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000
FXUS65 KFGZ 082200
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
300 PM MST MON FEB 8 2016

.SYNOPSIS...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE WESTERN
STATES THROUGH THIS WEEKEND. LOOK FOR CLEAR SKIES AND WARMER
WEATHER FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE 10 TO 15
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...EXPECT DRY WEATHER AND MILD, SPRING-LIKE
TEMPERATURES ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA THROUGH AT LEAST NEXT
SUNDAY. A STRONG RIDGE OVER THE WEST COAST TODAY WILL GRADUALLY
SHIFT OVER THE SOUTHWEST WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. AS THIS
HAPPENS, THE PERSISTENT NORTHEAST FLOW THAT HAS LIMITED DAYTIME
TEMPERATURES (TO AT OR JUST ABOVE NORMAL) FROM THE MOGOLLON RIM
NORTHWARD WILL WEAKEN. THIS SHOULD ALLOW FOR THESE AREAS TO WARM
TO 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL, JOINING YAVAPAI AND GILA COUNTIES
WHICH HAVE ALREADY BEEN EXPERIENCING THESE MILD TEMPERATURES.
BY NEXT MONDAY, GFS AND QUITE A FEW OF ITS ENSEMBLE MEMBERS ARE
PULLING MOISTURE NORTHWARD AHEAD OF A CUTOFF LOW OFF THE BAJA,
GENERATING SOME PRECIP OVER THE STATE. MOST OTHER GUIDANCE IS NOT
INDICATING THIS SCENARIO AT THIS TIME, SO WE DID NOT MENTION RAIN
IN THE FORECAST FOR NOW, JUST INCREASED CLOUDS A BIT.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 00Z PACKAGE...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS UNDER
CLEAR SKIES FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SFC WINDS NORTHEASTERLY
10-20KTS OVER AND JUST DOWNWIND OF HIGHER TERRAIN...10KTS OR LESS
MOST OTHER AREAS. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR TAF
AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...JJ
AVIATION...JJ

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF





000
FXUS65 KFGZ 081626
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
926 AM MST MON FEB 8 2016

.SYNOPSIS...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE WESTERN
STATES THROUGH THIS WEEKEND. LOOK FOR CLEAR SKIES AND WARMER
WEATHER FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE 10 TO 15
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FROM TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

.UPDATE...BREEZY NORTHEAST WINDS CONTINUE ALONG/SOUTH OF THE
HIGHER TERRAIN INCLUDING FLAGSTAFF, SEDONA AND PAYSON. EXPECT
THESE WINDS TO PEAK DURING THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON THEN
SLOWLY DECREASE LATER IN THE AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE, SLIGHTLY WARMER
CONDITIONS AND CONTINUED CLEAR SKIES TODAY WITH NO SIGNIFICANT
FORECAST UPDATES NEEDED.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION /343 AM MST/...

EXPECT DRY WEATHER ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA THROUGH AT LEAST NEXT
SUNDAY. CLEAR SKIES ARE SEEN OVER NORTHERN AZ THIS MORNING. BREEZY
NORTHEAST WIND SPEEDS HAVE RETURNED TO THE MOGOLLON RIM AS THE SFC
PRESSURE GRADIENT INCREASED OVERNIGHT. WIND SPEEDS ALONG AND SOUTH
OF THE RIM TO PEAK THIS MORNING THEN SLOWLY DECREASE THROUGH
TUESDAY NIGHT. THESE WINDS TO KEEP MAX TEMPS TEMPERATURES
ALONG/NORTH OF THE MOGOLLON RIM AROUND 5 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL
TODAY WHILE TEMPERATURES SOUTH OF THE RIM REACH 10-15 DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL. FROM WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY, THE RIDGE MOVES
TOWARD THE STATE WITH LIGHT SFC WINDS WINDS SHIFTING TO WEST OR
SOUTHWEST. TEMPERATURES AREA WIDE SHOULD BE 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 18Z PACKAGE...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS UNDER
CLEAR SKIES FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SFC WINDS NORTHEASTERLY
10-20KTS OVER AND JUST DOWNWIND OF HIGHER TERRAIN...10KTS OR LESS
MOST OTHER AREAS. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR TAF
AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...JJ/DL
AVIATION...JJ

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF




000
FXUS65 KFGZ 081626
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
926 AM MST MON FEB 8 2016

.SYNOPSIS...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE WESTERN
STATES THROUGH THIS WEEKEND. LOOK FOR CLEAR SKIES AND WARMER
WEATHER FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE 10 TO 15
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FROM TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

.UPDATE...BREEZY NORTHEAST WINDS CONTINUE ALONG/SOUTH OF THE
HIGHER TERRAIN INCLUDING FLAGSTAFF, SEDONA AND PAYSON. EXPECT
THESE WINDS TO PEAK DURING THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON THEN
SLOWLY DECREASE LATER IN THE AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE, SLIGHTLY WARMER
CONDITIONS AND CONTINUED CLEAR SKIES TODAY WITH NO SIGNIFICANT
FORECAST UPDATES NEEDED.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION /343 AM MST/...

