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000
FXUS65 KBOI 302044
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
244 PM MDT TUE JUN 30 2015

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...ZONAL FLOW OVER THE AREA
TONIGHT AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING EAST ALONG THE CANADIAN
BORDER FLATTENING THE RIDGE CENTERED NEAR THE FOUR CORNERS AREA.
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER SOUTHWEST IDAHO THROUGH
THIS EVENING...MAINLY SOUTH OF THE SNAKE RIVER VALLEY. WEDNESDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY REBUILD OVER
THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST FOR A RETURN TO DRY CONDITIONS AND
TEMPERATURES 10 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. MAIN CONCERN FOR
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY WILL BE MONSOON MOISTURE
TRAPPED UNDER THE RIDGE. AT THIS TIME LOOKS LIKE ANY SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE MONSOON MOISTURE WILL STAY SOUTH
OF THE FORECAST AREA...BUT IF IT MOVES FURTHER NORTH THAN EXPECTED
WILL NEED TO ADD IN A MENTION OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO
ZONES ALONG THE NEVADA BORDER.

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
WILL SLOWLY TRANSITION FROM THE GREAT BASIN /CENTERED OVER NEVADA
AND UTAH/ TOWARDS FOUR CORNERS AREA OF THE DESERT SOUTHWEST. AS THIS
TRANSITION OCCURS SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL DEVELOP ALLOWING MONSOONAL
MOISTURE TO CREEP NORTHWARD BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THE MONSOONAL
MOISTURE WILL INCREASE CHANCES FOR AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY MAINLY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN IN THE SOUTHERN
ZONES. TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO REMAIN 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL
THROUGH THE EXTENDED PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS SOUTH OF A LINE FROM KREO-
KBOI-KSNT MAINLY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN. SURFACE WINDS GENERALLY NW
12KT OR LESS...EXCEPT GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS TO 50KT NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS AND ASSOCIATED OUTFLOWS. WINDS ALOFT AT 10K FEET
MSL...WESTERLY 10-20KT.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...NONE.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

SHORT TERM...JA
LONG TERM....KA/WH
AVIATION.....KA





000
FXUS65 KBOI 302044
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
244 PM MDT TUE JUN 30 2015

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...ZONAL FLOW OVER THE AREA
TONIGHT AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING EAST ALONG THE CANADIAN
BORDER FLATTENING THE RIDGE CENTERED NEAR THE FOUR CORNERS AREA.
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER SOUTHWEST IDAHO THROUGH
THIS EVENING...MAINLY SOUTH OF THE SNAKE RIVER VALLEY. WEDNESDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY REBUILD OVER
THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST FOR A RETURN TO DRY CONDITIONS AND
TEMPERATURES 10 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. MAIN CONCERN FOR
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY WILL BE MONSOON MOISTURE
TRAPPED UNDER THE RIDGE. AT THIS TIME LOOKS LIKE ANY SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE MONSOON MOISTURE WILL STAY SOUTH
OF THE FORECAST AREA...BUT IF IT MOVES FURTHER NORTH THAN EXPECTED
WILL NEED TO ADD IN A MENTION OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO
ZONES ALONG THE NEVADA BORDER.

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
WILL SLOWLY TRANSITION FROM THE GREAT BASIN /CENTERED OVER NEVADA
AND UTAH/ TOWARDS FOUR CORNERS AREA OF THE DESERT SOUTHWEST. AS THIS
TRANSITION OCCURS SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL DEVELOP ALLOWING MONSOONAL
MOISTURE TO CREEP NORTHWARD BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THE MONSOONAL
MOISTURE WILL INCREASE CHANCES FOR AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY MAINLY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN IN THE SOUTHERN
ZONES. TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO REMAIN 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL
THROUGH THE EXTENDED PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS SOUTH OF A LINE FROM KREO-
KBOI-KSNT MAINLY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN. SURFACE WINDS GENERALLY NW
12KT OR LESS...EXCEPT GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS TO 50KT NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS AND ASSOCIATED OUTFLOWS. WINDS ALOFT AT 10K FEET
MSL...WESTERLY 10-20KT.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...NONE.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

SHORT TERM...JA
LONG TERM....KA/WH
AVIATION.....KA




000
FXUS65 KBOI 301557
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
957 AM MDT TUE JUN 30 2015

.DISCUSSION...DID A QUICK UPDATE TO THE ZONES TO INCREASE THE
COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE WEST
CENTRAL MOUNTAINS. MODELS HAVE NOT BEEN DOING WELL THE LAST FEW
DAYS SHOWING WHERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP...BUT WILL GO WITH
THE TREND OF THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ON THE CLEAR EDGE OF THE
CLOUD BAND THAT IS CURRENTLY OVER THE REGION SO SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE MAINLY SOUTH OF A ROME TO BOISE TO STANLEY
LINE. EXPECT THUNDERSTORMS TO REMAIN OVER HIGHER TERRAIN BUT
COULD DRIFT OUT INTO THE SNAKE RIVER VALLEY. MORNING SOUNDING
SHOWS INCREASING MOISTURE OVER THE REGION FOR A BETTER CHANCE OF
RAIN FALLING OUT OF THE THUNDERSTORMS BUT ANY PRECIPITATION WILL
STILL BE MAINLY NEAR THE CORE OF THE STORM WITH THE MAIN THREAT
FROM THUNDERSTORMS BEING GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP
LATE THIS AFTERNOON SOUTH OF A LINE FROM KREO-KBOI. MAINLY NORTHWEST
SURFACE WINDS 12 KNOTS OR LESS...EXCEPT GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS TO
50KT NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AND ASSOCIATED OUTFLOWS. WINDS ALOFT AT 10K
FEET MSL...WESTERLY 10-20KT.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...UPPER LEVEL FLOW TURNS
FROM JUST SOUTH OF ZONAL TO JUST NORTH TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS
THE UPPER HIGH BUILDS SLOWLY WEST FROM UTAH TO NEVADA. THIS WILL
KEEP US HOT AND MOSTLY DRY...ALTHOUGH SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE IN
THE FORECAST THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING MAINLY IN THE SOUTH.
INSTABILITY IS NOT FORECAST TO BE AS HIGH AS IT HAS BEEN THE PAST
SEVERAL DAYS...SO STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE AS NUMEROUS OR AS
STRONG. WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE STILL POSSIBLE IN THE STRONGER
STORMS...HOWEVER. BY WED AFTERNOON...MORE STABLE AIR UNDER THE
EASTERN SIDE OF THE RIDGE SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO INHIBIT CONVECTION
TO LEVELS BELOW A 15 PERCENT CHANCE.

LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN PLACE OVER NEVADA THROUGH AT LEAST
FRIDAY...KEEPING CONDITIONS DRY AND TEMPERATURES 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL. FOR THE WEEKEND THROUGH TUESDAY...MODELS CONTINUE TO HINT AT
THE RIDGE DRIFTING MORE TOWARDS THE FOUR CORNERS AREA...WHICH WOULD
FAVOR AN INCREASED CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HOWEVER...CONFIDENCE
REMAINS LOW FOR THIS PATTERN CHANGE AS MODELS CONTINUE TO DIVERGE
MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...NONE.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

DISCUSSION........JA
AVIATION..........KA
PREV SHORT TERM...SP
PREV LONG TERM....EP





000
FXUS65 KBOI 301557
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
957 AM MDT TUE JUN 30 2015

.DISCUSSION...DID A QUICK UPDATE TO THE ZONES TO INCREASE THE
COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE WEST
CENTRAL MOUNTAINS. MODELS HAVE NOT BEEN DOING WELL THE LAST FEW
DAYS SHOWING WHERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP...BUT WILL GO WITH
THE TREND OF THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ON THE CLEAR EDGE OF THE
CLOUD BAND THAT IS CURRENTLY OVER THE REGION SO SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE MAINLY SOUTH OF A ROME TO BOISE TO STANLEY
LINE. EXPECT THUNDERSTORMS TO REMAIN OVER HIGHER TERRAIN BUT
COULD DRIFT OUT INTO THE SNAKE RIVER VALLEY. MORNING SOUNDING
SHOWS INCREASING MOISTURE OVER THE REGION FOR A BETTER CHANCE OF
RAIN FALLING OUT OF THE THUNDERSTORMS BUT ANY PRECIPITATION WILL
STILL BE MAINLY NEAR THE CORE OF THE STORM WITH THE MAIN THREAT
FROM THUNDERSTORMS BEING GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP
LATE THIS AFTERNOON SOUTH OF A LINE FROM KREO-KBOI. MAINLY NORTHWEST
SURFACE WINDS 12 KNOTS OR LESS...EXCEPT GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS TO
50KT NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AND ASSOCIATED OUTFLOWS. WINDS ALOFT AT 10K
FEET MSL...WESTERLY 10-20KT.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...UPPER LEVEL FLOW TURNS
FROM JUST SOUTH OF ZONAL TO JUST NORTH TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS
THE UPPER HIGH BUILDS SLOWLY WEST FROM UTAH TO NEVADA. THIS WILL
KEEP US HOT AND MOSTLY DRY...ALTHOUGH SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE IN
THE FORECAST THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING MAINLY IN THE SOUTH.
INSTABILITY IS NOT FORECAST TO BE AS HIGH AS IT HAS BEEN THE PAST
SEVERAL DAYS...SO STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE AS NUMEROUS OR AS
STRONG. WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE STILL POSSIBLE IN THE STRONGER
STORMS...HOWEVER. BY WED AFTERNOON...MORE STABLE AIR UNDER THE
EASTERN SIDE OF THE RIDGE SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO INHIBIT CONVECTION
TO LEVELS BELOW A 15 PERCENT CHANCE.

LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN PLACE OVER NEVADA THROUGH AT LEAST
FRIDAY...KEEPING CONDITIONS DRY AND TEMPERATURES 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL. FOR THE WEEKEND THROUGH TUESDAY...MODELS CONTINUE TO HINT AT
THE RIDGE DRIFTING MORE TOWARDS THE FOUR CORNERS AREA...WHICH WOULD
FAVOR AN INCREASED CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HOWEVER...CONFIDENCE
REMAINS LOW FOR THIS PATTERN CHANGE AS MODELS CONTINUE TO DIVERGE
MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...NONE.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

DISCUSSION........JA
AVIATION..........KA
PREV SHORT TERM...SP
PREV LONG TERM....EP




000
FXUS65 KBOI 300837
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
237 AM MDT TUE JUN 30 2015

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...UPPER LEVEL FLOW TURNS
FROM JUST SOUTH OF ZONAL TO JUST NORTH TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS
THE UPPER HIGH BUILDS SLOWLY WEST FROM UTAH TO NEVADA. THIS WILL
KEEP US HOT AND MOSTLY DRY...ALTHOUGH SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE IN
THE FORECAST THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING MAINLY IN THE SOUTH.
INSTABILITY IS NOT FORECAST TO BE AS HIGH AS IT HAS BEEN THE PAST
SEVERAL DAYS...SO STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE AS NUMEROUS OR AS
STRONG. WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE STILL POSSIBLE IN THE STRONGER
STORMS...HOWEVER. BY WED AFTERNOON...MORE STABLE AIR UNDER THE
EASTERN SIDE OF THE RIDGE SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO INHIBIT CONVECTION
TO LEVELS BELOW A 15 PERCENT CHANCE.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN PLACE OVER NEVADA THROUGH AT LEAST
FRIDAY...KEEPING CONDITIONS DRY AND TEMPERATURES 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL. FOR THE WEEKEND THROUGH TUESDAY...MODELS CONTINUE TO HINT AT
THE RIDGE DRIFTING MORE TOWARDS THE FOUR CORNERS AREA...WHICH WOULD
FAVOR AN INCREASED CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HOWEVER...CONFIDENCE
REMAINS LOW FOR THIS PATTERN CHANGE AS MODELS CONTINUE TO DIVERGE
MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR WITH SCT-BKN HIGH CLOUDS. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING AFTER 30/20Z ALONG THE ID/NV BORDER.
VARIABLE GUSTY WINDS UP TO 45KTS POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
OTHERWISE...SURFACE WINDS GENERALLY 12 KTS OR LESS...WITH GUSTS
TO 20 KTS IN THE MAGIC VALLEY. WINDS ALOFT NEAR 10K FT MSL...WEST
AROUND 10 KTS.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...NONE.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

SHORT TERM...SP
LONG TERM....EP
AVIATION.....EP




000
FXUS65 KBOI 300837
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
237 AM MDT TUE JUN 30 2015

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...UPPER LEVEL FLOW TURNS
FROM JUST SOUTH OF ZONAL TO JUST NORTH TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS
THE UPPER HIGH BUILDS SLOWLY WEST FROM UTAH TO NEVADA. THIS WILL
KEEP US HOT AND MOSTLY DRY...ALTHOUGH SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE IN
THE FORECAST THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING MAINLY IN THE SOUTH.
INSTABILITY IS NOT FORECAST TO BE AS HIGH AS IT HAS BEEN THE PAST
SEVERAL DAYS...SO STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE AS NUMEROUS OR AS
STRONG. WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE STILL POSSIBLE IN THE STRONGER
STORMS...HOWEVER. BY WED AFTERNOON...MORE STABLE AIR UNDER THE
EASTERN SIDE OF THE RIDGE SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO INHIBIT CONVECTION
TO LEVELS BELOW A 15 PERCENT CHANCE.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN PLACE OVER NEVADA THROUGH AT LEAST
FRIDAY...KEEPING CONDITIONS DRY AND TEMPERATURES 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL. FOR THE WEEKEND THROUGH TUESDAY...MODELS CONTINUE TO HINT AT
THE RIDGE DRIFTING MORE TOWARDS THE FOUR CORNERS AREA...WHICH WOULD
FAVOR AN INCREASED CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HOWEVER...CONFIDENCE
REMAINS LOW FOR THIS PATTERN CHANGE AS MODELS CONTINUE TO DIVERGE
MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR WITH SCT-BKN HIGH CLOUDS. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING AFTER 30/20Z ALONG THE ID/NV BORDER.
VARIABLE GUSTY WINDS UP TO 45KTS POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
OTHERWISE...SURFACE WINDS GENERALLY 12 KTS OR LESS...WITH GUSTS
TO 20 KTS IN THE MAGIC VALLEY. WINDS ALOFT NEAR 10K FT MSL...WEST
AROUND 10 KTS.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...NONE.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

SHORT TERM...SP
LONG TERM....EP
AVIATION.....EP





000
FXUS65 KBOI 300245
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
845 PM MDT MON JUN 29 2015

.DISCUSSION...MOST OF THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THIS EVENING HAS
BEEN ACROSS OUR SOUTHERN ZONES /MALHEUR COUNTY THROUGH WESTERN
MAGIC VALLEY/ NORTHWEST OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CENTER. ONLY A
FEW STORMS DEVELOPED ACROSS OUR NORTHERN ZONES TODAY. MOST OF THE
THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH SHORTWAVE MOVING ACROSS WASHINGTON
STATE THIS EVENING INITIATED FURTHER NORTH AND EAST ACROSS
NORTHERN IDAHO AND WESTERN MONTANA THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST. HAVE
UPDATED THE FORECAST FOR LOWER POPS ACROSS OUR NORTHERN ZONES
THIS EVENING. STORMS ACROSS OWYHEE COUNTY THROUGH THE MAGIC
VALLEY HAVE PRODUCED STRONG OUTFLOW WINDS 35 TO 55 MPH AS WELL AS
LIGHTNING AND BRIEF HEAVY RAIN WHICH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNSET.
AT LEAST ONE NEW FIRE HAS BEEN REPORTED FROM LIGHTNING WHICH IS
50-ACRES NEAR ROGERSON. A LITTLE COOLER ON TUESDAY WITH
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING AGAIN NEAR THE NEVADA BORDER.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR WITH SCT-BKN HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS. THROUGH
06Z...ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...EXCEPT SCATTERED ACTIVITY
SOUTH AND EAST OF KMUO. MAINLY NORTHWEST SURFACE WINDS 12 KNOTS OR
LESS...EXCEPT GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS TO 45 KNOTS NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
AND ASSOCIATED OUTFLOWS. WINDS ALOFT...WESTERLY 5-15 KNOTS UP
THROUGH 10K FEET MSL.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WEAK UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
MOVING NORTH ALONG THE WEST COAST OF WASHINGTON LATE THIS
AFTERNOON WILL MOVE EAST OVER NORTHERN IDAHO TONIGHT. THIS TROUGH
IS WEAKENING THE RIDGE AS IT RIDES OVER THE TOP AND IS BRINGING
MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW TO THE AREA. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY SLOW TO
GET STARTED THIS AFTERNOON...BUT STILL EXPECTING ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE EVENING.
PRECIPITATION WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CONFINED TO JUST
UNDER THE CORE OF THE STORM WITH THE MAIN THREAT FROM
THUNDERSTORMS IS GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS TO AROUND 50 MPH. EXPECT
THUNDERSTORMS WILL DISSIPATE BY MIDNIGHT BUT COULD SEE ISOLATED
STORMS CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT OVER THE WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS
AND THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF SOUTHERN TWIN FALLS COUNTY. MOSTLY DRY
CONDITIONS OVER THE REGION TUESDAY AS THE RIDGE REBUILDS TO THE
NORTH...BUT ENOUGH MOISTURE TRAPPED UNDER THE RIDGE FOR ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER ZONES ALONG THE NEVADA BORDER.
RETURN TO DRY CONDITIONS FOR WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN
HOT ACROSS THE REGION AVERAGING 10 TO 13 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.

LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN MOSTLY STATIONARY OVER THE GREAT BASIN /CENTERED
OVER NEVADA/ FOR THE EXTENDED. EXPECT DRY CONDITIONS WITH
TEMPERATURES 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. BY SATURDAY/SUNDAY THE
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE SHIFTS EASTWARD TOWARDS FOUR CORNERS AREA OF THE
DESERT SOUTHWEST. AS THIS TRANSITION OCCURS SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL
DEVELOP ALLOWING MONSOONAL MOISTURE TO CREEP NORTHWARD. THIS PATTERN
WOULD FAVOR INCREASED CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
SATURDAY...HOWEVER CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW ON THE DETAILS OF
THIS PATTERN CHANGE.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT IDZ423.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

DISCUSSION...JDS
AVIATION.....BW
PREV SHORT TERM...JA
PREV LONG TERM....KA/WH




000
FXUS65 KBOI 300245
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
845 PM MDT MON JUN 29 2015

.DISCUSSION...MOST OF THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THIS EVENING HAS
BEEN ACROSS OUR SOUTHERN ZONES /MALHEUR COUNTY THROUGH WESTERN
MAGIC VALLEY/ NORTHWEST OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CENTER. ONLY A
FEW STORMS DEVELOPED ACROSS OUR NORTHERN ZONES TODAY. MOST OF THE
THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH SHORTWAVE MOVING ACROSS WASHINGTON
STATE THIS EVENING INITIATED FURTHER NORTH AND EAST ACROSS
NORTHERN IDAHO AND WESTERN MONTANA THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST. HAVE
UPDATED THE FORECAST FOR LOWER POPS ACROSS OUR NORTHERN ZONES
THIS EVENING. STORMS ACROSS OWYHEE COUNTY THROUGH THE MAGIC
VALLEY HAVE PRODUCED STRONG OUTFLOW WINDS 35 TO 55 MPH AS WELL AS
LIGHTNING AND BRIEF HEAVY RAIN WHICH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNSET.
AT LEAST ONE NEW FIRE HAS BEEN REPORTED FROM LIGHTNING WHICH IS
50-ACRES NEAR ROGERSON. A LITTLE COOLER ON TUESDAY WITH
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING AGAIN NEAR THE NEVADA BORDER.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR WITH SCT-BKN HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS. THROUGH
06Z...ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...EXCEPT SCATTERED ACTIVITY
SOUTH AND EAST OF KMUO. MAINLY NORTHWEST SURFACE WINDS 12 KNOTS OR
LESS...EXCEPT GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS TO 45 KNOTS NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
AND ASSOCIATED OUTFLOWS. WINDS ALOFT...WESTERLY 5-15 KNOTS UP
THROUGH 10K FEET MSL.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WEAK UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
MOVING NORTH ALONG THE WEST COAST OF WASHINGTON LATE THIS
AFTERNOON WILL MOVE EAST OVER NORTHERN IDAHO TONIGHT. THIS TROUGH
IS WEAKENING THE RIDGE AS IT RIDES OVER THE TOP AND IS BRINGING
MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW TO THE AREA. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY SLOW TO
GET STARTED THIS AFTERNOON...BUT STILL EXPECTING ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE EVENING.
PRECIPITATION WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CONFINED TO JUST
UNDER THE CORE OF THE STORM WITH THE MAIN THREAT FROM
THUNDERSTORMS IS GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS TO AROUND 50 MPH. EXPECT
THUNDERSTORMS WILL DISSIPATE BY MIDNIGHT BUT COULD SEE ISOLATED
STORMS CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT OVER THE WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS
AND THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF SOUTHERN TWIN FALLS COUNTY. MOSTLY DRY
CONDITIONS OVER THE REGION TUESDAY AS THE RIDGE REBUILDS TO THE
NORTH...BUT ENOUGH MOISTURE TRAPPED UNDER THE RIDGE FOR ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER ZONES ALONG THE NEVADA BORDER.
RETURN TO DRY CONDITIONS FOR WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN
HOT ACROSS THE REGION AVERAGING 10 TO 13 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.

LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN MOSTLY STATIONARY OVER THE GREAT BASIN /CENTERED
OVER NEVADA/ FOR THE EXTENDED. EXPECT DRY CONDITIONS WITH
TEMPERATURES 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. BY SATURDAY/SUNDAY THE
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE SHIFTS EASTWARD TOWARDS FOUR CORNERS AREA OF THE
DESERT SOUTHWEST. AS THIS TRANSITION OCCURS SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL
DEVELOP ALLOWING MONSOONAL MOISTURE TO CREEP NORTHWARD. THIS PATTERN
WOULD FAVOR INCREASED CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
SATURDAY...HOWEVER CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW ON THE DETAILS OF
THIS PATTERN CHANGE.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT IDZ423.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

DISCUSSION...JDS
AVIATION.....BW
PREV SHORT TERM...JA
PREV LONG TERM....KA/WH





000
FXUS65 KBOI 292052
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
252 PM MDT MON JUN 29 2015

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WEAK UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
MOVING NORTH ALONG THE WEST COAST OF WASHINGTON LATE THIS
AFTERNOON WILL MOVE EAST OVER NORTHERN IDAHO TONIGHT. THIS TROUGH
IS WEAKENING THE RIDGE AS IT RIDES OVER THE TOP AND IS BRINGING
MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW TO THE AREA. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY SLOW TO
GET STARTED THIS AFTERNOON...BUT STILL EXPECTING ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE EVENING.
PRECIPITATION WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CONFINED TO JUST
UNDER THE CORE OF THE STORM WITH THE MAIN THREAT FROM
THUNDERSTORMS IS GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS TO AROUND 50 MPH. EXPECT
THUNDERSTORMS WILL DISSIPATE BY MIDNIGHT BUT COULD SEE ISOLATED
STORMS CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT OVER THE WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS
AND THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF SOUTHERN TWIN FALLS COUNTY. MOSTLY DRY
CONDITIONS OVER THE REGION TUESDAY AS THE RIDGE REBUILDS TO THE
NORTH...BUT ENOUGH MOISTURE TRAPPED UNDER THE RIDGE FOR ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER ZONES ALONG THE NEVADA BORDER.
RETURN TO DRY CONDITIONS FOR WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN
HOT ACROSS THE REGION AVERAGING 10 TO 13 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN MOSTLY STATIONARY OVER THE GREAT BASIN /CENTERED
OVER NEVADA/ FOR THE EXTENDED. EXPECT DRY CONDITIONS WITH
TEMPERATURES 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. BY SATURDAY/SUNDAY THE
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE SHIFTS EASTWARD TOWARDS FOUR CORNERS AREA OF THE
DESERT SOUTHWEST. AS THIS TRANSITION OCCURS SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL
DEVELOP ALLOWING MONSOONAL MOISTURE TO CREEP NORTHWARD. THIS PATTERN
WOULD FAVOR INCREASED CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
SATURDAY...HOWEVER CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW ON THE DETAILS OF
THIS PATTERN CHANGE.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR WITH SCT-BKN HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS. ISOLATED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING AFTER 22Z/MON IN SE OREGON AND THE
HIGHER TERRAIN OF SW IDAHO THROUGH 06Z/TUE. SURFACE WINDS GENERALLY
12 KNOTS OR LESS EXCEPT GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS TO 50KT NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS AND ASSOCIATED OUTFLOWS. WINDS ALOFT AT 10K FT
MSL...SSW 10-20KT BECOMING WESTERLY 10-20KT BY 06Z/TUE.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT IDZ401-423.
OR...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING ORZ646.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

SHORT TERM...JA
LONG TERM....KA/WH
AVIATION.....KA





000
FXUS65 KBOI 292052
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
252 PM MDT MON JUN 29 2015

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WEAK UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
MOVING NORTH ALONG THE WEST COAST OF WASHINGTON LATE THIS
AFTERNOON WILL MOVE EAST OVER NORTHERN IDAHO TONIGHT. THIS TROUGH
IS WEAKENING THE RIDGE AS IT RIDES OVER THE TOP AND IS BRINGING
MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW TO THE AREA. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY SLOW TO
GET STARTED THIS AFTERNOON...BUT STILL EXPECTING ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE EVENING.
PRECIPITATION WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CONFINED TO JUST
UNDER THE CORE OF THE STORM WITH THE MAIN THREAT FROM
THUNDERSTORMS IS GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS TO AROUND 50 MPH. EXPECT
THUNDERSTORMS WILL DISSIPATE BY MIDNIGHT BUT COULD SEE ISOLATED
STORMS CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT OVER THE WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS
AND THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF SOUTHERN TWIN FALLS COUNTY. MOSTLY DRY
CONDITIONS OVER THE REGION TUESDAY AS THE RIDGE REBUILDS TO THE
NORTH...BUT ENOUGH MOISTURE TRAPPED UNDER THE RIDGE FOR ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER ZONES ALONG THE NEVADA BORDER.
RETURN TO DRY CONDITIONS FOR WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN
HOT ACROSS THE REGION AVERAGING 10 TO 13 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN MOSTLY STATIONARY OVER THE GREAT BASIN /CENTERED
OVER NEVADA/ FOR THE EXTENDED. EXPECT DRY CONDITIONS WITH
TEMPERATURES 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. BY SATURDAY/SUNDAY THE
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE SHIFTS EASTWARD TOWARDS FOUR CORNERS AREA OF THE
DESERT SOUTHWEST. AS THIS TRANSITION OCCURS SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL
DEVELOP ALLOWING MONSOONAL MOISTURE TO CREEP NORTHWARD. THIS PATTERN
WOULD FAVOR INCREASED CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
SATURDAY...HOWEVER CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW ON THE DETAILS OF
THIS PATTERN CHANGE.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR WITH SCT-BKN HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS. ISOLATED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING AFTER 22Z/MON IN SE OREGON AND THE
HIGHER TERRAIN OF SW IDAHO THROUGH 06Z/TUE. SURFACE WINDS GENERALLY
12 KNOTS OR LESS EXCEPT GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS TO 50KT NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS AND ASSOCIATED OUTFLOWS. WINDS ALOFT AT 10K FT
MSL...SSW 10-20KT BECOMING WESTERLY 10-20KT BY 06Z/TUE.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT IDZ401-423.
OR...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING ORZ646.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

SHORT TERM...JA
LONG TERM....KA/WH
AVIATION.....KA




000
FXUS65 KBOI 291600
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
1000 AM MDT MON JUN 29 2015

.DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY EARLY THIS MORNING HAS DISSIPATED...BUT
WILL REDEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON. MORNING SOUNDING SHOWS MORE
MOISTURE OVER THE AREA COMPARED TO SUNDAY SO EXPECT THUNDERSTORMS
WILL HAVE MORE PRECIPITATION...BUT MAINLY UNDER THE MAIN CORE OF
THE STORM. THERE IS MORE DYNAMIC SUPPORT SO GUSTY OUTFLOW WIND TO
AROUND 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THUNDERSTORMS. EXPECT CLOUD COVER
TO KEEP TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES COOLER THAN YESTERDAY BUT
SEEING SOME CLEARING ON THE SATELLITE IMAGE TO THE SOUTH SO
TEMPERATURES MAY WARM A FEW DEGREES THAN CURRENT FORECAST. FOR NOW
FORECAST ON TRACK AND DO NOT ANTICIPATE ANY CHANGES...BUT WILL
MAKE CHANGES LATER IF TEMPERATURES LOOK LIKE THEY WILL BE HIGHER
THAN CURRENT FORECAST. ALSO MAY ADD MENTION OF ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE TREASURE VALLEY...ESPECIALLY FOR THE
NAMPA...CALDWELL AND BOISE AREA IN THE AFTERNOON FORECAST.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR WITH SCT-BKN HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN SE OREGON AND THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF SW IDAHO.
SURFACE WINDS GENERALLY 12 KNOTS OR LESS EXCEPT GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS TO 50KT NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AND OUTFLOWS. WINDS ALOFT AT 10K FT
MSL...SSW 10-20KT BECOMING WESTERLY 10-20KT BY 06Z/TUE.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY...THE STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
THAT HELPED BRING RECORD HEAT TO THE AREA YDAY WILL MOVE SLIGHTLY
SOUTHEAST TODAY...LEADING TO LOWER TEMPERATURES. THIS IS CAUSED IN
PART BY AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH THAT IS MOVING NE ACROSS WRN OREGON
AND WASHINGTON TODAY. THIS TROUGH WILL PROVIDE DYNAMIC SUPPORT FOR
CONVECTION...MAINLY IN THE NORTHERN PART OF THE CWA. HOWEVER...
SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER JUST ABOUT ALL OF THE AREA.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE 5 TO 10 DEGREES LOWER THAN YDAY. STORMS WILL
DIE OUT THIS EVENING FOR THE MOST PART...AND BECOME CONFINED TO
EASTERN VALLEY COUNTY AFTER MIDNIGHT. TUESDAY...TEMPS WILL RISE A
FEW DEGREES AND SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE FOCUSED MAINLY ALONG
THE NV BORDER AND IN THE EASTERN HALF OF THE WEST-CENTRAL AND
BOISE MTNS. THE UPPER RIDGE WILL BE CENTERED OVER UTAH AND OUR
FLOW WILL BE SLIGHTLY SW OF ZONAL. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT EXCEPT
NEAR STORMS...WHERE GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE. SPC HAS PUT THE
NRN PORTION OF THE AREA IN A MARGINAL RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER
TODAY.

LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN MOSTLY STATIONARY OVER NEVADA/UTAH FOR THE
EXTENDED. THIS WILL KEEP THE AREA DRY WITH TEMPERATURES 10-15
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. MODELS HINT AT THE HIGH MOVING CLOSER TO
THE FOUR CORNERS AREA SUNDAY/MONDAY...WHICH WOULD ALLOW MONSOON
MOISTURE TO MOVE INTO OREGON AND IDAHO. HOWEVER...FORECAST
CONTINUES TO REMAIN MOSTLY DRY FOR THIS TIME PERIOD AS CERTAINTY
IN THIS PATTERN CHANGE IS LOW.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT IDZ401-423.
OR...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING ORZ646.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

DISCUSSION........JA
AVIATION..........KA
PREV SHORT TERM...SP
PREV LONG TERM....EP




000
FXUS65 KBOI 291600
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
1000 AM MDT MON JUN 29 2015

.DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY EARLY THIS MORNING HAS DISSIPATED...BUT
WILL REDEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON. MORNING SOUNDING SHOWS MORE
MOISTURE OVER THE AREA COMPARED TO SUNDAY SO EXPECT THUNDERSTORMS
WILL HAVE MORE PRECIPITATION...BUT MAINLY UNDER THE MAIN CORE OF
THE STORM. THERE IS MORE DYNAMIC SUPPORT SO GUSTY OUTFLOW WIND TO
AROUND 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THUNDERSTORMS. EXPECT CLOUD COVER
TO KEEP TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES COOLER THAN YESTERDAY BUT
SEEING SOME CLEARING ON THE SATELLITE IMAGE TO THE SOUTH SO
TEMPERATURES MAY WARM A FEW DEGREES THAN CURRENT FORECAST. FOR NOW
FORECAST ON TRACK AND DO NOT ANTICIPATE ANY CHANGES...BUT WILL
MAKE CHANGES LATER IF TEMPERATURES LOOK LIKE THEY WILL BE HIGHER
THAN CURRENT FORECAST. ALSO MAY ADD MENTION OF ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE TREASURE VALLEY...ESPECIALLY FOR THE
NAMPA...CALDWELL AND BOISE AREA IN THE AFTERNOON FORECAST.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR WITH SCT-BKN HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN SE OREGON AND THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF SW IDAHO.
SURFACE WINDS GENERALLY 12 KNOTS OR LESS EXCEPT GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS TO 50KT NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AND OUTFLOWS. WINDS ALOFT AT 10K FT
MSL...SSW 10-20KT BECOMING WESTERLY 10-20KT BY 06Z/TUE.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY...THE STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
THAT HELPED BRING RECORD HEAT TO THE AREA YDAY WILL MOVE SLIGHTLY
SOUTHEAST TODAY...LEADING TO LOWER TEMPERATURES. THIS IS CAUSED IN
PART BY AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH THAT IS MOVING NE ACROSS WRN OREGON
AND WASHINGTON TODAY. THIS TROUGH WILL PROVIDE DYNAMIC SUPPORT FOR
CONVECTION...MAINLY IN THE NORTHERN PART OF THE CWA. HOWEVER...
SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER JUST ABOUT ALL OF THE AREA.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE 5 TO 10 DEGREES LOWER THAN YDAY. STORMS WILL
DIE OUT THIS EVENING FOR THE MOST PART...AND BECOME CONFINED TO
EASTERN VALLEY COUNTY AFTER MIDNIGHT. TUESDAY...TEMPS WILL RISE A
FEW DEGREES AND SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE FOCUSED MAINLY ALONG
THE NV BORDER AND IN THE EASTERN HALF OF THE WEST-CENTRAL AND
BOISE MTNS. THE UPPER RIDGE WILL BE CENTERED OVER UTAH AND OUR
FLOW WILL BE SLIGHTLY SW OF ZONAL. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT EXCEPT
NEAR STORMS...WHERE GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE. SPC HAS PUT THE
NRN PORTION OF THE AREA IN A MARGINAL RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER
TODAY.

LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN MOSTLY STATIONARY OVER NEVADA/UTAH FOR THE
EXTENDED. THIS WILL KEEP THE AREA DRY WITH TEMPERATURES 10-15
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. MODELS HINT AT THE HIGH MOVING CLOSER TO
THE FOUR CORNERS AREA SUNDAY/MONDAY...WHICH WOULD ALLOW MONSOON
MOISTURE TO MOVE INTO OREGON AND IDAHO. HOWEVER...FORECAST
CONTINUES TO REMAIN MOSTLY DRY FOR THIS TIME PERIOD AS CERTAINTY
IN THIS PATTERN CHANGE IS LOW.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT IDZ401-423.
OR...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING ORZ646.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

DISCUSSION........JA
AVIATION..........KA
PREV SHORT TERM...SP
PREV LONG TERM....EP




000
FXUS65 KBOI 290941
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
341 AM MDT MON JUN 29 2015

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY...THE STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
THAT HELPED BRING RECORD HEAT TO THE AREA YDAY WILL MOVE SLIGHTLY
SOUTHEAST TODAY...LEADING TO LOWER TEMPERATURES. THIS IS CAUSED IN
PART BY AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH THAT IS MOVING NE ACROSS WRN OREGON
AND WASHINGTON TODAY. THIS TROUGH WILL PROVIDE DYNAMIC SUPPORT FOR
CONVECTION...MAINLY IN THE NORTHERN PART OF THE CWA. HOWEVER...
SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER JUST ABOUT ALL OF THE AREA.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE 5 TO 10 DEGREES LOWER THAN YDAY. STORMS WILL
DIE OUT THIS EVENING FOR THE MOST PART...AND BECOME CONFINED TO
EASTERN VALLEY COUNTY AFTER MIDNIGHT. TUESDAY...TEMPS WILL RISE A
FEW DEGREES AND SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE FOCUSED MAINLY ALONG
THE NV BORDER AND IN THE EASTERN HALF OF THE WEST-CENTRAL AND
BOISE MTNS. THE UPPER RIDGE WILL BE CENTERED OVER UTAH AND OUR
FLOW WILL BE SLIGHTLY SW OF ZONAL. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT EXCEPT
NEAR STORMS...WHERE GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE. SPC HAS PUT THE
NRN PORTION OF THE AREA IN A MARGINAL RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER
TODAY.

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN MOSTLY STATIONARY OVER NEVADA/UTAH FOR THE
EXTENDED. THIS WILL KEEP THE AREA DRY WITH TEMPERATURES 10-15
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. MODELS HINT AT THE HIGH MOVING CLOSER TO
THE FOUR CORNERS AREA SUNDAY/MONDAY...WHICH WOULD ALLOW MONSOON
MOISTURE TO MOVE INTO OREGON AND IDAHO. HOWEVER...FORECAST
CONTINUES TO REMAIN MOSTLY DRY FOR THIS TIME PERIOD AS CERTAINTY
IN THIS PATTERN CHANGE IS LOW.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR WITH SCT-BKN HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS. ISOLATED SHOWERS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE NW OF A LINE FROM KBNO-KMYL THROUGH THE
MORNING. IN THE AFTERNOON...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE MAINLY
IN THE IDAHO CENTRAL MOUNTAINS. VARIABLE GUSTY WINDS UP TO 40 KTS
CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. OTHERWISE...SURFACE WINDS
GENERALLY 10 KTS OR LESS. WINDS ALOFT NEAR 10K FT MSL...SOUTH
10-15 KTS...THEN AFTER 29/23Z...WEST AT AROUND 10KTS.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...NONE.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

SHORT TERM...SP
LONG TERM....EP
AVIATION.....EP





000
FXUS65 KBOI 290941
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
341 AM MDT MON JUN 29 2015

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY...THE STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
THAT HELPED BRING RECORD HEAT TO THE AREA YDAY WILL MOVE SLIGHTLY
SOUTHEAST TODAY...LEADING TO LOWER TEMPERATURES. THIS IS CAUSED IN
PART BY AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH THAT IS MOVING NE ACROSS WRN OREGON
AND WASHINGTON TODAY. THIS TROUGH WILL PROVIDE DYNAMIC SUPPORT FOR
CONVECTION...MAINLY IN THE NORTHERN PART OF THE CWA. HOWEVER...
SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER JUST ABOUT ALL OF THE AREA.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE 5 TO 10 DEGREES LOWER THAN YDAY. STORMS WILL
DIE OUT THIS EVENING FOR THE MOST PART...AND BECOME CONFINED TO
EASTERN VALLEY COUNTY AFTER MIDNIGHT. TUESDAY...TEMPS WILL RISE A
FEW DEGREES AND SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE FOCUSED MAINLY ALONG
THE NV BORDER AND IN THE EASTERN HALF OF THE WEST-CENTRAL AND
BOISE MTNS. THE UPPER RIDGE WILL BE CENTERED OVER UTAH AND OUR
FLOW WILL BE SLIGHTLY SW OF ZONAL. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT EXCEPT
NEAR STORMS...WHERE GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE. SPC HAS PUT THE
NRN PORTION OF THE AREA IN A MARGINAL RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER
TODAY.

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN MOSTLY STATIONARY OVER NEVADA/UTAH FOR THE
EXTENDED. THIS WILL KEEP THE AREA DRY WITH TEMPERATURES 10-15
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. MODELS HINT AT THE HIGH MOVING CLOSER TO
THE FOUR CORNERS AREA SUNDAY/MONDAY...WHICH WOULD ALLOW MONSOON
MOISTURE TO MOVE INTO OREGON AND IDAHO. HOWEVER...FORECAST
CONTINUES TO REMAIN MOSTLY DRY FOR THIS TIME PERIOD AS CERTAINTY
IN THIS PATTERN CHANGE IS LOW.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR WITH SCT-BKN HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS. ISOLATED SHOWERS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE NW OF A LINE FROM KBNO-KMYL THROUGH THE
MORNING. IN THE AFTERNOON...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE MAINLY
IN THE IDAHO CENTRAL MOUNTAINS. VARIABLE GUSTY WINDS UP TO 40 KTS
CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. OTHERWISE...SURFACE WINDS
GENERALLY 10 KTS OR LESS. WINDS ALOFT NEAR 10K FT MSL...SOUTH
10-15 KTS...THEN AFTER 29/23Z...WEST AT AROUND 10KTS.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...NONE.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

SHORT TERM...SP
LONG TERM....EP
AVIATION.....EP




000
FXUS65 KBOI 290250
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
850 PM MDT SUN JUN 28 2015

.DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
EVENING ACROSS NORTHERN MALHEUR AND BAKER COUNTIES AS WELL AS
ALONG THE NEVADA-IDAHO BORDER. STORMS HAVE PRODUCED SEVERAL
OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH. STORMS ACROSS SE
OREGON ARE BETTER ORGANIZED FORMING A LINE AND MOVING NORTHWARD
ACROSS GRANT AND BAKER COUNTIES. SPOTTERS REPORTED BRIEF HEAVY
RAIN AND WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH WITH THESE STORMS AS THEY MOVED
ACROSS HARNEY COUNTY EARLIER. EXPECT MOST OF THE ACTIVE ALONG THE
NEVADA BORDER TO DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL CONTINUE ACROSS SE OREGON AND THE WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAIN OF
IDAHO THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING. MORE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY AFTERNOON...MAINLY ACROSS OUR
NORTHERN ZONES. NO UPDATES NEED AT THIS TIME.

BOISE SET AN ALL-TIME RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE FOR A DAY IN JUNE
OF 110 F. THE PREVIOUS RECORD WAS 109 F SET ON JUNE 19 1940. ONLY
5 DAYS SINCE 1875 HAVE BEEN AS WARM OR WARMER IN BOISE.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR WITH SCT-BKN HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN SE OREGON AND THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF SW IDAHO.
STRONGER STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING MVFR CONDITIONS IN
BLOWING DUST DUE TO GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS TO 40 KNOTS. SURFACE
WINDS...10 KNOTS OR LESS EXCEPT GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS NEAR
THUNDERSTORM OUTFLOWS. WINDS ALOFT...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST UP TO 20 KNOTS
AROUND 10K FEET MSL.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...MID-LEVEL MOISTURE COUPLED
WITH AFTERNOON HEAT AND INSTABILITY WILL CONTINUE TO FEED SHOWER
AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT OVER HIGHER TERRAIN. WEAK SHEAR...LIGHT
WINDS ALOFT AND SLIGHTLY MORE STABLE CONDITIONS WILL KEEP SHOWERS
AND STORMS OUT OF LOWER VALLEYS. COLLAPSING SHOWERS/STORMS ARE
LIKELY TO PRODUCE GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS WITH SPEEDS UP TO 50 MPH
NEAR THE COLLAPSING CELLS. UPPER TROUGH SLOWLY TRACKS THROUGH PAC
NW OVERNIGHT INTO MONDAY. DYNAMICS ALONG THE SOUTHERN TAIL OF THE
TROUGH COUPLED WITH ELEVATED INSTABILITY WILL BE ENOUGH TO KEEP
SHOWERS AND STORMS GOING ACROSS EAST-CENTRAL OREGON AND THE WEST-
CENTRAL ID MTNS TONIGHT AND MONDAY. DRIER CONDITIONS WRAP AROUND
THE RIDGE INTO EASTERN OREGON AND CENTRAL IDAHO ON TUESDAY. THIS
WILL SHIFT THE FOCUS OF SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT TO
BOISE MTNS AND OR/ID HIGHLANDS ALONG THE NV BORDER. WITH RIDGE
AXIS AND SURFACE THERMAL TROUGH EAST OF THE AREA...MONDAY IS
SEVERAL DEGREES COOLER. ON TUESDAY INCREASED CLOUD COVER WILL TAKE
A COUPLE MORE DEGREES OFF OF TEMPERATURES OVER CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN ZONES.

LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
WILL SLOWLY SHIFT WESTWARD ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN. THE CENTER OF
THE RIDGE STAYS WELL SOUTH OF THE AREA /MAINLY IN UTAH AND NEVADA/
KEEPING THE HOTTEST TEMPERATURES SOUTH. NONETHELESS TEMPERATURES
WILL REMAIN 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE EXTENDED
PERIOD.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING IDZ012-014-033.
OR...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING ORZ064.
     RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING ORZ636-646.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

DISCUSSION...JDS
AVIATION.....BW
PREV SHORT TERM...DG
PREV LONG TERM....KA





000
FXUS65 KBOI 282102
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
302 PM MDT SUN JUN 28 2015

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...MID-LEVEL MOISTURE COUPLED
WITH AFTERNOON HEAT AND INSTABILITY WILL CONTINUE TO FEED SHOWER
AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT OVER HIGHER TERRAIN. WEAK SHEAR...LIGHT
WINDS ALOFT AND SLIGHTLY MORE STABLE CONDITIONS WILL KEEP SHOWERS
AND STORMS OUT OF LOWER VALLEYS. COLLAPSING SHOWERS/STORMS ARE
LIKELY TO PRODUCE GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS WITH SPEEDS UP TO 50 MPH
NEAR THE COLLAPSING CELLS. UPPER TROUGH SLOWLY TRACKS THROUGH PAC
NW OVERNIGHT INTO MONDAY. DYNAMICS ALONG THE SOUTHERN TAIL OF THE
TROUGH COUPLED WITH ELEVATED INSTABILITY WILL BE ENOUGH TO KEEP
SHOWERS AND STORMS GOING ACROSS EAST-CENTRAL OREGON AND THE WEST-
CENTRAL ID MTNS TONIGHT AND MONDAY. DRIER CONDITIONS WRAP AROUND
THE RIDGE INTO EASTERN OREGON AND CENTRAL IDAHO ON TUESDAY. THIS
WILL SHIFT THE FOCUS OF SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT TO
BOISE MTNS AND OR/ID HIGHLANDS ALONG THE NV BORDER. WITH RIDGE
AXIS AND SURFACE THERMAL TROUGH EAST OF THE AREA...MONDAY IS
SEVERAL DEGREES COOLER. ON TUESDAY INCREASED CLOUD COVER WILL TAKE
A COUPLE MORE DEGREES OFF OF TEMPERATURES OVER CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN ZONES.

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
WILL SLOWLY SHIFT WESTWARD ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN. THE CENTER OF
THE RIDGE STAYS WELL SOUTH OF THE AREA /MAINLY IN UTAH AND NEVADA/
KEEPING THE HOTTEST TEMPERATURES SOUTH. NONETHELESS TEMPERATURES
WILL REMAIN 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE EXTENDED
PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION....VFR WITH SCT-BKN HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS. ISOLATED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING IN SE OREGON AND THE HIGHER
TERRAIN OF SW IDAHO. SURFACE WINDS...VARIABLE 12KT OR LESS EXCEPT
GUSTS TO 45KT NEAR THUNDERSTORM OUTFLOWS. WINDS ALOFT...SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST 10-20KT AROUND 10K FEET MSL.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING IDZ012-014-033.
OR...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING ORZ064.
     RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING ORZ636-646.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

SHORT TERM...DG
LONG TERM....KA
AVIATION.....KA





000
FXUS65 KBOI 282102
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
302 PM MDT SUN JUN 28 2015

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...MID-LEVEL MOISTURE COUPLED
WITH AFTERNOON HEAT AND INSTABILITY WILL CONTINUE TO FEED SHOWER
AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT OVER HIGHER TERRAIN. WEAK SHEAR...LIGHT
WINDS ALOFT AND SLIGHTLY MORE STABLE CONDITIONS WILL KEEP SHOWERS
AND STORMS OUT OF LOWER VALLEYS. COLLAPSING SHOWERS/STORMS ARE
LIKELY TO PRODUCE GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS WITH SPEEDS UP TO 50 MPH
NEAR THE COLLAPSING CELLS. UPPER TROUGH SLOWLY TRACKS THROUGH PAC
NW OVERNIGHT INTO MONDAY. DYNAMICS ALONG THE SOUTHERN TAIL OF THE
TROUGH COUPLED WITH ELEVATED INSTABILITY WILL BE ENOUGH TO KEEP
SHOWERS AND STORMS GOING ACROSS EAST-CENTRAL OREGON AND THE WEST-
CENTRAL ID MTNS TONIGHT AND MONDAY. DRIER CONDITIONS WRAP AROUND
THE RIDGE INTO EASTERN OREGON AND CENTRAL IDAHO ON TUESDAY. THIS
WILL SHIFT THE FOCUS OF SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT TO
BOISE MTNS AND OR/ID HIGHLANDS ALONG THE NV BORDER. WITH RIDGE
AXIS AND SURFACE THERMAL TROUGH EAST OF THE AREA...MONDAY IS
SEVERAL DEGREES COOLER. ON TUESDAY INCREASED CLOUD COVER WILL TAKE
A COUPLE MORE DEGREES OFF OF TEMPERATURES OVER CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN ZONES.

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
WILL SLOWLY SHIFT WESTWARD ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN. THE CENTER OF
THE RIDGE STAYS WELL SOUTH OF THE AREA /MAINLY IN UTAH AND NEVADA/
KEEPING THE HOTTEST TEMPERATURES SOUTH. NONETHELESS TEMPERATURES
WILL REMAIN 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE EXTENDED
PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION....VFR WITH SCT-BKN HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS. ISOLATED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING IN SE OREGON AND THE HIGHER
TERRAIN OF SW IDAHO. SURFACE WINDS...VARIABLE 12KT OR LESS EXCEPT
GUSTS TO 45KT NEAR THUNDERSTORM OUTFLOWS. WINDS ALOFT...SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST 10-20KT AROUND 10K FEET MSL.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING IDZ012-014-033.
OR...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING ORZ064.
     RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING ORZ636-646.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

SHORT TERM...DG
LONG TERM....KA
AVIATION.....KA




000
FXUS65 KBOI 282102
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
302 PM MDT SUN JUN 28 2015

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...MID-LEVEL MOISTURE COUPLED
WITH AFTERNOON HEAT AND INSTABILITY WILL CONTINUE TO FEED SHOWER
AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT OVER HIGHER TERRAIN. WEAK SHEAR...LIGHT
WINDS ALOFT AND SLIGHTLY MORE STABLE CONDITIONS WILL KEEP SHOWERS
AND STORMS OUT OF LOWER VALLEYS. COLLAPSING SHOWERS/STORMS ARE
LIKELY TO PRODUCE GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS WITH SPEEDS UP TO 50 MPH
NEAR THE COLLAPSING CELLS. UPPER TROUGH SLOWLY TRACKS THROUGH PAC
NW OVERNIGHT INTO MONDAY. DYNAMICS ALONG THE SOUTHERN TAIL OF THE
TROUGH COUPLED WITH ELEVATED INSTABILITY WILL BE ENOUGH TO KEEP
SHOWERS AND STORMS GOING ACROSS EAST-CENTRAL OREGON AND THE WEST-
CENTRAL ID MTNS TONIGHT AND MONDAY. DRIER CONDITIONS WRAP AROUND
THE RIDGE INTO EASTERN OREGON AND CENTRAL IDAHO ON TUESDAY. THIS
WILL SHIFT THE FOCUS OF SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT TO
BOISE MTNS AND OR/ID HIGHLANDS ALONG THE NV BORDER. WITH RIDGE
AXIS AND SURFACE THERMAL TROUGH EAST OF THE AREA...MONDAY IS
SEVERAL DEGREES COOLER. ON TUESDAY INCREASED CLOUD COVER WILL TAKE
A COUPLE MORE DEGREES OFF OF TEMPERATURES OVER CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN ZONES.

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
WILL SLOWLY SHIFT WESTWARD ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN. THE CENTER OF
THE RIDGE STAYS WELL SOUTH OF THE AREA /MAINLY IN UTAH AND NEVADA/
KEEPING THE HOTTEST TEMPERATURES SOUTH. NONETHELESS TEMPERATURES
WILL REMAIN 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE EXTENDED
PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION....VFR WITH SCT-BKN HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS. ISOLATED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING IN SE OREGON AND THE HIGHER
TERRAIN OF SW IDAHO. SURFACE WINDS...VARIABLE 12KT OR LESS EXCEPT
GUSTS TO 45KT NEAR THUNDERSTORM OUTFLOWS. WINDS ALOFT...SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST 10-20KT AROUND 10K FEET MSL.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING IDZ012-014-033.
OR...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING ORZ064.
     RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING ORZ636-646.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

SHORT TERM...DG
LONG TERM....KA
AVIATION.....KA




000
FXUS65 KBOI 281554
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
954 AM MDT SUN JUN 28 2015

.DISCUSSION...MORNING SOUNDING FROM BOISE SHOWING WARMER
TEMPERATURES ALOFT /FROM JUST OFF THE SURFACE TO 10K FEET MSL/.
THIS IS LINE WITH THE FORECAST RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR TODAY.
MID-LEVEL MOISTURE HAS ALSO INCREASED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS /PW
0.89 INCHES THIS MORNING/ AND ALREADY SEEING ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS S-CENTRAL AND FAR SE OREGON THIS MORNING. SEE
NO CHANGE IN WHERE THE HEATING...INSTABILITY AND MOISTURE WILL
SUPPORT ISOLATED TO SCATTERED AFTERNOON SHOWER/STORM DEVELOPMENT...
WHICH WILL FOCUS OVER HIGHER TERRAIN. GUSTY WINDS ARE THE MAIN
THREAT FROM CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT WITH SPEEDS TO 50 MPH POSSIBLE
NEAR COLLAPSING THUNDERSTORMS. THERE IS ALSO THE CHANCE OUTFLOW
WINDS COULD BLOW INTO LOWER VALLEYS THIS EVENING. FORECAST IS ON
TRACK SO NO UPDATE FOR THIS MORNING.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR WITH SCT-BKN HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING IN SE OREGON AND THE HIGHER
TERRAIN OF SW IDAHO. SURFACE WINDS...VARIABLE 12KT OR LESS EXCEPT
GUSTS TO 45KT NEAR THUNDERSTORM OUTFLOWS. WINDS ALOFT...SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST 10-20KT AROUND 10K FEET MSL.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH MONDAY...RECORD HEAT WILL BE FOUND
ACROSS THE REGION AGAIN TODAY...WITH TEMPS NEAR 110 IN PARTS OF
THE UPPER TREASURE VALLEY. MOST OFFICIAL OBSERVATIONS SITES WILL
ACHIEVE RECORD HIGHS TODAY AS THE REGION REMAINS UNDER A STRONG
RIDGE ALOFT. MOISTURE/CLOUDS CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHWARD IN
MONSOON-LIKE FLOW AROUND THE RIDGE...MAINLY IMPACTING SE OREGON
BUT ALSO SW IDAHO. MUCH LIKE YDAY...THE ONLY THING THAT COULD
PREVENT RECORD HIGHS FROM BEING SET IS AN ABUNDANCE OF CLOUD
COVER. AT THIS TIME...WE DO NOT BELIEVE ENOUGH CLOUDS WILL DEVELOP
OR MOVE IN TO PREVENT THE RECORD HEAT. THE HEAT ADVISORY WILL BE
ALLOWED TO CONTINUE AS ISSUED...THROUGH 9 PM MDT TONIGHT. A RED
FLAG WARNING WILL ALSO BE ALLOWED TO CONTINUE AS ISSUED.
CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO BE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING...WITH HARNEY AND BAKER COUNTIES THE MOST LIKELY
LOCATION FOR SCATTERED STORMS. THE NAM CONTINUES TO INSIST THAT
CONVECTION WILL BE WIDESPREAD ACROSS ALMOST ALL OF THE HIGHER
TERRAIN OF SE OREGON AND SW IDAHO...BUT WE DO NOT AGREE WITH ITS
SOLUTION. THERE WERE ONLY MINOR CHANGES TO THE CONVECTIVE FORECAST
IN THE SHORT TERM. SPC HAS PUT MUCH OF HARNEY COUNTY IN THE
MARGINAL CATEGORY FOR SEVERE STORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE STRONG WINDS. FINALLY...THE HRRR OUTPUT
INDICATES STRONG WINDS MOVING NORTH FROM NEAR THE NV BORDER DUE TO
STORM OUTFLOW LATE THIS AFTERNOON. WE BELIEVE THE COVERAGE
INDICATED BY THE HRRR IS OVERDONE...BUT THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR
ANY STORMS THAT DO FORM TO HAVE WINDS GUSTING TO NEAR 50 MPH.

AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH...CENTERED OFF THE COAST OF NRN CA AS OF 3
AM MDT...WILL MOVE NORTHEAST AND PASS TO THE WEST OF OUR AREA
OVERNIGHT AND MONDAY. THIS WILL PUSH A SURFACE FRONT THROUGH THE
REGION EVEN AS IT PUSHES THE UPPER RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST AND
BRINGS SOME RELIEF FROM THE RECORD-SETTING HEAT. THIS WILL HELP
SPREAD THE BEST CHANCE FOR CONVECTION ON MONDAY INTO OUR NRN ZONES
IN BOTH OREGON AND IDAHO...WITH BAKER COUNTY AND THE WEST-CENTRAL
MTNS HAVING THE BEST CHANCE. THESE STORMS COULD AGAIN BRING GUSTY
WINDS. TEMPS WILL BE 5-10 DEGREES LESS HOT TOMORROW.

LONG TERM...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...LINGERING MOISTURE
FROM PASSING SHORTWAVE COULD CONTINUE THUNDERSTORMS IN THE IDAHO
CENTRAL MOUNTAINS ON MONDAY NIGHT. FOR TUESDAY AND BEYOND...THE
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO SIT OVER NV/UT KEEPING THE AREA
DRY WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES. MODELS DIVERGE FOR THE WEEKEND
WITH SOLUTIONS FLIP FLOPPING BETWEEN EACH RUN. HAVE KEPT THE
FORECAST WITH A DRIER AND WARMER BIAS WITH TEMPERATURES REMAINING
10-15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.


&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING IDZ012-014-033.
OR...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING ORZ064.
     RED FLAG WARNING FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 PM PDT THIS
     EVENING ORZ636-646.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

DISCUSSION...DG
AVIATION.....KA
PREV SHORT TERM...SP
PREV LONG TERM....EP




000
FXUS65 KBOI 280918
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
318 AM MDT SUN JUN 28 2015

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH MONDAY...RECORD HEAT WILL BE FOUND
ACROSS THE REGION AGAIN TODAY...WITH TEMPS NEAR 110 IN PARTS OF
THE UPPER TREASURE VALLEY. MOST OFFICIAL OBSERVATIONS SITES WILL
ACHIEVE RECORD HIGHS TODAY AS THE REGION REMAINS UNDER A STRONG
RIDGE ALOFT. MOISTURE/CLOUDS CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHWARD IN
MONSOON-LIKE FLOW AROUND THE RIDGE...MAINLY IMPACTING SE OREGON
BUT ALSO SW IDAHO. MUCH LIKE YDAY...THE ONLY THING THAT COULD
PREVENT RECORD HIGHS FROM BEING SET IS AN ABUNDANCE OF CLOUD
COVER. AT THIS TIME...WE DO NOT BELIEVE ENOUGH CLOUDS WILL DEVELOP
OR MOVE IN TO PREVENT THE RECORD HEAT. THE HEAT ADVISORY WILL BE
ALLOWED TO CONTINUE AS ISSUED...THROUGH 9 PM MDT TONIGHT. A RED
FLAG WARNING WILL ALSO BE ALLOWED TO CONTINUE AS ISSUED.
CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO BE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING...WITH HARNEY AND BAKER COUNTIES THE MOST LIKELY
LOCATION FOR SCATTERED STORMS. THE NAM CONTINUES TO INSIST THAT
CONVECTION WILL BE WIDESPREAD ACROSS ALMOST ALL OF THE HIGHER
TERRAIN OF SE OREGON AND SW IDAHO...BUT WE DO NOT AGREE WITH ITS
SOLUTION. THERE WERE ONLY MINOR CHANGES TO THE CONVECTIVE FORECAST
IN THE SHORT TERM. SPC HAS PUT MUCH OF HARNEY COUNTY IN THE
MARGINAL CATEGORY FOR SEVERE STORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE STRONG WINDS. FINALLY...THE HRRR OUTPUT
INDICATES STRONG WINDS MOVING NORTH FROM NEAR THE NV BORDER DUE TO
STORM OUTFLOW LATE THIS AFTERNOON. WE BELIEVE THE COVERAGE
INDICATED BY THE HRRR IS OVERDONE...BUT THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR
ANY STORMS THAT DO FORM TO HAVE WINDS GUSTING TO NEAR 50 MPH.

AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH...CENTERED OFF THE COAST OF NRN CA AS OF 3
AM MDT...WILL MOVE NORTHEAST AND PASS TO THE WEST OF OUR AREA
OVERNIGHT AND MONDAY. THIS WILL PUSH A SURFACE FRONT THROUGH THE
REGION EVEN AS IT PUSHES THE UPPER RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST AND
BRINGS SOME RELIEF FROM THE RECORD-SETTING HEAT. THIS WILL HELP
SPREAD THE BEST CHANCE FOR CONVECTION ON MONDAY INTO OUR NRN ZONES
IN BOTH OREGON AND IDAHO...WITH BAKER COUNTY AND THE WEST-CENTRAL
MTNS HAVING THE BEST CHANCE. THESE STORMS COULD AGAIN BRING GUSTY
WINDS. TEMPS WILL BE 5-10 DEGREES LESS HOT TOMORROW.

.LONG TERM...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...LINGERING MOISTURE
FROM PASSING SHORTWAVE COULD CONTINUE THUNDERSTORMS IN THE IDAHO
CENTRAL MOUNTAINS ON MONDAY NIGHT. FOR TUESDAY AND BEYOND...THE
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO SIT OVER NV/UT KEEPING THE AREA
DRY WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES. MODELS DIVERGE FOR THE WEEKEND
WITH SOLUTIONS FLIP FLOPPING BETWEEN EACH RUN. HAVE KEPT THE
FORECAST WITH A DRIER AND WARMER BIAS WITH TEMPERATURES REMAINING
10-15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.


&&

.AVIATION...VFR WITH SCT-BKN HIGH CLOUDS. ISOLATED-SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF SE OREGON AND
IDAHO CENTRAL MTNS. VARIABLE GUSTS UP TO 45 KTS ARE POSSIBLE NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS. OTHERWISE...SURFACE WINDS GENERALLY 10 KTS OR LESS.
WINDS ALOFT NEAR 10K FT MSL...SE 10-15 KTS.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING IDZ012-014-033.
OR...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING ORZ064.
     RED FLAG WARNING FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 PM PDT THIS
     EVENING ORZ636-646.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

SHORT TERM...SP
LONG TERM....EP
AVIATION.....EP




000
FXUS65 KBOI 280918
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
318 AM MDT SUN JUN 28 2015

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH MONDAY...RECORD HEAT WILL BE FOUND
ACROSS THE REGION AGAIN TODAY...WITH TEMPS NEAR 110 IN PARTS OF
THE UPPER TREASURE VALLEY. MOST OFFICIAL OBSERVATIONS SITES WILL
ACHIEVE RECORD HIGHS TODAY AS THE REGION REMAINS UNDER A STRONG
RIDGE ALOFT. MOISTURE/CLOUDS CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHWARD IN
MONSOON-LIKE FLOW AROUND THE RIDGE...MAINLY IMPACTING SE OREGON
BUT ALSO SW IDAHO. MUCH LIKE YDAY...THE ONLY THING THAT COULD
PREVENT RECORD HIGHS FROM BEING SET IS AN ABUNDANCE OF CLOUD
COVER. AT THIS TIME...WE DO NOT BELIEVE ENOUGH CLOUDS WILL DEVELOP
OR MOVE IN TO PREVENT THE RECORD HEAT. THE HEAT ADVISORY WILL BE
ALLOWED TO CONTINUE AS ISSUED...THROUGH 9 PM MDT TONIGHT. A RED
FLAG WARNING WILL ALSO BE ALLOWED TO CONTINUE AS ISSUED.
CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO BE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING...WITH HARNEY AND BAKER COUNTIES THE MOST LIKELY
LOCATION FOR SCATTERED STORMS. THE NAM CONTINUES TO INSIST THAT
CONVECTION WILL BE WIDESPREAD ACROSS ALMOST ALL OF THE HIGHER
TERRAIN OF SE OREGON AND SW IDAHO...BUT WE DO NOT AGREE WITH ITS
SOLUTION. THERE WERE ONLY MINOR CHANGES TO THE CONVECTIVE FORECAST
IN THE SHORT TERM. SPC HAS PUT MUCH OF HARNEY COUNTY IN THE
MARGINAL CATEGORY FOR SEVERE STORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE STRONG WINDS. FINALLY...THE HRRR OUTPUT
INDICATES STRONG WINDS MOVING NORTH FROM NEAR THE NV BORDER DUE TO
STORM OUTFLOW LATE THIS AFTERNOON. WE BELIEVE THE COVERAGE
INDICATED BY THE HRRR IS OVERDONE...BUT THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR
ANY STORMS THAT DO FORM TO HAVE WINDS GUSTING TO NEAR 50 MPH.

AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH...CENTERED OFF THE COAST OF NRN CA AS OF 3
AM MDT...WILL MOVE NORTHEAST AND PASS TO THE WEST OF OUR AREA
OVERNIGHT AND MONDAY. THIS WILL PUSH A SURFACE FRONT THROUGH THE
REGION EVEN AS IT PUSHES THE UPPER RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST AND
BRINGS SOME RELIEF FROM THE RECORD-SETTING HEAT. THIS WILL HELP
SPREAD THE BEST CHANCE FOR CONVECTION ON MONDAY INTO OUR NRN ZONES
IN BOTH OREGON AND IDAHO...WITH BAKER COUNTY AND THE WEST-CENTRAL
MTNS HAVING THE BEST CHANCE. THESE STORMS COULD AGAIN BRING GUSTY
WINDS. TEMPS WILL BE 5-10 DEGREES LESS HOT TOMORROW.

.LONG TERM...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...LINGERING MOISTURE
FROM PASSING SHORTWAVE COULD CONTINUE THUNDERSTORMS IN THE IDAHO
CENTRAL MOUNTAINS ON MONDAY NIGHT. FOR TUESDAY AND BEYOND...THE
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO SIT OVER NV/UT KEEPING THE AREA
DRY WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES. MODELS DIVERGE FOR THE WEEKEND
WITH SOLUTIONS FLIP FLOPPING BETWEEN EACH RUN. HAVE KEPT THE
FORECAST WITH A DRIER AND WARMER BIAS WITH TEMPERATURES REMAINING
10-15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.


&&

.AVIATION...VFR WITH SCT-BKN HIGH CLOUDS. ISOLATED-SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF SE OREGON AND
IDAHO CENTRAL MTNS. VARIABLE GUSTS UP TO 45 KTS ARE POSSIBLE NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS. OTHERWISE...SURFACE WINDS GENERALLY 10 KTS OR LESS.
WINDS ALOFT NEAR 10K FT MSL...SE 10-15 KTS.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING IDZ012-014-033.
OR...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING ORZ064.
     RED FLAG WARNING FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 PM PDT THIS
     EVENING ORZ636-646.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

SHORT TERM...SP
LONG TERM....EP
AVIATION.....EP





000
FXUS65 KBOI 280227
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
827 PM MDT SAT JUN 27 2015

.DISCUSSION...CLOUDS AND SUBSTANCE ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE CENTERED OVER NORTHEAST NEVADA...LIMITED CONVECTION
THIS EVENING DESPITE RECORD BREAKING HEAT. ONLY A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPED PRODUCING MOSTLY CLOUD TO CLOUD LIGHTNING
AND GUSTS UP TO 49 MPH. RADAR SHOWING ISOLATED HIGH-BASED
THUNDERSTORMS AND VIRGA SHOWERS MAINLY ACROSS HARNEY AND SOUTHERN
MALHEUR COUNTY. EXPECT THIS ACTIVITY TO DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET.
BOISE SET A RECORD TEMPERATURE OF 106 F TODAY BREAKING THE OLD
RECORD OF 104 F SET IN 1892. BURNS...BAKER CITY...MOUNTAIN HOME
AND MCCALL ALL SET RECORD TEMPERATURES AS WELL. PROBABLY RECORDS
HIGH MIN TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WITH THE LOWS FALLING TO THE MID 70S
IN THE VALLEY. RECORD TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST AGAIN FOR SUNDAY
ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHWEST IDAHO WHICH STANDS THE BEST CHANCE FOR
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. A BETTER CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY
AFTERNOON ACROSS SOUTHEAST OREGON WITH PASSAGE OF A SHORTWAVE
TROUGH THOUGH CLOUDS COULD BE A LIMITING FACTOR. NO UPDATE NEEDED
AT THIS TIME.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR WITH SCT-BKN MID-HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS. ISOLATED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING IN SE OREGON AND THE HIGHER TERRAIN
OF SW IDAHO. SURFACE WINDS...VARIABLE 10 KNOTS OR LESS EXCEPT GUSTS
TO 40 KNOTS NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. WINDS ALOFT...SOUTH TO 15 KNOTS UP
TROUGH 10K FEET MSL.

SUNDAY OUTLOOK...VFR...EXCEPT FOR SCATTERED AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN SE OREGON AND ISOLATED AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF SW IDAHO. GUSTY OUTFLOW
WINDS TO 45 KNOTS IN THE VICINITY OF THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...HOT...DRY HAZY CONDITIONS
WILL CONTINUE SUNDAY AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVER THE
INTERMOUNTAIN WEST. RECORD HEAT IS ON TRACK FOR SUNDAY WITH HIGH
TEMPERATURES SUNDAY BEING THE WARMEST DAY SO FAR THIS YEAR.
MOISTURE MOVING NORTH UNDER THE RIDGE WILL BRING ISOLATED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS TO SOUTHEAST OREGON TONIGHT AND ISOLATED OVER
HIGHER TERRAIN OF SOUTHWEST IDAHO THIS EVENING. AXIS OF THE RIDGE
WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT EAST SUNDAY AFTERNOON WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER SOUTHEAST OREGON AND SLIGHT CHANCE OVER
SOUTHWEST IDAHO...MAINLY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF
SOUTHEAST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST IDAHO SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY AS A
WEAK DISTURBANCE FLATTENS THE RIDGE AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST ACROSS
WASHINGTON AND OREGON INTO SOUTHWEST CANADA. HIGH TEMPERATURES
WILL ALSO COOL 8 TO 10 DEGREES FROM SUNDAYS HIGHS BUT WILL STILL
AVERAGE 10 TO 13 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.

LONG TERM...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...A SHORTWAVE WILL SKIRT
THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT USHERING IN SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR FOR
TUESDAY. UPPER LEVEL DYNAMICS WITH THIS SYSTEM SUPPORT STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY IN SOUTHEAST OREGON...WITH SHEAR VALUES HIGH
ENOUGH TO SUPPORT ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY WINDS
BEING THE MAIN THREAT. DRIER/STABLE AIR MOVES INTO THE REGION
TUESDAY. MODELS DIFFER IN THE PLACEMENT OF THE MONSOONAL MOISTURE
WITH THE ECMWF KEEPING THE REGION DRY...WHILE THE GFS KEEPS
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE NEVADA BORDER THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE RIDGE
SHIFTS TOWARDS THE WEST COAST INTO SOUTHERN OREGON BY THE WEEKEND.
OUR REGION WILL BE BETWEEN THE COOLER AIR MOVING DOWN EAST OF THE
CONTINENTAL DIVIDE AND THE HOT TEMPERATURES UNDER THE RIDGE OVER
THE GREAT BASIN. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN 10-20 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL THROUGH THE EXTENDED.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM MDT SUNDAY IDZ012-014-033.
OR...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM MDT SUNDAY ORZ064.
     RED FLAG WARNING FROM 2 PM TO 11 PM PDT SUNDAY ORZ636-646.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

DISCUSSION...JDS
AVIATION.....BW
PREV SHORT TERM...JA
PREV LONG TERM....KA/WH





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