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000
FXUS61 KCAR 220446
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1246 AM EDT FRI AUG 22 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD DOWN ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
COMING WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
1245 AM UPDATE...CURRENT RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS THE STEADIEST SHOWERS
LIE ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF OUR AREA, WITH ISOLATED
ACTIVITY EXPECTED ELSEWHERE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF TONIGHT. THE
NORTHERN EDGE OF THE MID-LEVEL CLOUD DECK BLANKETING THE STATE IS
MOVING INTO THE SAINT JOHN VALLEY ATTM, BUT ANY CLEARING SHOULD BE
SHORT LIVED AS AN AREA OF STRATUS IS SLOWLY SINKING IN FROM
NORTHERN NEW BRUNSWICK. ANY AREAS THAT DO CLEAR OUT FOR ANY
SIGNIFICANT PERIOD OF TIME COULD SEE FOG DEVELOP AS WE HEAD INTO
DAYBREAK, BUT FEEL THIS WILL BE LOCALIZED IN NATURE. HAVE MADE MAINLY
COSMETIC CHANGES TO THE FORECAST TO MATCH CURRENT RADAR AND
SATELLITE TRENDS. NO OTHER CHANGES WERE NEEDED.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
A COMPLEX WEATHER PATTERN FEATURING SUBTLE FEATURES IN THE UPPER
LEVELS WILL BRING SOME MINOR FORECAST CHALLENGES DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS. A VERY WEAK UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL STRAY ACROSS DOWNEAST
AREAS TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY. MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS UPPER LOW
COMBINED WITH WEAK UPSLOPE WINDS FROM HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING DOWN
FROM THE NORTH WILL BRING CLOUDS AND SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS TO
DOWNEAST AREAS TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY, MAINLY ACROSS INTERIOR
WESTERN SPOTS. SOUNDING FORECASTS SHOW SOME WEAK CAPE, AROUND 300
J/KG, OVER SOME OF THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS IN PISCATAQUIS COUNTY.
THIS MAY RESULT IN SOME CONVECTIVE SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A VERY
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM. THE LARGE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM TO OUR
NORTH IS STILL EXPECTED TO SLOWLY PRESS SOUTH INTO THE REGION.
THIS HIGH WILL ALLOW SKIES TO BE PARTLY CLOUDY OVER THE NORTH AND
COULD BRING PARTIAL CLEARING TO CENTRAL AREAS LATE ON FRIDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FRIDAY NIGHT HOWEVER AS THE FLOW WILL BE FROM
THE NORTHEAST THIS WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME STRATUS AND
FOG. ANY CLOUDS/FOG WILL QUICKLY BURN OFF SATURDAY MORNING WITH AN
OTHERWISE FAIR WEEKEND EXPECTED UNDER PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES. TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR SEASONAL FOR SATURDAY AND BEGIN
TO WARM UP FOR SUNDAY AWAY FROM THE COAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
WARM LATE SUMMER WEATHER WILL BE THE BIG STORY FOR THE BEGINNING
TO MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. A HIGH CENTERED OVER THE AREA EARLY IN
THE PERIOD WILL GRADUALLY GIVE WAY TO WESTERLY FLOW TOWARD THE
MIDDLE OF THE WEEK, WITH PERHAPS SOMEWHAT INCREASED
AFTERNOON/EVENING THUNDERSTORM CHANCES AROUND THE
WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY TIME FRAME, BUT STILL LIKELY DRY SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
EXPECT WIDESPREAD LOW TO MID 80S MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY, EXCEPT
COOLER 70S NEAR THE COAST. WE CONTINUED TO GO CLOSER TO THE
CONSENSUS OF RAW MODEL OUTPUT OVER MOS GUIDANCE FOR HIGHS, AS 925
MB AND 850 MB TEMPERATURES JUSTIFY GOING WARMER THAN MOS, WHICH
TRENDS TOWARD CLIMATOLOGY IN THE EXTENDED.

FORECAST MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH TUESDAY, BUT BEGIN
TO HAVE ISSUES AROUND WEDNESDAY AS TO WHETHER WE GET A COLD
FRONTAL PASSAGE FROM THE NORTHWEST AT THAT TIME OR STAY IN THE
WARM WEST/SOUTHWEST FLOW FOR A BIT LONGER.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT. CONDITIONS MAY BRIEFLY LOWER TO MVFR LATE TONIGHT AND
POSSIBLY IFR DOWNEAST. CONDITIONS SHOULD THEN IMPROVE TO VFR AT
MOST SITES BY LATE MORNING FRIDAY.

SHORT TERM: MVFR WILL BE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT DUE TO
THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME STRATUS AND FOG..ESPECIALLY FOR THE NORTHERN SITES.
OTHERWISE EXPECT VFR THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
SLOWLY BUILDS DOWN FROM THE NORTH.

SHORT TERM: CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY TRANQUIL ON THE
WATERS WITH NO HEADLINES EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...BLOOMER/HASTINGS
SHORT TERM...FITZSIMMONS
LONG TERM...FITZSIMMONS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/HASTINGS/FITZSIMMONS
MARINE...BLOOMER/HASTINGS/FITZSIMMONS








000
FXUS61 KCAR 220446
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1246 AM EDT FRI AUG 22 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD DOWN ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
COMING WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
1245 AM UPDATE...CURRENT RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS THE STEADIEST SHOWERS
LIE ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF OUR AREA, WITH ISOLATED
ACTIVITY EXPECTED ELSEWHERE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF TONIGHT. THE
NORTHERN EDGE OF THE MID-LEVEL CLOUD DECK BLANKETING THE STATE IS
MOVING INTO THE SAINT JOHN VALLEY ATTM, BUT ANY CLEARING SHOULD BE
SHORT LIVED AS AN AREA OF STRATUS IS SLOWLY SINKING IN FROM
NORTHERN NEW BRUNSWICK. ANY AREAS THAT DO CLEAR OUT FOR ANY
SIGNIFICANT PERIOD OF TIME COULD SEE FOG DEVELOP AS WE HEAD INTO
DAYBREAK, BUT FEEL THIS WILL BE LOCALIZED IN NATURE. HAVE MADE MAINLY
COSMETIC CHANGES TO THE FORECAST TO MATCH CURRENT RADAR AND
SATELLITE TRENDS. NO OTHER CHANGES WERE NEEDED.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
A COMPLEX WEATHER PATTERN FEATURING SUBTLE FEATURES IN THE UPPER
LEVELS WILL BRING SOME MINOR FORECAST CHALLENGES DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS. A VERY WEAK UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL STRAY ACROSS DOWNEAST
AREAS TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY. MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS UPPER LOW
COMBINED WITH WEAK UPSLOPE WINDS FROM HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING DOWN
FROM THE NORTH WILL BRING CLOUDS AND SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS TO
DOWNEAST AREAS TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY, MAINLY ACROSS INTERIOR
WESTERN SPOTS. SOUNDING FORECASTS SHOW SOME WEAK CAPE, AROUND 300
J/KG, OVER SOME OF THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS IN PISCATAQUIS COUNTY.
THIS MAY RESULT IN SOME CONVECTIVE SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A VERY
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM. THE LARGE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM TO OUR
NORTH IS STILL EXPECTED TO SLOWLY PRESS SOUTH INTO THE REGION.
THIS HIGH WILL ALLOW SKIES TO BE PARTLY CLOUDY OVER THE NORTH AND
COULD BRING PARTIAL CLEARING TO CENTRAL AREAS LATE ON FRIDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FRIDAY NIGHT HOWEVER AS THE FLOW WILL BE FROM
THE NORTHEAST THIS WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME STRATUS AND
FOG. ANY CLOUDS/FOG WILL QUICKLY BURN OFF SATURDAY MORNING WITH AN
OTHERWISE FAIR WEEKEND EXPECTED UNDER PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES. TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR SEASONAL FOR SATURDAY AND BEGIN
TO WARM UP FOR SUNDAY AWAY FROM THE COAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
WARM LATE SUMMER WEATHER WILL BE THE BIG STORY FOR THE BEGINNING
TO MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. A HIGH CENTERED OVER THE AREA EARLY IN
THE PERIOD WILL GRADUALLY GIVE WAY TO WESTERLY FLOW TOWARD THE
MIDDLE OF THE WEEK, WITH PERHAPS SOMEWHAT INCREASED
AFTERNOON/EVENING THUNDERSTORM CHANCES AROUND THE
WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY TIME FRAME, BUT STILL LIKELY DRY SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
EXPECT WIDESPREAD LOW TO MID 80S MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY, EXCEPT
COOLER 70S NEAR THE COAST. WE CONTINUED TO GO CLOSER TO THE
CONSENSUS OF RAW MODEL OUTPUT OVER MOS GUIDANCE FOR HIGHS, AS 925
MB AND 850 MB TEMPERATURES JUSTIFY GOING WARMER THAN MOS, WHICH
TRENDS TOWARD CLIMATOLOGY IN THE EXTENDED.

FORECAST MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH TUESDAY, BUT BEGIN
TO HAVE ISSUES AROUND WEDNESDAY AS TO WHETHER WE GET A COLD
FRONTAL PASSAGE FROM THE NORTHWEST AT THAT TIME OR STAY IN THE
WARM WEST/SOUTHWEST FLOW FOR A BIT LONGER.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT. CONDITIONS MAY BRIEFLY LOWER TO MVFR LATE TONIGHT AND
POSSIBLY IFR DOWNEAST. CONDITIONS SHOULD THEN IMPROVE TO VFR AT
MOST SITES BY LATE MORNING FRIDAY.

SHORT TERM: MVFR WILL BE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT DUE TO
THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME STRATUS AND FOG..ESPECIALLY FOR THE NORTHERN SITES.
OTHERWISE EXPECT VFR THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
SLOWLY BUILDS DOWN FROM THE NORTH.

SHORT TERM: CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY TRANQUIL ON THE
WATERS WITH NO HEADLINES EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...BLOOMER/HASTINGS
SHORT TERM...FITZSIMMONS
LONG TERM...FITZSIMMONS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/HASTINGS/FITZSIMMONS
MARINE...BLOOMER/HASTINGS/FITZSIMMONS







000
FXUS61 KCAR 220131
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
931 PM EDT THU AUG 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD DOWN ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
COMING WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
931 PM UPDATE...AN UPPER LOW WILL SLOWLY WORK ACROSS MAINE
OVERNIGHT AND INTO THE NORTHERN GULF OF MAINE BY FRI EVENING.
THERE ARE A FEW SHOWERS UNDERNEATH THE LOW THAT STRETCH FROM PARTS
OF DOWNEAST MAINE INTO THE WESTERN MOUNTAINS. THE NEAR TERM MODELS
SUCH AS THE HRRR AND RUC KEEP SOME SHOWERS IN THIS AREA THE
REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT...AND ALSO DEVELOP SOME SHOWERS IN THE ST
JOHN VALLEY WELL AFTER MIDNIGHT. MADE SOME MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO
THE GRIDS BASED ON THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS...SATELLITE
PICTURES...RADAR...AND NEAR TERM MODEL TRENDS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
A COMPLEX WEATHER PATTERN FEATURING SUBTLE FEATURES IN THE UPPER
LEVELS WILL BRING SOME MINOR FORECAST CHALLENGES DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS. A VERY WEAK UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL STRAY ACROSS DOWNEAST
AREAS TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY. MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS UPPER LOW
COMBINED WITH WEAK UPSLOPE WINDS FROM HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING DOWN
FROM THE NORTH WILL BRING CLOUDS AND SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS TO
DOWNEAST AREAS TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY, MAINLY ACROSS INTERIOR
WESTERN SPOTS. SOUNDING FORECASTS SHOW SOME WEAK CAPE, AROUND 300
J/KG, OVER SOME OF THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS IN PISCATAQUIS COUNTY.
THIS MAY RESULT IN SOME CONVECTIVE SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A VERY
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM. THE LARGE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM TO OUR
NORTH IS STILL EXPECTED TO SLOWLY PRESS SOUTH INTO THE REGION.
THIS HIGH WILL ALLOW SKIES TO BE PARTLY CLOUDY OVER THE NORTH AND
COULD BRING PARTIAL CLEARING TO CENTRAL AREAS LATE ON FRIDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FRIDAY NIGHT HOWEVER AS THE FLOW WILL BE FROM
THE NORTHEAST THIS WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME STRATUS AND
FOG. ANY CLOUDS/FOG WILL QUICKLY BURN OFF SATURDAY MORNING WITH AN
OTHERWISE FAIR WEEKEND EXPECTED UNDER PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES. TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR SEASONAL FOR SATURDAY AND BEGIN
TO WARM UP FOR SUNDAY AWAY FROM THE COAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
WARM LATE SUMMER WEATHER WILL BE THE BIG STORY FOR THE BEGINNING
TO MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. A HIGH CENTERED OVER THE AREA EARLY IN
THE PERIOD WILL GRADUALLY GIVE WAY TO WESTERLY FLOW TOWARD THE
MIDDLE OF THE WEEK, WITH PERHAPS SOMEWHAT INCREASED
AFTERNOON/EVENING THUNDERSTORM CHANCES AROUND THE
WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY TIME FRAME, BUT STILL LIKELY DRY SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
EXPECT WIDESPREAD LOW TO MID 80S MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY, EXCEPT
COOLER 70S NEAR THE COAST. WE CONTINUED TO GO CLOSER TO THE
CONSENSUS OF RAW MODEL OUTPUT OVER MOS GUIDANCE FOR HIGHS, AS 925
MB AND 850 MB TEMPERATURES JUSTIFY GOING WARMER THAN MOS, WHICH
TRENDS TOWARD CLIMATOLOGY IN THE EXTENDED.

FORECAST MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH TUESDAY, BUT BEGIN
TO HAVE ISSUES AROUND WEDNESDAY AS TO WHETHER WE GET A COLD
FRONTAL PASSAGE FROM THE NORTHWEST AT THAT TIME OR STAY IN THE
WARM WEST/SOUTHWEST FLOW FOR A BIT LONGER.

&&

.AVIATION /01Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT. CONDITIONS MAY BRIEFLY LOWER TO MVFR LATE TONIGHT AND
POSSIBLY IFR DOWNEAST. CONDITIONS SHOULD THEN IMPROVE TO VFR AT
MOST SITES BY LATE MORNING FRIDAY.

SHORT TERM: MVFR WILL BE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT DUE TO
THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME STRATUS AND FOG..ESPECIALLY FOR THE NORTHERN SITES.
OTHERWISE EXPECT VFR THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
SLOWLY BUILDS DOWN FROM THE NORTH.

SHORT TERM: CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY TRANQUIL ON THE
WATERS WITH NO HEADLINES EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...BLOOMER/CB
SHORT TERM...FITZSIMMONS
LONG TERM...FITZSIMMONS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/CB/FITZSIMMONS
MARINE...BLOOMER/CB/FITZSIMMONS







000
FXUS61 KCAR 220131
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
931 PM EDT THU AUG 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD DOWN ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
COMING WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
931 PM UPDATE...AN UPPER LOW WILL SLOWLY WORK ACROSS MAINE
OVERNIGHT AND INTO THE NORTHERN GULF OF MAINE BY FRI EVENING.
THERE ARE A FEW SHOWERS UNDERNEATH THE LOW THAT STRETCH FROM PARTS
OF DOWNEAST MAINE INTO THE WESTERN MOUNTAINS. THE NEAR TERM MODELS
SUCH AS THE HRRR AND RUC KEEP SOME SHOWERS IN THIS AREA THE
REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT...AND ALSO DEVELOP SOME SHOWERS IN THE ST
JOHN VALLEY WELL AFTER MIDNIGHT. MADE SOME MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO
THE GRIDS BASED ON THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS...SATELLITE
PICTURES...RADAR...AND NEAR TERM MODEL TRENDS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
A COMPLEX WEATHER PATTERN FEATURING SUBTLE FEATURES IN THE UPPER
LEVELS WILL BRING SOME MINOR FORECAST CHALLENGES DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS. A VERY WEAK UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL STRAY ACROSS DOWNEAST
AREAS TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY. MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS UPPER LOW
COMBINED WITH WEAK UPSLOPE WINDS FROM HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING DOWN
FROM THE NORTH WILL BRING CLOUDS AND SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS TO
DOWNEAST AREAS TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY, MAINLY ACROSS INTERIOR
WESTERN SPOTS. SOUNDING FORECASTS SHOW SOME WEAK CAPE, AROUND 300
J/KG, OVER SOME OF THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS IN PISCATAQUIS COUNTY.
THIS MAY RESULT IN SOME CONVECTIVE SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A VERY
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM. THE LARGE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM TO OUR
NORTH IS STILL EXPECTED TO SLOWLY PRESS SOUTH INTO THE REGION.
THIS HIGH WILL ALLOW SKIES TO BE PARTLY CLOUDY OVER THE NORTH AND
COULD BRING PARTIAL CLEARING TO CENTRAL AREAS LATE ON FRIDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FRIDAY NIGHT HOWEVER AS THE FLOW WILL BE FROM
THE NORTHEAST THIS WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME STRATUS AND
FOG. ANY CLOUDS/FOG WILL QUICKLY BURN OFF SATURDAY MORNING WITH AN
OTHERWISE FAIR WEEKEND EXPECTED UNDER PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES. TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR SEASONAL FOR SATURDAY AND BEGIN
TO WARM UP FOR SUNDAY AWAY FROM THE COAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
WARM LATE SUMMER WEATHER WILL BE THE BIG STORY FOR THE BEGINNING
TO MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. A HIGH CENTERED OVER THE AREA EARLY IN
THE PERIOD WILL GRADUALLY GIVE WAY TO WESTERLY FLOW TOWARD THE
MIDDLE OF THE WEEK, WITH PERHAPS SOMEWHAT INCREASED
AFTERNOON/EVENING THUNDERSTORM CHANCES AROUND THE
WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY TIME FRAME, BUT STILL LIKELY DRY SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
EXPECT WIDESPREAD LOW TO MID 80S MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY, EXCEPT
COOLER 70S NEAR THE COAST. WE CONTINUED TO GO CLOSER TO THE
CONSENSUS OF RAW MODEL OUTPUT OVER MOS GUIDANCE FOR HIGHS, AS 925
MB AND 850 MB TEMPERATURES JUSTIFY GOING WARMER THAN MOS, WHICH
TRENDS TOWARD CLIMATOLOGY IN THE EXTENDED.

FORECAST MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH TUESDAY, BUT BEGIN
TO HAVE ISSUES AROUND WEDNESDAY AS TO WHETHER WE GET A COLD
FRONTAL PASSAGE FROM THE NORTHWEST AT THAT TIME OR STAY IN THE
WARM WEST/SOUTHWEST FLOW FOR A BIT LONGER.

&&

.AVIATION /01Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT. CONDITIONS MAY BRIEFLY LOWER TO MVFR LATE TONIGHT AND
POSSIBLY IFR DOWNEAST. CONDITIONS SHOULD THEN IMPROVE TO VFR AT
MOST SITES BY LATE MORNING FRIDAY.

SHORT TERM: MVFR WILL BE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT DUE TO
THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME STRATUS AND FOG..ESPECIALLY FOR THE NORTHERN SITES.
OTHERWISE EXPECT VFR THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
SLOWLY BUILDS DOWN FROM THE NORTH.

SHORT TERM: CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY TRANQUIL ON THE
WATERS WITH NO HEADLINES EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...BLOOMER/CB
SHORT TERM...FITZSIMMONS
LONG TERM...FITZSIMMONS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/CB/FITZSIMMONS
MARINE...BLOOMER/CB/FITZSIMMONS








000
FXUS61 KCAR 212229
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
629 PM EDT THU AUG 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD DOWN ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
COMING WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
629 PM UPDATE...ISOLATED SHOWERS EARLY THIS EVENING MAINLY IN
CENTRAL PISCATAQUIS AND SOUTHERN PENOBSCOT COUNTIES. NO LIGHTNING
HAS BEEN DETECTED WITH ANY OF THE SHOWERS...AND WITH THE LOSS OF
DAYTIME HEATING NONE IS EXPECTED. AN UPPER LOW STRETCHES FROM
EASTERN ONTARIO INTO MAINE EARLY THIS EVENING AND THE CENTRAL OF
THE LOW WILL MOVE OVER MAINE OVERNIGHT. THIS WILL KEEP A FAIR
AMOUNT OF CLOUDS AROUND ALONG WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS...MAINLY
ACROSS CENTRAL AND WESTERN MAINE. CLOUDS WILL KEEP TEMPS MILDER
THAN LAST NIGHT...ESPECIALLY SO ACROSS THE NORMALLY COOLER NW
VALLEYS. ONLY MINOR TWEAKS TO THE ONGOING FORECAST BASED ON THE
LATEST OBSERVATIONS...RADAR & SATELLITE PICTURES.

A COMPLEX WEATHER PATTERN FEATURING SUBTLE FEATURES IN THE UPPER
LEVELS WILL BRING SOME MINOR FORECAST CHALLENGES DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS. A VERY WEAK UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL STRAY ACROSS DOWNEAST
AREAS TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY. MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS UPPER LOW
COMBINED WITH WEAK UPSLOPE WINDS FROM HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING DOWN
FROM THE NORTH WILL BRING CLOUDS AND SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS TO
DOWNEAST AREAS TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY, MAINLY ACROSS INTERIOR
WESTERN SPOTS. SOUNDING FORECASTS SHOW SOME WEAK CAPE, AROUND 300
J/KG, OVER SOME OF THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS IN PISCATAQUIS COUNTY.
THIS MAY RESULT IN SOME CONVECTIVE SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A VERY
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM. THE LARGE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM TO OUR
NORTH IS STILL EXPECTED TO SLOWLY PRESS SOUTH INTO THE REGION.
THIS HIGH WILL ALLOW SKIES TO BE PARTLY CLOUDY OVER THE NORTH AND
COULD BRING PARTIAL CLEARING TO CENTRAL AREAS LATE ON FRIDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FRIDAY NIGHT HOWEVER AS THE FLOW WILL BE FROM
THE NORTHEAST THIS WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME STRATUS AND
FOG. ANY CLOUDS/FOG WILL QUICKLY BURN OFF SATURDAY MORNING WITH AN
OTHERWISE FAIR WEEKEND EXPECTED UNDER PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES. TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR SEASONAL FOR SATURDAY AND BEGIN
TO WARM UP FOR SUNDAY AWAY FROM THE COAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
WARM LATE SUMMER WEATHER WILL BE THE BIG STORY FOR THE BEGINNING
TO MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. A HIGH CENTERED OVER THE AREA EARLY IN
THE PERIOD WILL GRADUALLY GIVE WAY TO WESTERLY FLOW TOWARD THE
MIDDLE OF THE WEEK, WITH PERHAPS SOMEWHAT INCREASED
AFTERNOON/EVENING THUNDERSTORM CHANCES AROUND THE
WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY TIME FRAME, BUT STILL LIKELY DRY SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
EXPECT WIDESPREAD LOW TO MID 80S MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY, EXCEPT
COOLER 70S NEAR THE COAST. WE CONTINUED TO GO CLOSER TO THE
CONSENSUS OF RAW MODEL OUTPUT OVER MOS GUIDANCE FOR HIGHS, AS 925
MB AND 850 MB TEMPERATURES JUSTIFY GOING WARMER THAN MOS, WHICH
TRENDS TOWARD CLIMATOLOGY IN THE EXTENDED.

FORECAST MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH TUESDAY, BUT BEGIN
TO HAVE ISSUES AROUND WEDNESDAY AS TO WHETHER WE GET A COLD
FRONTAL PASSAGE FROM THE NORTHWEST AT THAT TIME OR STAY IN THE
WARM WEST/SOUTHWEST FLOW FOR A BIT LONGER.

&&

.AVIATION /22Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT. CONDITIONS MAY BRIEFLY LOWER TO MVFR LATE TONIGHT AND
POSSIBLY IFR DOWNEAST. CONDITIONS SHOULD THEN IMPROVE TO VFR AT
MOST SITES BY LATE MORNING FRIDAY.

SHORT TERM: MVFR WILL BE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT DUE TO
THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME STRATUS AND FOG..ESPECIALLY FOR THE NORTHERN SITES.
OTHERWISE EXPECT VFR THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
SLOWLY BUILDS DOWN FROM THE NORTH.

SHORT TERM: CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY TRANQUIL ON THE
WATERS WITH NO HEADLINES EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...BLOOMER/CB
SHORT TERM...FITZSIMMONS
LONG TERM...FITZSIMMONS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/CB/FITZSIMMONS
MARINE...BLOOMER/CB/FITZSIMMONS







000
FXUS61 KCAR 212229
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
629 PM EDT THU AUG 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD DOWN ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
COMING WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
629 PM UPDATE...ISOLATED SHOWERS EARLY THIS EVENING MAINLY IN
CENTRAL PISCATAQUIS AND SOUTHERN PENOBSCOT COUNTIES. NO LIGHTNING
HAS BEEN DETECTED WITH ANY OF THE SHOWERS...AND WITH THE LOSS OF
DAYTIME HEATING NONE IS EXPECTED. AN UPPER LOW STRETCHES FROM
EASTERN ONTARIO INTO MAINE EARLY THIS EVENING AND THE CENTRAL OF
THE LOW WILL MOVE OVER MAINE OVERNIGHT. THIS WILL KEEP A FAIR
AMOUNT OF CLOUDS AROUND ALONG WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS...MAINLY
ACROSS CENTRAL AND WESTERN MAINE. CLOUDS WILL KEEP TEMPS MILDER
THAN LAST NIGHT...ESPECIALLY SO ACROSS THE NORMALLY COOLER NW
VALLEYS. ONLY MINOR TWEAKS TO THE ONGOING FORECAST BASED ON THE
LATEST OBSERVATIONS...RADAR & SATELLITE PICTURES.

A COMPLEX WEATHER PATTERN FEATURING SUBTLE FEATURES IN THE UPPER
LEVELS WILL BRING SOME MINOR FORECAST CHALLENGES DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS. A VERY WEAK UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL STRAY ACROSS DOWNEAST
AREAS TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY. MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS UPPER LOW
COMBINED WITH WEAK UPSLOPE WINDS FROM HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING DOWN
FROM THE NORTH WILL BRING CLOUDS AND SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS TO
DOWNEAST AREAS TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY, MAINLY ACROSS INTERIOR
WESTERN SPOTS. SOUNDING FORECASTS SHOW SOME WEAK CAPE, AROUND 300
J/KG, OVER SOME OF THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS IN PISCATAQUIS COUNTY.
THIS MAY RESULT IN SOME CONVECTIVE SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A VERY
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM. THE LARGE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM TO OUR
NORTH IS STILL EXPECTED TO SLOWLY PRESS SOUTH INTO THE REGION.
THIS HIGH WILL ALLOW SKIES TO BE PARTLY CLOUDY OVER THE NORTH AND
COULD BRING PARTIAL CLEARING TO CENTRAL AREAS LATE ON FRIDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FRIDAY NIGHT HOWEVER AS THE FLOW WILL BE FROM
THE NORTHEAST THIS WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME STRATUS AND
FOG. ANY CLOUDS/FOG WILL QUICKLY BURN OFF SATURDAY MORNING WITH AN
OTHERWISE FAIR WEEKEND EXPECTED UNDER PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES. TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR SEASONAL FOR SATURDAY AND BEGIN
TO WARM UP FOR SUNDAY AWAY FROM THE COAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
WARM LATE SUMMER WEATHER WILL BE THE BIG STORY FOR THE BEGINNING
TO MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. A HIGH CENTERED OVER THE AREA EARLY IN
THE PERIOD WILL GRADUALLY GIVE WAY TO WESTERLY FLOW TOWARD THE
MIDDLE OF THE WEEK, WITH PERHAPS SOMEWHAT INCREASED
AFTERNOON/EVENING THUNDERSTORM CHANCES AROUND THE
WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY TIME FRAME, BUT STILL LIKELY DRY SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
EXPECT WIDESPREAD LOW TO MID 80S MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY, EXCEPT
COOLER 70S NEAR THE COAST. WE CONTINUED TO GO CLOSER TO THE
CONSENSUS OF RAW MODEL OUTPUT OVER MOS GUIDANCE FOR HIGHS, AS 925
MB AND 850 MB TEMPERATURES JUSTIFY GOING WARMER THAN MOS, WHICH
TRENDS TOWARD CLIMATOLOGY IN THE EXTENDED.

FORECAST MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH TUESDAY, BUT BEGIN
TO HAVE ISSUES AROUND WEDNESDAY AS TO WHETHER WE GET A COLD
FRONTAL PASSAGE FROM THE NORTHWEST AT THAT TIME OR STAY IN THE
WARM WEST/SOUTHWEST FLOW FOR A BIT LONGER.

&&

.AVIATION /22Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT. CONDITIONS MAY BRIEFLY LOWER TO MVFR LATE TONIGHT AND
POSSIBLY IFR DOWNEAST. CONDITIONS SHOULD THEN IMPROVE TO VFR AT
MOST SITES BY LATE MORNING FRIDAY.

SHORT TERM: MVFR WILL BE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT DUE TO
THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME STRATUS AND FOG..ESPECIALLY FOR THE NORTHERN SITES.
OTHERWISE EXPECT VFR THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
SLOWLY BUILDS DOWN FROM THE NORTH.

SHORT TERM: CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY TRANQUIL ON THE
WATERS WITH NO HEADLINES EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...BLOOMER/CB
SHORT TERM...FITZSIMMONS
LONG TERM...FITZSIMMONS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/CB/FITZSIMMONS
MARINE...BLOOMER/CB/FITZSIMMONS






000
FXUS61 KCAR 211906
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
306 PM EDT THU AUG 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD DOWN ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
COMING WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A COMPLEX WEATHER PATTERN FEATURING SUBTLE FEATURES IN THE UPPER
LEVELS WILL BRING SOME MINOR FORECAST CHALLENGES DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS. A VERY WEAK UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL STRAY ACROSS DOWNEAST
AREAS TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY. MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS UPPER LOW
COMBINED WITH WEAK UPSLOPE WINDS FROM HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING DOWN
FROM THE NORTH WILL BRING CLOUDS AND SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS TO
DOWNEAST AREAS TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY, MAINLY ACROSS INTERIOR
WESTERN SPOTS. SOUNDING FORECASTS SHOW SOME WEAK CAPE, AROUND 300
J/KG, OVER SOME OF THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS IN PISCATAQUIS COUNTY.
THIS MAY RESULT IN SOME CONVECTIVE SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A VERY
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM. THE LARGE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM TO OUR
NORTH IS STILL EXPECTED TO SLOWLY PRESS SOUTH INTO THE REGION.
THIS HIGH WILL ALLOW SKIES TO BE PARTLY CLOUDY OVER THE NORTH AND
COULD BRING PARTIAL CLEARING TO CENTRAL AREAS LATE ON FRIDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FRIDAY NIGHT HOWEVER AS THE FLOW WILL BE FROM
THE NORTHEAST THIS WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME STRATUS AND
FOG. ANY CLOUDS/FOG WILL QUICKLY BURN OFF SATURDAY MORNING WITH AN
OTHERWISE FAIR WEEKEND EXPECTED UNDER PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES. TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR SEASONAL FOR SATURDAY AND BEGIN
TO WARM UP FOR SUNDAY AWAY FROM THE COAST.
&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
WARM LATE SUMMER WEATHER WILL BE THE BIG STORY FOR THE BEGINNING
TO MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. A HIGH CENTERED OVER THE AREA EARLY IN
THE PERIOD WILL GRADUALLY GIVE WAY TO WESTERLY FLOW TOWARD THE
MIDDLE OF THE WEEK, WITH PERHAPS SOMEWHAT INCREASED
AFTERNOON/EVENING THUNDERSTORM CHANCES AROUND THE
WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY TIME FRAME, BUT STILL LIKELY DRY SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
EXPECT WIDESPREAD LOW TO MID 80S MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY, EXCEPT
COOLER 70S NEAR THE COAST. WE CONTINUED TO GO CLOSER TO THE
CONSENSUS OF RAW MODEL OUTPUT OVER MOS GUIDANCE FOR HIGHS, AS 925
MB AND 850 MB TEMPERATURES JUSTIFY GOING WARMER THAN MOS, WHICH
TRENDS TOWARD CLIMATOLOGY IN THE EXTENDED.

FORECAST MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH TUESDAY, BUT BEGIN
TO HAVE ISSUES AROUND WEDNESDAY AS TO WHETHER WE GET A COLD
FRONTAL PASSAGE FROM THE NORTHWEST AT THAT TIME OR STAY IN THE
WARM WEST/SOUTHWEST FLOW FOR A BIT LONGER.
&&

.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT. CONDITIONS MAY BRIEFLY LOWER TO MVFR LATE TONIGHT AND
POSSIBLY IFR DOWNEAST. CONDITIONS SHOULD THEN IMPROVE TO VFR AT
MOST SITES BY LATE MORNING FRIDAY.

SHORT TERM: MVFR WILL BE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT DUE TO
THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME STRATUS AND FOG..ESPECIALLY FOR THE NORTHERN SITES.
OTHERWISE EXPECT VFR THROUGH THE PERIOD.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
SLOWLY BUILDS DOWN FROM THE NORTH.

SHORT TERM: CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY TRANQUIL ON THE
WATERS WITH NO HEADLINES EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...BLOOMER
SHORT TERM...FITZSIMMONS
LONG TERM...FITZSIMMONS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/FITZSIMMONS
MARINE...BLOOMER/FITZSIMMONS












000
FXUS61 KCAR 211906
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
306 PM EDT THU AUG 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD DOWN ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
COMING WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A COMPLEX WEATHER PATTERN FEATURING SUBTLE FEATURES IN THE UPPER
LEVELS WILL BRING SOME MINOR FORECAST CHALLENGES DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS. A VERY WEAK UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL STRAY ACROSS DOWNEAST
AREAS TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY. MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS UPPER LOW
COMBINED WITH WEAK UPSLOPE WINDS FROM HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING DOWN
FROM THE NORTH WILL BRING CLOUDS AND SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS TO
DOWNEAST AREAS TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY, MAINLY ACROSS INTERIOR
WESTERN SPOTS. SOUNDING FORECASTS SHOW SOME WEAK CAPE, AROUND 300
J/KG, OVER SOME OF THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS IN PISCATAQUIS COUNTY.
THIS MAY RESULT IN SOME CONVECTIVE SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A VERY
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM. THE LARGE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM TO OUR
NORTH IS STILL EXPECTED TO SLOWLY PRESS SOUTH INTO THE REGION.
THIS HIGH WILL ALLOW SKIES TO BE PARTLY CLOUDY OVER THE NORTH AND
COULD BRING PARTIAL CLEARING TO CENTRAL AREAS LATE ON FRIDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FRIDAY NIGHT HOWEVER AS THE FLOW WILL BE FROM
THE NORTHEAST THIS WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME STRATUS AND
FOG. ANY CLOUDS/FOG WILL QUICKLY BURN OFF SATURDAY MORNING WITH AN
OTHERWISE FAIR WEEKEND EXPECTED UNDER PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES. TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR SEASONAL FOR SATURDAY AND BEGIN
TO WARM UP FOR SUNDAY AWAY FROM THE COAST.
&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
WARM LATE SUMMER WEATHER WILL BE THE BIG STORY FOR THE BEGINNING
TO MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. A HIGH CENTERED OVER THE AREA EARLY IN
THE PERIOD WILL GRADUALLY GIVE WAY TO WESTERLY FLOW TOWARD THE
MIDDLE OF THE WEEK, WITH PERHAPS SOMEWHAT INCREASED
AFTERNOON/EVENING THUNDERSTORM CHANCES AROUND THE
WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY TIME FRAME, BUT STILL LIKELY DRY SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
EXPECT WIDESPREAD LOW TO MID 80S MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY, EXCEPT
COOLER 70S NEAR THE COAST. WE CONTINUED TO GO CLOSER TO THE
CONSENSUS OF RAW MODEL OUTPUT OVER MOS GUIDANCE FOR HIGHS, AS 925
MB AND 850 MB TEMPERATURES JUSTIFY GOING WARMER THAN MOS, WHICH
TRENDS TOWARD CLIMATOLOGY IN THE EXTENDED.

FORECAST MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH TUESDAY, BUT BEGIN
TO HAVE ISSUES AROUND WEDNESDAY AS TO WHETHER WE GET A COLD
FRONTAL PASSAGE FROM THE NORTHWEST AT THAT TIME OR STAY IN THE
WARM WEST/SOUTHWEST FLOW FOR A BIT LONGER.
&&

.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT. CONDITIONS MAY BRIEFLY LOWER TO MVFR LATE TONIGHT AND
POSSIBLY IFR DOWNEAST. CONDITIONS SHOULD THEN IMPROVE TO VFR AT
MOST SITES BY LATE MORNING FRIDAY.

SHORT TERM: MVFR WILL BE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT DUE TO
THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME STRATUS AND FOG..ESPECIALLY FOR THE NORTHERN SITES.
OTHERWISE EXPECT VFR THROUGH THE PERIOD.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
SLOWLY BUILDS DOWN FROM THE NORTH.

SHORT TERM: CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY TRANQUIL ON THE
WATERS WITH NO HEADLINES EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...BLOOMER
SHORT TERM...FITZSIMMONS
LONG TERM...FITZSIMMONS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/FITZSIMMONS
MARINE...BLOOMER/FITZSIMMONS











000
FXUS61 KCAR 211523
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1123 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD DOWN ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
COMING WEEKEND.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
11:20 AM UPDATE...MADE SOME MINOR MODIFICATIONS TO CLOUD COVER.
ALSO, ADDED ISOLATED SHOWERS TO DOWNEAST AREAS THIS AFTERNOON
WHERE SOME OF OUR MESOSCALE MODELS ARE PRODUCING SOME SHOWERS
LATER TODAY.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD SOUTH
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT. MEANWHILE, WEAK UPPER
LOW PRESSURE WILL SLIDE SOUTHWARD OUT OF ONTARIO INTO WESTERN NEW
YORK. THIS LATTER FEATURE, ALONG WITH WEAK SOUTHEAST FLOW BRINGING
IN A BIT OF ADDITIONAL, WILL ALLOW FOR SLIGHT CHANCE/LOW CHANCES
OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS OVER CENTRAL/WESTERN PORTIONS OF OUR REGION.
CAPE LOOKS TO BE FAIRLY MEAGER DUE TO A LAYER OF WARM AIR ALOFT,
BUT CAN`T RULE OUT PERHAPS A RUMBLE OF THUNDER OR TWO. MUCH OF THE
SHORT-RANGE GUIDANCE INDICATES ISOLATED SHOWERS WILL LINGER OVER
WESTERN/NORTHERN MAINE THROUGH TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
SEASONABLE, WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO AROUND 80 AND LOWS IN THE
50S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
A WEAK, AND FURTHER WEAKENING, UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL SLIDE EAST
ACROSS NEW ENGLAND AND INTO THE GULF OF MAINE ON FRIDAY. NOT
ENOUGH MOISTURE OR DYNAMICS FOR MUCH...JUST PARTLY TO MOSTLY
CLOUDY SKIES WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS FOR MOST AREAS,
EXCEPT A CHANCE OF SHOWERS OVER THE WESTERN EDGE OF OUR AREA
AROUND MOOSEHEAD LAKE.

HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTH FRIDAY NIGHT AND
POSITIONS ITSELF OVER NEW ENGLAND FOR THE WEEKEND. EXPECT A DRY
WEEKEND WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
WARM LATE SUMMER WEATHER WILL BE THE BIG STORY FOR SUNDAY INTO THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE ON SUNDAY WILL
GRADUALLY GIVE WAY TO WESTERLY FLOW TOWARD THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK,
WITH PERHAPS SOMEWHAT INCREASED AFTERNOON/EVENING THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES AROUND WEDNESDAY, BUT STILL LIKELY DRY SUNDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY.

TEMPERATURES MAY REACH 80 ON SUNDAY FOR A FEW PLACES, WITH MORE
WIDESPREAD LOW TO MID 80S MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY, EXCEPT COOLER
70S NEAR THE COAST. WENT CLOSER TO THE CONSENSUS OF RAW MODEL
OUTPUT OVER MOS GUIDANCE FOR HIGHS, AS 925 MB AND 850 MB
TEMPERATURES JUSTIFY GOING WARMER THAN MOS, WHICH TRENDS TOWARD
CLIMATOLOGY IN THE EXTENDED ANYWAY.

MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH TUESDAY, BUT BEGIN TO HAVE
ISSUES AROUND WEDNESDAY AS TO WHETHER WE GET A COLD FRONTAL
PASSAGE FROM THE NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY OR THURSDAY, OR STAY IN THE
WARM WEST/SOUTHWEST FLOW FOR A BIT LONGER.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ONLY
EXCEPTION IS LOCALIZED MVFR/POSSIBLE IFR IN FOG DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS.


SHORT TERM: GENERALLY VFR FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. ONE
EXCEPTION IS A POSSIBLE PERIOD OF MVFR CEILINGS EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP QUIESCENT CONDITIONS ON THE
WATERS TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO HEADLINES ARE ANTICIPATED.


SHORT TERM: WINDS AND SEAS EASILY STAY BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS
FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...HASTINGS/MCB
SHORT TERM...FOISY
LONG TERM...FOISY
AVIATION...HASTINGS/FOISY
MARINE...HASTINGS/FOISY







000
FXUS61 KCAR 211523
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1123 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD DOWN ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
COMING WEEKEND.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
11:20 AM UPDATE...MADE SOME MINOR MODIFICATIONS TO CLOUD COVER.
ALSO, ADDED ISOLATED SHOWERS TO DOWNEAST AREAS THIS AFTERNOON
WHERE SOME OF OUR MESOSCALE MODELS ARE PRODUCING SOME SHOWERS
LATER TODAY.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD SOUTH
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT. MEANWHILE, WEAK UPPER
LOW PRESSURE WILL SLIDE SOUTHWARD OUT OF ONTARIO INTO WESTERN NEW
YORK. THIS LATTER FEATURE, ALONG WITH WEAK SOUTHEAST FLOW BRINGING
IN A BIT OF ADDITIONAL, WILL ALLOW FOR SLIGHT CHANCE/LOW CHANCES
OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS OVER CENTRAL/WESTERN PORTIONS OF OUR REGION.
CAPE LOOKS TO BE FAIRLY MEAGER DUE TO A LAYER OF WARM AIR ALOFT,
BUT CAN`T RULE OUT PERHAPS A RUMBLE OF THUNDER OR TWO. MUCH OF THE
SHORT-RANGE GUIDANCE INDICATES ISOLATED SHOWERS WILL LINGER OVER
WESTERN/NORTHERN MAINE THROUGH TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
SEASONABLE, WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO AROUND 80 AND LOWS IN THE
50S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
A WEAK, AND FURTHER WEAKENING, UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL SLIDE EAST
ACROSS NEW ENGLAND AND INTO THE GULF OF MAINE ON FRIDAY. NOT
ENOUGH MOISTURE OR DYNAMICS FOR MUCH...JUST PARTLY TO MOSTLY
CLOUDY SKIES WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS FOR MOST AREAS,
EXCEPT A CHANCE OF SHOWERS OVER THE WESTERN EDGE OF OUR AREA
AROUND MOOSEHEAD LAKE.

HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTH FRIDAY NIGHT AND
POSITIONS ITSELF OVER NEW ENGLAND FOR THE WEEKEND. EXPECT A DRY
WEEKEND WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
WARM LATE SUMMER WEATHER WILL BE THE BIG STORY FOR SUNDAY INTO THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE ON SUNDAY WILL
GRADUALLY GIVE WAY TO WESTERLY FLOW TOWARD THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK,
WITH PERHAPS SOMEWHAT INCREASED AFTERNOON/EVENING THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES AROUND WEDNESDAY, BUT STILL LIKELY DRY SUNDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY.

TEMPERATURES MAY REACH 80 ON SUNDAY FOR A FEW PLACES, WITH MORE
WIDESPREAD LOW TO MID 80S MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY, EXCEPT COOLER
70S NEAR THE COAST. WENT CLOSER TO THE CONSENSUS OF RAW MODEL
OUTPUT OVER MOS GUIDANCE FOR HIGHS, AS 925 MB AND 850 MB
TEMPERATURES JUSTIFY GOING WARMER THAN MOS, WHICH TRENDS TOWARD
CLIMATOLOGY IN THE EXTENDED ANYWAY.

MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH TUESDAY, BUT BEGIN TO HAVE
ISSUES AROUND WEDNESDAY AS TO WHETHER WE GET A COLD FRONTAL
PASSAGE FROM THE NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY OR THURSDAY, OR STAY IN THE
WARM WEST/SOUTHWEST FLOW FOR A BIT LONGER.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ONLY
EXCEPTION IS LOCALIZED MVFR/POSSIBLE IFR IN FOG DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS.


SHORT TERM: GENERALLY VFR FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. ONE
EXCEPTION IS A POSSIBLE PERIOD OF MVFR CEILINGS EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP QUIESCENT CONDITIONS ON THE
WATERS TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO HEADLINES ARE ANTICIPATED.


SHORT TERM: WINDS AND SEAS EASILY STAY BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS
FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...HASTINGS/MCB
SHORT TERM...FOISY
LONG TERM...FOISY
AVIATION...HASTINGS/FOISY
MARINE...HASTINGS/FOISY








000
FXUS61 KCAR 211238
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
838 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD DOWN ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
COMING WEEKEND.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
8:40 AM UPDATE...A PATCH OF STRATUS CLOUDS HAS MOVED INTO EASTERN
AROOSTOOK COUNTY. INCREASED CLOUD COVER IN THIS REGION. STRATUS
SHOULD DISSIPATE AROUND MIDDAY BUT CUMULUS CLOUDS WILL LIKELY
RESULT IN PARTIAL CLOUDINESS DURING THE AFTERNOON.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD SOUTH
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT. MEANWHILE, WEAK UPPER
LOW PRESSURE WILL SLIDE SOUTHWARD OUT OF ONTARIO INTO WESTERN NEW
YORK. THIS LATTER FEATURE, ALONG WITH WEAK SOUTHEAST FLOW BRINGING
IN A BIT OF ADDITIONAL, WILL ALLOW FOR SLIGHT CHANCE/LOW CHANCES
OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS OVER CENTRAL/WESTERN PORTIONS OF OUR REGION.
CAPE LOOKS TO BE FAIRLY MEAGER DUE TO A LAYER OF WARM AIR ALOFT,
BUT CAN`T RULE OUT PERHAPS A RUMBLE OF THUNDER OR TWO. MUCH OF THE
SHORT-RANGE GUIDANCE INDICATES ISOLATED SHOWERS WILL LINGER OVER
WESTERN/NORTHERN MAINE THROUGH TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
SEASONABLE, WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO AROUND 80 AND LOWS IN THE
50S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
A WEAK, AND FURTHER WEAKENING, UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL SLIDE EAST
ACROSS NEW ENGLAND AND INTO THE GULF OF MAINE ON FRIDAY. NOT
ENOUGH MOISTURE OR DYNAMICS FOR MUCH...JUST PARTLY TO MOSTLY
CLOUDY SKIES WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS FOR MOST AREAS,
EXCEPT A CHANCE OF SHOWERS OVER THE WESTERN EDGE OF OUR AREA
AROUND MOOSEHEAD LAKE.

HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTH FRIDAY NIGHT AND
POSITIONS ITSELF OVER NEW ENGLAND FOR THE WEEKEND. EXPECT A DRY
WEEKEND WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
WARM LATE SUMMER WEATHER WILL BE THE BIG STORY FOR SUNDAY INTO THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE ON SUNDAY WILL
GRADUALLY GIVE WAY TO WESTERLY FLOW TOWARD THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK,
WITH PERHAPS SOMEWHAT INCREASED AFTERNOON/EVENING THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES AROUND WEDNESDAY, BUT STILL LIKELY DRY SUNDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY.

TEMPERATURES MAY REACH 80 ON SUNDAY FOR A FEW PLACES, WITH MORE
WIDESPREAD LOW TO MID 80S MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY, EXCEPT COOLER
70S NEAR THE COAST. WENT CLOSER TO THE CONSENSUS OF RAW MODEL
OUTPUT OVER MOS GUIDANCE FOR HIGHS, AS 925 MB AND 850 MB
TEMPERATURES JUSTIFY GOING WARMER THAN MOS, WHICH TRENDS TOWARD
CLIMATOLOGY IN THE EXTENDED ANYWAY.

MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH TUESDAY, BUT BEGIN TO HAVE
ISSUES AROUND WEDNESDAY AS TO WHETHER WE GET A COLD FRONTAL
PASSAGE FROM THE NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY OR THURSDAY, OR STAY IN THE
WARM WEST/SOUTHWEST FLOW FOR A BIT LONGER.

&&

.AVIATION /13Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ONLY
EXCEPTION IS LOCALIZED MVFR/POSSIBLE IFR IN FOG DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS.


SHORT TERM: GENERALLY VFR FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. ONE
EXCEPTION IS A POSSIBLE PERIOD OF MVFR CEILINGS EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP QUIESCENT CONDITIONS ON THE
WATERS TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO HEADLINES ARE ANTICIPATED.


SHORT TERM: WINDS AND SEAS EASILY STAY BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS
FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...HASTINGS/MCB
SHORT TERM...FOISY
LONG TERM...FOISY
AVIATION...HASTINGS/FOISY
MARINE...HASTINGS/FOISY








000
FXUS61 KCAR 211238
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
838 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD DOWN ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
COMING WEEKEND.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
8:40 AM UPDATE...A PATCH OF STRATUS CLOUDS HAS MOVED INTO EASTERN
AROOSTOOK COUNTY. INCREASED CLOUD COVER IN THIS REGION. STRATUS
SHOULD DISSIPATE AROUND MIDDAY BUT CUMULUS CLOUDS WILL LIKELY
RESULT IN PARTIAL CLOUDINESS DURING THE AFTERNOON.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD SOUTH
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT. MEANWHILE, WEAK UPPER
LOW PRESSURE WILL SLIDE SOUTHWARD OUT OF ONTARIO INTO WESTERN NEW
YORK. THIS LATTER FEATURE, ALONG WITH WEAK SOUTHEAST FLOW BRINGING
IN A BIT OF ADDITIONAL, WILL ALLOW FOR SLIGHT CHANCE/LOW CHANCES
OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS OVER CENTRAL/WESTERN PORTIONS OF OUR REGION.
CAPE LOOKS TO BE FAIRLY MEAGER DUE TO A LAYER OF WARM AIR ALOFT,
BUT CAN`T RULE OUT PERHAPS A RUMBLE OF THUNDER OR TWO. MUCH OF THE
SHORT-RANGE GUIDANCE INDICATES ISOLATED SHOWERS WILL LINGER OVER
WESTERN/NORTHERN MAINE THROUGH TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
SEASONABLE, WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO AROUND 80 AND LOWS IN THE
50S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
A WEAK, AND FURTHER WEAKENING, UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL SLIDE EAST
ACROSS NEW ENGLAND AND INTO THE GULF OF MAINE ON FRIDAY. NOT
ENOUGH MOISTURE OR DYNAMICS FOR MUCH...JUST PARTLY TO MOSTLY
CLOUDY SKIES WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS FOR MOST AREAS,
EXCEPT A CHANCE OF SHOWERS OVER THE WESTERN EDGE OF OUR AREA
AROUND MOOSEHEAD LAKE.

HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTH FRIDAY NIGHT AND
POSITIONS ITSELF OVER NEW ENGLAND FOR THE WEEKEND. EXPECT A DRY
WEEKEND WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
WARM LATE SUMMER WEATHER WILL BE THE BIG STORY FOR SUNDAY INTO THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE ON SUNDAY WILL
GRADUALLY GIVE WAY TO WESTERLY FLOW TOWARD THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK,
WITH PERHAPS SOMEWHAT INCREASED AFTERNOON/EVENING THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES AROUND WEDNESDAY, BUT STILL LIKELY DRY SUNDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY.

TEMPERATURES MAY REACH 80 ON SUNDAY FOR A FEW PLACES, WITH MORE
WIDESPREAD LOW TO MID 80S MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY, EXCEPT COOLER
70S NEAR THE COAST. WENT CLOSER TO THE CONSENSUS OF RAW MODEL
OUTPUT OVER MOS GUIDANCE FOR HIGHS, AS 925 MB AND 850 MB
TEMPERATURES JUSTIFY GOING WARMER THAN MOS, WHICH TRENDS TOWARD
CLIMATOLOGY IN THE EXTENDED ANYWAY.

MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH TUESDAY, BUT BEGIN TO HAVE
ISSUES AROUND WEDNESDAY AS TO WHETHER WE GET A COLD FRONTAL
PASSAGE FROM THE NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY OR THURSDAY, OR STAY IN THE
WARM WEST/SOUTHWEST FLOW FOR A BIT LONGER.

&&

.AVIATION /13Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ONLY
EXCEPTION IS LOCALIZED MVFR/POSSIBLE IFR IN FOG DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS.


SHORT TERM: GENERALLY VFR FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. ONE
EXCEPTION IS A POSSIBLE PERIOD OF MVFR CEILINGS EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP QUIESCENT CONDITIONS ON THE
WATERS TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO HEADLINES ARE ANTICIPATED.


SHORT TERM: WINDS AND SEAS EASILY STAY BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS
FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...HASTINGS/MCB
SHORT TERM...FOISY
LONG TERM...FOISY
AVIATION...HASTINGS/FOISY
MARINE...HASTINGS/FOISY







000
FXUS61 KCAR 211026
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
626 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD DOWN ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
COMING WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
625 AM...NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES WERE NEEDED WITH THIS UPDATE.
PATCHY RIVER VALLEY FOG HAS DEVELOPED IN SOME LOCATIONS AS PER
LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS, BUT THIS IS
LOCALIZED AND SHOULD BURN OFF FAIRLY QUICKLY THIS MORNING. AS
SUCH, DID NOT ADD TO THE FORECAST WITH THIS UPDATE. ONLY CHANGE
WAS TO ADJUST SKY COVER TO MATCH CURRENT SATELLITE TRENDS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD SOUTH
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT. MEANWHILE, WEAK UPPER
LOW PRESSURE WILL SLIDE SOUTHWARD OUT OF ONTARIO INTO WESTERN NEW
YORK. THIS LATTER FEATURE, ALONG WITH WEAK SOUTHEAST FLOW BRINGING
IN A BIT OF ADDITIONAL, WILL ALLOW FOR SLIGHT CHANCE/LOW CHANCES
OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS OVER CENTRAL/WESTERN PORTIONS OF OUR REGION.
CAPE LOOKS TO BE FAIRLY MEAGER DUE TO A LAYER OF WARM AIR ALOFT,
BUT CAN`T RULE OUT PERHAPS A RUMBLE OF THUNDER OR TWO. MUCH OF THE
SHORT-RANGE GUIDANCE INDICATES ISOLATED SHOWERS WILL LINGER OVER
WESTERN/NORTHERN MAINE THROUGH TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
SEASONABLE, WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO AROUND 80 AND LOWS IN THE
50S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
A WEAK, AND FURTHER WEAKENING, UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL SLIDE EAST
ACROSS NEW ENGLAND AND INTO THE GULF OF MAINE ON FRIDAY. NOT
ENOUGH MOISTURE OR DYNAMICS FOR MUCH...JUST PARTLY TO MOSTLY
CLOUDY SKIES WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS FOR MOST AREAS,
EXCEPT A CHANCE OF SHOWERS OVER THE WESTERN EDGE OF OUR AREA
AROUND MOOSEHEAD LAKE.

HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTH FRIDAY NIGHT AND
POSITIONS ITSELF OVER NEW ENGLAND FOR THE WEEKEND. EXPECT A DRY
WEEKEND WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
WARM LATE SUMMER WEATHER WILL BE THE BIG STORY FOR SUNDAY INTO THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE ON SUNDAY WILL
GRADUALLY GIVE WAY TO WESTERLY FLOW TOWARD THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK,
WITH PERHAPS SOMEWHAT INCREASED AFTERNOON/EVENING THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES AROUND WEDNESDAY, BUT STILL LIKELY DRY SUNDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY.

TEMPERATURES MAY REACH 80 ON SUNDAY FOR A FEW PLACES, WITH MORE
WIDESPREAD LOW TO MID 80S MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY, EXCEPT COOLER
70S NEAR THE COAST. WENT CLOSER TO THE CONSENSUS OF RAW MODEL
OUTPUT OVER MOS GUIDANCE FOR HIGHS, AS 925 MB AND 850 MB
TEMPERATURES JUSTIFY GOING WARMER THAN MOS, WHICH TRENDS TOWARD
CLIMATOLOGY IN THE EXTENDED ANYWAY.

MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH TUESDAY, BUT BEGIN TO HAVE
ISSUES AROUND WEDNESDAY AS TO WHETHER WE GET A COLD FRONTAL
PASSAGE FROM THE NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY OR THURSDAY, OR STAY IN THE
WARM WEST/SOUTHWEST FLOW FOR A BIT LONGER.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ONLY
EXCEPTION IS LOCALIZED MVFR/POSSIBLE IFR IN FOG DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS.


SHORT TERM: GENERALLY VFR FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. ONE
EXCEPTION IS A POSSIBLE PERIOD OF MVFR CEILINGS EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP QUIESCENT CONDITIONS ON THE
WATERS TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO HEADLINES ARE ANTICIPATED.


SHORT TERM: WINDS AND SEAS EASILY STAY BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS
FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...HASTINGS
SHORT TERM...FOISY
LONG TERM...FOISY
AVIATION...HASTINGS/FOISY
MARINE...HASTINGS/FOISY








000
FXUS61 KCAR 211026
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
626 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD DOWN ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
COMING WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
625 AM...NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES WERE NEEDED WITH THIS UPDATE.
PATCHY RIVER VALLEY FOG HAS DEVELOPED IN SOME LOCATIONS AS PER
LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS, BUT THIS IS
LOCALIZED AND SHOULD BURN OFF FAIRLY QUICKLY THIS MORNING. AS
SUCH, DID NOT ADD TO THE FORECAST WITH THIS UPDATE. ONLY CHANGE
WAS TO ADJUST SKY COVER TO MATCH CURRENT SATELLITE TRENDS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD SOUTH
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT. MEANWHILE, WEAK UPPER
LOW PRESSURE WILL SLIDE SOUTHWARD OUT OF ONTARIO INTO WESTERN NEW
YORK. THIS LATTER FEATURE, ALONG WITH WEAK SOUTHEAST FLOW BRINGING
IN A BIT OF ADDITIONAL, WILL ALLOW FOR SLIGHT CHANCE/LOW CHANCES
OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS OVER CENTRAL/WESTERN PORTIONS OF OUR REGION.
CAPE LOOKS TO BE FAIRLY MEAGER DUE TO A LAYER OF WARM AIR ALOFT,
BUT CAN`T RULE OUT PERHAPS A RUMBLE OF THUNDER OR TWO. MUCH OF THE
SHORT-RANGE GUIDANCE INDICATES ISOLATED SHOWERS WILL LINGER OVER
WESTERN/NORTHERN MAINE THROUGH TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
SEASONABLE, WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO AROUND 80 AND LOWS IN THE
50S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
A WEAK, AND FURTHER WEAKENING, UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL SLIDE EAST
ACROSS NEW ENGLAND AND INTO THE GULF OF MAINE ON FRIDAY. NOT
ENOUGH MOISTURE OR DYNAMICS FOR MUCH...JUST PARTLY TO MOSTLY
CLOUDY SKIES WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS FOR MOST AREAS,
EXCEPT A CHANCE OF SHOWERS OVER THE WESTERN EDGE OF OUR AREA
AROUND MOOSEHEAD LAKE.

HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTH FRIDAY NIGHT AND
POSITIONS ITSELF OVER NEW ENGLAND FOR THE WEEKEND. EXPECT A DRY
WEEKEND WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
WARM LATE SUMMER WEATHER WILL BE THE BIG STORY FOR SUNDAY INTO THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE ON SUNDAY WILL
GRADUALLY GIVE WAY TO WESTERLY FLOW TOWARD THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK,
WITH PERHAPS SOMEWHAT INCREASED AFTERNOON/EVENING THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES AROUND WEDNESDAY, BUT STILL LIKELY DRY SUNDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY.

TEMPERATURES MAY REACH 80 ON SUNDAY FOR A FEW PLACES, WITH MORE
WIDESPREAD LOW TO MID 80S MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY, EXCEPT COOLER
70S NEAR THE COAST. WENT CLOSER TO THE CONSENSUS OF RAW MODEL
OUTPUT OVER MOS GUIDANCE FOR HIGHS, AS 925 MB AND 850 MB
TEMPERATURES JUSTIFY GOING WARMER THAN MOS, WHICH TRENDS TOWARD
CLIMATOLOGY IN THE EXTENDED ANYWAY.

MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH TUESDAY, BUT BEGIN TO HAVE
ISSUES AROUND WEDNESDAY AS TO WHETHER WE GET A COLD FRONTAL
PASSAGE FROM THE NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY OR THURSDAY, OR STAY IN THE
WARM WEST/SOUTHWEST FLOW FOR A BIT LONGER.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ONLY
EXCEPTION IS LOCALIZED MVFR/POSSIBLE IFR IN FOG DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS.


SHORT TERM: GENERALLY VFR FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. ONE
EXCEPTION IS A POSSIBLE PERIOD OF MVFR CEILINGS EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP QUIESCENT CONDITIONS ON THE
WATERS TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO HEADLINES ARE ANTICIPATED.


SHORT TERM: WINDS AND SEAS EASILY STAY BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS
FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...HASTINGS
SHORT TERM...FOISY
LONG TERM...FOISY
AVIATION...HASTINGS/FOISY
MARINE...HASTINGS/FOISY







000
FXUS61 KCAR 210644
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
244 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD DOWN ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
COMING WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD SOUTH ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TODAY
AND TONIGHT. MEANWHILE, WEAK UPPER LOW PRESSURE WILL SLIDE SOUTHWARD
OUT OF ONTARIO INTO WESTERN NEW YORK. THIS LATTER FEATURE, ALONG
WITH WEAK SOUTHEAST FLOW BRINGING IN A BIT OF ADDITIONAL, WILL ALLOW
FOR SLIGHT CHANCE/LOW CHANCES OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS OVER
CENTRAL/WESTERN PORTIONS OF OUR REGION. CAPE LOOKS TO BE FAIRLY
MEAGER DUE TO A LAYER OF WARM AIR ALOFT, BUT CAN`T RULE OUT PERHAPS
A RUMBLE OF THUNDER OR TWO. MUCH OF THE SHORT-RANGE GUIDANCE
INDICATES ISOLATED SHOWERS WILL LINGER OVER WESTERN/NORTHERN MAINE
THROUGH TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE SEASONABLE, WITH HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S TO AROUND 80 AND LOWS IN THE 50S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
A WEAK, AND FURTHER WEAKENING, UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL SLIDE EAST
ACROSS NEW ENGLAND AND INTO THE GULF OF MAINE ON FRIDAY. NOT
ENOUGH MOISTURE OR DYNAMICS FOR MUCH...JUST PARTLY TO MOSTLY
CLOUDY SKIES WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS FOR MOST AREAS,
EXCEPT A CHANCE OF SHOWERS OVER THE WESTERN EDGE OF OUR AREA
AROUND MOOSEHEAD LAKE.

HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTH FRIDAY NIGHT AND
POSITIONS ITSELF OVER NEW ENGLAND FOR THE WEEKEND. EXPECT A DRY
WEEKEND WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES.
&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
WARM LATE SUMMER WEATHER WILL BE THE BIG STORY FOR SUNDAY INTO THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE ON SUNDAY WILL
GRADUALLY GIVE WAY TO WESTERLY FLOW TOWARD THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK,
WITH PERHAPS SOMEWHAT INCREASED AFTERNOON/EVENING THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES AROUND WEDNESDAY, BUT STILL LIKELY DRY SUNDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY.

TEMPERATURES MAY REACH 80 ON SUNDAY FOR A FEW PLACES, WITH MORE
WIDESPREAD LOW TO MID 80S MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY, EXCEPT COOLER
70S NEAR THE COAST. WENT CLOSER TO THE CONSENSUS OF RAW MODEL
OUTPUT OVER MOS GUIDANCE FOR HIGHS, AS 925 MB AND 850 MB
TEMPERATURES JUSTIFY GOING WARMER THAN MOS, WHICH TRENDS TOWARD
CLIMATOLOGY IN THE EXTENDED ANYWAY.

MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH TUESDAY, BUT BEGIN TO HAVE
ISSUES AROUND WEDNESDAY AS TO WHETHER WE GET A COLD FRONTAL
PASSAGE FROM THE NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY OR THURSDAY, OR STAY IN THE
WARM WEST/SOUTHWEST FLOW FOR A BIT LONGER.
&&

.AVIATION /07Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ONLY
EXCEPTION IS LOCALIZED MVFR/POSSIBLE IFR IN FOG DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS.


SHORT TERM: GENERALLY VFR FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. ONE
EXCEPTION IS A POSSIBLE PERIOD OF MVFR CEILINGS EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP QUIESCENT CONDITIONS ON THE
WATERS TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO HEADLINES ARE ANTICIPATED.


SHORT TERM: WINDS AND SEAS EASILY STAY BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS
FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...HASTINGS
SHORT TERM...FOISY
LONG TERM...FOISY
AVIATION...HASTINGS/FOISY
MARINE...HASTINGS/FOISY










000
FXUS61 KCAR 210446
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1246 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD DOWN ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
COMING WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
1245 AM UPDATE...NO SIGNFICANT CHANGES WERE NEEDED WITH THIS
UPDATE AS THE FORECAST IS PRETTY MUCH ON TRACK.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
TONIGHT WILL BE MOSTLY CLEAR WITH LIGHT WINDS AS HIGH PRESSURE TO
OUR NORTH VERY SLOWLY BEGINS TO DROP SOUTH INTO OUR AREA. MOST
PLACES WILL REMAIN CLEAR BUT WINDS MAY BE LIGHT ENOUGH FOR SOME
PATCHY FOG TOWARD DAWN ALONG SOME OF THE RIVER VALLEYS. SKIES WILL
BEGIN MOSTLY CLEAR ON THURSDAY. A WEAK UPPER LOW WEST OF NEW
ENGLAND WILL DRAW JUST A BIT OF MOISTURE INTO THE REGION, MAINLY
ACROSS THE WEST. SOME CUMULUS WILL DEVELOP AND WEAKLY UPSLOPING
WINDS FROM HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING DOWN FROM THE NORTH MAY BE JUST
STRONG ENOUGH TO ALLOW SOME OF THE CUMULUS TO FORM ISOLATED
SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS, ESPECIALLY IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS IN
PISCATAQUIS COUNTY. SOUNDINGS ARE SHOWING SOME WEAK CAPE ALTHOUGH
A BIT OF CAPPING AROUND 12K FT MAY LIMIT CONVECTION IN MOST AREA.
OTHERWISE, THURSDAY WILL TURN OUT PARTLY CLOUDY AND WARM ACROSS
THE REGION.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
ANY SHOWERS WILL QUICKLY DIMINISH THURSDAY EVENING HOWEVER EXPECT
CONSIDERABLE CLOUD COVER TO PERSIST WHICH WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES
FROM DROPPING BELOW THE 50S.

FOR FRIDAY, A WEAK DISTURBANCE ALOFT COMBINED WITH JUST ENOUGH
MOISTURE AND DAYTIME HEATING WILL BRING THE CHANCE FOR SOME
ISOLATED AFTERNOON SHOWERS UNDER VARIABLE CLOUD COVER. HIGHS WILL
BE IN THE MID 70S.

HIGH PRESSURE NOSING IN FROM THE NORTHEAST WILL BRING DRIER AND
SLIGHTLY COOLER CONDITIONS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY WITH
SATURDAY LOOKING TO FEATURE PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES, LIGHT
WINDS, AND HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 70S.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BOTH AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL BUILD
IN FOR THE LONG RANGE RESULTING IN FAIR AND DRY WEATHER UNDER
PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WITH A WARMING TREND. HOW QUICKLY
TEMPERATURES WARM HEADING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL DEPEND ON
QUICKLY THE RIDGE MOVES OFF THE COAST AND THE RESULTING SW FLOW
KICKS IN. AT THIS POINT THE NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN DOESN`T LOOK TO
ARRIVE UNTIL MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY WITH THE
SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SOME PATCHY FOG VERY LATE TONIGHT OR AROUND DAWN
THURSDAY MORNING.


SHORT TERM: EXPECT VFR TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: THE WIND WILL BE LIGHT AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SCA LEVELS
AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS DOWN FROM THE NORTH.

SHORT TERM:
CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY TRANQUIL ON THE SEAS WITH NO HEADLINES
EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...BLOOMER/HASTINGS
SHORT TERM...FITZSIMMONS
LONG TERM...FITZSIMMONS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/HASTINGS/FITZSIMMONS
MARINE...BLOOMER/HASTINGS/FITZSIMMONS








000
FXUS61 KCAR 210446
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1246 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD DOWN ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
COMING WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
1245 AM UPDATE...NO SIGNFICANT CHANGES WERE NEEDED WITH THIS
UPDATE AS THE FORECAST IS PRETTY MUCH ON TRACK.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
TONIGHT WILL BE MOSTLY CLEAR WITH LIGHT WINDS AS HIGH PRESSURE TO
OUR NORTH VERY SLOWLY BEGINS TO DROP SOUTH INTO OUR AREA. MOST
PLACES WILL REMAIN CLEAR BUT WINDS MAY BE LIGHT ENOUGH FOR SOME
PATCHY FOG TOWARD DAWN ALONG SOME OF THE RIVER VALLEYS. SKIES WILL
BEGIN MOSTLY CLEAR ON THURSDAY. A WEAK UPPER LOW WEST OF NEW
ENGLAND WILL DRAW JUST A BIT OF MOISTURE INTO THE REGION, MAINLY
ACROSS THE WEST. SOME CUMULUS WILL DEVELOP AND WEAKLY UPSLOPING
WINDS FROM HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING DOWN FROM THE NORTH MAY BE JUST
STRONG ENOUGH TO ALLOW SOME OF THE CUMULUS TO FORM ISOLATED
SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS, ESPECIALLY IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS IN
PISCATAQUIS COUNTY. SOUNDINGS ARE SHOWING SOME WEAK CAPE ALTHOUGH
A BIT OF CAPPING AROUND 12K FT MAY LIMIT CONVECTION IN MOST AREA.
OTHERWISE, THURSDAY WILL TURN OUT PARTLY CLOUDY AND WARM ACROSS
THE REGION.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
ANY SHOWERS WILL QUICKLY DIMINISH THURSDAY EVENING HOWEVER EXPECT
CONSIDERABLE CLOUD COVER TO PERSIST WHICH WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES
FROM DROPPING BELOW THE 50S.

FOR FRIDAY, A WEAK DISTURBANCE ALOFT COMBINED WITH JUST ENOUGH
MOISTURE AND DAYTIME HEATING WILL BRING THE CHANCE FOR SOME
ISOLATED AFTERNOON SHOWERS UNDER VARIABLE CLOUD COVER. HIGHS WILL
BE IN THE MID 70S.

HIGH PRESSURE NOSING IN FROM THE NORTHEAST WILL BRING DRIER AND
SLIGHTLY COOLER CONDITIONS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY WITH
SATURDAY LOOKING TO FEATURE PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES, LIGHT
WINDS, AND HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 70S.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BOTH AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL BUILD
IN FOR THE LONG RANGE RESULTING IN FAIR AND DRY WEATHER UNDER
PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WITH A WARMING TREND. HOW QUICKLY
TEMPERATURES WARM HEADING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL DEPEND ON
QUICKLY THE RIDGE MOVES OFF THE COAST AND THE RESULTING SW FLOW
KICKS IN. AT THIS POINT THE NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN DOESN`T LOOK TO
ARRIVE UNTIL MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY WITH THE
SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SOME PATCHY FOG VERY LATE TONIGHT OR AROUND DAWN
THURSDAY MORNING.


SHORT TERM: EXPECT VFR TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: THE WIND WILL BE LIGHT AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SCA LEVELS
AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS DOWN FROM THE NORTH.

SHORT TERM:
CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY TRANQUIL ON THE SEAS WITH NO HEADLINES
EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...BLOOMER/HASTINGS
SHORT TERM...FITZSIMMONS
LONG TERM...FITZSIMMONS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/HASTINGS/FITZSIMMONS
MARINE...BLOOMER/HASTINGS/FITZSIMMONS









000
FXUS61 KCAR 210130
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
930 PM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD DOWN ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
COMING WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
930 PM UPDATE...THE REGION REMAINS BETWEEN AN UPPER LOW OVER
NEWFOUNDLAND AND A SECOND LOW OVER THE GREAT LAKES. WEAK RIDGING
BETWEEN THE TWO LOWS WILL MAKE FOR TRANQUIL WEATHER OVERNIGHT.
THERE WILL BE JUST A BIT OF THIN CIRRUS AT TIMES FROM CONVECTION
THAT IS JUST WEST OF NEW ENGLAND ACROSS UPSTATE NY. THERE COULD BE A
LITTLE PATCHY FOG IN A FEW OF THE RIVER VALLEYS TOWARD MORNING
WITH A MAINLY CLEAR SKY AND LIGHT WIND. LOWS TONIGHT WILL MOSTLY
BE IN THE 50S...BUT A FEW OF THE DEEPER VALLEYS IN THE NW MAY DROP
INTO THE 40S. ONLY MINOR TWEAKS TO THE ONGOING FORECAST BASED ON
THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND SATELLITE PICTURES.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
TONIGHT WILL BE MOSTLY CLEAR WITH LIGHT WINDS AS HIGH PRESSURE TO
OUR NORTH VERY SLOWLY BEGINS TO DROP SOUTH INTO OUR AREA. MOST
PLACES WILL REMAIN CLEAR BUT WINDS MAY BE LIGHT ENOUGH FOR SOME
PATCHY FOG TOWARD DAWN ALONG SOME OF THE RIVER VALLEYS. SKIES WILL
BEGIN MOSTLY CLEAR ON THURSDAY. A WEAK UPPER LOW WEST OF NEW
ENGLAND WILL DRAW JUST A BIT OF MOISTURE INTO THE REGION, MAINLY
ACROSS THE WEST. SOME CUMULUS WILL DEVELOP AND WEAKLY UPSLOPING
WINDS FROM HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING DOWN FROM THE NORTH MAY BE JUST
STRONG ENOUGH TO ALLOW SOME OF THE CUMULUS TO FORM ISOLATED
SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS, ESPECIALLY IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS IN
PISCATAQUIS COUNTY. SOUNDINGS ARE SHOWING SOME WEAK CAPE ALTHOUGH
A BIT OF CAPPING AROUND 12K FT MAY LIMIT CONVECTION IN MOST AREA.
OTHERWISE, THURSDAY WILL TURN OUT PARTLY CLOUDY AND WARM ACROSS
THE REGION.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
ANY SHOWERS WILL QUICKLY DIMINISH THURSDAY EVENING HOWEVER EXPECT
CONSIDERABLE CLOUD COVER TO PERSIST WHICH WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES
FROM DROPPING BELOW THE 50S.

FOR FRIDAY, A WEAK DISTURBANCE ALOFT COMBINED WITH JUST ENOUGH
MOISTURE AND DAYTIME HEATING WILL BRING THE CHANCE FOR SOME
ISOLATED AFTERNOON SHOWERS UNDER VARIABLE CLOUD COVER. HIGHS WILL
BE IN THE MID 70S.

HIGH PRESSURE NOSING IN FROM THE NORTHEAST WILL BRING DRIER AND
SLIGHTLY COOLER CONDITIONS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY WITH
SATURDAY LOOKING TO FEATURE PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES, LIGHT
WINDS, AND HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 70S.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BOTH AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL BUILD
IN FOR THE LONG RANGE RESULTING IN FAIR AND DRY WEATHER UNDER
PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WITH A WARMING TREND. HOW QUICKLY
TEMPERATURES WARM HEADING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL DEPEND ON
QUICKLY THE RIDGE MOVES OFF THE COAST AND THE RESULTING SW FLOW
KICKS IN. AT THIS POINT THE NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN DOESN`T LOOK TO
ARRIVE UNTIL MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /01Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY WITH THE
SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SOME PATCHY FOG VERY LATE TONIGHT OR AROUND DAWN
THURSDAY MORNING.


SHORT TERM: EXPECT VFR TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: THE WIND WILL BE LIGHT AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SCA LEVELS
AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS DOWN FROM THE NORTH.

SHORT TERM:
CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY TRANQUIL ON THE SEAS WITH NO HEADLINES
EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...BLOOMER/CB
SHORT TERM...FITZSIMMONS
LONG TERM...FITZSIMMONS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/CB/FITZSIMMONS
MARINE...BLOOMER/CB/FITZSIMMONS






000
FXUS61 KCAR 210130
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
930 PM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD DOWN ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
COMING WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
930 PM UPDATE...THE REGION REMAINS BETWEEN AN UPPER LOW OVER
NEWFOUNDLAND AND A SECOND LOW OVER THE GREAT LAKES. WEAK RIDGING
BETWEEN THE TWO LOWS WILL MAKE FOR TRANQUIL WEATHER OVERNIGHT.
THERE WILL BE JUST A BIT OF THIN CIRRUS AT TIMES FROM CONVECTION
THAT IS JUST WEST OF NEW ENGLAND ACROSS UPSTATE NY. THERE COULD BE A
LITTLE PATCHY FOG IN A FEW OF THE RIVER VALLEYS TOWARD MORNING
WITH A MAINLY CLEAR SKY AND LIGHT WIND. LOWS TONIGHT WILL MOSTLY
BE IN THE 50S...BUT A FEW OF THE DEEPER VALLEYS IN THE NW MAY DROP
INTO THE 40S. ONLY MINOR TWEAKS TO THE ONGOING FORECAST BASED ON
THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND SATELLITE PICTURES.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
TONIGHT WILL BE MOSTLY CLEAR WITH LIGHT WINDS AS HIGH PRESSURE TO
OUR NORTH VERY SLOWLY BEGINS TO DROP SOUTH INTO OUR AREA. MOST
PLACES WILL REMAIN CLEAR BUT WINDS MAY BE LIGHT ENOUGH FOR SOME
PATCHY FOG TOWARD DAWN ALONG SOME OF THE RIVER VALLEYS. SKIES WILL
BEGIN MOSTLY CLEAR ON THURSDAY. A WEAK UPPER LOW WEST OF NEW
ENGLAND WILL DRAW JUST A BIT OF MOISTURE INTO THE REGION, MAINLY
ACROSS THE WEST. SOME CUMULUS WILL DEVELOP AND WEAKLY UPSLOPING
WINDS FROM HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING DOWN FROM THE NORTH MAY BE JUST
STRONG ENOUGH TO ALLOW SOME OF THE CUMULUS TO FORM ISOLATED
SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS, ESPECIALLY IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS IN
PISCATAQUIS COUNTY. SOUNDINGS ARE SHOWING SOME WEAK CAPE ALTHOUGH
A BIT OF CAPPING AROUND 12K FT MAY LIMIT CONVECTION IN MOST AREA.
OTHERWISE, THURSDAY WILL TURN OUT PARTLY CLOUDY AND WARM ACROSS
THE REGION.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
ANY SHOWERS WILL QUICKLY DIMINISH THURSDAY EVENING HOWEVER EXPECT
CONSIDERABLE CLOUD COVER TO PERSIST WHICH WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES
FROM DROPPING BELOW THE 50S.

FOR FRIDAY, A WEAK DISTURBANCE ALOFT COMBINED WITH JUST ENOUGH
MOISTURE AND DAYTIME HEATING WILL BRING THE CHANCE FOR SOME
ISOLATED AFTERNOON SHOWERS UNDER VARIABLE CLOUD COVER. HIGHS WILL
BE IN THE MID 70S.

HIGH PRESSURE NOSING IN FROM THE NORTHEAST WILL BRING DRIER AND
SLIGHTLY COOLER CONDITIONS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY WITH
SATURDAY LOOKING TO FEATURE PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES, LIGHT
WINDS, AND HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 70S.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BOTH AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL BUILD
IN FOR THE LONG RANGE RESULTING IN FAIR AND DRY WEATHER UNDER
PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WITH A WARMING TREND. HOW QUICKLY
TEMPERATURES WARM HEADING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL DEPEND ON
QUICKLY THE RIDGE MOVES OFF THE COAST AND THE RESULTING SW FLOW
KICKS IN. AT THIS POINT THE NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN DOESN`T LOOK TO
ARRIVE UNTIL MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /01Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY WITH THE
SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SOME PATCHY FOG VERY LATE TONIGHT OR AROUND DAWN
THURSDAY MORNING.


SHORT TERM: EXPECT VFR TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: THE WIND WILL BE LIGHT AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SCA LEVELS
AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS DOWN FROM THE NORTH.

SHORT TERM:
CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY TRANQUIL ON THE SEAS WITH NO HEADLINES
EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...BLOOMER/CB
SHORT TERM...FITZSIMMONS
LONG TERM...FITZSIMMONS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/CB/FITZSIMMONS
MARINE...BLOOMER/CB/FITZSIMMONS







000
FXUS61 KCAR 202226
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
626 PM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD DOWN ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
COMING WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
625 PM UPDATE...A QUIET EVENING WEATHER-WISE AS THE REGION IS
BETWIXT UPPER LOWS ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES AND MARITIMES. THE
DIURNAL CU IS SHOWING SIGNS OF DISSIPATING IN MANY AREAS AND WILL
DISSIPATE IN ALL AREAS THIS EVENING WITH THE RAPID LOSS OF
DAYTIME HEATING. JUST SOME HIGH/THIN CIRRUS AT TIMES TONIGHT
ASSOCIATED WITH CONVECTION TO THE WEST OF NEW ENGLAND. LOADED THE
PAST FEW HOURS OF OBSERVED DATA AND INTERPOLATED THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE EVENING. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES ARE PLANNED WITH
THIS UPDATE.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
TONIGHT WILL BE MOSTLY CLEAR WITH LIGHT WINDS AS HIGH PRESSURE TO
OUR NORTH VERY SLOWLY BEGINS TO DROP SOUTH INTO OUR AREA. MOST
PLACES WILL REMAIN CLEAR BUT WINDS MAY BE LIGHT ENOUGH FOR SOME
PATCHY FOG TOWARD DAWN ALONG SOME OF THE RIVER VALLEYS. SKIES WILL
BEGIN MOSTLY CLEAR ON THURSDAY. A WEAK UPPER LOW WEST OF NEW
ENGLAND WILL DRAW JUST A BIT OF MOISTURE INTO THE REGION, MAINLY
ACROSS THE WEST. SOME CUMULUS WILL DEVELOP AND WEAKLY UPSLOPING
WINDS FROM HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING DOWN FROM THE NORTH MAY BE JUST
STRONG ENOUGH TO ALLOW SOME OF THE CUMULUS TO FORM ISOLATED
SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS, ESPECIALLY IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS IN
PISCATAQUIS COUNTY. SOUNDINGS ARE SHOWING SOME WEAK CAPE ALTHOUGH
A BIT OF CAPPING AROUND 12K FT MAY LIMIT CONVECTION IN MOST AREA.
OTHERWISE, THURSDAY WILL TURN OUT PARTLY CLOUDY AND WARM ACROSS
THE REGION.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
ANY SHOWERS WILL QUICKLY DIMINISH THURSDAY EVENING HOWEVER EXPECT
CONSIDERABLE CLOUD COVER TO PERSIST WHICH WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES
FROM DROPPING BELOW THE 50S.

FOR FRIDAY, A WEAK DISTURBANCE ALOFT COMBINED WITH JUST ENOUGH
MOISTURE AND DAYTIME HEATING WILL BRING THE CHANCE FOR SOME
ISOLATED AFTERNOON SHOWERS UNDER VARIABLE CLOUD COVER. HIGHS WILL
BE IN THE MID 70S.

HIGH PRESSURE NOSING IN FROM THE NORTHEAST WILL BRING DRIER AND
SLIGHTLY COOLER CONDITIONS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY WITH
SATURDAY LOOKING TO FEATURE PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES, LIGHT
WINDS, AND HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 70S.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BOTH AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL BUILD
IN FOR THE LONG RANGE RESULTING IN FAIR AND DRY WEATHER UNDER
PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WITH A WARMING TREND. HOW QUICKLY
TEMPERATURES WARM HEADING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL DEPEND ON
QUICKLY THE RIDGE MOVES OFF THE COAST AND THE RESULTING SW FLOW
KICKS IN. AT THIS POINT THE NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN DOESN`T LOOK TO
ARRIVE UNTIL MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /22Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY WITH THE
ISOLATED POSSIBILITY FOR SOME PATCHY FOG VERY LATE TONIGHT OR
AROUND DAWN THURSDAY MORNING.


SHORT TERM: EXPECT VFR TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SCA AS
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS DOWN FROM THE NORTH.

SHORT TERM:
CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY TRANQUIL ON THE SEAS WITH NO HEADLINES
EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...BLOOMER/CB
SHORT TERM...FITZSIMMONS
LONG TERM...FITZSIMMONS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/CB/FITZSIMMONS
MARINE...BLOOMER/CB/FITZSIMMONS







000
FXUS61 KCAR 202226
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
626 PM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD DOWN ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
COMING WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
625 PM UPDATE...A QUIET EVENING WEATHER-WISE AS THE REGION IS
BETWIXT UPPER LOWS ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES AND MARITIMES. THE
DIURNAL CU IS SHOWING SIGNS OF DISSIPATING IN MANY AREAS AND WILL
DISSIPATE IN ALL AREAS THIS EVENING WITH THE RAPID LOSS OF
DAYTIME HEATING. JUST SOME HIGH/THIN CIRRUS AT TIMES TONIGHT
ASSOCIATED WITH CONVECTION TO THE WEST OF NEW ENGLAND. LOADED THE
PAST FEW HOURS OF OBSERVED DATA AND INTERPOLATED THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE EVENING. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES ARE PLANNED WITH
THIS UPDATE.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
TONIGHT WILL BE MOSTLY CLEAR WITH LIGHT WINDS AS HIGH PRESSURE TO
OUR NORTH VERY SLOWLY BEGINS TO DROP SOUTH INTO OUR AREA. MOST
PLACES WILL REMAIN CLEAR BUT WINDS MAY BE LIGHT ENOUGH FOR SOME
PATCHY FOG TOWARD DAWN ALONG SOME OF THE RIVER VALLEYS. SKIES WILL
BEGIN MOSTLY CLEAR ON THURSDAY. A WEAK UPPER LOW WEST OF NEW
ENGLAND WILL DRAW JUST A BIT OF MOISTURE INTO THE REGION, MAINLY
ACROSS THE WEST. SOME CUMULUS WILL DEVELOP AND WEAKLY UPSLOPING
WINDS FROM HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING DOWN FROM THE NORTH MAY BE JUST
STRONG ENOUGH TO ALLOW SOME OF THE CUMULUS TO FORM ISOLATED
SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS, ESPECIALLY IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS IN
PISCATAQUIS COUNTY. SOUNDINGS ARE SHOWING SOME WEAK CAPE ALTHOUGH
A BIT OF CAPPING AROUND 12K FT MAY LIMIT CONVECTION IN MOST AREA.
OTHERWISE, THURSDAY WILL TURN OUT PARTLY CLOUDY AND WARM ACROSS
THE REGION.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
ANY SHOWERS WILL QUICKLY DIMINISH THURSDAY EVENING HOWEVER EXPECT
CONSIDERABLE CLOUD COVER TO PERSIST WHICH WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES
FROM DROPPING BELOW THE 50S.

FOR FRIDAY, A WEAK DISTURBANCE ALOFT COMBINED WITH JUST ENOUGH
MOISTURE AND DAYTIME HEATING WILL BRING THE CHANCE FOR SOME
ISOLATED AFTERNOON SHOWERS UNDER VARIABLE CLOUD COVER. HIGHS WILL
BE IN THE MID 70S.

HIGH PRESSURE NOSING IN FROM THE NORTHEAST WILL BRING DRIER AND
SLIGHTLY COOLER CONDITIONS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY WITH
SATURDAY LOOKING TO FEATURE PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES, LIGHT
WINDS, AND HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 70S.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BOTH AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL BUILD
IN FOR THE LONG RANGE RESULTING IN FAIR AND DRY WEATHER UNDER
PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WITH A WARMING TREND. HOW QUICKLY
TEMPERATURES WARM HEADING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL DEPEND ON
QUICKLY THE RIDGE MOVES OFF THE COAST AND THE RESULTING SW FLOW
KICKS IN. AT THIS POINT THE NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN DOESN`T LOOK TO
ARRIVE UNTIL MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /22Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY WITH THE
ISOLATED POSSIBILITY FOR SOME PATCHY FOG VERY LATE TONIGHT OR
AROUND DAWN THURSDAY MORNING.


SHORT TERM: EXPECT VFR TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SCA AS
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS DOWN FROM THE NORTH.

SHORT TERM:
CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY TRANQUIL ON THE SEAS WITH NO HEADLINES
EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...BLOOMER/CB
SHORT TERM...FITZSIMMONS
LONG TERM...FITZSIMMONS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/CB/FITZSIMMONS
MARINE...BLOOMER/CB/FITZSIMMONS








000
FXUS61 KCAR 201934
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
334 PM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD DOWN ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
COMING WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
TONIGHT WILL BE MOSTLY CLEAR WITH LIGHT WINDS AS HIGH PRESSURE TO
OUR NORTH VERY SLOWLY BEGINS TO DROP SOUTH INTO OUR AREA. MOST
PLACES WILL REMAIN CLEAR BUT WINDS MAY BE LIGHT ENOUGH FOR SOME
PATCHY FOG TOWARD DAWN ALONG SOME OF THE RIVER VALLEYS. SKIES WILL
BEGIN MOSTLY CLEAR ON THURSDAY. A WEAK UPPER LOW WEST OF NEW
ENGLAND WILL DRAW JUST A BIT OF MOISTURE INTO THE REGION, MAINLY
ACROSS THE WEST. SOME CUMULUS WILL DEVELOP AND WEAKLY UPSLOPING
WINDS FROM HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING DOWN FROM THE NORTH MAY BE JUST
STRONG ENOUGH TO ALLOW SOME OF THE CUMULUS TO FORM ISOLATED
SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS, ESPECIALLY IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS IN
PISCATAQUIS COUNTY. SOUNDINGS ARE SHOWING SOME WEAK CAPE ALTHOUGH
A BIT OF CAPPING AROUND 12K FT MAY LIMIT CONVECTION IN MOST AREA.
OTHERWISE, THURSDAY WILL TURN OUT PARTLY CLOUDY AND WARM ACROSS
THE REGION.
&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
ANY SHOWERS WILL QUICKLY DIMINISH THURSDAY EVENING HOWEVER EXPECT CONSIDERABLE
CLOUD COVER TO PERSIST WHICH WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES FROM DROPPING
BELOW THE 50S.

FOR FRIDAY, A WEAK DISTURBANCE ALOFT COMBINED WITH JUST ENOUGH
MOISTURE AND DAYTIME HEATING WILL BRING THE CHANCE FOR SOME
ISOLATED AFTERNOON SHOWERS UNDER VARIABLE CLOUD COVER. HIGHS WILL
BE IN THE MID 70S.

HIGH PRESSURE NOSING IN FROM THE NORTHEAST WILL BRING DRIER AND
SLIGHTLY COOLER CONDITIONS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY WITH
SATURDAY LOOKING TO FEATURE PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES, LIGHT
WINDS, AND HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 70S.
&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BOTH AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL BUILD
IN FOR THE LONG RANGE RESULTING IN FAIR AND DRY WEATHER UNDER
PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WITH A WARMING TREND. HOW QUICKLY
TEMPERATURES WARM HEADING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL DEPEND ON
QUICKLY THE RIDGE MOVES OFF THE COAST AND THE RESULTING SW FLOW
KICKS IN. AT THIS POINT THE NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN DOESN`T LOOK TO
ARRIVE UNTIL MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK.
&&

.AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY WITH THE
ISOLATED POSSIBILITY FOR SOME PATCHY FOG VERY LATE TONIGHT OR
AROUND DAWN THURSDAY MORNING.


SHORT TERM: EXPECT VFR TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SCA AS
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS DOWN FROM THE NORTH.

SHORT TERM:
CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY TRANQUIL ON THE SEAS WITH NO HEADLINES
EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...BLOOMER
SHORT TERM...FITZSIMMONS
LONG TERM...FITZSIMMONS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/FITZSIMMONS
MARINE...BLOOMER/FITZSIMMONS













000
FXUS61 KCAR 201934
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
334 PM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD DOWN ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
COMING WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
TONIGHT WILL BE MOSTLY CLEAR WITH LIGHT WINDS AS HIGH PRESSURE TO
OUR NORTH VERY SLOWLY BEGINS TO DROP SOUTH INTO OUR AREA. MOST
PLACES WILL REMAIN CLEAR BUT WINDS MAY BE LIGHT ENOUGH FOR SOME
PATCHY FOG TOWARD DAWN ALONG SOME OF THE RIVER VALLEYS. SKIES WILL
BEGIN MOSTLY CLEAR ON THURSDAY. A WEAK UPPER LOW WEST OF NEW
ENGLAND WILL DRAW JUST A BIT OF MOISTURE INTO THE REGION, MAINLY
ACROSS THE WEST. SOME CUMULUS WILL DEVELOP AND WEAKLY UPSLOPING
WINDS FROM HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING DOWN FROM THE NORTH MAY BE JUST
STRONG ENOUGH TO ALLOW SOME OF THE CUMULUS TO FORM ISOLATED
SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS, ESPECIALLY IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS IN
PISCATAQUIS COUNTY. SOUNDINGS ARE SHOWING SOME WEAK CAPE ALTHOUGH
A BIT OF CAPPING AROUND 12K FT MAY LIMIT CONVECTION IN MOST AREA.
OTHERWISE, THURSDAY WILL TURN OUT PARTLY CLOUDY AND WARM ACROSS
THE REGION.
&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
ANY SHOWERS WILL QUICKLY DIMINISH THURSDAY EVENING HOWEVER EXPECT CONSIDERABLE
CLOUD COVER TO PERSIST WHICH WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES FROM DROPPING
BELOW THE 50S.

FOR FRIDAY, A WEAK DISTURBANCE ALOFT COMBINED WITH JUST ENOUGH
MOISTURE AND DAYTIME HEATING WILL BRING THE CHANCE FOR SOME
ISOLATED AFTERNOON SHOWERS UNDER VARIABLE CLOUD COVER. HIGHS WILL
BE IN THE MID 70S.

HIGH PRESSURE NOSING IN FROM THE NORTHEAST WILL BRING DRIER AND
SLIGHTLY COOLER CONDITIONS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY WITH
SATURDAY LOOKING TO FEATURE PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES, LIGHT
WINDS, AND HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 70S.
&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BOTH AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL BUILD
IN FOR THE LONG RANGE RESULTING IN FAIR AND DRY WEATHER UNDER
PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WITH A WARMING TREND. HOW QUICKLY
TEMPERATURES WARM HEADING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL DEPEND ON
QUICKLY THE RIDGE MOVES OFF THE COAST AND THE RESULTING SW FLOW
KICKS IN. AT THIS POINT THE NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN DOESN`T LOOK TO
ARRIVE UNTIL MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK.
&&

.AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY WITH THE
ISOLATED POSSIBILITY FOR SOME PATCHY FOG VERY LATE TONIGHT OR
AROUND DAWN THURSDAY MORNING.


SHORT TERM: EXPECT VFR TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SCA AS
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS DOWN FROM THE NORTH.

SHORT TERM:
CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY TRANQUIL ON THE SEAS WITH NO HEADLINES
EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...BLOOMER
SHORT TERM...FITZSIMMONS
LONG TERM...FITZSIMMONS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/FITZSIMMONS
MARINE...BLOOMER/FITZSIMMONS














000
FXUS61 KCAR 201521
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1121 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MID WEEK.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
11:30 AM UPDATE...DECREASED CLOUD COVER JUST A BIT. OTHERWISE, NO
MAJOR CHANGES FOR THE MIDDAY UPDATE.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE WILL CONTINUE
TO BUILD ACROSS NEW ENGLAND TODAY WHILE UPPER LOW PRESSURE MOVES
AWAY TO OUR EAST. AS SUCH, THE DRY WEATHER WILL PREVAIL TODAY AND
TONIGHT, WITH JUST SOME FAIR WEATHER CUMULUS CLOUDS POPPING UP
THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHS WILL BE MID 70S TO AROUND 80, WITH THE
IMMEDIATE COAST A BIT COOLER. WHILE SKIES WILL CLEAR OUT THIS
EVENING, CLOUDS WILL ONCE AGAIN INCREASE LATE TONIGHT AHEAD OF
ANOTHER UPPER LOW PRESSURE MOVING OUT OF THE GREAT LAKES. THIS
CLOUD COVER WILL KEEP OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES WARMER
THAN THE PREVIOUS NIGHT, EXCEPT ACROSS THE FAR NORTHWEST WHERE
SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY CLEAR FOR MUCH OF THE NIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
MODELS SHOW WEAK REX-LIKE BLOCKING SETTING UP OVR FAR NRN NEW ENG...
QB PROV AND THE MARITIMES THU INTO THE WEEKEND. INITIALLY...A WEAK
UPPER LOW MOVG E OVR THE GULF OF ME UNDERCUTS THE ANOMALOUS UPPER
RIDGE OVR NRN/CNTRL QB THU AFTN INTO ERLY EVE. THIS COULD RESULT
IN SCT SHWRS AND POSSIBLE TSTMS DURG THIS TM PD MSLY OVR W CNTRL
AND W INTERIOR DOWNEAST AREAS. DAYTIME HTG RESULTING IN SBCAPE UP
TO 500 J/KG WILL HELP WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF THESE SHWRS. BY MID
TO LATE EVE THESE SHWRS SHOULD DIMINISH AND LARGELY DISSIPATE WITH
THE LOSS OF HTG. AFTWRDS...WITH A WEAK SFC PRES GRAD AND SOME
REMNANT LVL MOISTURE...PATCHY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE OVR THE REGION
LATE THU NGT INTO ERLY FRI MORN.

ON FRI THE WEAK UPPER LOW OVR THE GULF OF ME WILL CONT TO SLOWLY
MOVE SE OF NOVA SCOTIA...WITH PERHAPS ENOUGH REMNANT LLVL MOISTURE
FOR ISOLD AFTN SHWRS...MSLY OVR WRN MTNS. HI TEMPS THU LOOK TO BE
A LITTLE ABV NORMAL WITH OVRNGT LOWS THU NGT NEAR NORMAL. SFC HI
PRES RIDGING SSWRD FROM WRN LABRADOR WILL LIKELY BRING SLIGHTLY
COOLER...BUT STILL NEAR SEASONAL NORMAL HI TEMPS UNDER PTLY SUNNY
SKIES. SLIGHTLY BREEZIER CONDITIONS FROM THE ENE FRI NGT SHOULD
MSLY PRECLUDE PATCHY FOG FRI NGT.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
REX BLOCKING WILL CONT INTO THE WEEKEND AS THE UPPER LOW S OF
NOVA SCOTIA SLOWLY MOVES ESE INTO THE OPEN ATLC AND THE UPPER
RIDGE/HIGH BEGINS TO RE-ASSERT ITSELF A LITTLE FURTHER S OVR CNTRL
QB. HI TEMPS SAT AND SUN WILL BE NEAR SEASONAL NORMS UNDER MSLY
SUNNY SKIES WITH OVRNGT LOWS A LITTLE BLO AVG AS THE SFC HI
CROSSES THE REGION. HI TEMPS MON AND TUE WILL BEGIN TO WARM AS THE
UPPER RIDGE AXIS MOVES SWRD OVR THE FA...ALLOWING THE SFC HI
CONTS TO TO MOVE INTO THE GULF OF ME AND A RETURN SW SFC WIND SETS
UP OVR THE FA. IN FACT...WE MAY BE CONSERVATIVE WITH HI TEMPS
SPCLY TUE IF THE UPPER RIDGE IS AS STRONG AS BOTH THE 00Z GFS AND
ECMWF MODELS INDICATE...WHICH WOULD SUGGEST HI TEMPS INTO THE 80S
ACROSS LOWER TRRN OF NRN/CNTRL ME. OVRNGT LOWS SUN NGT AND MON NGT
WILL ALSO BEGIN TO WARM DURING THIS TM.

&&

.AVIATION /16Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ONLY
EXCEPTION IS LOCALIZED MVFR/POSSIBLE IFR IN FOG DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS.

SHORT TO LONG TERM: VFR XPCTD...XCPT PERHAPS MVFR/IFR IN PATCHY
FOG LATE THU NGT INTO ERLY FRI.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP QUIESCENT CONDITIONS ON THE
WATERS TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO HEADLINES ARE ANTICIPATED.

SHORT TO LONG TERM: NO HDLNS ANTICIPATED WITH WV HTS IN THE 2 TO 3
FT RANGE OVR THE OUTER MZS AND 1 TO 2 FT OVR THE INNER BAY/HARBOR
MZS. WENT WITH ABOUT 80 TO 90 PERCENT OF WW3 WV GUIDANCE FOR FCST
WV HTS THIS PD.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...HASTINGS/MCB
SHORT TERM...VJN
LONG TERM...VJN
AVIATION...HASTINGS/VJN
MARINE...HASTINGS/VJN







000
FXUS61 KCAR 201303
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
903 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MID WEEK.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
9 PM UPDATE...MODIFIED SKY COVER A BIT TO KEEP SKIES MOSTLY CLEAR
ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH MIDDAY. OTHERWISE, NO MAJOR CHANGES.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE WILL CONTINUE
TO BUILD ACROSS NEW ENGLAND TODAY WHILE UPPER LOW PRESSURE MOVES
AWAY TO OUR EAST. AS SUCH, THE DRY WEATHER WILL PREVAIL TODAY AND
TONIGHT, WITH JUST SOME FAIR WEATHER CUMULUS CLOUDS POPPING UP
THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHS WILL BE MID 70S TO AROUND 80, WITH THE
IMMEDIATE COAST A BIT COOLER. WHILE SKIES WILL CLEAR OUT THIS
EVENING, CLOUDS WILL ONCE AGAIN INCREASE LATE TONIGHT AHEAD OF
ANOTHER UPPER LOW PRESSURE MOVING OUT OF THE GREAT LAKES. THIS
CLOUD COVER WILL KEEP OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES WARMER
THAN THE PREVIOUS NIGHT, EXCEPT ACROSS THE FAR NORTHWEST WHERE
SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY CLEAR FOR MUCH OF THE NIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
MODELS SHOW WEAK REX-LIKE BLOCKING SETTING UP OVR FAR NRN NEW ENG...
QB PROV AND THE MARITIMES THU INTO THE WEEKEND. INITIALLY...A WEAK
UPPER LOW MOVG E OVR THE GULF OF ME UNDERCUTS THE ANOMALOUS UPPER
RIDGE OVR NRN/CNTRL QB THU AFTN INTO ERLY EVE. THIS COULD RESULT
IN SCT SHWRS AND POSSIBLE TSTMS DURG THIS TM PD MSLY OVR W CNTRL
AND W INTERIOR DOWNEAST AREAS. DAYTIME HTG RESULTING IN SBCAPE UP
TO 500 J/KG WILL HELP WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF THESE SHWRS. BY MID
TO LATE EVE THESE SHWRS SHOULD DIMINISH AND LARGELY DISSIPATE WITH
THE LOSS OF HTG. AFTWRDS...WITH A WEAK SFC PRES GRAD AND SOME
REMNANT LVL MOISTURE...PATCHY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE OVR THE REGION
LATE THU NGT INTO ERLY FRI MORN.

ON FRI THE WEAK UPPER LOW OVR THE GULF OF ME WILL CONT TO SLOWLY
MOVE SE OF NOVA SCOTIA...WITH PERHAPS ENOUGH REMNANT LLVL MOISTURE
FOR ISOLD AFTN SHWRS...MSLY OVR WRN MTNS. HI TEMPS THU LOOK TO BE
A LITTLE ABV NORMAL WITH OVRNGT LOWS THU NGT NEAR NORMAL. SFC HI
PRES RIDGING SSWRD FROM WRN LABRADOR WILL LIKELY BRING SLIGHTLY
COOLER...BUT STILL NEAR SEASONAL NORMAL HI TEMPS UNDER PTLY SUNNY
SKIES. SLIGHTLY BREEZIER CONDITIONS FROM THE ENE FRI NGT SHOULD
MSLY PRECLUDE PATCHY FOG FRI NGT.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
REX BLOCKING WILL CONT INTO THE WEEKEND AS THE UPPER LOW S OF
NOVA SCOTIA SLOWLY MOVES ESE INTO THE OPEN ATLC AND THE UPPER
RIDGE/HIGH BEGINS TO RE-ASSERT ITSELF A LITTLE FURTHER S OVR CNTRL
QB. HI TEMPS SAT AND SUN WILL BE NEAR SEASONAL NORMS UNDER MSLY
SUNNY SKIES WITH OVRNGT LOWS A LITTLE BLO AVG AS THE SFC HI
CROSSES THE REGION. HI TEMPS MON AND TUE WILL BEGIN TO WARM AS THE
UPPER RIDGE AXIS MOVES SWRD OVR THE FA...ALLOWING THE SFC HI
CONTS TO TO MOVE INTO THE GULF OF ME AND A RETURN SW SFC WIND SETS
UP OVR THE FA. IN FACT...WE MAY BE CONSERVATIVE WITH HI TEMPS
SPCLY TUE IF THE UPPER RIDGE IS AS STRONG AS BOTH THE 00Z GFS AND
ECMWF MODELS INDICATE...WHICH WOULD SUGGEST HI TEMPS INTO THE 80S
ACROSS LOWER TRRN OF NRN/CNTRL ME. OVRNGT LOWS SUN NGT AND MON NGT
WILL ALSO BEGIN TO WARM DURING THIS TM.

&&

.AVIATION /13Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ONLY
EXCEPTION IS LOCALIZED MVFR/POSSIBLE IFR IN FOG DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS.

SHORT TO LONG TERM: VFR XPCTD...XCPT PERHAPS MVFR/IFR IN PATCHY
FOG LATE THU NGT INTO ERLY FRI.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP QUIESCENT CONDITIONS ON THE
WATERS TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO HEADLINES ARE ANTICIPATED.

SHORT TO LONG TERM: NO HDLNS ANTICIPATED WITH WV HTS IN THE 2 TO 3
FT RANGE OVR THE OUTER MZS AND 1 TO 2 FT OVR THE INNER BAY/HARBOR
MZS. WENT WITH ABOUT 80 TO 90 PERCENT OF WW3 WV GUIDANCE FOR FCST
WV HTS THIS PD.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...HASTINGS/MCB
SHORT TERM...VJN
LONG TERM...VJN
AVIATION...HASTINGS/VJN
MARINE...HASTINGS/VJN







000
FXUS61 KCAR 201303
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
903 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MID WEEK.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
9 PM UPDATE...MODIFIED SKY COVER A BIT TO KEEP SKIES MOSTLY CLEAR
ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH MIDDAY. OTHERWISE, NO MAJOR CHANGES.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE WILL CONTINUE
TO BUILD ACROSS NEW ENGLAND TODAY WHILE UPPER LOW PRESSURE MOVES
AWAY TO OUR EAST. AS SUCH, THE DRY WEATHER WILL PREVAIL TODAY AND
TONIGHT, WITH JUST SOME FAIR WEATHER CUMULUS CLOUDS POPPING UP
THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHS WILL BE MID 70S TO AROUND 80, WITH THE
IMMEDIATE COAST A BIT COOLER. WHILE SKIES WILL CLEAR OUT THIS
EVENING, CLOUDS WILL ONCE AGAIN INCREASE LATE TONIGHT AHEAD OF
ANOTHER UPPER LOW PRESSURE MOVING OUT OF THE GREAT LAKES. THIS
CLOUD COVER WILL KEEP OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES WARMER
THAN THE PREVIOUS NIGHT, EXCEPT ACROSS THE FAR NORTHWEST WHERE
SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY CLEAR FOR MUCH OF THE NIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
MODELS SHOW WEAK REX-LIKE BLOCKING SETTING UP OVR FAR NRN NEW ENG...
QB PROV AND THE MARITIMES THU INTO THE WEEKEND. INITIALLY...A WEAK
UPPER LOW MOVG E OVR THE GULF OF ME UNDERCUTS THE ANOMALOUS UPPER
RIDGE OVR NRN/CNTRL QB THU AFTN INTO ERLY EVE. THIS COULD RESULT
IN SCT SHWRS AND POSSIBLE TSTMS DURG THIS TM PD MSLY OVR W CNTRL
AND W INTERIOR DOWNEAST AREAS. DAYTIME HTG RESULTING IN SBCAPE UP
TO 500 J/KG WILL HELP WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF THESE SHWRS. BY MID
TO LATE EVE THESE SHWRS SHOULD DIMINISH AND LARGELY DISSIPATE WITH
THE LOSS OF HTG. AFTWRDS...WITH A WEAK SFC PRES GRAD AND SOME
REMNANT LVL MOISTURE...PATCHY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE OVR THE REGION
LATE THU NGT INTO ERLY FRI MORN.

ON FRI THE WEAK UPPER LOW OVR THE GULF OF ME WILL CONT TO SLOWLY
MOVE SE OF NOVA SCOTIA...WITH PERHAPS ENOUGH REMNANT LLVL MOISTURE
FOR ISOLD AFTN SHWRS...MSLY OVR WRN MTNS. HI TEMPS THU LOOK TO BE
A LITTLE ABV NORMAL WITH OVRNGT LOWS THU NGT NEAR NORMAL. SFC HI
PRES RIDGING SSWRD FROM WRN LABRADOR WILL LIKELY BRING SLIGHTLY
COOLER...BUT STILL NEAR SEASONAL NORMAL HI TEMPS UNDER PTLY SUNNY
SKIES. SLIGHTLY BREEZIER CONDITIONS FROM THE ENE FRI NGT SHOULD
MSLY PRECLUDE PATCHY FOG FRI NGT.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
REX BLOCKING WILL CONT INTO THE WEEKEND AS THE UPPER LOW S OF
NOVA SCOTIA SLOWLY MOVES ESE INTO THE OPEN ATLC AND THE UPPER
RIDGE/HIGH BEGINS TO RE-ASSERT ITSELF A LITTLE FURTHER S OVR CNTRL
QB. HI TEMPS SAT AND SUN WILL BE NEAR SEASONAL NORMS UNDER MSLY
SUNNY SKIES WITH OVRNGT LOWS A LITTLE BLO AVG AS THE SFC HI
CROSSES THE REGION. HI TEMPS MON AND TUE WILL BEGIN TO WARM AS THE
UPPER RIDGE AXIS MOVES SWRD OVR THE FA...ALLOWING THE SFC HI
CONTS TO TO MOVE INTO THE GULF OF ME AND A RETURN SW SFC WIND SETS
UP OVR THE FA. IN FACT...WE MAY BE CONSERVATIVE WITH HI TEMPS
SPCLY TUE IF THE UPPER RIDGE IS AS STRONG AS BOTH THE 00Z GFS AND
ECMWF MODELS INDICATE...WHICH WOULD SUGGEST HI TEMPS INTO THE 80S
ACROSS LOWER TRRN OF NRN/CNTRL ME. OVRNGT LOWS SUN NGT AND MON NGT
WILL ALSO BEGIN TO WARM DURING THIS TM.

&&

.AVIATION /13Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ONLY
EXCEPTION IS LOCALIZED MVFR/POSSIBLE IFR IN FOG DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS.

SHORT TO LONG TERM: VFR XPCTD...XCPT PERHAPS MVFR/IFR IN PATCHY
FOG LATE THU NGT INTO ERLY FRI.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP QUIESCENT CONDITIONS ON THE
WATERS TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO HEADLINES ARE ANTICIPATED.

SHORT TO LONG TERM: NO HDLNS ANTICIPATED WITH WV HTS IN THE 2 TO 3
FT RANGE OVR THE OUTER MZS AND 1 TO 2 FT OVR THE INNER BAY/HARBOR
MZS. WENT WITH ABOUT 80 TO 90 PERCENT OF WW3 WV GUIDANCE FOR FCST
WV HTS THIS PD.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...HASTINGS/MCB
SHORT TERM...VJN
LONG TERM...VJN
AVIATION...HASTINGS/VJN
MARINE...HASTINGS/VJN








000
FXUS61 KCAR 201052
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
652 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MID WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
650 AM...HAVE REMOVED FOG WORDING FOR THIS MORNING AS ANY VALLEY
FOG SHOULD BURN OFF SOON. OTHERWISE, NO SIGNFICANT CHANGES WERE
NEEDED THIS MORNING.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE WILL CONTINUE
TO BUILD ACROSS NEW ENGLAND TODAY WHILE UPPER LOW PRESSURE MOVES
AWAY TO OUR EAST. AS SUCH, THE DRY WEATHER WILL PREVAIL TODAY AND
TONIGHT, WITH JUST SOME FAIR WEATHER CUMULUS CLOUDS POPPING UP
THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHS WILL BE MID 70S TO AROUND 80, WITH THE
IMMEDIATE COAST A BIT COOLER. WHILE SKIES WILL CLEAR OUT THIS
EVENING, CLOUDS WILL ONCE AGAIN INCREASE LATE TONIGHT AHEAD OF
ANOTHER UPPER LOW PRESSURE MOVING OUT OF THE GREAT LAKES. THIS
CLOUD COVER WILL KEEP OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES WARMER
THAN THE PREVIOUS NIGHT, EXCEPT ACROSS THE FAR NORTHWEST WHERE
SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY CLEAR FOR MUCH OF THE NIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
MODELS SHOW WEAK REX-LIKE BLOCKING SETTING UP OVR FAR NRN NEW ENG...
QB PROV AND THE MARITIMES THU INTO THE WEEKEND. INITIALLY...A WEAK
UPPER LOW MOVG E OVR THE GULF OF ME UNDERCUTS THE ANOMALOUS UPPER
RIDGE OVR NRN/CNTRL QB THU AFTN INTO ERLY EVE. THIS COULD RESULT
IN SCT SHWRS AND POSSIBLE TSTMS DURG THIS TM PD MSLY OVR W CNTRL
AND W INTERIOR DOWNEAST AREAS. DAYTIME HTG RESULTING IN SBCAPE UP
TO 500 J/KG WILL HELP WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF THESE SHWRS. BY MID
TO LATE EVE THESE SHWRS SHOULD DIMINISH AND LARGELY DISSIPATE WITH
THE LOSS OF HTG. AFTWRDS...WITH A WEAK SFC PRES GRAD AND SOME
REMNANT LVL MOISTURE...PATCHY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE OVR THE REGION
LATE THU NGT INTO ERLY FRI MORN.

ON FRI THE WEAK UPPER LOW OVR THE GULF OF ME WILL CONT TO SLOWLY
MOVE SE OF NOVA SCOTIA...WITH PERHAPS ENOUGH REMNANT LLVL MOISTURE
FOR ISOLD AFTN SHWRS...MSLY OVR WRN MTNS. HI TEMPS THU LOOK TO BE
A LITTLE ABV NORMAL WITH OVRNGT LOWS THU NGT NEAR NORMAL. SFC HI
PRES RIDGING SSWRD FROM WRN LABRADOR WILL LIKELY BRING SLIGHTLY
COOLER...BUT STILL NEAR SEASONAL NORMAL HI TEMPS UNDER PTLY SUNNY
SKIES. SLIGHTLY BREEZIER CONDITIONS FROM THE ENE FRI NGT SHOULD
MSLY PRECLUDE PATCHY FOG FRI NGT.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
REX BLOCKING WILL CONT INTO THE WEEKEND AS THE UPPER LOW S OF
NOVA SCOTIA SLOWLY MOVES ESE INTO THE OPEN ATLC AND THE UPPER
RIDGE/HIGH BEGINS TO RE-ASSERT ITSELF A LITTLE FURTHER S OVR CNTRL
QB. HI TEMPS SAT AND SUN WILL BE NEAR SEASONAL NORMS UNDER MSLY
SUNNY SKIES WITH OVRNGT LOWS A LITTLE BLO AVG AS THE SFC HI
CROSSES THE REGION. HI TEMPS MON AND TUE WILL BEGIN TO WARM AS THE
UPPER RIDGE AXIS MOVES SWRD OVR THE FA...ALLOWING THE SFC HI
CONTS TO TO MOVE INTO THE GULF OF ME AND A RETURN SW SFC WIND SETS
UP OVR THE FA. IN FACT...WE MAY BE CONSERVATIVE WITH HI TEMPS
SPCLY TUE IF THE UPPER RIDGE IS AS STRONG AS BOTH THE 00Z GFS AND
ECMWF MODELS INDICATE...WHICH WOULD SUGGEST HI TEMPS INTO THE 80S
ACROSS LOWER TRRN OF NRN/CNTRL ME. OVRNGT LOWS SUN NGT AND MON NGT
WILL ALSO BEGIN TO WARM DURING THIS TM.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ONLY
EXCEPTION IS LOCALIZED MVFR/POSSIBLE IFR IN FOG DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS.

SHORT TO LONG TERM: VFR XPCTD...XCPT PERHAPS MVFR/IFR IN PATCHY
FOG LATE THU NGT INTO ERLY FRI.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP QUIESCENT CONDITIONS ON THE
WATERS TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO HEADLINES ARE ANTICIPATED.

SHORT TO LONG TERM: NO HDLNS ANTICIPATED WITH WV HTS IN THE 2 TO 3
FT RANGE OVR THE OUTER MZS AND 1 TO 2 FT OVR THE INNER BAY/HARBOR
MZS. WENT WITH ABOUT 80 TO 90 PERCENT OF WW3 WV GUIDANCE FOR FCST
WV HTS THIS PD.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...HASTINGS
SHORT TERM...VJN
LONG TERM...VJN
AVIATION...HASTINGS/VJN
MARINE...HASTINGS/VJN








000
FXUS61 KCAR 201052
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
652 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MID WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
650 AM...HAVE REMOVED FOG WORDING FOR THIS MORNING AS ANY VALLEY
FOG SHOULD BURN OFF SOON. OTHERWISE, NO SIGNFICANT CHANGES WERE
NEEDED THIS MORNING.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE WILL CONTINUE
TO BUILD ACROSS NEW ENGLAND TODAY WHILE UPPER LOW PRESSURE MOVES
AWAY TO OUR EAST. AS SUCH, THE DRY WEATHER WILL PREVAIL TODAY AND
TONIGHT, WITH JUST SOME FAIR WEATHER CUMULUS CLOUDS POPPING UP
THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHS WILL BE MID 70S TO AROUND 80, WITH THE
IMMEDIATE COAST A BIT COOLER. WHILE SKIES WILL CLEAR OUT THIS
EVENING, CLOUDS WILL ONCE AGAIN INCREASE LATE TONIGHT AHEAD OF
ANOTHER UPPER LOW PRESSURE MOVING OUT OF THE GREAT LAKES. THIS
CLOUD COVER WILL KEEP OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES WARMER
THAN THE PREVIOUS NIGHT, EXCEPT ACROSS THE FAR NORTHWEST WHERE
SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY CLEAR FOR MUCH OF THE NIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
MODELS SHOW WEAK REX-LIKE BLOCKING SETTING UP OVR FAR NRN NEW ENG...
QB PROV AND THE MARITIMES THU INTO THE WEEKEND. INITIALLY...A WEAK
UPPER LOW MOVG E OVR THE GULF OF ME UNDERCUTS THE ANOMALOUS UPPER
RIDGE OVR NRN/CNTRL QB THU AFTN INTO ERLY EVE. THIS COULD RESULT
IN SCT SHWRS AND POSSIBLE TSTMS DURG THIS TM PD MSLY OVR W CNTRL
AND W INTERIOR DOWNEAST AREAS. DAYTIME HTG RESULTING IN SBCAPE UP
TO 500 J/KG WILL HELP WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF THESE SHWRS. BY MID
TO LATE EVE THESE SHWRS SHOULD DIMINISH AND LARGELY DISSIPATE WITH
THE LOSS OF HTG. AFTWRDS...WITH A WEAK SFC PRES GRAD AND SOME
REMNANT LVL MOISTURE...PATCHY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE OVR THE REGION
LATE THU NGT INTO ERLY FRI MORN.

ON FRI THE WEAK UPPER LOW OVR THE GULF OF ME WILL CONT TO SLOWLY
MOVE SE OF NOVA SCOTIA...WITH PERHAPS ENOUGH REMNANT LLVL MOISTURE
FOR ISOLD AFTN SHWRS...MSLY OVR WRN MTNS. HI TEMPS THU LOOK TO BE
A LITTLE ABV NORMAL WITH OVRNGT LOWS THU NGT NEAR NORMAL. SFC HI
PRES RIDGING SSWRD FROM WRN LABRADOR WILL LIKELY BRING SLIGHTLY
COOLER...BUT STILL NEAR SEASONAL NORMAL HI TEMPS UNDER PTLY SUNNY
SKIES. SLIGHTLY BREEZIER CONDITIONS FROM THE ENE FRI NGT SHOULD
MSLY PRECLUDE PATCHY FOG FRI NGT.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
REX BLOCKING WILL CONT INTO THE WEEKEND AS THE UPPER LOW S OF
NOVA SCOTIA SLOWLY MOVES ESE INTO THE OPEN ATLC AND THE UPPER
RIDGE/HIGH BEGINS TO RE-ASSERT ITSELF A LITTLE FURTHER S OVR CNTRL
QB. HI TEMPS SAT AND SUN WILL BE NEAR SEASONAL NORMS UNDER MSLY
SUNNY SKIES WITH OVRNGT LOWS A LITTLE BLO AVG AS THE SFC HI
CROSSES THE REGION. HI TEMPS MON AND TUE WILL BEGIN TO WARM AS THE
UPPER RIDGE AXIS MOVES SWRD OVR THE FA...ALLOWING THE SFC HI
CONTS TO TO MOVE INTO THE GULF OF ME AND A RETURN SW SFC WIND SETS
UP OVR THE FA. IN FACT...WE MAY BE CONSERVATIVE WITH HI TEMPS
SPCLY TUE IF THE UPPER RIDGE IS AS STRONG AS BOTH THE 00Z GFS AND
ECMWF MODELS INDICATE...WHICH WOULD SUGGEST HI TEMPS INTO THE 80S
ACROSS LOWER TRRN OF NRN/CNTRL ME. OVRNGT LOWS SUN NGT AND MON NGT
WILL ALSO BEGIN TO WARM DURING THIS TM.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ONLY
EXCEPTION IS LOCALIZED MVFR/POSSIBLE IFR IN FOG DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS.

SHORT TO LONG TERM: VFR XPCTD...XCPT PERHAPS MVFR/IFR IN PATCHY
FOG LATE THU NGT INTO ERLY FRI.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP QUIESCENT CONDITIONS ON THE
WATERS TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO HEADLINES ARE ANTICIPATED.

SHORT TO LONG TERM: NO HDLNS ANTICIPATED WITH WV HTS IN THE 2 TO 3
FT RANGE OVR THE OUTER MZS AND 1 TO 2 FT OVR THE INNER BAY/HARBOR
MZS. WENT WITH ABOUT 80 TO 90 PERCENT OF WW3 WV GUIDANCE FOR FCST
WV HTS THIS PD.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...HASTINGS
SHORT TERM...VJN
LONG TERM...VJN
AVIATION...HASTINGS/VJN
MARINE...HASTINGS/VJN







000
FXUS61 KCAR 200707
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
307 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MID WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD ACROSS NEW
ENGLAND TODAY WHILE UPPER LOW PRESSURE MOVES AWAY TO OUR EAST. AS
SUCH, THE DRY WEATHER WILL PREVAIL TODAY AND TONIGHT, WITH JUST SOME
FAIR WEATHER CUMULUS CLOUDS POPPING UP THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHS WILL BE
MID 70S TO AROUND 80, WITH THE IMMEDIATE COAST A BIT COOLER. WHILE
SKIES WILL CLEAR OUT THIS EVENING, CLOUDS WILL ONCE AGAIN INCREASE
LATE TONIGHT AHEAD OF ANOTHER UPPER LOW PRESSURE MOVING OUT OF THE
GREAT LAKES. THIS CLOUD COVER WILL KEEP OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES A FEW
DEGREES WARMER THAN THE PREVIOUS NIGHT, EXCEPT ACROSS THE FAR
NORTHWEST WHERE SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY CLEAR FOR MUCH OF THE
NIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
MODELS SHOW WEAK REX-LIKE BLOCKING SETTING UP OVR FAR NRN NEW ENG...
QB PROV AND THE MARITIMES THU INTO THE WEEKEND. INITIALLY...A WEAK
UPPER LOW MOVG E OVR THE GULF OF ME UNDERCUTS THE ANOMALOUS UPPER
RIDGE OVR NRN/CNTRL QB THU AFTN INTO ERLY EVE. THIS COULD RESULT
IN SCT SHWRS AND POSSIBLE TSTMS DURG THIS TM PD MSLY OVR W CNTRL
AND W INTERIOR DOWNEAST AREAS. DAYTIME HTG RESULTING IN SBCAPE UP
TO 500 J/KG WILL HELP WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF THESE SHWRS. BY MID
TO LATE EVE THESE SHWRS SHOULD DIMINISH AND LARGELY DISSIPATE WITH
THE LOSS OF HTG. AFTWRDS...WITH A WEAK SFC PRES GRAD AND SOME
REMNANT LVL MOISTURE...PATCHY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE OVR THE REGION
LATE THU NGT INTO ERLY FRI MORN.

ON FRI THE WEAK UPPER LOW OVR THE GULF OF ME WILL CONT TO SLOWLY
MOVE SE OF NOVA SCOTIA...WITH PERHAPS ENOUGH REMNANT LLVL MOISTURE
FOR ISOLD AFTN SHWRS...MSLY OVR WRN MTNS. HI TEMPS THU LOOK TO BE
A LITTLE ABV NORMAL WITH OVRNGT LOWS THU NGT NEAR NORMAL. SFC HI
PRES RIDGING SSWRD FROM WRN LABRADOR WILL LIKELY BRING SLIGHTLY
COOLER...BUT STILL NEAR SEASONAL NORMAL HI TEMPS UNDER PTLY SUNNY
SKIES. SLIGHTLY BREEZIER CONDITIONS FROM THE ENE FRI NGT SHOULD
MSLY PRECLUDE PATCHY FOG FRI NGT.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
REX BLOCKING WILL CONT INTO THE WEEKEND AS THE UPPER LOW S OF
NOVA SCOTIA SLOWLY MOVES ESE INTO THE OPEN ATLC AND THE UPPER
RIDGE/HIGH BEGINS TO RE-ASSERT ITSELF A LITTLE FURTHER S OVR CNTRL
QB. HI TEMPS SAT AND SUN WILL BE NEAR SEASONAL NORMS UNDER MSLY
SUNNY SKIES WITH OVRNGT LOWS A LITTLE BLO AVG AS THE SFC HI
CROSSES THE REGION. HI TEMPS MON AND TUE WILL BEGIN TO WARM AS THE
UPPER RIDGE AXIS MOVES SWRD OVR THE FA...ALLOWING THE SFC HI
CONTS TO TO MOVE INTO THE GULF OF ME AND A RETURN SW SFC WIND SETS
UP OVR THE FA. IN FACT...WE MAY BE CONSERVATIVE WITH HI TEMPS
SPCLY TUE IF THE UPPER RIDGE IS AS STRONG AS BOTH THE 00Z GFS AND
ECMWF MODELS INDICATE...WHICH WOULD SUGGEST HI TEMPS INTO THE 80S
ACROSS LOWER TRRN OF NRN/CNTRL ME. OVRNGT LOWS SUN NGT AND MON NGT
WILL ALSO BEGIN TO WARM DURING THIS TM.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ONLY
EXCEPTION IS LOCALIZED MVFR/POSSIBLE IFR IN FOG DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS.

SHORT TO LONG TERM: VFR XPCTD...XCPT PERHAPS MVFR/IFR IN PATCHY
FOG LATE THU NGT INTO ERLY FRI.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP QUIESCENT CONDITIONS ON THE
WATERS TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO HEADLINES ARE ANTICIPATED.

SHORT TO LONG TERM: NO HDLNS ANTICIPATED WITH WV HTS IN THE 2 TO 3
FT RANGE OVR THE OUTER MZS AND 1 TO 2 FT OVR THE INNER BAY/HARBOR
MZS. WENT WITH ABOUT 80 TO 90 PERCENT OF WW3 WV GUIDANCE FOR FCST
WV HTS THIS PD.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...HASTINGS
SHORT TERM...VJN
LONG TERM...VJN
AVIATION...HASTINGS/VJN
MARINE...HASTINGS/VJN









000
FXUS61 KCAR 200444
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1244 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MID WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
1240 AM UPDATE...HAVE ADDED PATCHY VALLEY FOG TO THE FORECAST FOR
TONIGHT/EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING AS TEMPERATURES ARE APPROACHING
DEW POINTS IN SOME AREAS. OTHERWISE, MADE SLIGHT ADJUSTMENTS TO
SKY COVER TO MATCH CURRENT SATELLITE TRENDS. NO OTHER CHANGES WERE
NEEDED.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... SURFACE/UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. DIURNAL CLOUDS
WILL DISSIPATE THIS EVENING...LEAVING MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES
OVERNIGHT. AFTER A SUNNY MORNING...DIURNAL CLOUDS WILL DEVELOP
AGAIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WITH PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS
THE FORECAST AREA. LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE
MID 40S TO AROUND 50 NORTH...TO THE LOWER TO MID 50S DOWNEAST.
HIGH TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 70S
NORTH...TO AROUND 80 INTERIOR DOWNEAST WITH MID TO UPPER 70S ALONG
THE DOWNEAST COAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH A LARGE BLOCKING
HIGH SETTING UP IN EASTERN CANADA. A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS MAY POP UP
TOWARDS PISCATAQUIS COUNTY THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING BUT WITH
LATE SEASON SURFACE HEATING...LITTLE MOISTURE AND A LACK OF
DYNAMICS...CONFIDENCE IS NOT TOO HIGH. ON THURSDAY NIGHT...AS THE
SURFACE AND UPPER HIGHS STRENGTHEN IN NORTHERN QUEBEC...A BACKDOOR
COLD FRONT WILL ARRIVE FROM THE NORTHEAST. THIS FEATURE WILL
INCREASE CLOUDS ACROSS THE AREA WITH A FEW SPRINKLES AS MOISTURE
FROM THE GULF OF ST LAWRENCE ADVECTS INTO THE FORECAST AREA. LOWS
THURSDAY NIGHT WILL BE WARMER...IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. THE
CLOUDS AND SPRINKLES WILL PERSIST INTO FRIDAY MORNING. FRIDAY WILL
BE COOLER DUE TO THE MORNING CLOUDS...A STRONGER EASTERLY FLOW
AND COOLER AIR ALOFT. FOR THE MOUNTAINS FROM THE KATAHDIN
SOUTHWEST INTO PISCATAQUIS COUNTY...CLOUDS MAY NOT BREAK UP UNTIL
LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THE HIGH WITH ITS PLEASANT TEMPERATURES AND LOW HUMIDITY CONTINUES
SATURDAY INTO TUESDAY. SUFFICIENT H850 MOISTURE WILL EXIST FOR
MIDDAY CUMULUS FIELDS. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TUESDAY WITH
SOUTHWEST WINDS. TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE PERIOD WILL RANGE FROM
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWS IN THE 50S.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SHORT TERM: VFR OUTSIDE OF A CHANCE OF MVFR CEILINGS FOR TERMINALS
NORTH OF HUL AND GNR ON FRIDAY MORNING.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SHORT TERM: NO SIGNIFICANT ISSUES EXPECTED WITH SEAS AROUND 2 FEET
AND LIGHT WINDS.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...HASTINGS/NORCROSS
SHORT TERM...MCW
LONG TERM...MCW
AVIATION...HASTINGS/NORCROSS/MCW
MARINE...HASTINGS/NORCROSS/MCW








000
FXUS61 KCAR 200444
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1244 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MID WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
1240 AM UPDATE...HAVE ADDED PATCHY VALLEY FOG TO THE FORECAST FOR
TONIGHT/EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING AS TEMPERATURES ARE APPROACHING
DEW POINTS IN SOME AREAS. OTHERWISE, MADE SLIGHT ADJUSTMENTS TO
SKY COVER TO MATCH CURRENT SATELLITE TRENDS. NO OTHER CHANGES WERE
NEEDED.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... SURFACE/UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. DIURNAL CLOUDS
WILL DISSIPATE THIS EVENING...LEAVING MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES
OVERNIGHT. AFTER A SUNNY MORNING...DIURNAL CLOUDS WILL DEVELOP
AGAIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WITH PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS
THE FORECAST AREA. LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE
MID 40S TO AROUND 50 NORTH...TO THE LOWER TO MID 50S DOWNEAST.
HIGH TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 70S
NORTH...TO AROUND 80 INTERIOR DOWNEAST WITH MID TO UPPER 70S ALONG
THE DOWNEAST COAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH A LARGE BLOCKING
HIGH SETTING UP IN EASTERN CANADA. A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS MAY POP UP
TOWARDS PISCATAQUIS COUNTY THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING BUT WITH
LATE SEASON SURFACE HEATING...LITTLE MOISTURE AND A LACK OF
DYNAMICS...CONFIDENCE IS NOT TOO HIGH. ON THURSDAY NIGHT...AS THE
SURFACE AND UPPER HIGHS STRENGTHEN IN NORTHERN QUEBEC...A BACKDOOR
COLD FRONT WILL ARRIVE FROM THE NORTHEAST. THIS FEATURE WILL
INCREASE CLOUDS ACROSS THE AREA WITH A FEW SPRINKLES AS MOISTURE
FROM THE GULF OF ST LAWRENCE ADVECTS INTO THE FORECAST AREA. LOWS
THURSDAY NIGHT WILL BE WARMER...IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. THE
CLOUDS AND SPRINKLES WILL PERSIST INTO FRIDAY MORNING. FRIDAY WILL
BE COOLER DUE TO THE MORNING CLOUDS...A STRONGER EASTERLY FLOW
AND COOLER AIR ALOFT. FOR THE MOUNTAINS FROM THE KATAHDIN
SOUTHWEST INTO PISCATAQUIS COUNTY...CLOUDS MAY NOT BREAK UP UNTIL
LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THE HIGH WITH ITS PLEASANT TEMPERATURES AND LOW HUMIDITY CONTINUES
SATURDAY INTO TUESDAY. SUFFICIENT H850 MOISTURE WILL EXIST FOR
MIDDAY CUMULUS FIELDS. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TUESDAY WITH
SOUTHWEST WINDS. TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE PERIOD WILL RANGE FROM
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWS IN THE 50S.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SHORT TERM: VFR OUTSIDE OF A CHANCE OF MVFR CEILINGS FOR TERMINALS
NORTH OF HUL AND GNR ON FRIDAY MORNING.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SHORT TERM: NO SIGNIFICANT ISSUES EXPECTED WITH SEAS AROUND 2 FEET
AND LIGHT WINDS.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...HASTINGS/NORCROSS
SHORT TERM...MCW
LONG TERM...MCW
AVIATION...HASTINGS/NORCROSS/MCW
MARINE...HASTINGS/NORCROSS/MCW







000
FXUS61 KCAR 200217
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1017 PM EDT TUE AUG 19 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MID WEEK.&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
10 PM UPDATE... OTHER THAN A FEW SCATTERED HIGH CLOUDS MOST
LOCATIONS ARE SEEING CLEAR TO MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES TONIGHT. A COOL
NIGHT IS IN STORE WITH LIGHT TO CALM WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES WHICH
WILL GIVE US DECENT RADIATIONAL COOLING ACROSS THE FA. LOWEST
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN VALLEY LOCATIONS INCLUDING NW
PORTIONS OF THE REGIONS WHICH ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE MID TO
UPPER 40S. NO MAJOR CHANGES WITH THIS UPDATE OTHER THAN MINOR
ADJUSTMENTS FOR CURRENT CONDITIONS AND TRENDS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... SURFACE/UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. DIURNAL CLOUDS
WILL DISSIPATE THIS EVENING...LEAVING MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES
OVERNIGHT. AFTER A SUNNY MORNING...DIURNAL CLOUDS WILL DEVELOP
AGAIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WITH PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS
THE FORECAST AREA. LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE
MID 40S TO AROUND 50 NORTH...TO THE LOWER TO MID 50S DOWNEAST.
HIGH TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 70S
NORTH...TO AROUND 80 INTERIOR DOWNEAST WITH MID TO UPPER 70S ALONG
THE DOWNEAST COAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH A LARGE BLOCKING
HIGH SETTING UP IN EASTERN CANADA. A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS MAY POP UP
TOWARDS PISCATAQUIS COUNTY THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING BUT WITH
LATE SEASON SURFACE HEATING...LITTLE MOISTURE AND A LACK OF
DYNAMICS...CONFIDENCE IS NOT TOO HIGH. ON THURSDAY NIGHT...AS THE
SURFACE AND UPPER HIGHS STRENGTHEN IN NORTHERN QUEBEC...A BACKDOOR
COLD FRONT WILL ARRIVE FROM THE NORTHEAST. THIS FEATURE WILL
INCREASE CLOUDS ACROSS THE AREA WITH A FEW SPRINKLES AS MOISTURE
FROM THE GULF OF ST LAWRENCE ADVECTS INTO THE FORECAST AREA. LOWS
THURSDAY NIGHT WILL BE WARMER...IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. THE
CLOUDS AND SPRINKLES WILL PERSIST INTO FRIDAY MORNING. FRIDAY WILL
BE COOLER DUE TO THE MORNING CLOUDS...A STRONGER EASTERLY FLOW
AND COOLER AIR ALOFT. FOR THE MOUNTAINS FROM THE KATAHDIN
SOUTHWEST INTO PISCATAQUIS COUNTY...CLOUDS MAY NOT BREAK UP UNTIL
LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THE HIGH WITH ITS PLEASANT TEMPERATURES AND LOW HUMIDITY CONTINUES
SATURDAY INTO TUESDAY. SUFFICIENT H850 MOISTURE WILL EXIST FOR
MIDDAY CUMULUS FIELDS. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TUESDAY WITH
SOUTHWEST WINDS. TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE PERIOD WILL RANGE FROM
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWS IN THE 50S.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SHORT TERM: VFR OUTSIDE OF A CHANCE OF MVFR CEILINGS FOR TERMINALS
NORTH OF HUL AND GNR ON FRIDAY MORNING.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SHORT TERM: NO SIGNIFICANT ISSUES EXPECTED WITH SEAS AROUND 2 FEET
AND LIGHT WINDS.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...JORDAN/NORCROSS
SHORT TERM...MCW
LONG TERM...MCW
AVIATION...JORDAN/NORCROSS/MCW
MARINE...JORDAN/NORCROSS/MCW







000
FXUS61 KCAR 200217
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1017 PM EDT TUE AUG 19 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MID WEEK.&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
10 PM UPDATE... OTHER THAN A FEW SCATTERED HIGH CLOUDS MOST
LOCATIONS ARE SEEING CLEAR TO MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES TONIGHT. A COOL
NIGHT IS IN STORE WITH LIGHT TO CALM WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES WHICH
WILL GIVE US DECENT RADIATIONAL COOLING ACROSS THE FA. LOWEST
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN VALLEY LOCATIONS INCLUDING NW
PORTIONS OF THE REGIONS WHICH ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE MID TO
UPPER 40S. NO MAJOR CHANGES WITH THIS UPDATE OTHER THAN MINOR
ADJUSTMENTS FOR CURRENT CONDITIONS AND TRENDS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... SURFACE/UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. DIURNAL CLOUDS
WILL DISSIPATE THIS EVENING...LEAVING MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES
OVERNIGHT. AFTER A SUNNY MORNING...DIURNAL CLOUDS WILL DEVELOP
AGAIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WITH PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS
THE FORECAST AREA. LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE
MID 40S TO AROUND 50 NORTH...TO THE LOWER TO MID 50S DOWNEAST.
HIGH TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 70S
NORTH...TO AROUND 80 INTERIOR DOWNEAST WITH MID TO UPPER 70S ALONG
THE DOWNEAST COAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH A LARGE BLOCKING
HIGH SETTING UP IN EASTERN CANADA. A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS MAY POP UP
TOWARDS PISCATAQUIS COUNTY THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING BUT WITH
LATE SEASON SURFACE HEATING...LITTLE MOISTURE AND A LACK OF
DYNAMICS...CONFIDENCE IS NOT TOO HIGH. ON THURSDAY NIGHT...AS THE
SURFACE AND UPPER HIGHS STRENGTHEN IN NORTHERN QUEBEC...A BACKDOOR
COLD FRONT WILL ARRIVE FROM THE NORTHEAST. THIS FEATURE WILL
INCREASE CLOUDS ACROSS THE AREA WITH A FEW SPRINKLES AS MOISTURE
FROM THE GULF OF ST LAWRENCE ADVECTS INTO THE FORECAST AREA. LOWS
THURSDAY NIGHT WILL BE WARMER...IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. THE
CLOUDS AND SPRINKLES WILL PERSIST INTO FRIDAY MORNING. FRIDAY WILL
BE COOLER DUE TO THE MORNING CLOUDS...A STRONGER EASTERLY FLOW
AND COOLER AIR ALOFT. FOR THE MOUNTAINS FROM THE KATAHDIN
SOUTHWEST INTO PISCATAQUIS COUNTY...CLOUDS MAY NOT BREAK UP UNTIL
LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THE HIGH WITH ITS PLEASANT TEMPERATURES AND LOW HUMIDITY CONTINUES
SATURDAY INTO TUESDAY. SUFFICIENT H850 MOISTURE WILL EXIST FOR
MIDDAY CUMULUS FIELDS. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TUESDAY WITH
SOUTHWEST WINDS. TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE PERIOD WILL RANGE FROM
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWS IN THE 50S.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SHORT TERM: VFR OUTSIDE OF A CHANCE OF MVFR CEILINGS FOR TERMINALS
NORTH OF HUL AND GNR ON FRIDAY MORNING.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SHORT TERM: NO SIGNIFICANT ISSUES EXPECTED WITH SEAS AROUND 2 FEET
AND LIGHT WINDS.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...JORDAN/NORCROSS
SHORT TERM...MCW
LONG TERM...MCW
AVIATION...JORDAN/NORCROSS/MCW
MARINE...JORDAN/NORCROSS/MCW








000
FXUS61 KCAR 192305
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
705 PM EDT TUE AUG 19 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MID WEEK.&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
7 PM UPDATE... CLOUD COVER HAS DROPPED OFF THROUGH THE LATE
AFTERNOON HOURS AND MOST OF THE DIURNALLY DRIVEN CUMULUS IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO DECREASE IN COVERAGE THROUGH THE EVENING.
THIS WILL GIVE WAY TO A MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ACROSS THE REGION
TONIGHT. NO MAJOR CHANGES MADE TO THE FORECAST BESIDES UPDATING
WITH CURRENT CONDITIONS AND TRENDS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... SURFACE/UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. DIURNAL CLOUDS
WILL DISSIPATE THIS EVENING...LEAVING MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES
OVERNIGHT. AFTER A SUNNY MORNING...DIURNAL CLOUDS WILL DEVELOP
AGAIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WITH PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS
THE FORECAST AREA. LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE
MID 40S TO AROUND 50 NORTH...TO THE LOWER TO MID 50S DOWNEAST.
HIGH TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 70S
NORTH...TO AROUND 80 INTERIOR DOWNEAST WITH MID TO UPPER 70S ALONG
THE DOWNEAST COAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH A LARGE BLOCKING
HIGH SETTING UP IN EASTERN CANADA. A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS MAY POP UP
TOWARDS PISCATAQUIS COUNTY THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING BUT WITH
LATE SEASON SURFACE HEATING...LITTLE MOISTURE AND A LACK OF
DYNAMICS...CONFIDENCE IS NOT TOO HIGH. ON THURSDAY NIGHT...AS THE
SURFACE AND UPPER HIGHS STRENGTHEN IN NORTHERN QUEBEC...A BACKDOOR
COLD FRONT WILL ARRIVE FROM THE NORTHEAST. THIS FEATURE WILL
INCREASE CLOUDS ACROSS THE AREA WITH A FEW SPRINKLES AS MOISTURE
FROM THE GULF OF ST LAWRENCE ADVECTS INTO THE FORECAST AREA. LOWS
THURSDAY NIGHT WILL BE WARMER...IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. THE
CLOUDS AND SPRINKLES WILL PERSIST INTO FRIDAY MORNING. FRIDAY WILL
BE COOLER DUE TO THE MORNING CLOUDS...A STRONGER EASTERLY FLOW
AND COOLER AIR ALOFT. FOR THE MOUNTAINS FROM THE KATAHDIN
SOUTHWEST INTO PISCATAQUIS COUNTY...CLOUDS MAY NOT BREAK UP UNTIL
LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THE HIGH WITH ITS PLEASANT TEMPERATURES AND LOW HUMIDITY CONTINUES
SATURDAY INTO TUESDAY. SUFFICIENT H850 MOISTURE WILL EXIST FOR
MIDDAY CUMULUS FIELDS. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TUESDAY WITH
SOUTHWEST WINDS. TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE PERIOD WILL RANGE FROM
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWS IN THE 50S.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SHORT TERM: VFR OUTSIDE OF A CHANCE OF MVFR CEILINGS FOR TERMINALS
NORTH OF HUL AND GNR ON FRIDAY MORNING.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SHORT TERM: NO SIGNIFICANT ISSUES EXPECTED WITH SEAS AROUND 2 FEET
AND LIGHT WINDS.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...JORDAN/NORCROSS
SHORT TERM...MCW
LONG TERM...MCW
AVIATION...JORDAN/NORCROSS/MCW
MARINE...JORDAN/NORCROSS/MCW








000
FXUS61 KCAR 192305
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
705 PM EDT TUE AUG 19 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MID WEEK.&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
7 PM UPDATE... CLOUD COVER HAS DROPPED OFF THROUGH THE LATE
AFTERNOON HOURS AND MOST OF THE DIURNALLY DRIVEN CUMULUS IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO DECREASE IN COVERAGE THROUGH THE EVENING.
THIS WILL GIVE WAY TO A MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ACROSS THE REGION
TONIGHT. NO MAJOR CHANGES MADE TO THE FORECAST BESIDES UPDATING
WITH CURRENT CONDITIONS AND TRENDS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... SURFACE/UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. DIURNAL CLOUDS
WILL DISSIPATE THIS EVENING...LEAVING MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES
OVERNIGHT. AFTER A SUNNY MORNING...DIURNAL CLOUDS WILL DEVELOP
AGAIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WITH PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS
THE FORECAST AREA. LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE
MID 40S TO AROUND 50 NORTH...TO THE LOWER TO MID 50S DOWNEAST.
HIGH TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 70S
NORTH...TO AROUND 80 INTERIOR DOWNEAST WITH MID TO UPPER 70S ALONG
THE DOWNEAST COAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH A LARGE BLOCKING
HIGH SETTING UP IN EASTERN CANADA. A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS MAY POP UP
TOWARDS PISCATAQUIS COUNTY THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING BUT WITH
LATE SEASON SURFACE HEATING...LITTLE MOISTURE AND A LACK OF
DYNAMICS...CONFIDENCE IS NOT TOO HIGH. ON THURSDAY NIGHT...AS THE
SURFACE AND UPPER HIGHS STRENGTHEN IN NORTHERN QUEBEC...A BACKDOOR
COLD FRONT WILL ARRIVE FROM THE NORTHEAST. THIS FEATURE WILL
INCREASE CLOUDS ACROSS THE AREA WITH A FEW SPRINKLES AS MOISTURE
FROM THE GULF OF ST LAWRENCE ADVECTS INTO THE FORECAST AREA. LOWS
THURSDAY NIGHT WILL BE WARMER...IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. THE
CLOUDS AND SPRINKLES WILL PERSIST INTO FRIDAY MORNING. FRIDAY WILL
BE COOLER DUE TO THE MORNING CLOUDS...A STRONGER EASTERLY FLOW
AND COOLER AIR ALOFT. FOR THE MOUNTAINS FROM THE KATAHDIN
SOUTHWEST INTO PISCATAQUIS COUNTY...CLOUDS MAY NOT BREAK UP UNTIL
LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THE HIGH WITH ITS PLEASANT TEMPERATURES AND LOW HUMIDITY CONTINUES
SATURDAY INTO TUESDAY. SUFFICIENT H850 MOISTURE WILL EXIST FOR
MIDDAY CUMULUS FIELDS. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TUESDAY WITH
SOUTHWEST WINDS. TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE PERIOD WILL RANGE FROM
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWS IN THE 50S.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SHORT TERM: VFR OUTSIDE OF A CHANCE OF MVFR CEILINGS FOR TERMINALS
NORTH OF HUL AND GNR ON FRIDAY MORNING.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SHORT TERM: NO SIGNIFICANT ISSUES EXPECTED WITH SEAS AROUND 2 FEET
AND LIGHT WINDS.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...JORDAN/NORCROSS
SHORT TERM...MCW
LONG TERM...MCW
AVIATION...JORDAN/NORCROSS/MCW
MARINE...JORDAN/NORCROSS/MCW







000
FXUS61 KCAR 192028
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
428 PM EDT TUE AUG 19 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MID WEEK.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
SURFACE/UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION
TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. DIURNAL CLOUDS WILL DISSIPATE THIS
EVENING...LEAVING MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES OVERNIGHT. AFTER A SUNNY
MORNING...DIURNAL CLOUDS WILL DEVELOP AGAIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
WITH PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. LOW
TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 40S TO AROUND 50
NORTH...TO THE LOWER TO MID 50S DOWNEAST. HIGH TEMPERATURES
WEDNESDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 70S NORTH...TO AROUND 80
INTERIOR DOWNEAST WITH MID TO UPPER 70S ALONG THE DOWNEAST COAST.
&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH A LARGE BLOCKING
HIGH SETTING UP IN EASTERN CANADA. A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS MAY POP UP
TOWARDS PISCATAQUIS COUNTY THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING BUT WITH
LATE SEASON SURFACE HEATING...LITTLE MOISTURE AND A LACK OF
DYNAMICS...CONFIDENCE IS NOT TOO HIGH. ON THURSDAY NIGHT...AS THE
SURFACE AND UPPER HIGHS STRENGTHEN IN NORTHERN QUEBEC...A BACKDOOR
COLD FRONT WILL ARRIVE FROM THE NORTHEAST. THIS FEATURE WILL
INCREASE CLOUDS ACROSS THE AREA WITH A FEW SPRINKLES AS MOISTURE
FROM THE GULF OF ST LAWRENCE ADVECTS INTO THE FORECAST AREA. LOWS
THURSDAY NIGHT WILL BE WARMER...IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. THE
CLOUDS AND SPRINKLES WILL PERSIST INTO FRIDAY MORNING. FRIDAY WILL
BE COOLER DUE TO THE MORNING CLOUDS...A STRONGER EASTERLY FLOW
AND COOLER AIR ALOFT. FOR THE MOUNTAINS FROM THE KATAHDIN
SOUTHWEST INTO PISCATAQUIS COUNTY...CLOUDS MAY NOT BREAK UP UNTIL
LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.
&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THE HIGH WITH ITS PLEASANT TEMPERATURES AND LOW HUMIDITY CONTINUES
SATURDAY INTO TUESDAY. SUFFICIENT H850 MOISTURE WILL EXIST FOR
MIDDAY CUMULUS FIELDS. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TUESDAY WITH
SOUTHWEST WINDS. TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE PERIOD WILL RANGE FROM
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWS IN THE 50S.
&&

.AVIATION /20Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SHORT TERM: VFR OUTSIDE OF A CHANCE OF MVFR CEILINGS FOR TERMINALS
NORTH OF HUL AND GNR ON FRIDAY MORNING.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SHORT TERM: NO SIGNIFICANT ISSUES EXPECTED WITH SEAS AROUND 2 FEET
AND LIGHT WINDS.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
&&

$$
NEAR TERM...NORCROSS
SHORT TERM...MCW
LONG TERM...MCW
AVIATION...NORCROSS/MCW
MARINE...NORCROSS/MCW












000
FXUS61 KCAR 191622
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1222 PM EDT TUE AUG 19 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MID WEEK.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPDATE...
SURFACE/UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE GULF OF
SAINT LAWRENCE THIS AFTERNOON...WITH HIGH PRESSURE WEST OF THE
REGION. CLOUDS WRAPPING AROUND THE MARITIMES LOW AND DIURNAL CLOUD
DEVELOPMENT WILL PRODUCE PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS MUCH OF THE
FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON...WITH PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES
ACROSS SOUTHWEST AREAS. AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE
FROM THE LOWER TO MID 70S NORTH...TO THE MID TO UPPER 70S
DOWNEAST. HAVE UPDATED THE FORECAST TO ADJUST FOR CURRENT
CONDITIONS ALONG WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES AND CLOUD COVER.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE
REGION TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD EAST. LOW
TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 40S TO THE LOWER 50S
NORTH AND LOW TO MID 50S CENTRAL AND DOWNEAST.
&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
FAIRLY QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THIS PERIOD AS HIGH PRESSURE
SETTLES OVER THE NORTHEAST CONTINENTAL UNITED STATES. WEDNESDAY WILL
FEATURE MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO AROUND 80.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL ALSO BE DRY, WITH INCREASING CLOUDS LATE AS A
WEAK SHORTWAVE ROTATES AROUND UPPER LOW PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN
GREAT LAKES. LOWS WILL BE THE COOL ACROSS THE NORTH...LOWER 50S WITH
SOME 40S POSSIBLE IN THE NORTHWEST...BUT SOUTHERN AREAS WILL BE A
BIT WARMER OWING TO THE AFOREMENTIONED CLOUDS. THE SHORTWAVE WILL
TRAVERSE ACROSS CENTRAL/SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND ON THURSDAY. MODEL
GUIDANCE IS INDICATING THAT SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS OUR
WESTERN SECTIONS AS THE SHORTWAVE PASSES BY. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE
MID TO UPPER 70S, EXCEPT ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST, WHICH WILL BE
AROUND 70 FOR DAYTIME TEMPERATURES.
&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
THE QUIET WEATHER WILL CONTINUE RIGHT THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS HIGH
PRESSURE KEEPS HOLD OF THE REGION. THERE WILL BE THE CHANCE FOR
AFTERNOON SHOWERS FRIDAY AND TO A LESSER EXTENT SATURDAY, MAINLY
OVER WESTERN AREAS. THIS IS DUE TO WEAK LOW PRESSURE THAT WILL
DEVELOP OVER SOUTHERN ONTARIO ON THURSDAY AND SLOWLY SLIDE SOUTHEAST
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. THE REST OF THE PERIOD LOOKS TO STAY
DRY. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN SEASONABLE, WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S AND
LOWS IN THE 50S.
&&

.AVIATION /16Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
NEAR TERM: COULD HAVE OCCASIONAL MVFR CEILINGS ACROSS NORTHERN
AND NORTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA INTO EARLY
AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
REGION THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE
LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK. THE EXCEPTION IS THE POTENTIAL FOR
LOCALIZED IFR IN PATCHY FOG LATE EACH NIGHT/EARLY EACH MORNING.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP QUIESCENT CONDITIONS ON THE
WATERS THROUGH THE END OF THIS WEEK. NO HEADLINES ARE ANTICIPATED.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...NORCROSS/DUDA
SHORT TERM...HASTINGS
LONG TERM...HASTINGS
AVIATION...NORCROSS/HASTINGS
MARINE...NORCROSS/HASTINGS







000
FXUS61 KCAR 191622
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1222 PM EDT TUE AUG 19 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MID WEEK.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPDATE...
SURFACE/UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE GULF OF
SAINT LAWRENCE THIS AFTERNOON...WITH HIGH PRESSURE WEST OF THE
REGION. CLOUDS WRAPPING AROUND THE MARITIMES LOW AND DIURNAL CLOUD
DEVELOPMENT WILL PRODUCE PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS MUCH OF THE
FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON...WITH PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES
ACROSS SOUTHWEST AREAS. AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE
FROM THE LOWER TO MID 70S NORTH...TO THE MID TO UPPER 70S
DOWNEAST. HAVE UPDATED THE FORECAST TO ADJUST FOR CURRENT
CONDITIONS ALONG WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES AND CLOUD COVER.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE
REGION TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD EAST. LOW
TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 40S TO THE LOWER 50S
NORTH AND LOW TO MID 50S CENTRAL AND DOWNEAST.
&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
FAIRLY QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THIS PERIOD AS HIGH PRESSURE
SETTLES OVER THE NORTHEAST CONTINENTAL UNITED STATES. WEDNESDAY WILL
FEATURE MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO AROUND 80.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL ALSO BE DRY, WITH INCREASING CLOUDS LATE AS A
WEAK SHORTWAVE ROTATES AROUND UPPER LOW PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN
GREAT LAKES. LOWS WILL BE THE COOL ACROSS THE NORTH...LOWER 50S WITH
SOME 40S POSSIBLE IN THE NORTHWEST...BUT SOUTHERN AREAS WILL BE A
BIT WARMER OWING TO THE AFOREMENTIONED CLOUDS. THE SHORTWAVE WILL
TRAVERSE ACROSS CENTRAL/SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND ON THURSDAY. MODEL
GUIDANCE IS INDICATING THAT SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS OUR
WESTERN SECTIONS AS THE SHORTWAVE PASSES BY. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE
MID TO UPPER 70S, EXCEPT ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST, WHICH WILL BE
AROUND 70 FOR DAYTIME TEMPERATURES.
&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
THE QUIET WEATHER WILL CONTINUE RIGHT THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS HIGH
PRESSURE KEEPS HOLD OF THE REGION. THERE WILL BE THE CHANCE FOR
AFTERNOON SHOWERS FRIDAY AND TO A LESSER EXTENT SATURDAY, MAINLY
OVER WESTERN AREAS. THIS IS DUE TO WEAK LOW PRESSURE THAT WILL
DEVELOP OVER SOUTHERN ONTARIO ON THURSDAY AND SLOWLY SLIDE SOUTHEAST
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. THE REST OF THE PERIOD LOOKS TO STAY
DRY. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN SEASONABLE, WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S AND
LOWS IN THE 50S.
&&

.AVIATION /16Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
NEAR TERM: COULD HAVE OCCASIONAL MVFR CEILINGS ACROSS NORTHERN
AND NORTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA INTO EARLY
AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
REGION THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE
LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK. THE EXCEPTION IS THE POTENTIAL FOR
LOCALIZED IFR IN PATCHY FOG LATE EACH NIGHT/EARLY EACH MORNING.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP QUIESCENT CONDITIONS ON THE
WATERS THROUGH THE END OF THIS WEEK. NO HEADLINES ARE ANTICIPATED.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...NORCROSS/DUDA
SHORT TERM...HASTINGS
LONG TERM...HASTINGS
AVIATION...NORCROSS/HASTINGS
MARINE...NORCROSS/HASTINGS








000
FXUS61 KCAR 191447
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1047 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MID WEEK.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPDATE...
SURFACE/UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE GULF OF
SAINT LAWRENCE THIS AFTERNOON...WITH HIGH PRESSURE WEST OF THE
REGION. CLOUDS WRAPPING AROUND THE MARITIMES LOW WILL CLIP MOSTLY
NORTHERN AND NORTHEAST PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS
AFTERNOON WITH PARTLY SUNNY SKIES. MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ARE EXPECTED
ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON.
AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER TO MID 70S
NORTH...TO THE MID TO UPPER 70S DOWNEAST. HAVE UPDATED THE
FORECAST TO ADJUST FOR CURRENT CONDITIONS ALONG WITH AFTERNOON
TEMPERATURES AND CLOUD COVER.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE
REGION TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD EAST. LOW
TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 40S TO THE LOWER 50S
NORTH AND LOW TO MID 50S CENTRAL AND DOWNEAST.
&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
FAIRLY QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THIS PERIOD AS HIGH PRESSURE
SETTLES OVER THE NORTHEAST CONTINENTAL UNITED STATES. WEDNESDAY WILL
FEATURE MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO AROUND 80.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL ALSO BE DRY, WITH INCREASING CLOUDS LATE AS A
WEAK SHORTWAVE ROTATES AROUND UPPER LOW PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN
GREAT LAKES. LOWS WILL BE THE COOL ACROSS THE NORTH...LOWER 50S WITH
SOME 40S POSSIBLE IN THE NORTHWEST...BUT SOUTHERN AREAS WILL BE A
BIT WARMER OWING TO THE AFOREMENTIONED CLOUDS. THE SHORTWAVE WILL
TRAVERSE ACROSS CENTRAL/SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND ON THURSDAY. MODEL
GUIDANCE IS INDICATING THAT SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS OUR
WESTERN SECTIONS AS THE SHORTWAVE PASSES BY. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE
MID TO UPPER 70S, EXCEPT ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST, WHICH WILL BE
AROUND 70 FOR DAYTIME TEMPERATURES.
&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
THE QUIET WEATHER WILL CONTINUE RIGHT THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS HIGH
PRESSURE KEEPS HOLD OF THE REGION. THERE WILL BE THE CHANCE FOR
AFTERNOON SHOWERS FRIDAY AND TO A LESSER EXTENT SATURDAY, MAINLY
OVER WESTERN AREAS. THIS IS DUE TO WEAK LOW PRESSURE THAT WILL
DEVELOP OVER SOUTHERN ONTARIO ON THURSDAY AND SLOWLY SLIDE SOUTHEAST
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. THE REST OF THE PERIOD LOOKS TO STAY
DRY. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN SEASONABLE, WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S AND
LOWS IN THE 50S.
&&

.AVIATION /15Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
NEAR TERM: COULD HAVE OCCASIONAL MVFR CEILINGS ACROSS NORTHERN
AND NORTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA INTO EARLY
AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
REGION THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE
LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK. THE EXCEPTION IS THE POTENTIAL FOR
LOCALIZED IFR IN PATCHY FOG LATE EACH NIGHT/EARLY EACH MORNING.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP QUIESCENT CONDITIONS ON THE
WATERS THROUGH THE END OF THIS WEEK. NO HEADLINES ARE ANTICIPATED.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...NORCROSS/DUDA
SHORT TERM...HASTINGS
LONG TERM...HASTINGS
AVIATION...NORCROSS/HASTINGS
MARINE...NORCROSS/HASTINGS








000
FXUS61 KCAR 191447
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1047 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MID WEEK.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPDATE...
SURFACE/UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE GULF OF
SAINT LAWRENCE THIS AFTERNOON...WITH HIGH PRESSURE WEST OF THE
REGION. CLOUDS WRAPPING AROUND THE MARITIMES LOW WILL CLIP MOSTLY
NORTHERN AND NORTHEAST PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS
AFTERNOON WITH PARTLY SUNNY SKIES. MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ARE EXPECTED
ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON.
AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER TO MID 70S
NORTH...TO THE MID TO UPPER 70S DOWNEAST. HAVE UPDATED THE
FORECAST TO ADJUST FOR CURRENT CONDITIONS ALONG WITH AFTERNOON
TEMPERATURES AND CLOUD COVER.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE
REGION TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD EAST. LOW
TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 40S TO THE LOWER 50S
NORTH AND LOW TO MID 50S CENTRAL AND DOWNEAST.
&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
FAIRLY QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THIS PERIOD AS HIGH PRESSURE
SETTLES OVER THE NORTHEAST CONTINENTAL UNITED STATES. WEDNESDAY WILL
FEATURE MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO AROUND 80.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL ALSO BE DRY, WITH INCREASING CLOUDS LATE AS A
WEAK SHORTWAVE ROTATES AROUND UPPER LOW PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN
GREAT LAKES. LOWS WILL BE THE COOL ACROSS THE NORTH...LOWER 50S WITH
SOME 40S POSSIBLE IN THE NORTHWEST...BUT SOUTHERN AREAS WILL BE A
BIT WARMER OWING TO THE AFOREMENTIONED CLOUDS. THE SHORTWAVE WILL
TRAVERSE ACROSS CENTRAL/SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND ON THURSDAY. MODEL
GUIDANCE IS INDICATING THAT SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS OUR
WESTERN SECTIONS AS THE SHORTWAVE PASSES BY. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE
MID TO UPPER 70S, EXCEPT ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST, WHICH WILL BE
AROUND 70 FOR DAYTIME TEMPERATURES.
&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
THE QUIET WEATHER WILL CONTINUE RIGHT THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS HIGH
PRESSURE KEEPS HOLD OF THE REGION. THERE WILL BE THE CHANCE FOR
AFTERNOON SHOWERS FRIDAY AND TO A LESSER EXTENT SATURDAY, MAINLY
OVER WESTERN AREAS. THIS IS DUE TO WEAK LOW PRESSURE THAT WILL
DEVELOP OVER SOUTHERN ONTARIO ON THURSDAY AND SLOWLY SLIDE SOUTHEAST
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. THE REST OF THE PERIOD LOOKS TO STAY
DRY. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN SEASONABLE, WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S AND
LOWS IN THE 50S.
&&

.AVIATION /15Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
NEAR TERM: COULD HAVE OCCASIONAL MVFR CEILINGS ACROSS NORTHERN
AND NORTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA INTO EARLY
AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
REGION THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE
LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK. THE EXCEPTION IS THE POTENTIAL FOR
LOCALIZED IFR IN PATCHY FOG LATE EACH NIGHT/EARLY EACH MORNING.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP QUIESCENT CONDITIONS ON THE
WATERS THROUGH THE END OF THIS WEEK. NO HEADLINES ARE ANTICIPATED.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...NORCROSS/DUDA
SHORT TERM...HASTINGS
LONG TERM...HASTINGS
AVIATION...NORCROSS/HASTINGS
MARINE...NORCROSS/HASTINGS







000
FXUS61 KCAR 191027
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
627 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST OF THE REGION TODAY AND
TONIGHT. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION
THROUGH MID WEEK.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPDATE...LOWER CLOUDS BELOW 3KFT HAVE PUSHED INTO NORTHERN AREAS
EARLY THIS MORNING AND THE FORECAST WAS UPDATED TO GO MOSTLY
CLOUDY ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS EARLY FOLLOWED BY CLEARING. NO OTHER
CHANGES.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION
UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE NEAR LABRADOR WILL SLOWLY MOVE EAST TODAY.
EXPECT MOSTLY SUNNY/PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ACROSS THE REGION TODAY.
HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL RANGE FROM THE LOW TO MID 70S NORTH AND
MID TO UPPER 70S CENTRAL AND DOWNEAST.

UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE REGION
TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD EAST. LOW TEMPERATURES
TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 40S TO THE LOWER 50S NORTH AND LOW
TO MID 50S CENTRAL AND DOWNEAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
FAIRLY QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THIS PERIOD AS HIGH PRESSURE
SETTLES OVER THE NORTHEAST CONTINENTAL UNITED STATES. WEDNESDAY WILL
FEATURE MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO AROUND 80.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL ALSO BE DRY, WITH INCREASING CLOUDS LATE AS A
WEAK SHORTWAVE ROTATES AROUND UPPER LOW PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN
GREAT LAKES. LOWS WILL BE THE COOL ACROSS THE NORTH...LOWER 50S WITH
SOME 40S POSSIBLE IN THE NORTHWEST...BUT SOUTHERN AREAS WILL BE A
BIT WARMER OWING TO THE AFOREMENTIONED CLOUDS. THE SHORTWAVE WILL
TRAVERSE ACROSS CENTRAL/SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND ON THURSDAY. MODEL
GUIDANCE IS INDICATING THAT SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS OUR
WESTERN SECTIONS AS THE SHORTWAVE PASSES BY. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE
MID TO UPPER 70S, EXCEPT ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST, WHICH WILL BE
AROUND 70 FOR DAYTIME TEMPERATURES.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
THE QUIET WEATHER WILL CONTINUE RIGHT THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS HIGH
PRESSURE KEEPS HOLD OF THE REGION. THERE WILL BE THE CHANCE FOR
AFTERNOON SHOWERS FRIDAY AND TO A LESSER EXTENT SATURDAY, MAINLY
OVER WESTERN AREAS. THIS IS DUE TO WEAK LOW PRESSURE THAT WILL
DEVELOP OVER SOUTHERN ONTARIO ON THURSDAY AND SLOWLY SLIDE SOUTHEAST
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. THE REST OF THE PERIOD LOOKS TO STAY
DRY. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN SEASONABLE, WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S AND
LOWS IN THE 50S.

&&

.AVIATION /10Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
NEAR TERM: MVFR CONDITIONS FOR BKN-OVC CIGS 010-020 ACROSS THE
NORTHERN TAF SITES EARLY THIS MORNING OTHERWISE VFR ALL TAF SITES
THROUGH TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE
LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK. THE EXCEPTION IS THE POTENTIAL FOR
LOCALIZED IFR IN PATCHY FOG LATE EACH NIGHT/EARLY EACH MORNING.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS THROUGH TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP QUIESCENT CONDITIONS ON THE
WATERS THROUGH THE END OF THIS WEEK. NO HEADLINES ARE ANTICIPATED.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...DUDA
SHORT TERM...HASTINGS
LONG TERM...HASTINGS
AVIATION...DUDA/HASTINGS
MARINE...DUDA/HASTINGS








000
FXUS61 KCAR 191027
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
627 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST OF THE REGION TODAY AND
TONIGHT. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION
THROUGH MID WEEK.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPDATE...LOWER CLOUDS BELOW 3KFT HAVE PUSHED INTO NORTHERN AREAS
EARLY THIS MORNING AND THE FORECAST WAS UPDATED TO GO MOSTLY
CLOUDY ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS EARLY FOLLOWED BY CLEARING. NO OTHER
CHANGES.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION
UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE NEAR LABRADOR WILL SLOWLY MOVE EAST TODAY.
EXPECT MOSTLY SUNNY/PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ACROSS THE REGION TODAY.
HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL RANGE FROM THE LOW TO MID 70S NORTH AND
MID TO UPPER 70S CENTRAL AND DOWNEAST.

UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE REGION
TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD EAST. LOW TEMPERATURES
TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 40S TO THE LOWER 50S NORTH AND LOW
TO MID 50S CENTRAL AND DOWNEAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
FAIRLY QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THIS PERIOD AS HIGH PRESSURE
SETTLES OVER THE NORTHEAST CONTINENTAL UNITED STATES. WEDNESDAY WILL
FEATURE MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO AROUND 80.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL ALSO BE DRY, WITH INCREASING CLOUDS LATE AS A
WEAK SHORTWAVE ROTATES AROUND UPPER LOW PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN
GREAT LAKES. LOWS WILL BE THE COOL ACROSS THE NORTH...LOWER 50S WITH
SOME 40S POSSIBLE IN THE NORTHWEST...BUT SOUTHERN AREAS WILL BE A
BIT WARMER OWING TO THE AFOREMENTIONED CLOUDS. THE SHORTWAVE WILL
TRAVERSE ACROSS CENTRAL/SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND ON THURSDAY. MODEL
GUIDANCE IS INDICATING THAT SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS OUR
WESTERN SECTIONS AS THE SHORTWAVE PASSES BY. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE
MID TO UPPER 70S, EXCEPT ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST, WHICH WILL BE
AROUND 70 FOR DAYTIME TEMPERATURES.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
THE QUIET WEATHER WILL CONTINUE RIGHT THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS HIGH
PRESSURE KEEPS HOLD OF THE REGION. THERE WILL BE THE CHANCE FOR
AFTERNOON SHOWERS FRIDAY AND TO A LESSER EXTENT SATURDAY, MAINLY
OVER WESTERN AREAS. THIS IS DUE TO WEAK LOW PRESSURE THAT WILL
DEVELOP OVER SOUTHERN ONTARIO ON THURSDAY AND SLOWLY SLIDE SOUTHEAST
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. THE REST OF THE PERIOD LOOKS TO STAY
DRY. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN SEASONABLE, WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S AND
LOWS IN THE 50S.

&&

.AVIATION /10Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
NEAR TERM: MVFR CONDITIONS FOR BKN-OVC CIGS 010-020 ACROSS THE
NORTHERN TAF SITES EARLY THIS MORNING OTHERWISE VFR ALL TAF SITES
THROUGH TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE
LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK. THE EXCEPTION IS THE POTENTIAL FOR
LOCALIZED IFR IN PATCHY FOG LATE EACH NIGHT/EARLY EACH MORNING.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS THROUGH TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP QUIESCENT CONDITIONS ON THE
WATERS THROUGH THE END OF THIS WEEK. NO HEADLINES ARE ANTICIPATED.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...DUDA
SHORT TERM...HASTINGS
LONG TERM...HASTINGS
AVIATION...DUDA/HASTINGS
MARINE...DUDA/HASTINGS







000
FXUS61 KCAR 190703
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
303 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST OF THE REGION TODAY AND
TONIGHT. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION
THROUGH MID WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE NEAR LABRADOR WILL SLOWLY MOVE EAST TODAY.
EXPECT MOSTLY SUNNY/PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ACROSS THE REGION TODAY.
HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL RANGE FROM THE LOW TO MID 70S NORTH AND
MID TO UPPER 70S CENTRAL AND DOWNEAST.

UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE REGION
TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD EAST. LOW TEMPERATURES
TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 40S TO THE LOWER 50S NORTH AND LOW
TO MID 50S CENTRAL AND DOWNEAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
FAIRLY QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THIS PERIOD AS HIGH PRESSURE
SETTLES OVER THE NORTHEAST CONTINENTAL UNITED STATES. WEDNESDAY WILL
FEATURE MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO AROUND 80.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL ALSO BE DRY, WITH INCREASING CLOUDS LATE AS A
WEAK SHORTWAVE ROTATES AROUND UPPER LOW PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN
GREAT LAKES. LOWS WILL BE THE COOL ACROSS THE NORTH...LOWER 50S WITH
SOME 40S POSSIBLE IN THE NORTHWEST...BUT SOUTHERN AREAS WILL BE A
BIT WARMER OWING TO THE AFOREMENTIONED CLOUDS. THE SHORTWAVE WILL
TRAVERSE ACROSS CENTRAL/SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND ON THURSDAY. MODEL
GUIDANCE IS INDICATING THAT SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS OUR
WESTERN SECTIONS AS THE SHORTWAVE PASSES BY. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE
MID TO UPPER 70S, EXCEPT ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST, WHICH WILL BE
AROUND 70 FOR DAYTIME TEMPERATURES.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
THE QUIET WEATHER WILL CONTINUE RIGHT THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS HIGH
PRESSURE KEEPS HOLD OF THE REGION. THERE WILL BE THE CHANCE FOR
AFTERNOON SHOWERS FRIDAY AND TO A LESSER EXTENT SATURDAY, MAINLY
OVER WESTERN AREAS. THIS IS DUE TO WEAK LOW PRESSURE THAT WILL
DEVELOP OVER SOUTHERN ONTARIO ON THURSDAY AND SLOWLY SLIDE SOUTHEAST
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. THE REST OF THE PERIOD LOOKS TO STAY
DRY. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN SEASONABLE, WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S AND
LOWS IN THE 50S.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE
LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK. THE EXCEPTION IS THE POTENTIAL FOR
LOCALIZED IFR IN PATCHY FOG LATE EACH NIGHT/EARLY EACH MORNING.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS THROUGH TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP QUIESCENT CONDITIONS ON THE
WATERS THROUGH THE END OF THIS WEEK. NO HEADLINES ARE ANTICIPATED.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...DUDA
SHORT TERM...HASTINGS
LONG TERM...HASTINGS
AVIATION...DUDA/HASTINGS
MARINE...DUDA/HASTINGS











000
FXUS61 KCAR 190703
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
303 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST OF THE REGION TODAY AND
TONIGHT. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION
THROUGH MID WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE NEAR LABRADOR WILL SLOWLY MOVE EAST TODAY.
EXPECT MOSTLY SUNNY/PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ACROSS THE REGION TODAY.
HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL RANGE FROM THE LOW TO MID 70S NORTH AND
MID TO UPPER 70S CENTRAL AND DOWNEAST.

UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE REGION
TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD EAST. LOW TEMPERATURES
TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 40S TO THE LOWER 50S NORTH AND LOW
TO MID 50S CENTRAL AND DOWNEAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
FAIRLY QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THIS PERIOD AS HIGH PRESSURE
SETTLES OVER THE NORTHEAST CONTINENTAL UNITED STATES. WEDNESDAY WILL
FEATURE MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO AROUND 80.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL ALSO BE DRY, WITH INCREASING CLOUDS LATE AS A
WEAK SHORTWAVE ROTATES AROUND UPPER LOW PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN
GREAT LAKES. LOWS WILL BE THE COOL ACROSS THE NORTH...LOWER 50S WITH
SOME 40S POSSIBLE IN THE NORTHWEST...BUT SOUTHERN AREAS WILL BE A
BIT WARMER OWING TO THE AFOREMENTIONED CLOUDS. THE SHORTWAVE WILL
TRAVERSE ACROSS CENTRAL/SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND ON THURSDAY. MODEL
GUIDANCE IS INDICATING THAT SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS OUR
WESTERN SECTIONS AS THE SHORTWAVE PASSES BY. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE
MID TO UPPER 70S, EXCEPT ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST, WHICH WILL BE
AROUND 70 FOR DAYTIME TEMPERATURES.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
THE QUIET WEATHER WILL CONTINUE RIGHT THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS HIGH
PRESSURE KEEPS HOLD OF THE REGION. THERE WILL BE THE CHANCE FOR
AFTERNOON SHOWERS FRIDAY AND TO A LESSER EXTENT SATURDAY, MAINLY
OVER WESTERN AREAS. THIS IS DUE TO WEAK LOW PRESSURE THAT WILL
DEVELOP OVER SOUTHERN ONTARIO ON THURSDAY AND SLOWLY SLIDE SOUTHEAST
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. THE REST OF THE PERIOD LOOKS TO STAY
DRY. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN SEASONABLE, WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S AND
LOWS IN THE 50S.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE
LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK. THE EXCEPTION IS THE POTENTIAL FOR
LOCALIZED IFR IN PATCHY FOG LATE EACH NIGHT/EARLY EACH MORNING.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS THROUGH TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP QUIESCENT CONDITIONS ON THE
WATERS THROUGH THE END OF THIS WEEK. NO HEADLINES ARE ANTICIPATED.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...DUDA
SHORT TERM...HASTINGS
LONG TERM...HASTINGS
AVIATION...DUDA/HASTINGS
MARINE...DUDA/HASTINGS












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