Home > Products > Valid Products > AFD

000
FXUS64 KEWX 040856
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
356 AM CDT TUE AUG 4 2015

.SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...
AN EASTERLY WAVE THAT WAS RESPONSIBLE FOR A FEW SHOWERS TODAY
ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAINS HAS HELPED INCREASE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
TONIGHT. SATELLITE OBS AND MODELS SHOW THAT PWATS HAVE INCREASED
TO NEAR 1.5 INCHES THIS EVENING...UP FROM 1-1.2 INCHES JUST 12
HOURS AGO. THIS MOISTURE COUPLED WITH MORE SOUTHERLY FLOW THAN
RECENT EVENINGS...ALBEIT WEAK...HAS LED TO PATCHY BROKEN AND
OVERCAST SKIES ALONG THE ESCARPMENT THAT MAY INCREASE IN COVERAGE
TOWARDS SUNRISE. THESE LOW CLOUDS SHOULD QUICKLY DISSIPATE BY MID-
MORNING AS TEMPERATURES WILL ONCE AGAIN WARM UP INTO THE UPPER 90S
ACROSS MOST AREAS WITH LOWER 100S IN THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS. THE
INCREASE IN MOISTURE WILL LEAD TO HEAT INDICES APPROACHING BUT
REMAINING BELOW HEAT ADVISORY CRITERIA IN THE RIO GRANDE
PLAINS...WHERE VALUES WILL BE IN THE 107 TO 109 RANGE...AND IN THE
COASTAL PLAINS...WHERE VALUES WILL BE IN THE 105 TO 107 RANGE.
EXPECT WEDNESDAY TO GENERALLY BE A REPEAT OF TUESDAY WITH ELEVATED
MOISTURE LEVELS AND MORNING LOW CLOUDS LIKELY KEEPING MOST SPOTS
BELOW 100 DEGREES EXCEPT OUT IN THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS.

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR ISOLATED AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND
POSSIBLY A ROGUE THUNDERSTORM IN THE COASTAL PLAINS ONCE AGAIN
TODAY ALONG THE SEA BREEZE. THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY TO OUR NORTHWEST
FROM CONVECTION THIS PAST EVENING IS DISSIPATING NEAR SAN
ANGELO...BUT ANY STORMS THAT FIRE OFF OF IT TOMORROW SHOULD
REMAIN WELL TO OUR NORTHWEST. AFTER TOMORROW...RAIN CHANCES ARE
NOT REALLY EXPECTED ANYWHERE THROUGH THE FIRST PART OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.LONG TERM (WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)...
THE MID-TO-UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL ONCE AGAIN REASSERT ITSELF OVER
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS BY THURSDAY AS THE WEAK SHORTWAVE CURRENTLY
OVER OKLAHOMA SLIDES TO THE EAST. THIS RIDGE WILL GRADUALLY
BROADEN AND INTENSIFY THROUGH THE WEEKEND WHILE MORNING LOW CLOUDS
GRADUALLY DECREASE IN COVERAGE. THIS WILL LEAD TO ONE OF THE
HOTTEST DAYS WE HAVE SEEN THIS SUMMER WITH MOST OF THE REGION
REACHING THE CENTURY MARK BY THE WEEKEND EXCEPT FOR SPOTS IN THE
HILL COUNTRY AND COASTAL PLAINS. HEAT INDICES WILL ALSO GRADUALLY
RISE THROUGH THE WEEKEND...APPROACHING HEAT ADVISORY CRITERIA FOR
SOME LOCATIONS IN THE COASTAL PLAINS AND RIO GRANDE PLAINS IN
ISOLATED SPOTS AS WE CONTINUE TO MENTION IN THE HWO. HEAT INDEX
VALUES SHOULD BEGIN TO DECREASE SUNDAY AND MONDAY AS MOISTURE
LEVELS GRADUALLY DECREASE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              99  77  99  77 100 /   0   0  -    0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  99  75  98  75 100 /  -    0  -    0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     99  76  99  76 100 /  -    0  -    0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            98  75  99  76 100 /   0   0  -    0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT          101  78 101  79 102 /  -   -    0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        99  77  99  77 100 /   0   0  -    0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             98  75  98  75 100 /   0   0  -    0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        98  76  99  76  99 /  -    0  -    0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   99  77  99  77  99 /  10  -   -   -   -
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       98  78  99  77 100 /  -    0  -    0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           99  77  99  76 100 /  -    0  -   -    0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...TB3
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...LH




000
FXUS64 KEWX 040856
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
356 AM CDT TUE AUG 4 2015

.SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...
AN EASTERLY WAVE THAT WAS RESPONSIBLE FOR A FEW SHOWERS TODAY
ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAINS HAS HELPED INCREASE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
TONIGHT. SATELLITE OBS AND MODELS SHOW THAT PWATS HAVE INCREASED
TO NEAR 1.5 INCHES THIS EVENING...UP FROM 1-1.2 INCHES JUST 12
HOURS AGO. THIS MOISTURE COUPLED WITH MORE SOUTHERLY FLOW THAN
RECENT EVENINGS...ALBEIT WEAK...HAS LED TO PATCHY BROKEN AND
OVERCAST SKIES ALONG THE ESCARPMENT THAT MAY INCREASE IN COVERAGE
TOWARDS SUNRISE. THESE LOW CLOUDS SHOULD QUICKLY DISSIPATE BY MID-
MORNING AS TEMPERATURES WILL ONCE AGAIN WARM UP INTO THE UPPER 90S
ACROSS MOST AREAS WITH LOWER 100S IN THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS. THE
INCREASE IN MOISTURE WILL LEAD TO HEAT INDICES APPROACHING BUT
REMAINING BELOW HEAT ADVISORY CRITERIA IN THE RIO GRANDE
PLAINS...WHERE VALUES WILL BE IN THE 107 TO 109 RANGE...AND IN THE
COASTAL PLAINS...WHERE VALUES WILL BE IN THE 105 TO 107 RANGE.
EXPECT WEDNESDAY TO GENERALLY BE A REPEAT OF TUESDAY WITH ELEVATED
MOISTURE LEVELS AND MORNING LOW CLOUDS LIKELY KEEPING MOST SPOTS
BELOW 100 DEGREES EXCEPT OUT IN THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS.

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR ISOLATED AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND
POSSIBLY A ROGUE THUNDERSTORM IN THE COASTAL PLAINS ONCE AGAIN
TODAY ALONG THE SEA BREEZE. THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY TO OUR NORTHWEST
FROM CONVECTION THIS PAST EVENING IS DISSIPATING NEAR SAN
ANGELO...BUT ANY STORMS THAT FIRE OFF OF IT TOMORROW SHOULD
REMAIN WELL TO OUR NORTHWEST. AFTER TOMORROW...RAIN CHANCES ARE
NOT REALLY EXPECTED ANYWHERE THROUGH THE FIRST PART OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.LONG TERM (WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)...
THE MID-TO-UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL ONCE AGAIN REASSERT ITSELF OVER
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS BY THURSDAY AS THE WEAK SHORTWAVE CURRENTLY
OVER OKLAHOMA SLIDES TO THE EAST. THIS RIDGE WILL GRADUALLY
BROADEN AND INTENSIFY THROUGH THE WEEKEND WHILE MORNING LOW CLOUDS
GRADUALLY DECREASE IN COVERAGE. THIS WILL LEAD TO ONE OF THE
HOTTEST DAYS WE HAVE SEEN THIS SUMMER WITH MOST OF THE REGION
REACHING THE CENTURY MARK BY THE WEEKEND EXCEPT FOR SPOTS IN THE
HILL COUNTRY AND COASTAL PLAINS. HEAT INDICES WILL ALSO GRADUALLY
RISE THROUGH THE WEEKEND...APPROACHING HEAT ADVISORY CRITERIA FOR
SOME LOCATIONS IN THE COASTAL PLAINS AND RIO GRANDE PLAINS IN
ISOLATED SPOTS AS WE CONTINUE TO MENTION IN THE HWO. HEAT INDEX
VALUES SHOULD BEGIN TO DECREASE SUNDAY AND MONDAY AS MOISTURE
LEVELS GRADUALLY DECREASE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              99  77  99  77 100 /   0   0  -    0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  99  75  98  75 100 /  -    0  -    0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     99  76  99  76 100 /  -    0  -    0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            98  75  99  76 100 /   0   0  -    0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT          101  78 101  79 102 /  -   -    0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        99  77  99  77 100 /   0   0  -    0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             98  75  98  75 100 /   0   0  -    0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        98  76  99  76  99 /  -    0  -    0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   99  77  99  77  99 /  10  -   -   -   -
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       98  78  99  77 100 /  -    0  -    0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           99  77  99  76 100 /  -    0  -   -    0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...TB3
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...LH





000
FXUS64 KEWX 040856
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
356 AM CDT TUE AUG 4 2015

.SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...
AN EASTERLY WAVE THAT WAS RESPONSIBLE FOR A FEW SHOWERS TODAY
ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAINS HAS HELPED INCREASE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
TONIGHT. SATELLITE OBS AND MODELS SHOW THAT PWATS HAVE INCREASED
TO NEAR 1.5 INCHES THIS EVENING...UP FROM 1-1.2 INCHES JUST 12
HOURS AGO. THIS MOISTURE COUPLED WITH MORE SOUTHERLY FLOW THAN
RECENT EVENINGS...ALBEIT WEAK...HAS LED TO PATCHY BROKEN AND
OVERCAST SKIES ALONG THE ESCARPMENT THAT MAY INCREASE IN COVERAGE
TOWARDS SUNRISE. THESE LOW CLOUDS SHOULD QUICKLY DISSIPATE BY MID-
MORNING AS TEMPERATURES WILL ONCE AGAIN WARM UP INTO THE UPPER 90S
ACROSS MOST AREAS WITH LOWER 100S IN THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS. THE
INCREASE IN MOISTURE WILL LEAD TO HEAT INDICES APPROACHING BUT
REMAINING BELOW HEAT ADVISORY CRITERIA IN THE RIO GRANDE
PLAINS...WHERE VALUES WILL BE IN THE 107 TO 109 RANGE...AND IN THE
COASTAL PLAINS...WHERE VALUES WILL BE IN THE 105 TO 107 RANGE.
EXPECT WEDNESDAY TO GENERALLY BE A REPEAT OF TUESDAY WITH ELEVATED
MOISTURE LEVELS AND MORNING LOW CLOUDS LIKELY KEEPING MOST SPOTS
BELOW 100 DEGREES EXCEPT OUT IN THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS.

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR ISOLATED AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND
POSSIBLY A ROGUE THUNDERSTORM IN THE COASTAL PLAINS ONCE AGAIN
TODAY ALONG THE SEA BREEZE. THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY TO OUR NORTHWEST
FROM CONVECTION THIS PAST EVENING IS DISSIPATING NEAR SAN
ANGELO...BUT ANY STORMS THAT FIRE OFF OF IT TOMORROW SHOULD
REMAIN WELL TO OUR NORTHWEST. AFTER TOMORROW...RAIN CHANCES ARE
NOT REALLY EXPECTED ANYWHERE THROUGH THE FIRST PART OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.LONG TERM (WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)...
THE MID-TO-UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL ONCE AGAIN REASSERT ITSELF OVER
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS BY THURSDAY AS THE WEAK SHORTWAVE CURRENTLY
OVER OKLAHOMA SLIDES TO THE EAST. THIS RIDGE WILL GRADUALLY
BROADEN AND INTENSIFY THROUGH THE WEEKEND WHILE MORNING LOW CLOUDS
GRADUALLY DECREASE IN COVERAGE. THIS WILL LEAD TO ONE OF THE
HOTTEST DAYS WE HAVE SEEN THIS SUMMER WITH MOST OF THE REGION
REACHING THE CENTURY MARK BY THE WEEKEND EXCEPT FOR SPOTS IN THE
HILL COUNTRY AND COASTAL PLAINS. HEAT INDICES WILL ALSO GRADUALLY
RISE THROUGH THE WEEKEND...APPROACHING HEAT ADVISORY CRITERIA FOR
SOME LOCATIONS IN THE COASTAL PLAINS AND RIO GRANDE PLAINS IN
ISOLATED SPOTS AS WE CONTINUE TO MENTION IN THE HWO. HEAT INDEX
VALUES SHOULD BEGIN TO DECREASE SUNDAY AND MONDAY AS MOISTURE
LEVELS GRADUALLY DECREASE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              99  77  99  77 100 /   0   0  -    0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  99  75  98  75 100 /  -    0  -    0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     99  76  99  76 100 /  -    0  -    0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            98  75  99  76 100 /   0   0  -    0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT          101  78 101  79 102 /  -   -    0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        99  77  99  77 100 /   0   0  -    0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             98  75  98  75 100 /   0   0  -    0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        98  76  99  76  99 /  -    0  -    0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   99  77  99  77  99 /  10  -   -   -   -
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       98  78  99  77 100 /  -    0  -    0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           99  77  99  76 100 /  -    0  -   -    0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...TB3
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...LH





000
FXUS64 KEWX 040856
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
356 AM CDT TUE AUG 4 2015

.SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...
AN EASTERLY WAVE THAT WAS RESPONSIBLE FOR A FEW SHOWERS TODAY
ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAINS HAS HELPED INCREASE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
TONIGHT. SATELLITE OBS AND MODELS SHOW THAT PWATS HAVE INCREASED
TO NEAR 1.5 INCHES THIS EVENING...UP FROM 1-1.2 INCHES JUST 12
HOURS AGO. THIS MOISTURE COUPLED WITH MORE SOUTHERLY FLOW THAN
RECENT EVENINGS...ALBEIT WEAK...HAS LED TO PATCHY BROKEN AND
OVERCAST SKIES ALONG THE ESCARPMENT THAT MAY INCREASE IN COVERAGE
TOWARDS SUNRISE. THESE LOW CLOUDS SHOULD QUICKLY DISSIPATE BY MID-
MORNING AS TEMPERATURES WILL ONCE AGAIN WARM UP INTO THE UPPER 90S
ACROSS MOST AREAS WITH LOWER 100S IN THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS. THE
INCREASE IN MOISTURE WILL LEAD TO HEAT INDICES APPROACHING BUT
REMAINING BELOW HEAT ADVISORY CRITERIA IN THE RIO GRANDE
PLAINS...WHERE VALUES WILL BE IN THE 107 TO 109 RANGE...AND IN THE
COASTAL PLAINS...WHERE VALUES WILL BE IN THE 105 TO 107 RANGE.
EXPECT WEDNESDAY TO GENERALLY BE A REPEAT OF TUESDAY WITH ELEVATED
MOISTURE LEVELS AND MORNING LOW CLOUDS LIKELY KEEPING MOST SPOTS
BELOW 100 DEGREES EXCEPT OUT IN THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS.

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR ISOLATED AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND
POSSIBLY A ROGUE THUNDERSTORM IN THE COASTAL PLAINS ONCE AGAIN
TODAY ALONG THE SEA BREEZE. THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY TO OUR NORTHWEST
FROM CONVECTION THIS PAST EVENING IS DISSIPATING NEAR SAN
ANGELO...BUT ANY STORMS THAT FIRE OFF OF IT TOMORROW SHOULD
REMAIN WELL TO OUR NORTHWEST. AFTER TOMORROW...RAIN CHANCES ARE
NOT REALLY EXPECTED ANYWHERE THROUGH THE FIRST PART OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.LONG TERM (WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)...
THE MID-TO-UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL ONCE AGAIN REASSERT ITSELF OVER
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS BY THURSDAY AS THE WEAK SHORTWAVE CURRENTLY
OVER OKLAHOMA SLIDES TO THE EAST. THIS RIDGE WILL GRADUALLY
BROADEN AND INTENSIFY THROUGH THE WEEKEND WHILE MORNING LOW CLOUDS
GRADUALLY DECREASE IN COVERAGE. THIS WILL LEAD TO ONE OF THE
HOTTEST DAYS WE HAVE SEEN THIS SUMMER WITH MOST OF THE REGION
REACHING THE CENTURY MARK BY THE WEEKEND EXCEPT FOR SPOTS IN THE
HILL COUNTRY AND COASTAL PLAINS. HEAT INDICES WILL ALSO GRADUALLY
RISE THROUGH THE WEEKEND...APPROACHING HEAT ADVISORY CRITERIA FOR
SOME LOCATIONS IN THE COASTAL PLAINS AND RIO GRANDE PLAINS IN
ISOLATED SPOTS AS WE CONTINUE TO MENTION IN THE HWO. HEAT INDEX
VALUES SHOULD BEGIN TO DECREASE SUNDAY AND MONDAY AS MOISTURE
LEVELS GRADUALLY DECREASE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              99  77  99  77 100 /   0   0  -    0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  99  75  98  75 100 /  -    0  -    0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     99  76  99  76 100 /  -    0  -    0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            98  75  99  76 100 /   0   0  -    0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT          101  78 101  79 102 /  -   -    0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        99  77  99  77 100 /   0   0  -    0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             98  75  98  75 100 /   0   0  -    0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        98  76  99  76  99 /  -    0  -    0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   99  77  99  77  99 /  10  -   -   -   -
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       98  78  99  77 100 /  -    0  -    0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           99  77  99  76 100 /  -    0  -   -    0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...TB3
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...LH




000
FXUS64 KEWX 040552
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1252 AM CDT TUE AUG 4 2015

.AVIATION DISCUSSION...FOR 06Z TAF PERIOD...
OUTFLOW FROM CONVECTION IN WEST TEXAS IS MOVING SOUTHEAST INTO VAL
VERDE COUNTY AND MAY BRING SOME VFR CLOUDS TO KDRT OVERNIGHT BUT
DRY CONDITIONS SHOULD PREVENT ANY CATEGORY CHANGES. WILL KEEP AN
EYE ON THE MOISTURE RETURN THIS MORNING FOR THE I35 TERMINALS. FOR
NOW...LEFT PREVIOUS FORECAST THINKING IN THE TAF MAINTAINING VFR
BUT POSSIBLE SOME MVFR CIGS MAY DEVELOP EARLY MORNING. WILL AMEND
IF NEEDED.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              99  77 100  77 100 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  99  75  99  75 100 /   0   0   0   0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     99  75 100  76 101 /   0   0   0   0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            98  75  98  75 101 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT          101  78 101  78 102 /   0   0   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        98  77  99  76 100 /   0   0   0   0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             98  75  98  75 100 /   0   0   0   0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        98  76  99  76 100 /   0   0   0   0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   98  76  98  77  99 /   0   0  -    0   0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       98  78  98  77 100 /   0   0   0   0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           99  77  99  76 100 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...TB3
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...LH




000
FXUS64 KEWX 040552
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1252 AM CDT TUE AUG 4 2015

.AVIATION DISCUSSION...FOR 06Z TAF PERIOD...
OUTFLOW FROM CONVECTION IN WEST TEXAS IS MOVING SOUTHEAST INTO VAL
VERDE COUNTY AND MAY BRING SOME VFR CLOUDS TO KDRT OVERNIGHT BUT
DRY CONDITIONS SHOULD PREVENT ANY CATEGORY CHANGES. WILL KEEP AN
EYE ON THE MOISTURE RETURN THIS MORNING FOR THE I35 TERMINALS. FOR
NOW...LEFT PREVIOUS FORECAST THINKING IN THE TAF MAINTAINING VFR
BUT POSSIBLE SOME MVFR CIGS MAY DEVELOP EARLY MORNING. WILL AMEND
IF NEEDED.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              99  77 100  77 100 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  99  75  99  75 100 /   0   0   0   0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     99  75 100  76 101 /   0   0   0   0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            98  75  98  75 101 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT          101  78 101  78 102 /   0   0   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        98  77  99  76 100 /   0   0   0   0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             98  75  98  75 100 /   0   0   0   0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        98  76  99  76 100 /   0   0   0   0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   98  76  98  77  99 /   0   0  -    0   0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       98  78  98  77 100 /   0   0   0   0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           99  77  99  76 100 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...TB3
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...LH





000
FXUS64 KEWX 040552
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1252 AM CDT TUE AUG 4 2015

.AVIATION DISCUSSION...FOR 06Z TAF PERIOD...
OUTFLOW FROM CONVECTION IN WEST TEXAS IS MOVING SOUTHEAST INTO VAL
VERDE COUNTY AND MAY BRING SOME VFR CLOUDS TO KDRT OVERNIGHT BUT
DRY CONDITIONS SHOULD PREVENT ANY CATEGORY CHANGES. WILL KEEP AN
EYE ON THE MOISTURE RETURN THIS MORNING FOR THE I35 TERMINALS. FOR
NOW...LEFT PREVIOUS FORECAST THINKING IN THE TAF MAINTAINING VFR
BUT POSSIBLE SOME MVFR CIGS MAY DEVELOP EARLY MORNING. WILL AMEND
IF NEEDED.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              99  77 100  77 100 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  99  75  99  75 100 /   0   0   0   0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     99  75 100  76 101 /   0   0   0   0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            98  75  98  75 101 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT          101  78 101  78 102 /   0   0   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        98  77  99  76 100 /   0   0   0   0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             98  75  98  75 100 /   0   0   0   0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        98  76  99  76 100 /   0   0   0   0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   98  76  98  77  99 /   0   0  -    0   0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       98  78  98  77 100 /   0   0   0   0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           99  77  99  76 100 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...TB3
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...LH




000
FXUS64 KEWX 040552
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1252 AM CDT TUE AUG 4 2015

.AVIATION DISCUSSION...FOR 06Z TAF PERIOD...
OUTFLOW FROM CONVECTION IN WEST TEXAS IS MOVING SOUTHEAST INTO VAL
VERDE COUNTY AND MAY BRING SOME VFR CLOUDS TO KDRT OVERNIGHT BUT
DRY CONDITIONS SHOULD PREVENT ANY CATEGORY CHANGES. WILL KEEP AN
EYE ON THE MOISTURE RETURN THIS MORNING FOR THE I35 TERMINALS. FOR
NOW...LEFT PREVIOUS FORECAST THINKING IN THE TAF MAINTAINING VFR
BUT POSSIBLE SOME MVFR CIGS MAY DEVELOP EARLY MORNING. WILL AMEND
IF NEEDED.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              99  77 100  77 100 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  99  75  99  75 100 /   0   0   0   0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     99  75 100  76 101 /   0   0   0   0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            98  75  98  75 101 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT          101  78 101  78 102 /   0   0   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        98  77  99  76 100 /   0   0   0   0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             98  75  98  75 100 /   0   0   0   0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        98  76  99  76 100 /   0   0   0   0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   98  76  98  77  99 /   0   0  -    0   0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       98  78  98  77 100 /   0   0   0   0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           99  77  99  76 100 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...TB3
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...LH





000
FXUS64 KEWX 040225
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
925 PM CDT MON AUG 3 2015

.UPDATE...
WITH THE LOSS OF HEATING ALL OF THE SHOWERS HAVE DISSIPATED.
SENDING NEW ZONES TO REMOVE THE MENTION OF EVENING SHOWERS.
OTHERWISE THE FORECAST LOOKS TO BE IN GOOD SHAPE. HAVE ADJUSTED
HOURLY GRIDS TO ACCOUNT FOR OBSERVATIONAL TRENDS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 645 PM CDT MON AUG 3 2015/

AVIATION...
QUESTION THIS TAF CYCLE WILL BE HOW FAST THE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
RETURNS AND WHEN TO START MVFR MORNING CEILINGS. OVER THE NEXT 48
HOURS THERE WILL DEFINITELY BE A SURGE OF LOW LEVEL SOUTHERLY
WINDS. MODELS DIFFER JUST ENOUGH THAT CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW THAT
A RETURN WILL OCCUR TONIGHT. WHILE I THINK WE WILL SEE SOME LOW
CLOUDS IN THE MORNING SOMEWHERE IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...WITH THE
LOWER CONFIDENCE AND NOT KNOWING HOW WIDESPREAD...WILL CONTINUE
THE MENTION OF SCT DECKS NEAR 2-2.5 KFT ACROSS SAT/SSF/AUS. WITH
TIME SECTIONS SHOWING STRONGER S WINDS WED MORNING...CONFIDENCE IS
MUCH HIGHER OF SEEING THE MVFR CIGS INTO THE 36-48HR TIME FRAME
OF WED AM.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 632 PM CDT MON AUG 3 2015/

UPDATE...
ISOLATED SHOWER HAVE DEVELOPED OVER THE SOUTHEAST ALONG THE SEA
BREEZE. THESE SHOWERS SHOULD CONTINUE UNTIL AROUND SUNSET...BUT
PROBABLY WILL NOT MAKE IT TO I-10. HAVE UPDATED TO INCLUDE
ISOLATED SHOWERS FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 234 PM CDT MON AUG 3 2015/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)...
DEEPER MOISTURE HAS BEGUN TO RETURN TO SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. PWS
NEAR 2 INCHES ALONG THE TEXAS COASTAL BEND HAVE NOT ALLOWED
DEWPOINTS TO MIX OUT AS EASILY AS THIS WEEKEND ACROSS OUR COUNTIES
NEAR THE COASTAL PLAINS. THE RESULT HAS BEEN SLIGHTLY ELEVATED
HEAT INDEX VALUES. A WEAK EASTERLY WAVE BRINGING THIS MOISTURE
WILL MOVE WEST ACROSS SOUTHERN TEXAS INTO MEXICO IN THE SHORT TERM
SPREADING THE DEEPER MOISTURE ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
WITH PWS OF 1.5 NORTH TO 2 INCHES SOUTH. CANNOT RULE OUT ONE OR
TWO SHOWERS NEAR THE COASTAL PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN
TUESDAY AFTERNOON ALONG THE SEABREEZE. CANNOT ALSO RULE OUT ONE OR
TWO SHOWERS OVER THE EDWARDS PLATEAU WHERE THERE IS SOME MOISTURE
POOLING THIS AFTERNOON. DEWPOINTS WILL HAVE A LITTLE MORE
DIFFICULTY MIXING OUT ACROSS MOST AREAS MAKING HEAT INDEX VALUES A
BIT ELEVATED FROM ACTUAL AIR TEMPERATURES TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

LONG TERM (WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)...
THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN STATES AND
FAR NORTHERN MEXICO MID WEEK SHIFTS EAST INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
LATE WEEK AND REMAINS OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THROUGH MONDAY. A
SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES RIDING OVER THE TOP OF THE
RIDGE WILL MAINTAIN A MODERATE SOUTHEASTERLY LOWER FLOW AND SUPPLY
OF GULF OF MEXICO MOISTURE. EVEN THOUGH THE AIRMASS ALOFT DRIES
OUT...A STRONGER LOWER LEVEL INVERSION WILL NOT ALLOW DEWPOINTS TO
MIX OUT AS EASILY. ELEVATED HEAT INDEX VALUES TO AS HIGH AS 108
WHICH IS AT THE THRESHOLD OF HEAT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
ACROSS AREAS NEAR THE COASTAL PLAINS AND RIO GRANDE VALLEY. WILL
CONTINUE TO MENTION IN THE HWO. STRONG SUBSIDENCE AND BELOW NORMAL
MOISTURE LEVELS SHALL KEEP RAIN OUT OF THE FORECAST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              76  99  77 100  77 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  72  99  75  99  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     74  99  75 100  76 /   0   0   0   0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            74  98  75  98  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           77 101  78 101  78 /   0   0   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        75  98  77  99  76 /   0   0   0   0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             73  98  75  98  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        75  98  76  99  76 /   0   0   0   0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   75  98  76  98  77 /   0   0   0  -    0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       77  98  78  98  77 /   0   0   0   0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           76  99  77  99  76 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...09
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...05




000
FXUS64 KEWX 040225
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
925 PM CDT MON AUG 3 2015

.UPDATE...
WITH THE LOSS OF HEATING ALL OF THE SHOWERS HAVE DISSIPATED.
SENDING NEW ZONES TO REMOVE THE MENTION OF EVENING SHOWERS.
OTHERWISE THE FORECAST LOOKS TO BE IN GOOD SHAPE. HAVE ADJUSTED
HOURLY GRIDS TO ACCOUNT FOR OBSERVATIONAL TRENDS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 645 PM CDT MON AUG 3 2015/

AVIATION...
QUESTION THIS TAF CYCLE WILL BE HOW FAST THE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
RETURNS AND WHEN TO START MVFR MORNING CEILINGS. OVER THE NEXT 48
HOURS THERE WILL DEFINITELY BE A SURGE OF LOW LEVEL SOUTHERLY
WINDS. MODELS DIFFER JUST ENOUGH THAT CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW THAT
A RETURN WILL OCCUR TONIGHT. WHILE I THINK WE WILL SEE SOME LOW
CLOUDS IN THE MORNING SOMEWHERE IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...WITH THE
LOWER CONFIDENCE AND NOT KNOWING HOW WIDESPREAD...WILL CONTINUE
THE MENTION OF SCT DECKS NEAR 2-2.5 KFT ACROSS SAT/SSF/AUS. WITH
TIME SECTIONS SHOWING STRONGER S WINDS WED MORNING...CONFIDENCE IS
MUCH HIGHER OF SEEING THE MVFR CIGS INTO THE 36-48HR TIME FRAME
OF WED AM.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 632 PM CDT MON AUG 3 2015/

UPDATE...
ISOLATED SHOWER HAVE DEVELOPED OVER THE SOUTHEAST ALONG THE SEA
BREEZE. THESE SHOWERS SHOULD CONTINUE UNTIL AROUND SUNSET...BUT
PROBABLY WILL NOT MAKE IT TO I-10. HAVE UPDATED TO INCLUDE
ISOLATED SHOWERS FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 234 PM CDT MON AUG 3 2015/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)...
DEEPER MOISTURE HAS BEGUN TO RETURN TO SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. PWS
NEAR 2 INCHES ALONG THE TEXAS COASTAL BEND HAVE NOT ALLOWED
DEWPOINTS TO MIX OUT AS EASILY AS THIS WEEKEND ACROSS OUR COUNTIES
NEAR THE COASTAL PLAINS. THE RESULT HAS BEEN SLIGHTLY ELEVATED
HEAT INDEX VALUES. A WEAK EASTERLY WAVE BRINGING THIS MOISTURE
WILL MOVE WEST ACROSS SOUTHERN TEXAS INTO MEXICO IN THE SHORT TERM
SPREADING THE DEEPER MOISTURE ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
WITH PWS OF 1.5 NORTH TO 2 INCHES SOUTH. CANNOT RULE OUT ONE OR
TWO SHOWERS NEAR THE COASTAL PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN
TUESDAY AFTERNOON ALONG THE SEABREEZE. CANNOT ALSO RULE OUT ONE OR
TWO SHOWERS OVER THE EDWARDS PLATEAU WHERE THERE IS SOME MOISTURE
POOLING THIS AFTERNOON. DEWPOINTS WILL HAVE A LITTLE MORE
DIFFICULTY MIXING OUT ACROSS MOST AREAS MAKING HEAT INDEX VALUES A
BIT ELEVATED FROM ACTUAL AIR TEMPERATURES TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

LONG TERM (WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)...
THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN STATES AND
FAR NORTHERN MEXICO MID WEEK SHIFTS EAST INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
LATE WEEK AND REMAINS OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THROUGH MONDAY. A
SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES RIDING OVER THE TOP OF THE
RIDGE WILL MAINTAIN A MODERATE SOUTHEASTERLY LOWER FLOW AND SUPPLY
OF GULF OF MEXICO MOISTURE. EVEN THOUGH THE AIRMASS ALOFT DRIES
OUT...A STRONGER LOWER LEVEL INVERSION WILL NOT ALLOW DEWPOINTS TO
MIX OUT AS EASILY. ELEVATED HEAT INDEX VALUES TO AS HIGH AS 108
WHICH IS AT THE THRESHOLD OF HEAT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
ACROSS AREAS NEAR THE COASTAL PLAINS AND RIO GRANDE VALLEY. WILL
CONTINUE TO MENTION IN THE HWO. STRONG SUBSIDENCE AND BELOW NORMAL
MOISTURE LEVELS SHALL KEEP RAIN OUT OF THE FORECAST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              76  99  77 100  77 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  72  99  75  99  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     74  99  75 100  76 /   0   0   0   0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            74  98  75  98  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           77 101  78 101  78 /   0   0   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        75  98  77  99  76 /   0   0   0   0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             73  98  75  98  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        75  98  76  99  76 /   0   0   0   0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   75  98  76  98  77 /   0   0   0  -    0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       77  98  78  98  77 /   0   0   0   0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           76  99  77  99  76 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...09
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...05





000
FXUS64 KEWX 032345
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
645 PM CDT MON AUG 3 2015

.AVIATION...
QUESTION THIS TAF CYCLE WILL BE HOW FAST THE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
RETURNS AND WHEN TO START MVFR MORNING CEILINGS. OVER THE NEXT 48
HOURS THERE WILL DEFINITELY BE A SURGE OF LOW LEVEL SOUTHERLY
WINDS. MODELS DIFFER JUST ENOUGH THAT CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW THAT
A RETURN WILL OCCUR TONIGHT. WHILE I THINK WE WILL SEE SOME LOW
CLOUDS IN THE MORNING SOMEWHERE IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...WITH THE
LOWER CONFIDENCE AND NOT KNOWING HOW WIDESPREAD...WILL CONTINUE
THE MENTION OF SCT DECKS NEAR 2-2.5 KFT ACROSS SAT/SSF/AUS. WITH
TIME SECTIONS SHOWING STRONGER S WINDS WED MORNING...CONFIDENCE IS
MUCH HIGHER OF SEEING THE MVFR CIGS INTO THE 36-48HR TIME FRAME
OF WED AM.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 632 PM CDT MON AUG 3 2015/

UPDATE...
ISOLATED SHOWER HAVE DEVELOPED OVER THE SOUTHEAST ALONG THE SEA
BREEZE. THESE SHOWERS SHOULD CONTINUE UNTIL AROUND SUNSET...BUT
PROBABLY WILL NOT MAKE IT TO I-10. HAVE UPDATED TO INCLUDE
ISOLATED SHOWERS FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 234 PM CDT MON AUG 3 2015/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)...
DEEPER MOISTURE HAS BEGUN TO RETURN TO SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. PWS
NEAR 2 INCHES ALONG THE TEXAS COASTAL BEND HAVE NOT ALLOWED
DEWPOINTS TO MIX OUT AS EASILY AS THIS WEEKEND ACROSS OUR COUNTIES
NEAR THE COASTAL PLAINS. THE RESULT HAS BEEN SLIGHTLY ELEVATED
HEAT INDEX VALUES. A WEAK EASTERLY WAVE BRINGING THIS MOISTURE
WILL MOVE WEST ACROSS SOUTHERN TEXAS INTO MEXICO IN THE SHORT TERM
SPREADING THE DEEPER MOISTURE ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
WITH PWS OF 1.5 NORTH TO 2 INCHES SOUTH. CANNOT RULE OUT ONE OR
TWO SHOWERS NEAR THE COASTAL PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN
TUESDAY AFTERNOON ALONG THE SEABREEZE. CANNOT ALSO RULE OUT ONE OR
TWO SHOWERS OVER THE EDWARDS PLATEAU WHERE THERE IS SOME MOISTURE
POOLING THIS AFTERNOON. DEWPOINTS WILL HAVE A LITTLE MORE
DIFFICULTY MIXING OUT ACROSS MOST AREAS MAKING HEAT INDEX VALUES A
BIT ELEVATED FROM ACTUAL AIR TEMPERATURES TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

LONG TERM (WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)...
THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN STATES AND
FAR NORTHERN MEXICO MID WEEK SHIFTS EAST INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
LATE WEEK AND REMAINS OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THROUGH MONDAY. A
SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES RIDING OVER THE TOP OF THE
RIDGE WILL MAINTAIN A MODERATE SOUTHEASTERLY LOWER FLOW AND SUPPLY
OF GULF OF MEXICO MOISTURE. EVEN THOUGH THE AIRMASS ALOFT DRIES
OUT...A STRONGER LOWER LEVEL INVERSION WILL NOT ALLOW DEWPOINTS TO
MIX OUT AS EASILY. ELEVATED HEAT INDEX VALUES TO AS HIGH AS 108
WHICH IS AT THE THRESHOLD OF HEAT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
ACROSS AREAS NEAR THE COASTAL PLAINS AND RIO GRANDE VALLEY. WILL
CONTINUE TO MENTION IN THE HWO. STRONG SUBSIDENCE AND BELOW NORMAL
MOISTURE LEVELS SHALL KEEP RAIN OUT OF THE FORECAST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              76  99  77 100  77 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  72  99  75  99  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     74  99  75 100  76 /   0   0   0   0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            74  98  75  98  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           77 101  78 101  78 /   0   0   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        75  98  77  99  76 /   0   0   0   0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             73  98  75  98  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        75  98  76  99  76 /   0   0   0   0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   75  98  76  98  77 /   0   0   0  -    0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       77  98  78  98  77 /   0   0   0   0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           76  99  77  99  76 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...09
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...05
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...TREADWAY





000
FXUS64 KEWX 032345
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
645 PM CDT MON AUG 3 2015

.AVIATION...
QUESTION THIS TAF CYCLE WILL BE HOW FAST THE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
RETURNS AND WHEN TO START MVFR MORNING CEILINGS. OVER THE NEXT 48
HOURS THERE WILL DEFINITELY BE A SURGE OF LOW LEVEL SOUTHERLY
WINDS. MODELS DIFFER JUST ENOUGH THAT CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW THAT
A RETURN WILL OCCUR TONIGHT. WHILE I THINK WE WILL SEE SOME LOW
CLOUDS IN THE MORNING SOMEWHERE IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...WITH THE
LOWER CONFIDENCE AND NOT KNOWING HOW WIDESPREAD...WILL CONTINUE
THE MENTION OF SCT DECKS NEAR 2-2.5 KFT ACROSS SAT/SSF/AUS. WITH
TIME SECTIONS SHOWING STRONGER S WINDS WED MORNING...CONFIDENCE IS
MUCH HIGHER OF SEEING THE MVFR CIGS INTO THE 36-48HR TIME FRAME
OF WED AM.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 632 PM CDT MON AUG 3 2015/

UPDATE...
ISOLATED SHOWER HAVE DEVELOPED OVER THE SOUTHEAST ALONG THE SEA
BREEZE. THESE SHOWERS SHOULD CONTINUE UNTIL AROUND SUNSET...BUT
PROBABLY WILL NOT MAKE IT TO I-10. HAVE UPDATED TO INCLUDE
ISOLATED SHOWERS FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 234 PM CDT MON AUG 3 2015/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)...
DEEPER MOISTURE HAS BEGUN TO RETURN TO SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. PWS
NEAR 2 INCHES ALONG THE TEXAS COASTAL BEND HAVE NOT ALLOWED
DEWPOINTS TO MIX OUT AS EASILY AS THIS WEEKEND ACROSS OUR COUNTIES
NEAR THE COASTAL PLAINS. THE RESULT HAS BEEN SLIGHTLY ELEVATED
HEAT INDEX VALUES. A WEAK EASTERLY WAVE BRINGING THIS MOISTURE
WILL MOVE WEST ACROSS SOUTHERN TEXAS INTO MEXICO IN THE SHORT TERM
SPREADING THE DEEPER MOISTURE ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
WITH PWS OF 1.5 NORTH TO 2 INCHES SOUTH. CANNOT RULE OUT ONE OR
TWO SHOWERS NEAR THE COASTAL PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN
TUESDAY AFTERNOON ALONG THE SEABREEZE. CANNOT ALSO RULE OUT ONE OR
TWO SHOWERS OVER THE EDWARDS PLATEAU WHERE THERE IS SOME MOISTURE
POOLING THIS AFTERNOON. DEWPOINTS WILL HAVE A LITTLE MORE
DIFFICULTY MIXING OUT ACROSS MOST AREAS MAKING HEAT INDEX VALUES A
BIT ELEVATED FROM ACTUAL AIR TEMPERATURES TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

LONG TERM (WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)...
THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN STATES AND
FAR NORTHERN MEXICO MID WEEK SHIFTS EAST INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
LATE WEEK AND REMAINS OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THROUGH MONDAY. A
SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES RIDING OVER THE TOP OF THE
RIDGE WILL MAINTAIN A MODERATE SOUTHEASTERLY LOWER FLOW AND SUPPLY
OF GULF OF MEXICO MOISTURE. EVEN THOUGH THE AIRMASS ALOFT DRIES
OUT...A STRONGER LOWER LEVEL INVERSION WILL NOT ALLOW DEWPOINTS TO
MIX OUT AS EASILY. ELEVATED HEAT INDEX VALUES TO AS HIGH AS 108
WHICH IS AT THE THRESHOLD OF HEAT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
ACROSS AREAS NEAR THE COASTAL PLAINS AND RIO GRANDE VALLEY. WILL
CONTINUE TO MENTION IN THE HWO. STRONG SUBSIDENCE AND BELOW NORMAL
MOISTURE LEVELS SHALL KEEP RAIN OUT OF THE FORECAST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              76  99  77 100  77 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  72  99  75  99  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     74  99  75 100  76 /   0   0   0   0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            74  98  75  98  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           77 101  78 101  78 /   0   0   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        75  98  77  99  76 /   0   0   0   0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             73  98  75  98  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        75  98  76  99  76 /   0   0   0   0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   75  98  76  98  77 /   0   0   0  -    0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       77  98  78  98  77 /   0   0   0   0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           76  99  77  99  76 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...09
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...05
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...TREADWAY




000
FXUS64 KEWX 032345
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
645 PM CDT MON AUG 3 2015

.AVIATION...
QUESTION THIS TAF CYCLE WILL BE HOW FAST THE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
RETURNS AND WHEN TO START MVFR MORNING CEILINGS. OVER THE NEXT 48
HOURS THERE WILL DEFINITELY BE A SURGE OF LOW LEVEL SOUTHERLY
WINDS. MODELS DIFFER JUST ENOUGH THAT CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW THAT
A RETURN WILL OCCUR TONIGHT. WHILE I THINK WE WILL SEE SOME LOW
CLOUDS IN THE MORNING SOMEWHERE IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...WITH THE
LOWER CONFIDENCE AND NOT KNOWING HOW WIDESPREAD...WILL CONTINUE
THE MENTION OF SCT DECKS NEAR 2-2.5 KFT ACROSS SAT/SSF/AUS. WITH
TIME SECTIONS SHOWING STRONGER S WINDS WED MORNING...CONFIDENCE IS
MUCH HIGHER OF SEEING THE MVFR CIGS INTO THE 36-48HR TIME FRAME
OF WED AM.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 632 PM CDT MON AUG 3 2015/

UPDATE...
ISOLATED SHOWER HAVE DEVELOPED OVER THE SOUTHEAST ALONG THE SEA
BREEZE. THESE SHOWERS SHOULD CONTINUE UNTIL AROUND SUNSET...BUT
PROBABLY WILL NOT MAKE IT TO I-10. HAVE UPDATED TO INCLUDE
ISOLATED SHOWERS FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 234 PM CDT MON AUG 3 2015/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)...
DEEPER MOISTURE HAS BEGUN TO RETURN TO SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. PWS
NEAR 2 INCHES ALONG THE TEXAS COASTAL BEND HAVE NOT ALLOWED
DEWPOINTS TO MIX OUT AS EASILY AS THIS WEEKEND ACROSS OUR COUNTIES
NEAR THE COASTAL PLAINS. THE RESULT HAS BEEN SLIGHTLY ELEVATED
HEAT INDEX VALUES. A WEAK EASTERLY WAVE BRINGING THIS MOISTURE
WILL MOVE WEST ACROSS SOUTHERN TEXAS INTO MEXICO IN THE SHORT TERM
SPREADING THE DEEPER MOISTURE ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
WITH PWS OF 1.5 NORTH TO 2 INCHES SOUTH. CANNOT RULE OUT ONE OR
TWO SHOWERS NEAR THE COASTAL PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN
TUESDAY AFTERNOON ALONG THE SEABREEZE. CANNOT ALSO RULE OUT ONE OR
TWO SHOWERS OVER THE EDWARDS PLATEAU WHERE THERE IS SOME MOISTURE
POOLING THIS AFTERNOON. DEWPOINTS WILL HAVE A LITTLE MORE
DIFFICULTY MIXING OUT ACROSS MOST AREAS MAKING HEAT INDEX VALUES A
BIT ELEVATED FROM ACTUAL AIR TEMPERATURES TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

LONG TERM (WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)...
THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN STATES AND
FAR NORTHERN MEXICO MID WEEK SHIFTS EAST INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
LATE WEEK AND REMAINS OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THROUGH MONDAY. A
SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES RIDING OVER THE TOP OF THE
RIDGE WILL MAINTAIN A MODERATE SOUTHEASTERLY LOWER FLOW AND SUPPLY
OF GULF OF MEXICO MOISTURE. EVEN THOUGH THE AIRMASS ALOFT DRIES
OUT...A STRONGER LOWER LEVEL INVERSION WILL NOT ALLOW DEWPOINTS TO
MIX OUT AS EASILY. ELEVATED HEAT INDEX VALUES TO AS HIGH AS 108
WHICH IS AT THE THRESHOLD OF HEAT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
ACROSS AREAS NEAR THE COASTAL PLAINS AND RIO GRANDE VALLEY. WILL
CONTINUE TO MENTION IN THE HWO. STRONG SUBSIDENCE AND BELOW NORMAL
MOISTURE LEVELS SHALL KEEP RAIN OUT OF THE FORECAST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              76  99  77 100  77 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  72  99  75  99  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     74  99  75 100  76 /   0   0   0   0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            74  98  75  98  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           77 101  78 101  78 /   0   0   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        75  98  77  99  76 /   0   0   0   0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             73  98  75  98  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        75  98  76  99  76 /   0   0   0   0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   75  98  76  98  77 /   0   0   0  -    0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       77  98  78  98  77 /   0   0   0   0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           76  99  77  99  76 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...09
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...05
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...TREADWAY





000
FXUS64 KEWX 032345
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
645 PM CDT MON AUG 3 2015

.AVIATION...
QUESTION THIS TAF CYCLE WILL BE HOW FAST THE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
RETURNS AND WHEN TO START MVFR MORNING CEILINGS. OVER THE NEXT 48
HOURS THERE WILL DEFINITELY BE A SURGE OF LOW LEVEL SOUTHERLY
WINDS. MODELS DIFFER JUST ENOUGH THAT CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW THAT
A RETURN WILL OCCUR TONIGHT. WHILE I THINK WE WILL SEE SOME LOW
CLOUDS IN THE MORNING SOMEWHERE IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...WITH THE
LOWER CONFIDENCE AND NOT KNOWING HOW WIDESPREAD...WILL CONTINUE
THE MENTION OF SCT DECKS NEAR 2-2.5 KFT ACROSS SAT/SSF/AUS. WITH
TIME SECTIONS SHOWING STRONGER S WINDS WED MORNING...CONFIDENCE IS
MUCH HIGHER OF SEEING THE MVFR CIGS INTO THE 36-48HR TIME FRAME
OF WED AM.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 632 PM CDT MON AUG 3 2015/

UPDATE...
ISOLATED SHOWER HAVE DEVELOPED OVER THE SOUTHEAST ALONG THE SEA
BREEZE. THESE SHOWERS SHOULD CONTINUE UNTIL AROUND SUNSET...BUT
PROBABLY WILL NOT MAKE IT TO I-10. HAVE UPDATED TO INCLUDE
ISOLATED SHOWERS FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 234 PM CDT MON AUG 3 2015/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)...
DEEPER MOISTURE HAS BEGUN TO RETURN TO SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. PWS
NEAR 2 INCHES ALONG THE TEXAS COASTAL BEND HAVE NOT ALLOWED
DEWPOINTS TO MIX OUT AS EASILY AS THIS WEEKEND ACROSS OUR COUNTIES
NEAR THE COASTAL PLAINS. THE RESULT HAS BEEN SLIGHTLY ELEVATED
HEAT INDEX VALUES. A WEAK EASTERLY WAVE BRINGING THIS MOISTURE
WILL MOVE WEST ACROSS SOUTHERN TEXAS INTO MEXICO IN THE SHORT TERM
SPREADING THE DEEPER MOISTURE ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
WITH PWS OF 1.5 NORTH TO 2 INCHES SOUTH. CANNOT RULE OUT ONE OR
TWO SHOWERS NEAR THE COASTAL PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN
TUESDAY AFTERNOON ALONG THE SEABREEZE. CANNOT ALSO RULE OUT ONE OR
TWO SHOWERS OVER THE EDWARDS PLATEAU WHERE THERE IS SOME MOISTURE
POOLING THIS AFTERNOON. DEWPOINTS WILL HAVE A LITTLE MORE
DIFFICULTY MIXING OUT ACROSS MOST AREAS MAKING HEAT INDEX VALUES A
BIT ELEVATED FROM ACTUAL AIR TEMPERATURES TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

LONG TERM (WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)...
THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN STATES AND
FAR NORTHERN MEXICO MID WEEK SHIFTS EAST INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
LATE WEEK AND REMAINS OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THROUGH MONDAY. A
SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES RIDING OVER THE TOP OF THE
RIDGE WILL MAINTAIN A MODERATE SOUTHEASTERLY LOWER FLOW AND SUPPLY
OF GULF OF MEXICO MOISTURE. EVEN THOUGH THE AIRMASS ALOFT DRIES
OUT...A STRONGER LOWER LEVEL INVERSION WILL NOT ALLOW DEWPOINTS TO
MIX OUT AS EASILY. ELEVATED HEAT INDEX VALUES TO AS HIGH AS 108
WHICH IS AT THE THRESHOLD OF HEAT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
ACROSS AREAS NEAR THE COASTAL PLAINS AND RIO GRANDE VALLEY. WILL
CONTINUE TO MENTION IN THE HWO. STRONG SUBSIDENCE AND BELOW NORMAL
MOISTURE LEVELS SHALL KEEP RAIN OUT OF THE FORECAST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              76  99  77 100  77 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  72  99  75  99  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     74  99  75 100  76 /   0   0   0   0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            74  98  75  98  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           77 101  78 101  78 /   0   0   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        75  98  77  99  76 /   0   0   0   0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             73  98  75  98  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        75  98  76  99  76 /   0   0   0   0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   75  98  76  98  77 /   0   0   0  -    0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       77  98  78  98  77 /   0   0   0   0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           76  99  77  99  76 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...09
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...05
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...TREADWAY




000
FXUS64 KEWX 032332
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
632 PM CDT MON AUG 3 2015

.UPDATE...
ISOLATED SHOWER HAVE DEVELOPED OVER THE SOUTHEAST ALONG THE SEA
BREEZE. THESE SHOWERS SHOULD CONTINUE UNTIL AROUND SUNSET...BUT
PROBABLY WILL NOT MAKE IT TO I-10. HAVE UPDATED TO INCLUDE
ISOLATED SHOWERS FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 234 PM CDT MON AUG 3 2015/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)...
DEEPER MOISTURE HAS BEGUN TO RETURN TO SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. PWS
NEAR 2 INCHES ALONG THE TEXAS COASTAL BEND HAVE NOT ALLOWED
DEWPOINTS TO MIX OUT AS EASILY AS THIS WEEKEND ACROSS OUR COUNTIES
NEAR THE COASTAL PLAINS. THE RESULT HAS BEEN SLIGHTLY ELEVATED
HEAT INDEX VALUES. A WEAK EASTERLY WAVE BRINGING THIS MOISTURE
WILL MOVE WEST ACROSS SOUTHERN TEXAS INTO MEXICO IN THE SHORT TERM
SPREADING THE DEEPER MOISTURE ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
WITH PWS OF 1.5 NORTH TO 2 INCHES SOUTH. CANNOT RULE OUT ONE OR
TWO SHOWERS NEAR THE COASTAL PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN
TUESDAY AFTERNOON ALONG THE SEABREEZE. CANNOT ALSO RULE OUT ONE OR
TWO SHOWERS OVER THE EDWARDS PLATEAU WHERE THERE IS SOME MOISTURE
POOLING THIS AFTERNOON. DEWPOINTS WILL HAVE A LITTLE MORE
DIFFICULTY MIXING OUT ACROSS MOST AREAS MAKING HEAT INDEX VALUES A
BIT ELEVATED FROM ACTUAL AIR TEMPERATURES TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

LONG TERM (WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)...
THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN STATES AND
FAR NORTHERN MEXICO MID WEEK SHIFTS EAST INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
LATE WEEK AND REMAINS OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THROUGH MONDAY. A
SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES RIDING OVER THE TOP OF THE
RIDGE WILL MAINTAIN A MODERATE SOUTHEASTERLY LOWER FLOW AND SUPPLY
OF GULF OF MEXICO MOISTURE. EVEN THOUGH THE AIRMASS ALOFT DRIES
OUT...A STRONGER LOWER LEVEL INVERSION WILL NOT ALLOW DEWPOINTS TO
MIX OUT AS EASILY. ELEVATED HEAT INDEX VALUES TO AS HIGH AS 108
WHICH IS AT THE THRESHOLD OF HEAT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
ACROSS AREAS NEAR THE COASTAL PLAINS AND RIO GRANDE VALLEY. WILL
CONTINUE TO MENTION IN THE HWO. STRONG SUBSIDENCE AND BELOW NORMAL
MOISTURE LEVELS SHALL KEEP RAIN OUT OF THE FORECAST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              76  99  77 100  77 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  72  99  75  99  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     74  99  75 100  76 /   0   0   0   0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            74  98  75  98  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           77 101  78 101  78 /   0   0   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        75  98  77  99  76 /   0   0   0   0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             73  98  75  98  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        75  98  76  99  76 /   0   0   0   0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   75  98  76  98  77 /   0   0   0  -    0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       77  98  78  98  77 /   0   0   0   0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           76  99  77  99  76 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...09
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...05
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...TREADWAY





000
FXUS64 KEWX 032332
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
632 PM CDT MON AUG 3 2015

.UPDATE...
ISOLATED SHOWER HAVE DEVELOPED OVER THE SOUTHEAST ALONG THE SEA
BREEZE. THESE SHOWERS SHOULD CONTINUE UNTIL AROUND SUNSET...BUT
PROBABLY WILL NOT MAKE IT TO I-10. HAVE UPDATED TO INCLUDE
ISOLATED SHOWERS FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 234 PM CDT MON AUG 3 2015/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)...
DEEPER MOISTURE HAS BEGUN TO RETURN TO SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. PWS
NEAR 2 INCHES ALONG THE TEXAS COASTAL BEND HAVE NOT ALLOWED
DEWPOINTS TO MIX OUT AS EASILY AS THIS WEEKEND ACROSS OUR COUNTIES
NEAR THE COASTAL PLAINS. THE RESULT HAS BEEN SLIGHTLY ELEVATED
HEAT INDEX VALUES. A WEAK EASTERLY WAVE BRINGING THIS MOISTURE
WILL MOVE WEST ACROSS SOUTHERN TEXAS INTO MEXICO IN THE SHORT TERM
SPREADING THE DEEPER MOISTURE ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
WITH PWS OF 1.5 NORTH TO 2 INCHES SOUTH. CANNOT RULE OUT ONE OR
TWO SHOWERS NEAR THE COASTAL PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN
TUESDAY AFTERNOON ALONG THE SEABREEZE. CANNOT ALSO RULE OUT ONE OR
TWO SHOWERS OVER THE EDWARDS PLATEAU WHERE THERE IS SOME MOISTURE
POOLING THIS AFTERNOON. DEWPOINTS WILL HAVE A LITTLE MORE
DIFFICULTY MIXING OUT ACROSS MOST AREAS MAKING HEAT INDEX VALUES A
BIT ELEVATED FROM ACTUAL AIR TEMPERATURES TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

LONG TERM (WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)...
THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN STATES AND
FAR NORTHERN MEXICO MID WEEK SHIFTS EAST INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
LATE WEEK AND REMAINS OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THROUGH MONDAY. A
SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES RIDING OVER THE TOP OF THE
RIDGE WILL MAINTAIN A MODERATE SOUTHEASTERLY LOWER FLOW AND SUPPLY
OF GULF OF MEXICO MOISTURE. EVEN THOUGH THE AIRMASS ALOFT DRIES
OUT...A STRONGER LOWER LEVEL INVERSION WILL NOT ALLOW DEWPOINTS TO
MIX OUT AS EASILY. ELEVATED HEAT INDEX VALUES TO AS HIGH AS 108
WHICH IS AT THE THRESHOLD OF HEAT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
ACROSS AREAS NEAR THE COASTAL PLAINS AND RIO GRANDE VALLEY. WILL
CONTINUE TO MENTION IN THE HWO. STRONG SUBSIDENCE AND BELOW NORMAL
MOISTURE LEVELS SHALL KEEP RAIN OUT OF THE FORECAST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              76  99  77 100  77 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  72  99  75  99  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     74  99  75 100  76 /   0   0   0   0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            74  98  75  98  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           77 101  78 101  78 /   0   0   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        75  98  77  99  76 /   0   0   0   0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             73  98  75  98  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        75  98  76  99  76 /   0   0   0   0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   75  98  76  98  77 /   0   0   0  -    0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       77  98  78  98  77 /   0   0   0   0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           76  99  77  99  76 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...09
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...05
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...TREADWAY




000
FXUS64 KEWX 032332
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
632 PM CDT MON AUG 3 2015

.UPDATE...
ISOLATED SHOWER HAVE DEVELOPED OVER THE SOUTHEAST ALONG THE SEA
BREEZE. THESE SHOWERS SHOULD CONTINUE UNTIL AROUND SUNSET...BUT
PROBABLY WILL NOT MAKE IT TO I-10. HAVE UPDATED TO INCLUDE
ISOLATED SHOWERS FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 234 PM CDT MON AUG 3 2015/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)...
DEEPER MOISTURE HAS BEGUN TO RETURN TO SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. PWS
NEAR 2 INCHES ALONG THE TEXAS COASTAL BEND HAVE NOT ALLOWED
DEWPOINTS TO MIX OUT AS EASILY AS THIS WEEKEND ACROSS OUR COUNTIES
NEAR THE COASTAL PLAINS. THE RESULT HAS BEEN SLIGHTLY ELEVATED
HEAT INDEX VALUES. A WEAK EASTERLY WAVE BRINGING THIS MOISTURE
WILL MOVE WEST ACROSS SOUTHERN TEXAS INTO MEXICO IN THE SHORT TERM
SPREADING THE DEEPER MOISTURE ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
WITH PWS OF 1.5 NORTH TO 2 INCHES SOUTH. CANNOT RULE OUT ONE OR
TWO SHOWERS NEAR THE COASTAL PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN
TUESDAY AFTERNOON ALONG THE SEABREEZE. CANNOT ALSO RULE OUT ONE OR
TWO SHOWERS OVER THE EDWARDS PLATEAU WHERE THERE IS SOME MOISTURE
POOLING THIS AFTERNOON. DEWPOINTS WILL HAVE A LITTLE MORE
DIFFICULTY MIXING OUT ACROSS MOST AREAS MAKING HEAT INDEX VALUES A
BIT ELEVATED FROM ACTUAL AIR TEMPERATURES TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

LONG TERM (WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)...
THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN STATES AND
FAR NORTHERN MEXICO MID WEEK SHIFTS EAST INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
LATE WEEK AND REMAINS OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THROUGH MONDAY. A
SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES RIDING OVER THE TOP OF THE
RIDGE WILL MAINTAIN A MODERATE SOUTHEASTERLY LOWER FLOW AND SUPPLY
OF GULF OF MEXICO MOISTURE. EVEN THOUGH THE AIRMASS ALOFT DRIES
OUT...A STRONGER LOWER LEVEL INVERSION WILL NOT ALLOW DEWPOINTS TO
MIX OUT AS EASILY. ELEVATED HEAT INDEX VALUES TO AS HIGH AS 108
WHICH IS AT THE THRESHOLD OF HEAT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
ACROSS AREAS NEAR THE COASTAL PLAINS AND RIO GRANDE VALLEY. WILL
CONTINUE TO MENTION IN THE HWO. STRONG SUBSIDENCE AND BELOW NORMAL
MOISTURE LEVELS SHALL KEEP RAIN OUT OF THE FORECAST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              76  99  77 100  77 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  72  99  75  99  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     74  99  75 100  76 /   0   0   0   0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            74  98  75  98  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           77 101  78 101  78 /   0   0   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        75  98  77  99  76 /   0   0   0   0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             73  98  75  98  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        75  98  76  99  76 /   0   0   0   0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   75  98  76  98  77 /   0   0   0  -    0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       77  98  78  98  77 /   0   0   0   0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           76  99  77  99  76 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...09
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...05
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...TREADWAY




000
FXUS64 KEWX 031934
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
234 PM CDT MON AUG 3 2015

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)...
DEEPER MOISTURE HAS BEGUN TO RETURN TO SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. PWS
NEAR 2 INCHES ALONG THE TEXAS COASTAL BEND HAVE NOT ALLOWED
DEWPOINTS TO MIX OUT AS EASILY AS THIS WEEKEND ACROSS OUR COUNTIES
NEAR THE COASTAL PLAINS. THE RESULT HAS BEEN SLIGHTLY ELEVATED
HEAT INDEX VALUES. A WEAK EASTERLY WAVE BRINGING THIS MOISTURE
WILL MOVE WEST ACROSS SOUTHERN TEXAS INTO MEXICO IN THE SHORT TERM
SPREADING THE DEEPER MOISTURE ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
WITH PWS OF 1.5 NORTH TO 2 INCHES SOUTH. CANNOT RULE OUT ONE OR
TWO SHOWERS NEAR THE COASTAL PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN
TUESDAY AFTERNOON ALONG THE SEABREEZE. CANNOT ALSO RULE OUT ONE OR
TWO SHOWERS OVER THE EDWARDS PLATEAU WHERE THERE IS SOME MOISTURE
POOLING THIS AFTERNOON. DEWPOINTS WILL HAVE A LITTLE MORE
DIFFICULTY MIXING OUT ACROSS MOST AREAS MAKING HEAT INDEX VALUES A
BIT ELEVATED FROM ACTUAL AIR TEMPERATURES TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.LONG TERM (WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)...
THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN STATES AND
FAR NORTHERN MEXICO MID WEEK SHIFTS EAST INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
LATE WEEK AND REMAINS OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THROUGH MONDAY. A
SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES RIDING OVER THE TOP OF THE
RIDGE WILL MAINTAIN A MODERATE SOUTHEASTERLY LOWER FLOW AND SUPPLY
OF GULF OF MEXICO MOISTURE. EVEN THOUGH THE AIRMASS ALOFT DRIES
OUT...A STRONGER LOWER LEVEL INVERSION WILL NOT ALLOW DEWPOINTS TO
MIX OUT AS EASILY. ELEVATED HEAT INDEX VALUES TO AS HIGH AS 108
WHICH IS AT THE THRESHOLD OF HEAT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
ACROSS AREAS NEAR THE COASTAL PLAINS AND RIO GRANDE VALLEY. WILL
CONTINUE TO MENTION IN THE HWO. STRONG SUBSIDENCE AND BELOW NORMAL
MOISTURE LEVELS SHALL KEEP RAIN OUT OF THE FORECAST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              76  99  77 100  77 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  72  99  75  99  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     74  99  75 100  76 /   0   0   0   0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            74  98  75  98  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           77 101  78 101  78 /   0   0   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        75  98  77  99  76 /   0   0   0   0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             73  98  75  98  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        75  98  76  99  76 /   0   0   0   0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   75  98  76  98  77 /   0   0   0  -    0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       77  98  78  98  77 /   0   0   0   0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           76  99  77  99  76 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...10
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...04
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...33




000
FXUS64 KEWX 031934
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
234 PM CDT MON AUG 3 2015

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)...
DEEPER MOISTURE HAS BEGUN TO RETURN TO SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. PWS
NEAR 2 INCHES ALONG THE TEXAS COASTAL BEND HAVE NOT ALLOWED
DEWPOINTS TO MIX OUT AS EASILY AS THIS WEEKEND ACROSS OUR COUNTIES
NEAR THE COASTAL PLAINS. THE RESULT HAS BEEN SLIGHTLY ELEVATED
HEAT INDEX VALUES. A WEAK EASTERLY WAVE BRINGING THIS MOISTURE
WILL MOVE WEST ACROSS SOUTHERN TEXAS INTO MEXICO IN THE SHORT TERM
SPREADING THE DEEPER MOISTURE ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
WITH PWS OF 1.5 NORTH TO 2 INCHES SOUTH. CANNOT RULE OUT ONE OR
TWO SHOWERS NEAR THE COASTAL PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN
TUESDAY AFTERNOON ALONG THE SEABREEZE. CANNOT ALSO RULE OUT ONE OR
TWO SHOWERS OVER THE EDWARDS PLATEAU WHERE THERE IS SOME MOISTURE
POOLING THIS AFTERNOON. DEWPOINTS WILL HAVE A LITTLE MORE
DIFFICULTY MIXING OUT ACROSS MOST AREAS MAKING HEAT INDEX VALUES A
BIT ELEVATED FROM ACTUAL AIR TEMPERATURES TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.LONG TERM (WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)...
THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN STATES AND
FAR NORTHERN MEXICO MID WEEK SHIFTS EAST INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
LATE WEEK AND REMAINS OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THROUGH MONDAY. A
SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES RIDING OVER THE TOP OF THE
RIDGE WILL MAINTAIN A MODERATE SOUTHEASTERLY LOWER FLOW AND SUPPLY
OF GULF OF MEXICO MOISTURE. EVEN THOUGH THE AIRMASS ALOFT DRIES
OUT...A STRONGER LOWER LEVEL INVERSION WILL NOT ALLOW DEWPOINTS TO
MIX OUT AS EASILY. ELEVATED HEAT INDEX VALUES TO AS HIGH AS 108
WHICH IS AT THE THRESHOLD OF HEAT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
ACROSS AREAS NEAR THE COASTAL PLAINS AND RIO GRANDE VALLEY. WILL
CONTINUE TO MENTION IN THE HWO. STRONG SUBSIDENCE AND BELOW NORMAL
MOISTURE LEVELS SHALL KEEP RAIN OUT OF THE FORECAST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              76  99  77 100  77 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  72  99  75  99  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     74  99  75 100  76 /   0   0   0   0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            74  98  75  98  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           77 101  78 101  78 /   0   0   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        75  98  77  99  76 /   0   0   0   0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             73  98  75  98  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        75  98  76  99  76 /   0   0   0   0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   75  98  76  98  77 /   0   0   0  -    0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       77  98  78  98  77 /   0   0   0   0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           76  99  77  99  76 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...10
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...04
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...33





000
FXUS64 KEWX 031732 AAA
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1232 PM CDT MON AUG 3 2015

.AVIATION.../18Z TAFS/
AGAIN TODAY NO MAJOR CONCERNS. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. LIKELY TO SEE SOME INCREASE
IN LOW LEVEL MOISTURE OVERNIGHT SO HAVE INCLUDED SCT CLOUDS. MAY
SEE A BRIEF PERIOD OF BKN CIG BUT LOW CONFIDENCE AT THIS TIME.
S/SE WINDS 5-10 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON...SOUTHERLY WINDS NEAR 5
KNOTS OVERNIGHT AND SOUTHERLY WINDS 10-15 KNOTS AFTER 15Z-16Z TUE.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1129 AM CDT MON AUG 3 2015/

DISCUSSION...
LOWER LEVEL MOISTURE HAS BEGUN ITS RETURN WITH PATCHY STRATUS AND
FOG NOTED THIS MORNING AND DEWPOINTS SLOWER TO MIX OUT ACROSS
AREAS NEAR THE COASTAL PLAINS. PWS NEAR 2 INCHES WERE ALSO NOTED
NEAR THE TEXAS COASTAL BEND. THESE PWS WILL PASS MAINLY SOUTH OF
OUR AREA. HOWEVER...SOME ELEVATED MOISTURE LEVELS WILL FILTER INTO
OUR AREA. AS MENTIONED IN OUR PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...CAN NOT RULE
OUT AN ISOLATED SHOWER ACROSS OUR FAR SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES THIS
AFTERNOON. REMAINDER OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS FORECAST IS ON TRACK.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 623 AM CDT MON AUG 3 2015/

AVIATION DISCUSSION...FOR 12Z TAF PERIOD...
VFR TO PREVAIL FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS LITTLE TO NO CHANGES WERE
OBSERVED SINCE THE LAST FORECAST PACKAGE. TOWARDS THE END OF THE
TAF PERIOD...SOME MINOR CLOUD COVER COULD IMPACT THE I35 TERMINALS
BUT THINK MOISTURE WILL BE INSUFFICIENT TO RESULT IN A CATEGORY
CHANGE.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 256 AM CDT MON AUG 3 2015/

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY)...
CURRENTLY...THE CWA IS BETWEEN TWO AREAS OF SCATTERED RAIN AND
THIS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY. TO OUR SOUTHEAST
IS A COASTAL TROUGH AND PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES BETWEEN 2.2 AND
2.5 INCHES JUST OFF THE COAST. THERE IS A SHARP MOISTURE GRADIENT
TO THE NORTHWEST AND PW VALUES IN OUR SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW 2 INCHES. CANT COMPLETELY RULE OUR A
STRAY SHOWER MAKING IT TO OUR SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES BUT THE VAST
MAJORITY OF THIS ACTIVITY WILL REMAIN CLOSER TO THE GULF OF
MEXICO. WILL CARRY A 10 POP ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES BUT
WILL NOT MENTION AND SHOWERS IN THE OFFICIAL FORECAST.

LOW-LEVEL LIFT IS PROVIDING THE FOCUS FOR SHOWER ACTIVITY WELL TO
OUR NORTHWEST AND THIS WILL ALSO NOT IMPACT OUR AREA. THE UPPER
RIDGE REMAINS FLAT AND NOT WELL-DEFINED AS A TROUGH IS CURRENTLY
MOVING ONSHORE NEAR CALIFORNIA. HIGH-TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL BE
SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY AND SURFACE WINDS WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE
SOUTHEAST AND BE AROUND 10 TO 15 MPH...SLIGHTLY INCREASING DEW
POINTS. HEAT INDICES WILL REMAIN BELOW 104 DEGREES AREA WIDE.

FOR TOMORROW...THE RIDGE AXIS WILL BEGIN TO STRENGTHEN TO OUR
WEST...AND WILL HAVE AN INFLUENCE ON OUR WEATHER AS HIGHS COULD
BE A DEGREE OR TWO WARMER THAN TODAY. MODELS SHOW SOME POTENTIAL
FOR SEA BREEZE ACTIVITY WELL TO OUR EAST AND WILL NOT MENTION
ANYTHING IN THE FORECAST.

LONG TERM (TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)...
THE RIDGE TO OUR WEST WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN ON WEDNESDAY AND
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO RESPOND WITH NEAR 100 DEGREE
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE CWA. BY THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY...THE RIDGE WILL SLIGHTLY SHIFT EAST AND WILL HAVE MORE OF
A HOLD OVER TEXAS. 850 TEMPS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE AS
SUBSIDENCE ALOFT INCREASES AND HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY BE
NEAR OR ABOVE 100 DEGREES FOR MUCH OF THE AREA THURSDAY-SUNDAY.
WILL HAVE TO WATCH SURFACE MOISTURE CLOSELY DURING THIS TIME FRAME
AS OUR WESTERN AND SOUTHERN COUNTIES WILL BE CLOSE TO HEAT
ADVISORY CRITERIA. WILL GO AHEAD AND BEGIN TO MENTION THE ELEVATED
HEAT ONCE AGAIN IN THE HWO. WITH STRONG SUBSIDENCE RAIN CHANCES
WILL BE NEAR ZERO DURING THE LONG- TERM FORECAST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              99  76  99  77 100 /   0   0  -   -    0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  98  74  98  75 100 /   0   0  -   -    0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     99  75  99  76 100 /   0   0  -   -    0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            98  74  98  75  98 /   0   0  -   -    0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT          100  77 100  78 100 /   0   0  -   -    0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        98  76  98  76  99 /   0   0  -   -    0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             98  74  98  75  98 /   0   0  -   -    0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        99  75  99  76  99 /   0   0  -   -    0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   98  76  98  77  99 /  -   -   -   -   -
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       98  77  98  78  99 /   0   0  -   -    0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           98  76  99  77  99 /   0   0  -   -    0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...10
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...04
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...TREADWAY





000
FXUS64 KEWX 031629
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1129 AM CDT MON AUG 3 2015

.DISCUSSION...
LOWER LEVEL MOISTURE HAS BEGUN ITS RETURN WITH PATCHY STRATUS AND
FOG NOTED THIS MORNING AND DEWPOINTS SLOWER TO MIX OUT ACROSS
AREAS NEAR THE COASTAL PLAINS. PWS NEAR 2 INCHES WERE ALSO NOTED
NEAR THE TEXAS COASTAL BEND. THESE PWS WILL PASS MAINLY SOUTH OF
OUR AREA. HOWEVER...SOME ELEVATED MOISTURE LEVELS WILL FILTER INTO
OUR AREA. AS MENTIONED IN OUR PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...CAN NOT RULE
OUT AN ISOLATED SHOWER ACROSS OUR FAR SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES THIS
AFTERNOON. REMAINDER OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS FORECAST IS ON TRACK.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 623 AM CDT MON AUG 3 2015/

AVIATION DISCUSSION...FOR 12Z TAF PERIOD...
VFR TO PREVAIL FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS LITTLE TO NO CHANGES WERE
OBSERVED SINCE THE LAST FORECAST PACKAGE. TOWARDS THE END OF THE
TAF PERIOD...SOME MINOR CLOUD COVER COULD IMPACT THE I35 TERMINALS
BUT THINK MOISTURE WILL BE INSUFFICIENT TO RESULT IN A CATEGORY
CHANGE.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 256 AM CDT MON AUG 3 2015/

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY)...
CURRENTLY...THE CWA IS BETWEEN TWO AREAS OF SCATTERED RAIN AND
THIS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY. TO OUR SOUTHEAST
IS A COASTAL TROUGH AND PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES BETWEEN 2.2 AND
2.5 INCHES JUST OFF THE COAST. THERE IS A SHARP MOISTURE GRADIENT
TO THE NORTHWEST AND PW VALUES IN OUR SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW 2 INCHES. CANT COMPLETELY RULE OUR A
STRAY SHOWER MAKING IT TO OUR SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES BUT THE VAST
MAJORITY OF THIS ACTIVITY WILL REMAIN CLOSER TO THE GULF OF
MEXICO. WILL CARRY A 10 POP ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES BUT
WILL NOT MENTION AND SHOWERS IN THE OFFICIAL FORECAST.

LOW-LEVEL LIFT IS PROVIDING THE FOCUS FOR SHOWER ACTIVITY WELL TO
OUR NORTHWEST AND THIS WILL ALSO NOT IMPACT OUR AREA. THE UPPER
RIDGE REMAINS FLAT AND NOT WELL-DEFINED AS A TROUGH IS CURRENTLY
MOVING ONSHORE NEAR CALIFORNIA. HIGH-TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL BE
SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY AND SURFACE WINDS WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE
SOUTHEAST AND BE AROUND 10 TO 15 MPH...SLIGHTLY INCREASING DEW
POINTS. HEAT INDICES WILL REMAIN BELOW 104 DEGREES AREA WIDE.

FOR TOMORROW...THE RIDGE AXIS WILL BEGIN TO STRENGTHEN TO OUR
WEST...AND WILL HAVE AN INFLUENCE ON OUR WEATHER AS HIGHS COULD
BE A DEGREE OR TWO WARMER THAN TODAY. MODELS SHOW SOME POTENTIAL
FOR SEA BREEZE ACTIVITY WELL TO OUR EAST AND WILL NOT MENTION
ANYTHING IN THE FORECAST.

LONG TERM (TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)...
THE RIDGE TO OUR WEST WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN ON WEDNESDAY AND
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO RESPOND WITH NEAR 100 DEGREE
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE CWA. BY THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY...THE RIDGE WILL SLIGHTLY SHIFT EAST AND WILL HAVE MORE OF
A HOLD OVER TEXAS. 850 TEMPS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE AS
SUBSIDENCE ALOFT INCREASES AND HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY BE
NEAR OR ABOVE 100 DEGREES FOR MUCH OF THE AREA THURSDAY-SUNDAY.
WILL HAVE TO WATCH SURFACE MOISTURE CLOSELY DURING THIS TIME FRAME
AS OUR WESTERN AND SOUTHERN COUNTIES WILL BE CLOSE TO HEAT
ADVISORY CRITERIA. WILL GO AHEAD AND BEGIN TO MENTION THE ELEVATED
HEAT ONCE AGAIN IN THE HWO. WITH STRONG SUBSIDENCE RAIN CHANCES
WILL BE NEAR ZERO DURING THE LONG- TERM FORECAST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              99  76  99  77 100 /   0   0  -   -    0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  98  74  98  75 100 /   0   0  -   -    0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     99  75  99  76 100 /   0   0  -   -    0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            98  74  98  75  98 /   0   0  -   -    0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT          100  77 100  78 100 /   0   0  -   -    0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        98  76  98  76  99 /   0   0  -   -    0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             98  74  98  75  98 /   0   0  -   -    0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        99  75  99  76  99 /   0   0  -   -    0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   98  76  98  77  99 /  -   -   -   -   -
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       98  77  98  78  99 /   0   0  -   -    0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           98  76  99  77  99 /   0   0  -   -    0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...10
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...04
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...TREADWAY




000
FXUS64 KEWX 031629
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1129 AM CDT MON AUG 3 2015

.DISCUSSION...
LOWER LEVEL MOISTURE HAS BEGUN ITS RETURN WITH PATCHY STRATUS AND
FOG NOTED THIS MORNING AND DEWPOINTS SLOWER TO MIX OUT ACROSS
AREAS NEAR THE COASTAL PLAINS. PWS NEAR 2 INCHES WERE ALSO NOTED
NEAR THE TEXAS COASTAL BEND. THESE PWS WILL PASS MAINLY SOUTH OF
OUR AREA. HOWEVER...SOME ELEVATED MOISTURE LEVELS WILL FILTER INTO
OUR AREA. AS MENTIONED IN OUR PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...CAN NOT RULE
OUT AN ISOLATED SHOWER ACROSS OUR FAR SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES THIS
AFTERNOON. REMAINDER OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS FORECAST IS ON TRACK.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 623 AM CDT MON AUG 3 2015/

AVIATION DISCUSSION...FOR 12Z TAF PERIOD...
VFR TO PREVAIL FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS LITTLE TO NO CHANGES WERE
OBSERVED SINCE THE LAST FORECAST PACKAGE. TOWARDS THE END OF THE
TAF PERIOD...SOME MINOR CLOUD COVER COULD IMPACT THE I35 TERMINALS
BUT THINK MOISTURE WILL BE INSUFFICIENT TO RESULT IN A CATEGORY
CHANGE.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 256 AM CDT MON AUG 3 2015/

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY)...
CURRENTLY...THE CWA IS BETWEEN TWO AREAS OF SCATTERED RAIN AND
THIS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY. TO OUR SOUTHEAST
IS A COASTAL TROUGH AND PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES BETWEEN 2.2 AND
2.5 INCHES JUST OFF THE COAST. THERE IS A SHARP MOISTURE GRADIENT
TO THE NORTHWEST AND PW VALUES IN OUR SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW 2 INCHES. CANT COMPLETELY RULE OUR A
STRAY SHOWER MAKING IT TO OUR SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES BUT THE VAST
MAJORITY OF THIS ACTIVITY WILL REMAIN CLOSER TO THE GULF OF
MEXICO. WILL CARRY A 10 POP ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES BUT
WILL NOT MENTION AND SHOWERS IN THE OFFICIAL FORECAST.

LOW-LEVEL LIFT IS PROVIDING THE FOCUS FOR SHOWER ACTIVITY WELL TO
OUR NORTHWEST AND THIS WILL ALSO NOT IMPACT OUR AREA. THE UPPER
RIDGE REMAINS FLAT AND NOT WELL-DEFINED AS A TROUGH IS CURRENTLY
MOVING ONSHORE NEAR CALIFORNIA. HIGH-TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL BE
SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY AND SURFACE WINDS WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE
SOUTHEAST AND BE AROUND 10 TO 15 MPH...SLIGHTLY INCREASING DEW
POINTS. HEAT INDICES WILL REMAIN BELOW 104 DEGREES AREA WIDE.

FOR TOMORROW...THE RIDGE AXIS WILL BEGIN TO STRENGTHEN TO OUR
WEST...AND WILL HAVE AN INFLUENCE ON OUR WEATHER AS HIGHS COULD
BE A DEGREE OR TWO WARMER THAN TODAY. MODELS SHOW SOME POTENTIAL
FOR SEA BREEZE ACTIVITY WELL TO OUR EAST AND WILL NOT MENTION
ANYTHING IN THE FORECAST.

LONG TERM (TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)...
THE RIDGE TO OUR WEST WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN ON WEDNESDAY AND
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO RESPOND WITH NEAR 100 DEGREE
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE CWA. BY THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY...THE RIDGE WILL SLIGHTLY SHIFT EAST AND WILL HAVE MORE OF
A HOLD OVER TEXAS. 850 TEMPS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE AS
SUBSIDENCE ALOFT INCREASES AND HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY BE
NEAR OR ABOVE 100 DEGREES FOR MUCH OF THE AREA THURSDAY-SUNDAY.
WILL HAVE TO WATCH SURFACE MOISTURE CLOSELY DURING THIS TIME FRAME
AS OUR WESTERN AND SOUTHERN COUNTIES WILL BE CLOSE TO HEAT
ADVISORY CRITERIA. WILL GO AHEAD AND BEGIN TO MENTION THE ELEVATED
HEAT ONCE AGAIN IN THE HWO. WITH STRONG SUBSIDENCE RAIN CHANCES
WILL BE NEAR ZERO DURING THE LONG- TERM FORECAST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              99  76  99  77 100 /   0   0  -   -    0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  98  74  98  75 100 /   0   0  -   -    0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     99  75  99  76 100 /   0   0  -   -    0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            98  74  98  75  98 /   0   0  -   -    0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT          100  77 100  78 100 /   0   0  -   -    0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        98  76  98  76  99 /   0   0  -   -    0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             98  74  98  75  98 /   0   0  -   -    0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        99  75  99  76  99 /   0   0  -   -    0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   98  76  98  77  99 /  -   -   -   -   -
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       98  77  98  78  99 /   0   0  -   -    0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           98  76  99  77  99 /   0   0  -   -    0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...10
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...04
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...TREADWAY





000
FXUS64 KEWX 031123
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
623 AM CDT MON AUG 3 2015

.AVIATION DISCUSSION...FOR 12Z TAF PERIOD...
VFR TO PREVAIL FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS LITTLE TO NO CHANGES WERE
OBSERVED SINCE THE LAST FORECAST PACKAGE. TOWARDS THE END OF THE
TAF PERIOD...SOME MINOR CLOUD COVER COULD IMPACT THE I35 TERMINALS
BUT THINK MOISTURE WILL BE INSUFFICIENT TO RESULT IN A CATEGORY
CHANGE.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 256 AM CDT MON AUG 3 2015/

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY)...
CURRENTLY...THE CWA IS BETWEEN TWO AREAS OF SCATTERED RAIN AND
THIS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY. TO OUR SOUTHEAST
IS A COASTAL TROUGH AND PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES BETWEEN 2.2 AND
2.5 INCHES JUST OFF THE COAST. THERE IS A SHARP MOISTURE GRADIENT
TO THE NORTHWEST AND PW VALUES IN OUR SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW 2 INCHES. CANT COMPLETELY RULE OUR A
STRAY SHOWER MAKING IT TO OUR SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES BUT THE VAST
MAJORITY OF THIS ACTIVITY WILL REMAIN CLOSER TO THE GULF OF
MEXICO. WILL CARRY A 10 POP ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES BUT
WILL NOT MENTION AND SHOWERS IN THE OFFICIAL FORECAST.

LOW-LEVEL LIFT IS PROVIDING THE FOCUS FOR SHOWER ACTIVITY WELL TO
OUR NORTHWEST AND THIS WILL ALSO NOT IMPACT OUR AREA. THE UPPER
RIDGE REMAINS FLAT AND NOT WELL-DEFINED AS A TROUGH IS CURRENTLY
MOVING ONSHORE NEAR CALIFORNIA. HIGH-TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL BE
SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY AND SURFACE WINDS WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE
SOUTHEAST AND BE AROUND 10 TO 15 MPH...SLIGHTLY INCREASING DEW
POINTS. HEAT INDICES WILL REMAIN BELOW 104 DEGREES AREA WIDE.

FOR TOMORROW...THE RIDGE AXIS WILL BEGIN TO STRENGTHEN TO OUR
WEST...AND WILL HAVE AN INFLUENCE ON OUR WEATHER AS HIGHS COULD
BE A DEGREE OR TWO WARMER THAN TODAY. MODELS SHOW SOME POTENTIAL
FOR SEA BREEZE ACTIVITY WELL TO OUR EAST AND WILL NOT MENTION
ANYTHING IN THE FORECAST.

LONG TERM (TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)...
THE RIDGE TO OUR WEST WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN ON WEDNESDAY AND
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO RESPOND WITH NEAR 100 DEGREE
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE CWA. BY THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY...THE RIDGE WILL SLIGHTLY SHIFT EAST AND WILL HAVE MORE OF
A HOLD OVER TEXAS. 850 TEMPS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE AS
SUBSIDENCE ALOFT INCREASES AND HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY BE
NEAR OR ABOVE 100 DEGREES FOR MUCH OF THE AREA THURSDAY-SUNDAY.
WILL HAVE TO WATCH SURFACE MOISTURE CLOSELY DURING THIS TIME FRAME
AS OUR WESTERN AND SOUTHERN COUNTIES WILL BE CLOSE TO HEAT
ADVISORY CRITERIA. WILL GO AHEAD AND BEGIN TO MENTION THE ELEVATED
HEAT ONCE AGAIN IN THE HWO. WITH STRONG SUBSIDENCE RAIN CHANCES
WILL BE NEAR ZERO DURING THE LONG- TERM FORECAST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              99  76  99  77 100 /   0   0   0  -    0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  98  74  98  75 100 /   0   0   0  -    0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     99  75  99  76 100 /   0   0   0  -    0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            98  74  98  75  98 /   0   0   0  -    0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT          100  77 100  78 100 /   0   0   0  -    0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        98  76  98  76  99 /   0   0   0  -    0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             98  74  98  75  98 /   0   0   0  -    0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        99  75  99  76  99 /   0   0   0  -    0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   98  76  98  77  99 /  -    0  -   -   -
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       98  77  98  78  99 /   0   0   0  -    0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           98  76  99  77  99 /   0   0   0  -    0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...TB3
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...HAMPSHIRE




000
FXUS64 KEWX 031123
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
623 AM CDT MON AUG 3 2015

.AVIATION DISCUSSION...FOR 12Z TAF PERIOD...
VFR TO PREVAIL FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS LITTLE TO NO CHANGES WERE
OBSERVED SINCE THE LAST FORECAST PACKAGE. TOWARDS THE END OF THE
TAF PERIOD...SOME MINOR CLOUD COVER COULD IMPACT THE I35 TERMINALS
BUT THINK MOISTURE WILL BE INSUFFICIENT TO RESULT IN A CATEGORY
CHANGE.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 256 AM CDT MON AUG 3 2015/

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY)...
CURRENTLY...THE CWA IS BETWEEN TWO AREAS OF SCATTERED RAIN AND
THIS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY. TO OUR SOUTHEAST
IS A COASTAL TROUGH AND PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES BETWEEN 2.2 AND
2.5 INCHES JUST OFF THE COAST. THERE IS A SHARP MOISTURE GRADIENT
TO THE NORTHWEST AND PW VALUES IN OUR SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW 2 INCHES. CANT COMPLETELY RULE OUR A
STRAY SHOWER MAKING IT TO OUR SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES BUT THE VAST
MAJORITY OF THIS ACTIVITY WILL REMAIN CLOSER TO THE GULF OF
MEXICO. WILL CARRY A 10 POP ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES BUT
WILL NOT MENTION AND SHOWERS IN THE OFFICIAL FORECAST.

LOW-LEVEL LIFT IS PROVIDING THE FOCUS FOR SHOWER ACTIVITY WELL TO
OUR NORTHWEST AND THIS WILL ALSO NOT IMPACT OUR AREA. THE UPPER
RIDGE REMAINS FLAT AND NOT WELL-DEFINED AS A TROUGH IS CURRENTLY
MOVING ONSHORE NEAR CALIFORNIA. HIGH-TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL BE
SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY AND SURFACE WINDS WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE
SOUTHEAST AND BE AROUND 10 TO 15 MPH...SLIGHTLY INCREASING DEW
POINTS. HEAT INDICES WILL REMAIN BELOW 104 DEGREES AREA WIDE.

FOR TOMORROW...THE RIDGE AXIS WILL BEGIN TO STRENGTHEN TO OUR
WEST...AND WILL HAVE AN INFLUENCE ON OUR WEATHER AS HIGHS COULD
BE A DEGREE OR TWO WARMER THAN TODAY. MODELS SHOW SOME POTENTIAL
FOR SEA BREEZE ACTIVITY WELL TO OUR EAST AND WILL NOT MENTION
ANYTHING IN THE FORECAST.

LONG TERM (TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)...
THE RIDGE TO OUR WEST WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN ON WEDNESDAY AND
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO RESPOND WITH NEAR 100 DEGREE
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE CWA. BY THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY...THE RIDGE WILL SLIGHTLY SHIFT EAST AND WILL HAVE MORE OF
A HOLD OVER TEXAS. 850 TEMPS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE AS
SUBSIDENCE ALOFT INCREASES AND HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY BE
NEAR OR ABOVE 100 DEGREES FOR MUCH OF THE AREA THURSDAY-SUNDAY.
WILL HAVE TO WATCH SURFACE MOISTURE CLOSELY DURING THIS TIME FRAME
AS OUR WESTERN AND SOUTHERN COUNTIES WILL BE CLOSE TO HEAT
ADVISORY CRITERIA. WILL GO AHEAD AND BEGIN TO MENTION THE ELEVATED
HEAT ONCE AGAIN IN THE HWO. WITH STRONG SUBSIDENCE RAIN CHANCES
WILL BE NEAR ZERO DURING THE LONG- TERM FORECAST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              99  76  99  77 100 /   0   0   0  -    0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  98  74  98  75 100 /   0   0   0  -    0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     99  75  99  76 100 /   0   0   0  -    0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            98  74  98  75  98 /   0   0   0  -    0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT          100  77 100  78 100 /   0   0   0  -    0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        98  76  98  76  99 /   0   0   0  -    0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             98  74  98  75  98 /   0   0   0  -    0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        99  75  99  76  99 /   0   0   0  -    0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   98  76  98  77  99 /  -    0  -   -   -
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       98  77  98  78  99 /   0   0   0  -    0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           98  76  99  77  99 /   0   0   0  -    0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...TB3
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...HAMPSHIRE




000
FXUS64 KEWX 031123
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
623 AM CDT MON AUG 3 2015

.AVIATION DISCUSSION...FOR 12Z TAF PERIOD...
VFR TO PREVAIL FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS LITTLE TO NO CHANGES WERE
OBSERVED SINCE THE LAST FORECAST PACKAGE. TOWARDS THE END OF THE
TAF PERIOD...SOME MINOR CLOUD COVER COULD IMPACT THE I35 TERMINALS
BUT THINK MOISTURE WILL BE INSUFFICIENT TO RESULT IN A CATEGORY
CHANGE.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 256 AM CDT MON AUG 3 2015/

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY)...
CURRENTLY...THE CWA IS BETWEEN TWO AREAS OF SCATTERED RAIN AND
THIS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY. TO OUR SOUTHEAST
IS A COASTAL TROUGH AND PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES BETWEEN 2.2 AND
2.5 INCHES JUST OFF THE COAST. THERE IS A SHARP MOISTURE GRADIENT
TO THE NORTHWEST AND PW VALUES IN OUR SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW 2 INCHES. CANT COMPLETELY RULE OUR A
STRAY SHOWER MAKING IT TO OUR SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES BUT THE VAST
MAJORITY OF THIS ACTIVITY WILL REMAIN CLOSER TO THE GULF OF
MEXICO. WILL CARRY A 10 POP ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES BUT
WILL NOT MENTION AND SHOWERS IN THE OFFICIAL FORECAST.

LOW-LEVEL LIFT IS PROVIDING THE FOCUS FOR SHOWER ACTIVITY WELL TO
OUR NORTHWEST AND THIS WILL ALSO NOT IMPACT OUR AREA. THE UPPER
RIDGE REMAINS FLAT AND NOT WELL-DEFINED AS A TROUGH IS CURRENTLY
MOVING ONSHORE NEAR CALIFORNIA. HIGH-TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL BE
SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY AND SURFACE WINDS WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE
SOUTHEAST AND BE AROUND 10 TO 15 MPH...SLIGHTLY INCREASING DEW
POINTS. HEAT INDICES WILL REMAIN BELOW 104 DEGREES AREA WIDE.

FOR TOMORROW...THE RIDGE AXIS WILL BEGIN TO STRENGTHEN TO OUR
WEST...AND WILL HAVE AN INFLUENCE ON OUR WEATHER AS HIGHS COULD
BE A DEGREE OR TWO WARMER THAN TODAY. MODELS SHOW SOME POTENTIAL
FOR SEA BREEZE ACTIVITY WELL TO OUR EAST AND WILL NOT MENTION
ANYTHING IN THE FORECAST.

LONG TERM (TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)...
THE RIDGE TO OUR WEST WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN ON WEDNESDAY AND
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO RESPOND WITH NEAR 100 DEGREE
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE CWA. BY THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY...THE RIDGE WILL SLIGHTLY SHIFT EAST AND WILL HAVE MORE OF
A HOLD OVER TEXAS. 850 TEMPS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE AS
SUBSIDENCE ALOFT INCREASES AND HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY BE
NEAR OR ABOVE 100 DEGREES FOR MUCH OF THE AREA THURSDAY-SUNDAY.
WILL HAVE TO WATCH SURFACE MOISTURE CLOSELY DURING THIS TIME FRAME
AS OUR WESTERN AND SOUTHERN COUNTIES WILL BE CLOSE TO HEAT
ADVISORY CRITERIA. WILL GO AHEAD AND BEGIN TO MENTION THE ELEVATED
HEAT ONCE AGAIN IN THE HWO. WITH STRONG SUBSIDENCE RAIN CHANCES
WILL BE NEAR ZERO DURING THE LONG- TERM FORECAST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              99  76  99  77 100 /   0   0   0  -    0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  98  74  98  75 100 /   0   0   0  -    0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     99  75  99  76 100 /   0   0   0  -    0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            98  74  98  75  98 /   0   0   0  -    0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT          100  77 100  78 100 /   0   0   0  -    0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        98  76  98  76  99 /   0   0   0  -    0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             98  74  98  75  98 /   0   0   0  -    0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        99  75  99  76  99 /   0   0   0  -    0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   98  76  98  77  99 /  -    0  -   -   -
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       98  77  98  78  99 /   0   0   0  -    0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           98  76  99  77  99 /   0   0   0  -    0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...TB3
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...HAMPSHIRE





000
FXUS64 KEWX 031123
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
623 AM CDT MON AUG 3 2015

.AVIATION DISCUSSION...FOR 12Z TAF PERIOD...
VFR TO PREVAIL FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS LITTLE TO NO CHANGES WERE
OBSERVED SINCE THE LAST FORECAST PACKAGE. TOWARDS THE END OF THE
TAF PERIOD...SOME MINOR CLOUD COVER COULD IMPACT THE I35 TERMINALS
BUT THINK MOISTURE WILL BE INSUFFICIENT TO RESULT IN A CATEGORY
CHANGE.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 256 AM CDT MON AUG 3 2015/

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY)...
CURRENTLY...THE CWA IS BETWEEN TWO AREAS OF SCATTERED RAIN AND
THIS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY. TO OUR SOUTHEAST
IS A COASTAL TROUGH AND PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES BETWEEN 2.2 AND
2.5 INCHES JUST OFF THE COAST. THERE IS A SHARP MOISTURE GRADIENT
TO THE NORTHWEST AND PW VALUES IN OUR SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW 2 INCHES. CANT COMPLETELY RULE OUR A
STRAY SHOWER MAKING IT TO OUR SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES BUT THE VAST
MAJORITY OF THIS ACTIVITY WILL REMAIN CLOSER TO THE GULF OF
MEXICO. WILL CARRY A 10 POP ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES BUT
WILL NOT MENTION AND SHOWERS IN THE OFFICIAL FORECAST.

LOW-LEVEL LIFT IS PROVIDING THE FOCUS FOR SHOWER ACTIVITY WELL TO
OUR NORTHWEST AND THIS WILL ALSO NOT IMPACT OUR AREA. THE UPPER
RIDGE REMAINS FLAT AND NOT WELL-DEFINED AS A TROUGH IS CURRENTLY
MOVING ONSHORE NEAR CALIFORNIA. HIGH-TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL BE
SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY AND SURFACE WINDS WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE
SOUTHEAST AND BE AROUND 10 TO 15 MPH...SLIGHTLY INCREASING DEW
POINTS. HEAT INDICES WILL REMAIN BELOW 104 DEGREES AREA WIDE.

FOR TOMORROW...THE RIDGE AXIS WILL BEGIN TO STRENGTHEN TO OUR
WEST...AND WILL HAVE AN INFLUENCE ON OUR WEATHER AS HIGHS COULD
BE A DEGREE OR TWO WARMER THAN TODAY. MODELS SHOW SOME POTENTIAL
FOR SEA BREEZE ACTIVITY WELL TO OUR EAST AND WILL NOT MENTION
ANYTHING IN THE FORECAST.

LONG TERM (TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)...
THE RIDGE TO OUR WEST WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN ON WEDNESDAY AND
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO RESPOND WITH NEAR 100 DEGREE
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE CWA. BY THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY...THE RIDGE WILL SLIGHTLY SHIFT EAST AND WILL HAVE MORE OF
A HOLD OVER TEXAS. 850 TEMPS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE AS
SUBSIDENCE ALOFT INCREASES AND HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY BE
NEAR OR ABOVE 100 DEGREES FOR MUCH OF THE AREA THURSDAY-SUNDAY.
WILL HAVE TO WATCH SURFACE MOISTURE CLOSELY DURING THIS TIME FRAME
AS OUR WESTERN AND SOUTHERN COUNTIES WILL BE CLOSE TO HEAT
ADVISORY CRITERIA. WILL GO AHEAD AND BEGIN TO MENTION THE ELEVATED
HEAT ONCE AGAIN IN THE HWO. WITH STRONG SUBSIDENCE RAIN CHANCES
WILL BE NEAR ZERO DURING THE LONG- TERM FORECAST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              99  76  99  77 100 /   0   0   0  -    0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  98  74  98  75 100 /   0   0   0  -    0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     99  75  99  76 100 /   0   0   0  -    0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            98  74  98  75  98 /   0   0   0  -    0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT          100  77 100  78 100 /   0   0   0  -    0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        98  76  98  76  99 /   0   0   0  -    0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             98  74  98  75  98 /   0   0   0  -    0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        99  75  99  76  99 /   0   0   0  -    0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   98  76  98  77  99 /  -    0  -   -   -
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       98  77  98  78  99 /   0   0   0  -    0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           98  76  99  77  99 /   0   0   0  -    0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...TB3
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...HAMPSHIRE





000
FXUS64 KEWX 030756
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
256 AM CDT MON AUG 3 2015

.SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY)...
CURRENTLY...THE CWA IS BETWEEN TWO AREAS OF SCATTERED RAIN AND
THIS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY. TO OUR SOUTHEAST
IS A COASTAL TROUGH AND PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES BETWEEN 2.2 AND
2.5 INCHES JUST OFF THE COAST. THERE IS A SHARP MOISTURE GRADIENT
TO THE NORTHWEST AND PW VALUES IN OUR SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW 2 INCHES. CANT COMPLETELY RULE OUR A
STRAY SHOWER MAKING IT TO OUR SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES BUT THE VAST
MAJORITY OF THIS ACTIVITY WILL REMAIN CLOSER TO THE GULF OF
MEXICO. WILL CARRY A 10 POP ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES BUT
WILL NOT MENTION AND SHOWERS IN THE OFFICIAL FORECAST.

LOW-LEVEL LIFT IS PROVIDING THE FOCUS FOR SHOWER ACTIVITY WELL TO
OUR NORTHWEST AND THIS WILL ALSO NOT IMPACT OUR AREA. THE UPPER
RIDGE REMAINS FLAT AND NOT WELL-DEFINED AS A TROUGH IS CURRENTLY
MOVING ONSHORE NEAR CALIFORNIA. HIGH-TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL BE
SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY AND SURFACE WINDS WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE
SOUTHEAST AND BE AROUND 10 TO 15 MPH...SLIGHTLY INCREASING DEW
POINTS. HEAT INDICES WILL REMAIN BELOW 104 DEGREES AREA WIDE.

FOR TOMORROW...THE RIDGE AXIS WILL BEGIN TO STRENGTHEN TO OUR
WEST...AND WILL HAVE AN INFLUENCE ON OUR WEATHER AS HIGHS COULD
BE A DEGREE OR TWO WARMER THAN TODAY. MODELS SHOW SOME POTENTIAL
FOR SEA BREEZE ACTIVITY WELL TO OUR EAST AND WILL NOT MENTION
ANYTHING IN THE FORECAST.

&&

.LONG TERM (TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)...
THE RIDGE TO OUR WEST WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN ON WEDNESDAY AND
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO RESPOND WITH NEAR 100 DEGREE
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE CWA. BY THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY...THE RIDGE WILL SLIGHTLY SHIFT EAST AND WILL HAVE MORE OF
A HOLD OVER TEXAS. 850 TEMPS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE AS
SUBSIDENCE ALOFT INCREASES AND HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY BE
NEAR OR ABOVE 100 DEGREES FOR MUCH OF THE AREA THURSDAY-SUNDAY.
WILL HAVE TO WATCH SURFACE MOISTURE CLOSELY DURING THIS TIME FRAME
AS OUR WESTERN AND SOUTHERN COUNTIES WILL BE CLOSE TO HEAT
ADVISORY CRITERIA. WILL GO AHEAD AND BEGIN TO MENTION THE ELEVATED
HEAT ONCE AGAIN IN THE HWO. WITH STRONG SUBSIDENCE RAIN CHANCES
WILL BE NEAR ZERO DURING THE LONG- TERM FORECAST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              99  76  99  77 100 /   0   0   0  -    0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  98  74  98  75 100 /   0   0   0  -    0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     99  75  99  76 100 /   0   0   0  -    0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            98  74  98  75  98 /   0   0   0  -    0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT          100  77 100  78 100 /   0   0   0  -    0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        98  76  98  76  99 /   0   0   0  -    0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             98  74  98  75  98 /   0   0   0  -    0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        99  75  99  76  99 /   0   0   0  -    0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   98  76  98  77  99 /  -    0  -   -   -
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       98  77  98  78  99 /   0   0   0  -    0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           98  76  99  77  99 /   0   0   0  -    0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...TB3
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...HAMPSHIRE




000
FXUS64 KEWX 030756
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
256 AM CDT MON AUG 3 2015

.SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY)...
CURRENTLY...THE CWA IS BETWEEN TWO AREAS OF SCATTERED RAIN AND
THIS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY. TO OUR SOUTHEAST
IS A COASTAL TROUGH AND PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES BETWEEN 2.2 AND
2.5 INCHES JUST OFF THE COAST. THERE IS A SHARP MOISTURE GRADIENT
TO THE NORTHWEST AND PW VALUES IN OUR SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW 2 INCHES. CANT COMPLETELY RULE OUR A
STRAY SHOWER MAKING IT TO OUR SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES BUT THE VAST
MAJORITY OF THIS ACTIVITY WILL REMAIN CLOSER TO THE GULF OF
MEXICO. WILL CARRY A 10 POP ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES BUT
WILL NOT MENTION AND SHOWERS IN THE OFFICIAL FORECAST.

LOW-LEVEL LIFT IS PROVIDING THE FOCUS FOR SHOWER ACTIVITY WELL TO
OUR NORTHWEST AND THIS WILL ALSO NOT IMPACT OUR AREA. THE UPPER
RIDGE REMAINS FLAT AND NOT WELL-DEFINED AS A TROUGH IS CURRENTLY
MOVING ONSHORE NEAR CALIFORNIA. HIGH-TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL BE
SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY AND SURFACE WINDS WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE
SOUTHEAST AND BE AROUND 10 TO 15 MPH...SLIGHTLY INCREASING DEW
POINTS. HEAT INDICES WILL REMAIN BELOW 104 DEGREES AREA WIDE.

FOR TOMORROW...THE RIDGE AXIS WILL BEGIN TO STRENGTHEN TO OUR
WEST...AND WILL HAVE AN INFLUENCE ON OUR WEATHER AS HIGHS COULD
BE A DEGREE OR TWO WARMER THAN TODAY. MODELS SHOW SOME POTENTIAL
FOR SEA BREEZE ACTIVITY WELL TO OUR EAST AND WILL NOT MENTION
ANYTHING IN THE FORECAST.

&&

.LONG TERM (TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)...
THE RIDGE TO OUR WEST WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN ON WEDNESDAY AND
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO RESPOND WITH NEAR 100 DEGREE
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE CWA. BY THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY...THE RIDGE WILL SLIGHTLY SHIFT EAST AND WILL HAVE MORE OF
A HOLD OVER TEXAS. 850 TEMPS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE AS
SUBSIDENCE ALOFT INCREASES AND HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY BE
NEAR OR ABOVE 100 DEGREES FOR MUCH OF THE AREA THURSDAY-SUNDAY.
WILL HAVE TO WATCH SURFACE MOISTURE CLOSELY DURING THIS TIME FRAME
AS OUR WESTERN AND SOUTHERN COUNTIES WILL BE CLOSE TO HEAT
ADVISORY CRITERIA. WILL GO AHEAD AND BEGIN TO MENTION THE ELEVATED
HEAT ONCE AGAIN IN THE HWO. WITH STRONG SUBSIDENCE RAIN CHANCES
WILL BE NEAR ZERO DURING THE LONG- TERM FORECAST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              99  76  99  77 100 /   0   0   0  -    0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  98  74  98  75 100 /   0   0   0  -    0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     99  75  99  76 100 /   0   0   0  -    0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            98  74  98  75  98 /   0   0   0  -    0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT          100  77 100  78 100 /   0   0   0  -    0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        98  76  98  76  99 /   0   0   0  -    0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             98  74  98  75  98 /   0   0   0  -    0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        99  75  99  76  99 /   0   0   0  -    0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   98  76  98  77  99 /  -    0  -   -   -
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       98  77  98  78  99 /   0   0   0  -    0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           98  76  99  77  99 /   0   0   0  -    0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...TB3
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...HAMPSHIRE





000
FXUS64 KEWX 030756
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
256 AM CDT MON AUG 3 2015

.SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY)...
CURRENTLY...THE CWA IS BETWEEN TWO AREAS OF SCATTERED RAIN AND
THIS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY. TO OUR SOUTHEAST
IS A COASTAL TROUGH AND PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES BETWEEN 2.2 AND
2.5 INCHES JUST OFF THE COAST. THERE IS A SHARP MOISTURE GRADIENT
TO THE NORTHWEST AND PW VALUES IN OUR SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW 2 INCHES. CANT COMPLETELY RULE OUR A
STRAY SHOWER MAKING IT TO OUR SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES BUT THE VAST
MAJORITY OF THIS ACTIVITY WILL REMAIN CLOSER TO THE GULF OF
MEXICO. WILL CARRY A 10 POP ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES BUT
WILL NOT MENTION AND SHOWERS IN THE OFFICIAL FORECAST.

LOW-LEVEL LIFT IS PROVIDING THE FOCUS FOR SHOWER ACTIVITY WELL TO
OUR NORTHWEST AND THIS WILL ALSO NOT IMPACT OUR AREA. THE UPPER
RIDGE REMAINS FLAT AND NOT WELL-DEFINED AS A TROUGH IS CURRENTLY
MOVING ONSHORE NEAR CALIFORNIA. HIGH-TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL BE
SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY AND SURFACE WINDS WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE
SOUTHEAST AND BE AROUND 10 TO 15 MPH...SLIGHTLY INCREASING DEW
POINTS. HEAT INDICES WILL REMAIN BELOW 104 DEGREES AREA WIDE.

FOR TOMORROW...THE RIDGE AXIS WILL BEGIN TO STRENGTHEN TO OUR
WEST...AND WILL HAVE AN INFLUENCE ON OUR WEATHER AS HIGHS COULD
BE A DEGREE OR TWO WARMER THAN TODAY. MODELS SHOW SOME POTENTIAL
FOR SEA BREEZE ACTIVITY WELL TO OUR EAST AND WILL NOT MENTION
ANYTHING IN THE FORECAST.

&&

.LONG TERM (TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)...
THE RIDGE TO OUR WEST WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN ON WEDNESDAY AND
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO RESPOND WITH NEAR 100 DEGREE
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE CWA. BY THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY...THE RIDGE WILL SLIGHTLY SHIFT EAST AND WILL HAVE MORE OF
A HOLD OVER TEXAS. 850 TEMPS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE AS
SUBSIDENCE ALOFT INCREASES AND HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY BE
NEAR OR ABOVE 100 DEGREES FOR MUCH OF THE AREA THURSDAY-SUNDAY.
WILL HAVE TO WATCH SURFACE MOISTURE CLOSELY DURING THIS TIME FRAME
AS OUR WESTERN AND SOUTHERN COUNTIES WILL BE CLOSE TO HEAT
ADVISORY CRITERIA. WILL GO AHEAD AND BEGIN TO MENTION THE ELEVATED
HEAT ONCE AGAIN IN THE HWO. WITH STRONG SUBSIDENCE RAIN CHANCES
WILL BE NEAR ZERO DURING THE LONG- TERM FORECAST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              99  76  99  77 100 /   0   0   0  -    0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  98  74  98  75 100 /   0   0   0  -    0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     99  75  99  76 100 /   0   0   0  -    0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            98  74  98  75  98 /   0   0   0  -    0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT          100  77 100  78 100 /   0   0   0  -    0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        98  76  98  76  99 /   0   0   0  -    0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             98  74  98  75  98 /   0   0   0  -    0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        99  75  99  76  99 /   0   0   0  -    0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   98  76  98  77  99 /  -    0  -   -   -
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       98  77  98  78  99 /   0   0   0  -    0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           98  76  99  77  99 /   0   0   0  -    0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...TB3
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...HAMPSHIRE





000
FXUS64 KEWX 030506
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1206 AM CDT MON AUG 3 2015

.AVIATION DISCUSSION...FOR 06Z TAF PERIOD...
VFR TO PREVAIL FOR ALL TERMINALS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. DRY
CONDITIONS AND A LIGHT PRESSURE PATTERN WILL KEEP SKIES CLEAR AND
WINDS GENERALLY LIGHT. NOT EXPECTING ANY IMPACTS TO TERMINALS
THROUGHOUT THE TAF PERIOD.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              76  99  77 100  77 /   0  -   -    0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  72  98  74  99  75 /   0  -   -    0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     75  99  76 100  76 /   0  -   -    0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            74  98  75  99  76 /   0  -   -    0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           77 100  78 101  78 /   0  -   -    0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        75  98  75  99  77 /   0  -   -    0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             73  98  74  99  76 /   0  -   -    0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        75  98  76  99  76 /   0  -   -    0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   76  98  77  99  77 /  -   -   -   -    0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       78  98  78 100  77 /   0  -   -    0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           76  99  77 100  77 /   0  -   -    0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...TB3
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...HAMPSHIRE




000
FXUS64 KEWX 030506
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1206 AM CDT MON AUG 3 2015

.AVIATION DISCUSSION...FOR 06Z TAF PERIOD...
VFR TO PREVAIL FOR ALL TERMINALS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. DRY
CONDITIONS AND A LIGHT PRESSURE PATTERN WILL KEEP SKIES CLEAR AND
WINDS GENERALLY LIGHT. NOT EXPECTING ANY IMPACTS TO TERMINALS
THROUGHOUT THE TAF PERIOD.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              76  99  77 100  77 /   0  -   -    0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  72  98  74  99  75 /   0  -   -    0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     75  99  76 100  76 /   0  -   -    0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            74  98  75  99  76 /   0  -   -    0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           77 100  78 101  78 /   0  -   -    0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        75  98  75  99  77 /   0  -   -    0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             73  98  74  99  76 /   0  -   -    0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        75  98  76  99  76 /   0  -   -    0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   76  98  77  99  77 /  -   -   -   -    0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       78  98  78 100  77 /   0  -   -    0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           76  99  77 100  77 /   0  -   -    0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...TB3
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...HAMPSHIRE




000
FXUS64 KEWX 030506
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1206 AM CDT MON AUG 3 2015

.AVIATION DISCUSSION...FOR 06Z TAF PERIOD...
VFR TO PREVAIL FOR ALL TERMINALS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. DRY
CONDITIONS AND A LIGHT PRESSURE PATTERN WILL KEEP SKIES CLEAR AND
WINDS GENERALLY LIGHT. NOT EXPECTING ANY IMPACTS TO TERMINALS
THROUGHOUT THE TAF PERIOD.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              76  99  77 100  77 /   0  -   -    0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  72  98  74  99  75 /   0  -   -    0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     75  99  76 100  76 /   0  -   -    0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            74  98  75  99  76 /   0  -   -    0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           77 100  78 101  78 /   0  -   -    0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        75  98  75  99  77 /   0  -   -    0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             73  98  74  99  76 /   0  -   -    0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        75  98  76  99  76 /   0  -   -    0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   76  98  77  99  77 /  -   -   -   -    0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       78  98  78 100  77 /   0  -   -    0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           76  99  77 100  77 /   0  -   -    0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...TB3
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...HAMPSHIRE





000
FXUS64 KEWX 022334
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
634 PM CDT SUN AUG 2 2015

.AVIATION...
NO REAL CHANGE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. VFR THROUGH THE ENTIRE
PERIOD AT ALL TERMINALS. WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE
OVERNIGHT AND THEN BECOME SOUTHEASTERLY AT 5 TO 10 KTS BEGINNING
LATE MORNING MONDAY.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 222 PM CDT SUN AUG 2 2015/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)...
LOWER TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGING CONTINUES OVER SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. MOISTURE LEVELS REMAIN ELEVATED OVER
THE EDWARDS PLATEAU FROM THE AREA OF DEEPER MOISTURE THAT MOVED
OVER OUR AREA ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. NO RAIN EXPECTED AS THE
LOWEST LEVELS ARE TOO DRY. THIS ELEVATED MOISTURE ERODES
OVERNIGHT LEAVING BELOW SEASONAL NORMAL LEVELS. EXPECT DEWPOINTS
TO MIX OUT ON MONDAY WITH ONE MORE DAY OF HEAT INDEX VALUES CLOSE
TO ACTUAL TEMPERATURES. MID LEVEL SHEAR AXIS CURRENTLY OVER THE
NORTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO MOVES ONSHORE LATE MONDAY BRINGING
ELEVATED MOISTURE LEVELS WITH HIGHER DEWPOINTS TO AREAS NEAR THE
COASTAL PLAINS MONDAY NIGHT.

LONG TERM (TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...
THE MID LEVEL SHEAR AXIS MOVES ACROSS SOUTHERN TEXAS ON TUESDAY
BRINGING ELEVATED MOISTURE LEVELS OVER SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. THE
INCREASED MOISTURE WILL NOT ALLOW FOR AS MUCH MIXING OF DEWPOINTS
MAKING HEAT INDEX VALUES WARMER. SHEAR AXIS DISSIPATES WEDNESDAY
AS THE MID AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGE STRENGTHENS. DRYING TAKES PLACE
IN THE MID LEVELS TAKING MOISTURE LEVELS BELOW NORMAL. HOWEVER...
LOWER LEVEL MOISTURE WITH HIGHER DEWPOINTS REMAINS THROUGH NEXT
WEEKEND DUE TO A STRONGER LOWER LEVEL FLOW OFF THE GULF OF MEXICO.
DAYTIME HEATING WILL NOT BE AS EFFICIENT IN MIXING OF THE
DEWPOINTS KEEPING HEAT INDEX VALUES ELEVATED. HEAT ADVISORIES AND
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENTS MAY BE NEEDED FOR LATER THIS WEEK INTO
NEXT WEEKEND TO ADDRESS THIS POSSIBILITY. CANNOT RULE OUT A SHOWER
OR TWO ALONG THE SEABREEZE TUESDAY AFTERNOON DUE TO THE ELEVATED
MOISTURE LEVELS. OTHERWISE...STRONG SUBSIDENCE AND BELOW NORMAL
MOISTURE LEVELS KEEP RAIN OUT OF THE FORECAST. MANY SPOTS WILL
ADD TO THEIR TOTALS FOR 100 DEGREE HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              75 100  76  99  77 /   0   0   0  -   -
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  69  98  72  98  74 /   0   0   0  -   -
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     73 100  75  99  76 /   0   0   0  -   -
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            74  99  74  98  75 /   0   0   0  -   -
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           76 101  77 100  78 /   0   0   0  -   -
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        71  98  75  98  75 /   0   0   0  -   -
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             71  98  73  98  74 /   0   0   0  -   -
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        72  98  75  98  76 /   0   0   0  -   -
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   73  99  76  98  77 /   0  -   -   -   -
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       77  99  78  98  78 /   0   0   0  -   -
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           75  99  76  99  77 /   0   0   0  -   -

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...05
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...09
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...TREADWAY




000
FXUS64 KEWX 022334
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
634 PM CDT SUN AUG 2 2015

.AVIATION...
NO REAL CHANGE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. VFR THROUGH THE ENTIRE
PERIOD AT ALL TERMINALS. WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE
OVERNIGHT AND THEN BECOME SOUTHEASTERLY AT 5 TO 10 KTS BEGINNING
LATE MORNING MONDAY.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 222 PM CDT SUN AUG 2 2015/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)...
LOWER TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGING CONTINUES OVER SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. MOISTURE LEVELS REMAIN ELEVATED OVER
THE EDWARDS PLATEAU FROM THE AREA OF DEEPER MOISTURE THAT MOVED
OVER OUR AREA ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. NO RAIN EXPECTED AS THE
LOWEST LEVELS ARE TOO DRY. THIS ELEVATED MOISTURE ERODES
OVERNIGHT LEAVING BELOW SEASONAL NORMAL LEVELS. EXPECT DEWPOINTS
TO MIX OUT ON MONDAY WITH ONE MORE DAY OF HEAT INDEX VALUES CLOSE
TO ACTUAL TEMPERATURES. MID LEVEL SHEAR AXIS CURRENTLY OVER THE
NORTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO MOVES ONSHORE LATE MONDAY BRINGING
ELEVATED MOISTURE LEVELS WITH HIGHER DEWPOINTS TO AREAS NEAR THE
COASTAL PLAINS MONDAY NIGHT.

LONG TERM (TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...
THE MID LEVEL SHEAR AXIS MOVES ACROSS SOUTHERN TEXAS ON TUESDAY
BRINGING ELEVATED MOISTURE LEVELS OVER SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. THE
INCREASED MOISTURE WILL NOT ALLOW FOR AS MUCH MIXING OF DEWPOINTS
MAKING HEAT INDEX VALUES WARMER. SHEAR AXIS DISSIPATES WEDNESDAY
AS THE MID AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGE STRENGTHENS. DRYING TAKES PLACE
IN THE MID LEVELS TAKING MOISTURE LEVELS BELOW NORMAL. HOWEVER...
LOWER LEVEL MOISTURE WITH HIGHER DEWPOINTS REMAINS THROUGH NEXT
WEEKEND DUE TO A STRONGER LOWER LEVEL FLOW OFF THE GULF OF MEXICO.
DAYTIME HEATING WILL NOT BE AS EFFICIENT IN MIXING OF THE
DEWPOINTS KEEPING HEAT INDEX VALUES ELEVATED. HEAT ADVISORIES AND
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENTS MAY BE NEEDED FOR LATER THIS WEEK INTO
NEXT WEEKEND TO ADDRESS THIS POSSIBILITY. CANNOT RULE OUT A SHOWER
OR TWO ALONG THE SEABREEZE TUESDAY AFTERNOON DUE TO THE ELEVATED
MOISTURE LEVELS. OTHERWISE...STRONG SUBSIDENCE AND BELOW NORMAL
MOISTURE LEVELS KEEP RAIN OUT OF THE FORECAST. MANY SPOTS WILL
ADD TO THEIR TOTALS FOR 100 DEGREE HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              75 100  76  99  77 /   0   0   0  -   -
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  69  98  72  98  74 /   0   0   0  -   -
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     73 100  75  99  76 /   0   0   0  -   -
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            74  99  74  98  75 /   0   0   0  -   -
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           76 101  77 100  78 /   0   0   0  -   -
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        71  98  75  98  75 /   0   0   0  -   -
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             71  98  73  98  74 /   0   0   0  -   -
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        72  98  75  98  76 /   0   0   0  -   -
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   73  99  76  98  77 /   0  -   -   -   -
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       77  99  78  98  78 /   0   0   0  -   -
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           75  99  76  99  77 /   0   0   0  -   -

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...05
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...09
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...TREADWAY





000
FXUS64 KEWX 021922
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
222 PM CDT SUN AUG 2 2015

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)...
LOWER TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGING CONTINUES OVER SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. MOISTURE LEVELS REMAIN ELEVATED OVER
THE EDWARDS PLATEAU FROM THE AREA OF DEEPER MOISTURE THAT MOVED
OVER OUR AREA ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. NO RAIN EXPECTED AS THE
LOWEST LEVELS ARE TOO DRY. THIS ELEVATED MOISTURE ERODES
OVERNIGHT LEAVING BELOW SEASONAL NORMAL LEVELS. EXPECT DEWPOINTS
TO MIX OUT ON MONDAY WITH ONE MORE DAY OF HEAT INDEX VALUES CLOSE
TO ACTUAL TEMPERATURES. MID LEVEL SHEAR AXIS CURRENTLY OVER THE
NORTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO MOVES ONSHORE LATE MONDAY BRINGING
ELEVATED MOISTURE LEVELS WITH HIGHER DEWPOINTS TO AREAS NEAR THE
COASTAL PLAINS MONDAY NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM (TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...
THE MID LEVEL SHEAR AXIS MOVES ACROSS SOUTHERN TEXAS ON TUESDAY
BRINGING ELEVATED MOISTURE LEVELS OVER SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. THE
INCREASED MOISTURE WILL NOT ALLOW FOR AS MUCH MIXING OF DEWPOINTS
MAKING HEAT INDEX VALUES WARMER. SHEAR AXIS DISSIPATES WEDNESDAY
AS THE MID AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGE STRENGTHENS. DRYING TAKES PLACE
IN THE MID LEVELS TAKING MOISTURE LEVELS BELOW NORMAL. HOWEVER...
LOWER LEVEL MOISTURE WITH HIGHER DEWPOINTS REMAINS THROUGH NEXT
WEEKEND DUE TO A STRONGER LOWER LEVEL FLOW OFF THE GULF OF MEXICO.
DAYTIME HEATING WILL NOT BE AS EFFICIENT IN MIXING OF THE
DEWPOINTS KEEPING HEAT INDEX VALUES ELEVATED. HEAT ADVISORIES AND
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENTS MAY BE NEEDED FOR LATER THIS WEEK INTO
NEXT WEEKEND TO ADDRESS THIS POSSIBILITY. CANNOT RULE OUT A SHOWER
OR TWO ALONG THE SEABREEZE TUESDAY AFTERNOON DUE TO THE ELEVATED
MOISTURE LEVELS. OTHERWISE...STRONG SUBSIDENCE AND BELOW NORMAL
MOISTURE LEVELS KEEP RAIN OUT OF THE FORECAST. MANY SPOTS WILL
ADD TO THEIR TOTALS FOR 100 DEGREE HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              75 100  76  99  77 /   0   0   0  -   -
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  69  98  72  98  74 /   0   0   0  -   -
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     73 100  75  99  76 /   0   0   0  -   -
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            74  99  74  98  75 /   0   0   0  -   -
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           76 101  77 100  78 /   0   0   0  -   -
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        71  98  75  98  75 /   0   0   0  -   -
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             71  98  73  98  74 /   0   0   0  -   -
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        72  98  75  98  76 /   0   0   0  -   -
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   73  99  76  98  77 /   0  -   -   -   -
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       77  99  78  98  78 /   0   0   0  -   -
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           75  99  76  99  77 /   0   0   0  -   -

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...10
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...04
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...33




000
FXUS64 KEWX 021922
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
222 PM CDT SUN AUG 2 2015

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)...
LOWER TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGING CONTINUES OVER SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. MOISTURE LEVELS REMAIN ELEVATED OVER
THE EDWARDS PLATEAU FROM THE AREA OF DEEPER MOISTURE THAT MOVED
OVER OUR AREA ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. NO RAIN EXPECTED AS THE
LOWEST LEVELS ARE TOO DRY. THIS ELEVATED MOISTURE ERODES
OVERNIGHT LEAVING BELOW SEASONAL NORMAL LEVELS. EXPECT DEWPOINTS
TO MIX OUT ON MONDAY WITH ONE MORE DAY OF HEAT INDEX VALUES CLOSE
TO ACTUAL TEMPERATURES. MID LEVEL SHEAR AXIS CURRENTLY OVER THE
NORTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO MOVES ONSHORE LATE MONDAY BRINGING
ELEVATED MOISTURE LEVELS WITH HIGHER DEWPOINTS TO AREAS NEAR THE
COASTAL PLAINS MONDAY NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM (TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...
THE MID LEVEL SHEAR AXIS MOVES ACROSS SOUTHERN TEXAS ON TUESDAY
BRINGING ELEVATED MOISTURE LEVELS OVER SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. THE
INCREASED MOISTURE WILL NOT ALLOW FOR AS MUCH MIXING OF DEWPOINTS
MAKING HEAT INDEX VALUES WARMER. SHEAR AXIS DISSIPATES WEDNESDAY
AS THE MID AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGE STRENGTHENS. DRYING TAKES PLACE
IN THE MID LEVELS TAKING MOISTURE LEVELS BELOW NORMAL. HOWEVER...
LOWER LEVEL MOISTURE WITH HIGHER DEWPOINTS REMAINS THROUGH NEXT
WEEKEND DUE TO A STRONGER LOWER LEVEL FLOW OFF THE GULF OF MEXICO.
DAYTIME HEATING WILL NOT BE AS EFFICIENT IN MIXING OF THE
DEWPOINTS KEEPING HEAT INDEX VALUES ELEVATED. HEAT ADVISORIES AND
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENTS MAY BE NEEDED FOR LATER THIS WEEK INTO
NEXT WEEKEND TO ADDRESS THIS POSSIBILITY. CANNOT RULE OUT A SHOWER
OR TWO ALONG THE SEABREEZE TUESDAY AFTERNOON DUE TO THE ELEVATED
MOISTURE LEVELS. OTHERWISE...STRONG SUBSIDENCE AND BELOW NORMAL
MOISTURE LEVELS KEEP RAIN OUT OF THE FORECAST. MANY SPOTS WILL
ADD TO THEIR TOTALS FOR 100 DEGREE HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              75 100  76  99  77 /   0   0   0  -   -
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  69  98  72  98  74 /   0   0   0  -   -
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     73 100  75  99  76 /   0   0   0  -   -
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            74  99  74  98  75 /   0   0   0  -   -
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           76 101  77 100  78 /   0   0   0  -   -
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        71  98  75  98  75 /   0   0   0  -   -
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             71  98  73  98  74 /   0   0   0  -   -
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        72  98  75  98  76 /   0   0   0  -   -
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   73  99  76  98  77 /   0  -   -   -   -
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       77  99  78  98  78 /   0   0   0  -   -
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           75  99  76  99  77 /   0   0   0  -   -

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...10
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...04
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...33





000
FXUS64 KEWX 021727 AAB
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1227 PM CDT SUN AUG 2 2015

.AVIATION.../18Z TAFS/
NO CONCERNS THIS FORECAST PERIOD. UPPER LEVEL RIDGING REMAINS IN
CONTROL. MID-LEVEL MOISTURE STREAMING SOUTH INTO THE HILL COUNTRY
IS CREATING SOME SCT CLOUDS AROUND 10K FEET. DRIER AIR LIKELY TO
WIN OUT AND WE SHOULD SEE MOST OF THESE CLOUDS DISSIPATE. VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST. WINDS WILL BE
E/SE 5-10 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EARLY EVENING THEN
BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT INTO MON MORNING. AFTER 16Z-
17Z E/SE WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 5-10 KNOTS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 632 AM CDT SUN AUG 2 2015/

AVIATION... /12Z TAF UPDATE/
VFR SKIES AND WINDS BELOW 12KTS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF
PERIODS. DRY LOW LEVEL AIR CONTINUES TO MOVE INTO THE AREA FROM
EAST TX TO THE I-35 CORRIDOR WHILE POCKETS OF MID LEVEL MOISTURE
WILL MOVE SOME SCATTERED 10000 FT CLOUDS INTO THE AREA FROM THE
NORTH.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 244 AM CDT SUN AUG 2 2015/

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH MONDAY)...
QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THE UPCOMING FORECAST PERIOD AS HIGH
PRESSURE REMAINS IN CONTROL OF THE REGION. AT THE PRESENT TIME THE
RIDGE WAS LOCATED ACROSS THE WESTERN CONUS WITH THE EASTERN
PORTIONS OF THE RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING INTO TEXAS. SURFACE WINDS
WILL REMAIN LIGHT AND EASTERLY WHICH WILL KEEP THE DRIER DEWPOINTS
IN PLACE. ALTHOUGH HIGHS TODAY WILL TOP OUT IN THE UPPER 90S TO
102 DEGREES...HEAT INDICES WILL REMAIN BELOW 103 DEGREES. THE
UPPER RIDGE WILL FLATTEN A BIT AS A TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE
NORTHWEST CONUS AND LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED FOR SOUTH-CENTRAL
TEXAS. SURFACE WINDS WILL BE MORE SOUTHEASTERLY...WITH RELATIVELY
LIGHT SPEEDS. DEWPOINTS WILL SLOWLY RISE GIVEN THE SOUTHEAST
DIRECTION AND AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES MAY INCREASE A DEGREE OR TWO.

LONG TERM (MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)...
WITHOUT ANY ADDITIONAL UPPER DISTURBANCES IMPACTING THE RIDGE FOR
THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEK...THE HIGH WILL SLOWLY STRENGTHEN
THROUGH THURSDAY. AS THIS OCCURS...HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY
INCREASE EACH DAY WITH TRIPLE DEGREE HEAT EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE
AREA BY THURSDAY. AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES COULD BE AS HIGH AS 110
DEGREES FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA AND THIS WILL HAVE TO BE WATCHED
FOR ANY HIGHLIGHTS AS WE GET CLOSER TO THIS TIME PERIOD. BY THE
END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD...THE UPPER HIGH WILL SLIGHTLY SHIFT
EAST AS A TROUGH MOVES INTO THE WEST COAST. AS IT DOES SO...850
TEMPS WILL INCREASE TO 25C OR HIGHER ACROSS THE CWA AND WE COULD
SEE OUR HOTTEST TEMPERATURES OF THE YEAR BY SATURDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              99  76 100  76  99 /   0   0  -    0  -
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  99  72  99  74  98 /   0   0  -    0  -
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT    100  73 100  74  99 /   0   0  -    0  -
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            98  74  99  75  98 /   0   0  -    0  -
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT          101  77 101  78 100 /   0   0   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        99  74  99  76  98 /   0   0  -    0  -
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             98  73  99  74  98 /   0   0  -    0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        99  73  99  75  98 /   0   0  -    0  -
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   99  73  99  76  98 /   0   0  -    0  -
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       99  76  99  76  98 /   0   0  -    0  -
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT          100  74  99  76  99 /   0   0  -    0  -

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...10
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...04
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...33





000
FXUS64 KEWX 021727 AAB
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1227 PM CDT SUN AUG 2 2015

.AVIATION.../18Z TAFS/
NO CONCERNS THIS FORECAST PERIOD. UPPER LEVEL RIDGING REMAINS IN
CONTROL. MID-LEVEL MOISTURE STREAMING SOUTH INTO THE HILL COUNTRY
IS CREATING SOME SCT CLOUDS AROUND 10K FEET. DRIER AIR LIKELY TO
WIN OUT AND WE SHOULD SEE MOST OF THESE CLOUDS DISSIPATE. VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST. WINDS WILL BE
E/SE 5-10 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EARLY EVENING THEN
BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT INTO MON MORNING. AFTER 16Z-
17Z E/SE WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 5-10 KNOTS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 632 AM CDT SUN AUG 2 2015/

AVIATION... /12Z TAF UPDATE/
VFR SKIES AND WINDS BELOW 12KTS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF
PERIODS. DRY LOW LEVEL AIR CONTINUES TO MOVE INTO THE AREA FROM
EAST TX TO THE I-35 CORRIDOR WHILE POCKETS OF MID LEVEL MOISTURE
WILL MOVE SOME SCATTERED 10000 FT CLOUDS INTO THE AREA FROM THE
NORTH.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 244 AM CDT SUN AUG 2 2015/

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH MONDAY)...
QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THE UPCOMING FORECAST PERIOD AS HIGH
PRESSURE REMAINS IN CONTROL OF THE REGION. AT THE PRESENT TIME THE
RIDGE WAS LOCATED ACROSS THE WESTERN CONUS WITH THE EASTERN
PORTIONS OF THE RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING INTO TEXAS. SURFACE WINDS
WILL REMAIN LIGHT AND EASTERLY WHICH WILL KEEP THE DRIER DEWPOINTS
IN PLACE. ALTHOUGH HIGHS TODAY WILL TOP OUT IN THE UPPER 90S TO
102 DEGREES...HEAT INDICES WILL REMAIN BELOW 103 DEGREES. THE
UPPER RIDGE WILL FLATTEN A BIT AS A TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE
NORTHWEST CONUS AND LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED FOR SOUTH-CENTRAL
TEXAS. SURFACE WINDS WILL BE MORE SOUTHEASTERLY...WITH RELATIVELY
LIGHT SPEEDS. DEWPOINTS WILL SLOWLY RISE GIVEN THE SOUTHEAST
DIRECTION AND AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES MAY INCREASE A DEGREE OR TWO.

LONG TERM (MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)...
WITHOUT ANY ADDITIONAL UPPER DISTURBANCES IMPACTING THE RIDGE FOR
THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEK...THE HIGH WILL SLOWLY STRENGTHEN
THROUGH THURSDAY. AS THIS OCCURS...HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY
INCREASE EACH DAY WITH TRIPLE DEGREE HEAT EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE
AREA BY THURSDAY. AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES COULD BE AS HIGH AS 110
DEGREES FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA AND THIS WILL HAVE TO BE WATCHED
FOR ANY HIGHLIGHTS AS WE GET CLOSER TO THIS TIME PERIOD. BY THE
END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD...THE UPPER HIGH WILL SLIGHTLY SHIFT
EAST AS A TROUGH MOVES INTO THE WEST COAST. AS IT DOES SO...850
TEMPS WILL INCREASE TO 25C OR HIGHER ACROSS THE CWA AND WE COULD
SEE OUR HOTTEST TEMPERATURES OF THE YEAR BY SATURDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              99  76 100  76  99 /   0   0  -    0  -
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  99  72  99  74  98 /   0   0  -    0  -
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT    100  73 100  74  99 /   0   0  -    0  -
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            98  74  99  75  98 /   0   0  -    0  -
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT          101  77 101  78 100 /   0   0   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        99  74  99  76  98 /   0   0  -    0  -
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             98  73  99  74  98 /   0   0  -    0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        99  73  99  75  98 /   0   0  -    0  -
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   99  73  99  76  98 /   0   0  -    0  -
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       99  76  99  76  98 /   0   0  -    0  -
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT          100  74  99  76  99 /   0   0  -    0  -

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...10
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...04
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...33




000
FXUS64 KEWX 021727 AAB
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1227 PM CDT SUN AUG 2 2015

.AVIATION.../18Z TAFS/
NO CONCERNS THIS FORECAST PERIOD. UPPER LEVEL RIDGING REMAINS IN
CONTROL. MID-LEVEL MOISTURE STREAMING SOUTH INTO THE HILL COUNTRY
IS CREATING SOME SCT CLOUDS AROUND 10K FEET. DRIER AIR LIKELY TO
WIN OUT AND WE SHOULD SEE MOST OF THESE CLOUDS DISSIPATE. VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST. WINDS WILL BE
E/SE 5-10 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EARLY EVENING THEN
BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT INTO MON MORNING. AFTER 16Z-
17Z E/SE WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 5-10 KNOTS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 632 AM CDT SUN AUG 2 2015/

AVIATION... /12Z TAF UPDATE/
VFR SKIES AND WINDS BELOW 12KTS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF
PERIODS. DRY LOW LEVEL AIR CONTINUES TO MOVE INTO THE AREA FROM
EAST TX TO THE I-35 CORRIDOR WHILE POCKETS OF MID LEVEL MOISTURE
WILL MOVE SOME SCATTERED 10000 FT CLOUDS INTO THE AREA FROM THE
NORTH.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 244 AM CDT SUN AUG 2 2015/

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH MONDAY)...
QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THE UPCOMING FORECAST PERIOD AS HIGH
PRESSURE REMAINS IN CONTROL OF THE REGION. AT THE PRESENT TIME THE
RIDGE WAS LOCATED ACROSS THE WESTERN CONUS WITH THE EASTERN
PORTIONS OF THE RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING INTO TEXAS. SURFACE WINDS
WILL REMAIN LIGHT AND EASTERLY WHICH WILL KEEP THE DRIER DEWPOINTS
IN PLACE. ALTHOUGH HIGHS TODAY WILL TOP OUT IN THE UPPER 90S TO
102 DEGREES...HEAT INDICES WILL REMAIN BELOW 103 DEGREES. THE
UPPER RIDGE WILL FLATTEN A BIT AS A TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE
NORTHWEST CONUS AND LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED FOR SOUTH-CENTRAL
TEXAS. SURFACE WINDS WILL BE MORE SOUTHEASTERLY...WITH RELATIVELY
LIGHT SPEEDS. DEWPOINTS WILL SLOWLY RISE GIVEN THE SOUTHEAST
DIRECTION AND AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES MAY INCREASE A DEGREE OR TWO.

LONG TERM (MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)...
WITHOUT ANY ADDITIONAL UPPER DISTURBANCES IMPACTING THE RIDGE FOR
THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEK...THE HIGH WILL SLOWLY STRENGTHEN
THROUGH THURSDAY. AS THIS OCCURS...HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY
INCREASE EACH DAY WITH TRIPLE DEGREE HEAT EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE
AREA BY THURSDAY. AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES COULD BE AS HIGH AS 110
DEGREES FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA AND THIS WILL HAVE TO BE WATCHED
FOR ANY HIGHLIGHTS AS WE GET CLOSER TO THIS TIME PERIOD. BY THE
END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD...THE UPPER HIGH WILL SLIGHTLY SHIFT
EAST AS A TROUGH MOVES INTO THE WEST COAST. AS IT DOES SO...850
TEMPS WILL INCREASE TO 25C OR HIGHER ACROSS THE CWA AND WE COULD
SEE OUR HOTTEST TEMPERATURES OF THE YEAR BY SATURDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              99  76 100  76  99 /   0   0  -    0  -
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  99  72  99  74  98 /   0   0  -    0  -
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT    100  73 100  74  99 /   0   0  -    0  -
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            98  74  99  75  98 /   0   0  -    0  -
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT          101  77 101  78 100 /   0   0   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        99  74  99  76  98 /   0   0  -    0  -
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             98  73  99  74  98 /   0   0  -    0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        99  73  99  75  98 /   0   0  -    0  -
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   99  73  99  76  98 /   0   0  -    0  -
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       99  76  99  76  98 /   0   0  -    0  -
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT          100  74  99  76  99 /   0   0  -    0  -

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...10
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...04
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...33





000
FXUS64 KEWX 021727 AAB
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1227 PM CDT SUN AUG 2 2015

.AVIATION.../18Z TAFS/
NO CONCERNS THIS FORECAST PERIOD. UPPER LEVEL RIDGING REMAINS IN
CONTROL. MID-LEVEL MOISTURE STREAMING SOUTH INTO THE HILL COUNTRY
IS CREATING SOME SCT CLOUDS AROUND 10K FEET. DRIER AIR LIKELY TO
WIN OUT AND WE SHOULD SEE MOST OF THESE CLOUDS DISSIPATE. VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST. WINDS WILL BE
E/SE 5-10 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EARLY EVENING THEN
BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT INTO MON MORNING. AFTER 16Z-
17Z E/SE WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 5-10 KNOTS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 632 AM CDT SUN AUG 2 2015/

AVIATION... /12Z TAF UPDATE/
VFR SKIES AND WINDS BELOW 12KTS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF
PERIODS. DRY LOW LEVEL AIR CONTINUES TO MOVE INTO THE AREA FROM
EAST TX TO THE I-35 CORRIDOR WHILE POCKETS OF MID LEVEL MOISTURE
WILL MOVE SOME SCATTERED 10000 FT CLOUDS INTO THE AREA FROM THE
NORTH.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 244 AM CDT SUN AUG 2 2015/

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH MONDAY)...
QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THE UPCOMING FORECAST PERIOD AS HIGH
PRESSURE REMAINS IN CONTROL OF THE REGION. AT THE PRESENT TIME THE
RIDGE WAS LOCATED ACROSS THE WESTERN CONUS WITH THE EASTERN
PORTIONS OF THE RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING INTO TEXAS. SURFACE WINDS
WILL REMAIN LIGHT AND EASTERLY WHICH WILL KEEP THE DRIER DEWPOINTS
IN PLACE. ALTHOUGH HIGHS TODAY WILL TOP OUT IN THE UPPER 90S TO
102 DEGREES...HEAT INDICES WILL REMAIN BELOW 103 DEGREES. THE
UPPER RIDGE WILL FLATTEN A BIT AS A TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE
NORTHWEST CONUS AND LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED FOR SOUTH-CENTRAL
TEXAS. SURFACE WINDS WILL BE MORE SOUTHEASTERLY...WITH RELATIVELY
LIGHT SPEEDS. DEWPOINTS WILL SLOWLY RISE GIVEN THE SOUTHEAST
DIRECTION AND AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES MAY INCREASE A DEGREE OR TWO.

LONG TERM (MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)...
WITHOUT ANY ADDITIONAL UPPER DISTURBANCES IMPACTING THE RIDGE FOR
THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEK...THE HIGH WILL SLOWLY STRENGTHEN
THROUGH THURSDAY. AS THIS OCCURS...HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY
INCREASE EACH DAY WITH TRIPLE DEGREE HEAT EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE
AREA BY THURSDAY. AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES COULD BE AS HIGH AS 110
DEGREES FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA AND THIS WILL HAVE TO BE WATCHED
FOR ANY HIGHLIGHTS AS WE GET CLOSER TO THIS TIME PERIOD. BY THE
END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD...THE UPPER HIGH WILL SLIGHTLY SHIFT
EAST AS A TROUGH MOVES INTO THE WEST COAST. AS IT DOES SO...850
TEMPS WILL INCREASE TO 25C OR HIGHER ACROSS THE CWA AND WE COULD
SEE OUR HOTTEST TEMPERATURES OF THE YEAR BY SATURDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              99  76 100  76  99 /   0   0  -    0  -
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  99  72  99  74  98 /   0   0  -    0  -
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT    100  73 100  74  99 /   0   0  -    0  -
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            98  74  99  75  98 /   0   0  -    0  -
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT          101  77 101  78 100 /   0   0   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        99  74  99  76  98 /   0   0  -    0  -
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             98  73  99  74  98 /   0   0  -    0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        99  73  99  75  98 /   0   0  -    0  -
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   99  73  99  76  98 /   0   0  -    0  -
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       99  76  99  76  98 /   0   0  -    0  -
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT          100  74  99  76  99 /   0   0  -    0  -

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...10
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...04
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...33




000
FXUS64 KEWX 021132
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
632 AM CDT SUN AUG 2 2015

.AVIATION... /12Z TAF UPDATE/
VFR SKIES AND WINDS BELOW 12KTS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF
PERIODS. DRY LOW LEVEL AIR CONTINUES TO MOVE INTO THE AREA FROM
EAST TX TO THE I-35 CORRIDOR WHILE POCKETS OF MID LEVEL MOISTURE
WILL MOVE SOME SCATTERED 10000 FT CLOUDS INTO THE AREA FROM THE
NORTH.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 244 AM CDT SUN AUG 2 2015/

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH MONDAY)...
QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THE UPCOMING FORECAST PERIOD AS HIGH
PRESSURE REMAINS IN CONTROL OF THE REGION. AT THE PRESENT TIME THE
RIDGE WAS LOCATED ACROSS THE WESTERN CONUS WITH THE EASTERN
PORTIONS OF THE RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING INTO TEXAS. SURFACE WINDS
WILL REMAIN LIGHT AND EASTERLY WHICH WILL KEEP THE DRIER DEWPOINTS
IN PLACE. ALTHOUGH HIGHS TODAY WILL TOP OUT IN THE UPPER 90S TO
102 DEGREES...HEAT INDICES WILL REMAIN BELOW 103 DEGREES. THE
UPPER RIDGE WILL FLATTEN A BIT AS A TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE
NORTHWEST CONUS AND LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED FOR SOUTH-CENTRAL
TEXAS. SURFACE WINDS WILL BE MORE SOUTHEASTERLY...WITH RELATIVELY
LIGHT SPEEDS. DEWPOINTS WILL SLOWLY RISE GIVEN THE SOUTHEAST
DIRECTION AND AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES MAY INCREASE A DEGREE OR TWO.

LONG TERM (MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)...
WITHOUT ANY ADDITIONAL UPPER DISTURBANCES IMPACTING THE RIDGE FOR
THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEK...THE HIGH WILL SLOWLY STRENGTHEN
THROUGH THURSDAY. AS THIS OCCURS...HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY
INCREASE EACH DAY WITH TRIPLE DEGREE HEAT EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE
AREA BY THURSDAY. AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES COULD BE AS HIGH AS 110
DEGREES FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA AND THIS WILL HAVE TO BE WATCHED
FOR ANY HIGHLIGHTS AS WE GET CLOSER TO THIS TIME PERIOD. BY THE
END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD...THE UPPER HIGH WILL SLIGHTLY SHIFT
EAST AS A TROUGH MOVES INTO THE WEST COAST. AS IT DOES SO...850
TEMPS WILL INCREASE TO 25C OR HIGHER ACROSS THE CWA AND WE COULD
SEE OUR HOTTEST TEMPERATURES OF THE YEAR BY SATURDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              99  76 100  76  99 /   0   0  -    0  -
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  99  72  99  74  98 /   0   0  -    0  -
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT    100  73 100  74  99 /   0   0  -    0  -
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            98  74  99  75  98 /   0   0  -    0  -
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT          101  77 101  78 100 /   0   0   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        99  74  99  76  98 /   0   0  -    0  -
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             98  73  99  74  98 /   0   0  -    0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        99  73  99  75  98 /   0   0  -    0  -
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   99  73  99  76  98 /   0   0  -    0  -
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       99  76  99  76  98 /   0   0  -    0  -
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT          100  74  99  76  99 /   0   0  -    0  -

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...OAKS
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...HAMPSHIRE





000
FXUS64 KEWX 020744
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
244 AM CDT SUN AUG 2 2015

.SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH MONDAY)...
QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THE UPCOMING FORECAST PERIOD AS HIGH
PRESSURE REMAINS IN CONTROL OF THE REGION. AT THE PRESENT TIME THE
RIDGE WAS LOCATED ACROSS THE WESTERN CONUS WITH THE EASTERN
PORTIONS OF THE RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING INTO TEXAS. SURFACE WINDS
WILL REMAIN LIGHT AND EASTERLY WHICH WILL KEEP THE DRIER DEWPOINTS
IN PLACE. ALTHOUGH HIGHS TODAY WILL TOP OUT IN THE UPPER 90S TO
102 DEGREES...HEAT INDICES WILL REMAIN BELOW 103 DEGREES. THE
UPPER RIDGE WILL FLATTEN A BIT AS A TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE
NORTHWEST CONUS AND LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED FOR SOUTH-CENTRAL
TEXAS. SURFACE WINDS WILL BE MORE SOUTHEASTERLY...WITH RELATIVELY
LIGHT SPEEDS. DEWPOINTS WILL SLOWLY RISE GIVEN THE SOUTHEAST
DIRECTION AND AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES MAY INCREASE A DEGREE OR TWO.

&&

.LONG TERM (MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)...
WITHOUT ANY ADDITIONAL UPPER DISTURBANCES IMPACTING THE RIDGE FOR
THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEK...THE HIGH WILL SLOWLY STRENGTHEN
THROUGH THURSDAY. AS THIS OCCURS...HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY
INCREASE EACH DAY WITH TRIPLE DEGREE HEAT EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE
AREA BY THURSDAY. AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES COULD BE AS HIGH AS 110
DEGREES FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA AND THIS WILL HAVE TO BE WATCHED
FOR ANY HIGHLIGHTS AS WE GET CLOSER TO THIS TIME PERIOD. BY THE
END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD...THE UPPER HIGH WILL SLIGHTLY SHIFT
EAST AS A TROUGH MOVES INTO THE WEST COAST. AS IT DOES SO...850
TEMPS WILL INCREASE TO 25C OR HIGHER ACROSS THE CWA AND WE COULD
SEE OUR HOTTEST TEMPERATURES OF THE YEAR BY SATURDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              99  76 100  76  99 /   0   0  -    0  -
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  99  72  99  74  98 /   0   0  -    0  -
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT    100  73 100  74  99 /   0   0  -    0  -
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            98  74  99  75  98 /   0   0  -    0  -
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT          101  77 101  78 100 /   0   0   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        99  74  99  76  98 /   0   0  -    0  -
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             98  73  99  74  98 /   0   0  -    0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        99  73  99  75  98 /   0   0  -    0  -
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   99  73  99  76  98 /   0   0  -    0  -
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       99  76  99  76  98 /   0   0  -    0  -
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT          100  74  99  76  99 /   0   0  -    0  -

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...OAKS
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...HAMPSHIRE





000
FXUS64 KEWX 020744
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
244 AM CDT SUN AUG 2 2015

.SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH MONDAY)...
QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THE UPCOMING FORECAST PERIOD AS HIGH
PRESSURE REMAINS IN CONTROL OF THE REGION. AT THE PRESENT TIME THE
RIDGE WAS LOCATED ACROSS THE WESTERN CONUS WITH THE EASTERN
PORTIONS OF THE RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING INTO TEXAS. SURFACE WINDS
WILL REMAIN LIGHT AND EASTERLY WHICH WILL KEEP THE DRIER DEWPOINTS
IN PLACE. ALTHOUGH HIGHS TODAY WILL TOP OUT IN THE UPPER 90S TO
102 DEGREES...HEAT INDICES WILL REMAIN BELOW 103 DEGREES. THE
UPPER RIDGE WILL FLATTEN A BIT AS A TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE
NORTHWEST CONUS AND LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED FOR SOUTH-CENTRAL
TEXAS. SURFACE WINDS WILL BE MORE SOUTHEASTERLY...WITH RELATIVELY
LIGHT SPEEDS. DEWPOINTS WILL SLOWLY RISE GIVEN THE SOUTHEAST
DIRECTION AND AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES MAY INCREASE A DEGREE OR TWO.

&&

.LONG TERM (MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)...
WITHOUT ANY ADDITIONAL UPPER DISTURBANCES IMPACTING THE RIDGE FOR
THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEK...THE HIGH WILL SLOWLY STRENGTHEN
THROUGH THURSDAY. AS THIS OCCURS...HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY
INCREASE EACH DAY WITH TRIPLE DEGREE HEAT EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE
AREA BY THURSDAY. AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES COULD BE AS HIGH AS 110
DEGREES FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA AND THIS WILL HAVE TO BE WATCHED
FOR ANY HIGHLIGHTS AS WE GET CLOSER TO THIS TIME PERIOD. BY THE
END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD...THE UPPER HIGH WILL SLIGHTLY SHIFT
EAST AS A TROUGH MOVES INTO THE WEST COAST. AS IT DOES SO...850
TEMPS WILL INCREASE TO 25C OR HIGHER ACROSS THE CWA AND WE COULD
SEE OUR HOTTEST TEMPERATURES OF THE YEAR BY SATURDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              99  76 100  76  99 /   0   0  -    0  -
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  99  72  99  74  98 /   0   0  -    0  -
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT    100  73 100  74  99 /   0   0  -    0  -
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            98  74  99  75  98 /   0   0  -    0  -
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT          101  77 101  78 100 /   0   0   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        99  74  99  76  98 /   0   0  -    0  -
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             98  73  99  74  98 /   0   0  -    0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        99  73  99  75  98 /   0   0  -    0  -
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   99  73  99  76  98 /   0   0  -    0  -
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       99  76  99  76  98 /   0   0  -    0  -
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT          100  74  99  76  99 /   0   0  -    0  -

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...OAKS
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...HAMPSHIRE




000
FXUS64 KEWX 020538
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1238 AM CDT SUN AUG 2 2015

.AVIATION... /06Z TAF UPDATE/
VFR SKIES AND WINDS BELOW 12KTS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF
PERIODS. DRY LOW LEVEL AIR CONTINUES TO MOVE INTO THE AREA FROM
EAST TX TO THE I-35 CORRIDOR WHILE SOME POCKETS OF MID LEVEL
MOISTURE WILL MOVE SOME SCATTERED 10000 FT CLOUDS INTO THE AREA
FROM THE NORTH.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 855 PM CDT SAT AUG 1 2015/

UPDATE...
DID A QUICK UPDATE TO MAINLY FRESHEN UP THE CURRENT GRIDS AND TO
REMOVE ALL MENTION OF PRECIP OUT WEST AS EARLIER CONVECTION HAS
DISSIPATED. QUIET WX EXPECTED OVERNIGHT.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 246 PM CDT SAT AUG 1 2015/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)...
DAYTIME HEATING WORKING ON DEEPER MOISTURE WITH PWS OF 1.6 TO 1.8
INCHES HAS ALLOWED ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP
OVER THE EDWARDS PLATEAU THIS AFTERNOON. THIS DEEPER MOISTURE WILL
SLOWLY ERODE THIS EVENING AS A DRIER AIRMASS WITH BELOW NORMAL PWS
OF 1.2 TO 1.6 INCHES CONTINUES TO FILTER IN FROM THE EAST. EXPECT
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DISSIPATE A LITTLE AFTER SUNSET WITH
LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING AND THE DRIER AIRMASS.

FOR SUNDAY...THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE REMAINS FROM THE SOUTHWESTERN
STATES INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. STRONG SUBSIDENCE UNDERNEATH THE
RIDGE AND BELOW NORMAL MOISTURE LEVELS WILL NOT ALLOW FOR RAIN.
DAYTIME TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO BE SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL WITH
SOME HIGHS AROUND 100. HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL BE NEAR OR JUST
ABOVE ACTUAL TEMPERATURES AS DRIER AIR ALOFT MIXES TO THE SURFACE
DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS.

LONG TERM (MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...
THE SUNDAY PATTERN CONTINUES NEXT WEEK INTO NEXT WEEKEND WITH NO
RAIN EXPECTED AND SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE DAYTIME TEMPERATURES.
LOWER LEVEL FLOW OFF THE GULF OF MEXICO STRENGTHENS BY MID WEEK
INCREASING HUMIDITY LEVELS ALLOWING FOR HEAT INDEX VALUES ABOVE
105 DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS SOUTHEAST OF I-35 AND IN SPOTS
ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.

THE ONLY POTENTIAL FOR ANY RAIN MAY BE FROM AN OLD SURFACE
BOUNDARY CURRENTLY IN THE GULF OF MEXICO THAT MOVES ONSHORE TO
GENERATE SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOST MODELS DISSIPATE
THIS BOUNDARY OVER THE GULF WITH NO IMPACTS TO SOUTH CENTRAL
TEXAS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY             101  75 100  76 100 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 100  73  99  73  98 /   0   0   0   0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT    100  73 100  74  99 /   0   0   0   0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            99  73  99  75  97 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT          101  77 101  79 100 /   0   0   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        98  74 100  75  98 /   0   0   0   0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             99  73  99  73  99 /   0   0   0   0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT       100  73  99  75  98 /   0   0   0   0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL  100  73  99  76  98 /   0   0  -    0  -
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       99  75  99  76  99 /   0   0   0   0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT          100  74 100  76  99 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...OAKS
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...HAMPSHIRE





000
FXUS64 KEWX 020155
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
855 PM CDT SAT AUG 1 2015

.UPDATE...
DID A QUICK UPDATE TO MAINLY FRESHEN UP THE CURRENT GRIDS AND TO
REMOVE ALL MENTION OF PRECIP OUT WEST AS EARLIER CONVECTION HAS
DISSIPATED.  QUIET WX EXPECTED OVERNIGHT.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 641 PM CDT SAT AUG 1 2015/

AVIATION...
EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS HAVE BROUGHT DRIER AIR TO THE REGION AND
CONDITIONS WILL BE VFR THROUGH THE ENTIRE PERIOD AT ALL TERMINALS.
WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT BECOMING SOUTHEASTERLY
LATE MORNING SUNDAY.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 246 PM CDT SAT AUG 1 2015/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)...
DAYTIME HEATING WORKING ON DEEPER MOISTURE WITH PWS OF 1.6 TO 1.8
INCHES HAS ALLOWED ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP
OVER THE EDWARDS PLATEAU THIS AFTERNOON. THIS DEEPER MOISTURE WILL
SLOWLY ERODE THIS EVENING AS A DRIER AIRMASS WITH BELOW NORMAL PWS
OF 1.2 TO 1.6 INCHES CONTINUES TO FILTER IN FROM THE EAST. EXPECT
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DISSIPATE A LITTLE AFTER SUNSET WITH
LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING AND THE DRIER AIRMASS.

FOR SUNDAY...THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE REMAINS FROM THE SOUTHWESTERN
STATES INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. STRONG SUBSIDENCE UNDERNEATH THE
RIDGE AND BELOW NORMAL MOISTURE LEVELS WILL NOT ALLOW FOR RAIN.
DAYTIME TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO BE SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL WITH
SOME HIGHS AROUND 100. HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL BE NEAR OR JUST
ABOVE ACTUAL TEMPERATURES AS DRIER AIR ALOFT MIXES TO THE SURFACE
DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS.

LONG TERM (MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...
THE SUNDAY PATTERN CONTINUES NEXT WEEK INTO NEXT WEEKEND WITH NO
RAIN EXPECTED AND SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE DAYTIME TEMPERATURES.
LOWER LEVEL FLOW OFF THE GULF OF MEXICO STRENGTHENS BY MID WEEK
INCREASING HUMIDITY LEVELS ALLOWING FOR HEAT INDEX VALUES ABOVE
105 DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS SOUTHEAST OF I-35 AND IN SPOTS
ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.

THE ONLY POTENTIAL FOR ANY RAIN MAY BE FROM AN OLD SURFACE
BOUNDARY CURRENTLY IN THE GULF OF MEXICO THAT MOVES ONSHORE TO
GENERATE SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOST MODELS DISSIPATE
THIS BOUNDARY OVER THE GULF WITH NO IMPACTS TO SOUTH CENTRAL
TEXAS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              74 101  75 100  76 /  -    0   0   0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  69 100  73  99  73 /  -    0   0   0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     73 100  73 100  74 /  -    0   0   0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            73  99  73  99  75 /  -    0   0   0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           77 101  77 101  79 /  10   0   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        71  98  74 100  75 /  -    0   0   0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             73  99  73  99  73 /  -    0   0   0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        72 100  73  99  75 /  -    0   0   0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   72 100  73  99  76 /  -    0   0  -    0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       76  99  75  99  76 /  -    0   0   0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           75 100  74 100  76 /  -    0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...05
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...09





000
FXUS64 KEWX 020155
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
855 PM CDT SAT AUG 1 2015

.UPDATE...
DID A QUICK UPDATE TO MAINLY FRESHEN UP THE CURRENT GRIDS AND TO
REMOVE ALL MENTION OF PRECIP OUT WEST AS EARLIER CONVECTION HAS
DISSIPATED.  QUIET WX EXPECTED OVERNIGHT.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 641 PM CDT SAT AUG 1 2015/

AVIATION...
EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS HAVE BROUGHT DRIER AIR TO THE REGION AND
CONDITIONS WILL BE VFR THROUGH THE ENTIRE PERIOD AT ALL TERMINALS.
WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT BECOMING SOUTHEASTERLY
LATE MORNING SUNDAY.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 246 PM CDT SAT AUG 1 2015/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)...
DAYTIME HEATING WORKING ON DEEPER MOISTURE WITH PWS OF 1.6 TO 1.8
INCHES HAS ALLOWED ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP
OVER THE EDWARDS PLATEAU THIS AFTERNOON. THIS DEEPER MOISTURE WILL
SLOWLY ERODE THIS EVENING AS A DRIER AIRMASS WITH BELOW NORMAL PWS
OF 1.2 TO 1.6 INCHES CONTINUES TO FILTER IN FROM THE EAST. EXPECT
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DISSIPATE A LITTLE AFTER SUNSET WITH
LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING AND THE DRIER AIRMASS.

FOR SUNDAY...THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE REMAINS FROM THE SOUTHWESTERN
STATES INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. STRONG SUBSIDENCE UNDERNEATH THE
RIDGE AND BELOW NORMAL MOISTURE LEVELS WILL NOT ALLOW FOR RAIN.
DAYTIME TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO BE SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL WITH
SOME HIGHS AROUND 100. HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL BE NEAR OR JUST
ABOVE ACTUAL TEMPERATURES AS DRIER AIR ALOFT MIXES TO THE SURFACE
DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS.

LONG TERM (MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...
THE SUNDAY PATTERN CONTINUES NEXT WEEK INTO NEXT WEEKEND WITH NO
RAIN EXPECTED AND SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE DAYTIME TEMPERATURES.
LOWER LEVEL FLOW OFF THE GULF OF MEXICO STRENGTHENS BY MID WEEK
INCREASING HUMIDITY LEVELS ALLOWING FOR HEAT INDEX VALUES ABOVE
105 DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS SOUTHEAST OF I-35 AND IN SPOTS
ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.

THE ONLY POTENTIAL FOR ANY RAIN MAY BE FROM AN OLD SURFACE
BOUNDARY CURRENTLY IN THE GULF OF MEXICO THAT MOVES ONSHORE TO
GENERATE SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOST MODELS DISSIPATE
THIS BOUNDARY OVER THE GULF WITH NO IMPACTS TO SOUTH CENTRAL
TEXAS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              74 101  75 100  76 /  -    0   0   0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  69 100  73  99  73 /  -    0   0   0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     73 100  73 100  74 /  -    0   0   0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            73  99  73  99  75 /  -    0   0   0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           77 101  77 101  79 /  10   0   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        71  98  74 100  75 /  -    0   0   0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             73  99  73  99  73 /  -    0   0   0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        72 100  73  99  75 /  -    0   0   0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   72 100  73  99  76 /  -    0   0  -    0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       76  99  75  99  76 /  -    0   0   0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           75 100  74 100  76 /  -    0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...05
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...09




000
FXUS64 KEWX 012341
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
641 PM CDT SAT AUG 1 2015

.AVIATION...
EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS HAVE BROUGHT DRIER AIR TO THE REGION AND
CONDITIONS WILL BE VFR THROUGH THE ENTIRE PERIOD AT ALL TERMINALS.
WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT BECOMING SOUTHEASTERLY
LATE MORNING SUNDAY.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 246 PM CDT SAT AUG 1 2015/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)...
DAYTIME HEATING WORKING ON DEEPER MOISTURE WITH PWS OF 1.6 TO 1.8
INCHES HAS ALLOWED ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP
OVER THE EDWARDS PLATEAU THIS AFTERNOON. THIS DEEPER MOISTURE WILL
SLOWLY ERODE THIS EVENING AS A DRIER AIRMASS WITH BELOW NORMAL PWS
OF 1.2 TO 1.6 INCHES CONTINUES TO FILTER IN FROM THE EAST. EXPECT
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DISSIPATE A LITTLE AFTER SUNSET WITH
LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING AND THE DRIER AIRMASS.

FOR SUNDAY...THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE REMAINS FROM THE SOUTHWESTERN
STATES INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. STRONG SUBSIDENCE UNDERNEATH THE
RIDGE AND BELOW NORMAL MOISTURE LEVELS WILL NOT ALLOW FOR RAIN.
DAYTIME TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO BE SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL WITH
SOME HIGHS AROUND 100. HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL BE NEAR OR JUST
ABOVE ACTUAL TEMPERATURES AS DRIER AIR ALOFT MIXES TO THE SURFACE
DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS.

LONG TERM (MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...
THE SUNDAY PATTERN CONTINUES NEXT WEEK INTO NEXT WEEKEND WITH NO
RAIN EXPECTED AND SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE DAYTIME TEMPERATURES.
LOWER LEVEL FLOW OFF THE GULF OF MEXICO STRENGTHENS BY MID WEEK
INCREASING HUMIDITY LEVELS ALLOWING FOR HEAT INDEX VALUES ABOVE
105 DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS SOUTHEAST OF I-35 AND IN SPOTS
ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.

THE ONLY POTENTIAL FOR ANY RAIN MAY BE FROM AN OLD SURFACE
BOUNDARY CURRENTLY IN THE GULF OF MEXICO THAT MOVES ONSHORE TO
GENERATE SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOST MODELS DISSIPATE
THIS BOUNDARY OVER THE GULF WITH NO IMPACTS TO SOUTH CENTRAL
TEXAS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              74 101  75 100  76 /  -    0   0   0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  69 100  73  99  73 /  -    0   0   0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     73 100  73 100  74 /  -    0   0   0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            73  99  73  99  75 /  -    0   0   0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           77 101  77 101  79 /  10   0   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        71  98  74 100  75 /  -    0   0   0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             73  99  73  99  73 /  -    0   0   0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        72 100  73  99  75 /  -    0   0   0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   72 100  73  99  76 /  -    0   0  -    0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       76  99  75  99  76 /  -    0   0   0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           75 100  74 100  76 /  -    0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...05
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...09





000
FXUS64 KEWX 012341
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
641 PM CDT SAT AUG 1 2015

.AVIATION...
EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS HAVE BROUGHT DRIER AIR TO THE REGION AND
CONDITIONS WILL BE VFR THROUGH THE ENTIRE PERIOD AT ALL TERMINALS.
WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT BECOMING SOUTHEASTERLY
LATE MORNING SUNDAY.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 246 PM CDT SAT AUG 1 2015/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)...
DAYTIME HEATING WORKING ON DEEPER MOISTURE WITH PWS OF 1.6 TO 1.8
INCHES HAS ALLOWED ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP
OVER THE EDWARDS PLATEAU THIS AFTERNOON. THIS DEEPER MOISTURE WILL
SLOWLY ERODE THIS EVENING AS A DRIER AIRMASS WITH BELOW NORMAL PWS
OF 1.2 TO 1.6 INCHES CONTINUES TO FILTER IN FROM THE EAST. EXPECT
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DISSIPATE A LITTLE AFTER SUNSET WITH
LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING AND THE DRIER AIRMASS.

FOR SUNDAY...THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE REMAINS FROM THE SOUTHWESTERN
STATES INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. STRONG SUBSIDENCE UNDERNEATH THE
RIDGE AND BELOW NORMAL MOISTURE LEVELS WILL NOT ALLOW FOR RAIN.
DAYTIME TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO BE SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL WITH
SOME HIGHS AROUND 100. HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL BE NEAR OR JUST
ABOVE ACTUAL TEMPERATURES AS DRIER AIR ALOFT MIXES TO THE SURFACE
DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS.

LONG TERM (MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...
THE SUNDAY PATTERN CONTINUES NEXT WEEK INTO NEXT WEEKEND WITH NO
RAIN EXPECTED AND SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE DAYTIME TEMPERATURES.
LOWER LEVEL FLOW OFF THE GULF OF MEXICO STRENGTHENS BY MID WEEK
INCREASING HUMIDITY LEVELS ALLOWING FOR HEAT INDEX VALUES ABOVE
105 DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS SOUTHEAST OF I-35 AND IN SPOTS
ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.

THE ONLY POTENTIAL FOR ANY RAIN MAY BE FROM AN OLD SURFACE
BOUNDARY CURRENTLY IN THE GULF OF MEXICO THAT MOVES ONSHORE TO
GENERATE SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOST MODELS DISSIPATE
THIS BOUNDARY OVER THE GULF WITH NO IMPACTS TO SOUTH CENTRAL
TEXAS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              74 101  75 100  76 /  -    0   0   0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  69 100  73  99  73 /  -    0   0   0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     73 100  73 100  74 /  -    0   0   0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            73  99  73  99  75 /  -    0   0   0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           77 101  77 101  79 /  10   0   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        71  98  74 100  75 /  -    0   0   0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             73  99  73  99  73 /  -    0   0   0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        72 100  73  99  75 /  -    0   0   0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   72 100  73  99  76 /  -    0   0  -    0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       76  99  75  99  76 /  -    0   0   0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           75 100  74 100  76 /  -    0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...05
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...09




000
FXUS64 KEWX 011946
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
246 PM CDT SAT AUG 1 2015

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)...
DAYTIME HEATING WORKING ON DEEPER MOISTURE WITH PWS OF 1.6 TO 1.8
INCHES HAS ALLOWED ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP
OVER THE EDWARDS PLATEAU THIS AFTERNOON. THIS DEEPER MOISTURE WILL
SLOWLY ERODE THIS EVENING AS A DRIER AIRMASS WITH BELOW NORMAL PWS
OF 1.2 TO 1.6 INCHES CONTINUES TO FILTER IN FROM THE EAST. EXPECT
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DISSIPATE A LITTLE AFTER SUNSET WITH
LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING AND THE DRIER AIRMASS.

FOR SUNDAY...THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE REMAINS FROM THE SOUTHWESTERN
STATES INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. STRONG SUBSIDENCE UNDERNEATH THE
RIDGE AND BELOW NORMAL MOISTURE LEVELS WILL NOT ALLOW FOR RAIN.
DAYTIME TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO BE SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL WITH
SOME HIGHS AROUND 100. HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL BE NEAR OR JUST
ABOVE ACTUAL TEMPERATURES AS DRIER AIR ALOFT MIXES TO THE SURFACE
DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS.

&&

.LONG TERM (MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...
THE SUNDAY PATTERN CONTINUES NEXT WEEK INTO NEXT WEEKEND WITH NO
RAIN EXPECTED AND SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE DAYTIME TEMPERATURES.
LOWER LEVEL FLOW OFF THE GULF OF MEXICO STRENGTHENS BY MID WEEK
INCREASING HUMIDITY LEVELS ALLOWING FOR HEAT INDEX VALUES ABOVE
105 DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS SOUTHEAST OF I-35 AND IN SPOTS
ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.

THE ONLY POTENTIAL FOR ANY RAIN MAY BE FROM AN OLD SURFACE
BOUNDARY CURRENTLY IN THE GULF OF MEXICO THAT MOVES ONSHORE TO
GENERATE SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOST MODELS DISSIPATE
THIS BOUNDARY OVER THE GULF WITH NO IMPACTS TO SOUTH CENTRAL
TEXAS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              74 101  75 100  76 /  -    0   0   0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  69 100  73  99  73 /  -    0   0   0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     73 100  73 100  74 /  -    0   0   0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            73  99  73  99  75 /  -    0   0   0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           77 101  77 101  79 /  10   0   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        71  98  74 100  75 /  -    0   0   0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             73  99  73  99  73 /  -    0   0   0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        72 100  73  99  75 /  -    0   0   0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   72 100  73  99  76 /  -    0   0  -    0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       76  99  75  99  76 /  -    0   0   0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           75 100  74 100  76 /  -    0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...10
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...04
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...TREADWAY





000
FXUS64 KEWX 011946
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
246 PM CDT SAT AUG 1 2015

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)...
DAYTIME HEATING WORKING ON DEEPER MOISTURE WITH PWS OF 1.6 TO 1.8
INCHES HAS ALLOWED ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP
OVER THE EDWARDS PLATEAU THIS AFTERNOON. THIS DEEPER MOISTURE WILL
SLOWLY ERODE THIS EVENING AS A DRIER AIRMASS WITH BELOW NORMAL PWS
OF 1.2 TO 1.6 INCHES CONTINUES TO FILTER IN FROM THE EAST. EXPECT
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DISSIPATE A LITTLE AFTER SUNSET WITH
LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING AND THE DRIER AIRMASS.

FOR SUNDAY...THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE REMAINS FROM THE SOUTHWESTERN
STATES INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. STRONG SUBSIDENCE UNDERNEATH THE
RIDGE AND BELOW NORMAL MOISTURE LEVELS WILL NOT ALLOW FOR RAIN.
DAYTIME TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO BE SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL WITH
SOME HIGHS AROUND 100. HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL BE NEAR OR JUST
ABOVE ACTUAL TEMPERATURES AS DRIER AIR ALOFT MIXES TO THE SURFACE
DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS.

&&

.LONG TERM (MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...
THE SUNDAY PATTERN CONTINUES NEXT WEEK INTO NEXT WEEKEND WITH NO
RAIN EXPECTED AND SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE DAYTIME TEMPERATURES.
LOWER LEVEL FLOW OFF THE GULF OF MEXICO STRENGTHENS BY MID WEEK
INCREASING HUMIDITY LEVELS ALLOWING FOR HEAT INDEX VALUES ABOVE
105 DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS SOUTHEAST OF I-35 AND IN SPOTS
ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.

THE ONLY POTENTIAL FOR ANY RAIN MAY BE FROM AN OLD SURFACE
BOUNDARY CURRENTLY IN THE GULF OF MEXICO THAT MOVES ONSHORE TO
GENERATE SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOST MODELS DISSIPATE
THIS BOUNDARY OVER THE GULF WITH NO IMPACTS TO SOUTH CENTRAL
TEXAS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              74 101  75 100  76 /  -    0   0   0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  69 100  73  99  73 /  -    0   0   0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     73 100  73 100  74 /  -    0   0   0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            73  99  73  99  75 /  -    0   0   0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           77 101  77 101  79 /  10   0   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        71  98  74 100  75 /  -    0   0   0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             73  99  73  99  73 /  -    0   0   0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        72 100  73  99  75 /  -    0   0   0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   72 100  73  99  76 /  -    0   0  -    0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       76  99  75  99  76 /  -    0   0   0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           75 100  74 100  76 /  -    0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...10
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...04
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...TREADWAY




000
FXUS64 KEWX 011727 AAC
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1227 PM CDT SAT AUG 1 2015

.AVIATION.../18Z TAFS/
NO CONCERNS THIS FORECAST PERIOD. COULD SEE AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR
THUNDERSTORM THIS AFTERNOON ALONG THE RIO GRANDE ANS HAVE
MAINTAINED THE MENTION OF VCTS AT KDRT. ALL OTHER TERMINALS SHOULD
REMAIN VFR THROUGH THE PERIOD. EASTERLY WINDS THIS AFTERNOON NEAR
10 KNOTS...LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS AFTER 04Z TONIGHT AND E/SE
WINDS NEAR 10 KNOTS AGAIN SUN AFTER 16Z.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1100 AM CDT SAT AUG 1 2015/

UPDATE...
DRIER AIR FILTERING INTO EASTERN AREAS OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS WITH
DEWPOINTS ABOUT 10 DEGREES LESS THAN YESTERDAY AND PWS FALLING TO
AROUND 1.2 INCHES. THIS DRIER AIR WILL SLOWLY SPREAD WEST TODAY.
HOWEVER...SUFFICIENT MOISTURE REMAINS OVER THE EDWARDS PLATEAU AND
RIO GRANDE PLAINS FOR ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HAVE REMOVED POPS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THIS MORNING
AS NO DEVELOPMENT IS ONGOING AND CONVECTIVE TEMPERATURES WILL NOT
BE REACHED UNTIL AFTER NOON. REMAINDER OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
FORECAST IS ON TRACK.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 618 AM CDT SAT AUG 1 2015/

AVIATION... /12Z TAF UPDATE/
VFR SKIES ARE FORECAST AT TAF SITES THROUGH THE NEXT 24-30 HOURS.
WEAK DIVERGENCE PATTERN AND DRY NORTHEAST SURFACE WINDS SHOULD
LEAD TO LITTLE OR NO OVERNIGHT STRATUS BELOW 3000 FT...AND DRY AIR
AROUND THE I-35 TERMINALS SHOULD LIMIT THE POTENTIAL FOR FOG. A
FEW VSBY RESTRICTIONS COULD OCCUR THROUGH 15Z OVER THE HILL
COUNTRY AND ANY AREAS THAT RECEIVED A HEAVY SHOWER FROM FRIDAY. STORMS
COULD IMPACT DRT THIS AFTERNOON WITH SHIFTY OUTFLOW WINDS THAT
SHOULD DIMINISH IN THE EARLY EVENING. POCKETS OF MID LEVEL
CLOUDINESS COULD SPILL INTO THE HILL COUNTRY FROM THE NORTH
TONIGHT...BUT TAF SITES SHOULD SEE A DECREASING MID LEVEL CLOUD
TREND DUE TO DRIER AIR MOVING IN FROM THE NORTHEAST.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 301 AM CDT SAT AUG 1 2015/

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...
CONVECTION FROM YESTERDAY AFTERNOON HAS ENDED ACROSS THE AREA AND
WE ARE ONLY LEFT WITH ANVIL DEBRIS. WINDS ARE LIGHT AND VARIABLE
AND TEMPERATURES ARE CURRENTLY IN THE MIDDLE 70S. AS HEATING
OCCURS THIS MORNING EAST WINDS JUST OFF THE SURFACE...AS SEEN ON
AREA VAD WIND PROFILES...WILL BE ABLE TO MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE
AND THIS EASTERLY FLOW IS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL INTO TOMORROW. THE
AIRMASS TO OUR EAST IS MUCH DRIER WITH 60-65F DEWPOINTS IN PLACE.
THIS MEANS THAT DRY-AIR ADVECTION WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS MUCH OF
THE AREA LIMITING THUNDERSTORM CHANCES. THE DRY AIR IS EVIDENT ON
FORECASTED CAPE FIELDS WITH ONLY SMALL VALUES OF INSTABILITY
REMAINING ACROSS THE WESTERN COUNTIES. PW VALUES IN THIS REGION
WILL REMAIN ABOVE 1.5 INCHES AS THE DRIEST AIR REMAINS EAST OF
THIS AREA. WILL CONTINUE 20-30 POPS THIS AFTERNOON FOR LOCATIONS
WEST OF AN EAGLE PASS TO KERRVILLE LINE. TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO BE IN THE UPPER 90S TO 102 DEGREES AND ANY
THUNDERSTORMS THAT DO DEVELOP COULD PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS GIVEN
AMPLE DEWPOINT DEPRESSIONS. THE DRIER AIR WILL LIMIT THE POTENTIAL
FOR HIGHER HEAT INDICES THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE AREA.

DEWPOINTS IN THE 50S/60S WILL CONTINUE ON SUNDAY ONCE AGAIN
KEEPING HEAT INDEX VALUES BELOW 105 ACROSS THE AREA. HIGHS WILL
BE IN THE 96-102 DEGREE RANGE WITH THE COOLER TEMPERATURES ACROSS
THE NORTHERN HILL COUNTRY AND THE WARMER TEMPERATURES CLOSER TO
THE RIO GRANDE. THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE TOO DRY ACROSS OUR ENTIRE
CWA FOR ANY RAIN CHANCES ON SUNDAY.

LONG TERM (SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)...
THE EXTENDED FORECAST LOOKS TO BE RATHER QUIET AS HIGH PRESSURE
RE-ANCHORS TO OUR WEST AND BUILDS IN STRENGTH THROUGH THE WORK-
WEEK. SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL SLOWLY INCREASE SURFACE DEWPOINTS
THROUGH MID-WEEK AND WE SHOULD SEE THE HEAT INDICES SLOWLY CLIMB
AS WELL. THURSDAY LOOKS TO BE THE HOTTEST DAY AS 850 TEMPS WARM
ABOVE 25C ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. THIS SHOULD EQUATE TO HIGH
TEMPERATURES NEAR OR ABOVE 100 DEGREES FOR MUCH OF THE AREA
EXCLUDING THE NORTHERN HILL COUNTRY. AFTERNOON DEWPOINTS IN THE
MIDDLE 60S WILL ALLOW HEAT INDEX VALUES TO BE ABOVE 105 FOR MUCH
OF THE AREA. THE LONG TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST WILL REMAIN
RAIN FREE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              76 100  75 100  76 /  -   -    0  -    0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  74  99  72  99  74 /  -   -    0  -    0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     74 100  74  99  75 /  -   -    0  -   -
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            74  98  74  99  75 /  -   -    0  -    0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           78 101  77 101  78 /  20  -    0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        75  99  75 100  76 /  -   -    0  -    0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             74  99  73  99  74 /  -   -    0  -    0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        74  99  74  99  75 /  -   -    0  -   -
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   74 100  75  99  76 /  -   -    0  -   -
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       77  99  76  99  76 /  -   -    0  -    0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           76 100  76 100  76 /  -   -    0  -    0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...10
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...04
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...TREADWAY




000
FXUS64 KEWX 011727 AAC
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1227 PM CDT SAT AUG 1 2015

.AVIATION.../18Z TAFS/
NO CONCERNS THIS FORECAST PERIOD. COULD SEE AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR
THUNDERSTORM THIS AFTERNOON ALONG THE RIO GRANDE ANS HAVE
MAINTAINED THE MENTION OF VCTS AT KDRT. ALL OTHER TERMINALS SHOULD
REMAIN VFR THROUGH THE PERIOD. EASTERLY WINDS THIS AFTERNOON NEAR
10 KNOTS...LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS AFTER 04Z TONIGHT AND E/SE
WINDS NEAR 10 KNOTS AGAIN SUN AFTER 16Z.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1100 AM CDT SAT AUG 1 2015/

UPDATE...
DRIER AIR FILTERING INTO EASTERN AREAS OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS WITH
DEWPOINTS ABOUT 10 DEGREES LESS THAN YESTERDAY AND PWS FALLING TO
AROUND 1.2 INCHES. THIS DRIER AIR WILL SLOWLY SPREAD WEST TODAY.
HOWEVER...SUFFICIENT MOISTURE REMAINS OVER THE EDWARDS PLATEAU AND
RIO GRANDE PLAINS FOR ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HAVE REMOVED POPS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THIS MORNING
AS NO DEVELOPMENT IS ONGOING AND CONVECTIVE TEMPERATURES WILL NOT
BE REACHED UNTIL AFTER NOON. REMAINDER OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
FORECAST IS ON TRACK.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 618 AM CDT SAT AUG 1 2015/

AVIATION... /12Z TAF UPDATE/
VFR SKIES ARE FORECAST AT TAF SITES THROUGH THE NEXT 24-30 HOURS.
WEAK DIVERGENCE PATTERN AND DRY NORTHEAST SURFACE WINDS SHOULD
LEAD TO LITTLE OR NO OVERNIGHT STRATUS BELOW 3000 FT...AND DRY AIR
AROUND THE I-35 TERMINALS SHOULD LIMIT THE POTENTIAL FOR FOG. A
FEW VSBY RESTRICTIONS COULD OCCUR THROUGH 15Z OVER THE HILL
COUNTRY AND ANY AREAS THAT RECEIVED A HEAVY SHOWER FROM FRIDAY. STORMS
COULD IMPACT DRT THIS AFTERNOON WITH SHIFTY OUTFLOW WINDS THAT
SHOULD DIMINISH IN THE EARLY EVENING. POCKETS OF MID LEVEL
CLOUDINESS COULD SPILL INTO THE HILL COUNTRY FROM THE NORTH
TONIGHT...BUT TAF SITES SHOULD SEE A DECREASING MID LEVEL CLOUD
TREND DUE TO DRIER AIR MOVING IN FROM THE NORTHEAST.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 301 AM CDT SAT AUG 1 2015/

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...
CONVECTION FROM YESTERDAY AFTERNOON HAS ENDED ACROSS THE AREA AND
WE ARE ONLY LEFT WITH ANVIL DEBRIS. WINDS ARE LIGHT AND VARIABLE
AND TEMPERATURES ARE CURRENTLY IN THE MIDDLE 70S. AS HEATING
OCCURS THIS MORNING EAST WINDS JUST OFF THE SURFACE...AS SEEN ON
AREA VAD WIND PROFILES...WILL BE ABLE TO MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE
AND THIS EASTERLY FLOW IS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL INTO TOMORROW. THE
AIRMASS TO OUR EAST IS MUCH DRIER WITH 60-65F DEWPOINTS IN PLACE.
THIS MEANS THAT DRY-AIR ADVECTION WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS MUCH OF
THE AREA LIMITING THUNDERSTORM CHANCES. THE DRY AIR IS EVIDENT ON
FORECASTED CAPE FIELDS WITH ONLY SMALL VALUES OF INSTABILITY
REMAINING ACROSS THE WESTERN COUNTIES. PW VALUES IN THIS REGION
WILL REMAIN ABOVE 1.5 INCHES AS THE DRIEST AIR REMAINS EAST OF
THIS AREA. WILL CONTINUE 20-30 POPS THIS AFTERNOON FOR LOCATIONS
WEST OF AN EAGLE PASS TO KERRVILLE LINE. TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO BE IN THE UPPER 90S TO 102 DEGREES AND ANY
THUNDERSTORMS THAT DO DEVELOP COULD PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS GIVEN
AMPLE DEWPOINT DEPRESSIONS. THE DRIER AIR WILL LIMIT THE POTENTIAL
FOR HIGHER HEAT INDICES THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE AREA.

DEWPOINTS IN THE 50S/60S WILL CONTINUE ON SUNDAY ONCE AGAIN
KEEPING HEAT INDEX VALUES BELOW 105 ACROSS THE AREA. HIGHS WILL
BE IN THE 96-102 DEGREE RANGE WITH THE COOLER TEMPERATURES ACROSS
THE NORTHERN HILL COUNTRY AND THE WARMER TEMPERATURES CLOSER TO
THE RIO GRANDE. THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE TOO DRY ACROSS OUR ENTIRE
CWA FOR ANY RAIN CHANCES ON SUNDAY.

LONG TERM (SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)...
THE EXTENDED FORECAST LOOKS TO BE RATHER QUIET AS HIGH PRESSURE
RE-ANCHORS TO OUR WEST AND BUILDS IN STRENGTH THROUGH THE WORK-
WEEK. SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL SLOWLY INCREASE SURFACE DEWPOINTS
THROUGH MID-WEEK AND WE SHOULD SEE THE HEAT INDICES SLOWLY CLIMB
AS WELL. THURSDAY LOOKS TO BE THE HOTTEST DAY AS 850 TEMPS WARM
ABOVE 25C ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. THIS SHOULD EQUATE TO HIGH
TEMPERATURES NEAR OR ABOVE 100 DEGREES FOR MUCH OF THE AREA
EXCLUDING THE NORTHERN HILL COUNTRY. AFTERNOON DEWPOINTS IN THE
MIDDLE 60S WILL ALLOW HEAT INDEX VALUES TO BE ABOVE 105 FOR MUCH
OF THE AREA. THE LONG TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST WILL REMAIN
RAIN FREE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              76 100  75 100  76 /  -   -    0  -    0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  74  99  72  99  74 /  -   -    0  -    0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     74 100  74  99  75 /  -   -    0  -   -
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            74  98  74  99  75 /  -   -    0  -    0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           78 101  77 101  78 /  20  -    0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        75  99  75 100  76 /  -   -    0  -    0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             74  99  73  99  74 /  -   -    0  -    0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        74  99  74  99  75 /  -   -    0  -   -
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   74 100  75  99  76 /  -   -    0  -   -
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       77  99  76  99  76 /  -   -    0  -    0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           76 100  76 100  76 /  -   -    0  -    0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...10
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...04
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...TREADWAY





000
FXUS64 KEWX 011600
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1100 AM CDT SAT AUG 1 2015

.UPDATE...
DRIER AIR FILTERING INTO EASTERN AREAS OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS WITH
DEWPOINTS ABOUT 10 DEGREES LESS THAN YESTERDAY AND PWS FALLING TO
AROUND 1.2 INCHES. THIS DRIER AIR WILL SLOWLY SPREAD WEST TODAY.
HOWEVER...SUFFICIENT MOISTURE REMAINS OVER THE EDWARDS PLATEAU AND
RIO GRANDE PLAINS FOR ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HAVE REMOVED POPS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THIS MORNING
AS NO DEVELOPMENT IS ONGOING AND CONVECTIVE TEMPERATURES WILL NOT
BE REACHED UNTIL AFTER NOON. REMAINDER OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
FORECAST IS ON TRACK.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 618 AM CDT SAT AUG 1 2015/

AVIATION... /12Z TAF UPDATE/
VFR SKIES ARE FORECAST AT TAF SITES THROUGH THE NEXT 24-30 HOURS.
WEAK DIVERGENCE PATTERN AND DRY NORTHEAST SURFACE WINDS SHOULD
LEAD TO LITTLE OR NO OVERNIGHT STRATUS BELOW 3000 FT...AND DRY AIR
AROUND THE I-35 TERMINALS SHOULD LIMIT THE POTENTIAL FOR FOG. A
FEW VSBY RESTRICTIONS COULD OCCUR THROUGH 15Z OVER THE HILL
COUNTRY AND ANY AREAS THAT RECEIVED A HEAVY SHOWER FROM FRIDAY. STORMS
COULD IMPACT DRT THIS AFTERNOON WITH SHIFTY OUTFLOW WINDS THAT
SHOULD DIMINISH IN THE EARLY EVENING. POCKETS OF MID LEVEL
CLOUDINESS COULD SPILL INTO THE HILL COUNTRY FROM THE NORTH
TONIGHT...BUT TAF SITES SHOULD SEE A DECREASING MID LEVEL CLOUD
TREND DUE TO DRIER AIR MOVING IN FROM THE NORTHEAST.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 301 AM CDT SAT AUG 1 2015/

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...
CONVECTION FROM YESTERDAY AFTERNOON HAS ENDED ACROSS THE AREA AND
WE ARE ONLY LEFT WITH ANVIL DEBRIS. WINDS ARE LIGHT AND VARIABLE
AND TEMPERATURES ARE CURRENTLY IN THE MIDDLE 70S. AS HEATING
OCCURS THIS MORNING EAST WINDS JUST OFF THE SURFACE...AS SEEN ON
AREA VAD WIND PROFILES...WILL BE ABLE TO MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE
AND THIS EASTERLY FLOW IS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL INTO TOMORROW. THE
AIRMASS TO OUR EAST IS MUCH DRIER WITH 60-65F DEWPOINTS IN PLACE.
THIS MEANS THAT DRY-AIR ADVECTION WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS MUCH OF
THE AREA LIMITING THUNDERSTORM CHANCES. THE DRY AIR IS EVIDENT ON
FORECASTED CAPE FIELDS WITH ONLY SMALL VALUES OF INSTABILITY
REMAINING ACROSS THE WESTERN COUNTIES. PW VALUES IN THIS REGION
WILL REMAIN ABOVE 1.5 INCHES AS THE DRIEST AIR REMAINS EAST OF
THIS AREA. WILL CONTINUE 20-30 POPS THIS AFTERNOON FOR LOCATIONS
WEST OF AN EAGLE PASS TO KERRVILLE LINE. TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO BE IN THE UPPER 90S TO 102 DEGREES AND ANY
THUNDERSTORMS THAT DO DEVELOP COULD PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS GIVEN
AMPLE DEWPOINT DEPRESSIONS. THE DRIER AIR WILL LIMIT THE POTENTIAL
FOR HIGHER HEAT INDICES THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE AREA.

DEWPOINTS IN THE 50S/60S WILL CONTINUE ON SUNDAY ONCE AGAIN
KEEPING HEAT INDEX VALUES BELOW 105 ACROSS THE AREA. HIGHS WILL
BE IN THE 96-102 DEGREE RANGE WITH THE COOLER TEMPERATURES ACROSS
THE NORTHERN HILL COUNTRY AND THE WARMER TEMPERATURES CLOSER TO
THE RIO GRANDE. THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE TOO DRY ACROSS OUR ENTIRE
CWA FOR ANY RAIN CHANCES ON SUNDAY.

LONG TERM (SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)...
THE EXTENDED FORECAST LOOKS TO BE RATHER QUIET AS HIGH PRESSURE
RE-ANCHORS TO OUR WEST AND BUILDS IN STRENGTH THROUGH THE WORK-
WEEK. SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL SLOWLY INCREASE SURFACE DEWPOINTS
THROUGH MID-WEEK AND WE SHOULD SEE THE HEAT INDICES SLOWLY CLIMB
AS WELL. THURSDAY LOOKS TO BE THE HOTTEST DAY AS 850 TEMPS WARM
ABOVE 25C ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. THIS SHOULD EQUATE TO HIGH
TEMPERATURES NEAR OR ABOVE 100 DEGREES FOR MUCH OF THE AREA
EXCLUDING THE NORTHERN HILL COUNTRY. AFTERNOON DEWPOINTS IN THE
MIDDLE 60S WILL ALLOW HEAT INDEX VALUES TO BE ABOVE 105 FOR MUCH
OF THE AREA. THE LONG TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST WILL REMAIN
RAIN FREE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              99  76 100  75 100 /  10  -   -    0  -
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  99  74  99  72  99 /  10  -   -    0  -
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT    100  74 100  74  99 /  10  -   -    0  -
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            98  74  98  74  99 /  10  -   -    0  -
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT          100  78 101  77 101 /  20  20  -    0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        98  75  99  75 100 /  10  -   -    0  -
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             99  74  99  73  99 /  10  -   -    0  -
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        99  74  99  74  99 /  10  -   -    0  -
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL  100  74 100  75  99 /  10  -   -    0  -
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       99  77  99  76  99 /  10  -   -    0  -
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT          100  76 100  76 100 /  10  -   -    0  -

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...10
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...04
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...TREADWAY




000
FXUS64 KEWX 011600
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1100 AM CDT SAT AUG 1 2015

.UPDATE...
DRIER AIR FILTERING INTO EASTERN AREAS OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS WITH
DEWPOINTS ABOUT 10 DEGREES LESS THAN YESTERDAY AND PWS FALLING TO
AROUND 1.2 INCHES. THIS DRIER AIR WILL SLOWLY SPREAD WEST TODAY.
HOWEVER...SUFFICIENT MOISTURE REMAINS OVER THE EDWARDS PLATEAU AND
RIO GRANDE PLAINS FOR ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HAVE REMOVED POPS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THIS MORNING
AS NO DEVELOPMENT IS ONGOING AND CONVECTIVE TEMPERATURES WILL NOT
BE REACHED UNTIL AFTER NOON. REMAINDER OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
FORECAST IS ON TRACK.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 618 AM CDT SAT AUG 1 2015/

AVIATION... /12Z TAF UPDATE/
VFR SKIES ARE FORECAST AT TAF SITES THROUGH THE NEXT 24-30 HOURS.
WEAK DIVERGENCE PATTERN AND DRY NORTHEAST SURFACE WINDS SHOULD
LEAD TO LITTLE OR NO OVERNIGHT STRATUS BELOW 3000 FT...AND DRY AIR
AROUND THE I-35 TERMINALS SHOULD LIMIT THE POTENTIAL FOR FOG. A
FEW VSBY RESTRICTIONS COULD OCCUR THROUGH 15Z OVER THE HILL
COUNTRY AND ANY AREAS THAT RECEIVED A HEAVY SHOWER FROM FRIDAY. STORMS
COULD IMPACT DRT THIS AFTERNOON WITH SHIFTY OUTFLOW WINDS THAT
SHOULD DIMINISH IN THE EARLY EVENING. POCKETS OF MID LEVEL
CLOUDINESS COULD SPILL INTO THE HILL COUNTRY FROM THE NORTH
TONIGHT...BUT TAF SITES SHOULD SEE A DECREASING MID LEVEL CLOUD
TREND DUE TO DRIER AIR MOVING IN FROM THE NORTHEAST.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 301 AM CDT SAT AUG 1 2015/

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...
CONVECTION FROM YESTERDAY AFTERNOON HAS ENDED ACROSS THE AREA AND
WE ARE ONLY LEFT WITH ANVIL DEBRIS. WINDS ARE LIGHT AND VARIABLE
AND TEMPERATURES ARE CURRENTLY IN THE MIDDLE 70S. AS HEATING
OCCURS THIS MORNING EAST WINDS JUST OFF THE SURFACE...AS SEEN ON
AREA VAD WIND PROFILES...WILL BE ABLE TO MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE
AND THIS EASTERLY FLOW IS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL INTO TOMORROW. THE
AIRMASS TO OUR EAST IS MUCH DRIER WITH 60-65F DEWPOINTS IN PLACE.
THIS MEANS THAT DRY-AIR ADVECTION WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS MUCH OF
THE AREA LIMITING THUNDERSTORM CHANCES. THE DRY AIR IS EVIDENT ON
FORECASTED CAPE FIELDS WITH ONLY SMALL VALUES OF INSTABILITY
REMAINING ACROSS THE WESTERN COUNTIES. PW VALUES IN THIS REGION
WILL REMAIN ABOVE 1.5 INCHES AS THE DRIEST AIR REMAINS EAST OF
THIS AREA. WILL CONTINUE 20-30 POPS THIS AFTERNOON FOR LOCATIONS
WEST OF AN EAGLE PASS TO KERRVILLE LINE. TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO BE IN THE UPPER 90S TO 102 DEGREES AND ANY
THUNDERSTORMS THAT DO DEVELOP COULD PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS GIVEN
AMPLE DEWPOINT DEPRESSIONS. THE DRIER AIR WILL LIMIT THE POTENTIAL
FOR HIGHER HEAT INDICES THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE AREA.

DEWPOINTS IN THE 50S/60S WILL CONTINUE ON SUNDAY ONCE AGAIN
KEEPING HEAT INDEX VALUES BELOW 105 ACROSS THE AREA. HIGHS WILL
BE IN THE 96-102 DEGREE RANGE WITH THE COOLER TEMPERATURES ACROSS
THE NORTHERN HILL COUNTRY AND THE WARMER TEMPERATURES CLOSER TO
THE RIO GRANDE. THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE TOO DRY ACROSS OUR ENTIRE
CWA FOR ANY RAIN CHANCES ON SUNDAY.

LONG TERM (SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)...
THE EXTENDED FORECAST LOOKS TO BE RATHER QUIET AS HIGH PRESSURE
RE-ANCHORS TO OUR WEST AND BUILDS IN STRENGTH THROUGH THE WORK-
WEEK. SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL SLOWLY INCREASE SURFACE DEWPOINTS
THROUGH MID-WEEK AND WE SHOULD SEE THE HEAT INDICES SLOWLY CLIMB
AS WELL. THURSDAY LOOKS TO BE THE HOTTEST DAY AS 850 TEMPS WARM
ABOVE 25C ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. THIS SHOULD EQUATE TO HIGH
TEMPERATURES NEAR OR ABOVE 100 DEGREES FOR MUCH OF THE AREA
EXCLUDING THE NORTHERN HILL COUNTRY. AFTERNOON DEWPOINTS IN THE
MIDDLE 60S WILL ALLOW HEAT INDEX VALUES TO BE ABOVE 105 FOR MUCH
OF THE AREA. THE LONG TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST WILL REMAIN
RAIN FREE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              99  76 100  75 100 /  10  -   -    0  -
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  99  74  99  72  99 /  10  -   -    0  -
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT    100  74 100  74  99 /  10  -   -    0  -
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            98  74  98  74  99 /  10  -   -    0  -
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT          100  78 101  77 101 /  20  20  -    0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        98  75  99  75 100 /  10  -   -    0  -
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             99  74  99  73  99 /  10  -   -    0  -
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        99  74  99  74  99 /  10  -   -    0  -
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL  100  74 100  75  99 /  10  -   -    0  -
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       99  77  99  76  99 /  10  -   -    0  -
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT          100  76 100  76 100 /  10  -   -    0  -

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...10
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...04
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...TREADWAY




000
FXUS64 KEWX 011600
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1100 AM CDT SAT AUG 1 2015

.UPDATE...
DRIER AIR FILTERING INTO EASTERN AREAS OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS WITH
DEWPOINTS ABOUT 10 DEGREES LESS THAN YESTERDAY AND PWS FALLING TO
AROUND 1.2 INCHES. THIS DRIER AIR WILL SLOWLY SPREAD WEST TODAY.
HOWEVER...SUFFICIENT MOISTURE REMAINS OVER THE EDWARDS PLATEAU AND
RIO GRANDE PLAINS FOR ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HAVE REMOVED POPS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THIS MORNING
AS NO DEVELOPMENT IS ONGOING AND CONVECTIVE TEMPERATURES WILL NOT
BE REACHED UNTIL AFTER NOON. REMAINDER OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
FORECAST IS ON TRACK.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 618 AM CDT SAT AUG 1 2015/

AVIATION... /12Z TAF UPDATE/
VFR SKIES ARE FORECAST AT TAF SITES THROUGH THE NEXT 24-30 HOURS.
WEAK DIVERGENCE PATTERN AND DRY NORTHEAST SURFACE WINDS SHOULD
LEAD TO LITTLE OR NO OVERNIGHT STRATUS BELOW 3000 FT...AND DRY AIR
AROUND THE I-35 TERMINALS SHOULD LIMIT THE POTENTIAL FOR FOG. A
FEW VSBY RESTRICTIONS COULD OCCUR THROUGH 15Z OVER THE HILL
COUNTRY AND ANY AREAS THAT RECEIVED A HEAVY SHOWER FROM FRIDAY. STORMS
COULD IMPACT DRT THIS AFTERNOON WITH SHIFTY OUTFLOW WINDS THAT
SHOULD DIMINISH IN THE EARLY EVENING. POCKETS OF MID LEVEL
CLOUDINESS COULD SPILL INTO THE HILL COUNTRY FROM THE NORTH
TONIGHT...BUT TAF SITES SHOULD SEE A DECREASING MID LEVEL CLOUD
TREND DUE TO DRIER AIR MOVING IN FROM THE NORTHEAST.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 301 AM CDT SAT AUG 1 2015/

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...
CONVECTION FROM YESTERDAY AFTERNOON HAS ENDED ACROSS THE AREA AND
WE ARE ONLY LEFT WITH ANVIL DEBRIS. WINDS ARE LIGHT AND VARIABLE
AND TEMPERATURES ARE CURRENTLY IN THE MIDDLE 70S. AS HEATING
OCCURS THIS MORNING EAST WINDS JUST OFF THE SURFACE...AS SEEN ON
AREA VAD WIND PROFILES...WILL BE ABLE TO MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE
AND THIS EASTERLY FLOW IS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL INTO TOMORROW. THE
AIRMASS TO OUR EAST IS MUCH DRIER WITH 60-65F DEWPOINTS IN PLACE.
THIS MEANS THAT DRY-AIR ADVECTION WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS MUCH OF
THE AREA LIMITING THUNDERSTORM CHANCES. THE DRY AIR IS EVIDENT ON
FORECASTED CAPE FIELDS WITH ONLY SMALL VALUES OF INSTABILITY
REMAINING ACROSS THE WESTERN COUNTIES. PW VALUES IN THIS REGION
WILL REMAIN ABOVE 1.5 INCHES AS THE DRIEST AIR REMAINS EAST OF
THIS AREA. WILL CONTINUE 20-30 POPS THIS AFTERNOON FOR LOCATIONS
WEST OF AN EAGLE PASS TO KERRVILLE LINE. TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO BE IN THE UPPER 90S TO 102 DEGREES AND ANY
THUNDERSTORMS THAT DO DEVELOP COULD PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS GIVEN
AMPLE DEWPOINT DEPRESSIONS. THE DRIER AIR WILL LIMIT THE POTENTIAL
FOR HIGHER HEAT INDICES THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE AREA.

DEWPOINTS IN THE 50S/60S WILL CONTINUE ON SUNDAY ONCE AGAIN
KEEPING HEAT INDEX VALUES BELOW 105 ACROSS THE AREA. HIGHS WILL
BE IN THE 96-102 DEGREE RANGE WITH THE COOLER TEMPERATURES ACROSS
THE NORTHERN HILL COUNTRY AND THE WARMER TEMPERATURES CLOSER TO
THE RIO GRANDE. THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE TOO DRY ACROSS OUR ENTIRE
CWA FOR ANY RAIN CHANCES ON SUNDAY.

LONG TERM (SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)...
THE EXTENDED FORECAST LOOKS TO BE RATHER QUIET AS HIGH PRESSURE
RE-ANCHORS TO OUR WEST AND BUILDS IN STRENGTH THROUGH THE WORK-
WEEK. SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL SLOWLY INCREASE SURFACE DEWPOINTS
THROUGH MID-WEEK AND WE SHOULD SEE THE HEAT INDICES SLOWLY CLIMB
AS WELL. THURSDAY LOOKS TO BE THE HOTTEST DAY AS 850 TEMPS WARM
ABOVE 25C ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. THIS SHOULD EQUATE TO HIGH
TEMPERATURES NEAR OR ABOVE 100 DEGREES FOR MUCH OF THE AREA
EXCLUDING THE NORTHERN HILL COUNTRY. AFTERNOON DEWPOINTS IN THE
MIDDLE 60S WILL ALLOW HEAT INDEX VALUES TO BE ABOVE 105 FOR MUCH
OF THE AREA. THE LONG TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST WILL REMAIN
RAIN FREE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              99  76 100  75 100 /  10  -   -    0  -
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  99  74  99  72  99 /  10  -   -    0  -
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT    100  74 100  74  99 /  10  -   -    0  -
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            98  74  98  74  99 /  10  -   -    0  -
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT          100  78 101  77 101 /  20  20  -    0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        98  75  99  75 100 /  10  -   -    0  -
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             99  74  99  73  99 /  10  -   -    0  -
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        99  74  99  74  99 /  10  -   -    0  -
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL  100  74 100  75  99 /  10  -   -    0  -
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       99  77  99  76  99 /  10  -   -    0  -
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT          100  76 100  76 100 /  10  -   -    0  -

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...10
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...04
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...TREADWAY





000
FXUS64 KEWX 011118
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
618 AM CDT SAT AUG 1 2015

.AVIATION... /12Z TAF UPDATE/
VFR SKIES ARE FORECAST AT TAF SITES THROUGH THE NEXT 24-30 HOURS.
WEAK DIVERGENCE PATTERN AND DRY NORTHEAST SURFACE WINDS SHOULD
LEAD TO LITTLE OR NO OVERNIGHT STRATUS BELOW 3000 FT...AND DRY AIR
AROUND THE I-35 TERMINALS SHOULD LIMIT THE POTENTIAL FOR FOG. A
FEW VSBY RESTRICTIONS COULD OCCUR THROUGH 15Z OVER THE HILL
COUNTRY AND ANY AREAS THAT RECEIVED A HEAVY SHOWER FROM FRIDAY. STORMS
COULD IMPACT DRT THIS AFTERNOON WITH SHIFTY OUTFLOW WINDS THAT
SHOULD DIMINISH IN THE EARLY EVENING. POCKETS OF MID LEVEL
CLOUDINESS COULD SPILL INTO THE HILL COUNTRY FROM THE NORTH
TONIGHT...BUT TAF SITES SHOULD SEE A DECREASING MID LEVEL CLOUD
TREND DUE TO DRIER AIR MOVING IN FROM THE NORTHEAST.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 301 AM CDT SAT AUG 1 2015/

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...
CONVECTION FROM YESTERDAY AFTERNOON HAS ENDED ACROSS THE AREA AND
WE ARE ONLY LEFT WITH ANVIL DEBRIS. WINDS ARE LIGHT AND VARIABLE
AND TEMPERATURES ARE CURRENTLY IN THE MIDDLE 70S. AS HEATING
OCCURS THIS MORNING EAST WINDS JUST OFF THE SURFACE...AS SEEN ON
AREA VAD WIND PROFILES...WILL BE ABLE TO MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE
AND THIS EASTERLY FLOW IS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL INTO TOMORROW. THE
AIRMASS TO OUR EAST IS MUCH DRIER WITH 60-65F DEWPOINTS IN PLACE.
THIS MEANS THAT DRY-AIR ADVECTION WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS MUCH OF
THE AREA LIMITING THUNDERSTORM CHANCES. THE DRY AIR IS EVIDENT ON
FORECASTED CAPE FIELDS WITH ONLY SMALL VALUES OF INSTABILITY
REMAINING ACROSS THE WESTERN COUNTIES. PW VALUES IN THIS REGION
WILL REMAIN ABOVE 1.5 INCHES AS THE DRIEST AIR REMAINS EAST OF
THIS AREA. WILL CONTINUE 20-30 POPS THIS AFTERNOON FOR LOCATIONS
WEST OF AN EAGLE PASS TO KERRVILLE LINE. TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO BE IN THE UPPER 90S TO 102 DEGREES AND ANY
THUNDERSTORMS THAT DO DEVELOP COULD PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS GIVEN
AMPLE DEWPOINT DEPRESSIONS. THE DRIER AIR WILL LIMIT THE POTENTIAL
FOR HIGHER HEAT INDICES THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE AREA.

DEWPOINTS IN THE 50S/60S WILL CONTINUE ON SUNDAY ONCE AGAIN
KEEPING HEAT INDEX VALUES BELOW 105 ACROSS THE AREA. HIGHS WILL
BE IN THE 96-102 DEGREE RANGE WITH THE COOLER TEMPERATURES ACROSS
THE NORTHERN HILL COUNTRY AND THE WARMER TEMPERATURES CLOSER TO
THE RIO GRANDE. THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE TOO DRY ACROSS OUR ENTIRE
CWA FOR ANY RAIN CHANCES ON SUNDAY.

LONG TERM (SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)...
THE EXTENDED FORECAST LOOKS TO BE RATHER QUIET AS HIGH PRESSURE
RE-ANCHORS TO OUR WEST AND BUILDS IN STRENGTH THROUGH THE WORK-
WEEK. SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL SLOWLY INCREASE SURFACE DEWPOINTS
THROUGH MID-WEEK AND WE SHOULD SEE THE HEAT INDICES SLOWLY CLIMB
AS WELL. THURSDAY LOOKS TO BE THE HOTTEST DAY AS 850 TEMPS WARM
ABOVE 25C ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. THIS SHOULD EQUATE TO HIGH
TEMPERATURES NEAR OR ABOVE 100 DEGREES FOR MUCH OF THE AREA
EXCLUDING THE NORTHERN HILL COUNTRY. AFTERNOON DEWPOINTS IN THE
MIDDLE 60S WILL ALLOW HEAT INDEX VALUES TO BE ABOVE 105 FOR MUCH
OF THE AREA. THE LONG TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST WILL REMAIN
RAIN FREE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              99  76 100  75 100 /  10  -   -    0  -
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  99  74  99  72  99 /  10  -   -    0  -
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT    100  74 100  74  99 /  10  -   -    0  -
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            98  74  98  74  99 /  10  -   -    0  -
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT          100  78 101  77 101 /  20  10  -    0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        98  75  99  75 100 /  10  -   -    0  -
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             99  74  99  73  99 /  10  -   -    0  -
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        99  74  99  74  99 /  10  -   -    0  -
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL  100  74 100  75  99 /  10  -   -    0  -
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       99  77  99  76  99 /  10  -   -    0  -
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT          100  76 100  76 100 /  10  -   -    0  -

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...OAKS
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...HAMPSHIRE





000
FXUS64 KEWX 011118
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
618 AM CDT SAT AUG 1 2015

.AVIATION... /12Z TAF UPDATE/
VFR SKIES ARE FORECAST AT TAF SITES THROUGH THE NEXT 24-30 HOURS.
WEAK DIVERGENCE PATTERN AND DRY NORTHEAST SURFACE WINDS SHOULD
LEAD TO LITTLE OR NO OVERNIGHT STRATUS BELOW 3000 FT...AND DRY AIR
AROUND THE I-35 TERMINALS SHOULD LIMIT THE POTENTIAL FOR FOG. A
FEW VSBY RESTRICTIONS COULD OCCUR THROUGH 15Z OVER THE HILL
COUNTRY AND ANY AREAS THAT RECEIVED A HEAVY SHOWER FROM FRIDAY. STORMS
COULD IMPACT DRT THIS AFTERNOON WITH SHIFTY OUTFLOW WINDS THAT
SHOULD DIMINISH IN THE EARLY EVENING. POCKETS OF MID LEVEL
CLOUDINESS COULD SPILL INTO THE HILL COUNTRY FROM THE NORTH
TONIGHT...BUT TAF SITES SHOULD SEE A DECREASING MID LEVEL CLOUD
TREND DUE TO DRIER AIR MOVING IN FROM THE NORTHEAST.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 301 AM CDT SAT AUG 1 2015/

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...
CONVECTION FROM YESTERDAY AFTERNOON HAS ENDED ACROSS THE AREA AND
WE ARE ONLY LEFT WITH ANVIL DEBRIS. WINDS ARE LIGHT AND VARIABLE
AND TEMPERATURES ARE CURRENTLY IN THE MIDDLE 70S. AS HEATING
OCCURS THIS MORNING EAST WINDS JUST OFF THE SURFACE...AS SEEN ON
AREA VAD WIND PROFILES...WILL BE ABLE TO MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE
AND THIS EASTERLY FLOW IS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL INTO TOMORROW. THE
AIRMASS TO OUR EAST IS MUCH DRIER WITH 60-65F DEWPOINTS IN PLACE.
THIS MEANS THAT DRY-AIR ADVECTION WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS MUCH OF
THE AREA LIMITING THUNDERSTORM CHANCES. THE DRY AIR IS EVIDENT ON
FORECASTED CAPE FIELDS WITH ONLY SMALL VALUES OF INSTABILITY
REMAINING ACROSS THE WESTERN COUNTIES. PW VALUES IN THIS REGION
WILL REMAIN ABOVE 1.5 INCHES AS THE DRIEST AIR REMAINS EAST OF
THIS AREA. WILL CONTINUE 20-30 POPS THIS AFTERNOON FOR LOCATIONS
WEST OF AN EAGLE PASS TO KERRVILLE LINE. TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO BE IN THE UPPER 90S TO 102 DEGREES AND ANY
THUNDERSTORMS THAT DO DEVELOP COULD PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS GIVEN
AMPLE DEWPOINT DEPRESSIONS. THE DRIER AIR WILL LIMIT THE POTENTIAL
FOR HIGHER HEAT INDICES THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE AREA.

DEWPOINTS IN THE 50S/60S WILL CONTINUE ON SUNDAY ONCE AGAIN
KEEPING HEAT INDEX VALUES BELOW 105 ACROSS THE AREA. HIGHS WILL
BE IN THE 96-102 DEGREE RANGE WITH THE COOLER TEMPERATURES ACROSS
THE NORTHERN HILL COUNTRY AND THE WARMER TEMPERATURES CLOSER TO
THE RIO GRANDE. THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE TOO DRY ACROSS OUR ENTIRE
CWA FOR ANY RAIN CHANCES ON SUNDAY.

LONG TERM (SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)...
THE EXTENDED FORECAST LOOKS TO BE RATHER QUIET AS HIGH PRESSURE
RE-ANCHORS TO OUR WEST AND BUILDS IN STRENGTH THROUGH THE WORK-
WEEK. SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL SLOWLY INCREASE SURFACE DEWPOINTS
THROUGH MID-WEEK AND WE SHOULD SEE THE HEAT INDICES SLOWLY CLIMB
AS WELL. THURSDAY LOOKS TO BE THE HOTTEST DAY AS 850 TEMPS WARM
ABOVE 25C ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. THIS SHOULD EQUATE TO HIGH
TEMPERATURES NEAR OR ABOVE 100 DEGREES FOR MUCH OF THE AREA
EXCLUDING THE NORTHERN HILL COUNTRY. AFTERNOON DEWPOINTS IN THE
MIDDLE 60S WILL ALLOW HEAT INDEX VALUES TO BE ABOVE 105 FOR MUCH
OF THE AREA. THE LONG TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST WILL REMAIN
RAIN FREE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              99  76 100  75 100 /  10  -   -    0  -
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  99  74  99  72  99 /  10  -   -    0  -
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT    100  74 100  74  99 /  10  -   -    0  -
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            98  74  98  74  99 /  10  -   -    0  -
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT          100  78 101  77 101 /  20  10  -    0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        98  75  99  75 100 /  10  -   -    0  -
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             99  74  99  73  99 /  10  -   -    0  -
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        99  74  99  74  99 /  10  -   -    0  -
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL  100  74 100  75  99 /  10  -   -    0  -
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       99  77  99  76  99 /  10  -   -    0  -
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT          100  76 100  76 100 /  10  -   -    0  -

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...OAKS
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...HAMPSHIRE





000
FXUS64 KEWX 011118
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
618 AM CDT SAT AUG 1 2015

.AVIATION... /12Z TAF UPDATE/
VFR SKIES ARE FORECAST AT TAF SITES THROUGH THE NEXT 24-30 HOURS.
WEAK DIVERGENCE PATTERN AND DRY NORTHEAST SURFACE WINDS SHOULD
LEAD TO LITTLE OR NO OVERNIGHT STRATUS BELOW 3000 FT...AND DRY AIR
AROUND THE I-35 TERMINALS SHOULD LIMIT THE POTENTIAL FOR FOG. A
FEW VSBY RESTRICTIONS COULD OCCUR THROUGH 15Z OVER THE HILL
COUNTRY AND ANY AREAS THAT RECEIVED A HEAVY SHOWER FROM FRIDAY. STORMS
COULD IMPACT DRT THIS AFTERNOON WITH SHIFTY OUTFLOW WINDS THAT
SHOULD DIMINISH IN THE EARLY EVENING. POCKETS OF MID LEVEL
CLOUDINESS COULD SPILL INTO THE HILL COUNTRY FROM THE NORTH
TONIGHT...BUT TAF SITES SHOULD SEE A DECREASING MID LEVEL CLOUD
TREND DUE TO DRIER AIR MOVING IN FROM THE NORTHEAST.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 301 AM CDT SAT AUG 1 2015/

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...
CONVECTION FROM YESTERDAY AFTERNOON HAS ENDED ACROSS THE AREA AND
WE ARE ONLY LEFT WITH ANVIL DEBRIS. WINDS ARE LIGHT AND VARIABLE
AND TEMPERATURES ARE CURRENTLY IN THE MIDDLE 70S. AS HEATING
OCCURS THIS MORNING EAST WINDS JUST OFF THE SURFACE...AS SEEN ON
AREA VAD WIND PROFILES...WILL BE ABLE TO MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE
AND THIS EASTERLY FLOW IS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL INTO TOMORROW. THE
AIRMASS TO OUR EAST IS MUCH DRIER WITH 60-65F DEWPOINTS IN PLACE.
THIS MEANS THAT DRY-AIR ADVECTION WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS MUCH OF
THE AREA LIMITING THUNDERSTORM CHANCES. THE DRY AIR IS EVIDENT ON
FORECASTED CAPE FIELDS WITH ONLY SMALL VALUES OF INSTABILITY
REMAINING ACROSS THE WESTERN COUNTIES. PW VALUES IN THIS REGION
WILL REMAIN ABOVE 1.5 INCHES AS THE DRIEST AIR REMAINS EAST OF
THIS AREA. WILL CONTINUE 20-30 POPS THIS AFTERNOON FOR LOCATIONS
WEST OF AN EAGLE PASS TO KERRVILLE LINE. TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO BE IN THE UPPER 90S TO 102 DEGREES AND ANY
THUNDERSTORMS THAT DO DEVELOP COULD PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS GIVEN
AMPLE DEWPOINT DEPRESSIONS. THE DRIER AIR WILL LIMIT THE POTENTIAL
FOR HIGHER HEAT INDICES THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE AREA.

DEWPOINTS IN THE 50S/60S WILL CONTINUE ON SUNDAY ONCE AGAIN
KEEPING HEAT INDEX VALUES BELOW 105 ACROSS THE AREA. HIGHS WILL
BE IN THE 96-102 DEGREE RANGE WITH THE COOLER TEMPERATURES ACROSS
THE NORTHERN HILL COUNTRY AND THE WARMER TEMPERATURES CLOSER TO
THE RIO GRANDE. THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE TOO DRY ACROSS OUR ENTIRE
CWA FOR ANY RAIN CHANCES ON SUNDAY.

LONG TERM (SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)...
THE EXTENDED FORECAST LOOKS TO BE RATHER QUIET AS HIGH PRESSURE
RE-ANCHORS TO OUR WEST AND BUILDS IN STRENGTH THROUGH THE WORK-
WEEK. SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL SLOWLY INCREASE SURFACE DEWPOINTS
THROUGH MID-WEEK AND WE SHOULD SEE THE HEAT INDICES SLOWLY CLIMB
AS WELL. THURSDAY LOOKS TO BE THE HOTTEST DAY AS 850 TEMPS WARM
ABOVE 25C ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. THIS SHOULD EQUATE TO HIGH
TEMPERATURES NEAR OR ABOVE 100 DEGREES FOR MUCH OF THE AREA
EXCLUDING THE NORTHERN HILL COUNTRY. AFTERNOON DEWPOINTS IN THE
MIDDLE 60S WILL ALLOW HEAT INDEX VALUES TO BE ABOVE 105 FOR MUCH
OF THE AREA. THE LONG TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST WILL REMAIN
RAIN FREE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              99  76 100  75 100 /  10  -   -    0  -
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  99  74  99  72  99 /  10  -   -    0  -
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT    100  74 100  74  99 /  10  -   -    0  -
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            98  74  98  74  99 /  10  -   -    0  -
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT          100  78 101  77 101 /  20  10  -    0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        98  75  99  75 100 /  10  -   -    0  -
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             99  74  99  73  99 /  10  -   -    0  -
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        99  74  99  74  99 /  10  -   -    0  -
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL  100  74 100  75  99 /  10  -   -    0  -
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       99  77  99  76  99 /  10  -   -    0  -
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT          100  76 100  76 100 /  10  -   -    0  -

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...OAKS
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...HAMPSHIRE




000
FXUS64 KEWX 011118
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
618 AM CDT SAT AUG 1 2015

.AVIATION... /12Z TAF UPDATE/
VFR SKIES ARE FORECAST AT TAF SITES THROUGH THE NEXT 24-30 HOURS.
WEAK DIVERGENCE PATTERN AND DRY NORTHEAST SURFACE WINDS SHOULD
LEAD TO LITTLE OR NO OVERNIGHT STRATUS BELOW 3000 FT...AND DRY AIR
AROUND THE I-35 TERMINALS SHOULD LIMIT THE POTENTIAL FOR FOG. A
FEW VSBY RESTRICTIONS COULD OCCUR THROUGH 15Z OVER THE HILL
COUNTRY AND ANY AREAS THAT RECEIVED A HEAVY SHOWER FROM FRIDAY. STORMS
COULD IMPACT DRT THIS AFTERNOON WITH SHIFTY OUTFLOW WINDS THAT
SHOULD DIMINISH IN THE EARLY EVENING. POCKETS OF MID LEVEL
CLOUDINESS COULD SPILL INTO THE HILL COUNTRY FROM THE NORTH
TONIGHT...BUT TAF SITES SHOULD SEE A DECREASING MID LEVEL CLOUD
TREND DUE TO DRIER AIR MOVING IN FROM THE NORTHEAST.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 301 AM CDT SAT AUG 1 2015/

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...
CONVECTION FROM YESTERDAY AFTERNOON HAS ENDED ACROSS THE AREA AND
WE ARE ONLY LEFT WITH ANVIL DEBRIS. WINDS ARE LIGHT AND VARIABLE
AND TEMPERATURES ARE CURRENTLY IN THE MIDDLE 70S. AS HEATING
OCCURS THIS MORNING EAST WINDS JUST OFF THE SURFACE...AS SEEN ON
AREA VAD WIND PROFILES...WILL BE ABLE TO MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE
AND THIS EASTERLY FLOW IS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL INTO TOMORROW. THE
AIRMASS TO OUR EAST IS MUCH DRIER WITH 60-65F DEWPOINTS IN PLACE.
THIS MEANS THAT DRY-AIR ADVECTION WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS MUCH OF
THE AREA LIMITING THUNDERSTORM CHANCES. THE DRY AIR IS EVIDENT ON
FORECASTED CAPE FIELDS WITH ONLY SMALL VALUES OF INSTABILITY
REMAINING ACROSS THE WESTERN COUNTIES. PW VALUES IN THIS REGION
WILL REMAIN ABOVE 1.5 INCHES AS THE DRIEST AIR REMAINS EAST OF
THIS AREA. WILL CONTINUE 20-30 POPS THIS AFTERNOON FOR LOCATIONS
WEST OF AN EAGLE PASS TO KERRVILLE LINE. TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO BE IN THE UPPER 90S TO 102 DEGREES AND ANY
THUNDERSTORMS THAT DO DEVELOP COULD PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS GIVEN
AMPLE DEWPOINT DEPRESSIONS. THE DRIER AIR WILL LIMIT THE POTENTIAL
FOR HIGHER HEAT INDICES THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE AREA.

DEWPOINTS IN THE 50S/60S WILL CONTINUE ON SUNDAY ONCE AGAIN
KEEPING HEAT INDEX VALUES BELOW 105 ACROSS THE AREA. HIGHS WILL
BE IN THE 96-102 DEGREE RANGE WITH THE COOLER TEMPERATURES ACROSS
THE NORTHERN HILL COUNTRY AND THE WARMER TEMPERATURES CLOSER TO
THE RIO GRANDE. THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE TOO DRY ACROSS OUR ENTIRE
CWA FOR ANY RAIN CHANCES ON SUNDAY.

LONG TERM (SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)...
THE EXTENDED FORECAST LOOKS TO BE RATHER QUIET AS HIGH PRESSURE
RE-ANCHORS TO OUR WEST AND BUILDS IN STRENGTH THROUGH THE WORK-
WEEK. SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL SLOWLY INCREASE SURFACE DEWPOINTS
THROUGH MID-WEEK AND WE SHOULD SEE THE HEAT INDICES SLOWLY CLIMB
AS WELL. THURSDAY LOOKS TO BE THE HOTTEST DAY AS 850 TEMPS WARM
ABOVE 25C ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. THIS SHOULD EQUATE TO HIGH
TEMPERATURES NEAR OR ABOVE 100 DEGREES FOR MUCH OF THE AREA
EXCLUDING THE NORTHERN HILL COUNTRY. AFTERNOON DEWPOINTS IN THE
MIDDLE 60S WILL ALLOW HEAT INDEX VALUES TO BE ABOVE 105 FOR MUCH
OF THE AREA. THE LONG TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST WILL REMAIN
RAIN FREE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              99  76 100  75 100 /  10  -   -    0  -
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  99  74  99  72  99 /  10  -   -    0  -
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT    100  74 100  74  99 /  10  -   -    0  -
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            98  74  98  74  99 /  10  -   -    0  -
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT          100  78 101  77 101 /  20  10  -    0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        98  75  99  75 100 /  10  -   -    0  -
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             99  74  99  73  99 /  10  -   -    0  -
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        99  74  99  74  99 /  10  -   -    0  -
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL  100  74 100  75  99 /  10  -   -    0  -
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       99  77  99  76  99 /  10  -   -    0  -
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT          100  76 100  76 100 /  10  -   -    0  -

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...OAKS
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...HAMPSHIRE




    US Dept of Commerce
    National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
    National Weather Service
    1325 East West Highway
    Silver Spring, MD 20910
    Page Author: NWS Internet Services Team
Disclaimer
Information Quality
Credits
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities