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000
FXUS62 KCAE 222059
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
459 PM EDT WED OCT 22 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL KEEP DRY WEATHER
ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
WINDS WILL DIMINISH BY SUNSET...BECOMING LIGHT OUT OF THE NORTH TO
NORTHWEST. WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES...A DRY AIR MASS...AND LIGHT
WINDS...GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS WILL EXIST WHICH WILL
BRING SOME OF THE COLDER OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES OF THE SEASON.
READINGS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S WILL BE COMMON BY SUNRISE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS TO OUR NE WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT TO THE NE
WHILE WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SE INTO OUR REGION. DRY CONDITIONS
WILL CONTINUE. BEST CHANCE FOR LIGHT WINDS AND GOOD RADIATIONAL
COOLING CONDITIONS APPEARS WILL TAKE PLACE THU NT/EARLY FRI
MORNING...WITH PATCHY FROST POSSIBLE IN SOME OF THE NORMALLY
COLDER LOCATIONS.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
UPPER TROUGHINESS TO CONTINUE ALONG THE EAST COAST...PROVIDING A
CONTINUED DRY NW FLOW ALOFT. A WEAK DRY REINFORCING FRONT EXPECTED
TO COME LATE SAT...FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER DRY HIGH PRESSURE AIR MASS
TO BUILD INTO THE REGION SUN INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. UPPER TROUGH
MOVING ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY LATE IN THE PERIOD...BUT
RIDGE OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST EXTENDING INTO THE AREA. WILL
CONTINUE DRY THROUGH MIDWEEK WITH SLIGHT INCREASE IN MOISTURE FROM
THE WEST WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /21Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
HIGH CONFIDENCE IN VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD.

DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL HOLD CLEAR SKIES ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA
THROUGH THE PERIOD. WINDS WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE NORTH AT AROUND 5
TO 10 KNOTS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON AND WILL DIMINISH
TO LIGHT OUT OF THE NORTHWEST BY SUNSET. NO EARLY MORNING FOG
DEVELOPMENT ANTICIPATED DUE TO DRY AIR IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION
AND A 20 KNOT NOCTURNAL LOW LEVEL JET AT AROUND 1000 FEET.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$








000
FXUS62 KCAE 222007
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
407 PM EDT WED OCT 22 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL KEEP DRY WEATHER
ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
WINDS WILL DIMINISH BY SUNSET...BECOMING LIGHT OUT OF THE NORTH TO
NORTHWEST. WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES...A DRY AIR MASS...AND LIGHT
WINDS...GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS WILL EXIST WHICH WILL
BRING SOME OF THE COLDER OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES OF THE SEASON.
READINGS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S WILL BE COMMON BY SUNRISE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS TO OUR NE WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT TO THE NE
WHILE WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SE INTO OUR REGION. DRY CONDITIONS
WILL CONTINUE. BEST CHANCE FOR LIGHT WINDS AND GOOD RADIATIONAL
COOLING CONDITIONS APPEARS WILL TAKE PLACE THU NT/EARLY FRI
MORNING...WITH PATCHY FROST POSSIBLE IN SOME OF THE NORMALLY
COLDER LOCATIONS.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
UPPER TROUGHINESS TO CONTINUE ALONG THE EAST COAST...PROVIDING A
CONTINUED DRY NW FLOW ALOFT. A WEAK DRY REINFORCING FRONT EXPECTED
TO COME LATE SAT...FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER DRY HIGH PRESSURE AIR MASS
TO BUILD INTO THE REGION SUN INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. UPPER TROUGH
MOVING ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY LATE IN THE PERIOD...BUT
RIDGE OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST EXTENDING INTO THE AREA. WILL
CONTINUE DRY THROUGH MIDWEEK WITH SLIGHT INCREASE IN MOISTURE FROM
THE WEST WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL HOLD CLEAR SKIES ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA
THROUGH THE PERIOD. WINDS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON REMAIN AROUND 10
KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS TO AROUND 15 KNOTS POSSIBLE. WINDS
DIMINISH TO LIGHT OUT OF THE NORTHWEST BY SUNSET. VISIBILITIES
EXPECTED TO REMAIN VFR.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$








000
FXUS62 KCAE 221652
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
1252 PM EDT WED OCT 22 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
THIS AFTERNOON...DRIER AND SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR CONTINUES TO MOVE
INTO THE REGION. EVEN WITH PLENTY OF SUNSHINE THROUGH THE
DAY...TEMPERATURES WILL BE AROUND 10 DEGREES COOLER THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH HIGHS ONLY REACHING THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S.
WINDS WILL BE GUSTY AT TIMES AS STRONGER WINDS MIX DOWN TO THE
SURFACE.

TONIGHT...WINDS DIMINISH BY SUNSET...BECOMING LIGHT OUT OF THE
NORTH TO NORTHWEST. WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES...A DRY AIR MASS...AND
LIGHT WINDS...GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS WILL EXIST
WHICH WILL BRING SOME OF THE COLDER OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES OF THE
SEASON. READINGS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S WILL BE COMMON BY
SUNRISE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS TO OUR NE WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT TO THE NE
WHILE WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SE INTO OUR REGION. DRY CONDITIONS
WILL CONTINUE. BEST CHANCE FOR LIGHT WINDS AND GOOD RADIATIONAL
COOLING CONDITIONS APPEARS WILL TAKE PLACE THU NT/EARLY FRI
MORNING...WITH PATCHY FROST POSSIBLE IN SOME OF THE NORMALLY
COLDER LOCATIONS.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
UPPER TROUGHINESS TO CONTINUE ALONG THE EAST COAST...PROVIDING A
CONTINUED DRY NW FLOW ALOFT. A WEAK DRY REINFORCING FRONT EXPECTED
TO COME LATE SAT...FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER DRY HIGH PRESSURE AIR MASS
TO BUILD INTO THE REGION SUN INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. UPPER TROUGH
MOVING ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY LATE IN THE PERIOD...BUT
RIDGE OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST EXTENDING INTO THE AREA. WILL
CONTINUE DRY THROUGH MIDWEEK WITH SLIGHT INCREASE IN MOISTURE FROM
THE WEST WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING CLEAR SKIES TO THE FORECAST AREA
THROUGH THE PERIOD. WINDS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON REMAIN AROUND 10
KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS TO AROUND 15 KNOTS POSSIBLE. WINDS
DIMINISH TO LIGHT OUT OF THE NORTHWEST BY SUNSET. VISIBILITIES
EXPECTED TO REMAIN VFR.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$








000
FXUS62 KCAE 221652
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
1252 PM EDT WED OCT 22 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
THIS AFTERNOON...DRIER AND SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR CONTINUES TO MOVE
INTO THE REGION. EVEN WITH PLENTY OF SUNSHINE THROUGH THE
DAY...TEMPERATURES WILL BE AROUND 10 DEGREES COOLER THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH HIGHS ONLY REACHING THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S.
WINDS WILL BE GUSTY AT TIMES AS STRONGER WINDS MIX DOWN TO THE
SURFACE.

TONIGHT...WINDS DIMINISH BY SUNSET...BECOMING LIGHT OUT OF THE
NORTH TO NORTHWEST. WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES...A DRY AIR MASS...AND
LIGHT WINDS...GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS WILL EXIST
WHICH WILL BRING SOME OF THE COLDER OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES OF THE
SEASON. READINGS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S WILL BE COMMON BY
SUNRISE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS TO OUR NE WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT TO THE NE
WHILE WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SE INTO OUR REGION. DRY CONDITIONS
WILL CONTINUE. BEST CHANCE FOR LIGHT WINDS AND GOOD RADIATIONAL
COOLING CONDITIONS APPEARS WILL TAKE PLACE THU NT/EARLY FRI
MORNING...WITH PATCHY FROST POSSIBLE IN SOME OF THE NORMALLY
COLDER LOCATIONS.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
UPPER TROUGHINESS TO CONTINUE ALONG THE EAST COAST...PROVIDING A
CONTINUED DRY NW FLOW ALOFT. A WEAK DRY REINFORCING FRONT EXPECTED
TO COME LATE SAT...FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER DRY HIGH PRESSURE AIR MASS
TO BUILD INTO THE REGION SUN INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. UPPER TROUGH
MOVING ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY LATE IN THE PERIOD...BUT
RIDGE OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST EXTENDING INTO THE AREA. WILL
CONTINUE DRY THROUGH MIDWEEK WITH SLIGHT INCREASE IN MOISTURE FROM
THE WEST WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING CLEAR SKIES TO THE FORECAST AREA
THROUGH THE PERIOD. WINDS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON REMAIN AROUND 10
KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS TO AROUND 15 KNOTS POSSIBLE. WINDS
DIMINISH TO LIGHT OUT OF THE NORTHWEST BY SUNSET. VISIBILITIES
EXPECTED TO REMAIN VFR.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$








000
FXUS62 KCAE 221555
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
1155 AM EDT WED OCT 22 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
THIS AFTERNOON...DRIER AND SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR CONTINUES TO MOVE
INTO THE REGION. EVEN WITH PLENTY OF SUNSHINE THROUGH THE
DAY...TEMPERATURES WILL BE AROUND 10 DEGREES COOLER THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH HIGHS ONLY REACHING THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S.
WINDS WILL BE GUSTY AT TIMES AS STRONGER WINDS MIX DOWN TO THE
SURFACE.

TONIGHT...WINDS DIMINISH BY SUNSET...BECOMING LIGHT OUT OF THE
NORTH TO NORTHWEST. WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES...A DRY AIRMASS...AND
LIGHT WINDS...GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS WILL EXIST
WHICH WILL BRING SOME OF THE COLDER OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES OF THE
SEASON. READINGS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S WILL BE COMMON BY
SUNRISE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS TO OUR NE WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT TO THE NE
WHILE WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SE INTO OUR REGION. DRY CONDITIONS
WILL CONTINUE. BEST CHANCE FOR LIGHT WINDS AND GOOD RADIATIONAL
COOLING CONDITIONS APPEARS WILL TAKE PLACE THU NT/EARLY FRI
MORNING...WITH PATCHY FROST POSSIBLE IN SOME OF THE NORMALLY
COLDER LOCATIONS.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
UPPER TROUGHINESS TO CONTINUE ALONG THE EAST COAST...PROVIDING A
CONTINUED DRY NW FLOW ALOFT. A WEAK DRY REINFORCING FRONT EXPECTED
TO COME LATE SAT...FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER DRY HIGH PRESSURE AIR MASS
TO BUILD INTO THE REGION SUN INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /16Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING CLEAR SKIES TO THE FORECAST AREA
THROUGH THE PERIOD. WINDS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON REMAIN AROUND 10
KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS TO AROUND 15 KNOTS POSSIBLE. WINDS
DIMINISH TO LIGHT OUT OF THE NORTHWEST BY SUNSET. VISIBILITIES
EXPECTED TO REMAIN VFR.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$










000
FXUS62 KCAE 221555
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
1155 AM EDT WED OCT 22 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
THIS AFTERNOON...DRIER AND SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR CONTINUES TO MOVE
INTO THE REGION. EVEN WITH PLENTY OF SUNSHINE THROUGH THE
DAY...TEMPERATURES WILL BE AROUND 10 DEGREES COOLER THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH HIGHS ONLY REACHING THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S.
WINDS WILL BE GUSTY AT TIMES AS STRONGER WINDS MIX DOWN TO THE
SURFACE.

TONIGHT...WINDS DIMINISH BY SUNSET...BECOMING LIGHT OUT OF THE
NORTH TO NORTHWEST. WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES...A DRY AIRMASS...AND
LIGHT WINDS...GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS WILL EXIST
WHICH WILL BRING SOME OF THE COLDER OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES OF THE
SEASON. READINGS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S WILL BE COMMON BY
SUNRISE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS TO OUR NE WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT TO THE NE
WHILE WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SE INTO OUR REGION. DRY CONDITIONS
WILL CONTINUE. BEST CHANCE FOR LIGHT WINDS AND GOOD RADIATIONAL
COOLING CONDITIONS APPEARS WILL TAKE PLACE THU NT/EARLY FRI
MORNING...WITH PATCHY FROST POSSIBLE IN SOME OF THE NORMALLY
COLDER LOCATIONS.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
UPPER TROUGHINESS TO CONTINUE ALONG THE EAST COAST...PROVIDING A
CONTINUED DRY NW FLOW ALOFT. A WEAK DRY REINFORCING FRONT EXPECTED
TO COME LATE SAT...FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER DRY HIGH PRESSURE AIR MASS
TO BUILD INTO THE REGION SUN INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /16Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING CLEAR SKIES TO THE FORECAST AREA
THROUGH THE PERIOD. WINDS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON REMAIN AROUND 10
KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS TO AROUND 15 KNOTS POSSIBLE. WINDS
DIMINISH TO LIGHT OUT OF THE NORTHWEST BY SUNSET. VISIBILITIES
EXPECTED TO REMAIN VFR.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$










000
FXUS62 KCAE 221507
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
1107 AM EDT WED OCT 22 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
TODAY...DRIER AND SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE REGION
BEHIND A COLD FRONT THAT IS NOW OFF THE COAST. EVEN WITH PLENTY OF
SUNSHINE THROUGH THE DAY...TEMPERATURES WILL BE AROUND 10 DEGREES
COOLER THIS AFTERNOON...WITH HIGHS ONLY REACHING THE UPPER 60S TO
LOWER 70S. WINDS THROUGH THE DAY WILL BE GUSTY AT TIMES AS
STRONGER WINDS MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE.

TONIGHT...WINDS DIMINISH BY SUNSET...BECOMING LIGHT OUT OF THE
NORTH TO NORTHWEST. WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES...A DRY AIRMASS...AND
LIGHT WINDS...GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS WILL EXIST
WHICH WILL BRING SOME OF THE COLDER OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES OF THE
SEASON. READINGS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S WILL BE COMMON BY
SUNRISE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS TO OUR NE WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT TO THE NE
WHILE WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SE INTO OUR REGION. DRY CONDITIONS
WILL CONTINUE. BEST CHANCE FOR LIGHT WINDS AND GOOD RADIATIONAL
COOLING CONDITIONS APPEARS WILL TAKE PLACE THU NT/EARLY FRI
MORNING...WITH PATCHY FROST POSSIBLE IN SOME OF THE NORMALLY
COLDER LOCATIONS.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
UPPER TROUGHINESS TO CONTINUE ALONG THE EAST COAST...PROVIDING A
CONTINUED DRY NW FLOW ALOFT. A WEAK DRY REINFORCING FRONT EXPECTED
TO COME LATE SAT...FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER DRY HIGH PRESSURE AIR MASS
TO BUILD INTO THE REGION SUN INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING CLEAR SKIES TO THE FORECAST AREA AGAIN
TODAY. THE ONLY POSSIBLE ISSUES TAF WISE REVOLVE AROUND THE WINDS
THROUGH THE DAY. WINDS INCREASING AND BECOMING GUSTY INTO THE LATE
MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON ACROSS THE REGION. RADAR WIND
PROFILES SHOWING 15 KNOTS NOW AT 1 KFT OFF THE SURFACE...AND THOSE
SHOULD MIX DOWN AS WIND GUSTS. THROUGH THE DAY...WINDS OUT OF THE
NORTHWEST AROUND 10 KNOTS...WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS STILL
POSSIBLE...THEN WINDS DIMINISH TO LIGHT OUT OF THE NORTHWEST BY
SUNSET.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$









000
FXUS62 KCAE 221141
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
741 AM EDT WED OCT 22 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
TODAY...DRIER AND SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE REGION
BEHIND A COLD FRONT THAT IS NOW OFF THE COAST. EVEN WITH PLENTY OF
SUNSHINE THROUGH THE DAY...TEMPERATURES WILL BE AROUND 10 DEGREES
COOLER THIS AFTERNOON...WITH HIGHS ONLY REACHING THE UPPER 60S TO
LOWER 70S. WINDS THROUGH THE DAY WILL BE GUSTY AT TIMES AS
STRONGER WINDS MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE.

TONIGHT...WINDS DIMINISH BY SUNSET...BECOMING LIGHT OUT OF THE
NORTH TO NORTHWEST. WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES...A DRY AIRMASS...AND
LIGHT WINDS...GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS WILL EXIST
WHICH WILL BRING SOME OF THE COLDER OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES OF THE
SEASON. READINGS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S WILL BE COMMON BY
SUNRISE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS TO OUR NE WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT TO THE NE
WHILE WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SE INTO OUR REGION. DRY CONDITIONS
WILL CONTINUE. BEST CHANCE FOR LIGHT WINDS AND GOOD RADIATIONAL
COOLING CONDITIONS APPEARS WILL TAKE PLACE THU NT/EARLY FRI
MORNING...WITH PATCHY FROST POSSIBLE IN SOME OF THE NORMALLY
COLDER LOCATIONS.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
UPPER TROUGHINESS TO CONTINUE ALONG THE EAST COAST...PROVIDING A
CONTINUED DRY NW FLOW ALOFT. A WEAK DRY REINFORCING FRONT EXPECTED
TO COME LATE SAT...FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER DRY HIGH PRESSURE AIR MASS
TO BUILD INTO THE REGION SUN INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /11Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING CLEAR SKIES TO THE FORECAST AREA AGAIN
TODAY. THE ONLY POSSIBLE ISSUES TAF WISE REVOLVE AROUND THE WINDS
THROUGH THE DAY. LIGHT WINDS AT ISSUANCE TIME ARE EXPECTED TO
BECOME STRONGER AND GUSTY AS THE MORNING INVERSION BREAKS ACROSS
THE REGION. RADAR WIND PROFILES SHOWING 25 KNOTS 1 KFT OFF THE
SURFACE...AND THOSE SHOULD MIX DOWN AS WIND GUSTS AS THE INVERSION
BREAKS. THROUGH THE DAY...WINDS OUT OF THE NORTHWEST AROUND 10
KNOTS...WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS STILL POSSIBLE...THEN WINDS
DIMINISH TO LIGHT OUT OF THE NORTHWEST BY SUNSET.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.

&&

$$










000
FXUS62 KCAE 221035
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
635 AM EDT WED OCT 22 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
COLD FRONT CURRENTLY PUSHING OFF THE COAST. UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS
TO OUR NE COMBINED WITH HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR NW WILL PROVIDE A
CONTINUED FEED OF COOLER AND DRIER AIR INTO THE REGION.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS TO OUR NE WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT TO THE NE
WHILE WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SE INTO OUR REGION. DRY CONDITIONS
WILL CONTINUE. BEST CHANCE FOR LIGHT WINDS AND GOOD RADIATIONAL
COOLING CONDITIONS APPEARS WILL TAKE PLACE THU NT/EARLY FRI
MORNING...WITH PATCHY FROST POSSIBLE IN SOME OF THE NORMALLY
COLDER LOCATIONS.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
UPPER TROUGHINESS TO CONTINUE ALONG THE EAST COAST...PROVIDING A
CONTINUED DRY NW FLOW ALOFT. A WEAK DRY REINFORCING FRONT EXPECTED
TO COME LATE SAT...FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER DRY HIGH PRESSURE AIR MASS
TO BUILD INTO THE REGION SUN INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

HIGH PRESSURE...CLEAR SKIES...GOOD VFR TODAY WITH NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 10KT AFTER DAYBREAK BECOMING LIGHT NORTHWEST THIS EVENING.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

MANNING

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$









000
FXUS62 KCAE 220536
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
136 AM EDT WED OCT 22 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
COLD FRONT CURRENTLY PUSHING OFF THE COAST. UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS
TO OUR NE COMBINED WITH HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR NW WILL PROVIDE A
CONTINUED FEED OF COOLER AND DRIER AIR INTO THE REGION.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS TO OUR NE WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT TO THE NE
WHILE WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SE INTO OUR REGION. DRY CONDITIONS
WILL CONTINUE. BEST CHANCE FOR LIGHT WINDS AND GOOD RADIATIONAL
COOLING CONDITIONS APPEARS WILL TAKE PLACE THU NT/EARLY FRI
MORNING...WITH PATCHY FROST POSSIBLE IN SOME OF THE NORMALLY
COLDER LOCATIONS.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
UPPER TROUGHINESS TO CONTINUE ALONG THE EAST COAST...PROVIDING A
CONTINUED DRY NW FLOW ALOFT. A WEAK DRY REINFORCING FRONT EXPECTED
TO COME LATE SAT...FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER DRY HIGH PRESSURE AIR MASS
TO BUILD INTO THE REGION SUN INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

CLEAR SKIES OVERNIGHT IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT THAT PASSED THE
AREA TUESDAY EVENING. FOG IS NOT EXPECTED AS DEWPOINTS HAVE
DROPPED SIGNIFICANTLY AND WINDS KEEPING BOUNDARY LAYER MIXED. HIGH
PRESSURE...CLEAR SKIES...GOOD VFR TODAY WITH NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 10KT AFTER DAYBREAK.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

MANNING

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$








000
FXUS62 KCAE 220536
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
136 AM EDT WED OCT 22 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
COLD FRONT CURRENTLY PUSHING OFF THE COAST. UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS
TO OUR NE COMBINED WITH HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR NW WILL PROVIDE A
CONTINUED FEED OF COOLER AND DRIER AIR INTO THE REGION.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS TO OUR NE WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT TO THE NE
WHILE WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SE INTO OUR REGION. DRY CONDITIONS
WILL CONTINUE. BEST CHANCE FOR LIGHT WINDS AND GOOD RADIATIONAL
COOLING CONDITIONS APPEARS WILL TAKE PLACE THU NT/EARLY FRI
MORNING...WITH PATCHY FROST POSSIBLE IN SOME OF THE NORMALLY
COLDER LOCATIONS.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
UPPER TROUGHINESS TO CONTINUE ALONG THE EAST COAST...PROVIDING A
CONTINUED DRY NW FLOW ALOFT. A WEAK DRY REINFORCING FRONT EXPECTED
TO COME LATE SAT...FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER DRY HIGH PRESSURE AIR MASS
TO BUILD INTO THE REGION SUN INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

CLEAR SKIES OVERNIGHT IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT THAT PASSED THE
AREA TUESDAY EVENING. FOG IS NOT EXPECTED AS DEWPOINTS HAVE
DROPPED SIGNIFICANTLY AND WINDS KEEPING BOUNDARY LAYER MIXED. HIGH
PRESSURE...CLEAR SKIES...GOOD VFR TODAY WITH NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 10KT AFTER DAYBREAK.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

MANNING

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$








000
FXUS62 KCAE 220511
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
111 AM EDT WED OCT 22 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
FURTHER DRYING WILL OCCUR BEHIND THE COLD FRONT TONIGHT. THE
PRESSURE RIDGE BEHIND THE FRONT WILL DOMINATE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/...
FURTHER DRYING WILL OCCUR BEHIND THE COLD FRONT TONIGHT. MIXING
OVERNIGHT SHOULD HELP HOLD UP TEMPERATURES BUT WITH COLD ADVECTION
EXPECT LOWS IN THE MIDDLE AND UPPER 40S. THE TEMPERATURE GUIDANCE
WAS CONSISTENT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
THE PRESSURE RIDGE EXTENDING THROUGH THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY
WILL DIRECT DRY AIR INTO THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.
EXPECT MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. USED THE GUIDANCE CONSENSUS FOR THE
TEMPERATURE FORECAST. EXPECT LOWS AROUND 40. PATCHY FROST MAY
OCCUR IN A FEW OF THE NORMALLY COLDER LOCATIONS ESPECIALLY
THURSDAY NIGHT BECAUSE OF LESS WIND.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
COMPARED TO THE GFS THE ECMWF WAS A LITTLE MORE PRONOUNCED WITH A
COLD FRONT FRIDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER...BOTH MODELS INDICATED DRY AIR.
THE MODELS SHOWED SURFACE RIDGING DOMINATING DURING THE REST OF THE
MEDIUM-RANGE PERIOD. THE GFS AND ECMWF DISPLAYED UPPER-LEVEL
TROUGHING OVER THE FORECAST AREA REPLACED BY RIDGING BEGINNING
SUNDAY. THE GFS...ECMWF...AND EKD MOS SUPPORTED TEMPERATURES NEAR OR
A LITTLE ABOVE NORMAL DURING THE PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONSEXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

CLEAR SKIES OVERNIGHT IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT THAT PASSED THE
AREA TUESDAY EVENING. FOG IS NOT EXPECTED AS DEWPOINTS HAVE
DROPPED SIGNIFICANTLY AND WINDS KEEPING BOUNDARY LAYER MIXED. HIGH
PRESSURE...CLEAR SKIES...GOOD VFR TODAY WITH NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 10KT AFTER DAYBREAK.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

MANNING

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$






000
FXUS62 KCAE 220511
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
111 AM EDT WED OCT 22 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
FURTHER DRYING WILL OCCUR BEHIND THE COLD FRONT TONIGHT. THE
PRESSURE RIDGE BEHIND THE FRONT WILL DOMINATE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/...
FURTHER DRYING WILL OCCUR BEHIND THE COLD FRONT TONIGHT. MIXING
OVERNIGHT SHOULD HELP HOLD UP TEMPERATURES BUT WITH COLD ADVECTION
EXPECT LOWS IN THE MIDDLE AND UPPER 40S. THE TEMPERATURE GUIDANCE
WAS CONSISTENT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
THE PRESSURE RIDGE EXTENDING THROUGH THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY
WILL DIRECT DRY AIR INTO THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.
EXPECT MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. USED THE GUIDANCE CONSENSUS FOR THE
TEMPERATURE FORECAST. EXPECT LOWS AROUND 40. PATCHY FROST MAY
OCCUR IN A FEW OF THE NORMALLY COLDER LOCATIONS ESPECIALLY
THURSDAY NIGHT BECAUSE OF LESS WIND.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
COMPARED TO THE GFS THE ECMWF WAS A LITTLE MORE PRONOUNCED WITH A
COLD FRONT FRIDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER...BOTH MODELS INDICATED DRY AIR.
THE MODELS SHOWED SURFACE RIDGING DOMINATING DURING THE REST OF THE
MEDIUM-RANGE PERIOD. THE GFS AND ECMWF DISPLAYED UPPER-LEVEL
TROUGHING OVER THE FORECAST AREA REPLACED BY RIDGING BEGINNING
SUNDAY. THE GFS...ECMWF...AND EKD MOS SUPPORTED TEMPERATURES NEAR OR
A LITTLE ABOVE NORMAL DURING THE PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONSEXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

CLEAR SKIES OVERNIGHT IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT THAT PASSED THE
AREA TUESDAY EVENING. FOG IS NOT EXPECTED AS DEWPOINTS HAVE
DROPPED SIGNIFICANTLY AND WINDS KEEPING BOUNDARY LAYER MIXED. HIGH
PRESSURE...CLEAR SKIES...GOOD VFR TODAY WITH NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 10KT AFTER DAYBREAK.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

MANNING

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$






000
FXUS62 KCAE 220202
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
1002 PM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
FURTHER DRYING WILL OCCUR BEHIND THE COLD FRONT TONIGHT. THE
PRESSURE RIDGE BEHIND THE FRONT WILL DOMINATE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
FURTHER DRYING WILL OCCUR BEHIND THE COLD FRONT TONIGHT. MIXING
OVERNIGHT SHOULD HELP HOLD UP TEMPERATURES BUT WITH COLD ADVECTION
EXPECT LOWS IN THE MIDDLE AND UPPER 40S. THE TEMPERATURE GUIDANCE
WAS CONSISTENT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
THE PRESSURE RIDGE EXTENDING THROUGH THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY
WILL DIRECT DRY AIR INTO THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.
EXPECT MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. USED THE GUIDANCE CONSENSUS FOR THE
TEMPERATURE FORECAST. EXPECT LOWS AROUND 40. PATCHY FROST MAY
OCCUR IN A FEW OF THE NORMALLY COLDER LOCATIONS ESPECIALLY
THURSDAY NIGHT BECAUSE OF LESS WIND.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
COMPARED TO THE GFS THE ECMWF WAS A LITTLE MORE PRONOUNCED WITH A
COLD FRONT FRIDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER...BOTH MODELS INDICATED DRY AIR.
THE MODELS SHOWED SURFACE RIDGING DOMINATING DURING THE REST OF THE
MEDIUM-RANGE PERIOD. THE GFS AND ECMWF DISPLAYED UPPER-LEVEL
TROUGHING OVER THE FORECAST AREA REPLACED BY RIDGING BEGINNING
SUNDAY. THE GFS...ECMWF...AND EKD MOS SUPPORTED TEMPERATURES NEAR OR
A LITTLE ABOVE NORMAL DURING THE PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

A DRY COLD FRONT HAS MOVED EAST OF THE TAF SITES THIS EVENING
BRINGING A FEW STRATO-CU TO THE REGION. ANY LINGERING CLOUDS
WILL DISSIPATE OVERNIGHT AS THE FRONT MOVES FARTHER EAST AND
SKIES BECOME CLEAR. FOG NOT FORECAST TONIGHT DUE TO MIXING IN THE
BOUNDARY LAYER AND DRY AIR MASS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL RIDGE INTO THE
FORECAST AREA FOR WEDNESDAY WITH CLEAR SKIES AND VFR CONDITIONS
PREVAILING. WINDS HAVE SHIFTED TO NORTHWESTERLY BEHIND THE FRONT
AT ALL OF THE TERMINALS THIS EVENING AND WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE
NORTHWEST FOR WEDNESDAY AT 8 TO 10 KNOTS.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$








000
FXUS62 KCAE 220202
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
1002 PM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
FURTHER DRYING WILL OCCUR BEHIND THE COLD FRONT TONIGHT. THE
PRESSURE RIDGE BEHIND THE FRONT WILL DOMINATE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
FURTHER DRYING WILL OCCUR BEHIND THE COLD FRONT TONIGHT. MIXING
OVERNIGHT SHOULD HELP HOLD UP TEMPERATURES BUT WITH COLD ADVECTION
EXPECT LOWS IN THE MIDDLE AND UPPER 40S. THE TEMPERATURE GUIDANCE
WAS CONSISTENT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
THE PRESSURE RIDGE EXTENDING THROUGH THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY
WILL DIRECT DRY AIR INTO THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.
EXPECT MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. USED THE GUIDANCE CONSENSUS FOR THE
TEMPERATURE FORECAST. EXPECT LOWS AROUND 40. PATCHY FROST MAY
OCCUR IN A FEW OF THE NORMALLY COLDER LOCATIONS ESPECIALLY
THURSDAY NIGHT BECAUSE OF LESS WIND.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
COMPARED TO THE GFS THE ECMWF WAS A LITTLE MORE PRONOUNCED WITH A
COLD FRONT FRIDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER...BOTH MODELS INDICATED DRY AIR.
THE MODELS SHOWED SURFACE RIDGING DOMINATING DURING THE REST OF THE
MEDIUM-RANGE PERIOD. THE GFS AND ECMWF DISPLAYED UPPER-LEVEL
TROUGHING OVER THE FORECAST AREA REPLACED BY RIDGING BEGINNING
SUNDAY. THE GFS...ECMWF...AND EKD MOS SUPPORTED TEMPERATURES NEAR OR
A LITTLE ABOVE NORMAL DURING THE PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

A DRY COLD FRONT HAS MOVED EAST OF THE TAF SITES THIS EVENING
BRINGING A FEW STRATO-CU TO THE REGION. ANY LINGERING CLOUDS
WILL DISSIPATE OVERNIGHT AS THE FRONT MOVES FARTHER EAST AND
SKIES BECOME CLEAR. FOG NOT FORECAST TONIGHT DUE TO MIXING IN THE
BOUNDARY LAYER AND DRY AIR MASS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL RIDGE INTO THE
FORECAST AREA FOR WEDNESDAY WITH CLEAR SKIES AND VFR CONDITIONS
PREVAILING. WINDS HAVE SHIFTED TO NORTHWESTERLY BEHIND THE FRONT
AT ALL OF THE TERMINALS THIS EVENING AND WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE
NORTHWEST FOR WEDNESDAY AT 8 TO 10 KNOTS.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$








000
FXUS62 KCAE 212350
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
750 PM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
FURTHER DRYING WILL OCCUR BEHIND THE COLD FRONT TONIGHT. THE
PRESSURE RIDGE BEHIND THE FRONT WILL DOMINATE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA THIS EVENING.
LITTLE MOISTURE IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT. MIXING OVERNIGHT
SHOULD HELP HOLD UP TEMPERATURES BUT WITH COLD ADVECTION EXPECT
LOWS IN THE MIDDLE AND UPPER 40S. THE TEMPERATURE GUIDANCE WAS
CONSISTENT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
THE PRESSURE RIDGE EXTENDING THROUGH THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY
WILL DIRECT DRY AIR INTO THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.
EXPECT MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. USED THE GUIDANCE CONSENSUS FOR THE
TEMPERATURE FORECAST. EXPECT LOWS AROUND 40. PATCHY FROST MAY
OCCUR IN A FEW OF THE NORMALLY COLDER LOCATIONS ESPECIALLY
THURSDAY NIGHT BECAUSE OF LESS WIND.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
COMPARED TO THE GFS THE ECMWF WAS A LITTLE MORE PRONOUNCED WITH A
COLD FRONT FRIDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER...BOTH MODELS INDICATED DRY AIR.
THE MODELS SHOWED SURFACE RIDGING DOMINATING DURING THE REST OF THE
MEDIUM-RANGE PERIOD. THE GFS AND ECMWF DISPLAYED UPPER-LEVEL
TROUGHING OVER THE FORECAST AREA REPLACED BY RIDGING BEGINNING
SUNDAY. THE GFS...ECMWF...AND EKD MOS SUPPORTED TEMPERATURES NEAR OR
A LITTLE ABOVE NORMAL DURING THE PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

A DRY COLD FRONT HAS MOVED EAST OF THE TAF SITES THIS EVENING
BRINGING A FEW STRATO-CU TO THE REGION. ANY LINGERING CLOUDS
WILL DISSIPATE OVERNIGHT AS THE FRONT MOVES FURTHER EAST AND SKIES
BECOME CLEAR. FOG NOT FORECAST TONIGHT DUE TO MIXING IN THE
BOUNDARY LAYER AND DRY AIR MASS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL RIDGE INTO THE
FORECAST AREA FOR WEDNESDAY WITH CLEAR SKIES AND VFR CONDITIONS
PREVAILING. WINDS HAVE SHIFTED TO NORTHWESTERLY BEHIND THE FRONT
AT ALL OF THE TERMINALS THIS EVENING AND WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE
NORTHWEST FOR WEDNESDAY AT 8 TO 10 KNOTS.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$








000
FXUS62 KCAE 212114
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
514 PM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
FURTHER DRYING WILL OCCUR BEHIND THE COLD FRONT TONIGHT. THE
PRESSURE RIDGE BEHIND THE FRONT WILL DOMINATE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA THIS EVENING.
LITTLE MOISTURE IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT. MIXING OVERNIGHT
SHOULD HELP HOLD UP TEMPERATURES BUT WITH COLD ADVECTION EXPECT
LOWS IN THE MIDDLE AND UPPER 40S. THE TEMPERATURE GUIDANCE WAS
CONSISTENT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
THE PRESSURE RIDGE EXTENDING THROUGH THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY
WILL DIRECT DRY AIR INTO THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.
EXPECT MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. USED THE GUIDANCE CONSENSUS FOR THE
TEMPERATURE FORECAST. EXPECT LOWS AROUND 40. PATCHY FROST MAY
OCCUR IN A FEW OF THE NORMALLY COLDER LOCATIONS ESPECIALLY
THURSDAY NIGHT BECAUSE OF LESS WIND.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
COMPARED TO THE GFS THE ECMWF WAS A LITTLE MORE PRONOUNCED WITH A
COLD FRONT FRIDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER...BOTH MODELS INDICATED DRY AIR.
THE MODELS SHOWED SURFACE RIDGING DOMINATING DURING THE REST OF THE
MEDIUM-RANGE PERIOD. THE GFS AND ECMWF DISPLAYED UPPER-LEVEL
TROUGHING OVER THE FORECAST AREA REPLACED BY RIDGING BEGINNING
SUNDAY. THE GFS...ECMWF...AND EKD MOS SUPPORTED TEMPERATURES NEAR OR
A LITTLE ABOVE NORMAL DURING THE PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION /21Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

A DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING FROM WEST
TO EAST. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A FEW STRATO-CU CLOUDS
ALONG THE FRONT WHICH MAY REACH THE TERMINALS LATER THIS EVENING.
WINDS WILL SHIFT FROM WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY BEHIND THE FRONT
AND REMAIN OUT OF THE NORTHWEST FOR WEDNESDAY AT 8 TO 10 KNOTS. FOG NOT
FORECAST TONIGHT DUE TO MIXING IN THE BOUNDARY LAYER AND DRY AIR
MASS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL RIDGE INTO THE FORECAST AREA FOR
WEDNESDAY WITH VFR CONDITIONS PREVAILING.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$








000
FXUS62 KCAE 211946
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
346 PM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
FURTHER DRYING WILL OCCUR BEHIND THE COLD FRONT TONIGHT. THE
PRESSURE RIDGE BEHIND THE FRONT WILL DOMINATE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA THIS EVENING.
LITTLE MOISTURE IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT. MIXING OVERNIGHT
SHOULD HELP HOLD UP TEMPERATURES BUT WITH COLD ADVECTION EXPECT
LOWS IN THE MIDDLE AND UPPER 40S. THE TEMPERATURE GUIDANCE WAS
CONSISTENT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
THE PRESSURE RIDGE EXTENDING THROUGH THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY
WILL DIRECT DRY AIR INTO THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.
EXPECT MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. USED THE GUIDANCE CONSENSUS FOR THE
TEMPERATURE FORECAST. EXPECT LOWS AROUND 40. PATCHY FROST MAY
OCCUR IN A FEW OF THE NORMALLY COLDER LOCATIONS ESPECIALLY
THURSDAY NIGHT BECAUSE OF LESS WIND.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
COMPARED TO THE GFS THE ECMWF WAS A LITTLE MORE PRONOUNCED WITH A
COLD FRONT FRIDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER...BOTH MODELS INDICATED DRY AIR.
THE MODELS SHOWED SURFACE RIDGING DOMINATING DURING THE REST OF THE
MEDIUM-RANGE PERIOD. THE GFS AND ECMWF DISPLAYED UPPER-LEVEL
TROUGHING OVER THE FORECAST AREA REPLACED BY RIDGING BEGINNING
SUNDAY. THE GFS...ECMWF...AND EKD MOS SUPPORTED TEMPERATURES NEAR OR
A LITTLE ABOVE NORMAL DURING THE PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

UPPER TROF AXIS EAST OF THE AREA...SKIES CLEAR. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES
REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON. A DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
AREA THIS EVENING FROM WEST TO EAST. MAY SEE A FEW STRATO-CU CLOUDS
ALONG FRONT. WINDS WEST-NORTHWEST AFTER DAYBREAK GENERALLY UNDER
10KT. BEHIND THE FRONT THIS EVENING NW WINDS GENERALLY UNDER 10KT
EXPECTED. FOG NOT FORECAST TONIGHT DUE TO MIXING IN THE BOUNDARY
LAYER AND DRY AIR MASS.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$








000
FXUS62 KCAE 211802
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
202 PM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA LATE TODAY AND THIS
EVENING. COOL AND DRY AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE REGION BEHIND THE
FRONT THROUGH MID WEEK. FAIR AND DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE LATE
WEEK THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
SKY CLEAR ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES RISING INTO
THE 75 TO 80 RANGE WITH DOWNSLOPE FLOW DESPITE WEAK COLD
ADVECTION. COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION THIS
EVENING...AROUND 03Z AT CAE. LIMITED MOISTURE SO DRY FORECAST.
TEMPERATURES FALLING INTO THE 40S OVERNIGHT WITH COLD ADVECTION.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL WORK INTO OUR REGION BEHIND THE FRONT.
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST WILL GRADUALLY
SHIFT NORTHEAST...WHILE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MS RIVER VALLEY
RIDGES INTO OUR AREA FROM THE WEST. THIS WILL PROVIDE A CONTINUED
COOL AND DRY FLOW. TEMPERATURES WILL BE MOSTLY A COUPLE OF DEGREES
BELOW NORMAL.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
UPPER TROUGHINESS WILL REMAIN OVER THE E CONUS...MAINTAINING A
DRY NW FLOW ALOFT FOR OUR REGION...WITH A DRY FRONT OR TROUGH OR
TWO MOVING THROUGH. TEMPS GENERALLY NEAR NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

UPPER TROF AXIS EAST OF THE AREA...SKIES CLEAR. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES
REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON. A DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
AREA THIS EVENING FROM WEST TO EAST. MAY SEE A FEW STRATO-CU CLOUDS
ALONG FRONT. WINDS WEST-NORTHWEST AFTER DAYBREAK GENERALLY UNDER
10KT. BEHIND THE FRONT THIS EVENING NW WINDS GENERALLY UNDER 10KT
EXPECTED. FOG NOT FORECAST TONIGHT DUE TO MIXING IN THE BOUNDARY
LAYER AND DRY AIR MASS.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$








000
FXUS62 KCAE 211733
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
133 PM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA LATE TODAY AND THIS
EVENING. COOL AND DRY AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE REGION BEHIND THE
FRONT THROUGH MID WEEK. FAIR AND DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE LATE
WEEK THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPPER ENERGY WILL DIVE SE FROM THE GREAT LAKES REGION INTO THE
MID ATLANTIC AND CUT OFF. COLD FRONT EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH OUR
REGION LATE TODAY AND THIS EVENING. LIMITED MOISTURE FOR THE
SYSTEM TO WORK WITH...SO WILL MAINTAIN DRY FORECAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL WORK INTO OUR REGION BEHIND THE FRONT.
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST WILL GRADUALLY
SHIFT NORTHEAST...WHILE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MS RIVER VALLEY
RIDGES INTO OUR AREA FROM THE WEST. THIS WILL PROVIDE A CONTINUED
COOL AND DRY FLOW. TEMPERATURES WILL BE MOSTLY A COUPLE OF DEGREES
BELOW NORMAL.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
UPPER TROUGHINESS WILL REMAIN OVER THE E CONUS...MAINTAINING A
DRY NW FLOW ALOFT FOR OUR REGION...WITH A DRY FRONT OR TROUGH OR
TWO MOVING THROUGH. TEMPS GENERALLY NEAR NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

WITH UPPER TROF AXIS EAST OF THE AREA...SKIES HAVE CLEARED. A
COUPLE OF SPOTS OF MVFR FOG DEVELOPED BUT HAS SINCE DISSIPATED AS
SURFACE DEWPOINTS HAVE BEEN SLOWLY FALLING OVER THE LAST FEW
HOURS. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES REMAINDER OF TODAY AS A DRY COLD FRONT
APPROACHES FROM THE WEST AND EAST THIS EVENING. LIGHT WINDS
THIS MORNING BECOMING WEST- NORTHWEST AFTER DAYBREAK GENERALLY
UNDER 10KT. BEHIND THE FRONT THIS EVENING NW WINDS GENERALLY UNDER
10KT EXPECTED.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$








000
FXUS62 KCAE 211048
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
648 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA LATE TODAY AND THIS
EVENING. COOL AND DRY AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE REGION BEHIND THE
FRONT THROUGH MID WEEK. FAIR AND DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE LATE
WEEK THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPPER ENERGY WILL DIVE SE FROM THE GREAT LAKES REGION INTO THE
MID ATLANTIC AND CUT OFF. COLD FRONT EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH OUR
REGION LATE TODAY AND THIS EVENING. LIMITED MOISTURE FOR THE
SYSTEM TO WORK WITH...SO WILL MAINTAIN DRY FORECAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL WORK INTO OUR REGION BEHIND THE FRONT.
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST WILL GRADUALLY
SHIFT NORTHEAST...WHILE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MS RIVER VALLEY
RIDGES INTO OUR AREA FROM THE WEST. THIS WILL PROVIDE A CONTINUED
COOL AND DRY FLOW.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
UPPER TROUGHINESS WILL REMAIN OVER THE E CONUS...MAINTAINING A
DRY NW FLOW ALOFT FOR OUR REGION...WITH A DRY FRONT OR TROUGH OR
TWO MOVING THROUGH. TEMPS GENERALLY NEAR NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

WITH UPPER TROF AXIS EAST OF THE AREA...SKIES HAVE CLEARED. A
COUPLE OF SPOTS OF MVFR FOG DEVELOPED BUT HAS SINCE DISSIPATED AS
SURFACE DEWPOINTS HAVE BEEN SLOWLY FALLING OVER THE LAST FEW
HOURS. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES REMAINDER OF TODAY AS A DRY COLD FRONT
APPROACHES FROM THE WEST AND EAST THIS EVENING. LIGHT WINDS
THIS MORNING BECOMING WEST- NORTHWEST AFTER DAYBREAK GENERALLY
UNDER 10KT. BEHIND THE FRONT THIS EVENING NW WINDS GENERALLY UNDER
10KT EXPECTED.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

MANNING

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$







000
FXUS62 KCAE 211048
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
648 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA LATE TODAY AND THIS
EVENING. COOL AND DRY AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE REGION BEHIND THE
FRONT THROUGH MID WEEK. FAIR AND DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE LATE
WEEK THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPPER ENERGY WILL DIVE SE FROM THE GREAT LAKES REGION INTO THE
MID ATLANTIC AND CUT OFF. COLD FRONT EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH OUR
REGION LATE TODAY AND THIS EVENING. LIMITED MOISTURE FOR THE
SYSTEM TO WORK WITH...SO WILL MAINTAIN DRY FORECAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL WORK INTO OUR REGION BEHIND THE FRONT.
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST WILL GRADUALLY
SHIFT NORTHEAST...WHILE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MS RIVER VALLEY
RIDGES INTO OUR AREA FROM THE WEST. THIS WILL PROVIDE A CONTINUED
COOL AND DRY FLOW.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
UPPER TROUGHINESS WILL REMAIN OVER THE E CONUS...MAINTAINING A
DRY NW FLOW ALOFT FOR OUR REGION...WITH A DRY FRONT OR TROUGH OR
TWO MOVING THROUGH. TEMPS GENERALLY NEAR NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

WITH UPPER TROF AXIS EAST OF THE AREA...SKIES HAVE CLEARED. A
COUPLE OF SPOTS OF MVFR FOG DEVELOPED BUT HAS SINCE DISSIPATED AS
SURFACE DEWPOINTS HAVE BEEN SLOWLY FALLING OVER THE LAST FEW
HOURS. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES REMAINDER OF TODAY AS A DRY COLD FRONT
APPROACHES FROM THE WEST AND EAST THIS EVENING. LIGHT WINDS
THIS MORNING BECOMING WEST- NORTHWEST AFTER DAYBREAK GENERALLY
UNDER 10KT. BEHIND THE FRONT THIS EVENING NW WINDS GENERALLY UNDER
10KT EXPECTED.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

MANNING

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$








000
FXUS62 KCAE 211048
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
648 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA LATE TODAY AND THIS
EVENING. COOL AND DRY AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE REGION BEHIND THE
FRONT THROUGH MID WEEK. FAIR AND DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE LATE
WEEK THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPPER ENERGY WILL DIVE SE FROM THE GREAT LAKES REGION INTO THE
MID ATLANTIC AND CUT OFF. COLD FRONT EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH OUR
REGION LATE TODAY AND THIS EVENING. LIMITED MOISTURE FOR THE
SYSTEM TO WORK WITH...SO WILL MAINTAIN DRY FORECAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL WORK INTO OUR REGION BEHIND THE FRONT.
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST WILL GRADUALLY
SHIFT NORTHEAST...WHILE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MS RIVER VALLEY
RIDGES INTO OUR AREA FROM THE WEST. THIS WILL PROVIDE A CONTINUED
COOL AND DRY FLOW.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
UPPER TROUGHINESS WILL REMAIN OVER THE E CONUS...MAINTAINING A
DRY NW FLOW ALOFT FOR OUR REGION...WITH A DRY FRONT OR TROUGH OR
TWO MOVING THROUGH. TEMPS GENERALLY NEAR NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

WITH UPPER TROF AXIS EAST OF THE AREA...SKIES HAVE CLEARED. A
COUPLE OF SPOTS OF MVFR FOG DEVELOPED BUT HAS SINCE DISSIPATED AS
SURFACE DEWPOINTS HAVE BEEN SLOWLY FALLING OVER THE LAST FEW
HOURS. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES REMAINDER OF TODAY AS A DRY COLD FRONT
APPROACHES FROM THE WEST AND EAST THIS EVENING. LIGHT WINDS
THIS MORNING BECOMING WEST- NORTHWEST AFTER DAYBREAK GENERALLY
UNDER 10KT. BEHIND THE FRONT THIS EVENING NW WINDS GENERALLY UNDER
10KT EXPECTED.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

MANNING

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$








000
FXUS62 KCAE 211048
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
648 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA LATE TODAY AND THIS
EVENING. COOL AND DRY AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE REGION BEHIND THE
FRONT THROUGH MID WEEK. FAIR AND DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE LATE
WEEK THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPPER ENERGY WILL DIVE SE FROM THE GREAT LAKES REGION INTO THE
MID ATLANTIC AND CUT OFF. COLD FRONT EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH OUR
REGION LATE TODAY AND THIS EVENING. LIMITED MOISTURE FOR THE
SYSTEM TO WORK WITH...SO WILL MAINTAIN DRY FORECAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL WORK INTO OUR REGION BEHIND THE FRONT.
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST WILL GRADUALLY
SHIFT NORTHEAST...WHILE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MS RIVER VALLEY
RIDGES INTO OUR AREA FROM THE WEST. THIS WILL PROVIDE A CONTINUED
COOL AND DRY FLOW.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
UPPER TROUGHINESS WILL REMAIN OVER THE E CONUS...MAINTAINING A
DRY NW FLOW ALOFT FOR OUR REGION...WITH A DRY FRONT OR TROUGH OR
TWO MOVING THROUGH. TEMPS GENERALLY NEAR NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

WITH UPPER TROF AXIS EAST OF THE AREA...SKIES HAVE CLEARED. A
COUPLE OF SPOTS OF MVFR FOG DEVELOPED BUT HAS SINCE DISSIPATED AS
SURFACE DEWPOINTS HAVE BEEN SLOWLY FALLING OVER THE LAST FEW
HOURS. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES REMAINDER OF TODAY AS A DRY COLD FRONT
APPROACHES FROM THE WEST AND EAST THIS EVENING. LIGHT WINDS
THIS MORNING BECOMING WEST- NORTHWEST AFTER DAYBREAK GENERALLY
UNDER 10KT. BEHIND THE FRONT THIS EVENING NW WINDS GENERALLY UNDER
10KT EXPECTED.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

MANNING

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$







000
FXUS62 KCAE 211038
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
638 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA LATE TODAY AND THIS
EVENING. COOL AND DRY AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE REGION BEHIND THE
FRONT THROUGH MID WEEK. FAIR AND DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE LATE
WEEK THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPPER SHORTWAVE CURRENTLY SWINGING THROUGH THE NORTHERN FORECAST
AREA. ASSOCIATED MID LEVEL CLOUDINESS AND LIGHT SPRINKLES WILL
EXIT THE REGION LATER THIS MORNING AS THE SHORTWAVE MOVES OFF TO
THE EAST. ADDITIONAL UPPER ENERGY WILL DIVE SE FROM THE GREAT
LAKES REGION INTO THE MID ATLANTIC AND CUT OFF. COLD FRONT
EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH OUR REGION LATE TODAY AND THIS EVENING.
LIMITED MOISTURE FOR THE SYSTEM TO WORK WITH...SO WILL MAINTAIN DRY
FORECAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL WORK INTO OUR REGION BEHIND THE FRONT.
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST WILL GRADUALLY
SHIFT NORTHEAST...WHILE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MS RIVER VALLEY
RIDGES INTO OUR AREA FROM THE WEST. THIS WILL PROVIDE A CONTINUED
COOL AND DRY FLOW.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
UPPER TROUGHINESS WILL REMAIN OVER THE E CONUS...MAINTAINING A
DRY NW FLOW ALOFT FOR OUR REGION...WITH A DRY FRONT OR TROUGH OR
TWO MOVING THROUGH. TEMPS GENERALLY NEAR NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

WITH UPPER TROF AXIS EAST OF THE AREA...SKIES HAVE CLEARED. A
COUPLE OF SPOTS OF MVFR FOG DEVELOPED BUT HAS SINCE DISSIPATED AS
SURFACE DEWPOINTS HAVE BEEN SLOWLY FALLING OVER THE LAST FEW
HOURS. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES REMAINDER OF TODAY AS A DRY COLD FRONT
APPROACHES FROM THE WEST AND EAST THIS EVENING. LIGHT WINDS
THIS MORNING BECOMING WEST- NORTHWEST AFTER DAYBREAK GENERALLY
UNDER 10KT. BEHIND THE FRONT THIS EVENING NW WINDS GENERALLY UNDER
10KT EXPECTED.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

MANNING

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$





000
FXUS62 KCAE 211038
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
638 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA LATE TODAY AND THIS
EVENING. COOL AND DRY AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE REGION BEHIND THE
FRONT THROUGH MID WEEK. FAIR AND DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE LATE
WEEK THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPPER SHORTWAVE CURRENTLY SWINGING THROUGH THE NORTHERN FORECAST
AREA. ASSOCIATED MID LEVEL CLOUDINESS AND LIGHT SPRINKLES WILL
EXIT THE REGION LATER THIS MORNING AS THE SHORTWAVE MOVES OFF TO
THE EAST. ADDITIONAL UPPER ENERGY WILL DIVE SE FROM THE GREAT
LAKES REGION INTO THE MID ATLANTIC AND CUT OFF. COLD FRONT
EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH OUR REGION LATE TODAY AND THIS EVENING.
LIMITED MOISTURE FOR THE SYSTEM TO WORK WITH...SO WILL MAINTAIN DRY
FORECAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL WORK INTO OUR REGION BEHIND THE FRONT.
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST WILL GRADUALLY
SHIFT NORTHEAST...WHILE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MS RIVER VALLEY
RIDGES INTO OUR AREA FROM THE WEST. THIS WILL PROVIDE A CONTINUED
COOL AND DRY FLOW.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
UPPER TROUGHINESS WILL REMAIN OVER THE E CONUS...MAINTAINING A
DRY NW FLOW ALOFT FOR OUR REGION...WITH A DRY FRONT OR TROUGH OR
TWO MOVING THROUGH. TEMPS GENERALLY NEAR NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

WITH UPPER TROF AXIS EAST OF THE AREA...SKIES HAVE CLEARED. A
COUPLE OF SPOTS OF MVFR FOG DEVELOPED BUT HAS SINCE DISSIPATED AS
SURFACE DEWPOINTS HAVE BEEN SLOWLY FALLING OVER THE LAST FEW
HOURS. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES REMAINDER OF TODAY AS A DRY COLD FRONT
APPROACHES FROM THE WEST AND EAST THIS EVENING. LIGHT WINDS
THIS MORNING BECOMING WEST- NORTHWEST AFTER DAYBREAK GENERALLY
UNDER 10KT. BEHIND THE FRONT THIS EVENING NW WINDS GENERALLY UNDER
10KT EXPECTED.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

MANNING

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$






000
FXUS62 KCAE 211038
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
638 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA LATE TODAY AND THIS
EVENING. COOL AND DRY AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE REGION BEHIND THE
FRONT THROUGH MID WEEK. FAIR AND DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE LATE
WEEK THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPPER SHORTWAVE CURRENTLY SWINGING THROUGH THE NORTHERN FORECAST
AREA. ASSOCIATED MID LEVEL CLOUDINESS AND LIGHT SPRINKLES WILL
EXIT THE REGION LATER THIS MORNING AS THE SHORTWAVE MOVES OFF TO
THE EAST. ADDITIONAL UPPER ENERGY WILL DIVE SE FROM THE GREAT
LAKES REGION INTO THE MID ATLANTIC AND CUT OFF. COLD FRONT
EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH OUR REGION LATE TODAY AND THIS EVENING.
LIMITED MOISTURE FOR THE SYSTEM TO WORK WITH...SO WILL MAINTAIN DRY
FORECAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL WORK INTO OUR REGION BEHIND THE FRONT.
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST WILL GRADUALLY
SHIFT NORTHEAST...WHILE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MS RIVER VALLEY
RIDGES INTO OUR AREA FROM THE WEST. THIS WILL PROVIDE A CONTINUED
COOL AND DRY FLOW.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
UPPER TROUGHINESS WILL REMAIN OVER THE E CONUS...MAINTAINING A
DRY NW FLOW ALOFT FOR OUR REGION...WITH A DRY FRONT OR TROUGH OR
TWO MOVING THROUGH. TEMPS GENERALLY NEAR NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

WITH UPPER TROF AXIS EAST OF THE AREA...SKIES HAVE CLEARED. A
COUPLE OF SPOTS OF MVFR FOG DEVELOPED BUT HAS SINCE DISSIPATED AS
SURFACE DEWPOINTS HAVE BEEN SLOWLY FALLING OVER THE LAST FEW
HOURS. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES REMAINDER OF TODAY AS A DRY COLD FRONT
APPROACHES FROM THE WEST AND EAST THIS EVENING. LIGHT WINDS
THIS MORNING BECOMING WEST- NORTHWEST AFTER DAYBREAK GENERALLY
UNDER 10KT. BEHIND THE FRONT THIS EVENING NW WINDS GENERALLY UNDER
10KT EXPECTED.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

MANNING

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$






000
FXUS62 KCAE 211038
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
638 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA LATE TODAY AND THIS
EVENING. COOL AND DRY AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE REGION BEHIND THE
FRONT THROUGH MID WEEK. FAIR AND DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE LATE
WEEK THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPPER SHORTWAVE CURRENTLY SWINGING THROUGH THE NORTHERN FORECAST
AREA. ASSOCIATED MID LEVEL CLOUDINESS AND LIGHT SPRINKLES WILL
EXIT THE REGION LATER THIS MORNING AS THE SHORTWAVE MOVES OFF TO
THE EAST. ADDITIONAL UPPER ENERGY WILL DIVE SE FROM THE GREAT
LAKES REGION INTO THE MID ATLANTIC AND CUT OFF. COLD FRONT
EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH OUR REGION LATE TODAY AND THIS EVENING.
LIMITED MOISTURE FOR THE SYSTEM TO WORK WITH...SO WILL MAINTAIN DRY
FORECAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL WORK INTO OUR REGION BEHIND THE FRONT.
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST WILL GRADUALLY
SHIFT NORTHEAST...WHILE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MS RIVER VALLEY
RIDGES INTO OUR AREA FROM THE WEST. THIS WILL PROVIDE A CONTINUED
COOL AND DRY FLOW.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
UPPER TROUGHINESS WILL REMAIN OVER THE E CONUS...MAINTAINING A
DRY NW FLOW ALOFT FOR OUR REGION...WITH A DRY FRONT OR TROUGH OR
TWO MOVING THROUGH. TEMPS GENERALLY NEAR NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

WITH UPPER TROF AXIS EAST OF THE AREA...SKIES HAVE CLEARED. A
COUPLE OF SPOTS OF MVFR FOG DEVELOPED BUT HAS SINCE DISSIPATED AS
SURFACE DEWPOINTS HAVE BEEN SLOWLY FALLING OVER THE LAST FEW
HOURS. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES REMAINDER OF TODAY AS A DRY COLD FRONT
APPROACHES FROM THE WEST AND EAST THIS EVENING. LIGHT WINDS
THIS MORNING BECOMING WEST- NORTHWEST AFTER DAYBREAK GENERALLY
UNDER 10KT. BEHIND THE FRONT THIS EVENING NW WINDS GENERALLY UNDER
10KT EXPECTED.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

MANNING

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$





000
FXUS62 KCAE 210557
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
157 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA LATE TODAY AND THIS
EVENING. COOL AND DRY AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE REGION BEHIND THE
FRONT THROUGH MID WEEK. FAIR AND DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE LATE
WEEK THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPPER SHORTWAVE CURRENTLY SWINGING THROUGH THE NORTHERN FORECAST
AREA. ASSOCIATED MID LEVEL CLOUDINESS AND LIGHT SPRINKLES WILL
EXIT THE REGION LATER THIS MORNING AS THE SHORTWAVE MOVES OFF TO
THE EAST. ADDITIONAL UPPER ENERGY WILL DIVE SE FROM THE GREAT
LAKES REGION INTO THE MID ATLANTIC AND CUT OFF. COLD FRONT
EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH OUR REGION LATE TODAY AND THIS EVENING.
LIMITED MOISTURE FOR THE SYSTEM TO WORK WITH...SO WILL MAINTAIN DRY
FORECAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL WORK INTO OUR REGION BEHIND THE FRONT.
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST WILL GRADUALLY
SHIFT NORTHEAST...WHILE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MS RIVER VALLEY
RIDGES INTO OUR AREA FROM THE WEST. THIS WILL PROVIDE A CONTINUED
COOL AND DRY FLOW.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
UPPER TROUGHINESS WILL REMAIN OVER THE E CONUS...MAINTAINING A
DRY NW FLOW ALOFT FOR OUR REGION...WITH A DRY FRONT OR TROUGH OR
TWO MOVING THROUGH. TEMPS GENERALLY NEAR NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.

SCT MID AND HIGH CLOUDS SHIFTING EAST THROUGH THE AREA EARLY THIS
MORNING AS AN UPPER TROF MOVES EAST. EXPECT GENERALLY CLEAR SKIES
BY SUNRISE. STILL SOME CHANCE OF FOG FOR A COUPLE HOURS PRE-DAWN
BUT FOR NOW WILL KEEP AN MVFR TEMPO GROUP AND WATCH TRENDS OVER
THE NEXT FEW HOURS. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES OVER THE REGION TUESDAY
AS A DRY COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST AND PUSHES EAST BY
TUESDAY EVENING. LIGHT WINDS THIS MORNING BECOMING WEST-NORTHWEST
AFTER DAYBREAK GENERALLY UNDER 10KT.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

MANNING

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$







000
FXUS62 KCAE 210557
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
157 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA LATE TODAY AND THIS
EVENING. COOL AND DRY AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE REGION BEHIND THE
FRONT THROUGH MID WEEK. FAIR AND DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE LATE
WEEK THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPPER SHORTWAVE CURRENTLY SWINGING THROUGH THE NORTHERN FORECAST
AREA. ASSOCIATED MID LEVEL CLOUDINESS AND LIGHT SPRINKLES WILL
EXIT THE REGION LATER THIS MORNING AS THE SHORTWAVE MOVES OFF TO
THE EAST. ADDITIONAL UPPER ENERGY WILL DIVE SE FROM THE GREAT
LAKES REGION INTO THE MID ATLANTIC AND CUT OFF. COLD FRONT
EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH OUR REGION LATE TODAY AND THIS EVENING.
LIMITED MOISTURE FOR THE SYSTEM TO WORK WITH...SO WILL MAINTAIN DRY
FORECAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL WORK INTO OUR REGION BEHIND THE FRONT.
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST WILL GRADUALLY
SHIFT NORTHEAST...WHILE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MS RIVER VALLEY
RIDGES INTO OUR AREA FROM THE WEST. THIS WILL PROVIDE A CONTINUED
COOL AND DRY FLOW.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
UPPER TROUGHINESS WILL REMAIN OVER THE E CONUS...MAINTAINING A
DRY NW FLOW ALOFT FOR OUR REGION...WITH A DRY FRONT OR TROUGH OR
TWO MOVING THROUGH. TEMPS GENERALLY NEAR NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.

SCT MID AND HIGH CLOUDS SHIFTING EAST THROUGH THE AREA EARLY THIS
MORNING AS AN UPPER TROF MOVES EAST. EXPECT GENERALLY CLEAR SKIES
BY SUNRISE. STILL SOME CHANCE OF FOG FOR A COUPLE HOURS PRE-DAWN
BUT FOR NOW WILL KEEP AN MVFR TEMPO GROUP AND WATCH TRENDS OVER
THE NEXT FEW HOURS. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES OVER THE REGION TUESDAY
AS A DRY COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST AND PUSHES EAST BY
TUESDAY EVENING. LIGHT WINDS THIS MORNING BECOMING WEST-NORTHWEST
AFTER DAYBREAK GENERALLY UNDER 10KT.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

MANNING

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$








000
FXUS62 KCAE 210517
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
117 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE OFF THE COAST WILL SHIFT FARTHER EASTWARD AND A WEAK
TROUGH MOVING INTO THE FORECAST AREA WILL SHIFT EAST OF THE AREA
OVERNIGHT. LITTLE MOISTURE WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROUGH. AN
APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT
BUT MOISTURE WILL REMAIN LIMITED. THE PRESSURE RIDGE BEHIND THE
FRONT WILL DOMINATE DURING THE REST OF THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/...
A MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED DEVELOPING SURFACE
TROUGH WILL SHIFT EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA OVERNIGHT. BELIEVE ANY
PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH WOULD NOT BE
MORE THAN SPRINKLES IN THE EXTREME NORTH PART BECAUSE OF THE DRY
LOW LEVELS. MID AND HIGH CLOUDINESS OVER THE FORECAST AREA SHOULD
DIMINISH IN THE WAKE OF THE MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH LATER
TONIGHT. IT WILL BE A LITTLE WARMER TONIGHT COMPARED TO LAST
NIGHT. AIR MASS MODIFICATION HAS OCCURRED WITH WARMING IN THE WEAK
SOUTHERLY FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE OFFSHORE HIGH AND DEVELOPING
TROUGH. THE TEMPERATURE GUIDANCE WAS CLOSE WITH LOWS IN THE MIDDLE
40S TO AROUND 50.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/...
THE MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE UPPER ENERGY WILL DIVE DOWN
FROM THE GREAT LAKES REGION INTO THE MID ATLANTIC TUESDAY...WITH
AN UPPER LOW CLOSING OFF TO OUR NORTHEAST. A SURFACE COLD FRONT
WILL CROSS THE FORECAST AREA LATE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT WITH A
VERY DRY ATMOSPHERE INITIALLY IN PLACE...IT CONTINUES TO APPEAR
THAT MOISTURE RETURN AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM WILL BE LIMITED FOR OUR
REGION. WILL CONTINUE WITH A DRY FORECAST WHICH IS SUPPORTED BY
ALL OF THE GFS AND NAM MOS WITH POPS LESS THAN 10 PERCENT. USED
THE GUIDANCE CONSENSUS FOR THE TEMPERATURE FORECAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST WILL GRADUALLY
SHIFT NORTHEAST...WHILE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MS RIVER VALLEY
RIDGES INTO OUR AREA FROM THE WEST. THIS WILL PROVIDE A CONTINUED
COOL AND DRY FLOW THROUGH THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL
GRADUALLY MODERATE TO NEAR NORMAL BY FRIDAY WITH WEAK HIGH
PRESSURE SETTLING INTO THE REGION.

&&

.AVIATION /05Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.

SCT MID AND HIGH CLOUDS SHIFTING EAST THROUGH THE AREA EARLY THIS
MORNING AS AN UPPER TROF MOVES EAST. EXPECT GENERALLY CLEAR SKIES
BY SUNRISE. STILL SOME CHANCE OF FOG FOR A COUPLE HOURS PRE-DAWN
BUT FOR NOW WILL KEEP AN MVFR TEMPO GROUP AND WATCH TRENDS OVER
THE NEXT FEW HOURS. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES OVER THE REGION TUESDAY
AS A DRY COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST AND PUSHES EAST BY
TUESDAY EVENING. LIGHT WINDS THIS MORNING BECOMING WEST-NORTHWEST
AFTER DAYBREAK GENERALLY UNDER 10KT.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

MANNING

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$







000
FXUS62 KCAE 210517
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
117 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE OFF THE COAST WILL SHIFT FARTHER EASTWARD AND A WEAK
TROUGH MOVING INTO THE FORECAST AREA WILL SHIFT EAST OF THE AREA
OVERNIGHT. LITTLE MOISTURE WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROUGH. AN
APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT
BUT MOISTURE WILL REMAIN LIMITED. THE PRESSURE RIDGE BEHIND THE
FRONT WILL DOMINATE DURING THE REST OF THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/...
A MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED DEVELOPING SURFACE
TROUGH WILL SHIFT EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA OVERNIGHT. BELIEVE ANY
PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH WOULD NOT BE
MORE THAN SPRINKLES IN THE EXTREME NORTH PART BECAUSE OF THE DRY
LOW LEVELS. MID AND HIGH CLOUDINESS OVER THE FORECAST AREA SHOULD
DIMINISH IN THE WAKE OF THE MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH LATER
TONIGHT. IT WILL BE A LITTLE WARMER TONIGHT COMPARED TO LAST
NIGHT. AIR MASS MODIFICATION HAS OCCURRED WITH WARMING IN THE WEAK
SOUTHERLY FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE OFFSHORE HIGH AND DEVELOPING
TROUGH. THE TEMPERATURE GUIDANCE WAS CLOSE WITH LOWS IN THE MIDDLE
40S TO AROUND 50.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/...
THE MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE UPPER ENERGY WILL DIVE DOWN
FROM THE GREAT LAKES REGION INTO THE MID ATLANTIC TUESDAY...WITH
AN UPPER LOW CLOSING OFF TO OUR NORTHEAST. A SURFACE COLD FRONT
WILL CROSS THE FORECAST AREA LATE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT WITH A
VERY DRY ATMOSPHERE INITIALLY IN PLACE...IT CONTINUES TO APPEAR
THAT MOISTURE RETURN AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM WILL BE LIMITED FOR OUR
REGION. WILL CONTINUE WITH A DRY FORECAST WHICH IS SUPPORTED BY
ALL OF THE GFS AND NAM MOS WITH POPS LESS THAN 10 PERCENT. USED
THE GUIDANCE CONSENSUS FOR THE TEMPERATURE FORECAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST WILL GRADUALLY
SHIFT NORTHEAST...WHILE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MS RIVER VALLEY
RIDGES INTO OUR AREA FROM THE WEST. THIS WILL PROVIDE A CONTINUED
COOL AND DRY FLOW THROUGH THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL
GRADUALLY MODERATE TO NEAR NORMAL BY FRIDAY WITH WEAK HIGH
PRESSURE SETTLING INTO THE REGION.

&&

.AVIATION /05Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.

SCT MID AND HIGH CLOUDS SHIFTING EAST THROUGH THE AREA EARLY THIS
MORNING AS AN UPPER TROF MOVES EAST. EXPECT GENERALLY CLEAR SKIES
BY SUNRISE. STILL SOME CHANCE OF FOG FOR A COUPLE HOURS PRE-DAWN
BUT FOR NOW WILL KEEP AN MVFR TEMPO GROUP AND WATCH TRENDS OVER
THE NEXT FEW HOURS. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES OVER THE REGION TUESDAY
AS A DRY COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST AND PUSHES EAST BY
TUESDAY EVENING. LIGHT WINDS THIS MORNING BECOMING WEST-NORTHWEST
AFTER DAYBREAK GENERALLY UNDER 10KT.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

MANNING

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$








000
FXUS62 KCAE 210241
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
1041 PM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE OFF THE COAST WILL SHIFT FARTHER EASTWARD AND A WEAK
TROUGH MOVING INTO THE FORECAST AREA WILL SHIFT EAST OF THE AREA
OVERNIGHT. LITTLE MOISTURE WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROUGH. AN
APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT
BUT MOISTURE WILL REMAIN LIMITED. THE PRESSURE RIDGE BEHIND THE
FRONT WILL DOMINATE DURING THE REST OF THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/...
A MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED DEVELOPING SURFACE
TROUGH WILL SHIFT EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA OVERNIGHT. BELIEVE ANY
PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH WOULD NOT BE
MORE THAN SPRINKLES IN THE EXTREME NORTH PART BECAUSE OF THE DRY
LOW LEVELS. MID AND HIGH CLOUDINESS OVER THE FORECAST AREA SHOULD
DIMINISH IN THE WAKE OF THE MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH LATER
TONIGHT. IT WILL BE A LITTLE WARMER TONIGHT COMPARED TO LAST
NIGHT. AIR MASS MODIFICATION HAS OCCURRED WITH WARMING IN THE WEAK
SOUTHERLY FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE OFFSHORE HIGH AND DEVELOPING
TROUGH. THE TEMPERATURE GUIDANCE WAS CLOSE WITH LOWS IN THE MIDDLE
40S TO AROUND 50.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
THE MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE UPPER ENERGY WILL DIVE DOWN
FROM THE GREAT LAKES REGION INTO THE MID ATLANTIC TUESDAY...WITH
AN UPPER LOW CLOSING OFF TO OUR NORTHEAST. A SURFACE COLD FRONT
WILL CROSS THE FORECAST AREA LATE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT WITH A
VERY DRY ATMOSPHERE INITIALLY IN PLACE...IT CONTINUES TO APPEAR
THAT MOISTURE RETURN AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM WILL BE LIMITED FOR OUR
REGION. WILL CONTINUE WITH A DRY FORECAST WHICH IS SUPPORTED BY
ALL OF THE GFS AND NAM MOS WITH POPS LESS THAN 10 PERCENT. USED
THE GUIDANCE CONSENSUS FOR THE TEMPERATURE FORECAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST WILL GRADUALLY
SHIFT NORTHEAST...WHILE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MS RIVER VALLEY
RIDGES INTO OUR AREA FROM THE WEST. THIS WILL PROVIDE A CONTINUED
COOL AND DRY FLOW THROUGH THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL
GRADUALLY MODERATE TO NEAR NORMAL BY FRIDAY WITH WEAK HIGH
PRESSURE SETTLING INTO THE REGION.

