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000
FXUS64 KBMX 201128
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
628 AM CDT MON OCT 20 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 12Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

WELCOME TO THE THE OCTOBER DOLDRUMS. THE SEASONAL COOL DOWN AND
LACK OF MOISTURE IS EVIDENT AND WILL REMAIN THAT WAY THROUGH THE
WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND. WE WILL HAVE A SERIES OF COLD FRONTS
THAT WILL SWING THROUGH DURING THE WEEK...BUT WITH THE LIMITED
MOISTURE RAIN IS NOT EXPECTED. THE BIGGEST BATTLE IS GOING WITH 0
PERCENT OR 10 PERCENT OVER THE PERIOD.

THE FIRST FRONT PASSES THROUGH OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AND INTO TUESDAY
MORNING. ACTUALLY TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARMER BEHIND THE FRONT
ON TUESDAY THAN TODAY...BUT WE WILL RECEIVE ANOTHER RE-ENFORCING
SHOT OF DRY AIR. TEMPERATURES COOL BACK DOWN INTO THE UPPER
60S/LOW 70S ON WEDNESDAY AS THE RE-ENFORCING COLDER AIR MOVES IN
TUESDAY NIGHT. BY THURSDAY EVENING MODELS ARE INDICATING AN
INCREASE IN VORTICITY AHEAD OF THE NEXT FRONT EXPECTED ON FRIDAY...
BUT WITH THE DRY CONDITIONS IN PLACE...LOOKS LIKE THE BEST WE
WILL BE ABLE TO SQUEEZE OUT WILL BE AN INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER.

UPPER LEVEL RIDGING THEN MOVES IN FOR THE WEEKEND ONLY TO RE-
ENFORCE THE DRY AIRMASS ONCE AGAIN. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FRONT BY
EARLY NEXT WEEK...THAT COULD BRING SOME RAIN BUT REMAINS OUTSIDE
OF THIS FORECAST AT THIS TIME.

16

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AS HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO DOMINATE
THE SOUTHEAST CONUS. THERE`S SOME RIVER FOG OUT THERE THIS MORNING
BUT NOT AFFECTING ANY OF THE TAF SITES. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND
VARIABLE UNDER SUNNY SKIES.

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

19

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     72  48  73  44  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    73  49  74  45  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  74  50  75  46  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  75  50  77  48  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      73  51  75  48  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      73  53  76  49  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  77  52  80  48  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        76  51  80  49  73 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KBMX 201128
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
628 AM CDT MON OCT 20 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 12Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

WELCOME TO THE THE OCTOBER DOLDRUMS. THE SEASONAL COOL DOWN AND
LACK OF MOISTURE IS EVIDENT AND WILL REMAIN THAT WAY THROUGH THE
WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND. WE WILL HAVE A SERIES OF COLD FRONTS
THAT WILL SWING THROUGH DURING THE WEEK...BUT WITH THE LIMITED
MOISTURE RAIN IS NOT EXPECTED. THE BIGGEST BATTLE IS GOING WITH 0
PERCENT OR 10 PERCENT OVER THE PERIOD.

THE FIRST FRONT PASSES THROUGH OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AND INTO TUESDAY
MORNING. ACTUALLY TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARMER BEHIND THE FRONT
ON TUESDAY THAN TODAY...BUT WE WILL RECEIVE ANOTHER RE-ENFORCING
SHOT OF DRY AIR. TEMPERATURES COOL BACK DOWN INTO THE UPPER
60S/LOW 70S ON WEDNESDAY AS THE RE-ENFORCING COLDER AIR MOVES IN
TUESDAY NIGHT. BY THURSDAY EVENING MODELS ARE INDICATING AN
INCREASE IN VORTICITY AHEAD OF THE NEXT FRONT EXPECTED ON FRIDAY...
BUT WITH THE DRY CONDITIONS IN PLACE...LOOKS LIKE THE BEST WE
WILL BE ABLE TO SQUEEZE OUT WILL BE AN INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER.

UPPER LEVEL RIDGING THEN MOVES IN FOR THE WEEKEND ONLY TO RE-
ENFORCE THE DRY AIRMASS ONCE AGAIN. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FRONT BY
EARLY NEXT WEEK...THAT COULD BRING SOME RAIN BUT REMAINS OUTSIDE
OF THIS FORECAST AT THIS TIME.

16

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AS HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO DOMINATE
THE SOUTHEAST CONUS. THERE`S SOME RIVER FOG OUT THERE THIS MORNING
BUT NOT AFFECTING ANY OF THE TAF SITES. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND
VARIABLE UNDER SUNNY SKIES.

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

19

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     72  48  73  44  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    73  49  74  45  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  74  50  75  46  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  75  50  77  48  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      73  51  75  48  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      73  53  76  49  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  77  52  80  48  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        76  51  80  49  73 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KBMX 200907
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
407 AM CDT MON OCT 20 2014

.DISCUSSION...

WELCOME TO THE THE OCTOBER DOLDRUMS. THE SEASONAL COOL DOWN AND
LACK OF MOISTURE IS EVIDENT AND WILL REMAIN THAT WAY THROUGH THE
WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND. WE WILL HAVE A SERIES OF COLD FRONTS
THAT WILL SWING THROUGH DURING THE WEEK...BUT WITH THE LIMITED
MOISTURE RAIN IS NOT EXPECTED. THE BIGGEST BATTLE IS GOING WITH 0
PERCENT OR 10 PERCENT OVER THE PERIOD.

THE FIRST FRONT PASSES THROUGH OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AND INTO TUESDAY
MORNING. ACTUALLY TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARMER BEHIND THE FRONT
ON TUESDAY THAN TODAY...BUT WE WILL RECEIVE ANOTHER RE-ENFORCING
SHOT OF DRY AIR. TEMPERATURES COOL BACK DOWN INTO THE UPPER
60S/LOW 70S ON WEDNESDAY AS THE RE-ENFORCING COLDER AIR MOVES IN
TUESDAY NIGHT. BY THURSDAY EVENING MODELS ARE INDICATING AN
INCREASE IN VORTICITY AHEAD OF THE NEXT FRONT EXPECTED ON FRIDAY...
BUT WITH THE DRY CONDITIONS IN PLACE...LOOKS LIKE THE BEST WE
WILL BE ABLE TO SQUEEZE OUT WILL BE AN INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER.

UPPER LEVEL RIDGING THEN MOVES IN FOR THE WEEKEND ONLY TO RE-
ENFORCE THE DRY AIRMASS ONCE AGAIN. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FRONT BY
EARLY NEXT WEEK...THAT COULD BRING SOME RAIN BUT REMAINS OUTSIDE
OF THIS FORECAST AT THIS TIME.

16

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

NO OPERATIONAL AVIATION IMPACTS EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 24
HOURS. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT/CALM WINDS.

/61/

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     72  48  73  44  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    73  49  74  45  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  74  50  75  46  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  75  50  77  48  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      73  51  75  48  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      73  53  76  49  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  77  52  80  48  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        76  51  80  49  73 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KBMX 200907
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
407 AM CDT MON OCT 20 2014

.DISCUSSION...

WELCOME TO THE THE OCTOBER DOLDRUMS. THE SEASONAL COOL DOWN AND
LACK OF MOISTURE IS EVIDENT AND WILL REMAIN THAT WAY THROUGH THE
WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND. WE WILL HAVE A SERIES OF COLD FRONTS
THAT WILL SWING THROUGH DURING THE WEEK...BUT WITH THE LIMITED
MOISTURE RAIN IS NOT EXPECTED. THE BIGGEST BATTLE IS GOING WITH 0
PERCENT OR 10 PERCENT OVER THE PERIOD.

THE FIRST FRONT PASSES THROUGH OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AND INTO TUESDAY
MORNING. ACTUALLY TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARMER BEHIND THE FRONT
ON TUESDAY THAN TODAY...BUT WE WILL RECEIVE ANOTHER RE-ENFORCING
SHOT OF DRY AIR. TEMPERATURES COOL BACK DOWN INTO THE UPPER
60S/LOW 70S ON WEDNESDAY AS THE RE-ENFORCING COLDER AIR MOVES IN
TUESDAY NIGHT. BY THURSDAY EVENING MODELS ARE INDICATING AN
INCREASE IN VORTICITY AHEAD OF THE NEXT FRONT EXPECTED ON FRIDAY...
BUT WITH THE DRY CONDITIONS IN PLACE...LOOKS LIKE THE BEST WE
WILL BE ABLE TO SQUEEZE OUT WILL BE AN INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER.

UPPER LEVEL RIDGING THEN MOVES IN FOR THE WEEKEND ONLY TO RE-
ENFORCE THE DRY AIRMASS ONCE AGAIN. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FRONT BY
EARLY NEXT WEEK...THAT COULD BRING SOME RAIN BUT REMAINS OUTSIDE
OF THIS FORECAST AT THIS TIME.

16

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

NO OPERATIONAL AVIATION IMPACTS EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 24
HOURS. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT/CALM WINDS.

/61/

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     72  48  73  44  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    73  49  74  45  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  74  50  75  46  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  75  50  77  48  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      73  51  75  48  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      73  53  76  49  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  77  52  80  48  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        76  51  80  49  73 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$










000
FXUS64 KBMX 200452
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1152 PM CDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 06Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

WITH LIGHT WINDS THANKS TO A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE ALONG WITH
GENERALLY CLEAR SKIES ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA...TEMPERATURES ARE
COOLING QUITE EFFICIENTLY TONIGHT. EXPECTING COOLER READINGS
TONIGHT AS OPPOSED TO LAST NIGHT WHEN OVERNIGHT WINDS HELD UP.
BASED UPON LATEST TRENDS...HAVE NUDGED LOWS DOWN A DEGREE IN A FEW
SPOTS BUT OVERALL IN GOOD SHAPE.

08/MK


&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

NO OPERATIONAL AVIATION IMPACTS EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 24
HOURS. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT/CALM WINDS.

/61/

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     40  72  48  73  44 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    44  73  49  74  45 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  46  74  50  75  46 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  44  75  50  77  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      47  73  51  75  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      47  73  53  76  49 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  47  77  52  80  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        44  76  51  80  49 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$







000
FXUS64 KBMX 200452
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1152 PM CDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 06Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

WITH LIGHT WINDS THANKS TO A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE ALONG WITH
GENERALLY CLEAR SKIES ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA...TEMPERATURES ARE
COOLING QUITE EFFICIENTLY TONIGHT. EXPECTING COOLER READINGS
TONIGHT AS OPPOSED TO LAST NIGHT WHEN OVERNIGHT WINDS HELD UP.
BASED UPON LATEST TRENDS...HAVE NUDGED LOWS DOWN A DEGREE IN A FEW
SPOTS BUT OVERALL IN GOOD SHAPE.

08/MK


&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

NO OPERATIONAL AVIATION IMPACTS EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 24
HOURS. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT/CALM WINDS.

/61/

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     40  72  48  73  44 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    44  73  49  74  45 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  46  74  50  75  46 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  44  75  50  77  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      47  73  51  75  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      47  73  53  76  49 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  47  77  52  80  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        44  76  51  80  49 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$






000
FXUS64 KBMX 200312 AAB
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1012 PM CDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.UPDATE...
EVENING UPDATE.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

WITH LIGHT WINDS THANKS TO A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE ALONG WITH
GENERALLY CLEAR SKIES ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA...TEMPERATURES ARE
COOLING QUITE EFFICIENTLY TONIGHT. EXPECTING COOLER READINGS
TONIGHT AS OPPOSED TO LAST NIGHT WHEN OVERNIGHT WINDS HELD UP.
BASED UPON LATEST TRENDS...HAVE NUDGED LOWS DOWN A DEGREE IN A FEW
SPOTS BUT OVERALL IN GOOD SHAPE.

08/MK

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

GENERALLY CLEAR SKIES WITH LIGHT/CALM WINDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

/61/

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 300 PM CDT SUN OCT 19 2014/

DRY CONDITIONS ARE IN FULL FORCE THIS AFTERNOON AS HIGH PRESSURE
SETTLES INTO THE REGION. CALM WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES WILL ALLOW
TEMPERATURES TO DROP QUICKLY THIS EVENING AND INTO THE 40S BY
DAYBREAK ON MONDAY. LIGHT WESTERLY FLOW WILL BRING SLIGHTLY WARMER
CONDITIONS FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON AS AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH PASSES
THROUGH. THIS SYSTEM WILL BE STARVED FOR MOISTURE AND NO RAINFALL
IS EXPECTED.

THE UPPER TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO AMPLIFY ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC
REGION AND EVENTUALLY BECOME CLOSED BY WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL KEEP
OUR AREA UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF NORTHERLY FLOW AND SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE FOR SEVERAL DAYS WITH COOL NIGHTS AND MILD AFTERNOONS. AN
UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE SHOULD AMPLIFY ACROSS THE WESTERN U.S. BY THE
END OF THE WEEK WHICH COULD CAUSE A SHORTWAVE TO DIG SOUTHWARD
ACROSS OUR AREA...BUT FOR NOW MOISTURE RETURN IS EXPECTED TO BE
INSUFFICIENT FOR RAINFALL.

87/GRANTHAM

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     40  72  48  73  44 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    44  73  49  74  45 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  46  74  50  75  46 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  44  75  50  77  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      47  73  51  75  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      47  73  53  76  49 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  47  77  52  80  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        44  76  51  80  49 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

08/61/87






000
FXUS64 KBMX 200312 AAB
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1012 PM CDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.UPDATE...
EVENING UPDATE.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

WITH LIGHT WINDS THANKS TO A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE ALONG WITH
GENERALLY CLEAR SKIES ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA...TEMPERATURES ARE
COOLING QUITE EFFICIENTLY TONIGHT. EXPECTING COOLER READINGS
TONIGHT AS OPPOSED TO LAST NIGHT WHEN OVERNIGHT WINDS HELD UP.
BASED UPON LATEST TRENDS...HAVE NUDGED LOWS DOWN A DEGREE IN A FEW
SPOTS BUT OVERALL IN GOOD SHAPE.

08/MK

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

GENERALLY CLEAR SKIES WITH LIGHT/CALM WINDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

/61/

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 300 PM CDT SUN OCT 19 2014/

DRY CONDITIONS ARE IN FULL FORCE THIS AFTERNOON AS HIGH PRESSURE
SETTLES INTO THE REGION. CALM WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES WILL ALLOW
TEMPERATURES TO DROP QUICKLY THIS EVENING AND INTO THE 40S BY
DAYBREAK ON MONDAY. LIGHT WESTERLY FLOW WILL BRING SLIGHTLY WARMER
CONDITIONS FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON AS AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH PASSES
THROUGH. THIS SYSTEM WILL BE STARVED FOR MOISTURE AND NO RAINFALL
IS EXPECTED.

THE UPPER TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO AMPLIFY ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC
REGION AND EVENTUALLY BECOME CLOSED BY WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL KEEP
OUR AREA UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF NORTHERLY FLOW AND SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE FOR SEVERAL DAYS WITH COOL NIGHTS AND MILD AFTERNOONS. AN
UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE SHOULD AMPLIFY ACROSS THE WESTERN U.S. BY THE
END OF THE WEEK WHICH COULD CAUSE A SHORTWAVE TO DIG SOUTHWARD
ACROSS OUR AREA...BUT FOR NOW MOISTURE RETURN IS EXPECTED TO BE
INSUFFICIENT FOR RAINFALL.

87/GRANTHAM

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     40  72  48  73  44 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    44  73  49  74  45 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  46  74  50  75  46 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  44  75  50  77  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      47  73  51  75  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      47  73  53  76  49 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  47  77  52  80  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        44  76  51  80  49 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

08/61/87







000
FXUS64 KBMX 192321
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
621 PM CDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 00Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

DRY CONDITIONS ARE IN FULL FORCE THIS AFTERNOON AS HIGH PRESSURE
SETTLES INTO THE REGION. CALM WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES WILL ALLOW
TEMPERATURES TO DROP QUICKLY THIS EVENING AND INTO THE 40S BY
DAYBREAK ON MONDAY. LIGHT WESTERLY FLOW WILL BRING SLIGHTLY WARMER
CONDITIONS FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON AS AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH PASSES
THROUGH. THIS SYSTEM WILL BE STARVED FOR MOISTURE AND NO RAINFALL
IS EXPECTED.

THE UPPER TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO AMPLIFY ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC
REGION AND EVENTUALLY BECOME CLOSED BY WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL KEEP
OUR AREA UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF NORTHERLY FLOW AND SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE FOR SEVERAL DAYS WITH COOL NIGHTS AND MILD AFTERNOONS. AN
UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE SHOULD AMPLIFY ACROSS THE WESTERN U.S. BY THE
END OF THE WEEK WHICH COULD CAUSE A SHORTWAVE TO DIG SOUTHWARD
ACROSS OUR AREA...BUT FOR NOW MOISTURE RETURN IS EXPECTED TO BE
INSUFFICIENT FOR RAINFALL.

87/GRANTHAM


&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

GENERALLY CLEAR SKIES WITH LIGHT/CALM WINDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

/61/

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KBMX 192321
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
621 PM CDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 00Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

DRY CONDITIONS ARE IN FULL FORCE THIS AFTERNOON AS HIGH PRESSURE
SETTLES INTO THE REGION. CALM WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES WILL ALLOW
TEMPERATURES TO DROP QUICKLY THIS EVENING AND INTO THE 40S BY
DAYBREAK ON MONDAY. LIGHT WESTERLY FLOW WILL BRING SLIGHTLY WARMER
CONDITIONS FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON AS AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH PASSES
THROUGH. THIS SYSTEM WILL BE STARVED FOR MOISTURE AND NO RAINFALL
IS EXPECTED.

THE UPPER TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO AMPLIFY ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC
REGION AND EVENTUALLY BECOME CLOSED BY WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL KEEP
OUR AREA UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF NORTHERLY FLOW AND SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE FOR SEVERAL DAYS WITH COOL NIGHTS AND MILD AFTERNOONS. AN
UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE SHOULD AMPLIFY ACROSS THE WESTERN U.S. BY THE
END OF THE WEEK WHICH COULD CAUSE A SHORTWAVE TO DIG SOUTHWARD
ACROSS OUR AREA...BUT FOR NOW MOISTURE RETURN IS EXPECTED TO BE
INSUFFICIENT FOR RAINFALL.

87/GRANTHAM


&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

GENERALLY CLEAR SKIES WITH LIGHT/CALM WINDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

/61/

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KBMX 192321
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
621 PM CDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 00Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

DRY CONDITIONS ARE IN FULL FORCE THIS AFTERNOON AS HIGH PRESSURE
SETTLES INTO THE REGION. CALM WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES WILL ALLOW
TEMPERATURES TO DROP QUICKLY THIS EVENING AND INTO THE 40S BY
DAYBREAK ON MONDAY. LIGHT WESTERLY FLOW WILL BRING SLIGHTLY WARMER
CONDITIONS FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON AS AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH PASSES
THROUGH. THIS SYSTEM WILL BE STARVED FOR MOISTURE AND NO RAINFALL
IS EXPECTED.

THE UPPER TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO AMPLIFY ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC
REGION AND EVENTUALLY BECOME CLOSED BY WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL KEEP
OUR AREA UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF NORTHERLY FLOW AND SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE FOR SEVERAL DAYS WITH COOL NIGHTS AND MILD AFTERNOONS. AN
UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE SHOULD AMPLIFY ACROSS THE WESTERN U.S. BY THE
END OF THE WEEK WHICH COULD CAUSE A SHORTWAVE TO DIG SOUTHWARD
ACROSS OUR AREA...BUT FOR NOW MOISTURE RETURN IS EXPECTED TO BE
INSUFFICIENT FOR RAINFALL.

87/GRANTHAM


&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

GENERALLY CLEAR SKIES WITH LIGHT/CALM WINDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

/61/

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KBMX 192321
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
621 PM CDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 00Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

DRY CONDITIONS ARE IN FULL FORCE THIS AFTERNOON AS HIGH PRESSURE
SETTLES INTO THE REGION. CALM WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES WILL ALLOW
TEMPERATURES TO DROP QUICKLY THIS EVENING AND INTO THE 40S BY
DAYBREAK ON MONDAY. LIGHT WESTERLY FLOW WILL BRING SLIGHTLY WARMER
CONDITIONS FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON AS AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH PASSES
THROUGH. THIS SYSTEM WILL BE STARVED FOR MOISTURE AND NO RAINFALL
IS EXPECTED.

THE UPPER TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO AMPLIFY ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC
REGION AND EVENTUALLY BECOME CLOSED BY WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL KEEP
OUR AREA UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF NORTHERLY FLOW AND SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE FOR SEVERAL DAYS WITH COOL NIGHTS AND MILD AFTERNOONS. AN
UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE SHOULD AMPLIFY ACROSS THE WESTERN U.S. BY THE
END OF THE WEEK WHICH COULD CAUSE A SHORTWAVE TO DIG SOUTHWARD
ACROSS OUR AREA...BUT FOR NOW MOISTURE RETURN IS EXPECTED TO BE
INSUFFICIENT FOR RAINFALL.

87/GRANTHAM


&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

GENERALLY CLEAR SKIES WITH LIGHT/CALM WINDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

/61/

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KBMX 192000
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
300 PM CDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.DISCUSSION...

DRY CONDITIONS ARE IN FULL FORCE THIS AFTERNOON AS HIGH PRESSURE
SETTLES INTO THE REGION. CALM WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES WILL ALLOW
TEMPERATURES TO DROP QUICKLY THIS EVENING AND INTO THE 40S BY
DAYBREAK ON MONDAY. LIGHT WESTERLY FLOW WILL BRING SLIGHTLY WARMER
CONDITIONS FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON AS AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH PASSES
THROUGH. THIS SYSTEM WILL BE STARVED FOR MOISTURE AND NO RAINFALL
IS EXPECTED.

THE UPPER TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO AMPLIFY ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC
REGION AND EVENTUALLY BECOME CLOSED BY WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL KEEP
OUR AREA UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF NORTHERLY FLOW AND SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE FOR SEVERAL DAYS WITH COOL NIGHTS AND MILD AFTERNOONS. AN
UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE SHOULD AMPLIFY ACROSS THE WESTERN U.S. BY THE
END OF THE WEEK WHICH COULD CAUSE A SHORTWAVE TO DIG SOUTHWARD
ACROSS OUR AREA...BUT FOR NOW MOISTURE RETURN IS EXPECTED TO BE
INSUFFICIENT FOR RAINFALL.

87/GRANTHAM

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDS THRU THE PERIOD WITH LIGHT AND VRBL WINDS.

58

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH AT LEAST THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     41  73  48  73  44 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    44  74  49  74  45 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  46  75  50  75  46 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  45  76  50  77  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      47  74  51  75  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      48  74  53  76  49 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  47  78  52  80  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        45  77  51  80  49 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

87/58






000
FXUS64 KBMX 192000
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
300 PM CDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.DISCUSSION...

DRY CONDITIONS ARE IN FULL FORCE THIS AFTERNOON AS HIGH PRESSURE
SETTLES INTO THE REGION. CALM WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES WILL ALLOW
TEMPERATURES TO DROP QUICKLY THIS EVENING AND INTO THE 40S BY
DAYBREAK ON MONDAY. LIGHT WESTERLY FLOW WILL BRING SLIGHTLY WARMER
CONDITIONS FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON AS AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH PASSES
THROUGH. THIS SYSTEM WILL BE STARVED FOR MOISTURE AND NO RAINFALL
IS EXPECTED.

THE UPPER TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO AMPLIFY ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC
REGION AND EVENTUALLY BECOME CLOSED BY WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL KEEP
OUR AREA UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF NORTHERLY FLOW AND SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE FOR SEVERAL DAYS WITH COOL NIGHTS AND MILD AFTERNOONS. AN
UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE SHOULD AMPLIFY ACROSS THE WESTERN U.S. BY THE
END OF THE WEEK WHICH COULD CAUSE A SHORTWAVE TO DIG SOUTHWARD
ACROSS OUR AREA...BUT FOR NOW MOISTURE RETURN IS EXPECTED TO BE
INSUFFICIENT FOR RAINFALL.

87/GRANTHAM

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDS THRU THE PERIOD WITH LIGHT AND VRBL WINDS.

58

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH AT LEAST THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     41  73  48  73  44 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    44  74  49  74  45 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  46  75  50  75  46 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  45  76  50  77  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      47  74  51  75  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      48  74  53  76  49 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  47  78  52  80  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        45  77  51  80  49 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

87/58







000
FXUS64 KBMX 191749
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1249 PM CDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 18Z AVIATION.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...

A COLD FRONT HAS PUSHED SOUTHWARD TO THE GULF COAST EARLY THIS
MORNING. THE SUBSEQUENT SURFACE HIGH WILL KEEP DRY AND COOLER AIR
ACROSS MUCH OF THE CONUS EAST OF THE ROCKIES THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.
ONLY SOME HIGH CLOUDINESS WILL DRIFT FROM WEST TO EAST OVER CENTRAL
ALABAMA.

ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA MONDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. MOISTURE REMAINS VERY LIMITED AND NO RAIN
CHANCES WILL BE MENTIONED WITH THIS FRONT. THERE WILL BE SOME MID
LEVEL CLOUDINESS NEAR THE FRONT...WITH A PERIOD OF LOWER CLOUDS
BEHIND THE FRONT TUESDAY.

BEYOND TUESDAY...IT APPEARS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE
REGION FOR ANOTHER WEEK OR SO. A SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST ON
FRIDAY...BUT IS UPPER LEVEL DOMINATED AND WILL WEAKEN WITH TIME.
THEREFORE...NO MENTION OF ANY RAIN CHANCES. IT LOOKS LIKE WE WILL
EXPERIENCE SOME TYPICAL OCTOBER WEATHER THE NEXT 10 DAYS.

75

&&

.DISCUSSION...

A LARGE UPPER LOW NEAR HUDSONS BAY WILL GUIDE OUR WEATHER PATTERN
OVER CENTRAL ALABAMA MUCH OF THE PERIOD. THIS LOW WILL KEEP A
TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN CONUS WITH A FEW WAVES RE-ENHANCING THE
TROUGH FROM TIME TO TIME. A LOW EVEN CUTS OFF OVER THE NORTHEAST BY
MID WEEK. THIS WILL ALLOW AN UPPER RIDGE TO BUILD TO OUR WEST AND
APPROACH TOWARD THE END OF THE PERIOD.

PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES REMAIN NEAR 50 PERCENT OF NORMAL MUCH OF
THE PERIOD WHILE MEAN RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE 40 PERCENT OR
LESS. WE WILL EXPERIENCE AN INCREASE WITH THE FRONT ON TUESDAY...
BUT NOTHING HIGH ENOUGH FOR ANY PRECIPITATION. WE WILL ALSO SEE A
SLIGHT INCREASE AT THE END OF THE WEEK...BUT NOTHING EXTRAORDINARY.
ADDITIONALLY...THE MODEL SUITE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGHOUT.
TEMPERATURES DO NOT FLUCTUATE DRAMATICALLY THIS PERIOD AND HOVER
NEAR NORMAL FOR THE MOST PART.

OF NOTE...FINE MOISTURE DEMARCATION ZONE WILL EXISTS OVER THE CENTRAL
GULF. THERE MAY BE SOME ACTIVITY DOWN THERE...BUT WILL REMAIN
REMOVED FROM CENTRAL ALABAMA.

75


&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDS THRU THE PERIOD WITH LIGHT AND VRBL WINDS.

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH AT LEAST THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

07

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     41  73  46  74  46 /   0   0  10  10   0
ANNISTON    44  74  49  75  47 /   0   0  10  10   0
BIRMINGHAM  46  74  52  75  48 /   0   0  10  10   0
TUSCALOOSA  45  77  49  78  49 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      46  75  51  76  49 /   0   0  10   0   0
AUBURN      48  74  53  75  50 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  47  78  52  79  50 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        45  77  49  78  51 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KBMX 191749
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1249 PM CDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 18Z AVIATION.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...

A COLD FRONT HAS PUSHED SOUTHWARD TO THE GULF COAST EARLY THIS
MORNING. THE SUBSEQUENT SURFACE HIGH WILL KEEP DRY AND COOLER AIR
ACROSS MUCH OF THE CONUS EAST OF THE ROCKIES THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.
ONLY SOME HIGH CLOUDINESS WILL DRIFT FROM WEST TO EAST OVER CENTRAL
ALABAMA.

ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA MONDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. MOISTURE REMAINS VERY LIMITED AND NO RAIN
CHANCES WILL BE MENTIONED WITH THIS FRONT. THERE WILL BE SOME MID
LEVEL CLOUDINESS NEAR THE FRONT...WITH A PERIOD OF LOWER CLOUDS
BEHIND THE FRONT TUESDAY.

BEYOND TUESDAY...IT APPEARS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE
REGION FOR ANOTHER WEEK OR SO. A SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST ON
FRIDAY...BUT IS UPPER LEVEL DOMINATED AND WILL WEAKEN WITH TIME.
THEREFORE...NO MENTION OF ANY RAIN CHANCES. IT LOOKS LIKE WE WILL
EXPERIENCE SOME TYPICAL OCTOBER WEATHER THE NEXT 10 DAYS.

75

&&

.DISCUSSION...

A LARGE UPPER LOW NEAR HUDSONS BAY WILL GUIDE OUR WEATHER PATTERN
OVER CENTRAL ALABAMA MUCH OF THE PERIOD. THIS LOW WILL KEEP A
TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN CONUS WITH A FEW WAVES RE-ENHANCING THE
TROUGH FROM TIME TO TIME. A LOW EVEN CUTS OFF OVER THE NORTHEAST BY
MID WEEK. THIS WILL ALLOW AN UPPER RIDGE TO BUILD TO OUR WEST AND
APPROACH TOWARD THE END OF THE PERIOD.

PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES REMAIN NEAR 50 PERCENT OF NORMAL MUCH OF
THE PERIOD WHILE MEAN RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE 40 PERCENT OR
LESS. WE WILL EXPERIENCE AN INCREASE WITH THE FRONT ON TUESDAY...
BUT NOTHING HIGH ENOUGH FOR ANY PRECIPITATION. WE WILL ALSO SEE A
SLIGHT INCREASE AT THE END OF THE WEEK...BUT NOTHING EXTRAORDINARY.
ADDITIONALLY...THE MODEL SUITE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGHOUT.
TEMPERATURES DO NOT FLUCTUATE DRAMATICALLY THIS PERIOD AND HOVER
NEAR NORMAL FOR THE MOST PART.

OF NOTE...FINE MOISTURE DEMARCATION ZONE WILL EXISTS OVER THE CENTRAL
GULF. THERE MAY BE SOME ACTIVITY DOWN THERE...BUT WILL REMAIN
REMOVED FROM CENTRAL ALABAMA.

75


&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDS THRU THE PERIOD WITH LIGHT AND VRBL WINDS.

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH AT LEAST THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

07

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     41  73  46  74  46 /   0   0  10  10   0
ANNISTON    44  74  49  75  47 /   0   0  10  10   0
BIRMINGHAM  46  74  52  75  48 /   0   0  10  10   0
TUSCALOOSA  45  77  49  78  49 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      46  75  51  76  49 /   0   0  10   0   0
AUBURN      48  74  53  75  50 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  47  78  52  79  50 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        45  77  49  78  51 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KBMX 191121
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
621 AM CDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 12Z AVIATION.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...

A COLD FRONT HAS PUSHED SOUTHWARD TO THE GULF COAST EARLY THIS
MORNING. THE SUBSEQUENT SURFACE HIGH WILL KEEP DRY AND COOLER AIR
ACROSS MUCH OF THE CONUS EAST OF THE ROCKIES THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.
ONLY SOME HIGH CLOUDINESS WILL DRIFT FROM WEST TO EAST OVER CENTRAL
ALABAMA.

ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA MONDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. MOISTURE REMAINS VERY LIMITED AND NO RAIN
CHANCES WILL BE MENTIONED WITH THIS FRONT. THERE WILL BE SOME MID
LEVEL CLOUDINESS NEAR THE FRONT...WITH A PERIOD OF LOWER CLOUDS
BEHIND THE FRONT TUESDAY.

BEYOND TUESDAY...IT APPEARS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE
REGION FOR ANOTHER WEEK OR SO. A SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST ON
FRIDAY...BUT IS UPPER LEVEL DOMINATED AND WILL WEAKEN WITH TIME.
THEREFORE...NO MENTION OF ANY RAIN CHANCES. IT LOOKS LIKE WE WILL
EXPERIENCE SOME TYPICAL OCTOBER WEATHER THE NEXT 10 DAYS.

75

&&

.DISCUSSION...

A LARGE UPPER LOW NEAR HUDSONS BAY WILL GUIDE OUR WEATHER PATTERN
OVER CENTRAL ALABAMA MUCH OF THE PERIOD. THIS LOW WILL KEEP A
TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN CONUS WITH A FEW WAVES RE-ENHANCING THE
TROUGH FROM TIME TO TIME. A LOW EVEN CUTS OFF OVER THE NORTHEAST BY
MID WEEK. THIS WILL ALLOW AN UPPER RIDGE TO BUILD TO OUR WEST AND
APPROACH TOWARD THE END OF THE PERIOD.

PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES REMAIN NEAR 50 PERCENT OF NORMAL MUCH OF
THE PERIOD WHILE MEAN RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE 40 PERCENT OR
LESS. WE WILL EXPERIENCE AN INCREASE WITH THE FRONT ON TUESDAY...
BUT NOTHING HIGH ENOUGH FOR ANY PRECIPITATION. WE WILL ALSO SEE A
SLIGHT INCREASE AT THE END OF THE WEEK...BUT NOTHING EXTRAORDINARY.
ADDITIONALLY...THE MODEL SUITE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGHOUT.
TEMPERATURES DO NOT FLUCTUATE DRAMATICALLY THIS PERIOD AND HOVER
NEAR NORMAL FOR THE MOST PART.

OF NOTE...FINE MOISTURE DEMARCATION ZONE WILL EXISTS OVER THE CENTRAL
GULF. THERE MAY BE SOME ACTIVITY DOWN THERE...BUT WILL REMAIN
REMOVED FROM CENTRAL ALABAMA.

75

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THRU THE PERIOD. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
DOMINATE WITH LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS AND A FEW PASSING CIRRUS CLOUDS.

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH AT LEAST THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

19

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     68  41  73  46  74 /   0   0   0  10  10
ANNISTON    69  44  74  49  75 /   0   0   0  10  10
BIRMINGHAM  70  46  74  52  75 /   0   0   0  10  10
TUSCALOOSA  71  45  77  49  78 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      70  46  75  51  76 /   0   0   0  10   0
AUBURN      71  48  74  53  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  73  47  78  52  79 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        72  45  77  49  78 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KBMX 191121
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
621 AM CDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 12Z AVIATION.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...

A COLD FRONT HAS PUSHED SOUTHWARD TO THE GULF COAST EARLY THIS
MORNING. THE SUBSEQUENT SURFACE HIGH WILL KEEP DRY AND COOLER AIR
ACROSS MUCH OF THE CONUS EAST OF THE ROCKIES THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.
ONLY SOME HIGH CLOUDINESS WILL DRIFT FROM WEST TO EAST OVER CENTRAL
ALABAMA.

ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA MONDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. MOISTURE REMAINS VERY LIMITED AND NO RAIN
CHANCES WILL BE MENTIONED WITH THIS FRONT. THERE WILL BE SOME MID
LEVEL CLOUDINESS NEAR THE FRONT...WITH A PERIOD OF LOWER CLOUDS
BEHIND THE FRONT TUESDAY.

BEYOND TUESDAY...IT APPEARS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE
REGION FOR ANOTHER WEEK OR SO. A SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST ON
FRIDAY...BUT IS UPPER LEVEL DOMINATED AND WILL WEAKEN WITH TIME.
THEREFORE...NO MENTION OF ANY RAIN CHANCES. IT LOOKS LIKE WE WILL
EXPERIENCE SOME TYPICAL OCTOBER WEATHER THE NEXT 10 DAYS.

75

&&

.DISCUSSION...

A LARGE UPPER LOW NEAR HUDSONS BAY WILL GUIDE OUR WEATHER PATTERN
OVER CENTRAL ALABAMA MUCH OF THE PERIOD. THIS LOW WILL KEEP A
TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN CONUS WITH A FEW WAVES RE-ENHANCING THE
TROUGH FROM TIME TO TIME. A LOW EVEN CUTS OFF OVER THE NORTHEAST BY
MID WEEK. THIS WILL ALLOW AN UPPER RIDGE TO BUILD TO OUR WEST AND
APPROACH TOWARD THE END OF THE PERIOD.

PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES REMAIN NEAR 50 PERCENT OF NORMAL MUCH OF
THE PERIOD WHILE MEAN RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE 40 PERCENT OR
LESS. WE WILL EXPERIENCE AN INCREASE WITH THE FRONT ON TUESDAY...
BUT NOTHING HIGH ENOUGH FOR ANY PRECIPITATION. WE WILL ALSO SEE A
SLIGHT INCREASE AT THE END OF THE WEEK...BUT NOTHING EXTRAORDINARY.
ADDITIONALLY...THE MODEL SUITE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGHOUT.
TEMPERATURES DO NOT FLUCTUATE DRAMATICALLY THIS PERIOD AND HOVER
NEAR NORMAL FOR THE MOST PART.

OF NOTE...FINE MOISTURE DEMARCATION ZONE WILL EXISTS OVER THE CENTRAL
GULF. THERE MAY BE SOME ACTIVITY DOWN THERE...BUT WILL REMAIN
REMOVED FROM CENTRAL ALABAMA.

75

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THRU THE PERIOD. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
DOMINATE WITH LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS AND A FEW PASSING CIRRUS CLOUDS.

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH AT LEAST THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

19

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     68  41  73  46  74 /   0   0   0  10  10
ANNISTON    69  44  74  49  75 /   0   0   0  10  10
BIRMINGHAM  70  46  74  52  75 /   0   0   0  10  10
TUSCALOOSA  71  45  77  49  78 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      70  46  75  51  76 /   0   0   0  10   0
AUBURN      71  48  74  53  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  73  47  78  52  79 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        72  45  77  49  78 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KBMX 190900
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
400 AM CDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.SYNOPSIS...

A COLD FRONT HAS PUSHED SOUTHWARD TO THE GULF COAST EARLY THIS
MORNING. THE SUBSEQUENT SURFACE HIGH WILL KEEP DRY AND COOLER AIR
ACROSS MUCH OF THE CONUS EAST OF THE ROCKIES THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.
ONLY SOME HIGH CLOUDINESS WILL DRIFT FROM WEST TO EAST OVER CENTRAL
ALABAMA.

ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA MONDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. MOISTURE REMAINS VERY LIMITED AND NO RAIN
CHANCES WILL BE MENTIONED WITH THIS FRONT. THERE WILL BE SOME MID
LEVEL CLOUDINESS NEAR THE FRONT...WITH A PERIOD OF LOWER CLOUDS
BEHIND THE FRONT TUESDAY.

BEYOND TUESDAY...IT APPEARS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE
REGION FOR ANOTHER WEEK OR SO. A SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST ON
FRIDAY...BUT IS UPPER LEVEL DOMINATED AND WILL WEAKEN WITH TIME.
THEREFORE...NO MENTION OF ANY RAIN CHANCES. IT LOOKS LIKE WE WILL
EXPERIENCE SOME TYPICAL OCTOBER WEATHER THE NEXT 10 DAYS.

75

&&

.DISCUSSION...

A LARGE UPPER LOW NEAR HUDSONS BAY WILL GUIDE OUR WEATHER PATTERN
OVER CENTRAL ALABAMA MUCH OF THE PERIOD. THIS LOW WILL KEEP A
TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN CONUS WITH A FEW WAVES RE-ENHANCING THE
TROUGH FROM TIME TO TIME. A LOW EVEN CUTS OFF OVER THE NORTHEAST BY
MID WEEK. THIS WILL ALLOW AN UPPER RIDGE TO BUILD TO OUR WEST AND
APPROACH TOWARD THE END OF THE PERIOD.

PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES REMAIN NEAR 50 PERCENT OF NORMAL MUCH OF
THE PERIOD WHILE MEAN RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE 40 PERCENT OR
LESS. WE WILL EXPERIENCE AN INCREASE WITH THE FRONT ON TUESDAY...
BUT NOTHING HIGH ENOUGH FOR ANY PRECIPITATION. WE WILL ALSO SEE A
SLIGHT INCREASE AT THE END OF THE WEEK...BUT NOTHING EXTRAORDINARY.
ADDITIONALLY...THE MODEL SUITE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGHOUT.
TEMPERATURES DO NOT FLUCTUATE DRAMATICALLY THIS PERIOD AND HOVER
NEAR NORMAL FOR THE MOST PART.

OF NOTE...FINE MOISTURE DEMARCATION ZONE WILL EXISTS OVER THE CENTRAL
GULF. THERE MAY BE SOME ACTIVITY DOWN THERE...BUT WILL REMAIN
REMOVED FROM CENTRAL ALABAMA.

75

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. ONLY HIGH LEVEL
CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED...WITH GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS.

/61/

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH AT LEAST THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     68  41  73  46  74 /   0   0   0  10  10
ANNISTON    69  44  74  49  75 /   0   0   0  10  10
BIRMINGHAM  70  46  74  52  75 /   0   0   0  10  10
TUSCALOOSA  71  45  77  49  78 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      70  46  75  51  76 /   0   0   0  10   0
AUBURN      71  48  74  53  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  73  47  78  52  79 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        72  45  77  49  78 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KBMX 190900
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
400 AM CDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.SYNOPSIS...

A COLD FRONT HAS PUSHED SOUTHWARD TO THE GULF COAST EARLY THIS
MORNING. THE SUBSEQUENT SURFACE HIGH WILL KEEP DRY AND COOLER AIR
ACROSS MUCH OF THE CONUS EAST OF THE ROCKIES THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.
ONLY SOME HIGH CLOUDINESS WILL DRIFT FROM WEST TO EAST OVER CENTRAL
ALABAMA.

ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA MONDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. MOISTURE REMAINS VERY LIMITED AND NO RAIN
CHANCES WILL BE MENTIONED WITH THIS FRONT. THERE WILL BE SOME MID
LEVEL CLOUDINESS NEAR THE FRONT...WITH A PERIOD OF LOWER CLOUDS
BEHIND THE FRONT TUESDAY.

BEYOND TUESDAY...IT APPEARS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE
REGION FOR ANOTHER WEEK OR SO. A SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST ON
FRIDAY...BUT IS UPPER LEVEL DOMINATED AND WILL WEAKEN WITH TIME.
THEREFORE...NO MENTION OF ANY RAIN CHANCES. IT LOOKS LIKE WE WILL
EXPERIENCE SOME TYPICAL OCTOBER WEATHER THE NEXT 10 DAYS.

75

&&

.DISCUSSION...

A LARGE UPPER LOW NEAR HUDSONS BAY WILL GUIDE OUR WEATHER PATTERN
OVER CENTRAL ALABAMA MUCH OF THE PERIOD. THIS LOW WILL KEEP A
TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN CONUS WITH A FEW WAVES RE-ENHANCING THE
TROUGH FROM TIME TO TIME. A LOW EVEN CUTS OFF OVER THE NORTHEAST BY
MID WEEK. THIS WILL ALLOW AN UPPER RIDGE TO BUILD TO OUR WEST AND
APPROACH TOWARD THE END OF THE PERIOD.

PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES REMAIN NEAR 50 PERCENT OF NORMAL MUCH OF
THE PERIOD WHILE MEAN RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE 40 PERCENT OR
LESS. WE WILL EXPERIENCE AN INCREASE WITH THE FRONT ON TUESDAY...
BUT NOTHING HIGH ENOUGH FOR ANY PRECIPITATION. WE WILL ALSO SEE A
SLIGHT INCREASE AT THE END OF THE WEEK...BUT NOTHING EXTRAORDINARY.
ADDITIONALLY...THE MODEL SUITE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGHOUT.
TEMPERATURES DO NOT FLUCTUATE DRAMATICALLY THIS PERIOD AND HOVER
NEAR NORMAL FOR THE MOST PART.

OF NOTE...FINE MOISTURE DEMARCATION ZONE WILL EXISTS OVER THE CENTRAL
GULF. THERE MAY BE SOME ACTIVITY DOWN THERE...BUT WILL REMAIN
REMOVED FROM CENTRAL ALABAMA.

75

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. ONLY HIGH LEVEL
CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED...WITH GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS.

/61/

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH AT LEAST THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     68  41  73  46  74 /   0   0   0  10  10
ANNISTON    69  44  74  49  75 /   0   0   0  10  10
BIRMINGHAM  70  46  74  52  75 /   0   0   0  10  10
TUSCALOOSA  71  45  77  49  78 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      70  46  75  51  76 /   0   0   0  10   0
AUBURN      71  48  74  53  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  73  47  78  52  79 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        72  45  77  49  78 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KBMX 190441
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1141 PM CDT SAT OCT 18 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 06Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

COOLER AND DRIER AIR IS FILTERING INTO CENTRAL ALABAMA BEHIND THE
SURFACE FRONT WITH NORTHERLY FLOW IN THE LOWER LEVELS. ONLY THING
TO NOTE IS HIGH CIRRUS MOVING ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA AROUND THE
BASE OF THE 500MB TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES.
NO MAJOR CHANGES. ONLY TWEAKED HOURLY TEMPERATURES BASED ON
TRENDS...BUT LOWS LOOK FINE.

08/MK


&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. ONLY HIGH LEVEL
CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED...WITH GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS.

/61/

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH AT LEAST THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$







000
FXUS64 KBMX 190441
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1141 PM CDT SAT OCT 18 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 06Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

COOLER AND DRIER AIR IS FILTERING INTO CENTRAL ALABAMA BEHIND THE
SURFACE FRONT WITH NORTHERLY FLOW IN THE LOWER LEVELS. ONLY THING
TO NOTE IS HIGH CIRRUS MOVING ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA AROUND THE
BASE OF THE 500MB TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES.
NO MAJOR CHANGES. ONLY TWEAKED HOURLY TEMPERATURES BASED ON
TRENDS...BUT LOWS LOOK FINE.

08/MK


&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. ONLY HIGH LEVEL
CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED...WITH GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS.

/61/

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH AT LEAST THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$






000
FXUS64 KBMX 190441
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1141 PM CDT SAT OCT 18 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 06Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

COOLER AND DRIER AIR IS FILTERING INTO CENTRAL ALABAMA BEHIND THE
SURFACE FRONT WITH NORTHERLY FLOW IN THE LOWER LEVELS. ONLY THING
TO NOTE IS HIGH CIRRUS MOVING ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA AROUND THE
BASE OF THE 500MB TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES.
NO MAJOR CHANGES. ONLY TWEAKED HOURLY TEMPERATURES BASED ON
TRENDS...BUT LOWS LOOK FINE.

08/MK


&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. ONLY HIGH LEVEL
CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED...WITH GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS.

/61/

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH AT LEAST THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$






000
FXUS64 KBMX 190441
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1141 PM CDT SAT OCT 18 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 06Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

COOLER AND DRIER AIR IS FILTERING INTO CENTRAL ALABAMA BEHIND THE
SURFACE FRONT WITH NORTHERLY FLOW IN THE LOWER LEVELS. ONLY THING
TO NOTE IS HIGH CIRRUS MOVING ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA AROUND THE
BASE OF THE 500MB TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES.
NO MAJOR CHANGES. ONLY TWEAKED HOURLY TEMPERATURES BASED ON
TRENDS...BUT LOWS LOOK FINE.

08/MK


&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. ONLY HIGH LEVEL
CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED...WITH GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS.

/61/

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH AT LEAST THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$







000
FXUS64 KBMX 190248 AAB
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
948 PM CDT SAT OCT 18 2014

.UPDATE...
EVENING UPDATE.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

COOLER AND DRIER AIR IS FILTERING INTO CENTRAL ALABAMA BEHIND THE
SURFACE FRONT WITH NORTHERLY FLOW IN THE LOWER LEVELS. ONLY THING
TO NOTE IS HIGH CIRRUS MOVING ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA AROUND THE
BASE OF THE 500MB TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES.
NO MAJOR CHANGES. ONLY TWEAKED HOURLY TEMPERATURES BASED ON
TRENDS...BUT LOWS LOOK FINE.

08/MK

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WITH WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 7 KNOTS.

/61/

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH AT LEAST THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 322 PM CDT SAT OCT 18 2014/

DRIER AIR IS MOVING INTO THE REGION BEHIND A COLD FRONT AS A
SHORTWAVE SWINGS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. LIGHT NORTHERLY
WINDS OVERNIGHT WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO DROP INTO THE 40S AS
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE MOVES CLOSER TO OUR AREA.

A BRIEF WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED MONDAY AHEAD OF ANOTHER TROUGH
THAT WILL ALSO PASS BY TO OUR NORTHEAST. COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL
SETTLE INTO THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY WITH SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED IN THE OHIO VALLEY REGION. WITH AN ABSENCE
OF SOUTHERLY FLOW EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 7 DAYS...THE FORECAST
WILL REMAIN DRY AND MILD.

87/GRANTHAM

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     43  70  43  72  47 /   0   0   0   0  10
ANNISTON    46  71  45  73  49 /   0   0   0   0  10
BIRMINGHAM  46  71  47  74  52 /   0   0   0   0  10
TUSCALOOSA  46  73  46  76  50 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      47  71  48  74  51 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      48  72  50  74  53 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  49  75  49  78  51 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        46  74  46  77  49 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

08/61/87






000
FXUS64 KBMX 190248 AAB
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
948 PM CDT SAT OCT 18 2014

.UPDATE...
EVENING UPDATE.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

COOLER AND DRIER AIR IS FILTERING INTO CENTRAL ALABAMA BEHIND THE
SURFACE FRONT WITH NORTHERLY FLOW IN THE LOWER LEVELS. ONLY THING
TO NOTE IS HIGH CIRRUS MOVING ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA AROUND THE
BASE OF THE 500MB TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES.
NO MAJOR CHANGES. ONLY TWEAKED HOURLY TEMPERATURES BASED ON
TRENDS...BUT LOWS LOOK FINE.

08/MK

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WITH WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 7 KNOTS.

/61/

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH AT LEAST THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 322 PM CDT SAT OCT 18 2014/

DRIER AIR IS MOVING INTO THE REGION BEHIND A COLD FRONT AS A
SHORTWAVE SWINGS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. LIGHT NORTHERLY
WINDS OVERNIGHT WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO DROP INTO THE 40S AS
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE MOVES CLOSER TO OUR AREA.

A BRIEF WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED MONDAY AHEAD OF ANOTHER TROUGH
THAT WILL ALSO PASS BY TO OUR NORTHEAST. COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL
SETTLE INTO THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY WITH SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED IN THE OHIO VALLEY REGION. WITH AN ABSENCE
OF SOUTHERLY FLOW EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 7 DAYS...THE FORECAST
WILL REMAIN DRY AND MILD.

87/GRANTHAM

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     43  70  43  72  47 /   0   0   0   0  10
ANNISTON    46  71  45  73  49 /   0   0   0   0  10
BIRMINGHAM  46  71  47  74  52 /   0   0   0   0  10
TUSCALOOSA  46  73  46  76  50 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      47  71  48  74  51 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      48  72  50  74  53 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  49  75  49  78  51 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        46  74  46  77  49 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

08/61/87







000
FXUS64 KBMX 182353
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
653 PM CDT SAT OCT 18 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 00Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

DRIER AIR IS MOVING INTO THE REGION BEHIND A COLD FRONT AS A
SHORTWAVE SWINGS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. LIGHT NORTHERLY
WINDS OVERNIGHT WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO DROP INTO THE 40S AS
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE MOVES CLOSER TO OUR AREA.

A BRIEF WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED MONDAY AHEAD OF ANOTHER TROUGH
THAT WILL ALSO PASS BY TO OUR NORTHEAST. COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL
SETTLE INTO THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY WITH SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED IN THE OHIO VALLEY REGION. WITH AN ABSENCE
OF SOUTHERLY FLOW EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 7 DAYS...THE FORECAST
WILL REMAIN DRY AND MILD.

87/GRANTHAM


&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WITH WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 7 KNOTS.

/61/

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH AT LEAST THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$






000
FXUS64 KBMX 182353
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
653 PM CDT SAT OCT 18 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 00Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

DRIER AIR IS MOVING INTO THE REGION BEHIND A COLD FRONT AS A
SHORTWAVE SWINGS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. LIGHT NORTHERLY
WINDS OVERNIGHT WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO DROP INTO THE 40S AS
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE MOVES CLOSER TO OUR AREA.

A BRIEF WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED MONDAY AHEAD OF ANOTHER TROUGH
THAT WILL ALSO PASS BY TO OUR NORTHEAST. COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL
SETTLE INTO THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY WITH SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED IN THE OHIO VALLEY REGION. WITH AN ABSENCE
OF SOUTHERLY FLOW EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 7 DAYS...THE FORECAST
WILL REMAIN DRY AND MILD.

87/GRANTHAM


&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WITH WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 7 KNOTS.

/61/

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH AT LEAST THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$







000
FXUS64 KBMX 182022
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
322 PM CDT SAT OCT 18 2014

.DISCUSSION...

DRIER AIR IS MOVING INTO THE REGION BEHIND A COLD FRONT AS A
SHORTWAVE SWINGS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. LIGHT NORTHERLY
WINDS OVERNIGHT WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO DROP INTO THE 40S AS
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE MOVES CLOSER TO OUR AREA.

A BRIEF WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED MONDAY AHEAD OF ANOTHER TROUGH
THAT WILL ALSO PASS BY TO OUR NORTHEAST. COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL
SETTLE INTO THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY WITH SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED IN THE OHIO VALLEY REGION. WITH AN ABSENCE
OF SOUTHERLY FLOW EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 7 DAYS...THE FORECAST
WILL REMAIN DRY AND MILD.

87/GRANTHAM

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

AVIATION FORECAST WILL REMAIN SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS FORECASTS WITH A
NORTHWEST WIND AS A DRY FRONT MOVES SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA. A
FEW SCT HIGH CLOUDS...BUT NO REAL AVIATION CONCERNS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO DON`T HAVE ANY LIGHT FOG CONCERNS FOR THE MORNING HOURS AT
THIS TIME.

17

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH AT LEAST THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     43  70  43  72  47 /   0   0   0   0  10
ANNISTON    46  71  45  73  49 /   0   0   0   0  10
BIRMINGHAM  46  71  47  74  52 /   0   0   0   0  10
TUSCALOOSA  46  73  46  76  50 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      47  71  48  74  51 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      48  72  50  74  53 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  49  75  49  78  51 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        46  74  46  77  49 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

87/17







000
FXUS64 KBMX 182022
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
322 PM CDT SAT OCT 18 2014

.DISCUSSION...

DRIER AIR IS MOVING INTO THE REGION BEHIND A COLD FRONT AS A
SHORTWAVE SWINGS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. LIGHT NORTHERLY
WINDS OVERNIGHT WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO DROP INTO THE 40S AS
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE MOVES CLOSER TO OUR AREA.

A BRIEF WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED MONDAY AHEAD OF ANOTHER TROUGH
THAT WILL ALSO PASS BY TO OUR NORTHEAST. COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL
SETTLE INTO THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY WITH SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED IN THE OHIO VALLEY REGION. WITH AN ABSENCE
OF SOUTHERLY FLOW EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 7 DAYS...THE FORECAST
WILL REMAIN DRY AND MILD.

87/GRANTHAM

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

AVIATION FORECAST WILL REMAIN SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS FORECASTS WITH A
NORTHWEST WIND AS A DRY FRONT MOVES SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA. A
FEW SCT HIGH CLOUDS...BUT NO REAL AVIATION CONCERNS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO DON`T HAVE ANY LIGHT FOG CONCERNS FOR THE MORNING HOURS AT
THIS TIME.

17

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH AT LEAST THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     43  70  43  72  47 /   0   0   0   0  10
ANNISTON    46  71  45  73  49 /   0   0   0   0  10
BIRMINGHAM  46  71  47  74  52 /   0   0   0   0  10
TUSCALOOSA  46  73  46  76  50 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      47  71  48  74  51 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      48  72  50  74  53 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  49  75  49  78  51 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        46  74  46  77  49 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

87/17






000
FXUS64 KBMX 181755
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1240 PM CDT SAT OCT 18 2014

.UPDATE...
MORNING UPDATE AND AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

NICE DAY OUT THERE AS A DRY FRONT MOVES THROUGH WITH A BREEZY
NORTHWEST WIND.  OTHERWISE...PLENTY OF SUNSHINE AND A VERY
COMFORTABLE 70S AND LOWER 80S TEMPERATURE RANGE.


&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

AVIATION FORECAST WILL REMAIN SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS FORECASTS WITH A
NORTHWEST WIND AS A DRY FRONT MOVES SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA.  A
FEW SCT HIGH CLOUDS...BUT NO REAL AVIATION CONCERNS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO DON`T HAVE ANY LIGHT FOG CONCERNS FOR THE MORNING HOURS AT THIS
TIME.

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH AT LEAST THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$






000
FXUS64 KBMX 181755
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1240 PM CDT SAT OCT 18 2014

.UPDATE...
MORNING UPDATE AND AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

NICE DAY OUT THERE AS A DRY FRONT MOVES THROUGH WITH A BREEZY
NORTHWEST WIND.  OTHERWISE...PLENTY OF SUNSHINE AND A VERY
COMFORTABLE 70S AND LOWER 80S TEMPERATURE RANGE.


&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

AVIATION FORECAST WILL REMAIN SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS FORECASTS WITH A
NORTHWEST WIND AS A DRY FRONT MOVES SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA.  A
FEW SCT HIGH CLOUDS...BUT NO REAL AVIATION CONCERNS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO DON`T HAVE ANY LIGHT FOG CONCERNS FOR THE MORNING HOURS AT THIS
TIME.

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH AT LEAST THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$







000
FXUS64 KBMX 181143
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
643 AM CDT SAT OCT 18 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 12Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

IF YOU`RE LOOKING FOR GREAT WEATHER TO GET OUTDOORS...THEN LOOK NO
FURTHER! A VERY UNEVENTFUL FORECAST IS IN STORE FOR CENTRAL ALABAMA
THRU NEXT WEEKEND. DRY AND PLEASANT WILL BE THE NORM WITH TEMPS AT
OR JUST BELOW NORMAL THRU THE PERIOD.

A DRY FRONT IS MAKING ITS WAY SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE CWA AND IS
CURRENTLY NEAR THE I-20 CORRIDOR. WE COULD SEE SOME LIGHT PATCHY FOG
THRU SUNRISE...MAINLY SOUTH OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. TEMPS WILL
SLOWLY WARM EACH DAY THRU MONDAY BEFORE A SHORTWAVE TROF PUSHES
ANOTHER FRONT THRU THE SOUTHEAST MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. IT APPEARS THAT
MOISTURE WILL BE LACKING WITH THIS FEATURE AS WELL AND WILL MAINTAIN
A DRY FORECAST FOR THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. THIS WILL BRING ANOTHER
SURGE OF SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR INTO CENTRAL ALABAMA FOR MID WEEK WITH
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S AND LOWS GENERALLY IN THE 40S.

19


&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS FORECAST THROUGH THE PERIOD. A SURFACE COLD FRONT
WAS NEARING TCL/BHM/EET/ASN/ANB AT 12Z...AND WILL ARRIVE IN A FEW
HOURS AT MGM/TOI. NOT EXPECTING MUCH IN THE WAY OF CLOUDS EXCEPT
FOR CIRRUS LEVEL CLOUDINESS FROM TIME TO TIME. WINDS WILL BECOME
NORTHWEST AT ALL LOCATIONS BY 14-17Z AROUND 9KTS...AND FALL BACK TO
LIGHT NORTH OR CALM OVERNIGHT. WINDS MAY STAY A FEW KTS OVERNIGHT
IN PLACES WHILE CALM IN OTHERS...THEREFORE...DID NOT MENTION ANY
FOG ATTM. THERE MAY BE SOME FORMING NEAR WATER BODIES AND IN
PROTECTED COOLER VALLEYS OVERNIGHT AFTER 06Z AND WILL MONITOR.

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH AT LEAST THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

75

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     71  44  68  43  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    74  46  70  45  73 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  73  46  70  46  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  76  46  72  45  76 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      75  47  70  47  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      78  49  70  49  73 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  81  48  73  48  77 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        82  48  73  47  77 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KBMX 181143
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
643 AM CDT SAT OCT 18 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 12Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

IF YOU`RE LOOKING FOR GREAT WEATHER TO GET OUTDOORS...THEN LOOK NO
FURTHER! A VERY UNEVENTFUL FORECAST IS IN STORE FOR CENTRAL ALABAMA
THRU NEXT WEEKEND. DRY AND PLEASANT WILL BE THE NORM WITH TEMPS AT
OR JUST BELOW NORMAL THRU THE PERIOD.

A DRY FRONT IS MAKING ITS WAY SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE CWA AND IS
CURRENTLY NEAR THE I-20 CORRIDOR. WE COULD SEE SOME LIGHT PATCHY FOG
THRU SUNRISE...MAINLY SOUTH OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. TEMPS WILL
SLOWLY WARM EACH DAY THRU MONDAY BEFORE A SHORTWAVE TROF PUSHES
ANOTHER FRONT THRU THE SOUTHEAST MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. IT APPEARS THAT
MOISTURE WILL BE LACKING WITH THIS FEATURE AS WELL AND WILL MAINTAIN
A DRY FORECAST FOR THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. THIS WILL BRING ANOTHER
SURGE OF SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR INTO CENTRAL ALABAMA FOR MID WEEK WITH
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S AND LOWS GENERALLY IN THE 40S.

19


&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS FORECAST THROUGH THE PERIOD. A SURFACE COLD FRONT
WAS NEARING TCL/BHM/EET/ASN/ANB AT 12Z...AND WILL ARRIVE IN A FEW
HOURS AT MGM/TOI. NOT EXPECTING MUCH IN THE WAY OF CLOUDS EXCEPT
FOR CIRRUS LEVEL CLOUDINESS FROM TIME TO TIME. WINDS WILL BECOME
NORTHWEST AT ALL LOCATIONS BY 14-17Z AROUND 9KTS...AND FALL BACK TO
LIGHT NORTH OR CALM OVERNIGHT. WINDS MAY STAY A FEW KTS OVERNIGHT
IN PLACES WHILE CALM IN OTHERS...THEREFORE...DID NOT MENTION ANY
FOG ATTM. THERE MAY BE SOME FORMING NEAR WATER BODIES AND IN
PROTECTED COOLER VALLEYS OVERNIGHT AFTER 06Z AND WILL MONITOR.

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH AT LEAST THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

75

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     71  44  68  43  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    74  46  70  45  73 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  73  46  70  46  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  76  46  72  45  76 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      75  47  70  47  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      78  49  70  49  73 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  81  48  73  48  77 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        82  48  73  47  77 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KBMX 181143
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
643 AM CDT SAT OCT 18 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 12Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

IF YOU`RE LOOKING FOR GREAT WEATHER TO GET OUTDOORS...THEN LOOK NO
FURTHER! A VERY UNEVENTFUL FORECAST IS IN STORE FOR CENTRAL ALABAMA
THRU NEXT WEEKEND. DRY AND PLEASANT WILL BE THE NORM WITH TEMPS AT
OR JUST BELOW NORMAL THRU THE PERIOD.

A DRY FRONT IS MAKING ITS WAY SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE CWA AND IS
CURRENTLY NEAR THE I-20 CORRIDOR. WE COULD SEE SOME LIGHT PATCHY FOG
THRU SUNRISE...MAINLY SOUTH OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. TEMPS WILL
SLOWLY WARM EACH DAY THRU MONDAY BEFORE A SHORTWAVE TROF PUSHES
ANOTHER FRONT THRU THE SOUTHEAST MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. IT APPEARS THAT
MOISTURE WILL BE LACKING WITH THIS FEATURE AS WELL AND WILL MAINTAIN
A DRY FORECAST FOR THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. THIS WILL BRING ANOTHER
SURGE OF SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR INTO CENTRAL ALABAMA FOR MID WEEK WITH
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S AND LOWS GENERALLY IN THE 40S.

19


&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS FORECAST THROUGH THE PERIOD. A SURFACE COLD FRONT
WAS NEARING TCL/BHM/EET/ASN/ANB AT 12Z...AND WILL ARRIVE IN A FEW
HOURS AT MGM/TOI. NOT EXPECTING MUCH IN THE WAY OF CLOUDS EXCEPT
FOR CIRRUS LEVEL CLOUDINESS FROM TIME TO TIME. WINDS WILL BECOME
NORTHWEST AT ALL LOCATIONS BY 14-17Z AROUND 9KTS...AND FALL BACK TO
LIGHT NORTH OR CALM OVERNIGHT. WINDS MAY STAY A FEW KTS OVERNIGHT
IN PLACES WHILE CALM IN OTHERS...THEREFORE...DID NOT MENTION ANY
FOG ATTM. THERE MAY BE SOME FORMING NEAR WATER BODIES AND IN
PROTECTED COOLER VALLEYS OVERNIGHT AFTER 06Z AND WILL MONITOR.

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH AT LEAST THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

75

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     71  44  68  43  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    74  46  70  45  73 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  73  46  70  46  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  76  46  72  45  76 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      75  47  70  47  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      78  49  70  49  73 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  81  48  73  48  77 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        82  48  73  47  77 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KBMX 181143
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
643 AM CDT SAT OCT 18 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 12Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

IF YOU`RE LOOKING FOR GREAT WEATHER TO GET OUTDOORS...THEN LOOK NO
FURTHER! A VERY UNEVENTFUL FORECAST IS IN STORE FOR CENTRAL ALABAMA
THRU NEXT WEEKEND. DRY AND PLEASANT WILL BE THE NORM WITH TEMPS AT
OR JUST BELOW NORMAL THRU THE PERIOD.

A DRY FRONT IS MAKING ITS WAY SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE CWA AND IS
CURRENTLY NEAR THE I-20 CORRIDOR. WE COULD SEE SOME LIGHT PATCHY FOG
THRU SUNRISE...MAINLY SOUTH OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. TEMPS WILL
SLOWLY WARM EACH DAY THRU MONDAY BEFORE A SHORTWAVE TROF PUSHES
ANOTHER FRONT THRU THE SOUTHEAST MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. IT APPEARS THAT
MOISTURE WILL BE LACKING WITH THIS FEATURE AS WELL AND WILL MAINTAIN
A DRY FORECAST FOR THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. THIS WILL BRING ANOTHER
SURGE OF SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR INTO CENTRAL ALABAMA FOR MID WEEK WITH
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S AND LOWS GENERALLY IN THE 40S.

19


&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS FORECAST THROUGH THE PERIOD. A SURFACE COLD FRONT
WAS NEARING TCL/BHM/EET/ASN/ANB AT 12Z...AND WILL ARRIVE IN A FEW
HOURS AT MGM/TOI. NOT EXPECTING MUCH IN THE WAY OF CLOUDS EXCEPT
FOR CIRRUS LEVEL CLOUDINESS FROM TIME TO TIME. WINDS WILL BECOME
NORTHWEST AT ALL LOCATIONS BY 14-17Z AROUND 9KTS...AND FALL BACK TO
LIGHT NORTH OR CALM OVERNIGHT. WINDS MAY STAY A FEW KTS OVERNIGHT
IN PLACES WHILE CALM IN OTHERS...THEREFORE...DID NOT MENTION ANY
FOG ATTM. THERE MAY BE SOME FORMING NEAR WATER BODIES AND IN
PROTECTED COOLER VALLEYS OVERNIGHT AFTER 06Z AND WILL MONITOR.

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH AT LEAST THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

75

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     71  44  68  43  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    74  46  70  45  73 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  73  46  70  46  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  76  46  72  45  76 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      75  47  70  47  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      78  49  70  49  73 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  81  48  73  48  77 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        82  48  73  47  77 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KBMX 180900
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
400 AM CDT SAT OCT 18 2014

.DISCUSSION...

IF YOU`RE LOOKING FOR GREAT WEATHER TO GET OUTDOORS...THEN LOOK NO
FURTHER! A VERY UNEVENTFUL FORECAST IS IN STORE FOR CENTRAL ALABAMA
THRU NEXT WEEKEND. DRY AND PLEASANT WILL BE THE NORM WITH TEMPS AT
OR JUST BELOW NORMAL THRU THE PERIOD.

A DRY FRONT IS MAKING ITS WAY SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE CWA AND IS
CURRENTLY NEAR THE I-20 CORRIDOR. WE COULD SEE SOME LIGHT PATCHY FOG
THRU SUNRISE...MAINLY SOUTH OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. TEMPS WILL
SLOWLY WARM EACH DAY THRU MONDAY BEFORE A SHORTWAVE TROF PUSHES
ANOTHER FRONT THRU THE SOUTHEAST MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. IT APPEARS THAT
MOISTURE WILL BE LACKING WITH THIS FEATURE AS WELL AND WILL MAINTAIN
A DRY FORECAST FOR THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. THIS WILL BRING ANOTHER
SURGE OF SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR INTO CENTRAL ALABAMA FOR MID WEEK WITH
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S AND LOWS GENERALLY IN THE 40S.

19

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. ONLY
RESTRICTIONS WILL BE TEMPORARY DUE TO PATCHY FOG IN A FEW PLACES
JUST BEFORE DAYBREAK. FOR THE DAY ON SATURDAY...A DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS ON
SATURDAY. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST BEHIND THE FRONT AND
WILL PREVAIL FROM THE NORTHWEST THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH AT LEAST THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

56/GDG

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     71  44  68  43  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    74  46  70  45  73 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  73  46  70  46  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  76  46  72  45  76 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      75  47  70  47  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      78  49  70  49  73 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  81  48  73  48  77 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        82  48  73  47  77 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KBMX 180900
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
400 AM CDT SAT OCT 18 2014

.DISCUSSION...

IF YOU`RE LOOKING FOR GREAT WEATHER TO GET OUTDOORS...THEN LOOK NO
FURTHER! A VERY UNEVENTFUL FORECAST IS IN STORE FOR CENTRAL ALABAMA
THRU NEXT WEEKEND. DRY AND PLEASANT WILL BE THE NORM WITH TEMPS AT
OR JUST BELOW NORMAL THRU THE PERIOD.

A DRY FRONT IS MAKING ITS WAY SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE CWA AND IS
CURRENTLY NEAR THE I-20 CORRIDOR. WE COULD SEE SOME LIGHT PATCHY FOG
THRU SUNRISE...MAINLY SOUTH OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. TEMPS WILL
SLOWLY WARM EACH DAY THRU MONDAY BEFORE A SHORTWAVE TROF PUSHES
ANOTHER FRONT THRU THE SOUTHEAST MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. IT APPEARS THAT
MOISTURE WILL BE LACKING WITH THIS FEATURE AS WELL AND WILL MAINTAIN
A DRY FORECAST FOR THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. THIS WILL BRING ANOTHER
SURGE OF SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR INTO CENTRAL ALABAMA FOR MID WEEK WITH
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S AND LOWS GENERALLY IN THE 40S.

19

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. ONLY
RESTRICTIONS WILL BE TEMPORARY DUE TO PATCHY FOG IN A FEW PLACES
JUST BEFORE DAYBREAK. FOR THE DAY ON SATURDAY...A DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS ON
SATURDAY. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST BEHIND THE FRONT AND
WILL PREVAIL FROM THE NORTHWEST THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH AT LEAST THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

56/GDG

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     71  44  68  43  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    74  46  70  45  73 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  73  46  70  46  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  76  46  72  45  76 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      75  47  70  47  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      78  49  70  49  73 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  81  48  73  48  77 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        82  48  73  47  77 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KBMX 180356
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1056 PM CDT FRI OCT 17 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 06Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

REINFORCING FRONT STILL A LITTLE WAY TO THE NORTHWEST THIS EVENING
ACROSS WESTERN TENNESSEE AND FAR EASTERN ARKANSAS. IT IS EXPECTED
TO PROGRESS TOWARD ALABAMA OVERNIGHT POSSIBLY TO THE NORTHWEST
PART OF THE STATE BY 12Z. ALTHOUGH DO NOT EXPECT ANYTHING IN THE
WAY OF RAIN AND NOT MUCH IN THE WAY OF CLOUDS. HOWEVER...SOME VERY
SHALLOW BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE COULD ALLOW FOR SOME PATCHY FOG
SOUTH OF THE FRONT. HAVE ADDED SOME PATCHY FOG AFTER 9Z...EXCLUDING
THE NORTHWEST TO ACCOUNT FOR THE FRONT PROGRESSION AND FAR
SOUTHEAST WHICH DOES NOT LOOK TO BE QUITE AS MOIST...BUT ALL ARE
MARGINAL AT BEST. AS FOR THE TEMPERATURES ONLY MADE A FEW MINOR
TWEAKS BASED UPON CURRENT TRENDS.

08/MK

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. ONLY
RESTRICTIONS WILL BE TEMPORARY DUE TO PATCHY FOG IN A FEW PLACES
JUST BEFORE DAYBREAK. FOR THE DAY ON SATURDAY...A DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS ON
SATURDAY. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST BEHIND THE FRONT AND
WILL PREVAIL FROM THE NORTHWEST THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH AT LEAST THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

56/GDG

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     47  72  44  69  42 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    51  74  46  71  45 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  53  74  46  71  47 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  52  78  46  74  45 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      53  75  47  71  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      55  78  49  70  50 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  54  82  48  74  47 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        50  82  48  73  47 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$






000
FXUS64 KBMX 180347 AAB
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1047 PM CDT FRI OCT 17 2014

.UPDATE...
EVENING UPDATE.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

REINFORCING FRONT STILL A LITTLE WAY TO THE NORTHWEST THIS EVENING
ACROSS WESTERN TENNESSEE AND FAR EASTERN ARKANSAS. IT IS EXPECTED
TO PROGRESS TOWARD ALABAMA OVERNIGHT POSSIBLY TO THE NORTHWEST
PART OF THE STATE BY 12Z. ALTHOUGH DO NOT EXPECT ANYTHING IN THE
WAY OF RAIN AND NOT MUCH IN THE WAY OF CLOUDS. HOWEVER...SOME VERY
SHALLOW BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE COULD ALLOW FOR SOME PATCHY FOG
SOUTH OF THE FRONT. HAVE ADDED SOME PATCHY FOG AFTER 9Z...EXCLUDING
THE NORTHWEST TO ACCOUNT FOR THE FRONT PROGRESSION AND FAR
SOUTHEAST WHICH DOES NOT LOOK TO BE QUITE AS MOIST...BUT ALL ARE
MARGINAL AT BEST. AS FOR THE TEMPERATURES ONLY MADE A FEW MINOR
TWEAKS BASED UPON CURRENT TRENDS.

08/MK

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. A DRY
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA THROUGH
THE OVERNIGHT AND EARLY MORNING HOURS ON SATURDAY. WINDS WILL
SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST BEHIND THE FRONT AND WILL PREVAIL FROM THE
NORTHWEST THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH AT LEAST THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

56/GDG

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 329 PM CDT FRI OCT 17 2014/

TEMPERATURES HAVE RISEN INTO THE 80S FOR MOST OF THE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. A DRY FRONTAL
PASSAGE IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT AS A SHORTWAVE DIVES SOUTHWARD OVER
THE CAROLINAS WITH COOLER CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY. NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE INTO THE UPCOMING WEEK
WITH ANOTHER DRY FRONTAL PASSAGE EXPECTED MONDAY NIGHT. OVERALL
THE FORECAST REMAINS DRY FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT 7 DAYS WITH LOWS
IN THE 40S AND 50S WITH HIGHS IN MAINLY IN THE 70S.

87/GRANTHAM

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     47  72  44  69  42 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    51  74  46  71  45 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  53  74  46  71  47 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  52  78  46  74  45 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      53  75  47  71  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      55  78  49  70  50 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  54  82  48  74  47 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        50  82  48  73  47 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

08/56/87






000
FXUS64 KBMX 180347 AAB
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1047 PM CDT FRI OCT 17 2014

.UPDATE...
EVENING UPDATE.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

REINFORCING FRONT STILL A LITTLE WAY TO THE NORTHWEST THIS EVENING
ACROSS WESTERN TENNESSEE AND FAR EASTERN ARKANSAS. IT IS EXPECTED
TO PROGRESS TOWARD ALABAMA OVERNIGHT POSSIBLY TO THE NORTHWEST
PART OF THE STATE BY 12Z. ALTHOUGH DO NOT EXPECT ANYTHING IN THE
WAY OF RAIN AND NOT MUCH IN THE WAY OF CLOUDS. HOWEVER...SOME VERY
SHALLOW BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE COULD ALLOW FOR SOME PATCHY FOG
SOUTH OF THE FRONT. HAVE ADDED SOME PATCHY FOG AFTER 9Z...EXCLUDING
THE NORTHWEST TO ACCOUNT FOR THE FRONT PROGRESSION AND FAR
SOUTHEAST WHICH DOES NOT LOOK TO BE QUITE AS MOIST...BUT ALL ARE
MARGINAL AT BEST. AS FOR THE TEMPERATURES ONLY MADE A FEW MINOR
TWEAKS BASED UPON CURRENT TRENDS.

08/MK

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. A DRY
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA THROUGH
THE OVERNIGHT AND EARLY MORNING HOURS ON SATURDAY. WINDS WILL
SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST BEHIND THE FRONT AND WILL PREVAIL FROM THE
NORTHWEST THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH AT LEAST THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

56/GDG

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 329 PM CDT FRI OCT 17 2014/

TEMPERATURES HAVE RISEN INTO THE 80S FOR MOST OF THE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. A DRY FRONTAL
PASSAGE IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT AS A SHORTWAVE DIVES SOUTHWARD OVER
THE CAROLINAS WITH COOLER CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY. NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE INTO THE UPCOMING WEEK
WITH ANOTHER DRY FRONTAL PASSAGE EXPECTED MONDAY NIGHT. OVERALL
THE FORECAST REMAINS DRY FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT 7 DAYS WITH LOWS
IN THE 40S AND 50S WITH HIGHS IN MAINLY IN THE 70S.

87/GRANTHAM

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     47  72  44  69  42 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    51  74  46  71  45 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  53  74  46  71  47 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  52  78  46  74  45 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      53  75  47  71  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      55  78  49  70  50 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  54  82  48  74  47 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        50  82  48  73  47 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

08/56/87







000
FXUS64 KBMX 180029
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
729 PM CDT FRI OCT 17 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 00Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

TEMPERATURES HAVE RISEN INTO THE 80S FOR MOST OF THE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. A DRY FRONTAL
PASSAGE IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT AS A SHORTWAVE DIVES SOUTHWARD OVER
THE CAROLINAS WITH COOLER CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY. NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE INTO THE UPCOMING WEEK
WITH ANOTHER DRY FRONTAL PASSAGE EXPECTED MONDAY NIGHT. OVERALL
THE FORECAST REMAINS DRY FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT 7 DAYS WITH LOWS
IN THE 40S AND 50S WITH HIGHS IN MAINLY IN THE 70S.

87/GRANTHAM

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. A DRY
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA THROUGH
THE OVERNIGHT AND EARLY MORNING HOURS ON SATURDAY. WINDS WILL
SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST BEHIND THE FRONT AND WILL PREVAIL FROM THE
NORTHWEST THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH AT LEAST THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

56/GDG

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     49  72  44  69  42 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    53  74  46  71  45 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  54  74  46  71  47 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  54  78  46  74  45 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      54  75  47  71  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      55  78  49  70  50 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  54  82  48  74  47 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        50  82  48  73  47 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$






000
FXUS64 KBMX 180029
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
729 PM CDT FRI OCT 17 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 00Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

TEMPERATURES HAVE RISEN INTO THE 80S FOR MOST OF THE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. A DRY FRONTAL
PASSAGE IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT AS A SHORTWAVE DIVES SOUTHWARD OVER
THE CAROLINAS WITH COOLER CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY. NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE INTO THE UPCOMING WEEK
WITH ANOTHER DRY FRONTAL PASSAGE EXPECTED MONDAY NIGHT. OVERALL
THE FORECAST REMAINS DRY FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT 7 DAYS WITH LOWS
IN THE 40S AND 50S WITH HIGHS IN MAINLY IN THE 70S.

87/GRANTHAM

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. A DRY
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA THROUGH
THE OVERNIGHT AND EARLY MORNING HOURS ON SATURDAY. WINDS WILL
SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST BEHIND THE FRONT AND WILL PREVAIL FROM THE
NORTHWEST THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH AT LEAST THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

56/GDG

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     49  72  44  69  42 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    53  74  46  71  45 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  54  74  46  71  47 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  54  78  46  74  45 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      54  75  47  71  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      55  78  49  70  50 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  54  82  48  74  47 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        50  82  48  73  47 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KBMX 172029
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
329 PM CDT FRI OCT 17 2014

.DISCUSSION...

TEMPERATURES HAVE RISEN INTO THE 80S FOR MOST OF THE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. A DRY FRONTAL
PASSAGE IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT AS A SHORTWAVE DIVES SOUTHWARD OVER
THE CAROLINAS WITH COOLER CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY. NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE INTO THE UPCOMING WEEK
WITH ANOTHER DRY FRONTAL PASSAGE EXPECTED MONDAY NIGHT. OVERALL
THE FORECAST REMAINS DRY FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT 7 DAYS WITH LOWS
IN THE 40S AND 50S WITH HIGHS IN MAINLY IN THE 70S.

87/GRANTHAM

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

OVERALL FLIGHT CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN VFR FOR THE NEXT 24 HOUR.
THERE WILL BE A DRY COLD FRONT THAT WILL MOVE THROUGH THIS EVENING
AND TRIED TO TIME THE WIND SHIFT OUT AS MUCH AS POSSIBLE. DID
INCLUDE A BRIEF PERIOD OF MVFR BR AT TOI JUST AHEAD OF THE COLD
FRONT RIGHT BEFORE 12Z.

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH AT LEAST THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

16

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     49  72  44  69  42 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    53  74  46  71  45 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  54  74  46  71  47 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  54  78  46  74  45 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      54  75  47  71  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      55  78  49  70  50 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  54  82  48  74  47 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        50  82  48  73  47 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

87/16






000
FXUS64 KBMX 172029
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
329 PM CDT FRI OCT 17 2014

.DISCUSSION...

TEMPERATURES HAVE RISEN INTO THE 80S FOR MOST OF THE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. A DRY FRONTAL
PASSAGE IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT AS A SHORTWAVE DIVES SOUTHWARD OVER
THE CAROLINAS WITH COOLER CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY. NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE INTO THE UPCOMING WEEK
WITH ANOTHER DRY FRONTAL PASSAGE EXPECTED MONDAY NIGHT. OVERALL
THE FORECAST REMAINS DRY FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT 7 DAYS WITH LOWS
IN THE 40S AND 50S WITH HIGHS IN MAINLY IN THE 70S.

87/GRANTHAM

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

OVERALL FLIGHT CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN VFR FOR THE NEXT 24 HOUR.
THERE WILL BE A DRY COLD FRONT THAT WILL MOVE THROUGH THIS EVENING
AND TRIED TO TIME THE WIND SHIFT OUT AS MUCH AS POSSIBLE. DID
INCLUDE A BRIEF PERIOD OF MVFR BR AT TOI JUST AHEAD OF THE COLD
FRONT RIGHT BEFORE 12Z.

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH AT LEAST THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

16

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     49  72  44  69  42 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    53  74  46  71  45 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  54  74  46  71  47 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  54  78  46  74  45 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      54  75  47  71  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      55  78  49  70  50 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  54  82  48  74  47 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        50  82  48  73  47 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

87/16







000
FXUS64 KBMX 171731
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1231 PM CDT FRI OCT 17 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 18Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

TEMPERATURES NUDGE UP TO AROUND 80 TODAY AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING
UPPER TROUGH AND COLD FRONT THAT WILL USHER IN COOLER CONDITIONS
FOR THE WEEKEND. A PARADE OF DRY FRONTS WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES
MAINLY IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S NEXT WEEK WITH LOWS IN THE 40S TO
LOW 50S.

THE SYSTEM EARLY TUESDAY HAS THE BEST CHANCE OF PRODUCING SOME
MORE WIDESPREAD CLOUDS BUT MOISTURE IS JUST VERY LIMITED. EVEN
LOOKING THROUGH THE NEXT 10 DAYS...DO NOT SEE ANY CHANCE FOR RAIN
AT THIS TIME.

88

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

OVERALL FLIGHT CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN VFR FOR THE NEXT 24 HOUR.
THERE WILL BE A DRY COLD FRONT THAT WILL MOVE THROUGH THIS EVENING
AND TRIED TO TIME THE WIND SHIFT OUT AS MUCH AS POSSIBLE. DID
INCLUDE A BRIEF PERIOD OF MVFR BR AT TOI JUST AHEAD OF THE COLD
FRONT RIGHT BEFORE 12Z.

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH AT LEAST THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

16

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     51  73  43  70  43 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    53  74  46  70  46 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  56  73  48  71  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  55  77  47  73  47 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      55  75  48  71  47 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      58  77  49  70  49 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  56  82  49  74  49 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        52  80  47  73  47 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KBMX 171731
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1231 PM CDT FRI OCT 17 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 18Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

TEMPERATURES NUDGE UP TO AROUND 80 TODAY AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING
UPPER TROUGH AND COLD FRONT THAT WILL USHER IN COOLER CONDITIONS
FOR THE WEEKEND. A PARADE OF DRY FRONTS WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES
MAINLY IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S NEXT WEEK WITH LOWS IN THE 40S TO
LOW 50S.

THE SYSTEM EARLY TUESDAY HAS THE BEST CHANCE OF PRODUCING SOME
MORE WIDESPREAD CLOUDS BUT MOISTURE IS JUST VERY LIMITED. EVEN
LOOKING THROUGH THE NEXT 10 DAYS...DO NOT SEE ANY CHANCE FOR RAIN
AT THIS TIME.

88

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

OVERALL FLIGHT CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN VFR FOR THE NEXT 24 HOUR.
THERE WILL BE A DRY COLD FRONT THAT WILL MOVE THROUGH THIS EVENING
AND TRIED TO TIME THE WIND SHIFT OUT AS MUCH AS POSSIBLE. DID
INCLUDE A BRIEF PERIOD OF MVFR BR AT TOI JUST AHEAD OF THE COLD
FRONT RIGHT BEFORE 12Z.

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH AT LEAST THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

16

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     51  73  43  70  43 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    53  74  46  70  46 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  56  73  48  71  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  55  77  47  73  47 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      55  75  48  71  47 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      58  77  49  70  49 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  56  82  49  74  49 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        52  80  47  73  47 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$










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