EXPECT DRY WEATHER ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA THROUGH AT LEAST NEXT
SUNDAY. CLEAR SKIES ARE SEEN OVER NORTHERN AZ THIS MORNING. BREEZY
NORTHEAST WIND SPEEDS HAVE RETURNED TO THE MOGOLLON RIM AS THE SFC
PRESSURE GRADIENT INCREASED OVERNIGHT. WIND SPEEDS ALONG AND SOUTH
OF THE RIM TO PEAK THIS MORNING THEN SLOWLY DECREASE THROUGH
TUESDAY NIGHT. THESE WINDS TO KEEP MAX TEMPS TEMPERATURES
ALONG/NORTH OF THE MOGOLLON RIM AROUND 5 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL
TODAY WHILE TEMPERATURES SOUTH OF THE RIM REACH 10-15 DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL. FROM WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY, THE RIDGE MOVES
TOWARD THE STATE WITH LIGHT SFC WINDS WINDS SHIFTING TO WEST OR
SOUTHWEST. TEMPERATURES AREA WIDE SHOULD BE 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 18Z PACKAGE...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS UNDER
CLEAR SKIES FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SFC WINDS NORTHEASTERLY
10-20KTS OVER AND JUST DOWNWIND OF HIGHER TERRAIN...10KTS OR LESS
MOST OTHER AREAS. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR TAF
AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...JJ/DL
AVIATION...JJ

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF





000
FXUS65 KFGZ 081626
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
926 AM MST MON FEB 8 2016

.SYNOPSIS...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE WESTERN
STATES THROUGH THIS WEEKEND. LOOK FOR CLEAR SKIES AND WARMER
WEATHER FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE 10 TO 15
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FROM TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

.UPDATE...BREEZY NORTHEAST WINDS CONTINUE ALONG/SOUTH OF THE
HIGHER TERRAIN INCLUDING FLAGSTAFF, SEDONA AND PAYSON. EXPECT
THESE WINDS TO PEAK DURING THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON THEN
SLOWLY DECREASE LATER IN THE AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE, SLIGHTLY WARMER
CONDITIONS AND CONTINUED CLEAR SKIES TODAY WITH NO SIGNIFICANT
FORECAST UPDATES NEEDED.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION /343 AM MST/...

EXPECT DRY WEATHER ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA THROUGH AT LEAST NEXT
SUNDAY. CLEAR SKIES ARE SEEN OVER NORTHERN AZ THIS MORNING. BREEZY
NORTHEAST WIND SPEEDS HAVE RETURNED TO THE MOGOLLON RIM AS THE SFC
PRESSURE GRADIENT INCREASED OVERNIGHT. WIND SPEEDS ALONG AND SOUTH
OF THE RIM TO PEAK THIS MORNING THEN SLOWLY DECREASE THROUGH
TUESDAY NIGHT. THESE WINDS TO KEEP MAX TEMPS TEMPERATURES
ALONG/NORTH OF THE MOGOLLON RIM AROUND 5 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL
TODAY WHILE TEMPERATURES SOUTH OF THE RIM REACH 10-15 DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL. FROM WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY, THE RIDGE MOVES
TOWARD THE STATE WITH LIGHT SFC WINDS WINDS SHIFTING TO WEST OR
SOUTHWEST. TEMPERATURES AREA WIDE SHOULD BE 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 18Z PACKAGE...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS UNDER
CLEAR SKIES FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SFC WINDS NORTHEASTERLY
10-20KTS OVER AND JUST DOWNWIND OF HIGHER TERRAIN...10KTS OR LESS
MOST OTHER AREAS. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR TAF
AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...JJ/DL
AVIATION...JJ

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF





000
FXUS65 KFGZ 081043
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
343 AM MST MON FEB 8 2016

.SYNOPSIS...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE WESTERN
STATES THROUGH THIS WEEKEND. LOOK FOR CLEAR SKIES AND WARMER
WEATHER FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE 10 TO 15
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FROM TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

EXPECT DRY WEATHER ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA THROUGH AT LEAST NEXT
SUNDAY. CLEAR SKIES ARE SEEN OVER NORTHERN AZ THIS MORNING.
BREEZY NORTHEAST WIND SPEEDS HAVE RETURNED TO THE MOGOLLON RIM AS
THE SFC PRESSURE GRADIENT INCREASED OVERNIGHT. WIND SPEEDS ALONG
AND SOUTH OF THE RIM TO PEAK THIS MORNING THEN SLOWLY DECREASE
THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. THESE WINDS TO KEEP MAX TEMPS TEMPERATURES
ALONG/NORTH OF THE MOGOLLON RIM AROUND 5 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL
TODAY WHILE TEMPERATURES SOUTH OF THE RIM REACH 10-15 DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL. FROM WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY, THE RIDGE MOVES
TOWARD THE STATE WITH LIGHT SFC WINDS WINDS SHIFTING TO WEST OR
SOUTHWEST. TEMPERATURES AREA WIDE SHOULD BE 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 12Z PACKAGE...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS UNDER CLEAR
SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS FOR 24 HOUR PERIOD. SFC WINDS LIGHT AND
VARIABLE MOST PLACES...NORTHEASTERLY 5-15KTS OVER AND JUST DOWNWIND
OF HIGHER TERRAIN. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR TAF
AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...DL
AVIATION...PETERSON


FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF





000
FXUS65 KFGZ 081043
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
343 AM MST MON FEB 8 2016

.SYNOPSIS...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE WESTERN
STATES THROUGH THIS WEEKEND. LOOK FOR CLEAR SKIES AND WARMER
WEATHER FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE 10 TO 15
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FROM TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

EXPECT DRY WEATHER ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA THROUGH AT LEAST NEXT
SUNDAY. CLEAR SKIES ARE SEEN OVER NORTHERN AZ THIS MORNING.
BREEZY NORTHEAST WIND SPEEDS HAVE RETURNED TO THE MOGOLLON RIM AS
THE SFC PRESSURE GRADIENT INCREASED OVERNIGHT. WIND SPEEDS ALONG
AND SOUTH OF THE RIM TO PEAK THIS MORNING THEN SLOWLY DECREASE
THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. THESE WINDS TO KEEP MAX TEMPS TEMPERATURES
ALONG/NORTH OF THE MOGOLLON RIM AROUND 5 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL
TODAY WHILE TEMPERATURES SOUTH OF THE RIM REACH 10-15 DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL. FROM WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY, THE RIDGE MOVES
TOWARD THE STATE WITH LIGHT SFC WINDS WINDS SHIFTING TO WEST OR
SOUTHWEST. TEMPERATURES AREA WIDE SHOULD BE 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 12Z PACKAGE...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS UNDER CLEAR
SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS FOR 24 HOUR PERIOD. SFC WINDS LIGHT AND
VARIABLE MOST PLACES...NORTHEASTERLY 5-15KTS OVER AND JUST DOWNWIND
OF HIGHER TERRAIN. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR TAF
AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...DL
AVIATION...PETERSON


FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF




000
FXUS65 KFGZ 081043
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
343 AM MST MON FEB 8 2016

.SYNOPSIS...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE WESTERN
STATES THROUGH THIS WEEKEND. LOOK FOR CLEAR SKIES AND WARMER
WEATHER FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE 10 TO 15
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FROM TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

EXPECT DRY WEATHER ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA THROUGH AT LEAST NEXT
SUNDAY. CLEAR SKIES ARE SEEN OVER NORTHERN AZ THIS MORNING.
BREEZY NORTHEAST WIND SPEEDS HAVE RETURNED TO THE MOGOLLON RIM AS
THE SFC PRESSURE GRADIENT INCREASED OVERNIGHT. WIND SPEEDS ALONG
AND SOUTH OF THE RIM TO PEAK THIS MORNING THEN SLOWLY DECREASE
THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. THESE WINDS TO KEEP MAX TEMPS TEMPERATURES
ALONG/NORTH OF THE MOGOLLON RIM AROUND 5 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL
TODAY WHILE TEMPERATURES SOUTH OF THE RIM REACH 10-15 DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL. FROM WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY, THE RIDGE MOVES
TOWARD THE STATE WITH LIGHT SFC WINDS WINDS SHIFTING TO WEST OR
SOUTHWEST. TEMPERATURES AREA WIDE SHOULD BE 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 12Z PACKAGE...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS UNDER CLEAR
SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS FOR 24 HOUR PERIOD. SFC WINDS LIGHT AND
VARIABLE MOST PLACES...NORTHEASTERLY 5-15KTS OVER AND JUST DOWNWIND
OF HIGHER TERRAIN. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR TAF
AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...DL
AVIATION...PETERSON


FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF





000
FXUS65 KFGZ 080336
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
836 PM MST SUN FEB 7 2016

.SYNOPSIS...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE WEST COAST
THROUGH NEXT WEEK...LEADING TO A PERIOD OF MOSTLY CLEAR AND WARMER
WEATHER FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE 10 TO 15
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FROM TUESDAY THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...FORECAST GENERALLY IN GOOD SHAPE THIS EVENING EXCEPT
FOR A FEW TOUCH-UPS FOR LOCALLY GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS. ADJUSTED
THE FORECAST PACKAGE ACCORDINGLY.

A STRONG RIDGE CONTINUES TO BUILD ALONG THE WEST COAST THIS
EVENING WITH CLEAR SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA. NORTHEAST
BREEZES WILL CONTINUE AT TIMES THROUGH TUESDAY AS THE CENTER OF
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS JUST WEST OF THE STATE. THIS WILL KEEP
DAYTIME TEMPERATURES ALONG/NORTH OF THE MOGOLLON RIM JUST A FEW
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL WHILE TEMPERATURES SOUTH OF THE RIM REACH
10-15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY, THE RIDGE
MOVES TOWARD THE STATE WITH WINDS SHIFTING TO WEST OR SOUTHWEST.
TEMPERATURES AREA WIDE SHOULD BE 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 06Z PACKAGE...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS UNDER
CLEAR SKIES FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SURFACE WINDS LIGHT AND
VARIABLE MOST PLACES...EXCEPT NORTHEASTERLY 10-15 KTS WITH LOCAL
GUSTS NEAR 20 KTS OVER AND JUST DOWNWIND OF HIGHER TERRAIN.
AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR TAF AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...MCCOLLUM/JJ
AVIATION...MCCOLLUM/JJ


FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF





000
FXUS65 KFGZ 072050
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
150 PM MST SUN FEB 7 2016

.SYNOPSIS...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE WEST COAST
THROUGH NEXT WEEK...LEADING TO A PERIOD OF MOSTLY CLEAR AND WARMER
WEATHER FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE 10 TO 15
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FROM TUESDAY THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...A STRONG RIDGE CONTINUES TO BUILD ALONG THE WEST
COAST TODAY WITH SUNNY SKIES ACROSS ARIZONA. TEMPERATURES THIS
AFTERNOON HAVE RISEN SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL SOUTH OF THE
MOGOLLON RIM INCLUDING PAYSON AND PRESCOTT. ALONG AND ESPECIALLY
NORTH OF THE RIM, TEMPERATURES ARE NEAR TO A FEW DEGREES BELOW
NORMAL DUE TO A COOL NORTHEAST FLOW. THESE NORTHEAST BREEZES WILL
CONTINUE AT TIMES THROUGH TUESDAY AS THE CENTER OF HIGH PRESSURE
REMAINS JUST WEST OF THE STATE. THIS WILL KEEP DAYTIME
TEMPERATURES ALONG/NORTH OF THE MOGOLLON RIM JUST A FEW DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL WHILE TEMPERATURES SOUTH OF THE RIM REACH 10-15
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY, THE RIDGE MOVES
TOWARD THE STATE WITH WINDS SHIFTING TO WEST OR SOUTHWEST.
TEMPERATURES AREA WIDE SHOULD BE 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 00Z PACKAGE...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS UNDER
CLEAR SKIES FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SFC WINDS LIGHT AND VARIABLE
MOST PLACES...EXCEPT NORTHEASTERLY 10-15KTS WITH LOCAL GUSTS NEAR
20KTS OVER AND JUST DOWNWIND OF HIGHER TERRAIN. AVIATION
DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR TAF AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC/AVIATION...JJ

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF





000
FXUS65 KFGZ 071621
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
921 AM MST SUN FEB 7 2016

.SYNOPSIS...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE WEST COAST
THROUGH NEXT WEEK...LEADING TO A PERIOD OF MOSTLY CLEAR AND WARMER
WEATHER FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE 10 TO 15
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FROM TUESDAY THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.UPDATE...SUNNY AND MILD WEATHER ON TAP FOR TODAY, THOUGH SOME
NORTHEAST BREEZES WILL DEVELOP ALONG/SOUTH OF THE MOGOLLON RIM. NO
FORECAST UPDATES NEEDED THIS MORNING.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION /331 AM MST/...AN AMPLIFIED PATTERN WILL DEVELOP
ACROSS THE COUNTRY THIS WEEK AS A DEEP TROUGH MOVES THROUGH THE
CENTRAL AND EASTERN U.S. AND A STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS OVER THE WESTERN STATES. THIS WILL DELIVER A PERIOD OF DRY
AND WARM WEATHER TO THE AREA THROUGH THE COMING WEEK. DAYTIME
TEMPERATURES WILL RUN FROM A FEW TO ABOUT 10 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE
THROUGH MIDWEEK, WARMING TO NEAR 15 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE BY
WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

THE ONLY POSSIBILITY FOR ANY MOISTURE AT THIS POINT IS LATE NEXT
WEEKEND WHEN FORECAST MODELS SHOW THE POTENTIAL FOR A SHORTWAVE TO
MOVE INTO THE SOUTHWEST. PROBABILITIES ARE TOO LOW AT THIS POINT
TO INCLUDE PRECIPITATION CHANCES IN THE FORECAST.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 12Z PACKAGE...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS UNDER CLEAR
SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS FOR 24 HOUR PERIOD. SFC WINDS LIGHT AND
VARIABLE MOST PLACES...NORTHEASTERLY 10-15KTS OVER AND JUST
DOWNWIND OF HIGHER TERRAIN. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR
TAF AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...JJ/MCS
AVIATION...JJ

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF




000
FXUS65 KFGZ 071621
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
921 AM MST SUN FEB 7 2016

.SYNOPSIS...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE WEST COAST
THROUGH NEXT WEEK...LEADING TO A PERIOD OF MOSTLY CLEAR AND WARMER
WEATHER FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE 10 TO 15
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FROM TUESDAY THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.UPDATE...SUNNY AND MILD WEATHER ON TAP FOR TODAY, THOUGH SOME
NORTHEAST BREEZES WILL DEVELOP ALONG/SOUTH OF THE MOGOLLON RIM. NO
FORECAST UPDATES NEEDED THIS MORNING.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION /331 AM MST/...AN AMPLIFIED PATTERN WILL DEVELOP
ACROSS THE COUNTRY THIS WEEK AS A DEEP TROUGH MOVES THROUGH THE
CENTRAL AND EASTERN U.S. AND A STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS OVER THE WESTERN STATES. THIS WILL DELIVER A PERIOD OF DRY
AND WARM WEATHER TO THE AREA THROUGH THE COMING WEEK. DAYTIME
TEMPERATURES WILL RUN FROM A FEW TO ABOUT 10 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE
THROUGH MIDWEEK, WARMING TO NEAR 15 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE BY
WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

THE ONLY POSSIBILITY FOR ANY MOISTURE AT THIS POINT IS LATE NEXT
WEEKEND WHEN FORECAST MODELS SHOW THE POTENTIAL FOR A SHORTWAVE TO
MOVE INTO THE SOUTHWEST. PROBABILITIES ARE TOO LOW AT THIS POINT
TO INCLUDE PRECIPITATION CHANCES IN THE FORECAST.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 12Z PACKAGE...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS UNDER CLEAR
SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS FOR 24 HOUR PERIOD. SFC WINDS LIGHT AND
VARIABLE MOST PLACES...NORTHEASTERLY 10-15KTS OVER AND JUST
DOWNWIND OF HIGHER TERRAIN. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR
TAF AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...JJ/MCS
AVIATION...JJ

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF





000
FXUS65 KFGZ 071621
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
921 AM MST SUN FEB 7 2016

.SYNOPSIS...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE WEST COAST
THROUGH NEXT WEEK...LEADING TO A PERIOD OF MOSTLY CLEAR AND WARMER
WEATHER FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE 10 TO 15
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FROM TUESDAY THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.UPDATE...SUNNY AND MILD WEATHER ON TAP FOR TODAY, THOUGH SOME
NORTHEAST BREEZES WILL DEVELOP ALONG/SOUTH OF THE MOGOLLON RIM. NO
FORECAST UPDATES NEEDED THIS MORNING.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION /331 AM MST/...AN AMPLIFIED PATTERN WILL DEVELOP
ACROSS THE COUNTRY THIS WEEK AS A DEEP TROUGH MOVES THROUGH THE
CENTRAL AND EASTERN U.S. AND A STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS OVER THE WESTERN STATES. THIS WILL DELIVER A PERIOD OF DRY
AND WARM WEATHER TO THE AREA THROUGH THE COMING WEEK. DAYTIME
TEMPERATURES WILL RUN FROM A FEW TO ABOUT 10 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE
THROUGH MIDWEEK, WARMING TO NEAR 15 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE BY
WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

THE ONLY POSSIBILITY FOR ANY MOISTURE AT THIS POINT IS LATE NEXT
WEEKEND WHEN FORECAST MODELS SHOW THE POTENTIAL FOR A SHORTWAVE TO
MOVE INTO THE SOUTHWEST. PROBABILITIES ARE TOO LOW AT THIS POINT
TO INCLUDE PRECIPITATION CHANCES IN THE FORECAST.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 12Z PACKAGE...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS UNDER CLEAR
SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS FOR 24 HOUR PERIOD. SFC WINDS LIGHT AND
VARIABLE MOST PLACES...NORTHEASTERLY 10-15KTS OVER AND JUST
DOWNWIND OF HIGHER TERRAIN. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR
TAF AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...JJ/MCS
AVIATION...JJ

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF





000
FXUS65 KFGZ 071031
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
331 AM MST SUN FEB 7 2016

.SYNOPSIS...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE WEST COAST
THROUGH NEXT WEEK...LEADING TO A PERIOD OF MOSTLY CLEAR AND WARMER
WEATHER FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE 10 TO 15
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FROM TUESDAY THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...AN AMPLIFIED PATTERN WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE COUNTRY
THIS WEEK AS A DEEP TROUGH MOVES THROUGH THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN
U.S. AND A STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE WESTERN
STATES. THIS WILL DELIVER A PERIOD OF DRY AND WARM WEATHER TO THE
AREA THROUGH THE COMING WEEK. DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL RUN FROM A
FEW TO ABOUT 10 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE THROUGH MIDWEEK, WARMING TO
NEAR 15 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE BY WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE END OF THE
WEEK.

THE ONLY POSSIBILITY FOR ANY MOISTURE AT THIS POINT IS LATE NEXT
WEEKEND WHEN FORECAST MODELS SHOW THE POTENTIAL FOR A SHORTWAVE TO
MOVE INTO THE SOUTHWEST. PROBABILITIES ARE TOO LOW AT THIS POINT
TO INCLUDE PRECIPITATION CHANCES IN THE FORECAST.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 12Z PACKAGE...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS UNDER CLEAR
SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS FOR 24 HOUR PERIOD. SFC WINDS LIGHT AND
VARIABLE MOST PLACES...NORTHEASTERLY 5-15KTS OVER AND JUST DOWNWIND
OF HIGHER TERRAIN. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR TAF
AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...MCS
AVIATION...SUK


FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF





000
FXUS65 KFGZ 070359
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
859 PM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

.SYNOPSIS...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE WEST COAST
THROUGH NEXT WEEK...LEADING TO A PERIOD OF MOSTLY CLEAR AND
WARMER WEATHER FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE 10
TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FROM TUESDAY THROUGH THE END OF THE
WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
NO CHANGES TO THE RATHER QUIET FORECAST TONIGHT.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION /227 PM MST/...UNUSUALLY STRONG HIGH PRESSURE
CONTINUES TO BUILD OVER THE WEST COAST TODAY. NORTHERN ARIZONA
IS IN A NORTH TO NORTHEAST FLOW ALOFT TODAY WHICH IS KEEPING
TEMPERATURES FROM WARMING UP QUITE AS MUCH AS WOULD NORMALLY BE
EXPECTED WITH SUCH STRONG HIGH PRESSURE.

FOR SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER
THE WESTERN UNITED STATES CAUSING AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF DRY
WEATHER AND WARMING TEMPERATURES. DAYTIME TEMPERATURES ARE
FORECAST TO RISE FROM NEAR NORMAL ON SUNDAY, TO BETWEEN 10 TO 15
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. IN TERMS OF WINDS,
A NORTH TO NORTHEASTERLY LOW LEVEL WIND FLOW WILL CAUSE OCCASIONAL
GUSTY WINDS ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE MOGOLLON RIM THROUGH TUESDAY.
THE STRONGEST WINDS FORECAST FROM LATE SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 06Z PACKAGE...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS UNDER
CLEAR SKIES FOR THE NEXT 24 HRS. SFC WINDS LIGHT AND VARIABLE
MOST PLACES...EASTERLY 5-15KTS OVER AND JUST DOWNWIND OF HIGHER
TERRAIN. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR TAF AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...KD/JJ
AVIATION...KD


FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF





000
FXUS65 KFGZ 062127
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
227 PM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

.SYNOPSIS...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE WEST COAST
THROUGH NEXT WEEK...LEADING TO A PERIOD OF MOSTLY CLEAR AND
WARMER WEATHER FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE 10
TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FROM TUESDAY THROUGH THE END OF THE
WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...UNUSUALLY STRONG HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD
OVER THE WEST COAST TODAY. NORTHERN ARIZONA IS IN A NORTH TO NORTHEAST
FLOW ALOFT TODAY WHICH IS KEEPING TEMPERATURES FROM WARMING UP
QUITE AS MUCH AS WOULD NORMALLY BE EXPECTED WITH SUCH STRONG HIGH
PRESSURE.

FOR SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER
THE WESTERN UNITED STATES CAUSING AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF DRY
WEATHER AND WARMING TEMPERATURES. DAYTIME TEMPERATURES ARE
FORECAST TO RISE FROM NEAR NORMAL ON SUNDAY, TO BETWEEN 10 TO 15
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. IN TERMS OF WINDS,
A NORTH TO NORTHEASTERLY LOW LEVEL WIND FLOW WILL CAUSE OCCASIONAL
GUSTY WINDS ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE MOGOLLON RIM THROUGH TUESDAY.
THE STRONGEST WINDS FORECAST FROM LATE SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 00Z PACKAGE...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS UNDER
CLEAR SKIES FOR THE NEXT 24 HRS. SFC WINDS LIGHT AND VARIABLE
MOST PLACES...EASTERLY 5-15KTS OVER AND JUST DOWNWIND OF HIGHER
TERRAIN. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR TAF AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC/AVIATION...JJ

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF





000
FXUS65 KFGZ 061627
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
927 AM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

.SYNOPSIS...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE WEST COAST
THROUGH MOST OF NEXT WEEK...LEADING TO A PERIOD OF MOSTLY CLEAR
AND WARMER WEATHER FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL
BE 10 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

.UPDATE...CLEAR SKIES AND GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS ACROSS THE REGION
TODAY. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE SEVERAL DEGREES WARMER
THAN FRIDAY`S READINGS. NO FORECAST UPDATES NEEDED THIS MORNING.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION /417 AM MST/...FOR TODAY...EXPECT DRY WEATHER AND
WARMING TEMPERATURES AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ALONG THE WEST COAST.
SKIES ARE FORECAST TO BE MOSTLY CLEAR ACROSS THE REGION, ALTHOUGH
SOME CIRRUS CLOUD MAY ACCOMPANY A PASSING UPPER-LEVEL SHORTWAVE
TROUGH.

FOR SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO
SETUP OVER THE WESTERN UNITED STATES CAUSING A PERIOD OF DRY
WEATHER AND WARMING TEMPERATURES. DAYTIME TEMPERATURES ARE
FORECAST TO RISE FROM NEAR NORMAL ON SUNDAY, TO BETWEEN 10 TO 15
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL ON WEDNESDAY, THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. IN TERMS
OF WINDS, A NORTH TO NORTHEASTERLY LOW LEVEL WIND FLOW WILL CAUSE
GUSTY WINDS ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE MOGOLLON RIM THROUGH TUESDAY.
THE STRONGEST WINDS FORECAST FROM LATE SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 18Z PACKAGE...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS UNDER
CLEAR SKIES FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SFC WINDS LIGHT AND VARIABLE
MOST PLACES...EASTERLY 5-15KTS OVER AND JUST DOWNWIND OF HIGHER
TERRAIN. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR TAF AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...JJ/RR
AVIATION...JJ

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF





000
FXUS65 KFGZ 061627
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
927 AM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

.SYNOPSIS...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE WEST COAST
THROUGH MOST OF NEXT WEEK...LEADING TO A PERIOD OF MOSTLY CLEAR
AND WARMER WEATHER FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL
BE 10 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

.UPDATE...CLEAR SKIES AND GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS ACROSS THE REGION
TODAY. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE SEVERAL DEGREES WARMER
THAN FRIDAY`S READINGS. NO FORECAST UPDATES NEEDED THIS MORNING.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION /417 AM MST/...FOR TODAY...EXPECT DRY WEATHER AND
WARMING TEMPERATURES AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ALONG THE WEST COAST.
SKIES ARE FORECAST TO BE MOSTLY CLEAR ACROSS THE REGION, ALTHOUGH
SOME CIRRUS CLOUD MAY ACCOMPANY A PASSING UPPER-LEVEL SHORTWAVE
TROUGH.

FOR SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO
SETUP OVER THE WESTERN UNITED STATES CAUSING A PERIOD OF DRY
WEATHER AND WARMING TEMPERATURES. DAYTIME TEMPERATURES ARE
FORECAST TO RISE FROM NEAR NORMAL ON SUNDAY, TO BETWEEN 10 TO 15
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL ON WEDNESDAY, THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. IN TERMS
OF WINDS, A NORTH TO NORTHEASTERLY LOW LEVEL WIND FLOW WILL CAUSE
GUSTY WINDS ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE MOGOLLON RIM THROUGH TUESDAY.
THE STRONGEST WINDS FORECAST FROM LATE SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 18Z PACKAGE...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS UNDER
CLEAR SKIES FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SFC WINDS LIGHT AND VARIABLE
MOST PLACES...EASTERLY 5-15KTS OVER AND JUST DOWNWIND OF HIGHER
TERRAIN. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR TAF AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...JJ/RR
AVIATION...JJ

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF




000
FXUS65 KFGZ 061627
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
927 AM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

.SYNOPSIS...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE WEST COAST
THROUGH MOST OF NEXT WEEK...LEADING TO A PERIOD OF MOSTLY CLEAR
AND WARMER WEATHER FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL
BE 10 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

.UPDATE...CLEAR SKIES AND GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS ACROSS THE REGION
TODAY. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE SEVERAL DEGREES WARMER
THAN FRIDAY`S READINGS. NO FORECAST UPDATES NEEDED THIS MORNING.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION /417 AM MST/...FOR TODAY...EXPECT DRY WEATHER AND
WARMING TEMPERATURES AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ALONG THE WEST COAST.
SKIES ARE FORECAST TO BE MOSTLY CLEAR ACROSS THE REGION, ALTHOUGH
SOME CIRRUS CLOUD MAY ACCOMPANY A PASSING UPPER-LEVEL SHORTWAVE
TROUGH.

FOR SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO
SETUP OVER THE WESTERN UNITED STATES CAUSING A PERIOD OF DRY
WEATHER AND WARMING TEMPERATURES. DAYTIME TEMPERATURES ARE
FORECAST TO RISE FROM NEAR NORMAL ON SUNDAY, TO BETWEEN 10 TO 15
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL ON WEDNESDAY, THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. IN TERMS
OF WINDS, A NORTH TO NORTHEASTERLY LOW LEVEL WIND FLOW WILL CAUSE
GUSTY WINDS ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE MOGOLLON RIM THROUGH TUESDAY.
THE STRONGEST WINDS FORECAST FROM LATE SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 18Z PACKAGE...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS UNDER
CLEAR SKIES FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SFC WINDS LIGHT AND VARIABLE
MOST PLACES...EASTERLY 5-15KTS OVER AND JUST DOWNWIND OF HIGHER
TERRAIN. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR TAF AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...JJ/RR
AVIATION...JJ

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF





000
FXUS65 KFGZ 061117
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
417 AM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

.SYNOPSIS...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE WEST COAST
THROUGH MOST OF NEXT WEEK LEADING TO A PERIOD OF MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES AND A WARMING TREND. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TO 10 TO 15
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL BY WEDNESDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...FOR TODAY...EXPECT DRY WEATHER AND WARMING
TEMPERATURES AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ALONG THE WEST COAST. SKIES
ARE FORECAST TO BE MOSTLY CLEAR ACROSS THE REGION, ALTHOUGH SOME
CIRRUS CLOUD MAY ACCOMPANY A PASSING UPPER-LEVEL SHORTWAVE
TROUGH.

FOR SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO
SETUP OVER THE WESTERN UNITED STATES CAUSING A PERIOD OF DRY
WEATHER AND WARMING TEMPERATURES. DAYTIME TEMPERATURES ARE
FORECAST TO RISE FROM NEAR NORMAL ON SUNDAY, TO BETWEEN 10 TO 15
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL ON WEDNESDAY, THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. IN TERMS
OF WINDS, A NORTH TO NORTHEASTERLY LOW LEVEL WIND FLOW WILL CAUSE
GUSTY WINDS ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE MOGOLLON RIM THROUGH TUESDAY.
THE STRONGEST WINDS FORECAST FROM LATE SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 12Z PACKAGE...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS UNDER
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS FOR 24 HOUR PERIOD. SFC WINDS
LIGHT AND VARIABLE MOST PLACES...EASTERLY 5-15KTS OVER AND JUST
DOWNWIND OF HIGHER TERRAIN. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR
TAF AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...RR
AVIATION...PETERSON


FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF





000
FXUS65 KFGZ 061117
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
417 AM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

.SYNOPSIS...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE WEST COAST
THROUGH MOST OF NEXT WEEK LEADING TO A PERIOD OF MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES AND A WARMING TREND. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TO 10 TO 15
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL BY WEDNESDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...FOR TODAY...EXPECT DRY WEATHER AND WARMING
TEMPERATURES AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ALONG THE WEST COAST. SKIES
ARE FORECAST TO BE MOSTLY CLEAR ACROSS THE REGION, ALTHOUGH SOME
CIRRUS CLOUD MAY ACCOMPANY A PASSING UPPER-LEVEL SHORTWAVE
TROUGH.

FOR SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO
SETUP OVER THE WESTERN UNITED STATES CAUSING A PERIOD OF DRY
WEATHER AND WARMING TEMPERATURES. DAYTIME TEMPERATURES ARE
FORECAST TO RISE FROM NEAR NORMAL ON SUNDAY, TO BETWEEN 10 TO 15
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL ON WEDNESDAY, THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. IN TERMS
OF WINDS, A NORTH TO NORTHEASTERLY LOW LEVEL WIND FLOW WILL CAUSE
GUSTY WINDS ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE MOGOLLON RIM THROUGH TUESDAY.
THE STRONGEST WINDS FORECAST FROM LATE SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 12Z PACKAGE...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS UNDER
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS FOR 24 HOUR PERIOD. SFC WINDS
LIGHT AND VARIABLE MOST PLACES...EASTERLY 5-15KTS OVER AND JUST
DOWNWIND OF HIGHER TERRAIN. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR
TAF AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...RR
AVIATION...PETERSON


FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF




000
FXUS65 KFGZ 061117
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
417 AM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

.SYNOPSIS...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE WEST COAST
THROUGH MOST OF NEXT WEEK LEADING TO A PERIOD OF MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES AND A WARMING TREND. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TO 10 TO 15
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL BY WEDNESDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...FOR TODAY...EXPECT DRY WEATHER AND WARMING
TEMPERATURES AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ALONG THE WEST COAST. SKIES
ARE FORECAST TO BE MOSTLY CLEAR ACROSS THE REGION, ALTHOUGH SOME
CIRRUS CLOUD MAY ACCOMPANY A PASSING UPPER-LEVEL SHORTWAVE
TROUGH.

FOR SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO
SETUP OVER THE WESTERN UNITED STATES CAUSING A PERIOD OF DRY
WEATHER AND WARMING TEMPERATURES. DAYTIME TEMPERATURES ARE
FORECAST TO RISE FROM NEAR NORMAL ON SUNDAY, TO BETWEEN 10 TO 15
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL ON WEDNESDAY, THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. IN TERMS
OF WINDS, A NORTH TO NORTHEASTERLY LOW LEVEL WIND FLOW WILL CAUSE
GUSTY WINDS ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE MOGOLLON RIM THROUGH TUESDAY.
THE STRONGEST WINDS FORECAST FROM LATE SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 12Z PACKAGE...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS UNDER
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS FOR 24 HOUR PERIOD. SFC WINDS
LIGHT AND VARIABLE MOST PLACES...EASTERLY 5-15KTS OVER AND JUST
DOWNWIND OF HIGHER TERRAIN. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR
TAF AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...RR
AVIATION...PETERSON


FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF





000
FXUS65 KFGZ 060348
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
848 PM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

.SYNOPSIS...WARM HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL BUILD OVER THE WEST
COAST THROUGH MOST OF NEXT WEEK. EXPECT CLEAR SKIES AND A WARMING
TREND. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TO 10 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE IN THE MID TO UPPER WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE SOUTHWEST UNITED STATES OVER THE COMING DAYS. TEMPERATURES
WILL GRADUALLY WARM, ESPECIALLY THE DAYTIME VARIETY, AS A MILDER
AIR MASS MOVES ACROSS ARIZONA.

THE OTHER IMPACT WILL BE THAT HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE WILL
REMAIN CENTERED ACROSS THE AREA EXTENDING FROM NEVADA TO COLORADO THROUGH
TUESDAY. THE ASSOCIATED PRESSURE PATTERN WILL KEEP NORTHEAST
SURFACE WINDS BLOWING FOR AREAS ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE MOGOLLON
RIM...WITH SPEEDS 10-15 MPH THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. MODEL FORECASTS
SHOW THE PRESSURE GRADIENT STRENGTHENING AGAIN SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
MONDAY MORNING AND THUS EXPECT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS AT 15-25 MPH
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WIND SPEEDS TO THEN DECREASE THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 06Z PACKAGE...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. LOCALLY GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS
ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE MOGOLLON RIM THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY THEN
DECREASING THROUGH THE DAY. LIGHT SURFACE WINDS ELSEWHERE.
AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR TAF AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...MCCOLLUM/DL
AVIATION...MCCOLLUM/DL


FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF





000
FXUS65 KFGZ 060348
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
848 PM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

.SYNOPSIS...WARM HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL BUILD OVER THE WEST
COAST THROUGH MOST OF NEXT WEEK. EXPECT CLEAR SKIES AND A WARMING
TREND. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TO 10 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE IN THE MID TO UPPER WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE SOUTHWEST UNITED STATES OVER THE COMING DAYS. TEMPERATURES
WILL GRADUALLY WARM, ESPECIALLY THE DAYTIME VARIETY, AS A MILDER
AIR MASS MOVES ACROSS ARIZONA.

THE OTHER IMPACT WILL BE THAT HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE WILL
REMAIN CENTERED ACROSS THE AREA EXTENDING FROM NEVADA TO COLORADO THROUGH
TUESDAY. THE ASSOCIATED PRESSURE PATTERN WILL KEEP NORTHEAST
SURFACE WINDS BLOWING FOR AREAS ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE MOGOLLON
RIM...WITH SPEEDS 10-15 MPH THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. MODEL FORECASTS
SHOW THE PRESSURE GRADIENT STRENGTHENING AGAIN SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
MONDAY MORNING AND THUS EXPECT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS AT 15-25 MPH
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WIND SPEEDS TO THEN DECREASE THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 06Z PACKAGE...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. LOCALLY GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS
ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE MOGOLLON RIM THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY THEN
DECREASING THROUGH THE DAY. LIGHT SURFACE WINDS ELSEWHERE.
AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR TAF AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...MCCOLLUM/DL
AVIATION...MCCOLLUM/DL


FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF




000
FXUS65 KFGZ 060348
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
848 PM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

.SYNOPSIS...WARM HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL BUILD OVER THE WEST
COAST THROUGH MOST OF NEXT WEEK. EXPECT CLEAR SKIES AND A WARMING
TREND. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TO 10 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE IN THE MID TO UPPER WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE SOUTHWEST UNITED STATES OVER THE COMING DAYS. TEMPERATURES
WILL GRADUALLY WARM, ESPECIALLY THE DAYTIME VARIETY, AS A MILDER
AIR MASS MOVES ACROSS ARIZONA.

THE OTHER IMPACT WILL BE THAT HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE WILL
REMAIN CENTERED ACROSS THE AREA EXTENDING FROM NEVADA TO COLORADO THROUGH
TUESDAY. THE ASSOCIATED PRESSURE PATTERN WILL KEEP NORTHEAST
SURFACE WINDS BLOWING FOR AREAS ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE MOGOLLON
RIM...WITH SPEEDS 10-15 MPH THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. MODEL FORECASTS
SHOW THE PRESSURE GRADIENT STRENGTHENING AGAIN SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
MONDAY MORNING AND THUS EXPECT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS AT 15-25 MPH
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WIND SPEEDS TO THEN DECREASE THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 06Z PACKAGE...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. LOCALLY GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS
ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE MOGOLLON RIM THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY THEN
DECREASING THROUGH THE DAY. LIGHT SURFACE WINDS ELSEWHERE.
AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR TAF AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...MCCOLLUM/DL
AVIATION...MCCOLLUM/DL


FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF





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