Home > Products > Valid Products > AFD

000
FXUS64 KEPZ 310956
AFDEPZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
355 AM MDT FRI OCT 31 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A TROUGH ALOFT HAS SPREAD HIGHER CLOUDS TO THE BORDERLAND THIS
MORNING...AND COMBINED WITH A WEAK COOL FRONT PUSHING THROUGH THE
AREA...WILL GIVE THE AREA A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. A POWERFUL PACIFIC STORM MOVING ON TO THE
WEST COAST WILL GRADUALLY APPROACH THE AREA SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. AS
THE UPPER LOW MOVES OVER NEVADA SATURDAY NIGHT IT WILL CAPTURE SOME
TROPICAL MOISTURE AND BRING IT UP OVER NEW MEXICO AND WEST
TEXAS...WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS BY SATURDAY NIGHT THE RESULT.
THE CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE SUNDAY AND MONDAY AS THE
SYSTEM EVENTUALLY MOVES OVER NEW NEW MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM WILL ALSO
PRODUCE A WINDY AFTERNOON ON SUNDAY. BY LATE MONDAY NIGHT AND
TUESDAY MORNING THE SYSTEM WILL FINALLY MOVE EAST OF THE AREA AND
ALLOW THE SKIES TO CLEAR. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN NEAR NORMAL
THROUGH MONDAY AND THEN COOL DOWN BELOW NORMAL TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
IT`S BEEN A FRUSTRATING COUPLE OF DAYS ATTEMPTING TO WORK WITH THE
MODELS AND THEIR CONSTANT FLUCTUATING IN THE MID/LONG RANGE. IN THE
SHORT TERM THINGS REMAIN FAIRLY CONSTANT. UPPER RIDGE HAS NOW PUSHED
EAST OF THE AREA AS UPPER TROUGH MAKES IT`S WAY TOWARD NEW MEXICO.
HIGH CLOUDS HAVE SPREAD IN WITH THIS FEATURE INTERMITTENTLY ACROSS
THE AREA. AT THE SURFACE BACK DOOR COOL FRONT HAS PUSHED INTO MUCH
OF THE CWA. GUSTY WEST SLOPE WINDS HAVE ACCOMPANIED THE FRONT.
MESONET OBS SHOW PEAK WINDS OF 35-45 MPH ALONG THE WEST SLOPES OF
THE FRANKLIN MOUNTAINS LATE LAST NIGHT AND EARLY THIS MORNING. SOME
INCREASE IN LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TODAY WITH THE FRONT AND
COMBINED WITH THE UPPER TROUGH SHOULD TURN AIRMASS WEAKLY UNSTABLE
FOR A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
BEFORE THE TROUGH PASSES EAST OF THE AREA. BEST CHANCE PROBABLY
REMAINS WEST OF THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY.

LATEST RUNS OF THE VARIOUS MODELS NOW IN CLOSE AGREEMENT IN ON
INCOMING POWERFUL PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM BUT HAVE YET AGAIN DEVIATED
SOME FROM PREVIOUS PROGS. MODELS SHOWING UPPER TROUGH OF STORM OVER
CALIFORNIA/NEVADA BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON...THEN OVER NW ARIZONA BY
SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THE TROUGH WILL BEGIN SCOOPING UP SOME TROPICAL
MOISTURE SATURDAY NIGHT SO SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS
BEGINNING OVER THE AREA AT THAT TIME AND INCREASING SOME ON SUNDAY.
WINDS WILL INCREASE INTO WINDY CATEGORY SUNDAY AFTERNOON BUT CLOUDS
SHOULD LIMIT MIXING PUSHING WINDS ANY HIGHER. UPPER LOW MOVES NEAR
THE FOUR CORNERS REGION MONDAY MORNING. AFTER THIS MODELS BEGIN
DIVERGING AGAIN. GFS KEEPS LOW/TROUGH PROGRESSIVE...MOVING THE
TROUGH EAST OF THE AREA AND ENDING PRECIP/CLOUDS. ECMWF/CMC BOTH
HAVE TROUGH MORE POSITIVELY TILTED AND CUT OFF LOW OVER NORTHERN
MEXICO TUESDAY...THUS KEEPING THE CLOUDS AND PRECIP AROUND LONGER.
ECMWF ACTUALLY MOVES THE CUT OFF LOW NORTH OVER NEW MEXICO
THURSDAY...KEEPING PRECIP AROUND LONG AFTER THE OTHER MODELS HAVE
ENDED IT. WENT WITH GFS SOLUTION...THOUGH CMC SOLUTION LOOKS
PLAUSIBLE TOO. DESPITE "SIDE DOOR" COOL FRONT PUSHING IN EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING...SNOW LEVELS SHOULD STAY ABOVE ALL BUT THE HIGHEST
PEAKS OF THE BLACK RANGE AND SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS.

&&

AVIATION...VALID 31/12Z-31/12Z...
VFR EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD. SCT-BKN200 SEP LAYERS TO FL320.
DVLPG AFT 20Z...SCT-BKN120 WITH ISOLD -TSRA BKN100CB...MAINLY WEST
OF THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY. SURFACE WINDS EAST 10-20 KTS. GUSTS TO 35
KTS ALONG WEST SLOPES OF TERRAIN AND THROUGH PASSES.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
UPPER TROUGH MOVING OVER NEW MEXICO TODAY WITH SOME HIGHER CLOUDS.
BACK DOOR COOL FRONT AT THE SURFACE SLIDING WEST OVER MOST OF THE
FIRE ZONES THROUGH TODAY...INCREASING SURFACE MOISTURE. THIS WILL
TURN THE ATMOSPHERE SLIGHTLY UNSTABLE...AND COMBINED WITH THE UPPER
TROUGH...GIVE THE AREA A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE BEST CHANCE WILL BE WEST OF THE RIO
GRANDE VALLEY. BREEZY EAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TODAY BEFORE TAPERING
OFF SOME TONIGHT. A POWERFUL STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE FROM THE PACIFIC
OVER THE WEST COAST SATURDAY...OVER ARIZONA SUNDAY AND TO EASTERN
NEW MEXICO MONDAY NIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY TAP INTO SOME
TROPICAL MOISTURE AND SPREAD THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS TO
MUCH OF THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL ALSO
INCREASE WINDS FOR THE WEEKEND...SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH ON
SATURDAY AND THEN SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH ON SUNDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
EL PASO                 73  54  78  58  79 /   0   0   0  10  10
SIERRA BLANCA           71  53  76  51  78 /   0   0   0  10   0
LAS CRUCES              72  49  77  55  78 /   0   0   0  10  10
ALAMOGORDO              71  52  76  54  75 /   0   0   0   0  10
CLOUDCROFT              55  35  59  38  58 /  10   0  10   0  10
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES   67  51  73  52  76 /   0  10   0   0  10
SILVER CITY             67  47  71  49  73 /  20  10   0   0  20
DEMING                  71  48  77  50  78 /   0  10   0   0  20
LORDSBURG               71  47  76  49  76 /  10  10   0   0  20
WEST EL PASO METRO      73  53  78  58  80 /   0   0   0  10  10
DELL CITY               68  47  74  53  78 /   0   0   0  10   0
FORT HANCOCK            73  53  80  57  80 /   0   0   0  10   0
LOMA LINDA              70  55  74  55  78 /   0   0   0  10  10
FABENS                  73  48  79  56  79 /   0   0   0  10  10
SANTA TERESA            72  50  78  55  79 /   0   0   0  10  10
WHITE SANDS HQ          71  52  77  57  79 /   0   0   0  10  10
JORNADA RANGE           71  39  76  45  79 /   0   0   0   0  10
HATCH                   71  44  77  50  79 /   0   0   0   0  10
COLUMBUS                72  52  78  52  78 /   0  10   0   0  10
OROGRANDE               71  53  77  57  79 /   0   0   0  10  10
MAYHILL                 61  40  64  43  64 /  10   0  10  10  10
MESCALERO               61  37  62  39  66 /  10   0  10   0  10
TIMBERON                60  37  63  42  68 /  10   0  10  10  10
WINSTON                 65  43  69  44  69 /  20  20  10   0  10
HILLSBORO               68  50  74  53  77 /   0  10   0   0  10
SPACEPORT               70  45  75  49  78 /   0   0   0   0  10
LAKE ROBERTS            66  41  72  43  74 /  20  20  10   0  20
HURLEY                  69  47  72  48  74 /  20  10   0   0  20
CLIFF                   69  35  74  39  75 /  10  20   0   0  20
MULE CREEK              67  33  73  38  71 /  10  20   0   0  20
FAYWOOD                 69  50  76  51  78 /  20  10   0   0  20
ANIMAS                  71  49  77  49  75 /  10  10   0   0  10
HACHITA                 72  47  79  51  78 /  10  10   0   0  20
ANTELOPE WELLS          72  47  76  48  77 /  20  10   0   0  10
CLOVERDALE              72  50  74  52  74 /  10  10   0   0  20

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

HEFNER










000
FXUS64 KEPZ 302100
AFDEPZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
300 PM MDT THU OCT 30 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT OVER THE BORDERLAND WILL START TO MOVE
EASTWARD AND WEAKEN FRIDAY AS A MINOR TROUGH ALOFT MOVES ACROSS
SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO FRIDAY EVENING AND SATURDAY. MEANWHILE...A
BACKDOOR COLD FRONT WILL PUSH WESTWARD INTO OR AREA TONIGHT AND
FRIDAY DROPPING TEMPERATURES SOME 5 TO 8 DEGREES. THIS FRONT WILL
PRODUCE LOCALLY BREEZY EASTERLY WINDS ESPECIALLY WEST OF AREA
MOUNTAINS LATER TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. THE UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE WILL BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND EVEN A
THUNDERSTORM MAINLY OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO
LATER FRIDAY AND EARLY SATURDAY. THIS TROUGH WILL QUICKLY MOVE
EAST OF THE AREA SATURDAY AFTERNOON PUSHED BY ANOTHER STRONGER
PACIFIC TROUGH. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING BREEZY SOUTHERLY WINDS ON
SATURDAY AND WEST SOUTHWEST WINDS IN THE WINDY CATEGORY FOR
SUNDAY. ADDITIONAL MOISTURE WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA BY SUNDAY
NIGHT OVER MOST OF SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AND FAR WEST TEXAS TO
PRODUCE SLIGHT CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY INTO TUESDAY
MORNING. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN AROUND NORMAL THROUGH SUNDAY
THEN DROP TO BELOW NORMAL FOR MOST OF NEXT WEEK AS THE UPPER
TROUGH SLOWLY MOVES OUT OF THE AREA BY MIDWEEK.



&&

.DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK...BUT MID/LONG TERM FORECAST
HAS CHANGED SIGNIFICANTLY FROM YESTERDAY. PREVIOUS RUNS HAD GFS
AND CANADIAN MODELS FAIRLY PROGRESSIVE WITH THE EURO FORMING AND
CLOSED LOW TO OUR SOUTHWEST WRAPPING THE MOISTURE AND PROLONGING
THE PRECIP IN OUR AREA PAST MID WEEK. HOWEVER...THE 12Z RUNS OF
THE THREE MODELS ARE IN BETTER AGREEMENT NOW WITH A MORE
PROGRESSIVE SOLUTION (WHICH BASED ON THE PRESENT UPPER WAVE
PATTERN SEEMS VERY REASONABLE) AND PUSHES THE MOISTURE OUT BY
TUESDAY. THE EURO HAS GONE FROM A CLOSED LOW TO AN OPEN TROUGH BUT
REMAINS ABOUT 12-24 HOURS LATER ON TROPA VS THE GFS BUT AT THE
SAME TIMES NOW PUSHED THE PRECIP EASTWARD BY TUESDAY.

THE MID/HI CLOUDS FROM THE FIRST MINOR UPPER DISTURBANCE (NOW OVER
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA AT 21Z) WILL ARRIVE IN OUR AREA THIS EVENING
MOVING OVER A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT WHICH WILL PUSH WESTWARD
TONIGHT DRIVEN BY A FAIRLY STRONG SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT.MODERATE
TO STRONG LOW LEVEL FLOW BEHIND THIS FRONT COULD PRODUCE WIND
GUSTS FROM 30 TO 40 MPH AT TIMES LOCALLY ON WEST SLOPES AND
THROUGH PASSES AND CANYONS CONTINUING INTO FRIDAY EVENING.

MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW A SLIGHT RISK FOR SOME SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LATER FRIDAY INTO EARLY SATURDAY AND MAINLY OVER THE
MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AND THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF OF
THE CWA. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD MOVE EAST OUT OF THE AREA BY
SATURDAY AFTERNOON AS THE MINOR TROUGH MOVES EAST. SURFACE WINDS
SHOULD VEER BECOMING MORE SOUTHERLY ON SATURDAY IN THE BREEZY
CATEGORY (15-25) MPH AS THE NEXT STRONGER SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM
THE WEST.

AS MENTIONED ABOVE...MODELS ARE NOW IN MUCH BETTER AGREEMENT ON
THE 12Z RUNS AND BECOME MORE PROGRESSIVE BRINGING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS INTO THE AREA LATER SUNDAY INTO MONDAY THEN
PUSHING IT EASTWARD BY TUESDAY. TEMPS WILL THEN FALL BELOW NORMAL
MY MIDWEEK (AROUND 5 TO 10 DEGREES) WITH THIS STRONGER SYSTEM. THIS
LARGER TROUGH WILL ALSO INDUCE A FAIRLY GOOD LEE SURFACE TROUGH
IN EASTERN COLORADO AND NEW MEXICO SUNDAY AND THE SURFACE
PRESSURE GRADIENT TOGETHER WITH STRONGER WINDS ALOFT (35 TO 45
KNOTS AT 700 MB) WILL ALLOW WINDS TO GUST INTO THE WINDY CATEGORY
SUNDAY. IT`S BEEN ABOUT TWO WEEKS SINCE ANY SIGNIFICANT
PRECIPITATION SO SOME PATCHES OF BLOWING DUST MAY ALSO BE POSSIBLE
ON SUNDAY.


&&

AVIATION...VALID 30/00Z - 31/00Z...
VFR AT ALL TERMINALS THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH SOME INCREASING HIGH
CLOUDS OVERNIGHT. LIGHT WINDS WILL INCREASE ABOVE 10 KNOT OUT OF THE
EAST AFTER 03Z TONIGHT OVER THE LOWLANDS AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES IN
OVER THE SOUTHERN GREAT PLAINS. WINDS WILL BE LIGHTER AND MORE
VARIABLE AT TCS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
SURFACE HIGH BUILDING SOUTHWARD OVER THE GREAT PLANS WILL BRING A
SHIFT TO STEADIER EASTERLY FLOW OVERNIGHT...AND TEMPERATURES A FEW
DEGREES COOLER FOR FRIDAY AFTERNOON. A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE
MAY BRING A FEW SPOTTY SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS TO THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS IN SW NEW MEXICO TOMORROW AFTERNOON/EVENING.

A MORE POWERFUL UPPER TROUGH WILL APPROACH THE AREA SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY...WITH WINDS SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AND THEN SOUTHWEST. WINDS
MAY GUST ABOVE 20 MPH LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON IN SW NEW MEXICO...AND
GUSTY WINDS WILL BE COMMON ON SUNDAY AHEAD OF THE MAIN TROUGH AS
WELL. INCREASING MOISTURE BOTH AT THE LOW LEVELS AND ALOFT WILL LEAD
TO ANOTHER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA LATER SUNDAY AND
SUNDAY NIGHT.

&&


.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
EL PASO                 52  73  54  78  58 /   0   0   0   0   0
SIERRA BLANCA           50  71  53  76  58 /   0  10   0   0   0
LAS CRUCES              47  72  51  77  55 /   0   0   0   0   0
ALAMOGORDO              47  71  52  76  54 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLOUDCROFT              31  54  34  58  36 /   0  10   0  10   0
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES   46  67  51  73  54 /   0   0  10   0   0
SILVER CITY             45  68  47  72  49 /   0  20  10   0   0
DEMING                  45  71  48  77  50 /   0   0  10   0   0
LORDSBURG               44  71  47  76  49 /   0  10  10   0   0
WEST EL PASO METRO      51  73  53  78  58 /   0   0   0   0   0
DELL CITY               44  68  47  74  53 /   0  10   0   0   0
FORT HANCOCK            51  73  53  80  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
LOMA LINDA              52  71  54  75  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
FABENS                  46  73  48  79  56 /   0   0   0   0   0
SANTA TERESA            47  72  52  79  55 /   0   0   0   0   0
WHITE SANDS HQ          49  71  52  77  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
JORNADA RANGE           35  71  41  76  45 /   0   0   0   0   0
HATCH                   43  71  46  77  50 /   0   0   0   0   0
COLUMBUS                50  72  52  78  52 /   0   0  10   0   0
OROGRANDE               49  71  53  77  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
MAYHILL                 35  61  39  64  42 /   0  10   0  10   0
MESCALERO               32  61  36  62  38 /   0  10   0  10   0
TIMBERON                33  60  36  63  41 /   0  10   0  10   0
WINSTON                 39  65  42  69  44 /   0  20  20  10   0
HILLSBORO               44  69  49  75  53 /   0   0  10   0   0
SPACEPORT               41  70  45  75  49 /   0   0   0   0   0
LAKE ROBERTS            42  66  41  72  43 /   0  20  20  10   0
HURLEY                  44  70  46  73  48 /   0  20  10   0   0
CLIFF                   33  69  39  74  38 /   0  10  20  10   0
MULE CREEK              29  68  36  74  37 /   0  10  20  10   0
FAYWOOD                 47  70  49  77  51 /   0  20  10   0   0
ANIMAS                  46  71  49  77  49 /   0  10  10   0   0
HACHITA                 44  72  47  79  51 /   0  10  10   0   0
ANTELOPE WELLS          45  72  47  76  48 /   0  20  10   0   0
CLOVERDALE              48  73  49  75  52 /   0  10  10   0   0

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

20/25 NOVLAN / HARDIMAN







000
FXUS64 KEPZ 301608
AFDEPZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1008 AM MDT THU OCT 30 2014

.UPDATE...
UPDATED FORECAST TO TEST OFFICE BACK-UP CAPABILITIES.

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 349 AM MDT THU OCT 30 2014/

SYNOPSIS...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST WILL GIVE
THE BORDERLAND ONE MORE PLEASANT DAY WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES
BEFORE MORE ACTIVE WEATHER TAKES OVER. A WEAKENING TROUGH ALOFT WILL
MOVE OVER THE AREA FRIDAY AND WITH SOME INCREASE IN MOISTURE...GIVE
THE AREA A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. THIS TROUGH QUICKLY MOVES
EAST OF THE AREA SATURDAY AS A MORE POWERFUL UPPER TROUGH MOVES IN
OFF THE PACIFIC. THIS WILL INCREASE THE WINDS A BIT ON SATURDAY AND
THEN MORE ON SUNDAY...BECOMING WINDY AND PERHAPS A BIT DUSTY BY
SUNDAY AFTERNOON. WITH STRONG SOUTHERLY MID LEVEL WINDS AHEAD OF
THIS TROUGH ADDITIONAL MOISTURE WILL BEGIN MOVING TOWARD THE AREA.
BY SUNDAY NIGHT ENOUGH MOISTURE WILL BE IN PLACE OVER THE LOWLANDS
OF SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS TO PRODUCE ANOTHER SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY INTO TUESDAY MORNING. TEMPERATURES
WILL REMAIN AROUND NORMAL. HOWEVER A COOL FRONT WILL PUSH WEST
THROUGH MUCH OF THE BORDERLAND TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AND DROP
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.

DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM FORECAST STILL LOOKS ON TRACK...BUT MID/LONG TERM
FORECAST HAS CHANGED SIGNIFICANTLY FROM YESTERDAY...NOT SURPRISING
GIVEN MODEL DIFFICULTIES WITH OPEN TROUGH/CLOSED AND CUTOFF LOWS AND
TROPICAL MOISTURE ADVECTION. WE SHOULD SEE ANOTHER PLEASANT DAY
TODAY AS THE UPPER RIDGE PERSISTS OVER US. INCOMING WEAKENING TROUGH
HAS PUSHED HIGHER CLOUDS TO THE BAJA AND SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA EARLY
THIS MORNING AND THOSE CLOUDS SHOULD REACH THE WESTERN CWA LATE THIS
EVENING. AT THE SURFACE A BACKDOOR COOL FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE
EASTERN CWA EARLY THIS EVENING AND REACH AT LEAST THE CONT DIVIDE BY
FRIDAY MORNING. MODERATE TO STRONG LOW LEVEL FLOW BEHIND THIS FRONT
SUGGESTS SOME DECENT WIND GUST POTENTIAL (30-35 MPH) FOR WEST SLOPES
OF TERRAIN AND PUT THESE IN THE FORECAST FOR TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.

MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW INCREASE IN MOISTURE... MOSTLY NEAR THE
SURFACE AND ABOVE 500MB ON FRIDAY. THIS WILL HELP WITH SLIGHT
INSTABILITY AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY
AFTERNOON/EVENING. BEST CHANCE WILL BE WEST OF THE RIO GRANDE
VALLEY. LOOKING AT PROG SOUNDINGS DOES NOT LOOK PROMISING AT ALL FOR
THE EASTERN CWA BUT LEAVE LOW POPS IN THERE. UPPER TROUGH SHOULD BE
EAST OF THE AREA BY LATE FRIDAY NIGHT AS MUCH MORE POWERFUL UPPER
TROUGH MOVING IN OFF THE PACIFIC WILL THEN DRIVE THE WEATHER OVER
THE WEEKEND INTO THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK. TROUGH MOVES ONSHORE
OF THE WEST COAST FRIDAY EVENING AND OVER THE INTER MOUNTAIN REGION
BY SATURDAY NIGHT. MODELS HAVE DIVERGED SIGNIFICANTLY FROM YESTERDAY
ON THIS TROUGH BEHAVIOR. GFS/CMC ARE MUCH MORE PROGRESSIVE WITH THE
TROUGH NOW...MOVING IT TO FAR WESTERN NEW MEXICO MONDAY AFTERNOON
AND THEN TROUGH THE CWA BY MID DAY TUESDAY. THE ECMWF REMAINS THE
OUTLIER AND KEEPS THE MUCH SLOWER CLOSED OFF LOW SOLUTION. WILL
CONTINUE PREVIOUS TREND OF FOLLOWING THE GFS SOLUTION.

TROUGH IMPACTS...STRONG MID LEVEL WINDS WILL BEGIN MOVING OVER THE
AREA SATURDAY. THIS WILL HELP TURN SURFACE WINDS MORE SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST AND BRING TEMPERATURES BACK TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL AFTER
A COOL FRIDAY. BY SUNDAY THE STRONGEST MID LEVELS WINDS WILL REACH
THE AREA AND SWING THE SURFACE WINDS MORE WEST. EXPECT WINDS INTO
THE WINDY CATEGORY WITH MID LEVEL WINDS MAXING OUT AT ABOUT 35-50
KTS. THAT COULD APPROACH WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA BUT CLOUDS IN THE
AREA WILL LIKELY INHIBIT STRONG MIXING AND LACK OF STRONG SURFACE
PRESSURE GRADIENT CONTINUES IN THE MODELS. GFS CONTINUES TO SHOW
SOME OF THE TROPICAL MOISTURE MOVING UP OVER THE SOUTHERN CWA.
COMBINED WITH A STRONG 100 KT JET AND RRQ OVER THIS AREA...A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE. THIS WILL CONTINUE ON MONDAY AS
ADDITIONAL TROPICAL MOISTURE STREAMS UP JUST AHEAD OF THE UPPER
TROUGH. THE PROGRESSIVE TROUGH SHOULD LIMIT THE CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA EAST OF THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY. WITH THE
TROUGH PASSAGE MID DAY TUESDAY RAIN CHANCES WILL END. OTHER CHANGE
IS WITH THE UPPER FLOW NOW NORTHERLY...THE STRONG BACK DOOR FRONT
DOES NOT MATERIALIZE...INSTEAD A WEAKER SIDE DOOR FRONT FROM THE
NORTH DROPS OVER THE AREA. STILL GOOD COOLING FOR TUESDAY/WEDNESDAY
BUT MUCH DRIER AIR MOVING IN TO HELP END THE SHOWERS. EXPECT HIGHS
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY TO BE ABOUT 5-10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL.

AVIATION...VALID 30/12Z-31/12Z...
VFR ALL TERMINALS THROUGH THE PERIOD. P6SM SKC...WITH INCREASING
LAYERS FL200 AND ABOVE SPREADING WEST TO EAST AFTER 06Z.

FIRE WEATHER...
UPPER RIDGE OVER DESERT SOUTHWEST WILL SLIDE EAST OF THE FIRE ZONES
BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON AS A WEAKENING UPPER TROUGH MOVES OVER NEW
MEXICO FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. AT THE SURFACE A BACK DOOR COOL
FRONT PUSHES IN FROM THE EAST AND ACROSS MOST OF THE ZONES BY
FRIDAY MORNING. THIS WILL INCREASE MOISTURE SOME AND SLIGHTLY
DESTABILIZE THE ATMOSPHERE. THIS COMBINATION WILL BRING A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY/FRIDAY NIGHT...WITH THE BEST SHOT
FROM DEMING WEST. A MORE POWERFUL UPPER TROUGH MOVES IN FROM THE
PACIFIC TO THE INTER MOUNTAIN REGION SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. THIS
WILL INCREASE WINDS AND BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON WINDS OF 20-30 MPH WITH
HIGHER GUSTS ARE EXPECTED. THE TROUGH MOVES OVER NEW MEXICO MONDAY
NIGHT AND TUESDAY...ALLOWING WINDY CONDITIONS TO DIMINISH ON MONDAY.
TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL SURGE NORTHEAST JUST AHEAD OF THE UPPER
TROUGH. THIS WILL BRING ANOTHER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA
SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY OVER THE SOUTHERN DESERT. THE CHANCES WILL
CONTINUE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY MORNING...MAINLY OVER WEST TEXAS ZONES.

MIN RH`S FOR THE LOWLANDS WILL RANGE FROM 20-30% TODAY THROUGH
SUNDAY...EXCEPT IN THE 30S FRIDAY. MIN RH`S FOR THE MOUNTAIN ZONES
WILL RANGE FROM 25-35% THROUGH SUNDAY...EXCEPT IN THE 40S FRIDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
EL PASO                 52  73  54  78  58 /   0   0   0   0   0
SIERRA BLANCA           50  71  53  76  58 /   0   0   0   0   0
LAS CRUCES              47  72  51  77  55 /   0   0   0   0   0
ALAMOGORDO              47  71  52  76  54 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLOUDCROFT              31  54  34  58  36 /   0  10   0  10   0
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES   46  67  51  73  54 /   0   0  10   0   0
SILVER CITY             45  68  47  72  49 /   0  20  10   0   0
DEMING                  45  71  48  77  50 /   0   0  10   0   0
LORDSBURG               44  71  47  76  49 /   0  10  10   0   0
WEST EL PASO METRO      51  73  53  78  58 /   0   0   0   0   0
DELL CITY               44  68  47  74  53 /   0  10   0   0   0
FORT HANCOCK            51  73  53  80  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
LOMA LINDA              52  71  54  75  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
FABENS                  46  73  48  79  56 /   0   0   0   0   0
SANTA TERESA            47  72  52  79  55 /   0   0   0   0   0
WHITE SANDS HQ          49  71  52  77  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
JORNADA RANGE           35  71  41  76  45 /   0   0   0   0   0
HATCH                   43  71  46  77  50 /   0   0   0   0   0
COLUMBUS                50  72  52  78  52 /   0   0  10   0   0
OROGRANDE               49  71  53  77  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
MAYHILL                 35  61  39  64  42 /   0  10   0  10   0
MESCALERO               32  61  36  62  38 /   0  10   0  10   0
TIMBERON                33  60  36  63  41 /   0  10   0  10   0
WINSTON                 39  65  42  69  44 /   0  20  20  10   0
HILLSBORO               44  69  49  75  53 /   0   0  10   0   0
SPACEPORT               41  70  45  75  49 /   0   0   0   0   0
LAKE ROBERTS            42  66  41  72  43 /   0  20  20  10   0
HURLEY                  44  70  46  73  48 /   0  20  10   0   0
CLIFF                   33  69  39  74  38 /   0  10  20  10   0
MULE CREEK              29  68  36  74  37 /   0  10  20  10   0
FAYWOOD                 47  70  49  77  51 /   0  20  10   0   0
ANIMAS                  46  71  49  77  49 /   0  10  10   0   0
HACHITA                 44  72  47  79  51 /   0  10  10   0   0
ANTELOPE WELLS          45  72  47  76  48 /   0  20  10   0   0
CLOVERDALE              48  73  49  75  52 /   0  10  10   0   0

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

99/99










000
FXUS64 KEPZ 300950
AFDEPZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
349 AM MDT THU OCT 30 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST WILL GIVE
THE BORDERLAND ONE MORE PLEASANT DAY WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES
BEFORE MORE ACTIVE WEATHER TAKES OVER. A WEAKENING TROUGH ALOFT WILL
MOVE OVER THE AREA FRIDAY AND WITH SOME INCREASE IN MOISTURE...GIVE
THE AREA A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. THIS TROUGH QUICKLY MOVES
EAST OF THE AREA SATURDAY AS A MORE POWERFUL UPPER TROUGH MOVES IN
OFF THE PACIFIC. THIS WILL INCREASE THE WINDS A BIT ON SATURDAY AND
THEN MORE ON SUNDAY...BECOMING WINDY AND PERHAPS A BIT DUSTY BY
SUNDAY AFTERNOON. WITH STRONG SOUTHERLY MID LEVEL WINDS AHEAD OF
THIS TROUGH ADDITIONAL MOISTURE WILL BEGIN MOVING TOWARD THE AREA.
BY SUNDAY NIGHT ENOUGH MOISTURE WILL BE IN PLACE OVER THE LOWLANDS
OF SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS TO PRODUCE ANOTHER SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY INTO TUESDAY MORNING. TEMPERATURES
WILL REMAIN AROUND NORMAL. HOWEVER A COOL FRONT WILL PUSH WEST
THROUGH MUCH OF THE BORDERLAND TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AND DROP
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM FORECAST STILL LOOKS ON TRACK...BUT MID/LONG TERM
FORECAST HAS CHANGED SIGNIFICANTLY FROM YESTERDAY...NOT SURPRISING
GIVEN MODEL DIFFICULTIES WITH OPEN TROUGH/CLOSED AND CUTOFF LOWS AND
TROPICAL MOISTURE ADVECTION. WE SHOULD SEE ANOTHER PLEASANT DAY
TODAY AS THE UPPER RIDGE PERSISTS OVER US. INCOMING WEAKENING TROUGH
HAS PUSHED HIGHER CLOUDS TO THE BAJA AND SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA EARLY
THIS MORNING AND THOSE CLOUDS SHOULD REACH THE WESTERN CWA LATE THIS
EVENING. AT THE SURFACE A BACKDOOR COOL FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE
EASTERN CWA EARLY THIS EVENING AND REACH AT LEAST THE CONT DIVIDE BY
FRIDAY MORNING. MODERATE TO STRONG LOW LEVEL FLOW BEHIND THIS FRONT
SUGGESTS SOME DECENT WIND GUST POTENTIAL (30-35 MPH) FOR WEST SLOPES
OF TERRAIN AND PUT THESE IN THE FORECAST FOR TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.

MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW INCREASE IN MOISTURE... MOSTLY NEAR THE
SURFACE AND ABOVE 500MB ON FRIDAY. THIS WILL HELP WITH SLIGHT
INSTABILITY AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY
AFTERNOON/EVENING. BEST CHANCE WILL BE WEST OF THE RIO GRANDE
VALLEY. LOOKING AT PROG SOUNDINGS DOES NOT LOOK PROMISING AT ALL FOR
THE EASTERN CWA BUT LEAVE LOW POPS IN THERE. UPPER TROUGH SHOULD BE
EAST OF THE AREA BY LATE FRIDAY NIGHT AS MUCH MORE POWERFUL UPPER
TROUGH MOVING IN OFF THE PACIFIC WILL THEN DRIVE THE WEATHER OVER
THE WEEKEND INTO THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK. TROUGH MOVES ONSHORE
OF THE WEST COAST FRIDAY EVENING AND OVER THE INTER MOUNTAIN REGION
BY SATURDAY NIGHT. MODELS HAVE DIVERGED SIGNIFICANTLY FROM YESTERDAY
ON THIS TROUGH BEHAVIOR. GFS/CMC ARE MUCH MORE PROGRESSIVE WITH THE
TROUGH NOW...MOVING IT TO FAR WESTERN NEW MEXICO MONDAY AFTERNOON
AND THEN TROUGH THE CWA BY MID DAY TUESDAY. THE ECMWF REMAINS THE
OUTLIER AND KEEPS THE MUCH SLOWER CLOSED OFF LOW SOLUTION. WILL
CONTINUE PREVIOUS TREND OF FOLLOWING THE GFS SOLUTION.

TROUGH IMPACTS...STRONG MID LEVEL WINDS WILL BEGIN MOVING OVER THE
AREA SATURDAY. THIS WILL HELP TURN SURFACE WINDS MORE SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST AND BRING TEMPERATURES BACK TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL AFTER
A COOL FRIDAY. BY SUNDAY THE STRONGEST MID LEVELS WINDS WILL REACH
THE AREA AND SWING THE SURFACE WINDS MORE WEST. EXPECT WINDS INTO
THE WINDY CATEGORY WITH MID LEVEL WINDS MAXING OUT AT ABOUT 35-50
KTS. THAT COULD APPROACH WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA BUT CLOUDS IN THE
AREA WILL LIKELY INHIBIT STRONG MIXING AND LACK OF STRONG SURFACE
PRESSURE GRADIENT CONTINUES IN THE MODELS. GFS CONTINUES TO SHOW
SOME OF THE TROPICAL MOISTURE MOVING UP OVER THE SOUTHERN CWA.
COMBINED WITH A STRONG 100 KT JET AND RRQ OVER THIS AREA...A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE. THIS WILL CONTINUE ON MONDAY AS
ADDITIONAL TROPICAL MOISTURE STREAMS UP JUST AHEAD OF THE UPPER
TROUGH. THE PROGRESSIVE TROUGH SHOULD LIMIT THE CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA EAST OF THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY. WITH THE
TROUGH PASSAGE MID DAY TUESDAY RAIN CHANCES WILL END. OTHER CHANGE
IS WITH THE UPPER FLOW NOW NORTHERLY...THE STRONG BACK DOOR FRONT
DOES NOT MATERIALIZE...INSTEAD A WEAKER SIDE DOOR FRONT FROM THE
NORTH DROPS OVER THE AREA. STILL GOOD COOLING FOR TUESDAY/WEDNESDAY
BUT MUCH DRIER AIR MOVING IN TO HELP END THE SHOWERS. EXPECT HIGHS
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY TO BE ABOUT 5-10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION...VALID 30/12Z-31/12Z...
VFR ALL TERMINALS THROUGH THE PERIOD. P6SM SKC...WITH INCREASING
LAYERS FL200 AND ABOVE SPREADING WEST TO EAST AFTER 06Z.

.FIRE WEATHER...
UPPER RIDGE OVER DESERT SOUTHWEST WILL SLIDE EAST OF THE FIRE ZONES
BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON AS A WEAKENING UPPER TROUGH MOVES OVER NEW
MEXICO FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. AT THE SURFACE A BACK DOOR COOL
FRONT PUSHES IN FROM THE EAST AND ACROSS MOST OF THE ZONES BY
FRIDAY MORNING. THIS WILL INCREASE MOISTURE SOME AND SLIGHTLY
DESTABILIZE THE ATMOSPHERE. THIS COMBINATION WILL BRING A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY/FRIDAY NIGHT...WITH THE BEST SHOT
FROM DEMING WEST. A MORE POWERFUL UPPER TROUGH MOVES IN FROM THE
PACIFIC TO THE INTER MOUNTAIN REGION SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. THIS
WILL INCREASE WINDS AND BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON WINDS OF 20-30 MPH WITH
HIGHER GUSTS ARE EXPECTED. THE TROUGH MOVES OVER NEW MEXICO MONDAY
NIGHT AND TUESDAY...ALLOWING WINDY CONDITIONS TO DIMINISH ON MONDAY.
TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL SURGE NORTHEAST JUST AHEAD OF THE UPPER
TROUGH. THIS WILL BRING ANOTHER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA
SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY OVER THE SOUTHERN DESERT. THE CHANCES WILL
CONTINUE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY MORNING...MAINLY OVER WEST TEXAS ZONES.

MIN RH`S FOR THE LOWLANDS WILL RANGE FROM 20-30% TODAY THROUGH
SUNDAY...EXCEPT IN THE 30S FRIDAY. MIN RH`S FOR THE MOUNTAIN ZONES
WILL RANGE FROM 25-35% THROUGH SUNDAY...EXCEPT IN THE 40S FRIDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
EL PASO                 79  52  73  54  78 /   0   0   0   0   0
SIERRA BLANCA           76  50  71  53  76 /   0   0   0   0   0
LAS CRUCES              77  47  72  51  77 /   0   0   0   0   0
ALAMOGORDO              76  47  71  52  76 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLOUDCROFT              62  31  54  34  58 /   0   0  10   0  10
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES   73  46  67  51  73 /   0   0   0  10   0
SILVER CITY             73  45  68  47  72 /   0   0  20  10   0
DEMING                  78  45  71  48  77 /   0   0   0  10   0
LORDSBURG               77  44  71  47  76 /   0   0  10  10   0
WEST EL PASO METRO      78  51  73  53  78 /   0   0   0   0   0
DELL CITY               78  44  68  47  74 /   0   0  10   0   0
FORT HANCOCK            80  51  73  53  80 /   0   0   0   0   0
LOMA LINDA              76  52  71  54  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
FABENS                  79  46  73  48  79 /   0   0   0   0   0
SANTA TERESA            78  47  72  52  79 /   0   0   0   0   0
WHITE SANDS HQ          77  49  71  52  77 /   0   0   0   0   0
JORNADA RANGE           77  35  71  41  76 /   0   0   0   0   0
HATCH                   77  43  71  46  77 /   0   0   0   0   0
COLUMBUS                79  50  72  52  78 /   0   0   0  10   0
OROGRANDE               77  49  71  53  77 /   0   0   0   0   0
MAYHILL                 67  35  61  39  64 /   0   0  10   0  10
MESCALERO               67  32  61  36  62 /   0   0  10   0  10
TIMBERON                66  33  60  36  63 /   0   0  10   0  10
WINSTON                 70  39  65  42  69 /   0   0  20  20  10
HILLSBORO               74  44  69  49  75 /   0   0   0  10   0
SPACEPORT               75  41  70  45  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
LAKE ROBERTS            72  42  66  41  72 /   0   0  20  20  10
HURLEY                  76  44  70  46  73 /   0   0  20  10   0
CLIFF                   76  33  69  39  74 /   0   0  10  20  10
MULE CREEK              74  29  68  36  74 /   0   0  10  20  10
FAYWOOD                 75  47  70  49  77 /   0   0  20  10   0
ANIMAS                  78  46  71  49  77 /   0   0  10  10   0
HACHITA                 79  44  72  47  79 /   0   0  10  10   0
ANTELOPE WELLS          79  45  72  47  76 /   0   0  20  10   0
CLOVERDALE              78  48  73  49  75 /   0   0  10  10   0

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

HEFNER










000
FXUS64 KEPZ 292105
AFDEPZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
305 PM MDT WED OCT 29 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION AGAIN FOR THURSDAY KEEPING
THE BORDERLAND SEASONAL AND DRY. FRIDAY THE WEATHER PATTERN BEGINS
TO BREAK DOWN AS A LARGE WEST COAST BEGINS TO APPROACH FROM THE
WEST. ADDITIONAL CLOUDS WILL MOVE IN AS WILL A COLD FRONT FROM THE
EAST. THIS WILL MEAN INCREASED CLOUDS AND EVEN A FEW STORMS WEST
AND SPRINKLES EAST. IN ADDITION...THE FRONT WILL BRING WINDY AND
GUSTY CONDITIONS TO THE REGION FRIDAY AND FRIDAY EVENING...MAKING
THE EVENING TRICK-OR-TREAT CHILLY. THE TROUGH WILL SWING THROUGH
SUNDAY AND BRING WINDY SOUTHWEST WINDS TO THE REGION. MOST OF THE
REGION WILL REMAIN DRY...BUT A SMALL AMOUNT OF MOISTURE COMBINED
WITH THE PASSING TROUGH WILL LIKELY PRODUCE ISOLATED LIGHT SHOWERS
AND FEW THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
FOR THE SHORT TERM...TONIGHT-THURSDAY-THURSDAY NIGHT-FRIDAY
MORNING...THE REGIONS WEATHER WILL BE DOMINATED BY HIGH PRESSURE
ALOFT. THIS MEANS TYPICAL FALL WEATHER CONDITIONS WITH MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES (W/ A FEW HIGH CLOUDS)...SEASONAL TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES...LIGHT WINDS. NOTHING MORE NEEDS TO BE SAID.
EASY ENOUGH!

THE PATTERN BEGINS TO EVOLVE FRIDAY AS THE UPPER RIDGE SLIDES E IN
RESPONSE TO AN APPROACHING WEST COAST UPPER TROUGH. THIS TURN OUR
WINDS SOUTHWEST AND ALLOW FOR SOME INCREASED HIGH CLOUDS. AT THE
SURFACE WE WILL SEE THE FIRST OF TWO COLD FRONTS THAT WILL PUSH
INTO THE AREA. THIS FIRST ONE COMES FROM THE EAST AND DOES INCLUDE
SOME SURFACE-BASED MOISTURE. TO THE EAST FRIDAY WE SHOULD SEE MORE
COOLING AND LOW-LEVEL CLOUDS...AND MAYBE SOME SPRINKLES. TO THE
WEST A BIT MORE UNSTABLE WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS WEST OF THE RIO GRAND OVER THE GILA AND BOOTHEEL
AREAS OF NEW MEXICO. MOST LOCATIONS WILL LIKELY NOT SEE ANY
RAIN...BUT MOST LOCATIONS WILL HAVE A SLIGHT RISK OF SUCH.

SATURDAY AND SUNDAY WE CONTINUE UNDER THE SOUTHWEST FLOW ON THE
FRONT SIDE OF THE UPPER TROUGH. THIS KEEPS THE REGION WITH SOME
HIGH-LEVEL MOISTURE AND UPPER CLOUDS. IN ADDITION THERE WILL BE
SOME IMPULSES MOVE OVER WITH AN UPPER JET OVERHEAD TO HELP ADD
SOME INSTABILITY. DURING THIS PERIOD TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND AND
BE UP AT OR ABOVE NORMAL. WE`LL SEE A MIX OF SUN AND CLOUDS. WINDS
WILL BE THE BIGGER STORY. BREEZY ON SATURDAY...FROM S TO SW AND
WINDY ON SUNDAY FROM THE SW. SATURDAY SPEEDS WILL BE IN THE 15 TO
20 G25 MPH AREA...SUNDAY SHOULD BE 20 TO 30 WITH GUSTS UP TO 40-45
MPH.

MONDAY THE UPPER TROUGH AXIS BEGINS TO PASS EAST ACROSS THE AREA.
THIS WILL KEEP US WITH SLIGHT RISK OF PCPN...BUT AGAIN...IT WILL
BE SLIGHT AND LIKELY FOCUS OVER THE SW ZONES WHERE THE DEEPER
PLUME OF MOISTURE WILL RESIDE.

EARLY TUESDAY THE TROUGH EXITS AND SWEEPS THE MOISTURE EAST. ON
THE BACKSIDE A SECOND COLD FRONT DROPS IN FROM THE NORTH. THIS ONE
IS A BIT COOLER BUT DOESN`T BLOW IN QUITE AS STRONG. THE FEATURE
AND OUR ATMOSPHERE LACKS MOISTURE SO IT LOOKS LIKE IT COMES IN
DRY. COOLER TEMPERATURES AND DRIER WEATHER WILL FOLLOW FOR TUE AND
WEDNESDAY.

14-BIRD

&&

.AVIATION...VALID 29/00Z - 30/00Z...
VFR ALL TERMINALS THROUGH THE PERIOD. P6SM SKC WITH LT E TO NE WINDS
GENERALLY UNDER 10KTS.

26-GRZYWACZ


.FIRE WEATHER...
UPPER RIDGE CURRENTLY BUILDING OVER THE REGION WILL GIVE WAY TO
SOUTHWEST FLOW AS STRONG STORM SYSTEM MOVES ONSHORE. LIGHT WINDS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE RIDGE WILL KEEP VENT RATES POOR THROUGH
FRIDAY...BUT AS SOUTHWEST FLOW DEVELOPS THIS WEEKEND...VERY GOOD TO
EXCELLENT VENT RATES EXPECTED. 20-FOOT WINDS WILL INCREASE TO TO 15
TO 25 MPH AND GUSTY ON SUNDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE
70S THROUGH THE WEEKEND FOR THE LOWLANDS WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
REMAINING ABOVE 20 PERCENT. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL INCREASE OVER
THE REGION SUNDAY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SOME PRECIPITATION LATE
SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

26-GRZYWACZ

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
EL PASO                 53  79  54  74  54 /   0   0   0   0   0
SIERRA BLANCA           50  76  53  72  52 /   0   0   0   0   0
LAS CRUCES              48  77  50  73  50 /   0   0   0   0   0
ALAMOGORDO              47  76  50  72  51 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLOUDCROFT              36  63  34  52  34 /   0   0   0  10  20
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES   46  73  49  68  50 /   0   0   0   0  10
SILVER CITY             48  74  50  68  47 /   0   0   0  10  20
DEMING                  44  78  48  72  47 /   0   0   0   0  10
LORDSBURG               47  77  47  72  46 /   0   0   0   0  10
WEST EL PASO METRO      51  78  53  74  53 /   0   0   0   0   0
DELL CITY               45  78  46  69  47 /   0   0   0  10   0
FORT HANCOCK            49  80  53  74  53 /   0   0   0   0   0
LOMA LINDA              46  77  57  71  54 /   0   0   0   0   0
FABENS                  49  79  48  74  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
SANTA TERESA            49  78  50  73  51 /   0   0   0   0   0
WHITE SANDS HQ          48  77  52  72  51 /   0   0   0   0   0
JORNADA RANGE           39  77  38  72  40 /   0   0   0   0   0
HATCH                   46  77  46  72  45 /   0   0   0   0  10
COLUMBUS                49  79  53  73  51 /   0   0   0   0  10
OROGRANDE               49  77  52  72  52 /   0   0   0   0   0
MAYHILL                 40  68  38  60  40 /   0   0   0  10  20
MESCALERO               40  68  35  60  36 /   0   0   0  10  20
TIMBERON                40  67  36  59  36 /   0   0   0  10  20
WINSTON                 41  71  42  65  42 /   0   0   0  20  20
HILLSBORO               46  75  49  69  49 /   0   0   0   0  10
SPACEPORT               42  75  44  71  44 /   0   0   0   0   0
LAKE ROBERTS            38  73  45  66  41 /   0   0   0  20  20
HURLEY                  47  77  49  70  46 /   0   0   0   0  20
CLIFF                   34  76  34  69  40 /   0   0   0   0  20
MULE CREEK              32  75  34  68  38 /   0   0   0  10  20
FAYWOOD                 48  76  52  70  49 /   0   0   0   0  10
ANIMAS                  47  78  49  72  48 /   0   0   0   0  10
HACHITA                 45  79  47  73  46 /   0   0   0   0  10
ANTELOPE WELLS          45  79  48  73  46 /   0   0   0   0  10
CLOVERDALE              47  79  53  73  49 /   0   0   0  10  10

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

14/26







000
FXUS64 KEPZ 290951
AFDEPZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
348 AM MDT WED OCT 29 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
DRY WEST FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND THURSDAY WITH ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND VERY LITTLE IF ANY CLOUDS. SOUTHERLY FLOW
ALOFT ON FRIDAY WILL BEGIN BRINGING SOME MOISTURE UP FROM MEXICO
WHILE LOW LEVEL EAST FLOW BRINGS SOME MOISTURE IN FROM EAST TEXAS.
THIS WILL DESTABILIZE THE ATMOSPHERE SOME AND GIVE THE BORDERLAND A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY AND FRIDAY EVENING. SOUTHWEST
FLOW ALOFT WILL DRY OUT THE WEEKEND SOME WITH JUST A FEW CLOUDS
EXPECTED. HOWEVER AFTERNOON WINDS WILL PICK UP...ESPECIALLY ON
SUNDAY. TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL BEGIN STREAMING UP TO THE BORDERLAND
MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. STILL EARLY BUT IT`S LOOKING BETTER FOR
AREA WIDE RAINFALL FOR THIS PERIOD.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
VARIOUS MODELS AMAZINGLY IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGHOUT THE
PERIOD...INCLUDING TRICKY TROPICAL INTERACTION MONDAY BEYOND. FIRST
THINGS FIRST THOUGH...SHORT TERM WILL REMAIN DRY AND WARM AS WEAK
ZONAL FLOW PERSISTS TODAY AND THURSDAY AS A SMALL UPPER TROUGH WELL
OFF WEST OF THE BAJA CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE. TEMPERATURES SHOULD RUN
ABOUT 3-5 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL TODAY/THURSDAY WITH VERY FEW CLOUDS.
UPPER TROUGH MOVES INTO ARIZONA EARLY FRIDAY MORNING AND THEN OVER
NEW MEXICO FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. AT THE SAME TIME A BACK
DOOR COOL FRONT BEGINS PUSHING WESTWARD EARLY FRIDAY MORNING AND
THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY. WILL CONTINUE SLIGHT CHANCE POPS ALL AREAS
BUT PROG SOUNDINGS SHOWING COOL AIR ADVECTION EASTERN CWA MAY KILL
OFF ANY CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EAST. EAST FLOW MAY CAUSE FAIRLY
GUSTY WINDS WEST SLOPES OF TERRAIN FOR MUCH OF THE DAY.

UPPER TROUGH MOVES EAST OF THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT ENDING THE SLIGHT
CHANCE OF RAIN. SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL BEGIN INCREASING SATURDAY
AND CONTINUE THE TREND INTO SUNDAY AS POWERFUL PACIFIC TROUGH MOVES
IN. TROUGH WILL BE OVER NEVADA SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THIS SHOULD
EVENTUALLY DISSIPATE EAST FLOW AND BEGIN WARMING TREND. INITIAL
CLOSED LOW WILL LIFT NORTHEAST OUT OF THIS TROUGH WHILE ENERGY
CLOSER TO THE BASE OF THE TROUGH BEGINS FORMING A SECOND CLOSED LOW
OVER ARIZONA EARLY NEXT WEEK. BACK TO THE FIRST CLOSED LOW...IT WILL
DRAG TROUGH ACROSS NEW MEXICO SUNDAY AFTERNOON. MAIN IMPACT WILL BE
AN INCREASE IN AFTERNOON WINDS INTO WINDY CATEGORY. LATEST RUNS OF
GFS/ECMWF BRING MID/HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE IN SUNDAY NIGHT WITH SOME
QPF OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN CWA LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. MAY BE
RESULT OF 100 KT JET WITH RRQ OVER THIS AREA. AT THIS TIME WILL NOT
INCLUDE IN FORECAST...BUT WILL SEE IF MODELS CONTINUE THIS OVER THE
NEXT COUPLE OF RUNS.

MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THINGS ARE STARTING TO GET INTERESTING.
ECMWF...GFS...AND EVEN CMC AS FAR OUT AS IT GOES...ARE BRINGING
TROPICAL MOISTURE FROM NEWLY FORMED CYCLONE FURTHER AND FURTHER WEST
AS UPPER TROUGH CLOSES OFF OVER ARIZONA AND DECELERATES AND DROPS
DOWN TO NORTHERN BAJA/MEXICAN SONORAN DESERT AREA MONDAY AND
TUESDAY. THIS IS BRINGING BETTER CHANCES OF RAIN TO THE AREA FOR
THIS PERIOD. THE MAIN BRUNT OF THE TROPICAL SYSTEM WILL BE CENTRAL
AND EAST TEXAS BUT WITH THE SLOWING UPPER TROUGH...WE WILL SEE A
CHANCE OF MODERATE/HEAVY RAIN OVER OUR AREA. TO COMPLICATE MATTERS A
RATHER STRONG BACK DOOR COLD FRONT ARRIVES TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.
THIS MAY ADD TO PRECIP WITH SOME OVERRUNNING. IT ALSO DROPS SNOW
LEVELS DOWN AND BY TUESDAY NIGHT THOSE LEVELS COULD BE AS LOW 7500
FT...MEANING THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE SACS COULD SEE THEIR FIRST
SNOW. TRENDED POPS AND CLOUDS INTO THIS NEWER SCENARIO BUT IF MODELS
CONTINUE THIS...POPS WILL HAVE TO BE INCREASED SIGNIFICANTLY.

&&

.AVIATION...VALID 29/12Z - 30/12Z...
VFR ALL TERMINALS THROUGH THE PERIOD. P6SM SKC WITH LT AND VARIABLE
WINDS BECOMING E UNDER 10KTS AROUND 18Z.

.FIRE WEATHER...
UPPER RIDGING WILL KEEP THINGS DRY AND MILD THROUGH THURSDAY ACROSS
THE REGION. BY FRIDAY AND INTO THE WEEKEND AN APPROACHING UPPER
TROUGH WILL BEGIN TO COMPLICATE THINGS A BIT. SURFACE FLOW WILL
INCREASE FROM THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST INTO FRIDAY ALLOWING FOR A
SLIGHT INCREASE IN LOW LEVEL MOISTURE LEVELS. THE COMBINATION OF
MOISTURE AND THE APPROACHING TROUGH COULD PRODUCE SCATTERED WETTING
RAINS AND BUMP UP THE LAL ESPECIALLY FOR THE MOUNTAIN ZONES FOR
FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. DRY WEATHER SHOULD PREVAIL SATURDAY
AND SUNDAY WITH THE UPPER FLOW INCREASING FROM THE SOUTHWEST AS AN
UPPER LOW PASSES TO OUR NORTH. THIS WILL RESULT IN INCREASED
SOUTHWEST WINDS MIXING DOWN BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON CREATING A BREEZY TO
WINDY AFTERNOON ACROSS THE REGION. THE UPPER TROUGH WILL LINGER
ALLOWING A CUTOFF LOW TO FORM TO OUR WEST EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL
HELP PULL UP DEEPER TROPICAL MOISTURE FROM THE SOUTH AND COULD SPARK
ANOTHER ROUND OF WETTING RAINS FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK. IN ADDITION A
VIGOROUS COLD FRONT APPEARS POISED TO SLIDE IN FROM THE NORTHEAST BY
LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH A SUBSTANTIAL AMOUNT OF COLD AIR
BEHIND IT. HIGH ELEVATION MOUNTAIN SNOW COULD EVENTUALLY BECOME A
POSSIBILITY FOR THE SACRAMENTOS BY WEDNESDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
EL PASO                 77  53  79  56  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
SIERRA BLANCA           73  50  76  54  72 /   0   0   0   0  10
LAS CRUCES              76  48  77  50  73 /   0   0   0   0   0
ALAMOGORDO              75  47  76  52  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLOUDCROFT              60  36  63  35  52 /   0   0   0   0  10
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES   73  46  73  49  68 /   0   0   0   0   0
SILVER CITY             72  48  74  50  68 /   0   0   0   0  10
DEMING                  77  44  78  48  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
LORDSBURG               78  47  77  48  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
WEST EL PASO METRO      77  51  78  55  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
DELL CITY               74  45  78  49  69 /   0   0   0   0  10
FORT HANCOCK            77  49  80  55  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
LOMA LINDA              71  46  77  57  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
FABENS                  77  49  79  50  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
SANTA TERESA            76  49  78  50  73 /   0   0   0   0   0
WHITE SANDS HQ          75  48  77  53  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
JORNADA RANGE           76  39  77  39  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
HATCH                   75  46  77  46  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
COLUMBUS                77  49  79  53  73 /   0   0   0   0   0
OROGRANDE               77  49  77  53  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
MAYHILL                 64  40  68  39  60 /   0   0   0   0  10
MESCALERO               63  40  68  36  60 /   0   0   0   0  10
TIMBERON                64  40  67  37  59 /   0   0   0   0  10
WINSTON                 67  41  71  41  65 /   0   0   0   0  10
HILLSBORO               74  46  75  48  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
SPACEPORT               75  42  75  45  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
LAKE ROBERTS            70  38  73  44  66 /   0   0   0   0  10
HURLEY                  74  47  77  49  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLIFF                   73  34  76  35  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
MULE CREEK              73  32  75  34  68 /   0   0   0   0   0
FAYWOOD                 73  48  76  51  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANIMAS                  79  47  78  50  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
HACHITA                 78  45  79  48  73 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANTELOPE WELLS          78  45  79  49  73 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLOVERDALE              77  47  79  53  73 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

HEFNER/LANEY










000
FXUS64 KEPZ 282114
AFDEPZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
312 PM MDT TUE OCT 28 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A MOSTLY DRY PATTERN IN STORE FOR THE BORDERLAND OVER THE NEXT WEEK
WITH ONE POSSIBLE EXCEPTION. IN THE SHORT TERM DRY WEST FLOW WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY WITH SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES. A WEAK
PACIFIC FRONT MOVES IN FRIDAY...ALONG WITH SOME LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
FROM SOUTHEAST WINDS...COMBINING TO PRODUCE SOME CLOUDS AND A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. THIS SYSTEM MOVES EAST OF THE AREA...TO BE
REPLACED BY DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW AGAIN FOR THE WEEKEND. UPPER TROUGH
IN THIS FLOW MOVES OVER ARIZONA SUNDAY AND CREATING A WINDY
AFTERNOON FOR THE AREA. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TO ABOVE NORMAL FOR
THE WEEKEND.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
WV IMAGERY SHOWING DRY PATTERN OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST THIS
AFTERNOON. ONE UPPER TROUGH MOVED THROUGH THE AREA MONDAY AFTERNOON
AND IS NOW WELL EAST OF THE AREA...WHILE A SECOND TROUGH EXTENDING
FROM WESTERN KANSAS TO NORTHERN NEW MEXICO TO SLIDE MOSTLY EAST. FEW
HIGH CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS BUT THEY SHOULD REMAIN TO THE
NORTH. UPPER RIDGE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD UP OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS IN
RESPONSE TO A PACIFIC FRONTAL SYSTEM. EXPECT SEASONAL TEMPERATURES
TO CONTINUE.

THE FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL MOVE TO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA THURSDAY AND
THEN OVER NEW MEXICO FRIDAY. AT THE SURFACE...WEAK COOL FRONT WHICH
MOVED INTO THE EASTERN CWA THIS MORNING WILL OPEN THE WAY OVER THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS FOR LOW LEVEL EAST/SOUTHEAST FLOW AND SLOWLY
INCREASING MOISTURE. THESE INGREDIENTS WILL COMBINE ON FRIDAY TO
PRODUCE SOME CLOUDS. MOISTENING OF THE ATMOSPHERE WILL ALSO
DESTABILIZE THE AIRMASS. MODELS SHOWING NEGATIVE LI`S WITH SOME
LIMITED MUCAPE OF AROUND 500 J/KG...MOSTLY OVER THE MOUNTAINS. WILL
INSERT LOW POPS INTO THE FORECAST FOR FRIDAY. GOOD DIRECTIONAL SHEAR
APPARENT WITH WEST FLOW WELL ALOFT OVER LOW LEVEL SOUTHEAST WINDS.
DON`T EXPECT SEVERE STORMS BUT SOME POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR STRONG
STORMS. LOW WBZS WOULD SUGGEST SMALL HAIL POSSIBLE. DOWNBURST WINDS
COULD BECOME FAIRLY STRONG...ESPECIALLY DEMING WEST...BUT DON`T
EXPECT SEVERE WINDS.

UPPER TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE AREA LATE FRIDAY NIGHT. MEANWHILE A
STRONG PACIFIC TROUGH MOVES INLAND OF THE WEST COAST EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING AND MOVES OVER THE INTER MOUNTAIN WEST LATE SATURDAY
AFTERNOON. STRONG SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL TRANSLATE DOWN TO SOME
BREEZES SATURDAY AFTERNOON. GFS ALSO SHOWS SOME QPF IN THE EAST
SATURDAY/SATURDAY NIGHT...PROBABLY ASSOCIATED STRONG 100 KT JET. FOR
NOW WILL LEAVE CWA DRY BUT WILL HAVE TO WATCH THIS. WINDS FROM THE
SURFACE WELL UP THE ATMOSPHERE ALL INCREASE ON SUNDAY. DESPITE
SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT NOT REAL TIGHT...BELIEVE AFTERNOON WINDS
WILL REACH WINDY CATEGORY.

UPPER TROUGH APPROACHES THE AREA MONDAY. WILL HAVE TO WATCH THIS
SITUATION AS GFS SHOWING TROPICAL FEATURE MOVING ONSHORE OF PUERTO
VALLARTA AND THEN OVER TO SOUTHERN TEXAS. PREVIOUS RUNS OF THE GFS
HAD QPF OVER WEST TEXAS AS SOME OF THE MOISTURE SLOUGHED OFF TO THE
WEST OF THE TROPICAL FEATURE. LATEST RUN KEEPS PCPN JUST EAST OF THE
CWA MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...VALID 29/00Z - 30/00Z...
P6SM SKC WITH LT AND VARIABLE WINDS BECOMING E UNDER 10KTS AFT 15Z.

.FIRE WEATHER...
WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW WILL START THE PERIOD OUT WITH SLIGHTLY ABOVE
AVERAGE TEMPERATURES AND DRY CONDITIONS. WINDS WILL START TO TURN
MORE EASTERLY THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK WHICH WILL TAP SOME LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE. THIS MAY BRING A FEW SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE
REGION FRIDAY. WINDS WILL START TO SHIFT AROUND TO THE WEST TO
SOUTHWEST THIS WEEKEND BRINGING IN SOME DRIER AIR WHICH WILL DROP
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES TO AROUND 20 PERCENT. WINDS WILL
INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS SUNDAY AS WELL. A COLD
FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY AND BRING IN SOME
VERY DRY AIR AND COOLER TEMPERATURES.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
EL PASO                 51  77  53  79  56 /   0   0   0   0   0
SIERRA BLANCA           50  73  51  76  54 /   0   0   0   0   0
LAS CRUCES              48  76  49  77  50 /   0   0   0   0   0
ALAMOGORDO              47  75  48  76  52 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLOUDCROFT              38  60  39  62  38 /   0   0   0   0   0
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES   47  73  48  73  49 /   0   0   0   0   0
SILVER CITY             48  72  50  73  49 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEMING                  47  77  45  78  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
LORDSBURG               47  78  48  79  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
WEST EL PASO METRO      50  77  52  78  55 /   0   0   0   0   0
DELL CITY               41  74  45  78  49 /   0   0   0   0   0
FORT HANCOCK            47  77  49  80  55 /   0   0   0   0   0
LOMA LINDA              47  71  48  76  56 /   0   0   0   0   0
FABENS                  47  77  49  79  50 /   0   0   0   0   0
SANTA TERESA            48  78  50  78  50 /   0   0   0   0   0
WHITE SANDS HQ          48  75  49  77  53 /   0   0   0   0   0
JORNADA RANGE           39  76  40  77  39 /   0   0   0   0   0
HATCH                   46  75  47  77  46 /   0   0   0   0   0
COLUMBUS                49  77  50  79  53 /   0   0   0   0   0
OROGRANDE               50  77  50  77  53 /   0   0   0   0   0
MAYHILL                 41  64  43  67  41 /   0   0   0   0   0
MESCALERO               39  63  43  67  38 /   0   0   0   0   0
TIMBERON                40  64  43  66  39 /   0   0   0   0   0
WINSTON                 41  67  42  70  41 /   0   0   0   0   0
HILLSBORO               46  74  48  74  47 /   0   0   0   0   0
SPACEPORT               42  75  43  75  45 /   0   0   0   0   0
LAKE ROBERTS            39  70  40  72  44 /   0   0   0   0   0
HURLEY                  48  74  49  76  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLIFF                   35  73  35  76  39 /   0   0   0   0   0
MULE CREEK              33  73  34  75  37 /   0   0   0   0   0
FAYWOOD                 48  73  50  75  50 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANIMAS                  47  79  48  78  50 /   0   0   0   0   0
HACHITA                 45  78  46  79  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANTELOPE WELLS          45  78  46  79  49 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLOVERDALE              47  77  49  78  52 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

HEFNER/GRZYWACZ










    US Dept of Commerce
    National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
    National Weather Service
    1325 East West Highway
    Silver Spring, MD 20910
    Page Author: NWS Internet Services Team
Disclaimer
Information Quality
Credits
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities