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000
FXUS64 KFWD 262117
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
317 PM CST WED NOV 26 2014

.DISCUSSION...
THE CURRENT UPPER AIR PATTERN ACROSS THE CONUS IS COMPRISED OF A
TROUGH IN THE EAST AND A RIDGE IN THE WEST...PLACING NORTH TEXAS
IN A REGION OF NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. SATELLITE IMAGERY THIS
AFTERNOON DEPICTS A DISTINCT SHORTWAVE OVER MISSOURI MOVING
SOUTHEAST IN THE FLOW ALOFT. THIS FEATURE IS HELPING FORCE A COLD
FRONT SOUTH THROUGH NORTH TEXAS TODAY. THE FRONT HAS MADE IT
THROUGH MOST OF THE AREA ALREADY...BRINGING NORTH WINDS AROUND 15
MPH IN ITS WAKE. COLD AIR ADVECTION HAS BEEN LESS THAN IMPRESSIVE
THUS FAR AS TEMPS HAVE BEEN ABLE TO CLIMB INTO THE 60S WITH A FEW
70 DEGREE READINGS ACROSS THE SOUTH. HOWEVER... COOLER READINGS
NOW SEEN IN OK SHOULD BEGIN ADVECTING SOUTH OF THE RED RIVER SOON.
WIND SPEEDS ARE EXPECTED TO DROP BELOW 10 MPH THIS EVENING...WHICH
WHEN COMBINED WITH CLEAR SKIES AND DRY AIR SHOULD ALLOW
TEMPERATURES TO DROP INTO THE 30S OVERNIGHT. SOME RURAL LOCATIONS
WILL SEE MORNING LOW TEMPS AT OR JUST BELOW FREEZING...PRIMARILY
ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE REGION. PATCHY AREAS OF FROST WILL
STILL BE POSSIBLE IN LOCATIONS THAT BOTTOM OUT IN THE MID 30S.

WINDS WILL VEER TO THE EAST DURING THE THANKSGIVING MORNING
HOURS...EVENTUALLY BECOMING SOUTHEASTERLY BY THE MID AFTERNOON
HOURS AS A SURFACE RIDGE SHIFTS QUICKLY EAST FROM THE PLAINS INTO
THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY. WARM AIR ADVECTION WILL BE LIGHT IF
AT ALL AND HIGH TEMPERATURES TOMORROW WILL REMAIN IN THE UPPER 50S
ACROSS THE NORTH TO LOWER 60S ACROSS THE SOUTH. RETURN FLOW WILL
CRANK UP SUBSTANTIALLY ON FRIDAY AS THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT
TIGHTENS BETWEEN THE RIDGE TO OUR EAST AND A DEVELOPING TROUGH IN
LEE OF THE ROCKIES. THE TROUGHING WILL OCCUR IN RESPONSE TO A
PRONOUNCED NORTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE TROUGH DROPPING SOUTH FROM
BRITISH COLUMBIA INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST...COUPLED WITH A
SOUTHERN STREAM UPPER LOW APPROACHING THE CALIFORNIA COAST.

THE SHORTWAVE WILL SWING SOUTHEAST INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS OVER
THE WEEKEND...SENDING AN ARCTIC FRONT SURGING SOUTH THROUGH THE
PLAINS STATES. STRONG WARM ADVECTION ACROSS NORTH TEXAS FRIDAY
THROUGH SUNDAY AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT WILL CREATE ABOVE-NORMAL
TEMPERATURES OVER THE WEEKEND...WITH HIGHS IN THE MID AND UPPER
70S EXPECTED SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. THE FRONT SHOULD BRING AN ABRUPT
END TO THESE TEMPERATURES AS IT PUSHES THROUGH ON MONDAY. MODEL
DATA NOW INDICATES THAT THE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED UPPER LOW
APPROACHING THE WEST COAST WILL OPEN UP AS A PROGRESSIVELY
WEAKENING UPPER TROUGH AS IT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST NEXT WEEK. THIS
WILL PROVIDE LITTLE IN THE WAY OF AN OBSTACLE WITH REGARD TO THE
SOUTHWARD PUSH OF THE COLD FRONT...SO THE BOUNDARY WILL LIKELY MAKE
IT THROUGH THE ENTIRE AREA BY MONDAY EVENING...TAKING US FROM
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS SATURDAY-SUNDAY TO TO BELOW NORMAL MONDAY-TUESDAY.

AS FAR AS PRECIPITATION...THE WEAKER UPPER TROUGH MEANS THAT RAIN
CHANCES WILL BE LOWER AS THE FEATURE TRAVERSES THE PLAINS DURING
THE TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY TIME FRAME. LOW POPS WILL CONTINUE
MONDAY AND TUESDAY OVER EASTERN COUNTIES WHERE GUIDANCE POINTS AT
THE POSSIBILITY OF LIGHT SHOWERS IN THE VICINITY OF THE COLD FRONT.
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR DURING THE SECOND HALF
OF THE WEEK ASSOCIATED WITH THE WEAKENING TROUGH. WE WILL KEEP
THESE POPS AT 20 PERCENT AND ADJUST IF NECESSARY AS NEWER MODEL
DATA ARRIVES.

30

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 1128 AM CST WED NOV 26 2014/
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT
HAS MOVED THROUGH THE METROPLEX TAF SITES AS OF 17Z AND WILL MOVE
THROUGH WACO IN THE NEXT HOUR. NORTHWEST WINDS 12-15 KNOTS WILL
PREVAIL THROUGH SUNSET WITH WINDS THEN BECOMING NORTHERLY 6-9
KNOTS. AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES EAST THURSDAY MORNING...WINDS WILL
BECOME EAST 6-8 KNOTS BY 15Z AND SOUTHEAST BY MID THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...27/21Z.

58


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  37  58  41  69  54 /   0   0   0   0   5
WACO, TX              36  61  40  69  53 /   0   0   0   0   5
PARIS, TX             33  56  35  64  50 /   0   0   0   0   5
DENTON, TX            34  58  41  68  51 /   0   0   0   0   0
MCKINNEY, TX          33  57  38  68  51 /   0   0   0   0   5
DALLAS, TX            38  58  40  69  54 /   0   0   0   0   5
TERRELL, TX           35  58  37  67  53 /   0   0   0   0   5
CORSICANA, TX         37  60  38  69  54 /   0   0   0   0   5
TEMPLE, TX            36  61  40  69  52 /   0   0   0   0   5
MINERAL WELLS, TX     32  61  39  72  46 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$






000
FXUS64 KFWD 262117
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
317 PM CST WED NOV 26 2014

.DISCUSSION...
THE CURRENT UPPER AIR PATTERN ACROSS THE CONUS IS COMPRISED OF A
TROUGH IN THE EAST AND A RIDGE IN THE WEST...PLACING NORTH TEXAS
IN A REGION OF NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. SATELLITE IMAGERY THIS
AFTERNOON DEPICTS A DISTINCT SHORTWAVE OVER MISSOURI MOVING
SOUTHEAST IN THE FLOW ALOFT. THIS FEATURE IS HELPING FORCE A COLD
FRONT SOUTH THROUGH NORTH TEXAS TODAY. THE FRONT HAS MADE IT
THROUGH MOST OF THE AREA ALREADY...BRINGING NORTH WINDS AROUND 15
MPH IN ITS WAKE. COLD AIR ADVECTION HAS BEEN LESS THAN IMPRESSIVE
THUS FAR AS TEMPS HAVE BEEN ABLE TO CLIMB INTO THE 60S WITH A FEW
70 DEGREE READINGS ACROSS THE SOUTH. HOWEVER... COOLER READINGS
NOW SEEN IN OK SHOULD BEGIN ADVECTING SOUTH OF THE RED RIVER SOON.
WIND SPEEDS ARE EXPECTED TO DROP BELOW 10 MPH THIS EVENING...WHICH
WHEN COMBINED WITH CLEAR SKIES AND DRY AIR SHOULD ALLOW
TEMPERATURES TO DROP INTO THE 30S OVERNIGHT. SOME RURAL LOCATIONS
WILL SEE MORNING LOW TEMPS AT OR JUST BELOW FREEZING...PRIMARILY
ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE REGION. PATCHY AREAS OF FROST WILL
STILL BE POSSIBLE IN LOCATIONS THAT BOTTOM OUT IN THE MID 30S.

WINDS WILL VEER TO THE EAST DURING THE THANKSGIVING MORNING
HOURS...EVENTUALLY BECOMING SOUTHEASTERLY BY THE MID AFTERNOON
HOURS AS A SURFACE RIDGE SHIFTS QUICKLY EAST FROM THE PLAINS INTO
THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY. WARM AIR ADVECTION WILL BE LIGHT IF
AT ALL AND HIGH TEMPERATURES TOMORROW WILL REMAIN IN THE UPPER 50S
ACROSS THE NORTH TO LOWER 60S ACROSS THE SOUTH. RETURN FLOW WILL
CRANK UP SUBSTANTIALLY ON FRIDAY AS THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT
TIGHTENS BETWEEN THE RIDGE TO OUR EAST AND A DEVELOPING TROUGH IN
LEE OF THE ROCKIES. THE TROUGHING WILL OCCUR IN RESPONSE TO A
PRONOUNCED NORTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE TROUGH DROPPING SOUTH FROM
BRITISH COLUMBIA INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST...COUPLED WITH A
SOUTHERN STREAM UPPER LOW APPROACHING THE CALIFORNIA COAST.

THE SHORTWAVE WILL SWING SOUTHEAST INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS OVER
THE WEEKEND...SENDING AN ARCTIC FRONT SURGING SOUTH THROUGH THE
PLAINS STATES. STRONG WARM ADVECTION ACROSS NORTH TEXAS FRIDAY
THROUGH SUNDAY AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT WILL CREATE ABOVE-NORMAL
TEMPERATURES OVER THE WEEKEND...WITH HIGHS IN THE MID AND UPPER
70S EXPECTED SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. THE FRONT SHOULD BRING AN ABRUPT
END TO THESE TEMPERATURES AS IT PUSHES THROUGH ON MONDAY. MODEL
DATA NOW INDICATES THAT THE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED UPPER LOW
APPROACHING THE WEST COAST WILL OPEN UP AS A PROGRESSIVELY
WEAKENING UPPER TROUGH AS IT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST NEXT WEEK. THIS
WILL PROVIDE LITTLE IN THE WAY OF AN OBSTACLE WITH REGARD TO THE
SOUTHWARD PUSH OF THE COLD FRONT...SO THE BOUNDARY WILL LIKELY MAKE
IT THROUGH THE ENTIRE AREA BY MONDAY EVENING...TAKING US FROM
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS SATURDAY-SUNDAY TO TO BELOW NORMAL MONDAY-TUESDAY.

AS FAR AS PRECIPITATION...THE WEAKER UPPER TROUGH MEANS THAT RAIN
CHANCES WILL BE LOWER AS THE FEATURE TRAVERSES THE PLAINS DURING
THE TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY TIME FRAME. LOW POPS WILL CONTINUE
MONDAY AND TUESDAY OVER EASTERN COUNTIES WHERE GUIDANCE POINTS AT
THE POSSIBILITY OF LIGHT SHOWERS IN THE VICINITY OF THE COLD FRONT.
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR DURING THE SECOND HALF
OF THE WEEK ASSOCIATED WITH THE WEAKENING TROUGH. WE WILL KEEP
THESE POPS AT 20 PERCENT AND ADJUST IF NECESSARY AS NEWER MODEL
DATA ARRIVES.

30

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 1128 AM CST WED NOV 26 2014/
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT
HAS MOVED THROUGH THE METROPLEX TAF SITES AS OF 17Z AND WILL MOVE
THROUGH WACO IN THE NEXT HOUR. NORTHWEST WINDS 12-15 KNOTS WILL
PREVAIL THROUGH SUNSET WITH WINDS THEN BECOMING NORTHERLY 6-9
KNOTS. AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES EAST THURSDAY MORNING...WINDS WILL
BECOME EAST 6-8 KNOTS BY 15Z AND SOUTHEAST BY MID THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...27/21Z.

58


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  37  58  41  69  54 /   0   0   0   0   5
WACO, TX              36  61  40  69  53 /   0   0   0   0   5
PARIS, TX             33  56  35  64  50 /   0   0   0   0   5
DENTON, TX            34  58  41  68  51 /   0   0   0   0   0
MCKINNEY, TX          33  57  38  68  51 /   0   0   0   0   5
DALLAS, TX            38  58  40  69  54 /   0   0   0   0   5
TERRELL, TX           35  58  37  67  53 /   0   0   0   0   5
CORSICANA, TX         37  60  38  69  54 /   0   0   0   0   5
TEMPLE, TX            36  61  40  69  52 /   0   0   0   0   5
MINERAL WELLS, TX     32  61  39  72  46 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KFWD 261728 AAC
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1128 AM CST WED NOV 26 2014

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT
HAS MOVED THROUGH THE METROPLEX TAF SITES AS OF 17Z AND WILL MOVE
THROUGH WACO IN THE NEXT HOUR. NORTHWEST WINDS 12-15 KNOTS WILL
PREVAIL THROUGH SUNSET WITH WINDS THEN BECOMING NORTHERLY 6-9
KNOTS. AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES EAST THURSDAY MORNING...WINDS WILL
BECOME EAST 6-8 KNOTS BY 15Z AND SOUTHEAST BY MID THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...27/21Z.


58

&&

.UPDATE...
A COLD FRONT IS CURRENTLY WORKING ITS WAY SOUTH THROUGH NORTH
TEXAS...EXTENDING ALONG A LINE FROM PARIS TO DALLAS TO COMANCHE
LATE THIS MORNING. THE FRONT SHOULD PUSH STEADILY SOUTH THROUGH
THE REST OF THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON WITH NORTH WINDS EXPECTED AT
ALL LOCATIONS PRIOR TO SUNSET. WIND SPEEDS AROUND 15 MPH SHOULD
DROP BELOW 10 MPH THIS EVENING AS LOW LEVEL FLOW
DECOUPLES...LEADING TO DECENT RADIATIONAL COOLING AND TEMPS
FALLING INTO THE 30S OVERNIGHT. PLEASANT WEATHER IS STILL
EXPECTED FOR THANKSGIVING...WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND
TEMPERATURES CLIMBING TO 60 AROUND DEGREES. THE CURRENT FORECAST
LOOKS GOOD AND JUST SOME MINOR GRID ADJUSTMENTS WERE REQUIRED FOR
THIS UPDATE.

30

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 255 AM CST WED NOV 26 2014/
A SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL ROTATE ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS TODAY AND
ALLOW A COLD FRONT TO SLIDE ACROSS NORTH TEXAS. THE COLD FRONT
WILL COME THROUGH DRY AND BRING LITTLE MORE THAN A REINFORCEMENT
OF COOL/DRY AIR. THE HIGH TEMPERATURE FORECAST FOR TODAY WILL BE A
LITTLE TRICKY SINCE SOME COMPRESSIONAL WARMING WILL TAKE PLACE
AHEAD OF THE FRONT AS SURFACE WINDS TURN TO THE SOUTHWEST. HIGH
TEMPERATURES SHOULD REACH 60 IN THE NORTHWEST ZONES WHILE THE
SOUTHERN ZONES SHOULD MAKE IT TO 70 AND POSSIBLY A FEW DEGREES
WARMER IF THE THE LEADING EDGE OF THE FRONT MIXES OUT WHICH OFTEN
HAPPENS WITH DAYTIME FROPA WHEN VERY FEW CLOUDS ARE PRESENT.

DRY AIR...A CLEAR SKY AND A LIGHT NORTH WIND TONIGHT WILL PROMOTE
OPTIMAL RADIATIONAL COOLING WHICH WILL RESULT IN OVERNIGHT LOWS
MAINLY IN THE 30S WITH EVEN A FEW SPOTS COOLING INTO THE UPPER 20S.

AFTER A COLD START...TEMPERATURES ON THANKSGIVING WILL STEADILY
WARM UNDER FULL SUN AND SLOWLY RETURNING SOUTHERLY WINDS. AFTERNOON
HIGHS THURSDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 50S IN THE NORTH TO THE
MIDDLE 60S IN THE SOUTHERN ZONES.

A WARM UP WILL BEGIN THURSDAY NIGHT/FRIDAY AS A LOW LEVEL WARM AIR
ADVECTION PATTERN SETS UP IN RESPONSE TO A DEVELOPING LEE TROUGH
ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS. CLOUDS...SOUTHERLY WINDS AND HUMIDITY WILL
ALL INCREASE FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES BOTH
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY REACHING THE 70S. THERE MAY BE A FEW LIGHT
SHOWERS ACROSS THE EASTERN ZONES ON SUNDAY BUT NO APPRECIABLE
RAINFALL IS EXPECTED.

A WEAK COLD FRONT SHOULD ARRIVE IN NORTH TEXAS ON MONDAY AND BRING
SLIGHTLY COOLER AND DRIER AIR. A FEW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG
AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT ACROSS THE EASTERN ZONES. THE FRONT IS
PROGGED TO STALL OVER THE REGION TUESDAY AND MAY PROVIDE ENOUGH
FORCING FOR A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BUT THE BETTER RAIN
AND STORM CHANCES SHOULD HOLD OFF UNTIL WEDNESDAY OR THURSDAY OF
NEXT WEEK WHEN A DEEP UPPER LEVEL TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE
SOUTHWESTERN U.S.    79



&&


.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  65  37  60  43  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
WACO, TX              68  36  61  41  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
PARIS, TX             64  32  57  36  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
DENTON, TX            65  33  59  40  68 /   0   0   0   0   0
MCKINNEY, TX          65  35  58  39  68 /   0   0   0   0   0
DALLAS, TX            66  39  60  43  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
TERRELL, TX           66  36  61  40  67 /   0   0   0   0   0
CORSICANA, TX         69  37  61  41  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
TEMPLE, TX            70  36  62  40  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
MINERAL WELLS, TX     65  32  63  38  72 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

58/30








000
FXUS64 KFWD 261728 AAC
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1128 AM CST WED NOV 26 2014

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT
HAS MOVED THROUGH THE METROPLEX TAF SITES AS OF 17Z AND WILL MOVE
THROUGH WACO IN THE NEXT HOUR. NORTHWEST WINDS 12-15 KNOTS WILL
PREVAIL THROUGH SUNSET WITH WINDS THEN BECOMING NORTHERLY 6-9
KNOTS. AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES EAST THURSDAY MORNING...WINDS WILL
BECOME EAST 6-8 KNOTS BY 15Z AND SOUTHEAST BY MID THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...27/21Z.


58

&&

.UPDATE...
A COLD FRONT IS CURRENTLY WORKING ITS WAY SOUTH THROUGH NORTH
TEXAS...EXTENDING ALONG A LINE FROM PARIS TO DALLAS TO COMANCHE
LATE THIS MORNING. THE FRONT SHOULD PUSH STEADILY SOUTH THROUGH
THE REST OF THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON WITH NORTH WINDS EXPECTED AT
ALL LOCATIONS PRIOR TO SUNSET. WIND SPEEDS AROUND 15 MPH SHOULD
DROP BELOW 10 MPH THIS EVENING AS LOW LEVEL FLOW
DECOUPLES...LEADING TO DECENT RADIATIONAL COOLING AND TEMPS
FALLING INTO THE 30S OVERNIGHT. PLEASANT WEATHER IS STILL
EXPECTED FOR THANKSGIVING...WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND
TEMPERATURES CLIMBING TO 60 AROUND DEGREES. THE CURRENT FORECAST
LOOKS GOOD AND JUST SOME MINOR GRID ADJUSTMENTS WERE REQUIRED FOR
THIS UPDATE.

30

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 255 AM CST WED NOV 26 2014/
A SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL ROTATE ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS TODAY AND
ALLOW A COLD FRONT TO SLIDE ACROSS NORTH TEXAS. THE COLD FRONT
WILL COME THROUGH DRY AND BRING LITTLE MORE THAN A REINFORCEMENT
OF COOL/DRY AIR. THE HIGH TEMPERATURE FORECAST FOR TODAY WILL BE A
LITTLE TRICKY SINCE SOME COMPRESSIONAL WARMING WILL TAKE PLACE
AHEAD OF THE FRONT AS SURFACE WINDS TURN TO THE SOUTHWEST. HIGH
TEMPERATURES SHOULD REACH 60 IN THE NORTHWEST ZONES WHILE THE
SOUTHERN ZONES SHOULD MAKE IT TO 70 AND POSSIBLY A FEW DEGREES
WARMER IF THE THE LEADING EDGE OF THE FRONT MIXES OUT WHICH OFTEN
HAPPENS WITH DAYTIME FROPA WHEN VERY FEW CLOUDS ARE PRESENT.

DRY AIR...A CLEAR SKY AND A LIGHT NORTH WIND TONIGHT WILL PROMOTE
OPTIMAL RADIATIONAL COOLING WHICH WILL RESULT IN OVERNIGHT LOWS
MAINLY IN THE 30S WITH EVEN A FEW SPOTS COOLING INTO THE UPPER 20S.

AFTER A COLD START...TEMPERATURES ON THANKSGIVING WILL STEADILY
WARM UNDER FULL SUN AND SLOWLY RETURNING SOUTHERLY WINDS. AFTERNOON
HIGHS THURSDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 50S IN THE NORTH TO THE
MIDDLE 60S IN THE SOUTHERN ZONES.

A WARM UP WILL BEGIN THURSDAY NIGHT/FRIDAY AS A LOW LEVEL WARM AIR
ADVECTION PATTERN SETS UP IN RESPONSE TO A DEVELOPING LEE TROUGH
ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS. CLOUDS...SOUTHERLY WINDS AND HUMIDITY WILL
ALL INCREASE FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES BOTH
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY REACHING THE 70S. THERE MAY BE A FEW LIGHT
SHOWERS ACROSS THE EASTERN ZONES ON SUNDAY BUT NO APPRECIABLE
RAINFALL IS EXPECTED.

A WEAK COLD FRONT SHOULD ARRIVE IN NORTH TEXAS ON MONDAY AND BRING
SLIGHTLY COOLER AND DRIER AIR. A FEW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG
AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT ACROSS THE EASTERN ZONES. THE FRONT IS
PROGGED TO STALL OVER THE REGION TUESDAY AND MAY PROVIDE ENOUGH
FORCING FOR A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BUT THE BETTER RAIN
AND STORM CHANCES SHOULD HOLD OFF UNTIL WEDNESDAY OR THURSDAY OF
NEXT WEEK WHEN A DEEP UPPER LEVEL TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE
SOUTHWESTERN U.S.    79



&&


.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  65  37  60  43  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
WACO, TX              68  36  61  41  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
PARIS, TX             64  32  57  36  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
DENTON, TX            65  33  59  40  68 /   0   0   0   0   0
MCKINNEY, TX          65  35  58  39  68 /   0   0   0   0   0
DALLAS, TX            66  39  60  43  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
TERRELL, TX           66  36  61  40  67 /   0   0   0   0   0
CORSICANA, TX         69  37  61  41  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
TEMPLE, TX            70  36  62  40  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
MINERAL WELLS, TX     65  32  63  38  72 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

58/30









000
FXUS64 KFWD 261724 AAA
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1124 AM CST WED NOV 26 2014

.UPDATE...
A COLD FRONT IS CURRENTLY WORKING ITS WAY SOUTH THROUGH NORTH
TEXAS...EXTENDING ALONG A LINE FROM PARIS TO DALLAS TO COMANCHE
LATE THIS MORNING. THE FRONT SHOULD PUSH STEADILY SOUTH THROUGH
THE REST OF THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON WITH NORTH WINDS EXPECTED AT
ALL LOCATIONS PRIOR TO SUNSET. WIND SPEEDS AROUND 15 MPH SHOULD
DROP BELOW 10 MPH THIS EVENING AS LOW LEVEL FLOW
DECOUPLES...LEADING TO DECENT RADIATIONAL COOLING AND TEMPS
FALLING INTO THE 30S OVERNIGHT. PLEASANT WEATHER IS STILL
EXPECTED FOR THANKSGIVING...WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND
TEMPERATURES CLIMBING TO 60 AROUND DEGREES. THE CURRENT FORECAST
LOOKS GOOD AND JUST SOME MINOR GRID ADJUSTMENTS WERE REQUIRED FOR
THIS UPDATE.

30

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 530 AM CST WED NOV 26 2014/
THE NORTH TEXAS TERMINALS WILL REMAIN VFR WITH SOME HIGH CLOUDS DURING
THIS FORECAST CYCLE.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE METROPLEX AROUND MID MORNING
AND THROUGH KACT AROUND MIDDAY. WINDS WILL START SOUTHWESTERLY AROUND
10 KNOTS THIS MORNING BUT BECOMING MORE WESTERLY AS THE COLD
FRONT NEARS. AFTER FROPA...WINDS WILL BE NORTH-NORTHWEST 10-14
KNOTS UNTIL SUNSET. LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT.
LIGHT WINDS WILL VEER EAST THURSDAY MORNING THEN BECOME
SOUTHEASTERLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON AS THE SURFACE HIGH MOVES INTO
EASTERN ARKANSAS. 75


&&



.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 255 AM CST WED NOV 26 2014/
A SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL ROTATE ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS TODAY AND
ALLOW A COLD FRONT TO SLIDE ACROSS NORTH TEXAS. THE COLD FRONT
WILL COME THROUGH DRY AND BRING LITTLE MORE THAN A REINFORCEMENT
OF COOL/DRY AIR. THE HIGH TEMPERATURE FORECAST FOR TODAY WILL BE A
LITTLE TRICKY SINCE SOME COMPRESSIONAL WARMING WILL TAKE PLACE
AHEAD OF THE FRONT AS SURFACE WINDS TURN TO THE SOUTHWEST. HIGH
TEMPERATURES SHOULD REACH 60 IN THE NORTHWEST ZONES WHILE THE
SOUTHERN ZONES SHOULD MAKE IT TO 70 AND POSSIBLY A FEW DEGREES
WARMER IF THE THE LEADING EDGE OF THE FRONT MIXES OUT WHICH OFTEN
HAPPENS WITH DAYTIME FROPA WHEN VERY FEW CLOUDS ARE PRESENT.

DRY AIR...A CLEAR SKY AND A LIGHT NORTH WIND TONIGHT WILL PROMOTE
OPTIMAL RADIATIONAL COOLING WHICH WILL RESULT IN OVERNIGHT LOWS
MAINLY IN THE 30S WITH EVEN A FEW SPOTS COOLING INTO THE UPPER 20S.

AFTER A COLD START...TEMPERATURES ON THANKSGIVING WILL STEADILY
WARM UNDER FULL SUN AND SLOWLY RETURNING SOUTHERLY WINDS. AFTERNOON
HIGHS THURSDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 50S IN THE NORTH TO THE
MIDDLE 60S IN THE SOUTHERN ZONES.

A WARM UP WILL BEGIN THURSDAY NIGHT/FRIDAY AS A LOW LEVEL WARM AIR
ADVECTION PATTERN SETS UP IN RESPONSE TO A DEVELOPING LEE TROUGH
ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS. CLOUDS...SOUTHERLY WINDS AND HUMIDITY WILL
ALL INCREASE FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES BOTH
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY REACHING THE 70S. THERE MAY BE A FEW LIGHT
SHOWERS ACROSS THE EASTERN ZONES ON SUNDAY BUT NO APPRECIABLE
RAINFALL IS EXPECTED.

A WEAK COLD FRONT SHOULD ARRIVE IN NORTH TEXAS ON MONDAY AND BRING
SLIGHTLY COOLER AND DRIER AIR. A FEW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG
AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT ACROSS THE EASTERN ZONES. THE FRONT IS
PROGGED TO STALL OVER THE REGION TUESDAY AND MAY PROVIDE ENOUGH
FORCING FOR A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BUT THE BETTER RAIN
AND STORM CHANCES SHOULD HOLD OFF UNTIL WEDNESDAY OR THURSDAY OF
NEXT WEEK WHEN A DEEP UPPER LEVEL TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE
SOUTHWESTERN U.S.    79



&&


.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  65  37  60  43  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
WACO, TX              68  36  61  41  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
PARIS, TX             64  32  57  36  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
DENTON, TX            65  33  59  40  68 /   0   0   0   0   0
MCKINNEY, TX          65  35  58  39  68 /   0   0   0   0   0
DALLAS, TX            66  39  60  43  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
TERRELL, TX           66  36  61  40  67 /   0   0   0   0   0
CORSICANA, TX         69  37  61  41  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
TEMPLE, TX            70  36  62  40  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
MINERAL WELLS, TX     65  32  63  38  72 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$







000
FXUS64 KFWD 261724 AAA
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1124 AM CST WED NOV 26 2014

.UPDATE...
A COLD FRONT IS CURRENTLY WORKING ITS WAY SOUTH THROUGH NORTH
TEXAS...EXTENDING ALONG A LINE FROM PARIS TO DALLAS TO COMANCHE
LATE THIS MORNING. THE FRONT SHOULD PUSH STEADILY SOUTH THROUGH
THE REST OF THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON WITH NORTH WINDS EXPECTED AT
ALL LOCATIONS PRIOR TO SUNSET. WIND SPEEDS AROUND 15 MPH SHOULD
DROP BELOW 10 MPH THIS EVENING AS LOW LEVEL FLOW
DECOUPLES...LEADING TO DECENT RADIATIONAL COOLING AND TEMPS
FALLING INTO THE 30S OVERNIGHT. PLEASANT WEATHER IS STILL
EXPECTED FOR THANKSGIVING...WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND
TEMPERATURES CLIMBING TO 60 AROUND DEGREES. THE CURRENT FORECAST
LOOKS GOOD AND JUST SOME MINOR GRID ADJUSTMENTS WERE REQUIRED FOR
THIS UPDATE.

30

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 530 AM CST WED NOV 26 2014/
THE NORTH TEXAS TERMINALS WILL REMAIN VFR WITH SOME HIGH CLOUDS DURING
THIS FORECAST CYCLE.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE METROPLEX AROUND MID MORNING
AND THROUGH KACT AROUND MIDDAY. WINDS WILL START SOUTHWESTERLY AROUND
10 KNOTS THIS MORNING BUT BECOMING MORE WESTERLY AS THE COLD
FRONT NEARS. AFTER FROPA...WINDS WILL BE NORTH-NORTHWEST 10-14
KNOTS UNTIL SUNSET. LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT.
LIGHT WINDS WILL VEER EAST THURSDAY MORNING THEN BECOME
SOUTHEASTERLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON AS THE SURFACE HIGH MOVES INTO
EASTERN ARKANSAS. 75


&&



.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 255 AM CST WED NOV 26 2014/
A SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL ROTATE ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS TODAY AND
ALLOW A COLD FRONT TO SLIDE ACROSS NORTH TEXAS. THE COLD FRONT
WILL COME THROUGH DRY AND BRING LITTLE MORE THAN A REINFORCEMENT
OF COOL/DRY AIR. THE HIGH TEMPERATURE FORECAST FOR TODAY WILL BE A
LITTLE TRICKY SINCE SOME COMPRESSIONAL WARMING WILL TAKE PLACE
AHEAD OF THE FRONT AS SURFACE WINDS TURN TO THE SOUTHWEST. HIGH
TEMPERATURES SHOULD REACH 60 IN THE NORTHWEST ZONES WHILE THE
SOUTHERN ZONES SHOULD MAKE IT TO 70 AND POSSIBLY A FEW DEGREES
WARMER IF THE THE LEADING EDGE OF THE FRONT MIXES OUT WHICH OFTEN
HAPPENS WITH DAYTIME FROPA WHEN VERY FEW CLOUDS ARE PRESENT.

DRY AIR...A CLEAR SKY AND A LIGHT NORTH WIND TONIGHT WILL PROMOTE
OPTIMAL RADIATIONAL COOLING WHICH WILL RESULT IN OVERNIGHT LOWS
MAINLY IN THE 30S WITH EVEN A FEW SPOTS COOLING INTO THE UPPER 20S.

AFTER A COLD START...TEMPERATURES ON THANKSGIVING WILL STEADILY
WARM UNDER FULL SUN AND SLOWLY RETURNING SOUTHERLY WINDS. AFTERNOON
HIGHS THURSDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 50S IN THE NORTH TO THE
MIDDLE 60S IN THE SOUTHERN ZONES.

A WARM UP WILL BEGIN THURSDAY NIGHT/FRIDAY AS A LOW LEVEL WARM AIR
ADVECTION PATTERN SETS UP IN RESPONSE TO A DEVELOPING LEE TROUGH
ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS. CLOUDS...SOUTHERLY WINDS AND HUMIDITY WILL
ALL INCREASE FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES BOTH
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY REACHING THE 70S. THERE MAY BE A FEW LIGHT
SHOWERS ACROSS THE EASTERN ZONES ON SUNDAY BUT NO APPRECIABLE
RAINFALL IS EXPECTED.

A WEAK COLD FRONT SHOULD ARRIVE IN NORTH TEXAS ON MONDAY AND BRING
SLIGHTLY COOLER AND DRIER AIR. A FEW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG
AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT ACROSS THE EASTERN ZONES. THE FRONT IS
PROGGED TO STALL OVER THE REGION TUESDAY AND MAY PROVIDE ENOUGH
FORCING FOR A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BUT THE BETTER RAIN
AND STORM CHANCES SHOULD HOLD OFF UNTIL WEDNESDAY OR THURSDAY OF
NEXT WEEK WHEN A DEEP UPPER LEVEL TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE
SOUTHWESTERN U.S.    79



&&


.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  65  37  60  43  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
WACO, TX              68  36  61  41  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
PARIS, TX             64  32  57  36  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
DENTON, TX            65  33  59  40  68 /   0   0   0   0   0
MCKINNEY, TX          65  35  58  39  68 /   0   0   0   0   0
DALLAS, TX            66  39  60  43  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
TERRELL, TX           66  36  61  40  67 /   0   0   0   0   0
CORSICANA, TX         69  37  61  41  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
TEMPLE, TX            70  36  62  40  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
MINERAL WELLS, TX     65  32  63  38  72 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$






000
FXUS64 KFWD 261130 AAA
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
530 AM CST WED NOV 26 2014

.AVIATION...
THE NORTH TEXAS TERMINALS WILL REMAIN VFR WITH SOME HIGH CLOUDS DURING
THIS FORECAST CYCLE.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE METROPLEX AROUND MID MORNING
AND THROUGH KACT AROUND MIDDAY. WINDS WILL START SOUTHWESTERLY AROUND
10 KNOTS THIS MORNING BUT BECOMING MORE WESTERLY AS THE COLD
FRONT NEARS. AFTER FROPA...WINDS WILL BE NORTH-NORTHWEST 10-14
KNOTS UNTIL SUNSET. LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT.
LIGHT WINDS WILL VEER EAST THURSDAY MORNING THEN BECOME
SOUTHEASTERLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON AS THE SURFACE HIGH MOVES INTO
EASTERN ARKANSAS. 75

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 255 AM CST WED NOV 26 2014/
A SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL ROTATE ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS TODAY AND
ALLOW A COLD FRONT TO SLIDE ACROSS NORTH TEXAS. THE COLD FRONT
WILL COME THROUGH DRY AND BRING LITTLE MORE THAN A REINFORCEMENT
OF COOL/DRY AIR. THE HIGH TEMPERATURE FORECAST FOR TODAY WILL BE A
LITTLE TRICKY SINCE SOME COMPRESSIONAL WARMING WILL TAKE PLACE
AHEAD OF THE FRONT AS SURFACE WINDS TURN TO THE SOUTHWEST. HIGH
TEMPERATURES SHOULD REACH 60 IN THE NORTHWEST ZONES WHILE THE
SOUTHERN ZONES SHOULD MAKE IT TO 70 AND POSSIBLY A FEW DEGREES
WARMER IF THE THE LEADING EDGE OF THE FRONT MIXES OUT WHICH OFTEN
HAPPENS WITH DAYTIME FROPA WHEN VERY FEW CLOUDS ARE PRESENT.

DRY AIR...A CLEAR SKY AND A LIGHT NORTH WIND TONIGHT WILL PROMOTE
OPTIMAL RADIATIONAL COOLING WHICH WILL RESULT IN OVERNIGHT LOWS
MAINLY IN THE 30S WITH EVEN A FEW SPOTS COOLING INTO THE UPPER 20S.

AFTER A COLD START...TEMPERATURES ON THANKSGIVING WILL STEADILY
WARM UNDER FULL SUN AND SLOWLY RETURNING SOUTHERLY WINDS. AFTERNOON
HIGHS THURSDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 50S IN THE NORTH TO THE
MIDDLE 60S IN THE SOUTHERN ZONES.

A WARM UP WILL BEGIN THURSDAY NIGHT/FRIDAY AS A LOW LEVEL WARM AIR
ADVECTION PATTERN SETS UP IN RESPONSE TO A DEVELOPING LEE TROUGH
ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS. CLOUDS...SOUTHERLY WINDS AND HUMIDITY WILL
ALL INCREASE FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES BOTH
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY REACHING THE 70S. THERE MAY BE A FEW LIGHT
SHOWERS ACROSS THE EASTERN ZONES ON SUNDAY BUT NO APPRECIABLE
RAINFALL IS EXPECTED.

A WEAK COLD FRONT SHOULD ARRIVE IN NORTH TEXAS ON MONDAY AND BRING
SLIGHTLY COOLER AND DRIER AIR. A FEW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG
AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT ACROSS THE EASTERN ZONES. THE FRONT IS
PROGGED TO STALL OVER THE REGION TUESDAY AND MAY PROVIDE ENOUGH
FORCING FOR A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BUT THE BETTER RAIN
AND STORM CHANCES SHOULD HOLD OFF UNTIL WEDNESDAY OR THURSDAY OF
NEXT WEEK WHEN A DEEP UPPER LEVEL TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE
SOUTHWESTERN U.S.    79

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  65  37  60  43  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
WACO, TX              68  36  61  41  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
PARIS, TX             64  32  57  36  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
DENTON, TX            65  33  59  40  68 /   0   0   0   0   0
MCKINNEY, TX          65  35  58  39  68 /   0   0   0   0   0
DALLAS, TX            66  39  60  43  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
TERRELL, TX           66  36  61  40  67 /   0   0   0   0   0
CORSICANA, TX         69  37  61  41  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
TEMPLE, TX            70  36  62  40  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
MINERAL WELLS, TX     65  32  63  38  72 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

 /75







000
FXUS64 KFWD 261130 AAA
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
530 AM CST WED NOV 26 2014

.AVIATION...
THE NORTH TEXAS TERMINALS WILL REMAIN VFR WITH SOME HIGH CLOUDS DURING
THIS FORECAST CYCLE.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE METROPLEX AROUND MID MORNING
AND THROUGH KACT AROUND MIDDAY. WINDS WILL START SOUTHWESTERLY AROUND
10 KNOTS THIS MORNING BUT BECOMING MORE WESTERLY AS THE COLD
FRONT NEARS. AFTER FROPA...WINDS WILL BE NORTH-NORTHWEST 10-14
KNOTS UNTIL SUNSET. LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT.
LIGHT WINDS WILL VEER EAST THURSDAY MORNING THEN BECOME
SOUTHEASTERLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON AS THE SURFACE HIGH MOVES INTO
EASTERN ARKANSAS. 75

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 255 AM CST WED NOV 26 2014/
A SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL ROTATE ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS TODAY AND
ALLOW A COLD FRONT TO SLIDE ACROSS NORTH TEXAS. THE COLD FRONT
WILL COME THROUGH DRY AND BRING LITTLE MORE THAN A REINFORCEMENT
OF COOL/DRY AIR. THE HIGH TEMPERATURE FORECAST FOR TODAY WILL BE A
LITTLE TRICKY SINCE SOME COMPRESSIONAL WARMING WILL TAKE PLACE
AHEAD OF THE FRONT AS SURFACE WINDS TURN TO THE SOUTHWEST. HIGH
TEMPERATURES SHOULD REACH 60 IN THE NORTHWEST ZONES WHILE THE
SOUTHERN ZONES SHOULD MAKE IT TO 70 AND POSSIBLY A FEW DEGREES
WARMER IF THE THE LEADING EDGE OF THE FRONT MIXES OUT WHICH OFTEN
HAPPENS WITH DAYTIME FROPA WHEN VERY FEW CLOUDS ARE PRESENT.

DRY AIR...A CLEAR SKY AND A LIGHT NORTH WIND TONIGHT WILL PROMOTE
OPTIMAL RADIATIONAL COOLING WHICH WILL RESULT IN OVERNIGHT LOWS
MAINLY IN THE 30S WITH EVEN A FEW SPOTS COOLING INTO THE UPPER 20S.

AFTER A COLD START...TEMPERATURES ON THANKSGIVING WILL STEADILY
WARM UNDER FULL SUN AND SLOWLY RETURNING SOUTHERLY WINDS. AFTERNOON
HIGHS THURSDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 50S IN THE NORTH TO THE
MIDDLE 60S IN THE SOUTHERN ZONES.

A WARM UP WILL BEGIN THURSDAY NIGHT/FRIDAY AS A LOW LEVEL WARM AIR
ADVECTION PATTERN SETS UP IN RESPONSE TO A DEVELOPING LEE TROUGH
ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS. CLOUDS...SOUTHERLY WINDS AND HUMIDITY WILL
ALL INCREASE FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES BOTH
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY REACHING THE 70S. THERE MAY BE A FEW LIGHT
SHOWERS ACROSS THE EASTERN ZONES ON SUNDAY BUT NO APPRECIABLE
RAINFALL IS EXPECTED.

A WEAK COLD FRONT SHOULD ARRIVE IN NORTH TEXAS ON MONDAY AND BRING
SLIGHTLY COOLER AND DRIER AIR. A FEW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG
AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT ACROSS THE EASTERN ZONES. THE FRONT IS
PROGGED TO STALL OVER THE REGION TUESDAY AND MAY PROVIDE ENOUGH
FORCING FOR A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BUT THE BETTER RAIN
AND STORM CHANCES SHOULD HOLD OFF UNTIL WEDNESDAY OR THURSDAY OF
NEXT WEEK WHEN A DEEP UPPER LEVEL TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE
SOUTHWESTERN U.S.    79

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  65  37  60  43  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
WACO, TX              68  36  61  41  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
PARIS, TX             64  32  57  36  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
DENTON, TX            65  33  59  40  68 /   0   0   0   0   0
MCKINNEY, TX          65  35  58  39  68 /   0   0   0   0   0
DALLAS, TX            66  39  60  43  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
TERRELL, TX           66  36  61  40  67 /   0   0   0   0   0
CORSICANA, TX         69  37  61  41  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
TEMPLE, TX            70  36  62  40  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
MINERAL WELLS, TX     65  32  63  38  72 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

 /75






000
FXUS64 KFWD 260855
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
255 AM CST WED NOV 26 2014

.DISCUSSION...
A SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL ROTATE ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS TODAY AND
ALLOW A COLD FRONT TO SLIDE ACROSS NORTH TEXAS. THE COLD FRONT
WILL COME THROUGH DRY AND BRING LITTLE MORE THAN A REINFORCEMENT
OF COOL/DRY AIR. THE HIGH TEMPERATURE FORECAST FOR TODAY WILL BE A
LITTLE TRICKY SINCE SOME COMPRESSIONAL WARMING WILL TAKE PLACE
AHEAD OF THE FRONT AS SURFACE WINDS TURN TO THE SOUTHWEST. HIGH
TEMPERATURES SHOULD REACH 60 IN THE NORTHWEST ZONES WHILE THE
SOUTHERN ZONES SHOULD MAKE IT TO 70 AND POSSIBLY A FEW DEGREES
WARMER IF THE THE LEADING EDGE OF THE FRONT MIXES OUT WHICH OFTEN
HAPPENS WITH DAYTIME FROPA WHEN VERY FEW CLOUDS ARE PRESENT.

DRY AIR...A CLEAR SKY AND A LIGHT NORTH WIND TONIGHT WILL PROMOTE
OPTIMAL RADIATIONAL COOLING WHICH WILL RESULT IN OVERNIGHT LOWS
MAINLY IN THE 30S WITH EVEN A FEW SPOTS COOLING INTO THE UPPER 20S.

AFTER A COLD START...TEMPERATURES ON THANKSGIVING WILL STEADILY
WARM UNDER FULL SUN AND SLOWLY RETURNING SOUTHERLY WINDS. AFTERNOON
HIGHS THURSDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 50S IN THE NORTH TO THE
MIDDLE 60S IN THE SOUTHERN ZONES.

A WARM UP WILL BEGIN THURSDAY NIGHT/FRIDAY AS A LOW LEVEL WARM AIR
ADVECTION PATTERN SETS UP IN RESPONSE TO A DEVELOPING LEE TROUGH
ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS. CLOUDS...SOUTHERLY WINDS AND HUMIDITY WILL
ALL INCREASE FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES BOTH
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY REACHING THE 70S. THERE MAY BE A FEW LIGHT
SHOWERS ACROSS THE EASTERN ZONES ON SUNDAY BUT NO APPRECIABLE
RAINFALL IS EXPECTED.

A WEAK COLD FRONT SHOULD ARRIVE IN NORTH TEXAS ON MONDAY AND BRING
SLIGHTLY COOLER AND DRIER AIR. A FEW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG
AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT ACROSS THE EASTERN ZONES. THE FRONT IS
PROGGED TO STALL OVER THE REGION TUESDAY AND MAY PROVIDE ENOUGH
FORCING FOR A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BUT THE BETTER RAIN
AND STORM CHANCES SHOULD HOLD OFF UNTIL WEDNESDAY OR THURSDAY OF
NEXT WEEK WHEN A DEEP UPPER LEVEL TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE
SOUTHWESTERN U.S.

79

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 1110 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/
VFR THROUGH PERIOD. WINDS BACK SOUTHWEST TONIGHT...THEN VEER BACK
TO THE NORTHWEST TOMORROW MORNING BEHIND A WEAK DRY FRONT. 84


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  65  37  60  43  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
WACO, TX              68  36  61  41  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
PARIS, TX             64  32  57  36  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
DENTON, TX            65  33  59  40  68 /   0   0   0   0   0
MCKINNEY, TX          65  35  58  39  68 /   0   0   0   0   0
DALLAS, TX            66  39  60  43  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
TERRELL, TX           66  36  61  40  67 /   0   0   0   0   0
CORSICANA, TX         69  37  61  41  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
TEMPLE, TX            70  36  62  40  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
MINERAL WELLS, TX     65  32  63  38  72 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

75/79






000
FXUS64 KFWD 260855
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
255 AM CST WED NOV 26 2014

.DISCUSSION...
A SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL ROTATE ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS TODAY AND
ALLOW A COLD FRONT TO SLIDE ACROSS NORTH TEXAS. THE COLD FRONT
WILL COME THROUGH DRY AND BRING LITTLE MORE THAN A REINFORCEMENT
OF COOL/DRY AIR. THE HIGH TEMPERATURE FORECAST FOR TODAY WILL BE A
LITTLE TRICKY SINCE SOME COMPRESSIONAL WARMING WILL TAKE PLACE
AHEAD OF THE FRONT AS SURFACE WINDS TURN TO THE SOUTHWEST. HIGH
TEMPERATURES SHOULD REACH 60 IN THE NORTHWEST ZONES WHILE THE
SOUTHERN ZONES SHOULD MAKE IT TO 70 AND POSSIBLY A FEW DEGREES
WARMER IF THE THE LEADING EDGE OF THE FRONT MIXES OUT WHICH OFTEN
HAPPENS WITH DAYTIME FROPA WHEN VERY FEW CLOUDS ARE PRESENT.

DRY AIR...A CLEAR SKY AND A LIGHT NORTH WIND TONIGHT WILL PROMOTE
OPTIMAL RADIATIONAL COOLING WHICH WILL RESULT IN OVERNIGHT LOWS
MAINLY IN THE 30S WITH EVEN A FEW SPOTS COOLING INTO THE UPPER 20S.

AFTER A COLD START...TEMPERATURES ON THANKSGIVING WILL STEADILY
WARM UNDER FULL SUN AND SLOWLY RETURNING SOUTHERLY WINDS. AFTERNOON
HIGHS THURSDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 50S IN THE NORTH TO THE
MIDDLE 60S IN THE SOUTHERN ZONES.

A WARM UP WILL BEGIN THURSDAY NIGHT/FRIDAY AS A LOW LEVEL WARM AIR
ADVECTION PATTERN SETS UP IN RESPONSE TO A DEVELOPING LEE TROUGH
ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS. CLOUDS...SOUTHERLY WINDS AND HUMIDITY WILL
ALL INCREASE FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES BOTH
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY REACHING THE 70S. THERE MAY BE A FEW LIGHT
SHOWERS ACROSS THE EASTERN ZONES ON SUNDAY BUT NO APPRECIABLE
RAINFALL IS EXPECTED.

A WEAK COLD FRONT SHOULD ARRIVE IN NORTH TEXAS ON MONDAY AND BRING
SLIGHTLY COOLER AND DRIER AIR. A FEW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG
AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT ACROSS THE EASTERN ZONES. THE FRONT IS
PROGGED TO STALL OVER THE REGION TUESDAY AND MAY PROVIDE ENOUGH
FORCING FOR A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BUT THE BETTER RAIN
AND STORM CHANCES SHOULD HOLD OFF UNTIL WEDNESDAY OR THURSDAY OF
NEXT WEEK WHEN A DEEP UPPER LEVEL TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE
SOUTHWESTERN U.S.

79

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 1110 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/
VFR THROUGH PERIOD. WINDS BACK SOUTHWEST TONIGHT...THEN VEER BACK
TO THE NORTHWEST TOMORROW MORNING BEHIND A WEAK DRY FRONT. 84


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  65  37  60  43  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
WACO, TX              68  36  61  41  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
PARIS, TX             64  32  57  36  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
DENTON, TX            65  33  59  40  68 /   0   0   0   0   0
MCKINNEY, TX          65  35  58  39  68 /   0   0   0   0   0
DALLAS, TX            66  39  60  43  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
TERRELL, TX           66  36  61  40  67 /   0   0   0   0   0
CORSICANA, TX         69  37  61  41  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
TEMPLE, TX            70  36  62  40  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
MINERAL WELLS, TX     65  32  63  38  72 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

75/79







000
FXUS64 KFWD 260510
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1110 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.AVIATION...
VFR THROUGH PERIOD. WINDS BACK SOUTHWEST TONIGHT...THEN VEER BACK
TO THE NORTHWEST TOMORROW MORNING BEHIND A WEAK DRY FRONT. 84

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 313 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/
THE AXIS OF AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM MISSOURI TO
CENTRAL TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON...AND CAN BE SEEN ON SATELLITE
SHIFTING EAST ACROSS THE STATE. NORTHWEST FLOW WILL BECOME
ESTABLISHED ALOFT ACROSS THE REGION AS THE TROUGH AXIS SHIFTS EAST
OF NORTH TEXAS THIS EVENING...AND THIS REGIME WILL REMAIN IN PLACE
FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS PATTERN WILL RESULT IN ANOTHER
COOL FRONT PUSHING SOUTH THROUGH THE AREA ON
WEDNESDAY...REINFORCING THE COOL AND DRY CONDITIONS CURRENTLY IN
PLACE. PLEASANT DAYS AND CLEAR CHILLY NIGHTS WILL BE THE RESULTING
FORECAST THROUGH FRIDAY.

UPPER LEVEL WINDS WILL BECOME MORE ZONAL ALOFT FRIDAY THROUGH THE
WEEKEND....WITH A BROAD FLAT RIDGE IN PLACE OVERHEAD AND A DEEP
UPPER LOW SLOWLY APPROACHING THE WEST COAST. THE APPROACHING LOW
WILL INDUCE LEE ROCKIES SURFACE TROUGHING ON SATURDAY. NORTH TEXAS
WILL SIT BETWEEN THE LEE TROUGH TO THE WEST AND A SURFACE RIDGE TO
THE EAST...CREATING GOOD RETURN FLOW ACROSS THE REGION THIS
WEEKEND. WE LEANED TOWARDS THE WARM SIDE OF GUIDANCE FOR HIGH
TEMPERATURES ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY DUE TO BROAD RIDGING ALOFT AND
SOUTH WINDS AT THE SURFACE. MEANWHILE...AN ARCTIC FRONT WHICH IS
EXPECTED TO BECOME DISLODGED BY A SHORTWAVE OVER CANADA LATER THIS
WEEK WILL BE PUSHING SOUTH THROUGH THE PLAINS OVER THE WEEKEND.
THE PUSH OF THE ARCTIC AIRMASS WILL BE HINDERED BY RETURN FLOW AT
THE SURFACE...IMPEDING THE SOUTHWARD ADVANCE OF THE COLD FRONT.
THE MOST RECENT MODEL RUNS SEEM TO INDICATE THAT THE FRONT WILL
CROSS THE RED RIVER INTO NORTH TEXAS COUNTIES ON MONDAY...AND
POSSIBLY BECOME STATIONARY BRIEFLY BEFORE RETREATING TO THE NORTH
IN ADVANCE OF THE STORM SYSTEM TO OUR WEST.

LOW POPS WILL BE CARRIED OVER EASTERN COUNTIES MONDAY AND TUESDAY
OF NEXT WEEK WHERE DECENT MOISTURE WILL RESIDE AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...AND WARM ADVECTION SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE. BETTER
CHANCES FOR RAIN WILL OCCUR AROUND THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...WHEN
THE WEST COAST UPPER LOW MOVES EAST INTO WEST-CENTRAL TEXAS. THE
LATEST ECMWF INDICATES A DEEPER SYSTEM...WITH BETTER INSTABILITY
AND MORE WIDESPREAD CONVECTION WHEN COMPARED TO THE GFS...WHICH
INDICATES A MORE OPEN AND PROGRESSIVE SYSTEM. EITHER WAY...WE WILL
LIKELY SEE DECENT CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION RETURN TO THE REGION
JUST BEYOND THE DAY 7 PERIOD IN THE FORECAST...OR AROUND WEDNESDAY
OF NEXT WEEK.  30

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  40  64  38  61  43 /   5   0   0   0   0
WACO, TX              39  68  36  63  40 /   5   0   0   0   0
PARIS, TX             36  63  34  58  38 /   5   0   0   0   0
DENTON, TX            37  64  32  61  39 /   5   0   0   0   0
MCKINNEY, TX          36  64  34  60  39 /   5   0   0   0   0
DALLAS, TX            41  64  39  61  44 /   5   0   0   0   0
TERRELL, TX           39  64  36  61  38 /   5   0   0   0   0
CORSICANA, TX         40  66  37  63  41 /   5   0   0   0   0
TEMPLE, TX            38  69  37  64  41 /   5   0   0   0   0
MINERAL WELLS, TX     35  63  32  62  39 /   5   0   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$







000
FXUS64 KFWD 260510
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1110 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.AVIATION...
VFR THROUGH PERIOD. WINDS BACK SOUTHWEST TONIGHT...THEN VEER BACK
TO THE NORTHWEST TOMORROW MORNING BEHIND A WEAK DRY FRONT. 84

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 313 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/
THE AXIS OF AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM MISSOURI TO
CENTRAL TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON...AND CAN BE SEEN ON SATELLITE
SHIFTING EAST ACROSS THE STATE. NORTHWEST FLOW WILL BECOME
ESTABLISHED ALOFT ACROSS THE REGION AS THE TROUGH AXIS SHIFTS EAST
OF NORTH TEXAS THIS EVENING...AND THIS REGIME WILL REMAIN IN PLACE
FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS PATTERN WILL RESULT IN ANOTHER
COOL FRONT PUSHING SOUTH THROUGH THE AREA ON
WEDNESDAY...REINFORCING THE COOL AND DRY CONDITIONS CURRENTLY IN
PLACE. PLEASANT DAYS AND CLEAR CHILLY NIGHTS WILL BE THE RESULTING
FORECAST THROUGH FRIDAY.

UPPER LEVEL WINDS WILL BECOME MORE ZONAL ALOFT FRIDAY THROUGH THE
WEEKEND....WITH A BROAD FLAT RIDGE IN PLACE OVERHEAD AND A DEEP
UPPER LOW SLOWLY APPROACHING THE WEST COAST. THE APPROACHING LOW
WILL INDUCE LEE ROCKIES SURFACE TROUGHING ON SATURDAY. NORTH TEXAS
WILL SIT BETWEEN THE LEE TROUGH TO THE WEST AND A SURFACE RIDGE TO
THE EAST...CREATING GOOD RETURN FLOW ACROSS THE REGION THIS
WEEKEND. WE LEANED TOWARDS THE WARM SIDE OF GUIDANCE FOR HIGH
TEMPERATURES ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY DUE TO BROAD RIDGING ALOFT AND
SOUTH WINDS AT THE SURFACE. MEANWHILE...AN ARCTIC FRONT WHICH IS
EXPECTED TO BECOME DISLODGED BY A SHORTWAVE OVER CANADA LATER THIS
WEEK WILL BE PUSHING SOUTH THROUGH THE PLAINS OVER THE WEEKEND.
THE PUSH OF THE ARCTIC AIRMASS WILL BE HINDERED BY RETURN FLOW AT
THE SURFACE...IMPEDING THE SOUTHWARD ADVANCE OF THE COLD FRONT.
THE MOST RECENT MODEL RUNS SEEM TO INDICATE THAT THE FRONT WILL
CROSS THE RED RIVER INTO NORTH TEXAS COUNTIES ON MONDAY...AND
POSSIBLY BECOME STATIONARY BRIEFLY BEFORE RETREATING TO THE NORTH
IN ADVANCE OF THE STORM SYSTEM TO OUR WEST.

LOW POPS WILL BE CARRIED OVER EASTERN COUNTIES MONDAY AND TUESDAY
OF NEXT WEEK WHERE DECENT MOISTURE WILL RESIDE AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...AND WARM ADVECTION SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE. BETTER
CHANCES FOR RAIN WILL OCCUR AROUND THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...WHEN
THE WEST COAST UPPER LOW MOVES EAST INTO WEST-CENTRAL TEXAS. THE
LATEST ECMWF INDICATES A DEEPER SYSTEM...WITH BETTER INSTABILITY
AND MORE WIDESPREAD CONVECTION WHEN COMPARED TO THE GFS...WHICH
INDICATES A MORE OPEN AND PROGRESSIVE SYSTEM. EITHER WAY...WE WILL
LIKELY SEE DECENT CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION RETURN TO THE REGION
JUST BEYOND THE DAY 7 PERIOD IN THE FORECAST...OR AROUND WEDNESDAY
OF NEXT WEEK.  30

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  40  64  38  61  43 /   5   0   0   0   0
WACO, TX              39  68  36  63  40 /   5   0   0   0   0
PARIS, TX             36  63  34  58  38 /   5   0   0   0   0
DENTON, TX            37  64  32  61  39 /   5   0   0   0   0
MCKINNEY, TX          36  64  34  60  39 /   5   0   0   0   0
DALLAS, TX            41  64  39  61  44 /   5   0   0   0   0
TERRELL, TX           39  64  36  61  38 /   5   0   0   0   0
CORSICANA, TX         40  66  37  63  41 /   5   0   0   0   0
TEMPLE, TX            38  69  37  64  41 /   5   0   0   0   0
MINERAL WELLS, TX     35  63  32  62  39 /   5   0   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$






000
FXUS64 KFWD 260000
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
600 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.AVIATION...
VFR THROUGH PERIOD. WINDS BACK SOUTHWEST TONIGHT...THEN VEER BACK TO
THE NORTHWEST TOMORROW MORNING BEHIND A WEAK DRY FRONT. 84

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 313 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/
THE AXIS OF AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM MISSOURI TO
CENTRAL TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON...AND CAN BE SEEN ON SATELLITE
SHIFTING EAST ACROSS THE STATE. NORTHWEST FLOW WILL BECOME
ESTABLISHED ALOFT ACROSS THE REGION AS THE TROUGH AXIS SHIFTS EAST
OF NORTH TEXAS THIS EVENING...AND THIS REGIME WILL REMAIN IN PLACE
FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS PATTERN WILL RESULT IN ANOTHER
COOL FRONT PUSHING SOUTH THROUGH THE AREA ON
WEDNESDAY...REINFORCING THE COOL AND DRY CONDITIONS CURRENTLY IN
PLACE. PLEASANT DAYS AND CLEAR CHILLY NIGHTS WILL BE THE RESULTING
FORECAST THROUGH FRIDAY.

UPPER LEVEL WINDS WILL BECOME MORE ZONAL ALOFT FRIDAY THROUGH THE
WEEKEND....WITH A BROAD FLAT RIDGE IN PLACE OVERHEAD AND A DEEP
UPPER LOW SLOWLY APPROACHING THE WEST COAST. THE APPROACHING LOW
WILL INDUCE LEE ROCKIES SURFACE TROUGHING ON SATURDAY. NORTH TEXAS
WILL SIT BETWEEN THE LEE TROUGH TO THE WEST AND A SURFACE RIDGE TO
THE EAST...CREATING GOOD RETURN FLOW ACROSS THE REGION THIS
WEEKEND. WE LEANED TOWARDS THE WARM SIDE OF GUIDANCE FOR HIGH
TEMPERATURES ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY DUE TO BROAD RIDGING ALOFT AND
SOUTH WINDS AT THE SURFACE. MEANWHILE...AN ARCTIC FRONT WHICH IS
EXPECTED TO BECOME DISLODGED BY A SHORTWAVE OVER CANADA LATER THIS
WEEK WILL BE PUSHING SOUTH THROUGH THE PLAINS OVER THE WEEKEND.
THE PUSH OF THE ARCTIC AIRMASS WILL BE HINDERED BY RETURN FLOW AT
THE SURFACE...IMPEDING THE SOUTHWARD ADVANCE OF THE COLD FRONT.
THE MOST RECENT MODEL RUNS SEEM TO INDICATE THAT THE FRONT WILL
CROSS THE RED RIVER INTO NORTH TEXAS COUNTIES ON MONDAY...AND
POSSIBLY BECOME STATIONARY BRIEFLY BEFORE RETREATING TO THE NORTH
IN ADVANCE OF THE STORM SYSTEM TO OUR WEST.

LOW POPS WILL BE CARRIED OVER EASTERN COUNTIES MONDAY AND TUESDAY
OF NEXT WEEK WHERE DECENT MOISTURE WILL RESIDE AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...AND WARM ADVECTION SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE. BETTER
CHANCES FOR RAIN WILL OCCUR AROUND THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...WHEN
THE WEST COAST UPPER LOW MOVES EAST INTO WEST-CENTRAL TEXAS. THE
LATEST ECMWF INDICATES A DEEPER SYSTEM...WITH BETTER INSTABILITY
AND MORE WIDESPREAD CONVECTION WHEN COMPARED TO THE GFS...WHICH
INDICATES A MORE OPEN AND PROGRESSIVE SYSTEM. EITHER WAY...WE WILL
LIKELY SEE DECENT CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION RETURN TO THE REGION
JUST BEYOND THE DAY 7 PERIOD IN THE FORECAST...OR AROUND WEDNESDAY
OF NEXT WEEK.

30

&&



.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  40  64  38  61  43 /   5   0   0   0   0
WACO, TX              39  68  36  63  40 /   5   0   0   0   0
PARIS, TX             36  63  34  58  38 /   5   0   0   0   0
DENTON, TX            37  64  32  61  39 /   5   0   0   0   0
MCKINNEY, TX          36  64  34  60  39 /   5   0   0   0   0
DALLAS, TX            41  64  39  61  44 /   5   0   0   0   0
TERRELL, TX           39  64  36  61  38 /   5   0   0   0   0
CORSICANA, TX         40  66  37  63  41 /   5   0   0   0   0
TEMPLE, TX            38  69  37  64  41 /   5   0   0   0   0
MINERAL WELLS, TX     35  63  32  62  39 /   5   0   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

 /






000
FXUS64 KFWD 260000
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
600 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.AVIATION...
VFR THROUGH PERIOD. WINDS BACK SOUTHWEST TONIGHT...THEN VEER BACK TO
THE NORTHWEST TOMORROW MORNING BEHIND A WEAK DRY FRONT. 84

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 313 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/
THE AXIS OF AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM MISSOURI TO
CENTRAL TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON...AND CAN BE SEEN ON SATELLITE
SHIFTING EAST ACROSS THE STATE. NORTHWEST FLOW WILL BECOME
ESTABLISHED ALOFT ACROSS THE REGION AS THE TROUGH AXIS SHIFTS EAST
OF NORTH TEXAS THIS EVENING...AND THIS REGIME WILL REMAIN IN PLACE
FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS PATTERN WILL RESULT IN ANOTHER
COOL FRONT PUSHING SOUTH THROUGH THE AREA ON
WEDNESDAY...REINFORCING THE COOL AND DRY CONDITIONS CURRENTLY IN
PLACE. PLEASANT DAYS AND CLEAR CHILLY NIGHTS WILL BE THE RESULTING
FORECAST THROUGH FRIDAY.

UPPER LEVEL WINDS WILL BECOME MORE ZONAL ALOFT FRIDAY THROUGH THE
WEEKEND....WITH A BROAD FLAT RIDGE IN PLACE OVERHEAD AND A DEEP
UPPER LOW SLOWLY APPROACHING THE WEST COAST. THE APPROACHING LOW
WILL INDUCE LEE ROCKIES SURFACE TROUGHING ON SATURDAY. NORTH TEXAS
WILL SIT BETWEEN THE LEE TROUGH TO THE WEST AND A SURFACE RIDGE TO
THE EAST...CREATING GOOD RETURN FLOW ACROSS THE REGION THIS
WEEKEND. WE LEANED TOWARDS THE WARM SIDE OF GUIDANCE FOR HIGH
TEMPERATURES ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY DUE TO BROAD RIDGING ALOFT AND
SOUTH WINDS AT THE SURFACE. MEANWHILE...AN ARCTIC FRONT WHICH IS
EXPECTED TO BECOME DISLODGED BY A SHORTWAVE OVER CANADA LATER THIS
WEEK WILL BE PUSHING SOUTH THROUGH THE PLAINS OVER THE WEEKEND.
THE PUSH OF THE ARCTIC AIRMASS WILL BE HINDERED BY RETURN FLOW AT
THE SURFACE...IMPEDING THE SOUTHWARD ADVANCE OF THE COLD FRONT.
THE MOST RECENT MODEL RUNS SEEM TO INDICATE THAT THE FRONT WILL
CROSS THE RED RIVER INTO NORTH TEXAS COUNTIES ON MONDAY...AND
POSSIBLY BECOME STATIONARY BRIEFLY BEFORE RETREATING TO THE NORTH
IN ADVANCE OF THE STORM SYSTEM TO OUR WEST.

LOW POPS WILL BE CARRIED OVER EASTERN COUNTIES MONDAY AND TUESDAY
OF NEXT WEEK WHERE DECENT MOISTURE WILL RESIDE AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...AND WARM ADVECTION SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE. BETTER
CHANCES FOR RAIN WILL OCCUR AROUND THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...WHEN
THE WEST COAST UPPER LOW MOVES EAST INTO WEST-CENTRAL TEXAS. THE
LATEST ECMWF INDICATES A DEEPER SYSTEM...WITH BETTER INSTABILITY
AND MORE WIDESPREAD CONVECTION WHEN COMPARED TO THE GFS...WHICH
INDICATES A MORE OPEN AND PROGRESSIVE SYSTEM. EITHER WAY...WE WILL
LIKELY SEE DECENT CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION RETURN TO THE REGION
JUST BEYOND THE DAY 7 PERIOD IN THE FORECAST...OR AROUND WEDNESDAY
OF NEXT WEEK.

30

&&



.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  40  64  38  61  43 /   5   0   0   0   0
WACO, TX              39  68  36  63  40 /   5   0   0   0   0
PARIS, TX             36  63  34  58  38 /   5   0   0   0   0
DENTON, TX            37  64  32  61  39 /   5   0   0   0   0
MCKINNEY, TX          36  64  34  60  39 /   5   0   0   0   0
DALLAS, TX            41  64  39  61  44 /   5   0   0   0   0
TERRELL, TX           39  64  36  61  38 /   5   0   0   0   0
CORSICANA, TX         40  66  37  63  41 /   5   0   0   0   0
TEMPLE, TX            38  69  37  64  41 /   5   0   0   0   0
MINERAL WELLS, TX     35  63  32  62  39 /   5   0   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

 /







000
FXUS64 KFWD 252113
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
313 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.DISCUSSION...
THE AXIS OF AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM MISSOURI TO
CENTRAL TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON...AND CAN BE SEEN ON SATELLITE
SHIFTING EAST ACROSS THE STATE. NORTHWEST FLOW WILL BECOME
ESTABLISHED ALOFT ACROSS THE REGION AS THE TROUGH AXIS SHIFTS EAST
OF NORTH TEXAS THIS EVENING...AND THIS REGIME WILL REMAIN IN PLACE
FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS PATTERN WILL RESULT IN ANOTHER
COOL FRONT PUSHING SOUTH THROUGH THE AREA ON
WEDNESDAY...REINFORCING THE COOL AND DRY CONDITIONS CURRENTLY IN
PLACE. PLEASANT DAYS AND CLEAR CHILLY NIGHTS WILL BE THE RESULTING
FORECAST THROUGH FRIDAY.

UPPER LEVEL WINDS WILL BECOME MORE ZONAL ALOFT FRIDAY THROUGH THE
WEEKEND....WITH A BROAD FLAT RIDGE IN PLACE OVERHEAD AND A DEEP
UPPER LOW SLOWLY APPROACHING THE WEST COAST. THE APPROACHING LOW
WILL INDUCE LEE ROCKIES SURFACE TROUGHING ON SATURDAY. NORTH TEXAS
WILL SIT BETWEEN THE LEE TROUGH TO THE WEST AND A SURFACE RIDGE TO
THE EAST...CREATING GOOD RETURN FLOW ACROSS THE REGION THIS
WEEKEND. WE LEANED TOWARDS THE WARM SIDE OF GUIDANCE FOR HIGH
TEMPERATURES ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY DUE TO BROAD RIDGING ALOFT AND
SOUTH WINDS AT THE SURFACE. MEANWHILE...AN ARCTIC FRONT WHICH IS
EXPECTED TO BECOME DISLODGED BY A SHORTWAVE OVER CANADA LATER THIS
WEEK WILL BE PUSHING SOUTH THROUGH THE PLAINS OVER THE WEEKEND.
THE PUSH OF THE ARCTIC AIRMASS WILL BE HINDERED BY RETURN FLOW AT
THE SURFACE...IMPEDING THE SOUTHWARD ADVANCE OF THE COLD FRONT.
THE MOST RECENT MODEL RUNS SEEM TO INDICATE THAT THE FRONT WILL
CROSS THE RED RIVER INTO NORTH TEXAS COUNTIES ON MONDAY...AND
POSSIBLY BECOME STATIONARY BRIEFLY BEFORE RETREATING TO THE NORTH
IN ADVANCE OF THE STORM SYSTEM TO OUR WEST.

LOW POPS WILL BE CARRIED OVER EASTERN COUNTIES MONDAY AND TUESDAY
OF NEXT WEEK WHERE DECENT MOISTURE WILL RESIDE AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...AND WARM ADVECTION SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE. BETTER
CHANCES FOR RAIN WILL OCCUR AROUND THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...WHEN
THE WEST COAST UPPER LOW MOVES EAST INTO WEST-CENTRAL TEXAS. THE
LATEST ECMWF INDICATES A DEEPER SYSTEM...WITH BETTER INSTABILITY
AND MORE WIDESPREAD CONVECTION WHEN COMPARED TO THE GFS...WHICH
INDICATES A MORE OPEN AND PROGRESSIVE SYSTEM. EITHER WAY...WE WILL
LIKELY SEE DECENT CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION RETURN TO THE REGION
JUST BEYOND THE DAY 7 PERIOD IN THE FORECAST...OR AROUND WEDNESDAY
OF NEXT WEEK.

30

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 1126 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY. LIGHT SOUTH
WINDS WILL BECOME WEST OR NORTHWEST AROUND 5 TO 8 KNOTS THIS
AFTERNOON AS A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. THIS
WESTERLY FLOW WILL BE TEMPORARY WITH SOUTH WINDS RETURNING AFTER
SUNSET. WINDS WILL BECOME NORTHWESTERLY AT 10 TO 12 KNOTS AROUND
MIDDAY /15Z/ WEDNESDAY.

58


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  40  64  38  61  43 /   5   0   0   0   0
WACO, TX              39  68  36  63  40 /   5   0   0   0   0
PARIS, TX             36  63  34  58  38 /   5   0   0   0   0
DENTON, TX            37  64  32  61  39 /   5   0   0   0   0
MCKINNEY, TX          36  64  34  60  39 /   5   0   0   0   0
DALLAS, TX            41  64  39  61  44 /   5   0   0   0   0
TERRELL, TX           39  64  36  61  38 /   5   0   0   0   0
CORSICANA, TX         40  66  37  63  41 /   5   0   0   0   0
TEMPLE, TX            38  69  37  64  41 /   5   0   0   0   0
MINERAL WELLS, TX     35  63  32  62  39 /   5   0   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KFWD 252113
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
313 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.DISCUSSION...
THE AXIS OF AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM MISSOURI TO
CENTRAL TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON...AND CAN BE SEEN ON SATELLITE
SHIFTING EAST ACROSS THE STATE. NORTHWEST FLOW WILL BECOME
ESTABLISHED ALOFT ACROSS THE REGION AS THE TROUGH AXIS SHIFTS EAST
OF NORTH TEXAS THIS EVENING...AND THIS REGIME WILL REMAIN IN PLACE
FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS PATTERN WILL RESULT IN ANOTHER
COOL FRONT PUSHING SOUTH THROUGH THE AREA ON
WEDNESDAY...REINFORCING THE COOL AND DRY CONDITIONS CURRENTLY IN
PLACE. PLEASANT DAYS AND CLEAR CHILLY NIGHTS WILL BE THE RESULTING
FORECAST THROUGH FRIDAY.

UPPER LEVEL WINDS WILL BECOME MORE ZONAL ALOFT FRIDAY THROUGH THE
WEEKEND....WITH A BROAD FLAT RIDGE IN PLACE OVERHEAD AND A DEEP
UPPER LOW SLOWLY APPROACHING THE WEST COAST. THE APPROACHING LOW
WILL INDUCE LEE ROCKIES SURFACE TROUGHING ON SATURDAY. NORTH TEXAS
WILL SIT BETWEEN THE LEE TROUGH TO THE WEST AND A SURFACE RIDGE TO
THE EAST...CREATING GOOD RETURN FLOW ACROSS THE REGION THIS
WEEKEND. WE LEANED TOWARDS THE WARM SIDE OF GUIDANCE FOR HIGH
TEMPERATURES ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY DUE TO BROAD RIDGING ALOFT AND
SOUTH WINDS AT THE SURFACE. MEANWHILE...AN ARCTIC FRONT WHICH IS
EXPECTED TO BECOME DISLODGED BY A SHORTWAVE OVER CANADA LATER THIS
WEEK WILL BE PUSHING SOUTH THROUGH THE PLAINS OVER THE WEEKEND.
THE PUSH OF THE ARCTIC AIRMASS WILL BE HINDERED BY RETURN FLOW AT
THE SURFACE...IMPEDING THE SOUTHWARD ADVANCE OF THE COLD FRONT.
THE MOST RECENT MODEL RUNS SEEM TO INDICATE THAT THE FRONT WILL
CROSS THE RED RIVER INTO NORTH TEXAS COUNTIES ON MONDAY...AND
POSSIBLY BECOME STATIONARY BRIEFLY BEFORE RETREATING TO THE NORTH
IN ADVANCE OF THE STORM SYSTEM TO OUR WEST.

LOW POPS WILL BE CARRIED OVER EASTERN COUNTIES MONDAY AND TUESDAY
OF NEXT WEEK WHERE DECENT MOISTURE WILL RESIDE AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...AND WARM ADVECTION SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE. BETTER
CHANCES FOR RAIN WILL OCCUR AROUND THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...WHEN
THE WEST COAST UPPER LOW MOVES EAST INTO WEST-CENTRAL TEXAS. THE
LATEST ECMWF INDICATES A DEEPER SYSTEM...WITH BETTER INSTABILITY
AND MORE WIDESPREAD CONVECTION WHEN COMPARED TO THE GFS...WHICH
INDICATES A MORE OPEN AND PROGRESSIVE SYSTEM. EITHER WAY...WE WILL
LIKELY SEE DECENT CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION RETURN TO THE REGION
JUST BEYOND THE DAY 7 PERIOD IN THE FORECAST...OR AROUND WEDNESDAY
OF NEXT WEEK.

30

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 1126 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY. LIGHT SOUTH
WINDS WILL BECOME WEST OR NORTHWEST AROUND 5 TO 8 KNOTS THIS
AFTERNOON AS A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. THIS
WESTERLY FLOW WILL BE TEMPORARY WITH SOUTH WINDS RETURNING AFTER
SUNSET. WINDS WILL BECOME NORTHWESTERLY AT 10 TO 12 KNOTS AROUND
MIDDAY /15Z/ WEDNESDAY.

58


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  40  64  38  61  43 /   5   0   0   0   0
WACO, TX              39  68  36  63  40 /   5   0   0   0   0
PARIS, TX             36  63  34  58  38 /   5   0   0   0   0
DENTON, TX            37  64  32  61  39 /   5   0   0   0   0
MCKINNEY, TX          36  64  34  60  39 /   5   0   0   0   0
DALLAS, TX            41  64  39  61  44 /   5   0   0   0   0
TERRELL, TX           39  64  36  61  38 /   5   0   0   0   0
CORSICANA, TX         40  66  37  63  41 /   5   0   0   0   0
TEMPLE, TX            38  69  37  64  41 /   5   0   0   0   0
MINERAL WELLS, TX     35  63  32  62  39 /   5   0   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$






000
FXUS64 KFWD 251726 AAC
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1126 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY. LIGHT SOUTH
WINDS WILL BECOME WEST OR NORTHWEST AROUND 5 TO 8 KNOTS THIS
AFTERNOON AS A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. THIS
WESTERLY FLOW WILL BE TEMPORARY WITH SOUTH WINDS RETURNING AFTER
SUNSET. WINDS WILL BECOME NORTHWESTERLY AT 10 TO 12 KNOTS AROUND
MIDDAY /15Z/ WEDNESDAY.


58

&&

.UPDATE...
TEMPERATURES HAVE CLIMBED QUICKLY THIS MORNING FOLLOWING A CHILLY
START TO THE DAY...THANKS TO DRY CONDITIONS...SUNNY SKIES AND
LIGHT WINDS. WE INCREASED THE HIGH TEMPERATURES ACROSS
NORTHEASTERN COUNTIES WHERE READINGS HAD ALREADY CLIMBED INTO THE
LOWER AND MIDDLE 50S BY 10 AM. THE REST OF THE REGION IS IN GOOD
SHAPE WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES ON TRACK TO REACH THE UPPER 50S
ACROSS THE NORTHWEST TO LOWER AND MIDDLE 60S ELSEWHERE.

30

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 251 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/
AN UPPER TROUGH WILL TRANSLATE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AND LEAVE
DRY AND SUBSIDENT AIR IN ITS WAKE. THE ONLY MOISTURE ASSOCIATED
WITH THE PASSING TROUGH WILL BE SCATTERED MID AND UPPER LEVEL
CLOUDS. HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL BE VERY NEAR SEASONAL NORMALS
FOR LATE NOVEMBER AND RANGE FROM THE UPPER 50S TO THE MIDDLE 60S.

DRY NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL PREVAIL ACROSS NORTH TEXAS THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AND KEEP SKIES MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE WILL BEGIN A SLOW RETURN OVER THE WEEKEND AS THE UPPER FLOW
BECOMES MORE ZONAL AND A SURFACE LOW DEVELOPS ACROSS THE NORTHERN
HIGH PLAINS. THE MOISTURE RETURN WILL RESULT IN WARMER
TEMPERATURES AND MORE CLOUDS. AFTERNOON HIGHS FRIDAY WILL BE IN
THE MIDDLE AND UPPER 60S WITH 70S EXPECTED SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. A
FEW WARM AIR ADVECTION SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE EASTERN
HALF OF THE REGION SUNDAY AND MONDAY.

THE NEXT WEATHER SYSTEM THAT MAY BRING SOME SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION WILL NOT ARRIVE UNTIL TUESDAY OR
WEDNESDAY OF NEXT WEEK.    79



&&


.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  63  40  66  39  62 /   5   5   0   0   0
WACO, TX              64  38  68  35  65 /   5   5   0   0   0
PARIS, TX             62  36  65  34  61 /   5   5   0   0   0
DENTON, TX            61  37  64  33  60 /   5   5   0   0   0
MCKINNEY, TX          60  36  66  33  61 /   5   5   0   0   0
DALLAS, TX            62  42  65  40  61 /   5   5   0   0   0
TERRELL, TX           62  38  66  35  60 /   5   5   0   0   0
CORSICANA, TX         63  40  66  38  63 /   5   5   0   0   0
TEMPLE, TX            65  36  68  36  65 /   5   5   0   0   0
MINERAL WELLS, TX     60  35  65  33  64 /  10   5   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

58/30









000
FXUS64 KFWD 251726 AAC
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1126 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY. LIGHT SOUTH
WINDS WILL BECOME WEST OR NORTHWEST AROUND 5 TO 8 KNOTS THIS
AFTERNOON AS A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. THIS
WESTERLY FLOW WILL BE TEMPORARY WITH SOUTH WINDS RETURNING AFTER
SUNSET. WINDS WILL BECOME NORTHWESTERLY AT 10 TO 12 KNOTS AROUND
MIDDAY /15Z/ WEDNESDAY.


58

&&

.UPDATE...
TEMPERATURES HAVE CLIMBED QUICKLY THIS MORNING FOLLOWING A CHILLY
START TO THE DAY...THANKS TO DRY CONDITIONS...SUNNY SKIES AND
LIGHT WINDS. WE INCREASED THE HIGH TEMPERATURES ACROSS
NORTHEASTERN COUNTIES WHERE READINGS HAD ALREADY CLIMBED INTO THE
LOWER AND MIDDLE 50S BY 10 AM. THE REST OF THE REGION IS IN GOOD
SHAPE WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES ON TRACK TO REACH THE UPPER 50S
ACROSS THE NORTHWEST TO LOWER AND MIDDLE 60S ELSEWHERE.

30

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 251 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/
AN UPPER TROUGH WILL TRANSLATE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AND LEAVE
DRY AND SUBSIDENT AIR IN ITS WAKE. THE ONLY MOISTURE ASSOCIATED
WITH THE PASSING TROUGH WILL BE SCATTERED MID AND UPPER LEVEL
CLOUDS. HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL BE VERY NEAR SEASONAL NORMALS
FOR LATE NOVEMBER AND RANGE FROM THE UPPER 50S TO THE MIDDLE 60S.

DRY NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL PREVAIL ACROSS NORTH TEXAS THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AND KEEP SKIES MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE WILL BEGIN A SLOW RETURN OVER THE WEEKEND AS THE UPPER FLOW
BECOMES MORE ZONAL AND A SURFACE LOW DEVELOPS ACROSS THE NORTHERN
HIGH PLAINS. THE MOISTURE RETURN WILL RESULT IN WARMER
TEMPERATURES AND MORE CLOUDS. AFTERNOON HIGHS FRIDAY WILL BE IN
THE MIDDLE AND UPPER 60S WITH 70S EXPECTED SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. A
FEW WARM AIR ADVECTION SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE EASTERN
HALF OF THE REGION SUNDAY AND MONDAY.

THE NEXT WEATHER SYSTEM THAT MAY BRING SOME SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION WILL NOT ARRIVE UNTIL TUESDAY OR
WEDNESDAY OF NEXT WEEK.    79



&&


.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  63  40  66  39  62 /   5   5   0   0   0
WACO, TX              64  38  68  35  65 /   5   5   0   0   0
PARIS, TX             62  36  65  34  61 /   5   5   0   0   0
DENTON, TX            61  37  64  33  60 /   5   5   0   0   0
MCKINNEY, TX          60  36  66  33  61 /   5   5   0   0   0
DALLAS, TX            62  42  65  40  61 /   5   5   0   0   0
TERRELL, TX           62  38  66  35  60 /   5   5   0   0   0
CORSICANA, TX         63  40  66  38  63 /   5   5   0   0   0
TEMPLE, TX            65  36  68  36  65 /   5   5   0   0   0
MINERAL WELLS, TX     60  35  65  33  64 /  10   5   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

58/30










000
FXUS64 KFWD 251630
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1030 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.UPDATE...
TEMPERATURES HAVE CLIMBED QUICKLY THIS MORNING FOLLOWING A CHILLY
START TO THE DAY...THANKS TO DRY CONDITIONS...SUNNY SKIES AND
LIGHT WINDS. WE INCREASED THE HIGH TEMPERATURES ACROSS
NORTHEASTERN COUNTIES WHERE READINGS HAD ALREADY CLIMBED INTO THE
LOWER AND MIDDLE 50S BY 10 AM. THE REST OF THE REGION IS IN GOOD
SHAPE WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES ON TRACK TO REACH THE UPPER 50S
ACROSS THE NORTHWEST TO LOWER AND MIDDLE 60S ELSEWHERE.

30

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 521 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED DURING THIS FORECAST CYCLE AT ALL
TERMINALS AS NORTHWESTERLY UPPER FLOW PREVAILS. COULD SEE SCT-BKN
MID OR HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS THIS AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT.

AT THE SURFACE...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDS FROM THE GREAT
BASIN SOUTHEASTWARD INTO SOUTH TEXAS WHILE LEE-SIDE TROUGHING
BEGINS TO DIG SOUTHWARD INTO THE TEXAS PANHANDLE. THIS SURFACE
TROUGH WILL UNDERGO CYCLOGENESIS AND MOVE EAST INTO THE MIDDLE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY ON WEDNESDAY AND PUSH A WEAK DRY COLD
FRONT THROUGH THE METROPLEX ON WEDNESDAY MORNING. AS A
RESULT...WINDS WILL BE WESTERLY LESS THAN 10 KNOTS TODAY THEN
BACKING TO THE SOUTH TONIGHT. WINDS WILL GO WEST THEN NORTHWEST
ON WEDNESDAY AS THE COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH THE METROPLEX. 75


&&



.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 251 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/
AN UPPER TROUGH WILL TRANSLATE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AND LEAVE
DRY AND SUBSIDENT AIR IN ITS WAKE. THE ONLY MOISTURE ASSOCIATED
WITH THE PASSING TROUGH WILL BE SCATTERED MID AND UPPER LEVEL
CLOUDS. HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL BE VERY NEAR SEASONAL NORMALS
FOR LATE NOVEMBER AND RANGE FROM THE UPPER 50S TO THE MIDDLE 60S.

DRY NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL PREVAIL ACROSS NORTH TEXAS THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AND KEEP SKIES MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE WILL BEGIN A SLOW RETURN OVER THE WEEKEND AS THE UPPER FLOW
BECOMES MORE ZONAL AND A SURFACE LOW DEVELOPS ACROSS THE NORTHERN
HIGH PLAINS. THE MOISTURE RETURN WILL RESULT IN WARMER
TEMPERATURES AND MORE CLOUDS. AFTERNOON HIGHS FRIDAY WILL BE IN
THE MIDDLE AND UPPER 60S WITH 70S EXPECTED SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. A
FEW WARM AIR ADVECTION SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE EASTERN
HALF OF THE REGION SUNDAY AND MONDAY.

THE NEXT WEATHER SYSTEM THAT MAY BRING SOME SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION WILL NOT ARRIVE UNTIL TUESDAY OR
WEDNESDAY OF NEXT WEEK.    79



&&


.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  63  40  66  39  62 /   5   5   0   0   0
WACO, TX              64  38  68  35  65 /   5   5   0   0   0
PARIS, TX             62  36  65  34  61 /   5   5   0   0   0
DENTON, TX            61  37  64  33  60 /   5   5   0   0   0
MCKINNEY, TX          60  36  66  33  61 /   5   5   0   0   0
DALLAS, TX            62  42  65  40  61 /   5   5   0   0   0
TERRELL, TX           62  38  66  35  60 /   5   5   0   0   0
CORSICANA, TX         63  40  66  38  63 /   5   5   0   0   0
TEMPLE, TX            65  36  68  36  65 /   5   5   0   0   0
MINERAL WELLS, TX     60  35  65  33  64 /  10   5   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$






000
FXUS64 KFWD 251630
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1030 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.UPDATE...
TEMPERATURES HAVE CLIMBED QUICKLY THIS MORNING FOLLOWING A CHILLY
START TO THE DAY...THANKS TO DRY CONDITIONS...SUNNY SKIES AND
LIGHT WINDS. WE INCREASED THE HIGH TEMPERATURES ACROSS
NORTHEASTERN COUNTIES WHERE READINGS HAD ALREADY CLIMBED INTO THE
LOWER AND MIDDLE 50S BY 10 AM. THE REST OF THE REGION IS IN GOOD
SHAPE WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES ON TRACK TO REACH THE UPPER 50S
ACROSS THE NORTHWEST TO LOWER AND MIDDLE 60S ELSEWHERE.

30

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 521 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED DURING THIS FORECAST CYCLE AT ALL
TERMINALS AS NORTHWESTERLY UPPER FLOW PREVAILS. COULD SEE SCT-BKN
MID OR HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS THIS AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT.

AT THE SURFACE...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDS FROM THE GREAT
BASIN SOUTHEASTWARD INTO SOUTH TEXAS WHILE LEE-SIDE TROUGHING
BEGINS TO DIG SOUTHWARD INTO THE TEXAS PANHANDLE. THIS SURFACE
TROUGH WILL UNDERGO CYCLOGENESIS AND MOVE EAST INTO THE MIDDLE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY ON WEDNESDAY AND PUSH A WEAK DRY COLD
FRONT THROUGH THE METROPLEX ON WEDNESDAY MORNING. AS A
RESULT...WINDS WILL BE WESTERLY LESS THAN 10 KNOTS TODAY THEN
BACKING TO THE SOUTH TONIGHT. WINDS WILL GO WEST THEN NORTHWEST
ON WEDNESDAY AS THE COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH THE METROPLEX. 75


&&



.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 251 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/
AN UPPER TROUGH WILL TRANSLATE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AND LEAVE
DRY AND SUBSIDENT AIR IN ITS WAKE. THE ONLY MOISTURE ASSOCIATED
WITH THE PASSING TROUGH WILL BE SCATTERED MID AND UPPER LEVEL
CLOUDS. HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL BE VERY NEAR SEASONAL NORMALS
FOR LATE NOVEMBER AND RANGE FROM THE UPPER 50S TO THE MIDDLE 60S.

DRY NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL PREVAIL ACROSS NORTH TEXAS THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AND KEEP SKIES MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE WILL BEGIN A SLOW RETURN OVER THE WEEKEND AS THE UPPER FLOW
BECOMES MORE ZONAL AND A SURFACE LOW DEVELOPS ACROSS THE NORTHERN
HIGH PLAINS. THE MOISTURE RETURN WILL RESULT IN WARMER
TEMPERATURES AND MORE CLOUDS. AFTERNOON HIGHS FRIDAY WILL BE IN
THE MIDDLE AND UPPER 60S WITH 70S EXPECTED SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. A
FEW WARM AIR ADVECTION SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE EASTERN
HALF OF THE REGION SUNDAY AND MONDAY.

THE NEXT WEATHER SYSTEM THAT MAY BRING SOME SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION WILL NOT ARRIVE UNTIL TUESDAY OR
WEDNESDAY OF NEXT WEEK.    79



&&


.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  63  40  66  39  62 /   5   5   0   0   0
WACO, TX              64  38  68  35  65 /   5   5   0   0   0
PARIS, TX             62  36  65  34  61 /   5   5   0   0   0
DENTON, TX            61  37  64  33  60 /   5   5   0   0   0
MCKINNEY, TX          60  36  66  33  61 /   5   5   0   0   0
DALLAS, TX            62  42  65  40  61 /   5   5   0   0   0
TERRELL, TX           62  38  66  35  60 /   5   5   0   0   0
CORSICANA, TX         63  40  66  38  63 /   5   5   0   0   0
TEMPLE, TX            65  36  68  36  65 /   5   5   0   0   0
MINERAL WELLS, TX     60  35  65  33  64 /  10   5   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KFWD 251121 AAA
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
521 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED DURING THIS FORECAST CYCLE AT ALL
TERMINALS AS NORTHWESTERLY UPPER FLOW PREVAILS. COULD SEE SCT-BKN
MID OR HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS THIS AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT.

AT THE SURFACE...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDS FROM THE GREAT
BASIN SOUTHEASTWARD INTO SOUTH TEXAS WHILE LEE-SIDE TROUGHING
BEGINS TO DIG SOUTHWARD INTO THE TEXAS PANHANDLE. THIS SURFACE
TROUGH WILL UNDERGO CYCLOGENESIS AND MOVE EAST INTO THE MIDDLE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY ON WEDNESDAY AND PUSH A WEAK DRY COLD
FRONT THROUGH THE METROPLEX ON WEDNESDAY MORNING. AS A
RESULT...WINDS WILL BE WESTERLY LESS THAN 10 KNOTS TODAY THEN
BACKING TO THE SOUTH TONIGHT. WINDS WILL GO WEST THEN NORTHWEST
ON WEDNESDAY AS THE COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH THE METROPLEX. 75

&&


.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 251 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/
AN UPPER TROUGH WILL TRANSLATE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AND LEAVE
DRY AND SUBSIDENT AIR IN ITS WAKE. THE ONLY MOISTURE ASSOCIATED
WITH THE PASSING TROUGH WILL BE SCATTERED MID AND UPPER LEVEL
CLOUDS. HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL BE VERY NEAR SEASONAL NORMALS
FOR LATE NOVEMBER AND RANGE FROM THE UPPER 50S TO THE MIDDLE 60S.

DRY NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL PREVAIL ACROSS NORTH TEXAS THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AND KEEP SKIES MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE WILL BEGIN A SLOW RETURN OVER THE WEEKEND AS THE UPPER FLOW
BECOMES MORE ZONAL AND A SURFACE LOW DEVELOPS ACROSS THE NORTHERN
HIGH PLAINS. THE MOISTURE RETURN WILL RESULT IN WARMER
TEMPERATURES AND MORE CLOUDS. AFTERNOON HIGHS FRIDAY WILL BE IN
THE MIDDLE AND UPPER 60S WITH 70S EXPECTED SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. A
FEW WARM AIR ADVECTION SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE EASTERN
HALF OF THE REGION SUNDAY AND MONDAY.

THE NEXT WEATHER SYSTEM THAT MAY BRING SOME SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION WILL NOT ARRIVE UNTIL TUESDAY OR
WEDNESDAY OF NEXT WEEK.    79

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  63  40  66  39  62 /   5   5   0   0   0
WACO, TX              64  38  68  35  65 /   5   5   0   0   0
PARIS, TX             57  36  65  34  61 /   5   5   0   0   0
DENTON, TX            61  37  64  33  60 /   5   5   0   0   0
MCKINNEY, TX          60  36  66  33  61 /   5   5   0   0   0
DALLAS, TX            62  42  65  40  61 /   5   5   0   0   0
TERRELL, TX           62  38  66  35  60 /   5   5   0   0   0
CORSICANA, TX         63  40  66  38  63 /   5   5   0   0   0
TEMPLE, TX            65  36  68  36  65 /   5   5   0   0   0
MINERAL WELLS, TX     60  35  65  33  64 /  10   5   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

75/






000
FXUS64 KFWD 251121 AAA
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
521 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED DURING THIS FORECAST CYCLE AT ALL
TERMINALS AS NORTHWESTERLY UPPER FLOW PREVAILS. COULD SEE SCT-BKN
MID OR HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS THIS AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT.

AT THE SURFACE...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDS FROM THE GREAT
BASIN SOUTHEASTWARD INTO SOUTH TEXAS WHILE LEE-SIDE TROUGHING
BEGINS TO DIG SOUTHWARD INTO THE TEXAS PANHANDLE. THIS SURFACE
TROUGH WILL UNDERGO CYCLOGENESIS AND MOVE EAST INTO THE MIDDLE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY ON WEDNESDAY AND PUSH A WEAK DRY COLD
FRONT THROUGH THE METROPLEX ON WEDNESDAY MORNING. AS A
RESULT...WINDS WILL BE WESTERLY LESS THAN 10 KNOTS TODAY THEN
BACKING TO THE SOUTH TONIGHT. WINDS WILL GO WEST THEN NORTHWEST
ON WEDNESDAY AS THE COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH THE METROPLEX. 75

&&


.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 251 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/
AN UPPER TROUGH WILL TRANSLATE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AND LEAVE
DRY AND SUBSIDENT AIR IN ITS WAKE. THE ONLY MOISTURE ASSOCIATED
WITH THE PASSING TROUGH WILL BE SCATTERED MID AND UPPER LEVEL
CLOUDS. HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL BE VERY NEAR SEASONAL NORMALS
FOR LATE NOVEMBER AND RANGE FROM THE UPPER 50S TO THE MIDDLE 60S.

DRY NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL PREVAIL ACROSS NORTH TEXAS THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AND KEEP SKIES MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE WILL BEGIN A SLOW RETURN OVER THE WEEKEND AS THE UPPER FLOW
BECOMES MORE ZONAL AND A SURFACE LOW DEVELOPS ACROSS THE NORTHERN
HIGH PLAINS. THE MOISTURE RETURN WILL RESULT IN WARMER
TEMPERATURES AND MORE CLOUDS. AFTERNOON HIGHS FRIDAY WILL BE IN
THE MIDDLE AND UPPER 60S WITH 70S EXPECTED SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. A
FEW WARM AIR ADVECTION SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE EASTERN
HALF OF THE REGION SUNDAY AND MONDAY.

THE NEXT WEATHER SYSTEM THAT MAY BRING SOME SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION WILL NOT ARRIVE UNTIL TUESDAY OR
WEDNESDAY OF NEXT WEEK.    79

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  63  40  66  39  62 /   5   5   0   0   0
WACO, TX              64  38  68  35  65 /   5   5   0   0   0
PARIS, TX             57  36  65  34  61 /   5   5   0   0   0
DENTON, TX            61  37  64  33  60 /   5   5   0   0   0
MCKINNEY, TX          60  36  66  33  61 /   5   5   0   0   0
DALLAS, TX            62  42  65  40  61 /   5   5   0   0   0
TERRELL, TX           62  38  66  35  60 /   5   5   0   0   0
CORSICANA, TX         63  40  66  38  63 /   5   5   0   0   0
TEMPLE, TX            65  36  68  36  65 /   5   5   0   0   0
MINERAL WELLS, TX     60  35  65  33  64 /  10   5   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

75/







000
FXUS64 KFWD 250851
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
251 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER TROUGH WILL TRANSLATE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AND LEAVE
DRY AND SUBSIDENT AIR IN ITS WAKE. THE ONLY MOISTURE ASSOCIATED
WITH THE PASSING TROUGH WILL BE SCATTERED MID AND UPPER LEVEL
CLOUDS. HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL BE VERY NEAR SEASONAL NORMALS
FOR LATE NOVEMBER AND RANGE FROM THE UPPER 50S TO THE MIDDLE 60S.

DRY NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL PREVAIL ACROSS NORTH TEXAS THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AND KEEP SKIES MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE WILL BEGIN A SLOW RETURN OVER THE WEEKEND AS THE UPPER FLOW
BECOMES MORE ZONAL AND A SURFACE LOW DEVELOPS ACROSS THE NORTHERN
HIGH PLAINS. THE MOISTURE RETURN WILL RESULT IN WARMER
TEMPERATURES AND MORE CLOUDS. AFTERNOON HIGHS FRIDAY WILL BE IN
THE MIDDLE AND UPPER 60S WITH 70S EXPECTED SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. A
FEW WARM AIR ADVECTION SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE EASTERN
HALF OF THE REGION SUNDAY AND MONDAY.

THE NEXT WEATHER SYSTEM THAT MAY BRING SOME SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION WILL NOT ARRIVE UNTIL TUESDAY OR
WEDNESDAY OF NEXT WEEK.

79

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 1120 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014/
VFR WITH JUST SOME MID-HIGH CLOUDS AS UPPER TROUGH SWINGS THROUGH
THE REGION. LIGHT WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING...BECOMING DUE WEST AT 5-10KT DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND VEERING TO THE SOUTHWEST TUESDAY EVENING. TR.92


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  63  40  66  39  62 /   5   5   0   0   0
WACO, TX              64  38  68  35  65 /   5   5   0   0   0
PARIS, TX             57  36  65  34  61 /   5   5   0   0   0
DENTON, TX            61  37  64  33  60 /   5   5   0   0   0
MCKINNEY, TX          60  36  66  33  61 /   5   5   0   0   0
DALLAS, TX            62  42  65  40  61 /   5   5   0   0   0
TERRELL, TX           62  38  66  35  60 /   5   5   0   0   0
CORSICANA, TX         63  40  66  38  63 /   5   5   0   0   0
TEMPLE, TX            65  36  68  36  65 /   5   5   0   0   0
MINERAL WELLS, TX     60  35  65  33  64 /  10   5   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

75/79






000
FXUS64 KFWD 250851
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
251 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER TROUGH WILL TRANSLATE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AND LEAVE
DRY AND SUBSIDENT AIR IN ITS WAKE. THE ONLY MOISTURE ASSOCIATED
WITH THE PASSING TROUGH WILL BE SCATTERED MID AND UPPER LEVEL
CLOUDS. HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL BE VERY NEAR SEASONAL NORMALS
FOR LATE NOVEMBER AND RANGE FROM THE UPPER 50S TO THE MIDDLE 60S.

DRY NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL PREVAIL ACROSS NORTH TEXAS THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AND KEEP SKIES MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE WILL BEGIN A SLOW RETURN OVER THE WEEKEND AS THE UPPER FLOW
BECOMES MORE ZONAL AND A SURFACE LOW DEVELOPS ACROSS THE NORTHERN
HIGH PLAINS. THE MOISTURE RETURN WILL RESULT IN WARMER
TEMPERATURES AND MORE CLOUDS. AFTERNOON HIGHS FRIDAY WILL BE IN
THE MIDDLE AND UPPER 60S WITH 70S EXPECTED SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. A
FEW WARM AIR ADVECTION SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE EASTERN
HALF OF THE REGION SUNDAY AND MONDAY.

THE NEXT WEATHER SYSTEM THAT MAY BRING SOME SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION WILL NOT ARRIVE UNTIL TUESDAY OR
WEDNESDAY OF NEXT WEEK.

79

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 1120 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014/
VFR WITH JUST SOME MID-HIGH CLOUDS AS UPPER TROUGH SWINGS THROUGH
THE REGION. LIGHT WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING...BECOMING DUE WEST AT 5-10KT DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND VEERING TO THE SOUTHWEST TUESDAY EVENING. TR.92


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  63  40  66  39  62 /   5   5   0   0   0
WACO, TX              64  38  68  35  65 /   5   5   0   0   0
PARIS, TX             57  36  65  34  61 /   5   5   0   0   0
DENTON, TX            61  37  64  33  60 /   5   5   0   0   0
MCKINNEY, TX          60  36  66  33  61 /   5   5   0   0   0
DALLAS, TX            62  42  65  40  61 /   5   5   0   0   0
TERRELL, TX           62  38  66  35  60 /   5   5   0   0   0
CORSICANA, TX         63  40  66  38  63 /   5   5   0   0   0
TEMPLE, TX            65  36  68  36  65 /   5   5   0   0   0
MINERAL WELLS, TX     60  35  65  33  64 /  10   5   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

75/79







000
FXUS64 KFWD 250520
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1120 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.AVIATION...
VFR WITH JUST SOME MID-HIGH CLOUDS AS UPPER TROUGH SWINGS THROUGH
THE REGION. LIGHT WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING...BECOMING DUE WEST AT 5-10KT DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND VEERING TO THE SOUTHWEST TUESDAY EVENING. TR.92

&&



.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 317 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014/
QUIET...DRY...AND PLEASANT WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND
MAKING FOR AN ENJOYABLE HOLIDAY WEEK.

SOME HIGH CLOUDS HAVE SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AS ENERGY IN
THE BASE OF AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE STATE.
TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED INTO THE UPPER 50S AND LOWER 60S WITH
MOSTLY LIGHT WINDS. LIGHT WINDS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT AS A SURFACE
HIGH MOVES OVER THE REGION AND OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL FALL INTO THE
30S...BUT MOSTLY REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING.

ONE FINAL PIECE OF UPPER LEVEL ENERGY WILL SWING ACROSS THE REGION
TOMORROW AND THEN THE ENTIRE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH SYSTEM WILL MOVE
EAST WITH NORTHWEST FLOW PERSISTING OVERHEAD THROUGH FRIDAY. A
WEAK AND BARELY NOTICEABLE FRONT WILL SLIDE INTO THE REGION
TOMORROW BUT ITS EFFECTS WILL BE LIMITED TO BRINGING THE WINDS
BACK AROUND TO THE NORTHWEST...BUT FOR ONLY A SHORT TIME.
TEMPERATURES TOMORROW WILL BE VERY SIMILAR TO TODAY AND THEN A
WARMING TREND WILL COMMENCE.

UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF QUIET NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT...TEMPERATURES
WILL WARM INTO THE 60S ACROSS THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY. ANOTHER WEAK FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH ON WEDNESDAY BUT
AGAIN...ITS EFFECT WILL BE VERY MINIMAL AND MOSTLY MARKED BY A
WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTH. SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST WINDS RETURN ACROSS
THE REGION FRIDAY AND THIS WEEKEND AND WILL STRENGTHEN AS A STRONG
SURFACE LOW PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH THE NORTHERN PLAINS. THE UPPER
LEVEL FLOW WILL TRANSITION TO A ZONAL FLOW PATTERN AND
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO WARM INTO THE UPPER 60S AND 70S
THIS WEEKEND. THE WEEKEND FORECAST WILL FEATURE WARM
TEMPERATURES...BREEZY WINDS AND INCREASING CLOUD COVER.
PREVIOUSLY...A FRONT WAS FORECAST TO ARRIVE LATE SUNDAY BUT NOW
BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF BARELY EASE THIS FRONT INTO THE REGION
SUNDAY NIGHT BEFORE QUICKLY RETURNING IT NORTH. THIS HAPPENS IN
RESPONSE TO ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEEPENING THE LEE OF THE
ROCKIES...AHEAD OF A SHORTWAVE MOVING ACROSS THE WESTERN CONUS.
THE SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION SOMETIME NEXT WEEK AND
COULD BRING US RAIN CHANCES.

82/JLD



&&


.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  38  62  41  65  40 /   0   5   5   0   0
WACO, TX              34  64  38  68  38 /   0   5   5   0   0
PARIS, TX             34  59  36  62  36 /   0   5   5   0   0
DENTON, TX            33  61  38  64  37 /   0   5   5   0   0
MCKINNEY, TX          32  61  38  65  37 /   0   5   5   0   0
DALLAS, TX            39  62  42  65  41 /   0   5   5   0   0
TERRELL, TX           35  63  39  66  39 /   0   5   5   0   0
CORSICANA, TX         37  64  40  67  40 /   0   5   5   0   0
TEMPLE, TX            35  65  38  68  39 /   0   5   5   0   0
MINERAL WELLS, TX     32  62  36  65  37 /   0  10   5   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

 /








000
FXUS64 KFWD 242323
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
523 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.AVIATION...
VFR WITH JUST SOME MID-HIGH CLOUDS AS UPPER TROUGH SWINGS THROUGH
THE REGION. LIGHT WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH
TUESDAY AFTERNOON...BECOMING MORE SOUTHWEST BY SUNSET. TR.92

&&


.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 317 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014/
QUIET...DRY...AND PLEASANT WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND
MAKING FOR AN ENJOYABLE HOLIDAY WEEK.

SOME HIGH CLOUDS HAVE SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AS ENERGY IN
THE BASE OF AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE STATE.
TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED INTO THE UPPER 50S AND LOWER 60S WITH
MOSTLY LIGHT WINDS. LIGHT WINDS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT AS A SURFACE
HIGH MOVES OVER THE REGION AND OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL FALL INTO THE
30S...BUT MOSTLY REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING.

ONE FINAL PIECE OF UPPER LEVEL ENERGY WILL SWING ACROSS THE REGION
TOMORROW AND THEN THE ENTIRE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH SYSTEM WILL MOVE
EAST WITH NORTHWEST FLOW PERSISTING OVERHEAD THROUGH FRIDAY. A
WEAK AND BARELY NOTICEABLE FRONT WILL SLIDE INTO THE REGION
TOMORROW BUT ITS EFFECTS WILL BE LIMITED TO BRINGING THE WINDS
BACK AROUND TO THE NORTHWEST...BUT FOR ONLY A SHORT TIME.
TEMPERATURES TOMORROW WILL BE VERY SIMILAR TO TODAY AND THEN A
WARMING TREND WILL COMMENCE.

UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF QUIET NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT...TEMPERATURES
WILL WARM INTO THE 60S ACROSS THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY. ANOTHER WEAK FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH ON WEDNESDAY BUT
AGAIN...ITS EFFECT WILL BE VERY MINIMAL AND MOSTLY MARKED BY A
WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTH. SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST WINDS RETURN ACROSS
THE REGION FRIDAY AND THIS WEEKEND AND WILL STRENGTHEN AS A STRONG
SURFACE LOW PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH THE NORTHERN PLAINS. THE UPPER
LEVEL FLOW WILL TRANSITION TO A ZONAL FLOW PATTERN AND
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO WARM INTO THE UPPER 60S AND 70S
THIS WEEKEND. THE WEEKEND FORECAST WILL FEATURE WARM
TEMPERATURES...BREEZY WINDS AND INCREASING CLOUD COVER.
PREVIOUSLY...A FRONT WAS FORECAST TO ARRIVE LATE SUNDAY BUT NOW
BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF BARELY EASE THIS FRONT INTO THE REGION
SUNDAY NIGHT BEFORE QUICKLY RETURNING IT NORTH. THIS HAPPENS IN
RESPONSE TO ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEEPENING THE LEE OF THE
ROCKIES...AHEAD OF A SHORTWAVE MOVING ACROSS THE WESTERN CONUS.
THE SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION SOMETIME NEXT WEEK AND
COULD BRING US RAIN CHANCES.

82/JLD

&&



.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  38  62  41  65  40 /   0   5   5   0   0
WACO, TX              35  64  38  68  38 /   0   5   5   0   0
PARIS, TX             34  59  36  62  36 /   0   5   5   0   0
DENTON, TX            33  61  38  64  37 /   0   5   5   0   0
MCKINNEY, TX          32  61  38  65  37 /   0   5   5   0   0
DALLAS, TX            39  62  42  65  41 /   0   5   5   0   0
TERRELL, TX           35  63  39  66  39 /   0   5   5   0   0
CORSICANA, TX         37  64  40  67  40 /   0   5   5   0   0
TEMPLE, TX            35  65  38  68  39 /   0   5   5   0   0
MINERAL WELLS, TX     32  62  36  65  37 /   0  10   5   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

 /







000
FXUS64 KFWD 242323
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
523 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.AVIATION...
VFR WITH JUST SOME MID-HIGH CLOUDS AS UPPER TROUGH SWINGS THROUGH
THE REGION. LIGHT WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH
TUESDAY AFTERNOON...BECOMING MORE SOUTHWEST BY SUNSET. TR.92

&&


.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 317 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014/
QUIET...DRY...AND PLEASANT WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND
MAKING FOR AN ENJOYABLE HOLIDAY WEEK.

SOME HIGH CLOUDS HAVE SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AS ENERGY IN
THE BASE OF AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE STATE.
TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED INTO THE UPPER 50S AND LOWER 60S WITH
MOSTLY LIGHT WINDS. LIGHT WINDS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT AS A SURFACE
HIGH MOVES OVER THE REGION AND OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL FALL INTO THE
30S...BUT MOSTLY REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING.

ONE FINAL PIECE OF UPPER LEVEL ENERGY WILL SWING ACROSS THE REGION
TOMORROW AND THEN THE ENTIRE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH SYSTEM WILL MOVE
EAST WITH NORTHWEST FLOW PERSISTING OVERHEAD THROUGH FRIDAY. A
WEAK AND BARELY NOTICEABLE FRONT WILL SLIDE INTO THE REGION
TOMORROW BUT ITS EFFECTS WILL BE LIMITED TO BRINGING THE WINDS
BACK AROUND TO THE NORTHWEST...BUT FOR ONLY A SHORT TIME.
TEMPERATURES TOMORROW WILL BE VERY SIMILAR TO TODAY AND THEN A
WARMING TREND WILL COMMENCE.

UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF QUIET NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT...TEMPERATURES
WILL WARM INTO THE 60S ACROSS THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY. ANOTHER WEAK FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH ON WEDNESDAY BUT
AGAIN...ITS EFFECT WILL BE VERY MINIMAL AND MOSTLY MARKED BY A
WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTH. SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST WINDS RETURN ACROSS
THE REGION FRIDAY AND THIS WEEKEND AND WILL STRENGTHEN AS A STRONG
SURFACE LOW PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH THE NORTHERN PLAINS. THE UPPER
LEVEL FLOW WILL TRANSITION TO A ZONAL FLOW PATTERN AND
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO WARM INTO THE UPPER 60S AND 70S
THIS WEEKEND. THE WEEKEND FORECAST WILL FEATURE WARM
TEMPERATURES...BREEZY WINDS AND INCREASING CLOUD COVER.
PREVIOUSLY...A FRONT WAS FORECAST TO ARRIVE LATE SUNDAY BUT NOW
BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF BARELY EASE THIS FRONT INTO THE REGION
SUNDAY NIGHT BEFORE QUICKLY RETURNING IT NORTH. THIS HAPPENS IN
RESPONSE TO ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEEPENING THE LEE OF THE
ROCKIES...AHEAD OF A SHORTWAVE MOVING ACROSS THE WESTERN CONUS.
THE SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION SOMETIME NEXT WEEK AND
COULD BRING US RAIN CHANCES.

82/JLD

&&



.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  38  62  41  65  40 /   0   5   5   0   0
WACO, TX              35  64  38  68  38 /   0   5   5   0   0
PARIS, TX             34  59  36  62  36 /   0   5   5   0   0
DENTON, TX            33  61  38  64  37 /   0   5   5   0   0
MCKINNEY, TX          32  61  38  65  37 /   0   5   5   0   0
DALLAS, TX            39  62  42  65  41 /   0   5   5   0   0
TERRELL, TX           35  63  39  66  39 /   0   5   5   0   0
CORSICANA, TX         37  64  40  67  40 /   0   5   5   0   0
TEMPLE, TX            35  65  38  68  39 /   0   5   5   0   0
MINERAL WELLS, TX     32  62  36  65  37 /   0  10   5   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

 /






000
FXUS64 KFWD 242118 CCA
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
317 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...
QUIET...DRY...AND PLEASANT WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND
MAKING FOR AN ENJOYABLE HOLIDAY WEEK.

SOME HIGH CLOUDS HAVE SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AS ENERGY IN
THE BASE OF AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE STATE.
TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED INTO THE UPPER 50S AND LOWER 60S WITH
MOSTLY LIGHT WINDS. LIGHT WINDS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT AS A SURFACE
HIGH MOVES OVER THE REGION AND OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL FALL INTO THE
30S...BUT MOSTLY REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING.

ONE FINAL PIECE OF UPPER LEVEL ENERGY WILL SWING ACROSS THE REGION
TOMORROW AND THEN THE ENTIRE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH SYSTEM WILL MOVE
EAST WITH NORTHWEST FLOW PERSISTING OVERHEAD THROUGH FRIDAY. A
WEAK AND BARELY NOTICEABLE FRONT WILL SLIDE INTO THE REGION
TOMORROW BUT ITS EFFECTS WILL BE LIMITED TO BRINGING THE WINDS
BACK AROUND TO THE NORTHWEST...BUT FOR ONLY A SHORT TIME.
TEMPERATURES TOMORROW WILL BE VERY SIMILAR TO TODAY AND THEN A
WARMING TREND WILL COMMENCE.

UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF QUIET NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT...TEMPERATURES
WILL WARM INTO THE 60S ACROSS THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY. ANOTHER WEAK FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH ON WEDNESDAY BUT
AGAIN...ITS EFFECT WILL BE VERY MINIMAL AND MOSTLY MARKED BY A
WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTH. SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST WINDS RETURN ACROSS
THE REGION FRIDAY AND THIS WEEKEND AND WILL STRENGTHEN AS A STRONG
SURFACE LOW PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH THE NORTHERN PLAINS. THE UPPER
LEVEL FLOW WILL TRANSITION TO A ZONAL FLOW PATTERN AND
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO WARM INTO THE UPPER 60S AND 70S
THIS WEEKEND. THE WEEKEND FORECAST WILL FEATURE WARM
TEMPERATURES...BREEZY WINDS AND INCREASING CLOUD COVER.
PREVIOUSLY...A FRONT WAS FORECAST TO ARRIVE LATE SUNDAY BUT NOW
BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF BARELY EASE THIS FRONT INTO THE REGION
SUNDAY NIGHT BEFORE QUICKLY RETURNING IT NORTH. THIS HAPPENS IN
RESPONSE TO ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEEPENING THE LEE OF THE
ROCKIES...AHEAD OF A SHORTWAVE MOVING ACROSS THE WESTERN CONUS.
THE SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION SOMETIME NEXT WEEK AND
COULD BRING US RAIN CHANCES.

82/JLD

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 1116 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014/
SURFACE WINDS ARE ALREADY BACKING TO A MORE WESTERLY DIRECTION IN
THE METROPLEX AS THE AXIS OF A SURFACE RIDGE PASSES ACROSS NORTH
TEXAS. WIND SPEEDS HAVE BEEN DECREASING DUE TO A SLACKENING
PRESSURE GRADIENT...AND WE WILL GO AHEAD AND INDICATE A LIGHT WEST
WIND AT TAF ISSUANCE FOR THE DFW AREA TAFS. WINDS AT KACT WILL
LIKELY FOLLOW SUIT LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL SWING ACROSS TEXAS EARLY TUESDAY. SURFACE
WINDS WILL RESPOND BY VEERING TO A NORTHERLY DIRECTION ONCE AGAIN
BY 12Z TUESDAY...WITH SPEEDS REMAINING AROUND 5 KT. IMPACTS
WOULD MAINLY OCCUR AT DFW WHERE A BRIEF RETURN TO NORTH FLOW IS
POSSIBLE FOR THE TUESDAY MORNING HOURS.

WE EXPECT ANOTHER RETURN TO LIGHT SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS
TUESDAY AFTERNOON AHEAD OF A SECONDARY PUSH OF COOL AIR...WHICH
IS ON TRACK FOR WEDNESDAY MORNING. OTHERWISE...SOME MID LEVEL
CLOUDS MAY THICKEN UP AS THE SHORTWAVE CROSSES THE AREA EARLY
TUESDAY...BUT CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN VFR AT ALL TAF
LOCATIONS.

30


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  38  62  41  65  40 /   0   5   5   0   0
WACO, TX              35  64  38  68  38 /   0   5   5   0   0
PARIS, TX             34  59  36  62  36 /   0   5   5   0   0
DENTON, TX            33  61  38  64  37 /   0   5   5   0   0
MCKINNEY, TX          32  61  38  65  37 /   0   5   5   0   0
DALLAS, TX            39  62  42  65  41 /   0   5   5   0   0
TERRELL, TX           35  63  39  66  39 /   0   5   5   0   0
CORSICANA, TX         37  64  40  67  40 /   0   5   5   0   0
TEMPLE, TX            35  65  38  68  39 /   0   5   5   0   0
MINERAL WELLS, TX     32  62  36  65  37 /   0  10   5   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

30/82









000
FXUS64 KFWD 242118 CCA
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
317 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...
QUIET...DRY...AND PLEASANT WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND
MAKING FOR AN ENJOYABLE HOLIDAY WEEK.

SOME HIGH CLOUDS HAVE SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AS ENERGY IN
THE BASE OF AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE STATE.
TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED INTO THE UPPER 50S AND LOWER 60S WITH
MOSTLY LIGHT WINDS. LIGHT WINDS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT AS A SURFACE
HIGH MOVES OVER THE REGION AND OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL FALL INTO THE
30S...BUT MOSTLY REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING.

ONE FINAL PIECE OF UPPER LEVEL ENERGY WILL SWING ACROSS THE REGION
TOMORROW AND THEN THE ENTIRE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH SYSTEM WILL MOVE
EAST WITH NORTHWEST FLOW PERSISTING OVERHEAD THROUGH FRIDAY. A
WEAK AND BARELY NOTICEABLE FRONT WILL SLIDE INTO THE REGION
TOMORROW BUT ITS EFFECTS WILL BE LIMITED TO BRINGING THE WINDS
BACK AROUND TO THE NORTHWEST...BUT FOR ONLY A SHORT TIME.
TEMPERATURES TOMORROW WILL BE VERY SIMILAR TO TODAY AND THEN A
WARMING TREND WILL COMMENCE.

UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF QUIET NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT...TEMPERATURES
WILL WARM INTO THE 60S ACROSS THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY. ANOTHER WEAK FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH ON WEDNESDAY BUT
AGAIN...ITS EFFECT WILL BE VERY MINIMAL AND MOSTLY MARKED BY A
WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTH. SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST WINDS RETURN ACROSS
THE REGION FRIDAY AND THIS WEEKEND AND WILL STRENGTHEN AS A STRONG
SURFACE LOW PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH THE NORTHERN PLAINS. THE UPPER
LEVEL FLOW WILL TRANSITION TO A ZONAL FLOW PATTERN AND
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO WARM INTO THE UPPER 60S AND 70S
THIS WEEKEND. THE WEEKEND FORECAST WILL FEATURE WARM
TEMPERATURES...BREEZY WINDS AND INCREASING CLOUD COVER.
PREVIOUSLY...A FRONT WAS FORECAST TO ARRIVE LATE SUNDAY BUT NOW
BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF BARELY EASE THIS FRONT INTO THE REGION
SUNDAY NIGHT BEFORE QUICKLY RETURNING IT NORTH. THIS HAPPENS IN
RESPONSE TO ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEEPENING THE LEE OF THE
ROCKIES...AHEAD OF A SHORTWAVE MOVING ACROSS THE WESTERN CONUS.
THE SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION SOMETIME NEXT WEEK AND
COULD BRING US RAIN CHANCES.

82/JLD

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 1116 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014/
SURFACE WINDS ARE ALREADY BACKING TO A MORE WESTERLY DIRECTION IN
THE METROPLEX AS THE AXIS OF A SURFACE RIDGE PASSES ACROSS NORTH
TEXAS. WIND SPEEDS HAVE BEEN DECREASING DUE TO A SLACKENING
PRESSURE GRADIENT...AND WE WILL GO AHEAD AND INDICATE A LIGHT WEST
WIND AT TAF ISSUANCE FOR THE DFW AREA TAFS. WINDS AT KACT WILL
LIKELY FOLLOW SUIT LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL SWING ACROSS TEXAS EARLY TUESDAY. SURFACE
WINDS WILL RESPOND BY VEERING TO A NORTHERLY DIRECTION ONCE AGAIN
BY 12Z TUESDAY...WITH SPEEDS REMAINING AROUND 5 KT. IMPACTS
WOULD MAINLY OCCUR AT DFW WHERE A BRIEF RETURN TO NORTH FLOW IS
POSSIBLE FOR THE TUESDAY MORNING HOURS.

WE EXPECT ANOTHER RETURN TO LIGHT SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS
TUESDAY AFTERNOON AHEAD OF A SECONDARY PUSH OF COOL AIR...WHICH
IS ON TRACK FOR WEDNESDAY MORNING. OTHERWISE...SOME MID LEVEL
CLOUDS MAY THICKEN UP AS THE SHORTWAVE CROSSES THE AREA EARLY
TUESDAY...BUT CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN VFR AT ALL TAF
LOCATIONS.

30


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  38  62  41  65  40 /   0   5   5   0   0
WACO, TX              35  64  38  68  38 /   0   5   5   0   0
PARIS, TX             34  59  36  62  36 /   0   5   5   0   0
DENTON, TX            33  61  38  64  37 /   0   5   5   0   0
MCKINNEY, TX          32  61  38  65  37 /   0   5   5   0   0
DALLAS, TX            39  62  42  65  41 /   0   5   5   0   0
TERRELL, TX           35  63  39  66  39 /   0   5   5   0   0
CORSICANA, TX         37  64  40  67  40 /   0   5   5   0   0
TEMPLE, TX            35  65  38  68  39 /   0   5   5   0   0
MINERAL WELLS, TX     32  62  36  65  37 /   0  10   5   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

30/82









000
FXUS64 KFWD 242108
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
308 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...
QUIET...DRY...AND PLEASANT WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND
MAKING FOR AN ENJOYABLE HOLIDAY WEEK.

SOME HIGH CLOUDS HAVE SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AS ENERGY IN
THE BASE OF AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE STATE.
TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED INTO THE UPPER 50S AND LOWER 60S WITH
MOSTLY LIGHT WINDS. LIGHT WINDS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT AS A SURFACE
HIGH MOVES OVER THE REGION AND OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL FALL INTO THE
30S...BUT MOSTLY REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING.

ONE FINAL PIECE OF UPPER LEVEL ENERGY WILL SWING ACROSS THE REGION
TOMORROW AND THEN THE ENTIRE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH SYSTEM WILL MOVE
EAST WITH NORTHWEST FLOW PERSISTING OVERHEAD THROUGH FRIDAY. A
WEAK AND BARELY NOTICEABLE FRONT WILL SLIDE INTO THE REGION
TOMORROW BUT ITS EFFECTS WILL BE LIMITED TO BRINGING THE WINDS
BACK AROUND TO THE NORTHWEST...BUT FOR ONLY A SHORT TIME.
TEMPERATURES TOMORROW WILL BE VERY SIMILAR TO TODAY AND THEN A
WARMING TREND WILL COMMENCE.

UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF QUIET NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT...TEMPERATURES
WILL WARM INTO THE 60S ACROSS THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY. ANOTHER WEAK FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH ON THURSDAY BUT
AGAIN...ITS EFFECT WILL BE VERY MINIMAL AND MOSTLY MARKED BY A
WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTH. SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST WINDS RETURN ACROSS
THE REGION FRIDAY AND THIS WEEKEND AND WILL STRENGTHEN AS A STRONG
SURFACE LOW PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH THE NORTHERN PLAINS. THE UPPER
LEVEL FLOW WILL TRANSITION TO A ZONAL FLOW PATTERN AND
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO WARM INTO THE UPPER 60S AND 70S
THIS WEEKEND. THE WEEKEND FORECAST WILL FEATURE WARM
TEMPERATURES...BREEZY WINDS AND INCREASING CLOUD COVER.
PREVIOUSLY...A FRONT WAS FORECAST TO ARRIVE LATE SUNDAY BUT NOW
BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF BARELY EASE THIS FRONT INTO THE REGION
SUNDAY NIGHT BEFORE QUICKLY RETURNING IT NORTH. THIS HAPPENS IN
RESPONSE TO ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEEPENING THE LEE OF THE
ROCKIES...AHEAD OF A SHORTWAVE MOVING ACROSS THE WESTERN CONUS.
THE SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION SOMETIME NEXT WEEK AND
COULD BRING US RAIN CHANCES.

82/JLD

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 1116 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014/
SURFACE WINDS ARE ALREADY BACKING TO A MORE WESTERLY DIRECTION IN
THE METROPLEX AS THE AXIS OF A SURFACE RIDGE PASSES ACROSS NORTH
TEXAS. WIND SPEEDS HAVE BEEN DECREASING DUE TO A SLACKENING
PRESSURE GRADIENT...AND WE WILL GO AHEAD AND INDICATE A LIGHT WEST
WIND AT TAF ISSUANCE FOR THE DFW AREA TAFS. WINDS AT KACT WILL
LIKELY FOLLOW SUIT LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL SWING ACROSS TEXAS EARLY TUESDAY. SURFACE
WINDS WILL RESPOND BY VEERING TO A NORTHERLY DIRECTION ONCE AGAIN
BY 12Z TUESDAY...WITH SPEEDS REMAINING AROUND 5 KT. IMPACTS
WOULD MAINLY OCCUR AT DFW WHERE A BRIEF RETURN TO NORTH FLOW IS
POSSIBLE FOR THE TUESDAY MORNING HOURS.

WE EXPECT ANOTHER RETURN TO LIGHT SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS
TUESDAY AFTERNOON AHEAD OF A SECONDARY PUSH OF COOL AIR...WHICH
IS ON TRACK FOR WEDNESDAY MORNING. OTHERWISE...SOME MID LEVEL
CLOUDS MAY THICKEN UP AS THE SHORTWAVE CROSSES THE AREA EARLY
TUESDAY...BUT CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN VFR AT ALL TAF
LOCATIONS.

30


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  38  62  41  65  40 /   0   5   5   0   0
WACO, TX              35  64  38  68  38 /   0   5   5   0   0
PARIS, TX             34  59  36  62  36 /   0   5   5   0   0
DENTON, TX            33  61  38  64  37 /   0   5   5   0   0
MCKINNEY, TX          32  61  38  65  37 /   0   5   5   0   0
DALLAS, TX            39  62  42  65  41 /   0   5   5   0   0
TERRELL, TX           35  63  39  66  39 /   0   5   5   0   0
CORSICANA, TX         37  64  40  67  40 /   0   5   5   0   0
TEMPLE, TX            35  65  38  68  39 /   0   5   5   0   0
MINERAL WELLS, TX     32  62  36  65  37 /   0  10   5   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

30/82






000
FXUS64 KFWD 242108
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
308 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...
QUIET...DRY...AND PLEASANT WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND
MAKING FOR AN ENJOYABLE HOLIDAY WEEK.

SOME HIGH CLOUDS HAVE SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AS ENERGY IN
THE BASE OF AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE STATE.
TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED INTO THE UPPER 50S AND LOWER 60S WITH
MOSTLY LIGHT WINDS. LIGHT WINDS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT AS A SURFACE
HIGH MOVES OVER THE REGION AND OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL FALL INTO THE
30S...BUT MOSTLY REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING.

ONE FINAL PIECE OF UPPER LEVEL ENERGY WILL SWING ACROSS THE REGION
TOMORROW AND THEN THE ENTIRE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH SYSTEM WILL MOVE
EAST WITH NORTHWEST FLOW PERSISTING OVERHEAD THROUGH FRIDAY. A
WEAK AND BARELY NOTICEABLE FRONT WILL SLIDE INTO THE REGION
TOMORROW BUT ITS EFFECTS WILL BE LIMITED TO BRINGING THE WINDS
BACK AROUND TO THE NORTHWEST...BUT FOR ONLY A SHORT TIME.
TEMPERATURES TOMORROW WILL BE VERY SIMILAR TO TODAY AND THEN A
WARMING TREND WILL COMMENCE.

UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF QUIET NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT...TEMPERATURES
WILL WARM INTO THE 60S ACROSS THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY. ANOTHER WEAK FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH ON THURSDAY BUT
AGAIN...ITS EFFECT WILL BE VERY MINIMAL AND MOSTLY MARKED BY A
WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTH. SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST WINDS RETURN ACROSS
THE REGION FRIDAY AND THIS WEEKEND AND WILL STRENGTHEN AS A STRONG
SURFACE LOW PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH THE NORTHERN PLAINS. THE UPPER
LEVEL FLOW WILL TRANSITION TO A ZONAL FLOW PATTERN AND
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO WARM INTO THE UPPER 60S AND 70S
THIS WEEKEND. THE WEEKEND FORECAST WILL FEATURE WARM
TEMPERATURES...BREEZY WINDS AND INCREASING CLOUD COVER.
PREVIOUSLY...A FRONT WAS FORECAST TO ARRIVE LATE SUNDAY BUT NOW
BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF BARELY EASE THIS FRONT INTO THE REGION
SUNDAY NIGHT BEFORE QUICKLY RETURNING IT NORTH. THIS HAPPENS IN
RESPONSE TO ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEEPENING THE LEE OF THE
ROCKIES...AHEAD OF A SHORTWAVE MOVING ACROSS THE WESTERN CONUS.
THE SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION SOMETIME NEXT WEEK AND
COULD BRING US RAIN CHANCES.

82/JLD

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 1116 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014/
SURFACE WINDS ARE ALREADY BACKING TO A MORE WESTERLY DIRECTION IN
THE METROPLEX AS THE AXIS OF A SURFACE RIDGE PASSES ACROSS NORTH
TEXAS. WIND SPEEDS HAVE BEEN DECREASING DUE TO A SLACKENING
PRESSURE GRADIENT...AND WE WILL GO AHEAD AND INDICATE A LIGHT WEST
WIND AT TAF ISSUANCE FOR THE DFW AREA TAFS. WINDS AT KACT WILL
LIKELY FOLLOW SUIT LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL SWING ACROSS TEXAS EARLY TUESDAY. SURFACE
WINDS WILL RESPOND BY VEERING TO A NORTHERLY DIRECTION ONCE AGAIN
BY 12Z TUESDAY...WITH SPEEDS REMAINING AROUND 5 KT. IMPACTS
WOULD MAINLY OCCUR AT DFW WHERE A BRIEF RETURN TO NORTH FLOW IS
POSSIBLE FOR THE TUESDAY MORNING HOURS.

WE EXPECT ANOTHER RETURN TO LIGHT SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS
TUESDAY AFTERNOON AHEAD OF A SECONDARY PUSH OF COOL AIR...WHICH
IS ON TRACK FOR WEDNESDAY MORNING. OTHERWISE...SOME MID LEVEL
CLOUDS MAY THICKEN UP AS THE SHORTWAVE CROSSES THE AREA EARLY
TUESDAY...BUT CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN VFR AT ALL TAF
LOCATIONS.

30


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  38  62  41  65  40 /   0   5   5   0   0
WACO, TX              35  64  38  68  38 /   0   5   5   0   0
PARIS, TX             34  59  36  62  36 /   0   5   5   0   0
DENTON, TX            33  61  38  64  37 /   0   5   5   0   0
MCKINNEY, TX          32  61  38  65  37 /   0   5   5   0   0
DALLAS, TX            39  62  42  65  41 /   0   5   5   0   0
TERRELL, TX           35  63  39  66  39 /   0   5   5   0   0
CORSICANA, TX         37  64  40  67  40 /   0   5   5   0   0
TEMPLE, TX            35  65  38  68  39 /   0   5   5   0   0
MINERAL WELLS, TX     32  62  36  65  37 /   0  10   5   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

30/82







000
FXUS64 KFWD 241716
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1116 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.AVIATION...
SURFACE WINDS ARE ALREADY BACKING TO A MORE WESTERLY DIRECTION IN
THE METROPLEX AS THE AXIS OF A SURFACE RIDGE PASSES ACROSS NORTH
TEXAS. WIND SPEEDS HAVE BEEN DECREASING DUE TO A SLACKENING
PRESSURE GRADIENT...AND WE WILL GO AHEAD AND INDICATE A LIGHT WEST
WIND AT TAF ISSUANCE FOR THE DFW AREA TAFS. WINDS AT KACT WILL
LIKELY FOLLOW SUIT LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL SWING ACROSS TEXAS EARLY TUESDAY. SURFACE
WINDS WILL RESPOND BY VEERING TO A NORTHERLY DIRECTION ONCE AGAIN
BY 12Z TUESDAY...WITH SPEEDS REMAINING AROUND 5 KT. IMPACTS
WOULD MAINLY OCCUR AT DFW WHERE A BRIEF RETURN TO NORTH FLOW IS
POSSIBLE FOR THE TUESDAY MORNING HOURS.

WE EXPECT ANOTHER RETURN TO LIGHT SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS
TUESDAY AFTERNOON AHEAD OF A SECONDARY PUSH OF COOL AIR...WHICH
IS ON TRACK FOR WEDNESDAY MORNING. OTHERWISE...SOME MID LEVEL
CLOUDS MAY THICKEN UP AS THE SHORTWAVE CROSSES THE AREA EARLY
TUESDAY...BUT CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN VFR AT ALL TAF
LOCATIONS.

30

&&



.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 232 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014/
A LARGE AREA OF TROUGHING DOMINATES THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN PARTS
OF THE U.S. THIS MORNING BUT THE ACTIVE WEATHER HAS ALL MOVED WELL
EAST OF OUR REGION. SUNNY SKIES AND COOLER TEMPERATURES CAN BE
EXPECTED TODAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE AREA. WINDS WILL
BE CONSIDERABLY LIGHTER TODAY AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT HAS
WEAKENED CONSIDERABLY BEHIND YESTERDAYS COLD FRONT. CLEAR SKIES
TONIGHT AND LIGHT WINDS WILL RESULT IN A COOL NIGHT WITH LOWS
DROPPING INTO THE MID 30S. OUTLYING AREAS MAY DROP TO NEAR
FREEZING. ANOTHER SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE OVER THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS TOMORROW RESULTING IN A SECONDARY PUSH OF COOLER AIR.
TEMPERATURES ON TUESDAY SHOULD BE A COUPLE OF DEGREES COOLER THAN
TODAY.

THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK LOOKS NICE ACROSS ALL OF NORTH TEXAS
AS WE WILL BE ON THE EASTERN EDGE OF UPPER RIDGING. THIS WILL
PLACE US IN NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT...HOWEVER LOWER LEVEL WINDS WILL
BE MORE WEST-SOUTHWEST. THIS SHOULD ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO WARM
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S
ON THANKSGIVING DAY AND WILL CLIMB INTO THE LOWER 70S FOR FRIDAY
AND SATURDAY. SOME MOISTURE WILL WORK BACK INTO NORTH TEXAS BY
SATURDAY AND ANOTHER COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH
SOMETIME LATE SUNDAY. RIGHT NOW...ONLY LOW RAIN CHANCES ARE
EXPECTED. OTHERWISE...NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH
THE UPCOMING WEEK.

DUNN



&&


.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  62  38  63  40  65 /   0   0   0   0   0
WACO, TX              62  35  62  37  67 /   0   0   0   0   0
PARIS, TX             61  35  58  36  62 /   0   0   0   0   0
DENTON, TX            61  35  59  36  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
MCKINNEY, TX          61  35  60  35  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
DALLAS, TX            62  39  60  40  65 /   0   0   0   0   0
TERRELL, TX           63  36  62  37  65 /   0   0   0   0   0
CORSICANA, TX         62  37  62  40  66 /   0   0   0   0   0
TEMPLE, TX            64  37  64  36  68 /   0   0   0   0   0
MINERAL WELLS, TX     62  35  62  35  65 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

30/82






000
FXUS64 KFWD 241125
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
525 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.AVIATION...
NO AVIATION WEATHER CONCERNS EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING WITH
VFR CONDITIONS AND A NORTHWEST TO WEST WIND AT SPEEDS GENERALLY
LESS THAN 12 KNOTS.

79

&&


.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 232 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014/
A LARGE AREA OF TROUGHING DOMINATES THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN PARTS
OF THE U.S. THIS MORNING BUT THE ACTIVE WEATHER HAS ALL MOVED WELL
EAST OF OUR REGION. SUNNY SKIES AND COOLER TEMPERATURES CAN BE
EXPECTED TODAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE AREA. WINDS WILL
BE CONSIDERABLY LIGHTER TODAY AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT HAS
WEAKENED CONSIDERABLY BEHIND YESTERDAYS COLD FRONT. CLEAR SKIES
TONIGHT AND LIGHT WINDS WILL RESULT IN A COOL NIGHT WITH LOWS
DROPPING INTO THE MID 30S. OUTLYING AREAS MAY DROP TO NEAR
FREEZING. ANOTHER SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE OVER THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS TOMORROW RESULTING IN A SECONDARY PUSH OF COOLER AIR.
TEMPERATURES ON TUESDAY SHOULD BE A COUPLE OF DEGREES COOLER THAN
TODAY.

THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK LOOKS NICE ACROSS ALL OF NORTH TEXAS
AS WE WILL BE ON THE EASTERN EDGE OF UPPER RIDGING. THIS WILL
PLACE US IN NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT...HOWEVER LOWER LEVEL WINDS WILL
BE MORE WEST-SOUTHWEST. THIS SHOULD ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO WARM
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S
ON THANKSGIVING DAY AND WILL CLIMB INTO THE LOWER 70S FOR FRIDAY
AND SATURDAY. SOME MOISTURE WILL WORK BACK INTO NORTH TEXAS BY
SATURDAY AND ANOTHER COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH
SOMETIME LATE SUNDAY. RIGHT NOW...ONLY LOW RAIN CHANCES ARE
EXPECTED. OTHERWISE...NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH
THE UPCOMING WEEK.

DUNN

&&



.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  64  38  63  40  65 /   0   0   0   0   0
WACO, TX              62  35  62  37  67 /   0   0   0   0   0
PARIS, TX             61  35  58  36  62 /   0   0   0   0   0
DENTON, TX            62  35  59  36  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
MCKINNEY, TX          61  35  60  35  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
DALLAS, TX            62  39  60  40  65 /   0   0   0   0   0
TERRELL, TX           62  36  62  37  65 /   0   0   0   0   0
CORSICANA, TX         62  37  62  40  66 /   0   0   0   0   0
TEMPLE, TX            64  37  64  36  68 /   0   0   0   0   0
MINERAL WELLS, TX     62  35  62  35  65 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

79/91






000
FXUS64 KFWD 241125
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
525 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.AVIATION...
NO AVIATION WEATHER CONCERNS EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING WITH
VFR CONDITIONS AND A NORTHWEST TO WEST WIND AT SPEEDS GENERALLY
LESS THAN 12 KNOTS.

79

&&


.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 232 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014/
A LARGE AREA OF TROUGHING DOMINATES THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN PARTS
OF THE U.S. THIS MORNING BUT THE ACTIVE WEATHER HAS ALL MOVED WELL
EAST OF OUR REGION. SUNNY SKIES AND COOLER TEMPERATURES CAN BE
EXPECTED TODAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE AREA. WINDS WILL
BE CONSIDERABLY LIGHTER TODAY AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT HAS
WEAKENED CONSIDERABLY BEHIND YESTERDAYS COLD FRONT. CLEAR SKIES
TONIGHT AND LIGHT WINDS WILL RESULT IN A COOL NIGHT WITH LOWS
DROPPING INTO THE MID 30S. OUTLYING AREAS MAY DROP TO NEAR
FREEZING. ANOTHER SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE OVER THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS TOMORROW RESULTING IN A SECONDARY PUSH OF COOLER AIR.
TEMPERATURES ON TUESDAY SHOULD BE A COUPLE OF DEGREES COOLER THAN
TODAY.

THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK LOOKS NICE ACROSS ALL OF NORTH TEXAS
AS WE WILL BE ON THE EASTERN EDGE OF UPPER RIDGING. THIS WILL
PLACE US IN NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT...HOWEVER LOWER LEVEL WINDS WILL
BE MORE WEST-SOUTHWEST. THIS SHOULD ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO WARM
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S
ON THANKSGIVING DAY AND WILL CLIMB INTO THE LOWER 70S FOR FRIDAY
AND SATURDAY. SOME MOISTURE WILL WORK BACK INTO NORTH TEXAS BY
SATURDAY AND ANOTHER COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH
SOMETIME LATE SUNDAY. RIGHT NOW...ONLY LOW RAIN CHANCES ARE
EXPECTED. OTHERWISE...NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH
THE UPCOMING WEEK.

DUNN

&&



.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  64  38  63  40  65 /   0   0   0   0   0
WACO, TX              62  35  62  37  67 /   0   0   0   0   0
PARIS, TX             61  35  58  36  62 /   0   0   0   0   0
DENTON, TX            62  35  59  36  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
MCKINNEY, TX          61  35  60  35  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
DALLAS, TX            62  39  60  40  65 /   0   0   0   0   0
TERRELL, TX           62  36  62  37  65 /   0   0   0   0   0
CORSICANA, TX         62  37  62  40  66 /   0   0   0   0   0
TEMPLE, TX            64  37  64  36  68 /   0   0   0   0   0
MINERAL WELLS, TX     62  35  62  35  65 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

79/91







000
FXUS64 KFWD 240832
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
232 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...
A LARGE AREA OF TROUGHING DOMINATES THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN PARTS
OF THE U.S. THIS MORNING BUT THE ACTIVE WEATHER HAS ALL MOVED WELL
EAST OF OUR REGION. SUNNY SKIES AND COOLER TEMPERATURES CAN BE
EXPECTED TODAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE AREA. WINDS WILL
BE CONSIDERABLY LIGHTER TODAY AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT HAS
WEAKENED CONSIDERABLY BEHIND YESTERDAYS COLD FRONT. CLEAR SKIES
TONIGHT AND LIGHT WINDS WILL RESULT IN A COOL NIGHT WITH LOWS
DROPPING INTO THE MID 30S. OUTLYING AREAS MAY DROP TO NEAR
FREEZING. ANOTHER SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE OVER THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS TOMORROW RESULTING IN A SECONDARY PUSH OF COOLER AIR.
TEMPERATURES ON TUESDAY SHOULD BE A COUPLE OF DEGREES COOLER THAN
TODAY.

THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK LOOKS NICE ACROSS ALL OF NORTH TEXAS
AS WE WILL BE ON THE EASTERN EDGE OF UPPER RIDGING. THIS WILL
PLACE US IN NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT...HOWEVER LOWER LEVEL WINDS WILL
BE MORE WEST-SOUTHWEST. THIS SHOULD ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO WARM
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S
ON THANKSGIVING DAY AND WILL CLIMB INTO THE LOWER 70S FOR FRIDAY
AND SATURDAY. SOME MOISTURE WILL WORK BACK INTO NORTH TEXAS BY
SATURDAY AND ANOTHER COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH
SOMETIME LATE SUNDAY. RIGHT NOW...ONLY LOW RAIN CHANCES ARE
EXPECTED. OTHERWISE...NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH
THE UPCOMING WEEK.

DUNN

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 1121 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014/
VFR WITH JUST SOME SCATTERED MID LEVEL CLOUD COVER TONIGHT AND
SOME HIGH CIRRUS DURING THE DAY MONDAY. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL
CONTINUE TO DIMINISH DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS AND WILL RANGE FROM
8-15KT EARLY MONDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL
BECOME LIGHT WESTERLY AFTER SUNSET. TR.92


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  64  38  63  40  65 /   0   0   0   0   0
WACO, TX              62  35  62  37  67 /   0   0   0   0   0
PARIS, TX             61  35  58  36  62 /   0   0   0   0   0
DENTON, TX            62  35  59  36  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
MCKINNEY, TX          61  35  60  35  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
DALLAS, TX            62  39  60  40  65 /   0   0   0   0   0
TERRELL, TX           62  36  62  37  65 /   0   0   0   0   0
CORSICANA, TX         62  37  62  40  66 /   0   0   0   0   0
TEMPLE, TX            64  37  64  36  68 /   0   0   0   0   0
MINERAL WELLS, TX     62  35  62  35  65 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$







000
FXUS64 KFWD 240832
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
232 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...
A LARGE AREA OF TROUGHING DOMINATES THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN PARTS
OF THE U.S. THIS MORNING BUT THE ACTIVE WEATHER HAS ALL MOVED WELL
EAST OF OUR REGION. SUNNY SKIES AND COOLER TEMPERATURES CAN BE
EXPECTED TODAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE AREA. WINDS WILL
BE CONSIDERABLY LIGHTER TODAY AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT HAS
WEAKENED CONSIDERABLY BEHIND YESTERDAYS COLD FRONT. CLEAR SKIES
TONIGHT AND LIGHT WINDS WILL RESULT IN A COOL NIGHT WITH LOWS
DROPPING INTO THE MID 30S. OUTLYING AREAS MAY DROP TO NEAR
FREEZING. ANOTHER SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE OVER THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS TOMORROW RESULTING IN A SECONDARY PUSH OF COOLER AIR.
TEMPERATURES ON TUESDAY SHOULD BE A COUPLE OF DEGREES COOLER THAN
TODAY.

THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK LOOKS NICE ACROSS ALL OF NORTH TEXAS
AS WE WILL BE ON THE EASTERN EDGE OF UPPER RIDGING. THIS WILL
PLACE US IN NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT...HOWEVER LOWER LEVEL WINDS WILL
BE MORE WEST-SOUTHWEST. THIS SHOULD ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO WARM
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S
ON THANKSGIVING DAY AND WILL CLIMB INTO THE LOWER 70S FOR FRIDAY
AND SATURDAY. SOME MOISTURE WILL WORK BACK INTO NORTH TEXAS BY
SATURDAY AND ANOTHER COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH
SOMETIME LATE SUNDAY. RIGHT NOW...ONLY LOW RAIN CHANCES ARE
EXPECTED. OTHERWISE...NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH
THE UPCOMING WEEK.

DUNN

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 1121 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014/
VFR WITH JUST SOME SCATTERED MID LEVEL CLOUD COVER TONIGHT AND
SOME HIGH CIRRUS DURING THE DAY MONDAY. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL
CONTINUE TO DIMINISH DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS AND WILL RANGE FROM
8-15KT EARLY MONDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL
BECOME LIGHT WESTERLY AFTER SUNSET. TR.92


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  64  38  63  40  65 /   0   0   0   0   0
WACO, TX              62  35  62  37  67 /   0   0   0   0   0
PARIS, TX             61  35  58  36  62 /   0   0   0   0   0
DENTON, TX            62  35  59  36  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
MCKINNEY, TX          61  35  60  35  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
DALLAS, TX            62  39  60  40  65 /   0   0   0   0   0
TERRELL, TX           62  36  62  37  65 /   0   0   0   0   0
CORSICANA, TX         62  37  62  40  66 /   0   0   0   0   0
TEMPLE, TX            64  37  64  36  68 /   0   0   0   0   0
MINERAL WELLS, TX     62  35  62  35  65 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$






000
FXUS64 KFWD 240521
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1121 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014

.AVIATION...
VFR WITH JUST SOME SCATTERED MID LEVEL CLOUD COVER TONIGHT AND
SOME HIGH CIRRUS DURING THE DAY MONDAY. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL
CONTINUE TO DIMINISH DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS AND WILL RANGE FROM
8-15KT EARLY MONDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL
BECOME LIGHT WESTERLY AFTER SUNSET. TR.92

&&

.UPDATE...
UPDATE COMING TO REMOVE WIND ADVISORY AND ADD A FEW COSMETIC
CHANGES TO THE WINDS/CLOUDS. FORECAST IS STILL ON TRACK. 84

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 250 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014/
DRY...BREEZY AND WARM CONDITIONS WERE OCCURRING ACROSS NORTH AND
CENTRAL TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON. WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH
AND TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S WERE NOTED AS OF 2 PM. A STRONG VORTICITY
MAX WAS MOVING EAST OVER WEST TEXAS RESULTING IN THE DEEPENING OF
A SURFACE LOW CURRENTLY ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA. A STRONG COLD
FRONT WAS MOVING SOUTHEAST NORTHWEST TEXAS AND SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA
CURRENTLY AND WAS APPROACHING WICHITA FALLS AND ABILENE. GUSTY
NORTH-NORTHWEST WINDS BETWEEN 20 TO 30 MPH AND TEMPERATURES FALLING
RAPIDLY INTO THE 40S WERE NOTED BEHIND THE COLD FRONT. LITTLE
MOISTURE WAS PRESENT WITH THE VERY STRONG WESTERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW
WITH NO RAINFALL OCCURRING ALONG THE COLD FRONT.

THE COLD FRONT WILL ENTER INTO OUR NORTHWEST COUNTIES BY LATE
AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING...THEN PROGRESS THROUGH THE ENTIRE AREA BY
MIDNIGHT. GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS THIS EVENING WILL DIMINISH SOME
OVERNIGHT WITH DECOUPLING OF THE COLD AND DRY BOUNDARY LAYER AIR.
WE HAVE MAINTAINED THE CURRENT WIND ADVISORY TIMING AND AREA FOR
NOW...THOUGH IT IS POSSIBLE ADJUSTMENTS TO THE AREA OR TIME MAY
OCCUR AS THE EVENING PROGRESSES. OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO FALL BETWEEN 35 TO 45 DEGREES WITH WIND CHILLS BY
SUNRISE MONDAY AROUND OR JUST ABOVE FREEZING EXPECTED NORTH OF
I-20.

THE BROAD LONGWAVE TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL U.S WILL REMAIN BLOCKED
BY A STRONG UPPER RIDGE JUST OFF THE ATLANTIC SEABOARD. MORE
SHORTWAVE ENERGY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE MAIN UPPER TROUGH
AND MAINTAIN THE COOL CYCLONIC FLOW ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
MONDAY AND TUESDAY. OCCASIONALLY BRISK CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
EARLY THIS WEEK WITH HIGHS BOTH DAYS IN THE MID-UPPER 50S ACROSS
THE NORTH TO BETWEEN 60 AND 65 DEGREES SOUTH INTO CENTRAL TEXAS.

A STRENGTHENING EASTERN PACIFIC UPPER RIDGE DEVELOPS BY THE LATE
WEEK PERIOD AND WILL HELP NUDGE THE CURRENT UPPER LONGWAVE TROUGH
EAST ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ON WEDNESDAY. THIS UPPER TROUGH
WILL DAMPEN...AS WILL THE EASTERN PACIFIC UPPER RIDGE AS STRONG
MID LEVEL ENERGY MOVES SOUTHEAST FROM WESTERN CANADA. THE
SUBSEQUENT STRONG NEAR ZONAL FLOW ALOFT THAT DEVELOPS OVER MUCH OF
THE CENTRAL U.S FOR THANKSGIVING INTO THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND WILL
RESULT IN STRONG LEE SIDE PRESSURE FALLS ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS
OF COLORADO AND WYOMING. STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS AND WARM ADVECTION
WILL HELP MODIFY HIGH TEMPERATURES BACK INTO THE 60S AND 70S. THE
EXTENDED MODELS DIVERGE BOTH AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT TOWARD THE
END OF THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND AND BEYOND. A CONSERVATIVE APPROACH WAS
AGREED UPON WITH SISTER OFFICES TO MAINTAIN A DRY AND NEAR
SEASONABLE FORECAST FOR THE FAR EXTENDED WITH UNCERTAINTY ON THE
OVERALL PATTERN BOTH AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT.

05/



&&


.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  42  61  39  60  38 /   0   0   0   0   0
WACO, TX              41  63  35  61  37 /   0   0   0   0   0
PARIS, TX             41  57  34  56  35 /   0   0   0   0   0
DENTON, TX            39  60  35  58  36 /   0   0   0   0   0
MCKINNEY, TX          39  60  34  58  35 /   0   0   0   0   0
DALLAS, TX            42  62  39  60  38 /   0   0   0   0   0
TERRELL, TX           42  61  35  60  36 /   0   0   0   0   0
CORSICANA, TX         42  63  37  62  36 /   0   0   0   0   0
TEMPLE, TX            41  63  35  62  36 /   0   0   0   0   0
MINERAL WELLS, TX     38  61  35  56  35 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

 /









000
FXUS64 KFWD 240521
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1121 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014

.AVIATION...
VFR WITH JUST SOME SCATTERED MID LEVEL CLOUD COVER TONIGHT AND
SOME HIGH CIRRUS DURING THE DAY MONDAY. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL
CONTINUE TO DIMINISH DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS AND WILL RANGE FROM
8-15KT EARLY MONDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL
BECOME LIGHT WESTERLY AFTER SUNSET. TR.92

&&

.UPDATE...
UPDATE COMING TO REMOVE WIND ADVISORY AND ADD A FEW COSMETIC
CHANGES TO THE WINDS/CLOUDS. FORECAST IS STILL ON TRACK. 84

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 250 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014/
DRY...BREEZY AND WARM CONDITIONS WERE OCCURRING ACROSS NORTH AND
CENTRAL TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON. WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH
AND TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S WERE NOTED AS OF 2 PM. A STRONG VORTICITY
MAX WAS MOVING EAST OVER WEST TEXAS RESULTING IN THE DEEPENING OF
A SURFACE LOW CURRENTLY ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA. A STRONG COLD
FRONT WAS MOVING SOUTHEAST NORTHWEST TEXAS AND SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA
CURRENTLY AND WAS APPROACHING WICHITA FALLS AND ABILENE. GUSTY
NORTH-NORTHWEST WINDS BETWEEN 20 TO 30 MPH AND TEMPERATURES FALLING
RAPIDLY INTO THE 40S WERE NOTED BEHIND THE COLD FRONT. LITTLE
MOISTURE WAS PRESENT WITH THE VERY STRONG WESTERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW
WITH NO RAINFALL OCCURRING ALONG THE COLD FRONT.

THE COLD FRONT WILL ENTER INTO OUR NORTHWEST COUNTIES BY LATE
AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING...THEN PROGRESS THROUGH THE ENTIRE AREA BY
MIDNIGHT. GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS THIS EVENING WILL DIMINISH SOME
OVERNIGHT WITH DECOUPLING OF THE COLD AND DRY BOUNDARY LAYER AIR.
WE HAVE MAINTAINED THE CURRENT WIND ADVISORY TIMING AND AREA FOR
NOW...THOUGH IT IS POSSIBLE ADJUSTMENTS TO THE AREA OR TIME MAY
OCCUR AS THE EVENING PROGRESSES. OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO FALL BETWEEN 35 TO 45 DEGREES WITH WIND CHILLS BY
SUNRISE MONDAY AROUND OR JUST ABOVE FREEZING EXPECTED NORTH OF
I-20.

THE BROAD LONGWAVE TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL U.S WILL REMAIN BLOCKED
BY A STRONG UPPER RIDGE JUST OFF THE ATLANTIC SEABOARD. MORE
SHORTWAVE ENERGY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE MAIN UPPER TROUGH
AND MAINTAIN THE COOL CYCLONIC FLOW ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
MONDAY AND TUESDAY. OCCASIONALLY BRISK CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
EARLY THIS WEEK WITH HIGHS BOTH DAYS IN THE MID-UPPER 50S ACROSS
THE NORTH TO BETWEEN 60 AND 65 DEGREES SOUTH INTO CENTRAL TEXAS.

A STRENGTHENING EASTERN PACIFIC UPPER RIDGE DEVELOPS BY THE LATE
WEEK PERIOD AND WILL HELP NUDGE THE CURRENT UPPER LONGWAVE TROUGH
EAST ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ON WEDNESDAY. THIS UPPER TROUGH
WILL DAMPEN...AS WILL THE EASTERN PACIFIC UPPER RIDGE AS STRONG
MID LEVEL ENERGY MOVES SOUTHEAST FROM WESTERN CANADA. THE
SUBSEQUENT STRONG NEAR ZONAL FLOW ALOFT THAT DEVELOPS OVER MUCH OF
THE CENTRAL U.S FOR THANKSGIVING INTO THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND WILL
RESULT IN STRONG LEE SIDE PRESSURE FALLS ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS
OF COLORADO AND WYOMING. STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS AND WARM ADVECTION
WILL HELP MODIFY HIGH TEMPERATURES BACK INTO THE 60S AND 70S. THE
EXTENDED MODELS DIVERGE BOTH AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT TOWARD THE
END OF THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND AND BEYOND. A CONSERVATIVE APPROACH WAS
AGREED UPON WITH SISTER OFFICES TO MAINTAIN A DRY AND NEAR
SEASONABLE FORECAST FOR THE FAR EXTENDED WITH UNCERTAINTY ON THE
OVERALL PATTERN BOTH AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT.

05/



&&


.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  42  61  39  60  38 /   0   0   0   0   0
WACO, TX              41  63  35  61  37 /   0   0   0   0   0
PARIS, TX             41  57  34  56  35 /   0   0   0   0   0
DENTON, TX            39  60  35  58  36 /   0   0   0   0   0
MCKINNEY, TX          39  60  34  58  35 /   0   0   0   0   0
DALLAS, TX            42  62  39  60  38 /   0   0   0   0   0
TERRELL, TX           42  61  35  60  36 /   0   0   0   0   0
CORSICANA, TX         42  63  37  62  36 /   0   0   0   0   0
TEMPLE, TX            41  63  35  62  36 /   0   0   0   0   0
MINERAL WELLS, TX     38  61  35  56  35 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

 /








000
FXUS64 KFWD 240153
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
753 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014

.UPDATE...
UPDATE COMING TO REMOVE WIND ADVISORY AND ADD A FEW COSMETIC
CHANGES TO THE WINDS/CLOUDS. FORECAST IS STILL ON TRACK. 84

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 546 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014/
STRONG WEST/NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20-25KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35KT WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO. WIND DIRECTION WAS MORE
WESTERLY BUT HAS TURNED TO NEAR 300 DEGREES AND SHOULD GO TO 310
DURING THE NEXT HOUR...WHICH IS A SLIGHTLY BETTER DIRECTION THAN
EARLIER TODAY. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY DIMINISH DURING THE
NEXT SEVERAL HOURS AND BY 2Z/8PM SPEEDS WILL DROP TO 15-20KT WITH
GUSTS UP TO 28KT. BY 4Z/10PM SPEEDS SHOULD DROP TO AROUND 15KT
WITH GUSTS STAYING BELOW 25KT. NW WINDS WILL PREVAIL NEAR 10KT
OVERNIGHT THROUGH MONDAY.

OTHERWISE SOME SCATTERED CLOUDS NEAR 040 THIS EVENING...BUT MOST
OF THESE CLOUDS WILL STAY NORTH OF THE TRACON.

TR.92


&&



.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 250 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014/
DRY...BREEZY AND WARM CONDITIONS WERE OCCURRING ACROSS NORTH AND
CENTRAL TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON. WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH
AND TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S WERE NOTED AS OF 2 PM. A STRONG VORTICITY
MAX WAS MOVING EAST OVER WEST TEXAS RESULTING IN THE DEEPENING OF
A SURFACE LOW CURRENTLY ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA. A STRONG COLD
FRONT WAS MOVING SOUTHEAST NORTHWEST TEXAS AND SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA
CURRENTLY AND WAS APPROACHING WICHITA FALLS AND ABILENE. GUSTY
NORTH-NORTHWEST WINDS BETWEEN 20 TO 30 MPH AND TEMPERATURES FALLING
RAPIDLY INTO THE 40S WERE NOTED BEHIND THE COLD FRONT. LITTLE
MOISTURE WAS PRESENT WITH THE VERY STRONG WESTERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW
WITH NO RAINFALL OCCURRING ALONG THE COLD FRONT.

THE COLD FRONT WILL ENTER INTO OUR NORTHWEST COUNTIES BY LATE
AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING...THEN PROGRESS THROUGH THE ENTIRE AREA BY
MIDNIGHT. GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS THIS EVENING WILL DIMINISH SOME
OVERNIGHT WITH DECOUPLING OF THE COLD AND DRY BOUNDARY LAYER AIR.
WE HAVE MAINTAINED THE CURRENT WIND ADVISORY TIMING AND AREA FOR
NOW...THOUGH IT IS POSSIBLE ADJUSTMENTS TO THE AREA OR TIME MAY
OCCUR AS THE EVENING PROGRESSES. OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO FALL BETWEEN 35 TO 45 DEGREES WITH WIND CHILLS BY
SUNRISE MONDAY AROUND OR JUST ABOVE FREEZING EXPECTED NORTH OF
I-20.

THE BROAD LONGWAVE TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL U.S WILL REMAIN BLOCKED
BY A STRONG UPPER RIDGE JUST OFF THE ATLANTIC SEABOARD. MORE
SHORTWAVE ENERGY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE MAIN UPPER TROUGH
AND MAINTAIN THE COOL CYCLONIC FLOW ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
MONDAY AND TUESDAY. OCCASIONALLY BRISK CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
EARLY THIS WEEK WITH HIGHS BOTH DAYS IN THE MID-UPPER 50S ACROSS
THE NORTH TO BETWEEN 60 AND 65 DEGREES SOUTH INTO CENTRAL TEXAS.

A STRENGTHENING EASTERN PACIFIC UPPER RIDGE DEVELOPS BY THE LATE
WEEK PERIOD AND WILL HELP NUDGE THE CURRENT UPPER LONGWAVE TROUGH
EAST ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ON WEDNESDAY. THIS UPPER TROUGH
WILL DAMPEN...AS WILL THE EASTERN PACIFIC UPPER RIDGE AS STRONG
MID LEVEL ENERGY MOVES SOUTHEAST FROM WESTERN CANADA. THE
SUBSEQUENT STRONG NEAR ZONAL FLOW ALOFT THAT DEVELOPS OVER MUCH OF
THE CENTRAL U.S FOR THANKSGIVING INTO THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND WILL
RESULT IN STRONG LEE SIDE PRESSURE FALLS ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS
OF COLORADO AND WYOMING. STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS AND WARM ADVECTION
WILL HELP MODIFY HIGH TEMPERATURES BACK INTO THE 60S AND 70S. THE
EXTENDED MODELS DIVERGE BOTH AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT TOWARD THE
END OF THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND AND BEYOND. A CONSERVATIVE APPROACH WAS
AGREED UPON WITH SISTER OFFICES TO MAINTAIN A DRY AND NEAR
SEASONABLE FORECAST FOR THE FAR EXTENDED WITH UNCERTAINTY ON THE
OVERALL PATTERN BOTH AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT.

05/



&&


.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  42  61  39  60  38 /   0   0   0   0   0
WACO, TX              41  63  35  61  37 /   0   0   0   0   0
PARIS, TX             41  57  34  56  35 /   0   0   0   0   0
DENTON, TX            39  60  35  58  36 /   0   0   0   0   0
MCKINNEY, TX          39  60  34  58  35 /   0   0   0   0   0
DALLAS, TX            42  62  39  60  38 /   0   0   0   0   0
TERRELL, TX           42  61  35  60  36 /   0   0   0   0   0
CORSICANA, TX         42  63  37  62  36 /   0   0   0   0   0
TEMPLE, TX            41  63  35  62  36 /   0   0   0   0   0
MINERAL WELLS, TX     38  61  35  56  35 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

 /






000
FXUS64 KFWD 240153
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
753 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014

.UPDATE...
UPDATE COMING TO REMOVE WIND ADVISORY AND ADD A FEW COSMETIC
CHANGES TO THE WINDS/CLOUDS. FORECAST IS STILL ON TRACK. 84

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 546 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014/
STRONG WEST/NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20-25KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35KT WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO. WIND DIRECTION WAS MORE
WESTERLY BUT HAS TURNED TO NEAR 300 DEGREES AND SHOULD GO TO 310
DURING THE NEXT HOUR...WHICH IS A SLIGHTLY BETTER DIRECTION THAN
EARLIER TODAY. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY DIMINISH DURING THE
NEXT SEVERAL HOURS AND BY 2Z/8PM SPEEDS WILL DROP TO 15-20KT WITH
GUSTS UP TO 28KT. BY 4Z/10PM SPEEDS SHOULD DROP TO AROUND 15KT
WITH GUSTS STAYING BELOW 25KT. NW WINDS WILL PREVAIL NEAR 10KT
OVERNIGHT THROUGH MONDAY.

OTHERWISE SOME SCATTERED CLOUDS NEAR 040 THIS EVENING...BUT MOST
OF THESE CLOUDS WILL STAY NORTH OF THE TRACON.

TR.92


&&



.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 250 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014/
DRY...BREEZY AND WARM CONDITIONS WERE OCCURRING ACROSS NORTH AND
CENTRAL TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON. WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH
AND TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S WERE NOTED AS OF 2 PM. A STRONG VORTICITY
MAX WAS MOVING EAST OVER WEST TEXAS RESULTING IN THE DEEPENING OF
A SURFACE LOW CURRENTLY ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA. A STRONG COLD
FRONT WAS MOVING SOUTHEAST NORTHWEST TEXAS AND SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA
CURRENTLY AND WAS APPROACHING WICHITA FALLS AND ABILENE. GUSTY
NORTH-NORTHWEST WINDS BETWEEN 20 TO 30 MPH AND TEMPERATURES FALLING
RAPIDLY INTO THE 40S WERE NOTED BEHIND THE COLD FRONT. LITTLE
MOISTURE WAS PRESENT WITH THE VERY STRONG WESTERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW
WITH NO RAINFALL OCCURRING ALONG THE COLD FRONT.

THE COLD FRONT WILL ENTER INTO OUR NORTHWEST COUNTIES BY LATE
AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING...THEN PROGRESS THROUGH THE ENTIRE AREA BY
MIDNIGHT. GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS THIS EVENING WILL DIMINISH SOME
OVERNIGHT WITH DECOUPLING OF THE COLD AND DRY BOUNDARY LAYER AIR.
WE HAVE MAINTAINED THE CURRENT WIND ADVISORY TIMING AND AREA FOR
NOW...THOUGH IT IS POSSIBLE ADJUSTMENTS TO THE AREA OR TIME MAY
OCCUR AS THE EVENING PROGRESSES. OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO FALL BETWEEN 35 TO 45 DEGREES WITH WIND CHILLS BY
SUNRISE MONDAY AROUND OR JUST ABOVE FREEZING EXPECTED NORTH OF
I-20.

THE BROAD LONGWAVE TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL U.S WILL REMAIN BLOCKED
BY A STRONG UPPER RIDGE JUST OFF THE ATLANTIC SEABOARD. MORE
SHORTWAVE ENERGY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE MAIN UPPER TROUGH
AND MAINTAIN THE COOL CYCLONIC FLOW ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
MONDAY AND TUESDAY. OCCASIONALLY BRISK CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
EARLY THIS WEEK WITH HIGHS BOTH DAYS IN THE MID-UPPER 50S ACROSS
THE NORTH TO BETWEEN 60 AND 65 DEGREES SOUTH INTO CENTRAL TEXAS.

A STRENGTHENING EASTERN PACIFIC UPPER RIDGE DEVELOPS BY THE LATE
WEEK PERIOD AND WILL HELP NUDGE THE CURRENT UPPER LONGWAVE TROUGH
EAST ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ON WEDNESDAY. THIS UPPER TROUGH
WILL DAMPEN...AS WILL THE EASTERN PACIFIC UPPER RIDGE AS STRONG
MID LEVEL ENERGY MOVES SOUTHEAST FROM WESTERN CANADA. THE
SUBSEQUENT STRONG NEAR ZONAL FLOW ALOFT THAT DEVELOPS OVER MUCH OF
THE CENTRAL U.S FOR THANKSGIVING INTO THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND WILL
RESULT IN STRONG LEE SIDE PRESSURE FALLS ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS
OF COLORADO AND WYOMING. STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS AND WARM ADVECTION
WILL HELP MODIFY HIGH TEMPERATURES BACK INTO THE 60S AND 70S. THE
EXTENDED MODELS DIVERGE BOTH AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT TOWARD THE
END OF THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND AND BEYOND. A CONSERVATIVE APPROACH WAS
AGREED UPON WITH SISTER OFFICES TO MAINTAIN A DRY AND NEAR
SEASONABLE FORECAST FOR THE FAR EXTENDED WITH UNCERTAINTY ON THE
OVERALL PATTERN BOTH AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT.

05/



&&


.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  42  61  39  60  38 /   0   0   0   0   0
WACO, TX              41  63  35  61  37 /   0   0   0   0   0
PARIS, TX             41  57  34  56  35 /   0   0   0   0   0
DENTON, TX            39  60  35  58  36 /   0   0   0   0   0
MCKINNEY, TX          39  60  34  58  35 /   0   0   0   0   0
DALLAS, TX            42  62  39  60  38 /   0   0   0   0   0
TERRELL, TX           42  61  35  60  36 /   0   0   0   0   0
CORSICANA, TX         42  63  37  62  36 /   0   0   0   0   0
TEMPLE, TX            41  63  35  62  36 /   0   0   0   0   0
MINERAL WELLS, TX     38  61  35  56  35 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

 /







000
FXUS64 KFWD 232346
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
546 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014

.AVIATION...
STRONG WEST/NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20-25KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35KT WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO. WIND DIRECTION WAS MORE
WESTERLY BUT HAS TURNED TO NEAR 300 DEGREES AND SHOULD GO TO 310
DURING THE NEXT HOUR...WHICH IS A SLIGHTLY BETTER DIRECTION THAN
EARLIER TODAY. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY DIMINISH DURING THE
NEXT SEVERAL HOURS AND BY 2Z/8PM SPEEDS WILL DROP TO 15-20KT WITH
GUSTS UP TO 28KT. BY 4Z/10PM SPEEDS SHOULD DROP TO AROUND 15KT
WITH GUSTS STAYING BELOW 25KT. NW WINDS WILL PREVAIL NEAR 10KT
OVERNIGHT THROUGH MONDAY.

OTHERWISE SOME SCATTERED CLOUDS NEAR 040 THIS EVENING...BUT MOST
OF THESE CLOUDS WILL STAY NORTH OF THE TRACON.

TR.92

&&


.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 250 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014/
DRY...BREEZY AND WARM CONDITIONS WERE OCCURRING ACROSS NORTH AND
CENTRAL TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON. WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH
AND TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S WERE NOTED AS OF 2 PM. A STRONG VORTICITY
MAX WAS MOVING EAST OVER WEST TEXAS RESULTING IN THE DEEPENING OF
A SURFACE LOW CURRENTLY ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA. A STRONG COLD
FRONT WAS MOVING SOUTHEAST NORTHWEST TEXAS AND SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA
CURRENTLY AND WAS APPROACHING WICHITA FALLS AND ABILENE. GUSTY
NORTH-NORTHWEST WINDS BETWEEN 20 TO 30 MPH AND TEMPERATURES FALLING
RAPIDLY INTO THE 40S WERE NOTED BEHIND THE COLD FRONT. LITTLE
MOISTURE WAS PRESENT WITH THE VERY STRONG WESTERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW
WITH NO RAINFALL OCCURRING ALONG THE COLD FRONT.

THE COLD FRONT WILL ENTER INTO OUR NORTHWEST COUNTIES BY LATE
AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING...THEN PROGRESS THROUGH THE ENTIRE AREA BY
MIDNIGHT. GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS THIS EVENING WILL DIMINISH SOME
OVERNIGHT WITH DECOUPLING OF THE COLD AND DRY BOUNDARY LAYER AIR.
WE HAVE MAINTAINED THE CURRENT WIND ADVISORY TIMING AND AREA FOR
NOW...THOUGH IT IS POSSIBLE ADJUSTMENTS TO THE AREA OR TIME MAY
OCCUR AS THE EVENING PROGRESSES. OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO FALL BETWEEN 35 TO 45 DEGREES WITH WIND CHILLS BY
SUNRISE MONDAY AROUND OR JUST ABOVE FREEZING EXPECTED NORTH OF
I-20.

THE BROAD LONGWAVE TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL U.S WILL REMAIN BLOCKED
BY A STRONG UPPER RIDGE JUST OFF THE ATLANTIC SEABOARD. MORE
SHORTWAVE ENERGY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE MAIN UPPER TROUGH
AND MAINTAIN THE COOL CYCLONIC FLOW ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
MONDAY AND TUESDAY. OCCASIONALLY BRISK CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
EARLY THIS WEEK WITH HIGHS BOTH DAYS IN THE MID-UPPER 50S ACROSS
THE NORTH TO BETWEEN 60 AND 65 DEGREES SOUTH INTO CENTRAL TEXAS.

A STRENGTHENING EASTERN PACIFIC UPPER RIDGE DEVELOPS BY THE LATE
WEEK PERIOD AND WILL HELP NUDGE THE CURRENT UPPER LONGWAVE TROUGH
EAST ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ON WEDNESDAY. THIS UPPER TROUGH
WILL DAMPEN...AS WILL THE EASTERN PACIFIC UPPER RIDGE AS STRONG
MID LEVEL ENERGY MOVES SOUTHEAST FROM WESTERN CANADA. THE
SUBSEQUENT STRONG NEAR ZONAL FLOW ALOFT THAT DEVELOPS OVER MUCH OF
THE CENTRAL U.S FOR THANKSGIVING INTO THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND WILL
RESULT IN STRONG LEE SIDE PRESSURE FALLS ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS
OF COLORADO AND WYOMING. STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS AND WARM ADVECTION
WILL HELP MODIFY HIGH TEMPERATURES BACK INTO THE 60S AND 70S. THE
EXTENDED MODELS DIVERGE BOTH AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT TOWARD THE
END OF THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND AND BEYOND. A CONSERVATIVE APPROACH WAS
AGREED UPON WITH SISTER OFFICES TO MAINTAIN A DRY AND NEAR
SEASONABLE FORECAST FOR THE FAR EXTENDED WITH UNCERTAINTY ON THE
OVERALL PATTERN BOTH AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT.

05/

&&



.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  42  61  39  60  38 /   0   0   0   0   0
WACO, TX              41  63  35  61  37 /   0   0   0   0   0
PARIS, TX             41  57  34  56  35 /   0   0   0   0   0
DENTON, TX            39  60  35  58  36 /   0   0   0   0   0
MCKINNEY, TX          39  60  34  58  35 /   0   0   0   0   0
DALLAS, TX            42  62  39  60  38 /   0   0   0   0   0
TERRELL, TX           42  61  35  60  36 /   0   0   0   0   0
CORSICANA, TX         42  63  37  62  36 /   0   0   0   0   0
TEMPLE, TX            41  63  35  62  36 /   0   0   0   0   0
MINERAL WELLS, TX     38  61  35  56  35 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR TXZ091>095-100>107-
115>120-129>132-141.


&&

$$

 /









000
FXUS64 KFWD 232346
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
546 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014

.AVIATION...
STRONG WEST/NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20-25KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35KT WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO. WIND DIRECTION WAS MORE
WESTERLY BUT HAS TURNED TO NEAR 300 DEGREES AND SHOULD GO TO 310
DURING THE NEXT HOUR...WHICH IS A SLIGHTLY BETTER DIRECTION THAN
EARLIER TODAY. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY DIMINISH DURING THE
NEXT SEVERAL HOURS AND BY 2Z/8PM SPEEDS WILL DROP TO 15-20KT WITH
GUSTS UP TO 28KT. BY 4Z/10PM SPEEDS SHOULD DROP TO AROUND 15KT
WITH GUSTS STAYING BELOW 25KT. NW WINDS WILL PREVAIL NEAR 10KT
OVERNIGHT THROUGH MONDAY.

OTHERWISE SOME SCATTERED CLOUDS NEAR 040 THIS EVENING...BUT MOST
OF THESE CLOUDS WILL STAY NORTH OF THE TRACON.

TR.92

&&


.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 250 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014/
DRY...BREEZY AND WARM CONDITIONS WERE OCCURRING ACROSS NORTH AND
CENTRAL TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON. WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH
AND TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S WERE NOTED AS OF 2 PM. A STRONG VORTICITY
MAX WAS MOVING EAST OVER WEST TEXAS RESULTING IN THE DEEPENING OF
A SURFACE LOW CURRENTLY ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA. A STRONG COLD
FRONT WAS MOVING SOUTHEAST NORTHWEST TEXAS AND SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA
CURRENTLY AND WAS APPROACHING WICHITA FALLS AND ABILENE. GUSTY
NORTH-NORTHWEST WINDS BETWEEN 20 TO 30 MPH AND TEMPERATURES FALLING
RAPIDLY INTO THE 40S WERE NOTED BEHIND THE COLD FRONT. LITTLE
MOISTURE WAS PRESENT WITH THE VERY STRONG WESTERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW
WITH NO RAINFALL OCCURRING ALONG THE COLD FRONT.

THE COLD FRONT WILL ENTER INTO OUR NORTHWEST COUNTIES BY LATE
AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING...THEN PROGRESS THROUGH THE ENTIRE AREA BY
MIDNIGHT. GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS THIS EVENING WILL DIMINISH SOME
OVERNIGHT WITH DECOUPLING OF THE COLD AND DRY BOUNDARY LAYER AIR.
WE HAVE MAINTAINED THE CURRENT WIND ADVISORY TIMING AND AREA FOR
NOW...THOUGH IT IS POSSIBLE ADJUSTMENTS TO THE AREA OR TIME MAY
OCCUR AS THE EVENING PROGRESSES. OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO FALL BETWEEN 35 TO 45 DEGREES WITH WIND CHILLS BY
SUNRISE MONDAY AROUND OR JUST ABOVE FREEZING EXPECTED NORTH OF
I-20.

THE BROAD LONGWAVE TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL U.S WILL REMAIN BLOCKED
BY A STRONG UPPER RIDGE JUST OFF THE ATLANTIC SEABOARD. MORE
SHORTWAVE ENERGY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE MAIN UPPER TROUGH
AND MAINTAIN THE COOL CYCLONIC FLOW ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
MONDAY AND TUESDAY. OCCASIONALLY BRISK CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
EARLY THIS WEEK WITH HIGHS BOTH DAYS IN THE MID-UPPER 50S ACROSS
THE NORTH TO BETWEEN 60 AND 65 DEGREES SOUTH INTO CENTRAL TEXAS.

A STRENGTHENING EASTERN PACIFIC UPPER RIDGE DEVELOPS BY THE LATE
WEEK PERIOD AND WILL HELP NUDGE THE CURRENT UPPER LONGWAVE TROUGH
EAST ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ON WEDNESDAY. THIS UPPER TROUGH
WILL DAMPEN...AS WILL THE EASTERN PACIFIC UPPER RIDGE AS STRONG
MID LEVEL ENERGY MOVES SOUTHEAST FROM WESTERN CANADA. THE
SUBSEQUENT STRONG NEAR ZONAL FLOW ALOFT THAT DEVELOPS OVER MUCH OF
THE CENTRAL U.S FOR THANKSGIVING INTO THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND WILL
RESULT IN STRONG LEE SIDE PRESSURE FALLS ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS
OF COLORADO AND WYOMING. STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS AND WARM ADVECTION
WILL HELP MODIFY HIGH TEMPERATURES BACK INTO THE 60S AND 70S. THE
EXTENDED MODELS DIVERGE BOTH AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT TOWARD THE
END OF THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND AND BEYOND. A CONSERVATIVE APPROACH WAS
AGREED UPON WITH SISTER OFFICES TO MAINTAIN A DRY AND NEAR
SEASONABLE FORECAST FOR THE FAR EXTENDED WITH UNCERTAINTY ON THE
OVERALL PATTERN BOTH AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT.

05/

&&



.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  42  61  39  60  38 /   0   0   0   0   0
WACO, TX              41  63  35  61  37 /   0   0   0   0   0
PARIS, TX             41  57  34  56  35 /   0   0   0   0   0
DENTON, TX            39  60  35  58  36 /   0   0   0   0   0
MCKINNEY, TX          39  60  34  58  35 /   0   0   0   0   0
DALLAS, TX            42  62  39  60  38 /   0   0   0   0   0
TERRELL, TX           42  61  35  60  36 /   0   0   0   0   0
CORSICANA, TX         42  63  37  62  36 /   0   0   0   0   0
TEMPLE, TX            41  63  35  62  36 /   0   0   0   0   0
MINERAL WELLS, TX     38  61  35  56  35 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR TXZ091>095-100>107-
115>120-129>132-141.


&&

$$

 /










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