Home > Products > Valid Products > AFD

000
FXUS64 KEWX 251741
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1141 AM CST SUN JAN 25 2015

.UPDATE...18Z AVIATION BELOW.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD WITH JUST HIGH
CIRRUS OVERHEAD. WEAK SURFACE TROUGH HAS MOVED THROUGH THE TAF
SITES...AND WILL RESULT IN A NW WIND 8-12 KTS THIS AFTERNOON WITH
OCCASIONAL GUSTS 15-18 KTS. WIND WILL DIMINISH TO 5 KTS OR LESS
AFTER 00Z.

&&

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 251 AM CST SUN JAN 25 2015/

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH MONDAY)...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH THE AREA TODAY...BUT NOT MUCH
CHANGE OTHER THAN BREEZY AND SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR AS WEAK HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN BEHIND THE FRONT. A LITTLE BIT MORE SUNSHINE
WILL RESULT IN A FEW DEGREES HIGHER TEMPS ON MONDAY.

LONG TERM (MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)...
A LONGWAVE RIDGE WILL STAY IN PLACE THROUGH MID-WEEK...ALLOWING
FOR A SLOW WARMING TREND AND TEMPERATURES WELL ABOVE NORMAL
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. THE RIDGE BEGINS TO BREAKDOWN ON
THURSDAY...AND WHEN COMBINED WITH MOIST RETURN GULF FLOW...WILL
INCREASE HUMIDITY AND CLOUDCOVER. THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS ARE
HAVING A DIFFICULT TIME WITH THE DEVELOPMENT/PROGRESSION OF A
CUTOFF LOW INITIALLY OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA. EVEN ENSEMBLE FORECASTS
ARE NOT OF GREAT ASSISTANCE WITH CUTOFF LOWS...SHOWING QUITE A
SPREAD...THAT MAY NOT EVEN COVER THE ACTUAL EVOLUTION. ANOTHER
ISSUE WILL BE PHASING OF THIS LOW WITH A DEEP LONGWAVE TROUGH
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE GREAT LAKES AND MID-MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY...WHICH WOULD IMPACT THE AMOUNT OF NEAR-SURFACE COLD AIR
AND ANY POTENTIAL FOR WINTER PRECIPITATION NEXT SUNDAY/MONDAY.
GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY...THE BEST BET IS TO STICK WITH A STEADY
TREND TOWARD THE MOST LIKELY SENSIBLE WEATHER TO RESULT.
SPECIFICALLY...THAT WILL BE FOR CLOUDY SKIES...SCATTERED
SHOWERS... LIGHT TO MODERATE QPF...AND A SWING TO BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES. AS FAR AS PLANNING GOES...OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES ARE
BEST COMPLETED BY THURSDAY THIS NEXT WEEK TO AVOID RAIN/COLD.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              68  43  71  47  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  69  40  71  44  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     70  41  71  45  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            66  40  70  43  73 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           69  40  72  43  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        67  41  71  44  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             71  38  73  41  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        68  41  70  45  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   68  42  68  46  73 /   0   0   0   0   0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       69  43  73  46  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           70  42  73  44  75 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...76
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...03
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...00







000
FXUS64 KEWX 251152
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
552 AM CST SUN JAN 25 2015

.AVIATION... /12Z TAF UPDATE/
VFR SKIES ARE FORECAST THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH ONLY SOME HIGH
CLOUDINESS EXPECTED. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL INCREASE WINDS BY 18Z
WITH DECREASING TRENDS EXPECTED BY THE EVENING. TOP AFTERNOON
GUSTS WILL PROBABLY BE AROUND 20 KNOTS IN THE AUS AREA.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 251 AM CST SUN JAN 25 2015/

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH MONDAY)...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH THE AREA TODAY...BUT NOT MUCH
CHANGE OTHER THAN BREEZY AND SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR AS WEAK HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN BEHIND THE FRONT. A LITTLE BIT MORE SUNSHINE
WILL RESULT IN A FEW DEGREES HIGHER TEMPS ON MONDAY.

LONG TERM (MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)...
A LONGWAVE RIDGE WILL STAY IN PLACE THROUGH MID-WEEK...ALLOWING
FOR A SLOW WARMING TREND AND TEMPERATURES WELL ABOVE NORMAL
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. THE RIDGE BEGINS TO BREAKDOWN ON
THURSDAY...AND WHEN COMBINED WITH MOIST RETURN GULF FLOW...WILL
INCREASE HUMIDITY AND CLOUDCOVER. THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS ARE
HAVING A DIFFICULT TIME WITH THE DEVELOPMENT/PROGRESSION OF A
CUTOFF LOW INITIALLY OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA. EVEN ENSEMBLE FORECASTS
ARE NOT OF GREAT ASSISTANCE WITH CUTOFF LOWS...SHOWING QUITE A
SPREAD...THAT MAY NOT EVEN COVER THE ACTUAL EVOLUTION. ANOTHER
ISSUE WILL BE PHASING OF THIS LOW WITH A DEEP LONGWAVE TROUGH
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE GREAT LAKES AND MID-MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY...WHICH WOULD IMPACT THE AMOUNT OF NEAR-SURFACE COLD AIR
AND ANY POTENTIAL FOR WINTER PRECIPITATION NEXT SUNDAY/MONDAY.
GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY...THE BEST BET IS TO STICK WITH A STEADY
TREND TOWARD THE MOST LIKELY SENSIBLE WEATHER TO RESULT.
SPECIFICALLY...THAT WILL BE FOR CLOUDY SKIES...SCATTERED
SHOWERS... LIGHT TO MODERATE QPF...AND A SWING TO BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES. AS FAR AS PLANNING GOES...OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES ARE
BEST COMPLETED BY THURSDAY THIS NEXT WEEK TO AVOID RAIN/COLD.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              68  43  71  47  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  69  40  71  44  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     70  41  71  45  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            66  40  70  43  73 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           69  40  72  43  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        67  41  71  44  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             71  38  73  41  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        68  41  70  45  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   68  42  68  46  73 /   0   0   0   0   0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       69  43  73  46  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           70  42  73  44  75 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...18
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...26







000
FXUS64 KEWX 251152
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
552 AM CST SUN JAN 25 2015

.AVIATION... /12Z TAF UPDATE/
VFR SKIES ARE FORECAST THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH ONLY SOME HIGH
CLOUDINESS EXPECTED. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL INCREASE WINDS BY 18Z
WITH DECREASING TRENDS EXPECTED BY THE EVENING. TOP AFTERNOON
GUSTS WILL PROBABLY BE AROUND 20 KNOTS IN THE AUS AREA.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 251 AM CST SUN JAN 25 2015/

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH MONDAY)...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH THE AREA TODAY...BUT NOT MUCH
CHANGE OTHER THAN BREEZY AND SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR AS WEAK HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN BEHIND THE FRONT. A LITTLE BIT MORE SUNSHINE
WILL RESULT IN A FEW DEGREES HIGHER TEMPS ON MONDAY.

LONG TERM (MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)...
A LONGWAVE RIDGE WILL STAY IN PLACE THROUGH MID-WEEK...ALLOWING
FOR A SLOW WARMING TREND AND TEMPERATURES WELL ABOVE NORMAL
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. THE RIDGE BEGINS TO BREAKDOWN ON
THURSDAY...AND WHEN COMBINED WITH MOIST RETURN GULF FLOW...WILL
INCREASE HUMIDITY AND CLOUDCOVER. THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS ARE
HAVING A DIFFICULT TIME WITH THE DEVELOPMENT/PROGRESSION OF A
CUTOFF LOW INITIALLY OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA. EVEN ENSEMBLE FORECASTS
ARE NOT OF GREAT ASSISTANCE WITH CUTOFF LOWS...SHOWING QUITE A
SPREAD...THAT MAY NOT EVEN COVER THE ACTUAL EVOLUTION. ANOTHER
ISSUE WILL BE PHASING OF THIS LOW WITH A DEEP LONGWAVE TROUGH
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE GREAT LAKES AND MID-MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY...WHICH WOULD IMPACT THE AMOUNT OF NEAR-SURFACE COLD AIR
AND ANY POTENTIAL FOR WINTER PRECIPITATION NEXT SUNDAY/MONDAY.
GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY...THE BEST BET IS TO STICK WITH A STEADY
TREND TOWARD THE MOST LIKELY SENSIBLE WEATHER TO RESULT.
SPECIFICALLY...THAT WILL BE FOR CLOUDY SKIES...SCATTERED
SHOWERS... LIGHT TO MODERATE QPF...AND A SWING TO BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES. AS FAR AS PLANNING GOES...OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES ARE
BEST COMPLETED BY THURSDAY THIS NEXT WEEK TO AVOID RAIN/COLD.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              68  43  71  47  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  69  40  71  44  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     70  41  71  45  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            66  40  70  43  73 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           69  40  72  43  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        67  41  71  44  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             71  38  73  41  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        68  41  70  45  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   68  42  68  46  73 /   0   0   0   0   0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       69  43  73  46  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           70  42  73  44  75 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...18
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...26








000
FXUS64 KEWX 250851
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
251 AM CST SUN JAN 25 2015

.SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH MONDAY)...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH THE AREA TODAY...BUT NOT MUCH
CHANGE OTHER THAN BREEZY AND SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR AS WEAK HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN BEHIND THE FRONT. A LITTLE BIT MORE SUNSHINE
WILL RESULT IN A FEW DEGREES HIGHER TEMPS ON MONDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM (MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)...
A LONGWAVE RIDGE WILL STAY IN PLACE THROUGH MID-WEEK...ALLOWING
FOR A SLOW WARMING TREND AND TEMPERATURES WELL ABOVE NORMAL
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. THE RIDGE BEGINS TO BREAKDOWN ON
THURSDAY...AND WHEN COMBINED WITH MOIST RETURN GULF FLOW...WILL
INCREASE HUMIDITY AND CLOUDCOVER. THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS ARE
HAVING A DIFFICULT TIME WITH THE DEVELOPMENT/PROGRESSION OF A
CUTOFF LOW INITIALLY OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA. EVEN ENSEMBLE FORECASTS
ARE NOT OF GREAT ASSISTANCE WITH CUTOFF LOWS...SHOWING QUITE A
SPREAD...THAT MAY NOT EVEN COVER THE ACTUAL EVOLUTION. ANOTHER
ISSUE WILL BE PHASING OF THIS LOW WITH A DEEP LONGWAVE TROUGH
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE GREAT LAKES AND MID-MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY...WHICH WOULD IMPACT THE AMOUNT OF NEAR-SURFACE COLD AIR
AND ANY POTENTIAL FOR WINTER PRECIPITATION NEXT SUNDAY/MONDAY.
GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY...THE BEST BET IS TO STICK WITH A STEADY
TREND TOWARD THE MOST LIKELY SENSIBLE WEATHER TO RESULT.
SPECIFICALLY...THAT WILL BE FOR CLOUDY SKIES...SCATTERED
SHOWERS... LIGHT TO MODERATE QPF...AND A SWING TO BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES. AS FAR AS PLANNING GOES...OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES ARE
BEST COMPLETED BY THURSDAY THIS NEXT WEEK TO AVOID RAIN/COLD.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              68  43  71  47  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  69  40  71  44  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     70  41  71  45  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            66  40  70  43  73 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           69  40  72  43  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        67  41  71  44  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             71  38  73  41  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        68  41  70  45  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   68  42  68  46  73 /   0   0   0   0   0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       69  43  73  46  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           70  42  73  44  75 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...18
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...26






000
FXUS64 KEWX 250851
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
251 AM CST SUN JAN 25 2015

.SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH MONDAY)...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH THE AREA TODAY...BUT NOT MUCH
CHANGE OTHER THAN BREEZY AND SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR AS WEAK HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN BEHIND THE FRONT. A LITTLE BIT MORE SUNSHINE
WILL RESULT IN A FEW DEGREES HIGHER TEMPS ON MONDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM (MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)...
A LONGWAVE RIDGE WILL STAY IN PLACE THROUGH MID-WEEK...ALLOWING
FOR A SLOW WARMING TREND AND TEMPERATURES WELL ABOVE NORMAL
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. THE RIDGE BEGINS TO BREAKDOWN ON
THURSDAY...AND WHEN COMBINED WITH MOIST RETURN GULF FLOW...WILL
INCREASE HUMIDITY AND CLOUDCOVER. THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS ARE
HAVING A DIFFICULT TIME WITH THE DEVELOPMENT/PROGRESSION OF A
CUTOFF LOW INITIALLY OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA. EVEN ENSEMBLE FORECASTS
ARE NOT OF GREAT ASSISTANCE WITH CUTOFF LOWS...SHOWING QUITE A
SPREAD...THAT MAY NOT EVEN COVER THE ACTUAL EVOLUTION. ANOTHER
ISSUE WILL BE PHASING OF THIS LOW WITH A DEEP LONGWAVE TROUGH
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE GREAT LAKES AND MID-MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY...WHICH WOULD IMPACT THE AMOUNT OF NEAR-SURFACE COLD AIR
AND ANY POTENTIAL FOR WINTER PRECIPITATION NEXT SUNDAY/MONDAY.
GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY...THE BEST BET IS TO STICK WITH A STEADY
TREND TOWARD THE MOST LIKELY SENSIBLE WEATHER TO RESULT.
SPECIFICALLY...THAT WILL BE FOR CLOUDY SKIES...SCATTERED
SHOWERS... LIGHT TO MODERATE QPF...AND A SWING TO BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES. AS FAR AS PLANNING GOES...OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES ARE
BEST COMPLETED BY THURSDAY THIS NEXT WEEK TO AVOID RAIN/COLD.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              68  43  71  47  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  69  40  71  44  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     70  41  71  45  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            66  40  70  43  73 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           69  40  72  43  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        67  41  71  44  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             71  38  73  41  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        68  41  70  45  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   68  42  68  46  73 /   0   0   0   0   0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       69  43  73  46  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           70  42  73  44  75 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...18
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...26







000
FXUS64 KEWX 250453 AAA
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1053 PM CST SAT JAN 24 2015

.AVIATION...
/06Z TAFS/
PRETTY MUCH SIMILAR AVIATION CONDITIONS AS PER PREVIOUS AVIATION
FORECAST DISCUSSION. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS AREA
TERMINALS FOR MOST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. HOWEVER...SHALLOW
GROUND PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE AROUND DAWN AT KAUS AND KDRT AND
VSBYS COULD LOWER TO MVFR. THIS CONDITIONS COULD LAST FOR COUPLE
OF HOURS WITH VSBYS COMING BACK UP TO VFR CATEGORY BY 14Z SUNDAY.
A SURFACE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO PUSH ACROSS THE AREA MID-MORNING
SUNDAY. IN THE WAKE OF THE TROUGH...BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS AND
GUSTY CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED WITH GUSTS UP TO 22 KNOTS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 552 PM CST SAT JAN 24 2015/

AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS AREA TERMINALS FOR MOST OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD. HOWEVER...SOME GROUND PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE
AROUND DAWN AND PROBABLY LOWERING VSBYS AT KAUS AND KDRT. THIS
CONDITIONS COULD LAST FOR COUPLE OF HOURS WITH VSBYS COMING BACK
UP TO VFR CATEGORY BY 14Z SUNDAY. A SURFACE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO
PUSH ACROSS THE AREA MID-MORNING SUNDAY. IN THE WAKE OF THE
TROUGH...BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS AND GUSTY CONDITIONS ARE
ANTICIPATED WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KNOTS.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 249 PM CST SAT JAN 24 2015/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)...
THE MAIN CONCERNS OF THE SHORT TERM PERIOD WAS REALLY THE MIN
TEMPERATURE AND WIND FIELDS FOR TOMORROW MORNING AND THROUGHOUT
THE DAY. A FRONTAL PASSAGE IS FORECAST TO MOVE THROUGH THE
AREA...ENTERING THE NORTHERN CWA BY MID DAY AND THROUGH THE AREA
BY LATE AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING. DUE TO THE LATE ARRIVAL OF THE
WEAK FRONT...DONT EXPECT DIURNAL HEATING TO BE IMPACTED TOO MUCH.
THEREFORE THINK MAX TS TOMORROW WONT NEED MUCH DEVIATION FROM
GUIDANCE. FOR THE LOW TONIGHT THOUGH...A PRETTY GOOD RADIATIONAL
COOLING SET UP LOOKS TO BE IN PLACE WITH ONLY MEAGER HIGH CLOUD
COVER AND A WEAK WIND FIELD IN PLACE...THUS LOWERED TEMPERATURES
BELOW GUIDANCE VALUES AS THEY HAVE BEEN TRENDING A COUPLE DEGREES
TOO WARM OVER THE PAST COUPLE DAYS. OTHERWISE QUIET SHORT TERM PERIOD.

LONG TERM (MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...
THE MAJORITY OF THE LONG TERM PERIOD WILL BE RATHER QUIET. 500 MB
RIDGING WILL TAKE PLACE BEGINNING MONDAY AND THICKNESSES WILL BE
ON THE INCREASE AS WELL. A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY OR TWO MAY TRY TO
IMPACT SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS OVER THE COURSE OF NEXT WEEK BUT
OVERALL THESE WILL ONLY RESULT IN WIND SHIFTS. A SFC HIGH PRESSURE
CENTER WILL SHIFT FROM THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY TO CORPUS CHRISTI AND
THEN OFF SHORE WHICH WILL EFFECTIVELY SHIFT WINDS FROM NORTH EARLY
IN THE WEEK...WESTERLY MID WEEK...AND BACK TO SOUTHERLY BY THE END
OF THE WEEK. THIS SHOULD ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO WARM NICELY BY MID
WEEK...EVEN INTO THE MID 70S FOR MUCH OF THE AREA BY WEDNESDAY. IT
ISNT UNTIL LATE IN THE EXTENDED THAT WE SEE THE NEXT APPRECIABLE
SYSTEM. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL TRANSLATE FROM THE PACIFIC COAST
ACROSS MEXICO AND INTO WEST TEXAS BY THE WEEKEND AND MOISTURE
RETURN FRIDAY SHOULD EQUATE TO GOOD RAIN CHANCES. SYSTEM EVOLUTION
AND TIMING IS UNCLEAR DUE TO MODEL DISAGREEMENT AT 200+ HRS BUT IT
DOES LOOK LIKE CHANCE POPS ARE WARRANTED IN THE SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY TIME FRAME. WILL LET LATER SHIFTS COMMENT ON SYSTEM DETAILS
AT THIS POINT.

TB3

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              40  69  40  71  46 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  34  68  38  70  43 /   0   0   0   0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     37  72  39  72  45 /   0   0   0   0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            37  66  36  70  43 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           36  68  38  73  44 /   0   0   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        38  68  38  70  44 /   0   0   0   0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             32  70  36  73  43 /   0   0   0   0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        35  70  38  70  44 /   0   0   0   0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   39  68  42  68  45 /   0  10  10  10  10
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       40  72  40  72  46 /   0   0   0   0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           36  70  39  72  45 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...17
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...29
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...33






000
FXUS64 KEWX 250453 AAA
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1053 PM CST SAT JAN 24 2015

.AVIATION...
/06Z TAFS/
PRETTY MUCH SIMILAR AVIATION CONDITIONS AS PER PREVIOUS AVIATION
FORECAST DISCUSSION. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS AREA
TERMINALS FOR MOST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. HOWEVER...SHALLOW
GROUND PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE AROUND DAWN AT KAUS AND KDRT AND
VSBYS COULD LOWER TO MVFR. THIS CONDITIONS COULD LAST FOR COUPLE
OF HOURS WITH VSBYS COMING BACK UP TO VFR CATEGORY BY 14Z SUNDAY.
A SURFACE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO PUSH ACROSS THE AREA MID-MORNING
SUNDAY. IN THE WAKE OF THE TROUGH...BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS AND
GUSTY CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED WITH GUSTS UP TO 22 KNOTS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 552 PM CST SAT JAN 24 2015/

AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS AREA TERMINALS FOR MOST OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD. HOWEVER...SOME GROUND PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE
AROUND DAWN AND PROBABLY LOWERING VSBYS AT KAUS AND KDRT. THIS
CONDITIONS COULD LAST FOR COUPLE OF HOURS WITH VSBYS COMING BACK
UP TO VFR CATEGORY BY 14Z SUNDAY. A SURFACE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO
PUSH ACROSS THE AREA MID-MORNING SUNDAY. IN THE WAKE OF THE
TROUGH...BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS AND GUSTY CONDITIONS ARE
ANTICIPATED WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KNOTS.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 249 PM CST SAT JAN 24 2015/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)...
THE MAIN CONCERNS OF THE SHORT TERM PERIOD WAS REALLY THE MIN
TEMPERATURE AND WIND FIELDS FOR TOMORROW MORNING AND THROUGHOUT
THE DAY. A FRONTAL PASSAGE IS FORECAST TO MOVE THROUGH THE
AREA...ENTERING THE NORTHERN CWA BY MID DAY AND THROUGH THE AREA
BY LATE AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING. DUE TO THE LATE ARRIVAL OF THE
WEAK FRONT...DONT EXPECT DIURNAL HEATING TO BE IMPACTED TOO MUCH.
THEREFORE THINK MAX TS TOMORROW WONT NEED MUCH DEVIATION FROM
GUIDANCE. FOR THE LOW TONIGHT THOUGH...A PRETTY GOOD RADIATIONAL
COOLING SET UP LOOKS TO BE IN PLACE WITH ONLY MEAGER HIGH CLOUD
COVER AND A WEAK WIND FIELD IN PLACE...THUS LOWERED TEMPERATURES
BELOW GUIDANCE VALUES AS THEY HAVE BEEN TRENDING A COUPLE DEGREES
TOO WARM OVER THE PAST COUPLE DAYS. OTHERWISE QUIET SHORT TERM PERIOD.

LONG TERM (MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...
THE MAJORITY OF THE LONG TERM PERIOD WILL BE RATHER QUIET. 500 MB
RIDGING WILL TAKE PLACE BEGINNING MONDAY AND THICKNESSES WILL BE
ON THE INCREASE AS WELL. A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY OR TWO MAY TRY TO
IMPACT SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS OVER THE COURSE OF NEXT WEEK BUT
OVERALL THESE WILL ONLY RESULT IN WIND SHIFTS. A SFC HIGH PRESSURE
CENTER WILL SHIFT FROM THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY TO CORPUS CHRISTI AND
THEN OFF SHORE WHICH WILL EFFECTIVELY SHIFT WINDS FROM NORTH EARLY
IN THE WEEK...WESTERLY MID WEEK...AND BACK TO SOUTHERLY BY THE END
OF THE WEEK. THIS SHOULD ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO WARM NICELY BY MID
WEEK...EVEN INTO THE MID 70S FOR MUCH OF THE AREA BY WEDNESDAY. IT
ISNT UNTIL LATE IN THE EXTENDED THAT WE SEE THE NEXT APPRECIABLE
SYSTEM. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL TRANSLATE FROM THE PACIFIC COAST
ACROSS MEXICO AND INTO WEST TEXAS BY THE WEEKEND AND MOISTURE
RETURN FRIDAY SHOULD EQUATE TO GOOD RAIN CHANCES. SYSTEM EVOLUTION
AND TIMING IS UNCLEAR DUE TO MODEL DISAGREEMENT AT 200+ HRS BUT IT
DOES LOOK LIKE CHANCE POPS ARE WARRANTED IN THE SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY TIME FRAME. WILL LET LATER SHIFTS COMMENT ON SYSTEM DETAILS
AT THIS POINT.

TB3

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              40  69  40  71  46 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  34  68  38  70  43 /   0   0   0   0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     37  72  39  72  45 /   0   0   0   0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            37  66  36  70  43 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           36  68  38  73  44 /   0   0   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        38  68  38  70  44 /   0   0   0   0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             32  70  36  73  43 /   0   0   0   0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        35  70  38  70  44 /   0   0   0   0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   39  68  42  68  45 /   0  10  10  10  10
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       40  72  40  72  46 /   0   0   0   0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           36  70  39  72  45 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...17
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...29
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...33







000
FXUS64 KEWX 242352 AAA
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
552 PM CST SAT JAN 24 2015

.AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS AREA TERMINALS FOR MOST OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD. HOWEVER...SOME GROUND PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE
AROUND DAWN AND PROBABLY LOWERING VSBYS AT KAUS AND KDRT. THIS
CONDITIONS COULD LAST FOR COUPLE OF HOURS WITH VSBYS COMING BACK
UP TO VFR CATEGORY BY 14Z SUNDAY. A SURFACE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO
PUSH ACROSS THE AREA MID-MORNING SUNDAY. IN THE WAKE OF THE
TROUGH...BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS AND GUSTY CONDITIONS ARE
ANTICIPATED WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KNOTS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 249 PM CST SAT JAN 24 2015/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)...
THE MAIN CONCERNS OF THE SHORT TERM PERIOD WAS REALLY THE MIN
TEMPERATURE AND WIND FIELDS FOR TOMORROW MORNING AND THROUGHOUT
THE DAY. A FRONTAL PASSAGE IS FORECAST TO MOVE THROUGH THE
AREA...ENTERING THE NORTHERN CWA BY MID DAY AND THROUGH THE AREA
BY LATE AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING. DUE TO THE LATE ARRIVAL OF THE
WEAK FRONT...DONT EXPECT DIURNAL HEATING TO BE IMPACTED TOO MUCH.
THEREFORE THINK MAX TS TOMORROW WONT NEED MUCH DEVIATION FROM
GUIDANCE. FOR THE LOW TONIGHT THOUGH...A PRETTY GOOD RADIATIONAL
COOLING SET UP LOOKS TO BE IN PLACE WITH ONLY MEAGER HIGH CLOUD
COVER AND A WEAK WIND FIELD IN PLACE...THUS LOWERED TEMPERATURES
BELOW GUIDANCE VALUES AS THEY HAVE BEEN TRENDING A COUPLE DEGREES
TOO WARM OVER THE PAST COUPLE DAYS. OTHERWISE QUIET SHORT TERM PERIOD.

LONG TERM (MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...
THE MAJORITY OF THE LONG TERM PERIOD WILL BE RATHER QUIET. 500 MB
RIDGING WILL TAKE PLACE BEGINNING MONDAY AND THICKNESSES WILL BE
ON THE INCREASE AS WELL. A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY OR TWO MAY TRY TO
IMPACT SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS OVER THE COURSE OF NEXT WEEK BUT
OVERALL THESE WILL ONLY RESULT IN WIND SHIFTS. A SFC HIGH PRESSURE
CENTER WILL SHIFT FROM THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY TO CORPUS CHRISTI AND
THEN OFF SHORE WHICH WILL EFFECTIVELY SHIFT WINDS FROM NORTH EARLY
IN THE WEEK...WESTERLY MID WEEK...AND BACK TO SOUTHERLY BY THE END
OF THE WEEK. THIS SHOULD ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO WARM NICELY BY MID
WEEK...EVEN INTO THE MID 70S FOR MUCH OF THE AREA BY WEDNESDAY. IT
ISNT UNTIL LATE IN THE EXTENDED THAT WE SEE THE NEXT APPRECIABLE
SYSTEM. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL TRANSLATE FROM THE PACIFIC COAST
ACROSS MEXICO AND INTO WEST TEXAS BY THE WEEKEND AND MOISTURE
RETURN FRIDAY SHOULD EQUATE TO GOOD RAIN CHANCES. SYSTEM EVOLUTION
AND TIMING IS UNCLEAR DUE TO MODEL DISAGREEMENT AT 200+ HRS BUT IT
DOES LOOK LIKE CHANCE POPS ARE WARRANTED IN THE SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY TIME FRAME. WILL LET LATER SHIFTS COMMENT ON SYSTEM DETAILS
AT THIS POINT.

TB3

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              40  69  40  71  46 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  34  68  38  70  43 /   0   0   0   0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     37  72  39  72  45 /   0   0   0   0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            37  66  36  70  43 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           36  68  38  73  44 /   0   0   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        38  68  38  70  44 /   0   0   0   0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             32  70  36  73  43 /   0   0   0   0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        35  70  38  70  44 /   0   0   0   0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   39  68  42  68  45 /   0  10  10  10  10
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       40  72  40  72  46 /   0   0   0   0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           36  70  39  72  45 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...17
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...29
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...33







000
FXUS64 KEWX 242352 AAA
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
552 PM CST SAT JAN 24 2015

.AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS AREA TERMINALS FOR MOST OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD. HOWEVER...SOME GROUND PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE
AROUND DAWN AND PROBABLY LOWERING VSBYS AT KAUS AND KDRT. THIS
CONDITIONS COULD LAST FOR COUPLE OF HOURS WITH VSBYS COMING BACK
UP TO VFR CATEGORY BY 14Z SUNDAY. A SURFACE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO
PUSH ACROSS THE AREA MID-MORNING SUNDAY. IN THE WAKE OF THE
TROUGH...BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS AND GUSTY CONDITIONS ARE
ANTICIPATED WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KNOTS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 249 PM CST SAT JAN 24 2015/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)...
THE MAIN CONCERNS OF THE SHORT TERM PERIOD WAS REALLY THE MIN
TEMPERATURE AND WIND FIELDS FOR TOMORROW MORNING AND THROUGHOUT
THE DAY. A FRONTAL PASSAGE IS FORECAST TO MOVE THROUGH THE
AREA...ENTERING THE NORTHERN CWA BY MID DAY AND THROUGH THE AREA
BY LATE AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING. DUE TO THE LATE ARRIVAL OF THE
WEAK FRONT...DONT EXPECT DIURNAL HEATING TO BE IMPACTED TOO MUCH.
THEREFORE THINK MAX TS TOMORROW WONT NEED MUCH DEVIATION FROM
GUIDANCE. FOR THE LOW TONIGHT THOUGH...A PRETTY GOOD RADIATIONAL
COOLING SET UP LOOKS TO BE IN PLACE WITH ONLY MEAGER HIGH CLOUD
COVER AND A WEAK WIND FIELD IN PLACE...THUS LOWERED TEMPERATURES
BELOW GUIDANCE VALUES AS THEY HAVE BEEN TRENDING A COUPLE DEGREES
TOO WARM OVER THE PAST COUPLE DAYS. OTHERWISE QUIET SHORT TERM PERIOD.

LONG TERM (MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...
THE MAJORITY OF THE LONG TERM PERIOD WILL BE RATHER QUIET. 500 MB
RIDGING WILL TAKE PLACE BEGINNING MONDAY AND THICKNESSES WILL BE
ON THE INCREASE AS WELL. A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY OR TWO MAY TRY TO
IMPACT SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS OVER THE COURSE OF NEXT WEEK BUT
OVERALL THESE WILL ONLY RESULT IN WIND SHIFTS. A SFC HIGH PRESSURE
CENTER WILL SHIFT FROM THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY TO CORPUS CHRISTI AND
THEN OFF SHORE WHICH WILL EFFECTIVELY SHIFT WINDS FROM NORTH EARLY
IN THE WEEK...WESTERLY MID WEEK...AND BACK TO SOUTHERLY BY THE END
OF THE WEEK. THIS SHOULD ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO WARM NICELY BY MID
WEEK...EVEN INTO THE MID 70S FOR MUCH OF THE AREA BY WEDNESDAY. IT
ISNT UNTIL LATE IN THE EXTENDED THAT WE SEE THE NEXT APPRECIABLE
SYSTEM. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL TRANSLATE FROM THE PACIFIC COAST
ACROSS MEXICO AND INTO WEST TEXAS BY THE WEEKEND AND MOISTURE
RETURN FRIDAY SHOULD EQUATE TO GOOD RAIN CHANCES. SYSTEM EVOLUTION
AND TIMING IS UNCLEAR DUE TO MODEL DISAGREEMENT AT 200+ HRS BUT IT
DOES LOOK LIKE CHANCE POPS ARE WARRANTED IN THE SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY TIME FRAME. WILL LET LATER SHIFTS COMMENT ON SYSTEM DETAILS
AT THIS POINT.

TB3

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              40  69  40  71  46 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  34  68  38  70  43 /   0   0   0   0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     37  72  39  72  45 /   0   0   0   0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            37  66  36  70  43 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           36  68  38  73  44 /   0   0   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        38  68  38  70  44 /   0   0   0   0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             32  70  36  73  43 /   0   0   0   0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        35  70  38  70  44 /   0   0   0   0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   39  68  42  68  45 /   0  10  10  10  10
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       40  72  40  72  46 /   0   0   0   0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           36  70  39  72  45 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...17
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...29
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...33






000
FXUS64 KEWX 242049
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
249 PM CST SAT JAN 24 2015

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)...
THE MAIN CONCERNS OF THE SHORT TERM PERIOD WAS REALLY THE MIN
TEMPERATURE AND WIND FIELDS FOR TOMORROW MORNING AND THROUGHOUT
THE DAY. A FRONTAL PASSAGE IS FORECAST TO MOVE THROUGH THE
AREA...ENTERING THE NORTHERN CWA BY MID DAY AND THROUGH THE AREA
BY LATE AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING. DUE TO THE LATE ARRIVAL OF THE
WEAK FRONT...DONT EXPECT DIURNAL HEATING TO BE IMPACTED TOO MUCH.
THEREFORE THINK MAX TS TOMORROW WONT NEED MUCH DEVIATION FROM
GUIDANCE. FOR THE LOW TONIGHT THOUGH...A PRETTY GOOD RADIATIONAL
COOLING SET UP LOOKS TO BE IN PLACE WITH ONLY MEAGER HIGH CLOUD
COVER AND A WEAK WIND FIELD IN PLACE...THUS LOWERED TEMPERATURES
BELOW GUIDANCE VALUES AS THEY HAVE BEEN TRENDING A COUPLE DEGREES
TOO WARM OVER THE PAST COUPLE DAYS. OTHERWISE QUIET SHORT TERM PERIOD.

&&

.LONG TERM (MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...
THE MAJORITY OF THE LONG TERM PERIOD WILL BE RATHER QUIET. 500 MB
RIDGING WILL TAKE PLACE BEGINNING MONDAY AND THICKNESSES WILL BE
ON THE INCREASE AS WELL. A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY OR TWO MAY TRY TO
IMPACT SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS OVER THE COURSE OF NEXT WEEK BUT
OVERALL THESE WILL ONLY RESULT IN WIND SHIFTS. A SFC HIGH PRESSURE
CENTER WILL SHIFT FROM THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY TO CORPUS CHRISTI AND
THEN OFF SHORE WHICH WILL EFFECTIVELY SHIFT WINDS FROM NORTH EARLY
IN THE WEEK...WESTERLY MID WEEK...AND BACK TO SOUTHERLY BY THE END
OF THE WEEK. THIS SHOULD ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO WARM NICELY BY MID
WEEK...EVEN INTO THE MID 70S FOR MUCH OF THE AREA BY WEDNESDAY. IT
ISNT UNTIL LATE IN THE EXTENDED THAT WE SEE THE NEXT APPRECIABLE
SYSTEM. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL TRANSLATE FROM THE PACIFIC COAST
ACROSS MEXICO AND INTO WEST TEXAS BY THE WEEKEND AND MOISTURE
RETURN FRIDAY SHOULD EQUATE TO GOOD RAIN CHANCES. SYSTEM EVOLUTION
AND TIMING IS UNCLEAR DUE TO MODEL DISAGREEMENT AT 200+ HRS BUT IT
DOES LOOK LIKE CHANCE POPS ARE WARRANTED IN THE SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY TIME FRAME. WILL LET LATER SHIFTS COMMENT ON SYSTEM DETAILS
AT THIS POINT.

TB3

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              40  69  40  71  46 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  34  68  38  70  43 /   0   0   0   0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     37  72  39  72  45 /   0   0   0   0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            37  66  36  70  43 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           36  68  38  73  44 /   0   0   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        38  68  38  70  44 /   0   0   0   0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             32  70  36  73  43 /   0   0   0   0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        35  70  38  70  44 /   0   0   0   0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   39  68  42  68  45 /   0  10  10  10  10
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       40  72  40  72  46 /   0   0   0   0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           36  70  39  72  45 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...00
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...03
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...30






000
FXUS64 KEWX 242049
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
249 PM CST SAT JAN 24 2015

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)...
THE MAIN CONCERNS OF THE SHORT TERM PERIOD WAS REALLY THE MIN
TEMPERATURE AND WIND FIELDS FOR TOMORROW MORNING AND THROUGHOUT
THE DAY. A FRONTAL PASSAGE IS FORECAST TO MOVE THROUGH THE
AREA...ENTERING THE NORTHERN CWA BY MID DAY AND THROUGH THE AREA
BY LATE AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING. DUE TO THE LATE ARRIVAL OF THE
WEAK FRONT...DONT EXPECT DIURNAL HEATING TO BE IMPACTED TOO MUCH.
THEREFORE THINK MAX TS TOMORROW WONT NEED MUCH DEVIATION FROM
GUIDANCE. FOR THE LOW TONIGHT THOUGH...A PRETTY GOOD RADIATIONAL
COOLING SET UP LOOKS TO BE IN PLACE WITH ONLY MEAGER HIGH CLOUD
COVER AND A WEAK WIND FIELD IN PLACE...THUS LOWERED TEMPERATURES
BELOW GUIDANCE VALUES AS THEY HAVE BEEN TRENDING A COUPLE DEGREES
TOO WARM OVER THE PAST COUPLE DAYS. OTHERWISE QUIET SHORT TERM PERIOD.

