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000
FXUS65 KBOI 050346
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
846 PM MST WED MAR 4 2015

.DISCUSSION...CLEAR SKIES...LIGHT WINDS AND A DRY AIR MASS WILL
ALLOW FOR GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL
RECOVER QUICKLY ON THURSDAY AS WARMING ALOFT...AS SEEN ON THE 00Z
KBOI BALLOON...TRANSLATES TO THE SURFACE. FORECAST FOR TONIGHT IS
ON TRACK SO NO UPDATES AT THIS TIME.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. SURFACE WINDS 10 KNOTS
OR LESS. WINDS ALOFT NORTHWEST TO NORTH AROUND 15 KNOTS UP THROUGH
10K FEET MSL.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...UPPER RIDGE WILL DOMINATE
AS THE RIDGE OFF THE WEST COAST BUILDS INTO THE REGION. A WARMING
TREND WILL COMMENCE...WITH HIGHS NEAR 60F IN A FEW LOWER VALLEY
LOCATIONS ON FRIDAY. SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY CLEAR THROUGH
THURSDAY. NORTHWEST FLOW WILL BRING SOME HIGH CLOUDS INTO THE AREA
MAINLY THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY...OTHERWISE EXPECT
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE.

LONG TERM...FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. LITTLE CHANGE IN THE
WEATHER PATTERN AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE REMAIN OVER THE REGION
WITH THE AXIS OF THE RIDGE JUST OFF THE WEST COAST. TEMPERATURES
WILL SLOWLY WARM THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH TEMPERATURES WARMING TO
10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.

MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...A GRADUAL BREAKDOWN IN THE RIDGE
SHOULD BEGIN ON TUESDAY WITH AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVING INLAND
OFF THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC. THERE IS A CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
THROUGHOUT MOST OF THE REGION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS THROUGH. EXPECT
PRECIPITATION IN THE FORM OF RAIN...EXCEPT IN THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS ABOVE 6000 FT. THERE ARE SOME DISCREPANCIES BETWEEN THE
MODELS IN TIMING AND THE SOUTHWARD EXTENT OF THE UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH...HAVE CHOSEN TO GO WITH THE ECMWF DUE TO ITS CONSISTENCY.
MAX TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOUT 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL AND DROP A
FEW DEGREES WITH THE PASSING OF THE TROUGH.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...NONE.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

DISCUSSION...DG
AVIATION.....JT
PREV SHORT TERM...BW
PREV LONG TERM....JA/AB




000
FXUS65 KBOI 050346
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
846 PM MST WED MAR 4 2015

.DISCUSSION...CLEAR SKIES...LIGHT WINDS AND A DRY AIR MASS WILL
ALLOW FOR GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL
RECOVER QUICKLY ON THURSDAY AS WARMING ALOFT...AS SEEN ON THE 00Z
KBOI BALLOON...TRANSLATES TO THE SURFACE. FORECAST FOR TONIGHT IS
ON TRACK SO NO UPDATES AT THIS TIME.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. SURFACE WINDS 10 KNOTS
OR LESS. WINDS ALOFT NORTHWEST TO NORTH AROUND 15 KNOTS UP THROUGH
10K FEET MSL.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...UPPER RIDGE WILL DOMINATE
AS THE RIDGE OFF THE WEST COAST BUILDS INTO THE REGION. A WARMING
TREND WILL COMMENCE...WITH HIGHS NEAR 60F IN A FEW LOWER VALLEY
LOCATIONS ON FRIDAY. SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY CLEAR THROUGH
THURSDAY. NORTHWEST FLOW WILL BRING SOME HIGH CLOUDS INTO THE AREA
MAINLY THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY...OTHERWISE EXPECT
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE.

LONG TERM...FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. LITTLE CHANGE IN THE
WEATHER PATTERN AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE REMAIN OVER THE REGION
WITH THE AXIS OF THE RIDGE JUST OFF THE WEST COAST. TEMPERATURES
WILL SLOWLY WARM THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH TEMPERATURES WARMING TO
10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.

MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...A GRADUAL BREAKDOWN IN THE RIDGE
SHOULD BEGIN ON TUESDAY WITH AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVING INLAND
OFF THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC. THERE IS A CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
THROUGHOUT MOST OF THE REGION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS THROUGH. EXPECT
PRECIPITATION IN THE FORM OF RAIN...EXCEPT IN THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS ABOVE 6000 FT. THERE ARE SOME DISCREPANCIES BETWEEN THE
MODELS IN TIMING AND THE SOUTHWARD EXTENT OF THE UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH...HAVE CHOSEN TO GO WITH THE ECMWF DUE TO ITS CONSISTENCY.
MAX TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOUT 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL AND DROP A
FEW DEGREES WITH THE PASSING OF THE TROUGH.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...NONE.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

DISCUSSION...DG
AVIATION.....JT
PREV SHORT TERM...BW
PREV LONG TERM....JA/AB





000
FXUS65 KBOI 042118
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
218 PM MST WED MAR 4 2015

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...UPPER RIDGE WILL DOMINATE
AS THE RIDGE OFF THE WEST COAST BUILDS INTO THE REGION. A WARMING
TREND WILL COMMENCE...WITH HIGHS NEAR 60F IN A FEW LOWER VALLEY
LOCATIONS ON FRIDAY. SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY CLEAR THROUGH
THURSDAY. NORTHWEST FLOW WILL BRING SOME HIGH CLOUDS INTO THE AREA
MAINLY THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY...OTHERWISE EXPECT
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE.

.LONG TERM...FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. LITTLE CHANGE IN THE
WEATHER PATTERN AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE REMAIN OVER THE REGION
WITH THE AXIS OF THE RIDGE JUST OFF THE WEST COAST. TEMPERATURES
WILL SLOWLY WARM THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH TEMPERATURES WARMING TO
10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.

MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...A GRADUAL BREAKDOWN IN THE RIDGE
SHOULD BEGIN ON TUESDAY WITH AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVING INLAND
OFF THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC. THERE IS A CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
THROUGHOUT MOST OF THE REGION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS THROUGH. EXPECT
PRECIPITATION IN THE FORM OF RAIN...EXCEPT IN THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS ABOVE 6000 FT. THERE ARE SOME DISCREPANCIES BETWEEN THE
MODELS IN TIMING AND THE SOUTHWARD EXTENT OF THE UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH...HAVE CHOSEN TO GO WITH THE ECMWF DUE TO ITS CONSISTENCY.
MAX TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOUT 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL AND DROP A
FEW DEGREES WITH THE PASSING OF THE TROUGH.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. SURFACE WINDS 10 KNOTS
OR LESS. WINDS ALOFT NORTHWEST TO NORTH AROUND 15 KNOTS UP THROUGH
10K FEET MSL.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...NONE.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

SHORT TERM...BW
LONG TERM....JA/AB
AVIATION.....JA




000
FXUS65 KBOI 042118
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
218 PM MST WED MAR 4 2015

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...UPPER RIDGE WILL DOMINATE
AS THE RIDGE OFF THE WEST COAST BUILDS INTO THE REGION. A WARMING
TREND WILL COMMENCE...WITH HIGHS NEAR 60F IN A FEW LOWER VALLEY
LOCATIONS ON FRIDAY. SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY CLEAR THROUGH
THURSDAY. NORTHWEST FLOW WILL BRING SOME HIGH CLOUDS INTO THE AREA
MAINLY THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY...OTHERWISE EXPECT
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE.

.LONG TERM...FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. LITTLE CHANGE IN THE
WEATHER PATTERN AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE REMAIN OVER THE REGION
WITH THE AXIS OF THE RIDGE JUST OFF THE WEST COAST. TEMPERATURES
WILL SLOWLY WARM THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH TEMPERATURES WARMING TO
10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.

MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...A GRADUAL BREAKDOWN IN THE RIDGE
SHOULD BEGIN ON TUESDAY WITH AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVING INLAND
OFF THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC. THERE IS A CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
THROUGHOUT MOST OF THE REGION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS THROUGH. EXPECT
PRECIPITATION IN THE FORM OF RAIN...EXCEPT IN THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS ABOVE 6000 FT. THERE ARE SOME DISCREPANCIES BETWEEN THE
MODELS IN TIMING AND THE SOUTHWARD EXTENT OF THE UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH...HAVE CHOSEN TO GO WITH THE ECMWF DUE TO ITS CONSISTENCY.
MAX TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOUT 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL AND DROP A
FEW DEGREES WITH THE PASSING OF THE TROUGH.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. SURFACE WINDS 10 KNOTS
OR LESS. WINDS ALOFT NORTHWEST TO NORTH AROUND 15 KNOTS UP THROUGH
10K FEET MSL.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...NONE.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

SHORT TERM...BW
LONG TERM....JA/AB
AVIATION.....JA





000
FXUS65 KBOI 041637
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
937 AM MST WED MAR 4 2015

.DISCUSSION...CLEAR AND COLD THIS MORNING AS NORTHERLY FLOW ALOFT
RESIDES OVER SOUTHEAST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST IDAHO. TEMPERATURES
WILL CLIMB INTO THE 40S VALLEYS/30S MOUNTAINS THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH HIGHS NEAR NORMAL IN SOUTHEAST OREGON AND AROUND
5 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL IN SOUTHWEST IDAHO. WINDS WILL REMAIN
LIGHT AND SKIES MOSTLY CLEAR THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. FORECAST IS
ON TRACK...NO UPDATES.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES.  SURFACE WINDS 10 KNOTS
OR LESS.  WINDS ALOFT NORTHWEST TO NORTH AROUND 15 KNOTS UP
THROUGH 10K FEET MSL.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM...LONG WAVE RIDGE HAS RE-DEVELOPED OFF THE WEST COAST
AND WILL REMAIN THERE THE REST OF THE WEEK.  CLEAR COLD AND DRY WX
THIS MORNING WILL BECOME SUNNY WITH HIGH TEMPS MUCH LIKE THOSE ON
TUESDAY BUT WITH MUCH LESS WIND.  A FEW CLOUDS THIS AFTERNOON IN
NRN-MOST ZONES AS A WEAK WAVE PASSES THROUGH.  COLD AGAIN TONIGHT
BUT 7F TO 10F WARMER HIGHS THURSDAY THAN TODAY AS NLY FLOW ALOFT
DECREASES AND BECOMES WNWLY.  ANOTHER WEAK SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL
BRING SOME CLOUDS TO NRN-MOST ZONES AGAIN BUT SKIES WILL BE SUNNY
ELSEWHERE.  CONTINUED DRY.  NO MORNING FOG EXPECTED TODAY OR
THURSDAY.

LONG TERM...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
WITH ITS AXIS REMAINING ROUGHLY OVER CALIFORNIA WILL DOMINATE THE
MID-LONG TERM. TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY WARM TO NEAR 10 DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE WEEKEND AND BEYOND. BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE
SHOWING A BREAKDOWN OF THE RIDGE AND AN UPPER LOW MOVING IN FROM THE
PACNW NEXT WEEK. AT THIS POINT...CONFIDENCE IS LOW IN A CHANGE IN
PATTERN SO HAVE LEFT THE FORECAST DRY FOR NOW.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...NONE.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

DISCUSSION...BW
AVIATION.....JA
PREV SHORT TERM...LC
PREV LONG TERM....EP




000
FXUS65 KBOI 041637
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
937 AM MST WED MAR 4 2015

.DISCUSSION...CLEAR AND COLD THIS MORNING AS NORTHERLY FLOW ALOFT
RESIDES OVER SOUTHEAST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST IDAHO. TEMPERATURES
WILL CLIMB INTO THE 40S VALLEYS/30S MOUNTAINS THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH HIGHS NEAR NORMAL IN SOUTHEAST OREGON AND AROUND
5 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL IN SOUTHWEST IDAHO. WINDS WILL REMAIN
LIGHT AND SKIES MOSTLY CLEAR THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. FORECAST IS
ON TRACK...NO UPDATES.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES.  SURFACE WINDS 10 KNOTS
OR LESS.  WINDS ALOFT NORTHWEST TO NORTH AROUND 15 KNOTS UP
THROUGH 10K FEET MSL.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM...LONG WAVE RIDGE HAS RE-DEVELOPED OFF THE WEST COAST
AND WILL REMAIN THERE THE REST OF THE WEEK.  CLEAR COLD AND DRY WX
THIS MORNING WILL BECOME SUNNY WITH HIGH TEMPS MUCH LIKE THOSE ON
TUESDAY BUT WITH MUCH LESS WIND.  A FEW CLOUDS THIS AFTERNOON IN
NRN-MOST ZONES AS A WEAK WAVE PASSES THROUGH.  COLD AGAIN TONIGHT
BUT 7F TO 10F WARMER HIGHS THURSDAY THAN TODAY AS NLY FLOW ALOFT
DECREASES AND BECOMES WNWLY.  ANOTHER WEAK SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL
BRING SOME CLOUDS TO NRN-MOST ZONES AGAIN BUT SKIES WILL BE SUNNY
ELSEWHERE.  CONTINUED DRY.  NO MORNING FOG EXPECTED TODAY OR
THURSDAY.

LONG TERM...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
WITH ITS AXIS REMAINING ROUGHLY OVER CALIFORNIA WILL DOMINATE THE
MID-LONG TERM. TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY WARM TO NEAR 10 DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE WEEKEND AND BEYOND. BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE
SHOWING A BREAKDOWN OF THE RIDGE AND AN UPPER LOW MOVING IN FROM THE
PACNW NEXT WEEK. AT THIS POINT...CONFIDENCE IS LOW IN A CHANGE IN
PATTERN SO HAVE LEFT THE FORECAST DRY FOR NOW.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...NONE.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

DISCUSSION...BW
AVIATION.....JA
PREV SHORT TERM...LC
PREV LONG TERM....EP





000
FXUS65 KBOI 040932
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
232 AM MST WED MAR 4 2015

.SHORT TERM...LONG WAVE RIDGE HAS RE-DEVELOPED OFF THE WEST COAST
AND WILL REMAIN THERE THE REST OF THE WEEK.  CLEAR COLD AND DRY WX
THIS MORNING WILL BECOME SUNNY WITH HIGH TEMPS MUCH LIKE THOSE ON
TUESDAY BUT WITH MUCH LESS WIND.  A FEW CLOUDS THIS AFTERNOON IN
NRN-MOST ZONES AS A WEAK WAVE PASSES THROUGH.  COLD AGAIN TONIGHT
BUT 7F TO 10F WARMER HIGHS THURSDAY THAN TODAY AS NLY FLOW ALOFT
DECREASES AND BECOMES WNWLY.  ANOTHER WEAK SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL
BRING SOME CLOUDS TO NRN-MOST ZONES AGAIN BUT SKIES WILL BE SUNNY
ELSEWHERE.  CONTINUED DRY.  NO MORNING FOG EXPECTED TODAY OR
THURSDAY.

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
WITH ITS AXIS REMAINING ROUGHLY OVER CALIFORNIA WILL DOMINATE THE
MID-LONG TERM. TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY WARM TO NEAR 10 DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE WEEKEND AND BEYOND. BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE
SHOWING A BREAKDOWN OF THE RIDGE AND AN UPPER LOW MOVING IN FROM THE
PACNW NEXT WEEK. AT THIS POINT...CONFIDENCE IS LOW IN A CHANGE IN
PATTERN SO HAVE LEFT THE FORECAST DRY FOR NOW.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR. SURFACE WINDS GENERALLY 12 KTS OR LESS. WINDS ALOFT
NEAR 10K FT MSL. WINDS ALOFT NEAR 10K FT MSL...NNW 10-20 KTS.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...NONE.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

SHORT TERM...LC
LONG TERM....EP
AVIATION.....EP




000
FXUS65 KBOI 040932
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
232 AM MST WED MAR 4 2015

.SHORT TERM...LONG WAVE RIDGE HAS RE-DEVELOPED OFF THE WEST COAST
AND WILL REMAIN THERE THE REST OF THE WEEK.  CLEAR COLD AND DRY WX
THIS MORNING WILL BECOME SUNNY WITH HIGH TEMPS MUCH LIKE THOSE ON
TUESDAY BUT WITH MUCH LESS WIND.  A FEW CLOUDS THIS AFTERNOON IN
NRN-MOST ZONES AS A WEAK WAVE PASSES THROUGH.  COLD AGAIN TONIGHT
BUT 7F TO 10F WARMER HIGHS THURSDAY THAN TODAY AS NLY FLOW ALOFT
DECREASES AND BECOMES WNWLY.  ANOTHER WEAK SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL
BRING SOME CLOUDS TO NRN-MOST ZONES AGAIN BUT SKIES WILL BE SUNNY
ELSEWHERE.  CONTINUED DRY.  NO MORNING FOG EXPECTED TODAY OR
THURSDAY.

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
WITH ITS AXIS REMAINING ROUGHLY OVER CALIFORNIA WILL DOMINATE THE
MID-LONG TERM. TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY WARM TO NEAR 10 DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE WEEKEND AND BEYOND. BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE
SHOWING A BREAKDOWN OF THE RIDGE AND AN UPPER LOW MOVING IN FROM THE
PACNW NEXT WEEK. AT THIS POINT...CONFIDENCE IS LOW IN A CHANGE IN
PATTERN SO HAVE LEFT THE FORECAST DRY FOR NOW.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR. SURFACE WINDS GENERALLY 12 KTS OR LESS. WINDS ALOFT
NEAR 10K FT MSL. WINDS ALOFT NEAR 10K FT MSL...NNW 10-20 KTS.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...NONE.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

SHORT TERM...LC
LONG TERM....EP
AVIATION.....EP





000
FXUS65 KBOI 040339
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
839 PM MST TUE MAR 3 2015

.DISCUSSION...WINDS HAVE DROPPED OFF WITH SUNSET AND WILL REMAIN
LIGHT THE REST TONIGHT FOR MOST PLACES...THE EXCEPTION BEING THE
WESTERN MAGIC VALLEY. HERE...DRAINAGE WINDS WILL KEEP BREEZY
CONDITIONS INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH WIND CHILLS IN THE TEENS.
FORECAST IS ON TRACK FOR TONIGHT SO NO UPDATES PLANNED.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. SURFACE WINDS...WEST TO
NORTHWEST 5-15 KTS BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KTS AFTER 06Z.
WINDS ALOFT...NORTHWEST 15-25 KTS UP THROUGH 10K FT MSL.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...COOL AND DRY NORTHERLY
FLOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. LINGERING CONVERGENCE WILL
PRODUCE CLOUDINESS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE MAGIC VALLEY
MAINLY SOUTHEAST OF TWIN FALLS THROUGH THIS EVENING. PRESSURE
GRADIENTS WILL SLACKEN AFTER SUNSET TONIGHT AND WINDS WILL
SUBSIDE. TONIGHT WILL BE THE COLDEST NIGHT OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD
WITH DRY AIR IN PLACE AND CURRENT SURFACE DEWPOINTS 5-15F. WARMER
TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION AS A RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE OFF THE WEST COAST BEGINS TO MOVE INLAND STARTING
WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES EACH DAY WILL WARM AS THE UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE MOVES INLAND OVER THE REGION WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES.

LONG TERM...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
WILL SIT FIXED OVER CALIFORNIA THOUGH THE MID-LONG TERM BRINGING DRY
AIR AND INCREASINGLY WARM TEMPERATURES...WILL SEE TEMPERATURES ABOUT
10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL BY THE END OF THE WEEKEND.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...NONE.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

DISCUSSION...DG
AVIATION.....JT
PREV SHORT TERM...KA
PREV LONG TERM....AB/BW/DD




000
FXUS65 KBOI 040339
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
839 PM MST TUE MAR 3 2015

.DISCUSSION...WINDS HAVE DROPPED OFF WITH SUNSET AND WILL REMAIN
LIGHT THE REST TONIGHT FOR MOST PLACES...THE EXCEPTION BEING THE
WESTERN MAGIC VALLEY. HERE...DRAINAGE WINDS WILL KEEP BREEZY
CONDITIONS INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH WIND CHILLS IN THE TEENS.
FORECAST IS ON TRACK FOR TONIGHT SO NO UPDATES PLANNED.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. SURFACE WINDS...WEST TO
NORTHWEST 5-15 KTS BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KTS AFTER 06Z.
WINDS ALOFT...NORTHWEST 15-25 KTS UP THROUGH 10K FT MSL.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...COOL AND DRY NORTHERLY
FLOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. LINGERING CONVERGENCE WILL
PRODUCE CLOUDINESS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE MAGIC VALLEY
MAINLY SOUTHEAST OF TWIN FALLS THROUGH THIS EVENING. PRESSURE
GRADIENTS WILL SLACKEN AFTER SUNSET TONIGHT AND WINDS WILL
SUBSIDE. TONIGHT WILL BE THE COLDEST NIGHT OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD
WITH DRY AIR IN PLACE AND CURRENT SURFACE DEWPOINTS 5-15F. WARMER
TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION AS A RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE OFF THE WEST COAST BEGINS TO MOVE INLAND STARTING
WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES EACH DAY WILL WARM AS THE UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE MOVES INLAND OVER THE REGION WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES.

LONG TERM...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
WILL SIT FIXED OVER CALIFORNIA THOUGH THE MID-LONG TERM BRINGING DRY
AIR AND INCREASINGLY WARM TEMPERATURES...WILL SEE TEMPERATURES ABOUT
10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL BY THE END OF THE WEEKEND.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...NONE.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

DISCUSSION...DG
AVIATION.....JT
PREV SHORT TERM...KA
PREV LONG TERM....AB/BW/DD





000
FXUS65 KBOI 032144
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
244 PM MST TUE MAR 3 2015

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...COOL AND DRY NORTHERLY
FLOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. LINGERING CONVERGENCE WILL
PRODUCE CLOUDINESS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE MAGIC VALLEY
MAINLY SOUTHEAST OF TWIN FALLS THROUGH THIS EVENING. PRESSURE
GRADIENTS WILL SLACKEN AFTER SUNSET TONIGHT AND WINDS WILL
SUBSIDE. TONIGHT WILL BE THE COLDEST NIGHT OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD
WITH DRY AIR IN PLACE AND CURRENT SURFACE DEWPOINTS 5-15F. WARMER
TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION AS A RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE OFF THE WEST COAST BEGINS TO MOVE INLAND STARTING
WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES EACH DAY WILL WARM AS THE UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE MOVES INLAND OVER THE REGION WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES.

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
WILL SIT FIXED OVER CALIFORNIA THOUGH THE MID-LONG TERM BRINGING DRY
AIR AND INCREASINGLY WARM TEMPERATURES...WILL SEE TEMPERATURES ABOUT
10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL BY THE END OF THE WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR WITH SCT/BKN HIGH CLOUDS. SURFACE WINDS 10-15KT WITH
GUSTS UP TO 30KT IN THE SNAKE RIVER AND BAKER VALLEYS...SURFACE
WINDS WILL CALM IN THE LATE EVENING TO 5-10KT. WINDS ALOFT NEAR 10K
FT MSL...NNW 20-30KT...DROPPING OFF TO NNW 10-15KT BY 04/12Z.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...NONE.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

SHORT TERM...KA
LONG TERM....AB/BW/DD
AVIATION.....AB/BW





000
FXUS65 KBOI 032144
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
244 PM MST TUE MAR 3 2015

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...COOL AND DRY NORTHERLY
FLOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. LINGERING CONVERGENCE WILL
PRODUCE CLOUDINESS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE MAGIC VALLEY
MAINLY SOUTHEAST OF TWIN FALLS THROUGH THIS EVENING. PRESSURE
GRADIENTS WILL SLACKEN AFTER SUNSET TONIGHT AND WINDS WILL
SUBSIDE. TONIGHT WILL BE THE COLDEST NIGHT OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD
WITH DRY AIR IN PLACE AND CURRENT SURFACE DEWPOINTS 5-15F. WARMER
TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION AS A RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE OFF THE WEST COAST BEGINS TO MOVE INLAND STARTING
WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES EACH DAY WILL WARM AS THE UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE MOVES INLAND OVER THE REGION WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES.

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
WILL SIT FIXED OVER CALIFORNIA THOUGH THE MID-LONG TERM BRINGING DRY
AIR AND INCREASINGLY WARM TEMPERATURES...WILL SEE TEMPERATURES ABOUT
10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL BY THE END OF THE WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR WITH SCT/BKN HIGH CLOUDS. SURFACE WINDS 10-15KT WITH
GUSTS UP TO 30KT IN THE SNAKE RIVER AND BAKER VALLEYS...SURFACE
WINDS WILL CALM IN THE LATE EVENING TO 5-10KT. WINDS ALOFT NEAR 10K
FT MSL...NNW 20-30KT...DROPPING OFF TO NNW 10-15KT BY 04/12Z.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...NONE.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

SHORT TERM...KA
LONG TERM....AB/BW/DD
AVIATION.....AB/BW





000
FXUS65 KBOI 032144
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
244 PM MST TUE MAR 3 2015

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...COOL AND DRY NORTHERLY
FLOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. LINGERING CONVERGENCE WILL
PRODUCE CLOUDINESS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE MAGIC VALLEY
MAINLY SOUTHEAST OF TWIN FALLS THROUGH THIS EVENING. PRESSURE
GRADIENTS WILL SLACKEN AFTER SUNSET TONIGHT AND WINDS WILL
SUBSIDE. TONIGHT WILL BE THE COLDEST NIGHT OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD
WITH DRY AIR IN PLACE AND CURRENT SURFACE DEWPOINTS 5-15F. WARMER
TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION AS A RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE OFF THE WEST COAST BEGINS TO MOVE INLAND STARTING
WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES EACH DAY WILL WARM AS THE UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE MOVES INLAND OVER THE REGION WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES.

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
WILL SIT FIXED OVER CALIFORNIA THOUGH THE MID-LONG TERM BRINGING DRY
AIR AND INCREASINGLY WARM TEMPERATURES...WILL SEE TEMPERATURES ABOUT
10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL BY THE END OF THE WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR WITH SCT/BKN HIGH CLOUDS. SURFACE WINDS 10-15KT WITH
GUSTS UP TO 30KT IN THE SNAKE RIVER AND BAKER VALLEYS...SURFACE
WINDS WILL CALM IN THE LATE EVENING TO 5-10KT. WINDS ALOFT NEAR 10K
FT MSL...NNW 20-30KT...DROPPING OFF TO NNW 10-15KT BY 04/12Z.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...NONE.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

SHORT TERM...KA
LONG TERM....AB/BW/DD
AVIATION.....AB/BW




000
FXUS65 KBOI 031636
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
936 AM MST TUE MAR 3 2015

.DISCUSSION...NORTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY OVER THE REGION
WITH DRIER AIR AND RAPID CLEARING BEHIND YESTERDAYS COLD FRONT.
BREEZY CONDITIONS CONTINUING TODAY WITH WIND GUSTS UP TO 30KT
DURING THE AFTERNOON. WINDS SHOULD DECREASE AFTER SUNSET WITH THE
DECOUPLING OF THE ATMOSPHERE. A SURFACE CONVERGENCE ZONE IS
PRESENT IN THE EASTERN MAGIC VALLEY TOWARDS POCATELLO. THIS IS
REFLECTED NICELY IN THE CURRENT FORECAST. NO UPDATES PLANNED.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR WITH SCT/BKN HIGH CLOUDS. MVFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE
BETWEEN 18-21Z AT KTWF/KJER AS A BAND OF SNOW SHOWERS MOVES SOUTHWEST.
SURFACE WINDS 10-15 KTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KTS IN THE SNAKE RIVER AND
BAKER VALLEYS. WINDS ALOFT NEAR 10K FT MSL...NNW 20-30KT...DROPPING
OFF TO NNW 10-20KT BY 12Z/WED.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM...COLD FRONT FROM THE NORTHWEST BROUGHT SCATTERED LIGHT
SNOW SHOWERS TO IDAHO MOUNTAIN ZONES DURING THE NIGHT.  WEB CAMS
SHOWED SNOW SHOWERS NORTH OF BOISE AT BOTH BOGUS BASIN AND HORSESHOE
BEND HILL...AND ALSO AT MCCALL/ID.  KCBX RADAR TRACKED SNOW SHOWERS
BOTH NORTH AND SOUTH OF THE SNAKE BASIN...AND EVEN A FEW FLAKES IN
THE TREASURE VALLEY.  BOGUS BASIN RECEIVED ABOUT AN INCH OF NEW SNOW
BUT OTHER MOUNTAIN SITES GOT A DUSTING AT MOST...ALTHOUGH RADAR
SUGGESTED A LITTLE MORE IN THE OWYHEE MOUNTAINS.  THE FRONT ALSO
BROUGHT SUSTAINED NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS 35 TO 40
MPH.  AT 10Z BOTH THE FRONT AND STRONGEST WINDS WERE IN THE EASTERN
UPPER TREASURE VALLEY AND WESTERN MAGIC VALLEY.  THOSE AREAS WILL
HAVE THE STRONGEST WINDS TODAY...JUST BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS.  ERN-
MOST ZONES WILL ALSO HAVE A CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS TODAY...
THESE SHOULD END BY SUNSET.  AIR MASS WILL BE DRIER TODAY UNDER
STRONG NORTHERLY FLOW ALOFT.  SURFACE WINDS WILL DECREASE TONIGHT
AND WITH CLEAR SKIES AND DRY AIR TEMPS WILL BE NOTICEABLY COLDER...
BUT NOT QUITE AS COLD AS FORECAST BY PREVIOUS MODELS.  MET MOS
GUIDANCE NOW LOOKS TOO COLD FOR TONIGHT...MAV GUIDANCE PREFERRED.
BRIGHT SUNSHINE AND CONTINUED COOL WEDNESDAY BUT WITH MUCH LESS
WIND AS COASTAL UPPER RIDGE BEGINS TO NOSE INLAND.

LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. UPPER LEVEL HIGH WITH
ITS AXIS STAYING ROUGHLY OVER CALIFORNIA WILL DOMINATE THE MID-LONG
TERM. A WEAK SHORTWAVE THAT THE ECMWF HAD BEEN HINTING AT FOR FRIDAY
IS NO LONGER VISIBLE IN THE LATEST RUN...WHICH IS MORE IN LINE WITH
THE DRIER GFS.  THEREFORE CONFIDENCE IS HIGH IN DRY CONDITIONS
THROUGH THE ENTIRE PERIOD. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY
RISE TO 10 PLUS DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR SATURDAY AND BEYOND.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...NONE.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

DISCUSSION...KA
AVIATION.....AB/BW
PREV SHORT TERM...LC
PREV LONG TERM....EP





000
FXUS65 KBOI 031636
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
936 AM MST TUE MAR 3 2015

.DISCUSSION...NORTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY OVER THE REGION
WITH DRIER AIR AND RAPID CLEARING BEHIND YESTERDAYS COLD FRONT.
BREEZY CONDITIONS CONTINUING TODAY WITH WIND GUSTS UP TO 30KT
DURING THE AFTERNOON. WINDS SHOULD DECREASE AFTER SUNSET WITH THE
DECOUPLING OF THE ATMOSPHERE. A SURFACE CONVERGENCE ZONE IS
PRESENT IN THE EASTERN MAGIC VALLEY TOWARDS POCATELLO. THIS IS
REFLECTED NICELY IN THE CURRENT FORECAST. NO UPDATES PLANNED.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR WITH SCT/BKN HIGH CLOUDS. MVFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE
BETWEEN 18-21Z AT KTWF/KJER AS A BAND OF SNOW SHOWERS MOVES SOUTHWEST.
SURFACE WINDS 10-15 KTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KTS IN THE SNAKE RIVER AND
BAKER VALLEYS. WINDS ALOFT NEAR 10K FT MSL...NNW 20-30KT...DROPPING
OFF TO NNW 10-20KT BY 12Z/WED.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM...COLD FRONT FROM THE NORTHWEST BROUGHT SCATTERED LIGHT
SNOW SHOWERS TO IDAHO MOUNTAIN ZONES DURING THE NIGHT.  WEB CAMS
SHOWED SNOW SHOWERS NORTH OF BOISE AT BOTH BOGUS BASIN AND HORSESHOE
BEND HILL...AND ALSO AT MCCALL/ID.  KCBX RADAR TRACKED SNOW SHOWERS
BOTH NORTH AND SOUTH OF THE SNAKE BASIN...AND EVEN A FEW FLAKES IN
THE TREASURE VALLEY.  BOGUS BASIN RECEIVED ABOUT AN INCH OF NEW SNOW
BUT OTHER MOUNTAIN SITES GOT A DUSTING AT MOST...ALTHOUGH RADAR
SUGGESTED A LITTLE MORE IN THE OWYHEE MOUNTAINS.  THE FRONT ALSO
BROUGHT SUSTAINED NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS 35 TO 40
MPH.  AT 10Z BOTH THE FRONT AND STRONGEST WINDS WERE IN THE EASTERN
UPPER TREASURE VALLEY AND WESTERN MAGIC VALLEY.  THOSE AREAS WILL
HAVE THE STRONGEST WINDS TODAY...JUST BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS.  ERN-
MOST ZONES WILL ALSO HAVE A CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS TODAY...
THESE SHOULD END BY SUNSET.  AIR MASS WILL BE DRIER TODAY UNDER
STRONG NORTHERLY FLOW ALOFT.  SURFACE WINDS WILL DECREASE TONIGHT
AND WITH CLEAR SKIES AND DRY AIR TEMPS WILL BE NOTICEABLY COLDER...
BUT NOT QUITE AS COLD AS FORECAST BY PREVIOUS MODELS.  MET MOS
GUIDANCE NOW LOOKS TOO COLD FOR TONIGHT...MAV GUIDANCE PREFERRED.
BRIGHT SUNSHINE AND CONTINUED COOL WEDNESDAY BUT WITH MUCH LESS
WIND AS COASTAL UPPER RIDGE BEGINS TO NOSE INLAND.

LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. UPPER LEVEL HIGH WITH
ITS AXIS STAYING ROUGHLY OVER CALIFORNIA WILL DOMINATE THE MID-LONG
TERM. A WEAK SHORTWAVE THAT THE ECMWF HAD BEEN HINTING AT FOR FRIDAY
IS NO LONGER VISIBLE IN THE LATEST RUN...WHICH IS MORE IN LINE WITH
THE DRIER GFS.  THEREFORE CONFIDENCE IS HIGH IN DRY CONDITIONS
THROUGH THE ENTIRE PERIOD. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY
RISE TO 10 PLUS DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR SATURDAY AND BEYOND.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...NONE.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

DISCUSSION...KA
AVIATION.....AB/BW
PREV SHORT TERM...LC
PREV LONG TERM....EP




000
FXUS65 KBOI 031636
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
936 AM MST TUE MAR 3 2015

.DISCUSSION...NORTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY OVER THE REGION
WITH DRIER AIR AND RAPID CLEARING BEHIND YESTERDAYS COLD FRONT.
BREEZY CONDITIONS CONTINUING TODAY WITH WIND GUSTS UP TO 30KT
DURING THE AFTERNOON. WINDS SHOULD DECREASE AFTER SUNSET WITH THE
DECOUPLING OF THE ATMOSPHERE. A SURFACE CONVERGENCE ZONE IS
PRESENT IN THE EASTERN MAGIC VALLEY TOWARDS POCATELLO. THIS IS
REFLECTED NICELY IN THE CURRENT FORECAST. NO UPDATES PLANNED.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR WITH SCT/BKN HIGH CLOUDS. MVFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE
BETWEEN 18-21Z AT KTWF/KJER AS A BAND OF SNOW SHOWERS MOVES SOUTHWEST.
SURFACE WINDS 10-15 KTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KTS IN THE SNAKE RIVER AND
BAKER VALLEYS. WINDS ALOFT NEAR 10K FT MSL...NNW 20-30KT...DROPPING
OFF TO NNW 10-20KT BY 12Z/WED.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM...COLD FRONT FROM THE NORTHWEST BROUGHT SCATTERED LIGHT
SNOW SHOWERS TO IDAHO MOUNTAIN ZONES DURING THE NIGHT.  WEB CAMS
SHOWED SNOW SHOWERS NORTH OF BOISE AT BOTH BOGUS BASIN AND HORSESHOE
BEND HILL...AND ALSO AT MCCALL/ID.  KCBX RADAR TRACKED SNOW SHOWERS
BOTH NORTH AND SOUTH OF THE SNAKE BASIN...AND EVEN A FEW FLAKES IN
THE TREASURE VALLEY.  BOGUS BASIN RECEIVED ABOUT AN INCH OF NEW SNOW
BUT OTHER MOUNTAIN SITES GOT A DUSTING AT MOST...ALTHOUGH RADAR
SUGGESTED A LITTLE MORE IN THE OWYHEE MOUNTAINS.  THE FRONT ALSO
BROUGHT SUSTAINED NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS 35 TO 40
MPH.  AT 10Z BOTH THE FRONT AND STRONGEST WINDS WERE IN THE EASTERN
UPPER TREASURE VALLEY AND WESTERN MAGIC VALLEY.  THOSE AREAS WILL
HAVE THE STRONGEST WINDS TODAY...JUST BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS.  ERN-
MOST ZONES WILL ALSO HAVE A CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS TODAY...
THESE SHOULD END BY SUNSET.  AIR MASS WILL BE DRIER TODAY UNDER
STRONG NORTHERLY FLOW ALOFT.  SURFACE WINDS WILL DECREASE TONIGHT
AND WITH CLEAR SKIES AND DRY AIR TEMPS WILL BE NOTICEABLY COLDER...
BUT NOT QUITE AS COLD AS FORECAST BY PREVIOUS MODELS.  MET MOS
GUIDANCE NOW LOOKS TOO COLD FOR TONIGHT...MAV GUIDANCE PREFERRED.
BRIGHT SUNSHINE AND CONTINUED COOL WEDNESDAY BUT WITH MUCH LESS
WIND AS COASTAL UPPER RIDGE BEGINS TO NOSE INLAND.

LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. UPPER LEVEL HIGH WITH
ITS AXIS STAYING ROUGHLY OVER CALIFORNIA WILL DOMINATE THE MID-LONG
TERM. A WEAK SHORTWAVE THAT THE ECMWF HAD BEEN HINTING AT FOR FRIDAY
IS NO LONGER VISIBLE IN THE LATEST RUN...WHICH IS MORE IN LINE WITH
THE DRIER GFS.  THEREFORE CONFIDENCE IS HIGH IN DRY CONDITIONS
THROUGH THE ENTIRE PERIOD. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY
RISE TO 10 PLUS DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR SATURDAY AND BEYOND.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...NONE.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

DISCUSSION...KA
AVIATION.....AB/BW
PREV SHORT TERM...LC
PREV LONG TERM....EP




000
FXUS65 KBOI 031636
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
936 AM MST TUE MAR 3 2015

.DISCUSSION...NORTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY OVER THE REGION
WITH DRIER AIR AND RAPID CLEARING BEHIND YESTERDAYS COLD FRONT.
BREEZY CONDITIONS CONTINUING TODAY WITH WIND GUSTS UP TO 30KT
DURING THE AFTERNOON. WINDS SHOULD DECREASE AFTER SUNSET WITH THE
DECOUPLING OF THE ATMOSPHERE. A SURFACE CONVERGENCE ZONE IS
PRESENT IN THE EASTERN MAGIC VALLEY TOWARDS POCATELLO. THIS IS
REFLECTED NICELY IN THE CURRENT FORECAST. NO UPDATES PLANNED.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR WITH SCT/BKN HIGH CLOUDS. MVFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE
BETWEEN 18-21Z AT KTWF/KJER AS A BAND OF SNOW SHOWERS MOVES SOUTHWEST.
SURFACE WINDS 10-15 KTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KTS IN THE SNAKE RIVER AND
BAKER VALLEYS. WINDS ALOFT NEAR 10K FT MSL...NNW 20-30KT...DROPPING
OFF TO NNW 10-20KT BY 12Z/WED.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM...COLD FRONT FROM THE NORTHWEST BROUGHT SCATTERED LIGHT
SNOW SHOWERS TO IDAHO MOUNTAIN ZONES DURING THE NIGHT.  WEB CAMS
SHOWED SNOW SHOWERS NORTH OF BOISE AT BOTH BOGUS BASIN AND HORSESHOE
BEND HILL...AND ALSO AT MCCALL/ID.  KCBX RADAR TRACKED SNOW SHOWERS
BOTH NORTH AND SOUTH OF THE SNAKE BASIN...AND EVEN A FEW FLAKES IN
THE TREASURE VALLEY.  BOGUS BASIN RECEIVED ABOUT AN INCH OF NEW SNOW
BUT OTHER MOUNTAIN SITES GOT A DUSTING AT MOST...ALTHOUGH RADAR
SUGGESTED A LITTLE MORE IN THE OWYHEE MOUNTAINS.  THE FRONT ALSO
BROUGHT SUSTAINED NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS 35 TO 40
MPH.  AT 10Z BOTH THE FRONT AND STRONGEST WINDS WERE IN THE EASTERN
UPPER TREASURE VALLEY AND WESTERN MAGIC VALLEY.  THOSE AREAS WILL
HAVE THE STRONGEST WINDS TODAY...JUST BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS.  ERN-
MOST ZONES WILL ALSO HAVE A CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS TODAY...
THESE SHOULD END BY SUNSET.  AIR MASS WILL BE DRIER TODAY UNDER
STRONG NORTHERLY FLOW ALOFT.  SURFACE WINDS WILL DECREASE TONIGHT
AND WITH CLEAR SKIES AND DRY AIR TEMPS WILL BE NOTICEABLY COLDER...
BUT NOT QUITE AS COLD AS FORECAST BY PREVIOUS MODELS.  MET MOS
GUIDANCE NOW LOOKS TOO COLD FOR TONIGHT...MAV GUIDANCE PREFERRED.
BRIGHT SUNSHINE AND CONTINUED COOL WEDNESDAY BUT WITH MUCH LESS
WIND AS COASTAL UPPER RIDGE BEGINS TO NOSE INLAND.

LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. UPPER LEVEL HIGH WITH
ITS AXIS STAYING ROUGHLY OVER CALIFORNIA WILL DOMINATE THE MID-LONG
TERM. A WEAK SHORTWAVE THAT THE ECMWF HAD BEEN HINTING AT FOR FRIDAY
IS NO LONGER VISIBLE IN THE LATEST RUN...WHICH IS MORE IN LINE WITH
THE DRIER GFS.  THEREFORE CONFIDENCE IS HIGH IN DRY CONDITIONS
THROUGH THE ENTIRE PERIOD. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY
RISE TO 10 PLUS DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR SATURDAY AND BEYOND.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...NONE.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

DISCUSSION...KA
AVIATION.....AB/BW
PREV SHORT TERM...LC
PREV LONG TERM....EP





000
FXUS65 KBOI 030946
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
246 AM MST TUE MAR 3 2015

.SHORT TERM...COLD FRONT FROM THE NORTHWEST BROUGHT SCATTERED LIGHT
SNOW SHOWERS TO IDAHO MOUNTAIN ZONES DURING THE NIGHT.  WEB CAMS
SHOWED SNOW SHOWERS NORTH OF BOISE AT BOTH BOGUS BASIN AND HORSESHOE
BEND HILL...AND ALSO AT MCCALL/ID.  KCBX RADAR TRACKED SNOW SHOWERS
BOTH NORTH AND SOUTH OF THE SNAKE BASIN...AND EVEN A FEW FLAKES IN
THE TREASURE VALLEY.  BOGUS BASIN RECEIVED ABOUT AN INCH OF NEW SNOW
BUT OTHER MOUNTAIN SITES GOT A DUSTING AT MOST...ALTHOUGH RADAR
SUGGESTED A LITTLE MORE IN THE OWYHEE MOUNTAINS.  THE FRONT ALSO
BROUGHT SUSTAINED NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS 35 TO 40
MPH.  AT 10Z BOTH THE FRONT AND STRONGEST WINDS WERE IN THE EASTERN
UPPER TREASURE VALLEY AND WESTERN MAGIC VALLEY.  THOSE AREAS WILL
HAVE THE STRONGEST WINDS TODAY...JUST BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS.  ERN-
MOST ZONES WILL ALSO HAVE A CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS TODAY...
THESE SHOULD END BY SUNSET.  AIR MASS WILL BE DRIER TODAY UNDER
STRONG NORTHERLY FLOW ALOFT.  SURFACE WINDS WILL DECREASE TONIGHT
AND WITH CLEAR SKIES AND DRY AIR TEMPS WILL BE NOTICEABLY COLDER...
BUT NOT QUITE AS COLD AS FORECAST BY PREVIOUS MODELS.  MET MOS
GUIDANCE NOW LOOKS TOO COLD FOR TONIGHT...MAV GUIDANCE PREFERRED.
BRIGHT SUNSHINE AND CONTINUED COOL WEDNESDAY BUT WITH MUCH LESS
WIND AS COASTAL UPPER RIDGE BEGINS TO NOSE INLAND.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. UPPER LEVEL HIGH WITH
ITS AXIS STAYING ROUGHLY OVER CALIFORNIA WILL DOMINATE THE MID-LONG
TERM. A WEAK SHORTWAVE THAT THE ECMWF HAD BEEN HINTING AT FOR FRIDAY
IS NO LONGER VISIBLE IN THE LATEST RUN...WHICH IS MORE IN LINE WITH
THE DRIER GFS.  THEREFORE CONFIDENCE IS HIGH IN DRY CONDITIONS
THROUGH THE ENTIRE PERIOD. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY
RISE TO 10 PLUS DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR SATURDAY AND BEYOND.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR WITH CLEARING SKIES. GUSTY WEST SURFACE WINDS TO
NEAR 30 KTS IN THE MAGIC VALLEY ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
04/06Z. GUSTY NORTHWEST SURFACE WINDS TO NEAR 25 KTS EXPECTED NEAR
KBKE AND THE REST OF THE LOWER SNAKE PLAIN BETWEEN 03/17Z AND
04/06Z. WINDS ALOFT NEAR 10K FT MSL...NORTH 15-20 KTS.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...NONE.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

SHORT TERM...LC
LONG TERM....EP
AVIATION.....EP





000
FXUS65 KBOI 030946
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
246 AM MST TUE MAR 3 2015

.SHORT TERM...COLD FRONT FROM THE NORTHWEST BROUGHT SCATTERED LIGHT
SNOW SHOWERS TO IDAHO MOUNTAIN ZONES DURING THE NIGHT.  WEB CAMS
SHOWED SNOW SHOWERS NORTH OF BOISE AT BOTH BOGUS BASIN AND HORSESHOE
BEND HILL...AND ALSO AT MCCALL/ID.  KCBX RADAR TRACKED SNOW SHOWERS
BOTH NORTH AND SOUTH OF THE SNAKE BASIN...AND EVEN A FEW FLAKES IN
THE TREASURE VALLEY.  BOGUS BASIN RECEIVED ABOUT AN INCH OF NEW SNOW
BUT OTHER MOUNTAIN SITES GOT A DUSTING AT MOST...ALTHOUGH RADAR
SUGGESTED A LITTLE MORE IN THE OWYHEE MOUNTAINS.  THE FRONT ALSO
BROUGHT SUSTAINED NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS 35 TO 40
MPH.  AT 10Z BOTH THE FRONT AND STRONGEST WINDS WERE IN THE EASTERN
UPPER TREASURE VALLEY AND WESTERN MAGIC VALLEY.  THOSE AREAS WILL
HAVE THE STRONGEST WINDS TODAY...JUST BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS.  ERN-
MOST ZONES WILL ALSO HAVE A CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS TODAY...
THESE SHOULD END BY SUNSET.  AIR MASS WILL BE DRIER TODAY UNDER
STRONG NORTHERLY FLOW ALOFT.  SURFACE WINDS WILL DECREASE TONIGHT
AND WITH CLEAR SKIES AND DRY AIR TEMPS WILL BE NOTICEABLY COLDER...
BUT NOT QUITE AS COLD AS FORECAST BY PREVIOUS MODELS.  MET MOS
GUIDANCE NOW LOOKS TOO COLD FOR TONIGHT...MAV GUIDANCE PREFERRED.
BRIGHT SUNSHINE AND CONTINUED COOL WEDNESDAY BUT WITH MUCH LESS
WIND AS COASTAL UPPER RIDGE BEGINS TO NOSE INLAND.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. UPPER LEVEL HIGH WITH
ITS AXIS STAYING ROUGHLY OVER CALIFORNIA WILL DOMINATE THE MID-LONG
TERM. A WEAK SHORTWAVE THAT THE ECMWF HAD BEEN HINTING AT FOR FRIDAY
IS NO LONGER VISIBLE IN THE LATEST RUN...WHICH IS MORE IN LINE WITH
THE DRIER GFS.  THEREFORE CONFIDENCE IS HIGH IN DRY CONDITIONS
THROUGH THE ENTIRE PERIOD. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY
RISE TO 10 PLUS DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR SATURDAY AND BEYOND.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR WITH CLEARING SKIES. GUSTY WEST SURFACE WINDS TO
NEAR 30 KTS IN THE MAGIC VALLEY ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
04/06Z. GUSTY NORTHWEST SURFACE WINDS TO NEAR 25 KTS EXPECTED NEAR
KBKE AND THE REST OF THE LOWER SNAKE PLAIN BETWEEN 03/17Z AND
04/06Z. WINDS ALOFT NEAR 10K FT MSL...NORTH 15-20 KTS.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...NONE.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

SHORT TERM...LC
LONG TERM....EP
AVIATION.....EP




000
FXUS65 KBOI 030408
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
908 PM MST MON MAR 2 2015

.DISCUSSION...COLD FRONT HAS PUSHED THROUGH MUCH OF SE OREGON AND
THE TREASURE VALLEY AS OF 0330Z THIS EVENING. THE FRONT WILL REACH
THE WESTERN MAGIC VALLEY AFTER 06Z. A BRIEF PERIOD OF GUSTY WINDS
HAS ACCOMPANIED THE FRONTAL PASSAGE WITH SPEEDS REACHING 30 TO 40
MPH AND THIS WILL BE THE CASE AS IT MARCHES EASTWARD. SEEING STIFF
NW WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT AND THESE WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
NIGHT. RADAR IMAGES ARE SHOWING LIGHT SHOWER ACTIVITY TRAILING
THE FRONT BUT GIVEN THE WEAK INTENSITY AND DRY CONDITIONS NEAR
THE SURFACE NOT MUCH OF IT IS REACHING THE GROUND /HAVE SEEN ONLY
PRECIP REPORTED AT MCCALL THROUGH 04Z/. THE BEST CHANCE OF
MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION REMAINS IN THE MTNS WHILE LOWER ELEVATION
SITES SHOULDN/T SEE MORE THAN A SPRINKLE OVERNIGHT. FORECAST IS
ON TRACK WITH CURRENT TRENDS AND MATCHES UP WELL WITH NEW GUIDANCE
SO WILL LET IT RIDE.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR WITH SCT/BKN HIGH CLOUDS. MOSTLY DRY COLD FRONT
MOVING ACROSS SW IDAHO THIS EVENING. SURFACE WINDS 15 TO 20 KTS WITH
GUSTS UP TO 30 KTS WITH FRONTAL PASSAGE. FRONT WENT THROUGH KBOI
AROUND 03Z AND WILL ARRIVE IN THE MAGIC VALLEY AROUND 07Z. EXPECT
ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS IN THE WEST CENTRAL AND BOISE MOUNTAINS
THROUGH 12Z...INCLUDING MYL. WINDS ALOFT NEAR 10K FT MSL...NW 20-30
KTS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...A COLD FRONT JUST TO THE
NORTH OF OUR AREA WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS SOUTHWEST IDAHO AND
SOUTHEAST OREGON LATER THIS EVENING INTO TUESDAY MORNING. SHOWERS
EXPECTED MAINLY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN TONIGHT. A FEW SPRINKLES
OR FLURRIES POSSIBLE IN THE TREASURE VALLEY ALONG THE FRONT BUT NOT
EXPECTING ANY MEASURABLE ACCUMULATION. WINDS WILL BE THE BIGGEST
FACTOR WITH THIS COLD FRONT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. ADVISORY
LEVEL WIND SPEEDS NOT EXPECTED AS STRONGEST WINDS ALOFT PASS
OVERNIGHT WITH LIMITED DIURNAL MIXING. DRY AIR QUICKLY MOVES INTO
THE REGION BEHIND THE FRONT WITH RAPID CLEARING...MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES EXPECTED BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON EXCEPT IN THE MAGIC VALLEY AND
CENTRAL IDAHO MOUNTAINS. WEDNESDAY MORNING WILL BE THE COLDEST
MORNING OF THE PERIOD WITH DRY AIR IN PLACE AND LIGHT WINDS.
TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY MODERATE AS A RIDGE BUILDS IN FROM THE
SOUTHWEST WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...A DRY NORTHWESTERLY
FLOW WILL BE THE PREDOMINANT FEATURE AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS
SITS OVER CALIFORNIA THROUGH THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL
TREND TEMPERATURES 5-10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL BY THE WEEKEND AND KEEP
CONDITIONS DRY. THE ECMWF HAS BEEN HINTING AT A PASSING MOIST
SHORTWAVE THAT COULD CLIP THE WEST CENTRAL AND BOISE MOUNTAINS
FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING...BUT HAVE KEPT THE FORECAST DRY
AS CONFIDENCE IS LOW IN THIS MODEL SOLUTION.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...NONE.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

DISCUSSION...DG
AVIATION.....JS
PREV SHORT TERM...KA
PREV LONG TERM....AB/BW/DD





000
FXUS65 KBOI 030408
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
908 PM MST MON MAR 2 2015

.DISCUSSION...COLD FRONT HAS PUSHED THROUGH MUCH OF SE OREGON AND
THE TREASURE VALLEY AS OF 0330Z THIS EVENING. THE FRONT WILL REACH
THE WESTERN MAGIC VALLEY AFTER 06Z. A BRIEF PERIOD OF GUSTY WINDS
HAS ACCOMPANIED THE FRONTAL PASSAGE WITH SPEEDS REACHING 30 TO 40
MPH AND THIS WILL BE THE CASE AS IT MARCHES EASTWARD. SEEING STIFF
NW WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT AND THESE WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
NIGHT. RADAR IMAGES ARE SHOWING LIGHT SHOWER ACTIVITY TRAILING
THE FRONT BUT GIVEN THE WEAK INTENSITY AND DRY CONDITIONS NEAR
THE SURFACE NOT MUCH OF IT IS REACHING THE GROUND /HAVE SEEN ONLY
PRECIP REPORTED AT MCCALL THROUGH 04Z/. THE BEST CHANCE OF
MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION REMAINS IN THE MTNS WHILE LOWER ELEVATION
SITES SHOULDN/T SEE MORE THAN A SPRINKLE OVERNIGHT. FORECAST IS
ON TRACK WITH CURRENT TRENDS AND MATCHES UP WELL WITH NEW GUIDANCE
SO WILL LET IT RIDE.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR WITH SCT/BKN HIGH CLOUDS. MOSTLY DRY COLD FRONT
MOVING ACROSS SW IDAHO THIS EVENING. SURFACE WINDS 15 TO 20 KTS WITH
GUSTS UP TO 30 KTS WITH FRONTAL PASSAGE. FRONT WENT THROUGH KBOI
AROUND 03Z AND WILL ARRIVE IN THE MAGIC VALLEY AROUND 07Z. EXPECT
ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS IN THE WEST CENTRAL AND BOISE MOUNTAINS
THROUGH 12Z...INCLUDING MYL. WINDS ALOFT NEAR 10K FT MSL...NW 20-30
KTS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...A COLD FRONT JUST TO THE
NORTH OF OUR AREA WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS SOUTHWEST IDAHO AND
SOUTHEAST OREGON LATER THIS EVENING INTO TUESDAY MORNING. SHOWERS
EXPECTED MAINLY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN TONIGHT. A FEW SPRINKLES
OR FLURRIES POSSIBLE IN THE TREASURE VALLEY ALONG THE FRONT BUT NOT
EXPECTING ANY MEASURABLE ACCUMULATION. WINDS WILL BE THE BIGGEST
FACTOR WITH THIS COLD FRONT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. ADVISORY
LEVEL WIND SPEEDS NOT EXPECTED AS STRONGEST WINDS ALOFT PASS
OVERNIGHT WITH LIMITED DIURNAL MIXING. DRY AIR QUICKLY MOVES INTO
THE REGION BEHIND THE FRONT WITH RAPID CLEARING...MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES EXPECTED BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON EXCEPT IN THE MAGIC VALLEY AND
CENTRAL IDAHO MOUNTAINS. WEDNESDAY MORNING WILL BE THE COLDEST
MORNING OF THE PERIOD WITH DRY AIR IN PLACE AND LIGHT WINDS.
TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY MODERATE AS A RIDGE BUILDS IN FROM THE
SOUTHWEST WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...A DRY NORTHWESTERLY
FLOW WILL BE THE PREDOMINANT FEATURE AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS
SITS OVER CALIFORNIA THROUGH THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL
TREND TEMPERATURES 5-10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL BY THE WEEKEND AND KEEP
CONDITIONS DRY. THE ECMWF HAS BEEN HINTING AT A PASSING MOIST
SHORTWAVE THAT COULD CLIP THE WEST CENTRAL AND BOISE MOUNTAINS
FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING...BUT HAVE KEPT THE FORECAST DRY
AS CONFIDENCE IS LOW IN THIS MODEL SOLUTION.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...NONE.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

DISCUSSION...DG
AVIATION.....JS
PREV SHORT TERM...KA
PREV LONG TERM....AB/BW/DD




000
FXUS65 KBOI 030408
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
908 PM MST MON MAR 2 2015

.DISCUSSION...COLD FRONT HAS PUSHED THROUGH MUCH OF SE OREGON AND
THE TREASURE VALLEY AS OF 0330Z THIS EVENING. THE FRONT WILL REACH
THE WESTERN MAGIC VALLEY AFTER 06Z. A BRIEF PERIOD OF GUSTY WINDS
HAS ACCOMPANIED THE FRONTAL PASSAGE WITH SPEEDS REACHING 30 TO 40
MPH AND THIS WILL BE THE CASE AS IT MARCHES EASTWARD. SEEING STIFF
NW WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT AND THESE WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
NIGHT. RADAR IMAGES ARE SHOWING LIGHT SHOWER ACTIVITY TRAILING
THE FRONT BUT GIVEN THE WEAK INTENSITY AND DRY CONDITIONS NEAR
THE SURFACE NOT MUCH OF IT IS REACHING THE GROUND /HAVE SEEN ONLY
PRECIP REPORTED AT MCCALL THROUGH 04Z/. THE BEST CHANCE OF
MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION REMAINS IN THE MTNS WHILE LOWER ELEVATION
SITES SHOULDN/T SEE MORE THAN A SPRINKLE OVERNIGHT. FORECAST IS
ON TRACK WITH CURRENT TRENDS AND MATCHES UP WELL WITH NEW GUIDANCE
SO WILL LET IT RIDE.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR WITH SCT/BKN HIGH CLOUDS. MOSTLY DRY COLD FRONT
MOVING ACROSS SW IDAHO THIS EVENING. SURFACE WINDS 15 TO 20 KTS WITH
GUSTS UP TO 30 KTS WITH FRONTAL PASSAGE. FRONT WENT THROUGH KBOI
AROUND 03Z AND WILL ARRIVE IN THE MAGIC VALLEY AROUND 07Z. EXPECT
ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS IN THE WEST CENTRAL AND BOISE MOUNTAINS
THROUGH 12Z...INCLUDING MYL. WINDS ALOFT NEAR 10K FT MSL...NW 20-30
KTS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...A COLD FRONT JUST TO THE
NORTH OF OUR AREA WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS SOUTHWEST IDAHO AND
SOUTHEAST OREGON LATER THIS EVENING INTO TUESDAY MORNING. SHOWERS
EXPECTED MAINLY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN TONIGHT. A FEW SPRINKLES
OR FLURRIES POSSIBLE IN THE TREASURE VALLEY ALONG THE FRONT BUT NOT
EXPECTING ANY MEASURABLE ACCUMULATION. WINDS WILL BE THE BIGGEST
FACTOR WITH THIS COLD FRONT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. ADVISORY
LEVEL WIND SPEEDS NOT EXPECTED AS STRONGEST WINDS ALOFT PASS
OVERNIGHT WITH LIMITED DIURNAL MIXING. DRY AIR QUICKLY MOVES INTO
THE REGION BEHIND THE FRONT WITH RAPID CLEARING...MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES EXPECTED BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON EXCEPT IN THE MAGIC VALLEY AND
CENTRAL IDAHO MOUNTAINS. WEDNESDAY MORNING WILL BE THE COLDEST
MORNING OF THE PERIOD WITH DRY AIR IN PLACE AND LIGHT WINDS.
TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY MODERATE AS A RIDGE BUILDS IN FROM THE
SOUTHWEST WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...A DRY NORTHWESTERLY
FLOW WILL BE THE PREDOMINANT FEATURE AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS
SITS OVER CALIFORNIA THROUGH THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL
TREND TEMPERATURES 5-10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL BY THE WEEKEND AND KEEP
CONDITIONS DRY. THE ECMWF HAS BEEN HINTING AT A PASSING MOIST
SHORTWAVE THAT COULD CLIP THE WEST CENTRAL AND BOISE MOUNTAINS
FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING...BUT HAVE KEPT THE FORECAST DRY
AS CONFIDENCE IS LOW IN THIS MODEL SOLUTION.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...NONE.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

DISCUSSION...DG
AVIATION.....JS
PREV SHORT TERM...KA
PREV LONG TERM....AB/BW/DD




000
FXUS65 KBOI 030408
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
908 PM MST MON MAR 2 2015

.DISCUSSION...COLD FRONT HAS PUSHED THROUGH MUCH OF SE OREGON AND
THE TREASURE VALLEY AS OF 0330Z THIS EVENING. THE FRONT WILL REACH
THE WESTERN MAGIC VALLEY AFTER 06Z. A BRIEF PERIOD OF GUSTY WINDS
HAS ACCOMPANIED THE FRONTAL PASSAGE WITH SPEEDS REACHING 30 TO 40
MPH AND THIS WILL BE THE CASE AS IT MARCHES EASTWARD. SEEING STIFF
NW WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT AND THESE WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
NIGHT. RADAR IMAGES ARE SHOWING LIGHT SHOWER ACTIVITY TRAILING
THE FRONT BUT GIVEN THE WEAK INTENSITY AND DRY CONDITIONS NEAR
THE SURFACE NOT MUCH OF IT IS REACHING THE GROUND /HAVE SEEN ONLY
PRECIP REPORTED AT MCCALL THROUGH 04Z/. THE BEST CHANCE OF
MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION REMAINS IN THE MTNS WHILE LOWER ELEVATION
SITES SHOULDN/T SEE MORE THAN A SPRINKLE OVERNIGHT. FORECAST IS
ON TRACK WITH CURRENT TRENDS AND MATCHES UP WELL WITH NEW GUIDANCE
SO WILL LET IT RIDE.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR WITH SCT/BKN HIGH CLOUDS. MOSTLY DRY COLD FRONT
MOVING ACROSS SW IDAHO THIS EVENING. SURFACE WINDS 15 TO 20 KTS WITH
GUSTS UP TO 30 KTS WITH FRONTAL PASSAGE. FRONT WENT THROUGH KBOI
AROUND 03Z AND WILL ARRIVE IN THE MAGIC VALLEY AROUND 07Z. EXPECT
ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS IN THE WEST CENTRAL AND BOISE MOUNTAINS
THROUGH 12Z...INCLUDING MYL. WINDS ALOFT NEAR 10K FT MSL...NW 20-30
KTS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...A COLD FRONT JUST TO THE
NORTH OF OUR AREA WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS SOUTHWEST IDAHO AND
SOUTHEAST OREGON LATER THIS EVENING INTO TUESDAY MORNING. SHOWERS
EXPECTED MAINLY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN TONIGHT. A FEW SPRINKLES
OR FLURRIES POSSIBLE IN THE TREASURE VALLEY ALONG THE FRONT BUT NOT
EXPECTING ANY MEASURABLE ACCUMULATION. WINDS WILL BE THE BIGGEST
FACTOR WITH THIS COLD FRONT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. ADVISORY
LEVEL WIND SPEEDS NOT EXPECTED AS STRONGEST WINDS ALOFT PASS
OVERNIGHT WITH LIMITED DIURNAL MIXING. DRY AIR QUICKLY MOVES INTO
THE REGION BEHIND THE FRONT WITH RAPID CLEARING...MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES EXPECTED BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON EXCEPT IN THE MAGIC VALLEY AND
CENTRAL IDAHO MOUNTAINS. WEDNESDAY MORNING WILL BE THE COLDEST
MORNING OF THE PERIOD WITH DRY AIR IN PLACE AND LIGHT WINDS.
TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY MODERATE AS A RIDGE BUILDS IN FROM THE
SOUTHWEST WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...A DRY NORTHWESTERLY
FLOW WILL BE THE PREDOMINANT FEATURE AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS
SITS OVER CALIFORNIA THROUGH THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL
TREND TEMPERATURES 5-10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL BY THE WEEKEND AND KEEP
CONDITIONS DRY. THE ECMWF HAS BEEN HINTING AT A PASSING MOIST
SHORTWAVE THAT COULD CLIP THE WEST CENTRAL AND BOISE MOUNTAINS
FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING...BUT HAVE KEPT THE FORECAST DRY
AS CONFIDENCE IS LOW IN THIS MODEL SOLUTION.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...NONE.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

DISCUSSION...DG
AVIATION.....JS
PREV SHORT TERM...KA
PREV LONG TERM....AB/BW/DD





000
FXUS65 KBOI 022203
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
303 PM MST MON MAR 2 2015

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...A COLD FRONT JUST TO THE
NORTH OF OUR AREA WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS SOUTHWEST IDAHO AND
SOUTHEAST OREGON LATER THIS EVENING INTO TUESDAY MORNING. SHOWERS
EXPECTED MAINLY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN TONIGHT. A FEW SPRINKLES
OR FLURRIES POSSIBLE IN THE TREASURE VALLEY ALONG THE FRONT BUT NOT
EXPECTING ANY MEASURABLE ACCUMULATION. WINDS WILL BE THE BIGGEST
FACTOR WITH THIS COLD FRONT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. ADVISORY
LEVEL WIND SPEEDS NOT EXPECTED AS STRONGEST WINDS ALOFT PASS
OVERNIGHT WITH LIMITED DIURNAL MIXING. DRY AIR QUICKLY MOVES INTO
THE REGION BEHIND THE FRONT WITH RAPID CLEARING...MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES EXPECTED BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON EXCEPT IN THE MAGIC VALLEY AND
CENTRAL IDAHO MOUNTAINS. WEDNESDAY MORNING WILL BE THE COLDEST
MORNING OF THE PERIOD WITH DRY AIR IN PLACE AND LIGHT WINDS.
TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY MODERATE AS A RIDGE BUILDS IN FROM THE
SOUTHWEST WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...A DRY NORTHWESTERLY
FLOW WILL BE THE PREDOMINANT FEATURE AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS
SITS OVER CALIFORNIA THROUGH THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL
TREND TEMPERATURES 5-10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL BY THE WEEKEND AND KEEP
CONDITIONS DRY. THE ECMWF HAS BEEN HINTING AT A PASSING MOIST
SHORTWAVE THAT COULD CLIP THE WEST CENTRAL AND BOISE MOUNTAINS
FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING...BUT HAVE KEPT THE FORECAST DRY
AS CONFIDENCE IS LOW IN THIS MODEL SOLUTION.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WITH SCT/BKN HIGH CLOUDS. SURFACE WINDS
LESS THAN 12 KTS...WILL INCREASE TO 15 KTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KTS
WITH FRONTAL PASSAGE NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST BEGINNING AT 02/21Z IN
SE OREGON...ARRIVING IN THE MAGIC VALLEY 03/07Z. PASSAGE OF
SHORTWAVE WILL BRING SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS TO THE WEST CENTRAL
AND BOISE MOUNTAINS THROUGH 03/12Z...INCLUDING MYL. WINDS ALOFT
NEAR 10K FT MSL...NW 10-15 KTS...INCREASING TO 20-30 KTS AFTER
03/06Z.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...NONE.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

SHORT TERM...KA
LONG TERM....AB/BW/DD
AVIATION.....AB/BW





000
FXUS65 KBOI 022203
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
303 PM MST MON MAR 2 2015

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...A COLD FRONT JUST TO THE
NORTH OF OUR AREA WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS SOUTHWEST IDAHO AND
SOUTHEAST OREGON LATER THIS EVENING INTO TUESDAY MORNING. SHOWERS
EXPECTED MAINLY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN TONIGHT. A FEW SPRINKLES
OR FLURRIES POSSIBLE IN THE TREASURE VALLEY ALONG THE FRONT BUT NOT
EXPECTING ANY MEASURABLE ACCUMULATION. WINDS WILL BE THE BIGGEST
FACTOR WITH THIS COLD FRONT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. ADVISORY
LEVEL WIND SPEEDS NOT EXPECTED AS STRONGEST WINDS ALOFT PASS
OVERNIGHT WITH LIMITED DIURNAL MIXING. DRY AIR QUICKLY MOVES INTO
THE REGION BEHIND THE FRONT WITH RAPID CLEARING...MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES EXPECTED BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON EXCEPT IN THE MAGIC VALLEY AND
CENTRAL IDAHO MOUNTAINS. WEDNESDAY MORNING WILL BE THE COLDEST
MORNING OF THE PERIOD WITH DRY AIR IN PLACE AND LIGHT WINDS.
TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY MODERATE AS A RIDGE BUILDS IN FROM THE
SOUTHWEST WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...A DRY NORTHWESTERLY
FLOW WILL BE THE PREDOMINANT FEATURE AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS
SITS OVER CALIFORNIA THROUGH THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL
TREND TEMPERATURES 5-10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL BY THE WEEKEND AND KEEP
CONDITIONS DRY. THE ECMWF HAS BEEN HINTING AT A PASSING MOIST
SHORTWAVE THAT COULD CLIP THE WEST CENTRAL AND BOISE MOUNTAINS
FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING...BUT HAVE KEPT THE FORECAST DRY
AS CONFIDENCE IS LOW IN THIS MODEL SOLUTION.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WITH SCT/BKN HIGH CLOUDS. SURFACE WINDS
LESS THAN 12 KTS...WILL INCREASE TO 15 KTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KTS
WITH FRONTAL PASSAGE NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST BEGINNING AT 02/21Z IN
SE OREGON...ARRIVING IN THE MAGIC VALLEY 03/07Z. PASSAGE OF
SHORTWAVE WILL BRING SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS TO THE WEST CENTRAL
AND BOISE MOUNTAINS THROUGH 03/12Z...INCLUDING MYL. WINDS ALOFT
NEAR 10K FT MSL...NW 10-15 KTS...INCREASING TO 20-30 KTS AFTER
03/06Z.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...NONE.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

SHORT TERM...KA
LONG TERM....AB/BW/DD
AVIATION.....AB/BW




000
FXUS65 KBOI 021652
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
952 AM MST MON MAR 2 2015

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT NOW OVER WASHINGTON AND NW MONTANA WILL
MOVE SOUTHWARD AND REACH THE FORECAST AREA LATER THIS AFTERNOON IN
THE NORTHERN ZONES. COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA
BETWEEN 00-06Z FROM NW TO SE. STRONGEST WINDS ALOFT MOVE OVER THE
SNAKE PLAIN AROUND 09Z WITH SPEEDS BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS.
PRECIPITATION WILL BE LIMITED MOSTLY TO THE HIGHER TERRAIN WITH
THIS SYSTEM. CURRENT FORECAST LOOKS ON TRACK WITH NO UPDATES
PLANNED.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR WITH SCT/BKN HIGH CLOUDS. SURFACE WINDS GENERALLY
LIGHT DURING THE DAY...PICKING UP TO 15-25 KTS OUT OF THE NW AFTER
03/00Z. MAX GUSTS UP TO 30 KTS IN THE MAGIC VALLEY. PASSAGE OF
SHORTWAVE WILL BRING SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS TO THE WEST CENTRAL AND
BOISE MOUNTAINS 02/18Z - 03/12Z...INCLUDING MYL. WINDS ALOFT NEAR
10K FT MSL...NW 10-15 KTS...INCREASING TO 20-30 KTS AFTER 03/06Z.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM...SHORT WAVE TROUGH NOW MOVING RAPIDLY DOWN THE COAST
BUT SOME OF THE ENERGY WILL COME THROUGH THE INTERIOR NORTHWEST
LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.  AT 00Z THIS AFTERNOON THE ASSOCIATED
SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM NEAR MCCALL/ID THROUGH SRN
HARNEY COUNTY/OR.  BY 06Z THE FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM NEAR SALMON
THROUGH TWIN FALLS TO NEAR ELKO/NV. THE FRONT WILL BRING SCATTERED
SNOW SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY TO NRN MOUNTAIN ZONES.  NORTHERLY FLOW
ALOFT OFTEN BRINGS LIGHT PCPN INTO THE SNAKE BASIN SO WE WILL ADD A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS THERE FOR TONIGHT.  FRONT AND SNOW
SHOWERS WILL EXIT OUR ERN AND SERN-MOST ZONES TUESDAY.  BEHIND THE
FRONT IS A COLDER AND DRIER AIR MASS UNDER STRONG NORTHERLY FLOW
ALOFT.  MOMENTUM ALOFT WILL MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE RESULTING IN
GUSTY NORTHWEST SURFACE WINDS LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY.
STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD BE IN THE UPPER TREASURE VALLEY AND WESTERN
MAGIC VALLEY BUT BELOW ADVISORY SPEEDS.

LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...A COOLER AND DRY
NORTHERLY FLOW WILL REMAIN IN PLACE WEDNESDAY...KEEPING TEMPERATURES
BELOW NORMAL. HOWEVER...A UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL AMPLIFY AND THE
AXIS IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEAR CALIFORNIA THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THIS
WILL TREND TEMPERATURES TO ABOVE NORMAL AND KEEP CONDITIONS DRY. THE
ECMWF HAS BEEN HINTING AT A QUICK SHORTWAVE CLIPPING THE IDAHO
CENTRAL MOUNTAINS WITH SOME PRECIP LATE FRIDAY INTO EARLY SATURDAY
..BUT THIS FEATURE HAS NOT BEEN CONSISTENTLY SHOWN...SO THE
FORECAST REMAINS DRY THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...NONE.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

DISCUSSION...KA
AVIATION.....AB/BW
PREV SHORT TERM...LC
PREV LONG TERM....EP




000
FXUS65 KBOI 021652
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
952 AM MST MON MAR 2 2015

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT NOW OVER WASHINGTON AND NW MONTANA WILL
MOVE SOUTHWARD AND REACH THE FORECAST AREA LATER THIS AFTERNOON IN
THE NORTHERN ZONES. COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA
BETWEEN 00-06Z FROM NW TO SE. STRONGEST WINDS ALOFT MOVE OVER THE
SNAKE PLAIN AROUND 09Z WITH SPEEDS BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS.
PRECIPITATION WILL BE LIMITED MOSTLY TO THE HIGHER TERRAIN WITH
THIS SYSTEM. CURRENT FORECAST LOOKS ON TRACK WITH NO UPDATES
PLANNED.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR WITH SCT/BKN HIGH CLOUDS. SURFACE WINDS GENERALLY
LIGHT DURING THE DAY...PICKING UP TO 15-25 KTS OUT OF THE NW AFTER
03/00Z. MAX GUSTS UP TO 30 KTS IN THE MAGIC VALLEY. PASSAGE OF
SHORTWAVE WILL BRING SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS TO THE WEST CENTRAL AND
BOISE MOUNTAINS 02/18Z - 03/12Z...INCLUDING MYL. WINDS ALOFT NEAR
10K FT MSL...NW 10-15 KTS...INCREASING TO 20-30 KTS AFTER 03/06Z.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM...SHORT WAVE TROUGH NOW MOVING RAPIDLY DOWN THE COAST
BUT SOME OF THE ENERGY WILL COME THROUGH THE INTERIOR NORTHWEST
LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.  AT 00Z THIS AFTERNOON THE ASSOCIATED
SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM NEAR MCCALL/ID THROUGH SRN
HARNEY COUNTY/OR.  BY 06Z THE FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM NEAR SALMON
THROUGH TWIN FALLS TO NEAR ELKO/NV. THE FRONT WILL BRING SCATTERED
SNOW SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY TO NRN MOUNTAIN ZONES.  NORTHERLY FLOW
ALOFT OFTEN BRINGS LIGHT PCPN INTO THE SNAKE BASIN SO WE WILL ADD A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS THERE FOR TONIGHT.  FRONT AND SNOW
SHOWERS WILL EXIT OUR ERN AND SERN-MOST ZONES TUESDAY.  BEHIND THE
FRONT IS A COLDER AND DRIER AIR MASS UNDER STRONG NORTHERLY FLOW
ALOFT.  MOMENTUM ALOFT WILL MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE RESULTING IN
GUSTY NORTHWEST SURFACE WINDS LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY.
STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD BE IN THE UPPER TREASURE VALLEY AND WESTERN
MAGIC VALLEY BUT BELOW ADVISORY SPEEDS.

LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...A COOLER AND DRY
NORTHERLY FLOW WILL REMAIN IN PLACE WEDNESDAY...KEEPING TEMPERATURES
BELOW NORMAL. HOWEVER...A UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL AMPLIFY AND THE
AXIS IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEAR CALIFORNIA THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THIS
WILL TREND TEMPERATURES TO ABOVE NORMAL AND KEEP CONDITIONS DRY. THE
ECMWF HAS BEEN HINTING AT A QUICK SHORTWAVE CLIPPING THE IDAHO
CENTRAL MOUNTAINS WITH SOME PRECIP LATE FRIDAY INTO EARLY SATURDAY
..BUT THIS FEATURE HAS NOT BEEN CONSISTENTLY SHOWN...SO THE
FORECAST REMAINS DRY THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...NONE.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

DISCUSSION...KA
AVIATION.....AB/BW
PREV SHORT TERM...LC
PREV LONG TERM....EP




000
FXUS65 KBOI 021652
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
952 AM MST MON MAR 2 2015

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT NOW OVER WASHINGTON AND NW MONTANA WILL
MOVE SOUTHWARD AND REACH THE FORECAST AREA LATER THIS AFTERNOON IN
THE NORTHERN ZONES. COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA
BETWEEN 00-06Z FROM NW TO SE. STRONGEST WINDS ALOFT MOVE OVER THE
SNAKE PLAIN AROUND 09Z WITH SPEEDS BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS.
PRECIPITATION WILL BE LIMITED MOSTLY TO THE HIGHER TERRAIN WITH
THIS SYSTEM. CURRENT FORECAST LOOKS ON TRACK WITH NO UPDATES
PLANNED.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR WITH SCT/BKN HIGH CLOUDS. SURFACE WINDS GENERALLY
LIGHT DURING THE DAY...PICKING UP TO 15-25 KTS OUT OF THE NW AFTER
03/00Z. MAX GUSTS UP TO 30 KTS IN THE MAGIC VALLEY. PASSAGE OF
SHORTWAVE WILL BRING SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS TO THE WEST CENTRAL AND
BOISE MOUNTAINS 02/18Z - 03/12Z...INCLUDING MYL. WINDS ALOFT NEAR
10K FT MSL...NW 10-15 KTS...INCREASING TO 20-30 KTS AFTER 03/06Z.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM...SHORT WAVE TROUGH NOW MOVING RAPIDLY DOWN THE COAST
BUT SOME OF THE ENERGY WILL COME THROUGH THE INTERIOR NORTHWEST
LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.  AT 00Z THIS AFTERNOON THE ASSOCIATED
SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM NEAR MCCALL/ID THROUGH SRN
HARNEY COUNTY/OR.  BY 06Z THE FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM NEAR SALMON
THROUGH TWIN FALLS TO NEAR ELKO/NV. THE FRONT WILL BRING SCATTERED
SNOW SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY TO NRN MOUNTAIN ZONES.  NORTHERLY FLOW
ALOFT OFTEN BRINGS LIGHT PCPN INTO THE SNAKE BASIN SO WE WILL ADD A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS THERE FOR TONIGHT.  FRONT AND SNOW
SHOWERS WILL EXIT OUR ERN AND SERN-MOST ZONES TUESDAY.  BEHIND THE
FRONT IS A COLDER AND DRIER AIR MASS UNDER STRONG NORTHERLY FLOW
ALOFT.  MOMENTUM ALOFT WILL MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE RESULTING IN
GUSTY NORTHWEST SURFACE WINDS LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY.
STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD BE IN THE UPPER TREASURE VALLEY AND WESTERN
MAGIC VALLEY BUT BELOW ADVISORY SPEEDS.

LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...A COOLER AND DRY
NORTHERLY FLOW WILL REMAIN IN PLACE WEDNESDAY...KEEPING TEMPERATURES
BELOW NORMAL. HOWEVER...A UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL AMPLIFY AND THE
AXIS IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEAR CALIFORNIA THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THIS
WILL TREND TEMPERATURES TO ABOVE NORMAL AND KEEP CONDITIONS DRY. THE
ECMWF HAS BEEN HINTING AT A QUICK SHORTWAVE CLIPPING THE IDAHO
CENTRAL MOUNTAINS WITH SOME PRECIP LATE FRIDAY INTO EARLY SATURDAY
..BUT THIS FEATURE HAS NOT BEEN CONSISTENTLY SHOWN...SO THE
FORECAST REMAINS DRY THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...NONE.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

DISCUSSION...KA
AVIATION.....AB/BW
PREV SHORT TERM...LC
PREV LONG TERM....EP





000
FXUS65 KBOI 021652
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
952 AM MST MON MAR 2 2015

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT NOW OVER WASHINGTON AND NW MONTANA WILL
MOVE SOUTHWARD AND REACH THE FORECAST AREA LATER THIS AFTERNOON IN
THE NORTHERN ZONES. COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA
BETWEEN 00-06Z FROM NW TO SE. STRONGEST WINDS ALOFT MOVE OVER THE
SNAKE PLAIN AROUND 09Z WITH SPEEDS BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS.
PRECIPITATION WILL BE LIMITED MOSTLY TO THE HIGHER TERRAIN WITH
THIS SYSTEM. CURRENT FORECAST LOOKS ON TRACK WITH NO UPDATES
PLANNED.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR WITH SCT/BKN HIGH CLOUDS. SURFACE WINDS GENERALLY
LIGHT DURING THE DAY...PICKING UP TO 15-25 KTS OUT OF THE NW AFTER
03/00Z. MAX GUSTS UP TO 30 KTS IN THE MAGIC VALLEY. PASSAGE OF
SHORTWAVE WILL BRING SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS TO THE WEST CENTRAL AND
BOISE MOUNTAINS 02/18Z - 03/12Z...INCLUDING MYL. WINDS ALOFT NEAR
10K FT MSL...NW 10-15 KTS...INCREASING TO 20-30 KTS AFTER 03/06Z.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM...SHORT WAVE TROUGH NOW MOVING RAPIDLY DOWN THE COAST
BUT SOME OF THE ENERGY WILL COME THROUGH THE INTERIOR NORTHWEST
LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.  AT 00Z THIS AFTERNOON THE ASSOCIATED
SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM NEAR MCCALL/ID THROUGH SRN
HARNEY COUNTY/OR.  BY 06Z THE FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM NEAR SALMON
THROUGH TWIN FALLS TO NEAR ELKO/NV. THE FRONT WILL BRING SCATTERED
SNOW SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY TO NRN MOUNTAIN ZONES.  NORTHERLY FLOW
ALOFT OFTEN BRINGS LIGHT PCPN INTO THE SNAKE BASIN SO WE WILL ADD A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS THERE FOR TONIGHT.  FRONT AND SNOW
SHOWERS WILL EXIT OUR ERN AND SERN-MOST ZONES TUESDAY.  BEHIND THE
FRONT IS A COLDER AND DRIER AIR MASS UNDER STRONG NORTHERLY FLOW
ALOFT.  MOMENTUM ALOFT WILL MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE RESULTING IN
GUSTY NORTHWEST SURFACE WINDS LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY.
STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD BE IN THE UPPER TREASURE VALLEY AND WESTERN
MAGIC VALLEY BUT BELOW ADVISORY SPEEDS.

LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...A COOLER AND DRY
NORTHERLY FLOW WILL REMAIN IN PLACE WEDNESDAY...KEEPING TEMPERATURES
BELOW NORMAL. HOWEVER...A UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL AMPLIFY AND THE
AXIS IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEAR CALIFORNIA THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THIS
WILL TREND TEMPERATURES TO ABOVE NORMAL AND KEEP CONDITIONS DRY. THE
ECMWF HAS BEEN HINTING AT A QUICK SHORTWAVE CLIPPING THE IDAHO
CENTRAL MOUNTAINS WITH SOME PRECIP LATE FRIDAY INTO EARLY SATURDAY
..BUT THIS FEATURE HAS NOT BEEN CONSISTENTLY SHOWN...SO THE
FORECAST REMAINS DRY THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...NONE.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

DISCUSSION...KA
AVIATION.....AB/BW
PREV SHORT TERM...LC
PREV LONG TERM....EP





000
FXUS65 KBOI 020942
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
242 AM MST MON MAR 2 2015

.SHORT TERM...SHORT WAVE TROUGH NOW MOVING RAPIDLY DOWN THE COAST
BUT SOME OF THE ENERGY WILL COME THROUGH THE INTERIOR NORTHWEST
LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.  AT 00Z THIS AFTERNOON THE ASSOCIATED
SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM NEAR MCCALL/ID THROUGH SRN
HARNEY COUNTY/OR.  BY 06Z THE FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM NEAR SALMON
THROUGH TWIN FALLS TO NEAR ELKO/NV. THE FRONT WILL BRING SCATTERED
SNOW SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY TO NRN MOUNTAIN ZONES.  NORTHERLY FLOW
ALOFT OFTEN BRINGS LIGHT PCPN INTO THE SNAKE BASIN SO WE WILL ADD A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS THERE FOR TONIGHT.  FRONT AND SNOW
SHOWERS WILL EXIT OUR ERN AND SERN-MOST ZONES TUESDAY.  BEHIND THE
FRONT IS A COLDER AND DRIER AIR MASS UNDER STRONG NORTHERLY FLOW
ALOFT.  MOMENTUM ALOFT WILL MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE RESULTING IN
GUSTY NORTHWEST SURFACE WINDS LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY.
STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD BE IN THE UPPER TREASURE VALLEY AND WESTERN
MAGIC VALLEY BUT BELOW ADVISORY SPEEDS.

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...A COOLER AND DRY
NORTHERLY FLOW WILL REMAIN IN PLACE WEDNESDAY...KEEPING TEMPERATURES
BELOW NORMAL. HOWEVER...A UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL AMPLIFY AND THE
AXIS IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEAR CALIFORNIA THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THIS
WILL TREND TEMPERATURES TO ABOVE NORMAL AND KEEP CONDITIONS DRY. THE
ECMWF HAS BEEN HINTING AT A QUICK SHORTWAVE CLIPPING THE IDAHO
CENTRAL MOUNTAINS WITH SOME PRECIP LATE FRIDAY INTO EARLY SATURDAY
...BUT THIS FEATURE HAS NOT BEEN CONSISTENTLY SHOWN...SO THE
FORECAST REMAINS DRY THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR WITH SCT/BKN MID/HIGH CLOUDS. SURFACE WINDS IN IDAHO
GENERALLY 12 KTS OR LESS. SURFACE WINDS IN SE OREGON GENERALLY NW AT
15 KTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KTS. WINDS ALOFT NEAR 10K FT MSL...SW 10-
15 KTS...AFTER 02/21 TURNING TO NW...THEN AFTER 03/09Z INCREASING TO
NW AT 30-40KTS.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...NONE.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

SHORT TERM...LC
LONG TERM....EP
AVIATION.....EP





000
FXUS65 KBOI 020942
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
242 AM MST MON MAR 2 2015

.SHORT TERM...SHORT WAVE TROUGH NOW MOVING RAPIDLY DOWN THE COAST
BUT SOME OF THE ENERGY WILL COME THROUGH THE INTERIOR NORTHWEST
LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.  AT 00Z THIS AFTERNOON THE ASSOCIATED
SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM NEAR MCCALL/ID THROUGH SRN
HARNEY COUNTY/OR.  BY 06Z THE FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM NEAR SALMON
THROUGH TWIN FALLS TO NEAR ELKO/NV. THE FRONT WILL BRING SCATTERED
SNOW SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY TO NRN MOUNTAIN ZONES.  NORTHERLY FLOW
ALOFT OFTEN BRINGS LIGHT PCPN INTO THE SNAKE BASIN SO WE WILL ADD A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS THERE FOR TONIGHT.  FRONT AND SNOW
SHOWERS WILL EXIT OUR ERN AND SERN-MOST ZONES TUESDAY.  BEHIND THE
FRONT IS A COLDER AND DRIER AIR MASS UNDER STRONG NORTHERLY FLOW
ALOFT.  MOMENTUM ALOFT WILL MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE RESULTING IN
GUSTY NORTHWEST SURFACE WINDS LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY.
STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD BE IN THE UPPER TREASURE VALLEY AND WESTERN
MAGIC VALLEY BUT BELOW ADVISORY SPEEDS.

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...A COOLER AND DRY
NORTHERLY FLOW WILL REMAIN IN PLACE WEDNESDAY...KEEPING TEMPERATURES
BELOW NORMAL. HOWEVER...A UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL AMPLIFY AND THE
AXIS IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEAR CALIFORNIA THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THIS
WILL TREND TEMPERATURES TO ABOVE NORMAL AND KEEP CONDITIONS DRY. THE
ECMWF HAS BEEN HINTING AT A QUICK SHORTWAVE CLIPPING THE IDAHO
CENTRAL MOUNTAINS WITH SOME PRECIP LATE FRIDAY INTO EARLY SATURDAY
...BUT THIS FEATURE HAS NOT BEEN CONSISTENTLY SHOWN...SO THE
FORECAST REMAINS DRY THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR WITH SCT/BKN MID/HIGH CLOUDS. SURFACE WINDS IN IDAHO
GENERALLY 12 KTS OR LESS. SURFACE WINDS IN SE OREGON GENERALLY NW AT
15 KTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KTS. WINDS ALOFT NEAR 10K FT MSL...SW 10-
15 KTS...AFTER 02/21 TURNING TO NW...THEN AFTER 03/09Z INCREASING TO
NW AT 30-40KTS.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...NONE.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

SHORT TERM...LC
LONG TERM....EP
AVIATION.....EP




000
FXUS65 KBOI 020942
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
242 AM MST MON MAR 2 2015

.SHORT TERM...SHORT WAVE TROUGH NOW MOVING RAPIDLY DOWN THE COAST
BUT SOME OF THE ENERGY WILL COME THROUGH THE INTERIOR NORTHWEST
LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.  AT 00Z THIS AFTERNOON THE ASSOCIATED
SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM NEAR MCCALL/ID THROUGH SRN
HARNEY COUNTY/OR.  BY 06Z THE FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM NEAR SALMON
THROUGH TWIN FALLS TO NEAR ELKO/NV. THE FRONT WILL BRING SCATTERED
SNOW SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY TO NRN MOUNTAIN ZONES.  NORTHERLY FLOW
ALOFT OFTEN BRINGS LIGHT PCPN INTO THE SNAKE BASIN SO WE WILL ADD A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS THERE FOR TONIGHT.  FRONT AND SNOW
SHOWERS WILL EXIT OUR ERN AND SERN-MOST ZONES TUESDAY.  BEHIND THE
FRONT IS A COLDER AND DRIER AIR MASS UNDER STRONG NORTHERLY FLOW
ALOFT.  MOMENTUM ALOFT WILL MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE RESULTING IN
GUSTY NORTHWEST SURFACE WINDS LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY.
STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD BE IN THE UPPER TREASURE VALLEY AND WESTERN
MAGIC VALLEY BUT BELOW ADVISORY SPEEDS.

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...A COOLER AND DRY
NORTHERLY FLOW WILL REMAIN IN PLACE WEDNESDAY...KEEPING TEMPERATURES
BELOW NORMAL. HOWEVER...A UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL AMPLIFY AND THE
AXIS IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEAR CALIFORNIA THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THIS
WILL TREND TEMPERATURES TO ABOVE NORMAL AND KEEP CONDITIONS DRY. THE
ECMWF HAS BEEN HINTING AT A QUICK SHORTWAVE CLIPPING THE IDAHO
CENTRAL MOUNTAINS WITH SOME PRECIP LATE FRIDAY INTO EARLY SATURDAY
...BUT THIS FEATURE HAS NOT BEEN CONSISTENTLY SHOWN...SO THE
FORECAST REMAINS DRY THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR WITH SCT/BKN MID/HIGH CLOUDS. SURFACE WINDS IN IDAHO
GENERALLY 12 KTS OR LESS. SURFACE WINDS IN SE OREGON GENERALLY NW AT
15 KTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KTS. WINDS ALOFT NEAR 10K FT MSL...SW 10-
15 KTS...AFTER 02/21 TURNING TO NW...THEN AFTER 03/09Z INCREASING TO
NW AT 30-40KTS.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...NONE.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

SHORT TERM...LC
LONG TERM....EP
AVIATION.....EP





000
FXUS65 KBOI 020942
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
242 AM MST MON MAR 2 2015

.SHORT TERM...SHORT WAVE TROUGH NOW MOVING RAPIDLY DOWN THE COAST
BUT SOME OF THE ENERGY WILL COME THROUGH THE INTERIOR NORTHWEST
LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.  AT 00Z THIS AFTERNOON THE ASSOCIATED
SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM NEAR MCCALL/ID THROUGH SRN
HARNEY COUNTY/OR.  BY 06Z THE FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM NEAR SALMON
THROUGH TWIN FALLS TO NEAR ELKO/NV. THE FRONT WILL BRING SCATTERED
SNOW SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY TO NRN MOUNTAIN ZONES.  NORTHERLY FLOW
ALOFT OFTEN BRINGS LIGHT PCPN INTO THE SNAKE BASIN SO WE WILL ADD A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS THERE FOR TONIGHT.  FRONT AND SNOW
SHOWERS WILL EXIT OUR ERN AND SERN-MOST ZONES TUESDAY.  BEHIND THE
FRONT IS A COLDER AND DRIER AIR MASS UNDER STRONG NORTHERLY FLOW
ALOFT.  MOMENTUM ALOFT WILL MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE RESULTING IN
GUSTY NORTHWEST SURFACE WINDS LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY.
STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD BE IN THE UPPER TREASURE VALLEY AND WESTERN
MAGIC VALLEY BUT BELOW ADVISORY SPEEDS.

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...A COOLER AND DRY
NORTHERLY FLOW WILL REMAIN IN PLACE WEDNESDAY...KEEPING TEMPERATURES
BELOW NORMAL. HOWEVER...A UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL AMPLIFY AND THE
AXIS IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEAR CALIFORNIA THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THIS
WILL TREND TEMPERATURES TO ABOVE NORMAL AND KEEP CONDITIONS DRY. THE
ECMWF HAS BEEN HINTING AT A QUICK SHORTWAVE CLIPPING THE IDAHO
CENTRAL MOUNTAINS WITH SOME PRECIP LATE FRIDAY INTO EARLY SATURDAY
...BUT THIS FEATURE HAS NOT BEEN CONSISTENTLY SHOWN...SO THE
FORECAST REMAINS DRY THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR WITH SCT/BKN MID/HIGH CLOUDS. SURFACE WINDS IN IDAHO
GENERALLY 12 KTS OR LESS. SURFACE WINDS IN SE OREGON GENERALLY NW AT
15 KTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KTS. WINDS ALOFT NEAR 10K FT MSL...SW 10-
15 KTS...AFTER 02/21 TURNING TO NW...THEN AFTER 03/09Z INCREASING TO
NW AT 30-40KTS.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...NONE.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

SHORT TERM...LC
LONG TERM....EP
AVIATION.....EP




000
FXUS65 KBOI 020427
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
927 PM MST SUN MAR 1 2015

.DISCUSSION...HIGH CLOUDS ARE ON THE INCREASE THIS EVENING AHEAD
OF A SHORT WAVE TROUGH THAT/S TRACKING SOUTH ALONG THE BC COAST.
THE SYSTEM IS IN THE PROCESS OF SPLITTING WITH SOME ENERGY HEADED
SOUTH ALONG THE COAST AND THE REMAINING ENERGY FORECAST TO TRACK
INTO THE PAC NW ON MONDAY WITH SOME LIGHT MTN SNOWS. BESIDES THE
HIGH CLOUDS WILL SEE LIGHT WINDS AND SEASONABLY COLD TEMPERATURES
FOR TONIGHT. CURRENT FORECAST HANDLES THIS WELL SO NO UPDATE AT
THIS TIME.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR. INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS FROM THE NORTHWEST TONIGHT.
LIGHT AND VARIABLE SURFACE WINDS 10 KNOTS OR LESS. SOUTHWEST WINDS
ALOFT TO 15 KNOTS UP THROUGH 10K FEET MSL. WINDS INCREASING MONDAY
AFTERNOON AHEAD OF A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE ON TUESDAY MORNING. SNOW
SHOWERS EXPECTED IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...SHORTWAVE RIDGE IS
TRANSITIONING ACROSS THE AREA FROM THE NORTH AS A STRONG UPPER
LEVEL LOW OFF THE SOUTHERN CA COAST AND A LARGE OMEGA RIDGE
EXTENDING TO ALASKA BRINGS COOL NORTHERLY FLOW. A COLD FRONT
EMBEDDED IN THIS FLOW IS MOVING THROUGH BRITISH COLUMBIA THIS
AFTERNOON AND WILL REACH OUR AREA LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON FROM THE
NORTH. WINDS WILL INCREASE AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA
LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY MORNING AND BE STRONGEST BETWEEN BAKER
CITY AND ONTARIO AND THROUGH THE MAGIC VALLEY...WITH GUSTS UP TO
40MPH. ADVISORY LEVEL SPEEDS ARE NOT EXPECTED AS WINDS ALOFT WILL
NOT BE FULLY REALIZED DUE LACK OF MIXING FROM THE TIME OF DAY.
PRECIPITATION WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL MAINLY BE FOCUSED OVER THE
HIGHER TERRAIN. DRIER AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION BY TUESDAY
AFTERNOON WITH CLEARING SKIES.

LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...A COOL DRY NORTHERLY
FLOW TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY WILL CONTINUE THE BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES. GUSTY WINDS TUESDAY EVENING WILL DIMINISH BY EARLY
WEDNESDAY. WEDNESDAY WILL BE THE COOLEST DAY OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD
AS HEIGHTS BUILD INTO THE REGION LEADING TO A WARMING TREND AND
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES BY FRIDAY. THE UPPER RIDGE AXIS IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN THE VICINITY OF THE WEST COAST THROUGH NEXT
WEEKEND. A SHORT WAVE IS PROGGED TO MOVE ALONG THE ROCKIES JUST TO
OUR EAST ON SATURDAY...WITH THE ECMWF DEPICTING THIS FEATURE AS
CLOSER AND A LITTLE BIT STRONGER THAN THE GFS. HOWEVER...MAINTAINED
THE DRY FORECAST.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...NONE.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

DISCUSSION...DG
AVIATION.....JS
PREV SHORT TERM...KA
PREV LONG TERM....BW/WH





000
FXUS65 KBOI 020427
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
927 PM MST SUN MAR 1 2015

.DISCUSSION...HIGH CLOUDS ARE ON THE INCREASE THIS EVENING AHEAD
OF A SHORT WAVE TROUGH THAT/S TRACKING SOUTH ALONG THE BC COAST.
THE SYSTEM IS IN THE PROCESS OF SPLITTING WITH SOME ENERGY HEADED
SOUTH ALONG THE COAST AND THE REMAINING ENERGY FORECAST TO TRACK
INTO THE PAC NW ON MONDAY WITH SOME LIGHT MTN SNOWS. BESIDES THE
HIGH CLOUDS WILL SEE LIGHT WINDS AND SEASONABLY COLD TEMPERATURES
FOR TONIGHT. CURRENT FORECAST HANDLES THIS WELL SO NO UPDATE AT
THIS TIME.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR. INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS FROM THE NORTHWEST TONIGHT.
LIGHT AND VARIABLE SURFACE WINDS 10 KNOTS OR LESS. SOUTHWEST WINDS
ALOFT TO 15 KNOTS UP THROUGH 10K FEET MSL. WINDS INCREASING MONDAY
AFTERNOON AHEAD OF A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE ON TUESDAY MORNING. SNOW
SHOWERS EXPECTED IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...SHORTWAVE RIDGE IS
TRANSITIONING ACROSS THE AREA FROM THE NORTH AS A STRONG UPPER
LEVEL LOW OFF THE SOUTHERN CA COAST AND A LARGE OMEGA RIDGE
EXTENDING TO ALASKA BRINGS COOL NORTHERLY FLOW. A COLD FRONT
EMBEDDED IN THIS FLOW IS MOVING THROUGH BRITISH COLUMBIA THIS
AFTERNOON AND WILL REACH OUR AREA LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON FROM THE
NORTH. WINDS WILL INCREASE AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA
LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY MORNING AND BE STRONGEST BETWEEN BAKER
CITY AND ONTARIO AND THROUGH THE MAGIC VALLEY...WITH GUSTS UP TO
40MPH. ADVISORY LEVEL SPEEDS ARE NOT EXPECTED AS WINDS ALOFT WILL
NOT BE FULLY REALIZED DUE LACK OF MIXING FROM THE TIME OF DAY.
PRECIPITATION WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL MAINLY BE FOCUSED OVER THE
HIGHER TERRAIN. DRIER AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION BY TUESDAY
AFTERNOON WITH CLEARING SKIES.

LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...A COOL DRY NORTHERLY
FLOW TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY WILL CONTINUE THE BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES. GUSTY WINDS TUESDAY EVENING WILL DIMINISH BY EARLY
WEDNESDAY. WEDNESDAY WILL BE THE COOLEST DAY OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD
AS HEIGHTS BUILD INTO THE REGION LEADING TO A WARMING TREND AND
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES BY FRIDAY. THE UPPER RIDGE AXIS IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN THE VICINITY OF THE WEST COAST THROUGH NEXT
WEEKEND. A SHORT WAVE IS PROGGED TO MOVE ALONG THE ROCKIES JUST TO
OUR EAST ON SATURDAY...WITH THE ECMWF DEPICTING THIS FEATURE AS
CLOSER AND A LITTLE BIT STRONGER THAN THE GFS. HOWEVER...MAINTAINED
THE DRY FORECAST.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...NONE.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

DISCUSSION...DG
AVIATION.....JS
PREV SHORT TERM...KA
PREV LONG TERM....BW/WH





000
FXUS65 KBOI 020427
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
927 PM MST SUN MAR 1 2015

.DISCUSSION...HIGH CLOUDS ARE ON THE INCREASE THIS EVENING AHEAD
OF A SHORT WAVE TROUGH THAT/S TRACKING SOUTH ALONG THE BC COAST.
THE SYSTEM IS IN THE PROCESS OF SPLITTING WITH SOME ENERGY HEADED
SOUTH ALONG THE COAST AND THE REMAINING ENERGY FORECAST TO TRACK
INTO THE PAC NW ON MONDAY WITH SOME LIGHT MTN SNOWS. BESIDES THE
HIGH CLOUDS WILL SEE LIGHT WINDS AND SEASONABLY COLD TEMPERATURES
FOR TONIGHT. CURRENT FORECAST HANDLES THIS WELL SO NO UPDATE AT
THIS TIME.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR. INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS FROM THE NORTHWEST TONIGHT.
LIGHT AND VARIABLE SURFACE WINDS 10 KNOTS OR LESS. SOUTHWEST WINDS
ALOFT TO 15 KNOTS UP THROUGH 10K FEET MSL. WINDS INCREASING MONDAY
AFTERNOON AHEAD OF A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE ON TUESDAY MORNING. SNOW
SHOWERS EXPECTED IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...SHORTWAVE RIDGE IS
TRANSITIONING ACROSS THE AREA FROM THE NORTH AS A STRONG UPPER
LEVEL LOW OFF THE SOUTHERN CA COAST AND A LARGE OMEGA RIDGE
EXTENDING TO ALASKA BRINGS COOL NORTHERLY FLOW. A COLD FRONT
EMBEDDED IN THIS FLOW IS MOVING THROUGH BRITISH COLUMBIA THIS
AFTERNOON AND WILL REACH OUR AREA LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON FROM THE
NORTH. WINDS WILL INCREASE AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA
LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY MORNING AND BE STRONGEST BETWEEN BAKER
CITY AND ONTARIO AND THROUGH THE MAGIC VALLEY...WITH GUSTS UP TO
40MPH. ADVISORY LEVEL SPEEDS ARE NOT EXPECTED AS WINDS ALOFT WILL
NOT BE FULLY REALIZED DUE LACK OF MIXING FROM THE TIME OF DAY.
PRECIPITATION WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL MAINLY BE FOCUSED OVER THE
HIGHER TERRAIN. DRIER AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION BY TUESDAY
AFTERNOON WITH CLEARING SKIES.

LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...A COOL DRY NORTHERLY
FLOW TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY WILL CONTINUE THE BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES. GUSTY WINDS TUESDAY EVENING WILL DIMINISH BY EARLY
WEDNESDAY. WEDNESDAY WILL BE THE COOLEST DAY OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD
AS HEIGHTS BUILD INTO THE REGION LEADING TO A WARMING TREND AND
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES BY FRIDAY. THE UPPER RIDGE AXIS IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN THE VICINITY OF THE WEST COAST THROUGH NEXT
WEEKEND. A SHORT WAVE IS PROGGED TO MOVE ALONG THE ROCKIES JUST TO
OUR EAST ON SATURDAY...WITH THE ECMWF DEPICTING THIS FEATURE AS
CLOSER AND A LITTLE BIT STRONGER THAN THE GFS. HOWEVER...MAINTAINED
THE DRY FORECAST.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...NONE.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

DISCUSSION...DG
AVIATION.....JS
PREV SHORT TERM...KA
PREV LONG TERM....BW/WH




000
FXUS65 KBOI 020427
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
927 PM MST SUN MAR 1 2015

.DISCUSSION...HIGH CLOUDS ARE ON THE INCREASE THIS EVENING AHEAD
OF A SHORT WAVE TROUGH THAT/S TRACKING SOUTH ALONG THE BC COAST.
THE SYSTEM IS IN THE PROCESS OF SPLITTING WITH SOME ENERGY HEADED
SOUTH ALONG THE COAST AND THE REMAINING ENERGY FORECAST TO TRACK
INTO THE PAC NW ON MONDAY WITH SOME LIGHT MTN SNOWS. BESIDES THE
HIGH CLOUDS WILL SEE LIGHT WINDS AND SEASONABLY COLD TEMPERATURES
FOR TONIGHT. CURRENT FORECAST HANDLES THIS WELL SO NO UPDATE AT
THIS TIME.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR. INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS FROM THE NORTHWEST TONIGHT.
LIGHT AND VARIABLE SURFACE WINDS 10 KNOTS OR LESS. SOUTHWEST WINDS
ALOFT TO 15 KNOTS UP THROUGH 10K FEET MSL. WINDS INCREASING MONDAY
AFTERNOON AHEAD OF A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE ON TUESDAY MORNING. SNOW
SHOWERS EXPECTED IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...SHORTWAVE RIDGE IS
TRANSITIONING ACROSS THE AREA FROM THE NORTH AS A STRONG UPPER
LEVEL LOW OFF THE SOUTHERN CA COAST AND A LARGE OMEGA RIDGE
EXTENDING TO ALASKA BRINGS COOL NORTHERLY FLOW. A COLD FRONT
EMBEDDED IN THIS FLOW IS MOVING THROUGH BRITISH COLUMBIA THIS
AFTERNOON AND WILL REACH OUR AREA LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON FROM THE
NORTH. WINDS WILL INCREASE AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA
LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY MORNING AND BE STRONGEST BETWEEN BAKER
CITY AND ONTARIO AND THROUGH THE MAGIC VALLEY...WITH GUSTS UP TO
40MPH. ADVISORY LEVEL SPEEDS ARE NOT EXPECTED AS WINDS ALOFT WILL
NOT BE FULLY REALIZED DUE LACK OF MIXING FROM THE TIME OF DAY.
PRECIPITATION WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL MAINLY BE FOCUSED OVER THE
HIGHER TERRAIN. DRIER AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION BY TUESDAY
AFTERNOON WITH CLEARING SKIES.

LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...A COOL DRY NORTHERLY
FLOW TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY WILL CONTINUE THE BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES. GUSTY WINDS TUESDAY EVENING WILL DIMINISH BY EARLY
WEDNESDAY. WEDNESDAY WILL BE THE COOLEST DAY OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD
AS HEIGHTS BUILD INTO THE REGION LEADING TO A WARMING TREND AND
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES BY FRIDAY. THE UPPER RIDGE AXIS IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN THE VICINITY OF THE WEST COAST THROUGH NEXT
WEEKEND. A SHORT WAVE IS PROGGED TO MOVE ALONG THE ROCKIES JUST TO
OUR EAST ON SATURDAY...WITH THE ECMWF DEPICTING THIS FEATURE AS
CLOSER AND A LITTLE BIT STRONGER THAN THE GFS. HOWEVER...MAINTAINED
THE DRY FORECAST.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...NONE.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

DISCUSSION...DG
AVIATION.....JS
PREV SHORT TERM...KA
PREV LONG TERM....BW/WH




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