           59
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)          LGT/VAR                      S  6
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)             S  7        SE  7     S  9 G18
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.03
Precip Duration                                               2
Precip Begin                                               8 AM
Precip End                                           Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           3820          790         1940
Transport Wnd (mph)              S 13         S 14        SE 23
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               47320         3970        46550
Dispersion                          5            2            5
DSI                                 1            0            0
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        4            4            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent
REMARKS...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 60s.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and scattered
snow showers. Cooler. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the upper
40s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered rain and snow showers. Lows
in the mid 30s. Highs in the upper 40s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
upper 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs around 60. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
PAZ034-035-222115-
Bedford-Fulton-
Including the cities of Bedford and McConnellsburg
529 AM EDT Sun Oct 22 2017
                                Today      Tonight          Mon
Cloud Cover                     PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip Type                      None         None      Showers
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0           40
Temp (24h trend)              75 (+2)      50 (+4)           71
RH % (24h trend)              44 (+9)     90 (-10)           55
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)          LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)             S  6        SE  5         S  7
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                                               2
Precip Begin                                               8 AM
Precip End                                           Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           3570          340         3230
Transport Wnd (mph)              S 14        SE 14        SE 24
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               48760            0        91910
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        4            4            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent
REMARKS...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid
50s. Highs in the mid 60s. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the mid 50s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
mid 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs around 60.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid
60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
PAZ037-041-042-222115-
Tioga-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-
Including the cities of Mansfield, Wellsboro, Trout Run,
and Laporte
529 AM EDT Sun Oct 22 2017
                                Today      Tonight          Mon
Cloud Cover                     PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip Type                      None         None      Showers
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0           20
Temp (24h trend)              72 (+1)      51 (+6)           67
RH % (24h trend)              38 (+3)      93 (-7)           61
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)          LGT/VAR                      S  7
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)             S  7         S  7     S  9 G17
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                                               1
Precip Begin                                               8 AM
Precip End                                           Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           2430          290         2750
Transport Wnd (mph)              S 14         S 13         S 23
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               41530            0        69790
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 0            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        4            4            4
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent
REMARKS...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Breezy. Rain and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 60s. South winds 15 to 25 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the mid 50s. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the
lower 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the mid
50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
upper 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
PAZ045-046-049>053-222115-
Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour-
Northumberland-Columbia-
Including the cities of Lock Haven, Williamsport, Lewisburg,
Selinsgrove, Danville, Sunbury, Shamokin, Bloomsburg, and Berwick
529 AM EDT Sun Oct 22 2017
                                Today      Tonight          Mon
Cloud Cover                     PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip Type                      None         None      Showers
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0           30
Temp (24h trend)              73 (-1)      52 (+7)           71
RH % (24h trend)              41 (+6)      93 (-7)           57
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)          LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)             S  5        SE  5         S  7
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                                               1
Precip Begin                                               8 AM
Precip End                                           Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           2710          190         3770
Transport Wnd (mph)              S 12        SE  9         S 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               30690            0        82950
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 0            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        4            4            4
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent
REMARKS...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Rain and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper
50s. Highs in the upper 60s. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the upper 50s. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
mid 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
upper 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the
lower 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
PAZ036-056-057-059-063>066-222115-
Franklin-Perry-Dauphin-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster-
Including the cities of Chambersburg, Newport, Harrisburg,
Hershey, Lebanon, Carlisle, Gettysburg, York, and Lancaster
529 AM EDT Sun Oct 22 2017
                                Today      Tonight          Mon
Cloud Cover                     PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip Type                      None         None      Showers
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0           20
Temp (24h trend)               73 (0)      52 (+6)           73
RH % (24h trend)              44 (+9)      96 (-4)           57
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)          LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)             S  5      LGT/VAR         S  7
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                                               1
Precip Begin                                               8 AM
Precip End                                           Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           3270            0         4750
Transport Wnd (mph)              S 10        SE  6         S 23
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               44170            0       103960
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        4            4            4
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent
REMARKS...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Rain and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper
50s. Highs in the upper 60s. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the upper 50s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. Highs in the mid 50s.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. Highs in the lower 60s.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid
60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
PAZ019-025>028-222115-
Southern Centre-Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-
Including the cities of State College, Altoona, Huntingdon,
Mount Union, Lewistown, and Mifflintown
529 AM EDT Sun Oct 22 2017
                                Today      Tonight          Mon
Cloud Cover                     PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip Type                      None         None      Showers
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0           30
Temp (24h trend)              74 (+1)      51 (+6)           70
RH % (24h trend)              45 (+8)      93 (-7)           57
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)          LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)             S  6        SE  5         S  7
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                                               1
Precip Begin                                               8 AM
Precip End                                           Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           3450          460         3700
Transport Wnd (mph)              S 13         S 10         S 22
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               45060          170        90060
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        4            4            4
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent
REMARKS...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Rain and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper
50s. Highs in the mid 60s. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the mid 50s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
mid 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
upper 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the
lower 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
PAZ058-222115-
Schuylkill-
Including the city of Pottsville
529 AM EDT Sun Oct 22 2017
                                Today      Tonight          Mon
Cloud Cover                     PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip Type                      None         None      Showers
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0           30
Temp (24h trend)              74 (+1)      53 (+8)           71
RH % (24h trend)              39 (+6)      93 (-7)           61
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)          LGT/VAR                      S  5
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)             S  5      LGT/VAR         S  7
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                                               1
Precip Begin                                               2 PM
Precip End                                           Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           2380          140         3930
Transport Wnd (mph)              S  9        SE  8         S 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               28080            0        81530
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        4            4            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent
REMARKS...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Rain and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper
50s. Highs in the upper 60s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the upper 50s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
mid 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
upper 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the
lower 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation above normal.
$$


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