&&

.AVIATION /03Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
HIGH CONFIDENCE IN VFR CONDITIONS FOR A MAJORITY OF THE TAF
PERIOD.

MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES OVERNIGHT WITH A FEW MIDDLE AND HIGH CLOUDS AS
A SHORTWAVE TROUGH SHIFTS EAST ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC AND
SOUTHEASTERN STATES. CANNOT RULE OUT RESTRICTIONS AT FOG PRONE
AGS/OGB IN EARLY MORNING FOG...ALTHOUGH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE APPEARS
QUITE LIMITED. HAVE HANDLED WITH A TEMPO GROUP AT AGS FOR NOW AND
WILL REFINE AS CONFIDENCE IMPROVES. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES OVER THE
REGION FOR TUESDAY AS A DRY COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST
AND PUSHES EAST TUESDAY EVENING. SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS HAVE BECOME
LIGHT OR CALM TONIGHT AND WILL AND PICK UP OUT OF THE WEST AT 5 TO
10 KNOTS AFTER DAYBREAK TUESDAY.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$









000
FXUS62 KCAE 210241
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
1041 PM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE OFF THE COAST WILL SHIFT FARTHER EASTWARD AND A WEAK
TROUGH MOVING INTO THE FORECAST AREA WILL SHIFT EAST OF THE AREA
OVERNIGHT. LITTLE MOISTURE WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROUGH. AN
APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT
BUT MOISTURE WILL REMAIN LIMITED. THE PRESSURE RIDGE BEHIND THE
FRONT WILL DOMINATE DURING THE REST OF THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/...
A MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED DEVELOPING SURFACE
TROUGH WILL SHIFT EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA OVERNIGHT. BELIEVE ANY
PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH WOULD NOT BE
MORE THAN SPRINKLES IN THE EXTREME NORTH PART BECAUSE OF THE DRY
LOW LEVELS. MID AND HIGH CLOUDINESS OVER THE FORECAST AREA SHOULD
DIMINISH IN THE WAKE OF THE MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH LATER
TONIGHT. IT WILL BE A LITTLE WARMER TONIGHT COMPARED TO LAST
NIGHT. AIR MASS MODIFICATION HAS OCCURRED WITH WARMING IN THE WEAK
SOUTHERLY FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE OFFSHORE HIGH AND DEVELOPING
TROUGH. THE TEMPERATURE GUIDANCE WAS CLOSE WITH LOWS IN THE MIDDLE
40S TO AROUND 50.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
THE MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE UPPER ENERGY WILL DIVE DOWN
FROM THE GREAT LAKES REGION INTO THE MID ATLANTIC TUESDAY...WITH
AN UPPER LOW CLOSING OFF TO OUR NORTHEAST. A SURFACE COLD FRONT
WILL CROSS THE FORECAST AREA LATE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT WITH A
VERY DRY ATMOSPHERE INITIALLY IN PLACE...IT CONTINUES TO APPEAR
THAT MOISTURE RETURN AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM WILL BE LIMITED FOR OUR
REGION. WILL CONTINUE WITH A DRY FORECAST WHICH IS SUPPORTED BY
ALL OF THE GFS AND NAM MOS WITH POPS LESS THAN 10 PERCENT. USED
THE GUIDANCE CONSENSUS FOR THE TEMPERATURE FORECAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST WILL GRADUALLY
SHIFT NORTHEAST...WHILE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MS RIVER VALLEY
RIDGES INTO OUR AREA FROM THE WEST. THIS WILL PROVIDE A CONTINUED
COOL AND DRY FLOW THROUGH THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL
GRADUALLY MODERATE TO NEAR NORMAL BY FRIDAY WITH WEAK HIGH
PRESSURE SETTLING INTO THE REGION.

&&

.AVIATION /03Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
HIGH CONFIDENCE IN VFR CONDITIONS FOR A MAJORITY OF THE TAF
PERIOD.

MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES OVERNIGHT WITH A FEW MIDDLE AND HIGH CLOUDS AS
A SHORTWAVE TROUGH SHIFTS EAST ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC AND
SOUTHEASTERN STATES. CANNOT RULE OUT RESTRICTIONS AT FOG PRONE
AGS/OGB IN EARLY MORNING FOG...ALTHOUGH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE APPEARS
QUITE LIMITED. HAVE HANDLED WITH A TEMPO GROUP AT AGS FOR NOW AND
WILL REFINE AS CONFIDENCE IMPROVES. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES OVER THE
REGION FOR TUESDAY AS A DRY COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST
AND PUSHES EAST TUESDAY EVENING. SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS HAVE BECOME
LIGHT OR CALM TONIGHT AND WILL AND PICK UP OUT OF THE WEST AT 5 TO
10 KNOTS AFTER DAYBREAK TUESDAY.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$










000
FXUS62 KCAE 210241
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
1041 PM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE OFF THE COAST WILL SHIFT FARTHER EASTWARD AND A WEAK
TROUGH MOVING INTO THE FORECAST AREA WILL SHIFT EAST OF THE AREA
OVERNIGHT. LITTLE MOISTURE WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROUGH. AN
APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT
BUT MOISTURE WILL REMAIN LIMITED. THE PRESSURE RIDGE BEHIND THE
FRONT WILL DOMINATE DURING THE REST OF THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/...
A MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED DEVELOPING SURFACE
TROUGH WILL SHIFT EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA OVERNIGHT. BELIEVE ANY
PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH WOULD NOT BE
MORE THAN SPRINKLES IN THE EXTREME NORTH PART BECAUSE OF THE DRY
LOW LEVELS. MID AND HIGH CLOUDINESS OVER THE FORECAST AREA SHOULD
DIMINISH IN THE WAKE OF THE MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH LATER
TONIGHT. IT WILL BE A LITTLE WARMER TONIGHT COMPARED TO LAST
NIGHT. AIR MASS MODIFICATION HAS OCCURRED WITH WARMING IN THE WEAK
SOUTHERLY FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE OFFSHORE HIGH AND DEVELOPING
TROUGH. THE TEMPERATURE GUIDANCE WAS CLOSE WITH LOWS IN THE MIDDLE
40S TO AROUND 50.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
THE MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE UPPER ENERGY WILL DIVE DOWN
FROM THE GREAT LAKES REGION INTO THE MID ATLANTIC TUESDAY...WITH
AN UPPER LOW CLOSING OFF TO OUR NORTHEAST. A SURFACE COLD FRONT
WILL CROSS THE FORECAST AREA LATE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT WITH A
VERY DRY ATMOSPHERE INITIALLY IN PLACE...IT CONTINUES TO APPEAR
THAT MOISTURE RETURN AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM WILL BE LIMITED FOR OUR
REGION. WILL CONTINUE WITH A DRY FORECAST WHICH IS SUPPORTED BY
ALL OF THE GFS AND NAM MOS WITH POPS LESS THAN 10 PERCENT. USED
THE GUIDANCE CONSENSUS FOR THE TEMPERATURE FORECAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST WILL GRADUALLY
SHIFT NORTHEAST...WHILE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MS RIVER VALLEY
RIDGES INTO OUR AREA FROM THE WEST. THIS WILL PROVIDE A CONTINUED
COOL AND DRY FLOW THROUGH THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL
GRADUALLY MODERATE TO NEAR NORMAL BY FRIDAY WITH WEAK HIGH
PRESSURE SETTLING INTO THE REGION.

&&

.AVIATION /03Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
HIGH CONFIDENCE IN VFR CONDITIONS FOR A MAJORITY OF THE TAF
PERIOD.

MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES OVERNIGHT WITH A FEW MIDDLE AND HIGH CLOUDS AS
A SHORTWAVE TROUGH SHIFTS EAST ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC AND
SOUTHEASTERN STATES. CANNOT RULE OUT RESTRICTIONS AT FOG PRONE
AGS/OGB IN EARLY MORNING FOG...ALTHOUGH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE APPEARS
QUITE LIMITED. HAVE HANDLED WITH A TEMPO GROUP AT AGS FOR NOW AND
WILL REFINE AS CONFIDENCE IMPROVES. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES OVER THE
REGION FOR TUESDAY AS A DRY COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST
AND PUSHES EAST TUESDAY EVENING. SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS HAVE BECOME
LIGHT OR CALM TONIGHT AND WILL AND PICK UP OUT OF THE WEST AT 5 TO
10 KNOTS AFTER DAYBREAK TUESDAY.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$










000
FXUS62 KCAE 210241
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
1041 PM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE OFF THE COAST WILL SHIFT FARTHER EASTWARD AND A WEAK
TROUGH MOVING INTO THE FORECAST AREA WILL SHIFT EAST OF THE AREA
OVERNIGHT. LITTLE MOISTURE WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROUGH. AN
APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT
BUT MOISTURE WILL REMAIN LIMITED. THE PRESSURE RIDGE BEHIND THE
FRONT WILL DOMINATE DURING THE REST OF THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/...
A MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED DEVELOPING SURFACE
TROUGH WILL SHIFT EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA OVERNIGHT. BELIEVE ANY
PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH WOULD NOT BE
MORE THAN SPRINKLES IN THE EXTREME NORTH PART BECAUSE OF THE DRY
LOW LEVELS. MID AND HIGH CLOUDINESS OVER THE FORECAST AREA SHOULD
DIMINISH IN THE WAKE OF THE MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH LATER
TONIGHT. IT WILL BE A LITTLE WARMER TONIGHT COMPARED TO LAST
NIGHT. AIR MASS MODIFICATION HAS OCCURRED WITH WARMING IN THE WEAK
SOUTHERLY FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE OFFSHORE HIGH AND DEVELOPING
TROUGH. THE TEMPERATURE GUIDANCE WAS CLOSE WITH LOWS IN THE MIDDLE
40S TO AROUND 50.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
THE MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE UPPER ENERGY WILL DIVE DOWN
FROM THE GREAT LAKES REGION INTO THE MID ATLANTIC TUESDAY...WITH
AN UPPER LOW CLOSING OFF TO OUR NORTHEAST. A SURFACE COLD FRONT
WILL CROSS THE FORECAST AREA LATE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT WITH A
VERY DRY ATMOSPHERE INITIALLY IN PLACE...IT CONTINUES TO APPEAR
THAT MOISTURE RETURN AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM WILL BE LIMITED FOR OUR
REGION. WILL CONTINUE WITH A DRY FORECAST WHICH IS SUPPORTED BY
ALL OF THE GFS AND NAM MOS WITH POPS LESS THAN 10 PERCENT. USED
THE GUIDANCE CONSENSUS FOR THE TEMPERATURE FORECAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST WILL GRADUALLY
SHIFT NORTHEAST...WHILE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MS RIVER VALLEY
RIDGES INTO OUR AREA FROM THE WEST. THIS WILL PROVIDE A CONTINUED
COOL AND DRY FLOW THROUGH THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL
GRADUALLY MODERATE TO NEAR NORMAL BY FRIDAY WITH WEAK HIGH
PRESSURE SETTLING INTO THE REGION.

&&

.AVIATION /03Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
HIGH CONFIDENCE IN VFR CONDITIONS FOR A MAJORITY OF THE TAF
PERIOD.

MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES OVERNIGHT WITH A FEW MIDDLE AND HIGH CLOUDS AS
A SHORTWAVE TROUGH SHIFTS EAST ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC AND
SOUTHEASTERN STATES. CANNOT RULE OUT RESTRICTIONS AT FOG PRONE
AGS/OGB IN EARLY MORNING FOG...ALTHOUGH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE APPEARS
QUITE LIMITED. HAVE HANDLED WITH A TEMPO GROUP AT AGS FOR NOW AND
WILL REFINE AS CONFIDENCE IMPROVES. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES OVER THE
REGION FOR TUESDAY AS A DRY COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST
AND PUSHES EAST TUESDAY EVENING. SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS HAVE BECOME
LIGHT OR CALM TONIGHT AND WILL AND PICK UP OUT OF THE WEST AT 5 TO
10 KNOTS AFTER DAYBREAK TUESDAY.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$









000
FXUS62 KCAE 210138
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
938 PM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE OFF THE COAST WILL SHIFT FARTHER EASTWARD AND A WEAK
TROUGH MOVING INTO THE FORECAST AREA WILL SHIFT EAST OF THE AREA
OVERNIGHT. LITTLE MOISTURE WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROUGH. AN
APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT
BUT MOISTURE WILL REMAIN LIMITED. THE PRESSURE RIDGE BEHIND THE
FRONT WILL DOMINATE DURING THE REST OF THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/...
A MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED DEVELOPING SURFACE
TROUGH WILL SHIFT EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA OVERNIGHT. DRY AIR IS
IN PLACE. SOME MID AND HIGH CLOUDINESS WAS OVER THE FORECAST AREA
THIS EVENING BUT THIS CLOUDINESS SHOULD DIMINISH IN THE WAKE OF
THE MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH LATER TONIGHT. IT WILL BE A LITTLE
WARMER TONIGHT COMPARED TO LAST NIGHT. AIR MASS MODIFICATION HAS
OCCURRED WITH WARMING IN THE WEAK SOUTHERLY FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH
THE OFFSHORE HIGH AND DEVELOPING TROUGH. THE TEMPERATURE GUIDANCE
WAS CLOSE WITH LOWS IN THE MIDDLE 40S TO AROUND 50.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
THE MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE UPPER ENERGY WILL DIVE DOWN
FROM THE GREAT LAKES REGION INTO THE MID ATLANTIC TUESDAY...WITH
AN UPPER LOW CLOSING OFF TO OUR NORTHEAST. A SURFACE COLD FRONT
WILL CROSS THE FORECAST AREA LATE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT WITH A
VERY DRY ATMOSPHERE INITIALLY IN PLACE...IT CONTINUES TO APPEAR
THAT MOISTURE RETURN AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM WILL BE LIMITED FOR OUR
REGION. WILL CONTINUE WITH A DRY FORECAST WHICH IS SUPPORTED BY
ALL OF THE GFS AND NAM MOS WITH POPS LESS THAN 10 PERCENT. USED
THE GUIDANCE CONSENSUS FOR THE TEMPERATURE FORECAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST WILL GRADUALLY
SHIFT NORTHEAST...WHILE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MS RIVER VALLEY
RIDGES INTO OUR AREA FROM THE WEST. THIS WILL PROVIDE A CONTINUED
COOL AND DRY FLOW THROUGH THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL
GRADUALLY MODERATE TO NEAR NORMAL BY FRIDAY WITH WEAK HIGH
PRESSURE SETTLING INTO THE REGION.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD.

MOST OF THE STRATOCUMULUS FROM THIS AFTERNOON HAS BEGUN TO
DISSIPATE WITH SUNSET....MAKING WAY FOR MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES
OVERNIGHT WITH A FEW MIDDLE AND HIGH CLOUDS. CANNOT RULE OUT
FLUCTUATING RESTRICTIONS AT FOG PRONE AGS...ALTHOUGH LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE APPEARS QUITE LIMITED. HAVE HANDLED WITH A TEMPO GROUP
FOR NOW AND WILL REFINE AS CONFIDENCE IMPROVES. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES
OVER THE REGION FOR TUESDAY AS A DRY COLD FRONT PUSHES EAST.
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS HAVE BECOME LIGHT OR CALM THIS EVENING AND
WILL AND PICK UP OUT OF THE WEST AT 5 TO 10 KNOTS AFTER DAYBREAK
TUESDAY.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$







000
FXUS62 KCAE 202341
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
741 PM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE OFF THE COAST WILL SHIFT FARTHER EASTWARD TONIGHT. A
WEAK TROUGH MOVING INTO THE FORECAST AREA WILL SHIFT EAST OF THE
AREA OVERNIGHT. LITTLE MOISTURE WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
FEATURE. AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA
TUESDAY NIGHT BUT MOISTURE WILL REMAIN LIMITED. THE PRESSURE RIDGE
BEHIND THE FRONT WILL DOMINATE DURING THE REST OF THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/...
A MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED DEVELOPING SURFACE
TROUGH WILL SHIFT EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA OVERNIGHT. DRY AIR IS
IN PLACE. SATELLITE TRENDS SUPPORT SOME THIN HIGH CLOUDINESS
SHOULD CONTINUE TONIGHT. IT WILL BE A LITTLE WARMER TONIGHT
COMPARED TO LAST NIGHT. AIR MASS MODIFICATION HAS OCCURRED WITH
WARMING IN THE WEAK SOUTHERLY FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE OFFSHORE
HIGH AND DEVELOPING TROUGH. THE TEMPERATURE GUIDANCE WAS CLOSE
WITH LOWS IN THE MIDDLE 40S TO AROUND 50.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
THE MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE UPPER ENERGY WILL DIVE DOWN
FROM THE GREAT LAKES REGION INTO THE MID ATLANTIC TUESDAY...WITH
AN UPPER LOW CLOSING OFF TO OUR NORTHEAST. A SURFACE COLD FRONT
WILL CROSS THE FORECAST AREA LATE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT WITH A
VERY DRY ATMOSPHERE INITIALLY IN PLACE...IT CONTINUES TO APPEAR
THAT MOISTURE RETURN AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM WILL BE LIMITED FOR OUR
REGION. WILL CONTINUE WITH A DRY FORECAST WHICH IS SUPPORTED BY
ALL OF THE GFS AND NAM MOS WITH POPS LESS THAN 10 PERCENT. USED
THE GUIDANCE CONSENSUS FOR THE TEMPERATURE FORECAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST WILL GRADUALLY
SHIFT NORTHEAST...WHILE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MS RIVER VALLEY
RIDGES INTO OUR AREA FROM THE WEST. THIS WILL PROVIDE A CONTINUED
COOL AND DRY FLOW THROUGH THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL
GRADUALLY MODERATE TO NEAR NORMAL BY FRIDAY WITH WEAK HIGH
PRESSURE SETTLING INTO THE REGION.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD.

MOST OF THE STRATOCUMULUS FROM THIS AFTERNOON HAS BEGUN TO
DISSIPATE WITH SUNSET....MAKING WAY FOR MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES
OVERNIGHT WITH A FEW MIDDLE AND HIGH CLOUDS. CANNOT RULE OUT
FLUCTUATING RESTRICTIONS AT FOG PRONE AGS...ALTHOUGH LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE APPEARS QUITE LIMITED. HAVE HANDLED WITH A TEMPO GROUP
FOR NOW AND WILL REFINE AS CONFIDENCE IMPROVES. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES
OVER THE REGION FOR TUESDAY AS A DRY COLD FRONT PUSHES EAST.
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS HAVE BECOME LIGHT OR CALM THIS EVENING AND
WILL AND PICK UP OUT OF THE WEST AT 5 TO 10 KNOTS AFTER DAYBREAK
TUESDAY.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$








000
FXUS62 KCAE 202341
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
741 PM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE OFF THE COAST WILL SHIFT FARTHER EASTWARD TONIGHT. A
WEAK TROUGH MOVING INTO THE FORECAST AREA WILL SHIFT EAST OF THE
AREA OVERNIGHT. LITTLE MOISTURE WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
FEATURE. AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA
TUESDAY NIGHT BUT MOISTURE WILL REMAIN LIMITED. THE PRESSURE RIDGE
BEHIND THE FRONT WILL DOMINATE DURING THE REST OF THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/...
A MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED DEVELOPING SURFACE
TROUGH WILL SHIFT EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA OVERNIGHT. DRY AIR IS
IN PLACE. SATELLITE TRENDS SUPPORT SOME THIN HIGH CLOUDINESS
SHOULD CONTINUE TONIGHT. IT WILL BE A LITTLE WARMER TONIGHT
COMPARED TO LAST NIGHT. AIR MASS MODIFICATION HAS OCCURRED WITH
WARMING IN THE WEAK SOUTHERLY FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE OFFSHORE
HIGH AND DEVELOPING TROUGH. THE TEMPERATURE GUIDANCE WAS CLOSE
WITH LOWS IN THE MIDDLE 40S TO AROUND 50.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
THE MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE UPPER ENERGY WILL DIVE DOWN
FROM THE GREAT LAKES REGION INTO THE MID ATLANTIC TUESDAY...WITH
AN UPPER LOW CLOSING OFF TO OUR NORTHEAST. A SURFACE COLD FRONT
WILL CROSS THE FORECAST AREA LATE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT WITH A
VERY DRY ATMOSPHERE INITIALLY IN PLACE...IT CONTINUES TO APPEAR
THAT MOISTURE RETURN AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM WILL BE LIMITED FOR OUR
REGION. WILL CONTINUE WITH A DRY FORECAST WHICH IS SUPPORTED BY
ALL OF THE GFS AND NAM MOS WITH POPS LESS THAN 10 PERCENT. USED
THE GUIDANCE CONSENSUS FOR THE TEMPERATURE FORECAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST WILL GRADUALLY
SHIFT NORTHEAST...WHILE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MS RIVER VALLEY
RIDGES INTO OUR AREA FROM THE WEST. THIS WILL PROVIDE A CONTINUED
COOL AND DRY FLOW THROUGH THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL
GRADUALLY MODERATE TO NEAR NORMAL BY FRIDAY WITH WEAK HIGH
PRESSURE SETTLING INTO THE REGION.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD.

MOST OF THE STRATOCUMULUS FROM THIS AFTERNOON HAS BEGUN TO
DISSIPATE WITH SUNSET....MAKING WAY FOR MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES
OVERNIGHT WITH A FEW MIDDLE AND HIGH CLOUDS. CANNOT RULE OUT
FLUCTUATING RESTRICTIONS AT FOG PRONE AGS...ALTHOUGH LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE APPEARS QUITE LIMITED. HAVE HANDLED WITH A TEMPO GROUP
FOR NOW AND WILL REFINE AS CONFIDENCE IMPROVES. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES
OVER THE REGION FOR TUESDAY AS A DRY COLD FRONT PUSHES EAST.
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS HAVE BECOME LIGHT OR CALM THIS EVENING AND
WILL AND PICK UP OUT OF THE WEST AT 5 TO 10 KNOTS AFTER DAYBREAK
TUESDAY.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$







000
FXUS62 KCAE 202036
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
436 PM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE OFF THE COAST WILL SHIFT FARTHER EASTWARD TONIGHT. A
WEAK TROUGH MOVING INTO THE FORECAST AREA WILL SHIFT EAST OF THE
AREA OVERNIGHT. LITTLE MOISTURE WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
FEATURE. AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA
TUESDAY NIGHT BUT MOISTURE WILL REMAIN LIMITED. THE PRESSURE RIDGE
BEHIND THE FRONT WILL DOMINATE DURING THE REST OF THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/...
A MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED DEVELOPING SURFACE
TROUGH WILL SHIFT EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA OVERNIGHT. DRY AIR IS
IN PLACE. SOME STRATOCUMULUS OVER PART OF THE AREA WILL DISSIPATE
WITH THE LOSS OF HEATING THIS EVENING. SATELLITE TRENDS SUPPORT
SOME THIN HIGH CLOUDINESS SHOULD CONTINUE TONIGHT. IT WILL BE A
LITTLE WARMER TONIGHT COMPARED TO LAST NIGHT. AIR MASS
MODIFICATION HAS OCCURRED WITH WARMING IN THE WEAK SOUTHERLY FLOW
ASSOCIATED WITH THE OFFSHORE HIGH AND DEVELOPING TROUGH. THE
TEMPERATURE GUIDANCE WAS CLOSE WITH LOWS IN THE MIDDLE 40S TO
AROUND 50.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
THE MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE UPPER ENERGY WILL DIVE DOWN
FROM THE GREAT LAKES REGION INTO THE MID ATLANTIC TUESDAY...WITH
AN UPPER LOW CLOSING OFF TO OUR NORTHEAST. A SURFACE COLD FRONT
WILL CROSS THE FORECAST AREA LATE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT WITH A
VERY DRY ATMOSPHERE INITIALLY IN PLACE...IT CONTINUES TO APPEAR
THAT MOISTURE RETURN AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM WILL BE LIMITED FOR OUR
REGION. WILL CONTINUE WITH A DRY FORECAST WHICH IS SUPPORTED BY
ALL OF THE GFS AND NAM MOS WITH POPS LESS THAN 10 PERCENT. USED
THE GUIDANCE CONSENSUS FOR THE TEMPERATURE FORECAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST WILL GRADUALLY
SHIFT NORTHEAST...WHILE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MS RIVER VALLEY
RIDGES INTO OUR AREA FROM THE WEST. THIS WILL PROVIDE A CONTINUED
COOL AND DRY FLOW THROUGH THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL
GRADUALLY MODERATE TO NEAR NORMAL BY FRIDAY WITH WEAK HIGH
PRESSURE SETTLING INTO THE REGION.

&&

.AVIATION /21Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD.

VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY LATE THIS AFTERNOON SHOWS A FEW
STRATOCUMULUS AND A FEW HIGH CLOUDS ACROSS THE REGION. EXPECT
STRATOCUMULUS TO FADE WITH SUNSET...MAKING WAY FOR MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES OVERNIGHT WITH A FEW THIN HIGH CLOUDS REMAINING. LIGHT
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL BECOME CALM OVERNIGHT AND PICK UP OUT OF
THE WEST AFTER DAYBREAK TUESDAY. CANNOT RULE OUT FLUCTUATING
RESTRICTIONS AT FOG PRONE AGS...ALTHOUGH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
APPEARS QUITE LIMITED. CLEAR SKIES OVER THE REGION FOR TUESDAY.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$







000
FXUS62 KCAE 202036
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
436 PM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE OFF THE COAST WILL SHIFT FARTHER EASTWARD TONIGHT. A
WEAK TROUGH MOVING INTO THE FORECAST AREA WILL SHIFT EAST OF THE
AREA OVERNIGHT. LITTLE MOISTURE WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
FEATURE. AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA
TUESDAY NIGHT BUT MOISTURE WILL REMAIN LIMITED. THE PRESSURE RIDGE
BEHIND THE FRONT WILL DOMINATE DURING THE REST OF THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/...
A MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED DEVELOPING SURFACE
TROUGH WILL SHIFT EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA OVERNIGHT. DRY AIR IS
IN PLACE. SOME STRATOCUMULUS OVER PART OF THE AREA WILL DISSIPATE
WITH THE LOSS OF HEATING THIS EVENING. SATELLITE TRENDS SUPPORT
SOME THIN HIGH CLOUDINESS SHOULD CONTINUE TONIGHT. IT WILL BE A
LITTLE WARMER TONIGHT COMPARED TO LAST NIGHT. AIR MASS
MODIFICATION HAS OCCURRED WITH WARMING IN THE WEAK SOUTHERLY FLOW
ASSOCIATED WITH THE OFFSHORE HIGH AND DEVELOPING TROUGH. THE
TEMPERATURE GUIDANCE WAS CLOSE WITH LOWS IN THE MIDDLE 40S TO
AROUND 50.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
THE MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE UPPER ENERGY WILL DIVE DOWN
FROM THE GREAT LAKES REGION INTO THE MID ATLANTIC TUESDAY...WITH
AN UPPER LOW CLOSING OFF TO OUR NORTHEAST. A SURFACE COLD FRONT
WILL CROSS THE FORECAST AREA LATE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT WITH A
VERY DRY ATMOSPHERE INITIALLY IN PLACE...IT CONTINUES TO APPEAR
THAT MOISTURE RETURN AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM WILL BE LIMITED FOR OUR
REGION. WILL CONTINUE WITH A DRY FORECAST WHICH IS SUPPORTED BY
ALL OF THE GFS AND NAM MOS WITH POPS LESS THAN 10 PERCENT. USED
THE GUIDANCE CONSENSUS FOR THE TEMPERATURE FORECAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST WILL GRADUALLY
SHIFT NORTHEAST...WHILE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MS RIVER VALLEY
RIDGES INTO OUR AREA FROM THE WEST. THIS WILL PROVIDE A CONTINUED
COOL AND DRY FLOW THROUGH THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL
GRADUALLY MODERATE TO NEAR NORMAL BY FRIDAY WITH WEAK HIGH
PRESSURE SETTLING INTO THE REGION.

&&

.AVIATION /21Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD.

VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY LATE THIS AFTERNOON SHOWS A FEW
STRATOCUMULUS AND A FEW HIGH CLOUDS ACROSS THE REGION. EXPECT
STRATOCUMULUS TO FADE WITH SUNSET...MAKING WAY FOR MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES OVERNIGHT WITH A FEW THIN HIGH CLOUDS REMAINING. LIGHT
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL BECOME CALM OVERNIGHT AND PICK UP OUT OF
THE WEST AFTER DAYBREAK TUESDAY. CANNOT RULE OUT FLUCTUATING
RESTRICTIONS AT FOG PRONE AGS...ALTHOUGH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
APPEARS QUITE LIMITED. CLEAR SKIES OVER THE REGION FOR TUESDAY.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$








000
FXUS62 KCAE 202000
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
400 PM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE OFF THE COAST WILL SHIFT FARTHER
EASTWARD TONIGHT. A WEAK TROUGH MOVING INTO THE FORECAST AREA WILL
SHIFT EAST OF THE AREA OVERNIGHT. LITTLE MOISTURE WILL BE
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE. AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
THROUGH THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT BUT MOISTURE WILL REMAIN LIMITED.
THE PRESSURE RIDGE BEHIND THE FRONT WILL DOMINATE DURING THE REST
OF THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/...
A MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED DEVELOPING SURFACE
TROUGH WILL SHIFT EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA OVERNIGHT. DRY AIR IS
IN PLACE. SOME STRATOCUMULUS OVER PART OF THE AREA WILL DISSIPATE
WITH THE LOSS OF HEATING THIS EVENING. SATELLITE TRENDS SUPPORT
SOME THIN HIGH CLOUDINESS SHOULD CONTINUE TONIGHT. IT WILL BE A
LITTLE WARMER TONIGHT COMPARED TO LAST NIGHT. AIR MASS
MODIFICATION HAS OCCURRED WITH WARMING IN THE WEAK SOUTHERLY FLOW
ASSOCIATED WITH THE OFFSHORE HIGH AND DEVELOPING TROUGH. THE
TEMPERATURE GUIDANCE WAS CLOSE WITH LOWS IN THE MIDDLE 40S TO
AROUND 50.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
THE MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE UPPER ENERGY WILL DIVE DOWN
FROM THE GREAT LAKES REGION INTO THE MID ATLANTIC TUESDAY...WITH
AN UPPER LOW CLOSING OFF TO OUR NORTHEAST. A SURFACE COLD FRONT
WILL CROSS THE FORECAST AREA LATE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT WITH A
VERY DRY ATMOSPHERE INITIALLY IN PLACE...IT CONTINUES TO APPEAR
THAT MOISTURE RETURN AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM WILL BE LIMITED FOR OUR
REGION. WILL CONTINUE WITH A DRY FORECAST WHICH IS SUPPORTED BY
ALL OF THE GFS AND NAM MOS WITH POPS LESS THAN 10 PERCENT. USED
THE GUIDANCE CONSENSUS FOR THE TEMPERATURE FORECAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST WILL GRADUALLY
SHIFT NORTHEAST...WHILE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MS RIVER VALLEY
RIDGES INTO OUR AREA FROM THE WEST. THIS WILL PROVIDE A CONTINUED
COOL AND DRY FLOW THROUGH THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL
GRADUALLY MODERATE TO NEAR NORMAL BY FRIDAY WITH WEAK HIGH
PRESSURE SETTLING INTO THE REGION.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD.

CLEAR SKIES FOR THE MAJORITY OF THE REGION WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
NIGHT. A FEW AFTERNOON CUMULUS WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE COAST AS
ONSHORE FLOW INCREASES. LIGHT SW WINDS ARE EXPECTED THE REST OF THE
DAY BECOMING CALM OVERNIGHT. LIGHT SOUTHERLY WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES
OVER THE REGION TUESDAY.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$







000
FXUS62 KCAE 202000
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
400 PM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE OFF THE COAST WILL SHIFT FARTHER
EASTWARD TONIGHT. A WEAK TROUGH MOVING INTO THE FORECAST AREA WILL
SHIFT EAST OF THE AREA OVERNIGHT. LITTLE MOISTURE WILL BE
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE. AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
THROUGH THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT BUT MOISTURE WILL REMAIN LIMITED.
THE PRESSURE RIDGE BEHIND THE FRONT WILL DOMINATE DURING THE REST
OF THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/...
A MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED DEVELOPING SURFACE
TROUGH WILL SHIFT EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA OVERNIGHT. DRY AIR IS
IN PLACE. SOME STRATOCUMULUS OVER PART OF THE AREA WILL DISSIPATE
WITH THE LOSS OF HEATING THIS EVENING. SATELLITE TRENDS SUPPORT
SOME THIN HIGH CLOUDINESS SHOULD CONTINUE TONIGHT. IT WILL BE A
LITTLE WARMER TONIGHT COMPARED TO LAST NIGHT. AIR MASS
MODIFICATION HAS OCCURRED WITH WARMING IN THE WEAK SOUTHERLY FLOW
ASSOCIATED WITH THE OFFSHORE HIGH AND DEVELOPING TROUGH. THE
TEMPERATURE GUIDANCE WAS CLOSE WITH LOWS IN THE MIDDLE 40S TO
AROUND 50.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
THE MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE UPPER ENERGY WILL DIVE DOWN
FROM THE GREAT LAKES REGION INTO THE MID ATLANTIC TUESDAY...WITH
AN UPPER LOW CLOSING OFF TO OUR NORTHEAST. A SURFACE COLD FRONT
WILL CROSS THE FORECAST AREA LATE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT WITH A
VERY DRY ATMOSPHERE INITIALLY IN PLACE...IT CONTINUES TO APPEAR
THAT MOISTURE RETURN AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM WILL BE LIMITED FOR OUR
REGION. WILL CONTINUE WITH A DRY FORECAST WHICH IS SUPPORTED BY
ALL OF THE GFS AND NAM MOS WITH POPS LESS THAN 10 PERCENT. USED
THE GUIDANCE CONSENSUS FOR THE TEMPERATURE FORECAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST WILL GRADUALLY
SHIFT NORTHEAST...WHILE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MS RIVER VALLEY
RIDGES INTO OUR AREA FROM THE WEST. THIS WILL PROVIDE A CONTINUED
COOL AND DRY FLOW THROUGH THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL
GRADUALLY MODERATE TO NEAR NORMAL BY FRIDAY WITH WEAK HIGH
PRESSURE SETTLING INTO THE REGION.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD.

CLEAR SKIES FOR THE MAJORITY OF THE REGION WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
NIGHT. A FEW AFTERNOON CUMULUS WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE COAST AS
ONSHORE FLOW INCREASES. LIGHT SW WINDS ARE EXPECTED THE REST OF THE
DAY BECOMING CALM OVERNIGHT. LIGHT SOUTHERLY WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES
OVER THE REGION TUESDAY.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$








000
FXUS62 KCAE 201727
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
127 PM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
COOL DRY HIGH PRESSURE CURRENTLY CENTERED OVER THE FORECAST AREA
WILL SHIFT OFF THE COAST LATER TODAY. A DRY COLD FRONT WILL CROSS
THE AREA TUESDAY. DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL RETURN WEDNESDAY THROUGH
THE END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE WITH CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT TO CALM
WINDS. TEMPS TO RISE INTO THE 70S THIS AFTERNOON WITH OVERNIGHT
LOWS BACK INTO THE MID 40S TO AROUND 50.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE UPPER ENERGY WILL DIVE DOWN
FROM THE GREAT LAKES REGION SE INTO THE MID ATLANTIC TUESDAY...WITH
UPPER LOW CLOSING OFF TO OUR NORTHEAST. SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL
CROSS THE AREA LATE TUE/TUE NT. WITH A VERY DRY ATMOSPHERE
INITIALLY IN PLACE...IT CONTINUES TO APPEAR THAT MOISTURE RETURN
AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM WILL BE LIMITED FOR OUR REGION. WILL CONTINUE
TO KEEP FORECAST DRY. FORECAST HIGHS TUESDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE
MIDDLE 70S NORTH TO AROUND 80 SOUTH.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST WILL GRADUALLY
SHIFT NORTHEAST...WHILE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MS RIVER VALLEY
RIDGES INTO OUR AREA FROM THE WEST. THIS WILL PROVIDE A CONTINUED
COOL AND DRY FLOW THROUGH THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL
GRADUALLY MODERATE TO NEAR NORMAL BY FRIDAY INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEKEND WITH WEAK HIGH PRESSURE SETTLING INTO THE REGION.

