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000
FXUS64 KEPZ 281021
AFDEPZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
321 AM MST FRI NOV 28 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
MILD AND DRY WEATHER WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND. AS AN UPPER
RIDGE TRANSITIONS TO INCREASING WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT...AFTERNOONS
WILL BECOME SOMEWHAT BREEZY ON THE WEEKEND WITH INCREASING HIGH
CLOUDINESS. THEN A BACK DOOR FRONT WILL BRING EAST WINDS AND LOWER
TEMPERATURES TO NEAR NORMAL MONDAY AND TUESDAY. BY LATE NEXT WEEK
AN APPROACHING PACIFIC TROUGH WILL BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS TO THE GILA REGION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
THE NEAR TERM PICTURE HAS NOT CHANGED. AN UPPER RIDGE OVER THE
AREA TODAY WILL GIVE WAY TO INCREASING WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW ON
THE WEEKEND. SOUTHWEST BREEZES WILL INCREASE SOMEWHAT DURING
AFTERNOON HOURS BUT NOTHING SIGNIFICANT IS EXPECTED. TEMPERATURES
WILL REMAIN ABOUT 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.

A STRONG SURFACE HIGH MOVING ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND INTO
THE UPPER MIDWEST WILL PUSH A BACK DOOR FRONT INTO THE AREA
MONDAY. HOWEVER...SINCE THE MOMENTUM OF THIS HIGH MORE EASTWARD
THAN SOUTHWARD...AND WESTERLY FLOW WILL PUT UP RESISTANCE...THE
COOLING WILL BE ONLY FOR A COUPLE OF DAYS AND ONLY LOWER OUR
TEMPERATURES DOWN TO SEASONAL NORMALS.

FOR DAYS THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS HAVE BEEN TRYING TO BRING A
PACIFIC TROUGH INLAND TO THE DESERT SOUTHWEST AROUND THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK. EACH SUCCESSIVE RUN SEEMS TO WEAKEN THE TROUGH THIS FAR
EAST AND DELAY THE EFFECTS. AT THIS POINT WE WILL MENTION A FEW
SHOWERS IN THE GILA REGION STARTING WEDNESDAY. SOONER OR LATER ONE
OF THOSE PACIFIC SYSTEMS SHOULD BE SUCCESSFUL IN BREAKING THROUGH
AND GIVING THE BORDERLAND IN GENERAL SOME SHOWER ACTIVITY.

&&

.AVIATION...VALID 28/12Z - 29/12Z... P6SM SKC-FEW250 THRU PD. WINDS
GENERALLY LIGHT S TO SE UNDER 10KTS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
UPPER RIDGE BUILDING INTO REGION WILL FLATTEN OUT WITH ZONAL FLOW
SETTING UP OVER COMING DAYS. THIS WILL KEEP WARM TEMPERATURES GOING
WITH GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS. SATURDAY MAY SEE SOME BREEZY CONDITIONS
OVER FAVORED WINDY LOCATIONS. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE
FALLING INTO THE TEENS STARTING SATURDAY AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK
FOR ALL LOWLAND LOCATIONS WITH SOME 20S IN THE MOUNTAINS. MOISTURE
WILL INCREASE THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AS A WEAKENING UPPER TROUGH
PASSES OVER THE ROCKIES...BUT LITTLE TO NO PRECIP IS EXPECTED WITH
ITS PASSAGE.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
EL PASO                 71  40  74  42  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
SIERRA BLANCA           67  35  70  39  67 /   0   0   0   0   0
LAS CRUCES              70  35  72  37  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
ALAMOGORDO              71  37  72  39  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLOUDCROFT              59  36  53  36  52 /   0   0   0   0   0
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES   70  36  71  36  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
SILVER CITY             67  37  64  36  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEMING                  70  33  72  34  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
LORDSBURG               70  33  72  34  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
WEST EL PASO METRO      70  41  73  42  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
DELL CITY               68  33  72  38  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
FORT HANCOCK            71  34  74  39  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
LOMA LINDA              68  35  67  41  65 /   0   0   0   0   0
FABENS                  70  35  74  38  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
SANTA TERESA            70  35  72  38  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
WHITE SANDS HQ          68  38  71  41  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
JORNADA RANGE           68  30  70  33  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
HATCH                   70  33  72  35  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
COLUMBUS                68  36  71  37  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
OROGRANDE               69  37  72  39  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
MAYHILL                 66  36  63  38  62 /   0   0   0   0   0
MESCALERO               66  34  61  35  62 /   0   0   0   0   0
TIMBERON                63  32  59  36  59 /   0   0   0   0   0
WINSTON                 65  32  63  33  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
HILLSBORO               67  37  68  38  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
SPACEPORT               70  30  69  33  68 /   0   0   0   0   0
LAKE ROBERTS            65  35  64  33  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
HURLEY                  68  33  66  35  62 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLIFF                   70  36  70  32  66 /   0   0   0   0   0
MULE CREEK              70  30  69  28  65 /   0   0   0   0   0
FAYWOOD                 66  35  66  37  62 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANIMAS                  71  33  74  35  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
HACHITA                 70  31  73  34  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANTELOPE WELLS          70  37  73  35  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLOVERDALE              71  35  71  36  69 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

01 FAUSETT






000
FXUS64 KEPZ 281021
AFDEPZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
321 AM MST FRI NOV 28 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
MILD AND DRY WEATHER WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND. AS AN UPPER
RIDGE TRANSITIONS TO INCREASING WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT...AFTERNOONS
WILL BECOME SOMEWHAT BREEZY ON THE WEEKEND WITH INCREASING HIGH
CLOUDINESS. THEN A BACK DOOR FRONT WILL BRING EAST WINDS AND LOWER
TEMPERATURES TO NEAR NORMAL MONDAY AND TUESDAY. BY LATE NEXT WEEK
AN APPROACHING PACIFIC TROUGH WILL BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS TO THE GILA REGION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
THE NEAR TERM PICTURE HAS NOT CHANGED. AN UPPER RIDGE OVER THE
AREA TODAY WILL GIVE WAY TO INCREASING WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW ON
THE WEEKEND. SOUTHWEST BREEZES WILL INCREASE SOMEWHAT DURING
AFTERNOON HOURS BUT NOTHING SIGNIFICANT IS EXPECTED. TEMPERATURES
WILL REMAIN ABOUT 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.

A STRONG SURFACE HIGH MOVING ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND INTO
THE UPPER MIDWEST WILL PUSH A BACK DOOR FRONT INTO THE AREA
MONDAY. HOWEVER...SINCE THE MOMENTUM OF THIS HIGH MORE EASTWARD
THAN SOUTHWARD...AND WESTERLY FLOW WILL PUT UP RESISTANCE...THE
COOLING WILL BE ONLY FOR A COUPLE OF DAYS AND ONLY LOWER OUR
TEMPERATURES DOWN TO SEASONAL NORMALS.

FOR DAYS THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS HAVE BEEN TRYING TO BRING A
PACIFIC TROUGH INLAND TO THE DESERT SOUTHWEST AROUND THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK. EACH SUCCESSIVE RUN SEEMS TO WEAKEN THE TROUGH THIS FAR
EAST AND DELAY THE EFFECTS. AT THIS POINT WE WILL MENTION A FEW
SHOWERS IN THE GILA REGION STARTING WEDNESDAY. SOONER OR LATER ONE
OF THOSE PACIFIC SYSTEMS SHOULD BE SUCCESSFUL IN BREAKING THROUGH
AND GIVING THE BORDERLAND IN GENERAL SOME SHOWER ACTIVITY.

&&

.AVIATION...VALID 28/12Z - 29/12Z... P6SM SKC-FEW250 THRU PD. WINDS
GENERALLY LIGHT S TO SE UNDER 10KTS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
UPPER RIDGE BUILDING INTO REGION WILL FLATTEN OUT WITH ZONAL FLOW
SETTING UP OVER COMING DAYS. THIS WILL KEEP WARM TEMPERATURES GOING
WITH GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS. SATURDAY MAY SEE SOME BREEZY CONDITIONS
OVER FAVORED WINDY LOCATIONS. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE
FALLING INTO THE TEENS STARTING SATURDAY AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK
FOR ALL LOWLAND LOCATIONS WITH SOME 20S IN THE MOUNTAINS. MOISTURE
WILL INCREASE THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AS A WEAKENING UPPER TROUGH
PASSES OVER THE ROCKIES...BUT LITTLE TO NO PRECIP IS EXPECTED WITH
ITS PASSAGE.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
EL PASO                 71  40  74  42  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
SIERRA BLANCA           67  35  70  39  67 /   0   0   0   0   0
LAS CRUCES              70  35  72  37  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
ALAMOGORDO              71  37  72  39  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLOUDCROFT              59  36  53  36  52 /   0   0   0   0   0
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES   70  36  71  36  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
SILVER CITY             67  37  64  36  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEMING                  70  33  72  34  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
LORDSBURG               70  33  72  34  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
WEST EL PASO METRO      70  41  73  42  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
DELL CITY               68  33  72  38  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
FORT HANCOCK            71  34  74  39  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
LOMA LINDA              68  35  67  41  65 /   0   0   0   0   0
FABENS                  70  35  74  38  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
SANTA TERESA            70  35  72  38  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
WHITE SANDS HQ          68  38  71  41  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
JORNADA RANGE           68  30  70  33  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
HATCH                   70  33  72  35  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
COLUMBUS                68  36  71  37  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
OROGRANDE               69  37  72  39  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
MAYHILL                 66  36  63  38  62 /   0   0   0   0   0
MESCALERO               66  34  61  35  62 /   0   0   0   0   0
TIMBERON                63  32  59  36  59 /   0   0   0   0   0
WINSTON                 65  32  63  33  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
HILLSBORO               67  37  68  38  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
SPACEPORT               70  30  69  33  68 /   0   0   0   0   0
LAKE ROBERTS            65  35  64  33  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
HURLEY                  68  33  66  35  62 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLIFF                   70  36  70  32  66 /   0   0   0   0   0
MULE CREEK              70  30  69  28  65 /   0   0   0   0   0
FAYWOOD                 66  35  66  37  62 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANIMAS                  71  33  74  35  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
HACHITA                 70  31  73  34  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANTELOPE WELLS          70  37  73  35  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLOVERDALE              71  35  71  36  69 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

01 FAUSETT







000
FXUS64 KEPZ 281021
AFDEPZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
321 AM MST FRI NOV 28 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
MILD AND DRY WEATHER WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND. AS AN UPPER
RIDGE TRANSITIONS TO INCREASING WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT...AFTERNOONS
WILL BECOME SOMEWHAT BREEZY ON THE WEEKEND WITH INCREASING HIGH
CLOUDINESS. THEN A BACK DOOR FRONT WILL BRING EAST WINDS AND LOWER
TEMPERATURES TO NEAR NORMAL MONDAY AND TUESDAY. BY LATE NEXT WEEK
AN APPROACHING PACIFIC TROUGH WILL BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS TO THE GILA REGION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
THE NEAR TERM PICTURE HAS NOT CHANGED. AN UPPER RIDGE OVER THE
AREA TODAY WILL GIVE WAY TO INCREASING WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW ON
THE WEEKEND. SOUTHWEST BREEZES WILL INCREASE SOMEWHAT DURING
AFTERNOON HOURS BUT NOTHING SIGNIFICANT IS EXPECTED. TEMPERATURES
WILL REMAIN ABOUT 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.

A STRONG SURFACE HIGH MOVING ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND INTO
THE UPPER MIDWEST WILL PUSH A BACK DOOR FRONT INTO THE AREA
MONDAY. HOWEVER...SINCE THE MOMENTUM OF THIS HIGH MORE EASTWARD
THAN SOUTHWARD...AND WESTERLY FLOW WILL PUT UP RESISTANCE...THE
COOLING WILL BE ONLY FOR A COUPLE OF DAYS AND ONLY LOWER OUR
TEMPERATURES DOWN TO SEASONAL NORMALS.

FOR DAYS THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS HAVE BEEN TRYING TO BRING A
PACIFIC TROUGH INLAND TO THE DESERT SOUTHWEST AROUND THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK. EACH SUCCESSIVE RUN SEEMS TO WEAKEN THE TROUGH THIS FAR
EAST AND DELAY THE EFFECTS. AT THIS POINT WE WILL MENTION A FEW
SHOWERS IN THE GILA REGION STARTING WEDNESDAY. SOONER OR LATER ONE
OF THOSE PACIFIC SYSTEMS SHOULD BE SUCCESSFUL IN BREAKING THROUGH
AND GIVING THE BORDERLAND IN GENERAL SOME SHOWER ACTIVITY.

&&

.AVIATION...VALID 28/12Z - 29/12Z... P6SM SKC-FEW250 THRU PD. WINDS
GENERALLY LIGHT S TO SE UNDER 10KTS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
UPPER RIDGE BUILDING INTO REGION WILL FLATTEN OUT WITH ZONAL FLOW
SETTING UP OVER COMING DAYS. THIS WILL KEEP WARM TEMPERATURES GOING
WITH GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS. SATURDAY MAY SEE SOME BREEZY CONDITIONS
OVER FAVORED WINDY LOCATIONS. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE
FALLING INTO THE TEENS STARTING SATURDAY AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK
FOR ALL LOWLAND LOCATIONS WITH SOME 20S IN THE MOUNTAINS. MOISTURE
WILL INCREASE THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AS A WEAKENING UPPER TROUGH
PASSES OVER THE ROCKIES...BUT LITTLE TO NO PRECIP IS EXPECTED WITH
ITS PASSAGE.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
EL PASO                 71  40  74  42  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
SIERRA BLANCA           67  35  70  39  67 /   0   0   0   0   0
LAS CRUCES              70  35  72  37  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
ALAMOGORDO              71  37  72  39  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLOUDCROFT              59  36  53  36  52 /   0   0   0   0   0
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES   70  36  71  36  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
SILVER CITY             67  37  64  36  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEMING                  70  33  72  34  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
LORDSBURG               70  33  72  34  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
WEST EL PASO METRO      70  41  73  42  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
DELL CITY               68  33  72  38  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
FORT HANCOCK            71  34  74  39  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
LOMA LINDA              68  35  67  41  65 /   0   0   0   0   0
FABENS                  70  35  74  38  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
SANTA TERESA            70  35  72  38  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
WHITE SANDS HQ          68  38  71  41  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
JORNADA RANGE           68  30  70  33  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
HATCH                   70  33  72  35  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
COLUMBUS                68  36  71  37  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
OROGRANDE               69  37  72  39  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
MAYHILL                 66  36  63  38  62 /   0   0   0   0   0
MESCALERO               66  34  61  35  62 /   0   0   0   0   0
TIMBERON                63  32  59  36  59 /   0   0   0   0   0
WINSTON                 65  32  63  33  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
HILLSBORO               67  37  68  38  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
SPACEPORT               70  30  69  33  68 /   0   0   0   0   0
LAKE ROBERTS            65  35  64  33  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
HURLEY                  68  33  66  35  62 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLIFF                   70  36  70  32  66 /   0   0   0   0   0
MULE CREEK              70  30  69  28  65 /   0   0   0   0   0
FAYWOOD                 66  35  66  37  62 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANIMAS                  71  33  74  35  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
HACHITA                 70  31  73  34  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANTELOPE WELLS          70  37  73  35  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLOVERDALE              71  35  71  36  69 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

01 FAUSETT







000
FXUS64 KEPZ 281021
AFDEPZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
321 AM MST FRI NOV 28 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
MILD AND DRY WEATHER WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND. AS AN UPPER
RIDGE TRANSITIONS TO INCREASING WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT...AFTERNOONS
WILL BECOME SOMEWHAT BREEZY ON THE WEEKEND WITH INCREASING HIGH
CLOUDINESS. THEN A BACK DOOR FRONT WILL BRING EAST WINDS AND LOWER
TEMPERATURES TO NEAR NORMAL MONDAY AND TUESDAY. BY LATE NEXT WEEK
AN APPROACHING PACIFIC TROUGH WILL BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS TO THE GILA REGION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
THE NEAR TERM PICTURE HAS NOT CHANGED. AN UPPER RIDGE OVER THE
AREA TODAY WILL GIVE WAY TO INCREASING WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW ON
THE WEEKEND. SOUTHWEST BREEZES WILL INCREASE SOMEWHAT DURING
AFTERNOON HOURS BUT NOTHING SIGNIFICANT IS EXPECTED. TEMPERATURES
WILL REMAIN ABOUT 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.

A STRONG SURFACE HIGH MOVING ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND INTO
THE UPPER MIDWEST WILL PUSH A BACK DOOR FRONT INTO THE AREA
MONDAY. HOWEVER...SINCE THE MOMENTUM OF THIS HIGH MORE EASTWARD
THAN SOUTHWARD...AND WESTERLY FLOW WILL PUT UP RESISTANCE...THE
COOLING WILL BE ONLY FOR A COUPLE OF DAYS AND ONLY LOWER OUR
TEMPERATURES DOWN TO SEASONAL NORMALS.

FOR DAYS THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS HAVE BEEN TRYING TO BRING A
PACIFIC TROUGH INLAND TO THE DESERT SOUTHWEST AROUND THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK. EACH SUCCESSIVE RUN SEEMS TO WEAKEN THE TROUGH THIS FAR
EAST AND DELAY THE EFFECTS. AT THIS POINT WE WILL MENTION A FEW
SHOWERS IN THE GILA REGION STARTING WEDNESDAY. SOONER OR LATER ONE
OF THOSE PACIFIC SYSTEMS SHOULD BE SUCCESSFUL IN BREAKING THROUGH
AND GIVING THE BORDERLAND IN GENERAL SOME SHOWER ACTIVITY.

&&

.AVIATION...VALID 28/12Z - 29/12Z... P6SM SKC-FEW250 THRU PD. WINDS
GENERALLY LIGHT S TO SE UNDER 10KTS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
UPPER RIDGE BUILDING INTO REGION WILL FLATTEN OUT WITH ZONAL FLOW
SETTING UP OVER COMING DAYS. THIS WILL KEEP WARM TEMPERATURES GOING
WITH GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS. SATURDAY MAY SEE SOME BREEZY CONDITIONS
OVER FAVORED WINDY LOCATIONS. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE
FALLING INTO THE TEENS STARTING SATURDAY AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK
FOR ALL LOWLAND LOCATIONS WITH SOME 20S IN THE MOUNTAINS. MOISTURE
WILL INCREASE THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AS A WEAKENING UPPER TROUGH
PASSES OVER THE ROCKIES...BUT LITTLE TO NO PRECIP IS EXPECTED WITH
ITS PASSAGE.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
EL PASO                 71  40  74  42  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
SIERRA BLANCA           67  35  70  39  67 /   0   0   0   0   0
LAS CRUCES              70  35  72  37  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
ALAMOGORDO              71  37  72  39  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLOUDCROFT              59  36  53  36  52 /   0   0   0   0   0
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES   70  36  71  36  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
SILVER CITY             67  37  64  36  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEMING                  70  33  72  34  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
LORDSBURG               70  33  72  34  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
WEST EL PASO METRO      70  41  73  42  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
DELL CITY               68  33  72  38  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
FORT HANCOCK            71  34  74  39  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
LOMA LINDA              68  35  67  41  65 /   0   0   0   0   0
FABENS                  70  35  74  38  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
SANTA TERESA            70  35  72  38  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
WHITE SANDS HQ          68  38  71  41  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
JORNADA RANGE           68  30  70  33  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
HATCH                   70  33  72  35  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
COLUMBUS                68  36  71  37  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
OROGRANDE               69  37  72  39  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
MAYHILL                 66  36  63  38  62 /   0   0   0   0   0
MESCALERO               66  34  61  35  62 /   0   0   0   0   0
TIMBERON                63  32  59  36  59 /   0   0   0   0   0
WINSTON                 65  32  63  33  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
HILLSBORO               67  37  68  38  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
SPACEPORT               70  30  69  33  68 /   0   0   0   0   0
LAKE ROBERTS            65  35  64  33  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
HURLEY                  68  33  66  35  62 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLIFF                   70  36  70  32  66 /   0   0   0   0   0
MULE CREEK              70  30  69  28  65 /   0   0   0   0   0
FAYWOOD                 66  35  66  37  62 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANIMAS                  71  33  74  35  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
HACHITA                 70  31  73  34  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANTELOPE WELLS          70  37  73  35  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLOVERDALE              71  35  71  36  69 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

01 FAUSETT






000
FXUS64 KEPZ 272014
AFDEPZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
114 PM MST THU NOV 27 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
VERY PLEASANT WEATHER WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS WITH
HIGH TEMPERATURES RUNNING ABOUT TEN DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL UNDER
MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. BY MONDAY A WEAK
BACK DOOR FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE EAST AND SHOULD MANAGE TO
BRING TEMPS BACK CLOSER TO NORMAL. PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES WILL
FOLLOW FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK AHEAD WITH ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE
FOR SHOWERS ACROSS THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS WHILE DRY WEATHER
PREVAILS ELSEWHERE.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
IT APPEARS AS IF OUR TREND OF MILD AFTERNOONS AND CHILLY NIGHTS
WILL CONTINUE WELL INTO THE WEEKEND THANKS TO THE DRY NATURE OF
OUR AIR MASS. DIURNAL TEMPERATURE SWINGS HAVE BEEN AS MUCH AS 35
DEGREES OR MORE THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS AND THIS WILL LIKELY
CONTINUE INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND AS WE TRANSITION FORM A RIDGE
OVERHEAD TO MORE ZONAL FLOW ALOFT. WHILE WINDS WILL REMAIN RATHER
LIGHT BOTH AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT FRIDAY...WE WILL TRANSITION TO
DEEPER AND SOMEWHAT STRONGER WESTERLY FLOW OVER THE WEEKEND.
THANKS TO LEE TROUGHING THAT WILL ENSUE WE CAN EXPECT A BIT OF AN
INCREASE IN WESTERLY SURFACE WIND SPEEDS BOTH SATURDAY AND SUNDAY
AFTERNOONS. THIS WESTERLY FLOW WILL ALSO GO A LONG WAY IN KEEPING
TEMPERATURES WELL ABOVE NORMAL DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. IN
GENERAL MOS GUIDANCE HAS BEEN MUCH TOO LOW THAT PAST COUPLE OF
DAYS. THEREFORE I HAVE GONE SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE GUIDANCE FOR
HIGH TEMPS THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

MEANWHILE THE LONG RANGE MODEL SOLUTIONS CONTINUE TO BE AT ODDS.
OF THE MOST RECENT OPERATIONAL OFFERINGS THE GFS IS MUCH LESS
AMPLIFIED THAN THE ECMWF WHICH IS LEADING TO A FASTER PROGRESSION
OF WEATHER FEATURES ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF THE COUNTRY. WHILE
THE CURRENT FORECAST PACKAGE DOES NOT COMPLETELY DISMISS THE GFS
SOLUTION...A GENERAL BLEND WITH A BIT OF EXTRA EMPHASIS ON THE
ECMWF HAS BEEN APPLIED. AS A RESULT IT LOOKS LIKE THE BACK DOOR
FRONT THAT WILL DROP DOWN THE PLAINS WILL LIKELY HOLD OFF UNTIL
LATER MONDAY TO PUSH INTO THE BORDERLAND. THIS WILL SERVE TO ONLY
HELP BRING TEMPS BACK CLOSER TO NORMAL FOR A FEW DAYS. MEANWHILE
SEVERAL WEAK DISTURBANCES IN THE SOUTHERN STREAM WILL EJECT OUT
OVER THE AREA. EXACT TIMING IS DIFFICULT TO PIN DOWN THIS EARLY.
BUT WITH MOISTURE REMAINING SCANT MOST AREAS WILL SEE NOTHING MORE
THAN AN INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER. BASICALLY ONLY LOW END POPS HAVE
BEEN INSERTED FOR THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE NORTHERN ZONES FROM
LATE TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY OF NEXT WEEK WHILE OTHER AREAS STAY
DRY AND MILD.

&&

.AVIATION...VALID 28/00Z - 29/00Z...
P6SM SKC-FEW250 THRU PD. WINDS GENERALLY LIGHT S TO SE UNDER 10KTS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
UPPER RIDGE BUILDING INTO REGION WILL FLATTEN OUT WITH ZONAL FLOW
SETTING UP OVER COMING DAYS. THIS WILL KEEP WARM TEMPERATURES GOING
WITH GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS. SATURDAY MAY SEE SOME BREEZY CONDITIONS
OVER FAVORED WINDY LOCATIONS. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE
FALLING INTO THE TEENS STARTING SATURDAY AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK
FOR ALL LOWLAND LOCATIONS WITH SOME 20S IN THE MOUNTAINS. MOISTURE
WILL INCREASE THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AS A WEAKENING UPPER TROUGH
PASSES OVER THE ROCKIES...BUT LITTLE TO NO PRECIP IS EXPECTED WITH
ITS PASSAGE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
EL PASO                 36  71  40  74  42 /   0   0   0   0   0
SIERRA BLANCA           32  67  35  70  39 /   0   0   0   0   0
LAS CRUCES              33  70  35  72  37 /   0   0   0   0   0
ALAMOGORDO              33  71  37  72  39 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLOUDCROFT              30  59  36  53  36 /   0   0   0   0   0
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES   32  70  36  71  36 /   0   0   0   0   0
SILVER CITY             33  67  37  64  36 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEMING                  32  70  33  72  34 /   0   0   0   0   0
LORDSBURG               32  70  33  72  34 /   0   0   0   0   0
WEST EL PASO METRO      37  70  41  73  42 /   0   0   0   0   0
DELL CITY               30  68  33  72  38 /   0   0   0   0   0
FORT HANCOCK            31  71  34  74  39 /   0   0   0   0   0
LOMA LINDA              34  68  35  67  41 /   0   0   0   0   0
FABENS                  29  70  35  74  38 /   0   0   0   0   0
SANTA TERESA            33  70  35  72  38 /   0   0   0   0   0
WHITE SANDS HQ          37  68  38  71  41 /   0   0   0   0   0
JORNADA RANGE           28  68  30  70  33 /   0   0   0   0   0
HATCH                   30  70  33  72  35 /   0   0   0   0   0
COLUMBUS                32  68  36  71  37 /   0   0   0   0   0
OROGRANDE               33  69  37  72  39 /   0   0   0   0   0
MAYHILL                 31  66  36  63  38 /   0   0   0   0   0
MESCALERO               34  66  34  61  35 /   0   0   0   0   0
TIMBERON                29  63  32  59  36 /   0   0   0   0   0
WINSTON                 30  65  32  63  33 /   0   0   0   0   0
HILLSBORO               35  67  37  68  38 /   0   0   0   0   0
SPACEPORT               27  70  30  69  33 /   0   0   0   0   0
LAKE ROBERTS            29  65  35  64  33 /   0   0   0   0   0
HURLEY                  30  68  33  66  35 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLIFF                   25  70  36  70  32 /   0   0   0   0   0
MULE CREEK              21  70  30  69  28 /   0   0   0   0   0
FAYWOOD                 34  66  35  66  37 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANIMAS                  31  71  33  74  35 /   0   0   0   0   0
HACHITA                 27  70  31  73  34 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANTELOPE WELLS          28  70  37  73  35 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLOVERDALE              32  71  35  71  36 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

LANEY/GRZYWACZ







000
FXUS64 KEPZ 272014
AFDEPZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
114 PM MST THU NOV 27 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
VERY PLEASANT WEATHER WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS WITH
HIGH TEMPERATURES RUNNING ABOUT TEN DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL UNDER
MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. BY MONDAY A WEAK
BACK DOOR FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE EAST AND SHOULD MANAGE TO
BRING TEMPS BACK CLOSER TO NORMAL. PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES WILL
FOLLOW FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK AHEAD WITH ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE
FOR SHOWERS ACROSS THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS WHILE DRY WEATHER
PREVAILS ELSEWHERE.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
IT APPEARS AS IF OUR TREND OF MILD AFTERNOONS AND CHILLY NIGHTS
WILL CONTINUE WELL INTO THE WEEKEND THANKS TO THE DRY NATURE OF
OUR AIR MASS. DIURNAL TEMPERATURE SWINGS HAVE BEEN AS MUCH AS 35
DEGREES OR MORE THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS AND THIS WILL LIKELY
CONTINUE INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND AS WE TRANSITION FORM A RIDGE
OVERHEAD TO MORE ZONAL FLOW ALOFT. WHILE WINDS WILL REMAIN RATHER
LIGHT BOTH AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT FRIDAY...WE WILL TRANSITION TO
DEEPER AND SOMEWHAT STRONGER WESTERLY FLOW OVER THE WEEKEND.
THANKS TO LEE TROUGHING THAT WILL ENSUE WE CAN EXPECT A BIT OF AN
INCREASE IN WESTERLY SURFACE WIND SPEEDS BOTH SATURDAY AND SUNDAY
AFTERNOONS. THIS WESTERLY FLOW WILL ALSO GO A LONG WAY IN KEEPING
TEMPERATURES WELL ABOVE NORMAL DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. IN
GENERAL MOS GUIDANCE HAS BEEN MUCH TOO LOW THAT PAST COUPLE OF
DAYS. THEREFORE I HAVE GONE SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE GUIDANCE FOR
HIGH TEMPS THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

MEANWHILE THE LONG RANGE MODEL SOLUTIONS CONTINUE TO BE AT ODDS.
OF THE MOST RECENT OPERATIONAL OFFERINGS THE GFS IS MUCH LESS
AMPLIFIED THAN THE ECMWF WHICH IS LEADING TO A FASTER PROGRESSION
OF WEATHER FEATURES ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF THE COUNTRY. WHILE
THE CURRENT FORECAST PACKAGE DOES NOT COMPLETELY DISMISS THE GFS
SOLUTION...A GENERAL BLEND WITH A BIT OF EXTRA EMPHASIS ON THE
ECMWF HAS BEEN APPLIED. AS A RESULT IT LOOKS LIKE THE BACK DOOR
FRONT THAT WILL DROP DOWN THE PLAINS WILL LIKELY HOLD OFF UNTIL
LATER MONDAY TO PUSH INTO THE BORDERLAND. THIS WILL SERVE TO ONLY
HELP BRING TEMPS BACK CLOSER TO NORMAL FOR A FEW DAYS. MEANWHILE
SEVERAL WEAK DISTURBANCES IN THE SOUTHERN STREAM WILL EJECT OUT
OVER THE AREA. EXACT TIMING IS DIFFICULT TO PIN DOWN THIS EARLY.
BUT WITH MOISTURE REMAINING SCANT MOST AREAS WILL SEE NOTHING MORE
THAN AN INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER. BASICALLY ONLY LOW END POPS HAVE
BEEN INSERTED FOR THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE NORTHERN ZONES FROM
LATE TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY OF NEXT WEEK WHILE OTHER AREAS STAY
DRY AND MILD.

&&

.AVIATION...VALID 28/00Z - 29/00Z...
P6SM SKC-FEW250 THRU PD. WINDS GENERALLY LIGHT S TO SE UNDER 10KTS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
UPPER RIDGE BUILDING INTO REGION WILL FLATTEN OUT WITH ZONAL FLOW
SETTING UP OVER COMING DAYS. THIS WILL KEEP WARM TEMPERATURES GOING
WITH GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS. SATURDAY MAY SEE SOME BREEZY CONDITIONS
OVER FAVORED WINDY LOCATIONS. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE
FALLING INTO THE TEENS STARTING SATURDAY AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK
FOR ALL LOWLAND LOCATIONS WITH SOME 20S IN THE MOUNTAINS. MOISTURE
WILL INCREASE THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AS A WEAKENING UPPER TROUGH
PASSES OVER THE ROCKIES...BUT LITTLE TO NO PRECIP IS EXPECTED WITH
ITS PASSAGE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
EL PASO                 36  71  40  74  42 /   0   0   0   0   0
SIERRA BLANCA           32  67  35  70  39 /   0   0   0   0   0
LAS CRUCES              33  70  35  72  37 /   0   0   0   0   0
ALAMOGORDO              33  71  37  72  39 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLOUDCROFT              30  59  36  53  36 /   0   0   0   0   0
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES   32  70  36  71  36 /   0   0   0   0   0
SILVER CITY             33  67  37  64  36 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEMING                  32  70  33  72  34 /   0   0   0   0   0
LORDSBURG               32  70  33  72  34 /   0   0   0   0   0
WEST EL PASO METRO      37  70  41  73  42 /   0   0   0   0   0
DELL CITY               30  68  33  72  38 /   0   0   0   0   0
FORT HANCOCK            31  71  34  74  39 /   0   0   0   0   0
LOMA LINDA              34  68  35  67  41 /   0   0   0   0   0
FABENS                  29  70  35  74  38 /   0   0   0   0   0
SANTA TERESA            33  70  35  72  38 /   0   0   0   0   0
WHITE SANDS HQ          37  68  38  71  41 /   0   0   0   0   0
JORNADA RANGE           28  68  30  70  33 /   0   0   0   0   0
HATCH                   30  70  33  72  35 /   0   0   0   0   0
COLUMBUS                32  68  36  71  37 /   0   0   0   0   0
OROGRANDE               33  69  37  72  39 /   0   0   0   0   0
MAYHILL                 31  66  36  63  38 /   0   0   0   0   0
MESCALERO               34  66  34  61  35 /   0   0   0   0   0
TIMBERON                29  63  32  59  36 /   0   0   0   0   0
WINSTON                 30  65  32  63  33 /   0   0   0   0   0
HILLSBORO               35  67  37  68  38 /   0   0   0   0   0
SPACEPORT               27  70  30  69  33 /   0   0   0   0   0
LAKE ROBERTS            29  65  35  64  33 /   0   0   0   0   0
HURLEY                  30  68  33  66  35 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLIFF                   25  70  36  70  32 /   0   0   0   0   0
MULE CREEK              21  70  30  69  28 /   0   0   0   0   0
FAYWOOD                 34  66  35  66  37 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANIMAS                  31  71  33  74  35 /   0   0   0   0   0
HACHITA                 27  70  31  73  34 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANTELOPE WELLS          28  70  37  73  35 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLOVERDALE              32  71  35  71  36 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

LANEY/GRZYWACZ






000
FXUS64 KEPZ 271023
AFDEPZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
323 AM MST THU NOV 27 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL KEEP DAYTIME TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL
TODAY AND FRIDAY...WHILE WESTERLY FLOW WILL EXTEND THE MILD SPELL
THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. A PACIFIC STORM WILL
ATTEMPT TO ENTER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK...BUT SHOULD WEAKEN BY THE TIME IT REACHES THE BORDERLAND.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
THE EXPECTED WARMING TREND TOOK A BIGGER JUMP THAN EXPECTED
YESTERDAY AS THE WEST COAST UPPER RIDGE BEGAN TO MAKE ITS MOVE
EASTWARD. THE RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD EASTWARD TODAY WITH A
WEAK UPPER TROUGH OVER NORTHERN MEXICO SLOWING THE WARMING TREND
SOMEWHAT. HOWEVER THIS WILL NOT PREVENT ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES...WITH OUTSTANDING THANKSGIVING DAY WEATHER EXPECTED.
BY THE WEEKEND THE RIDGE FLATTENS A LITTLE AS WESTERLY FLOW TAKES
OVER. THIS WILL INCREASE AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES A LITTLE MORE
WITH SOME LOWLAND LOCATIONS POSSIBLY REACHING THE LOWER 70S
SATURDAY.

A WEAK BACK DOOR FRONT SHOULD BRING SLIGHT COOLING EARLY NEXT WEEK
BUT TEMPERATURES WILL STILL BE SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.
THEN A PACIFIC TROUGH MOVES INLAND AND IS SCHEDULED FOR ARRIVAL
AROUND WEDNESDAY. THE 00Z GFS IS FOLLOWING THE EARLIER ECM RUNS BY
DAMPENING OUT THIS SYSTEM...BRINGING ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS MAINLY TO THE MOUNTAINS AND THE LOWER ELEVATIONS WEST OF
THE DIVIDE. WE SHALL SEE HOW LATER MODEL RUNS HANDLE THIS SYSTEM
BUT FOR NOW WILL KEEP A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS GOING AREA WIDE
AT THAT TIME.

HAPPY THANKSGIVING!

&&

.AVIATION...VALID 27/12Z - 28/12Z... VFR CONDITIONS WITH SKC-
FEW250 THRU PD. LIGHT WINDS GENLY FROM 020-050 UNDER 5 KTS THROUGH
17Z...BECOMING 110-140 AT 05-08 KTS MOST AREAS THEREAFTER.
EXCEPTION WILL BE NM BOOTHEEL...WHERE 110-140/10-15G20 KTS ARE
EXPECTED AFT 17Z.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST OVER
THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THIS WILL MEAN SUNNY TO MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES...WITH A GRADUAL WARMING TREND THROUGH THE THANKSGIVING
WEEKEND. WINDS WILL BE VERY LIGHT FROM NORTHEAST - EAST SOUTHEAST
TODAY. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE SOUTHEAST BREEZES OVER THE NM
BOOTHEEL...WHERE GUSTS UP TO 20-25 MPH ARE POSSIBLE LATER THIS
MORNING. LIGHT SOUTHWEST BREEZES MAY BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY...SHIFTING WEST-NORTHWEST SUNDAY AS RIDGE WEAKENS AND
ALLOWS A WEAK UPPER LEVEL TROUGH TO MOVE THROUGH THE FOUR CORNERS.
POPULAR MODEL SOLUTIONS ARE FORECASTING INCREASING CLOUDS BY EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

LOWLAND MIN RH TODAY WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER TEENS TO MID
20S...LOWERING SLIGHTLY FRIDAY UNDER THE BUILDING RIDGE.
MOUNTAIN READINGS WILL END UP A FEW PERCENT HIGHER...WITH GOOD TO
EXCELLENT NIGHT TIME RECOVERIES EXPECTED OVER ALPINE MEADOWS.
ELSEWHERE FAIR TO GOOD RECOVERIES CAN BE EXPECTED. FAIR TO POOR
VENT RATES ARE EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
EL PASO                 68  37  68  39  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
SIERRA BLANCA           64  33  67  36  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
LAS CRUCES              65  33  66  36  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
ALAMOGORDO              65  33  67  37  68 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLOUDCROFT              53  32  56  39  55 /   0   0   0   0   0
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES   64  33  67  35  68 /   0   0   0   0   0
SILVER CITY             63  33  64  37  65 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEMING                  66  30  68  32  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
LORDSBURG               68  30  69  34  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
WEST EL PASO METRO      65  38  66  40  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
DELL CITY               67  32  70  34  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
FORT HANCOCK            69  33  71  35  73 /   0   0   0   0   0
LOMA LINDA              61  37  62  38  66 /   0   0   0   0   0
FABENS                  69  32  69  35  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
SANTA TERESA            65  33  66  36  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
WHITE SANDS HQ          65  37  67  39  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
JORNADA RANGE           65  26  67  32  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
HATCH                   67  28  68  34  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
COLUMBUS                65  32  67  34  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
OROGRANDE               65  35  67  38  68 /   0   0   0   0   0
MAYHILL                 60  33  64  39  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
MESCALERO               59  30  61  38  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
TIMBERON                57  30  60  36  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
WINSTON                 61  30  64  34  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
HILLSBORO               63  35  66  38  68 /   0   0   0   0   0
SPACEPORT               66  31  67  32  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
LAKE ROBERTS            64  29  65  34  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
HURLEY                  64  31  65  35  67 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLIFF                   67  24  70  32  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
MULE CREEK              66  21  67  28  67 /   0   0   0   0   0
FAYWOOD                 63  34  65  37  67 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANIMAS                  69  30  70  35  73 /   0   0   0   0   0
HACHITA                 68  27  69  33  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANTELOPE WELLS          68  30  70  34  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLOVERDALE              66  31  69  37  70 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

01 FAUSETT







000
FXUS64 KEPZ 271023
AFDEPZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
323 AM MST THU NOV 27 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL KEEP DAYTIME TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL
TODAY AND FRIDAY...WHILE WESTERLY FLOW WILL EXTEND THE MILD SPELL
THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. A PACIFIC STORM WILL
ATTEMPT TO ENTER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK...BUT SHOULD WEAKEN BY THE TIME IT REACHES THE BORDERLAND.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
THE EXPECTED WARMING TREND TOOK A BIGGER JUMP THAN EXPECTED
YESTERDAY AS THE WEST COAST UPPER RIDGE BEGAN TO MAKE ITS MOVE
EASTWARD. THE RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD EASTWARD TODAY WITH A
WEAK UPPER TROUGH OVER NORTHERN MEXICO SLOWING THE WARMING TREND
SOMEWHAT. HOWEVER THIS WILL NOT PREVENT ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES...WITH OUTSTANDING THANKSGIVING DAY WEATHER EXPECTED.
BY THE WEEKEND THE RIDGE FLATTENS A LITTLE AS WESTERLY FLOW TAKES
OVER. THIS WILL INCREASE AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES A LITTLE MORE
WITH SOME LOWLAND LOCATIONS POSSIBLY REACHING THE LOWER 70S
SATURDAY.

A WEAK BACK DOOR FRONT SHOULD BRING SLIGHT COOLING EARLY NEXT WEEK
BUT TEMPERATURES WILL STILL BE SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.
THEN A PACIFIC TROUGH MOVES INLAND AND IS SCHEDULED FOR ARRIVAL
AROUND WEDNESDAY. THE 00Z GFS IS FOLLOWING THE EARLIER ECM RUNS BY
DAMPENING OUT THIS SYSTEM...BRINGING ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS MAINLY TO THE MOUNTAINS AND THE LOWER ELEVATIONS WEST OF
THE DIVIDE. WE SHALL SEE HOW LATER MODEL RUNS HANDLE THIS SYSTEM
BUT FOR NOW WILL KEEP A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS GOING AREA WIDE
AT THAT TIME.

HAPPY THANKSGIVING!

&&

.AVIATION...VALID 27/12Z - 28/12Z... VFR CONDITIONS WITH SKC-
FEW250 THRU PD. LIGHT WINDS GENLY FROM 020-050 UNDER 5 KTS THROUGH
17Z...BECOMING 110-140 AT 05-08 KTS MOST AREAS THEREAFTER.
EXCEPTION WILL BE NM BOOTHEEL...WHERE 110-140/10-15G20 KTS ARE
EXPECTED AFT 17Z.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST OVER
THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THIS WILL MEAN SUNNY TO MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES...WITH A GRADUAL WARMING TREND THROUGH THE THANKSGIVING
WEEKEND. WINDS WILL BE VERY LIGHT FROM NORTHEAST - EAST SOUTHEAST
TODAY. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE SOUTHEAST BREEZES OVER THE NM
BOOTHEEL...WHERE GUSTS UP TO 20-25 MPH ARE POSSIBLE LATER THIS
MORNING. LIGHT SOUTHWEST BREEZES MAY BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY...SHIFTING WEST-NORTHWEST SUNDAY AS RIDGE WEAKENS AND
ALLOWS A WEAK UPPER LEVEL TROUGH TO MOVE THROUGH THE FOUR CORNERS.
POPULAR MODEL SOLUTIONS ARE FORECASTING INCREASING CLOUDS BY EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

LOWLAND MIN RH TODAY WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER TEENS TO MID
20S...LOWERING SLIGHTLY FRIDAY UNDER THE BUILDING RIDGE.
MOUNTAIN READINGS WILL END UP A FEW PERCENT HIGHER...WITH GOOD TO
EXCELLENT NIGHT TIME RECOVERIES EXPECTED OVER ALPINE MEADOWS.
ELSEWHERE FAIR TO GOOD RECOVERIES CAN BE EXPECTED. FAIR TO POOR
VENT RATES ARE EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
EL PASO                 68  37  68  39  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
SIERRA BLANCA           64  33  67  36  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
LAS CRUCES              65  33  66  36  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
ALAMOGORDO              65  33  67  37  68 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLOUDCROFT              53  32  56  39  55 /   0   0   0   0   0
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES   64  33  67  35  68 /   0   0   0   0   0
SILVER CITY             63  33  64  37  65 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEMING                  66  30  68  32  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
LORDSBURG               68  30  69  34  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
WEST EL PASO METRO      65  38  66  40  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
DELL CITY               67  32  70  34  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
FORT HANCOCK            69  33  71  35  73 /   0   0   0   0   0
LOMA LINDA              61  37  62  38  66 /   0   0   0   0   0
FABENS                  69  32  69  35  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
SANTA TERESA            65  33  66  36  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
WHITE SANDS HQ          65  37  67  39  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
JORNADA RANGE           65  26  67  32  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
HATCH                   67  28  68  34  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
COLUMBUS                65  32  67  34  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
OROGRANDE               65  35  67  38  68 /   0   0   0   0   0
MAYHILL                 60  33  64  39  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
MESCALERO               59  30  61  38  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
TIMBERON                57  30  60  36  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
WINSTON                 61  30  64  34  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
HILLSBORO               63  35  66  38  68 /   0   0   0   0   0
SPACEPORT               66  31  67  32  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
LAKE ROBERTS            64  29  65  34  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
HURLEY                  64  31  65  35  67 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLIFF                   67  24  70  32  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
MULE CREEK              66  21  67  28  67 /   0   0   0   0   0
FAYWOOD                 63  34  65  37  67 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANIMAS                  69  30  70  35  73 /   0   0   0   0   0
HACHITA                 68  27  69  33  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANTELOPE WELLS          68  30  70  34  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLOVERDALE              66  31  69  37  70 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

01 FAUSETT






000
FXUS64 KEPZ 262101
AFDEPZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
201 PM MST WED NOV 26 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
DRY AND MILD WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR OVER SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO
AND FAR WEST TEXAS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. SKIES WILL BE SUNNY WITH
GENERALLY WESTERLY WINDS. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOVE
NORMAL WITH LOWER 70S POSSIBLE FOR THE DESERT LOWLANDS BY THE
WEEKEND. A PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE AREA WITH POSSIBLE
SHOWERS TOWARD THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ON THE WEST COAST WILL MAINTAIN A DRY AND
STABLE NORTHWEST FLOW OVER STATE THROUGH FRIDAY. THIS WILL RESULT
IN A QUIET WEATHER PATTERN FOR THE FORECAST AREA WITH CLEAR
SKIES...LIGHT WINDS AND NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES
DURING THE DAY. THE DRY AIR MASS AND CLEAR SKIES WILL ALLOW FOR
DECENT RADIATIVE COOLING AT NIGHT THAT WILL KEEP OVERNIGHT
TEMPERATURES ON THE COLD SIDE.

THE RIDGE WILL FLATTEN OUT IN TO A WESTERLY ZONAL FLOW PATTERN
DURING THE WEEKEND THAT WILL ESTABLISH A WEST SURFACE FLOW WITH
WARMER TEMPERATURES EXPECTED. MUCH OF THE LOWLANDS WILL APPROACH
70 DEGREES DURING THE AFTERNOON WITH WARMER OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES
POSSIBLE.

THE WEATHER PATTERN WILL BEGIN TO CHANGE THE FIRST PART OF NEXT
WEEK AS A PACIFIC LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEEPENS OFF THE WEST COAST.
A WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL CONTINUE ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH
CONTINUED DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS. HIGHER LEVEL MOISTURE WILL
BEGIN TO MOVE INTO THE AREA WITH VARIABLE HIGH CLOUDINESS EXPECTED
BOTH DAYS. LONG RANGE MODELS MOVE THE SYSTEM THROUGH THE AREA ON
WEDNESDAY BUT ARE VARIABLE ON TIMING AND INTENSITY AT THIS TIME.
SOME HIGH ELEVATION SNOW SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF LOWLAND
RAIN SHOWERS AND BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE.

&&

.AVIATION...VALID 27/00Z - 28/00Z...
VFR CONDITIONS WITH SKC-FEW250 THRU PD. LIGHT WINDS GENLY FROM
020-050 UNDER 5 KTS THROUGH 17Z...BECOMING 110-140 AT 05-08 KTS MOST
AREAS THEREAFTER.  EXCEPTION WILL BE NM BOOTHEEL...WHERE
110-140/10-15G20 KTS ARE EXPECTED AFT 17Z.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT NOW OFF THE WEST COAST WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN
FROM THE WEST OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.  THIS WILL MEAN SUNNY TO
MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES...WITH A GRADUAL WARMING TREND THROUGH THE
THANKSGIVING WEEKEND. WINDS WILL BE VERY LIGHT FROM NORTHEAST - EAST
SOUTHEAST REST OF TODAY AND AGAIN THURSDAY. EXCEPTION WILL BE
SOUTHEAST BREEZES OVER THE NM BOOTHEEL...WHERE GUSTS UP TO 20-25 MPH
ABE POSSIBLE MID AND LATE THURSDAY MORNING. LIGHT SOUTHWEST BREEZES
MAY BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...SHIFTING WEST-NORTHWEST SUNDAY
AS RIDGE WEAKENS AND ALLOWS A WEAK UPPER LEVEL TROUGH TO MOVE
THROUGH THE FOUR CORNERS.  POPULAR MODEL SOLUTIONS ARE FORECASTING
INCREASING CLOUDS BY EARLY NEXT WEEK.

LOWLAND MIN RH TODAY AND THURSDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER TEENS TO
MID 20S...LOWERING A COUPLE PERCENT FRIDAY UNDER THE BUILDING RIDGE.
MOUNTAIN READINGS WILL END UP A FEW PERCENT HIGHER...WITH GOOD TO
EXCELLENT NIGHT TIME RECOVERIES EXPECTED OVER ALPINE MEADOWS.
ELSEWHERE FAIR TO GOOD RECOVERIES CAN BE EXPECTED.  FAIR TO POOR
VENT RATES ARE EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
EL PASO                 35  65  37  66  39 /   0   0   0   0   0
SIERRA BLANCA           31  61  33  65  36 /   0   0   0   0   0
LAS CRUCES              32  62  33  64  36 /   0   0   0   0   0
ALAMOGORDO              32  62  33  65  37 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLOUDCROFT              28  51  32  55  39 /   0   0   0   0   0
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES   32  61  33  65  35 /   0   0   0   0   0
SILVER CITY             32  60  33  62  37 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEMING                  30  63  30  66  32 /   0   0   0   0   0
LORDSBURG               29  65  30  67  34 /   0   0   0   0   0
WEST EL PASO METRO      37  62  38  64  40 /   0   0   0   0   0
DELL CITY               30  64  32  68  34 /   0   0   0   0   0
FORT HANCOCK            33  66  33  69  35 /   0   0   0   0   0
LOMA LINDA              35  58  37  60  38 /   0   0   0   0   0
FABENS                  31  66  32  67  35 /   0   0   0   0   0
SANTA TERESA            32  62  33  64  36 /   0   0   0   0   0
WHITE SANDS HQ          35  62  37  65  39 /   0   0   0   0   0
JORNADA RANGE           25  62  26  65  32 /   0   0   0   0   0
HATCH                   28  64  28  66  34 /   0   0   0   0   0
COLUMBUS                32  62  32  65  34 /   0   0   0   0   0
OROGRANDE               33  62  35  65  38 /   0   0   0   0   0
MAYHILL                 29  57  33  62  39 /   0   0   0   0   0
MESCALERO               28  56  30  59  38 /   0   0   0   0   0
TIMBERON                29  54  30  58  36 /   0   0   0   0   0
WINSTON                 29  58  30  62  34 /   0   0   0   0   0
HILLSBORO               34  60  35  64  38 /   0   0   0   0   0
SPACEPORT               28  63  31  65  32 /   0   0   0   0   0
LAKE ROBERTS            27  61  29  63  34 /   0   0   0   0   0
HURLEY                  30  61  31  63  35 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLIFF                   22  64  24  68  32 /   0   0   0   0   0
MULE CREEK              19  63  21  65  28 /   0   0   0   0   0
FAYWOOD                 33  60  34  63  37 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANIMAS                  30  66  30  68  35 /   0   0   0   0   0
HACHITA                 28  65  27  67  33 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANTELOPE WELLS          29  65  30  68  34 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLOVERDALE              31  63  31  67  37 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

04/22 LUNDEEN/TRIPOLI







000
FXUS64 KEPZ 262101
AFDEPZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
201 PM MST WED NOV 26 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
DRY AND MILD WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR OVER SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO
AND FAR WEST TEXAS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. SKIES WILL BE SUNNY WITH
GENERALLY WESTERLY WINDS. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOVE
NORMAL WITH LOWER 70S POSSIBLE FOR THE DESERT LOWLANDS BY THE
WEEKEND. A PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE AREA WITH POSSIBLE
SHOWERS TOWARD THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ON THE WEST COAST WILL MAINTAIN A DRY AND
STABLE NORTHWEST FLOW OVER STATE THROUGH FRIDAY. THIS WILL RESULT
IN A QUIET WEATHER PATTERN FOR THE FORECAST AREA WITH CLEAR
SKIES...LIGHT WINDS AND NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES
DURING THE DAY. THE DRY AIR MASS AND CLEAR SKIES WILL ALLOW FOR
DECENT RADIATIVE COOLING AT NIGHT THAT WILL KEEP OVERNIGHT
TEMPERATURES ON THE COLD SIDE.

THE RIDGE WILL FLATTEN OUT IN TO A WESTERLY ZONAL FLOW PATTERN
DURING THE WEEKEND THAT WILL ESTABLISH A WEST SURFACE FLOW WITH
WARMER TEMPERATURES EXPECTED. MUCH OF THE LOWLANDS WILL APPROACH
70 DEGREES DURING THE AFTERNOON WITH WARMER OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES
POSSIBLE.

THE WEATHER PATTERN WILL BEGIN TO CHANGE THE FIRST PART OF NEXT
WEEK AS A PACIFIC LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEEPENS OFF THE WEST COAST.
A WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL CONTINUE ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH
CONTINUED DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS. HIGHER LEVEL MOISTURE WILL
BEGIN TO MOVE INTO THE AREA WITH VARIABLE HIGH CLOUDINESS EXPECTED
BOTH DAYS. LONG RANGE MODELS MOVE THE SYSTEM THROUGH THE AREA ON
WEDNESDAY BUT ARE VARIABLE ON TIMING AND INTENSITY AT THIS TIME.
SOME HIGH ELEVATION SNOW SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF LOWLAND
RAIN SHOWERS AND BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE.

&&

.AVIATION...VALID 27/00Z - 28/00Z...
VFR CONDITIONS WITH SKC-FEW250 THRU PD. LIGHT WINDS GENLY FROM
020-050 UNDER 5 KTS THROUGH 17Z...BECOMING 110-140 AT 05-08 KTS MOST
AREAS THEREAFTER.  EXCEPTION WILL BE NM BOOTHEEL...WHERE
110-140/10-15G20 KTS ARE EXPECTED AFT 17Z.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT NOW OFF THE WEST COAST WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN
FROM THE WEST OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.  THIS WILL MEAN SUNNY TO
MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES...WITH A GRADUAL WARMING TREND THROUGH THE
THANKSGIVING WEEKEND. WINDS WILL BE VERY LIGHT FROM NORTHEAST - EAST
SOUTHEAST REST OF TODAY AND AGAIN THURSDAY. EXCEPTION WILL BE
SOUTHEAST BREEZES OVER THE NM BOOTHEEL...WHERE GUSTS UP TO 20-25 MPH
ABE POSSIBLE MID AND LATE THURSDAY MORNING. LIGHT SOUTHWEST BREEZES
MAY BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...SHIFTING WEST-NORTHWEST SUNDAY
AS RIDGE WEAKENS AND ALLOWS A WEAK UPPER LEVEL TROUGH TO MOVE
THROUGH THE FOUR CORNERS.  POPULAR MODEL SOLUTIONS ARE FORECASTING
INCREASING CLOUDS BY EARLY NEXT WEEK.

LOWLAND MIN RH TODAY AND THURSDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER TEENS TO
MID 20S...LOWERING A COUPLE PERCENT FRIDAY UNDER THE BUILDING RIDGE.
MOUNTAIN READINGS WILL END UP A FEW PERCENT HIGHER...WITH GOOD TO
EXCELLENT NIGHT TIME RECOVERIES EXPECTED OVER ALPINE MEADOWS.
ELSEWHERE FAIR TO GOOD RECOVERIES CAN BE EXPECTED.  FAIR TO POOR
VENT RATES ARE EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
EL PASO                 35  65  37  66  39 /   0   0   0   0   0
SIERRA BLANCA           31  61  33  65  36 /   0   0   0   0   0
LAS CRUCES              32  62  33  64  36 /   0   0   0   0   0
ALAMOGORDO              32  62  33  65  37 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLOUDCROFT              28  51  32  55  39 /   0   0   0   0   0
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES   32  61  33  65  35 /   0   0   0   0   0
SILVER CITY             32  60  33  62  37 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEMING                  30  63  30  66  32 /   0   0   0   0   0
LORDSBURG               29  65  30  67  34 /   0   0   0   0   0
WEST EL PASO METRO      37  62  38  64  40 /   0   0   0   0   0
DELL CITY               30  64  32  68  34 /   0   0   0   0   0
FORT HANCOCK            33  66  33  69  35 /   0   0   0   0   0
LOMA LINDA              35  58  37  60  38 /   0   0   0   0   0
FABENS                  31  66  32  67  35 /   0   0   0   0   0
SANTA TERESA            32  62  33  64  36 /   0   0   0   0   0
WHITE SANDS HQ          35  62  37  65  39 /   0   0   0   0   0
JORNADA RANGE           25  62  26  65  32 /   0   0   0   0   0
HATCH                   28  64  28  66  34 /   0   0   0   0   0
COLUMBUS                32  62  32  65  34 /   0   0   0   0   0
OROGRANDE               33  62  35  65  38 /   0   0   0   0   0
MAYHILL                 29  57  33  62  39 /   0   0   0   0   0
MESCALERO               28  56  30  59  38 /   0   0   0   0   0
TIMBERON                29  54  30  58  36 /   0   0   0   0   0
WINSTON                 29  58  30  62  34 /   0   0   0   0   0
HILLSBORO               34  60  35  64  38 /   0   0   0   0   0
SPACEPORT               28  63  31  65  32 /   0   0   0   0   0
LAKE ROBERTS            27  61  29  63  34 /   0   0   0   0   0
HURLEY                  30  61  31  63  35 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLIFF                   22  64  24  68  32 /   0   0   0   0   0
MULE CREEK              19  63  21  65  28 /   0   0   0   0   0
FAYWOOD                 33  60  34  63  37 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANIMAS                  30  66  30  68  35 /   0   0   0   0   0
HACHITA                 28  65  27  67  33 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANTELOPE WELLS          29  65  30  68  34 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLOVERDALE              31  63  31  67  37 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

04/22 LUNDEEN/TRIPOLI






000
FXUS64 KEPZ 261006
AFDEPZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
306 AM MST WED NOV 26 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST COAST WILL BRING A
WARMING TREND WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN PLACE BY
THANKSGIVING DAY. MILD AND DRY WEATHER WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE
WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THEN A PACIFIC STORM WILL MOVE
INLAND AND BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO THE AREA DURING THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
NORTHWEST FLOW OVER THE AREA IS WEAKENING AS THE WEST COAST UPPER
RIDGE BUILDS EASTWARD. THIS RIDGE WILL CONTROL OUR WEATHER THROUGH
FRIDAY AND SEND OUR TEMPERATURES 8 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. WE
SHOULD RETURN TO NORMAL OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE TODAY...WITH A WEAK
TROUGH WITHIN THE RIDGE KEEPING THE WARMING GRADUAL THE NEXT 2
DAYS. EVEN SO THANKSGIVING DAY WILL BE DOWNRIGHT PLEASANT. ANOTHER
JUMP IN TEMPS FRIDAY WILL ALLOW SOME OF THE LOWLANDS TO THREATEN
THE 70 DEGREE MARK. THE RIDGE THEN BREAKS DOWN BUT WEST TO
SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL KEEP THOSE TEMPS MILD INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. NO
COMPLAINTS HERE.

A PACIFIC TROUGH WILL ATTEMPT TO MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS THE
BORDERLAND TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...WITH THE GFS STILL
BRINGING SHOWERS OVER THE AREA THOUGH THE 00Z RUN BACKED OFF A
LITTLE. THE 00Z ECM DAMPENS THE TROUGH OUT AND MAINTAINS SOME
DEGREE OF RIDGING OVER THE SOUTHWEST. GFS...COOLER AND SHOWERY
WITH LOW LEVEL EASTERLIES BY MIDWEEK. ECM...MILD AND MAINLY DRY
DURING THE SAME PERIOD. WILL STICK WITH GFS FOR NOW.

&&

.AVIATION...VALID 26/12Z-27/12Z... P6SM SKC-FEW250 THRU PD. WINDS
MAINLY LT AND VARIABLE ALL TERMINALS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY START WARMING UP OVER THE REMAINDER OF
THE WEEK AS A BROAD RIDGE SETS UP OVER THE WESTERN CONUS. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE 20S THROUGH FRIDAY AND
THEN STARTING TO FALL INTO THE TEENS FOR THE WEEKEND AS HIGH
TEMPERATURES WARM ABOVE NORMAL. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT
THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH LITTLE TO NO CHANCE FOR
PRECIPITATION.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
EL PASO                 59  35  64  38  66 /   0   0   0   0   0
SIERRA BLANCA           56  32  60  34  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
LAS CRUCES              57  32  61  33  63 /   0   0   0   0   0
ALAMOGORDO              57  33  61  35  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLOUDCROFT              41  26  49  30  52 /   0   0   0   0   0
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES   57  33  60  34  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
SILVER CITY             53  33  58  35  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEMING                  58  30  62  31  65 /   0   0   0   0   0
LORDSBURG               59  29  64  31  66 /   0   0   0   0   0
WEST EL PASO METRO      57  37  62  39  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
DELL CITY               60  31  64  33  67 /   0   0   0   0   0
FORT HANCOCK            61  34  65  34  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
LOMA LINDA              51  36  56  39  58 /   0   0   0   0   0
FABENS                  60  32  65  34  67 /   0   0   0   0   0
SANTA TERESA            57  33  61  34  63 /   0   0   0   0   0
WHITE SANDS HQ          56  36  61  38  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
JORNADA RANGE           57  24  61  25  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
HATCH                   58  27  63  27  65 /   0   0   0   0   0
COLUMBUS                57  33  61  33  65 /   0   0   0   0   0
OROGRANDE               56  34  61  37  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
MAYHILL                 51  29  55  33  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
MESCALERO               48  28  54  30  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
TIMBERON                48  28  53  31  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
WINSTON                 53  30  56  30  59 /   0   0   0   0   0
HILLSBORO               54  35  58  37  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
SPACEPORT               58  29  62  32  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
LAKE ROBERTS            55  28  58  30  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
HURLEY                  54  31  59  33  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLIFF                   57  20  60  22  66 /   0   0   0   0   0
MULE CREEK              55  17  59  19  62 /   0   0   0   0   0
FAYWOOD                 54  34  58  35  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANIMAS                  60  31  65  31  67 /   0   0   0   0   0
HACHITA                 59  29  64  28  67 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANTELOPE WELLS          60  30  64  31  67 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLOVERDALE              58  32  61  33  64 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

01 FAUSETT







000
FXUS64 KEPZ 261006
AFDEPZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
306 AM MST WED NOV 26 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST COAST WILL BRING A
WARMING TREND WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN PLACE BY
THANKSGIVING DAY. MILD AND DRY WEATHER WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE
WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THEN A PACIFIC STORM WILL MOVE
INLAND AND BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO THE AREA DURING THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
NORTHWEST FLOW OVER THE AREA IS WEAKENING AS THE WEST COAST UPPER
RIDGE BUILDS EASTWARD. THIS RIDGE WILL CONTROL OUR WEATHER THROUGH
FRIDAY AND SEND OUR TEMPERATURES 8 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. WE
SHOULD RETURN TO NORMAL OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE TODAY...WITH A WEAK
TROUGH WITHIN THE RIDGE KEEPING THE WARMING GRADUAL THE NEXT 2
DAYS. EVEN SO THANKSGIVING DAY WILL BE DOWNRIGHT PLEASANT. ANOTHER
JUMP IN TEMPS FRIDAY WILL ALLOW SOME OF THE LOWLANDS TO THREATEN
THE 70 DEGREE MARK. THE RIDGE THEN BREAKS DOWN BUT WEST TO
SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL KEEP THOSE TEMPS MILD INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. NO
COMPLAINTS HERE.

A PACIFIC TROUGH WILL ATTEMPT TO MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS THE
BORDERLAND TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...WITH THE GFS STILL
BRINGING SHOWERS OVER THE AREA THOUGH THE 00Z RUN BACKED OFF A
LITTLE. THE 00Z ECM DAMPENS THE TROUGH OUT AND MAINTAINS SOME
DEGREE OF RIDGING OVER THE SOUTHWEST. GFS...COOLER AND SHOWERY
WITH LOW LEVEL EASTERLIES BY MIDWEEK. ECM...MILD AND MAINLY DRY
DURING THE SAME PERIOD. WILL STICK WITH GFS FOR NOW.

&&

.AVIATION...VALID 26/12Z-27/12Z... P6SM SKC-FEW250 THRU PD. WINDS
MAINLY LT AND VARIABLE ALL TERMINALS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY START WARMING UP OVER THE REMAINDER OF
THE WEEK AS A BROAD RIDGE SETS UP OVER THE WESTERN CONUS. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE 20S THROUGH FRIDAY AND
THEN STARTING TO FALL INTO THE TEENS FOR THE WEEKEND AS HIGH
TEMPERATURES WARM ABOVE NORMAL. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT
THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH LITTLE TO NO CHANCE FOR
PRECIPITATION.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
EL PASO                 59  35  64  38  66 /   0   0   0   0   0
SIERRA BLANCA           56  32  60  34  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
LAS CRUCES              57  32  61  33  63 /   0   0   0   0   0
ALAMOGORDO              57  33  61  35  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLOUDCROFT              41  26  49  30  52 /   0   0   0   0   0
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES   57  33  60  34  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
SILVER CITY             53  33  58  35  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEMING                  58  30  62  31  65 /   0   0   0   0   0
LORDSBURG               59  29  64  31  66 /   0   0   0   0   0
WEST EL PASO METRO      57  37  62  39  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
DELL CITY               60  31  64  33  67 /   0   0   0   0   0
FORT HANCOCK            61  34  65  34  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
LOMA LINDA              51  36  56  39  58 /   0   0   0   0   0
FABENS                  60  32  65  34  67 /   0   0   0   0   0
SANTA TERESA            57  33  61  34  63 /   0   0   0   0   0
WHITE SANDS HQ          56  36  61  38  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
JORNADA RANGE           57  24  61  25  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
HATCH                   58  27  63  27  65 /   0   0   0   0   0
COLUMBUS                57  33  61  33  65 /   0   0   0   0   0
OROGRANDE               56  34  61  37  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
MAYHILL                 51  29  55  33  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
MESCALERO               48  28  54  30  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
TIMBERON                48  28  53  31  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
WINSTON                 53  30  56  30  59 /   0   0   0   0   0
HILLSBORO               54  35  58  37  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
SPACEPORT               58  29  62  32  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
LAKE ROBERTS            55  28  58  30  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
HURLEY                  54  31  59  33  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLIFF                   57  20  60  22  66 /   0   0   0   0   0
MULE CREEK              55  17  59  19  62 /   0   0   0   0   0
FAYWOOD                 54  34  58  35  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANIMAS                  60  31  65  31  67 /   0   0   0   0   0
HACHITA                 59  29  64  28  67 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANTELOPE WELLS          60  30  64  31  67 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLOVERDALE              58  32  61  33  64 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

01 FAUSETT






000
FXUS64 KEPZ 261006
AFDEPZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
306 AM MST WED NOV 26 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST COAST WILL BRING A
WARMING TREND WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN PLACE BY
THANKSGIVING DAY. MILD AND DRY WEATHER WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE
WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THEN A PACIFIC STORM WILL MOVE
INLAND AND BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO THE AREA DURING THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
NORTHWEST FLOW OVER THE AREA IS WEAKENING AS THE WEST COAST UPPER
RIDGE BUILDS EASTWARD. THIS RIDGE WILL CONTROL OUR WEATHER THROUGH
FRIDAY AND SEND OUR TEMPERATURES 8 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. WE
SHOULD RETURN TO NORMAL OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE TODAY...WITH A WEAK
TROUGH WITHIN THE RIDGE KEEPING THE WARMING GRADUAL THE NEXT 2
DAYS. EVEN SO THANKSGIVING DAY WILL BE DOWNRIGHT PLEASANT. ANOTHER
JUMP IN TEMPS FRIDAY WILL ALLOW SOME OF THE LOWLANDS TO THREATEN
THE 70 DEGREE MARK. THE RIDGE THEN BREAKS DOWN BUT WEST TO
SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL KEEP THOSE TEMPS MILD INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. NO
COMPLAINTS HERE.

A PACIFIC TROUGH WILL ATTEMPT TO MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS THE
BORDERLAND TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...WITH THE GFS STILL
BRINGING SHOWERS OVER THE AREA THOUGH THE 00Z RUN BACKED OFF A
LITTLE. THE 00Z ECM DAMPENS THE TROUGH OUT AND MAINTAINS SOME
DEGREE OF RIDGING OVER THE SOUTHWEST. GFS...COOLER AND SHOWERY
WITH LOW LEVEL EASTERLIES BY MIDWEEK. ECM...MILD AND MAINLY DRY
DURING THE SAME PERIOD. WILL STICK WITH GFS FOR NOW.

&&

.AVIATION...VALID 26/12Z-27/12Z... P6SM SKC-FEW250 THRU PD. WINDS
MAINLY LT AND VARIABLE ALL TERMINALS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY START WARMING UP OVER THE REMAINDER OF
THE WEEK AS A BROAD RIDGE SETS UP OVER THE WESTERN CONUS. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE 20S THROUGH FRIDAY AND
THEN STARTING TO FALL INTO THE TEENS FOR THE WEEKEND AS HIGH
TEMPERATURES WARM ABOVE NORMAL. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT
THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH LITTLE TO NO CHANCE FOR
PRECIPITATION.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
EL PASO                 59  35  64  38  66 /   0   0   0   0   0
SIERRA BLANCA           56  32  60  34  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
LAS CRUCES              57  32  61  33  63 /   0   0   0   0   0
ALAMOGORDO              57  33  61  35  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLOUDCROFT              41  26  49  30  52 /   0   0   0   0   0
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES   57  33  60  34  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
SILVER CITY             53  33  58  35  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEMING                  58  30  62  31  65 /   0   0   0   0   0
LORDSBURG               59  29  64  31  66 /   0   0   0   0   0
WEST EL PASO METRO      57  37  62  39  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
DELL CITY               60  31  64  33  67 /   0   0   0   0   0
FORT HANCOCK            61  34  65  34  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
LOMA LINDA              51  36  56  39  58 /   0   0   0   0   0
FABENS                  60  32  65  34  67 /   0   0   0   0   0
SANTA TERESA            57  33  61  34  63 /   0   0   0   0   0
WHITE SANDS HQ          56  36  61  38  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
JORNADA RANGE           57  24  61  25  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
HATCH                   58  27  63  27  65 /   0   0   0   0   0
COLUMBUS                57  33  61  33  65 /   0   0   0   0   0
OROGRANDE               56  34  61  37  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
MAYHILL                 51  29  55  33  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
MESCALERO               48  28  54  30  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
TIMBERON                48  28  53  31  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
WINSTON                 53  30  56  30  59 /   0   0   0   0   0
HILLSBORO               54  35  58  37  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
SPACEPORT               58  29  62  32  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
LAKE ROBERTS            55  28  58  30  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
HURLEY                  54  31  59  33  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLIFF                   57  20  60  22  66 /   0   0   0   0   0
MULE CREEK              55  17  59  19  62 /   0   0   0   0   0
FAYWOOD                 54  34  58  35  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANIMAS                  60  31  65  31  67 /   0   0   0   0   0
HACHITA                 59  29  64  28  67 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANTELOPE WELLS          60  30  64  31  67 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLOVERDALE              58  32  61  33  64 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

01 FAUSETT







000
FXUS64 KEPZ 261006
AFDEPZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
306 AM MST WED NOV 26 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST COAST WILL BRING A
WARMING TREND WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN PLACE BY
THANKSGIVING DAY. MILD AND DRY WEATHER WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE
WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THEN A PACIFIC STORM WILL MOVE
INLAND AND BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO THE AREA DURING THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
NORTHWEST FLOW OVER THE AREA IS WEAKENING AS THE WEST COAST UPPER
RIDGE BUILDS EASTWARD. THIS RIDGE WILL CONTROL OUR WEATHER THROUGH
FRIDAY AND SEND OUR TEMPERATURES 8 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. WE
SHOULD RETURN TO NORMAL OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE TODAY...WITH A WEAK
TROUGH WITHIN THE RIDGE KEEPING THE WARMING GRADUAL THE NEXT 2
DAYS. EVEN SO THANKSGIVING DAY WILL BE DOWNRIGHT PLEASANT. ANOTHER
JUMP IN TEMPS FRIDAY WILL ALLOW SOME OF THE LOWLANDS TO THREATEN
THE 70 DEGREE MARK. THE RIDGE THEN BREAKS DOWN BUT WEST TO
SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL KEEP THOSE TEMPS MILD INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. NO
COMPLAINTS HERE.

A PACIFIC TROUGH WILL ATTEMPT TO MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS THE
BORDERLAND TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...WITH THE GFS STILL
BRINGING SHOWERS OVER THE AREA THOUGH THE 00Z RUN BACKED OFF A
LITTLE. THE 00Z ECM DAMPENS THE TROUGH OUT AND MAINTAINS SOME
DEGREE OF RIDGING OVER THE SOUTHWEST. GFS...COOLER AND SHOWERY
WITH LOW LEVEL EASTERLIES BY MIDWEEK. ECM...MILD AND MAINLY DRY
DURING THE SAME PERIOD. WILL STICK WITH GFS FOR NOW.

&&

.AVIATION...VALID 26/12Z-27/12Z... P6SM SKC-FEW250 THRU PD. WINDS
MAINLY LT AND VARIABLE ALL TERMINALS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY START WARMING UP OVER THE REMAINDER OF
THE WEEK AS A BROAD RIDGE SETS UP OVER THE WESTERN CONUS. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE 20S THROUGH FRIDAY AND
THEN STARTING TO FALL INTO THE TEENS FOR THE WEEKEND AS HIGH
TEMPERATURES WARM ABOVE NORMAL. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT
THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH LITTLE TO NO CHANCE FOR
PRECIPITATION.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
EL PASO                 59  35  64  38  66 /   0   0   0   0   0
SIERRA BLANCA           56  32  60  34  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
LAS CRUCES              57  32  61  33  63 /   0   0   0   0   0
ALAMOGORDO              57  33  61  35  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLOUDCROFT              41  26  49  30  52 /   0   0   0   0   0
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES   57  33  60  34  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
SILVER CITY             53  33  58  35  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEMING                  58  30  62  31  65 /   0   0   0   0   0
LORDSBURG               59  29  64  31  66 /   0   0   0   0   0
WEST EL PASO METRO      57  37  62  39  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
DELL CITY               60  31  64  33  67 /   0   0   0   0   0
FORT HANCOCK            61  34  65  34  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
LOMA LINDA              51  36  56  39  58 /   0   0   0   0   0
FABENS                  60  32  65  34  67 /   0   0   0   0   0
SANTA TERESA            57  33  61  34  63 /   0   0   0   0   0
WHITE SANDS HQ          56  36  61  38  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
JORNADA RANGE           57  24  61  25  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
HATCH                   58  27  63  27  65 /   0   0   0   0   0
COLUMBUS                57  33  61  33  65 /   0   0   0   0   0
OROGRANDE               56  34  61  37  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
MAYHILL                 51  29  55  33  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
MESCALERO               48  28  54  30  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
TIMBERON                48  28  53  31  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
WINSTON                 53  30  56  30  59 /   0   0   0   0   0
HILLSBORO               54  35  58  37  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
SPACEPORT               58  29  62  32  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
LAKE ROBERTS            55  28  58  30  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
HURLEY                  54  31  59  33  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLIFF                   57  20  60  22  66 /   0   0   0   0   0
MULE CREEK              55  17  59  19  62 /   0   0   0   0   0
FAYWOOD                 54  34  58  35  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANIMAS                  60  31  65  31  67 /   0   0   0   0   0
HACHITA                 59  29  64  28  67 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANTELOPE WELLS          60  30  64  31  67 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLOVERDALE              58  32  61  33  64 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

01 FAUSETT






000
FXUS64 KEPZ 252015
AFDEPZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
115 PM MST TUE NOV 25 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A DRY AND QUIET WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED THROUGH MOST OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD. COOL TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY MODIFY BEGINNING
TOMORROW THEN CONTINUING AT LEAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND...BECOMING
ABOVE NORMAL FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL
BUILD INTO THE REGION BEFORE GIVING WAY TO A ZONAL WEST TO EAST
FLOW EARLY NEXT WEEK. AN UPPER TROUGH IS LIKELY TO BRING SHOWERS
DURING MID WEEK ...BUT TIMING IS UNCERTAIN AND PROBABLY WOULD
AFFECT US NO EARLIER THAN TUESDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
MAIN UPPER TROUGH AXIS ALIGNED ALONG MSP-PRS LINE. ALL MODELS
INDICATE A WEAK H5 TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO FORM OVER NORTHERN MX AS
PRIMARY POLAR TROUGH CONTINUES EAST. FORTUNATELY...NO MOISTURE OR
LIFT OF ANY CONSEQUENCE WILL ACCOMPANY THIS TROUGH. IT SHOULD...
HOWEVER...ALLOW OUR WINDS TO TURN LIGHT SOUTHERLY BY LATER
TOMORROW. THIS SHOULD START A SLOW WARMUP FOR WEDNESDAY AND AS THE
UPPER RIDGE FLATTENS...WE WILL TRANSITION TO A SW FLOW ALOFT WITH
THE WARMING CONTINUING THOUGH MONDAY.

AN UPPER TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE WEST COAST FROM THE
NE PACIFIC ON MONDAY AND A FEW SHOWERS COULD REACH WESTERN
PORTIONS EARLY TUESDAY BEFORE SPREADING N AND E. GFS IS FASTER...
WARMER AND SHALLOWER THAN THE ECMWF. REGARDLESS...WE WILL NEED TO
KEEP AN EYE THAT SYSTEM FOR THE POTENTIAL OF RAIN AND MOUNTAIN
SNOW FOR TUESDAY AND NEXT WEDNESDAY,

&&

.AVIATION...VALID 26/00Z-27/00Z...
P6SM SKC-FEW250 THRU PD. W TO SW WINDS AOB 10KTS THRU 12Z THEN
BECOMING LT AND VARIABLE ALL TERMINALS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY START WARMING UP OVER THE REMAINDER OF
THE WEEK AS A BROAD RIDGE SETS UP OVER THE WESTERN CONUS. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE 20S THROUGH FRIDAY AND
THEN STARTING TO FALL INTO THE TEENS FOR THE WEEKEND AS HIGH
TEMPERATURES WARM ABOVE NORMAL. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT
THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH LITTLE TO NO CHANCE FOR
PRECIPITATION.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
EL PASO                 28  59  35  64  38 /   0   0   0   0   0
SIERRA BLANCA           27  56  32  60  34 /   0   0   0   0   0
LAS CRUCES              26  57  32  61  33 /   0   0   0   0   0
ALAMOGORDO              25  57  33  61  35 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLOUDCROFT              17  41  26  49  30 /   0   0   0   0   0
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES   27  57  33  60  34 /   0   0   0   0   0
SILVER CITY             27  53  33  58  35 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEMING                  24  58  30  62  31 /   0   0   0   0   0
LORDSBURG               22  59  29  64  31 /   0   0   0   0   0
WEST EL PASO METRO      31  57  37  62  39 /   0   0   0   0   0
DELL CITY               23  60  31  64  33 /   0   0   0   0   0
FORT HANCOCK            27  61  34  65  34 /   0   0   0   0   0
LOMA LINDA              29  51  36  56  39 /   0   0   0   0   0
FABENS                  25  60  32  65  34 /   0   0   0   0   0
SANTA TERESA            26  57  33  61  34 /   0   0   0   0   0
WHITE SANDS HQ          29  56  36  61  38 /   0   0   0   0   0
JORNADA RANGE           20  57  24  61  25 /   0   0   0   0   0
HATCH                   23  58  27  63  27 /   0   0   0   0   0
COLUMBUS                27  57  33  61  33 /   0   0   0   0   0
OROGRANDE               26  56  34  61  37 /   0   0   0   0   0
MAYHILL                 19  51  29  55  33 /   0   0   0   0   0
MESCALERO               16  48  28  54  30 /   0   0   0   0   0
TIMBERON                17  48  28  53  31 /   0   0   0   0   0
WINSTON                 24  53  30  56  30 /   0   0   0   0   0
HILLSBORO               28  54  35  58  37 /   0   0   0   0   0
SPACEPORT               23  58  29  62  32 /   0   0   0   0   0
LAKE ROBERTS            22  55  28  58  30 /   0   0   0   0   0
HURLEY                  27  54  31  59  33 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLIFF                   13  57  20  60  22 /   0   0   0   0   0
MULE CREEK              12  55  17  59  19 /   0   0   0   0   0
FAYWOOD                 27  54  34  58  35 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANIMAS                  24  60  31  65  31 /   0   0   0   0   0
HACHITA                 22  59  29  64  28 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANTELOPE WELLS          25  60  30  64  31 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLOVERDALE              25  58  32  61  33 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

02/26






000
FXUS64 KEPZ 252015
AFDEPZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
115 PM MST TUE NOV 25 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A DRY AND QUIET WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED THROUGH MOST OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD. COOL TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY MODIFY BEGINNING
TOMORROW THEN CONTINUING AT LEAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND...BECOMING
ABOVE NORMAL FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL
BUILD INTO THE REGION BEFORE GIVING WAY TO A ZONAL WEST TO EAST
FLOW EARLY NEXT WEEK. AN UPPER TROUGH IS LIKELY TO BRING SHOWERS
DURING MID WEEK ...BUT TIMING IS UNCERTAIN AND PROBABLY WOULD
AFFECT US NO EARLIER THAN TUESDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
MAIN UPPER TROUGH AXIS ALIGNED ALONG MSP-PRS LINE. ALL MODELS
INDICATE A WEAK H5 TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO FORM OVER NORTHERN MX AS
PRIMARY POLAR TROUGH CONTINUES EAST. FORTUNATELY...NO MOISTURE OR
LIFT OF ANY CONSEQUENCE WILL ACCOMPANY THIS TROUGH. IT SHOULD...
HOWEVER...ALLOW OUR WINDS TO TURN LIGHT SOUTHERLY BY LATER
TOMORROW. THIS SHOULD START A SLOW WARMUP FOR WEDNESDAY AND AS THE
UPPER RIDGE FLATTENS...WE WILL TRANSITION TO A SW FLOW ALOFT WITH
THE WARMING CONTINUING THOUGH MONDAY.

AN UPPER TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE WEST COAST FROM THE
NE PACIFIC ON MONDAY AND A FEW SHOWERS COULD REACH WESTERN
PORTIONS EARLY TUESDAY BEFORE SPREADING N AND E. GFS IS FASTER...
WARMER AND SHALLOWER THAN THE ECMWF. REGARDLESS...WE WILL NEED TO
KEEP AN EYE THAT SYSTEM FOR THE POTENTIAL OF RAIN AND MOUNTAIN
SNOW FOR TUESDAY AND NEXT WEDNESDAY,

&&

.AVIATION...VALID 26/00Z-27/00Z...
P6SM SKC-FEW250 THRU PD. W TO SW WINDS AOB 10KTS THRU 12Z THEN
BECOMING LT AND VARIABLE ALL TERMINALS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY START WARMING UP OVER THE REMAINDER OF
THE WEEK AS A BROAD RIDGE SETS UP OVER THE WESTERN CONUS. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE 20S THROUGH FRIDAY AND
THEN STARTING TO FALL INTO THE TEENS FOR THE WEEKEND AS HIGH
TEMPERATURES WARM ABOVE NORMAL. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT
THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH LITTLE TO NO CHANCE FOR
PRECIPITATION.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
EL PASO                 28  59  35  64  38 /   0   0   0   0   0
SIERRA BLANCA           27  56  32  60  34 /   0   0   0   0   0
LAS CRUCES              26  57  32  61  33 /   0   0   0   0   0
ALAMOGORDO              25  57  33  61  35 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLOUDCROFT              17  41  26  49  30 /   0   0   0   0   0
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES   27  57  33  60  34 /   0   0   0   0   0
SILVER CITY             27  53  33  58  35 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEMING                  24  58  30  62  31 /   0   0   0   0   0
LORDSBURG               22  59  29  64  31 /   0   0   0   0   0
WEST EL PASO METRO      31  57  37  62  39 /   0   0   0   0   0
DELL CITY               23  60  31  64  33 /   0   0   0   0   0
FORT HANCOCK            27  61  34  65  34 /   0   0   0   0   0
LOMA LINDA              29  51  36  56  39 /   0   0   0   0   0
FABENS                  25  60  32  65  34 /   0   0   0   0   0
SANTA TERESA            26  57  33  61  34 /   0   0   0   0   0
WHITE SANDS HQ          29  56  36  61  38 /   0   0   0   0   0
JORNADA RANGE           20  57  24  61  25 /   0   0   0   0   0
HATCH                   23  58  27  63  27 /   0   0   0   0   0
COLUMBUS                27  57  33  61  33 /   0   0   0   0   0
OROGRANDE               26  56  34  61  37 /   0   0   0   0   0
MAYHILL                 19  51  29  55  33 /   0   0   0   0   0
MESCALERO               16  48  28  54  30 /   0   0   0   0   0
TIMBERON                17  48  28  53  31 /   0   0   0   0   0
WINSTON                 24  53  30  56  30 /   0   0   0   0   0
HILLSBORO               28  54  35  58  37 /   0   0   0   0   0
SPACEPORT               23  58  29  62  32 /   0   0   0   0   0
LAKE ROBERTS            22  55  28  58  30 /   0   0   0   0   0
HURLEY                  27  54  31  59  33 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLIFF                   13  57  20  60  22 /   0   0   0   0   0
MULE CREEK              12  55  17  59  19 /   0   0   0   0   0
FAYWOOD                 27  54  34  58  35 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANIMAS                  24  60  31  65  31 /   0   0   0   0   0
HACHITA                 22  59  29  64  28 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANTELOPE WELLS          25  60  30  64  31 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLOVERDALE              25  58  32  61  33 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

02/26







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