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000
FXUS64 KCRP 070206
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
906 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

.DISCUSSION...FAIR WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT WITH
FLAT MID/UPPER LVL RIDGE OVER THE REGION. A MODERATE ONSHORE FLOW
WILL CONTINUE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS TONIGHT...GRADUALLY
RELAXING TO A LIGHT SOUTHEAST FLOW OVERLAND TONIGHT. CURRENT
FORECAST APPEARS IN GOOD SHAPE...AND NO CHANGES ARE NEEDED AT THIS
TIME.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 633 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015/

DISCUSSION...SEE 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

AVIATION...EXCEPT AT KLRD WHERE VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL...AM
EXPECTING MVFR CONDITIONS TO DEVELOP AT THE OTHER THREE TERMINALS.
AM EXPECTING MVFR CIGS AT KCRP AND KVCT BFR 06Z BUT AFTER 06Z AT
KALI. REASONING IS THAT MVFR CIGS ARE ALREADY OCCURRING NEAR THE
COAST AT KRAS AND KNGP (AND MAY COME IN EARLIER THAN FORECAST AT
EASTERN TERMINALS). HIGH DEW POINTS AND HAZE MAY RESULT IN SOME
VERY BRIEF MVFR VSBYS AT KALI AND KVCT AND HAVE KEPT FROM PREVIOUS
FORECAST. HOWEVER...925 MB WINDS ARE PROGGED TO BE 30-35 KNOTS
EASTERN TERMINALS SO MAY BE TOO MUCH MIXING. NEVERTHELESS...KEPT
THIS BRIEF BR IN AND ALSO INCLUDED WIND SHEAR IN EASTERN TERMINALS
(SFC WINDS AT KLRD TOO STRONG TO PUT IN TERMINALS). VFR CONDITIONS
SHOULD RETURN TO ALL TERMINALS BY 07/15Z...WITH GUSTY SOUTH WINDS
BECOMING SSE DURING THE AFTERNOON.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 323 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)...QUIET WEATHER IS IN
STORE ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS DURING THE SHORT TERM PERIOD. DRIER AIR HAS
MOVED INTO THE REGION AS EVIDENT PWAT/S OF 1.48 INCHES ON THE 12Z
CRP SOUNDING. COMBINATION OF THE DRIER AIR AND FLAT MID LEVEL
RIDGING SHOULD KEEP DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS TONIGHT
THROUGH TOMORROW NIGHT. AS WITH THIS MORNING...THERE COULD BE A
ROGUE SHOWER OR TWO OVER THE GULF WATERS BUT COVERAGE SHOULD BE FAR
TOO LIMITED TO MENTION IN THE FORECAST. VERY WARM CONDITIONS WILL
PERSIST ON TUESDAY WITH HIGHS NEAR 100 OUT WEST WITH LOWER 90S OVER
THE COASTAL BEND INTO THE VICTORIA CROSSROADS. LITTLE VARIATION IS
EXPECTED WITH MIN TEMPS AS LOWS WILL REMAIN IN THE MIDDLE TO
UPPER 70S. PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL CONTINUE TO BE ELEVATED THROUGH
THE PERIOD...RESULTING IN BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS OVER THE
AREA. CONDITIONS MAY FLIRT WITH SCA LEVELS...BUT WILL KEEP WINDS
IN THE SCEC RANGE FOR NOW.

LONG TERM (WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)...CONTINUED QUIET WEATHER
EXPECTED AS STRONG MID LEVEL RIDGE CENTER SHIFTS FROM SE CONUS TO
SW CONUS THROUGH THE LONG TERM PERIOD. LACK OF SIGNIFICANT DEEP
LAYER MOISTURE AND STRONG SUBSIDENCE WILL KEEP PRECIP CHANCES LOW
TO NIL. PRESSURE GRADIENT FORCE WILL BE UNSEASONABLY STRONG ACROSS
TEXAS ON WEDNESDAY...RESULTING IN BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS.
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE EAST OVER THE WEEKEND
RESULTING IN LIGHTER WIND AND HOTTER DAYTIME TEMPS.
NOCTURNALLY...DRIER AIRMASS AND LIGHT WIND MAY ALLOW FOR MIN
TEMPS OVER THE WEEKEND/EARLY NEXT WEEK TO BE APPROX 2 TO 3 DEGREES
COOLER THAN PREVIOUS DAYS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    79  91  78  92  77  /  10  10   0  10  10
VICTORIA          77  90  76  93  75  /  10  10   0  10  10
LAREDO            78  99  77 100  76  /  10  10   0   0   0
ALICE             77  94  76  95  75  /  10  10   0  10   0
ROCKPORT          81  88  80  90  80  /  10  10   0  10  10
COTULLA           76  97  76  97  75  /  10  10   0   0   0
KINGSVILLE        78  92  78  94  76  /  10  10   0  10  10
NAVY CORPUS       80  88  79  90  80  /  10  10   0  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

LK/84...SHORT TERM





000
FXUS64 KCRP 070206
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
906 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

.DISCUSSION...FAIR WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT WITH
FLAT MID/UPPER LVL RIDGE OVER THE REGION. A MODERATE ONSHORE FLOW
WILL CONTINUE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS TONIGHT...GRADUALLY
RELAXING TO A LIGHT SOUTHEAST FLOW OVERLAND TONIGHT. CURRENT
FORECAST APPEARS IN GOOD SHAPE...AND NO CHANGES ARE NEEDED AT THIS
TIME.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 633 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015/

DISCUSSION...SEE 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

AVIATION...EXCEPT AT KLRD WHERE VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL...AM
EXPECTING MVFR CONDITIONS TO DEVELOP AT THE OTHER THREE TERMINALS.
AM EXPECTING MVFR CIGS AT KCRP AND KVCT BFR 06Z BUT AFTER 06Z AT
KALI. REASONING IS THAT MVFR CIGS ARE ALREADY OCCURRING NEAR THE
COAST AT KRAS AND KNGP (AND MAY COME IN EARLIER THAN FORECAST AT
EASTERN TERMINALS). HIGH DEW POINTS AND HAZE MAY RESULT IN SOME
VERY BRIEF MVFR VSBYS AT KALI AND KVCT AND HAVE KEPT FROM PREVIOUS
FORECAST. HOWEVER...925 MB WINDS ARE PROGGED TO BE 30-35 KNOTS
EASTERN TERMINALS SO MAY BE TOO MUCH MIXING. NEVERTHELESS...KEPT
THIS BRIEF BR IN AND ALSO INCLUDED WIND SHEAR IN EASTERN TERMINALS
(SFC WINDS AT KLRD TOO STRONG TO PUT IN TERMINALS). VFR CONDITIONS
SHOULD RETURN TO ALL TERMINALS BY 07/15Z...WITH GUSTY SOUTH WINDS
BECOMING SSE DURING THE AFTERNOON.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 323 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)...QUIET WEATHER IS IN
STORE ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS DURING THE SHORT TERM PERIOD. DRIER AIR HAS
MOVED INTO THE REGION AS EVIDENT PWAT/S OF 1.48 INCHES ON THE 12Z
CRP SOUNDING. COMBINATION OF THE DRIER AIR AND FLAT MID LEVEL
RIDGING SHOULD KEEP DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS TONIGHT
THROUGH TOMORROW NIGHT. AS WITH THIS MORNING...THERE COULD BE A
ROGUE SHOWER OR TWO OVER THE GULF WATERS BUT COVERAGE SHOULD BE FAR
TOO LIMITED TO MENTION IN THE FORECAST. VERY WARM CONDITIONS WILL
PERSIST ON TUESDAY WITH HIGHS NEAR 100 OUT WEST WITH LOWER 90S OVER
THE COASTAL BEND INTO THE VICTORIA CROSSROADS. LITTLE VARIATION IS
EXPECTED WITH MIN TEMPS AS LOWS WILL REMAIN IN THE MIDDLE TO
UPPER 70S. PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL CONTINUE TO BE ELEVATED THROUGH
THE PERIOD...RESULTING IN BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS OVER THE
AREA. CONDITIONS MAY FLIRT WITH SCA LEVELS...BUT WILL KEEP WINDS
IN THE SCEC RANGE FOR NOW.

LONG TERM (WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)...CONTINUED QUIET WEATHER
EXPECTED AS STRONG MID LEVEL RIDGE CENTER SHIFTS FROM SE CONUS TO
SW CONUS THROUGH THE LONG TERM PERIOD. LACK OF SIGNIFICANT DEEP
LAYER MOISTURE AND STRONG SUBSIDENCE WILL KEEP PRECIP CHANCES LOW
TO NIL. PRESSURE GRADIENT FORCE WILL BE UNSEASONABLY STRONG ACROSS
TEXAS ON WEDNESDAY...RESULTING IN BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS.
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE EAST OVER THE WEEKEND
RESULTING IN LIGHTER WIND AND HOTTER DAYTIME TEMPS.
NOCTURNALLY...DRIER AIRMASS AND LIGHT WIND MAY ALLOW FOR MIN
TEMPS OVER THE WEEKEND/EARLY NEXT WEEK TO BE APPROX 2 TO 3 DEGREES
COOLER THAN PREVIOUS DAYS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    79  91  78  92  77  /  10  10   0  10  10
VICTORIA          77  90  76  93  75  /  10  10   0  10  10
LAREDO            78  99  77 100  76  /  10  10   0   0   0
ALICE             77  94  76  95  75  /  10  10   0  10   0
ROCKPORT          81  88  80  90  80  /  10  10   0  10  10
COTULLA           76  97  76  97  75  /  10  10   0   0   0
KINGSVILLE        78  92  78  94  76  /  10  10   0  10  10
NAVY CORPUS       80  88  79  90  80  /  10  10   0  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

LK/84...SHORT TERM




000
FXUS64 KCRP 062333 AAA
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
633 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

.DISCUSSION...SEE 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.AVIATION...EXCEPT AT KLRD WHERE VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL...AM
EXPECTING MVFR CONDITIONS TO DEVELOP AT THE OTHER THREE TERMINALS.
AM EXPECTING MVFR CIGS AT KCRP AND KVCT BFR 06Z BUT AFTER 06Z AT
KALI. REASONING IS THAT MVFR CIGS ARE ALREADY OCCURRING NEAR THE
COAST AT KRAS AND KNGP (AND MAY COME IN EARLIER THAN FORECAST AT
EASTERN TERMINALS). HIGH DEW POINTS AND HAZE MAY RESULT IN SOME
VERY BRIEF MVFR VSBYS AT KALI AND KVCT AND HAVE KEPT FROM PREVIOUS
FORECAST. HOWEVER...925 MB WINDS ARE PROGGED TO BE 30-35 KNOTS
EASTERN TERMINALS SO MAY BE TOO MUCH MIXING. NEVERTHELESS...KEPT
THIS BRIEF BR IN AND ALSO INCLUDED WIND SHEAR IN EASTERN TERMINALS
(SFC WINDS AT KLRD TOO STRONG TO PUT IN TERMINALS). VFR CONDITIONS
SHOULD RETURN TO ALL TERMINALS BY 07/15Z...WITH GUSTY SOUTH WINDS
BECOMING SSE DURING THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 323 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)...QUIET WEATHER IS IN
STORE ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS DURING THE SHORT TERM PERIOD. DRIER AIR HAS
MOVED INTO THE REGION AS EVIDENT PWAT/S OF 1.48 INCHES ON THE 12Z
CRP SOUNDING. COMBINATION OF THE DRIER AIR AND FLAT MID LEVEL
RIDGING SHOULD KEEP DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS TONIGHT
THROUGH TOMORROW NIGHT. AS WITH THIS MORNING...THERE COULD BE A
ROGUE SHOWER OR TWO OVER THE GULF WATERS BUT COVERAGE SHOULD BE FAR
TOO LIMITED TO MENTION IN THE FORECAST. VERY WARM CONDITIONS WILL
PERSIST ON TUESDAY WITH HIGHS NEAR 100 OUT WEST WITH LOWER 90S OVER
THE COASTAL BEND INTO THE VICTORIA CROSSROADS. LITTLE VARIATION IS
EXPECTED WITH MIN TEMPS AS LOWS WILL REMAIN IN THE MIDDLE TO
UPPER 70S. PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL CONTINUE TO BE ELEVATED THROUGH
THE PERIOD...RESULTING IN BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS OVER THE
AREA. CONDITIONS MAY FLIRT WITH SCA LEVELS...BUT WILL KEEP WINDS
IN THE SCEC RANGE FOR NOW.

LONG TERM (WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)...CONTINUED QUIET WEATHER
EXPECTED AS STRONG MID LEVEL RIDGE CENTER SHIFTS FROM SE CONUS TO
SW CONUS THROUGH THE LONG TERM PERIOD. LACK OF SIGNIFICANT DEEP
LAYER MOISTURE AND STRONG SUBSIDENCE WILL KEEP PRECIP CHANCES LOW
TO NIL. PRESSURE GRADIENT FORCE WILL BE UNSEASONABLY STRONG ACROSS
TEXAS ON WEDNESDAY...RESULTING IN BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS.
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE EAST OVER THE WEEKEND
RESULTING IN LIGHTER WIND AND HOTTER DAYTIME TEMPS.
NOCTURNALLY...DRIER AIRMASS AND LIGHT WIND MAY ALLOW FOR MIN
TEMPS OVER THE WEEKEND/EARLY NEXT WEEK TO BE APPROX 2 TO 3 DEGREES
COOLER THAN PREVIOUS DAYS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    79  91  78  92  77  /  10  10   0  10  10
VICTORIA          77  90  76  93  75  /  10  10   0  10  10
LAREDO            78  99  77 100  76  /  10  10   0   0   0
ALICE             77  94  76  95  75  /  10  10   0  10   0
ROCKPORT          81  88  80  90  80  /  10  10   0  10  10
COTULLA           76  97  76  97  75  /  10  10   0   0   0
KINGSVILLE        78  92  78  94  76  /  10  10   0  10  10
NAVY CORPUS       80  88  79  90  80  /  10  10   0  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

GW/86...AVIATION




000
FXUS64 KCRP 062333 AAA
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
633 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

.DISCUSSION...SEE 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.AVIATION...EXCEPT AT KLRD WHERE VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL...AM
EXPECTING MVFR CONDITIONS TO DEVELOP AT THE OTHER THREE TERMINALS.
AM EXPECTING MVFR CIGS AT KCRP AND KVCT BFR 06Z BUT AFTER 06Z AT
KALI. REASONING IS THAT MVFR CIGS ARE ALREADY OCCURRING NEAR THE
COAST AT KRAS AND KNGP (AND MAY COME IN EARLIER THAN FORECAST AT
EASTERN TERMINALS). HIGH DEW POINTS AND HAZE MAY RESULT IN SOME
VERY BRIEF MVFR VSBYS AT KALI AND KVCT AND HAVE KEPT FROM PREVIOUS
FORECAST. HOWEVER...925 MB WINDS ARE PROGGED TO BE 30-35 KNOTS
EASTERN TERMINALS SO MAY BE TOO MUCH MIXING. NEVERTHELESS...KEPT
THIS BRIEF BR IN AND ALSO INCLUDED WIND SHEAR IN EASTERN TERMINALS
(SFC WINDS AT KLRD TOO STRONG TO PUT IN TERMINALS). VFR CONDITIONS
SHOULD RETURN TO ALL TERMINALS BY 07/15Z...WITH GUSTY SOUTH WINDS
BECOMING SSE DURING THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 323 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)...QUIET WEATHER IS IN
STORE ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS DURING THE SHORT TERM PERIOD. DRIER AIR HAS
MOVED INTO THE REGION AS EVIDENT PWAT/S OF 1.48 INCHES ON THE 12Z
CRP SOUNDING. COMBINATION OF THE DRIER AIR AND FLAT MID LEVEL
RIDGING SHOULD KEEP DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS TONIGHT
THROUGH TOMORROW NIGHT. AS WITH THIS MORNING...THERE COULD BE A
ROGUE SHOWER OR TWO OVER THE GULF WATERS BUT COVERAGE SHOULD BE FAR
TOO LIMITED TO MENTION IN THE FORECAST. VERY WARM CONDITIONS WILL
PERSIST ON TUESDAY WITH HIGHS NEAR 100 OUT WEST WITH LOWER 90S OVER
THE COASTAL BEND INTO THE VICTORIA CROSSROADS. LITTLE VARIATION IS
EXPECTED WITH MIN TEMPS AS LOWS WILL REMAIN IN THE MIDDLE TO
UPPER 70S. PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL CONTINUE TO BE ELEVATED THROUGH
THE PERIOD...RESULTING IN BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS OVER THE
AREA. CONDITIONS MAY FLIRT WITH SCA LEVELS...BUT WILL KEEP WINDS
IN THE SCEC RANGE FOR NOW.

LONG TERM (WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)...CONTINUED QUIET WEATHER
EXPECTED AS STRONG MID LEVEL RIDGE CENTER SHIFTS FROM SE CONUS TO
SW CONUS THROUGH THE LONG TERM PERIOD. LACK OF SIGNIFICANT DEEP
LAYER MOISTURE AND STRONG SUBSIDENCE WILL KEEP PRECIP CHANCES LOW
TO NIL. PRESSURE GRADIENT FORCE WILL BE UNSEASONABLY STRONG ACROSS
TEXAS ON WEDNESDAY...RESULTING IN BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS.
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE EAST OVER THE WEEKEND
RESULTING IN LIGHTER WIND AND HOTTER DAYTIME TEMPS.
NOCTURNALLY...DRIER AIRMASS AND LIGHT WIND MAY ALLOW FOR MIN
TEMPS OVER THE WEEKEND/EARLY NEXT WEEK TO BE APPROX 2 TO 3 DEGREES
COOLER THAN PREVIOUS DAYS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    79  91  78  92  77  /  10  10   0  10  10
VICTORIA          77  90  76  93  75  /  10  10   0  10  10
LAREDO            78  99  77 100  76  /  10  10   0   0   0
ALICE             77  94  76  95  75  /  10  10   0  10   0
ROCKPORT          81  88  80  90  80  /  10  10   0  10  10
COTULLA           76  97  76  97  75  /  10  10   0   0   0
KINGSVILLE        78  92  78  94  76  /  10  10   0  10  10
NAVY CORPUS       80  88  79  90  80  /  10  10   0  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

GW/86...AVIATION





000
FXUS64 KCRP 062333 AAA
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
633 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

.DISCUSSION...SEE 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.AVIATION...EXCEPT AT KLRD WHERE VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL...AM
EXPECTING MVFR CONDITIONS TO DEVELOP AT THE OTHER THREE TERMINALS.
AM EXPECTING MVFR CIGS AT KCRP AND KVCT BFR 06Z BUT AFTER 06Z AT
KALI. REASONING IS THAT MVFR CIGS ARE ALREADY OCCURRING NEAR THE
COAST AT KRAS AND KNGP (AND MAY COME IN EARLIER THAN FORECAST AT
EASTERN TERMINALS). HIGH DEW POINTS AND HAZE MAY RESULT IN SOME
VERY BRIEF MVFR VSBYS AT KALI AND KVCT AND HAVE KEPT FROM PREVIOUS
FORECAST. HOWEVER...925 MB WINDS ARE PROGGED TO BE 30-35 KNOTS
EASTERN TERMINALS SO MAY BE TOO MUCH MIXING. NEVERTHELESS...KEPT
THIS BRIEF BR IN AND ALSO INCLUDED WIND SHEAR IN EASTERN TERMINALS
(SFC WINDS AT KLRD TOO STRONG TO PUT IN TERMINALS). VFR CONDITIONS
SHOULD RETURN TO ALL TERMINALS BY 07/15Z...WITH GUSTY SOUTH WINDS
BECOMING SSE DURING THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 323 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)...QUIET WEATHER IS IN
STORE ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS DURING THE SHORT TERM PERIOD. DRIER AIR HAS
MOVED INTO THE REGION AS EVIDENT PWAT/S OF 1.48 INCHES ON THE 12Z
CRP SOUNDING. COMBINATION OF THE DRIER AIR AND FLAT MID LEVEL
RIDGING SHOULD KEEP DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS TONIGHT
THROUGH TOMORROW NIGHT. AS WITH THIS MORNING...THERE COULD BE A
ROGUE SHOWER OR TWO OVER THE GULF WATERS BUT COVERAGE SHOULD BE FAR
TOO LIMITED TO MENTION IN THE FORECAST. VERY WARM CONDITIONS WILL
PERSIST ON TUESDAY WITH HIGHS NEAR 100 OUT WEST WITH LOWER 90S OVER
THE COASTAL BEND INTO THE VICTORIA CROSSROADS. LITTLE VARIATION IS
EXPECTED WITH MIN TEMPS AS LOWS WILL REMAIN IN THE MIDDLE TO
UPPER 70S. PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL CONTINUE TO BE ELEVATED THROUGH
THE PERIOD...RESULTING IN BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS OVER THE
AREA. CONDITIONS MAY FLIRT WITH SCA LEVELS...BUT WILL KEEP WINDS
IN THE SCEC RANGE FOR NOW.

LONG TERM (WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)...CONTINUED QUIET WEATHER
EXPECTED AS STRONG MID LEVEL RIDGE CENTER SHIFTS FROM SE CONUS TO
SW CONUS THROUGH THE LONG TERM PERIOD. LACK OF SIGNIFICANT DEEP
LAYER MOISTURE AND STRONG SUBSIDENCE WILL KEEP PRECIP CHANCES LOW
TO NIL. PRESSURE GRADIENT FORCE WILL BE UNSEASONABLY STRONG ACROSS
TEXAS ON WEDNESDAY...RESULTING IN BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS.
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE EAST OVER THE WEEKEND
RESULTING IN LIGHTER WIND AND HOTTER DAYTIME TEMPS.
NOCTURNALLY...DRIER AIRMASS AND LIGHT WIND MAY ALLOW FOR MIN
TEMPS OVER THE WEEKEND/EARLY NEXT WEEK TO BE APPROX 2 TO 3 DEGREES
COOLER THAN PREVIOUS DAYS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    79  91  78  92  77  /  10  10   0  10  10
VICTORIA          77  90  76  93  75  /  10  10   0  10  10
LAREDO            78  99  77 100  76  /  10  10   0   0   0
ALICE             77  94  76  95  75  /  10  10   0  10   0
ROCKPORT          81  88  80  90  80  /  10  10   0  10  10
COTULLA           76  97  76  97  75  /  10  10   0   0   0
KINGSVILLE        78  92  78  94  76  /  10  10   0  10  10
NAVY CORPUS       80  88  79  90  80  /  10  10   0  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

GW/86...AVIATION




000
FXUS64 KCRP 062333 AAA
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
633 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

.DISCUSSION...SEE 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.AVIATION...EXCEPT AT KLRD WHERE VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL...AM
EXPECTING MVFR CONDITIONS TO DEVELOP AT THE OTHER THREE TERMINALS.
AM EXPECTING MVFR CIGS AT KCRP AND KVCT BFR 06Z BUT AFTER 06Z AT
KALI. REASONING IS THAT MVFR CIGS ARE ALREADY OCCURRING NEAR THE
COAST AT KRAS AND KNGP (AND MAY COME IN EARLIER THAN FORECAST AT
EASTERN TERMINALS). HIGH DEW POINTS AND HAZE MAY RESULT IN SOME
VERY BRIEF MVFR VSBYS AT KALI AND KVCT AND HAVE KEPT FROM PREVIOUS
FORECAST. HOWEVER...925 MB WINDS ARE PROGGED TO BE 30-35 KNOTS
EASTERN TERMINALS SO MAY BE TOO MUCH MIXING. NEVERTHELESS...KEPT
THIS BRIEF BR IN AND ALSO INCLUDED WIND SHEAR IN EASTERN TERMINALS
(SFC WINDS AT KLRD TOO STRONG TO PUT IN TERMINALS). VFR CONDITIONS
SHOULD RETURN TO ALL TERMINALS BY 07/15Z...WITH GUSTY SOUTH WINDS
BECOMING SSE DURING THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 323 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)...QUIET WEATHER IS IN
STORE ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS DURING THE SHORT TERM PERIOD. DRIER AIR HAS
MOVED INTO THE REGION AS EVIDENT PWAT/S OF 1.48 INCHES ON THE 12Z
CRP SOUNDING. COMBINATION OF THE DRIER AIR AND FLAT MID LEVEL
RIDGING SHOULD KEEP DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS TONIGHT
THROUGH TOMORROW NIGHT. AS WITH THIS MORNING...THERE COULD BE A
ROGUE SHOWER OR TWO OVER THE GULF WATERS BUT COVERAGE SHOULD BE FAR
TOO LIMITED TO MENTION IN THE FORECAST. VERY WARM CONDITIONS WILL
PERSIST ON TUESDAY WITH HIGHS NEAR 100 OUT WEST WITH LOWER 90S OVER
THE COASTAL BEND INTO THE VICTORIA CROSSROADS. LITTLE VARIATION IS
EXPECTED WITH MIN TEMPS AS LOWS WILL REMAIN IN THE MIDDLE TO
UPPER 70S. PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL CONTINUE TO BE ELEVATED THROUGH
THE PERIOD...RESULTING IN BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS OVER THE
AREA. CONDITIONS MAY FLIRT WITH SCA LEVELS...BUT WILL KEEP WINDS
IN THE SCEC RANGE FOR NOW.

