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000
FXUS64 KBMX 060454
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1154 PM CDT TUE MAY 5 2015

.UPDATE...
FOR 06Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

CRYSTAL CLEAR SKIES ARE UPON ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA THIS EVENING.
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR NORTHEAST REMAINS IN CONTROL OF THE
WEATHER PATTERN. ONLY ADJUSTMENTS TO THE FORECAST ARE FOR HOURLY
TRENDS AND A FEW MINOR TWEAKS TO THE OVERNIGHT LOWS. IR SATELLITE
IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW THE DEVELOPMENT OF AN UPPER LEVEL LOW
OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA THAT WILL GRADUALLY DEVELOP A SURFACE
REFLECTION DURING THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY. LATEST TRENDS CONTINUE TO
INDICATE THAT WE WON`T SEE ANY IMPACTS FROM THE LOW...WITH UPPER
LEVEL RIDGING PREVENTING ANY WESTWARD MOVEMENT OF THE SYSTEM.
WE`LL STAY WARM AND DRY THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

56/GDG


&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

OVERALL...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOUR AS
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN CONTROL. HOWEVER...THERE IS A CHANCE
THAT SOME MVFR BR MAY DEVELOP AFTER 7Z AT TCL THROUGH 11Z. WINDS
PICK BACK UP AROUND 7 KTS AFTER 15 FROM THE EAST-SOUTHEAST.

16

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KBMX 060454
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1154 PM CDT TUE MAY 5 2015

.UPDATE...
FOR 06Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

CRYSTAL CLEAR SKIES ARE UPON ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA THIS EVENING.
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR NORTHEAST REMAINS IN CONTROL OF THE
WEATHER PATTERN. ONLY ADJUSTMENTS TO THE FORECAST ARE FOR HOURLY
TRENDS AND A FEW MINOR TWEAKS TO THE OVERNIGHT LOWS. IR SATELLITE
IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW THE DEVELOPMENT OF AN UPPER LEVEL LOW
OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA THAT WILL GRADUALLY DEVELOP A SURFACE
REFLECTION DURING THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY. LATEST TRENDS CONTINUE TO
INDICATE THAT WE WON`T SEE ANY IMPACTS FROM THE LOW...WITH UPPER
LEVEL RIDGING PREVENTING ANY WESTWARD MOVEMENT OF THE SYSTEM.
WE`LL STAY WARM AND DRY THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

56/GDG


&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

OVERALL...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOUR AS
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN CONTROL. HOWEVER...THERE IS A CHANCE
THAT SOME MVFR BR MAY DEVELOP AFTER 7Z AT TCL THROUGH 11Z. WINDS
PICK BACK UP AROUND 7 KTS AFTER 15 FROM THE EAST-SOUTHEAST.

16

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KBMX 060334
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1034 PM CDT TUE MAY 5 2015

.UPDATE...
EVENING UPDATE.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

CRYSTAL CLEAR SKIES ARE UPON ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA THIS EVENING.
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR NORTHEAST REMAINS IN CONTROL OF THE
WEATHER PATTERN. ONLY ADJUSTMENTS TO THE FORECAST ARE FOR HOURLY
TRENDS AND A FEW MINOR TWEAKS TO THE OVERNIGHT LOWS. IR SATELLITE
IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW THE DEVELOPMENT OF AN UPPER LEVEL LOW
OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA THAT WILL GRADUALLY DEVELOP A SURFACE
REFLECTION DURING THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY. LATEST TRENDS CONTINUE TO
INDICATE THAT WE WON`T SEE ANY IMPACTS FROM THE LOW...WITH UPPER
LEVEL RIDGING PREVENTING ANY WESTWARD MOVEMENT OF THE SYSTEM.
WE`LL STAY WARM AND DRY THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

56/GDG

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

NO FLIGHT RESTRICTIONS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOUR. WINDS PICK
BACK UP AROUND 7 KTS AFTER 15 FROM THE EAST-SOUTHEAST.

16

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 208 PM CDT TUE MAY 5 2015/

QUIET WEATHER PATTERN CONTINUES ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
WEEK...SO NOT MANY CHANGES TO THE FORECAST NEEDED TODAY. UPPER
LEVEL RIDGING WILL REMAIN THE DOMINANT PLAYER IN THE
FORECAST...KEEPING THE STORM TRACK TO OUR WEST AND NORTH...AND ANY
DEVELOPMENT IN THE WESTERN ATLANTIC WELL TO OUR EAST.

500MB HEIGHTS INCREASE BY THE END OF THE WEEK...ALLOWING
HIGH TEMPERATURES TO TOP OUT IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S FOR THE
WEEKEND. WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE A FEW 90 DEGREE READINGS
ACROSS THE SOUTH ON SUNDAY. MODELS SHOW A COUPLE WEAK IMPULSES
ATTEMPTING TO ERODE THE RIDGE AT TIMES THROUGH THE WEEK. TYPICALLY
IN THESE PATTERN SETUPS...THE RIDGE HOLDS AND ANY SHOWER/TS
DEVELOPMENT IS QUITE LIMITED.

UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN CONUS THIS WEEK FINALLY
SHIFTS EASTWARD LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD. ALTHOUGH MODELS SEEM
TO TREND SLIGHTLY SLOWER EACH DAY FOR THE RETURN OF RAIN CHANCES.
COULD SEE A FEW SHOWERS OR TS BACK IN THE AREA BY SUNDAY
NIGHT/MONDAY.

14

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     55  82  55  85  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    59  82  57  85  58 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  61  83  60  85  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  61  84  60  86  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      59  83  58  85  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      59  81  58  84  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  60  85  61  87  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        60  84  60  86  60 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KBMX 060334
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1034 PM CDT TUE MAY 5 2015

.UPDATE...
EVENING UPDATE.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

CRYSTAL CLEAR SKIES ARE UPON ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA THIS EVENING.
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR NORTHEAST REMAINS IN CONTROL OF THE
WEATHER PATTERN. ONLY ADJUSTMENTS TO THE FORECAST ARE FOR HOURLY
TRENDS AND A FEW MINOR TWEAKS TO THE OVERNIGHT LOWS. IR SATELLITE
IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW THE DEVELOPMENT OF AN UPPER LEVEL LOW
OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA THAT WILL GRADUALLY DEVELOP A SURFACE
REFLECTION DURING THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY. LATEST TRENDS CONTINUE TO
INDICATE THAT WE WON`T SEE ANY IMPACTS FROM THE LOW...WITH UPPER
LEVEL RIDGING PREVENTING ANY WESTWARD MOVEMENT OF THE SYSTEM.
WE`LL STAY WARM AND DRY THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

56/GDG

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

NO FLIGHT RESTRICTIONS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOUR. WINDS PICK
BACK UP AROUND 7 KTS AFTER 15 FROM THE EAST-SOUTHEAST.

16

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 208 PM CDT TUE MAY 5 2015/

QUIET WEATHER PATTERN CONTINUES ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
WEEK...SO NOT MANY CHANGES TO THE FORECAST NEEDED TODAY. UPPER
LEVEL RIDGING WILL REMAIN THE DOMINANT PLAYER IN THE
FORECAST...KEEPING THE STORM TRACK TO OUR WEST AND NORTH...AND ANY
DEVELOPMENT IN THE WESTERN ATLANTIC WELL TO OUR EAST.

500MB HEIGHTS INCREASE BY THE END OF THE WEEK...ALLOWING
HIGH TEMPERATURES TO TOP OUT IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S FOR THE
WEEKEND. WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE A FEW 90 DEGREE READINGS
ACROSS THE SOUTH ON SUNDAY. MODELS SHOW A COUPLE WEAK IMPULSES
ATTEMPTING TO ERODE THE RIDGE AT TIMES THROUGH THE WEEK. TYPICALLY
IN THESE PATTERN SETUPS...THE RIDGE HOLDS AND ANY SHOWER/TS
DEVELOPMENT IS QUITE LIMITED.

UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN CONUS THIS WEEK FINALLY
SHIFTS EASTWARD LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD. ALTHOUGH MODELS SEEM
TO TREND SLIGHTLY SLOWER EACH DAY FOR THE RETURN OF RAIN CHANCES.
COULD SEE A FEW SHOWERS OR TS BACK IN THE AREA BY SUNDAY
NIGHT/MONDAY.

14

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     55  82  55  85  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    59  82  57  85  58 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  61  83  60  85  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  61  84  60  86  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      59  83  58  85  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      59  81  58  84  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  60  85  61  87  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        60  84  60  86  60 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KBMX 052318
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
618 PM CDT TUE MAY 5 2015

.UPDATE...
FOR 00Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

QUIET WEATHER PATTERN CONTINUES ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
WEEK...SO NOT MANY CHANGES TO THE FORECAST NEEDED TODAY. UPPER
LEVEL RIDGING WILL REMAIN THE DOMINANT PLAYER IN THE
FORECAST...KEEPING THE STORM TRACK TO OUR WEST AND NORTH...AND ANY
DEVELOPMENT IN THE WESTERN ATLANTIC WELL TO OUR EAST.

500MB HEIGHTS INCREASE BY THE END OF THE WEEK...ALLOWING
HIGH TEMPERATURES TO TOP OUT IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S FOR THE
WEEKEND. WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE A FEW 90 DEGREE READINGS
ACROSS THE SOUTH ON SUNDAY. MODELS SHOW A COUPLE WEAK IMPULSES
ATTEMPTING TO ERODE THE RIDGE AT TIMES THROUGH THE WEEK. TYPICALLY
IN THESE PATTERN SETUPS...THE RIDGE HOLDS AND ANY SHOWER/TS
DEVELOPMENT IS QUITE LIMITED.

UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN CONUS THIS WEEK FINALLY
SHIFTS EASTWARD LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD. ALTHOUGH MODELS SEEM
TO TREND SLIGHTLY SLOWER EACH DAY FOR THE RETURN OF RAIN CHANCES.
COULD SEE A FEW SHOWERS OR TS BACK IN THE AREA BY SUNDAY
NIGHT/MONDAY.

14


&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

NO FLIGHT RESTRICTIONS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOUR. WINDS PICK
BACK UP AROUND 7 KTS AFTER 15 FROM THE EAST-SOUTHEAST.

16

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KBMX 052318
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
618 PM CDT TUE MAY 5 2015

.UPDATE...
FOR 00Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

QUIET WEATHER PATTERN CONTINUES ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
WEEK...SO NOT MANY CHANGES TO THE FORECAST NEEDED TODAY. UPPER
LEVEL RIDGING WILL REMAIN THE DOMINANT PLAYER IN THE
FORECAST...KEEPING THE STORM TRACK TO OUR WEST AND NORTH...AND ANY
DEVELOPMENT IN THE WESTERN ATLANTIC WELL TO OUR EAST.

500MB HEIGHTS INCREASE BY THE END OF THE WEEK...ALLOWING
HIGH TEMPERATURES TO TOP OUT IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S FOR THE
WEEKEND. WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE A FEW 90 DEGREE READINGS
ACROSS THE SOUTH ON SUNDAY. MODELS SHOW A COUPLE WEAK IMPULSES
ATTEMPTING TO ERODE THE RIDGE AT TIMES THROUGH THE WEEK. TYPICALLY
IN THESE PATTERN SETUPS...THE RIDGE HOLDS AND ANY SHOWER/TS
DEVELOPMENT IS QUITE LIMITED.

UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN CONUS THIS WEEK FINALLY
SHIFTS EASTWARD LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD. ALTHOUGH MODELS SEEM
TO TREND SLIGHTLY SLOWER EACH DAY FOR THE RETURN OF RAIN CHANCES.
COULD SEE A FEW SHOWERS OR TS BACK IN THE AREA BY SUNDAY
NIGHT/MONDAY.

14


&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

NO FLIGHT RESTRICTIONS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOUR. WINDS PICK
BACK UP AROUND 7 KTS AFTER 15 FROM THE EAST-SOUTHEAST.

16

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KBMX 052318
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
618 PM CDT TUE MAY 5 2015

.UPDATE...
FOR 00Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

QUIET WEATHER PATTERN CONTINUES ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
WEEK...SO NOT MANY CHANGES TO THE FORECAST NEEDED TODAY. UPPER
LEVEL RIDGING WILL REMAIN THE DOMINANT PLAYER IN THE
FORECAST...KEEPING THE STORM TRACK TO OUR WEST AND NORTH...AND ANY
DEVELOPMENT IN THE WESTERN ATLANTIC WELL TO OUR EAST.

500MB HEIGHTS INCREASE BY THE END OF THE WEEK...ALLOWING
HIGH TEMPERATURES TO TOP OUT IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S FOR THE
WEEKEND. WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE A FEW 90 DEGREE READINGS
ACROSS THE SOUTH ON SUNDAY. MODELS SHOW A COUPLE WEAK IMPULSES
ATTEMPTING TO ERODE THE RIDGE AT TIMES THROUGH THE WEEK. TYPICALLY
IN THESE PATTERN SETUPS...THE RIDGE HOLDS AND ANY SHOWER/TS
DEVELOPMENT IS QUITE LIMITED.

UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN CONUS THIS WEEK FINALLY
SHIFTS EASTWARD LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD. ALTHOUGH MODELS SEEM
TO TREND SLIGHTLY SLOWER EACH DAY FOR THE RETURN OF RAIN CHANCES.
COULD SEE A FEW SHOWERS OR TS BACK IN THE AREA BY SUNDAY
NIGHT/MONDAY.

14


&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

NO FLIGHT RESTRICTIONS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOUR. WINDS PICK
BACK UP AROUND 7 KTS AFTER 15 FROM THE EAST-SOUTHEAST.

16

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KBMX 051908
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
208 PM CDT TUE MAY 5 2015

.DISCUSSION...

QUIET WEATHER PATTERN CONTINUES ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
WEEK...SO NOT MANY CHANGES TO THE FORECAST NEEDED TODAY. UPPER
LEVEL RIDGING WILL REMAIN THE DOMINANT PLAYER IN THE
FORECAST...KEEPING THE STORM TRACK TO OUR WEST AND NORTH...AND ANY
DEVELOPMENT IN THE WESTERN ATLANTIC WELL TO OUR EAST.

500MB HEIGHTS INCREASE BY THE END OF THE WEEK...ALLOWING
HIGH TEMPERATURES TO TOP OUT IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S FOR THE
WEEKEND. WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE A FEW 90 DEGREE READINGS
ACROSS THE SOUTH ON SUNDAY. MODELS SHOW A COUPLE WEAK IMPULSES
ATTEMPTING TO ERODE THE RIDGE AT TIMES THROUGH THE WEEK. TYPICALLY
IN THESE PATTERN SETUPS...THE RIDGE HOLDS AND ANY SHOWER/TS
DEVELOPMENT IS QUITE LIMITED.

UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN CONUS THIS WEEK FINALLY
SHIFTS EASTWARD LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD. ALTHOUGH MODELS SEEM
TO TREND SLIGHTLY SLOWER EACH DAY FOR THE RETURN OF RAIN CHANCES.
COULD SEE A FEW SHOWERS OR TS BACK IN THE AREA BY SUNDAY
NIGHT/MONDAY.

14

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THRU THE PERIOD. WINDS WILL REMAIN OUT
OF THE E/SE AT 5-10 KTS TODAY THEN BECOMING LIGHT/CALM OVERNIGHT.

19


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     56  82  55  85  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    58  82  57  85  58 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  60  83  60  85  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  60  84  60  86  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      59  83  58  85  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      59  81  58  84  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  60  85  61  87  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        61  84  60  86  60 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KBMX 051908
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
208 PM CDT TUE MAY 5 2015

.DISCUSSION...

QUIET WEATHER PATTERN CONTINUES ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
WEEK...SO NOT MANY CHANGES TO THE FORECAST NEEDED TODAY. UPPER
LEVEL RIDGING WILL REMAIN THE DOMINANT PLAYER IN THE
FORECAST...KEEPING THE STORM TRACK TO OUR WEST AND NORTH...AND ANY
DEVELOPMENT IN THE WESTERN ATLANTIC WELL TO OUR EAST.

500MB HEIGHTS INCREASE BY THE END OF THE WEEK...ALLOWING
HIGH TEMPERATURES TO TOP OUT IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S FOR THE
WEEKEND. WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE A FEW 90 DEGREE READINGS
ACROSS THE SOUTH ON SUNDAY. MODELS SHOW A COUPLE WEAK IMPULSES
ATTEMPTING TO ERODE THE RIDGE AT TIMES THROUGH THE WEEK. TYPICALLY
IN THESE PATTERN SETUPS...THE RIDGE HOLDS AND ANY SHOWER/TS
DEVELOPMENT IS QUITE LIMITED.

UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN CONUS THIS WEEK FINALLY
SHIFTS EASTWARD LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD. ALTHOUGH MODELS SEEM
TO TREND SLIGHTLY SLOWER EACH DAY FOR THE RETURN OF RAIN CHANCES.
COULD SEE A FEW SHOWERS OR TS BACK IN THE AREA BY SUNDAY
NIGHT/MONDAY.

14

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THRU THE PERIOD. WINDS WILL REMAIN OUT
OF THE E/SE AT 5-10 KTS TODAY THEN BECOMING LIGHT/CALM OVERNIGHT.

19


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     56  82  55  85  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    58  82  57  85  58 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  60  83  60  85  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  60  84  60  86  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      59  83  58  85  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      59  81  58  84  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  60  85  61  87  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        61  84  60  86  60 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KBMX 051908
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
208 PM CDT TUE MAY 5 2015

.DISCUSSION...

QUIET WEATHER PATTERN CONTINUES ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
WEEK...SO NOT MANY CHANGES TO THE FORECAST NEEDED TODAY. UPPER
LEVEL RIDGING WILL REMAIN THE DOMINANT PLAYER IN THE
FORECAST...KEEPING THE STORM TRACK TO OUR WEST AND NORTH...AND ANY
DEVELOPMENT IN THE WESTERN ATLANTIC WELL TO OUR EAST.

500MB HEIGHTS INCREASE BY THE END OF THE WEEK...ALLOWING
HIGH TEMPERATURES TO TOP OUT IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S FOR THE
WEEKEND. WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE A FEW 90 DEGREE READINGS
ACROSS THE SOUTH ON SUNDAY. MODELS SHOW A COUPLE WEAK IMPULSES
ATTEMPTING TO ERODE THE RIDGE AT TIMES THROUGH THE WEEK. TYPICALLY
IN THESE PATTERN SETUPS...THE RIDGE HOLDS AND ANY SHOWER/TS
DEVELOPMENT IS QUITE LIMITED.

UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN CONUS THIS WEEK FINALLY
SHIFTS EASTWARD LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD. ALTHOUGH MODELS SEEM
TO TREND SLIGHTLY SLOWER EACH DAY FOR THE RETURN OF RAIN CHANCES.
COULD SEE A FEW SHOWERS OR TS BACK IN THE AREA BY SUNDAY
NIGHT/MONDAY.

14

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THRU THE PERIOD. WINDS WILL REMAIN OUT
OF THE E/SE AT 5-10 KTS TODAY THEN BECOMING LIGHT/CALM OVERNIGHT.

19


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     56  82  55  85  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    58  82  57  85  58 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  60  83  60  85  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  60  84  60  86  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      59  83  58  85  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      59  81  58  84  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  60  85  61  87  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        61  84  60  86  60 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KBMX 051720
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1220 PM CDT TUE MAY 5 2015

.UPDATE...
FOR 18Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK THIS MORNING. PLENTY OF SUN OUT THERE
WITH TEMPS ALREADY IN THE MID/UPPER 70S. HIGHS ARE EXPECTED TO
REACH INTO THE LOW/MID 80S ONCE AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON. SFC WINDS
REMAIN LIGHT AND OUT OF THE E/SE THANKS TO THE RIDGE IN THE
ATLANTIC.

19


&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THRU THE PERIOD. WINDS WILL REMAIN OUT
OF THE E/SE AT 5-10 KTS TODAY THEN BECOMING LIGHT/CALM OVERNIGHT.

19

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     53  82  54  85  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    56  82  56  85  58 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  58  83  59  85  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  58  84  59  86  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      57  83  59  85  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      57  81  59  84  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  59  85  61  87  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        59  84  60  86  60 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KBMX 051720
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1220 PM CDT TUE MAY 5 2015

.UPDATE...
FOR 18Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK THIS MORNING. PLENTY OF SUN OUT THERE
WITH TEMPS ALREADY IN THE MID/UPPER 70S. HIGHS ARE EXPECTED TO
REACH INTO THE LOW/MID 80S ONCE AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON. SFC WINDS
REMAIN LIGHT AND OUT OF THE E/SE THANKS TO THE RIDGE IN THE
ATLANTIC.

19


&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THRU THE PERIOD. WINDS WILL REMAIN OUT
OF THE E/SE AT 5-10 KTS TODAY THEN BECOMING LIGHT/CALM OVERNIGHT.

19

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     53  82  54  85  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    56  82  56  85  58 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  58  83  59  85  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  58  84  59  86  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      57  83  59  85  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      57  81  59  84  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  59  85  61  87  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        59  84  60  86  60 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KBMX 051614
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1114 AM CDT TUE MAY 5 2015

.UPDATE...
MORNING UPDATE.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK THIS MORNING. PLENTY OF SUN OUT THERE
WITH TEMPS ALREADY IN THE MID/UPPER 70S. HIGHS ARE EXPECTED TO
REACH INTO THE LOW/MID 80S ONCE AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON. SFC WINDS
REMAIN LIGHT AND OUT OF THE E/SE THANKS TO THE RIDGE IN THE
ATLANTIC.

19

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF DISCUSSION.

SOME MINOR MVFR VISIBILITIES THIS MORNING AND THESE SHOULD
REBOUND TO VFR OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS AS MIXING GETS GOING
AND THINGS WARM UP. SOME SCT CLOUDS AROUND 7-8 KFT ARE POSSIBLE
DURING THE DAY TODAY AS WELL AS WE HEAT UP. OTHERWISE...THE ONLY
ISSUE WILL BE SLIGHTLY HIGHER WINDS DURING THE DAYTIME WITH A FEW
GUSTS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION...MORE SO AT THE SOUTHERN TAFS...IE
MGM/TOI. EAST COAST HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS TO THE EAST OF THE STATE
OVER THE ATLANTIC WITH ELONGATED RIDGING INTO THE CAROLINAS AND
EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS EXPECTED TODAY ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA.
THESE DIURNAL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO LIGHTEN AROUND SUNSET.

08/MK

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     82  53  82  54  85 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    83  56  82  56  85 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  83  58  83  59  85 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  84  58  84  59  86 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      83  57  83  59  85 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      81  57  81  59  84 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  84  59  85  61  87 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        83  59  84  60  86 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KBMX 051614
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1114 AM CDT TUE MAY 5 2015

.UPDATE...
MORNING UPDATE.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK THIS MORNING. PLENTY OF SUN OUT THERE
WITH TEMPS ALREADY IN THE MID/UPPER 70S. HIGHS ARE EXPECTED TO
REACH INTO THE LOW/MID 80S ONCE AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON. SFC WINDS
REMAIN LIGHT AND OUT OF THE E/SE THANKS TO THE RIDGE IN THE
ATLANTIC.

19

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF DISCUSSION.

SOME MINOR MVFR VISIBILITIES THIS MORNING AND THESE SHOULD
REBOUND TO VFR OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS AS MIXING GETS GOING
AND THINGS WARM UP. SOME SCT CLOUDS AROUND 7-8 KFT ARE POSSIBLE
DURING THE DAY TODAY AS WELL AS WE HEAT UP. OTHERWISE...THE ONLY
ISSUE WILL BE SLIGHTLY HIGHER WINDS DURING THE DAYTIME WITH A FEW
GUSTS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION...MORE SO AT THE SOUTHERN TAFS...IE
MGM/TOI. EAST COAST HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS TO THE EAST OF THE STATE
OVER THE ATLANTIC WITH ELONGATED RIDGING INTO THE CAROLINAS AND
EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS EXPECTED TODAY ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA.
THESE DIURNAL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO LIGHTEN AROUND SUNSET.

08/MK

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     82  53  82  54  85 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    83  56  82  56  85 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  83  58  83  59  85 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  84  58  84  59  86 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      83  57  83  59  85 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      81  57  81  59  84 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  84  59  85  61  87 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        83  59  84  60  86 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KBMX 051614
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1114 AM CDT TUE MAY 5 2015

.UPDATE...
MORNING UPDATE.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK THIS MORNING. PLENTY OF SUN OUT THERE
WITH TEMPS ALREADY IN THE MID/UPPER 70S. HIGHS ARE EXPECTED TO
REACH INTO THE LOW/MID 80S ONCE AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON. SFC WINDS
REMAIN LIGHT AND OUT OF THE E/SE THANKS TO THE RIDGE IN THE
ATLANTIC.

19

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF DISCUSSION.

SOME MINOR MVFR VISIBILITIES THIS MORNING AND THESE SHOULD
REBOUND TO VFR OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS AS MIXING GETS GOING
AND THINGS WARM UP. SOME SCT CLOUDS AROUND 7-8 KFT ARE POSSIBLE
DURING THE DAY TODAY AS WELL AS WE HEAT UP. OTHERWISE...THE ONLY
ISSUE WILL BE SLIGHTLY HIGHER WINDS DURING THE DAYTIME WITH A FEW
GUSTS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION...MORE SO AT THE SOUTHERN TAFS...IE
MGM/TOI. EAST COAST HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS TO THE EAST OF THE STATE
OVER THE ATLANTIC WITH ELONGATED RIDGING INTO THE CAROLINAS AND
EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS EXPECTED TODAY ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA.
THESE DIURNAL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO LIGHTEN AROUND SUNSET.

08/MK

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     82  53  82  54  85 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    83  56  82  56  85 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  83  58  83  59  85 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  84  58  84  59  86 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      83  57  83  59  85 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      81  57  81  59  84 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  84  59  85  61  87 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        83  59  84  60  86 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KBMX 051614
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1114 AM CDT TUE MAY 5 2015

.UPDATE...
MORNING UPDATE.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK THIS MORNING. PLENTY OF SUN OUT THERE
WITH TEMPS ALREADY IN THE MID/UPPER 70S. HIGHS ARE EXPECTED TO
REACH INTO THE LOW/MID 80S ONCE AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON. SFC WINDS
REMAIN LIGHT AND OUT OF THE E/SE THANKS TO THE RIDGE IN THE
ATLANTIC.

19

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF DISCUSSION.

SOME MINOR MVFR VISIBILITIES THIS MORNING AND THESE SHOULD
REBOUND TO VFR OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS AS MIXING GETS GOING
AND THINGS WARM UP. SOME SCT CLOUDS AROUND 7-8 KFT ARE POSSIBLE
DURING THE DAY TODAY AS WELL AS WE HEAT UP. OTHERWISE...THE ONLY
ISSUE WILL BE SLIGHTLY HIGHER WINDS DURING THE DAYTIME WITH A FEW
GUSTS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION...MORE SO AT THE SOUTHERN TAFS...IE
MGM/TOI. EAST COAST HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS TO THE EAST OF THE STATE
OVER THE ATLANTIC WITH ELONGATED RIDGING INTO THE CAROLINAS AND
EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS EXPECTED TODAY ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA.
THESE DIURNAL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO LIGHTEN AROUND SUNSET.

08/MK

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     82  53  82  54  85 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    83  56  82  56  85 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  83  58  83  59  85 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  84  58  84  59  86 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      83  57  83  59  85 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      81  57  81  59  84 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  84  59  85  61  87 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        83  59  84  60  86 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KBMX 051148 AAA
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
648 AM CDT TUE MAY 5 2015

.UPDATE...
FOR 12Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

A BENIGN WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE REST OF THE
WEEK WITH RELATIVELY HIGH 500MB HEIGHTS IN PLACE. TEMPERATURES
SHOULD NOT VARY MUCH FROM DAY TO DAY...THOUGH A BIT OF A WARMING
TREND SHOULD OCCUR FROM THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY AS A 500MB RIDGE
AMPLIFIES IN RESPONSE TO A TROUGH ACROSS THE PLAINS. SOME SPOTS
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE AREA COULD TOUCH THE 90 DEGREE
MARK. THE NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN COULD COME ON MONDAY INTO TUESDAY AS
THE PLAINS TROUGH SHIFTS EASTWARD.

87/GRANTHAM

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF DISCUSSION.

SOME MINOR MVFR VISIBILITIES THIS MORNING AND THESE SHOULD
REBOUND TO VFR OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS AS MIXING GETS GOING
AND THINGS WARM UP. SOME SCT CLOUDS AROUND 7-8 KFT ARE POSSIBLE
DURING THE DAY TODAY AS WELL AS WE HEAT UP. OTHERWISE...THE ONLY
ISSUE WILL BE SLIGHTLY HIGHER WINDS DURING THE DAYTIME WITH A FEW
GUSTS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION...MORE SO AT THE SOUTHERN TAFS...IE
MGM/TOI. EAST COAST HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS TO THE EAST OF THE STATE
OVER THE ATLANTIC WITH ELONGATED RIDGING INTO THE CAROLINAS AND
EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS EXPECTED TODAY ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA.
THESE DIURNAL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO LIGHTEN AROUND SUNSET.

08/MK

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     82  53  82  54  85 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    83  56  82  56  85 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  83  58  83  59  85 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  84  58  84  59  86 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      83  57  83  59  85 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      81  57  81  59  84 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  84  59  85  61  87 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        83  59  84  60  86 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

87/08





000
FXUS64 KBMX 051148 AAA
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
648 AM CDT TUE MAY 5 2015

.UPDATE...
FOR 12Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

A BENIGN WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE REST OF THE
WEEK WITH RELATIVELY HIGH 500MB HEIGHTS IN PLACE. TEMPERATURES
SHOULD NOT VARY MUCH FROM DAY TO DAY...THOUGH A BIT OF A WARMING
TREND SHOULD OCCUR FROM THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY AS A 500MB RIDGE
AMPLIFIES IN RESPONSE TO A TROUGH ACROSS THE PLAINS. SOME SPOTS
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE AREA COULD TOUCH THE 90 DEGREE
MARK. THE NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN COULD COME ON MONDAY INTO TUESDAY AS
THE PLAINS TROUGH SHIFTS EASTWARD.

87/GRANTHAM

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF DISCUSSION.

SOME MINOR MVFR VISIBILITIES THIS MORNING AND THESE SHOULD
REBOUND TO VFR OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS AS MIXING GETS GOING
AND THINGS WARM UP. SOME SCT CLOUDS AROUND 7-8 KFT ARE POSSIBLE
DURING THE DAY TODAY AS WELL AS WE HEAT UP. OTHERWISE...THE ONLY
ISSUE WILL BE SLIGHTLY HIGHER WINDS DURING THE DAYTIME WITH A FEW
GUSTS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION...MORE SO AT THE SOUTHERN TAFS...IE
MGM/TOI. EAST COAST HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS TO THE EAST OF THE STATE
OVER THE ATLANTIC WITH ELONGATED RIDGING INTO THE CAROLINAS AND
EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS EXPECTED TODAY ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA.
THESE DIURNAL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO LIGHTEN AROUND SUNSET.

08/MK

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     82  53  82  54  85 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    83  56  82  56  85 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  83  58  83  59  85 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  84  58  84  59  86 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      83  57  83  59  85 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      81  57  81  59  84 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  84  59  85  61  87 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        83  59  84  60  86 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

87/08




000
FXUS64 KBMX 051148 AAA
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
648 AM CDT TUE MAY 5 2015

.UPDATE...
FOR 12Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

A BENIGN WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE REST OF THE
WEEK WITH RELATIVELY HIGH 500MB HEIGHTS IN PLACE. TEMPERATURES
SHOULD NOT VARY MUCH FROM DAY TO DAY...THOUGH A BIT OF A WARMING
TREND SHOULD OCCUR FROM THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY AS A 500MB RIDGE
AMPLIFIES IN RESPONSE TO A TROUGH ACROSS THE PLAINS. SOME SPOTS
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE AREA COULD TOUCH THE 90 DEGREE
MARK. THE NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN COULD COME ON MONDAY INTO TUESDAY AS
THE PLAINS TROUGH SHIFTS EASTWARD.

87/GRANTHAM

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF DISCUSSION.

SOME MINOR MVFR VISIBILITIES THIS MORNING AND THESE SHOULD
REBOUND TO VFR OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS AS MIXING GETS GOING
AND THINGS WARM UP. SOME SCT CLOUDS AROUND 7-8 KFT ARE POSSIBLE
DURING THE DAY TODAY AS WELL AS WE HEAT UP. OTHERWISE...THE ONLY
ISSUE WILL BE SLIGHTLY HIGHER WINDS DURING THE DAYTIME WITH A FEW
GUSTS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION...MORE SO AT THE SOUTHERN TAFS...IE
MGM/TOI. EAST COAST HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS TO THE EAST OF THE STATE
OVER THE ATLANTIC WITH ELONGATED RIDGING INTO THE CAROLINAS AND
EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS EXPECTED TODAY ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA.
THESE DIURNAL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO LIGHTEN AROUND SUNSET.

08/MK

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     82  53  82  54  85 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    83  56  82  56  85 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  83  58  83  59  85 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  84  58  84  59  86 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      83  57  83  59  85 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      81  57  81  59  84 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  84  59  85  61  87 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        83  59  84  60  86 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

87/08




000
FXUS64 KBMX 051148 AAA
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
648 AM CDT TUE MAY 5 2015

.UPDATE...
FOR 12Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

A BENIGN WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE REST OF THE
WEEK WITH RELATIVELY HIGH 500MB HEIGHTS IN PLACE. TEMPERATURES
SHOULD NOT VARY MUCH FROM DAY TO DAY...THOUGH A BIT OF A WARMING
TREND SHOULD OCCUR FROM THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY AS A 500MB RIDGE
AMPLIFIES IN RESPONSE TO A TROUGH ACROSS THE PLAINS. SOME SPOTS
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE AREA COULD TOUCH THE 90 DEGREE
MARK. THE NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN COULD COME ON MONDAY INTO TUESDAY AS
THE PLAINS TROUGH SHIFTS EASTWARD.

87/GRANTHAM

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF DISCUSSION.

SOME MINOR MVFR VISIBILITIES THIS MORNING AND THESE SHOULD
REBOUND TO VFR OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS AS MIXING GETS GOING
AND THINGS WARM UP. SOME SCT CLOUDS AROUND 7-8 KFT ARE POSSIBLE
DURING THE DAY TODAY AS WELL AS WE HEAT UP. OTHERWISE...THE ONLY
ISSUE WILL BE SLIGHTLY HIGHER WINDS DURING THE DAYTIME WITH A FEW
GUSTS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION...MORE SO AT THE SOUTHERN TAFS...IE
MGM/TOI. EAST COAST HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS TO THE EAST OF THE STATE
OVER THE ATLANTIC WITH ELONGATED RIDGING INTO THE CAROLINAS AND
EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS EXPECTED TODAY ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA.
THESE DIURNAL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO LIGHTEN AROUND SUNSET.

08/MK

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     82  53  82  54  85 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    83  56  82  56  85 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  83  58  83  59  85 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  84  58  84  59  86 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      83  57  83  59  85 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      81  57  81  59  84 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  84  59  85  61  87 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        83  59  84  60  86 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

87/08





000
FXUS64 KBMX 050852
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
352 AM CDT TUE MAY 5 2015

.DISCUSSION...

A BENIGN WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE REST OF THE
WEEK WITH RELATIVELY HIGH 500MB HEIGHTS IN PLACE. TEMPERATURES
SHOULD NOT VARY MUCH FROM DAY TO DAY...THOUGH A BIT OF A WARMING
TREND SHOULD OCCUR FROM THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY AS A 500MB RIDGE
AMPLIFIES IN RESPONSE TO A TROUGH ACROSS THE PLAINS. SOME SPOTS
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE AREA COULD TOUCH THE 90 DEGREE
MARK. THE NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN COULD COME ON MONDAY INTO TUESDAY AS
THE PLAINS TROUGH SHIFTS EASTWARD.

87/GRANTHAM

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS. CALM TO SOUTHEAST WINDS.

88

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     82  53  82  54  85 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    83  56  82  56  85 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  83  58  83  59  85 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  84  58  84  59  86 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      83  57  83  59  85 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      81  57  81  59  84 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  84  59  85  61  87 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        83  59  84  60  86 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

87/88





000
FXUS64 KBMX 050852
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
352 AM CDT TUE MAY 5 2015

.DISCUSSION...

A BENIGN WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE REST OF THE
WEEK WITH RELATIVELY HIGH 500MB HEIGHTS IN PLACE. TEMPERATURES
SHOULD NOT VARY MUCH FROM DAY TO DAY...THOUGH A BIT OF A WARMING
TREND SHOULD OCCUR FROM THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY AS A 500MB RIDGE
AMPLIFIES IN RESPONSE TO A TROUGH ACROSS THE PLAINS. SOME SPOTS
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE AREA COULD TOUCH THE 90 DEGREE
MARK. THE NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN COULD COME ON MONDAY INTO TUESDAY AS
THE PLAINS TROUGH SHIFTS EASTWARD.

87/GRANTHAM

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS. CALM TO SOUTHEAST WINDS.

88

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     82  53  82  54  85 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    83  56  82  56  85 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  83  58  83  59  85 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  84  58  84  59  86 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      83  57  83  59  85 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      81  57  81  59  84 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  84  59  85  61  87 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        83  59  84  60  86 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

87/88




000
FXUS64 KBMX 050852
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
352 AM CDT TUE MAY 5 2015

.DISCUSSION...

A BENIGN WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE REST OF THE
WEEK WITH RELATIVELY HIGH 500MB HEIGHTS IN PLACE. TEMPERATURES
SHOULD NOT VARY MUCH FROM DAY TO DAY...THOUGH A BIT OF A WARMING
TREND SHOULD OCCUR FROM THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY AS A 500MB RIDGE
AMPLIFIES IN RESPONSE TO A TROUGH ACROSS THE PLAINS. SOME SPOTS
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE AREA COULD TOUCH THE 90 DEGREE
MARK. THE NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN COULD COME ON MONDAY INTO TUESDAY AS
THE PLAINS TROUGH SHIFTS EASTWARD.

87/GRANTHAM

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS. CALM TO SOUTHEAST WINDS.

88

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     82  53  82  54  85 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    83  56  82  56  85 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  83  58  83  59  85 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  84  58  84  59  86 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      83  57  83  59  85 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      81  57  81  59  84 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  84  59  85  61  87 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        83  59  84  60  86 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

87/88




000
FXUS64 KBMX 050443
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1143 PM CDT MON MAY 4 2015

.UPDATE...
FOR 06Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

ONLY MADE MINOR CHANGES TO THE FORECAST MAINLY TO ACCOUNT FOR THE
HOURLY TRENDS...AS THE WEATHER REMAINS TRANQUIL AND LOVELY ACROSS
CENTRAL ALABAMA. OTHERS CLAIM THE WEATHER WE HAVE BEEN SEEING IS
LOVELY...SPLENDID...WONDERFUL...RENEWING...FANTASTIC...PERFECT...
AND AWESOME. EVEN MORE HAVE SAID THAT THIS WEATHER IS AMAZING...
BEAUTIFUL...FABULOUS...SPRINGTASTIC...SPECTACULAR...MAGNIFICENT...
CALMING...SUPERLATIVE...SUNTASTIC AND TANFASTIC. ANOTHER
EXPLANATION FOR THE WEATHER IS THAT IT IS JUST A TYPICAL WARM
MAY DAY IN ALABAMA THAT IS DRY...YET GORGEOUS...PLEASANT AND
SPLENDID. PERSONALLY I THINK THE WEATHER IS PULCHRITUDINOUS AND
EXQUISITE. THANKS TO ALL ON FACEBOOK FOR YOUR HELP IN WRITING THE
FORECAST DISCUSSION TONIGHT.

16


&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS. CALM TO SOUTHEAST WINDS.

88

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KBMX 050443
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1143 PM CDT MON MAY 4 2015

.UPDATE...
FOR 06Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

ONLY MADE MINOR CHANGES TO THE FORECAST MAINLY TO ACCOUNT FOR THE
HOURLY TRENDS...AS THE WEATHER REMAINS TRANQUIL AND LOVELY ACROSS
CENTRAL ALABAMA. OTHERS CLAIM THE WEATHER WE HAVE BEEN SEEING IS
LOVELY...SPLENDID...WONDERFUL...RENEWING...FANTASTIC...PERFECT...
AND AWESOME. EVEN MORE HAVE SAID THAT THIS WEATHER IS AMAZING...
BEAUTIFUL...FABULOUS...SPRINGTASTIC...SPECTACULAR...MAGNIFICENT...
CALMING...SUPERLATIVE...SUNTASTIC AND TANFASTIC. ANOTHER
EXPLANATION FOR THE WEATHER IS THAT IT IS JUST A TYPICAL WARM
MAY DAY IN ALABAMA THAT IS DRY...YET GORGEOUS...PLEASANT AND
SPLENDID. PERSONALLY I THINK THE WEATHER IS PULCHRITUDINOUS AND
EXQUISITE. THANKS TO ALL ON FACEBOOK FOR YOUR HELP IN WRITING THE
FORECAST DISCUSSION TONIGHT.

16


&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS. CALM TO SOUTHEAST WINDS.

88

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KBMX 050443
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1143 PM CDT MON MAY 4 2015

.UPDATE...
FOR 06Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

ONLY MADE MINOR CHANGES TO THE FORECAST MAINLY TO ACCOUNT FOR THE
HOURLY TRENDS...AS THE WEATHER REMAINS TRANQUIL AND LOVELY ACROSS
CENTRAL ALABAMA. OTHERS CLAIM THE WEATHER WE HAVE BEEN SEEING IS
LOVELY...SPLENDID...WONDERFUL...RENEWING...FANTASTIC...PERFECT...
AND AWESOME. EVEN MORE HAVE SAID THAT THIS WEATHER IS AMAZING...
BEAUTIFUL...FABULOUS...SPRINGTASTIC...SPECTACULAR...MAGNIFICENT...
CALMING...SUPERLATIVE...SUNTASTIC AND TANFASTIC. ANOTHER
EXPLANATION FOR THE WEATHER IS THAT IT IS JUST A TYPICAL WARM
MAY DAY IN ALABAMA THAT IS DRY...YET GORGEOUS...PLEASANT AND
SPLENDID. PERSONALLY I THINK THE WEATHER IS PULCHRITUDINOUS AND
EXQUISITE. THANKS TO ALL ON FACEBOOK FOR YOUR HELP IN WRITING THE
FORECAST DISCUSSION TONIGHT.

16


&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS. CALM TO SOUTHEAST WINDS.

88

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KBMX 050311
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1011 PM CDT MON MAY 4 2015

.UPDATE...
EVENING UPDATE.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

ONLY MADE MINOR CHANGES TO THE FORECAST MAINLY TO ACCOUNT FOR THE
HOURLY TRENDS...AS THE WEATHER REMAINS TRANQUIL AND LOVELY ACROSS
CENTRAL ALABAMA. OTHERS CLAIM THE WEATHER WE HAVE BEEN SEEING IS
LOVELY...SPLENDID...WONDERFUL...RENEWING...FANTASTIC...PERFECT...
AND AWESOME. EVEN MORE HAVE SAID THAT THIS WEATHER IS AMAZING...
BEAUTIFUL...FABULOUS...SPRINGTASTIC...SPECTACULAR...MAGNIFICENT...
CALMING...SUPERLATIVE...SUNTASTIC AND TANFASTIC. ANOTHER
EXPLANATION FOR THE WEATHER IS THAT IT IS JUST A TYPICAL WARM
MAY DAY IN ALABAMA THAT IS DRY...YET GORGEOUS...PLEASANT AND
SPLENDID. PERSONALLY I THINK THE WEATHER IS PULCHRITUDINOUS AND
EXQUISITE. THANKS TO ALL ON FACEBOOK FOR YOUR HELP IN WRITING THE
FORECAST DISCUSSION TONIGHT.

16

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

UPPER RIDGE OVER THE AREA WITH SURFACE HIGH CENTERED OFF THE EAST
COAST. A FEW CIRRUS OVERHEAD TONIGHT WITH LIGHT SOUTHEAST TO
VARIABLE WINDS.

88


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 337 PM CDT MON MAY 4 2015/

NO CHANGES TO THE FORECAST THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEK DUE TO AN
INACTIVE LATE SPRING PATTERN ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN CONUS.
CONDITIONS ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA STAY DRY AND WARM...WITH BOTH
HIGHS AND LOWS RUNNING JUST ABOVE NORMAL.

MID LEVEL RIDGING REMAINS DOMINANTS THROUGH THE PERIOD WHILE
SURFACE RIDGING GIVES WAY TO A DISTURBANCE OFF THE EAST COAST THE
SECOND HALF OF THE WORK WEEK. BOTH THESE RESULT IN DRY CONDITIONS
FOR CENTRAL ALABAMA. PATTERN DOES BEGIN TO SHIFT LATE IN THE
FORECAST PERIOD...THE END OF NEXT WEEKEND...WITH RAIN CHANCES
RETURNING.

14

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     55  82  56  82  55 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    57  82  57  83  56 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  59  83  59  84  58 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  58  84  59  85  58 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      58  83  59  83  58 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      57  81  58  81  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  59  84  59  84  59 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        58  83  58  83  58 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KBMX 050311
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1011 PM CDT MON MAY 4 2015

.UPDATE...
EVENING UPDATE.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

ONLY MADE MINOR CHANGES TO THE FORECAST MAINLY TO ACCOUNT FOR THE
HOURLY TRENDS...AS THE WEATHER REMAINS TRANQUIL AND LOVELY ACROSS
CENTRAL ALABAMA. OTHERS CLAIM THE WEATHER WE HAVE BEEN SEEING IS
LOVELY...SPLENDID...WONDERFUL...RENEWING...FANTASTIC...PERFECT...
AND AWESOME. EVEN MORE HAVE SAID THAT THIS WEATHER IS AMAZING...
BEAUTIFUL...FABULOUS...SPRINGTASTIC...SPECTACULAR...MAGNIFICENT...
CALMING...SUPERLATIVE...SUNTASTIC AND TANFASTIC. ANOTHER
EXPLANATION FOR THE WEATHER IS THAT IT IS JUST A TYPICAL WARM
MAY DAY IN ALABAMA THAT IS DRY...YET GORGEOUS...PLEASANT AND
SPLENDID. PERSONALLY I THINK THE WEATHER IS PULCHRITUDINOUS AND
EXQUISITE. THANKS TO ALL ON FACEBOOK FOR YOUR HELP IN WRITING THE
FORECAST DISCUSSION TONIGHT.

16

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

UPPER RIDGE OVER THE AREA WITH SURFACE HIGH CENTERED OFF THE EAST
COAST. A FEW CIRRUS OVERHEAD TONIGHT WITH LIGHT SOUTHEAST TO
VARIABLE WINDS.

88


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 337 PM CDT MON MAY 4 2015/

NO CHANGES TO THE FORECAST THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEK DUE TO AN
INACTIVE LATE SPRING PATTERN ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN CONUS.
CONDITIONS ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA STAY DRY AND WARM...WITH BOTH
HIGHS AND LOWS RUNNING JUST ABOVE NORMAL.

MID LEVEL RIDGING REMAINS DOMINANTS THROUGH THE PERIOD WHILE
SURFACE RIDGING GIVES WAY TO A DISTURBANCE OFF THE EAST COAST THE
SECOND HALF OF THE WORK WEEK. BOTH THESE RESULT IN DRY CONDITIONS
FOR CENTRAL ALABAMA. PATTERN DOES BEGIN TO SHIFT LATE IN THE
FORECAST PERIOD...THE END OF NEXT WEEKEND...WITH RAIN CHANCES
RETURNING.

14

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     55  82  56  82  55 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    57  82  57  83  56 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  59  83  59  84  58 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  58  84  59  85  58 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      58  83  59  83  58 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      57  81  58  81  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  59  84  59  84  59 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        58  83  58  83  58 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KBMX 042337
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
637 PM CDT MON MAY 4 2015

.UPDATE...
FOR 00Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

NO CHANGES TO THE FORECAST THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEK DUE TO AN
INACTIVE LATE SPRING PATTERN ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN CONUS.
CONDITIONS ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA STAY DRY AND WARM...WITH BOTH
HIGHS AND LOWS RUNNING JUST ABOVE NORMAL.

MID LEVEL RIDGING REMAINS DOMINANTS THROUGH THE PERIOD WHILE
SURFACE RIDGING GIVES WAY TO A DISTURBANCE OFF THE EAST COAST THE
SECOND HALF OF THE WORK WEEK. BOTH THESE RESULT IN DRY CONDITIONS
FOR CENTRAL ALABAMA. PATTERN DOES BEGIN TO SHIFT LATE IN THE
FORECAST PERIOD...THE END OF NEXT WEEKEND...WITH RAIN CHANCES
RETURNING.

14


&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

UPPER RIDGE OVER THE AREA WITH SURFACE HIGH CENTERED OFF THE EAST
COAST. A FEW CIRRUS OVERHEAD TONIGHT WITH LIGHT SOUTHEAST TO
VARIABLE WINDS.

88

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KBMX 042337
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
637 PM CDT MON MAY 4 2015

.UPDATE...
FOR 00Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

NO CHANGES TO THE FORECAST THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEK DUE TO AN
INACTIVE LATE SPRING PATTERN ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN CONUS.
CONDITIONS ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA STAY DRY AND WARM...WITH BOTH
HIGHS AND LOWS RUNNING JUST ABOVE NORMAL.

MID LEVEL RIDGING REMAINS DOMINANTS THROUGH THE PERIOD WHILE
SURFACE RIDGING GIVES WAY TO A DISTURBANCE OFF THE EAST COAST THE
SECOND HALF OF THE WORK WEEK. BOTH THESE RESULT IN DRY CONDITIONS
FOR CENTRAL ALABAMA. PATTERN DOES BEGIN TO SHIFT LATE IN THE
FORECAST PERIOD...THE END OF NEXT WEEKEND...WITH RAIN CHANCES
RETURNING.

14


&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

UPPER RIDGE OVER THE AREA WITH SURFACE HIGH CENTERED OFF THE EAST
COAST. A FEW CIRRUS OVERHEAD TONIGHT WITH LIGHT SOUTHEAST TO
VARIABLE WINDS.

88

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KBMX 042337
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
637 PM CDT MON MAY 4 2015

.UPDATE...
FOR 00Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

NO CHANGES TO THE FORECAST THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEK DUE TO AN
INACTIVE LATE SPRING PATTERN ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN CONUS.
CONDITIONS ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA STAY DRY AND WARM...WITH BOTH
HIGHS AND LOWS RUNNING JUST ABOVE NORMAL.

MID LEVEL RIDGING REMAINS DOMINANTS THROUGH THE PERIOD WHILE
SURFACE RIDGING GIVES WAY TO A DISTURBANCE OFF THE EAST COAST THE
SECOND HALF OF THE WORK WEEK. BOTH THESE RESULT IN DRY CONDITIONS
FOR CENTRAL ALABAMA. PATTERN DOES BEGIN TO SHIFT LATE IN THE
FORECAST PERIOD...THE END OF NEXT WEEKEND...WITH RAIN CHANCES
RETURNING.

14


&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

UPPER RIDGE OVER THE AREA WITH SURFACE HIGH CENTERED OFF THE EAST
COAST. A FEW CIRRUS OVERHEAD TONIGHT WITH LIGHT SOUTHEAST TO
VARIABLE WINDS.

88

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KBMX 042037
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
337 PM CDT MON MAY 4 2015

.DISCUSSION...

NO CHANGES TO THE FORECAST THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEK DUE TO AN
INACTIVE LATE SPRING PATTERN ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN CONUS.
CONDITIONS ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA STAY DRY AND WARM...WITH BOTH
HIGHS AND LOWS RUNNING JUST ABOVE NORMAL.

MID LEVEL RIDGING REMAINS DOMINANTS THROUGH THE PERIOD WHILE
SURFACE RIDGING GIVES WAY TO A DISTURBANCE OFF THE EAST COAST THE
SECOND HALF OF THE WORK WEEK. BOTH THESE RESULT IN DRY CONDITIONS
FOR CENTRAL ALABAMA. PATTERN DOES BEGIN TO SHIFT LATE IN THE
FORECAST PERIOD...THE END OF NEXT WEEKEND...WITH RAIN CHANCES
RETURNING.

14

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THIS PERIOD. SFC RIDGE IN THE EASTERN
ATLANTIC WILL KEEP WINDS OUT OF THE E/SE AROUND 5 KTS TODAY.

19


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     56  82  56  82  55 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    57  82  57  83  56 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  59  83  59  84  58 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  58  84  59  85  58 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      58  83  59  83  58 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      57  81  58  81  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  59  84  59  84  59 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        58  83  58  83  58 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KBMX 042037
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
337 PM CDT MON MAY 4 2015

.DISCUSSION...

NO CHANGES TO THE FORECAST THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEK DUE TO AN
INACTIVE LATE SPRING PATTERN ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN CONUS.
CONDITIONS ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA STAY DRY AND WARM...WITH BOTH
HIGHS AND LOWS RUNNING JUST ABOVE NORMAL.

MID LEVEL RIDGING REMAINS DOMINANTS THROUGH THE PERIOD WHILE
SURFACE RIDGING GIVES WAY TO A DISTURBANCE OFF THE EAST COAST THE
SECOND HALF OF THE WORK WEEK. BOTH THESE RESULT IN DRY CONDITIONS
FOR CENTRAL ALABAMA. PATTERN DOES BEGIN TO SHIFT LATE IN THE
FORECAST PERIOD...THE END OF NEXT WEEKEND...WITH RAIN CHANCES
RETURNING.

14

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THIS PERIOD. SFC RIDGE IN THE EASTERN
ATLANTIC WILL KEEP WINDS OUT OF THE E/SE AROUND 5 KTS TODAY.

19


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     56  82  56  82  55 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    57  82  57  83  56 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  59  83  59  84  58 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  58  84  59  85  58 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      58  83  59  83  58 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      57  81  58  81  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  59  84  59  84  59 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        58  83  58  83  58 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KBMX 041743
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1243 PM CDT MON MAY 4 2015

.UPDATE...
FOR 18Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

YET ANOTHER BEAUTIFUL DAY ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA. RIDGE IN THE
EASTERN ATLANTIC IS KEEPING SFC WINDS OUT OF THE E/SE WITH PLENTY
OF SUNSHINE. FORECAST IS LARGELY ON TRACK WITH TEMPS EXPECTED TO
RISE INTO THE LOW/MID 80S IN MOST LOCATIONS. DID HOWEVER MAKE
SOME MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO DEW POINTS. UPDATES ALREADY OUT.

19

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THIS PERIOD. SFC RIDGE IN THE EASTERN
ATLANTIC WILL KEEP WINDS OUT OF THE E/SE AROUND 5 KTS TODAY.

19

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

RH VALUES COULD DROP NEAR 30 PERCENT FOR A COUPLE HOURS THIS
AFTERNOON ACROSS THE EAST/SOUTHEAST. HOWEVER 20FT WINDS WILL ONLY
BE AROUND 5 MPH OUT OF THE ESE.

19

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     56  82  56  82  55 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    57  82  57  83  56 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  59  83  59  84  58 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  58  84  59  85  58 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      58  83  59  83  58 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      57  81  58  81  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  59  84  59  84  59 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        58  83  58  83  58 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KBMX 041743
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1243 PM CDT MON MAY 4 2015

.UPDATE...
FOR 18Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

YET ANOTHER BEAUTIFUL DAY ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA. RIDGE IN THE
EASTERN ATLANTIC IS KEEPING SFC WINDS OUT OF THE E/SE WITH PLENTY
OF SUNSHINE. FORECAST IS LARGELY ON TRACK WITH TEMPS EXPECTED TO
RISE INTO THE LOW/MID 80S IN MOST LOCATIONS. DID HOWEVER MAKE
SOME MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO DEW POINTS. UPDATES ALREADY OUT.

19

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THIS PERIOD. SFC RIDGE IN THE EASTERN
ATLANTIC WILL KEEP WINDS OUT OF THE E/SE AROUND 5 KTS TODAY.

19

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

RH VALUES COULD DROP NEAR 30 PERCENT FOR A COUPLE HOURS THIS
AFTERNOON ACROSS THE EAST/SOUTHEAST. HOWEVER 20FT WINDS WILL ONLY
BE AROUND 5 MPH OUT OF THE ESE.

19

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     56  82  56  82  55 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    57  82  57  83  56 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  59  83  59  84  58 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  58  84  59  85  58 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      58  83  59  83  58 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      57  81  58  81  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  59  84  59  84  59 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        58  83  58  83  58 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KBMX 041743
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1243 PM CDT MON MAY 4 2015

.UPDATE...
FOR 18Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

YET ANOTHER BEAUTIFUL DAY ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA. RIDGE IN THE
EASTERN ATLANTIC IS KEEPING SFC WINDS OUT OF THE E/SE WITH PLENTY
OF SUNSHINE. FORECAST IS LARGELY ON TRACK WITH TEMPS EXPECTED TO
RISE INTO THE LOW/MID 80S IN MOST LOCATIONS. DID HOWEVER MAKE
SOME MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO DEW POINTS. UPDATES ALREADY OUT.

19

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THIS PERIOD. SFC RIDGE IN THE EASTERN
ATLANTIC WILL KEEP WINDS OUT OF THE E/SE AROUND 5 KTS TODAY.

19

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

RH VALUES COULD DROP NEAR 30 PERCENT FOR A COUPLE HOURS THIS
AFTERNOON ACROSS THE EAST/SOUTHEAST. HOWEVER 20FT WINDS WILL ONLY
BE AROUND 5 MPH OUT OF THE ESE.

19

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     56  82  56  82  55 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    57  82  57  83  56 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  59  83  59  84  58 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  58  84  59  85  58 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      58  83  59  83  58 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      57  81  58  81  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  59  84  59  84  59 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        58  83  58  83  58 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KBMX 041743
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1243 PM CDT MON MAY 4 2015

.UPDATE...
FOR 18Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

YET ANOTHER BEAUTIFUL DAY ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA. RIDGE IN THE
EASTERN ATLANTIC IS KEEPING SFC WINDS OUT OF THE E/SE WITH PLENTY
OF SUNSHINE. FORECAST IS LARGELY ON TRACK WITH TEMPS EXPECTED TO
RISE INTO THE LOW/MID 80S IN MOST LOCATIONS. DID HOWEVER MAKE
SOME MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO DEW POINTS. UPDATES ALREADY OUT.

19

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THIS PERIOD. SFC RIDGE IN THE EASTERN
ATLANTIC WILL KEEP WINDS OUT OF THE E/SE AROUND 5 KTS TODAY.

19

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

RH VALUES COULD DROP NEAR 30 PERCENT FOR A COUPLE HOURS THIS
AFTERNOON ACROSS THE EAST/SOUTHEAST. HOWEVER 20FT WINDS WILL ONLY
BE AROUND 5 MPH OUT OF THE ESE.

19

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     56  82  56  82  55 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    57  82  57  83  56 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  59  83  59  84  58 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  58  84  59  85  58 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      58  83  59  83  58 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      57  81  58  81  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  59  84  59  84  59 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        58  83  58  83  58 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KBMX 041548
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1048 AM CDT MON MAY 4 2015

.UPDATE...
MORNING UPDATE.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

YET ANOTHER BEAUTIFUL DAY ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA. RIDGE IN THE
EASTERN ATLANTIC IS KEEPING SFC WINDS OUT OF THE E/SE WITH PLENTY
OF SUNSHINE. FORECAST IS LARGELY ON TRACK WITH TEMPS EXPECTED TO
RISE INTO THE LOW/MID 80S IN MOST LOCATIONS. DID HOWEVER MAKE
SOME MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO DEW POINTS. UPDATES ALREADY OUT.

19

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF DISCUSSION.

SOME MINOR MVFR VISIBILITIES THIS MORNING AND SCT CLOUDS AROUND
7-8 KFT. SHOULD REBOUND TO VFR OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS AS
MIXING GETS GOING AND THINGS WARM UP. OTHERWISE...NO ISSUES WITH
EAST COAST HIGH PRESSURE WITH ONLY LIGHT EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS
TODAY ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA.

08/MK


&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

RH VALUES COULD DROP NEAR 30 PERCENT FOR A COUPLE HOURS THIS
AFTERNOON ACROSS THE EAST/SOUTHEAST. HOWEVER 20FT WINDS WILL ONLY
BE AROUND 5 MPH OUT OF THE ESE.

19

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     82  56  82  56  82 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    82  57  82  57  83 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  83  59  83  59  84 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  84  58  84  59  85 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      82  58  83  59  83 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      81  57  81  58  81 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  85  59  84  59  84 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        84  58  83  58  83 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KBMX 041548
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1048 AM CDT MON MAY 4 2015

.UPDATE...
MORNING UPDATE.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

YET ANOTHER BEAUTIFUL DAY ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA. RIDGE IN THE
EASTERN ATLANTIC IS KEEPING SFC WINDS OUT OF THE E/SE WITH PLENTY
OF SUNSHINE. FORECAST IS LARGELY ON TRACK WITH TEMPS EXPECTED TO
RISE INTO THE LOW/MID 80S IN MOST LOCATIONS. DID HOWEVER MAKE
SOME MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO DEW POINTS. UPDATES ALREADY OUT.

19

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF DISCUSSION.

SOME MINOR MVFR VISIBILITIES THIS MORNING AND SCT CLOUDS AROUND
7-8 KFT. SHOULD REBOUND TO VFR OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS AS
MIXING GETS GOING AND THINGS WARM UP. OTHERWISE...NO ISSUES WITH
EAST COAST HIGH PRESSURE WITH ONLY LIGHT EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS
TODAY ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA.

08/MK


&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

RH VALUES COULD DROP NEAR 30 PERCENT FOR A COUPLE HOURS THIS
AFTERNOON ACROSS THE EAST/SOUTHEAST. HOWEVER 20FT WINDS WILL ONLY
BE AROUND 5 MPH OUT OF THE ESE.

19

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     82  56  82  56  82 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    82  57  82  57  83 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  83  59  83  59  84 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  84  58  84  59  85 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      82  58  83  59  83 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      81  57  81  58  81 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  85  59  84  59  84 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        84  58  83  58  83 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KBMX 041206 AAA
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
706 AM CDT MON MAY 4 2015

.UPDATE...
FOR 12Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

A VERY QUIET AND DRY WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT
WEEK AS THE JET STREAM REMAINS TO THE NORTH AND WEST OF THE
REGION. THOUGH 500MB HEIGHTS WILL RISE ABOVE 582DM FOR THE NEXT
FEW DAYS...EASTERLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW SHOULD KEEP DAY TO DAY
AFTERNOON HIGHS FAIRLY STEADY IN THE LOW TO MID 80S THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. WARMER CONDITIONS ARE PROBABLE BY FRIDAY AND INTO THE
WEEKEND AS THE EASTERLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW CEASES WHILE AN UPPER-LEVEL
RIDGE AMPLIFIES ACROSS THE GULF COAST STATES. THE RIDGE COULD
BREAK DOWN BY NEXT MONDAY LEADING TO AN INCREASE IN RAIN CHANCES.

87/GRANTHAM

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF DISCUSSION.

SOME MINOR MVFR VISIBILITIES THIS MORNING AND SCT CLOUDS AROUND
7-8 KFT. SHOULD REBOUND TO VFR OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS AS
MIXING GETS GOING AND THINGS WARM UP. OTHERWISE...NO ISSUES WITH
EAST COAST HIGH PRESSURE WITH ONLY LIGHT EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS
TODAY ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA.

08/MK

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     82  56  82  56  82 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    82  57  82  57  83 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  83  59  83  59  84 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  84  58  84  59  85 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      82  58  83  59  83 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      81  57  81  58  81 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  85  59  84  59  84 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        84  58  83  58  83 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

87/08





000
FXUS64 KBMX 041206 AAA
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
706 AM CDT MON MAY 4 2015

.UPDATE...
FOR 12Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

A VERY QUIET AND DRY WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT
WEEK AS THE JET STREAM REMAINS TO THE NORTH AND WEST OF THE
REGION. THOUGH 500MB HEIGHTS WILL RISE ABOVE 582DM FOR THE NEXT
FEW DAYS...EASTERLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW SHOULD KEEP DAY TO DAY
AFTERNOON HIGHS FAIRLY STEADY IN THE LOW TO MID 80S THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. WARMER CONDITIONS ARE PROBABLE BY FRIDAY AND INTO THE
WEEKEND AS THE EASTERLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW CEASES WHILE AN UPPER-LEVEL
RIDGE AMPLIFIES ACROSS THE GULF COAST STATES. THE RIDGE COULD
BREAK DOWN BY NEXT MONDAY LEADING TO AN INCREASE IN RAIN CHANCES.

87/GRANTHAM

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF DISCUSSION.

SOME MINOR MVFR VISIBILITIES THIS MORNING AND SCT CLOUDS AROUND
7-8 KFT. SHOULD REBOUND TO VFR OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS AS
MIXING GETS GOING AND THINGS WARM UP. OTHERWISE...NO ISSUES WITH
EAST COAST HIGH PRESSURE WITH ONLY LIGHT EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS
TODAY ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA.

08/MK

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     82  56  82  56  82 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    82  57  82  57  83 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  83  59  83  59  84 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  84  58  84  59  85 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      82  58  83  59  83 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      81  57  81  58  81 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  85  59  84  59  84 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        84  58  83  58  83 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

87/08




000
FXUS64 KBMX 041206 AAA
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
706 AM CDT MON MAY 4 2015

.UPDATE...
FOR 12Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

A VERY QUIET AND DRY WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT
WEEK AS THE JET STREAM REMAINS TO THE NORTH AND WEST OF THE
REGION. THOUGH 500MB HEIGHTS WILL RISE ABOVE 582DM FOR THE NEXT
FEW DAYS...EASTERLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW SHOULD KEEP DAY TO DAY
AFTERNOON HIGHS FAIRLY STEADY IN THE LOW TO MID 80S THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. WARMER CONDITIONS ARE PROBABLE BY FRIDAY AND INTO THE
WEEKEND AS THE EASTERLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW CEASES WHILE AN UPPER-LEVEL
RIDGE AMPLIFIES ACROSS THE GULF COAST STATES. THE RIDGE COULD
BREAK DOWN BY NEXT MONDAY LEADING TO AN INCREASE IN RAIN CHANCES.

87/GRANTHAM

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF DISCUSSION.

SOME MINOR MVFR VISIBILITIES THIS MORNING AND SCT CLOUDS AROUND
7-8 KFT. SHOULD REBOUND TO VFR OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS AS
MIXING GETS GOING AND THINGS WARM UP. OTHERWISE...NO ISSUES WITH
EAST COAST HIGH PRESSURE WITH ONLY LIGHT EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS
TODAY ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA.

08/MK

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     82  56  82  56  82 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    82  57  82  57  83 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  83  59  83  59  84 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  84  58  84  59  85 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      82  58  83  59  83 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      81  57  81  58  81 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  85  59  84  59  84 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        84  58  83  58  83 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

87/08




000
FXUS64 KBMX 041206 AAA
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
706 AM CDT MON MAY 4 2015

.UPDATE...
FOR 12Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

A VERY QUIET AND DRY WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT
WEEK AS THE JET STREAM REMAINS TO THE NORTH AND WEST OF THE
REGION. THOUGH 500MB HEIGHTS WILL RISE ABOVE 582DM FOR THE NEXT
FEW DAYS...EASTERLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW SHOULD KEEP DAY TO DAY
AFTERNOON HIGHS FAIRLY STEADY IN THE LOW TO MID 80S THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. WARMER CONDITIONS ARE PROBABLE BY FRIDAY AND INTO THE
WEEKEND AS THE EASTERLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW CEASES WHILE AN UPPER-LEVEL
RIDGE AMPLIFIES ACROSS THE GULF COAST STATES. THE RIDGE COULD
BREAK DOWN BY NEXT MONDAY LEADING TO AN INCREASE IN RAIN CHANCES.

87/GRANTHAM

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF DISCUSSION.

SOME MINOR MVFR VISIBILITIES THIS MORNING AND SCT CLOUDS AROUND
7-8 KFT. SHOULD REBOUND TO VFR OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS AS
MIXING GETS GOING AND THINGS WARM UP. OTHERWISE...NO ISSUES WITH
EAST COAST HIGH PRESSURE WITH ONLY LIGHT EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS
TODAY ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA.

08/MK

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     82  56  82  56  82 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    82  57  82  57  83 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  83  59  83  59  84 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  84  58  84  59  85 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      82  58  83  59  83 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      81  57  81  58  81 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  85  59  84  59  84 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        84  58  83  58  83 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

87/08





000
FXUS64 KBMX 040858
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
358 AM CDT MON MAY 4 2015

.DISCUSSION...

A VERY QUIET AND DRY WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT
WEEK AS THE JET STREAM REMAINS TO THE NORTH AND WEST OF THE
REGION. THOUGH 500MB HEIGHTS WILL RISE ABOVE 582DM FOR THE NEXT
FEW DAYS...EASTERLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW SHOULD KEEP DAY TO DAY
AFTERNOON HIGHS FAIRLY STEADY IN THE LOW TO MID 80S THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. WARMER CONDITIONS ARE PROBABLE BY FRIDAY AND INTO THE
WEEKEND AS THE EASTERLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW CEASES WHILE AN UPPER-LEVEL
RIDGE AMPLIFIES ACROSS THE GULF COAST STATES. THE RIDGE COULD
BREAK DOWN BY NEXT MONDAY LEADING TO AN INCREASE IN RAIN CHANCES.

87/GRANTHAM

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

WILL MAINTAIN VFR FORECAST THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS (WITH THE
ONLY POSSIBLE EXCEPTION AT TCL...WHERE SOME LIGHT FOG IS POSSIBLE
AROUND DAYBREAK).

/61/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     82  56  82  56  82 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    82  57  82  57  83 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  83  59  83  59  84 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  84  58  84  59  85 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      82  58  83  59  83 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      81  57  81  58  81 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  85  59  84  59  84 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        84  58  83  58  83 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

87/61





000
FXUS64 KBMX 040858
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
358 AM CDT MON MAY 4 2015

.DISCUSSION...

A VERY QUIET AND DRY WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT
WEEK AS THE JET STREAM REMAINS TO THE NORTH AND WEST OF THE
REGION. THOUGH 500MB HEIGHTS WILL RISE ABOVE 582DM FOR THE NEXT
FEW DAYS...EASTERLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW SHOULD KEEP DAY TO DAY
AFTERNOON HIGHS FAIRLY STEADY IN THE LOW TO MID 80S THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. WARMER CONDITIONS ARE PROBABLE BY FRIDAY AND INTO THE
WEEKEND AS THE EASTERLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW CEASES WHILE AN UPPER-LEVEL
RIDGE AMPLIFIES ACROSS THE GULF COAST STATES. THE RIDGE COULD
BREAK DOWN BY NEXT MONDAY LEADING TO AN INCREASE IN RAIN CHANCES.

87/GRANTHAM

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

WILL MAINTAIN VFR FORECAST THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS (WITH THE
ONLY POSSIBLE EXCEPTION AT TCL...WHERE SOME LIGHT FOG IS POSSIBLE
AROUND DAYBREAK).

/61/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     82  56  82  56  82 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    82  57  82  57  83 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  83  59  83  59  84 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  84  58  84  59  85 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      82  58  83  59  83 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      81  57  81  58  81 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  85  59  84  59  84 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        84  58  83  58  83 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

87/61





000
FXUS64 KBMX 040858
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
358 AM CDT MON MAY 4 2015

.DISCUSSION...

A VERY QUIET AND DRY WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT
WEEK AS THE JET STREAM REMAINS TO THE NORTH AND WEST OF THE
REGION. THOUGH 500MB HEIGHTS WILL RISE ABOVE 582DM FOR THE NEXT
FEW DAYS...EASTERLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW SHOULD KEEP DAY TO DAY
AFTERNOON HIGHS FAIRLY STEADY IN THE LOW TO MID 80S THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. WARMER CONDITIONS ARE PROBABLE BY FRIDAY AND INTO THE
WEEKEND AS THE EASTERLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW CEASES WHILE AN UPPER-LEVEL
RIDGE AMPLIFIES ACROSS THE GULF COAST STATES. THE RIDGE COULD
BREAK DOWN BY NEXT MONDAY LEADING TO AN INCREASE IN RAIN CHANCES.

87/GRANTHAM

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

WILL MAINTAIN VFR FORECAST THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS (WITH THE
ONLY POSSIBLE EXCEPTION AT TCL...WHERE SOME LIGHT FOG IS POSSIBLE
AROUND DAYBREAK).

/61/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     82  56  82  56  82 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    82  57  82  57  83 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  83  59  83  59  84 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  84  58  84  59  85 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      82  58  83  59  83 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      81  57  81  58  81 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  85  59  84  59  84 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        84  58  83  58  83 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

87/61




000
FXUS64 KBMX 040502
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1202 AM CDT MON MAY 4 2015

.UPDATE...
FOR 06Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN CONTROL AND CENTERED JUST EAST
OF CENTRAL ALABAMA. THEREFORE...LIGHT SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL
CONTINUE. THE AIR MASS MIXED OUT NICELY TODAY WITH CROSSOVER
TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 40S. DUE TO THIS DRYING...DO NOT EXPECT
MUCH IN THE WAY OF FOG FORMATION EXCEPT MAYBE IN CLOSE PROXIMITY
TO WATER AND RURAL SOUTHERN LOCATIONS. BUT IF A FEW OUTLYING
LOCATIONS CAN DIP INTO THE 40S OR SOME LIGHT MOISTURE ADVECTION
OCCURS...SOME FOG MAY BECOME POSSIBLE. DID NOT MENTION AT THIS
TIME DUE TO LOW CONFIDENCE. MADE ADJUSTMENTS TO THE HOURLY TEMP
AND DEW POINT TRENDS...OTHERWISE THE FORECAST LOOKS GOOD
OVERNIGHT.

75


&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

WILL MAINTAIN VFR FORECAST THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS (WITH THE
ONLY POSSIBLE EXCEPTION AT TCL...WHERE SOME LIGHT FOG IS POSSIBLE
AROUND DAYBREAK).

/61/

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KBMX 040502
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1202 AM CDT MON MAY 4 2015

.UPDATE...
FOR 06Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN CONTROL AND CENTERED JUST EAST
OF CENTRAL ALABAMA. THEREFORE...LIGHT SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL
CONTINUE. THE AIR MASS MIXED OUT NICELY TODAY WITH CROSSOVER
TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 40S. DUE TO THIS DRYING...DO NOT EXPECT
MUCH IN THE WAY OF FOG FORMATION EXCEPT MAYBE IN CLOSE PROXIMITY
TO WATER AND RURAL SOUTHERN LOCATIONS. BUT IF A FEW OUTLYING
LOCATIONS CAN DIP INTO THE 40S OR SOME LIGHT MOISTURE ADVECTION
OCCURS...SOME FOG MAY BECOME POSSIBLE. DID NOT MENTION AT THIS
TIME DUE TO LOW CONFIDENCE. MADE ADJUSTMENTS TO THE HOURLY TEMP
AND DEW POINT TRENDS...OTHERWISE THE FORECAST LOOKS GOOD
OVERNIGHT.

75


&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

WILL MAINTAIN VFR FORECAST THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS (WITH THE
ONLY POSSIBLE EXCEPTION AT TCL...WHERE SOME LIGHT FOG IS POSSIBLE
AROUND DAYBREAK).

/61/

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KBMX 040242
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
942 PM CDT SUN MAY 3 2015

.UPDATE...
EVENING UPDATE.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN CONTROL AND CENTERED JUST EAST
OF CENTRAL ALABAMA. THEREFORE...LIGHT SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL
CONTINUE. THE AIR MASS MIXED OUT NICELY TODAY WITH CROSSOVER
TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 40S. DUE TO THIS DRYING...DO NOT EXPECT
MUCH IN THE WAY OF FOG FORMATION EXCEPT MAYBE IN CLOSE PROXIMITY
TO WATER AND RURAL SOUTHERN LOCATIONS. BUT IF A FEW OUTLYING
LOCATIONS CAN DIP INTO THE 40S OR SOME LIGHT MOISTURE ADVECTION
OCCURS...SOME FOG MAY BECOME POSSIBLE. DID NOT MENTION AT THIS
TIME DUE TO LOW CONFIDENCE. MADE ADJUSTMENTS TO THE HOURLY TEMP
AND DEW POINT TRENDS...OTHERWISE THE FORECAST LOOKS GOOD
OVERNIGHT.

75

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

THE ONLY POSSIBLE EXCEPTION TO CONTINUED VFR CONDITIONS OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS WILL BE AT TCL...WHERE SOME LIGHT (MVFR CATEGORY) FOG
COULD DRIFT OVER THE FIELD FROM THE NEARBY WATER BODY.
OTHERWISE...CLEAR TO SCATTERED CLOUDS AT MOST THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON.

/61/


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 155 PM CDT SUN MAY 3 2015/

ANOTHER BEAUTIFUL SUNNY SPRING DAY ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA.
TEMPERATURES ARE A COUPLE OF DEGREES WARMER THIS AFTERNOON THAN
YESTERDAY WITH READINGS CURRENTLY IN THE UPPER 70S AND LOW 80S ACROSS
THE AREA. THERE ARE ALSO A FEW MORE CLOUDS ACROSS THE AREA WITH A
SLIGHT INCREASE IN MOISTURE. CURRENT WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND RAP
UPPER AIR ANALYSIS INDICATES AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE ACROSS THE
CENTRAL CONUS. HIGHER UPPER LEVEL HEIGHTS ARE BUILDING INTO THE
AREA AND WILL KEEP THE FORECAST WARM AND DRY. AT THE SURFACE...A
HIGH PRESSURE IS CENTERED ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD WITH LIGHT
SURFACE FLOW ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA. FOR TONIGHT...EXPECT
TEMPERATURES WILL BE A COUPLE OF DEGREES WARMER THAN LAST NIGHT
WITH LIGHT SOUTHERLY FLOW. EXPECT LOWS WILL BE IN THE 50S ACROSS
THE AREA WITH SOME OF THE RADIATONAL COOLING LOCATIONS ACROSS THE
NORTHEAST POSSIBLY DROPPING INTO THE UPPER 40S.

THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST CONTINUES TO BE MOSTLY UNCHANGED
WITH DRY AND WARMER CONDITIONS EXPECTED THIS WEEK. THE UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE ACROSS THE DESERT SOUTHWEST WILL BECOME ESTABLISHED
ACROSS THE AREA THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THE WORK WEEK. PW VALUES WILL
GENERALLY BE UNDER AN INCH THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD WHICH IS
BELOW NORMAL FOR EARLY TO MID-MAY. THESE HIGHER HEIGHTS ALOFT
SHOULD KEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IN CHECK AND WILL INCREASE
AFTERNOON HIGHS THROUGHOUT THE WEEK. EXPECT HIGHS LATE IN THE WEEK
WILL BE IN THE UPPER 80S WITH A FEW PLACES MAKING IT INTO THE LOW
90S. MODEL CONTINUE TO SHOW A SYSTEM OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST MID TO
LATE IN THE WEEK BUT THE FORECAST AREA SHOULD REMAIN IN THE DRY
SUBSIDENT AREA.

05/MA

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     53  81  56  82  57 /   0  10   0  10   0
ANNISTON    54  82  57  82  58 /   0  10   0  10   0
BIRMINGHAM  56  83  58  83  60 /   0  10   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  56  84  58  85  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      53  83  59  83  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      55  81  58  80  58 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  56  85  60  84  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        54  83  59  83  59 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KBMX 040242
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
942 PM CDT SUN MAY 3 2015

.UPDATE...
EVENING UPDATE.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN CONTROL AND CENTERED JUST EAST
OF CENTRAL ALABAMA. THEREFORE...LIGHT SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL
CONTINUE. THE AIR MASS MIXED OUT NICELY TODAY WITH CROSSOVER
TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 40S. DUE TO THIS DRYING...DO NOT EXPECT
MUCH IN THE WAY OF FOG FORMATION EXCEPT MAYBE IN CLOSE PROXIMITY
TO WATER AND RURAL SOUTHERN LOCATIONS. BUT IF A FEW OUTLYING
LOCATIONS CAN DIP INTO THE 40S OR SOME LIGHT MOISTURE ADVECTION
OCCURS...SOME FOG MAY BECOME POSSIBLE. DID NOT MENTION AT THIS
TIME DUE TO LOW CONFIDENCE. MADE ADJUSTMENTS TO THE HOURLY TEMP
AND DEW POINT TRENDS...OTHERWISE THE FORECAST LOOKS GOOD
OVERNIGHT.

75

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

THE ONLY POSSIBLE EXCEPTION TO CONTINUED VFR CONDITIONS OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS WILL BE AT TCL...WHERE SOME LIGHT (MVFR CATEGORY) FOG
COULD DRIFT OVER THE FIELD FROM THE NEARBY WATER BODY.
OTHERWISE...CLEAR TO SCATTERED CLOUDS AT MOST THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON.

/61/


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 155 PM CDT SUN MAY 3 2015/

ANOTHER BEAUTIFUL SUNNY SPRING DAY ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA.
TEMPERATURES ARE A COUPLE OF DEGREES WARMER THIS AFTERNOON THAN
YESTERDAY WITH READINGS CURRENTLY IN THE UPPER 70S AND LOW 80S ACROSS
THE AREA. THERE ARE ALSO A FEW MORE CLOUDS ACROSS THE AREA WITH A
SLIGHT INCREASE IN MOISTURE. CURRENT WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND RAP
UPPER AIR ANALYSIS INDICATES AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE ACROSS THE
CENTRAL CONUS. HIGHER UPPER LEVEL HEIGHTS ARE BUILDING INTO THE
AREA AND WILL KEEP THE FORECAST WARM AND DRY. AT THE SURFACE...A
HIGH PRESSURE IS CENTERED ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD WITH LIGHT
SURFACE FLOW ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA. FOR TONIGHT...EXPECT
TEMPERATURES WILL BE A COUPLE OF DEGREES WARMER THAN LAST NIGHT
WITH LIGHT SOUTHERLY FLOW. EXPECT LOWS WILL BE IN THE 50S ACROSS
THE AREA WITH SOME OF THE RADIATONAL COOLING LOCATIONS ACROSS THE
NORTHEAST POSSIBLY DROPPING INTO THE UPPER 40S.

THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST CONTINUES TO BE MOSTLY UNCHANGED
WITH DRY AND WARMER CONDITIONS EXPECTED THIS WEEK. THE UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE ACROSS THE DESERT SOUTHWEST WILL BECOME ESTABLISHED
ACROSS THE AREA THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THE WORK WEEK. PW VALUES WILL
GENERALLY BE UNDER AN INCH THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD WHICH IS
BELOW NORMAL FOR EARLY TO MID-MAY. THESE HIGHER HEIGHTS ALOFT
SHOULD KEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IN CHECK AND WILL INCREASE
AFTERNOON HIGHS THROUGHOUT THE WEEK. EXPECT HIGHS LATE IN THE WEEK
WILL BE IN THE UPPER 80S WITH A FEW PLACES MAKING IT INTO THE LOW
90S. MODEL CONTINUE TO SHOW A SYSTEM OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST MID TO
LATE IN THE WEEK BUT THE FORECAST AREA SHOULD REMAIN IN THE DRY
SUBSIDENT AREA.

05/MA

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     53  81  56  82  57 /   0  10   0  10   0
ANNISTON    54  82  57  82  58 /   0  10   0  10   0
BIRMINGHAM  56  83  58  83  60 /   0  10   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  56  84  58  85  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      53  83  59  83  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      55  81  58  80  58 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  56  85  60  84  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        54  83  59  83  59 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KBMX 032330
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
630 PM CDT SUN MAY 3 2015

.UPDATE...
FOR 00Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

ANOTHER BEAUTIFUL SUNNY SPRING DAY ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA.
TEMPERATURES ARE A COUPLE OF DEGREES WARMER THIS AFTERNOON THAN
YESTERDAY WITH READINGS CURRENTLY IN THE UPPER 70S AND LOW 80S ACROSS
THE AREA. THERE ARE ALSO A FEW MORE CLOUDS ACROSS THE AREA WITH A
SLIGHT INCREASE IN MOISTURE. CURRENT WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND RAP
UPPER AIR ANALYSIS INDICATES AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE ACROSS THE
CENTRAL CONUS. HIGHER UPPER LEVEL HEIGHTS ARE BUILDING INTO THE
AREA AND WILL KEEP THE FORECAST WARM AND DRY. AT THE SURFACE...A
HIGH PRESSURE IS CENTERED ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD WITH LIGHT
SURFACE FLOW ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA. FOR TONIGHT...EXPECT
TEMPERATURES WILL BE A COUPLE OF DEGREES WARMER THAN LAST NIGHT
WITH LIGHT SOUTHERLY FLOW. EXPECT LOWS WILL BE IN THE 50S ACROSS
THE AREA WITH SOME OF THE RADIATONAL COOLING LOCATIONS ACROSS THE
NORTHEAST POSSIBLY DROPPING INTO THE UPPER 40S.

THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST CONTINUES TO BE MOSTLY UNCHANGED
WITH DRY AND WARMER CONDITIONS EXPECTED THIS WEEK. THE UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE ACROSS THE DESERT SOUTHWEST WILL BECOME ESTABLISHED
ACROSS THE AREA THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THE WORK WEEK. PW VALUES WILL
GENERALLY BE UNDER AN INCH THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD WHICH IS
BELOW NORMAL FOR EARLY TO MID-MAY. THESE HIGHER HEIGHTS ALOFT
SHOULD KEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IN CHECK AND WILL INCREASE
AFTERNOON HIGHS THROUGHOUT THE WEEK. EXPECT HIGHS LATE IN THE WEEK
WILL BE IN THE UPPER 80S WITH A FEW PLACES MAKING IT INTO THE LOW
90S. MODEL CONTINUE TO SHOW A SYSTEM OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST MID TO
LATE IN THE WEEK BUT THE FORECAST AREA SHOULD REMAIN IN THE DRY
SUBSIDENT AREA.

05/MA


&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

THE ONLY POSSIBLE EXCEPTION TO CONTINUED VFR CONDITIONS OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS WILL BE AT TCL...WHERE SOME LIGHT (MVFR CATEGORY) FOG
COULD DRIFT OVER THE FIELD FROM THE NEARBY WATER BODY.
OTHERWISE...CLEAR TO SCATTERED CLOUDS AT MOST THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON.

/61/

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KBMX 032330
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
630 PM CDT SUN MAY 3 2015

.UPDATE...
FOR 00Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

ANOTHER BEAUTIFUL SUNNY SPRING DAY ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA.
TEMPERATURES ARE A COUPLE OF DEGREES WARMER THIS AFTERNOON THAN
YESTERDAY WITH READINGS CURRENTLY IN THE UPPER 70S AND LOW 80S ACROSS
THE AREA. THERE ARE ALSO A FEW MORE CLOUDS ACROSS THE AREA WITH A
SLIGHT INCREASE IN MOISTURE. CURRENT WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND RAP
UPPER AIR ANALYSIS INDICATES AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE ACROSS THE
CENTRAL CONUS. HIGHER UPPER LEVEL HEIGHTS ARE BUILDING INTO THE
AREA AND WILL KEEP THE FORECAST WARM AND DRY. AT THE SURFACE...A
HIGH PRESSURE IS CENTERED ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD WITH LIGHT
SURFACE FLOW ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA. FOR TONIGHT...EXPECT
TEMPERATURES WILL BE A COUPLE OF DEGREES WARMER THAN LAST NIGHT
WITH LIGHT SOUTHERLY FLOW. EXPECT LOWS WILL BE IN THE 50S ACROSS
THE AREA WITH SOME OF THE RADIATONAL COOLING LOCATIONS ACROSS THE
NORTHEAST POSSIBLY DROPPING INTO THE UPPER 40S.

THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST CONTINUES TO BE MOSTLY UNCHANGED
WITH DRY AND WARMER CONDITIONS EXPECTED THIS WEEK. THE UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE ACROSS THE DESERT SOUTHWEST WILL BECOME ESTABLISHED
ACROSS THE AREA THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THE WORK WEEK. PW VALUES WILL
GENERALLY BE UNDER AN INCH THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD WHICH IS
BELOW NORMAL FOR EARLY TO MID-MAY. THESE HIGHER HEIGHTS ALOFT
SHOULD KEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IN CHECK AND WILL INCREASE
AFTERNOON HIGHS THROUGHOUT THE WEEK. EXPECT HIGHS LATE IN THE WEEK
WILL BE IN THE UPPER 80S WITH A FEW PLACES MAKING IT INTO THE LOW
90S. MODEL CONTINUE TO SHOW A SYSTEM OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST MID TO
LATE IN THE WEEK BUT THE FORECAST AREA SHOULD REMAIN IN THE DRY
SUBSIDENT AREA.

05/MA


&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

THE ONLY POSSIBLE EXCEPTION TO CONTINUED VFR CONDITIONS OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS WILL BE AT TCL...WHERE SOME LIGHT (MVFR CATEGORY) FOG
COULD DRIFT OVER THE FIELD FROM THE NEARBY WATER BODY.
OTHERWISE...CLEAR TO SCATTERED CLOUDS AT MOST THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON.

/61/

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KBMX 032330
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
630 PM CDT SUN MAY 3 2015

.UPDATE...
FOR 00Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

ANOTHER BEAUTIFUL SUNNY SPRING DAY ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA.
TEMPERATURES ARE A COUPLE OF DEGREES WARMER THIS AFTERNOON THAN
YESTERDAY WITH READINGS CURRENTLY IN THE UPPER 70S AND LOW 80S ACROSS
THE AREA. THERE ARE ALSO A FEW MORE CLOUDS ACROSS THE AREA WITH A
SLIGHT INCREASE IN MOISTURE. CURRENT WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND RAP
UPPER AIR ANALYSIS INDICATES AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE ACROSS THE
CENTRAL CONUS. HIGHER UPPER LEVEL HEIGHTS ARE BUILDING INTO THE
AREA AND WILL KEEP THE FORECAST WARM AND DRY. AT THE SURFACE...A
HIGH PRESSURE IS CENTERED ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD WITH LIGHT
SURFACE FLOW ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA. FOR TONIGHT...EXPECT
TEMPERATURES WILL BE A COUPLE OF DEGREES WARMER THAN LAST NIGHT
WITH LIGHT SOUTHERLY FLOW. EXPECT LOWS WILL BE IN THE 50S ACROSS
THE AREA WITH SOME OF THE RADIATONAL COOLING LOCATIONS ACROSS THE
NORTHEAST POSSIBLY DROPPING INTO THE UPPER 40S.

THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST CONTINUES TO BE MOSTLY UNCHANGED
WITH DRY AND WARMER CONDITIONS EXPECTED THIS WEEK. THE UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE ACROSS THE DESERT SOUTHWEST WILL BECOME ESTABLISHED
ACROSS THE AREA THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THE WORK WEEK. PW VALUES WILL
GENERALLY BE UNDER AN INCH THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD WHICH IS
BELOW NORMAL FOR EARLY TO MID-MAY. THESE HIGHER HEIGHTS ALOFT
SHOULD KEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IN CHECK AND WILL INCREASE
AFTERNOON HIGHS THROUGHOUT THE WEEK. EXPECT HIGHS LATE IN THE WEEK
WILL BE IN THE UPPER 80S WITH A FEW PLACES MAKING IT INTO THE LOW
90S. MODEL CONTINUE TO SHOW A SYSTEM OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST MID TO
LATE IN THE WEEK BUT THE FORECAST AREA SHOULD REMAIN IN THE DRY
SUBSIDENT AREA.

05/MA


&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

THE ONLY POSSIBLE EXCEPTION TO CONTINUED VFR CONDITIONS OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS WILL BE AT TCL...WHERE SOME LIGHT (MVFR CATEGORY) FOG
COULD DRIFT OVER THE FIELD FROM THE NEARBY WATER BODY.
OTHERWISE...CLEAR TO SCATTERED CLOUDS AT MOST THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON.

/61/

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KBMX 031855
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
155 PM CDT SUN MAY 3 2015

.DISCUSSION...

ANOTHER BEAUTIFUL SUNNY SPRING DAY ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA.
TEMPERATURES ARE A COUPLE OF DEGREES WARMER THIS AFTERNOON THAN
YESTERDAY WITH READINGS CURRENTLY IN THE UPPER 70S AND LOW 80S ACROSS
THE AREA. THERE ARE ALSO A FEW MORE CLOUDS ACROSS THE AREA WITH A
SLIGHT INCREASE IN MOISTURE. CURRENT WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND RAP
UPPER AIR ANALYSIS INDICATES AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE ACROSS THE
CENTRAL CONUS. HIGHER UPPER LEVEL HEIGHTS ARE BUILDING INTO THE
AREA AND WILL KEEP THE FORECAST WARM AND DRY. AT THE SURFACE...A
HIGH PRESSURE IS CENTERED ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD WITH LIGHT
SURFACE FLOW ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA. FOR TONIGHT...EXPECT
TEMPERATURES WILL BE A COUPLE OF DEGREES WARMER THAN LAST NIGHT
WITH LIGHT SOUTHERLY FLOW. EXPECT LOWS WILL BE IN THE 50S ACROSS
THE AREA WITH SOME OF THE RADIATONAL COOLING LOCATIONS ACROSS THE
NORTHEAST POSSIBLY DROPPING INTO THE UPPER 40S.

THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST CONTINUES TO BE MOSTLY UNCHANGED
WITH DRY AND WARMER CONDITIONS EXPECTED THIS WEEK. THE UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE ACROSS THE DESERT SOUTHWEST WILL BECOME ESTABLISHED
ACROSS THE AREA THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THE WORK WEEK. PW VALUES WILL
GENERALLY BE UNDER AN INCH THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD WHICH IS
BELOW NORMAL FOR EARLY TO MID-MAY. THESE HIGHER HEIGHTS ALOFT
SHOULD KEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IN CHECK AND WILL INCREASE
AFTERNOON HIGHS THROUGHOUT THE WEEK. EXPECT HIGHS LATE IN THE WEEK
WILL BE IN THE UPPER 80S WITH A FEW PLACES MAKING IT INTO THE LOW
90S. MODEL CONTINUE TO SHOW A SYSTEM OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST MID TO
LATE IN THE WEEK BUT THE FORECAST AREA SHOULD REMAIN IN THE DRY
SUBSIDENT AREA.

05/MA

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS WITH LIGHT SOUTHERLY WINDS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

14


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     52  81  56  82  57 /   0  10   0  10   0
ANNISTON    57  82  57  82  58 /   0  10   0  10   0
BIRMINGHAM  57  83  58  83  60 /   0  10   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  55  84  58  85  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      56  83  59  83  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      55  81  58  80  58 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  57  85  60  84  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        56  83  59  83  59 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KBMX 031855
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
155 PM CDT SUN MAY 3 2015

.DISCUSSION...

ANOTHER BEAUTIFUL SUNNY SPRING DAY ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA.
TEMPERATURES ARE A COUPLE OF DEGREES WARMER THIS AFTERNOON THAN
YESTERDAY WITH READINGS CURRENTLY IN THE UPPER 70S AND LOW 80S ACROSS
THE AREA. THERE ARE ALSO A FEW MORE CLOUDS ACROSS THE AREA WITH A
SLIGHT INCREASE IN MOISTURE. CURRENT WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND RAP
UPPER AIR ANALYSIS INDICATES AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE ACROSS THE
CENTRAL CONUS. HIGHER UPPER LEVEL HEIGHTS ARE BUILDING INTO THE
AREA AND WILL KEEP THE FORECAST WARM AND DRY. AT THE SURFACE...A
HIGH PRESSURE IS CENTERED ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD WITH LIGHT
SURFACE FLOW ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA. FOR TONIGHT...EXPECT
TEMPERATURES WILL BE A COUPLE OF DEGREES WARMER THAN LAST NIGHT
WITH LIGHT SOUTHERLY FLOW. EXPECT LOWS WILL BE IN THE 50S ACROSS
THE AREA WITH SOME OF THE RADIATONAL COOLING LOCATIONS ACROSS THE
NORTHEAST POSSIBLY DROPPING INTO THE UPPER 40S.

THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST CONTINUES TO BE MOSTLY UNCHANGED
WITH DRY AND WARMER CONDITIONS EXPECTED THIS WEEK. THE UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE ACROSS THE DESERT SOUTHWEST WILL BECOME ESTABLISHED
ACROSS THE AREA THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THE WORK WEEK. PW VALUES WILL
GENERALLY BE UNDER AN INCH THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD WHICH IS
BELOW NORMAL FOR EARLY TO MID-MAY. THESE HIGHER HEIGHTS ALOFT
SHOULD KEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IN CHECK AND WILL INCREASE
AFTERNOON HIGHS THROUGHOUT THE WEEK. EXPECT HIGHS LATE IN THE WEEK
WILL BE IN THE UPPER 80S WITH A FEW PLACES MAKING IT INTO THE LOW
90S. MODEL CONTINUE TO SHOW A SYSTEM OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST MID TO
LATE IN THE WEEK BUT THE FORECAST AREA SHOULD REMAIN IN THE DRY
SUBSIDENT AREA.

05/MA

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS WITH LIGHT SOUTHERLY WINDS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

14


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     52  81  56  82  57 /   0  10   0  10   0
ANNISTON    57  82  57  82  58 /   0  10   0  10   0
BIRMINGHAM  57  83  58  83  60 /   0  10   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  55  84  58  85  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      56  83  59  83  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      55  81  58  80  58 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  57  85  60  84  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        56  83  59  83  59 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KBMX 031719 AAA
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1219 PM CDT SUN MAY 3 2015

.UPDATE...
AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

ANOTHER WARM AND DRY DAY ON TAP FOR CENTRAL ALABAMA. SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE HAS SHIFTED EAST OF THE AREA...SO A LIGHT SOUTHERLY WIND
WILL RETURN THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHS SHOULD REACH INTO THE UPPER
70S/LOWER 80S ARE MOST LOCATIONS.

14

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS WITH LIGHT SOUTHERLY WINDS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

14

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 636 AM CDT SUN MAY 3 2015/

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE IN CONTROL THROUGH THE ENTIRE WEEK WITH
UPPER HEIGHT RISES AND A GRADUAL WARMING TREND. A CLOSED UPPER
LOW OFF THE FLORIDA/GEORGIA COAST WILL KEEP ALABAMA ON THE WARM
AND SUBSIDENCE SIDE OF THIS SYSTEM. THE MODELS ARE HINTING AT SOME
OROGRAPHIC CONVECTION ALONG THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS BY THE END
OF THE WEEK. SOME OF THIS CONVECTION COULD WANDER INTO THE
NORTHEAST COUNTIES OF CENTRAL ALABAMA...BUT CONFIDENCE NOT HIGH
ENOUGH TO INCLUDE IN FORECAST. MIDDLE TO UPPER 80S WILL BE COMMON
AFTER WEDNESDAY.

58/ROSE

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     80  54  81  55  81 /   0   0  10   0   0
ANNISTON    80  56  81  57  81 /   0   0  10   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  81  57  82  59  82 /   0   0  10   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  82  57  84  59  84 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      81  58  82  59  82 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      79  58  79  58  79 /   0   0   0   0  10
MONTGOMERY  83  59  84  59  84 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        83  58  82  59  82 /   0   0   0   0  10

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KBMX 031719 AAA
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1219 PM CDT SUN MAY 3 2015

.UPDATE...
AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

ANOTHER WARM AND DRY DAY ON TAP FOR CENTRAL ALABAMA. SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE HAS SHIFTED EAST OF THE AREA...SO A LIGHT SOUTHERLY WIND
WILL RETURN THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHS SHOULD REACH INTO THE UPPER
70S/LOWER 80S ARE MOST LOCATIONS.

14

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS WITH LIGHT SOUTHERLY WINDS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

14

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 636 AM CDT SUN MAY 3 2015/

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE IN CONTROL THROUGH THE ENTIRE WEEK WITH
UPPER HEIGHT RISES AND A GRADUAL WARMING TREND. A CLOSED UPPER
LOW OFF THE FLORIDA/GEORGIA COAST WILL KEEP ALABAMA ON THE WARM
AND SUBSIDENCE SIDE OF THIS SYSTEM. THE MODELS ARE HINTING AT SOME
OROGRAPHIC CONVECTION ALONG THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS BY THE END
OF THE WEEK. SOME OF THIS CONVECTION COULD WANDER INTO THE
NORTHEAST COUNTIES OF CENTRAL ALABAMA...BUT CONFIDENCE NOT HIGH
ENOUGH TO INCLUDE IN FORECAST. MIDDLE TO UPPER 80S WILL BE COMMON
AFTER WEDNESDAY.

58/ROSE

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     80  54  81  55  81 /   0   0  10   0   0
ANNISTON    80  56  81  57  81 /   0   0  10   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  81  57  82  59  82 /   0   0  10   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  82  57  84  59  84 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      81  58  82  59  82 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      79  58  79  58  79 /   0   0   0   0  10
MONTGOMERY  83  59  84  59  84 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        83  58  82  59  82 /   0   0   0   0  10

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KBMX 031719 AAA
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1219 PM CDT SUN MAY 3 2015

.UPDATE...
AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

ANOTHER WARM AND DRY DAY ON TAP FOR CENTRAL ALABAMA. SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE HAS SHIFTED EAST OF THE AREA...SO A LIGHT SOUTHERLY WIND
WILL RETURN THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHS SHOULD REACH INTO THE UPPER
70S/LOWER 80S ARE MOST LOCATIONS.

14

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS WITH LIGHT SOUTHERLY WINDS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

14

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 636 AM CDT SUN MAY 3 2015/

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE IN CONTROL THROUGH THE ENTIRE WEEK WITH
UPPER HEIGHT RISES AND A GRADUAL WARMING TREND. A CLOSED UPPER
LOW OFF THE FLORIDA/GEORGIA COAST WILL KEEP ALABAMA ON THE WARM
AND SUBSIDENCE SIDE OF THIS SYSTEM. THE MODELS ARE HINTING AT SOME
OROGRAPHIC CONVECTION ALONG THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS BY THE END
OF THE WEEK. SOME OF THIS CONVECTION COULD WANDER INTO THE
NORTHEAST COUNTIES OF CENTRAL ALABAMA...BUT CONFIDENCE NOT HIGH
ENOUGH TO INCLUDE IN FORECAST. MIDDLE TO UPPER 80S WILL BE COMMON
AFTER WEDNESDAY.

58/ROSE

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     80  54  81  55  81 /   0   0  10   0   0
ANNISTON    80  56  81  57  81 /   0   0  10   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  81  57  82  59  82 /   0   0  10   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  82  57  84  59  84 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      81  58  82  59  82 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      79  58  79  58  79 /   0   0   0   0  10
MONTGOMERY  83  59  84  59  84 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        83  58  82  59  82 /   0   0   0   0  10

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KBMX 031719 AAA
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1219 PM CDT SUN MAY 3 2015

.UPDATE...
AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

ANOTHER WARM AND DRY DAY ON TAP FOR CENTRAL ALABAMA. SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE HAS SHIFTED EAST OF THE AREA...SO A LIGHT SOUTHERLY WIND
WILL RETURN THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHS SHOULD REACH INTO THE UPPER
70S/LOWER 80S ARE MOST LOCATIONS.

14

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS WITH LIGHT SOUTHERLY WINDS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

14

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 636 AM CDT SUN MAY 3 2015/

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE IN CONTROL THROUGH THE ENTIRE WEEK WITH
UPPER HEIGHT RISES AND A GRADUAL WARMING TREND. A CLOSED UPPER
LOW OFF THE FLORIDA/GEORGIA COAST WILL KEEP ALABAMA ON THE WARM
AND SUBSIDENCE SIDE OF THIS SYSTEM. THE MODELS ARE HINTING AT SOME
OROGRAPHIC CONVECTION ALONG THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS BY THE END
OF THE WEEK. SOME OF THIS CONVECTION COULD WANDER INTO THE
NORTHEAST COUNTIES OF CENTRAL ALABAMA...BUT CONFIDENCE NOT HIGH
ENOUGH TO INCLUDE IN FORECAST. MIDDLE TO UPPER 80S WILL BE COMMON
AFTER WEDNESDAY.

58/ROSE

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     80  54  81  55  81 /   0   0  10   0   0
ANNISTON    80  56  81  57  81 /   0   0  10   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  81  57  82  59  82 /   0   0  10   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  82  57  84  59  84 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      81  58  82  59  82 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      79  58  79  58  79 /   0   0   0   0  10
MONTGOMERY  83  59  84  59  84 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        83  58  82  59  82 /   0   0   0   0  10

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KBMX 031506 AAA
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1006 AM CDT SUN MAY 3 2015

.UPDATE...
MORNING UPDATE.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

ANOTHER WARM AND DRY DAY ON TAP FOR CENTRAL ALABAMA. SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE HAS SHIFTED EAST OF THE AREA...SO A LIGHT SOUTHERLY WIND
WILL RETURN THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHS SHOULD REACH INTO THE UPPER
70S/LOWER 80S ARE MOST LOCATIONS.

14

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS WITH LIGHT WINDS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

87


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 636 AM CDT SUN MAY 3 2015/

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE IN CONTROL THROUGH THE ENTIRE WEEK WITH
UPPER HEIGHT RISES AND A GRADUAL WARMING TREND. A CLOSED UPPER
LOW OFF THE FLORIDA/GEORGIA COAST WILL KEEP ALABAMA ON THE WARM
AND SUBSIDENCE SIDE OF THIS SYSTEM. THE MODELS ARE HINTING AT SOME
OROGRAPHIC CONVECTION ALONG THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS BY THE END
OF THE WEEK. SOME OF THIS CONVECTION COULD WANDER INTO THE
NORTHEAST COUNTIES OF CENTRAL ALABAMA...BUT CONFIDENCE NOT HIGH
ENOUGH TO INCLUDE IN FORECAST. MIDDLE TO UPPER 80S WILL BE COMMON
AFTER WEDNESDAY.

58/ROSE

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     80  54  81  55  81 /   0   0  10   0   0
ANNISTON    80  56  81  57  81 /   0   0  10   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  81  57  82  59  82 /   0   0  10   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  82  57  84  59  84 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      81  58  82  59  82 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      79  58  79  58  79 /   0   0   0   0  10
MONTGOMERY  83  59  84  59  84 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        83  58  82  59  82 /   0   0   0   0  10

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KBMX 031506 AAA
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1006 AM CDT SUN MAY 3 2015

.UPDATE...
MORNING UPDATE.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

ANOTHER WARM AND DRY DAY ON TAP FOR CENTRAL ALABAMA. SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE HAS SHIFTED EAST OF THE AREA...SO A LIGHT SOUTHERLY WIND
WILL RETURN THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHS SHOULD REACH INTO THE UPPER
70S/LOWER 80S ARE MOST LOCATIONS.

14

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS WITH LIGHT WINDS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

87


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 636 AM CDT SUN MAY 3 2015/

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE IN CONTROL THROUGH THE ENTIRE WEEK WITH
UPPER HEIGHT RISES AND A GRADUAL WARMING TREND. A CLOSED UPPER
LOW OFF THE FLORIDA/GEORGIA COAST WILL KEEP ALABAMA ON THE WARM
AND SUBSIDENCE SIDE OF THIS SYSTEM. THE MODELS ARE HINTING AT SOME
OROGRAPHIC CONVECTION ALONG THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS BY THE END
OF THE WEEK. SOME OF THIS CONVECTION COULD WANDER INTO THE
NORTHEAST COUNTIES OF CENTRAL ALABAMA...BUT CONFIDENCE NOT HIGH
ENOUGH TO INCLUDE IN FORECAST. MIDDLE TO UPPER 80S WILL BE COMMON
AFTER WEDNESDAY.

58/ROSE

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     80  54  81  55  81 /   0   0  10   0   0
ANNISTON    80  56  81  57  81 /   0   0  10   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  81  57  82  59  82 /   0   0  10   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  82  57  84  59  84 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      81  58  82  59  82 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      79  58  79  58  79 /   0   0   0   0  10
MONTGOMERY  83  59  84  59  84 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        83  58  82  59  82 /   0   0   0   0  10

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KBMX 031506 AAA
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1006 AM CDT SUN MAY 3 2015

.UPDATE...
MORNING UPDATE.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

ANOTHER WARM AND DRY DAY ON TAP FOR CENTRAL ALABAMA. SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE HAS SHIFTED EAST OF THE AREA...SO A LIGHT SOUTHERLY WIND
WILL RETURN THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHS SHOULD REACH INTO THE UPPER
70S/LOWER 80S ARE MOST LOCATIONS.

14

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS WITH LIGHT WINDS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

87


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 636 AM CDT SUN MAY 3 2015/

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE IN CONTROL THROUGH THE ENTIRE WEEK WITH
UPPER HEIGHT RISES AND A GRADUAL WARMING TREND. A CLOSED UPPER
LOW OFF THE FLORIDA/GEORGIA COAST WILL KEEP ALABAMA ON THE WARM
AND SUBSIDENCE SIDE OF THIS SYSTEM. THE MODELS ARE HINTING AT SOME
OROGRAPHIC CONVECTION ALONG THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS BY THE END
OF THE WEEK. SOME OF THIS CONVECTION COULD WANDER INTO THE
NORTHEAST COUNTIES OF CENTRAL ALABAMA...BUT CONFIDENCE NOT HIGH
ENOUGH TO INCLUDE IN FORECAST. MIDDLE TO UPPER 80S WILL BE COMMON
AFTER WEDNESDAY.

58/ROSE

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     80  54  81  55  81 /   0   0  10   0   0
ANNISTON    80  56  81  57  81 /   0   0  10   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  81  57  82  59  82 /   0   0  10   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  82  57  84  59  84 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      81  58  82  59  82 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      79  58  79  58  79 /   0   0   0   0  10
MONTGOMERY  83  59  84  59  84 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        83  58  82  59  82 /   0   0   0   0  10

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KBMX 031506 AAA
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1006 AM CDT SUN MAY 3 2015

.UPDATE...
MORNING UPDATE.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

ANOTHER WARM AND DRY DAY ON TAP FOR CENTRAL ALABAMA. SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE HAS SHIFTED EAST OF THE AREA...SO A LIGHT SOUTHERLY WIND
WILL RETURN THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHS SHOULD REACH INTO THE UPPER
70S/LOWER 80S ARE MOST LOCATIONS.

14

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS WITH LIGHT WINDS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

87


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 636 AM CDT SUN MAY 3 2015/

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE IN CONTROL THROUGH THE ENTIRE WEEK WITH
UPPER HEIGHT RISES AND A GRADUAL WARMING TREND. A CLOSED UPPER
LOW OFF THE FLORIDA/GEORGIA COAST WILL KEEP ALABAMA ON THE WARM
AND SUBSIDENCE SIDE OF THIS SYSTEM. THE MODELS ARE HINTING AT SOME
OROGRAPHIC CONVECTION ALONG THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS BY THE END
OF THE WEEK. SOME OF THIS CONVECTION COULD WANDER INTO THE
NORTHEAST COUNTIES OF CENTRAL ALABAMA...BUT CONFIDENCE NOT HIGH
ENOUGH TO INCLUDE IN FORECAST. MIDDLE TO UPPER 80S WILL BE COMMON
AFTER WEDNESDAY.

58/ROSE

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     80  54  81  55  81 /   0   0  10   0   0
ANNISTON    80  56  81  57  81 /   0   0  10   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  81  57  82  59  82 /   0   0  10   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  82  57  84  59  84 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      81  58  82  59  82 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      79  58  79  58  79 /   0   0   0   0  10
MONTGOMERY  83  59  84  59  84 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        83  58  82  59  82 /   0   0   0   0  10

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KBMX 031136
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
636 AM CDT SUN MAY 3 2015

.UPDATE...
FOR 12Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE IN CONTROL THROUGH THE ENTIRE WEEK WITH
UPPER HEIGHT RISES AND A GRADUAL WARMING TREND. A CLOSED UPPER
LOW OFF THE FLORIDA/GEORGIA COAST WILL KEEP ALABAMA ON THE WARM
AND SUBSIDENCE SIDE OF THIS SYSTEM. THE MODELS ARE HINTING AT SOME
OROGRAPHIC CONVECTION ALONG THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS BY THE END
OF THE WEEK. SOME OF THIS CONVECTION COULD WANDER INTO THE
NORTHEAST COUNTIES OF CENTRAL ALABAMA...BUT CONFIDENCE NOT HIGH
ENOUGH TO INCLUDE IN FORECAST. MIDDLE TO UPPER 80S WILL BE COMMON
AFTER WEDNESDAY.

58/ROSE

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS WITH LIGHT WINDS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

87

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

58/87




000
FXUS64 KBMX 031136
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
636 AM CDT SUN MAY 3 2015

.UPDATE...
FOR 12Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE IN CONTROL THROUGH THE ENTIRE WEEK WITH
UPPER HEIGHT RISES AND A GRADUAL WARMING TREND. A CLOSED UPPER
LOW OFF THE FLORIDA/GEORGIA COAST WILL KEEP ALABAMA ON THE WARM
AND SUBSIDENCE SIDE OF THIS SYSTEM. THE MODELS ARE HINTING AT SOME
OROGRAPHIC CONVECTION ALONG THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS BY THE END
OF THE WEEK. SOME OF THIS CONVECTION COULD WANDER INTO THE
NORTHEAST COUNTIES OF CENTRAL ALABAMA...BUT CONFIDENCE NOT HIGH
ENOUGH TO INCLUDE IN FORECAST. MIDDLE TO UPPER 80S WILL BE COMMON
AFTER WEDNESDAY.

58/ROSE

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS WITH LIGHT WINDS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

87

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

58/87





000
FXUS64 KBMX 031136
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
636 AM CDT SUN MAY 3 2015

.UPDATE...
FOR 12Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE IN CONTROL THROUGH THE ENTIRE WEEK WITH
UPPER HEIGHT RISES AND A GRADUAL WARMING TREND. A CLOSED UPPER
LOW OFF THE FLORIDA/GEORGIA COAST WILL KEEP ALABAMA ON THE WARM
AND SUBSIDENCE SIDE OF THIS SYSTEM. THE MODELS ARE HINTING AT SOME
OROGRAPHIC CONVECTION ALONG THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS BY THE END
OF THE WEEK. SOME OF THIS CONVECTION COULD WANDER INTO THE
NORTHEAST COUNTIES OF CENTRAL ALABAMA...BUT CONFIDENCE NOT HIGH
ENOUGH TO INCLUDE IN FORECAST. MIDDLE TO UPPER 80S WILL BE COMMON
AFTER WEDNESDAY.

58/ROSE

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS WITH LIGHT WINDS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

87

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

58/87




000
FXUS64 KBMX 031136
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
636 AM CDT SUN MAY 3 2015

.UPDATE...
FOR 12Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE IN CONTROL THROUGH THE ENTIRE WEEK WITH
UPPER HEIGHT RISES AND A GRADUAL WARMING TREND. A CLOSED UPPER
LOW OFF THE FLORIDA/GEORGIA COAST WILL KEEP ALABAMA ON THE WARM
AND SUBSIDENCE SIDE OF THIS SYSTEM. THE MODELS ARE HINTING AT SOME
OROGRAPHIC CONVECTION ALONG THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS BY THE END
OF THE WEEK. SOME OF THIS CONVECTION COULD WANDER INTO THE
NORTHEAST COUNTIES OF CENTRAL ALABAMA...BUT CONFIDENCE NOT HIGH
ENOUGH TO INCLUDE IN FORECAST. MIDDLE TO UPPER 80S WILL BE COMMON
AFTER WEDNESDAY.

58/ROSE

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS WITH LIGHT WINDS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

87

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

58/87





000
FXUS64 KBMX 030927
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
427 AM CDT SUN MAY 3 2015

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE IN CONTROL THROUGH THE ENTIRE WEEK WITH
UPPER HEIGHT RISES AND A GRADUAL WARMING TREND. A CLOSED UPPER
LOW OFF THE FLORIDA/GEORGIA COAST WILL KEEP ALABAMA ON THE WARM
AND SUBSIDENCE SIDE OF THIS SYSTEM. THE MODELS ARE HINTING AT SOME
OROGRAPHIC CONVECTION ALONG THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS BY THE END
OF THE WEEK. SOME OF THIS CONVECTION COULD WANDER INTO THE
NORTHEAST COUNTIES OF CENTRAL ALABAMA...BUT CONFIDENCE NOT HIGH
ENOUGH TO INCLUDE IN FORECAST. MIDDLE TO UPPER 80S WILL BE COMMON
AFTER WEDNESDAY.

58/ROSE

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

SEE NO REASON TO DEVIATE FROM CURRENT CLEAR AND NEAR CALM FORECAST
FOR CENTRAL ALABAMA TAFS.

/61/


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     80  54  81  55  81 /   0   0  10   0   0
ANNISTON    80  56  81  57  81 /   0   0  10   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  81  57  82  59  82 /   0   0  10   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  82  57  84  59  84 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      81  58  82  59  82 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      79  58  79  58  79 /   0   0   0   0  10
MONTGOMERY  83  59  84  59  84 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        83  58  82  59  82 /   0   0   0   0  10

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KBMX 030927
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
427 AM CDT SUN MAY 3 2015

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE IN CONTROL THROUGH THE ENTIRE WEEK WITH
UPPER HEIGHT RISES AND A GRADUAL WARMING TREND. A CLOSED UPPER
LOW OFF THE FLORIDA/GEORGIA COAST WILL KEEP ALABAMA ON THE WARM
AND SUBSIDENCE SIDE OF THIS SYSTEM. THE MODELS ARE HINTING AT SOME
OROGRAPHIC CONVECTION ALONG THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS BY THE END
OF THE WEEK. SOME OF THIS CONVECTION COULD WANDER INTO THE
NORTHEAST COUNTIES OF CENTRAL ALABAMA...BUT CONFIDENCE NOT HIGH
ENOUGH TO INCLUDE IN FORECAST. MIDDLE TO UPPER 80S WILL BE COMMON
AFTER WEDNESDAY.

58/ROSE

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

SEE NO REASON TO DEVIATE FROM CURRENT CLEAR AND NEAR CALM FORECAST
FOR CENTRAL ALABAMA TAFS.

/61/


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     80  54  81  55  81 /   0   0  10   0   0
ANNISTON    80  56  81  57  81 /   0   0  10   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  81  57  82  59  82 /   0   0  10   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  82  57  84  59  84 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      81  58  82  59  82 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      79  58  79  58  79 /   0   0   0   0  10
MONTGOMERY  83  59  84  59  84 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        83  58  82  59  82 /   0   0   0   0  10

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$





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