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000
FXUS64 KBMX 240445
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1145 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 06Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

SHORTWAVE MOVING THROUGH IS PRODUCING SOME CLOUD COVER THIS
EVENING WHICH HAS SLOWED THE RATE OF COOLING. MADE SOME
ADJUSTMENTS TO TEMPERATURES. THE CLOUDS SHOULD GRADUALLY CLEAR OUT
AS THE WAVE PASSES. UPDATES ON THE WAY.

88


&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

THE MAIN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE IS SLIDING THROUGH RIGHT
NOW...CAUSING CIRRUS TO BE SCT TO BKN. THIS WILL CLEAR OUT LATER
CLOSER TO 12Z AND CLEAR AFTER 18Z ALONG WITH AN INCREASE IN WINDS.
VFR FOR THE PERIOD.

16

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$











000
FXUS64 KBMX 240254
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
954 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

.UPDATE...
EVENING UPDATE.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

SHORTWAVE MOVING THROUGH IS PRODUCING SOME CLOUD COVER THIS
EVENING WHICH HAS SLOWED THE RATE OF COOLING. MADE SOME
ADJUSTMENTS TO TEMPERATURES. THE CLOUDS SHOULD GRADUALLY CLEAR OUT
AS THE WAVE PASSES. UPDATES ON THE WAY.

88

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

SOME HIGH CIRRUS WILL BEGIN TO SPREAD ACROSS THE NORTH AND WEST
THIS EVENING. OTHERWISE...VFR FOR THE FORECAST UNDER A SURFACE RIDGE.

08/MK


&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$










000
FXUS64 KBMX 240254
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
954 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

.UPDATE...
EVENING UPDATE.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

SHORTWAVE MOVING THROUGH IS PRODUCING SOME CLOUD COVER THIS
EVENING WHICH HAS SLOWED THE RATE OF COOLING. MADE SOME
ADJUSTMENTS TO TEMPERATURES. THE CLOUDS SHOULD GRADUALLY CLEAR OUT
AS THE WAVE PASSES. UPDATES ON THE WAY.

88

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

SOME HIGH CIRRUS WILL BEGIN TO SPREAD ACROSS THE NORTH AND WEST
THIS EVENING. OTHERWISE...VFR FOR THE FORECAST UNDER A SURFACE RIDGE.

08/MK


&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$










000
FXUS64 KBMX 232329 AAA
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
629 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 00Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE OHIO VALLEY REGION
CONTINUES TO DOMINATE THE WEATHER PATTERN ACROSS MUCH OF THE
SOUTHEAST. TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED GENERALLY INTO THE LOWER 70S
FOR MOST LOCATIONS WITH A FEW UPPER 60S OBSERVED ACROSS NORTHERN
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL ALABAMA. LOTS OF HIGH CLOUDS ON VISIBLE
SATELLITE ARE CURRENTLY MOVING INTO WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE STATE
ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE. THE SHORTWAVE WILL
MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. NOT MUCH
MOISTURE TO SPEAK OF WITH THIS SHORTWAVE...JUST HIGH CLOUDS.
TEMPERATURES SHOULD STILL BE ABLE TO FALL INTO THE 40S TONIGHT
DESPITE THE HIGH CLOUDS BUT OVERALL A BIT WARMER THAN WHAT WE
OBSERVED THIS MORNING.

THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST IS GENERALLY UNCHANGED AT THIS TIME
WITH MODERATING TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE UPPER RIDGE
BUILDING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS IS BEING ADVERTISED A BIT
STRONGER TODAY THAN YESTERDAY...AND THE WARMER TEMPS IN THE 80S ON
SUNDAY AND MONDAY APPEAR WARRANTED AT THIS TIME. WE COULD BE AT
LEAST 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR HIGHS MONDAY AFTERNOON. BASED ON
THE LATEST GUIDANCE PACKAGE THIS AFTERNOON...WE MIGHT ACTUALLY SEE
A FEW DROPS OF RAIN BEFORE WE GET INTO NOVEMBER. A COLD FRONT IS
EXPECTED TO SLOWLY ENTER INTO CENTRAL ALABAMA BY WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON. BY THE TIME THE FRONT ENTERS INTO THE STATE IT WILL BE
CONSIDERABLY WEAKER AND THERE WON`T BE MUCH MOISTURE TO WORK WITH.
HAVE KEPT MENTION OF SCATTERED TO ISOLATED SHOWERS AND PERHAPS A
STORM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND ISOLATED SHOWERS THROUGH EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING.

56/GDG

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

SOME HIGH CIRRUS WILL BEGIN TO SPREAD ACROSS THE NORTH AND WEST
THIS EVENING. OTHERWISE...VFR FOR THE FORECAST UNDER A SURFACE RIDGE.

08/MK

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     40  72  44  77  47 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    41  73  45  77  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  45  74  48  78  51 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  43  75  47  80  50 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      46  74  49  78  51 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      46  74  49  78  52 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  45  77  48  80  51 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        42  76  44  79  49 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

56/08







000
FXUS64 KBMX 232046
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
346 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

.DISCUSSION...

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE OHIO VALLEY REGION
CONTINUES TO DOMINATE THE WEATHER PATTERN ACROSS MUCH OF THE
SOUTHEAST. TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED GENERALLY INTO THE LOWER 70S
FOR MOST LOCATIONS WITH A FEW UPPER 60S OBSERVED ACROSS NORTHERN
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL ALABAMA. LOTS OF HIGH CLOUDS ON VISIBLE
SATELLITE ARE CURRENTLY MOVING INTO WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE STATE
ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE. THE SHORTWAVE WILL
MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. NOT MUCH
MOISTURE TO SPEAK OF WITH THIS SHORTWAVE...JUST HIGH CLOUDS.
TEMPERATURES SHOULD STILL BE ABLE TO FALL INTO THE 40S TONIGHT
DESPITE THE HIGH CLOUDS BUT OVERALL A BIT WARMER THAN WHAT WE
OBSERVED THIS MORNING.

THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST IS GENERALLY UNCHANGED AT THIS TIME
WITH MODERATING TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE UPPER RIDGE
BUILDING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS IS BEING ADVERTISED A BIT
STRONGER TODAY THAN YESTERDAY...AND THE WARMER TEMPS IN THE 80S ON
SUNDAY AND MONDAY APPEAR WARRANTED AT THIS TIME. WE COULD BE AT
LEAST 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR HIGHS MONDAY AFTERNOON. BASED ON
THE LATEST GUIDANCE PACKAGE THIS AFTERNOON...WE MIGHT ACTUALLY SEE
A FEW DROPS OF RAIN BEFORE WE GET INTO NOVEMBER. A COLD FRONT IS
EXPECTED TO SLOWLY ENTER INTO CENTRAL ALABAMA BY WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON. BY THE TIME THE FRONT ENTERS INTO THE STATE IT WILL BE
CONSIDERABLY WEAKER AND THERE WON`T BE MUCH MOISTURE TO WORK WITH.
HAVE KEPT MENTION OF SCATTERED TO ISOLATED SHOWERS AND PERHAPS A
STORM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND ISOLATED SHOWERS THROUGH EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING.

56/GDG

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS AND LIGHT WINDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE
PERIOD...WITH ONLY SOME HIGH CLOUDS MOVING THROUGH.

32/DAVIS

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     40  72  44  77  47 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    41  73  45  77  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  45  74  48  78  51 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  43  75  47  80  50 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      46  74  49  78  51 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      46  74  49  78  52 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  45  77  48  80  51 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        42  76  44  79  49 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$






000
FXUS64 KBMX 231724
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1224 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 18Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED RAPIDLY THIS MORNING FOLLOWING THE VERY
CRISP 30S AND 40S THAT WERE OBSERVED AT SUNRISE. PWATS ON THE 12Z
KBMX SOUNDING CAME IN AT 0.19 INCHES THIS MORNING...WHICH
HIGHLIGHTS THE VERY DRY AIRMASS THAT IS CURRENTLY IN PLACE. THE
SHORTWAVE MOVING EASTWARD WILL ONLY IMPACT CENTRAL ALABAMA BY
SPREADING HIGH CIRRUS CLOUDS OVER THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON.
OTHERWISE...THE FORECAST IS CURRENTLY ON TRACK FOR HIGHS TO RISE
INTO THE UPPER 60S NORTH TO THE LOWER 70S SOUTH. UPDATES ARE
ALREADY OUT.

56/GDG


&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS AND LIGHT WINDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE
PERIOD...WITH ONLY SOME HIGH CLOUDS MOVING THROUGH.