LONG TERM (WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)...CONTINUED QUIET WEATHER
EXPECTED AS STRONG MID LEVEL RIDGE CENTER SHIFTS FROM SE CONUS TO
SW CONUS THROUGH THE LONG TERM PERIOD. LACK OF SIGNIFICANT DEEP
LAYER MOISTURE AND STRONG SUBSIDENCE WILL KEEP PRECIP CHANCES LOW
TO NIL. PRESSURE GRADIENT FORCE WILL BE UNSEASONABLY STRONG ACROSS
TEXAS ON WEDNESDAY...RESULTING IN BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS.
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE EAST OVER THE WEEKEND
RESULTING IN LIGHTER WIND AND HOTTER DAYTIME TEMPS.
NOCTURNALLY...DRIER AIRMASS AND LIGHT WIND MAY ALLOW FOR MIN
TEMPS OVER THE WEEKEND/EARLY NEXT WEEK TO BE APPROX 2 TO 3 DEGREES
COOLER THAN PREVIOUS DAYS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    79  91  78  92  77  /  10  10   0  10  10
VICTORIA          77  90  76  93  75  /  10  10   0  10  10
LAREDO            78  99  77 100  76  /  10  10   0   0   0
ALICE             77  94  76  95  75  /  10  10   0  10   0
ROCKPORT          81  88  80  90  80  /  10  10   0  10  10
COTULLA           76  97  76  97  75  /  10  10   0   0   0
KINGSVILLE        78  92  78  94  76  /  10  10   0  10  10
NAVY CORPUS       80  88  79  90  80  /  10  10   0  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

GW/86...AVIATION





000
FXUS64 KCRP 062023
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
323 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)...QUIET WEATHER IS IN
STORE ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS DURING THE SHORT TERM PERIOD. DRIER AIR HAS
MOVED INTO THE REGION AS EVIDENT PWAT/S OF 1.48 INCHES ON THE 12Z
CRP SOUNDING. COMBINATION OF THE DRIER AIR AND FLAT MID LEVEL
RIDGING SHOULD KEEP DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS TONIGHT
THROUGH TOMORROW NIGHT. AS WITH THIS MORNING...THERE COULD BE A
ROGUE SHOWER OR TWO OVER THE GULF WATERS BUT COVERAGE SHOULD BE FAR
TOO LIMITED TO MENTION IN THE FORECAST. VERY WARM CONDITIONS WILL
PERSIST ON TUESDAY WITH HIGHS NEAR 100 OUT WEST WITH LOWER 90S OVER
THE COASTAL BEND INTO THE VICTORIA CROSSROADS. LITTLE VARIATION IS
EXPECTED WITH MIN TEMPS AS LOWS WILL REMAIN IN THE MIDDLE TO
UPPER 70S. PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL CONTINUE TO BE ELEVATED THROUGH
THE PERIOD...RESULTING IN BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS OVER THE
AREA. CONDITIONS MAY FLIRT WITH SCA LEVELS...BUT WILL KEEP WINDS
IN THE SCEC RANGE FOR NOW.

&&

.LONG TERM (WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)...CONTINUED QUIET WEATHER
EXPECTED AS STRONG MID LEVEL RIDGE CENTER SHIFTS FROM SE CONUS TO
SW CONUS THROUGH THE LONG TERM PERIOD. LACK OF SIGNIFICANT DEEP
LAYER MOISTURE AND STRONG SUBSIDENCE WILL KEEP PRECIP CHANCES LOW
TO NIL. PRESSURE GRADIENT FORCE WILL BE UNSEASONABLY STRONG ACROSS
TEXAS ON WEDNESDAY...RESULTING IN BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS.
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE EAST OVER THE WEEKEND
RESULTING IN LIGHTER WIND AND HOTTER DAYTIME TEMPS.
NOCTURNALLY...DRIER AIRMASS AND LIGHT WIND MAY ALLOW FOR MIN
TEMPS OVER THE WEEKEND/EARLY NEXT WEEK TO BE APPROX 2 TO 3 DEGREES
COOLER THAN PREVIOUS DAYS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    79  91  78  92  77  /  10  10   0  10  10
VICTORIA          77  90  76  93  75  /  10  10   0  10  10
LAREDO            78  99  77 100  76  /  10  10   0   0   0
ALICE             77  94  76  95  75  /  10  10   0  10   0
ROCKPORT          81  88  80  90  80  /  10  10   0  10  10
COTULLA           76  97  76  97  75  /  10  10   0   0   0
KINGSVILLE        78  92  78  94  76  /  10  10   0  10  10
NAVY CORPUS       80  88  79  90  80  /  10  10   0  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

TB/78...SHORT TERM
RH/79...LONG TERM




000
FXUS64 KCRP 062023
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
323 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)...QUIET WEATHER IS IN
STORE ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS DURING THE SHORT TERM PERIOD. DRIER AIR HAS
MOVED INTO THE REGION AS EVIDENT PWAT/S OF 1.48 INCHES ON THE 12Z
CRP SOUNDING. COMBINATION OF THE DRIER AIR AND FLAT MID LEVEL
RIDGING SHOULD KEEP DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS TONIGHT
THROUGH TOMORROW NIGHT. AS WITH THIS MORNING...THERE COULD BE A
ROGUE SHOWER OR TWO OVER THE GULF WATERS BUT COVERAGE SHOULD BE FAR
TOO LIMITED TO MENTION IN THE FORECAST. VERY WARM CONDITIONS WILL
PERSIST ON TUESDAY WITH HIGHS NEAR 100 OUT WEST WITH LOWER 90S OVER
THE COASTAL BEND INTO THE VICTORIA CROSSROADS. LITTLE VARIATION IS
EXPECTED WITH MIN TEMPS AS LOWS WILL REMAIN IN THE MIDDLE TO
UPPER 70S. PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL CONTINUE TO BE ELEVATED THROUGH
THE PERIOD...RESULTING IN BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS OVER THE
AREA. CONDITIONS MAY FLIRT WITH SCA LEVELS...BUT WILL KEEP WINDS
IN THE SCEC RANGE FOR NOW.

&&

.LONG TERM (WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)...CONTINUED QUIET WEATHER
EXPECTED AS STRONG MID LEVEL RIDGE CENTER SHIFTS FROM SE CONUS TO
SW CONUS THROUGH THE LONG TERM PERIOD. LACK OF SIGNIFICANT DEEP
LAYER MOISTURE AND STRONG SUBSIDENCE WILL KEEP PRECIP CHANCES LOW
TO NIL. PRESSURE GRADIENT FORCE WILL BE UNSEASONABLY STRONG ACROSS
TEXAS ON WEDNESDAY...RESULTING IN BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS.
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE EAST OVER THE WEEKEND
RESULTING IN LIGHTER WIND AND HOTTER DAYTIME TEMPS.
NOCTURNALLY...DRIER AIRMASS AND LIGHT WIND MAY ALLOW FOR MIN
TEMPS OVER THE WEEKEND/EARLY NEXT WEEK TO BE APPROX 2 TO 3 DEGREES
COOLER THAN PREVIOUS DAYS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    79  91  78  92  77  /  10  10   0  10  10
VICTORIA          77  90  76  93  75  /  10  10   0  10  10
LAREDO            78  99  77 100  76  /  10  10   0   0   0
ALICE             77  94  76  95  75  /  10  10   0  10   0
ROCKPORT          81  88  80  90  80  /  10  10   0  10  10
COTULLA           76  97  76  97  75  /  10  10   0   0   0
KINGSVILLE        78  92  78  94  76  /  10  10   0  10  10
NAVY CORPUS       80  88  79  90  80  /  10  10   0  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

TB/78...SHORT TERM
RH/79...LONG TERM





000
FXUS64 KCRP 062023
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
323 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)...QUIET WEATHER IS IN
STORE ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS DURING THE SHORT TERM PERIOD. DRIER AIR HAS
MOVED INTO THE REGION AS EVIDENT PWAT/S OF 1.48 INCHES ON THE 12Z
CRP SOUNDING. COMBINATION OF THE DRIER AIR AND FLAT MID LEVEL
RIDGING SHOULD KEEP DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS TONIGHT
THROUGH TOMORROW NIGHT. AS WITH THIS MORNING...THERE COULD BE A
ROGUE SHOWER OR TWO OVER THE GULF WATERS BUT COVERAGE SHOULD BE FAR
TOO LIMITED TO MENTION IN THE FORECAST. VERY WARM CONDITIONS WILL
PERSIST ON TUESDAY WITH HIGHS NEAR 100 OUT WEST WITH LOWER 90S OVER
THE COASTAL BEND INTO THE VICTORIA CROSSROADS. LITTLE VARIATION IS
EXPECTED WITH MIN TEMPS AS LOWS WILL REMAIN IN THE MIDDLE TO
UPPER 70S. PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL CONTINUE TO BE ELEVATED THROUGH
THE PERIOD...RESULTING IN BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS OVER THE
AREA. CONDITIONS MAY FLIRT WITH SCA LEVELS...BUT WILL KEEP WINDS
IN THE SCEC RANGE FOR NOW.

&&

.LONG TERM (WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)...CONTINUED QUIET WEATHER
EXPECTED AS STRONG MID LEVEL RIDGE CENTER SHIFTS FROM SE CONUS TO
SW CONUS THROUGH THE LONG TERM PERIOD. LACK OF SIGNIFICANT DEEP
LAYER MOISTURE AND STRONG SUBSIDENCE WILL KEEP PRECIP CHANCES LOW
TO NIL. PRESSURE GRADIENT FORCE WILL BE UNSEASONABLY STRONG ACROSS
TEXAS ON WEDNESDAY...RESULTING IN BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS.
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE EAST OVER THE WEEKEND
RESULTING IN LIGHTER WIND AND HOTTER DAYTIME TEMPS.
NOCTURNALLY...DRIER AIRMASS AND LIGHT WIND MAY ALLOW FOR MIN
TEMPS OVER THE WEEKEND/EARLY NEXT WEEK TO BE APPROX 2 TO 3 DEGREES
COOLER THAN PREVIOUS DAYS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    79  91  78  92  77  /  10  10   0  10  10
VICTORIA          77  90  76  93  75  /  10  10   0  10  10
LAREDO            78  99  77 100  76  /  10  10   0   0   0
ALICE             77  94  76  95  75  /  10  10   0  10   0
ROCKPORT          81  88  80  90  80  /  10  10   0  10  10
COTULLA           76  97  76  97  75  /  10  10   0   0   0
KINGSVILLE        78  92  78  94  76  /  10  10   0  10  10
NAVY CORPUS       80  88  79  90  80  /  10  10   0  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

TB/78...SHORT TERM
RH/79...LONG TERM




000
FXUS64 KCRP 061805 AAC
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
105 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

.DISCUSSION...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THIS AFTERNOON ALONG
WITH GUSTY SE/SSE WINDS. WINDS MAY STAY ELEVATED INTO THE EVENING
HOURS BEFORE SUBSIDING SOME OVERNIGHT. ANOTHER ROUND OF MVFR
CEILINGS WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN OVERNIGHT TOWARDS DAYBREAK. ANY
LOW CLOUDS SHOULD MIX OUT THOUGH BY 14Z/15Z AS SOUTHEAST WINDS
PICK UP ONCE AGAIN.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1055 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2015/

DISCUSSION...BASED ON TEMPS FROM THE LAST FEW DAYS...HAVE BUMPED
UP TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE EASTERN BRUSH COUNTRY AND COASTAL
COUNTIES. HIGHS SHOULD RANGE FROM THE UPPER 90S OVER THE RIO
GRANDE PLAINS TO LOWER 90S ACROSS THE EAST. AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR
TWO IS POSSIBLE OVER THE GULF WATERS...BUT COVERAGE SHOULD BE VERY
LIMITED. NO OTHER CHANGES ARE PLANNED AT THIS TIME.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 633 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2015/

DISCUSSION...NOTE AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.

AVIATION...ANTICIPATE NON-CONVECTIVE LLWS EARLY THIS MORNING AT
ALI/LRD. MIXTURE OF MVFR/VFR CEILINGS ALONG WITH MVFR
VISIBILITIES GENERALLY WEST OF U.S. ROUTE 77 AND EAST OF STATE
ROAD 16 EARLY THIS MORNING WL TRANSITION TO VFR CONDITIONS BY LATE
MORNING. GENERALLY LGT ONSHORE FLOW EARLY THIS MORNING FOLLOWED BY
A TRANSITION TO MODERATE/BREEZY ONSHORE FLOW THIS AFTN.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 340 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2015/

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY)...THE GFS/NAM DETERMINISTIC
PREDICT A WEAKNESS OVER THE CWA/MSA IN THE REGIONAL UPPER
RIDGE...YET MAINTAINS 700-300 MB Q-VECTOR DIVERGENCE OVER MAINLY
THE ERN CWA/MSA DRG THE PERIOD. NAM PREDICTS PWAT VALUES AROUND
1.5 INCHES OR LESS. SUBSIDENCE AND NEAR/BELOW NORMAL PWAT VALUES
SHOULD PRECLUDE SIGNIFICANT PCPN OVR THE CWA/MSA DRG THE PERIOD.
EXPECT PREDOMINATE MAX HEAT INDEX VALUES TO REMAIN BELOW 105F.
VERTICAL MIXING OF STG MOMENTUM FROM ALOFT SHOULD RESULT IN AT
LEAST SCEC CONDITIONS OVER THE WATERS. ANTICIPATE CONDITIONS JUST
BELOW MODERATE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS TODAY/TUESDAY...YET WL
MAINTAIN A MODERATE RISK OWING TO UNCERTAINTY.

LONG TERM (TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)...PRETTY QUIET IN THE LONG
TERM. A WEAK SHEAR AXIS DRAPED ACROSS THE SE HALF OF TX WILL LINGER
EARLY IN THE SHORT TERM...BUT THE LACK OF MOISTURE WILL KEEP POPS
OUT OF THE FORECAST. PERSISTENT SFC HIGH TO THE EAST AND SFC LOW
ACROSS THE WEST WILL LEAD TO BREEZY CONDITIONS THROUGH THE
WEEK...WITH BREEZY TO WINDY ESPECIALLY ALONG THE SOUTHERN COASTAL
BEND EARLY IN THE WEEK. STRENGTHENING MIDLEVEL RIDGE ACROSS THE
SOUTHEASTERN STATES WILL EXTEND INTO REGION LATE IN THE WEEK INTO
THE WEEKEND KEEPING POPS LOW. HOWEVER PWATS INCREASE IN THE LOWER
LEVELS TOWARD SATURDAY AS MOISTURE MOVES IN FROM THE WESTERN GULF.
INSTABILITY RESIDES ACROSS THE GULF WATERS TO INTRODUCE SLIGHT
CHANCE POPS FOR SATURDAY MORNING. WILL HOLD OFF ON INTRODUCING POPS
FARTHER INLAND AS INSTABILITY IS NOT AS IMPRESSIVE BUT A WEAKER CAP
DOES EXIST. FOR NOW WILL KEEP SILENT 10 POPS ALTHOUGH THIS MAY
CHANGE IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. DID KEEP ON THE WARMER SIDE OF
TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE WEEK...WITH LOCATIONS ACROSS THE WEST
REACHING THE 100 DEGREE MARK AT TIMES. HEAT INDEX VALUES MAY BRIEFLY
HIT 105 OR HIGHER AT TIMES IN ISOLATED LOCATIONS THROUGH THE WEEK.
IN ADDITION...A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE
TO EXIST AT LEAST THROUGH MID WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    78  88  78  91  77  /  10  10  10  10   0
VICTORIA          78  90  76  91  75  /  10  10  10  10   0
LAREDO            77  97  77 100  77  /  10  10  10   0   0
ALICE             77  91  76  95  76  /  10  10  10  10   0
ROCKPORT          81  87  80  88  80  /  10  10  10  10  10
COTULLA           76  95  76  97  75  /  10  10  10   0   0
KINGSVILLE        78  90  77  93  77  /  10  10  10  10   0
NAVY CORPUS       80  87  79  88  79  /  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

99...SHORT TERM





000
FXUS64 KCRP 061805 AAC
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
105 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

.DISCUSSION...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THIS AFTERNOON ALONG
WITH GUSTY SE/SSE WINDS. WINDS MAY STAY ELEVATED INTO THE EVENING
HOURS BEFORE SUBSIDING SOME OVERNIGHT. ANOTHER ROUND OF MVFR
CEILINGS WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN OVERNIGHT TOWARDS DAYBREAK. ANY
LOW CLOUDS SHOULD MIX OUT THOUGH BY 14Z/15Z AS SOUTHEAST WINDS
PICK UP ONCE AGAIN.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1055 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2015/

DISCUSSION...BASED ON TEMPS FROM THE LAST FEW DAYS...HAVE BUMPED
UP TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE EASTERN BRUSH COUNTRY AND COASTAL
COUNTIES. HIGHS SHOULD RANGE FROM THE UPPER 90S OVER THE RIO
GRANDE PLAINS TO LOWER 90S ACROSS THE EAST. AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR
TWO IS POSSIBLE OVER THE GULF WATERS...BUT COVERAGE SHOULD BE VERY
LIMITED. NO OTHER CHANGES ARE PLANNED AT THIS TIME.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 633 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2015/

DISCUSSION...NOTE AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.

AVIATION...ANTICIPATE NON-CONVECTIVE LLWS EARLY THIS MORNING AT
ALI/LRD. MIXTURE OF MVFR/VFR CEILINGS ALONG WITH MVFR
VISIBILITIES GENERALLY WEST OF U.S. ROUTE 77 AND EAST OF STATE
ROAD 16 EARLY THIS MORNING WL TRANSITION TO VFR CONDITIONS BY LATE
MORNING. GENERALLY LGT ONSHORE FLOW EARLY THIS MORNING FOLLOWED BY
A TRANSITION TO MODERATE/BREEZY ONSHORE FLOW THIS AFTN.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 340 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2015/

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY)...THE GFS/NAM DETERMINISTIC
PREDICT A WEAKNESS OVER THE CWA/MSA IN THE REGIONAL UPPER
RIDGE...YET MAINTAINS 700-300 MB Q-VECTOR DIVERGENCE OVER MAINLY
THE ERN CWA/MSA DRG THE PERIOD. NAM PREDICTS PWAT VALUES AROUND
1.5 INCHES OR LESS. SUBSIDENCE AND NEAR/BELOW NORMAL PWAT VALUES
SHOULD PRECLUDE SIGNIFICANT PCPN OVR THE CWA/MSA DRG THE PERIOD.
EXPECT PREDOMINATE MAX HEAT INDEX VALUES TO REMAIN BELOW 105F.
VERTICAL MIXING OF STG MOMENTUM FROM ALOFT SHOULD RESULT IN AT
LEAST SCEC CONDITIONS OVER THE WATERS. ANTICIPATE CONDITIONS JUST
BELOW MODERATE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS TODAY/TUESDAY...YET WL
MAINTAIN A MODERATE RISK OWING TO UNCERTAINTY.

LONG TERM (TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)...PRETTY QUIET IN THE LONG
TERM. A WEAK SHEAR AXIS DRAPED ACROSS THE SE HALF OF TX WILL LINGER
EARLY IN THE SHORT TERM...BUT THE LACK OF MOISTURE WILL KEEP POPS
OUT OF THE FORECAST. PERSISTENT SFC HIGH TO THE EAST AND SFC LOW
ACROSS THE WEST WILL LEAD TO BREEZY CONDITIONS THROUGH THE
WEEK...WITH BREEZY TO WINDY ESPECIALLY ALONG THE SOUTHERN COASTAL
BEND EARLY IN THE WEEK. STRENGTHENING MIDLEVEL RIDGE ACROSS THE
SOUTHEASTERN STATES WILL EXTEND INTO REGION LATE IN THE WEEK INTO
THE WEEKEND KEEPING POPS LOW. HOWEVER PWATS INCREASE IN THE LOWER
LEVELS TOWARD SATURDAY AS MOISTURE MOVES IN FROM THE WESTERN GULF.
INSTABILITY RESIDES ACROSS THE GULF WATERS TO INTRODUCE SLIGHT
CHANCE POPS FOR SATURDAY MORNING. WILL HOLD OFF ON INTRODUCING POPS
FARTHER INLAND AS INSTABILITY IS NOT AS IMPRESSIVE BUT A WEAKER CAP
DOES EXIST. FOR NOW WILL KEEP SILENT 10 POPS ALTHOUGH THIS MAY
CHANGE IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. DID KEEP ON THE WARMER SIDE OF
TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE WEEK...WITH LOCATIONS ACROSS THE WEST
REACHING THE 100 DEGREE MARK AT TIMES. HEAT INDEX VALUES MAY BRIEFLY
HIT 105 OR HIGHER AT TIMES IN ISOLATED LOCATIONS THROUGH THE WEEK.
IN ADDITION...A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE
TO EXIST AT LEAST THROUGH MID WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    78  88  78  91  77  /  10  10  10  10   0
VICTORIA          78  90  76  91  75  /  10  10  10  10   0
LAREDO            77  97  77 100  77  /  10  10  10   0   0
ALICE             77  91  76  95  76  /  10  10  10  10   0
ROCKPORT          81  87  80  88  80  /  10  10  10  10  10
COTULLA           76  95  76  97  75  /  10  10  10   0   0
KINGSVILLE        78  90  77  93  77  /  10  10  10  10   0
NAVY CORPUS       80  87  79  88  79  /  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

99...SHORT TERM




000
FXUS64 KCRP 061805 AAC
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
105 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

.DISCUSSION...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THIS AFTERNOON ALONG
WITH GUSTY SE/SSE WINDS. WINDS MAY STAY ELEVATED INTO THE EVENING
HOURS BEFORE SUBSIDING SOME OVERNIGHT. ANOTHER ROUND OF MVFR
CEILINGS WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN OVERNIGHT TOWARDS DAYBREAK. ANY
LOW CLOUDS SHOULD MIX OUT THOUGH BY 14Z/15Z AS SOUTHEAST WINDS
PICK UP ONCE AGAIN.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1055 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2015/

DISCUSSION...BASED ON TEMPS FROM THE LAST FEW DAYS...HAVE BUMPED
UP TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE EASTERN BRUSH COUNTRY AND COASTAL
COUNTIES. HIGHS SHOULD RANGE FROM THE UPPER 90S OVER THE RIO
GRANDE PLAINS TO LOWER 90S ACROSS THE EAST. AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR
TWO IS POSSIBLE OVER THE GULF WATERS...BUT COVERAGE SHOULD BE VERY
LIMITED. NO OTHER CHANGES ARE PLANNED AT THIS TIME.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 633 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2015/

DISCUSSION...NOTE AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.

AVIATION...ANTICIPATE NON-CONVECTIVE LLWS EARLY THIS MORNING AT
ALI/LRD. MIXTURE OF MVFR/VFR CEILINGS ALONG WITH MVFR
VISIBILITIES GENERALLY WEST OF U.S. ROUTE 77 AND EAST OF STATE
ROAD 16 EARLY THIS MORNING WL TRANSITION TO VFR CONDITIONS BY LATE
MORNING. GENERALLY LGT ONSHORE FLOW EARLY THIS MORNING FOLLOWED BY
A TRANSITION TO MODERATE/BREEZY ONSHORE FLOW THIS AFTN.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 340 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2015/

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY)...THE GFS/NAM DETERMINISTIC
PREDICT A WEAKNESS OVER THE CWA/MSA IN THE REGIONAL UPPER
RIDGE...YET MAINTAINS 700-300 MB Q-VECTOR DIVERGENCE OVER MAINLY
THE ERN CWA/MSA DRG THE PERIOD. NAM PREDICTS PWAT VALUES AROUND
1.5 INCHES OR LESS. SUBSIDENCE AND NEAR/BELOW NORMAL PWAT VALUES
SHOULD PRECLUDE SIGNIFICANT PCPN OVR THE CWA/MSA DRG THE PERIOD.
EXPECT PREDOMINATE MAX HEAT INDEX VALUES TO REMAIN BELOW 105F.
VERTICAL MIXING OF STG MOMENTUM FROM ALOFT SHOULD RESULT IN AT
LEAST SCEC CONDITIONS OVER THE WATERS. ANTICIPATE CONDITIONS JUST
BELOW MODERATE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS TODAY/TUESDAY...YET WL
MAINTAIN A MODERATE RISK OWING TO UNCERTAINTY.

LONG TERM (TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)...PRETTY QUIET IN THE LONG
TERM. A WEAK SHEAR AXIS DRAPED ACROSS THE SE HALF OF TX WILL LINGER
EARLY IN THE SHORT TERM...BUT THE LACK OF MOISTURE WILL KEEP POPS
OUT OF THE FORECAST. PERSISTENT SFC HIGH TO THE EAST AND SFC LOW
ACROSS THE WEST WILL LEAD TO BREEZY CONDITIONS THROUGH THE
WEEK...WITH BREEZY TO WINDY ESPECIALLY ALONG THE SOUTHERN COASTAL
BEND EARLY IN THE WEEK. STRENGTHENING MIDLEVEL RIDGE ACROSS THE
SOUTHEASTERN STATES WILL EXTEND INTO REGION LATE IN THE WEEK INTO
THE WEEKEND KEEPING POPS LOW. HOWEVER PWATS INCREASE IN THE LOWER
LEVELS TOWARD SATURDAY AS MOISTURE MOVES IN FROM THE WESTERN GULF.
INSTABILITY RESIDES ACROSS THE GULF WATERS TO INTRODUCE SLIGHT
CHANCE POPS FOR SATURDAY MORNING. WILL HOLD OFF ON INTRODUCING POPS
FARTHER INLAND AS INSTABILITY IS NOT AS IMPRESSIVE BUT A WEAKER CAP
DOES EXIST. FOR NOW WILL KEEP SILENT 10 POPS ALTHOUGH THIS MAY
CHANGE IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. DID KEEP ON THE WARMER SIDE OF
TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE WEEK...WITH LOCATIONS ACROSS THE WEST
REACHING THE 100 DEGREE MARK AT TIMES. HEAT INDEX VALUES MAY BRIEFLY
HIT 105 OR HIGHER AT TIMES IN ISOLATED LOCATIONS THROUGH THE WEEK.
IN ADDITION...A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE
TO EXIST AT LEAST THROUGH MID WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    78  88  78  91  77  /  10  10  10  10   0
VICTORIA          78  90  76  91  75  /  10  10  10  10   0
LAREDO            77  97  77 100  77  /  10  10  10   0   0
ALICE             77  91  76  95  76  /  10  10  10  10   0
ROCKPORT          81  87  80  88  80  /  10  10  10  10  10
COTULLA           76  95  76  97  75  /  10  10  10   0   0
KINGSVILLE        78  90  77  93  77  /  10  10  10  10   0
NAVY CORPUS       80  87  79  88  79  /  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

99...SHORT TERM





000
FXUS64 KCRP 061805 AAC
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
105 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

.DISCUSSION...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THIS AFTERNOON ALONG
WITH GUSTY SE/SSE WINDS. WINDS MAY STAY ELEVATED INTO THE EVENING
HOURS BEFORE SUBSIDING SOME OVERNIGHT. ANOTHER ROUND OF MVFR
CEILINGS WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN OVERNIGHT TOWARDS DAYBREAK. ANY
LOW CLOUDS SHOULD MIX OUT THOUGH BY 14Z/15Z AS SOUTHEAST WINDS
PICK UP ONCE AGAIN.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1055 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2015/

DISCUSSION...BASED ON TEMPS FROM THE LAST FEW DAYS...HAVE BUMPED
UP TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE EASTERN BRUSH COUNTRY AND COASTAL
COUNTIES. HIGHS SHOULD RANGE FROM THE UPPER 90S OVER THE RIO
GRANDE PLAINS TO LOWER 90S ACROSS THE EAST. AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR
TWO IS POSSIBLE OVER THE GULF WATERS...BUT COVERAGE SHOULD BE VERY
LIMITED. NO OTHER CHANGES ARE PLANNED AT THIS TIME.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 633 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2015/

DISCUSSION...NOTE AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.

AVIATION...ANTICIPATE NON-CONVECTIVE LLWS EARLY THIS MORNING AT
ALI/LRD. MIXTURE OF MVFR/VFR CEILINGS ALONG WITH MVFR
VISIBILITIES GENERALLY WEST OF U.S. ROUTE 77 AND EAST OF STATE
ROAD 16 EARLY THIS MORNING WL TRANSITION TO VFR CONDITIONS BY LATE
MORNING. GENERALLY LGT ONSHORE FLOW EARLY THIS MORNING FOLLOWED BY
A TRANSITION TO MODERATE/BREEZY ONSHORE FLOW THIS AFTN.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 340 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2015/

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY)...THE GFS/NAM DETERMINISTIC
PREDICT A WEAKNESS OVER THE CWA/MSA IN THE REGIONAL UPPER
RIDGE...YET MAINTAINS 700-300 MB Q-VECTOR DIVERGENCE OVER MAINLY
THE ERN CWA/MSA DRG THE PERIOD. NAM PREDICTS PWAT VALUES AROUND
1.5 INCHES OR LESS. SUBSIDENCE AND NEAR/BELOW NORMAL PWAT VALUES
SHOULD PRECLUDE SIGNIFICANT PCPN OVR THE CWA/MSA DRG THE PERIOD.
EXPECT PREDOMINATE MAX HEAT INDEX VALUES TO REMAIN BELOW 105F.
VERTICAL MIXING OF STG MOMENTUM FROM ALOFT SHOULD RESULT IN AT
LEAST SCEC CONDITIONS OVER THE WATERS. ANTICIPATE CONDITIONS JUST
BELOW MODERATE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS TODAY/TUESDAY...YET WL
MAINTAIN A MODERATE RISK OWING TO UNCERTAINTY.

LONG TERM (TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)...PRETTY QUIET IN THE LONG
TERM. A WEAK SHEAR AXIS DRAPED ACROSS THE SE HALF OF TX WILL LINGER
EARLY IN THE SHORT TERM...BUT THE LACK OF MOISTURE WILL KEEP POPS
OUT OF THE FORECAST. PERSISTENT SFC HIGH TO THE EAST AND SFC LOW
ACROSS THE WEST WILL LEAD TO BREEZY CONDITIONS THROUGH THE
WEEK...WITH BREEZY TO WINDY ESPECIALLY ALONG THE SOUTHERN COASTAL
BEND EARLY IN THE WEEK. STRENGTHENING MIDLEVEL RIDGE ACROSS THE
SOUTHEASTERN STATES WILL EXTEND INTO REGION LATE IN THE WEEK INTO
THE WEEKEND KEEPING POPS LOW. HOWEVER PWATS INCREASE IN THE LOWER
LEVELS TOWARD SATURDAY AS MOISTURE MOVES IN FROM THE WESTERN GULF.
INSTABILITY RESIDES ACROSS THE GULF WATERS TO INTRODUCE SLIGHT
CHANCE POPS FOR SATURDAY MORNING. WILL HOLD OFF ON INTRODUCING POPS
FARTHER INLAND AS INSTABILITY IS NOT AS IMPRESSIVE BUT A WEAKER CAP
DOES EXIST. FOR NOW WILL KEEP SILENT 10 POPS ALTHOUGH THIS MAY
CHANGE IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. DID KEEP ON THE WARMER SIDE OF
TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE WEEK...WITH LOCATIONS ACROSS THE WEST
REACHING THE 100 DEGREE MARK AT TIMES. HEAT INDEX VALUES MAY BRIEFLY
HIT 105 OR HIGHER AT TIMES IN ISOLATED LOCATIONS THROUGH THE WEEK.
IN ADDITION...A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE
TO EXIST AT LEAST THROUGH MID WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    78  88  78  91  77  /  10  10  10  10   0
VICTORIA          78  90  76  91  75  /  10  10  10  10   0
LAREDO            77  97  77 100  77  /  10  10  10   0   0
ALICE             77  91  76  95  76  /  10  10  10  10   0
ROCKPORT          81  87  80  88  80  /  10  10  10  10  10
COTULLA           76  95  76  97  75  /  10  10  10   0   0
KINGSVILLE        78  90  77  93  77  /  10  10  10  10   0
NAVY CORPUS       80  87  79  88  79  /  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

99...SHORT TERM




000
FXUS64 KCRP 061555 AAB
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1055 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

.DISCUSSION...BASED ON TEMPS FROM THE LAST FEW DAYS...HAVE BUMPED
UP TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE EASTERN BRUSH COUNTRY AND COASTAL
COUNTIES. HIGHS SHOULD RANGE FROM THE UPPER 90S OVER THE RIO
GRANDE PLAINS TO LOWER 90S ACROSS THE EAST. AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR
TWO IS POSSIBLE OVER THE GULF WATERS...BUT COVERAGE SHOULD BE VERY
LIMITED. NO OTHER CHANGES ARE PLANNED AT THIS TIME.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 633 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2015/

DISCUSSION...NOTE AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.

AVIATION...ANTICIPATE NON-CONVECTIVE LLWS EARLY THIS MORNING AT
ALI/LRD. MIXTURE OF MVFR/VFR CEILINGS ALONG WITH MVFR
VISIBILITIES GENERALLY WEST OF U.S. ROUTE 77 AND EAST OF STATE
ROAD 16 EARLY THIS MORNING WL TRANSITION TO VFR CONDITIONS BY LATE
MORNING. GENERALLY LGT ONSHORE FLOW EARLY THIS MORNING FOLLOWED BY
A TRANSITION TO MODERATE/BREEZY ONSHORE FLOW THIS AFTN.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 340 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2015/

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY)...THE GFS/NAM DETERMINISTIC
PREDICT A WEAKNESS OVER THE CWA/MSA IN THE REGIONAL UPPER
RIDGE...YET MAINTAINS 700-300 MB Q-VECTOR DIVERGENCE OVER MAINLY
THE ERN CWA/MSA DRG THE PERIOD. NAM PREDICTS PWAT VALUES AROUND
1.5 INCHES OR LESS. SUBSIDENCE AND NEAR/BELOW NORMAL PWAT VALUES
SHOULD PRECLUDE SIGNIFICANT PCPN OVR THE CWA/MSA DRG THE PERIOD.
EXPECT PREDOMINATE MAX HEAT INDEX VALUES TO REMAIN BELOW 105F.
VERTICAL MIXING OF STG MOMENTUM FROM ALOFT SHOULD RESULT IN AT
LEAST SCEC CONDITIONS OVER THE WATERS. ANTICIPATE CONDITIONS JUST
BELOW MODERATE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS TODAY/TUESDAY...YET WL
MAINTAIN A MODERATE RISK OWING TO UNCERTAINTY.

LONG TERM (TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)...PRETTY QUIET IN THE LONG
TERM. A WEAK SHEAR AXIS DRAPED ACROSS THE SE HALF OF TX WILL LINGER
EARLY IN THE SHORT TERM...BUT THE LACK OF MOISTURE WILL KEEP POPS
OUT OF THE FORECAST. PERSISTENT SFC HIGH TO THE EAST AND SFC LOW
ACROSS THE WEST WILL LEAD TO BREEZY CONDITIONS THROUGH THE
WEEK...WITH BREEZY TO WINDY ESPECIALLY ALONG THE SOUTHERN COASTAL
BEND EARLY IN THE WEEK. STRENGTHENING MIDLEVEL RIDGE ACROSS THE
SOUTHEASTERN STATES WILL EXTEND INTO REGION LATE IN THE WEEK INTO
THE WEEKEND KEEPING POPS LOW. HOWEVER PWATS INCREASE IN THE LOWER
LEVELS TOWARD SATURDAY AS MOISTURE MOVES IN FROM THE WESTERN GULF.
INSTABILITY RESIDES ACROSS THE GULF WATERS TO INTRODUCE SLIGHT
CHANCE POPS FOR SATURDAY MORNING. WILL HOLD OFF ON INTRODUCING POPS
FARTHER INLAND AS INSTABILITY IS NOT AS IMPRESSIVE BUT A WEAKER CAP
DOES EXIST. FOR NOW WILL KEEP SILENT 10 POPS ALTHOUGH THIS MAY
CHANGE IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. DID KEEP ON THE WARMER SIDE OF
TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE WEEK...WITH LOCATIONS ACROSS THE WEST
REACHING THE 100 DEGREE MARK AT TIMES. HEAT INDEX VALUES MAY BRIEFLY
HIT 105 OR HIGHER AT TIMES IN ISOLATED LOCATIONS THROUGH THE WEEK.
IN ADDITION...A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE
TO EXIST AT LEAST THROUGH MID WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    91  78  88  78  91  /  10  10  10  10  10
VICTORIA          91  78  90  76  91  /  10  10  10  10  10
LAREDO            99  77  97  77 100  /  10  10  10  10   0
ALICE             94  77  91  76  95  /  10  10  10  10  10
ROCKPORT          88  81  87  80  88  /  10  10  10  10  10
COTULLA           97  76  95  76  97  /  10  10  10  10   0
KINGSVILLE        93  78  90  77  93  /  10  10  10  10  10
NAVY CORPUS       88  80  87  79  88  /  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

TB/78...SHORT TERM





000
FXUS64 KCRP 061555 AAB
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1055 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

.DISCUSSION...BASED ON TEMPS FROM THE LAST FEW DAYS...HAVE BUMPED
UP TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE EASTERN BRUSH COUNTRY AND COASTAL
COUNTIES. HIGHS SHOULD RANGE FROM THE UPPER 90S OVER THE RIO
GRANDE PLAINS TO LOWER 90S ACROSS THE EAST. AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR
TWO IS POSSIBLE OVER THE GULF WATERS...BUT COVERAGE SHOULD BE VERY
LIMITED. NO OTHER CHANGES ARE PLANNED AT THIS TIME.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 633 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2015/

DISCUSSION...NOTE AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.

AVIATION...ANTICIPATE NON-CONVECTIVE LLWS EARLY THIS MORNING AT
ALI/LRD. MIXTURE OF MVFR/VFR CEILINGS ALONG WITH MVFR
VISIBILITIES GENERALLY WEST OF U.S. ROUTE 77 AND EAST OF STATE
ROAD 16 EARLY THIS MORNING WL TRANSITION TO VFR CONDITIONS BY LATE
MORNING. GENERALLY LGT ONSHORE FLOW EARLY THIS MORNING FOLLOWED BY
A TRANSITION TO MODERATE/BREEZY ONSHORE FLOW THIS AFTN.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 340 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2015/

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY)...THE GFS/NAM DETERMINISTIC
PREDICT A WEAKNESS OVER THE CWA/MSA IN THE REGIONAL UPPER
RIDGE...YET MAINTAINS 700-300 MB Q-VECTOR DIVERGENCE OVER MAINLY
THE ERN CWA/MSA DRG THE PERIOD. NAM PREDICTS PWAT VALUES AROUND
1.5 INCHES OR LESS. SUBSIDENCE AND NEAR/BELOW NORMAL PWAT VALUES
SHOULD PRECLUDE SIGNIFICANT PCPN OVR THE CWA/MSA DRG THE PERIOD.
EXPECT PREDOMINATE MAX HEAT INDEX VALUES TO REMAIN BELOW 105F.
VERTICAL MIXING OF STG MOMENTUM FROM ALOFT SHOULD RESULT IN AT
LEAST SCEC CONDITIONS OVER THE WATERS. ANTICIPATE CONDITIONS JUST
BELOW MODERATE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS TODAY/TUESDAY...YET WL
MAINTAIN A MODERATE RISK OWING TO UNCERTAINTY.

LONG TERM (TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)...PRETTY QUIET IN THE LONG
TERM. A WEAK SHEAR AXIS DRAPED ACROSS THE SE HALF OF TX WILL LINGER
EARLY IN THE SHORT TERM...BUT THE LACK OF MOISTURE WILL KEEP POPS
OUT OF THE FORECAST. PERSISTENT SFC HIGH TO THE EAST AND SFC LOW
ACROSS THE WEST WILL LEAD TO BREEZY CONDITIONS THROUGH THE
WEEK...WITH BREEZY TO WINDY ESPECIALLY ALONG THE SOUTHERN COASTAL
BEND EARLY IN THE WEEK. STRENGTHENING MIDLEVEL RIDGE ACROSS THE
SOUTHEASTERN STATES WILL EXTEND INTO REGION LATE IN THE WEEK INTO
THE WEEKEND KEEPING POPS LOW. HOWEVER PWATS INCREASE IN THE LOWER
LEVELS TOWARD SATURDAY AS MOISTURE MOVES IN FROM THE WESTERN GULF.
INSTABILITY RESIDES ACROSS THE GULF WATERS TO INTRODUCE SLIGHT
CHANCE POPS FOR SATURDAY MORNING. WILL HOLD OFF ON INTRODUCING POPS
FARTHER INLAND AS INSTABILITY IS NOT AS IMPRESSIVE BUT A WEAKER CAP
DOES EXIST. FOR NOW WILL KEEP SILENT 10 POPS ALTHOUGH THIS MAY
CHANGE IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. DID KEEP ON THE WARMER SIDE OF
TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE WEEK...WITH LOCATIONS ACROSS THE WEST
REACHING THE 100 DEGREE MARK AT TIMES. HEAT INDEX VALUES MAY BRIEFLY
HIT 105 OR HIGHER AT TIMES IN ISOLATED LOCATIONS THROUGH THE WEEK.
IN ADDITION...A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE
TO EXIST AT LEAST THROUGH MID WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    91  78  88  78  91  /  10  10  10  10  10
VICTORIA          91  78  90  76  91  /  10  10  10  10  10
LAREDO            99  77  97  77 100  /  10  10  10  10   0
ALICE             94  77  91  76  95  /  10  10  10  10  10
ROCKPORT          88  81  87  80  88  /  10  10  10  10  10
COTULLA           97  76  95  76  97  /  10  10  10  10   0
KINGSVILLE        93  78  90  77  93  /  10  10  10  10  10
NAVY CORPUS       88  80  87  79  88  /  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

TB/78...SHORT TERM




000
FXUS64 KCRP 061133
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
633 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

.DISCUSSION...NOTE AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.

&&

.AVIATION...ANTICIPATE NON-CONVECTIVE LLWS EARLY THIS MORNING AT
ALI/LRD. MIXTURE OF MVFR/VFR CEILINGS ALONG WITH MVFR
VISIBILITIES GENERALLY WEST OF U.S. ROUTE 77 AND EAST OF STATE
ROAD 16 EARLY THIS MORNING WL TRANSITION TO VFR CONDITIONS BY LATE
MORNING. GENERALLY LGT ONSHORE FLOW EARLY THIS MORNING FOLLOWED BY
A TRANSITION TO MODERATE/BREEZY ONSHORE FLOW THIS AFTN.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 340 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2015/

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY)...THE GFS/NAM DETERMINISTIC
PREDICT A WEAKNESS OVER THE CWA/MSA IN THE REGIONAL UPPER
RIDGE...YET MAINTAINS 700-300 MB Q-VECTOR DIVERGENCE OVER MAINLY
THE ERN CWA/MSA DRG THE PERIOD. NAM PREDICTS PWAT VALUES AROUND
1.5 INCHES OR LESS. SUBSIDENCE AND NEAR/BELOW NORMAL PWAT VALUES
SHOULD PRECLUDE SIGNIFICANT PCPN OVR THE CWA/MSA DRG THE PERIOD.
EXPECT PREDOMINATE MAX HEAT INDEX VALUES TO REMAIN BELOW 105F.
VERTICAL MIXING OF STG MOMENTUM FROM ALOFT SHOULD RESULT IN AT
LEAST SCEC CONDITIONS OVER THE WATERS. ANTICIPATE CONDITIONS JUST
BELOW MODERATE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS TODAY/TUESDAY...YET WL
MAINTAIN A MODERATE RISK OWING TO UNCERTAINTY.

LONG TERM (TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)...PRETTY QUIET IN THE LONG
TERM. A WEAK SHEAR AXIS DRAPED ACROSS THE SE HALF OF TX WILL LINGER
EARLY IN THE SHORT TERM...BUT THE LACK OF MOISTURE WILL KEEP POPS
OUT OF THE FORECAST. PERSISTENT SFC HIGH TO THE EAST AND SFC LOW
ACROSS THE WEST WILL LEAD TO BREEZY CONDITIONS THROUGH THE
WEEK...WITH BREEZY TO WINDY ESPECIALLY ALONG THE SOUTHERN COASTAL
BEND EARLY IN THE WEEK. STRENGTHENING MIDLEVEL RIDGE ACROSS THE
SOUTHEASTERN STATES WILL EXTEND INTO REGION LATE IN THE WEEK INTO
THE WEEKEND KEEPING POPS LOW. HOWEVER PWATS INCREASE IN THE LOWER
LEVELS TOWARD SATURDAY AS MOISTURE MOVES IN FROM THE WESTERN GULF.
INSTABILITY RESIDES ACROSS THE GULF WATERS TO INTRODUCE SLIGHT
CHANCE POPS FOR SATURDAY MORNING. WILL HOLD OFF ON INTRODUCING POPS
FARTHER INLAND AS INSTABILITY IS NOT AS IMPRESSIVE BUT A WEAKER CAP
DOES EXIST. FOR NOW WILL KEEP SILENT 10 POPS ALTHOUGH THIS MAY
CHANGE IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. DID KEEP ON THE WARMER SIDE OF
TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE WEEK...WITH LOCATIONS ACROSS THE WEST
REACHING THE 100 DEGREE MARK AT TIMES. HEAT INDEX VALUES MAY BRIEFLY
HIT 105 OR HIGHER AT TIMES IN ISOLATED LOCATIONS THROUGH THE WEEK.
IN ADDITION...A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE
TO EXIST AT LEAST THROUGH MID WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    88  78  88  78  91  /  10  10  10  10  10
VICTORIA          89  78  90  76  91  /  10  10  10  10  10
LAREDO            97  77  97  77 100  /  10  10  10  10   0
ALICE             90  77  91  76  95  /  10  10  10  10  10
ROCKPORT          87  81  87  80  88  /  10  10  10  10  10
COTULLA           93  76  95  76  97  /  10  10  10  10   0
KINGSVILLE        89  78  90  77  93  /  10  10  10  10  10
NAVY CORPUS       87  80  87  79  88  /  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

WC/87...AVIATION





000
FXUS64 KCRP 061133
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
633 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

.DISCUSSION...NOTE AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.

&&

.AVIATION...ANTICIPATE NON-CONVECTIVE LLWS EARLY THIS MORNING AT
ALI/LRD. MIXTURE OF MVFR/VFR CEILINGS ALONG WITH MVFR
VISIBILITIES GENERALLY WEST OF U.S. ROUTE 77 AND EAST OF STATE
ROAD 16 EARLY THIS MORNING WL TRANSITION TO VFR CONDITIONS BY LATE
MORNING. GENERALLY LGT ONSHORE FLOW EARLY THIS MORNING FOLLOWED BY
A TRANSITION TO MODERATE/BREEZY ONSHORE FLOW THIS AFTN.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 340 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2015/

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY)...THE GFS/NAM DETERMINISTIC
PREDICT A WEAKNESS OVER THE CWA/MSA IN THE REGIONAL UPPER
RIDGE...YET MAINTAINS 700-300 MB Q-VECTOR DIVERGENCE OVER MAINLY
THE ERN CWA/MSA DRG THE PERIOD. NAM PREDICTS PWAT VALUES AROUND
1.5 INCHES OR LESS. SUBSIDENCE AND NEAR/BELOW NORMAL PWAT VALUES
SHOULD PRECLUDE SIGNIFICANT PCPN OVR THE CWA/MSA DRG THE PERIOD.
EXPECT PREDOMINATE MAX HEAT INDEX VALUES TO REMAIN BELOW 105F.
VERTICAL MIXING OF STG MOMENTUM FROM ALOFT SHOULD RESULT IN AT
LEAST SCEC CONDITIONS OVER THE WATERS. ANTICIPATE CONDITIONS JUST
BELOW MODERATE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS TODAY/TUESDAY...YET WL
MAINTAIN A MODERATE RISK OWING TO UNCERTAINTY.

LONG TERM (TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)...PRETTY QUIET IN THE LONG
TERM. A WEAK SHEAR AXIS DRAPED ACROSS THE SE HALF OF TX WILL LINGER
EARLY IN THE SHORT TERM...BUT THE LACK OF MOISTURE WILL KEEP POPS
OUT OF THE FORECAST. PERSISTENT SFC HIGH TO THE EAST AND SFC LOW
ACROSS THE WEST WILL LEAD TO BREEZY CONDITIONS THROUGH THE
WEEK...WITH BREEZY TO WINDY ESPECIALLY ALONG THE SOUTHERN COASTAL
BEND EARLY IN THE WEEK. STRENGTHENING MIDLEVEL RIDGE ACROSS THE
SOUTHEASTERN STATES WILL EXTEND INTO REGION LATE IN THE WEEK INTO
THE WEEKEND KEEPING POPS LOW. HOWEVER PWATS INCREASE IN THE LOWER
LEVELS TOWARD SATURDAY AS MOISTURE MOVES IN FROM THE WESTERN GULF.
INSTABILITY RESIDES ACROSS THE GULF WATERS TO INTRODUCE SLIGHT
CHANCE POPS FOR SATURDAY MORNING. WILL HOLD OFF ON INTRODUCING POPS
FARTHER INLAND AS INSTABILITY IS NOT AS IMPRESSIVE BUT A WEAKER CAP
DOES EXIST. FOR NOW WILL KEEP SILENT 10 POPS ALTHOUGH THIS MAY
CHANGE IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. DID KEEP ON THE WARMER SIDE OF
TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE WEEK...WITH LOCATIONS ACROSS THE WEST
REACHING THE 100 DEGREE MARK AT TIMES. HEAT INDEX VALUES MAY BRIEFLY
HIT 105 OR HIGHER AT TIMES IN ISOLATED LOCATIONS THROUGH THE WEEK.
IN ADDITION...A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE
TO EXIST AT LEAST THROUGH MID WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    88  78  88  78  91  /  10  10  10  10  10
VICTORIA          89  78  90  76  91  /  10  10  10  10  10
LAREDO            97  77  97  77 100  /  10  10  10  10   0
ALICE             90  77  91  76  95  /  10  10  10  10  10
ROCKPORT          87  81  87  80  88  /  10  10  10  10  10
COTULLA           93  76  95  76  97  /  10  10  10  10   0
KINGSVILLE        89  78  90  77  93  /  10  10  10  10  10
NAVY CORPUS       87  80  87  79  88  /  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

WC/87...AVIATION




000
FXUS64 KCRP 061133
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
633 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

.DISCUSSION...NOTE AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.

&&

.AVIATION...ANTICIPATE NON-CONVECTIVE LLWS EARLY THIS MORNING AT
ALI/LRD. MIXTURE OF MVFR/VFR CEILINGS ALONG WITH MVFR
VISIBILITIES GENERALLY WEST OF U.S. ROUTE 77 AND EAST OF STATE
ROAD 16 EARLY THIS MORNING WL TRANSITION TO VFR CONDITIONS BY LATE
MORNING. GENERALLY LGT ONSHORE FLOW EARLY THIS MORNING FOLLOWED BY
A TRANSITION TO MODERATE/BREEZY ONSHORE FLOW THIS AFTN.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 340 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2015/

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY)...THE GFS/NAM DETERMINISTIC
PREDICT A WEAKNESS OVER THE CWA/MSA IN THE REGIONAL UPPER
RIDGE...YET MAINTAINS 700-300 MB Q-VECTOR DIVERGENCE OVER MAINLY
THE ERN CWA/MSA DRG THE PERIOD. NAM PREDICTS PWAT VALUES AROUND
1.5 INCHES OR LESS. SUBSIDENCE AND NEAR/BELOW NORMAL PWAT VALUES
SHOULD PRECLUDE SIGNIFICANT PCPN OVR THE CWA/MSA DRG THE PERIOD.
EXPECT PREDOMINATE MAX HEAT INDEX VALUES TO REMAIN BELOW 105F.
VERTICAL MIXING OF STG MOMENTUM FROM ALOFT SHOULD RESULT IN AT
LEAST SCEC CONDITIONS OVER THE WATERS. ANTICIPATE CONDITIONS JUST
BELOW MODERATE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS TODAY/TUESDAY...YET WL
MAINTAIN A MODERATE RISK OWING TO UNCERTAINTY.

LONG TERM (TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)...PRETTY QUIET IN THE LONG
TERM. A WEAK SHEAR AXIS DRAPED ACROSS THE SE HALF OF TX WILL LINGER
EARLY IN THE SHORT TERM...BUT THE LACK OF MOISTURE WILL KEEP POPS
OUT OF THE FORECAST. PERSISTENT SFC HIGH TO THE EAST AND SFC LOW
ACROSS THE WEST WILL LEAD TO BREEZY CONDITIONS THROUGH THE
WEEK...WITH BREEZY TO WINDY ESPECIALLY ALONG THE SOUTHERN COASTAL
BEND EARLY IN THE WEEK. STRENGTHENING MIDLEVEL RIDGE ACROSS THE
SOUTHEASTERN STATES WILL EXTEND INTO REGION LATE IN THE WEEK INTO
THE WEEKEND KEEPING POPS LOW. HOWEVER PWATS INCREASE IN THE LOWER
LEVELS TOWARD SATURDAY AS MOISTURE MOVES IN FROM THE WESTERN GULF.
INSTABILITY RESIDES ACROSS THE GULF WATERS TO INTRODUCE SLIGHT
CHANCE POPS FOR SATURDAY MORNING. WILL HOLD OFF ON INTRODUCING POPS
FARTHER INLAND AS INSTABILITY IS NOT AS IMPRESSIVE BUT A WEAKER CAP
DOES EXIST. FOR NOW WILL KEEP SILENT 10 POPS ALTHOUGH THIS MAY
CHANGE IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. DID KEEP ON THE WARMER SIDE OF
TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE WEEK...WITH LOCATIONS ACROSS THE WEST
REACHING THE 100 DEGREE MARK AT TIMES. HEAT INDEX VALUES MAY BRIEFLY
HIT 105 OR HIGHER AT TIMES IN ISOLATED LOCATIONS THROUGH THE WEEK.
IN ADDITION...A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE
TO EXIST AT LEAST THROUGH MID WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    88  78  88  78  91  /  10  10  10  10  10
VICTORIA          89  78  90  76  91  /  10  10  10  10  10
LAREDO            97  77  97  77 100  /  10  10  10  10   0
ALICE             90  77  91  76  95  /  10  10  10  10  10
ROCKPORT          87  81  87  80  88  /  10  10  10  10  10
COTULLA           93  76  95  76  97  /  10  10  10  10   0
KINGSVILLE        89  78  90  77  93  /  10  10  10  10  10
NAVY CORPUS       87  80  87  79  88  /  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

WC/87...AVIATION




000
FXUS64 KCRP 060840
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
340 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

.SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY)...THE GFS/NAM DETERMINISTIC
PREDICT A WEAKNESS OVER THE CWA/MSA IN THE REGIONAL UPPER
RIDGE...YET MAINTAINS 700-300 MB Q-VECTOR DIVERGENCE OVER MAINLY
THE ERN CWA/MSA DRG THE PERIOD. NAM PREDICTS PWAT VALUES AROUND
1.5 INCHES OR LESS. SUBSIDENCE AND NEAR/BELOW NORMAL PWAT VALUES
SHOULD PRECLUDE SIGNIFICANT PCPN OVR THE CWA/MSA DRG THE PERIOD.
EXPECT PREDOMINATE MAX HEAT INDEX VALUES TO REMAIN BELOW 105F.
VERTICAL MIXING OF STG MOMENTUM FROM ALOFT SHOULD RESULT IN AT
LEAST SCEC CONDITIONS OVER THE WATERS. ANTICIPATE CONDITIONS JUST
BELOW MODERATE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS TODAY/TUESDAY...YET WL
MAINTAIN A MODERATE RISK OWING TO UNCERTAINTY.

&&

.LONG TERM (TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)...PRETTY QUIET IN THE LONG
TERM. A WEAK SHEAR AXIS DRAPED ACROSS THE SE HALF OF TX WILL LINGER
EARLY IN THE SHORT TERM...BUT THE LACK OF MOISTURE WILL KEEP POPS
OUT OF THE FORECAST. PERSISTENT SFC HIGH TO THE EAST AND SFC LOW
ACROSS THE WEST WILL LEAD TO BREEZY CONDITIONS THROUGH THE
WEEK...WITH BREEZY TO WINDY ESPECIALLY ALONG THE SOUTHERN COASTAL
BEND EARLY IN THE WEEK. STRENGTHENING MIDLEVEL RIDGE ACROSS THE
SOUTHEASTERN STATES WILL EXTEND INTO REGION LATE IN THE WEEK INTO
THE WEEKEND KEEPING POPS LOW. HOWEVER PWATS INCREASE IN THE LOWER
LEVELS TOWARD SATURDAY AS MOISTURE MOVES IN FROM THE WESTERN GULF.
INSTABILITY RESIDES ACROSS THE GULF WATERS TO INTRODUCE SLIGHT
CHANCE POPS FOR SATURDAY MORNING. WILL HOLD OFF ON INTRODUCING POPS
FARTHER INLAND AS INSTABILITY IS NOT AS IMPRESSIVE BUT A WEAKER CAP
DOES EXIST. FOR NOW WILL KEEP SILENT 10 POPS ALTHOUGH THIS MAY
CHANGE IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. DID KEEP ON THE WARMER SIDE OF
TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE WEEK...WITH LOCATIONS ACROSS THE WEST
REACHING THE 100 DEGREE MARK AT TIMES. HEAT INDEX VALUES MAY BRIEFLY
HIT 105 OR HIGHER AT TIMES IN ISOLATED LOCATIONS THROUGH THE WEEK.
IN ADDITION...A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE
TO EXIST AT LEAST THROUGH MID WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    88  78  88  78  91  /  10  10  10  10  10
VICTORIA          89  78  90  76  91  /  10  10  10  10  10
LAREDO            97  77  97  77 100  /  10  10  10  10   0
ALICE             90  77  91  76  95  /  10  10  10  10  10
ROCKPORT          87  81  87  80  88  /  10  10  10  10  10
COTULLA           93  76  95  76  97  /  10  10  10  10   0
KINGSVILLE        89  78  90  77  93  /  10  10  10  10  10
NAVY CORPUS       87  80  87  79  88  /  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

WC/87...SHORT TERM
CB/85...LONG TERM




000
FXUS64 KCRP 060603
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
103 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

.DISCUSSION...NOTE AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.

&&

.AVIATION...PREDOMIANTE MVFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED EARLY THIS MONDAY
MORNING ALONG WITH BRIEF MVFR VISIBILITIES WEST OF U.S. 77 AND
EAST OF STATE ROAD 16. FURTHER...ANTICIPATE NON-CONVECTIVE LLWS AT
LRD/ALI MAINLY DRG THE 09-14Z MONDAY PERIOD. A TRANSITION TO VFR
CONDITIONS EXPECTED BY LATE MONDAY MORNING/EARLY MONDAY AFTN.
ANTICIPATE MODERATE WIND/BREEZY CONDITIONS MONDAY AFTN. ANTICIPATE A
RETURN TO MVFR CEILINGS OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS NEAR THE END
OF THE TAF PERIOD.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 846 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015/

DISCUSSION...QUIET IN SOUTH TEXAS AND ONLY MADE A FEW ADJUSTMENTS
TO THE GRIDS BASED ON OBSERVATIONS AND TRENDS. CURRENT TEMPERATURE
FORECAST LOOKS OK SO NO CHANGES THERE. NO UPDATE NEEDED FOR THE
ZFPCRP. HAVE ISSUED THE GRIDDED TEXT PRODUCTS. MARINE FORECAST
STILL FINE.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 645 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015/

DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR 00Z AVIATION.

AVIATION...NO MAJOR CHANGES IN THE TAF FORECASTS. CONDITIONS
EXPECTED ALMOST IDENTICAL TO THE PAST 24 HOURS. WILL SEE WINDS
DECREASE OVERNIGHT...BUT LET UP COMPLETELY. MVFR CIGS FOR A TIME
OVERNIGHT FOR EASTERN SITES. TOMORROW WILL REPEAT WITH SCATTERED
CU AND GUSTY SOUTHEAST WINDS.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 343 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)...ANY ISOLATED
CONVECTION ACROSS THE REGION SHOULD QUICKLY DISSIPATE WITH THE
LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING. QUIET WEATHER IS IN STORE FOR THE EARLY
PART OF THE WEEK AS DRIER AIR AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGING MOVES INTO
THE AREA. RAIN CHANCES WILL REMAIN VERY LOW WITH TEMPERATURES AT
OR SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. HIGHS WILL
GENERALLY RANGE FROM THE UPPER 90S NEAR LAREDO TO LOWER 90S ACROSS
THE COASTAL BEND INTO VICTORIA CROSSROADS. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE
ON THE MILD SIDE AS MIN TEMPS HOLD STEADY IN THE MID AND UPPER
70S.

LONG TERM (TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...BREEZY ONSHORE FLOW WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH TO THE MID WEEK AS A SURFACE LOW OVER NORTHERN
MEXICO AND HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHEAST GULF KEEP A TIGHT
PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE REGION. THE WEAK SHEAR AXIS ALOFT WILL
CONTINUE TO MEANDER OVER THE REGION AS WELL AT THE BEGINNING OF THE
PERIOD...BUT MOISTURE WILL REMAIN LIMITED. MOISTURE INCREASES
SLIGHTLY DURING THE END OF THE WEEK AND OVER THE WEEKEND...BUT AT
THE SAME TIME CENTER OF HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE FINALLY BUILDS IN FULLY
OVER THE STATE. KEPT WITH THE DRY FORECAST THROUGH THE PERIOD.
DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL BE ON A GRADUAL WARMING TREND THROUGH THE
END OF THE WEEK. BY THE END OF THE WEEK HEAT INDEX VALUES MAY
BRIEFLY EXCEED 105 DEGREES DURING THE AFTERNOONS...MAINLY OVER
PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN COASTAL BEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    90  79  92  78  91  /   0  10  10  10  10
VICTORIA          90  78  91  76  90  /   0  10  10  10  10
LAREDO            98  78  99  76  99  /   0  10  10   0   0
ALICE             93  77  94  76  94  /   0  10  10  10  10
ROCKPORT          88  81  90  81  89  /   0  10  10  10  10
COTULLA           96  77  97  75  97  /   0  10  10   0   0
KINGSVILLE        92  79  93  77  92  /   0  10  10  10  10
NAVY CORPUS       87  80  90  80  88  /   0  10  10  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

WC/87...AVIATION





000
FXUS64 KCRP 060603
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
103 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

.DISCUSSION...NOTE AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.

&&

.AVIATION...PREDOMIANTE MVFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED EARLY THIS MONDAY
MORNING ALONG WITH BRIEF MVFR VISIBILITIES WEST OF U.S. 77 AND
EAST OF STATE ROAD 16. FURTHER...ANTICIPATE NON-CONVECTIVE LLWS AT
LRD/ALI MAINLY DRG THE 09-14Z MONDAY PERIOD. A TRANSITION TO VFR
CONDITIONS EXPECTED BY LATE MONDAY MORNING/EARLY MONDAY AFTN.
ANTICIPATE MODERATE WIND/BREEZY CONDITIONS MONDAY AFTN. ANTICIPATE A
RETURN TO MVFR CEILINGS OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS NEAR THE END
OF THE TAF PERIOD.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 846 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015/

DISCUSSION...QUIET IN SOUTH TEXAS AND ONLY MADE A FEW ADJUSTMENTS
TO THE GRIDS BASED ON OBSERVATIONS AND TRENDS. CURRENT TEMPERATURE
FORECAST LOOKS OK SO NO CHANGES THERE. NO UPDATE NEEDED FOR THE
ZFPCRP. HAVE ISSUED THE GRIDDED TEXT PRODUCTS. MARINE FORECAST
STILL FINE.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 645 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015/

DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR 00Z AVIATION.

AVIATION...NO MAJOR CHANGES IN THE TAF FORECASTS. CONDITIONS
EXPECTED ALMOST IDENTICAL TO THE PAST 24 HOURS. WILL SEE WINDS
DECREASE OVERNIGHT...BUT LET UP COMPLETELY. MVFR CIGS FOR A TIME
OVERNIGHT FOR EASTERN SITES. TOMORROW WILL REPEAT WITH SCATTERED
CU AND GUSTY SOUTHEAST WINDS.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 343 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)...ANY ISOLATED
CONVECTION ACROSS THE REGION SHOULD QUICKLY DISSIPATE WITH THE
LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING. QUIET WEATHER IS IN STORE FOR THE EARLY
PART OF THE WEEK AS DRIER AIR AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGING MOVES INTO
THE AREA. RAIN CHANCES WILL REMAIN VERY LOW WITH TEMPERATURES AT
OR SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. HIGHS WILL
GENERALLY RANGE FROM THE UPPER 90S NEAR LAREDO TO LOWER 90S ACROSS
THE COASTAL BEND INTO VICTORIA CROSSROADS. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE
ON THE MILD SIDE AS MIN TEMPS HOLD STEADY IN THE MID AND UPPER
70S.

LONG TERM (TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...BREEZY ONSHORE FLOW WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH TO THE MID WEEK AS A SURFACE LOW OVER NORTHERN
MEXICO AND HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHEAST GULF KEEP A TIGHT
PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE REGION. THE WEAK SHEAR AXIS ALOFT WILL
CONTINUE TO MEANDER OVER THE REGION AS WELL AT THE BEGINNING OF THE
PERIOD...BUT MOISTURE WILL REMAIN LIMITED. MOISTURE INCREASES
SLIGHTLY DURING THE END OF THE WEEK AND OVER THE WEEKEND...BUT AT
THE SAME TIME CENTER OF HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE FINALLY BUILDS IN FULLY
OVER THE STATE. KEPT WITH THE DRY FORECAST THROUGH THE PERIOD.
DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL BE ON A GRADUAL WARMING TREND THROUGH THE
END OF THE WEEK. BY THE END OF THE WEEK HEAT INDEX VALUES MAY
BRIEFLY EXCEED 105 DEGREES DURING THE AFTERNOONS...MAINLY OVER
PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN COASTAL BEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    90  79  92  78  91  /   0  10  10  10  10
VICTORIA          90  78  91  76  90  /   0  10  10  10  10
LAREDO            98  78  99  76  99  /   0  10  10   0   0
ALICE             93  77  94  76  94  /   0  10  10  10  10
ROCKPORT          88  81  90  81  89  /   0  10  10  10  10
COTULLA           96  77  97  75  97  /   0  10  10   0   0
KINGSVILLE        92  79  93  77  92  /   0  10  10  10  10
NAVY CORPUS       87  80  90  80  88  /   0  10  10  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

WC/87...AVIATION




000
FXUS64 KCRP 060603
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
103 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

.DISCUSSION...NOTE AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.

&&

.AVIATION...PREDOMIANTE MVFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED EARLY THIS MONDAY
MORNING ALONG WITH BRIEF MVFR VISIBILITIES WEST OF U.S. 77 AND
EAST OF STATE ROAD 16. FURTHER...ANTICIPATE NON-CONVECTIVE LLWS AT
LRD/ALI MAINLY DRG THE 09-14Z MONDAY PERIOD. A TRANSITION TO VFR
CONDITIONS EXPECTED BY LATE MONDAY MORNING/EARLY MONDAY AFTN.
ANTICIPATE MODERATE WIND/BREEZY CONDITIONS MONDAY AFTN. ANTICIPATE A
RETURN TO MVFR CEILINGS OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS NEAR THE END
OF THE TAF PERIOD.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 846 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015/

DISCUSSION...QUIET IN SOUTH TEXAS AND ONLY MADE A FEW ADJUSTMENTS
TO THE GRIDS BASED ON OBSERVATIONS AND TRENDS. CURRENT TEMPERATURE
FORECAST LOOKS OK SO NO CHANGES THERE. NO UPDATE NEEDED FOR THE
ZFPCRP. HAVE ISSUED THE GRIDDED TEXT PRODUCTS. MARINE FORECAST
STILL FINE.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 645 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015/

DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR 00Z AVIATION.

AVIATION...NO MAJOR CHANGES IN THE TAF FORECASTS. CONDITIONS
EXPECTED ALMOST IDENTICAL TO THE PAST 24 HOURS. WILL SEE WINDS
DECREASE OVERNIGHT...BUT LET UP COMPLETELY. MVFR CIGS FOR A TIME
OVERNIGHT FOR EASTERN SITES. TOMORROW WILL REPEAT WITH SCATTERED
CU AND GUSTY SOUTHEAST WINDS.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 343 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)...ANY ISOLATED
CONVECTION ACROSS THE REGION SHOULD QUICKLY DISSIPATE WITH THE
LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING. QUIET WEATHER IS IN STORE FOR THE EARLY
PART OF THE WEEK AS DRIER AIR AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGING MOVES INTO
THE AREA. RAIN CHANCES WILL REMAIN VERY LOW WITH TEMPERATURES AT
OR SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. HIGHS WILL
GENERALLY RANGE FROM THE UPPER 90S NEAR LAREDO TO LOWER 90S ACROSS
THE COASTAL BEND INTO VICTORIA CROSSROADS. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE
ON THE MILD SIDE AS MIN TEMPS HOLD STEADY IN THE MID AND UPPER
70S.

LONG TERM (TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...BREEZY ONSHORE FLOW WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH TO THE MID WEEK AS A SURFACE LOW OVER NORTHERN
MEXICO AND HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHEAST GULF KEEP A TIGHT
PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE REGION. THE WEAK SHEAR AXIS ALOFT WILL
CONTINUE TO MEANDER OVER THE REGION AS WELL AT THE BEGINNING OF THE
PERIOD...BUT MOISTURE WILL REMAIN LIMITED. MOISTURE INCREASES
SLIGHTLY DURING THE END OF THE WEEK AND OVER THE WEEKEND...BUT AT
THE SAME TIME CENTER OF HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE FINALLY BUILDS IN FULLY
OVER THE STATE. KEPT WITH THE DRY FORECAST THROUGH THE PERIOD.
DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL BE ON A GRADUAL WARMING TREND THROUGH THE
END OF THE WEEK. BY THE END OF THE WEEK HEAT INDEX VALUES MAY
BRIEFLY EXCEED 105 DEGREES DURING THE AFTERNOONS...MAINLY OVER
PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN COASTAL BEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    90  79  92  78  91  /   0  10  10  10  10
VICTORIA          90  78  91  76  90  /   0  10  10  10  10
LAREDO            98  78  99  76  99  /   0  10  10   0   0
ALICE             93  77  94  76  94  /   0  10  10  10  10
ROCKPORT          88  81  90  81  89  /   0  10  10  10  10
COTULLA           96  77  97  75  97  /   0  10  10   0   0
KINGSVILLE        92  79  93  77  92  /   0  10  10  10  10
NAVY CORPUS       87  80  90  80  88  /   0  10  10  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

WC/87...AVIATION




000
FXUS64 KCRP 060603
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
103 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

.DISCUSSION...NOTE AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.

&&

.AVIATION...PREDOMIANTE MVFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED EARLY THIS MONDAY
MORNING ALONG WITH BRIEF MVFR VISIBILITIES WEST OF U.S. 77 AND
EAST OF STATE ROAD 16. FURTHER...ANTICIPATE NON-CONVECTIVE LLWS AT
LRD/ALI MAINLY DRG THE 09-14Z MONDAY PERIOD. A TRANSITION TO VFR
CONDITIONS EXPECTED BY LATE MONDAY MORNING/EARLY MONDAY AFTN.
ANTICIPATE MODERATE WIND/BREEZY CONDITIONS MONDAY AFTN. ANTICIPATE A
RETURN TO MVFR CEILINGS OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS NEAR THE END
OF THE TAF PERIOD.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 846 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015/

DISCUSSION...QUIET IN SOUTH TEXAS AND ONLY MADE A FEW ADJUSTMENTS
TO THE GRIDS BASED ON OBSERVATIONS AND TRENDS. CURRENT TEMPERATURE
FORECAST LOOKS OK SO NO CHANGES THERE. NO UPDATE NEEDED FOR THE
ZFPCRP. HAVE ISSUED THE GRIDDED TEXT PRODUCTS. MARINE FORECAST
STILL FINE.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 645 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015/

DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR 00Z AVIATION.

AVIATION...NO MAJOR CHANGES IN THE TAF FORECASTS. CONDITIONS
EXPECTED ALMOST IDENTICAL TO THE PAST 24 HOURS. WILL SEE WINDS
DECREASE OVERNIGHT...BUT LET UP COMPLETELY. MVFR CIGS FOR A TIME
OVERNIGHT FOR EASTERN SITES. TOMORROW WILL REPEAT WITH SCATTERED
CU AND GUSTY SOUTHEAST WINDS.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 343 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)...ANY ISOLATED
CONVECTION ACROSS THE REGION SHOULD QUICKLY DISSIPATE WITH THE
LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING. QUIET WEATHER IS IN STORE FOR THE EARLY
PART OF THE WEEK AS DRIER AIR AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGING MOVES INTO
THE AREA. RAIN CHANCES WILL REMAIN VERY LOW WITH TEMPERATURES AT
OR SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. HIGHS WILL
GENERALLY RANGE FROM THE UPPER 90S NEAR LAREDO TO LOWER 90S ACROSS
THE COASTAL BEND INTO VICTORIA CROSSROADS. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE
ON THE MILD SIDE AS MIN TEMPS HOLD STEADY IN THE MID AND UPPER
70S.

LONG TERM (TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...BREEZY ONSHORE FLOW WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH TO THE MID WEEK AS A SURFACE LOW OVER NORTHERN
MEXICO AND HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHEAST GULF KEEP A TIGHT
PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE REGION. THE WEAK SHEAR AXIS ALOFT WILL
CONTINUE TO MEANDER OVER THE REGION AS WELL AT THE BEGINNING OF THE
PERIOD...BUT MOISTURE WILL REMAIN LIMITED. MOISTURE INCREASES
SLIGHTLY DURING THE END OF THE WEEK AND OVER THE WEEKEND...BUT AT
THE SAME TIME CENTER OF HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE FINALLY BUILDS IN FULLY
OVER THE STATE. KEPT WITH THE DRY FORECAST THROUGH THE PERIOD.
DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL BE ON A GRADUAL WARMING TREND THROUGH THE
END OF THE WEEK. BY THE END OF THE WEEK HEAT INDEX VALUES MAY
BRIEFLY EXCEED 105 DEGREES DURING THE AFTERNOONS...MAINLY OVER
PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN COASTAL BEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    90  79  92  78  91  /   0  10  10  10  10
VICTORIA          90  78  91  76  90  /   0  10  10  10  10
LAREDO            98  78  99  76  99  /   0  10  10   0   0
ALICE             93  77  94  76  94  /   0  10  10  10  10
ROCKPORT          88  81  90  81  89  /   0  10  10  10  10
COTULLA           96  77  97  75  97  /   0  10  10   0   0
KINGSVILLE        92  79  93  77  92  /   0  10  10  10  10
NAVY CORPUS       87  80  90  80  88  /   0  10  10  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

WC/87...AVIATION





000
FXUS64 KCRP 060146 AAB
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
846 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015

.DISCUSSION...QUIET IN SOUTH TEXAS AND ONLY MADE A FEW ADJUSTMENTS
TO THE GRIDS BASED ON OBSERVATIONS AND TRENDS. CURRENT TEMPERATURE
FORECAST LOOKS OK SO NO CHANGES THERE. NO UPDATE NEEDED FOR THE
ZFPCRP. HAVE ISSUED THE GRIDDED TEXT PRODUCTS. MARINE FORECAST
STILL FINE.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 645 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015/

DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR 00Z AVIATION.

AVIATION...NO MAJOR CHANGES IN THE TAF FORECASTS. CONDITIONS
EXPECTED ALMOST IDENTICAL TO THE PAST 24 HOURS. WILL SEE WINDS
DECREASE OVERNIGHT...BUT LET UP COMPLETELY. MVFR CIGS FOR A TIME
OVERNIGHT FOR EASTERN SITES. TOMORROW WILL REPEAT WITH SCATTERED
CU AND GUSTY SOUTHEAST WINDS.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 343 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)...ANY ISOLATED
CONVECTION ACROSS THE REGION SHOULD QUICKLY DISSIPATE WITH THE
LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING. QUIET WEATHER IS IN STORE FOR THE EARLY
PART OF THE WEEK AS DRIER AIR AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGING MOVES INTO
THE AREA. RAIN CHANCES WILL REMAIN VERY LOW WITH TEMPERATURES AT
OR SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. HIGHS WILL
GENERALLY RANGE FROM THE UPPER 90S NEAR LAREDO TO LOWER 90S ACROSS
THE COASTAL BEND INTO VICTORIA CROSSROADS. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE
ON THE MILD SIDE AS MIN TEMPS HOLD STEADY IN THE MID AND UPPER
70S.

LONG TERM (TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...BREEZY ONSHORE FLOW WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH TO THE MID WEEK AS A SURFACE LOW OVER NORTHERN
MEXICO AND HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHEAST GULF KEEP A TIGHT
PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE REGION. THE WEAK SHEAR AXIS ALOFT WILL
CONTINUE TO MEANDER OVER THE REGION AS WELL AT THE BEGINNING OF THE
PERIOD...BUT MOISTURE WILL REMAIN LIMITED. MOISTURE INCREASES
SLIGHTLY DURING THE END OF THE WEEK AND OVER THE WEEKEND...BUT AT
THE SAME TIME CENTER OF HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE FINALLY BUILDS IN FULLY
OVER THE STATE. KEPT WITH THE DRY FORECAST THROUGH THE PERIOD.
DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL BE ON A GRADUAL WARMING TREND THROUGH THE
END OF THE WEEK. BY THE END OF THE WEEK HEAT INDEX VALUES MAY
BRIEFLY EXCEED 105 DEGREES DURING THE AFTERNOONS...MAINLY OVER
PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN COASTAL BEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    78  90  79  92  78  /  10   0  10  10  10
VICTORIA          77  90  78  91  76  /  10   0  10  10  10
LAREDO            78  98  78  99  76  /  10   0  10  10   0
ALICE             76  93  77  94  76  /  10   0  10  10  10
ROCKPORT          81  88  81  90  81  /  10   0  10  10  10
COTULLA           76  96  77  97  75  /  10   0  10  10   0
KINGSVILLE        77  92  79  93  77  /  10   0  10  10  10
NAVY CORPUS       80  87  80  90  80  /  10   0  10  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

GW/86...SYNOPTIC/GRIDS
PZ/83...AVIATION/MESO




000
FXUS64 KCRP 052345
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
645 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015

.DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR 00Z AVIATION.

&&

.AVIATION...NO MAJOR CHANGES IN THE TAF FORECASTS. CONDITIONS
EXPECTED ALMOST IDENTICAL TO THE PAST 24 HOURS. WILL SEE WINDS
DECREASE OVERNIGHT...BUT LET UP COMPLETELY. MVFR CIGS FOR A TIME
OVERNIGHT FOR EASTERN SITES. TOMORROW WILL REPEAT WITH SCATTERED
CU AND GUSTY SOUTHEAST WINDS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 343 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)...ANY ISOLATED
CONVECTION ACROSS THE REGION SHOULD QUICKLY DISSIPATE WITH THE
LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING. QUIET WEATHER IS IN STORE FOR THE EARLY
PART OF THE WEEK AS DRIER AIR AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGING MOVES INTO
THE AREA. RAIN CHANCES WILL REMAIN VERY LOW WITH TEMPERATURES AT
OR SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. HIGHS WILL
GENERALLY RANGE FROM THE UPPER 90S NEAR LAREDO TO LOWER 90S ACROSS
THE COASTAL BEND INTO VICTORIA CROSSROADS. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE
ON THE MILD SIDE AS MIN TEMPS HOLD STEADY IN THE MID AND UPPER
70S.

LONG TERM (TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...BREEZY ONSHORE FLOW WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH TO THE MID WEEK AS A SURFACE LOW OVER NORTHERN
MEXICO AND HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHEAST GULF KEEP A TIGHT
PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE REGION. THE WEAK SHEAR AXIS ALOFT WILL
CONTINUE TO MEANDER OVER THE REGION AS WELL AT THE BEGINNING OF THE
PERIOD...BUT MOISTURE WILL REMAIN LIMITED. MOISTURE INCREASES
SLIGHTLY DURING THE END OF THE WEEK AND OVER THE WEEKEND...BUT AT
THE SAME TIME CENTER OF HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE FINALLY BUILDS IN FULLY
OVER THE STATE. KEPT WITH THE DRY FORECAST THROUGH THE PERIOD.
DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL BE ON A GRADUAL WARMING TREND THROUGH THE
END OF THE WEEK. BY THE END OF THE WEEK HEAT INDEX VALUES MAY
BRIEFLY EXCEED 105 DEGREES DURING THE AFTERNOONS...MAINLY OVER
PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN COASTAL BEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    78  90  79  92  78  /  10   0  10  10  10
VICTORIA          77  90  78  91  76  /  10   0  10  10  10
LAREDO            78  98  78  99  76  /  10   0  10  10   0
ALICE             76  93  77  94  76  /  10   0  10  10  10
ROCKPORT          81  88  81  90  81  /  10   0  10  10  10
COTULLA           76  96  77  97  75  /  10   0  10  10   0
KINGSVILLE        77  92  79  93  77  /  10   0  10  10  10
NAVY CORPUS       80  87  80  90  80  /  10   0  10  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

PZ/83...AVIATION




000
FXUS64 KCRP 052345
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
645 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015

.DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR 00Z AVIATION.

&&

.AVIATION...NO MAJOR CHANGES IN THE TAF FORECASTS. CONDITIONS
EXPECTED ALMOST IDENTICAL TO THE PAST 24 HOURS. WILL SEE WINDS
DECREASE OVERNIGHT...BUT LET UP COMPLETELY. MVFR CIGS FOR A TIME
OVERNIGHT FOR EASTERN SITES. TOMORROW WILL REPEAT WITH SCATTERED
CU AND GUSTY SOUTHEAST WINDS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 343 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)...ANY ISOLATED
CONVECTION ACROSS THE REGION SHOULD QUICKLY DISSIPATE WITH THE
LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING. QUIET WEATHER IS IN STORE FOR THE EARLY
PART OF THE WEEK AS DRIER AIR AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGING MOVES INTO
THE AREA. RAIN CHANCES WILL REMAIN VERY LOW WITH TEMPERATURES AT
OR SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. HIGHS WILL
GENERALLY RANGE FROM THE UPPER 90S NEAR LAREDO TO LOWER 90S ACROSS
THE COASTAL BEND INTO VICTORIA CROSSROADS. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE
ON THE MILD SIDE AS MIN TEMPS HOLD STEADY IN THE MID AND UPPER
70S.

LONG TERM (TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...BREEZY ONSHORE FLOW WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH TO THE MID WEEK AS A SURFACE LOW OVER NORTHERN
MEXICO AND HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHEAST GULF KEEP A TIGHT
PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE REGION. THE WEAK SHEAR AXIS ALOFT WILL
CONTINUE TO MEANDER OVER THE REGION AS WELL AT THE BEGINNING OF THE
PERIOD...BUT MOISTURE WILL REMAIN LIMITED. MOISTURE INCREASES
SLIGHTLY DURING THE END OF THE WEEK AND OVER THE WEEKEND...BUT AT
THE SAME TIME CENTER OF HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE FINALLY BUILDS IN FULLY
OVER THE STATE. KEPT WITH THE DRY FORECAST THROUGH THE PERIOD.
DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL BE ON A GRADUAL WARMING TREND THROUGH THE
END OF THE WEEK. BY THE END OF THE WEEK HEAT INDEX VALUES MAY
BRIEFLY EXCEED 105 DEGREES DURING THE AFTERNOONS...MAINLY OVER
PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN COASTAL BEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    78  90  79  92  78  /  10   0  10  10  10
VICTORIA          77  90  78  91  76  /  10   0  10  10  10
LAREDO            78  98  78  99  76  /  10   0  10  10   0
ALICE             76  93  77  94  76  /  10   0  10  10  10
ROCKPORT          81  88  81  90  81  /  10   0  10  10  10
COTULLA           76  96  77  97  75  /  10   0  10  10   0
KINGSVILLE        77  92  79  93  77  /  10   0  10  10  10
NAVY CORPUS       80  87  80  90  80  /  10   0  10  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

PZ/83...AVIATION





000
FXUS64 KCRP 052043
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
343 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)...ANY ISOLATED
CONVECTION ACROSS THE REGION SHOULD QUICKLY DISSIPATE WITH THE
LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING. QUIET WEATHER IS IN STORE FOR THE EARLY
PART OF THE WEEK AS DRIER AIR AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGING MOVES INTO
THE AREA. RAIN CHANCES WILL REMAIN VERY LOW WITH TEMPERATURES AT
OR SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. HIGHS WILL
GENERALLY RANGE FROM THE UPPER 90S NEAR LAREDO TO LOWER 90S ACROSS
THE COASTAL BEND INTO VICTORIA CROSSROADS. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE
ON THE MILD SIDE AS MIN TEMPS HOLD STEADY IN THE MID AND UPPER
70S.

&&

.LONG TERM (TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...BREEZY ONSHORE FLOW WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH TO THE MID WEEK AS A SURFACE LOW OVER NORTHERN
MEXICO AND HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHEAST GULF KEEP A TIGHT
PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE REGION. THE WEAK SHEAR AXIS ALOFT WILL
CONTINUE TO MEANDER OVER THE REGION AS WELL AT THE BEGINNING OF THE
PERIOD...BUT MOISTURE WILL REMAIN LIMITED. MOISTURE INCREASES
SLIGHTLY DURING THE END OF THE WEEK AND OVER THE WEEKEND...BUT AT
THE SAME TIME CENTER OF HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE FINALLY BUILDS IN FULLY
OVER THE STATE. KEPT WITH THE DRY FORECAST THROUGH THE PERIOD.
DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL BE ON A GRADUAL WARMING TREND THROUGH THE
END OF THE WEEK. BY THE END OF THE WEEK HEAT INDEX VALUES MAY
BRIEFLY EXCEED 105 DEGREES DURING THE AFTERNOONS...MAINLY OVER
PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN COASTAL BEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    78  90  79  92  78  /  10   0  10  10  10
VICTORIA          77  90  78  91  76  /  10   0  10  10  10
LAREDO            78  98  78  99  76  /  10   0  10  10   0
ALICE             76  93  77  94  76  /  10   0  10  10  10
ROCKPORT          81  88  81  90  81  /  10   0  10  10  10
COTULLA           76  96  77  97  75  /  10   0  10  10   0
KINGSVILLE        77  92  79  93  77  /  10   0  10  10  10
NAVY CORPUS       80  87  80  90  80  /  10   0  10  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

TB/78...SHORT TERM
LK/84...LONG TERM





000
FXUS64 KCRP 052043
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
343 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)...ANY ISOLATED
CONVECTION ACROSS THE REGION SHOULD QUICKLY DISSIPATE WITH THE
LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING. QUIET WEATHER IS IN STORE FOR THE EARLY
PART OF THE WEEK AS DRIER AIR AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGING MOVES INTO
THE AREA. RAIN CHANCES WILL REMAIN VERY LOW WITH TEMPERATURES AT
OR SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. HIGHS WILL
GENERALLY RANGE FROM THE UPPER 90S NEAR LAREDO TO LOWER 90S ACROSS
THE COASTAL BEND INTO VICTORIA CROSSROADS. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE
ON THE MILD SIDE AS MIN TEMPS HOLD STEADY IN THE MID AND UPPER
70S.

&&

.LONG TERM (TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...BREEZY ONSHORE FLOW WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH TO THE MID WEEK AS A SURFACE LOW OVER NORTHERN
MEXICO AND HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHEAST GULF KEEP A TIGHT
PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE REGION. THE WEAK SHEAR AXIS ALOFT WILL
CONTINUE TO MEANDER OVER THE REGION AS WELL AT THE BEGINNING OF THE
PERIOD...BUT MOISTURE WILL REMAIN LIMITED. MOISTURE INCREASES
SLIGHTLY DURING THE END OF THE WEEK AND OVER THE WEEKEND...BUT AT
THE SAME TIME CENTER OF HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE FINALLY BUILDS IN FULLY
OVER THE STATE. KEPT WITH THE DRY FORECAST THROUGH THE PERIOD.
DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL BE ON A GRADUAL WARMING TREND THROUGH THE
END OF THE WEEK. BY THE END OF THE WEEK HEAT INDEX VALUES MAY
BRIEFLY EXCEED 105 DEGREES DURING THE AFTERNOONS...MAINLY OVER
PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN COASTAL BEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    78  90  79  92  78  /  10   0  10  10  10
VICTORIA          77  90  78  91  76  /  10   0  10  10  10
LAREDO            78  98  78  99  76  /  10   0  10  10   0
ALICE             76  93  77  94  76  /  10   0  10  10  10
ROCKPORT          81  88  81  90  81  /  10   0  10  10  10
COTULLA           76  96  77  97  75  /  10   0  10  10   0
KINGSVILLE        77  92  79  93  77  /  10   0  10  10  10
NAVY CORPUS       80  87  80  90  80  /  10   0  10  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

TB/78...SHORT TERM
LK/84...LONG TERM




000
FXUS64 KCRP 051742 AAB
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1242 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015

.DISCUSSION...FORECAST IS ON TRACK TODAY WITH NO MAJOR CHANGES
NEEDED. 12Z CRP SOUNDING SHOWS SUFFICIENT MOISTURE ACROSS SOUTH
TEXAS BUT COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS SHOULD BE PRETTY LIMITED
THIS AFTERNOON. WILL HANG ON TO 20 POPS ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAINS.
HIGH TEMPS WILL CLIMB INTO THE UPPER 90S OUT WEST TO LOWER 90S
ACROSS THE COASTAL COUNTIES INTO THE VICTORIA CROSSROADS.

PLEASE SEE UPDATED 18Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS
SOUTH TEXAS TERMINALS. SE WINDS WILL GUST BETWEEN 20 AND 25 KNOTS
AT TIMES...THEN SUBSIDE AROUND 02Z OR 03Z. SIMILAR TO THIS
MORNING...THERE WILL BE A PERIOD OF MVFR CEILINGS POSSIBLE TOWARDS
DAYBREAK AT ALI/VCT/CRP. ANY LOW CLOUDS SHOULD MIX OUT BY 14Z OR
15Z AS SELY WINDS INCREASE.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 606 AM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015/

DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR THE 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

AVIATION...OVERALL VFR WITH BRIEF MVFR CIGS/VSBYS THROUGH 15Z.
STRENGTHENING SE FLOW WITH GUSTS OF 20-25 KTS EXPECTED LATE
MORNING THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON. LIGHT RA/SHRA POSSIBLE IN THE
MORNING MAINLY FOR CRP-ALI-VCT...BUT COVERAGE IS EXPECTED TO BE
TOO ISOLATED AND BRIEF TO WARRANT IN TAFS. WINDS WILL DECOUPLE
AFTER 00Z. MAY SEE BRIEF MVFR CIGS LATE IN THE TAFS BUT AGAIN
CIGS WILL BE PREDOMINANTLY VFR AT 1500-2000 FT.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 435 AM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015/

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH MONDAY)...NEARLY 1.8-2.0 INCH PWATS
REMAINS ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CWA ACCORDING TO GOES
SOUNDER IMAGERY WITH LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS CONTINUE TO STREAM NORTH
ACROSS THE GULF AS A RESULT. AS INSTABILITY IS LACKING MUCH IN THE
MORNING...WILL EXPECT A SLOWER APPROACH TO BRINGING SHOWERS/STORMS
FARTHER INLAND. RIDGING BUILDS IN AT THE MIDLEVELS LEADING TO A
BIT OF SUPPRESSION...BUT ISOLATED DEVELOPMENT REMAINS POSSIBLE
UNDER A SLIGHTLY WEAK CAP. DRIER CONDITIONS SET UP FOR TONIGHT
INTO MONDAY LIMITING RAIN CHANCES...HOWEVER ISOLATED STREAMER
SHOWERS SHOULD STILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY ACROSS THE OPEN GULF
WATERS LATE TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE PERSISTENT...WITH
SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPS IN STORE FOR MONDAY. BREEZY CONDITIONS THIS
AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COASTAL LOCATIONS CAN BE
EXPECTED...WITH SLIGHTLY STRONGER WINDS MONDAY. AT THIS
TIME...WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE MET.

AT THE BEACH...PERSISTENT ONSHORE FLOW AND ELEVATED SWELL PERIODS
WILL CONTINUE A MODERATE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE GULF
FACING BEACHES TODAY AND MONDAY.

LONG TERM (MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)...A WEAK MID LEVEL SHEAR
AXIS WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. BUT
MOISTURE LEVELS WILL BE LACKING WITH MODELS INDICATING PRECIPITABLE
WATER VALUES GENERALLY NEAR OR BELOW 1.5 INCHES. WARM...DRY AND
BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS WILL EXIST FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.
WINDS WILL DIMINISH SLIGHTLY BY THURSDAY AS THE GRADIENT WEAKENS.
THE MID TO UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHEAST THURSDAY
WITH THE RIDGE BUILDING OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS BY THE END OF THE
PERIOD. WILL SHOW A GRADUAL INCREASE IN MAX TEMPS BY THE END OF THE
WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    78  91  79  92  78  /  10  10  10  10  10
VICTORIA          76  92  77  92  77  /  10  10  10  10  10
LAREDO            77 100  79  99  78  /  10  10  10  10   0
ALICE             76  95  77  94  77  /  10  10  10  10  10
ROCKPORT          80  90  81  91  80  /  10  10  10  10  10
COTULLA           76  97  77  97  76  /  10  10  10  10   0
KINGSVILLE        77  93  78  93  78  /  10  10  10  10  10
NAVY CORPUS       80  88  80  90  79  /  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

TB/78...AVIATION





000
FXUS64 KCRP 051742 AAB
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1242 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015

.DISCUSSION...FORECAST IS ON TRACK TODAY WITH NO MAJOR CHANGES
NEEDED. 12Z CRP SOUNDING SHOWS SUFFICIENT MOISTURE ACROSS SOUTH
TEXAS BUT COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS SHOULD BE PRETTY LIMITED
THIS AFTERNOON. WILL HANG ON TO 20 POPS ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAINS.
HIGH TEMPS WILL CLIMB INTO THE UPPER 90S OUT WEST TO LOWER 90S
ACROSS THE COASTAL COUNTIES INTO THE VICTORIA CROSSROADS.

PLEASE SEE UPDATED 18Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS
SOUTH TEXAS TERMINALS. SE WINDS WILL GUST BETWEEN 20 AND 25 KNOTS
AT TIMES...THEN SUBSIDE AROUND 02Z OR 03Z. SIMILAR TO THIS
MORNING...THERE WILL BE A PERIOD OF MVFR CEILINGS POSSIBLE TOWARDS
DAYBREAK AT ALI/VCT/CRP. ANY LOW CLOUDS SHOULD MIX OUT BY 14Z OR
15Z AS SELY WINDS INCREASE.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 606 AM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015/

DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR THE 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

AVIATION...OVERALL VFR WITH BRIEF MVFR CIGS/VSBYS THROUGH 15Z.
STRENGTHENING SE FLOW WITH GUSTS OF 20-25 KTS EXPECTED LATE
MORNING THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON. LIGHT RA/SHRA POSSIBLE IN THE
MORNING MAINLY FOR CRP-ALI-VCT...BUT COVERAGE IS EXPECTED TO BE
TOO ISOLATED AND BRIEF TO WARRANT IN TAFS. WINDS WILL DECOUPLE
AFTER 00Z. MAY SEE BRIEF MVFR CIGS LATE IN THE TAFS BUT AGAIN
CIGS WILL BE PREDOMINANTLY VFR AT 1500-2000 FT.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 435 AM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015/

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH MONDAY)...NEARLY 1.8-2.0 INCH PWATS
REMAINS ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CWA ACCORDING TO GOES
SOUNDER IMAGERY WITH LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS CONTINUE TO STREAM NORTH
ACROSS THE GULF AS A RESULT. AS INSTABILITY IS LACKING MUCH IN THE
MORNING...WILL EXPECT A SLOWER APPROACH TO BRINGING SHOWERS/STORMS
FARTHER INLAND. RIDGING BUILDS IN AT THE MIDLEVELS LEADING TO A
BIT OF SUPPRESSION...BUT ISOLATED DEVELOPMENT REMAINS POSSIBLE
UNDER A SLIGHTLY WEAK CAP. DRIER CONDITIONS SET UP FOR TONIGHT
INTO MONDAY LIMITING RAIN CHANCES...HOWEVER ISOLATED STREAMER
SHOWERS SHOULD STILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY ACROSS THE OPEN GULF
WATERS LATE TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE PERSISTENT...WITH
SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPS IN STORE FOR MONDAY. BREEZY CONDITIONS THIS
AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COASTAL LOCATIONS CAN BE
EXPECTED...WITH SLIGHTLY STRONGER WINDS MONDAY. AT THIS
TIME...WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE MET.

AT THE BEACH...PERSISTENT ONSHORE FLOW AND ELEVATED SWELL PERIODS
WILL CONTINUE A MODERATE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE GULF
FACING BEACHES TODAY AND MONDAY.

LONG TERM (MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)...A WEAK MID LEVEL SHEAR
AXIS WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. BUT
MOISTURE LEVELS WILL BE LACKING WITH MODELS INDICATING PRECIPITABLE
WATER VALUES GENERALLY NEAR OR BELOW 1.5 INCHES. WARM...DRY AND
BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS WILL EXIST FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.
WINDS WILL DIMINISH SLIGHTLY BY THURSDAY AS THE GRADIENT WEAKENS.
THE MID TO UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHEAST THURSDAY
WITH THE RIDGE BUILDING OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS BY THE END OF THE
PERIOD. WILL SHOW A GRADUAL INCREASE IN MAX TEMPS BY THE END OF THE
WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    78  91  79  92  78  /  10  10  10  10  10
VICTORIA          76  92  77  92  77  /  10  10  10  10  10
LAREDO            77 100  79  99  78  /  10  10  10  10   0
ALICE             76  95  77  94  77  /  10  10  10  10  10
ROCKPORT          80  90  81  91  80  /  10  10  10  10  10
COTULLA           76  97  77  97  76  /  10  10  10  10   0
KINGSVILLE        77  93  78  93  78  /  10  10  10  10  10
NAVY CORPUS       80  88  80  90  79  /  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

TB/78...AVIATION




000
FXUS64 KCRP 051742 AAB
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1242 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015

.DISCUSSION...FORECAST IS ON TRACK TODAY WITH NO MAJOR CHANGES
NEEDED. 12Z CRP SOUNDING SHOWS SUFFICIENT MOISTURE ACROSS SOUTH
TEXAS BUT COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS SHOULD BE PRETTY LIMITED
THIS AFTERNOON. WILL HANG ON TO 20 POPS ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAINS.
HIGH TEMPS WILL CLIMB INTO THE UPPER 90S OUT WEST TO LOWER 90S
ACROSS THE COASTAL COUNTIES INTO THE VICTORIA CROSSROADS.

PLEASE SEE UPDATED 18Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS
SOUTH TEXAS TERMINALS. SE WINDS WILL GUST BETWEEN 20 AND 25 KNOTS
AT TIMES...THEN SUBSIDE AROUND 02Z OR 03Z. SIMILAR TO THIS
MORNING...THERE WILL BE A PERIOD OF MVFR CEILINGS POSSIBLE TOWARDS
DAYBREAK AT ALI/VCT/CRP. ANY LOW CLOUDS SHOULD MIX OUT BY 14Z OR
15Z AS SELY WINDS INCREASE.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 606 AM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015/

DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR THE 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

AVIATION...OVERALL VFR WITH BRIEF MVFR CIGS/VSBYS THROUGH 15Z.
STRENGTHENING SE FLOW WITH GUSTS OF 20-25 KTS EXPECTED LATE
MORNING THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON. LIGHT RA/SHRA POSSIBLE IN THE
MORNING MAINLY FOR CRP-ALI-VCT...BUT COVERAGE IS EXPECTED TO BE
TOO ISOLATED AND BRIEF TO WARRANT IN TAFS. WINDS WILL DECOUPLE
AFTER 00Z. MAY SEE BRIEF MVFR CIGS LATE IN THE TAFS BUT AGAIN
CIGS WILL BE PREDOMINANTLY VFR AT 1500-2000 FT.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 435 AM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015/

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH MONDAY)...NEARLY 1.8-2.0 INCH PWATS
REMAINS ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CWA ACCORDING TO GOES
SOUNDER IMAGERY WITH LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS CONTINUE TO STREAM NORTH
ACROSS THE GULF AS A RESULT. AS INSTABILITY IS LACKING MUCH IN THE
MORNING...WILL EXPECT A SLOWER APPROACH TO BRINGING SHOWERS/STORMS
FARTHER INLAND. RIDGING BUILDS IN AT THE MIDLEVELS LEADING TO A
BIT OF SUPPRESSION...BUT ISOLATED DEVELOPMENT REMAINS POSSIBLE
UNDER A SLIGHTLY WEAK CAP. DRIER CONDITIONS SET UP FOR TONIGHT
INTO MONDAY LIMITING RAIN CHANCES...HOWEVER ISOLATED STREAMER
SHOWERS SHOULD STILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY ACROSS THE OPEN GULF
WATERS LATE TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE PERSISTENT...WITH
SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPS IN STORE FOR MONDAY. BREEZY CONDITIONS THIS
AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COASTAL LOCATIONS CAN BE
EXPECTED...WITH SLIGHTLY STRONGER WINDS MONDAY. AT THIS
TIME...WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE MET.

AT THE BEACH...PERSISTENT ONSHORE FLOW AND ELEVATED SWELL PERIODS
WILL CONTINUE A MODERATE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE GULF
FACING BEACHES TODAY AND MONDAY.

LONG TERM (MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)...A WEAK MID LEVEL SHEAR
AXIS WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. BUT
MOISTURE LEVELS WILL BE LACKING WITH MODELS INDICATING PRECIPITABLE
WATER VALUES GENERALLY NEAR OR BELOW 1.5 INCHES. WARM...DRY AND
BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS WILL EXIST FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.
WINDS WILL DIMINISH SLIGHTLY BY THURSDAY AS THE GRADIENT WEAKENS.
THE MID TO UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHEAST THURSDAY
WITH THE RIDGE BUILDING OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS BY THE END OF THE
PERIOD. WILL SHOW A GRADUAL INCREASE IN MAX TEMPS BY THE END OF THE
WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    78  91  79  92  78  /  10  10  10  10  10
VICTORIA          76  92  77  92  77  /  10  10  10  10  10
LAREDO            77 100  79  99  78  /  10  10  10  10   0
ALICE             76  95  77  94  77  /  10  10  10  10  10
ROCKPORT          80  90  81  91  80  /  10  10  10  10  10
COTULLA           76  97  77  97  76  /  10  10  10  10   0
KINGSVILLE        77  93  78  93  78  /  10  10  10  10  10
NAVY CORPUS       80  88  80  90  79  /  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

TB/78...AVIATION




000
FXUS64 KCRP 051106 AAA
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
606 AM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015

.DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR THE 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.AVIATION...OVERALL VFR WITH BRIEF MVFR CIGS/VSBYS THROUGH 15Z.
STRENGTHENING SE FLOW WITH GUSTS OF 20-25 KTS EXPECTED LATE
MORNING THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON. LIGHT RA/SHRA POSSIBLE IN THE
MORNING MAINLY FOR CRP-ALI-VCT...BUT COVERAGE IS EXPECTED TO BE
TOO ISOLATED AND BRIEF TO WARRANT IN TAFS. WINDS WILL DECOUPLE
AFTER 00Z. MAY SEE BRIEF MVFR CIGS LATE IN THE TAFS BUT AGAIN
CIGS WILL BE PREDOMINANTLY VFR AT 1500-2000 FT.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 435 AM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015/

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH MONDAY)...NEARLY 1.8-2.0 INCH PWATS
REMAINS ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CWA ACCORDING TO GOES
SOUNDER IMAGERY WITH LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS CONTINUE TO STREAM NORTH
ACROSS THE GULF AS A RESULT. AS INSTABILITY IS LACKING MUCH IN THE
MORNING...WILL EXPECT A SLOWER APPROACH TO BRINGING SHOWERS/STORMS
FARTHER INLAND. RIDGING BUILDS IN AT THE MIDLEVELS LEADING TO A
BIT OF SUPPRESSION...BUT ISOLATED DEVELOPMENT REMAINS POSSIBLE
UNDER A SLIGHTLY WEAK CAP. DRIER CONDITIONS SET UP FOR TONIGHT
INTO MONDAY LIMITING RAIN CHANCES...HOWEVER ISOLATED STREAMER
SHOWERS SHOULD STILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY ACROSS THE OPEN GULF
WATERS LATE TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE PERSISTENT...WITH
SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPS IN STORE FOR MONDAY. BREEZY CONDITIONS THIS
AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COASTAL LOCATIONS CAN BE
EXPECTED...WITH SLIGHTLY STRONGER WINDS MONDAY. AT THIS
TIME...WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE MET.

AT THE BEACH...PERSISTENT ONSHORE FLOW AND ELEVATED SWELL PERIODS
WILL CONTINUE A MODERATE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE GULF
FACING BEACHES TODAY AND MONDAY.

LONG TERM (MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)...A WEAK MID LEVEL SHEAR
AXIS WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. BUT
MOISTURE LEVELS WILL BE LACKING WITH MODELS INDICATING PRECIPITABLE
WATER VALUES GENERALLY NEAR OR BELOW 1.5 INCHES. WARM...DRY AND
BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS WILL EXIST FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.
WINDS WILL DIMINISH SLIGHTLY BY THURSDAY AS THE GRADIENT WEAKENS.
THE MID TO UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHEAST THURSDAY
WITH THE RIDGE BUILDING OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS BY THE END OF THE
PERIOD. WILL SHOW A GRADUAL INCREASE IN MAX TEMPS BY THE END OF THE
WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    91  78  91  79  92  /  20  10  10  10  10
VICTORIA          92  76  92  77  92  /  20  10  10  10  10
LAREDO            99  77 100  79  99  /  10  10  10  10  10
ALICE             95  76  95  77  94  /  20  10  10  10  10
ROCKPORT          90  80  90  81  91  /  10  10  10  10  10
COTULLA           95  76  97  77  97  /  10  10  10  10  10
KINGSVILLE        93  77  93  78  93  /  20  10  10  10  10
NAVY CORPUS       88  80  88  80  90  /  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

CB/85...AVIATION




000
FXUS64 KCRP 050935
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
435 AM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015

.SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH MONDAY)...NEARLY 1.8-2.0 INCH PWATS
REMAINS ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CWA ACCORDING TO GOES
SOUNDER IMAGERY WITH LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS CONTINUE TO STREAM NORTH
ACROSS THE GULF AS A RESULT. AS INSTABILITY IS LACKING MUCH IN THE
MORNING...WILL EXPECT A SLOWER APPROACH TO BRINGING SHOWERS/STORMS
FARTHER INLAND. RIDGING BUILDS IN AT THE MIDLEVELS LEADING TO A
BIT OF SUPPRESSION...BUT ISOLATED DEVELOPMENT REMAINS POSSIBLE
UNDER A SLIGHTLY WEAK CAP. DRIER CONDITIONS SET UP FOR TONIGHT
INTO MONDAY LIMITING RAIN CHANCES...HOWEVER ISOLATED STREAMER
SHOWERS SHOULD STILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY ACROSS THE OPEN GULF
WATERS LATE TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE PERSISTENT...WITH
SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPS IN STORE FOR MONDAY. BREEZY CONDITIONS THIS
AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COASTAL LOCATIONS CAN BE
EXPECTED...WITH SLIGHTLY STRONGER WINDS MONDAY. AT THIS
TIME...WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE MET.

AT THE BEACH...PERSISTENT ONSHORE FLOW AND ELEVATED SWELL PERIODS
WILL CONTINUE A MODERATE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE GULF
FACING BEACHES TODAY AND MONDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM (MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)...A WEAK MID LEVEL SHEAR
AXIS WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. BUT
MOISTURE LEVELS WILL BE LACKING WITH MODELS INDICATING PRECIPITABLE
WATER VALUES GENERALLY NEAR OR BELOW 1.5 INCHES. WARM...DRY AND
BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS WILL EXIST FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.
WINDS WILL DIMINISH SLIGHTLY BY THURSDAY AS THE GRADIENT WEAKENS.
THE MID TO UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHEAST THURSDAY
WITH THE RIDGE BUILDING OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS BY THE END OF THE
PERIOD. WILL SHOW A GRADUAL INCREASE IN MAX TEMPS BY THE END OF THE
WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    91  78  91  79  92  /  20  10  10  10  10
VICTORIA          92  76  92  77  92  /  20  10  10  10  10
LAREDO            99  77 100  79  99  /  10  10  10  10  10
ALICE             95  76  95  77  94  /  20  10  10  10  10
ROCKPORT          90  80  90  81  91  /  10  10  10  10  10
COTULLA           95  76  97  77  97  /  10  10  10  10  10
KINGSVILLE        93  77  93  78  93  /  20  10  10  10  10
NAVY CORPUS       88  80  88  80  90  /  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

CB/85...SHORT TERM
TMT/89...LONG TERM





000
FXUS64 KCRP 050935
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
435 AM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015

.SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH MONDAY)...NEARLY 1.8-2.0 INCH PWATS
REMAINS ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CWA ACCORDING TO GOES
SOUNDER IMAGERY WITH LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS CONTINUE TO STREAM NORTH
ACROSS THE GULF AS A RESULT. AS INSTABILITY IS LACKING MUCH IN THE
MORNING...WILL EXPECT A SLOWER APPROACH TO BRINGING SHOWERS/STORMS
FARTHER INLAND. RIDGING BUILDS IN AT THE MIDLEVELS LEADING TO A
BIT OF SUPPRESSION...BUT ISOLATED DEVELOPMENT REMAINS POSSIBLE
UNDER A SLIGHTLY WEAK CAP. DRIER CONDITIONS SET UP FOR TONIGHT
INTO MONDAY LIMITING RAIN CHANCES...HOWEVER ISOLATED STREAMER
SHOWERS SHOULD STILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY ACROSS THE OPEN GULF
WATERS LATE TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE PERSISTENT...WITH
SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPS IN STORE FOR MONDAY. BREEZY CONDITIONS THIS
AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COASTAL LOCATIONS CAN BE
EXPECTED...WITH SLIGHTLY STRONGER WINDS MONDAY. AT THIS
TIME...WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE MET.

AT THE BEACH...PERSISTENT ONSHORE FLOW AND ELEVATED SWELL PERIODS
WILL CONTINUE A MODERATE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE GULF
FACING BEACHES TODAY AND MONDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM (MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)...A WEAK MID LEVEL SHEAR
AXIS WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. BUT
MOISTURE LEVELS WILL BE LACKING WITH MODELS INDICATING PRECIPITABLE
WATER VALUES GENERALLY NEAR OR BELOW 1.5 INCHES. WARM...DRY AND
BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS WILL EXIST FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.
WINDS WILL DIMINISH SLIGHTLY BY THURSDAY AS THE GRADIENT WEAKENS.
THE MID TO UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHEAST THURSDAY
WITH THE RIDGE BUILDING OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS BY THE END OF THE
PERIOD. WILL SHOW A GRADUAL INCREASE IN MAX TEMPS BY THE END OF THE
WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    91  78  91  79  92  /  20  10  10  10  10
VICTORIA          92  76  92  77  92  /  20  10  10  10  10
LAREDO            99  77 100  79  99  /  10  10  10  10  10
ALICE             95  76  95  77  94  /  20  10  10  10  10
ROCKPORT          90  80  90  81  91  /  10  10  10  10  10
COTULLA           95  76  97  77  97  /  10  10  10  10  10
KINGSVILLE        93  77  93  78  93  /  20  10  10  10  10
NAVY CORPUS       88  80  88  80  90  /  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

CB/85...SHORT TERM
TMT/89...LONG TERM




000
FXUS64 KCRP 050543 AAC
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1243 AM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015

.DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR THE 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.AVIATION...MOSTLY VFR THROUGH PERIOD WITH BRIEF TEMPO MVFR
CIGS/VSBYS TOWARD DAYBREAK. LESS MOISTURE SHOULD KEEP MENTION OF
VCSH OUT OF TAFS...ALTHOUGH A ROUGE SHOWER OR TWO REMAINS
POSSIBLE. PREDOMINANT SE WINDS...WITH GUSTS OF 20-25KTS IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    79  90  79  90  78  /   0  10  10  10  10
VICTORIA          77  90  77  90  77  /   0  10  10  10  10
LAREDO            78  99  79  98  77  /   0  10  10  10   0
ALICE             77  93  77  94  77  /   0  10  10  10   0
ROCKPORT          81  87  81  88  80  /   0  10  10  10  10
COTULLA           76  97  77  96  76  /   0  10  10  10   0
KINGSVILLE        77  92  78  92  78  /   0  10  10  10  10
NAVY CORPUS       80  87  80  88  79  /   0  10  10  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

CB/85...AVIATION




000
FXUS64 KCRP 050543 AAC
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1243 AM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015

.DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR THE 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.AVIATION...MOSTLY VFR THROUGH PERIOD WITH BRIEF TEMPO MVFR
CIGS/VSBYS TOWARD DAYBREAK. LESS MOISTURE SHOULD KEEP MENTION OF
VCSH OUT OF TAFS...ALTHOUGH A ROUGE SHOWER OR TWO REMAINS
POSSIBLE. PREDOMINANT SE WINDS...WITH GUSTS OF 20-25KTS IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    79  90  79  90  78  /   0  10  10  10  10
VICTORIA          77  90  77  90  77  /   0  10  10  10  10
LAREDO            78  99  79  98  77  /   0  10  10  10   0
ALICE             77  93  77  94  77  /   0  10  10  10   0
ROCKPORT          81  87  81  88  80  /   0  10  10  10  10
COTULLA           76  97  77  96  76  /   0  10  10  10   0
KINGSVILLE        77  92  78  92  78  /   0  10  10  10  10
NAVY CORPUS       80  87  80  88  79  /   0  10  10  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

CB/85...AVIATION





000
FXUS64 KCRP 050136
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
836 PM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015

.DISCUSSION...MADE A FEW MINOR CHANGES BASED ON OBSERVATIONS AND
PERSISTENCE. OVERALL...NOT A LOT OF CHANGE...BUT DID RAISE
TEMPERATURES UP IN A FEW LOCATIONS BASED ON 24 HOUR TRENDS (A
DEGREE AT BEST THOUGH). ADJUSTED CLOUDS...WINDS AND MOISTURE
PARAMETERS AS-NEEDED. NO OTHER CHANGES NEEDED AT THIS TIME.
PRODUCTS ARE OUT.

&&

.MARINE...A FEW WEAK SHOWERS STILL LINGER OFFSHORE IN AREA OF
CONVERGENCE AND MOISTURE ADVECTION. SHOWERS SHOULD WEAKEN
OVERNIGHT...THEN MAY PICK UP (STILL WEAK BUT ISOLATED) TOWARD
MORNING. DID MENTION SHOWERS IN THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD. NO OTHER
REAL CHANGES NEEDED AT THIS TIME...AS WIND FORECAST SEEMS TO BE
DOING FINE.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 611 PM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015/

DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR 00Z TAFS.

AVIATION...GUSTY WINDS THIS EVENING WILL DECREASE OVERNIGHT.
EXPECT MVFR CONDITIONS TO DEVELOP FOR MOST SITES AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE AFTER SUNRISE WITH VFR CONDITIONS AND
GUSTY WINDS ONCE AGAIN.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 346 PM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)...HI RESOLUTION MODELS
HAVE NOT HANDLED CONVECTION MOVING OUT OF THE VALLEY TOO WELL.
THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN COASTAL BEND AND AND
BRUSH COUNTRY OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR SO. CANT RULE OUT A STRONG
STORM OR TWO WITH GUSTY WINDS WITH MLCAPES BETWEEN 2000 AND 3000
J/KG. ELSEWHERE...ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE BEGINNING
TO DEVELOP ACROSS EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE AREA. CONVECTION SHOULD
WANE LATER THIS EVENING WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING WITH
QUIET CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT. ISOLATED STREAMERS FOLLOWED SOME SEA
BREEZE SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY...BUT THINK
COVERAGE WILL BE LESS THAN TODAY. WILL KEEP A 20 POP IN THE
FORECAST FOR NOW. TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY WILL BE SIMILAR TO TODAY
WITH HIGHS IN THE MID/UPPER 90S ACROSS THE WEST WITH LOWER 90S
ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN ZONES.

LONG TERM (MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...DRY...FAIR WEATHER WILL
PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD. MOISTURE WILL REMAIN FAIRLY LIMITED OVER
THE REGION WHILE MID/UPPER LVL SHEAR AXIS MEANDERS OVER THE AREA.
WILL KEEP DRY FORECAST THROUGH THE PERIOD. BREEZY ONSHORE FLOW WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEK BEFORE THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT RELAXES SOMEWHAT DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK. SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORIES MAY BECOME NEEDED AT TIMES DURING THE BEGINNING OF
THE WEEK. A FAIRLY PERSISTENT TEMPERATURE FORECAST WILL CONTINUE
WITH LOW 90S ALONG THE COASTAL BEND TO HIGH 90S OUT WEST FOR
HIGHS...AND LOWS STAYING IN THE 70S.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    78  91  79  90  79  /  10  20   0  10  10
VICTORIA          75  91  77  90  77  /  10  20   0  10  10
LAREDO            77  99  78  99  79  /  10  10   0  10  10
ALICE             77  94  77  93  77  /  10  20   0  10  10
ROCKPORT          79  89  81  87  81  /  10  20   0  10  10
COTULLA           76  95  76  97  77  /  10  10   0  10  10
KINGSVILLE        78  93  77  92  78  /  10  20   0  10  10
NAVY CORPUS       80  88  80  87  80  /  10  20   0  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

GW/86...SHORT TERM





000
FXUS64 KCRP 050136
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
836 PM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015

.DISCUSSION...MADE A FEW MINOR CHANGES BASED ON OBSERVATIONS AND
PERSISTENCE. OVERALL...NOT A LOT OF CHANGE...BUT DID RAISE
TEMPERATURES UP IN A FEW LOCATIONS BASED ON 24 HOUR TRENDS (A
DEGREE AT BEST THOUGH). ADJUSTED CLOUDS...WINDS AND MOISTURE
PARAMETERS AS-NEEDED. NO OTHER CHANGES NEEDED AT THIS TIME.
PRODUCTS ARE OUT.

&&

.MARINE...A FEW WEAK SHOWERS STILL LINGER OFFSHORE IN AREA OF
CONVERGENCE AND MOISTURE ADVECTION. SHOWERS SHOULD WEAKEN
OVERNIGHT...THEN MAY PICK UP (STILL WEAK BUT ISOLATED) TOWARD
MORNING. DID MENTION SHOWERS IN THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD. NO OTHER
REAL CHANGES NEEDED AT THIS TIME...AS WIND FORECAST SEEMS TO BE
DOING FINE.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 611 PM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015/

DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR 00Z TAFS.

AVIATION...GUSTY WINDS THIS EVENING WILL DECREASE OVERNIGHT.
EXPECT MVFR CONDITIONS TO DEVELOP FOR MOST SITES AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE AFTER SUNRISE WITH VFR CONDITIONS AND
GUSTY WINDS ONCE AGAIN.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 346 PM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)...HI RESOLUTION MODELS
HAVE NOT HANDLED CONVECTION MOVING OUT OF THE VALLEY TOO WELL.
THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN COASTAL BEND AND AND
BRUSH COUNTRY OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR SO. CANT RULE OUT A STRONG
STORM OR TWO WITH GUSTY WINDS WITH MLCAPES BETWEEN 2000 AND 3000
J/KG. ELSEWHERE...ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE BEGINNING
TO DEVELOP ACROSS EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE AREA. CONVECTION SHOULD
WANE LATER THIS EVENING WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING WITH
QUIET CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT. ISOLATED STREAMERS FOLLOWED SOME SEA
BREEZE SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY...BUT THINK
COVERAGE WILL BE LESS THAN TODAY. WILL KEEP A 20 POP IN THE
FORECAST FOR NOW. TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY WILL BE SIMILAR TO TODAY
WITH HIGHS IN THE MID/UPPER 90S ACROSS THE WEST WITH LOWER 90S
ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN ZONES.

LONG TERM (MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...DRY...FAIR WEATHER WILL
PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD. MOISTURE WILL REMAIN FAIRLY LIMITED OVER
THE REGION WHILE MID/UPPER LVL SHEAR AXIS MEANDERS OVER THE AREA.
WILL KEEP DRY FORECAST THROUGH THE PERIOD. BREEZY ONSHORE FLOW WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEK BEFORE THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT RELAXES SOMEWHAT DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK. SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORIES MAY BECOME NEEDED AT TIMES DURING THE BEGINNING OF
THE WEEK. A FAIRLY PERSISTENT TEMPERATURE FORECAST WILL CONTINUE
WITH LOW 90S ALONG THE COASTAL BEND TO HIGH 90S OUT WEST FOR
HIGHS...AND LOWS STAYING IN THE 70S.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    78  91  79  90  79  /  10  20   0  10  10
VICTORIA          75  91  77  90  77  /  10  20   0  10  10
LAREDO            77  99  78  99  79  /  10  10   0  10  10
ALICE             77  94  77  93  77  /  10  20   0  10  10
ROCKPORT          79  89  81  87  81  /  10  20   0  10  10
COTULLA           76  95  76  97  77  /  10  10   0  10  10
KINGSVILLE        78  93  77  92  78  /  10  20   0  10  10
NAVY CORPUS       80  88  80  87  80  /  10  20   0  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

GW/86...SHORT TERM





000
FXUS64 KCRP 050136
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
836 PM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015

.DISCUSSION...MADE A FEW MINOR CHANGES BASED ON OBSERVATIONS AND
PERSISTENCE. OVERALL...NOT A LOT OF CHANGE...BUT DID RAISE
TEMPERATURES UP IN A FEW LOCATIONS BASED ON 24 HOUR TRENDS (A
DEGREE AT BEST THOUGH). ADJUSTED CLOUDS...WINDS AND MOISTURE
PARAMETERS AS-NEEDED. NO OTHER CHANGES NEEDED AT THIS TIME.
PRODUCTS ARE OUT.

&&

.MARINE...A FEW WEAK SHOWERS STILL LINGER OFFSHORE IN AREA OF
CONVERGENCE AND MOISTURE ADVECTION. SHOWERS SHOULD WEAKEN
OVERNIGHT...THEN MAY PICK UP (STILL WEAK BUT ISOLATED) TOWARD
MORNING. DID MENTION SHOWERS IN THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD. NO OTHER
REAL CHANGES NEEDED AT THIS TIME...AS WIND FORECAST SEEMS TO BE
DOING FINE.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 611 PM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015/

DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR 00Z TAFS.

AVIATION...GUSTY WINDS THIS EVENING WILL DECREASE OVERNIGHT.
EXPECT MVFR CONDITIONS TO DEVELOP FOR MOST SITES AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE AFTER SUNRISE WITH VFR CONDITIONS AND
GUSTY WINDS ONCE AGAIN.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 346 PM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)...HI RESOLUTION MODELS
HAVE NOT HANDLED CONVECTION MOVING OUT OF THE VALLEY TOO WELL.
THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN COASTAL BEND AND AND
BRUSH COUNTRY OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR SO. CANT RULE OUT A STRONG
STORM OR TWO WITH GUSTY WINDS WITH MLCAPES BETWEEN 2000 AND 3000
J/KG. ELSEWHERE...ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE BEGINNING
TO DEVELOP ACROSS EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE AREA. CONVECTION SHOULD
WANE LATER THIS EVENING WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING WITH
QUIET CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT. ISOLATED STREAMERS FOLLOWED SOME SEA
BREEZE SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY...BUT THINK
COVERAGE WILL BE LESS THAN TODAY. WILL KEEP A 20 POP IN THE
FORECAST FOR NOW. TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY WILL BE SIMILAR TO TODAY
WITH HIGHS IN THE MID/UPPER 90S ACROSS THE WEST WITH LOWER 90S
ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN ZONES.

LONG TERM (MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...DRY...FAIR WEATHER WILL
PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD. MOISTURE WILL REMAIN FAIRLY LIMITED OVER
THE REGION WHILE MID/UPPER LVL SHEAR AXIS MEANDERS OVER THE AREA.
WILL KEEP DRY FORECAST THROUGH THE PERIOD. BREEZY ONSHORE FLOW WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEK BEFORE THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT RELAXES SOMEWHAT DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK. SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORIES MAY BECOME NEEDED AT TIMES DURING THE BEGINNING OF
THE WEEK. A FAIRLY PERSISTENT TEMPERATURE FORECAST WILL CONTINUE
WITH LOW 90S ALONG THE COASTAL BEND TO HIGH 90S OUT WEST FOR
HIGHS...AND LOWS STAYING IN THE 70S.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    78  91  79  90  79  /  10  20   0  10  10
VICTORIA          75  91  77  90  77  /  10  20   0  10  10
LAREDO            77  99  78  99  79  /  10  10   0  10  10
ALICE             77  94  77  93  77  /  10  20   0  10  10
ROCKPORT          79  89  81  87  81  /  10  20   0  10  10
COTULLA           76  95  76  97  77  /  10  10   0  10  10
KINGSVILLE        78  93  77  92  78  /  10  20   0  10  10
NAVY CORPUS       80  88  80  87  80  /  10  20   0  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

GW/86...SHORT TERM




000
FXUS64 KCRP 042311
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
611 PM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015

.DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR 00Z TAFS.

&&

.AVIATION...GUSTY WINDS THIS EVENING WILL DECREASE OVERNIGHT.
EXPECT MVFR CONDITIONS TO DEVELOP FOR MOST SITES AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE AFTER SUNRISE WITH VFR CONDITIONS AND
GUSTY WINDS ONCE AGAIN.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 346 PM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)...HI RESOLUTION MODELS
HAVE NOT HANDLED CONVECTION MOVING OUT OF THE VALLEY TOO WELL.
THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN COASTAL BEND AND AND
BRUSH COUNTRY OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR SO. CANT RULE OUT A STRONG
STORM OR TWO WITH GUSTY WINDS WITH MLCAPES BETWEEN 2000 AND 3000
J/KG. ELSEWHERE...ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE BEGINNING
TO DEVELOP ACROSS EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE AREA. CONVECTION SHOULD
WANE LATER THIS EVENING WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING WITH
QUIET CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT. ISOLATED STREAMERS FOLLOWED SOME SEA
BREEZE SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY...BUT THINK
COVERAGE WILL BE LESS THAN TODAY. WILL KEEP A 20 POP IN THE
FORECAST FOR NOW. TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY WILL BE SIMILAR TO TODAY
WITH HIGHS IN THE MID/UPPER 90S ACROSS THE WEST WITH LOWER 90S
ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN ZONES.

LONG TERM (MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...DRY...FAIR WEATHER WILL
PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD. MOISTURE WILL REMAIN FAIRLY LIMITED OVER
THE REGION WHILE MID/UPPER LVL SHEAR AXIS MEANDERS OVER THE AREA.
WILL KEEP DRY FORECAST THROUGH THE PERIOD. BREEZY ONSHORE FLOW WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEK BEFORE THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT RELAXES SOMEWHAT DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK. SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORIES MAY BECOME NEEDED AT TIMES DURING THE BEGINNING OF
THE WEEK. A FAIRLY PERSISTENT TEMPERATURE FORECAST WILL CONTINUE
WITH LOW 90S ALONG THE COASTAL BEND TO HIGH 90S OUT WEST FOR
HIGHS...AND LOWS STAYING IN THE 70S.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    77  91  79  90  79  /  10  20   0  10  10
VICTORIA          76  91  77  90  77  /  10  20   0  10  10
LAREDO            77  99  78  99  79  /  10  10   0  10  10
ALICE             76  94  77  93  77  /  10  20   0  10  10
ROCKPORT          79  89  81  87  81  /  10  20   0  10  10
COTULLA           75  95  76  97  77  /  10  10   0  10  10
KINGSVILLE        77  93  77  92  78  /  10  20   0  10  10
NAVY CORPUS       79  88  80  87  80  /  10  20   0  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

PZ/83...AVIATION





000
FXUS64 KCRP 042311
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
611 PM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015

.DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR 00Z TAFS.

&&

.AVIATION...GUSTY WINDS THIS EVENING WILL DECREASE OVERNIGHT.
EXPECT MVFR CONDITIONS TO DEVELOP FOR MOST SITES AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE AFTER SUNRISE WITH VFR CONDITIONS AND
GUSTY WINDS ONCE AGAIN.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 346 PM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)...HI RESOLUTION MODELS
HAVE NOT HANDLED CONVECTION MOVING OUT OF THE VALLEY TOO WELL.
THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN COASTAL BEND AND AND
BRUSH COUNTRY OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR SO. CANT RULE OUT A STRONG
STORM OR TWO WITH GUSTY WINDS WITH MLCAPES BETWEEN 2000 AND 3000
J/KG. ELSEWHERE...ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE BEGINNING
TO DEVELOP ACROSS EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE AREA. CONVECTION SHOULD
WANE LATER THIS EVENING WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING WITH
QUIET CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT. ISOLATED STREAMERS FOLLOWED SOME SEA
BREEZE SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY...BUT THINK
COVERAGE WILL BE LESS THAN TODAY. WILL KEEP A 20 POP IN THE
FORECAST FOR NOW. TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY WILL BE SIMILAR TO TODAY
WITH HIGHS IN THE MID/UPPER 90S ACROSS THE WEST WITH LOWER 90S
ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN ZONES.

LONG TERM (MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...DRY...FAIR WEATHER WILL
PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD. MOISTURE WILL REMAIN FAIRLY LIMITED OVER
THE REGION WHILE MID/UPPER LVL SHEAR AXIS MEANDERS OVER THE AREA.
WILL KEEP DRY FORECAST THROUGH THE PERIOD. BREEZY ONSHORE FLOW WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEK BEFORE THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT RELAXES SOMEWHAT DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK. SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORIES MAY BECOME NEEDED AT TIMES DURING THE BEGINNING OF
THE WEEK. A FAIRLY PERSISTENT TEMPERATURE FORECAST WILL CONTINUE
WITH LOW 90S ALONG THE COASTAL BEND TO HIGH 90S OUT WEST FOR
HIGHS...AND LOWS STAYING IN THE 70S.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    77  91  79  90  79  /  10  20   0  10  10
VICTORIA          76  91  77  90  77  /  10  20   0  10  10
LAREDO            77  99  78  99  79  /  10  10   0  10  10
ALICE             76  94  77  93  77  /  10  20   0  10  10
ROCKPORT          79  89  81  87  81  /  10  20   0  10  10
COTULLA           75  95  76  97  77  /  10  10   0  10  10
KINGSVILLE        77  93  77  92  78  /  10  20   0  10  10
NAVY CORPUS       79  88  80  87  80  /  10  20   0  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

PZ/83...AVIATION




000
FXUS64 KCRP 042311
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
611 PM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015

.DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR 00Z TAFS.

&&

.AVIATION...GUSTY WINDS THIS EVENING WILL DECREASE OVERNIGHT.
EXPECT MVFR CONDITIONS TO DEVELOP FOR MOST SITES AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE AFTER SUNRISE WITH VFR CONDITIONS AND
GUSTY WINDS ONCE AGAIN.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 346 PM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)...HI RESOLUTION MODELS
HAVE NOT HANDLED CONVECTION MOVING OUT OF THE VALLEY TOO WELL.
THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN COASTAL BEND AND AND
BRUSH COUNTRY OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR SO. CANT RULE OUT A STRONG
STORM OR TWO WITH GUSTY WINDS WITH MLCAPES BETWEEN 2000 AND 3000
J/KG. ELSEWHERE...ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE BEGINNING
TO DEVELOP ACROSS EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE AREA. CONVECTION SHOULD
WANE LATER THIS EVENING WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING WITH
QUIET CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT. ISOLATED STREAMERS FOLLOWED SOME SEA
BREEZE SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY...BUT THINK
COVERAGE WILL BE LESS THAN TODAY. WILL KEEP A 20 POP IN THE
FORECAST FOR NOW. TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY WILL BE SIMILAR TO TODAY
WITH HIGHS IN THE MID/UPPER 90S ACROSS THE WEST WITH LOWER 90S
ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN ZONES.

LONG TERM (MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...DRY...FAIR WEATHER WILL
PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD. MOISTURE WILL REMAIN FAIRLY LIMITED OVER
THE REGION WHILE MID/UPPER LVL SHEAR AXIS MEANDERS OVER THE AREA.
WILL KEEP DRY FORECAST THROUGH THE PERIOD. BREEZY ONSHORE FLOW WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEK BEFORE THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT RELAXES SOMEWHAT DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK. SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORIES MAY BECOME NEEDED AT TIMES DURING THE BEGINNING OF
THE WEEK. A FAIRLY PERSISTENT TEMPERATURE FORECAST WILL CONTINUE
WITH LOW 90S ALONG THE COASTAL BEND TO HIGH 90S OUT WEST FOR
HIGHS...AND LOWS STAYING IN THE 70S.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    77  91  79  90  79  /  10  20   0  10  10
VICTORIA          76  91  77  90  77  /  10  20   0  10  10
LAREDO            77  99  78  99  79  /  10  10   0  10  10
ALICE             76  94  77  93  77  /  10  20   0  10  10
ROCKPORT          79  89  81  87  81  /  10  20   0  10  10
COTULLA           75  95  76  97  77  /  10  10   0  10  10
KINGSVILLE        77  93  77  92  78  /  10  20   0  10  10
NAVY CORPUS       79  88  80  87  80  /  10  20   0  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

PZ/83...AVIATION




000
FXUS64 KCRP 042311
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
611 PM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015

.DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR 00Z TAFS.

&&

.AVIATION...GUSTY WINDS THIS EVENING WILL DECREASE OVERNIGHT.
EXPECT MVFR CONDITIONS TO DEVELOP FOR MOST SITES AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE AFTER SUNRISE WITH VFR CONDITIONS AND
GUSTY WINDS ONCE AGAIN.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 346 PM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)...HI RESOLUTION MODELS
HAVE NOT HANDLED CONVECTION MOVING OUT OF THE VALLEY TOO WELL.
THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN COASTAL BEND AND AND
BRUSH COUNTRY OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR SO. CANT RULE OUT A STRONG
STORM OR TWO WITH GUSTY WINDS WITH MLCAPES BETWEEN 2000 AND 3000
J/KG. ELSEWHERE...ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE BEGINNING
TO DEVELOP ACROSS EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE AREA. CONVECTION SHOULD
WANE LATER THIS EVENING WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING WITH
QUIET CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT. ISOLATED STREAMERS FOLLOWED SOME SEA
BREEZE SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY...BUT THINK
COVERAGE WILL BE LESS THAN TODAY. WILL KEEP A 20 POP IN THE
FORECAST FOR NOW. TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY WILL BE SIMILAR TO TODAY
WITH HIGHS IN THE MID/UPPER 90S ACROSS THE WEST WITH LOWER 90S
ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN ZONES.

LONG TERM (MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...DRY...FAIR WEATHER WILL
PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD. MOISTURE WILL REMAIN FAIRLY LIMITED OVER
THE REGION WHILE MID/UPPER LVL SHEAR AXIS MEANDERS OVER THE AREA.
WILL KEEP DRY FORECAST THROUGH THE PERIOD. BREEZY ONSHORE FLOW WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEK BEFORE THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT RELAXES SOMEWHAT DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK. SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORIES MAY BECOME NEEDED AT TIMES DURING THE BEGINNING OF
THE WEEK. A FAIRLY PERSISTENT TEMPERATURE FORECAST WILL CONTINUE
WITH LOW 90S ALONG THE COASTAL BEND TO HIGH 90S OUT WEST FOR
HIGHS...AND LOWS STAYING IN THE 70S.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    77  91  79  90  79  /  10  20   0  10  10
VICTORIA          76  91  77  90  77  /  10  20   0  10  10
LAREDO            77  99  78  99  79  /  10  10   0  10  10
ALICE             76  94  77  93  77  /  10  20   0  10  10
ROCKPORT          79  89  81  87  81  /  10  20   0  10  10
COTULLA           75  95  76  97  77  /  10  10   0  10  10
KINGSVILLE        77  93  77  92  78  /  10  20   0  10  10
NAVY CORPUS       79  88  80  87  80  /  10  20   0  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

PZ/83...AVIATION





000
FXUS64 KCRP 042046
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
346 PM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)...HI RESOLUTION MODELS
HAVE NOT HANDLED CONVECTION MOVING OUT OF THE VALLEY TOO WELL.
THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN COASTAL BEND AND AND
BRUSH COUNTRY OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR SO. CANT RULE OUT A STRONG
STORM OR TWO WITH GUSTY WINDS WITH MLCAPES BETWEEN 2000 AND 3000
J/KG. ELSEWHERE...ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE BEGINNING
TO DEVELOP ACROSS EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE AREA. CONVECTION SHOULD
WANE LATER THIS EVENING WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING WITH
QUIET CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT. ISOLATED STREAMERS FOLLOWED SOME SEA
BREEZE SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY...BUT THINK
COVERAGE WILL BE LESS THAN TODAY. WILL KEEP A 20 POP IN THE
FORECAST FOR NOW. TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY WILL BE SIMILAR TO TODAY
WITH HIGHS IN THE MID/UPPER 90S ACROSS THE WEST WITH LOWER 90S
ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN ZONES.

&&

.LONG TERM (MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...DRY...FAIR WEATHER WILL
PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD. MOISTURE WILL REMAIN FAIRLY LIMITED OVER
THE REGION WHILE MID/UPPER LVL SHEAR AXIS MEANDERS OVER THE AREA.
WILL KEEP DRY FORECAST THROUGH THE PERIOD. BREEZY ONSHORE FLOW WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEK BEFORE THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT RELAXES SOMEWHAT DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK. SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORIES MAY BECOME NEEDED AT TIMES DURING THE BEGINNING OF
THE WEEK. A FAIRLY PERSISTENT TEMPERATURE FORECAST WILL CONTINUE
WITH LOW 90S ALONG THE COASTAL BEND TO HIGH 90S OUT WEST FOR
HIGHS...AND LOWS STAYING IN THE 70S.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    77  91  79  90  79  /  10  20   0  10  10
VICTORIA          76  91  77  90  77  /  10  20   0  10  10
LAREDO            77  99  78  99  79  /  10  10   0  10  10
ALICE             76  94  77  93  77  /  10  20   0  10  10
ROCKPORT          79  89  81  87  81  /  10  20   0  10  10
COTULLA           75  95  76  97  77  /  10  10   0  10  10
KINGSVILLE        77  93  77  92  78  /  10  20   0  10  10
NAVY CORPUS       79  88  80  87  80  /  10  20   0  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

TB/78...SHORT TERM
LK/84...LONG TERM





000
FXUS64 KCRP 042046
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
346 PM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)...HI RESOLUTION MODELS
HAVE NOT HANDLED CONVECTION MOVING OUT OF THE VALLEY TOO WELL.
THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN COASTAL BEND AND AND
BRUSH COUNTRY OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR SO. CANT RULE OUT A STRONG
STORM OR TWO WITH GUSTY WINDS WITH MLCAPES BETWEEN 2000 AND 3000
J/KG. ELSEWHERE...ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE BEGINNING
TO DEVELOP ACROSS EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE AREA. CONVECTION SHOULD
WANE LATER THIS EVENING WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING WITH
QUIET CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT. ISOLATED STREAMERS FOLLOWED SOME SEA
BREEZE SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY...BUT THINK
COVERAGE WILL BE LESS THAN TODAY. WILL KEEP A 20 POP IN THE
FORECAST FOR NOW. TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY WILL BE SIMILAR TO TODAY
WITH HIGHS IN THE MID/UPPER 90S ACROSS THE WEST WITH LOWER 90S
ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN ZONES.

&&

.LONG TERM (MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...DRY...FAIR WEATHER WILL
PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD. MOISTURE WILL REMAIN FAIRLY LIMITED OVER
THE REGION WHILE MID/UPPER LVL SHEAR AXIS MEANDERS OVER THE AREA.
WILL KEEP DRY FORECAST THROUGH THE PERIOD. BREEZY ONSHORE FLOW WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEK BEFORE THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT RELAXES SOMEWHAT DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK. SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORIES MAY BECOME NEEDED AT TIMES DURING THE BEGINNING OF
THE WEEK. A FAIRLY PERSISTENT TEMPERATURE FORECAST WILL CONTINUE
WITH LOW 90S ALONG THE COASTAL BEND TO HIGH 90S OUT WEST FOR
HIGHS...AND LOWS STAYING IN THE 70S.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    77  91  79  90  79  /  10  20   0  10  10
VICTORIA          76  91  77  90  77  /  10  20   0  10  10
LAREDO            77  99  78  99  79  /  10  10   0  10  10
ALICE             76  94  77  93  77  /  10  20   0  10  10
ROCKPORT          79  89  81  87  81  /  10  20   0  10  10
COTULLA           75  95  76  97  77  /  10  10   0  10  10
KINGSVILLE        77  93  77  92  78  /  10  20   0  10  10
NAVY CORPUS       79  88  80  87  80  /  10  20   0  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

TB/78...SHORT TERM
LK/84...LONG TERM




000
FXUS64 KCRP 041748 AAB
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1248 PM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015

.DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR 18Z AVIATION.

&&

.AVIATION...ISOLATED CONVECTION IS OCCURRING ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTH
TEXAS AND HI RES MODELS INDICATE THIS TREND CONTINUING INTO THE
AFTERNOON BEFORE DISSIPATING EARLY THIS EVENING. RETAINED VCSH
REMARKS FOR ALI/VCT/CRP INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS AND WILL AMEND
AS NECESSARY. SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL BE GUSTY THIS AFTERNOON BUT
SUBISDE SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET. ANOTHER ROUND OF MVFR CEILINGS WILL
BE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING...BUT SHOULD MIX OUT
AROUND 14Z OR 15Z.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 613 AM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015/

DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR THE 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

AVIATION...CONVECTION DEVELOPING THIS MORNING...BUT STILL LIGHT
AND VERY ISOLATED. WILL MAINTAIN VCSH AT SITES CRP-ALI-VCT THROUGH
THE DAY...WITH CHANCES DECREASING FROM EAST TO WEST THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON. MVFR CIGS DEVELOPING THIS MORNING SHOULD LIFT AND
BECOME VFR AT 2500-3500 FEET MID-LATE MORNING. BREEZY WINDS WITH
GUSTS UP TO 25 KNOTS IS EXPECTED DURING THE DAYTIME. WINDS WILL
DECOUPLE THIS EVENING...WITH LOWER CIGS DEVELOPING AROUND AND
AFTER 06Z.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 432 AM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015/

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...TRANSITION ZONE REMAINS
ACROSS THE REGION WITH LOW PRESSURE TO THE WEST AND HIGH PRESSURE
AND RIDGING BUILDING IN FROM THE EAST. MOISTURE WILL POOL
NORTHWARD ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF BETWEEN THESE SYSTEMS LEADING TO
PWATS OF 1.7-1.9 INCHES ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE
COAST. ISOLATED SHOWERS HAVE BEEN DEVELOPING ACROSS THE GULF AND
WILL CONTINUE TO EXPECT ISOLATED TO POSSIBLY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH AT LEAST THE MORNING HOURS. A DEVELOPING CAP
WILL SUPPRESS MUCH IN THE WAY OF DEVELOPMENT...BUT ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH AFTERNOON AS
MOISTURE SHIFTS FARTHER INLAND. PERSISTENCE WITH TEMPERATURES
TODAY AND SUNDAY WITH HIGHS RANGING FROM THE LOW 90S EAST...TO MID
AND UPPER 90S WEST. SLIGHTLY LESS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED FOR
SUNDAY...BUT MORNING SHOWERS ACROSS THE GULF SHIFTING FARTHER
INLAND THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE.

LONG TERM (SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)...ALTHOUGH A MID LEVEL
SHEAR AXIS WILL BE MEANDERING AROUND THE REGION THROUGH AT LEAST
WEDNESDAY...MOISTURE WILL REMAIN LIMITED AS FORECAST MODELS
INDICATED PRECIPITABLE WATERS VALUES WILL GENERALLY BE BELOW 1.5
INCHES. THE MID AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION
FROM THE NORTH BY THE END OF THE WEEK...SHOWED A SLIGHT INCREASE
IN MAX TEMPS BY THEN. PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL BE STRONG ENOUGH FOR
NEAR BREEZY CONDITIONS MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THEN THE GRADIENT
WILL WEAKEN SLIGHTLY BY THE END OF THE WEEK. COULD SEE BORDERLINE
SCA CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT OVER THE GULF WATERS MONDAY-WEDNESDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    77  91  78  92  79  /  10  20  10  10  10
VICTORIA          76  92  77  92  77  /  10  20  10  10  10
LAREDO            77  98  78  99  78  /  10  10  10  10  10
ALICE             76  95  77  96  77  /  10  20  10  10  10
ROCKPORT          79  90  81  91  81  /  10  20  10  10  10
COTULLA           75  96  76  98  76  /  10  10  10  10  10
KINGSVILLE        77  93  78  94  78  /  10  20  10  10  10
NAVY CORPUS       79  89  80  90  80  /  10  20  10  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

TB/78...AVIATION




000
FXUS64 KCRP 041748 AAB
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1248 PM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015

.DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR 18Z AVIATION.

&&

.AVIATION...ISOLATED CONVECTION IS OCCURRING ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTH
TEXAS AND HI RES MODELS INDICATE THIS TREND CONTINUING INTO THE
AFTERNOON BEFORE DISSIPATING EARLY THIS EVENING. RETAINED VCSH
REMARKS FOR ALI/VCT/CRP INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS AND WILL AMEND
AS NECESSARY. SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL BE GUSTY THIS AFTERNOON BUT
SUBISDE SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET. ANOTHER ROUND OF MVFR CEILINGS WILL
BE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING...BUT SHOULD MIX OUT
AROUND 14Z OR 15Z.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 613 AM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015/

DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR THE 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

AVIATION...CONVECTION DEVELOPING THIS MORNING...BUT STILL LIGHT
AND VERY ISOLATED. WILL MAINTAIN VCSH AT SITES CRP-ALI-VCT THROUGH
THE DAY...WITH CHANCES DECREASING FROM EAST TO WEST THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON. MVFR CIGS DEVELOPING THIS MORNING SHOULD LIFT AND
BECOME VFR AT 2500-3500 FEET MID-LATE MORNING. BREEZY WINDS WITH
GUSTS UP TO 25 KNOTS IS EXPECTED DURING THE DAYTIME. WINDS WILL
DECOUPLE THIS EVENING...WITH LOWER CIGS DEVELOPING AROUND AND
AFTER 06Z.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 432 AM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015/

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...TRANSITION ZONE REMAINS
ACROSS THE REGION WITH LOW PRESSURE TO THE WEST AND HIGH PRESSURE
AND RIDGING BUILDING IN FROM THE EAST. MOISTURE WILL POOL
NORTHWARD ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF BETWEEN THESE SYSTEMS LEADING TO
PWATS OF 1.7-1.9 INCHES ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE
COAST. ISOLATED SHOWERS HAVE BEEN DEVELOPING ACROSS THE GULF AND
WILL CONTINUE TO EXPECT ISOLATED TO POSSIBLY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH AT LEAST THE MORNING HOURS. A DEVELOPING CAP
WILL SUPPRESS MUCH IN THE WAY OF DEVELOPMENT...BUT ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH AFTERNOON AS
MOISTURE SHIFTS FARTHER INLAND. PERSISTENCE WITH TEMPERATURES
TODAY AND SUNDAY WITH HIGHS RANGING FROM THE LOW 90S EAST...TO MID
AND UPPER 90S WEST. SLIGHTLY LESS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED FOR
SUNDAY...BUT MORNING SHOWERS ACROSS THE GULF SHIFTING FARTHER
INLAND THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE.

LONG TERM (SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)...ALTHOUGH A MID LEVEL
SHEAR AXIS WILL BE MEANDERING AROUND THE REGION THROUGH AT LEAST
WEDNESDAY...MOISTURE WILL REMAIN LIMITED AS FORECAST MODELS
INDICATED PRECIPITABLE WATERS VALUES WILL GENERALLY BE BELOW 1.5
INCHES. THE MID AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION
FROM THE NORTH BY THE END OF THE WEEK...SHOWED A SLIGHT INCREASE
IN MAX TEMPS BY THEN. PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL BE STRONG ENOUGH FOR
NEAR BREEZY CONDITIONS MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THEN THE GRADIENT
WILL WEAKEN SLIGHTLY BY THE END OF THE WEEK. COULD SEE BORDERLINE
SCA CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT OVER THE GULF WATERS MONDAY-WEDNESDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    77  91  78  92  79  /  10  20  10  10  10
VICTORIA          76  92  77  92  77  /  10  20  10  10  10
LAREDO            77  98  78  99  78  /  10  10  10  10  10
ALICE             76  95  77  96  77  /  10  20  10  10  10
ROCKPORT          79  90  81  91  81  /  10  20  10  10  10
COTULLA           75  96  76  98  76  /  10  10  10  10  10
KINGSVILLE        77  93  78  94  78  /  10  20  10  10  10
NAVY CORPUS       79  89  80  90  80  /  10  20  10  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

TB/78...AVIATION





000
FXUS64 KCRP 041113 AAA
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
613 AM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015

.DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR THE 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.AVIATION...CONVECTION DEVELOPING THIS MORNING...BUT STILL LIGHT
AND VERY ISOLATED. WILL MAINTAIN VCSH AT SITES CRP-ALI-VCT THROUGH
THE DAY...WITH CHANCES DECREASING FROM EAST TO WEST THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON. MVFR CIGS DEVELOPING THIS MORNING SHOULD LIFT AND
BECOME VFR AT 2500-3500 FEET MID-LATE MORNING. BREEZY WINDS WITH
GUSTS UP TO 25 KNOTS IS EXPECTED DURING THE DAYTIME. WINDS WILL
DECOUPLE THIS EVENING...WITH LOWER CIGS DEVELOPING AROUND AND
AFTER 06Z.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 432 AM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015/

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...TRANSITION ZONE REMAINS
ACROSS THE REGION WITH LOW PRESSURE TO THE WEST AND HIGH PRESSURE
AND RIDGING BUILDING IN FROM THE EAST. MOISTURE WILL POOL
NORTHWARD ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF BETWEEN THESE SYSTEMS LEADING TO
PWATS OF 1.7-1.9 INCHES ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE
COAST. ISOLATED SHOWERS HAVE BEEN DEVELOPING ACROSS THE GULF AND
WILL CONTINUE TO EXPECT ISOLATED TO POSSIBLY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH AT LEAST THE MORNING HOURS. A DEVELOPING CAP
WILL SUPPRESS MUCH IN THE WAY OF DEVELOPMENT...BUT ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH AFTERNOON AS
MOISTURE SHIFTS FARTHER INLAND. PERSISTENCE WITH TEMPERATURES
TODAY AND SUNDAY WITH HIGHS RANGING FROM THE LOW 90S EAST...TO MID
AND UPPER 90S WEST. SLIGHTLY LESS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED FOR
SUNDAY...BUT MORNING SHOWERS ACROSS THE GULF SHIFTING FARTHER
INLAND THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE.

LONG TERM (SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)...ALTHOUGH A MID LEVEL
SHEAR AXIS WILL BE MEANDERING AROUND THE REGION THROUGH AT LEAST
WEDNESDAY...MOISTURE WILL REMAIN LIMITED AS FORECAST MODELS
INDICATED PRECIPITABLE WATERS VALUES WILL GENERALLY BE BELOW 1.5
INCHES. THE MID AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION
FROM THE NORTH BY THE END OF THE WEEK...SHOWED A SLIGHT INCREASE
IN MAX TEMPS BY THEN. PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL BE STRONG ENOUGH FOR
NEAR BREEZY CONDITIONS MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THEN THE GRADIENT
WILL WEAKEN SLIGHTLY BY THE END OF THE WEEK. COULD SEE BORDERLINE
SCA CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT OVER THE GULF WATERS MONDAY-WEDNESDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    91  77  91  78  92  /  20  10  20  10  10
VICTORIA          92  76  92  77  92  /  20  10  20  10  10
LAREDO            97  77  98  78  99  /  20  10  10  10  10
ALICE             94  76  95  77  96  /  20  10  20  10  10
ROCKPORT          90  79  90  81  91  /  30  10  20  10  10
COTULLA           95  75  96  76  98  /  20  10  10  10  10
KINGSVILLE        93  77  93  78  94  /  20  10  20  10  10
NAVY CORPUS       89  79  89  80  90  /  30  10  20  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

CB/85...AVIATION




000
FXUS64 KCRP 041113 AAA
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
613 AM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015

.DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR THE 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.AVIATION...CONVECTION DEVELOPING THIS MORNING...BUT STILL LIGHT
AND VERY ISOLATED. WILL MAINTAIN VCSH AT SITES CRP-ALI-VCT THROUGH
THE DAY...WITH CHANCES DECREASING FROM EAST TO WEST THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON. MVFR CIGS DEVELOPING THIS MORNING SHOULD LIFT AND
BECOME VFR AT 2500-3500 FEET MID-LATE MORNING. BREEZY WINDS WITH
GUSTS UP TO 25 KNOTS IS EXPECTED DURING THE DAYTIME. WINDS WILL
DECOUPLE THIS EVENING...WITH LOWER CIGS DEVELOPING AROUND AND
AFTER 06Z.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 432 AM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015/

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...TRANSITION ZONE REMAINS
ACROSS THE REGION WITH LOW PRESSURE TO THE WEST AND HIGH PRESSURE
AND RIDGING BUILDING IN FROM THE EAST. MOISTURE WILL POOL
NORTHWARD ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF BETWEEN THESE SYSTEMS LEADING TO
PWATS OF 1.7-1.9 INCHES ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE
COAST. ISOLATED SHOWERS HAVE BEEN DEVELOPING ACROSS THE GULF AND
WILL CONTINUE TO EXPECT ISOLATED TO POSSIBLY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH AT LEAST THE MORNING HOURS. A DEVELOPING CAP
WILL SUPPRESS MUCH IN THE WAY OF DEVELOPMENT...BUT ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH AFTERNOON AS
MOISTURE SHIFTS FARTHER INLAND. PERSISTENCE WITH TEMPERATURES
TODAY AND SUNDAY WITH HIGHS RANGING FROM THE LOW 90S EAST...TO MID
AND UPPER 90S WEST. SLIGHTLY LESS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED FOR
SUNDAY...BUT MORNING SHOWERS ACROSS THE GULF SHIFTING FARTHER
INLAND THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE.

LONG TERM (SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)...ALTHOUGH A MID LEVEL
SHEAR AXIS WILL BE MEANDERING AROUND THE REGION THROUGH AT LEAST
WEDNESDAY...MOISTURE WILL REMAIN LIMITED AS FORECAST MODELS
INDICATED PRECIPITABLE WATERS VALUES WILL GENERALLY BE BELOW 1.5
INCHES. THE MID AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION
FROM THE NORTH BY THE END OF THE WEEK...SHOWED A SLIGHT INCREASE
IN MAX TEMPS BY THEN. PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL BE STRONG ENOUGH FOR
NEAR BREEZY CONDITIONS MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THEN THE GRADIENT
WILL WEAKEN SLIGHTLY BY THE END OF THE WEEK. COULD SEE BORDERLINE
SCA CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT OVER THE GULF WATERS MONDAY-WEDNESDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    91  77  91  78  92  /  20  10  20  10  10
VICTORIA          92  76  92  77  92  /  20  10  20  10  10
LAREDO            97  77  98  78  99  /  20  10  10  10  10
ALICE             94  76  95  77  96  /  20  10  20  10  10
ROCKPORT          90  79  90  81  91  /  30  10  20  10  10
COTULLA           95  75  96  76  98  /  20  10  10  10  10
KINGSVILLE        93  77  93  78  94  /  20  10  20  10  10
NAVY CORPUS       89  79  89  80  90  /  30  10  20  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

CB/85...AVIATION





000
FXUS64 KCRP 041113 AAA
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
613 AM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015

.DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR THE 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.AVIATION...CONVECTION DEVELOPING THIS MORNING...BUT STILL LIGHT
AND VERY ISOLATED. WILL MAINTAIN VCSH AT SITES CRP-ALI-VCT THROUGH
THE DAY...WITH CHANCES DECREASING FROM EAST TO WEST THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON. MVFR CIGS DEVELOPING THIS MORNING SHOULD LIFT AND
BECOME VFR AT 2500-3500 FEET MID-LATE MORNING. BREEZY WINDS WITH
GUSTS UP TO 25 KNOTS IS EXPECTED DURING THE DAYTIME. WINDS WILL
DECOUPLE THIS EVENING...WITH LOWER CIGS DEVELOPING AROUND AND
AFTER 06Z.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 432 AM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015/

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...TRANSITION ZONE REMAINS
ACROSS THE REGION WITH LOW PRESSURE TO THE WEST AND HIGH PRESSURE
AND RIDGING BUILDING IN FROM THE EAST. MOISTURE WILL POOL
NORTHWARD ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF BETWEEN THESE SYSTEMS LEADING TO
PWATS OF 1.7-1.9 INCHES ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE
COAST. ISOLATED SHOWERS HAVE BEEN DEVELOPING ACROSS THE GULF AND
WILL CONTINUE TO EXPECT ISOLATED TO POSSIBLY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH AT LEAST THE MORNING HOURS. A DEVELOPING CAP
WILL SUPPRESS MUCH IN THE WAY OF DEVELOPMENT...BUT ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH AFTERNOON AS
MOISTURE SHIFTS FARTHER INLAND. PERSISTENCE WITH TEMPERATURES
TODAY AND SUNDAY WITH HIGHS RANGING FROM THE LOW 90S EAST...TO MID
AND UPPER 90S WEST. SLIGHTLY LESS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED FOR
SUNDAY...BUT MORNING SHOWERS ACROSS THE GULF SHIFTING FARTHER
INLAND THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE.

LONG TERM (SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)...ALTHOUGH A MID LEVEL
SHEAR AXIS WILL BE MEANDERING AROUND THE REGION THROUGH AT LEAST
WEDNESDAY...MOISTURE WILL REMAIN LIMITED AS FORECAST MODELS
INDICATED PRECIPITABLE WATERS VALUES WILL GENERALLY BE BELOW 1.5
INCHES. THE MID AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION
FROM THE NORTH BY THE END OF THE WEEK...SHOWED A SLIGHT INCREASE
IN MAX TEMPS BY THEN. PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL BE STRONG ENOUGH FOR
NEAR BREEZY CONDITIONS MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THEN THE GRADIENT
WILL WEAKEN SLIGHTLY BY THE END OF THE WEEK. COULD SEE BORDERLINE
SCA CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT OVER THE GULF WATERS MONDAY-WEDNESDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    91  77  91  78  92  /  20  10  20  10  10
VICTORIA          92  76  92  77  92  /  20  10  20  10  10
LAREDO            97  77  98  78  99  /  20  10  10  10  10
ALICE             94  76  95  77  96  /  20  10  20  10  10
ROCKPORT          90  79  90  81  91  /  30  10  20  10  10
COTULLA           95  75  96  76  98  /  20  10  10  10  10
KINGSVILLE        93  77  93  78  94  /  20  10  20  10  10
NAVY CORPUS       89  79  89  80  90  /  30  10  20  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

CB/85...AVIATION





000
FXUS64 KCRP 041113 AAA
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
613 AM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015

.DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR THE 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.AVIATION...CONVECTION DEVELOPING THIS MORNING...BUT STILL LIGHT
AND VERY ISOLATED. WILL MAINTAIN VCSH AT SITES CRP-ALI-VCT THROUGH
THE DAY...WITH CHANCES DECREASING FROM EAST TO WEST THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON. MVFR CIGS DEVELOPING THIS MORNING SHOULD LIFT AND
BECOME VFR AT 2500-3500 FEET MID-LATE MORNING. BREEZY WINDS WITH
GUSTS UP TO 25 KNOTS IS EXPECTED DURING THE DAYTIME. WINDS WILL
DECOUPLE THIS EVENING...WITH LOWER CIGS DEVELOPING AROUND AND
AFTER 06Z.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 432 AM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015/

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...TRANSITION ZONE REMAINS
ACROSS THE REGION WITH LOW PRESSURE TO THE WEST AND HIGH PRESSURE
AND RIDGING BUILDING IN FROM THE EAST. MOISTURE WILL POOL
NORTHWARD ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF BETWEEN THESE SYSTEMS LEADING TO
PWATS OF 1.7-1.9 INCHES ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE
COAST. ISOLATED SHOWERS HAVE BEEN DEVELOPING ACROSS THE GULF AND
WILL CONTINUE TO EXPECT ISOLATED TO POSSIBLY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH AT LEAST THE MORNING HOURS. A DEVELOPING CAP
WILL SUPPRESS MUCH IN THE WAY OF DEVELOPMENT...BUT ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH AFTERNOON AS
MOISTURE SHIFTS FARTHER INLAND. PERSISTENCE WITH TEMPERATURES
TODAY AND SUNDAY WITH HIGHS RANGING FROM THE LOW 90S EAST...TO MID
AND UPPER 90S WEST. SLIGHTLY LESS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED FOR
SUNDAY...BUT MORNING SHOWERS ACROSS THE GULF SHIFTING FARTHER
INLAND THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE.

LONG TERM (SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)...ALTHOUGH A MID LEVEL
SHEAR AXIS WILL BE MEANDERING AROUND THE REGION THROUGH AT LEAST
WEDNESDAY...MOISTURE WILL REMAIN LIMITED AS FORECAST MODELS
INDICATED PRECIPITABLE WATERS VALUES WILL GENERALLY BE BELOW 1.5
INCHES. THE MID AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION
FROM THE NORTH BY THE END OF THE WEEK...SHOWED A SLIGHT INCREASE
IN MAX TEMPS BY THEN. PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL BE STRONG ENOUGH FOR
NEAR BREEZY CONDITIONS MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THEN THE GRADIENT
WILL WEAKEN SLIGHTLY BY THE END OF THE WEEK. COULD SEE BORDERLINE
SCA CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT OVER THE GULF WATERS MONDAY-WEDNESDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    91  77  91  78  92  /  20  10  20  10  10
VICTORIA          92  76  92  77  92  /  20  10  20  10  10
LAREDO            97  77  98  78  99  /  20  10  10  10  10
ALICE             94  76  95  77  96  /  20  10  20  10  10
ROCKPORT          90  79  90  81  91  /  30  10  20  10  10
COTULLA           95  75  96  76  98  /  20  10  10  10  10
KINGSVILLE        93  77  93  78  94  /  20  10  20  10  10
NAVY CORPUS       89  79  89  80  90  /  30  10  20  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

CB/85...AVIATION




000
FXUS64 KCRP 040932
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
432 AM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015

.SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...TRANSITION ZONE REMAINS
ACROSS THE REGION WITH LOW PRESSURE TO THE WEST AND HIGH PRESSURE
AND RIDGING BUILDING IN FROM THE EAST. MOISTURE WILL POOL
NORTHWARD ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF BETWEEN THESE SYSTEMS LEADING TO
PWATS OF 1.7-1.9 INCHES ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE
COAST. ISOLATED SHOWERS HAVE BEEN DEVELOPING ACROSS THE GULF AND
WILL CONTINUE TO EXPECT ISOLATED TO POSSIBLY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH AT LEAST THE MORNING HOURS. A DEVELOPING CAP
WILL SUPPRESS MUCH IN THE WAY OF DEVELOPMENT...BUT ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH AFTERNOON AS
MOISTURE SHIFTS FARTHER INLAND. PERSISTENCE WITH TEMPERATURES
TODAY AND SUNDAY WITH HIGHS RANGING FROM THE LOW 90S EAST...TO MID
AND UPPER 90S WEST. SLIGHTLY LESS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED FOR
SUNDAY...BUT MORNING SHOWERS ACROSS THE GULF SHIFTING FARTHER
INLAND THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE.

&&

.LONG TERM (SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)...ALTHOUGH A MID LEVEL
SHEAR AXIS WILL BE MEANDERING AROUND THE REGION THROUGH AT LEAST
WEDNESDAY...MOISTURE WILL REMAIN LIMITED AS FORECAST MODELS
INDICATED PRECIPITABLE WATERS VALUES WILL GENERALLY BE BELOW 1.5
INCHES. THE MID AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION
FROM THE NORTH BY THE END OF THE WEEK...SHOWED A SLIGHT INCREASE
IN MAX TEMPS BY THEN. PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL BE STRONG ENOUGH FOR
NEAR BREEZY CONDITIONS MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THEN THE GRADIENT
WILL WEAKEN SLIGHTLY BY THE END OF THE WEEK. COULD SEE BORDERLINE
SCA CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT OVER THE GULF WATERS MONDAY-WEDNESDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    91  77  91  78  92  /  20  10  20  10  10
VICTORIA          92  76  92  77  92  /  20  10  20  10  10
LAREDO            97  77  98  78  99  /  20  10  10  10  10
ALICE             94  76  95  77  96  /  20  10  20  10  10
ROCKPORT          90  79  90  81  91  /  30  10  20  10  10
COTULLA           95  75  96  76  98  /  20  10  10  10  10
KINGSVILLE        93  77  93  78  94  /  20  10  20  10  10
NAVY CORPUS       89  79  89  80  90  /  30  10  20  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

CB/85...SHORT TERM
TMT/89...LONG TERM




000
FXUS64 KCRP 040932
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
432 AM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015

.SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...TRANSITION ZONE REMAINS
ACROSS THE REGION WITH LOW PRESSURE TO THE WEST AND HIGH PRESSURE
AND RIDGING BUILDING IN FROM THE EAST. MOISTURE WILL POOL
NORTHWARD ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF BETWEEN THESE SYSTEMS LEADING TO
PWATS OF 1.7-1.9 INCHES ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE
COAST. ISOLATED SHOWERS HAVE BEEN DEVELOPING ACROSS THE GULF AND
WILL CONTINUE TO EXPECT ISOLATED TO POSSIBLY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH AT LEAST THE MORNING HOURS. A DEVELOPING CAP
WILL SUPPRESS MUCH IN THE WAY OF DEVELOPMENT...BUT ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH AFTERNOON AS
MOISTURE SHIFTS FARTHER INLAND. PERSISTENCE WITH TEMPERATURES
TODAY AND SUNDAY WITH HIGHS RANGING FROM THE LOW 90S EAST...TO MID
AND UPPER 90S WEST. SLIGHTLY LESS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED FOR
SUNDAY...BUT MORNING SHOWERS ACROSS THE GULF SHIFTING FARTHER
INLAND THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE.

&&

.LONG TERM (SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)...ALTHOUGH A MID LEVEL
SHEAR AXIS WILL BE MEANDERING AROUND THE REGION THROUGH AT LEAST
WEDNESDAY...MOISTURE WILL REMAIN LIMITED AS FORECAST MODELS
INDICATED PRECIPITABLE WATERS VALUES WILL GENERALLY BE BELOW 1.5
INCHES. THE MID AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION
FROM THE NORTH BY THE END OF THE WEEK...SHOWED A SLIGHT INCREASE
IN MAX TEMPS BY THEN. PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL BE STRONG ENOUGH FOR
NEAR BREEZY CONDITIONS MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THEN THE GRADIENT
WILL WEAKEN SLIGHTLY BY THE END OF THE WEEK. COULD SEE BORDERLINE
SCA CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT OVER THE GULF WATERS MONDAY-WEDNESDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    91  77  91  78  92  /  20  10  20  10  10
VICTORIA          92  76  92  77  92  /  20  10  20  10  10
LAREDO            97  77  98  78  99  /  20  10  10  10  10
ALICE             94  76  95  77  96  /  20  10  20  10  10
ROCKPORT          90  79  90  81  91  /  30  10  20  10  10
COTULLA           95  75  96  76  98  /  20  10  10  10  10
KINGSVILLE        93  77  93  78  94  /  20  10  20  10  10
NAVY CORPUS       89  79  89  80  90  /  30  10  20  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

CB/85...SHORT TERM
TMT/89...LONG TERM





000
FXUS64 KCRP 040932
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
432 AM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015

.SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...TRANSITION ZONE REMAINS
ACROSS THE REGION WITH LOW PRESSURE TO THE WEST AND HIGH PRESSURE
AND RIDGING BUILDING IN FROM THE EAST. MOISTURE WILL POOL
NORTHWARD ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF BETWEEN THESE SYSTEMS LEADING TO
PWATS OF 1.7-1.9 INCHES ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE
COAST. ISOLATED SHOWERS HAVE BEEN DEVELOPING ACROSS THE GULF AND
WILL CONTINUE TO EXPECT ISOLATED TO POSSIBLY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH AT LEAST THE MORNING HOURS. A DEVELOPING CAP
WILL SUPPRESS MUCH IN THE WAY OF DEVELOPMENT...BUT ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH AFTERNOON AS
MOISTURE SHIFTS FARTHER INLAND. PERSISTENCE WITH TEMPERATURES
TODAY AND SUNDAY WITH HIGHS RANGING FROM THE LOW 90S EAST...TO MID
AND UPPER 90S WEST. SLIGHTLY LESS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED FOR
SUNDAY...BUT MORNING SHOWERS ACROSS THE GULF SHIFTING FARTHER
INLAND THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE.

&&

.LONG TERM (SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)...ALTHOUGH A MID LEVEL
SHEAR AXIS WILL BE MEANDERING AROUND THE REGION THROUGH AT LEAST
WEDNESDAY...MOISTURE WILL REMAIN LIMITED AS FORECAST MODELS
INDICATED PRECIPITABLE WATERS VALUES WILL GENERALLY BE BELOW 1.5
INCHES. THE MID AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION
FROM THE NORTH BY THE END OF THE WEEK...SHOWED A SLIGHT INCREASE
IN MAX TEMPS BY THEN. PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL BE STRONG ENOUGH FOR
NEAR BREEZY CONDITIONS MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THEN THE GRADIENT
WILL WEAKEN SLIGHTLY BY THE END OF THE WEEK. COULD SEE BORDERLINE
SCA CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT OVER THE GULF WATERS MONDAY-WEDNESDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    91  77  91  78  92  /  20  10  20  10  10
VICTORIA          92  76  92  77  92  /  20  10  20  10  10
LAREDO            97  77  98  78  99  /  20  10  10  10  10
ALICE             94  76  95  77  96  /  20  10  20  10  10
ROCKPORT          90  79  90  81  91  /  30  10  20  10  10
COTULLA           95  75  96  76  98  /  20  10  10  10  10
KINGSVILLE        93  77  93  78  94  /  20  10  20  10  10
NAVY CORPUS       89  79  89  80  90  /  30  10  20  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

CB/85...SHORT TERM
TMT/89...LONG TERM





000
FXUS64 KCRP 040932
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
432 AM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015

.SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...TRANSITION ZONE REMAINS
ACROSS THE REGION WITH LOW PRESSURE TO THE WEST AND HIGH PRESSURE
AND RIDGING BUILDING IN FROM THE EAST. MOISTURE WILL POOL
NORTHWARD ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF BETWEEN THESE SYSTEMS LEADING TO
PWATS OF 1.7-1.9 INCHES ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE
COAST. ISOLATED SHOWERS HAVE BEEN DEVELOPING ACROSS THE GULF AND
WILL CONTINUE TO EXPECT ISOLATED TO POSSIBLY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH AT LEAST THE MORNING HOURS. A DEVELOPING CAP
WILL SUPPRESS MUCH IN THE WAY OF DEVELOPMENT...BUT ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH AFTERNOON AS
MOISTURE SHIFTS FARTHER INLAND. PERSISTENCE WITH TEMPERATURES
TODAY AND SUNDAY WITH HIGHS RANGING FROM THE LOW 90S EAST...TO MID
AND UPPER 90S WEST. SLIGHTLY LESS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED FOR
SUNDAY...BUT MORNING SHOWERS ACROSS THE GULF SHIFTING FARTHER
INLAND THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE.

&&

.LONG TERM (SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)...ALTHOUGH A MID LEVEL
SHEAR AXIS WILL BE MEANDERING AROUND THE REGION THROUGH AT LEAST
WEDNESDAY...MOISTURE WILL REMAIN LIMITED AS FORECAST MODELS
INDICATED PRECIPITABLE WATERS VALUES WILL GENERALLY BE BELOW 1.5
INCHES. THE MID AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION
FROM THE NORTH BY THE END OF THE WEEK...SHOWED A SLIGHT INCREASE
IN MAX TEMPS BY THEN. PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL BE STRONG ENOUGH FOR
NEAR BREEZY CONDITIONS MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THEN THE GRADIENT
WILL WEAKEN SLIGHTLY BY THE END OF THE WEEK. COULD SEE BORDERLINE
SCA CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT OVER THE GULF WATERS MONDAY-WEDNESDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    91  77  91  78  92  /  20  10  20  10  10
VICTORIA          92  76  92  77  92  /  20  10  20  10  10
LAREDO            97  77  98  78  99  /  20  10  10  10  10
ALICE             94  76  95  77  96  /  20  10  20  10  10
ROCKPORT          90  79  90  81  91  /  30  10  20  10  10
COTULLA           95  75  96  76  98  /  20  10  10  10  10
KINGSVILLE        93  77  93  78  94  /  20  10  20  10  10
NAVY CORPUS       89  79  89  80  90  /  30  10  20  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

CB/85...SHORT TERM
TMT/89...LONG TERM




000
FXUS64 KCRP 040542 AAB
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1242 AM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015

.DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR THE 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.AVIATION...MINOR CHANGES FROM PREVIOUS TAF ISSUANCE. CONTINUE
MVFR/VFR MIX OF CIGS/VSBYS OVERNIGHT THROUGH MID MORNING. ISOLATED
SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP AFFECTING MAINLY THE COASTAL PLAINS INCLUDING
SITES FROM CRP-ALI-VCT. THUNDER REMAINS POSSIBLE WITH FURTHER
HEATING...BUT WILL MAINTAIN VCSH DUE TO ISOLATED CONVECTION IN
NATURE. WILL MONITOR SITUATION AS CONVECTION DEVELOPS. SE-LY WINDS
THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH GUSTS UP TO 20-25 KTS LATE MORNING THROUGH
THE LATE AFTERNOON.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    77  91  78  91  79  /  10  20   0  10  10
VICTORIA          76  90  77  91  77  /  10  20   0  10  10
LAREDO            77  99  78 100  78  /  10  10   0  10  10
ALICE             76  95  77  95  77  /  10  20   0  10  10
ROCKPORT          80  88  81  89  81  /  10  20   0  10  10
COTULLA           75  96  76  99  76  /  10  10   0  10  10
KINGSVILLE        77  93  78  93  78  /  10  20   0  10  10
NAVY CORPUS       79  88  80  88  80  /  10  20   0  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

CB/85...AVIATION




000
FXUS64 KCRP 040542 AAB
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1242 AM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015

.DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR THE 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.AVIATION...MINOR CHANGES FROM PREVIOUS TAF ISSUANCE. CONTINUE
MVFR/VFR MIX OF CIGS/VSBYS OVERNIGHT THROUGH MID MORNING. ISOLATED
SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP AFFECTING MAINLY THE COASTAL PLAINS INCLUDING
SITES FROM CRP-ALI-VCT. THUNDER REMAINS POSSIBLE WITH FURTHER
HEATING...BUT WILL MAINTAIN VCSH DUE TO ISOLATED CONVECTION IN
NATURE. WILL MONITOR SITUATION AS CONVECTION DEVELOPS. SE-LY WINDS
THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH GUSTS UP TO 20-25 KTS LATE MORNING THROUGH
THE LATE AFTERNOON.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    77  91  78  91  79  /  10  20   0  10  10
VICTORIA          76  90  77  91  77  /  10  20   0  10  10
LAREDO            77  99  78 100  78  /  10  10   0  10  10
ALICE             76  95  77  95  77  /  10  20   0  10  10
ROCKPORT          80  88  81  89  81  /  10  20   0  10  10
COTULLA           75  96  76  99  76  /  10  10   0  10  10
KINGSVILLE        77  93  78  93  78  /  10  20   0  10  10
NAVY CORPUS       79  88  80  88  80  /  10  20   0  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

CB/85...AVIATION





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