Home > Products > Valid Products > AFD

000
FXUS61 KCAR 291012
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
612 AM EDT SUN MAR 29 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE AREA TODAY THEN MOVE EAST OF THE
REGION TONIGHT. LOW PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION MONDAY THROUGH
MONDAY NIGHT THEN EXIT ACROSS THE MARITIMES TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
6 AM UPDATE...DECREASED CLOUD COVER TO GO CLEAR ACROSS THE ENTIRE
REGION. ALSO RAISED TEMPS A BIT EARLY THIS MORNING. OTHERWISE, NO
MAJOR CHANGES THIS HOUR.

HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE MID ATLANTIC COAST AND EXTENDING
NORTH ACROSS NEW ENGLAND WILL BRING PLENTY OF BRIGHT SUNSHINE
TODAY. SOME MID AND HIGH LEVEL WARM ADVECTION CLOUDS WILL STRAY
INTO NORTHERN AREAS LATER IN THE AFTERNOON. THE LATE MARCH
SUNSHINE WILL BOOST TEMPS TO THE MID 30S ACROSS THE AREA. TONIGHT
WILL BE CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY EARLY WITH CLOUDS INCREASING LATER
AS LOW PRESSURE APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. WITH AN INCREASING
SOUTHERLY GRADIENT AND INCREASING CLOUDS, FORECAST LOWS ARE A
COUPLE DEGREES ABOVE GUIDANCE AND EXPECTED TO BE IN THE LOW TO MID
20S ACROSS THE AREA.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SURFACE LOW PRESSURE ALONG WITH AN UPPER TROF WILL CROSS THE
REGION LATER MONDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...THEN EXIT TO THE EAST
EARLY TUESDAY. SNOW/RAIN SHOWERS WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT...WITH ANY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS AN
INCH OR LESS. MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS WILL OCCUR ACROSS MOSTLY THE NORTH AND MOUNTAINS EARLY
TUESDAY WITH DECREASING CLOUDS DURING THE AFTERNOON. PARTLY
SUNNY/MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED DOWNEAST TUESDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD EAST TOWARD THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT
WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES NORTH AND PARTLY CLOUDY/MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES DOWNEAST. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT NEAR NORMAL...TO SLIGHTLY
BELOW NORMAL...LEVELS MONDAY/TUESDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY WITH MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES. HIGH PRESSURE THEN BEGINS TO MOVE EAST WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. LOW PRESSURE TRACKING NORTHWEST OF MAINE WILL BEGIN TO
DRAW A WARM FRONT TOWARD THE REGION LATER WEDNESDAY NIGHT. MOSTLY
CLEAR/PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. THE WARM FRONT WILL LIFT ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY WITH A
CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW NORTH AND A CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN/SNOW
DOWNEAST. UNCERTAINTY THEN BEGINS TO DEVELOP THURSDAY NIGHT
REGARDING WHETHER A COLD FRONT IS ABLE TO MOVE EAST OF THE REGION
BEFORE STALLING OR STALLS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. HAVE KEPT A
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS NORTH THURSDAY NIGHT...WITH A CHANCE OF
RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS DOWNEAST. MODELS INDICATE LOW PRESSURE LIFTING
ALONG THE STALLED COLD FRONT FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.
HOWEVER...SIGNIFICANT UNCERTAINTY STILL EXISTS REGARDING WHETHER
THE LOW TRACKS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA OR WHETHER THE STALLED
FRONT IS LOCATED TO THE EAST AND THE LOW JUST CLIPS MOSTLY
DOWNEAST AREAS. THE STRENGTH OF THE LOW IS ALSO UNCERTAIN.
PRECIPITATION TYPES AND AMOUNTS WILL BE DEPENDENT ON THE EVENTUAL
TRACK AND INTENSITY OF THE LOW. DUE TO THE UNCERTAINTY...HAVE
KEPT ONLY A CHANCE OF RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY
INTO SATURDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS
WEDNESDAY...WITH SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES
THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY WILL BE DEPENDENT ON
THE EVENTUAL LOCATION OF THE STALLED FRONT AND TRACK OF THE LOW.

&&

.AVIATION /10Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY INTO TONIGHT. SOME
SITES MAY DROP TO MVFR LATE TONIGHT IN INCREASING WARM ADVECTION
CLOUDS. SOME MINOR LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR FOR SOUTHERLY WINDS
INCREASE TO 30 KT AT 2K FT IS LIKELY VERY LATE TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: CONDITIONS WILL LOWER TO MVFR/IFR LEVELS ACROSS THE
REGION EARLY MONDAY WITH SIMILAR CONDITIONS PERSISTING THROUGH
EARLY MONDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS WILL THEN LINGER
ACROSS THE NORTH AND MOUNTAINS LATER MONDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY
TUESDAY...WITH GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS DOWNEAST. VFR CONDITIONS
ARE THEN EXPECTED ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION LATER TUESDAY INTO
EARLY THURSDAY. OCCASIONAL MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS ARE THEN POSSIBLE
LATER THURSDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: AN SCA FOR SEAS OVER 5 FT WILL BE UP THROUGH MIDDAY FOR
OUR OUTERS WATERS. WINDS AND SEAS ARE THEN EXPECTED TO BE BELOW
SCA LATER THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. WIND GUSTS MAY BEGIN TO
APPROACH SCA LEVELS OVER THE OFFSHORE WATERS LATE TONIGHT AS A
SOUTHERLY WIND INCREASING AHEAD OF LOW PRESSURE TRACKING WELL TO
THE NORTH.

SHORT TERM: SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY
INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. VISIBILITIES COULD BE REDUCED IN SHOWERS
MONDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS
     AFTERNOON FOR ANZ050-051.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...BLOOMER
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/NORCROSS
MARINE...BLOOMER/NORCROSS




000
FXUS61 KCAR 291012
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
612 AM EDT SUN MAR 29 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE AREA TODAY THEN MOVE EAST OF THE
REGION TONIGHT. LOW PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION MONDAY THROUGH
MONDAY NIGHT THEN EXIT ACROSS THE MARITIMES TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
6 AM UPDATE...DECREASED CLOUD COVER TO GO CLEAR ACROSS THE ENTIRE
REGION. ALSO RAISED TEMPS A BIT EARLY THIS MORNING. OTHERWISE, NO
MAJOR CHANGES THIS HOUR.

HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE MID ATLANTIC COAST AND EXTENDING
NORTH ACROSS NEW ENGLAND WILL BRING PLENTY OF BRIGHT SUNSHINE
TODAY. SOME MID AND HIGH LEVEL WARM ADVECTION CLOUDS WILL STRAY
INTO NORTHERN AREAS LATER IN THE AFTERNOON. THE LATE MARCH
SUNSHINE WILL BOOST TEMPS TO THE MID 30S ACROSS THE AREA. TONIGHT
WILL BE CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY EARLY WITH CLOUDS INCREASING LATER
AS LOW PRESSURE APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. WITH AN INCREASING
SOUTHERLY GRADIENT AND INCREASING CLOUDS, FORECAST LOWS ARE A
COUPLE DEGREES ABOVE GUIDANCE AND EXPECTED TO BE IN THE LOW TO MID
20S ACROSS THE AREA.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SURFACE LOW PRESSURE ALONG WITH AN UPPER TROF WILL CROSS THE
REGION LATER MONDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...THEN EXIT TO THE EAST
EARLY TUESDAY. SNOW/RAIN SHOWERS WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT...WITH ANY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS AN
INCH OR LESS. MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS WILL OCCUR ACROSS MOSTLY THE NORTH AND MOUNTAINS EARLY
TUESDAY WITH DECREASING CLOUDS DURING THE AFTERNOON. PARTLY
SUNNY/MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED DOWNEAST TUESDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD EAST TOWARD THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT
WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES NORTH AND PARTLY CLOUDY/MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES DOWNEAST. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT NEAR NORMAL...TO SLIGHTLY
BELOW NORMAL...LEVELS MONDAY/TUESDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY WITH MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES. HIGH PRESSURE THEN BEGINS TO MOVE EAST WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. LOW PRESSURE TRACKING NORTHWEST OF MAINE WILL BEGIN TO
DRAW A WARM FRONT TOWARD THE REGION LATER WEDNESDAY NIGHT. MOSTLY
CLEAR/PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. THE WARM FRONT WILL LIFT ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY WITH A
CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW NORTH AND A CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN/SNOW
DOWNEAST. UNCERTAINTY THEN BEGINS TO DEVELOP THURSDAY NIGHT
REGARDING WHETHER A COLD FRONT IS ABLE TO MOVE EAST OF THE REGION
BEFORE STALLING OR STALLS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. HAVE KEPT A
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS NORTH THURSDAY NIGHT...WITH A CHANCE OF
RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS DOWNEAST. MODELS INDICATE LOW PRESSURE LIFTING
ALONG THE STALLED COLD FRONT FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.
HOWEVER...SIGNIFICANT UNCERTAINTY STILL EXISTS REGARDING WHETHER
THE LOW TRACKS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA OR WHETHER THE STALLED
FRONT IS LOCATED TO THE EAST AND THE LOW JUST CLIPS MOSTLY
DOWNEAST AREAS. THE STRENGTH OF THE LOW IS ALSO UNCERTAIN.
PRECIPITATION TYPES AND AMOUNTS WILL BE DEPENDENT ON THE EVENTUAL
TRACK AND INTENSITY OF THE LOW. DUE TO THE UNCERTAINTY...HAVE
KEPT ONLY A CHANCE OF RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY
INTO SATURDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS
WEDNESDAY...WITH SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES
THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY WILL BE DEPENDENT ON
THE EVENTUAL LOCATION OF THE STALLED FRONT AND TRACK OF THE LOW.

&&

.AVIATION /10Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY INTO TONIGHT. SOME
SITES MAY DROP TO MVFR LATE TONIGHT IN INCREASING WARM ADVECTION
CLOUDS. SOME MINOR LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR FOR SOUTHERLY WINDS
INCREASE TO 30 KT AT 2K FT IS LIKELY VERY LATE TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: CONDITIONS WILL LOWER TO MVFR/IFR LEVELS ACROSS THE
REGION EARLY MONDAY WITH SIMILAR CONDITIONS PERSISTING THROUGH
EARLY MONDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS WILL THEN LINGER
ACROSS THE NORTH AND MOUNTAINS LATER MONDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY
TUESDAY...WITH GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS DOWNEAST. VFR CONDITIONS
ARE THEN EXPECTED ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION LATER TUESDAY INTO
EARLY THURSDAY. OCCASIONAL MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS ARE THEN POSSIBLE
LATER THURSDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: AN SCA FOR SEAS OVER 5 FT WILL BE UP THROUGH MIDDAY FOR
OUR OUTERS WATERS. WINDS AND SEAS ARE THEN EXPECTED TO BE BELOW
SCA LATER THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. WIND GUSTS MAY BEGIN TO
APPROACH SCA LEVELS OVER THE OFFSHORE WATERS LATE TONIGHT AS A
SOUTHERLY WIND INCREASING AHEAD OF LOW PRESSURE TRACKING WELL TO
THE NORTH.

SHORT TERM: SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY
INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. VISIBILITIES COULD BE REDUCED IN SHOWERS
MONDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS
     AFTERNOON FOR ANZ050-051.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...BLOOMER
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/NORCROSS
MARINE...BLOOMER/NORCROSS





000
FXUS61 KCAR 291012
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
612 AM EDT SUN MAR 29 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE AREA TODAY THEN MOVE EAST OF THE
REGION TONIGHT. LOW PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION MONDAY THROUGH
MONDAY NIGHT THEN EXIT ACROSS THE MARITIMES TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
6 AM UPDATE...DECREASED CLOUD COVER TO GO CLEAR ACROSS THE ENTIRE
REGION. ALSO RAISED TEMPS A BIT EARLY THIS MORNING. OTHERWISE, NO
MAJOR CHANGES THIS HOUR.

HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE MID ATLANTIC COAST AND EXTENDING
NORTH ACROSS NEW ENGLAND WILL BRING PLENTY OF BRIGHT SUNSHINE
TODAY. SOME MID AND HIGH LEVEL WARM ADVECTION CLOUDS WILL STRAY
INTO NORTHERN AREAS LATER IN THE AFTERNOON. THE LATE MARCH
SUNSHINE WILL BOOST TEMPS TO THE MID 30S ACROSS THE AREA. TONIGHT
WILL BE CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY EARLY WITH CLOUDS INCREASING LATER
AS LOW PRESSURE APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. WITH AN INCREASING
SOUTHERLY GRADIENT AND INCREASING CLOUDS, FORECAST LOWS ARE A
COUPLE DEGREES ABOVE GUIDANCE AND EXPECTED TO BE IN THE LOW TO MID
20S ACROSS THE AREA.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SURFACE LOW PRESSURE ALONG WITH AN UPPER TROF WILL CROSS THE
REGION LATER MONDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...THEN EXIT TO THE EAST
EARLY TUESDAY. SNOW/RAIN SHOWERS WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT...WITH ANY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS AN
INCH OR LESS. MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS WILL OCCUR ACROSS MOSTLY THE NORTH AND MOUNTAINS EARLY
TUESDAY WITH DECREASING CLOUDS DURING THE AFTERNOON. PARTLY
SUNNY/MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED DOWNEAST TUESDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD EAST TOWARD THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT
WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES NORTH AND PARTLY CLOUDY/MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES DOWNEAST. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT NEAR NORMAL...TO SLIGHTLY
BELOW NORMAL...LEVELS MONDAY/TUESDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY WITH MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES. HIGH PRESSURE THEN BEGINS TO MOVE EAST WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. LOW PRESSURE TRACKING NORTHWEST OF MAINE WILL BEGIN TO
DRAW A WARM FRONT TOWARD THE REGION LATER WEDNESDAY NIGHT. MOSTLY
CLEAR/PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. THE WARM FRONT WILL LIFT ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY WITH A
CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW NORTH AND A CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN/SNOW
DOWNEAST. UNCERTAINTY THEN BEGINS TO DEVELOP THURSDAY NIGHT
REGARDING WHETHER A COLD FRONT IS ABLE TO MOVE EAST OF THE REGION
BEFORE STALLING OR STALLS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. HAVE KEPT A
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS NORTH THURSDAY NIGHT...WITH A CHANCE OF
RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS DOWNEAST. MODELS INDICATE LOW PRESSURE LIFTING
ALONG THE STALLED COLD FRONT FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.
HOWEVER...SIGNIFICANT UNCERTAINTY STILL EXISTS REGARDING WHETHER
THE LOW TRACKS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA OR WHETHER THE STALLED
FRONT IS LOCATED TO THE EAST AND THE LOW JUST CLIPS MOSTLY
DOWNEAST AREAS. THE STRENGTH OF THE LOW IS ALSO UNCERTAIN.
PRECIPITATION TYPES AND AMOUNTS WILL BE DEPENDENT ON THE EVENTUAL
TRACK AND INTENSITY OF THE LOW. DUE TO THE UNCERTAINTY...HAVE
KEPT ONLY A CHANCE OF RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY
INTO SATURDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS
WEDNESDAY...WITH SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES
THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY WILL BE DEPENDENT ON
THE EVENTUAL LOCATION OF THE STALLED FRONT AND TRACK OF THE LOW.

&&

.AVIATION /10Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY INTO TONIGHT. SOME
SITES MAY DROP TO MVFR LATE TONIGHT IN INCREASING WARM ADVECTION
CLOUDS. SOME MINOR LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR FOR SOUTHERLY WINDS
INCREASE TO 30 KT AT 2K FT IS LIKELY VERY LATE TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: CONDITIONS WILL LOWER TO MVFR/IFR LEVELS ACROSS THE
REGION EARLY MONDAY WITH SIMILAR CONDITIONS PERSISTING THROUGH
EARLY MONDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS WILL THEN LINGER
ACROSS THE NORTH AND MOUNTAINS LATER MONDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY
TUESDAY...WITH GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS DOWNEAST. VFR CONDITIONS
ARE THEN EXPECTED ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION LATER TUESDAY INTO
EARLY THURSDAY. OCCASIONAL MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS ARE THEN POSSIBLE
LATER THURSDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: AN SCA FOR SEAS OVER 5 FT WILL BE UP THROUGH MIDDAY FOR
OUR OUTERS WATERS. WINDS AND SEAS ARE THEN EXPECTED TO BE BELOW
SCA LATER THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. WIND GUSTS MAY BEGIN TO
APPROACH SCA LEVELS OVER THE OFFSHORE WATERS LATE TONIGHT AS A
SOUTHERLY WIND INCREASING AHEAD OF LOW PRESSURE TRACKING WELL TO
THE NORTH.

SHORT TERM: SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY
INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. VISIBILITIES COULD BE REDUCED IN SHOWERS
MONDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS
     AFTERNOON FOR ANZ050-051.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...BLOOMER
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/NORCROSS
MARINE...BLOOMER/NORCROSS




000
FXUS61 KCAR 291012
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
612 AM EDT SUN MAR 29 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE AREA TODAY THEN MOVE EAST OF THE
REGION TONIGHT. LOW PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION MONDAY THROUGH
MONDAY NIGHT THEN EXIT ACROSS THE MARITIMES TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
6 AM UPDATE...DECREASED CLOUD COVER TO GO CLEAR ACROSS THE ENTIRE
REGION. ALSO RAISED TEMPS A BIT EARLY THIS MORNING. OTHERWISE, NO
MAJOR CHANGES THIS HOUR.

HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE MID ATLANTIC COAST AND EXTENDING
NORTH ACROSS NEW ENGLAND WILL BRING PLENTY OF BRIGHT SUNSHINE
TODAY. SOME MID AND HIGH LEVEL WARM ADVECTION CLOUDS WILL STRAY
INTO NORTHERN AREAS LATER IN THE AFTERNOON. THE LATE MARCH
SUNSHINE WILL BOOST TEMPS TO THE MID 30S ACROSS THE AREA. TONIGHT
WILL BE CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY EARLY WITH CLOUDS INCREASING LATER
AS LOW PRESSURE APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. WITH AN INCREASING
SOUTHERLY GRADIENT AND INCREASING CLOUDS, FORECAST LOWS ARE A
COUPLE DEGREES ABOVE GUIDANCE AND EXPECTED TO BE IN THE LOW TO MID
20S ACROSS THE AREA.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SURFACE LOW PRESSURE ALONG WITH AN UPPER TROF WILL CROSS THE
REGION LATER MONDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...THEN EXIT TO THE EAST
EARLY TUESDAY. SNOW/RAIN SHOWERS WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT...WITH ANY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS AN
INCH OR LESS. MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS WILL OCCUR ACROSS MOSTLY THE NORTH AND MOUNTAINS EARLY
TUESDAY WITH DECREASING CLOUDS DURING THE AFTERNOON. PARTLY
SUNNY/MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED DOWNEAST TUESDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD EAST TOWARD THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT
WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES NORTH AND PARTLY CLOUDY/MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES DOWNEAST. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT NEAR NORMAL...TO SLIGHTLY
BELOW NORMAL...LEVELS MONDAY/TUESDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY WITH MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES. HIGH PRESSURE THEN BEGINS TO MOVE EAST WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. LOW PRESSURE TRACKING NORTHWEST OF MAINE WILL BEGIN TO
DRAW A WARM FRONT TOWARD THE REGION LATER WEDNESDAY NIGHT. MOSTLY
CLEAR/PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. THE WARM FRONT WILL LIFT ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY WITH A
CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW NORTH AND A CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN/SNOW
DOWNEAST. UNCERTAINTY THEN BEGINS TO DEVELOP THURSDAY NIGHT
REGARDING WHETHER A COLD FRONT IS ABLE TO MOVE EAST OF THE REGION
BEFORE STALLING OR STALLS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. HAVE KEPT A
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS NORTH THURSDAY NIGHT...WITH A CHANCE OF
RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS DOWNEAST. MODELS INDICATE LOW PRESSURE LIFTING
ALONG THE STALLED COLD FRONT FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.
HOWEVER...SIGNIFICANT UNCERTAINTY STILL EXISTS REGARDING WHETHER
THE LOW TRACKS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA OR WHETHER THE STALLED
FRONT IS LOCATED TO THE EAST AND THE LOW JUST CLIPS MOSTLY
DOWNEAST AREAS. THE STRENGTH OF THE LOW IS ALSO UNCERTAIN.
PRECIPITATION TYPES AND AMOUNTS WILL BE DEPENDENT ON THE EVENTUAL
TRACK AND INTENSITY OF THE LOW. DUE TO THE UNCERTAINTY...HAVE
KEPT ONLY A CHANCE OF RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY
INTO SATURDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS
WEDNESDAY...WITH SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES
THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY WILL BE DEPENDENT ON
THE EVENTUAL LOCATION OF THE STALLED FRONT AND TRACK OF THE LOW.

&&

.AVIATION /10Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY INTO TONIGHT. SOME
SITES MAY DROP TO MVFR LATE TONIGHT IN INCREASING WARM ADVECTION
CLOUDS. SOME MINOR LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR FOR SOUTHERLY WINDS
INCREASE TO 30 KT AT 2K FT IS LIKELY VERY LATE TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: CONDITIONS WILL LOWER TO MVFR/IFR LEVELS ACROSS THE
REGION EARLY MONDAY WITH SIMILAR CONDITIONS PERSISTING THROUGH
EARLY MONDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS WILL THEN LINGER
ACROSS THE NORTH AND MOUNTAINS LATER MONDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY
TUESDAY...WITH GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS DOWNEAST. VFR CONDITIONS
ARE THEN EXPECTED ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION LATER TUESDAY INTO
EARLY THURSDAY. OCCASIONAL MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS ARE THEN POSSIBLE
LATER THURSDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: AN SCA FOR SEAS OVER 5 FT WILL BE UP THROUGH MIDDAY FOR
OUR OUTERS WATERS. WINDS AND SEAS ARE THEN EXPECTED TO BE BELOW
SCA LATER THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. WIND GUSTS MAY BEGIN TO
APPROACH SCA LEVELS OVER THE OFFSHORE WATERS LATE TONIGHT AS A
SOUTHERLY WIND INCREASING AHEAD OF LOW PRESSURE TRACKING WELL TO
THE NORTH.

SHORT TERM: SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY
INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. VISIBILITIES COULD BE REDUCED IN SHOWERS
MONDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS
     AFTERNOON FOR ANZ050-051.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...BLOOMER
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/NORCROSS
MARINE...BLOOMER/NORCROSS





000
FXUS61 KCAR 290914
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
514 AM EDT SUN MAR 29 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE AREA TODAY THEN MOVE EAST OF THE
REGION TONIGHT. LOW PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION MONDAY THROUGH
MONDAY NIGHT THEN EXIT ACROSS THE MARITIMES TUESDAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE MID ATLANTIC COAST AND EXTENDING
NORTH ACROSS NEW ENGLAND WILL BRING PLENTY OF BRIGHT SUNSHINE
TODAY. SOME MID AND HIGH LEVEL WARM ADVECTION CLOUDS WILL STRAY
INTO NORTHERN AREAS LATER IN THE AFTERNOON. THE LATE MARCH
SUNSHINE WILL BOOST TEMPS TO THE MID 30S ACROSS THE AREA. TONIGHT
WILL BE CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY EARLY WITH CLOUDS INCREASING LATER
AS LOW PRESSURE APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. WITH AN INCREASING
SOUTHERLY GRADIENT AND INCREASING CLOUDS, FORECAST LOWS ARE A
COUPLE DEGREES ABOVE GUIDANCE AND EXPECTED TO BE IN THE LOW TO MID
20S ACROSS THE AREA.
&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
SURFACE LOW PRESSURE ALONG WITH AN UPPER TROF WILL CROSS THE
REGION LATER MONDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...THEN EXIT TO THE EAST
EARLY TUESDAY. SNOW/RAIN SHOWERS WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT...WITH ANY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS AN
INCH OR LESS. MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS WILL OCCUR ACROSS MOSTLY THE NORTH AND MOUNTAINS EARLY
TUESDAY WITH DECREASING CLOUDS DURING THE AFTERNOON. PARTLY
SUNNY/MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED DOWNEAST TUESDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD EAST TOWARD THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT
WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES NORTH AND PARTLY CLOUDY/MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES DOWNEAST. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT NEAR NORMAL...TO SLIGHTLY
BELOW NORMAL...LEVELS MONDAY/TUESDAY.
&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY WITH MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES. HIGH PRESSURE THEN BEGINS TO MOVE EAST WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. LOW PRESSURE TRACKING NORTHWEST OF MAINE WILL BEGIN TO
DRAW A WARM FRONT TOWARD THE REGION LATER WEDNESDAY NIGHT. MOSTLY
CLEAR/PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. THE WARM FRONT WILL LIFT ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY WITH A
CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW NORTH AND A CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN/SNOW
DOWNEAST. UNCERTAINTY THEN BEGINS TO DEVELOP THURSDAY NIGHT
REGARDING WHETHER A COLD FRONT IS ABLE TO MOVE EAST OF THE REGION
BEFORE STALLING OR STALLS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. HAVE KEPT A
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS NORTH THURSDAY NIGHT...WITH A CHANCE OF
RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS DOWNEAST. MODELS INDICATE LOW PRESSURE LIFTING
ALONG THE STALLED COLD FRONT FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.
HOWEVER...SIGNIFICANT UNCERTAINTY STILL EXISTS REGARDING WHETHER
THE LOW TRACKS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA OR WHETHER THE STALLED
FRONT IS LOCATED TO THE EAST AND THE LOW JUST CLIPS MOSTLY
DOWNEAST AREAS. THE STRENGTH OF THE LOW IS ALSO UNCERTAIN.
PRECIPITATION TYPES AND AMOUNTS WILL BE DEPENDENT ON THE EVENTUAL
TRACK AND INTENSITY OF THE LOW. DUE TO THE UNCERTAINTY...HAVE
KEPT ONLY A CHANCE OF RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY
INTO SATURDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS
WEDNESDAY...WITH SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES
THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY WILL BE DEPENDENT ON
THE EVENTUAL LOCATION OF THE STALLED FRONT AND TRACK OF THE LOW.
&&

.AVIATION /09Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY INTO TONIGHT. SOME
SITES MAY DROP TO MVFR LATE TONIGHT IN INCREASING WARM ADVECTION
CLOUDS. SOME MINOR LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR FOR SOUTHERLY WINDS
INCREASE TO 30 KT AT 2K FT IS LIKELY VERY LATE TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: CONDITIONS WILL LOWER TO MVFR/IFR LEVELS ACROSS THE
REGION EARLY MONDAY WITH SIMILAR CONDITIONS PERSISTING THROUGH
EARLY MONDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS WILL THEN LINGER
ACROSS THE NORTH AND MOUNTAINS LATER MONDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY
TUESDAY...WITH GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS DOWNEAST. VFR CONDITIONS
ARE THEN EXPECTED ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION LATER TUESDAY INTO
EARLY THURSDAY. OCCASIONAL MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS ARE THEN POSSIBLE
LATER THURSDAY.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: AN SCA FOR SEAS OVER 5 FT WILL BE UP THROUGH MIDDAY FOR
OUR OUTERS WATERS. WINDS AND SEAS ARE THEN EXPECTED TO BE BELOW
SCA LATER THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. WIND GUSTS MAY BEGIN TO
APPROACH SCA LEVELS OVER THE OFFSHORE WATERS LATE TONIGHT AS A
SOUTHERLY WIND INCREASING AHEAD OF LOW PRESSURE TRACKING WELL TO
THE NORTH.

SHORT TERM: SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY
INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. VISIBILITIES COULD BE REDUCED IN SHOWERS
MONDAY AFTERNOON.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS
     AFTERNOON FOR ANZ050-051.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...BLOOMER
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/NORCROSS
MARINE...BLOOMER/NORCROSS




000
FXUS61 KCAR 290914
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
514 AM EDT SUN MAR 29 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE AREA TODAY THEN MOVE EAST OF THE
REGION TONIGHT. LOW PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION MONDAY THROUGH
MONDAY NIGHT THEN EXIT ACROSS THE MARITIMES TUESDAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE MID ATLANTIC COAST AND EXTENDING
NORTH ACROSS NEW ENGLAND WILL BRING PLENTY OF BRIGHT SUNSHINE
TODAY. SOME MID AND HIGH LEVEL WARM ADVECTION CLOUDS WILL STRAY
INTO NORTHERN AREAS LATER IN THE AFTERNOON. THE LATE MARCH
SUNSHINE WILL BOOST TEMPS TO THE MID 30S ACROSS THE AREA. TONIGHT
WILL BE CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY EARLY WITH CLOUDS INCREASING LATER
AS LOW PRESSURE APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. WITH AN INCREASING
SOUTHERLY GRADIENT AND INCREASING CLOUDS, FORECAST LOWS ARE A
COUPLE DEGREES ABOVE GUIDANCE AND EXPECTED TO BE IN THE LOW TO MID
20S ACROSS THE AREA.
&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
SURFACE LOW PRESSURE ALONG WITH AN UPPER TROF WILL CROSS THE
REGION LATER MONDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...THEN EXIT TO THE EAST
EARLY TUESDAY. SNOW/RAIN SHOWERS WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT...WITH ANY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS AN
INCH OR LESS. MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS WILL OCCUR ACROSS MOSTLY THE NORTH AND MOUNTAINS EARLY
TUESDAY WITH DECREASING CLOUDS DURING THE AFTERNOON. PARTLY
SUNNY/MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED DOWNEAST TUESDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD EAST TOWARD THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT
WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES NORTH AND PARTLY CLOUDY/MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES DOWNEAST. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT NEAR NORMAL...TO SLIGHTLY
BELOW NORMAL...LEVELS MONDAY/TUESDAY.
&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY WITH MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES. HIGH PRESSURE THEN BEGINS TO MOVE EAST WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. LOW PRESSURE TRACKING NORTHWEST OF MAINE WILL BEGIN TO
DRAW A WARM FRONT TOWARD THE REGION LATER WEDNESDAY NIGHT. MOSTLY
CLEAR/PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. THE WARM FRONT WILL LIFT ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY WITH A
CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW NORTH AND A CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN/SNOW
DOWNEAST. UNCERTAINTY THEN BEGINS TO DEVELOP THURSDAY NIGHT
REGARDING WHETHER A COLD FRONT IS ABLE TO MOVE EAST OF THE REGION
BEFORE STALLING OR STALLS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. HAVE KEPT A
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS NORTH THURSDAY NIGHT...WITH A CHANCE OF
RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS DOWNEAST. MODELS INDICATE LOW PRESSURE LIFTING
ALONG THE STALLED COLD FRONT FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.
HOWEVER...SIGNIFICANT UNCERTAINTY STILL EXISTS REGARDING WHETHER
THE LOW TRACKS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA OR WHETHER THE STALLED
FRONT IS LOCATED TO THE EAST AND THE LOW JUST CLIPS MOSTLY
DOWNEAST AREAS. THE STRENGTH OF THE LOW IS ALSO UNCERTAIN.
PRECIPITATION TYPES AND AMOUNTS WILL BE DEPENDENT ON THE EVENTUAL
TRACK AND INTENSITY OF THE LOW. DUE TO THE UNCERTAINTY...HAVE
KEPT ONLY A CHANCE OF RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY
INTO SATURDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS
WEDNESDAY...WITH SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES
THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY WILL BE DEPENDENT ON
THE EVENTUAL LOCATION OF THE STALLED FRONT AND TRACK OF THE LOW.
&&

.AVIATION /09Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY INTO TONIGHT. SOME
SITES MAY DROP TO MVFR LATE TONIGHT IN INCREASING WARM ADVECTION
CLOUDS. SOME MINOR LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR FOR SOUTHERLY WINDS
INCREASE TO 30 KT AT 2K FT IS LIKELY VERY LATE TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: CONDITIONS WILL LOWER TO MVFR/IFR LEVELS ACROSS THE
REGION EARLY MONDAY WITH SIMILAR CONDITIONS PERSISTING THROUGH
EARLY MONDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS WILL THEN LINGER
ACROSS THE NORTH AND MOUNTAINS LATER MONDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY
TUESDAY...WITH GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS DOWNEAST. VFR CONDITIONS
ARE THEN EXPECTED ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION LATER TUESDAY INTO
EARLY THURSDAY. OCCASIONAL MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS ARE THEN POSSIBLE
LATER THURSDAY.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: AN SCA FOR SEAS OVER 5 FT WILL BE UP THROUGH MIDDAY FOR
OUR OUTERS WATERS. WINDS AND SEAS ARE THEN EXPECTED TO BE BELOW
SCA LATER THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. WIND GUSTS MAY BEGIN TO
APPROACH SCA LEVELS OVER THE OFFSHORE WATERS LATE TONIGHT AS A
SOUTHERLY WIND INCREASING AHEAD OF LOW PRESSURE TRACKING WELL TO
THE NORTH.

SHORT TERM: SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY
INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. VISIBILITIES COULD BE REDUCED IN SHOWERS
MONDAY AFTERNOON.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS
     AFTERNOON FOR ANZ050-051.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...BLOOMER
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/NORCROSS
MARINE...BLOOMER/NORCROSS




000
FXUS61 KCAR 290914
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
514 AM EDT SUN MAR 29 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE AREA TODAY THEN MOVE EAST OF THE
REGION TONIGHT. LOW PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION MONDAY THROUGH
MONDAY NIGHT THEN EXIT ACROSS THE MARITIMES TUESDAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE MID ATLANTIC COAST AND EXTENDING
NORTH ACROSS NEW ENGLAND WILL BRING PLENTY OF BRIGHT SUNSHINE
TODAY. SOME MID AND HIGH LEVEL WARM ADVECTION CLOUDS WILL STRAY
INTO NORTHERN AREAS LATER IN THE AFTERNOON. THE LATE MARCH
SUNSHINE WILL BOOST TEMPS TO THE MID 30S ACROSS THE AREA. TONIGHT
WILL BE CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY EARLY WITH CLOUDS INCREASING LATER
AS LOW PRESSURE APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. WITH AN INCREASING
SOUTHERLY GRADIENT AND INCREASING CLOUDS, FORECAST LOWS ARE A
COUPLE DEGREES ABOVE GUIDANCE AND EXPECTED TO BE IN THE LOW TO MID
20S ACROSS THE AREA.
&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
SURFACE LOW PRESSURE ALONG WITH AN UPPER TROF WILL CROSS THE
REGION LATER MONDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...THEN EXIT TO THE EAST
EARLY TUESDAY. SNOW/RAIN SHOWERS WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT...WITH ANY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS AN
INCH OR LESS. MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS WILL OCCUR ACROSS MOSTLY THE NORTH AND MOUNTAINS EARLY
TUESDAY WITH DECREASING CLOUDS DURING THE AFTERNOON. PARTLY
SUNNY/MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED DOWNEAST TUESDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD EAST TOWARD THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT
WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES NORTH AND PARTLY CLOUDY/MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES DOWNEAST. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT NEAR NORMAL...TO SLIGHTLY
BELOW NORMAL...LEVELS MONDAY/TUESDAY.
&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY WITH MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES. HIGH PRESSURE THEN BEGINS TO MOVE EAST WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. LOW PRESSURE TRACKING NORTHWEST OF MAINE WILL BEGIN TO
DRAW A WARM FRONT TOWARD THE REGION LATER WEDNESDAY NIGHT. MOSTLY
CLEAR/PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. THE WARM FRONT WILL LIFT ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY WITH A
CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW NORTH AND A CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN/SNOW
DOWNEAST. UNCERTAINTY THEN BEGINS TO DEVELOP THURSDAY NIGHT
REGARDING WHETHER A COLD FRONT IS ABLE TO MOVE EAST OF THE REGION
BEFORE STALLING OR STALLS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. HAVE KEPT A
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS NORTH THURSDAY NIGHT...WITH A CHANCE OF
RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS DOWNEAST. MODELS INDICATE LOW PRESSURE LIFTING
ALONG THE STALLED COLD FRONT FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.
HOWEVER...SIGNIFICANT UNCERTAINTY STILL EXISTS REGARDING WHETHER
THE LOW TRACKS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA OR WHETHER THE STALLED
FRONT IS LOCATED TO THE EAST AND THE LOW JUST CLIPS MOSTLY
DOWNEAST AREAS. THE STRENGTH OF THE LOW IS ALSO UNCERTAIN.
PRECIPITATION TYPES AND AMOUNTS WILL BE DEPENDENT ON THE EVENTUAL
TRACK AND INTENSITY OF THE LOW. DUE TO THE UNCERTAINTY...HAVE
KEPT ONLY A CHANCE OF RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY
INTO SATURDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS
WEDNESDAY...WITH SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES
THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY WILL BE DEPENDENT ON
THE EVENTUAL LOCATION OF THE STALLED FRONT AND TRACK OF THE LOW.
&&

.AVIATION /09Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY INTO TONIGHT. SOME
SITES MAY DROP TO MVFR LATE TONIGHT IN INCREASING WARM ADVECTION
CLOUDS. SOME MINOR LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR FOR SOUTHERLY WINDS
INCREASE TO 30 KT AT 2K FT IS LIKELY VERY LATE TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: CONDITIONS WILL LOWER TO MVFR/IFR LEVELS ACROSS THE
REGION EARLY MONDAY WITH SIMILAR CONDITIONS PERSISTING THROUGH
EARLY MONDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS WILL THEN LINGER
ACROSS THE NORTH AND MOUNTAINS LATER MONDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY
TUESDAY...WITH GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS DOWNEAST. VFR CONDITIONS
ARE THEN EXPECTED ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION LATER TUESDAY INTO
EARLY THURSDAY. OCCASIONAL MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS ARE THEN POSSIBLE
LATER THURSDAY.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: AN SCA FOR SEAS OVER 5 FT WILL BE UP THROUGH MIDDAY FOR
OUR OUTERS WATERS. WINDS AND SEAS ARE THEN EXPECTED TO BE BELOW
SCA LATER THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. WIND GUSTS MAY BEGIN TO
APPROACH SCA LEVELS OVER THE OFFSHORE WATERS LATE TONIGHT AS A
SOUTHERLY WIND INCREASING AHEAD OF LOW PRESSURE TRACKING WELL TO
THE NORTH.

SHORT TERM: SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY
INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. VISIBILITIES COULD BE REDUCED IN SHOWERS
MONDAY AFTERNOON.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS
     AFTERNOON FOR ANZ050-051.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...BLOOMER
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/NORCROSS
MARINE...BLOOMER/NORCROSS





000
FXUS61 KCAR 290914
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
514 AM EDT SUN MAR 29 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE AREA TODAY THEN MOVE EAST OF THE
REGION TONIGHT. LOW PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION MONDAY THROUGH
MONDAY NIGHT THEN EXIT ACROSS THE MARITIMES TUESDAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE MID ATLANTIC COAST AND EXTENDING
NORTH ACROSS NEW ENGLAND WILL BRING PLENTY OF BRIGHT SUNSHINE
TODAY. SOME MID AND HIGH LEVEL WARM ADVECTION CLOUDS WILL STRAY
INTO NORTHERN AREAS LATER IN THE AFTERNOON. THE LATE MARCH
SUNSHINE WILL BOOST TEMPS TO THE MID 30S ACROSS THE AREA. TONIGHT
WILL BE CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY EARLY WITH CLOUDS INCREASING LATER
AS LOW PRESSURE APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. WITH AN INCREASING
SOUTHERLY GRADIENT AND INCREASING CLOUDS, FORECAST LOWS ARE A
COUPLE DEGREES ABOVE GUIDANCE AND EXPECTED TO BE IN THE LOW TO MID
20S ACROSS THE AREA.
&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
SURFACE LOW PRESSURE ALONG WITH AN UPPER TROF WILL CROSS THE
REGION LATER MONDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...THEN EXIT TO THE EAST
EARLY TUESDAY. SNOW/RAIN SHOWERS WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT...WITH ANY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS AN
INCH OR LESS. MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS WILL OCCUR ACROSS MOSTLY THE NORTH AND MOUNTAINS EARLY
TUESDAY WITH DECREASING CLOUDS DURING THE AFTERNOON. PARTLY
SUNNY/MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED DOWNEAST TUESDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD EAST TOWARD THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT
WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES NORTH AND PARTLY CLOUDY/MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES DOWNEAST. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT NEAR NORMAL...TO SLIGHTLY
BELOW NORMAL...LEVELS MONDAY/TUESDAY.
&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY WITH MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES. HIGH PRESSURE THEN BEGINS TO MOVE EAST WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. LOW PRESSURE TRACKING NORTHWEST OF MAINE WILL BEGIN TO
DRAW A WARM FRONT TOWARD THE REGION LATER WEDNESDAY NIGHT. MOSTLY
CLEAR/PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. THE WARM FRONT WILL LIFT ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY WITH A
CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW NORTH AND A CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN/SNOW
DOWNEAST. UNCERTAINTY THEN BEGINS TO DEVELOP THURSDAY NIGHT
REGARDING WHETHER A COLD FRONT IS ABLE TO MOVE EAST OF THE REGION
BEFORE STALLING OR STALLS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. HAVE KEPT A
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS NORTH THURSDAY NIGHT...WITH A CHANCE OF
RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS DOWNEAST. MODELS INDICATE LOW PRESSURE LIFTING
ALONG THE STALLED COLD FRONT FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.
HOWEVER...SIGNIFICANT UNCERTAINTY STILL EXISTS REGARDING WHETHER
THE LOW TRACKS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA OR WHETHER THE STALLED
FRONT IS LOCATED TO THE EAST AND THE LOW JUST CLIPS MOSTLY
DOWNEAST AREAS. THE STRENGTH OF THE LOW IS ALSO UNCERTAIN.
PRECIPITATION TYPES AND AMOUNTS WILL BE DEPENDENT ON THE EVENTUAL
TRACK AND INTENSITY OF THE LOW. DUE TO THE UNCERTAINTY...HAVE
KEPT ONLY A CHANCE OF RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY
INTO SATURDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS
WEDNESDAY...WITH SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES
THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY WILL BE DEPENDENT ON
THE EVENTUAL LOCATION OF THE STALLED FRONT AND TRACK OF THE LOW.
&&

.AVIATION /09Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY INTO TONIGHT. SOME
SITES MAY DROP TO MVFR LATE TONIGHT IN INCREASING WARM ADVECTION
CLOUDS. SOME MINOR LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR FOR SOUTHERLY WINDS
INCREASE TO 30 KT AT 2K FT IS LIKELY VERY LATE TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: CONDITIONS WILL LOWER TO MVFR/IFR LEVELS ACROSS THE
REGION EARLY MONDAY WITH SIMILAR CONDITIONS PERSISTING THROUGH
EARLY MONDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS WILL THEN LINGER
ACROSS THE NORTH AND MOUNTAINS LATER MONDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY
TUESDAY...WITH GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS DOWNEAST. VFR CONDITIONS
ARE THEN EXPECTED ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION LATER TUESDAY INTO
EARLY THURSDAY. OCCASIONAL MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS ARE THEN POSSIBLE
LATER THURSDAY.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: AN SCA FOR SEAS OVER 5 FT WILL BE UP THROUGH MIDDAY FOR
OUR OUTERS WATERS. WINDS AND SEAS ARE THEN EXPECTED TO BE BELOW
SCA LATER THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. WIND GUSTS MAY BEGIN TO
APPROACH SCA LEVELS OVER THE OFFSHORE WATERS LATE TONIGHT AS A
SOUTHERLY WIND INCREASING AHEAD OF LOW PRESSURE TRACKING WELL TO
THE NORTH.

SHORT TERM: SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY
INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. VISIBILITIES COULD BE REDUCED IN SHOWERS
MONDAY AFTERNOON.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS
     AFTERNOON FOR ANZ050-051.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...BLOOMER
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/NORCROSS
MARINE...BLOOMER/NORCROSS





000
FXUS61 KCAR 290322
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1122 PM EDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE INTO THE OPEN
ATLANTIC THIS EVENING. CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL APPROACH
OVERNIGHT AND CROSS THE REGION SUNDAY. LOW PRESSURE FROM CENTRAL
CANADA WILL MOVE EAST ON MONDAY TO A POSITION JUST NORTH OF THE
REGION MONDAY NIGHT.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
MODIFIED TEMPS A BIT EARLY TONIGHT. ALSO, ADJUSTED SKY COVER TO GO
MOSTLY CLOUDY EAST AND MOSTLY CLEAR WEST...WITH A TREND TOWARD
CLEARING OVERNIGHT. LOWERED DEW POINTS A BIT TOO.

THE PSN OF THE WSW TO ENE SFC HIGH RIDGE AXIS OVR NRN/WRN PTNS BY
12Z SUN SHOULD ALLOW FOR SHALLOW DECOUPLING OF SFC WINDS AND LOWER
OVRNGT LOWS OVR BROAD RVR VLYS OF NRN AND CNTRL PTNS OF THE FA
VERY LATE TNGT. OTHERWISE...THE REST OF FA WILL MAINTAIN A LIGHT N
TO NW BREEZE...KEEPING TEMPS UP SOMEWHAT THEN WHAT COULD OCCUR IF
WINDS WERE NEAR CALM ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION.

AFT A CHILLY START...SUN SHOULD BE SUNNY WITH TEMPS RECOVERING AT
LEAST SEVERAL DEG F WARMER THAN TDY. A SW BREEZE AND INCREASING
CLDNSS LATE AHEAD OF LOW PRES ADVCG E FROM CNTRL CAN SHOULD KEEP
OVRNGT TEMPS/LOW TEMPS SIG MILDER SUN NGT THEN TNGT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK ACROSS SOUTHERN QUEBEC ON
MONDAY PUSHING A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT. EXPECT
MAINLY CLOUDY SKIES ON MONDAY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN
SHOWERS. SOME LINGERING SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS INTO MONDAY EVENING FOLLOWED BY PARTIAL
CLEARING OVERNIGHT. A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION
TUESDAY. EXPECT PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS THE NORTH AND MOSTLY
SUNNY SKIES DOWN EAST ON TUESDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES BOTH MONDAY
AND TUESDAY WILL BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S NORTH AND LOW TO MID
40S DOWN EAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD EAST TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. A
WARM FRONT WILL LIFT ACROSS THE AREA LATER THURSDAY FOLLOWED BY A
COLD FRONT LATER THURSDAY NIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY. EXPECT A CHANCE
OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS LATER THURSDAY NIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY.
ANOTHER LOW MAY AFFECT THE AREA BY NEXT SATURDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /03Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR XPCTD ALL TAF SITES THRU THE ENTIRE NEAR TERM...
WITH BRIEF MVFR CLGS/VSBYS POSSIBLE AT KBHB TIL ABOUT 6 PM THIS
EVE.

SHORT TERM: MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY IN RAIN/SNOW
SHOWERS. VFR IS EXPECTED TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS ARE DIMINISHING A BIT AS HIGH BUILDS IN. CANCELLED SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY FOR INTRACOASTAL WATERS BUT KEPT IT UP OFFSHORE
EARLY THIS MORNING.

NEAR TERM: WILL CONT WITH CURRENT SCA WITH THE END TM AT 2 PM SUN
UNCHGD FROM THE LAST UPDATE. WV HTS HAVE SUBSIDED A LITTLE FROM
LATE THIS MORN...SO WE WERE ABLE TO GO CLOSER TO WW3 WV GUIDANCE
FOR TNGT AND CONT THRU SUN NGT. A PD OF LGT FZSPY CAN BE XPCTD
LATE TNGT AND ERLY SUN MORN OVR MZS050 AND MZ052.

SHORT TERM: WIND/SEAS COULD REACH SMALL CRAFT LEVELS MONDAY INTO
TUESDAY. WINDS/SEAS SHOULD THEN REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS
THROUGH MID WEEK.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 2 PM EDT SUNDAY FOR ANZ050-051.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...BLOOMER




000
FXUS61 KCAR 290322
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1122 PM EDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE INTO THE OPEN
ATLANTIC THIS EVENING. CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL APPROACH
OVERNIGHT AND CROSS THE REGION SUNDAY. LOW PRESSURE FROM CENTRAL
CANADA WILL MOVE EAST ON MONDAY TO A POSITION JUST NORTH OF THE
REGION MONDAY NIGHT.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
MODIFIED TEMPS A BIT EARLY TONIGHT. ALSO, ADJUSTED SKY COVER TO GO
MOSTLY CLOUDY EAST AND MOSTLY CLEAR WEST...WITH A TREND TOWARD
CLEARING OVERNIGHT. LOWERED DEW POINTS A BIT TOO.

THE PSN OF THE WSW TO ENE SFC HIGH RIDGE AXIS OVR NRN/WRN PTNS BY
12Z SUN SHOULD ALLOW FOR SHALLOW DECOUPLING OF SFC WINDS AND LOWER
OVRNGT LOWS OVR BROAD RVR VLYS OF NRN AND CNTRL PTNS OF THE FA
VERY LATE TNGT. OTHERWISE...THE REST OF FA WILL MAINTAIN A LIGHT N
TO NW BREEZE...KEEPING TEMPS UP SOMEWHAT THEN WHAT COULD OCCUR IF
WINDS WERE NEAR CALM ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION.

AFT A CHILLY START...SUN SHOULD BE SUNNY WITH TEMPS RECOVERING AT
LEAST SEVERAL DEG F WARMER THAN TDY. A SW BREEZE AND INCREASING
CLDNSS LATE AHEAD OF LOW PRES ADVCG E FROM CNTRL CAN SHOULD KEEP
OVRNGT TEMPS/LOW TEMPS SIG MILDER SUN NGT THEN TNGT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK ACROSS SOUTHERN QUEBEC ON
MONDAY PUSHING A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT. EXPECT
MAINLY CLOUDY SKIES ON MONDAY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN
SHOWERS. SOME LINGERING SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS INTO MONDAY EVENING FOLLOWED BY PARTIAL
CLEARING OVERNIGHT. A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION
TUESDAY. EXPECT PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS THE NORTH AND MOSTLY
SUNNY SKIES DOWN EAST ON TUESDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES BOTH MONDAY
AND TUESDAY WILL BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S NORTH AND LOW TO MID
40S DOWN EAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD EAST TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. A
WARM FRONT WILL LIFT ACROSS THE AREA LATER THURSDAY FOLLOWED BY A
COLD FRONT LATER THURSDAY NIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY. EXPECT A CHANCE
OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS LATER THURSDAY NIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY.
ANOTHER LOW MAY AFFECT THE AREA BY NEXT SATURDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /03Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR XPCTD ALL TAF SITES THRU THE ENTIRE NEAR TERM...
WITH BRIEF MVFR CLGS/VSBYS POSSIBLE AT KBHB TIL ABOUT 6 PM THIS
EVE.

SHORT TERM: MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY IN RAIN/SNOW
SHOWERS. VFR IS EXPECTED TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS ARE DIMINISHING A BIT AS HIGH BUILDS IN. CANCELLED SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY FOR INTRACOASTAL WATERS BUT KEPT IT UP OFFSHORE
EARLY THIS MORNING.

NEAR TERM: WILL CONT WITH CURRENT SCA WITH THE END TM AT 2 PM SUN
UNCHGD FROM THE LAST UPDATE. WV HTS HAVE SUBSIDED A LITTLE FROM
LATE THIS MORN...SO WE WERE ABLE TO GO CLOSER TO WW3 WV GUIDANCE
FOR TNGT AND CONT THRU SUN NGT. A PD OF LGT FZSPY CAN BE XPCTD
LATE TNGT AND ERLY SUN MORN OVR MZS050 AND MZ052.

SHORT TERM: WIND/SEAS COULD REACH SMALL CRAFT LEVELS MONDAY INTO
TUESDAY. WINDS/SEAS SHOULD THEN REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS
THROUGH MID WEEK.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 2 PM EDT SUNDAY FOR ANZ050-051.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...BLOOMER





000
FXUS61 KCAR 290322
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1122 PM EDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE INTO THE OPEN
ATLANTIC THIS EVENING. CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL APPROACH
OVERNIGHT AND CROSS THE REGION SUNDAY. LOW PRESSURE FROM CENTRAL
CANADA WILL MOVE EAST ON MONDAY TO A POSITION JUST NORTH OF THE
REGION MONDAY NIGHT.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
MODIFIED TEMPS A BIT EARLY TONIGHT. ALSO, ADJUSTED SKY COVER TO GO
MOSTLY CLOUDY EAST AND MOSTLY CLEAR WEST...WITH A TREND TOWARD
CLEARING OVERNIGHT. LOWERED DEW POINTS A BIT TOO.

THE PSN OF THE WSW TO ENE SFC HIGH RIDGE AXIS OVR NRN/WRN PTNS BY
12Z SUN SHOULD ALLOW FOR SHALLOW DECOUPLING OF SFC WINDS AND LOWER
OVRNGT LOWS OVR BROAD RVR VLYS OF NRN AND CNTRL PTNS OF THE FA
VERY LATE TNGT. OTHERWISE...THE REST OF FA WILL MAINTAIN A LIGHT N
TO NW BREEZE...KEEPING TEMPS UP SOMEWHAT THEN WHAT COULD OCCUR IF
WINDS WERE NEAR CALM ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION.

AFT A CHILLY START...SUN SHOULD BE SUNNY WITH TEMPS RECOVERING AT
LEAST SEVERAL DEG F WARMER THAN TDY. A SW BREEZE AND INCREASING
CLDNSS LATE AHEAD OF LOW PRES ADVCG E FROM CNTRL CAN SHOULD KEEP
OVRNGT TEMPS/LOW TEMPS SIG MILDER SUN NGT THEN TNGT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK ACROSS SOUTHERN QUEBEC ON
MONDAY PUSHING A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT. EXPECT
MAINLY CLOUDY SKIES ON MONDAY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN
SHOWERS. SOME LINGERING SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS INTO MONDAY EVENING FOLLOWED BY PARTIAL
CLEARING OVERNIGHT. A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION
TUESDAY. EXPECT PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS THE NORTH AND MOSTLY
SUNNY SKIES DOWN EAST ON TUESDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES BOTH MONDAY
AND TUESDAY WILL BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S NORTH AND LOW TO MID
40S DOWN EAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD EAST TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. A
WARM FRONT WILL LIFT ACROSS THE AREA LATER THURSDAY FOLLOWED BY A
COLD FRONT LATER THURSDAY NIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY. EXPECT A CHANCE
OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS LATER THURSDAY NIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY.
ANOTHER LOW MAY AFFECT THE AREA BY NEXT SATURDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /03Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR XPCTD ALL TAF SITES THRU THE ENTIRE NEAR TERM...
WITH BRIEF MVFR CLGS/VSBYS POSSIBLE AT KBHB TIL ABOUT 6 PM THIS
EVE.

SHORT TERM: MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY IN RAIN/SNOW
SHOWERS. VFR IS EXPECTED TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS ARE DIMINISHING A BIT AS HIGH BUILDS IN. CANCELLED SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY FOR INTRACOASTAL WATERS BUT KEPT IT UP OFFSHORE
EARLY THIS MORNING.

NEAR TERM: WILL CONT WITH CURRENT SCA WITH THE END TM AT 2 PM SUN
UNCHGD FROM THE LAST UPDATE. WV HTS HAVE SUBSIDED A LITTLE FROM
LATE THIS MORN...SO WE WERE ABLE TO GO CLOSER TO WW3 WV GUIDANCE
FOR TNGT AND CONT THRU SUN NGT. A PD OF LGT FZSPY CAN BE XPCTD
LATE TNGT AND ERLY SUN MORN OVR MZS050 AND MZ052.

SHORT TERM: WIND/SEAS COULD REACH SMALL CRAFT LEVELS MONDAY INTO
TUESDAY. WINDS/SEAS SHOULD THEN REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS
THROUGH MID WEEK.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 2 PM EDT SUNDAY FOR ANZ050-051.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...BLOOMER





000
FXUS61 KCAR 290117
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
917 PM EDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE INTO THE OPEN
ATLANTIC THIS EVENING. CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL APPROACH
OVERNIGHT AND CROSS THE REGION SUNDAY. LOW PRESSURE FROM CENTRAL
CANADA WILL MOVE EAST ON MONDAY TO A POSITION JUST NORTH OF THE
REGION MONDAY NIGHT.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
915 PM UPDATE. THE LAST OF THE LIGHT SNOW IS MOVING OUT OF SE
WASHINGTON COUNTY. SKY CON CONTINUE TO CLEAR ACROSS NORTH AND
CNTRL MAINE. PREVIOUS FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK...MINOR
ADJUSTMENTS TO SKYCON AND HRLYT TEMPS.

THE PSN OF THE WSW TO ENE SFC HIGH RIDGE AXIS OVR NRN/WRN PTNS BY
12Z SUN SHOULD ALLOW FOR SHALLOW DECOUPLING OF SFC WINDS AND LOWER
OVRNGT LOWS OVR BROAD RVR VLYS OF NRN AND CNTRL PTNS OF THE FA
VERY LATE TNGT. OTHERWISE...THE REST OF FA WILL MAINTAIN A LIGHT N
TO NW BREEZE...KEEPING TEMPS UP SOMEWHAT THEN WHAT COULD OCCUR IF
WINDS WERE NEAR CALM ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION.

AFT A CHILLY START...SUN SHOULD BE SUNNY WITH TEMPS RECOVERING AT
LEAST SEVERAL DEG F WARMER THAN TDY. A SW BREEZE AND INCREASING
CLDNSS LATE AHEAD OF LOW PRES ADVCG E FROM CNTRL CAN SHOULD KEEP
OVRNGT TEMPS/LOW TEMPS SIG MILDER SUN NGT THEN TNGT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK ACROSS SOUTHERN QUEBEC ON
MONDAY PUSHING A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT. EXPECT
MAINLY CLOUDY SKIES ON MONDAY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN
SHOWERS. SOME LINGERING SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS INTO MONDAY EVENING FOLLOWED BY PARTIAL
CLEARING OVERNIGHT. A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION
TUESDAY. EXPECT PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS THE NORTH AND MOSTLY
SUNNY SKIES DOWN EAST ON TUESDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES BOTH MONDAY
AND TUESDAY WILL BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S NORTH AND LOW TO MID
40S DOWN EAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD EAST TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. A
WARM FRONT WILL LIFT ACROSS THE AREA LATER THURSDAY FOLLOWED BY A
COLD FRONT LATER THURSDAY NIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY. EXPECT A CHANCE
OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS LATER THURSDAY NIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY.
ANOTHER LOW MAY AFFECT THE AREA BY NEXT SATURDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /01Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR XPCTD ALL TAF SITES THRU THE ENTIRE NEAR TERM...
WITH BRIEF MVFR CLGS/VSBYS POSSIBLE AT KBHB TIL ABOUT 6 PM THIS
EVE.

SHORT TERM: MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY IN RAIN/SNOW
SHOWERS. VFR IS EXPECTED TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WILL CONT WITH CURRENT SCA WITH THE END TM AT 2 PM SUN
UNCHGD FROM THE LAST UPDATE. WV HTS HAVE SUBSIDED A LITTLE FROM
LATE THIS MORN...SO WE WERE ABLE TO GO CLOSER TO WW3 WV GUIDANCE
FOR TNGT AND CONT THRU SUN NGT. A PD OF LGT FZSPY CAN BE XPCTD
LATE TNGT AND ERLY SUN MORN OVR MZS050 AND MZ052.

SHORT TERM: WIND/SEAS COULD REACH SMALL CRAFT LEVELS MONDAY INTO
TUESDAY. WINDS/SEAS SHOULD THEN REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS
THROUGH MID WEEK.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 2 PM EDT SUNDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...NORTON
SHORT TERM...DUDA
LONG TERM...DUDA
AVIATION...NORTON/DUDA
MARINE...NORTON/DUDA





000
FXUS61 KCAR 290117
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
917 PM EDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE INTO THE OPEN
ATLANTIC THIS EVENING. CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL APPROACH
OVERNIGHT AND CROSS THE REGION SUNDAY. LOW PRESSURE FROM CENTRAL
CANADA WILL MOVE EAST ON MONDAY TO A POSITION JUST NORTH OF THE
REGION MONDAY NIGHT.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
915 PM UPDATE. THE LAST OF THE LIGHT SNOW IS MOVING OUT OF SE
WASHINGTON COUNTY. SKY CON CONTINUE TO CLEAR ACROSS NORTH AND
CNTRL MAINE. PREVIOUS FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK...MINOR
ADJUSTMENTS TO SKYCON AND HRLYT TEMPS.

THE PSN OF THE WSW TO ENE SFC HIGH RIDGE AXIS OVR NRN/WRN PTNS BY
12Z SUN SHOULD ALLOW FOR SHALLOW DECOUPLING OF SFC WINDS AND LOWER
OVRNGT LOWS OVR BROAD RVR VLYS OF NRN AND CNTRL PTNS OF THE FA
VERY LATE TNGT. OTHERWISE...THE REST OF FA WILL MAINTAIN A LIGHT N
TO NW BREEZE...KEEPING TEMPS UP SOMEWHAT THEN WHAT COULD OCCUR IF
WINDS WERE NEAR CALM ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION.

AFT A CHILLY START...SUN SHOULD BE SUNNY WITH TEMPS RECOVERING AT
LEAST SEVERAL DEG F WARMER THAN TDY. A SW BREEZE AND INCREASING
CLDNSS LATE AHEAD OF LOW PRES ADVCG E FROM CNTRL CAN SHOULD KEEP
OVRNGT TEMPS/LOW TEMPS SIG MILDER SUN NGT THEN TNGT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK ACROSS SOUTHERN QUEBEC ON
MONDAY PUSHING A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT. EXPECT
MAINLY CLOUDY SKIES ON MONDAY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN
SHOWERS. SOME LINGERING SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS INTO MONDAY EVENING FOLLOWED BY PARTIAL
CLEARING OVERNIGHT. A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION
TUESDAY. EXPECT PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS THE NORTH AND MOSTLY
SUNNY SKIES DOWN EAST ON TUESDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES BOTH MONDAY
AND TUESDAY WILL BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S NORTH AND LOW TO MID
40S DOWN EAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD EAST TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. A
WARM FRONT WILL LIFT ACROSS THE AREA LATER THURSDAY FOLLOWED BY A
COLD FRONT LATER THURSDAY NIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY. EXPECT A CHANCE
OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS LATER THURSDAY NIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY.
ANOTHER LOW MAY AFFECT THE AREA BY NEXT SATURDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /01Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR XPCTD ALL TAF SITES THRU THE ENTIRE NEAR TERM...
WITH BRIEF MVFR CLGS/VSBYS POSSIBLE AT KBHB TIL ABOUT 6 PM THIS
EVE.

SHORT TERM: MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY IN RAIN/SNOW
SHOWERS. VFR IS EXPECTED TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WILL CONT WITH CURRENT SCA WITH THE END TM AT 2 PM SUN
UNCHGD FROM THE LAST UPDATE. WV HTS HAVE SUBSIDED A LITTLE FROM
LATE THIS MORN...SO WE WERE ABLE TO GO CLOSER TO WW3 WV GUIDANCE
FOR TNGT AND CONT THRU SUN NGT. A PD OF LGT FZSPY CAN BE XPCTD
LATE TNGT AND ERLY SUN MORN OVR MZS050 AND MZ052.

SHORT TERM: WIND/SEAS COULD REACH SMALL CRAFT LEVELS MONDAY INTO
TUESDAY. WINDS/SEAS SHOULD THEN REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS
THROUGH MID WEEK.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 2 PM EDT SUNDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...NORTON
SHORT TERM...DUDA
LONG TERM...DUDA
AVIATION...NORTON/DUDA
MARINE...NORTON/DUDA




000
FXUS61 KCAR 290117
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
917 PM EDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE INTO THE OPEN
ATLANTIC THIS EVENING. CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL APPROACH
OVERNIGHT AND CROSS THE REGION SUNDAY. LOW PRESSURE FROM CENTRAL
CANADA WILL MOVE EAST ON MONDAY TO A POSITION JUST NORTH OF THE
REGION MONDAY NIGHT.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
915 PM UPDATE. THE LAST OF THE LIGHT SNOW IS MOVING OUT OF SE
WASHINGTON COUNTY. SKY CON CONTINUE TO CLEAR ACROSS NORTH AND
CNTRL MAINE. PREVIOUS FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK...MINOR
ADJUSTMENTS TO SKYCON AND HRLYT TEMPS.

THE PSN OF THE WSW TO ENE SFC HIGH RIDGE AXIS OVR NRN/WRN PTNS BY
12Z SUN SHOULD ALLOW FOR SHALLOW DECOUPLING OF SFC WINDS AND LOWER
OVRNGT LOWS OVR BROAD RVR VLYS OF NRN AND CNTRL PTNS OF THE FA
VERY LATE TNGT. OTHERWISE...THE REST OF FA WILL MAINTAIN A LIGHT N
TO NW BREEZE...KEEPING TEMPS UP SOMEWHAT THEN WHAT COULD OCCUR IF
WINDS WERE NEAR CALM ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION.

AFT A CHILLY START...SUN SHOULD BE SUNNY WITH TEMPS RECOVERING AT
LEAST SEVERAL DEG F WARMER THAN TDY. A SW BREEZE AND INCREASING
CLDNSS LATE AHEAD OF LOW PRES ADVCG E FROM CNTRL CAN SHOULD KEEP
OVRNGT TEMPS/LOW TEMPS SIG MILDER SUN NGT THEN TNGT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK ACROSS SOUTHERN QUEBEC ON
MONDAY PUSHING A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT. EXPECT
MAINLY CLOUDY SKIES ON MONDAY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN
SHOWERS. SOME LINGERING SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS INTO MONDAY EVENING FOLLOWED BY PARTIAL
CLEARING OVERNIGHT. A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION
TUESDAY. EXPECT PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS THE NORTH AND MOSTLY
SUNNY SKIES DOWN EAST ON TUESDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES BOTH MONDAY
AND TUESDAY WILL BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S NORTH AND LOW TO MID
40S DOWN EAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD EAST TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. A
WARM FRONT WILL LIFT ACROSS THE AREA LATER THURSDAY FOLLOWED BY A
COLD FRONT LATER THURSDAY NIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY. EXPECT A CHANCE
OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS LATER THURSDAY NIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY.
ANOTHER LOW MAY AFFECT THE AREA BY NEXT SATURDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /01Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR XPCTD ALL TAF SITES THRU THE ENTIRE NEAR TERM...
WITH BRIEF MVFR CLGS/VSBYS POSSIBLE AT KBHB TIL ABOUT 6 PM THIS
EVE.

SHORT TERM: MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY IN RAIN/SNOW
SHOWERS. VFR IS EXPECTED TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WILL CONT WITH CURRENT SCA WITH THE END TM AT 2 PM SUN
UNCHGD FROM THE LAST UPDATE. WV HTS HAVE SUBSIDED A LITTLE FROM
LATE THIS MORN...SO WE WERE ABLE TO GO CLOSER TO WW3 WV GUIDANCE
FOR TNGT AND CONT THRU SUN NGT. A PD OF LGT FZSPY CAN BE XPCTD
LATE TNGT AND ERLY SUN MORN OVR MZS050 AND MZ052.

SHORT TERM: WIND/SEAS COULD REACH SMALL CRAFT LEVELS MONDAY INTO
TUESDAY. WINDS/SEAS SHOULD THEN REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS
THROUGH MID WEEK.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 2 PM EDT SUNDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...NORTON
SHORT TERM...DUDA
LONG TERM...DUDA
AVIATION...NORTON/DUDA
MARINE...NORTON/DUDA





000
FXUS61 KCAR 282259
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
659 PM EDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE INTO THE OPEN
ATLANTIC THIS EVENING. CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL APPROACH
OVERNIGHT AND CROSS THE REGION SUNDAY. LOW PRESSURE FROM CENTRAL
CANADA WILL MOVE EAST ON MONDAY TO A POSITION JUST NORTH OF THE
REGION MONDAY NIGHT.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
630 PM UPDATE. MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO THE HRLY TEMPS...OTHERWISE
THE PREVIOUS FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK.

NOT MUCH INDICATION OF ANY SNFL ATTM REACHING THE GROUND OVR
DOWNEAST AREAS THIS MID AFTN. CANNOT RULE A BRIEF PD OF A LITTLE
LGT SNFL RIGHT ALG THE DOWNEAST COAST WITH LITTLE IN THE WAY OF
ACCUM UP TO ERLY EVE...THEN LLVL COLD AND DRY ADVCN WILL CHASE
WHATS LEFT OF ANY SNFL SE OF THE FA FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
OVRNGT...WITH CLRG WORKING N TO S OVR THE FA.

THE PSN OF THE WSW TO ENE SFC HIGH RIDGE AXIS OVR NRN/WRN PTNS
BY 12Z SUN SHOULD ALLOW FOR SHALLOW DECOUPLING OF SFC WINDS AND
LOWER OVRNGT LOWS OVR BROAD RVR VLYS OF NRN AND CNTRL PTNS OF THE
FA VERY LATE TNGT. OTHERWISE...THE REST OF FA WILL MAINTAIN A
LIGHT N TO NW BREEZE...KEEPING TEMPS UP SOMEWHAT THEN WHAT COULD
OCCUR IF WINDS WERE NEAR CALM ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION.

AFT A CHILLY START...SUN SHOULD BE SUNNY WITH TEMPS RECOVERING AT
LEAST SEVERAL DEG F WARMER THAN TDY. A SW BREEZE AND INCREASING
CLDNSS LATE AHEAD OF LOW PRES ADVCG E FROM CNTRL CAN SHOULD KEEP
OVRNGT TEMPS/LOW TEMPS SIG MILDER SUN NGT THEN TNGT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK ACROSS SOUTHERN QUEBEC ON
MONDAY PUSHING A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT. EXPECT
MAINLY CLOUDY SKIES ON MONDAY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN
SHOWERS. SOME LINGERING SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS INTO MONDAY EVENING FOLLOWED BY PARTIAL
CLEARING OVERNIGHT. A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION
TUESDAY. EXPECT PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS THE NORTH AND MOSTLY
SUNNY SKIES DOWN EAST ON TUESDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES BOTH MONDAY
AND TUESDAY WILL BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S NORTH AND LOW TO MID
40S DOWN EAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD EAST TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. A
WARM FRONT WILL LIFT ACROSS THE AREA LATER THURSDAY FOLLOWED BY A
COLD FRONT LATER THURSDAY NIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY. EXPECT A CHANCE
OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS LATER THURSDAY NIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY.
ANOTHER LOW MAY AFFECT THE AREA BY NEXT SATURDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR XPCTD ALL TAF SITES THRU THE ENTIRE NEAR TERM...
WITH BRIEF MVFR CLGS/VSBYS POSSIBLE AT KBHB TIL ABOUT 6 PM THIS
EVE.

SHORT TERM: MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY IN RAIN/SNOW
SHOWERS. VFR IS EXPECTED TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WILL CONT WITH CURRENT SCA WITH THE END TM AT 2 PM SUN
UNCHGD FROM THE LAST UPDATE. WV HTS HAVE SUBSIDED A LITTLE FROM
LATE THIS MORN...SO WE WERE ABLE TO GO CLOSER TO WW3 WV GUIDANCE
FOR TNGT AND CONT THRU SUN NGT. A PD OF LGT FZSPY CAN BE XPCTD
LATE TNGT AND ERLY SUN MORN OVR MZS050 AND MZ052.

SHORT TERM: WIND/SEAS COULD REACH SMALL CRAFT LEVELS MONDAY INTO
TUESDAY. WINDS/SEAS SHOULD THEN REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS
THROUGH MID WEEK.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 2 PM EDT SUNDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...NORTON
SHORT TERM...DUDA
LONG TERM...DUDA
AVIATION...NORTON/DUDA
MARINE...NORTON/DUDA




000
FXUS61 KCAR 282259
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
659 PM EDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE INTO THE OPEN
ATLANTIC THIS EVENING. CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL APPROACH
OVERNIGHT AND CROSS THE REGION SUNDAY. LOW PRESSURE FROM CENTRAL
CANADA WILL MOVE EAST ON MONDAY TO A POSITION JUST NORTH OF THE
REGION MONDAY NIGHT.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
630 PM UPDATE. MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO THE HRLY TEMPS...OTHERWISE
THE PREVIOUS FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK.

NOT MUCH INDICATION OF ANY SNFL ATTM REACHING THE GROUND OVR
DOWNEAST AREAS THIS MID AFTN. CANNOT RULE A BRIEF PD OF A LITTLE
LGT SNFL RIGHT ALG THE DOWNEAST COAST WITH LITTLE IN THE WAY OF
ACCUM UP TO ERLY EVE...THEN LLVL COLD AND DRY ADVCN WILL CHASE
WHATS LEFT OF ANY SNFL SE OF THE FA FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
OVRNGT...WITH CLRG WORKING N TO S OVR THE FA.

THE PSN OF THE WSW TO ENE SFC HIGH RIDGE AXIS OVR NRN/WRN PTNS
BY 12Z SUN SHOULD ALLOW FOR SHALLOW DECOUPLING OF SFC WINDS AND
LOWER OVRNGT LOWS OVR BROAD RVR VLYS OF NRN AND CNTRL PTNS OF THE
FA VERY LATE TNGT. OTHERWISE...THE REST OF FA WILL MAINTAIN A
LIGHT N TO NW BREEZE...KEEPING TEMPS UP SOMEWHAT THEN WHAT COULD
OCCUR IF WINDS WERE NEAR CALM ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION.

AFT A CHILLY START...SUN SHOULD BE SUNNY WITH TEMPS RECOVERING AT
LEAST SEVERAL DEG F WARMER THAN TDY. A SW BREEZE AND INCREASING
CLDNSS LATE AHEAD OF LOW PRES ADVCG E FROM CNTRL CAN SHOULD KEEP
OVRNGT TEMPS/LOW TEMPS SIG MILDER SUN NGT THEN TNGT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK ACROSS SOUTHERN QUEBEC ON
MONDAY PUSHING A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT. EXPECT
MAINLY CLOUDY SKIES ON MONDAY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN
SHOWERS. SOME LINGERING SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS INTO MONDAY EVENING FOLLOWED BY PARTIAL
CLEARING OVERNIGHT. A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION
TUESDAY. EXPECT PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS THE NORTH AND MOSTLY
SUNNY SKIES DOWN EAST ON TUESDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES BOTH MONDAY
AND TUESDAY WILL BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S NORTH AND LOW TO MID
40S DOWN EAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD EAST TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. A
WARM FRONT WILL LIFT ACROSS THE AREA LATER THURSDAY FOLLOWED BY A
COLD FRONT LATER THURSDAY NIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY. EXPECT A CHANCE
OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS LATER THURSDAY NIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY.
ANOTHER LOW MAY AFFECT THE AREA BY NEXT SATURDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR XPCTD ALL TAF SITES THRU THE ENTIRE NEAR TERM...
WITH BRIEF MVFR CLGS/VSBYS POSSIBLE AT KBHB TIL ABOUT 6 PM THIS
EVE.

SHORT TERM: MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY IN RAIN/SNOW
SHOWERS. VFR IS EXPECTED TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WILL CONT WITH CURRENT SCA WITH THE END TM AT 2 PM SUN
UNCHGD FROM THE LAST UPDATE. WV HTS HAVE SUBSIDED A LITTLE FROM
LATE THIS MORN...SO WE WERE ABLE TO GO CLOSER TO WW3 WV GUIDANCE
FOR TNGT AND CONT THRU SUN NGT. A PD OF LGT FZSPY CAN BE XPCTD
LATE TNGT AND ERLY SUN MORN OVR MZS050 AND MZ052.

SHORT TERM: WIND/SEAS COULD REACH SMALL CRAFT LEVELS MONDAY INTO
TUESDAY. WINDS/SEAS SHOULD THEN REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS
THROUGH MID WEEK.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 2 PM EDT SUNDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...NORTON
SHORT TERM...DUDA
LONG TERM...DUDA
AVIATION...NORTON/DUDA
MARINE...NORTON/DUDA





000
FXUS61 KCAR 282259
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
659 PM EDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE INTO THE OPEN
ATLANTIC THIS EVENING. CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL APPROACH
OVERNIGHT AND CROSS THE REGION SUNDAY. LOW PRESSURE FROM CENTRAL
CANADA WILL MOVE EAST ON MONDAY TO A POSITION JUST NORTH OF THE
REGION MONDAY NIGHT.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
630 PM UPDATE. MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO THE HRLY TEMPS...OTHERWISE
THE PREVIOUS FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK.

NOT MUCH INDICATION OF ANY SNFL ATTM REACHING THE GROUND OVR
DOWNEAST AREAS THIS MID AFTN. CANNOT RULE A BRIEF PD OF A LITTLE
LGT SNFL RIGHT ALG THE DOWNEAST COAST WITH LITTLE IN THE WAY OF
ACCUM UP TO ERLY EVE...THEN LLVL COLD AND DRY ADVCN WILL CHASE
WHATS LEFT OF ANY SNFL SE OF THE FA FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
OVRNGT...WITH CLRG WORKING N TO S OVR THE FA.

THE PSN OF THE WSW TO ENE SFC HIGH RIDGE AXIS OVR NRN/WRN PTNS
BY 12Z SUN SHOULD ALLOW FOR SHALLOW DECOUPLING OF SFC WINDS AND
LOWER OVRNGT LOWS OVR BROAD RVR VLYS OF NRN AND CNTRL PTNS OF THE
FA VERY LATE TNGT. OTHERWISE...THE REST OF FA WILL MAINTAIN A
LIGHT N TO NW BREEZE...KEEPING TEMPS UP SOMEWHAT THEN WHAT COULD
OCCUR IF WINDS WERE NEAR CALM ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION.

AFT A CHILLY START...SUN SHOULD BE SUNNY WITH TEMPS RECOVERING AT
LEAST SEVERAL DEG F WARMER THAN TDY. A SW BREEZE AND INCREASING
CLDNSS LATE AHEAD OF LOW PRES ADVCG E FROM CNTRL CAN SHOULD KEEP
OVRNGT TEMPS/LOW TEMPS SIG MILDER SUN NGT THEN TNGT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK ACROSS SOUTHERN QUEBEC ON
MONDAY PUSHING A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT. EXPECT
MAINLY CLOUDY SKIES ON MONDAY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN
SHOWERS. SOME LINGERING SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS INTO MONDAY EVENING FOLLOWED BY PARTIAL
CLEARING OVERNIGHT. A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION
TUESDAY. EXPECT PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS THE NORTH AND MOSTLY
SUNNY SKIES DOWN EAST ON TUESDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES BOTH MONDAY
AND TUESDAY WILL BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S NORTH AND LOW TO MID
40S DOWN EAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD EAST TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. A
WARM FRONT WILL LIFT ACROSS THE AREA LATER THURSDAY FOLLOWED BY A
COLD FRONT LATER THURSDAY NIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY. EXPECT A CHANCE
OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS LATER THURSDAY NIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY.
ANOTHER LOW MAY AFFECT THE AREA BY NEXT SATURDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR XPCTD ALL TAF SITES THRU THE ENTIRE NEAR TERM...
WITH BRIEF MVFR CLGS/VSBYS POSSIBLE AT KBHB TIL ABOUT 6 PM THIS
EVE.

SHORT TERM: MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY IN RAIN/SNOW
SHOWERS. VFR IS EXPECTED TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WILL CONT WITH CURRENT SCA WITH THE END TM AT 2 PM SUN
UNCHGD FROM THE LAST UPDATE. WV HTS HAVE SUBSIDED A LITTLE FROM
LATE THIS MORN...SO WE WERE ABLE TO GO CLOSER TO WW3 WV GUIDANCE
FOR TNGT AND CONT THRU SUN NGT. A PD OF LGT FZSPY CAN BE XPCTD
LATE TNGT AND ERLY SUN MORN OVR MZS050 AND MZ052.

SHORT TERM: WIND/SEAS COULD REACH SMALL CRAFT LEVELS MONDAY INTO
TUESDAY. WINDS/SEAS SHOULD THEN REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS
THROUGH MID WEEK.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 2 PM EDT SUNDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...NORTON
SHORT TERM...DUDA
LONG TERM...DUDA
AVIATION...NORTON/DUDA
MARINE...NORTON/DUDA




000
FXUS61 KCAR 282259
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
659 PM EDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE INTO THE OPEN
ATLANTIC THIS EVENING. CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL APPROACH
OVERNIGHT AND CROSS THE REGION SUNDAY. LOW PRESSURE FROM CENTRAL
CANADA WILL MOVE EAST ON MONDAY TO A POSITION JUST NORTH OF THE
REGION MONDAY NIGHT.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
630 PM UPDATE. MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO THE HRLY TEMPS...OTHERWISE
THE PREVIOUS FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK.

NOT MUCH INDICATION OF ANY SNFL ATTM REACHING THE GROUND OVR
DOWNEAST AREAS THIS MID AFTN. CANNOT RULE A BRIEF PD OF A LITTLE
LGT SNFL RIGHT ALG THE DOWNEAST COAST WITH LITTLE IN THE WAY OF
ACCUM UP TO ERLY EVE...THEN LLVL COLD AND DRY ADVCN WILL CHASE
WHATS LEFT OF ANY SNFL SE OF THE FA FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
OVRNGT...WITH CLRG WORKING N TO S OVR THE FA.

THE PSN OF THE WSW TO ENE SFC HIGH RIDGE AXIS OVR NRN/WRN PTNS
BY 12Z SUN SHOULD ALLOW FOR SHALLOW DECOUPLING OF SFC WINDS AND
LOWER OVRNGT LOWS OVR BROAD RVR VLYS OF NRN AND CNTRL PTNS OF THE
FA VERY LATE TNGT. OTHERWISE...THE REST OF FA WILL MAINTAIN A
LIGHT N TO NW BREEZE...KEEPING TEMPS UP SOMEWHAT THEN WHAT COULD
OCCUR IF WINDS WERE NEAR CALM ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION.

AFT A CHILLY START...SUN SHOULD BE SUNNY WITH TEMPS RECOVERING AT
LEAST SEVERAL DEG F WARMER THAN TDY. A SW BREEZE AND INCREASING
CLDNSS LATE AHEAD OF LOW PRES ADVCG E FROM CNTRL CAN SHOULD KEEP
OVRNGT TEMPS/LOW TEMPS SIG MILDER SUN NGT THEN TNGT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK ACROSS SOUTHERN QUEBEC ON
MONDAY PUSHING A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT. EXPECT
MAINLY CLOUDY SKIES ON MONDAY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN
SHOWERS. SOME LINGERING SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS INTO MONDAY EVENING FOLLOWED BY PARTIAL
CLEARING OVERNIGHT. A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION
TUESDAY. EXPECT PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS THE NORTH AND MOSTLY
SUNNY SKIES DOWN EAST ON TUESDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES BOTH MONDAY
AND TUESDAY WILL BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S NORTH AND LOW TO MID
40S DOWN EAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD EAST TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. A
WARM FRONT WILL LIFT ACROSS THE AREA LATER THURSDAY FOLLOWED BY A
COLD FRONT LATER THURSDAY NIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY. EXPECT A CHANCE
OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS LATER THURSDAY NIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY.
ANOTHER LOW MAY AFFECT THE AREA BY NEXT SATURDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR XPCTD ALL TAF SITES THRU THE ENTIRE NEAR TERM...
WITH BRIEF MVFR CLGS/VSBYS POSSIBLE AT KBHB TIL ABOUT 6 PM THIS
EVE.

SHORT TERM: MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY IN RAIN/SNOW
SHOWERS. VFR IS EXPECTED TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WILL CONT WITH CURRENT SCA WITH THE END TM AT 2 PM SUN
UNCHGD FROM THE LAST UPDATE. WV HTS HAVE SUBSIDED A LITTLE FROM
LATE THIS MORN...SO WE WERE ABLE TO GO CLOSER TO WW3 WV GUIDANCE
FOR TNGT AND CONT THRU SUN NGT. A PD OF LGT FZSPY CAN BE XPCTD
LATE TNGT AND ERLY SUN MORN OVR MZS050 AND MZ052.

SHORT TERM: WIND/SEAS COULD REACH SMALL CRAFT LEVELS MONDAY INTO
TUESDAY. WINDS/SEAS SHOULD THEN REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS
THROUGH MID WEEK.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 2 PM EDT SUNDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...NORTON
SHORT TERM...DUDA
LONG TERM...DUDA
AVIATION...NORTON/DUDA
MARINE...NORTON/DUDA





000
FXUS61 KCAR 281950
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
350 PM EDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE INTO THE OPEN
ATLANTIC THIS EVENING. CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL APPROACH
OVERNIGHT AND CROSS THE REGION SUNDAY. LOW PRESSURE FROM CENTRAL
CANADA WILL MOVE EAST ON MONDAY TO A POSITION JUST NORTH OF THE
REGION MONDAY NIGHT.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
NOT MUCH INDICATION OF ANY SNFL ATTM REACHING THE GROUND OVR
DOWNEAST AREAS THIS MID AFTN. CANNOT RULE A BRIEF PD OF A LITTLE
LGT SNFL RIGHT ALG THE DOWNEAST COAST WITH LITTLE IN THE WAY OF
ACCUM UP TO ERLY EVE...THEN LLVL COLD AND DRY ADVCN WILL CHASE
WHATS LEFT OF ANY SNFL SE OF THE FA FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
OVRNGT...WITH CLRG WORKING N TO S OVR THE FA.

THE PSN OF THE WSW TO ENE SFC HIGH RIDGE AXIS OVR NRN/WRN PTNS
BY 12Z SUN SHOULD ALLOW FOR SHALLOW DECOUPLING OF SFC WINDS AND
LOWER OVRNGT LOWS OVR BROAD RVR VLYS OF NRN AND CNTRL PTNS OF THE
FA VERY LATE TNGT. OTHERWISE...THE REST OF FA WILL MAINTAIN A
LIGHT N TO NW BREEZE...KEEPING TEMPS UP SOMEWHAT THEN WHAT COULD
OCCUR IF WINDS WERE NEAR CALM ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION.

AFT A CHILLY START...SUN SHOULD BE SUNNY WITH TEMPS RECOVERING AT
LEAST SEVERAL DEG F WARMER THAN TDY. A SW BREEZE AND INCREASING
CLDNSS LATE AHEAD OF LOW PRES ADVCG E FROM CNTRL CAN SHOULD KEEP
OVRNGT TEMPS/LOW TEMPS SIG MILDER SUN NGT THEN TNGT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK ACROSS SOUTHERN QUEBEC ON
MONDAY PUSHING A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT. EXPECT
MAINLY CLOUDY SKIES ON MONDAY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN
SHOWERS. SOME LINGERING SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS INTO MONDAY EVENING FOLLOWED BY PARTIAL
CLEARING OVERNIGHT. A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION
TUESDAY. EXPECT PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS THE NORTH AND MOSTLY
SUNNY SKIES DOWN EAST ON TUESDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES BOTH MONDAY
AND TUESDAY WILL BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S NORTH AND LOW TO MID
40S DOWN EAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD EAST TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. A
WARM FRONT WILL LIFT ACROSS THE AREA LATER THURSDAY FOLLOWED BY A
COLD FRONT LATER THURSDAY NIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY. EXPECT A CHANCE
OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS LATER THURSDAY NIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY.
ANOTHER LOW MAY AFFECT THE AREA BY NEXT SATURDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR XPCTD ALL TAF SITES THRU THE ENTIRE NEAR TERM...
WITH BRIEF MVFR CLGS/VSBYS POSSIBLE AT KBHB TIL ABOUT 6 PM THIS
EVE.

SHORT TERM: MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY IN RAIN/SNOW
SHOWERS. VFR IS EXPECTED TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WILL CONT WITH CURRENT SCA WITH THE END TM AT 2 PM SUN
UNCHGD FROM THE LAST UPDATE. WV HTS HAVE SUBSIDED A LITTLE FROM
LATE THIS MORN...SO WE WERE ABLE TO GO CLOSER TO WW3 WV GUIDANCE
FOR TNGT AND CONT THRU SUN NGT. A PD OF LGT FZSPY CAN BE XPCTD
LATE TNGT AND ERLY SUN MORN OVR MZS050 AND MZ052.

SHORT TERM: WIND/SEAS COULD REACH SMALL CRAFT LEVELS MONDAY INTO
TUESDAY. WINDS/SEAS SHOULD THEN REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS
THROUGH MID WEEK.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 2 PM EDT SUNDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...VJN
SHORT TERM...DUDA
LONG TERM...DUDA
AVIATION...VJN/DUDA
MARINE...VJN/DUDA




000
FXUS61 KCAR 281950
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
350 PM EDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE INTO THE OPEN
ATLANTIC THIS EVENING. CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL APPROACH
OVERNIGHT AND CROSS THE REGION SUNDAY. LOW PRESSURE FROM CENTRAL
CANADA WILL MOVE EAST ON MONDAY TO A POSITION JUST NORTH OF THE
REGION MONDAY NIGHT.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
NOT MUCH INDICATION OF ANY SNFL ATTM REACHING THE GROUND OVR
DOWNEAST AREAS THIS MID AFTN. CANNOT RULE A BRIEF PD OF A LITTLE
LGT SNFL RIGHT ALG THE DOWNEAST COAST WITH LITTLE IN THE WAY OF
ACCUM UP TO ERLY EVE...THEN LLVL COLD AND DRY ADVCN WILL CHASE
WHATS LEFT OF ANY SNFL SE OF THE FA FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
OVRNGT...WITH CLRG WORKING N TO S OVR THE FA.

THE PSN OF THE WSW TO ENE SFC HIGH RIDGE AXIS OVR NRN/WRN PTNS
BY 12Z SUN SHOULD ALLOW FOR SHALLOW DECOUPLING OF SFC WINDS AND
LOWER OVRNGT LOWS OVR BROAD RVR VLYS OF NRN AND CNTRL PTNS OF THE
FA VERY LATE TNGT. OTHERWISE...THE REST OF FA WILL MAINTAIN A
LIGHT N TO NW BREEZE...KEEPING TEMPS UP SOMEWHAT THEN WHAT COULD
OCCUR IF WINDS WERE NEAR CALM ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION.

AFT A CHILLY START...SUN SHOULD BE SUNNY WITH TEMPS RECOVERING AT
LEAST SEVERAL DEG F WARMER THAN TDY. A SW BREEZE AND INCREASING
CLDNSS LATE AHEAD OF LOW PRES ADVCG E FROM CNTRL CAN SHOULD KEEP
OVRNGT TEMPS/LOW TEMPS SIG MILDER SUN NGT THEN TNGT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK ACROSS SOUTHERN QUEBEC ON
MONDAY PUSHING A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT. EXPECT
MAINLY CLOUDY SKIES ON MONDAY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN
SHOWERS. SOME LINGERING SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS INTO MONDAY EVENING FOLLOWED BY PARTIAL
CLEARING OVERNIGHT. A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION
TUESDAY. EXPECT PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS THE NORTH AND MOSTLY
SUNNY SKIES DOWN EAST ON TUESDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES BOTH MONDAY
AND TUESDAY WILL BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S NORTH AND LOW TO MID
40S DOWN EAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD EAST TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. A
WARM FRONT WILL LIFT ACROSS THE AREA LATER THURSDAY FOLLOWED BY A
COLD FRONT LATER THURSDAY NIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY. EXPECT A CHANCE
OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS LATER THURSDAY NIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY.
ANOTHER LOW MAY AFFECT THE AREA BY NEXT SATURDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR XPCTD ALL TAF SITES THRU THE ENTIRE NEAR TERM...
WITH BRIEF MVFR CLGS/VSBYS POSSIBLE AT KBHB TIL ABOUT 6 PM THIS
EVE.

SHORT TERM: MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY IN RAIN/SNOW
SHOWERS. VFR IS EXPECTED TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WILL CONT WITH CURRENT SCA WITH THE END TM AT 2 PM SUN
UNCHGD FROM THE LAST UPDATE. WV HTS HAVE SUBSIDED A LITTLE FROM
LATE THIS MORN...SO WE WERE ABLE TO GO CLOSER TO WW3 WV GUIDANCE
FOR TNGT AND CONT THRU SUN NGT. A PD OF LGT FZSPY CAN BE XPCTD
LATE TNGT AND ERLY SUN MORN OVR MZS050 AND MZ052.

SHORT TERM: WIND/SEAS COULD REACH SMALL CRAFT LEVELS MONDAY INTO
TUESDAY. WINDS/SEAS SHOULD THEN REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS
THROUGH MID WEEK.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 2 PM EDT SUNDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...VJN
SHORT TERM...DUDA
LONG TERM...DUDA
AVIATION...VJN/DUDA
MARINE...VJN/DUDA





000
FXUS61 KCAR 281950
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
350 PM EDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE INTO THE OPEN
ATLANTIC THIS EVENING. CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL APPROACH
OVERNIGHT AND CROSS THE REGION SUNDAY. LOW PRESSURE FROM CENTRAL
CANADA WILL MOVE EAST ON MONDAY TO A POSITION JUST NORTH OF THE
REGION MONDAY NIGHT.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
NOT MUCH INDICATION OF ANY SNFL ATTM REACHING THE GROUND OVR
DOWNEAST AREAS THIS MID AFTN. CANNOT RULE A BRIEF PD OF A LITTLE
LGT SNFL RIGHT ALG THE DOWNEAST COAST WITH LITTLE IN THE WAY OF
ACCUM UP TO ERLY EVE...THEN LLVL COLD AND DRY ADVCN WILL CHASE
WHATS LEFT OF ANY SNFL SE OF THE FA FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
OVRNGT...WITH CLRG WORKING N TO S OVR THE FA.

THE PSN OF THE WSW TO ENE SFC HIGH RIDGE AXIS OVR NRN/WRN PTNS
BY 12Z SUN SHOULD ALLOW FOR SHALLOW DECOUPLING OF SFC WINDS AND
LOWER OVRNGT LOWS OVR BROAD RVR VLYS OF NRN AND CNTRL PTNS OF THE
FA VERY LATE TNGT. OTHERWISE...THE REST OF FA WILL MAINTAIN A
LIGHT N TO NW BREEZE...KEEPING TEMPS UP SOMEWHAT THEN WHAT COULD
OCCUR IF WINDS WERE NEAR CALM ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION.

AFT A CHILLY START...SUN SHOULD BE SUNNY WITH TEMPS RECOVERING AT
LEAST SEVERAL DEG F WARMER THAN TDY. A SW BREEZE AND INCREASING
CLDNSS LATE AHEAD OF LOW PRES ADVCG E FROM CNTRL CAN SHOULD KEEP
OVRNGT TEMPS/LOW TEMPS SIG MILDER SUN NGT THEN TNGT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK ACROSS SOUTHERN QUEBEC ON
MONDAY PUSHING A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT. EXPECT
MAINLY CLOUDY SKIES ON MONDAY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN
SHOWERS. SOME LINGERING SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS INTO MONDAY EVENING FOLLOWED BY PARTIAL
CLEARING OVERNIGHT. A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION
TUESDAY. EXPECT PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS THE NORTH AND MOSTLY
SUNNY SKIES DOWN EAST ON TUESDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES BOTH MONDAY
AND TUESDAY WILL BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S NORTH AND LOW TO MID
40S DOWN EAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD EAST TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. A
WARM FRONT WILL LIFT ACROSS THE AREA LATER THURSDAY FOLLOWED BY A
COLD FRONT LATER THURSDAY NIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY. EXPECT A CHANCE
OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS LATER THURSDAY NIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY.
ANOTHER LOW MAY AFFECT THE AREA BY NEXT SATURDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR XPCTD ALL TAF SITES THRU THE ENTIRE NEAR TERM...
WITH BRIEF MVFR CLGS/VSBYS POSSIBLE AT KBHB TIL ABOUT 6 PM THIS
EVE.

SHORT TERM: MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY IN RAIN/SNOW
SHOWERS. VFR IS EXPECTED TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WILL CONT WITH CURRENT SCA WITH THE END TM AT 2 PM SUN
UNCHGD FROM THE LAST UPDATE. WV HTS HAVE SUBSIDED A LITTLE FROM
LATE THIS MORN...SO WE WERE ABLE TO GO CLOSER TO WW3 WV GUIDANCE
FOR TNGT AND CONT THRU SUN NGT. A PD OF LGT FZSPY CAN BE XPCTD
LATE TNGT AND ERLY SUN MORN OVR MZS050 AND MZ052.

SHORT TERM: WIND/SEAS COULD REACH SMALL CRAFT LEVELS MONDAY INTO
TUESDAY. WINDS/SEAS SHOULD THEN REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS
THROUGH MID WEEK.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 2 PM EDT SUNDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...VJN
SHORT TERM...DUDA
LONG TERM...DUDA
AVIATION...VJN/DUDA
MARINE...VJN/DUDA





000
FXUS61 KCAR 281628
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1228 PM EDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE TODAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION LATER TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. LOW
PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
1215 PM UPDATE: WE TOOK MENTION OF ANY RN OUT OF SN OVR DOWNEAST
AREAS THIS AFTN WITH ENOUGH EVAPORATIONAL COOLING AND COLD AIR
ALF TO SUSTAIN ALL SN OVR THIS PTN OF THE AREA (BASED ON OBS FROM
SW ME). LATEST SFC OBS FROM COASTAL DOWNEAST ME STILL NOT
INDICATING MUCH IN THE WAY OF SN REACHING THE GROUND
ATTM...DESPITE FAIRLY DECENT REF RETURNS OVR THIS AREA. MAY JUST
BE A MATTER OF TM... WITH A LOT OF DRY SUB-CLD AIR TO OVR COME.
LITTLE OR NO CHGS TO FCST HRLY/HI TEMPS THIS UPDATE FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE AFTN.

ORGNL DISC: LOW PRESSURE WILL BE TRACKING WELL SOUTH OF THE GULF
OF MAINE TODAY. THE COMBINATION OF A WEAK INVERTED TROUGH AND SOME
LIFT FROM THE UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL BRING CLOUDS AND A BIT OF
PATCHY LIGHT SNOW TO DOWNEAST AREAS THIS MORNING. ANY ACCUMULATION
WILL LIKELY BE LESS THAN AN INCH. OTHERWISE, DOWNEAST WILL BE
MOSTLY CLOUDY TODAY AND NORTHERN AREAS PARTLY SUNNY. SKIES WILL
CLEAR FROM NORTH TO SOUTH TONIGHT AS THE LOW MOVES AWAY AND COLD
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN. LOWS BY MORNING WILL RANGE FROM THE
SINGLE DIGITS OVER THE NORTH TO THE MID TEENS DOWNEAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION SUNDAY WITH MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES. LOW PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO APPROACH FROM THE WEST SUNDAY
NIGHT WITH INCREASING CLOUDS. THE LOW WILL CROSS THE REGION MONDAY
INTO MONDAY NIGHT WITH SCATTERED RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS. TEMPERATURES
WILL BE AT SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL LEVELS SUNDAY...WITH NEAR NORMAL
LEVEL TEMPERATURES MONDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
THE LOW WILL MOVE EAST TUESDAY. MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE NORTH/MOUNTAINS
EARLY TUESDAY...WITH DECREASING CLOUDS DURING THE AFTERNOON.
GENERALLY EXPECT PARTLY SUNNY SKIES DOWNEAST TUESDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY...THEN MOVE EAST EARLY
THURSDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL THEN CROSS THE REGION LATER THURSDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. CLOUD COVER WILL INCREASE LATER THURSDAY
ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS...WITH A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS DOWNEAST. COULD HAVE A CHANCE OF
LIGHT SNOW ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS THURSDAY NIGHT WITH A CHANCE OF
LIGHT RAIN/SNOW DOWNEAST. THE WARM FRONT SHOULD MOVE NORTH OF THE
REGION EARLY FRIDAY. UNCERTAINTY THEN EXISTS LATER FRIDAY
REGARDING WHETHER LOW PRESSURE MIGHT BEGIN TO APPROACH FROM THE
WEST. HAVE KEPT A CHANCE OF RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN
AREAS FRIDAY...WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS DOWNEAST.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL LEVELS TUESDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY. NEAR NORMAL...TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL...LEVEL
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /14Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE NORTH TODAY AND
TONIGHT. MVFR TO OCCASIONALLY IFR CONDITIONS DOWNEAST TODAY WILL
IMPROVE TO VFR TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN.

SHORT TERM: GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
REGION SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...THOUGH OCCASIONAL MVFR
CONDITIONS COULD BEGIN TO DEVELOP ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS LATER
SUNDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
REGION MONDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTH AND MOUNTAINS EARLY TUESDAY.
OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY
INTO WEDNESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: 1100 AM UPDATE...BUOY OBSVD WV HTS WERE SIG HIER THAN
OUR LAST FCST...SO WE INCREASED THEM BY 2 TO 3 FT OVR ALL OF OUR
WATERS FOR THE REST OF THE DAY...THEN SLOWLY MERGE THEM BACK TO
WW3 WV GUIDANCE OVRNGT THRU SUN MORN.

ORGNL DISC...AN SCA WILL BE NEEDED TODAY INTO TONIGHT FOR
NORTHEAST WINDS, BECOMING NORTHERLY AND GUSTING UP TO 30 KT AS
LOW PRESSURE TRACKS SOUTH OF THE WATERS.

SHORT TERM: SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY
THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. VISIBILITIES COULD BE REDUCED IN SHOWERS
MONDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 2 PM EDT SUNDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...VJN
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...VJN/NORCROSS
MARINE...VJN/NORCROSS





000
FXUS61 KCAR 281628
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1228 PM EDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE TODAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION LATER TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. LOW
PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
1215 PM UPDATE: WE TOOK MENTION OF ANY RN OUT OF SN OVR DOWNEAST
AREAS THIS AFTN WITH ENOUGH EVAPORATIONAL COOLING AND COLD AIR
ALF TO SUSTAIN ALL SN OVR THIS PTN OF THE AREA (BASED ON OBS FROM
SW ME). LATEST SFC OBS FROM COASTAL DOWNEAST ME STILL NOT
INDICATING MUCH IN THE WAY OF SN REACHING THE GROUND
ATTM...DESPITE FAIRLY DECENT REF RETURNS OVR THIS AREA. MAY JUST
BE A MATTER OF TM... WITH A LOT OF DRY SUB-CLD AIR TO OVR COME.
LITTLE OR NO CHGS TO FCST HRLY/HI TEMPS THIS UPDATE FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE AFTN.

ORGNL DISC: LOW PRESSURE WILL BE TRACKING WELL SOUTH OF THE GULF
OF MAINE TODAY. THE COMBINATION OF A WEAK INVERTED TROUGH AND SOME
LIFT FROM THE UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL BRING CLOUDS AND A BIT OF
PATCHY LIGHT SNOW TO DOWNEAST AREAS THIS MORNING. ANY ACCUMULATION
WILL LIKELY BE LESS THAN AN INCH. OTHERWISE, DOWNEAST WILL BE
MOSTLY CLOUDY TODAY AND NORTHERN AREAS PARTLY SUNNY. SKIES WILL
CLEAR FROM NORTH TO SOUTH TONIGHT AS THE LOW MOVES AWAY AND COLD
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN. LOWS BY MORNING WILL RANGE FROM THE
SINGLE DIGITS OVER THE NORTH TO THE MID TEENS DOWNEAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION SUNDAY WITH MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES. LOW PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO APPROACH FROM THE WEST SUNDAY
NIGHT WITH INCREASING CLOUDS. THE LOW WILL CROSS THE REGION MONDAY
INTO MONDAY NIGHT WITH SCATTERED RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS. TEMPERATURES
WILL BE AT SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL LEVELS SUNDAY...WITH NEAR NORMAL
LEVEL TEMPERATURES MONDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
THE LOW WILL MOVE EAST TUESDAY. MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE NORTH/MOUNTAINS
EARLY TUESDAY...WITH DECREASING CLOUDS DURING THE AFTERNOON.
GENERALLY EXPECT PARTLY SUNNY SKIES DOWNEAST TUESDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY...THEN MOVE EAST EARLY
THURSDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL THEN CROSS THE REGION LATER THURSDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. CLOUD COVER WILL INCREASE LATER THURSDAY
ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS...WITH A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS DOWNEAST. COULD HAVE A CHANCE OF
LIGHT SNOW ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS THURSDAY NIGHT WITH A CHANCE OF
LIGHT RAIN/SNOW DOWNEAST. THE WARM FRONT SHOULD MOVE NORTH OF THE
REGION EARLY FRIDAY. UNCERTAINTY THEN EXISTS LATER FRIDAY
REGARDING WHETHER LOW PRESSURE MIGHT BEGIN TO APPROACH FROM THE
WEST. HAVE KEPT A CHANCE OF RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN
AREAS FRIDAY...WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS DOWNEAST.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL LEVELS TUESDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY. NEAR NORMAL...TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL...LEVEL
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /14Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE NORTH TODAY AND
TONIGHT. MVFR TO OCCASIONALLY IFR CONDITIONS DOWNEAST TODAY WILL
IMPROVE TO VFR TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN.

SHORT TERM: GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
REGION SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...THOUGH OCCASIONAL MVFR
CONDITIONS COULD BEGIN TO DEVELOP ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS LATER
SUNDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
REGION MONDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTH AND MOUNTAINS EARLY TUESDAY.
OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY
INTO WEDNESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: 1100 AM UPDATE...BUOY OBSVD WV HTS WERE SIG HIER THAN
OUR LAST FCST...SO WE INCREASED THEM BY 2 TO 3 FT OVR ALL OF OUR
WATERS FOR THE REST OF THE DAY...THEN SLOWLY MERGE THEM BACK TO
WW3 WV GUIDANCE OVRNGT THRU SUN MORN.

ORGNL DISC...AN SCA WILL BE NEEDED TODAY INTO TONIGHT FOR
NORTHEAST WINDS, BECOMING NORTHERLY AND GUSTING UP TO 30 KT AS
LOW PRESSURE TRACKS SOUTH OF THE WATERS.

SHORT TERM: SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY
THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. VISIBILITIES COULD BE REDUCED IN SHOWERS
MONDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 2 PM EDT SUNDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...VJN
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...VJN/NORCROSS
MARINE...VJN/NORCROSS




000
FXUS61 KCAR 281511
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1111 AM EDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE TODAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION LATER TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. LOW
PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
1008 AM UPDATE: WE ADJUSTED CLD CVR DOWNWARD ACROSS THE N AND
INCREASED IT DOWN S BASED ON LATEST SAT IMAGERY. ALSO...WE RAISED
HI TEMPS ACROSS THE N A FEW DEG F BASED ON MORE XPCTD SUNSHINE
THERE...WITH FCST HRLY TEMPS THRU THE REST OF THE DAY CHGD
ACCORDINGLY BETWEEN 9 AM AND 8 PM.

ORGNL DISC: LOW PRESSURE WILL BE TRACKING WELL SOUTH OF THE GULF
OF MAINE TODAY. THE COMBINATION OF A WEAK INVERTED TROUGH AND SOME
LIFT FROM THE UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL BRING CLOUDS AND A BIT OF
PATCHY LIGHT SNOW TO DOWNEAST AREAS THIS MORNING. ANY ACCUMULATION
WILL LIKELY BE LESS THAN AN INCH. OTHERWISE, DOWNEAST WILL BE
MOSTLY CLOUDY TODAY AND NORTHERN AREAS PARTLY SUNNY. SKIES WILL
CLEAR FROM NORTH TO SOUTH TONIGHT AS THE LOW MOVES AWAY AND COLD
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN. LOWS BY MORNING WILL RANGE FROM THE
SINGLE DIGITS OVER THE NORTH TO THE MID TEENS DOWNEAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION SUNDAY WITH MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES. LOW PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO APPROACH FROM THE WEST SUNDAY
NIGHT WITH INCREASING CLOUDS. THE LOW WILL CROSS THE REGION MONDAY
INTO MONDAY NIGHT WITH SCATTERED RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS. TEMPERATURES
WILL BE AT SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL LEVELS SUNDAY...WITH NEAR NORMAL
LEVEL TEMPERATURES MONDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
THE LOW WILL MOVE EAST TUESDAY. MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE NORTH/MOUNTAINS
EARLY TUESDAY...WITH DECREASING CLOUDS DURING THE AFTERNOON.
GENERALLY EXPECT PARTLY SUNNY SKIES DOWNEAST TUESDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY...THEN MOVE EAST EARLY
THURSDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL THEN CROSS THE REGION LATER THURSDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. CLOUD COVER WILL INCREASE LATER THURSDAY
ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS...WITH A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS DOWNEAST. COULD HAVE A CHANCE OF
LIGHT SNOW ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS THURSDAY NIGHT WITH A CHANCE OF
LIGHT RAIN/SNOW DOWNEAST. THE WARM FRONT SHOULD MOVE NORTH OF THE
REGION EARLY FRIDAY. UNCERTAINTY THEN EXISTS LATER FRIDAY
REGARDING WHETHER LOW PRESSURE MIGHT BEGIN TO APPROACH FROM THE
WEST. HAVE KEPT A CHANCE OF RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN
AREAS FRIDAY...WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS DOWNEAST.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL LEVELS TUESDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY. NEAR NORMAL...TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL...LEVEL
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /14Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE NORTH TODAY AND
TONIGHT. MVFR TO OCCASIONALLY IFR CONDITIONS DOWNEAST TODAY WILL
IMPROVE TO VFR TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN.

SHORT TERM: GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
REGION SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...THOUGH OCCASIONAL MVFR
CONDITIONS COULD BEGIN TO DEVELOP ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS LATER
SUNDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
REGION MONDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTH AND MOUNTAINS EARLY TUESDAY.
OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY
INTO WEDNESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: 1100 AM UPDATE...BUOY OBSVD WV HTS WERE SIG HIER THAN
OUR LAST FCST...SO WE INCREASED THEM BY 2 TO 3 FT OVR ALL OF OUR
WATERS FOR THE REST OF THE DAY...THEN SLOWLY MERGE THEM BACK TO
WW3 WV GUIDANCE OVRNGT THRU SUN MORN.

ORGNL DISC...AN SCA WILL BE NEEDED TODAY INTO TONIGHT FOR
NORTHEAST WINDS, BECOMING NORTHERLY AND GUSTING UP TO 30 KT AS
LOW PRESSURE TRACKS SOUTH OF THE WATERS.

SHORT TERM: SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY
THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. VISIBILITIES COULD BE REDUCED IN SHOWERS
MONDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 2 PM EDT SUNDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...VJN
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...VJN/NORCROSS
MARINE...VJN/NORCROSS




000
FXUS61 KCAR 281511
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1111 AM EDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE TODAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION LATER TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. LOW
PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
1008 AM UPDATE: WE ADJUSTED CLD CVR DOWNWARD ACROSS THE N AND
INCREASED IT DOWN S BASED ON LATEST SAT IMAGERY. ALSO...WE RAISED
HI TEMPS ACROSS THE N A FEW DEG F BASED ON MORE XPCTD SUNSHINE
THERE...WITH FCST HRLY TEMPS THRU THE REST OF THE DAY CHGD
ACCORDINGLY BETWEEN 9 AM AND 8 PM.

ORGNL DISC: LOW PRESSURE WILL BE TRACKING WELL SOUTH OF THE GULF
OF MAINE TODAY. THE COMBINATION OF A WEAK INVERTED TROUGH AND SOME
LIFT FROM THE UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL BRING CLOUDS AND A BIT OF
PATCHY LIGHT SNOW TO DOWNEAST AREAS THIS MORNING. ANY ACCUMULATION
WILL LIKELY BE LESS THAN AN INCH. OTHERWISE, DOWNEAST WILL BE
MOSTLY CLOUDY TODAY AND NORTHERN AREAS PARTLY SUNNY. SKIES WILL
CLEAR FROM NORTH TO SOUTH TONIGHT AS THE LOW MOVES AWAY AND COLD
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN. LOWS BY MORNING WILL RANGE FROM THE
SINGLE DIGITS OVER THE NORTH TO THE MID TEENS DOWNEAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION SUNDAY WITH MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES. LOW PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO APPROACH FROM THE WEST SUNDAY
NIGHT WITH INCREASING CLOUDS. THE LOW WILL CROSS THE REGION MONDAY
INTO MONDAY NIGHT WITH SCATTERED RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS. TEMPERATURES
WILL BE AT SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL LEVELS SUNDAY...WITH NEAR NORMAL
LEVEL TEMPERATURES MONDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
THE LOW WILL MOVE EAST TUESDAY. MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE NORTH/MOUNTAINS
EARLY TUESDAY...WITH DECREASING CLOUDS DURING THE AFTERNOON.
GENERALLY EXPECT PARTLY SUNNY SKIES DOWNEAST TUESDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY...THEN MOVE EAST EARLY
THURSDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL THEN CROSS THE REGION LATER THURSDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. CLOUD COVER WILL INCREASE LATER THURSDAY
ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS...WITH A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS DOWNEAST. COULD HAVE A CHANCE OF
LIGHT SNOW ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS THURSDAY NIGHT WITH A CHANCE OF
LIGHT RAIN/SNOW DOWNEAST. THE WARM FRONT SHOULD MOVE NORTH OF THE
REGION EARLY FRIDAY. UNCERTAINTY THEN EXISTS LATER FRIDAY
REGARDING WHETHER LOW PRESSURE MIGHT BEGIN TO APPROACH FROM THE
WEST. HAVE KEPT A CHANCE OF RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN
AREAS FRIDAY...WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS DOWNEAST.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL LEVELS TUESDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY. NEAR NORMAL...TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL...LEVEL
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /14Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE NORTH TODAY AND
TONIGHT. MVFR TO OCCASIONALLY IFR CONDITIONS DOWNEAST TODAY WILL
IMPROVE TO VFR TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN.

SHORT TERM: GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
REGION SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...THOUGH OCCASIONAL MVFR
CONDITIONS COULD BEGIN TO DEVELOP ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS LATER
SUNDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
REGION MONDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTH AND MOUNTAINS EARLY TUESDAY.
OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY
INTO WEDNESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: 1100 AM UPDATE...BUOY OBSVD WV HTS WERE SIG HIER THAN
OUR LAST FCST...SO WE INCREASED THEM BY 2 TO 3 FT OVR ALL OF OUR
WATERS FOR THE REST OF THE DAY...THEN SLOWLY MERGE THEM BACK TO
WW3 WV GUIDANCE OVRNGT THRU SUN MORN.

ORGNL DISC...AN SCA WILL BE NEEDED TODAY INTO TONIGHT FOR
NORTHEAST WINDS, BECOMING NORTHERLY AND GUSTING UP TO 30 KT AS
LOW PRESSURE TRACKS SOUTH OF THE WATERS.

SHORT TERM: SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY
THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. VISIBILITIES COULD BE REDUCED IN SHOWERS
MONDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 2 PM EDT SUNDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...VJN
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...VJN/NORCROSS
MARINE...VJN/NORCROSS





000
FXUS61 KCAR 281511
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1111 AM EDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE TODAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION LATER TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. LOW
PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
1008 AM UPDATE: WE ADJUSTED CLD CVR DOWNWARD ACROSS THE N AND
INCREASED IT DOWN S BASED ON LATEST SAT IMAGERY. ALSO...WE RAISED
HI TEMPS ACROSS THE N A FEW DEG F BASED ON MORE XPCTD SUNSHINE
THERE...WITH FCST HRLY TEMPS THRU THE REST OF THE DAY CHGD
ACCORDINGLY BETWEEN 9 AM AND 8 PM.

ORGNL DISC: LOW PRESSURE WILL BE TRACKING WELL SOUTH OF THE GULF
OF MAINE TODAY. THE COMBINATION OF A WEAK INVERTED TROUGH AND SOME
LIFT FROM THE UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL BRING CLOUDS AND A BIT OF
PATCHY LIGHT SNOW TO DOWNEAST AREAS THIS MORNING. ANY ACCUMULATION
WILL LIKELY BE LESS THAN AN INCH. OTHERWISE, DOWNEAST WILL BE
MOSTLY CLOUDY TODAY AND NORTHERN AREAS PARTLY SUNNY. SKIES WILL
CLEAR FROM NORTH TO SOUTH TONIGHT AS THE LOW MOVES AWAY AND COLD
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN. LOWS BY MORNING WILL RANGE FROM THE
SINGLE DIGITS OVER THE NORTH TO THE MID TEENS DOWNEAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION SUNDAY WITH MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES. LOW PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO APPROACH FROM THE WEST SUNDAY
NIGHT WITH INCREASING CLOUDS. THE LOW WILL CROSS THE REGION MONDAY
INTO MONDAY NIGHT WITH SCATTERED RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS. TEMPERATURES
WILL BE AT SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL LEVELS SUNDAY...WITH NEAR NORMAL
LEVEL TEMPERATURES MONDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
THE LOW WILL MOVE EAST TUESDAY. MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE NORTH/MOUNTAINS
EARLY TUESDAY...WITH DECREASING CLOUDS DURING THE AFTERNOON.
GENERALLY EXPECT PARTLY SUNNY SKIES DOWNEAST TUESDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY...THEN MOVE EAST EARLY
THURSDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL THEN CROSS THE REGION LATER THURSDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. CLOUD COVER WILL INCREASE LATER THURSDAY
ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS...WITH A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS DOWNEAST. COULD HAVE A CHANCE OF
LIGHT SNOW ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS THURSDAY NIGHT WITH A CHANCE OF
LIGHT RAIN/SNOW DOWNEAST. THE WARM FRONT SHOULD MOVE NORTH OF THE
REGION EARLY FRIDAY. UNCERTAINTY THEN EXISTS LATER FRIDAY
REGARDING WHETHER LOW PRESSURE MIGHT BEGIN TO APPROACH FROM THE
WEST. HAVE KEPT A CHANCE OF RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN
AREAS FRIDAY...WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS DOWNEAST.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL LEVELS TUESDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY. NEAR NORMAL...TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL...LEVEL
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /14Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE NORTH TODAY AND
TONIGHT. MVFR TO OCCASIONALLY IFR CONDITIONS DOWNEAST TODAY WILL
IMPROVE TO VFR TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN.

SHORT TERM: GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
REGION SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...THOUGH OCCASIONAL MVFR
CONDITIONS COULD BEGIN TO DEVELOP ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS LATER
SUNDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
REGION MONDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTH AND MOUNTAINS EARLY TUESDAY.
OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY
INTO WEDNESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: 1100 AM UPDATE...BUOY OBSVD WV HTS WERE SIG HIER THAN
OUR LAST FCST...SO WE INCREASED THEM BY 2 TO 3 FT OVR ALL OF OUR
WATERS FOR THE REST OF THE DAY...THEN SLOWLY MERGE THEM BACK TO
WW3 WV GUIDANCE OVRNGT THRU SUN MORN.

ORGNL DISC...AN SCA WILL BE NEEDED TODAY INTO TONIGHT FOR
NORTHEAST WINDS, BECOMING NORTHERLY AND GUSTING UP TO 30 KT AS
LOW PRESSURE TRACKS SOUTH OF THE WATERS.

SHORT TERM: SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY
THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. VISIBILITIES COULD BE REDUCED IN SHOWERS
MONDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 2 PM EDT SUNDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...VJN
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...VJN/NORCROSS
MARINE...VJN/NORCROSS




000
FXUS61 KCAR 281429
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1029 AM EDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE TODAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION LATER TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. LOW
PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
1008 AM UPDATE: WE ADJUSTED CLD CVR DOWNWARD ACROSS THE N AND
INCREASED IT DOWN S BASED ON LATEST SAT IMAGERY. ALSO...WE RAISED
HI TEMPS ACROSS THE N A FEW DEG F BASED ON MORE XPCTD SUNSHINE
THERE...WITH FCST HRLY TEMPS THRU THE REST OF THE DAY CHGD
ACCORDINGLY BETWEEN 9 AM AND 8 PM.

ORGNL DISC: LOW PRESSURE WILL BE TRACKING WELL SOUTH OF THE GULF
OF MAINE TODAY. THE COMBINATION OF A WEAK INVERTED TROUGH AND SOME
LIFT FROM THE UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL BRING CLOUDS AND A BIT OF
PATCHY LIGHT SNOW TO DOWNEAST AREAS THIS MORNING. ANY ACCUMULATION
WILL LIKELY BE LESS THAN AN INCH. OTHERWISE, DOWNEAST WILL BE
MOSTLY CLOUDY TODAY AND NORTHERN AREAS PARTLY SUNNY. SKIES WILL
CLEAR FROM NORTH TO SOUTH TONIGHT AS THE LOW MOVES AWAY AND COLD
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN. LOWS BY MORNING WILL RANGE FROM THE
SINGLE DIGITS OVER THE NORTH TO THE MID TEENS DOWNEAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION SUNDAY WITH MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES. LOW PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO APPROACH FROM THE WEST SUNDAY
NIGHT WITH INCREASING CLOUDS. THE LOW WILL CROSS THE REGION MONDAY
INTO MONDAY NIGHT WITH SCATTERED RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS. TEMPERATURES
WILL BE AT SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL LEVELS SUNDAY...WITH NEAR NORMAL
LEVEL TEMPERATURES MONDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
THE LOW WILL MOVE EAST TUESDAY. MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE NORTH/MOUNTAINS
EARLY TUESDAY...WITH DECREASING CLOUDS DURING THE AFTERNOON.
GENERALLY EXPECT PARTLY SUNNY SKIES DOWNEAST TUESDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY...THEN MOVE EAST EARLY
THURSDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL THEN CROSS THE REGION LATER THURSDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. CLOUD COVER WILL INCREASE LATER THURSDAY
ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS...WITH A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS DOWNEAST. COULD HAVE A CHANCE OF
LIGHT SNOW ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS THURSDAY NIGHT WITH A CHANCE OF
LIGHT RAIN/SNOW DOWNEAST. THE WARM FRONT SHOULD MOVE NORTH OF THE
REGION EARLY FRIDAY. UNCERTAINTY THEN EXISTS LATER FRIDAY
REGARDING WHETHER LOW PRESSURE MIGHT BEGIN TO APPROACH FROM THE
WEST. HAVE KEPT A CHANCE OF RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN
AREAS FRIDAY...WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS DOWNEAST.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL LEVELS TUESDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY. NEAR NORMAL...TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL...LEVEL
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /14Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE NORTH TODAY AND
TONIGHT. MVFR TO OCCASIONALLY IFR CONDITIONS DOWNEAST TODAY WILL
IMPROVE TO VFR TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN.

SHORT TERM: GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
REGION SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...THOUGH OCCASIONAL MVFR
CONDITIONS COULD BEGIN TO DEVELOP ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS LATER
SUNDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
REGION MONDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTH AND MOUNTAINS EARLY TUESDAY.
OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY
INTO WEDNESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: AN SCA WILL BE NEEDED TODAY INTO TONIGHT FOR NORTHEAST
WINDS, BECOMING NORTHERLY AND GUSTING UP TO 30 KT AS LOW PRESSURE
TRACKS SOUTH OF THE WATERS.

SHORT TERM: SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY
THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. VISIBILITIES COULD BE REDUCED IN SHOWERS
MONDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 2 PM EDT SUNDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...VJN
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...VJN/NORCROSS
MARINE...VJN/NORCROSS





000
FXUS61 KCAR 281429
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1029 AM EDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE TODAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION LATER TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. LOW
PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
1008 AM UPDATE: WE ADJUSTED CLD CVR DOWNWARD ACROSS THE N AND
INCREASED IT DOWN S BASED ON LATEST SAT IMAGERY. ALSO...WE RAISED
HI TEMPS ACROSS THE N A FEW DEG F BASED ON MORE XPCTD SUNSHINE
THERE...WITH FCST HRLY TEMPS THRU THE REST OF THE DAY CHGD
ACCORDINGLY BETWEEN 9 AM AND 8 PM.

ORGNL DISC: LOW PRESSURE WILL BE TRACKING WELL SOUTH OF THE GULF
OF MAINE TODAY. THE COMBINATION OF A WEAK INVERTED TROUGH AND SOME
LIFT FROM THE UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL BRING CLOUDS AND A BIT OF
PATCHY LIGHT SNOW TO DOWNEAST AREAS THIS MORNING. ANY ACCUMULATION
WILL LIKELY BE LESS THAN AN INCH. OTHERWISE, DOWNEAST WILL BE
MOSTLY CLOUDY TODAY AND NORTHERN AREAS PARTLY SUNNY. SKIES WILL
CLEAR FROM NORTH TO SOUTH TONIGHT AS THE LOW MOVES AWAY AND COLD
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN. LOWS BY MORNING WILL RANGE FROM THE
SINGLE DIGITS OVER THE NORTH TO THE MID TEENS DOWNEAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION SUNDAY WITH MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES. LOW PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO APPROACH FROM THE WEST SUNDAY
NIGHT WITH INCREASING CLOUDS. THE LOW WILL CROSS THE REGION MONDAY
INTO MONDAY NIGHT WITH SCATTERED RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS. TEMPERATURES
WILL BE AT SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL LEVELS SUNDAY...WITH NEAR NORMAL
LEVEL TEMPERATURES MONDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
THE LOW WILL MOVE EAST TUESDAY. MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE NORTH/MOUNTAINS
EARLY TUESDAY...WITH DECREASING CLOUDS DURING THE AFTERNOON.
GENERALLY EXPECT PARTLY SUNNY SKIES DOWNEAST TUESDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY...THEN MOVE EAST EARLY
THURSDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL THEN CROSS THE REGION LATER THURSDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. CLOUD COVER WILL INCREASE LATER THURSDAY
ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS...WITH A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS DOWNEAST. COULD HAVE A CHANCE OF
LIGHT SNOW ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS THURSDAY NIGHT WITH A CHANCE OF
LIGHT RAIN/SNOW DOWNEAST. THE WARM FRONT SHOULD MOVE NORTH OF THE
REGION EARLY FRIDAY. UNCERTAINTY THEN EXISTS LATER FRIDAY
REGARDING WHETHER LOW PRESSURE MIGHT BEGIN TO APPROACH FROM THE
WEST. HAVE KEPT A CHANCE OF RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN
AREAS FRIDAY...WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS DOWNEAST.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL LEVELS TUESDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY. NEAR NORMAL...TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL...LEVEL
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /14Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE NORTH TODAY AND
TONIGHT. MVFR TO OCCASIONALLY IFR CONDITIONS DOWNEAST TODAY WILL
IMPROVE TO VFR TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN.

SHORT TERM: GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
REGION SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...THOUGH OCCASIONAL MVFR
CONDITIONS COULD BEGIN TO DEVELOP ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS LATER
SUNDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
REGION MONDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTH AND MOUNTAINS EARLY TUESDAY.
OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY
INTO WEDNESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: AN SCA WILL BE NEEDED TODAY INTO TONIGHT FOR NORTHEAST
WINDS, BECOMING NORTHERLY AND GUSTING UP TO 30 KT AS LOW PRESSURE
TRACKS SOUTH OF THE WATERS.

SHORT TERM: SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY
THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. VISIBILITIES COULD BE REDUCED IN SHOWERS
MONDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 2 PM EDT SUNDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...VJN
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...VJN/NORCROSS
MARINE...VJN/NORCROSS




000
FXUS61 KCAR 281025
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
625 AM EDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE TODAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION LATER TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. LOW
PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
6 AM UPDATE...THE SKY REMAINS MOSTLY CLEAR ACROSS THE NORTH BUT
SOME STRATUS IS APPROACHING FROM THE WEST AS THE UPPER TROUGH
AXES APPROACHES. THE STRATUS IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE AS IT
NEARS, POSSIBLY BRINGING PARTIAL CLOUDINESS TO NORTHWESTERN AREAS
BUT DISSIPATING IN TIME TO ALLOW NORTHEASTERN AREAS TO REMAIN
MOSTLY CLEAR. MODIFIED SKY COVER A BIT TO REFLECT THIS. OTHERWISE,
NO MAJOR CHANGES THIS HOUR.

LOW PRESSURE WILL BE TRACKING WELL SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE
TODAY. THE COMBINATION OF A WEAK INVERTED TROUGH AND SOME LIFT
FROM THE UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL BRING CLOUDS AND A BIT OF PATCHY
LIGHT SNOW TO DOWNEAST AREAS THIS MORNING. ANY ACCUMULATION WILL
LIKELY BE LESS THAN AN INCH. OTHERWISE, DOWNEAST WILL BE MOSTLY
CLOUDY TODAY AND NORTHERN AREAS PARTLY SUNNY. SKIES WILL CLEAR
FROM NORTH TO SOUTH TONIGHT AS THE LOW MOVES AWAY AND COLD HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN. LOWS BY MORNING WILL RANGE FROM THE SINGLE
DIGITS OVER THE NORTH TO THE MID TEENS DOWNEAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION SUNDAY WITH MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES. LOW PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO APPROACH FROM THE WEST SUNDAY
NIGHT WITH INCREASING CLOUDS. THE LOW WILL CROSS THE REGION MONDAY
INTO MONDAY NIGHT WITH SCATTERED RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS. TEMPERATURES
WILL BE AT SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL LEVELS SUNDAY...WITH NEAR NORMAL
LEVEL TEMPERATURES MONDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
THE LOW WILL MOVE EAST TUESDAY. MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE NORTH/MOUNTAINS
EARLY TUESDAY...WITH DECREASING CLOUDS DURING THE AFTERNOON.
GENERALLY EXPECT PARTLY SUNNY SKIES DOWNEAST TUESDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY...THEN MOVE EAST EARLY
THURSDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL THEN CROSS THE REGION LATER THURSDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. CLOUD COVER WILL INCREASE LATER THURSDAY
ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS...WITH A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS DOWNEAST. COULD HAVE A CHANCE OF
LIGHT SNOW ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS THURSDAY NIGHT WITH A CHANCE OF
LIGHT RAIN/SNOW DOWNEAST. THE WARM FRONT SHOULD MOVE NORTH OF THE
REGION EARLY FRIDAY. UNCERTAINTY THEN EXISTS LATER FRIDAY
REGARDING WHETHER LOW PRESSURE MIGHT BEGIN TO APPROACH FROM THE
WEST. HAVE KEPT A CHANCE OF RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN
AREAS FRIDAY...WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS DOWNEAST.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL LEVELS TUESDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY. NEAR NORMAL...TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL...LEVEL
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE NORTH TODAY AND
TONIGHT. MVFR TO OCCASIONALLY IFR CONDITIONS DOWNEAST TODAY WILL
IMPROVE TO VFR TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN.

SHORT TERM: GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
REGION SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...THOUGH OCCASIONAL MVFR
CONDITIONS COULD BEGIN TO DEVELOP ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS LATER
SUNDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
REGION MONDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTH AND MOUNTAINS EARLY TUESDAY.
OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY
INTO WEDNESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: AN SCA WILL BE NEEDED TODAY INTO TONIGHT FOR NORTHEAST
WINDS, BECOMING NORTHERLY AND GUSTING UP TO 30 KT AS LOW PRESSURE
TRACKS SOUTH OF THE WATERS.

SHORT TERM: SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY
THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. VISIBILITIES COULD BE REDUCED IN SHOWERS
MONDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 2 PM EDT SUNDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...BLOOMER
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/NORCROSS
MARINE...BLOOMER/NORCROSS




000
FXUS61 KCAR 281025
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
625 AM EDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE TODAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION LATER TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. LOW
PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
6 AM UPDATE...THE SKY REMAINS MOSTLY CLEAR ACROSS THE NORTH BUT
SOME STRATUS IS APPROACHING FROM THE WEST AS THE UPPER TROUGH
AXES APPROACHES. THE STRATUS IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE AS IT
NEARS, POSSIBLY BRINGING PARTIAL CLOUDINESS TO NORTHWESTERN AREAS
BUT DISSIPATING IN TIME TO ALLOW NORTHEASTERN AREAS TO REMAIN
MOSTLY CLEAR. MODIFIED SKY COVER A BIT TO REFLECT THIS. OTHERWISE,
NO MAJOR CHANGES THIS HOUR.

LOW PRESSURE WILL BE TRACKING WELL SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE
TODAY. THE COMBINATION OF A WEAK INVERTED TROUGH AND SOME LIFT
FROM THE UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL BRING CLOUDS AND A BIT OF PATCHY
LIGHT SNOW TO DOWNEAST AREAS THIS MORNING. ANY ACCUMULATION WILL
LIKELY BE LESS THAN AN INCH. OTHERWISE, DOWNEAST WILL BE MOSTLY
CLOUDY TODAY AND NORTHERN AREAS PARTLY SUNNY. SKIES WILL CLEAR
FROM NORTH TO SOUTH TONIGHT AS THE LOW MOVES AWAY AND COLD HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN. LOWS BY MORNING WILL RANGE FROM THE SINGLE
DIGITS OVER THE NORTH TO THE MID TEENS DOWNEAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION SUNDAY WITH MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES. LOW PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO APPROACH FROM THE WEST SUNDAY
NIGHT WITH INCREASING CLOUDS. THE LOW WILL CROSS THE REGION MONDAY
INTO MONDAY NIGHT WITH SCATTERED RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS. TEMPERATURES
WILL BE AT SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL LEVELS SUNDAY...WITH NEAR NORMAL
LEVEL TEMPERATURES MONDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
THE LOW WILL MOVE EAST TUESDAY. MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE NORTH/MOUNTAINS
EARLY TUESDAY...WITH DECREASING CLOUDS DURING THE AFTERNOON.
GENERALLY EXPECT PARTLY SUNNY SKIES DOWNEAST TUESDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY...THEN MOVE EAST EARLY
THURSDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL THEN CROSS THE REGION LATER THURSDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. CLOUD COVER WILL INCREASE LATER THURSDAY
ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS...WITH A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS DOWNEAST. COULD HAVE A CHANCE OF
LIGHT SNOW ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS THURSDAY NIGHT WITH A CHANCE OF
LIGHT RAIN/SNOW DOWNEAST. THE WARM FRONT SHOULD MOVE NORTH OF THE
REGION EARLY FRIDAY. UNCERTAINTY THEN EXISTS LATER FRIDAY
REGARDING WHETHER LOW PRESSURE MIGHT BEGIN TO APPROACH FROM THE
WEST. HAVE KEPT A CHANCE OF RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN
AREAS FRIDAY...WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS DOWNEAST.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL LEVELS TUESDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY. NEAR NORMAL...TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL...LEVEL
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE NORTH TODAY AND
TONIGHT. MVFR TO OCCASIONALLY IFR CONDITIONS DOWNEAST TODAY WILL
IMPROVE TO VFR TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN.

SHORT TERM: GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
REGION SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...THOUGH OCCASIONAL MVFR
CONDITIONS COULD BEGIN TO DEVELOP ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS LATER
SUNDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
REGION MONDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTH AND MOUNTAINS EARLY TUESDAY.
OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY
INTO WEDNESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: AN SCA WILL BE NEEDED TODAY INTO TONIGHT FOR NORTHEAST
WINDS, BECOMING NORTHERLY AND GUSTING UP TO 30 KT AS LOW PRESSURE
TRACKS SOUTH OF THE WATERS.

SHORT TERM: SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY
THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. VISIBILITIES COULD BE REDUCED IN SHOWERS
MONDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 2 PM EDT SUNDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...BLOOMER
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/NORCROSS
MARINE...BLOOMER/NORCROSS




000
FXUS61 KCAR 281025
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
625 AM EDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE TODAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION LATER TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. LOW
PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
6 AM UPDATE...THE SKY REMAINS MOSTLY CLEAR ACROSS THE NORTH BUT
SOME STRATUS IS APPROACHING FROM THE WEST AS THE UPPER TROUGH
AXES APPROACHES. THE STRATUS IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE AS IT
NEARS, POSSIBLY BRINGING PARTIAL CLOUDINESS TO NORTHWESTERN AREAS
BUT DISSIPATING IN TIME TO ALLOW NORTHEASTERN AREAS TO REMAIN
MOSTLY CLEAR. MODIFIED SKY COVER A BIT TO REFLECT THIS. OTHERWISE,
NO MAJOR CHANGES THIS HOUR.

LOW PRESSURE WILL BE TRACKING WELL SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE
TODAY. THE COMBINATION OF A WEAK INVERTED TROUGH AND SOME LIFT
FROM THE UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL BRING CLOUDS AND A BIT OF PATCHY
LIGHT SNOW TO DOWNEAST AREAS THIS MORNING. ANY ACCUMULATION WILL
LIKELY BE LESS THAN AN INCH. OTHERWISE, DOWNEAST WILL BE MOSTLY
CLOUDY TODAY AND NORTHERN AREAS PARTLY SUNNY. SKIES WILL CLEAR
FROM NORTH TO SOUTH TONIGHT AS THE LOW MOVES AWAY AND COLD HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN. LOWS BY MORNING WILL RANGE FROM THE SINGLE
DIGITS OVER THE NORTH TO THE MID TEENS DOWNEAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION SUNDAY WITH MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES. LOW PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO APPROACH FROM THE WEST SUNDAY
NIGHT WITH INCREASING CLOUDS. THE LOW WILL CROSS THE REGION MONDAY
INTO MONDAY NIGHT WITH SCATTERED RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS. TEMPERATURES
WILL BE AT SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL LEVELS SUNDAY...WITH NEAR NORMAL
LEVEL TEMPERATURES MONDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
THE LOW WILL MOVE EAST TUESDAY. MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE NORTH/MOUNTAINS
EARLY TUESDAY...WITH DECREASING CLOUDS DURING THE AFTERNOON.
GENERALLY EXPECT PARTLY SUNNY SKIES DOWNEAST TUESDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY...THEN MOVE EAST EARLY
THURSDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL THEN CROSS THE REGION LATER THURSDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. CLOUD COVER WILL INCREASE LATER THURSDAY
ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS...WITH A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS DOWNEAST. COULD HAVE A CHANCE OF
LIGHT SNOW ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS THURSDAY NIGHT WITH A CHANCE OF
LIGHT RAIN/SNOW DOWNEAST. THE WARM FRONT SHOULD MOVE NORTH OF THE
REGION EARLY FRIDAY. UNCERTAINTY THEN EXISTS LATER FRIDAY
REGARDING WHETHER LOW PRESSURE MIGHT BEGIN TO APPROACH FROM THE
WEST. HAVE KEPT A CHANCE OF RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN
AREAS FRIDAY...WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS DOWNEAST.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL LEVELS TUESDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY. NEAR NORMAL...TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL...LEVEL
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE NORTH TODAY AND
TONIGHT. MVFR TO OCCASIONALLY IFR CONDITIONS DOWNEAST TODAY WILL
IMPROVE TO VFR TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN.

SHORT TERM: GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
REGION SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...THOUGH OCCASIONAL MVFR
CONDITIONS COULD BEGIN TO DEVELOP ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS LATER
SUNDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
REGION MONDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTH AND MOUNTAINS EARLY TUESDAY.
OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY
INTO WEDNESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: AN SCA WILL BE NEEDED TODAY INTO TONIGHT FOR NORTHEAST
WINDS, BECOMING NORTHERLY AND GUSTING UP TO 30 KT AS LOW PRESSURE
TRACKS SOUTH OF THE WATERS.

SHORT TERM: SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY
THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. VISIBILITIES COULD BE REDUCED IN SHOWERS
MONDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 2 PM EDT SUNDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...BLOOMER
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/NORCROSS
MARINE...BLOOMER/NORCROSS





000
FXUS61 KCAR 280912
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
512 AM EDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE TODAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION LATER TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. LOW
PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
LOW PRESSURE WILL BE TRACKING WELL SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE
TODAY. THE COMBINATION OF A WEAK INVERTED TROUGH AND SOME LIFT
FROM THE UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL BRING CLOUDS AND A BIT OF PATCHY
LIGHT SNOW TO DOWNEAST AREAS THIS MORNING. ANY ACCUMULATION WILL
LIKELY BE LESS THAN AN INCH. OTHERWISE, DOWNEAST WILL BE MOSTLY
CLOUDY TODAY AND NORTHERN AREAS PARTLY SUNNY. SKIES WILL CLEAR
FROM NORTH TO SOUTH TONIGHT AS THE LOW MOVES AWAY AND COLD HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN. LOWS BY MORNING WILL RANGE FROM THE SINGLE
DIGITS OVER THE NORTH TO THE MID TEENS DOWNEAST.
&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION SUNDAY WITH MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES. LOW PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO APPROACH FROM THE WEST SUNDAY
NIGHT WITH INCREASING CLOUDS. THE LOW WILL CROSS THE REGION MONDAY
INTO MONDAY NIGHT WITH SCATTERED RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS. TEMPERATURES
WILL BE AT SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL LEVELS SUNDAY...WITH NEAR NORMAL
LEVEL TEMPERATURES MONDAY.
&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
THE LOW WILL MOVE EAST TUESDAY. MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE NORTH/MOUNTAINS
EARLY TUESDAY...WITH DECREASING CLOUDS DURING THE AFTERNOON.
GENERALLY EXPECT PARTLY SUNNY SKIES DOWNEAST TUESDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY...THEN MOVE EAST EARLY
THURSDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL THEN CROSS THE REGION LATER THURSDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. CLOUD COVER WILL INCREASE LATER THURSDAY
ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS...WITH A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS DOWNEAST. COULD HAVE A CHANCE OF
LIGHT SNOW ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS THURSDAY NIGHT WITH A CHANCE OF
LIGHT RAIN/SNOW DOWNEAST. THE WARM FRONT SHOULD MOVE NORTH OF THE
REGION EARLY FRIDAY. UNCERTAINTY THEN EXISTS LATER FRIDAY
REGARDING WHETHER LOW PRESSURE MIGHT BEGIN TO APPROACH FROM THE
WEST. HAVE KEPT A CHANCE OF RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN
AREAS FRIDAY...WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS DOWNEAST.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL LEVELS TUESDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY. NEAR NORMAL...TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL...LEVEL
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY.
&&

.AVIATION /09Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE NORTH TODAY AND
TONIGHT. MVFR TO OCCASIONALLY IFR CONDITIONS DOWNEAST TODAY WILL
IMPROVE TO VFR TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN.

SHORT TERM: GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
REGION SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...THOUGH OCCASIONAL MVFR
CONDITIONS COULD BEGIN TO DEVELOP ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS LATER
SUNDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
REGION MONDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTH AND MOUNTAINS EARLY TUESDAY.
OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY
INTO WEDNESDAY.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: AN SCA WILL BE NEEDED TODAY INTO TONIGHT FOR NORTHEAST
WINDS, BECOMING NORTHERLY AND GUSTING UP TO 30 KT AS LOW PRESSURE
TRACKS SOUTH OF THE WATERS.

SHORT TERM: SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY
THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. VISIBILITIES COULD BE REDUCED IN SHOWERS
MONDAY AFTERNOON.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 2 PM EDT SUNDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...BLOOMER
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/NORCROSS
MARINE...BLOOMER/NORCROSS





000
FXUS61 KCAR 280912
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
512 AM EDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE TODAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION LATER TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. LOW
PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
LOW PRESSURE WILL BE TRACKING WELL SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE
TODAY. THE COMBINATION OF A WEAK INVERTED TROUGH AND SOME LIFT
FROM THE UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL BRING CLOUDS AND A BIT OF PATCHY
LIGHT SNOW TO DOWNEAST AREAS THIS MORNING. ANY ACCUMULATION WILL
LIKELY BE LESS THAN AN INCH. OTHERWISE, DOWNEAST WILL BE MOSTLY
CLOUDY TODAY AND NORTHERN AREAS PARTLY SUNNY. SKIES WILL CLEAR
FROM NORTH TO SOUTH TONIGHT AS THE LOW MOVES AWAY AND COLD HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN. LOWS BY MORNING WILL RANGE FROM THE SINGLE
DIGITS OVER THE NORTH TO THE MID TEENS DOWNEAST.
&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION SUNDAY WITH MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES. LOW PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO APPROACH FROM THE WEST SUNDAY
NIGHT WITH INCREASING CLOUDS. THE LOW WILL CROSS THE REGION MONDAY
INTO MONDAY NIGHT WITH SCATTERED RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS. TEMPERATURES
WILL BE AT SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL LEVELS SUNDAY...WITH NEAR NORMAL
LEVEL TEMPERATURES MONDAY.
&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
THE LOW WILL MOVE EAST TUESDAY. MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE NORTH/MOUNTAINS
EARLY TUESDAY...WITH DECREASING CLOUDS DURING THE AFTERNOON.
GENERALLY EXPECT PARTLY SUNNY SKIES DOWNEAST TUESDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY...THEN MOVE EAST EARLY
THURSDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL THEN CROSS THE REGION LATER THURSDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. CLOUD COVER WILL INCREASE LATER THURSDAY
ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS...WITH A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS DOWNEAST. COULD HAVE A CHANCE OF
LIGHT SNOW ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS THURSDAY NIGHT WITH A CHANCE OF
LIGHT RAIN/SNOW DOWNEAST. THE WARM FRONT SHOULD MOVE NORTH OF THE
REGION EARLY FRIDAY. UNCERTAINTY THEN EXISTS LATER FRIDAY
REGARDING WHETHER LOW PRESSURE MIGHT BEGIN TO APPROACH FROM THE
WEST. HAVE KEPT A CHANCE OF RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN
AREAS FRIDAY...WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS DOWNEAST.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL LEVELS TUESDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY. NEAR NORMAL...TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL...LEVEL
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY.
&&

.AVIATION /09Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE NORTH TODAY AND
TONIGHT. MVFR TO OCCASIONALLY IFR CONDITIONS DOWNEAST TODAY WILL
IMPROVE TO VFR TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN.

SHORT TERM: GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
REGION SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...THOUGH OCCASIONAL MVFR
CONDITIONS COULD BEGIN TO DEVELOP ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS LATER
SUNDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
REGION MONDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTH AND MOUNTAINS EARLY TUESDAY.
OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY
INTO WEDNESDAY.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: AN SCA WILL BE NEEDED TODAY INTO TONIGHT FOR NORTHEAST
WINDS, BECOMING NORTHERLY AND GUSTING UP TO 30 KT AS LOW PRESSURE
TRACKS SOUTH OF THE WATERS.

SHORT TERM: SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY
THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. VISIBILITIES COULD BE REDUCED IN SHOWERS
MONDAY AFTERNOON.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 2 PM EDT SUNDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...BLOOMER
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/NORCROSS
MARINE...BLOOMER/NORCROSS




000
FXUS61 KCAR 280912
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
512 AM EDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE TODAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION LATER TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. LOW
PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
LOW PRESSURE WILL BE TRACKING WELL SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE
TODAY. THE COMBINATION OF A WEAK INVERTED TROUGH AND SOME LIFT
FROM THE UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL BRING CLOUDS AND A BIT OF PATCHY
LIGHT SNOW TO DOWNEAST AREAS THIS MORNING. ANY ACCUMULATION WILL
LIKELY BE LESS THAN AN INCH. OTHERWISE, DOWNEAST WILL BE MOSTLY
CLOUDY TODAY AND NORTHERN AREAS PARTLY SUNNY. SKIES WILL CLEAR
FROM NORTH TO SOUTH TONIGHT AS THE LOW MOVES AWAY AND COLD HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN. LOWS BY MORNING WILL RANGE FROM THE SINGLE
DIGITS OVER THE NORTH TO THE MID TEENS DOWNEAST.
&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION SUNDAY WITH MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES. LOW PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO APPROACH FROM THE WEST SUNDAY
NIGHT WITH INCREASING CLOUDS. THE LOW WILL CROSS THE REGION MONDAY
INTO MONDAY NIGHT WITH SCATTERED RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS. TEMPERATURES
WILL BE AT SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL LEVELS SUNDAY...WITH NEAR NORMAL
LEVEL TEMPERATURES MONDAY.
&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
THE LOW WILL MOVE EAST TUESDAY. MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE NORTH/MOUNTAINS
EARLY TUESDAY...WITH DECREASING CLOUDS DURING THE AFTERNOON.
GENERALLY EXPECT PARTLY SUNNY SKIES DOWNEAST TUESDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY...THEN MOVE EAST EARLY
THURSDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL THEN CROSS THE REGION LATER THURSDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. CLOUD COVER WILL INCREASE LATER THURSDAY
ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS...WITH A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS DOWNEAST. COULD HAVE A CHANCE OF
LIGHT SNOW ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS THURSDAY NIGHT WITH A CHANCE OF
LIGHT RAIN/SNOW DOWNEAST. THE WARM FRONT SHOULD MOVE NORTH OF THE
REGION EARLY FRIDAY. UNCERTAINTY THEN EXISTS LATER FRIDAY
REGARDING WHETHER LOW PRESSURE MIGHT BEGIN TO APPROACH FROM THE
WEST. HAVE KEPT A CHANCE OF RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN
AREAS FRIDAY...WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS DOWNEAST.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL LEVELS TUESDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY. NEAR NORMAL...TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL...LEVEL
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY.
&&

.AVIATION /09Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE NORTH TODAY AND
TONIGHT. MVFR TO OCCASIONALLY IFR CONDITIONS DOWNEAST TODAY WILL
IMPROVE TO VFR TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN.

SHORT TERM: GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
REGION SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...THOUGH OCCASIONAL MVFR
CONDITIONS COULD BEGIN TO DEVELOP ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS LATER
SUNDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
REGION MONDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTH AND MOUNTAINS EARLY TUESDAY.
OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY
INTO WEDNESDAY.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: AN SCA WILL BE NEEDED TODAY INTO TONIGHT FOR NORTHEAST
WINDS, BECOMING NORTHERLY AND GUSTING UP TO 30 KT AS LOW PRESSURE
TRACKS SOUTH OF THE WATERS.

SHORT TERM: SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY
THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. VISIBILITIES COULD BE REDUCED IN SHOWERS
MONDAY AFTERNOON.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 2 PM EDT SUNDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...BLOOMER
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/NORCROSS
MARINE...BLOOMER/NORCROSS




000
FXUS61 KCAR 280333
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1133 PM EDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO SLOWLY BUILD IN FROM THE
NORTHWEST OVERNIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY WHILE LOW PRESSURE FROM THE
MID ATLANTIC STATES TRACKS WELL SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE. THE
HIGH WILL CROSS THE REGION ON SUNDAY. ANOTHER LOW FROM CENTRAL
CANADA WILL TRACK TOWARD NORTH OF THE REGION ON MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
11:30 PM UPDATE...DECREASED CLOUD COVER OVER THE NORTH AND LOWERED
TEMPS A BIT EARLY TONIGHT. OTHERWISE, NO MAJOR CHANGES THIS HOUR.

SATELLITE IMAGERY HAD THE BEST ENHANCED CLOUDS ALONG AND JUST OFF
THE COAST W/THE BEST RAINFALL WELL S AND E OF THE REGION. SOME
LIGHTER RETURNS PER THE RADAR MOVING UP INTO SW MAINE W/SOME LIGHT
SNOW SHOWERS. DECIDED TO PUSH BACK THE POPS AGAIN KEEPING THE N
AND W DRY. CUT BACK POPS TO CHANCE (30-40%) FOR THE DOWNEAST
REGION, PRIMARILY THE COAST W/THE WX ELEMENT BEING LIGHT SNOW.

AS THE SFC LOW BECOMES BETTER ORGANIZED S OF THE GULF OF ME ON
SAT...SN SHWRS WILL TRANSLATE SE OVR DOWNEAST PTNS OF THE FA BY
SAT AFTN...WITH PERHAPS EVEN STEADY LGT SNFL BRUSHING THE
COAST...ALTHOUGH IT LOOKS LIKE THE BEST DYNAMICS WILL MOVE EAST...
SOUTH OF OUR COASTAL WATERS. SO WITH CHC OR LESS POPS OVR THE SRN
PTN OF THE FA...WE GO WITH SN SHWR CVRG WORDING. MOST LCTNS
RECEIVING ANY SN OVR W CNTRL AND SRN PTNS OF THE FA FROM LATE TNGT
THRU SAT WILL RECEIVE A DUSTING TO PERHAPS A HALF INCH...WITH LCLY
ARND AN INCH POSSIBLE OVR THE CNTRL ME HIGHLANDS AND IMMEDIATE
DOWNEAST COAST/OUTER ISLANDS...BEFORE SN SHWRS MOVE SE OF THE
REGION SAT EVE. A STEADY CLRG TREND SHOULD THEN PROGRESS NW TO SE
THRU THE REGION SAT NGT.

WITH MSLY TO FULLY CLDY SKIES AND A LGT N BREEZE TNGT...TEMPS WILL
COOL AS MODIFIED ARCTIC AIR CONTS TO FILTER SE INTO THE FA...BUT
WITH LITTLE POTENTIAL OF SIG COLDER VLY OVRNGT LOWS WITH LITTLE IN
THE WAY OF SFC INVSN FORMATION POTENTIAL. HIGH TEMPS SAT WILL BE
ABOUT 5 TO 10 DEG F COLDER THAN TDY. THE APCH OF THE SFC RIDGE
AXIS TO THE WRN ME/ERN QB BORDER BY ERLY SUN MORN MAY ALLOW FOR
SOME WEAK SFC INVSN FORMATION AND DECOUPLING OF SFC WINDS FROM
WINDS ALF BY DAWN SUNDAY MORN FOR COLDER LOW TEMPS ACROSS NRN AND
SPCLY WRN BROAD RVR VLY LCTNS...OTHERWISE A STEADY NW BREEZE WILL
LIMIT LOW TEMPS FROM FALLING MUCH MORE THAN 20 DEG F FROM HI TEMPS
ON SAT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION ON SUNDAY, RESULTING
IN PLENTY OF SUNSHINE AND HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. THE RIDGE
WILL MOVE EAST SUNDAY NIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE CROSSES CENTRAL
ONTARIO INTO QUEBEC. THIS WILL PLACE THE FORECAST AREA UNDER
SOUTHWEST FLOW, WHICH WILL ALLOW MILDER AIR TO LIFT NORTHWARD. THE
LOW WILL MOVE BY TO OUR NORTH ON MONDAY, BRINGING SHOWERS TO THE
REGION. ALTHOUGH THICKNESSES INDICATE THAT PRECIPITATION WILL FALL
MAINLY AS SNOW, TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 30S TO AROUND 40 MEAN THAT
AT LEAST A MIX OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE JUST ABOUT EVERYWHERE, WITH
DOWNEAST AREAS LIKELY CHANGING OVER TO ALL RAIN DURING THE
AFTERNOON. AS SUCH, LITTLE TO NO SNOW ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT/EARLY TUESDAY,
BRINGING THE PRECIPITATION TO AN END, ALTHOUGH SOME WRAP-AROUND
SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN NORTHERN AREAS TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL THEN BUILD SOUTH FROM CANADA. A CLIPPER SYSTEM WILL CROSS THE
GREAT LAKES TUESDAY AND MOVE INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND TUESDAY
NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY, BUT THE HIGH WILL KEEP IT SOUTH OF OUR AREA.
WE THEN TURN OUR ATTENTION TO A POTENTIAL RAIN EVENT FOR THURSDAY-
FRIDAY. THE FORECAST MODELS CONTINUE TO DIFFER WITH THE HANDLING
OF THIS SYSTEM; THE GFS HAS A 985 LOW MOVING WELL TO OUR NORTH
WITH PERIODS OF RAIN LATER THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. THE ECMWF
MEANWHILE HAS A MUCH WEAKER AND FASTER- MOVING LOW THAT WILL TREK
OVER NORTHERN MAINE THURSDAY NIGHT, WITH ANOTHER STRONGER SYSTEM
FOR THE WEEKEND. IF THE STRONGER, WETTER SOLUTION COMES TRUE, IT
COULD VERY WELL MEAN ICE MOVEMENT ON AREA RIVERS, ESPECIALLY FOR
DOWNEAST AND CENTRAL MAINE.

&&

.AVIATION /04Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: ALL OF THE TAF SITES HAVE RECOVERED TO AT LEAST LOW VFR
FROM MVFR CLGS EARLIER THIS AFTN. VFR SHOULD CONT THRU ALL OF THE
EVE...THEN MODELS...INCLUDING THE SREF CONDITIONAL CLG CATEGORY
GUIDANCE SUGGESTS CLGS LOWERING TO MVFR ALL TAF SITES LATE TNGT
OR ERLY SAT MORN AS AN UPPER LVL TROF APCHS FROM THE W. CANNOT
RULE OUT BRIEF MVFR VSBYS IN ISOLD TO SCT SN SHWR AS WELL SAT...
SPCLY OVR DOWNEAST SITES. OTHERWISE...CLGS SHOULD LIFT BACK TO AT
LEAST LOW VFR SAT AFTN INITIALLY ACROSS THE N...THEN DOWNEAST
LATE...FOLLOWED BY UNLMTD VFR FROM NW TO SE ACROSS THE TAF SITES
SAT NGT.

SHORT TERM: VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT,
WITH CEILINGS LOWERING TO AROUND MVFR EARLY MONDAY MORNING AT THE
NORTHERN TERMINALS. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY
ALONG WITH PREVAILING MVFR CONDITIONS. THINGS WILL IMPROVE
SOMEWHAT MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY, THOUGH MVFR CEILINGS WILL STILL
BE POSSIBLE AT THE NORTHERN SITES AS NORTHWEST FLOW KEEPS THE
THREAT OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS AROUND.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WW3 GUIDANCE INDICATES A SE SWELL CONTG MSLY OVR OUR
OUTER WATERS THRU TNGT...JUSTIFYING THE CONTINUATION OF THE SCA
FOR HAZ SEAS OVR THIS REGION. AFTWRDS...A GENERIC SCA WILL NEED TO
BE ISSUED FOR ALL OF OUT WATERS FROM ERLY SAT MORN...LIKELY INTO
THE PRE-DAWN HRS SUN MORN DUE TO WINDS INCREASING BEHIND THE SFC
LOW MOVG E INTO THE OPEN ATLC FROM THE MID ATLC STATES. THERE ALSO
MAY BE ENOUGH COLD LLVL ADVCN BY LATE SAT NGT AND ERLY SUN MORN
FOR A BRIEF PD OF LGT FZGSPY.

SHORT TERM: SMALL CRAFT HEADLINES WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED FOR
MONDAY AS SOUTH WINDS INCREASE AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. IT MAY NEED
TO BE EXTENDED THROUGH TUESDAY BEHIND THE FRONT, THOUGH WINDS LOOK
TO BE MORE MARGINAL AT THIS TIME.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 5 AM EDT
     SATURDAY FOR ANZ050-051.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...BLOOMER





000
FXUS61 KCAR 280333
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1133 PM EDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO SLOWLY BUILD IN FROM THE
NORTHWEST OVERNIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY WHILE LOW PRESSURE FROM THE
MID ATLANTIC STATES TRACKS WELL SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE. THE
HIGH WILL CROSS THE REGION ON SUNDAY. ANOTHER LOW FROM CENTRAL
CANADA WILL TRACK TOWARD NORTH OF THE REGION ON MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
11:30 PM UPDATE...DECREASED CLOUD COVER OVER THE NORTH AND LOWERED
TEMPS A BIT EARLY TONIGHT. OTHERWISE, NO MAJOR CHANGES THIS HOUR.

SATELLITE IMAGERY HAD THE BEST ENHANCED CLOUDS ALONG AND JUST OFF
THE COAST W/THE BEST RAINFALL WELL S AND E OF THE REGION. SOME
LIGHTER RETURNS PER THE RADAR MOVING UP INTO SW MAINE W/SOME LIGHT
SNOW SHOWERS. DECIDED TO PUSH BACK THE POPS AGAIN KEEPING THE N
AND W DRY. CUT BACK POPS TO CHANCE (30-40%) FOR THE DOWNEAST
REGION, PRIMARILY THE COAST W/THE WX ELEMENT BEING LIGHT SNOW.

AS THE SFC LOW BECOMES BETTER ORGANIZED S OF THE GULF OF ME ON
SAT...SN SHWRS WILL TRANSLATE SE OVR DOWNEAST PTNS OF THE FA BY
SAT AFTN...WITH PERHAPS EVEN STEADY LGT SNFL BRUSHING THE
COAST...ALTHOUGH IT LOOKS LIKE THE BEST DYNAMICS WILL MOVE EAST...
SOUTH OF OUR COASTAL WATERS. SO WITH CHC OR LESS POPS OVR THE SRN
PTN OF THE FA...WE GO WITH SN SHWR CVRG WORDING. MOST LCTNS
RECEIVING ANY SN OVR W CNTRL AND SRN PTNS OF THE FA FROM LATE TNGT
THRU SAT WILL RECEIVE A DUSTING TO PERHAPS A HALF INCH...WITH LCLY
ARND AN INCH POSSIBLE OVR THE CNTRL ME HIGHLANDS AND IMMEDIATE
DOWNEAST COAST/OUTER ISLANDS...BEFORE SN SHWRS MOVE SE OF THE
REGION SAT EVE. A STEADY CLRG TREND SHOULD THEN PROGRESS NW TO SE
THRU THE REGION SAT NGT.

WITH MSLY TO FULLY CLDY SKIES AND A LGT N BREEZE TNGT...TEMPS WILL
COOL AS MODIFIED ARCTIC AIR CONTS TO FILTER SE INTO THE FA...BUT
WITH LITTLE POTENTIAL OF SIG COLDER VLY OVRNGT LOWS WITH LITTLE IN
THE WAY OF SFC INVSN FORMATION POTENTIAL. HIGH TEMPS SAT WILL BE
ABOUT 5 TO 10 DEG F COLDER THAN TDY. THE APCH OF THE SFC RIDGE
AXIS TO THE WRN ME/ERN QB BORDER BY ERLY SUN MORN MAY ALLOW FOR
SOME WEAK SFC INVSN FORMATION AND DECOUPLING OF SFC WINDS FROM
WINDS ALF BY DAWN SUNDAY MORN FOR COLDER LOW TEMPS ACROSS NRN AND
SPCLY WRN BROAD RVR VLY LCTNS...OTHERWISE A STEADY NW BREEZE WILL
LIMIT LOW TEMPS FROM FALLING MUCH MORE THAN 20 DEG F FROM HI TEMPS
ON SAT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION ON SUNDAY, RESULTING
IN PLENTY OF SUNSHINE AND HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. THE RIDGE
WILL MOVE EAST SUNDAY NIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE CROSSES CENTRAL
ONTARIO INTO QUEBEC. THIS WILL PLACE THE FORECAST AREA UNDER
SOUTHWEST FLOW, WHICH WILL ALLOW MILDER AIR TO LIFT NORTHWARD. THE
LOW WILL MOVE BY TO OUR NORTH ON MONDAY, BRINGING SHOWERS TO THE
REGION. ALTHOUGH THICKNESSES INDICATE THAT PRECIPITATION WILL FALL
MAINLY AS SNOW, TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 30S TO AROUND 40 MEAN THAT
AT LEAST A MIX OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE JUST ABOUT EVERYWHERE, WITH
DOWNEAST AREAS LIKELY CHANGING OVER TO ALL RAIN DURING THE
AFTERNOON. AS SUCH, LITTLE TO NO SNOW ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT/EARLY TUESDAY,
BRINGING THE PRECIPITATION TO AN END, ALTHOUGH SOME WRAP-AROUND
SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN NORTHERN AREAS TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL THEN BUILD SOUTH FROM CANADA. A CLIPPER SYSTEM WILL CROSS THE
GREAT LAKES TUESDAY AND MOVE INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND TUESDAY
NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY, BUT THE HIGH WILL KEEP IT SOUTH OF OUR AREA.
WE THEN TURN OUR ATTENTION TO A POTENTIAL RAIN EVENT FOR THURSDAY-
FRIDAY. THE FORECAST MODELS CONTINUE TO DIFFER WITH THE HANDLING
OF THIS SYSTEM; THE GFS HAS A 985 LOW MOVING WELL TO OUR NORTH
WITH PERIODS OF RAIN LATER THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. THE ECMWF
MEANWHILE HAS A MUCH WEAKER AND FASTER- MOVING LOW THAT WILL TREK
OVER NORTHERN MAINE THURSDAY NIGHT, WITH ANOTHER STRONGER SYSTEM
FOR THE WEEKEND. IF THE STRONGER, WETTER SOLUTION COMES TRUE, IT
COULD VERY WELL MEAN ICE MOVEMENT ON AREA RIVERS, ESPECIALLY FOR
DOWNEAST AND CENTRAL MAINE.

&&

.AVIATION /04Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: ALL OF THE TAF SITES HAVE RECOVERED TO AT LEAST LOW VFR
FROM MVFR CLGS EARLIER THIS AFTN. VFR SHOULD CONT THRU ALL OF THE
EVE...THEN MODELS...INCLUDING THE SREF CONDITIONAL CLG CATEGORY
GUIDANCE SUGGESTS CLGS LOWERING TO MVFR ALL TAF SITES LATE TNGT
OR ERLY SAT MORN AS AN UPPER LVL TROF APCHS FROM THE W. CANNOT
RULE OUT BRIEF MVFR VSBYS IN ISOLD TO SCT SN SHWR AS WELL SAT...
SPCLY OVR DOWNEAST SITES. OTHERWISE...CLGS SHOULD LIFT BACK TO AT
LEAST LOW VFR SAT AFTN INITIALLY ACROSS THE N...THEN DOWNEAST
LATE...FOLLOWED BY UNLMTD VFR FROM NW TO SE ACROSS THE TAF SITES
SAT NGT.

SHORT TERM: VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT,
WITH CEILINGS LOWERING TO AROUND MVFR EARLY MONDAY MORNING AT THE
NORTHERN TERMINALS. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY
ALONG WITH PREVAILING MVFR CONDITIONS. THINGS WILL IMPROVE
SOMEWHAT MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY, THOUGH MVFR CEILINGS WILL STILL
BE POSSIBLE AT THE NORTHERN SITES AS NORTHWEST FLOW KEEPS THE
THREAT OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS AROUND.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WW3 GUIDANCE INDICATES A SE SWELL CONTG MSLY OVR OUR
OUTER WATERS THRU TNGT...JUSTIFYING THE CONTINUATION OF THE SCA
FOR HAZ SEAS OVR THIS REGION. AFTWRDS...A GENERIC SCA WILL NEED TO
BE ISSUED FOR ALL OF OUT WATERS FROM ERLY SAT MORN...LIKELY INTO
THE PRE-DAWN HRS SUN MORN DUE TO WINDS INCREASING BEHIND THE SFC
LOW MOVG E INTO THE OPEN ATLC FROM THE MID ATLC STATES. THERE ALSO
MAY BE ENOUGH COLD LLVL ADVCN BY LATE SAT NGT AND ERLY SUN MORN
FOR A BRIEF PD OF LGT FZGSPY.

SHORT TERM: SMALL CRAFT HEADLINES WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED FOR
MONDAY AS SOUTH WINDS INCREASE AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. IT MAY NEED
TO BE EXTENDED THROUGH TUESDAY BEHIND THE FRONT, THOUGH WINDS LOOK
TO BE MORE MARGINAL AT THIS TIME.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 5 AM EDT
     SATURDAY FOR ANZ050-051.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...BLOOMER




000
FXUS61 KCAR 280333
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1133 PM EDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO SLOWLY BUILD IN FROM THE
NORTHWEST OVERNIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY WHILE LOW PRESSURE FROM THE
MID ATLANTIC STATES TRACKS WELL SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE. THE
HIGH WILL CROSS THE REGION ON SUNDAY. ANOTHER LOW FROM CENTRAL
CANADA WILL TRACK TOWARD NORTH OF THE REGION ON MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
11:30 PM UPDATE...DECREASED CLOUD COVER OVER THE NORTH AND LOWERED
TEMPS A BIT EARLY TONIGHT. OTHERWISE, NO MAJOR CHANGES THIS HOUR.

SATELLITE IMAGERY HAD THE BEST ENHANCED CLOUDS ALONG AND JUST OFF
THE COAST W/THE BEST RAINFALL WELL S AND E OF THE REGION. SOME
LIGHTER RETURNS PER THE RADAR MOVING UP INTO SW MAINE W/SOME LIGHT
SNOW SHOWERS. DECIDED TO PUSH BACK THE POPS AGAIN KEEPING THE N
AND W DRY. CUT BACK POPS TO CHANCE (30-40%) FOR THE DOWNEAST
REGION, PRIMARILY THE COAST W/THE WX ELEMENT BEING LIGHT SNOW.

AS THE SFC LOW BECOMES BETTER ORGANIZED S OF THE GULF OF ME ON
SAT...SN SHWRS WILL TRANSLATE SE OVR DOWNEAST PTNS OF THE FA BY
SAT AFTN...WITH PERHAPS EVEN STEADY LGT SNFL BRUSHING THE
COAST...ALTHOUGH IT LOOKS LIKE THE BEST DYNAMICS WILL MOVE EAST...
SOUTH OF OUR COASTAL WATERS. SO WITH CHC OR LESS POPS OVR THE SRN
PTN OF THE FA...WE GO WITH SN SHWR CVRG WORDING. MOST LCTNS
RECEIVING ANY SN OVR W CNTRL AND SRN PTNS OF THE FA FROM LATE TNGT
THRU SAT WILL RECEIVE A DUSTING TO PERHAPS A HALF INCH...WITH LCLY
ARND AN INCH POSSIBLE OVR THE CNTRL ME HIGHLANDS AND IMMEDIATE
DOWNEAST COAST/OUTER ISLANDS...BEFORE SN SHWRS MOVE SE OF THE
REGION SAT EVE. A STEADY CLRG TREND SHOULD THEN PROGRESS NW TO SE
THRU THE REGION SAT NGT.

WITH MSLY TO FULLY CLDY SKIES AND A LGT N BREEZE TNGT...TEMPS WILL
COOL AS MODIFIED ARCTIC AIR CONTS TO FILTER SE INTO THE FA...BUT
WITH LITTLE POTENTIAL OF SIG COLDER VLY OVRNGT LOWS WITH LITTLE IN
THE WAY OF SFC INVSN FORMATION POTENTIAL. HIGH TEMPS SAT WILL BE
ABOUT 5 TO 10 DEG F COLDER THAN TDY. THE APCH OF THE SFC RIDGE
AXIS TO THE WRN ME/ERN QB BORDER BY ERLY SUN MORN MAY ALLOW FOR
SOME WEAK SFC INVSN FORMATION AND DECOUPLING OF SFC WINDS FROM
WINDS ALF BY DAWN SUNDAY MORN FOR COLDER LOW TEMPS ACROSS NRN AND
SPCLY WRN BROAD RVR VLY LCTNS...OTHERWISE A STEADY NW BREEZE WILL
LIMIT LOW TEMPS FROM FALLING MUCH MORE THAN 20 DEG F FROM HI TEMPS
ON SAT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION ON SUNDAY, RESULTING
IN PLENTY OF SUNSHINE AND HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. THE RIDGE
WILL MOVE EAST SUNDAY NIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE CROSSES CENTRAL
ONTARIO INTO QUEBEC. THIS WILL PLACE THE FORECAST AREA UNDER
SOUTHWEST FLOW, WHICH WILL ALLOW MILDER AIR TO LIFT NORTHWARD. THE
LOW WILL MOVE BY TO OUR NORTH ON MONDAY, BRINGING SHOWERS TO THE
REGION. ALTHOUGH THICKNESSES INDICATE THAT PRECIPITATION WILL FALL
MAINLY AS SNOW, TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 30S TO AROUND 40 MEAN THAT
AT LEAST A MIX OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE JUST ABOUT EVERYWHERE, WITH
DOWNEAST AREAS LIKELY CHANGING OVER TO ALL RAIN DURING THE
AFTERNOON. AS SUCH, LITTLE TO NO SNOW ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT/EARLY TUESDAY,
BRINGING THE PRECIPITATION TO AN END, ALTHOUGH SOME WRAP-AROUND
SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN NORTHERN AREAS TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL THEN BUILD SOUTH FROM CANADA. A CLIPPER SYSTEM WILL CROSS THE
GREAT LAKES TUESDAY AND MOVE INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND TUESDAY
NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY, BUT THE HIGH WILL KEEP IT SOUTH OF OUR AREA.
WE THEN TURN OUR ATTENTION TO A POTENTIAL RAIN EVENT FOR THURSDAY-
FRIDAY. THE FORECAST MODELS CONTINUE TO DIFFER WITH THE HANDLING
OF THIS SYSTEM; THE GFS HAS A 985 LOW MOVING WELL TO OUR NORTH
WITH PERIODS OF RAIN LATER THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. THE ECMWF
MEANWHILE HAS A MUCH WEAKER AND FASTER- MOVING LOW THAT WILL TREK
OVER NORTHERN MAINE THURSDAY NIGHT, WITH ANOTHER STRONGER SYSTEM
FOR THE WEEKEND. IF THE STRONGER, WETTER SOLUTION COMES TRUE, IT
COULD VERY WELL MEAN ICE MOVEMENT ON AREA RIVERS, ESPECIALLY FOR
DOWNEAST AND CENTRAL MAINE.

&&

.AVIATION /04Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: ALL OF THE TAF SITES HAVE RECOVERED TO AT LEAST LOW VFR
FROM MVFR CLGS EARLIER THIS AFTN. VFR SHOULD CONT THRU ALL OF THE
EVE...THEN MODELS...INCLUDING THE SREF CONDITIONAL CLG CATEGORY
GUIDANCE SUGGESTS CLGS LOWERING TO MVFR ALL TAF SITES LATE TNGT
OR ERLY SAT MORN AS AN UPPER LVL TROF APCHS FROM THE W. CANNOT
RULE OUT BRIEF MVFR VSBYS IN ISOLD TO SCT SN SHWR AS WELL SAT...
SPCLY OVR DOWNEAST SITES. OTHERWISE...CLGS SHOULD LIFT BACK TO AT
LEAST LOW VFR SAT AFTN INITIALLY ACROSS THE N...THEN DOWNEAST
LATE...FOLLOWED BY UNLMTD VFR FROM NW TO SE ACROSS THE TAF SITES
SAT NGT.

SHORT TERM: VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT,
WITH CEILINGS LOWERING TO AROUND MVFR EARLY MONDAY MORNING AT THE
NORTHERN TERMINALS. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY
ALONG WITH PREVAILING MVFR CONDITIONS. THINGS WILL IMPROVE
SOMEWHAT MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY, THOUGH MVFR CEILINGS WILL STILL
BE POSSIBLE AT THE NORTHERN SITES AS NORTHWEST FLOW KEEPS THE
THREAT OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS AROUND.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WW3 GUIDANCE INDICATES A SE SWELL CONTG MSLY OVR OUR
OUTER WATERS THRU TNGT...JUSTIFYING THE CONTINUATION OF THE SCA
FOR HAZ SEAS OVR THIS REGION. AFTWRDS...A GENERIC SCA WILL NEED TO
BE ISSUED FOR ALL OF OUT WATERS FROM ERLY SAT MORN...LIKELY INTO
THE PRE-DAWN HRS SUN MORN DUE TO WINDS INCREASING BEHIND THE SFC
LOW MOVG E INTO THE OPEN ATLC FROM THE MID ATLC STATES. THERE ALSO
MAY BE ENOUGH COLD LLVL ADVCN BY LATE SAT NGT AND ERLY SUN MORN
FOR A BRIEF PD OF LGT FZGSPY.

SHORT TERM: SMALL CRAFT HEADLINES WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED FOR
MONDAY AS SOUTH WINDS INCREASE AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. IT MAY NEED
TO BE EXTENDED THROUGH TUESDAY BEHIND THE FRONT, THOUGH WINDS LOOK
TO BE MORE MARGINAL AT THIS TIME.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 5 AM EDT
     SATURDAY FOR ANZ050-051.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...BLOOMER




000
FXUS61 KCAR 280333
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1133 PM EDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO SLOWLY BUILD IN FROM THE
NORTHWEST OVERNIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY WHILE LOW PRESSURE FROM THE
MID ATLANTIC STATES TRACKS WELL SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE. THE
HIGH WILL CROSS THE REGION ON SUNDAY. ANOTHER LOW FROM CENTRAL
CANADA WILL TRACK TOWARD NORTH OF THE REGION ON MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
11:30 PM UPDATE...DECREASED CLOUD COVER OVER THE NORTH AND LOWERED
TEMPS A BIT EARLY TONIGHT. OTHERWISE, NO MAJOR CHANGES THIS HOUR.

SATELLITE IMAGERY HAD THE BEST ENHANCED CLOUDS ALONG AND JUST OFF
THE COAST W/THE BEST RAINFALL WELL S AND E OF THE REGION. SOME
LIGHTER RETURNS PER THE RADAR MOVING UP INTO SW MAINE W/SOME LIGHT
SNOW SHOWERS. DECIDED TO PUSH BACK THE POPS AGAIN KEEPING THE N
AND W DRY. CUT BACK POPS TO CHANCE (30-40%) FOR THE DOWNEAST
REGION, PRIMARILY THE COAST W/THE WX ELEMENT BEING LIGHT SNOW.

AS THE SFC LOW BECOMES BETTER ORGANIZED S OF THE GULF OF ME ON
SAT...SN SHWRS WILL TRANSLATE SE OVR DOWNEAST PTNS OF THE FA BY
SAT AFTN...WITH PERHAPS EVEN STEADY LGT SNFL BRUSHING THE
COAST...ALTHOUGH IT LOOKS LIKE THE BEST DYNAMICS WILL MOVE EAST...
SOUTH OF OUR COASTAL WATERS. SO WITH CHC OR LESS POPS OVR THE SRN
PTN OF THE FA...WE GO WITH SN SHWR CVRG WORDING. MOST LCTNS
RECEIVING ANY SN OVR W CNTRL AND SRN PTNS OF THE FA FROM LATE TNGT
THRU SAT WILL RECEIVE A DUSTING TO PERHAPS A HALF INCH...WITH LCLY
ARND AN INCH POSSIBLE OVR THE CNTRL ME HIGHLANDS AND IMMEDIATE
DOWNEAST COAST/OUTER ISLANDS...BEFORE SN SHWRS MOVE SE OF THE
REGION SAT EVE. A STEADY CLRG TREND SHOULD THEN PROGRESS NW TO SE
THRU THE REGION SAT NGT.

WITH MSLY TO FULLY CLDY SKIES AND A LGT N BREEZE TNGT...TEMPS WILL
COOL AS MODIFIED ARCTIC AIR CONTS TO FILTER SE INTO THE FA...BUT
WITH LITTLE POTENTIAL OF SIG COLDER VLY OVRNGT LOWS WITH LITTLE IN
THE WAY OF SFC INVSN FORMATION POTENTIAL. HIGH TEMPS SAT WILL BE
ABOUT 5 TO 10 DEG F COLDER THAN TDY. THE APCH OF THE SFC RIDGE
AXIS TO THE WRN ME/ERN QB BORDER BY ERLY SUN MORN MAY ALLOW FOR
SOME WEAK SFC INVSN FORMATION AND DECOUPLING OF SFC WINDS FROM
WINDS ALF BY DAWN SUNDAY MORN FOR COLDER LOW TEMPS ACROSS NRN AND
SPCLY WRN BROAD RVR VLY LCTNS...OTHERWISE A STEADY NW BREEZE WILL
LIMIT LOW TEMPS FROM FALLING MUCH MORE THAN 20 DEG F FROM HI TEMPS
ON SAT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION ON SUNDAY, RESULTING
IN PLENTY OF SUNSHINE AND HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. THE RIDGE
WILL MOVE EAST SUNDAY NIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE CROSSES CENTRAL
ONTARIO INTO QUEBEC. THIS WILL PLACE THE FORECAST AREA UNDER
SOUTHWEST FLOW, WHICH WILL ALLOW MILDER AIR TO LIFT NORTHWARD. THE
LOW WILL MOVE BY TO OUR NORTH ON MONDAY, BRINGING SHOWERS TO THE
REGION. ALTHOUGH THICKNESSES INDICATE THAT PRECIPITATION WILL FALL
MAINLY AS SNOW, TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 30S TO AROUND 40 MEAN THAT
AT LEAST A MIX OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE JUST ABOUT EVERYWHERE, WITH
DOWNEAST AREAS LIKELY CHANGING OVER TO ALL RAIN DURING THE
AFTERNOON. AS SUCH, LITTLE TO NO SNOW ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT/EARLY TUESDAY,
BRINGING THE PRECIPITATION TO AN END, ALTHOUGH SOME WRAP-AROUND
SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN NORTHERN AREAS TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL THEN BUILD SOUTH FROM CANADA. A CLIPPER SYSTEM WILL CROSS THE
GREAT LAKES TUESDAY AND MOVE INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND TUESDAY
NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY, BUT THE HIGH WILL KEEP IT SOUTH OF OUR AREA.
WE THEN TURN OUR ATTENTION TO A POTENTIAL RAIN EVENT FOR THURSDAY-
FRIDAY. THE FORECAST MODELS CONTINUE TO DIFFER WITH THE HANDLING
OF THIS SYSTEM; THE GFS HAS A 985 LOW MOVING WELL TO OUR NORTH
WITH PERIODS OF RAIN LATER THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. THE ECMWF
MEANWHILE HAS A MUCH WEAKER AND FASTER- MOVING LOW THAT WILL TREK
OVER NORTHERN MAINE THURSDAY NIGHT, WITH ANOTHER STRONGER SYSTEM
FOR THE WEEKEND. IF THE STRONGER, WETTER SOLUTION COMES TRUE, IT
COULD VERY WELL MEAN ICE MOVEMENT ON AREA RIVERS, ESPECIALLY FOR
DOWNEAST AND CENTRAL MAINE.

&&

.AVIATION /04Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: ALL OF THE TAF SITES HAVE RECOVERED TO AT LEAST LOW VFR
FROM MVFR CLGS EARLIER THIS AFTN. VFR SHOULD CONT THRU ALL OF THE
EVE...THEN MODELS...INCLUDING THE SREF CONDITIONAL CLG CATEGORY
GUIDANCE SUGGESTS CLGS LOWERING TO MVFR ALL TAF SITES LATE TNGT
OR ERLY SAT MORN AS AN UPPER LVL TROF APCHS FROM THE W. CANNOT
RULE OUT BRIEF MVFR VSBYS IN ISOLD TO SCT SN SHWR AS WELL SAT...
SPCLY OVR DOWNEAST SITES. OTHERWISE...CLGS SHOULD LIFT BACK TO AT
LEAST LOW VFR SAT AFTN INITIALLY ACROSS THE N...THEN DOWNEAST
LATE...FOLLOWED BY UNLMTD VFR FROM NW TO SE ACROSS THE TAF SITES
SAT NGT.

SHORT TERM: VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT,
WITH CEILINGS LOWERING TO AROUND MVFR EARLY MONDAY MORNING AT THE
NORTHERN TERMINALS. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY
ALONG WITH PREVAILING MVFR CONDITIONS. THINGS WILL IMPROVE
SOMEWHAT MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY, THOUGH MVFR CEILINGS WILL STILL
BE POSSIBLE AT THE NORTHERN SITES AS NORTHWEST FLOW KEEPS THE
THREAT OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS AROUND.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WW3 GUIDANCE INDICATES A SE SWELL CONTG MSLY OVR OUR
OUTER WATERS THRU TNGT...JUSTIFYING THE CONTINUATION OF THE SCA
FOR HAZ SEAS OVR THIS REGION. AFTWRDS...A GENERIC SCA WILL NEED TO
BE ISSUED FOR ALL OF OUT WATERS FROM ERLY SAT MORN...LIKELY INTO
THE PRE-DAWN HRS SUN MORN DUE TO WINDS INCREASING BEHIND THE SFC
LOW MOVG E INTO THE OPEN ATLC FROM THE MID ATLC STATES. THERE ALSO
MAY BE ENOUGH COLD LLVL ADVCN BY LATE SAT NGT AND ERLY SUN MORN
FOR A BRIEF PD OF LGT FZGSPY.

SHORT TERM: SMALL CRAFT HEADLINES WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED FOR
MONDAY AS SOUTH WINDS INCREASE AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. IT MAY NEED
TO BE EXTENDED THROUGH TUESDAY BEHIND THE FRONT, THOUGH WINDS LOOK
TO BE MORE MARGINAL AT THIS TIME.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 5 AM EDT
     SATURDAY FOR ANZ050-051.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...BLOOMER





000
FXUS61 KCAR 280241
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1041 PM EDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO SLOWLY BUILD IN FROM THE
NORTHWEST OVERNIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY WHILE LOW PRESSURE FROM THE
MID ATLANTIC STATES TRACKS WELL SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE. THE
HIGH WILL CROSS THE REGION ON SUNDAY. ANOTHER LOW FROM CENTRAL
CANADA WILL TRACK TOWARD NORTH OF THE REGION ON MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
1015 PM UPDATE: 00Z SFC ANALYSIS HAD LOW PRES PASSING WELL S AND
E OF THE REGION WHILE HIGH PRES BUILDS E. TEMPS HAVE BEEN DROPPING
OFF STEADILY AS COLDER AND DRIER AIR IS FILTERING INTO THE REGION.
READINGS ACROSS THE N AND W NOW DOWN IN THE LOW TO MID 20S.
FURTHER S ACROSS THE DOWNEAST AND COAST, CLOUDS HAVE KEPT THE
TEMPS UP SOME W/READINGS STILL IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S.
DECIDED TO STAY THE COURSE ATTM W/MID-UPPER TEENS N & W AND LOW TO
MID 20S CENTRAL AND DOWNEAST.

SATELLITE IMAGERY HAD THE BEST ENHANCED CLOUDS ALONG AND JUST OFF
THE COAST W/THE BEST RAINFALL WELL S AND E OF THE REGION. SOME
LIGHTER RETURNS PER THE RADAR MOVING UP INTO SW MAINE W/SOME LIGHT
SNOW SHOWERS. DECIDED TO PUSH BACK THE POPS AGAIN KEEPING THE N
AND W DRY. CUT BACK POPS TO CHANCE (30-40%) FOR THE DOWNEAST
REGION, PRIMARILY THE COAST W/THE WX ELEMENT BEING LIGHT SNOW.

AS THE SFC LOW BECOMES BETTER ORGANIZED S OF THE GULF OF ME ON
SAT...SN SHWRS WILL TRANSLATE SE OVR DOWNEAST PTNS OF THE FA BY
SAT AFTN...WITH PERHAPS EVEN STEADY LGT SNFL BRUSHING THE
COAST...ALTHOUGH IT LOOKS LIKE THE BEST DYNAMICS WILL MOVE EAST...
SOUTH OF OUR COASTAL WATERS. SO WITH CHC OR LESS POPS OVR THE SRN
PTN OF THE FA...WE GO WITH SN SHWR CVRG WORDING. MOST LCTNS
RECEIVING ANY SN OVR W CNTRL AND SRN PTNS OF THE FA FROM LATE TNGT
THRU SAT WILL RECEIVE A DUSTING TO PERHAPS A HALF INCH...WITH LCLY
ARND AN INCH POSSIBLE OVR THE CNTRL ME HIGHLANDS AND IMMEDIATE
DOWNEAST COAST/OUTER ISLANDS...BEFORE SN SHWRS MOVE SE OF THE
REGION SAT EVE. A STEADY CLRG TREND SHOULD THEN PROGRESS NW TO SE
THRU THE REGION SAT NGT.

WITH MSLY TO FULLY CLDY SKIES AND A LGT N BREEZE TNGT...TEMPS WILL
COOL AS MODIFIED ARCTIC AIR CONTS TO FILTER SE INTO THE FA...BUT
WITH LITTLE POTENTIAL OF SIG COLDER VLY OVRNGT LOWS WITH LITTLE IN
THE WAY OF SFC INVSN FORMATION POTENTIAL. HIGH TEMPS SAT WILL BE
ABOUT 5 TO 10 DEG F COLDER THAN TDY. THE APCH OF THE SFC RIDGE
AXIS TO THE WRN ME/ERN QB BORDER BY ERLY SUN MORN MAY ALLOW FOR
SOME WEAK SFC INVSN FORMATION AND DECOUPLING OF SFC WINDS FROM
WINDS ALF BY DAWN SUNDAY MORN FOR COLDER LOW TEMPS ACROSS NRN AND
SPCLY WRN BROAD RVR VLY LCTNS...OTHERWISE A STEADY NW BREEZE WILL
LIMIT LOW TEMPS FROM FALLING MUCH MORE THAN 20 DEG F FROM HI TEMPS
ON SAT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION ON SUNDAY, RESULTING
IN PLENTY OF SUNSHINE AND HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. THE RIDGE
WILL MOVE EAST SUNDAY NIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE CROSSES CENTRAL
ONTARIO INTO QUEBEC. THIS WILL PLACE THE FORECAST AREA UNDER
SOUTHWEST FLOW, WHICH WILL ALLOW MILDER AIR TO LIFT NORTHWARD. THE
LOW WILL MOVE BY TO OUR NORTH ON MONDAY, BRINGING SHOWERS TO THE
REGION. ALTHOUGH THICKNESSES INDICATE THAT PRECIPITATION WILL FALL
MAINLY AS SNOW, TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 30S TO AROUND 40 MEAN THAT
AT LEAST A MIX OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE JUST ABOUT EVERYWHERE, WITH
DOWNEAST AREAS LIKELY CHANGING OVER TO ALL RAIN DURING THE
AFTERNOON. AS SUCH, LITTLE TO NO SNOW ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT/EARLY TUESDAY,
BRINGING THE PRECIPITATION TO AN END, ALTHOUGH SOME WRAP-AROUND
SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN NORTHERN AREAS TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL THEN BUILD SOUTH FROM CANADA. A CLIPPER SYSTEM WILL CROSS THE
GREAT LAKES TUESDAY AND MOVE INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND TUESDAY
NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY, BUT THE HIGH WILL KEEP IT SOUTH OF OUR AREA.
WE THEN TURN OUR ATTENTION TO A POTENTIAL RAIN EVENT FOR THURSDAY-
FRIDAY. THE FORECAST MODELS CONTINUE TO DIFFER WITH THE HANDLING
OF THIS SYSTEM; THE GFS HAS A 985 LOW MOVING WELL TO OUR NORTH
WITH PERIODS OF RAIN LATER THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. THE ECMWF
MEANWHILE HAS A MUCH WEAKER AND FASTER- MOVING LOW THAT WILL TREK
OVER NORTHERN MAINE THURSDAY NIGHT, WITH ANOTHER STRONGER SYSTEM
FOR THE WEEKEND. IF THE STRONGER, WETTER SOLUTION COMES TRUE, IT
COULD VERY WELL MEAN ICE MOVEMENT ON AREA RIVERS, ESPECIALLY FOR
DOWNEAST AND CENTRAL MAINE.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: ALL OF THE TAF SITES HAVE RECOVERED TO AT LEAST LOW VFR
FROM MVFR CLGS EARLIER THIS AFTN. VFR SHOULD CONT THRU ALL OF THE
EVE...THEN MODELS...INCLUDING THE SREF CONDITIONAL CLG CATEGORY
GUIDANCE SUGGESTS CLGS LOWERING TO MVFR ALL TAF SITES LATE TNGT
OR ERLY SAT MORN AS AN UPPER LVL TROF APCHS FROM THE W. CANNOT
RULE OUT BRIEF MVFR VSBYS IN ISOLD TO SCT SN SHWR AS WELL SAT...
SPCLY OVR DOWNEAST SITES. OTHERWISE...CLGS SHOULD LIFT BACK TO AT
LEAST LOW VFR SAT AFTN INITIALLY ACROSS THE N...THEN DOWNEAST
LATE...FOLLOWED BY UNLMTD VFR FROM NW TO SE ACROSS THE TAF SITES
SAT NGT.

SHORT TERM: VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT,
WITH CEILINGS LOWERING TO AROUND MVFR EARLY MONDAY MORNING AT THE
NORTHERN TERMINALS. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY
ALONG WITH PREVAILING MVFR CONDITIONS. THINGS WILL IMPROVE
SOMEWHAT MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY, THOUGH MVFR CEILINGS WILL STILL
BE POSSIBLE AT THE NORTHERN SITES AS NORTHWEST FLOW KEEPS THE
THREAT OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS AROUND.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WW3 GUIDANCE INDICATES A SE SWELL CONTG MSLY OVR OUR
OUTER WATERS THRU TNGT...JUSTIFYING THE CONTINUATION OF THE SCA
FOR HAZ SEAS OVR THIS REGION. AFTWRDS...A GENERIC SCA WILL NEED TO
BE ISSUED FOR ALL OF OUT WATERS FROM ERLY SAT MORN...LIKELY INTO
THE PRE-DAWN HRS SUN MORN DUE TO WINDS INCREASING BEHIND THE SFC
LOW MOVG E INTO THE OPEN ATLC FROM THE MID ATLC STATES. THERE ALSO
MAY BE ENOUGH COLD LLVL ADVCN BY LATE SAT NGT AND ERLY SUN MORN
FOR A BRIEF PD OF LGT FZGSPY.

SHORT TERM: SMALL CRAFT HEADLINES WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED FOR
MONDAY AS SOUTH WINDS INCREASE AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. IT MAY NEED
TO BE EXTENDED THROUGH TUESDAY BEHIND THE FRONT, THOUGH WINDS LOOK
TO BE MORE MARGINAL AT THIS TIME.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 5 AM EDT
     SATURDAY FOR ANZ050-051.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...HEWITT




000
FXUS61 KCAR 280241
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1041 PM EDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO SLOWLY BUILD IN FROM THE
NORTHWEST OVERNIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY WHILE LOW PRESSURE FROM THE
MID ATLANTIC STATES TRACKS WELL SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE. THE
HIGH WILL CROSS THE REGION ON SUNDAY. ANOTHER LOW FROM CENTRAL
CANADA WILL TRACK TOWARD NORTH OF THE REGION ON MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
1015 PM UPDATE: 00Z SFC ANALYSIS HAD LOW PRES PASSING WELL S AND
E OF THE REGION WHILE HIGH PRES BUILDS E. TEMPS HAVE BEEN DROPPING
OFF STEADILY AS COLDER AND DRIER AIR IS FILTERING INTO THE REGION.
READINGS ACROSS THE N AND W NOW DOWN IN THE LOW TO MID 20S.
FURTHER S ACROSS THE DOWNEAST AND COAST, CLOUDS HAVE KEPT THE
TEMPS UP SOME W/READINGS STILL IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S.
DECIDED TO STAY THE COURSE ATTM W/MID-UPPER TEENS N & W AND LOW TO
MID 20S CENTRAL AND DOWNEAST.

SATELLITE IMAGERY HAD THE BEST ENHANCED CLOUDS ALONG AND JUST OFF
THE COAST W/THE BEST RAINFALL WELL S AND E OF THE REGION. SOME
LIGHTER RETURNS PER THE RADAR MOVING UP INTO SW MAINE W/SOME LIGHT
SNOW SHOWERS. DECIDED TO PUSH BACK THE POPS AGAIN KEEPING THE N
AND W DRY. CUT BACK POPS TO CHANCE (30-40%) FOR THE DOWNEAST
REGION, PRIMARILY THE COAST W/THE WX ELEMENT BEING LIGHT SNOW.

AS THE SFC LOW BECOMES BETTER ORGANIZED S OF THE GULF OF ME ON
SAT...SN SHWRS WILL TRANSLATE SE OVR DOWNEAST PTNS OF THE FA BY
SAT AFTN...WITH PERHAPS EVEN STEADY LGT SNFL BRUSHING THE
COAST...ALTHOUGH IT LOOKS LIKE THE BEST DYNAMICS WILL MOVE EAST...
SOUTH OF OUR COASTAL WATERS. SO WITH CHC OR LESS POPS OVR THE SRN
PTN OF THE FA...WE GO WITH SN SHWR CVRG WORDING. MOST LCTNS
RECEIVING ANY SN OVR W CNTRL AND SRN PTNS OF THE FA FROM LATE TNGT
THRU SAT WILL RECEIVE A DUSTING TO PERHAPS A HALF INCH...WITH LCLY
ARND AN INCH POSSIBLE OVR THE CNTRL ME HIGHLANDS AND IMMEDIATE
DOWNEAST COAST/OUTER ISLANDS...BEFORE SN SHWRS MOVE SE OF THE
REGION SAT EVE. A STEADY CLRG TREND SHOULD THEN PROGRESS NW TO SE
THRU THE REGION SAT NGT.

WITH MSLY TO FULLY CLDY SKIES AND A LGT N BREEZE TNGT...TEMPS WILL
COOL AS MODIFIED ARCTIC AIR CONTS TO FILTER SE INTO THE FA...BUT
WITH LITTLE POTENTIAL OF SIG COLDER VLY OVRNGT LOWS WITH LITTLE IN
THE WAY OF SFC INVSN FORMATION POTENTIAL. HIGH TEMPS SAT WILL BE
ABOUT 5 TO 10 DEG F COLDER THAN TDY. THE APCH OF THE SFC RIDGE
AXIS TO THE WRN ME/ERN QB BORDER BY ERLY SUN MORN MAY ALLOW FOR
SOME WEAK SFC INVSN FORMATION AND DECOUPLING OF SFC WINDS FROM
WINDS ALF BY DAWN SUNDAY MORN FOR COLDER LOW TEMPS ACROSS NRN AND
SPCLY WRN BROAD RVR VLY LCTNS...OTHERWISE A STEADY NW BREEZE WILL
LIMIT LOW TEMPS FROM FALLING MUCH MORE THAN 20 DEG F FROM HI TEMPS
ON SAT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION ON SUNDAY, RESULTING
IN PLENTY OF SUNSHINE AND HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. THE RIDGE
WILL MOVE EAST SUNDAY NIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE CROSSES CENTRAL
ONTARIO INTO QUEBEC. THIS WILL PLACE THE FORECAST AREA UNDER
SOUTHWEST FLOW, WHICH WILL ALLOW MILDER AIR TO LIFT NORTHWARD. THE
LOW WILL MOVE BY TO OUR NORTH ON MONDAY, BRINGING SHOWERS TO THE
REGION. ALTHOUGH THICKNESSES INDICATE THAT PRECIPITATION WILL FALL
MAINLY AS SNOW, TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 30S TO AROUND 40 MEAN THAT
AT LEAST A MIX OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE JUST ABOUT EVERYWHERE, WITH
DOWNEAST AREAS LIKELY CHANGING OVER TO ALL RAIN DURING THE
AFTERNOON. AS SUCH, LITTLE TO NO SNOW ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT/EARLY TUESDAY,
BRINGING THE PRECIPITATION TO AN END, ALTHOUGH SOME WRAP-AROUND
SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN NORTHERN AREAS TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL THEN BUILD SOUTH FROM CANADA. A CLIPPER SYSTEM WILL CROSS THE
GREAT LAKES TUESDAY AND MOVE INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND TUESDAY
NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY, BUT THE HIGH WILL KEEP IT SOUTH OF OUR AREA.
WE THEN TURN OUR ATTENTION TO A POTENTIAL RAIN EVENT FOR THURSDAY-
FRIDAY. THE FORECAST MODELS CONTINUE TO DIFFER WITH THE HANDLING
OF THIS SYSTEM; THE GFS HAS A 985 LOW MOVING WELL TO OUR NORTH
WITH PERIODS OF RAIN LATER THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. THE ECMWF
MEANWHILE HAS A MUCH WEAKER AND FASTER- MOVING LOW THAT WILL TREK
OVER NORTHERN MAINE THURSDAY NIGHT, WITH ANOTHER STRONGER SYSTEM
FOR THE WEEKEND. IF THE STRONGER, WETTER SOLUTION COMES TRUE, IT
COULD VERY WELL MEAN ICE MOVEMENT ON AREA RIVERS, ESPECIALLY FOR
DOWNEAST AND CENTRAL MAINE.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: ALL OF THE TAF SITES HAVE RECOVERED TO AT LEAST LOW VFR
FROM MVFR CLGS EARLIER THIS AFTN. VFR SHOULD CONT THRU ALL OF THE
EVE...THEN MODELS...INCLUDING THE SREF CONDITIONAL CLG CATEGORY
GUIDANCE SUGGESTS CLGS LOWERING TO MVFR ALL TAF SITES LATE TNGT
OR ERLY SAT MORN AS AN UPPER LVL TROF APCHS FROM THE W. CANNOT
RULE OUT BRIEF MVFR VSBYS IN ISOLD TO SCT SN SHWR AS WELL SAT...
SPCLY OVR DOWNEAST SITES. OTHERWISE...CLGS SHOULD LIFT BACK TO AT
LEAST LOW VFR SAT AFTN INITIALLY ACROSS THE N...THEN DOWNEAST
LATE...FOLLOWED BY UNLMTD VFR FROM NW TO SE ACROSS THE TAF SITES
SAT NGT.

SHORT TERM: VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT,
WITH CEILINGS LOWERING TO AROUND MVFR EARLY MONDAY MORNING AT THE
NORTHERN TERMINALS. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY
ALONG WITH PREVAILING MVFR CONDITIONS. THINGS WILL IMPROVE
SOMEWHAT MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY, THOUGH MVFR CEILINGS WILL STILL
BE POSSIBLE AT THE NORTHERN SITES AS NORTHWEST FLOW KEEPS THE
THREAT OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS AROUND.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WW3 GUIDANCE INDICATES A SE SWELL CONTG MSLY OVR OUR
OUTER WATERS THRU TNGT...JUSTIFYING THE CONTINUATION OF THE SCA
FOR HAZ SEAS OVR THIS REGION. AFTWRDS...A GENERIC SCA WILL NEED TO
BE ISSUED FOR ALL OF OUT WATERS FROM ERLY SAT MORN...LIKELY INTO
THE PRE-DAWN HRS SUN MORN DUE TO WINDS INCREASING BEHIND THE SFC
LOW MOVG E INTO THE OPEN ATLC FROM THE MID ATLC STATES. THERE ALSO
MAY BE ENOUGH COLD LLVL ADVCN BY LATE SAT NGT AND ERLY SUN MORN
FOR A BRIEF PD OF LGT FZGSPY.

SHORT TERM: SMALL CRAFT HEADLINES WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED FOR
MONDAY AS SOUTH WINDS INCREASE AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. IT MAY NEED
TO BE EXTENDED THROUGH TUESDAY BEHIND THE FRONT, THOUGH WINDS LOOK
TO BE MORE MARGINAL AT THIS TIME.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 5 AM EDT
     SATURDAY FOR ANZ050-051.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...HEWITT





000
FXUS61 KCAR 272134
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
534 PM EDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO SLOWLY BUILD IN FROM THE
NORTHWEST OVERNIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY WHILE LOW PRESSURE FROM THE
MID ATLANTIC STATES TRACKS WELL SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE. THE
HIGH WILL CROSS THE REGION ON SUNDAY. ANOTHER LOW FROM CENTRAL
CANADA WILL TRACK TOWARD NORTH OF THE REGION ON MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
520 PM UPDATE: ADJUSTED THE PRECIP CHANCES TO MATCH THE LATEST
RADAR IMAGERY SHOWING SOME LIGHT RETURNS ACROSS THE MT. KATAHDIN
REGION.THE 18Z RUN OF THE NAM12 AND HRRR 3KM MODEL SHOWED SOME
LIGHT PRECIP POSSIBLE IN THIS AREA(0.01") W/SOME LLVL CONVERGENCE
AND 0-3KM LAPSE RATES OF 6.0C/KM. HRLY TEMPERATURES WERE ADJUSTED
TO MATCH UP THE CURRENT CONDITIONS SHOWING WARMER CONDITIONS THAN
PREVIOUSLY FORECAST.

OTHERWISE...A MDTLY STRONG UPPER TROF OVR THE ERN GREAT LKS AND
OH/TN RVR VLYS WILL BE MOVG SLOWLY EWRD THRU THE NEAR TERM. SOME
OF THE UPPER LVL DYNAMICS FROM THIS UPPER TROF WILL RESULT IN WEAK
SFC CYCLOGENESIS OFF THE MID ATLC STATES COAST LATE TNGT INTO SAT.
ONE OF THE IMPACTS OF THIS WILL BE THE DEVELOPMENT OF SCT SN SHWRS
LATER TNGT MSLY OVR WRN PTNS OF THE FA...PARTICULARLY OVR THE
CNTRL ME HIGHLANDS.

AS THE SFC LOW BECOMES BETTER ORGANIZED S OF THE GULF OF ME ON
SAT...SN SHWRS WILL TRANSLATE SE OVR DOWNEAST PTNS OF THE FA BY
SAT AFTN...WITH PERHAPS EVEN STEADY LGT SNFL BRUSHING THE
COAST...ALTHOUGH IT LOOKS LIKE THE BEST DYNAMICS WILL MOVE EAST...
SOUTH OF OUR COASTAL WATERS. SO WITH CHC OR LESS POPS OVR THE SRN
PTN OF THE FA...WE GO WITH SN SHWR CVRG WORDING. MOST LCTNS
RECEIVING ANY SN OVR W CNTRL AND SRN PTNS OF THE FA FROM LATE
TNGT THRU SAT WILL RECEIVE A DUSTING TO PERHAPS A HALF INCH...WITH
LCLY ARND AN INCH POSSIBLE OVR THE CNTRL ME HIGHLANDS AND IMMEDIATE
DOWNEAST COAST/OUTER ISLANDS...BEFORE SN SHWRS MOVE SE OF THE
REGION SAT EVE. A STEADY CLRG TREND SHOULD THEN PROGRESS NW TO SE
THRU THE REGION SAT NGT.

WITH MSLY TO FULLY CLDY SKIES AND A LGT N BREEZE TNGT...TEMPS WILL
COOL AS MODIFIED ARCTIC AIR CONTS TO FILTER SE INTO THE FA...BUT
WITH LITTLE POTENTIAL OF SIG COLDER VLY OVRNGT LOWS WITH LITTLE IN
THE WAY OF SFC INVSN FORMATION POTENTIAL. HIGH TEMPS SAT WILL BE
ABOUT 5 TO 10 DEG F COLDER THAN TDY. THE APCH OF THE SFC RIDGE
AXIS TO THE WRN ME/ERN QB BORDER BY ERLY SUN MORN MAY ALLOW FOR
SOME WEAK SFC INVSN FORMATION AND DECOUPLING OF SFC WINDS FROM
WINDS ALF BY DAWN SUNDAY MORN FOR COLDER LOW TEMPS ACROSS NRN AND
SPCLY WRN BROAD RVR VLY LCTNS...OTHERWISE A STEADY NW BREEZE WILL
LIMIT LOW TEMPS FROM FALLING MUCH MORE THAN 20 DEG F FROM HI TEMPS
ON SAT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION ON SUNDAY, RESULTING
IN PLENTY OF SUNSHINE AND HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. THE RIDGE
WILL MOVE EAST SUNDAY NIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE CROSSES CENTRAL
ONTARIO INTO QUEBEC. THIS WILL PLACE THE FORECAST AREA UNDER
SOUTHWEST FLOW, WHICH WILL ALLOW MILDER AIR TO LIFT NORTHWARD. THE
LOW WILL MOVE BY TO OUR NORTH ON MONDAY, BRINGING SHOWERS TO THE
REGION. ALTHOUGH THICKNESSES INDICATE THAT PRECIPITATION WILL FALL
MAINLY AS SNOW, TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 30S TO AROUND 40 MEAN THAT
AT LEAST A MIX OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE JUST ABOUT EVERYWHERE, WITH
DOWNEAST AREAS LIKELY CHANGING OVER TO ALL RAIN DURING THE
AFTERNOON. AS SUCH, LITTLE TO NO SNOW ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT/EARLY TUESDAY,
BRINGING THE PRECIPITATION TO AN END, ALTHOUGH SOME WRAP-AROUND
SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN NORTHERN AREAS TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL THEN BUILD SOUTH FROM CANADA. A CLIPPER SYSTEM WILL CROSS THE
GREAT LAKES TUESDAY AND MOVE INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND TUESDAY
NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY, BUT THE HIGH WILL KEEP IT SOUTH OF OUR AREA.
WE THEN TURN OUR ATTENTION TO A POTENTIAL RAIN EVENT FOR THURSDAY-
FRIDAY. THE FORECAST MODELS CONTINUE TO DIFFER WITH THE HANDLING
OF THIS SYSTEM; THE GFS HAS A 985 LOW MOVING WELL TO OUR NORTH
WITH PERIODS OF RAIN LATER THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. THE ECMWF
MEANWHILE HAS A MUCH WEAKER AND FASTER- MOVING LOW THAT WILL TREK
OVER NORTHERN MAINE THURSDAY NIGHT, WITH ANOTHER STRONGER SYSTEM
FOR THE WEEKEND. IF THE STRONGER, WETTER SOLUTION COMES TRUE, IT
COULD VERY WELL MEAN ICE MOVEMENT ON AREA RIVERS, ESPECIALLY FOR
DOWNEAST AND CENTRAL MAINE.

&&

.AVIATION /21Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: ALL OF THE TAF SITES HAVE RECOVERED TO AT LEAST LOW VFR
FROM MVFR CLGS EARLIER THIS AFTN. VFR SHOULD CONT THRU ALL OF THE
EVE...THEN MODELS...INCLUDING THE SREF CONDITIONAL CLG CATEGORY
GUIDANCE SUGGESTS CLGS LOWERING TO MVFR ALL TAF SITES LATE TNGT
OR ERLY SAT MORN AS AN UPPER LVL TROF APCHS FROM THE W. CANNOT
RULE OUT BRIEF MVFR VSBYS IN ISOLD TO SCT SN SHWR AS WELL SAT...
SPCLY OVR DOWNEAST SITES. OTHERWISE...CLGS SHOULD LIFT BACK TO AT
LEAST LOW VFR SAT AFTN INITIALLY ACROSS THE N...THEN DOWNEAST
LATE...FOLLOWED BY UNLMTD VFR FROM NW TO SE ACROSS THE TAF SITES
SAT NGT.

SHORT TERM: VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT,
WITH CEILINGS LOWERING TO AROUND MVFR EARLY MONDAY MORNING AT THE
NORTHERN TERMINALS. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY
ALONG WITH PREVAILING MVFR CONDITIONS. THINGS WILL IMPROVE
SOMEWHAT MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY, THOUGH MVFR CEILINGS WILL STILL
BE POSSIBLE AT THE NORTHERN SITES AS NORTHWEST FLOW KEEPS THE
THREAT OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS AROUND.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WW3 GUIDANCE INDICATES A SE SWELL CONTG MSLY OVR OUR
OUTER WATERS THRU TNGT...JUSTIFYING THE CONTINUATION OF THE SCA
FOR HAZ SEAS OVR THIS REGION. AFTWRDS...A GENERIC SCA WILL NEED TO
BE ISSUED FOR ALL OF OUT WATERS FROM ERLY SAT MORN...LIKELY INTO
THE PRE-DAWN HRS SUN MORN DUE TO WINDS INCREASING BEHIND THE SFC
LOW MOVG E INTO THE OPEN ATLC FROM THE MID ATLC STATES. THERE ALSO
MAY BE ENOUGH COLD LLVL ADVCN BY LATE SAT NGT AND ERLY SUN MORN
FOR A BRIEF PD OF LGT FZGSPY.

SHORT TERM: SMALL CRAFT HEADLINES WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED FOR
MONDAY AS SOUTH WINDS INCREASE AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. IT MAY NEED
TO BE EXTENDED THROUGH TUESDAY BEHIND THE FRONT, THOUGH WINDS LOOK
TO BE MORE MARGINAL AT THIS TIME.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 5 AM EDT
     SATURDAY FOR ANZ050-051.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...HEWITT/VJN
SHORT TERM...HASTINGS
LONG TERM...HASTINGS
AVIATION...HEWITT/VJN/HASTINGS
MARINE...HEWITT/VJN/HASTINGS




000
FXUS61 KCAR 272134
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
534 PM EDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO SLOWLY BUILD IN FROM THE
NORTHWEST OVERNIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY WHILE LOW PRESSURE FROM THE
MID ATLANTIC STATES TRACKS WELL SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE. THE
HIGH WILL CROSS THE REGION ON SUNDAY. ANOTHER LOW FROM CENTRAL
CANADA WILL TRACK TOWARD NORTH OF THE REGION ON MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
520 PM UPDATE: ADJUSTED THE PRECIP CHANCES TO MATCH THE LATEST
RADAR IMAGERY SHOWING SOME LIGHT RETURNS ACROSS THE MT. KATAHDIN
REGION.THE 18Z RUN OF THE NAM12 AND HRRR 3KM MODEL SHOWED SOME
LIGHT PRECIP POSSIBLE IN THIS AREA(0.01") W/SOME LLVL CONVERGENCE
AND 0-3KM LAPSE RATES OF 6.0C/KM. HRLY TEMPERATURES WERE ADJUSTED
TO MATCH UP THE CURRENT CONDITIONS SHOWING WARMER CONDITIONS THAN
PREVIOUSLY FORECAST.

OTHERWISE...A MDTLY STRONG UPPER TROF OVR THE ERN GREAT LKS AND
OH/TN RVR VLYS WILL BE MOVG SLOWLY EWRD THRU THE NEAR TERM. SOME
OF THE UPPER LVL DYNAMICS FROM THIS UPPER TROF WILL RESULT IN WEAK
SFC CYCLOGENESIS OFF THE MID ATLC STATES COAST LATE TNGT INTO SAT.
ONE OF THE IMPACTS OF THIS WILL BE THE DEVELOPMENT OF SCT SN SHWRS
LATER TNGT MSLY OVR WRN PTNS OF THE FA...PARTICULARLY OVR THE
CNTRL ME HIGHLANDS.

AS THE SFC LOW BECOMES BETTER ORGANIZED S OF THE GULF OF ME ON
SAT...SN SHWRS WILL TRANSLATE SE OVR DOWNEAST PTNS OF THE FA BY
SAT AFTN...WITH PERHAPS EVEN STEADY LGT SNFL BRUSHING THE
COAST...ALTHOUGH IT LOOKS LIKE THE BEST DYNAMICS WILL MOVE EAST...
SOUTH OF OUR COASTAL WATERS. SO WITH CHC OR LESS POPS OVR THE SRN
PTN OF THE FA...WE GO WITH SN SHWR CVRG WORDING. MOST LCTNS
RECEIVING ANY SN OVR W CNTRL AND SRN PTNS OF THE FA FROM LATE
TNGT THRU SAT WILL RECEIVE A DUSTING TO PERHAPS A HALF INCH...WITH
LCLY ARND AN INCH POSSIBLE OVR THE CNTRL ME HIGHLANDS AND IMMEDIATE
DOWNEAST COAST/OUTER ISLANDS...BEFORE SN SHWRS MOVE SE OF THE
REGION SAT EVE. A STEADY CLRG TREND SHOULD THEN PROGRESS NW TO SE
THRU THE REGION SAT NGT.

WITH MSLY TO FULLY CLDY SKIES AND A LGT N BREEZE TNGT...TEMPS WILL
COOL AS MODIFIED ARCTIC AIR CONTS TO FILTER SE INTO THE FA...BUT
WITH LITTLE POTENTIAL OF SIG COLDER VLY OVRNGT LOWS WITH LITTLE IN
THE WAY OF SFC INVSN FORMATION POTENTIAL. HIGH TEMPS SAT WILL BE
ABOUT 5 TO 10 DEG F COLDER THAN TDY. THE APCH OF THE SFC RIDGE
AXIS TO THE WRN ME/ERN QB BORDER BY ERLY SUN MORN MAY ALLOW FOR
SOME WEAK SFC INVSN FORMATION AND DECOUPLING OF SFC WINDS FROM
WINDS ALF BY DAWN SUNDAY MORN FOR COLDER LOW TEMPS ACROSS NRN AND
SPCLY WRN BROAD RVR VLY LCTNS...OTHERWISE A STEADY NW BREEZE WILL
LIMIT LOW TEMPS FROM FALLING MUCH MORE THAN 20 DEG F FROM HI TEMPS
ON SAT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION ON SUNDAY, RESULTING
IN PLENTY OF SUNSHINE AND HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. THE RIDGE
WILL MOVE EAST SUNDAY NIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE CROSSES CENTRAL
ONTARIO INTO QUEBEC. THIS WILL PLACE THE FORECAST AREA UNDER
SOUTHWEST FLOW, WHICH WILL ALLOW MILDER AIR TO LIFT NORTHWARD. THE
LOW WILL MOVE BY TO OUR NORTH ON MONDAY, BRINGING SHOWERS TO THE
REGION. ALTHOUGH THICKNESSES INDICATE THAT PRECIPITATION WILL FALL
MAINLY AS SNOW, TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 30S TO AROUND 40 MEAN THAT
AT LEAST A MIX OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE JUST ABOUT EVERYWHERE, WITH
DOWNEAST AREAS LIKELY CHANGING OVER TO ALL RAIN DURING THE
AFTERNOON. AS SUCH, LITTLE TO NO SNOW ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT/EARLY TUESDAY,
BRINGING THE PRECIPITATION TO AN END, ALTHOUGH SOME WRAP-AROUND
SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN NORTHERN AREAS TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL THEN BUILD SOUTH FROM CANADA. A CLIPPER SYSTEM WILL CROSS THE
GREAT LAKES TUESDAY AND MOVE INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND TUESDAY
NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY, BUT THE HIGH WILL KEEP IT SOUTH OF OUR AREA.
WE THEN TURN OUR ATTENTION TO A POTENTIAL RAIN EVENT FOR THURSDAY-
FRIDAY. THE FORECAST MODELS CONTINUE TO DIFFER WITH THE HANDLING
OF THIS SYSTEM; THE GFS HAS A 985 LOW MOVING WELL TO OUR NORTH
WITH PERIODS OF RAIN LATER THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. THE ECMWF
MEANWHILE HAS A MUCH WEAKER AND FASTER- MOVING LOW THAT WILL TREK
OVER NORTHERN MAINE THURSDAY NIGHT, WITH ANOTHER STRONGER SYSTEM
FOR THE WEEKEND. IF THE STRONGER, WETTER SOLUTION COMES TRUE, IT
COULD VERY WELL MEAN ICE MOVEMENT ON AREA RIVERS, ESPECIALLY FOR
DOWNEAST AND CENTRAL MAINE.

&&

.AVIATION /21Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: ALL OF THE TAF SITES HAVE RECOVERED TO AT LEAST LOW VFR
FROM MVFR CLGS EARLIER THIS AFTN. VFR SHOULD CONT THRU ALL OF THE
EVE...THEN MODELS...INCLUDING THE SREF CONDITIONAL CLG CATEGORY
GUIDANCE SUGGESTS CLGS LOWERING TO MVFR ALL TAF SITES LATE TNGT
OR ERLY SAT MORN AS AN UPPER LVL TROF APCHS FROM THE W. CANNOT
RULE OUT BRIEF MVFR VSBYS IN ISOLD TO SCT SN SHWR AS WELL SAT...
SPCLY OVR DOWNEAST SITES. OTHERWISE...CLGS SHOULD LIFT BACK TO AT
LEAST LOW VFR SAT AFTN INITIALLY ACROSS THE N...THEN DOWNEAST
LATE...FOLLOWED BY UNLMTD VFR FROM NW TO SE ACROSS THE TAF SITES
SAT NGT.

SHORT TERM: VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT,
WITH CEILINGS LOWERING TO AROUND MVFR EARLY MONDAY MORNING AT THE
NORTHERN TERMINALS. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY
ALONG WITH PREVAILING MVFR CONDITIONS. THINGS WILL IMPROVE
SOMEWHAT MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY, THOUGH MVFR CEILINGS WILL STILL
BE POSSIBLE AT THE NORTHERN SITES AS NORTHWEST FLOW KEEPS THE
THREAT OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS AROUND.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WW3 GUIDANCE INDICATES A SE SWELL CONTG MSLY OVR OUR
OUTER WATERS THRU TNGT...JUSTIFYING THE CONTINUATION OF THE SCA
FOR HAZ SEAS OVR THIS REGION. AFTWRDS...A GENERIC SCA WILL NEED TO
BE ISSUED FOR ALL OF OUT WATERS FROM ERLY SAT MORN...LIKELY INTO
THE PRE-DAWN HRS SUN MORN DUE TO WINDS INCREASING BEHIND THE SFC
LOW MOVG E INTO THE OPEN ATLC FROM THE MID ATLC STATES. THERE ALSO
MAY BE ENOUGH COLD LLVL ADVCN BY LATE SAT NGT AND ERLY SUN MORN
FOR A BRIEF PD OF LGT FZGSPY.

SHORT TERM: SMALL CRAFT HEADLINES WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED FOR
MONDAY AS SOUTH WINDS INCREASE AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. IT MAY NEED
TO BE EXTENDED THROUGH TUESDAY BEHIND THE FRONT, THOUGH WINDS LOOK
TO BE MORE MARGINAL AT THIS TIME.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 5 AM EDT
     SATURDAY FOR ANZ050-051.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...HEWITT/VJN
SHORT TERM...HASTINGS
LONG TERM...HASTINGS
AVIATION...HEWITT/VJN/HASTINGS
MARINE...HEWITT/VJN/HASTINGS





000
FXUS61 KCAR 272009
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
409 PM EDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO SLOWLY BUILD IN FROM THE
NORTHWEST OVERNIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY WHILE LOW PRESSURE FROM THE
MID ATLANTIC STATES TRACKS WELL SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE. THE
HIGH WILL CROSS THE REGION ON SUNDAY. ANOTHER LOW FROM CENTRAL
CANADA WILL TRACK TOWARD NORTH OF THE REGION ON MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
LATEST SAT IMAGERY SHOWS CLD CVR BREAKING OVR THE N THIRD OF THE
FA AS OF MID AFTN...ELSEWHERE CLD CVR HAS REMAINED BKN-OVC. CLD
CVR WILL BE MOST UNCERTAIN OVR THE NE THIRD OF THE FA OVRNGT...WHICH
WILL BE ON THE EDGE OF ANY DYNAMICS FROM A UPPER TROF W OF THE
REGION.

OTHERWISE...A MDTLY STRONG UPPER TROF OVR THE ERN GREAT LKS AND
OH/TN RVR VLYS WILL BE MOVG SLOWLY EWRD THRU THE NEAR TERM. SOME
OF THE UPPER LVL DYNAMICS FROM THIS UPPER TROF WILL RESULT IN WEAK
SFC CYCLOGENESIS OFF THE MID ATLC STATES COAST LATE TNGT INTO
SAT. ONE OF THE IMPACTS OF THIS WILL BE THE DEVELOPMENT OF SCT SN
SHWRS LATER TNGT MSLY OVR WRN PTNS OF THE FA...PARTICULARLY OVR
THE CNTRL ME HIGHLANDS.

AS THE SFC LOW BECOMES BETTER ORGANIZED S OF THE GULF OF ME ON
SAT...SN SHWRS WILL TRANSLATE SE OVR DOWNEAST PTNS OF THE FA BY
SAT AFTN...WITH PERHAPS EVEN STEADY LGT SNFL BRUSHING THE
COAST...ALTHOUGH IT LOOKS LIKE THE BEST DYNAMICS WILL MOVE EAST...
SOUTH OF OUR COASTAL WATERS. SO WITH CHC OR LESS POPS OVR THE SRN
PTN OF THE FA...WE GO WITH SN SHWR CVRG WORDING. MOST LCTNS
RECEIVING ANY SN OVR W CNTRL AND SRN PTNS OF THE FA FROM LATE
TNGT THRU SAT WILL RECEIVE A DUSTING TO PERHAPS A HALF INCH...WITH
LCLY ARND AN INCH POSSIBLE OVR THE CNTRL ME HIGHLANDS AND IMMEDIATE
DOWNEAST COAST/OUTER ISLANDS...BEFORE SN SHWRS MOVE SE OF THE
REGION SAT EVE. A STEADY CLRG TREND SHOULD THEN PROGRESS NW TO SE
THRU THE REGION SAT NGT.

WITH MSLY TO FULLY CLDY SKIES AND A LGT N BREEZE TNGT...TEMPS WILL
COOL AS MODIFIED ARCTIC AIR CONTS TO FILTER SE INTO THE FA...BUT
WITH LITTLE POTENTIAL OF SIG COLDER VLY OVRNGT LOWS WITH LITTLE IN
THE WAY OF SFC INVSN FORMATION POTENTIAL. HIGH TEMPS SAT WILL BE
ABOUT 5 TO 10 DEG F COLDER THAN TDY. THE APCH OF THE SFC RIDGE
AXIS TO THE WRN ME/ERN QB BORDER BY ERLY SUN MORN MAY ALLOW FOR
SOME WEAK SFC INVSN FORMATION AND DECOUPLING OF SFC WINDS FROM
WINDS ALF BY DAWN SUNDAY MORN FOR COLDER LOW TEMPS ACROSS NRN AND
SPCLY WRN BROAD RVR VLY LCTNS...OTHERWISE A STEADY NW BREEZE WILL
LIMIT LOW TEMPS FROM FALLING MUCH MORE THAN 20 DEG F FROM HI TEMPS
ON SAT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION ON SUNDAY, RESULTING
IN PLENTY OF SUNSHINE AND HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. THE RIDGE
WILL MOVE EAST SUNDAY NIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE CROSSES CENTRAL
ONTARIO INTO QUEBEC. THIS WILL PLACE THE FORECAST AREA UNDER
SOUTHWEST FLOW, WHICH WILL ALLOW MILDER AIR TO LIFT NORTHWARD. THE
LOW WILL MOVE BY TO OUR NORTH ON MONDAY, BRINGING SHOWERS TO THE
REGION. ALTHOUGH THICKNESSES INDICATE THAT PRECIPITATION WILL FALL
MAINLY AS SNOW, TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 30S TO AROUND 40 MEAN THAT
AT LEAST A MIX OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE JUST ABOUT EVERYWHERE, WITH
DOWNEAST AREAS LIKELY CHANGING OVER TO ALL RAIN DURING THE
AFTERNOON. AS SUCH, LITTLE TO NO SNOW ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT/EARLY TUESDAY,
BRINGING THE PRECIPITATION TO AN END, ALTHOUGH SOME WRAP-AROUND
SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN NORTHERN AREAS TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL THEN BUILD SOUTH FROM CANADA. A CLIPPER SYSTEM WILL CROSS THE
GREAT LAKES TUESDAY AND MOVE INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND TUESDAY
NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY, BUT THE HIGH WILL KEEP IT SOUTH OF OUR AREA.
WE THEN TURN OUR ATTENTION TO A POTENTIAL RAIN EVENT FOR THURSDAY-
FRIDAY. THE FORECAST MODELS CONTINUE TO DIFFER WITH THE HANDLING
OF THIS SYSTEM; THE GFS HAS A 985 LOW MOVING WELL TO OUR NORTH
WITH PERIODS OF RAIN LATER THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. THE ECMWF
MEANWHILE HAS A MUCH WEAKER AND FASTER- MOVING LOW THAT WILL TREK
OVER NORTHERN MAINE THURSDAY NIGHT, WITH ANOTHER STRONGER SYSTEM
FOR THE WEEKEND. IF THE STRONGER, WETTER SOLUTION COMES TRUE, IT
COULD VERY WELL MEAN ICE MOVEMENT ON AREA RIVERS, ESPECIALLY FOR
DOWNEAST AND CENTRAL MAINE.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: ALL OF THE TAF SITES HAVE RECOVERED TO AT LEAST LOW VFR
FROM MVFR CLGS EARLIER THIS AFTN. VFR SHOULD CONT THRU ALL OF THE
EVE...THEN MODELS...INCLUDING THE SREF CONDITIONAL CLG CATEGORY
GUIDANCE SUGGESTS CLGS LOWERING TO MVFR ALL TAF SITES LATE TNGT
OR ERLY SAT MORN AS AN UPPER LVL TROF APCHS FROM THE W. CANNOT
RULE OUT BRIEF MVFR VSBYS IN ISOLD TO SCT SN SHWR AS WELL SAT...
SPCLY OVR DOWNEAST SITES. OTHERWISE...CLGS SHOULD LIFT BACK TO AT
LEAST LOW VFR SAT AFTN INITIALLY ACROSS THE N...THEN DOWNEAST
LATE...FOLLOWED BY UNLMTD VFR FROM NW TO SE ACROSS THE TAF SITES
SAT NGT.

SHORT TERM: VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT,
WITH CEILINGS LOWERING TO AROUND MVFR EARLY MONDAY MORNING AT THE
NORTHERN TERMINALS. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY
ALONG WITH PREVAILING MVFR CONDITIONS. THINGS WILL IMPROVE
SOMEWHAT MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY, THOUGH MVFR CEILINGS WILL STILL
BE POSSIBLE AT THE NORTHERN SITES AS NORTHWEST FLOW KEEPS THE
THREAT OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS AROUND.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WW3 GUIDANCE INDICATES A SE SWELL CONTG MSLY OVR OUR
OUTER WATERS THRU TNGT...JUSTIFYING THE CONTINUATION OF THE SCA
FOR HAZ SEAS OVR THIS REGION. AFTWRDS...A GENERIC SCA WILL NEED TO
BE ISSUED FOR ALL OF OUT WATERS FROM ERLY SAT MORN...LIKELY INTO
THE PRE-DAWN HRS SUN MORN DUE TO WINDS INCREASING BEHIND THE SFC
LOW MOVG E INTO THE OPEN ATLC FROM THE MID ATLC STATES. THERE ALSO
MAY BE ENOUGH COLD LLVL ADVCN BY LATE SAT NGT AND ERLY SUN MORN
FOR A BRIEF PD OF LGT FZGSPY.

SHORT TERM: SMALL CRAFT HEADLINES WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED FOR
MONDAY AS SOUTH WINDS INCREASE AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. IT MAY NEED
TO BE EXTENDED THROUGH TUESDAY BEHIND THE FRONT, THOUGH WINDS LOOK
TO BE MORE MARGINAL AT THIS TIME.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 5 AM EDT
     SATURDAY FOR ANZ050-051.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...VJN
SHORT TERM...HASTINGS
LONG TERM...HASTINGS
AVIATION...VJN/HASTINGS
MARINE...VJN/HASTINGS





000
FXUS61 KCAR 272009
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
409 PM EDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO SLOWLY BUILD IN FROM THE
NORTHWEST OVERNIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY WHILE LOW PRESSURE FROM THE
MID ATLANTIC STATES TRACKS WELL SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE. THE
HIGH WILL CROSS THE REGION ON SUNDAY. ANOTHER LOW FROM CENTRAL
CANADA WILL TRACK TOWARD NORTH OF THE REGION ON MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
LATEST SAT IMAGERY SHOWS CLD CVR BREAKING OVR THE N THIRD OF THE
FA AS OF MID AFTN...ELSEWHERE CLD CVR HAS REMAINED BKN-OVC. CLD
CVR WILL BE MOST UNCERTAIN OVR THE NE THIRD OF THE FA OVRNGT...WHICH
WILL BE ON THE EDGE OF ANY DYNAMICS FROM A UPPER TROF W OF THE
REGION.

OTHERWISE...A MDTLY STRONG UPPER TROF OVR THE ERN GREAT LKS AND
OH/TN RVR VLYS WILL BE MOVG SLOWLY EWRD THRU THE NEAR TERM. SOME
OF THE UPPER LVL DYNAMICS FROM THIS UPPER TROF WILL RESULT IN WEAK
SFC CYCLOGENESIS OFF THE MID ATLC STATES COAST LATE TNGT INTO
SAT. ONE OF THE IMPACTS OF THIS WILL BE THE DEVELOPMENT OF SCT SN
SHWRS LATER TNGT MSLY OVR WRN PTNS OF THE FA...PARTICULARLY OVR
THE CNTRL ME HIGHLANDS.

AS THE SFC LOW BECOMES BETTER ORGANIZED S OF THE GULF OF ME ON
SAT...SN SHWRS WILL TRANSLATE SE OVR DOWNEAST PTNS OF THE FA BY
SAT AFTN...WITH PERHAPS EVEN STEADY LGT SNFL BRUSHING THE
COAST...ALTHOUGH IT LOOKS LIKE THE BEST DYNAMICS WILL MOVE EAST...
SOUTH OF OUR COASTAL WATERS. SO WITH CHC OR LESS POPS OVR THE SRN
PTN OF THE FA...WE GO WITH SN SHWR CVRG WORDING. MOST LCTNS
RECEIVING ANY SN OVR W CNTRL AND SRN PTNS OF THE FA FROM LATE
TNGT THRU SAT WILL RECEIVE A DUSTING TO PERHAPS A HALF INCH...WITH
LCLY ARND AN INCH POSSIBLE OVR THE CNTRL ME HIGHLANDS AND IMMEDIATE
DOWNEAST COAST/OUTER ISLANDS...BEFORE SN SHWRS MOVE SE OF THE
REGION SAT EVE. A STEADY CLRG TREND SHOULD THEN PROGRESS NW TO SE
THRU THE REGION SAT NGT.

WITH MSLY TO FULLY CLDY SKIES AND A LGT N BREEZE TNGT...TEMPS WILL
COOL AS MODIFIED ARCTIC AIR CONTS TO FILTER SE INTO THE FA...BUT
WITH LITTLE POTENTIAL OF SIG COLDER VLY OVRNGT LOWS WITH LITTLE IN
THE WAY OF SFC INVSN FORMATION POTENTIAL. HIGH TEMPS SAT WILL BE
ABOUT 5 TO 10 DEG F COLDER THAN TDY. THE APCH OF THE SFC RIDGE
AXIS TO THE WRN ME/ERN QB BORDER BY ERLY SUN MORN MAY ALLOW FOR
SOME WEAK SFC INVSN FORMATION AND DECOUPLING OF SFC WINDS FROM
WINDS ALF BY DAWN SUNDAY MORN FOR COLDER LOW TEMPS ACROSS NRN AND
SPCLY WRN BROAD RVR VLY LCTNS...OTHERWISE A STEADY NW BREEZE WILL
LIMIT LOW TEMPS FROM FALLING MUCH MORE THAN 20 DEG F FROM HI TEMPS
ON SAT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION ON SUNDAY, RESULTING
IN PLENTY OF SUNSHINE AND HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. THE RIDGE
WILL MOVE EAST SUNDAY NIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE CROSSES CENTRAL
ONTARIO INTO QUEBEC. THIS WILL PLACE THE FORECAST AREA UNDER
SOUTHWEST FLOW, WHICH WILL ALLOW MILDER AIR TO LIFT NORTHWARD. THE
LOW WILL MOVE BY TO OUR NORTH ON MONDAY, BRINGING SHOWERS TO THE
REGION. ALTHOUGH THICKNESSES INDICATE THAT PRECIPITATION WILL FALL
MAINLY AS SNOW, TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 30S TO AROUND 40 MEAN THAT
AT LEAST A MIX OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE JUST ABOUT EVERYWHERE, WITH
DOWNEAST AREAS LIKELY CHANGING OVER TO ALL RAIN DURING THE
AFTERNOON. AS SUCH, LITTLE TO NO SNOW ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT/EARLY TUESDAY,
BRINGING THE PRECIPITATION TO AN END, ALTHOUGH SOME WRAP-AROUND
SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN NORTHERN AREAS TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL THEN BUILD SOUTH FROM CANADA. A CLIPPER SYSTEM WILL CROSS THE
GREAT LAKES TUESDAY AND MOVE INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND TUESDAY
NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY, BUT THE HIGH WILL KEEP IT SOUTH OF OUR AREA.
WE THEN TURN OUR ATTENTION TO A POTENTIAL RAIN EVENT FOR THURSDAY-
FRIDAY. THE FORECAST MODELS CONTINUE TO DIFFER WITH THE HANDLING
OF THIS SYSTEM; THE GFS HAS A 985 LOW MOVING WELL TO OUR NORTH
WITH PERIODS OF RAIN LATER THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. THE ECMWF
MEANWHILE HAS A MUCH WEAKER AND FASTER- MOVING LOW THAT WILL TREK
OVER NORTHERN MAINE THURSDAY NIGHT, WITH ANOTHER STRONGER SYSTEM
FOR THE WEEKEND. IF THE STRONGER, WETTER SOLUTION COMES TRUE, IT
COULD VERY WELL MEAN ICE MOVEMENT ON AREA RIVERS, ESPECIALLY FOR
DOWNEAST AND CENTRAL MAINE.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: ALL OF THE TAF SITES HAVE RECOVERED TO AT LEAST LOW VFR
FROM MVFR CLGS EARLIER THIS AFTN. VFR SHOULD CONT THRU ALL OF THE
EVE...THEN MODELS...INCLUDING THE SREF CONDITIONAL CLG CATEGORY
GUIDANCE SUGGESTS CLGS LOWERING TO MVFR ALL TAF SITES LATE TNGT
OR ERLY SAT MORN AS AN UPPER LVL TROF APCHS FROM THE W. CANNOT
RULE OUT BRIEF MVFR VSBYS IN ISOLD TO SCT SN SHWR AS WELL SAT...
SPCLY OVR DOWNEAST SITES. OTHERWISE...CLGS SHOULD LIFT BACK TO AT
LEAST LOW VFR SAT AFTN INITIALLY ACROSS THE N...THEN DOWNEAST
LATE...FOLLOWED BY UNLMTD VFR FROM NW TO SE ACROSS THE TAF SITES
SAT NGT.

SHORT TERM: VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT,
WITH CEILINGS LOWERING TO AROUND MVFR EARLY MONDAY MORNING AT THE
NORTHERN TERMINALS. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY
ALONG WITH PREVAILING MVFR CONDITIONS. THINGS WILL IMPROVE
SOMEWHAT MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY, THOUGH MVFR CEILINGS WILL STILL
BE POSSIBLE AT THE NORTHERN SITES AS NORTHWEST FLOW KEEPS THE
THREAT OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS AROUND.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WW3 GUIDANCE INDICATES A SE SWELL CONTG MSLY OVR OUR
OUTER WATERS THRU TNGT...JUSTIFYING THE CONTINUATION OF THE SCA
FOR HAZ SEAS OVR THIS REGION. AFTWRDS...A GENERIC SCA WILL NEED TO
BE ISSUED FOR ALL OF OUT WATERS FROM ERLY SAT MORN...LIKELY INTO
THE PRE-DAWN HRS SUN MORN DUE TO WINDS INCREASING BEHIND THE SFC
LOW MOVG E INTO THE OPEN ATLC FROM THE MID ATLC STATES. THERE ALSO
MAY BE ENOUGH COLD LLVL ADVCN BY LATE SAT NGT AND ERLY SUN MORN
FOR A BRIEF PD OF LGT FZGSPY.

SHORT TERM: SMALL CRAFT HEADLINES WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED FOR
MONDAY AS SOUTH WINDS INCREASE AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. IT MAY NEED
TO BE EXTENDED THROUGH TUESDAY BEHIND THE FRONT, THOUGH WINDS LOOK
TO BE MORE MARGINAL AT THIS TIME.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 5 AM EDT
     SATURDAY FOR ANZ050-051.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...VJN
SHORT TERM...HASTINGS
LONG TERM...HASTINGS
AVIATION...VJN/HASTINGS
MARINE...VJN/HASTINGS




000
FXUS61 KCAR 271645
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1245 PM EDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD IN FROM THE WEST TODAY AND
TONIGHT. LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK WELL SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE ON
SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD ONTO THE EAST COAST
ON SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
1230 PM UPDATE: MOST OF THE FLURRIES HAVE MOVED E OUT OF NE ME AS
OF THE TM OF THIS DISC...WITH SHWRS OVR DOWNEAST PTNS OF THE
REGION ALSO MOVG E INTO NB PROV. MOST OF THE FA SHOULD REMAIN
PRECIP FREE...WITH PERHAPS THE THE CNTRL HIGHLANDS SEEING NEW SHWR
ACTIVITY BEGINNING LATE IN THE AFTN AS WHATS LEFT OF ARCTIC FRONT
AND UPPER LVL TROF BEGINS TO APCH. OTHERWISE...MINOR ADJUSTMENTS
WERE MADE TO FCST HRLY TEMPS AND HI TEMPS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
AFTN BASED ON BIAS TRENDS SEEN FROM NOON OBS FROM HE PRIOR HRLY
FCST AT NOON.

ORGNL DISC: WEAK LOW PRESSURE OVER THE GULF OF MAINE WILL MOVE TO
THE EAST TODAY AS STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST.
LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OVER THE ATLANTIC SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND
TONIGHT AND MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST. HAVE BLENDED THE NAM...GFS AND
ECMWF FOR POPS... QPF AND SKY CONDITIONS. WILL USE THE SUPER BLEND
FOR TEMPERATURE AND DEW POINT. COLDER AIR MASS TO THE WEST WILL
MOVE IN ALONG WITH THE UPPER TROUGH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
OUR FOCUS ON SATURDAY WILL BE ON A STORM SYSTEM TRACKING SOUTH OF
THE GULF OF MAINE. MOST OF THE GUIDANCE IS CARRYING THIS STORM
SYSTEM WELL SOUTH OF THE REGION. HOWEVER, AN INVERTED TROUGH
EXTENDING NORTHWEST FROM THE LOW MAY RESULT IN SOME NORLUN
CONVERGENCE ACROSS PARTS OF WESTERN DOWNEAST AREAS WHICH MAY BRING
A PERIOD OF SNOW EARLY SATURDAY. THE LOW WILL QUICKLY MOVE AWAY
SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BRINGS
CLEARING FROM NORTH TO SOUTH AND COLD CONDITIONS. SUNDAY WILL BE
MOSTLY SUNNY AND DRY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING SOUTH OF THE AREA
BRINGS A RETURN WEST WIND, BECOMING SOUTHWESTERLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. AFTER A CHILLY MORNING, THE BRIGHT SUNSHINE WILL BOOST
TEMPERATURES INTO THE MID 30S ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
LOW PRESSURE TRACKING INTO QUEBEC WILL BRING INCREASING SOUTH WINDS
AND INCREASING CLOUDINESS SUNDAY NIGHT. LATEST GUIDANCE IS TRACKING
THIS LOW WELL TO OUR NORTH. THICKNESSES INDICATE IT WILL BE JUST
COLD ENOUGH FOR SNOW ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA AS THIS LOW TRACKS
NORTH. HOWEVER, WITH A TRACK WELL TO OUR NORTH, ONLY SOME
OCCASIONAL LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED WITH AMOUNTS PROBABLY LESS THAN
AN INCH ACROSS THE AREA. COLD AIR SURGES IN BEHIND THE SYSTEM ON
TUESDAY. THE DAY WILL BE BRIGHT AND SUNNY WITH A GUSTY NORTHWEST
WIND AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN. COOL AND DRY CONDITIONS SHOULD
CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY. A WEAK LOW THEN APPROACHING LATE THURSDAY
INTO FRIDAY HAS A CHANCE FOR BRINGING A BIT OF SNOW TO THE REGION.

&&

.AVIATION /14Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: EXPECT IFR/MVFR CONDITIONS TODAY TO GRADUALLY IMPROVE
TO VFR CONDITIONS LATE TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: MVFR CONDITIONS ON SATURDAY SHOULD IMPROVE TO VFR
FROM NORTH TO SOUTH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. VFR CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY DROP TO IFR IN
LOWER CLOUDS SUNDAY NIGHT AND REMAIN IFR MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT
AS LOW PRESSURE TRACKS TO OUR NORTH. AN IMPROVEMENT TO VFR IS
LIKELY TUESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: FOR SUSTAINED WINDS WILL USE THE NAM12. FOR WAVES:
PRIMARY WAVE SYSTEM WILL BE SOUTHERLY LONG PERIOD WAVES GENERATED
TO THE SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE BUILDING TO 6-7 FEET/9-10
SECONDS. WILL KEEP CURRENT SCA TIMING.

SHORT TERM: AN SCA MAY BE NEEDED SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY EVENING
FOR THE OFFSHORE WATERS FOR WINDS GUSTING UP TO 25 KT. WINDS MAY
REACH SCA IN GUSTS AGAIN ON MONDAY. SEAS MAY ALSO BUILD OVER 7 FT
IN RESPONSE TO THE SOUTH WINDS ON MONDAY.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
     EVENING FOR ANZ050-051.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...VJN
SHORT TERM...BLOOMER
LONG TERM...BLOOMER
AVIATION...VJN/BLOOMER
MARINE...VJN/BLOOMER





000
FXUS61 KCAR 271645
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1245 PM EDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD IN FROM THE WEST TODAY AND
TONIGHT. LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK WELL SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE ON
SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD ONTO THE EAST COAST
ON SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
1230 PM UPDATE: MOST OF THE FLURRIES HAVE MOVED E OUT OF NE ME AS
OF THE TM OF THIS DISC...WITH SHWRS OVR DOWNEAST PTNS OF THE
REGION ALSO MOVG E INTO NB PROV. MOST OF THE FA SHOULD REMAIN
PRECIP FREE...WITH PERHAPS THE THE CNTRL HIGHLANDS SEEING NEW SHWR
ACTIVITY BEGINNING LATE IN THE AFTN AS WHATS LEFT OF ARCTIC FRONT
AND UPPER LVL TROF BEGINS TO APCH. OTHERWISE...MINOR ADJUSTMENTS
WERE MADE TO FCST HRLY TEMPS AND HI TEMPS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
AFTN BASED ON BIAS TRENDS SEEN FROM NOON OBS FROM HE PRIOR HRLY
FCST AT NOON.

ORGNL DISC: WEAK LOW PRESSURE OVER THE GULF OF MAINE WILL MOVE TO
THE EAST TODAY AS STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST.
LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OVER THE ATLANTIC SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND
TONIGHT AND MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST. HAVE BLENDED THE NAM...GFS AND
ECMWF FOR POPS... QPF AND SKY CONDITIONS. WILL USE THE SUPER BLEND
FOR TEMPERATURE AND DEW POINT. COLDER AIR MASS TO THE WEST WILL
MOVE IN ALONG WITH THE UPPER TROUGH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
OUR FOCUS ON SATURDAY WILL BE ON A STORM SYSTEM TRACKING SOUTH OF
THE GULF OF MAINE. MOST OF THE GUIDANCE IS CARRYING THIS STORM
SYSTEM WELL SOUTH OF THE REGION. HOWEVER, AN INVERTED TROUGH
EXTENDING NORTHWEST FROM THE LOW MAY RESULT IN SOME NORLUN
CONVERGENCE ACROSS PARTS OF WESTERN DOWNEAST AREAS WHICH MAY BRING
A PERIOD OF SNOW EARLY SATURDAY. THE LOW WILL QUICKLY MOVE AWAY
SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BRINGS
CLEARING FROM NORTH TO SOUTH AND COLD CONDITIONS. SUNDAY WILL BE
MOSTLY SUNNY AND DRY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING SOUTH OF THE AREA
BRINGS A RETURN WEST WIND, BECOMING SOUTHWESTERLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. AFTER A CHILLY MORNING, THE BRIGHT SUNSHINE WILL BOOST
TEMPERATURES INTO THE MID 30S ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
LOW PRESSURE TRACKING INTO QUEBEC WILL BRING INCREASING SOUTH WINDS
AND INCREASING CLOUDINESS SUNDAY NIGHT. LATEST GUIDANCE IS TRACKING
THIS LOW WELL TO OUR NORTH. THICKNESSES INDICATE IT WILL BE JUST
COLD ENOUGH FOR SNOW ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA AS THIS LOW TRACKS
NORTH. HOWEVER, WITH A TRACK WELL TO OUR NORTH, ONLY SOME
OCCASIONAL LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED WITH AMOUNTS PROBABLY LESS THAN
AN INCH ACROSS THE AREA. COLD AIR SURGES IN BEHIND THE SYSTEM ON
TUESDAY. THE DAY WILL BE BRIGHT AND SUNNY WITH A GUSTY NORTHWEST
WIND AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN. COOL AND DRY CONDITIONS SHOULD
CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY. A WEAK LOW THEN APPROACHING LATE THURSDAY
INTO FRIDAY HAS A CHANCE FOR BRINGING A BIT OF SNOW TO THE REGION.

&&

.AVIATION /14Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: EXPECT IFR/MVFR CONDITIONS TODAY TO GRADUALLY IMPROVE
TO VFR CONDITIONS LATE TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: MVFR CONDITIONS ON SATURDAY SHOULD IMPROVE TO VFR
FROM NORTH TO SOUTH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. VFR CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY DROP TO IFR IN
LOWER CLOUDS SUNDAY NIGHT AND REMAIN IFR MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT
AS LOW PRESSURE TRACKS TO OUR NORTH. AN IMPROVEMENT TO VFR IS
LIKELY TUESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: FOR SUSTAINED WINDS WILL USE THE NAM12. FOR WAVES:
PRIMARY WAVE SYSTEM WILL BE SOUTHERLY LONG PERIOD WAVES GENERATED
TO THE SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE BUILDING TO 6-7 FEET/9-10
SECONDS. WILL KEEP CURRENT SCA TIMING.

SHORT TERM: AN SCA MAY BE NEEDED SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY EVENING
FOR THE OFFSHORE WATERS FOR WINDS GUSTING UP TO 25 KT. WINDS MAY
REACH SCA IN GUSTS AGAIN ON MONDAY. SEAS MAY ALSO BUILD OVER 7 FT
IN RESPONSE TO THE SOUTH WINDS ON MONDAY.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
     EVENING FOR ANZ050-051.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...VJN
SHORT TERM...BLOOMER
LONG TERM...BLOOMER
AVIATION...VJN/BLOOMER
MARINE...VJN/BLOOMER





000
FXUS61 KCAR 271645
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1245 PM EDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD IN FROM THE WEST TODAY AND
TONIGHT. LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK WELL SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE ON
SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD ONTO THE EAST COAST
ON SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
1230 PM UPDATE: MOST OF THE FLURRIES HAVE MOVED E OUT OF NE ME AS
OF THE TM OF THIS DISC...WITH SHWRS OVR DOWNEAST PTNS OF THE
REGION ALSO MOVG E INTO NB PROV. MOST OF THE FA SHOULD REMAIN
PRECIP FREE...WITH PERHAPS THE THE CNTRL HIGHLANDS SEEING NEW SHWR
ACTIVITY BEGINNING LATE IN THE AFTN AS WHATS LEFT OF ARCTIC FRONT
AND UPPER LVL TROF BEGINS TO APCH. OTHERWISE...MINOR ADJUSTMENTS
WERE MADE TO FCST HRLY TEMPS AND HI TEMPS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
AFTN BASED ON BIAS TRENDS SEEN FROM NOON OBS FROM HE PRIOR HRLY
FCST AT NOON.

ORGNL DISC: WEAK LOW PRESSURE OVER THE GULF OF MAINE WILL MOVE TO
THE EAST TODAY AS STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST.
LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OVER THE ATLANTIC SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND
TONIGHT AND MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST. HAVE BLENDED THE NAM...GFS AND
ECMWF FOR POPS... QPF AND SKY CONDITIONS. WILL USE THE SUPER BLEND
FOR TEMPERATURE AND DEW POINT. COLDER AIR MASS TO THE WEST WILL
MOVE IN ALONG WITH THE UPPER TROUGH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
OUR FOCUS ON SATURDAY WILL BE ON A STORM SYSTEM TRACKING SOUTH OF
THE GULF OF MAINE. MOST OF THE GUIDANCE IS CARRYING THIS STORM
SYSTEM WELL SOUTH OF THE REGION. HOWEVER, AN INVERTED TROUGH
EXTENDING NORTHWEST FROM THE LOW MAY RESULT IN SOME NORLUN
CONVERGENCE ACROSS PARTS OF WESTERN DOWNEAST AREAS WHICH MAY BRING
A PERIOD OF SNOW EARLY SATURDAY. THE LOW WILL QUICKLY MOVE AWAY
SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BRINGS
CLEARING FROM NORTH TO SOUTH AND COLD CONDITIONS. SUNDAY WILL BE
MOSTLY SUNNY AND DRY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING SOUTH OF THE AREA
BRINGS A RETURN WEST WIND, BECOMING SOUTHWESTERLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. AFTER A CHILLY MORNING, THE BRIGHT SUNSHINE WILL BOOST
TEMPERATURES INTO THE MID 30S ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
LOW PRESSURE TRACKING INTO QUEBEC WILL BRING INCREASING SOUTH WINDS
AND INCREASING CLOUDINESS SUNDAY NIGHT. LATEST GUIDANCE IS TRACKING
THIS LOW WELL TO OUR NORTH. THICKNESSES INDICATE IT WILL BE JUST
COLD ENOUGH FOR SNOW ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA AS THIS LOW TRACKS
NORTH. HOWEVER, WITH A TRACK WELL TO OUR NORTH, ONLY SOME
OCCASIONAL LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED WITH AMOUNTS PROBABLY LESS THAN
AN INCH ACROSS THE AREA. COLD AIR SURGES IN BEHIND THE SYSTEM ON
TUESDAY. THE DAY WILL BE BRIGHT AND SUNNY WITH A GUSTY NORTHWEST
WIND AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN. COOL AND DRY CONDITIONS SHOULD
CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY. A WEAK LOW THEN APPROACHING LATE THURSDAY
INTO FRIDAY HAS A CHANCE FOR BRINGING A BIT OF SNOW TO THE REGION.

&&

.AVIATION /14Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: EXPECT IFR/MVFR CONDITIONS TODAY TO GRADUALLY IMPROVE
TO VFR CONDITIONS LATE TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: MVFR CONDITIONS ON SATURDAY SHOULD IMPROVE TO VFR
FROM NORTH TO SOUTH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. VFR CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY DROP TO IFR IN
LOWER CLOUDS SUNDAY NIGHT AND REMAIN IFR MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT
AS LOW PRESSURE TRACKS TO OUR NORTH. AN IMPROVEMENT TO VFR IS
LIKELY TUESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: FOR SUSTAINED WINDS WILL USE THE NAM12. FOR WAVES:
PRIMARY WAVE SYSTEM WILL BE SOUTHERLY LONG PERIOD WAVES GENERATED
TO THE SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE BUILDING TO 6-7 FEET/9-10
SECONDS. WILL KEEP CURRENT SCA TIMING.

SHORT TERM: AN SCA MAY BE NEEDED SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY EVENING
FOR THE OFFSHORE WATERS FOR WINDS GUSTING UP TO 25 KT. WINDS MAY
REACH SCA IN GUSTS AGAIN ON MONDAY. SEAS MAY ALSO BUILD OVER 7 FT
IN RESPONSE TO THE SOUTH WINDS ON MONDAY.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
     EVENING FOR ANZ050-051.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...VJN
SHORT TERM...BLOOMER
LONG TERM...BLOOMER
AVIATION...VJN/BLOOMER
MARINE...VJN/BLOOMER




000
FXUS61 KCAR 271645
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1245 PM EDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD IN FROM THE WEST TODAY AND
TONIGHT. LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK WELL SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE ON
SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD ONTO THE EAST COAST
ON SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
1230 PM UPDATE: MOST OF THE FLURRIES HAVE MOVED E OUT OF NE ME AS
OF THE TM OF THIS DISC...WITH SHWRS OVR DOWNEAST PTNS OF THE
REGION ALSO MOVG E INTO NB PROV. MOST OF THE FA SHOULD REMAIN
PRECIP FREE...WITH PERHAPS THE THE CNTRL HIGHLANDS SEEING NEW SHWR
ACTIVITY BEGINNING LATE IN THE AFTN AS WHATS LEFT OF ARCTIC FRONT
AND UPPER LVL TROF BEGINS TO APCH. OTHERWISE...MINOR ADJUSTMENTS
WERE MADE TO FCST HRLY TEMPS AND HI TEMPS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
AFTN BASED ON BIAS TRENDS SEEN FROM NOON OBS FROM HE PRIOR HRLY
FCST AT NOON.

ORGNL DISC: WEAK LOW PRESSURE OVER THE GULF OF MAINE WILL MOVE TO
THE EAST TODAY AS STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST.
LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OVER THE ATLANTIC SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND
TONIGHT AND MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST. HAVE BLENDED THE NAM...GFS AND
ECMWF FOR POPS... QPF AND SKY CONDITIONS. WILL USE THE SUPER BLEND
FOR TEMPERATURE AND DEW POINT. COLDER AIR MASS TO THE WEST WILL
MOVE IN ALONG WITH THE UPPER TROUGH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
OUR FOCUS ON SATURDAY WILL BE ON A STORM SYSTEM TRACKING SOUTH OF
THE GULF OF MAINE. MOST OF THE GUIDANCE IS CARRYING THIS STORM
SYSTEM WELL SOUTH OF THE REGION. HOWEVER, AN INVERTED TROUGH
EXTENDING NORTHWEST FROM THE LOW MAY RESULT IN SOME NORLUN
CONVERGENCE ACROSS PARTS OF WESTERN DOWNEAST AREAS WHICH MAY BRING
A PERIOD OF SNOW EARLY SATURDAY. THE LOW WILL QUICKLY MOVE AWAY
SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BRINGS
CLEARING FROM NORTH TO SOUTH AND COLD CONDITIONS. SUNDAY WILL BE
MOSTLY SUNNY AND DRY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING SOUTH OF THE AREA
BRINGS A RETURN WEST WIND, BECOMING SOUTHWESTERLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. AFTER A CHILLY MORNING, THE BRIGHT SUNSHINE WILL BOOST
TEMPERATURES INTO THE MID 30S ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
LOW PRESSURE TRACKING INTO QUEBEC WILL BRING INCREASING SOUTH WINDS
AND INCREASING CLOUDINESS SUNDAY NIGHT. LATEST GUIDANCE IS TRACKING
THIS LOW WELL TO OUR NORTH. THICKNESSES INDICATE IT WILL BE JUST
COLD ENOUGH FOR SNOW ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA AS THIS LOW TRACKS
NORTH. HOWEVER, WITH A TRACK WELL TO OUR NORTH, ONLY SOME
OCCASIONAL LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED WITH AMOUNTS PROBABLY LESS THAN
AN INCH ACROSS THE AREA. COLD AIR SURGES IN BEHIND THE SYSTEM ON
TUESDAY. THE DAY WILL BE BRIGHT AND SUNNY WITH A GUSTY NORTHWEST
WIND AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN. COOL AND DRY CONDITIONS SHOULD
CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY. A WEAK LOW THEN APPROACHING LATE THURSDAY
INTO FRIDAY HAS A CHANCE FOR BRINGING A BIT OF SNOW TO THE REGION.

&&

.AVIATION /14Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: EXPECT IFR/MVFR CONDITIONS TODAY TO GRADUALLY IMPROVE
TO VFR CONDITIONS LATE TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: MVFR CONDITIONS ON SATURDAY SHOULD IMPROVE TO VFR
FROM NORTH TO SOUTH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. VFR CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY DROP TO IFR IN
LOWER CLOUDS SUNDAY NIGHT AND REMAIN IFR MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT
AS LOW PRESSURE TRACKS TO OUR NORTH. AN IMPROVEMENT TO VFR IS
LIKELY TUESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: FOR SUSTAINED WINDS WILL USE THE NAM12. FOR WAVES:
PRIMARY WAVE SYSTEM WILL BE SOUTHERLY LONG PERIOD WAVES GENERATED
TO THE SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE BUILDING TO 6-7 FEET/9-10
SECONDS. WILL KEEP CURRENT SCA TIMING.

SHORT TERM: AN SCA MAY BE NEEDED SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY EVENING
FOR THE OFFSHORE WATERS FOR WINDS GUSTING UP TO 25 KT. WINDS MAY
REACH SCA IN GUSTS AGAIN ON MONDAY. SEAS MAY ALSO BUILD OVER 7 FT
IN RESPONSE TO THE SOUTH WINDS ON MONDAY.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
     EVENING FOR ANZ050-051.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...VJN
SHORT TERM...BLOOMER
LONG TERM...BLOOMER
AVIATION...VJN/BLOOMER
MARINE...VJN/BLOOMER




000
FXUS61 KCAR 271403
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1003 AM EDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD IN FROM THE WEST TODAY AND
TONIGHT. LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK WELL SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE ON
SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD ONTO THE EAST COAST
ON SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
WE ADDED ISOLD SN SHWRS/SCT FLURRIES INTO MIDDAY OVR NRN PTNS OF
THE FA BASED ON LATEST RADAR REF IMAGERY AND SFC OBS. OTHERWISE...
FCST HRLY TEMPS THRU THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY BASED ON OBSVD
LOWS...9 AM OBS AND FCST HI TEMPS WHICH NEEDED TO BE RAISED A
COUPLE OF DEG F BASED ON POSITIVE BIASES OF THE OBSVD LOWS AND 9
AM OBS FROM PRIOR FCSTS ATTM OVR THIS PTN OF THE FA.

ORGNL DISC: WEAK LOW PRESSURE OVER THE GULF OF MAINE WILL MOVE TO
THE EAST TODAY AS STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST.
LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OVER THE ATLANTIC SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND
TONIGHT AND MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST. HAVE BLENDED THE NAM...GFS AND
ECMWF FOR POPS... QPF AND SKY CONDITIONS. WILL USE THE SUPER BLEND
FOR TEMPERATURE AND DEW POINT. COLDER AIR MASS TO THE WEST WILL
MOVE IN ALONG WITH THE UPPER TROUGH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
OUR FOCUS ON SATURDAY WILL BE ON A STORM SYSTEM TRACKING SOUTH OF
THE GULF OF MAINE. MOST OF THE GUIDANCE IS CARRYING THIS STORM
SYSTEM WELL SOUTH OF THE REGION. HOWEVER, AN INVERTED TROUGH
EXTENDING NORTHWEST FROM THE LOW MAY RESULT IN SOME NORLUN
CONVERGENCE ACROSS PARTS OF WESTERN DOWNEAST AREAS WHICH MAY BRING
A PERIOD OF SNOW EARLY SATURDAY. THE LOW WILL QUICKLY MOVE AWAY
SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BRINGS
CLEARING FROM NORTH TO SOUTH AND COLD CONDITIONS. SUNDAY WILL BE
MOSTLY SUNNY AND DRY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING SOUTH OF THE AREA
BRINGS A RETURN WEST WIND, BECOMING SOUTHWESTERLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. AFTER A CHILLY MORNING, THE BRIGHT SUNSHINE WILL BOOST
TEMPERATURES INTO THE MID 30S ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
LOW PRESSURE TRACKING INTO QUEBEC WILL BRING INCREASING SOUTH WINDS
AND INCREASING CLOUDINESS SUNDAY NIGHT. LATEST GUIDANCE IS TRACKING
THIS LOW WELL TO OUR NORTH. THICKNESSES INDICATE IT WILL BE JUST
COLD ENOUGH FOR SNOW ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA AS THIS LOW TRACKS
NORTH. HOWEVER, WITH A TRACK WELL TO OUR NORTH, ONLY SOME
OCCASIONAL LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED WITH AMOUNTS PROBABLY LESS THAN
AN INCH ACROSS THE AREA. COLD AIR SURGES IN BEHIND THE SYSTEM ON
TUESDAY. THE DAY WILL BE BRIGHT AND SUNNY WITH A GUSTY NORTHWEST
WIND AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN. COOL AND DRY CONDITIONS SHOULD
CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY. A WEAK LOW THEN APPROACHING LATE THURSDAY
INTO FRIDAY HAS A CHANCE FOR BRINGING A BIT OF SNOW TO THE REGION.

&&

.AVIATION /14Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: EXPECT IFR/MVFR CONDITIONS TODAY TO GRADUALLY IMPROVE
TO VFR CONDITIONS LATE TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: MVFR CONDITIONS ON SATURDAY SHOULD IMPROVE TO VFR
FROM NORTH TO SOUTH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. VFR CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY DROP TO IFR IN
LOWER CLOUDS SUNDAY NIGHT AND REMAIN IFR MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT
AS LOW PRESSURE TRACKS TO OUR NORTH. AN IMPROVEMENT TO VFR IS
LIKELY TUESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: FOR SUSTAINED WINDS WILL USE THE NAM12. FOR WAVES:
PRIMARY WAVE SYSTEM WILL BE SOUTHERLY LONG PERIOD WAVES GENERATED
TO THE SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE BUILDING TO 6-7 FEET/9-10
SECONDS. WILL KEEP CURRENT SCA TIMING.

SHORT TERM: AN SCA MAY BE NEEDED SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY EVENING
FOR THE OFFSHORE WATERS FOR WINDS GUSTING UP TO 25 KT. WINDS MAY
REACH SCA IN GUSTS AGAIN ON MONDAY. SEAS MAY ALSO BUILD OVER 7 FT
IN RESPONSE TO THE SOUTH WINDS ON MONDAY.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
     EVENING FOR ANZ050-051.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...VJN
SHORT TERM...BLOOMER
LONG TERM...BLOOMER
AVIATION...VJN/BLOOMER
MARINE...VJN/BLOOMER




000
FXUS61 KCAR 271403
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1003 AM EDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD IN FROM THE WEST TODAY AND
TONIGHT. LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK WELL SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE ON
SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD ONTO THE EAST COAST
ON SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
WE ADDED ISOLD SN SHWRS/SCT FLURRIES INTO MIDDAY OVR NRN PTNS OF
THE FA BASED ON LATEST RADAR REF IMAGERY AND SFC OBS. OTHERWISE...
FCST HRLY TEMPS THRU THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY BASED ON OBSVD
LOWS...9 AM OBS AND FCST HI TEMPS WHICH NEEDED TO BE RAISED A
COUPLE OF DEG F BASED ON POSITIVE BIASES OF THE OBSVD LOWS AND 9
AM OBS FROM PRIOR FCSTS ATTM OVR THIS PTN OF THE FA.

ORGNL DISC: WEAK LOW PRESSURE OVER THE GULF OF MAINE WILL MOVE TO
THE EAST TODAY AS STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST.
LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OVER THE ATLANTIC SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND
TONIGHT AND MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST. HAVE BLENDED THE NAM...GFS AND
ECMWF FOR POPS... QPF AND SKY CONDITIONS. WILL USE THE SUPER BLEND
FOR TEMPERATURE AND DEW POINT. COLDER AIR MASS TO THE WEST WILL
MOVE IN ALONG WITH THE UPPER TROUGH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
OUR FOCUS ON SATURDAY WILL BE ON A STORM SYSTEM TRACKING SOUTH OF
THE GULF OF MAINE. MOST OF THE GUIDANCE IS CARRYING THIS STORM
SYSTEM WELL SOUTH OF THE REGION. HOWEVER, AN INVERTED TROUGH
EXTENDING NORTHWEST FROM THE LOW MAY RESULT IN SOME NORLUN
CONVERGENCE ACROSS PARTS OF WESTERN DOWNEAST AREAS WHICH MAY BRING
A PERIOD OF SNOW EARLY SATURDAY. THE LOW WILL QUICKLY MOVE AWAY
SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BRINGS
CLEARING FROM NORTH TO SOUTH AND COLD CONDITIONS. SUNDAY WILL BE
MOSTLY SUNNY AND DRY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING SOUTH OF THE AREA
BRINGS A RETURN WEST WIND, BECOMING SOUTHWESTERLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. AFTER A CHILLY MORNING, THE BRIGHT SUNSHINE WILL BOOST
TEMPERATURES INTO THE MID 30S ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
LOW PRESSURE TRACKING INTO QUEBEC WILL BRING INCREASING SOUTH WINDS
AND INCREASING CLOUDINESS SUNDAY NIGHT. LATEST GUIDANCE IS TRACKING
THIS LOW WELL TO OUR NORTH. THICKNESSES INDICATE IT WILL BE JUST
COLD ENOUGH FOR SNOW ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA AS THIS LOW TRACKS
NORTH. HOWEVER, WITH A TRACK WELL TO OUR NORTH, ONLY SOME
OCCASIONAL LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED WITH AMOUNTS PROBABLY LESS THAN
AN INCH ACROSS THE AREA. COLD AIR SURGES IN BEHIND THE SYSTEM ON
TUESDAY. THE DAY WILL BE BRIGHT AND SUNNY WITH A GUSTY NORTHWEST
WIND AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN. COOL AND DRY CONDITIONS SHOULD
CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY. A WEAK LOW THEN APPROACHING LATE THURSDAY
INTO FRIDAY HAS A CHANCE FOR BRINGING A BIT OF SNOW TO THE REGION.

&&

.AVIATION /14Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: EXPECT IFR/MVFR CONDITIONS TODAY TO GRADUALLY IMPROVE
TO VFR CONDITIONS LATE TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: MVFR CONDITIONS ON SATURDAY SHOULD IMPROVE TO VFR
FROM NORTH TO SOUTH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. VFR CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY DROP TO IFR IN
LOWER CLOUDS SUNDAY NIGHT AND REMAIN IFR MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT
AS LOW PRESSURE TRACKS TO OUR NORTH. AN IMPROVEMENT TO VFR IS
LIKELY TUESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: FOR SUSTAINED WINDS WILL USE THE NAM12. FOR WAVES:
PRIMARY WAVE SYSTEM WILL BE SOUTHERLY LONG PERIOD WAVES GENERATED
TO THE SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE BUILDING TO 6-7 FEET/9-10
SECONDS. WILL KEEP CURRENT SCA TIMING.

SHORT TERM: AN SCA MAY BE NEEDED SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY EVENING
FOR THE OFFSHORE WATERS FOR WINDS GUSTING UP TO 25 KT. WINDS MAY
REACH SCA IN GUSTS AGAIN ON MONDAY. SEAS MAY ALSO BUILD OVER 7 FT
IN RESPONSE TO THE SOUTH WINDS ON MONDAY.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
     EVENING FOR ANZ050-051.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...VJN
SHORT TERM...BLOOMER
LONG TERM...BLOOMER
AVIATION...VJN/BLOOMER
MARINE...VJN/BLOOMER





000
FXUS61 KCAR 271403
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1003 AM EDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD IN FROM THE WEST TODAY AND
TONIGHT. LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK WELL SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE ON
SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD ONTO THE EAST COAST
ON SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
WE ADDED ISOLD SN SHWRS/SCT FLURRIES INTO MIDDAY OVR NRN PTNS OF
THE FA BASED ON LATEST RADAR REF IMAGERY AND SFC OBS. OTHERWISE...
FCST HRLY TEMPS THRU THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY BASED ON OBSVD
LOWS...9 AM OBS AND FCST HI TEMPS WHICH NEEDED TO BE RAISED A
COUPLE OF DEG F BASED ON POSITIVE BIASES OF THE OBSVD LOWS AND 9
AM OBS FROM PRIOR FCSTS ATTM OVR THIS PTN OF THE FA.

ORGNL DISC: WEAK LOW PRESSURE OVER THE GULF OF MAINE WILL MOVE TO
THE EAST TODAY AS STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST.
LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OVER THE ATLANTIC SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND
TONIGHT AND MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST. HAVE BLENDED THE NAM...GFS AND
ECMWF FOR POPS... QPF AND SKY CONDITIONS. WILL USE THE SUPER BLEND
FOR TEMPERATURE AND DEW POINT. COLDER AIR MASS TO THE WEST WILL
MOVE IN ALONG WITH THE UPPER TROUGH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
OUR FOCUS ON SATURDAY WILL BE ON A STORM SYSTEM TRACKING SOUTH OF
THE GULF OF MAINE. MOST OF THE GUIDANCE IS CARRYING THIS STORM
SYSTEM WELL SOUTH OF THE REGION. HOWEVER, AN INVERTED TROUGH
EXTENDING NORTHWEST FROM THE LOW MAY RESULT IN SOME NORLUN
CONVERGENCE ACROSS PARTS OF WESTERN DOWNEAST AREAS WHICH MAY BRING
A PERIOD OF SNOW EARLY SATURDAY. THE LOW WILL QUICKLY MOVE AWAY
SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BRINGS
CLEARING FROM NORTH TO SOUTH AND COLD CONDITIONS. SUNDAY WILL BE
MOSTLY SUNNY AND DRY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING SOUTH OF THE AREA
BRINGS A RETURN WEST WIND, BECOMING SOUTHWESTERLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. AFTER A CHILLY MORNING, THE BRIGHT SUNSHINE WILL BOOST
TEMPERATURES INTO THE MID 30S ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
LOW PRESSURE TRACKING INTO QUEBEC WILL BRING INCREASING SOUTH WINDS
AND INCREASING CLOUDINESS SUNDAY NIGHT. LATEST GUIDANCE IS TRACKING
THIS LOW WELL TO OUR NORTH. THICKNESSES INDICATE IT WILL BE JUST
COLD ENOUGH FOR SNOW ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA AS THIS LOW TRACKS
NORTH. HOWEVER, WITH A TRACK WELL TO OUR NORTH, ONLY SOME
OCCASIONAL LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED WITH AMOUNTS PROBABLY LESS THAN
AN INCH ACROSS THE AREA. COLD AIR SURGES IN BEHIND THE SYSTEM ON
TUESDAY. THE DAY WILL BE BRIGHT AND SUNNY WITH A GUSTY NORTHWEST
WIND AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN. COOL AND DRY CONDITIONS SHOULD
CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY. A WEAK LOW THEN APPROACHING LATE THURSDAY
INTO FRIDAY HAS A CHANCE FOR BRINGING A BIT OF SNOW TO THE REGION.

&&

.AVIATION /14Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: EXPECT IFR/MVFR CONDITIONS TODAY TO GRADUALLY IMPROVE
TO VFR CONDITIONS LATE TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: MVFR CONDITIONS ON SATURDAY SHOULD IMPROVE TO VFR
FROM NORTH TO SOUTH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. VFR CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY DROP TO IFR IN
LOWER CLOUDS SUNDAY NIGHT AND REMAIN IFR MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT
AS LOW PRESSURE TRACKS TO OUR NORTH. AN IMPROVEMENT TO VFR IS
LIKELY TUESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: FOR SUSTAINED WINDS WILL USE THE NAM12. FOR WAVES:
PRIMARY WAVE SYSTEM WILL BE SOUTHERLY LONG PERIOD WAVES GENERATED
TO THE SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE BUILDING TO 6-7 FEET/9-10
SECONDS. WILL KEEP CURRENT SCA TIMING.

SHORT TERM: AN SCA MAY BE NEEDED SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY EVENING
FOR THE OFFSHORE WATERS FOR WINDS GUSTING UP TO 25 KT. WINDS MAY
REACH SCA IN GUSTS AGAIN ON MONDAY. SEAS MAY ALSO BUILD OVER 7 FT
IN RESPONSE TO THE SOUTH WINDS ON MONDAY.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
     EVENING FOR ANZ050-051.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...VJN
SHORT TERM...BLOOMER
LONG TERM...BLOOMER
AVIATION...VJN/BLOOMER
MARINE...VJN/BLOOMER




000
FXUS61 KCAR 271403
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1003 AM EDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD IN FROM THE WEST TODAY AND
TONIGHT. LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK WELL SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE ON
SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD ONTO THE EAST COAST
ON SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
WE ADDED ISOLD SN SHWRS/SCT FLURRIES INTO MIDDAY OVR NRN PTNS OF
THE FA BASED ON LATEST RADAR REF IMAGERY AND SFC OBS. OTHERWISE...
FCST HRLY TEMPS THRU THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY BASED ON OBSVD
LOWS...9 AM OBS AND FCST HI TEMPS WHICH NEEDED TO BE RAISED A
COUPLE OF DEG F BASED ON POSITIVE BIASES OF THE OBSVD LOWS AND 9
AM OBS FROM PRIOR FCSTS ATTM OVR THIS PTN OF THE FA.

ORGNL DISC: WEAK LOW PRESSURE OVER THE GULF OF MAINE WILL MOVE TO
THE EAST TODAY AS STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST.
LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OVER THE ATLANTIC SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND
TONIGHT AND MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST. HAVE BLENDED THE NAM...GFS AND
ECMWF FOR POPS... QPF AND SKY CONDITIONS. WILL USE THE SUPER BLEND
FOR TEMPERATURE AND DEW POINT. COLDER AIR MASS TO THE WEST WILL
MOVE IN ALONG WITH THE UPPER TROUGH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
OUR FOCUS ON SATURDAY WILL BE ON A STORM SYSTEM TRACKING SOUTH OF
THE GULF OF MAINE. MOST OF THE GUIDANCE IS CARRYING THIS STORM
SYSTEM WELL SOUTH OF THE REGION. HOWEVER, AN INVERTED TROUGH
EXTENDING NORTHWEST FROM THE LOW MAY RESULT IN SOME NORLUN
CONVERGENCE ACROSS PARTS OF WESTERN DOWNEAST AREAS WHICH MAY BRING
A PERIOD OF SNOW EARLY SATURDAY. THE LOW WILL QUICKLY MOVE AWAY
SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BRINGS
CLEARING FROM NORTH TO SOUTH AND COLD CONDITIONS. SUNDAY WILL BE
MOSTLY SUNNY AND DRY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING SOUTH OF THE AREA
BRINGS A RETURN WEST WIND, BECOMING SOUTHWESTERLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. AFTER A CHILLY MORNING, THE BRIGHT SUNSHINE WILL BOOST
TEMPERATURES INTO THE MID 30S ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
LOW PRESSURE TRACKING INTO QUEBEC WILL BRING INCREASING SOUTH WINDS
AND INCREASING CLOUDINESS SUNDAY NIGHT. LATEST GUIDANCE IS TRACKING
THIS LOW WELL TO OUR NORTH. THICKNESSES INDICATE IT WILL BE JUST
COLD ENOUGH FOR SNOW ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA AS THIS LOW TRACKS
NORTH. HOWEVER, WITH A TRACK WELL TO OUR NORTH, ONLY SOME
OCCASIONAL LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED WITH AMOUNTS PROBABLY LESS THAN
AN INCH ACROSS THE AREA. COLD AIR SURGES IN BEHIND THE SYSTEM ON
TUESDAY. THE DAY WILL BE BRIGHT AND SUNNY WITH A GUSTY NORTHWEST
WIND AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN. COOL AND DRY CONDITIONS SHOULD
CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY. A WEAK LOW THEN APPROACHING LATE THURSDAY
INTO FRIDAY HAS A CHANCE FOR BRINGING A BIT OF SNOW TO THE REGION.

&&

.AVIATION /14Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: EXPECT IFR/MVFR CONDITIONS TODAY TO GRADUALLY IMPROVE
TO VFR CONDITIONS LATE TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: MVFR CONDITIONS ON SATURDAY SHOULD IMPROVE TO VFR
FROM NORTH TO SOUTH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. VFR CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY DROP TO IFR IN
LOWER CLOUDS SUNDAY NIGHT AND REMAIN IFR MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT
AS LOW PRESSURE TRACKS TO OUR NORTH. AN IMPROVEMENT TO VFR IS
LIKELY TUESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: FOR SUSTAINED WINDS WILL USE THE NAM12. FOR WAVES:
PRIMARY WAVE SYSTEM WILL BE SOUTHERLY LONG PERIOD WAVES GENERATED
TO THE SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE BUILDING TO 6-7 FEET/9-10
SECONDS. WILL KEEP CURRENT SCA TIMING.

SHORT TERM: AN SCA MAY BE NEEDED SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY EVENING
FOR THE OFFSHORE WATERS FOR WINDS GUSTING UP TO 25 KT. WINDS MAY
REACH SCA IN GUSTS AGAIN ON MONDAY. SEAS MAY ALSO BUILD OVER 7 FT
IN RESPONSE TO THE SOUTH WINDS ON MONDAY.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
     EVENING FOR ANZ050-051.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...VJN
SHORT TERM...BLOOMER
LONG TERM...BLOOMER
AVIATION...VJN/BLOOMER
MARINE...VJN/BLOOMER





000
FXUS61 KCAR 271001
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
601 AM EDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD IN FROM THE WEST TODAY AND
TONIGHT. LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK WELL SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE ON
SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD ONTO THE EAST COAST
ON SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPDATE 0600 EDT: HAVE ADJUSTED WINDS... TEMPERATURE AND DEW POINT
TO BETTER FIT LATEST OBSERVATIONS. NO OTHER CHANGES.

WEAK LOW PRESSURE OVER THE GULF OF MAINE WILL MOVE TO THE EAST
TODAY AS STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST. LOW
PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OVER THE ATLANTIC SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND
TONIGHT AND MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST. HAVE BLENDED THE NAM...GFS AND
ECMWF FOR POPS... QPF AND SKY CONDITIONS. WILL USE THE SUPER BLEND
FOR TEMPERATURE AND DEW POINT. COLDER AIR MASS TO THE WEST WILL
MOVE IN ALONG WITH THE UPPER TROUGH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
OUR FOCUS ON SATURDAY WILL BE ON A STORM SYSTEM TRACKING SOUTH OF
THE GULF OF MAINE. MOST OF THE GUIDANCE IS CARRYING THIS STORM
SYSTEM WELL SOUTH OF THE REGION. HOWEVER, AN INVERTED TROUGH
EXTENDING NORTHWEST FROM THE LOW MAY RESULT IN SOME NORLUN
CONVERGENCE ACROSS PARTS OF WESTERN DOWNEAST AREAS WHICH MAY BRING
A PERIOD OF SNOW EARLY SATURDAY. THE LOW WILL QUICKLY MOVE AWAY
SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BRINGS
CLEARING FROM NORTH TO SOUTH AND COLD CONDITIONS. SUNDAY WILL BE
MOSTLY SUNNY AND DRY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING SOUTH OF THE AREA
BRINGS A RETURN WEST WIND, BECOMING SOUTHWESTERLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. AFTER A CHILLY MORNING, THE BRIGHT SUNSHINE WILL BOOST
TEMPERATURES INTO THE MID 30S ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
LOW PRESSURE TRACKING INTO QUEBEC WILL BRING INCREASING SOUTH WINDS
AND INCREASING CLOUDINESS SUNDAY NIGHT. LATEST GUIDANCE IS TRACKING
THIS LOW WELL TO OUR NORTH. THICKNESSES INDICATE IT WILL BE JUST
COLD ENOUGH FOR SNOW ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA AS THIS LOW TRACKS
NORTH. HOWEVER, WITH A TRACK WELL TO OUR NORTH, ONLY SOME
OCCASIONAL LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED WITH AMOUNTS PROBABLY LESS THAN
AN INCH ACROSS THE AREA. COLD AIR SURGES IN BEHIND THE SYSTEM ON
TUESDAY. THE DAY WILL BE BRIGHT AND SUNNY WITH A GUSTY NORTHWEST
WIND AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN. COOL AND DRY CONDITIONS SHOULD
CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY. A WEAK LOW THEN APPROACHING LATE THURSDAY
INTO FRIDAY HAS A CHANCE FOR BRINGING A BIT OF SNOW TO THE REGION.

&&

.AVIATION /10Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: EXPECT IFR/MVFR CONDITIONS TODAY TO GRADUALLY IMPROVE
TO VFR CONDITIONS LATE TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: MVFR CONDITIONS ON SATURDAY SHOULD IMPROVE TO VFR
FROM NORTH TO SOUTH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. VFR CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY DROP TO IFR IN
LOWER CLOUDS SUNDAY NIGHT AND REMAIN IFR MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT
AS LOW PRESSURE TRACKS TO OUR NORTH. AN IMPROVEMENT TO VFR IS
LIKELY TUESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: FOR SUSTAINED WINDS WILL USE THE NAM12. FOR WAVES:
PRIMARY WAVE SYSTEM WILL BE SOUTHERLY LONG PERIOD WAVES GENERATED
TO THE SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE BUILDINT TO 6-7 FEET/9-10
SECONDS. WILL KEEP CURRENT SCA TIMING.

SHORT TERM: AN SCA MAY BE NEEDED SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY EVENING
FOR THE OFFSHORE WATERS FOR WINDS GUSTING UP TO 25 KT. WINDS MAY
REACH SCA IN GUSTS AGAIN ON MONDAY. SEAS MAY ALSO BUILD OVER 7 FT
IN RESPONSE TO THE SOUTH WINDS ON MONDAY.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
     EVENING FOR ANZ050-051.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...MIGNONE
SHORT TERM...BLOOMER
LONG TERM...BLOOMER
AVIATION...MIGNONE/BLOOMER
MARINE...MIGNONE/BLOOMER




000
FXUS61 KCAR 271001
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
601 AM EDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD IN FROM THE WEST TODAY AND
TONIGHT. LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK WELL SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE ON
SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD ONTO THE EAST COAST
ON SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPDATE 0600 EDT: HAVE ADJUSTED WINDS... TEMPERATURE AND DEW POINT
TO BETTER FIT LATEST OBSERVATIONS. NO OTHER CHANGES.

WEAK LOW PRESSURE OVER THE GULF OF MAINE WILL MOVE TO THE EAST
TODAY AS STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST. LOW
PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OVER THE ATLANTIC SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND
TONIGHT AND MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST. HAVE BLENDED THE NAM...GFS AND
ECMWF FOR POPS... QPF AND SKY CONDITIONS. WILL USE THE SUPER BLEND
FOR TEMPERATURE AND DEW POINT. COLDER AIR MASS TO THE WEST WILL
MOVE IN ALONG WITH THE UPPER TROUGH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
OUR FOCUS ON SATURDAY WILL BE ON A STORM SYSTEM TRACKING SOUTH OF
THE GULF OF MAINE. MOST OF THE GUIDANCE IS CARRYING THIS STORM
SYSTEM WELL SOUTH OF THE REGION. HOWEVER, AN INVERTED TROUGH
EXTENDING NORTHWEST FROM THE LOW MAY RESULT IN SOME NORLUN
CONVERGENCE ACROSS PARTS OF WESTERN DOWNEAST AREAS WHICH MAY BRING
A PERIOD OF SNOW EARLY SATURDAY. THE LOW WILL QUICKLY MOVE AWAY
SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BRINGS
CLEARING FROM NORTH TO SOUTH AND COLD CONDITIONS. SUNDAY WILL BE
MOSTLY SUNNY AND DRY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING SOUTH OF THE AREA
BRINGS A RETURN WEST WIND, BECOMING SOUTHWESTERLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. AFTER A CHILLY MORNING, THE BRIGHT SUNSHINE WILL BOOST
TEMPERATURES INTO THE MID 30S ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
LOW PRESSURE TRACKING INTO QUEBEC WILL BRING INCREASING SOUTH WINDS
AND INCREASING CLOUDINESS SUNDAY NIGHT. LATEST GUIDANCE IS TRACKING
THIS LOW WELL TO OUR NORTH. THICKNESSES INDICATE IT WILL BE JUST
COLD ENOUGH FOR SNOW ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA AS THIS LOW TRACKS
NORTH. HOWEVER, WITH A TRACK WELL TO OUR NORTH, ONLY SOME
OCCASIONAL LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED WITH AMOUNTS PROBABLY LESS THAN
AN INCH ACROSS THE AREA. COLD AIR SURGES IN BEHIND THE SYSTEM ON
TUESDAY. THE DAY WILL BE BRIGHT AND SUNNY WITH A GUSTY NORTHWEST
WIND AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN. COOL AND DRY CONDITIONS SHOULD
CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY. A WEAK LOW THEN APPROACHING LATE THURSDAY
INTO FRIDAY HAS A CHANCE FOR BRINGING A BIT OF SNOW TO THE REGION.

&&

.AVIATION /10Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: EXPECT IFR/MVFR CONDITIONS TODAY TO GRADUALLY IMPROVE
TO VFR CONDITIONS LATE TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: MVFR CONDITIONS ON SATURDAY SHOULD IMPROVE TO VFR
FROM NORTH TO SOUTH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. VFR CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY DROP TO IFR IN
LOWER CLOUDS SUNDAY NIGHT AND REMAIN IFR MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT
AS LOW PRESSURE TRACKS TO OUR NORTH. AN IMPROVEMENT TO VFR IS
LIKELY TUESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: FOR SUSTAINED WINDS WILL USE THE NAM12. FOR WAVES:
PRIMARY WAVE SYSTEM WILL BE SOUTHERLY LONG PERIOD WAVES GENERATED
TO THE SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE BUILDINT TO 6-7 FEET/9-10
SECONDS. WILL KEEP CURRENT SCA TIMING.

SHORT TERM: AN SCA MAY BE NEEDED SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY EVENING
FOR THE OFFSHORE WATERS FOR WINDS GUSTING UP TO 25 KT. WINDS MAY
REACH SCA IN GUSTS AGAIN ON MONDAY. SEAS MAY ALSO BUILD OVER 7 FT
IN RESPONSE TO THE SOUTH WINDS ON MONDAY.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
     EVENING FOR ANZ050-051.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...MIGNONE
SHORT TERM...BLOOMER
LONG TERM...BLOOMER
AVIATION...MIGNONE/BLOOMER
MARINE...MIGNONE/BLOOMER





000
FXUS61 KCAR 270658
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
258 AM EDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD IN FROM THE WEST TODAY AND
TONIGHT. LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK WELL SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE ON
SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD ONTO THE EAST COAST
ON SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
WEAK LOW PRESSURE OVER THE GULF OF MAINE WILL MOVE TO THE EAST
TODAY AS STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST. LOW
PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OVER THE ATLANTIC SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND
TONIGHT AND MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST. HAVE BLENDED THE NAM...GFS AND
ECMWF FOR POPS... QPF AND SKY CONDITIONS. WILL USE THE SUPER BLEND
FOR TEMPERATURE AND DEW POINT. COLDER AIR MASS TO THE WEST WILL
MOVE IN ALONG WITH THE UPPER TROUGH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
OUR FOCUS ON SATURDAY WILL BE ON A STORM SYSTEM TRACKING SOUTH OF
THE GULF OF MAINE. MOST OF THE GUIDANCE IS CARRYING THIS STORM
SYSTEM WELL SOUTH OF THE REGION. HOWEVER, AN INVERTED TROUGH
EXTENDING NORTHWEST FROM THE LOW MAY RESULT IN SOME NORLUN
CONVERGENCE ACROSS PARTS OF WESTERN DOWNEAST AREAS WHICH MAY BRING
A PERIOD OF SNOW EARLY SATURDAY. THE LOW WILL QUICKLY MOVE AWAY
SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BRINGS
CLEARING FROM NORTH TO SOUTH AND COLD CONDITIONS. SUNDAY WILL BE
MOSTLY SUNNY AND DRY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING SOUTH OF THE AREA
BRINGS A RETURN WEST WIND, BECOMING SOUTHWESTERLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. AFTER A CHILLY MORNING, THE BRIGHT SUNSHINE WILL BOOST
TEMPERATURES INTO THE MID 30S ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
LOW PRESSURE TRACKING INTO QUEBEC WILL BRING INCREASING SOUTH WINDS
AND INCREASING CLOUDINESS SUNDAY NIGHT. LATEST GUIDANCE IS TRACKING
THIS LOW WELL TO OUR NORTH. THICKNESSES INDICATE IT WILL BE JUST
COLD ENOUGH FOR SNOW ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA AS THIS LOW TRACKS
NORTH. HOWEVER, WITH A TRACK WELL TO OUR NORTH, ONLY SOME
OCCASIONAL LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED WITH AMOUNTS PROBABLY LESS THAN
AN INCH ACROSS THE AREA. COLD AIR SURGES IN BEHIND THE SYSTEM ON
TUESDAY. THE DAY WILL BE BRIGHT AND SUNNY WITH A GUSTY NORTHWEST
WIND AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN. COOL AND DRY CONDITIONS SHOULD
CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY. A WEAK LOW THEN APPROACHING LATE THURSDAY
INTO FRIDAY HAS A CHANCE FOR BRINGING A BIT OF SNOW TO THE REGION.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: EXPECT IFR/MVFR CONDITIONS TODAY TO GRADUALLY IMPROVE
TO VFR CONDITIONS LATE TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: MVFR CONDITIONS ON SATURDAY SHOULD IMPROVE TO VFR
FROM NORTH TO SOUTH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. VFR CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY DROP TO IFR IN
LOWER CLOUDS SUNDAY NIGHT AND REMAIN IFR MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT
AS LOW PRESSURE TRACKS TO OUR NORTH. AN IMPROVEMENT TO VFR IS
LIKELY TUESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: FOR SUSTAINED WINDS WILL USE THE NAM12. FOR WAVES:
PRIMARY WAVE SYSTEM WILL BE SOUTHERLY LONG PERIOD WAVES GENERATED
TO THE SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE BUILDINT TO 6-7 FEET/9-10
SECONDS. WILL KEEP CURRENT SCA TIMING.

SHORT TERM: AN SCA MAY BE NEEDED SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY EVENING
FOR THE OFFSHORE WATERS FOR WINDS GUSTING UP TO 25 KT. WINDS MAY
REACH SCA IN GUSTS AGAIN ON MONDAY. SEAS MAY ALSO BUILD OVER 7 FT
IN RESPONSE TO THE SOUTH WINDS ON MONDAY.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
     EVENING FOR ANZ050-051.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...MIGNONE
SHORT TERM...BLOOMER
LONG TERM...BLOOMER
AVIATION...MIGNONE/BLOOMER
MARINE...MIGNONE/BLOOMER




000
FXUS61 KCAR 270658
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
258 AM EDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD IN FROM THE WEST TODAY AND
TONIGHT. LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK WELL SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE ON
SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD ONTO THE EAST COAST
ON SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
WEAK LOW PRESSURE OVER THE GULF OF MAINE WILL MOVE TO THE EAST
TODAY AS STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST. LOW
PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OVER THE ATLANTIC SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND
TONIGHT AND MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST. HAVE BLENDED THE NAM...GFS AND
ECMWF FOR POPS... QPF AND SKY CONDITIONS. WILL USE THE SUPER BLEND
FOR TEMPERATURE AND DEW POINT. COLDER AIR MASS TO THE WEST WILL
MOVE IN ALONG WITH THE UPPER TROUGH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
OUR FOCUS ON SATURDAY WILL BE ON A STORM SYSTEM TRACKING SOUTH OF
THE GULF OF MAINE. MOST OF THE GUIDANCE IS CARRYING THIS STORM
SYSTEM WELL SOUTH OF THE REGION. HOWEVER, AN INVERTED TROUGH
EXTENDING NORTHWEST FROM THE LOW MAY RESULT IN SOME NORLUN
CONVERGENCE ACROSS PARTS OF WESTERN DOWNEAST AREAS WHICH MAY BRING
A PERIOD OF SNOW EARLY SATURDAY. THE LOW WILL QUICKLY MOVE AWAY
SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BRINGS
CLEARING FROM NORTH TO SOUTH AND COLD CONDITIONS. SUNDAY WILL BE
MOSTLY SUNNY AND DRY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING SOUTH OF THE AREA
BRINGS A RETURN WEST WIND, BECOMING SOUTHWESTERLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. AFTER A CHILLY MORNING, THE BRIGHT SUNSHINE WILL BOOST
TEMPERATURES INTO THE MID 30S ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
LOW PRESSURE TRACKING INTO QUEBEC WILL BRING INCREASING SOUTH WINDS
AND INCREASING CLOUDINESS SUNDAY NIGHT. LATEST GUIDANCE IS TRACKING
THIS LOW WELL TO OUR NORTH. THICKNESSES INDICATE IT WILL BE JUST
COLD ENOUGH FOR SNOW ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA AS THIS LOW TRACKS
NORTH. HOWEVER, WITH A TRACK WELL TO OUR NORTH, ONLY SOME
OCCASIONAL LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED WITH AMOUNTS PROBABLY LESS THAN
AN INCH ACROSS THE AREA. COLD AIR SURGES IN BEHIND THE SYSTEM ON
TUESDAY. THE DAY WILL BE BRIGHT AND SUNNY WITH A GUSTY NORTHWEST
WIND AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN. COOL AND DRY CONDITIONS SHOULD
CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY. A WEAK LOW THEN APPROACHING LATE THURSDAY
INTO FRIDAY HAS A CHANCE FOR BRINGING A BIT OF SNOW TO THE REGION.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: EXPECT IFR/MVFR CONDITIONS TODAY TO GRADUALLY IMPROVE
TO VFR CONDITIONS LATE TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: MVFR CONDITIONS ON SATURDAY SHOULD IMPROVE TO VFR
FROM NORTH TO SOUTH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. VFR CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY DROP TO IFR IN
LOWER CLOUDS SUNDAY NIGHT AND REMAIN IFR MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT
AS LOW PRESSURE TRACKS TO OUR NORTH. AN IMPROVEMENT TO VFR IS
LIKELY TUESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: FOR SUSTAINED WINDS WILL USE THE NAM12. FOR WAVES:
PRIMARY WAVE SYSTEM WILL BE SOUTHERLY LONG PERIOD WAVES GENERATED
TO THE SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE BUILDINT TO 6-7 FEET/9-10
SECONDS. WILL KEEP CURRENT SCA TIMING.

SHORT TERM: AN SCA MAY BE NEEDED SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY EVENING
FOR THE OFFSHORE WATERS FOR WINDS GUSTING UP TO 25 KT. WINDS MAY
REACH SCA IN GUSTS AGAIN ON MONDAY. SEAS MAY ALSO BUILD OVER 7 FT
IN RESPONSE TO THE SOUTH WINDS ON MONDAY.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
     EVENING FOR ANZ050-051.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...MIGNONE
SHORT TERM...BLOOMER
LONG TERM...BLOOMER
AVIATION...MIGNONE/BLOOMER
MARINE...MIGNONE/BLOOMER





000
FXUS61 KCAR 270658
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
258 AM EDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD IN FROM THE WEST TODAY AND
TONIGHT. LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK WELL SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE ON
SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD ONTO THE EAST COAST
ON SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
WEAK LOW PRESSURE OVER THE GULF OF MAINE WILL MOVE TO THE EAST
TODAY AS STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST. LOW
PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OVER THE ATLANTIC SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND
TONIGHT AND MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST. HAVE BLENDED THE NAM...GFS AND
ECMWF FOR POPS... QPF AND SKY CONDITIONS. WILL USE THE SUPER BLEND
FOR TEMPERATURE AND DEW POINT. COLDER AIR MASS TO THE WEST WILL
MOVE IN ALONG WITH THE UPPER TROUGH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
OUR FOCUS ON SATURDAY WILL BE ON A STORM SYSTEM TRACKING SOUTH OF
THE GULF OF MAINE. MOST OF THE GUIDANCE IS CARRYING THIS STORM
SYSTEM WELL SOUTH OF THE REGION. HOWEVER, AN INVERTED TROUGH
EXTENDING NORTHWEST FROM THE LOW MAY RESULT IN SOME NORLUN
CONVERGENCE ACROSS PARTS OF WESTERN DOWNEAST AREAS WHICH MAY BRING
A PERIOD OF SNOW EARLY SATURDAY. THE LOW WILL QUICKLY MOVE AWAY
SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BRINGS
CLEARING FROM NORTH TO SOUTH AND COLD CONDITIONS. SUNDAY WILL BE
MOSTLY SUNNY AND DRY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING SOUTH OF THE AREA
BRINGS A RETURN WEST WIND, BECOMING SOUTHWESTERLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. AFTER A CHILLY MORNING, THE BRIGHT SUNSHINE WILL BOOST
TEMPERATURES INTO THE MID 30S ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
LOW PRESSURE TRACKING INTO QUEBEC WILL BRING INCREASING SOUTH WINDS
AND INCREASING CLOUDINESS SUNDAY NIGHT. LATEST GUIDANCE IS TRACKING
THIS LOW WELL TO OUR NORTH. THICKNESSES INDICATE IT WILL BE JUST
COLD ENOUGH FOR SNOW ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA AS THIS LOW TRACKS
NORTH. HOWEVER, WITH A TRACK WELL TO OUR NORTH, ONLY SOME
OCCASIONAL LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED WITH AMOUNTS PROBABLY LESS THAN
AN INCH ACROSS THE AREA. COLD AIR SURGES IN BEHIND THE SYSTEM ON
TUESDAY. THE DAY WILL BE BRIGHT AND SUNNY WITH A GUSTY NORTHWEST
WIND AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN. COOL AND DRY CONDITIONS SHOULD
CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY. A WEAK LOW THEN APPROACHING LATE THURSDAY
INTO FRIDAY HAS A CHANCE FOR BRINGING A BIT OF SNOW TO THE REGION.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: EXPECT IFR/MVFR CONDITIONS TODAY TO GRADUALLY IMPROVE
TO VFR CONDITIONS LATE TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: MVFR CONDITIONS ON SATURDAY SHOULD IMPROVE TO VFR
FROM NORTH TO SOUTH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. VFR CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY DROP TO IFR IN
LOWER CLOUDS SUNDAY NIGHT AND REMAIN IFR MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT
AS LOW PRESSURE TRACKS TO OUR NORTH. AN IMPROVEMENT TO VFR IS
LIKELY TUESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: FOR SUSTAINED WINDS WILL USE THE NAM12. FOR WAVES:
PRIMARY WAVE SYSTEM WILL BE SOUTHERLY LONG PERIOD WAVES GENERATED
TO THE SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE BUILDINT TO 6-7 FEET/9-10
SECONDS. WILL KEEP CURRENT SCA TIMING.

SHORT TERM: AN SCA MAY BE NEEDED SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY EVENING
FOR THE OFFSHORE WATERS FOR WINDS GUSTING UP TO 25 KT. WINDS MAY
REACH SCA IN GUSTS AGAIN ON MONDAY. SEAS MAY ALSO BUILD OVER 7 FT
IN RESPONSE TO THE SOUTH WINDS ON MONDAY.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
     EVENING FOR ANZ050-051.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...MIGNONE
SHORT TERM...BLOOMER
LONG TERM...BLOOMER
AVIATION...MIGNONE/BLOOMER
MARINE...MIGNONE/BLOOMER




000
FXUS61 KCAR 270658
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
258 AM EDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD IN FROM THE WEST TODAY AND
TONIGHT. LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK WELL SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE ON
SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD ONTO THE EAST COAST
ON SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
WEAK LOW PRESSURE OVER THE GULF OF MAINE WILL MOVE TO THE EAST
TODAY AS STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST. LOW
PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OVER THE ATLANTIC SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND
TONIGHT AND MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST. HAVE BLENDED THE NAM...GFS AND
ECMWF FOR POPS... QPF AND SKY CONDITIONS. WILL USE THE SUPER BLEND
FOR TEMPERATURE AND DEW POINT. COLDER AIR MASS TO THE WEST WILL
MOVE IN ALONG WITH THE UPPER TROUGH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
OUR FOCUS ON SATURDAY WILL BE ON A STORM SYSTEM TRACKING SOUTH OF
THE GULF OF MAINE. MOST OF THE GUIDANCE IS CARRYING THIS STORM
SYSTEM WELL SOUTH OF THE REGION. HOWEVER, AN INVERTED TROUGH
EXTENDING NORTHWEST FROM THE LOW MAY RESULT IN SOME NORLUN
CONVERGENCE ACROSS PARTS OF WESTERN DOWNEAST AREAS WHICH MAY BRING
A PERIOD OF SNOW EARLY SATURDAY. THE LOW WILL QUICKLY MOVE AWAY
SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BRINGS
CLEARING FROM NORTH TO SOUTH AND COLD CONDITIONS. SUNDAY WILL BE
MOSTLY SUNNY AND DRY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING SOUTH OF THE AREA
BRINGS A RETURN WEST WIND, BECOMING SOUTHWESTERLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. AFTER A CHILLY MORNING, THE BRIGHT SUNSHINE WILL BOOST
TEMPERATURES INTO THE MID 30S ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
LOW PRESSURE TRACKING INTO QUEBEC WILL BRING INCREASING SOUTH WINDS
AND INCREASING CLOUDINESS SUNDAY NIGHT. LATEST GUIDANCE IS TRACKING
THIS LOW WELL TO OUR NORTH. THICKNESSES INDICATE IT WILL BE JUST
COLD ENOUGH FOR SNOW ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA AS THIS LOW TRACKS
NORTH. HOWEVER, WITH A TRACK WELL TO OUR NORTH, ONLY SOME
OCCASIONAL LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED WITH AMOUNTS PROBABLY LESS THAN
AN INCH ACROSS THE AREA. COLD AIR SURGES IN BEHIND THE SYSTEM ON
TUESDAY. THE DAY WILL BE BRIGHT AND SUNNY WITH A GUSTY NORTHWEST
WIND AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN. COOL AND DRY CONDITIONS SHOULD
CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY. A WEAK LOW THEN APPROACHING LATE THURSDAY
INTO FRIDAY HAS A CHANCE FOR BRINGING A BIT OF SNOW TO THE REGION.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: EXPECT IFR/MVFR CONDITIONS TODAY TO GRADUALLY IMPROVE
TO VFR CONDITIONS LATE TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: MVFR CONDITIONS ON SATURDAY SHOULD IMPROVE TO VFR
FROM NORTH TO SOUTH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. VFR CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY DROP TO IFR IN
LOWER CLOUDS SUNDAY NIGHT AND REMAIN IFR MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT
AS LOW PRESSURE TRACKS TO OUR NORTH. AN IMPROVEMENT TO VFR IS
LIKELY TUESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: FOR SUSTAINED WINDS WILL USE THE NAM12. FOR WAVES:
PRIMARY WAVE SYSTEM WILL BE SOUTHERLY LONG PERIOD WAVES GENERATED
TO THE SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE BUILDINT TO 6-7 FEET/9-10
SECONDS. WILL KEEP CURRENT SCA TIMING.

SHORT TERM: AN SCA MAY BE NEEDED SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY EVENING
FOR THE OFFSHORE WATERS FOR WINDS GUSTING UP TO 25 KT. WINDS MAY
REACH SCA IN GUSTS AGAIN ON MONDAY. SEAS MAY ALSO BUILD OVER 7 FT
IN RESPONSE TO THE SOUTH WINDS ON MONDAY.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
     EVENING FOR ANZ050-051.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...MIGNONE
SHORT TERM...BLOOMER
LONG TERM...BLOOMER
AVIATION...MIGNONE/BLOOMER
MARINE...MIGNONE/BLOOMER





000
FXUS61 KCAR 270413
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1213 AM EDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK SECONDARY LOW WILL TRACK THROUGH THE GULF OF MAINE
OVERNIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST FRIDAY
THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
UPDATE 0010 EDT: HAVE ADJUSTED TEMPERATURE AND DEW POINT BASED ON
LATEST OBSERVATIONS. NO OTHER CHANGES.

TEMPERATURES WERE SLOWLY FALLING BACK BUT STILL WELL ABOVE 32F AS
FAR NORTH AS FRENCHVILLE. SOME DRIER ADN COLDER AIR WAS WORKING IN
FROM THE WEST W/THE UPPER TROF. THINKING HERE IS THAT OVERNIGHT
TEMPERATURES WILL STAY UP A FEW DEGREES FROM THE CURRENT FORECAST.
THEREFORE, ADJUSTED THE OVERNIGHT MINS UPWARD. LOWERED SNOWFALL
AMOUNTS AS WELL W/THE LOWERING THE PRECIP CHANCES.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION:
SFC HI PRES FROM CNTRL CAN WILL PUSH CLDS AND PRECIP NOT MUCH
FURTHER S THAN THE GULF OF ME FRI INTO FRI NGT AS AN UPPER LEVEL
TROF HANGS BACK OVR THE GREAT LKS AND N CNTRL APLCHNS. COLDER
SEMI-ARCTIC AIR WILL SLOWLY FILTER INTO THE FA FROM QB BEGINNING
VERY LATE TNGT AND CONTG THRU FRI NGT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
AT THE START OF THE PERIOD THE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT. A
LOW TRACKING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MAINE...WITH THE REMNANTS
OF AN OCCLUDED FRONT WRAPPED ACROSS CENTRAL MAINE. HIGHER PRESSURE
BUILDING SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES REGION. BY SUN
EVNG...THE LOW WILL TRACK EAST SOUTH OF ERN NOVA SCOTIA WITH
REMNANTS OF THE OCCLUDED FRONT EXTENDED ALONG THE COAST OF
MAINE...HIGHER PRESSURE BUILDS INTO NW MAINE. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
DOMINATE THE WEATHER THROUGH EARLY MON MRNG.

LOADED A BLEND OF THE NAM/GEM/GFS/ECMWF FOR HRLY
T/DP/WNDS/SKY/POP GRIDS...LOADED A BLEND OF GFS/ECMWF FOR QPF.
ADDED 15 PERCENT TO WNDS FOR GUSTS OVER LAND...35 PERCENT OVER
COASTAL WATERS. ADDED NAWAVE 4 FOR SEAS.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
THE MODELS CONTINUE IN GOOD AGREEMENT AT THE START OF THE LONG
TERM. HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER AT THE START OF THE
PERIOD. A NEW LOW MOVING EAST ALONG THE NRN PORTIONS OF THE CNTRL
GREAT LAKES...WITH ITS ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT SOUTH THROUGH ERN NY.
MON MRNG THE BY MON MRNG THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO WRN MAINE.
MON EVNG THE LOW WILL MOVE INTO WRN MAINE....AND BY TUE AFTERNOON
A RIDGE OF HIGHER PRESSURE WILL BRIEFLY BUILD ACROSS...BEFORE A
NEW LOW MOVES INTO CAPE COD REGION...WITH ITS ASSOCIATED FRONT
INTO SRN MAINE BY EARLY WED MRNG. WED MRNG THE GFS AND ECMWF
DIFFER A BIT ON POSITION AND MOVE MVMNT OF THE SYSTEM. THE GFS
MOVES THE LOW EAST ACROSS THE SRN GULF OF MAINE...WITH OCCLUDED
FRONT WRAPPED AROUND INTO CNTRL MAINE. THE ECMWF MOVES TO LOW OVER
CAPE COD WRAPPING THE OCCLUDED FRONT INTO SW MAINE. WED EVNG THE
GFS MOVES THE LOW SE OF NOVA SCOTIA... THE ECMWF MOVES THE LOW
SOUTH OF SW NOVA SCOTIA WITH THE OCCLUSION WRAPPED INTO THE BAY OF
FUNDY. HIGHER PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS FOR WED NGT AND THURS.
THURS NGT TWO LOWS ONE MOVING NORTH ALONG THE COAST...THE OTHER
MOVING EAST ACROSS THE NRN GREAT LAKES...WILL MOVE INTO MAINE BY
THE END OF THE PERIOD.

LOADED THE SUPERBLEND THROUGH THE PERIOD. ADDED 15 PERCENT TO
WNDS FOR GUSTS OVER LAND 35 PERCENT OVER COASTAL WATERS. LOADED
NAWAVE 4 FOR SEAS.

&&

.AVIATION /04Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: MOST TAF SITES CURRENTLY VFR...BUT SHOULD LOWER TO IFR
BY EVE AS RN AND RN CHGNG TO SN MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. NRN MOST
TAF SITES MAY ONLY LOWER TO MVFR OR LOW VFR DUE TO VERY LGT
PRECIP. OTHERWISE AFT THE PRECIP MOVES ESE OF THE FA...ALL TAF
SITES SHOULD RECOVER BACK TO VFR FRI MORN AND CONT SO THRU FRI
NGT.

SHORT TERM: VFR CONDITIONS SAT AND SUN INCREASING CLOUDS BCMG
MVFR IN SCT SNOW SHOWERS ON MON.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: CURRENTLY WVS JUST BLO SCA THRESHOLDS...HOWEVER...WW3
WV GUIDANCE INDICATES SWELLS FROM LOW PRES OVR THE OPEN ATLC MOVG
INTO OUR OUTER MZS AFT MDNGT TNGT AND CONTG THRU FRI...SO WE
ISSUED AN SCA FOR HAZ SEAS FOR THESE MZS. AFTWRDS...WIND GUSTS MAY
REACH OR EXCEED 25 KTS FRI NGT...SO WE MAY NEED TO TRANSITION TO
A GENERIC SCA BY TOMORROW`S AFTN FCST UPDATE. WE WENT CLOSE TO WW3
WV HT GUIDANCE FOR FCST WV HTS THRU THE NEAR TERM THIS UPDATE.

SHORT TERM: AN SCA MAY BE REQUIRED AT THE START OF THE PERIOD AS
A LOW TRACK ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE GULF OF MAINE.
WNDS AND SEAS WILL SUBSIDE QUICKLY AS HIGHER PRESSURE BUILDS
ACROSS THE REGION AND WILL DOMINATE THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
     EVENING FOR ANZ050-051.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...MIGNONE
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...MIGNONE/
MARINE...MIGNONE/




000
FXUS61 KCAR 270413
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1213 AM EDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK SECONDARY LOW WILL TRACK THROUGH THE GULF OF MAINE
OVERNIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST FRIDAY
THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
UPDATE 0010 EDT: HAVE ADJUSTED TEMPERATURE AND DEW POINT BASED ON
LATEST OBSERVATIONS. NO OTHER CHANGES.

TEMPERATURES WERE SLOWLY FALLING BACK BUT STILL WELL ABOVE 32F AS
FAR NORTH AS FRENCHVILLE. SOME DRIER ADN COLDER AIR WAS WORKING IN
FROM THE WEST W/THE UPPER TROF. THINKING HERE IS THAT OVERNIGHT
TEMPERATURES WILL STAY UP A FEW DEGREES FROM THE CURRENT FORECAST.
THEREFORE, ADJUSTED THE OVERNIGHT MINS UPWARD. LOWERED SNOWFALL
AMOUNTS AS WELL W/THE LOWERING THE PRECIP CHANCES.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION:
SFC HI PRES FROM CNTRL CAN WILL PUSH CLDS AND PRECIP NOT MUCH
FURTHER S THAN THE GULF OF ME FRI INTO FRI NGT AS AN UPPER LEVEL
TROF HANGS BACK OVR THE GREAT LKS AND N CNTRL APLCHNS. COLDER
SEMI-ARCTIC AIR WILL SLOWLY FILTER INTO THE FA FROM QB BEGINNING
VERY LATE TNGT AND CONTG THRU FRI NGT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
AT THE START OF THE PERIOD THE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT. A
LOW TRACKING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MAINE...WITH THE REMNANTS
OF AN OCCLUDED FRONT WRAPPED ACROSS CENTRAL MAINE. HIGHER PRESSURE
BUILDING SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES REGION. BY SUN
EVNG...THE LOW WILL TRACK EAST SOUTH OF ERN NOVA SCOTIA WITH
REMNANTS OF THE OCCLUDED FRONT EXTENDED ALONG THE COAST OF
MAINE...HIGHER PRESSURE BUILDS INTO NW MAINE. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
DOMINATE THE WEATHER THROUGH EARLY MON MRNG.

LOADED A BLEND OF THE NAM/GEM/GFS/ECMWF FOR HRLY
T/DP/WNDS/SKY/POP GRIDS...LOADED A BLEND OF GFS/ECMWF FOR QPF.
ADDED 15 PERCENT TO WNDS FOR GUSTS OVER LAND...35 PERCENT OVER
COASTAL WATERS. ADDED NAWAVE 4 FOR SEAS.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
THE MODELS CONTINUE IN GOOD AGREEMENT AT THE START OF THE LONG
TERM. HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER AT THE START OF THE
PERIOD. A NEW LOW MOVING EAST ALONG THE NRN PORTIONS OF THE CNTRL
GREAT LAKES...WITH ITS ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT SOUTH THROUGH ERN NY.
MON MRNG THE BY MON MRNG THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO WRN MAINE.
MON EVNG THE LOW WILL MOVE INTO WRN MAINE....AND BY TUE AFTERNOON
A RIDGE OF HIGHER PRESSURE WILL BRIEFLY BUILD ACROSS...BEFORE A
NEW LOW MOVES INTO CAPE COD REGION...WITH ITS ASSOCIATED FRONT
INTO SRN MAINE BY EARLY WED MRNG. WED MRNG THE GFS AND ECMWF
DIFFER A BIT ON POSITION AND MOVE MVMNT OF THE SYSTEM. THE GFS
MOVES THE LOW EAST ACROSS THE SRN GULF OF MAINE...WITH OCCLUDED
FRONT WRAPPED AROUND INTO CNTRL MAINE. THE ECMWF MOVES TO LOW OVER
CAPE COD WRAPPING THE OCCLUDED FRONT INTO SW MAINE. WED EVNG THE
GFS MOVES THE LOW SE OF NOVA SCOTIA... THE ECMWF MOVES THE LOW
SOUTH OF SW NOVA SCOTIA WITH THE OCCLUSION WRAPPED INTO THE BAY OF
FUNDY. HIGHER PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS FOR WED NGT AND THURS.
THURS NGT TWO LOWS ONE MOVING NORTH ALONG THE COAST...THE OTHER
MOVING EAST ACROSS THE NRN GREAT LAKES...WILL MOVE INTO MAINE BY
THE END OF THE PERIOD.

LOADED THE SUPERBLEND THROUGH THE PERIOD. ADDED 15 PERCENT TO
WNDS FOR GUSTS OVER LAND 35 PERCENT OVER COASTAL WATERS. LOADED
NAWAVE 4 FOR SEAS.

&&

.AVIATION /04Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: MOST TAF SITES CURRENTLY VFR...BUT SHOULD LOWER TO IFR
BY EVE AS RN AND RN CHGNG TO SN MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. NRN MOST
TAF SITES MAY ONLY LOWER TO MVFR OR LOW VFR DUE TO VERY LGT
PRECIP. OTHERWISE AFT THE PRECIP MOVES ESE OF THE FA...ALL TAF
SITES SHOULD RECOVER BACK TO VFR FRI MORN AND CONT SO THRU FRI
NGT.

SHORT TERM: VFR CONDITIONS SAT AND SUN INCREASING CLOUDS BCMG
MVFR IN SCT SNOW SHOWERS ON MON.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: CURRENTLY WVS JUST BLO SCA THRESHOLDS...HOWEVER...WW3
WV GUIDANCE INDICATES SWELLS FROM LOW PRES OVR THE OPEN ATLC MOVG
INTO OUR OUTER MZS AFT MDNGT TNGT AND CONTG THRU FRI...SO WE
ISSUED AN SCA FOR HAZ SEAS FOR THESE MZS. AFTWRDS...WIND GUSTS MAY
REACH OR EXCEED 25 KTS FRI NGT...SO WE MAY NEED TO TRANSITION TO
A GENERIC SCA BY TOMORROW`S AFTN FCST UPDATE. WE WENT CLOSE TO WW3
WV HT GUIDANCE FOR FCST WV HTS THRU THE NEAR TERM THIS UPDATE.

SHORT TERM: AN SCA MAY BE REQUIRED AT THE START OF THE PERIOD AS
A LOW TRACK ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE GULF OF MAINE.
WNDS AND SEAS WILL SUBSIDE QUICKLY AS HIGHER PRESSURE BUILDS
ACROSS THE REGION AND WILL DOMINATE THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
     EVENING FOR ANZ050-051.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...MIGNONE
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...MIGNONE/
MARINE...MIGNONE/





000
FXUS61 KCAR 270254
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1054 PM EDT THU MAR 26 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK SECONDARY LOW WILL TRACK THROUGH THE GULF OF MAINE
OVERNIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST FRIDAY
THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
1030 PM UPDATE: 00ZZ SFC ANALYSIS HAD LOW PRES NOW MOVING ACROSS
THE GULF OF MAINE W/THE STEADIEST PRECIP SHIELD FROM CENTRAL MAINE
DOWN ACROSS SOUTHERN AREAS. SOME ENHANCED ECHOES SHOWING UP ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN COAST MOVING NE. SOME OF THIS IS BEING AIDED BY A
50-55KT JET AT 850MBS. THERE COULD BE A BRIEF PERIOD OF HEAVIER
RAINFALL ACROSS THE HANCOCK AND WASHINGTON COUNTY COAST BY
MIDNIGHT. SO FAR, MOST OF THE PRECIP HAS BEEN LIGHT AND IN THE
FORM OF RAIN. A SHARP CUT OFF IN THE PRECIP SHIELD ACROSS THE
NORTH AND WEST AND A FURTHER REDUCTION IN THE PRECIP WAS NEEDED
DROPPING PERCENTAGES BELOW 20% ACROSS THE ST. JOHN VALLEY AND THE
CARIBOU-PRESQUE ISLE REGION.

TEMPERATURES WERE SLOWLY FALLING BACK BUT STILL WELL ABOVE 32F AS
FAR NORTH AS FRENCHVILLE. SOME DRIER ADN COLDER AIR WAS WORKING IN
FROM THE WEST W/THE UPPER TROF. THINKING HERE IS THAT OVERNIGHT
TEMPERATURES WILL STAY UP A FEW DEGREES FROM THE CURRENT FORECAST.
THEREFORE, ADJUSTED THE OVERNIGHT MINS UPWARD. LOWERED SNOWFALL
AMOUNTS AS WELL W/THE LOWERING THE PRECIP CHANCES.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION:
SFC HI PRES FROM CNTRL CAN WILL PUSH CLDS AND PRECIP NOT MUCH
FURTHER S THAN THE GULF OF ME FRI INTO FRI NGT AS AN UPPER LEVEL
TROF HANGS BACK OVR THE GREAT LKS AND N CNTRL APLCHNS. COLDER
SEMI-ARCTIC AIR WILL SLOWLY FILTER INTO THE FA FROM QB BEGINNING
VERY LATE TNGT AND CONTG THRU FRI NGT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
AT THE START OF THE PERIOD THE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT. A
LOW TRACKING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MAINE...WITH THE REMNANTS
OF AN OCCLUDED FRONT WRAPPED ACROSS CENTRAL MAINE. HIGHER PRESSURE
BUILDING SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES REGION. BY SUN
EVNG...THE LOW WILL TRACK EAST SOUTH OF ERN NOVA SCOTIA WITH
REMNANTS OF THE OCCLUDED FRONT EXTENDED ALONG THE COAST OF
MAINE...HIGHER PRESSURE BUILDS INTO NW MAINE. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
DOMINATE THE WEATHER THROUGH EARLY MON MRNG.

LOADED A BLEND OF THE NAM/GEM/GFS/ECMWF FOR HRLY
T/DP/WNDS/SKY/POP GRIDS...LOADED A BLEND OF GFS/ECMWF FOR QPF.
ADDED 15 PERCENT TO WNDS FOR GUSTS OVER LAND...35 PERCENT OVER
COASTAL WATERS. ADDED NAWAVE 4 FOR SEAS.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
THE MODELS CONTINUE IN GOOD AGREEMENT AT THE START OF THE LONG
TERM. HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER AT THE START OF THE
PERIOD. A NEW LOW MOVING EAST ALONG THE NRN PORTIONS OF THE CNTRL
GREAT LAKES...WITH ITS ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT SOUTH THROUGH ERN NY.
MON MRNG THE BY MON MRNG THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO WRN MAINE.
MON EVNG THE LOW WILL MOVE INTO WRN MAINE....AND BY TUE AFTERNOON
A RIDGE OF HIGHER PRESSURE WILL BRIEFLY BUILD ACROSS...BEFORE A
NEW LOW MOVES INTO CAPE COD REGION...WITH ITS ASSOCIATED FRONT
INTO SRN MAINE BY EARLY WED MRNG. WED MRNG THE GFS AND ECMWF
DIFFER A BIT ON POSITION AND MOVE MVMNT OF THE SYSTEM. THE GFS
MOVES THE LOW EAST ACROSS THE SRN GULF OF MAINE...WITH OCCLUDED
FRONT WRAPPED AROUND INTO CNTRL MAINE. THE ECMWF MOVES TO LOW OVER
CAPE COD WRAPPING THE OCCLUDED FRONT INTO SW MAINE. WED EVNG THE
GFS MOVES THE LOW SE OF NOVA SCOTIA... THE ECMWF MOVES THE LOW
SOUTH OF SW NOVA SCOTIA WITH THE OCCLUSION WRAPPED INTO THE BAY OF
FUNDY. HIGHER PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS FOR WED NGT AND THURS.
THURS NGT TWO LOWS ONE MOVING NORTH ALONG THE COAST...THE OTHER
MOVING EAST ACROSS THE NRN GREAT LAKES...WILL MOVE INTO MAINE BY
THE END OF THE PERIOD.

LOADED THE SUPERBLEND THROUGH THE PERIOD. ADDED 15 PERCENT TO
WNDS FOR GUSTS OVER LAND 35 PERCENT OVER COASTAL WATERS. LOADED
NAWAVE 4 FOR SEAS.

&&

.AVIATION /03Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: MOST TAF SITES CURRENTLY VFR...BUT SHOULD LOWER TO IFR
BY EVE AS RN AND RN CHGNG TO SN MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. NRN MOST
TAF SITES MAY ONLY LOWER TO MVFR OR LOW VFR DUE TO VERY LGT
PRECIP. OTHERWISE AFT THE PRECIP MOVES ESE OF THE FA...ALL TAF
SITES SHOULD RECOVER BACK TO VFR FRI MORN AND CONT SO THRU FRI
NGT.

SHORT TERM: VFR CONDITIONS SAT AND SUN INCREASING CLOUDS BCMG
MVFR IN SCT SNOW SHOWERS ON MON.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: CURRENTLY WVS JUST BLO SCA THRESHOLDS...HOWEVER...WW3
WV GUIDANCE INDICATES SWELLS FROM LOW PRES OVR THE OPEN ATLC MOVG
INTO OUR OUTER MZS AFT MDNGT TNGT AND CONTG THRU FRI...SO WE
ISSUED AN SCA FOR HAZ SEAS FOR THESE MZS. AFTWRDS...WIND GUSTS MAY
REACH OR EXCEED 25 KTS FRI NGT...SO WE MAY NEED TO TRANSITION TO
A GENERIC SCA BY TOMORROW`S AFTN FCST UPDATE. WE WENT CLOSE TO WW3
WV HT GUIDANCE FOR FCST WV HTS THRU THE NEAR TERM THIS UPDATE.

SHORT TERM: AN SCA MAY BE REQUIRED AT THE START OF THE PERIOD AS
A LOW TRACK ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE GULF OF MAINE.
WNDS AND SEAS WILL SUBSIDE QUICKLY AS HIGHER PRESSURE BUILDS
ACROSS THE REGION AND WILL DOMINATE THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY
     FOR ANZ050-051.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...HEWITT




000
FXUS61 KCAR 270254
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1054 PM EDT THU MAR 26 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK SECONDARY LOW WILL TRACK THROUGH THE GULF OF MAINE
OVERNIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST FRIDAY
THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
1030 PM UPDATE: 00ZZ SFC ANALYSIS HAD LOW PRES NOW MOVING ACROSS
THE GULF OF MAINE W/THE STEADIEST PRECIP SHIELD FROM CENTRAL MAINE
DOWN ACROSS SOUTHERN AREAS. SOME ENHANCED ECHOES SHOWING UP ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN COAST MOVING NE. SOME OF THIS IS BEING AIDED BY A
50-55KT JET AT 850MBS. THERE COULD BE A BRIEF PERIOD OF HEAVIER
RAINFALL ACROSS THE HANCOCK AND WASHINGTON COUNTY COAST BY
MIDNIGHT. SO FAR, MOST OF THE PRECIP HAS BEEN LIGHT AND IN THE
FORM OF RAIN. A SHARP CUT OFF IN THE PRECIP SHIELD ACROSS THE
NORTH AND WEST AND A FURTHER REDUCTION IN THE PRECIP WAS NEEDED
DROPPING PERCENTAGES BELOW 20% ACROSS THE ST. JOHN VALLEY AND THE
CARIBOU-PRESQUE ISLE REGION.

TEMPERATURES WERE SLOWLY FALLING BACK BUT STILL WELL ABOVE 32F AS
FAR NORTH AS FRENCHVILLE. SOME DRIER ADN COLDER AIR WAS WORKING IN
FROM THE WEST W/THE UPPER TROF. THINKING HERE IS THAT OVERNIGHT
TEMPERATURES WILL STAY UP A FEW DEGREES FROM THE CURRENT FORECAST.
THEREFORE, ADJUSTED THE OVERNIGHT MINS UPWARD. LOWERED SNOWFALL
AMOUNTS AS WELL W/THE LOWERING THE PRECIP CHANCES.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION:
SFC HI PRES FROM CNTRL CAN WILL PUSH CLDS AND PRECIP NOT MUCH
FURTHER S THAN THE GULF OF ME FRI INTO FRI NGT AS AN UPPER LEVEL
TROF HANGS BACK OVR THE GREAT LKS AND N CNTRL APLCHNS. COLDER
SEMI-ARCTIC AIR WILL SLOWLY FILTER INTO THE FA FROM QB BEGINNING
VERY LATE TNGT AND CONTG THRU FRI NGT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
AT THE START OF THE PERIOD THE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT. A
LOW TRACKING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MAINE...WITH THE REMNANTS
OF AN OCCLUDED FRONT WRAPPED ACROSS CENTRAL MAINE. HIGHER PRESSURE
BUILDING SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES REGION. BY SUN
EVNG...THE LOW WILL TRACK EAST SOUTH OF ERN NOVA SCOTIA WITH
REMNANTS OF THE OCCLUDED FRONT EXTENDED ALONG THE COAST OF
MAINE...HIGHER PRESSURE BUILDS INTO NW MAINE. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
DOMINATE THE WEATHER THROUGH EARLY MON MRNG.

LOADED A BLEND OF THE NAM/GEM/GFS/ECMWF FOR HRLY
T/DP/WNDS/SKY/POP GRIDS...LOADED A BLEND OF GFS/ECMWF FOR QPF.
ADDED 15 PERCENT TO WNDS FOR GUSTS OVER LAND...35 PERCENT OVER
COASTAL WATERS. ADDED NAWAVE 4 FOR SEAS.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
THE MODELS CONTINUE IN GOOD AGREEMENT AT THE START OF THE LONG
TERM. HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER AT THE START OF THE
PERIOD. A NEW LOW MOVING EAST ALONG THE NRN PORTIONS OF THE CNTRL
GREAT LAKES...WITH ITS ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT SOUTH THROUGH ERN NY.
MON MRNG THE BY MON MRNG THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO WRN MAINE.
MON EVNG THE LOW WILL MOVE INTO WRN MAINE....AND BY TUE AFTERNOON
A RIDGE OF HIGHER PRESSURE WILL BRIEFLY BUILD ACROSS...BEFORE A
NEW LOW MOVES INTO CAPE COD REGION...WITH ITS ASSOCIATED FRONT
INTO SRN MAINE BY EARLY WED MRNG. WED MRNG THE GFS AND ECMWF
DIFFER A BIT ON POSITION AND MOVE MVMNT OF THE SYSTEM. THE GFS
MOVES THE LOW EAST ACROSS THE SRN GULF OF MAINE...WITH OCCLUDED
FRONT WRAPPED AROUND INTO CNTRL MAINE. THE ECMWF MOVES TO LOW OVER
CAPE COD WRAPPING THE OCCLUDED FRONT INTO SW MAINE. WED EVNG THE
GFS MOVES THE LOW SE OF NOVA SCOTIA... THE ECMWF MOVES THE LOW
SOUTH OF SW NOVA SCOTIA WITH THE OCCLUSION WRAPPED INTO THE BAY OF
FUNDY. HIGHER PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS FOR WED NGT AND THURS.
THURS NGT TWO LOWS ONE MOVING NORTH ALONG THE COAST...THE OTHER
MOVING EAST ACROSS THE NRN GREAT LAKES...WILL MOVE INTO MAINE BY
THE END OF THE PERIOD.

LOADED THE SUPERBLEND THROUGH THE PERIOD. ADDED 15 PERCENT TO
WNDS FOR GUSTS OVER LAND 35 PERCENT OVER COASTAL WATERS. LOADED
NAWAVE 4 FOR SEAS.

&&

.AVIATION /03Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: MOST TAF SITES CURRENTLY VFR...BUT SHOULD LOWER TO IFR
BY EVE AS RN AND RN CHGNG TO SN MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. NRN MOST
TAF SITES MAY ONLY LOWER TO MVFR OR LOW VFR DUE TO VERY LGT
PRECIP. OTHERWISE AFT THE PRECIP MOVES ESE OF THE FA...ALL TAF
SITES SHOULD RECOVER BACK TO VFR FRI MORN AND CONT SO THRU FRI
NGT.

SHORT TERM: VFR CONDITIONS SAT AND SUN INCREASING CLOUDS BCMG
MVFR IN SCT SNOW SHOWERS ON MON.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: CURRENTLY WVS JUST BLO SCA THRESHOLDS...HOWEVER...WW3
WV GUIDANCE INDICATES SWELLS FROM LOW PRES OVR THE OPEN ATLC MOVG
INTO OUR OUTER MZS AFT MDNGT TNGT AND CONTG THRU FRI...SO WE
ISSUED AN SCA FOR HAZ SEAS FOR THESE MZS. AFTWRDS...WIND GUSTS MAY
REACH OR EXCEED 25 KTS FRI NGT...SO WE MAY NEED TO TRANSITION TO
A GENERIC SCA BY TOMORROW`S AFTN FCST UPDATE. WE WENT CLOSE TO WW3
WV HT GUIDANCE FOR FCST WV HTS THRU THE NEAR TERM THIS UPDATE.

SHORT TERM: AN SCA MAY BE REQUIRED AT THE START OF THE PERIOD AS
A LOW TRACK ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE GULF OF MAINE.
WNDS AND SEAS WILL SUBSIDE QUICKLY AS HIGHER PRESSURE BUILDS
ACROSS THE REGION AND WILL DOMINATE THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY
     FOR ANZ050-051.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...HEWITT





000
FXUS61 KCAR 270254
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1054 PM EDT THU MAR 26 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK SECONDARY LOW WILL TRACK THROUGH THE GULF OF MAINE
OVERNIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST FRIDAY
THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
1030 PM UPDATE: 00ZZ SFC ANALYSIS HAD LOW PRES NOW MOVING ACROSS
THE GULF OF MAINE W/THE STEADIEST PRECIP SHIELD FROM CENTRAL MAINE
DOWN ACROSS SOUTHERN AREAS. SOME ENHANCED ECHOES SHOWING UP ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN COAST MOVING NE. SOME OF THIS IS BEING AIDED BY A
50-55KT JET AT 850MBS. THERE COULD BE A BRIEF PERIOD OF HEAVIER
RAINFALL ACROSS THE HANCOCK AND WASHINGTON COUNTY COAST BY
MIDNIGHT. SO FAR, MOST OF THE PRECIP HAS BEEN LIGHT AND IN THE
FORM OF RAIN. A SHARP CUT OFF IN THE PRECIP SHIELD ACROSS THE
NORTH AND WEST AND A FURTHER REDUCTION IN THE PRECIP WAS NEEDED
DROPPING PERCENTAGES BELOW 20% ACROSS THE ST. JOHN VALLEY AND THE
CARIBOU-PRESQUE ISLE REGION.

TEMPERATURES WERE SLOWLY FALLING BACK BUT STILL WELL ABOVE 32F AS
FAR NORTH AS FRENCHVILLE. SOME DRIER ADN COLDER AIR WAS WORKING IN
FROM THE WEST W/THE UPPER TROF. THINKING HERE IS THAT OVERNIGHT
TEMPERATURES WILL STAY UP A FEW DEGREES FROM THE CURRENT FORECAST.
THEREFORE, ADJUSTED THE OVERNIGHT MINS UPWARD. LOWERED SNOWFALL
AMOUNTS AS WELL W/THE LOWERING THE PRECIP CHANCES.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION:
SFC HI PRES FROM CNTRL CAN WILL PUSH CLDS AND PRECIP NOT MUCH
FURTHER S THAN THE GULF OF ME FRI INTO FRI NGT AS AN UPPER LEVEL
TROF HANGS BACK OVR THE GREAT LKS AND N CNTRL APLCHNS. COLDER
SEMI-ARCTIC AIR WILL SLOWLY FILTER INTO THE FA FROM QB BEGINNING
VERY LATE TNGT AND CONTG THRU FRI NGT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
AT THE START OF THE PERIOD THE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT. A
LOW TRACKING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MAINE...WITH THE REMNANTS
OF AN OCCLUDED FRONT WRAPPED ACROSS CENTRAL MAINE. HIGHER PRESSURE
BUILDING SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES REGION. BY SUN
EVNG...THE LOW WILL TRACK EAST SOUTH OF ERN NOVA SCOTIA WITH
REMNANTS OF THE OCCLUDED FRONT EXTENDED ALONG THE COAST OF
MAINE...HIGHER PRESSURE BUILDS INTO NW MAINE. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
DOMINATE THE WEATHER THROUGH EARLY MON MRNG.

LOADED A BLEND OF THE NAM/GEM/GFS/ECMWF FOR HRLY
T/DP/WNDS/SKY/POP GRIDS...LOADED A BLEND OF GFS/ECMWF FOR QPF.
ADDED 15 PERCENT TO WNDS FOR GUSTS OVER LAND...35 PERCENT OVER
COASTAL WATERS. ADDED NAWAVE 4 FOR SEAS.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
THE MODELS CONTINUE IN GOOD AGREEMENT AT THE START OF THE LONG
TERM. HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER AT THE START OF THE
PERIOD. A NEW LOW MOVING EAST ALONG THE NRN PORTIONS OF THE CNTRL
GREAT LAKES...WITH ITS ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT SOUTH THROUGH ERN NY.
MON MRNG THE BY MON MRNG THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO WRN MAINE.
MON EVNG THE LOW WILL MOVE INTO WRN MAINE....AND BY TUE AFTERNOON
A RIDGE OF HIGHER PRESSURE WILL BRIEFLY BUILD ACROSS...BEFORE A
NEW LOW MOVES INTO CAPE COD REGION...WITH ITS ASSOCIATED FRONT
INTO SRN MAINE BY EARLY WED MRNG. WED MRNG THE GFS AND ECMWF
DIFFER A BIT ON POSITION AND MOVE MVMNT OF THE SYSTEM. THE GFS
MOVES THE LOW EAST ACROSS THE SRN GULF OF MAINE...WITH OCCLUDED
FRONT WRAPPED AROUND INTO CNTRL MAINE. THE ECMWF MOVES TO LOW OVER
CAPE COD WRAPPING THE OCCLUDED FRONT INTO SW MAINE. WED EVNG THE
GFS MOVES THE LOW SE OF NOVA SCOTIA... THE ECMWF MOVES THE LOW
SOUTH OF SW NOVA SCOTIA WITH THE OCCLUSION WRAPPED INTO THE BAY OF
FUNDY. HIGHER PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS FOR WED NGT AND THURS.
THURS NGT TWO LOWS ONE MOVING NORTH ALONG THE COAST...THE OTHER
MOVING EAST ACROSS THE NRN GREAT LAKES...WILL MOVE INTO MAINE BY
THE END OF THE PERIOD.

LOADED THE SUPERBLEND THROUGH THE PERIOD. ADDED 15 PERCENT TO
WNDS FOR GUSTS OVER LAND 35 PERCENT OVER COASTAL WATERS. LOADED
NAWAVE 4 FOR SEAS.

&&

.AVIATION /03Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: MOST TAF SITES CURRENTLY VFR...BUT SHOULD LOWER TO IFR
BY EVE AS RN AND RN CHGNG TO SN MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. NRN MOST
TAF SITES MAY ONLY LOWER TO MVFR OR LOW VFR DUE TO VERY LGT
PRECIP. OTHERWISE AFT THE PRECIP MOVES ESE OF THE FA...ALL TAF
SITES SHOULD RECOVER BACK TO VFR FRI MORN AND CONT SO THRU FRI
NGT.

SHORT TERM: VFR CONDITIONS SAT AND SUN INCREASING CLOUDS BCMG
MVFR IN SCT SNOW SHOWERS ON MON.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: CURRENTLY WVS JUST BLO SCA THRESHOLDS...HOWEVER...WW3
WV GUIDANCE INDICATES SWELLS FROM LOW PRES OVR THE OPEN ATLC MOVG
INTO OUR OUTER MZS AFT MDNGT TNGT AND CONTG THRU FRI...SO WE
ISSUED AN SCA FOR HAZ SEAS FOR THESE MZS. AFTWRDS...WIND GUSTS MAY
REACH OR EXCEED 25 KTS FRI NGT...SO WE MAY NEED TO TRANSITION TO
A GENERIC SCA BY TOMORROW`S AFTN FCST UPDATE. WE WENT CLOSE TO WW3
WV HT GUIDANCE FOR FCST WV HTS THRU THE NEAR TERM THIS UPDATE.

SHORT TERM: AN SCA MAY BE REQUIRED AT THE START OF THE PERIOD AS
A LOW TRACK ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE GULF OF MAINE.
WNDS AND SEAS WILL SUBSIDE QUICKLY AS HIGHER PRESSURE BUILDS
ACROSS THE REGION AND WILL DOMINATE THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY
     FOR ANZ050-051.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...HEWITT




000
FXUS61 KCAR 270254
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1054 PM EDT THU MAR 26 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK SECONDARY LOW WILL TRACK THROUGH THE GULF OF MAINE
OVERNIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST FRIDAY
THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
1030 PM UPDATE: 00ZZ SFC ANALYSIS HAD LOW PRES NOW MOVING ACROSS
THE GULF OF MAINE W/THE STEADIEST PRECIP SHIELD FROM CENTRAL MAINE
DOWN ACROSS SOUTHERN AREAS. SOME ENHANCED ECHOES SHOWING UP ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN COAST MOVING NE. SOME OF THIS IS BEING AIDED BY A
50-55KT JET AT 850MBS. THERE COULD BE A BRIEF PERIOD OF HEAVIER
RAINFALL ACROSS THE HANCOCK AND WASHINGTON COUNTY COAST BY
MIDNIGHT. SO FAR, MOST OF THE PRECIP HAS BEEN LIGHT AND IN THE
FORM OF RAIN. A SHARP CUT OFF IN THE PRECIP SHIELD ACROSS THE
NORTH AND WEST AND A FURTHER REDUCTION IN THE PRECIP WAS NEEDED
DROPPING PERCENTAGES BELOW 20% ACROSS THE ST. JOHN VALLEY AND THE
CARIBOU-PRESQUE ISLE REGION.

TEMPERATURES WERE SLOWLY FALLING BACK BUT STILL WELL ABOVE 32F AS
FAR NORTH AS FRENCHVILLE. SOME DRIER ADN COLDER AIR WAS WORKING IN
FROM THE WEST W/THE UPPER TROF. THINKING HERE IS THAT OVERNIGHT
TEMPERATURES WILL STAY UP A FEW DEGREES FROM THE CURRENT FORECAST.
THEREFORE, ADJUSTED THE OVERNIGHT MINS UPWARD. LOWERED SNOWFALL
AMOUNTS AS WELL W/THE LOWERING THE PRECIP CHANCES.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION:
SFC HI PRES FROM CNTRL CAN WILL PUSH CLDS AND PRECIP NOT MUCH
FURTHER S THAN THE GULF OF ME FRI INTO FRI NGT AS AN UPPER LEVEL
TROF HANGS BACK OVR THE GREAT LKS AND N CNTRL APLCHNS. COLDER
SEMI-ARCTIC AIR WILL SLOWLY FILTER INTO THE FA FROM QB BEGINNING
VERY LATE TNGT AND CONTG THRU FRI NGT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
AT THE START OF THE PERIOD THE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT. A
LOW TRACKING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MAINE...WITH THE REMNANTS
OF AN OCCLUDED FRONT WRAPPED ACROSS CENTRAL MAINE. HIGHER PRESSURE
BUILDING SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES REGION. BY SUN
EVNG...THE LOW WILL TRACK EAST SOUTH OF ERN NOVA SCOTIA WITH
REMNANTS OF THE OCCLUDED FRONT EXTENDED ALONG THE COAST OF
MAINE...HIGHER PRESSURE BUILDS INTO NW MAINE. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
DOMINATE THE WEATHER THROUGH EARLY MON MRNG.

LOADED A BLEND OF THE NAM/GEM/GFS/ECMWF FOR HRLY
T/DP/WNDS/SKY/POP GRIDS...LOADED A BLEND OF GFS/ECMWF FOR QPF.
ADDED 15 PERCENT TO WNDS FOR GUSTS OVER LAND...35 PERCENT OVER
COASTAL WATERS. ADDED NAWAVE 4 FOR SEAS.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
THE MODELS CONTINUE IN GOOD AGREEMENT AT THE START OF THE LONG
TERM. HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER AT THE START OF THE
PERIOD. A NEW LOW MOVING EAST ALONG THE NRN PORTIONS OF THE CNTRL
GREAT LAKES...WITH ITS ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT SOUTH THROUGH ERN NY.
MON MRNG THE BY MON MRNG THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO WRN MAINE.
MON EVNG THE LOW WILL MOVE INTO WRN MAINE....AND BY TUE AFTERNOON
A RIDGE OF HIGHER PRESSURE WILL BRIEFLY BUILD ACROSS...BEFORE A
NEW LOW MOVES INTO CAPE COD REGION...WITH ITS ASSOCIATED FRONT
INTO SRN MAINE BY EARLY WED MRNG. WED MRNG THE GFS AND ECMWF
DIFFER A BIT ON POSITION AND MOVE MVMNT OF THE SYSTEM. THE GFS
MOVES THE LOW EAST ACROSS THE SRN GULF OF MAINE...WITH OCCLUDED
FRONT WRAPPED AROUND INTO CNTRL MAINE. THE ECMWF MOVES TO LOW OVER
CAPE COD WRAPPING THE OCCLUDED FRONT INTO SW MAINE. WED EVNG THE
GFS MOVES THE LOW SE OF NOVA SCOTIA... THE ECMWF MOVES THE LOW
SOUTH OF SW NOVA SCOTIA WITH THE OCCLUSION WRAPPED INTO THE BAY OF
FUNDY. HIGHER PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS FOR WED NGT AND THURS.
THURS NGT TWO LOWS ONE MOVING NORTH ALONG THE COAST...THE OTHER
MOVING EAST ACROSS THE NRN GREAT LAKES...WILL MOVE INTO MAINE BY
THE END OF THE PERIOD.

LOADED THE SUPERBLEND THROUGH THE PERIOD. ADDED 15 PERCENT TO
WNDS FOR GUSTS OVER LAND 35 PERCENT OVER COASTAL WATERS. LOADED
NAWAVE 4 FOR SEAS.

&&

.AVIATION /03Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: MOST TAF SITES CURRENTLY VFR...BUT SHOULD LOWER TO IFR
BY EVE AS RN AND RN CHGNG TO SN MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. NRN MOST
TAF SITES MAY ONLY LOWER TO MVFR OR LOW VFR DUE TO VERY LGT
PRECIP. OTHERWISE AFT THE PRECIP MOVES ESE OF THE FA...ALL TAF
SITES SHOULD RECOVER BACK TO VFR FRI MORN AND CONT SO THRU FRI
NGT.

SHORT TERM: VFR CONDITIONS SAT AND SUN INCREASING CLOUDS BCMG
MVFR IN SCT SNOW SHOWERS ON MON.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: CURRENTLY WVS JUST BLO SCA THRESHOLDS...HOWEVER...WW3
WV GUIDANCE INDICATES SWELLS FROM LOW PRES OVR THE OPEN ATLC MOVG
INTO OUR OUTER MZS AFT MDNGT TNGT AND CONTG THRU FRI...SO WE
ISSUED AN SCA FOR HAZ SEAS FOR THESE MZS. AFTWRDS...WIND GUSTS MAY
REACH OR EXCEED 25 KTS FRI NGT...SO WE MAY NEED TO TRANSITION TO
A GENERIC SCA BY TOMORROW`S AFTN FCST UPDATE. WE WENT CLOSE TO WW3
WV HT GUIDANCE FOR FCST WV HTS THRU THE NEAR TERM THIS UPDATE.

SHORT TERM: AN SCA MAY BE REQUIRED AT THE START OF THE PERIOD AS
A LOW TRACK ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE GULF OF MAINE.
WNDS AND SEAS WILL SUBSIDE QUICKLY AS HIGHER PRESSURE BUILDS
ACROSS THE REGION AND WILL DOMINATE THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY
     FOR ANZ050-051.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...HEWITT





000
FXUS61 KCAR 262236
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
636 PM EDT THU MAR 26 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK SECONDARY LOW WILL TRACK THROUGH THE GULF OF MAINE
TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST FRIDAY THROUGH
SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
615 PM UPDATE: 22Z SFC ANALYSIS HAD LOW PRES MOVING NE INTO THE
GULF OF MAINE W/THE STEADIEST PRECIP SHIELD FROM HOULTON-MILLINOCKET
ON SOUTH TO THE COAST. ADJUSTED THE 70-80% POPS A BIT FURTHER S
TO COVER TEH AFOREMENTIONED AREAS. PER THE LATEST RADAR LOOP, THE
ST. JOHN VALLEY AND WNW AREAS COULD STAY DRY. ATTM, DECIDED TO
LOWER THE POPS BACK TO SLIGHT CHANCE(20%). TEMPERATURES NEEDED
ADJUSTMENTS UPWARD AS THEY ARE NOT FALLING BACK AS QUICKLY AS
PREVIOUSLY ANTICIPATED ESPECIALLY TO THE E AND S. BACK ACROSS THE
W AND NW, READINGS ARE DOWN INTO THE MID/UPPER 30S.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION:
MODELS HAVE TRENDED A LITTLE FURTHER SWRD WITH
THE QPF ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK WV OF SFC LOW PRES MOVG E FROM
CNTRL NEW ACROSS THE GULF OF ME. WHAT THIS IMPLIES IS THE DYNAMICS
DO NOT LAST VERY LONG THIS EVE ACROSS PTNS OF THE FA THAT WOULD
BECOME COOL ENOUGH FOR SN EARLIEST DUE EVAPORATIVE AND DYNAMIC
COOLING...NAMELY THE CNTRL ME HIGHLANDS AND THE HIGH TERRAIN IN
AND ARND BAXTER ST PARK. THIS RESULTED IN US LOWERING SNFL ACROSS
THIS PTN OF THE FA IN PARTICULAR. ANOTHER REASON IS THAT TEMPS OVR
THIS AREA THIS AFTN WERE ABOUT 5 DEG WARMER THAN PREVIOUSLY
THOUGHT...SO BL TEMPS WILL TAKE A COUPLE OF MORE HRS LONGER TO
COOL TO SUPPORT ALL SN. ACROSS THE N...IT IS NOW UNCERTAIN WHETHER
STEADY PRECIP WILL REACH EXTREME NRN PTNS OF THE FA...SO POPS WERE
LOWERED TO CHC OR LIKELY CATEGORY...WITH NOT ENOUGH QPF FOR RN TO
CHG TO ANY SN OF SIGNIFICANCE BEFORE PRECIP ENDS LATE TNGT.
DOWNEAST AREAS MAY SEE RN CHG TO SN LATE TNGT BEFORE PRECIP THERE
ENDS ARND DAYBREAK. THE GREATEST QPF OF ARND A HALF INCH WILL BE
OVR DOWNEAST PTNS OF THE FA.

OTHERWISE...SFC HI PRES FROM CNTRL CAN WILL PUSH CLDS AND PRECIP
NOT MUCH FURTHER S THAN THE GULF OF ME FRI INTO FRI NGT AS AN
UPPER LEVEL TROF HANGS BACK OVR THE GREAT LKS AND N CNTRL APLCHNS.
COLDER SEMI-ARCTIC AIR WILL SLOWLY FILTER INTO THE FA FROM QB
BEGINNING VERY LATE TNGT AND CONTG THRU FRI NGT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
AT THE START OF THE PERIOD THE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT. A
LOW TRACKING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MAINE...WITH THE REMNANTS
OF AN OCCLUDED FRONT WRAPPED ACROSS CENTRAL MAINE. HIGHER PRESSURE
BUILDING SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES REGION. BY SUN
EVNG...THE LOW WILL TRACK EAST SOUTH OF ERN NOVA SCOTIA WITH
REMNANTS OF THE OCCLUDED FRONT EXTENDED ALONG THE COAST OF
MAINE...HIGHER PRESSURE BUILDS INTO NW MAINE. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
DOMINATE THE WEATHER THROUGH EARLY MON MRNG.

LOADED A BLEND OF THE NAM/GEM/GFS/ECMWF FOR HRLY
T/DP/WNDS/SKY/POP GRIDS...LOADED A BLEND OF GFS/ECMWF FOR QPF.
ADDED 15 PERCENT TO WNDS FOR GUSTS OVER LAND...35 PERCENT OVER
COASTAL WATERS. ADDED NAWAVE 4 FOR SEAS.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
THE MODELS CONTINUE IN GOOD AGREEMENT AT THE START OF THE LONG
TERM. HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER AT THE START OF THE
PERIOD. A NEW LOW MOVING EAST ALONG THE NRN PORTIONS OF THE CNTRL
GREAT LAKES...WITH ITS ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT SOUTH THROUGH ERN NY.
MON MRNG THE BY MON MRNG THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO WRN MAINE.
MON EVNG THE LOW WILL MOVE INTO WRN MAINE....AND BY TUE AFTERNOON
A RIDGE OF HIGHER PRESSURE WILL BRIEFLY BUILD ACROSS...BEFORE A
NEW LOW MOVES INTO CAPE COD REGION...WITH ITS ASSOCIATED FRONT
INTO SRN MAINE BY EARLY WED MRNG. WED MRNG THE GFS AND ECMWF
DIFFER A BIT ON POSITION AND MOVE MVMNT OF THE SYSTEM. THE GFS
MOVES THE LOW EAST ACROSS THE SRN GULF OF MAINE...WITH OCCLUDED
FRONT WRAPPED AROUND INTO CNTRL MAINE. THE ECMWF MOVES TO LOW OVER
CAPE COD WRAPPING THE OCCLUDED FRONT INTO SW MAINE. WED EVNG THE
GFS MOVES THE LOW SE OF NOVA SCOTIA... THE ECMWF MOVES THE LOW
SOUTH OF SW NOVA SCOTIA WITH THE OCCLUSION WRAPPED INTO THE BAY OF
FUNDY. HIGHER PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS FOR WED NGT AND THURS.
THURS NGT TWO LOWS ONE MOVING NORTH ALONG THE COAST...THE OTHER
MOVING EAST ACROSS THE NRN GREAT LAKES...WILL MOVE INTO MAINE BY
THE END OF THE PERIOD.

LOADED THE SUPERBLEND THROUGH THE PERIOD. ADDED 15 PERCENT TO
WNDS FOR GUSTS OVER LAND 35 PERCENT OVER COASTAL WATERS. LOADED
NAWAVE 4 FOR SEAS.

&&

.AVIATION /22Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: MOST TAF SITES CURRENTLY VFR...BUT SHOULD LOWER TO IFR
BY EVE AS RN AND RN CHGNG TO SN MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. NRN MOST
TAF SITES MAY ONLY LOWER TO MVFR OR LOW VFR DUE TO VERY LGT
PRECIP. OTHERWISE AFT THE PRECIP MOVES ESE OF THE FA...ALL TAF
SITES SHOULD RECOVER BACK TO VFR FRI MORN AND CONT SO THRU FRI
NGT.

SHORT TERM: VFR CONDITIONS SAT AND SUN INCREASING CLOUDS BCMG
MVFR IN SCT SNOW SHOWERS ON MON.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: CURRENTLY WVS JUST BLO SCA THRESHOLDS...HOWEVER...WW3
WV GUIDANCE INDICATES SWELLS FROM LOW PRES OVR THE OPEN ATLC MOVG
INTO OUR OUTER MZS AFT MDNGT TNGT AND CONTG THRU FRI...SO WE
ISSUED AN SCA FOR HAZ SEAS FOR THESE MZS. AFTWRDS...WIND GUSTS MAY
REACH OR EXCEED 25 KTS FRI NGT...SO WE MAY NEED TO TRANSITION TO
A GENERIC SCA BY TOMORROW`S AFTN FCST UPDATE. WE WENT CLOSE TO WW3
WV HT GUIDANCE FOR FCST WV HTS THRU THE NEAR TERM THIS UPDATE.

SHORT TERM: AN SCA MAY BE REQUIRED AT THE START OF THE PERIOD AS
A LOW TRACK ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE GULF OF MAINE.
WNDS AND SEAS WILL SUBSIDE QUICKLY AS HIGHER PRESSURE BUILDS
ACROSS THE REGION AND WILL DOMINATE THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT
     TO 6 PM EDT FRIDAY FOR ANZ050-051.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...HEWITT/VJN
SHORT TERM...NORTON
LONG TERM...NORTON
AVIATION...HEWITT/VJN/NORTON
MARINE...HEWITT/VJN/NORTON




000
FXUS61 KCAR 262236
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
636 PM EDT THU MAR 26 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK SECONDARY LOW WILL TRACK THROUGH THE GULF OF MAINE
TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST FRIDAY THROUGH
SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
615 PM UPDATE: 22Z SFC ANALYSIS HAD LOW PRES MOVING NE INTO THE
GULF OF MAINE W/THE STEADIEST PRECIP SHIELD FROM HOULTON-MILLINOCKET
ON SOUTH TO THE COAST. ADJUSTED THE 70-80% POPS A BIT FURTHER S
TO COVER TEH AFOREMENTIONED AREAS. PER THE LATEST RADAR LOOP, THE
ST. JOHN VALLEY AND WNW AREAS COULD STAY DRY. ATTM, DECIDED TO
LOWER THE POPS BACK TO SLIGHT CHANCE(20%). TEMPERATURES NEEDED
ADJUSTMENTS UPWARD AS THEY ARE NOT FALLING BACK AS QUICKLY AS
PREVIOUSLY ANTICIPATED ESPECIALLY TO THE E AND S. BACK ACROSS THE
W AND NW, READINGS ARE DOWN INTO THE MID/UPPER 30S.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION:
MODELS HAVE TRENDED A LITTLE FURTHER SWRD WITH
THE QPF ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK WV OF SFC LOW PRES MOVG E FROM
CNTRL NEW ACROSS THE GULF OF ME. WHAT THIS IMPLIES IS THE DYNAMICS
DO NOT LAST VERY LONG THIS EVE ACROSS PTNS OF THE FA THAT WOULD
BECOME COOL ENOUGH FOR SN EARLIEST DUE EVAPORATIVE AND DYNAMIC
COOLING...NAMELY THE CNTRL ME HIGHLANDS AND THE HIGH TERRAIN IN
AND ARND BAXTER ST PARK. THIS RESULTED IN US LOWERING SNFL ACROSS
THIS PTN OF THE FA IN PARTICULAR. ANOTHER REASON IS THAT TEMPS OVR
THIS AREA THIS AFTN WERE ABOUT 5 DEG WARMER THAN PREVIOUSLY
THOUGHT...SO BL TEMPS WILL TAKE A COUPLE OF MORE HRS LONGER TO
COOL TO SUPPORT ALL SN. ACROSS THE N...IT IS NOW UNCERTAIN WHETHER
STEADY PRECIP WILL REACH EXTREME NRN PTNS OF THE FA...SO POPS WERE
LOWERED TO CHC OR LIKELY CATEGORY...WITH NOT ENOUGH QPF FOR RN TO
CHG TO ANY SN OF SIGNIFICANCE BEFORE PRECIP ENDS LATE TNGT.
DOWNEAST AREAS MAY SEE RN CHG TO SN LATE TNGT BEFORE PRECIP THERE
ENDS ARND DAYBREAK. THE GREATEST QPF OF ARND A HALF INCH WILL BE
OVR DOWNEAST PTNS OF THE FA.

OTHERWISE...SFC HI PRES FROM CNTRL CAN WILL PUSH CLDS AND PRECIP
NOT MUCH FURTHER S THAN THE GULF OF ME FRI INTO FRI NGT AS AN
UPPER LEVEL TROF HANGS BACK OVR THE GREAT LKS AND N CNTRL APLCHNS.
COLDER SEMI-ARCTIC AIR WILL SLOWLY FILTER INTO THE FA FROM QB
BEGINNING VERY LATE TNGT AND CONTG THRU FRI NGT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
AT THE START OF THE PERIOD THE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT. A
LOW TRACKING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MAINE...WITH THE REMNANTS
OF AN OCCLUDED FRONT WRAPPED ACROSS CENTRAL MAINE. HIGHER PRESSURE
BUILDING SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES REGION. BY SUN
EVNG...THE LOW WILL TRACK EAST SOUTH OF ERN NOVA SCOTIA WITH
REMNANTS OF THE OCCLUDED FRONT EXTENDED ALONG THE COAST OF
MAINE...HIGHER PRESSURE BUILDS INTO NW MAINE. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
DOMINATE THE WEATHER THROUGH EARLY MON MRNG.

LOADED A BLEND OF THE NAM/GEM/GFS/ECMWF FOR HRLY
T/DP/WNDS/SKY/POP GRIDS...LOADED A BLEND OF GFS/ECMWF FOR QPF.
ADDED 15 PERCENT TO WNDS FOR GUSTS OVER LAND...35 PERCENT OVER
COASTAL WATERS. ADDED NAWAVE 4 FOR SEAS.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
THE MODELS CONTINUE IN GOOD AGREEMENT AT THE START OF THE LONG
TERM. HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER AT THE START OF THE
PERIOD. A NEW LOW MOVING EAST ALONG THE NRN PORTIONS OF THE CNTRL
GREAT LAKES...WITH ITS ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT SOUTH THROUGH ERN NY.
MON MRNG THE BY MON MRNG THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO WRN MAINE.
MON EVNG THE LOW WILL MOVE INTO WRN MAINE....AND BY TUE AFTERNOON
A RIDGE OF HIGHER PRESSURE WILL BRIEFLY BUILD ACROSS...BEFORE A
NEW LOW MOVES INTO CAPE COD REGION...WITH ITS ASSOCIATED FRONT
INTO SRN MAINE BY EARLY WED MRNG. WED MRNG THE GFS AND ECMWF
DIFFER A BIT ON POSITION AND MOVE MVMNT OF THE SYSTEM. THE GFS
MOVES THE LOW EAST ACROSS THE SRN GULF OF MAINE...WITH OCCLUDED
FRONT WRAPPED AROUND INTO CNTRL MAINE. THE ECMWF MOVES TO LOW OVER
CAPE COD WRAPPING THE OCCLUDED FRONT INTO SW MAINE. WED EVNG THE
GFS MOVES THE LOW SE OF NOVA SCOTIA... THE ECMWF MOVES THE LOW
SOUTH OF SW NOVA SCOTIA WITH THE OCCLUSION WRAPPED INTO THE BAY OF
FUNDY. HIGHER PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS FOR WED NGT AND THURS.
THURS NGT TWO LOWS ONE MOVING NORTH ALONG THE COAST...THE OTHER
MOVING EAST ACROSS THE NRN GREAT LAKES...WILL MOVE INTO MAINE BY
THE END OF THE PERIOD.

LOADED THE SUPERBLEND THROUGH THE PERIOD. ADDED 15 PERCENT TO
WNDS FOR GUSTS OVER LAND 35 PERCENT OVER COASTAL WATERS. LOADED
NAWAVE 4 FOR SEAS.

&&

.AVIATION /22Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: MOST TAF SITES CURRENTLY VFR...BUT SHOULD LOWER TO IFR
BY EVE AS RN AND RN CHGNG TO SN MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. NRN MOST
TAF SITES MAY ONLY LOWER TO MVFR OR LOW VFR DUE TO VERY LGT
PRECIP. OTHERWISE AFT THE PRECIP MOVES ESE OF THE FA...ALL TAF
SITES SHOULD RECOVER BACK TO VFR FRI MORN AND CONT SO THRU FRI
NGT.

SHORT TERM: VFR CONDITIONS SAT AND SUN INCREASING CLOUDS BCMG
MVFR IN SCT SNOW SHOWERS ON MON.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: CURRENTLY WVS JUST BLO SCA THRESHOLDS...HOWEVER...WW3
WV GUIDANCE INDICATES SWELLS FROM LOW PRES OVR THE OPEN ATLC MOVG
INTO OUR OUTER MZS AFT MDNGT TNGT AND CONTG THRU FRI...SO WE
ISSUED AN SCA FOR HAZ SEAS FOR THESE MZS. AFTWRDS...WIND GUSTS MAY
REACH OR EXCEED 25 KTS FRI NGT...SO WE MAY NEED TO TRANSITION TO
A GENERIC SCA BY TOMORROW`S AFTN FCST UPDATE. WE WENT CLOSE TO WW3
WV HT GUIDANCE FOR FCST WV HTS THRU THE NEAR TERM THIS UPDATE.

SHORT TERM: AN SCA MAY BE REQUIRED AT THE START OF THE PERIOD AS
A LOW TRACK ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE GULF OF MAINE.
WNDS AND SEAS WILL SUBSIDE QUICKLY AS HIGHER PRESSURE BUILDS
ACROSS THE REGION AND WILL DOMINATE THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT
     TO 6 PM EDT FRIDAY FOR ANZ050-051.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...HEWITT/VJN
SHORT TERM...NORTON
LONG TERM...NORTON
AVIATION...HEWITT/VJN/NORTON
MARINE...HEWITT/VJN/NORTON





000
FXUS61 KCAR 262017
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
417 PM EDT THU MAR 26 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK SECONDARY LOW WILL TRACK THROUGH THE GULF OF MAINE
TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST FRIDAY THROUGH
SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
MODELS HAVE TRENDED A LITTLE FURTHER SWRD WITH THE QPF ASSOCIATED
WITH A WEAK WV OF SFC LOW PRES MOVG E FROM CNTRL NEW ACROSS THE
GULF OF ME. WHAT THIS IMPLIES IS THE DYNAMICS DO NOT LAST VERY
LONG THIS EVE ACROSS PTNS OF THE FA THAT WOULD BECOME COOL ENOUGH
FOR SN EARLIEST DUE EVAPORATIVE AND DYNAMIC COOLING...NAMELY THE
CNTRL ME HIGHLANDS AND THE HIGH TERRAIN IN AND ARND BAXTER ST
PARK. THIS RESULTED IN US LOWERING SNFL ACROSS THIS PTN OF THE FA
IN PARTICULAR. ANOTHER REASON IS THAT TEMPS OVR THIS AREA THIS
AFTN WERE ABOUT 5 DEG WARMER THAN PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT...SO BL TEMPS
WILL TAKE A COUPLE OF MORE HRS LONGER TO COOL TO SUPPORT ALL SN.
ACROSS THE N...IT IS NOW UNCERTAIN WHETHER STEADY PRECIP WILL
REACH EXTREME NRN PTNS OF THE FA...SO POPS WERE LOWERED TO CHC OR
LIKELY CATEGORY...WITH NOT ENOUGH QPF FOR RN TO CHG TO ANY SN OF
SIGNIFICANCE BEFORE PRECIP ENDS LATE TNGT. DOWNEAST AREAS MAY SEE
RN CHG TO SN LATE TNGT BEFORE PRECIP THERE ENDS ARND DAYBREAK.
THE GREATEST QPF OF ARND A HALF INCH WILL BE OVR DOWNEAST PTNS OF
THE FA.

OTHERWISE...SFC HI PRES FROM CNTRL CAN WILL PUSH CLDS AND PRECIP
NOT MUCH FURTHER S THAN THE GULF OF ME FRI INTO FRI NGT AS AN
UPPER LEVEL TROF HANGS BACK OVR THE GREAT LKS AND N CNTRL APLCHNS.
COLDER SEMI-ARCTIC AIR WILL SLOWLY FILTER INTO THE FA FROM QB
BEGINNING VERY LATE TNGT AND CONTG THRU FRI NGT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
AT THE START OF THE PERIOD THE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT. A
LOW TRACKING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MAINE...WITH THE REMNANTS
OF AN OCCLUDED FRONT WRAPPED ACROSS CENTRAL MAINE. HIGHER PRESSURE
BUILDING SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES REGION. BY SUN
EVNG...THE LOW WILL TRACK EAST SOUTH OF ERN NOVA SCOTIA WITH
REMNANTS OF THE OCCLUDED FRONT EXTENDED ALONG THE COAST OF
MAINE...HIGHER PRESSURE BUILDS INTO NW MAINE. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
DOMINATE THE WEATHER THROUGH EARLY MON MRNG.

LOADED A BLEND OF THE NAM/GEM/GFS/ECMWF FOR HRLY
T/DP/WNDS/SKY/POP GRIDS...LOADED A BLEND OF GFS/ECMWF FOR QPF.
ADDED 15 PERCENT TO WNDS FOR GUSTS OVER LAND...35 PERCENT OVER
COASTAL WATERS. ADDED NAWAVE 4 FOR SEAS.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
THE MODELS CONTINUE IN GOOD AGREEMENT AT THE START OF THE LONG
TERM. HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER AT THE START OF THE
PERIOD. A NEW LOW MOVING EAST ALONG THE NRN PORTIONS OF THE CNTRL
GREAT LAKES...WITH ITS ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT SOUTH THROUGH ERN NY.
MON MRNG THE BY MON MRNG THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO WRN MAINE.
MON EVNG THE LOW WILL MOVE INTO WRN MAINE....AND BY TUE AFTERNOON
A RIDGE OF HIGHER PRESSURE WILL BRIEFLY BUILD ACROSS...BEFORE A
NEW LOW MOVES INTO CAPE COD REGION...WITH ITS ASSOCIATED FRONT
INTO SRN MAINE BY EARLY WED MRNG. WED MRNG THE GFS AND ECMWF
DIFFER A BIT ON POSITION AND MOVE MVMNT OF THE SYSTEM. THE GFS
MOVES THE LOW EAST ACROSS THE SRN GULF OF MAINE...WITH OCCLUDED
FRONT WRAPPED AROUND INTO CNTRL MAINE. THE ECMWF MOVES TO LOW OVER
CAPE COD WRAPPING THE OCCLUDED FRONT INTO SW MAINE. WED EVNG THE
GFS MOVES THE LOW SE OF NOVA SCOTIA... THE ECMWF MOVES THE LOW
SOUTH OF SW NOVA SCOTIA WITH THE OCCLUSION WRAPPED INTO THE BAY OF
FUNDY. HIGHER PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS FOR WED NGT AND THURS.
THURS NGT TWO LOWS ONE MOVING NORTH ALONG THE COAST...THE OTHER
MOVING EAST ACROSS THE NRN GREAT LAKES...WILL MOVE INTO MAINE BY
THE END OF THE PERIOD.

LOADED THE SUPERBLEND THROUGH THE PERIOD. ADDED 15 PERCENT TO
WNDS FOR GUSTS OVER LAND 35 PERCENT OVER COASTAL WATERS. LOADED
NAWAVE 4 FOR SEAS.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: MOST TAF SITES CURRENTLY VFR...BUT SHOULD LOWER TO IFR
BY EVE AS RN AND RN CHGNG TO SN MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. NRN MOST
TAF SITES MAY ONLY LOWER TO MVFR OR LOW VFR DUE TO VERY LGT
PRECIP. OTHERWISE AFT THE PRECIP MOVES ESE OF THE FA...ALL TAF
SITES SHOULD RECOVER BACK TO VFR FRI MORN AND CONT SO THRU FRI
NGT.

SHORT TERM: VFR CONDITIONS SAT AND SUN INCREASING CLOUDS BCMG
MVFR IN SCT SNOW SHOWERS ON MON.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: CURRENTLY WVS JUST BLO SCA THRESHOLDS...HOWEVER...WW3
WV GUIDANCE INDICATES SWELLS FROM LOW PRES OVR THE OPEN ATLC MOVG
INTO OUR OUTER MZS AFT MDNGT TNGT AND CONTG THRU FRI...SO WE
ISSUED AN SCA FOR HAZ SEAS FOR THESE MZS. AFTWRDS...WIND GUSTS MAY
REACH OR EXCEED 25 KTS FRI NGT...SO WE MAY NEED TO TRANSITION TO
A GENERIC SCA BY TOMORROW`S AFTN FCST UPDATE. WE WENT CLOSE TO WW3
WV HT GUIDANCE FOR FCST WV HTS THRU THE NEAR TERM THIS UPDATE.

SHORT TERM: AN SCA MAY BE REQUIRED AT THE START OF THE PERIOD AS
A LOW TRACK ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE GULF OF MAINE.
WNDS AND SEAS WILL SUBSIDE QUICKLY AS HIGHER PRESSURE BUILDS
ACROSS THE REGION AND WILL DOMINATE THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT
     TO 6 PM EDT FRIDAY FOR ANZ050-051.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...VJN
SHORT TERM...NORTON
LONG TERM...NORTON
AVIATION...VJN/NORTON
MARINE...VJN/NORTON




000
FXUS61 KCAR 262017
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
417 PM EDT THU MAR 26 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK SECONDARY LOW WILL TRACK THROUGH THE GULF OF MAINE
TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST FRIDAY THROUGH
SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
MODELS HAVE TRENDED A LITTLE FURTHER SWRD WITH THE QPF ASSOCIATED
WITH A WEAK WV OF SFC LOW PRES MOVG E FROM CNTRL NEW ACROSS THE
GULF OF ME. WHAT THIS IMPLIES IS THE DYNAMICS DO NOT LAST VERY
LONG THIS EVE ACROSS PTNS OF THE FA THAT WOULD BECOME COOL ENOUGH
FOR SN EARLIEST DUE EVAPORATIVE AND DYNAMIC COOLING...NAMELY THE
CNTRL ME HIGHLANDS AND THE HIGH TERRAIN IN AND ARND BAXTER ST
PARK. THIS RESULTED IN US LOWERING SNFL ACROSS THIS PTN OF THE FA
IN PARTICULAR. ANOTHER REASON IS THAT TEMPS OVR THIS AREA THIS
AFTN WERE ABOUT 5 DEG WARMER THAN PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT...SO BL TEMPS
WILL TAKE A COUPLE OF MORE HRS LONGER TO COOL TO SUPPORT ALL SN.
ACROSS THE N...IT IS NOW UNCERTAIN WHETHER STEADY PRECIP WILL
REACH EXTREME NRN PTNS OF THE FA...SO POPS WERE LOWERED TO CHC OR
LIKELY CATEGORY...WITH NOT ENOUGH QPF FOR RN TO CHG TO ANY SN OF
SIGNIFICANCE BEFORE PRECIP ENDS LATE TNGT. DOWNEAST AREAS MAY SEE
RN CHG TO SN LATE TNGT BEFORE PRECIP THERE ENDS ARND DAYBREAK.
THE GREATEST QPF OF ARND A HALF INCH WILL BE OVR DOWNEAST PTNS OF
THE FA.

OTHERWISE...SFC HI PRES FROM CNTRL CAN WILL PUSH CLDS AND PRECIP
NOT MUCH FURTHER S THAN THE GULF OF ME FRI INTO FRI NGT AS AN
UPPER LEVEL TROF HANGS BACK OVR THE GREAT LKS AND N CNTRL APLCHNS.
COLDER SEMI-ARCTIC AIR WILL SLOWLY FILTER INTO THE FA FROM QB
BEGINNING VERY LATE TNGT AND CONTG THRU FRI NGT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
AT THE START OF THE PERIOD THE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT. A
LOW TRACKING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MAINE...WITH THE REMNANTS
OF AN OCCLUDED FRONT WRAPPED ACROSS CENTRAL MAINE. HIGHER PRESSURE
BUILDING SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES REGION. BY SUN
EVNG...THE LOW WILL TRACK EAST SOUTH OF ERN NOVA SCOTIA WITH
REMNANTS OF THE OCCLUDED FRONT EXTENDED ALONG THE COAST OF
MAINE...HIGHER PRESSURE BUILDS INTO NW MAINE. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
DOMINATE THE WEATHER THROUGH EARLY MON MRNG.

LOADED A BLEND OF THE NAM/GEM/GFS/ECMWF FOR HRLY
T/DP/WNDS/SKY/POP GRIDS...LOADED A BLEND OF GFS/ECMWF FOR QPF.
ADDED 15 PERCENT TO WNDS FOR GUSTS OVER LAND...35 PERCENT OVER
COASTAL WATERS. ADDED NAWAVE 4 FOR SEAS.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
THE MODELS CONTINUE IN GOOD AGREEMENT AT THE START OF THE LONG
TERM. HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER AT THE START OF THE
PERIOD. A NEW LOW MOVING EAST ALONG THE NRN PORTIONS OF THE CNTRL
GREAT LAKES...WITH ITS ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT SOUTH THROUGH ERN NY.
MON MRNG THE BY MON MRNG THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO WRN MAINE.
MON EVNG THE LOW WILL MOVE INTO WRN MAINE....AND BY TUE AFTERNOON
A RIDGE OF HIGHER PRESSURE WILL BRIEFLY BUILD ACROSS...BEFORE A
NEW LOW MOVES INTO CAPE COD REGION...WITH ITS ASSOCIATED FRONT
INTO SRN MAINE BY EARLY WED MRNG. WED MRNG THE GFS AND ECMWF
DIFFER A BIT ON POSITION AND MOVE MVMNT OF THE SYSTEM. THE GFS
MOVES THE LOW EAST ACROSS THE SRN GULF OF MAINE...WITH OCCLUDED
FRONT WRAPPED AROUND INTO CNTRL MAINE. THE ECMWF MOVES TO LOW OVER
CAPE COD WRAPPING THE OCCLUDED FRONT INTO SW MAINE. WED EVNG THE
GFS MOVES THE LOW SE OF NOVA SCOTIA... THE ECMWF MOVES THE LOW
SOUTH OF SW NOVA SCOTIA WITH THE OCCLUSION WRAPPED INTO THE BAY OF
FUNDY. HIGHER PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS FOR WED NGT AND THURS.
THURS NGT TWO LOWS ONE MOVING NORTH ALONG THE COAST...THE OTHER
MOVING EAST ACROSS THE NRN GREAT LAKES...WILL MOVE INTO MAINE BY
THE END OF THE PERIOD.

LOADED THE SUPERBLEND THROUGH THE PERIOD. ADDED 15 PERCENT TO
WNDS FOR GUSTS OVER LAND 35 PERCENT OVER COASTAL WATERS. LOADED
NAWAVE 4 FOR SEAS.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: MOST TAF SITES CURRENTLY VFR...BUT SHOULD LOWER TO IFR
BY EVE AS RN AND RN CHGNG TO SN MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. NRN MOST
TAF SITES MAY ONLY LOWER TO MVFR OR LOW VFR DUE TO VERY LGT
PRECIP. OTHERWISE AFT THE PRECIP MOVES ESE OF THE FA...ALL TAF
SITES SHOULD RECOVER BACK TO VFR FRI MORN AND CONT SO THRU FRI
NGT.

SHORT TERM: VFR CONDITIONS SAT AND SUN INCREASING CLOUDS BCMG
MVFR IN SCT SNOW SHOWERS ON MON.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: CURRENTLY WVS JUST BLO SCA THRESHOLDS...HOWEVER...WW3
WV GUIDANCE INDICATES SWELLS FROM LOW PRES OVR THE OPEN ATLC MOVG
INTO OUR OUTER MZS AFT MDNGT TNGT AND CONTG THRU FRI...SO WE
ISSUED AN SCA FOR HAZ SEAS FOR THESE MZS. AFTWRDS...WIND GUSTS MAY
REACH OR EXCEED 25 KTS FRI NGT...SO WE MAY NEED TO TRANSITION TO
A GENERIC SCA BY TOMORROW`S AFTN FCST UPDATE. WE WENT CLOSE TO WW3
WV HT GUIDANCE FOR FCST WV HTS THRU THE NEAR TERM THIS UPDATE.

SHORT TERM: AN SCA MAY BE REQUIRED AT THE START OF THE PERIOD AS
A LOW TRACK ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE GULF OF MAINE.
WNDS AND SEAS WILL SUBSIDE QUICKLY AS HIGHER PRESSURE BUILDS
ACROSS THE REGION AND WILL DOMINATE THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT
     TO 6 PM EDT FRIDAY FOR ANZ050-051.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...VJN
SHORT TERM...NORTON
LONG TERM...NORTON
AVIATION...VJN/NORTON
MARINE...VJN/NORTON





000
FXUS61 KCAR 261652
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1252 PM EDT THU MAR 26 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK NORTH OF THE AREA THROUGH QUEBEC THIS
AFTERNOON. A WEAK SECONDARY LOW WILL TRACK THROUGH THE GULF OF
MAINE TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST FRIDAY
THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
1235 PM UPDATE: MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO FCST HI TEMPS AND FCST HRLY
TEMPS BASED ON 11 AM AND NOON OBS...MOST OF WHICH RESULTED IN
MILDER AFTN TEMPS OVR W CNTRL PTNS OF THE FA. OTHERWISE...NO CHGS
ATTM TO OTHER NEAR REM FCST ELEMENTS.

PREV DISC: STEADY PCPN WILL MV INTO AREA FM THE WEST AFT 18Z IN
THE FORM OF -RA. AS THE AFTN WEARS ON AND COLD AIR FILTERS DOWN FM
THE NORTH EXPECT RA/SN MIX TO BEGIN ACRS THE NW AFTER 22Z AND
PROGRESS SWRD FM THERE THRU THE END OF THE NR TERM. NO OTHER CHGS
NEEDED TO GRIDS AT THIS TIME.

AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS THAT RAIN WL BE TURNING OVR TO SNOW JUST
AS MOISTURE EVACUATES AREA THEREFORE AM NOT EXPECTING MORE THAN
1-2 QUICK INCHES OF SNOW OVR NW CNTRL PTNS OF THE FA...WITH 2-4
INCHES POSSIBLE OVR THE HIGHER TRRN OF THE CNTRL ME HIGHLANDS AND
BAXTER ST PARK. ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE N WHERE LESS EVENT QPF AND
OVR DOWNEAST WHERE THE CHG OVR TO SN WILL BE VERY LATE TNGT... AN
INCH OR LESS OF SNFL CAN BE XPCTD.

AS FOR QPF AMNTS OVR DOWNEAST HV TRENDED DOWN ON AMNTS TONIGHT
WITH MODELS TRENDING FURTHER OFFSHORE WITH TRACK OF LOW. MAINLY
LOOKING FOR 0.5-0.75 INCHES FM THIS AFTN THRU 12Z FRIDAY BFR RAIN
HEADS SOUTH AND EAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
MOISTURE ALONG A COLD FRONT TRAILING FROM A WEAK SECONDARY LOW MAY
PRODUCE SOME LIGHT RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS DOWNEAST EARLY FRIDAY.
OTHERWISE, FRIDAY WILL BECOME PARTLY SUNNY WITH COOLER DRIER AIR
MOVING IN AHEAD OF COLD HIGH PRESSURE. SKIES WILL CONTINUE TO TREND
CLEARER FRIDAY NIGHT. SATURDAY WILL THEN BE UNSEASONABLY COOL BUT
VERY BRIGHT AS SKIES BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY OVER THE NORTH AND SUNNY
TO PARTLY CLOUDY DOWNEAST. HIGH PRESSURE BY LATE SATURDAY WILL BE
CENTERED OVER THE MIDWEST BUT WILL BE RIDGING NORTHEAST ACROSS NEW
ENGLAND KEEPING CONDITIONS COLD AND DRY.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT
THEN MOVE TO THE EAST OF NEW ENGLAND DURING THE DAY SUNDAY. LOW
PRESSURE WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST SUNDAY NIGHT THEN MOVE ACROSS
THE REGION MONDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL RESULT IN SNOW INITIALLY
DEVELOPING SUNDAY NIGHT THEN MIXING WITH OR CHANGING TO RAIN
DURING THE DAY MONDAY. THE PRECIPITATION IS THEN EXPECTED TO
CHANGE BACK TO SNOW MONDAY NIGHT WITH THE DIURNAL TEMPERATURE
CHANGE. THE LOW WILL THEN MOVE TO THE EAST OF THE AREA MONDAY
NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST
WEDNESDAY. HAVE USED THE SUPER BLEND TO POPULATE GRIDS. WILL USE
SURFACE TEMPERATURE TO DELINEATE PRECIPITATION TYPE.

&&

.AVIATION /14Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: MVFR RESTRICTIONS AT FVE IN LOW CIGS HOWEVER CONFIDENCE
IS LOW THAT -SN WILL IMPACT TERMINAL AND HV LEFT MENTION OUT FOR
NOW. POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR MVFR -SN AT CAR FOR SEVERAL HRS BTWN 23Z
AND 02Z. IFR RESTRICTIONS LOOKS MORE IMPRESSIVE AT PQI AND HUL
THIS EVENING IN -RASN. BGR AND BHB WILL SEE IFR CIGS THRU END OF
TAF VALID TIME IN -RA, THO MAY SEE BGR MIX WITH -SN AFTER 02Z.

SHORT TERM: MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE DOWNEAST FRIDAY MORNING.
OTHERWISE, CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE TO VFR ON FRIDAY AND REMAIN
VFR THROUGH SATURDAY.EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS SUNDAY. IFR/MVFR
CONDITIONS EXPECTED MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: SCA HAS BEEN EXTENDED THRU 18Z THIS AFTERNOON FOR
OFFSHORE WATERS AS SEAS WILL REMAIN 4-6 FT WITH SW WINDS GUSTING
TO NR 30TS. EXPECT SEAS TO DIMINISH FOR A TIME THIS EVENING THEN
INCREASE TOWARD SCA AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: AN SCA MAY BE NEEDED FOR THE OFFSHORE WATERS FOR LATE
FRIDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY FOR WIND GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...VJN
SHORT TERM...BLOOMER
LONG TERM...MIGNONE
AVIATION...VJN/BLOOMER
MARINE...VJN/BLOOMER




000
FXUS61 KCAR 261652
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1252 PM EDT THU MAR 26 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK NORTH OF THE AREA THROUGH QUEBEC THIS
AFTERNOON. A WEAK SECONDARY LOW WILL TRACK THROUGH THE GULF OF
MAINE TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST FRIDAY
THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
1235 PM UPDATE: MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO FCST HI TEMPS AND FCST HRLY
TEMPS BASED ON 11 AM AND NOON OBS...MOST OF WHICH RESULTED IN
MILDER AFTN TEMPS OVR W CNTRL PTNS OF THE FA. OTHERWISE...NO CHGS
ATTM TO OTHER NEAR REM FCST ELEMENTS.

PREV DISC: STEADY PCPN WILL MV INTO AREA FM THE WEST AFT 18Z IN
THE FORM OF -RA. AS THE AFTN WEARS ON AND COLD AIR FILTERS DOWN FM
THE NORTH EXPECT RA/SN MIX TO BEGIN ACRS THE NW AFTER 22Z AND
PROGRESS SWRD FM THERE THRU THE END OF THE NR TERM. NO OTHER CHGS
NEEDED TO GRIDS AT THIS TIME.

AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS THAT RAIN WL BE TURNING OVR TO SNOW JUST
AS MOISTURE EVACUATES AREA THEREFORE AM NOT EXPECTING MORE THAN
1-2 QUICK INCHES OF SNOW OVR NW CNTRL PTNS OF THE FA...WITH 2-4
INCHES POSSIBLE OVR THE HIGHER TRRN OF THE CNTRL ME HIGHLANDS AND
BAXTER ST PARK. ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE N WHERE LESS EVENT QPF AND
OVR DOWNEAST WHERE THE CHG OVR TO SN WILL BE VERY LATE TNGT... AN
INCH OR LESS OF SNFL CAN BE XPCTD.

AS FOR QPF AMNTS OVR DOWNEAST HV TRENDED DOWN ON AMNTS TONIGHT
WITH MODELS TRENDING FURTHER OFFSHORE WITH TRACK OF LOW. MAINLY
LOOKING FOR 0.5-0.75 INCHES FM THIS AFTN THRU 12Z FRIDAY BFR RAIN
HEADS SOUTH AND EAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
MOISTURE ALONG A COLD FRONT TRAILING FROM A WEAK SECONDARY LOW MAY
PRODUCE SOME LIGHT RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS DOWNEAST EARLY FRIDAY.
OTHERWISE, FRIDAY WILL BECOME PARTLY SUNNY WITH COOLER DRIER AIR
MOVING IN AHEAD OF COLD HIGH PRESSURE. SKIES WILL CONTINUE TO TREND
CLEARER FRIDAY NIGHT. SATURDAY WILL THEN BE UNSEASONABLY COOL BUT
VERY BRIGHT AS SKIES BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY OVER THE NORTH AND SUNNY
TO PARTLY CLOUDY DOWNEAST. HIGH PRESSURE BY LATE SATURDAY WILL BE
CENTERED OVER THE MIDWEST BUT WILL BE RIDGING NORTHEAST ACROSS NEW
ENGLAND KEEPING CONDITIONS COLD AND DRY.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT
THEN MOVE TO THE EAST OF NEW ENGLAND DURING THE DAY SUNDAY. LOW
PRESSURE WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST SUNDAY NIGHT THEN MOVE ACROSS
THE REGION MONDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL RESULT IN SNOW INITIALLY
DEVELOPING SUNDAY NIGHT THEN MIXING WITH OR CHANGING TO RAIN
DURING THE DAY MONDAY. THE PRECIPITATION IS THEN EXPECTED TO
CHANGE BACK TO SNOW MONDAY NIGHT WITH THE DIURNAL TEMPERATURE
CHANGE. THE LOW WILL THEN MOVE TO THE EAST OF THE AREA MONDAY
NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST
WEDNESDAY. HAVE USED THE SUPER BLEND TO POPULATE GRIDS. WILL USE
SURFACE TEMPERATURE TO DELINEATE PRECIPITATION TYPE.

&&

.AVIATION /14Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: MVFR RESTRICTIONS AT FVE IN LOW CIGS HOWEVER CONFIDENCE
IS LOW THAT -SN WILL IMPACT TERMINAL AND HV LEFT MENTION OUT FOR
NOW. POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR MVFR -SN AT CAR FOR SEVERAL HRS BTWN 23Z
AND 02Z. IFR RESTRICTIONS LOOKS MORE IMPRESSIVE AT PQI AND HUL
THIS EVENING IN -RASN. BGR AND BHB WILL SEE IFR CIGS THRU END OF
TAF VALID TIME IN -RA, THO MAY SEE BGR MIX WITH -SN AFTER 02Z.

SHORT TERM: MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE DOWNEAST FRIDAY MORNING.
OTHERWISE, CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE TO VFR ON FRIDAY AND REMAIN
VFR THROUGH SATURDAY.EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS SUNDAY. IFR/MVFR
CONDITIONS EXPECTED MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: SCA HAS BEEN EXTENDED THRU 18Z THIS AFTERNOON FOR
OFFSHORE WATERS AS SEAS WILL REMAIN 4-6 FT WITH SW WINDS GUSTING
TO NR 30TS. EXPECT SEAS TO DIMINISH FOR A TIME THIS EVENING THEN
INCREASE TOWARD SCA AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: AN SCA MAY BE NEEDED FOR THE OFFSHORE WATERS FOR LATE
FRIDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY FOR WIND GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...VJN
SHORT TERM...BLOOMER
LONG TERM...MIGNONE
AVIATION...VJN/BLOOMER
MARINE...VJN/BLOOMER





000
FXUS61 KCAR 261434
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1034 AM EDT THU MAR 26 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK NORTH OF THE AREA THROUGH QUEBEC TODAY. A
WEAK SECONDARY LOW WILL TRACK THROUGH THE GULF OF MAINE TONIGHT.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
1010 AM UPDATE: CHGS THIS UPDATE INCLUDED MODIFYING POPS THRU TNGT
USING THE POPS FROM QPF NEAR TERM TOOL AND FCST HRLY TEMPS USING A
COMBO OF OBSVD TEMPS IN THE NOW TERM AND COMBINED RAW MODEL TEMPS
LATER THIS AFTN INTO TNGT. ONE FACTOR NOTED THIS MORN...THAT OBSVD
TEMPS ALF IN THE 950-850MB LAYER WERE NOT AS COLD AS THE GFS MODEL
INDICATES. THIS COULD RESULT IN A BIT OF A LAG IN THE CHGOVR TO SN
VERY LATE THIS AFTN AND ERLY EVE BEGINNING OVR THE CNTRL ME
HIGHLANDS COMPARED TO THE LAST FCST UPDATE. FCST SNOW AMOUNTS LATE
TDY THRU TNGT WERE ADJUSTED TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS...RESULTING IN A
LITTLE LESS EVENT TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES OVR THE
HIGHLANDS OF NW CNTRL ME WITH LESSER AMOUNTS N AND DOWNEAST FOR
REASONS ALLUDED TO IN THE ORGNL NEAR TERN DISC.

ORGNL DISC: STEADY PCPN WILL MV INTO AREA FM THE WEST AFT 18Z IN
THE FORM OF -RA. AS THE AFTN WEARS ON AND COLD AIR FILTERS DOWN FM
THE NORTH EXPECT RA/SN MIX TO BEGIN ACRS THE NW AFTER 22Z AND
PROGRESS SWRD FM THERE THRU THE END OF THE NR TERM. NO OTHER CHGS
NEEDED TO GRIDS AT THIS TIME.

AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS THAT RAIN WL BE TURNING OVR TO SNOW JUST
AS MOISTURE EVACUATES AREA THEREFORE AM NOT EXPECTING MORE THAN
1-2 QUICK INCHES OF SNOW OVR NW CNTRL PTNS OF THE FA...WITH 2-4
INCHES POSSIBLE OVR THE HIGHER TRRN OF THE CNTRL ME HIGHLANDS AND
BAXTER ST PARK. ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE N WHERE LESS EVENT QPF AND
OVR DOWNEAST WHERE THE CHG OVR TO SN WILL BE VERY LATE TNGT... AN
INCH OR LESS OF SNFL CAN BE XPCTD.

AS FOR QPF AMNTS OVR DOWNEAST HV TRENDED DOWN ON AMNTS TONIGHT
WITH MODELS TRENDING FURTHER OFFSHORE WITH TRACK OF LOW. MAINLY
LOOKING FOR 0.5-0.75 INCHES FM THIS AFTN THRU 12Z FRIDAY BFR RAIN
HEADS SOUTH AND EAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
MOISTURE ALONG A COLD FRONT TRAILING FROM A WEAK SECONDARY LOW MAY
PRODUCE SOME LIGHT RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS DOWNEAST EARLY FRIDAY.
OTHERWISE, FRIDAY WILL BECOME PARTLY SUNNY WITH COOLER DRIER AIR
MOVING IN AHEAD OF COLD HIGH PRESSURE. SKIES WILL CONTINUE TO TREND
CLEARER FRIDAY NIGHT. SATURDAY WILL THEN BE UNSEASONABLY COOL BUT
VERY BRIGHT AS SKIES BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY OVER THE NORTH AND SUNNY
TO PARTLY CLOUDY DOWNEAST. HIGH PRESSURE BY LATE SATURDAY WILL BE
CENTERED OVER THE MIDWEST BUT WILL BE RIDGING NORTHEAST ACROSS NEW
ENGLAND KEEPING CONDITIONS COLD AND DRY.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT
THEN MOVE TO THE EAST OF NEW ENGLAND DURING THE DAY SUNDAY. LOW
PRESSURE WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST SUNDAY NIGHT THEN MOVE ACROSS
THE REGION MONDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL RESULT IN SNOW INITIALLY
DEVELOPING SUNDAY NIGHT THEN MIXING WITH OR CHANGING TO RAIN
DURING THE DAY MONDAY. THE PRECIPITATION IS THEN EXPECTED TO
CHANGE BACK TO SNOW MONDAY NIGHT WITH THE DIURNAL TEMPERATURE
CHANGE. THE LOW WILL THEN MOVE TO THE EAST OF THE AREA MONDAY
NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST
WEDNESDAY. HAVE USED THE SUPER BLEND TO POPULATE GRIDS. WILL USE
SURFACE TEMPERATURE TO DELINEATE PRECIPITATION TYPE.

&&

.AVIATION /14Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: MVFR RESTRICTIONS AT FVE IN LOW CIGS HOWEVER CONFIDENCE
IS LOW THAT -SN WILL IMPACT TERMINAL AND HV LEFT MENTION OUT FOR
NOW. POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR MVFR -SN AT CAR FOR SEVERAL HRS BTWN 23Z
AND 02Z. IFR RESTRICTIONS LOOKS MORE IMPRESSIVE AT PQI AND HUL
THIS EVENING IN -RASN. BGR AND BHB WILL SEE IFR CIGS THRU END OF
TAF VALID TIME IN -RA, THO MAY SEE BGR MIX WITH -SN AFTER 02Z.

SHORT TERM: MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE DOWNEAST FRIDAY MORNING.
OTHERWISE, CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE TO VFR ON FRIDAY AND REMAIN
VFR THROUGH SATURDAY.EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS SUNDAY. IFR/MVFR
CONDITIONS EXPECTED MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: SCA HAS BEEN EXTENDED THRU 18Z THIS AFTERNOON FOR
OFFSHORE WATERS AS SEAS WILL REMAIN 4-6 FT WITH SW WINDS GUSTING
TO NR 30TS. EXPECT SEAS TO DIMINISH FOR A TIME THIS EVENING THEN
INCREASE TOWARD SCA AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: AN SCA MAY BE NEEDED FOR THE OFFSHORE WATERS FOR LATE
FRIDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY FOR WIND GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR ANZ050-
     051.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...VJN
SHORT TERM...BLOOMER
LONG TERM...MIGNONE
AVIATION...VJN/BLOOMER
MARINE...VJN/BLOOMER





000
FXUS61 KCAR 261434
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1034 AM EDT THU MAR 26 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK NORTH OF THE AREA THROUGH QUEBEC TODAY. A
WEAK SECONDARY LOW WILL TRACK THROUGH THE GULF OF MAINE TONIGHT.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
1010 AM UPDATE: CHGS THIS UPDATE INCLUDED MODIFYING POPS THRU TNGT
USING THE POPS FROM QPF NEAR TERM TOOL AND FCST HRLY TEMPS USING A
COMBO OF OBSVD TEMPS IN THE NOW TERM AND COMBINED RAW MODEL TEMPS
LATER THIS AFTN INTO TNGT. ONE FACTOR NOTED THIS MORN...THAT OBSVD
TEMPS ALF IN THE 950-850MB LAYER WERE NOT AS COLD AS THE GFS MODEL
INDICATES. THIS COULD RESULT IN A BIT OF A LAG IN THE CHGOVR TO SN
VERY LATE THIS AFTN AND ERLY EVE BEGINNING OVR THE CNTRL ME
HIGHLANDS COMPARED TO THE LAST FCST UPDATE. FCST SNOW AMOUNTS LATE
TDY THRU TNGT WERE ADJUSTED TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS...RESULTING IN A
LITTLE LESS EVENT TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES OVR THE
HIGHLANDS OF NW CNTRL ME WITH LESSER AMOUNTS N AND DOWNEAST FOR
REASONS ALLUDED TO IN THE ORGNL NEAR TERN DISC.

ORGNL DISC: STEADY PCPN WILL MV INTO AREA FM THE WEST AFT 18Z IN
THE FORM OF -RA. AS THE AFTN WEARS ON AND COLD AIR FILTERS DOWN FM
THE NORTH EXPECT RA/SN MIX TO BEGIN ACRS THE NW AFTER 22Z AND
PROGRESS SWRD FM THERE THRU THE END OF THE NR TERM. NO OTHER CHGS
NEEDED TO GRIDS AT THIS TIME.

AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS THAT RAIN WL BE TURNING OVR TO SNOW JUST
AS MOISTURE EVACUATES AREA THEREFORE AM NOT EXPECTING MORE THAN
1-2 QUICK INCHES OF SNOW OVR NW CNTRL PTNS OF THE FA...WITH 2-4
INCHES POSSIBLE OVR THE HIGHER TRRN OF THE CNTRL ME HIGHLANDS AND
BAXTER ST PARK. ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE N WHERE LESS EVENT QPF AND
OVR DOWNEAST WHERE THE CHG OVR TO SN WILL BE VERY LATE TNGT... AN
INCH OR LESS OF SNFL CAN BE XPCTD.

AS FOR QPF AMNTS OVR DOWNEAST HV TRENDED DOWN ON AMNTS TONIGHT
WITH MODELS TRENDING FURTHER OFFSHORE WITH TRACK OF LOW. MAINLY
LOOKING FOR 0.5-0.75 INCHES FM THIS AFTN THRU 12Z FRIDAY BFR RAIN
HEADS SOUTH AND EAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
MOISTURE ALONG A COLD FRONT TRAILING FROM A WEAK SECONDARY LOW MAY
PRODUCE SOME LIGHT RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS DOWNEAST EARLY FRIDAY.
OTHERWISE, FRIDAY WILL BECOME PARTLY SUNNY WITH COOLER DRIER AIR
MOVING IN AHEAD OF COLD HIGH PRESSURE. SKIES WILL CONTINUE TO TREND
CLEARER FRIDAY NIGHT. SATURDAY WILL THEN BE UNSEASONABLY COOL BUT
VERY BRIGHT AS SKIES BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY OVER THE NORTH AND SUNNY
TO PARTLY CLOUDY DOWNEAST. HIGH PRESSURE BY LATE SATURDAY WILL BE
CENTERED OVER THE MIDWEST BUT WILL BE RIDGING NORTHEAST ACROSS NEW
ENGLAND KEEPING CONDITIONS COLD AND DRY.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT
THEN MOVE TO THE EAST OF NEW ENGLAND DURING THE DAY SUNDAY. LOW
PRESSURE WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST SUNDAY NIGHT THEN MOVE ACROSS
THE REGION MONDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL RESULT IN SNOW INITIALLY
DEVELOPING SUNDAY NIGHT THEN MIXING WITH OR CHANGING TO RAIN
DURING THE DAY MONDAY. THE PRECIPITATION IS THEN EXPECTED TO
CHANGE BACK TO SNOW MONDAY NIGHT WITH THE DIURNAL TEMPERATURE
CHANGE. THE LOW WILL THEN MOVE TO THE EAST OF THE AREA MONDAY
NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST
WEDNESDAY. HAVE USED THE SUPER BLEND TO POPULATE GRIDS. WILL USE
SURFACE TEMPERATURE TO DELINEATE PRECIPITATION TYPE.

&&

.AVIATION /14Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: MVFR RESTRICTIONS AT FVE IN LOW CIGS HOWEVER CONFIDENCE
IS LOW THAT -SN WILL IMPACT TERMINAL AND HV LEFT MENTION OUT FOR
NOW. POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR MVFR -SN AT CAR FOR SEVERAL HRS BTWN 23Z
AND 02Z. IFR RESTRICTIONS LOOKS MORE IMPRESSIVE AT PQI AND HUL
THIS EVENING IN -RASN. BGR AND BHB WILL SEE IFR CIGS THRU END OF
TAF VALID TIME IN -RA, THO MAY SEE BGR MIX WITH -SN AFTER 02Z.

SHORT TERM: MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE DOWNEAST FRIDAY MORNING.
OTHERWISE, CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE TO VFR ON FRIDAY AND REMAIN
VFR THROUGH SATURDAY.EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS SUNDAY. IFR/MVFR
CONDITIONS EXPECTED MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: SCA HAS BEEN EXTENDED THRU 18Z THIS AFTERNOON FOR
OFFSHORE WATERS AS SEAS WILL REMAIN 4-6 FT WITH SW WINDS GUSTING
TO NR 30TS. EXPECT SEAS TO DIMINISH FOR A TIME THIS EVENING THEN
INCREASE TOWARD SCA AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: AN SCA MAY BE NEEDED FOR THE OFFSHORE WATERS FOR LATE
FRIDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY FOR WIND GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR ANZ050-
     051.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...VJN
SHORT TERM...BLOOMER
LONG TERM...MIGNONE
AVIATION...VJN/BLOOMER
MARINE...VJN/BLOOMER




    US Dept of Commerce
    National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
    National Weather Service
    1325 East West Highway
    Silver Spring, MD 20910
    Page Author: NWS Internet Services Team
Disclaimer
Information Quality
Credits
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities