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000
FXUS62 KCAE 240521
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
121 AM EDT FRI OCT 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
THE PRESSURE RIDGE WEST OF THE FORECAST AREA WILL CONTINUE TO
DOMINATE. THE AIR MASS WILL REMAIN DRY BUT HIGH CLOUDINESS
ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER TROUGH WILL OCCUR. LEANED TOWARD THE MAV
MOS FOR THE TEMPERATURE FORECAST. THIS GUIDANCE HAS BEEN THE BEST
LATELY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
THE MODELS SHOW THE SURFACE RIDGE NEAR THE FORECAST AREA WITH
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. IT WILL REMAIN DRY. LEANED TOWARD THE MAV
MOS FOR THE TEMPERATURE FORECAST BASED ON RECENT VERIFICATION.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
THE MODELS SHOW DRY RIDGING DOMINATING DURING MUCH OF THE MEDIUM-
RANGE PERIOD. A COLD FRONT WITH INCREASED MOISTURE MAY AFFECT THE
AREA LATE IN THE PERIOD. THE GFS...ECMWF...AND EKD MOS HAVE POPS
20 TO 30 PERCENT WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING EARLY
AND WARMING AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT LATE IN THE PERIOD SUPPORTS
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

&&

.AVIATION /05Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
HIGH CONFIDENCE IN VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD.

SOME HIGH CLOUDS EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH END OF TAF PERIOD AS
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. DRY AIR MASS IN PLACE
SO FOG NOT EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. CALM WINDS OVERNIGHT WILL BECOME
LIGHT AND VARIABLE AFTER DAYBREAK.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.


&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$








000
FXUS62 KCAE 232333
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
733 PM EDT THU OCT 23 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL KEEP DRY WEATHER
ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE OHIO VALLEY WILL BUILD SOUTHEAST
INTO THE CAROLINAS. SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT CONTINUES TO
WEAKEN AND LIGHT WINDS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. DEW POINTS REMAIN LOW
AND POTENTIAL AGAIN FOR STRONG RADIATIONAL COOLING. HOWEVER...HIGH
CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IN THE MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY ADVECT EAST TOWARD THE REGION TONIGHT. STAYED CLOSE TO MOS
TEMPERATURES BUT IT MAY BE COOLER ESPECIALLY IN SOME OUTLYING
AREAS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES SHOULD
BE A LITTLE WARMER WITH NEUTRAL 850MB TEMPERATURE ADVECTION BUT
DOWNSLOPE FLOW. ALTHOUGH UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVING OVER THE AREA
IN THE AFTERNOON WITH HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS. WILL CONTINUE SLIGHT
WARM UP. CONTINUED WARMING TREND SATURDAY AS DOWNSLOPE FLOW
CONTINUES AND WEAK WARM ADVECTION. WEAK TROUGH MOVING THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT WITH LIMITED MOISTURE.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
DRY HIGH PRESSURE AIR MASS TO BUILD INTO THE REGION SUN INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK. UPPER TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
LATE IN THE PERIOD WITH COLD FRONT POSSIBLY MOVING INTO THE AREA
ON THURSDAY. MOISTURE APPEARS LIMITED...ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE SUGGESTS
SLIGHT CHANCE POPS MAINLY ON THURSDAY ASSOCIATED WITH FRONT. BUT
A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AS AIR MASS BECOMES
MARGINALLY UNSTABLE AND LOW LEVEL MOISTURE INCREASES AS SURFACE
RIDGE MOVES OFFSHORE. TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE ABOVE NORMAL WITH AS
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS FROM THE ATLANTIC INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN
STATES.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
HIGH CONFIDENCE IN VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD.

SOME HIGH CLOUDS EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH END OF TAF PERIOD AS
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. DRY AIR MASS IN PLACE
SO FOG NOT EXPECTED TONIGHT. CALM WINDS OVERNIGHT WILL BECOME
LIGHT AND VARIABLE WITH DAYBREAK.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

MANNING

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$








000
FXUS62 KCAE 231822
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
222 PM EDT THU OCT 23 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL KEEP DRY WEATHER
ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE OHIO VALLEY WILL BUILD SOUTHEAST
INTO THE CAROLINAS. SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT CONTINUES TO
WEAKEN AND LIGHT WINDS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. DEW POINTS REMAIN LOW
AND POTENTIAL AGAIN FOR STRONG RADIATIONAL COOLING.
HOWEVER...HIGH CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IN THE
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ADVECT EAST TOWARD THE REGION LATE TONIGHT.
STAYED CLOSE TO MOS TEMPERATURES BUT IT MAY BE COOLER ESPECIALLY IN
SOME OUTLYING AREAS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES SHOULD
BE A LITTLE WARMER WITH NEUTRAL 850MB TEMPERATURE ADVECTION BUT
DOWNSLOPE FLOW. ALTHOUGH UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVING OVER THE AREA
IN THE AFTERNOON WITH HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS. WILL CONTINUE SLIGHT
WARM UP. CONTINUED WARMING TREND SATURDAY AS DOWNSLOPE FLOW
CONTINUES AND WEAK WARM ADVECTION. WEAK TROUGH MOVING THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT WITH LIMITED MOISTURE.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
DRY HIGH PRESSURE AIR MASS TO BUILD INTO THE REGION SUN INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK. UPPER TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
LATE IN THE PERIOD WITH COLD FRONT POSSIBLY MOVING INTO THE AREA
ON THURSDAY. MOISTURE APPEARS LIMITED...ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE SUGGESTS
SLIGHT CHANCE POPS MAINLY ON THURSDAY ASSOCIATED WITH FRONT. BUT
A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AS AIR MASS BECOMES
MARGINALLY UNSTABLE AND LOW LEVEL MOISTURE INCREASES AS SURFACE
RIDGE MOVES OFFSHORE. TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE ABOVE NORMAL WITH AS
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS FROM THE ATLANTIC INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN
STATES.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
HIGH CONFIDENCE IN VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD.

CLEAR SKIES EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. WINDS
BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. SOME HIGH CLOUDS EXPECTED MAINLY LATE
TONIGHT THROUGH END OF TAF PERIOD AS UPPER LEVEL TROUGH APPROACHES
FROM THE WEST. WITH DRY AIR MASS SO FOG NOT EXPECTED TONIGHT.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

MANNING

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$








000
FXUS62 KCAE 231822
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
222 PM EDT THU OCT 23 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL KEEP DRY WEATHER
ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE OHIO VALLEY WILL BUILD SOUTHEAST
INTO THE CAROLINAS. SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT CONTINUES TO
WEAKEN AND LIGHT WINDS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. DEW POINTS REMAIN LOW
AND POTENTIAL AGAIN FOR STRONG RADIATIONAL COOLING.
HOWEVER...HIGH CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IN THE
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ADVECT EAST TOWARD THE REGION LATE TONIGHT.
STAYED CLOSE TO MOS TEMPERATURES BUT IT MAY BE COOLER ESPECIALLY IN
SOME OUTLYING AREAS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES SHOULD
BE A LITTLE WARMER WITH NEUTRAL 850MB TEMPERATURE ADVECTION BUT
DOWNSLOPE FLOW. ALTHOUGH UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVING OVER THE AREA
IN THE AFTERNOON WITH HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS. WILL CONTINUE SLIGHT
WARM UP. CONTINUED WARMING TREND SATURDAY AS DOWNSLOPE FLOW
CONTINUES AND WEAK WARM ADVECTION. WEAK TROUGH MOVING THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT WITH LIMITED MOISTURE.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
DRY HIGH PRESSURE AIR MASS TO BUILD INTO THE REGION SUN INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK. UPPER TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
LATE IN THE PERIOD WITH COLD FRONT POSSIBLY MOVING INTO THE AREA
ON THURSDAY. MOISTURE APPEARS LIMITED...ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE SUGGESTS
SLIGHT CHANCE POPS MAINLY ON THURSDAY ASSOCIATED WITH FRONT. BUT
A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AS AIR MASS BECOMES
MARGINALLY UNSTABLE AND LOW LEVEL MOISTURE INCREASES AS SURFACE
RIDGE MOVES OFFSHORE. TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE ABOVE NORMAL WITH AS
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS FROM THE ATLANTIC INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN
STATES.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
HIGH CONFIDENCE IN VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD.

CLEAR SKIES EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. WINDS
BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. SOME HIGH CLOUDS EXPECTED MAINLY LATE
TONIGHT THROUGH END OF TAF PERIOD AS UPPER LEVEL TROUGH APPROACHES
FROM THE WEST. WITH DRY AIR MASS SO FOG NOT EXPECTED TONIGHT.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

MANNING

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$








000
FXUS62 KCAE 231031
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
631 AM EDT THU OCT 23 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL KEEP DRY WEATHER
ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
MAIN UPPER LOW JUST OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COASTLINE WILL CONTINUE
TO SLOWLY MOVE NORTHEASTWARD AND AWAY FROM THE REGION...WHILE AT
THE SURFACE WEAK DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE FORECAST
AREA THROUGH THE DAY. ANOTHER COOL START TO THE MORNING IS ON TAP
AGAIN TODAY. PLENTY OF SUNSHINE ONCE AGAIN...BUT WITH WEAK COLD
ADVECTION FROM THE NORTH...AFTERNOON HIGHS GENERALLY AROUND 70
DEGREES ONCE AGAIN.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE REGION...WITH CONDITIONS
REMAINING DRY. LIGHT WINDS AND GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING
CONDITIONS WILL TAKE PLACE TONIGHT AND EARLY FRI
MORNING...BRINGING LOWS ONCE AGAIN INTO THE UPPER 30S AND LOWER
40S. FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT WILL BRING SLIGHTLY WARMER
TEMPERATURES.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
UPPER TROUGHINESS TO CONTINUE ALONG THE EAST COAST...PROVIDING A
CONTINUED DRY NW FLOW ALOFT. A WEAK DRY REINFORCING FRONT EXPECTED
TO COME LATE SAT...FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER DRY HIGH PRESSURE AIR MASS
TO BUILD INTO THE REGION SUN INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. UPPER TROUGH
MOVING ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY LATE IN THE PERIOD...BUT
RIDGE OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST EXTENDING INTO THE AREA. WILL CONTINUE
DRY THROUGH MIDWEEK WITH SLIGHT INCREASE IN MOISTURE ON WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
HIGH CONFIDENCE IN VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD.

