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000
FXUS63 KGLD 080524
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1024 PM MST SUN FEB 7 2016

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 805 PM MST SUN FEB 7 2016

UPDATE ISSUED TO ADJUST CLOUD COVER BASED ON THE MOVEMENT OF THE
REMAINING HIGH CLOUDS CURRENTLY MOVING SOUTH OVER EASTERN
COLORADO ZONES...AS WELL AS OUR SOUTHWESTERN KS ZONES. THE REST
OF THE CWA IS CLEAR/MOSTLY CLEAR AT THIS TIME. OVERALL TREND IS
FOR ALL AREAS TO CLEAR OUT TONIGHT...BUT THE AFOREMENTIONED ZONES
WILL SEE IT LAST DUE TO THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF EXITING CLOUDS. REST
OF FORECAST WELL ON TRACK WITH NO CHANGES.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 226 PM MST SUN FEB 7 2016

UPPER LEVEL FLOW WILL BE NORTHERLY TONIGHT AND MONDAY. SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS TONIGHT AND MONDAY.

SUBSIDENCE WILL PRODUCE DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE FA TONIGHT AND
MONDAY.  POPS WILL BE NIL DURING THIS TIME.

THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT SHOULD MAINTAIN BREEZY WINDS TONIGHT
WITH DECREASING SPEEDS MONDAY AS THE GRADIENT RELAXES.

MIN TEMPERATURES SHOULD COOL TO THE UPPER TEENS AND LOWER 20S
TONIGHT.  MAX TEMPERATURES SHOULD REACH THE MID AND UPPER 30S
MONDAY. SOME TEMPERATURES NEAR 40 COULD BE REALIZED OVER THE
SOUTHWESTERN FA.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 226 PM MST SUN FEB 7 2016

THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW CONTINUES TO REMAIN FROM THE NORTHWEST...WITH
LITTLE MOVEMENT FROM THE RIDGE OVER THE GREAT BASIN UNTIL THE END OF
THE WEEK. THE ONLY CHANGE HAS BEEN TO DELAY THE PASSAGE OF THE SHORT
WAVE TROUGH THIS COMING WEEKEND ONE MORE DAY.

TUESDAY A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA.  HIGH TEMPERATURES
THE REST OF THE WEEK WILL WARM ABOVE NORMAL.  DRY CONDITIONS WILL
ALSO PERSIST THROUGH THE PERIOD IN THE DRY LAMINAR NORTHWEST UPPER
LEVEL FLOW.

TUESDAY WILL BE BREEZY AS THE WARMER TEMPERATURES ALLOW THE STRONGER
LOW LEVEL WINDS TO MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE.  AM STILL ANTICIPATING
THE SNOWFIELD TO HAVE ENOUGH OF A COOLING EFFECT TO LIMIT THE AMOUNT
OF MIXING.  HOWEVER IF THE SNOWFIELD DECREASES FASTER AND WARM AIR
ADVECTION BEHIND THE FRONT IS STRONGER...THE WINDS WILL BE HIGHER
THAN FORECAST.  CURRENTLY LOOKS LIKE WIND STRENGTH WILL BE SIMILAR
TO TODAY.

NEXT SUNDAY ALSO LOOKS TO BE BREEZY BEHIND A COLD FRONT WHICH WILL
ACCOMPANY THE SHORT WAVE AS THE TROUGH FLATTENS THE RIDGE AND MOVES
ONTO THE PLAINS.  CURRENTLY LOOKS LIKE THE FRONTAL PASSAGE SUNDAY
WILL BE DRY AS WELL.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1024 PM MST SUN FEB 7 2016

FOR BOTH TAF SITES...VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD
W/ ONLY SCT MID/HIGHS CLOUDS EXPECTED.

FOR WINDS...KGLD WILL SEE NW WINDS IN THE 10-20KT RANGE THRU 16Z
MONDAY...THEN NORTH 15-25KTS. BY 00Z TUESDAY...NW AGAIN BUT
DECREASING TO AROUND 10KTS. KMCK WILL SEE NW WINDS 15-25KTS THRU
00Z TUESDAY...THEN WNW AROUND 10KTS.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE...JN
SHORT TERM...FS
LONG TERM...JTL
AVIATION...JN





000
FXUS63 KGLD 080524
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1024 PM MST SUN FEB 7 2016

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 805 PM MST SUN FEB 7 2016

UPDATE ISSUED TO ADJUST CLOUD COVER BASED ON THE MOVEMENT OF THE
REMAINING HIGH CLOUDS CURRENTLY MOVING SOUTH OVER EASTERN
COLORADO ZONES...AS WELL AS OUR SOUTHWESTERN KS ZONES. THE REST
OF THE CWA IS CLEAR/MOSTLY CLEAR AT THIS TIME. OVERALL TREND IS
FOR ALL AREAS TO CLEAR OUT TONIGHT...BUT THE AFOREMENTIONED ZONES
WILL SEE IT LAST DUE TO THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF EXITING CLOUDS. REST
OF FORECAST WELL ON TRACK WITH NO CHANGES.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 226 PM MST SUN FEB 7 2016

UPPER LEVEL FLOW WILL BE NORTHERLY TONIGHT AND MONDAY. SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS TONIGHT AND MONDAY.

SUBSIDENCE WILL PRODUCE DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE FA TONIGHT AND
MONDAY.  POPS WILL BE NIL DURING THIS TIME.

THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT SHOULD MAINTAIN BREEZY WINDS TONIGHT
WITH DECREASING SPEEDS MONDAY AS THE GRADIENT RELAXES.

MIN TEMPERATURES SHOULD COOL TO THE UPPER TEENS AND LOWER 20S
TONIGHT.  MAX TEMPERATURES SHOULD REACH THE MID AND UPPER 30S
MONDAY. SOME TEMPERATURES NEAR 40 COULD BE REALIZED OVER THE
SOUTHWESTERN FA.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 226 PM MST SUN FEB 7 2016

THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW CONTINUES TO REMAIN FROM THE NORTHWEST...WITH
LITTLE MOVEMENT FROM THE RIDGE OVER THE GREAT BASIN UNTIL THE END OF
THE WEEK. THE ONLY CHANGE HAS BEEN TO DELAY THE PASSAGE OF THE SHORT
WAVE TROUGH THIS COMING WEEKEND ONE MORE DAY.

TUESDAY A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA.  HIGH TEMPERATURES
THE REST OF THE WEEK WILL WARM ABOVE NORMAL.  DRY CONDITIONS WILL
ALSO PERSIST THROUGH THE PERIOD IN THE DRY LAMINAR NORTHWEST UPPER
LEVEL FLOW.

TUESDAY WILL BE BREEZY AS THE WARMER TEMPERATURES ALLOW THE STRONGER
LOW LEVEL WINDS TO MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE.  AM STILL ANTICIPATING
THE SNOWFIELD TO HAVE ENOUGH OF A COOLING EFFECT TO LIMIT THE AMOUNT
OF MIXING.  HOWEVER IF THE SNOWFIELD DECREASES FASTER AND WARM AIR
ADVECTION BEHIND THE FRONT IS STRONGER...THE WINDS WILL BE HIGHER
THAN FORECAST.  CURRENTLY LOOKS LIKE WIND STRENGTH WILL BE SIMILAR
TO TODAY.

NEXT SUNDAY ALSO LOOKS TO BE BREEZY BEHIND A COLD FRONT WHICH WILL
ACCOMPANY THE SHORT WAVE AS THE TROUGH FLATTENS THE RIDGE AND MOVES
ONTO THE PLAINS.  CURRENTLY LOOKS LIKE THE FRONTAL PASSAGE SUNDAY
WILL BE DRY AS WELL.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1024 PM MST SUN FEB 7 2016

FOR BOTH TAF SITES...VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD
W/ ONLY SCT MID/HIGHS CLOUDS EXPECTED.

FOR WINDS...KGLD WILL SEE NW WINDS IN THE 10-20KT RANGE THRU 16Z
MONDAY...THEN NORTH 15-25KTS. BY 00Z TUESDAY...NW AGAIN BUT
DECREASING TO AROUND 10KTS. KMCK WILL SEE NW WINDS 15-25KTS THRU
00Z TUESDAY...THEN WNW AROUND 10KTS.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE...JN
SHORT TERM...FS
LONG TERM...JTL
AVIATION...JN





000
FXUS63 KGLD 080524
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1024 PM MST SUN FEB 7 2016

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 805 PM MST SUN FEB 7 2016

UPDATE ISSUED TO ADJUST CLOUD COVER BASED ON THE MOVEMENT OF THE
REMAINING HIGH CLOUDS CURRENTLY MOVING SOUTH OVER EASTERN
COLORADO ZONES...AS WELL AS OUR SOUTHWESTERN KS ZONES. THE REST
OF THE CWA IS CLEAR/MOSTLY CLEAR AT THIS TIME. OVERALL TREND IS
FOR ALL AREAS TO CLEAR OUT TONIGHT...BUT THE AFOREMENTIONED ZONES
WILL SEE IT LAST DUE TO THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF EXITING CLOUDS. REST
OF FORECAST WELL ON TRACK WITH NO CHANGES.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 226 PM MST SUN FEB 7 2016

UPPER LEVEL FLOW WILL BE NORTHERLY TONIGHT AND MONDAY. SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS TONIGHT AND MONDAY.

SUBSIDENCE WILL PRODUCE DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE FA TONIGHT AND
MONDAY.  POPS WILL BE NIL DURING THIS TIME.

THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT SHOULD MAINTAIN BREEZY WINDS TONIGHT
WITH DECREASING SPEEDS MONDAY AS THE GRADIENT RELAXES.

MIN TEMPERATURES SHOULD COOL TO THE UPPER TEENS AND LOWER 20S
TONIGHT.  MAX TEMPERATURES SHOULD REACH THE MID AND UPPER 30S
MONDAY. SOME TEMPERATURES NEAR 40 COULD BE REALIZED OVER THE
SOUTHWESTERN FA.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 226 PM MST SUN FEB 7 2016

THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW CONTINUES TO REMAIN FROM THE NORTHWEST...WITH
LITTLE MOVEMENT FROM THE RIDGE OVER THE GREAT BASIN UNTIL THE END OF
THE WEEK. THE ONLY CHANGE HAS BEEN TO DELAY THE PASSAGE OF THE SHORT
WAVE TROUGH THIS COMING WEEKEND ONE MORE DAY.

TUESDAY A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA.  HIGH TEMPERATURES
THE REST OF THE WEEK WILL WARM ABOVE NORMAL.  DRY CONDITIONS WILL
ALSO PERSIST THROUGH THE PERIOD IN THE DRY LAMINAR NORTHWEST UPPER
LEVEL FLOW.

TUESDAY WILL BE BREEZY AS THE WARMER TEMPERATURES ALLOW THE STRONGER
LOW LEVEL WINDS TO MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE.  AM STILL ANTICIPATING
THE SNOWFIELD TO HAVE ENOUGH OF A COOLING EFFECT TO LIMIT THE AMOUNT
OF MIXING.  HOWEVER IF THE SNOWFIELD DECREASES FASTER AND WARM AIR
ADVECTION BEHIND THE FRONT IS STRONGER...THE WINDS WILL BE HIGHER
THAN FORECAST.  CURRENTLY LOOKS LIKE WIND STRENGTH WILL BE SIMILAR
TO TODAY.

NEXT SUNDAY ALSO LOOKS TO BE BREEZY BEHIND A COLD FRONT WHICH WILL
ACCOMPANY THE SHORT WAVE AS THE TROUGH FLATTENS THE RIDGE AND MOVES
ONTO THE PLAINS.  CURRENTLY LOOKS LIKE THE FRONTAL PASSAGE SUNDAY
WILL BE DRY AS WELL.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1024 PM MST SUN FEB 7 2016

FOR BOTH TAF SITES...VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD
W/ ONLY SCT MID/HIGHS CLOUDS EXPECTED.

FOR WINDS...KGLD WILL SEE NW WINDS IN THE 10-20KT RANGE THRU 16Z
MONDAY...THEN NORTH 15-25KTS. BY 00Z TUESDAY...NW AGAIN BUT
DECREASING TO AROUND 10KTS. KMCK WILL SEE NW WINDS 15-25KTS THRU
00Z TUESDAY...THEN WNW AROUND 10KTS.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE...JN
SHORT TERM...FS
LONG TERM...JTL
AVIATION...JN




000
FXUS63 KGLD 080305
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
805 PM MST SUN FEB 7 2016

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 805 PM MST SUN FEB 7 2016

UPDATE ISSUED TO ADJUST CLOUD COVER BASED ON THE MOVEMENT OF THE
REMAINING HIGH CLOUDS CURRENTLY MOVING SOUTH OVER EASTERN
COLORADO ZONES...AS WELL AS OUR SOUTHWESTERN KS ZONES. THE REST
OF THE CWA IS CLEAR/MOSTLY CLEAR AT THIS TIME. OVERALL TREND IS
FOR ALL AREAS TO CLEAR OUT TONIGHT...BUT THE AFOREMENTIONED ZONES
WILL SEE IT LAST DUE TO THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF EXITING CLOUDS. REST
OF FORECAST WELL ON TRACK WITH NO CHANGES.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 226 PM MST SUN FEB 7 2016

UPPER LEVEL FLOW WILL BE NORTHERLY TONIGHT AND MONDAY. SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS TONIGHT AND MONDAY.

SUBSIDENCE WILL PRODUCE DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE FA TONIGHT AND
MONDAY.  POPS WILL BE NIL DURING THIS TIME.

THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT SHOULD MAINTAIN BREEZY WINDS TONIGHT
WITH DECREASING SPEEDS MONDAY AS THE GRADIENT RELAXES.

MIN TEMPERATURES SHOULD COOL TO THE UPPER TEENS AND LOWER 20S
TONIGHT.  MAX TEMPERATURES SHOULD REACH THE MID AND UPPER 30S
MONDAY. SOME TEMPERATURES NEAR 40 COULD BE REALIZED OVER THE
SOUTHWESTERN FA.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 226 PM MST SUN FEB 7 2016

THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW CONTINUES TO REMAIN FROM THE NORTHWEST...WITH
LITTLE MOVEMENT FROM THE RIDGE OVER THE GREAT BASIN UNTIL THE END OF
THE WEEK. THE ONLY CHANGE HAS BEEN TO DELAY THE PASSAGE OF THE SHORT
WAVE TROUGH THIS COMING WEEKEND ONE MORE DAY.

TUESDAY A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA.  HIGH TEMPERATURES
THE REST OF THE WEEK WILL WARM ABOVE NORMAL.  DRY CONDITIONS WILL
ALSO PERSIST THROUGH THE PERIOD IN THE DRY LAMINAR NORTHWEST UPPER
LEVEL FLOW.

TUESDAY WILL BE BREEZY AS THE WARMER TEMPERATURES ALLOW THE STRONGER
LOW LEVEL WINDS TO MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE.  AM STILL ANTICIPATING
THE SNOWFIELD TO HAVE ENOUGH OF A COOLING EFFECT TO LIMIT THE AMOUNT
OF MIXING.  HOWEVER IF THE SNOWFIELD DECREASES FASTER AND WARM AIR
ADVECTION BEHIND THE FRONT IS STRONGER...THE WINDS WILL BE HIGHER
THAN FORECAST.  CURRENTLY LOOKS LIKE WIND STRENGTH WILL BE SIMILAR
TO TODAY.

NEXT SUNDAY ALSO LOOKS TO BE BREEZY BEHIND A COLD FRONT WHICH WILL
ACCOMPANY THE SHORT WAVE AS THE TROUGH FLATTENS THE RIDGE AND MOVES
ONTO THE PLAINS.  CURRENTLY LOOKS LIKE THE FRONTAL PASSAGE SUNDAY
WILL BE DRY AS WELL.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 427 PM MST SUN FEB 7 2016

VFR CONDITIONS THRU FORECAST PERIOD WITH ONLY FEW-SCT HIGH CLOUDS
AFFECTING THE AREA. WINDS NW 20-30KTS THRU 06Z MONDAY...THEN
DROPPING DOWN TO 15-25KTS. WIND SHEAR FOR BOTH TAF SITES THRU 06Z
MONDAY...NNW AROUND 50KTS.


&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE...JN
SHORT TERM...FS
LONG TERM...JTL
AVIATION...JN





000
FXUS63 KGLD 072327
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
427 PM MST SUN FEB 7 2016

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 226 PM MST SUN FEB 7 2016

UPPER LEVEL FLOW WILL BE NORTHERLY TONIGHT AND MONDAY. SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS TONIGHT AND MONDAY.

SUBSIDENCE WILL PRODUCE DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE FA TONIGHT AND
MONDAY.  POPS WILL BE NIL DURING THIS TIME.

THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT SHOULD MAINTAIN BREEZY WINDS TONIGHT
WITH DECREASING SPEEDS MONDAY AS THE GRADIENT RELAXES.

MIN TEMPERATURES SHOULD COOL TO THE UPPER TEENS AND LOWER 20S
TONIGHT.  MAX TEMPERATURES SHOULD REACH THE MID AND UPPER 30S
MONDAY. SOME TEMPERATURES NEAR 40 COULD BE REALIZED OVER THE
SOUTHWESTERN FA.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 226 PM MST SUN FEB 7 2016

THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW CONTINUES TO REMAIN FROM THE NORTHWEST...WITH
LITTLE MOVEMENT FROM THE RIDGE OVER THE GREAT BASIN UNTIL THE END OF
THE WEEK. THE ONLY CHANGE HAS BEEN TO DELAY THE PASSAGE OF THE SHORT
WAVE TROUGH THIS COMING WEEKEND ONE MORE DAY.

TUESDAY A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA.  HIGH TEMPERATURES
THE REST OF THE WEEK WILL WARM ABOVE NORMAL.  DRY CONDITIONS WILL
ALSO PERSIST THROUGH THE PERIOD IN THE DRY LAMINAR NORTHWEST UPPER
LEVEL FLOW.

TUESDAY WILL BE BREEZY AS THE WARMER TEMPERATURES ALLOW THE STRONGER
LOW LEVEL WINDS TO MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE.  AM STILL ANTICIPATING
THE SNOWFIELD TO HAVE ENOUGH OF A COOLING EFFECT TO LIMIT THE AMOUNT
OF MIXING.  HOWEVER IF THE SNOWFIELD DECREASES FASTER AND WARM AIR
ADVECTION BEHIND THE FRONT IS STRONGER...THE WINDS WILL BE HIGHER
THAN FORECAST.  CURRENTLY LOOKS LIKE WIND STRENGTH WILL BE SIMILAR
TO TODAY.

NEXT SUNDAY ALSO LOOKS TO BE BREEZY BEHIND A COLD FRONT WHICH WILL
ACCOMPANY THE SHORT WAVE AS THE TROUGH FLATTENS THE RIDGE AND MOVES
ONTO THE PLAINS.  CURRENTLY LOOKS LIKE THE FRONTAL PASSAGE SUNDAY
WILL BE DRY AS WELL.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 427 PM MST SUN FEB 7 2016

VFR CONDITIONS THRU FORECAST PERIOD WITH ONLY FEW-SCT HIGH CLOUDS
AFFECTING THE AREA. WINDS NW 20-30KTS THRU 06Z MONDAY...THEN
DROPPING DOWN TO 15-25KTS. WIND SHEAR FOR BOTH TAF SITES THRU 06Z
MONDAY...NNW AROUND 50KTS.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...FS
LONG TERM...JTL
AVIATION...JN





000
FXUS63 KGLD 072327
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
427 PM MST SUN FEB 7 2016

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 226 PM MST SUN FEB 7 2016

UPPER LEVEL FLOW WILL BE NORTHERLY TONIGHT AND MONDAY. SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS TONIGHT AND MONDAY.

SUBSIDENCE WILL PRODUCE DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE FA TONIGHT AND
MONDAY.  POPS WILL BE NIL DURING THIS TIME.

THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT SHOULD MAINTAIN BREEZY WINDS TONIGHT
WITH DECREASING SPEEDS MONDAY AS THE GRADIENT RELAXES.

MIN TEMPERATURES SHOULD COOL TO THE UPPER TEENS AND LOWER 20S
TONIGHT.  MAX TEMPERATURES SHOULD REACH THE MID AND UPPER 30S
MONDAY. SOME TEMPERATURES NEAR 40 COULD BE REALIZED OVER THE
SOUTHWESTERN FA.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 226 PM MST SUN FEB 7 2016

THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW CONTINUES TO REMAIN FROM THE NORTHWEST...WITH
LITTLE MOVEMENT FROM THE RIDGE OVER THE GREAT BASIN UNTIL THE END OF
THE WEEK. THE ONLY CHANGE HAS BEEN TO DELAY THE PASSAGE OF THE SHORT
WAVE TROUGH THIS COMING WEEKEND ONE MORE DAY.

TUESDAY A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA.  HIGH TEMPERATURES
THE REST OF THE WEEK WILL WARM ABOVE NORMAL.  DRY CONDITIONS WILL
ALSO PERSIST THROUGH THE PERIOD IN THE DRY LAMINAR NORTHWEST UPPER
LEVEL FLOW.

TUESDAY WILL BE BREEZY AS THE WARMER TEMPERATURES ALLOW THE STRONGER
LOW LEVEL WINDS TO MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE.  AM STILL ANTICIPATING
THE SNOWFIELD TO HAVE ENOUGH OF A COOLING EFFECT TO LIMIT THE AMOUNT
OF MIXING.  HOWEVER IF THE SNOWFIELD DECREASES FASTER AND WARM AIR
ADVECTION BEHIND THE FRONT IS STRONGER...THE WINDS WILL BE HIGHER
THAN FORECAST.  CURRENTLY LOOKS LIKE WIND STRENGTH WILL BE SIMILAR
TO TODAY.

NEXT SUNDAY ALSO LOOKS TO BE BREEZY BEHIND A COLD FRONT WHICH WILL
ACCOMPANY THE SHORT WAVE AS THE TROUGH FLATTENS THE RIDGE AND MOVES
ONTO THE PLAINS.  CURRENTLY LOOKS LIKE THE FRONTAL PASSAGE SUNDAY
WILL BE DRY AS WELL.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 427 PM MST SUN FEB 7 2016

VFR CONDITIONS THRU FORECAST PERIOD WITH ONLY FEW-SCT HIGH CLOUDS
AFFECTING THE AREA. WINDS NW 20-30KTS THRU 06Z MONDAY...THEN
DROPPING DOWN TO 15-25KTS. WIND SHEAR FOR BOTH TAF SITES THRU 06Z
MONDAY...NNW AROUND 50KTS.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...FS
LONG TERM...JTL
AVIATION...JN




000
FXUS63 KGLD 072127
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
227 PM MST SUN FEB 7 2016

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 226 PM MST SUN FEB 7 2016

UPPER LEVEL FLOW WILL BE NORTHERLY TONIGHT AND MONDAY. SURFFACE HIGH
PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS TONIGHT AND MONDAY.

SUBSIDENCE WILL PRODUCE DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE FA TONIGHT AND
MONDAY.  POPS WILL BE NIL DURING THIS TIME.

THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT SHOULD MAINTAIN BREEZY WINDS TONIGHT
WITH DECREASING SPEEDS MONDAY AS THE GRADIENT RELAXES.

MIN TEMPERATURES SHOULD COOL TO THE UPPER TEENS AND LOWER 20S
TONIGHT.  MAX TEMPERATURES SHOULD REACH THE MID AND UPPER 30S
MONDAY. SOME TEMPERATURES NEAR 40 COULD BE REALIZED OVER THE
SOUTHWESTERN FA.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 226 PM MST SUN FEB 7 2016

THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW CONTINUES TO REMAIN FROM THE NORTHWEST...WITH
LITTLE MOVEMENT FROM THE RIDGE OVER THE GREAT BASIN UNTIL THE END OF
THE WEEK. THE ONLY CHANGE HAS BEEN TO DELAY THE PASSAGE OF THE SHORT
WAVE TROUGH THIS COMING WEEKEND ONE MORE DAY.

TUESDAY A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA.  HIGH TEMPERATURES
THE REST OF THE WEEK WILL WARM ABOVE NORMAL.  DRY CONDITIONS WILL
ALSO PERSIST THROUGH THE PERIOD IN THE DRY LAMINAR NORTHWEST UPPER
LEVEL FLOW.

TUESDAY WILL BE BREEZY AS THE WARMER TEMPERATURES ALLOW THE STRONGER
LOW LEVEL WINDS TO MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE.  AM STILL ANTICIPATING
THE SNOWFIELD TO HAVE ENOUGH OF A COOLING EFFECT TO LIMIT THE AMOUNT
OF MIXING.  HOWEVER IF THE SNOWFIELD DECREASES FASTER AND WARM AIR
ADVECTION BEHIND THE FRONT IS STRONGER...THE WINDS WILL BE HIGHER
THAN FORECAST.  CURRENTLY LOOKS LIKE WIND STRENGTH WILL BE SIMILAR
TO TODAY.

NEXT SUNDAY ALSO LOOKS TO BE BREEZY BEHIND A COLD FRONT WHICH WILL
ACCOMPANY THE SHORT WAVE AS THE TROUGH FLATTENS THE RIDGE AND MOVES
ONTO THE PLAINS.  CURRENTLY LOOKS LIKE THE FRONTAL PASSAGE SUNDAY
WILL BE DRY AS WELL.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1026 AM MST SUN FEB 7 2016

VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE AT KGLD AND KMCK FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS. GUSTY NORTH WIND WILL DEVELOP AND PERSIST THIS AFTERNOON
AND THIS EVENING IN RESPONSE TO A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS
THE REGION. THESE WINDS WILL DECREASE SOME THIS EVENING BUT REMAIN
BREEZY THROUGH THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD.


&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...FS
LONG TERM...JTL
AVIATION...FS





000
FXUS63 KGLD 071731
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1031 AM MST SUN FEB 7 2016

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 225 AM MST SUN FEB 7 2016

THE MAIN FORECAST CONCERNS IN THE SHORT TERM ARE THE WINDS TODAY
THROUGH MONDAY AND HOW THE TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO BE
AFFECTED BY THE REMAINING SNOW COVER.

WHILE THE MAIN UPPER LOW CENTER MOVES INTO THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES
REGION...THE NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT TRANSPORTS A SHORT WAVE TROUGH
EXTENDING SOUTHWARD FROM THE LOW ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS
REGION. AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES IN ALONG THE FRONT RANGE IN THE
WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT THAT MOVED THROUGH THE AREA OVERNIGHT...THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE TO THE WEST
AND THE LOW PRESSURE TO THE EAST INCREASES TODAY AND TONIGHT. AS
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT INCREASES...EXPECT WINDS SPEEDS...MAINLY
OVER THE EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON...TO
INCREASE TO BETWEEN 25 AND 35 MPH WITH GUSTS NEARING 50 MPH. THE
CONCERN WITH WINDS SPEEDS THAT HIGH OVER THE EXTENSIVE AREA OF
SNOW COVER IS THAT SOME SNOW MAY BE LIFTED AND BLOWN BY THE WINDS.
HOWEVER...GIVEN THE RECENT MELTING OVER THE LAST FEW DAYS...EXPECT
THAT THE SNOW IS CRUSTED OVER ENOUGH NOT TO BE AVAILABLE FOR
TRANSPORT BY THE WINDS. DO NOT EXPECT ANY DUST EITHER AS ANY OPEN
DIRT AREAS ARE WELL COVERED BY THE SNOW.

TEMPERATURES TODAY BEHIND THE COLD FRONT WILL BE ABOUT 5-10
DEGREES COOLER THAN YESTERDAY...BUT WILL INCREASE BACK INTO THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA BY TUESDAY AS THE
STRONG UPPER RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN UNITED STATES TRANSLATES EAST
SOMEWHAT AND THE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE PLAINS BECOMES
MORE EXTENSIVE AND BEGINS TO MODIFY UNDER THE UPPER RIDGE. STILL
EXPECT THE SNOW COVER TO AFFECT TEMPERATURES AND HAVE TRIED TO
REMAIN CLOSER TO THE LOWER END OF GUIDANCE FOR TEMPERATURES DURING
THE FIRST PART OF THE WORK WEEK.

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 138 AM MST SUN FEB 7 2016

FOR THIS EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD...THE PRIMARY TREND OBSERVED
SHOULD BE A WARMING TREND WITH PERSISTENT DRY WEATHER. A HIGHLY
AMPLIFIED PATTERN LIKELY REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS THE UNITED STATES
THROUGH SUNDAY. THIS PATTERN INCLUDES A MASSIVE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
SITUATED OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE COUNTRY AND A MASSIVE UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE CONTROLLING THE PATTERN TO THE WEST. THIS LEAVES THE TRI-
STATE REGION DIRECTLY IN BETWEEN SYSTEMS UNDER NORTHWEST FLOW.
GUIDANCE IS STRUGGLING WITH WHICH PRESSURE SYSTEM...THE LOW TO THE
EAST OR THE HIGH TO THE WEST...WILL BE THE KEY INFLUENCING FACTOR TO
OUR WEATHER. AS A RESULT...CONFIDENCE IS LOWERED FURTHER IN THE
EXTENDED FORECAST...ESPECIALLY FOR NEXT WEEKEND.

IF THE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE TO THE EAST WINS THE BATTLE...
ANTICIPATE SHORTWAVE TROUGHS PASSING THROUGH AND LIKELY BRINGING A
COLD FRONT OR TWO WITH IT. THIS MAY HAPPEN SATURDAY ACCORDING TO
SOME FORECAST GUIDANCE MEMBERS. HOWEVER...WITHOUT SIGNIFICANT
MOISTURE ADVECTION IN THE FORECAST...ANY FRONTS/DISTURBANCES THAT
PASS THROUGH WOULD NOT PRODUCE ANY SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION...IF
ANY PRECIPITATION OCCURS AT ALL.

IF THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE TO THE WEST WINS...WARM WEATHER SHOULD
DOMINATE THE ENTIRE PERIOD. THE SHORTWAVE TROUGHS AND ASSOCIATED
COLD FRONTS PASSING THROUGH THE NORTHWEST FLOW WILL REMAIN EAST. DRY
WEATHER IS LIKELY AND HOW WARM TEMPERATURES CLIMB DEPENDS ON ANY
REMAINING SNOW COVER...DAYTIME MIXING AND CLOUD COVER AMONG MANY
OTHER FACTORS. EITHER WAY...IF THE RIDGE DOMINATES OUR PATTERN...
EXPECT ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1026 AM MST SUN FEB 7 2016

VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE AT KGLD AND KMCK FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS. GUSTY NORTH WIND WILL DEVELOP AND PERSIST THIS AFTERNOON
AND THIS EVENING IN RESPONSE TO A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS
THE REGION. THESE WINDS WILL DECREASE SOME THIS EVENING BUT REMAIN
BREEZY THROUGH THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...LOCKHART
LONG TERM...RRH
AVIATION...FS





000
FXUS63 KGLD 071205
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
505 AM MST SUN FEB 7 2016

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 225 AM MST SUN FEB 7 2016

THE MAIN FORECAST CONCERNS IN THE SHORT TERM ARE THE WINDS TODAY
THROUGH MONDAY AND HOW THE TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO BE
AFFECTED BY THE REMAINING SNOW COVER.

WHILE THE MAIN UPPER LOW CENTER MOVES INTO THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES
REGION...THE NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT TRANSPORTS A SHORT WAVE TROUGH
EXTENDING SOUTHWARD FROM THE LOW ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS
REGION. AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES IN ALONG THE FRONT RANGE IN THE
WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT THAT MOVED THROUGH THE AREA OVERNIGHT...THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE TO THE WEST
AND THE LOW PRESSURE TO THE EAST INCREASES TODAY AND TONIGHT. AS
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT INCREASES...EXPECT WINDS SPEEDS...MAINLY
OVER THE EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON...TO
INCREASE TO BETWEEN 25 AND 35 MPH WITH GUSTS NEARING 50 MPH. THE
CONCERN WITH WINDS SPEEDS THAT HIGH OVER THE EXTENSIVE AREA OF
SNOW COVER IS THAT SOME SNOW MAY BE LIFTED AND BLOWN BY THE WINDS.
HOWEVER...GIVEN THE RECENT MELTING OVER THE LAST FEW DAYS...EXPECT
THAT THE SNOW IS CRUSTED OVER ENOUGH NOT TO BE AVAILABLE FOR
TRANSPORT BY THE WINDS. DO NOT EXPECT ANY DUST EITHER AS ANY OPEN
DIRT AREAS ARE WELL COVERED BY THE SNOW.

TEMPERATURES TODAY BEHIND THE COLD FRONT WILL BE ABOUT 5-10
DEGREES COOLER THAN YESTERDAY...BUT WILL INCREASE BACK INTO THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA BY TUESDAY AS THE
STRONG UPPER RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN UNITED STATES TRANSLATES EAST
SOMEWHAT AND THE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE PLAINS BECOMES
MORE EXTENSIVE AND BEGINS TO MODIFY UNDER THE UPPER RIDGE. STILL
EXPECT THE SNOW COVER TO AFFECT TEMPERATURES AND HAVE TRIED TO
REMAIN CLOSER TO THE LOWER END OF GUIDANCE FOR TEMPERATURES DURING
THE FIRST PART OF THE WORK WEEK.

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 138 AM MST SUN FEB 7 2016

FOR THIS EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD...THE PRIMARY TREND OBSERVED
SHOULD BE A WARMING TREND WITH PERSISTENT DRY WEATHER. A HIGHLY
AMPLIFIED PATTERN LIKELY REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS THE UNITED STATES
THROUGH SUNDAY. THIS PATTERN INCLUDES A MASSIVE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
SITUATED OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE COUNTRY AND A MASSIVE UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE CONTROLLING THE PATTERN TO THE WEST. THIS LEAVES THE TRI-
STATE REGION DIRECTLY IN BETWEEN SYSTEMS UNDER NORTHWEST FLOW.
GUIDANCE IS STRUGGLING WITH WHICH PRESSURE SYSTEM...THE LOW TO THE
EAST OR THE HIGH TO THE WEST...WILL BE THE KEY INFLUENCING FACTOR TO
OUR WEATHER. AS A RESULT...CONFIDENCE IS LOWERED FURTHER IN THE
EXTENDED FORECAST...ESPECIALLY FOR NEXT WEEKEND.

IF THE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE TO THE EAST WINS THE BATTLE...
ANTICIPATE SHORTWAVE TROUGHS PASSING THROUGH AND LIKELY BRINGING A
COLD FRONT OR TWO WITH IT. THIS MAY HAPPEN SATURDAY ACCORDING TO
SOME FORECAST GUIDANCE MEMBERS. HOWEVER...WITHOUT SIGNIFICANT
MOISTURE ADVECTION IN THE FORECAST...ANY FRONTS/DISTURBANCES THAT
PASS THROUGH WOULD NOT PRODUCE ANY SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION...IF
ANY PRECIPITATION OCCURS AT ALL.

IF THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE TO THE WEST WINS...WARM WEATHER SHOULD
DOMINATE THE ENTIRE PERIOD. THE SHORTWAVE TROUGHS AND ASSOCIATED
COLD FRONTS PASSING THROUGH THE NORTHWEST FLOW WILL REMAIN EAST. DRY
WEATHER IS LIKELY AND HOW WARM TEMPERATURES CLIMB DEPENDS ON ANY
REMAINING SNOW COVER...DAYTIME MIXING AND CLOUD COVER AMONG MANY
OTHER FACTORS. EITHER WAY...IF THE RIDGE DOMINATES OUR PATTERN...
EXPECT ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 349 AM MST SUN FEB 7 2016

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT MCK AND GLD THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.
NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE MORNING...BECOMING
STRONG AND GUSTY AFTER BY 16Z WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 25 TO 30KTS
AND GUSTS APPROACHING 40KTS. WINDS WILL DECREASE AT THE SURFACE
FOLLOWING SUNSET...HOWEVER...WINDS AT THE TOP OF THE NIGHTTIME
INVERSION LAYER ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEAR 50KTS THROUGH MOST OF
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. HAVE THEREFORE INCLUDED WIND SHEAR THROUGH
THE NIGHT AT BOTH LOCATIONS.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...LOCKHART
LONG TERM...RRH
AVIATION...LOCKHART




000
FXUS63 KGLD 071205
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
505 AM MST SUN FEB 7 2016

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 225 AM MST SUN FEB 7 2016

THE MAIN FORECAST CONCERNS IN THE SHORT TERM ARE THE WINDS TODAY
THROUGH MONDAY AND HOW THE TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO BE
AFFECTED BY THE REMAINING SNOW COVER.

WHILE THE MAIN UPPER LOW CENTER MOVES INTO THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES
REGION...THE NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT TRANSPORTS A SHORT WAVE TROUGH
EXTENDING SOUTHWARD FROM THE LOW ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS
REGION. AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES IN ALONG THE FRONT RANGE IN THE
WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT THAT MOVED THROUGH THE AREA OVERNIGHT...THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE TO THE WEST
AND THE LOW PRESSURE TO THE EAST INCREASES TODAY AND TONIGHT. AS
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT INCREASES...EXPECT WINDS SPEEDS...MAINLY
OVER THE EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON...TO
INCREASE TO BETWEEN 25 AND 35 MPH WITH GUSTS NEARING 50 MPH. THE
CONCERN WITH WINDS SPEEDS THAT HIGH OVER THE EXTENSIVE AREA OF
SNOW COVER IS THAT SOME SNOW MAY BE LIFTED AND BLOWN BY THE WINDS.
HOWEVER...GIVEN THE RECENT MELTING OVER THE LAST FEW DAYS...EXPECT
THAT THE SNOW IS CRUSTED OVER ENOUGH NOT TO BE AVAILABLE FOR
TRANSPORT BY THE WINDS. DO NOT EXPECT ANY DUST EITHER AS ANY OPEN
DIRT AREAS ARE WELL COVERED BY THE SNOW.

TEMPERATURES TODAY BEHIND THE COLD FRONT WILL BE ABOUT 5-10
DEGREES COOLER THAN YESTERDAY...BUT WILL INCREASE BACK INTO THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA BY TUESDAY AS THE
STRONG UPPER RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN UNITED STATES TRANSLATES EAST
SOMEWHAT AND THE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE PLAINS BECOMES
MORE EXTENSIVE AND BEGINS TO MODIFY UNDER THE UPPER RIDGE. STILL
EXPECT THE SNOW COVER TO AFFECT TEMPERATURES AND HAVE TRIED TO
REMAIN CLOSER TO THE LOWER END OF GUIDANCE FOR TEMPERATURES DURING
THE FIRST PART OF THE WORK WEEK.

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 138 AM MST SUN FEB 7 2016

FOR THIS EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD...THE PRIMARY TREND OBSERVED
SHOULD BE A WARMING TREND WITH PERSISTENT DRY WEATHER. A HIGHLY
AMPLIFIED PATTERN LIKELY REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS THE UNITED STATES
THROUGH SUNDAY. THIS PATTERN INCLUDES A MASSIVE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
SITUATED OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE COUNTRY AND A MASSIVE UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE CONTROLLING THE PATTERN TO THE WEST. THIS LEAVES THE TRI-
STATE REGION DIRECTLY IN BETWEEN SYSTEMS UNDER NORTHWEST FLOW.
GUIDANCE IS STRUGGLING WITH WHICH PRESSURE SYSTEM...THE LOW TO THE
EAST OR THE HIGH TO THE WEST...WILL BE THE KEY INFLUENCING FACTOR TO
OUR WEATHER. AS A RESULT...CONFIDENCE IS LOWERED FURTHER IN THE
EXTENDED FORECAST...ESPECIALLY FOR NEXT WEEKEND.

IF THE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE TO THE EAST WINS THE BATTLE...
ANTICIPATE SHORTWAVE TROUGHS PASSING THROUGH AND LIKELY BRINGING A
COLD FRONT OR TWO WITH IT. THIS MAY HAPPEN SATURDAY ACCORDING TO
SOME FORECAST GUIDANCE MEMBERS. HOWEVER...WITHOUT SIGNIFICANT
MOISTURE ADVECTION IN THE FORECAST...ANY FRONTS/DISTURBANCES THAT
PASS THROUGH WOULD NOT PRODUCE ANY SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION...IF
ANY PRECIPITATION OCCURS AT ALL.

IF THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE TO THE WEST WINS...WARM WEATHER SHOULD
DOMINATE THE ENTIRE PERIOD. THE SHORTWAVE TROUGHS AND ASSOCIATED
COLD FRONTS PASSING THROUGH THE NORTHWEST FLOW WILL REMAIN EAST. DRY
WEATHER IS LIKELY AND HOW WARM TEMPERATURES CLIMB DEPENDS ON ANY
REMAINING SNOW COVER...DAYTIME MIXING AND CLOUD COVER AMONG MANY
OTHER FACTORS. EITHER WAY...IF THE RIDGE DOMINATES OUR PATTERN...
EXPECT ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 349 AM MST SUN FEB 7 2016

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT MCK AND GLD THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.
NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE MORNING...BECOMING
STRONG AND GUSTY AFTER BY 16Z WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 25 TO 30KTS
AND GUSTS APPROACHING 40KTS. WINDS WILL DECREASE AT THE SURFACE
FOLLOWING SUNSET...HOWEVER...WINDS AT THE TOP OF THE NIGHTTIME
INVERSION LAYER ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEAR 50KTS THROUGH MOST OF
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. HAVE THEREFORE INCLUDED WIND SHEAR THROUGH
THE NIGHT AT BOTH LOCATIONS.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...LOCKHART
LONG TERM...RRH
AVIATION...LOCKHART





000
FXUS63 KGLD 071015
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
315 AM MST SUN FEB 7 2016

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 225 AM MST SUN FEB 7 2016

THE MAIN FORECAST CONCERNS IN THE SHORT TERM ARE THE WINDS TODAY
THROUGH MONDAY AND HOW THE TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO BE
AFFECTED BY THE REMAINING SNOW COVER.

WHILE THE MAIN UPPER LOW CENTER MOVES INTO THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES
REGION...THE NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT TRANSPORTS A SHORT WAVE TROUGH
EXTENDING SOUTHWARD FROM THE LOW ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS
REGION. AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES IN ALONG THE FRONT RANGE IN THE
WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT THAT MOVED THROUGH THE AREA OVERNIGHT...THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE TO THE WEST
AND THE LOW PRESSURE TO THE EAST INCREASES TODAY AND TONIGHT. AS
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT INCREASES...EXPECT WINDS SPEEDS...MAINLY
OVER THE EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON...TO
INCREASE TO BETWEEN 25 AND 35 MPH WITH GUSTS NEARING 50 MPH. THE
CONCERN WITH WINDS SPEEDS THAT HIGH OVER THE EXTENSIVE AREA OF
SNOW COVER IS THAT SOME SNOW MAY BE LIFTED AND BLOWN BY THE WINDS.
HOWEVER...GIVEN THE RECENT MELTING OVER THE LAST FEW DAYS...EXPECT
THAT THE SNOW IS CRUSTED OVER ENOUGH NOT TO BE AVAILABLE FOR
TRANSPORT BY THE WINDS. DO NOT EXPECT ANY DUST EITHER AS ANY OPEN
DIRT AREAS ARE WELL COVERED BY THE SNOW.

TEMPERATURES TODAY BEHIND THE COLD FRONT WILL BE ABOUT 5-10
DEGREES COOLER THAN YESTERDAY...BUT WILL INCREASE BACK INTO THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA BY TUESDAY AS THE
STRONG UPPER RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN UNITED STATES TRANSLATES EAST
SOMEWHAT AND THE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE PLAINS BECOMES
MORE EXTENSIVE AND BEGINS TO MODIFY UNDER THE UPPER RIDGE. STILL
EXPECT THE SNOW COVER TO AFFECT TEMPERATURES AND HAVE TRIED TO
REMAIN CLOSER TO THE LOWER END OF GUIDANCE FOR TEMPERATURES DURING
THE FIRST PART OF THE WORK WEEK.

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 138 AM MST SUN FEB 7 2016

FOR THIS EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD...THE PRIMARY TREND OBSERVED
SHOULD BE A WARMING TREND WITH PERSISTENT DRY WEATHER. A HIGHLY
AMPLIFIED PATTERN LIKELY REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS THE UNITED STATES
THROUGH SUNDAY. THIS PATTERN INCLUDES A MASSIVE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
SITUATED OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE COUNTRY AND A MASSIVE UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE CONTROLLING THE PATTERN TO THE WEST. THIS LEAVES THE TRI-
STATE REGION DIRECTLY IN BETWEEN SYSTEMS UNDER NORTHWEST FLOW.
GUIDANCE IS STRUGGLING WITH WHICH PRESSURE SYSTEM...THE LOW TO THE
EAST OR THE HIGH TO THE WEST...WILL BE THE KEY INFLUENCING FACTOR TO
OUR WEATHER. AS A RESULT...CONFIDENCE IS LOWERED FURTHER IN THE
EXTENDED FORECAST...ESPECIALLY FOR NEXT WEEKEND.

IF THE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE TO THE EAST WINS THE BATTLE...
ANTICIPATE SHORTWAVE TROUGHS PASSING THROUGH AND LIKELY BRINGING A
COLD FRONT OR TWO WITH IT. THIS MAY HAPPEN SATURDAY ACCORDING TO
SOME FORECAST GUIDANCE MEMBERS. HOWEVER...WITHOUT SIGNIFICANT
MOISTURE ADVECTION IN THE FORECAST...ANY FRONTS/DISTURBANCES THAT
PASS THROUGH WOULD NOT PRODUCE ANY SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION...IF
ANY PRECIPITATION OCCURS AT ALL.

IF THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE TO THE WEST WINS...WARM WEATHER SHOULD
DOMINATE THE ENTIRE PERIOD. THE SHORTWAVE TROUGHS AND ASSOCIATED
COLD FRONTS PASSING THROUGH THE NORTHWEST FLOW WILL REMAIN EAST. DRY
WEATHER IS LIKELY AND HOW WARM TEMPERATURES CLIMB DEPENDS ON ANY
REMAINING SNOW COVER...DAYTIME MIXING AND CLOUD COVER AMONG MANY
OTHER FACTORS. EITHER WAY...IF THE RIDGE DOMINATES OUR PATTERN...
EXPECT ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1051 PM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

VFR CONDITIONS FOR BOTH TAF SITES. WINDS BECOMING WNW 15-30KTS
WITH GUSTS NEAR 40 KTS AT TIMES. WIND SHEAR N AT 50KTS AFT 02Z
MONDAY.


&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...LOCKHART
LONG TERM...RRH
AVIATION...JN





000
FXUS63 KGLD 070838
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
138 AM MST SUN FEB 7 2016

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 822 PM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

HAVE ISSUED UPDATE TO INCREASE AREAL COVERAGE OF HIGH CLOUDS BASED
ON LATEST IR SATELLITE TREND. THE REST OF THE FORECAST REMAINS
INTACT AT THIS TIME...BUT MAY TWEAK TEMPS A BIT IF THE RATE OF
DECREASE IS SLOWED BY ADDITIONAL VEIL OF CLOUDS.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 101 PM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

NORTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS THROUGH SUNDAY.  A
SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION LATE TONIGHT FOLLOWED
BY HIGH PRESSURE SUNDAY.

A TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS TONIGHT AND SUNDAY
WITH SOME FORCING OVER THE FA SUNDAY MORNING.  HOWEVER LAYER MEAN
RH FROM 850 TO 500MB IS NOT SUPPORTIVE OF ANY SNOW REACHING THE
SURFACE.  CONSEQUENTLY...POPS WILL BE NIL TONIGHT AND SUNDAY DUE TO
DRY CONDITIONS.

WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS UP TO 40
MPH POSSIBLE MAINLY OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE FA.  WINDS
ARE NOT EXPECTED TO GO ABOVE HIGHLIGHT CRITERIA.

MIN TEMPERATURES TONIGHT SHOULD COOL TO THE UPPER TEENS IN EASTERN
COLORADO TO THE LOWER 20S ACROSS NORTHWEST KANSAS.  MAX TEMPERATURES
SUNDAY REACH THE MID AND UPPER 30S.

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 138 AM MST SUN FEB 7 2016

FOR THIS EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD...THE PRIMARY TREND OBSERVED
SHOULD BE A WARMING TREND WITH PERSISTENT DRY WEATHER. A HIGHLY
AMPLIFIED PATTERN LIKELY REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS THE UNITED STATES
THROUGH SUNDAY. THIS PATTERN INCLUDES A MASSIVE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
SITUATED OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE COUNTRY AND A MASSIVE UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE CONTROLLING THE PATTERN TO THE WEST. THIS LEAVES THE TRI-
STATE REGION DIRECTLY IN BETWEEN SYSTEMS UNDER NORTHWEST FLOW.
GUIDANCE IS STRUGGLING WITH WHICH PRESSURE SYSTEM...THE LOW TO THE
EAST OR THE HIGH TO THE WEST...WILL BE THE KEY INFLUENCING FACTOR TO
OUR WEATHER. AS A RESULT...CONFIDENCE IS LOWERED FURTHER IN THE
EXTENDED FORECAST...ESPECIALLY FOR NEXT WEEKEND.

IF THE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE TO THE EAST WINS THE BATTLE...
ANTICIPATE SHORTWAVE TROUGHS PASSING THROUGH AND LIKELY BRINGING A
COLD FRONT OR TWO WITH IT. THIS MAY HAPPEN SATURDAY ACCORDING TO
SOME FORECAST GUIDANCE MEMBERS. HOWEVER...WITHOUT SIGNIFICANT
MOISTURE ADVECTION IN THE FORECAST...ANY FRONTS/DISTURBANCES THAT
PASS THROUGH WOULD NOT PRODUCE ANY SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION...IF
ANY PRECIPITATION OCCURS AT ALL.

IF THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE TO THE WEST WINS...WARM WEATHER SHOULD
DOMINATE THE ENTIRE PERIOD. THE SHORTWAVE TROUGHS AND ASSOCIATED
COLD FRONTS PASSING THROUGH THE NORTHWEST FLOW WILL REMAIN EAST. DRY
WEATHER IS LIKELY AND HOW WARM TEMPERATURES CLIMB DEPENDS ON ANY
REMAINING SNOW COVER...DAYTIME MIXING AND CLOUD COVER AMONG MANY
OTHER FACTORS. EITHER WAY...IF THE RIDGE DOMINATES OUR PATTERN...
EXPECT ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1051 PM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

VFR CONDITIONS FOR BOTH TAF SITES. WINDS BECOMING WNW 15-30KTS
WITH GUSTS NEAR 40 KTS AT TIMES. WIND SHEAR N AT 50KTS AFT 02Z
MONDAY.


&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE...JN
SHORT TERM...FS
LONG TERM...RRH
AVIATION...JN





000
FXUS63 KGLD 070838
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
138 AM MST SUN FEB 7 2016

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 822 PM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

HAVE ISSUED UPDATE TO INCREASE AREAL COVERAGE OF HIGH CLOUDS BASED
ON LATEST IR SATELLITE TREND. THE REST OF THE FORECAST REMAINS
INTACT AT THIS TIME...BUT MAY TWEAK TEMPS A BIT IF THE RATE OF
DECREASE IS SLOWED BY ADDITIONAL VEIL OF CLOUDS.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 101 PM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

NORTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS THROUGH SUNDAY.  A
SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION LATE TONIGHT FOLLOWED
BY HIGH PRESSURE SUNDAY.

A TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS TONIGHT AND SUNDAY
WITH SOME FORCING OVER THE FA SUNDAY MORNING.  HOWEVER LAYER MEAN
RH FROM 850 TO 500MB IS NOT SUPPORTIVE OF ANY SNOW REACHING THE
SURFACE.  CONSEQUENTLY...POPS WILL BE NIL TONIGHT AND SUNDAY DUE TO
DRY CONDITIONS.

WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS UP TO 40
MPH POSSIBLE MAINLY OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE FA.  WINDS
ARE NOT EXPECTED TO GO ABOVE HIGHLIGHT CRITERIA.

MIN TEMPERATURES TONIGHT SHOULD COOL TO THE UPPER TEENS IN EASTERN
COLORADO TO THE LOWER 20S ACROSS NORTHWEST KANSAS.  MAX TEMPERATURES
SUNDAY REACH THE MID AND UPPER 30S.

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 138 AM MST SUN FEB 7 2016

FOR THIS EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD...THE PRIMARY TREND OBSERVED
SHOULD BE A WARMING TREND WITH PERSISTENT DRY WEATHER. A HIGHLY
AMPLIFIED PATTERN LIKELY REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS THE UNITED STATES
THROUGH SUNDAY. THIS PATTERN INCLUDES A MASSIVE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
SITUATED OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE COUNTRY AND A MASSIVE UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE CONTROLLING THE PATTERN TO THE WEST. THIS LEAVES THE TRI-
STATE REGION DIRECTLY IN BETWEEN SYSTEMS UNDER NORTHWEST FLOW.
GUIDANCE IS STRUGGLING WITH WHICH PRESSURE SYSTEM...THE LOW TO THE
EAST OR THE HIGH TO THE WEST...WILL BE THE KEY INFLUENCING FACTOR TO
OUR WEATHER. AS A RESULT...CONFIDENCE IS LOWERED FURTHER IN THE
EXTENDED FORECAST...ESPECIALLY FOR NEXT WEEKEND.

IF THE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE TO THE EAST WINS THE BATTLE...
ANTICIPATE SHORTWAVE TROUGHS PASSING THROUGH AND LIKELY BRINGING A
COLD FRONT OR TWO WITH IT. THIS MAY HAPPEN SATURDAY ACCORDING TO
SOME FORECAST GUIDANCE MEMBERS. HOWEVER...WITHOUT SIGNIFICANT
MOISTURE ADVECTION IN THE FORECAST...ANY FRONTS/DISTURBANCES THAT
PASS THROUGH WOULD NOT PRODUCE ANY SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION...IF
ANY PRECIPITATION OCCURS AT ALL.

IF THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE TO THE WEST WINS...WARM WEATHER SHOULD
DOMINATE THE ENTIRE PERIOD. THE SHORTWAVE TROUGHS AND ASSOCIATED
COLD FRONTS PASSING THROUGH THE NORTHWEST FLOW WILL REMAIN EAST. DRY
WEATHER IS LIKELY AND HOW WARM TEMPERATURES CLIMB DEPENDS ON ANY
REMAINING SNOW COVER...DAYTIME MIXING AND CLOUD COVER AMONG MANY
OTHER FACTORS. EITHER WAY...IF THE RIDGE DOMINATES OUR PATTERN...
EXPECT ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1051 PM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

VFR CONDITIONS FOR BOTH TAF SITES. WINDS BECOMING WNW 15-30KTS
WITH GUSTS NEAR 40 KTS AT TIMES. WIND SHEAR N AT 50KTS AFT 02Z
MONDAY.


&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE...JN
SHORT TERM...FS
LONG TERM...RRH
AVIATION...JN





000
FXUS63 KGLD 070838
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
138 AM MST SUN FEB 7 2016

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 822 PM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

HAVE ISSUED UPDATE TO INCREASE AREAL COVERAGE OF HIGH CLOUDS BASED
ON LATEST IR SATELLITE TREND. THE REST OF THE FORECAST REMAINS
INTACT AT THIS TIME...BUT MAY TWEAK TEMPS A BIT IF THE RATE OF
DECREASE IS SLOWED BY ADDITIONAL VEIL OF CLOUDS.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 101 PM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

NORTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS THROUGH SUNDAY.  A
SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION LATE TONIGHT FOLLOWED
BY HIGH PRESSURE SUNDAY.

A TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS TONIGHT AND SUNDAY
WITH SOME FORCING OVER THE FA SUNDAY MORNING.  HOWEVER LAYER MEAN
RH FROM 850 TO 500MB IS NOT SUPPORTIVE OF ANY SNOW REACHING THE
SURFACE.  CONSEQUENTLY...POPS WILL BE NIL TONIGHT AND SUNDAY DUE TO
DRY CONDITIONS.

WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS UP TO 40
MPH POSSIBLE MAINLY OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE FA.  WINDS
ARE NOT EXPECTED TO GO ABOVE HIGHLIGHT CRITERIA.

MIN TEMPERATURES TONIGHT SHOULD COOL TO THE UPPER TEENS IN EASTERN
COLORADO TO THE LOWER 20S ACROSS NORTHWEST KANSAS.  MAX TEMPERATURES
SUNDAY REACH THE MID AND UPPER 30S.

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 138 AM MST SUN FEB 7 2016

FOR THIS EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD...THE PRIMARY TREND OBSERVED
SHOULD BE A WARMING TREND WITH PERSISTENT DRY WEATHER. A HIGHLY
AMPLIFIED PATTERN LIKELY REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS THE UNITED STATES
THROUGH SUNDAY. THIS PATTERN INCLUDES A MASSIVE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
SITUATED OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE COUNTRY AND A MASSIVE UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE CONTROLLING THE PATTERN TO THE WEST. THIS LEAVES THE TRI-
STATE REGION DIRECTLY IN BETWEEN SYSTEMS UNDER NORTHWEST FLOW.
GUIDANCE IS STRUGGLING WITH WHICH PRESSURE SYSTEM...THE LOW TO THE
EAST OR THE HIGH TO THE WEST...WILL BE THE KEY INFLUENCING FACTOR TO
OUR WEATHER. AS A RESULT...CONFIDENCE IS LOWERED FURTHER IN THE
EXTENDED FORECAST...ESPECIALLY FOR NEXT WEEKEND.

IF THE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE TO THE EAST WINS THE BATTLE...
ANTICIPATE SHORTWAVE TROUGHS PASSING THROUGH AND LIKELY BRINGING A
COLD FRONT OR TWO WITH IT. THIS MAY HAPPEN SATURDAY ACCORDING TO
SOME FORECAST GUIDANCE MEMBERS. HOWEVER...WITHOUT SIGNIFICANT
MOISTURE ADVECTION IN THE FORECAST...ANY FRONTS/DISTURBANCES THAT
PASS THROUGH WOULD NOT PRODUCE ANY SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION...IF
ANY PRECIPITATION OCCURS AT ALL.

IF THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE TO THE WEST WINS...WARM WEATHER SHOULD
DOMINATE THE ENTIRE PERIOD. THE SHORTWAVE TROUGHS AND ASSOCIATED
COLD FRONTS PASSING THROUGH THE NORTHWEST FLOW WILL REMAIN EAST. DRY
WEATHER IS LIKELY AND HOW WARM TEMPERATURES CLIMB DEPENDS ON ANY
REMAINING SNOW COVER...DAYTIME MIXING AND CLOUD COVER AMONG MANY
OTHER FACTORS. EITHER WAY...IF THE RIDGE DOMINATES OUR PATTERN...
EXPECT ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1051 PM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

VFR CONDITIONS FOR BOTH TAF SITES. WINDS BECOMING WNW 15-30KTS
WITH GUSTS NEAR 40 KTS AT TIMES. WIND SHEAR N AT 50KTS AFT 02Z
MONDAY.


&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE...JN
SHORT TERM...FS
LONG TERM...RRH
AVIATION...JN




000
FXUS63 KGLD 070551
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1051 PM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 822 PM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

HAVE ISSUED UPDATE TO INCREASE AREAL COVERAGE OF HIGH CLOUDS BASED
ON LATEST IR SATELLITE TREND. THE REST OF THE FORECAST REMAINS
INTACT AT THIS TIME...BUT MAY TWEAK TEMPS A BIT IF THE RATE OF
DECREASE IS SLOWED BY ADDITIONAL VEIL OF CLOUDS.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 101 PM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

NORTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS THROUGH SUNDAY.  A
SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION LATE TONIGHT FOLLOWED
BY HIGH PRESSURE SUNDAY.

A TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS TONIGHT AND SUNDAY
WITH SOME FORCING OVER THE FA SUNDAY MORNING.  HOWEVER LAYER MEAN
RH FROM 850 TO 500MB IS NOT SUPPORTIVE OF ANY SNOW REACHING THE
SURFACE.  CONSEQUENTLY...POPS WILL BE NIL TONIGHT AND SUNDAY DUE TO
DRY CONDITIONS.

WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS UP TO 40
MPH POSSIBLE MAINLY OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE FA.  WINDS
ARE NOT EXPECTED TO GO ABOVE HIGHLIGHT CRITERIA.

MIN TEMPERATURES TONIGHT SHOULD COOL TO THE UPPER TEENS IN EASTERN
COLORADO TO THE LOWER 20S ACROSS NORTHWEST KANSAS.  MAX TEMPERATURES
SUNDAY REACH THE MID AND UPPER 30S.

.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 101 PM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

THERE WILL BE VERY LITTLE CHANGE IN THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW THROUGH
FRIDAY. DRY NORTHWEST FLOW WILL PERSIST AS THE RIDGE REMAINS
NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE GREAT BASIN. THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW
PATTERN CHANGES SATURDAY AS SHORT WAVE TROUGH FLATTENS THE RIDGE
AS THE TROUGH MOVES TOWARD THE PLAINS.

SUNDAY NIGHT BREEZY WINDS WILL CONTINUE AS A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT
REMAINS OVER THE NORTHEAST HALF OF THE AREA.  LOWS WILL BE SIMILAR
TO TONIGHT DESPITE THE DRIER AIR THANKS TO THE BREEZY WINDS.

MONDAY THE TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT PERSISTS.  WINDS WILL INCREASE A
BIT MORE IN THE AFTERNOON AS THE WARMING TEMPERATURES ALLOW SLIGHTLY
STRONGER WINDS TO MIX TO THE GROUND.  HOWEVER THE COOLING EFFECT OF
THE SNOWFIELD WILL GREATLY LIMIT THE AMOUNT OF MIXING AND THUS THE
WIND STRENGTH DURING THE DAY.  WITH A COOLER AIR MASS REMAINING OVER
THE EAST HALF OF THE AREA EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO BE A FEW DEGREES
COOLER THAN THE LAST COUPLE OF DAYS...WITH WARMER VALUES TO THE
WEST IN THE WARMER AIR.

MONDAY NIGHT THE NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT.  THE CLEAR SKIES
WILL ALLOW FOR GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING...ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO
FALL INTO THE LOW/MID 20S.

TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY WILL CONTINUE TO BE DRY AS DRY LAMINAR
NORTHWEST UPPER LEVEL FLOW CONTINUES OVER THE AREA.  A WARM FRONT
WILL MOVE THROUGH TUESDAY...WARMING TEMPERATURES 10 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL THROUGH THE REST OF THE FORECAST.  THERE IS STILL SOME
QUESTION AS TO HOW QUICKLY TEMPERATURES WILL WARM BEHIND THE FRONT
DUE TO THE SNOWFIELD.  HOWEVER BASED ON THE TEMPERATURE TREND THE
LAST FEW DAYS...AM EXPECTING ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES JUST NOT SURE
HOW FAR ABOVE NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1051 PM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

VFR CONDITIONS FOR BOTH TAF SITES. WINDS BECOMING WMW 15-30KTS
WITH GUSTS NEAR 40 KTS AT TIMES. WIND SHEAR N AT 50KTS AFT 02Z
MONDAY.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE...JN
SHORT TERM...FS
LONG TERM...JTL
AVIATION...JN





000
FXUS63 KGLD 070551
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1051 PM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 822 PM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

HAVE ISSUED UPDATE TO INCREASE AREAL COVERAGE OF HIGH CLOUDS BASED
ON LATEST IR SATELLITE TREND. THE REST OF THE FORECAST REMAINS
INTACT AT THIS TIME...BUT MAY TWEAK TEMPS A BIT IF THE RATE OF
DECREASE IS SLOWED BY ADDITIONAL VEIL OF CLOUDS.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 101 PM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

NORTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS THROUGH SUNDAY.  A
SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION LATE TONIGHT FOLLOWED
BY HIGH PRESSURE SUNDAY.

A TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS TONIGHT AND SUNDAY
WITH SOME FORCING OVER THE FA SUNDAY MORNING.  HOWEVER LAYER MEAN
RH FROM 850 TO 500MB IS NOT SUPPORTIVE OF ANY SNOW REACHING THE
SURFACE.  CONSEQUENTLY...POPS WILL BE NIL TONIGHT AND SUNDAY DUE TO
DRY CONDITIONS.

WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS UP TO 40
MPH POSSIBLE MAINLY OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE FA.  WINDS
ARE NOT EXPECTED TO GO ABOVE HIGHLIGHT CRITERIA.

MIN TEMPERATURES TONIGHT SHOULD COOL TO THE UPPER TEENS IN EASTERN
COLORADO TO THE LOWER 20S ACROSS NORTHWEST KANSAS.  MAX TEMPERATURES
SUNDAY REACH THE MID AND UPPER 30S.

.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 101 PM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

THERE WILL BE VERY LITTLE CHANGE IN THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW THROUGH
FRIDAY. DRY NORTHWEST FLOW WILL PERSIST AS THE RIDGE REMAINS
NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE GREAT BASIN. THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW
PATTERN CHANGES SATURDAY AS SHORT WAVE TROUGH FLATTENS THE RIDGE
AS THE TROUGH MOVES TOWARD THE PLAINS.

SUNDAY NIGHT BREEZY WINDS WILL CONTINUE AS A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT
REMAINS OVER THE NORTHEAST HALF OF THE AREA.  LOWS WILL BE SIMILAR
TO TONIGHT DESPITE THE DRIER AIR THANKS TO THE BREEZY WINDS.

MONDAY THE TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT PERSISTS.  WINDS WILL INCREASE A
BIT MORE IN THE AFTERNOON AS THE WARMING TEMPERATURES ALLOW SLIGHTLY
STRONGER WINDS TO MIX TO THE GROUND.  HOWEVER THE COOLING EFFECT OF
THE SNOWFIELD WILL GREATLY LIMIT THE AMOUNT OF MIXING AND THUS THE
WIND STRENGTH DURING THE DAY.  WITH A COOLER AIR MASS REMAINING OVER
THE EAST HALF OF THE AREA EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO BE A FEW DEGREES
COOLER THAN THE LAST COUPLE OF DAYS...WITH WARMER VALUES TO THE
WEST IN THE WARMER AIR.

MONDAY NIGHT THE NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT.  THE CLEAR SKIES
WILL ALLOW FOR GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING...ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO
FALL INTO THE LOW/MID 20S.

TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY WILL CONTINUE TO BE DRY AS DRY LAMINAR
NORTHWEST UPPER LEVEL FLOW CONTINUES OVER THE AREA.  A WARM FRONT
WILL MOVE THROUGH TUESDAY...WARMING TEMPERATURES 10 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL THROUGH THE REST OF THE FORECAST.  THERE IS STILL SOME
QUESTION AS TO HOW QUICKLY TEMPERATURES WILL WARM BEHIND THE FRONT
DUE TO THE SNOWFIELD.  HOWEVER BASED ON THE TEMPERATURE TREND THE
LAST FEW DAYS...AM EXPECTING ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES JUST NOT SURE
HOW FAR ABOVE NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1051 PM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

VFR CONDITIONS FOR BOTH TAF SITES. WINDS BECOMING WMW 15-30KTS
WITH GUSTS NEAR 40 KTS AT TIMES. WIND SHEAR N AT 50KTS AFT 02Z
MONDAY.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE...JN
SHORT TERM...FS
LONG TERM...JTL
AVIATION...JN





000
FXUS63 KGLD 070551
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1051 PM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 822 PM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

HAVE ISSUED UPDATE TO INCREASE AREAL COVERAGE OF HIGH CLOUDS BASED
ON LATEST IR SATELLITE TREND. THE REST OF THE FORECAST REMAINS
INTACT AT THIS TIME...BUT MAY TWEAK TEMPS A BIT IF THE RATE OF
DECREASE IS SLOWED BY ADDITIONAL VEIL OF CLOUDS.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 101 PM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

NORTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS THROUGH SUNDAY.  A
SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION LATE TONIGHT FOLLOWED
BY HIGH PRESSURE SUNDAY.

A TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS TONIGHT AND SUNDAY
WITH SOME FORCING OVER THE FA SUNDAY MORNING.  HOWEVER LAYER MEAN
RH FROM 850 TO 500MB IS NOT SUPPORTIVE OF ANY SNOW REACHING THE
SURFACE.  CONSEQUENTLY...POPS WILL BE NIL TONIGHT AND SUNDAY DUE TO
DRY CONDITIONS.

WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS UP TO 40
MPH POSSIBLE MAINLY OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE FA.  WINDS
ARE NOT EXPECTED TO GO ABOVE HIGHLIGHT CRITERIA.

MIN TEMPERATURES TONIGHT SHOULD COOL TO THE UPPER TEENS IN EASTERN
COLORADO TO THE LOWER 20S ACROSS NORTHWEST KANSAS.  MAX TEMPERATURES
SUNDAY REACH THE MID AND UPPER 30S.

.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 101 PM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

THERE WILL BE VERY LITTLE CHANGE IN THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW THROUGH
FRIDAY. DRY NORTHWEST FLOW WILL PERSIST AS THE RIDGE REMAINS
NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE GREAT BASIN. THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW
PATTERN CHANGES SATURDAY AS SHORT WAVE TROUGH FLATTENS THE RIDGE
AS THE TROUGH MOVES TOWARD THE PLAINS.

SUNDAY NIGHT BREEZY WINDS WILL CONTINUE AS A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT
REMAINS OVER THE NORTHEAST HALF OF THE AREA.  LOWS WILL BE SIMILAR
TO TONIGHT DESPITE THE DRIER AIR THANKS TO THE BREEZY WINDS.

MONDAY THE TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT PERSISTS.  WINDS WILL INCREASE A
BIT MORE IN THE AFTERNOON AS THE WARMING TEMPERATURES ALLOW SLIGHTLY
STRONGER WINDS TO MIX TO THE GROUND.  HOWEVER THE COOLING EFFECT OF
THE SNOWFIELD WILL GREATLY LIMIT THE AMOUNT OF MIXING AND THUS THE
WIND STRENGTH DURING THE DAY.  WITH A COOLER AIR MASS REMAINING OVER
THE EAST HALF OF THE AREA EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO BE A FEW DEGREES
COOLER THAN THE LAST COUPLE OF DAYS...WITH WARMER VALUES TO THE
WEST IN THE WARMER AIR.

MONDAY NIGHT THE NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT.  THE CLEAR SKIES
WILL ALLOW FOR GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING...ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO
FALL INTO THE LOW/MID 20S.

TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY WILL CONTINUE TO BE DRY AS DRY LAMINAR
NORTHWEST UPPER LEVEL FLOW CONTINUES OVER THE AREA.  A WARM FRONT
WILL MOVE THROUGH TUESDAY...WARMING TEMPERATURES 10 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL THROUGH THE REST OF THE FORECAST.  THERE IS STILL SOME
QUESTION AS TO HOW QUICKLY TEMPERATURES WILL WARM BEHIND THE FRONT
DUE TO THE SNOWFIELD.  HOWEVER BASED ON THE TEMPERATURE TREND THE
LAST FEW DAYS...AM EXPECTING ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES JUST NOT SURE
HOW FAR ABOVE NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1051 PM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

VFR CONDITIONS FOR BOTH TAF SITES. WINDS BECOMING WMW 15-30KTS
WITH GUSTS NEAR 40 KTS AT TIMES. WIND SHEAR N AT 50KTS AFT 02Z
MONDAY.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE...JN
SHORT TERM...FS
LONG TERM...JTL
AVIATION...JN




000
FXUS63 KGLD 070322
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
822 PM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 822 PM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

HAVE ISSUED UPDATE TO INCREASE AREAL COVERAGE OF HIGH CLOUDS BASED
ON LATEST IR SATELLITE TREND. THE REST OF THE FORECAST REMAINS
INTACT AT THIS TIME...BUT MAY TWEAK TEMPS A BIT IF THE RATE OF
DECREASE IS SLOWED BY ADDITIONAL VEIL OF CLOUDS.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 101 PM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

NORTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS THROUGH SUNDAY.  A
SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION LATE TONIGHT FOLLOWED
BY HIGH PRESSURE SUNDAY.

A TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS TONIGHT AND SUNDAY
WITH SOME FORCING OVER THE FA SUNDAY MORNING.  HOWEVER LAYER MEAN
RH FROM 850 TO 500MB IS NOT SUPPORTIVE OF ANY SNOW REACHING THE
SURFACE.  CONSEQUENTLY...POPS WILL BE NIL TONIGHT AND SUNDAY DUE TO
DRY CONDITIONS.

WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS UP TO 40
MPH POSSIBLE MAINLY OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE FA.  WINDS
ARE NOT EXPECTED TO GO ABOVE HIGHLIGHT CRITERIA.

MIN TEMPERATURES TONIGHT SHOULD COOL TO THE UPPER TEENS IN EASTERN
COLORADO TO THE LOWER 20S ACROSS NORTHWEST KANSAS.  MAX TEMPERATURES
SUNDAY REACH THE MID AND UPPER 30S.

.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 101 PM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

THERE WILL BE VERY LITTLE CHANGE IN THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW THROUGH
FRIDAY. DRY NORTHWEST FLOW WILL PERSIST AS THE RIDGE REMAINS
NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE GREAT BASIN. THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW
PATTERN CHANGES SATURDAY AS SHORT WAVE TROUGH FLATTENS THE RIDGE
AS THE TROUGH MOVES TOWARD THE PLAINS.

SUNDAY NIGHT BREEZY WINDS WILL CONTINUE AS A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT
REMAINS OVER THE NORTHEAST HALF OF THE AREA.  LOWS WILL BE SIMILAR
TO TONIGHT DESPITE THE DRIER AIR THANKS TO THE BREEZY WINDS.

MONDAY THE TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT PERSISTS.  WINDS WILL INCREASE A
BIT MORE IN THE AFTERNOON AS THE WARMING TEMPERATURES ALLOW SLIGHTLY
STRONGER WINDS TO MIX TO THE GROUND.  HOWEVER THE COOLING EFFECT OF
THE SNOWFIELD WILL GREATLY LIMIT THE AMOUNT OF MIXING AND THUS THE
WIND STRENGTH DURING THE DAY.  WITH A COOLER AIR MASS REMAINING OVER
THE EAST HALF OF THE AREA EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO BE A FEW DEGREES
COOLER THAN THE LAST COUPLE OF DAYS...WITH WARMER VALUES TO THE
WEST IN THE WARMER AIR.

MONDAY NIGHT THE NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT.  THE CLEAR SKIES
WILL ALLOW FOR GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING...ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO
FALL INTO THE LOW/MID 20S.

TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY WILL CONTINUE TO BE DRY AS DRY LAMINAR
NORTHWEST UPPER LEVEL FLOW CONTINUES OVER THE AREA.  A WARM FRONT
WILL MOVE THROUGH TUESDAY...WARMING TEMPERATURES 10 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL THROUGH THE REST OF THE FORECAST.  THERE IS STILL SOME
QUESTION AS TO HOW QUICKLY TEMPERATURES WILL WARM BEHIND THE FRONT
DUE TO THE SNOWFIELD.  HOWEVER BASED ON THE TEMPERATURE TREND THE
LAST FEW DAYS...AM EXPECTING ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES JUST NOT SURE
HOW FAR ABOVE NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 436 PM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

VFR CONDITIONS FOR BOTH TAF SITES...WITH SCATTERED HIGH CLOUDS
THRU THE FORECAST PERIOD. WITH THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT
OVERNIGHT...WINDS WILL SHIFT FROM WSW AROUND 10KTS TO WNW BY 05Z
SUNDAY. BY 09Z SUNDAY...WINDS SHIFT AGAIN TO NNW 15-30KTS...
STRONGEST AFT 17Z SUNDAY. LLWS 05Z-09Z FOR BOTH SITES NW 35KTS.


&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE...JN
SHORT TERM...FS
LONG TERM...JTL
AVIATION...JN





000
FXUS63 KGLD 070322
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
822 PM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 822 PM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

HAVE ISSUED UPDATE TO INCREASE AREAL COVERAGE OF HIGH CLOUDS BASED
ON LATEST IR SATELLITE TREND. THE REST OF THE FORECAST REMAINS
INTACT AT THIS TIME...BUT MAY TWEAK TEMPS A BIT IF THE RATE OF
DECREASE IS SLOWED BY ADDITIONAL VEIL OF CLOUDS.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 101 PM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

NORTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS THROUGH SUNDAY.  A
SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION LATE TONIGHT FOLLOWED
BY HIGH PRESSURE SUNDAY.

A TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS TONIGHT AND SUNDAY
WITH SOME FORCING OVER THE FA SUNDAY MORNING.  HOWEVER LAYER MEAN
RH FROM 850 TO 500MB IS NOT SUPPORTIVE OF ANY SNOW REACHING THE
SURFACE.  CONSEQUENTLY...POPS WILL BE NIL TONIGHT AND SUNDAY DUE TO
DRY CONDITIONS.

WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS UP TO 40
MPH POSSIBLE MAINLY OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE FA.  WINDS
ARE NOT EXPECTED TO GO ABOVE HIGHLIGHT CRITERIA.

MIN TEMPERATURES TONIGHT SHOULD COOL TO THE UPPER TEENS IN EASTERN
COLORADO TO THE LOWER 20S ACROSS NORTHWEST KANSAS.  MAX TEMPERATURES
SUNDAY REACH THE MID AND UPPER 30S.

.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 101 PM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

THERE WILL BE VERY LITTLE CHANGE IN THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW THROUGH
FRIDAY. DRY NORTHWEST FLOW WILL PERSIST AS THE RIDGE REMAINS
NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE GREAT BASIN. THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW
PATTERN CHANGES SATURDAY AS SHORT WAVE TROUGH FLATTENS THE RIDGE
AS THE TROUGH MOVES TOWARD THE PLAINS.

SUNDAY NIGHT BREEZY WINDS WILL CONTINUE AS A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT
REMAINS OVER THE NORTHEAST HALF OF THE AREA.  LOWS WILL BE SIMILAR
TO TONIGHT DESPITE THE DRIER AIR THANKS TO THE BREEZY WINDS.

MONDAY THE TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT PERSISTS.  WINDS WILL INCREASE A
BIT MORE IN THE AFTERNOON AS THE WARMING TEMPERATURES ALLOW SLIGHTLY
STRONGER WINDS TO MIX TO THE GROUND.  HOWEVER THE COOLING EFFECT OF
THE SNOWFIELD WILL GREATLY LIMIT THE AMOUNT OF MIXING AND THUS THE
WIND STRENGTH DURING THE DAY.  WITH A COOLER AIR MASS REMAINING OVER
THE EAST HALF OF THE AREA EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO BE A FEW DEGREES
COOLER THAN THE LAST COUPLE OF DAYS...WITH WARMER VALUES TO THE
WEST IN THE WARMER AIR.

MONDAY NIGHT THE NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT.  THE CLEAR SKIES
WILL ALLOW FOR GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING...ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO
FALL INTO THE LOW/MID 20S.

TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY WILL CONTINUE TO BE DRY AS DRY LAMINAR
NORTHWEST UPPER LEVEL FLOW CONTINUES OVER THE AREA.  A WARM FRONT
WILL MOVE THROUGH TUESDAY...WARMING TEMPERATURES 10 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL THROUGH THE REST OF THE FORECAST.  THERE IS STILL SOME
QUESTION AS TO HOW QUICKLY TEMPERATURES WILL WARM BEHIND THE FRONT
DUE TO THE SNOWFIELD.  HOWEVER BASED ON THE TEMPERATURE TREND THE
LAST FEW DAYS...AM EXPECTING ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES JUST NOT SURE
HOW FAR ABOVE NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 436 PM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

VFR CONDITIONS FOR BOTH TAF SITES...WITH SCATTERED HIGH CLOUDS
THRU THE FORECAST PERIOD. WITH THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT
OVERNIGHT...WINDS WILL SHIFT FROM WSW AROUND 10KTS TO WNW BY 05Z
SUNDAY. BY 09Z SUNDAY...WINDS SHIFT AGAIN TO NNW 15-30KTS...
STRONGEST AFT 17Z SUNDAY. LLWS 05Z-09Z FOR BOTH SITES NW 35KTS.


&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE...JN
SHORT TERM...FS
LONG TERM...JTL
AVIATION...JN




000
FXUS63 KGLD 070322
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
822 PM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 822 PM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

HAVE ISSUED UPDATE TO INCREASE AREAL COVERAGE OF HIGH CLOUDS BASED
ON LATEST IR SATELLITE TREND. THE REST OF THE FORECAST REMAINS
INTACT AT THIS TIME...BUT MAY TWEAK TEMPS A BIT IF THE RATE OF
DECREASE IS SLOWED BY ADDITIONAL VEIL OF CLOUDS.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 101 PM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

NORTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS THROUGH SUNDAY.  A
SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION LATE TONIGHT FOLLOWED
BY HIGH PRESSURE SUNDAY.

A TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS TONIGHT AND SUNDAY
WITH SOME FORCING OVER THE FA SUNDAY MORNING.  HOWEVER LAYER MEAN
RH FROM 850 TO 500MB IS NOT SUPPORTIVE OF ANY SNOW REACHING THE
SURFACE.  CONSEQUENTLY...POPS WILL BE NIL TONIGHT AND SUNDAY DUE TO
DRY CONDITIONS.

WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS UP TO 40
MPH POSSIBLE MAINLY OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE FA.  WINDS
ARE NOT EXPECTED TO GO ABOVE HIGHLIGHT CRITERIA.

MIN TEMPERATURES TONIGHT SHOULD COOL TO THE UPPER TEENS IN EASTERN
COLORADO TO THE LOWER 20S ACROSS NORTHWEST KANSAS.  MAX TEMPERATURES
SUNDAY REACH THE MID AND UPPER 30S.

.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 101 PM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

THERE WILL BE VERY LITTLE CHANGE IN THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW THROUGH
FRIDAY. DRY NORTHWEST FLOW WILL PERSIST AS THE RIDGE REMAINS
NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE GREAT BASIN. THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW
PATTERN CHANGES SATURDAY AS SHORT WAVE TROUGH FLATTENS THE RIDGE
AS THE TROUGH MOVES TOWARD THE PLAINS.

SUNDAY NIGHT BREEZY WINDS WILL CONTINUE AS A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT
REMAINS OVER THE NORTHEAST HALF OF THE AREA.  LOWS WILL BE SIMILAR
TO TONIGHT DESPITE THE DRIER AIR THANKS TO THE BREEZY WINDS.

MONDAY THE TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT PERSISTS.  WINDS WILL INCREASE A
BIT MORE IN THE AFTERNOON AS THE WARMING TEMPERATURES ALLOW SLIGHTLY
STRONGER WINDS TO MIX TO THE GROUND.  HOWEVER THE COOLING EFFECT OF
THE SNOWFIELD WILL GREATLY LIMIT THE AMOUNT OF MIXING AND THUS THE
WIND STRENGTH DURING THE DAY.  WITH A COOLER AIR MASS REMAINING OVER
THE EAST HALF OF THE AREA EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO BE A FEW DEGREES
COOLER THAN THE LAST COUPLE OF DAYS...WITH WARMER VALUES TO THE
WEST IN THE WARMER AIR.

MONDAY NIGHT THE NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT.  THE CLEAR SKIES
WILL ALLOW FOR GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING...ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO
FALL INTO THE LOW/MID 20S.

TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY WILL CONTINUE TO BE DRY AS DRY LAMINAR
NORTHWEST UPPER LEVEL FLOW CONTINUES OVER THE AREA.  A WARM FRONT
WILL MOVE THROUGH TUESDAY...WARMING TEMPERATURES 10 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL THROUGH THE REST OF THE FORECAST.  THERE IS STILL SOME
QUESTION AS TO HOW QUICKLY TEMPERATURES WILL WARM BEHIND THE FRONT
DUE TO THE SNOWFIELD.  HOWEVER BASED ON THE TEMPERATURE TREND THE
LAST FEW DAYS...AM EXPECTING ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES JUST NOT SURE
HOW FAR ABOVE NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 436 PM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

VFR CONDITIONS FOR BOTH TAF SITES...WITH SCATTERED HIGH CLOUDS
THRU THE FORECAST PERIOD. WITH THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT
OVERNIGHT...WINDS WILL SHIFT FROM WSW AROUND 10KTS TO WNW BY 05Z
SUNDAY. BY 09Z SUNDAY...WINDS SHIFT AGAIN TO NNW 15-30KTS...
STRONGEST AFT 17Z SUNDAY. LLWS 05Z-09Z FOR BOTH SITES NW 35KTS.


&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE...JN
SHORT TERM...FS
LONG TERM...JTL
AVIATION...JN





000
FXUS63 KGLD 062336
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
436 PM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 101 PM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

NORTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS THROUGH SUNDAY.  A
SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION LATE TONIGHT FOLLOWED
BY HIGH PRESSURE SUNDAY.

A TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS TONIGHT AND SUNDAY
WITH SOME FORCING OVER THE FA SUNDAY MORNING.  HOWEVER LAYER MEAN
RH FROM 850 TO 500MB IS NOT SUPPORTIVE OF ANY SNOW REACHING THE
SURFACE.  CONSEQUENTLY...POPS WILL BE NIL TONIGHT AND SUNDAY DUE TO
DRY CONDITIONS.

WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS UP TO 40
MPH POSSIBLE MAINLY OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE FA.  WINDS
ARE NOT EXPECTED TO GO ABOVE HIGHLIGHT CRITERIA.

MIN TEMPERATURES TONIGHT SHOULD COOL TO THE UPPER TEENS IN EASTERN
COLORADO TO THE LOWER 20S ACROSS NORTHWEST KANSAS.  MAX TEMPERATURES
SUNDAY REACH THE MID AND UPPER 30S.

.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 101 PM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

THERE WILL BE VERY LITTLE CHANGE IN THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW THROUGH
FRIDAY. DRY NORTHWEST FLOW WILL PERSIST AS THE RIDGE REMAINS
NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE GREAT BASIN. THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW
PATTERN CHANGES SATURDAY AS SHORT WAVE TROUGH FLATTENS THE RIDGE
AS THE TROUGH MOVES TOWARD THE PLAINS.

SUNDAY NIGHT BREEZY WINDS WILL CONTINUE AS A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT
REMAINS OVER THE NORTHEAST HALF OF THE AREA.  LOWS WILL BE SIMILAR
TO TONIGHT DESPITE THE DRIER AIR THANKS TO THE BREEZY WINDS.

MONDAY THE TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT PERSISTS.  WINDS WILL INCREASE A
BIT MORE IN THE AFTERNOON AS THE WARMING TEMPERATURES ALLOW SLIGHTLY
STRONGER WINDS TO MIX TO THE GROUND.  HOWEVER THE COOLING EFFECT OF
THE SNOWFIELD WILL GREATLY LIMIT THE AMOUNT OF MIXING AND THUS THE
WIND STRENGTH DURING THE DAY.  WITH A COOLER AIR MASS REMAINING OVER
THE EAST HALF OF THE AREA EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO BE A FEW DEGREES
COOLER THAN THE LAST COUPLE OF DAYS...WITH WARMER VALUES TO THE
WEST IN THE WARMER AIR.

MONDAY NIGHT THE NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT.  THE CLEAR SKIES
WILL ALLOW FOR GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING...ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO
FALL INTO THE LOW/MID 20S.

TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY WILL CONTINUE TO BE DRY AS DRY LAMINAR
NORTHWEST UPPER LEVEL FLOW CONTINUES OVER THE AREA.  A WARM FRONT
WILL MOVE THROUGH TUESDAY...WARMING TEMPERATURES 10 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL THROUGH THE REST OF THE FORECAST.  THERE IS STILL SOME
QUESTION AS TO HOW QUICKLY TEMPERATURES WILL WARM BEHIND THE FRONT
DUE TO THE SNOWFIELD.  HOWEVER BASED ON THE TEMPERATURE TREND THE
LAST FEW DAYS...AM EXPECTING ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES JUST NOT SURE
HOW FAR ABOVE NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 436 PM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

VFR CONDITIONS FOR BOTH TAF SITES...WITH SCATTERED HIGH CLOUDS
THRU THE FORECAST PERIOD. WITH THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT
OVERNIGHT...WINDS WILL SHIFT FROM WSW AROUND 10KTS TO WNW BY 05Z
SUNDAY. BY 09Z SUNDAY...WINDS SHIFT AGAIN TO NNW 15-30KTS...
STRONGEST AFT 17Z SUNDAY. LLWS 05Z-09Z FOR BOTH SITES NW 35KTS.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...FS
LONG TERM...JTL
AVIATION...JN





000
FXUS63 KGLD 062336
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
436 PM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 101 PM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

NORTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS THROUGH SUNDAY.  A
SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION LATE TONIGHT FOLLOWED
BY HIGH PRESSURE SUNDAY.

A TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS TONIGHT AND SUNDAY
WITH SOME FORCING OVER THE FA SUNDAY MORNING.  HOWEVER LAYER MEAN
RH FROM 850 TO 500MB IS NOT SUPPORTIVE OF ANY SNOW REACHING THE
SURFACE.  CONSEQUENTLY...POPS WILL BE NIL TONIGHT AND SUNDAY DUE TO
DRY CONDITIONS.

WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS UP TO 40
MPH POSSIBLE MAINLY OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE FA.  WINDS
ARE NOT EXPECTED TO GO ABOVE HIGHLIGHT CRITERIA.

MIN TEMPERATURES TONIGHT SHOULD COOL TO THE UPPER TEENS IN EASTERN
COLORADO TO THE LOWER 20S ACROSS NORTHWEST KANSAS.  MAX TEMPERATURES
SUNDAY REACH THE MID AND UPPER 30S.

.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 101 PM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

THERE WILL BE VERY LITTLE CHANGE IN THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW THROUGH
FRIDAY. DRY NORTHWEST FLOW WILL PERSIST AS THE RIDGE REMAINS
NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE GREAT BASIN. THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW
PATTERN CHANGES SATURDAY AS SHORT WAVE TROUGH FLATTENS THE RIDGE
AS THE TROUGH MOVES TOWARD THE PLAINS.

SUNDAY NIGHT BREEZY WINDS WILL CONTINUE AS A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT
REMAINS OVER THE NORTHEAST HALF OF THE AREA.  LOWS WILL BE SIMILAR
TO TONIGHT DESPITE THE DRIER AIR THANKS TO THE BREEZY WINDS.

MONDAY THE TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT PERSISTS.  WINDS WILL INCREASE A
BIT MORE IN THE AFTERNOON AS THE WARMING TEMPERATURES ALLOW SLIGHTLY
STRONGER WINDS TO MIX TO THE GROUND.  HOWEVER THE COOLING EFFECT OF
THE SNOWFIELD WILL GREATLY LIMIT THE AMOUNT OF MIXING AND THUS THE
WIND STRENGTH DURING THE DAY.  WITH A COOLER AIR MASS REMAINING OVER
THE EAST HALF OF THE AREA EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO BE A FEW DEGREES
COOLER THAN THE LAST COUPLE OF DAYS...WITH WARMER VALUES TO THE
WEST IN THE WARMER AIR.

MONDAY NIGHT THE NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT.  THE CLEAR SKIES
WILL ALLOW FOR GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING...ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO
FALL INTO THE LOW/MID 20S.

TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY WILL CONTINUE TO BE DRY AS DRY LAMINAR
NORTHWEST UPPER LEVEL FLOW CONTINUES OVER THE AREA.  A WARM FRONT
WILL MOVE THROUGH TUESDAY...WARMING TEMPERATURES 10 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL THROUGH THE REST OF THE FORECAST.  THERE IS STILL SOME
QUESTION AS TO HOW QUICKLY TEMPERATURES WILL WARM BEHIND THE FRONT
DUE TO THE SNOWFIELD.  HOWEVER BASED ON THE TEMPERATURE TREND THE
LAST FEW DAYS...AM EXPECTING ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES JUST NOT SURE
HOW FAR ABOVE NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 436 PM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

VFR CONDITIONS FOR BOTH TAF SITES...WITH SCATTERED HIGH CLOUDS
THRU THE FORECAST PERIOD. WITH THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT
OVERNIGHT...WINDS WILL SHIFT FROM WSW AROUND 10KTS TO WNW BY 05Z
SUNDAY. BY 09Z SUNDAY...WINDS SHIFT AGAIN TO NNW 15-30KTS...
STRONGEST AFT 17Z SUNDAY. LLWS 05Z-09Z FOR BOTH SITES NW 35KTS.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...FS
LONG TERM...JTL
AVIATION...JN





000
FXUS63 KGLD 062336
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
436 PM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 101 PM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

NORTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS THROUGH SUNDAY.  A
SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION LATE TONIGHT FOLLOWED
BY HIGH PRESSURE SUNDAY.

A TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS TONIGHT AND SUNDAY
WITH SOME FORCING OVER THE FA SUNDAY MORNING.  HOWEVER LAYER MEAN
RH FROM 850 TO 500MB IS NOT SUPPORTIVE OF ANY SNOW REACHING THE
SURFACE.  CONSEQUENTLY...POPS WILL BE NIL TONIGHT AND SUNDAY DUE TO
DRY CONDITIONS.

WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS UP TO 40
MPH POSSIBLE MAINLY OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE FA.  WINDS
ARE NOT EXPECTED TO GO ABOVE HIGHLIGHT CRITERIA.

MIN TEMPERATURES TONIGHT SHOULD COOL TO THE UPPER TEENS IN EASTERN
COLORADO TO THE LOWER 20S ACROSS NORTHWEST KANSAS.  MAX TEMPERATURES
SUNDAY REACH THE MID AND UPPER 30S.

.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 101 PM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

THERE WILL BE VERY LITTLE CHANGE IN THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW THROUGH
FRIDAY. DRY NORTHWEST FLOW WILL PERSIST AS THE RIDGE REMAINS
NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE GREAT BASIN. THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW
PATTERN CHANGES SATURDAY AS SHORT WAVE TROUGH FLATTENS THE RIDGE
AS THE TROUGH MOVES TOWARD THE PLAINS.

SUNDAY NIGHT BREEZY WINDS WILL CONTINUE AS A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT
REMAINS OVER THE NORTHEAST HALF OF THE AREA.  LOWS WILL BE SIMILAR
TO TONIGHT DESPITE THE DRIER AIR THANKS TO THE BREEZY WINDS.

MONDAY THE TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT PERSISTS.  WINDS WILL INCREASE A
BIT MORE IN THE AFTERNOON AS THE WARMING TEMPERATURES ALLOW SLIGHTLY
STRONGER WINDS TO MIX TO THE GROUND.  HOWEVER THE COOLING EFFECT OF
THE SNOWFIELD WILL GREATLY LIMIT THE AMOUNT OF MIXING AND THUS THE
WIND STRENGTH DURING THE DAY.  WITH A COOLER AIR MASS REMAINING OVER
THE EAST HALF OF THE AREA EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO BE A FEW DEGREES
COOLER THAN THE LAST COUPLE OF DAYS...WITH WARMER VALUES TO THE
WEST IN THE WARMER AIR.

MONDAY NIGHT THE NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT.  THE CLEAR SKIES
WILL ALLOW FOR GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING...ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO
FALL INTO THE LOW/MID 20S.

TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY WILL CONTINUE TO BE DRY AS DRY LAMINAR
NORTHWEST UPPER LEVEL FLOW CONTINUES OVER THE AREA.  A WARM FRONT
WILL MOVE THROUGH TUESDAY...WARMING TEMPERATURES 10 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL THROUGH THE REST OF THE FORECAST.  THERE IS STILL SOME
QUESTION AS TO HOW QUICKLY TEMPERATURES WILL WARM BEHIND THE FRONT
DUE TO THE SNOWFIELD.  HOWEVER BASED ON THE TEMPERATURE TREND THE
LAST FEW DAYS...AM EXPECTING ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES JUST NOT SURE
HOW FAR ABOVE NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 436 PM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

VFR CONDITIONS FOR BOTH TAF SITES...WITH SCATTERED HIGH CLOUDS
THRU THE FORECAST PERIOD. WITH THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT
OVERNIGHT...WINDS WILL SHIFT FROM WSW AROUND 10KTS TO WNW BY 05Z
SUNDAY. BY 09Z SUNDAY...WINDS SHIFT AGAIN TO NNW 15-30KTS...
STRONGEST AFT 17Z SUNDAY. LLWS 05Z-09Z FOR BOTH SITES NW 35KTS.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...FS
LONG TERM...JTL
AVIATION...JN




000
FXUS63 KGLD 062003
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
103 PM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 101 PM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

NORTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS THROUGH SUNDAY.  A
SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION LATE TONIGHT FOLLOWED
BY HIGH PRESSURE SUNDAY.

A TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS TONIGHT AND SUNDAY
WITH SOME FORCING OVER THE FA SUNDAY MORNING.  HOWEVER LAYER MEAN
RH FROM 850 TO 500MB IS NOT SUPPORTIVE OF ANY SNOW REACHING THE
SURFACE.  CONSEQUENTLY...POPS WILL BE NIL TONIGHT AND SUNDAY DUE TO
DRY CONDITIONS.

WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS UP TO 40
MPH POSSIBLE MAINLY OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE FA.  WINDS
ARE NOT EXPECTED TO GO ABOVE HIGHLIGHT CRITERIA.

MIN TEMPERATURES TONIGHT SHOULD COOL TO THE UPPER TEENS IN EASTERN
COLORADO TO THE LOWER 20S ACROSS NORTHWEST KANSAS.  MAX TEMPERATURES
SUNDAY REACH THE MID AND UPPER 30S.


.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 101 PM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

THERE WILL BE VERY LITTLE CHANGE IN THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW THROUGH
FRIDAY. DRY NORTHWEST FLOW WILL PERSIST AS THE RIDGE REMAINS
NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE GREAT BASIN. THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW
PATTERN CHANGES SATURDAY AS SHORT WAVE TROUGH FLATTENS THE RIDGE
AS THE TROUGH MOVES TOWARD THE PLAINS.

SUNDAY NIGHT BREEZY WINDS WILL CONTINUE AS A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT
REMAINS OVER THE NORTHEAST HALF OF THE AREA.  LOWS WILL BE SIMILAR
TO TONIGHT DESPITE THE DRIER AIR THANKS TO THE BREEZY WINDS.

MONDAY THE TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT PERSISTS.  WINDS WILL INCREASE A
BIT MORE IN THE AFTERNOON AS THE WARMING TEMPERATURES ALLOW SLIGHTLY
STRONGER WINDS TO MIX TO THE GROUND.  HOWEVER THE COOLING EFFECT OF
THE SNOWFIELD WILL GREATLY LIMIT THE AMOUNT OF MIXING AND THUS THE
WIND STRENGTH DURING THE DAY.  WITH A COOLER AIR MASS REMAINING OVER
THE EAST HALF OF THE AREA EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO BE A FEW DEGREES
COOLER THAN THE LAST COUPLE OF DAYS...WITH WARMER VALUES TO THE
WEST IN THE WARMER AIR.

MONDAY NIGHT THE NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT.  THE CLEAR SKIES
WILL ALLOW FOR GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING...ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO
FALL INTO THE LOW/MID 20S.



TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY WILL CONTINUE TO BE DRY AS DRY LAMINAR
NORTHWEST UPPER LEVEL FLOW CONTINUES OVER THE AREA.  A WARM FRONT
WILL MOVE THROUGH TUESDAY...WARMING TEMPERATURES 10 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL THROUGH THE REST OF THE FORECAST.  THERE IS STILL SOME
QUESTION AS TO HOW QUICKLY TEMPERATURES WILL WARM BEHIND THE FRONT
DUE TO THE SNOWFIELD.  HOWEVER BASED ON THE TEMPERATURE TREND THE
LAST FEW DAYS...AM EXPECTING ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES JUST NOT SURE
HOW FAR ABOVE NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 955 AM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT KGLD AND KMCK FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS. SOUTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED TODAY IN RESPONSE TO A SURFACE
TROUGH IN EASTERN COLORADO. AS THE TROUGH SHIFTS EAST TONIGHT, A
COLD FRONT WILL BRING WINDY CONDITIONS TO THE REGION SUNDAY.


&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...FS
LONG TERM...JTL
AVIATION...FS





000
FXUS63 KGLD 061701
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1001 AM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 253 AM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

WITH DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED...FORECAST CONCERNS ARE TEMPERATURES
THE NEXT FEW DAYS OVER THE EXTENSIVE SNOW COVER AND THE WINDS
SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT.

SHORT WAVE RIDGING ALOFT WILL BE IN PLACE OVER THE REGION TODAY.
A LOW PRESSURE CENTER ALOFT MOVES ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND
INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION WITH THE TROUGH EXTENDING SOUTHWARD
FROM THE LOW CENTER TO SWEEP ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA ON SUNDAY.
WITH THE STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT IN PLACE MAINLY OVER THE EASTERN
SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA SUNDAY AND INTO EARLY MONDAY BETWEEN
THE LOW PRESSURE AREA THAT MOVES INTO THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
REGION AND THE HIGH PRESSURE AREA THAT MOVES OVER THE ROCKY
MOUNTAIN WEST AND INTO THE HIGH PLAINS REGION...EXPECT TO SEE
WINDY CONDITIONS DEVELOPING ON SUNDAY AND CONTINUING INTO MONDAY
EVENING UNTIL THE OVERNIGHT INVERSION OVER THE SNOW FIELD CAN
DECREASE THE WINDS SPEEDS SOMEWHAT SUNDAY NIGHT. WIND SPEEDS MAY
INCREASE SOMEWHAT MONDAY MORNING...BUT THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
SHOULD BE RELAXING THROUGH THE DAY ON MONDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
CONTINUES TO MOVE INTO THE REGION AT THE SURFACE AND THE
AMPLIFYING RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN U.S. BEGINS TO TRANSLATE
SLIGHTLY EASTWARD.

MODEL SOLUTIONS MAY STILL BE TOO WARM OVER THE EXTENSIVE SNOW
FIELD...SO HAVE STAYED CLOSER TO THE LOWER END OF GUIDANCE OR HAVE
GONE A FEW DEGREES BELOW GUIDANCE THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 130 AM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

FOR THIS EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD...DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO
PREVAIL THROUGH AT LEAST NEXT WEEKEND. THIS IS DUE TO A HIGHLY
AMPLIFIED RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE THAT WILL BUILD OVER THE WESTERN
UNITED STATES. NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT SHOULD REMAIN OVER THE FORECAST
AREA BUT ANY DISTURBANCES THAT WOULD BRING PRECIPITATION OR FORCE
COLD FRONTS THROUGH SHOULD REMAIN WELL EAST. ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES SEEM LIKELY FOR TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES
SHOULD BE WARMEST OVER EAST COLORADO AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS WHERE
SNOW SHOULD MELT FIRST...ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO SOAR MUCH MORE
EASILY. COOLER TEMPERATURES...YET STILL ABOVE NORMAL...ARE
ANTICIPATED FURTHER NORTH AND EAST WHERE SNOWPACK SHOULD REMAIN FOR
AT LEAST PART OF THE PERIOD.

ON SATURDAY...A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT MAY SLIP SOUTHWEST ACROSS THE
HIGH PLAINS. GUIDANCE DIFFERS ON HOW FAR WEST THIS FRONT WILL
INFLUENCE THE WEATHER. THIS FRONT SHOULD BE DRY WHEN IT PASSES BUT
HOW MUCH TEMPERATURES COOL IS THE PRIMARY UNANSWERED QUESTION.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 955 AM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT KGLD AND KMCK FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS. SOUTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED TODAY IN RESPONSE TO A SURFACE
TROUGH IN EASTERN COLORADO. AS THE TROUGH SHIFTS EAST TONIGHT, A
COLD FRONT WILL BRING WINDY CONDITIONS TO THE REGION SUNDAY.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...LOCKHART
LONG TERM...RRH
AVIATION...FS





000
FXUS63 KGLD 061701
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1001 AM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 253 AM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

WITH DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED...FORECAST CONCERNS ARE TEMPERATURES
THE NEXT FEW DAYS OVER THE EXTENSIVE SNOW COVER AND THE WINDS
SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT.

SHORT WAVE RIDGING ALOFT WILL BE IN PLACE OVER THE REGION TODAY.
A LOW PRESSURE CENTER ALOFT MOVES ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND
INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION WITH THE TROUGH EXTENDING SOUTHWARD
FROM THE LOW CENTER TO SWEEP ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA ON SUNDAY.
WITH THE STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT IN PLACE MAINLY OVER THE EASTERN
SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA SUNDAY AND INTO EARLY MONDAY BETWEEN
THE LOW PRESSURE AREA THAT MOVES INTO THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
REGION AND THE HIGH PRESSURE AREA THAT MOVES OVER THE ROCKY
MOUNTAIN WEST AND INTO THE HIGH PLAINS REGION...EXPECT TO SEE
WINDY CONDITIONS DEVELOPING ON SUNDAY AND CONTINUING INTO MONDAY
EVENING UNTIL THE OVERNIGHT INVERSION OVER THE SNOW FIELD CAN
DECREASE THE WINDS SPEEDS SOMEWHAT SUNDAY NIGHT. WIND SPEEDS MAY
INCREASE SOMEWHAT MONDAY MORNING...BUT THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
SHOULD BE RELAXING THROUGH THE DAY ON MONDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
CONTINUES TO MOVE INTO THE REGION AT THE SURFACE AND THE
AMPLIFYING RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN U.S. BEGINS TO TRANSLATE
SLIGHTLY EASTWARD.

MODEL SOLUTIONS MAY STILL BE TOO WARM OVER THE EXTENSIVE SNOW
FIELD...SO HAVE STAYED CLOSER TO THE LOWER END OF GUIDANCE OR HAVE
GONE A FEW DEGREES BELOW GUIDANCE THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 130 AM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

FOR THIS EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD...DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO
PREVAIL THROUGH AT LEAST NEXT WEEKEND. THIS IS DUE TO A HIGHLY
AMPLIFIED RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE THAT WILL BUILD OVER THE WESTERN
UNITED STATES. NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT SHOULD REMAIN OVER THE FORECAST
AREA BUT ANY DISTURBANCES THAT WOULD BRING PRECIPITATION OR FORCE
COLD FRONTS THROUGH SHOULD REMAIN WELL EAST. ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES SEEM LIKELY FOR TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES
SHOULD BE WARMEST OVER EAST COLORADO AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS WHERE
SNOW SHOULD MELT FIRST...ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO SOAR MUCH MORE
EASILY. COOLER TEMPERATURES...YET STILL ABOVE NORMAL...ARE
ANTICIPATED FURTHER NORTH AND EAST WHERE SNOWPACK SHOULD REMAIN FOR
AT LEAST PART OF THE PERIOD.

ON SATURDAY...A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT MAY SLIP SOUTHWEST ACROSS THE
HIGH PLAINS. GUIDANCE DIFFERS ON HOW FAR WEST THIS FRONT WILL
INFLUENCE THE WEATHER. THIS FRONT SHOULD BE DRY WHEN IT PASSES BUT
HOW MUCH TEMPERATURES COOL IS THE PRIMARY UNANSWERED QUESTION.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 955 AM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT KGLD AND KMCK FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS. SOUTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED TODAY IN RESPONSE TO A SURFACE
TROUGH IN EASTERN COLORADO. AS THE TROUGH SHIFTS EAST TONIGHT, A
COLD FRONT WILL BRING WINDY CONDITIONS TO THE REGION SUNDAY.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...LOCKHART
LONG TERM...RRH
AVIATION...FS




000
FXUS63 KGLD 061701
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1001 AM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 253 AM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

WITH DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED...FORECAST CONCERNS ARE TEMPERATURES
THE NEXT FEW DAYS OVER THE EXTENSIVE SNOW COVER AND THE WINDS
SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT.

SHORT WAVE RIDGING ALOFT WILL BE IN PLACE OVER THE REGION TODAY.
A LOW PRESSURE CENTER ALOFT MOVES ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND
INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION WITH THE TROUGH EXTENDING SOUTHWARD
FROM THE LOW CENTER TO SWEEP ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA ON SUNDAY.
WITH THE STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT IN PLACE MAINLY OVER THE EASTERN
SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA SUNDAY AND INTO EARLY MONDAY BETWEEN
THE LOW PRESSURE AREA THAT MOVES INTO THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
REGION AND THE HIGH PRESSURE AREA THAT MOVES OVER THE ROCKY
MOUNTAIN WEST AND INTO THE HIGH PLAINS REGION...EXPECT TO SEE
WINDY CONDITIONS DEVELOPING ON SUNDAY AND CONTINUING INTO MONDAY
EVENING UNTIL THE OVERNIGHT INVERSION OVER THE SNOW FIELD CAN
DECREASE THE WINDS SPEEDS SOMEWHAT SUNDAY NIGHT. WIND SPEEDS MAY
INCREASE SOMEWHAT MONDAY MORNING...BUT THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
SHOULD BE RELAXING THROUGH THE DAY ON MONDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
CONTINUES TO MOVE INTO THE REGION AT THE SURFACE AND THE
AMPLIFYING RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN U.S. BEGINS TO TRANSLATE
SLIGHTLY EASTWARD.

MODEL SOLUTIONS MAY STILL BE TOO WARM OVER THE EXTENSIVE SNOW
FIELD...SO HAVE STAYED CLOSER TO THE LOWER END OF GUIDANCE OR HAVE
GONE A FEW DEGREES BELOW GUIDANCE THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 130 AM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

FOR THIS EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD...DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO
PREVAIL THROUGH AT LEAST NEXT WEEKEND. THIS IS DUE TO A HIGHLY
AMPLIFIED RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE THAT WILL BUILD OVER THE WESTERN
UNITED STATES. NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT SHOULD REMAIN OVER THE FORECAST
AREA BUT ANY DISTURBANCES THAT WOULD BRING PRECIPITATION OR FORCE
COLD FRONTS THROUGH SHOULD REMAIN WELL EAST. ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES SEEM LIKELY FOR TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES
SHOULD BE WARMEST OVER EAST COLORADO AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS WHERE
SNOW SHOULD MELT FIRST...ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO SOAR MUCH MORE
EASILY. COOLER TEMPERATURES...YET STILL ABOVE NORMAL...ARE
ANTICIPATED FURTHER NORTH AND EAST WHERE SNOWPACK SHOULD REMAIN FOR
AT LEAST PART OF THE PERIOD.

ON SATURDAY...A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT MAY SLIP SOUTHWEST ACROSS THE
HIGH PLAINS. GUIDANCE DIFFERS ON HOW FAR WEST THIS FRONT WILL
INFLUENCE THE WEATHER. THIS FRONT SHOULD BE DRY WHEN IT PASSES BUT
HOW MUCH TEMPERATURES COOL IS THE PRIMARY UNANSWERED QUESTION.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 955 AM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT KGLD AND KMCK FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS. SOUTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED TODAY IN RESPONSE TO A SURFACE
TROUGH IN EASTERN COLORADO. AS THE TROUGH SHIFTS EAST TONIGHT, A
COLD FRONT WILL BRING WINDY CONDITIONS TO THE REGION SUNDAY.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...LOCKHART
LONG TERM...RRH
AVIATION...FS





000
FXUS63 KGLD 061141
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
441 AM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 253 AM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

WITH DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED...FORECAST CONCERNS ARE TEMPERATURES
THE NEXT FEW DAYS OVER THE EXTENSIVE SNOW COVER AND THE WINDS
SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT.

SHORT WAVE RIDGING ALOFT WILL BE IN PLACE OVER THE REGION TODAY.
A LOW PRESSURE CENTER ALOFT MOVES ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND
INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION WITH THE TROUGH EXTENDING SOUTHWARD
FROM THE LOW CENTER TO SWEEP ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA ON SUNDAY.
WITH THE STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT IN PLACE MAINLY OVER THE EASTERN
SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA SUNDAY AND INTO EARLY MONDAY BETWEEN
THE LOW PRESSURE AREA THAT MOVES INTO THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
REGION AND THE HIGH PRESSURE AREA THAT MOVES OVER THE ROCKY
MOUNTAIN WEST AND INTO THE HIGH PLAINS REGION...EXPECT TO SEE
WINDY CONDITIONS DEVELOPING ON SUNDAY AND CONTINUING INTO MONDAY
EVENING UNTIL THE OVERNIGHT INVERSION OVER THE SNOW FIELD CAN
DECREASE THE WINDS SPEEDS SOMEWHAT SUNDAY NIGHT. WIND SPEEDS MAY
INCREASE SOMEWHAT MONDAY MORNING...BUT THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
SHOULD BE RELAXING THROUGH THE DAY ON MONDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
CONTINUES TO MOVE INTO THE REGION AT THE SURFACE AND THE
AMPLIFYING RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN U.S. BEGINS TO TRANSLATE
SLIGHTLY EASTWARD.

MODEL SOLUTIONS MAY STILL BE TOO WARM OVER THE EXTENSIVE SNOW
FIELD...SO HAVE STAYED CLOSER TO THE LOWER END OF GUIDANCE OR HAVE
GONE A FEW DEGREES BELOW GUIDANCE THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 130 AM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

FOR THIS EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD...DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO
PREVAIL THROUGH AT LEAST NEXT WEEKEND. THIS IS DUE TO A HIGHLY
AMPLIFIED RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE THAT WILL BUILD OVER THE WESTERN
UNITED STATES. NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT SHOULD REMAIN OVER THE FORECAST
AREA BUT ANY DISTURBANCES THAT WOULD BRING PRECIPITATION OR FORCE
COLD FRONTS THROUGH SHOULD REMAIN WELL EAST. ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES SEEM LIKELY FOR TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES
SHOULD BE WARMEST OVER EAST COLORADO AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS WHERE
SNOW SHOULD MELT FIRST...ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO SOAR MUCH MORE
EASILY. COOLER TEMPERATURES...YET STILL ABOVE NORMAL...ARE
ANTICIPATED FURTHER NORTH AND EAST WHERE SNOWPACK SHOULD REMAIN FOR
AT LEAST PART OF THE PERIOD.

ON SATURDAY...A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT MAY SLIP SOUTHWEST ACROSS THE
HIGH PLAINS. GUIDANCE DIFFERS ON HOW FAR WEST THIS FRONT WILL
INFLUENCE THE WEATHER. THIS FRONT SHOULD BE DRY WHEN IT PASSES BUT
HOW MUCH TEMPERATURES COOL IS THE PRIMARY UNANSWERED QUESTION.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 425 AM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT MCK AND GLD THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.
WESTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED WITH SOME AFTERNOON GUSTINESS POSSIBLE
TODAY...OTHERWISE LIGHT WEST WINDS TURN NORTHWESTERLY AND INCREASE
AFTER 08Z OVERNIGHT AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BEGINS TO INCREASE ACROSS
THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS REGION.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...LOCKHART
LONG TERM...RRH
AVIATION...LOCKHART





000
FXUS63 KGLD 061141
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
441 AM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 253 AM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

WITH DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED...FORECAST CONCERNS ARE TEMPERATURES
THE NEXT FEW DAYS OVER THE EXTENSIVE SNOW COVER AND THE WINDS
SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT.

SHORT WAVE RIDGING ALOFT WILL BE IN PLACE OVER THE REGION TODAY.
A LOW PRESSURE CENTER ALOFT MOVES ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND
INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION WITH THE TROUGH EXTENDING SOUTHWARD
FROM THE LOW CENTER TO SWEEP ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA ON SUNDAY.
WITH THE STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT IN PLACE MAINLY OVER THE EASTERN
SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA SUNDAY AND INTO EARLY MONDAY BETWEEN
THE LOW PRESSURE AREA THAT MOVES INTO THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
REGION AND THE HIGH PRESSURE AREA THAT MOVES OVER THE ROCKY
MOUNTAIN WEST AND INTO THE HIGH PLAINS REGION...EXPECT TO SEE
WINDY CONDITIONS DEVELOPING ON SUNDAY AND CONTINUING INTO MONDAY
EVENING UNTIL THE OVERNIGHT INVERSION OVER THE SNOW FIELD CAN
DECREASE THE WINDS SPEEDS SOMEWHAT SUNDAY NIGHT. WIND SPEEDS MAY
INCREASE SOMEWHAT MONDAY MORNING...BUT THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
SHOULD BE RELAXING THROUGH THE DAY ON MONDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
CONTINUES TO MOVE INTO THE REGION AT THE SURFACE AND THE
AMPLIFYING RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN U.S. BEGINS TO TRANSLATE
SLIGHTLY EASTWARD.

MODEL SOLUTIONS MAY STILL BE TOO WARM OVER THE EXTENSIVE SNOW
FIELD...SO HAVE STAYED CLOSER TO THE LOWER END OF GUIDANCE OR HAVE
GONE A FEW DEGREES BELOW GUIDANCE THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 130 AM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

FOR THIS EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD...DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO
PREVAIL THROUGH AT LEAST NEXT WEEKEND. THIS IS DUE TO A HIGHLY
AMPLIFIED RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE THAT WILL BUILD OVER THE WESTERN
UNITED STATES. NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT SHOULD REMAIN OVER THE FORECAST
AREA BUT ANY DISTURBANCES THAT WOULD BRING PRECIPITATION OR FORCE
COLD FRONTS THROUGH SHOULD REMAIN WELL EAST. ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES SEEM LIKELY FOR TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES
SHOULD BE WARMEST OVER EAST COLORADO AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS WHERE
SNOW SHOULD MELT FIRST...ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO SOAR MUCH MORE
EASILY. COOLER TEMPERATURES...YET STILL ABOVE NORMAL...ARE
ANTICIPATED FURTHER NORTH AND EAST WHERE SNOWPACK SHOULD REMAIN FOR
AT LEAST PART OF THE PERIOD.

ON SATURDAY...A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT MAY SLIP SOUTHWEST ACROSS THE
HIGH PLAINS. GUIDANCE DIFFERS ON HOW FAR WEST THIS FRONT WILL
INFLUENCE THE WEATHER. THIS FRONT SHOULD BE DRY WHEN IT PASSES BUT
HOW MUCH TEMPERATURES COOL IS THE PRIMARY UNANSWERED QUESTION.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 425 AM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT MCK AND GLD THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.
WESTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED WITH SOME AFTERNOON GUSTINESS POSSIBLE
TODAY...OTHERWISE LIGHT WEST WINDS TURN NORTHWESTERLY AND INCREASE
AFTER 08Z OVERNIGHT AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BEGINS TO INCREASE ACROSS
THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS REGION.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...LOCKHART
LONG TERM...RRH
AVIATION...LOCKHART





000
FXUS63 KGLD 061141
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
441 AM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 253 AM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

WITH DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED...FORECAST CONCERNS ARE TEMPERATURES
THE NEXT FEW DAYS OVER THE EXTENSIVE SNOW COVER AND THE WINDS
SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT.

SHORT WAVE RIDGING ALOFT WILL BE IN PLACE OVER THE REGION TODAY.
A LOW PRESSURE CENTER ALOFT MOVES ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND
INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION WITH THE TROUGH EXTENDING SOUTHWARD
FROM THE LOW CENTER TO SWEEP ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA ON SUNDAY.
WITH THE STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT IN PLACE MAINLY OVER THE EASTERN
SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA SUNDAY AND INTO EARLY MONDAY BETWEEN
THE LOW PRESSURE AREA THAT MOVES INTO THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
REGION AND THE HIGH PRESSURE AREA THAT MOVES OVER THE ROCKY
MOUNTAIN WEST AND INTO THE HIGH PLAINS REGION...EXPECT TO SEE
WINDY CONDITIONS DEVELOPING ON SUNDAY AND CONTINUING INTO MONDAY
EVENING UNTIL THE OVERNIGHT INVERSION OVER THE SNOW FIELD CAN
DECREASE THE WINDS SPEEDS SOMEWHAT SUNDAY NIGHT. WIND SPEEDS MAY
INCREASE SOMEWHAT MONDAY MORNING...BUT THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
SHOULD BE RELAXING THROUGH THE DAY ON MONDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
CONTINUES TO MOVE INTO THE REGION AT THE SURFACE AND THE
AMPLIFYING RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN U.S. BEGINS TO TRANSLATE
SLIGHTLY EASTWARD.

MODEL SOLUTIONS MAY STILL BE TOO WARM OVER THE EXTENSIVE SNOW
FIELD...SO HAVE STAYED CLOSER TO THE LOWER END OF GUIDANCE OR HAVE
GONE A FEW DEGREES BELOW GUIDANCE THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 130 AM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

FOR THIS EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD...DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO
PREVAIL THROUGH AT LEAST NEXT WEEKEND. THIS IS DUE TO A HIGHLY
AMPLIFIED RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE THAT WILL BUILD OVER THE WESTERN
UNITED STATES. NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT SHOULD REMAIN OVER THE FORECAST
AREA BUT ANY DISTURBANCES THAT WOULD BRING PRECIPITATION OR FORCE
COLD FRONTS THROUGH SHOULD REMAIN WELL EAST. ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES SEEM LIKELY FOR TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES
SHOULD BE WARMEST OVER EAST COLORADO AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS WHERE
SNOW SHOULD MELT FIRST...ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO SOAR MUCH MORE
EASILY. COOLER TEMPERATURES...YET STILL ABOVE NORMAL...ARE
ANTICIPATED FURTHER NORTH AND EAST WHERE SNOWPACK SHOULD REMAIN FOR
AT LEAST PART OF THE PERIOD.

ON SATURDAY...A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT MAY SLIP SOUTHWEST ACROSS THE
HIGH PLAINS. GUIDANCE DIFFERS ON HOW FAR WEST THIS FRONT WILL
INFLUENCE THE WEATHER. THIS FRONT SHOULD BE DRY WHEN IT PASSES BUT
HOW MUCH TEMPERATURES COOL IS THE PRIMARY UNANSWERED QUESTION.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 425 AM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT MCK AND GLD THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.
WESTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED WITH SOME AFTERNOON GUSTINESS POSSIBLE
TODAY...OTHERWISE LIGHT WEST WINDS TURN NORTHWESTERLY AND INCREASE
AFTER 08Z OVERNIGHT AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BEGINS TO INCREASE ACROSS
THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS REGION.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...LOCKHART
LONG TERM...RRH
AVIATION...LOCKHART




000
FXUS63 KGLD 061007
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
307 AM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 253 AM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

WITH DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED...FORECAST CONCERNS ARE TEMPERATURES
THE NEXT FEW DAYS OVER THE EXTENSIVE SNOW COVER AND THE WINDS
SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT.

SHORT WAVE RIDGING ALOFT WILL BE IN PLACE OVER THE REGION TODAY.
A LOW PRESSURE CENTER ALOFT MOVES ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND
INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION WITH THE TROUGH EXTENDING SOUTHWARD
FROM THE LOW CENTER TO SWEEP ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA ON SUNDAY.
WITH THE STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT IN PLACE MAINLY OVER THE EASTERN
SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA SUNDAY AND INTO EARLY MONDAY BETWEEN
THE LOW PRESSURE AREA THAT MOVES INTO THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
REGION AND THE HIGH PRESSURE AREA THAT MOVES OVER THE ROCKY
MOUNTAIN WEST AND INTO THE HIGH PLAINS REGION...EXPECT TO SEE
WINDY CONDITIONS DEVELOPING ON SUNDAY AND CONTINUING INTO MONDAY
EVENING UNTIL THE OVERNIGHT INVERSION OVER THE SNOW FIELD CAN
DECREASE THE WINDS SPEEDS SOMEWHAT SUNDAY NIGHT. WIND SPEEDS MAY
INCREASE SOMEWHAT MONDAY MORNING...BUT THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
SHOULD BE RELAXING THROUGH THE DAY ON MONDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
CONTINUES TO MOVE INTO THE REGION AT THE SURFACE AND THE
AMPLIFYING RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN U.S. BEGINS TO TRANSLATE
SLIGHTLY EASTWARD.

MODEL SOLUTIONS MAY STILL BE TOO WARM OVER THE EXTENSIVE SNOW
FIELD...SO HAVE STAYED CLOSER TO THE LOWER END OF GUIDANCE OR HAVE
GONE A FEW DEGREES BELOW GUIDANCE THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 130 AM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

FOR THIS EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD...DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO
PREVAIL THROUGH AT LEAST NEXT WEEKEND. THIS IS DUE TO A HIGHLY
AMPLIFIED RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE THAT WILL BUILD OVER THE WESTERN
UNITED STATES. NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT SHOULD REMAIN OVER THE FORECAST
AREA BUT ANY DISTURBANCES THAT WOULD BRING PRECIPITATION OR FORCE
COLD FRONTS THROUGH SHOULD REMAIN WELL EAST. ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES SEEM LIKELY FOR TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES
SHOULD BE WARMEST OVER EAST COLORADO AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS WHERE
SNOW SHOULD MELT FIRST...ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO SOAR MUCH MORE
EASILY. COOLER TEMPERATURES...YET STILL ABOVE NORMAL...ARE
ANTICIPATED FURTHER NORTH AND EAST WHERE SNOWPACK SHOULD REMAIN FOR
AT LEAST PART OF THE PERIOD.

ON SATURDAY...A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT MAY SLIP SOUTHWEST ACROSS THE
HIGH PLAINS. GUIDANCE DIFFERS ON HOW FAR WEST THIS FRONT WILL
INFLUENCE THE WEATHER. THIS FRONT SHOULD BE DRY WHEN IT PASSES BUT
HOW MUCH TEMPERATURES COOL IS THE PRIMARY UNANSWERED QUESTION.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1020 PM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR BOTH TAF SITES THRU FORECAST PERIOD.
FOR WINDS...KGLD WILL HAVE WNW AROUND 10KTS BECOME WSW BY 16Z
SATURDAY BEFORE SHIFTING BACK TO WNW AFT 00Z SUNDAY. FOR
KMCK...WNW AROUND 10KTS.


&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...LOCKHART
LONG TERM...RRH
AVIATION...JN





000
FXUS63 KGLD 061007
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
307 AM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 253 AM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

WITH DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED...FORECAST CONCERNS ARE TEMPERATURES
THE NEXT FEW DAYS OVER THE EXTENSIVE SNOW COVER AND THE WINDS
SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT.

SHORT WAVE RIDGING ALOFT WILL BE IN PLACE OVER THE REGION TODAY.
A LOW PRESSURE CENTER ALOFT MOVES ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND
INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION WITH THE TROUGH EXTENDING SOUTHWARD
FROM THE LOW CENTER TO SWEEP ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA ON SUNDAY.
WITH THE STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT IN PLACE MAINLY OVER THE EASTERN
SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA SUNDAY AND INTO EARLY MONDAY BETWEEN
THE LOW PRESSURE AREA THAT MOVES INTO THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
REGION AND THE HIGH PRESSURE AREA THAT MOVES OVER THE ROCKY
MOUNTAIN WEST AND INTO THE HIGH PLAINS REGION...EXPECT TO SEE
WINDY CONDITIONS DEVELOPING ON SUNDAY AND CONTINUING INTO MONDAY
EVENING UNTIL THE OVERNIGHT INVERSION OVER THE SNOW FIELD CAN
DECREASE THE WINDS SPEEDS SOMEWHAT SUNDAY NIGHT. WIND SPEEDS MAY
INCREASE SOMEWHAT MONDAY MORNING...BUT THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
SHOULD BE RELAXING THROUGH THE DAY ON MONDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
CONTINUES TO MOVE INTO THE REGION AT THE SURFACE AND THE
AMPLIFYING RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN U.S. BEGINS TO TRANSLATE
SLIGHTLY EASTWARD.

MODEL SOLUTIONS MAY STILL BE TOO WARM OVER THE EXTENSIVE SNOW
FIELD...SO HAVE STAYED CLOSER TO THE LOWER END OF GUIDANCE OR HAVE
GONE A FEW DEGREES BELOW GUIDANCE THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 130 AM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

FOR THIS EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD...DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO
PREVAIL THROUGH AT LEAST NEXT WEEKEND. THIS IS DUE TO A HIGHLY
AMPLIFIED RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE THAT WILL BUILD OVER THE WESTERN
UNITED STATES. NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT SHOULD REMAIN OVER THE FORECAST
AREA BUT ANY DISTURBANCES THAT WOULD BRING PRECIPITATION OR FORCE
COLD FRONTS THROUGH SHOULD REMAIN WELL EAST. ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES SEEM LIKELY FOR TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES
SHOULD BE WARMEST OVER EAST COLORADO AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS WHERE
SNOW SHOULD MELT FIRST...ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO SOAR MUCH MORE
EASILY. COOLER TEMPERATURES...YET STILL ABOVE NORMAL...ARE
ANTICIPATED FURTHER NORTH AND EAST WHERE SNOWPACK SHOULD REMAIN FOR
AT LEAST PART OF THE PERIOD.

ON SATURDAY...A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT MAY SLIP SOUTHWEST ACROSS THE
HIGH PLAINS. GUIDANCE DIFFERS ON HOW FAR WEST THIS FRONT WILL
INFLUENCE THE WEATHER. THIS FRONT SHOULD BE DRY WHEN IT PASSES BUT
HOW MUCH TEMPERATURES COOL IS THE PRIMARY UNANSWERED QUESTION.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1020 PM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR BOTH TAF SITES THRU FORECAST PERIOD.
FOR WINDS...KGLD WILL HAVE WNW AROUND 10KTS BECOME WSW BY 16Z
SATURDAY BEFORE SHIFTING BACK TO WNW AFT 00Z SUNDAY. FOR
KMCK...WNW AROUND 10KTS.


&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...LOCKHART
LONG TERM...RRH
AVIATION...JN





000
FXUS63 KGLD 060830
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
130 AM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 254 PM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT...DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS A SHORTWAVE RIDGE PREVAILS
ACROSS THE REGION. LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER TEENS ARE EXPECTED
TONIGHT.

SATURDAY...A STRONG TROUGH WILL MOVE SOUTHWARD OUT OF CANADA ON
SATURDAY AS THE SHORTWAVE RIDGE RETREATS SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE DAY.
CLEAR SKIES WILL PREVAIL ON SATURDAY WITH AN INCREASE IN HIGH LEVEL
CLOUDS LATE IN THE DAY AS THE TROUGH APPROACHES. NEAR NORMAL
TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER 40S ARE EXPECTED FOR SATURDAY ALTHOUGH THE
WIDESPREAD SNOW PACK WILL CONTINUE TO INFLUENCE DAYTIME HIGH
TEMPERATURES.

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 130 AM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

FOR THIS EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD...DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO
PREVAIL THROUGH AT LEAST NEXT WEEKEND. THIS IS DUE TO A HIGHLY
AMPLIFIED RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE THAT WILL BUILD OVER THE WESTERN
UNITED STATES. NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT SHOULD REMAIN OVER THE FORECAST
AREA BUT ANY DISTURBANCES THAT WOULD BRING PRECIPITATION OR FORCE
COLD FRONTS THROUGH SHOULD REMAIN WELL EAST. ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES SEEM LIKELY FOR TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES
SHOULD BE WARMEST OVER EAST COLORADO AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS WHERE
SNOW SHOULD MELT FIRST...ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO SOAR MUCH MORE
EASILY. COOLER TEMPERATURES...YET STILL ABOVE NORMAL...ARE
ANTICIPATED FURTHER NORTH AND EAST WHERE SNOWPACK SHOULD REMAIN FOR
AT LEAST PART OF THE PERIOD.

ON SATURDAY...A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT MAY SLIP SOUTHWEST ACROSS THE
HIGH PLAINS. GUIDANCE DIFFERS ON HOW FAR WEST THIS FRONT WILL
INFLUENCE THE WEATHER. THIS FRONT SHOULD BE DRY WHEN IT PASSES BUT
HOW MUCH TEMPERATURES COOL IS THE PRIMARY UNANSWERED QUESTION.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1020 PM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR BOTH TAF SITES THRU FORECAST PERIOD.
FOR WINDS...KGLD WILL HAVE WNW AROUND 10KTS BECOME WSW BY 16Z
SATURDAY BEFORE SHIFTING BACK TO WNW AFT 00Z SUNDAY. FOR
KMCK...WNW AROUND 10KTS.


&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...TL
LONG TERM...RRH
AVIATION...JN





000
FXUS63 KGLD 060520
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1020 PM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 254 PM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT...DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS A SHORTWAVE RIDGE PREVAILS
ACROSS THE REGION. LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER TEENS ARE EXPECTED
TONIGHT.

SATURDAY...A STRONG TROUGH WILL MOVE SOUTHWARD OUT OF CANADA ON
SATURDAY AS THE SHORTWAVE RIDGE RETREATS SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE DAY.
CLEAR SKIES WILL PREVAIL ON SATURDAY WITH AN INCREASE IN HIGH LEVEL
CLOUDS LATE IN THE DAY AS THE TROUGH APPROACHES. NEAR NORMAL
TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER 40S ARE EXPECTED FOR SATURDAY ALTHOUGH THE
WIDESPREAD SNOW PACK WILL CONTINUE TO INFLUENCE DAYTIME HIGH
TEMPERATURES.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 359 PM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

SATURDAY NIGHT A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA FROM THE
NORTHWEST.  BEHIND THE FRONT NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE AS A
STRONG LOW LEVEL JET MOVES IN.  DESPITE THE COLDER AIR
MASS...SOUNDINGS INDICATE THE INVERSION REMAINING OVER THE TRI-STATE
AREA.  THIS WILL HELP KEEP THE MAJORITY OF THE STRONGER WINDS FROM
MIXING TO THE GROUND DURING THE NIGHT.  IN ADDITION AN UPPER LEVEL
SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE PLAINS WITH THE FRONT.
SOUNDINGS INDICATE LITTLE MORE THAN CLOUD COVER WILL DEVELOP WITH
THE TROUGH PASSAGE.

SUNDAY THE LOW LEVEL JET WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN.  THE COOLING
EFFECT OF THE DEEP SNOWFIELD WILL HELP KEEP AN INVERSION IN
PLACE...THUS LIMITING THE AMOUNT OF WIND ABLE TO MIX DOWN.  DESPITE
THE LIMITED MIXING...GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED IN THE
AFTERNOON.  IF TEMPERATURES WARM MORE THAN FORECAST...ANTICIPATE THE
WINDS TO BE STRONGER YET.

SUNDAY NIGHT THE STRONG WINDS WILL LAST INTO THE EVENING DUE TO THE
TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT PERSISTING.  AS THE NIGHT PROGRESSES WINDS
WILL GRADUALLY DECLINE AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT LESSENS.

MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY WILL CONTINUE TO BE DRY WITH WARMING
TEMPERATURES AS THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE TO THE WEST SLOWLY BUILDS ONTO
THE PLAINS.  A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH TUESDAY...BRINGING A
QUICK WARM UP BEFORE A WEAK COLD FRONT WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...WITH A
WEAK WARM FRONT MOVING THROUGH THURSDAY.  DESPITE THE DIFFERENT
FRONTAL PASSAGES...TEMPERATURES SHOULD REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL AFTER
MONDAY.  MAIN DETERMINING FACTOR WILL BE THE EFFECT THE MELTING
SNOWFIELD WILL HAVE ON TEMPERATURES.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1020 PM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR BOTH TAF SITES THRU FORECAST PERIOD.
FOR WINDS...KGLD WILL HAVE WNW AROUND 10KTS BECOME WSW BY 16Z
SATURDAY BEFORE SHIFTING BACK TO WNW AFT 00Z SUNDAY. FOR
KMCK...WNW AROUND 10KTS.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...TL
LONG TERM...JTL
AVIATION...JN





000
FXUS63 KGLD 052325
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
425 PM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 254 PM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT...DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS A SHORTWAVE RIDGE PREVAILS
ACROSS THE REGION. LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER TEENS ARE EXPECTED
TONIGHT.

SATURDAY...A STRONG TROUGH WILL MOVE SOUTHWARD OUT OF CANADA ON
SATURDAY AS THE SHORTWAVE RIDGE RETREATS SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE DAY.
CLEAR SKIES WILL PREVAIL ON SATURDAY WITH AN INCREASE IN HIGH LEVEL
CLOUDS LATE IN THE DAY AS THE TROUGH APPROACHES. NEAR NORMAL
TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER 40S ARE EXPECTED FOR SATURDAY ALTHOUGH THE
WIDESPREAD SNOW PACK WILL CONTINUE TO INFLUENCE DAYTIME HIGH
TEMPERATURES.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 359 PM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

SATURDAY NIGHT A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA FROM THE
NORTHWEST.  BEHIND THE FRONT NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE AS A
STRONG LOW LEVEL JET MOVES IN.  DESPITE THE COLDER AIR
MASS...SOUNDINGS INDICATE THE INVERSION REMAINING OVER THE TRI-STATE
AREA.  THIS WILL HELP KEEP THE MAJORITY OF THE STRONGER WINDS FROM
MIXING TO THE GROUND DURING THE NIGHT.  IN ADDITION AN UPPER LEVEL
SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE PLAINS WITH THE FRONT.
SOUNDINGS INDICATE LITTLE MORE THAN CLOUD COVER WILL DEVELOP WITH
THE TROUGH PASSAGE.

SUNDAY THE LOW LEVEL JET WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN.  THE COOLING
EFFECT OF THE DEEP SNOWFIELD WILL HELP KEEP AN INVERSION IN
PLACE...THUS LIMITING THE AMOUNT OF WIND ABLE TO MIX DOWN.  DESPITE
THE LIMITED MIXING...GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED IN THE
AFTERNOON.  IF TEMPERATURES WARM MORE THAN FORECAST...ANTICIPATE THE
WINDS TO BE STRONGER YET.

SUNDAY NIGHT THE STRONG WINDS WILL LAST INTO THE EVENING DUE TO THE
TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT PERSISTING.  AS THE NIGHT PROGRESSES WINDS
WILL GRADUALLY DECLINE AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT LESSENS.

MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY WILL CONTINUE TO BE DRY WITH WARMING
TEMPERATURES AS THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE TO THE WEST SLOWLY BUILDS ONTO
THE PLAINS.  A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH TUESDAY...BRINGING A
QUICK WARM UP BEFORE A WEAK COLD FRONT WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...WITH A
WEAK WARM FRONT MOVING THROUGH THURSDAY.  DESPITE THE DIFFERENT
FRONTAL PASSAGES...TEMPERATURES SHOULD REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL AFTER
MONDAY.  MAIN DETERMINING FACTOR WILL BE THE EFFECT THE MELTING
SNOWFIELD WILL HAVE ON TEMPERATURES.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 425 PM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

VFR CONDITIONS FOR BOTH TAF SITES THRU FORECAST PERIOD WITH ONLY
FEW-SCT150-250. WINDS WNW AROUND 10 KTS THRU 06Z SATURDAY...THEN
BECOMING WSW.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...TL
LONG TERM...JTL
AVIATION...JN




000
FXUS63 KGLD 052325
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
425 PM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 254 PM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT...DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS A SHORTWAVE RIDGE PREVAILS
ACROSS THE REGION. LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER TEENS ARE EXPECTED
TONIGHT.

SATURDAY...A STRONG TROUGH WILL MOVE SOUTHWARD OUT OF CANADA ON
SATURDAY AS THE SHORTWAVE RIDGE RETREATS SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE DAY.
CLEAR SKIES WILL PREVAIL ON SATURDAY WITH AN INCREASE IN HIGH LEVEL
CLOUDS LATE IN THE DAY AS THE TROUGH APPROACHES. NEAR NORMAL
TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER 40S ARE EXPECTED FOR SATURDAY ALTHOUGH THE
WIDESPREAD SNOW PACK WILL CONTINUE TO INFLUENCE DAYTIME HIGH
TEMPERATURES.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 359 PM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

SATURDAY NIGHT A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA FROM THE
NORTHWEST.  BEHIND THE FRONT NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE AS A
STRONG LOW LEVEL JET MOVES IN.  DESPITE THE COLDER AIR
MASS...SOUNDINGS INDICATE THE INVERSION REMAINING OVER THE TRI-STATE
AREA.  THIS WILL HELP KEEP THE MAJORITY OF THE STRONGER WINDS FROM
MIXING TO THE GROUND DURING THE NIGHT.  IN ADDITION AN UPPER LEVEL
SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE PLAINS WITH THE FRONT.
SOUNDINGS INDICATE LITTLE MORE THAN CLOUD COVER WILL DEVELOP WITH
THE TROUGH PASSAGE.

SUNDAY THE LOW LEVEL JET WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN.  THE COOLING
EFFECT OF THE DEEP SNOWFIELD WILL HELP KEEP AN INVERSION IN
PLACE...THUS LIMITING THE AMOUNT OF WIND ABLE TO MIX DOWN.  DESPITE
THE LIMITED MIXING...GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED IN THE
AFTERNOON.  IF TEMPERATURES WARM MORE THAN FORECAST...ANTICIPATE THE
WINDS TO BE STRONGER YET.

SUNDAY NIGHT THE STRONG WINDS WILL LAST INTO THE EVENING DUE TO THE
TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT PERSISTING.  AS THE NIGHT PROGRESSES WINDS
WILL GRADUALLY DECLINE AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT LESSENS.

MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY WILL CONTINUE TO BE DRY WITH WARMING
TEMPERATURES AS THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE TO THE WEST SLOWLY BUILDS ONTO
THE PLAINS.  A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH TUESDAY...BRINGING A
QUICK WARM UP BEFORE A WEAK COLD FRONT WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...WITH A
WEAK WARM FRONT MOVING THROUGH THURSDAY.  DESPITE THE DIFFERENT
FRONTAL PASSAGES...TEMPERATURES SHOULD REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL AFTER
MONDAY.  MAIN DETERMINING FACTOR WILL BE THE EFFECT THE MELTING
SNOWFIELD WILL HAVE ON TEMPERATURES.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 425 PM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

VFR CONDITIONS FOR BOTH TAF SITES THRU FORECAST PERIOD WITH ONLY
FEW-SCT150-250. WINDS WNW AROUND 10 KTS THRU 06Z SATURDAY...THEN
BECOMING WSW.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...TL
LONG TERM...JTL
AVIATION...JN





000
FXUS63 KGLD 052325
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
425 PM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 254 PM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT...DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS A SHORTWAVE RIDGE PREVAILS
ACROSS THE REGION. LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER TEENS ARE EXPECTED
TONIGHT.

SATURDAY...A STRONG TROUGH WILL MOVE SOUTHWARD OUT OF CANADA ON
SATURDAY AS THE SHORTWAVE RIDGE RETREATS SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE DAY.
CLEAR SKIES WILL PREVAIL ON SATURDAY WITH AN INCREASE IN HIGH LEVEL
CLOUDS LATE IN THE DAY AS THE TROUGH APPROACHES. NEAR NORMAL
TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER 40S ARE EXPECTED FOR SATURDAY ALTHOUGH THE
WIDESPREAD SNOW PACK WILL CONTINUE TO INFLUENCE DAYTIME HIGH
TEMPERATURES.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 359 PM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

SATURDAY NIGHT A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA FROM THE
NORTHWEST.  BEHIND THE FRONT NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE AS A
STRONG LOW LEVEL JET MOVES IN.  DESPITE THE COLDER AIR
MASS...SOUNDINGS INDICATE THE INVERSION REMAINING OVER THE TRI-STATE
AREA.  THIS WILL HELP KEEP THE MAJORITY OF THE STRONGER WINDS FROM
MIXING TO THE GROUND DURING THE NIGHT.  IN ADDITION AN UPPER LEVEL
SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE PLAINS WITH THE FRONT.
SOUNDINGS INDICATE LITTLE MORE THAN CLOUD COVER WILL DEVELOP WITH
THE TROUGH PASSAGE.

SUNDAY THE LOW LEVEL JET WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN.  THE COOLING
EFFECT OF THE DEEP SNOWFIELD WILL HELP KEEP AN INVERSION IN
PLACE...THUS LIMITING THE AMOUNT OF WIND ABLE TO MIX DOWN.  DESPITE
THE LIMITED MIXING...GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED IN THE
AFTERNOON.  IF TEMPERATURES WARM MORE THAN FORECAST...ANTICIPATE THE
WINDS TO BE STRONGER YET.

SUNDAY NIGHT THE STRONG WINDS WILL LAST INTO THE EVENING DUE TO THE
TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT PERSISTING.  AS THE NIGHT PROGRESSES WINDS
WILL GRADUALLY DECLINE AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT LESSENS.

MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY WILL CONTINUE TO BE DRY WITH WARMING
TEMPERATURES AS THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE TO THE WEST SLOWLY BUILDS ONTO
THE PLAINS.  A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH TUESDAY...BRINGING A
QUICK WARM UP BEFORE A WEAK COLD FRONT WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...WITH A
WEAK WARM FRONT MOVING THROUGH THURSDAY.  DESPITE THE DIFFERENT
FRONTAL PASSAGES...TEMPERATURES SHOULD REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL AFTER
MONDAY.  MAIN DETERMINING FACTOR WILL BE THE EFFECT THE MELTING
SNOWFIELD WILL HAVE ON TEMPERATURES.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 425 PM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

VFR CONDITIONS FOR BOTH TAF SITES THRU FORECAST PERIOD WITH ONLY
FEW-SCT150-250. WINDS WNW AROUND 10 KTS THRU 06Z SATURDAY...THEN
BECOMING WSW.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...TL
LONG TERM...JTL
AVIATION...JN





000
FXUS63 KGLD 052259
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
359 PM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 254 PM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT...DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS A SHORTWAVE RIDGE PREVAILS
ACROSS THE REGION. LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER TEENS ARE EXPECTED
TONIGHT.

SATURDAY...A STRONG TROUGH WILL MOVE SOUTHWARD OUT OF CANADA ON
SATURDAY AS THE SHORTWAVE RIDGE RETREATS SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE DAY.
CLEAR SKIES WILL PREVAIL ON SATURDAY WITH AN INCREASE IN HIGH LEVEL
CLOUDS LATE IN THE DAY AS THE TROUGH APPROACHES. NEAR NORMAL
TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER 40S ARE EXPECTED FOR SATURDAY ALTHOUGH THE
WIDESPREAD SNOW PACK WILL CONTINUE TO INFLUENCE DAYTIME HIGH
TEMPERATURES.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 359 PM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

SATURDAY NIGHT A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA FROM THE
NORTHWEST.  BEHIND THE FRONT NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE AS A
STRONG LOW LEVEL JET MOVES IN.  DESPITE THE COLDER AIR
MASS...SOUNDINGS INDICATE THE INVERSION REMAINING OVER THE TRI-STATE
AREA.  THIS WILL HELP KEEP THE MAJORITY OF THE STRONGER WINDS FROM
MIXING TO THE GROUND DURING THE NIGHT.  IN ADDITION AN UPPER LEVEL
SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE PLAINS WITH THE FRONT.
SOUNDINGS INDICATE LITTLE MORE THAN CLOUD COVER WILL DEVELOP WITH
THE TROUGH PASSAGE.

SUNDAY THE LOW LEVEL JET WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN.  THE COOLING
EFFECT OF THE DEEP SNOWFIELD WILL HELP KEEP AN INVERSION IN
PLACE...THUS LIMITING THE AMOUNT OF WIND ABLE TO MIX DOWN.  DESPITE
THE LIMITED MIXING...GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED IN THE
AFTERNOON.  IF TEMPERATURES WARM MORE THAN FORECAST...ANTICIPATE THE
WINDS TO BE STRONGER YET.

SUNDAY NIGHT THE STRONG WINDS WILL LAST INTO THE EVENING DUE TO THE
TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT PERSISTING.  AS THE NIGHT PROGRESSES WINDS
WILL GRADUALLY DECLINE AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT LESSENS.

MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY WILL CONTINUE TO BE DRY WITH WARMING
TEMPERATURES AS THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE TO THE WEST SLOWLY BUILDS ONTO
THE PLAINS.  A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH TUESDAY...BRINGING A
QUICK WARM UP BEFORE A WEAK COLD FRONT WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...WITH A
WEAK WARM FRONT MOVING THROUGH THURSDAY.  DESPITE THE DIFFERENT
FRONTAL PASSAGES...TEMPERATURES SHOULD REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL AFTER
MONDAY.  MAIN DETERMINING FACTOR WILL BE THE EFFECT THE MELTING
SNOWFIELD WILL HAVE ON TEMPERATURES.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1018 AM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO CLEAR THE REGION FROM WEST TO EAST THIS
MORNING WITH MVFR CONDITIONS BECOMING VFR AT BOTH TAF SITES AS WE
HEAD INTO THE AFTERNOON. A FEW HIGH CLOUDS ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY AT
KMCK THROUGH MUCH THE DAY WITH KGLD SEEING HIGH CLOUDS WITH LESSER
COVERAGE. WINDS WILL BECOME WESTERLY AROUND AND AFTER MIDNIGHT AT 10
TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT AT KGLD AND 8 TO 12 KT AT KMCK.
WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT TONIGHT AT BOTH TAF SITES...BECOMING WEST
SOUTHWEST SATURDAY MORNING.


&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...TL
LONG TERM...JTL
AVIATION...TL





000
FXUS63 KGLD 052259
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
359 PM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 254 PM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT...DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS A SHORTWAVE RIDGE PREVAILS
ACROSS THE REGION. LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER TEENS ARE EXPECTED
TONIGHT.

SATURDAY...A STRONG TROUGH WILL MOVE SOUTHWARD OUT OF CANADA ON
SATURDAY AS THE SHORTWAVE RIDGE RETREATS SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE DAY.
CLEAR SKIES WILL PREVAIL ON SATURDAY WITH AN INCREASE IN HIGH LEVEL
CLOUDS LATE IN THE DAY AS THE TROUGH APPROACHES. NEAR NORMAL
TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER 40S ARE EXPECTED FOR SATURDAY ALTHOUGH THE
WIDESPREAD SNOW PACK WILL CONTINUE TO INFLUENCE DAYTIME HIGH
TEMPERATURES.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 359 PM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

SATURDAY NIGHT A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA FROM THE
NORTHWEST.  BEHIND THE FRONT NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE AS A
STRONG LOW LEVEL JET MOVES IN.  DESPITE THE COLDER AIR
MASS...SOUNDINGS INDICATE THE INVERSION REMAINING OVER THE TRI-STATE
AREA.  THIS WILL HELP KEEP THE MAJORITY OF THE STRONGER WINDS FROM
MIXING TO THE GROUND DURING THE NIGHT.  IN ADDITION AN UPPER LEVEL
SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE PLAINS WITH THE FRONT.
SOUNDINGS INDICATE LITTLE MORE THAN CLOUD COVER WILL DEVELOP WITH
THE TROUGH PASSAGE.

SUNDAY THE LOW LEVEL JET WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN.  THE COOLING
EFFECT OF THE DEEP SNOWFIELD WILL HELP KEEP AN INVERSION IN
PLACE...THUS LIMITING THE AMOUNT OF WIND ABLE TO MIX DOWN.  DESPITE
THE LIMITED MIXING...GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED IN THE
AFTERNOON.  IF TEMPERATURES WARM MORE THAN FORECAST...ANTICIPATE THE
WINDS TO BE STRONGER YET.

SUNDAY NIGHT THE STRONG WINDS WILL LAST INTO THE EVENING DUE TO THE
TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT PERSISTING.  AS THE NIGHT PROGRESSES WINDS
WILL GRADUALLY DECLINE AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT LESSENS.

MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY WILL CONTINUE TO BE DRY WITH WARMING
TEMPERATURES AS THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE TO THE WEST SLOWLY BUILDS ONTO
THE PLAINS.  A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH TUESDAY...BRINGING A
QUICK WARM UP BEFORE A WEAK COLD FRONT WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...WITH A
WEAK WARM FRONT MOVING THROUGH THURSDAY.  DESPITE THE DIFFERENT
FRONTAL PASSAGES...TEMPERATURES SHOULD REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL AFTER
MONDAY.  MAIN DETERMINING FACTOR WILL BE THE EFFECT THE MELTING
SNOWFIELD WILL HAVE ON TEMPERATURES.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1018 AM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO CLEAR THE REGION FROM WEST TO EAST THIS
MORNING WITH MVFR CONDITIONS BECOMING VFR AT BOTH TAF SITES AS WE
HEAD INTO THE AFTERNOON. A FEW HIGH CLOUDS ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY AT
KMCK THROUGH MUCH THE DAY WITH KGLD SEEING HIGH CLOUDS WITH LESSER
COVERAGE. WINDS WILL BECOME WESTERLY AROUND AND AFTER MIDNIGHT AT 10
TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT AT KGLD AND 8 TO 12 KT AT KMCK.
WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT TONIGHT AT BOTH TAF SITES...BECOMING WEST
SOUTHWEST SATURDAY MORNING.


&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...TL
LONG TERM...JTL
AVIATION...TL





000
FXUS63 KGLD 052259
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
359 PM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 254 PM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT...DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS A SHORTWAVE RIDGE PREVAILS
ACROSS THE REGION. LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER TEENS ARE EXPECTED
TONIGHT.

SATURDAY...A STRONG TROUGH WILL MOVE SOUTHWARD OUT OF CANADA ON
SATURDAY AS THE SHORTWAVE RIDGE RETREATS SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE DAY.
CLEAR SKIES WILL PREVAIL ON SATURDAY WITH AN INCREASE IN HIGH LEVEL
CLOUDS LATE IN THE DAY AS THE TROUGH APPROACHES. NEAR NORMAL
TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER 40S ARE EXPECTED FOR SATURDAY ALTHOUGH THE
WIDESPREAD SNOW PACK WILL CONTINUE TO INFLUENCE DAYTIME HIGH
TEMPERATURES.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 359 PM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

SATURDAY NIGHT A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA FROM THE
NORTHWEST.  BEHIND THE FRONT NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE AS A
STRONG LOW LEVEL JET MOVES IN.  DESPITE THE COLDER AIR
MASS...SOUNDINGS INDICATE THE INVERSION REMAINING OVER THE TRI-STATE
AREA.  THIS WILL HELP KEEP THE MAJORITY OF THE STRONGER WINDS FROM
MIXING TO THE GROUND DURING THE NIGHT.  IN ADDITION AN UPPER LEVEL
SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE PLAINS WITH THE FRONT.
SOUNDINGS INDICATE LITTLE MORE THAN CLOUD COVER WILL DEVELOP WITH
THE TROUGH PASSAGE.

SUNDAY THE LOW LEVEL JET WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN.  THE COOLING
EFFECT OF THE DEEP SNOWFIELD WILL HELP KEEP AN INVERSION IN
PLACE...THUS LIMITING THE AMOUNT OF WIND ABLE TO MIX DOWN.  DESPITE
THE LIMITED MIXING...GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED IN THE
AFTERNOON.  IF TEMPERATURES WARM MORE THAN FORECAST...ANTICIPATE THE
WINDS TO BE STRONGER YET.

SUNDAY NIGHT THE STRONG WINDS WILL LAST INTO THE EVENING DUE TO THE
TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT PERSISTING.  AS THE NIGHT PROGRESSES WINDS
WILL GRADUALLY DECLINE AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT LESSENS.

MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY WILL CONTINUE TO BE DRY WITH WARMING
TEMPERATURES AS THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE TO THE WEST SLOWLY BUILDS ONTO
THE PLAINS.  A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH TUESDAY...BRINGING A
QUICK WARM UP BEFORE A WEAK COLD FRONT WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...WITH A
WEAK WARM FRONT MOVING THROUGH THURSDAY.  DESPITE THE DIFFERENT
FRONTAL PASSAGES...TEMPERATURES SHOULD REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL AFTER
MONDAY.  MAIN DETERMINING FACTOR WILL BE THE EFFECT THE MELTING
SNOWFIELD WILL HAVE ON TEMPERATURES.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1018 AM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO CLEAR THE REGION FROM WEST TO EAST THIS
MORNING WITH MVFR CONDITIONS BECOMING VFR AT BOTH TAF SITES AS WE
HEAD INTO THE AFTERNOON. A FEW HIGH CLOUDS ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY AT
KMCK THROUGH MUCH THE DAY WITH KGLD SEEING HIGH CLOUDS WITH LESSER
COVERAGE. WINDS WILL BECOME WESTERLY AROUND AND AFTER MIDNIGHT AT 10
TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT AT KGLD AND 8 TO 12 KT AT KMCK.
WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT TONIGHT AT BOTH TAF SITES...BECOMING WEST
SOUTHWEST SATURDAY MORNING.


&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...TL
LONG TERM...JTL
AVIATION...TL




000
FXUS63 KGLD 052155
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
255 PM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 254 PM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT...DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS A SHORTWAVE RIDGE PREVAILS
ACROSS THE REGION. LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER TEENS ARE EXPECTED
TONIGHT.

SATURDAY...A STRONG TROUGH WILL MOVE SOUTHWARD OUT OF CANADA ON
SATURDAY AS THE SHORTWAVE RIDGE RETREATS SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE DAY.
CLEAR SKIES WILL PREVAIL ON SATURDAY WITH AN INCREASE IN HIGH LEVEL
CLOUDS LATE IN THE DAY AS THE TROUGH APPROACHES. NEAR NORMAL
TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER 40S ARE EXPECTED FOR SATURDAY ALTHOUGH THE
WIDESPREAD SNOW PACK WILL CONTINUE TO INFLUENCE DAYTIME HIGH
TEMPERATURES.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 134 AM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

FOR THIS EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD...ANTICIPATE QUIET WEATHER WITH
GRADUAL WARMING TREND. FORECAST GUIDANCE INDICATES SIGNIFICANT
WARMING LIKELY TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WITH WARM WEATHER PERSISTING
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. HOWEVER...AS WITH RECENT DAYS...DO NOT THINK
THIS IS COMPLETELY REASONABLE...ESPECIALLY FOR LOCATIONS WHERE 10+
INCHES OF SNOW REMAIN ON THE GROUND. AFTER COLLABORATION WITH
NEIGHBORS...ADJUSTED HIGH TEMPERATURES DOWN FROM THE CR
INITIALIZATION BY USING A 50% BLEND WITH BCCONSRAW AND A FEW OTHER
MINOR ADJUSTMENTS. IN THE END...THIS LOWERED HIGH TEMPERATURES 3-4
DEGREES...SPECIFICALLY FOR LOCATIONS ALONG/NORTH OF INTERSTATE 70
AND EAST OF THE COLORADO BORDER.

NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED WITH A SIGNIFICANT RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST FLOW OVERHEAD. AS A RESULT OF THE
RIDGE BLOCKING THE FLOW...NO DISTURBANCES SHOULD PASS THROUGH. ONE
THING TO MONITOR IS WIND SPEEDS ON MONDAY. A LARGE TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE DIGS ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. A STRONG JET OF
WINDS ALOFT SLIDES OVER THE HIGH PLAINS SUNDAY AND PERSISTS INTO
MONDAY. FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE SOME MIXING INTO THIS
JET...WHICH WOULD BRING STRONGER WIND GUSTS DOWN TO THE SURFACE.
INCREASED SUSTAINED WINDS AND GUSTS TO REFLECT THIS POTENTIAL. STILL
SEVERAL DAYS OUT BUT FELT CONFIDENT ENOUGH TO AT LEAST MAKE AN
ADJUSTMENT TOWARDS POTENTIAL HIGHER WINDS.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1018 AM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO CLEAR THE REGION FROM WEST TO EAST THIS
MORNING WITH MVFR CONDITIONS BECOMING VFR AT BOTH TAF SITES AS WE
HEAD INTO THE AFTERNOON. A FEW HIGH CLOUDS ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY AT
KMCK THROUGH MUCH THE DAY WITH KGLD SEEING HIGH CLOUDS WITH LESSER
COVERAGE. WINDS WILL BECOME WESTERLY AROUND AND AFTER MIDNIGHT AT 10
TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT AT KGLD AND 8 TO 12 KT AT KMCK.
WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT TONIGHT AT BOTH TAF SITES...BECOMING WEST
SOUTHWEST SATURDAY MORNING.


&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...TL
LONG TERM...RRH
AVIATION...TL





000
FXUS63 KGLD 051721
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1021 AM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 1018 AM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

SNOW SHOWERS HAVE EXITED THE REGION THIS MORNING WITH GRADUALLY
CLEARING SKIES EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FROM WEST TO EAST. WILL BE
UPDATING GRIDS AND ZONES SHORTLY.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 227 AM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

THE VERY LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS CURRENTLY MOVING ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA ARE THE IMMEDIATE CONCERN EARLY THIS MORNING WHILE THE CONCERN
OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS IS THE EXTENSIVE SNOW COVER THAT WILL REMAIN
ACROSS THE REGION. MODEL SOLUTIONS ARE TRYING TO WARM TEMPERATURES
OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...BUT HAVE DECIDED TO LOWER DAYTIME HIGHS A
FEW DEGREES FROM WHAT IS BEING ADVERTISED DUE TO THE SNOW COVER.

A FEW LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS WILL ACCOMPANY AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND
ASSOCIATED SURFACE TROUGH AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS
REGION TODAY. THE LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH AS
THEY MOVE EAST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THIS MORNING WITH LESS THAN
A HALF INCH OF SNOW EXPECTED AT ANY LOCATION.

DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AS SHORT WAVE RIDGING FOLLOWS TONIGHT
AND SATURDAY. THE NEXT UPPER TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE REGION IN THE
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT ON SUNDAY. MOISTURE WILL BE VERY LIMITED WITH
THIS NEXT DISTURBANCE...SO ONLY AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS AND NO
PRECIPITATION IS ANTICIPATED.  THE SURFACE TROUGH ASSOCIATED WITH
THE UPPER DISTURBANCE MOVES ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA SATURDAY NIGHT.
UNIDIRECTIONAL NORTHWEST FLOW THROUGH THE COLUMN WITH 50-70 KTS 1.5K
TO 3K FT ALOFT ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS ACROSS
THE AREA DURING THE DAY ON SUNDAY.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 134 AM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

FOR THIS EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD...ANTICIPATE QUIET WEATHER WITH
GRADUAL WARMING TREND. FORECAST GUIDANCE INDICATES SIGNIFICANT
WARMING LIKELY TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WITH WARM WEATHER PERSISTING
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. HOWEVER...AS WITH RECENT DAYS...DO NOT THINK
THIS IS COMPLETELY REASONABLE...ESPECIALLY FOR LOCATIONS WHERE 10+
INCHES OF SNOW REMAIN ON THE GROUND. AFTER COLLABORATION WITH
NEIGHBORS...ADJUSTED HIGH TEMPERATURES DOWN FROM THE CR
INITIALIZATION BY USING A 50% BLEND WITH BCCONSRAW AND A FEW OTHER
MINOR ADJUSTMENTS. IN THE END...THIS LOWERED HIGH TEMPERATURES 3-4
DEGREES...SPECIFICALLY FOR LOCATIONS ALONG/NORTH OF INTERSTATE 70
AND EAST OF THE COLORADO BORDER.

NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED WITH A SIGNIFICANT RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST FLOW OVERHEAD. AS A RESULT OF THE
RIDGE BLOCKING THE FLOW...NO DISTURBANCES SHOULD PASS THROUGH. ONE
THING TO MONITOR IS WIND SPEEDS ON MONDAY. A LARGE TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE DIGS ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. A STRONG JET OF
WINDS ALOFT SLIDES OVER THE HIGH PLAINS SUNDAY AND PERSISTS INTO
MONDAY. FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE SOME MIXING INTO THIS
JET...WHICH WOULD BRING STRONGER WIND GUSTS DOWN TO THE SURFACE.
INCREASED SUSTAINED WINDS AND GUSTS TO REFLECT THIS POTENTIAL. STILL
SEVERAL DAYS OUT BUT FELT CONFIDENT ENOUGH TO AT LEAST MAKE AN
ADJUSTMENT TOWARDS POTENTIAL HIGHER WINDS.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1018 AM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO CLEAR THE REGION FROM WEST TO EAST THIS
MORNING WITH MVFR CONDITIONS BECOMING VFR AT BOTH TAF SITES AS WE
HEAD INTO THE AFTERNOON. A FEW HIGH CLOUDS ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY AT
KMCK THROUGH MUCH THE DAY WITH KGLD SEEING HIGH CLOUDS WITH LESSER
COVERAGE. WINDS WILL BECOME WESTERLY AROUND AND AFTER MIDNIGHT AT 10
TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT AT KGLD AND 8 TO 12 KT AT KMCK.
WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT TONIGHT AT BOTH TAF SITES...BECOMING WEST
SOUTHWEST SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE...TL
SHORT TERM...LOCKHART
LONG TERM...RRH
AVIATION...TL





000
FXUS63 KGLD 051721
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1021 AM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 1018 AM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

SNOW SHOWERS HAVE EXITED THE REGION THIS MORNING WITH GRADUALLY
CLEARING SKIES EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FROM WEST TO EAST. WILL BE
UPDATING GRIDS AND ZONES SHORTLY.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 227 AM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

THE VERY LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS CURRENTLY MOVING ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA ARE THE IMMEDIATE CONCERN EARLY THIS MORNING WHILE THE CONCERN
OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS IS THE EXTENSIVE SNOW COVER THAT WILL REMAIN
ACROSS THE REGION. MODEL SOLUTIONS ARE TRYING TO WARM TEMPERATURES
OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...BUT HAVE DECIDED TO LOWER DAYTIME HIGHS A
FEW DEGREES FROM WHAT IS BEING ADVERTISED DUE TO THE SNOW COVER.

A FEW LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS WILL ACCOMPANY AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND
ASSOCIATED SURFACE TROUGH AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS
REGION TODAY. THE LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH AS
THEY MOVE EAST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THIS MORNING WITH LESS THAN
A HALF INCH OF SNOW EXPECTED AT ANY LOCATION.

DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AS SHORT WAVE RIDGING FOLLOWS TONIGHT
AND SATURDAY. THE NEXT UPPER TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE REGION IN THE
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT ON SUNDAY. MOISTURE WILL BE VERY LIMITED WITH
THIS NEXT DISTURBANCE...SO ONLY AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS AND NO
PRECIPITATION IS ANTICIPATED.  THE SURFACE TROUGH ASSOCIATED WITH
THE UPPER DISTURBANCE MOVES ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA SATURDAY NIGHT.
UNIDIRECTIONAL NORTHWEST FLOW THROUGH THE COLUMN WITH 50-70 KTS 1.5K
TO 3K FT ALOFT ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS ACROSS
THE AREA DURING THE DAY ON SUNDAY.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 134 AM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

FOR THIS EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD...ANTICIPATE QUIET WEATHER WITH
GRADUAL WARMING TREND. FORECAST GUIDANCE INDICATES SIGNIFICANT
WARMING LIKELY TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WITH WARM WEATHER PERSISTING
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. HOWEVER...AS WITH RECENT DAYS...DO NOT THINK
THIS IS COMPLETELY REASONABLE...ESPECIALLY FOR LOCATIONS WHERE 10+
INCHES OF SNOW REMAIN ON THE GROUND. AFTER COLLABORATION WITH
NEIGHBORS...ADJUSTED HIGH TEMPERATURES DOWN FROM THE CR
INITIALIZATION BY USING A 50% BLEND WITH BCCONSRAW AND A FEW OTHER
MINOR ADJUSTMENTS. IN THE END...THIS LOWERED HIGH TEMPERATURES 3-4
DEGREES...SPECIFICALLY FOR LOCATIONS ALONG/NORTH OF INTERSTATE 70
AND EAST OF THE COLORADO BORDER.

NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED WITH A SIGNIFICANT RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST FLOW OVERHEAD. AS A RESULT OF THE
RIDGE BLOCKING THE FLOW...NO DISTURBANCES SHOULD PASS THROUGH. ONE
THING TO MONITOR IS WIND SPEEDS ON MONDAY. A LARGE TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE DIGS ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. A STRONG JET OF
WINDS ALOFT SLIDES OVER THE HIGH PLAINS SUNDAY AND PERSISTS INTO
MONDAY. FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE SOME MIXING INTO THIS
JET...WHICH WOULD BRING STRONGER WIND GUSTS DOWN TO THE SURFACE.
INCREASED SUSTAINED WINDS AND GUSTS TO REFLECT THIS POTENTIAL. STILL
SEVERAL DAYS OUT BUT FELT CONFIDENT ENOUGH TO AT LEAST MAKE AN
ADJUSTMENT TOWARDS POTENTIAL HIGHER WINDS.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1018 AM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO CLEAR THE REGION FROM WEST TO EAST THIS
MORNING WITH MVFR CONDITIONS BECOMING VFR AT BOTH TAF SITES AS WE
HEAD INTO THE AFTERNOON. A FEW HIGH CLOUDS ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY AT
KMCK THROUGH MUCH THE DAY WITH KGLD SEEING HIGH CLOUDS WITH LESSER
COVERAGE. WINDS WILL BECOME WESTERLY AROUND AND AFTER MIDNIGHT AT 10
TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT AT KGLD AND 8 TO 12 KT AT KMCK.
WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT TONIGHT AT BOTH TAF SITES...BECOMING WEST
SOUTHWEST SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE...TL
SHORT TERM...LOCKHART
LONG TERM...RRH
AVIATION...TL





000
FXUS63 KGLD 051721
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1021 AM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 1018 AM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

SNOW SHOWERS HAVE EXITED THE REGION THIS MORNING WITH GRADUALLY
CLEARING SKIES EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FROM WEST TO EAST. WILL BE
UPDATING GRIDS AND ZONES SHORTLY.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 227 AM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

THE VERY LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS CURRENTLY MOVING ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA ARE THE IMMEDIATE CONCERN EARLY THIS MORNING WHILE THE CONCERN
OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS IS THE EXTENSIVE SNOW COVER THAT WILL REMAIN
ACROSS THE REGION. MODEL SOLUTIONS ARE TRYING TO WARM TEMPERATURES
OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...BUT HAVE DECIDED TO LOWER DAYTIME HIGHS A
FEW DEGREES FROM WHAT IS BEING ADVERTISED DUE TO THE SNOW COVER.

A FEW LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS WILL ACCOMPANY AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND
ASSOCIATED SURFACE TROUGH AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS
REGION TODAY. THE LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH AS
THEY MOVE EAST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THIS MORNING WITH LESS THAN
A HALF INCH OF SNOW EXPECTED AT ANY LOCATION.

DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AS SHORT WAVE RIDGING FOLLOWS TONIGHT
AND SATURDAY. THE NEXT UPPER TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE REGION IN THE
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT ON SUNDAY. MOISTURE WILL BE VERY LIMITED WITH
THIS NEXT DISTURBANCE...SO ONLY AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS AND NO
PRECIPITATION IS ANTICIPATED.  THE SURFACE TROUGH ASSOCIATED WITH
THE UPPER DISTURBANCE MOVES ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA SATURDAY NIGHT.
UNIDIRECTIONAL NORTHWEST FLOW THROUGH THE COLUMN WITH 50-70 KTS 1.5K
TO 3K FT ALOFT ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS ACROSS
THE AREA DURING THE DAY ON SUNDAY.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 134 AM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

FOR THIS EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD...ANTICIPATE QUIET WEATHER WITH
GRADUAL WARMING TREND. FORECAST GUIDANCE INDICATES SIGNIFICANT
WARMING LIKELY TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WITH WARM WEATHER PERSISTING
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. HOWEVER...AS WITH RECENT DAYS...DO NOT THINK
THIS IS COMPLETELY REASONABLE...ESPECIALLY FOR LOCATIONS WHERE 10+
INCHES OF SNOW REMAIN ON THE GROUND. AFTER COLLABORATION WITH
NEIGHBORS...ADJUSTED HIGH TEMPERATURES DOWN FROM THE CR
INITIALIZATION BY USING A 50% BLEND WITH BCCONSRAW AND A FEW OTHER
MINOR ADJUSTMENTS. IN THE END...THIS LOWERED HIGH TEMPERATURES 3-4
DEGREES...SPECIFICALLY FOR LOCATIONS ALONG/NORTH OF INTERSTATE 70
AND EAST OF THE COLORADO BORDER.

NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED WITH A SIGNIFICANT RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST FLOW OVERHEAD. AS A RESULT OF THE
RIDGE BLOCKING THE FLOW...NO DISTURBANCES SHOULD PASS THROUGH. ONE
THING TO MONITOR IS WIND SPEEDS ON MONDAY. A LARGE TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE DIGS ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. A STRONG JET OF
WINDS ALOFT SLIDES OVER THE HIGH PLAINS SUNDAY AND PERSISTS INTO
MONDAY. FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE SOME MIXING INTO THIS
JET...WHICH WOULD BRING STRONGER WIND GUSTS DOWN TO THE SURFACE.
INCREASED SUSTAINED WINDS AND GUSTS TO REFLECT THIS POTENTIAL. STILL
SEVERAL DAYS OUT BUT FELT CONFIDENT ENOUGH TO AT LEAST MAKE AN
ADJUSTMENT TOWARDS POTENTIAL HIGHER WINDS.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1018 AM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO CLEAR THE REGION FROM WEST TO EAST THIS
MORNING WITH MVFR CONDITIONS BECOMING VFR AT BOTH TAF SITES AS WE
HEAD INTO THE AFTERNOON. A FEW HIGH CLOUDS ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY AT
KMCK THROUGH MUCH THE DAY WITH KGLD SEEING HIGH CLOUDS WITH LESSER
COVERAGE. WINDS WILL BECOME WESTERLY AROUND AND AFTER MIDNIGHT AT 10
TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT AT KGLD AND 8 TO 12 KT AT KMCK.
WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT TONIGHT AT BOTH TAF SITES...BECOMING WEST
SOUTHWEST SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE...TL
SHORT TERM...LOCKHART
LONG TERM...RRH
AVIATION...TL




000
FXUS63 KGLD 051142
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
442 AM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 227 AM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

THE VERY LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS CURRENTLY MOVING ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA ARE THE IMMEDIATE CONCERN EARLY THIS MORNING WHILE THE CONCERN
OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS IS THE EXTENSIVE SNOW COVER THAT WILL REMAIN
ACROSS THE REGION. MODEL SOLUTIONS ARE TRYING TO WARM TEMPERATURES
OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...BUT HAVE DECIDED TO LOWER DAYTIME HIGHS A
FEW DEGREES FROM WHAT IS BEING ADVERTISED DUE TO THE SNOW COVER.

A FEW LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS WILL ACCOMPANY AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND
ASSOCIATED SURFACE TROUGH AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS
REGION TODAY. THE LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH AS
THEY MOVE EAST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THIS MORNING WITH LESS THAN
A HALF INCH OF SNOW EXPECTED AT ANY LOCATION.

DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AS SHORT WAVE RIDGING FOLLOWS TONIGHT
AND SATURDAY. THE NEXT UPPER TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE REGION IN THE
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT ON SUNDAY. MOISTURE WILL BE VERY LIMITED WITH
THIS NEXT DISTURBANCE...SO ONLY AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS AND NO
PRECIPITATION IS ANTICIPATED.  THE SURFACE TROUGH ASSOCIATED WITH
THE UPPER DISTURBANCE MOVES ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA SATURDAY NIGHT.
UNIDIRECTIONAL NORTHWEST FLOW THROUGH THE COLUMN WITH 50-70 KTS 1.5K
TO 3K FT ALOFT ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS ACROSS
THE AREA DURING THE DAY ON SUNDAY.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 134 AM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

FOR THIS EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD...ANTICIPATE QUIET WEATHER WITH
GRADUAL WARMING TREND. FORECAST GUIDANCE INDICATES SIGNIFICANT
WARMING LIKELY TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WITH WARM WEATHER PERSISTING
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. HOWEVER...AS WITH RECENT DAYS...DO NOT THINK
THIS IS COMPLETELY REASONABLE...ESPECIALLY FOR LOCATIONS WHERE 10+
INCHES OF SNOW REMAIN ON THE GROUND. AFTER COLLABORATION WITH
NEIGHBORS...ADJUSTED HIGH TEMPERATURES DOWN FROM THE CR
INITIALIZATION BY USING A 50% BLEND WITH BCCONSRAW AND A FEW OTHER
MINOR ADJUSTMENTS. IN THE END...THIS LOWERED HIGH TEMPERATURES 3-4
DEGREES...SPECIFICALLY FOR LOCATIONS ALONG/NORTH OF INTERSTATE 70
AND EAST OF THE COLORADO BORDER.

NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED WITH A SIGNIFICANT RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST FLOW OVERHEAD. AS A RESULT OF THE
RIDGE BLOCKING THE FLOW...NO DISTURBANCES SHOULD PASS THROUGH. ONE
THING TO MONITOR IS WIND SPEEDS ON MONDAY. A LARGE TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE DIGS ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. A STRONG JET OF
WINDS ALOFT SLIDES OVER THE HIGH PLAINS SUNDAY AND PERSISTS INTO
MONDAY. FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE SOME MIXING INTO THIS
JET...WHICH WOULD BRING STRONGER WIND GUSTS DOWN TO THE SURFACE.
INCREASED SUSTAINED WINDS AND GUSTS TO REFLECT THIS POTENTIAL. STILL
SEVERAL DAYS OUT BUT FELT CONFIDENT ENOUGH TO AT LEAST MAKE AN
ADJUSTMENT TOWARDS POTENTIAL HIGHER WINDS.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 307 AM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

CONDITIONS AT MCK AND GLD WILL START OUT VFR WITH A CHANCE OF
SEEING MVFR CEILINGS AND A LITTLE LIGHT SNOW DURING THE FIRST
COUPLE OF HOURS OF THE VALID TAF PERIOD AS AN AREA OF VERY LIGHT
SNOW SHOWERS FOLLOWS TROUGH ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS REGION.
BETWEEN 16Z-18Z...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AS LIGHT WEST WINDS
WILL TURN NORTHWEST AND BECOME GUSTY AND SKIES BECOME MOSTLY
SUNNY. AFTER 00Z...CONDITIONS REMAIN VFR WITH CLEAR TO MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES REMAINING OVERNIGHT WITH ONLY A FEW HIGH CLOUDS
EXPECTED ALONG WITH WINDS TURING WEST AND BECOMING LIGHT.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...LOCKHART
LONG TERM...RRH
AVIATION...LOCKHART





000
FXUS63 KGLD 051142
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
442 AM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 227 AM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

THE VERY LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS CURRENTLY MOVING ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA ARE THE IMMEDIATE CONCERN EARLY THIS MORNING WHILE THE CONCERN
OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS IS THE EXTENSIVE SNOW COVER THAT WILL REMAIN
ACROSS THE REGION. MODEL SOLUTIONS ARE TRYING TO WARM TEMPERATURES
OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...BUT HAVE DECIDED TO LOWER DAYTIME HIGHS A
FEW DEGREES FROM WHAT IS BEING ADVERTISED DUE TO THE SNOW COVER.

A FEW LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS WILL ACCOMPANY AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND
ASSOCIATED SURFACE TROUGH AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS
REGION TODAY. THE LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH AS
THEY MOVE EAST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THIS MORNING WITH LESS THAN
A HALF INCH OF SNOW EXPECTED AT ANY LOCATION.

DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AS SHORT WAVE RIDGING FOLLOWS TONIGHT
AND SATURDAY. THE NEXT UPPER TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE REGION IN THE
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT ON SUNDAY. MOISTURE WILL BE VERY LIMITED WITH
THIS NEXT DISTURBANCE...SO ONLY AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS AND NO
PRECIPITATION IS ANTICIPATED.  THE SURFACE TROUGH ASSOCIATED WITH
THE UPPER DISTURBANCE MOVES ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA SATURDAY NIGHT.
UNIDIRECTIONAL NORTHWEST FLOW THROUGH THE COLUMN WITH 50-70 KTS 1.5K
TO 3K FT ALOFT ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS ACROSS
THE AREA DURING THE DAY ON SUNDAY.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 134 AM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

FOR THIS EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD...ANTICIPATE QUIET WEATHER WITH
GRADUAL WARMING TREND. FORECAST GUIDANCE INDICATES SIGNIFICANT
WARMING LIKELY TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WITH WARM WEATHER PERSISTING
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. HOWEVER...AS WITH RECENT DAYS...DO NOT THINK
THIS IS COMPLETELY REASONABLE...ESPECIALLY FOR LOCATIONS WHERE 10+
INCHES OF SNOW REMAIN ON THE GROUND. AFTER COLLABORATION WITH
NEIGHBORS...ADJUSTED HIGH TEMPERATURES DOWN FROM THE CR
INITIALIZATION BY USING A 50% BLEND WITH BCCONSRAW AND A FEW OTHER
MINOR ADJUSTMENTS. IN THE END...THIS LOWERED HIGH TEMPERATURES 3-4
DEGREES...SPECIFICALLY FOR LOCATIONS ALONG/NORTH OF INTERSTATE 70
AND EAST OF THE COLORADO BORDER.

NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED WITH A SIGNIFICANT RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST FLOW OVERHEAD. AS A RESULT OF THE
RIDGE BLOCKING THE FLOW...NO DISTURBANCES SHOULD PASS THROUGH. ONE
THING TO MONITOR IS WIND SPEEDS ON MONDAY. A LARGE TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE DIGS ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. A STRONG JET OF
WINDS ALOFT SLIDES OVER THE HIGH PLAINS SUNDAY AND PERSISTS INTO
MONDAY. FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE SOME MIXING INTO THIS
JET...WHICH WOULD BRING STRONGER WIND GUSTS DOWN TO THE SURFACE.
INCREASED SUSTAINED WINDS AND GUSTS TO REFLECT THIS POTENTIAL. STILL
SEVERAL DAYS OUT BUT FELT CONFIDENT ENOUGH TO AT LEAST MAKE AN
ADJUSTMENT TOWARDS POTENTIAL HIGHER WINDS.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 307 AM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

CONDITIONS AT MCK AND GLD WILL START OUT VFR WITH A CHANCE OF
SEEING MVFR CEILINGS AND A LITTLE LIGHT SNOW DURING THE FIRST
COUPLE OF HOURS OF THE VALID TAF PERIOD AS AN AREA OF VERY LIGHT
SNOW SHOWERS FOLLOWS TROUGH ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS REGION.
BETWEEN 16Z-18Z...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AS LIGHT WEST WINDS
WILL TURN NORTHWEST AND BECOME GUSTY AND SKIES BECOME MOSTLY
SUNNY. AFTER 00Z...CONDITIONS REMAIN VFR WITH CLEAR TO MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES REMAINING OVERNIGHT WITH ONLY A FEW HIGH CLOUDS
EXPECTED ALONG WITH WINDS TURING WEST AND BECOMING LIGHT.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...LOCKHART
LONG TERM...RRH
AVIATION...LOCKHART




000
FXUS63 KGLD 051142
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
442 AM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 227 AM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

THE VERY LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS CURRENTLY MOVING ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA ARE THE IMMEDIATE CONCERN EARLY THIS MORNING WHILE THE CONCERN
OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS IS THE EXTENSIVE SNOW COVER THAT WILL REMAIN
ACROSS THE REGION. MODEL SOLUTIONS ARE TRYING TO WARM TEMPERATURES
OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...BUT HAVE DECIDED TO LOWER DAYTIME HIGHS A
FEW DEGREES FROM WHAT IS BEING ADVERTISED DUE TO THE SNOW COVER.

A FEW LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS WILL ACCOMPANY AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND
ASSOCIATED SURFACE TROUGH AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS
REGION TODAY. THE LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH AS
THEY MOVE EAST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THIS MORNING WITH LESS THAN
A HALF INCH OF SNOW EXPECTED AT ANY LOCATION.

DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AS SHORT WAVE RIDGING FOLLOWS TONIGHT
AND SATURDAY. THE NEXT UPPER TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE REGION IN THE
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT ON SUNDAY. MOISTURE WILL BE VERY LIMITED WITH
THIS NEXT DISTURBANCE...SO ONLY AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS AND NO
PRECIPITATION IS ANTICIPATED.  THE SURFACE TROUGH ASSOCIATED WITH
THE UPPER DISTURBANCE MOVES ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA SATURDAY NIGHT.
UNIDIRECTIONAL NORTHWEST FLOW THROUGH THE COLUMN WITH 50-70 KTS 1.5K
TO 3K FT ALOFT ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS ACROSS
THE AREA DURING THE DAY ON SUNDAY.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 134 AM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

FOR THIS EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD...ANTICIPATE QUIET WEATHER WITH
GRADUAL WARMING TREND. FORECAST GUIDANCE INDICATES SIGNIFICANT
WARMING LIKELY TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WITH WARM WEATHER PERSISTING
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. HOWEVER...AS WITH RECENT DAYS...DO NOT THINK
THIS IS COMPLETELY REASONABLE...ESPECIALLY FOR LOCATIONS WHERE 10+
INCHES OF SNOW REMAIN ON THE GROUND. AFTER COLLABORATION WITH
NEIGHBORS...ADJUSTED HIGH TEMPERATURES DOWN FROM THE CR
INITIALIZATION BY USING A 50% BLEND WITH BCCONSRAW AND A FEW OTHER
MINOR ADJUSTMENTS. IN THE END...THIS LOWERED HIGH TEMPERATURES 3-4
DEGREES...SPECIFICALLY FOR LOCATIONS ALONG/NORTH OF INTERSTATE 70
AND EAST OF THE COLORADO BORDER.

NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED WITH A SIGNIFICANT RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST FLOW OVERHEAD. AS A RESULT OF THE
RIDGE BLOCKING THE FLOW...NO DISTURBANCES SHOULD PASS THROUGH. ONE
THING TO MONITOR IS WIND SPEEDS ON MONDAY. A LARGE TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE DIGS ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. A STRONG JET OF
WINDS ALOFT SLIDES OVER THE HIGH PLAINS SUNDAY AND PERSISTS INTO
MONDAY. FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE SOME MIXING INTO THIS
JET...WHICH WOULD BRING STRONGER WIND GUSTS DOWN TO THE SURFACE.
INCREASED SUSTAINED WINDS AND GUSTS TO REFLECT THIS POTENTIAL. STILL
SEVERAL DAYS OUT BUT FELT CONFIDENT ENOUGH TO AT LEAST MAKE AN
ADJUSTMENT TOWARDS POTENTIAL HIGHER WINDS.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 307 AM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

CONDITIONS AT MCK AND GLD WILL START OUT VFR WITH A CHANCE OF
SEEING MVFR CEILINGS AND A LITTLE LIGHT SNOW DURING THE FIRST
COUPLE OF HOURS OF THE VALID TAF PERIOD AS AN AREA OF VERY LIGHT
SNOW SHOWERS FOLLOWS TROUGH ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS REGION.
BETWEEN 16Z-18Z...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AS LIGHT WEST WINDS
WILL TURN NORTHWEST AND BECOME GUSTY AND SKIES BECOME MOSTLY
SUNNY. AFTER 00Z...CONDITIONS REMAIN VFR WITH CLEAR TO MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES REMAINING OVERNIGHT WITH ONLY A FEW HIGH CLOUDS
EXPECTED ALONG WITH WINDS TURING WEST AND BECOMING LIGHT.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...LOCKHART
LONG TERM...RRH
AVIATION...LOCKHART





000
FXUS63 KGLD 050927
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
227 AM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 227 AM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

THE VERY LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS CURRENTLY MOVING ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA ARE THE IMMEDIATE CONCERN EARLY THIS MORNING WHILE THE CONCERN
OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS IS THE EXTENSIVE SNOW COVER THAT WILL REMAIN
ACROSS THE REGION. MODEL SOLUTIONS ARE TRYING TO WARM TEMPERATURES
OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...BUT HAVE DECIDED TO LOWER DAYTIME HIGHS A
FEW DEGREES FROM WHAT IS BEING ADVERTISED DUE TO THE SNOW COVER.

A FEW LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS WILL ACCOMPANY AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND
ASSOCIATED SURFACE TROUGH AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS
REGION TODAY. THE LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH AS
THEY MOVE EAST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THIS MORNING WITH LESS THAN
A HALF INCH OF SNOW EXPECTED AT ANY LOCATION.

DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AS SHORT WAVE RIDGING FOLLOWS TONIGHT
AND SATURDAY. THE NEXT UPPER TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE REGION IN THE
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT ON SUNDAY. MOISTURE WILL BE VERY LIMITED WITH
THIS NEXT DISTURBANCE...SO ONLY AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS AND NO
PRECIPITATION IS ANTICIPATED.  THE SURFACE TROUGH ASSOCIATED WITH
THE UPPER DISTURBANCE MOVES ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA SATURDAY NIGHT.
UNIDIRECTIONAL NORTHWEST FLOW THROUGH THE COLUMN WITH 50-70 KTS 1.5K
TO 3K FT ALOFT ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS ACROSS
THE AREA DURING THE DAY ON SUNDAY.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 134 AM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

FOR THIS EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD...ANTICIPATE QUIET WEATHER WITH
GRADUAL WARMING TREND. FORECAST GUIDANCE INDICATES SIGNIFICANT
WARMING LIKELY TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WITH WARM WEATHER PERSISTING
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. HOWEVER...AS WITH RECENT DAYS...DO NOT THINK
THIS IS COMPLETELY REASONABLE...ESPECIALLY FOR LOCATIONS WHERE 10+
INCHES OF SNOW REMAIN ON THE GROUND. AFTER COLLABORATION WITH
NEIGHBORS...ADJUSTED HIGH TEMPERATURES DOWN FROM THE CR
INITIALIZATION BY USING A 50% BLEND WITH BCCONSRAW AND A FEW OTHER
MINOR ADJUSTMENTS. IN THE END...THIS LOWERED HIGH TEMPERATURES 3-4
DEGREES...SPECIFICALLY FOR LOCATIONS ALONG/NORTH OF INTERSTATE 70
AND EAST OF THE COLORADO BORDER.

NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED WITH A SIGNIFICANT RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST FLOW OVERHEAD. AS A RESULT OF THE
RIDGE BLOCKING THE FLOW...NO DISTURBANCES SHOULD PASS THROUGH. ONE
THING TO MONITOR IS WIND SPEEDS ON MONDAY. A LARGE TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE DIGS ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. A STRONG JET OF
WINDS ALOFT SLIDES OVER THE HIGH PLAINS SUNDAY AND PERSISTS INTO
MONDAY. FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE SOME MIXING INTO THIS
JET...WHICH WOULD BRING STRONGER WIND GUSTS DOWN TO THE SURFACE.
INCREASED SUSTAINED WINDS AND GUSTS TO REFLECT THIS POTENTIAL. STILL
SEVERAL DAYS OUT BUT FELT CONFIDENT ENOUGH TO AT LEAST MAKE AN
ADJUSTMENT TOWARDS POTENTIAL HIGHER WINDS.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 945 PM MST THU FEB 4 2016

KGLD AND KMCK...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED FROM TAF ISSUANCE THROUGH
08Z WITH WINDS FROM THE WEST/SOUTHWEST AROUND 6KTS. FROM 09Z-15Z
MVFR CIGS AND POSSIBLY VIS DEVELOP AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND
COLD FRONT MOVE THROUGH. THIS WILL BRING SNOW TO THE TERMINALS
WITH WINDS FROM THE WEST AROUND 6KTS. FROM AROUND 16Z OR 17Z
THROUGH 23Z CIGS IMPROVE TO VFR RATHER QUICKLY WITH WINDS
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AND GUSTING AROUND 25KTS. AFTER 00Z
WINDS DECREASE TO 10KTS FROM THE NORTHWEST WITH ONLY A FEW MID
AND/OR HIGH CLOUDS.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...LOCKHART
LONG TERM...RRH
AVIATION...99





000
FXUS63 KGLD 050834
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
134 AM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 139 PM MST THU FEB 4 2016

THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT...CLEAR SKIES WILL GRADUALLY BECOME CLOUDY
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE HIGH
PLAINS TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY MORNING WITH A CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW OR
FLURRIES ALONG THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT. THE TROUGH WILL BE MOISTURE
STARVED AND PRECIPITATION WILL BE INHIBITED BY DRY AIR AT THE
SURFACE. AS A RESULT...ONLY LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS FROM GENERALLY A
TRACE TO LESS THAN ONE HALF INCH ARE EXPECTED.

FRIDAY...A CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW OR FLURRIES REMAINS POSSIBLE FRIDAY
MORNING WITH GRADUALLY CLEARING SKIES THEREAFTER. WINDS WILL PICK UP
OUT OF THE NORTHWEST JUST BEFORE MIDDAY AS THE SYSTEM EXITS THE REGION.
DUE TO WIDESPREAD SNOW COVER IN THE REGION...HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL TOP
OUT WELL BELOW THE SEASONAL AVERAGE FOR FRIDAY WITH TEMPERATURES ONLY
REACHING THE LOWER 30S.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 134 AM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

FOR THIS EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD...ANTICIPATE QUIET WEATHER WITH
GRADUAL WARMING TREND. FORECAST GUIDANCE INDICATES SIGNIFICANT
WARMING LIKELY TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WITH WARM WEATHER PERSISTING
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. HOWEVER...AS WITH RECENT DAYS...DO NOT THINK
THIS IS COMPLETELY REASONABLE...ESPECIALLY FOR LOCATIONS WHERE 10+
INCHES OF SNOW REMAIN ON THE GROUND. AFTER COLLABORATION WITH
NEIGHBORS...ADJUSTED HIGH TEMPERATURES DOWN FROM THE CR
INITIALIZATION BY USING A 50% BLEND WITH BCCONSRAW AND A FEW OTHER
MINOR ADJUSTMENTS. IN THE END...THIS LOWERED HIGH TEMPERATURES 3-4
DEGREES...SPECIFICALLY FOR LOCATIONS ALONG/NORTH OF INTERSTATE 70
AND EAST OF THE COLORADO BORDER.

NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED WITH A SIGNIFICANT RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST FLOW OVERHEAD. AS A RESULT OF THE
RIDGE BLOCKING THE FLOW...NO DISTURBANCES SHOULD PASS THROUGH. ONE
THING TO MONITOR IS WIND SPEEDS ON MONDAY. A LARGE TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE DIGS ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. A STRONG JET OF
WINDS ALOFT SLIDES OVER THE HIGH PLAINS SUNDAY AND PERSISTS INTO
MONDAY. FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE SOME MIXING INTO THIS
JET...WHICH WOULD BRING STRONGER WIND GUSTS DOWN TO THE SURFACE.
INCREASED SUSTAINED WINDS AND GUSTS TO REFLECT THIS POTENTIAL. STILL
SEVERAL DAYS OUT BUT FELT CONFIDENT ENOUGH TO AT LEAST MAKE AN
ADJUSTMENT TOWARDS POTENTIAL HIGHER WINDS.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 945 PM MST THU FEB 4 2016

KGLD AND KMCK...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED FROM TAF ISSUANCE THROUGH
08Z WITH WINDS FROM THE WEST/SOUTHWEST AROUND 6KTS. FROM 09Z-15Z
MVFR CIGS AND POSSIBLY VIS DEVELOP AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND
COLD FRONT MOVE THROUGH. THIS WILL BRING SNOW TO THE TERMINALS
WITH WINDS FROM THE WEST AROUND 6KTS. FROM AROUND 16Z OR 17Z
THROUGH 23Z CIGS IMPROVE TO VFR RATHER QUICKLY WITH WINDS
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AND GUSTING AROUND 25KTS. AFTER 00Z
WINDS DECREASE TO 10KTS FROM THE NORTHWEST WITH ONLY A FEW MID
AND/OR HIGH CLOUDS.


&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...TL
LONG TERM...RRH
AVIATION...99





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