32/DAVIS

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KBMX 231635
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1135 AM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

.UPDATE...
MORNING UPDATE.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED RAPIDLY THIS MORNING FOLLOWING THE VERY
CRISP 30S AND 40S THAT WERE OBSERVED AT SUNRISE. PWATS ON THE 12Z
KBMX SOUNDING CAME IN AT 0.19 INCHES THIS MORNING...WHICH
HIGHLIGHTS THE VERY DRY AIRMASS THAT IS CURRENTLY IN PLACE. THE
SHORTWAVE MOVING EASTWARD WILL ONLY IMPACT CENTRAL ALABAMA BY
SPREADING HIGH CIRRUS CLOUDS OVER THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON.
OTHERWISE...THE FORECAST IS CURRENTLY ON TRACK FOR HIGHS TO RISE
INTO THE UPPER 60S NORTH TO THE LOWER 70S SOUTH. UPDATES ARE
ALREADY OUT.

56/GDG

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF DISCUSSION.

OVERALL A VERY NICE TAF CYCLE ONCE AGAIN. VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED
THROUGH THE PERIOD. SOME HIGHER CLOUDS WILL WORK IN AFTER 00Z.

16

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     69  40  72  44  77 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    70  41  73  45  77 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  70  45  74  48  78 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  72  43  75  47  80 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      70  46  74  49  78 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      71  46  74  49  78 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  73  45  77  48  80 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        72  42  76  44  79 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$






000
FXUS64 KBMX 231635
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1135 AM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

.UPDATE...
MORNING UPDATE.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED RAPIDLY THIS MORNING FOLLOWING THE VERY
CRISP 30S AND 40S THAT WERE OBSERVED AT SUNRISE. PWATS ON THE 12Z
KBMX SOUNDING CAME IN AT 0.19 INCHES THIS MORNING...WHICH
HIGHLIGHTS THE VERY DRY AIRMASS THAT IS CURRENTLY IN PLACE. THE
SHORTWAVE MOVING EASTWARD WILL ONLY IMPACT CENTRAL ALABAMA BY
SPREADING HIGH CIRRUS CLOUDS OVER THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON.
OTHERWISE...THE FORECAST IS CURRENTLY ON TRACK FOR HIGHS TO RISE
INTO THE UPPER 60S NORTH TO THE LOWER 70S SOUTH. UPDATES ARE
ALREADY OUT.

56/GDG

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF DISCUSSION.

OVERALL A VERY NICE TAF CYCLE ONCE AGAIN. VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED
THROUGH THE PERIOD. SOME HIGHER CLOUDS WILL WORK IN AFTER 00Z.

16

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     69  40  72  44  77 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    70  41  73  45  77 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  70  45  74  48  78 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  72  43  75  47  80 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      70  46  74  49  78 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      71  46  74  49  78 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  73  45  77  48  80 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        72  42  76  44  79 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$






000
FXUS64 KBMX 231113
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
613 AM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 12Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

THE CENTER OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE IS CURRENTLY LOCATED IN THE
OHIO VALLEY REGION WITH A PRESSURE GRADIENT EXTENDING SOUTHWARD
ACROSS ALABAMA. THIS HAS CAUSED TEMPERATURES TO BE HIGHLY VARIABLE
THIS MORNING WITH SHELTERED LOCATIONS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER
40S AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS NEAR 50F. ABUNDANT DRY AIR IS IN PLACE
ACROSS THE REGION BEHIND A LARGE EAST COAST TROUGH. ALTHOUGH A
SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST STATES TODAY...
IT WILL HAVE EXTREMELY LIMITED MOISTURE TO WORK WITH AND NO
IMPACT IN TERMS OF PRECIPITATION.

NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH COOL
NIGHTS AND WARM AFTERNOONS AS AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE STRENGTHENS AND
MOVES EASTWARD ACROSS TEXAS BY SATURDAY. AS A FAST-MOVING BROAD
TROUGH MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS...THE RIDGE WILL FLATTEN AND
MOVE EASTWARD BY SUNDAY AND MONDAY WITH ABOVE NORMAL AFTERNOON
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED. HIGHS MAY REACH THE MID 80S IN A FEW SPOTS
ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY.

MOISTURE RETURN SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR SHOWERS AND A FEW STORMS
TO DEVELOP ALONG A FRONT TO OUR NORTHWEST ON TUESDAY. THIS FRONT
MAY BE SLOW TO MOVE INTO ALABAMA AS MID-LEVEL FLOW BECOMES MORE
PARALLEL TO THE BOUNDARY. HAVE INTRODUCED SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR
WEDNESDAY AS THE FRONT SAGS SOUTHWARD.

87/GRANTHAM

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF DISCUSSION.

OVERALL A VERY NICE TAF CYCLE ONCE AGAIN. VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED
THROUGH THE PERIOD. SOME HIGHER CLOUDS WILL WORK IN AFTER 00Z.

16

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$










000
FXUS64 KBMX 230926
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
426 AM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

.DISCUSSION...

THE CENTER OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE IS CURRENTLY LOCATED IN THE
OHIO VALLEY REGION WITH A PRESSURE GRADIENT EXTENDING SOUTHWARD
ACROSS ALABAMA. THIS HAS CAUSED TEMPERATURES TO BE HIGHLY VARIABLE
THIS MORNING WITH SHELTERED LOCATIONS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER
40S AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS NEAR 50F. ABUNDANT DRY AIR IS IN PLACE
ACROSS THE REGION BEHIND A LARGE EAST COAST TROUGH. ALTHOUGH A
SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST STATES TODAY...
IT WILL HAVE EXTREMELY LIMITED MOISTURE TO WORK WITH AND NO
IMPACT IN TERMS OF PRECIPITATION.

NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH COOL
NIGHTS AND WARM AFTERNOONS AS AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE STRENGTHENS AND
MOVES EASTWARD ACROSS TEXAS BY SATURDAY. AS A FAST-MOVING BROAD
TROUGH MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS...THE RIDGE WILL FLATTEN AND
MOVE EASTWARD BY SUNDAY AND MONDAY WITH ABOVE NORMAL AFTERNOON
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED. HIGHS MAY REACH THE MID 80S IN A FEW SPOTS
ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY.

MOISTURE RETURN SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR SHOWERS AND A FEW STORMS
TO DEVELOP ALONG A FRONT TO OUR NORTHWEST ON TUESDAY. THIS FRONT
MAY BE SLOW TO MOVE INTO ALABAMA AS MID-LEVEL FLOW BECOMES MORE
PARALLEL TO THE BOUNDARY. HAVE INTRODUCED SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR
WEDNESDAY AS THE FRONT SAGS SOUTHWARD.

87/GRANTHAM

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

CLEAR SKIES WITH LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS.

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS CONCLUDED THESEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA.

88

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     69  40  72  44  77 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    70  41  73  45  77 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  70  45  74  48  78 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  72  43  75  47  80 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      70  46  74  49  78 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      71  46  74  49  78 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  73  45  77  48  80 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        72  42  76  44  79 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

87/88







000
FXUS64 KBMX 230446
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1146 PM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 06Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE ANCHORED NORTH OF MAINE ARCHES AROUND THE
STRENGTHENING LOW MOVING UP THE EAST COAST AND EXTENDS SOUTHWARD
ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES...OHIO RIVER VALLEY...AND INTO THE
SOUTHEAST. WITH THIS SETUP...LOCAL LOW LEVEL WINDS REMAIN OUT OF
THE NORTH WITH WEAK COLD ADVECTION CONTINUING.

TEMPERATURES HAVE COOLED INTO THE UPPER 40S AND LOWER 50S AT
10PM...WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE LOW TO MID 40S. SKIES REMAIN CLEAR
AND WINDS CALM TO LIGHT. THIS WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO FALL INTO THE
LOWER 40S OVERNIGHT. EXPECT LOCATIONS IN THE FAR NORTHEAST AND
POSSIBLY NORTHWEST TO DROP INTO THE UPPER 30S.

14


&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

CLEAR SKIES WITH LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS.

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS CONCLUDED THESEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA.

88

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$










000
FXUS64 KBMX 230446
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1146 PM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 06Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE ANCHORED NORTH OF MAINE ARCHES AROUND THE
STRENGTHENING LOW MOVING UP THE EAST COAST AND EXTENDS SOUTHWARD
ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES...OHIO RIVER VALLEY...AND INTO THE
SOUTHEAST. WITH THIS SETUP...LOCAL LOW LEVEL WINDS REMAIN OUT OF
THE NORTH WITH WEAK COLD ADVECTION CONTINUING.

TEMPERATURES HAVE COOLED INTO THE UPPER 40S AND LOWER 50S AT
10PM...WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE LOW TO MID 40S. SKIES REMAIN CLEAR
AND WINDS CALM TO LIGHT. THIS WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO FALL INTO THE
LOWER 40S OVERNIGHT. EXPECT LOCATIONS IN THE FAR NORTHEAST AND
POSSIBLY NORTHWEST TO DROP INTO THE UPPER 30S.

14


&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

CLEAR SKIES WITH LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS.

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS CONCLUDED THESEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA.

88

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$










000
FXUS64 KBMX 230304 AAA
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1004 PM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE ANCHORED NORTH OF MAINE ARCHES AROUND THE
STRENGTHENING LOW MOVING UP THE EAST COAST AND EXTENDS SOUTHWARD
ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES...OHIO RIVER VALLEY...AND INTO THE
SOUTHEAST. WITH THIS SETUP...LOCAL LOW LEVEL WINDS REMAIN OUT OF
THE NORTH WITH WEAK COLD ADVECTION CONTINUING.

TEMPERATURES HAVE COOLED INTO THE UPPER 40S AND LOWER 50S AT
10PM...WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE LOW TO MID 40S. SKIES REMAIN CLEAR
AND WINDS CALM TO LIGHT. THIS WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO FALL INTO THE
LOWER 40S OVERNIGHT. EXPECT LOCATIONS IN THE FAR NORTHEAST AND
POSSIBLY NORTHWEST TO DROP INTO THE UPPER 30S.

14

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

CLEAR SKIES THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 5 KTS.

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

88


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 626 PM CDT WED OCT 22 2014/

IN TERMS OF THE WEATHER ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA TODAY...YOU REALLY
CAN`T GET MUCH BETTER THAN THIS. DRY NORTHERLY FLOW CONTINUES TO
DOMINATE FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF A DRY COLD FRONT. DEWPOINTS WERE
BEING OBSERVED IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S THIS AFTERNOON. WITH
IDEAL RADIATIONAL COOLING EXPECTED OVERNIGHT TONIGHT...VERY CRISP
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING AREAWIDE. OF
COURSE...A FEW OF THE VERY SHELTERED MICROCLIMATE LOCATIONS COULD
END UP OBSERVING A VERY LOCALIZED FROST. HOWEVER...TEMPERATURES
SHOULD REMAIN WARM ENOUGH TO PREVENT ANY WIDESPREAD FROST TONIGHT.

IN TERMS OF THE FORECAST FOR THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE...IT APPEARS WE
WON`T SEE ANY RAINFALL ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA UNTIL NOVEMBER. UPPER
LEVEL HEIGHTS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
WEEK AS AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. DRY
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL DOMINATE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. WITH
UPPER HEIGHTS ON THE INCREASE...MODERATING TEMPERATURES WILL BE
EXPECTED. HIGHS ARE EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE 80 DEGREE MARK BY THIS
WEEKEND WITH CONTINUED WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH THE END OF
THE FORECAST PERIOD.

56/GDG

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     40  69  42  72  46 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    39  71  42  72  45 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  42  71  44  74  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  41  74  43  76  47 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      43  71  44  74  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      43  70  44  73  47 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  43  74  45  76  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        41  73  44  75  47 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KBMX 222326
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
626 PM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 00Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

IN TERMS OF THE WEATHER ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA TODAY...YOU REALLY
CAN`T GET MUCH BETTER THAN THIS. DRY NORTHERLY FLOW CONTINUES TO
DOMINATE FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF A DRY COLD FRONT. DEWPOINTS WERE
BEING OBSERVED IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S THIS AFTERNOON. WITH
IDEAL RADIATIONAL COOLING EXPECTED OVERNIGHT TONIGHT...VERY CRISP
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING AREAWIDE. OF
COURSE...A FEW OF THE VERY SHELTERED MICROCLIMATE LOCATIONS COULD
END UP OBSERVING A VERY LOCALIZED FROST. HOWEVER...TEMPERATURES
SHOULD REMAIN WARM ENOUGH TO PREVENT ANY WIDESPREAD FROST TONIGHT.

IN TERMS OF THE FORECAST FOR THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE...IT APPEARS WE
WON`T SEE ANY RAINFALL ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA UNTIL NOVEMBER. UPPER
LEVEL HEIGHTS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
WEEK AS AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. DRY
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL DOMINATE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. WITH
UPPER HEIGHTS ON THE INCREASE...MODERATING TEMPERATURES WILL BE
EXPECTED. HIGHS ARE EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE 80 DEGREE MARK BY THIS
WEEKEND WITH CONTINUED WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH THE END OF
THE FORECAST PERIOD.

56/GDG


&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

CLEAR SKIES THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 5 KTS.

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

88

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$











000
FXUS64 KBMX 222001
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
301 PM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

.DISCUSSION...

IN TERMS OF THE WEATHER ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA TODAY...YOU REALLY
CAN`T GET MUCH BETTER THAN THIS. DRY NORTHERLY FLOW CONTINUES TO
DOMINATE FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF A DRY COLD FRONT. DEWPOINTS WERE
BEING OBSERVED IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S THIS AFTERNOON. WITH
IDEAL RADIATIONAL COOLING EXPECTED OVERNIGHT TONIGHT...VERY CRISP
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING AREAWIDE. OF
COURSE...A FEW OF THE VERY SHELTERED MICROCLIMATE LOCATIONS COULD
END UP OBSERVING A VERY LOCALIZED FROST. HOWEVER...TEMPERATURES
SHOULD REMAIN WARM ENOUGH TO PREVENT ANY WIDESPREAD FROST TONIGHT.

IN TERMS OF THE FORECAST FOR THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE...IT APPEARS WE
WON`T SEE ANY RAINFALL ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA UNTIL NOVEMBER. UPPER
LEVEL HEIGHTS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
WEEK AS AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. DRY
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL DOMINATE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. WITH
UPPER HEIGHTS ON THE INCREASE...MODERATING TEMPERATURES WILL BE
EXPECTED. HIGHS ARE EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE 80 DEGREE MARK BY THIS
WEEKEND WITH CONTINUED WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH THE END OF
THE FORECAST PERIOD.

56/GDG

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDS THRU THE PERIOD. NO AVIATION CONCERNS.

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

07

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     37  69  42  72  46 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    39  71  42  72  45 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  42  71  44  74  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  41  74  43  76  47 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      41  71  44  74  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      43  70  44  73  47 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  41  74  45  76  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        39  73  44  75  47 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$






000
FXUS64 KBMX 221800
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
100 PM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 18Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

DEEP CLOSED UPPER LOW OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST PRODUCING DRY
NORTHERLY FLOW OVER ALABAMA. ONLY MINOR CHANGES MADE TO TODAYS
FORECAST.

58/ROSE


&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDS THRU THE PERIOD. NO AVIATION CONCERNS.

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

07

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     39  70  41  72  46 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    41  70  43  72  47 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  45  71  45  74  49 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  43  74  44  76  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      44  71  45  74  49 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      46  71  46  73  50 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  44  75  45  76  49 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        41  74  44  75  47 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KBMX 221800
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
100 PM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 18Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

DEEP CLOSED UPPER LOW OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST PRODUCING DRY
NORTHERLY FLOW OVER ALABAMA. ONLY MINOR CHANGES MADE TO TODAYS
FORECAST.

58/ROSE


&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDS THRU THE PERIOD. NO AVIATION CONCERNS.

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

07

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     39  70  41  72  46 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    41  70  43  72  47 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  45  71  45  74  49 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  43  74  44  76  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      44  71  45  74  49 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      46  71  46  73  50 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  44  75  45  76  49 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        41  74  44  75  47 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KBMX 221642
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1142 AM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

.UPDATE...
MORNING UPDATE.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

DEEP CLOSED UPPER LOW OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST PRODUCING DRY
NORTHERLY FLOW OVER ALABAMA. ONLY MINOR CHANGES MADE TO TODAYS
FORECAST.

58/ROSE

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF DISCUSSION.

SOME BRIEF FOG AT ANB THIS MORNING...OTHERWISE VFR CONDITIONS THRU
THE DAY. PERSISTENT HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP SKIES CLEAR AND WINDS
OUT OF THE NORTH AT 5-10 KTS.

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

19


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 643 AM CDT WED OCT 22 2014/

ITS ANOTHER DRY DAY IN THE NEIGHBORHOOD WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO LOW 70S. WE WILL SEE ANOTHER SHORTWAVE SLIDE THROUGH BRING
A COLD FRONT THROUGH ON FRIDAY BEFORE THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
BUILDS IN FOR THE REST OF THE WEEKEND AND FIRST OF NEXT WEEK.

IN OTHER NEWS...TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE DEVELOPED IN THE BAY OF
CAMPECHE EARLIER THIS EVENING AND IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A
TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT AS THE STORM MOVES EAST. WITH
THE LARGE TROUGH IN PLACE OVER THE EASTERN CONUS THE SYSTEM HAS NO
CHANCE ON MAKING IT ANYWHERE NEAR CENTRAL ALABAMA.

BY SATURDAY AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST AND
CONTINUE TO KEEP CENTRAL ALABAMA DRY THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO
THE FIRST OF NEXT WEEK. WE COULD SEE A COLD FRONT WITH A SLIGHT
CHANCE AT SOME RAIN WEDNESDAY...BUT CONFIDENCE IS LOW THAT WE
WOULD SEE ANY BENEFICIAL RAIN THROUGH THE END OF THE MONTH.

16

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     68  39  70  41  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    68  41  70  43  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  69  45  71  45  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  71  43  74  44  76 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      69  44  71  45  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      70  46  71  46  73 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  74  44  75  45  76 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        73  41  74  44  75 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KBMX 221642
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1142 AM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

.UPDATE...
MORNING UPDATE.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

DEEP CLOSED UPPER LOW OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST PRODUCING DRY
NORTHERLY FLOW OVER ALABAMA. ONLY MINOR CHANGES MADE TO TODAYS
FORECAST.

58/ROSE

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF DISCUSSION.

SOME BRIEF FOG AT ANB THIS MORNING...OTHERWISE VFR CONDITIONS THRU
THE DAY. PERSISTENT HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP SKIES CLEAR AND WINDS
OUT OF THE NORTH AT 5-10 KTS.

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

19


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 643 AM CDT WED OCT 22 2014/

ITS ANOTHER DRY DAY IN THE NEIGHBORHOOD WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO LOW 70S. WE WILL SEE ANOTHER SHORTWAVE SLIDE THROUGH BRING
A COLD FRONT THROUGH ON FRIDAY BEFORE THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
BUILDS IN FOR THE REST OF THE WEEKEND AND FIRST OF NEXT WEEK.

IN OTHER NEWS...TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE DEVELOPED IN THE BAY OF
CAMPECHE EARLIER THIS EVENING AND IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A
TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT AS THE STORM MOVES EAST. WITH
THE LARGE TROUGH IN PLACE OVER THE EASTERN CONUS THE SYSTEM HAS NO
CHANCE ON MAKING IT ANYWHERE NEAR CENTRAL ALABAMA.

BY SATURDAY AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST AND
CONTINUE TO KEEP CENTRAL ALABAMA DRY THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO
THE FIRST OF NEXT WEEK. WE COULD SEE A COLD FRONT WITH A SLIGHT
CHANCE AT SOME RAIN WEDNESDAY...BUT CONFIDENCE IS LOW THAT WE
WOULD SEE ANY BENEFICIAL RAIN THROUGH THE END OF THE MONTH.

16

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     68  39  70  41  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    68  41  70  43  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  69  45  71  45  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  71  43  74  44  76 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      69  44  71  45  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      70  46  71  46  73 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  74  44  75  45  76 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        73  41  74  44  75 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KBMX 221143
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
643 AM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 12Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

ITS ANOTHER DRY DAY IN THE NEIGHBORHOOD WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO LOW 70S. WE WILL SEE ANOTHER SHORTWAVE SLIDE THROUGH BRING
A COLD FRONT THROUGH ON FRIDAY BEFORE THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
BUILDS IN FOR THE REST OF THE WEEKEND AND FIRST OF NEXT WEEK.

IN OTHER NEWS...TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE DEVELOPED IN THE BAY OF
CAMPECHE EARLIER THIS EVENING AND IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A
TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT AS THE STORM MOVES EAST. WITH
THE LARGE TROUGH IN PLACE OVER THE EASTERN CONUS THE SYSTEM HAS NO
CHANCE ON MAKING IT ANYWHERE NEAR CENTRAL ALABAMA.

BY SATURDAY AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST AND
CONTINUE TO KEEP CENTRAL ALABAMA DRY THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO
THE FIRST OF NEXT WEEK. WE COULD SEE A COLD FRONT WITH A SLIGHT
CHANCE AT SOME RAIN WEDNESDAY...BUT CONFIDENCE IS LOW THAT WE
WOULD SEE ANY BENEFICIAL RAIN THROUGH THE END OF THE MONTH.

16

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF DISCUSSION.

SOME BRIEF FOG AT ANB THIS MORNING...OTHERWISE VFR CONDITIONS THRU
THE DAY. PERSISTENT HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP SKIES CLEAR AND WINDS
OUT OF THE NORTH AT 5-10 KTS.

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

19

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

RH VALUES WILL BE IN THE LOW 30S OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
GOOD NEWS WILL BE THAT THE WINDS WILL DROP ON THURSDAY SO RED
FLAG CRITERIA SHOULD NOT BE MET. OTHERWISE DRY THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     68  39  70  41  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    68  41  70  43  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  69  45  71  45  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  71  43  74  44  76 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      69  44  71  45  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      70  46  71  46  73 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  74  44  75  45  76 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        73  41  74  44  75 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KBMX 220819
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
319 AM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

.DISCUSSION...

ITS ANOTHER DRY DAY IN THE NEIGHBORHOOD WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO LOW 70S. WE WILL SEE ANOTHER SHORTWAVE SLIDE THROUGH BRING
A COLD FRONT THROUGH ON FRIDAY BEFORE THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
BUILDS IN FOR THE REST OF THE WEEKEND AND FIRST OF NEXT WEEK.

IN OTHER NEWS...TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE DEVELOPED IN THE BAY OF
CAMPECHE EARLIER THIS EVENING AND IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A
TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT AS THE STORM MOVES EAST. WITH
THE LARGE TROUGH IN PLACE OVER THE EASTERN CONUS THE SYSTEM HAS NO
CHANCE ON MAKING IT ANYWHERE NEAR CENTRAL ALABAMA.

BY SATURDAY AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST AND
CONTINUE TO KEEP CENTRAL ALABAMA DRY THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO
THE FIRST OF NEXT WEEK. WE COULD SEE A COLD FRONT WITH A SLIGHT
CHANCE AT SOME RAIN WEDNESDAY...BUT CONFIDENCE IS LOW THAT WE
WOULD SEE ANY BENEFICIAL RAIN THROUGH THE END OF THE MONTH.

16

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

NO AVIATION CONCERNS AT THIS TIME. VERY LIGHT WINDS OVERNIGHT WITH
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 TO 8 KTS BY LATE MORNING. SKIES WILL BE
CLEAR.

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

88


&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

RH VALUES WILL BE IN THE LOW 30S OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
GOOD NEWS WILL BE THAT THE WINDS WILL DROP ON THURSDAY SO RED
FLAG CRITERIA SHOULD NOT BE MET. OTHERWISE DRY THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     68  39  70  41  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    68  41  70  43  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  69  45  71  45  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  71  43  74  44  76 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      69  44  71  45  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      70  46  71  46  73 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  74  44  75  45  76 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        73  41  74  44  75 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$













000
FXUS64 KBMX 220456
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1156 PM CDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 06Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

QUIET NIGHT ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA. THE LATEST IN A SERIES OF DRY
FRONTS IS PUSHING SOUTHWARD...WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN WINDS AND
DECREASE IN DEWPOINTS. THIS SHOULD PREVENT FOG DEVELOPMENT FOR
MUCH OF THE AREA.

ADJUSTED TEMPERATURE TRENDS AS TEMPS WERE RUNNING A BIT WARMER
THAN EXPECTED AT THIS HOUR. GUIDANCE SHOWS TEMPERATURES WILL STILL
FALL INTO THE LOW 40S TO LOW 50S...SO OVERNIGHT LOWS APPEAR TO
STILL BE ON TRACK.

14


&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

NO AVIATION CONCERNS AT THIS TIME. VERY LIGHT WINDS OVERNIGHT WITH
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 TO 8 KTS BY LATE MORNING. SKIES WILL BE
CLEAR.

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

88

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KBMX 220456
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1156 PM CDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 06Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

QUIET NIGHT ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA. THE LATEST IN A SERIES OF DRY
FRONTS IS PUSHING SOUTHWARD...WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN WINDS AND
DECREASE IN DEWPOINTS. THIS SHOULD PREVENT FOG DEVELOPMENT FOR
MUCH OF THE AREA.

ADJUSTED TEMPERATURE TRENDS AS TEMPS WERE RUNNING A BIT WARMER
THAN EXPECTED AT THIS HOUR. GUIDANCE SHOWS TEMPERATURES WILL STILL
FALL INTO THE LOW 40S TO LOW 50S...SO OVERNIGHT LOWS APPEAR TO
STILL BE ON TRACK.

14


&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

NO AVIATION CONCERNS AT THIS TIME. VERY LIGHT WINDS OVERNIGHT WITH
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 TO 8 KTS BY LATE MORNING. SKIES WILL BE
CLEAR.

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

88

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KBMX 220333 AAA
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1033 PM CDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.UPDATE...
EVENING UPDATE.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

QUIET NIGHT ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA. THE LATEST IN A SERIES OF DRY
FRONTS IS PUSHING SOUTHWARD...WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN WINDS AND
DECREASE IN DEWPOINTS. THIS SHOULD PREVENT FOG DEVELOPMENT FOR
MUCH OF THE AREA.

ADJUSTED TEMPERATURE TRENDS AS TEMPS WERE RUNNING A BIT WARMER
THAN EXPECTED AT THIS HOUR. GUIDANCE SHOWS TEMPERATURES WILL STILL
FALL INTO THE LOW 40S TO LOW 50S...SO OVERNIGHT LOWS APPEAR TO
STILL BE ON TRACK.

14

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

NO AVIATION CONCERNS AT THIS TIME. HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT
SLIGHTLY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST BY
TOMORROW.

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

88


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 632 PM CDT TUE OCT 21 2014/
DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE AS MODELS AGREE THROUGH THE SHORT TERM. A
WEAK FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT BRINGING COOLER AIR
TO THE CWA. TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY REMAIN IN THE 60S IN THE
EXTREME NORTHERN PARTS OF THE CWA ON WEDNESDAY AND POSSIBLE EVEN ON
THURSDAY. A STRONG 500MB SHORT WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION LATE
THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL PRODUCE QUITE A BIT OF HIGH
LEVEL CLOUDS THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY NIGHT BUT DO NOT
EXPECT ANY PRECIPITATION. THURSDAY MORNING LOWS OVER THE EASTERN
PARTS OF THE CWA COULD DROP INTO THE MID/UPPER 30S AND THIS COULD
PRODUCE ISOLATED FROST...BUT AT THIS TIME DO NOT ANTICIPATE A FROST
ADVISORY.

17

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     42  69  39  70  42 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    46  69  41  70  44 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  48  70  45  71  46 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  49  72  43  73  45 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      50  70  44  72  46 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      50  70  46  71  47 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  50  74  44  74  46 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        48  73  41  74  45 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KBMX 220333 AAA
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1033 PM CDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.UPDATE...
EVENING UPDATE.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

QUIET NIGHT ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA. THE LATEST IN A SERIES OF DRY
FRONTS IS PUSHING SOUTHWARD...WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN WINDS AND
DECREASE IN DEWPOINTS. THIS SHOULD PREVENT FOG DEVELOPMENT FOR
MUCH OF THE AREA.

ADJUSTED TEMPERATURE TRENDS AS TEMPS WERE RUNNING A BIT WARMER
THAN EXPECTED AT THIS HOUR. GUIDANCE SHOWS TEMPERATURES WILL STILL
FALL INTO THE LOW 40S TO LOW 50S...SO OVERNIGHT LOWS APPEAR TO
STILL BE ON TRACK.

14

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

NO AVIATION CONCERNS AT THIS TIME. HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT
SLIGHTLY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST BY
TOMORROW.

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

88


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 632 PM CDT TUE OCT 21 2014/
DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE AS MODELS AGREE THROUGH THE SHORT TERM. A
WEAK FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT BRINGING COOLER AIR
TO THE CWA. TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY REMAIN IN THE 60S IN THE
EXTREME NORTHERN PARTS OF THE CWA ON WEDNESDAY AND POSSIBLE EVEN ON
THURSDAY. A STRONG 500MB SHORT WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION LATE
THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL PRODUCE QUITE A BIT OF HIGH
LEVEL CLOUDS THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY NIGHT BUT DO NOT
EXPECT ANY PRECIPITATION. THURSDAY MORNING LOWS OVER THE EASTERN
PARTS OF THE CWA COULD DROP INTO THE MID/UPPER 30S AND THIS COULD
PRODUCE ISOLATED FROST...BUT AT THIS TIME DO NOT ANTICIPATE A FROST
ADVISORY.

17

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     42  69  39  70  42 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    46  69  41  70  44 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  48  70  45  71  46 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  49  72  43  73  45 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      50  70  44  72  46 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      50  70  46  71  47 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  50  74  44  74  46 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        48  73  41  74  45 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KBMX 212332
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
632 PM CDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 00Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE AS MODELS AGREE THROUGH THE SHORT TERM. A
WEAK FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT BRINGING COOLER AIR
TO THE CWA. TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY REMAIN IN THE 60S IN THE
EXTREME NORTHERN PARTS OF THE CWA ON WEDNESDAY AND POSSIBLE EVEN ON
THURSDAY. A STRONG 500MB SHORT WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION LATE
THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL PRODUCE QUITE A BIT OF HIGH
LEVEL CLOUDS THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY NIGHT BUT DO NOT
EXPECT ANY PRECIPITATION. THURSDAY MORNING LOWS OVER THE EASTERN
PARTS OF THE CWA COULD DROP INTO THE MID/UPPER 30S AND THIS COULD
PRODUCE ISOLATED FROST...BUT AT THIS TIME DO NOT ANTICIPATE A FROST
ADVISORY.

17


&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

NO AVIATION CONCERNS AT THIS TIME. HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT
SLIGHTLY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST BY
TOMORROW.

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

88

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
WILL NEED TO MONITOR THE AMOUNT OF DRY AIR IN PLACE TOMORROW AND
ALSO ON THURSDAY. CURRENT FORECAST HIGHS AND DEWPOINTS ALLOW THE RH
VALES TO DROP INTO THE LOWER 30S THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON. A FEW
COUNTIES MAY BRIEFLY DROP INTO THE UPPER 20S...BUT THE AMOUNT OF
TIME SHOULD BE 2 HOURS OR LESS...SO A RED FLAG WARNING IS NOT
ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME FOR WEDNESDAY OR THURSDAY.

17

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$










000
FXUS64 KBMX 211909
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
209 PM CDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.DISCUSSION...
DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE AS MODELS AGREE THROUGH THE SHORT TERM. A
WEAK FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT BRINGING COOLER AIR
TO THE CWA. TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY REMAIN IN THE 60S IN THE
EXTREME NORTHERN PARTS OF THE CWA ON WEDNESDAY AND POSSIBLE EVEN ON
THURSDAY. A STRONG 500MB SHORT WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION LATE
THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL PRODUCE QUITE A BIT OF HIGH
LEVEL CLOUDS THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY NIGHT BUT DO NOT
EXPECT ANY PRECIPITATION. THURSDAY MORNING LOWS OVER THE EASTERN
PARTS OF THE CWA COULD DROP INTO THE MID/UPPER 30S AND THIS COULD
PRODUCE ISOLATED FROST...BUT AT THIS TIME DO NOT ANTICIPATE A FROST
ADVISORY.

17

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE FORECAST. WINDS WILL BE
LIGHT NORTH TO NORTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON...BECOMING CALM
TONIGHT...THEN LIGHT NORTHEAST AFTER SUNRISE WEDNESDAY.

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

17


&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
WILL NEED TO MONITOR THE AMOUNT OF DRY AIR IN PLACE TOMORROW AND
ALSO ON THURSDAY. CURRENT FORECAST HIGHS AND DEWPOINTS ALLOW THE RH
VALES TO DROP INTO THE LOWER 30S THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON. A FEW
COUNTIES MAY BRIEFLY DROP INTO THE UPPER 20S...BUT THE AMOUNT OF
TIME SHOULD BE 2 HOURS OR LESS...SO A RED FLAG WARNING IS NOT
ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME FOR WEDNESDAY OR THURSDAY.

17

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     44  70  41  71  45 /   0   0   0   0  10
ANNISTON    42  71  39  71  42 /   0   0   0   0  10
BIRMINGHAM  43  70  41  71  44 /   0   0   0   0  10
TUSCALOOSA  44  73  41  72  44 /   0   0   0   0  10
CALERA      45  71  41  71  45 /   0   0   0   0  10
AUBURN      44  71  40  72  43 /   0   0   0   0  10
MONTGOMERY  48  73  44  72  46 /   0   0   0   0  10
TROY        47  73  42  73  45 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KBMX 211732
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1232 PM CDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 18Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT IS BEGINNING TO DESCEND INTO ALABAMA THIS
MORNING...BUT THE ONLY IMPACT WILL BE A BRIEF AMOUNT OF CLOUDS AND
ANOTHER SHOT OF DRY AIR. TEMPERATURES WILL BE MILD TODAY WITH HIGHS
IN THE 70S TO LOW 80S AND MUCH COOLER WEDNESDAY.  ESPECIALLY IN THE
NORTHERN HALF OF THE AREA...WHERE SOME SPOTS WILL STRUGGLE TO GET
OUT OF THE 60S WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. AGAIN THIS IS A DRY COLD
FRONT...SO PRECIPITATION IS NOT EXPECTED.

IN FACT PRECIPITATION IS NOT EXPECTED IN THE CURRENT SEVEN DAY
FORECAST AND ONLY BEGINS TO SHOW UP UNTIL MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. WE
WILL SEE ANOTHER SHORTWAVE SLIDE A COLD FRONT THROUGH ON FRIDAY
BEFORE THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS IN FOR THE REST OF THE WEEKEND
AND FIRST OF NEXT WEEK. OTHERWISE SEASONAL TEMPERATURES
EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND. WE MAY BEGIN TO SLIDE TO SLIGHTLY
ABOVE TEMPERATURES BY THE FIRST OF NEXT WEEK.

16


&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE FORECAST. WINDS WILL BE
LIGHT NORTH TO NORTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON...BECOMING CALM
TONIGHT...THEN LIGHT NORTHEAST AFTER SUNRISE WEDNESDAY.

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

17

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE DRY COLD FRONT TODAY...NO WEATHER CONCERNS
THROUGH THE PERIOD. WE WILL NEED TO MONITOR THE AMOUNT OF DRY AIR
IN PLACE TOMORROW. CURRENT FORECAST HIGHS AND DEWPOINTS ALLOW THE
RH VALES TO DROP INTO THE LOWER 30S THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON. A
FEW COUNTIES MAY BRIEFLY DROP INTO THE UPPER 20S...BUT THE AMOUNT
OF TIME SHOULD BE 2 HOURS OR LESS...SO A RED FLAG WARNING IS NOT
ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME FOR WEDNESDAY.

16

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     74  42  69  39  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    74  46  69  41  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  76  48  70  45  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  78  49  72  43  73 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      76  50  70  44  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      77  50  70  46  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  81  50  74  44  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        79  48  73  41  74 /   0   0   0   0   0


&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KBMX 211135
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
635 AM CDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 12Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT IS BEGINNING TO DESCEND INTO ALABAMA THIS
MORNING...BUT THE ONLY IMPACT WILL BE A BRIEF AMOUNT OF CLOUDS AND
ANOTHER SHOT OF DRY AIR. TEMPERATURES WILL BE MILD TODAY WITH HIGHS
IN THE 70S TO LOW 80S AND MUCH COOLER WEDNESDAY.  ESPECIALLY IN THE
NORTHERN HALF OF THE AREA...WHERE SOME SPOTS WILL STRUGGLE TO GET
OUT OF THE 60S WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. AGAIN THIS IS A DRY COLD
FRONT...SO PRECIPITATION IS NOT EXPECTED.

IN FACT PRECIPITATION IS NOT EXPECTED IN THE CURRENT SEVEN DAY
FORECAST AND ONLY BEGINS TO SHOW UP UNTIL MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. WE
WILL SEE ANOTHER SHORTWAVE SLIDE A COLD FRONT THROUGH ON FRIDAY
BEFORE THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS IN FOR THE REST OF THE WEEKEND
AND FIRST OF NEXT WEEK. OTHERWISE SEASONAL TEMPERATURES
EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND. WE MAY BEGIN TO SLIDE TO SLIGHTLY
ABOVE TEMPERATURES BY THE FIRST OF NEXT WEEK.

16

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF DISCUSSION.

PERSISTENT HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP PREVAILING CONDITIONS VFR THRU
THE PERIOD. WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE NORTH AROUND 5 KTS AS ANOTHER
DRY COLD FRONT...CURRENTLY NEAR CULLMAN...PUSHES SOUTH ACROSS THE
AREA.

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

19

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE DRY COLD FRONT TODAY...NO WEATHER CONCERNS
THROUGH THE PERIOD. WE WILL NEED TO MONITOR THE AMOUNT OF DRY AIR
IN PLACE TOMORROW. CURRENT FORECAST HIGHS AND DEWPOINTS ALLOW THE
RH VALES TO DROP INTO THE LOWER 30S THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON. A
FEW COUNTIES MAY BRIEFLY DROP INTO THE UPPER 20S...BUT THE AMOUNT
OF TIME SHOULD BE 2 HOURS OR LESS...SO A RED FLAG WARNING IS NOT
ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME FOR WEDNESDAY.

16

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     74  42  69  39  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    74  46  69  41  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  76  48  70  45  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  78  49  72  43  73 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      76  50  70  44  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      77  50  70  46  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  81  50  74  44  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        79  48  73  41  74 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KBMX 211135
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
635 AM CDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 12Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT IS BEGINNING TO DESCEND INTO ALABAMA THIS
MORNING...BUT THE ONLY IMPACT WILL BE A BRIEF AMOUNT OF CLOUDS AND
ANOTHER SHOT OF DRY AIR. TEMPERATURES WILL BE MILD TODAY WITH HIGHS
IN THE 70S TO LOW 80S AND MUCH COOLER WEDNESDAY.  ESPECIALLY IN THE
NORTHERN HALF OF THE AREA...WHERE SOME SPOTS WILL STRUGGLE TO GET
OUT OF THE 60S WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. AGAIN THIS IS A DRY COLD
FRONT...SO PRECIPITATION IS NOT EXPECTED.

IN FACT PRECIPITATION IS NOT EXPECTED IN THE CURRENT SEVEN DAY
FORECAST AND ONLY BEGINS TO SHOW UP UNTIL MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. WE
WILL SEE ANOTHER SHORTWAVE SLIDE A COLD FRONT THROUGH ON FRIDAY
BEFORE THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS IN FOR THE REST OF THE WEEKEND
AND FIRST OF NEXT WEEK. OTHERWISE SEASONAL TEMPERATURES
EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND. WE MAY BEGIN TO SLIDE TO SLIGHTLY
ABOVE TEMPERATURES BY THE FIRST OF NEXT WEEK.

16

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF DISCUSSION.

PERSISTENT HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP PREVAILING CONDITIONS VFR THRU
THE PERIOD. WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE NORTH AROUND 5 KTS AS ANOTHER
DRY COLD FRONT...CURRENTLY NEAR CULLMAN...PUSHES SOUTH ACROSS THE
AREA.

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

19

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE DRY COLD FRONT TODAY...NO WEATHER CONCERNS
THROUGH THE PERIOD. WE WILL NEED TO MONITOR THE AMOUNT OF DRY AIR
IN PLACE TOMORROW. CURRENT FORECAST HIGHS AND DEWPOINTS ALLOW THE
RH VALES TO DROP INTO THE LOWER 30S THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON. A
FEW COUNTIES MAY BRIEFLY DROP INTO THE UPPER 20S...BUT THE AMOUNT
OF TIME SHOULD BE 2 HOURS OR LESS...SO A RED FLAG WARNING IS NOT
ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME FOR WEDNESDAY.

16

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     74  42  69  39  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    74  46  69  41  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  76  48  70  45  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  78  49  72  43  73 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      76  50  70  44  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      77  50  70  46  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  81  50  74  44  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        79  48  73  41  74 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KBMX 211135
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
635 AM CDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 12Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT IS BEGINNING TO DESCEND INTO ALABAMA THIS
MORNING...BUT THE ONLY IMPACT WILL BE A BRIEF AMOUNT OF CLOUDS AND
ANOTHER SHOT OF DRY AIR. TEMPERATURES WILL BE MILD TODAY WITH HIGHS
IN THE 70S TO LOW 80S AND MUCH COOLER WEDNESDAY.  ESPECIALLY IN THE
NORTHERN HALF OF THE AREA...WHERE SOME SPOTS WILL STRUGGLE TO GET
OUT OF THE 60S WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. AGAIN THIS IS A DRY COLD
FRONT...SO PRECIPITATION IS NOT EXPECTED.

IN FACT PRECIPITATION IS NOT EXPECTED IN THE CURRENT SEVEN DAY
FORECAST AND ONLY BEGINS TO SHOW UP UNTIL MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. WE
WILL SEE ANOTHER SHORTWAVE SLIDE A COLD FRONT THROUGH ON FRIDAY
BEFORE THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS IN FOR THE REST OF THE WEEKEND
AND FIRST OF NEXT WEEK. OTHERWISE SEASONAL TEMPERATURES
EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND. WE MAY BEGIN TO SLIDE TO SLIGHTLY
ABOVE TEMPERATURES BY THE FIRST OF NEXT WEEK.

16

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF DISCUSSION.

PERSISTENT HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP PREVAILING CONDITIONS VFR THRU
THE PERIOD. WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE NORTH AROUND 5 KTS AS ANOTHER
DRY COLD FRONT...CURRENTLY NEAR CULLMAN...PUSHES SOUTH ACROSS THE
AREA.

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

19

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE DRY COLD FRONT TODAY...NO WEATHER CONCERNS
THROUGH THE PERIOD. WE WILL NEED TO MONITOR THE AMOUNT OF DRY AIR
IN PLACE TOMORROW. CURRENT FORECAST HIGHS AND DEWPOINTS ALLOW THE
RH VALES TO DROP INTO THE LOWER 30S THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON. A
FEW COUNTIES MAY BRIEFLY DROP INTO THE UPPER 20S...BUT THE AMOUNT
OF TIME SHOULD BE 2 HOURS OR LESS...SO A RED FLAG WARNING IS NOT
ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME FOR WEDNESDAY.

16

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     74  42  69  39  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    74  46  69  41  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  76  48  70  45  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  78  49  72  43  73 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      76  50  70  44  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      77  50  70  46  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  81  50  74  44  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        79  48  73  41  74 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KBMX 211135
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
635 AM CDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 12Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT IS BEGINNING TO DESCEND INTO ALABAMA THIS
MORNING...BUT THE ONLY IMPACT WILL BE A BRIEF AMOUNT OF CLOUDS AND
ANOTHER SHOT OF DRY AIR. TEMPERATURES WILL BE MILD TODAY WITH HIGHS
IN THE 70S TO LOW 80S AND MUCH COOLER WEDNESDAY.  ESPECIALLY IN THE
NORTHERN HALF OF THE AREA...WHERE SOME SPOTS WILL STRUGGLE TO GET
OUT OF THE 60S WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. AGAIN THIS IS A DRY COLD
FRONT...SO PRECIPITATION IS NOT EXPECTED.

IN FACT PRECIPITATION IS NOT EXPECTED IN THE CURRENT SEVEN DAY
FORECAST AND ONLY BEGINS TO SHOW UP UNTIL MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. WE
WILL SEE ANOTHER SHORTWAVE SLIDE A COLD FRONT THROUGH ON FRIDAY
BEFORE THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS IN FOR THE REST OF THE WEEKEND
AND FIRST OF NEXT WEEK. OTHERWISE SEASONAL TEMPERATURES
EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND. WE MAY BEGIN TO SLIDE TO SLIGHTLY
ABOVE TEMPERATURES BY THE FIRST OF NEXT WEEK.

16

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF DISCUSSION.

PERSISTENT HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP PREVAILING CONDITIONS VFR THRU
THE PERIOD. WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE NORTH AROUND 5 KTS AS ANOTHER
DRY COLD FRONT...CURRENTLY NEAR CULLMAN...PUSHES SOUTH ACROSS THE
AREA.

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

19

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE DRY COLD FRONT TODAY...NO WEATHER CONCERNS
THROUGH THE PERIOD. WE WILL NEED TO MONITOR THE AMOUNT OF DRY AIR
IN PLACE TOMORROW. CURRENT FORECAST HIGHS AND DEWPOINTS ALLOW THE
RH VALES TO DROP INTO THE LOWER 30S THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON. A
FEW COUNTIES MAY BRIEFLY DROP INTO THE UPPER 20S...BUT THE AMOUNT
OF TIME SHOULD BE 2 HOURS OR LESS...SO A RED FLAG WARNING IS NOT
ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME FOR WEDNESDAY.

16

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     74  42  69  39  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    74  46  69  41  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  76  48  70  45  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  78  49  72  43  73 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      76  50  70  44  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      77  50  70  46  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  81  50  74  44  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        79  48  73  41  74 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KBMX 210950 CCA
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
450 AM CDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT IS BEGINNING TO DESCEND INTO ALABAMA THIS
MORNING...BUT THE ONLY IMPACT WILL BE A BRIEF AMOUNT OF CLOUDS AND
ANOTHER SHOT OF DRY AIR. TEMPERATURES WILL BE MILD TODAY WITH HIGHS
IN THE 70S TO LOW 80S AND MUCH COOLER WEDNESDAY.  ESPECIALLY IN THE
NORTHERN HALF OF THE AREA...WHERE SOME SPOTS WILL STRUGGLE TO GET
OUT OF THE 60S WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. AGAIN THIS IS A DRY COLD
FRONT...SO PRECIPITATION IS NOT EXPECTED.

IN FACT PRECIPITATION IS NOT EXPECTED IN THE CURRENT SEVEN DAY
FORECAST AND ONLY BEGINS TO SHOW UP UNTIL MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. WE
WILL SEE ANOTHER SHORTWAVE SLIDE A COLD FRONT THROUGH ON FRIDAY
BEFORE THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS IN FOR THE REST OF THE WEEKEND
AND FIRST OF NEXT WEEK. OTHERWISE SEASONAL TEMPERATURES
EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND. WE MAY BEGIN TO SLIDE TO SLIGHTLY
ABOVE TEMPERATURES BY THE FIRST OF NEXT WEEK.

16

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

NO AVIATION CONCERNS IN CENTRAL ALABAMA OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
WINDS IN THE TAFS WILL INDICATE PREDOMINANT CONDITIONS DURING THE
AFTERNOON ON TUESDAY.

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING
SEASONAL TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT
(KASN) IN TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

/61/

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE DRY COLD FRONT TODAY...NO WEATHER CONCERNS
THROUGH THE PERIOD. WE WILL NEED TO MONITOR THE AMOUNT OF DRY AIR
IN PLACE TOMORROW. CURRENT FORECAST HIGHS AND DEWPOINTS ALLOW THE
RH VALES TO DROP INTO THE LOWER 30S THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON. A
FEW COUNTIES MAY BRIEFLY DROP INTO THE UPPER 20S...BUT THE AMOUNT
OF TIME SHOULD BE 2 HOURS OR LESS...SO A RED FLAG WARNING IS NOT
ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME FOR WEDNESDAY.

16

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     74  42  69  39  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    74  46  69  41  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  76  48  70  45  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  78  49  72  43  73 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      76  50  70  44  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      77  50  70  46  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  81  50  74  44  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        79  48  73  41  74 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$














000
FXUS64 KBMX 210950 CCA
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
450 AM CDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT IS BEGINNING TO DESCEND INTO ALABAMA THIS
MORNING...BUT THE ONLY IMPACT WILL BE A BRIEF AMOUNT OF CLOUDS AND
ANOTHER SHOT OF DRY AIR. TEMPERATURES WILL BE MILD TODAY WITH HIGHS
IN THE 70S TO LOW 80S AND MUCH COOLER WEDNESDAY.  ESPECIALLY IN THE
NORTHERN HALF OF THE AREA...WHERE SOME SPOTS WILL STRUGGLE TO GET
OUT OF THE 60S WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. AGAIN THIS IS A DRY COLD
FRONT...SO PRECIPITATION IS NOT EXPECTED.

IN FACT PRECIPITATION IS NOT EXPECTED IN THE CURRENT SEVEN DAY
FORECAST AND ONLY BEGINS TO SHOW UP UNTIL MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. WE
WILL SEE ANOTHER SHORTWAVE SLIDE A COLD FRONT THROUGH ON FRIDAY
BEFORE THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS IN FOR THE REST OF THE WEEKEND
AND FIRST OF NEXT WEEK. OTHERWISE SEASONAL TEMPERATURES
EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND. WE MAY BEGIN TO SLIDE TO SLIGHTLY
ABOVE TEMPERATURES BY THE FIRST OF NEXT WEEK.

16

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

NO AVIATION CONCERNS IN CENTRAL ALABAMA OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
WINDS IN THE TAFS WILL INDICATE PREDOMINANT CONDITIONS DURING THE
AFTERNOON ON TUESDAY.

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING
SEASONAL TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT
(KASN) IN TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

/61/

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE DRY COLD FRONT TODAY...NO WEATHER CONCERNS
THROUGH THE PERIOD. WE WILL NEED TO MONITOR THE AMOUNT OF DRY AIR
IN PLACE TOMORROW. CURRENT FORECAST HIGHS AND DEWPOINTS ALLOW THE
RH VALES TO DROP INTO THE LOWER 30S THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON. A
FEW COUNTIES MAY BRIEFLY DROP INTO THE UPPER 20S...BUT THE AMOUNT
OF TIME SHOULD BE 2 HOURS OR LESS...SO A RED FLAG WARNING IS NOT
ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME FOR WEDNESDAY.

16

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     74  42  69  39  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    74  46  69  41  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  76  48  70  45  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  78  49  72  43  73 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      76  50  70  44  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      77  50  70  46  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  81  50  74  44  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        79  48  73  41  74 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$













000
FXUS64 KBMX 210950 CCA
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
450 AM CDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT IS BEGINNING TO DESCEND INTO ALABAMA THIS
MORNING...BUT THE ONLY IMPACT WILL BE A BRIEF AMOUNT OF CLOUDS AND
ANOTHER SHOT OF DRY AIR. TEMPERATURES WILL BE MILD TODAY WITH HIGHS
IN THE 70S TO LOW 80S AND MUCH COOLER WEDNESDAY.  ESPECIALLY IN THE
NORTHERN HALF OF THE AREA...WHERE SOME SPOTS WILL STRUGGLE TO GET
OUT OF THE 60S WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. AGAIN THIS IS A DRY COLD
FRONT...SO PRECIPITATION IS NOT EXPECTED.

IN FACT PRECIPITATION IS NOT EXPECTED IN THE CURRENT SEVEN DAY
FORECAST AND ONLY BEGINS TO SHOW UP UNTIL MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. WE
WILL SEE ANOTHER SHORTWAVE SLIDE A COLD FRONT THROUGH ON FRIDAY
BEFORE THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS IN FOR THE REST OF THE WEEKEND
AND FIRST OF NEXT WEEK. OTHERWISE SEASONAL TEMPERATURES
EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND. WE MAY BEGIN TO SLIDE TO SLIGHTLY
ABOVE TEMPERATURES BY THE FIRST OF NEXT WEEK.

16

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

NO AVIATION CONCERNS IN CENTRAL ALABAMA OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
WINDS IN THE TAFS WILL INDICATE PREDOMINANT CONDITIONS DURING THE
AFTERNOON ON TUESDAY.

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING
SEASONAL TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT
(KASN) IN TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

/61/

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE DRY COLD FRONT TODAY...NO WEATHER CONCERNS
THROUGH THE PERIOD. WE WILL NEED TO MONITOR THE AMOUNT OF DRY AIR
IN PLACE TOMORROW. CURRENT FORECAST HIGHS AND DEWPOINTS ALLOW THE
RH VALES TO DROP INTO THE LOWER 30S THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON. A
FEW COUNTIES MAY BRIEFLY DROP INTO THE UPPER 20S...BUT THE AMOUNT
OF TIME SHOULD BE 2 HOURS OR LESS...SO A RED FLAG WARNING IS NOT
ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME FOR WEDNESDAY.

16

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     74  42  69  39  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    74  46  69  41  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  76  48  70  45  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  78  49  72  43  73 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      76  50  70  44  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      77  50  70  46  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  81  50  74  44  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        79  48  73  41  74 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$













000
FXUS64 KBMX 210950 CCA
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
450 AM CDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT IS BEGINNING TO DESCEND INTO ALABAMA THIS
MORNING...BUT THE ONLY IMPACT WILL BE A BRIEF AMOUNT OF CLOUDS AND
ANOTHER SHOT OF DRY AIR. TEMPERATURES WILL BE MILD TODAY WITH HIGHS
IN THE 70S TO LOW 80S AND MUCH COOLER WEDNESDAY.  ESPECIALLY IN THE
NORTHERN HALF OF THE AREA...WHERE SOME SPOTS WILL STRUGGLE TO GET
OUT OF THE 60S WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. AGAIN THIS IS A DRY COLD
FRONT...SO PRECIPITATION IS NOT EXPECTED.

IN FACT PRECIPITATION IS NOT EXPECTED IN THE CURRENT SEVEN DAY
FORECAST AND ONLY BEGINS TO SHOW UP UNTIL MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. WE
WILL SEE ANOTHER SHORTWAVE SLIDE A COLD FRONT THROUGH ON FRIDAY
BEFORE THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS IN FOR THE REST OF THE WEEKEND
AND FIRST OF NEXT WEEK. OTHERWISE SEASONAL TEMPERATURES
EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND. WE MAY BEGIN TO SLIDE TO SLIGHTLY
ABOVE TEMPERATURES BY THE FIRST OF NEXT WEEK.

16

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

NO AVIATION CONCERNS IN CENTRAL ALABAMA OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
WINDS IN THE TAFS WILL INDICATE PREDOMINANT CONDITIONS DURING THE
AFTERNOON ON TUESDAY.

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING
SEASONAL TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT
(KASN) IN TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

/61/

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE DRY COLD FRONT TODAY...NO WEATHER CONCERNS
THROUGH THE PERIOD. WE WILL NEED TO MONITOR THE AMOUNT OF DRY AIR
IN PLACE TOMORROW. CURRENT FORECAST HIGHS AND DEWPOINTS ALLOW THE
RH VALES TO DROP INTO THE LOWER 30S THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON. A
FEW COUNTIES MAY BRIEFLY DROP INTO THE UPPER 20S...BUT THE AMOUNT
OF TIME SHOULD BE 2 HOURS OR LESS...SO A RED FLAG WARNING IS NOT
ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME FOR WEDNESDAY.

16

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     74  42  69  39  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    74  46  69  41  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  76  48  70  45  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  78  49  72  43  73 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      76  50  70  44  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      77  50  70  46  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  81  50  74  44  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        79  48  73  41  74 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$














000
FXUS64 KBMX 210855
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
355 AM CDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT IS BEGINNING TO DESCEND INTO ALABAMA THIS
MORNING...BUT THE ONLY IMPACT WILL BE A BRIEF AMOUNT OF CLOUDS AND
AN ANOTHER SHOT OF DRY AIR. TEMPERATURES WILL BE MUCH COOLER
TODAY...ESPECIALLY IN THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE AREA...WHERE SOME
SPOTS WILL STRUGGLE TO GET OUT OF THE 60S THIS AFTERNOON. AGAIN
THIS IS A DRY COLD FRONT...SO PRECIPITATION IS NOT EXPECTED.

IN FACT PRECIPITATION IS NOT EXPECTED IN THE CURRENT SEVEN DAY
FORECAST AND ONLY BEGINS TO SHOW UP UNTIL MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. WE
WILL SEE ANOTHER SHORTWAVE SLIDE A COLD FRONT THROUGH ON FRIDAY
BEFORE THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS IN FOR THE REST OF THE WEEKEND
AND FIRST OF NEXT WEEK. OTHERWISE SEASONAL TEMPERATURES
EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND. WE MAY BEGIN TO SLIDE TO SLIGHTLY
ABOVE TEMPERATURES BY THE FIRST OF NEXT WEEK.

16

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

NO AVIATION CONCERNS IN CENTRAL ALABAMA OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
WINDS IN THE TAFS WILL INDICATE PREDOMINANT CONDITIONS DURING THE
AFTERNOON ON TUESDAY.

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING
SEASONAL TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT
(KASN) IN TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

/61/

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE DRY COLD FRONT TODAY...NO WEATHER CONCERNS
THROUGH THE PERIOD. WE WILL NEED TO MONITOR THE AMOUNT OF DRY AIR
IN PLACE TOMORROW. CURRENT FORECAST HIGHS AND DEWPOINTS ALLOW THE
RH VALES TO DROP INTO THE LOWER 30S THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON. A
FEW COUNTIES MAY BRIEFLY DROP INTO THE UPPER 20S...BUT THE AMOUNT
OF TIME SHOULD BE 2 HOURS OR LESS...SO A RED FLAG WARNING IS NOT
ANTICPATED AT THIS TIME FOR WEDNESDAY.

16

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     74  42  69  39  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    74  46  69  41  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  76  48  70  45  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  78  49  72  43  73 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      76  50  70  44  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      77  50  70  46  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  81  50  74  44  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        79  48  73  41  74 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$











000
FXUS64 KBMX 210855
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
355 AM CDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT IS BEGINNING TO DESCEND INTO ALABAMA THIS
MORNING...BUT THE ONLY IMPACT WILL BE A BRIEF AMOUNT OF CLOUDS AND
AN ANOTHER SHOT OF DRY AIR. TEMPERATURES WILL BE MUCH COOLER
TODAY...ESPECIALLY IN THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE AREA...WHERE SOME
SPOTS WILL STRUGGLE TO GET OUT OF THE 60S THIS AFTERNOON. AGAIN
THIS IS A DRY COLD FRONT...SO PRECIPITATION IS NOT EXPECTED.

IN FACT PRECIPITATION IS NOT EXPECTED IN THE CURRENT SEVEN DAY
FORECAST AND ONLY BEGINS TO SHOW UP UNTIL MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. WE
WILL SEE ANOTHER SHORTWAVE SLIDE A COLD FRONT THROUGH ON FRIDAY
BEFORE THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS IN FOR THE REST OF THE WEEKEND
AND FIRST OF NEXT WEEK. OTHERWISE SEASONAL TEMPERATURES
EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND. WE MAY BEGIN TO SLIDE TO SLIGHTLY
ABOVE TEMPERATURES BY THE FIRST OF NEXT WEEK.

16

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

NO AVIATION CONCERNS IN CENTRAL ALABAMA OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
WINDS IN THE TAFS WILL INDICATE PREDOMINANT CONDITIONS DURING THE
AFTERNOON ON TUESDAY.

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING
SEASONAL TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT
(KASN) IN TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

/61/

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE DRY COLD FRONT TODAY...NO WEATHER CONCERNS
THROUGH THE PERIOD. WE WILL NEED TO MONITOR THE AMOUNT OF DRY AIR
IN PLACE TOMORROW. CURRENT FORECAST HIGHS AND DEWPOINTS ALLOW THE
RH VALES TO DROP INTO THE LOWER 30S THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON. A
FEW COUNTIES MAY BRIEFLY DROP INTO THE UPPER 20S...BUT THE AMOUNT
OF TIME SHOULD BE 2 HOURS OR LESS...SO A RED FLAG WARNING IS NOT
ANTICPATED AT THIS TIME FOR WEDNESDAY.

16

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     74  42  69  39  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    74  46  69  41  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  76  48  70  45  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  78  49  72  43  73 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      76  50  70  44  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      77  50  70  46  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  81  50  74  44  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        79  48  73  41  74 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$










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