&&

.LONG TERM (MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...
THE MAJORITY OF THE LONG TERM PERIOD WILL BE RATHER QUIET. 500 MB
RIDGING WILL TAKE PLACE BEGINNING MONDAY AND THICKNESSES WILL BE
ON THE INCREASE AS WELL. A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY OR TWO MAY TRY TO
IMPACT SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS OVER THE COURSE OF NEXT WEEK BUT
OVERALL THESE WILL ONLY RESULT IN WIND SHIFTS. A SFC HIGH PRESSURE
CENTER WILL SHIFT FROM THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY TO CORPUS CHRISTI AND
THEN OFF SHORE WHICH WILL EFFECTIVELY SHIFT WINDS FROM NORTH EARLY
IN THE WEEK...WESTERLY MID WEEK...AND BACK TO SOUTHERLY BY THE END
OF THE WEEK. THIS SHOULD ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO WARM NICELY BY MID
WEEK...EVEN INTO THE MID 70S FOR MUCH OF THE AREA BY WEDNESDAY. IT
ISNT UNTIL LATE IN THE EXTENDED THAT WE SEE THE NEXT APPRECIABLE
SYSTEM. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL TRANSLATE FROM THE PACIFIC COAST
ACROSS MEXICO AND INTO WEST TEXAS BY THE WEEKEND AND MOISTURE
RETURN FRIDAY SHOULD EQUATE TO GOOD RAIN CHANCES. SYSTEM EVOLUTION
AND TIMING IS UNCLEAR DUE TO MODEL DISAGREEMENT AT 200+ HRS BUT IT
DOES LOOK LIKE CHANCE POPS ARE WARRANTED IN THE SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY TIME FRAME. WILL LET LATER SHIFTS COMMENT ON SYSTEM DETAILS
AT THIS POINT.

TB3

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              40  69  40  71  46 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  34  68  38  70  43 /   0   0   0   0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     37  72  39  72  45 /   0   0   0   0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            37  66  36  70  43 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           36  68  38  73  44 /   0   0   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        38  68  38  70  44 /   0   0   0   0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             32  70  36  73  43 /   0   0   0   0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        35  70  38  70  44 /   0   0   0   0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   39  68  42  68  45 /   0  10  10  10  10
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       40  72  40  72  46 /   0   0   0   0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           36  70  39  72  45 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...00
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...03
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...30







000
FXUS64 KEWX 241754
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1154 AM CST SAT JAN 24 2015

.AVIATION...
/18Z TAF UPDATE/
VFR CONDITIONS WITH WINDS GENERALLY BELOW 10 KT EXPECTED THROUGH
THE FORECAST PERIOD...EXCEPT FOR MVFR CONDITIONS AROUND 10-14Z AT
DRT WHERE PATCHY FOG MAY BRIEFLY REDUCE VISIBILITIES. SURFACE
DEW POINT DEPRESSIONS SHOULD BE LOW ENOUGH AT SSF/SAT TO PREVENT
PATCHY FOG FROM DEVELOPING...BUT AUS COULD SEE SOME SHALLOW GROUND
FOG AROUND SUNRISE.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 602 AM CST SAT JAN 24 2015/

AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WITH GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS EXPECTED THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD. THE ONLY ISSUE IS PATCHY FOG AT KDRT...WHICH
SHOULD DISSIPATE BY 16Z.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 349 AM CST SAT JAN 24 2015/

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...
PERSISTENT TROUGHING OVER THE SUBTROPICAL EASTERN PACIFIC WILL
SEND ABUNDANT HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS ACROSS NRN MEXICO THIS WEEKEND. THE
COLD AIR ADVECTION PATTERN HAS ENDED WITH LIGHT WESTERLY LOW LEVEL
WINDS...SO THE FILTERED SUN SHOULD STILL BE ABLE TO REBOUND
TEMPERATURES TO NEAR LATE JANUARY NORMALS THIS AFTERNOON. SLIGHTLY
WARMER MINS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT OVER THOSE OF THIS MORNING...BUT
DRY DEW-POINTS AND LIGHT WINDS SHOULD STILL KEEP MINS SLIGHTLY
BELOW NORMALS WITH ISOLATED LIGHT FREEZES POSSIBLE OVER THE HILL
COUNTRY.

THE PRESENCE OF THE HIGH CLOUDS SHOULD HELP MINIMIZE THE
POTENTIAL FOR LOW LEVEL SATURATION AND FOG DESPITE SOGGY SOIL
CONDITIONS. A SHORTWAVE TROUGH DROPPING INTO THE MIDWEST IS
TRENDING STRONGER AND IS LIKELY TO REINFORCE DRY NORTHERLY WINDS
WITH A WEAK FRONT TO SLIP INTO THE AREA BY MIDDAY SUNDAY. SOME
MIXING OF WESTERLY WINDS ALOFT COULD LIMIT THE COLD AIR ADVECTION
POTENTIAL UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING...SO A SUBTLE WARMING TREND SHOULD
CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAYTIME.

LONG TERM (SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)...
THE DRY AIR REINFORCEMENT LATE SUNDAY AND SUBSEQUENT WEAKENING OF
SURFACE WINDS EARLY MONDAY MORNING COULD SUPPORT ANOTHER LIGHT
FREEZE OVER THE NORTHERN HILL COUNTRY. THE PACIFIC STREAM OF HIGH
CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO OFFSET THE WARMING TREND MONDAY INTO
TUESDAY AS AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDS OVER TX. THE UPPER HIGH DAMPENS
BY MIDWEEK...AND THE BROAD TROUGHING OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC
BEGINS TO ORGANIZE AND EJECT EAST TOWARD TX BY FRIDAY. MEDIUM
RANGE MODELS SHOW A FAIR AMOUNT OF AGREEMENT ON INCREASING RAIN
CHANCES FOR NEXT SATURDAY AND INCREASING AMPLITUDE OF AN UPPER
RIDGE OVER THE PAC NW. THE HIGH AMPLITUDE RIDGE TO THE WEST COULD
SIGNAL ANOTHER ARCTIC SURGE OF AIR AS EARLY AS LATE SATURDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              62  41  68  42  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  61  36  67  38  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     62  38  68  39  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            60  37  66  39  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           61  38  69  39  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        60  38  67  39  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             62  35  69  37  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        61  37  67  39  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   60  39  68  41  67 /   0   0  -    0   0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       62  40  68  41  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           62  38  70  41  70 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...00
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...76
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...30






000
FXUS64 KEWX 241754
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1154 AM CST SAT JAN 24 2015

.AVIATION...
/18Z TAF UPDATE/
VFR CONDITIONS WITH WINDS GENERALLY BELOW 10 KT EXPECTED THROUGH
THE FORECAST PERIOD...EXCEPT FOR MVFR CONDITIONS AROUND 10-14Z AT
DRT WHERE PATCHY FOG MAY BRIEFLY REDUCE VISIBILITIES. SURFACE
DEW POINT DEPRESSIONS SHOULD BE LOW ENOUGH AT SSF/SAT TO PREVENT
PATCHY FOG FROM DEVELOPING...BUT AUS COULD SEE SOME SHALLOW GROUND
FOG AROUND SUNRISE.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 602 AM CST SAT JAN 24 2015/

AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WITH GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS EXPECTED THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD. THE ONLY ISSUE IS PATCHY FOG AT KDRT...WHICH
SHOULD DISSIPATE BY 16Z.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 349 AM CST SAT JAN 24 2015/

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...
PERSISTENT TROUGHING OVER THE SUBTROPICAL EASTERN PACIFIC WILL
SEND ABUNDANT HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS ACROSS NRN MEXICO THIS WEEKEND. THE
COLD AIR ADVECTION PATTERN HAS ENDED WITH LIGHT WESTERLY LOW LEVEL
WINDS...SO THE FILTERED SUN SHOULD STILL BE ABLE TO REBOUND
TEMPERATURES TO NEAR LATE JANUARY NORMALS THIS AFTERNOON. SLIGHTLY
WARMER MINS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT OVER THOSE OF THIS MORNING...BUT
DRY DEW-POINTS AND LIGHT WINDS SHOULD STILL KEEP MINS SLIGHTLY
BELOW NORMALS WITH ISOLATED LIGHT FREEZES POSSIBLE OVER THE HILL
COUNTRY.

THE PRESENCE OF THE HIGH CLOUDS SHOULD HELP MINIMIZE THE
POTENTIAL FOR LOW LEVEL SATURATION AND FOG DESPITE SOGGY SOIL
CONDITIONS. A SHORTWAVE TROUGH DROPPING INTO THE MIDWEST IS
TRENDING STRONGER AND IS LIKELY TO REINFORCE DRY NORTHERLY WINDS
WITH A WEAK FRONT TO SLIP INTO THE AREA BY MIDDAY SUNDAY. SOME
MIXING OF WESTERLY WINDS ALOFT COULD LIMIT THE COLD AIR ADVECTION
POTENTIAL UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING...SO A SUBTLE WARMING TREND SHOULD
CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAYTIME.

LONG TERM (SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)...
THE DRY AIR REINFORCEMENT LATE SUNDAY AND SUBSEQUENT WEAKENING OF
SURFACE WINDS EARLY MONDAY MORNING COULD SUPPORT ANOTHER LIGHT
FREEZE OVER THE NORTHERN HILL COUNTRY. THE PACIFIC STREAM OF HIGH
CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO OFFSET THE WARMING TREND MONDAY INTO
TUESDAY AS AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDS OVER TX. THE UPPER HIGH DAMPENS
BY MIDWEEK...AND THE BROAD TROUGHING OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC
BEGINS TO ORGANIZE AND EJECT EAST TOWARD TX BY FRIDAY. MEDIUM
RANGE MODELS SHOW A FAIR AMOUNT OF AGREEMENT ON INCREASING RAIN
CHANCES FOR NEXT SATURDAY AND INCREASING AMPLITUDE OF AN UPPER
RIDGE OVER THE PAC NW. THE HIGH AMPLITUDE RIDGE TO THE WEST COULD
SIGNAL ANOTHER ARCTIC SURGE OF AIR AS EARLY AS LATE SATURDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              62  41  68  42  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  61  36  67  38  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     62  38  68  39  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            60  37  66  39  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           61  38  69  39  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        60  38  67  39  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             62  35  69  37  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        61  37  67  39  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   60  39  68  41  67 /   0   0  -    0   0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       62  40  68  41  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           62  38  70  41  70 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...00
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...76
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...30







000
FXUS64 KEWX 241202
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
602 AM CST SAT JAN 24 2015

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WITH GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS EXPECTED THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD. THE ONLY ISSUE IS PATCHY FOG AT KDRT...WHICH
SHOULD DISSIPATE BY 16Z.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 349 AM CST SAT JAN 24 2015/

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...
PERSISTENT TROUGHING OVER THE SUBTROPICAL EASTERN PACIFIC WILL
SEND ABUNDANT HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS ACROSS NRN MEXICO THIS WEEKEND. THE
COLD AIR ADVECTION PATTERN HAS ENDED WITH LIGHT WESTERLY LOW LEVEL
WINDS...SO THE FILTERED SUN SHOULD STILL BE ABLE TO REBOUND
TEMPERATURES TO NEAR LATE JANUARY NORMALS THIS AFTERNOON. SLIGHTLY
WARMER MINS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT OVER THOSE OF THIS MORNING...BUT
DRY DEW-POINTS AND LIGHT WINDS SHOULD STILL KEEP MINS SLIGHTLY
BELOW NORMALS WITH ISOLATED LIGHT FREEZES POSSIBLE OVER THE HILL
COUNTRY.

THE PRESENCE OF THE HIGH CLOUDS SHOULD HELP MINIMIZE THE
POTENTIAL FOR LOW LEVEL SATURATION AND FOG DESPITE SOGGY SOIL
CONDITIONS. A SHORTWAVE TROUGH DROPPING INTO THE MIDWEST IS
TRENDING STRONGER AND IS LIKELY TO REINFORCE DRY NORTHERLY WINDS
WITH A WEAK FRONT TO SLIP INTO THE AREA BY MIDDAY SUNDAY. SOME
MIXING OF WESTERLY WINDS ALOFT COULD LIMIT THE COLD AIR ADVECTION
POTENTIAL UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING...SO A SUBTLE WARMING TREND SHOULD
CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAYTIME.

LONG TERM (SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)...
THE DRY AIR REINFORCEMENT LATE SUNDAY AND SUBSEQUENT WEAKENING OF
SURFACE WINDS EARLY MONDAY MORNING COULD SUPPORT ANOTHER LIGHT
FREEZE OVER THE NORTHERN HILL COUNTRY. THE PACIFIC STREAM OF HIGH
CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO OFFSET THE WARMING TREND MONDAY INTO
TUESDAY AS AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDS OVER TX. THE UPPER HIGH DAMPENS
BY MIDWEEK...AND THE BROAD TROUGHING OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC
BEGINS TO ORGANIZE AND EJECT EAST TOWARD TX BY FRIDAY. MEDIUM
RANGE MODELS SHOW A FAIR AMOUNT OF AGREEMENT ON INCREASING RAIN
CHANCES FOR NEXT SATURDAY AND INCREASING AMPLITUDE OF AN UPPER
RIDGE OVER THE PAC NW. THE HIGH AMPLITUDE RIDGE TO THE WEST COULD
SIGNAL ANOTHER ARCTIC SURGE OF AIR AS EARLY AS LATE SATURDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              62  41  68  42  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  61  36  67  38  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     62  38  68  39  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            60  37  66  39  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           61  38  69  39  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        60  38  67  39  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             62  35  69  37  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        61  37  67  39  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   60  39  68  41  67 /   0   0  -    0   0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       62  40  68  41  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           62  38  70  41  70 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...26
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...18






000
FXUS64 KEWX 240949
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
349 AM CST SAT JAN 24 2015

.SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...
PERSISTENT TROUGHING OVER THE SUBTROPICAL EASTERN PACIFIC WILL
SEND ABUNDANT HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS ACROSS NRN MEXICO THIS WEEKEND. THE
COLD AIR ADVECTION PATTERN HAS ENDED WITH LIGHT WESTERLY LOW LEVEL
WINDS...SO THE FILTERED SUN SHOULD STILL BE ABLE TO REBOUND
TEMPERATURES TO NEAR LATE JANUARY NORMALS THIS AFTERNOON. SLIGHTLY
WARMER MINS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT OVER THOSE OF THIS MORNING...BUT
DRY DEW-POINTS AND LIGHT WINDS SHOULD STILL KEEP MINS SLIGHTLY
BELOW NORMALS WITH ISOLATED LIGHT FREEZES POSSIBLE OVER THE HILL
COUNTRY.

THE PRESENCE OF THE HIGH CLOUDS SHOULD HELP MINIMIZE THE
POTENTIAL FOR LOW LEVEL SATURATION AND FOG DESPITE SOGGY SOIL
CONDITIONS. A SHORTWAVE TROUGH DROPPING INTO THE MIDWEST IS
TRENDING STRONGER AND IS LIKELY TO REINFORCE DRY NORTHERLY WINDS
WITH A WEAK FRONT TO SLIP INTO THE AREA BY MIDDAY SUNDAY. SOME
MIXING OF WESTERLY WINDS ALOFT COULD LIMIT THE COLD AIR ADVECTION
POTENTIAL UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING...SO A SUBTLE WARMING TREND SHOULD
CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAYTIME.

&&

.LONG TERM (SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)...
THE DRY AIR REINFORCEMENT LATE SUNDAY AND SUBSEQUENT WEAKENING OF
SURFACE WINDS EARLY MONDAY MORNING COULD SUPPORT ANOTHER LIGHT
FREEZE OVER THE NORTHERN HILL COUNTRY. THE PACIFIC STREAM OF HIGH
CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO OFFSET THE WARMING TREND MONDAY INTO
TUESDAY AS AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDS OVER TX. THE UPPER HIGH DAMPENS
BY MIDWEEK...AND THE BROAD TROUGHING OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC
BEGINS TO ORGANIZE AND EJECT EAST TOWARD TX BY FRIDAY. MEDIUM
RANGE MODELS SHOW A FAIR AMOUNT OF AGREEMENT ON INCREASING RAIN
CHANCES FOR NEXT SATURDAY AND INCREASING AMPLITUDE OF AN UPPER
RIDGE OVER THE PAC NW. THE HIGH AMPLITUDE RIDGE TO THE WEST COULD
SIGNAL ANOTHER ARCTIC SURGE OF AIR AS EARLY AS LATE SATURDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              62  41  70  42  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  61  36  69  38  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     62  38  70  39  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            60  37  68  39  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           61  38  71  39  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        60  38  69  39  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             62  35  71  37  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        61  37  69  39  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   60  39  70  41  67 /   0   0  -    0   0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       62  40  70  41  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           62  38  72  41  70 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...26
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...18








000
FXUS64 KEWX 240949
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
349 AM CST SAT JAN 24 2015

.SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...
PERSISTENT TROUGHING OVER THE SUBTROPICAL EASTERN PACIFIC WILL
SEND ABUNDANT HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS ACROSS NRN MEXICO THIS WEEKEND. THE
COLD AIR ADVECTION PATTERN HAS ENDED WITH LIGHT WESTERLY LOW LEVEL
WINDS...SO THE FILTERED SUN SHOULD STILL BE ABLE TO REBOUND
TEMPERATURES TO NEAR LATE JANUARY NORMALS THIS AFTERNOON. SLIGHTLY
WARMER MINS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT OVER THOSE OF THIS MORNING...BUT
DRY DEW-POINTS AND LIGHT WINDS SHOULD STILL KEEP MINS SLIGHTLY
BELOW NORMALS WITH ISOLATED LIGHT FREEZES POSSIBLE OVER THE HILL
COUNTRY.

THE PRESENCE OF THE HIGH CLOUDS SHOULD HELP MINIMIZE THE
POTENTIAL FOR LOW LEVEL SATURATION AND FOG DESPITE SOGGY SOIL
CONDITIONS. A SHORTWAVE TROUGH DROPPING INTO THE MIDWEST IS
TRENDING STRONGER AND IS LIKELY TO REINFORCE DRY NORTHERLY WINDS
WITH A WEAK FRONT TO SLIP INTO THE AREA BY MIDDAY SUNDAY. SOME
MIXING OF WESTERLY WINDS ALOFT COULD LIMIT THE COLD AIR ADVECTION
POTENTIAL UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING...SO A SUBTLE WARMING TREND SHOULD
CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAYTIME.

&&

.LONG TERM (SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)...
THE DRY AIR REINFORCEMENT LATE SUNDAY AND SUBSEQUENT WEAKENING OF
SURFACE WINDS EARLY MONDAY MORNING COULD SUPPORT ANOTHER LIGHT
FREEZE OVER THE NORTHERN HILL COUNTRY. THE PACIFIC STREAM OF HIGH
CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO OFFSET THE WARMING TREND MONDAY INTO
TUESDAY AS AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDS OVER TX. THE UPPER HIGH DAMPENS
BY MIDWEEK...AND THE BROAD TROUGHING OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC
BEGINS TO ORGANIZE AND EJECT EAST TOWARD TX BY FRIDAY. MEDIUM
RANGE MODELS SHOW A FAIR AMOUNT OF AGREEMENT ON INCREASING RAIN
CHANCES FOR NEXT SATURDAY AND INCREASING AMPLITUDE OF AN UPPER
RIDGE OVER THE PAC NW. THE HIGH AMPLITUDE RIDGE TO THE WEST COULD
SIGNAL ANOTHER ARCTIC SURGE OF AIR AS EARLY AS LATE SATURDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              62  41  70  42  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  61  36  69  38  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     62  38  70  39  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            60  37  68  39  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           61  38  71  39  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        60  38  69  39  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             62  35  71  37  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        61  37  69  39  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   60  39  70  41  67 /   0   0  -    0   0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       62  40  70  41  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           62  38  72  41  70 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...26
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...18







000
FXUS64 KEWX 240444 AAA
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1044 PM CST FRI JAN 23 2015

.AVIATION...
/06Z TAFS/
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA TERMINALS THROUGH
THE FORECAST PERIOD. A SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM CENTERED
OVER SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS THIS EVENING IS FORECAST TO PUSH
SOUTHWARD AND INTO THE DEEP SOUTH ON SATURDAY. LIGHT NORTHWEST TO
WEST WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED OVERNIGHT INTO SATURDAY. WINDS WILL
INCREASE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND AVERAGING 7 TO 10 KNOTS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 749 PM CST FRI JAN 23 2015/

UPDATE...
CURRENT DEWPOINTS ARE A FEW DEGREES HIGHER THAN FORECASTED.
CURRENT DEWPOINT READINGS ARE IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 30S AND WITH
SIMILAR DEWPOINTS TO OUR NORTH...THESE SHOULD NOT DROP MUCH
TONIGHT. THEREFORE...RAISED MORNING LOWS A DEGREE OR TWO. A LIGHT
FREEZE IS STILL POSSIBLE FOR THE HILL COUNTRY. THERE SHOULD BE
AMPLE TIME FOR ROADS TO DRY OUT AND DO NOT ANTICIPATE ANY
PROBLEMS.

HAMPSHIRE

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 547 PM CST FRI JAN 23 2015/

AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA SITES THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER SOUTH CENTRAL
TEXAS LATE THIS AFTERNOON IS FORECAST TO PUSH SOUTHWARD AND INTO
THE DEEP SOUTH ON SATURDAY. LIGHT NORTHWEST TO WEST WINDS ARE
ANTICIPATED FOR TONIGHT AND SATURDAY ACROSS THE AREA. WINDS WILL
PICK UP FEW KNOTS SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 250 PM CST FRI JAN 23 2015/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)...
PATCHY RAIN CONTINUES EAST OF I-35 AT MID AFTERNOON AHEAD OF AN
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. THE RAINS WILL MOVE TO THE EAST OUT OF SOUTH
CENTRAL TEXAS AND THE SKIES WILL BE CLEARING AS THE TROUGH EXITS
OUR AREA. CLEARING SKIES...DECREASING WINDS AND SLOWLY DECREASING
DEWPOINTS SET THE STAGE FOR A FREEZE ACROSS PARTS OF THE HILL
COUNTRY AND LOW LYING AREAS ALONG THE ESCARPMENT SATURDAY MORNING.
SOME PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE. HOWEVER... WINDS SHOULD KEEP THE
AIRMASS MIXED. MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND WESTERLY WINDS ALONG WITH AN
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDING NORTH INTO TEXAS FROM NORTHEAST MEXICO
WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO WARM TO VERY CLOSE TO AVERAGE SATURDAY.
LIGHT WINDS AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WILL KEEP LOW TEMPERATURES
BELOW AVERAGE SATURDAY NIGHT WITH ONLY PATCHY FREEZES POSSIBLE.
PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING MAINLY ACROSS
NORTHEASTERN AREAS DUE TO SATURATED SOILS...LIGHT WINDS...MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES AND LOW DEWPOINTS.

LONG TERM (SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)...
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDS FROM NORTHEASTERN MEXICO INTO TEXAS
KEEPING THE FORECAST RAIN FREE FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS SUNDAY
THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW DEVELOPS WEST OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA THIS WEEKEND. PART OF THE LOW SPINS OFF BRINGING
A POTENTIAL FOR LIGHT RAIN JUST WEST OF THE EDWARDS PLATEAU MONDAY
NIGHT. THE REMAINDER OF THE LOW OPENS UP AND BEGINS TO MOVE EAST
LATE IN THE WEEK. AT THE SAME TIME...AN UPPER LEVEL SHORT-WAVE
ROTATES THROUGH AN EASTERN STATES TROUGH TO FORCE A COLD FRONT
SOUTH ACROSS TEXAS LATE THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. AN OVERRUNNING
PATTERN DEVELOPS WITH RAIN CHANCES RETURNING TO THE LOWER PECOS
VALLEY THURSDAY NIGHT AND SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS FRIDAY. A POTENTIAL
FOR ANOTHER SIGNIFICANT RAIN EVENT EXISTS NEXT WEEKEND. A WARMING
TREND CONTINUES WITH ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES INTO NEXT WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              36  62  40  69  43 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  32  61  36  69  39 /   0   0   0   0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     34  61  38  69  41 /   0   0   0   0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            32  59  37  68  39 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           34  61  38  69  40 /   0   0   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        33  60  37  69  40 /   0   0   0   0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             31  62  35  70  39 /   0   0   0   0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        34  61  37  69  41 /   0   0   0   0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   35  61  39  68  42 /  -    0   0   0   0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       36  62  40  69  42 /   0   0   0   0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           34  63  38  70  42 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...17
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...29
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...33







000
FXUS64 KEWX 240444 AAA
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1044 PM CST FRI JAN 23 2015

.AVIATION...
/06Z TAFS/
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA TERMINALS THROUGH
THE FORECAST PERIOD. A SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM CENTERED
OVER SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS THIS EVENING IS FORECAST TO PUSH
SOUTHWARD AND INTO THE DEEP SOUTH ON SATURDAY. LIGHT NORTHWEST TO
WEST WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED OVERNIGHT INTO SATURDAY. WINDS WILL
INCREASE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND AVERAGING 7 TO 10 KNOTS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 749 PM CST FRI JAN 23 2015/

UPDATE...
CURRENT DEWPOINTS ARE A FEW DEGREES HIGHER THAN FORECASTED.
CURRENT DEWPOINT READINGS ARE IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 30S AND WITH
SIMILAR DEWPOINTS TO OUR NORTH...THESE SHOULD NOT DROP MUCH
TONIGHT. THEREFORE...RAISED MORNING LOWS A DEGREE OR TWO. A LIGHT
FREEZE IS STILL POSSIBLE FOR THE HILL COUNTRY. THERE SHOULD BE
AMPLE TIME FOR ROADS TO DRY OUT AND DO NOT ANTICIPATE ANY
PROBLEMS.

HAMPSHIRE

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 547 PM CST FRI JAN 23 2015/

AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA SITES THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER SOUTH CENTRAL
TEXAS LATE THIS AFTERNOON IS FORECAST TO PUSH SOUTHWARD AND INTO
THE DEEP SOUTH ON SATURDAY. LIGHT NORTHWEST TO WEST WINDS ARE
ANTICIPATED FOR TONIGHT AND SATURDAY ACROSS THE AREA. WINDS WILL
PICK UP FEW KNOTS SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 250 PM CST FRI JAN 23 2015/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)...
PATCHY RAIN CONTINUES EAST OF I-35 AT MID AFTERNOON AHEAD OF AN
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. THE RAINS WILL MOVE TO THE EAST OUT OF SOUTH
CENTRAL TEXAS AND THE SKIES WILL BE CLEARING AS THE TROUGH EXITS
OUR AREA. CLEARING SKIES...DECREASING WINDS AND SLOWLY DECREASING
DEWPOINTS SET THE STAGE FOR A FREEZE ACROSS PARTS OF THE HILL
COUNTRY AND LOW LYING AREAS ALONG THE ESCARPMENT SATURDAY MORNING.
SOME PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE. HOWEVER... WINDS SHOULD KEEP THE
AIRMASS MIXED. MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND WESTERLY WINDS ALONG WITH AN
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDING NORTH INTO TEXAS FROM NORTHEAST MEXICO
WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO WARM TO VERY CLOSE TO AVERAGE SATURDAY.
LIGHT WINDS AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WILL KEEP LOW TEMPERATURES
BELOW AVERAGE SATURDAY NIGHT WITH ONLY PATCHY FREEZES POSSIBLE.
PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING MAINLY ACROSS
NORTHEASTERN AREAS DUE TO SATURATED SOILS...LIGHT WINDS...MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES AND LOW DEWPOINTS.

LONG TERM (SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)...
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDS FROM NORTHEASTERN MEXICO INTO TEXAS
KEEPING THE FORECAST RAIN FREE FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS SUNDAY
THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW DEVELOPS WEST OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA THIS WEEKEND. PART OF THE LOW SPINS OFF BRINGING
A POTENTIAL FOR LIGHT RAIN JUST WEST OF THE EDWARDS PLATEAU MONDAY
NIGHT. THE REMAINDER OF THE LOW OPENS UP AND BEGINS TO MOVE EAST
LATE IN THE WEEK. AT THE SAME TIME...AN UPPER LEVEL SHORT-WAVE
ROTATES THROUGH AN EASTERN STATES TROUGH TO FORCE A COLD FRONT
SOUTH ACROSS TEXAS LATE THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. AN OVERRUNNING
PATTERN DEVELOPS WITH RAIN CHANCES RETURNING TO THE LOWER PECOS
VALLEY THURSDAY NIGHT AND SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS FRIDAY. A POTENTIAL
FOR ANOTHER SIGNIFICANT RAIN EVENT EXISTS NEXT WEEKEND. A WARMING
TREND CONTINUES WITH ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES INTO NEXT WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              36  62  40  69  43 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  32  61  36  69  39 /   0   0   0   0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     34  61  38  69  41 /   0   0   0   0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            32  59  37  68  39 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           34  61  38  69  40 /   0   0   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        33  60  37  69  40 /   0   0   0   0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             31  62  35  70  39 /   0   0   0   0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        34  61  37  69  41 /   0   0   0   0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   35  61  39  68  42 /  -    0   0   0   0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       36  62  40  69  42 /   0   0   0   0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           34  63  38  70  42 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...17
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...29
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...33






000
FXUS64 KEWX 240149
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
749 PM CST FRI JAN 23 2015

.UPDATE...
CURRENT DEWPOINTS ARE A FEW DEGREES HIGHER THAN FORECASTED.
CURRENT DEWPOINT READINGS ARE IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 30S AND WITH
SIMILAR DEWPOINTS TO OUR NORTH...THESE SHOULD NOT DROP MUCH
TONIGHT. THEREFORE...RAISED MORNING LOWS A DEGREE OR TWO. A LIGHT
FREEZE IS STILL POSSIBLE FOR THE HILL COUNTRY. THERE SHOULD BE
AMPLE TIME FOR ROADS TO DRY OUT AND DO NOT ANTICIPATE ANY
PROBLEMS.

HAMPSHIRE

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 547 PM CST FRI JAN 23 2015/

AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA SITES THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER SOUTH CENTRAL
TEXAS LATE THIS AFTERNOON IS FORECAST TO PUSH SOUTHWARD AND INTO
THE DEEP SOUTH ON SATURDAY. LIGHT NORTHWEST TO WEST WINDS ARE
ANTICIPATED FOR TONIGHT AND SATURDAY ACROSS THE AREA. WINDS WILL
PICK UP FEW KNOTS SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 250 PM CST FRI JAN 23 2015/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)...
PATCHY RAIN CONTINUES EAST OF I-35 AT MID AFTERNOON AHEAD OF AN
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. THE RAINS WILL MOVE TO THE EAST OUT OF SOUTH
CENTRAL TEXAS AND THE SKIES WILL BE CLEARING AS THE TROUGH EXITS
OUR AREA. CLEARING SKIES...DECREASING WINDS AND SLOWLY DECREASING
DEWPOINTS SET THE STAGE FOR A FREEZE ACROSS PARTS OF THE HILL
COUNTRY AND LOW LYING AREAS ALONG THE ESCARPMENT SATURDAY MORNING.
SOME PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE. HOWEVER... WINDS SHOULD KEEP THE
AIRMASS MIXED. MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND WESTERLY WINDS ALONG WITH AN
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDING NORTH INTO TEXAS FROM NORTHEAST MEXICO
WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO WARM TO VERY CLOSE TO AVERAGE SATURDAY.
LIGHT WINDS AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WILL KEEP LOW TEMPERATURES
BELOW AVERAGE SATURDAY NIGHT WITH ONLY PATCHY FREEZES POSSIBLE.
PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING MAINLY ACROSS
NORTHEASTERN AREAS DUE TO SATURATED SOILS...LIGHT WINDS...MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES AND LOW DEWPOINTS.

LONG TERM (SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)...
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDS FROM NORTHEASTERN MEXICO INTO TEXAS
KEEPING THE FORECAST RAIN FREE FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS SUNDAY
THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW DEVELOPS WEST OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA THIS WEEKEND. PART OF THE LOW SPINS OFF BRINGING
A POTENTIAL FOR LIGHT RAIN JUST WEST OF THE EDWARDS PLATEAU MONDAY
NIGHT. THE REMAINDER OF THE LOW OPENS UP AND BEGINS TO MOVE EAST
LATE IN THE WEEK. AT THE SAME TIME...AN UPPER LEVEL SHORT-WAVE
ROTATES THROUGH AN EASTERN STATES TROUGH TO FORCE A COLD FRONT
SOUTH ACROSS TEXAS LATE THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. AN OVERRUNNING
PATTERN DEVELOPS WITH RAIN CHANCES RETURNING TO THE LOWER PECOS
VALLEY THURSDAY NIGHT AND SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS FRIDAY. A POTENTIAL
FOR ANOTHER SIGNIFICANT RAIN EVENT EXISTS NEXT WEEKEND. A WARMING
TREND CONTINUES WITH ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES INTO NEXT WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              36  62  40  69  43 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  32  61  36  69  39 /   0   0   0   0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     34  61  38  69  41 /   0   0   0   0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            32  59  37  68  39 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           34  61  38  69  40 /   0   0   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        33  60  37  69  40 /   0   0   0   0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             31  62  35  70  39 /   0   0   0   0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        34  61  37  69  41 /   0   0   0   0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   35  61  39  68  42 /  -    0   0   0   0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       36  62  40  69  42 /   0   0   0   0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           34  63  38  70  42 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...17
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...29
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...33







000
FXUS64 KEWX 240149
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
749 PM CST FRI JAN 23 2015

.UPDATE...
CURRENT DEWPOINTS ARE A FEW DEGREES HIGHER THAN FORECASTED.
CURRENT DEWPOINT READINGS ARE IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 30S AND WITH
SIMILAR DEWPOINTS TO OUR NORTH...THESE SHOULD NOT DROP MUCH
TONIGHT. THEREFORE...RAISED MORNING LOWS A DEGREE OR TWO. A LIGHT
FREEZE IS STILL POSSIBLE FOR THE HILL COUNTRY. THERE SHOULD BE
AMPLE TIME FOR ROADS TO DRY OUT AND DO NOT ANTICIPATE ANY
PROBLEMS.

HAMPSHIRE

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 547 PM CST FRI JAN 23 2015/

AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA SITES THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER SOUTH CENTRAL
TEXAS LATE THIS AFTERNOON IS FORECAST TO PUSH SOUTHWARD AND INTO
THE DEEP SOUTH ON SATURDAY. LIGHT NORTHWEST TO WEST WINDS ARE
ANTICIPATED FOR TONIGHT AND SATURDAY ACROSS THE AREA. WINDS WILL
PICK UP FEW KNOTS SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 250 PM CST FRI JAN 23 2015/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)...
PATCHY RAIN CONTINUES EAST OF I-35 AT MID AFTERNOON AHEAD OF AN
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. THE RAINS WILL MOVE TO THE EAST OUT OF SOUTH
CENTRAL TEXAS AND THE SKIES WILL BE CLEARING AS THE TROUGH EXITS
OUR AREA. CLEARING SKIES...DECREASING WINDS AND SLOWLY DECREASING
DEWPOINTS SET THE STAGE FOR A FREEZE ACROSS PARTS OF THE HILL
COUNTRY AND LOW LYING AREAS ALONG THE ESCARPMENT SATURDAY MORNING.
SOME PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE. HOWEVER... WINDS SHOULD KEEP THE
AIRMASS MIXED. MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND WESTERLY WINDS ALONG WITH AN
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDING NORTH INTO TEXAS FROM NORTHEAST MEXICO
WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO WARM TO VERY CLOSE TO AVERAGE SATURDAY.
LIGHT WINDS AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WILL KEEP LOW TEMPERATURES
BELOW AVERAGE SATURDAY NIGHT WITH ONLY PATCHY FREEZES POSSIBLE.
PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING MAINLY ACROSS
NORTHEASTERN AREAS DUE TO SATURATED SOILS...LIGHT WINDS...MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES AND LOW DEWPOINTS.

LONG TERM (SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)...
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDS FROM NORTHEASTERN MEXICO INTO TEXAS
KEEPING THE FORECAST RAIN FREE FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS SUNDAY
THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW DEVELOPS WEST OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA THIS WEEKEND. PART OF THE LOW SPINS OFF BRINGING
A POTENTIAL FOR LIGHT RAIN JUST WEST OF THE EDWARDS PLATEAU MONDAY
NIGHT. THE REMAINDER OF THE LOW OPENS UP AND BEGINS TO MOVE EAST
LATE IN THE WEEK. AT THE SAME TIME...AN UPPER LEVEL SHORT-WAVE
ROTATES THROUGH AN EASTERN STATES TROUGH TO FORCE A COLD FRONT
SOUTH ACROSS TEXAS LATE THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. AN OVERRUNNING
PATTERN DEVELOPS WITH RAIN CHANCES RETURNING TO THE LOWER PECOS
VALLEY THURSDAY NIGHT AND SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS FRIDAY. A POTENTIAL
FOR ANOTHER SIGNIFICANT RAIN EVENT EXISTS NEXT WEEKEND. A WARMING
TREND CONTINUES WITH ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES INTO NEXT WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              36  62  40  69  43 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  32  61  36  69  39 /   0   0   0   0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     34  61  38  69  41 /   0   0   0   0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            32  59  37  68  39 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           34  61  38  69  40 /   0   0   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        33  60  37  69  40 /   0   0   0   0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             31  62  35  70  39 /   0   0   0   0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        34  61  37  69  41 /   0   0   0   0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   35  61  39  68  42 /  -    0   0   0   0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       36  62  40  69  42 /   0   0   0   0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           34  63  38  70  42 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...17
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...29
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...33








000
FXUS64 KEWX 232347 AAA
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
547 PM CST FRI JAN 23 2015

.AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA SITES THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER SOUTH CENTRAL
TEXAS LATE THIS AFTERNOON IS FORECAST TO PUSH SOUTHWARD AND INTO
THE DEEP SOUTH ON SATURDAY. LIGHT NORTHWEST TO WEST WINDS ARE
ANTICIPATED FOR TONIGHT AND SATURDAY ACROSS THE AREA. WINDS WILL
PICK UP FEW KNOTS SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 250 PM CST FRI JAN 23 2015/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)...
PATCHY RAIN CONTINUES EAST OF I-35 AT MID AFTERNOON AHEAD OF AN
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. THE RAINS WILL MOVE TO THE EAST OUT OF SOUTH
CENTRAL TEXAS AND THE SKIES WILL BE CLEARING AS THE TROUGH EXITS
OUR AREA. CLEARING SKIES...DECREASING WINDS AND SLOWLY DECREASING
DEWPOINTS SET THE STAGE FOR A FREEZE ACROSS PARTS OF THE HILL
COUNTRY AND LOW LYING AREAS ALONG THE ESCARPMENT SATURDAY MORNING.
SOME PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE. HOWEVER... WINDS SHOULD KEEP THE
AIRMASS MIXED. MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND WESTERLY WINDS ALONG WITH AN
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDING NORTH INTO TEXAS FROM NORTHEAST MEXICO
WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO WARM TO VERY CLOSE TO AVERAGE SATURDAY.
LIGHT WINDS AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WILL KEEP LOW TEMPERATURES
BELOW AVERAGE SATURDAY NIGHT WITH ONLY PATCHY FREEZES POSSIBLE.
PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING MAINLY ACROSS
NORTHEASTERN AREAS DUE TO SATURATED SOILS...LIGHT WINDS...MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES AND LOW DEWPOINTS.

LONG TERM (SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)...
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDS FROM NORTHEASTERN MEXICO INTO TEXAS
KEEPING THE FORECAST RAIN FREE FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS SUNDAY
THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW DEVELOPS WEST OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA THIS WEEKEND. PART OF THE LOW SPINS OFF BRINGING
A POTENTIAL FOR LIGHT RAIN JUST WEST OF THE EDWARDS PLATEAU MONDAY
NIGHT. THE REMAINDER OF THE LOW OPENS UP AND BEGINS TO MOVE EAST
LATE IN THE WEEK. AT THE SAME TIME...AN UPPER LEVEL SHORT-WAVE
ROTATES THROUGH AN EASTERN STATES TROUGH TO FORCE A COLD FRONT
SOUTH ACROSS TEXAS LATE THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. AN OVERRUNNING
PATTERN DEVELOPS WITH RAIN CHANCES RETURNING TO THE LOWER PECOS
VALLEY THURSDAY NIGHT AND SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS FRIDAY. A POTENTIAL
FOR ANOTHER SIGNIFICANT RAIN EVENT EXISTS NEXT WEEKEND. A WARMING
TREND CONTINUES WITH ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES INTO NEXT WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              35  62  40  69  43 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  31  61  36  69  39 /   0   0   0   0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     33  61  38  69  41 /   0   0   0   0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            31  59  37  68  39 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           32  61  38  69  40 /   0   0   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        32  60  37  69  40 /   0   0   0   0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             30  62  35  70  39 /   0   0   0   0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        33  61  37  69  41 /   0   0   0   0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   34  61  39  68  42 /  -    0   0   0   0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       35  62  40  69  42 /   0   0   0   0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           33  63  38  70  42 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...17
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...29
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...33







000
FXUS64 KEWX 232347 AAA
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
547 PM CST FRI JAN 23 2015

.AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA SITES THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER SOUTH CENTRAL
TEXAS LATE THIS AFTERNOON IS FORECAST TO PUSH SOUTHWARD AND INTO
THE DEEP SOUTH ON SATURDAY. LIGHT NORTHWEST TO WEST WINDS ARE
ANTICIPATED FOR TONIGHT AND SATURDAY ACROSS THE AREA. WINDS WILL
PICK UP FEW KNOTS SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 250 PM CST FRI JAN 23 2015/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)...
PATCHY RAIN CONTINUES EAST OF I-35 AT MID AFTERNOON AHEAD OF AN
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. THE RAINS WILL MOVE TO THE EAST OUT OF SOUTH
CENTRAL TEXAS AND THE SKIES WILL BE CLEARING AS THE TROUGH EXITS
OUR AREA. CLEARING SKIES...DECREASING WINDS AND SLOWLY DECREASING
DEWPOINTS SET THE STAGE FOR A FREEZE ACROSS PARTS OF THE HILL
COUNTRY AND LOW LYING AREAS ALONG THE ESCARPMENT SATURDAY MORNING.
SOME PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE. HOWEVER... WINDS SHOULD KEEP THE
AIRMASS MIXED. MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND WESTERLY WINDS ALONG WITH AN
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDING NORTH INTO TEXAS FROM NORTHEAST MEXICO
WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO WARM TO VERY CLOSE TO AVERAGE SATURDAY.
LIGHT WINDS AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WILL KEEP LOW TEMPERATURES
BELOW AVERAGE SATURDAY NIGHT WITH ONLY PATCHY FREEZES POSSIBLE.
PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING MAINLY ACROSS
NORTHEASTERN AREAS DUE TO SATURATED SOILS...LIGHT WINDS...MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES AND LOW DEWPOINTS.

LONG TERM (SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)...
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDS FROM NORTHEASTERN MEXICO INTO TEXAS
KEEPING THE FORECAST RAIN FREE FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS SUNDAY
THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW DEVELOPS WEST OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA THIS WEEKEND. PART OF THE LOW SPINS OFF BRINGING
A POTENTIAL FOR LIGHT RAIN JUST WEST OF THE EDWARDS PLATEAU MONDAY
NIGHT. THE REMAINDER OF THE LOW OPENS UP AND BEGINS TO MOVE EAST
LATE IN THE WEEK. AT THE SAME TIME...AN UPPER LEVEL SHORT-WAVE
ROTATES THROUGH AN EASTERN STATES TROUGH TO FORCE A COLD FRONT
SOUTH ACROSS TEXAS LATE THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. AN OVERRUNNING
PATTERN DEVELOPS WITH RAIN CHANCES RETURNING TO THE LOWER PECOS
VALLEY THURSDAY NIGHT AND SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS FRIDAY. A POTENTIAL
FOR ANOTHER SIGNIFICANT RAIN EVENT EXISTS NEXT WEEKEND. A WARMING
TREND CONTINUES WITH ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES INTO NEXT WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              35  62  40  69  43 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  31  61  36  69  39 /   0   0   0   0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     33  61  38  69  41 /   0   0   0   0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            31  59  37  68  39 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           32  61  38  69  40 /   0   0   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        32  60  37  69  40 /   0   0   0   0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             30  62  35  70  39 /   0   0   0   0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        33  61  37  69  41 /   0   0   0   0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   34  61  39  68  42 /  -    0   0   0   0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       35  62  40  69  42 /   0   0   0   0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           33  63  38  70  42 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...17
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...29
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...33






000
FXUS64 KEWX 232050
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
250 PM CST FRI JAN 23 2015

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)...
PATCHY RAIN CONTINUES EAST OF I-35 AT MID AFTERNOON AHEAD OF AN
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. THE RAINS WILL MOVE TO THE EAST OUT OF SOUTH
CENTRAL TEXAS AND THE SKIES WILL BE CLEARING AS THE TROUGH EXITS
OUR AREA. CLEARING SKIES...DECREASING WINDS AND SLOWLY DECREASING
DEWPOINTS SET THE STAGE FOR A FREEZE ACROSS PARTS OF THE HILL
COUNTRY AND LOW LYING AREAS ALONG THE ESCARPMENT SATURDAY MORNING.
SOME PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE. HOWEVER... WINDS SHOULD KEEP THE
AIRMASS MIXED. MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND WESTERLY WINDS ALONG WITH AN
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDING NORTH INTO TEXAS FROM NORTHEAST MEXICO
WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO WARM TO VERY CLOSE TO AVERAGE SATURDAY.
LIGHT WINDS AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WILL KEEP LOW TEMPERATURES
BELOW AVERAGE SATURDAY NIGHT WITH ONLY PATCHY FREEZES POSSIBLE.
PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING MAINLY ACROSS
NORTHEASTERN AREAS DUE TO SATURATED SOILS...LIGHT WINDS...MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES AND LOW DEWPOINTS.

&&

.LONG TERM (SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)...
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDS FROM NORTHEASTERN MEXICO INTO TEXAS
KEEPING THE FORECAST RAIN FREE FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS SUNDAY
THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW DEVELOPS WEST OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA THIS WEEKEND. PART OF THE LOW SPINS OFF BRINGING
A POTENTIAL FOR LIGHT RAIN JUST WEST OF THE EDWARDS PLATEAU MONDAY
NIGHT. THE REMAINDER OF THE LOW OPENS UP AND BEGINS TO MOVE EAST
LATE IN THE WEEK. AT THE SAME TIME...AN UPPER LEVEL SHORT-WAVE
ROTATES THROUGH AN EASTERN STATES TROUGH TO FORCE A COLD FRONT
SOUTH ACROSS TEXAS LATE THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. AN OVERRUNNING
PATTERN DEVELOPS WITH RAIN CHANCES RETURNING TO THE LOWER PECOS
VALLEY THURSDAY NIGHT AND SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS FRIDAY. A POTENTIAL
FOR ANOTHER SIGNIFICANT RAIN EVENT EXISTS NEXT WEEKEND. A WARMING
TREND CONTINUES WITH ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES INTO NEXT WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              35  62  40  69  43 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  31  61  36  69  39 /   0   0   0   0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     33  61  38  69  41 /   0   0   0   0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            31  59  37  68  39 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           32  61  38  69  40 /   0   0   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        32  60  37  69  40 /   0   0   0   0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             30  62  35  70  39 /   0   0   0   0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        33  61  37  69  41 /   0   0   0   0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   34  61  39  68  42 /  -    0   0   0   0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       35  62  40  69  42 /   0   0   0   0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           33  63  38  70  42 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...00
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...04
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...30






000
FXUS64 KEWX 232050
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
250 PM CST FRI JAN 23 2015

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)...
PATCHY RAIN CONTINUES EAST OF I-35 AT MID AFTERNOON AHEAD OF AN
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. THE RAINS WILL MOVE TO THE EAST OUT OF SOUTH
CENTRAL TEXAS AND THE SKIES WILL BE CLEARING AS THE TROUGH EXITS
OUR AREA. CLEARING SKIES...DECREASING WINDS AND SLOWLY DECREASING
DEWPOINTS SET THE STAGE FOR A FREEZE ACROSS PARTS OF THE HILL
COUNTRY AND LOW LYING AREAS ALONG THE ESCARPMENT SATURDAY MORNING.
SOME PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE. HOWEVER... WINDS SHOULD KEEP THE
AIRMASS MIXED. MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND WESTERLY WINDS ALONG WITH AN
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDING NORTH INTO TEXAS FROM NORTHEAST MEXICO
WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO WARM TO VERY CLOSE TO AVERAGE SATURDAY.
LIGHT WINDS AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WILL KEEP LOW TEMPERATURES
BELOW AVERAGE SATURDAY NIGHT WITH ONLY PATCHY FREEZES POSSIBLE.
PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING MAINLY ACROSS
NORTHEASTERN AREAS DUE TO SATURATED SOILS...LIGHT WINDS...MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES AND LOW DEWPOINTS.

&&

.LONG TERM (SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)...
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDS FROM NORTHEASTERN MEXICO INTO TEXAS
KEEPING THE FORECAST RAIN FREE FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS SUNDAY
THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW DEVELOPS WEST OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA THIS WEEKEND. PART OF THE LOW SPINS OFF BRINGING
A POTENTIAL FOR LIGHT RAIN JUST WEST OF THE EDWARDS PLATEAU MONDAY
NIGHT. THE REMAINDER OF THE LOW OPENS UP AND BEGINS TO MOVE EAST
LATE IN THE WEEK. AT THE SAME TIME...AN UPPER LEVEL SHORT-WAVE
ROTATES THROUGH AN EASTERN STATES TROUGH TO FORCE A COLD FRONT
SOUTH ACROSS TEXAS LATE THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. AN OVERRUNNING
PATTERN DEVELOPS WITH RAIN CHANCES RETURNING TO THE LOWER PECOS
VALLEY THURSDAY NIGHT AND SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS FRIDAY. A POTENTIAL
FOR ANOTHER SIGNIFICANT RAIN EVENT EXISTS NEXT WEEKEND. A WARMING
TREND CONTINUES WITH ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES INTO NEXT WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              35  62  40  69  43 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  31  61  36  69  39 /   0   0   0   0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     33  61  38  69  41 /   0   0   0   0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            31  59  37  68  39 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           32  61  38  69  40 /   0   0   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        32  60  37  69  40 /   0   0   0   0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             30  62  35  70  39 /   0   0   0   0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        33  61  37  69  41 /   0   0   0   0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   34  61  39  68  42 /  -    0   0   0   0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       35  62  40  69  42 /   0   0   0   0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           33  63  38  70  42 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...00
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...04
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...30







000
FXUS64 KEWX 231816
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1216 PM CST FRI JAN 23 2015

.AVIATION...
/18Z TAF UPDATE/

MVFR CIGS WILL GRADUALLY IMPROVE TO VFR BY 21Z AT AUS/SSF/SAT AS
LIGHT PRECIPITATION MOVES OUT OF THE REGION. DRT MAY TAKE A BIT
LONGER TO IMPROVE TO VFR DUE TO REDEVELOPMENT OF CLOUDS TO THEIR
NORTHWEST. WINDS SHOULD DECREASE THIS AFTERNOON AND GO BELOW 5 KT
SUSTAINED AT ALL SITES THIS EVENING. FOG DEVELOPING OVERNIGHT IS
NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION...PARTICULARLY AT DRT AND AUS...BUT
NORTHWEST WINDS SHOULD BE STRONG ENOUGH TO PREVENT LOWER
VISIBILITY SO LEFT IT OUT OF THE CURRENT TAF.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 909 AM CST FRI JAN 23 2015/

UPDATE...
STRONGER DYNAMICAL COOLING TAKING PLACE WITH RAIN/SNOW MIX
APPROACHING THE I-35 CORRIDOR NORTHEAST OF SAN ANTONIO TO THE
AUSTIN AREA. SOME SNOW ACCUMULATIONS UP TO ONE INCH ARE POSSIBLE
MAINLY ON GRASSY SURFACES IN THE HILL COUNTRY WITH LITTLE OR NO
ACCUMULATIONS ALONG THE I-35 CORRIDOR. WE HAVE ISSUED A SPECIAL
WEATHER STATEMENT FOR THIS WINTER WEATHER EVENT. TEMPERATURES
RUNNING A LITTLE COOLER AND HAVE SLOWED ITS RISE FOR TODAY.
REMAINDER OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS FORECAST IS ON TRACK.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 559 AM CST FRI JAN 23 2015/

AVIATION...
AREA OF RAIN COVERS MOST OF OUR FORECAST AREA AND IS MOVING TO THE
EAST. RAIN IS LIGHT AND NOT AFFECTING VIS...BUT CIGS ARE MVFR.
THESE WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING AND MAY BRIEFLY DROP TO IFR AT
AUS. RAIN SHOULD END FROM WEST TO EAST STARTING BY AROUND 13Z AT
DRT AND IT SHOULD BE OUT THE AREA BY 18Z. CIGS WILL LIFT TO VFR BY
MID-AFTERNOON AND THEN SKIES SHOULD SCATTER OUT THIS EVENING.
WINDS WILL BE FROM THE NORTH AT 10 TO 15 KTS THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON AND DROP OFF AROUND 00Z. TONIGHT WILL BE VFR WITH LIGHT
WINDS.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 323 AM CST FRI JAN 23 2015/

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...
AREAS OF MODERATE SNOW ARE FALLING WITH SLEET AND RAIN OVER THE
SOUTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU EARLY THIS MORNING. WILL CONTINUE TO
MONITOR THIS DEVELOPMENT FOR A POSSIBLE WINTER WX ADVISORY...BUT
FOR NOW...WILL PLAN ON HANDLING WITH AN SPS WHICH WILL DETAIL ANY
ACCUMULATIONS TO BE MAINLY ON ELEVATED SURFACES. THE PASSING OF
THE UPPER LOW THROUGH THIS AREA COULD BE MAKE SNOW RATES CAPABLE
OF LOWERING THE TEMPERATURES BRIEFLY TO FREEZING...BUT THE
SATURATED LOW LEVELS WILL OTHERWISE MAKE IT HARD FOR TEMPERATURES
TO COOL WITH THE MOSTLY LIGHT WINTER MIX. HIGH RAIN CHANCES
CONTINUE INTO FIRST PART OF TODAY OVER CENTRAL AND EASTERN
COUNTIES...AND A FEW SNOW FLAKES COULD FIND THEIR WAY INTO THE
EASTERN HILL COUNTRY LATER THIS MORNING.

THE RAIN AREA CLEARS QUICKLY FROM THE WEST BY THIS AFTERNOON AND
THE WESTERN HALF OF THE AREA SHOULD SEE A GLIMPSE OF SUNSHINE AT
THE END OF THE DAY. THE COLD NORTH BREEZES OF 10 TO 20 MPH SHOULD
RELAX BY THIS TIME AND ALLOW FOR EFFICIENT COOLING OVER NW
COUNTIES WHILE SERN COUNTIES MAY NOT SEE THE WIND FULLY DECOUPLE.
WITH SO MUCH RAIN HAVING FALLEN ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN
COUNTIES...MAY NEED TO CONSIDER FOG FOR SATURDAY MORNING...BUT
WILL EXPECT THE NW WINDS TO KEEP THE AIR MIXED. FREEZING
TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE MAINLY NORTH OF HIGHWAY 90. WITH LIGHT
WINDS AND MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES SATURDAY...TEMPERATURES WILL HAVE A
NICE REBOUND TO APPROACH LATE JANUARY NORMALS.

LONG TERM (SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)...
LIMITED CLOUDS...LIGHT WINDS AND HIGH SOIL MOISTURE COULD GENERATE
SOME PATCHY FOG FOR SUNDAY MORNING. A FEW SPOTS COULD RETURN TO
FREEZING...BUT EXPECTING ENOUGH HIGH CLOUDS TO KEEP MOST AREAS IN
THE MID TO UPPER 30S. THE WARM AND DRYING TREND CONTINUES INTO
THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AS UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS EAST
ACROSS TX. LATE IN THE WEEK A SPLIT FLOW PATTERN OVER THE PACIFIC
SHIFTS A TROUGH EAST INTO THE SWRN US AND BRINGS A GOOD POTENTIAL
FOR ANOTHER RAIN EVENT FOR NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              50  35  62  39  68 /  70   0   0   0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  50  31  61  33  67 /  70   0   0   0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     50  35  61  36  68 /  60   0   0   0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            49  33  59  34  66 /  60   0   0   0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           53  33  61  38  67 /  20   0   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        48  34  60  35  67 /  70   0   0   0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             53  31  62  35  68 /  40   0   0   0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        50  33  61  35  67 /  70   0   0   0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   49  35  61  38  66 /  70  -    0   0   0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       51  35  62  39  68 /  50   0   0   0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           52  34  63  38  68 /  40   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...00
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...04
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...30






000
FXUS64 KEWX 231816
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1216 PM CST FRI JAN 23 2015

.AVIATION...
/18Z TAF UPDATE/

MVFR CIGS WILL GRADUALLY IMPROVE TO VFR BY 21Z AT AUS/SSF/SAT AS
LIGHT PRECIPITATION MOVES OUT OF THE REGION. DRT MAY TAKE A BIT
LONGER TO IMPROVE TO VFR DUE TO REDEVELOPMENT OF CLOUDS TO THEIR
NORTHWEST. WINDS SHOULD DECREASE THIS AFTERNOON AND GO BELOW 5 KT
SUSTAINED AT ALL SITES THIS EVENING. FOG DEVELOPING OVERNIGHT IS
NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION...PARTICULARLY AT DRT AND AUS...BUT
NORTHWEST WINDS SHOULD BE STRONG ENOUGH TO PREVENT LOWER
VISIBILITY SO LEFT IT OUT OF THE CURRENT TAF.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 909 AM CST FRI JAN 23 2015/

UPDATE...
STRONGER DYNAMICAL COOLING TAKING PLACE WITH RAIN/SNOW MIX
APPROACHING THE I-35 CORRIDOR NORTHEAST OF SAN ANTONIO TO THE
AUSTIN AREA. SOME SNOW ACCUMULATIONS UP TO ONE INCH ARE POSSIBLE
MAINLY ON GRASSY SURFACES IN THE HILL COUNTRY WITH LITTLE OR NO
ACCUMULATIONS ALONG THE I-35 CORRIDOR. WE HAVE ISSUED A SPECIAL
WEATHER STATEMENT FOR THIS WINTER WEATHER EVENT. TEMPERATURES
RUNNING A LITTLE COOLER AND HAVE SLOWED ITS RISE FOR TODAY.
REMAINDER OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS FORECAST IS ON TRACK.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 559 AM CST FRI JAN 23 2015/

AVIATION...
AREA OF RAIN COVERS MOST OF OUR FORECAST AREA AND IS MOVING TO THE
EAST. RAIN IS LIGHT AND NOT AFFECTING VIS...BUT CIGS ARE MVFR.
THESE WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING AND MAY BRIEFLY DROP TO IFR AT
AUS. RAIN SHOULD END FROM WEST TO EAST STARTING BY AROUND 13Z AT
DRT AND IT SHOULD BE OUT THE AREA BY 18Z. CIGS WILL LIFT TO VFR BY
MID-AFTERNOON AND THEN SKIES SHOULD SCATTER OUT THIS EVENING.
WINDS WILL BE FROM THE NORTH AT 10 TO 15 KTS THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON AND DROP OFF AROUND 00Z. TONIGHT WILL BE VFR WITH LIGHT
WINDS.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 323 AM CST FRI JAN 23 2015/

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...
AREAS OF MODERATE SNOW ARE FALLING WITH SLEET AND RAIN OVER THE
SOUTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU EARLY THIS MORNING. WILL CONTINUE TO
MONITOR THIS DEVELOPMENT FOR A POSSIBLE WINTER WX ADVISORY...BUT
FOR NOW...WILL PLAN ON HANDLING WITH AN SPS WHICH WILL DETAIL ANY
ACCUMULATIONS TO BE MAINLY ON ELEVATED SURFACES. THE PASSING OF
THE UPPER LOW THROUGH THIS AREA COULD BE MAKE SNOW RATES CAPABLE
OF LOWERING THE TEMPERATURES BRIEFLY TO FREEZING...BUT THE
SATURATED LOW LEVELS WILL OTHERWISE MAKE IT HARD FOR TEMPERATURES
TO COOL WITH THE MOSTLY LIGHT WINTER MIX. HIGH RAIN CHANCES
CONTINUE INTO FIRST PART OF TODAY OVER CENTRAL AND EASTERN
COUNTIES...AND A FEW SNOW FLAKES COULD FIND THEIR WAY INTO THE
EASTERN HILL COUNTRY LATER THIS MORNING.

THE RAIN AREA CLEARS QUICKLY FROM THE WEST BY THIS AFTERNOON AND
THE WESTERN HALF OF THE AREA SHOULD SEE A GLIMPSE OF SUNSHINE AT
THE END OF THE DAY. THE COLD NORTH BREEZES OF 10 TO 20 MPH SHOULD
RELAX BY THIS TIME AND ALLOW FOR EFFICIENT COOLING OVER NW
COUNTIES WHILE SERN COUNTIES MAY NOT SEE THE WIND FULLY DECOUPLE.
WITH SO MUCH RAIN HAVING FALLEN ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN
COUNTIES...MAY NEED TO CONSIDER FOG FOR SATURDAY MORNING...BUT
WILL EXPECT THE NW WINDS TO KEEP THE AIR MIXED. FREEZING
TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE MAINLY NORTH OF HIGHWAY 90. WITH LIGHT
WINDS AND MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES SATURDAY...TEMPERATURES WILL HAVE A
NICE REBOUND TO APPROACH LATE JANUARY NORMALS.

LONG TERM (SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)...
LIMITED CLOUDS...LIGHT WINDS AND HIGH SOIL MOISTURE COULD GENERATE
SOME PATCHY FOG FOR SUNDAY MORNING. A FEW SPOTS COULD RETURN TO
FREEZING...BUT EXPECTING ENOUGH HIGH CLOUDS TO KEEP MOST AREAS IN
THE MID TO UPPER 30S. THE WARM AND DRYING TREND CONTINUES INTO
THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AS UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS EAST
ACROSS TX. LATE IN THE WEEK A SPLIT FLOW PATTERN OVER THE PACIFIC
SHIFTS A TROUGH EAST INTO THE SWRN US AND BRINGS A GOOD POTENTIAL
FOR ANOTHER RAIN EVENT FOR NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              50  35  62  39  68 /  70   0   0   0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  50  31  61  33  67 /  70   0   0   0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     50  35  61  36  68 /  60   0   0   0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            49  33  59  34  66 /  60   0   0   0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           53  33  61  38  67 /  20   0   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        48  34  60  35  67 /  70   0   0   0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             53  31  62  35  68 /  40   0   0   0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        50  33  61  35  67 /  70   0   0   0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   49  35  61  38  66 /  70  -    0   0   0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       51  35  62  39  68 /  50   0   0   0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           52  34  63  38  68 /  40   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...00
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...04
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...30







000
FXUS64 KEWX 231509
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
909 AM CST FRI JAN 23 2015

.UPDATE...
STRONGER DYNAMICAL COOLING TAKING PLACE WITH RAIN/SNOW MIX
APPROACHING THE I-35 CORRIDOR NORTHEAST OF SAN ANTONIO TO THE
AUSTIN AREA. SOME SNOW ACCUMULATIONS UP TO ONE INCH ARE POSSIBLE
MAINLY ON GRASSY SURFACES IN THE HILL COUNTRY WITH LITTLE OR NO
ACCUMULATIONS ALONG THE I-35 CORRIDOR. WE HAVE ISSUED A SPECIAL
WEATHER STATEMENT FOR THIS WINTER WEATHER EVENT. TEMPERATURES
RUNNING A LITTLE COOLER AND HAVE SLOWED ITS RISE FOR TODAY.
REMAINDER OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS FORECAST IS ON TRACK.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 559 AM CST FRI JAN 23 2015/

AVIATION...
AREA OF RAIN COVERS MOST OF OUR FORECAST AREA AND IS MOVING TO THE
EAST. RAIN IS LIGHT AND NOT AFFECTING VIS...BUT CIGS ARE MVFR.
THESE WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING AND MAY BRIEFLY DROP TO IFR AT
AUS. RAIN SHOULD END FROM WEST TO EAST STARTING BY AROUND 13Z AT
DRT AND IT SHOULD BE OUT THE AREA BY 18Z. CIGS WILL LIFT TO VFR BY
MID-AFTERNOON AND THEN SKIES SHOULD SCATTER OUT THIS EVENING.
WINDS WILL BE FROM THE NORTH AT 10 TO 15 KTS THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON AND DROP OFF AROUND 00Z. TONIGHT WILL BE VFR WITH LIGHT
WINDS.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 323 AM CST FRI JAN 23 2015/

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...
AREAS OF MODERATE SNOW ARE FALLING WITH SLEET AND RAIN OVER THE
SOUTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU EARLY THIS MORNING. WILL CONTINUE TO
MONITOR THIS DEVELOPMENT FOR A POSSIBLE WINTER WX ADVISORY...BUT
FOR NOW...WILL PLAN ON HANDLING WITH AN SPS WHICH WILL DETAIL ANY
ACCUMULATIONS TO BE MAINLY ON ELEVATED SURFACES. THE PASSING OF
THE UPPER LOW THROUGH THIS AREA COULD BE MAKE SNOW RATES CAPABLE
OF LOWERING THE TEMPERATURES BRIEFLY TO FREEZING...BUT THE
SATURATED LOW LEVELS WILL OTHERWISE MAKE IT HARD FOR TEMPERATURES
TO COOL WITH THE MOSTLY LIGHT WINTER MIX. HIGH RAIN CHANCES
CONTINUE INTO FIRST PART OF TODAY OVER CENTRAL AND EASTERN
COUNTIES...AND A FEW SNOW FLAKES COULD FIND THEIR WAY INTO THE
EASTERN HILL COUNTRY LATER THIS MORNING.

THE RAIN AREA CLEARS QUICKLY FROM THE WEST BY THIS AFTERNOON AND
THE WESTERN HALF OF THE AREA SHOULD SEE A GLIMPSE OF SUNSHINE AT
THE END OF THE DAY. THE COLD NORTH BREEZES OF 10 TO 20 MPH SHOULD
RELAX BY THIS TIME AND ALLOW FOR EFFICIENT COOLING OVER NW
COUNTIES WHILE SERN COUNTIES MAY NOT SEE THE WIND FULLY DECOUPLE.
WITH SO MUCH RAIN HAVING FALLEN ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN
COUNTIES...MAY NEED TO CONSIDER FOG FOR SATURDAY MORNING...BUT
WILL EXPECT THE NW WINDS TO KEEP THE AIR MIXED. FREEZING
TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE MAINLY NORTH OF HIGHWAY 90. WITH LIGHT
WINDS AND MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES SATURDAY...TEMPERATURES WILL HAVE A
NICE REBOUND TO APPROACH LATE JANUARY NORMALS.

LONG TERM (SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)...
LIMITED CLOUDS...LIGHT WINDS AND HIGH SOIL MOISTURE COULD GENERATE
SOME PATCHY FOG FOR SUNDAY MORNING. A FEW SPOTS COULD RETURN TO
FREEZING...BUT EXPECTING ENOUGH HIGH CLOUDS TO KEEP MOST AREAS IN
THE MID TO UPPER 30S. THE WARM AND DRYING TREND CONTINUES INTO
THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AS UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS EAST
ACROSS TX. LATE IN THE WEEK A SPLIT FLOW PATTERN OVER THE PACIFIC
SHIFTS A TROUGH EAST INTO THE SWRN US AND BRINGS A GOOD POTENTIAL
FOR ANOTHER RAIN EVENT FOR NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              50  35  62  39  68 /  70   0   0   0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  50  31  61  33  67 /  70   0   0   0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     50  35  61  36  68 /  60   0   0   0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            49  33  59  34  66 /  60   0   0   0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           53  33  61  38  67 /  20   0   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        48  34  60  35  67 /  70   0   0   0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             53  31  62  35  68 /  40   0   0   0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        50  33  61  35  67 /  70   0   0   0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   49  35  61  38  66 /  70  -    0   0   0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       51  35  62  39  68 /  50   0   0   0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           52  34  63  38  68 /  40   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...00
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...04
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...30








000
FXUS64 KEWX 231509
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
909 AM CST FRI JAN 23 2015

.UPDATE...
STRONGER DYNAMICAL COOLING TAKING PLACE WITH RAIN/SNOW MIX
APPROACHING THE I-35 CORRIDOR NORTHEAST OF SAN ANTONIO TO THE
AUSTIN AREA. SOME SNOW ACCUMULATIONS UP TO ONE INCH ARE POSSIBLE
MAINLY ON GRASSY SURFACES IN THE HILL COUNTRY WITH LITTLE OR NO
ACCUMULATIONS ALONG THE I-35 CORRIDOR. WE HAVE ISSUED A SPECIAL
WEATHER STATEMENT FOR THIS WINTER WEATHER EVENT. TEMPERATURES
RUNNING A LITTLE COOLER AND HAVE SLOWED ITS RISE FOR TODAY.
REMAINDER OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS FORECAST IS ON TRACK.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 559 AM CST FRI JAN 23 2015/

AVIATION...
AREA OF RAIN COVERS MOST OF OUR FORECAST AREA AND IS MOVING TO THE
EAST. RAIN IS LIGHT AND NOT AFFECTING VIS...BUT CIGS ARE MVFR.
THESE WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING AND MAY BRIEFLY DROP TO IFR AT
AUS. RAIN SHOULD END FROM WEST TO EAST STARTING BY AROUND 13Z AT
DRT AND IT SHOULD BE OUT THE AREA BY 18Z. CIGS WILL LIFT TO VFR BY
MID-AFTERNOON AND THEN SKIES SHOULD SCATTER OUT THIS EVENING.
WINDS WILL BE FROM THE NORTH AT 10 TO 15 KTS THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON AND DROP OFF AROUND 00Z. TONIGHT WILL BE VFR WITH LIGHT
WINDS.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 323 AM CST FRI JAN 23 2015/

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...
AREAS OF MODERATE SNOW ARE FALLING WITH SLEET AND RAIN OVER THE
SOUTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU EARLY THIS MORNING. WILL CONTINUE TO
MONITOR THIS DEVELOPMENT FOR A POSSIBLE WINTER WX ADVISORY...BUT
FOR NOW...WILL PLAN ON HANDLING WITH AN SPS WHICH WILL DETAIL ANY
ACCUMULATIONS TO BE MAINLY ON ELEVATED SURFACES. THE PASSING OF
THE UPPER LOW THROUGH THIS AREA COULD BE MAKE SNOW RATES CAPABLE
OF LOWERING THE TEMPERATURES BRIEFLY TO FREEZING...BUT THE
SATURATED LOW LEVELS WILL OTHERWISE MAKE IT HARD FOR TEMPERATURES
TO COOL WITH THE MOSTLY LIGHT WINTER MIX. HIGH RAIN CHANCES
CONTINUE INTO FIRST PART OF TODAY OVER CENTRAL AND EASTERN
COUNTIES...AND A FEW SNOW FLAKES COULD FIND THEIR WAY INTO THE
EASTERN HILL COUNTRY LATER THIS MORNING.

THE RAIN AREA CLEARS QUICKLY FROM THE WEST BY THIS AFTERNOON AND
THE WESTERN HALF OF THE AREA SHOULD SEE A GLIMPSE OF SUNSHINE AT
THE END OF THE DAY. THE COLD NORTH BREEZES OF 10 TO 20 MPH SHOULD
RELAX BY THIS TIME AND ALLOW FOR EFFICIENT COOLING OVER NW
COUNTIES WHILE SERN COUNTIES MAY NOT SEE THE WIND FULLY DECOUPLE.
WITH SO MUCH RAIN HAVING FALLEN ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN
COUNTIES...MAY NEED TO CONSIDER FOG FOR SATURDAY MORNING...BUT
WILL EXPECT THE NW WINDS TO KEEP THE AIR MIXED. FREEZING
TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE MAINLY NORTH OF HIGHWAY 90. WITH LIGHT
WINDS AND MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES SATURDAY...TEMPERATURES WILL HAVE A
NICE REBOUND TO APPROACH LATE JANUARY NORMALS.

LONG TERM (SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)...
LIMITED CLOUDS...LIGHT WINDS AND HIGH SOIL MOISTURE COULD GENERATE
SOME PATCHY FOG FOR SUNDAY MORNING. A FEW SPOTS COULD RETURN TO
FREEZING...BUT EXPECTING ENOUGH HIGH CLOUDS TO KEEP MOST AREAS IN
THE MID TO UPPER 30S. THE WARM AND DRYING TREND CONTINUES INTO
THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AS UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS EAST
ACROSS TX. LATE IN THE WEEK A SPLIT FLOW PATTERN OVER THE PACIFIC
SHIFTS A TROUGH EAST INTO THE SWRN US AND BRINGS A GOOD POTENTIAL
FOR ANOTHER RAIN EVENT FOR NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              50  35  62  39  68 /  70   0   0   0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  50  31  61  33  67 /  70   0   0   0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     50  35  61  36  68 /  60   0   0   0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            49  33  59  34  66 /  60   0   0   0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           53  33  61  38  67 /  20   0   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        48  34  60  35  67 /  70   0   0   0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             53  31  62  35  68 /  40   0   0   0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        50  33  61  35  67 /  70   0   0   0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   49  35  61  38  66 /  70  -    0   0   0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       51  35  62  39  68 /  50   0   0   0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           52  34  63  38  68 /  40   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...00
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...04
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...30









000
FXUS64 KEWX 231159
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
559 AM CST FRI JAN 23 2015

.AVIATION...
AREA OF RAIN COVERS MOST OF OUR FORECAST AREA AND IS MOVING TO THE
EAST. RAIN IS LIGHT AND NOT AFFECTING VIS...BUT CIGS ARE MVFR.
THESE WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING AND MAY BRIEFLY DROP TO IFR AT
AUS. RAIN SHOULD END FROM WEST TO EAST STARTING BY AROUND 13Z AT
DRT AND IT SHOULD BE OUT THE AREA BY 18Z. CIGS WILL LIFT TO VFR BY
MID-AFTERNOON AND THEN SKIES SHOULD SCATTER OUT THIS EVENING.
WINDS WILL BE FROM THE NORTH AT 10 TO 15 KTS THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON AND DROP OFF AROUND 00Z. TONIGHT WILL BE VFR WITH LIGHT
WINDS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 323 AM CST FRI JAN 23 2015/

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...
AREAS OF MODERATE SNOW ARE FALLING WITH SLEET AND RAIN OVER THE
SOUTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU EARLY THIS MORNING. WILL CONTINUE TO
MONITOR THIS DEVELOPMENT FOR A POSSIBLE WINTER WX ADVISORY...BUT
FOR NOW...WILL PLAN ON HANDLING WITH AN SPS WHICH WILL DETAIL ANY
ACCUMULATIONS TO BE MAINLY ON ELEVATED SURFACES. THE PASSING OF
THE UPPER LOW THROUGH THIS AREA COULD BE MAKE SNOW RATES CAPABLE
OF LOWERING THE TEMPERATURES BRIEFLY TO FREEZING...BUT THE
SATURATED LOW LEVELS WILL OTHERWISE MAKE IT HARD FOR TEMPERATURES
TO COOL WITH THE MOSTLY LIGHT WINTER MIX. HIGH RAIN CHANCES
CONTINUE INTO FIRST PART OF TODAY OVER CENTRAL AND EASTERN
COUNTIES...AND A FEW SNOW FLAKES COULD FIND THEIR WAY INTO THE
EASTERN HILL COUNTRY LATER THIS MORNING.

THE RAIN AREA CLEARS QUICKLY FROM THE WEST BY THIS AFTERNOON AND
THE WESTERN HALF OF THE AREA SHOULD SEE A GLIMPSE OF SUNSHINE AT
THE END OF THE DAY. THE COLD NORTH BREEZES OF 10 TO 20 MPH SHOULD
RELAX BY THIS TIME AND ALLOW FOR EFFICIENT COOLING OVER NW
COUNTIES WHILE SERN COUNTIES MAY NOT SEE THE WIND FULLY DECOUPLE.
WITH SO MUCH RAIN HAVING FALLEN ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN
COUNTIES...MAY NEED TO CONSIDER FOG FOR SATURDAY MORNING...BUT
WILL EXPECT THE NW WINDS TO KEEP THE AIR MIXED. FREEZING
TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE MAINLY NORTH OF HIGHWAY 90. WITH LIGHT
WINDS AND MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES SATURDAY...TEMPERATURES WILL HAVE A
NICE REBOUND TO APPROACH LATE JANUARY NORMALS.

LONG TERM (SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)...
LIMITED CLOUDS...LIGHT WINDS AND HIGH SOIL MOISTURE COULD GENERATE
SOME PATCHY FOG FOR SUNDAY MORNING. A FEW SPOTS COULD RETURN TO
FREEZING...BUT EXPECTING ENOUGH HIGH CLOUDS TO KEEP MOST AREAS IN
THE MID TO UPPER 30S. THE WARM AND DRYING TREND CONTINUES INTO
THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AS UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS EAST
ACROSS TX. LATE IN THE WEEK A SPLIT FLOW PATTERN OVER THE PACIFIC
SHIFTS A TROUGH EAST INTO THE SWRN US AND BRINGS A GOOD POTENTIAL
FOR ANOTHER RAIN EVENT FOR NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              50  35  62  39  68 /  70   0   0  -    0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  50  31  61  33  67 /  70   0   0  -    0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     50  35  61  36  68 /  60   0   0  -    0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            49  33  59  34  66 /  60   0   0  -    0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           53  33  61  38  67 /  20   0   0  -    0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        48  34  60  35  67 /  70   0   0  -    0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             53  31  62  35  68 /  40   0   0  -    0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        50  33  61  35  67 /  70   0   0  -    0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   49  35  61  38  66 /  70  -    0  -    0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       51  35  62  39  68 /  50   0   0  -    0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           52  34  63  38  68 /  40   0   0  -    0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...05
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...18






000
FXUS64 KEWX 230923
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
323 AM CST FRI JAN 23 2015

.SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...
AREAS OF MODERATE SNOW ARE FALLING WITH SLEET AND RAIN OVER THE
SOUTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU EARLY THIS MORNING. WILL CONTINUE TO
MONITOR THIS DEVELOPMENT FOR A POSSIBLE WINTER WX ADVISORY...BUT
FOR NOW...WILL PLAN ON HANDLING WITH AN SPS WHICH WILL DETAIL ANY
ACCUMULATIONS TO BE MAINLY ON ELEVATED SURFACES. THE PASSING OF
THE UPPER LOW THROUGH THIS AREA COULD BE MAKE SNOW RATES CAPABLE
OF LOWERING THE TEMPERATURES BRIEFLY TO FREEZING...BUT THE
SATURATED LOW LEVELS WILL OTHERWISE MAKE IT HARD FOR TEMPERATURES
TO COOL WITH THE MOSTLY LIGHT WINTER MIX. HIGH RAIN CHANCES
CONTINUE INTO FIRST PART OF TODAY OVER CENTRAL AND EASTERN
COUNTIES...AND A FEW SNOW FLAKES COULD FIND THEIR WAY INTO THE
EASTERN HILL COUNTRY LATER THIS MORNING.

THE RAIN AREA CLEARS QUICKLY FROM THE WEST BY THIS AFTERNOON AND
THE WESTERN HALF OF THE AREA SHOULD SEE A GLIMPSE OF SUNSHINE AT
THE END OF THE DAY. THE COLD NORTH BREEZES OF 10 TO 20 MPH SHOULD
RELAX BY THIS TIME AND ALLOW FOR EFFICIENT COOLING OVER NW
COUNTIES WHILE SERN COUNTIES MAY NOT SEE THE WIND FULLY DECOUPLE.
WITH SO MUCH RAIN HAVING FALLEN ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN
COUNTIES...MAY NEED TO CONSIDER FOG FOR SATURDAY MORNING...BUT
WILL EXPECT THE NW WINDS TO KEEP THE AIR MIXED. FREEZING
TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE MAINLY NORTH OF HIGHWAY 90. WITH LIGHT
WINDS AND MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES SATURDAY...TEMPERATURES WILL HAVE A
NICE REBOUND TO APPROACH LATE JANUARY NORMALS.

&&

.LONG TERM (SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)...
LIMITED CLOUDS...LIGHT WINDS AND HIGH SOIL MOISTURE COULD GENERATE
SOME PATCHY FOG FOR SUNDAY MORNING. A FEW SPOTS COULD RETURN TO
FREEZING...BUT EXPECTING ENOUGH HIGH CLOUDS TO KEEP MOST AREAS IN
THE MID TO UPPER 30S. THE WARM AND DRYING TREND CONTINUES INTO
THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AS UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS EAST
ACROSS TX. LATE IN THE WEEK A SPLIT FLOW PATTERN OVER THE PACIFIC
SHIFTS A TROUGH EAST INTO THE SWRN US AND BRINGS A GOOD POTENTIAL
FOR ANOTHER RAIN EVENT FOR NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              50  35  62  39  68 /  70   0   0  -    0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  50  31  61  33  67 /  70   0   0  -    0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     50  35  61  36  68 /  60   0   0  -    0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            49  33  59  34  66 /  60   0   0  -    0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           53  33  61  38  67 /  20   0   0  -    0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        48  34  60  35  67 /  70   0   0  -    0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             53  31  62  35  68 /  40   0   0  -    0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        50  33  61  35  67 /  70   0   0  -    0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   49  35  61  38  66 /  70  -    0  -    0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       51  35  62  39  68 /  50   0   0  -    0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           52  34  63  38  68 /  40   0   0  -    0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...05
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...18







000
FXUS64 KEWX 230449 AAA
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1049 PM CST THU JAN 22 2015

.AVIATION...
/06Z TAFS/
MVFR CIGS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO...BUT LOWERING
TO THE UPPER END OF IFR CATEGORY OVERNIGHT. NORTHERLY WINDS WILL
REMAIN MODERATE TONIGHT WITH SPEEDS AVERAGING 10 TO 18 KNOTS.
OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP TO 25 KNOTS ARE POSSIBLE. LIGHT RAIN IS
ANTICIPATED OVERNIGHT AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE PUSHES ACROSS
THE AREA. LIGHT RAIN AND DRIZZLE WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT INTO
FRIDAY MORNING. CIGS AND VSBYS WILL IMPROVE TO VFR FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 15 KNOTS ARE FORECAST FOR FRIDAY
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 903 PM CST THU JAN 22 2015/

UPDATE...
MINOR UPDATES HAVE BEEN MADE TO THE FORECAST FOR THE REMAINDER OF
THIS EVENING AND THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. BASED ON RECENT
OBSERVATIONS...WE HAVE INCREASED WIND SPEEDS/GUSTS SLIGHTLY AS THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT REMAINS TIGHT. ALSO...BASED ON INCOMING MODEL
DATA WE HAVE EXPANDED THE MENTION OF A LIGHT RAIN/SNOW MIX INTO
BURNET COUNTY. AGREE WITH PREVIOUS THINKING THAT THE LOW-LEVELS
WILL REMAIN TOO WARM TO ALLOW FOR ANY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. NO OTHER
CHANGES HAVE BEEN MADE TO THE FORECAST AT THIS TIME.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 551 PM CST THU JAN 22 2015/

AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/
MVFR CIGS ARE EXPECTED THIS EVENING ACROSS AREA TERMINALS. LIGHT
RAIN IS ANTICIPATED TONIGHT AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE PUSHES
ACROSS THE AREA AND WILL BRING CIGS DOWN TO IFR BETWEEN 03Z/04Z
AND 07Z/08Z FRIDAY. ACROSS DRT...IFR CIGS ARE EXPECTED FOR SEVERAL
HOURS AT OR AROUND 09Z. LIGHT RAIN AND DRIZZLE WILL CONTINUE
OVERNIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING WITH SKIES CLEARING FROM WEST TO
EAST BY LATE FRIDAY MORNING. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL IN THE
AFTERNOON ACROSS AREA SITES THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. NORTH TO
NORTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 15 KNOTS TO PREVAIL FOR THE PERIOD.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 240 PM CST THU JAN 22 2015/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)...
WET PATTERN CONTINUES TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
CURRENTLY OVER FAR WESTERN TEXAS MOVES ACROSS TEXAS TONIGHT INTO
FRIDAY. ISENTROPIC LIFT WANES WITH MOISTURE LEVELS SLOWLY
DECREASING THIS EVENING AS LEAD SHORT-WAVE AND A SURFACE LOW MOVE
OFF TO THE EAST. SYNOPTIC LIFT STRENGTHENS OVERNIGHT WITH AREAS
OF RAIN. FORECAST SOUNDINGS OVER THE EDWARDS PLATEAU INTO HILL
COUNTRY SHOW SNOW AS THE PRECIPITATION TYPE OVERNIGHT INTO FRIDAY
MORNING. HOWEVER...EXPECT BOUNDARY LAYER TEMPERATURES TO BE ABOVE
FREEZING AND HAVE GONE WITH A RAIN/SNOW MIX AND NO SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS. SHOULD STRONGER DYNAMICAL COOLING TAKE PLACE...THEN
ACCUMULATIONS COULD BE POSSIBLE...ALTHOUGH GROUND TEMPERATURES
WILL REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING KEEPING THEM SLIGHT. THE PRECIPITATION
ENDS FROM WEST TO EAST LATE FRIDAY MORNING TO MIDDAY AS THE TROUGH
AXIS MOVES ACROSS OUR AREA. CLOUDS DECREASE FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO
EVENING. BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES CONTINUE IN THE SHORT-TERM.

LONG TERM (SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)...
NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK
AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS OVER SOUTHERN TEXAS. THE UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE MAY WEAKEN DURING THE MIDDLE TO LATE NEXT WEEK ALLOWING AN
UPPER LEVEL LOW WELL WEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA TO OPEN UP AND MOVE
TO THE NORTHEAST. WILL KEEP PRECIPITATION OUT OF THE FORECAST AS
CHANCES OF RAIN WILL WAIT UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT OR FRIDAY OF
NEXT WEEK AT THE EARLIEST WHEN THE FORMER BAJA LOW APPROACHES. A
WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED. HOWEVER...A COUPLE OF WEAK COLD FRONTS
ARE POSSIBLE AND WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES FROM GETTING TOO FAR ABOVE
AVERAGE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              40  50  36  61  40 /  60  50  -    0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  40  50  33  60  36 /  60  50  -    0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     40  51  35  61  38 /  60  50  -    0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            38  48  33  58  36 /  60  50  -    0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           39  54  34  62  39 /  70  20   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        38  49  34  59  37 /  60  50  -    0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             39  53  31  63  36 /  60  50   0   0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        40  50  34  61  37 /  60  50  -    0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   42  49  37  60  41 /  50  50  -    0   0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       41  51  36  62  39 /  60  50   0   0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           41  52  34  63  39 /  60  50   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...17
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...24
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...12






000
FXUS64 KEWX 230303 AAA
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
903 PM CST THU JAN 22 2015

.UPDATE...
MINOR UPDATES HAVE BEEN MADE TO THE FORECAST FOR THE REMAINDER OF
THIS EVENING AND THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. BASED ON RECENT
OBSERVATIONS...WE HAVE INCREASED WIND SPEEDS/GUSTS SLIGHTLY AS THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT REMAINS TIGHT. ALSO...BASED ON INCOMING MODEL
DATA WE HAVE EXPANDED THE MENTION OF A LIGHT RAIN/SNOW MIX INTO
BURNET COUNTY. AGREE WITH PREVIOUS THINKING THAT THE LOW-LEVELS
WILL REMAIN TOO WARM TO ALLOW FOR ANY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. NO OTHER
CHANGES HAVE BEEN MADE TO THE FORECAST AT THIS TIME.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 551 PM CST THU JAN 22 2015/

AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/
MVFR CIGS ARE EXPECTED THIS EVENING ACROSS AREA TERMINALS. LIGHT
RAIN IS ANTICIPATED TONIGHT AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE PUSHES
ACROSS THE AREA AND WILL BRING CIGS DOWN TO IFR BETWEEN 03Z/04Z
AND 07Z/08Z FRIDAY. ACROSS DRT...IFR CIGS ARE EXPECTED FOR SEVERAL
HOURS AT OR AROUND 09Z. LIGHT RAIN AND DRIZZLE WILL CONTINUE
OVERNIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING WITH SKIES CLEARING FROM WEST TO
EAST BY LATE FRIDAY MORNING. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL IN THE
AFTERNOON ACROSS AREA SITES THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. NORTH TO
NORTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 15 KNOTS TO PREVAIL FOR THE PERIOD.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 240 PM CST THU JAN 22 2015/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)...
WET PATTERN CONTINUES TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
CURRENTLY OVER FAR WESTERN TEXAS MOVES ACROSS TEXAS TONIGHT INTO
FRIDAY. ISENTROPIC LIFT WANES WITH MOISTURE LEVELS SLOWLY
DECREASING THIS EVENING AS LEAD SHORT-WAVE AND A SURFACE LOW MOVE
OFF TO THE EAST. SYNOPTIC LIFT STRENGTHENS OVERNIGHT WITH AREAS
OF RAIN. FORECAST SOUNDINGS OVER THE EDWARDS PLATEAU INTO HILL
COUNTRY SHOW SNOW AS THE PRECIPITATION TYPE OVERNIGHT INTO FRIDAY
MORNING. HOWEVER...EXPECT BOUNDARY LAYER TEMPERATURES TO BE ABOVE
FREEZING AND HAVE GONE WITH A RAIN/SNOW MIX AND NO SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS. SHOULD STRONGER DYNAMICAL COOLING TAKE PLACE...THEN
ACCUMULATIONS COULD BE POSSIBLE...ALTHOUGH GROUND TEMPERATURES
WILL REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING KEEPING THEM SLIGHT. THE PRECIPITATION
ENDS FROM WEST TO EAST LATE FRIDAY MORNING TO MIDDAY AS THE TROUGH
AXIS MOVES ACROSS OUR AREA. CLOUDS DECREASE FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO
EVENING. BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES CONTINUE IN THE SHORT-TERM.

LONG TERM (SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)...
NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK
AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS OVER SOUTHERN TEXAS. THE UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE MAY WEAKEN DURING THE MIDDLE TO LATE NEXT WEEK ALLOWING AN
UPPER LEVEL LOW WELL WEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA TO OPEN UP AND MOVE
TO THE NORTHEAST. WILL KEEP PRECIPITATION OUT OF THE FORECAST AS
CHANCES OF RAIN WILL WAIT UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT OR FRIDAY OF
NEXT WEEK AT THE EARLIEST WHEN THE FORMER BAJA LOW APPROACHES. A
WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED. HOWEVER...A COUPLE OF WEAK COLD FRONTS
ARE POSSIBLE AND WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES FROM GETTING TOO FAR ABOVE
AVERAGE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              40  50  36  61  40 /  60  50  -    0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  40  50  33  60  36 /  60  50  -    0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     40  51  35  61  38 /  60  50  -    0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            38  48  33  58  36 /  60  50  -    0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           39  54  34  62  39 /  70  20   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        38  49  34  59  37 /  60  50  -    0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             39  53  31  63  36 /  60  50   0   0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        40  50  34  61  37 /  60  50  -    0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   42  49  37  60  41 /  50  50  -    0   0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       41  51  36  62  39 /  60  50   0   0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           41  52  34  63  39 /  60  50   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...17
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...24
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...12










000
FXUS64 KEWX 230303 AAA
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
903 PM CST THU JAN 22 2015

.UPDATE...
MINOR UPDATES HAVE BEEN MADE TO THE FORECAST FOR THE REMAINDER OF
THIS EVENING AND THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. BASED ON RECENT
OBSERVATIONS...WE HAVE INCREASED WIND SPEEDS/GUSTS SLIGHTLY AS THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT REMAINS TIGHT. ALSO...BASED ON INCOMING MODEL
DATA WE HAVE EXPANDED THE MENTION OF A LIGHT RAIN/SNOW MIX INTO
BURNET COUNTY. AGREE WITH PREVIOUS THINKING THAT THE LOW-LEVELS
WILL REMAIN TOO WARM TO ALLOW FOR ANY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. NO OTHER
CHANGES HAVE BEEN MADE TO THE FORECAST AT THIS TIME.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 551 PM CST THU JAN 22 2015/

AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/
MVFR CIGS ARE EXPECTED THIS EVENING ACROSS AREA TERMINALS. LIGHT
RAIN IS ANTICIPATED TONIGHT AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE PUSHES
ACROSS THE AREA AND WILL BRING CIGS DOWN TO IFR BETWEEN 03Z/04Z
AND 07Z/08Z FRIDAY. ACROSS DRT...IFR CIGS ARE EXPECTED FOR SEVERAL
HOURS AT OR AROUND 09Z. LIGHT RAIN AND DRIZZLE WILL CONTINUE
OVERNIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING WITH SKIES CLEARING FROM WEST TO
EAST BY LATE FRIDAY MORNING. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL IN THE
AFTERNOON ACROSS AREA SITES THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. NORTH TO
NORTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 15 KNOTS TO PREVAIL FOR THE PERIOD.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 240 PM CST THU JAN 22 2015/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)...
WET PATTERN CONTINUES TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
CURRENTLY OVER FAR WESTERN TEXAS MOVES ACROSS TEXAS TONIGHT INTO
FRIDAY. ISENTROPIC LIFT WANES WITH MOISTURE LEVELS SLOWLY
DECREASING THIS EVENING AS LEAD SHORT-WAVE AND A SURFACE LOW MOVE
OFF TO THE EAST. SYNOPTIC LIFT STRENGTHENS OVERNIGHT WITH AREAS
OF RAIN. FORECAST SOUNDINGS OVER THE EDWARDS PLATEAU INTO HILL
COUNTRY SHOW SNOW AS THE PRECIPITATION TYPE OVERNIGHT INTO FRIDAY
MORNING. HOWEVER...EXPECT BOUNDARY LAYER TEMPERATURES TO BE ABOVE
FREEZING AND HAVE GONE WITH A RAIN/SNOW MIX AND NO SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS. SHOULD STRONGER DYNAMICAL COOLING TAKE PLACE...THEN
ACCUMULATIONS COULD BE POSSIBLE...ALTHOUGH GROUND TEMPERATURES
WILL REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING KEEPING THEM SLIGHT. THE PRECIPITATION
ENDS FROM WEST TO EAST LATE FRIDAY MORNING TO MIDDAY AS THE TROUGH
AXIS MOVES ACROSS OUR AREA. CLOUDS DECREASE FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO
EVENING. BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES CONTINUE IN THE SHORT-TERM.

LONG TERM (SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)...
NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK
AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS OVER SOUTHERN TEXAS. THE UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE MAY WEAKEN DURING THE MIDDLE TO LATE NEXT WEEK ALLOWING AN
UPPER LEVEL LOW WELL WEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA TO OPEN UP AND MOVE
TO THE NORTHEAST. WILL KEEP PRECIPITATION OUT OF THE FORECAST AS
CHANCES OF RAIN WILL WAIT UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT OR FRIDAY OF
NEXT WEEK AT THE EARLIEST WHEN THE FORMER BAJA LOW APPROACHES. A
WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED. HOWEVER...A COUPLE OF WEAK COLD FRONTS
ARE POSSIBLE AND WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES FROM GETTING TOO FAR ABOVE
AVERAGE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              40  50  36  61  40 /  60  50  -    0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  40  50  33  60  36 /  60  50  -    0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     40  51  35  61  38 /  60  50  -    0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            38  48  33  58  36 /  60  50  -    0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           39  54  34  62  39 /  70  20   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        38  49  34  59  37 /  60  50  -    0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             39  53  31  63  36 /  60  50   0   0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        40  50  34  61  37 /  60  50  -    0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   42  49  37  60  41 /  50  50  -    0   0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       41  51  36  62  39 /  60  50   0   0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           41  52  34  63  39 /  60  50   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...17
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...24
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...12









000
FXUS64 KEWX 222351 AAA
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
551 PM CST THU JAN 22 2015

.AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/
MVFR CIGS ARE EXPECTED THIS EVENING ACROSS AREA TERMINALS. LIGHT
RAIN IS ANTICIPATED TONIGHT AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE PUSHES
ACROSS THE AREA AND WILL BRING CIGS DOWN TO IFR BETWEEN 03Z/04Z
AND 07Z/08Z FRIDAY. ACROSS DRT...IFR CIGS ARE EXPECTED FOR SEVERAL
HOURS AT OR AROUND 09Z. LIGHT RAIN AND DRIZZLE WILL CONTINUE
OVERNIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING WITH SKIES CLEARING FROM WEST TO
EAST BY LATE FRIDAY MORNING. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL IN THE
AFTERNOON ACROSS AREA SITES THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. NORTH TO
NORTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 15 KNOTS TO PREVAIL FOR THE PERIOD.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 240 PM CST THU JAN 22 2015/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)...
WET PATTERN CONTINUES TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
CURRENTLY OVER FAR WESTERN TEXAS MOVES ACROSS TEXAS TONIGHT INTO
FRIDAY. ISENTROPIC LIFT WANES WITH MOISTURE LEVELS SLOWLY
DECREASING THIS EVENING AS LEAD SHORT-WAVE AND A SURFACE LOW MOVE
OFF TO THE EAST. SYNOPTIC LIFT STRENGTHENS OVERNIGHT WITH AREAS
OF RAIN. FORECAST SOUNDINGS OVER THE EDWARDS PLATEAU INTO HILL
COUNTRY SHOW SNOW AS THE PRECIPITATION TYPE OVERNIGHT INTO FRIDAY
MORNING. HOWEVER...EXPECT BOUNDARY LAYER TEMPERATURES TO BE ABOVE
FREEZING AND HAVE GONE WITH A RAIN/SNOW MIX AND NO SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS. SHOULD STRONGER DYNAMICAL COOLING TAKE PLACE...THEN
ACCUMULATIONS COULD BE POSSIBLE...ALTHOUGH GROUND TEMPERATURES
WILL REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING KEEPING THEM SLIGHT. THE PRECIPITATION
ENDS FROM WEST TO EAST LATE FRIDAY MORNING TO MIDDAY AS THE TROUGH
AXIS MOVES ACROSS OUR AREA. CLOUDS DECREASE FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO
EVENING. BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES CONTINUE IN THE SHORT-TERM.

LONG TERM (SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)...
NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK
AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS OVER SOUTHERN TEXAS. THE UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE MAY WEAKEN DURING THE MIDDLE TO LATE NEXT WEEK ALLOWING AN
UPPER LEVEL LOW WELL WEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA TO OPEN UP AND MOVE
TO THE NORTHEAST. WILL KEEP PRECIPITATION OUT OF THE FORECAST AS
CHANCES OF RAIN WILL WAIT UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT OR FRIDAY OF
NEXT WEEK AT THE EARLIEST WHEN THE FORMER BAJA LOW APPROACHES. A
WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED. HOWEVER...A COUPLE OF WEAK COLD FRONTS
ARE POSSIBLE AND WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES FROM GETTING TOO FAR ABOVE
AVERAGE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              40  50  36  61  40 /  60  50  -    0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  40  50  33  60  36 /  60  50  -    0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     40  51  35  61  38 /  60  50  -    0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            37  48  33  58  36 /  60  50  -    0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           39  54  34  62  39 /  70  20   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        38  49  34  59  37 /  60  50  -    0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             39  53  31  63  36 /  60  50   0   0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        40  50  34  61  37 /  60  50  -    0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   42  49  37  60  41 /  50  50  -    0   0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       41  51  36  62  39 /  60  50   0   0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           41  52  34  63  39 /  60  50   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...17
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...24
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...12







000
FXUS64 KEWX 222351 AAA
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
551 PM CST THU JAN 22 2015

.AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/
MVFR CIGS ARE EXPECTED THIS EVENING ACROSS AREA TERMINALS. LIGHT
RAIN IS ANTICIPATED TONIGHT AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE PUSHES
ACROSS THE AREA AND WILL BRING CIGS DOWN TO IFR BETWEEN 03Z/04Z
AND 07Z/08Z FRIDAY. ACROSS DRT...IFR CIGS ARE EXPECTED FOR SEVERAL
HOURS AT OR AROUND 09Z. LIGHT RAIN AND DRIZZLE WILL CONTINUE
OVERNIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING WITH SKIES CLEARING FROM WEST TO
EAST BY LATE FRIDAY MORNING. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL IN THE
AFTERNOON ACROSS AREA SITES THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. NORTH TO
NORTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 15 KNOTS TO PREVAIL FOR THE PERIOD.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 240 PM CST THU JAN 22 2015/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)...
WET PATTERN CONTINUES TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
CURRENTLY OVER FAR WESTERN TEXAS MOVES ACROSS TEXAS TONIGHT INTO
FRIDAY. ISENTROPIC LIFT WANES WITH MOISTURE LEVELS SLOWLY
DECREASING THIS EVENING AS LEAD SHORT-WAVE AND A SURFACE LOW MOVE
OFF TO THE EAST. SYNOPTIC LIFT STRENGTHENS OVERNIGHT WITH AREAS
OF RAIN. FORECAST SOUNDINGS OVER THE EDWARDS PLATEAU INTO HILL
COUNTRY SHOW SNOW AS THE PRECIPITATION TYPE OVERNIGHT INTO FRIDAY
MORNING. HOWEVER...EXPECT BOUNDARY LAYER TEMPERATURES TO BE ABOVE
FREEZING AND HAVE GONE WITH A RAIN/SNOW MIX AND NO SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS. SHOULD STRONGER DYNAMICAL COOLING TAKE PLACE...THEN
ACCUMULATIONS COULD BE POSSIBLE...ALTHOUGH GROUND TEMPERATURES
WILL REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING KEEPING THEM SLIGHT. THE PRECIPITATION
ENDS FROM WEST TO EAST LATE FRIDAY MORNING TO MIDDAY AS THE TROUGH
AXIS MOVES ACROSS OUR AREA. CLOUDS DECREASE FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO
EVENING. BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES CONTINUE IN THE SHORT-TERM.

LONG TERM (SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)...
NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK
AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS OVER SOUTHERN TEXAS. THE UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE MAY WEAKEN DURING THE MIDDLE TO LATE NEXT WEEK ALLOWING AN
UPPER LEVEL LOW WELL WEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA TO OPEN UP AND MOVE
TO THE NORTHEAST. WILL KEEP PRECIPITATION OUT OF THE FORECAST AS
CHANCES OF RAIN WILL WAIT UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT OR FRIDAY OF
NEXT WEEK AT THE EARLIEST WHEN THE FORMER BAJA LOW APPROACHES. A
WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED. HOWEVER...A COUPLE OF WEAK COLD FRONTS
ARE POSSIBLE AND WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES FROM GETTING TOO FAR ABOVE
AVERAGE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              40  50  36  61  40 /  60  50  -    0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  40  50  33  60  36 /  60  50  -    0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     40  51  35  61  38 /  60  50  -    0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            37  48  33  58  36 /  60  50  -    0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           39  54  34  62  39 /  70  20   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        38  49  34  59  37 /  60  50  -    0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             39  53  31  63  36 /  60  50   0   0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        40  50  34  61  37 /  60  50  -    0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   42  49  37  60  41 /  50  50  -    0   0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       41  51  36  62  39 /  60  50   0   0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           41  52  34  63  39 /  60  50   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...17
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...24
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...12






000
FXUS64 KEWX 222040
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
240 PM CST THU JAN 22 2015

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)...
WET PATTERN CONTINUES TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
CURRENTLY OVER FAR WESTERN TEXAS MOVES ACROSS TEXAS TONIGHT INTO
FRIDAY. ISENTROPIC LIFT WANES WITH MOISTURE LEVELS SLOWLY
DECREASING THIS EVENING AS LEAD SHORT-WAVE AND A SURFACE LOW MOVE
OFF TO THE EAST. SYNOPTIC LIFT STRENGTHENS OVERNIGHT WITH AREAS
OF RAIN. FORECAST SOUNDINGS OVER THE EDWARDS PLATEAU INTO HILL
COUNTRY SHOW SNOW AS THE PRECIPITATION TYPE OVERNIGHT INTO FRIDAY
MORNING. HOWEVER...EXPECT BOUNDARY LAYER TEMPERATURES TO BE ABOVE
FREEZING AND HAVE GONE WITH A RAIN/SNOW MIX AND NO SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS. SHOULD STRONGER DYNAMICAL COOLING TAKE PLACE...THEN
ACCUMULATIONS COULD BE POSSIBLE...ALTHOUGH GROUND TEMPERATURES
WILL REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING KEEPING THEM SLIGHT. THE PRECIPITATION
ENDS FROM WEST TO EAST LATE FRIDAY MORNING TO MIDDAY AS THE TROUGH
AXIS MOVES ACROSS OUR AREA. CLOUDS DECREASE FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO
EVENING. BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES CONTINUE IN THE SHORT-TERM.

&&

.LONG TERM (SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)...
NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK
AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS OVER SOUTHERN TEXAS. THE UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE MAY WEAKEN DURING THE MIDDLE TO LATE NEXT WEEK ALLOWING AN
UPPER LEVEL LOW WELL WEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA TO OPEN UP AND MOVE
TO THE NORTHEAST. WILL KEEP PRECIPITATION OUT OF THE FORECAST AS
CHANCES OF RAIN WILL WAIT UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT OR FRIDAY OF
NEXT WEEK AT THE EARLIEST WHEN THE FORMER BAJA LOW APPROACHES. A
WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED. HOWEVER...A COUPLE OF WEAK COLD FRONTS
ARE POSSIBLE AND WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES FROM GETTING TOO FAR ABOVE
AVERAGE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              40  50  36  61  40 /  60  50  -    0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  40  50  33  60  36 /  60  50  -    0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     40  51  35  61  38 /  60  50  -    0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            37  48  33  58  36 /  60  50  -    0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           39  54  34  62  39 /  70  20   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        38  49  34  59  37 /  60  50  -    0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             39  53  31  63  36 /  60  50   0   0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        40  50  34  61  37 /  60  50  -    0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   42  49  37  60  41 /  50  50  -    0   0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       41  51  36  62  39 /  60  50   0   0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           41  52  34  63  39 /  60  50   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...00
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...04
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...30






000
FXUS64 KEWX 222040
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
240 PM CST THU JAN 22 2015

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)...
WET PATTERN CONTINUES TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
CURRENTLY OVER FAR WESTERN TEXAS MOVES ACROSS TEXAS TONIGHT INTO
FRIDAY. ISENTROPIC LIFT WANES WITH MOISTURE LEVELS SLOWLY
DECREASING THIS EVENING AS LEAD SHORT-WAVE AND A SURFACE LOW MOVE
OFF TO THE EAST. SYNOPTIC LIFT STRENGTHENS OVERNIGHT WITH AREAS
OF RAIN. FORECAST SOUNDINGS OVER THE EDWARDS PLATEAU INTO HILL
COUNTRY SHOW SNOW AS THE PRECIPITATION TYPE OVERNIGHT INTO FRIDAY
MORNING. HOWEVER...EXPECT BOUNDARY LAYER TEMPERATURES TO BE ABOVE
FREEZING AND HAVE GONE WITH A RAIN/SNOW MIX AND NO SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS. SHOULD STRONGER DYNAMICAL COOLING TAKE PLACE...THEN
ACCUMULATIONS COULD BE POSSIBLE...ALTHOUGH GROUND TEMPERATURES
WILL REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING KEEPING THEM SLIGHT. THE PRECIPITATION
ENDS FROM WEST TO EAST LATE FRIDAY MORNING TO MIDDAY AS THE TROUGH
AXIS MOVES ACROSS OUR AREA. CLOUDS DECREASE FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO
EVENING. BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES CONTINUE IN THE SHORT-TERM.

&&

.LONG TERM (SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)...
NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK
AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS OVER SOUTHERN TEXAS. THE UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE MAY WEAKEN DURING THE MIDDLE TO LATE NEXT WEEK ALLOWING AN
UPPER LEVEL LOW WELL WEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA TO OPEN UP AND MOVE
TO THE NORTHEAST. WILL KEEP PRECIPITATION OUT OF THE FORECAST AS
CHANCES OF RAIN WILL WAIT UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT OR FRIDAY OF
NEXT WEEK AT THE EARLIEST WHEN THE FORMER BAJA LOW APPROACHES. A
WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED. HOWEVER...A COUPLE OF WEAK COLD FRONTS
ARE POSSIBLE AND WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES FROM GETTING TOO FAR ABOVE
AVERAGE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              40  50  36  61  40 /  60  50  -    0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  40  50  33  60  36 /  60  50  -    0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     40  51  35  61  38 /  60  50  -    0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            37  48  33  58  36 /  60  50  -    0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           39  54  34  62  39 /  70  20   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        38  49  34  59  37 /  60  50  -    0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             39  53  31  63  36 /  60  50   0   0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        40  50  34  61  37 /  60  50  -    0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   42  49  37  60  41 /  50  50  -    0   0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       41  51  36  62  39 /  60  50   0   0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           41  52  34  63  39 /  60  50   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...00
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...04
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...30







    US Dept of Commerce
    National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
    National Weather Service
    1325 East West Highway
    Silver Spring, MD 20910
    Page Author: NWS Internet Services Team
Disclaimer
Information Quality
Credits
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities