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000
FXUS62 KFFC 021104 AAA
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
704 AM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 342 AM EDT WED SEP 2 2015/

SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...

MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH AN UPPER LEVEL LOW/SHORT WAVE MOVING
OVER SE GA TODAY BRINGING A SLUG OF DEEP MOISTURE WITH IT. THIS
WILL CAUSE AN INCREASE IN PRECIP CHANCES ACROSS MAINLY THE SOUTHERN
PORTION OF CENTRAL GA...S OF CSG AND MCN. SOME ENHANCED INSTABILITY
OVER THE NE MOUNTAINS COULD LEAD TO A SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM THERE
THIS AFTERNOON TO EARLY EVENING AS WELL. S OF THE NE MOUNTAINS
AND N OF CENTRAL GA...CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE JUST TOO
LOW TO INCLUDE IN THE FORECAST.

FOR THURSDAY...A WEAK UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE AND SOME INCREASED
MOISTURE MOVE TO THE AREA...INCREASING PRECIP CHANCES SOME
FOR N GA. OVERALL INSTABILITY IS RATHER WEAK SO POP CHANCES ARE
RUNNING 20-40 PERCENT...HIGHEST OVER THE NE MOUNTAINS.

FORECAST HIGH TEMPERATURES RUNNING NEAR TO 2-4 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL
TODAY AND THURSDAY. FORECAST LOW TEMPERATURES RUNNING NEAR 5 DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL TONIGHT.

OVERALL CONFIDENCE IS MEDIUM TO HIGH.

BDL

LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...

THE EXTENDED WILL BRING UNSETTLED WEATHER BACK TO THE
AREA...ESPECIALLY BY THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES ON FRIDAY WILL BE
QUITE WARM WITH TEMPERATURES RUNNING A FEW DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE.
WHILE THERE WILL BE THE CHANCE FOR WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY AFTERNOON...RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE IN
EARNEST ON SATURDAY IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE BACK DOOR FRONT PUSHING
IN FROM THE EAST. THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE HIGHER ON
SATURDAY AHEAD OF THE WEDGE FRONT WHERE HIGHER INSTABILITIES WILL
RESIDE. SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL LINGER FOR SUNDAY...BUT ANY
THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BE MORE ISOLATED WITH THE COOLER AND MORE
STABLE AIRMASS MORE ENTRENCHED INTO THE AREA. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
SEVERAL DEGREES COOLER FOR MUCH OF THE AREA ON SATURDAY AND AREA
WIDE ON SUNDAY WITH EASTERLY WINDS AND MORE CLOUD COVER.

EARLY NEXT WEEK AN UPPER LOW IS FORECAST TO CUT OFF AND LINGER OVER
THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. FOR THIS REASON HAVE MAINTAINED CHANCE POPS
DURING THIS TIME FRAME. TEMPERATURES WILL BE HELD INTO THE LOW TO
MID 80S FOR DAYTIME HIGHS.

RW

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z UPDATE...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED...EXCEPT FOR PATCHY TO AREAS OF MVFR FOG
TIL 13Z. SCT-BKN 3500-7000 FT SC/CU EXPECTED WITH VARYING HIGH
LEVEL CLOUDS DURING THE DAY. WINDS VARIABLE OR WNW TO ENE AROUND 5
KTS.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...12Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE ON ANY LOWER CEILINGS AND WIND DIRECTION.
HIGH CONFIDENCE ALL OTHER ELEMENTS.

BDL

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          91  72  91  71 /  10   5  20  10
ATLANTA         89  73  90  73 /  10   5  20  10
BLAIRSVILLE     85  65  85  64 /  30   5  40  10
CARTERSVILLE    89  70  90  68 /  10   5  20  10
COLUMBUS        90  74  91  74 /  20  10  30  10
GAINESVILLE     88  72  89  71 /  10   5  20  10
MACON           89  72  90  72 /  20  10  30  10
ROME            89  70  91  69 /  10   5  20  10
PEACHTREE CITY  89  71  90  70 /  10   5  20  10
VIDALIA         89  73  91  73 /  40  20  30  10

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...BDL
LONG TERM....RW
AVIATION...BDL




000
FXUS62 KFFC 021104 AAA
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
704 AM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 342 AM EDT WED SEP 2 2015/

SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...

MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH AN UPPER LEVEL LOW/SHORT WAVE MOVING
OVER SE GA TODAY BRINGING A SLUG OF DEEP MOISTURE WITH IT. THIS
WILL CAUSE AN INCREASE IN PRECIP CHANCES ACROSS MAINLY THE SOUTHERN
PORTION OF CENTRAL GA...S OF CSG AND MCN. SOME ENHANCED INSTABILITY
OVER THE NE MOUNTAINS COULD LEAD TO A SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM THERE
THIS AFTERNOON TO EARLY EVENING AS WELL. S OF THE NE MOUNTAINS
AND N OF CENTRAL GA...CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE JUST TOO
LOW TO INCLUDE IN THE FORECAST.

FOR THURSDAY...A WEAK UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE AND SOME INCREASED
MOISTURE MOVE TO THE AREA...INCREASING PRECIP CHANCES SOME
FOR N GA. OVERALL INSTABILITY IS RATHER WEAK SO POP CHANCES ARE
RUNNING 20-40 PERCENT...HIGHEST OVER THE NE MOUNTAINS.

FORECAST HIGH TEMPERATURES RUNNING NEAR TO 2-4 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL
TODAY AND THURSDAY. FORECAST LOW TEMPERATURES RUNNING NEAR 5 DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL TONIGHT.

OVERALL CONFIDENCE IS MEDIUM TO HIGH.

BDL

LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...

THE EXTENDED WILL BRING UNSETTLED WEATHER BACK TO THE
AREA...ESPECIALLY BY THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES ON FRIDAY WILL BE
QUITE WARM WITH TEMPERATURES RUNNING A FEW DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE.
WHILE THERE WILL BE THE CHANCE FOR WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY AFTERNOON...RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE IN
EARNEST ON SATURDAY IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE BACK DOOR FRONT PUSHING
IN FROM THE EAST. THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE HIGHER ON
SATURDAY AHEAD OF THE WEDGE FRONT WHERE HIGHER INSTABILITIES WILL
RESIDE. SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL LINGER FOR SUNDAY...BUT ANY
THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BE MORE ISOLATED WITH THE COOLER AND MORE
STABLE AIRMASS MORE ENTRENCHED INTO THE AREA. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
SEVERAL DEGREES COOLER FOR MUCH OF THE AREA ON SATURDAY AND AREA
WIDE ON SUNDAY WITH EASTERLY WINDS AND MORE CLOUD COVER.

EARLY NEXT WEEK AN UPPER LOW IS FORECAST TO CUT OFF AND LINGER OVER
THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. FOR THIS REASON HAVE MAINTAINED CHANCE POPS
DURING THIS TIME FRAME. TEMPERATURES WILL BE HELD INTO THE LOW TO
MID 80S FOR DAYTIME HIGHS.

RW

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z UPDATE...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED...EXCEPT FOR PATCHY TO AREAS OF MVFR FOG
TIL 13Z. SCT-BKN 3500-7000 FT SC/CU EXPECTED WITH VARYING HIGH
LEVEL CLOUDS DURING THE DAY. WINDS VARIABLE OR WNW TO ENE AROUND 5
KTS.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...12Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE ON ANY LOWER CEILINGS AND WIND DIRECTION.
HIGH CONFIDENCE ALL OTHER ELEMENTS.

BDL

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          91  72  91  71 /  10   5  20  10
ATLANTA         89  73  90  73 /  10   5  20  10
BLAIRSVILLE     85  65  85  64 /  30   5  40  10
CARTERSVILLE    89  70  90  68 /  10   5  20  10
COLUMBUS        90  74  91  74 /  20  10  30  10
GAINESVILLE     88  72  89  71 /  10   5  20  10
MACON           89  72  90  72 /  20  10  30  10
ROME            89  70  91  69 /  10   5  20  10
PEACHTREE CITY  89  71  90  70 /  10   5  20  10
VIDALIA         89  73  91  73 /  40  20  30  10

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...BDL
LONG TERM....RW
AVIATION...BDL





000
FXUS62 KFFC 021104 AAA
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
704 AM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 342 AM EDT WED SEP 2 2015/

SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...

MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH AN UPPER LEVEL LOW/SHORT WAVE MOVING
OVER SE GA TODAY BRINGING A SLUG OF DEEP MOISTURE WITH IT. THIS
WILL CAUSE AN INCREASE IN PRECIP CHANCES ACROSS MAINLY THE SOUTHERN
PORTION OF CENTRAL GA...S OF CSG AND MCN. SOME ENHANCED INSTABILITY
OVER THE NE MOUNTAINS COULD LEAD TO A SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM THERE
THIS AFTERNOON TO EARLY EVENING AS WELL. S OF THE NE MOUNTAINS
AND N OF CENTRAL GA...CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE JUST TOO
LOW TO INCLUDE IN THE FORECAST.

FOR THURSDAY...A WEAK UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE AND SOME INCREASED
MOISTURE MOVE TO THE AREA...INCREASING PRECIP CHANCES SOME
FOR N GA. OVERALL INSTABILITY IS RATHER WEAK SO POP CHANCES ARE
RUNNING 20-40 PERCENT...HIGHEST OVER THE NE MOUNTAINS.

FORECAST HIGH TEMPERATURES RUNNING NEAR TO 2-4 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL
TODAY AND THURSDAY. FORECAST LOW TEMPERATURES RUNNING NEAR 5 DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL TONIGHT.

OVERALL CONFIDENCE IS MEDIUM TO HIGH.

BDL

LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...

THE EXTENDED WILL BRING UNSETTLED WEATHER BACK TO THE
AREA...ESPECIALLY BY THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES ON FRIDAY WILL BE
QUITE WARM WITH TEMPERATURES RUNNING A FEW DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE.
WHILE THERE WILL BE THE CHANCE FOR WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY AFTERNOON...RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE IN
EARNEST ON SATURDAY IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE BACK DOOR FRONT PUSHING
IN FROM THE EAST. THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE HIGHER ON
SATURDAY AHEAD OF THE WEDGE FRONT WHERE HIGHER INSTABILITIES WILL
RESIDE. SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL LINGER FOR SUNDAY...BUT ANY
THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BE MORE ISOLATED WITH THE COOLER AND MORE
STABLE AIRMASS MORE ENTRENCHED INTO THE AREA. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
SEVERAL DEGREES COOLER FOR MUCH OF THE AREA ON SATURDAY AND AREA
WIDE ON SUNDAY WITH EASTERLY WINDS AND MORE CLOUD COVER.

EARLY NEXT WEEK AN UPPER LOW IS FORECAST TO CUT OFF AND LINGER OVER
THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. FOR THIS REASON HAVE MAINTAINED CHANCE POPS
DURING THIS TIME FRAME. TEMPERATURES WILL BE HELD INTO THE LOW TO
MID 80S FOR DAYTIME HIGHS.

RW

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z UPDATE...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED...EXCEPT FOR PATCHY TO AREAS OF MVFR FOG
TIL 13Z. SCT-BKN 3500-7000 FT SC/CU EXPECTED WITH VARYING HIGH
LEVEL CLOUDS DURING THE DAY. WINDS VARIABLE OR WNW TO ENE AROUND 5
KTS.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...12Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE ON ANY LOWER CEILINGS AND WIND DIRECTION.
HIGH CONFIDENCE ALL OTHER ELEMENTS.

BDL

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          91  72  91  71 /  10   5  20  10
ATLANTA         89  73  90  73 /  10   5  20  10
BLAIRSVILLE     85  65  85  64 /  30   5  40  10
CARTERSVILLE    89  70  90  68 /  10   5  20  10
COLUMBUS        90  74  91  74 /  20  10  30  10
GAINESVILLE     88  72  89  71 /  10   5  20  10
MACON           89  72  90  72 /  20  10  30  10
ROME            89  70  91  69 /  10   5  20  10
PEACHTREE CITY  89  71  90  70 /  10   5  20  10
VIDALIA         89  73  91  73 /  40  20  30  10

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...BDL
LONG TERM....RW
AVIATION...BDL





000
FXUS62 KFFC 021104 AAA
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
704 AM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 342 AM EDT WED SEP 2 2015/

SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...

MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH AN UPPER LEVEL LOW/SHORT WAVE MOVING
OVER SE GA TODAY BRINGING A SLUG OF DEEP MOISTURE WITH IT. THIS
WILL CAUSE AN INCREASE IN PRECIP CHANCES ACROSS MAINLY THE SOUTHERN
PORTION OF CENTRAL GA...S OF CSG AND MCN. SOME ENHANCED INSTABILITY
OVER THE NE MOUNTAINS COULD LEAD TO A SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM THERE
THIS AFTERNOON TO EARLY EVENING AS WELL. S OF THE NE MOUNTAINS
AND N OF CENTRAL GA...CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE JUST TOO
LOW TO INCLUDE IN THE FORECAST.

FOR THURSDAY...A WEAK UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE AND SOME INCREASED
MOISTURE MOVE TO THE AREA...INCREASING PRECIP CHANCES SOME
FOR N GA. OVERALL INSTABILITY IS RATHER WEAK SO POP CHANCES ARE
RUNNING 20-40 PERCENT...HIGHEST OVER THE NE MOUNTAINS.

FORECAST HIGH TEMPERATURES RUNNING NEAR TO 2-4 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL
TODAY AND THURSDAY. FORECAST LOW TEMPERATURES RUNNING NEAR 5 DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL TONIGHT.

OVERALL CONFIDENCE IS MEDIUM TO HIGH.

BDL

LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...

THE EXTENDED WILL BRING UNSETTLED WEATHER BACK TO THE
AREA...ESPECIALLY BY THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES ON FRIDAY WILL BE
QUITE WARM WITH TEMPERATURES RUNNING A FEW DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE.
WHILE THERE WILL BE THE CHANCE FOR WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY AFTERNOON...RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE IN
EARNEST ON SATURDAY IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE BACK DOOR FRONT PUSHING
IN FROM THE EAST. THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE HIGHER ON
SATURDAY AHEAD OF THE WEDGE FRONT WHERE HIGHER INSTABILITIES WILL
RESIDE. SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL LINGER FOR SUNDAY...BUT ANY
THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BE MORE ISOLATED WITH THE COOLER AND MORE
STABLE AIRMASS MORE ENTRENCHED INTO THE AREA. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
SEVERAL DEGREES COOLER FOR MUCH OF THE AREA ON SATURDAY AND AREA
WIDE ON SUNDAY WITH EASTERLY WINDS AND MORE CLOUD COVER.

EARLY NEXT WEEK AN UPPER LOW IS FORECAST TO CUT OFF AND LINGER OVER
THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. FOR THIS REASON HAVE MAINTAINED CHANCE POPS
DURING THIS TIME FRAME. TEMPERATURES WILL BE HELD INTO THE LOW TO
MID 80S FOR DAYTIME HIGHS.

RW

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z UPDATE...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED...EXCEPT FOR PATCHY TO AREAS OF MVFR FOG
TIL 13Z. SCT-BKN 3500-7000 FT SC/CU EXPECTED WITH VARYING HIGH
LEVEL CLOUDS DURING THE DAY. WINDS VARIABLE OR WNW TO ENE AROUND 5
KTS.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...12Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE ON ANY LOWER CEILINGS AND WIND DIRECTION.
HIGH CONFIDENCE ALL OTHER ELEMENTS.

BDL

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          91  72  91  71 /  10   5  20  10
ATLANTA         89  73  90  73 /  10   5  20  10
BLAIRSVILLE     85  65  85  64 /  30   5  40  10
CARTERSVILLE    89  70  90  68 /  10   5  20  10
COLUMBUS        90  74  91  74 /  20  10  30  10
GAINESVILLE     88  72  89  71 /  10   5  20  10
MACON           89  72  90  72 /  20  10  30  10
ROME            89  70  91  69 /  10   5  20  10
PEACHTREE CITY  89  71  90  70 /  10   5  20  10
VIDALIA         89  73  91  73 /  40  20  30  10

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...BDL
LONG TERM....RW
AVIATION...BDL




000
FXUS62 KFFC 020742
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
342 AM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

.SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...

MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH AN UPPER LEVEL LOW/SHORT WAVE MOVING
OVER SE GA TODAY BRINGING A SLUG OF DEEP MOISTURE WITH IT. THIS
WILL CAUSE AN INCREASE IN PRECIP CHANCES ACROSS MAINLY THE SOUTHERN
PORTION OF CENTRAL GA...S OF CSG AND MCN. SOME ENHANCED INSTABILITY
OVER THE NE MOUNTAINS COULD LEAD TO A SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM THERE
THIS AFTERNOON TO EARLY EVENING AS WELL. S OF THE NE MOUNTAINS
AND N OF CENTRAL GA...CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE JUST TOO
LOW TO INCLUDE IN THE FORECAST.

FOR THURSDAY...A WEAK UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE AND SOME INCREASED
MOISTURE MOVE TO THE AREA...INCREASING PRECIP CHANCES SOME
FOR N GA. OVERALL INSTABILITY IS RATHER WEAK SO POP CHANCES ARE
RUNNING 20-40 PERCENT...HIGHEST OVER THE NE MOUNTAINS.

FORECAST HIGH TEMPERATURES RUNNING NEAR TO 2-4 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL
TODAY AND THURSDAY. FORECAST LOW TEMPERATURES RUNNING NEAR 5 DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL TONIGHT.

OVERALL CONFIDENCE IS MEDIUM TO HIGH.

BDL


.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...

THE EXTENDED WILL BRING UNSETTLED WEATHER BACK TO THE
AREA...ESPECIALLY BY THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES ON FRIDAY WILL BE
QUITE WARM WITH TEMPERATURES RUNNING A FEW DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE.
WHILE THERE WILL BE THE CHANCE FOR WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY AFTERNOON...RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE IN
EARNEST ON SATURDAY IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE BACK DOOR FRONT PUSHING
IN FROM THE EAST. THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE HIGHER ON
SATURDAY AHEAD OF THE WEDGE FRONT WHERE HIGHER INSTABILITIES WILL
RESIDE. SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL LINGER FOR SUNDAY...BUT ANY
THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BE MORE ISOLATED WITH THE COOLER AND MORE
STABLE AIRMASS MORE ENTRENCHED INTO THE AREA. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
SEVERAL DEGREES COOLER FOR MUCH OF THE AREA ON SATURDAY AND AREA
WIDE ON SUNDAY WITH EASTERLY WINDS AND MORE CLOUD COVER.

EARLY NEXT WEEK AN UPPER LOW IS FORECAST TO CUT OFF AND LINGER OVER
THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. FOR THIS REASON HAVE MAINTAINED CHANCE POPS
DURING THIS TIME FRAME. TEMPERATURES WILL BE HELD INTO THE LOW TO
MID 80S FOR DAYTIME HIGHS.

RW


&&

.AVIATION...
06Z UPDATE...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED...EXCEPT FOR PATCHY TO AREAS OF MVFR FOG
DURING THE EARLY MORNING TIL 13Z. SCT-BKN 3500-6000 FT CU EXPECTED
WITH VARYING HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY. WINDS
CALM OVERNIGHT BECOMING VARIABLE OR NW AROUND 5 KTS DURING THE
DAY.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE ON ANY CEILINGS AND WIND DIRECTION.
HIGH CONFIDENCE ALL OTHER ELEMENTS.

BDL

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          91  72  91  71 /  10   5  20  10
ATLANTA         89  73  90  73 /  10   5  20  10
BLAIRSVILLE     85  65  85  64 /  30   5  40  10
CARTERSVILLE    89  70  90  68 /  10   5  20  10
COLUMBUS        90  74  91  74 /  20  10  30  10
GAINESVILLE     88  72  89  71 /  10   5  20  10
MACON           89  72  90  72 /  20  10  30  10
ROME            89  70  91  69 /  10   5  20  10
PEACHTREE CITY  89  71  90  70 /  10   5  20  10
VIDALIA         89  73  91  73 /  40  20  30  10

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...BDL
LONG TERM....RW
AVIATION...BDL





000
FXUS62 KFFC 020742
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
342 AM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

.SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...

MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH AN UPPER LEVEL LOW/SHORT WAVE MOVING
OVER SE GA TODAY BRINGING A SLUG OF DEEP MOISTURE WITH IT. THIS
WILL CAUSE AN INCREASE IN PRECIP CHANCES ACROSS MAINLY THE SOUTHERN
PORTION OF CENTRAL GA...S OF CSG AND MCN. SOME ENHANCED INSTABILITY
OVER THE NE MOUNTAINS COULD LEAD TO A SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM THERE
THIS AFTERNOON TO EARLY EVENING AS WELL. S OF THE NE MOUNTAINS
AND N OF CENTRAL GA...CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE JUST TOO
LOW TO INCLUDE IN THE FORECAST.

FOR THURSDAY...A WEAK UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE AND SOME INCREASED
MOISTURE MOVE TO THE AREA...INCREASING PRECIP CHANCES SOME
FOR N GA. OVERALL INSTABILITY IS RATHER WEAK SO POP CHANCES ARE
RUNNING 20-40 PERCENT...HIGHEST OVER THE NE MOUNTAINS.

FORECAST HIGH TEMPERATURES RUNNING NEAR TO 2-4 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL
TODAY AND THURSDAY. FORECAST LOW TEMPERATURES RUNNING NEAR 5 DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL TONIGHT.

OVERALL CONFIDENCE IS MEDIUM TO HIGH.

BDL


.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...

THE EXTENDED WILL BRING UNSETTLED WEATHER BACK TO THE
AREA...ESPECIALLY BY THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES ON FRIDAY WILL BE
QUITE WARM WITH TEMPERATURES RUNNING A FEW DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE.
WHILE THERE WILL BE THE CHANCE FOR WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY AFTERNOON...RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE IN
EARNEST ON SATURDAY IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE BACK DOOR FRONT PUSHING
IN FROM THE EAST. THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE HIGHER ON
SATURDAY AHEAD OF THE WEDGE FRONT WHERE HIGHER INSTABILITIES WILL
RESIDE. SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL LINGER FOR SUNDAY...BUT ANY
THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BE MORE ISOLATED WITH THE COOLER AND MORE
STABLE AIRMASS MORE ENTRENCHED INTO THE AREA. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
SEVERAL DEGREES COOLER FOR MUCH OF THE AREA ON SATURDAY AND AREA
WIDE ON SUNDAY WITH EASTERLY WINDS AND MORE CLOUD COVER.

EARLY NEXT WEEK AN UPPER LOW IS FORECAST TO CUT OFF AND LINGER OVER
THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. FOR THIS REASON HAVE MAINTAINED CHANCE POPS
DURING THIS TIME FRAME. TEMPERATURES WILL BE HELD INTO THE LOW TO
MID 80S FOR DAYTIME HIGHS.

RW


&&

.AVIATION...
06Z UPDATE...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED...EXCEPT FOR PATCHY TO AREAS OF MVFR FOG
DURING THE EARLY MORNING TIL 13Z. SCT-BKN 3500-6000 FT CU EXPECTED
WITH VARYING HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY. WINDS
CALM OVERNIGHT BECOMING VARIABLE OR NW AROUND 5 KTS DURING THE
DAY.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE ON ANY CEILINGS AND WIND DIRECTION.
HIGH CONFIDENCE ALL OTHER ELEMENTS.

BDL

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          91  72  91  71 /  10   5  20  10
ATLANTA         89  73  90  73 /  10   5  20  10
BLAIRSVILLE     85  65  85  64 /  30   5  40  10
CARTERSVILLE    89  70  90  68 /  10   5  20  10
COLUMBUS        90  74  91  74 /  20  10  30  10
GAINESVILLE     88  72  89  71 /  10   5  20  10
MACON           89  72  90  72 /  20  10  30  10
ROME            89  70  91  69 /  10   5  20  10
PEACHTREE CITY  89  71  90  70 /  10   5  20  10
VIDALIA         89  73  91  73 /  40  20  30  10

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...BDL
LONG TERM....RW
AVIATION...BDL




000
FXUS62 KFFC 020505 AAC
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
105 AM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 951 PM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015/

UPDATE...
AS WEAK RIDGE BEGINS TO LOSE INFLUENCE AND A WEAK GULF LOW WITH
ENHANCED MOISTURE CREEPS NORTHWARD FROM NORTH FL...THERE SHOULD
BE SOME INCREASED CLOUD COVERAGE ADVECTING INTO PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL GEORGIA. ANY PRECIP CHANCES HAVE DIMINISHED WITH LOSS OF
DAYTIME HEATING FOR THE OVERNIGHT AND MINOR ADJUSTMENTS WERE MADE
TO TEMP/DEWPT TRENDS. SOME PROGGED DEWPT DEPRESSIONS IN
CONJUNCTION WITH CALM WINDS SUGGEST POSSIBLE PATCHY FOG SLIGHTLY
BEFORE SUNRISE SO HAVE INCLUDED IN WEATHER ELEMENTS. PREVIOUS
DISCUSSION FOLLOWS...

BAKER

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 814 PM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015/

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
CURRENT RADAR LOOP SHOWS SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTH
GA AND FLORIDA AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SPINS JUST OFF THE GULF
COAST OF FL. WE CURRENTLY DO NOT HAVE ANY PRECIP IN OUR CWA BUT
MOISTURE IS INCREASING SO WILL BE INCREASING POPS ESPECIALLY
ACROSS CENTRAL GA WEDNESDAY. MAIN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS CENTERED
JUST OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST OF FL AND IS STILL HELPING TO KEEP
PRECIP TO A MINIMUM AT LEAST IN THE SHORT TERM. THERE IS STILL A
DECENT AMOUNT OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IN PLACE BUT OVERALL
INSTABILITY LOOKS TO BE LACKING. THE WEAK SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
HAS ALSO BUILD INTO THE AREA AND IS KIND OF SETTING UP LIKE A WEAK
WEDGE. LIGHT EASTERLY FLOW AND MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALL DAY ACROSS
THE STATE ARE CLASSIC SIGNS OF A WEDGE. HIGH TEMPS EXPECTED TO BE
RIGHT AT OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE SEASONAL NORMS WEDNESDAY WITH LOWS IN
THE 60S AND 70S.

01

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR TSTMS ON THU AFTERNOON WITH NO REAL
FOCUS FOR CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IN THE CWA. A BIT MORE COVERAGE
IS POSSIBLE ON FRIDAY WITH MORE INFLUENCE FROM AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE TO OUR WEST...ESPECIALLY ACCORDING TO THE ECMWF.
TEMPERATURES BOTH THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WILL BE WARM WITH AFTERNOON
HIGH TEMPS IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA.

THE BIGGEST CHANGE IN THE WEATHER PATTERN FOR THE LONG TERM WILL

BE THE WEDGE THAT WILL PUSH DOWN THE APPALACHIANS INTO OUR AREA
FOR THE WEEKEND. SATURDAY LOOKS TO BE THE WETTEST DAY AS THE
BACKDOOR FRONT MOVES IN WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH LINGER INTO SUNDAY. TEMPS WILL BE HELD
DOWN...RANGING FROM THE UPPER 70S INTO THE MID 80S FOR HIGHS WITH
ABUNDANT CLOUD COVER AND MORE PRECIP COVERAGE. THIS PATTERN SHOULD
BEGIN TO BREAK DOWN BY EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE IN THE NORTHEAST SHIFTS FURTHER EAST INTO THE ATLANTIC.

16

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z UPDATE...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED...EXCEPT FOR PATCHY TO AREAS OF MVFR FOG
DURING THE EARLY MORNING TIL 13Z. SCT-BKN 3500-6000 FT CU EXPECTED
WITH VARYING HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY. WINDS
CALM OVERNIGHT BECOMING VARIABLE OR NW AROUND 5 KTS DURING THE
DAY.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE ON ANY CEILINGS AND WIND DIRECTION.
HIGH CONFIDENCE ALL OTHER ELEMENTS.

BDL

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          90  71  91  71 /  10  10  20  10
ATLANTA         90  73  90  72 /  10  10  20  10
BLAIRSVILLE     85  65  85  64 /  30  20  20  20
CARTERSVILLE    90  69  90  69 /  10  10  20  10
COLUMBUS        91  73  92  74 /  20  10  20  10
GAINESVILLE     89  71  89  71 /  10  10  20  20
MACON           91  72  91  72 /  20  10  20  10
ROME            90  69  90  69 /  10  10  20  10
PEACHTREE CITY  90  70  90  70 /  10  10  20  10
VIDALIA         91  73  93  73 /  40  20  20  20

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...BDL
LONG TERM....RW
AVIATION...BDL




000
FXUS62 KFFC 020505 AAC
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
105 AM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 951 PM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015/

UPDATE...
AS WEAK RIDGE BEGINS TO LOSE INFLUENCE AND A WEAK GULF LOW WITH
ENHANCED MOISTURE CREEPS NORTHWARD FROM NORTH FL...THERE SHOULD
BE SOME INCREASED CLOUD COVERAGE ADVECTING INTO PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL GEORGIA. ANY PRECIP CHANCES HAVE DIMINISHED WITH LOSS OF
DAYTIME HEATING FOR THE OVERNIGHT AND MINOR ADJUSTMENTS WERE MADE
TO TEMP/DEWPT TRENDS. SOME PROGGED DEWPT DEPRESSIONS IN
CONJUNCTION WITH CALM WINDS SUGGEST POSSIBLE PATCHY FOG SLIGHTLY
BEFORE SUNRISE SO HAVE INCLUDED IN WEATHER ELEMENTS. PREVIOUS
DISCUSSION FOLLOWS...

BAKER

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 814 PM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015/

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
CURRENT RADAR LOOP SHOWS SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTH
GA AND FLORIDA AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SPINS JUST OFF THE GULF
COAST OF FL. WE CURRENTLY DO NOT HAVE ANY PRECIP IN OUR CWA BUT
MOISTURE IS INCREASING SO WILL BE INCREASING POPS ESPECIALLY
ACROSS CENTRAL GA WEDNESDAY. MAIN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS CENTERED
JUST OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST OF FL AND IS STILL HELPING TO KEEP
PRECIP TO A MINIMUM AT LEAST IN THE SHORT TERM. THERE IS STILL A
DECENT AMOUNT OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IN PLACE BUT OVERALL
INSTABILITY LOOKS TO BE LACKING. THE WEAK SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
HAS ALSO BUILD INTO THE AREA AND IS KIND OF SETTING UP LIKE A WEAK
WEDGE. LIGHT EASTERLY FLOW AND MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALL DAY ACROSS
THE STATE ARE CLASSIC SIGNS OF A WEDGE. HIGH TEMPS EXPECTED TO BE
RIGHT AT OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE SEASONAL NORMS WEDNESDAY WITH LOWS IN
THE 60S AND 70S.

01

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR TSTMS ON THU AFTERNOON WITH NO REAL
FOCUS FOR CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IN THE CWA. A BIT MORE COVERAGE
IS POSSIBLE ON FRIDAY WITH MORE INFLUENCE FROM AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE TO OUR WEST...ESPECIALLY ACCORDING TO THE ECMWF.
TEMPERATURES BOTH THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WILL BE WARM WITH AFTERNOON
HIGH TEMPS IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA.

THE BIGGEST CHANGE IN THE WEATHER PATTERN FOR THE LONG TERM WILL

BE THE WEDGE THAT WILL PUSH DOWN THE APPALACHIANS INTO OUR AREA
FOR THE WEEKEND. SATURDAY LOOKS TO BE THE WETTEST DAY AS THE
BACKDOOR FRONT MOVES IN WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH LINGER INTO SUNDAY. TEMPS WILL BE HELD
DOWN...RANGING FROM THE UPPER 70S INTO THE MID 80S FOR HIGHS WITH
ABUNDANT CLOUD COVER AND MORE PRECIP COVERAGE. THIS PATTERN SHOULD
BEGIN TO BREAK DOWN BY EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE IN THE NORTHEAST SHIFTS FURTHER EAST INTO THE ATLANTIC.

16

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z UPDATE...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED...EXCEPT FOR PATCHY TO AREAS OF MVFR FOG
DURING THE EARLY MORNING TIL 13Z. SCT-BKN 3500-6000 FT CU EXPECTED
WITH VARYING HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY. WINDS
CALM OVERNIGHT BECOMING VARIABLE OR NW AROUND 5 KTS DURING THE
DAY.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE ON ANY CEILINGS AND WIND DIRECTION.
HIGH CONFIDENCE ALL OTHER ELEMENTS.

BDL

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          90  71  91  71 /  10  10  20  10
ATLANTA         90  73  90  72 /  10  10  20  10
BLAIRSVILLE     85  65  85  64 /  30  20  20  20
CARTERSVILLE    90  69  90  69 /  10  10  20  10
COLUMBUS        91  73  92  74 /  20  10  20  10
GAINESVILLE     89  71  89  71 /  10  10  20  20
MACON           91  72  91  72 /  20  10  20  10
ROME            90  69  90  69 /  10  10  20  10
PEACHTREE CITY  90  70  90  70 /  10  10  20  10
VIDALIA         91  73  93  73 /  40  20  20  20

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...BDL
LONG TERM....RW
AVIATION...BDL





000
FXUS62 KFFC 020505 AAC
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
105 AM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 951 PM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015/

UPDATE...
AS WEAK RIDGE BEGINS TO LOSE INFLUENCE AND A WEAK GULF LOW WITH
ENHANCED MOISTURE CREEPS NORTHWARD FROM NORTH FL...THERE SHOULD
BE SOME INCREASED CLOUD COVERAGE ADVECTING INTO PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL GEORGIA. ANY PRECIP CHANCES HAVE DIMINISHED WITH LOSS OF
DAYTIME HEATING FOR THE OVERNIGHT AND MINOR ADJUSTMENTS WERE MADE
TO TEMP/DEWPT TRENDS. SOME PROGGED DEWPT DEPRESSIONS IN
CONJUNCTION WITH CALM WINDS SUGGEST POSSIBLE PATCHY FOG SLIGHTLY
BEFORE SUNRISE SO HAVE INCLUDED IN WEATHER ELEMENTS. PREVIOUS
DISCUSSION FOLLOWS...

BAKER

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 814 PM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015/

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
CURRENT RADAR LOOP SHOWS SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTH
GA AND FLORIDA AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SPINS JUST OFF THE GULF
COAST OF FL. WE CURRENTLY DO NOT HAVE ANY PRECIP IN OUR CWA BUT
MOISTURE IS INCREASING SO WILL BE INCREASING POPS ESPECIALLY
ACROSS CENTRAL GA WEDNESDAY. MAIN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS CENTERED
JUST OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST OF FL AND IS STILL HELPING TO KEEP
PRECIP TO A MINIMUM AT LEAST IN THE SHORT TERM. THERE IS STILL A
DECENT AMOUNT OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IN PLACE BUT OVERALL
INSTABILITY LOOKS TO BE LACKING. THE WEAK SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
HAS ALSO BUILD INTO THE AREA AND IS KIND OF SETTING UP LIKE A WEAK
WEDGE. LIGHT EASTERLY FLOW AND MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALL DAY ACROSS
THE STATE ARE CLASSIC SIGNS OF A WEDGE. HIGH TEMPS EXPECTED TO BE
RIGHT AT OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE SEASONAL NORMS WEDNESDAY WITH LOWS IN
THE 60S AND 70S.

01

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR TSTMS ON THU AFTERNOON WITH NO REAL
FOCUS FOR CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IN THE CWA. A BIT MORE COVERAGE
IS POSSIBLE ON FRIDAY WITH MORE INFLUENCE FROM AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE TO OUR WEST...ESPECIALLY ACCORDING TO THE ECMWF.
TEMPERATURES BOTH THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WILL BE WARM WITH AFTERNOON
HIGH TEMPS IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA.

THE BIGGEST CHANGE IN THE WEATHER PATTERN FOR THE LONG TERM WILL

BE THE WEDGE THAT WILL PUSH DOWN THE APPALACHIANS INTO OUR AREA
FOR THE WEEKEND. SATURDAY LOOKS TO BE THE WETTEST DAY AS THE
BACKDOOR FRONT MOVES IN WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH LINGER INTO SUNDAY. TEMPS WILL BE HELD
DOWN...RANGING FROM THE UPPER 70S INTO THE MID 80S FOR HIGHS WITH
ABUNDANT CLOUD COVER AND MORE PRECIP COVERAGE. THIS PATTERN SHOULD
BEGIN TO BREAK DOWN BY EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE IN THE NORTHEAST SHIFTS FURTHER EAST INTO THE ATLANTIC.

16

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z UPDATE...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED...EXCEPT FOR PATCHY TO AREAS OF MVFR FOG
DURING THE EARLY MORNING TIL 13Z. SCT-BKN 3500-6000 FT CU EXPECTED
WITH VARYING HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY. WINDS
CALM OVERNIGHT BECOMING VARIABLE OR NW AROUND 5 KTS DURING THE
DAY.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE ON ANY CEILINGS AND WIND DIRECTION.
HIGH CONFIDENCE ALL OTHER ELEMENTS.

BDL

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          90  71  91  71 /  10  10  20  10
ATLANTA         90  73  90  72 /  10  10  20  10
BLAIRSVILLE     85  65  85  64 /  30  20  20  20
CARTERSVILLE    90  69  90  69 /  10  10  20  10
COLUMBUS        91  73  92  74 /  20  10  20  10
GAINESVILLE     89  71  89  71 /  10  10  20  20
MACON           91  72  91  72 /  20  10  20  10
ROME            90  69  90  69 /  10  10  20  10
PEACHTREE CITY  90  70  90  70 /  10  10  20  10
VIDALIA         91  73  93  73 /  40  20  20  20

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...BDL
LONG TERM....RW
AVIATION...BDL




000
FXUS62 KFFC 020505 AAC
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
105 AM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 951 PM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015/

UPDATE...
AS WEAK RIDGE BEGINS TO LOSE INFLUENCE AND A WEAK GULF LOW WITH
ENHANCED MOISTURE CREEPS NORTHWARD FROM NORTH FL...THERE SHOULD
BE SOME INCREASED CLOUD COVERAGE ADVECTING INTO PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL GEORGIA. ANY PRECIP CHANCES HAVE DIMINISHED WITH LOSS OF
DAYTIME HEATING FOR THE OVERNIGHT AND MINOR ADJUSTMENTS WERE MADE
TO TEMP/DEWPT TRENDS. SOME PROGGED DEWPT DEPRESSIONS IN
CONJUNCTION WITH CALM WINDS SUGGEST POSSIBLE PATCHY FOG SLIGHTLY
BEFORE SUNRISE SO HAVE INCLUDED IN WEATHER ELEMENTS. PREVIOUS
DISCUSSION FOLLOWS...

BAKER

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 814 PM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015/

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
CURRENT RADAR LOOP SHOWS SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTH
GA AND FLORIDA AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SPINS JUST OFF THE GULF
COAST OF FL. WE CURRENTLY DO NOT HAVE ANY PRECIP IN OUR CWA BUT
MOISTURE IS INCREASING SO WILL BE INCREASING POPS ESPECIALLY
ACROSS CENTRAL GA WEDNESDAY. MAIN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS CENTERED
JUST OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST OF FL AND IS STILL HELPING TO KEEP
PRECIP TO A MINIMUM AT LEAST IN THE SHORT TERM. THERE IS STILL A
DECENT AMOUNT OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IN PLACE BUT OVERALL
INSTABILITY LOOKS TO BE LACKING. THE WEAK SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
HAS ALSO BUILD INTO THE AREA AND IS KIND OF SETTING UP LIKE A WEAK
WEDGE. LIGHT EASTERLY FLOW AND MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALL DAY ACROSS
THE STATE ARE CLASSIC SIGNS OF A WEDGE. HIGH TEMPS EXPECTED TO BE
RIGHT AT OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE SEASONAL NORMS WEDNESDAY WITH LOWS IN
THE 60S AND 70S.

01

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR TSTMS ON THU AFTERNOON WITH NO REAL
FOCUS FOR CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IN THE CWA. A BIT MORE COVERAGE
IS POSSIBLE ON FRIDAY WITH MORE INFLUENCE FROM AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE TO OUR WEST...ESPECIALLY ACCORDING TO THE ECMWF.
TEMPERATURES BOTH THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WILL BE WARM WITH AFTERNOON
HIGH TEMPS IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA.

THE BIGGEST CHANGE IN THE WEATHER PATTERN FOR THE LONG TERM WILL

BE THE WEDGE THAT WILL PUSH DOWN THE APPALACHIANS INTO OUR AREA
FOR THE WEEKEND. SATURDAY LOOKS TO BE THE WETTEST DAY AS THE
BACKDOOR FRONT MOVES IN WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH LINGER INTO SUNDAY. TEMPS WILL BE HELD
DOWN...RANGING FROM THE UPPER 70S INTO THE MID 80S FOR HIGHS WITH
ABUNDANT CLOUD COVER AND MORE PRECIP COVERAGE. THIS PATTERN SHOULD
BEGIN TO BREAK DOWN BY EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE IN THE NORTHEAST SHIFTS FURTHER EAST INTO THE ATLANTIC.

16

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z UPDATE...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED...EXCEPT FOR PATCHY TO AREAS OF MVFR FOG
DURING THE EARLY MORNING TIL 13Z. SCT-BKN 3500-6000 FT CU EXPECTED
WITH VARYING HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY. WINDS
CALM OVERNIGHT BECOMING VARIABLE OR NW AROUND 5 KTS DURING THE
DAY.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE ON ANY CEILINGS AND WIND DIRECTION.
HIGH CONFIDENCE ALL OTHER ELEMENTS.

BDL

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          90  71  91  71 /  10  10  20  10
ATLANTA         90  73  90  72 /  10  10  20  10
BLAIRSVILLE     85  65  85  64 /  30  20  20  20
CARTERSVILLE    90  69  90  69 /  10  10  20  10
COLUMBUS        91  73  92  74 /  20  10  20  10
GAINESVILLE     89  71  89  71 /  10  10  20  20
MACON           91  72  91  72 /  20  10  20  10
ROME            90  69  90  69 /  10  10  20  10
PEACHTREE CITY  90  70  90  70 /  10  10  20  10
VIDALIA         91  73  93  73 /  40  20  20  20

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...BDL
LONG TERM....RW
AVIATION...BDL





000
FXUS62 KFFC 020151
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
951 PM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015

.UPDATE...
AS WEAK RIDGE BEGINS TO LOSE INFLUENCE AND A WEAK GULF LOW WITH
ENHANCED MOISTURE CREEPS NORTHWARD FROM NORTH FL...THERE SHOULD
BE SOME INCREASED CLOUD COVERAGE ADVECTING INTO PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL GEORGIA. ANY PRECIP CHANCES HAVE DIMINISHED WITH LOSS OF
DAYTIME HEATING FOR THE OVERNIGHT AND MINOR ADJUSTMENTS WERE MADE
TO TEMP/DWPT TRENDS. SOME PROGGED DWPT DEPRESSIONS IN CONJUNCTION
WITH CALM WINDS SUGGEST POSSIBLE PATCHY FOG SLIGHTLY BEFORE
SUNRISE SO HAVE INCLUDED IN WEATHER ELEMENTS. PREVIOUS DISCUSSION
FOLLOWS...

BAKER

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 814 PM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015/

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
CURRENT RADAR LOOP SHOWS SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTH
GA AND FLORIDA AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SPINS JUST OFF THE GULF
COAST OF FL. WE CURRENTLY DO NOT HAVE ANY PRECIP IN OUR CWA BUT
MOISTURE IS INCREASING SO WILL BE INCREASING POPS ESPECIALLY
ACROSS CENTRAL GA WEDNESDAY. MAIN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS CENTERED
JUST OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST OF FL AND IS STILL HELPING TO KEEP
PRECIP TO A MINIMUM AT LEAST IN THE SHORT TERM. THERE IS STILL A
DECENT AMOUNT OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IN PLACE BUT OVERALL
INSTABILITY LOOKS TO BE LACKING. THE WEAK SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
HAS ALSO BUILD INTO THE AREA AND IS KIND OF SETTING UP LIKE A WEAK
WEDGE. LIGHT EASTERLY FLOW AND MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALL DAY ACROSS
THE STATE ARE CLASSIC SIGNS OF A WEDGE. HIGH TEMPS EXPECTED TO BE
RIGHT AT OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE SEASONAL NORMS WEDNESDAY WITH LOWS IN
THE 60S AND 70S.

01

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR TSTMS ON THU AFTERNOON WITH NO REAL
FOCUS FOR CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IN THE CWA. A BIT MORE COVERAGE
IS POSSIBLE ON FRIDAY WITH MORE INFLUENCE FROM AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE TO OUR WEST...ESPECIALLY ACCORDING TO THE ECMWF.
TEMPERATURES BOTH THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WILL BE WARM WITH AFTERNOON
HIGH TEMPS IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA.

THE BIGGEST CHANGE IN THE WEATHER PATTERN FOR THE LONG TERM WILL

BE THE WEDGE THAT WILL PUSH DOWN THE APPALACHIANS INTO OUR AREA
FOR THE WEEKEND. SATURDAY LOOKS TO BE THE WETTEST DAY AS THE
BACKDOOR FRONT MOVES IN WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH LINGER INTO SUNDAY. TEMPS WILL BE HELD
DOWN...RANGING FROM THE UPPER 70S INTO THE MID 80S FOR HIGHS WITH
ABUNDANT CLOUD COVER AND MORE PRECIP COVERAGE. THIS PATTERN SHOULD
BEGIN TO BREAK DOWN BY EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE IN THE NORTHEAST SHIFTS FURTHER EAST INTO THE ATLANTIC.

16

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z UPDATE...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THRU PERIOD. MOSTLY CLEAR AND CALM TO
LIGHT AND VRB CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT. A BIT GREATER MOISTURE
ADVECTING IN FROM THE SOUTH WEDNESDAY BUT GENERALLY SCT TO BKN CU
FIELD IN 3500-4500 FT RANGE. AFTER 15Z WINDS LIGHT NW FOR NEAR
KATL AND COULD BE VRB ELSEWHERE. PRECIP CHANCES STAY TOO LOW AND
FAR SOUTH TO INCLUDE IN TAF ATTM.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...00Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM ON WINDS.
HIGH ON ALL ELSE.

BAKER

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          70  90  71  91 /   5  10  10  20
ATLANTA         72  90  73  90 /   5  10  10  20
BLAIRSVILLE     64  85  65  85 /  20  30  20  20
CARTERSVILLE    68  90  69  90 /   5  10  10  20
COLUMBUS        73  91  73  92 /   5  20  10  20
GAINESVILLE     70  89  71  89 /   5  10  10  20
MACON           71  91  72  91 /   5  20  10  20
ROME            68  90  69  90 /   5  10  10  20
PEACHTREE CITY  69  90  70  90 /   5  10  10  20
VIDALIA         73  91  73  93 /  20  40  20  20

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...01/BAKER
LONG TERM....16
AVIATION...BAKER




000
FXUS62 KFFC 020151
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
951 PM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015

.UPDATE...
AS WEAK RIDGE BEGINS TO LOSE INFLUENCE AND A WEAK GULF LOW WITH
ENHANCED MOISTURE CREEPS NORTHWARD FROM NORTH FL...THERE SHOULD
BE SOME INCREASED CLOUD COVERAGE ADVECTING INTO PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL GEORGIA. ANY PRECIP CHANCES HAVE DIMINISHED WITH LOSS OF
DAYTIME HEATING FOR THE OVERNIGHT AND MINOR ADJUSTMENTS WERE MADE
TO TEMP/DWPT TRENDS. SOME PROGGED DWPT DEPRESSIONS IN CONJUNCTION
WITH CALM WINDS SUGGEST POSSIBLE PATCHY FOG SLIGHTLY BEFORE
SUNRISE SO HAVE INCLUDED IN WEATHER ELEMENTS. PREVIOUS DISCUSSION
FOLLOWS...

BAKER

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 814 PM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015/

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
CURRENT RADAR LOOP SHOWS SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTH
GA AND FLORIDA AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SPINS JUST OFF THE GULF
COAST OF FL. WE CURRENTLY DO NOT HAVE ANY PRECIP IN OUR CWA BUT
MOISTURE IS INCREASING SO WILL BE INCREASING POPS ESPECIALLY
ACROSS CENTRAL GA WEDNESDAY. MAIN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS CENTERED
JUST OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST OF FL AND IS STILL HELPING TO KEEP
PRECIP TO A MINIMUM AT LEAST IN THE SHORT TERM. THERE IS STILL A
DECENT AMOUNT OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IN PLACE BUT OVERALL
INSTABILITY LOOKS TO BE LACKING. THE WEAK SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
HAS ALSO BUILD INTO THE AREA AND IS KIND OF SETTING UP LIKE A WEAK
WEDGE. LIGHT EASTERLY FLOW AND MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALL DAY ACROSS
THE STATE ARE CLASSIC SIGNS OF A WEDGE. HIGH TEMPS EXPECTED TO BE
RIGHT AT OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE SEASONAL NORMS WEDNESDAY WITH LOWS IN
THE 60S AND 70S.

01

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR TSTMS ON THU AFTERNOON WITH NO REAL
FOCUS FOR CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IN THE CWA. A BIT MORE COVERAGE
IS POSSIBLE ON FRIDAY WITH MORE INFLUENCE FROM AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE TO OUR WEST...ESPECIALLY ACCORDING TO THE ECMWF.
TEMPERATURES BOTH THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WILL BE WARM WITH AFTERNOON
HIGH TEMPS IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA.

THE BIGGEST CHANGE IN THE WEATHER PATTERN FOR THE LONG TERM WILL

BE THE WEDGE THAT WILL PUSH DOWN THE APPALACHIANS INTO OUR AREA
FOR THE WEEKEND. SATURDAY LOOKS TO BE THE WETTEST DAY AS THE
BACKDOOR FRONT MOVES IN WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH LINGER INTO SUNDAY. TEMPS WILL BE HELD
DOWN...RANGING FROM THE UPPER 70S INTO THE MID 80S FOR HIGHS WITH
ABUNDANT CLOUD COVER AND MORE PRECIP COVERAGE. THIS PATTERN SHOULD
BEGIN TO BREAK DOWN BY EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE IN THE NORTHEAST SHIFTS FURTHER EAST INTO THE ATLANTIC.

16

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z UPDATE...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THRU PERIOD. MOSTLY CLEAR AND CALM TO
LIGHT AND VRB CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT. A BIT GREATER MOISTURE
ADVECTING IN FROM THE SOUTH WEDNESDAY BUT GENERALLY SCT TO BKN CU
FIELD IN 3500-4500 FT RANGE. AFTER 15Z WINDS LIGHT NW FOR NEAR
KATL AND COULD BE VRB ELSEWHERE. PRECIP CHANCES STAY TOO LOW AND
FAR SOUTH TO INCLUDE IN TAF ATTM.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...00Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM ON WINDS.
HIGH ON ALL ELSE.

BAKER

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          70  90  71  91 /   5  10  10  20
ATLANTA         72  90  73  90 /   5  10  10  20
BLAIRSVILLE     64  85  65  85 /  20  30  20  20
CARTERSVILLE    68  90  69  90 /   5  10  10  20
COLUMBUS        73  91  73  92 /   5  20  10  20
GAINESVILLE     70  89  71  89 /   5  10  10  20
MACON           71  91  72  91 /   5  20  10  20
ROME            68  90  69  90 /   5  10  10  20
PEACHTREE CITY  69  90  70  90 /   5  10  10  20
VIDALIA         73  91  73  93 /  20  40  20  20

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...01/BAKER
LONG TERM....16
AVIATION...BAKER





000
FXUS62 KFFC 020014
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
814 PM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 332 PM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015/

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
CURRENT RADAR LOOP SHOWS SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTH
GA AND FLORIDA AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SPINS JUST OFF THE GULF
COAST OF FL. WE CURRENTLY DO NOT HAVE ANY PRECIP IN OUR CWA BUT
MOISTURE IS INCREASING SO WILL BE INCREASING POPS ESPECIALLY
ACROSS CENTRAL GA WEDNESDAY. MAIN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS CENTERED
JUST OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST OF FL AND IS STILL HELPING TO KEEP
PRECIP TO A MINIMUM AT LEAST IN THE SHORT TERM. THERE IS STILL A
DECENT AMOUNT OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IN PLACE BUT OVERALL
INSTABILITY LOOKS TO BE LACKING. THE WEAK SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
HAS ALSO BUILD INTO THE AREA AND IS KIND OF SETTING UP LIKE A WEAK
WEDGE. LIGHT EASTERLY FLOW AND MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALL DAY ACROSS
THE STATE ARE CLASSIC SIGNS OF A WEDGE. HIGH TEMPS EXPECTED TO BE
RIGHT AT OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE SEASONAL NORMS WEDNESDAY WITH LOWS IN
THE 60S AND 70S.

01

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR TSTMS ON THU AFTERNOON WITH NO REAL
FOCUS FOR CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IN THE CWA. A BIT MORE COVERAGE
IS POSSIBLE ON FRIDAY WITH MORE INFLUENCE FROM AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE TO OUR WEST...ESPECIALLY ACCORDING TO THE ECMWF.
TEMPERATURES BOTH THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WILL BE WARM WITH AFTERNOON
HIGH TEMPS IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA.

THE BIGGEST CHANGE IN THE WEATHER PATTERN FOR THE LONG TERM WILL

BE THE WEDGE THAT WILL PUSH DOWN THE APPALACHIANS INTO OUR AREA
FOR THE WEEKEND. SATURDAY LOOKS TO BE THE WETTEST DAY AS THE
BACKDOOR FRONT MOVES IN WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH LINGER INTO SUNDAY. TEMPS WILL BE HELD
DOWN...RANGING FROM THE UPPER 70S INTO THE MID 80S FOR HIGHS WITH
ABUNDANT CLOUD COVER AND MORE PRECIP COVERAGE. THIS PATTERN SHOULD
BEGIN TO BREAK DOWN BY EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE IN THE NORTHEAST SHIFTS FURTHER EAST INTO THE ATLANTIC.

16

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z UPDATE...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THRU PERIOD. MOSTLY CLEAR AND CALM TO
LIGHT AND VRB CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT. A BIT GREATER MOISTURE
ADVECTING IN FROM THE SOUTH WEDNESDAY BUT GENERALLY SCT TO BKN CU
FIELD IN 3500-4500 FT RANGE. AFTER 15Z WINDS LIGHT NW FOR NEAR
KATL AND COULD BE VRB ELSEWHERE. PRECIP CHANCES STAY TOO LOW AND
FAR SOUTH TO INCLUDE IN TAF ATTM.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...00Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM ON WINDS.
HIGH ON ALL ELSE.

BAKER

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          70  90  71  91 /   5  10  10  20
ATLANTA         72  90  73  90 /   5  10  10  20
BLAIRSVILLE     64  85  65  85 /  20  30  20  20
CARTERSVILLE    68  90  69  90 /   5  10  10  20
COLUMBUS        73  91  73  92 /   5  20  10  20
GAINESVILLE     70  89  71  89 /   5  10  10  20
MACON           71  91  72  91 /   5  20  10  20
ROME            68  90  69  90 /   5  10  10  20
PEACHTREE CITY  69  90  70  90 /   5  10  10  20
VIDALIA         73  91  73  93 /  20  40  20  20

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...01
LONG TERM....16
AVIATION...BAKER





000
FXUS62 KFFC 020014
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
814 PM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 332 PM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015/

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
CURRENT RADAR LOOP SHOWS SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTH
GA AND FLORIDA AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SPINS JUST OFF THE GULF
COAST OF FL. WE CURRENTLY DO NOT HAVE ANY PRECIP IN OUR CWA BUT
MOISTURE IS INCREASING SO WILL BE INCREASING POPS ESPECIALLY
ACROSS CENTRAL GA WEDNESDAY. MAIN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS CENTERED
JUST OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST OF FL AND IS STILL HELPING TO KEEP
PRECIP TO A MINIMUM AT LEAST IN THE SHORT TERM. THERE IS STILL A
DECENT AMOUNT OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IN PLACE BUT OVERALL
INSTABILITY LOOKS TO BE LACKING. THE WEAK SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
HAS ALSO BUILD INTO THE AREA AND IS KIND OF SETTING UP LIKE A WEAK
WEDGE. LIGHT EASTERLY FLOW AND MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALL DAY ACROSS
THE STATE ARE CLASSIC SIGNS OF A WEDGE. HIGH TEMPS EXPECTED TO BE
RIGHT AT OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE SEASONAL NORMS WEDNESDAY WITH LOWS IN
THE 60S AND 70S.

01

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR TSTMS ON THU AFTERNOON WITH NO REAL
FOCUS FOR CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IN THE CWA. A BIT MORE COVERAGE
IS POSSIBLE ON FRIDAY WITH MORE INFLUENCE FROM AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE TO OUR WEST...ESPECIALLY ACCORDING TO THE ECMWF.
TEMPERATURES BOTH THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WILL BE WARM WITH AFTERNOON
HIGH TEMPS IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA.

THE BIGGEST CHANGE IN THE WEATHER PATTERN FOR THE LONG TERM WILL

BE THE WEDGE THAT WILL PUSH DOWN THE APPALACHIANS INTO OUR AREA
FOR THE WEEKEND. SATURDAY LOOKS TO BE THE WETTEST DAY AS THE
BACKDOOR FRONT MOVES IN WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH LINGER INTO SUNDAY. TEMPS WILL BE HELD
DOWN...RANGING FROM THE UPPER 70S INTO THE MID 80S FOR HIGHS WITH
ABUNDANT CLOUD COVER AND MORE PRECIP COVERAGE. THIS PATTERN SHOULD
BEGIN TO BREAK DOWN BY EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE IN THE NORTHEAST SHIFTS FURTHER EAST INTO THE ATLANTIC.

16

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z UPDATE...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THRU PERIOD. MOSTLY CLEAR AND CALM TO
LIGHT AND VRB CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT. A BIT GREATER MOISTURE
ADVECTING IN FROM THE SOUTH WEDNESDAY BUT GENERALLY SCT TO BKN CU
FIELD IN 3500-4500 FT RANGE. AFTER 15Z WINDS LIGHT NW FOR NEAR
KATL AND COULD BE VRB ELSEWHERE. PRECIP CHANCES STAY TOO LOW AND
FAR SOUTH TO INCLUDE IN TAF ATTM.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...00Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM ON WINDS.
HIGH ON ALL ELSE.

BAKER

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          70  90  71  91 /   5  10  10  20
ATLANTA         72  90  73  90 /   5  10  10  20
BLAIRSVILLE     64  85  65  85 /  20  30  20  20
CARTERSVILLE    68  90  69  90 /   5  10  10  20
COLUMBUS        73  91  73  92 /   5  20  10  20
GAINESVILLE     70  89  71  89 /   5  10  10  20
MACON           71  91  72  91 /   5  20  10  20
ROME            68  90  69  90 /   5  10  10  20
PEACHTREE CITY  69  90  70  90 /   5  10  10  20
VIDALIA         73  91  73  93 /  20  40  20  20

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...01
LONG TERM....16
AVIATION...BAKER




000
FXUS62 KFFC 011932
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
332 PM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
CURRENT RADAR LOOP SHOWS SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTH
GA AND FLORIDA AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SPINS JUST OFF THE GULF
COAST OF FL. WE CURRENTLY DO NOT HAVE ANY PRECIP IN OUR CWA BUT
MOISTURE IS INCREASING SO WILL BE INCREASING POPS ESPECIALLY
ACROSS CENTRAL GA WEDNESDAY. MAIN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS CENTERED
JUST OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST OF FL AND IS STILL HELPING TO KEEP
PRECIP TO A MINIMUM AT LEAST IN THE SHORT TERM. THERE IS STILL A
DECENT AMOUNT OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IN PLACE BUT OVERALL
INSTABILITY LOOKS TO BE LACKING. THE WEAK SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
HAS ALSO BUILD INTO THE AREA AND IS KIND OF SETTING UP LIKE A WEAK
WEDGE. LIGHT EASTERLY FLOW AND MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALL DAY ACROSS
THE STATE ARE CLASSIC SIGNS OF A WEDGE. HIGH TEMPS EXPECTED TO BE
RIGHT AT OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE SEASONAL NORMS WEDNESDAY WITH LOWS IN
THE 60S AND 70S.

01

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR TSTMS ON THU AFTERNOON WITH NO REAL
FOCUS FOR CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IN THE CWA. A BIT MORE COVERAGE
IS POSSIBLE ON FRIDAY WITH MORE INFLUENCE FROM AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE TO OUR WEST...ESPECIALLY ACCORDING TO THE ECMWF.
TEMPERATURES BOTH THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WILL BE WARM WITH AFTERNOON
HIGH TEMPS IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA.

THE BIGGEST CHANGE IN THE WEATHER PATTERN FOR THE LONG TERM WILL
BE THE WEDGE THAT WILL PUSH DOWN THE APPALACHIANS INTO OUR AREA
FOR THE WEEKEND. SATURDAY LOOKS TO BE THE WETTEST DAY AS THE
BACKDOOR FRONT MOVES IN WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH LINGER INTO SUNDAY. TEMPS WILL BE HELD
DOWN...RANGING FROM THE UPPER 70S INTO THE MID 80S FOR HIGHS WITH
ABUNDANT CLOUD COVER AND MORE PRECIP COVERAGE. THIS PATTERN SHOULD
BEGIN TO BREAK DOWN BY EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE IN THE NORTHEAST SHIFTS FURTHER EAST INTO THE ATLANTIC.

16

AVIATION...
18Z UPDATE...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. NO
PRECIPITATION OR RESTRICTIONS TO VSBYS EXPECTED. WINDS ARE THE
CHALLENGE THIS FORECAST PERIOD. CURRENTLY THE WINDS ARE VERY LIGHT
AND THE DIRECTION IS ALL OVER THE PLACE. WINDS JUST ABOVE THE
SURFACE ARE NE AND HAVE SEEN MAINLY E TO NE WINDS. WINDS SHOULD
STAY LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGH THE NIGHT BUT PICK UP A BIT BY
16-18Z WED OUT OF THE NW.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE...
CONFIDENCE MEDIUM TO HIGH ON ALL ELEMENTS.

01

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          70  90  71  91 /   5  10  10  20
ATLANTA         72  90  73  90 /   5  10  10  20
BLAIRSVILLE     64  85  65  85 /   5  30  20  20
CARTERSVILLE    68  90  69  90 /   5  10  10  20
COLUMBUS        73  91  73  92 /   5  20  10  20
GAINESVILLE     70  89  71  89 /   5  10  10  20
MACON           71  91  72  91 /   5  20  10  20
ROME            68  90  69  90 /   5  10  10  20
PEACHTREE CITY  69  90  70  90 /   5  10  10  20
VIDALIA         73  91  73  93 /  20  40  20  20

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...01
LONG TERM....16
AVIATION...01




000
FXUS62 KFFC 011932
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
332 PM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
CURRENT RADAR LOOP SHOWS SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTH
GA AND FLORIDA AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SPINS JUST OFF THE GULF
COAST OF FL. WE CURRENTLY DO NOT HAVE ANY PRECIP IN OUR CWA BUT
MOISTURE IS INCREASING SO WILL BE INCREASING POPS ESPECIALLY
ACROSS CENTRAL GA WEDNESDAY. MAIN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS CENTERED
JUST OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST OF FL AND IS STILL HELPING TO KEEP
PRECIP TO A MINIMUM AT LEAST IN THE SHORT TERM. THERE IS STILL A
DECENT AMOUNT OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IN PLACE BUT OVERALL
INSTABILITY LOOKS TO BE LACKING. THE WEAK SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
HAS ALSO BUILD INTO THE AREA AND IS KIND OF SETTING UP LIKE A WEAK
WEDGE. LIGHT EASTERLY FLOW AND MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALL DAY ACROSS
THE STATE ARE CLASSIC SIGNS OF A WEDGE. HIGH TEMPS EXPECTED TO BE
RIGHT AT OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE SEASONAL NORMS WEDNESDAY WITH LOWS IN
THE 60S AND 70S.

01

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR TSTMS ON THU AFTERNOON WITH NO REAL
FOCUS FOR CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IN THE CWA. A BIT MORE COVERAGE
IS POSSIBLE ON FRIDAY WITH MORE INFLUENCE FROM AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE TO OUR WEST...ESPECIALLY ACCORDING TO THE ECMWF.
TEMPERATURES BOTH THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WILL BE WARM WITH AFTERNOON
HIGH TEMPS IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA.

THE BIGGEST CHANGE IN THE WEATHER PATTERN FOR THE LONG TERM WILL
BE THE WEDGE THAT WILL PUSH DOWN THE APPALACHIANS INTO OUR AREA
FOR THE WEEKEND. SATURDAY LOOKS TO BE THE WETTEST DAY AS THE
BACKDOOR FRONT MOVES IN WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH LINGER INTO SUNDAY. TEMPS WILL BE HELD
DOWN...RANGING FROM THE UPPER 70S INTO THE MID 80S FOR HIGHS WITH
ABUNDANT CLOUD COVER AND MORE PRECIP COVERAGE. THIS PATTERN SHOULD
BEGIN TO BREAK DOWN BY EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE IN THE NORTHEAST SHIFTS FURTHER EAST INTO THE ATLANTIC.

16

AVIATION...
18Z UPDATE...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. NO
PRECIPITATION OR RESTRICTIONS TO VSBYS EXPECTED. WINDS ARE THE
CHALLENGE THIS FORECAST PERIOD. CURRENTLY THE WINDS ARE VERY LIGHT
AND THE DIRECTION IS ALL OVER THE PLACE. WINDS JUST ABOVE THE
SURFACE ARE NE AND HAVE SEEN MAINLY E TO NE WINDS. WINDS SHOULD
STAY LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGH THE NIGHT BUT PICK UP A BIT BY
16-18Z WED OUT OF THE NW.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE...
CONFIDENCE MEDIUM TO HIGH ON ALL ELEMENTS.

01

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          70  90  71  91 /   5  10  10  20
ATLANTA         72  90  73  90 /   5  10  10  20
BLAIRSVILLE     64  85  65  85 /   5  30  20  20
CARTERSVILLE    68  90  69  90 /   5  10  10  20
COLUMBUS        73  91  73  92 /   5  20  10  20
GAINESVILLE     70  89  71  89 /   5  10  10  20
MACON           71  91  72  91 /   5  20  10  20
ROME            68  90  69  90 /   5  10  10  20
PEACHTREE CITY  69  90  70  90 /   5  10  10  20
VIDALIA         73  91  73  93 /  20  40  20  20

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...01
LONG TERM....16
AVIATION...01





000
FXUS62 KFFC 011932
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
332 PM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
CURRENT RADAR LOOP SHOWS SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTH
GA AND FLORIDA AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SPINS JUST OFF THE GULF
COAST OF FL. WE CURRENTLY DO NOT HAVE ANY PRECIP IN OUR CWA BUT
MOISTURE IS INCREASING SO WILL BE INCREASING POPS ESPECIALLY
ACROSS CENTRAL GA WEDNESDAY. MAIN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS CENTERED
JUST OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST OF FL AND IS STILL HELPING TO KEEP
PRECIP TO A MINIMUM AT LEAST IN THE SHORT TERM. THERE IS STILL A
DECENT AMOUNT OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IN PLACE BUT OVERALL
INSTABILITY LOOKS TO BE LACKING. THE WEAK SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
HAS ALSO BUILD INTO THE AREA AND IS KIND OF SETTING UP LIKE A WEAK
WEDGE. LIGHT EASTERLY FLOW AND MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALL DAY ACROSS
THE STATE ARE CLASSIC SIGNS OF A WEDGE. HIGH TEMPS EXPECTED TO BE
RIGHT AT OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE SEASONAL NORMS WEDNESDAY WITH LOWS IN
THE 60S AND 70S.

01

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR TSTMS ON THU AFTERNOON WITH NO REAL
FOCUS FOR CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IN THE CWA. A BIT MORE COVERAGE
IS POSSIBLE ON FRIDAY WITH MORE INFLUENCE FROM AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE TO OUR WEST...ESPECIALLY ACCORDING TO THE ECMWF.
TEMPERATURES BOTH THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WILL BE WARM WITH AFTERNOON
HIGH TEMPS IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA.

THE BIGGEST CHANGE IN THE WEATHER PATTERN FOR THE LONG TERM WILL
BE THE WEDGE THAT WILL PUSH DOWN THE APPALACHIANS INTO OUR AREA
FOR THE WEEKEND. SATURDAY LOOKS TO BE THE WETTEST DAY AS THE
BACKDOOR FRONT MOVES IN WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH LINGER INTO SUNDAY. TEMPS WILL BE HELD
DOWN...RANGING FROM THE UPPER 70S INTO THE MID 80S FOR HIGHS WITH
ABUNDANT CLOUD COVER AND MORE PRECIP COVERAGE. THIS PATTERN SHOULD
BEGIN TO BREAK DOWN BY EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE IN THE NORTHEAST SHIFTS FURTHER EAST INTO THE ATLANTIC.

16

AVIATION...
18Z UPDATE...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. NO
PRECIPITATION OR RESTRICTIONS TO VSBYS EXPECTED. WINDS ARE THE
CHALLENGE THIS FORECAST PERIOD. CURRENTLY THE WINDS ARE VERY LIGHT
AND THE DIRECTION IS ALL OVER THE PLACE. WINDS JUST ABOVE THE
SURFACE ARE NE AND HAVE SEEN MAINLY E TO NE WINDS. WINDS SHOULD
STAY LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGH THE NIGHT BUT PICK UP A BIT BY
16-18Z WED OUT OF THE NW.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE...
CONFIDENCE MEDIUM TO HIGH ON ALL ELEMENTS.

01

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          70  90  71  91 /   5  10  10  20
ATLANTA         72  90  73  90 /   5  10  10  20
BLAIRSVILLE     64  85  65  85 /   5  30  20  20
CARTERSVILLE    68  90  69  90 /   5  10  10  20
COLUMBUS        73  91  73  92 /   5  20  10  20
GAINESVILLE     70  89  71  89 /   5  10  10  20
MACON           71  91  72  91 /   5  20  10  20
ROME            68  90  69  90 /   5  10  10  20
PEACHTREE CITY  69  90  70  90 /   5  10  10  20
VIDALIA         73  91  73  93 /  20  40  20  20

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...01
LONG TERM....16
AVIATION...01




000
FXUS62 KFFC 011932
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
332 PM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
CURRENT RADAR LOOP SHOWS SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTH
GA AND FLORIDA AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SPINS JUST OFF THE GULF
COAST OF FL. WE CURRENTLY DO NOT HAVE ANY PRECIP IN OUR CWA BUT
MOISTURE IS INCREASING SO WILL BE INCREASING POPS ESPECIALLY
ACROSS CENTRAL GA WEDNESDAY. MAIN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS CENTERED
JUST OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST OF FL AND IS STILL HELPING TO KEEP
PRECIP TO A MINIMUM AT LEAST IN THE SHORT TERM. THERE IS STILL A
DECENT AMOUNT OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IN PLACE BUT OVERALL
INSTABILITY LOOKS TO BE LACKING. THE WEAK SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
HAS ALSO BUILD INTO THE AREA AND IS KIND OF SETTING UP LIKE A WEAK
WEDGE. LIGHT EASTERLY FLOW AND MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALL DAY ACROSS
THE STATE ARE CLASSIC SIGNS OF A WEDGE. HIGH TEMPS EXPECTED TO BE
RIGHT AT OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE SEASONAL NORMS WEDNESDAY WITH LOWS IN
THE 60S AND 70S.

01

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR TSTMS ON THU AFTERNOON WITH NO REAL
FOCUS FOR CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IN THE CWA. A BIT MORE COVERAGE
IS POSSIBLE ON FRIDAY WITH MORE INFLUENCE FROM AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE TO OUR WEST...ESPECIALLY ACCORDING TO THE ECMWF.
TEMPERATURES BOTH THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WILL BE WARM WITH AFTERNOON
HIGH TEMPS IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA.

THE BIGGEST CHANGE IN THE WEATHER PATTERN FOR THE LONG TERM WILL
BE THE WEDGE THAT WILL PUSH DOWN THE APPALACHIANS INTO OUR AREA
FOR THE WEEKEND. SATURDAY LOOKS TO BE THE WETTEST DAY AS THE
BACKDOOR FRONT MOVES IN WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH LINGER INTO SUNDAY. TEMPS WILL BE HELD
DOWN...RANGING FROM THE UPPER 70S INTO THE MID 80S FOR HIGHS WITH
ABUNDANT CLOUD COVER AND MORE PRECIP COVERAGE. THIS PATTERN SHOULD
BEGIN TO BREAK DOWN BY EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE IN THE NORTHEAST SHIFTS FURTHER EAST INTO THE ATLANTIC.

16

AVIATION...
18Z UPDATE...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. NO
PRECIPITATION OR RESTRICTIONS TO VSBYS EXPECTED. WINDS ARE THE
CHALLENGE THIS FORECAST PERIOD. CURRENTLY THE WINDS ARE VERY LIGHT
AND THE DIRECTION IS ALL OVER THE PLACE. WINDS JUST ABOVE THE
SURFACE ARE NE AND HAVE SEEN MAINLY E TO NE WINDS. WINDS SHOULD
STAY LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGH THE NIGHT BUT PICK UP A BIT BY
16-18Z WED OUT OF THE NW.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE...
CONFIDENCE MEDIUM TO HIGH ON ALL ELEMENTS.

01

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          70  90  71  91 /   5  10  10  20
ATLANTA         72  90  73  90 /   5  10  10  20
BLAIRSVILLE     64  85  65  85 /   5  30  20  20
CARTERSVILLE    68  90  69  90 /   5  10  10  20
COLUMBUS        73  91  73  92 /   5  20  10  20
GAINESVILLE     70  89  71  89 /   5  10  10  20
MACON           71  91  72  91 /   5  20  10  20
ROME            68  90  69  90 /   5  10  10  20
PEACHTREE CITY  69  90  70  90 /   5  10  10  20
VIDALIA         73  91  73  93 /  20  40  20  20

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...01
LONG TERM....16
AVIATION...01





000
FXUS62 KFFC 011753
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
153 PM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015



.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 705 AM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015/

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 348 AM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015/

SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...

MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH RATHER QUIET WEATHER ALL IN ALL.
THE UPPER RIDGE HAS BUILT SOME OVER THE AREA FROM THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC. AN AXIS OF DEEP MOISTURE MOVES OVER SE GA AND GETS CLOSE
TO SOME OF THE COUNTIES SE OF MCN WHERE 20-30 PERCENT POPS WILL
BE FOR THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING...ASSOCIATED WITH A SURFACE TROUGH
AND SOME INCREASED INSTABILITY. THERE COULD ALSO BE SOME INCREASED
INSTABILITY OVER THE NE MOUNTAINS AS WELL GIVING THE POSSIBILITY
FOR AN AFTERNOON/EVENING SHOWER OR STORM. AS FOR THE REST OF THE AREA...
CHANCES FOR PRECIP ARE TOO LOW TO MENTION AS OVERALL INSTABILITY IS
WEAK.

NOT MUCH CHANGE FOR WEDNESDAY. THE UPPER RIDGE WEAKENS SOME. THE SE
SURFACE TROUGH IS CLOSER TO CENTRAL GA SO POPS ARE JUST A LITTLE HIGHER
AND OVER A LARGER PORTION OF CENTRAL GA...AND ONCE AGAIN OVER THE NE
MOUNTAINS.

FORECAST HIGH TEMPERATURES RUNNING AROUND NORMAL TODAY AND
NEAR TO 3-4 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR WEDNESDAY. FORECAST LOW
TEMPERATURES RUNNING 2-3 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL TONIGHT.

OVERALL CONFIDENCE IS HIGH.

BDL

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...

THE LONG TERM BEGINS RELATIVELY UNEVENTFULLY. ONLY SLIGHT CHANCE
POPS FOR THURSDAY AFTERNOON WITH NO REAL FOCUS FOR
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IN THE CWA. A BIT MORE COVERAGE IS POSSIBLE
ON FRIDAY WITH MORE INFLUENCE FROM AN UPPER-LEVEL WEAKNESS TO OUR
WEST...ESPECIALLY ACCORDING TO THE ECMWF. TEMPERATURES BOTH THURSDAY
AND FRIDAY WILL BE WARM WITH AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE
UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S ACROSS THE AREA.

THE BIGGEST INFLUENCE IN THE LONG TERM WILL BE THE WEDGE THAT WILL
PUSH DOWN THE APPALACHIANS INTO OUR AREA FOR THE COMING WEEKEND.
SATURDAY LOOKS TO BE THE WETTEST DAY AS THE BACKDOOR FRONT MOVES IN
WITH LINGERING CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ON
SUNDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE HELD DOWN...RANGING FROM THE UPPER 70S
INTO THE MID 80S FOR HIGHS WITH ABUNDANT CLOUD COVER AND MORE
PRECIP COVERAGE. THIS PATTERN SHOULD BEGIN TO BREAK DOWN BY EARLY
NEXT WEEK AS THE SURFACE HIGH CENTER IN THE NORTHEAST SHIFTS
FURTHER EAST INTO THE ATLANTIC.

RW

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z UPDATE...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. NO
PRECIPITATION OR RESTRICTIONS TO VSBYS EXPECTED. WINDS ARE THE
CHALLENGE THIS FORECAST PERIOD. CURRENTLY THE WINDS ARE VERY LIGHT
AND THE DIRECTION IS ALL OVER THE PLACE. WINDS JUST ABOVE THE
SURFACE ARE NE AND HAVE SEEN MAINLY E TO NE WINDS. WINDS SHOULD
STAY LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGH THE NIGHT BUT PICK UP A BIT BY
16-18Z WED OUT OF THE NW.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE...
CONFIDENCE MEDIUM TO HIGH ON ALL ELEMENTS.

01

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          89  70  90  71 /  10   5  10  10
ATLANTA         88  72  90  73 /  10   5  10  10
BLAIRSVILLE     84  64  85  65 /  30   5  30  20
CARTERSVILLE    88  68  90  69 /  10   5  10  10
COLUMBUS        90  73  91  73 /  10   5  20  10
GAINESVILLE     87  70  89  71 /  10   5  10  10
MACON           89  71  91  72 /  10   5  20  10
ROME            88  68  90  69 /  10   5  10  10
PEACHTREE CITY  88  69  90  70 /  10   5  10  10
VIDALIA         90  73  91  73 /  30  20  40  20

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...01
LONG TERM....16
AVIATION...01




000
FXUS62 KFFC 011753
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
153 PM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015



.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 705 AM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015/

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 348 AM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015/

SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...

MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH RATHER QUIET WEATHER ALL IN ALL.
THE UPPER RIDGE HAS BUILT SOME OVER THE AREA FROM THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC. AN AXIS OF DEEP MOISTURE MOVES OVER SE GA AND GETS CLOSE
TO SOME OF THE COUNTIES SE OF MCN WHERE 20-30 PERCENT POPS WILL
BE FOR THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING...ASSOCIATED WITH A SURFACE TROUGH
AND SOME INCREASED INSTABILITY. THERE COULD ALSO BE SOME INCREASED
INSTABILITY OVER THE NE MOUNTAINS AS WELL GIVING THE POSSIBILITY
FOR AN AFTERNOON/EVENING SHOWER OR STORM. AS FOR THE REST OF THE AREA...
CHANCES FOR PRECIP ARE TOO LOW TO MENTION AS OVERALL INSTABILITY IS
WEAK.

NOT MUCH CHANGE FOR WEDNESDAY. THE UPPER RIDGE WEAKENS SOME. THE SE
SURFACE TROUGH IS CLOSER TO CENTRAL GA SO POPS ARE JUST A LITTLE HIGHER
AND OVER A LARGER PORTION OF CENTRAL GA...AND ONCE AGAIN OVER THE NE
MOUNTAINS.

FORECAST HIGH TEMPERATURES RUNNING AROUND NORMAL TODAY AND
NEAR TO 3-4 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR WEDNESDAY. FORECAST LOW
TEMPERATURES RUNNING 2-3 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL TONIGHT.

OVERALL CONFIDENCE IS HIGH.

BDL

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...

THE LONG TERM BEGINS RELATIVELY UNEVENTFULLY. ONLY SLIGHT CHANCE
POPS FOR THURSDAY AFTERNOON WITH NO REAL FOCUS FOR
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IN THE CWA. A BIT MORE COVERAGE IS POSSIBLE
ON FRIDAY WITH MORE INFLUENCE FROM AN UPPER-LEVEL WEAKNESS TO OUR
WEST...ESPECIALLY ACCORDING TO THE ECMWF. TEMPERATURES BOTH THURSDAY
AND FRIDAY WILL BE WARM WITH AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE
UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S ACROSS THE AREA.

THE BIGGEST INFLUENCE IN THE LONG TERM WILL BE THE WEDGE THAT WILL
PUSH DOWN THE APPALACHIANS INTO OUR AREA FOR THE COMING WEEKEND.
SATURDAY LOOKS TO BE THE WETTEST DAY AS THE BACKDOOR FRONT MOVES IN
WITH LINGERING CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ON
SUNDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE HELD DOWN...RANGING FROM THE UPPER 70S
INTO THE MID 80S FOR HIGHS WITH ABUNDANT CLOUD COVER AND MORE
PRECIP COVERAGE. THIS PATTERN SHOULD BEGIN TO BREAK DOWN BY EARLY
NEXT WEEK AS THE SURFACE HIGH CENTER IN THE NORTHEAST SHIFTS
FURTHER EAST INTO THE ATLANTIC.

RW

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z UPDATE...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. NO
PRECIPITATION OR RESTRICTIONS TO VSBYS EXPECTED. WINDS ARE THE
CHALLENGE THIS FORECAST PERIOD. CURRENTLY THE WINDS ARE VERY LIGHT
AND THE DIRECTION IS ALL OVER THE PLACE. WINDS JUST ABOVE THE
SURFACE ARE NE AND HAVE SEEN MAINLY E TO NE WINDS. WINDS SHOULD
STAY LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGH THE NIGHT BUT PICK UP A BIT BY
16-18Z WED OUT OF THE NW.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE...
CONFIDENCE MEDIUM TO HIGH ON ALL ELEMENTS.

01

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          89  70  90  71 /  10   5  10  10
ATLANTA         88  72  90  73 /  10   5  10  10
BLAIRSVILLE     84  64  85  65 /  30   5  30  20
CARTERSVILLE    88  68  90  69 /  10   5  10  10
COLUMBUS        90  73  91  73 /  10   5  20  10
GAINESVILLE     87  70  89  71 /  10   5  10  10
MACON           89  71  91  72 /  10   5  20  10
ROME            88  68  90  69 /  10   5  10  10
PEACHTREE CITY  88  69  90  70 /  10   5  10  10
VIDALIA         90  73  91  73 /  30  20  40  20

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...01
LONG TERM....16
AVIATION...01





000
FXUS62 KFFC 011105 AAA
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
705 AM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 348 AM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015/

SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...

MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH RATHER QUIET WEATHER ALL IN ALL.
THE UPPER RIDGE HAS BUILT SOME OVER THE AREA FROM THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC. AN AXIS OF DEEP MOISTURE MOVES OVER SE GA AND GETS CLOSE
TO SOME OF THE COUNTIES SE OF MCN WHERE 20-30 PERCENT POPS WILL
BE FOR THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING...ASSOCIATED WITH A SURFACE TROUGH
AND SOME INCREASED INSTABILITY. THERE COULD ALSO BE SOME INCREASED
INSTABILITY OVER THE NE MOUNTAINS AS WELL GIVING THE POSSIBILITY
FOR AN AFTERNOON/EVENING SHOWER OR STORM. AS FOR THE REST OF THE AREA...
CHANCES FOR PRECIP ARE TOO LOW TO MENTION AS OVERALL INSTABILITY IS
WEAK.

NOT MUCH CHANGE FOR WEDNESDAY. THE UPPER RIDGE WEAKENS SOME. THE SE
SURFACE TROUGH IS CLOSER TO CENTRAL GA SO POPS ARE JUST A LITTLE HIGHER
AND OVER A LARGER PORTION OF CENTRAL GA...AND ONCE AGAIN OVER THE NE
MOUNTAINS.

FORECAST HIGH TEMPERATURES RUNNING AROUND NORMAL TODAY AND
NEAR TO 3-4 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR WEDNESDAY. FORECAST LOW
TEMPERATURES RUNNING 2-3 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL TONIGHT.

OVERALL CONFIDENCE IS HIGH.

BDL

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...

THE LONG TERM BEGINS RELATIVELY UNEVENTFULLY. ONLY SLIGHT CHANCE
POPS FOR THURSDAY AFTERNOON WITH NO REAL FOCUS FOR
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IN THE CWA. A BIT MORE COVERAGE IS POSSIBLE
ON FRIDAY WITH MORE INFLUENCE FROM AN UPPER-LEVEL WEAKNESS TO OUR
WEST...ESPECIALLY ACCORDING TO THE ECMWF. TEMPERATURES BOTH THURSDAY
AND FRIDAY WILL BE WARM WITH AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE
UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S ACROSS THE AREA.

THE BIGGEST INFLUENCE IN THE LONG TERM WILL BE THE WEDGE THAT WILL
PUSH DOWN THE APPALACHIANS INTO OUR AREA FOR THE COMING WEEKEND.
SATURDAY LOOKS TO BE THE WETTEST DAY AS THE BACKDOOR FRONT MOVES IN
WITH LINGERING CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ON
SUNDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE HELD DOWN...RANGING FROM THE UPPER 70S
INTO THE MID 80S FOR HIGHS WITH ABUNDANT CLOUD COVER AND MORE
PRECIP COVERAGE. THIS PATTERN SHOULD BEGIN TO BREAK DOWN BY EARLY
NEXT WEEK AS THE SURFACE HIGH CENTER IN THE NORTHEAST SHIFTS
FURTHER EAST INTO THE ATLANTIC.

RW

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z UPDATE...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED...EXCEPT FOR PATCHY IFR-MVFR VSBYS UNTIL
12-14Z. SCT-BKN 4000-5000 CU DURING THE AFTERNOON. SURFACE WINDS
VARIABLE 6 KTS OR LESS.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...12Z UPDATE...
LOW CONFIDENCE FOR WIND DIRECTION.
LOW-MEDIUM CONFIDENCE FOR ANY AFTERNOON CEILINGS.
HIGH CONFIDENCE OTHER ELEMENTS.

BDL

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          89  70  90  71 /  10   5  10  10
ATLANTA         88  72  90  73 /  10   5  10  10
BLAIRSVILLE     84  64  85  65 /  30   5  30  20
CARTERSVILLE    88  68  90  69 /  10   5  10  10
COLUMBUS        90  73  91  74 /  10   5  20  10
GAINESVILLE     87  70  89  71 /  10   5  10  10
MACON           89  71  91  72 /  10   5  20  10
ROME            88  68  90  69 /  10   5  10  10
PEACHTREE CITY  88  69  90  70 /  10   5  10  10
VIDALIA         90  73  90  73 /  30  20  40  20

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...BDL
LONG TERM....RW
AVIATION...BDL





000
FXUS62 KFFC 011105 AAA
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
705 AM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 348 AM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015/

SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...

MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH RATHER QUIET WEATHER ALL IN ALL.
THE UPPER RIDGE HAS BUILT SOME OVER THE AREA FROM THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC. AN AXIS OF DEEP MOISTURE MOVES OVER SE GA AND GETS CLOSE
TO SOME OF THE COUNTIES SE OF MCN WHERE 20-30 PERCENT POPS WILL
BE FOR THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING...ASSOCIATED WITH A SURFACE TROUGH
AND SOME INCREASED INSTABILITY. THERE COULD ALSO BE SOME INCREASED
INSTABILITY OVER THE NE MOUNTAINS AS WELL GIVING THE POSSIBILITY
FOR AN AFTERNOON/EVENING SHOWER OR STORM. AS FOR THE REST OF THE AREA...
CHANCES FOR PRECIP ARE TOO LOW TO MENTION AS OVERALL INSTABILITY IS
WEAK.

NOT MUCH CHANGE FOR WEDNESDAY. THE UPPER RIDGE WEAKENS SOME. THE SE
SURFACE TROUGH IS CLOSER TO CENTRAL GA SO POPS ARE JUST A LITTLE HIGHER
AND OVER A LARGER PORTION OF CENTRAL GA...AND ONCE AGAIN OVER THE NE
MOUNTAINS.

FORECAST HIGH TEMPERATURES RUNNING AROUND NORMAL TODAY AND
NEAR TO 3-4 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR WEDNESDAY. FORECAST LOW
TEMPERATURES RUNNING 2-3 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL TONIGHT.

OVERALL CONFIDENCE IS HIGH.

BDL

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...

THE LONG TERM BEGINS RELATIVELY UNEVENTFULLY. ONLY SLIGHT CHANCE
POPS FOR THURSDAY AFTERNOON WITH NO REAL FOCUS FOR
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IN THE CWA. A BIT MORE COVERAGE IS POSSIBLE
ON FRIDAY WITH MORE INFLUENCE FROM AN UPPER-LEVEL WEAKNESS TO OUR
WEST...ESPECIALLY ACCORDING TO THE ECMWF. TEMPERATURES BOTH THURSDAY
AND FRIDAY WILL BE WARM WITH AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE
UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S ACROSS THE AREA.

THE BIGGEST INFLUENCE IN THE LONG TERM WILL BE THE WEDGE THAT WILL
PUSH DOWN THE APPALACHIANS INTO OUR AREA FOR THE COMING WEEKEND.
SATURDAY LOOKS TO BE THE WETTEST DAY AS THE BACKDOOR FRONT MOVES IN
WITH LINGERING CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ON
SUNDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE HELD DOWN...RANGING FROM THE UPPER 70S
INTO THE MID 80S FOR HIGHS WITH ABUNDANT CLOUD COVER AND MORE
PRECIP COVERAGE. THIS PATTERN SHOULD BEGIN TO BREAK DOWN BY EARLY
NEXT WEEK AS THE SURFACE HIGH CENTER IN THE NORTHEAST SHIFTS
FURTHER EAST INTO THE ATLANTIC.

RW

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z UPDATE...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED...EXCEPT FOR PATCHY IFR-MVFR VSBYS UNTIL
12-14Z. SCT-BKN 4000-5000 CU DURING THE AFTERNOON. SURFACE WINDS
VARIABLE 6 KTS OR LESS.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...12Z UPDATE...
LOW CONFIDENCE FOR WIND DIRECTION.
LOW-MEDIUM CONFIDENCE FOR ANY AFTERNOON CEILINGS.
HIGH CONFIDENCE OTHER ELEMENTS.

BDL

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          89  70  90  71 /  10   5  10  10
ATLANTA         88  72  90  73 /  10   5  10  10
BLAIRSVILLE     84  64  85  65 /  30   5  30  20
CARTERSVILLE    88  68  90  69 /  10   5  10  10
COLUMBUS        90  73  91  74 /  10   5  20  10
GAINESVILLE     87  70  89  71 /  10   5  10  10
MACON           89  71  91  72 /  10   5  20  10
ROME            88  68  90  69 /  10   5  10  10
PEACHTREE CITY  88  69  90  70 /  10   5  10  10
VIDALIA         90  73  90  73 /  30  20  40  20

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...BDL
LONG TERM....RW
AVIATION...BDL




000
FXUS62 KFFC 011105 AAA
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
705 AM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 348 AM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015/

SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...

MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH RATHER QUIET WEATHER ALL IN ALL.
THE UPPER RIDGE HAS BUILT SOME OVER THE AREA FROM THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC. AN AXIS OF DEEP MOISTURE MOVES OVER SE GA AND GETS CLOSE
TO SOME OF THE COUNTIES SE OF MCN WHERE 20-30 PERCENT POPS WILL
BE FOR THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING...ASSOCIATED WITH A SURFACE TROUGH
AND SOME INCREASED INSTABILITY. THERE COULD ALSO BE SOME INCREASED
INSTABILITY OVER THE NE MOUNTAINS AS WELL GIVING THE POSSIBILITY
FOR AN AFTERNOON/EVENING SHOWER OR STORM. AS FOR THE REST OF THE AREA...
CHANCES FOR PRECIP ARE TOO LOW TO MENTION AS OVERALL INSTABILITY IS
WEAK.

NOT MUCH CHANGE FOR WEDNESDAY. THE UPPER RIDGE WEAKENS SOME. THE SE
SURFACE TROUGH IS CLOSER TO CENTRAL GA SO POPS ARE JUST A LITTLE HIGHER
AND OVER A LARGER PORTION OF CENTRAL GA...AND ONCE AGAIN OVER THE NE
MOUNTAINS.

FORECAST HIGH TEMPERATURES RUNNING AROUND NORMAL TODAY AND
NEAR TO 3-4 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR WEDNESDAY. FORECAST LOW
TEMPERATURES RUNNING 2-3 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL TONIGHT.

OVERALL CONFIDENCE IS HIGH.

BDL

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...

THE LONG TERM BEGINS RELATIVELY UNEVENTFULLY. ONLY SLIGHT CHANCE
POPS FOR THURSDAY AFTERNOON WITH NO REAL FOCUS FOR
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IN THE CWA. A BIT MORE COVERAGE IS POSSIBLE
ON FRIDAY WITH MORE INFLUENCE FROM AN UPPER-LEVEL WEAKNESS TO OUR
WEST...ESPECIALLY ACCORDING TO THE ECMWF. TEMPERATURES BOTH THURSDAY
AND FRIDAY WILL BE WARM WITH AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE
UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S ACROSS THE AREA.

THE BIGGEST INFLUENCE IN THE LONG TERM WILL BE THE WEDGE THAT WILL
PUSH DOWN THE APPALACHIANS INTO OUR AREA FOR THE COMING WEEKEND.
SATURDAY LOOKS TO BE THE WETTEST DAY AS THE BACKDOOR FRONT MOVES IN
WITH LINGERING CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ON
SUNDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE HELD DOWN...RANGING FROM THE UPPER 70S
INTO THE MID 80S FOR HIGHS WITH ABUNDANT CLOUD COVER AND MORE
PRECIP COVERAGE. THIS PATTERN SHOULD BEGIN TO BREAK DOWN BY EARLY
NEXT WEEK AS THE SURFACE HIGH CENTER IN THE NORTHEAST SHIFTS
FURTHER EAST INTO THE ATLANTIC.

RW

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z UPDATE...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED...EXCEPT FOR PATCHY IFR-MVFR VSBYS UNTIL
12-14Z. SCT-BKN 4000-5000 CU DURING THE AFTERNOON. SURFACE WINDS
VARIABLE 6 KTS OR LESS.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...12Z UPDATE...
LOW CONFIDENCE FOR WIND DIRECTION.
LOW-MEDIUM CONFIDENCE FOR ANY AFTERNOON CEILINGS.
HIGH CONFIDENCE OTHER ELEMENTS.

BDL

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          89  70  90  71 /  10   5  10  10
ATLANTA         88  72  90  73 /  10   5  10  10
BLAIRSVILLE     84  64  85  65 /  30   5  30  20
CARTERSVILLE    88  68  90  69 /  10   5  10  10
COLUMBUS        90  73  91  74 /  10   5  20  10
GAINESVILLE     87  70  89  71 /  10   5  10  10
MACON           89  71  91  72 /  10   5  20  10
ROME            88  68  90  69 /  10   5  10  10
PEACHTREE CITY  88  69  90  70 /  10   5  10  10
VIDALIA         90  73  90  73 /  30  20  40  20

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...BDL
LONG TERM....RW
AVIATION...BDL




000
FXUS62 KFFC 011105 AAA
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
705 AM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 348 AM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015/

SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...

MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH RATHER QUIET WEATHER ALL IN ALL.
THE UPPER RIDGE HAS BUILT SOME OVER THE AREA FROM THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC. AN AXIS OF DEEP MOISTURE MOVES OVER SE GA AND GETS CLOSE
TO SOME OF THE COUNTIES SE OF MCN WHERE 20-30 PERCENT POPS WILL
BE FOR THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING...ASSOCIATED WITH A SURFACE TROUGH
AND SOME INCREASED INSTABILITY. THERE COULD ALSO BE SOME INCREASED
INSTABILITY OVER THE NE MOUNTAINS AS WELL GIVING THE POSSIBILITY
FOR AN AFTERNOON/EVENING SHOWER OR STORM. AS FOR THE REST OF THE AREA...
CHANCES FOR PRECIP ARE TOO LOW TO MENTION AS OVERALL INSTABILITY IS
WEAK.

NOT MUCH CHANGE FOR WEDNESDAY. THE UPPER RIDGE WEAKENS SOME. THE SE
SURFACE TROUGH IS CLOSER TO CENTRAL GA SO POPS ARE JUST A LITTLE HIGHER
AND OVER A LARGER PORTION OF CENTRAL GA...AND ONCE AGAIN OVER THE NE
MOUNTAINS.

FORECAST HIGH TEMPERATURES RUNNING AROUND NORMAL TODAY AND
NEAR TO 3-4 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR WEDNESDAY. FORECAST LOW
TEMPERATURES RUNNING 2-3 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL TONIGHT.

OVERALL CONFIDENCE IS HIGH.

BDL

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...

THE LONG TERM BEGINS RELATIVELY UNEVENTFULLY. ONLY SLIGHT CHANCE
POPS FOR THURSDAY AFTERNOON WITH NO REAL FOCUS FOR
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IN THE CWA. A BIT MORE COVERAGE IS POSSIBLE
ON FRIDAY WITH MORE INFLUENCE FROM AN UPPER-LEVEL WEAKNESS TO OUR
WEST...ESPECIALLY ACCORDING TO THE ECMWF. TEMPERATURES BOTH THURSDAY
AND FRIDAY WILL BE WARM WITH AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE
UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S ACROSS THE AREA.

THE BIGGEST INFLUENCE IN THE LONG TERM WILL BE THE WEDGE THAT WILL
PUSH DOWN THE APPALACHIANS INTO OUR AREA FOR THE COMING WEEKEND.
SATURDAY LOOKS TO BE THE WETTEST DAY AS THE BACKDOOR FRONT MOVES IN
WITH LINGERING CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ON
SUNDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE HELD DOWN...RANGING FROM THE UPPER 70S
INTO THE MID 80S FOR HIGHS WITH ABUNDANT CLOUD COVER AND MORE
PRECIP COVERAGE. THIS PATTERN SHOULD BEGIN TO BREAK DOWN BY EARLY
NEXT WEEK AS THE SURFACE HIGH CENTER IN THE NORTHEAST SHIFTS
FURTHER EAST INTO THE ATLANTIC.

RW

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z UPDATE...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED...EXCEPT FOR PATCHY IFR-MVFR VSBYS UNTIL
12-14Z. SCT-BKN 4000-5000 CU DURING THE AFTERNOON. SURFACE WINDS
VARIABLE 6 KTS OR LESS.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...12Z UPDATE...
LOW CONFIDENCE FOR WIND DIRECTION.
LOW-MEDIUM CONFIDENCE FOR ANY AFTERNOON CEILINGS.
HIGH CONFIDENCE OTHER ELEMENTS.

BDL

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          89  70  90  71 /  10   5  10  10
ATLANTA         88  72  90  73 /  10   5  10  10
BLAIRSVILLE     84  64  85  65 /  30   5  30  20
CARTERSVILLE    88  68  90  69 /  10   5  10  10
COLUMBUS        90  73  91  74 /  10   5  20  10
GAINESVILLE     87  70  89  71 /  10   5  10  10
MACON           89  71  91  72 /  10   5  20  10
ROME            88  68  90  69 /  10   5  10  10
PEACHTREE CITY  88  69  90  70 /  10   5  10  10
VIDALIA         90  73  90  73 /  30  20  40  20

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...BDL
LONG TERM....RW
AVIATION...BDL





000
FXUS62 KFFC 010748
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
348 AM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015

.SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...

MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH RATHER QUIET WEATHER ALL IN ALL.
THE UPPER RIDGE HAS BUILT SOME OVER THE AREA FROM THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC. AN AXIS OF DEEP MOISTURE MOVES OVER SE GA AND GETS CLOSE
TO SOME OF THE COUNTIES SE OF MCN WHERE 20-30 PERCENT POPS WILL
BE FOR THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING...ASSOCIATED WITH A SURFACE TROUGH
AND SOME INCREASED INSTABILITY. THERE COULD ALSO BE SOME INCREASED
INSTABILITY OVER THE NE MOUNTAINS AS WELL GIVING THE POSSIBILITY
FOR AN AFTERNOON/EVENING SHOWER OR STORM. AS FOR THE REST OF THE AREA...
CHANCES FOR PRECIP ARE TOO LOW TO MENTION AS OVERALL INSTABILITY IS
WEAK.

NOT MUCH CHANGE FOR WEDNESDAY. THE UPPER RIDGE WEAKENS SOME. THE SE
SURFACE TROUGH IS CLOSER TO CENTRAL GA SO POPS ARE JUST A LITTLE HIGHER
AND OVER A LARGER PORTION OF CENTRAL GA...AND ONCE AGAIN OVER THE NE
MOUNTAINS.

FORECAST HIGH TEMPERATURES RUNNING AROUND NORMAL TODAY AND
NEAR TO 3-4 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR WEDNESDAY. FORECAST LOW
TEMPERATURES RUNNING 2-3 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL TONIGHT.

OVERALL CONFIDENCE IS HIGH.

BDL


.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...

THE LONG TERM BEGINS RELATIVELY UNEVENTFULLY. ONLY SLIGHT CHANCE
POPS FOR THURSDAY AFTERNOON WITH NO REAL FOCUS FOR
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IN THE CWA. A BIT MORE COVERAGE IS POSSIBLE
ON FRIDAY WITH MORE INFLUENCE FROM AN UPPER-LEVEL WEAKNESS TO OUR
WEST...ESPECIALLY ACCORDING TO THE ECMWF. TEMPERATURES BOTH THURSDAY
AND FRIDAY WILL BE WARM WITH AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE
UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S ACROSS THE AREA.

THE BIGGEST INFLUENCE IN THE LONG TERM WILL BE THE WEDGE THAT WILL
PUSH DOWN THE APPALACHIANS INTO OUR AREA FOR THE COMING WEEKEND.
SATURDAY LOOKS TO BE THE WETTEST DAY AS THE BACKDOOR FRONT MOVES IN
WITH LINGERING CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ON
SUNDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE HELD DOWN...RANGING FROM THE UPPER 70S
INTO THE MID 80S FOR HIGHS WITH ABUNDANT CLOUD COVER AND MORE
PRECIP COVERAGE. THIS PATTERN SHOULD BEGIN TO BREAK DOWN BY EARLY
NEXT WEEK AS THE SURFACE HIGH CENTER IN THE NORTHEAST SHIFTS
FURTHER EAST INTO THE ATLANTIC.

RW


&&

.AVIATION...
06Z UPDATE...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED...EXCEPT FOR SOME MVFR VSBYS UNTIL
12-14Z. SCT-BKN 4000-5000 CU DURING THE AFTERNOON. SURFACE WINDS
HIGHLY VARIABLE 6 KTS OR LESS.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE...
LOW CONFIDENCE FOR WIND DIRECTION.
LOW-MEDIUM CONFIDENCE FOR AFTERNOON CEILINGS.
HIGH CONFIDENCE OTHER ELEMENTS.

BDL

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          89  70  90  71 /  10  10  30  20
ATLANTA         88  72  90  73 /  10  10  30  20
BLAIRSVILLE     84  64  85  65 /  20  20  20  20
CARTERSVILLE    88  68  90  69 /  10  10  20  20
COLUMBUS        90  73  91  74 /  10  20  20  20
GAINESVILLE     87  70  89  71 /  10  10  30  20
MACON           89  71  91  72 /  20  20  30  20
ROME            88  68  90  69 /  10  10  20  10
PEACHTREE CITY  88  69  90  70 /  10  10  30  20
VIDALIA         90  73  90  73 /  30  20  40  20

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...BDL
LONG TERM....RW
AVIATION...BDL




000
FXUS62 KFFC 010748
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
348 AM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015

.SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...

MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH RATHER QUIET WEATHER ALL IN ALL.
THE UPPER RIDGE HAS BUILT SOME OVER THE AREA FROM THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC. AN AXIS OF DEEP MOISTURE MOVES OVER SE GA AND GETS CLOSE
TO SOME OF THE COUNTIES SE OF MCN WHERE 20-30 PERCENT POPS WILL
BE FOR THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING...ASSOCIATED WITH A SURFACE TROUGH
AND SOME INCREASED INSTABILITY. THERE COULD ALSO BE SOME INCREASED
INSTABILITY OVER THE NE MOUNTAINS AS WELL GIVING THE POSSIBILITY
FOR AN AFTERNOON/EVENING SHOWER OR STORM. AS FOR THE REST OF THE AREA...
CHANCES FOR PRECIP ARE TOO LOW TO MENTION AS OVERALL INSTABILITY IS
WEAK.

NOT MUCH CHANGE FOR WEDNESDAY. THE UPPER RIDGE WEAKENS SOME. THE SE
SURFACE TROUGH IS CLOSER TO CENTRAL GA SO POPS ARE JUST A LITTLE HIGHER
AND OVER A LARGER PORTION OF CENTRAL GA...AND ONCE AGAIN OVER THE NE
MOUNTAINS.

FORECAST HIGH TEMPERATURES RUNNING AROUND NORMAL TODAY AND
NEAR TO 3-4 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR WEDNESDAY. FORECAST LOW
TEMPERATURES RUNNING 2-3 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL TONIGHT.

OVERALL CONFIDENCE IS HIGH.

BDL


.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...

THE LONG TERM BEGINS RELATIVELY UNEVENTFULLY. ONLY SLIGHT CHANCE
POPS FOR THURSDAY AFTERNOON WITH NO REAL FOCUS FOR
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IN THE CWA. A BIT MORE COVERAGE IS POSSIBLE
ON FRIDAY WITH MORE INFLUENCE FROM AN UPPER-LEVEL WEAKNESS TO OUR
WEST...ESPECIALLY ACCORDING TO THE ECMWF. TEMPERATURES BOTH THURSDAY
AND FRIDAY WILL BE WARM WITH AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE
UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S ACROSS THE AREA.

THE BIGGEST INFLUENCE IN THE LONG TERM WILL BE THE WEDGE THAT WILL
PUSH DOWN THE APPALACHIANS INTO OUR AREA FOR THE COMING WEEKEND.
SATURDAY LOOKS TO BE THE WETTEST DAY AS THE BACKDOOR FRONT MOVES IN
WITH LINGERING CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ON
SUNDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE HELD DOWN...RANGING FROM THE UPPER 70S
INTO THE MID 80S FOR HIGHS WITH ABUNDANT CLOUD COVER AND MORE
PRECIP COVERAGE. THIS PATTERN SHOULD BEGIN TO BREAK DOWN BY EARLY
NEXT WEEK AS THE SURFACE HIGH CENTER IN THE NORTHEAST SHIFTS
FURTHER EAST INTO THE ATLANTIC.

RW


&&

.AVIATION...
06Z UPDATE...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED...EXCEPT FOR SOME MVFR VSBYS UNTIL
12-14Z. SCT-BKN 4000-5000 CU DURING THE AFTERNOON. SURFACE WINDS
HIGHLY VARIABLE 6 KTS OR LESS.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE...
LOW CONFIDENCE FOR WIND DIRECTION.
LOW-MEDIUM CONFIDENCE FOR AFTERNOON CEILINGS.
HIGH CONFIDENCE OTHER ELEMENTS.

BDL

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          89  70  90  71 /  10  10  30  20
ATLANTA         88  72  90  73 /  10  10  30  20
BLAIRSVILLE     84  64  85  65 /  20  20  20  20
CARTERSVILLE    88  68  90  69 /  10  10  20  20
COLUMBUS        90  73  91  74 /  10  20  20  20
GAINESVILLE     87  70  89  71 /  10  10  30  20
MACON           89  71  91  72 /  20  20  30  20
ROME            88  68  90  69 /  10  10  20  10
PEACHTREE CITY  88  69  90  70 /  10  10  30  20
VIDALIA         90  73  90  73 /  30  20  40  20

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...BDL
LONG TERM....RW
AVIATION...BDL





000
FXUS62 KFFC 010748
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
348 AM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015

.SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...

MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH RATHER QUIET WEATHER ALL IN ALL.
THE UPPER RIDGE HAS BUILT SOME OVER THE AREA FROM THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC. AN AXIS OF DEEP MOISTURE MOVES OVER SE GA AND GETS CLOSE
TO SOME OF THE COUNTIES SE OF MCN WHERE 20-30 PERCENT POPS WILL
BE FOR THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING...ASSOCIATED WITH A SURFACE TROUGH
AND SOME INCREASED INSTABILITY. THERE COULD ALSO BE SOME INCREASED
INSTABILITY OVER THE NE MOUNTAINS AS WELL GIVING THE POSSIBILITY
FOR AN AFTERNOON/EVENING SHOWER OR STORM. AS FOR THE REST OF THE AREA...
CHANCES FOR PRECIP ARE TOO LOW TO MENTION AS OVERALL INSTABILITY IS
WEAK.

NOT MUCH CHANGE FOR WEDNESDAY. THE UPPER RIDGE WEAKENS SOME. THE SE
SURFACE TROUGH IS CLOSER TO CENTRAL GA SO POPS ARE JUST A LITTLE HIGHER
AND OVER A LARGER PORTION OF CENTRAL GA...AND ONCE AGAIN OVER THE NE
MOUNTAINS.

FORECAST HIGH TEMPERATURES RUNNING AROUND NORMAL TODAY AND
NEAR TO 3-4 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR WEDNESDAY. FORECAST LOW
TEMPERATURES RUNNING 2-3 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL TONIGHT.

OVERALL CONFIDENCE IS HIGH.

BDL


.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...

THE LONG TERM BEGINS RELATIVELY UNEVENTFULLY. ONLY SLIGHT CHANCE
POPS FOR THURSDAY AFTERNOON WITH NO REAL FOCUS FOR
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IN THE CWA. A BIT MORE COVERAGE IS POSSIBLE
ON FRIDAY WITH MORE INFLUENCE FROM AN UPPER-LEVEL WEAKNESS TO OUR
WEST...ESPECIALLY ACCORDING TO THE ECMWF. TEMPERATURES BOTH THURSDAY
AND FRIDAY WILL BE WARM WITH AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE
UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S ACROSS THE AREA.

THE BIGGEST INFLUENCE IN THE LONG TERM WILL BE THE WEDGE THAT WILL
PUSH DOWN THE APPALACHIANS INTO OUR AREA FOR THE COMING WEEKEND.
SATURDAY LOOKS TO BE THE WETTEST DAY AS THE BACKDOOR FRONT MOVES IN
WITH LINGERING CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ON
SUNDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE HELD DOWN...RANGING FROM THE UPPER 70S
INTO THE MID 80S FOR HIGHS WITH ABUNDANT CLOUD COVER AND MORE
PRECIP COVERAGE. THIS PATTERN SHOULD BEGIN TO BREAK DOWN BY EARLY
NEXT WEEK AS THE SURFACE HIGH CENTER IN THE NORTHEAST SHIFTS
FURTHER EAST INTO THE ATLANTIC.

RW


&&

.AVIATION...
06Z UPDATE...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED...EXCEPT FOR SOME MVFR VSBYS UNTIL
12-14Z. SCT-BKN 4000-5000 CU DURING THE AFTERNOON. SURFACE WINDS
HIGHLY VARIABLE 6 KTS OR LESS.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE...
LOW CONFIDENCE FOR WIND DIRECTION.
LOW-MEDIUM CONFIDENCE FOR AFTERNOON CEILINGS.
HIGH CONFIDENCE OTHER ELEMENTS.

BDL

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          89  70  90  71 /  10  10  30  20
ATLANTA         88  72  90  73 /  10  10  30  20
BLAIRSVILLE     84  64  85  65 /  20  20  20  20
CARTERSVILLE    88  68  90  69 /  10  10  20  20
COLUMBUS        90  73  91  74 /  10  20  20  20
GAINESVILLE     87  70  89  71 /  10  10  30  20
MACON           89  71  91  72 /  20  20  30  20
ROME            88  68  90  69 /  10  10  20  10
PEACHTREE CITY  88  69  90  70 /  10  10  30  20
VIDALIA         90  73  90  73 /  30  20  40  20

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...BDL
LONG TERM....RW
AVIATION...BDL




000
FXUS62 KFFC 010748
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
348 AM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015

.SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...

MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH RATHER QUIET WEATHER ALL IN ALL.
THE UPPER RIDGE HAS BUILT SOME OVER THE AREA FROM THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC. AN AXIS OF DEEP MOISTURE MOVES OVER SE GA AND GETS CLOSE
TO SOME OF THE COUNTIES SE OF MCN WHERE 20-30 PERCENT POPS WILL
BE FOR THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING...ASSOCIATED WITH A SURFACE TROUGH
AND SOME INCREASED INSTABILITY. THERE COULD ALSO BE SOME INCREASED
INSTABILITY OVER THE NE MOUNTAINS AS WELL GIVING THE POSSIBILITY
FOR AN AFTERNOON/EVENING SHOWER OR STORM. AS FOR THE REST OF THE AREA...
CHANCES FOR PRECIP ARE TOO LOW TO MENTION AS OVERALL INSTABILITY IS
WEAK.

NOT MUCH CHANGE FOR WEDNESDAY. THE UPPER RIDGE WEAKENS SOME. THE SE
SURFACE TROUGH IS CLOSER TO CENTRAL GA SO POPS ARE JUST A LITTLE HIGHER
AND OVER A LARGER PORTION OF CENTRAL GA...AND ONCE AGAIN OVER THE NE
MOUNTAINS.

FORECAST HIGH TEMPERATURES RUNNING AROUND NORMAL TODAY AND
NEAR TO 3-4 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR WEDNESDAY. FORECAST LOW
TEMPERATURES RUNNING 2-3 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL TONIGHT.

OVERALL CONFIDENCE IS HIGH.

BDL


.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...

THE LONG TERM BEGINS RELATIVELY UNEVENTFULLY. ONLY SLIGHT CHANCE
POPS FOR THURSDAY AFTERNOON WITH NO REAL FOCUS FOR
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IN THE CWA. A BIT MORE COVERAGE IS POSSIBLE
ON FRIDAY WITH MORE INFLUENCE FROM AN UPPER-LEVEL WEAKNESS TO OUR
WEST...ESPECIALLY ACCORDING TO THE ECMWF. TEMPERATURES BOTH THURSDAY
AND FRIDAY WILL BE WARM WITH AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE
UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S ACROSS THE AREA.

THE BIGGEST INFLUENCE IN THE LONG TERM WILL BE THE WEDGE THAT WILL
PUSH DOWN THE APPALACHIANS INTO OUR AREA FOR THE COMING WEEKEND.
SATURDAY LOOKS TO BE THE WETTEST DAY AS THE BACKDOOR FRONT MOVES IN
WITH LINGERING CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ON
SUNDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE HELD DOWN...RANGING FROM THE UPPER 70S
INTO THE MID 80S FOR HIGHS WITH ABUNDANT CLOUD COVER AND MORE
PRECIP COVERAGE. THIS PATTERN SHOULD BEGIN TO BREAK DOWN BY EARLY
NEXT WEEK AS THE SURFACE HIGH CENTER IN THE NORTHEAST SHIFTS
FURTHER EAST INTO THE ATLANTIC.

RW


&&

.AVIATION...
06Z UPDATE...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED...EXCEPT FOR SOME MVFR VSBYS UNTIL
12-14Z. SCT-BKN 4000-5000 CU DURING THE AFTERNOON. SURFACE WINDS
HIGHLY VARIABLE 6 KTS OR LESS.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE...
LOW CONFIDENCE FOR WIND DIRECTION.
LOW-MEDIUM CONFIDENCE FOR AFTERNOON CEILINGS.
HIGH CONFIDENCE OTHER ELEMENTS.

BDL

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          89  70  90  71 /  10  10  30  20
ATLANTA         88  72  90  73 /  10  10  30  20
BLAIRSVILLE     84  64  85  65 /  20  20  20  20
CARTERSVILLE    88  68  90  69 /  10  10  20  20
COLUMBUS        90  73  91  74 /  10  20  20  20
GAINESVILLE     87  70  89  71 /  10  10  30  20
MACON           89  71  91  72 /  20  20  30  20
ROME            88  68  90  69 /  10  10  20  10
PEACHTREE CITY  88  69  90  70 /  10  10  30  20
VIDALIA         90  73  90  73 /  30  20  40  20

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...BDL
LONG TERM....RW
AVIATION...BDL





000
FXUS62 KFFC 010505 AAC
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
105 AM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 915 PM EDT MON AUG 31 2015/

UPDATE...
CURRENT FCST IN GOOD SHAPE. NO CHANGES REQUIRED.

SNELSON

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 329 PM EDT MON AUG 31 2015/

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
CURRENT RADAR LOOP SHOWS SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS ACROSS THE AREA BUT ALL
IN ALL A MUCH DRIER DAY THAN YESTERDAY. MAIN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS
BUILDING IN ACROSS THE AREA AND SHOULD HELP TO KEEP PRECIP TO A
MINIMUM AT LEAST IN THE SHORT TERM. THERE IS STILL A DECENT AMOUNT
OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IN PLACE BUT OVERALL INSTABILITY LOOKS TO BE
LACKING. THERE WILL BE A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH OVER THE FAR E AND SE
COUNTIES WITH SOME ADDED MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY TUESDAY SO HAVE
CONTINUED WITH CHANCE POPS ACROSS THAT AREA OF THE CWA. HIGH TEMPS
STILL EXPECTED TO BE RIGHT AT OR SLIGHTLY BELOW SEASONAL NORMS
TUESDAY WITH LOWS TONIGHT IN THE 60S AND 70S.

01

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
GFS/ECMWF STILL DIFFER IN THE SOLUTION FOR THE LONG TERM. FOR THIS
REASON HAVE NOT MADE MAJOR CHANGES TO THE GRIDS. PREVIOUS
DISCUSSION FOLLOWS...

17

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 329 AM EDT MON AUG 31 2015/
LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...

LONG TERM PORTION BEGINS WITH A RELATIVELY BENIGN PATTERN IN
PLACE...A STARK CONTRAST FROM WHERE WE COULD HAVE BEEN HAD ERIKA
BECOME A MAJOR PLAYER. INSTEAD...590DM UPPER HIGH DOMINATES THE
LOCAL AREA WITH A GOOD DEAL OF MID LEVEL DRY AIR IN PLACE TO KEEP
POPS AT OR BELOW CLIMO. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE THE EXTREME SE
CORNER OF THE FORECAST AREA WHERE NORTHERN FRINGES OF RESIDUAL
ERIKA MOISTURE LOOKS TO PROVIDE A JOLT TO POP CHANCES WITH LOW END
LIKELY PLANNED FOR WED AFTERNOON.

PRETTY MUCH THE SAME PATTERN THROUGH FRIDAY IS EXPECTED ALTHOUGH
MID AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGE DOES BREAK DOWN A BIT. BUT NO
SIGNIFICANT UPPER LEVEL SYSTEMS OF NOTE TO IMPACT THE REGION AND
WITH ONLY MODEST DEEP LAYER MOISTURE VALUES...WILL HOLD POPS IN
THE LOW END CHANCE RANGE. BLEND IS GIVING ME SOME MAX TEMPS THAT
SEEM A LITTLE LOW EVEN WITH THE EASTERLY FLOW AND PLAN TO TWEAK
THOSE UP JUST A TOUCH.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE NE STATES LOOKS TO BRING A WEDGE
SCENARIO TO THE REGION FOR THE WEEKEND AND THIS PATTERN REALLY
WILL HOLD TEMPS IN CHECK WHILE INCREASING RAIN CHANCES. USING
MOISTURE FIELDS FOR POPS...COULD ACTUALLY SEE SOME LIKELY COVERAGE
FOR THIS PATTERN BUT THIS FAR OUT WILL LIMIT TO HIGH END CHANCE
FOR THE EASTERN SECTIONS.

DEESE

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z UPDATE...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED...EXCEPT FOR SOME MVFR VSBYS UNTIL
12-14Z. SCT-BKN 4000-5000 CU DURING THE AFTERNOON. SURFACE WINDS
HIGHLY VARIABLE 6 KTS OR LESS.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE...
LOW CONFIDENCE FOR WIND DIRECTION.
LOW-MEDIUM CONFIDENCE FOR AFTERNOON CEILINGS.
HIGH CONFIDENCE OTHER ELEMENTS.

BDL

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          90  70  91  71 /  10  10  30  20
ATLANTA         90  72  90  72 /  10  10  30  20
BLAIRSVILLE     84  64  86  65 /  20  20  20  20
CARTERSVILLE    90  69  92  69 /  10  10  20  20
COLUMBUS        91  73  92  73 /  10  20  20  20
GAINESVILLE     88  71  89  71 /  10  10  30  20
MACON           90  72  91  72 /  20  20  30  20
ROME            90  69  91  70 /  10  10  20  10
PEACHTREE CITY  89  70  90  70 /  10  10  30  20
VIDALIA         91  73  90  73 /  30  20  40  20

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...BDL




000
FXUS62 KFFC 010505 AAC
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
105 AM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 915 PM EDT MON AUG 31 2015/

UPDATE...
CURRENT FCST IN GOOD SHAPE. NO CHANGES REQUIRED.

SNELSON

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 329 PM EDT MON AUG 31 2015/

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
CURRENT RADAR LOOP SHOWS SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS ACROSS THE AREA BUT ALL
IN ALL A MUCH DRIER DAY THAN YESTERDAY. MAIN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS
BUILDING IN ACROSS THE AREA AND SHOULD HELP TO KEEP PRECIP TO A
MINIMUM AT LEAST IN THE SHORT TERM. THERE IS STILL A DECENT AMOUNT
OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IN PLACE BUT OVERALL INSTABILITY LOOKS TO BE
LACKING. THERE WILL BE A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH OVER THE FAR E AND SE
COUNTIES WITH SOME ADDED MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY TUESDAY SO HAVE
CONTINUED WITH CHANCE POPS ACROSS THAT AREA OF THE CWA. HIGH TEMPS
STILL EXPECTED TO BE RIGHT AT OR SLIGHTLY BELOW SEASONAL NORMS
TUESDAY WITH LOWS TONIGHT IN THE 60S AND 70S.

01

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
GFS/ECMWF STILL DIFFER IN THE SOLUTION FOR THE LONG TERM. FOR THIS
REASON HAVE NOT MADE MAJOR CHANGES TO THE GRIDS. PREVIOUS
DISCUSSION FOLLOWS...

17

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 329 AM EDT MON AUG 31 2015/
LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...

LONG TERM PORTION BEGINS WITH A RELATIVELY BENIGN PATTERN IN
PLACE...A STARK CONTRAST FROM WHERE WE COULD HAVE BEEN HAD ERIKA
BECOME A MAJOR PLAYER. INSTEAD...590DM UPPER HIGH DOMINATES THE
LOCAL AREA WITH A GOOD DEAL OF MID LEVEL DRY AIR IN PLACE TO KEEP
POPS AT OR BELOW CLIMO. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE THE EXTREME SE
CORNER OF THE FORECAST AREA WHERE NORTHERN FRINGES OF RESIDUAL
ERIKA MOISTURE LOOKS TO PROVIDE A JOLT TO POP CHANCES WITH LOW END
LIKELY PLANNED FOR WED AFTERNOON.

PRETTY MUCH THE SAME PATTERN THROUGH FRIDAY IS EXPECTED ALTHOUGH
MID AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGE DOES BREAK DOWN A BIT. BUT NO
SIGNIFICANT UPPER LEVEL SYSTEMS OF NOTE TO IMPACT THE REGION AND
WITH ONLY MODEST DEEP LAYER MOISTURE VALUES...WILL HOLD POPS IN
THE LOW END CHANCE RANGE. BLEND IS GIVING ME SOME MAX TEMPS THAT
SEEM A LITTLE LOW EVEN WITH THE EASTERLY FLOW AND PLAN TO TWEAK
THOSE UP JUST A TOUCH.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE NE STATES LOOKS TO BRING A WEDGE
SCENARIO TO THE REGION FOR THE WEEKEND AND THIS PATTERN REALLY
WILL HOLD TEMPS IN CHECK WHILE INCREASING RAIN CHANCES. USING
MOISTURE FIELDS FOR POPS...COULD ACTUALLY SEE SOME LIKELY COVERAGE
FOR THIS PATTERN BUT THIS FAR OUT WILL LIMIT TO HIGH END CHANCE
FOR THE EASTERN SECTIONS.

DEESE

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z UPDATE...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED...EXCEPT FOR SOME MVFR VSBYS UNTIL
12-14Z. SCT-BKN 4000-5000 CU DURING THE AFTERNOON. SURFACE WINDS
HIGHLY VARIABLE 6 KTS OR LESS.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE...
LOW CONFIDENCE FOR WIND DIRECTION.
LOW-MEDIUM CONFIDENCE FOR AFTERNOON CEILINGS.
HIGH CONFIDENCE OTHER ELEMENTS.

BDL

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          90  70  91  71 /  10  10  30  20
ATLANTA         90  72  90  72 /  10  10  30  20
BLAIRSVILLE     84  64  86  65 /  20  20  20  20
CARTERSVILLE    90  69  92  69 /  10  10  20  20
COLUMBUS        91  73  92  73 /  10  20  20  20
GAINESVILLE     88  71  89  71 /  10  10  30  20
MACON           90  72  91  72 /  20  20  30  20
ROME            90  69  91  70 /  10  10  20  10
PEACHTREE CITY  89  70  90  70 /  10  10  30  20
VIDALIA         91  73  90  73 /  30  20  40  20

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...BDL





000
FXUS62 KFFC 010115 AAA
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
915 PM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

.UPDATE...
CURRENT FCST IN GOOD SHAPE. NO CHANGES REQUIRED.

SNELSON

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 329 PM EDT MON AUG 31 2015/

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
CURRENT RADAR LOOP SHOWS SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS ACROSS THE AREA BUT ALL
IN ALL A MUCH DRIER DAY THAN YESTERDAY. MAIN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS
BUILDING IN ACROSS THE AREA AND SHOULD HELP TO KEEP PRECIP TO A
MINIMUM AT LEAST IN THE SHORT TERM. THERE IS STILL A DECENT AMOUNT
OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IN PLACE BUT OVERALL INSTABILITY LOOKS TO BE
LACKING. THERE WILL BE A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH OVER THE FAR E AND SE
COUNTIES WITH SOME ADDED MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY TUESDAY SO HAVE
CONTINUED WITH CHANCE POPS ACROSS THAT AREA OF THE CWA. HIGH TEMPS
STILL EXPECTED TO BE RIGHT AT OR SLIGHTLY BELOW SEASONAL NORMS
TUESDAY WITH LOWS TONIGHT IN THE 60S AND 70S.

01

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
GFS/ECMWF STILL DIFFER IN THE SOLUTION FOR THE LONG TERM. FOR THIS
REASON HAVE NOT MADE MAJOR CHANGES TO THE GRIDS. PREVIOUS
DISCUSSION FOLLOWS...

17

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 329 AM EDT MON AUG 31 2015/
LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...

LONG TERM PORTION BEGINS WITH A RELATIVELY BENIGN PATTERN IN
PLACE...A STARK CONTRAST FROM WHERE WE COULD HAVE BEEN HAD ERIKA
BECOME A MAJOR PLAYER. INSTEAD...590DM UPPER HIGH DOMINATES THE
LOCAL AREA WITH A GOOD DEAL OF MID LEVEL DRY AIR IN PLACE TO KEEP
POPS AT OR BELOW CLIMO. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE THE EXTREME SE
CORNER OF THE FORECAST AREA WHERE NORTHERN FRINGES OF RESIDUAL
ERIKA MOISTURE LOOKS TO PROVIDE A JOLT TO POP CHANCES WITH LOW END
LIKELY PLANNED FOR WED AFTERNOON.

PRETTY MUCH THE SAME PATTERN THROUGH FRIDAY IS EXPECTED ALTHOUGH
MID AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGE DOES BREAK DOWN A BIT. BUT NO
SIGNIFICANT UPPER LEVEL SYSTEMS OF NOTE TO IMPACT THE REGION AND
WITH ONLY MODEST DEEP LAYER MOISTURE VALUES...WILL HOLD POPS IN
THE LOW END CHANCE RANGE. BLEND IS GIVING ME SOME MAX TEMPS THAT
SEEM A LITTLE LOW EVEN WITH THE EASTERLY FLOW AND PLAN TO TWEAK
THOSE UP JUST A TOUCH.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE NE STATES LOOKS TO BRING A WEDGE
SCENARIO TO THE REGION FOR THE WEEKEND AND THIS PATTERN REALLY
WILL HOLD TEMPS IN CHECK WHILE INCREASING RAIN CHANCES. USING
MOISTURE FIELDS FOR POPS...COULD ACTUALLY SEE SOME LIKELY COVERAGE
FOR THIS PATTERN BUT THIS FAR OUT WILL LIMIT TO HIGH END CHANCE
FOR THE EASTERN SECTIONS.

DEESE

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z UPDATE...
NO AVIATION CONCERNS THIS FCST. VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED WITH VERY
LIGHT WINDS...LESS THAN 6KTS...THRU 00Z WED. ACTUALLY DIFFICULT
TO PICK ONE DIRECTION FOR PREVAILING SFC WINDS BUT SHOULD REMAIN
ON EAST COMPONENT.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...00Z UPDATE...
HIGH CONFIDENCE FOR ALL ELEMENTS.

SNELSON

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          69  90  70  91 /  10  10  10  30
ATLANTA         71  90  72  90 /  10  10  10  30
BLAIRSVILLE     63  84  64  86 /  20  20  20  20
CARTERSVILLE    67  90  69  92 /  10  10  10  20
COLUMBUS        71  91  73  92 /  10  10  20  20
GAINESVILLE     69  88  71  89 /  10  10  10  30
MACON           70  90  72  91 /  10  20  20  30
ROME            67  90  69  91 /  10  10  10  20
PEACHTREE CITY  68  89  70  90 /  10  10  10  30
VIDALIA         72  91  73  90 /  10  30  20  40

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...SNELSON
LONG TERM....39
AVIATION...SNELSON





000
FXUS62 KFFC 010115 AAA
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
915 PM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

.UPDATE...
CURRENT FCST IN GOOD SHAPE. NO CHANGES REQUIRED.

SNELSON

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 329 PM EDT MON AUG 31 2015/

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
CURRENT RADAR LOOP SHOWS SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS ACROSS THE AREA BUT ALL
IN ALL A MUCH DRIER DAY THAN YESTERDAY. MAIN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS
BUILDING IN ACROSS THE AREA AND SHOULD HELP TO KEEP PRECIP TO A
MINIMUM AT LEAST IN THE SHORT TERM. THERE IS STILL A DECENT AMOUNT
OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IN PLACE BUT OVERALL INSTABILITY LOOKS TO BE
LACKING. THERE WILL BE A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH OVER THE FAR E AND SE
COUNTIES WITH SOME ADDED MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY TUESDAY SO HAVE
CONTINUED WITH CHANCE POPS ACROSS THAT AREA OF THE CWA. HIGH TEMPS
STILL EXPECTED TO BE RIGHT AT OR SLIGHTLY BELOW SEASONAL NORMS
TUESDAY WITH LOWS TONIGHT IN THE 60S AND 70S.

01

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
GFS/ECMWF STILL DIFFER IN THE SOLUTION FOR THE LONG TERM. FOR THIS
REASON HAVE NOT MADE MAJOR CHANGES TO THE GRIDS. PREVIOUS
DISCUSSION FOLLOWS...

17

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 329 AM EDT MON AUG 31 2015/
LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...

LONG TERM PORTION BEGINS WITH A RELATIVELY BENIGN PATTERN IN
PLACE...A STARK CONTRAST FROM WHERE WE COULD HAVE BEEN HAD ERIKA
BECOME A MAJOR PLAYER. INSTEAD...590DM UPPER HIGH DOMINATES THE
LOCAL AREA WITH A GOOD DEAL OF MID LEVEL DRY AIR IN PLACE TO KEEP
POPS AT OR BELOW CLIMO. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE THE EXTREME SE
CORNER OF THE FORECAST AREA WHERE NORTHERN FRINGES OF RESIDUAL
ERIKA MOISTURE LOOKS TO PROVIDE A JOLT TO POP CHANCES WITH LOW END
LIKELY PLANNED FOR WED AFTERNOON.

PRETTY MUCH THE SAME PATTERN THROUGH FRIDAY IS EXPECTED ALTHOUGH
MID AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGE DOES BREAK DOWN A BIT. BUT NO
SIGNIFICANT UPPER LEVEL SYSTEMS OF NOTE TO IMPACT THE REGION AND
WITH ONLY MODEST DEEP LAYER MOISTURE VALUES...WILL HOLD POPS IN
THE LOW END CHANCE RANGE. BLEND IS GIVING ME SOME MAX TEMPS THAT
SEEM A LITTLE LOW EVEN WITH THE EASTERLY FLOW AND PLAN TO TWEAK
THOSE UP JUST A TOUCH.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE NE STATES LOOKS TO BRING A WEDGE
SCENARIO TO THE REGION FOR THE WEEKEND AND THIS PATTERN REALLY
WILL HOLD TEMPS IN CHECK WHILE INCREASING RAIN CHANCES. USING
MOISTURE FIELDS FOR POPS...COULD ACTUALLY SEE SOME LIKELY COVERAGE
FOR THIS PATTERN BUT THIS FAR OUT WILL LIMIT TO HIGH END CHANCE
FOR THE EASTERN SECTIONS.

DEESE

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z UPDATE...
NO AVIATION CONCERNS THIS FCST. VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED WITH VERY
LIGHT WINDS...LESS THAN 6KTS...THRU 00Z WED. ACTUALLY DIFFICULT
TO PICK ONE DIRECTION FOR PREVAILING SFC WINDS BUT SHOULD REMAIN
ON EAST COMPONENT.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...00Z UPDATE...
HIGH CONFIDENCE FOR ALL ELEMENTS.

SNELSON

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          69  90  70  91 /  10  10  10  30
ATLANTA         71  90  72  90 /  10  10  10  30
BLAIRSVILLE     63  84  64  86 /  20  20  20  20
CARTERSVILLE    67  90  69  92 /  10  10  10  20
COLUMBUS        71  91  73  92 /  10  10  20  20
GAINESVILLE     69  88  71  89 /  10  10  10  30
MACON           70  90  72  91 /  10  20  20  30
ROME            67  90  69  91 /  10  10  10  20
PEACHTREE CITY  68  89  70  90 /  10  10  10  30
VIDALIA         72  91  73  90 /  10  30  20  40

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...SNELSON
LONG TERM....39
AVIATION...SNELSON





000
FXUS62 KFFC 010115 AAA
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
915 PM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

.UPDATE...
CURRENT FCST IN GOOD SHAPE. NO CHANGES REQUIRED.

SNELSON

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 329 PM EDT MON AUG 31 2015/

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
CURRENT RADAR LOOP SHOWS SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS ACROSS THE AREA BUT ALL
IN ALL A MUCH DRIER DAY THAN YESTERDAY. MAIN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS
BUILDING IN ACROSS THE AREA AND SHOULD HELP TO KEEP PRECIP TO A
MINIMUM AT LEAST IN THE SHORT TERM. THERE IS STILL A DECENT AMOUNT
OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IN PLACE BUT OVERALL INSTABILITY LOOKS TO BE
LACKING. THERE WILL BE A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH OVER THE FAR E AND SE
COUNTIES WITH SOME ADDED MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY TUESDAY SO HAVE
CONTINUED WITH CHANCE POPS ACROSS THAT AREA OF THE CWA. HIGH TEMPS
STILL EXPECTED TO BE RIGHT AT OR SLIGHTLY BELOW SEASONAL NORMS
TUESDAY WITH LOWS TONIGHT IN THE 60S AND 70S.

01

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
GFS/ECMWF STILL DIFFER IN THE SOLUTION FOR THE LONG TERM. FOR THIS
REASON HAVE NOT MADE MAJOR CHANGES TO THE GRIDS. PREVIOUS
DISCUSSION FOLLOWS...

17

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 329 AM EDT MON AUG 31 2015/
LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...

LONG TERM PORTION BEGINS WITH A RELATIVELY BENIGN PATTERN IN
PLACE...A STARK CONTRAST FROM WHERE WE COULD HAVE BEEN HAD ERIKA
BECOME A MAJOR PLAYER. INSTEAD...590DM UPPER HIGH DOMINATES THE
LOCAL AREA WITH A GOOD DEAL OF MID LEVEL DRY AIR IN PLACE TO KEEP
POPS AT OR BELOW CLIMO. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE THE EXTREME SE
CORNER OF THE FORECAST AREA WHERE NORTHERN FRINGES OF RESIDUAL
ERIKA MOISTURE LOOKS TO PROVIDE A JOLT TO POP CHANCES WITH LOW END
LIKELY PLANNED FOR WED AFTERNOON.

PRETTY MUCH THE SAME PATTERN THROUGH FRIDAY IS EXPECTED ALTHOUGH
MID AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGE DOES BREAK DOWN A BIT. BUT NO
SIGNIFICANT UPPER LEVEL SYSTEMS OF NOTE TO IMPACT THE REGION AND
WITH ONLY MODEST DEEP LAYER MOISTURE VALUES...WILL HOLD POPS IN
THE LOW END CHANCE RANGE. BLEND IS GIVING ME SOME MAX TEMPS THAT
SEEM A LITTLE LOW EVEN WITH THE EASTERLY FLOW AND PLAN TO TWEAK
THOSE UP JUST A TOUCH.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE NE STATES LOOKS TO BRING A WEDGE
SCENARIO TO THE REGION FOR THE WEEKEND AND THIS PATTERN REALLY
WILL HOLD TEMPS IN CHECK WHILE INCREASING RAIN CHANCES. USING
MOISTURE FIELDS FOR POPS...COULD ACTUALLY SEE SOME LIKELY COVERAGE
FOR THIS PATTERN BUT THIS FAR OUT WILL LIMIT TO HIGH END CHANCE
FOR THE EASTERN SECTIONS.

DEESE

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z UPDATE...
NO AVIATION CONCERNS THIS FCST. VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED WITH VERY
LIGHT WINDS...LESS THAN 6KTS...THRU 00Z WED. ACTUALLY DIFFICULT
TO PICK ONE DIRECTION FOR PREVAILING SFC WINDS BUT SHOULD REMAIN
ON EAST COMPONENT.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...00Z UPDATE...
HIGH CONFIDENCE FOR ALL ELEMENTS.

SNELSON

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          69  90  70  91 /  10  10  10  30
ATLANTA         71  90  72  90 /  10  10  10  30
BLAIRSVILLE     63  84  64  86 /  20  20  20  20
CARTERSVILLE    67  90  69  92 /  10  10  10  20
COLUMBUS        71  91  73  92 /  10  10  20  20
GAINESVILLE     69  88  71  89 /  10  10  10  30
MACON           70  90  72  91 /  10  20  20  30
ROME            67  90  69  91 /  10  10  10  20
PEACHTREE CITY  68  89  70  90 /  10  10  10  30
VIDALIA         72  91  73  90 /  10  30  20  40

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...SNELSON
LONG TERM....39
AVIATION...SNELSON




000
FXUS62 KFFC 311929
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
329 PM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
CURRENT RADAR LOOP SHOWS SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS ACROSS THE AREA BUT ALL
IN ALL A MUCH DRIER DAY THAN YESTERDAY. MAIN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS
BUILDING IN ACROSS THE AREA AND SHOULD HELP TO KEEP PRECIP TO A
MINIMUM AT LEAST IN THE SHORT TERM. THERE IS STILL A DECENT AMOUNT
OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IN PLACE BUT OVERALL INSTABILITY LOOKS TO BE
LACKING. THERE WILL BE A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH OVER THE FAR E AND SE
COUNTIES WITH SOME ADDED MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY TUESDAY SO HAVE
CONTINUED WITH CHANCE POPS ACROSS THAT AREA OF THE CWA. HIGH TEMPS
STILL EXPECTED TO BE RIGHT AT OR SLIGHTLY BELOW SEASONAL NORMS
TUESDAY WITH LOWS TONIGHT IN THE 60S AND 70S.

01


.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
GFS/ECMWF STILL DIFFER IN THE SOLUTION FOR THE LONG TERM. FOR THIS
REASON HAVE NOT MADE MAJOR CHANGES TO THE GRIDS. PREVIOUS
DISCUSSION FOLLOWS...

17

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 329 AM EDT MON AUG 31 2015/
LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...

LONG TERM PORTION BEGINS WITH A RELATIVELY BENIGN PATTERN IN
PLACE...A STARK CONTRAST FROM WHERE WE COULD HAVE BEEN HAD ERIKA
BECOME A MAJOR PLAYER. INSTEAD...590DM UPPER HIGH DOMINATES THE
LOCAL AREA WITH A GOOD DEAL OF MID LEVEL DRY AIR IN PLACE TO KEEP
POPS AT OR BELOW CLIMO. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE THE EXTREME SE
CORNER OF THE FORECAST AREA WHERE NORTHERN FRINGES OF RESIDUAL
ERIKA MOISTURE LOOKS TO PROVIDE A JOLT TO POP CHANCES WITH LOW END
LIKELY PLANNED FOR WED AFTERNOON.

PRETTY MUCH THE SAME PATTERN THROUGH FRIDAY IS EXPECTED ALTHOUGH
MID AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGE DOES BREAK DOWN A BIT. BUT NO
SIGNIFICANT UPPER LEVEL SYSTEMS OF NOTE TO IMPACT THE REGION AND
WITH ONLY MODEST DEEP LAYER MOISTURE VALUES...WILL HOLD POPS IN
THE LOW END CHANCE RANGE. BLEND IS GIVING ME SOME MAX TEMPS THAT
SEEM A LITTLE LOW EVEN WITH THE EASTERLY FLOW AND PLAN TO TWEAK
THOSE UP JUST A TOUCH.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE NE STATES LOOKS TO BRING A WEDGE
SCENARIO TO THE REGION FOR THE WEEKEND AND THIS PATTERN REALLY
WILL HOLD TEMPS IN CHECK WHILE INCREASING RAIN CHANCES. USING
MOISTURE FIELDS FOR POPS...COULD ACTUALLY SEE SOME LIKELY COVERAGE
FOR THIS PATTERN BUT THIS FAR OUT WILL LIMIT TO HIGH END CHANCE
FOR THE EASTERN SECTIONS.

DEESE

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z UPDATE...
IFR-MVFR CEILINGS SLOWLY LIFTING AND SCT
OUT THIS AFTERNOON. THIS TREND SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. ONCE
CEILINGS GO VFR THEY SHOULD STAY THERE THROUGH THE REST OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD. NOT EXPECTING ANY PRECIPITATION OR RESTRICTIONS TO
VSBYS. WINDS ARE CURRENTLY OUT OF THE NW BUT SHOULD TURN TO THE NE
AND EVENTUALLY EAST THROUGH 12Z TUE. WIND SPEEDS EXPECTED TO STAY
10KT OR LESS.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...
18Z UPDATE...
CONFIDENCE MEDIUM TO HIGH ON ALL ELEMENTS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          69  90  70  91 /  10  20  20  30
ATLANTA         71  90  72  90 /  10  20  20  30
BLAIRSVILLE     63  84  64  86 /  20  30  10  20
CARTERSVILLE    67  90  69  92 /  10  20  10  20
COLUMBUS        71  91  73  92 /  10  20  20  20
GAINESVILLE     69  88  71  89 /  10  20  10  30
MACON           70  90  72  91 /  10  20  20  30
ROME            67  90  69  91 /  10  10  10  20
PEACHTREE CITY  68  89  70  90 /  10  20  20  30
VIDALIA         72  91  73  90 /  10  50  30  40

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...01
LONG TERM....17
AVIATION...01





000
FXUS62 KFFC 311929
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
329 PM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
CURRENT RADAR LOOP SHOWS SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS ACROSS THE AREA BUT ALL
IN ALL A MUCH DRIER DAY THAN YESTERDAY. MAIN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS
BUILDING IN ACROSS THE AREA AND SHOULD HELP TO KEEP PRECIP TO A
MINIMUM AT LEAST IN THE SHORT TERM. THERE IS STILL A DECENT AMOUNT
OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IN PLACE BUT OVERALL INSTABILITY LOOKS TO BE
LACKING. THERE WILL BE A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH OVER THE FAR E AND SE
COUNTIES WITH SOME ADDED MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY TUESDAY SO HAVE
CONTINUED WITH CHANCE POPS ACROSS THAT AREA OF THE CWA. HIGH TEMPS
STILL EXPECTED TO BE RIGHT AT OR SLIGHTLY BELOW SEASONAL NORMS
TUESDAY WITH LOWS TONIGHT IN THE 60S AND 70S.

01


.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
GFS/ECMWF STILL DIFFER IN THE SOLUTION FOR THE LONG TERM. FOR THIS
REASON HAVE NOT MADE MAJOR CHANGES TO THE GRIDS. PREVIOUS
DISCUSSION FOLLOWS...

17

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 329 AM EDT MON AUG 31 2015/
LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...

LONG TERM PORTION BEGINS WITH A RELATIVELY BENIGN PATTERN IN
PLACE...A STARK CONTRAST FROM WHERE WE COULD HAVE BEEN HAD ERIKA
BECOME A MAJOR PLAYER. INSTEAD...590DM UPPER HIGH DOMINATES THE
LOCAL AREA WITH A GOOD DEAL OF MID LEVEL DRY AIR IN PLACE TO KEEP
POPS AT OR BELOW CLIMO. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE THE EXTREME SE
CORNER OF THE FORECAST AREA WHERE NORTHERN FRINGES OF RESIDUAL
ERIKA MOISTURE LOOKS TO PROVIDE A JOLT TO POP CHANCES WITH LOW END
LIKELY PLANNED FOR WED AFTERNOON.

PRETTY MUCH THE SAME PATTERN THROUGH FRIDAY IS EXPECTED ALTHOUGH
MID AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGE DOES BREAK DOWN A BIT. BUT NO
SIGNIFICANT UPPER LEVEL SYSTEMS OF NOTE TO IMPACT THE REGION AND
WITH ONLY MODEST DEEP LAYER MOISTURE VALUES...WILL HOLD POPS IN
THE LOW END CHANCE RANGE. BLEND IS GIVING ME SOME MAX TEMPS THAT
SEEM A LITTLE LOW EVEN WITH THE EASTERLY FLOW AND PLAN TO TWEAK
THOSE UP JUST A TOUCH.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE NE STATES LOOKS TO BRING A WEDGE
SCENARIO TO THE REGION FOR THE WEEKEND AND THIS PATTERN REALLY
WILL HOLD TEMPS IN CHECK WHILE INCREASING RAIN CHANCES. USING
MOISTURE FIELDS FOR POPS...COULD ACTUALLY SEE SOME LIKELY COVERAGE
FOR THIS PATTERN BUT THIS FAR OUT WILL LIMIT TO HIGH END CHANCE
FOR THE EASTERN SECTIONS.

DEESE

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z UPDATE...
IFR-MVFR CEILINGS SLOWLY LIFTING AND SCT
OUT THIS AFTERNOON. THIS TREND SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. ONCE
CEILINGS GO VFR THEY SHOULD STAY THERE THROUGH THE REST OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD. NOT EXPECTING ANY PRECIPITATION OR RESTRICTIONS TO
VSBYS. WINDS ARE CURRENTLY OUT OF THE NW BUT SHOULD TURN TO THE NE
AND EVENTUALLY EAST THROUGH 12Z TUE. WIND SPEEDS EXPECTED TO STAY
10KT OR LESS.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...
18Z UPDATE...
CONFIDENCE MEDIUM TO HIGH ON ALL ELEMENTS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          69  90  70  91 /  10  20  20  30
ATLANTA         71  90  72  90 /  10  20  20  30
BLAIRSVILLE     63  84  64  86 /  20  30  10  20
CARTERSVILLE    67  90  69  92 /  10  20  10  20
COLUMBUS        71  91  73  92 /  10  20  20  20
GAINESVILLE     69  88  71  89 /  10  20  10  30
MACON           70  90  72  91 /  10  20  20  30
ROME            67  90  69  91 /  10  10  10  20
PEACHTREE CITY  68  89  70  90 /  10  20  20  30
VIDALIA         72  91  73  90 /  10  50  30  40

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...01
LONG TERM....17
AVIATION...01




000
FXUS62 KFFC 311104
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
704 AM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 329 AM EDT MON AUG 31 2015/

SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...

A MUCH DRIER FORECAST LOOKS TO BE IN STORE FROM A RAIN STANDPOINT
THIS SHORT TERM PERIOD.

THE UPPER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS NOW MOVING AWAY AND HAS TAKEN THE
DEEP MOISTURE AND DYNAMICS WITH IT. AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDS SOME
OVER THE AREA FROM THE ATLANTIC. STILL PLENTY OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
IN PLACE BUT OVERALL INSTABILITY LOOKS TO BE LACKING. CAN NOT RULE
OUT A POP UP SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM TODAY INTO EARLY EVENING.

NOT MUCH CHANGE FOR TUESDAY EXCEPT FOR A SURFACE TROUGH OVER THE
FAR E AND SE COUNTIES WITH SOME ADDED MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY.
THIS COULD ALLOW FOR SLIGHTLY HIGHER CHANCES OF MAINLY AFTERNOON
SHOWERS AND STORMS.

FORECAST HIGH TEMPERATURES RUNNING 3-4 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL TODAY AND
CLOSE TO NORMAL FOR TUESDAY. FORECAST LOW TEMPERATURES RUNNING CLOSE
TO NORMAL TONIGHT.

OVERALL CONFIDENCE IS MEDIUM TO HIGH.

BDL

LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...

LONG TERM PORTION BEGINS WITH A RELATIVELY BENIGN PATTERN IN
PLACE...A STARK CONTRAST FROM WHERE WE COULD HAVE BEEN HAD ERIKA
BECOME A MAJOR PLAYER. INSTEAD...590DM UPPER HIGH DOMINATES THE
LOCAL AREA WITH A GOOD DEAL OF MID LEVEL DRY AIR IN PLACE TO KEEP
POPS AT OR BELOW CLIMO. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE THE EXTREME SE
CORNER OF THE FORECAST AREA WHERE NORTHERN FRINGES OF RESIDUAL
ERIKA MOISTURE LOOKS TO PROVIDE A JOLT TO POP CHANCES WITH LOW END
LIKELY PLANNED FOR WED AFTERNOON.

PRETTY MUCH THE SAME PATTERN THROUGH FRIDAY IS EXPECTED ALTHOUGH
MID AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGE DOES BREAK DOWN A BIT. BUT NO
SIGNIFICANT UPPER LEVEL SYSTEMS OF NOTE TO IMPACT THE REGION AND
WITH ONLY MODEST DEEP LAYER MOISTURE VALUES...WILL HOLD POPS IN
THE LOW END CHANCE RANGE. BLEND IS GIVING ME SOME MAX TEMPS THAT
SEEM A LITTLE LOW EVEN WITH THE EASTERLY FLOW AND PLAN TO TWEAK
THOSE UP JUST A TOUCH.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE NE STATES LOOKS TO BRING A WEDGE
SCENARIO TO THE REGION FOR THE WEEKEND AND THIS PATTERN REALLY
WILL HOLD TEMPS IN CHECK WHILE INCREASING RAIN CHANCES. USING
MOISTURE FIELDS FOR POPS...COULD ACTUALLY SEE SOME LIKELY COVERAGE
FOR THIS PATTERN BUT THIS FAR OUT WILL LIMIT TO HIGH END CHANCE
FOR THE EASTERN SECTIONS.

DEESE

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z UPDATE...
IFR-MVFR CEILINGS IN PLACE. SOME MVFR VSBYS DUE TO FOG AND
SOME DRIZZLE. CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO IMPROVE FROM 15Z ON TO SCT-
BKN 3500-4500 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SURFACE WINDS ENE LESS THAN 10
KTS BECOMING VARIABLE FOR SOME LOCATIONS THIS AFTERNOON.
CONFIDENCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS TODAY IS TOO LOW TO INCLUDE IN THE
TAFS.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...12Z UPDATE...
LOW TO MEDIUM CONFIDENCE FOR VSBYS TO START.
HIGH CONFIDENCE FOR CEILINGS AND WINDS TO START.
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE FOR CEILING IMPROVEMENT AND WIND DIRECTION
DURING THE DAY.

BDL

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          84  69  89  70 /  20  10  20  20
ATLANTA         83  71  89  72 /  20  10  20  20
BLAIRSVILLE     80  63  83  64 /  30  20  40  10
CARTERSVILLE    84  67  89  69 /  20  10  20  10
COLUMBUS        86  72  90  74 /  20  10  20  20
GAINESVILLE     82  69  87  71 /  20  10  20  10
MACON           86  70  89  72 /  20  10  20  20
ROME            84  67  89  69 /  20  10  20  10
PEACHTREE CITY  83  68  88  70 /  20  10  20  20
VIDALIA         88  72  90  73 /  20  10  50  30

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...BDL
LONG TERM....DEESE
AVIATION...BDL




000
FXUS62 KFFC 311104
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
704 AM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 329 AM EDT MON AUG 31 2015/

SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...

A MUCH DRIER FORECAST LOOKS TO BE IN STORE FROM A RAIN STANDPOINT
THIS SHORT TERM PERIOD.

THE UPPER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS NOW MOVING AWAY AND HAS TAKEN THE
DEEP MOISTURE AND DYNAMICS WITH IT. AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDS SOME
OVER THE AREA FROM THE ATLANTIC. STILL PLENTY OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
IN PLACE BUT OVERALL INSTABILITY LOOKS TO BE LACKING. CAN NOT RULE
OUT A POP UP SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM TODAY INTO EARLY EVENING.

NOT MUCH CHANGE FOR TUESDAY EXCEPT FOR A SURFACE TROUGH OVER THE
FAR E AND SE COUNTIES WITH SOME ADDED MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY.
THIS COULD ALLOW FOR SLIGHTLY HIGHER CHANCES OF MAINLY AFTERNOON
SHOWERS AND STORMS.

FORECAST HIGH TEMPERATURES RUNNING 3-4 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL TODAY AND
CLOSE TO NORMAL FOR TUESDAY. FORECAST LOW TEMPERATURES RUNNING CLOSE
TO NORMAL TONIGHT.

OVERALL CONFIDENCE IS MEDIUM TO HIGH.

BDL

LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...

LONG TERM PORTION BEGINS WITH A RELATIVELY BENIGN PATTERN IN
PLACE...A STARK CONTRAST FROM WHERE WE COULD HAVE BEEN HAD ERIKA
BECOME A MAJOR PLAYER. INSTEAD...590DM UPPER HIGH DOMINATES THE
LOCAL AREA WITH A GOOD DEAL OF MID LEVEL DRY AIR IN PLACE TO KEEP
POPS AT OR BELOW CLIMO. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE THE EXTREME SE
CORNER OF THE FORECAST AREA WHERE NORTHERN FRINGES OF RESIDUAL
ERIKA MOISTURE LOOKS TO PROVIDE A JOLT TO POP CHANCES WITH LOW END
LIKELY PLANNED FOR WED AFTERNOON.

PRETTY MUCH THE SAME PATTERN THROUGH FRIDAY IS EXPECTED ALTHOUGH
MID AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGE DOES BREAK DOWN A BIT. BUT NO
SIGNIFICANT UPPER LEVEL SYSTEMS OF NOTE TO IMPACT THE REGION AND
WITH ONLY MODEST DEEP LAYER MOISTURE VALUES...WILL HOLD POPS IN
THE LOW END CHANCE RANGE. BLEND IS GIVING ME SOME MAX TEMPS THAT
SEEM A LITTLE LOW EVEN WITH THE EASTERLY FLOW AND PLAN TO TWEAK
THOSE UP JUST A TOUCH.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE NE STATES LOOKS TO BRING A WEDGE
SCENARIO TO THE REGION FOR THE WEEKEND AND THIS PATTERN REALLY
WILL HOLD TEMPS IN CHECK WHILE INCREASING RAIN CHANCES. USING
MOISTURE FIELDS FOR POPS...COULD ACTUALLY SEE SOME LIKELY COVERAGE
FOR THIS PATTERN BUT THIS FAR OUT WILL LIMIT TO HIGH END CHANCE
FOR THE EASTERN SECTIONS.

DEESE

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z UPDATE...
IFR-MVFR CEILINGS IN PLACE. SOME MVFR VSBYS DUE TO FOG AND
SOME DRIZZLE. CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO IMPROVE FROM 15Z ON TO SCT-
BKN 3500-4500 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SURFACE WINDS ENE LESS THAN 10
KTS BECOMING VARIABLE FOR SOME LOCATIONS THIS AFTERNOON.
CONFIDENCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS TODAY IS TOO LOW TO INCLUDE IN THE
TAFS.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...12Z UPDATE...
LOW TO MEDIUM CONFIDENCE FOR VSBYS TO START.
HIGH CONFIDENCE FOR CEILINGS AND WINDS TO START.
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE FOR CEILING IMPROVEMENT AND WIND DIRECTION
DURING THE DAY.

BDL

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          84  69  89  70 /  20  10  20  20
ATLANTA         83  71  89  72 /  20  10  20  20
BLAIRSVILLE     80  63  83  64 /  30  20  40  10
CARTERSVILLE    84  67  89  69 /  20  10  20  10
COLUMBUS        86  72  90  74 /  20  10  20  20
GAINESVILLE     82  69  87  71 /  20  10  20  10
MACON           86  70  89  72 /  20  10  20  20
ROME            84  67  89  69 /  20  10  20  10
PEACHTREE CITY  83  68  88  70 /  20  10  20  20
VIDALIA         88  72  90  73 /  20  10  50  30

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...BDL
LONG TERM....DEESE
AVIATION...BDL





000
FXUS62 KFFC 311104
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
704 AM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 329 AM EDT MON AUG 31 2015/

SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...

A MUCH DRIER FORECAST LOOKS TO BE IN STORE FROM A RAIN STANDPOINT
THIS SHORT TERM PERIOD.

THE UPPER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS NOW MOVING AWAY AND HAS TAKEN THE
DEEP MOISTURE AND DYNAMICS WITH IT. AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDS SOME
OVER THE AREA FROM THE ATLANTIC. STILL PLENTY OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
IN PLACE BUT OVERALL INSTABILITY LOOKS TO BE LACKING. CAN NOT RULE
OUT A POP UP SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM TODAY INTO EARLY EVENING.

NOT MUCH CHANGE FOR TUESDAY EXCEPT FOR A SURFACE TROUGH OVER THE
FAR E AND SE COUNTIES WITH SOME ADDED MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY.
THIS COULD ALLOW FOR SLIGHTLY HIGHER CHANCES OF MAINLY AFTERNOON
SHOWERS AND STORMS.

FORECAST HIGH TEMPERATURES RUNNING 3-4 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL TODAY AND
CLOSE TO NORMAL FOR TUESDAY. FORECAST LOW TEMPERATURES RUNNING CLOSE
TO NORMAL TONIGHT.

OVERALL CONFIDENCE IS MEDIUM TO HIGH.

BDL

LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...

LONG TERM PORTION BEGINS WITH A RELATIVELY BENIGN PATTERN IN
PLACE...A STARK CONTRAST FROM WHERE WE COULD HAVE BEEN HAD ERIKA
BECOME A MAJOR PLAYER. INSTEAD...590DM UPPER HIGH DOMINATES THE
LOCAL AREA WITH A GOOD DEAL OF MID LEVEL DRY AIR IN PLACE TO KEEP
POPS AT OR BELOW CLIMO. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE THE EXTREME SE
CORNER OF THE FORECAST AREA WHERE NORTHERN FRINGES OF RESIDUAL
ERIKA MOISTURE LOOKS TO PROVIDE A JOLT TO POP CHANCES WITH LOW END
LIKELY PLANNED FOR WED AFTERNOON.

PRETTY MUCH THE SAME PATTERN THROUGH FRIDAY IS EXPECTED ALTHOUGH
MID AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGE DOES BREAK DOWN A BIT. BUT NO
SIGNIFICANT UPPER LEVEL SYSTEMS OF NOTE TO IMPACT THE REGION AND
WITH ONLY MODEST DEEP LAYER MOISTURE VALUES...WILL HOLD POPS IN
THE LOW END CHANCE RANGE. BLEND IS GIVING ME SOME MAX TEMPS THAT
SEEM A LITTLE LOW EVEN WITH THE EASTERLY FLOW AND PLAN TO TWEAK
THOSE UP JUST A TOUCH.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE NE STATES LOOKS TO BRING A WEDGE
SCENARIO TO THE REGION FOR THE WEEKEND AND THIS PATTERN REALLY
WILL HOLD TEMPS IN CHECK WHILE INCREASING RAIN CHANCES. USING
MOISTURE FIELDS FOR POPS...COULD ACTUALLY SEE SOME LIKELY COVERAGE
FOR THIS PATTERN BUT THIS FAR OUT WILL LIMIT TO HIGH END CHANCE
FOR THE EASTERN SECTIONS.

DEESE

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z UPDATE...
IFR-MVFR CEILINGS IN PLACE. SOME MVFR VSBYS DUE TO FOG AND
SOME DRIZZLE. CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO IMPROVE FROM 15Z ON TO SCT-
BKN 3500-4500 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SURFACE WINDS ENE LESS THAN 10
KTS BECOMING VARIABLE FOR SOME LOCATIONS THIS AFTERNOON.
CONFIDENCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS TODAY IS TOO LOW TO INCLUDE IN THE
TAFS.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...12Z UPDATE...
LOW TO MEDIUM CONFIDENCE FOR VSBYS TO START.
HIGH CONFIDENCE FOR CEILINGS AND WINDS TO START.
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE FOR CEILING IMPROVEMENT AND WIND DIRECTION
DURING THE DAY.

BDL

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          84  69  89  70 /  20  10  20  20
ATLANTA         83  71  89  72 /  20  10  20  20
BLAIRSVILLE     80  63  83  64 /  30  20  40  10
CARTERSVILLE    84  67  89  69 /  20  10  20  10
COLUMBUS        86  72  90  74 /  20  10  20  20
GAINESVILLE     82  69  87  71 /  20  10  20  10
MACON           86  70  89  72 /  20  10  20  20
ROME            84  67  89  69 /  20  10  20  10
PEACHTREE CITY  83  68  88  70 /  20  10  20  20
VIDALIA         88  72  90  73 /  20  10  50  30

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...BDL
LONG TERM....DEESE
AVIATION...BDL




000
FXUS62 KFFC 311104
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
704 AM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 329 AM EDT MON AUG 31 2015/

SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...

A MUCH DRIER FORECAST LOOKS TO BE IN STORE FROM A RAIN STANDPOINT
THIS SHORT TERM PERIOD.

THE UPPER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS NOW MOVING AWAY AND HAS TAKEN THE
DEEP MOISTURE AND DYNAMICS WITH IT. AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDS SOME
OVER THE AREA FROM THE ATLANTIC. STILL PLENTY OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
IN PLACE BUT OVERALL INSTABILITY LOOKS TO BE LACKING. CAN NOT RULE
OUT A POP UP SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM TODAY INTO EARLY EVENING.

NOT MUCH CHANGE FOR TUESDAY EXCEPT FOR A SURFACE TROUGH OVER THE
FAR E AND SE COUNTIES WITH SOME ADDED MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY.
THIS COULD ALLOW FOR SLIGHTLY HIGHER CHANCES OF MAINLY AFTERNOON
SHOWERS AND STORMS.

FORECAST HIGH TEMPERATURES RUNNING 3-4 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL TODAY AND
CLOSE TO NORMAL FOR TUESDAY. FORECAST LOW TEMPERATURES RUNNING CLOSE
TO NORMAL TONIGHT.

OVERALL CONFIDENCE IS MEDIUM TO HIGH.

BDL

LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...

LONG TERM PORTION BEGINS WITH A RELATIVELY BENIGN PATTERN IN
PLACE...A STARK CONTRAST FROM WHERE WE COULD HAVE BEEN HAD ERIKA
BECOME A MAJOR PLAYER. INSTEAD...590DM UPPER HIGH DOMINATES THE
LOCAL AREA WITH A GOOD DEAL OF MID LEVEL DRY AIR IN PLACE TO KEEP
POPS AT OR BELOW CLIMO. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE THE EXTREME SE
CORNER OF THE FORECAST AREA WHERE NORTHERN FRINGES OF RESIDUAL
ERIKA MOISTURE LOOKS TO PROVIDE A JOLT TO POP CHANCES WITH LOW END
LIKELY PLANNED FOR WED AFTERNOON.

PRETTY MUCH THE SAME PATTERN THROUGH FRIDAY IS EXPECTED ALTHOUGH
MID AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGE DOES BREAK DOWN A BIT. BUT NO
SIGNIFICANT UPPER LEVEL SYSTEMS OF NOTE TO IMPACT THE REGION AND
WITH ONLY MODEST DEEP LAYER MOISTURE VALUES...WILL HOLD POPS IN
THE LOW END CHANCE RANGE. BLEND IS GIVING ME SOME MAX TEMPS THAT
SEEM A LITTLE LOW EVEN WITH THE EASTERLY FLOW AND PLAN TO TWEAK
THOSE UP JUST A TOUCH.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE NE STATES LOOKS TO BRING A WEDGE
SCENARIO TO THE REGION FOR THE WEEKEND AND THIS PATTERN REALLY
WILL HOLD TEMPS IN CHECK WHILE INCREASING RAIN CHANCES. USING
MOISTURE FIELDS FOR POPS...COULD ACTUALLY SEE SOME LIKELY COVERAGE
FOR THIS PATTERN BUT THIS FAR OUT WILL LIMIT TO HIGH END CHANCE
FOR THE EASTERN SECTIONS.

DEESE

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z UPDATE...
IFR-MVFR CEILINGS IN PLACE. SOME MVFR VSBYS DUE TO FOG AND
SOME DRIZZLE. CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO IMPROVE FROM 15Z ON TO SCT-
BKN 3500-4500 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SURFACE WINDS ENE LESS THAN 10
KTS BECOMING VARIABLE FOR SOME LOCATIONS THIS AFTERNOON.
CONFIDENCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS TODAY IS TOO LOW TO INCLUDE IN THE
TAFS.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...12Z UPDATE...
LOW TO MEDIUM CONFIDENCE FOR VSBYS TO START.
HIGH CONFIDENCE FOR CEILINGS AND WINDS TO START.
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE FOR CEILING IMPROVEMENT AND WIND DIRECTION
DURING THE DAY.

BDL

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          84  69  89  70 /  20  10  20  20
ATLANTA         83  71  89  72 /  20  10  20  20
BLAIRSVILLE     80  63  83  64 /  30  20  40  10
CARTERSVILLE    84  67  89  69 /  20  10  20  10
COLUMBUS        86  72  90  74 /  20  10  20  20
GAINESVILLE     82  69  87  71 /  20  10  20  10
MACON           86  70  89  72 /  20  10  20  20
ROME            84  67  89  69 /  20  10  20  10
PEACHTREE CITY  83  68  88  70 /  20  10  20  20
VIDALIA         88  72  90  73 /  20  10  50  30

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...BDL
LONG TERM....DEESE
AVIATION...BDL





000
FXUS62 KFFC 310729
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
329 AM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...

A MUCH DRIER FORECAST LOOKS TO BE IN STORE FROM A RAIN STANDPOINT
THIS SHORT TERM PERIOD.

THE UPPER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS NOW MOVING AWAY AND HAS TAKEN THE
DEEP MOISTURE AND DYNAMICS WITH IT. AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDS SOME
OVER THE AREA FROM THE ATLANTIC. STILL PLENTY OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
IN PLACE BUT OVERALL INSTABILITY LOOKS TO BE LACKING. CAN NOT RULE
OUT A POP UP SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM TODAY INTO EARLY EVENING.

NOT MUCH CHANGE FOR TUESDAY EXCEPT FOR A SURFACE TROUGH OVER THE
FAR E AND SE COUNTIES WITH SOME ADDED MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY.
THIS COULD ALLOW FOR SLIGHTLY HIGHER CHANCES OF MAINLY AFTERNOON
SHOWERS AND STORMS.

FORECAST HIGH TEMPERATURES RUNNING 3-4 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL TODAY AND
CLOSE TO NORMAL FOR TUESDAY. FORECAST LOW TEMPERATURES RUNNING CLOSE
TO NORMAL TONIGHT.

OVERALL CONFIDENCE IS MEDIUM TO HIGH.

BDL

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...

LONG TERM PORTION BEGINS WITH A RELATIVELY BENIGN PATTERN IN
PLACE...A STARK CONTRAST FROM WHERE WE COULD HAVE BEEN HAD ERIKA
BECOME A MAJOR PLAYER. INSTEAD...590DM UPPER HIGH DOMINATES THE
LOCAL AREA WITH A GOOD DEAL OF MID LEVEL DRY AIR IN PLACE TO KEEP
POPS AT OR BELOW CLIMO. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE THE EXTREME SE
CORNER OF THE FORECAST AREA WHERE NORTHERN FRINGES OF RESIDUAL
ERIKA MOISTURE LOOKS TO PROVIDE A JOLT TO POP CHANCES WITH LOW END
LIKELY PLANNED FOR WED AFTERNOON.

PRETTY MUCH THE SAME PATTERN THROUGH FRIDAY IS EXPECTED ALTHOUGH
MID AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGE DOES BREAK DOWN A BIT. BUT NO
SIGNIFICANT UPPER LEVEL SYSTEMS OF NOTE TO IMPACT THE REGION AND
WITH ONLY MODEST DEEP LAYER MOISTURE VALUES...WILL HOLD POPS IN
THE LOW END CHANCE RANGE. BLEND IS GIVING ME SOME MAX TEMPS THAT
SEEM A LITTLE LOW EVEN WITH THE EASTERLY FLOW AND PLAN TO TWEAK
THOSE UP JUST A TOUCH.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE NE STATES LOOKS TO BRING A WEDGE
SCENARIO TO THE REGION FOR THE WEEKEND AND THIS PATTERN REALLY
WILL HOLD TEMPS IN CHECK WHILE INCREASING RAIN CHANCES. USING
MOISTURE FIELDS FOR POPS...COULD ACTUALLY SEE SOME LIKELY COVERAGE
FOR THIS PATTERN BUT THIS FAR OUT WILL LIMIT TO HIGH END CHANCE
FOR THE EASTERN SECTIONS.

DEESE


&&

.AVIATION... 06Z UPDATE... MVFR CEILINGS IN PLACE WITH IFR
CEILINGS DEVELOPING. SOME MVFR VSBYS AND POSSIBLY IFR VSBYS CAN BE
EXPECTED AS WELL DUE TO FOG AND POSSIBLY SOME DRIZZLE. CONDITIONS
EXPECTED TO IMPROVE FROM 15Z ON TO SCT-BKN 3500-4500 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SURFACE WINDS ENE LESS THAN 10 KTS AND COULD BECOME
VARIABLE DURING THE DAY MONDAY. CONFIDENCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS
MONDAY IS TOO LOW TO INCLUDE IN THE TAFS.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE...
LOW TO MEDIUM CONFIDENCE FOR VSBYS.
HIGH CONFIDENCE FOR CEILINGS AND WINDS TO START.
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE FOR CEILING IMPROVEMENT AND WIND DIRECTION
DURING THE DAY MONDAY.

BDL

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          84  69  88  71 /  30  20  30  20
ATLANTA         85  70  88  72 /  30  10  20  10
BLAIRSVILLE     81  63  83  65 /  30  20  30  20
CARTERSVILLE    85  67  88  69 /  30  10  20  10
COLUMBUS        89  71  90  73 /  20  10  20  10
GAINESVILLE     82  69  86  71 /  30  20  30  20
MACON           87  70  89  71 /  20  10  20  10
ROME            85  67  89  69 /  30  10  20   5
PEACHTREE CITY  85  68  88  70 /  30  10  20  10
VIDALIA         86  73  89  73 /  20  20  30  20

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...BDL
LONG TERM....DEESE
AVIATION...BDL





000
FXUS62 KFFC 310729
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
329 AM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...

A MUCH DRIER FORECAST LOOKS TO BE IN STORE FROM A RAIN STANDPOINT
THIS SHORT TERM PERIOD.

THE UPPER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS NOW MOVING AWAY AND HAS TAKEN THE
DEEP MOISTURE AND DYNAMICS WITH IT. AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDS SOME
OVER THE AREA FROM THE ATLANTIC. STILL PLENTY OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
IN PLACE BUT OVERALL INSTABILITY LOOKS TO BE LACKING. CAN NOT RULE
OUT A POP UP SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM TODAY INTO EARLY EVENING.

NOT MUCH CHANGE FOR TUESDAY EXCEPT FOR A SURFACE TROUGH OVER THE
FAR E AND SE COUNTIES WITH SOME ADDED MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY.
THIS COULD ALLOW FOR SLIGHTLY HIGHER CHANCES OF MAINLY AFTERNOON
SHOWERS AND STORMS.

FORECAST HIGH TEMPERATURES RUNNING 3-4 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL TODAY AND
CLOSE TO NORMAL FOR TUESDAY. FORECAST LOW TEMPERATURES RUNNING CLOSE
TO NORMAL TONIGHT.

OVERALL CONFIDENCE IS MEDIUM TO HIGH.

BDL

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...

LONG TERM PORTION BEGINS WITH A RELATIVELY BENIGN PATTERN IN
PLACE...A STARK CONTRAST FROM WHERE WE COULD HAVE BEEN HAD ERIKA
BECOME A MAJOR PLAYER. INSTEAD...590DM UPPER HIGH DOMINATES THE
LOCAL AREA WITH A GOOD DEAL OF MID LEVEL DRY AIR IN PLACE TO KEEP
POPS AT OR BELOW CLIMO. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE THE EXTREME SE
CORNER OF THE FORECAST AREA WHERE NORTHERN FRINGES OF RESIDUAL
ERIKA MOISTURE LOOKS TO PROVIDE A JOLT TO POP CHANCES WITH LOW END
LIKELY PLANNED FOR WED AFTERNOON.

PRETTY MUCH THE SAME PATTERN THROUGH FRIDAY IS EXPECTED ALTHOUGH
MID AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGE DOES BREAK DOWN A BIT. BUT NO
SIGNIFICANT UPPER LEVEL SYSTEMS OF NOTE TO IMPACT THE REGION AND
WITH ONLY MODEST DEEP LAYER MOISTURE VALUES...WILL HOLD POPS IN
THE LOW END CHANCE RANGE. BLEND IS GIVING ME SOME MAX TEMPS THAT
SEEM A LITTLE LOW EVEN WITH THE EASTERLY FLOW AND PLAN TO TWEAK
THOSE UP JUST A TOUCH.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE NE STATES LOOKS TO BRING A WEDGE
SCENARIO TO THE REGION FOR THE WEEKEND AND THIS PATTERN REALLY
WILL HOLD TEMPS IN CHECK WHILE INCREASING RAIN CHANCES. USING
MOISTURE FIELDS FOR POPS...COULD ACTUALLY SEE SOME LIKELY COVERAGE
FOR THIS PATTERN BUT THIS FAR OUT WILL LIMIT TO HIGH END CHANCE
FOR THE EASTERN SECTIONS.

DEESE


&&

.AVIATION... 06Z UPDATE... MVFR CEILINGS IN PLACE WITH IFR
CEILINGS DEVELOPING. SOME MVFR VSBYS AND POSSIBLY IFR VSBYS CAN BE
EXPECTED AS WELL DUE TO FOG AND POSSIBLY SOME DRIZZLE. CONDITIONS
EXPECTED TO IMPROVE FROM 15Z ON TO SCT-BKN 3500-4500 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SURFACE WINDS ENE LESS THAN 10 KTS AND COULD BECOME
VARIABLE DURING THE DAY MONDAY. CONFIDENCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS
MONDAY IS TOO LOW TO INCLUDE IN THE TAFS.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE...
LOW TO MEDIUM CONFIDENCE FOR VSBYS.
HIGH CONFIDENCE FOR CEILINGS AND WINDS TO START.
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE FOR CEILING IMPROVEMENT AND WIND DIRECTION
DURING THE DAY MONDAY.

BDL

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          84  69  88  71 /  30  20  30  20
ATLANTA         85  70  88  72 /  30  10  20  10
BLAIRSVILLE     81  63  83  65 /  30  20  30  20
CARTERSVILLE    85  67  88  69 /  30  10  20  10
COLUMBUS        89  71  90  73 /  20  10  20  10
GAINESVILLE     82  69  86  71 /  30  20  30  20
MACON           87  70  89  71 /  20  10  20  10
ROME            85  67  89  69 /  30  10  20   5
PEACHTREE CITY  85  68  88  70 /  30  10  20  10
VIDALIA         86  73  89  73 /  20  20  30  20

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...BDL
LONG TERM....DEESE
AVIATION...BDL




000
FXUS62 KFFC 310515 AAC
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
115 AM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 804 PM EDT SUN AUG 30 2015/

UPDATE...
UPDATED GRIDS A COUPLE TIMES TO BETTER REFLECT RADAR AND OBSERVED
NEAR-TERM TRENDS. DRY SLOT CONVECTION HAS DISSIPATED AND APPEARS
WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS CLOSING. WILL
KEEP POPS LOW THRU THE NIGHT AND MON MORNING. WITH DRY SLOT
CLEARING ALOFT AND RESIDUAL LOW LEVEL AND GROUND MOISTURE...POTENTIAL
FOR AREAS OF RADIATIONAL FOG HIGH LATE TONIGHT. HAVE ADDED FOG TO
MOST AREAS 2AM-10AM.

SNELSON

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 333 PM EDT SUN AUG 30 2015/

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
CURRENT RADAR LOOP SHOWS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
ROTATING AROUND MAIN LOW PRESSURE CENTER ALONG THE AL/GA BORDER.
THIS LOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING NORTH TO NORTHEAST AND
WILL WEAKEN AS IT DOES. THE MODELS ALSO SHOW THE MAIN AREA OF
MOISTURE OVER N GA AND THE CAROLINAS MOVING NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT.
THIS WILL HELP TO END THE PRECIPITATION OVER THE AREA BY MIDNIGHT.
THERE MAY BE A FEW LEFT OVER SHOWERS ACROSS NORTH GA BUT THATS IT.
THE MODELS ARE SHOWING THE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF
BUILDING SLIGHTLY NORTHWARD MONDAY AND THE MOISTURE REMAINS OF
ERIKA REMAINING SOUTH AND EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA. THERE WILL
STILL BE SOME MOISTURE OVER THE AREA MONDAY BUT IT WILL BE A LOT
LESS THAN TODAY. GOING WITH LOW CHANCE POPS ACROSS NORTH AND
CENTRAL GA MONDAY. INSTABILITIES EXPECTED TO BE FAIRLY WEAK FOR
THIS TIME OF YEAR SO ONLY GOING WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDER
MONDAY AS WELL. THIS FITS WELL WITH SPC AS THEY CURRENTLY HAVE US
IN JUST A GENERAL THUNDERSTORM RISK FOR MONDAY. TEMPS WILL BE IN
THE 60S AND 70S FOR LOWS...AND MAINLY IN THE 80S FOR HIGHS WITH
SOME 70S IN THE NORTH GA MOUNTAINS.

01

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EXTENDED PORTION OF THE
FORECAST. NO MAJOR CHANGES NEEDED.

THE UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL COME IN TWO FORMS FOR THE EXTENDED...AN
UPPER LOW THAT PRETTY MUCH STAYS PARKED ACROSS THE GULF
STATES/NORTHERN GOMEX AND THE REMNANTS OF ERIKA.

MODELS HAVE CONTINUED THE TREND OF SHIFTING THE DEEPEST TROPICAL
MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH ERIKAS REMNANTS EASTWARD. SO...THE HIGHEST
QPF SHOULD REMAIN ACROSS THE FAR EASTERN ZONES. AS FAR AS THE UPPER
LOW GOES...THE FEATURE COULD HELP KEEP CONVECTIVE PRECIP MORE
SCT/ISOLD IN THE WEST. EITHER FEATURE WILL HAVE ABUNDANT LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE TO WORK WITH.

ANOTHER BY-PRODUCT OF THE UPPER LOW WILL BE THAT TEMPS WILL STRUGGLE
TO GET OUT OF THE 80S FOR MUCH OF THE PERIOD.

NLISTEMAA

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z UPDATE...
MVFR CEILINGS IN PLACE WITH IFR CEILINGS DEVELOPING. SOME MVFR
VSBYS AND POSSIBLY IFR VSBYS CAN BE EXPECTED AS WELL DUE TO FOG
AND POSSIBLY SOME DRIZZLE. CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO IMPROVE FROM
15Z ON TO SCT-BKN 3500-4500 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SURFACE WINDS
ENE LESS THAN 10 KTS AND COULD BECOME VARIABLE DURING THE DAY
MONDAY. CONFIDENCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY IS TOO LOW TO INCLUDE
IN THE TAFS.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE...
LOW TO MEDIUM CONFIDENCE FOR VSBYS.
HIGH CONFIDENCE FOR CEILINGS AND WINDS TO START.
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE FOR CEILING IMPROVEMENT AND WIND DIRECTION
DURING THE DAY MONDAY.

BDL

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          84  69  88  71 /  30  20  30  20
ATLANTA         85  70  88  72 /  30  10  20  10
BLAIRSVILLE     81  63  83  65 /  30  20  30  20
CARTERSVILLE    85  67  88  69 /  30  10  20  10
COLUMBUS        89  71  90  73 /  20  10  20  10
GAINESVILLE     82  69  86  71 /  30  20  30  20
MACON           87  70  89  71 /  20  10  20  10
ROME            85  67  89  69 /  30  10  20   5
PEACHTREE CITY  85  68  88  70 /  30  10  20  10
VIDALIA         86  73  89  73 /  20  20  30  20

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...BDL




000
FXUS62 KFFC 310515 AAC
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
115 AM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 804 PM EDT SUN AUG 30 2015/

UPDATE...
UPDATED GRIDS A COUPLE TIMES TO BETTER REFLECT RADAR AND OBSERVED
NEAR-TERM TRENDS. DRY SLOT CONVECTION HAS DISSIPATED AND APPEARS
WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS CLOSING. WILL
KEEP POPS LOW THRU THE NIGHT AND MON MORNING. WITH DRY SLOT
CLEARING ALOFT AND RESIDUAL LOW LEVEL AND GROUND MOISTURE...POTENTIAL
FOR AREAS OF RADIATIONAL FOG HIGH LATE TONIGHT. HAVE ADDED FOG TO
MOST AREAS 2AM-10AM.

SNELSON

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 333 PM EDT SUN AUG 30 2015/

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
CURRENT RADAR LOOP SHOWS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
ROTATING AROUND MAIN LOW PRESSURE CENTER ALONG THE AL/GA BORDER.
THIS LOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING NORTH TO NORTHEAST AND
WILL WEAKEN AS IT DOES. THE MODELS ALSO SHOW THE MAIN AREA OF
MOISTURE OVER N GA AND THE CAROLINAS MOVING NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT.
THIS WILL HELP TO END THE PRECIPITATION OVER THE AREA BY MIDNIGHT.
THERE MAY BE A FEW LEFT OVER SHOWERS ACROSS NORTH GA BUT THATS IT.
THE MODELS ARE SHOWING THE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF
BUILDING SLIGHTLY NORTHWARD MONDAY AND THE MOISTURE REMAINS OF
ERIKA REMAINING SOUTH AND EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA. THERE WILL
STILL BE SOME MOISTURE OVER THE AREA MONDAY BUT IT WILL BE A LOT
LESS THAN TODAY. GOING WITH LOW CHANCE POPS ACROSS NORTH AND
CENTRAL GA MONDAY. INSTABILITIES EXPECTED TO BE FAIRLY WEAK FOR
THIS TIME OF YEAR SO ONLY GOING WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDER
MONDAY AS WELL. THIS FITS WELL WITH SPC AS THEY CURRENTLY HAVE US
IN JUST A GENERAL THUNDERSTORM RISK FOR MONDAY. TEMPS WILL BE IN
THE 60S AND 70S FOR LOWS...AND MAINLY IN THE 80S FOR HIGHS WITH
SOME 70S IN THE NORTH GA MOUNTAINS.

01

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EXTENDED PORTION OF THE
FORECAST. NO MAJOR CHANGES NEEDED.

THE UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL COME IN TWO FORMS FOR THE EXTENDED...AN
UPPER LOW THAT PRETTY MUCH STAYS PARKED ACROSS THE GULF
STATES/NORTHERN GOMEX AND THE REMNANTS OF ERIKA.

MODELS HAVE CONTINUED THE TREND OF SHIFTING THE DEEPEST TROPICAL
MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH ERIKAS REMNANTS EASTWARD. SO...THE HIGHEST
QPF SHOULD REMAIN ACROSS THE FAR EASTERN ZONES. AS FAR AS THE UPPER
LOW GOES...THE FEATURE COULD HELP KEEP CONVECTIVE PRECIP MORE
SCT/ISOLD IN THE WEST. EITHER FEATURE WILL HAVE ABUNDANT LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE TO WORK WITH.

ANOTHER BY-PRODUCT OF THE UPPER LOW WILL BE THAT TEMPS WILL STRUGGLE
TO GET OUT OF THE 80S FOR MUCH OF THE PERIOD.

NLISTEMAA

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z UPDATE...
MVFR CEILINGS IN PLACE WITH IFR CEILINGS DEVELOPING. SOME MVFR
VSBYS AND POSSIBLY IFR VSBYS CAN BE EXPECTED AS WELL DUE TO FOG
AND POSSIBLY SOME DRIZZLE. CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO IMPROVE FROM
15Z ON TO SCT-BKN 3500-4500 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SURFACE WINDS
ENE LESS THAN 10 KTS AND COULD BECOME VARIABLE DURING THE DAY
MONDAY. CONFIDENCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY IS TOO LOW TO INCLUDE
IN THE TAFS.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE...
LOW TO MEDIUM CONFIDENCE FOR VSBYS.
HIGH CONFIDENCE FOR CEILINGS AND WINDS TO START.
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE FOR CEILING IMPROVEMENT AND WIND DIRECTION
DURING THE DAY MONDAY.

BDL

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          84  69  88  71 /  30  20  30  20
ATLANTA         85  70  88  72 /  30  10  20  10
BLAIRSVILLE     81  63  83  65 /  30  20  30  20
CARTERSVILLE    85  67  88  69 /  30  10  20  10
COLUMBUS        89  71  90  73 /  20  10  20  10
GAINESVILLE     82  69  86  71 /  30  20  30  20
MACON           87  70  89  71 /  20  10  20  10
ROME            85  67  89  69 /  30  10  20   5
PEACHTREE CITY  85  68  88  70 /  30  10  20  10
VIDALIA         86  73  89  73 /  20  20  30  20

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...BDL





000
FXUS62 KFFC 310515 AAC
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
115 AM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 804 PM EDT SUN AUG 30 2015/

UPDATE...
UPDATED GRIDS A COUPLE TIMES TO BETTER REFLECT RADAR AND OBSERVED
NEAR-TERM TRENDS. DRY SLOT CONVECTION HAS DISSIPATED AND APPEARS
WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS CLOSING. WILL
KEEP POPS LOW THRU THE NIGHT AND MON MORNING. WITH DRY SLOT
CLEARING ALOFT AND RESIDUAL LOW LEVEL AND GROUND MOISTURE...POTENTIAL
FOR AREAS OF RADIATIONAL FOG HIGH LATE TONIGHT. HAVE ADDED FOG TO
MOST AREAS 2AM-10AM.

SNELSON

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 333 PM EDT SUN AUG 30 2015/

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
CURRENT RADAR LOOP SHOWS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
ROTATING AROUND MAIN LOW PRESSURE CENTER ALONG THE AL/GA BORDER.
THIS LOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING NORTH TO NORTHEAST AND
WILL WEAKEN AS IT DOES. THE MODELS ALSO SHOW THE MAIN AREA OF
MOISTURE OVER N GA AND THE CAROLINAS MOVING NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT.
THIS WILL HELP TO END THE PRECIPITATION OVER THE AREA BY MIDNIGHT.
THERE MAY BE A FEW LEFT OVER SHOWERS ACROSS NORTH GA BUT THATS IT.
THE MODELS ARE SHOWING THE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF
BUILDING SLIGHTLY NORTHWARD MONDAY AND THE MOISTURE REMAINS OF
ERIKA REMAINING SOUTH AND EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA. THERE WILL
STILL BE SOME MOISTURE OVER THE AREA MONDAY BUT IT WILL BE A LOT
LESS THAN TODAY. GOING WITH LOW CHANCE POPS ACROSS NORTH AND
CENTRAL GA MONDAY. INSTABILITIES EXPECTED TO BE FAIRLY WEAK FOR
THIS TIME OF YEAR SO ONLY GOING WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDER
MONDAY AS WELL. THIS FITS WELL WITH SPC AS THEY CURRENTLY HAVE US
IN JUST A GENERAL THUNDERSTORM RISK FOR MONDAY. TEMPS WILL BE IN
THE 60S AND 70S FOR LOWS...AND MAINLY IN THE 80S FOR HIGHS WITH
SOME 70S IN THE NORTH GA MOUNTAINS.

01

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EXTENDED PORTION OF THE
FORECAST. NO MAJOR CHANGES NEEDED.

THE UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL COME IN TWO FORMS FOR THE EXTENDED...AN
UPPER LOW THAT PRETTY MUCH STAYS PARKED ACROSS THE GULF
STATES/NORTHERN GOMEX AND THE REMNANTS OF ERIKA.

MODELS HAVE CONTINUED THE TREND OF SHIFTING THE DEEPEST TROPICAL
MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH ERIKAS REMNANTS EASTWARD. SO...THE HIGHEST
QPF SHOULD REMAIN ACROSS THE FAR EASTERN ZONES. AS FAR AS THE UPPER
LOW GOES...THE FEATURE COULD HELP KEEP CONVECTIVE PRECIP MORE
SCT/ISOLD IN THE WEST. EITHER FEATURE WILL HAVE ABUNDANT LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE TO WORK WITH.

ANOTHER BY-PRODUCT OF THE UPPER LOW WILL BE THAT TEMPS WILL STRUGGLE
TO GET OUT OF THE 80S FOR MUCH OF THE PERIOD.

NLISTEMAA

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z UPDATE...
MVFR CEILINGS IN PLACE WITH IFR CEILINGS DEVELOPING. SOME MVFR
VSBYS AND POSSIBLY IFR VSBYS CAN BE EXPECTED AS WELL DUE TO FOG
AND POSSIBLY SOME DRIZZLE. CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO IMPROVE FROM
15Z ON TO SCT-BKN 3500-4500 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SURFACE WINDS
ENE LESS THAN 10 KTS AND COULD BECOME VARIABLE DURING THE DAY
MONDAY. CONFIDENCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY IS TOO LOW TO INCLUDE
IN THE TAFS.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE...
LOW TO MEDIUM CONFIDENCE FOR VSBYS.
HIGH CONFIDENCE FOR CEILINGS AND WINDS TO START.
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE FOR CEILING IMPROVEMENT AND WIND DIRECTION
DURING THE DAY MONDAY.

BDL

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          84  69  88  71 /  30  20  30  20
ATLANTA         85  70  88  72 /  30  10  20  10
BLAIRSVILLE     81  63  83  65 /  30  20  30  20
CARTERSVILLE    85  67  88  69 /  30  10  20  10
COLUMBUS        89  71  90  73 /  20  10  20  10
GAINESVILLE     82  69  86  71 /  30  20  30  20
MACON           87  70  89  71 /  20  10  20  10
ROME            85  67  89  69 /  30  10  20   5
PEACHTREE CITY  85  68  88  70 /  30  10  20  10
VIDALIA         86  73  89  73 /  20  20  30  20

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...BDL




000
FXUS62 KFFC 310515 AAC
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
115 AM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 804 PM EDT SUN AUG 30 2015/

UPDATE...
UPDATED GRIDS A COUPLE TIMES TO BETTER REFLECT RADAR AND OBSERVED
NEAR-TERM TRENDS. DRY SLOT CONVECTION HAS DISSIPATED AND APPEARS
WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS CLOSING. WILL
KEEP POPS LOW THRU THE NIGHT AND MON MORNING. WITH DRY SLOT
CLEARING ALOFT AND RESIDUAL LOW LEVEL AND GROUND MOISTURE...POTENTIAL
FOR AREAS OF RADIATIONAL FOG HIGH LATE TONIGHT. HAVE ADDED FOG TO
MOST AREAS 2AM-10AM.

SNELSON

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 333 PM EDT SUN AUG 30 2015/

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
CURRENT RADAR LOOP SHOWS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
ROTATING AROUND MAIN LOW PRESSURE CENTER ALONG THE AL/GA BORDER.
THIS LOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING NORTH TO NORTHEAST AND
WILL WEAKEN AS IT DOES. THE MODELS ALSO SHOW THE MAIN AREA OF
MOISTURE OVER N GA AND THE CAROLINAS MOVING NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT.
THIS WILL HELP TO END THE PRECIPITATION OVER THE AREA BY MIDNIGHT.
THERE MAY BE A FEW LEFT OVER SHOWERS ACROSS NORTH GA BUT THATS IT.
THE MODELS ARE SHOWING THE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF
BUILDING SLIGHTLY NORTHWARD MONDAY AND THE MOISTURE REMAINS OF
ERIKA REMAINING SOUTH AND EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA. THERE WILL
STILL BE SOME MOISTURE OVER THE AREA MONDAY BUT IT WILL BE A LOT
LESS THAN TODAY. GOING WITH LOW CHANCE POPS ACROSS NORTH AND
CENTRAL GA MONDAY. INSTABILITIES EXPECTED TO BE FAIRLY WEAK FOR
THIS TIME OF YEAR SO ONLY GOING WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDER
MONDAY AS WELL. THIS FITS WELL WITH SPC AS THEY CURRENTLY HAVE US
IN JUST A GENERAL THUNDERSTORM RISK FOR MONDAY. TEMPS WILL BE IN
THE 60S AND 70S FOR LOWS...AND MAINLY IN THE 80S FOR HIGHS WITH
SOME 70S IN THE NORTH GA MOUNTAINS.

01

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EXTENDED PORTION OF THE
FORECAST. NO MAJOR CHANGES NEEDED.

THE UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL COME IN TWO FORMS FOR THE EXTENDED...AN
UPPER LOW THAT PRETTY MUCH STAYS PARKED ACROSS THE GULF
STATES/NORTHERN GOMEX AND THE REMNANTS OF ERIKA.

MODELS HAVE CONTINUED THE TREND OF SHIFTING THE DEEPEST TROPICAL
MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH ERIKAS REMNANTS EASTWARD. SO...THE HIGHEST
QPF SHOULD REMAIN ACROSS THE FAR EASTERN ZONES. AS FAR AS THE UPPER
LOW GOES...THE FEATURE COULD HELP KEEP CONVECTIVE PRECIP MORE
SCT/ISOLD IN THE WEST. EITHER FEATURE WILL HAVE ABUNDANT LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE TO WORK WITH.

ANOTHER BY-PRODUCT OF THE UPPER LOW WILL BE THAT TEMPS WILL STRUGGLE
TO GET OUT OF THE 80S FOR MUCH OF THE PERIOD.

NLISTEMAA

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z UPDATE...
MVFR CEILINGS IN PLACE WITH IFR CEILINGS DEVELOPING. SOME MVFR
VSBYS AND POSSIBLY IFR VSBYS CAN BE EXPECTED AS WELL DUE TO FOG
AND POSSIBLY SOME DRIZZLE. CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO IMPROVE FROM
15Z ON TO SCT-BKN 3500-4500 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SURFACE WINDS
ENE LESS THAN 10 KTS AND COULD BECOME VARIABLE DURING THE DAY
MONDAY. CONFIDENCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY IS TOO LOW TO INCLUDE
IN THE TAFS.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE...
LOW TO MEDIUM CONFIDENCE FOR VSBYS.
HIGH CONFIDENCE FOR CEILINGS AND WINDS TO START.
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE FOR CEILING IMPROVEMENT AND WIND DIRECTION
DURING THE DAY MONDAY.

BDL

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          84  69  88  71 /  30  20  30  20
ATLANTA         85  70  88  72 /  30  10  20  10
BLAIRSVILLE     81  63  83  65 /  30  20  30  20
CARTERSVILLE    85  67  88  69 /  30  10  20  10
COLUMBUS        89  71  90  73 /  20  10  20  10
GAINESVILLE     82  69  86  71 /  30  20  30  20
MACON           87  70  89  71 /  20  10  20  10
ROME            85  67  89  69 /  30  10  20   5
PEACHTREE CITY  85  68  88  70 /  30  10  20  10
VIDALIA         86  73  89  73 /  20  20  30  20

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...BDL





000
FXUS62 KFFC 310004 AAA
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
804 PM EDT SUN AUG 30 2015

.UPDATE...
UPDATED GRIDS A COUPLE TIMES TO BETTER REFLECT RADAR AND OBSERVED
NEAR-TERM TRENDS. DRY SLOT CONVECTION HAS DISSIPATED AND APPEARS
WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS CLOSING. WILL
KEEP POPS LOW THRU THE NIGHT AND MON MORNING. WITH DRY SLOT
CLEARING ALOFT AND RESIDUAL LOW LEVEL AND GROUND MOISTURE...POTENTIAL
FOR AREAS OF RADIATIONAL FOG HIGH LATE TONIGHT. HAVE ADDED FOG TO
MOST AREAS 2AM-10AM.

SNELSON

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 333 PM EDT SUN AUG 30 2015/

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
CURRENT RADAR LOOP SHOWS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
ROTATING AROUND MAIN LOW PRESSURE CENTER ALONG THE AL/GA BORDER.
THIS LOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING NORTH TO NORTHEAST AND
WILL WEAKEN AS IT DOES. THE MODELS ALSO SHOW THE MAIN AREA OF
MOISTURE OVER N GA AND THE CAROLINAS MOVING NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT.
THIS WILL HELP TO END THE PRECIPITATION OVER THE AREA BY MIDNIGHT.
THERE MAY BE A FEW LEFT OVER SHOWERS ACROSS NORTH GA BUT THATS IT.
THE MODELS ARE SHOWING THE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF
BUILDING SLIGHTLY NORTHWARD MONDAY AND THE MOISTURE REMAINS OF
ERIKA REMAINING SOUTH AND EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA. THERE WILL
STILL BE SOME MOISTURE OVER THE AREA MONDAY BUT IT WILL BE A LOT
LESS THAN TODAY. GOING WITH LOW CHANCE POPS ACROSS NORTH AND
CENTRAL GA MONDAY. INSTABILITIES EXPECTED TO BE FAIRLY WEAK FOR
THIS TIME OF YEAR SO ONLY GOING WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDER
MONDAY AS WELL. THIS FITS WELL WITH SPC AS THEY CURRENTLY HAVE US
IN JUST A GENERAL THUNDERSTORM RISK FOR MONDAY. TEMPS WILL BE IN
THE 60S AND 70S FOR LOWS...AND MAINLY IN THE 80S FOR HIGHS WITH
SOME 70S IN THE NORTH GA MOUNTAINS.

01

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EXTENDED PORTION OF THE
FORECAST. NO MAJOR CHANGES NEEDED.

THE UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL COME IN TWO FORMS FOR THE EXTENDED...AN
UPPER LOW THAT PRETTY MUCH STAYS PARKED ACROSS THE GULF
STATES/NORTHERN GOMEX AND THE REMNANTS OF ERIKA.

MODELS HAVE CONTINUED THE TREND OF SHIFTING THE DEEPEST TROPICAL
MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH ERIKAS REMNANTS EASTWARD. SO...THE HIGHEST
QPF SHOULD REMAIN ACROSS THE FAR EASTERN ZONES. AS FAR AS THE UPPER
LOW GOES...THE FEATURE COULD HELP KEEP CONVECTIVE PRECIP MORE
SCT/ISOLD IN THE WEST. EITHER FEATURE WILL HAVE ABUNDANT LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE TO WORK WITH.

ANOTHER BY-PRODUCT OF THE UPPER LOW WILL BE THAT TEMPS WILL STRUGGLE
TO GET OUT OF THE 80S FOR MUCH OF THE PERIOD.

NLISTEMAA

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z UPDATE...
PRIMARY CONCERN IS DEVELOPMENT OF IFR CIGS AND POSSIBLY VSBYS AS
WELL LATE TONIGHT DUE TO RESIDUAL LOW LEVEL MOISTURE...EAST SFC
WINDS AND RADIATIONAL COOLING. THESE CIGS AND VSBYS SHOULD CLEAR
BY 14-15Z. CONFIDENCE/CHC FOR SHRA/TSRA MONDAY AFTERNOON TOO LOW
TO MENTION IN FCST ATTM.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...00Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE ON IFR CIGS/VSBYS MON MORNING
HIGH CONFIDENCE ON ALL OTHER ELEMENTS

SNELSON

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          67  84  69  88 /  40  30  20  30
ATLANTA         69  85  70  88 /  30  30  10  20
BLAIRSVILLE     62  81  63  83 /  40  30  20  30
CARTERSVILLE    67  85  67  88 /  30  30  10  20
COLUMBUS        70  89  71  90 /  20  20  10  20
GAINESVILLE     67  82  69  86 /  40  30  20  30
MACON           70  87  70  89 /  20  20  10  20
ROME            67  85  67  89 /  30  30  10  20
PEACHTREE CITY  67  85  68  88 /  30  30  10  20
VIDALIA         72  86  73  89 /  40  20  20  30

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...SNELSON
LONG TERM....39
AVIATION...SNELSON




000
FXUS62 KFFC 310004 AAA
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
804 PM EDT SUN AUG 30 2015

.UPDATE...
UPDATED GRIDS A COUPLE TIMES TO BETTER REFLECT RADAR AND OBSERVED
NEAR-TERM TRENDS. DRY SLOT CONVECTION HAS DISSIPATED AND APPEARS
WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS CLOSING. WILL
KEEP POPS LOW THRU THE NIGHT AND MON MORNING. WITH DRY SLOT
CLEARING ALOFT AND RESIDUAL LOW LEVEL AND GROUND MOISTURE...POTENTIAL
FOR AREAS OF RADIATIONAL FOG HIGH LATE TONIGHT. HAVE ADDED FOG TO
MOST AREAS 2AM-10AM.

SNELSON

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 333 PM EDT SUN AUG 30 2015/

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
CURRENT RADAR LOOP SHOWS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
ROTATING AROUND MAIN LOW PRESSURE CENTER ALONG THE AL/GA BORDER.
THIS LOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING NORTH TO NORTHEAST AND
WILL WEAKEN AS IT DOES. THE MODELS ALSO SHOW THE MAIN AREA OF
MOISTURE OVER N GA AND THE CAROLINAS MOVING NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT.
THIS WILL HELP TO END THE PRECIPITATION OVER THE AREA BY MIDNIGHT.
THERE MAY BE A FEW LEFT OVER SHOWERS ACROSS NORTH GA BUT THATS IT.
THE MODELS ARE SHOWING THE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF
BUILDING SLIGHTLY NORTHWARD MONDAY AND THE MOISTURE REMAINS OF
ERIKA REMAINING SOUTH AND EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA. THERE WILL
STILL BE SOME MOISTURE OVER THE AREA MONDAY BUT IT WILL BE A LOT
LESS THAN TODAY. GOING WITH LOW CHANCE POPS ACROSS NORTH AND
CENTRAL GA MONDAY. INSTABILITIES EXPECTED TO BE FAIRLY WEAK FOR
THIS TIME OF YEAR SO ONLY GOING WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDER
MONDAY AS WELL. THIS FITS WELL WITH SPC AS THEY CURRENTLY HAVE US
IN JUST A GENERAL THUNDERSTORM RISK FOR MONDAY. TEMPS WILL BE IN
THE 60S AND 70S FOR LOWS...AND MAINLY IN THE 80S FOR HIGHS WITH
SOME 70S IN THE NORTH GA MOUNTAINS.

01

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EXTENDED PORTION OF THE
FORECAST. NO MAJOR CHANGES NEEDED.

THE UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL COME IN TWO FORMS FOR THE EXTENDED...AN
UPPER LOW THAT PRETTY MUCH STAYS PARKED ACROSS THE GULF
STATES/NORTHERN GOMEX AND THE REMNANTS OF ERIKA.

MODELS HAVE CONTINUED THE TREND OF SHIFTING THE DEEPEST TROPICAL
MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH ERIKAS REMNANTS EASTWARD. SO...THE HIGHEST
QPF SHOULD REMAIN ACROSS THE FAR EASTERN ZONES. AS FAR AS THE UPPER
LOW GOES...THE FEATURE COULD HELP KEEP CONVECTIVE PRECIP MORE
SCT/ISOLD IN THE WEST. EITHER FEATURE WILL HAVE ABUNDANT LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE TO WORK WITH.

ANOTHER BY-PRODUCT OF THE UPPER LOW WILL BE THAT TEMPS WILL STRUGGLE
TO GET OUT OF THE 80S FOR MUCH OF THE PERIOD.

NLISTEMAA

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z UPDATE...
PRIMARY CONCERN IS DEVELOPMENT OF IFR CIGS AND POSSIBLY VSBYS AS
WELL LATE TONIGHT DUE TO RESIDUAL LOW LEVEL MOISTURE...EAST SFC
WINDS AND RADIATIONAL COOLING. THESE CIGS AND VSBYS SHOULD CLEAR
BY 14-15Z. CONFIDENCE/CHC FOR SHRA/TSRA MONDAY AFTERNOON TOO LOW
TO MENTION IN FCST ATTM.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...00Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE ON IFR CIGS/VSBYS MON MORNING
HIGH CONFIDENCE ON ALL OTHER ELEMENTS

SNELSON

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          67  84  69  88 /  40  30  20  30
ATLANTA         69  85  70  88 /  30  30  10  20
BLAIRSVILLE     62  81  63  83 /  40  30  20  30
CARTERSVILLE    67  85  67  88 /  30  30  10  20
COLUMBUS        70  89  71  90 /  20  20  10  20
GAINESVILLE     67  82  69  86 /  40  30  20  30
MACON           70  87  70  89 /  20  20  10  20
ROME            67  85  67  89 /  30  30  10  20
PEACHTREE CITY  67  85  68  88 /  30  30  10  20
VIDALIA         72  86  73  89 /  40  20  20  30

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...SNELSON
LONG TERM....39
AVIATION...SNELSON





000
FXUS62 KFFC 310004 AAA
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
804 PM EDT SUN AUG 30 2015

.UPDATE...
UPDATED GRIDS A COUPLE TIMES TO BETTER REFLECT RADAR AND OBSERVED
NEAR-TERM TRENDS. DRY SLOT CONVECTION HAS DISSIPATED AND APPEARS
WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS CLOSING. WILL
KEEP POPS LOW THRU THE NIGHT AND MON MORNING. WITH DRY SLOT
CLEARING ALOFT AND RESIDUAL LOW LEVEL AND GROUND MOISTURE...POTENTIAL
FOR AREAS OF RADIATIONAL FOG HIGH LATE TONIGHT. HAVE ADDED FOG TO
MOST AREAS 2AM-10AM.

SNELSON

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 333 PM EDT SUN AUG 30 2015/

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
CURRENT RADAR LOOP SHOWS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
ROTATING AROUND MAIN LOW PRESSURE CENTER ALONG THE AL/GA BORDER.
THIS LOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING NORTH TO NORTHEAST AND
WILL WEAKEN AS IT DOES. THE MODELS ALSO SHOW THE MAIN AREA OF
MOISTURE OVER N GA AND THE CAROLINAS MOVING NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT.
THIS WILL HELP TO END THE PRECIPITATION OVER THE AREA BY MIDNIGHT.
THERE MAY BE A FEW LEFT OVER SHOWERS ACROSS NORTH GA BUT THATS IT.
THE MODELS ARE SHOWING THE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF
BUILDING SLIGHTLY NORTHWARD MONDAY AND THE MOISTURE REMAINS OF
ERIKA REMAINING SOUTH AND EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA. THERE WILL
STILL BE SOME MOISTURE OVER THE AREA MONDAY BUT IT WILL BE A LOT
LESS THAN TODAY. GOING WITH LOW CHANCE POPS ACROSS NORTH AND
CENTRAL GA MONDAY. INSTABILITIES EXPECTED TO BE FAIRLY WEAK FOR
THIS TIME OF YEAR SO ONLY GOING WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDER
MONDAY AS WELL. THIS FITS WELL WITH SPC AS THEY CURRENTLY HAVE US
IN JUST A GENERAL THUNDERSTORM RISK FOR MONDAY. TEMPS WILL BE IN
THE 60S AND 70S FOR LOWS...AND MAINLY IN THE 80S FOR HIGHS WITH
SOME 70S IN THE NORTH GA MOUNTAINS.

01

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EXTENDED PORTION OF THE
FORECAST. NO MAJOR CHANGES NEEDED.

THE UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL COME IN TWO FORMS FOR THE EXTENDED...AN
UPPER LOW THAT PRETTY MUCH STAYS PARKED ACROSS THE GULF
STATES/NORTHERN GOMEX AND THE REMNANTS OF ERIKA.

MODELS HAVE CONTINUED THE TREND OF SHIFTING THE DEEPEST TROPICAL
MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH ERIKAS REMNANTS EASTWARD. SO...THE HIGHEST
QPF SHOULD REMAIN ACROSS THE FAR EASTERN ZONES. AS FAR AS THE UPPER
LOW GOES...THE FEATURE COULD HELP KEEP CONVECTIVE PRECIP MORE
SCT/ISOLD IN THE WEST. EITHER FEATURE WILL HAVE ABUNDANT LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE TO WORK WITH.

ANOTHER BY-PRODUCT OF THE UPPER LOW WILL BE THAT TEMPS WILL STRUGGLE
TO GET OUT OF THE 80S FOR MUCH OF THE PERIOD.

NLISTEMAA

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z UPDATE...
PRIMARY CONCERN IS DEVELOPMENT OF IFR CIGS AND POSSIBLY VSBYS AS
WELL LATE TONIGHT DUE TO RESIDUAL LOW LEVEL MOISTURE...EAST SFC
WINDS AND RADIATIONAL COOLING. THESE CIGS AND VSBYS SHOULD CLEAR
BY 14-15Z. CONFIDENCE/CHC FOR SHRA/TSRA MONDAY AFTERNOON TOO LOW
TO MENTION IN FCST ATTM.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...00Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE ON IFR CIGS/VSBYS MON MORNING
HIGH CONFIDENCE ON ALL OTHER ELEMENTS

SNELSON

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          67  84  69  88 /  40  30  20  30
ATLANTA         69  85  70  88 /  30  30  10  20
BLAIRSVILLE     62  81  63  83 /  40  30  20  30
CARTERSVILLE    67  85  67  88 /  30  30  10  20
COLUMBUS        70  89  71  90 /  20  20  10  20
GAINESVILLE     67  82  69  86 /  40  30  20  30
MACON           70  87  70  89 /  20  20  10  20
ROME            67  85  67  89 /  30  30  10  20
PEACHTREE CITY  67  85  68  88 /  30  30  10  20
VIDALIA         72  86  73  89 /  40  20  20  30

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...SNELSON
LONG TERM....39
AVIATION...SNELSON




000
FXUS62 KFFC 301933
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
333 PM EDT SUN AUG 30 2015



.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
CURRENT RADAR LOOP SHOWS
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ROTATING AROUND MAIN LOW PRESSURE
CENTER ALONG THE AL/GA BORDER. THIS LOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
MOVING NORTH TO NORTHEAST AND WILL WEAKEN AS IT DOES. THE MODELS
ALSO SHOW THE MAIN AREA OF MOISTURE OVER N GA AND THE CAROLINAS
MOVING NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT. THIS WILL HELP TO END THE PRECIPITATION
OVER THE AREA BY MIDNIGHT. THERE MAY BE A FEW LEFT OVER SHOWERS
ACROSS NORTH GA BUT THATS IT. THE MODELS ARE SHOWING THE UPPER RIDGE
OVER THE NORTHERN GULF BUILDING SLIGHTLY NORTHWARD MONDAY AND THE
MOISTURE REMAINS OF ERIKA REMAINING SOUTH AND EAST OF THE FORECAST
AREA. THERE WILL STILL BE SOME MOISTURE OVER THE AREA MONDAY BUT IT
WILL BE A LOT LESS THAN TODAY. GOING WITH LOW CHANCE POPS ACROSS
NORTH AND CENTRAL GA MONDAY. INSTABILITIES EXPECTED TO BE FAIRLY
WEAK FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR SO ONLY GOING WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDER MONDAY AS WELL. THIS FITS WELL WITH SPC AS THEY CURRENTLY
HAVE US IN JUST A GENERAL THUNDERSTORM RISK FOR MONDAY. TEMPS WILL
BE IN THE 60S AND 70S FOR LOWS...AND MAINLY IN THE 80S FOR HIGHS
WITH SOME 70S IN THE NORTH GA MOUNTAINS.

01


.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EXTENDED PORTION OF THE
FORECAST. NO MAJOR CHANGES NEEDED.

THE UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL COME IN TWO FORMS FOR THE EXTENDED...AN
UPPER LOW THAT PRETTY MUCH STAYS PARKED ACROSS THE GULF
STATES/NORTHERN GOMEX AND THE REMNANTS OF ERIKA.

MODELS HAVE CONTINUED THE TREND OF SHIFTING THE DEEPEST TROPICAL
MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH ERIKAS REMNANTS EASTWARD. SO...THE HIGHEST
QPF SHOULD REMAIN ACROSS THE FAR EASTERN ZONES. AS FAR AS THE UPPER
LOW GOES...THE FEATURE COULD HELP KEEP CONVECTIVE PRECIP MORE
SCT/ISOLD IN THE WEST. EITHER FEATURE WILL HAVE ABUNDANT LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE TO WORK WITH.

ANOTHER BY-PRODUCT OF THE UPPER LOW WILL BE THAT TEMPS WILL STRUGGLE
TO GET OUT OF THE 80S FOR MUCH OF THE PERIOD.

NLISTEMAA


&&
.AVIATION...

18Z UPDATE...
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON.
CLOUD CONDITIONS ARE RANGING FROM IFR TO VFR ACROSS THE AREA BUT
THE MOST SITES ARE IN THE MVFR RANGE. SHOULD CONTINUE TO SEE MVFR
CEILINGS FOR A FEW MORE HOURS THEN LIFT TO VFR AROUND 00Z. LOWER
IFR TO MVFR CEILINGS WILL MOVE BACK IN TONIGHT. THE PRECIP SHOULD
END AROUND 090Z ALSO. OTHER THAN IN AND AROUND STRONG CONVECTION
NOT EXPECTING ANY RESTRICTIONS TO VSBYS. WINDS ARE OUT OF THE EAST
AND EXPECTED TOP STAY THERE THROUGH THE PERIOD. WIND SPEEDS WILL
BE IN THE 10-14KT RANGE THIS AFTERNOON SUBSIDING TO 10KT OR LESS
AFTER 00Z.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM TO HIGH CONFIDENCE ON ALL ELEMENTS

01

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          67  84  69  88 /  70  30  20  30
ATLANTA         69  85  70  88 /  50  30  20  20
BLAIRSVILLE     62  81  63  83 /  50  30  20  30
CARTERSVILLE    67  85  67  88 /  50  30  20  20
COLUMBUS        70  89  71  90 /  50  20  20  20
GAINESVILLE     67  82  69  86 /  70  30  20  30
MACON           70  87  70  89 /  50  30  20  20
ROME            67  85  67  89 /  50  30  20  20
PEACHTREE CITY  67  85  68  88 /  50  30  20  20
VIDALIA         72  86  73  89 /  70  40  30  30

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...01
LONG TERM....NLISTEMAA
AVIATION...01





000
FXUS62 KFFC 301933
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
333 PM EDT SUN AUG 30 2015



.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
CURRENT RADAR LOOP SHOWS
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ROTATING AROUND MAIN LOW PRESSURE
CENTER ALONG THE AL/GA BORDER. THIS LOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
MOVING NORTH TO NORTHEAST AND WILL WEAKEN AS IT DOES. THE MODELS
ALSO SHOW THE MAIN AREA OF MOISTURE OVER N GA AND THE CAROLINAS
MOVING NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT. THIS WILL HELP TO END THE PRECIPITATION
OVER THE AREA BY MIDNIGHT. THERE MAY BE A FEW LEFT OVER SHOWERS
ACROSS NORTH GA BUT THATS IT. THE MODELS ARE SHOWING THE UPPER RIDGE
OVER THE NORTHERN GULF BUILDING SLIGHTLY NORTHWARD MONDAY AND THE
MOISTURE REMAINS OF ERIKA REMAINING SOUTH AND EAST OF THE FORECAST
AREA. THERE WILL STILL BE SOME MOISTURE OVER THE AREA MONDAY BUT IT
WILL BE A LOT LESS THAN TODAY. GOING WITH LOW CHANCE POPS ACROSS
NORTH AND CENTRAL GA MONDAY. INSTABILITIES EXPECTED TO BE FAIRLY
WEAK FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR SO ONLY GOING WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDER MONDAY AS WELL. THIS FITS WELL WITH SPC AS THEY CURRENTLY
HAVE US IN JUST A GENERAL THUNDERSTORM RISK FOR MONDAY. TEMPS WILL
BE IN THE 60S AND 70S FOR LOWS...AND MAINLY IN THE 80S FOR HIGHS
WITH SOME 70S IN THE NORTH GA MOUNTAINS.

01


.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EXTENDED PORTION OF THE
FORECAST. NO MAJOR CHANGES NEEDED.

THE UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL COME IN TWO FORMS FOR THE EXTENDED...AN
UPPER LOW THAT PRETTY MUCH STAYS PARKED ACROSS THE GULF
STATES/NORTHERN GOMEX AND THE REMNANTS OF ERIKA.

MODELS HAVE CONTINUED THE TREND OF SHIFTING THE DEEPEST TROPICAL
MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH ERIKAS REMNANTS EASTWARD. SO...THE HIGHEST
QPF SHOULD REMAIN ACROSS THE FAR EASTERN ZONES. AS FAR AS THE UPPER
LOW GOES...THE FEATURE COULD HELP KEEP CONVECTIVE PRECIP MORE
SCT/ISOLD IN THE WEST. EITHER FEATURE WILL HAVE ABUNDANT LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE TO WORK WITH.

ANOTHER BY-PRODUCT OF THE UPPER LOW WILL BE THAT TEMPS WILL STRUGGLE
TO GET OUT OF THE 80S FOR MUCH OF THE PERIOD.

NLISTEMAA


&&
.AVIATION...

18Z UPDATE...
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON.
CLOUD CONDITIONS ARE RANGING FROM IFR TO VFR ACROSS THE AREA BUT
THE MOST SITES ARE IN THE MVFR RANGE. SHOULD CONTINUE TO SEE MVFR
CEILINGS FOR A FEW MORE HOURS THEN LIFT TO VFR AROUND 00Z. LOWER
IFR TO MVFR CEILINGS WILL MOVE BACK IN TONIGHT. THE PRECIP SHOULD
END AROUND 090Z ALSO. OTHER THAN IN AND AROUND STRONG CONVECTION
NOT EXPECTING ANY RESTRICTIONS TO VSBYS. WINDS ARE OUT OF THE EAST
AND EXPECTED TOP STAY THERE THROUGH THE PERIOD. WIND SPEEDS WILL
BE IN THE 10-14KT RANGE THIS AFTERNOON SUBSIDING TO 10KT OR LESS
AFTER 00Z.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM TO HIGH CONFIDENCE ON ALL ELEMENTS

01

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          67  84  69  88 /  70  30  20  30
ATLANTA         69  85  70  88 /  50  30  20  20
BLAIRSVILLE     62  81  63  83 /  50  30  20  30
CARTERSVILLE    67  85  67  88 /  50  30  20  20
COLUMBUS        70  89  71  90 /  50  20  20  20
GAINESVILLE     67  82  69  86 /  70  30  20  30
MACON           70  87  70  89 /  50  30  20  20
ROME            67  85  67  89 /  50  30  20  20
PEACHTREE CITY  67  85  68  88 /  50  30  20  20
VIDALIA         72  86  73  89 /  70  40  30  30

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...01
LONG TERM....NLISTEMAA
AVIATION...01




000
FXUS62 KFFC 301834
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
234 PM EDT SUN AUG 30 2015



.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 700 AM EDT SUN AUG 30 2015/

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 334 AM EDT SUN AUG 30 2015/

LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...

WITH ERIKA DISSIPATED...FORECAST IS A LITTLE MORE STRAIGHT FORWARD
BUT NOT WITHOUT SOME UNCERTAINTY. AT LEAST FOR THE INITIAL PORTION
ON TUESDAY...MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN SHOWING A SIGNIFICANT
ZONE OF MID LEVEL DRY AIR RESIDING OVER MOST OF THE ARE WHICH
SHOULD LIMIT POPS TO LOW END CHANCE AT BEST AND CONFINED MAINLY TO
THE MOUNTAINS AND EXTREME SOUTHERN TIER.

THE BIG QUESTION THROUGH THE EXTENDED WILL BE WHEN DOES THE DEEP
TROPICAL MOISTURE FROM REMNANT ERIKA ARRIVE. ALL INDICATIONS FROM
THE LONG TERM MODELS ARE THAT IT WILL BE A WHILE AS MOISTURE GETS
TO THE SOUTHERN FRINGE OF THE CWA AND PUTS ON THE BRAKES FOR A
WHILE. SHARP POP GRADIENT IS THE RESULT WITH NEAR LIKELY FOR MY
FAR SOUTHERN ZONES AND LITTLE IF ANYTHING FROM THE ATLANTA METRO
NORTHWARD AS AREA IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF 593DM HIGH THROUGH
LATE WEDNESDAY.

UPPER RIDGE BREAKS DOWN ON THU WITH SOME SHORTWAVE ENERGY ARRIVING
FROM THE SW. DEEPER MOISTURE THOUGH IS STILL LACKING AND HANGING
OUT AROUND THE FLORIDA/GEORGIA LINE SO WILL NOT HAVE MUCH MORE
THAN MID RANGE CHANCE POPS DURING THIS TIME PERIOD.`

FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE EXTENDED...HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN OVER
THE NE STATES LATE IN THE WEEK AND RIDGES DOWN THE EAST SIDE OF
THE APPALACHIANS PROVIDING FOR A WEDGE TYPE SCENARIO FOR US AND
SHUNTING MOISTURE FROM ERIKA WEST OF THE AREA AND AVOIDS ANY HEAVY
RAIN SCENARIOS FOR OUR AREA WITH THIS MODEL RUN. IT SHOULD BE
NOTED THAT DEEP MOISTURE IS RIGHT ON OUR DOORSTEP THIS ENTIRE
PERIOD AND IT WILL NOT TAKE MUCH NORTHWARD MOVEMENT FOR OUR
SOUTHERN TIER TO EXPERIENCE SOME SIGNIFICANT RAINS WITH THIS
ALTERNATIVE SOLUTION.

DEESE

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z UPDATE...
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON.
CLOUD CONDITIONS ARE RANGING FROM IFR TO VFR ACROSS THE AREA BUT
THE MOST SITES ARE IN THE MVFR RANGE. SHOULD CONTINUE TO SEE MVFR
CEILINGS FOR A FEW MORE HOURS THEN LIFT TO VFR AROUND 00Z. LOWER
IFR TO MVFR CEILINGS WILL MOVE BACK IN TONIGHT. THE PRECIP SHOULD
END AROUND 090Z ALSO. OTHER THAN IN AND AROUND STRONG CONVECTION
NOT EXPECTING ANY RESTRICTIONS TO VSBYS. WINDS ARE OUT OF THE EAST
AND EXPECTED TOP STAY THERE THROUGH THE PERIOD. WIND SPEEDS WILL
BE IN THE 10-14KT RANGE THIS AFTERNOON SUBSIDING TO 10KT OR LESS
AFTER 00Z.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM TO HIGH CONFIDENCE ON ALL ELEMENTS

01

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          81  67  84  69 /  90  70  30  20
ATLANTA         79  69  85  70 /  90  50  30  20
BLAIRSVILLE     75  62  81  63 /  90  50  30  20
CARTERSVILLE    80  67  85  67 /  90  50  30  20
COLUMBUS        84  70  89  71 /  90  50  20  20
GAINESVILLE     78  67  82  69 /  90  70  30  20
MACON           83  70  87  70 /  90  50  30  20
ROME            79  67  85  67 /  90  50  30  20
PEACHTREE CITY  79  67  85  68 /  90  50  30  20
VIDALIA         83  72  86  73 /  90  70  40  30

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...01
LONG TERM....NLISTEMAA
AVIATION...01




000
FXUS62 KFFC 301834
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
234 PM EDT SUN AUG 30 2015



.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 700 AM EDT SUN AUG 30 2015/

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 334 AM EDT SUN AUG 30 2015/

LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...

WITH ERIKA DISSIPATED...FORECAST IS A LITTLE MORE STRAIGHT FORWARD
BUT NOT WITHOUT SOME UNCERTAINTY. AT LEAST FOR THE INITIAL PORTION
ON TUESDAY...MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN SHOWING A SIGNIFICANT
ZONE OF MID LEVEL DRY AIR RESIDING OVER MOST OF THE ARE WHICH
SHOULD LIMIT POPS TO LOW END CHANCE AT BEST AND CONFINED MAINLY TO
THE MOUNTAINS AND EXTREME SOUTHERN TIER.

THE BIG QUESTION THROUGH THE EXTENDED WILL BE WHEN DOES THE DEEP
TROPICAL MOISTURE FROM REMNANT ERIKA ARRIVE. ALL INDICATIONS FROM
THE LONG TERM MODELS ARE THAT IT WILL BE A WHILE AS MOISTURE GETS
TO THE SOUTHERN FRINGE OF THE CWA AND PUTS ON THE BRAKES FOR A
WHILE. SHARP POP GRADIENT IS THE RESULT WITH NEAR LIKELY FOR MY
FAR SOUTHERN ZONES AND LITTLE IF ANYTHING FROM THE ATLANTA METRO
NORTHWARD AS AREA IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF 593DM HIGH THROUGH
LATE WEDNESDAY.

UPPER RIDGE BREAKS DOWN ON THU WITH SOME SHORTWAVE ENERGY ARRIVING
FROM THE SW. DEEPER MOISTURE THOUGH IS STILL LACKING AND HANGING
OUT AROUND THE FLORIDA/GEORGIA LINE SO WILL NOT HAVE MUCH MORE
THAN MID RANGE CHANCE POPS DURING THIS TIME PERIOD.`

FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE EXTENDED...HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN OVER
THE NE STATES LATE IN THE WEEK AND RIDGES DOWN THE EAST SIDE OF
THE APPALACHIANS PROVIDING FOR A WEDGE TYPE SCENARIO FOR US AND
SHUNTING MOISTURE FROM ERIKA WEST OF THE AREA AND AVOIDS ANY HEAVY
RAIN SCENARIOS FOR OUR AREA WITH THIS MODEL RUN. IT SHOULD BE
NOTED THAT DEEP MOISTURE IS RIGHT ON OUR DOORSTEP THIS ENTIRE
PERIOD AND IT WILL NOT TAKE MUCH NORTHWARD MOVEMENT FOR OUR
SOUTHERN TIER TO EXPERIENCE SOME SIGNIFICANT RAINS WITH THIS
ALTERNATIVE SOLUTION.

DEESE

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z UPDATE...
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON.
CLOUD CONDITIONS ARE RANGING FROM IFR TO VFR ACROSS THE AREA BUT
THE MOST SITES ARE IN THE MVFR RANGE. SHOULD CONTINUE TO SEE MVFR
CEILINGS FOR A FEW MORE HOURS THEN LIFT TO VFR AROUND 00Z. LOWER
IFR TO MVFR CEILINGS WILL MOVE BACK IN TONIGHT. THE PRECIP SHOULD
END AROUND 090Z ALSO. OTHER THAN IN AND AROUND STRONG CONVECTION
NOT EXPECTING ANY RESTRICTIONS TO VSBYS. WINDS ARE OUT OF THE EAST
AND EXPECTED TOP STAY THERE THROUGH THE PERIOD. WIND SPEEDS WILL
BE IN THE 10-14KT RANGE THIS AFTERNOON SUBSIDING TO 10KT OR LESS
AFTER 00Z.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM TO HIGH CONFIDENCE ON ALL ELEMENTS

01

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          81  67  84  69 /  90  70  30  20
ATLANTA         79  69  85  70 /  90  50  30  20
BLAIRSVILLE     75  62  81  63 /  90  50  30  20
CARTERSVILLE    80  67  85  67 /  90  50  30  20
COLUMBUS        84  70  89  71 /  90  50  20  20
GAINESVILLE     78  67  82  69 /  90  70  30  20
MACON           83  70  87  70 /  90  50  30  20
ROME            79  67  85  67 /  90  50  30  20
PEACHTREE CITY  79  67  85  68 /  90  50  30  20
VIDALIA         83  72  86  73 /  90  70  40  30

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...01
LONG TERM....NLISTEMAA
AVIATION...01





000
FXUS62 KFFC 301834
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
234 PM EDT SUN AUG 30 2015



.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 700 AM EDT SUN AUG 30 2015/

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 334 AM EDT SUN AUG 30 2015/

LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...

WITH ERIKA DISSIPATED...FORECAST IS A LITTLE MORE STRAIGHT FORWARD
BUT NOT WITHOUT SOME UNCERTAINTY. AT LEAST FOR THE INITIAL PORTION
ON TUESDAY...MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN SHOWING A SIGNIFICANT
ZONE OF MID LEVEL DRY AIR RESIDING OVER MOST OF THE ARE WHICH
SHOULD LIMIT POPS TO LOW END CHANCE AT BEST AND CONFINED MAINLY TO
THE MOUNTAINS AND EXTREME SOUTHERN TIER.

THE BIG QUESTION THROUGH THE EXTENDED WILL BE WHEN DOES THE DEEP
TROPICAL MOISTURE FROM REMNANT ERIKA ARRIVE. ALL INDICATIONS FROM
THE LONG TERM MODELS ARE THAT IT WILL BE A WHILE AS MOISTURE GETS
TO THE SOUTHERN FRINGE OF THE CWA AND PUTS ON THE BRAKES FOR A
WHILE. SHARP POP GRADIENT IS THE RESULT WITH NEAR LIKELY FOR MY
FAR SOUTHERN ZONES AND LITTLE IF ANYTHING FROM THE ATLANTA METRO
NORTHWARD AS AREA IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF 593DM HIGH THROUGH
LATE WEDNESDAY.

UPPER RIDGE BREAKS DOWN ON THU WITH SOME SHORTWAVE ENERGY ARRIVING
FROM THE SW. DEEPER MOISTURE THOUGH IS STILL LACKING AND HANGING
OUT AROUND THE FLORIDA/GEORGIA LINE SO WILL NOT HAVE MUCH MORE
THAN MID RANGE CHANCE POPS DURING THIS TIME PERIOD.`

FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE EXTENDED...HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN OVER
THE NE STATES LATE IN THE WEEK AND RIDGES DOWN THE EAST SIDE OF
THE APPALACHIANS PROVIDING FOR A WEDGE TYPE SCENARIO FOR US AND
SHUNTING MOISTURE FROM ERIKA WEST OF THE AREA AND AVOIDS ANY HEAVY
RAIN SCENARIOS FOR OUR AREA WITH THIS MODEL RUN. IT SHOULD BE
NOTED THAT DEEP MOISTURE IS RIGHT ON OUR DOORSTEP THIS ENTIRE
PERIOD AND IT WILL NOT TAKE MUCH NORTHWARD MOVEMENT FOR OUR
SOUTHERN TIER TO EXPERIENCE SOME SIGNIFICANT RAINS WITH THIS
ALTERNATIVE SOLUTION.

DEESE

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z UPDATE...
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON.
CLOUD CONDITIONS ARE RANGING FROM IFR TO VFR ACROSS THE AREA BUT
THE MOST SITES ARE IN THE MVFR RANGE. SHOULD CONTINUE TO SEE MVFR
CEILINGS FOR A FEW MORE HOURS THEN LIFT TO VFR AROUND 00Z. LOWER
IFR TO MVFR CEILINGS WILL MOVE BACK IN TONIGHT. THE PRECIP SHOULD
END AROUND 090Z ALSO. OTHER THAN IN AND AROUND STRONG CONVECTION
NOT EXPECTING ANY RESTRICTIONS TO VSBYS. WINDS ARE OUT OF THE EAST
AND EXPECTED TOP STAY THERE THROUGH THE PERIOD. WIND SPEEDS WILL
BE IN THE 10-14KT RANGE THIS AFTERNOON SUBSIDING TO 10KT OR LESS
AFTER 00Z.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM TO HIGH CONFIDENCE ON ALL ELEMENTS

01

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          81  67  84  69 /  90  70  30  20
ATLANTA         79  69  85  70 /  90  50  30  20
BLAIRSVILLE     75  62  81  63 /  90  50  30  20
CARTERSVILLE    80  67  85  67 /  90  50  30  20
COLUMBUS        84  70  89  71 /  90  50  20  20
GAINESVILLE     78  67  82  69 /  90  70  30  20
MACON           83  70  87  70 /  90  50  30  20
ROME            79  67  85  67 /  90  50  30  20
PEACHTREE CITY  79  67  85  68 /  90  50  30  20
VIDALIA         83  72  86  73 /  90  70  40  30

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...01
LONG TERM....NLISTEMAA
AVIATION...01




000
FXUS62 KFFC 301834
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
234 PM EDT SUN AUG 30 2015



.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 700 AM EDT SUN AUG 30 2015/

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 334 AM EDT SUN AUG 30 2015/

LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...

WITH ERIKA DISSIPATED...FORECAST IS A LITTLE MORE STRAIGHT FORWARD
BUT NOT WITHOUT SOME UNCERTAINTY. AT LEAST FOR THE INITIAL PORTION
ON TUESDAY...MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN SHOWING A SIGNIFICANT
ZONE OF MID LEVEL DRY AIR RESIDING OVER MOST OF THE ARE WHICH
SHOULD LIMIT POPS TO LOW END CHANCE AT BEST AND CONFINED MAINLY TO
THE MOUNTAINS AND EXTREME SOUTHERN TIER.

THE BIG QUESTION THROUGH THE EXTENDED WILL BE WHEN DOES THE DEEP
TROPICAL MOISTURE FROM REMNANT ERIKA ARRIVE. ALL INDICATIONS FROM
THE LONG TERM MODELS ARE THAT IT WILL BE A WHILE AS MOISTURE GETS
TO THE SOUTHERN FRINGE OF THE CWA AND PUTS ON THE BRAKES FOR A
WHILE. SHARP POP GRADIENT IS THE RESULT WITH NEAR LIKELY FOR MY
FAR SOUTHERN ZONES AND LITTLE IF ANYTHING FROM THE ATLANTA METRO
NORTHWARD AS AREA IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF 593DM HIGH THROUGH
LATE WEDNESDAY.

UPPER RIDGE BREAKS DOWN ON THU WITH SOME SHORTWAVE ENERGY ARRIVING
FROM THE SW. DEEPER MOISTURE THOUGH IS STILL LACKING AND HANGING
OUT AROUND THE FLORIDA/GEORGIA LINE SO WILL NOT HAVE MUCH MORE
THAN MID RANGE CHANCE POPS DURING THIS TIME PERIOD.`

FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE EXTENDED...HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN OVER
THE NE STATES LATE IN THE WEEK AND RIDGES DOWN THE EAST SIDE OF
THE APPALACHIANS PROVIDING FOR A WEDGE TYPE SCENARIO FOR US AND
SHUNTING MOISTURE FROM ERIKA WEST OF THE AREA AND AVOIDS ANY HEAVY
RAIN SCENARIOS FOR OUR AREA WITH THIS MODEL RUN. IT SHOULD BE
NOTED THAT DEEP MOISTURE IS RIGHT ON OUR DOORSTEP THIS ENTIRE
PERIOD AND IT WILL NOT TAKE MUCH NORTHWARD MOVEMENT FOR OUR
SOUTHERN TIER TO EXPERIENCE SOME SIGNIFICANT RAINS WITH THIS
ALTERNATIVE SOLUTION.

DEESE

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z UPDATE...
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON.
CLOUD CONDITIONS ARE RANGING FROM IFR TO VFR ACROSS THE AREA BUT
THE MOST SITES ARE IN THE MVFR RANGE. SHOULD CONTINUE TO SEE MVFR
CEILINGS FOR A FEW MORE HOURS THEN LIFT TO VFR AROUND 00Z. LOWER
IFR TO MVFR CEILINGS WILL MOVE BACK IN TONIGHT. THE PRECIP SHOULD
END AROUND 090Z ALSO. OTHER THAN IN AND AROUND STRONG CONVECTION
NOT EXPECTING ANY RESTRICTIONS TO VSBYS. WINDS ARE OUT OF THE EAST
AND EXPECTED TOP STAY THERE THROUGH THE PERIOD. WIND SPEEDS WILL
BE IN THE 10-14KT RANGE THIS AFTERNOON SUBSIDING TO 10KT OR LESS
AFTER 00Z.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM TO HIGH CONFIDENCE ON ALL ELEMENTS

01

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          81  67  84  69 /  90  70  30  20
ATLANTA         79  69  85  70 /  90  50  30  20
BLAIRSVILLE     75  62  81  63 /  90  50  30  20
CARTERSVILLE    80  67  85  67 /  90  50  30  20
COLUMBUS        84  70  89  71 /  90  50  20  20
GAINESVILLE     78  67  82  69 /  90  70  30  20
MACON           83  70  87  70 /  90  50  30  20
ROME            79  67  85  67 /  90  50  30  20
PEACHTREE CITY  79  67  85  68 /  90  50  30  20
VIDALIA         83  72  86  73 /  90  70  40  30

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...01
LONG TERM....NLISTEMAA
AVIATION...01





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