CLEAR SKIES AND HIGH PRESSURE THROUGH THE PERIOD. LIGHT NORTHWEST
WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING AND CLEAR SKIES. MODERATE WINDS JUST OFF
THE DECK AS SHOWN IN THE KCAE WIND PROFILE. 2000FT WINDS AROUND
35-40 KT. WILL KEEP LLWS THROUGH AROUND 13Z AT KCAE. WINDS THE
REMAINDER OF THE DAY EXPECTED TO BE OUT OF THE NORTHWEST UNDER
10KT WITH GOOD VFR. SCT MID-HIGH CLOUDS MAY APPROACH FROM THE
WEST TOWARD THE END OF THE PERIOD AHEAD OF THE NEXT UPPER LEVEL
TROF APPROACHING FROM THE PLAINS STATES...BUT HAVE OPTED TO LEAVE
OUT FOR NOW.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

MANNING

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$








000
FXUS62 KCAE 231008
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
608 AM EDT THU OCT 23 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL KEEP DRY WEATHER
ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
MAIN UPPER LOW JUST OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COASTLINE WILL CONTINUE
TO SLOWLY MOVE NORTHEASTWARD AND AWAY FROM THE REGION...WHILE AT
THE SURFACE WEAK DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE FORECAST
AREA THROUGH THE DAY. ANOTHER COOL START TO THE MORNING IS ON TAP
AGAIN TODAY. PLENTY OF SUNSHINE ONCE AGAIN...BUT WITH WEAK COLD
ADVECTION FROM THE NORTH...AFTERNOON HIGHS GENERALLY AROUND 70
DEGREES ONCE AGAIN.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE REGION...WITH CONDITIONS
REMAINING DRY. LIGHT WINDS AND GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING
CONDITIONS WILL TAKE PLACE TONIGHT AND EARLY FRI
MORNING...BRINGING LOWS ONCE AGAIN INTO THE UPPER 30S AND LOWER
40S. FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT WILL BRING SLIGHTLY WARMER
TEMPERATURES.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
UPPER TROUGHINESS TO CONTINUE ALONG THE EAST COAST...PROVIDING A
CONTINUED DRY NW FLOW ALOFT. A WEAK DRY REINFORCING FRONT EXPECTED
TO COME LATE SAT...FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER DRY HIGH PRESSURE AIR MASS
TO BUILD INTO THE REGION SUN INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. UPPER TROUGH
MOVING ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY LATE IN THE PERIOD...BUT
RIDGE OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST EXTENDING INTO THE AREA. WILL CONTINUE
DRY THROUGH MIDWEEK WITH SLIGHT INCREASE IN MOISTURE ON WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /10Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
HIGH CONFIDENCE IN VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD.

CLEAR SKIES AND HIGH PRESSURE THROUGH THE PERIOD. LIGHT NORTHWEST
WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING AND CLEAR SKIES. NO FOG WITH MODERATE TO
STRONG WINDS JUST OFF THE DECK AS SHOWN IN THE KCAE WIND PROFILE.
2000FT WINDS AROUND 35-40 KT. HAVE INTRODUCED LLWS FOR THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS AT KCAE GIVEN LIGHT SURFACE WINDS AND STRONG WINDS
JUST OFF THE DECK.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

MANNING

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$










000
FXUS62 KCAE 231008
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
608 AM EDT THU OCT 23 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL KEEP DRY WEATHER
ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
MAIN UPPER LOW JUST OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COASTLINE WILL CONTINUE
TO SLOWLY MOVE NORTHEASTWARD AND AWAY FROM THE REGION...WHILE AT
THE SURFACE WEAK DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE FORECAST
AREA THROUGH THE DAY. ANOTHER COOL START TO THE MORNING IS ON TAP
AGAIN TODAY. PLENTY OF SUNSHINE ONCE AGAIN...BUT WITH WEAK COLD
ADVECTION FROM THE NORTH...AFTERNOON HIGHS GENERALLY AROUND 70
DEGREES ONCE AGAIN.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE REGION...WITH CONDITIONS
REMAINING DRY. LIGHT WINDS AND GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING
CONDITIONS WILL TAKE PLACE TONIGHT AND EARLY FRI
MORNING...BRINGING LOWS ONCE AGAIN INTO THE UPPER 30S AND LOWER
40S. FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT WILL BRING SLIGHTLY WARMER
TEMPERATURES.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
UPPER TROUGHINESS TO CONTINUE ALONG THE EAST COAST...PROVIDING A
CONTINUED DRY NW FLOW ALOFT. A WEAK DRY REINFORCING FRONT EXPECTED
TO COME LATE SAT...FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER DRY HIGH PRESSURE AIR MASS
TO BUILD INTO THE REGION SUN INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. UPPER TROUGH
MOVING ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY LATE IN THE PERIOD...BUT
RIDGE OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST EXTENDING INTO THE AREA. WILL CONTINUE
DRY THROUGH MIDWEEK WITH SLIGHT INCREASE IN MOISTURE ON WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /10Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
HIGH CONFIDENCE IN VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD.

CLEAR SKIES AND HIGH PRESSURE THROUGH THE PERIOD. LIGHT NORTHWEST
WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING AND CLEAR SKIES. NO FOG WITH MODERATE TO
STRONG WINDS JUST OFF THE DECK AS SHOWN IN THE KCAE WIND PROFILE.
2000FT WINDS AROUND 35-40 KT. HAVE INTRODUCED LLWS FOR THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS AT KCAE GIVEN LIGHT SURFACE WINDS AND STRONG WINDS
JUST OFF THE DECK.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

MANNING

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$










000
FXUS62 KCAE 230623
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
223 AM EDT THU OCT 23 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL KEEP DRY WEATHER
ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
EARLY THIS MORNING...WINDS GENERALLY BECOMING LIGHT OUT OF THE
NORTH. SHOULD SEE WINDS CONTINUING TO DIMINISH OVERNIGHT AS THE
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LIFTS NORTHEAST AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN
FROM THE WEST. GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS EXPECTED WITH
CLEAR SKIES...LIGHT WIND...AND DRY AIR MASS DURING THE PREDAWN
HOURS. TEMPERATURE READINGS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S WILL BE
COMMON BY SUNRISE.

TODAY...MAIN UPPER LOW JUST OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COASTLINE WILL
CONTINUE TO SLOWLY MOVE NORTHEASTWARD AND AWAY FROM THE
REGION...WHILE AT THE SURFACE WEAK DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD
INTO THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THE DAY. PLENTY OF SUNSHINE ONCE
AGAIN...BUT WITH WEAK COLD ADVECTION FROM THE NORTH...AFTERNOON
HIGHS GENERALLY AROUND 70 DEGREES ONCE AGAIN.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE REGION...WITH CONDITIONS
REMAINING DRY. LIGHT WINDS AND GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING
CONDITIONS WILL TAKE PLACE TONIGHT AND EARLY FRI
MORNING...BRINGING LOWS ONCE AGAIN INTO THE UPPER 30S AND LOWER
40S. FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT WILL BRING SLIGHTLY WARMER
TEMPERATURES.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
UPPER TROUGHINESS TO CONTINUE ALONG THE EAST COAST...PROVIDING A
CONTINUED DRY NW FLOW ALOFT. A WEAK DRY REINFORCING FRONT EXPECTED
TO COME LATE SAT...FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER DRY HIGH PRESSURE AIR MASS
TO BUILD INTO THE REGION SUN INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. UPPER TROUGH
MOVING ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY LATE IN THE PERIOD...BUT
RIDGE OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST EXTENDING INTO THE AREA. WILL CONTINUE
DRY THROUGH MIDWEEK WITH SLIGHT INCREASE IN MOISTURE ON WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
HIGH CONFIDENCE IN VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD.

CLEAR SKIES AND HIGH PRESSURE THROUGH THE PERIOD. LIGHT NORTHWEST
WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING AND CLEAR SKIES. NO FOG WITH MODERATE TO
STRONG WINDS JUST OFF THE DECK AS SHOWN IN THE KCAE WIND PROFILE.
2000FT WINDS AROUND 35-40 KT. HAVE INTRODUCED LLWS FOR THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS AT KCAE GIVEN LIGHT SURFACE WINDS AND STRONG WINDS
JUST OFF THE DECK.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

MANNING

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.

&&

$$










000
FXUS62 KCAE 230508
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
108 AM EDT THU OCT 23 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL KEEP DRY WEATHER
ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 8 AM THIS MORNING/...
PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN LOW PRESSURE OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST
AND HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE OHIO VALLEY KEEPING LIGHT NORTHERLY
WINDS ACROSS THE NORTH HALF OF SOUTH CAROLINA THIS EVENING. WIND
NEAR CALM ACROSS THE SOUTHERN MIDLANDS AND CSRA WHERE THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT IS WEAK. SHOULD SEE WINDS CONTINUING TO DIMINISH OVERNIGHT
AS THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LIFTS NORTHEAST AND HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST. GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS
EXPECTED WITH CLEAR SKIES...LIGHT WIND...AND DRY AIR MASS DURING
THE PREDAWN HOURS. TEMPERATURE READINGS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER
40S WILL BE COMMON BY SUNRISE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /8 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS TO OUR NE WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT TO THE NE
WHILE WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO OUR REGION. DRY CONDITIONS
WILL CONTINUE. LIGHT WINDS AND GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS
WILL TAKE PLACE THU NT/EARLY FRI MORNING...WITH PATCHY FROST
POSSIBLE IN SOME OF THE NORMALLY COLDER LOCATIONS.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
UPPER TROUGHINESS TO CONTINUE ALONG THE EAST COAST...PROVIDING A
CONTINUED DRY NW FLOW ALOFT. A WEAK DRY REINFORCING FRONT EXPECTED
TO COME LATE SAT...FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER DRY HIGH PRESSURE AIR MASS
TO BUILD INTO THE REGION SUN INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. UPPER TROUGH
MOVING ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY LATE IN THE PERIOD...BUT
RIDGE OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST EXTENDING INTO THE AREA. WILL
CONTINUE DRY THROUGH MIDWEEK WITH SLIGHT INCREASE IN MOISTURE FROM
THE WEST WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
HIGH CONFIDENCE IN VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD.

CLEAR SKIES AND HIGH PRESSURE THROUGH THE PERIOD. LIGHT NORTHWEST
WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING AND CLEAR SKIES. NO FOG WITH MODERATE TO
STRONG WINDS JUST OFF THE DECK AS SHOWN IN THE KCAE WIND PROFILE.
2000FT WINDS AROUND 35-40 KT. HAVE INTRODUCED LLWS FOR THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS AT KCAE GIVEN LIGHT SURFACE WINDS AND STRONG WINDS
JUST OFF THE DECK.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

MANNING

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$








000
FXUS62 KCAE 230508
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
108 AM EDT THU OCT 23 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL KEEP DRY WEATHER
ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 8 AM THIS MORNING/...
PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN LOW PRESSURE OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST
AND HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE OHIO VALLEY KEEPING LIGHT NORTHERLY
WINDS ACROSS THE NORTH HALF OF SOUTH CAROLINA THIS EVENING. WIND
NEAR CALM ACROSS THE SOUTHERN MIDLANDS AND CSRA WHERE THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT IS WEAK. SHOULD SEE WINDS CONTINUING TO DIMINISH OVERNIGHT
AS THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LIFTS NORTHEAST AND HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST. GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS
EXPECTED WITH CLEAR SKIES...LIGHT WIND...AND DRY AIR MASS DURING
THE PREDAWN HOURS. TEMPERATURE READINGS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER
40S WILL BE COMMON BY SUNRISE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /8 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS TO OUR NE WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT TO THE NE
WHILE WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO OUR REGION. DRY CONDITIONS
WILL CONTINUE. LIGHT WINDS AND GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS
WILL TAKE PLACE THU NT/EARLY FRI MORNING...WITH PATCHY FROST
POSSIBLE IN SOME OF THE NORMALLY COLDER LOCATIONS.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
UPPER TROUGHINESS TO CONTINUE ALONG THE EAST COAST...PROVIDING A
CONTINUED DRY NW FLOW ALOFT. A WEAK DRY REINFORCING FRONT EXPECTED
TO COME LATE SAT...FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER DRY HIGH PRESSURE AIR MASS
TO BUILD INTO THE REGION SUN INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. UPPER TROUGH
MOVING ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY LATE IN THE PERIOD...BUT
RIDGE OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST EXTENDING INTO THE AREA. WILL
CONTINUE DRY THROUGH MIDWEEK WITH SLIGHT INCREASE IN MOISTURE FROM
THE WEST WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
HIGH CONFIDENCE IN VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD.

CLEAR SKIES AND HIGH PRESSURE THROUGH THE PERIOD. LIGHT NORTHWEST
WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING AND CLEAR SKIES. NO FOG WITH MODERATE TO
STRONG WINDS JUST OFF THE DECK AS SHOWN IN THE KCAE WIND PROFILE.
2000FT WINDS AROUND 35-40 KT. HAVE INTRODUCED LLWS FOR THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS AT KCAE GIVEN LIGHT SURFACE WINDS AND STRONG WINDS
JUST OFF THE DECK.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

MANNING

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$








000
FXUS62 KCAE 230100
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
900 PM EDT WED OCT 22 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL KEEP DRY WEATHER
ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 8 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN LOW PRESSURE OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST
AND HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE OHIO VALLEY KEEPING LIGHT NORTHERLY
WINDS ACROSS THE NORTH HALF OF SOUTH CAROLINA THIS EVENING. WIND
NEAR CALM ACROSS THE SOUTHERN MIDLANDS AND CSRA WHERE THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT IS WEAK. SHOULD SEE WINDS CONTINUING TO DIMINISH OVERNIGHT
AS THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LIFTS NORTHEAST AND HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST. GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS
EXPECTED WITH CLEAR SKIES...LIGHT WIND...AND DRY AIR MASS DURING
THE PREDAWN HOURS. TEMPERATURE READINGS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER
40S WILL BE COMMON BY SUNRISE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /8 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS TO OUR NE WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT TO THE NE
WHILE WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO OUR REGION. DRY CONDITIONS
WILL CONTINUE. LIGHT WINDS AND GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS
WILL TAKE PLACE THU NT/EARLY FRI MORNING...WITH PATCHY FROST
POSSIBLE IN SOME OF THE NORMALLY COLDER LOCATIONS.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
UPPER TROUGHINESS TO CONTINUE ALONG THE EAST COAST...PROVIDING A
CONTINUED DRY NW FLOW ALOFT. A WEAK DRY REINFORCING FRONT EXPECTED
TO COME LATE SAT...FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER DRY HIGH PRESSURE AIR MASS
TO BUILD INTO THE REGION SUN INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. UPPER TROUGH
MOVING ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY LATE IN THE PERIOD...BUT
RIDGE OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST EXTENDING INTO THE AREA. WILL
CONTINUE DRY THROUGH MIDWEEK WITH SLIGHT INCREASE IN MOISTURE FROM
THE WEST WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
HIGH CONFIDENCE IN VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD.

DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL HOLD CLEAR SKIES ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA
THROUGH THE PERIOD. NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT TO CALM
OVERNIGHT AND WILL BACK TO WEST-NORTHWESTERLY BY LATE THURSDAY
AFTERNOON AT AROUND 5 TO 7 KNOTS. NO EARLY MORNING FOG DEVELOPMENT
ANTICIPATED DUE TO DRY AIR IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION AND A 20
KNOT NOCTURNAL LOW LEVEL JET AT AROUND 1000 FEET.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$








000
FXUS62 KCAE 230100
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
900 PM EDT WED OCT 22 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL KEEP DRY WEATHER
ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 8 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN LOW PRESSURE OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST
AND HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE OHIO VALLEY KEEPING LIGHT NORTHERLY
WINDS ACROSS THE NORTH HALF OF SOUTH CAROLINA THIS EVENING. WIND
NEAR CALM ACROSS THE SOUTHERN MIDLANDS AND CSRA WHERE THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT IS WEAK. SHOULD SEE WINDS CONTINUING TO DIMINISH OVERNIGHT
AS THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LIFTS NORTHEAST AND HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST. GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS
EXPECTED WITH CLEAR SKIES...LIGHT WIND...AND DRY AIR MASS DURING
THE PREDAWN HOURS. TEMPERATURE READINGS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER
40S WILL BE COMMON BY SUNRISE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /8 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS TO OUR NE WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT TO THE NE
WHILE WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO OUR REGION. DRY CONDITIONS
WILL CONTINUE. LIGHT WINDS AND GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS
WILL TAKE PLACE THU NT/EARLY FRI MORNING...WITH PATCHY FROST
POSSIBLE IN SOME OF THE NORMALLY COLDER LOCATIONS.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
UPPER TROUGHINESS TO CONTINUE ALONG THE EAST COAST...PROVIDING A
CONTINUED DRY NW FLOW ALOFT. A WEAK DRY REINFORCING FRONT EXPECTED
TO COME LATE SAT...FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER DRY HIGH PRESSURE AIR MASS
TO BUILD INTO THE REGION SUN INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. UPPER TROUGH
MOVING ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY LATE IN THE PERIOD...BUT
RIDGE OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST EXTENDING INTO THE AREA. WILL
CONTINUE DRY THROUGH MIDWEEK WITH SLIGHT INCREASE IN MOISTURE FROM
THE WEST WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
HIGH CONFIDENCE IN VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD.

DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL HOLD CLEAR SKIES ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA
THROUGH THE PERIOD. NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT TO CALM
OVERNIGHT AND WILL BACK TO WEST-NORTHWESTERLY BY LATE THURSDAY
AFTERNOON AT AROUND 5 TO 7 KNOTS. NO EARLY MORNING FOG DEVELOPMENT
ANTICIPATED DUE TO DRY AIR IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION AND A 20
KNOT NOCTURNAL LOW LEVEL JET AT AROUND 1000 FEET.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$








000
FXUS62 KCAE 222337
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
737 PM EDT WED OCT 22 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL KEEP DRY WEATHER
ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
WINDS WILL DIMINISH BY SUNSET...BECOMING LIGHT OUT OF THE NORTH TO
NORTHWEST. WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES...A DRY AIR MASS...AND LIGHT
WINDS...GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS WILL EXIST WHICH WILL
BRING SOME OF THE COLDER OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES OF THE SEASON.
READINGS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S WILL BE COMMON BY SUNRISE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS TO OUR NE WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT TO THE NE
WHILE WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SE INTO OUR REGION. DRY CONDITIONS
WILL CONTINUE. BEST CHANCE FOR LIGHT WINDS AND GOOD RADIATIONAL
COOLING CONDITIONS APPEARS WILL TAKE PLACE THU NT/EARLY FRI
MORNING...WITH PATCHY FROST POSSIBLE IN SOME OF THE NORMALLY
COLDER LOCATIONS.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
UPPER TROUGHINESS TO CONTINUE ALONG THE EAST COAST...PROVIDING A
CONTINUED DRY NW FLOW ALOFT. A WEAK DRY REINFORCING FRONT EXPECTED
TO COME LATE SAT...FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER DRY HIGH PRESSURE AIR MASS
TO BUILD INTO THE REGION SUN INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. UPPER TROUGH
MOVING ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY LATE IN THE PERIOD...BUT
RIDGE OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST EXTENDING INTO THE AREA. WILL
CONTINUE DRY THROUGH MIDWEEK WITH SLIGHT INCREASE IN MOISTURE FROM
THE WEST WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
HIGH CONFIDENCE IN VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD.

DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL HOLD CLEAR SKIES ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA
THROUGH THE PERIOD. NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT TO CALM
OVERNIGHT AND WILL BACK TO WEST-NORTHWESTERLY BY LATE THURSDAY
AFTERNOON AT AROUND 5 TO 7 KNOTS. NO EARLY MORNING FOG DEVELOPMENT
ANTICIPATED DUE TO DRY AIR IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION AND A 20
KNOT NOCTURNAL LOW LEVEL JET AT AROUND 1000 FEET.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$








000
FXUS62 KCAE 222059
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
459 PM EDT WED OCT 22 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL KEEP DRY WEATHER
ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
WINDS WILL DIMINISH BY SUNSET...BECOMING LIGHT OUT OF THE NORTH TO
NORTHWEST. WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES...A DRY AIR MASS...AND LIGHT
WINDS...GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS WILL EXIST WHICH WILL
BRING SOME OF THE COLDER OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES OF THE SEASON.
READINGS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S WILL BE COMMON BY SUNRISE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS TO OUR NE WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT TO THE NE
WHILE WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SE INTO OUR REGION. DRY CONDITIONS
WILL CONTINUE. BEST CHANCE FOR LIGHT WINDS AND GOOD RADIATIONAL
COOLING CONDITIONS APPEARS WILL TAKE PLACE THU NT/EARLY FRI
MORNING...WITH PATCHY FROST POSSIBLE IN SOME OF THE NORMALLY
COLDER LOCATIONS.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
UPPER TROUGHINESS TO CONTINUE ALONG THE EAST COAST...PROVIDING A
CONTINUED DRY NW FLOW ALOFT. A WEAK DRY REINFORCING FRONT EXPECTED
TO COME LATE SAT...FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER DRY HIGH PRESSURE AIR MASS
TO BUILD INTO THE REGION SUN INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. UPPER TROUGH
MOVING ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY LATE IN THE PERIOD...BUT
RIDGE OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST EXTENDING INTO THE AREA. WILL
CONTINUE DRY THROUGH MIDWEEK WITH SLIGHT INCREASE IN MOISTURE FROM
THE WEST WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /21Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
HIGH CONFIDENCE IN VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD.

DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL HOLD CLEAR SKIES ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA
THROUGH THE PERIOD. WINDS WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE NORTH AT AROUND 5
TO 10 KNOTS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON AND WILL DIMINISH
TO LIGHT OUT OF THE NORTHWEST BY SUNSET. NO EARLY MORNING FOG
DEVELOPMENT ANTICIPATED DUE TO DRY AIR IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION
AND A 20 KNOT NOCTURNAL LOW LEVEL JET AT AROUND 1000 FEET.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$








000
FXUS62 KCAE 222007
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
407 PM EDT WED OCT 22 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL KEEP DRY WEATHER
ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
WINDS WILL DIMINISH BY SUNSET...BECOMING LIGHT OUT OF THE NORTH TO
NORTHWEST. WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES...A DRY AIR MASS...AND LIGHT
WINDS...GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS WILL EXIST WHICH WILL
BRING SOME OF THE COLDER OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES OF THE SEASON.
READINGS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S WILL BE COMMON BY SUNRISE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS TO OUR NE WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT TO THE NE
WHILE WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SE INTO OUR REGION. DRY CONDITIONS
WILL CONTINUE. BEST CHANCE FOR LIGHT WINDS AND GOOD RADIATIONAL
COOLING CONDITIONS APPEARS WILL TAKE PLACE THU NT/EARLY FRI
MORNING...WITH PATCHY FROST POSSIBLE IN SOME OF THE NORMALLY
COLDER LOCATIONS.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
UPPER TROUGHINESS TO CONTINUE ALONG THE EAST COAST...PROVIDING A
CONTINUED DRY NW FLOW ALOFT. A WEAK DRY REINFORCING FRONT EXPECTED
TO COME LATE SAT...FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER DRY HIGH PRESSURE AIR MASS
TO BUILD INTO THE REGION SUN INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. UPPER TROUGH
MOVING ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY LATE IN THE PERIOD...BUT
RIDGE OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST EXTENDING INTO THE AREA. WILL
CONTINUE DRY THROUGH MIDWEEK WITH SLIGHT INCREASE IN MOISTURE FROM
THE WEST WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL HOLD CLEAR SKIES ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA
THROUGH THE PERIOD. WINDS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON REMAIN AROUND 10
KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS TO AROUND 15 KNOTS POSSIBLE. WINDS
DIMINISH TO LIGHT OUT OF THE NORTHWEST BY SUNSET. VISIBILITIES
EXPECTED TO REMAIN VFR.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$








000
FXUS62 KCAE 221652
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
1252 PM EDT WED OCT 22 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
THIS AFTERNOON...DRIER AND SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR CONTINUES TO MOVE
INTO THE REGION. EVEN WITH PLENTY OF SUNSHINE THROUGH THE
DAY...TEMPERATURES WILL BE AROUND 10 DEGREES COOLER THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH HIGHS ONLY REACHING THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S.
WINDS WILL BE GUSTY AT TIMES AS STRONGER WINDS MIX DOWN TO THE
SURFACE.

TONIGHT...WINDS DIMINISH BY SUNSET...BECOMING LIGHT OUT OF THE
NORTH TO NORTHWEST. WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES...A DRY AIR MASS...AND
LIGHT WINDS...GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS WILL EXIST
WHICH WILL BRING SOME OF THE COLDER OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES OF THE
SEASON. READINGS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S WILL BE COMMON BY
SUNRISE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS TO OUR NE WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT TO THE NE
WHILE WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SE INTO OUR REGION. DRY CONDITIONS
WILL CONTINUE. BEST CHANCE FOR LIGHT WINDS AND GOOD RADIATIONAL
COOLING CONDITIONS APPEARS WILL TAKE PLACE THU NT/EARLY FRI
MORNING...WITH PATCHY FROST POSSIBLE IN SOME OF THE NORMALLY
COLDER LOCATIONS.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
UPPER TROUGHINESS TO CONTINUE ALONG THE EAST COAST...PROVIDING A
CONTINUED DRY NW FLOW ALOFT. A WEAK DRY REINFORCING FRONT EXPECTED
TO COME LATE SAT...FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER DRY HIGH PRESSURE AIR MASS
TO BUILD INTO THE REGION SUN INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. UPPER TROUGH
MOVING ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY LATE IN THE PERIOD...BUT
RIDGE OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST EXTENDING INTO THE AREA. WILL
CONTINUE DRY THROUGH MIDWEEK WITH SLIGHT INCREASE IN MOISTURE FROM
THE WEST WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING CLEAR SKIES TO THE FORECAST AREA
THROUGH THE PERIOD. WINDS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON REMAIN AROUND 10
KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS TO AROUND 15 KNOTS POSSIBLE. WINDS
DIMINISH TO LIGHT OUT OF THE NORTHWEST BY SUNSET. VISIBILITIES
EXPECTED TO REMAIN VFR.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$








000
FXUS62 KCAE 221652
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
1252 PM EDT WED OCT 22 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
THIS AFTERNOON...DRIER AND SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR CONTINUES TO MOVE
INTO THE REGION. EVEN WITH PLENTY OF SUNSHINE THROUGH THE
DAY...TEMPERATURES WILL BE AROUND 10 DEGREES COOLER THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH HIGHS ONLY REACHING THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S.
WINDS WILL BE GUSTY AT TIMES AS STRONGER WINDS MIX DOWN TO THE
SURFACE.

TONIGHT...WINDS DIMINISH BY SUNSET...BECOMING LIGHT OUT OF THE
NORTH TO NORTHWEST. WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES...A DRY AIR MASS...AND
LIGHT WINDS...GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS WILL EXIST
WHICH WILL BRING SOME OF THE COLDER OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES OF THE
SEASON. READINGS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S WILL BE COMMON BY
SUNRISE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS TO OUR NE WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT TO THE NE
WHILE WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SE INTO OUR REGION. DRY CONDITIONS
WILL CONTINUE. BEST CHANCE FOR LIGHT WINDS AND GOOD RADIATIONAL
COOLING CONDITIONS APPEARS WILL TAKE PLACE THU NT/EARLY FRI
MORNING...WITH PATCHY FROST POSSIBLE IN SOME OF THE NORMALLY
COLDER LOCATIONS.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
UPPER TROUGHINESS TO CONTINUE ALONG THE EAST COAST...PROVIDING A
CONTINUED DRY NW FLOW ALOFT. A WEAK DRY REINFORCING FRONT EXPECTED
TO COME LATE SAT...FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER DRY HIGH PRESSURE AIR MASS
TO BUILD INTO THE REGION SUN INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. UPPER TROUGH
MOVING ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY LATE IN THE PERIOD...BUT
RIDGE OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST EXTENDING INTO THE AREA. WILL
CONTINUE DRY THROUGH MIDWEEK WITH SLIGHT INCREASE IN MOISTURE FROM
THE WEST WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING CLEAR SKIES TO THE FORECAST AREA
THROUGH THE PERIOD. WINDS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON REMAIN AROUND 10
KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS TO AROUND 15 KNOTS POSSIBLE. WINDS
DIMINISH TO LIGHT OUT OF THE NORTHWEST BY SUNSET. VISIBILITIES
EXPECTED TO REMAIN VFR.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$








000
FXUS62 KCAE 221555
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
1155 AM EDT WED OCT 22 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
THIS AFTERNOON...DRIER AND SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR CONTINUES TO MOVE
INTO THE REGION. EVEN WITH PLENTY OF SUNSHINE THROUGH THE
DAY...TEMPERATURES WILL BE AROUND 10 DEGREES COOLER THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH HIGHS ONLY REACHING THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S.
WINDS WILL BE GUSTY AT TIMES AS STRONGER WINDS MIX DOWN TO THE
SURFACE.

TONIGHT...WINDS DIMINISH BY SUNSET...BECOMING LIGHT OUT OF THE
NORTH TO NORTHWEST. WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES...A DRY AIRMASS...AND
LIGHT WINDS...GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS WILL EXIST
WHICH WILL BRING SOME OF THE COLDER OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES OF THE
SEASON. READINGS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S WILL BE COMMON BY
SUNRISE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS TO OUR NE WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT TO THE NE
WHILE WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SE INTO OUR REGION. DRY CONDITIONS
WILL CONTINUE. BEST CHANCE FOR LIGHT WINDS AND GOOD RADIATIONAL
COOLING CONDITIONS APPEARS WILL TAKE PLACE THU NT/EARLY FRI
MORNING...WITH PATCHY FROST POSSIBLE IN SOME OF THE NORMALLY
COLDER LOCATIONS.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
UPPER TROUGHINESS TO CONTINUE ALONG THE EAST COAST...PROVIDING A
CONTINUED DRY NW FLOW ALOFT. A WEAK DRY REINFORCING FRONT EXPECTED
TO COME LATE SAT...FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER DRY HIGH PRESSURE AIR MASS
TO BUILD INTO THE REGION SUN INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /16Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING CLEAR SKIES TO THE FORECAST AREA
THROUGH THE PERIOD. WINDS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON REMAIN AROUND 10
KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS TO AROUND 15 KNOTS POSSIBLE. WINDS
DIMINISH TO LIGHT OUT OF THE NORTHWEST BY SUNSET. VISIBILITIES
EXPECTED TO REMAIN VFR.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$










000
FXUS62 KCAE 221555
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
1155 AM EDT WED OCT 22 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
THIS AFTERNOON...DRIER AND SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR CONTINUES TO MOVE
INTO THE REGION. EVEN WITH PLENTY OF SUNSHINE THROUGH THE
DAY...TEMPERATURES WILL BE AROUND 10 DEGREES COOLER THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH HIGHS ONLY REACHING THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S.
WINDS WILL BE GUSTY AT TIMES AS STRONGER WINDS MIX DOWN TO THE
SURFACE.

TONIGHT...WINDS DIMINISH BY SUNSET...BECOMING LIGHT OUT OF THE
NORTH TO NORTHWEST. WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES...A DRY AIRMASS...AND
LIGHT WINDS...GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS WILL EXIST
WHICH WILL BRING SOME OF THE COLDER OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES OF THE
SEASON. READINGS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S WILL BE COMMON BY
SUNRISE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS TO OUR NE WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT TO THE NE
WHILE WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SE INTO OUR REGION. DRY CONDITIONS
WILL CONTINUE. BEST CHANCE FOR LIGHT WINDS AND GOOD RADIATIONAL
COOLING CONDITIONS APPEARS WILL TAKE PLACE THU NT/EARLY FRI
MORNING...WITH PATCHY FROST POSSIBLE IN SOME OF THE NORMALLY
COLDER LOCATIONS.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
UPPER TROUGHINESS TO CONTINUE ALONG THE EAST COAST...PROVIDING A
CONTINUED DRY NW FLOW ALOFT. A WEAK DRY REINFORCING FRONT EXPECTED
TO COME LATE SAT...FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER DRY HIGH PRESSURE AIR MASS
TO BUILD INTO THE REGION SUN INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /16Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING CLEAR SKIES TO THE FORECAST AREA
THROUGH THE PERIOD. WINDS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON REMAIN AROUND 10
KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS TO AROUND 15 KNOTS POSSIBLE. WINDS
DIMINISH TO LIGHT OUT OF THE NORTHWEST BY SUNSET. VISIBILITIES
EXPECTED TO REMAIN VFR.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$










000
FXUS62 KCAE 221507
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
1107 AM EDT WED OCT 22 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
TODAY...DRIER AND SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE REGION
BEHIND A COLD FRONT THAT IS NOW OFF THE COAST. EVEN WITH PLENTY OF
SUNSHINE THROUGH THE DAY...TEMPERATURES WILL BE AROUND 10 DEGREES
COOLER THIS AFTERNOON...WITH HIGHS ONLY REACHING THE UPPER 60S TO
LOWER 70S. WINDS THROUGH THE DAY WILL BE GUSTY AT TIMES AS
STRONGER WINDS MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE.

TONIGHT...WINDS DIMINISH BY SUNSET...BECOMING LIGHT OUT OF THE
NORTH TO NORTHWEST. WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES...A DRY AIRMASS...AND
LIGHT WINDS...GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS WILL EXIST
WHICH WILL BRING SOME OF THE COLDER OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES OF THE
SEASON. READINGS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S WILL BE COMMON BY
SUNRISE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS TO OUR NE WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT TO THE NE
WHILE WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SE INTO OUR REGION. DRY CONDITIONS
WILL CONTINUE. BEST CHANCE FOR LIGHT WINDS AND GOOD RADIATIONAL
COOLING CONDITIONS APPEARS WILL TAKE PLACE THU NT/EARLY FRI
MORNING...WITH PATCHY FROST POSSIBLE IN SOME OF THE NORMALLY
COLDER LOCATIONS.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
UPPER TROUGHINESS TO CONTINUE ALONG THE EAST COAST...PROVIDING A
CONTINUED DRY NW FLOW ALOFT. A WEAK DRY REINFORCING FRONT EXPECTED
TO COME LATE SAT...FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER DRY HIGH PRESSURE AIR MASS
TO BUILD INTO THE REGION SUN INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING CLEAR SKIES TO THE FORECAST AREA AGAIN
TODAY. THE ONLY POSSIBLE ISSUES TAF WISE REVOLVE AROUND THE WINDS
THROUGH THE DAY. WINDS INCREASING AND BECOMING GUSTY INTO THE LATE
MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON ACROSS THE REGION. RADAR WIND
PROFILES SHOWING 15 KNOTS NOW AT 1 KFT OFF THE SURFACE...AND THOSE
SHOULD MIX DOWN AS WIND GUSTS. THROUGH THE DAY...WINDS OUT OF THE
NORTHWEST AROUND 10 KNOTS...WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS STILL
POSSIBLE...THEN WINDS DIMINISH TO LIGHT OUT OF THE NORTHWEST BY
SUNSET.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$









000
FXUS62 KCAE 221141
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
741 AM EDT WED OCT 22 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
TODAY...DRIER AND SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE REGION
BEHIND A COLD FRONT THAT IS NOW OFF THE COAST. EVEN WITH PLENTY OF
SUNSHINE THROUGH THE DAY...TEMPERATURES WILL BE AROUND 10 DEGREES
COOLER THIS AFTERNOON...WITH HIGHS ONLY REACHING THE UPPER 60S TO
LOWER 70S. WINDS THROUGH THE DAY WILL BE GUSTY AT TIMES AS
STRONGER WINDS MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE.

TONIGHT...WINDS DIMINISH BY SUNSET...BECOMING LIGHT OUT OF THE
NORTH TO NORTHWEST. WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES...A DRY AIRMASS...AND
LIGHT WINDS...GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS WILL EXIST
WHICH WILL BRING SOME OF THE COLDER OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES OF THE
SEASON. READINGS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S WILL BE COMMON BY
SUNRISE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS TO OUR NE WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT TO THE NE
WHILE WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SE INTO OUR REGION. DRY CONDITIONS
WILL CONTINUE. BEST CHANCE FOR LIGHT WINDS AND GOOD RADIATIONAL
COOLING CONDITIONS APPEARS WILL TAKE PLACE THU NT/EARLY FRI
MORNING...WITH PATCHY FROST POSSIBLE IN SOME OF THE NORMALLY
COLDER LOCATIONS.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
UPPER TROUGHINESS TO CONTINUE ALONG THE EAST COAST...PROVIDING A
CONTINUED DRY NW FLOW ALOFT. A WEAK DRY REINFORCING FRONT EXPECTED
TO COME LATE SAT...FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER DRY HIGH PRESSURE AIR MASS
TO BUILD INTO THE REGION SUN INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /11Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING CLEAR SKIES TO THE FORECAST AREA AGAIN
TODAY. THE ONLY POSSIBLE ISSUES TAF WISE REVOLVE AROUND THE WINDS
THROUGH THE DAY. LIGHT WINDS AT ISSUANCE TIME ARE EXPECTED TO
BECOME STRONGER AND GUSTY AS THE MORNING INVERSION BREAKS ACROSS
THE REGION. RADAR WIND PROFILES SHOWING 25 KNOTS 1 KFT OFF THE
SURFACE...AND THOSE SHOULD MIX DOWN AS WIND GUSTS AS THE INVERSION
BREAKS. THROUGH THE DAY...WINDS OUT OF THE NORTHWEST AROUND 10
KNOTS...WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS STILL POSSIBLE...THEN WINDS
DIMINISH TO LIGHT OUT OF THE NORTHWEST BY SUNSET.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.

&&

$$










000
FXUS62 KCAE 221035
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
635 AM EDT WED OCT 22 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
COLD FRONT CURRENTLY PUSHING OFF THE COAST. UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS
TO OUR NE COMBINED WITH HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR NW WILL PROVIDE A
CONTINUED FEED OF COOLER AND DRIER AIR INTO THE REGION.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS TO OUR NE WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT TO THE NE
WHILE WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SE INTO OUR REGION. DRY CONDITIONS
WILL CONTINUE. BEST CHANCE FOR LIGHT WINDS AND GOOD RADIATIONAL
COOLING CONDITIONS APPEARS WILL TAKE PLACE THU NT/EARLY FRI
MORNING...WITH PATCHY FROST POSSIBLE IN SOME OF THE NORMALLY
COLDER LOCATIONS.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
UPPER TROUGHINESS TO CONTINUE ALONG THE EAST COAST...PROVIDING A
CONTINUED DRY NW FLOW ALOFT. A WEAK DRY REINFORCING FRONT EXPECTED
TO COME LATE SAT...FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER DRY HIGH PRESSURE AIR MASS
TO BUILD INTO THE REGION SUN INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

HIGH PRESSURE...CLEAR SKIES...GOOD VFR TODAY WITH NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 10KT AFTER DAYBREAK BECOMING LIGHT NORTHWEST THIS EVENING.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

MANNING

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$









000
FXUS62 KCAE 220536
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
136 AM EDT WED OCT 22 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
COLD FRONT CURRENTLY PUSHING OFF THE COAST. UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS
TO OUR NE COMBINED WITH HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR NW WILL PROVIDE A
CONTINUED FEED OF COOLER AND DRIER AIR INTO THE REGION.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS TO OUR NE WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT TO THE NE
WHILE WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SE INTO OUR REGION. DRY CONDITIONS
WILL CONTINUE. BEST CHANCE FOR LIGHT WINDS AND GOOD RADIATIONAL
COOLING CONDITIONS APPEARS WILL TAKE PLACE THU NT/EARLY FRI
MORNING...WITH PATCHY FROST POSSIBLE IN SOME OF THE NORMALLY
COLDER LOCATIONS.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
UPPER TROUGHINESS TO CONTINUE ALONG THE EAST COAST...PROVIDING A
CONTINUED DRY NW FLOW ALOFT. A WEAK DRY REINFORCING FRONT EXPECTED
TO COME LATE SAT...FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER DRY HIGH PRESSURE AIR MASS
TO BUILD INTO THE REGION SUN INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

CLEAR SKIES OVERNIGHT IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT THAT PASSED THE
AREA TUESDAY EVENING. FOG IS NOT EXPECTED AS DEWPOINTS HAVE
DROPPED SIGNIFICANTLY AND WINDS KEEPING BOUNDARY LAYER MIXED. HIGH
PRESSURE...CLEAR SKIES...GOOD VFR TODAY WITH NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 10KT AFTER DAYBREAK.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

MANNING

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$








000
FXUS62 KCAE 220536
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
136 AM EDT WED OCT 22 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
COLD FRONT CURRENTLY PUSHING OFF THE COAST. UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS
TO OUR NE COMBINED WITH HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR NW WILL PROVIDE A
CONTINUED FEED OF COOLER AND DRIER AIR INTO THE REGION.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS TO OUR NE WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT TO THE NE
WHILE WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SE INTO OUR REGION. DRY CONDITIONS
WILL CONTINUE. BEST CHANCE FOR LIGHT WINDS AND GOOD RADIATIONAL
COOLING CONDITIONS APPEARS WILL TAKE PLACE THU NT/EARLY FRI
MORNING...WITH PATCHY FROST POSSIBLE IN SOME OF THE NORMALLY
COLDER LOCATIONS.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
UPPER TROUGHINESS TO CONTINUE ALONG THE EAST COAST...PROVIDING A
CONTINUED DRY NW FLOW ALOFT. A WEAK DRY REINFORCING FRONT EXPECTED
TO COME LATE SAT...FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER DRY HIGH PRESSURE AIR MASS
TO BUILD INTO THE REGION SUN INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

CLEAR SKIES OVERNIGHT IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT THAT PASSED THE
AREA TUESDAY EVENING. FOG IS NOT EXPECTED AS DEWPOINTS HAVE
DROPPED SIGNIFICANTLY AND WINDS KEEPING BOUNDARY LAYER MIXED. HIGH
PRESSURE...CLEAR SKIES...GOOD VFR TODAY WITH NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 10KT AFTER DAYBREAK.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

MANNING

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$








000
FXUS62 KCAE 220511
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
111 AM EDT WED OCT 22 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
FURTHER DRYING WILL OCCUR BEHIND THE COLD FRONT TONIGHT. THE
PRESSURE RIDGE BEHIND THE FRONT WILL DOMINATE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/...
FURTHER DRYING WILL OCCUR BEHIND THE COLD FRONT TONIGHT. MIXING
OVERNIGHT SHOULD HELP HOLD UP TEMPERATURES BUT WITH COLD ADVECTION
EXPECT LOWS IN THE MIDDLE AND UPPER 40S. THE TEMPERATURE GUIDANCE
WAS CONSISTENT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
THE PRESSURE RIDGE EXTENDING THROUGH THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY
WILL DIRECT DRY AIR INTO THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.
EXPECT MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. USED THE GUIDANCE CONSENSUS FOR THE
TEMPERATURE FORECAST. EXPECT LOWS AROUND 40. PATCHY FROST MAY
OCCUR IN A FEW OF THE NORMALLY COLDER LOCATIONS ESPECIALLY
THURSDAY NIGHT BECAUSE OF LESS WIND.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
COMPARED TO THE GFS THE ECMWF WAS A LITTLE MORE PRONOUNCED WITH A
COLD FRONT FRIDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER...BOTH MODELS INDICATED DRY AIR.
THE MODELS SHOWED SURFACE RIDGING DOMINATING DURING THE REST OF THE
MEDIUM-RANGE PERIOD. THE GFS AND ECMWF DISPLAYED UPPER-LEVEL
TROUGHING OVER THE FORECAST AREA REPLACED BY RIDGING BEGINNING
SUNDAY. THE GFS...ECMWF...AND EKD MOS SUPPORTED TEMPERATURES NEAR OR
A LITTLE ABOVE NORMAL DURING THE PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONSEXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

CLEAR SKIES OVERNIGHT IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT THAT PASSED THE
AREA TUESDAY EVENING. FOG IS NOT EXPECTED AS DEWPOINTS HAVE
DROPPED SIGNIFICANTLY AND WINDS KEEPING BOUNDARY LAYER MIXED. HIGH
PRESSURE...CLEAR SKIES...GOOD VFR TODAY WITH NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 10KT AFTER DAYBREAK.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

MANNING

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$






000
FXUS62 KCAE 220511
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
111 AM EDT WED OCT 22 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
FURTHER DRYING WILL OCCUR BEHIND THE COLD FRONT TONIGHT. THE
PRESSURE RIDGE BEHIND THE FRONT WILL DOMINATE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/...
FURTHER DRYING WILL OCCUR BEHIND THE COLD FRONT TONIGHT. MIXING
OVERNIGHT SHOULD HELP HOLD UP TEMPERATURES BUT WITH COLD ADVECTION
EXPECT LOWS IN THE MIDDLE AND UPPER 40S. THE TEMPERATURE GUIDANCE
WAS CONSISTENT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
THE PRESSURE RIDGE EXTENDING THROUGH THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY
WILL DIRECT DRY AIR INTO THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.
EXPECT MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. USED THE GUIDANCE CONSENSUS FOR THE
TEMPERATURE FORECAST. EXPECT LOWS AROUND 40. PATCHY FROST MAY
OCCUR IN A FEW OF THE NORMALLY COLDER LOCATIONS ESPECIALLY
THURSDAY NIGHT BECAUSE OF LESS WIND.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
COMPARED TO THE GFS THE ECMWF WAS A LITTLE MORE PRONOUNCED WITH A
COLD FRONT FRIDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER...BOTH MODELS INDICATED DRY AIR.
THE MODELS SHOWED SURFACE RIDGING DOMINATING DURING THE REST OF THE
MEDIUM-RANGE PERIOD. THE GFS AND ECMWF DISPLAYED UPPER-LEVEL
TROUGHING OVER THE FORECAST AREA REPLACED BY RIDGING BEGINNING
SUNDAY. THE GFS...ECMWF...AND EKD MOS SUPPORTED TEMPERATURES NEAR OR
A LITTLE ABOVE NORMAL DURING THE PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONSEXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

CLEAR SKIES OVERNIGHT IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT THAT PASSED THE
AREA TUESDAY EVENING. FOG IS NOT EXPECTED AS DEWPOINTS HAVE
DROPPED SIGNIFICANTLY AND WINDS KEEPING BOUNDARY LAYER MIXED. HIGH
PRESSURE...CLEAR SKIES...GOOD VFR TODAY WITH NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 10KT AFTER DAYBREAK.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

MANNING

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$






000
FXUS62 KCAE 220202
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
1002 PM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
FURTHER DRYING WILL OCCUR BEHIND THE COLD FRONT TONIGHT. THE
PRESSURE RIDGE BEHIND THE FRONT WILL DOMINATE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
FURTHER DRYING WILL OCCUR BEHIND THE COLD FRONT TONIGHT. MIXING
OVERNIGHT SHOULD HELP HOLD UP TEMPERATURES BUT WITH COLD ADVECTION
EXPECT LOWS IN THE MIDDLE AND UPPER 40S. THE TEMPERATURE GUIDANCE
WAS CONSISTENT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
THE PRESSURE RIDGE EXTENDING THROUGH THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY
WILL DIRECT DRY AIR INTO THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.
EXPECT MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. USED THE GUIDANCE CONSENSUS FOR THE
TEMPERATURE FORECAST. EXPECT LOWS AROUND 40. PATCHY FROST MAY
OCCUR IN A FEW OF THE NORMALLY COLDER LOCATIONS ESPECIALLY
THURSDAY NIGHT BECAUSE OF LESS WIND.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
COMPARED TO THE GFS THE ECMWF WAS A LITTLE MORE PRONOUNCED WITH A
COLD FRONT FRIDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER...BOTH MODELS INDICATED DRY AIR.
THE MODELS SHOWED SURFACE RIDGING DOMINATING DURING THE REST OF THE
MEDIUM-RANGE PERIOD. THE GFS AND ECMWF DISPLAYED UPPER-LEVEL
TROUGHING OVER THE FORECAST AREA REPLACED BY RIDGING BEGINNING
SUNDAY. THE GFS...ECMWF...AND EKD MOS SUPPORTED TEMPERATURES NEAR OR
A LITTLE ABOVE NORMAL DURING THE PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

A DRY COLD FRONT HAS MOVED EAST OF THE TAF SITES THIS EVENING
BRINGING A FEW STRATO-CU TO THE REGION. ANY LINGERING CLOUDS
WILL DISSIPATE OVERNIGHT AS THE FRONT MOVES FARTHER EAST AND
SKIES BECOME CLEAR. FOG NOT FORECAST TONIGHT DUE TO MIXING IN THE
BOUNDARY LAYER AND DRY AIR MASS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL RIDGE INTO THE
FORECAST AREA FOR WEDNESDAY WITH CLEAR SKIES AND VFR CONDITIONS
PREVAILING. WINDS HAVE SHIFTED TO NORTHWESTERLY BEHIND THE FRONT
AT ALL OF THE TERMINALS THIS EVENING AND WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE
NORTHWEST FOR WEDNESDAY AT 8 TO 10 KNOTS.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$








000
FXUS62 KCAE 220202
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
1002 PM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
FURTHER DRYING WILL OCCUR BEHIND THE COLD FRONT TONIGHT. THE
PRESSURE RIDGE BEHIND THE FRONT WILL DOMINATE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
FURTHER DRYING WILL OCCUR BEHIND THE COLD FRONT TONIGHT. MIXING
OVERNIGHT SHOULD HELP HOLD UP TEMPERATURES BUT WITH COLD ADVECTION
EXPECT LOWS IN THE MIDDLE AND UPPER 40S. THE TEMPERATURE GUIDANCE
WAS CONSISTENT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
THE PRESSURE RIDGE EXTENDING THROUGH THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY
WILL DIRECT DRY AIR INTO THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.
EXPECT MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. USED THE GUIDANCE CONSENSUS FOR THE
TEMPERATURE FORECAST. EXPECT LOWS AROUND 40. PATCHY FROST MAY
OCCUR IN A FEW OF THE NORMALLY COLDER LOCATIONS ESPECIALLY
THURSDAY NIGHT BECAUSE OF LESS WIND.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
COMPARED TO THE GFS THE ECMWF WAS A LITTLE MORE PRONOUNCED WITH A
COLD FRONT FRIDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER...BOTH MODELS INDICATED DRY AIR.
THE MODELS SHOWED SURFACE RIDGING DOMINATING DURING THE REST OF THE
MEDIUM-RANGE PERIOD. THE GFS AND ECMWF DISPLAYED UPPER-LEVEL
TROUGHING OVER THE FORECAST AREA REPLACED BY RIDGING BEGINNING
SUNDAY. THE GFS...ECMWF...AND EKD MOS SUPPORTED TEMPERATURES NEAR OR
A LITTLE ABOVE NORMAL DURING THE PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

A DRY COLD FRONT HAS MOVED EAST OF THE TAF SITES THIS EVENING
BRINGING A FEW STRATO-CU TO THE REGION. ANY LINGERING CLOUDS
WILL DISSIPATE OVERNIGHT AS THE FRONT MOVES FARTHER EAST AND
SKIES BECOME CLEAR. FOG NOT FORECAST TONIGHT DUE TO MIXING IN THE
BOUNDARY LAYER AND DRY AIR MASS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL RIDGE INTO THE
FORECAST AREA FOR WEDNESDAY WITH CLEAR SKIES AND VFR CONDITIONS
PREVAILING. WINDS HAVE SHIFTED TO NORTHWESTERLY BEHIND THE FRONT
AT ALL OF THE TERMINALS THIS EVENING AND WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE
NORTHWEST FOR WEDNESDAY AT 8 TO 10 KNOTS.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$








000
FXUS62 KCAE 212350
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
750 PM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
FURTHER DRYING WILL OCCUR BEHIND THE COLD FRONT TONIGHT. THE
PRESSURE RIDGE BEHIND THE FRONT WILL DOMINATE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA THIS EVENING.
LITTLE MOISTURE IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT. MIXING OVERNIGHT
SHOULD HELP HOLD UP TEMPERATURES BUT WITH COLD ADVECTION EXPECT
LOWS IN THE MIDDLE AND UPPER 40S. THE TEMPERATURE GUIDANCE WAS
CONSISTENT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
THE PRESSURE RIDGE EXTENDING THROUGH THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY
WILL DIRECT DRY AIR INTO THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.
EXPECT MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. USED THE GUIDANCE CONSENSUS FOR THE
TEMPERATURE FORECAST. EXPECT LOWS AROUND 40. PATCHY FROST MAY
OCCUR IN A FEW OF THE NORMALLY COLDER LOCATIONS ESPECIALLY
THURSDAY NIGHT BECAUSE OF LESS WIND.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
COMPARED TO THE GFS THE ECMWF WAS A LITTLE MORE PRONOUNCED WITH A
COLD FRONT FRIDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER...BOTH MODELS INDICATED DRY AIR.
THE MODELS SHOWED SURFACE RIDGING DOMINATING DURING THE REST OF THE
MEDIUM-RANGE PERIOD. THE GFS AND ECMWF DISPLAYED UPPER-LEVEL
TROUGHING OVER THE FORECAST AREA REPLACED BY RIDGING BEGINNING
SUNDAY. THE GFS...ECMWF...AND EKD MOS SUPPORTED TEMPERATURES NEAR OR
A LITTLE ABOVE NORMAL DURING THE PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

A DRY COLD FRONT HAS MOVED EAST OF THE TAF SITES THIS EVENING
BRINGING A FEW STRATO-CU TO THE REGION. ANY LINGERING CLOUDS
WILL DISSIPATE OVERNIGHT AS THE FRONT MOVES FURTHER EAST AND SKIES
BECOME CLEAR. FOG NOT FORECAST TONIGHT DUE TO MIXING IN THE
BOUNDARY LAYER AND DRY AIR MASS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL RIDGE INTO THE
FORECAST AREA FOR WEDNESDAY WITH CLEAR SKIES AND VFR CONDITIONS
PREVAILING. WINDS HAVE SHIFTED TO NORTHWESTERLY BEHIND THE FRONT
AT ALL OF THE TERMINALS THIS EVENING AND WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE
NORTHWEST FOR WEDNESDAY AT 8 TO 10 KNOTS.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$








000
FXUS62 KCAE 212114
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
514 PM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
FURTHER DRYING WILL OCCUR BEHIND THE COLD FRONT TONIGHT. THE
PRESSURE RIDGE BEHIND THE FRONT WILL DOMINATE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA THIS EVENING.
LITTLE MOISTURE IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT. MIXING OVERNIGHT
SHOULD HELP HOLD UP TEMPERATURES BUT WITH COLD ADVECTION EXPECT
LOWS IN THE MIDDLE AND UPPER 40S. THE TEMPERATURE GUIDANCE WAS
CONSISTENT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
THE PRESSURE RIDGE EXTENDING THROUGH THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY
WILL DIRECT DRY AIR INTO THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.
EXPECT MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. USED THE GUIDANCE CONSENSUS FOR THE
TEMPERATURE FORECAST. EXPECT LOWS AROUND 40. PATCHY FROST MAY
OCCUR IN A FEW OF THE NORMALLY COLDER LOCATIONS ESPECIALLY
THURSDAY NIGHT BECAUSE OF LESS WIND.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
COMPARED TO THE GFS THE ECMWF WAS A LITTLE MORE PRONOUNCED WITH A
COLD FRONT FRIDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER...BOTH MODELS INDICATED DRY AIR.
THE MODELS SHOWED SURFACE RIDGING DOMINATING DURING THE REST OF THE
MEDIUM-RANGE PERIOD. THE GFS AND ECMWF DISPLAYED UPPER-LEVEL
TROUGHING OVER THE FORECAST AREA REPLACED BY RIDGING BEGINNING
SUNDAY. THE GFS...ECMWF...AND EKD MOS SUPPORTED TEMPERATURES NEAR OR
A LITTLE ABOVE NORMAL DURING THE PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION /21Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

A DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING FROM WEST
TO EAST. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A FEW STRATO-CU CLOUDS
ALONG THE FRONT WHICH MAY REACH THE TERMINALS LATER THIS EVENING.
WINDS WILL SHIFT FROM WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY BEHIND THE FRONT
AND REMAIN OUT OF THE NORTHWEST FOR WEDNESDAY AT 8 TO 10 KNOTS. FOG NOT
FORECAST TONIGHT DUE TO MIXING IN THE BOUNDARY LAYER AND DRY AIR
MASS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL RIDGE INTO THE FORECAST AREA FOR
WEDNESDAY WITH VFR CONDITIONS PREVAILING.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$








000
FXUS62 KCAE 211946
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
346 PM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
FURTHER DRYING WILL OCCUR BEHIND THE COLD FRONT TONIGHT. THE
PRESSURE RIDGE BEHIND THE FRONT WILL DOMINATE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA THIS EVENING.
LITTLE MOISTURE IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT. MIXING OVERNIGHT
SHOULD HELP HOLD UP TEMPERATURES BUT WITH COLD ADVECTION EXPECT
LOWS IN THE MIDDLE AND UPPER 40S. THE TEMPERATURE GUIDANCE WAS
CONSISTENT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
THE PRESSURE RIDGE EXTENDING THROUGH THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY
WILL DIRECT DRY AIR INTO THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.
EXPECT MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. USED THE GUIDANCE CONSENSUS FOR THE
TEMPERATURE FORECAST. EXPECT LOWS AROUND 40. PATCHY FROST MAY
OCCUR IN A FEW OF THE NORMALLY COLDER LOCATIONS ESPECIALLY
THURSDAY NIGHT BECAUSE OF LESS WIND.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
COMPARED TO THE GFS THE ECMWF WAS A LITTLE MORE PRONOUNCED WITH A
COLD FRONT FRIDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER...BOTH MODELS INDICATED DRY AIR.
THE MODELS SHOWED SURFACE RIDGING DOMINATING DURING THE REST OF THE
MEDIUM-RANGE PERIOD. THE GFS AND ECMWF DISPLAYED UPPER-LEVEL
TROUGHING OVER THE FORECAST AREA REPLACED BY RIDGING BEGINNING
SUNDAY. THE GFS...ECMWF...AND EKD MOS SUPPORTED TEMPERATURES NEAR OR
A LITTLE ABOVE NORMAL DURING THE PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

UPPER TROF AXIS EAST OF THE AREA...SKIES CLEAR. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES
REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON. A DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
AREA THIS EVENING FROM WEST TO EAST. MAY SEE A FEW STRATO-CU CLOUDS
ALONG FRONT. WINDS WEST-NORTHWEST AFTER DAYBREAK GENERALLY UNDER
10KT. BEHIND THE FRONT THIS EVENING NW WINDS GENERALLY UNDER 10KT
EXPECTED. FOG NOT FORECAST TONIGHT DUE TO MIXING IN THE BOUNDARY
LAYER AND DRY AIR MASS.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$








000
FXUS62 KCAE 211802
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
202 PM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA LATE TODAY AND THIS
EVENING. COOL AND DRY AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE REGION BEHIND THE
FRONT THROUGH MID WEEK. FAIR AND DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE LATE
WEEK THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
SKY CLEAR ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES RISING INTO
THE 75 TO 80 RANGE WITH DOWNSLOPE FLOW DESPITE WEAK COLD
ADVECTION. COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION THIS
EVENING...AROUND 03Z AT CAE. LIMITED MOISTURE SO DRY FORECAST.
TEMPERATURES FALLING INTO THE 40S OVERNIGHT WITH COLD ADVECTION.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL WORK INTO OUR REGION BEHIND THE FRONT.
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST WILL GRADUALLY
SHIFT NORTHEAST...WHILE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MS RIVER VALLEY
RIDGES INTO OUR AREA FROM THE WEST. THIS WILL PROVIDE A CONTINUED
COOL AND DRY FLOW. TEMPERATURES WILL BE MOSTLY A COUPLE OF DEGREES
BELOW NORMAL.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
UPPER TROUGHINESS WILL REMAIN OVER THE E CONUS...MAINTAINING A
DRY NW FLOW ALOFT FOR OUR REGION...WITH A DRY FRONT OR TROUGH OR
TWO MOVING THROUGH. TEMPS GENERALLY NEAR NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

UPPER TROF AXIS EAST OF THE AREA...SKIES CLEAR. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES
REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON. A DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
AREA THIS EVENING FROM WEST TO EAST. MAY SEE A FEW STRATO-CU CLOUDS
ALONG FRONT. WINDS WEST-NORTHWEST AFTER DAYBREAK GENERALLY UNDER
10KT. BEHIND THE FRONT THIS EVENING NW WINDS GENERALLY UNDER 10KT
EXPECTED. FOG NOT FORECAST TONIGHT DUE TO MIXING IN THE BOUNDARY
LAYER AND DRY AIR MASS.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$








000
FXUS62 KCAE 211733
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
133 PM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA LATE TODAY AND THIS
EVENING. COOL AND DRY AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE REGION BEHIND THE
FRONT THROUGH MID WEEK. FAIR AND DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE LATE
WEEK THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPPER ENERGY WILL DIVE SE FROM THE GREAT LAKES REGION INTO THE
MID ATLANTIC AND CUT OFF. COLD FRONT EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH OUR
REGION LATE TODAY AND THIS EVENING. LIMITED MOISTURE FOR THE
SYSTEM TO WORK WITH...SO WILL MAINTAIN DRY FORECAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL WORK INTO OUR REGION BEHIND THE FRONT.
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST WILL GRADUALLY
SHIFT NORTHEAST...WHILE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MS RIVER VALLEY
RIDGES INTO OUR AREA FROM THE WEST. THIS WILL PROVIDE A CONTINUED
COOL AND DRY FLOW. TEMPERATURES WILL BE MOSTLY A COUPLE OF DEGREES
BELOW NORMAL.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
UPPER TROUGHINESS WILL REMAIN OVER THE E CONUS...MAINTAINING A
DRY NW FLOW ALOFT FOR OUR REGION...WITH A DRY FRONT OR TROUGH OR
TWO MOVING THROUGH. TEMPS GENERALLY NEAR NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

WITH UPPER TROF AXIS EAST OF THE AREA...SKIES HAVE CLEARED. A
COUPLE OF SPOTS OF MVFR FOG DEVELOPED BUT HAS SINCE DISSIPATED AS
SURFACE DEWPOINTS HAVE BEEN SLOWLY FALLING OVER THE LAST FEW
HOURS. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES REMAINDER OF TODAY AS A DRY COLD FRONT
APPROACHES FROM THE WEST AND EAST THIS EVENING. LIGHT WINDS
THIS MORNING BECOMING WEST- NORTHWEST AFTER DAYBREAK GENERALLY
UNDER 10KT. BEHIND THE FRONT THIS EVENING NW WINDS GENERALLY UNDER
10KT EXPECTED.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$








000
FXUS62 KCAE 211048
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
648 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA LATE TODAY AND THIS
EVENING. COOL AND DRY AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE REGION BEHIND THE
FRONT THROUGH MID WEEK. FAIR AND DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE LATE
WEEK THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPPER ENERGY WILL DIVE SE FROM THE GREAT LAKES REGION INTO THE
MID ATLANTIC AND CUT OFF. COLD FRONT EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH OUR
REGION LATE TODAY AND THIS EVENING. LIMITED MOISTURE FOR THE
SYSTEM TO WORK WITH...SO WILL MAINTAIN DRY FORECAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL WORK INTO OUR REGION BEHIND THE FRONT.
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST WILL GRADUALLY
SHIFT NORTHEAST...WHILE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MS RIVER VALLEY
RIDGES INTO OUR AREA FROM THE WEST. THIS WILL PROVIDE A CONTINUED
COOL AND DRY FLOW.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
UPPER TROUGHINESS WILL REMAIN OVER THE E CONUS...MAINTAINING A
DRY NW FLOW ALOFT FOR OUR REGION...WITH A DRY FRONT OR TROUGH OR
TWO MOVING THROUGH. TEMPS GENERALLY NEAR NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

WITH UPPER TROF AXIS EAST OF THE AREA...SKIES HAVE CLEARED. A
COUPLE OF SPOTS OF MVFR FOG DEVELOPED BUT HAS SINCE DISSIPATED AS
SURFACE DEWPOINTS HAVE BEEN SLOWLY FALLING OVER THE LAST FEW
HOURS. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES REMAINDER OF TODAY AS A DRY COLD FRONT
APPROACHES FROM THE WEST AND EAST THIS EVENING. LIGHT WINDS
THIS MORNING BECOMING WEST- NORTHWEST AFTER DAYBREAK GENERALLY
UNDER 10KT. BEHIND THE FRONT THIS EVENING NW WINDS GENERALLY UNDER
10KT EXPECTED.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

MANNING

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$







000
FXUS62 KCAE 211048
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
648 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA LATE TODAY AND THIS
EVENING. COOL AND DRY AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE REGION BEHIND THE
FRONT THROUGH MID WEEK. FAIR AND DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE LATE
WEEK THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPPER ENERGY WILL DIVE SE FROM THE GREAT LAKES REGION INTO THE
MID ATLANTIC AND CUT OFF. COLD FRONT EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH OUR
REGION LATE TODAY AND THIS EVENING. LIMITED MOISTURE FOR THE
SYSTEM TO WORK WITH...SO WILL MAINTAIN DRY FORECAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL WORK INTO OUR REGION BEHIND THE FRONT.
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST WILL GRADUALLY
SHIFT NORTHEAST...WHILE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MS RIVER VALLEY
RIDGES INTO OUR AREA FROM THE WEST. THIS WILL PROVIDE A CONTINUED
COOL AND DRY FLOW.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
UPPER TROUGHINESS WILL REMAIN OVER THE E CONUS...MAINTAINING A
DRY NW FLOW ALOFT FOR OUR REGION...WITH A DRY FRONT OR TROUGH OR
TWO MOVING THROUGH. TEMPS GENERALLY NEAR NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

WITH UPPER TROF AXIS EAST OF THE AREA...SKIES HAVE CLEARED. A
COUPLE OF SPOTS OF MVFR FOG DEVELOPED BUT HAS SINCE DISSIPATED AS
SURFACE DEWPOINTS HAVE BEEN SLOWLY FALLING OVER THE LAST FEW
HOURS. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES REMAINDER OF TODAY AS A DRY COLD FRONT
APPROACHES FROM THE WEST AND EAST THIS EVENING. LIGHT WINDS
THIS MORNING BECOMING WEST- NORTHWEST AFTER DAYBREAK GENERALLY
UNDER 10KT. BEHIND THE FRONT THIS EVENING NW WINDS GENERALLY UNDER
10KT EXPECTED.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

MANNING

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$








000
FXUS62 KCAE 211048
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
648 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA LATE TODAY AND THIS
EVENING. COOL AND DRY AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE REGION BEHIND THE
FRONT THROUGH MID WEEK. FAIR AND DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE LATE
WEEK THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPPER ENERGY WILL DIVE SE FROM THE GREAT LAKES REGION INTO THE
MID ATLANTIC AND CUT OFF. COLD FRONT EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH OUR
REGION LATE TODAY AND THIS EVENING. LIMITED MOISTURE FOR THE
SYSTEM TO WORK WITH...SO WILL MAINTAIN DRY FORECAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL WORK INTO OUR REGION BEHIND THE FRONT.
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST WILL GRADUALLY
SHIFT NORTHEAST...WHILE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MS RIVER VALLEY
RIDGES INTO OUR AREA FROM THE WEST. THIS WILL PROVIDE A CONTINUED
COOL AND DRY FLOW.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
UPPER TROUGHINESS WILL REMAIN OVER THE E CONUS...MAINTAINING A
DRY NW FLOW ALOFT FOR OUR REGION...WITH A DRY FRONT OR TROUGH OR
TWO MOVING THROUGH. TEMPS GENERALLY NEAR NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

WITH UPPER TROF AXIS EAST OF THE AREA...SKIES HAVE CLEARED. A
COUPLE OF SPOTS OF MVFR FOG DEVELOPED BUT HAS SINCE DISSIPATED AS
SURFACE DEWPOINTS HAVE BEEN SLOWLY FALLING OVER THE LAST FEW
HOURS. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES REMAINDER OF TODAY AS A DRY COLD FRONT
APPROACHES FROM THE WEST AND EAST THIS EVENING. LIGHT WINDS
THIS MORNING BECOMING WEST- NORTHWEST AFTER DAYBREAK GENERALLY
UNDER 10KT. BEHIND THE FRONT THIS EVENING NW WINDS GENERALLY UNDER
10KT EXPECTED.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

MANNING

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$








000
FXUS62 KCAE 211048
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
648 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA LATE TODAY AND THIS
EVENING. COOL AND DRY AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE REGION BEHIND THE
FRONT THROUGH MID WEEK. FAIR AND DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE LATE
WEEK THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPPER ENERGY WILL DIVE SE FROM THE GREAT LAKES REGION INTO THE
MID ATLANTIC AND CUT OFF. COLD FRONT EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH OUR
REGION LATE TODAY AND THIS EVENING. LIMITED MOISTURE FOR THE
SYSTEM TO WORK WITH...SO WILL MAINTAIN DRY FORECAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL WORK INTO OUR REGION BEHIND THE FRONT.
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST WILL GRADUALLY
SHIFT NORTHEAST...WHILE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MS RIVER VALLEY
RIDGES INTO OUR AREA FROM THE WEST. THIS WILL PROVIDE A CONTINUED
COOL AND DRY FLOW.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
UPPER TROUGHINESS WILL REMAIN OVER THE E CONUS...MAINTAINING A
DRY NW FLOW ALOFT FOR OUR REGION...WITH A DRY FRONT OR TROUGH OR
TWO MOVING THROUGH. TEMPS GENERALLY NEAR NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

WITH UPPER TROF AXIS EAST OF THE AREA...SKIES HAVE CLEARED. A
COUPLE OF SPOTS OF MVFR FOG DEVELOPED BUT HAS SINCE DISSIPATED AS
SURFACE DEWPOINTS HAVE BEEN SLOWLY FALLING OVER THE LAST FEW
HOURS. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES REMAINDER OF TODAY AS A DRY COLD FRONT
APPROACHES FROM THE WEST AND EAST THIS EVENING. LIGHT WINDS
THIS MORNING BECOMING WEST- NORTHWEST AFTER DAYBREAK GENERALLY
UNDER 10KT. BEHIND THE FRONT THIS EVENING NW WINDS GENERALLY UNDER
10KT EXPECTED.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

MANNING

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$







000
FXUS62 KCAE 211038
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
638 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA LATE TODAY AND THIS
EVENING. COOL AND DRY AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE REGION BEHIND THE
FRONT THROUGH MID WEEK. FAIR AND DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE LATE
WEEK THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPPER SHORTWAVE CURRENTLY SWINGING THROUGH THE NORTHERN FORECAST
AREA. ASSOCIATED MID LEVEL CLOUDINESS AND LIGHT SPRINKLES WILL
EXIT THE REGION LATER THIS MORNING AS THE SHORTWAVE MOVES OFF TO
THE EAST. ADDITIONAL UPPER ENERGY WILL DIVE SE FROM THE GREAT
LAKES REGION INTO THE MID ATLANTIC AND CUT OFF. COLD FRONT
EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH OUR REGION LATE TODAY AND THIS EVENING.
LIMITED MOISTURE FOR THE SYSTEM TO WORK WITH...SO WILL MAINTAIN DRY
FORECAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL WORK INTO OUR REGION BEHIND THE FRONT.
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST WILL GRADUALLY
SHIFT NORTHEAST...WHILE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MS RIVER VALLEY
RIDGES INTO OUR AREA FROM THE WEST. THIS WILL PROVIDE A CONTINUED
COOL AND DRY FLOW.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
UPPER TROUGHINESS WILL REMAIN OVER THE E CONUS...MAINTAINING A
DRY NW FLOW ALOFT FOR OUR REGION...WITH A DRY FRONT OR TROUGH OR
TWO MOVING THROUGH. TEMPS GENERALLY NEAR NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

WITH UPPER TROF AXIS EAST OF THE AREA...SKIES HAVE CLEARED. A
COUPLE OF SPOTS OF MVFR FOG DEVELOPED BUT HAS SINCE DISSIPATED AS
SURFACE DEWPOINTS HAVE BEEN SLOWLY FALLING OVER THE LAST FEW
HOURS. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES REMAINDER OF TODAY AS A DRY COLD FRONT
APPROACHES FROM THE WEST AND EAST THIS EVENING. LIGHT WINDS
THIS MORNING BECOMING WEST- NORTHWEST AFTER DAYBREAK GENERALLY
UNDER 10KT. BEHIND THE FRONT THIS EVENING NW WINDS GENERALLY UNDER
10KT EXPECTED.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

MANNING

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$





000
FXUS62 KCAE 211038
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
638 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA LATE TODAY AND THIS
EVENING. COOL AND DRY AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE REGION BEHIND THE
FRONT THROUGH MID WEEK. FAIR AND DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE LATE
WEEK THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPPER SHORTWAVE CURRENTLY SWINGING THROUGH THE NORTHERN FORECAST
AREA. ASSOCIATED MID LEVEL CLOUDINESS AND LIGHT SPRINKLES WILL
EXIT THE REGION LATER THIS MORNING AS THE SHORTWAVE MOVES OFF TO
THE EAST. ADDITIONAL UPPER ENERGY WILL DIVE SE FROM THE GREAT
LAKES REGION INTO THE MID ATLANTIC AND CUT OFF. COLD FRONT
EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH OUR REGION LATE TODAY AND THIS EVENING.
LIMITED MOISTURE FOR THE SYSTEM TO WORK WITH...SO WILL MAINTAIN DRY
FORECAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL WORK INTO OUR REGION BEHIND THE FRONT.
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST WILL GRADUALLY
SHIFT NORTHEAST...WHILE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MS RIVER VALLEY
RIDGES INTO OUR AREA FROM THE WEST. THIS WILL PROVIDE A CONTINUED
COOL AND DRY FLOW.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
UPPER TROUGHINESS WILL REMAIN OVER THE E CONUS...MAINTAINING A
DRY NW FLOW ALOFT FOR OUR REGION...WITH A DRY FRONT OR TROUGH OR
TWO MOVING THROUGH. TEMPS GENERALLY NEAR NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

WITH UPPER TROF AXIS EAST OF THE AREA...SKIES HAVE CLEARED. A
COUPLE OF SPOTS OF MVFR FOG DEVELOPED BUT HAS SINCE DISSIPATED AS
SURFACE DEWPOINTS HAVE BEEN SLOWLY FALLING OVER THE LAST FEW
HOURS. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES REMAINDER OF TODAY AS A DRY COLD FRONT
APPROACHES FROM THE WEST AND EAST THIS EVENING. LIGHT WINDS
THIS MORNING BECOMING WEST- NORTHWEST AFTER DAYBREAK GENERALLY
UNDER 10KT. BEHIND THE FRONT THIS EVENING NW WINDS GENERALLY UNDER
10KT EXPECTED.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

MANNING

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$






000
FXUS62 KCAE 211038
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
638 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA LATE TODAY AND THIS
EVENING. COOL AND DRY AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE REGION BEHIND THE
FRONT THROUGH MID WEEK. FAIR AND DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE LATE
WEEK THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPPER SHORTWAVE CURRENTLY SWINGING THROUGH THE NORTHERN FORECAST
AREA. ASSOCIATED MID LEVEL CLOUDINESS AND LIGHT SPRINKLES WILL
EXIT THE REGION LATER THIS MORNING AS THE SHORTWAVE MOVES OFF TO
THE EAST. ADDITIONAL UPPER ENERGY WILL DIVE SE FROM THE GREAT
LAKES REGION INTO THE MID ATLANTIC AND CUT OFF. COLD FRONT
EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH OUR REGION LATE TODAY AND THIS EVENING.
LIMITED MOISTURE FOR THE SYSTEM TO WORK WITH...SO WILL MAINTAIN DRY
FORECAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL WORK INTO OUR REGION BEHIND THE FRONT.
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST WILL GRADUALLY
SHIFT NORTHEAST...WHILE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MS RIVER VALLEY
RIDGES INTO OUR AREA FROM THE WEST. THIS WILL PROVIDE A CONTINUED
COOL AND DRY FLOW.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
UPPER TROUGHINESS WILL REMAIN OVER THE E CONUS...MAINTAINING A
DRY NW FLOW ALOFT FOR OUR REGION...WITH A DRY FRONT OR TROUGH OR
TWO MOVING THROUGH. TEMPS GENERALLY NEAR NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

WITH UPPER TROF AXIS EAST OF THE AREA...SKIES HAVE CLEARED. A
COUPLE OF SPOTS OF MVFR FOG DEVELOPED BUT HAS SINCE DISSIPATED AS
SURFACE DEWPOINTS HAVE BEEN SLOWLY FALLING OVER THE LAST FEW
HOURS. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES REMAINDER OF TODAY AS A DRY COLD FRONT
APPROACHES FROM THE WEST AND EAST THIS EVENING. LIGHT WINDS
THIS MORNING BECOMING WEST- NORTHWEST AFTER DAYBREAK GENERALLY
UNDER 10KT. BEHIND THE FRONT THIS EVENING NW WINDS GENERALLY UNDER
10KT EXPECTED.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

MANNING

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$






000
FXUS62 KCAE 211038
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
638 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA LATE TODAY AND THIS
EVENING. COOL AND DRY AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE REGION BEHIND THE
FRONT THROUGH MID WEEK. FAIR AND DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE LATE
WEEK THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPPER SHORTWAVE CURRENTLY SWINGING THROUGH THE NORTHERN FORECAST
AREA. ASSOCIATED MID LEVEL CLOUDINESS AND LIGHT SPRINKLES WILL
EXIT THE REGION LATER THIS MORNING AS THE SHORTWAVE MOVES OFF TO
THE EAST. ADDITIONAL UPPER ENERGY WILL DIVE SE FROM THE GREAT
LAKES REGION INTO THE MID ATLANTIC AND CUT OFF. COLD FRONT
EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH OUR REGION LATE TODAY AND THIS EVENING.
LIMITED MOISTURE FOR THE SYSTEM TO WORK WITH...SO WILL MAINTAIN DRY
FORECAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL WORK INTO OUR REGION BEHIND THE FRONT.
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST WILL GRADUALLY
SHIFT NORTHEAST...WHILE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MS RIVER VALLEY
RIDGES INTO OUR AREA FROM THE WEST. THIS WILL PROVIDE A CONTINUED
COOL AND DRY FLOW.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
UPPER TROUGHINESS WILL REMAIN OVER THE E CONUS...MAINTAINING A
DRY NW FLOW ALOFT FOR OUR REGION...WITH A DRY FRONT OR TROUGH OR
TWO MOVING THROUGH. TEMPS GENERALLY NEAR NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

WITH UPPER TROF AXIS EAST OF THE AREA...SKIES HAVE CLEARED. A
COUPLE OF SPOTS OF MVFR FOG DEVELOPED BUT HAS SINCE DISSIPATED AS
SURFACE DEWPOINTS HAVE BEEN SLOWLY FALLING OVER THE LAST FEW
HOURS. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES REMAINDER OF TODAY AS A DRY COLD FRONT
APPROACHES FROM THE WEST AND EAST THIS EVENING. LIGHT WINDS
THIS MORNING BECOMING WEST- NORTHWEST AFTER DAYBREAK GENERALLY
UNDER 10KT. BEHIND THE FRONT THIS EVENING NW WINDS GENERALLY UNDER
10KT EXPECTED.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

MANNING

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$





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