&&

.AVIATION /17Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD.

CLEAR SKIES FOR THE MAJORITY OF THE REGION WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
NIGHT. A FEW AFTERNOON CUMULUS WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE COAST AS
ONSHORE FLOW INCREASES. LIGHT SW WINDS ARE EXPECTED THE REST OF THE
DAY BECOMING CALM OVERNIGHT. LIGHT SOUTHERLY WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES
OVER THE REGION TUESDAY.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$







000
FXUS62 KCAE 201727
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
127 PM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
COOL DRY HIGH PRESSURE CURRENTLY CENTERED OVER THE FORECAST AREA
WILL SHIFT OFF THE COAST LATER TODAY. A DRY COLD FRONT WILL CROSS
THE AREA TUESDAY. DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL RETURN WEDNESDAY THROUGH
THE END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE WITH CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT TO CALM
WINDS. TEMPS TO RISE INTO THE 70S THIS AFTERNOON WITH OVERNIGHT
LOWS BACK INTO THE MID 40S TO AROUND 50.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE UPPER ENERGY WILL DIVE DOWN
FROM THE GREAT LAKES REGION SE INTO THE MID ATLANTIC TUESDAY...WITH
UPPER LOW CLOSING OFF TO OUR NORTHEAST. SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL
CROSS THE AREA LATE TUE/TUE NT. WITH A VERY DRY ATMOSPHERE
INITIALLY IN PLACE...IT CONTINUES TO APPEAR THAT MOISTURE RETURN
AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM WILL BE LIMITED FOR OUR REGION. WILL CONTINUE
TO KEEP FORECAST DRY. FORECAST HIGHS TUESDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE
MIDDLE 70S NORTH TO AROUND 80 SOUTH.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST WILL GRADUALLY
SHIFT NORTHEAST...WHILE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MS RIVER VALLEY
RIDGES INTO OUR AREA FROM THE WEST. THIS WILL PROVIDE A CONTINUED
COOL AND DRY FLOW THROUGH THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL
GRADUALLY MODERATE TO NEAR NORMAL BY FRIDAY INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEKEND WITH WEAK HIGH PRESSURE SETTLING INTO THE REGION.

&&

.AVIATION /17Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD.

CLEAR SKIES FOR THE MAJORITY OF THE REGION WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
NIGHT. A FEW AFTERNOON CUMULUS WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE COAST AS
ONSHORE FLOW INCREASES. LIGHT SW WINDS ARE EXPECTED THE REST OF THE
DAY BECOMING CALM OVERNIGHT. LIGHT SOUTHERLY WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES
OVER THE REGION TUESDAY.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$








000
FXUS62 KCAE 201428
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
1028 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
COOL DRY HIGH PRESSURE CURRENTLY CENTERED OVER THE FORECAST AREA
WILL SHIFT OFF THE COAST LATER TODAY. A DRY COLD FRONT WILL CROSS
THE AREA TUESDAY. DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL RETURN WEDNESDAY THROUGH
THE END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE WITH CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT TO CALM
WINDS. TEMPS TO RISE INTO THE 70S THIS AFTERNOON WITH OVERNIGHT
LOWS BACK INTO THE MID 40S TO AROUND 50.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE UPPER ENERGY WILL DIVE DOWN
FROM THE GREAT LAKES REGION SE INTO THE MID ATLANTIC TONIGHT AND
TUESDAY...WITH UPPER LOW CLOSING OFF TO OUR NORTHEAST. SURFACE
COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA LATE TUE/TUE NT. WITH A VERY DRY
ATMOSPHERE INITIALLY IN PLACE...IT CONTINUES TO APPEAR THAT
MOISTURE RETURN AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM WILL BE LIMITED FOR OUR
REGION. WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP FORECAST DRY.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST WILL GRADUALLY
SHIFT NORTHEAST...WHILE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MS RIVER VALLEY
RIDGES INTO OUR AREA FROM THE WEST. THIS WILL PROVIDE A CONTINUED
COOL AND DRY FLOW THROUGH THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY
MODERATE TO NEAR NORMAL FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND WITH WEAK HIGH
PRESSURE SETTLING INTO THE REGION.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD.

SCATTERED CIRRUS WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT WITH LIGHT WINDS. SOME
BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING COMBINED WITH VERY DRY LOW LEVELS SHOULD
KEEP FOG FROM FORMING THIS MORNING...BUT WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR
SATELLITE TRENDS. HIGH PRESSURE MOVES EAST OF THE REGION LATER
TODAY...AND BY AFTERNOON LIGHT SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED. A FEW
CU MAY DEVELOP WITH PEAK HEATING THIS AFTERNOON...BUT THAT SHOULD
BE THE EXTENT OF ANY CLOUD COVER THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. CLEAR AND
CALM MONDAY EVENING.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

MANNING

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$








000
FXUS62 KCAE 201428
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
1028 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
COOL DRY HIGH PRESSURE CURRENTLY CENTERED OVER THE FORECAST AREA
WILL SHIFT OFF THE COAST LATER TODAY. A DRY COLD FRONT WILL CROSS
THE AREA TUESDAY. DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL RETURN WEDNESDAY THROUGH
THE END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE WITH CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT TO CALM
WINDS. TEMPS TO RISE INTO THE 70S THIS AFTERNOON WITH OVERNIGHT
LOWS BACK INTO THE MID 40S TO AROUND 50.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE UPPER ENERGY WILL DIVE DOWN
FROM THE GREAT LAKES REGION SE INTO THE MID ATLANTIC TONIGHT AND
TUESDAY...WITH UPPER LOW CLOSING OFF TO OUR NORTHEAST. SURFACE
COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA LATE TUE/TUE NT. WITH A VERY DRY
ATMOSPHERE INITIALLY IN PLACE...IT CONTINUES TO APPEAR THAT
MOISTURE RETURN AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM WILL BE LIMITED FOR OUR
REGION. WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP FORECAST DRY.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST WILL GRADUALLY
SHIFT NORTHEAST...WHILE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MS RIVER VALLEY
RIDGES INTO OUR AREA FROM THE WEST. THIS WILL PROVIDE A CONTINUED
COOL AND DRY FLOW THROUGH THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY
MODERATE TO NEAR NORMAL FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND WITH WEAK HIGH
PRESSURE SETTLING INTO THE REGION.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD.

SCATTERED CIRRUS WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT WITH LIGHT WINDS. SOME
BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING COMBINED WITH VERY DRY LOW LEVELS SHOULD
KEEP FOG FROM FORMING THIS MORNING...BUT WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR
SATELLITE TRENDS. HIGH PRESSURE MOVES EAST OF THE REGION LATER
TODAY...AND BY AFTERNOON LIGHT SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED. A FEW
CU MAY DEVELOP WITH PEAK HEATING THIS AFTERNOON...BUT THAT SHOULD
BE THE EXTENT OF ANY CLOUD COVER THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. CLEAR AND
CALM MONDAY EVENING.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

MANNING

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$







000
FXUS62 KCAE 200604
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
204 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
COOL DRY HIGH PRESSURE CURRENTLY CENTERED OVER THE FORECAST AREA
WILL SHIFT OFF THE COAST LATER TODAY. A DRY COLD FRONT WILL CROSS
THE AREA TUESDAY. DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL RETURN WEDNESDAY THROUGH
THE END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
DRY HIGH PRESSURE CURRENTLY CENTERED OVER THE REGION WILL SHIFT TO
OUR EAST LATER TODAY. AFTER A COOL START...SUNSHINE AND WEAK WARM
ADVECTION WILL ALLOW MAX TEMPS TO REBOUND TO NEAR CLIMO.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE UPPER ENERGY WILL DIVE DOWN
FROM THE GREAT LAKES REGION SE INTO THE MID ATLANTIC TONIGHT AND
TUESDAY...WITH UPPER LOW CLOSING OFF TO OUR NORTHEAST. SURFACE
COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA LATE TUE/TUE NT. WITH A VERY DRY
ATMOSPHERE INITIALLY IN PLACE...IT CONTINUES TO APPEAR THAT
MOISTURE RETURN AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM WILL BE LIMITED FOR OUR
REGION. WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP FORECAST DRY.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST WILL GRADUALLY
SHIFT NORTHEAST...WHILE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MS RIVER VALLEY
RIDGES INTO OUR AREA FROM THE WEST. THIS WILL PROVIDE A CONTINUED
COOL AND DRY FLOW THROUGH THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY
MODERATE TO NEAR NORMAL FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND WITH WEAK HIGH
PRESSURE SETTLING INTO THE REGION.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD.

SCATTERED CIRRUS WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT WITH LIGHT WINDS. SOME
BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING COMBINED WITH VERY DRY LOW LEVELS SHOULD
KEEP FOG FROM FORMING THIS MORNING...BUT WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR
SATELLITE TRENDS. HIGH PRESSURE MOVES EAST OF THE REGION LATER
TODAY...AND BY AFTERNOON LIGHT SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED. A FEW
CU MAY DEVELOP WITH PEAK HEATING THIS AFTERNOON...BUT THAT SHOULD
BE THE EXTENT OF ANY CLOUD COVER THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. CLEAR AND
CALM MONDAY EVENING.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

MANNING

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$








000
FXUS62 KCAE 200604
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
204 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
COOL DRY HIGH PRESSURE CURRENTLY CENTERED OVER THE FORECAST AREA
WILL SHIFT OFF THE COAST LATER TODAY. A DRY COLD FRONT WILL CROSS
THE AREA TUESDAY. DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL RETURN WEDNESDAY THROUGH
THE END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
DRY HIGH PRESSURE CURRENTLY CENTERED OVER THE REGION WILL SHIFT TO
OUR EAST LATER TODAY. AFTER A COOL START...SUNSHINE AND WEAK WARM
ADVECTION WILL ALLOW MAX TEMPS TO REBOUND TO NEAR CLIMO.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE UPPER ENERGY WILL DIVE DOWN
FROM THE GREAT LAKES REGION SE INTO THE MID ATLANTIC TONIGHT AND
TUESDAY...WITH UPPER LOW CLOSING OFF TO OUR NORTHEAST. SURFACE
COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA LATE TUE/TUE NT. WITH A VERY DRY
ATMOSPHERE INITIALLY IN PLACE...IT CONTINUES TO APPEAR THAT
MOISTURE RETURN AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM WILL BE LIMITED FOR OUR
REGION. WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP FORECAST DRY.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST WILL GRADUALLY
SHIFT NORTHEAST...WHILE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MS RIVER VALLEY
RIDGES INTO OUR AREA FROM THE WEST. THIS WILL PROVIDE A CONTINUED
COOL AND DRY FLOW THROUGH THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY
MODERATE TO NEAR NORMAL FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND WITH WEAK HIGH
PRESSURE SETTLING INTO THE REGION.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD.

SCATTERED CIRRUS WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT WITH LIGHT WINDS. SOME
BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING COMBINED WITH VERY DRY LOW LEVELS SHOULD
KEEP FOG FROM FORMING THIS MORNING...BUT WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR
SATELLITE TRENDS. HIGH PRESSURE MOVES EAST OF THE REGION LATER
TODAY...AND BY AFTERNOON LIGHT SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED. A FEW
CU MAY DEVELOP WITH PEAK HEATING THIS AFTERNOON...BUT THAT SHOULD
BE THE EXTENT OF ANY CLOUD COVER THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. CLEAR AND
CALM MONDAY EVENING.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

MANNING

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$







000
FXUS62 KCAE 200509
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
109 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
COOL AND DRY HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE FORECAST AREA
TONIGHT WILL SHIFT OFF THE COAST MONDAY. A COLD FRONT WITH
LIMITED MOISTURE WILL CROSS THE AREA TUESDAY. DRY HIGH PRESSURE
WILL RETURN WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/...
THE PRESSURE RIDGE WILL BE OVER THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT. WINDS
WILL BE LIGHT UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. SATELLITE TRENDS INDICATE
JUST THIN HIGH CLOUDINESS. STRONG NET RADIATIONAL COOLING WILL OCCUR.
THE MAV AND MET MOS HAVE LOWS NEAR 40. THE IN-HOUSE RADIATION
SCHEME INDICATES SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPERATURES AND THIS GUIDANCE
APPEARS ON TRACK BASED ON TEMPERATURE AND DEWPOINT TRENDS DURING
THE EVENING.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
DRY WEATHER TO CONTINUE THROUGH MIDWEEK.

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE FORECAST AREA EARLY MONDAY WILL
SLIDE OFFSHORE BY AFTERNOON. A DRY AIR MASS WILL REMAIN IN
PLACE...THOUGH WITH THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW SHIFTING SOUTHWEST...
TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE TO NEAR NORMAL WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS IN
THE MID AND UPPER 70S.

AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL DEEPEN OVER THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE
NATION MONDAY AND TUESDAY. A DEEP CLOSED LOW IS EXPECTED TO EVOLVE
OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC BY WEDNESDAY AS ADDITIONAL AMPLIFICATION
OCCURS. A SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA TUESDAY WITH
LITTLE IMPACT GIVEN A DRY ATMOSPHERE IN PLACE. DOWNSLOPE FLOW WILL
COUNTER WEAK COLD AIR ADVECTION...SO AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES SHOULD
REACH 75 TO 80 TUESDAY.

THERE WILL BE DEEP CYCLONIC FLOW AND COLD AIR ADVECTION ACROSS
THE REGION WEDNESDAY. SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WILL DEEPEN OFF THE
MID-ATLANTIC COAST WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MS RIVER VALLEY
BUILDING INTO THE FORECAST AREA. EVEN UNDER SUNNY SKIES AFTERNOON
HIGHS WILL ONLY REACH THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. OVERNIGHT LOWS IN
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S MONDAY AND TUESDAY WILL RANGE THROUGH THE 40S
WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST WILL GRADUALLY
SHIFT NORTHEAST THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK...WHILE HIGH PRESSURE
OVER THE MS RIVER VALLEY RIDGES INTO OUR AREA FROM THE WEST. COOL
AND DRY AIR WILL LINGER THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK...THEN
TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE TO NEAR NORMAL FOR THE WEEKEND. NO
PRECIPITATION IS FORECAST THROUGH SUNDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD.

SCATTERED CIRRUS WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT WITH LIGHT WINDS. SOME
BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING COMBINED WITH VERY DRY LOW LEVELS SHOULD
KEEP FOG FROM FORMING THIS MORNING...BUT WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR
SATELLITE TRENDS. HIGH PRESSURE MOVES EAST OF THE REGION LATER
TODAY...AND BY AFTERNOON LIGHT SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED. A FEW
CU MAY DEVELOP WITH PEAK HEATING THIS AFTERNOON...BUT THAT SHOULD
BE THE EXTENT OF ANY CLOUD COVER THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. CLEAR AND
CALM MONDAY EVENING.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

MANNING

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$






000
FXUS62 KCAE 200509
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
109 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
COOL AND DRY HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE FORECAST AREA
TONIGHT WILL SHIFT OFF THE COAST MONDAY. A COLD FRONT WITH
LIMITED MOISTURE WILL CROSS THE AREA TUESDAY. DRY HIGH PRESSURE
WILL RETURN WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/...
THE PRESSURE RIDGE WILL BE OVER THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT. WINDS
WILL BE LIGHT UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. SATELLITE TRENDS INDICATE
JUST THIN HIGH CLOUDINESS. STRONG NET RADIATIONAL COOLING WILL OCCUR.
THE MAV AND MET MOS HAVE LOWS NEAR 40. THE IN-HOUSE RADIATION
SCHEME INDICATES SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPERATURES AND THIS GUIDANCE
APPEARS ON TRACK BASED ON TEMPERATURE AND DEWPOINT TRENDS DURING
THE EVENING.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
DRY WEATHER TO CONTINUE THROUGH MIDWEEK.

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE FORECAST AREA EARLY MONDAY WILL
SLIDE OFFSHORE BY AFTERNOON. A DRY AIR MASS WILL REMAIN IN
PLACE...THOUGH WITH THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW SHIFTING SOUTHWEST...
TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE TO NEAR NORMAL WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS IN
THE MID AND UPPER 70S.

AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL DEEPEN OVER THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE
NATION MONDAY AND TUESDAY. A DEEP CLOSED LOW IS EXPECTED TO EVOLVE
OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC BY WEDNESDAY AS ADDITIONAL AMPLIFICATION
OCCURS. A SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA TUESDAY WITH
LITTLE IMPACT GIVEN A DRY ATMOSPHERE IN PLACE. DOWNSLOPE FLOW WILL
COUNTER WEAK COLD AIR ADVECTION...SO AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES SHOULD
REACH 75 TO 80 TUESDAY.

THERE WILL BE DEEP CYCLONIC FLOW AND COLD AIR ADVECTION ACROSS
THE REGION WEDNESDAY. SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WILL DEEPEN OFF THE
MID-ATLANTIC COAST WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MS RIVER VALLEY
BUILDING INTO THE FORECAST AREA. EVEN UNDER SUNNY SKIES AFTERNOON
HIGHS WILL ONLY REACH THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. OVERNIGHT LOWS IN
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S MONDAY AND TUESDAY WILL RANGE THROUGH THE 40S
WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST WILL GRADUALLY
SHIFT NORTHEAST THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK...WHILE HIGH PRESSURE
OVER THE MS RIVER VALLEY RIDGES INTO OUR AREA FROM THE WEST. COOL
AND DRY AIR WILL LINGER THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK...THEN
TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE TO NEAR NORMAL FOR THE WEEKEND. NO
PRECIPITATION IS FORECAST THROUGH SUNDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD.

SCATTERED CIRRUS WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT WITH LIGHT WINDS. SOME
BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING COMBINED WITH VERY DRY LOW LEVELS SHOULD
KEEP FOG FROM FORMING THIS MORNING...BUT WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR
SATELLITE TRENDS. HIGH PRESSURE MOVES EAST OF THE REGION LATER
TODAY...AND BY AFTERNOON LIGHT SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED. A FEW
CU MAY DEVELOP WITH PEAK HEATING THIS AFTERNOON...BUT THAT SHOULD
BE THE EXTENT OF ANY CLOUD COVER THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. CLEAR AND
CALM MONDAY EVENING.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

MANNING

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$







000
FXUS62 KCAE 200217
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
1017 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
COOL AND DRY HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE FORECAST AREA
TONIGHT WILL SHIFT OFF THE COAST MONDAY. A COLD FRONT WITH
LIMITED MOISTURE WILL CROSS THE AREA TUESDAY. DRY HIGH PRESSURE
WILL RETURN WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/...
THE PRESSURE RIDGE WILL BE OVER THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT. WINDS
WILL BE LIGHT UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. SATELLITE TRENDS INDICATE
JUST THIN HIGH CLOUDINESS. STRONG NET RADIATIONAL COOLING WILL OCCUR.
THE MAV AND MET MOS HAVE LOWS NEAR 40. THE IN-HOUSE RADIATION
SCHEME INDICATES SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPERATURES AND THIS GUIDANCE
APPEARS ON TRACK BASED ON TEMPERATURE AND DEWPOINT TRENDS DURING
THE EVENING.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
DRY WEATHER TO CONTINUE THROUGH MIDWEEK.

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE FORECAST AREA EARLY MONDAY WILL
SLIDE OFFSHORE BY AFTERNOON. A DRY AIR MASS WILL REMAIN IN
PLACE...THOUGH WITH THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW SHIFTING SOUTHWEST...
TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE TO NEAR NORMAL WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS IN
THE MID AND UPPER 70S.

AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL DEEPEN OVER THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE
NATION MONDAY AND TUESDAY. A DEEP CLOSED LOW IS EXPECTED TO EVOLVE
OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC BY WEDNESDAY AS ADDITIONAL AMPLIFICATION
OCCURS. A SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA TUESDAY WITH
LITTLE IMPACT GIVEN A DRY ATMOSPHERE IN PLACE. DOWNSLOPE FLOW WILL
COUNTER WEAK COLD AIR ADVECTION...SO AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES SHOULD
REACH 75 TO 80 TUESDAY.

THERE WILL BE DEEP CYCLONIC FLOW AND COLD AIR ADVECTION ACROSS
THE REGION WEDNESDAY. SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WILL DEEPEN OFF THE
MID-ATLANTIC COAST WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MS RIVER VALLEY
BUILDING INTO THE FORECAST AREA. EVEN UNDER SUNNY SKIES AFTERNOON
HIGHS WILL ONLY REACH THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. OVERNIGHT LOWS IN
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S MONDAY AND TUESDAY WILL RANGE THROUGH THE 40S
WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST WILL GRADUALLY
SHIFT NORTHEAST THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK...WHILE HIGH PRESSURE
OVER THE MS RIVER VALLEY RIDGES INTO OUR AREA FROM THE WEST. COOL
AND DRY AIR WILL LINGER THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK...THEN
TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE TO NEAR NORMAL FOR THE WEEKEND. NO
PRECIPITATION IS FORECAST THROUGH SUNDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD.

ONLY CLOUD COVER OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE REGION WILL BE SOME SCATTERED
CIRRUS MOVING THROUGH. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT TO CALM OVERNIGHT.
BUFKIT TIME SECTIONS DO SHOW A WEAK LOW-LEVEL JET MOVING OVER THE
AREA TONIGHT...WHICH IN COMBINATION WITH A DRY AIR MASS SHOULD HELP
TO INHIBIT ANY FOG FORMATION TONIGHT. THE SURFACE RIDGE MOVES EAST
OF THE REGION MONDAY...AND WINDS SHOULD SHIFT MORE OUT OF THE
SOUTH ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE HIGH. WITH MOISTURE INCREASING
SLIGHTLY IN THE LOWER LEVELS...EXPECT ONLY A FEW CU TO DEVELOP IN
THE AFTERNOON.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$








000
FXUS62 KCAE 192335
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
735 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
COOL AND DRY HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE FORECAST AREA
TONIGHT WILL SHIFT OFF THE COAST MONDAY. A COLD FRONT WITH
LIMITED MOISTURE WILL CROSS THE AREA TUESDAY. DRY HIGH PRESSURE
WILL RETURN WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/...
THE PRESSURE RIDGE WILL BE OVER THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT. WINDS
WILL BE LIGHT UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. SATELLITE TRENDS INDICATE
JUST THIN HIGH CLOUDINESS. STRONG NET RADIATIONAL COOLING WILL OCCUR.
THE MAV AND MET MOS HAVE LOWS NEAR 40. THE IN-HOUSE RADIATION
SCHEME INDICATES SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPERATURES...BUT WE STILL USED
THE COOLER GUIDANCE BECAUSE OF THE PATTERN. FORECASTED LOWS NEAR
40 BUT TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 30S WITH PATCHY FROST MAY OCCUR
NEAR THE NORTH CAROLINA BORDER AND IN A FEW OF THE NORMALLY COLDER
LOCATIONS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
DRY WEATHER TO CONTINUE THROUGH MIDWEEK.

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE FORECAST AREA EARLY MONDAY WILL
SLIDE OFFSHORE BY AFTERNOON. A DRY AIR MASS WILL REMAIN IN
PLACE...THOUGH WITH THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW SHIFTING SOUTHWEST...
TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE TO NEAR NORMAL WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS IN
THE MID AND UPPER 70S.

AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL DEEPEN OVER THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE
NATION MONDAY AND TUESDAY. A DEEP CLOSED LOW IS EXPECTED TO EVOLVE
OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC BY WEDNESDAY AS ADDITIONAL AMPLIFICATION
OCCURS. A SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA TUESDAY WITH
LITTLE IMPACT GIVEN A DRY ATMOSPHERE IN PLACE. DOWNSLOPE FLOW WILL
COUNTER WEAK COLD AIR ADVECTION...SO AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES SHOULD
REACH 75 TO 80 TUESDAY.

THERE WILL BE DEEP CYCLONIC FLOW AND COLD AIR ADVECTION ACROSS
THE REGION WEDNESDAY. SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WILL DEEPEN OFF THE
MID-ATLANTIC COAST WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MS RIVER VALLEY
BUILDING INTO THE FORECAST AREA. EVEN UNDER SUNNY SKIES AFTERNOON
HIGHS WILL ONLY REACH THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. OVERNIGHT LOWS IN
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S MONDAY AND TUESDAY WILL RANGE THROUGH THE 40S
WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST WILL GRADUALLY
SHIFT NORTHEAST THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK...WHILE HIGH PRESSURE
OVER THE MS RIVER VALLEY RIDGES INTO OUR AREA FROM THE WEST. COOL
AND DRY AIR WILL LINGER THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK...THEN
TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE TO NEAR NORMAL FOR THE WEEKEND. NO
PRECIPITATION IS FORECAST THROUGH SUNDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD.

ONLY CLOUD COVER OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE REGION WILL BE SOME SCATTERED
CIRRUS MOVING THROUGH. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT TO CALM OVERNIGHT.
BUFKIT TIME SECTIONS DO SHOW A WEAK LOW-LEVEL JET MOVING OVER THE
AREA TONIGHT...WHICH IN COMBINATION WITH A DRY AIRMASS SHOULD HELP
TO INHIBIT ANY FOG FORMATION TONIGHT. THE SURFACE RIDGE MOVES EAST
OF THE REGION MONDAY...AND WINDS SHOULD SHIFT MORE OUT OF THE
SOUTH ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE HIGH. WITH MOISTURE INCREASING
SLIGHTLY IN THE LOWER LEVELS...EXPECT ONLY A FEW CU TO DEVELOP IN
THE AFTERNOON.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.

&&

$$










000
FXUS62 KCAE 192335
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
735 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
COOL AND DRY HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE FORECAST AREA
TONIGHT WILL SHIFT OFF THE COAST MONDAY. A COLD FRONT WITH
LIMITED MOISTURE WILL CROSS THE AREA TUESDAY. DRY HIGH PRESSURE
WILL RETURN WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/...
THE PRESSURE RIDGE WILL BE OVER THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT. WINDS
WILL BE LIGHT UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. SATELLITE TRENDS INDICATE
JUST THIN HIGH CLOUDINESS. STRONG NET RADIATIONAL COOLING WILL OCCUR.
THE MAV AND MET MOS HAVE LOWS NEAR 40. THE IN-HOUSE RADIATION
SCHEME INDICATES SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPERATURES...BUT WE STILL USED
THE COOLER GUIDANCE BECAUSE OF THE PATTERN. FORECASTED LOWS NEAR
40 BUT TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 30S WITH PATCHY FROST MAY OCCUR
NEAR THE NORTH CAROLINA BORDER AND IN A FEW OF THE NORMALLY COLDER
LOCATIONS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
DRY WEATHER TO CONTINUE THROUGH MIDWEEK.

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE FORECAST AREA EARLY MONDAY WILL
SLIDE OFFSHORE BY AFTERNOON. A DRY AIR MASS WILL REMAIN IN
PLACE...THOUGH WITH THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW SHIFTING SOUTHWEST...
TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE TO NEAR NORMAL WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS IN
THE MID AND UPPER 70S.

AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL DEEPEN OVER THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE
NATION MONDAY AND TUESDAY. A DEEP CLOSED LOW IS EXPECTED TO EVOLVE
OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC BY WEDNESDAY AS ADDITIONAL AMPLIFICATION
OCCURS. A SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA TUESDAY WITH
LITTLE IMPACT GIVEN A DRY ATMOSPHERE IN PLACE. DOWNSLOPE FLOW WILL
COUNTER WEAK COLD AIR ADVECTION...SO AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES SHOULD
REACH 75 TO 80 TUESDAY.

THERE WILL BE DEEP CYCLONIC FLOW AND COLD AIR ADVECTION ACROSS
THE REGION WEDNESDAY. SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WILL DEEPEN OFF THE
MID-ATLANTIC COAST WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MS RIVER VALLEY
BUILDING INTO THE FORECAST AREA. EVEN UNDER SUNNY SKIES AFTERNOON
HIGHS WILL ONLY REACH THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. OVERNIGHT LOWS IN
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S MONDAY AND TUESDAY WILL RANGE THROUGH THE 40S
WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST WILL GRADUALLY
SHIFT NORTHEAST THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK...WHILE HIGH PRESSURE
OVER THE MS RIVER VALLEY RIDGES INTO OUR AREA FROM THE WEST. COOL
AND DRY AIR WILL LINGER THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK...THEN
TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE TO NEAR NORMAL FOR THE WEEKEND. NO
PRECIPITATION IS FORECAST THROUGH SUNDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD.

ONLY CLOUD COVER OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE REGION WILL BE SOME SCATTERED
CIRRUS MOVING THROUGH. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT TO CALM OVERNIGHT.
BUFKIT TIME SECTIONS DO SHOW A WEAK LOW-LEVEL JET MOVING OVER THE
AREA TONIGHT...WHICH IN COMBINATION WITH A DRY AIRMASS SHOULD HELP
TO INHIBIT ANY FOG FORMATION TONIGHT. THE SURFACE RIDGE MOVES EAST
OF THE REGION MONDAY...AND WINDS SHOULD SHIFT MORE OUT OF THE
SOUTH ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE HIGH. WITH MOISTURE INCREASING
SLIGHTLY IN THE LOWER LEVELS...EXPECT ONLY A FEW CU TO DEVELOP IN
THE AFTERNOON.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.

&&

$$









000
FXUS62 KCAE 192335
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
735 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
COOL AND DRY HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE FORECAST AREA
TONIGHT WILL SHIFT OFF THE COAST MONDAY. A COLD FRONT WITH
LIMITED MOISTURE WILL CROSS THE AREA TUESDAY. DRY HIGH PRESSURE
WILL RETURN WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/...
THE PRESSURE RIDGE WILL BE OVER THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT. WINDS
WILL BE LIGHT UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. SATELLITE TRENDS INDICATE
JUST THIN HIGH CLOUDINESS. STRONG NET RADIATIONAL COOLING WILL OCCUR.
THE MAV AND MET MOS HAVE LOWS NEAR 40. THE IN-HOUSE RADIATION
SCHEME INDICATES SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPERATURES...BUT WE STILL USED
THE COOLER GUIDANCE BECAUSE OF THE PATTERN. FORECASTED LOWS NEAR
40 BUT TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 30S WITH PATCHY FROST MAY OCCUR
NEAR THE NORTH CAROLINA BORDER AND IN A FEW OF THE NORMALLY COLDER
LOCATIONS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
DRY WEATHER TO CONTINUE THROUGH MIDWEEK.

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE FORECAST AREA EARLY MONDAY WILL
SLIDE OFFSHORE BY AFTERNOON. A DRY AIR MASS WILL REMAIN IN
PLACE...THOUGH WITH THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW SHIFTING SOUTHWEST...
TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE TO NEAR NORMAL WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS IN
THE MID AND UPPER 70S.

AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL DEEPEN OVER THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE
NATION MONDAY AND TUESDAY. A DEEP CLOSED LOW IS EXPECTED TO EVOLVE
OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC BY WEDNESDAY AS ADDITIONAL AMPLIFICATION
OCCURS. A SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA TUESDAY WITH
LITTLE IMPACT GIVEN A DRY ATMOSPHERE IN PLACE. DOWNSLOPE FLOW WILL
COUNTER WEAK COLD AIR ADVECTION...SO AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES SHOULD
REACH 75 TO 80 TUESDAY.

THERE WILL BE DEEP CYCLONIC FLOW AND COLD AIR ADVECTION ACROSS
THE REGION WEDNESDAY. SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WILL DEEPEN OFF THE
MID-ATLANTIC COAST WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MS RIVER VALLEY
BUILDING INTO THE FORECAST AREA. EVEN UNDER SUNNY SKIES AFTERNOON
HIGHS WILL ONLY REACH THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. OVERNIGHT LOWS IN
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S MONDAY AND TUESDAY WILL RANGE THROUGH THE 40S
WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST WILL GRADUALLY
SHIFT NORTHEAST THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK...WHILE HIGH PRESSURE
OVER THE MS RIVER VALLEY RIDGES INTO OUR AREA FROM THE WEST. COOL
AND DRY AIR WILL LINGER THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK...THEN
TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE TO NEAR NORMAL FOR THE WEEKEND. NO
PRECIPITATION IS FORECAST THROUGH SUNDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD.

ONLY CLOUD COVER OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE REGION WILL BE SOME SCATTERED
CIRRUS MOVING THROUGH. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT TO CALM OVERNIGHT.
BUFKIT TIME SECTIONS DO SHOW A WEAK LOW-LEVEL JET MOVING OVER THE
AREA TONIGHT...WHICH IN COMBINATION WITH A DRY AIRMASS SHOULD HELP
TO INHIBIT ANY FOG FORMATION TONIGHT. THE SURFACE RIDGE MOVES EAST
OF THE REGION MONDAY...AND WINDS SHOULD SHIFT MORE OUT OF THE
SOUTH ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE HIGH. WITH MOISTURE INCREASING
SLIGHTLY IN THE LOWER LEVELS...EXPECT ONLY A FEW CU TO DEVELOP IN
THE AFTERNOON.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.

&&

$$










000
FXUS62 KCAE 192335
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
735 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
COOL AND DRY HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE FORECAST AREA
TONIGHT WILL SHIFT OFF THE COAST MONDAY. A COLD FRONT WITH
LIMITED MOISTURE WILL CROSS THE AREA TUESDAY. DRY HIGH PRESSURE
WILL RETURN WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/...
THE PRESSURE RIDGE WILL BE OVER THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT. WINDS
WILL BE LIGHT UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. SATELLITE TRENDS INDICATE
JUST THIN HIGH CLOUDINESS. STRONG NET RADIATIONAL COOLING WILL OCCUR.
THE MAV AND MET MOS HAVE LOWS NEAR 40. THE IN-HOUSE RADIATION
SCHEME INDICATES SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPERATURES...BUT WE STILL USED
THE COOLER GUIDANCE BECAUSE OF THE PATTERN. FORECASTED LOWS NEAR
40 BUT TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 30S WITH PATCHY FROST MAY OCCUR
NEAR THE NORTH CAROLINA BORDER AND IN A FEW OF THE NORMALLY COLDER
LOCATIONS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
DRY WEATHER TO CONTINUE THROUGH MIDWEEK.

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE FORECAST AREA EARLY MONDAY WILL
SLIDE OFFSHORE BY AFTERNOON. A DRY AIR MASS WILL REMAIN IN
PLACE...THOUGH WITH THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW SHIFTING SOUTHWEST...
TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE TO NEAR NORMAL WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS IN
THE MID AND UPPER 70S.

AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL DEEPEN OVER THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE
NATION MONDAY AND TUESDAY. A DEEP CLOSED LOW IS EXPECTED TO EVOLVE
OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC BY WEDNESDAY AS ADDITIONAL AMPLIFICATION
OCCURS. A SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA TUESDAY WITH
LITTLE IMPACT GIVEN A DRY ATMOSPHERE IN PLACE. DOWNSLOPE FLOW WILL
COUNTER WEAK COLD AIR ADVECTION...SO AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES SHOULD
REACH 75 TO 80 TUESDAY.

THERE WILL BE DEEP CYCLONIC FLOW AND COLD AIR ADVECTION ACROSS
THE REGION WEDNESDAY. SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WILL DEEPEN OFF THE
MID-ATLANTIC COAST WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MS RIVER VALLEY
BUILDING INTO THE FORECAST AREA. EVEN UNDER SUNNY SKIES AFTERNOON
HIGHS WILL ONLY REACH THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. OVERNIGHT LOWS IN
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S MONDAY AND TUESDAY WILL RANGE THROUGH THE 40S
WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST WILL GRADUALLY
SHIFT NORTHEAST THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK...WHILE HIGH PRESSURE
OVER THE MS RIVER VALLEY RIDGES INTO OUR AREA FROM THE WEST. COOL
AND DRY AIR WILL LINGER THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK...THEN
TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE TO NEAR NORMAL FOR THE WEEKEND. NO
PRECIPITATION IS FORECAST THROUGH SUNDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD.

ONLY CLOUD COVER OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE REGION WILL BE SOME SCATTERED
CIRRUS MOVING THROUGH. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT TO CALM OVERNIGHT.
BUFKIT TIME SECTIONS DO SHOW A WEAK LOW-LEVEL JET MOVING OVER THE
AREA TONIGHT...WHICH IN COMBINATION WITH A DRY AIRMASS SHOULD HELP
TO INHIBIT ANY FOG FORMATION TONIGHT. THE SURFACE RIDGE MOVES EAST
OF THE REGION MONDAY...AND WINDS SHOULD SHIFT MORE OUT OF THE
SOUTH ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE HIGH. WITH MOISTURE INCREASING
SLIGHTLY IN THE LOWER LEVELS...EXPECT ONLY A FEW CU TO DEVELOP IN
THE AFTERNOON.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.

&&

$$









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