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000
FXUS66 KEKA 281450 CCA
AFDEKA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EUREKA CA
750 AM PDT FRI AUG 28 2015

.SYNOPSIS...AN UNSEASONABLY STRONG FRONT WILL RAPIDLY MOVE ACROSS
NORTHWEST CA TONIGHT...ACCOMPANIED BY RAIN AND HIGH ELEVATION
GUSTY WINDS THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.DISCUSSION...MAINLY HIGH CLOUDS SPREADING OVER THE REGION THIS
MORNING IN ADVANCE OF THE VERY SLOW MOVING FRONT STILL WELL OFF
THE COAST. FORECAST MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN TERMS OF THE
FRONT BECOMING SOMEWHAT STATIONARY OFF THE COAST TODAY THEN MOVING
IT THROUGH AS A COLD FRONT BETWEEN MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND SUNRISE
SATURDAY. STILL ANTICIPATING LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN OVER AREAS
NORTH OF HWY 299 WITH LIGHTER AMOUNTS SOUTHWARD. ONE CAVEAT IS THE
RAPID PROGRESSION OF THE FRONT...WHICH WOULD LEND CREDENCE TO
LESSER AMOUNTS OF RAIN THAN WHAT IS CURRENTLY FORECASTED.
NONETHELESS IT WOULD BE HARD TO GO AGAINST ALL THE MODEL AGREEMENT
AT THIS TIME THUS ONLY MADE VERY MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO THE VALUES
CURRENTLY IN THE FORECAST. STILL ROUGHLY EXPECTING AT LEAST A HALF
AN INCH ACROSS RAIN PRONE AREAS OF EXTREME NW CA WITH GREATER
COLLECTIONS ALONG PREFERRED LOCATIONS. ONCE THE FRONT PASSES EARLY
SATURDAY SOME SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL LINGER THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY OVER DEL NORTE COUNTY AND OVER THE HIGHER
TERRAIN. THE GFS AND ECMWF SHOW ANOTHER IMPULSE MOVING TOWARD THE
NORTH COAST ON SUNDAY. HOWEVER THE LATEST MODELS DAMPEN-OUT THE
SURFACE REFLECTION OF THIS WAVE SIGNIFICANTLY. FOR NOW WILL MAINTAIN
A CHANCE OR SLIGHT OF SHOWERS MAINLY NORTH OF THE CAPE...CONSIDERING
THE NAM12 DOES SHOW MORE PRECIP SPROUTING UP WITH THE ONSHORE FLOW.
FROM MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...A BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL
REMAIN OVER THE WEST COAST THROUGH THE PERIOD. MAIN AFFECT FOR NW
CALIFORNIA WILL BE BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN THE INTERIOR WITH
SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR COASTAL AREAS. SEVERAL WEAK
PERTURBATIONS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE LARGER SCALE TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO
THE PAC NW FROM TIME TO TIME. NONE OF THESE SHORTER WAVE LENGTH
FEATURES APPEAR TO BE STRONG ENOUGH TO GENERATE SIGNIFICANT PRECIP.
THE TAIL END OF THESE WAVES MAY GENERATE SOME LIGHT SHOWERS NEAR THE
ORCA BORDER. FOR NOW WILL MAINTAIN NEAR CLIMO PRECIP CHANCES FOR
MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA AND SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL CHANCES NEAR THE
ORCA BORDER.


&&

.AVIATION...MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUD COVER WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE
TODAY.  VFR CIGS WILL LIKELY PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY...BUT THIS WILL
CHANGE TONIGHT DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS A FRONTAL SYSTEM
REACHES THE COAST...LIKELY RESULTING IN A BRIEF PERIOD OF IFR CIGS
AND MODERATE RAINFALL PARTICULARLY AT CEC. CONDITIONS AT UKI ARE
MORE UNCERTAIN...BUT A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIGHT RAIN AND LOWERING CIGS
WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT THERE AS WELL.

&&

.MARINE...LIGHT WINDS CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE WATERS THIS MORNING AS
AN EARLY SEASON FRONTAL SYSTEM GRADUALLY APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.
SEAS CONTINUE TO BE MIXED BUT GENERALLY MILD MANNERED...WITH
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS OF 3 TO 5 FEET AND TWO DISTINCT WAVE GROUPS
CENTERED AROUND 8 AND 15 SECONDS...RESPECTIVELY. AS THE FRONTAL
SYSTEM APPROACHES TOMORROW...SOUTH SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL BEGIN TO
INCREASE...LIKELY INTO THE FRESH RANGE ALTHOUGH THERE IS A BIT OF
UNCERTAINTY REGARDING JUST HOW STRONG THE WINDS WILL GET. THIS FRONT
WILL ALSO LIKELY RESULT IN A RELATIVELY BRIEF PERIOD OF MODERATE AND
PERHAPS PERIODICALLY HEAVY RAINFALL TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY SOME
SHOWERY ACTIVITY TOMORROW MORNING. PEAK WIND SPEEDS WILL LIKELY BE
REACHED DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS TONIGHT ACROSS THE NORTHERN OUTER
WATERS AND BEGIN TO DECREASE BY TOMORROW EVENING. THIS SHOULD ALLOW
STEEPER SHORT PERIOD SEAS TO SETTLE A BIT...BUT MULTIPLE SWELL
GROUPS WILL ALSO BE PRESENT IN THE WATERS. THE FIRST OF WHICH THAT
MAY BE MODERATELY SIGNIFICANT WILL BE A WESTERLY LONG PERIOD SWELL
SET TO BUILD INTO THE WATERS OVERNIGHT TOMORROW AND INTO THE DAY
SUNDAY. WHILE NOT OVERLY LARGE...THIS WILL LIKELY BUILD TO AROUND 4
FEET AT 17 SECONDS SUNDAY AFTERNOON...AT A TIME WHEN WINDS AND SHORT
PERIOD SEAS SHOULD BE ON THE DECLINE. WHILE NOT A HUGE CONCERN FOR
BOATERS...THIS COULD PRESENT A MODERATE SNEAKER WAVE THREAT FOR AREA
BEACHES DEPENDING ON HOW QUICKLY WINDS SUBSIDE ON SUNDAY. SUNDAY
NIGHT...AN ADDITIONAL NORTHWESTERLY SWELL WILL BUILD INTO THE
WATERS...ALTHOUGH THIS ITERATION WILL LIKELY COME IN WITH A SHORTER
PERIOD OF AROUND 12 TO 13 SECONDS. STILL...FORECASTED HEIGHTS OF
AROUND 6 TO 7 FEET WILL MAKE THIS SWELL SOMETHING TO KEEP AN EYE
BOTH FOR BOATERS AND BEACHGOERS EARLY IN THE WEEK. OTHERWISE...
SEVERAL SMALL SOUTHERLY SWELL GROUPS WILL ALSO CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE
THROUGH THE WATERS OVER THE NEXT WEEK.


&&

.FIRE WEATHER...ONLY SUBTLE CHANGES TO CURRENT FORECAST REGARDING
INCOMING WEATHER SYSTEM. ONE CHANGE WAS TO SLOW DOWN TIMING OF
PRECIP ARRIVAL TO THE COAST TO RIGHT AROUND OR JUST AFTER
MIDNIGHT...WITH SOME MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO CWR. OTHERWISE STILL ON
TRACK IN TERMS OF EXPECTED QPF AND WINDS. ANTICIPATE A BRIEF
PERIOD OF WINDS GUSTS TO NEAR 30-35 MPH ALONG ELEVATIONS ABOVE
4000K FT BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND SUNRISE WITH FRONTAL PASSAGE. SOME
ELEVATED VALLEYS AND DRAINAGES IN SOUTH SOUTHWEST ALIGNMENT WILL
ALSO SEE GUSTY WINDS AS WELL. FORTUNATELY THE WINDS WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED OR IMMEDIATELY FOLLOWED BY THE PRECIPITATION. SOME
RESIDUAL SHOWER ACTIVITY IS ANTICIPATED LATER ON SATURDAY WITH
ANOTHER LESS IMPACTFUL AND WEAKER FRONT EARLY SUNDAY MAINLY OVER
THE EXTREME NORTHWEST CORNER OF THE CWA. COOL AND MOIST
CONDITIONS SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH NEXT WEEK AS A STEADY STREAM OF
TROUGHINESS CONTINUES. SKIES WILL GENERALLY BE SMOKE FREE AT LEAST
THE EARLY PORTION OF NEXT WEEK ALLOWING ANY RESIDUAL FIRE ACTIVITY
TO VENT WELL.


&&

.EKA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...NONE.
NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA COASTAL WATERS...
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM PDT SATURDAY FOR PZZ450.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM PDT
     SATURDAY FOR PZZ470.

&&

$$

VISIT US AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/EUREKA

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER AT:
HTTP://WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSEUREKA
HTTP://WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSEUREKA




000
FXUS66 KEKA 281450 CCA
AFDEKA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EUREKA CA
750 AM PDT FRI AUG 28 2015

.SYNOPSIS...AN UNSEASONABLY STRONG FRONT WILL RAPIDLY MOVE ACROSS
NORTHWEST CA TONIGHT...ACCOMPANIED BY RAIN AND HIGH ELEVATION
GUSTY WINDS THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.DISCUSSION...MAINLY HIGH CLOUDS SPREADING OVER THE REGION THIS
MORNING IN ADVANCE OF THE VERY SLOW MOVING FRONT STILL WELL OFF
THE COAST. FORECAST MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN TERMS OF THE
FRONT BECOMING SOMEWHAT STATIONARY OFF THE COAST TODAY THEN MOVING
IT THROUGH AS A COLD FRONT BETWEEN MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND SUNRISE
SATURDAY. STILL ANTICIPATING LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN OVER AREAS
NORTH OF HWY 299 WITH LIGHTER AMOUNTS SOUTHWARD. ONE CAVEAT IS THE
RAPID PROGRESSION OF THE FRONT...WHICH WOULD LEND CREDENCE TO
LESSER AMOUNTS OF RAIN THAN WHAT IS CURRENTLY FORECASTED.
NONETHELESS IT WOULD BE HARD TO GO AGAINST ALL THE MODEL AGREEMENT
AT THIS TIME THUS ONLY MADE VERY MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO THE VALUES
CURRENTLY IN THE FORECAST. STILL ROUGHLY EXPECTING AT LEAST A HALF
AN INCH ACROSS RAIN PRONE AREAS OF EXTREME NW CA WITH GREATER
COLLECTIONS ALONG PREFERRED LOCATIONS. ONCE THE FRONT PASSES EARLY
SATURDAY SOME SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL LINGER THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY OVER DEL NORTE COUNTY AND OVER THE HIGHER
TERRAIN. THE GFS AND ECMWF SHOW ANOTHER IMPULSE MOVING TOWARD THE
NORTH COAST ON SUNDAY. HOWEVER THE LATEST MODELS DAMPEN-OUT THE
SURFACE REFLECTION OF THIS WAVE SIGNIFICANTLY. FOR NOW WILL MAINTAIN
A CHANCE OR SLIGHT OF SHOWERS MAINLY NORTH OF THE CAPE...CONSIDERING
THE NAM12 DOES SHOW MORE PRECIP SPROUTING UP WITH THE ONSHORE FLOW.
FROM MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...A BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL
REMAIN OVER THE WEST COAST THROUGH THE PERIOD. MAIN AFFECT FOR NW
CALIFORNIA WILL BE BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN THE INTERIOR WITH
SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR COASTAL AREAS. SEVERAL WEAK
PERTURBATIONS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE LARGER SCALE TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO
THE PAC NW FROM TIME TO TIME. NONE OF THESE SHORTER WAVE LENGTH
FEATURES APPEAR TO BE STRONG ENOUGH TO GENERATE SIGNIFICANT PRECIP.
THE TAIL END OF THESE WAVES MAY GENERATE SOME LIGHT SHOWERS NEAR THE
ORCA BORDER. FOR NOW WILL MAINTAIN NEAR CLIMO PRECIP CHANCES FOR
MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA AND SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL CHANCES NEAR THE
ORCA BORDER.


&&

.AVIATION...MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUD COVER WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE
TODAY.  VFR CIGS WILL LIKELY PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY...BUT THIS WILL
CHANGE TONIGHT DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS A FRONTAL SYSTEM
REACHES THE COAST...LIKELY RESULTING IN A BRIEF PERIOD OF IFR CIGS
AND MODERATE RAINFALL PARTICULARLY AT CEC. CONDITIONS AT UKI ARE
MORE UNCERTAIN...BUT A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIGHT RAIN AND LOWERING CIGS
WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT THERE AS WELL.

&&

.MARINE...LIGHT WINDS CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE WATERS THIS MORNING AS
AN EARLY SEASON FRONTAL SYSTEM GRADUALLY APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.
SEAS CONTINUE TO BE MIXED BUT GENERALLY MILD MANNERED...WITH
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS OF 3 TO 5 FEET AND TWO DISTINCT WAVE GROUPS
CENTERED AROUND 8 AND 15 SECONDS...RESPECTIVELY. AS THE FRONTAL
SYSTEM APPROACHES TOMORROW...SOUTH SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL BEGIN TO
INCREASE...LIKELY INTO THE FRESH RANGE ALTHOUGH THERE IS A BIT OF
UNCERTAINTY REGARDING JUST HOW STRONG THE WINDS WILL GET. THIS FRONT
WILL ALSO LIKELY RESULT IN A RELATIVELY BRIEF PERIOD OF MODERATE AND
PERHAPS PERIODICALLY HEAVY RAINFALL TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY SOME
SHOWERY ACTIVITY TOMORROW MORNING. PEAK WIND SPEEDS WILL LIKELY BE
REACHED DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS TONIGHT ACROSS THE NORTHERN OUTER
WATERS AND BEGIN TO DECREASE BY TOMORROW EVENING. THIS SHOULD ALLOW
STEEPER SHORT PERIOD SEAS TO SETTLE A BIT...BUT MULTIPLE SWELL
GROUPS WILL ALSO BE PRESENT IN THE WATERS. THE FIRST OF WHICH THAT
MAY BE MODERATELY SIGNIFICANT WILL BE A WESTERLY LONG PERIOD SWELL
SET TO BUILD INTO THE WATERS OVERNIGHT TOMORROW AND INTO THE DAY
SUNDAY. WHILE NOT OVERLY LARGE...THIS WILL LIKELY BUILD TO AROUND 4
FEET AT 17 SECONDS SUNDAY AFTERNOON...AT A TIME WHEN WINDS AND SHORT
PERIOD SEAS SHOULD BE ON THE DECLINE. WHILE NOT A HUGE CONCERN FOR
BOATERS...THIS COULD PRESENT A MODERATE SNEAKER WAVE THREAT FOR AREA
BEACHES DEPENDING ON HOW QUICKLY WINDS SUBSIDE ON SUNDAY. SUNDAY
NIGHT...AN ADDITIONAL NORTHWESTERLY SWELL WILL BUILD INTO THE
WATERS...ALTHOUGH THIS ITERATION WILL LIKELY COME IN WITH A SHORTER
PERIOD OF AROUND 12 TO 13 SECONDS. STILL...FORECASTED HEIGHTS OF
AROUND 6 TO 7 FEET WILL MAKE THIS SWELL SOMETHING TO KEEP AN EYE
BOTH FOR BOATERS AND BEACHGOERS EARLY IN THE WEEK. OTHERWISE...
SEVERAL SMALL SOUTHERLY SWELL GROUPS WILL ALSO CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE
THROUGH THE WATERS OVER THE NEXT WEEK.


&&

.FIRE WEATHER...ONLY SUBTLE CHANGES TO CURRENT FORECAST REGARDING
INCOMING WEATHER SYSTEM. ONE CHANGE WAS TO SLOW DOWN TIMING OF
PRECIP ARRIVAL TO THE COAST TO RIGHT AROUND OR JUST AFTER
MIDNIGHT...WITH SOME MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO CWR. OTHERWISE STILL ON
TRACK IN TERMS OF EXPECTED QPF AND WINDS. ANTICIPATE A BRIEF
PERIOD OF WINDS GUSTS TO NEAR 30-35 MPH ALONG ELEVATIONS ABOVE
4000K FT BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND SUNRISE WITH FRONTAL PASSAGE. SOME
ELEVATED VALLEYS AND DRAINAGES IN SOUTH SOUTHWEST ALIGNMENT WILL
ALSO SEE GUSTY WINDS AS WELL. FORTUNATELY THE WINDS WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED OR IMMEDIATELY FOLLOWED BY THE PRECIPITATION. SOME
RESIDUAL SHOWER ACTIVITY IS ANTICIPATED LATER ON SATURDAY WITH
ANOTHER LESS IMPACTFUL AND WEAKER FRONT EARLY SUNDAY MAINLY OVER
THE EXTREME NORTHWEST CORNER OF THE CWA. COOL AND MOIST
CONDITIONS SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH NEXT WEEK AS A STEADY STREAM OF
TROUGHINESS CONTINUES. SKIES WILL GENERALLY BE SMOKE FREE AT LEAST
THE EARLY PORTION OF NEXT WEEK ALLOWING ANY RESIDUAL FIRE ACTIVITY
TO VENT WELL.


&&

.EKA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...NONE.
NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA COASTAL WATERS...
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM PDT SATURDAY FOR PZZ450.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM PDT
     SATURDAY FOR PZZ470.

&&

$$

VISIT US AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/EUREKA

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER AT:
HTTP://WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSEUREKA
HTTP://WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSEUREKA





000
FXUS66 KEKA 281450 CCA
AFDEKA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EUREKA CA
750 AM PDT FRI AUG 28 2015

.SYNOPSIS...AN UNSEASONABLY STRONG FRONT WILL RAPIDLY MOVE ACROSS
NORTHWEST CA TONIGHT...ACCOMPANIED BY RAIN AND HIGH ELEVATION
GUSTY WINDS THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.DISCUSSION...MAINLY HIGH CLOUDS SPREADING OVER THE REGION THIS
MORNING IN ADVANCE OF THE VERY SLOW MOVING FRONT STILL WELL OFF
THE COAST. FORECAST MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN TERMS OF THE
FRONT BECOMING SOMEWHAT STATIONARY OFF THE COAST TODAY THEN MOVING
IT THROUGH AS A COLD FRONT BETWEEN MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND SUNRISE
SATURDAY. STILL ANTICIPATING LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN OVER AREAS
NORTH OF HWY 299 WITH LIGHTER AMOUNTS SOUTHWARD. ONE CAVEAT IS THE
RAPID PROGRESSION OF THE FRONT...WHICH WOULD LEND CREDENCE TO
LESSER AMOUNTS OF RAIN THAN WHAT IS CURRENTLY FORECASTED.
NONETHELESS IT WOULD BE HARD TO GO AGAINST ALL THE MODEL AGREEMENT
AT THIS TIME THUS ONLY MADE VERY MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO THE VALUES
CURRENTLY IN THE FORECAST. STILL ROUGHLY EXPECTING AT LEAST A HALF
AN INCH ACROSS RAIN PRONE AREAS OF EXTREME NW CA WITH GREATER
COLLECTIONS ALONG PREFERRED LOCATIONS. ONCE THE FRONT PASSES EARLY
SATURDAY SOME SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL LINGER THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY OVER DEL NORTE COUNTY AND OVER THE HIGHER
TERRAIN. THE GFS AND ECMWF SHOW ANOTHER IMPULSE MOVING TOWARD THE
NORTH COAST ON SUNDAY. HOWEVER THE LATEST MODELS DAMPEN-OUT THE
SURFACE REFLECTION OF THIS WAVE SIGNIFICANTLY. FOR NOW WILL MAINTAIN
A CHANCE OR SLIGHT OF SHOWERS MAINLY NORTH OF THE CAPE...CONSIDERING
THE NAM12 DOES SHOW MORE PRECIP SPROUTING UP WITH THE ONSHORE FLOW.
FROM MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...A BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL
REMAIN OVER THE WEST COAST THROUGH THE PERIOD. MAIN AFFECT FOR NW
CALIFORNIA WILL BE BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN THE INTERIOR WITH
SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR COASTAL AREAS. SEVERAL WEAK
PERTURBATIONS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE LARGER SCALE TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO
THE PAC NW FROM TIME TO TIME. NONE OF THESE SHORTER WAVE LENGTH
FEATURES APPEAR TO BE STRONG ENOUGH TO GENERATE SIGNIFICANT PRECIP.
THE TAIL END OF THESE WAVES MAY GENERATE SOME LIGHT SHOWERS NEAR THE
ORCA BORDER. FOR NOW WILL MAINTAIN NEAR CLIMO PRECIP CHANCES FOR
MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA AND SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL CHANCES NEAR THE
ORCA BORDER.


&&

.AVIATION...MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUD COVER WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE
TODAY.  VFR CIGS WILL LIKELY PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY...BUT THIS WILL
CHANGE TONIGHT DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS A FRONTAL SYSTEM
REACHES THE COAST...LIKELY RESULTING IN A BRIEF PERIOD OF IFR CIGS
AND MODERATE RAINFALL PARTICULARLY AT CEC. CONDITIONS AT UKI ARE
MORE UNCERTAIN...BUT A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIGHT RAIN AND LOWERING CIGS
WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT THERE AS WELL.

&&

.MARINE...LIGHT WINDS CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE WATERS THIS MORNING AS
AN EARLY SEASON FRONTAL SYSTEM GRADUALLY APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.
SEAS CONTINUE TO BE MIXED BUT GENERALLY MILD MANNERED...WITH
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS OF 3 TO 5 FEET AND TWO DISTINCT WAVE GROUPS
CENTERED AROUND 8 AND 15 SECONDS...RESPECTIVELY. AS THE FRONTAL
SYSTEM APPROACHES TOMORROW...SOUTH SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL BEGIN TO
INCREASE...LIKELY INTO THE FRESH RANGE ALTHOUGH THERE IS A BIT OF
UNCERTAINTY REGARDING JUST HOW STRONG THE WINDS WILL GET. THIS FRONT
WILL ALSO LIKELY RESULT IN A RELATIVELY BRIEF PERIOD OF MODERATE AND
PERHAPS PERIODICALLY HEAVY RAINFALL TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY SOME
SHOWERY ACTIVITY TOMORROW MORNING. PEAK WIND SPEEDS WILL LIKELY BE
REACHED DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS TONIGHT ACROSS THE NORTHERN OUTER
WATERS AND BEGIN TO DECREASE BY TOMORROW EVENING. THIS SHOULD ALLOW
STEEPER SHORT PERIOD SEAS TO SETTLE A BIT...BUT MULTIPLE SWELL
GROUPS WILL ALSO BE PRESENT IN THE WATERS. THE FIRST OF WHICH THAT
MAY BE MODERATELY SIGNIFICANT WILL BE A WESTERLY LONG PERIOD SWELL
SET TO BUILD INTO THE WATERS OVERNIGHT TOMORROW AND INTO THE DAY
SUNDAY. WHILE NOT OVERLY LARGE...THIS WILL LIKELY BUILD TO AROUND 4
FEET AT 17 SECONDS SUNDAY AFTERNOON...AT A TIME WHEN WINDS AND SHORT
PERIOD SEAS SHOULD BE ON THE DECLINE. WHILE NOT A HUGE CONCERN FOR
BOATERS...THIS COULD PRESENT A MODERATE SNEAKER WAVE THREAT FOR AREA
BEACHES DEPENDING ON HOW QUICKLY WINDS SUBSIDE ON SUNDAY. SUNDAY
NIGHT...AN ADDITIONAL NORTHWESTERLY SWELL WILL BUILD INTO THE
WATERS...ALTHOUGH THIS ITERATION WILL LIKELY COME IN WITH A SHORTER
PERIOD OF AROUND 12 TO 13 SECONDS. STILL...FORECASTED HEIGHTS OF
AROUND 6 TO 7 FEET WILL MAKE THIS SWELL SOMETHING TO KEEP AN EYE
BOTH FOR BOATERS AND BEACHGOERS EARLY IN THE WEEK. OTHERWISE...
SEVERAL SMALL SOUTHERLY SWELL GROUPS WILL ALSO CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE
THROUGH THE WATERS OVER THE NEXT WEEK.


&&

.FIRE WEATHER...ONLY SUBTLE CHANGES TO CURRENT FORECAST REGARDING
INCOMING WEATHER SYSTEM. ONE CHANGE WAS TO SLOW DOWN TIMING OF
PRECIP ARRIVAL TO THE COAST TO RIGHT AROUND OR JUST AFTER
MIDNIGHT...WITH SOME MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO CWR. OTHERWISE STILL ON
TRACK IN TERMS OF EXPECTED QPF AND WINDS. ANTICIPATE A BRIEF
PERIOD OF WINDS GUSTS TO NEAR 30-35 MPH ALONG ELEVATIONS ABOVE
4000K FT BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND SUNRISE WITH FRONTAL PASSAGE. SOME
ELEVATED VALLEYS AND DRAINAGES IN SOUTH SOUTHWEST ALIGNMENT WILL
ALSO SEE GUSTY WINDS AS WELL. FORTUNATELY THE WINDS WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED OR IMMEDIATELY FOLLOWED BY THE PRECIPITATION. SOME
RESIDUAL SHOWER ACTIVITY IS ANTICIPATED LATER ON SATURDAY WITH
ANOTHER LESS IMPACTFUL AND WEAKER FRONT EARLY SUNDAY MAINLY OVER
THE EXTREME NORTHWEST CORNER OF THE CWA. COOL AND MOIST
CONDITIONS SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH NEXT WEEK AS A STEADY STREAM OF
TROUGHINESS CONTINUES. SKIES WILL GENERALLY BE SMOKE FREE AT LEAST
THE EARLY PORTION OF NEXT WEEK ALLOWING ANY RESIDUAL FIRE ACTIVITY
TO VENT WELL.


&&

.EKA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...NONE.
NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA COASTAL WATERS...
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM PDT SATURDAY FOR PZZ450.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM PDT
     SATURDAY FOR PZZ470.

&&

$$

VISIT US AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/EUREKA

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER AT:
HTTP://WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSEUREKA
HTTP://WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSEUREKA




000
FXUS66 KEKA 281129
AFDEKA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EUREKA CA
429 AM PDT FRI AUG 28 2015

.SYNOPSIS...AN UNSEASONABLY STRONG FRONT WILL RAPIDLY MOVE ACROSS
NORTHWEST CA TONIGHT...ACCOMPANIED BY RAIN AND HIGH ELEVATION
GUSTY WINDS THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.DISCUSSION...MAINLY HIGH CLOUDS SPREADING OVER THE REGION THIS
MORNING IN ADVANCE OF THE VERY SLOW MOVING FRONT STILL WELL OFF
THE COAST. FORECAST MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN TERMS OF THE
FRONT BECOMING SOMEWHAT STATIONARY OFF THE COAST TODAY THEN MOVING
IT THROUGH AS A COLD FRONT BETWEEN MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND SUNRISE
SATURDAY. STILL ANTICIPATING LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN OVER AREAS
NORTH OF HWY 299 WITH LIGHTER AMOUNTS SOUTHWARD. ONE CAVEAT IS THE
RAPID PROGRESSION OF THE FRONT...WHICH WOULD LEND CREDENCE TO
LESSER AMOUNTS OF RAIN THAN WHAT IS CURRENTLY FORECASTED.
NONETHELESS IT WOULD BE HARD TO GO AGAINST ALL THE MODEL AGREEMENT
AT THIS TIME THUS ONLY MADE VERY MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO THE VALUES
CURRENTLY IN THE FORECAST (GRIDS). STILL ROUGHLY EXPECTING AT
LEAST A HALF AN INCH ACROSS RAIN PRONE AREAS OF EXTREME NW CA WITH
GREATER COLLECTIONS ALONG PREFERRED LOCATIONS. ONCE THE FRONT
PASSES EARLY SATURDAY SOME SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL LINGER THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY OVER DEL NORTE COUNTY AND OVER THE HIGHER
TERRAIN. THE GFS AND ECMWF SHOW ANOTHER IMPULSE MOVING TOWARD THE
NORTH COAST ON SUNDAY. HOWEVER THE LATEST MODELS DAMPEN-OUT THE
SURFACE REFLECTION OF THIS WAVE SIGNIFICANTLY. FOR NOW WILL
MAINTAIN A CHANCE OR SLIGHT OF SHOWERS MAINLY NORTH OF THE
CAPE...CONSIDERING THE NAM12 DOES SHOW MORE PRECIP SPROUTING UP
WITH THE ONSHORE FLOW. FROM MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...A BROAD
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL REMAIN OVER THE WEST COAST THROUGH THE
PERIOD. MAIN AFFECT FOR NW CALIFORNIA WILL BE BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES IN THE INTERIOR WITH SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES FOR COASTAL AREAS. SEVERAL WEAK PERTURBATIONS
EMBEDDED WITHIN THE LARGER SCALE TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE PAC NW
FROM TIME TO TIME. NONE OF THESE SHORTER WAVE LENGTH FEATURES
APPEAR TO BE STRONG ENOUGH TO GENERATE SIGNIFICANT PRECIP. THE
TAIL END OF THESE WAVES MAY GENERATE SOME LIGHT SHOWERS NEAR THE
ORCA BORDER. FOR NOW WILL MAINTAIN NEAR CLIMO PRECIP CHANCES FOR
MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA AND SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL CHANCES NEAR
THE ORCA BORDER.


&&

.AVIATION...FOR TONIGHT...MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUD COVER WILL CONTINUE TO
INCREASE...AND A BRIEF PERIOD OF IFR TO PERHAPS BRIEFLY LIFR CIGS
WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE REDWOOD COAST.  VFR CIGS WILL LIKELY
PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY TODAY...BUT THIS WILL CHANGE TOMORROW DURING
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS A FRONTAL SYSTEM REACHES THE COAST...LIKELY
RESULTING IN A BRIEF PERIOD OF IFR CIGS AND MODERATE RAINFALL PARTICULARLY
AT CEC. CONDITIONS AT UKI ARE MORE UNCERTAIN...BUT A BRIEF PERIOD
OF LIGHT RAIN AND LOWERING CIGS WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT HERE AS
WELL.

&&

.MARINE...LIGHT WINDS CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE WATERS THIS MORNING AS AN EARLY
SEASON FRONTAL SYSTEM GRADUALLY APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.  SEAS
CONTINUE TO BE MIXED BUT GENERALLY MILD MANNERED...WITH SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHTS OF 3 TO 5 FEET AND TWO DISTRICT WAVE GROUPS CENTERED
AROUND 8 AND 15 SECONDS...RESPECTIVELY. AS THE FRONTAL SYSTEM
APPROACHES TOMORROW...SOUTH SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL BEGIN TO
INCREASE...LIKELY INTO THE FRESH RANGE ALTHOUGH THERE IS A BIT OF
UNCERTAINTY REGARDING JUST HOW STRONG THE WINDS WILL GET. THIS
FRONT WILL ALSO LIKELY RESULT IN A RELATIVELY BRIEF PERIOD OF
MODERATE AND PERHAPS PERIODICALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY SOME SHOWERY ACTIVITY TOMORROW MORNING. PEAK
WIND SPEEDS WILL LIKELY BE REACHED DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS
TONIGHT ACROSS THE NORTHERN OUTER WATERS AND BEGIN TO DECREASE BY
TOMORROW EVENING. THIS SHOULD ALLOW STEEPER SHORT PERIOD SEAS TO
SETTLE A BIT...BUT MULTIPLE SWELL GROUPS WILL ALSO BE PRESENT IN
THE WATERS. THE FIRST OF WHICH THAT MAY BE MODERATELY SIGNIFICANT
WILL BE A WESTERLY LONG PERIOD SWELL SET TO BUILD INTO THE WATERS
OVERNIGHT TOMORROW AND INTO THE DAY SUNDAY. WHILE NOT OVERLY
LARGE...THIS WELL WILL LIKELY BUILD TO AROUND 4 FEET AT 17 SECONDS
SUNDAY AFTERNOON...AT A TIME WHEN WINDS AND SHORT PERIOD SEAS
SHOULD BE ON THE DECLINE. WHILE NOT A HUGE CONCERN FOR
BOATERS...THIS COULD PRESENT A MODERATE SNEAKER WAVE THREAT FOR
AREA BEACHES DEPENDING ON HOW QUICKLY WINDS SUBSIDE ON SUNDAY.
SUNDAY NIGHT...AN ADDITIONAL NORTHWESTERLY SWELL WILL BUILD INTO
THE WATERS...ALTHOUGH THIS ITERATION WILL LIKELY COME IN WITH A
SHORTER PERIOD OF AROUND 12 TO 13 SECONDS. STILL...FORECASTED
HEIGHTS OF AROUND 6 TO 7 FEET WILL MAKE THIS SWELL SOMETHING TO
KEEP AN EYE BOTH FOR BOATERS AND BEACHGOERS EARLY IN THE WEEK.
OTHERWISE...SEVERAL SMALL SOUTHERLY SWELL GROUPS WILL ALSO
CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE THROUGH THE WATERS OVER THE NEXT WEEK.


&&

.FIRE WEATHER...ONLY SUBTLE CHANGES TO CURRENT FORECAST REGARDING
INCOMING WEATHER SYSTEM. ONE CHANGE WAS TO SLOW DOWN TIMING OF
PRECIP ARRIVAL TO THE COAST TO RIGHT AROUND OR JUST AFTER
MIDNIGHT...WITH SOME MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO CWR. OTHERWISE STILL ON
TRACK IN TERMS OF EXPECTED QPF AND WINDS. ANTICIPATE A BRIEF
PERIOD OF WINDS GUSTS TO NEAR 30-35 MPH ALONG ELEVATIONS ABOVE
4000K FT BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND SUNRISE WITH FRONTAL PASSAGE. SOME
ELEVATED VALLEYS AND DRAINAGES IN SOUTH SOUTHWEST ALIGNMENT WILL
ALSO SEE GUSTY WINDS AS WELL. FORTUNATELY THE WINDS WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED OR IMMEDIATELY FOLLOWED BY THE PRECIPITATION. SOME
RESIDUAL SHOWER ACTIVITY IS ANTICIPATED LATER ON SATURDAY WITH
ANOTHER LESS IMPACTFUL AND WEAKER FRONT EARLY SUNDAY MAINLY OVER
THE EXTREME NORTHWEST CORNER OF THE CWA. COOL AND MOIST
CONDITIONS SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH NEXT WEEK AS A STEADY STREAM OF
TROUGHINESS CONTINUES. SKIES WILL GENERALLY BE SMOKE FREE AT LEAST
THE EARLY PORTION OF NEXT WEEK ALLOWING ANY RESIDUAL FIRE ACTIVITY
TO VENT WELL.


&&

.EKA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...NONE.
NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA COASTAL WATERS...
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM PDT SATURDAY FOR PZZ450.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM PDT
     SATURDAY FOR PZZ470.

&&

$$

VISIT US AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/EUREKA

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER AT:
HTTP://WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSEUREKA
HTTP://WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSEUREKA




000
FXUS66 KEKA 281129
AFDEKA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EUREKA CA
429 AM PDT FRI AUG 28 2015

.SYNOPSIS...AN UNSEASONABLY STRONG FRONT WILL RAPIDLY MOVE ACROSS
NORTHWEST CA TONIGHT...ACCOMPANIED BY RAIN AND HIGH ELEVATION
GUSTY WINDS THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.DISCUSSION...MAINLY HIGH CLOUDS SPREADING OVER THE REGION THIS
MORNING IN ADVANCE OF THE VERY SLOW MOVING FRONT STILL WELL OFF
THE COAST. FORECAST MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN TERMS OF THE
FRONT BECOMING SOMEWHAT STATIONARY OFF THE COAST TODAY THEN MOVING
IT THROUGH AS A COLD FRONT BETWEEN MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND SUNRISE
SATURDAY. STILL ANTICIPATING LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN OVER AREAS
NORTH OF HWY 299 WITH LIGHTER AMOUNTS SOUTHWARD. ONE CAVEAT IS THE
RAPID PROGRESSION OF THE FRONT...WHICH WOULD LEND CREDENCE TO
LESSER AMOUNTS OF RAIN THAN WHAT IS CURRENTLY FORECASTED.
NONETHELESS IT WOULD BE HARD TO GO AGAINST ALL THE MODEL AGREEMENT
AT THIS TIME THUS ONLY MADE VERY MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO THE VALUES
CURRENTLY IN THE FORECAST (GRIDS). STILL ROUGHLY EXPECTING AT
LEAST A HALF AN INCH ACROSS RAIN PRONE AREAS OF EXTREME NW CA WITH
GREATER COLLECTIONS ALONG PREFERRED LOCATIONS. ONCE THE FRONT
PASSES EARLY SATURDAY SOME SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL LINGER THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY OVER DEL NORTE COUNTY AND OVER THE HIGHER
TERRAIN. THE GFS AND ECMWF SHOW ANOTHER IMPULSE MOVING TOWARD THE
NORTH COAST ON SUNDAY. HOWEVER THE LATEST MODELS DAMPEN-OUT THE
SURFACE REFLECTION OF THIS WAVE SIGNIFICANTLY. FOR NOW WILL
MAINTAIN A CHANCE OR SLIGHT OF SHOWERS MAINLY NORTH OF THE
CAPE...CONSIDERING THE NAM12 DOES SHOW MORE PRECIP SPROUTING UP
WITH THE ONSHORE FLOW. FROM MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...A BROAD
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL REMAIN OVER THE WEST COAST THROUGH THE
PERIOD. MAIN AFFECT FOR NW CALIFORNIA WILL BE BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES IN THE INTERIOR WITH SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES FOR COASTAL AREAS. SEVERAL WEAK PERTURBATIONS
EMBEDDED WITHIN THE LARGER SCALE TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE PAC NW
FROM TIME TO TIME. NONE OF THESE SHORTER WAVE LENGTH FEATURES
APPEAR TO BE STRONG ENOUGH TO GENERATE SIGNIFICANT PRECIP. THE
TAIL END OF THESE WAVES MAY GENERATE SOME LIGHT SHOWERS NEAR THE
ORCA BORDER. FOR NOW WILL MAINTAIN NEAR CLIMO PRECIP CHANCES FOR
MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA AND SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL CHANCES NEAR
THE ORCA BORDER.


&&

.AVIATION...FOR TONIGHT...MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUD COVER WILL CONTINUE TO
INCREASE...AND A BRIEF PERIOD OF IFR TO PERHAPS BRIEFLY LIFR CIGS
WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE REDWOOD COAST.  VFR CIGS WILL LIKELY
PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY TODAY...BUT THIS WILL CHANGE TOMORROW DURING
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS A FRONTAL SYSTEM REACHES THE COAST...LIKELY
RESULTING IN A BRIEF PERIOD OF IFR CIGS AND MODERATE RAINFALL PARTICULARLY
AT CEC. CONDITIONS AT UKI ARE MORE UNCERTAIN...BUT A BRIEF PERIOD
OF LIGHT RAIN AND LOWERING CIGS WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT HERE AS
WELL.

&&

.MARINE...LIGHT WINDS CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE WATERS THIS MORNING AS AN EARLY
SEASON FRONTAL SYSTEM GRADUALLY APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.  SEAS
CONTINUE TO BE MIXED BUT GENERALLY MILD MANNERED...WITH SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHTS OF 3 TO 5 FEET AND TWO DISTRICT WAVE GROUPS CENTERED
AROUND 8 AND 15 SECONDS...RESPECTIVELY. AS THE FRONTAL SYSTEM
APPROACHES TOMORROW...SOUTH SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL BEGIN TO
INCREASE...LIKELY INTO THE FRESH RANGE ALTHOUGH THERE IS A BIT OF
UNCERTAINTY REGARDING JUST HOW STRONG THE WINDS WILL GET. THIS
FRONT WILL ALSO LIKELY RESULT IN A RELATIVELY BRIEF PERIOD OF
MODERATE AND PERHAPS PERIODICALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY SOME SHOWERY ACTIVITY TOMORROW MORNING. PEAK
WIND SPEEDS WILL LIKELY BE REACHED DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS
TONIGHT ACROSS THE NORTHERN OUTER WATERS AND BEGIN TO DECREASE BY
TOMORROW EVENING. THIS SHOULD ALLOW STEEPER SHORT PERIOD SEAS TO
SETTLE A BIT...BUT MULTIPLE SWELL GROUPS WILL ALSO BE PRESENT IN
THE WATERS. THE FIRST OF WHICH THAT MAY BE MODERATELY SIGNIFICANT
WILL BE A WESTERLY LONG PERIOD SWELL SET TO BUILD INTO THE WATERS
OVERNIGHT TOMORROW AND INTO THE DAY SUNDAY. WHILE NOT OVERLY
LARGE...THIS WELL WILL LIKELY BUILD TO AROUND 4 FEET AT 17 SECONDS
SUNDAY AFTERNOON...AT A TIME WHEN WINDS AND SHORT PERIOD SEAS
SHOULD BE ON THE DECLINE. WHILE NOT A HUGE CONCERN FOR
BOATERS...THIS COULD PRESENT A MODERATE SNEAKER WAVE THREAT FOR
AREA BEACHES DEPENDING ON HOW QUICKLY WINDS SUBSIDE ON SUNDAY.
SUNDAY NIGHT...AN ADDITIONAL NORTHWESTERLY SWELL WILL BUILD INTO
THE WATERS...ALTHOUGH THIS ITERATION WILL LIKELY COME IN WITH A
SHORTER PERIOD OF AROUND 12 TO 13 SECONDS. STILL...FORECASTED
HEIGHTS OF AROUND 6 TO 7 FEET WILL MAKE THIS SWELL SOMETHING TO
KEEP AN EYE BOTH FOR BOATERS AND BEACHGOERS EARLY IN THE WEEK.
OTHERWISE...SEVERAL SMALL SOUTHERLY SWELL GROUPS WILL ALSO
CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE THROUGH THE WATERS OVER THE NEXT WEEK.


&&

.FIRE WEATHER...ONLY SUBTLE CHANGES TO CURRENT FORECAST REGARDING
INCOMING WEATHER SYSTEM. ONE CHANGE WAS TO SLOW DOWN TIMING OF
PRECIP ARRIVAL TO THE COAST TO RIGHT AROUND OR JUST AFTER
MIDNIGHT...WITH SOME MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO CWR. OTHERWISE STILL ON
TRACK IN TERMS OF EXPECTED QPF AND WINDS. ANTICIPATE A BRIEF
PERIOD OF WINDS GUSTS TO NEAR 30-35 MPH ALONG ELEVATIONS ABOVE
4000K FT BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND SUNRISE WITH FRONTAL PASSAGE. SOME
ELEVATED VALLEYS AND DRAINAGES IN SOUTH SOUTHWEST ALIGNMENT WILL
ALSO SEE GUSTY WINDS AS WELL. FORTUNATELY THE WINDS WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED OR IMMEDIATELY FOLLOWED BY THE PRECIPITATION. SOME
RESIDUAL SHOWER ACTIVITY IS ANTICIPATED LATER ON SATURDAY WITH
ANOTHER LESS IMPACTFUL AND WEAKER FRONT EARLY SUNDAY MAINLY OVER
THE EXTREME NORTHWEST CORNER OF THE CWA. COOL AND MOIST
CONDITIONS SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH NEXT WEEK AS A STEADY STREAM OF
TROUGHINESS CONTINUES. SKIES WILL GENERALLY BE SMOKE FREE AT LEAST
THE EARLY PORTION OF NEXT WEEK ALLOWING ANY RESIDUAL FIRE ACTIVITY
TO VENT WELL.


&&

.EKA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...NONE.
NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA COASTAL WATERS...
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM PDT SATURDAY FOR PZZ450.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM PDT
     SATURDAY FOR PZZ470.

&&

$$

VISIT US AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/EUREKA

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER AT:
HTTP://WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSEUREKA
HTTP://WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSEUREKA





000
FXUS66 KEKA 281129
AFDEKA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EUREKA CA
429 AM PDT FRI AUG 28 2015

.SYNOPSIS...AN UNSEASONABLY STRONG FRONT WILL RAPIDLY MOVE ACROSS
NORTHWEST CA TONIGHT...ACCOMPANIED BY RAIN AND HIGH ELEVATION
GUSTY WINDS THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.DISCUSSION...MAINLY HIGH CLOUDS SPREADING OVER THE REGION THIS
MORNING IN ADVANCE OF THE VERY SLOW MOVING FRONT STILL WELL OFF
THE COAST. FORECAST MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN TERMS OF THE
FRONT BECOMING SOMEWHAT STATIONARY OFF THE COAST TODAY THEN MOVING
IT THROUGH AS A COLD FRONT BETWEEN MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND SUNRISE
SATURDAY. STILL ANTICIPATING LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN OVER AREAS
NORTH OF HWY 299 WITH LIGHTER AMOUNTS SOUTHWARD. ONE CAVEAT IS THE
RAPID PROGRESSION OF THE FRONT...WHICH WOULD LEND CREDENCE TO
LESSER AMOUNTS OF RAIN THAN WHAT IS CURRENTLY FORECASTED.
NONETHELESS IT WOULD BE HARD TO GO AGAINST ALL THE MODEL AGREEMENT
AT THIS TIME THUS ONLY MADE VERY MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO THE VALUES
CURRENTLY IN THE FORECAST (GRIDS). STILL ROUGHLY EXPECTING AT
LEAST A HALF AN INCH ACROSS RAIN PRONE AREAS OF EXTREME NW CA WITH
GREATER COLLECTIONS ALONG PREFERRED LOCATIONS. ONCE THE FRONT
PASSES EARLY SATURDAY SOME SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL LINGER THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY OVER DEL NORTE COUNTY AND OVER THE HIGHER
TERRAIN. THE GFS AND ECMWF SHOW ANOTHER IMPULSE MOVING TOWARD THE
NORTH COAST ON SUNDAY. HOWEVER THE LATEST MODELS DAMPEN-OUT THE
SURFACE REFLECTION OF THIS WAVE SIGNIFICANTLY. FOR NOW WILL
MAINTAIN A CHANCE OR SLIGHT OF SHOWERS MAINLY NORTH OF THE
CAPE...CONSIDERING THE NAM12 DOES SHOW MORE PRECIP SPROUTING UP
WITH THE ONSHORE FLOW. FROM MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...A BROAD
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL REMAIN OVER THE WEST COAST THROUGH THE
PERIOD. MAIN AFFECT FOR NW CALIFORNIA WILL BE BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES IN THE INTERIOR WITH SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES FOR COASTAL AREAS. SEVERAL WEAK PERTURBATIONS
EMBEDDED WITHIN THE LARGER SCALE TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE PAC NW
FROM TIME TO TIME. NONE OF THESE SHORTER WAVE LENGTH FEATURES
APPEAR TO BE STRONG ENOUGH TO GENERATE SIGNIFICANT PRECIP. THE
TAIL END OF THESE WAVES MAY GENERATE SOME LIGHT SHOWERS NEAR THE
ORCA BORDER. FOR NOW WILL MAINTAIN NEAR CLIMO PRECIP CHANCES FOR
MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA AND SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL CHANCES NEAR
THE ORCA BORDER.


&&

.AVIATION...FOR TONIGHT...MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUD COVER WILL CONTINUE TO
INCREASE...AND A BRIEF PERIOD OF IFR TO PERHAPS BRIEFLY LIFR CIGS
WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE REDWOOD COAST.  VFR CIGS WILL LIKELY
PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY TODAY...BUT THIS WILL CHANGE TOMORROW DURING
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS A FRONTAL SYSTEM REACHES THE COAST...LIKELY
RESULTING IN A BRIEF PERIOD OF IFR CIGS AND MODERATE RAINFALL PARTICULARLY
AT CEC. CONDITIONS AT UKI ARE MORE UNCERTAIN...BUT A BRIEF PERIOD
OF LIGHT RAIN AND LOWERING CIGS WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT HERE AS
WELL.

&&

.MARINE...LIGHT WINDS CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE WATERS THIS MORNING AS AN EARLY
SEASON FRONTAL SYSTEM GRADUALLY APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.  SEAS
CONTINUE TO BE MIXED BUT GENERALLY MILD MANNERED...WITH SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHTS OF 3 TO 5 FEET AND TWO DISTRICT WAVE GROUPS CENTERED
AROUND 8 AND 15 SECONDS...RESPECTIVELY. AS THE FRONTAL SYSTEM
APPROACHES TOMORROW...SOUTH SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL BEGIN TO
INCREASE...LIKELY INTO THE FRESH RANGE ALTHOUGH THERE IS A BIT OF
UNCERTAINTY REGARDING JUST HOW STRONG THE WINDS WILL GET. THIS
FRONT WILL ALSO LIKELY RESULT IN A RELATIVELY BRIEF PERIOD OF
MODERATE AND PERHAPS PERIODICALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY SOME SHOWERY ACTIVITY TOMORROW MORNING. PEAK
WIND SPEEDS WILL LIKELY BE REACHED DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS
TONIGHT ACROSS THE NORTHERN OUTER WATERS AND BEGIN TO DECREASE BY
TOMORROW EVENING. THIS SHOULD ALLOW STEEPER SHORT PERIOD SEAS TO
SETTLE A BIT...BUT MULTIPLE SWELL GROUPS WILL ALSO BE PRESENT IN
THE WATERS. THE FIRST OF WHICH THAT MAY BE MODERATELY SIGNIFICANT
WILL BE A WESTERLY LONG PERIOD SWELL SET TO BUILD INTO THE WATERS
OVERNIGHT TOMORROW AND INTO THE DAY SUNDAY. WHILE NOT OVERLY
LARGE...THIS WELL WILL LIKELY BUILD TO AROUND 4 FEET AT 17 SECONDS
SUNDAY AFTERNOON...AT A TIME WHEN WINDS AND SHORT PERIOD SEAS
SHOULD BE ON THE DECLINE. WHILE NOT A HUGE CONCERN FOR
BOATERS...THIS COULD PRESENT A MODERATE SNEAKER WAVE THREAT FOR
AREA BEACHES DEPENDING ON HOW QUICKLY WINDS SUBSIDE ON SUNDAY.
SUNDAY NIGHT...AN ADDITIONAL NORTHWESTERLY SWELL WILL BUILD INTO
THE WATERS...ALTHOUGH THIS ITERATION WILL LIKELY COME IN WITH A
SHORTER PERIOD OF AROUND 12 TO 13 SECONDS. STILL...FORECASTED
HEIGHTS OF AROUND 6 TO 7 FEET WILL MAKE THIS SWELL SOMETHING TO
KEEP AN EYE BOTH FOR BOATERS AND BEACHGOERS EARLY IN THE WEEK.
OTHERWISE...SEVERAL SMALL SOUTHERLY SWELL GROUPS WILL ALSO
CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE THROUGH THE WATERS OVER THE NEXT WEEK.


&&

.FIRE WEATHER...ONLY SUBTLE CHANGES TO CURRENT FORECAST REGARDING
INCOMING WEATHER SYSTEM. ONE CHANGE WAS TO SLOW DOWN TIMING OF
PRECIP ARRIVAL TO THE COAST TO RIGHT AROUND OR JUST AFTER
MIDNIGHT...WITH SOME MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO CWR. OTHERWISE STILL ON
TRACK IN TERMS OF EXPECTED QPF AND WINDS. ANTICIPATE A BRIEF
PERIOD OF WINDS GUSTS TO NEAR 30-35 MPH ALONG ELEVATIONS ABOVE
4000K FT BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND SUNRISE WITH FRONTAL PASSAGE. SOME
ELEVATED VALLEYS AND DRAINAGES IN SOUTH SOUTHWEST ALIGNMENT WILL
ALSO SEE GUSTY WINDS AS WELL. FORTUNATELY THE WINDS WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED OR IMMEDIATELY FOLLOWED BY THE PRECIPITATION. SOME
RESIDUAL SHOWER ACTIVITY IS ANTICIPATED LATER ON SATURDAY WITH
ANOTHER LESS IMPACTFUL AND WEAKER FRONT EARLY SUNDAY MAINLY OVER
THE EXTREME NORTHWEST CORNER OF THE CWA. COOL AND MOIST
CONDITIONS SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH NEXT WEEK AS A STEADY STREAM OF
TROUGHINESS CONTINUES. SKIES WILL GENERALLY BE SMOKE FREE AT LEAST
THE EARLY PORTION OF NEXT WEEK ALLOWING ANY RESIDUAL FIRE ACTIVITY
TO VENT WELL.


&&

.EKA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...NONE.
NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA COASTAL WATERS...
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM PDT SATURDAY FOR PZZ450.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM PDT
     SATURDAY FOR PZZ470.

&&

$$

VISIT US AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/EUREKA

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER AT:
HTTP://WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSEUREKA
HTTP://WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSEUREKA





000
FXUS66 KEKA 272234
AFDEKA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EUREKA CA
334 PM PDT THU AUG 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING DRY WEATHER
CONDITIONS TO NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA THROUGH TONIGHT. A FRONT WILL
APPROACH ON FRIDAY AND EVENTUALLY BRING RAIN MOSTLY NORTH OF CAPE
MENDOCINO BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.DISCUSSION...HIGH AND MID LEVEL CLOUDS WILL SLOWLY SPREAD OVER
THE AREA TONIGHT AND FRIDAY IN ADVANCE OF A NEARLY STATIONARY
FRONT JUST OUTSIDE 130W THIS AFTERNOON. BY LATE FRI NIGHT AND
EARLY SAT MORNING LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD
INTO THE AREA AS A COLD FRONT DEVELOPS AND APPROACHES THE COAST.
THE MODELS CONTINUE TO TAKE THE BRUNT OF THE MOISTURE AND HIGHEST
RAIN AMOUNTS INTO DEL NORTE COUNTY AND FAR NORTHERN HUMBOLDT
COUNTY...WITH LIGHTER AMOUNTS TO THE SOUTH. FORECAST MODELS WERE
STILL NOT IN COMPLETE AGREEMENT ON THE RAIN AMOUNTS. SELDEM ARE
THEY...EVEN DURING THE HEART OF A FULL BLOWN WINTER STORM. LEANING
TOWARD THE WETTER GFS/ECMWF AS THESE MODELS TYPICALLY OUT PERFORM
THE NAM12. AT A MINIMUM THE NORTHERN ZONES WILL SEE AT LEAST A
HALF AN INCH. WE INCREASED PRECIP CHANCES UP AND DOWN THE COAST
TO REFLECT HIGHER CONFIDENCE DURING FRONTAL PASSAGE. WE DID NOT
CHANGE QPF VALUES MUCH...THOUGH THE LATEST NAM12 AND GFS HAS
HIGHER RAIN AMOUNTS IN THE MENDOCINO ZONES ON SAT. THIS WILL NEED
TO BE LOOKED AT MORE CLOSELY AS THE EVENT GROWS CLOSER. ONCE THE
FRONT PASSES EARLY SATURDAY SOME SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL LINGER
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY OVER DEL NORTE COUNTY AND OVER
THE HIGHER TERRAIN. THE GFS AND ECMWF SHOW ANOTHER IMPULSE MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH COAST ON SUNDAY. HOWEVER THE LATEST MODELS
DAMPEN-OUT THE SURFACE REFLECTION OF THIS WAVE SIGNIFICANTLY. FOR
NOW WILL MAINTAIN A CHANCE OR SLIGHT OF SHOWERS MAINLY NORTH OF
THE CAPE...CONSIDERING THE NAM12 DOES SHOW MORE PRECIP SPROUTING
UP WITH THE ONSHORE FLOW. FROM MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...A BROAD
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL REMAIN OVER THE WEST COAST THROUGH THE
PERIOD. MAIN AFFECT FOR NW CALIFORNIA WILL BE BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES IN THE INTERIOR WITH SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES FOR COASTAL AREAS. SEVERAL WEAK PERTURBATIONS
EMBEDDED WITHIN THE LARGER SCALE TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE PAC NW
FROM TIME TO TIME. NONE OF THESE SHORTER WAVE LENGTH FEATURES
APPEAR TO BE STRONG ENOUGH TO GENERATE SIGNIFICANT PRECIP. THE
TAIL END OF THESE WAVES MAY GENERATE SOME LIGHT SHOWERS NEAR THE
ORCA BORDER. FOR NOW WILL MAINTAIN NEAR CLIMO PRECIP CHANCES FOR
MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA AND SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL CHANCES NEAR
THE ORCA BORDER.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS HAVE PREVIALED THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY
AFTER THE MORNING FOG. CEILINGS AND PERHAPS FOG SHOULD RETURN TO
THE IMMEDIATE COAST TONIGHT BRINGING MVFR TO IFR CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT.
INTERIOR LOCATIONS CAN EXPECT A VFR DAY APART FROM AREAS OF SMOKE.

&&

.MARINE...LIGHT TO MODERATE WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH FRIDAY AS AN
APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WEAKENS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS
THE COASTAL WATERS. A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL
TURN WINDS OUT OF THE SOUTH THIS WEEKEND DEVELOPING SOME FRESH WIND
GUSTS AND A LIGHT SOUTHERLY WAVE CHOP. THE SEA STATE, ON THE OTHER
HAND, SHOULD BE DOMINATED BY MID TO LONGER PERIOD WAVE SYSTEMS
THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK. WAVE RIDER BUOYS CURRENTLY SHOW A
SPECTRUM OF WAVE SYSTEMS OUT OF THE NORTHWEST AND SOUTHWEST. EVEN
THOUGH THESE DIFFERENT LONGER PERIOD SWELLS MAY NOT HAVE MUCH OF AN
AFFECT ON MARINERS IN DEEP WATER THEY WILL CERTAINLY BE NOTICED NEAR
THE SURF ZONE. THIS COULD MEAN BREAKING WAVES OVER SHALLOW WATER
SHOALS AND STRONGER CURRENTS NEARSHORE.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...ATTENTION TURNING TO FRIDAY NIGHT WHEN MID AND
UPPER LEVEL WINDS WILL INCREASE NOTICEABLY ACROSS UPPER SLOPES AND
RIDGES FRIDAY EVENING. THIS IS RESPONSE TO AN UNSEASONABLY STRONG
FRONT CROSSING THE NORTH COAST. HIGH CLOUDS WILL ALSO MIGRATE
OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT. FORECAST MODELS
COMING IN ALIGNMENT NOW...DEPICTING WETTING RAIN (.50 - 1.00 INCHES)
ACROSS DEL NORTE AND NORTHERN HUMBOLDT COUNTIES. CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN HUMBOLDT AND TRINITY COUNTIES SHOULD SEE CLOSER TO 0.15
TO 0.30 INCHES WHILE LESSER AMOUNTS TO THE SOUTH BY EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING. HAVE UPPED THE CWR VALUES TO REFLECT GREATER CONFIDENCE.
AT A MINIMUM ALL AREAS WILL SEE MUCH HIGHER RH VALUES THROUGH
MONDAY AND PERHAPS LONGER AS A MORE TROUGHY NATURE IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE PROVIDING MUCH MORE FAVORABLE WEATHER FOR THE ONGOING
FIRES.

&&

.EKA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...NONE.
NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA COASTAL WATERS...NONE.
&&

$$

VISIT US AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/EUREKA

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER AT:
HTTP://WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSEUREKA
HTTP://WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSEUREKA




000
FXUS66 KEKA 272234
AFDEKA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EUREKA CA
334 PM PDT THU AUG 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING DRY WEATHER
CONDITIONS TO NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA THROUGH TONIGHT. A FRONT WILL
APPROACH ON FRIDAY AND EVENTUALLY BRING RAIN MOSTLY NORTH OF CAPE
MENDOCINO BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.DISCUSSION...HIGH AND MID LEVEL CLOUDS WILL SLOWLY SPREAD OVER
THE AREA TONIGHT AND FRIDAY IN ADVANCE OF A NEARLY STATIONARY
FRONT JUST OUTSIDE 130W THIS AFTERNOON. BY LATE FRI NIGHT AND
EARLY SAT MORNING LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD
INTO THE AREA AS A COLD FRONT DEVELOPS AND APPROACHES THE COAST.
THE MODELS CONTINUE TO TAKE THE BRUNT OF THE MOISTURE AND HIGHEST
RAIN AMOUNTS INTO DEL NORTE COUNTY AND FAR NORTHERN HUMBOLDT
COUNTY...WITH LIGHTER AMOUNTS TO THE SOUTH. FORECAST MODELS WERE
STILL NOT IN COMPLETE AGREEMENT ON THE RAIN AMOUNTS. SELDEM ARE
THEY...EVEN DURING THE HEART OF A FULL BLOWN WINTER STORM. LEANING
TOWARD THE WETTER GFS/ECMWF AS THESE MODELS TYPICALLY OUT PERFORM
THE NAM12. AT A MINIMUM THE NORTHERN ZONES WILL SEE AT LEAST A
HALF AN INCH. WE INCREASED PRECIP CHANCES UP AND DOWN THE COAST
TO REFLECT HIGHER CONFIDENCE DURING FRONTAL PASSAGE. WE DID NOT
CHANGE QPF VALUES MUCH...THOUGH THE LATEST NAM12 AND GFS HAS
HIGHER RAIN AMOUNTS IN THE MENDOCINO ZONES ON SAT. THIS WILL NEED
TO BE LOOKED AT MORE CLOSELY AS THE EVENT GROWS CLOSER. ONCE THE
FRONT PASSES EARLY SATURDAY SOME SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL LINGER
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY OVER DEL NORTE COUNTY AND OVER
THE HIGHER TERRAIN. THE GFS AND ECMWF SHOW ANOTHER IMPULSE MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH COAST ON SUNDAY. HOWEVER THE LATEST MODELS
DAMPEN-OUT THE SURFACE REFLECTION OF THIS WAVE SIGNIFICANTLY. FOR
NOW WILL MAINTAIN A CHANCE OR SLIGHT OF SHOWERS MAINLY NORTH OF
THE CAPE...CONSIDERING THE NAM12 DOES SHOW MORE PRECIP SPROUTING
UP WITH THE ONSHORE FLOW. FROM MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...A BROAD
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL REMAIN OVER THE WEST COAST THROUGH THE
PERIOD. MAIN AFFECT FOR NW CALIFORNIA WILL BE BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES IN THE INTERIOR WITH SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES FOR COASTAL AREAS. SEVERAL WEAK PERTURBATIONS
EMBEDDED WITHIN THE LARGER SCALE TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE PAC NW
FROM TIME TO TIME. NONE OF THESE SHORTER WAVE LENGTH FEATURES
APPEAR TO BE STRONG ENOUGH TO GENERATE SIGNIFICANT PRECIP. THE
TAIL END OF THESE WAVES MAY GENERATE SOME LIGHT SHOWERS NEAR THE
ORCA BORDER. FOR NOW WILL MAINTAIN NEAR CLIMO PRECIP CHANCES FOR
MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA AND SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL CHANCES NEAR
THE ORCA BORDER.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS HAVE PREVIALED THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY
AFTER THE MORNING FOG. CEILINGS AND PERHAPS FOG SHOULD RETURN TO
THE IMMEDIATE COAST TONIGHT BRINGING MVFR TO IFR CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT.
INTERIOR LOCATIONS CAN EXPECT A VFR DAY APART FROM AREAS OF SMOKE.

&&

.MARINE...LIGHT TO MODERATE WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH FRIDAY AS AN
APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WEAKENS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS
THE COASTAL WATERS. A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL
TURN WINDS OUT OF THE SOUTH THIS WEEKEND DEVELOPING SOME FRESH WIND
GUSTS AND A LIGHT SOUTHERLY WAVE CHOP. THE SEA STATE, ON THE OTHER
HAND, SHOULD BE DOMINATED BY MID TO LONGER PERIOD WAVE SYSTEMS
THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK. WAVE RIDER BUOYS CURRENTLY SHOW A
SPECTRUM OF WAVE SYSTEMS OUT OF THE NORTHWEST AND SOUTHWEST. EVEN
THOUGH THESE DIFFERENT LONGER PERIOD SWELLS MAY NOT HAVE MUCH OF AN
AFFECT ON MARINERS IN DEEP WATER THEY WILL CERTAINLY BE NOTICED NEAR
THE SURF ZONE. THIS COULD MEAN BREAKING WAVES OVER SHALLOW WATER
SHOALS AND STRONGER CURRENTS NEARSHORE.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...ATTENTION TURNING TO FRIDAY NIGHT WHEN MID AND
UPPER LEVEL WINDS WILL INCREASE NOTICEABLY ACROSS UPPER SLOPES AND
RIDGES FRIDAY EVENING. THIS IS RESPONSE TO AN UNSEASONABLY STRONG
FRONT CROSSING THE NORTH COAST. HIGH CLOUDS WILL ALSO MIGRATE
OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT. FORECAST MODELS
COMING IN ALIGNMENT NOW...DEPICTING WETTING RAIN (.50 - 1.00 INCHES)
ACROSS DEL NORTE AND NORTHERN HUMBOLDT COUNTIES. CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN HUMBOLDT AND TRINITY COUNTIES SHOULD SEE CLOSER TO 0.15
TO 0.30 INCHES WHILE LESSER AMOUNTS TO THE SOUTH BY EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING. HAVE UPPED THE CWR VALUES TO REFLECT GREATER CONFIDENCE.
AT A MINIMUM ALL AREAS WILL SEE MUCH HIGHER RH VALUES THROUGH
MONDAY AND PERHAPS LONGER AS A MORE TROUGHY NATURE IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE PROVIDING MUCH MORE FAVORABLE WEATHER FOR THE ONGOING
FIRES.

&&

.EKA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...NONE.
NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA COASTAL WATERS...NONE.
&&

$$

VISIT US AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/EUREKA

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER AT:
HTTP://WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSEUREKA
HTTP://WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSEUREKA





000
FXUS66 KEKA 271158
AFDEKA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EUREKA CA
458 AM PDT THU AUG 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING DRY WEATHER
CONDITIONS TO NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA THROUGH TONIGHT. A FRONT WILL
APPROACH ON FRIDAY AND EVENTUALLY BRING SOME RAIN MAINLY NORTH OF
CAPE MENDOCINO BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.DISCUSSION...ONE MORE DAY OF FAIRLY WARM SUNNY WEATHER ALTHOUGH
SOME HIGH CLOUDS WILL FILTER ACROSS THE REGION LATER TODAY. ON
FRIDAY DENSER HIGH AND MID LEVEL CLOUDS WILL BLANKET THE SKIES IN
ADVANCE OF A WEAKENING FRONT HEADED TOWARD THE COAST. BY LATE FRI
NIGHT AND THROUGH EARLY SAT MORNING LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN IS
EXPECTED DEL NORTE COUNTY AND NORTHERN HUMBOLDT COUNTY...WITH
LIGHTER AMOUNTS TO THE SOUTH.  FORECAST MODELS STILL INCONSISTENT
WITH ACTUAL AMOUNTS...BUT AT A MINIMUM THE NORTHERN ZONES SHOULD
SEE AT LEAST A HALF AN INCH...WITH GREATER AMOUNTS OVER RAIN PRONE
AREAS. IT DOES LOOK LIKE DEL NORTE COUNTY AND FAR NORTHERN
HUMBOLDT COUNTY WILL BE IN STORE FOR A BRIEF SOAKING...AND IT MAY
BE BRIEF AS THE FRONT DOES LOOK TO MOVE RATHER RAPIDLY ACROSS THE
REGION. HAVE UPPED POPS AGAIN TO REFLECT CONFIDENCE DURING FRONTAL
PASSAGE HOWEVER DID NOT CHANGE MUCH ON QPF VALUES. ONCE THE FRONT
PASSES EARLY SATURDAY SOME SHOWER ACTIVITY MAY LINGER THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY OVER DEL NORTE COUNTY AND OVER THE HIGHER
TERRAIN. THE GFS AND ECMWF SHOW ANOTHER IMPULSE MOVING TOWARD THE
COAST ON SUNDAY. HOWEVER THE LATEST MODELS DAMPEN-OUT THIS WAVE
SIGNIFICANTLY. FOR NOW WILL NOT MAKE ANY CHANGES TO THE FORECAST
FOR SUNDAY. IF THIS DRIER TREND CONTINUES...PRECIP CHANCES WILL
NEED TO BE REDUCED ON SUNDAY. FROM MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...A
BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL REMAIN OVER THE WEST COAST THROUGH
THE PERIOD. MAIN AFFECT FOR NW CALIFORNIA WILL BE BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES IN THE INTERIOR WITH SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES FOR COASTAL AREAS. SEVERAL WEAK PERTURBATIONS
EMBEDDED WITHIN THE LARGER SCALE TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE PAC NW
FROM TIME TO TIME. NONE OF THESE SHORTER WAVE LENGTH FEATURES
APPEAR TO BE STRONG ENOUGH TO GENERATE SIGNIFICANT PRECIP. THE
TAIL END OF THESE WAVES MAY GENERATE SOME LIGHT SHOWERS NEAR THE
ORCA BORDER. FOR NOW WILL MAINTAIN NEAR CLIMO PRECIP CHANCES FOR
MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA WITH SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL CHANCES NEAR
THE ORCA BORDER.



&&

.AVIATION...MARINE CLOUDS SHOULD DISSIPATE ALONG THE COAST LATER
THIS MORNING MAKING FOR VFR CONDITIONS FOR THE REST OF THE DAY.
CEILINGS SHOULD RETURN TO THE COAST TONIGHT BRINGING MVFR TO IFR
CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT. INTERIOR LOCATIONS CAN EXPECT A VFR DAY APART
FROM AREAS OF SMOKE. KML

&&

.MARINE...LIGHT TO MODERATE WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH FRIDAY AS AN
APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WEAKENS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS
THE COASTAL WATERS. A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL
TURN WINDS OUT OF THE SOUTH THIS WEEKEND DEVELOPING SOME FRESH WIND
GUSTS AND A LIGHT SOUTHERLY WAVE CHOP. THE SEA STATE, ON THE OTHER
HAND, SHOULD BE DOMINATED BY MID TO LONGER PERIOD WAVE SYSTEMS
THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK. WAVE RIDER BUOYS CURRENTLY SHOW A
SPECTRUM OF WAVE SYSTEMS OUT OF THE NORTHWEST AND SOUTHWEST. EVEN
THOUGH THESE DIFFERENT LONGER PERIOD SWELLS MAY NOT HAVE MUCH OF AN
AFFECT ON MARINERS IN DEEP WATER THEY WILL CERTAINLY BE NOTICED NEAR
THE SURF ZONE. THIS COULD MEAN BREAKING WAVES OVER SHALLOW WATER
SHOALS AND STRONGER CURRENTS NEARSHORE. KML


&&

.FIRE WEATHER...ATTENTION TURNING TO FRIDAY NIGHT WHEN MID AND
UPPER LEVEL WINDS WILL INCREASE NOTICEABLY ACROSS UPPER SLOPES AND
RIDGES FRIDAY EVENING. THIS IS RESPONSE TO AN UNSEASONABLY STRONG
FRONT CROSSING THE NORTH COAST. HIGH CLOUDS WILL ALSO MIGRATE
OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT. FORECAST MODELS
COMING IN ALIGNMENT NOW...DEPICTING WETTING RAIN (.50 - 1.00 INCHES)
ACROSS DEL NORTE AND NORTHERN HUMBOLDT COUNTIES. CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN HUMBOLDT AND TRINITY COUNTIES SHOULD SEE CLOSER TO 0.15
TO 0.30 INCHES WHILE LESSER AMOUNTS TO THE SOUTH BY EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING. HAVE UPPED THE CWR VALUES TO REFLECT GREATER CONFIDENCE.
AT A MINIMUM ALL AREAS WILL SEE MUCH HIGHER RH VALUES THROUGH
MONDAY AND PERHAPS LONGER AS A MORE TROUGHY NATURE IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE PROVIDING MUCH MORE FAVORABLE WEATHER FOR THE ONGOING
FIRES.

&&

.EKA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...NONE.
NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA COASTAL WATERS...NONE.
&&

$$

VISIT US AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/EUREKA

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER AT:
HTTP://WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSEUREKA
HTTP://WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSEUREKA





000
FXUS66 KEKA 271158
AFDEKA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EUREKA CA
458 AM PDT THU AUG 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING DRY WEATHER
CONDITIONS TO NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA THROUGH TONIGHT. A FRONT WILL
APPROACH ON FRIDAY AND EVENTUALLY BRING SOME RAIN MAINLY NORTH OF
CAPE MENDOCINO BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.DISCUSSION...ONE MORE DAY OF FAIRLY WARM SUNNY WEATHER ALTHOUGH
SOME HIGH CLOUDS WILL FILTER ACROSS THE REGION LATER TODAY. ON
FRIDAY DENSER HIGH AND MID LEVEL CLOUDS WILL BLANKET THE SKIES IN
ADVANCE OF A WEAKENING FRONT HEADED TOWARD THE COAST. BY LATE FRI
NIGHT AND THROUGH EARLY SAT MORNING LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN IS
EXPECTED DEL NORTE COUNTY AND NORTHERN HUMBOLDT COUNTY...WITH
LIGHTER AMOUNTS TO THE SOUTH.  FORECAST MODELS STILL INCONSISTENT
WITH ACTUAL AMOUNTS...BUT AT A MINIMUM THE NORTHERN ZONES SHOULD
SEE AT LEAST A HALF AN INCH...WITH GREATER AMOUNTS OVER RAIN PRONE
AREAS. IT DOES LOOK LIKE DEL NORTE COUNTY AND FAR NORTHERN
HUMBOLDT COUNTY WILL BE IN STORE FOR A BRIEF SOAKING...AND IT MAY
BE BRIEF AS THE FRONT DOES LOOK TO MOVE RATHER RAPIDLY ACROSS THE
REGION. HAVE UPPED POPS AGAIN TO REFLECT CONFIDENCE DURING FRONTAL
PASSAGE HOWEVER DID NOT CHANGE MUCH ON QPF VALUES. ONCE THE FRONT
PASSES EARLY SATURDAY SOME SHOWER ACTIVITY MAY LINGER THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY OVER DEL NORTE COUNTY AND OVER THE HIGHER
TERRAIN. THE GFS AND ECMWF SHOW ANOTHER IMPULSE MOVING TOWARD THE
COAST ON SUNDAY. HOWEVER THE LATEST MODELS DAMPEN-OUT THIS WAVE
SIGNIFICANTLY. FOR NOW WILL NOT MAKE ANY CHANGES TO THE FORECAST
FOR SUNDAY. IF THIS DRIER TREND CONTINUES...PRECIP CHANCES WILL
NEED TO BE REDUCED ON SUNDAY. FROM MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...A
BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL REMAIN OVER THE WEST COAST THROUGH
THE PERIOD. MAIN AFFECT FOR NW CALIFORNIA WILL BE BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES IN THE INTERIOR WITH SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES FOR COASTAL AREAS. SEVERAL WEAK PERTURBATIONS
EMBEDDED WITHIN THE LARGER SCALE TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE PAC NW
FROM TIME TO TIME. NONE OF THESE SHORTER WAVE LENGTH FEATURES
APPEAR TO BE STRONG ENOUGH TO GENERATE SIGNIFICANT PRECIP. THE
TAIL END OF THESE WAVES MAY GENERATE SOME LIGHT SHOWERS NEAR THE
ORCA BORDER. FOR NOW WILL MAINTAIN NEAR CLIMO PRECIP CHANCES FOR
MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA WITH SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL CHANCES NEAR
THE ORCA BORDER.



&&

.AVIATION...MARINE CLOUDS SHOULD DISSIPATE ALONG THE COAST LATER
THIS MORNING MAKING FOR VFR CONDITIONS FOR THE REST OF THE DAY.
CEILINGS SHOULD RETURN TO THE COAST TONIGHT BRINGING MVFR TO IFR
CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT. INTERIOR LOCATIONS CAN EXPECT A VFR DAY APART
FROM AREAS OF SMOKE. KML

&&

.MARINE...LIGHT TO MODERATE WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH FRIDAY AS AN
APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WEAKENS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS
THE COASTAL WATERS. A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL
TURN WINDS OUT OF THE SOUTH THIS WEEKEND DEVELOPING SOME FRESH WIND
GUSTS AND A LIGHT SOUTHERLY WAVE CHOP. THE SEA STATE, ON THE OTHER
HAND, SHOULD BE DOMINATED BY MID TO LONGER PERIOD WAVE SYSTEMS
THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK. WAVE RIDER BUOYS CURRENTLY SHOW A
SPECTRUM OF WAVE SYSTEMS OUT OF THE NORTHWEST AND SOUTHWEST. EVEN
THOUGH THESE DIFFERENT LONGER PERIOD SWELLS MAY NOT HAVE MUCH OF AN
AFFECT ON MARINERS IN DEEP WATER THEY WILL CERTAINLY BE NOTICED NEAR
THE SURF ZONE. THIS COULD MEAN BREAKING WAVES OVER SHALLOW WATER
SHOALS AND STRONGER CURRENTS NEARSHORE. KML


&&

.FIRE WEATHER...ATTENTION TURNING TO FRIDAY NIGHT WHEN MID AND
UPPER LEVEL WINDS WILL INCREASE NOTICEABLY ACROSS UPPER SLOPES AND
RIDGES FRIDAY EVENING. THIS IS RESPONSE TO AN UNSEASONABLY STRONG
FRONT CROSSING THE NORTH COAST. HIGH CLOUDS WILL ALSO MIGRATE
OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT. FORECAST MODELS
COMING IN ALIGNMENT NOW...DEPICTING WETTING RAIN (.50 - 1.00 INCHES)
ACROSS DEL NORTE AND NORTHERN HUMBOLDT COUNTIES. CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN HUMBOLDT AND TRINITY COUNTIES SHOULD SEE CLOSER TO 0.15
TO 0.30 INCHES WHILE LESSER AMOUNTS TO THE SOUTH BY EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING. HAVE UPPED THE CWR VALUES TO REFLECT GREATER CONFIDENCE.
AT A MINIMUM ALL AREAS WILL SEE MUCH HIGHER RH VALUES THROUGH
MONDAY AND PERHAPS LONGER AS A MORE TROUGHY NATURE IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE PROVIDING MUCH MORE FAVORABLE WEATHER FOR THE ONGOING
FIRES.

&&

.EKA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...NONE.
NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA COASTAL WATERS...NONE.
&&

$$

VISIT US AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/EUREKA

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER AT:
HTTP://WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSEUREKA
HTTP://WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSEUREKA




000
FXUS66 KEKA 271158
AFDEKA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EUREKA CA
458 AM PDT THU AUG 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING DRY WEATHER
CONDITIONS TO NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA THROUGH TONIGHT. A FRONT WILL
APPROACH ON FRIDAY AND EVENTUALLY BRING SOME RAIN MAINLY NORTH OF
CAPE MENDOCINO BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.DISCUSSION...ONE MORE DAY OF FAIRLY WARM SUNNY WEATHER ALTHOUGH
SOME HIGH CLOUDS WILL FILTER ACROSS THE REGION LATER TODAY. ON
FRIDAY DENSER HIGH AND MID LEVEL CLOUDS WILL BLANKET THE SKIES IN
ADVANCE OF A WEAKENING FRONT HEADED TOWARD THE COAST. BY LATE FRI
NIGHT AND THROUGH EARLY SAT MORNING LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN IS
EXPECTED DEL NORTE COUNTY AND NORTHERN HUMBOLDT COUNTY...WITH
LIGHTER AMOUNTS TO THE SOUTH.  FORECAST MODELS STILL INCONSISTENT
WITH ACTUAL AMOUNTS...BUT AT A MINIMUM THE NORTHERN ZONES SHOULD
SEE AT LEAST A HALF AN INCH...WITH GREATER AMOUNTS OVER RAIN PRONE
AREAS. IT DOES LOOK LIKE DEL NORTE COUNTY AND FAR NORTHERN
HUMBOLDT COUNTY WILL BE IN STORE FOR A BRIEF SOAKING...AND IT MAY
BE BRIEF AS THE FRONT DOES LOOK TO MOVE RATHER RAPIDLY ACROSS THE
REGION. HAVE UPPED POPS AGAIN TO REFLECT CONFIDENCE DURING FRONTAL
PASSAGE HOWEVER DID NOT CHANGE MUCH ON QPF VALUES. ONCE THE FRONT
PASSES EARLY SATURDAY SOME SHOWER ACTIVITY MAY LINGER THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY OVER DEL NORTE COUNTY AND OVER THE HIGHER
TERRAIN. THE GFS AND ECMWF SHOW ANOTHER IMPULSE MOVING TOWARD THE
COAST ON SUNDAY. HOWEVER THE LATEST MODELS DAMPEN-OUT THIS WAVE
SIGNIFICANTLY. FOR NOW WILL NOT MAKE ANY CHANGES TO THE FORECAST
FOR SUNDAY. IF THIS DRIER TREND CONTINUES...PRECIP CHANCES WILL
NEED TO BE REDUCED ON SUNDAY. FROM MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...A
BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL REMAIN OVER THE WEST COAST THROUGH
THE PERIOD. MAIN AFFECT FOR NW CALIFORNIA WILL BE BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES IN THE INTERIOR WITH SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES FOR COASTAL AREAS. SEVERAL WEAK PERTURBATIONS
EMBEDDED WITHIN THE LARGER SCALE TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE PAC NW
FROM TIME TO TIME. NONE OF THESE SHORTER WAVE LENGTH FEATURES
APPEAR TO BE STRONG ENOUGH TO GENERATE SIGNIFICANT PRECIP. THE
TAIL END OF THESE WAVES MAY GENERATE SOME LIGHT SHOWERS NEAR THE
ORCA BORDER. FOR NOW WILL MAINTAIN NEAR CLIMO PRECIP CHANCES FOR
MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA WITH SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL CHANCES NEAR
THE ORCA BORDER.



&&

.AVIATION...MARINE CLOUDS SHOULD DISSIPATE ALONG THE COAST LATER
THIS MORNING MAKING FOR VFR CONDITIONS FOR THE REST OF THE DAY.
CEILINGS SHOULD RETURN TO THE COAST TONIGHT BRINGING MVFR TO IFR
CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT. INTERIOR LOCATIONS CAN EXPECT A VFR DAY APART
FROM AREAS OF SMOKE. KML

&&

.MARINE...LIGHT TO MODERATE WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH FRIDAY AS AN
APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WEAKENS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS
THE COASTAL WATERS. A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL
TURN WINDS OUT OF THE SOUTH THIS WEEKEND DEVELOPING SOME FRESH WIND
GUSTS AND A LIGHT SOUTHERLY WAVE CHOP. THE SEA STATE, ON THE OTHER
HAND, SHOULD BE DOMINATED BY MID TO LONGER PERIOD WAVE SYSTEMS
THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK. WAVE RIDER BUOYS CURRENTLY SHOW A
SPECTRUM OF WAVE SYSTEMS OUT OF THE NORTHWEST AND SOUTHWEST. EVEN
THOUGH THESE DIFFERENT LONGER PERIOD SWELLS MAY NOT HAVE MUCH OF AN
AFFECT ON MARINERS IN DEEP WATER THEY WILL CERTAINLY BE NOTICED NEAR
THE SURF ZONE. THIS COULD MEAN BREAKING WAVES OVER SHALLOW WATER
SHOALS AND STRONGER CURRENTS NEARSHORE. KML


&&

.FIRE WEATHER...ATTENTION TURNING TO FRIDAY NIGHT WHEN MID AND
UPPER LEVEL WINDS WILL INCREASE NOTICEABLY ACROSS UPPER SLOPES AND
RIDGES FRIDAY EVENING. THIS IS RESPONSE TO AN UNSEASONABLY STRONG
FRONT CROSSING THE NORTH COAST. HIGH CLOUDS WILL ALSO MIGRATE
OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT. FORECAST MODELS
COMING IN ALIGNMENT NOW...DEPICTING WETTING RAIN (.50 - 1.00 INCHES)
ACROSS DEL NORTE AND NORTHERN HUMBOLDT COUNTIES. CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN HUMBOLDT AND TRINITY COUNTIES SHOULD SEE CLOSER TO 0.15
TO 0.30 INCHES WHILE LESSER AMOUNTS TO THE SOUTH BY EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING. HAVE UPPED THE CWR VALUES TO REFLECT GREATER CONFIDENCE.
AT A MINIMUM ALL AREAS WILL SEE MUCH HIGHER RH VALUES THROUGH
MONDAY AND PERHAPS LONGER AS A MORE TROUGHY NATURE IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE PROVIDING MUCH MORE FAVORABLE WEATHER FOR THE ONGOING
FIRES.

&&

.EKA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...NONE.
NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA COASTAL WATERS...NONE.
&&

$$

VISIT US AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/EUREKA

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER AT:
HTTP://WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSEUREKA
HTTP://WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSEUREKA





000
FXUS66 KEKA 271158
AFDEKA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EUREKA CA
458 AM PDT THU AUG 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING DRY WEATHER
CONDITIONS TO NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA THROUGH TONIGHT. A FRONT WILL
APPROACH ON FRIDAY AND EVENTUALLY BRING SOME RAIN MAINLY NORTH OF
CAPE MENDOCINO BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.DISCUSSION...ONE MORE DAY OF FAIRLY WARM SUNNY WEATHER ALTHOUGH
SOME HIGH CLOUDS WILL FILTER ACROSS THE REGION LATER TODAY. ON
FRIDAY DENSER HIGH AND MID LEVEL CLOUDS WILL BLANKET THE SKIES IN
ADVANCE OF A WEAKENING FRONT HEADED TOWARD THE COAST. BY LATE FRI
NIGHT AND THROUGH EARLY SAT MORNING LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN IS
EXPECTED DEL NORTE COUNTY AND NORTHERN HUMBOLDT COUNTY...WITH
LIGHTER AMOUNTS TO THE SOUTH.  FORECAST MODELS STILL INCONSISTENT
WITH ACTUAL AMOUNTS...BUT AT A MINIMUM THE NORTHERN ZONES SHOULD
SEE AT LEAST A HALF AN INCH...WITH GREATER AMOUNTS OVER RAIN PRONE
AREAS. IT DOES LOOK LIKE DEL NORTE COUNTY AND FAR NORTHERN
HUMBOLDT COUNTY WILL BE IN STORE FOR A BRIEF SOAKING...AND IT MAY
BE BRIEF AS THE FRONT DOES LOOK TO MOVE RATHER RAPIDLY ACROSS THE
REGION. HAVE UPPED POPS AGAIN TO REFLECT CONFIDENCE DURING FRONTAL
PASSAGE HOWEVER DID NOT CHANGE MUCH ON QPF VALUES. ONCE THE FRONT
PASSES EARLY SATURDAY SOME SHOWER ACTIVITY MAY LINGER THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY OVER DEL NORTE COUNTY AND OVER THE HIGHER
TERRAIN. THE GFS AND ECMWF SHOW ANOTHER IMPULSE MOVING TOWARD THE
COAST ON SUNDAY. HOWEVER THE LATEST MODELS DAMPEN-OUT THIS WAVE
SIGNIFICANTLY. FOR NOW WILL NOT MAKE ANY CHANGES TO THE FORECAST
FOR SUNDAY. IF THIS DRIER TREND CONTINUES...PRECIP CHANCES WILL
NEED TO BE REDUCED ON SUNDAY. FROM MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...A
BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL REMAIN OVER THE WEST COAST THROUGH
THE PERIOD. MAIN AFFECT FOR NW CALIFORNIA WILL BE BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES IN THE INTERIOR WITH SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES FOR COASTAL AREAS. SEVERAL WEAK PERTURBATIONS
EMBEDDED WITHIN THE LARGER SCALE TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE PAC NW
FROM TIME TO TIME. NONE OF THESE SHORTER WAVE LENGTH FEATURES
APPEAR TO BE STRONG ENOUGH TO GENERATE SIGNIFICANT PRECIP. THE
TAIL END OF THESE WAVES MAY GENERATE SOME LIGHT SHOWERS NEAR THE
ORCA BORDER. FOR NOW WILL MAINTAIN NEAR CLIMO PRECIP CHANCES FOR
MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA WITH SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL CHANCES NEAR
THE ORCA BORDER.



&&

.AVIATION...MARINE CLOUDS SHOULD DISSIPATE ALONG THE COAST LATER
THIS MORNING MAKING FOR VFR CONDITIONS FOR THE REST OF THE DAY.
CEILINGS SHOULD RETURN TO THE COAST TONIGHT BRINGING MVFR TO IFR
CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT. INTERIOR LOCATIONS CAN EXPECT A VFR DAY APART
FROM AREAS OF SMOKE. KML

&&

.MARINE...LIGHT TO MODERATE WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH FRIDAY AS AN
APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WEAKENS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS
THE COASTAL WATERS. A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL
TURN WINDS OUT OF THE SOUTH THIS WEEKEND DEVELOPING SOME FRESH WIND
GUSTS AND A LIGHT SOUTHERLY WAVE CHOP. THE SEA STATE, ON THE OTHER
HAND, SHOULD BE DOMINATED BY MID TO LONGER PERIOD WAVE SYSTEMS
THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK. WAVE RIDER BUOYS CURRENTLY SHOW A
SPECTRUM OF WAVE SYSTEMS OUT OF THE NORTHWEST AND SOUTHWEST. EVEN
THOUGH THESE DIFFERENT LONGER PERIOD SWELLS MAY NOT HAVE MUCH OF AN
AFFECT ON MARINERS IN DEEP WATER THEY WILL CERTAINLY BE NOTICED NEAR
THE SURF ZONE. THIS COULD MEAN BREAKING WAVES OVER SHALLOW WATER
SHOALS AND STRONGER CURRENTS NEARSHORE. KML


&&

.FIRE WEATHER...ATTENTION TURNING TO FRIDAY NIGHT WHEN MID AND
UPPER LEVEL WINDS WILL INCREASE NOTICEABLY ACROSS UPPER SLOPES AND
RIDGES FRIDAY EVENING. THIS IS RESPONSE TO AN UNSEASONABLY STRONG
FRONT CROSSING THE NORTH COAST. HIGH CLOUDS WILL ALSO MIGRATE
OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT. FORECAST MODELS
COMING IN ALIGNMENT NOW...DEPICTING WETTING RAIN (.50 - 1.00 INCHES)
ACROSS DEL NORTE AND NORTHERN HUMBOLDT COUNTIES. CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN HUMBOLDT AND TRINITY COUNTIES SHOULD SEE CLOSER TO 0.15
TO 0.30 INCHES WHILE LESSER AMOUNTS TO THE SOUTH BY EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING. HAVE UPPED THE CWR VALUES TO REFLECT GREATER CONFIDENCE.
AT A MINIMUM ALL AREAS WILL SEE MUCH HIGHER RH VALUES THROUGH
MONDAY AND PERHAPS LONGER AS A MORE TROUGHY NATURE IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE PROVIDING MUCH MORE FAVORABLE WEATHER FOR THE ONGOING
FIRES.

&&

.EKA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...NONE.
NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA COASTAL WATERS...NONE.
&&

$$

VISIT US AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/EUREKA

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER AT:
HTTP://WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSEUREKA
HTTP://WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSEUREKA




000
FXUS66 KEKA 262207
AFDEKA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EUREKA CA
307 PM PDT WED AUG 26 2015

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING DRY WEATHER
CONDITIONS TO NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. A FRONT
WILL APPROACH ON FRIDAY AND EVENTUALLY BRING SOME RAIN MAINLY
NORTH OF CAPE MENDOCINO BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.DISCUSSION...STRATUS CLEARED OUT ALONG MUCH OF THE COAST TODAY.
A FEW PATCHES HAVE BEEN LINGERING SOUTH OF THE CAPE THIS
AFTERNOON AND MAY NOT GO AWAY COMPLETELY THIS EVENING. SURFACE
RIDGE AXIS WILL START TO SAG SOUTHEAST OVER THE AREA LATER TONIGHT
INTO THU AND GENERATE LESS ONSHORE FLOW WHICH WILL HELP TO
MINIMIZE STRATUS RE-DEVELOPMENT NORTH OF THE CAPE. SOUTH OF THE
CAPE...THE COVERAGE PROBABLY WILL NOT CHANGE MUCH. FURTHER
INLAND...SKIES WERE MOSTLY CLEAR WITH AFTERNOON BUILD UPS OVER
TRINITY COUNTY  IN RESPONSE TO A WEAK PERTURBATION IN THE
SOUTHWEST FLOW.

AN UPPER LOW PARKED SEVERAL HUNDREAD MILES WEST OF THE OREGON
COAST WILL CONTINUE TO MEANDER AROUND OFFSHORE ON THU LEAVING NW
CALIFORNIA IN DRY SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT. THIS LOW WILL BEGIN TO
INTERACT WITH A SHORT-WAVE TROUGH FROM THE GULF OF AK THU NIGHT
AND FRI. THE GFS...ECMWF...NAM12 AND GEM BRING A WEAKENING FRONT
ONTO THE COAST LATE FRI NIGHT AND THROUGH THE NORTHERN PORTION OF
THE AREA BY EARLY SAT MORNING. THE GFS AND ECMWF CONTINUE TO CRANK
OUT 1 1NCH OF RAINFALL WITH THE FRONT OVER DEL NORTE COUNTY LATE
FRI NIGHT INTO EARLY SAT MORNING. THE NAM HAS ABOUT HALF AN INCH.
THE GFS AND EC MAY BE OVERDONE. IT DOES LOOK LIKE DEL NORTE
COUNTY AND FAR NORTHERN HUMOLDLT COUNTY WILL BE IN STORE FOR A
BRIEF SOAKING. ELSEWHERE...AMOUNTS WILL NOT BE AS MUCH. CURRENTLY
WE HAVE A 60% CHANCE OF WETTING RAIN (0.10IN OR MORE) IN DEL NORTE
COUNTY AND 20-50%`S IN CENTRAL/SOUTHERN HUMBOLDT AND 20-30%`S IN
TRINITY COUNTY. SOME OF THESE NUMBERS WILL NEED TO BE ADJUSTED
UPWARD OR DOWNWARD AS THE EVENT GROWS CLOSER.

SOME SHOWER ACTIVITY MAY LINGER THROUGH THE DAY ON SATURDAY AFTER
SHORT-WAVE TROUGH PASSAGE...ESPECIALLY OVER DEL NORTE COUNTY AND
OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN. THE RAIN DOES NOT LOOK TO BE LONG-LIVED
AT ALL...A FEW HOURS EARLY SAT. THE GFS AND ECMWF SHOW ANOTHER
IMPULSE MOVING TOWARD THE COAST ON SUNDAY. HOWEVER THE LATEST
MODELS DAMPEN-OUT THIS WAVE SIGNIFICANTLY. FOR NOW WILL NOT MAKE
ANY CHANGES TO THE FORECAST FOR SUNDAY. IF THIS DRIER TREND
CONTINUES...PRECIP CHANCES WILL NEED TO BE REDUCED ON SUNDAY.

FROM MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...A BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL
REMAIN OVER THE WEST COAST THROUGH THE PERIOD. MAIN AFFECT FOR NW
CALIFORNIA WILL BE BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN THE INTERIOR WITH
SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR COASTAL AREAS. SEVERAL WEAK
PERTURBATIONS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE LARGER SCALE TROUGH WILL MOVE
INTO THE PAC NW FROM TIME TO TIME. NONE OF THESE SHORTER WAVE
LENGTH FEATURES APPEAR TO BE STRONG ENOUGH TO GENERATE SIGNIFICANT
PRECIP. THE TAIL END OF THESE WAVES MAY GENERATE SOME LIGHT
SHOWERS NEAR THE ORCA BORDER. FOR NOW WILL MAINTAIN NEAR CLIMO
PRECIP CHANCES FOR MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA WITH SLIGHTLY ABOVE
NORMAL CHANCES NEAR THE ORCA BORDER.

&&

.AVIATION...ALONG THE COAST...EXPECT VFR ALONG MOST OF THE COAST
EARLY THIS EVENING. WEAK WINDS NEARSHORE SHOULD ALLOW STRATUS TO
FORM LATE THIS EVENING, BRINGING IFR/LIFR DUE TO CEILINGS.
VISIBILITIES MAY ALSO DROP LATE TONIGHT. INLAND...EXPECT VFR TO
PREVAIL, EXCEPT FOR LOWER VISIBILITIES IN THE AREAS NEAR THE
WILDFIRES.

&&

.MARINE...LIGHT TO MODERATE WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND
AS AN APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WEAKENS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS. A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM
WILL TURN WINDS OUT OF THE SOUTH BY THIS WEEKEND, CREATING A LIGHT
SOUTHERLY CHOP. THE SEA STATE, ON THE OTHER HAND, SHOULD BE
DOMINATED BY MID TO LONGER PERIOD WAVE SYSTEMS THROUGH THE REST OF
THE WEEK. WAVE RIDER BUOYS CURRENTLY SHOW A SPECTRUM OF WAVE SYSTEMS
OUT OF THE NORTHWEST AND SOUTHWEST. EVEN THOUGH THESE DIFFERENT
SWELL TRAINS MAY NOT HAVE MUCH OF AN AFFECT ON MARINERS IN DEEP
WATER THEY WILL CERTAINLY BE NOTICED NEAR THE SURF ZONE. THIS COULD
MEAN BREAKING WAVES OVER SHALLOW WATER SHOALS AND STRONGER CURRENTS
NEARSHORE.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...TEMPERATURES AND RH VALUES WILL REMAIN NEAR
NORMAL THROUGH FRIDAY WHILE SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT KEEPS MOST OF THE
UPPER LEVEL SMOKE MOVING TO THE NORTHEAST. LOWER LEVEL SMOKE WILL
STILL HAVE A HARD TIME DISSIPATING UNTIL FRIDAY WHEN ATTENTION
TURNS TO AN UN-SEASONABLY STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
WHICH WILL IMPACT THE REGION. MID AND UPPER LEVEL WINDS WILL
INCREASE NOTICEABLY ACROSS UPPER SLOPES AND RIDGES FRIDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS UNSEASONABLY STRONG FRONT APPROACHES THE
NORTH COAST. HIGH CLOUDS WILL ALSO MIGRATE OVER THE REGION ON
FRIDAY IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT. FORECAST MODELS COMING IN
ALIGNMENT NOW...DEPICTING WETTING RAIN ACROSS DEL NORTE AND
NORTHERN HUMBOLDT COUNTIES AND LESSER AMOUNTS TO THE SOUTH BY
EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. AT A MINIMUM ALL AREAS WILL SEE MUCH
HIGHER RH VALUES THROUGH MONDAY AND PERHAPS LONGER AS A MORE
TROUGHY NATURE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE PROVIDING MUCH MORE
FAVORABLE WEATHER FOR THE ONGOING FIRES.

&&

.EKA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...NONE.
NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA COASTAL WATERS...NONE.
&&

$$

VISIT US AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/EUREKA

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER AT:
HTTP://WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSEUREKA
HTTP://WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSEUREKA




000
FXUS66 KEKA 262207
AFDEKA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EUREKA CA
307 PM PDT WED AUG 26 2015

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING DRY WEATHER
CONDITIONS TO NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. A FRONT
WILL APPROACH ON FRIDAY AND EVENTUALLY BRING SOME RAIN MAINLY
NORTH OF CAPE MENDOCINO BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.DISCUSSION...STRATUS CLEARED OUT ALONG MUCH OF THE COAST TODAY.
A FEW PATCHES HAVE BEEN LINGERING SOUTH OF THE CAPE THIS
AFTERNOON AND MAY NOT GO AWAY COMPLETELY THIS EVENING. SURFACE
RIDGE AXIS WILL START TO SAG SOUTHEAST OVER THE AREA LATER TONIGHT
INTO THU AND GENERATE LESS ONSHORE FLOW WHICH WILL HELP TO
MINIMIZE STRATUS RE-DEVELOPMENT NORTH OF THE CAPE. SOUTH OF THE
CAPE...THE COVERAGE PROBABLY WILL NOT CHANGE MUCH. FURTHER
INLAND...SKIES WERE MOSTLY CLEAR WITH AFTERNOON BUILD UPS OVER
TRINITY COUNTY  IN RESPONSE TO A WEAK PERTURBATION IN THE
SOUTHWEST FLOW.

AN UPPER LOW PARKED SEVERAL HUNDREAD MILES WEST OF THE OREGON
COAST WILL CONTINUE TO MEANDER AROUND OFFSHORE ON THU LEAVING NW
CALIFORNIA IN DRY SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT. THIS LOW WILL BEGIN TO
INTERACT WITH A SHORT-WAVE TROUGH FROM THE GULF OF AK THU NIGHT
AND FRI. THE GFS...ECMWF...NAM12 AND GEM BRING A WEAKENING FRONT
ONTO THE COAST LATE FRI NIGHT AND THROUGH THE NORTHERN PORTION OF
THE AREA BY EARLY SAT MORNING. THE GFS AND ECMWF CONTINUE TO CRANK
OUT 1 1NCH OF RAINFALL WITH THE FRONT OVER DEL NORTE COUNTY LATE
FRI NIGHT INTO EARLY SAT MORNING. THE NAM HAS ABOUT HALF AN INCH.
THE GFS AND EC MAY BE OVERDONE. IT DOES LOOK LIKE DEL NORTE
COUNTY AND FAR NORTHERN HUMOLDLT COUNTY WILL BE IN STORE FOR A
BRIEF SOAKING. ELSEWHERE...AMOUNTS WILL NOT BE AS MUCH. CURRENTLY
WE HAVE A 60% CHANCE OF WETTING RAIN (0.10IN OR MORE) IN DEL NORTE
COUNTY AND 20-50%`S IN CENTRAL/SOUTHERN HUMBOLDT AND 20-30%`S IN
TRINITY COUNTY. SOME OF THESE NUMBERS WILL NEED TO BE ADJUSTED
UPWARD OR DOWNWARD AS THE EVENT GROWS CLOSER.

SOME SHOWER ACTIVITY MAY LINGER THROUGH THE DAY ON SATURDAY AFTER
SHORT-WAVE TROUGH PASSAGE...ESPECIALLY OVER DEL NORTE COUNTY AND
OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN. THE RAIN DOES NOT LOOK TO BE LONG-LIVED
AT ALL...A FEW HOURS EARLY SAT. THE GFS AND ECMWF SHOW ANOTHER
IMPULSE MOVING TOWARD THE COAST ON SUNDAY. HOWEVER THE LATEST
MODELS DAMPEN-OUT THIS WAVE SIGNIFICANTLY. FOR NOW WILL NOT MAKE
ANY CHANGES TO THE FORECAST FOR SUNDAY. IF THIS DRIER TREND
CONTINUES...PRECIP CHANCES WILL NEED TO BE REDUCED ON SUNDAY.

FROM MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...A BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL
REMAIN OVER THE WEST COAST THROUGH THE PERIOD. MAIN AFFECT FOR NW
CALIFORNIA WILL BE BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN THE INTERIOR WITH
SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR COASTAL AREAS. SEVERAL WEAK
PERTURBATIONS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE LARGER SCALE TROUGH WILL MOVE
INTO THE PAC NW FROM TIME TO TIME. NONE OF THESE SHORTER WAVE
LENGTH FEATURES APPEAR TO BE STRONG ENOUGH TO GENERATE SIGNIFICANT
PRECIP. THE TAIL END OF THESE WAVES MAY GENERATE SOME LIGHT
SHOWERS NEAR THE ORCA BORDER. FOR NOW WILL MAINTAIN NEAR CLIMO
PRECIP CHANCES FOR MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA WITH SLIGHTLY ABOVE
NORMAL CHANCES NEAR THE ORCA BORDER.

&&

.AVIATION...ALONG THE COAST...EXPECT VFR ALONG MOST OF THE COAST
EARLY THIS EVENING. WEAK WINDS NEARSHORE SHOULD ALLOW STRATUS TO
FORM LATE THIS EVENING, BRINGING IFR/LIFR DUE TO CEILINGS.
VISIBILITIES MAY ALSO DROP LATE TONIGHT. INLAND...EXPECT VFR TO
PREVAIL, EXCEPT FOR LOWER VISIBILITIES IN THE AREAS NEAR THE
WILDFIRES.

&&

.MARINE...LIGHT TO MODERATE WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND
AS AN APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WEAKENS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS. A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM
WILL TURN WINDS OUT OF THE SOUTH BY THIS WEEKEND, CREATING A LIGHT
SOUTHERLY CHOP. THE SEA STATE, ON THE OTHER HAND, SHOULD BE
DOMINATED BY MID TO LONGER PERIOD WAVE SYSTEMS THROUGH THE REST OF
THE WEEK. WAVE RIDER BUOYS CURRENTLY SHOW A SPECTRUM OF WAVE SYSTEMS
OUT OF THE NORTHWEST AND SOUTHWEST. EVEN THOUGH THESE DIFFERENT
SWELL TRAINS MAY NOT HAVE MUCH OF AN AFFECT ON MARINERS IN DEEP
WATER THEY WILL CERTAINLY BE NOTICED NEAR THE SURF ZONE. THIS COULD
MEAN BREAKING WAVES OVER SHALLOW WATER SHOALS AND STRONGER CURRENTS
NEARSHORE.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...TEMPERATURES AND RH VALUES WILL REMAIN NEAR
NORMAL THROUGH FRIDAY WHILE SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT KEEPS MOST OF THE
UPPER LEVEL SMOKE MOVING TO THE NORTHEAST. LOWER LEVEL SMOKE WILL
STILL HAVE A HARD TIME DISSIPATING UNTIL FRIDAY WHEN ATTENTION
TURNS TO AN UN-SEASONABLY STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
WHICH WILL IMPACT THE REGION. MID AND UPPER LEVEL WINDS WILL
INCREASE NOTICEABLY ACROSS UPPER SLOPES AND RIDGES FRIDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS UNSEASONABLY STRONG FRONT APPROACHES THE
NORTH COAST. HIGH CLOUDS WILL ALSO MIGRATE OVER THE REGION ON
FRIDAY IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT. FORECAST MODELS COMING IN
ALIGNMENT NOW...DEPICTING WETTING RAIN ACROSS DEL NORTE AND
NORTHERN HUMBOLDT COUNTIES AND LESSER AMOUNTS TO THE SOUTH BY
EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. AT A MINIMUM ALL AREAS WILL SEE MUCH
HIGHER RH VALUES THROUGH MONDAY AND PERHAPS LONGER AS A MORE
TROUGHY NATURE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE PROVIDING MUCH MORE
FAVORABLE WEATHER FOR THE ONGOING FIRES.

&&

.EKA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...NONE.
NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA COASTAL WATERS...NONE.
&&

$$

VISIT US AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/EUREKA

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER AT:
HTTP://WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSEUREKA
HTTP://WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSEUREKA





000
FXUS66 KEKA 262207
AFDEKA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EUREKA CA
307 PM PDT WED AUG 26 2015

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING DRY WEATHER
CONDITIONS TO NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. A FRONT
WILL APPROACH ON FRIDAY AND EVENTUALLY BRING SOME RAIN MAINLY
NORTH OF CAPE MENDOCINO BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.DISCUSSION...STRATUS CLEARED OUT ALONG MUCH OF THE COAST TODAY.
A FEW PATCHES HAVE BEEN LINGERING SOUTH OF THE CAPE THIS
AFTERNOON AND MAY NOT GO AWAY COMPLETELY THIS EVENING. SURFACE
RIDGE AXIS WILL START TO SAG SOUTHEAST OVER THE AREA LATER TONIGHT
INTO THU AND GENERATE LESS ONSHORE FLOW WHICH WILL HELP TO
MINIMIZE STRATUS RE-DEVELOPMENT NORTH OF THE CAPE. SOUTH OF THE
CAPE...THE COVERAGE PROBABLY WILL NOT CHANGE MUCH. FURTHER
INLAND...SKIES WERE MOSTLY CLEAR WITH AFTERNOON BUILD UPS OVER
TRINITY COUNTY  IN RESPONSE TO A WEAK PERTURBATION IN THE
SOUTHWEST FLOW.

AN UPPER LOW PARKED SEVERAL HUNDREAD MILES WEST OF THE OREGON
COAST WILL CONTINUE TO MEANDER AROUND OFFSHORE ON THU LEAVING NW
CALIFORNIA IN DRY SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT. THIS LOW WILL BEGIN TO
INTERACT WITH A SHORT-WAVE TROUGH FROM THE GULF OF AK THU NIGHT
AND FRI. THE GFS...ECMWF...NAM12 AND GEM BRING A WEAKENING FRONT
ONTO THE COAST LATE FRI NIGHT AND THROUGH THE NORTHERN PORTION OF
THE AREA BY EARLY SAT MORNING. THE GFS AND ECMWF CONTINUE TO CRANK
OUT 1 1NCH OF RAINFALL WITH THE FRONT OVER DEL NORTE COUNTY LATE
FRI NIGHT INTO EARLY SAT MORNING. THE NAM HAS ABOUT HALF AN INCH.
THE GFS AND EC MAY BE OVERDONE. IT DOES LOOK LIKE DEL NORTE
COUNTY AND FAR NORTHERN HUMOLDLT COUNTY WILL BE IN STORE FOR A
BRIEF SOAKING. ELSEWHERE...AMOUNTS WILL NOT BE AS MUCH. CURRENTLY
WE HAVE A 60% CHANCE OF WETTING RAIN (0.10IN OR MORE) IN DEL NORTE
COUNTY AND 20-50%`S IN CENTRAL/SOUTHERN HUMBOLDT AND 20-30%`S IN
TRINITY COUNTY. SOME OF THESE NUMBERS WILL NEED TO BE ADJUSTED
UPWARD OR DOWNWARD AS THE EVENT GROWS CLOSER.

SOME SHOWER ACTIVITY MAY LINGER THROUGH THE DAY ON SATURDAY AFTER
SHORT-WAVE TROUGH PASSAGE...ESPECIALLY OVER DEL NORTE COUNTY AND
OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN. THE RAIN DOES NOT LOOK TO BE LONG-LIVED
AT ALL...A FEW HOURS EARLY SAT. THE GFS AND ECMWF SHOW ANOTHER
IMPULSE MOVING TOWARD THE COAST ON SUNDAY. HOWEVER THE LATEST
MODELS DAMPEN-OUT THIS WAVE SIGNIFICANTLY. FOR NOW WILL NOT MAKE
ANY CHANGES TO THE FORECAST FOR SUNDAY. IF THIS DRIER TREND
CONTINUES...PRECIP CHANCES WILL NEED TO BE REDUCED ON SUNDAY.

FROM MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...A BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL
REMAIN OVER THE WEST COAST THROUGH THE PERIOD. MAIN AFFECT FOR NW
CALIFORNIA WILL BE BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN THE INTERIOR WITH
SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR COASTAL AREAS. SEVERAL WEAK
PERTURBATIONS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE LARGER SCALE TROUGH WILL MOVE
INTO THE PAC NW FROM TIME TO TIME. NONE OF THESE SHORTER WAVE
LENGTH FEATURES APPEAR TO BE STRONG ENOUGH TO GENERATE SIGNIFICANT
PRECIP. THE TAIL END OF THESE WAVES MAY GENERATE SOME LIGHT
SHOWERS NEAR THE ORCA BORDER. FOR NOW WILL MAINTAIN NEAR CLIMO
PRECIP CHANCES FOR MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA WITH SLIGHTLY ABOVE
NORMAL CHANCES NEAR THE ORCA BORDER.

&&

.AVIATION...ALONG THE COAST...EXPECT VFR ALONG MOST OF THE COAST
EARLY THIS EVENING. WEAK WINDS NEARSHORE SHOULD ALLOW STRATUS TO
FORM LATE THIS EVENING, BRINGING IFR/LIFR DUE TO CEILINGS.
VISIBILITIES MAY ALSO DROP LATE TONIGHT. INLAND...EXPECT VFR TO
PREVAIL, EXCEPT FOR LOWER VISIBILITIES IN THE AREAS NEAR THE
WILDFIRES.

&&

.MARINE...LIGHT TO MODERATE WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND
AS AN APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WEAKENS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS. A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM
WILL TURN WINDS OUT OF THE SOUTH BY THIS WEEKEND, CREATING A LIGHT
SOUTHERLY CHOP. THE SEA STATE, ON THE OTHER HAND, SHOULD BE
DOMINATED BY MID TO LONGER PERIOD WAVE SYSTEMS THROUGH THE REST OF
THE WEEK. WAVE RIDER BUOYS CURRENTLY SHOW A SPECTRUM OF WAVE SYSTEMS
OUT OF THE NORTHWEST AND SOUTHWEST. EVEN THOUGH THESE DIFFERENT
SWELL TRAINS MAY NOT HAVE MUCH OF AN AFFECT ON MARINERS IN DEEP
WATER THEY WILL CERTAINLY BE NOTICED NEAR THE SURF ZONE. THIS COULD
MEAN BREAKING WAVES OVER SHALLOW WATER SHOALS AND STRONGER CURRENTS
NEARSHORE.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...TEMPERATURES AND RH VALUES WILL REMAIN NEAR
NORMAL THROUGH FRIDAY WHILE SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT KEEPS MOST OF THE
UPPER LEVEL SMOKE MOVING TO THE NORTHEAST. LOWER LEVEL SMOKE WILL
STILL HAVE A HARD TIME DISSIPATING UNTIL FRIDAY WHEN ATTENTION
TURNS TO AN UN-SEASONABLY STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
WHICH WILL IMPACT THE REGION. MID AND UPPER LEVEL WINDS WILL
INCREASE NOTICEABLY ACROSS UPPER SLOPES AND RIDGES FRIDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS UNSEASONABLY STRONG FRONT APPROACHES THE
NORTH COAST. HIGH CLOUDS WILL ALSO MIGRATE OVER THE REGION ON
FRIDAY IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT. FORECAST MODELS COMING IN
ALIGNMENT NOW...DEPICTING WETTING RAIN ACROSS DEL NORTE AND
NORTHERN HUMBOLDT COUNTIES AND LESSER AMOUNTS TO THE SOUTH BY
EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. AT A MINIMUM ALL AREAS WILL SEE MUCH
HIGHER RH VALUES THROUGH MONDAY AND PERHAPS LONGER AS A MORE
TROUGHY NATURE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE PROVIDING MUCH MORE
FAVORABLE WEATHER FOR THE ONGOING FIRES.

&&

.EKA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...NONE.
NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA COASTAL WATERS...NONE.
&&

$$

VISIT US AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/EUREKA

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER AT:
HTTP://WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSEUREKA
HTTP://WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSEUREKA




000
FXUS66 KEKA 262207
AFDEKA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EUREKA CA
307 PM PDT WED AUG 26 2015

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING DRY WEATHER
CONDITIONS TO NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. A FRONT
WILL APPROACH ON FRIDAY AND EVENTUALLY BRING SOME RAIN MAINLY
NORTH OF CAPE MENDOCINO BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.DISCUSSION...STRATUS CLEARED OUT ALONG MUCH OF THE COAST TODAY.
A FEW PATCHES HAVE BEEN LINGERING SOUTH OF THE CAPE THIS
AFTERNOON AND MAY NOT GO AWAY COMPLETELY THIS EVENING. SURFACE
RIDGE AXIS WILL START TO SAG SOUTHEAST OVER THE AREA LATER TONIGHT
INTO THU AND GENERATE LESS ONSHORE FLOW WHICH WILL HELP TO
MINIMIZE STRATUS RE-DEVELOPMENT NORTH OF THE CAPE. SOUTH OF THE
CAPE...THE COVERAGE PROBABLY WILL NOT CHANGE MUCH. FURTHER
INLAND...SKIES WERE MOSTLY CLEAR WITH AFTERNOON BUILD UPS OVER
TRINITY COUNTY  IN RESPONSE TO A WEAK PERTURBATION IN THE
SOUTHWEST FLOW.

AN UPPER LOW PARKED SEVERAL HUNDREAD MILES WEST OF THE OREGON
COAST WILL CONTINUE TO MEANDER AROUND OFFSHORE ON THU LEAVING NW
CALIFORNIA IN DRY SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT. THIS LOW WILL BEGIN TO
INTERACT WITH A SHORT-WAVE TROUGH FROM THE GULF OF AK THU NIGHT
AND FRI. THE GFS...ECMWF...NAM12 AND GEM BRING A WEAKENING FRONT
ONTO THE COAST LATE FRI NIGHT AND THROUGH THE NORTHERN PORTION OF
THE AREA BY EARLY SAT MORNING. THE GFS AND ECMWF CONTINUE TO CRANK
OUT 1 1NCH OF RAINFALL WITH THE FRONT OVER DEL NORTE COUNTY LATE
FRI NIGHT INTO EARLY SAT MORNING. THE NAM HAS ABOUT HALF AN INCH.
THE GFS AND EC MAY BE OVERDONE. IT DOES LOOK LIKE DEL NORTE
COUNTY AND FAR NORTHERN HUMOLDLT COUNTY WILL BE IN STORE FOR A
BRIEF SOAKING. ELSEWHERE...AMOUNTS WILL NOT BE AS MUCH. CURRENTLY
WE HAVE A 60% CHANCE OF WETTING RAIN (0.10IN OR MORE) IN DEL NORTE
COUNTY AND 20-50%`S IN CENTRAL/SOUTHERN HUMBOLDT AND 20-30%`S IN
TRINITY COUNTY. SOME OF THESE NUMBERS WILL NEED TO BE ADJUSTED
UPWARD OR DOWNWARD AS THE EVENT GROWS CLOSER.

SOME SHOWER ACTIVITY MAY LINGER THROUGH THE DAY ON SATURDAY AFTER
SHORT-WAVE TROUGH PASSAGE...ESPECIALLY OVER DEL NORTE COUNTY AND
OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN. THE RAIN DOES NOT LOOK TO BE LONG-LIVED
AT ALL...A FEW HOURS EARLY SAT. THE GFS AND ECMWF SHOW ANOTHER
IMPULSE MOVING TOWARD THE COAST ON SUNDAY. HOWEVER THE LATEST
MODELS DAMPEN-OUT THIS WAVE SIGNIFICANTLY. FOR NOW WILL NOT MAKE
ANY CHANGES TO THE FORECAST FOR SUNDAY. IF THIS DRIER TREND
CONTINUES...PRECIP CHANCES WILL NEED TO BE REDUCED ON SUNDAY.

FROM MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...A BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL
REMAIN OVER THE WEST COAST THROUGH THE PERIOD. MAIN AFFECT FOR NW
CALIFORNIA WILL BE BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN THE INTERIOR WITH
SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR COASTAL AREAS. SEVERAL WEAK
PERTURBATIONS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE LARGER SCALE TROUGH WILL MOVE
INTO THE PAC NW FROM TIME TO TIME. NONE OF THESE SHORTER WAVE
LENGTH FEATURES APPEAR TO BE STRONG ENOUGH TO GENERATE SIGNIFICANT
PRECIP. THE TAIL END OF THESE WAVES MAY GENERATE SOME LIGHT
SHOWERS NEAR THE ORCA BORDER. FOR NOW WILL MAINTAIN NEAR CLIMO
PRECIP CHANCES FOR MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA WITH SLIGHTLY ABOVE
NORMAL CHANCES NEAR THE ORCA BORDER.

&&

.AVIATION...ALONG THE COAST...EXPECT VFR ALONG MOST OF THE COAST
EARLY THIS EVENING. WEAK WINDS NEARSHORE SHOULD ALLOW STRATUS TO
FORM LATE THIS EVENING, BRINGING IFR/LIFR DUE TO CEILINGS.
VISIBILITIES MAY ALSO DROP LATE TONIGHT. INLAND...EXPECT VFR TO
PREVAIL, EXCEPT FOR LOWER VISIBILITIES IN THE AREAS NEAR THE
WILDFIRES.

&&

.MARINE...LIGHT TO MODERATE WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND
AS AN APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WEAKENS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS. A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM
WILL TURN WINDS OUT OF THE SOUTH BY THIS WEEKEND, CREATING A LIGHT
SOUTHERLY CHOP. THE SEA STATE, ON THE OTHER HAND, SHOULD BE
DOMINATED BY MID TO LONGER PERIOD WAVE SYSTEMS THROUGH THE REST OF
THE WEEK. WAVE RIDER BUOYS CURRENTLY SHOW A SPECTRUM OF WAVE SYSTEMS
OUT OF THE NORTHWEST AND SOUTHWEST. EVEN THOUGH THESE DIFFERENT
SWELL TRAINS MAY NOT HAVE MUCH OF AN AFFECT ON MARINERS IN DEEP
WATER THEY WILL CERTAINLY BE NOTICED NEAR THE SURF ZONE. THIS COULD
MEAN BREAKING WAVES OVER SHALLOW WATER SHOALS AND STRONGER CURRENTS
NEARSHORE.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...TEMPERATURES AND RH VALUES WILL REMAIN NEAR
NORMAL THROUGH FRIDAY WHILE SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT KEEPS MOST OF THE
UPPER LEVEL SMOKE MOVING TO THE NORTHEAST. LOWER LEVEL SMOKE WILL
STILL HAVE A HARD TIME DISSIPATING UNTIL FRIDAY WHEN ATTENTION
TURNS TO AN UN-SEASONABLY STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
WHICH WILL IMPACT THE REGION. MID AND UPPER LEVEL WINDS WILL
INCREASE NOTICEABLY ACROSS UPPER SLOPES AND RIDGES FRIDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS UNSEASONABLY STRONG FRONT APPROACHES THE
NORTH COAST. HIGH CLOUDS WILL ALSO MIGRATE OVER THE REGION ON
FRIDAY IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT. FORECAST MODELS COMING IN
ALIGNMENT NOW...DEPICTING WETTING RAIN ACROSS DEL NORTE AND
NORTHERN HUMBOLDT COUNTIES AND LESSER AMOUNTS TO THE SOUTH BY
EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. AT A MINIMUM ALL AREAS WILL SEE MUCH
HIGHER RH VALUES THROUGH MONDAY AND PERHAPS LONGER AS A MORE
TROUGHY NATURE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE PROVIDING MUCH MORE
FAVORABLE WEATHER FOR THE ONGOING FIRES.

&&

.EKA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...NONE.
NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA COASTAL WATERS...NONE.
&&

$$

VISIT US AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/EUREKA

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER AT:
HTTP://WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSEUREKA
HTTP://WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSEUREKA





000
FXUS66 KEKA 261122
AFDEKA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EUREKA CA
422 AM PDT WED AUG 26 2015

.SYNOPSIS...COASTAL LOW CLOUDS AND FOG ARE BLANKETING THE COAST
AGAIN THIS MORNING WITH PARTIAL AFTERNOON CLEARING AGAIN.
INTERIOR LOCATIONS WILL REMAIN CLEAR BUT SMOKEY FOR THE FEW DAYS.
COOLING TEMPERATURES AND CLOUDS WILL ARRIVE ON FRIDAY ALONG WITH
INCREASING CHANCES OF RAIN DURING THE WEEKEND.

&&

.DISCUSSION...LITTLE CHANGE IN THE SHORT TERM WEATHER PATTERN AS A
MODERATELY DEEP MARINE LAYER HUGS THE COAST AND NEAR NORMAL
TEMPERATURES ARE COMMON ACROSS THE INTERIOR ZONES. THIS WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH LATE THURSDAY AND THEN ATTENTION TURNS TO FRIDAY
AS A MAJOR PATTERN CHANGE DEVELOPS. FORECAST MODELS NOW COMING
INTO GOOD AGREEMENT BOTH TEMPORALLY AND SPATIALLY ON THE ADVANCE
OF A SHARP TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE
NORTHWEST CA BEGINNING LATE FRIDAY AND INTO EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING.  AT THIS TIME MODELS ARE DEPICTING LIGHT TO MODERATE
RAIN ACROSS ALL AREAS NORTH OF HIGHWAY 36 AND WITH LIGHTER AMOUNTS
SOUTHWARD. MODELS ARE NOT IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON AMOUNTS OF RAIN BUT
CONFIDENCE IS HIGH THE OROGRAPHICALLY ENHANCED AREAS IN DEL NORTE
AND COASTAL HUMBOLDT COUNTIES WILL SEE THE BRUNT OF RAINFALL. AT A
MINIMUM AT LEAST .25 INCHES SHOULD BE OBSERVED ON A MORE
WIDESPREAD BASIS BUT RAIN PRONE AREAS WILL LIKELY SEE HIGHER
AMOUNTS. A BRIEF BREAK IN THE WEATHER WILL OCCUR LATER ON SATURDAY
BUT THEN ANOTHER WAVE MOVES ACROSS ON SUNDAY PERHAPS PROMOTING
MORE RAINFALL BUT NOT AS MUCH AS EXPECTED ON SATURDAY. BOTH
SYSTEMS ARE MOVING QUITE FAST SO EXACT RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE
HARD TO GAUGE. COOLER AND MORE MOIST CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH NEXT WEEK ACROSS NW CA DUE TO A CONTINUATION OF LOWER
THAN NORMAL HEIGHTS AND THICKNESS ACROSS THE REGION.


&&

.AVIATION...THE COASTAL MARINE LAYER THIS MORNING IS EXPECTED TO
BREAK UP BY EARLY AFTERNOON ALLOWING FOR A PERIOD OF VFR BEFORE THE
LOW CLOUDS AND FOG RETURN TONIGHT. INTERIOR LOCATIONS CAN EXPECT A
VFR DAY APART FROM AREAS OF SMOKE.

&&

.MARINE...WINDS OFFSHORE DECREASED BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA EARLY
THIS MORNING THUS THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES WERE EXPIRED EARLY.
LIGHT TO MODERATE WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS AN
APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WEAKENS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS
THE COASTAL WATERS. A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WITH
TURN WINDS OUT OF THE SOUTH BY THIS WEEKEND CREATING A LIGHT
SOUTHERLY CHOP. THE SEA STATE, ON THE OTHER HAND, SHOULD BE
DOMINATED BY MID TO LONGER PERIOD WAVE SYSTEMS THROUGH THE REST OF
THE WEEK. WAVE RIDER BUOYS CURRENTLY SHOW A SPECTRUM OF WAVE SYSTEMS
OUT OF THE NORTHWEST AND SOUTHWEST. EVEN THOUGH THESE DIFFERENT
SWELL TRAINS MAY NOT HAVE MUCH OF AN AFFECT ON MARINERS IN DEEP
WATER THEY WILL CERTAINLY BE NOTICED NEAR THE SURF ZONE. THIS COULD
MEAN BREAKING WAVES OVER SHALLOW WATER SHOALS AND STRONGER CURRENTS
NEARSHORE. KML


&&

.FIRE WEATHER...TEMPERATURES AND RH VALUES WILL REMAIN NEAR
NORMAL THROUGH FRIDAY WHILE SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT KEEPS MOST OF THE
UPPER LEVEL SMOKE MOVING TO THE NORTHEAST. LOWER LEVEL SMOKE WILL
STILL HAVE A HARD TIME DISSIPATING UNTIL FRIDAY WHEN ATTENTION
TURNS TO AN UN-SEASONABLY STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
WHICH WILL IMPACT THE REGION. MID AND UPPER LEVEL WINDS WILL
INCREASE NOTICEABLY ACROSS UPPER SLOPES AND RIDGES FRIDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS UNSEASONABLY STRONG FRONT APPROACHES THE
NORTH COAST. HIGH CLOUDS WILL ALSO MIGRATE OVER THE REGION ON
FRIDAY IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT. FORECAST MODELS COMING IN
ALIGNMENT NOW...DEPICTING WETTING RAIN ACROSS DEL NORTE AND
NORTHERN HUMBOLDT COUNTIES AND LESSER AMOUNTS TO THE SOUTH BY
EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. AT A MINIMUM ALL AREAS WILL SEE MUCH
HIGHER RH VALUES THROUGH MONDAY AND PERHAPS LONGER AS A MORE
TROUGHY NATURE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE PROVIDING MUCH MORE
FAVORABLE WEATHER FOR THE ONGOING FIRES.


&&

.EKA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...NONE.
NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA COASTAL WATERS...
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 3 AM PDT EARLY THIS MORNING FOR
     PZZ470-475.

&&

$$

VISIT US AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/EUREKA

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER AT:
HTTP://WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSEUREKA
HTTP://WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSEUREKA




000
FXUS66 KEKA 261122
AFDEKA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EUREKA CA
422 AM PDT WED AUG 26 2015

.SYNOPSIS...COASTAL LOW CLOUDS AND FOG ARE BLANKETING THE COAST
AGAIN THIS MORNING WITH PARTIAL AFTERNOON CLEARING AGAIN.
INTERIOR LOCATIONS WILL REMAIN CLEAR BUT SMOKEY FOR THE FEW DAYS.
COOLING TEMPERATURES AND CLOUDS WILL ARRIVE ON FRIDAY ALONG WITH
INCREASING CHANCES OF RAIN DURING THE WEEKEND.

&&

.DISCUSSION...LITTLE CHANGE IN THE SHORT TERM WEATHER PATTERN AS A
MODERATELY DEEP MARINE LAYER HUGS THE COAST AND NEAR NORMAL
TEMPERATURES ARE COMMON ACROSS THE INTERIOR ZONES. THIS WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH LATE THURSDAY AND THEN ATTENTION TURNS TO FRIDAY
AS A MAJOR PATTERN CHANGE DEVELOPS. FORECAST MODELS NOW COMING
INTO GOOD AGREEMENT BOTH TEMPORALLY AND SPATIALLY ON THE ADVANCE
OF A SHARP TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE
NORTHWEST CA BEGINNING LATE FRIDAY AND INTO EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING.  AT THIS TIME MODELS ARE DEPICTING LIGHT TO MODERATE
RAIN ACROSS ALL AREAS NORTH OF HIGHWAY 36 AND WITH LIGHTER AMOUNTS
SOUTHWARD. MODELS ARE NOT IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON AMOUNTS OF RAIN BUT
CONFIDENCE IS HIGH THE OROGRAPHICALLY ENHANCED AREAS IN DEL NORTE
AND COASTAL HUMBOLDT COUNTIES WILL SEE THE BRUNT OF RAINFALL. AT A
MINIMUM AT LEAST .25 INCHES SHOULD BE OBSERVED ON A MORE
WIDESPREAD BASIS BUT RAIN PRONE AREAS WILL LIKELY SEE HIGHER
AMOUNTS. A BRIEF BREAK IN THE WEATHER WILL OCCUR LATER ON SATURDAY
BUT THEN ANOTHER WAVE MOVES ACROSS ON SUNDAY PERHAPS PROMOTING
MORE RAINFALL BUT NOT AS MUCH AS EXPECTED ON SATURDAY. BOTH
SYSTEMS ARE MOVING QUITE FAST SO EXACT RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE
HARD TO GAUGE. COOLER AND MORE MOIST CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH NEXT WEEK ACROSS NW CA DUE TO A CONTINUATION OF LOWER
THAN NORMAL HEIGHTS AND THICKNESS ACROSS THE REGION.


&&

.AVIATION...THE COASTAL MARINE LAYER THIS MORNING IS EXPECTED TO
BREAK UP BY EARLY AFTERNOON ALLOWING FOR A PERIOD OF VFR BEFORE THE
LOW CLOUDS AND FOG RETURN TONIGHT. INTERIOR LOCATIONS CAN EXPECT A
VFR DAY APART FROM AREAS OF SMOKE.

&&

.MARINE...WINDS OFFSHORE DECREASED BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA EARLY
THIS MORNING THUS THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES WERE EXPIRED EARLY.
LIGHT TO MODERATE WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS AN
APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WEAKENS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS
THE COASTAL WATERS. A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WITH
TURN WINDS OUT OF THE SOUTH BY THIS WEEKEND CREATING A LIGHT
SOUTHERLY CHOP. THE SEA STATE, ON THE OTHER HAND, SHOULD BE
DOMINATED BY MID TO LONGER PERIOD WAVE SYSTEMS THROUGH THE REST OF
THE WEEK. WAVE RIDER BUOYS CURRENTLY SHOW A SPECTRUM OF WAVE SYSTEMS
OUT OF THE NORTHWEST AND SOUTHWEST. EVEN THOUGH THESE DIFFERENT
SWELL TRAINS MAY NOT HAVE MUCH OF AN AFFECT ON MARINERS IN DEEP
WATER THEY WILL CERTAINLY BE NOTICED NEAR THE SURF ZONE. THIS COULD
MEAN BREAKING WAVES OVER SHALLOW WATER SHOALS AND STRONGER CURRENTS
NEARSHORE. KML


&&

.FIRE WEATHER...TEMPERATURES AND RH VALUES WILL REMAIN NEAR
NORMAL THROUGH FRIDAY WHILE SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT KEEPS MOST OF THE
UPPER LEVEL SMOKE MOVING TO THE NORTHEAST. LOWER LEVEL SMOKE WILL
STILL HAVE A HARD TIME DISSIPATING UNTIL FRIDAY WHEN ATTENTION
TURNS TO AN UN-SEASONABLY STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
WHICH WILL IMPACT THE REGION. MID AND UPPER LEVEL WINDS WILL
INCREASE NOTICEABLY ACROSS UPPER SLOPES AND RIDGES FRIDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS UNSEASONABLY STRONG FRONT APPROACHES THE
NORTH COAST. HIGH CLOUDS WILL ALSO MIGRATE OVER THE REGION ON
FRIDAY IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT. FORECAST MODELS COMING IN
ALIGNMENT NOW...DEPICTING WETTING RAIN ACROSS DEL NORTE AND
NORTHERN HUMBOLDT COUNTIES AND LESSER AMOUNTS TO THE SOUTH BY
EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. AT A MINIMUM ALL AREAS WILL SEE MUCH
HIGHER RH VALUES THROUGH MONDAY AND PERHAPS LONGER AS A MORE
TROUGHY NATURE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE PROVIDING MUCH MORE
FAVORABLE WEATHER FOR THE ONGOING FIRES.


&&

.EKA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...NONE.
NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA COASTAL WATERS...
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 3 AM PDT EARLY THIS MORNING FOR
     PZZ470-475.

&&

$$

VISIT US AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/EUREKA

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER AT:
HTTP://WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSEUREKA
HTTP://WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSEUREKA





000
FXUS66 KEKA 261122
AFDEKA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EUREKA CA
422 AM PDT WED AUG 26 2015

.SYNOPSIS...COASTAL LOW CLOUDS AND FOG ARE BLANKETING THE COAST
AGAIN THIS MORNING WITH PARTIAL AFTERNOON CLEARING AGAIN.
INTERIOR LOCATIONS WILL REMAIN CLEAR BUT SMOKEY FOR THE FEW DAYS.
COOLING TEMPERATURES AND CLOUDS WILL ARRIVE ON FRIDAY ALONG WITH
INCREASING CHANCES OF RAIN DURING THE WEEKEND.

&&

.DISCUSSION...LITTLE CHANGE IN THE SHORT TERM WEATHER PATTERN AS A
MODERATELY DEEP MARINE LAYER HUGS THE COAST AND NEAR NORMAL
TEMPERATURES ARE COMMON ACROSS THE INTERIOR ZONES. THIS WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH LATE THURSDAY AND THEN ATTENTION TURNS TO FRIDAY
AS A MAJOR PATTERN CHANGE DEVELOPS. FORECAST MODELS NOW COMING
INTO GOOD AGREEMENT BOTH TEMPORALLY AND SPATIALLY ON THE ADVANCE
OF A SHARP TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE
NORTHWEST CA BEGINNING LATE FRIDAY AND INTO EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING.  AT THIS TIME MODELS ARE DEPICTING LIGHT TO MODERATE
RAIN ACROSS ALL AREAS NORTH OF HIGHWAY 36 AND WITH LIGHTER AMOUNTS
SOUTHWARD. MODELS ARE NOT IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON AMOUNTS OF RAIN BUT
CONFIDENCE IS HIGH THE OROGRAPHICALLY ENHANCED AREAS IN DEL NORTE
AND COASTAL HUMBOLDT COUNTIES WILL SEE THE BRUNT OF RAINFALL. AT A
MINIMUM AT LEAST .25 INCHES SHOULD BE OBSERVED ON A MORE
WIDESPREAD BASIS BUT RAIN PRONE AREAS WILL LIKELY SEE HIGHER
AMOUNTS. A BRIEF BREAK IN THE WEATHER WILL OCCUR LATER ON SATURDAY
BUT THEN ANOTHER WAVE MOVES ACROSS ON SUNDAY PERHAPS PROMOTING
MORE RAINFALL BUT NOT AS MUCH AS EXPECTED ON SATURDAY. BOTH
SYSTEMS ARE MOVING QUITE FAST SO EXACT RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE
HARD TO GAUGE. COOLER AND MORE MOIST CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH NEXT WEEK ACROSS NW CA DUE TO A CONTINUATION OF LOWER
THAN NORMAL HEIGHTS AND THICKNESS ACROSS THE REGION.


&&

.AVIATION...THE COASTAL MARINE LAYER THIS MORNING IS EXPECTED TO
BREAK UP BY EARLY AFTERNOON ALLOWING FOR A PERIOD OF VFR BEFORE THE
LOW CLOUDS AND FOG RETURN TONIGHT. INTERIOR LOCATIONS CAN EXPECT A
VFR DAY APART FROM AREAS OF SMOKE.

&&

.MARINE...WINDS OFFSHORE DECREASED BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA EARLY
THIS MORNING THUS THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES WERE EXPIRED EARLY.
LIGHT TO MODERATE WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS AN
APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WEAKENS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS
THE COASTAL WATERS. A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WITH
TURN WINDS OUT OF THE SOUTH BY THIS WEEKEND CREATING A LIGHT
SOUTHERLY CHOP. THE SEA STATE, ON THE OTHER HAND, SHOULD BE
DOMINATED BY MID TO LONGER PERIOD WAVE SYSTEMS THROUGH THE REST OF
THE WEEK. WAVE RIDER BUOYS CURRENTLY SHOW A SPECTRUM OF WAVE SYSTEMS
OUT OF THE NORTHWEST AND SOUTHWEST. EVEN THOUGH THESE DIFFERENT
SWELL TRAINS MAY NOT HAVE MUCH OF AN AFFECT ON MARINERS IN DEEP
WATER THEY WILL CERTAINLY BE NOTICED NEAR THE SURF ZONE. THIS COULD
MEAN BREAKING WAVES OVER SHALLOW WATER SHOALS AND STRONGER CURRENTS
NEARSHORE. KML


&&

.FIRE WEATHER...TEMPERATURES AND RH VALUES WILL REMAIN NEAR
NORMAL THROUGH FRIDAY WHILE SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT KEEPS MOST OF THE
UPPER LEVEL SMOKE MOVING TO THE NORTHEAST. LOWER LEVEL SMOKE WILL
STILL HAVE A HARD TIME DISSIPATING UNTIL FRIDAY WHEN ATTENTION
TURNS TO AN UN-SEASONABLY STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
WHICH WILL IMPACT THE REGION. MID AND UPPER LEVEL WINDS WILL
INCREASE NOTICEABLY ACROSS UPPER SLOPES AND RIDGES FRIDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS UNSEASONABLY STRONG FRONT APPROACHES THE
NORTH COAST. HIGH CLOUDS WILL ALSO MIGRATE OVER THE REGION ON
FRIDAY IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT. FORECAST MODELS COMING IN
ALIGNMENT NOW...DEPICTING WETTING RAIN ACROSS DEL NORTE AND
NORTHERN HUMBOLDT COUNTIES AND LESSER AMOUNTS TO THE SOUTH BY
EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. AT A MINIMUM ALL AREAS WILL SEE MUCH
HIGHER RH VALUES THROUGH MONDAY AND PERHAPS LONGER AS A MORE
TROUGHY NATURE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE PROVIDING MUCH MORE
FAVORABLE WEATHER FOR THE ONGOING FIRES.


&&

.EKA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...NONE.
NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA COASTAL WATERS...
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 3 AM PDT EARLY THIS MORNING FOR
     PZZ470-475.

&&

$$

VISIT US AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/EUREKA

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER AT:
HTTP://WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSEUREKA
HTTP://WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSEUREKA





000
FXUS66 KEKA 261122
AFDEKA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EUREKA CA
422 AM PDT WED AUG 26 2015

.SYNOPSIS...COASTAL LOW CLOUDS AND FOG ARE BLANKETING THE COAST
AGAIN THIS MORNING WITH PARTIAL AFTERNOON CLEARING AGAIN.
INTERIOR LOCATIONS WILL REMAIN CLEAR BUT SMOKEY FOR THE FEW DAYS.
COOLING TEMPERATURES AND CLOUDS WILL ARRIVE ON FRIDAY ALONG WITH
INCREASING CHANCES OF RAIN DURING THE WEEKEND.

&&

.DISCUSSION...LITTLE CHANGE IN THE SHORT TERM WEATHER PATTERN AS A
MODERATELY DEEP MARINE LAYER HUGS THE COAST AND NEAR NORMAL
TEMPERATURES ARE COMMON ACROSS THE INTERIOR ZONES. THIS WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH LATE THURSDAY AND THEN ATTENTION TURNS TO FRIDAY
AS A MAJOR PATTERN CHANGE DEVELOPS. FORECAST MODELS NOW COMING
INTO GOOD AGREEMENT BOTH TEMPORALLY AND SPATIALLY ON THE ADVANCE
OF A SHARP TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE
NORTHWEST CA BEGINNING LATE FRIDAY AND INTO EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING.  AT THIS TIME MODELS ARE DEPICTING LIGHT TO MODERATE
RAIN ACROSS ALL AREAS NORTH OF HIGHWAY 36 AND WITH LIGHTER AMOUNTS
SOUTHWARD. MODELS ARE NOT IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON AMOUNTS OF RAIN BUT
CONFIDENCE IS HIGH THE OROGRAPHICALLY ENHANCED AREAS IN DEL NORTE
AND COASTAL HUMBOLDT COUNTIES WILL SEE THE BRUNT OF RAINFALL. AT A
MINIMUM AT LEAST .25 INCHES SHOULD BE OBSERVED ON A MORE
WIDESPREAD BASIS BUT RAIN PRONE AREAS WILL LIKELY SEE HIGHER
AMOUNTS. A BRIEF BREAK IN THE WEATHER WILL OCCUR LATER ON SATURDAY
BUT THEN ANOTHER WAVE MOVES ACROSS ON SUNDAY PERHAPS PROMOTING
MORE RAINFALL BUT NOT AS MUCH AS EXPECTED ON SATURDAY. BOTH
SYSTEMS ARE MOVING QUITE FAST SO EXACT RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE
HARD TO GAUGE. COOLER AND MORE MOIST CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH NEXT WEEK ACROSS NW CA DUE TO A CONTINUATION OF LOWER
THAN NORMAL HEIGHTS AND THICKNESS ACROSS THE REGION.


&&

.AVIATION...THE COASTAL MARINE LAYER THIS MORNING IS EXPECTED TO
BREAK UP BY EARLY AFTERNOON ALLOWING FOR A PERIOD OF VFR BEFORE THE
LOW CLOUDS AND FOG RETURN TONIGHT. INTERIOR LOCATIONS CAN EXPECT A
VFR DAY APART FROM AREAS OF SMOKE.

&&

.MARINE...WINDS OFFSHORE DECREASED BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA EARLY
THIS MORNING THUS THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES WERE EXPIRED EARLY.
LIGHT TO MODERATE WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS AN
APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WEAKENS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS
THE COASTAL WATERS. A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WITH
TURN WINDS OUT OF THE SOUTH BY THIS WEEKEND CREATING A LIGHT
SOUTHERLY CHOP. THE SEA STATE, ON THE OTHER HAND, SHOULD BE
DOMINATED BY MID TO LONGER PERIOD WAVE SYSTEMS THROUGH THE REST OF
THE WEEK. WAVE RIDER BUOYS CURRENTLY SHOW A SPECTRUM OF WAVE SYSTEMS
OUT OF THE NORTHWEST AND SOUTHWEST. EVEN THOUGH THESE DIFFERENT
SWELL TRAINS MAY NOT HAVE MUCH OF AN AFFECT ON MARINERS IN DEEP
WATER THEY WILL CERTAINLY BE NOTICED NEAR THE SURF ZONE. THIS COULD
MEAN BREAKING WAVES OVER SHALLOW WATER SHOALS AND STRONGER CURRENTS
NEARSHORE. KML


&&

.FIRE WEATHER...TEMPERATURES AND RH VALUES WILL REMAIN NEAR
NORMAL THROUGH FRIDAY WHILE SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT KEEPS MOST OF THE
UPPER LEVEL SMOKE MOVING TO THE NORTHEAST. LOWER LEVEL SMOKE WILL
STILL HAVE A HARD TIME DISSIPATING UNTIL FRIDAY WHEN ATTENTION
TURNS TO AN UN-SEASONABLY STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
WHICH WILL IMPACT THE REGION. MID AND UPPER LEVEL WINDS WILL
INCREASE NOTICEABLY ACROSS UPPER SLOPES AND RIDGES FRIDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS UNSEASONABLY STRONG FRONT APPROACHES THE
NORTH COAST. HIGH CLOUDS WILL ALSO MIGRATE OVER THE REGION ON
FRIDAY IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT. FORECAST MODELS COMING IN
ALIGNMENT NOW...DEPICTING WETTING RAIN ACROSS DEL NORTE AND
NORTHERN HUMBOLDT COUNTIES AND LESSER AMOUNTS TO THE SOUTH BY
EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. AT A MINIMUM ALL AREAS WILL SEE MUCH
HIGHER RH VALUES THROUGH MONDAY AND PERHAPS LONGER AS A MORE
TROUGHY NATURE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE PROVIDING MUCH MORE
FAVORABLE WEATHER FOR THE ONGOING FIRES.


&&

.EKA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...NONE.
NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA COASTAL WATERS...
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 3 AM PDT EARLY THIS MORNING FOR
     PZZ470-475.

&&

$$

VISIT US AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/EUREKA

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER AT:
HTTP://WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSEUREKA
HTTP://WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSEUREKA




000
FXUS66 KEKA 252227
AFDEKA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EUREKA CA
327 PM PDT TUE AUG 25 2015

.SYNOPSIS...COASTAL LOW CLOUDS AND FOG WILL RETURN TONIGHT WITH
PARTIAL AFTERNOON CLEARING AGAIN TOMORROW. INTERIOR LOCATIONS
WILL REMAIN CLEAR FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. COOLING TEMPERATURES
WILL ARRIVE LATE WEEK ALONG WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME LIGHT
RAIN FOR THE WEEKEND.

&&

.DISCUSSION...THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN US IS
EXPECTED TO PERSIST WHILE AN UPPER LEVEL DROPS OUT OF THE GULF OF
ALASKA AND DEEPEN THE TROUGH OFF THE WEST COAST. THIS WILL BRING
FAIRLY PERSISTENT AND NEARLY SEASONABLE CONDITIONS AGAIN ON
WEDNESDAY. THE COAST HAS PARTIALLY CLEARED THIS AFTERNOON...BUT A
RETURN OF MARINE STRATUS IS EXPECTED TONIGHT. THE MARINE LAYER IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN AROUND 1500 FT OR DEEPEN SLIGHTLY. MODELS ARE
INDICATING FAIRLY DECENT CLEARING AT THE COAST AGAIN WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON. INLAND TEMPERATURES MAY COOL A FEW DEGREES AS HEIGHTS
START TO FALL SLIGHTLY AHEAD OF THE TROUGH. MODELS ARE SHOWING THE
MID LEVELS WILL BE FAIRLY WELL CAPPED SO NO CONVECTION IS
EXPECTED. THERE IS A WAVE SHOWING UP IN THE WATER VAPOR SATTELITE JUST
SOUTH OF THE BASE OF THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. MODELS ARE SUGGESTING
THIS WILL JUST GET ABSORBED INTO THE UPPER LEVEL LOW AND STAY WELL
NORTH OF THE AREA. THIS WILL NEED TO BE WATCHED AS MODELS MAY NOT
HANDLE THIS VERY WELL.

THURSDAY AND FRIDAY THIS CUT OFF UPPER LEVEL LOW CONTINUES TO SIT
WELL OFF THE COAST AND SPIN. MODELS ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT
THAT TEMPERATURES WILL START TO GRADUALLY COOL. THERE MAY BE SOME
HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS...BUT THE MODELS ARE INDICATING THE MARINE LAYER
MAY BE PUSHED OFF THE COAST AND COASTAL CLOUDS MAY BE LIMITED.

FRIDAY NIGHT INTO THE WEEKEND MODELS ARE SHOWING A STRONG SYSTEM
DROPPING OUT OF THE ARCTIC AND KICKING THIS CUT OFF LOW OFF TO
THE EAST. MODELS HAVE COME INTO MUCH BETTER AGREEMENT ON THE
TIMING AND LOCATION OF THE RAIN IN OUR AREA...HOWEVER THERE ARE
STILL SOME CONCERNS. THE MAIN ONE BEING THAT THIS STRONG SYSTEM
OVER THE ARCTIC OCEAN HAS NOT FORMED YET. IF THIS SYSTEM IS
SLOWER OR WEAKER TO FORM IT MAY ALLOW THE UPPER LEVEL LOW TO
REMAIN OFF THE COAST AND WE WOULD REMAIN DRY. MODELS STRUGGLE TO
HANDLE SYSTEMS IN THIS REGION SO CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOWER THAN
AVERAGE. MKK

&&

.AVIATION...ALONG THE COAST...WEAK WINDS NEARSHORE THIS EVENING AND
TONIGHT WILL ALLOW PERSISTENT STRATUS TO BRING IFR/LIFR DUE TO
CEILINGS. VISIBILITIES MAY ALSO DROP LATE TONIGHT. INLAND...EXPECT
VFR TO PREVAIL, EXCEPT FOR LOWER VISIBILITIES IN THE AREAS NEAR THE
WILDFIRES.

&&

.MARINE...A TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT HAS CAUSED WINDS
OFFSHORE TO GRADUALLY INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON. A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY WILL REMAIN OUT ACROSS THE OUTER WATERS THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING. THIS WILL BE A LOWER SCALE ADVISORY AS GUSTS ARE EXPECTED
TO BE MARGINAL, REACHING THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 20 KT RANGE. WINDS
WILL DECREASE AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
APPROACHES THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. THERE WILL BE MULTIPLE
DISTURBANCES EMBEDDED IN THE UPPER FLOW WHICH WILL HELP KEEP THE
GRADIENT WEAK THROUGH THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK. WINDS, HOWEVER,
WILL TRANSITION BETWEEN SOUTH AND NORTH BETWEEN DISTURBANCES, BUT
SHOULD REMAIN LIGHT TO MODERATE OVERALL.

INCREASING WINDS HAVE KICKED UP A LIGHT NORTHERLY CHOP ACROSS THE
OUTER WATERS TODAY. OTHERWISE THE SEA STATE WILL BE DOMINATED BY MID
TO LONGER PERIOD WAVE SYSTEMS. WAVE RIDER BUOYS CURRENTLY SHOW A
SPECTRUM OF WAVE SYSTEMS OUT OF THE NORTHWEST RANGING FROM LOWER TO
MID PERIODS. A SOUTHERLY SWELL HAS BUILT ACROSS THE WATERS TODAY
WITH A LARGER NORTHWESTERLY SWELL FORECAST TO ARRIVE LATE THIS
WEEKEND. EVEN THOUGH THESE DIFFERENT SWELL TRAINS MAY NOT HAVE MUCH
OF AN AFFECT ON MARINERS IN DEEP WATER THEY WILL CERTAINLY BE
NOTICED NEAR THE SURF ZONE. THIS COULD MEAN BREAKING WAVES OVER
SHALLOW WATER SHOALS AND STRONGER CURRENTS NEARSHORE.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...THE PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN FAIRLY
CONSISTENT OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. RECOVERIES OVER THE RIDGES
WILL BE SIMILAR TO LAST NIGHT. RH RECOVERIES AND AFTERNOON MIN RH
WILL START TO INCREASE SLIGHTLY EACH DAY AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW
OFF THE COAST STARTS TO SLOWLY MOVE TOWARDS THE AREA. THIS MAY
INCREASE THE INSTABILITY AND MIXING WHICH COULD HELP MIX OUT THE
VALLEY INVERSIONS...BUT THE MID LEVEL CAP LOOKS TO KEEP ANY
CONVECTION OUT OF THE AREA. FRIDAY THE COOLING AND MOISTENING
TREND WILL CONTINUE...ALTHOUGH IT MAY BE GRADUAL ESPECIALLY IN THE
SOUTH. FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY IT IS STARTING TO LOOK LIKE WE
WILL SEE SOME RAIN...MAINLY IN THE NORTHERN AREAS. CURRENT MODELS
HAVE COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT...HOWEVER THERE ARE STILL SOME BIG
QUESTION MARKS ON THE SYSTEM. IF IT MOVES FARTHER NORTH WE COULD
JUST SEE WINDY...DRY AND COOLER CONDITIONS. THE BEST CHANCE OF
WETTING RAIN LOOKS TO BE ALONG THE OREGON BORDER. MKK

&&

.EKA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...NONE.
NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA COASTAL WATERS...
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 3 AM PDT WEDNESDAY FOR PZZ470.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM PDT WEDNESDAY FOR PZZ475.

&&

$$

VISIT US AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/EUREKA

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER AT:
HTTP://WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSEUREKA
HTTP://WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSEUREKA





000
FXUS66 KEKA 252227
AFDEKA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EUREKA CA
327 PM PDT TUE AUG 25 2015

.SYNOPSIS...COASTAL LOW CLOUDS AND FOG WILL RETURN TONIGHT WITH
PARTIAL AFTERNOON CLEARING AGAIN TOMORROW. INTERIOR LOCATIONS
WILL REMAIN CLEAR FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. COOLING TEMPERATURES
WILL ARRIVE LATE WEEK ALONG WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME LIGHT
RAIN FOR THE WEEKEND.

&&

.DISCUSSION...THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN US IS
EXPECTED TO PERSIST WHILE AN UPPER LEVEL DROPS OUT OF THE GULF OF
ALASKA AND DEEPEN THE TROUGH OFF THE WEST COAST. THIS WILL BRING
FAIRLY PERSISTENT AND NEARLY SEASONABLE CONDITIONS AGAIN ON
WEDNESDAY. THE COAST HAS PARTIALLY CLEARED THIS AFTERNOON...BUT A
RETURN OF MARINE STRATUS IS EXPECTED TONIGHT. THE MARINE LAYER IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN AROUND 1500 FT OR DEEPEN SLIGHTLY. MODELS ARE
INDICATING FAIRLY DECENT CLEARING AT THE COAST AGAIN WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON. INLAND TEMPERATURES MAY COOL A FEW DEGREES AS HEIGHTS
START TO FALL SLIGHTLY AHEAD OF THE TROUGH. MODELS ARE SHOWING THE
MID LEVELS WILL BE FAIRLY WELL CAPPED SO NO CONVECTION IS
EXPECTED. THERE IS A WAVE SHOWING UP IN THE WATER VAPOR SATTELITE JUST
SOUTH OF THE BASE OF THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. MODELS ARE SUGGESTING
THIS WILL JUST GET ABSORBED INTO THE UPPER LEVEL LOW AND STAY WELL
NORTH OF THE AREA. THIS WILL NEED TO BE WATCHED AS MODELS MAY NOT
HANDLE THIS VERY WELL.

THURSDAY AND FRIDAY THIS CUT OFF UPPER LEVEL LOW CONTINUES TO SIT
WELL OFF THE COAST AND SPIN. MODELS ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT
THAT TEMPERATURES WILL START TO GRADUALLY COOL. THERE MAY BE SOME
HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS...BUT THE MODELS ARE INDICATING THE MARINE LAYER
MAY BE PUSHED OFF THE COAST AND COASTAL CLOUDS MAY BE LIMITED.

FRIDAY NIGHT INTO THE WEEKEND MODELS ARE SHOWING A STRONG SYSTEM
DROPPING OUT OF THE ARCTIC AND KICKING THIS CUT OFF LOW OFF TO
THE EAST. MODELS HAVE COME INTO MUCH BETTER AGREEMENT ON THE
TIMING AND LOCATION OF THE RAIN IN OUR AREA...HOWEVER THERE ARE
STILL SOME CONCERNS. THE MAIN ONE BEING THAT THIS STRONG SYSTEM
OVER THE ARCTIC OCEAN HAS NOT FORMED YET. IF THIS SYSTEM IS
SLOWER OR WEAKER TO FORM IT MAY ALLOW THE UPPER LEVEL LOW TO
REMAIN OFF THE COAST AND WE WOULD REMAIN DRY. MODELS STRUGGLE TO
HANDLE SYSTEMS IN THIS REGION SO CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOWER THAN
AVERAGE. MKK

&&

.AVIATION...ALONG THE COAST...WEAK WINDS NEARSHORE THIS EVENING AND
TONIGHT WILL ALLOW PERSISTENT STRATUS TO BRING IFR/LIFR DUE TO
CEILINGS. VISIBILITIES MAY ALSO DROP LATE TONIGHT. INLAND...EXPECT
VFR TO PREVAIL, EXCEPT FOR LOWER VISIBILITIES IN THE AREAS NEAR THE
WILDFIRES.

&&

.MARINE...A TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT HAS CAUSED WINDS
OFFSHORE TO GRADUALLY INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON. A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY WILL REMAIN OUT ACROSS THE OUTER WATERS THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING. THIS WILL BE A LOWER SCALE ADVISORY AS GUSTS ARE EXPECTED
TO BE MARGINAL, REACHING THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 20 KT RANGE. WINDS
WILL DECREASE AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
APPROACHES THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. THERE WILL BE MULTIPLE
DISTURBANCES EMBEDDED IN THE UPPER FLOW WHICH WILL HELP KEEP THE
GRADIENT WEAK THROUGH THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK. WINDS, HOWEVER,
WILL TRANSITION BETWEEN SOUTH AND NORTH BETWEEN DISTURBANCES, BUT
SHOULD REMAIN LIGHT TO MODERATE OVERALL.

INCREASING WINDS HAVE KICKED UP A LIGHT NORTHERLY CHOP ACROSS THE
OUTER WATERS TODAY. OTHERWISE THE SEA STATE WILL BE DOMINATED BY MID
TO LONGER PERIOD WAVE SYSTEMS. WAVE RIDER BUOYS CURRENTLY SHOW A
SPECTRUM OF WAVE SYSTEMS OUT OF THE NORTHWEST RANGING FROM LOWER TO
MID PERIODS. A SOUTHERLY SWELL HAS BUILT ACROSS THE WATERS TODAY
WITH A LARGER NORTHWESTERLY SWELL FORECAST TO ARRIVE LATE THIS
WEEKEND. EVEN THOUGH THESE DIFFERENT SWELL TRAINS MAY NOT HAVE MUCH
OF AN AFFECT ON MARINERS IN DEEP WATER THEY WILL CERTAINLY BE
NOTICED NEAR THE SURF ZONE. THIS COULD MEAN BREAKING WAVES OVER
SHALLOW WATER SHOALS AND STRONGER CURRENTS NEARSHORE.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...THE PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN FAIRLY
CONSISTENT OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. RECOVERIES OVER THE RIDGES
WILL BE SIMILAR TO LAST NIGHT. RH RECOVERIES AND AFTERNOON MIN RH
WILL START TO INCREASE SLIGHTLY EACH DAY AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW
OFF THE COAST STARTS TO SLOWLY MOVE TOWARDS THE AREA. THIS MAY
INCREASE THE INSTABILITY AND MIXING WHICH COULD HELP MIX OUT THE
VALLEY INVERSIONS...BUT THE MID LEVEL CAP LOOKS TO KEEP ANY
CONVECTION OUT OF THE AREA. FRIDAY THE COOLING AND MOISTENING
TREND WILL CONTINUE...ALTHOUGH IT MAY BE GRADUAL ESPECIALLY IN THE
SOUTH. FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY IT IS STARTING TO LOOK LIKE WE
WILL SEE SOME RAIN...MAINLY IN THE NORTHERN AREAS. CURRENT MODELS
HAVE COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT...HOWEVER THERE ARE STILL SOME BIG
QUESTION MARKS ON THE SYSTEM. IF IT MOVES FARTHER NORTH WE COULD
JUST SEE WINDY...DRY AND COOLER CONDITIONS. THE BEST CHANCE OF
WETTING RAIN LOOKS TO BE ALONG THE OREGON BORDER. MKK

&&

.EKA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...NONE.
NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA COASTAL WATERS...
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 3 AM PDT WEDNESDAY FOR PZZ470.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM PDT WEDNESDAY FOR PZZ475.

&&

$$

VISIT US AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/EUREKA

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER AT:
HTTP://WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSEUREKA
HTTP://WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSEUREKA




000
FXUS66 KEKA 252227
AFDEKA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EUREKA CA
327 PM PDT TUE AUG 25 2015

.SYNOPSIS...COASTAL LOW CLOUDS AND FOG WILL RETURN TONIGHT WITH
PARTIAL AFTERNOON CLEARING AGAIN TOMORROW. INTERIOR LOCATIONS
WILL REMAIN CLEAR FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. COOLING TEMPERATURES
WILL ARRIVE LATE WEEK ALONG WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME LIGHT
RAIN FOR THE WEEKEND.

&&

.DISCUSSION...THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN US IS
EXPECTED TO PERSIST WHILE AN UPPER LEVEL DROPS OUT OF THE GULF OF
ALASKA AND DEEPEN THE TROUGH OFF THE WEST COAST. THIS WILL BRING
FAIRLY PERSISTENT AND NEARLY SEASONABLE CONDITIONS AGAIN ON
WEDNESDAY. THE COAST HAS PARTIALLY CLEARED THIS AFTERNOON...BUT A
RETURN OF MARINE STRATUS IS EXPECTED TONIGHT. THE MARINE LAYER IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN AROUND 1500 FT OR DEEPEN SLIGHTLY. MODELS ARE
INDICATING FAIRLY DECENT CLEARING AT THE COAST AGAIN WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON. INLAND TEMPERATURES MAY COOL A FEW DEGREES AS HEIGHTS
START TO FALL SLIGHTLY AHEAD OF THE TROUGH. MODELS ARE SHOWING THE
MID LEVELS WILL BE FAIRLY WELL CAPPED SO NO CONVECTION IS
EXPECTED. THERE IS A WAVE SHOWING UP IN THE WATER VAPOR SATTELITE JUST
SOUTH OF THE BASE OF THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. MODELS ARE SUGGESTING
THIS WILL JUST GET ABSORBED INTO THE UPPER LEVEL LOW AND STAY WELL
NORTH OF THE AREA. THIS WILL NEED TO BE WATCHED AS MODELS MAY NOT
HANDLE THIS VERY WELL.

THURSDAY AND FRIDAY THIS CUT OFF UPPER LEVEL LOW CONTINUES TO SIT
WELL OFF THE COAST AND SPIN. MODELS ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT
THAT TEMPERATURES WILL START TO GRADUALLY COOL. THERE MAY BE SOME
HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS...BUT THE MODELS ARE INDICATING THE MARINE LAYER
MAY BE PUSHED OFF THE COAST AND COASTAL CLOUDS MAY BE LIMITED.

FRIDAY NIGHT INTO THE WEEKEND MODELS ARE SHOWING A STRONG SYSTEM
DROPPING OUT OF THE ARCTIC AND KICKING THIS CUT OFF LOW OFF TO
THE EAST. MODELS HAVE COME INTO MUCH BETTER AGREEMENT ON THE
TIMING AND LOCATION OF THE RAIN IN OUR AREA...HOWEVER THERE ARE
STILL SOME CONCERNS. THE MAIN ONE BEING THAT THIS STRONG SYSTEM
OVER THE ARCTIC OCEAN HAS NOT FORMED YET. IF THIS SYSTEM IS
SLOWER OR WEAKER TO FORM IT MAY ALLOW THE UPPER LEVEL LOW TO
REMAIN OFF THE COAST AND WE WOULD REMAIN DRY. MODELS STRUGGLE TO
HANDLE SYSTEMS IN THIS REGION SO CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOWER THAN
AVERAGE. MKK

&&

.AVIATION...ALONG THE COAST...WEAK WINDS NEARSHORE THIS EVENING AND
TONIGHT WILL ALLOW PERSISTENT STRATUS TO BRING IFR/LIFR DUE TO
CEILINGS. VISIBILITIES MAY ALSO DROP LATE TONIGHT. INLAND...EXPECT
VFR TO PREVAIL, EXCEPT FOR LOWER VISIBILITIES IN THE AREAS NEAR THE
WILDFIRES.

&&

.MARINE...A TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT HAS CAUSED WINDS
OFFSHORE TO GRADUALLY INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON. A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY WILL REMAIN OUT ACROSS THE OUTER WATERS THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING. THIS WILL BE A LOWER SCALE ADVISORY AS GUSTS ARE EXPECTED
TO BE MARGINAL, REACHING THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 20 KT RANGE. WINDS
WILL DECREASE AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
APPROACHES THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. THERE WILL BE MULTIPLE
DISTURBANCES EMBEDDED IN THE UPPER FLOW WHICH WILL HELP KEEP THE
GRADIENT WEAK THROUGH THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK. WINDS, HOWEVER,
WILL TRANSITION BETWEEN SOUTH AND NORTH BETWEEN DISTURBANCES, BUT
SHOULD REMAIN LIGHT TO MODERATE OVERALL.

INCREASING WINDS HAVE KICKED UP A LIGHT NORTHERLY CHOP ACROSS THE
OUTER WATERS TODAY. OTHERWISE THE SEA STATE WILL BE DOMINATED BY MID
TO LONGER PERIOD WAVE SYSTEMS. WAVE RIDER BUOYS CURRENTLY SHOW A
SPECTRUM OF WAVE SYSTEMS OUT OF THE NORTHWEST RANGING FROM LOWER TO
MID PERIODS. A SOUTHERLY SWELL HAS BUILT ACROSS THE WATERS TODAY
WITH A LARGER NORTHWESTERLY SWELL FORECAST TO ARRIVE LATE THIS
WEEKEND. EVEN THOUGH THESE DIFFERENT SWELL TRAINS MAY NOT HAVE MUCH
OF AN AFFECT ON MARINERS IN DEEP WATER THEY WILL CERTAINLY BE
NOTICED NEAR THE SURF ZONE. THIS COULD MEAN BREAKING WAVES OVER
SHALLOW WATER SHOALS AND STRONGER CURRENTS NEARSHORE.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...THE PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN FAIRLY
CONSISTENT OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. RECOVERIES OVER THE RIDGES
WILL BE SIMILAR TO LAST NIGHT. RH RECOVERIES AND AFTERNOON MIN RH
WILL START TO INCREASE SLIGHTLY EACH DAY AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW
OFF THE COAST STARTS TO SLOWLY MOVE TOWARDS THE AREA. THIS MAY
INCREASE THE INSTABILITY AND MIXING WHICH COULD HELP MIX OUT THE
VALLEY INVERSIONS...BUT THE MID LEVEL CAP LOOKS TO KEEP ANY
CONVECTION OUT OF THE AREA. FRIDAY THE COOLING AND MOISTENING
TREND WILL CONTINUE...ALTHOUGH IT MAY BE GRADUAL ESPECIALLY IN THE
SOUTH. FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY IT IS STARTING TO LOOK LIKE WE
WILL SEE SOME RAIN...MAINLY IN THE NORTHERN AREAS. CURRENT MODELS
HAVE COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT...HOWEVER THERE ARE STILL SOME BIG
QUESTION MARKS ON THE SYSTEM. IF IT MOVES FARTHER NORTH WE COULD
JUST SEE WINDY...DRY AND COOLER CONDITIONS. THE BEST CHANCE OF
WETTING RAIN LOOKS TO BE ALONG THE OREGON BORDER. MKK

&&

.EKA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...NONE.
NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA COASTAL WATERS...
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 3 AM PDT WEDNESDAY FOR PZZ470.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM PDT WEDNESDAY FOR PZZ475.

&&

$$

VISIT US AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/EUREKA

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER AT:
HTTP://WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSEUREKA
HTTP://WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSEUREKA





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