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000
FXUS65 KGGW 290858
AFDGGW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
258 AM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

.SHORT TERM...FOR NORTHEAST MONTANA...TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY...
MOSTLY DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH UPPER
RIDGE STATIONARY OVER THE GREAT BASIN. MONSOONAL MOISTURE WELLING
UP UNDER THE RIDGE BUT EXPECTED TO REMAIN GENERALLY WEST AND SOUTH OF
THE CWA.

WEAK SHORTWAVE ROUNDING THE TOP OF THE RIDGE PROVING ENOUGH
FORCING ALONG THE EDGE OF THE MONSOONAL MOISTURE TO PRODUCE A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY THIS MORNING. THESE STORMS EXPECTED TO BE INTO
SOUTHERN MONTANA SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE. THIS WAVE PUSHES THE RIDGE
AXIS SLIGHTLY WESTWARD AND SUBSIDENCE ON THE EAST SIDE OF THE
RIDGE ALONG WITH A LACK OF DISTURBANCES SHOULD LIMIT FURTHER
CONVECTION OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. EBERT

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...

THE LONG WAVE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN OF RIDGING OVER THE WEST AND A
TROUGH OVER THE EAST CONTINUES THROUGH THE EXTENDED PERIOD.
HOWEVER THERE WILL BE A GENERALLY CHANGE AS THE TROUGH WEAKENS AND
MOVES FARTHER EAST AND THE RIDGE EXPANDS TO THE EAST. MONSOONAL
MOISTURE RIDING THE RIDGE WILL BRING AN INCREASING CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BEGINNING SATURDAY THAT WILL LAST INTO
NEXT WEEK.

SEVERAL EMBEDDED DISTURBANCES WILL RIDE THROUGH THE RIDGE. MOST
WILL SPLIT MOISTURE NORTH OR SOUTH OF NORTHEAST MONTANA BUT A
FRONT SLIPPING SOUTH INTO THE AREA LATE SATURDAY COULD PRODUCE
SHOWERS AND THUNDER. CONVECTIVE PARAMETERS ARE NOT PARTICULARLY
STRONG SO THE CHANCE FOR SEVERE WILL NOT BE PRONOUNCED. WENT A
HEAD AND CONTINUED THE CHANCE FOR POPS THROUGH MOST OF THE PERIOD.
HOWEVER THERE DOES NOT APPEAR TO BE ANY LARGE SWEEPING WAVES.
MOISTURE WILL BE INTERMITTENT AND TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO BE
SEASONAL. MODELS AGREE GENERALLY BUT NOT IN DETAIL. SO WILL LEAVE
THAT ASPECT ON THE VAGUE SIDE. SCT


&&

.AVIATION...

EXPECT FEW TO SCATTERED HIGH CLOUDS TODAY...AND MOSTLY LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WIND. SCT

&&

.GLASGOW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/GLASGOW







000
FXUS65 KGGW 290858
AFDGGW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
258 AM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

.SHORT TERM...FOR NORTHEAST MONTANA...TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY...
MOSTLY DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH UPPER
RIDGE STATIONARY OVER THE GREAT BASIN. MONSOONAL MOISTURE WELLING
UP UNDER THE RIDGE BUT EXPECTED TO REMAIN GENERALLY WEST AND SOUTH OF
THE CWA.

WEAK SHORTWAVE ROUNDING THE TOP OF THE RIDGE PROVING ENOUGH
FORCING ALONG THE EDGE OF THE MONSOONAL MOISTURE TO PRODUCE A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY THIS MORNING. THESE STORMS EXPECTED TO BE INTO
SOUTHERN MONTANA SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE. THIS WAVE PUSHES THE RIDGE
AXIS SLIGHTLY WESTWARD AND SUBSIDENCE ON THE EAST SIDE OF THE
RIDGE ALONG WITH A LACK OF DISTURBANCES SHOULD LIMIT FURTHER
CONVECTION OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. EBERT

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...

THE LONG WAVE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN OF RIDGING OVER THE WEST AND A
TROUGH OVER THE EAST CONTINUES THROUGH THE EXTENDED PERIOD.
HOWEVER THERE WILL BE A GENERALLY CHANGE AS THE TROUGH WEAKENS AND
MOVES FARTHER EAST AND THE RIDGE EXPANDS TO THE EAST. MONSOONAL
MOISTURE RIDING THE RIDGE WILL BRING AN INCREASING CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BEGINNING SATURDAY THAT WILL LAST INTO
NEXT WEEK.

SEVERAL EMBEDDED DISTURBANCES WILL RIDE THROUGH THE RIDGE. MOST
WILL SPLIT MOISTURE NORTH OR SOUTH OF NORTHEAST MONTANA BUT A
FRONT SLIPPING SOUTH INTO THE AREA LATE SATURDAY COULD PRODUCE
SHOWERS AND THUNDER. CONVECTIVE PARAMETERS ARE NOT PARTICULARLY
STRONG SO THE CHANCE FOR SEVERE WILL NOT BE PRONOUNCED. WENT A
HEAD AND CONTINUED THE CHANCE FOR POPS THROUGH MOST OF THE PERIOD.
HOWEVER THERE DOES NOT APPEAR TO BE ANY LARGE SWEEPING WAVES.
MOISTURE WILL BE INTERMITTENT AND TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO BE
SEASONAL. MODELS AGREE GENERALLY BUT NOT IN DETAIL. SO WILL LEAVE
THAT ASPECT ON THE VAGUE SIDE. SCT


&&

.AVIATION...

EXPECT FEW TO SCATTERED HIGH CLOUDS TODAY...AND MOSTLY LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WIND. SCT

&&

.GLASGOW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/GLASGOW






000
FXUS65 KGGW 290227
AFDGGW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
827 PM MDT MON JUL 28 2014

.SHORT TERM...FOR NORTHEAST MONTANA...TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
UPDATE...GOING FORECAST IN EXCELLENT SHAPE. ONLY TWEAK WAS TO ADD
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF MAINLY DRY THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT ACROSS
THE FAR WEST AS HIGH BASED MONSOONAL MOISTURE AND WEAK FORCING
MOVE IN AFTER MIDNIGHT. GILCHRIST

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE.

UPPER RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN STATES WILL REMAIN PARKED THROUGH THIS
PERIOD AS MONSOONAL MOISTURE ONLY TRIGGERS SHOWERS/TSTORMS OVER THE
MOUNTAINS IN THE NORTHERN ROCKIES AT BEST. MODELS SOMETIMES ARE TOO
DRY WITH MONSOONAL MOISTURE BUT WITH RIDGE AXIS GENERALLY REMAINING
OVER WESTERN MONTANA...SUPPRESSION WILL KEEP NE MT DRY. DRY MID AND
LOW LEVELS AND A LACK OF DISTURBANCES WILL KEEP THINGS QUIET TOO.

THE LIGHT EAST WINDS WILL BE STRONGEST IN THE SW ZONES
TUESDAY...THEN DECREASE WEDNESDAY AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
DECREASES. TFJ

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...

AFTERNOON UPDATE...
MAIN FOCUS FOR THIS AFTERNOON WAS ON THE PERIODS AROUND FRIDAY TO
SATURDAY NIGHT. LARGE COLD AIR-MASS OVER THE CANADIAN PRAIRIES
IS EXPECTED TO SLIDE SOUTH. THE DIRECTION OF MOVEMENT AND
DESTINATION OF THIS AIR-MASS DETERMINES THE OVERALL WEATHER
PATTERN OF NORTHEAST MONTANA.

AT THE MOMENT THE OPERATION GFS RUN SMASHES THE AIR-MASS UP
AGAINST THE FRONT RANGE AND DRAGS IT OVER MONTANA. THIS WOULD COOL
DOWN THE WEEKEND TEMPERATURES AND WITH THE EXCEPTION OF FRONTAL
PASSAGE DRY THE AREA OUT FROM SATURDAY ONWARD.

THE EC...CMC...AND BULK OF THE GFS ENSEMBLES TAKE THE COLD AIR-
MASS AND DRAG IT FARTHER WEST OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND UPPER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...BYPASSING NORTHEAST MONTANA. THIS WOULD
ALLOW THE RIDGE BUILDING OVER THE WESTERN THIRD OF THE CONUS TO
EXPAND EASTWARD AND WARM CONDITIONS OVER NORTHEAST MONTANA QUITE A
BIT. OTHER EFFECTS WOULD BE UNSTABLE CONDITIONS WITH A LEE SIDE
TROUGH AND OVERNIGHT MONSOONAL MOISTURE SHOWERS WHICH RAISES POPS
AT LEAST TO SLIGHT CHANCE.

WENT WITH THE SECOND BULK/EC SOLUTION AS THIS IS MORE SEASONAL FOR
NORTHWEST COOL AIR-MASS PASSAGES. THIS FORCED POPS TO RISE TO AT
LEAST SLIGHT CHANCE DURING THESE PERIODS AND AFTER. GAH

PREVIOUS LONG TERM DISCUSSION...
BLOCKING PATTERN WITH UPPER LOW LINGERING OVER NORTHERN QUEBEC
AND DEEP TROF OVER THE EASTERN STATES. IN THE WEST AN UPPER RIDGE
EXTENDS INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES WITH ANOTHER TROF IN THE GULF OF
ALASKA. LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED THE POSITION OF THESE FEATURES
THROUGH THE EXTENDED PERIOD.

POSITION OF THE RIDGE WILL PULL MONSOONAL MOISTURE ACROSS
THE GREAT BASIN AND INTO SOUTHWEST MONTANA. HOWEVER NORTHWEST FLOW
ACROSS EASTERN MONTANA WITH RIDGE AXIS TO THE WEST WILL DEFLECT
MOISTURE KEEPING CWA DRY THROUGH MOST OF THE WEEK. HIGH PRESSURE
OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS WILL KEEP MOST OF THE HEAT AT BAY WITH
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL EARLY IN THE PERIOD.

RIDGE BEGINS SHIFTING EAST BY THE END OF THE WEEK AND FLATTENS
SLIGHTLY ...WHICH SHOULD BRING MOISTURE AND HOTTER TEMPERATURES
INTO EASTERN MONTANA. POSITION OF THE RIDGE AXIS STILL NOT OVERLY
FAVORABLE FOR THUNDERSTORMS SO WILL KEEP FORECAST GENERALLY DRY.
DID ADD A FEW STORMS TO THE NORTHEAST CORNER OF THE STATE FOR
SATURDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING WITH A WEAK WAVE PUSHING A FRONT ACROSS
THE CANADIAN PRAIRIES. EBERT

&&

.AVIATION...

EXPECT FEW TO SCATTERED MID-TO-HIGH CLOUDS TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.
EASTERLY WIND WILL RANGE FROM 10KT OR LESS THROUGH TUESDAY. SCT

&&

.GLASGOW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/GLASGOW








000
FXUS65 KGGW 290227
AFDGGW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
827 PM MDT MON JUL 28 2014

.SHORT TERM...FOR NORTHEAST MONTANA...TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
UPDATE...GOING FORECAST IN EXCELLENT SHAPE. ONLY TWEAK WAS TO ADD
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF MAINLY DRY THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT ACROSS
THE FAR WEST AS HIGH BASED MONSOONAL MOISTURE AND WEAK FORCING
MOVE IN AFTER MIDNIGHT. GILCHRIST

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE.

UPPER RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN STATES WILL REMAIN PARKED THROUGH THIS
PERIOD AS MONSOONAL MOISTURE ONLY TRIGGERS SHOWERS/TSTORMS OVER THE
MOUNTAINS IN THE NORTHERN ROCKIES AT BEST. MODELS SOMETIMES ARE TOO
DRY WITH MONSOONAL MOISTURE BUT WITH RIDGE AXIS GENERALLY REMAINING
OVER WESTERN MONTANA...SUPPRESSION WILL KEEP NE MT DRY. DRY MID AND
LOW LEVELS AND A LACK OF DISTURBANCES WILL KEEP THINGS QUIET TOO.

THE LIGHT EAST WINDS WILL BE STRONGEST IN THE SW ZONES
TUESDAY...THEN DECREASE WEDNESDAY AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
DECREASES. TFJ

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...

AFTERNOON UPDATE...
MAIN FOCUS FOR THIS AFTERNOON WAS ON THE PERIODS AROUND FRIDAY TO
SATURDAY NIGHT. LARGE COLD AIR-MASS OVER THE CANADIAN PRAIRIES
IS EXPECTED TO SLIDE SOUTH. THE DIRECTION OF MOVEMENT AND
DESTINATION OF THIS AIR-MASS DETERMINES THE OVERALL WEATHER
PATTERN OF NORTHEAST MONTANA.

AT THE MOMENT THE OPERATION GFS RUN SMASHES THE AIR-MASS UP
AGAINST THE FRONT RANGE AND DRAGS IT OVER MONTANA. THIS WOULD COOL
DOWN THE WEEKEND TEMPERATURES AND WITH THE EXCEPTION OF FRONTAL
PASSAGE DRY THE AREA OUT FROM SATURDAY ONWARD.

THE EC...CMC...AND BULK OF THE GFS ENSEMBLES TAKE THE COLD AIR-
MASS AND DRAG IT FARTHER WEST OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND UPPER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...BYPASSING NORTHEAST MONTANA. THIS WOULD
ALLOW THE RIDGE BUILDING OVER THE WESTERN THIRD OF THE CONUS TO
EXPAND EASTWARD AND WARM CONDITIONS OVER NORTHEAST MONTANA QUITE A
BIT. OTHER EFFECTS WOULD BE UNSTABLE CONDITIONS WITH A LEE SIDE
TROUGH AND OVERNIGHT MONSOONAL MOISTURE SHOWERS WHICH RAISES POPS
AT LEAST TO SLIGHT CHANCE.

WENT WITH THE SECOND BULK/EC SOLUTION AS THIS IS MORE SEASONAL FOR
NORTHWEST COOL AIR-MASS PASSAGES. THIS FORCED POPS TO RISE TO AT
LEAST SLIGHT CHANCE DURING THESE PERIODS AND AFTER. GAH

PREVIOUS LONG TERM DISCUSSION...
BLOCKING PATTERN WITH UPPER LOW LINGERING OVER NORTHERN QUEBEC
AND DEEP TROF OVER THE EASTERN STATES. IN THE WEST AN UPPER RIDGE
EXTENDS INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES WITH ANOTHER TROF IN THE GULF OF
ALASKA. LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED THE POSITION OF THESE FEATURES
THROUGH THE EXTENDED PERIOD.

POSITION OF THE RIDGE WILL PULL MONSOONAL MOISTURE ACROSS
THE GREAT BASIN AND INTO SOUTHWEST MONTANA. HOWEVER NORTHWEST FLOW
ACROSS EASTERN MONTANA WITH RIDGE AXIS TO THE WEST WILL DEFLECT
MOISTURE KEEPING CWA DRY THROUGH MOST OF THE WEEK. HIGH PRESSURE
OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS WILL KEEP MOST OF THE HEAT AT BAY WITH
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL EARLY IN THE PERIOD.

RIDGE BEGINS SHIFTING EAST BY THE END OF THE WEEK AND FLATTENS
SLIGHTLY ...WHICH SHOULD BRING MOISTURE AND HOTTER TEMPERATURES
INTO EASTERN MONTANA. POSITION OF THE RIDGE AXIS STILL NOT OVERLY
FAVORABLE FOR THUNDERSTORMS SO WILL KEEP FORECAST GENERALLY DRY.
DID ADD A FEW STORMS TO THE NORTHEAST CORNER OF THE STATE FOR
SATURDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING WITH A WEAK WAVE PUSHING A FRONT ACROSS
THE CANADIAN PRAIRIES. EBERT

&&

.AVIATION...

EXPECT FEW TO SCATTERED MID-TO-HIGH CLOUDS TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.
EASTERLY WIND WILL RANGE FROM 10KT OR LESS THROUGH TUESDAY. SCT

&&

.GLASGOW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/GLASGOW







000
FXUS65 KGGW 281948
AFDGGW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
148 PM MDT MON JUL 28 2014

.SHORT TERM...FOR NORTHEAST MONTANA...TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE.

UPPER RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN STATES WILL REMAIN PARKED THROUGH THIS
PERIOD AS MONSOONAL MOISTURE ONLY TRIGGERS SHOWERS/TSTORMS OVER THE
MOUNTAINS IN THE NORTHERN ROCKIES AT BEST. MODELS SOMETIMES ARE TOO
DRY WITH MONSOONAL MOISTURE BUT WITH RIDGE AXIS GENERALLY REMAINING
OVER WESTERN MONTANA...SUPPRESSION WILL KEEP NE MT DRY. DRY MID AND
LOW LEVELS AND A LACK OF DISTURBANCES WILL KEEP THINGS QUIET TOO.

THE LIGHT EAST WINDS WILL BE STRONGEST IN THE SW ZONES
TUESDAY...THEN DECREASE WEDNESDAY AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
DECREASES. TFJ


.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...

AFTERNOON UPDATE...
MAIN FOCUS FOR THIS AFTERNOON WAS ON THE PERIODS AROUND FRIDAY TO
SATURDAY NIGHT. LARGE COLD AIRMASS OVER THE CANADIAN PRAIRIES IS
EXPECTED TO SLIDE SOUTH. THE DIRECTION OF MOVEMENT AND DESTINATION
OF THIS AIRMASS DETERMINES THE OVERALL WEATHER PATTERN OF NORTHEAST
MONTANA.

AT THE MOMENT THE OPERATION GFS RUN SMASHES THE AIRMASS
UP AGAINST THE FRONTRANGE AND DRAGS IT OVER MONTANA. THIS WOULD
COOL DOWN THE WEEKEND TEMPERATURES AND WITH THE EXCEPTION OF
FRONTAL PASSAGE DRY THE AREA OUT FROM SATURDAY ONWARD.

THE EC... CMC... AND BULK OF THE GFS ENSEMBLES TAKE THE COLD AIRMASS
AND DRAG IT FARTHER WEST OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND UPPER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY... BYPASSING NORTHEAST MONTANA. THIS WOULD
ALLOW THE RIDGE BUILDING OVER THE WESTERN THIRD OF THE CONUS TO
EXPAND EASTWARD AND WARM CONDITIONS OVER NORTHEAST MONTANA QUITE A
BIT. OTHER EFFECTS WOULD BE UNSTABLE CONDITIONS WITH A LEE SIDE
TROUGH AND OVERNIGHT MONSOONAL MOISTURE SHOWERS WHICH RAISES POPS
AT LEAST TO SLIGHT CHANCE.

WENT WITH THE SECOND BULK/EC SOLUTION AS THIS IS MORE SEASONAL FOR
NORTHWEST COOL AIRMASS PASSAGES. THIS FORCED POPS TO RISE TO AT
LEAST SLIGHT CHANCE DURING THESE PERIODS AND AFTER. GAH

PREVIOUS LONG TERM DISCUSSION...
BLOCKING PATTERN WITH UPPER LOW LINGERING OVER NORTHERN QUEBEC
AND DEEP TROF OVER THE EASTERN STATES. IN THE WEST AN UPPER RIDGE
EXTENDS INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES WITH ANOTHER TROF IN THE GULF OF
ALASKA. LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED THE POSITION OF THESE FEATURES
THROUGH THE EXTENDED PERIOD.

POSITION OF THE RIDGE WILL PULL MONSOONAL MOISTURE ACROSS
THE GREAT BASIN AND INTO SOUTHWEST MONTANA. HOWEVER NORTHWEST FLOW
ACROSS EASTERN MONTANA WITH RIDGE AXIS TO THE WEST WILL DEFLECT
MOISTURE KEEPING CWA DRY THROUGH MOST OF THE WEEK. HIGH PRESSURE
OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS WILL KEEP MOST OF THE HEAT AT BAY WITH
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL EARLY IN THE PERIOD.

RIDGE BEGINS SHIFTING EAST BY THE END OF THE WEEK AND FLATTENS
SLIGHTLY ...WHICH SHOULD BRING MOISTURE AND HOTTER TEMPERATURES
INTO EASTERN MONTANA. POSITION OF THE RIDGE AXIS STILL NOT OVERLY
FAVORABLE FOR THUNDERSTORMS SO WILL KEEP FORECAST GENERALLY DRY.
DID ADD A FEW STORMS TO THE NORTHEAST CORNER OF THE STATE FOR
SATURDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING WITH A WEAK WAVE PUSHING A FRONT ACROSS
THE CANADIAN PRAIRIES. EBERT

&&

.AVIATION...
FLIGHT CATEGORY: VFR.

SYNOPSIS: HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE HAS SLID OFF TO THE EAST. AN UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE TO THE WEST WILL BRING MONSOONAL MOISTURE INTO THE
REGION IN THE FORM OF HIGH CLOUDS THIS AFTERNOON.

AREA WINDS: EAST TO SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 TO 15 KTS TODAY... CALMING
TO LESS THAN 10 KTS OVERNIGHT.

GAH


&&

.GLASGOW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/GLASGOW







000
FXUS65 KGGW 281948
AFDGGW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
148 PM MDT MON JUL 28 2014

.SHORT TERM...FOR NORTHEAST MONTANA...TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE.

UPPER RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN STATES WILL REMAIN PARKED THROUGH THIS
PERIOD AS MONSOONAL MOISTURE ONLY TRIGGERS SHOWERS/TSTORMS OVER THE
MOUNTAINS IN THE NORTHERN ROCKIES AT BEST. MODELS SOMETIMES ARE TOO
DRY WITH MONSOONAL MOISTURE BUT WITH RIDGE AXIS GENERALLY REMAINING
OVER WESTERN MONTANA...SUPPRESSION WILL KEEP NE MT DRY. DRY MID AND
LOW LEVELS AND A LACK OF DISTURBANCES WILL KEEP THINGS QUIET TOO.

THE LIGHT EAST WINDS WILL BE STRONGEST IN THE SW ZONES
TUESDAY...THEN DECREASE WEDNESDAY AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
DECREASES. TFJ


.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...

AFTERNOON UPDATE...
MAIN FOCUS FOR THIS AFTERNOON WAS ON THE PERIODS AROUND FRIDAY TO
SATURDAY NIGHT. LARGE COLD AIRMASS OVER THE CANADIAN PRAIRIES IS
EXPECTED TO SLIDE SOUTH. THE DIRECTION OF MOVEMENT AND DESTINATION
OF THIS AIRMASS DETERMINES THE OVERALL WEATHER PATTERN OF NORTHEAST
MONTANA.

AT THE MOMENT THE OPERATION GFS RUN SMASHES THE AIRMASS
UP AGAINST THE FRONTRANGE AND DRAGS IT OVER MONTANA. THIS WOULD
COOL DOWN THE WEEKEND TEMPERATURES AND WITH THE EXCEPTION OF
FRONTAL PASSAGE DRY THE AREA OUT FROM SATURDAY ONWARD.

THE EC... CMC... AND BULK OF THE GFS ENSEMBLES TAKE THE COLD AIRMASS
AND DRAG IT FARTHER WEST OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND UPPER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY... BYPASSING NORTHEAST MONTANA. THIS WOULD
ALLOW THE RIDGE BUILDING OVER THE WESTERN THIRD OF THE CONUS TO
EXPAND EASTWARD AND WARM CONDITIONS OVER NORTHEAST MONTANA QUITE A
BIT. OTHER EFFECTS WOULD BE UNSTABLE CONDITIONS WITH A LEE SIDE
TROUGH AND OVERNIGHT MONSOONAL MOISTURE SHOWERS WHICH RAISES POPS
AT LEAST TO SLIGHT CHANCE.

WENT WITH THE SECOND BULK/EC SOLUTION AS THIS IS MORE SEASONAL FOR
NORTHWEST COOL AIRMASS PASSAGES. THIS FORCED POPS TO RISE TO AT
LEAST SLIGHT CHANCE DURING THESE PERIODS AND AFTER. GAH

PREVIOUS LONG TERM DISCUSSION...
BLOCKING PATTERN WITH UPPER LOW LINGERING OVER NORTHERN QUEBEC
AND DEEP TROF OVER THE EASTERN STATES. IN THE WEST AN UPPER RIDGE
EXTENDS INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES WITH ANOTHER TROF IN THE GULF OF
ALASKA. LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED THE POSITION OF THESE FEATURES
THROUGH THE EXTENDED PERIOD.

POSITION OF THE RIDGE WILL PULL MONSOONAL MOISTURE ACROSS
THE GREAT BASIN AND INTO SOUTHWEST MONTANA. HOWEVER NORTHWEST FLOW
ACROSS EASTERN MONTANA WITH RIDGE AXIS TO THE WEST WILL DEFLECT
MOISTURE KEEPING CWA DRY THROUGH MOST OF THE WEEK. HIGH PRESSURE
OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS WILL KEEP MOST OF THE HEAT AT BAY WITH
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL EARLY IN THE PERIOD.

RIDGE BEGINS SHIFTING EAST BY THE END OF THE WEEK AND FLATTENS
SLIGHTLY ...WHICH SHOULD BRING MOISTURE AND HOTTER TEMPERATURES
INTO EASTERN MONTANA. POSITION OF THE RIDGE AXIS STILL NOT OVERLY
FAVORABLE FOR THUNDERSTORMS SO WILL KEEP FORECAST GENERALLY DRY.
DID ADD A FEW STORMS TO THE NORTHEAST CORNER OF THE STATE FOR
SATURDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING WITH A WEAK WAVE PUSHING A FRONT ACROSS
THE CANADIAN PRAIRIES. EBERT

&&

.AVIATION...
FLIGHT CATEGORY: VFR.

SYNOPSIS: HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE HAS SLID OFF TO THE EAST. AN UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE TO THE WEST WILL BRING MONSOONAL MOISTURE INTO THE
REGION IN THE FORM OF HIGH CLOUDS THIS AFTERNOON.

AREA WINDS: EAST TO SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 TO 15 KTS TODAY... CALMING
TO LESS THAN 10 KTS OVERNIGHT.

GAH


&&

.GLASGOW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/GLASGOW






000
FXUS65 KGGW 281532
AFDGGW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
932 AM MDT MON JUL 28 2014

.SHORT TERM...FOR NORTHEAST MONTANA...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
MONSOONAL MOISTURE HAS MARKED ITS TERRITORY WITH MID-LEVEL CLOUDS
STREAMING INTO THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE STATE. RADAR
ECHOES HAVE ALSO INCREASED SLIGHTLY BUT SPRINKLES AT BEST ARE WHAT/S
FALLING NOW. LIGHT SHOWERS MAY BE OCCURRING IN NW MT AND
SOUTH-CENTRAL ID.

MODELS ARE PRETTY CONSISTENT ON CLOUDS/SHOWERS DISSIPATING TODAY AS
THEY MOVE INTO EASTERN MT...BUT CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE OVER
THE SW ZONES TODAY. DID INCREASE POPS THERE AND PEAKING INTO THE
EVENING HOURS...BUT LEFT THEM BELOW 15 PERCENT FOR NOW.
OVERALL...NOT A BAD DAY OUT THERE TODAY. JAMBA

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...

THE LONG WAVE PATTERN OF AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE WEST AND AN
UPPER TROUGH OVER THE EAST WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE SHORT TERM
PERIOD. WITH THE RIDGE AXIS CENTERED OVER THE SPINE OF THE
NORTHERN ROCKIES...UPPER FLOW ABOVE NORTHEAST MONTANA WILL REMAIN
NORTHWESTERLY AND DRY. SUBTLE DISTURBANCES EMBEDDED IN THE UPPER
FLOW WILL INITIATE THUNDERSTORMS NEARBY OVER CENTRAL AND
SOUTHEAST MONTANA. BUT WITH HIGH PRESSURE MOVING INTO THE REGION
CONDITIONS LOCALLY SHOULD REMAIN DRY AND VERY WARM.

A SURFACE HIGH WILL BE SITUATED OVER THE DAKOTAS THROUGHOUT THE
SHORT TERM PERIOD. WHILE WINDS WILL GENERALLY STAY LIGHT THEY WILL
MOSTLY BE EASTERLY.

NO FRONTS ARE EVIDENT AND CONVECTIVE PARAMETERS ARE RATHER STABLE
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. HOWEVER CONDITIONS OUTSIDE THE CWA COULD
INITIATE A FEW STORMS THAT MIGHT DRIFT INTO NEMONT. BUT THE SPC
CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK KEEPS OUR AREA OUTSIDE THE GENERAL THUNDERSTORM
ZONES FOR NOW. SCT

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...
BLOCKING PATTERN WITH UPPER LOW LINGERING OVER NORTHERN QUEBEC AND DEEP
TROF OVER THE EASTERN STATES. IN THE WEST AN UPPER RIDGE EXTENDS
INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES WITH ANOTHER TROF IN THE GULF OF
ALASKA. LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED THE POSITION OF THESE FEATURES
THROUGH THE EXTENDED PERIOD.

POSITION OF THE RIDGE WILL PULL MONSOONAL MOISTURE ACROSS
THE GREAT BASIN AND INTO SOUTHWEST MONTANA. HOWEVER NORTHWEST FLOW
ACROSS EASTERN MONTANA WITH RIDGE AXIS TO THE WEST WILL DEFLECT
MOISTURE KEEPING CWA DRY THROUGH MOST OF THE WEEK. HIGH PRESSURE
OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS WILL KEEP MOST OF THE HEAT AT BAY WITH
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL EARLY IN THE PERIOD.

RIDGE BEGINS SHIFTING EAST BY THE END OF THE WEEK AND FLATTENS
SLIGHTLY ...WHICH SHOULD BRING MOISTURE AND HOTTER TEMPERATURES
INTO EASTERN MONTANA. POSITION OF THE RIDGE AXIS STILL NOT OVERLY
FAVORABLE FOR THUNDERSTORMS SO WILL KEEP FORECAST GENERALLY DRY.
DID ADD A FEW STORMS TO THE NORTHEAST CORNER OF THE STATE FOR
SATURDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING WITH A WEAK WAVE PUSHING A FRONT ACROSS
THE CANADIAN PRAIRIES. EBERT


&&

.AVIATION...
FLIGHT CATEGORY: VFR.

SYNOPSIS: A HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM HAS SLID OFF TO THE EAST. AN
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE TO THE WEST WILL BRING MONSOONAL MOISTURE INTO
THE REGION IN THE FORM OF HIGH CLOUDS THIS AFTERNOON.

AREA WINDS: EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS 5-15KTS TODAY... CALMING TO
LESS THAN 10 KTS OVERNIGHT.

GAH

&&

.GLASGOW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/GLASGOW






000
FXUS65 KGGW 281532
AFDGGW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
932 AM MDT MON JUL 28 2014

.SHORT TERM...FOR NORTHEAST MONTANA...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
MONSOONAL MOISTURE HAS MARKED ITS TERRITORY WITH MID-LEVEL CLOUDS
STREAMING INTO THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE STATE. RADAR
ECHOES HAVE ALSO INCREASED SLIGHTLY BUT SPRINKLES AT BEST ARE WHAT/S
FALLING NOW. LIGHT SHOWERS MAY BE OCCURRING IN NW MT AND
SOUTH-CENTRAL ID.

MODELS ARE PRETTY CONSISTENT ON CLOUDS/SHOWERS DISSIPATING TODAY AS
THEY MOVE INTO EASTERN MT...BUT CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE OVER
THE SW ZONES TODAY. DID INCREASE POPS THERE AND PEAKING INTO THE
EVENING HOURS...BUT LEFT THEM BELOW 15 PERCENT FOR NOW.
OVERALL...NOT A BAD DAY OUT THERE TODAY. JAMBA

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...

THE LONG WAVE PATTERN OF AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE WEST AND AN
UPPER TROUGH OVER THE EAST WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE SHORT TERM
PERIOD. WITH THE RIDGE AXIS CENTERED OVER THE SPINE OF THE
NORTHERN ROCKIES...UPPER FLOW ABOVE NORTHEAST MONTANA WILL REMAIN
NORTHWESTERLY AND DRY. SUBTLE DISTURBANCES EMBEDDED IN THE UPPER
FLOW WILL INITIATE THUNDERSTORMS NEARBY OVER CENTRAL AND
SOUTHEAST MONTANA. BUT WITH HIGH PRESSURE MOVING INTO THE REGION
CONDITIONS LOCALLY SHOULD REMAIN DRY AND VERY WARM.

A SURFACE HIGH WILL BE SITUATED OVER THE DAKOTAS THROUGHOUT THE
SHORT TERM PERIOD. WHILE WINDS WILL GENERALLY STAY LIGHT THEY WILL
MOSTLY BE EASTERLY.

NO FRONTS ARE EVIDENT AND CONVECTIVE PARAMETERS ARE RATHER STABLE
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. HOWEVER CONDITIONS OUTSIDE THE CWA COULD
INITIATE A FEW STORMS THAT MIGHT DRIFT INTO NEMONT. BUT THE SPC
CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK KEEPS OUR AREA OUTSIDE THE GENERAL THUNDERSTORM
ZONES FOR NOW. SCT

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...
BLOCKING PATTERN WITH UPPER LOW LINGERING OVER NORTHERN QUEBEC AND DEEP
TROF OVER THE EASTERN STATES. IN THE WEST AN UPPER RIDGE EXTENDS
INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES WITH ANOTHER TROF IN THE GULF OF
ALASKA. LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED THE POSITION OF THESE FEATURES
THROUGH THE EXTENDED PERIOD.

POSITION OF THE RIDGE WILL PULL MONSOONAL MOISTURE ACROSS
THE GREAT BASIN AND INTO SOUTHWEST MONTANA. HOWEVER NORTHWEST FLOW
ACROSS EASTERN MONTANA WITH RIDGE AXIS TO THE WEST WILL DEFLECT
MOISTURE KEEPING CWA DRY THROUGH MOST OF THE WEEK. HIGH PRESSURE
OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS WILL KEEP MOST OF THE HEAT AT BAY WITH
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL EARLY IN THE PERIOD.

RIDGE BEGINS SHIFTING EAST BY THE END OF THE WEEK AND FLATTENS
SLIGHTLY ...WHICH SHOULD BRING MOISTURE AND HOTTER TEMPERATURES
INTO EASTERN MONTANA. POSITION OF THE RIDGE AXIS STILL NOT OVERLY
FAVORABLE FOR THUNDERSTORMS SO WILL KEEP FORECAST GENERALLY DRY.
DID ADD A FEW STORMS TO THE NORTHEAST CORNER OF THE STATE FOR
SATURDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING WITH A WEAK WAVE PUSHING A FRONT ACROSS
THE CANADIAN PRAIRIES. EBERT


&&

.AVIATION...
FLIGHT CATEGORY: VFR.

SYNOPSIS: A HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM HAS SLID OFF TO THE EAST. AN
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE TO THE WEST WILL BRING MONSOONAL MOISTURE INTO
THE REGION IN THE FORM OF HIGH CLOUDS THIS AFTERNOON.

AREA WINDS: EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS 5-15KTS TODAY... CALMING TO
LESS THAN 10 KTS OVERNIGHT.

GAH

&&

.GLASGOW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/GLASGOW







000
FXUS65 KGGW 280910
AFDGGW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
310 AM MDT MON JUL 28 2014

.SHORT TERM...FOR NORTHEAST MONTANA...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

THE LONG WAVE PATTERN OF AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE WEST AND AN
UPPER TROUGH OVER THE EAST WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE SHORT TERM
PERIOD. WITH THE RIDGE AXIS CENTERED OVER THE SPINE OF THE
NORTHERN ROCKIES...UPPER FLOW ABOVE NORTHEAST MONTANA WILL REMAIN
NORTHWESTERLY AND DRY. SUBTLE DISTURBANCES EMBEDDED IN THE UPPER
FLOW WILL INITIATE THUNDERSTORMS NEARBY OVER CENTRAL AND
SOUTHEAST MONTANA. BUT WITH HIGH PRESSURE MOVING INTO THE REGION
CONDITIONS LOCALLY SHOULD REMAIN DRY AND VERY WARM.

A SURFACE HIGH WILL BE SITUATED OVER THE DAKOTAS THROUGHOUT THE
SHORT TERM PERIOD. WHILE WINDS WILL GENERALLY STAY LIGHT THEY WILL
MOSTLY BE EASTERLY.

NO FRONTS ARE EVIDENT AND CONVECTIVE PARAMETERS ARE RATHER STABLE
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. HOWEVER CONDITIONS OUTSIDE THE CWA COULD
INITIATE A FEW STORMS THAT MIGHT DRIFT INTO NEMONT. BUT THE SPC
CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK KEEPS OUR AREA OUTSIDE THE GENERAL THUNDERSTORM
ZONES FOR NOW. SCT

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...
BLOCKING PATTERN WITH UPPER LOW LINGERING OVER NORTHERN QUEBEC AND
DEEP TROF OVER THE EASTERN STATES. IN THE WEST AN UPPER RIDGE
EXTENDS INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES WITH ANOTHER TROF IN THE GULF OF
ALASKA. LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED THE POSITION OF THESE FEATURES
THROUGH THE EXTENDED PERIOD.

POSITION OF THE RIDGE WILL PULL MONSOONAL MOISTURE ACROSS
THE GREAT BASIN AND INTO SOUTHWEST MONTANA. HOWEVER NORTHWEST FLOW
ACROSS EASTERN MONTANA WITH RIDGE AXIS TO THE WEST WILL DEFLECT
MOISTURE KEEPING CWA DRY THROUGH MOST OF THE WEEK. HIGH PRESSURE
OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS WILL KEEP MOST OF THE HEAT AT BAY WITH
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL EARLY IN THE PERIOD.

RIDGE BEGINS SHIFTING EAST BY THE END OF THE WEEK AND FLATTENS
SLIGHTLY ...WHICH SHOULD BRING MOISTURE AND HOTTER TEMPERATURES
INTO EASTERN MONTANA. POSITION OF THE RIDGE AXIS STILL NOT OVERLY
FAVORABLE FOR THUNDERSTORMS SO WILL KEEP FORECAST GENERALLY DRY.
DID ADD A FEW STORMS TO THE NORTHEAST CORNER OF THE STATE FOR
SATURDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING WITH A WEAK WAVE PUSHING A FRONT ACROSS
THE CANADIAN PRAIRIES. EBERT


&&

.AVIATION...
VFR. EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS 5-10KTS.

&&

.GLASGOW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/GLASGOW






000
FXUS65 KGGW 280910
AFDGGW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
310 AM MDT MON JUL 28 2014

.SHORT TERM...FOR NORTHEAST MONTANA...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

THE LONG WAVE PATTERN OF AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE WEST AND AN
UPPER TROUGH OVER THE EAST WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE SHORT TERM
PERIOD. WITH THE RIDGE AXIS CENTERED OVER THE SPINE OF THE
NORTHERN ROCKIES...UPPER FLOW ABOVE NORTHEAST MONTANA WILL REMAIN
NORTHWESTERLY AND DRY. SUBTLE DISTURBANCES EMBEDDED IN THE UPPER
FLOW WILL INITIATE THUNDERSTORMS NEARBY OVER CENTRAL AND
SOUTHEAST MONTANA. BUT WITH HIGH PRESSURE MOVING INTO THE REGION
CONDITIONS LOCALLY SHOULD REMAIN DRY AND VERY WARM.

A SURFACE HIGH WILL BE SITUATED OVER THE DAKOTAS THROUGHOUT THE
SHORT TERM PERIOD. WHILE WINDS WILL GENERALLY STAY LIGHT THEY WILL
MOSTLY BE EASTERLY.

NO FRONTS ARE EVIDENT AND CONVECTIVE PARAMETERS ARE RATHER STABLE
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. HOWEVER CONDITIONS OUTSIDE THE CWA COULD
INITIATE A FEW STORMS THAT MIGHT DRIFT INTO NEMONT. BUT THE SPC
CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK KEEPS OUR AREA OUTSIDE THE GENERAL THUNDERSTORM
ZONES FOR NOW. SCT

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...
BLOCKING PATTERN WITH UPPER LOW LINGERING OVER NORTHERN QUEBEC AND
DEEP TROF OVER THE EASTERN STATES. IN THE WEST AN UPPER RIDGE
EXTENDS INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES WITH ANOTHER TROF IN THE GULF OF
ALASKA. LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED THE POSITION OF THESE FEATURES
THROUGH THE EXTENDED PERIOD.

POSITION OF THE RIDGE WILL PULL MONSOONAL MOISTURE ACROSS
THE GREAT BASIN AND INTO SOUTHWEST MONTANA. HOWEVER NORTHWEST FLOW
ACROSS EASTERN MONTANA WITH RIDGE AXIS TO THE WEST WILL DEFLECT
MOISTURE KEEPING CWA DRY THROUGH MOST OF THE WEEK. HIGH PRESSURE
OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS WILL KEEP MOST OF THE HEAT AT BAY WITH
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL EARLY IN THE PERIOD.

RIDGE BEGINS SHIFTING EAST BY THE END OF THE WEEK AND FLATTENS
SLIGHTLY ...WHICH SHOULD BRING MOISTURE AND HOTTER TEMPERATURES
INTO EASTERN MONTANA. POSITION OF THE RIDGE AXIS STILL NOT OVERLY
FAVORABLE FOR THUNDERSTORMS SO WILL KEEP FORECAST GENERALLY DRY.
DID ADD A FEW STORMS TO THE NORTHEAST CORNER OF THE STATE FOR
SATURDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING WITH A WEAK WAVE PUSHING A FRONT ACROSS
THE CANADIAN PRAIRIES. EBERT


&&

.AVIATION...
VFR. EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS 5-10KTS.

&&

.GLASGOW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/GLASGOW







000
FXUS65 KGGW 280255 AAA
AFDGGW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
855 PM MDT SUN JUL 27 2014

.SHORT TERM...FOR NORTHEAST MONTANA...TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...

GOES SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SCATTERED CUMULUS BECOMING FEW
EARLY THIS EVENING. THEREFORE LOWERED SKY COVER. OTHERWISE WITH
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AND A SURFACE HIGH OVER THE AREA...FEW
CHANGES WERE NEEDED TO THE QUIET FORECAST. SCT

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE HAS MOVED INTO THE REGION AT THE SURFACE AND CALMED
WINDS COMPARED TO PREVIOUS DAYS. THIS HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED
TO SLIDE OFF TO THE EAST OVERNIGHT AND SET UP A SLIGHT SOUTHEAST
WIND WHICH SHOULD MAINTAIN THROUGH THE MAJORITY OF THE SHORT TERM.

A RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE WESTERN THIRD OF THE CONUS. THIS WILL
PLACE NORTHEAST MONTANA IN NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AND SLOWLY
INCREASE THICKNESS HEIGHTS AND 850 MB TEMPERATURES... WHICH IN
TURN... SHOULD SLOWLY RAISE SURFACE TEMPERATURES OVER THE NEXT FEW
DAYS. STABLE CONDITIONS AND NO FRONTS ON THE HORIZON SHOULD
PRECLUDE MOST RAIN SHOWERS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

GAH


.LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...
GOING FORECAST LOOKED GOOD. TWEAKED SKY UP SLIGHTLY LATE IN THE WEEK
AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE INCREASES A BIT UNDER THE UPPER RIDGE.  TFJ

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
BLOCKING PATTERN DEVELOPING AS UPPER LOW LINGERS OVER NORTHERN
QUEBEC WITH DEEP TROF OVER THE EASTERN STATES. IN THE WEST AN
UPPER RIDGE BUILDS NORTHWARD EARLY IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD.

POSITION OF THE RIDGE WILL PULL MONSOONAL MOISTURE ACROSS THE
GREAT BASIN AND INTO SOUTHWEST MONTANA. HOWEVER NORTHWEST FLOW
ACROSS EASTERN MONTANA WITH RIDGE AXIS TO THE WEST WILL DEFLECT
MOISTURE KEEPING CWA DRY THROUGH MOST OF THE WEEK. HIGH PRESSURE
OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS WILL KEEP MOST OF THE HEAT AT BAY WITH
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL EARLY IN THE PERIOD.

RIDGE BEGINS SHIFTING EAST BY THE END OF THE WEEK...WHICH SHOULD
BRING MOISTURE AND HOTTER TEMPERATURES INTO EASTERN MONTANA.
POSITION OF THE RIDGE AXIS STILL NOT FAVORABLE FOR THUNDERSTORMS
SO WILL KEEP FORECAST DRY. EBERT


&&

.AVIATION...
VFR.

CLOUDS: CUMULUS IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY DISSIPATE THIS
EVENING...LEAVING CLEAR SKIES OVERNIGHT TONIGHT INTO MONDAY.

WINDS: WILL REMAIN LIGHT AND VARIABLE TONIGHT EXCEPT FROM THE EAST
AT KGGW. TFJ


&&

.GLASGOW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/GLASGOW







000
FXUS65 KGGW 280255 AAA
AFDGGW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
855 PM MDT SUN JUL 27 2014

.SHORT TERM...FOR NORTHEAST MONTANA...TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...

GOES SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SCATTERED CUMULUS BECOMING FEW
EARLY THIS EVENING. THEREFORE LOWERED SKY COVER. OTHERWISE WITH
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AND A SURFACE HIGH OVER THE AREA...FEW
CHANGES WERE NEEDED TO THE QUIET FORECAST. SCT

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE HAS MOVED INTO THE REGION AT THE SURFACE AND CALMED
WINDS COMPARED TO PREVIOUS DAYS. THIS HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED
TO SLIDE OFF TO THE EAST OVERNIGHT AND SET UP A SLIGHT SOUTHEAST
WIND WHICH SHOULD MAINTAIN THROUGH THE MAJORITY OF THE SHORT TERM.

A RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE WESTERN THIRD OF THE CONUS. THIS WILL
PLACE NORTHEAST MONTANA IN NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AND SLOWLY
INCREASE THICKNESS HEIGHTS AND 850 MB TEMPERATURES... WHICH IN
TURN... SHOULD SLOWLY RAISE SURFACE TEMPERATURES OVER THE NEXT FEW
DAYS. STABLE CONDITIONS AND NO FRONTS ON THE HORIZON SHOULD
PRECLUDE MOST RAIN SHOWERS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

GAH


.LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...
GOING FORECAST LOOKED GOOD. TWEAKED SKY UP SLIGHTLY LATE IN THE WEEK
AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE INCREASES A BIT UNDER THE UPPER RIDGE.  TFJ

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
BLOCKING PATTERN DEVELOPING AS UPPER LOW LINGERS OVER NORTHERN
QUEBEC WITH DEEP TROF OVER THE EASTERN STATES. IN THE WEST AN
UPPER RIDGE BUILDS NORTHWARD EARLY IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD.

POSITION OF THE RIDGE WILL PULL MONSOONAL MOISTURE ACROSS THE
GREAT BASIN AND INTO SOUTHWEST MONTANA. HOWEVER NORTHWEST FLOW
ACROSS EASTERN MONTANA WITH RIDGE AXIS TO THE WEST WILL DEFLECT
MOISTURE KEEPING CWA DRY THROUGH MOST OF THE WEEK. HIGH PRESSURE
OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS WILL KEEP MOST OF THE HEAT AT BAY WITH
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL EARLY IN THE PERIOD.

RIDGE BEGINS SHIFTING EAST BY THE END OF THE WEEK...WHICH SHOULD
BRING MOISTURE AND HOTTER TEMPERATURES INTO EASTERN MONTANA.
POSITION OF THE RIDGE AXIS STILL NOT FAVORABLE FOR THUNDERSTORMS
SO WILL KEEP FORECAST DRY. EBERT


&&

.AVIATION...
VFR.

CLOUDS: CUMULUS IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY DISSIPATE THIS
EVENING...LEAVING CLEAR SKIES OVERNIGHT TONIGHT INTO MONDAY.

WINDS: WILL REMAIN LIGHT AND VARIABLE TONIGHT EXCEPT FROM THE EAST
AT KGGW. TFJ


&&

.GLASGOW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/GLASGOW






000
FXUS65 KGGW 272029
AFDGGW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
229 PM MDT SUN JUL 27 2014

.SHORT TERM...FOR NORTHEAST MONTANA...TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...

HIGH PRESSURE HAS MOVED INTO THE REGION AT THE SURFACE AND CALMED
WINDS COMPARED TO PREVIOUS DAYS. THIS HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED
TO SLIDE OFF TO THE EAST OVERNIGHT AND SET UP A SLIGHT SOUTHEAST
WIND WHICH SHOULD MAINTAIN THROUGH THE MAJORITY OF THE SHORT TERM.

A RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE WESTERN THIRD OF THE CONUS. THIS WILL
PLACE NORTHEAST MONTANA IN NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AND SLOWLY
INCREASE THICKNESS HEIGHTS AND 850 MB TEMPERATURES... WHICH IN
TURN... SHOULD SLOWLY RAISE SURFACE TEMPERATURES OVER THE NEXT FEW
DAYS. STABLE CONDITIONS AND NO FRONTS ON THE HORIZON SHOULD
PRECLUDE MOST RAIN SHOWERS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. GAH


.LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...

GOING FORECAST LOOKED GOOD. TWEAKED SKY UP SLIGHTLY LATE IN THE
WEEK AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE INCREASES A BIT UNDER THE UPPER RIDGE.
TFJ


PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
BLOCKING PATTERN DEVELOPING AS UPPER LOW LINGERS OVER NORTHERN
QUEBEC WITH DEEP TROF OVER THE EASTERN STATES. IN THE WEST AN
UPPER RIDGE BUILDS NORTHWARD EARLY IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD.

POSITION OF THE RIDGE WILL PULL MONSOONAL MOISTURE ACROSS THE
GREAT BASIN AND INTO SOUTHWEST MONTANA. HOWEVER NORTHWEST FLOW
ACROSS EASTERN MONTANA WITH RIDGE AXIS TO THE WEST WILL DEFLECT
MOISTURE KEEPING CWA DRY THROUGH MOST OF THE WEEK. HIGH PRESSURE
OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS WILL KEEP MOST OF THE HEAT AT BAY WITH
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL EARLY IN THE PERIOD.

RIDGE BEGINS SHIFTING EAST BY THE END OF THE WEEK...WHICH SHOULD
BRING MOISTURE AND HOTTER TEMPERATURES INTO EASTERN MONTANA.
POSITION OF THE RIDGE AXIS STILL NOT FAVORABLE FOR THUNDERSTORMS
SO WILL KEEP FORECAST DRY. EBERT


&&

.AVIATION...
VFR.

CLOUDS: CUMULUS IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY DISSIPATE THIS EVENING
BUT LINGERING LONGER IN THE KSDY AREA.

WINDS: WILL REMAIN LIGHT AND VARIABLE TONIGHT EXCEPT FROM THE EAST
AT KGGW. TFJ


&&

.GLASGOW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.


&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/GLASGOW






000
FXUS65 KGGW 272029
AFDGGW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
229 PM MDT SUN JUL 27 2014

.SHORT TERM...FOR NORTHEAST MONTANA...TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...

HIGH PRESSURE HAS MOVED INTO THE REGION AT THE SURFACE AND CALMED
WINDS COMPARED TO PREVIOUS DAYS. THIS HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED
TO SLIDE OFF TO THE EAST OVERNIGHT AND SET UP A SLIGHT SOUTHEAST
WIND WHICH SHOULD MAINTAIN THROUGH THE MAJORITY OF THE SHORT TERM.

A RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE WESTERN THIRD OF THE CONUS. THIS WILL
PLACE NORTHEAST MONTANA IN NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AND SLOWLY
INCREASE THICKNESS HEIGHTS AND 850 MB TEMPERATURES... WHICH IN
TURN... SHOULD SLOWLY RAISE SURFACE TEMPERATURES OVER THE NEXT FEW
DAYS. STABLE CONDITIONS AND NO FRONTS ON THE HORIZON SHOULD
PRECLUDE MOST RAIN SHOWERS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. GAH


.LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...

GOING FORECAST LOOKED GOOD. TWEAKED SKY UP SLIGHTLY LATE IN THE
WEEK AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE INCREASES A BIT UNDER THE UPPER RIDGE.
TFJ


PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
BLOCKING PATTERN DEVELOPING AS UPPER LOW LINGERS OVER NORTHERN
QUEBEC WITH DEEP TROF OVER THE EASTERN STATES. IN THE WEST AN
UPPER RIDGE BUILDS NORTHWARD EARLY IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD.

POSITION OF THE RIDGE WILL PULL MONSOONAL MOISTURE ACROSS THE
GREAT BASIN AND INTO SOUTHWEST MONTANA. HOWEVER NORTHWEST FLOW
ACROSS EASTERN MONTANA WITH RIDGE AXIS TO THE WEST WILL DEFLECT
MOISTURE KEEPING CWA DRY THROUGH MOST OF THE WEEK. HIGH PRESSURE
OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS WILL KEEP MOST OF THE HEAT AT BAY WITH
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL EARLY IN THE PERIOD.

RIDGE BEGINS SHIFTING EAST BY THE END OF THE WEEK...WHICH SHOULD
BRING MOISTURE AND HOTTER TEMPERATURES INTO EASTERN MONTANA.
POSITION OF THE RIDGE AXIS STILL NOT FAVORABLE FOR THUNDERSTORMS
SO WILL KEEP FORECAST DRY. EBERT


&&

.AVIATION...
VFR.

CLOUDS: CUMULUS IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY DISSIPATE THIS EVENING
BUT LINGERING LONGER IN THE KSDY AREA.

WINDS: WILL REMAIN LIGHT AND VARIABLE TONIGHT EXCEPT FROM THE EAST
AT KGGW. TFJ


&&

.GLASGOW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.


&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/GLASGOW







000
FXUS65 KGGW 271443
AFDGGW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
843 AM MDT SUN JUL 27 2014

.SHORT TERM...FOR NORTHEAST MONTANA...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

MORNING UPDATE...
NO MAJOR CHANGES... ONLY MINOR TWEAKS THIS MORNING. REMNANTS OF
THE LOW THAT HAVE AFFECTED THE AREA OVER THE LAST FEW DAYS STILL
REMAIN TODAY ACROSS THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE CWA AS A LOW LEVEL
CLOUD DECK. THE LOW ITSELF HAS MOVED OFF OVER THE UPPER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WHILE A HIGH PRESSURE HAS SLID INTO THE AREA
FROM THE NORTH OVERNIGHT. SO... DRY CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED
FOR TODAY ALONG WITH LIGHT WINDS. GAH


PREVIOUS SHORT TERM DISCUSSION...
THE CLOSED LOW THAT BROUGHT WINDY CONDITIONS TO THE REGION WILL
MOVE OVER THE GREAT LAKES TODAY AS IT OPENS. THE LOW WILL THEN BE
ABSORBED INTO THE HUDSON BAY LOW BY MONDAY. MEANWHILE IN THE WEST
THE UPPER RIDGE...ANCHORED BY THE GREAT BASIN HIGH...WILL BEGIN TO
AMPLIFY THROUGH THE SHORT TERM PERIOD.

THIS WILL BRING ABOUT INCREASING TEMPERATURES. THIS LONG WAVE
PATTERN OVER CONUS WILL NOT CHANGE MUCH...RESULTING IN
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT OVER NORTHEAST MONTANA. THE COOL BOUNDARY
THAT WAS PUSHED SOUTH BY THE CANADIAN LOW WILL BEGIN TO REBOUND
EAST. THEREFORE THERE WILL BE A TEMPERATURE GRADIENT SW TO NE
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA OF AROUND 10F DEGREES. HIGHS TODAY WILL
LIKELY REMAIN SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL...BUT HIGHS WILL BECOME NORMAL
ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY AS THICKNESS HEIGHTS RETURN TO NORMAL.

CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN DRY...BUT WEAK DISTURBANCES
EMBEDDED IN THE FLOW ALOFT COULD GENERATE AN ISOLATED SHOWER. THE
STORM PREDICTION CENTER KEEPS NORTHEAST MONTANA OUT OF THE
THUNDERSTORMS AREAS ON THE CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK TODAY THROUGH
TUESDAY. SCT


.LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...
BLOCKING PATTERN DEVELOPING AS UPPER LOW LINGERS OVER NORTHERN
QUEBEC WITH DEEP TROF OVER THE EASTERN STATES. IN THE WEST AN
UPPER RIDGE BUILDS NORTHWARD EARLY IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD.

POSITION OF THE RIDGE WILL PULL MONSOONAL MOISTURE ACROSS THE
GREAT BASIN AND INTO SOUTHWEST MONTANA. HOWEVER NORTHWEST FLOW
ACROSS EASTERN MONTANA WITH RIDGE AXIS TO THE WEST WILL DEFLECT
MOISTURE KEEPING CWA DRY THROUGH MOST OF THE WEEK. HIGH PRESSURE
OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS WILL KEEP MOST OF THE HEAT AT BAY WITH
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL EARLY IN THE PERIOD.

RIDGE BEGINS SHIFTING EAST BY THE END OF THE WEEK...WHICH SHOULD
BRING MOISTURE AND HOTTER TEMPERATURES INTO EASTERN MONTANA.
POSITION OF THE RIDGE AXIS STILL NOT FAVORABLE FOR THUNDERSTORMS
SO WILL KEEP FORECAST DRY. EBERT


&&

.AVIATION...
VFR WITH LIGHT WINDS. BUT MVFR CLOUDS WILL HANG AROUND KSDY AND KGDV
TILL 16Z. TFJ


&&

.GLASGOW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.


&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/GLASGOW






000
FXUS65 KGGW 271443
AFDGGW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
843 AM MDT SUN JUL 27 2014

.SHORT TERM...FOR NORTHEAST MONTANA...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

MORNING UPDATE...
NO MAJOR CHANGES... ONLY MINOR TWEAKS THIS MORNING. REMNANTS OF
THE LOW THAT HAVE AFFECTED THE AREA OVER THE LAST FEW DAYS STILL
REMAIN TODAY ACROSS THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE CWA AS A LOW LEVEL
CLOUD DECK. THE LOW ITSELF HAS MOVED OFF OVER THE UPPER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WHILE A HIGH PRESSURE HAS SLID INTO THE AREA
FROM THE NORTH OVERNIGHT. SO... DRY CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED
FOR TODAY ALONG WITH LIGHT WINDS. GAH


PREVIOUS SHORT TERM DISCUSSION...
THE CLOSED LOW THAT BROUGHT WINDY CONDITIONS TO THE REGION WILL
MOVE OVER THE GREAT LAKES TODAY AS IT OPENS. THE LOW WILL THEN BE
ABSORBED INTO THE HUDSON BAY LOW BY MONDAY. MEANWHILE IN THE WEST
THE UPPER RIDGE...ANCHORED BY THE GREAT BASIN HIGH...WILL BEGIN TO
AMPLIFY THROUGH THE SHORT TERM PERIOD.

THIS WILL BRING ABOUT INCREASING TEMPERATURES. THIS LONG WAVE
PATTERN OVER CONUS WILL NOT CHANGE MUCH...RESULTING IN
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT OVER NORTHEAST MONTANA. THE COOL BOUNDARY
THAT WAS PUSHED SOUTH BY THE CANADIAN LOW WILL BEGIN TO REBOUND
EAST. THEREFORE THERE WILL BE A TEMPERATURE GRADIENT SW TO NE
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA OF AROUND 10F DEGREES. HIGHS TODAY WILL
LIKELY REMAIN SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL...BUT HIGHS WILL BECOME NORMAL
ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY AS THICKNESS HEIGHTS RETURN TO NORMAL.

CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN DRY...BUT WEAK DISTURBANCES
EMBEDDED IN THE FLOW ALOFT COULD GENERATE AN ISOLATED SHOWER. THE
STORM PREDICTION CENTER KEEPS NORTHEAST MONTANA OUT OF THE
THUNDERSTORMS AREAS ON THE CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK TODAY THROUGH
TUESDAY. SCT


.LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...
BLOCKING PATTERN DEVELOPING AS UPPER LOW LINGERS OVER NORTHERN
QUEBEC WITH DEEP TROF OVER THE EASTERN STATES. IN THE WEST AN
UPPER RIDGE BUILDS NORTHWARD EARLY IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD.

POSITION OF THE RIDGE WILL PULL MONSOONAL MOISTURE ACROSS THE
GREAT BASIN AND INTO SOUTHWEST MONTANA. HOWEVER NORTHWEST FLOW
ACROSS EASTERN MONTANA WITH RIDGE AXIS TO THE WEST WILL DEFLECT
MOISTURE KEEPING CWA DRY THROUGH MOST OF THE WEEK. HIGH PRESSURE
OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS WILL KEEP MOST OF THE HEAT AT BAY WITH
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL EARLY IN THE PERIOD.

RIDGE BEGINS SHIFTING EAST BY THE END OF THE WEEK...WHICH SHOULD
BRING MOISTURE AND HOTTER TEMPERATURES INTO EASTERN MONTANA.
POSITION OF THE RIDGE AXIS STILL NOT FAVORABLE FOR THUNDERSTORMS
SO WILL KEEP FORECAST DRY. EBERT


&&

.AVIATION...
VFR WITH LIGHT WINDS. BUT MVFR CLOUDS WILL HANG AROUND KSDY AND KGDV
TILL 16Z. TFJ


&&

.GLASGOW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.


&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/GLASGOW







000
FXUS65 KGGW 270914
AFDGGW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
314 AM MDT SUN JUL 27 2014

.SHORT TERM...FOR NORTHEAST MONTANA...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

THE CLOSED LOW THAT BROUGHT WINDY CONDITIONS TO THE REGION WILL
MOVE OVER THE GREAT LAKES TODAY AS IT OPENS. THE LOW WILL THEN BE
ABSORBED INTO THE HUDSON BAY LOW BY MONDAY. MEANWHILE IN THE WEST
THE UPPER RIDGE...ANCHORED BY THE GREAT BASIN HIGH...WILL BEGIN TO
AMPLIFY THROUGH THE SHORT TERM PERIOD.

THIS WILL BRING ABOUT INCREASING TEMPERATURES. THIS LONG WAVE
PATTERN OVER CONUS WILL NOT CHANGE MUCH...RESULTING IN
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT OVER NORTHEAST MONTANA. THE COOL BOUNDARY
THAT WAS PUSHED SOUTH BY THE CANADIAN LOW WILL BEGIN TO REBOUND
EAST. THEREFORE THERE WILL BE A TEMPERATURE GRADIENT SW TO NE
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA OF AROUND 10F DEGREES. HIGHS TODAY WILL
LIKELY REMAIN SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL...BUT HIGHS WILL BECOME NORMAL
ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY AS THICKNESS HEIGHTS RETURN TO NORMAL.

CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN DRY...BUT WEAK DISTURBANCES
EMBEDDED IN THE FLOW ALOFT COULD GENERATE AN ISOLATED SHOWER. THE
STORM PREDICTION CENTER KEEPS NORTHEAST MONTANA OUT OF THE
THUNDERSTORMS AREAS ON THE CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK TODAY THROUGH
TUESDAY. SCT

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...
BLOCKING PATTERN DEVELOPING AS UPPER LOW LINGERS OVER NORTHERN
QUEBEC WITH DEEP TROF OVER THE EASTERN STATES. IN THE WEST AN
UPPER RIDGE BUILDS NORTHWARD EARLY IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD.

POSITION OF THE RIDGE WILL PULL MONSOONAL MOISTURE ACROSS THE
GREAT BASIN AND INTO SOUTHWEST MONTANA. HOWEVER NORTHWEST FLOW
ACROSS EASTERN MONTANA WITH RIDGE AXIS TO THE WEST WILL DEFLECT
MOISTURE KEEPING CWA DRY THROUGH MOST OF THE WEEK. HIGH PRESSURE
OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS WILL KEEP MOST OF THE HEAT AT BAY WITH
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL EARLY IN THE PERIOD.

RIDGE BEGINS SHIFTING EAST BY THE END OF THE WEEK...WHICH SHOULD
BRING MOISTURE AND HOTTER TEMPERATURES INTO EASTERN MONTANA.
POSITION OF THE RIDGE AXIS STILL NOT FAVORABLE FOR THUNDERSTORMS
SO WILL KEEP FORECAST DRY. EBERT


&&

.AVIATION...
VFR WITH LIGHT WINDS.


&&

.GLASGOW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/GLASGOW







000
FXUS65 KGGW 270328 AAA
AFDGGW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
928 PM MDT SAT JUL 26 2014

.SHORT TERM...FOR NORTHEAST MONTANA...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...
THE LOW CENTER IS NOW JUST SOUTH OF LAKE WINNIPEG...MAINTAINING A
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT FOR NORTHEAST MONTANA. CLOUDS WRAPPING AROUND
THE LOW CENTER EXTEND OVER MEDICINE LAKE. RADAR IS SHOWING VERY
ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THAT NORTHWEST FLOW.

THE MAIN EFFECT FROM THE LOW IS THE CONTINUED STRONG WIND THAT HAS
SUSTAINED THE LAKE WIND ADVISORY AND THE RED FLAG WARNING. WITH
DIMINISHING WIND BY MID EVENING CANCELLED BOTH THE RED FLAG
WARNING AND THE LAKE WIND ADVISORY EARLY. A SURFACE HIGH SLIDING
SOUTHEAST FROM SOUTHERN ALBERTA WILL FINALLY END THE OVERNIGHT
WIND. SCT

SYNOPTIC SET UP...A HOT HIGH PRESSURE DOME EXISTS OVER THE FOUR
CORNERS AND LOWER INTER-MOUNTAIN WEST. SEMI ZONAL FLOW RUNS THROUGH
THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST...MONTANA...AND THE NORTHERN US PLAINS. A
WEAK RIDGE IS BEGINNING TO DEVELOP OUT OF THE DOME AND INTO THE
FLOW OVER IDAHO. TO THE NORTH...A SERIES OF TROUGHS AND RIDGES IS
MOVING ALONG WITH A TROUGH OVER MANITOBA AND THE HUDSON BAY AND A
ANOTHER OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA AND DOWN HE COAST OF BRITISH
COLUMBIA. A RIDGE RUNS DOWN FROM THE NORTHWEST TERRITORIES THROUGH
ALBERTA.

TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...CLOSED LOW SOUTHERN SASKATCHEWAN AND
MANITOBA IS EXPECTED TO TRANSITION DOWN INTO THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY. OUTER BANDS OF THIS MAY BRING A SMALL CHANCE FOR ISOLATED
SHOWERS ACROSS THE FAR NORTHEAST CORNER OF THE CWA. STRONG WINDS
TODAY WILL LIGHTEN UP AS THE INVERSION DEVELOPS OVERNIGHT AFTER
SUNSET. BY SUNDAY AS THE INVERSION LIFTS PGF FROM THE LOW WILL
HAVE EXITED TO THE EAST CREATING LIGHT WINDS AND CLEAR TO PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES.

SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...RIDGE WILL FURTHER DEVELOP OVER THE
UPPER INTER-MOUNTAIN WEST INTO SOUTHERN BRITISH COLUMBIA AND TURN
THE FLO ALOFT TO NORTHWEST. THIS SHOULD FURTHER DRY OUT AND LOWER
RH FROM DOWN-SLOPE WINDS TO THE WEST. WITH LITTLE TO NO SURFACE
GRADIENTS WINDS WILL PROBABLY BE LIGHT AND OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST.
GAH


.LONG TERM...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...
GOING FORECAST WAS IN GOOD SHAPE...JUST TWEAKED A FEW THINGS
TOWARD MODEL CONSENSUS. TFJ

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
BLOCKING PATTERN DEVELOPING AS UPPER LOW LINGERS OVER NORTHERN
QUEBEC WITH DEEP TROF OVER THE EASTERN STATES. IN THE WEST AN
UPPER RIDGE BUILDS NORTHWARD EARLY IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD.

POSITION OF THE RIDGE WILL PULL MONSOONAL MOISTURE ACROSS THE
GREAT BASIN AND INTO SOUTHWEST MONTANA. HOWEVER NORTHWEST FLOW
ACROSS EASTERN MONTANA WITH RIDGE AXIS TO THE WEST WILL DEFLECT
MOISTURE KEEPING CWA DRY THROUGH MOST OF THE WEEK. SOME SUGGESTION
OF WAVE MOVING THROUGH THE RIDGE LATE NEXT WEEK MAY BRING THE
MOISTURE EAST BUT NOT ENOUGH MODEL AGREEMENT TO THUNDERSTORMS TO
FORECAST YET.

HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS WILL KEEP MOST OF THE HEAT
AT BAY BUT TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE NEAR NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD.
EBERT

&&

.AVIATION...
FLIGHT CATEGORY: VFR.

SYNOPSIS: UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL PROVIDE CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT
WIND FOR SUNDAY/S FLYING DAY.        PROTON

&&

.GLASGOW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/GLASGOW








000
FXUS65 KGGW 270328 AAA
AFDGGW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
928 PM MDT SAT JUL 26 2014

.SHORT TERM...FOR NORTHEAST MONTANA...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...
THE LOW CENTER IS NOW JUST SOUTH OF LAKE WINNIPEG...MAINTAINING A
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT FOR NORTHEAST MONTANA. CLOUDS WRAPPING AROUND
THE LOW CENTER EXTEND OVER MEDICINE LAKE. RADAR IS SHOWING VERY
ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THAT NORTHWEST FLOW.

THE MAIN EFFECT FROM THE LOW IS THE CONTINUED STRONG WIND THAT HAS
SUSTAINED THE LAKE WIND ADVISORY AND THE RED FLAG WARNING. WITH
DIMINISHING WIND BY MID EVENING CANCELLED BOTH THE RED FLAG
WARNING AND THE LAKE WIND ADVISORY EARLY. A SURFACE HIGH SLIDING
SOUTHEAST FROM SOUTHERN ALBERTA WILL FINALLY END THE OVERNIGHT
WIND. SCT

SYNOPTIC SET UP...A HOT HIGH PRESSURE DOME EXISTS OVER THE FOUR
CORNERS AND LOWER INTER-MOUNTAIN WEST. SEMI ZONAL FLOW RUNS THROUGH
THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST...MONTANA...AND THE NORTHERN US PLAINS. A
WEAK RIDGE IS BEGINNING TO DEVELOP OUT OF THE DOME AND INTO THE
FLOW OVER IDAHO. TO THE NORTH...A SERIES OF TROUGHS AND RIDGES IS
MOVING ALONG WITH A TROUGH OVER MANITOBA AND THE HUDSON BAY AND A
ANOTHER OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA AND DOWN HE COAST OF BRITISH
COLUMBIA. A RIDGE RUNS DOWN FROM THE NORTHWEST TERRITORIES THROUGH
ALBERTA.

TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...CLOSED LOW SOUTHERN SASKATCHEWAN AND
MANITOBA IS EXPECTED TO TRANSITION DOWN INTO THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY. OUTER BANDS OF THIS MAY BRING A SMALL CHANCE FOR ISOLATED
SHOWERS ACROSS THE FAR NORTHEAST CORNER OF THE CWA. STRONG WINDS
TODAY WILL LIGHTEN UP AS THE INVERSION DEVELOPS OVERNIGHT AFTER
SUNSET. BY SUNDAY AS THE INVERSION LIFTS PGF FROM THE LOW WILL
HAVE EXITED TO THE EAST CREATING LIGHT WINDS AND CLEAR TO PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES.

SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...RIDGE WILL FURTHER DEVELOP OVER THE
UPPER INTER-MOUNTAIN WEST INTO SOUTHERN BRITISH COLUMBIA AND TURN
THE FLO ALOFT TO NORTHWEST. THIS SHOULD FURTHER DRY OUT AND LOWER
RH FROM DOWN-SLOPE WINDS TO THE WEST. WITH LITTLE TO NO SURFACE
GRADIENTS WINDS WILL PROBABLY BE LIGHT AND OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST.
GAH


.LONG TERM...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...
GOING FORECAST WAS IN GOOD SHAPE...JUST TWEAKED A FEW THINGS
TOWARD MODEL CONSENSUS. TFJ

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
BLOCKING PATTERN DEVELOPING AS UPPER LOW LINGERS OVER NORTHERN
QUEBEC WITH DEEP TROF OVER THE EASTERN STATES. IN THE WEST AN
UPPER RIDGE BUILDS NORTHWARD EARLY IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD.

POSITION OF THE RIDGE WILL PULL MONSOONAL MOISTURE ACROSS THE
GREAT BASIN AND INTO SOUTHWEST MONTANA. HOWEVER NORTHWEST FLOW
ACROSS EASTERN MONTANA WITH RIDGE AXIS TO THE WEST WILL DEFLECT
MOISTURE KEEPING CWA DRY THROUGH MOST OF THE WEEK. SOME SUGGESTION
OF WAVE MOVING THROUGH THE RIDGE LATE NEXT WEEK MAY BRING THE
MOISTURE EAST BUT NOT ENOUGH MODEL AGREEMENT TO THUNDERSTORMS TO
FORECAST YET.

HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS WILL KEEP MOST OF THE HEAT
AT BAY BUT TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE NEAR NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD.
EBERT

&&

.AVIATION...
FLIGHT CATEGORY: VFR.

SYNOPSIS: UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL PROVIDE CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT
WIND FOR SUNDAY/S FLYING DAY.        PROTON

&&

.GLASGOW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/GLASGOW









000
FXUS65 KGGW 262008
AFDGGW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
208 PM MDT SAT JUL 26 2014

.SHORT TERM...FOR NORTHEAST MONTANA...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...

SYNOPTIC SET UP... A HOT HIGH PRESSURE DOME EXISTS OVER THE FOUR
CORNERS AND LOWER INTERMOUNTAIN WEST. SEMI ZONAL FLOW RUNS THROUGH
THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST... MONTANA... AND THE NORTHERN US PLAINS. A
WEAK RIDGE IS BEGINNING TO DEVELOP OUT OF THE DOME AND INTO THE
FLOW OVER IDAHO. TO THE NORTH... A SERIES OF TROUGHS AND RIDGES IS
MOVING ALONG WITH A TROUGH OVER MANITOBA AND THE HUDSON BAY AND A
ANOTHER OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA AND DOWN HE COAST OF BRITISH
COLUMBIA. A RIDGE RUNS DOWN FROM THE NORTHWEST TERRITORIES THROUGH
ALBERTA.

TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY... CLOSED LOW SOUTHERN SASKATCHEWAN AND
MANITOBA IS EXPECTED TO TRANSITION DOWN INTO THE UPPER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. OUTER BANDS OF THIS MAY BRING A SMALL CHANCE
FOR ISOLATED SHOWERS ACROSS THE FAR NORTHEAST CORNER OF THE CWA.
STRONG WINDS TODAY WILL LIGHTEN UP AS THE INVERSION DEVELOPS
OVERNIGHT AFTER SUNSET. BY SUNDAY AS THE INVERSION LIFTS PGF FROM
THE LOW WILL HAVE EXITED TO THE EAST CREATING LIGHT WINDS AND CLEAR
TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES.

SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY... RIDGE WILL FURTHER DEVELOP OVER THE
UPPER INTERMOUNTAIN WEST INTO SOUTHERN BRITISH COLUMBIA AND TURN
THE FLO ALOFT TO NORTHWEST. THIS SHOULD FURTHER DRY OUT AND LOWER
RH FROM DOWNSLOPE WINDS TO THE WEST. WITH LITTLE TO NO SURFACE
GRADIENTS WINDS WILL PROBABLY BE LIGHT AND OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST. GAH


.LONG TERM...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...

GOING FORECAST WAS IN GOOD SHAPE...JUST TWEAKED A FEW THINGS
TOWARD MODEL CONSENSUS. TFJ


PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
BLOCKING PATTERN DEVELOPING AS UPPER LOW LINGERS OVER NORTHERN
QUEBEC WITH DEEP TROF OVER THE EASTERN STATES. IN THE WEST AN
UPPER RIDGE BUILDS NORTHWARD EARLY IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD.

POSITION OF THE RIDGE WILL PULL MONSOONAL MOISTURE ACROSS THE
GREAT BASIN AND INTO SOUTHWEST MONTANA. HOWEVER NORTHWEST FLOW
ACROSS EASTERN MONTANA WITH RIDGE AXIS TO THE WEST WILL DEFLECT
MOISTURE KEEPING CWA DRY THROUGH MOST OF THE WEEK. SOME SUGGESTION
OF WAVE MOVING THROUGH THE RIDGE LATE NEXT WEEK MAY BRING THE
MOISTURE EAST BUT NOT ENOUGH MODEL AGREEMENT TO THUNDERSTORMS TO
FORECAST YET.

HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS WILL KEEP MOST OF THE HEAT
AT BAY BUT TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE NEAR NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD.
EBERT


&&

.AVIATION...
VFR.

VFR CUMULUS CLOUDS AND NW WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO VANISH UPON
SUNSET. CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT NW WINDS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY. TFJ


&&

.GLASGOW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR MTZ135>137.

LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR FORT PECK
LAKE FOR CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST PHILLIPS...CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
VALLEY...GARFIELD...MCCONE...PETROLEUM.


&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/GLASGOW







000
FXUS65 KGGW 262008
AFDGGW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
208 PM MDT SAT JUL 26 2014

.SHORT TERM...FOR NORTHEAST MONTANA...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...

SYNOPTIC SET UP... A HOT HIGH PRESSURE DOME EXISTS OVER THE FOUR
CORNERS AND LOWER INTERMOUNTAIN WEST. SEMI ZONAL FLOW RUNS THROUGH
THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST... MONTANA... AND THE NORTHERN US PLAINS. A
WEAK RIDGE IS BEGINNING TO DEVELOP OUT OF THE DOME AND INTO THE
FLOW OVER IDAHO. TO THE NORTH... A SERIES OF TROUGHS AND RIDGES IS
MOVING ALONG WITH A TROUGH OVER MANITOBA AND THE HUDSON BAY AND A
ANOTHER OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA AND DOWN HE COAST OF BRITISH
COLUMBIA. A RIDGE RUNS DOWN FROM THE NORTHWEST TERRITORIES THROUGH
ALBERTA.

TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY... CLOSED LOW SOUTHERN SASKATCHEWAN AND
MANITOBA IS EXPECTED TO TRANSITION DOWN INTO THE UPPER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. OUTER BANDS OF THIS MAY BRING A SMALL CHANCE
FOR ISOLATED SHOWERS ACROSS THE FAR NORTHEAST CORNER OF THE CWA.
STRONG WINDS TODAY WILL LIGHTEN UP AS THE INVERSION DEVELOPS
OVERNIGHT AFTER SUNSET. BY SUNDAY AS THE INVERSION LIFTS PGF FROM
THE LOW WILL HAVE EXITED TO THE EAST CREATING LIGHT WINDS AND CLEAR
TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES.

SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY... RIDGE WILL FURTHER DEVELOP OVER THE
UPPER INTERMOUNTAIN WEST INTO SOUTHERN BRITISH COLUMBIA AND TURN
THE FLO ALOFT TO NORTHWEST. THIS SHOULD FURTHER DRY OUT AND LOWER
RH FROM DOWNSLOPE WINDS TO THE WEST. WITH LITTLE TO NO SURFACE
GRADIENTS WINDS WILL PROBABLY BE LIGHT AND OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST. GAH


.LONG TERM...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...

GOING FORECAST WAS IN GOOD SHAPE...JUST TWEAKED A FEW THINGS
TOWARD MODEL CONSENSUS. TFJ


PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
BLOCKING PATTERN DEVELOPING AS UPPER LOW LINGERS OVER NORTHERN
QUEBEC WITH DEEP TROF OVER THE EASTERN STATES. IN THE WEST AN
UPPER RIDGE BUILDS NORTHWARD EARLY IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD.

POSITION OF THE RIDGE WILL PULL MONSOONAL MOISTURE ACROSS THE
GREAT BASIN AND INTO SOUTHWEST MONTANA. HOWEVER NORTHWEST FLOW
ACROSS EASTERN MONTANA WITH RIDGE AXIS TO THE WEST WILL DEFLECT
MOISTURE KEEPING CWA DRY THROUGH MOST OF THE WEEK. SOME SUGGESTION
OF WAVE MOVING THROUGH THE RIDGE LATE NEXT WEEK MAY BRING THE
MOISTURE EAST BUT NOT ENOUGH MODEL AGREEMENT TO THUNDERSTORMS TO
FORECAST YET.

HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS WILL KEEP MOST OF THE HEAT
AT BAY BUT TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE NEAR NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD.
EBERT


&&

.AVIATION...
VFR.

VFR CUMULUS CLOUDS AND NW WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO VANISH UPON
SUNSET. CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT NW WINDS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY. TFJ


&&

.GLASGOW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR MTZ135>137.

LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR FORT PECK
LAKE FOR CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST PHILLIPS...CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
VALLEY...GARFIELD...MCCONE...PETROLEUM.


&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/GLASGOW






000
FXUS65 KGGW 261427
AFDGGW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
827 AM MDT SAT JUL 26 2014

.SHORT TERM...FOR NORTHEAST MONTANA...TODAY THROUGH MONDAY...

MORNING UPDATE...
MINIMAL CHANGES TO MORNING FORECAST PACKAGE. CLOSED LOW IS
VENTURING FARTHER SOUTHEAST AND IS DRAGGING A LITTLE MORE CLOUD
COVER DOWN ALONG THE NORTHERN SECTIONS OF THE CWA THAN FIRST
ANTICIPATED. OTHERWISE... EXPECTING DRY CONDITIONS. GAH


PREVIOUS SHORT TERM DISCUSSION...
THE INFLUENCE OF THE STACKED LOW MOVING EAST ACROSS THE PRAIRIE
PROVINCES WILL CONTINUE TODAY BY GENERATING BRISK NORTHWEST
WINDS ACROSS THE AREA. THE ELEVATED WIND WILL ONCE AGAIN REQUIRE A
WIND ADVISORY FOR FORT PECK LAKE. IN ADDITION THE FIRE WEATHER
WATCH WILL BE REPLACED WITH A RED FLAG WARNING BASED ON LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AGAIN. SEE THE FIRE WX DISCUSSION. BASED ON
THE SOUTHEAST DIRECTION OF THE LOW THERE IS ALSO THE POSSIBILITY
THAT A FEW SHOWERS MAY BE PUSHED ACROSS THE BORDER THIS MORNING.
WITH WEAK CONVECTIVE PARAMETERS THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED.

BY TONIGHT THE LOW WILL HAVE SLIPPED INTO NORTHERN MINNESOTA
ALLOWING THE WIND TO RELAX FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE SHORT TERM
PERIOD. THEREFORE DO NOT EXPECT STRONG WIND FOR SUNDAY OR MONDAY.
THE UPPER RIDGE OFF TO THE WEST WILL AMPLIFY PUTTING NORTHEAST
MONTANA UNDER A NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. THE BOUNDARY BETWEEN THE HOT
DESERT AIR TO THE SOUTHWEST AND THE RELATIVELY COOLER AIR TO THE
EAST WILL ONCE AGAIN MEANDER OVER NEMONT. THE BOUNDARY MIGHT BE
THE FOCUS FOR A FEW SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS. BUT MOSTLY
CONDITIONS WILL BECOME DRY AND WARM TO NEAR NORMAL BY MONDAY. SCT


.LONG TERM...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...
BLOCKING PATTERN DEVELOPING AS UPPER LOW LINGERS OVER NORTHERN
QUEBEC WITH DEEP TROF OVER THE EASTERN STATES. IN THE WEST AN
UPPER RIDGE BUILDS NORTHWARD EARLY IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD.

POSITION OF THE RIDGE WILL PULL MONSOONAL MOISTURE ACROSS THE
GREAT BASIN AND INTO SOUTHWEST MONTANA. HOWEVER NORTHWEST FLOW
ACROSS EASTERN MONTANA WITH RIDGE AXIS TO THE WEST WILL DEFLECT
MOISTURE KEEPING CWA DRY THROUGH MOST OF THE WEEK. SOME SUGGESTION
OF WAVE MOVING THROUGH THE RIDGE LATE NEXT WEEK MAY BRING THE
MOISTURE EAST BUT NOT ENOUGH MODEL AGREEMENT TO THUNDERSTORMS TO
FORECAST YET.

HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS WILL KEEP MOST OF THE HEAT
AT BAY BUT TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE NEAR NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD.
EBERT


&&

.AVIATION...
VFR. MVFR CLOUDINESS THIS MORNING WILL MAINTAIN CELINGS FOR WOLF
POINT AND POSSIBLY SIDNEY THROUGH 18Z BUT SHOULD LIFT TO VFR BY
THEN. STACKED LOW MOVING ACROSS THE CANADIAN PRAIRIES WILL KEEP
BREEZY WEATHER OVER NORTHEAST MONTANA TODAY. TFJ


&&

.GLASGOW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR MTZ135>137.

LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR FORT PECK
LAKE FOR CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST PHILLIPS...CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
VALLEY...GARFIELD...MCCONE...PETROLEUM.


&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/GLASGOW






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