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000
FXUS65 KFGZ 220335
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
830 PM MST FRI NOV 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...CLEARING SKIES WILL EXPAND ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA THIS
EVENING WITH FAIR WEATHER EXPECTED ON SATURDAY. BY SATURDAY NIGHT A
DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH NORTHERN ARIZONA. LOOK FOR BREEZY
NORTHERLY WINDS AND COLDER TEMPERATURES FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY. DRY
WEATHER WITH AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF ABOVE NORMAL HIGH TEMPERATURES
FORECAST THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN MEXICO
THIS EVENING WITH UPPER LEVEL HEIGHT RISES ACROSS THE REGION
PRODUCING MILD WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR SATURDAY.

A DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE UTAH ARIZONA BORDER ON
SATURDAY NIGHT. MODELS SHOW VERY LITTLE MOISTURE WITH THIS FRONTAL
PASSAGE AND OUR FORECAST KEEPS MINIMAL CHANCES FOR LIGHT SHOWER
ACTIVITY ALONG THE UTAH BORDER REGION IN THE OVERNIGHT HOURS FROM
SATURDAY NIGHT TO SUNDAY MORNING. A COLDER AIRMASS BEHIND THE FRONT
WITH HIGHER PRESSURE BUILDING IN WILL LEAD TO UNCOMFORTABLY COLD AND
BREEZY NORTHERLY WINDS ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA ON SUNDAY AND
MONDAY.

TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...A LONG WAVE RIDGE ALONG THE WEST COAST WILL
SLOWLY MOVE EASTWARD THROUGH THE WEEK. THIS IS A SIGNIFICANT CHANGE
FROM LONG RANGE GUIDANCE 24 HOURS AGO AND WILL RESULT IN A LONGER
STRETCH OF ABOVE NORMAL HIGH TEMPERATURES LASTING FROM WEDNESDAY
THROUGH THE END OF NEXT WEEK. THERE WILL BE NO PRECIPITATION THROUGH
THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK.

THE AFTERNOON FORECAST GRIDS LOOK GOOD WITH NO EVENING UPDATES.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 06Z PACKAGE...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........BOHLIN
AVIATION.......BOHLIN

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF






000
FXUS65 KFGZ 220335
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
830 PM MST FRI NOV 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...CLEARING SKIES WILL EXPAND ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA THIS
EVENING WITH FAIR WEATHER EXPECTED ON SATURDAY. BY SATURDAY NIGHT A
DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH NORTHERN ARIZONA. LOOK FOR BREEZY
NORTHERLY WINDS AND COLDER TEMPERATURES FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY. DRY
WEATHER WITH AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF ABOVE NORMAL HIGH TEMPERATURES
FORECAST THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN MEXICO
THIS EVENING WITH UPPER LEVEL HEIGHT RISES ACROSS THE REGION
PRODUCING MILD WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR SATURDAY.

A DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE UTAH ARIZONA BORDER ON
SATURDAY NIGHT. MODELS SHOW VERY LITTLE MOISTURE WITH THIS FRONTAL
PASSAGE AND OUR FORECAST KEEPS MINIMAL CHANCES FOR LIGHT SHOWER
ACTIVITY ALONG THE UTAH BORDER REGION IN THE OVERNIGHT HOURS FROM
SATURDAY NIGHT TO SUNDAY MORNING. A COLDER AIRMASS BEHIND THE FRONT
WITH HIGHER PRESSURE BUILDING IN WILL LEAD TO UNCOMFORTABLY COLD AND
BREEZY NORTHERLY WINDS ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA ON SUNDAY AND
MONDAY.

TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...A LONG WAVE RIDGE ALONG THE WEST COAST WILL
SLOWLY MOVE EASTWARD THROUGH THE WEEK. THIS IS A SIGNIFICANT CHANGE
FROM LONG RANGE GUIDANCE 24 HOURS AGO AND WILL RESULT IN A LONGER
STRETCH OF ABOVE NORMAL HIGH TEMPERATURES LASTING FROM WEDNESDAY
THROUGH THE END OF NEXT WEEK. THERE WILL BE NO PRECIPITATION THROUGH
THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK.

THE AFTERNOON FORECAST GRIDS LOOK GOOD WITH NO EVENING UPDATES.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 06Z PACKAGE...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........BOHLIN
AVIATION.......BOHLIN

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF





000
FXUS65 KFGZ 212135
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
245 PM MST FRI NOV 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...CLEARING SKIES WILL EXPAND ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA THIS
EVENING WITH FAIR WEATHER EXPECTED SATURDAY. SATURDAY NIGHT A STRONG
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH NORTHERN ARIZONA. LOOK FOR BREEZY NORTH
WINDS AND COLDER TEMPERATURES SUNDAY AND MONDAY. DRY WEATHER WITH A
WARMING TREND RETURN FOR TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

TODAYS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WAS OVER SOUTHWESTERN ARIZONA THIS
AFTERNOON AND IS DYING ON THE VINE. WE LEFT A 10 PERCENT CHANCE OF
LIGHT RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS IN THE NORTHERN GILA COUNTY AND WHITE
MOUNTAIN ZONES. OTHERWISE CLEARING SKIES HAVE MOVED INTO NWRN AZ
THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL EXPAND ACROSS OUR AREA TONIGHT.

SATURDAY EXPECT FAIR AND BREEZY WEATHER WITH OCCASIONAL MID AND HIGH
LEVEL CLOUDS.

SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...PROGS CONTINUE TO SHOW ANOTHER COLD
FRONT TO MOVE INTO NORTHERN ARIZONA FROM THE NORTH SATURDAY NIGHT.
CROSS SECTION HAVE ONLY SHALLOW MOISTURE WITH THE FRONT AND THE
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE FOUR CORNERS AREA LOOKS GOOD. WE
LOWERED SUNDAYS MAX TEMPS 2-5 DEGREES WITH THE GREATEST COOLING IN
THE FOUR CORNERS. BRISK NORTHWEST THROUGH NORTHEAST WINDS AT THE
SURFACE AND ALOFT ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE BUILDING ALONG THE
WEST COAST WILL KEEP NORTHERN ARIZONA DRY WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES
AND A SLOW DAYTIME WARMING TREND. THE RIDGE AXIS SHOULD CROSS
ARIZONA LATE WEDNESDAY OR THURSDAY FOLLOWED BY WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT
AND MORE CIRRUS.

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR THE 00Z PACKAGE...AN ISOLATED SHOWER WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE FROM
THE MOGOLLON RIM/WHITE MTNS SOUTHWARD THROUGH ABOUT SUNSET.
OTHERWISE...SKIES WILL CLEAR FROM WEST TO EAST THIS EVENING WITH
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES OVERNIGHT. LIGHT WINDS WILL INCREASE BECOMING
WEST 10-20 KTS SATURDAY AFTERNOON. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED
FOR AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........DL
AVIATION.......MCS

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF

















000
FXUS65 KFGZ 212135
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
245 PM MST FRI NOV 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...CLEARING SKIES WILL EXPAND ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA THIS
EVENING WITH FAIR WEATHER EXPECTED SATURDAY. SATURDAY NIGHT A STRONG
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH NORTHERN ARIZONA. LOOK FOR BREEZY NORTH
WINDS AND COLDER TEMPERATURES SUNDAY AND MONDAY. DRY WEATHER WITH A
WARMING TREND RETURN FOR TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

TODAYS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WAS OVER SOUTHWESTERN ARIZONA THIS
AFTERNOON AND IS DYING ON THE VINE. WE LEFT A 10 PERCENT CHANCE OF
LIGHT RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS IN THE NORTHERN GILA COUNTY AND WHITE
MOUNTAIN ZONES. OTHERWISE CLEARING SKIES HAVE MOVED INTO NWRN AZ
THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL EXPAND ACROSS OUR AREA TONIGHT.

SATURDAY EXPECT FAIR AND BREEZY WEATHER WITH OCCASIONAL MID AND HIGH
LEVEL CLOUDS.

SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...PROGS CONTINUE TO SHOW ANOTHER COLD
FRONT TO MOVE INTO NORTHERN ARIZONA FROM THE NORTH SATURDAY NIGHT.
CROSS SECTION HAVE ONLY SHALLOW MOISTURE WITH THE FRONT AND THE
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE FOUR CORNERS AREA LOOKS GOOD. WE
LOWERED SUNDAYS MAX TEMPS 2-5 DEGREES WITH THE GREATEST COOLING IN
THE FOUR CORNERS. BRISK NORTHWEST THROUGH NORTHEAST WINDS AT THE
SURFACE AND ALOFT ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE BUILDING ALONG THE
WEST COAST WILL KEEP NORTHERN ARIZONA DRY WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES
AND A SLOW DAYTIME WARMING TREND. THE RIDGE AXIS SHOULD CROSS
ARIZONA LATE WEDNESDAY OR THURSDAY FOLLOWED BY WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT
AND MORE CIRRUS.

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR THE 00Z PACKAGE...AN ISOLATED SHOWER WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE FROM
THE MOGOLLON RIM/WHITE MTNS SOUTHWARD THROUGH ABOUT SUNSET.
OTHERWISE...SKIES WILL CLEAR FROM WEST TO EAST THIS EVENING WITH
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES OVERNIGHT. LIGHT WINDS WILL INCREASE BECOMING
WEST 10-20 KTS SATURDAY AFTERNOON. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED
FOR AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........DL
AVIATION.......MCS

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF


















000
FXUS65 KFGZ 211908
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
1215 PM MST FRI NOV 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...A WEAK PACIFIC LOW WILL MOVE THROUGH SOUTHERN ARIZONA
TODAY. EXPECT ISOLATED LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS ALONG ANS OUT OF
THE MOGOLLON RIM THIS AFTERNOON. SATURDAY NIGHT A STRONG COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE THROUGH NORTHERN ARIZONA. LOOK FOR BREEZY NORTH WINDS AND
COLDER TEMPERATURES SUNDAY AND MONDAY. DRY WEATHER WITH A WARMING
TREND RETURN FOR TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

NOON UPDATE...HAVE REMOVED SLIGHT CHANCE PRECIP AND REDUCED OPAQUE
SKY COVER FOR AREAS NORTH OF I-40 THIS AFTERNOON. GRIDS AND TEXT
PRODUCTS BEING SENT.

&&

.925 AM DISCUSSION...A WEAK PACIFIC LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WAS CENTERED
OVER YUMA AT 8AM. AREA RADAR SHOW VERY LIGHT SHOWERS MOVING INTO SW
YAVAPAI COUNTY AND A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES WITH THE LOW CENTER WEST
OF YUMA. PROGS SHOW THE LOW CENTER TO HEAD TO THE EAST SOUTHEAST
THROUGH THE DAY. THE SENSIBLE WEATHER FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA TODAY
FEATURES WIDESPREAD CLOUD COVER. WIDELY SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN AND
SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECT WEST OF A LINE FREDONIA TO FLAGSTAFF TO SHOW
LOW WITH SLIGHT CHANCES ELSEWHERE. THE ENTIRE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTH
OF SOUTHERN ARIZONA THIS EVENING. SKIES SHOULD CLEAR FROM NORTHWEST
TO SOUTHEAST HERE.

SATURDAY EXPECT FAIR AND BREEZY WEATHER WITH OCCASIONAL MID AND HIGH
LEVEL CLOUDS.

SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...ANOTHER COLD FRONT IS PROGGED TO
MOVE INTO NORTHERN ARIZONA FROM THE NORTH SATURDAY NIGHT. CROSS
SECTION HAVE ONLY SHALLOW MOISTURE WITH THE FRONT AND THE SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE FOUR CORNERS AREA LOOKS GOOD. WE WILL LILY
BE LOWERING SUNDAYS MAX TEMPS A 2-5 DEGREES WITH THE GREATEST
COOLING IN THE FOUR CORNERS. BRISK NORTHWEST THROUGH NORTHEAST WINDS
AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE BUILDING ALONG THE
WEST COAST WILL KEEP NORTHERN ARIZONA DRY WITH NEAR NORMAL MAX TEMPS
AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 18Z PACKAGE...EXTENSIVE MID LEVEL CLOUDS WILL
OVERSPREAD NORTHERN AZ TODAY IN RESPONSE TO A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
PASSING THROUGH SOUTHERN AZ. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHRA/SHSN ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON PRIMARILY FROM A KGCN-KFLG-KSOW LINE
WESTWARD WITH SNOW LEVELS RANGING FROM 6500-7000 FT MSL. CIGS SHOULD
REMAIN VFR...THOUGH LOCAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE NEAR SHOWER
ACTIVITY. SHOWERS WILL DIMINISH AROUND SUNSET THIS EVENING WITH
CLEARING SKIES THEREAFTER. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR
AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........DL
AVIATION.......MCS

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF
















000
FXUS65 KFGZ 211630
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
925 AM MST FRI NOV 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...A WEAK PACIFIC LOW WILL MOVE THROUGH SOUTHERN ARIZONA
TODAY. EXPECT CLOUDS ACROSS THE AREA WITH WIDELY SCATTERED LIGHT
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. ON SATURDAY NIGHT A STRONG COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE THROUGH NORTHERN ARIZONA. LOOK FOR BREEZY NORTH WINDS AND
COLDER TEMPERATURES SUNDAY AND MONDAY. DRY WEATHER WITH A WARMING
TREND RETURN FOR TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK PACIFIC LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WAS CENTERED OVER
YUMA AT 8AM. AREA RADAR SHOW VERY LIGHT SHOWERS MOVING INTO SW
YAVAPAI COUNTY AND A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES WITH THE LOW CENTER WEST
OF YUMA. PROGS SHOW THE LOW CENTER TO HEAD TO THE EAST SOUTHEAST
THROUGH THE DAY. THE SENSIBLE WEATHER FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA TODAY
FEATURES WIDESPREAD CLOUD COVER. WIDELY SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN AND
SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECT WEST OF A LINE FREDONIA TO FLAGSTAFF TO SHOW
LOW WITH SLIGHT CHANCES ELSEWHERE. SNOW LEVELS WILL FALL TO 6500 TO
7000 FOOT ELEVATION THIS AFTERNOON. THE ENTIRE SYSTEM IS MOVING
SOUTH OF SOUTHERN ARIZONA THIS EVENING. SKIES SHOULD CLEAR FROM
NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST HERE.

SATURDAY EXPECT FAIR AND BREEZY WEATHER WITH OCCASIONAL MID AND HIGH
LEVEL CLOUDS.

SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...ANOTHER COLD FRONT IS PROGGED TO
MOVE INTO NORTHERN ARIZONA FROM THE NORTH SATURDAY NIGHT. CROSS
SECTION HAVE ONLY SHALLOW MOISTURE WITH THE FRONT AND THE SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE FOUR CORNERS AREA LOOKS GOOD. WE WILL LILY
BE LOWERING SUNDAYS MAX TEMPS A 2-5 DEGREES WITH THE GREATEST
COOLING IN THE FOUR CORNERS. BRISK NORTHWEST THROUGH NORTHEAST WINDS
AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE BUILDING ALONG THE
WEST COAST WILL KEEP NORTHERN ARIZONA DRY WITH NEAR NORMAL MAX TEMPS
AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 18Z PACKAGE...EXTENSIVE MID LEVEL CLOUDS WILL
OVERSPREAD NORTHERN AZ TODAY IN RESPONSE TO A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
PASSING THROUGH SOUTHERN AZ. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHRA/SHSN ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON PRIMARILY FROM A KGCN-KFLG-KSOW LINE
WESTWARD WITH SNOW LEVELS RANGING FROM 6500-7000 FT MSL. CIGS SHOULD
REMAIN VFR...THOUGH LOCAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE NEAR SHOWER
ACTIVITY. SHOWERS WILL DIMINISH AROUND SUNSET THIS EVENING WITH
CLEARING SKIES THEREAFTER. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR
AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........DL
AVIATION.......MCS

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF













000
FXUS65 KFGZ 211630
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
925 AM MST FRI NOV 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...A WEAK PACIFIC LOW WILL MOVE THROUGH SOUTHERN ARIZONA
TODAY. EXPECT CLOUDS ACROSS THE AREA WITH WIDELY SCATTERED LIGHT
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. ON SATURDAY NIGHT A STRONG COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE THROUGH NORTHERN ARIZONA. LOOK FOR BREEZY NORTH WINDS AND
COLDER TEMPERATURES SUNDAY AND MONDAY. DRY WEATHER WITH A WARMING
TREND RETURN FOR TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK PACIFIC LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WAS CENTERED OVER
YUMA AT 8AM. AREA RADAR SHOW VERY LIGHT SHOWERS MOVING INTO SW
YAVAPAI COUNTY AND A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES WITH THE LOW CENTER WEST
OF YUMA. PROGS SHOW THE LOW CENTER TO HEAD TO THE EAST SOUTHEAST
THROUGH THE DAY. THE SENSIBLE WEATHER FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA TODAY
FEATURES WIDESPREAD CLOUD COVER. WIDELY SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN AND
SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECT WEST OF A LINE FREDONIA TO FLAGSTAFF TO SHOW
LOW WITH SLIGHT CHANCES ELSEWHERE. SNOW LEVELS WILL FALL TO 6500 TO
7000 FOOT ELEVATION THIS AFTERNOON. THE ENTIRE SYSTEM IS MOVING
SOUTH OF SOUTHERN ARIZONA THIS EVENING. SKIES SHOULD CLEAR FROM
NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST HERE.

SATURDAY EXPECT FAIR AND BREEZY WEATHER WITH OCCASIONAL MID AND HIGH
LEVEL CLOUDS.

SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...ANOTHER COLD FRONT IS PROGGED TO
MOVE INTO NORTHERN ARIZONA FROM THE NORTH SATURDAY NIGHT. CROSS
SECTION HAVE ONLY SHALLOW MOISTURE WITH THE FRONT AND THE SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE FOUR CORNERS AREA LOOKS GOOD. WE WILL LILY
BE LOWERING SUNDAYS MAX TEMPS A 2-5 DEGREES WITH THE GREATEST
COOLING IN THE FOUR CORNERS. BRISK NORTHWEST THROUGH NORTHEAST WINDS
AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE BUILDING ALONG THE
WEST COAST WILL KEEP NORTHERN ARIZONA DRY WITH NEAR NORMAL MAX TEMPS
AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 18Z PACKAGE...EXTENSIVE MID LEVEL CLOUDS WILL
OVERSPREAD NORTHERN AZ TODAY IN RESPONSE TO A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
PASSING THROUGH SOUTHERN AZ. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHRA/SHSN ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON PRIMARILY FROM A KGCN-KFLG-KSOW LINE
WESTWARD WITH SNOW LEVELS RANGING FROM 6500-7000 FT MSL. CIGS SHOULD
REMAIN VFR...THOUGH LOCAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE NEAR SHOWER
ACTIVITY. SHOWERS WILL DIMINISH AROUND SUNSET THIS EVENING WITH
CLEARING SKIES THEREAFTER. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR
AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........DL
AVIATION.......MCS

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF












000
FXUS65 KFGZ 211033
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
300 AM MST FRI NOV 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...A WEAK PACIFIC LOW WILL MOVE ACROSS ARIZONA TODAY.
EXPECT CLOUDS AND SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WITH ONLY
LIGHT ACCUMULATION AMOUNTS. ON SATURDAY NIGHT ANOTHER COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE INTO ARIZONA FROM THE NORTH BRINGING BREEZY NORTHERLY
WINDS AND COLDER TEMPERATURES LASTING THROUGH MONDAY. A STRONG HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE WILL BUILD IN OVER THE WEST COAST WITH A WARMING
TREND IN OUR TEMPERATURES AND DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS LASTING THROUGH
FRIDAY.
&&

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK PACIFIC LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS WESTERN AND SOUTHERN ARIZONA
TODAY. EXPECT CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS
ACROSS NORTHWESTERN AND CENTRAL ARIZONA...FROM THE KAIBAB PLATEAU
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MOGOLLON RIM AND YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS...
WITH ONLY SLIGHT CHANCES FOR SHOWERS EXPECTED ELSEWHERE. SNOW LEVELS
WILL FALL TO THE 6500 TO 7000 FEET ELEVATION RANGE BY AFTERNOON.
CHANCES FOR SHOWERS WILL DIMINISH RAPIDLY AROUND SUNSET AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS INTO NORTHERN ARIZONA BEHIND THE DEPARTING LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM.

SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY...EXPECT MILD WEATHER CONDITIONS ON SATURDAY
AHEAD OF A DRY COLD FRONT ARRIVING SATURDAY NIGHT EARLY SUNDAY
MORNING. COLDER TEMPERATURES WILL MOVE IN BEHIND THIS FRONTAL ZONE
ALONG WITH BREEZY NORTHERLY WINDS. HIGH TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY AND
MONDAY ARE FORECAST TO RUN 4-8 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF
YEAR.

TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE BUILDING ALONG THE
WEST COAST AND INTO PARTS OF THE SOUTHWEST U.S. WILL KEEP ARIZONA IN
A DRY WEATHER PATTERN WITH NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL HIGH
TEMPERATURES.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 12Z PACKAGE...A WEAK STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING
WDSPRD MID-LEVEL CLOUDS TO THE AREA TODAY...WITH BASES FROM 8-10KFT
AGL. ISOLD TO SCT --SHSN WILL DEVELOP OVER HIGHER TERRAIN ALONG AND
WEST OF A LINE FROM KPAN TO KFLG TO KGCN BY 16Z-18Z...LASTING
THROUGH 00Z-02Z. SKIES WILL CLEAR FROM NW TO SE THIS EVENING.
AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR AMENDMENTS.
&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........TC
AVIATION.......PETERSON

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF









000
FXUS65 KFGZ 210401
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
900 PM MST THU NOV 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...A WEAK PACIFIC LOW WILL MOVE THROUGH CALIFORNIA TOWARDS
ARIZONA THIS EVENING. EXPECT INCREASING CLOUDS ON FRIDAY AND A FEW
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WITH ONLY LIGHT ACCUMULATION AMOUNTS. ON
SATURDAY NIGHT ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO ARIZONA FROM THE
NORTH BRINGING BREEZY NORTHERLY WINDS AND COLDER TEMPERATURES
LASTING THROUGH MONDAY. A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL BUILD IN
OVER THE WEST COAST WITH A WARMING TREND IN OUR TEMPERATURES AND DRY
WEATHER CONDITIONS LASTING THROUGH THURSDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK PACIFIC LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA IS MOVING TOWARDS ARIZONA THIS EVENING. BY FRIDAY...
EXPECT INCREASING CLOUDS WITH FAIR CHANCES FOR LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHWESTERN ARIZONA AND ALONG PORTIONS OF THE
MOGOLLON RIM REGION (FLAGSTAFF TO THE WHITE MOUNTAINS)...WITH ONLY
SLIGHT CHANCES FOR SHOWERS EXPECTED ELSEWHERE. SNOW LEVELS WILL
SLOWLY FALL THROUGH THE DAY DOWN TO THE 6500 TO 7000 FEET ELEVATION
RANGE BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. CHANCES FOR SHOWERS WILL DIMINISH RAPIDLY
AROUND SUNSET AS UPPER LEVEL HEIGHTS RISE AND THE LOW CENTER MOVES
SOUTH INTO MEXICO.

SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY...EXPECT MILD WEATHER CONDITIONS ON SATURDAY
AHEAD OF A DRY COLD FRONT ARRIVING SATURDAY NIGHT. COLDER
TEMPERATURES WILL MOVE IN BEHIND THIS FRONTAL ZONE ALONG WITH BREEZY
NORTHERLY WINDS. HIGH TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY ARE FORECAST
TO RUN 5 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE BUILDING ALONG THE
WEST COAST WILL KEEP ARIZONA IN A DRY WEATHER PATTERN WITH
SEASONABLY MILD TEMPERATURES FORECAST TO LAST THROUGH THURSDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 06Z PACKAGE...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT.
AN APPROACHING PACIFIC LOW WILL BRING INCREASING CLOUD COVER AND
CHANCES FOR A FEW RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS BY FRIDAY MORNING. SNOW
LEVELS WILL DECREASE TO AROUND 6500-7000 FT MSL. CONDITIONS SHOULD
REMAIN PREDOMINANTLY VFR THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON WITH WIDELY
SCATTERED MVFR OVER MOUNTAIN AREAS AT OR ABOVE 6500 FEET. AVIATION
DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........BOHLIN
AVIATION.......BOHLIN

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF







000
FXUS65 KFGZ 210401
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
900 PM MST THU NOV 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...A WEAK PACIFIC LOW WILL MOVE THROUGH CALIFORNIA TOWARDS
ARIZONA THIS EVENING. EXPECT INCREASING CLOUDS ON FRIDAY AND A FEW
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WITH ONLY LIGHT ACCUMULATION AMOUNTS. ON
SATURDAY NIGHT ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO ARIZONA FROM THE
NORTH BRINGING BREEZY NORTHERLY WINDS AND COLDER TEMPERATURES
LASTING THROUGH MONDAY. A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL BUILD IN
OVER THE WEST COAST WITH A WARMING TREND IN OUR TEMPERATURES AND DRY
WEATHER CONDITIONS LASTING THROUGH THURSDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK PACIFIC LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA IS MOVING TOWARDS ARIZONA THIS EVENING. BY FRIDAY...
EXPECT INCREASING CLOUDS WITH FAIR CHANCES FOR LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHWESTERN ARIZONA AND ALONG PORTIONS OF THE
MOGOLLON RIM REGION (FLAGSTAFF TO THE WHITE MOUNTAINS)...WITH ONLY
SLIGHT CHANCES FOR SHOWERS EXPECTED ELSEWHERE. SNOW LEVELS WILL
SLOWLY FALL THROUGH THE DAY DOWN TO THE 6500 TO 7000 FEET ELEVATION
RANGE BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. CHANCES FOR SHOWERS WILL DIMINISH RAPIDLY
AROUND SUNSET AS UPPER LEVEL HEIGHTS RISE AND THE LOW CENTER MOVES
SOUTH INTO MEXICO.

SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY...EXPECT MILD WEATHER CONDITIONS ON SATURDAY
AHEAD OF A DRY COLD FRONT ARRIVING SATURDAY NIGHT. COLDER
TEMPERATURES WILL MOVE IN BEHIND THIS FRONTAL ZONE ALONG WITH BREEZY
NORTHERLY WINDS. HIGH TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY ARE FORECAST
TO RUN 5 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE BUILDING ALONG THE
WEST COAST WILL KEEP ARIZONA IN A DRY WEATHER PATTERN WITH
SEASONABLY MILD TEMPERATURES FORECAST TO LAST THROUGH THURSDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 06Z PACKAGE...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT.
AN APPROACHING PACIFIC LOW WILL BRING INCREASING CLOUD COVER AND
CHANCES FOR A FEW RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS BY FRIDAY MORNING. SNOW
LEVELS WILL DECREASE TO AROUND 6500-7000 FT MSL. CONDITIONS SHOULD
REMAIN PREDOMINANTLY VFR THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON WITH WIDELY
SCATTERED MVFR OVER MOUNTAIN AREAS AT OR ABOVE 6500 FEET. AVIATION
DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........BOHLIN
AVIATION.......BOHLIN

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF






000
FXUS65 KFGZ 202232
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
330 PM MST THU NOV 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER NORTHERN CALIFORNIA THIS AFTERNOON WILL
MOVE SOUTHEAST AND OVER FAR SOUTHWEST ARIZONA BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
THIS WILL BRING A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS...BREEZY...AND
COOLER CONDITIONS TO PORTIONS OF ARIZONA ON FRIDAY. WEAK HIGH
PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS ARIZONA ON SATURDAY WITH A SLIGHT REBOUND
IN HIGH TEMPERATURES AND BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS. ANOTHER COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS ARIZONA SUNDAY...BRINGING BREEZY NORTH
WINDS...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS ALONG THE ARIZONA UTAH BORDER.

&&

.DISCUSSION...THE NEXT TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE THAT WILL IMPACT
ARIZONA IS CURRENTLY MOVING ON TO THE NORTH COAST OF CALIFORNIA.
CURRENT GUIDANCE SHOWS THIS TROUGH MOVING SOUTHEAST TO BETWEEN ROCKY
POINT AND NOGALES BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND THEN CENTRAL TEXAS BY
SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THIS TRACK WILL BRING THE BEST CHANCE OF LIGHT
SHOWERS AND HIGHER ELEVATION SNOW SHOWERS FROM THE KAIBAB PLATEAU
AND MOGOLLON RIM SOUTHWARD. AREAS NORTHEAST OF THE MOGOLLON RIM WILL JUST
HAVE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER AIR WILL DROP THE SNOW LEVEL
DOWN TO AROUND 6500 FEET...WITH LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATION ABOVE THAT
ELEVATION.

ON SATURDAY...A FAST MOVING UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL
MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA...BRINGING DRY CONDITIONS AND NEAR
NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

A LARGE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO THE ROCKIES AND GREAT
PLAINS BY LATE SATURDAY WITH INCREASING WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS FOR
NORTHERN ARIZONA. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE FROM NORTH TO SOUTH
ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA ON SUNDAY. THIS FRONT WILL NOT HAVE MUCH
MOISTURE...AND WILL BRING ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO MAINLY FAR
NORTHERN ARIZONA ON SUNDAY. BREEZY NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS AND HIGH
TEMPERATURES 4-6 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY THROUGH
MONDAY.

TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY OF NEXT WEEK...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BRING DRY CONDITIONS AND WARMING DAYTIME TEMPERATURES...WITH
HIGH TEMPERATURES RETURNING CLOSE TO NORMAL VALUES BY WEDNESDAY.
NORTH TO NORTHEAST BREEZES ARE FORECAST MAINLY FROM THE MOGOLLON
RIM SOUTHWARD.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 00Z PACKAGE...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL
TONIGHT WITH GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS. EXPECT INCREASING HIGH CLOUD
COVER OVERNIGHT...THICKENING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING WITH MID LEVEL
CIGS DEVELOPING AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES INTO AZ. EXPECT
SCATTERED SHRA/SHSN PRIMARILY OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN FROM 12Z ONWARD
WITH SCT-BKN STRATUS. SNOW LEVELS WILL RANGE FROM 6500-7000 FT MSL.
CONDITIONS SHOULD REMAIN PREDOMINANTLY VFR ON FRIDAY BUT POCKETS OF
MVFR WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR SHOWERS. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED
FOR AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........MAS
AVIATION.......MCS

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF
















000
FXUS65 KFGZ 202232
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
330 PM MST THU NOV 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER NORTHERN CALIFORNIA THIS AFTERNOON WILL
MOVE SOUTHEAST AND OVER FAR SOUTHWEST ARIZONA BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
THIS WILL BRING A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS...BREEZY...AND
COOLER CONDITIONS TO PORTIONS OF ARIZONA ON FRIDAY. WEAK HIGH
PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS ARIZONA ON SATURDAY WITH A SLIGHT REBOUND
IN HIGH TEMPERATURES AND BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS. ANOTHER COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS ARIZONA SUNDAY...BRINGING BREEZY NORTH
WINDS...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS ALONG THE ARIZONA UTAH BORDER.

&&

.DISCUSSION...THE NEXT TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE THAT WILL IMPACT
ARIZONA IS CURRENTLY MOVING ON TO THE NORTH COAST OF CALIFORNIA.
CURRENT GUIDANCE SHOWS THIS TROUGH MOVING SOUTHEAST TO BETWEEN ROCKY
POINT AND NOGALES BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND THEN CENTRAL TEXAS BY
SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THIS TRACK WILL BRING THE BEST CHANCE OF LIGHT
SHOWERS AND HIGHER ELEVATION SNOW SHOWERS FROM THE KAIBAB PLATEAU
AND MOGOLLON RIM SOUTHWARD. AREAS NORTHEAST OF THE MOGOLLON RIM WILL JUST
HAVE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER AIR WILL DROP THE SNOW LEVEL
DOWN TO AROUND 6500 FEET...WITH LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATION ABOVE THAT
ELEVATION.

ON SATURDAY...A FAST MOVING UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL
MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA...BRINGING DRY CONDITIONS AND NEAR
NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

A LARGE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO THE ROCKIES AND GREAT
PLAINS BY LATE SATURDAY WITH INCREASING WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS FOR
NORTHERN ARIZONA. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE FROM NORTH TO SOUTH
ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA ON SUNDAY. THIS FRONT WILL NOT HAVE MUCH
MOISTURE...AND WILL BRING ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO MAINLY FAR
NORTHERN ARIZONA ON SUNDAY. BREEZY NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS AND HIGH
TEMPERATURES 4-6 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY THROUGH
MONDAY.

TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY OF NEXT WEEK...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BRING DRY CONDITIONS AND WARMING DAYTIME TEMPERATURES...WITH
HIGH TEMPERATURES RETURNING CLOSE TO NORMAL VALUES BY WEDNESDAY.
NORTH TO NORTHEAST BREEZES ARE FORECAST MAINLY FROM THE MOGOLLON
RIM SOUTHWARD.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 00Z PACKAGE...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL
TONIGHT WITH GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS. EXPECT INCREASING HIGH CLOUD
COVER OVERNIGHT...THICKENING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING WITH MID LEVEL
CIGS DEVELOPING AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES INTO AZ. EXPECT
SCATTERED SHRA/SHSN PRIMARILY OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN FROM 12Z ONWARD
WITH SCT-BKN STRATUS. SNOW LEVELS WILL RANGE FROM 6500-7000 FT MSL.
CONDITIONS SHOULD REMAIN PREDOMINANTLY VFR ON FRIDAY BUT POCKETS OF
MVFR WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR SHOWERS. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED
FOR AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........MAS
AVIATION.......MCS

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF

















000
FXUS65 KFGZ 201628
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
930 AM MST THU NOV 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A FAST MOVING HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY
BRINGING MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES...THEN A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS
NORTHERN ARIZONA ON FRIDAY...BRINGING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS...AND
COOLER CONDITIONS. SNOW LEVELS WILL BE AROUND 6500 FEET. A COUPLE OF
DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST NORTH OF
ARIZONA SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...BRINGING BREEZY NORTHWEST TO NORTH
WINDS...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS ALONG THE ARIZONA UTAH
BORDER...AND NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

&&
.DISCUSSION...THE 12Z KFGZ SOUNDING SHOWED A MOIST LAYER BETWEEN 700
AND 600 MB. VISIBLE SATELLITE SHOWED CLOUDS MOVING ACROSS NORTHERN
ARIZONA THIS MORNING...WITH CLOUDS WEST OF A KFGZ-KGCN DISSIPATING
AS THEY MOVED EAST OF THE HIGHER TERRAIN (DOWNSLOPE). MOST OF THIS
CLOUDINESS WILL MOVE INTO NEW MEXICO BY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE CLOUDS
SEEN OVER CALIFORNIA AND NEVADA SHOULD BEGIN TO MOVE OVER ARIZONA
THIS EVENING. CURRENT FORECAST HANDLES SITUATION WELL.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION /356 AM MST/...
A WEAK RIDGE WILL MOVE OVER ARIZONA TODAY WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES
AND SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS WESTERN AND THEN
SOUTHERN ARIZONA ON FRIDAY. THIS WILL BRING THE BEST CHANCE OF LIGHT
SHOWERS AND HIGHER ELEVATION SNOW SHOWERS FROM THE KAIBAB
PLATEAU...AND MOGOLLON RIM. AREAS NORTHEAST OF THE MOGOLLON RIM WILL
JUST HAVE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER AIR WILL DROP THE SNOW
LEVEL DOWN TO AROUND 6500 FEET...WITH LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATION ABOVE
THAT ELEVATION.

ON SATURDAY...A FAST MOVING UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE IS
FORECAST TO  MOVE ACROSS THE REGION...BRINGING DRY CONDITIONS AND
NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES. ANOTHER WEATHER SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO
EFFECT NORTHERN ARIZONA BY LATE SATURDAY WITH INCREASING WEST TO
NORTHWEST WINDS. ON SUNDAY...THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE ON TO THE
EAST...BUT WILL HAVE PUSHED A DRY COLD FRONT SOUTHWARD ACROSS
ARIZONA SUNDAY AND MONDAY. THIS WEATHER SYSTEM WILL BRING ONLY A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO MAINLY FAR NORTHERN ARIZONA ON SUNDAY.
BREEZY NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS AND HIGH TEMPERATURES 4-6 DEGREES
BELOW NORMAL ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY OF NEXT WEEK...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BRING DRY CONDITIONS AND WARMING DAYTIME TEMPERATURES...WITH
HIGH TEMPERATURES RETURNING CLOSE TO NORMAL VALUES BY WEDNESDAY.
NORTH TO NORTHEAST BREEZES ARE FORECAST MAINLY FROM THE MOGOLLON
RIM SOUTHWARD.

FOR THURSDAY OF NEXT WEEK...SOME OF THE MODELS ARE HINTING AT A COLD
TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING THROUGH THE SOUTHWEST U.S.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 18Z PACKAGE...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL TODAY
WITH LIGHT WINDS GENERALLY UNDER 10 KTS. STRATUS DECK ACROSS
NORTHERN AZ FROM KFLG-KINW NORTH EXPECTED TO DIMINISH THIS
AFTERNOON. EXPECT INCREASING THICK MID AND UPPER LEVEL CLOUD COVER
AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING WEATHER SYSTEM AFT 00Z FRIDAY...WITH CHANCES
FOR SHRA/SHSN DEVELOPING PRIMARILY AFT 12Z FRIDAY FROM KFLG-KPAN
WESTWARD. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........MAS/TC
AVIATION.......MCS

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF














000
FXUS65 KFGZ 201054
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
356 AM MST THU NOV 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A FAST MOVING HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY
BRINGING MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES...THEN A WEAK DISTURBANCE IS FORECAST TO
MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA ON FRIDAY...BRINGING A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS...AND COOLER CONDITIONS. SNOW LEVELS WILL BE AROUND 6500
FEET. A COUPLE OF DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN
WEST NORTH OF ARIZONA SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...BRINGING BREEZY
NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS ALONG THE
ARIZONA UTAH BORDER...AND NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES.
&&

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK RIDGE WILL MOVE OVER ARIZONA TODAY WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES
AND SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS WESTERN AND THEN
SOUTHERN ARIZONA ON FRIDAY. THIS WILL BRING THE BEST CHANCE OF LIGHT
SHOWERS AND HIGHER ELEVATION SNOW SHOWERS FROM THE KAIBAB
PLATEAU...AND MOGOLLON RIM. AREAS NORTHEAST OF THE MOGOLLON RIM WILL
JUST HAVE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER AIR WILL DROP THE SNOW
LEVEL DOWN TO AROUND 6500 FEET...WITH LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATION ABOVE
THAT ELEVATION.

ON SATURDAY...A FAST MOVING UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE IS
FORECAST TO  MOVE ACROSS THE REGION...BRINGING DRY CONDITIONS AND
NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES. ANOTHER WEATHER SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO
EFFECT NORTHERN ARIZONA BY LATE SATURDAY WITH INCREASING WEST TO
NORTHWEST WINDS. ON SUNDAY...THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE ON TO THE
EAST...BUT WILL HAVE PUSHED A DRY COLD FRONT SOUTHWARD ACROSS
ARIZONA SUNDAY AND MONDAY. THIS WEATHER SYSTEM WILL BRING ONLY A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO MAINLY FAR NORTHERN ARIZONA ON SUNDAY.
BREEZY NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS AND HIGH TEMPERATURES 4-6 DEGREES
BELOW NORMAL ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY OF NEXT WEEK...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BRING DRY CONDITIONS AND WARMING DAYTIME TEMPERATURES...WITH
HIGH TEMPERATURES RETURNING CLOSE TO NORMAL VALUES BY WEDNESDAY.
NORTH TO NORTHEAST BREEZES ARE FORECAST MAINLY FROM THE MOGOLLON
RIM SOUTHWARD.

FOR THURSDAY OF NEXT WEEK...SOME OF THE MODELS ARE HINTING AT A COLD
TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING THROUGH THE SOUTHWEST U.S.

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR THE 12Z PACKAGE...VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD. EXPECT INCREASING THICK MID AND UPPER LEVEL CLOUD
COVER AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING WEATHER SYSTEM BEGINNING THURSDAY
EVENING. PRESCRIBED BURNING ACTIVITY IN THE FORESTS MAY LEAD TO
LOCALIZED SPOTS OF REDUCED VISIBILITY IN SETTLING SMOKE DURING THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........TC
AVIATION.......RICKEY

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF













000
FXUS65 KFGZ 201054
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
356 AM MST THU NOV 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A FAST MOVING HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY
BRINGING MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES...THEN A WEAK DISTURBANCE IS FORECAST TO
MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA ON FRIDAY...BRINGING A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS...AND COOLER CONDITIONS. SNOW LEVELS WILL BE AROUND 6500
FEET. A COUPLE OF DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN
WEST NORTH OF ARIZONA SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...BRINGING BREEZY
NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS ALONG THE
ARIZONA UTAH BORDER...AND NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES.
&&

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK RIDGE WILL MOVE OVER ARIZONA TODAY WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES
AND SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS WESTERN AND THEN
SOUTHERN ARIZONA ON FRIDAY. THIS WILL BRING THE BEST CHANCE OF LIGHT
SHOWERS AND HIGHER ELEVATION SNOW SHOWERS FROM THE KAIBAB
PLATEAU...AND MOGOLLON RIM. AREAS NORTHEAST OF THE MOGOLLON RIM WILL
JUST HAVE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER AIR WILL DROP THE SNOW
LEVEL DOWN TO AROUND 6500 FEET...WITH LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATION ABOVE
THAT ELEVATION.

ON SATURDAY...A FAST MOVING UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE IS
FORECAST TO  MOVE ACROSS THE REGION...BRINGING DRY CONDITIONS AND
NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES. ANOTHER WEATHER SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO
EFFECT NORTHERN ARIZONA BY LATE SATURDAY WITH INCREASING WEST TO
NORTHWEST WINDS. ON SUNDAY...THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE ON TO THE
EAST...BUT WILL HAVE PUSHED A DRY COLD FRONT SOUTHWARD ACROSS
ARIZONA SUNDAY AND MONDAY. THIS WEATHER SYSTEM WILL BRING ONLY A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO MAINLY FAR NORTHERN ARIZONA ON SUNDAY.
BREEZY NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS AND HIGH TEMPERATURES 4-6 DEGREES
BELOW NORMAL ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY OF NEXT WEEK...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BRING DRY CONDITIONS AND WARMING DAYTIME TEMPERATURES...WITH
HIGH TEMPERATURES RETURNING CLOSE TO NORMAL VALUES BY WEDNESDAY.
NORTH TO NORTHEAST BREEZES ARE FORECAST MAINLY FROM THE MOGOLLON
RIM SOUTHWARD.

FOR THURSDAY OF NEXT WEEK...SOME OF THE MODELS ARE HINTING AT A COLD
TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING THROUGH THE SOUTHWEST U.S.

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR THE 12Z PACKAGE...VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD. EXPECT INCREASING THICK MID AND UPPER LEVEL CLOUD
COVER AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING WEATHER SYSTEM BEGINNING THURSDAY
EVENING. PRESCRIBED BURNING ACTIVITY IN THE FORESTS MAY LEAD TO
LOCALIZED SPOTS OF REDUCED VISIBILITY IN SETTLING SMOKE DURING THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........TC
AVIATION.......RICKEY

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF












000
FXUS65 KFGZ 200356
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
856 PM MST WED NOV 19 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL CONTINUE TO BRUSH NORTHERN ARIZONA THIS
EVENING WITH PERIODS OF CLOUDINESS. A COUPLE OF STRONGER
DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHLAND FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY
BRINGING RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS TO PORTIONS OF NORTHERN ARIZONA.
THE SYSTEM ON FRIDAY MAY BRING SOME LIGHT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS DOWN TO
AROUND THE 6500 FOOT LEVEL.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
CURRENT FORECAST LOOKS ON TRACK. NO MAJOR UPDATES PLANNED THIS
EVENING.

&&

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION /315 PM MST/...
A WEAK TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA THIS
EVENING AS THE RIDGE THAT HAS BEEN OVER THE STATE SHIFTS EAST.
MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS SHOULD MOVE OUT OF THE AREA LATE THIS
EVENING WITH A FEW VIRGA SHOWERS POSSIBLE. A WEAK RIDGE WILL MOVE
OVER ARIZONA ON THURSDAY WITH CLEARING SKIES.

A WEAKENING TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS
WESTERN ARIZONA ON FRIDAY. THIS WILL BRING THE BEST CHANCE OF
LIGHT SHOWERS AND HIGHER ELEVATION SNOW SHOWERS FROM THE KAIBAB
PLATEAU...MOGOLLON RIM...TO THE WHITE MOUNTAINS. AREAS NORTHEAST
OF THE MOGOLLON RIM WILL JUST HAVE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
COLDER AIR WILL DROP THE SNOW LEVEL DOWN TO BETWEEN 6000 AND 7000
FEET...WITH LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE ABOVE 6500 FEET. ON
SATURDAY...A SHORT LIVED UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
REGION...BRINGING DRY CONDITIONS AND NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES.
ANOTHER WEATHER SYSTEM TO OUR NORTH WILL SEND A DRY COLD FRONT
SOUTHWARD ACROSS ARIZONA SUNDAY AND MONDAY. THIS WILL BRING ONLY A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO MAINLY FAR NORTHERN ARIZONA ON SUNDAY.
BREEZY NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS AND HIGH TEMPERATURES 4-6 DEGREES
BELOW NORMAL ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY OF NEXT WEEK...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BRING DRY CONDITIONS AND WARMING DAYTIME TEMPERATURES...WITH
HIGH TEMPERATURES RETURNING CLOSE TO NORMAL VALUES BY WEDNESDAY.
NORTH TO NORTHEAST BREEZES ARE FORECAST MAINLY FROM THE MOGOLLON
RIM SOUTHWARD.

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR THE 06Z PACKAGE...VFR CONDITIONS UNDER PERIODIC MID AND UPPER
LEVEL CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. WINDS
VARIABLE OVERNIGHT...THEN LIGHT W-SW AFTER 18Z THURSDAY.
PRESCRIBED BURNING ACTIVITY IN THE FORESTS MAY LEAD TO LOCALIZED
SPOTS OF REDUCED VISIBILITY IN SETTLING SMOKE DURING THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........KD/MAS
AVIATION.......KD

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF









000
FXUS65 KFGZ 200356
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
856 PM MST WED NOV 19 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL CONTINUE TO BRUSH NORTHERN ARIZONA THIS
EVENING WITH PERIODS OF CLOUDINESS. A COUPLE OF STRONGER
DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHLAND FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY
BRINGING RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS TO PORTIONS OF NORTHERN ARIZONA.
THE SYSTEM ON FRIDAY MAY BRING SOME LIGHT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS DOWN TO
AROUND THE 6500 FOOT LEVEL.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
CURRENT FORECAST LOOKS ON TRACK. NO MAJOR UPDATES PLANNED THIS
EVENING.

&&

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION /315 PM MST/...
A WEAK TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA THIS
EVENING AS THE RIDGE THAT HAS BEEN OVER THE STATE SHIFTS EAST.
MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS SHOULD MOVE OUT OF THE AREA LATE THIS
EVENING WITH A FEW VIRGA SHOWERS POSSIBLE. A WEAK RIDGE WILL MOVE
OVER ARIZONA ON THURSDAY WITH CLEARING SKIES.

A WEAKENING TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS
WESTERN ARIZONA ON FRIDAY. THIS WILL BRING THE BEST CHANCE OF
LIGHT SHOWERS AND HIGHER ELEVATION SNOW SHOWERS FROM THE KAIBAB
PLATEAU...MOGOLLON RIM...TO THE WHITE MOUNTAINS. AREAS NORTHEAST
OF THE MOGOLLON RIM WILL JUST HAVE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
COLDER AIR WILL DROP THE SNOW LEVEL DOWN TO BETWEEN 6000 AND 7000
FEET...WITH LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE ABOVE 6500 FEET. ON
SATURDAY...A SHORT LIVED UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
REGION...BRINGING DRY CONDITIONS AND NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES.
ANOTHER WEATHER SYSTEM TO OUR NORTH WILL SEND A DRY COLD FRONT
SOUTHWARD ACROSS ARIZONA SUNDAY AND MONDAY. THIS WILL BRING ONLY A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO MAINLY FAR NORTHERN ARIZONA ON SUNDAY.
BREEZY NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS AND HIGH TEMPERATURES 4-6 DEGREES
BELOW NORMAL ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY OF NEXT WEEK...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BRING DRY CONDITIONS AND WARMING DAYTIME TEMPERATURES...WITH
HIGH TEMPERATURES RETURNING CLOSE TO NORMAL VALUES BY WEDNESDAY.
NORTH TO NORTHEAST BREEZES ARE FORECAST MAINLY FROM THE MOGOLLON
RIM SOUTHWARD.

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR THE 06Z PACKAGE...VFR CONDITIONS UNDER PERIODIC MID AND UPPER
LEVEL CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. WINDS
VARIABLE OVERNIGHT...THEN LIGHT W-SW AFTER 18Z THURSDAY.
PRESCRIBED BURNING ACTIVITY IN THE FORESTS MAY LEAD TO LOCALIZED
SPOTS OF REDUCED VISIBILITY IN SETTLING SMOKE DURING THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........KD/MAS
AVIATION.......KD

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF









000
FXUS65 KFGZ 200356
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
856 PM MST WED NOV 19 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL CONTINUE TO BRUSH NORTHERN ARIZONA THIS
EVENING WITH PERIODS OF CLOUDINESS. A COUPLE OF STRONGER
DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHLAND FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY
BRINGING RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS TO PORTIONS OF NORTHERN ARIZONA.
THE SYSTEM ON FRIDAY MAY BRING SOME LIGHT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS DOWN TO
AROUND THE 6500 FOOT LEVEL.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
CURRENT FORECAST LOOKS ON TRACK. NO MAJOR UPDATES PLANNED THIS
EVENING.

&&

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION /315 PM MST/...
A WEAK TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA THIS
EVENING AS THE RIDGE THAT HAS BEEN OVER THE STATE SHIFTS EAST.
MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS SHOULD MOVE OUT OF THE AREA LATE THIS
EVENING WITH A FEW VIRGA SHOWERS POSSIBLE. A WEAK RIDGE WILL MOVE
OVER ARIZONA ON THURSDAY WITH CLEARING SKIES.

A WEAKENING TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS
WESTERN ARIZONA ON FRIDAY. THIS WILL BRING THE BEST CHANCE OF
LIGHT SHOWERS AND HIGHER ELEVATION SNOW SHOWERS FROM THE KAIBAB
PLATEAU...MOGOLLON RIM...TO THE WHITE MOUNTAINS. AREAS NORTHEAST
OF THE MOGOLLON RIM WILL JUST HAVE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
COLDER AIR WILL DROP THE SNOW LEVEL DOWN TO BETWEEN 6000 AND 7000
FEET...WITH LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE ABOVE 6500 FEET. ON
SATURDAY...A SHORT LIVED UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
REGION...BRINGING DRY CONDITIONS AND NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES.
ANOTHER WEATHER SYSTEM TO OUR NORTH WILL SEND A DRY COLD FRONT
SOUTHWARD ACROSS ARIZONA SUNDAY AND MONDAY. THIS WILL BRING ONLY A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO MAINLY FAR NORTHERN ARIZONA ON SUNDAY.
BREEZY NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS AND HIGH TEMPERATURES 4-6 DEGREES
BELOW NORMAL ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY OF NEXT WEEK...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BRING DRY CONDITIONS AND WARMING DAYTIME TEMPERATURES...WITH
HIGH TEMPERATURES RETURNING CLOSE TO NORMAL VALUES BY WEDNESDAY.
NORTH TO NORTHEAST BREEZES ARE FORECAST MAINLY FROM THE MOGOLLON
RIM SOUTHWARD.

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR THE 06Z PACKAGE...VFR CONDITIONS UNDER PERIODIC MID AND UPPER
LEVEL CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. WINDS
VARIABLE OVERNIGHT...THEN LIGHT W-SW AFTER 18Z THURSDAY.
PRESCRIBED BURNING ACTIVITY IN THE FORESTS MAY LEAD TO LOCALIZED
SPOTS OF REDUCED VISIBILITY IN SETTLING SMOKE DURING THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........KD/MAS
AVIATION.......KD

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF










000
FXUS65 KFGZ 200356
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
856 PM MST WED NOV 19 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL CONTINUE TO BRUSH NORTHERN ARIZONA THIS
EVENING WITH PERIODS OF CLOUDINESS. A COUPLE OF STRONGER
DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHLAND FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY
BRINGING RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS TO PORTIONS OF NORTHERN ARIZONA.
THE SYSTEM ON FRIDAY MAY BRING SOME LIGHT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS DOWN TO
AROUND THE 6500 FOOT LEVEL.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
CURRENT FORECAST LOOKS ON TRACK. NO MAJOR UPDATES PLANNED THIS
EVENING.

&&

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION /315 PM MST/...
A WEAK TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA THIS
EVENING AS THE RIDGE THAT HAS BEEN OVER THE STATE SHIFTS EAST.
MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS SHOULD MOVE OUT OF THE AREA LATE THIS
EVENING WITH A FEW VIRGA SHOWERS POSSIBLE. A WEAK RIDGE WILL MOVE
OVER ARIZONA ON THURSDAY WITH CLEARING SKIES.

A WEAKENING TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS
WESTERN ARIZONA ON FRIDAY. THIS WILL BRING THE BEST CHANCE OF
LIGHT SHOWERS AND HIGHER ELEVATION SNOW SHOWERS FROM THE KAIBAB
PLATEAU...MOGOLLON RIM...TO THE WHITE MOUNTAINS. AREAS NORTHEAST
OF THE MOGOLLON RIM WILL JUST HAVE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
COLDER AIR WILL DROP THE SNOW LEVEL DOWN TO BETWEEN 6000 AND 7000
FEET...WITH LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE ABOVE 6500 FEET. ON
SATURDAY...A SHORT LIVED UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
REGION...BRINGING DRY CONDITIONS AND NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES.
ANOTHER WEATHER SYSTEM TO OUR NORTH WILL SEND A DRY COLD FRONT
SOUTHWARD ACROSS ARIZONA SUNDAY AND MONDAY. THIS WILL BRING ONLY A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO MAINLY FAR NORTHERN ARIZONA ON SUNDAY.
BREEZY NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS AND HIGH TEMPERATURES 4-6 DEGREES
BELOW NORMAL ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY OF NEXT WEEK...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BRING DRY CONDITIONS AND WARMING DAYTIME TEMPERATURES...WITH
HIGH TEMPERATURES RETURNING CLOSE TO NORMAL VALUES BY WEDNESDAY.
NORTH TO NORTHEAST BREEZES ARE FORECAST MAINLY FROM THE MOGOLLON
RIM SOUTHWARD.

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR THE 06Z PACKAGE...VFR CONDITIONS UNDER PERIODIC MID AND UPPER
LEVEL CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. WINDS
VARIABLE OVERNIGHT...THEN LIGHT W-SW AFTER 18Z THURSDAY.
PRESCRIBED BURNING ACTIVITY IN THE FORESTS MAY LEAD TO LOCALIZED
SPOTS OF REDUCED VISIBILITY IN SETTLING SMOKE DURING THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........KD/MAS
AVIATION.......KD

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF










000
FXUS65 KFGZ 192214
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
315 PM MST WED NOV 19 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL CONTINUE TO BRUSH NORTHERN ARIZONA THIS
EVENING WITH MID AND HIGH CLOUDS. A COUPLE OF STRONGER DISTURBANCES
WILL THEN MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHLAND FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY BRINGING
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS TO PORTIONS OF NORTHERN ARIZONA. THE SYSTEM ON
FRIDAY MAY BRING SOME LIGHT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS DOWN TO AROUND THE 6500
FOOT LEVEL.

&&
.DISCUSSION...A WEAK TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN
ARIZONA THIS EVENING AS THE RIDGE THAT HAS BEEN OVER THE STATE
SHIFTS EAST. MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS SHOULD MOVE OUT OF THE AREA
LATE THIS EVENING WITH A FEW VIRGA SHOWERS POSSIBLE. A WEAK
RIDGE WILL MOVE OVER ARIZONA ON THURSDAY WITH CLEARING SKIES.

A WEAKENING TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS WESTERN
ARIZONA ON FRIDAY. THIS WILL BRING THE BEST CHANCE OF LIGHT SHOWERS
AND HIGHER ELEVATION SNOW SHOWERS FROM THE KAIBAB PLATEAU...MOGOLLON
RIM...TO THE WHITE MOUNTAINS. AREAS NORTHEAST OF THE MOGOLLON RIM
WILL JUST HAVE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER AIR WILL DROP THE
SNOW LEVEL DOWN TO BETWEEN 6000 AND 7000 FEET...WITH LIGHT SNOW
ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE ABOVE 6500 FEET. ON SATURDAY...A SHORT LIVED
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION...BRINGING DRY
CONDITIONS AND NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES. ANOTHER WEATHER SYSTEM TO
OUR NORTH WILL SEND A DRY COLD FRONT SOUTHWARD ACROSS ARIZONA
SUNDAY AND MONDAY. THIS WILL BRING ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
TO MAINLY FAR NORTHERN ARIZONA ON SUNDAY. BREEZY NORTH TO NORTHEAST
WINDS AND HIGH TEMPERATURES 4-6 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL ARE EXPECTED
SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY OF NEXT WEEK...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BRING DRY CONDITIONS AND WARMING DAYTIME TEMPERATURES...WITH HIGH
TEMPERATURES RETURNING CLOSE TO NORMAL VALUES BY WEDNESDAY. NORTH TO
NORTHEAST BREEZES ARE FORECAST MAINLY FROM THE MOGOLLON RIM SOUTHWARD
&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 00Z PACKAGE...VFR CONDITIONS UNDER PERIODIC MID
AND UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
GENERALLY WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 KTS OR LESS EXPECTED THROUGH
SUNSET THIS EVENING...THEN AGAIN THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

PRESCRIBED BURNING ACTIVITY IN THE FORESTS MAY LEAD TO LOCALIZED
SPOTS OF REDUCED VISIBILITY IN SETTLING SMOKE DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........MAS
AVIATION.......MCS

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF


















000
FXUS65 KFGZ 192214
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
315 PM MST WED NOV 19 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL CONTINUE TO BRUSH NORTHERN ARIZONA THIS
EVENING WITH MID AND HIGH CLOUDS. A COUPLE OF STRONGER DISTURBANCES
WILL THEN MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHLAND FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY BRINGING
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS TO PORTIONS OF NORTHERN ARIZONA. THE SYSTEM ON
FRIDAY MAY BRING SOME LIGHT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS DOWN TO AROUND THE 6500
FOOT LEVEL.

&&
.DISCUSSION...A WEAK TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN
ARIZONA THIS EVENING AS THE RIDGE THAT HAS BEEN OVER THE STATE
SHIFTS EAST. MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS SHOULD MOVE OUT OF THE AREA
LATE THIS EVENING WITH A FEW VIRGA SHOWERS POSSIBLE. A WEAK
RIDGE WILL MOVE OVER ARIZONA ON THURSDAY WITH CLEARING SKIES.

A WEAKENING TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS WESTERN
ARIZONA ON FRIDAY. THIS WILL BRING THE BEST CHANCE OF LIGHT SHOWERS
AND HIGHER ELEVATION SNOW SHOWERS FROM THE KAIBAB PLATEAU...MOGOLLON
RIM...TO THE WHITE MOUNTAINS. AREAS NORTHEAST OF THE MOGOLLON RIM
WILL JUST HAVE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER AIR WILL DROP THE
SNOW LEVEL DOWN TO BETWEEN 6000 AND 7000 FEET...WITH LIGHT SNOW
ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE ABOVE 6500 FEET. ON SATURDAY...A SHORT LIVED
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION...BRINGING DRY
CONDITIONS AND NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES. ANOTHER WEATHER SYSTEM TO
OUR NORTH WILL SEND A DRY COLD FRONT SOUTHWARD ACROSS ARIZONA
SUNDAY AND MONDAY. THIS WILL BRING ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
TO MAINLY FAR NORTHERN ARIZONA ON SUNDAY. BREEZY NORTH TO NORTHEAST
WINDS AND HIGH TEMPERATURES 4-6 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL ARE EXPECTED
SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY OF NEXT WEEK...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BRING DRY CONDITIONS AND WARMING DAYTIME TEMPERATURES...WITH HIGH
TEMPERATURES RETURNING CLOSE TO NORMAL VALUES BY WEDNESDAY. NORTH TO
NORTHEAST BREEZES ARE FORECAST MAINLY FROM THE MOGOLLON RIM SOUTHWARD
&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 00Z PACKAGE...VFR CONDITIONS UNDER PERIODIC MID
AND UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
GENERALLY WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 KTS OR LESS EXPECTED THROUGH
SUNSET THIS EVENING...THEN AGAIN THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

PRESCRIBED BURNING ACTIVITY IN THE FORESTS MAY LEAD TO LOCALIZED
SPOTS OF REDUCED VISIBILITY IN SETTLING SMOKE DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........MAS
AVIATION.......MCS

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF



















000
FXUS65 KFGZ 191653
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
950 AM MST WED NOV 19 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL MOVE EAST OF ARIZONA BY LATE TODAY AS A
WEAK WEATHER DISTURBANCE MOVES ACROSS UTAH. A COUPLE OF DISTURBANCES
WILL THEN MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHLAND FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY BRINGING
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS TO PORTIONS OF NORTHERN ARIZONA. THE SYSTEM ON
FRIDAY MAY BRING SOME LIGHT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS DOWN TO AROUND THE 6500
FOOT LEVEL.

&&
.DISCUSSION...THE RIDGE THAT HAS BEEN WEST OF ARIZONA IS SHIFTING
EAST TODAY AS A WEAK TROUGH MOVES INTO UTAH. SATELLITE AND RADAR
INDICATE VIRGA OR LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS MOVING ACROSS SOUTHWEST UTAH
AND NORTHWEST ARIZONA. HAVE UPDATED FORECAST TO INCLUDE A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS OVER THE KAIBAB PLATEAU FOR TODAY.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION /520 AM MST/...
AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL MOVE ACROSS ARIZONA TODAY
AND THURSDAY...WITH DRY CONDITIONS. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL WARM BACK
TO A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL AND OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES WILL
WARM BACK TO SEASONAL VALUES FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR.

A WEAKENING TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS ARIZONA ON
FRIDAY WITH A GOOD CHANCE OF LIGHT SHOWERS AND HIGHER ELEVATION SNOW
SHOWERS. COLDER AIR WILL DROP THE SNOW LEVEL BETWEEN 6000 AND 7000
FEET...WITH LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE ABOVE 6500 FEET. ON
SATURDAY...A SHORT LIVED UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
MOVE ACROSS THE REGION...BRINGING DRY CONDITIONS AND NEAR NORMAL
TEMPERATURES. ANOTHER WEATHER SYSTEM TO OUR NORTH WILL SEND A COLD
FRONT INTO ARIZONA ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY...BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS TO MAINLY FAR NORTHERN ARIZONA ON SUNDAY. LOOK FOR BREEZY
NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS AND HIGH TEMPERATURES 4-6 DEGREES BELOW
NORMAL DURING THIS TIME PERIOD.

TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY OF NEXT WEEK...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE IS
FORECAST TO RETURN...BRINGING DRY CONDITIONS AND WARMING DAYTIME
TEMPERATURES...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES RETURNING CLOSE TO NORMAL
VALUES BY WEDNESDAY. NORTH TO NORTHEAST BREEZES ARE FORECAST MAINLY
FROM THE MOGOLLON RIM SOUTHWARD
&&

.AVIATION...
FOR THE 12Z PACKAGE...VFR CONDITIONS FOR THE 24 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD
UNDER INCREASING MID-HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS. LIGHT WINDS WILL CONTINUE
BUT WILL SWITCH TO A MORE SOUTHWESTERLY WIND DIRECTION. AVIATION
DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR AMENDMENTS.
&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........TC
AVIATION.......RICKEY

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF
















000
FXUS65 KFGZ 191653
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
950 AM MST WED NOV 19 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL MOVE EAST OF ARIZONA BY LATE TODAY AS A
WEAK WEATHER DISTURBANCE MOVES ACROSS UTAH. A COUPLE OF DISTURBANCES
WILL THEN MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHLAND FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY BRINGING
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS TO PORTIONS OF NORTHERN ARIZONA. THE SYSTEM ON
FRIDAY MAY BRING SOME LIGHT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS DOWN TO AROUND THE 6500
FOOT LEVEL.

&&
.DISCUSSION...THE RIDGE THAT HAS BEEN WEST OF ARIZONA IS SHIFTING
EAST TODAY AS A WEAK TROUGH MOVES INTO UTAH. SATELLITE AND RADAR
INDICATE VIRGA OR LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS MOVING ACROSS SOUTHWEST UTAH
AND NORTHWEST ARIZONA. HAVE UPDATED FORECAST TO INCLUDE A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS OVER THE KAIBAB PLATEAU FOR TODAY.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION /520 AM MST/...
AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL MOVE ACROSS ARIZONA TODAY
AND THURSDAY...WITH DRY CONDITIONS. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL WARM BACK
TO A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL AND OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES WILL
WARM BACK TO SEASONAL VALUES FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR.

A WEAKENING TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS ARIZONA ON
FRIDAY WITH A GOOD CHANCE OF LIGHT SHOWERS AND HIGHER ELEVATION SNOW
SHOWERS. COLDER AIR WILL DROP THE SNOW LEVEL BETWEEN 6000 AND 7000
FEET...WITH LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE ABOVE 6500 FEET. ON
SATURDAY...A SHORT LIVED UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
MOVE ACROSS THE REGION...BRINGING DRY CONDITIONS AND NEAR NORMAL
TEMPERATURES. ANOTHER WEATHER SYSTEM TO OUR NORTH WILL SEND A COLD
FRONT INTO ARIZONA ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY...BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS TO MAINLY FAR NORTHERN ARIZONA ON SUNDAY. LOOK FOR BREEZY
NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS AND HIGH TEMPERATURES 4-6 DEGREES BELOW
NORMAL DURING THIS TIME PERIOD.

TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY OF NEXT WEEK...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE IS
FORECAST TO RETURN...BRINGING DRY CONDITIONS AND WARMING DAYTIME
TEMPERATURES...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES RETURNING CLOSE TO NORMAL
VALUES BY WEDNESDAY. NORTH TO NORTHEAST BREEZES ARE FORECAST MAINLY
FROM THE MOGOLLON RIM SOUTHWARD
&&

.AVIATION...
FOR THE 12Z PACKAGE...VFR CONDITIONS FOR THE 24 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD
UNDER INCREASING MID-HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS. LIGHT WINDS WILL CONTINUE
BUT WILL SWITCH TO A MORE SOUTHWESTERLY WIND DIRECTION. AVIATION
DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR AMENDMENTS.
&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........TC
AVIATION.......RICKEY

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF

















000
FXUS65 KFGZ 191220 CCB
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
520 AM MST WED NOV 19 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL MOVE ACROSS ARIZONA TODAY
AND THURSDAY...THIS WILL BRING WARMER AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES. A
COUPLE OF DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHLAND FRIDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY BRINGING RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS TO PORTIONS OF NORTHERN
ARIZONA. THE SYSTEM ON FRIDAY MAY BRING SOME LIGHT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS
DOWN TO AROUND THE 6500 FOOT LEVEL.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL MOVE ACROSS ARIZONA TODAY
AND THURSDAY...WITH DRY CONDITIONS. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL WARM BACK
TO A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL AND OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES WILL
WARM BACK TO SEASONAL VALUES FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR.

A WEAKENING TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS ARIZONA ON
FRIDAY WITH A GOOD CHANCE OF LIGHT SHOWERS AND HIGHER ELEVATION SNOW
SHOWERS. COLDER AIR WILL DROP THE SNOW LEVEL BETWEEN 6000 AND 7000
FEET...WITH LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE ABOVE 6500 FEET. ON
SATURDAY...A SHORT LIVED UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
MOVE ACROSS THE REGION...BRINGING DRY CONDITIONS AND NEAR NORMAL
TEMPERATURES. ANOTHER WEATHER SYSTEM TO OUR NORTH WILL SEND A COLD
FRONT INTO ARIZONA ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY...BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS TO MAINLY FAR NORTHERN ARIZONA ON SUNDAY. LOOK FOR BREEZY
NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS AND HIGH TEMPERATURES 4-6 DEGREES BELOW
NORMAL DURING THIS TIME PERIOD.

TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY OF NEXT WEEK...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE IS
FORECAST TO RETURN...BRINGING DRY CONDITIONS AND WARMING DAYTIME
TEMPERATURES...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES RETURNING CLOSE TO NORMAL
VALUES BY WEDNESDAY. NORTH TO NORTHEAST BREEZES ARE FORECAST MAINLY
FROM THE MOGOLLON RIM SOUTHWARD
&&

.AVIATION...
FOR THE 12Z PACKAGE...VFR CONDITIONS FOR THE 24 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD
UNDER INCREASING MID-HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS. LIGHT WINDS WILL CONTINUE
BUT WILL SWITCH TO A MORE SOUTHWESTERLY WIND DIRECTION. AVIATION
DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR AMENDMENTS.
&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........TC
AVIATION.......RICKEY

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF















000
FXUS65 KFGZ 191220 CCB
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
520 AM MST WED NOV 19 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL MOVE ACROSS ARIZONA TODAY
AND THURSDAY...THIS WILL BRING WARMER AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES. A
COUPLE OF DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHLAND FRIDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY BRINGING RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS TO PORTIONS OF NORTHERN
ARIZONA. THE SYSTEM ON FRIDAY MAY BRING SOME LIGHT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS
DOWN TO AROUND THE 6500 FOOT LEVEL.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL MOVE ACROSS ARIZONA TODAY
AND THURSDAY...WITH DRY CONDITIONS. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL WARM BACK
TO A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL AND OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES WILL
WARM BACK TO SEASONAL VALUES FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR.

A WEAKENING TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS ARIZONA ON
FRIDAY WITH A GOOD CHANCE OF LIGHT SHOWERS AND HIGHER ELEVATION SNOW
SHOWERS. COLDER AIR WILL DROP THE SNOW LEVEL BETWEEN 6000 AND 7000
FEET...WITH LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE ABOVE 6500 FEET. ON
SATURDAY...A SHORT LIVED UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
MOVE ACROSS THE REGION...BRINGING DRY CONDITIONS AND NEAR NORMAL
TEMPERATURES. ANOTHER WEATHER SYSTEM TO OUR NORTH WILL SEND A COLD
FRONT INTO ARIZONA ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY...BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS TO MAINLY FAR NORTHERN ARIZONA ON SUNDAY. LOOK FOR BREEZY
NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS AND HIGH TEMPERATURES 4-6 DEGREES BELOW
NORMAL DURING THIS TIME PERIOD.

TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY OF NEXT WEEK...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE IS
FORECAST TO RETURN...BRINGING DRY CONDITIONS AND WARMING DAYTIME
TEMPERATURES...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES RETURNING CLOSE TO NORMAL
VALUES BY WEDNESDAY. NORTH TO NORTHEAST BREEZES ARE FORECAST MAINLY
FROM THE MOGOLLON RIM SOUTHWARD
&&

.AVIATION...
FOR THE 12Z PACKAGE...VFR CONDITIONS FOR THE 24 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD
UNDER INCREASING MID-HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS. LIGHT WINDS WILL CONTINUE
BUT WILL SWITCH TO A MORE SOUTHWESTERLY WIND DIRECTION. AVIATION
DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR AMENDMENTS.
&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........TC
AVIATION.......RICKEY

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF














000
FXUS65 KFGZ 191149 CCA
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
450 AM MST WED NOV 19 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL MOVE ACROSS ARIZONA TODAY
AND THURSDAY...THIS WILL BRING WARMER AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES. A
COUPLE OF DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHLAND FRIDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY BRINGING RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS TO PORTIONS OF NORTHERN
ARIZONA. THE SYSTEM ON FRIDAY MAY BRING SOME LIGHT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS
DOWN TO AROUND THE 6500 FOOT LEVEL.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL MOVE ACROSS ARIZONA TODAY
AND THURSDAY...WITH DRY CONDITIONS. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL WARM BACK
TO A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL AND OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES WILL
WARM BACK TO SEASONAL VALUES FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR.

A WEAKENING TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS ARIZONA ON
FRIDAY WITH A GOOD CHANCE OF LIGHT SHOWERS AND HIGHER ELEVATION SNOW
SHOWERS. COLDER AIR WILL DROP THE SNOW LEVEL BETWEEN 6000 AND 7000
FEET...WITH LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE ABOVE 6500 FEET. ON
SATURDAY...A SHORT LIVED UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
MOVE ACROSS THE REGION...BRINGING DRY CONDITIONS AND NEAR NORMAL
TEMPERATURES. ANOTHER WEATHER SYSTEM TO OUR NORTH WILL SEND A COLD
FRONT INTO ARIZONA ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY...BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS TO MAINLY FAR NORTHERN ARIZONA ON SUNDAY. LOOK FOR BREEZY
NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS AND HIGH TEMPERATURES 4-6 DEGREES BELOW
NORMAL DURING THIS TIME PERIOD.

TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY OF NEXT WEEK...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE IS
FORECAST TO RETURN...BRINGING DRY CONDITIONS AND WARMING DAYTIME
TEMPERATURES...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES RETURNING CLOSE TO NORMAL
VALUES BY WEDNESDAY. NORTH TO NORTHEAST BREEZES ARE FORECAST MAINLY
FROM THE MOGOLLON RIM SOUTHWARD
&&

.AVIATION...
FOR THE 12Z PACKAGE...VFR CONDITIONS FOR THE 24 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD
UNDER INCREASING MID-HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS. LIGHT WINDS WILL CONTINUE
BUT WILL ARE FORECAST TO SWITCH TO A MORE SOUTHWESTERLY WIND
DIRECTION AT THE TAF SITES. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR
AMENDMENTS.
&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........TC
AVIATION.......RICKEY

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF














000
FXUS65 KFGZ 191149 CCA
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
450 AM MST WED NOV 19 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL MOVE ACROSS ARIZONA TODAY
AND THURSDAY...THIS WILL BRING WARMER AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES. A
COUPLE OF DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHLAND FRIDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY BRINGING RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS TO PORTIONS OF NORTHERN
ARIZONA. THE SYSTEM ON FRIDAY MAY BRING SOME LIGHT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS
DOWN TO AROUND THE 6500 FOOT LEVEL.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL MOVE ACROSS ARIZONA TODAY
AND THURSDAY...WITH DRY CONDITIONS. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL WARM BACK
TO A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL AND OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES WILL
WARM BACK TO SEASONAL VALUES FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR.

A WEAKENING TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS ARIZONA ON
FRIDAY WITH A GOOD CHANCE OF LIGHT SHOWERS AND HIGHER ELEVATION SNOW
SHOWERS. COLDER AIR WILL DROP THE SNOW LEVEL BETWEEN 6000 AND 7000
FEET...WITH LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE ABOVE 6500 FEET. ON
SATURDAY...A SHORT LIVED UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
MOVE ACROSS THE REGION...BRINGING DRY CONDITIONS AND NEAR NORMAL
TEMPERATURES. ANOTHER WEATHER SYSTEM TO OUR NORTH WILL SEND A COLD
FRONT INTO ARIZONA ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY...BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS TO MAINLY FAR NORTHERN ARIZONA ON SUNDAY. LOOK FOR BREEZY
NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS AND HIGH TEMPERATURES 4-6 DEGREES BELOW
NORMAL DURING THIS TIME PERIOD.

TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY OF NEXT WEEK...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE IS
FORECAST TO RETURN...BRINGING DRY CONDITIONS AND WARMING DAYTIME
TEMPERATURES...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES RETURNING CLOSE TO NORMAL
VALUES BY WEDNESDAY. NORTH TO NORTHEAST BREEZES ARE FORECAST MAINLY
FROM THE MOGOLLON RIM SOUTHWARD
&&

.AVIATION...
FOR THE 12Z PACKAGE...VFR CONDITIONS FOR THE 24 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD
UNDER INCREASING MID-HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS. LIGHT WINDS WILL CONTINUE
BUT WILL ARE FORECAST TO SWITCH TO A MORE SOUTHWESTERLY WIND
DIRECTION AT THE TAF SITES. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR
AMENDMENTS.
&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........TC
AVIATION.......RICKEY

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF













000
FXUS65 KFGZ 191045
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
345 AM MST WED NOV 19 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL MOVE ACROSS ARIZONA TODAY
AND THURSDAY...THIS WILL BRING WARMER AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES. A
COUPLE OF DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHLAND FRIDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY BRINGING RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS TO PORTIONS OF NORTHERN
ARIZONA. THE SYSTEM ON FRIDAY MAY BRING SOME LIGHT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS
DOWN TO AROUND THE 6500 FOOT LEVEL.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL MOVE ACROSS ARIZONA TODAY
AND THURSDAY...WITH DRY CONDITIONS. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL WARM BACK
TO A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL AND OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES WILL
WARM BACK TO SEASONAL VALUES FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR.

A WEAKENING TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS ARIZONA ON
FRIDAY WITH A GOOD CHANCE OF LIGHT SHOWERS AND HIGHER ELEVATION SNOW
SHOWERS. COLDER AIR WILL DROP THE SNOW LEVEL BETWEEN 6000 AND 7000
FEET...LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATION ARE POSSIBLE ABOVE 6500 FEET. ON
SATURDAY...A SHORT LIVED UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
MOVE ACROSS THE REGION...BRINGING DRY CONDITIONS AND NEAR NORMAL
TEMPERATURES. ANOTHER WEATHER SYSTEM TO OUR NORTH WILL SEND A COLD
FRONT INTO ARIZONA ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY...BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS TO MAINLY FAR NORTHERN ARIZONA ON SUNDAY. LOOK FOR BREEZY
NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS AND HIGH TEMPERATURES 4-6 DEGREES BELOW
NORMAL DURING THIS TIME PERIOD.

TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY OF NEXT WEEK...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE IS
FORECAST TO RETURN...BRINGING DRY CONDITIONS AND WARMING DAYTIME
TEMPERATURES...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES RETURNING CLOSE TO NORMAL
VALUES BY WEDNESDAY. NORTH TO NORTHEAST BREEZES ARE FORECAST MAINLY
FROM THE MOGOLLON RIM SOUTHWARD
&&

.AVIATION...
FOR THE 12Z PACKAGE...VFR CONDITIONS FOR THE 24 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD
UNDER INCREASING MID-HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS. LIGHT WINDS WILL CONTINUE
BUT WILL ARE FORECAST TO SWITCH TO A MORE SOUTHWESTERLY WIND
DIRECTION AT THE TAF SITES. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR
AMENDMENTS.
&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........TC
AVIATION.......RICKEY

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF













000
FXUS65 KFGZ 191045
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
345 AM MST WED NOV 19 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL MOVE ACROSS ARIZONA TODAY
AND THURSDAY...THIS WILL BRING WARMER AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES. A
COUPLE OF DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHLAND FRIDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY BRINGING RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS TO PORTIONS OF NORTHERN
ARIZONA. THE SYSTEM ON FRIDAY MAY BRING SOME LIGHT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS
DOWN TO AROUND THE 6500 FOOT LEVEL.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL MOVE ACROSS ARIZONA TODAY
AND THURSDAY...WITH DRY CONDITIONS. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL WARM BACK
TO A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL AND OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES WILL
WARM BACK TO SEASONAL VALUES FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR.

A WEAKENING TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS ARIZONA ON
FRIDAY WITH A GOOD CHANCE OF LIGHT SHOWERS AND HIGHER ELEVATION SNOW
SHOWERS. COLDER AIR WILL DROP THE SNOW LEVEL BETWEEN 6000 AND 7000
FEET...LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATION ARE POSSIBLE ABOVE 6500 FEET. ON
SATURDAY...A SHORT LIVED UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
MOVE ACROSS THE REGION...BRINGING DRY CONDITIONS AND NEAR NORMAL
TEMPERATURES. ANOTHER WEATHER SYSTEM TO OUR NORTH WILL SEND A COLD
FRONT INTO ARIZONA ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY...BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS TO MAINLY FAR NORTHERN ARIZONA ON SUNDAY. LOOK FOR BREEZY
NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS AND HIGH TEMPERATURES 4-6 DEGREES BELOW
NORMAL DURING THIS TIME PERIOD.

TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY OF NEXT WEEK...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE IS
FORECAST TO RETURN...BRINGING DRY CONDITIONS AND WARMING DAYTIME
TEMPERATURES...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES RETURNING CLOSE TO NORMAL
VALUES BY WEDNESDAY. NORTH TO NORTHEAST BREEZES ARE FORECAST MAINLY
FROM THE MOGOLLON RIM SOUTHWARD
&&

.AVIATION...
FOR THE 12Z PACKAGE...VFR CONDITIONS FOR THE 24 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD
UNDER INCREASING MID-HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS. LIGHT WINDS WILL CONTINUE
BUT WILL ARE FORECAST TO SWITCH TO A MORE SOUTHWESTERLY WIND
DIRECTION AT THE TAF SITES. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR
AMENDMENTS.
&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........TC
AVIATION.......RICKEY

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF












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