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000
FXUS63 KGLD 012311
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
511 PM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 149 PM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

UPDATE ISSUED TO ACCT FOR POP-UP SHOWERS CURRENTLY SHOWING ON
LOCAL RADAR. LOOKING FOR DISSIPATION AFTER SUNSET AND HAVE
ADJUSTED POPS AS SUCH. SOME CLOUD COVER ADJUSTMENTS AS WELL TO
ACCT FOR -RW...OTHERWISE NO OTHER CHANGES AT THIS TIME.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 104 PM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

ANOTHER NICE NIGHT ON TAP FOR THE FORECAST AREA WITH HIGH PRESSURE
OVER THE REGION. A FEW MID/HIGH CLOUDS WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA
DURING THIS TIME...OTHERWISE MAINLY CLEAR SKIES EXPECTED. MODELS DO
CONTINUE TO SHOW SURFACE RIDGE SHIFTING EASTWARD OVER THE NEXT 12-24
HOURS...AND WITH THIS A SHIFT...A MORE SOUTHERLY FLOW FOR THE AREA
ESPECIALLY TOWARDS 12Z SATURDAY IS EXPECTED. THIS WILL RESULT IN
SLIGHTLY WARMER OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES THAN THE AREA HAS SEEN OVER
PAST COUPLE OF NIGHTS WITH QUICKER WARMUP TOWARDS SUNRISE. OVERNIGHT
LOWS WILL RANGE IN THE MID 50S TO NEAR 60F.

GOING INTO SATURDAY...MAIN UPPER RIDGE REMAINS IN PLACE OVER WESTERN
PORTIONS OF THE COUNTRY...WITH SURFACE RIDGE PUSHING EAST INTO
CENTRAL PORTIONS OF KANSAS. INCREASING SOUTHERLY WINDS DURING THE
COURSE OF THE DAY WILL ALLOW FOR PERSISTENT WAA INTO THE AREA WITH
850MB TEMPS RANGING FROM +22C TO +27C. THIS SCENARIO WILL PUT THE
FORECAST AREA ON TAP FOR NEAR 90F IN MANY LOCALES FOR HIGH
TEMPERATURES. BROAD UPPER RIDGE WILL HOWEVER ALLOW A COUPLE OF WEAK
700 MB SHORTWAVES TO WORK SOUTH DURING THE COURSE OF THE DAY...BUT
CURRENT MODEL TRAJECTORY KEEPS ANY CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION TO OUR
EAST...BUT WITH GOOD CHANCE AREAS SEEING SOME INCREASED CLOUD COVER
LATE IN THE DAY THOUGH...WITH FOCUS OVER THE COUNTIES OF
(NORTON...GRAHAM...DECATUR KS AND HITCHCOCK...RED WILLOW IN
NEBRASKA).

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 220 PM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

THE EXTENDED PERIOD STARTS OFF WITH A 590 DM UPPER HIGH OVER THE
CENTRAL ROCKIES WHICH ULTIMATELY GETS FLATTENED OUT BY THE MIDDLE
OF NEXT WEEK...THANKS TO AN UPPER LOW OFF BAJA AND A TROUGH IN
THE EASTERN PACIFIC WHICH BEGIN TO ERODE THE RIDGE BY TUESDAY.
THUS...THE EARLY PERIODS OF THE EXTENDED WILL BE WARMER AND DRIER
WITH LATTER PERIODS A BIT COOLER AND ACCOMPANIED BY SEVERAL SHOTS
AT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

A FEW WEAK SHORT WAVE TROUGHS MOVE DOWN THE EAST SIDE OF THE RIDGE
IN THE NEAR TERM /SUN-MON/ BUT IT LOOKS LIKE CHANCES FOR ANY
MEANINGFUL CONVECTION IN OUR AREA ARE MINIMAL. BY TUESDAY THE GFS
DEVELOPS AN MCS DURING THE EVENING WHICH IS NOT SUPPORTED BY THE
LATEST EC AND WHICH LOOKS SOMEWHAT SPURIOUS. BOTH GFS AND EC SHOW
BETTER PRECIP POTENTIAL TUESDAY NIGHT MUCH FURTHER NORTH IN THE
DAKOTAS ALONG THE WARM FRONT AND CLOSER TO 300 MB JET WHICH SEEMS
LIKE A MORE REASONABLE SOLUTION AT THIS TIME. FOR THIS REASON HAVE
PLAYED DOWN POPS FOR TUESDAY NIGHT COMPARED TO PREVIOUS
FORECAST...LEANING TOWARD ECMWF SOLUTION.

FOR WED-FRI...GUIDANCE INDICATES A SERIES OF UPPER SHORT WAVE
TROUGHS WILL BE MOVING THRU MEAN RIDGE POSITION AND OVER THE
CENTRAL PLAINS GIVING CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
TIMING OF THESE FEATURES WILL BE DIFFICULT SO HAVE CONTINUED LOW
CHANCE POPS EACH DAY DURING LAST HALF OF EXTENDED. FORECAST 850 MB
TEMPS IN THE L-M 20S C WILL CORRELATE TO AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPS IN
THE MID TO UPPER 80S.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 508 PM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

VFR EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD AT BOTH KGLD AND KMCK.
ISOLATED SHOWER NEAR KMCK HAS HAD A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES BUT WILL
DISSIPATE EARLY THIS EVENING WITH LOSS OF SURFACE HEATING. CANT
RULE OUT ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSRA AGAIN SATURDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING
WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN THE OVERALL PATTERN.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE...JN
SHORT TERM...JN
LONG TERM...DLF
AVIATION...024





000
FXUS63 KGLD 012311
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
511 PM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 149 PM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

UPDATE ISSUED TO ACCT FOR POP-UP SHOWERS CURRENTLY SHOWING ON
LOCAL RADAR. LOOKING FOR DISSIPATION AFTER SUNSET AND HAVE
ADJUSTED POPS AS SUCH. SOME CLOUD COVER ADJUSTMENTS AS WELL TO
ACCT FOR -RW...OTHERWISE NO OTHER CHANGES AT THIS TIME.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 104 PM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

ANOTHER NICE NIGHT ON TAP FOR THE FORECAST AREA WITH HIGH PRESSURE
OVER THE REGION. A FEW MID/HIGH CLOUDS WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA
DURING THIS TIME...OTHERWISE MAINLY CLEAR SKIES EXPECTED. MODELS DO
CONTINUE TO SHOW SURFACE RIDGE SHIFTING EASTWARD OVER THE NEXT 12-24
HOURS...AND WITH THIS A SHIFT...A MORE SOUTHERLY FLOW FOR THE AREA
ESPECIALLY TOWARDS 12Z SATURDAY IS EXPECTED. THIS WILL RESULT IN
SLIGHTLY WARMER OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES THAN THE AREA HAS SEEN OVER
PAST COUPLE OF NIGHTS WITH QUICKER WARMUP TOWARDS SUNRISE. OVERNIGHT
LOWS WILL RANGE IN THE MID 50S TO NEAR 60F.

GOING INTO SATURDAY...MAIN UPPER RIDGE REMAINS IN PLACE OVER WESTERN
PORTIONS OF THE COUNTRY...WITH SURFACE RIDGE PUSHING EAST INTO
CENTRAL PORTIONS OF KANSAS. INCREASING SOUTHERLY WINDS DURING THE
COURSE OF THE DAY WILL ALLOW FOR PERSISTENT WAA INTO THE AREA WITH
850MB TEMPS RANGING FROM +22C TO +27C. THIS SCENARIO WILL PUT THE
FORECAST AREA ON TAP FOR NEAR 90F IN MANY LOCALES FOR HIGH
TEMPERATURES. BROAD UPPER RIDGE WILL HOWEVER ALLOW A COUPLE OF WEAK
700 MB SHORTWAVES TO WORK SOUTH DURING THE COURSE OF THE DAY...BUT
CURRENT MODEL TRAJECTORY KEEPS ANY CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION TO OUR
EAST...BUT WITH GOOD CHANCE AREAS SEEING SOME INCREASED CLOUD COVER
LATE IN THE DAY THOUGH...WITH FOCUS OVER THE COUNTIES OF
(NORTON...GRAHAM...DECATUR KS AND HITCHCOCK...RED WILLOW IN
NEBRASKA).

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 220 PM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

THE EXTENDED PERIOD STARTS OFF WITH A 590 DM UPPER HIGH OVER THE
CENTRAL ROCKIES WHICH ULTIMATELY GETS FLATTENED OUT BY THE MIDDLE
OF NEXT WEEK...THANKS TO AN UPPER LOW OFF BAJA AND A TROUGH IN
THE EASTERN PACIFIC WHICH BEGIN TO ERODE THE RIDGE BY TUESDAY.
THUS...THE EARLY PERIODS OF THE EXTENDED WILL BE WARMER AND DRIER
WITH LATTER PERIODS A BIT COOLER AND ACCOMPANIED BY SEVERAL SHOTS
AT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

A FEW WEAK SHORT WAVE TROUGHS MOVE DOWN THE EAST SIDE OF THE RIDGE
IN THE NEAR TERM /SUN-MON/ BUT IT LOOKS LIKE CHANCES FOR ANY
MEANINGFUL CONVECTION IN OUR AREA ARE MINIMAL. BY TUESDAY THE GFS
DEVELOPS AN MCS DURING THE EVENING WHICH IS NOT SUPPORTED BY THE
LATEST EC AND WHICH LOOKS SOMEWHAT SPURIOUS. BOTH GFS AND EC SHOW
BETTER PRECIP POTENTIAL TUESDAY NIGHT MUCH FURTHER NORTH IN THE
DAKOTAS ALONG THE WARM FRONT AND CLOSER TO 300 MB JET WHICH SEEMS
LIKE A MORE REASONABLE SOLUTION AT THIS TIME. FOR THIS REASON HAVE
PLAYED DOWN POPS FOR TUESDAY NIGHT COMPARED TO PREVIOUS
FORECAST...LEANING TOWARD ECMWF SOLUTION.

FOR WED-FRI...GUIDANCE INDICATES A SERIES OF UPPER SHORT WAVE
TROUGHS WILL BE MOVING THRU MEAN RIDGE POSITION AND OVER THE
CENTRAL PLAINS GIVING CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
TIMING OF THESE FEATURES WILL BE DIFFICULT SO HAVE CONTINUED LOW
CHANCE POPS EACH DAY DURING LAST HALF OF EXTENDED. FORECAST 850 MB
TEMPS IN THE L-M 20S C WILL CORRELATE TO AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPS IN
THE MID TO UPPER 80S.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 508 PM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

VFR EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD AT BOTH KGLD AND KMCK.
ISOLATED SHOWER NEAR KMCK HAS HAD A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES BUT WILL
DISSIPATE EARLY THIS EVENING WITH LOSS OF SURFACE HEATING. CANT
RULE OUT ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSRA AGAIN SATURDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING
WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN THE OVERALL PATTERN.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE...JN
SHORT TERM...JN
LONG TERM...DLF
AVIATION...024






000
FXUS63 KGLD 012021
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
221 PM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 149 PM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

UPDATE ISSUED TO ACCT FOR POP-UP SHOWERS CURRENTLY SHOWING ON
LOCAL RADAR. LOOKING FOR DISSIPATION AFTER SUNSET AND HAVE
ADJUSTED POPS AS SUCH. SOME CLOUD COVER ADJUSTMENTS AS WELL TO
ACCT FOR -RW...OTHERWISE NO OTHER CHANGES AT THIS TIME.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 104 PM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

ANOTHER NICE NIGHT ON TAP FOR THE FORECAST AREA WITH HIGH PRESSURE
OVER THE REGION. A FEW MID/HIGH CLOUDS WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA
DURING THIS TIME...OTHERWISE MAINLY CLEAR SKIES EXPECTED. MODELS DO
CONTINUE TO SHOW SURFACE RIDGE SHIFTING EASTWARD OVER THE NEXT 12-24
HOURS...AND WITH THIS A SHIFT...A MORE SOUTHERLY FLOW FOR THE AREA
ESPECIALLY TOWARDS 12Z SATURDAY IS EXPECTED. THIS WILL RESULT IN
SLIGHTLY WARMER OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES THAN THE AREA HAS SEEN OVER
PAST COUPLE OF NIGHTS WITH QUICKER WARMUP TOWARDS SUNRISE. OVERNIGHT
LOWS WILL RANGE IN THE MID 50S TO NEAR 60F.

GOING INTO SATURDAY...MAIN UPPER RIDGE REMAINS IN PLACE OVER WESTERN
PORTIONS OF THE COUNTRY...WITH SURFACE RIDGE PUSHING EAST INTO
CENTRAL PORTIONS OF KANSAS. INCREASING SOUTHERLY WINDS DURING THE
COURSE OF THE DAY WILL ALLOW FOR PERSISTENT WAA INTO THE AREA WITH
850MB TEMPS RANGING FROM +22C TO +27C. THIS SCENARIO WILL PUT THE
FORECAST AREA ON TAP FOR NEAR 90F IN MANY LOCALES FOR HIGH
TEMPERATURES. BROAD UPPER RIDGE WILL HOWEVER ALLOW A COUPLE OF WEAK
700 MB SHORTWAVES TO WORK SOUTH DURING THE COURSE OF THE DAY...BUT
CURRENT MODEL TRAJECTORY KEEPS ANY CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION TO OUR
EAST...BUT WITH GOOD CHANCE AREAS SEEING SOME INCREASED CLOUD COVER
LATE IN THE DAY THOUGH...WITH FOCUS OVER THE COUNTIES OF
(NORTON...GRAHAM...DECATUR KS AND HITCHCOCK...RED WILLOW IN
NEBRASKA).

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 220 PM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

THE EXTENDED PERIOD STARTS OFF WITH A 590 DM UPPER HIGH OVER THE
CENTRAL ROCKIES WHICH ULTIMATELY GETS FLATTENED OUT BY THE MIDDLE
OF NEXT WEEK...THANKS TO AN UPPER LOW OFF BAJA AND A TROUGH IN
THE EASTERN PACIFIC WHICH BEGIN TO ERODE THE RIDGE BY TUESDAY.
THUS...THE EARLY PERIODS OF THE EXTENDED WILL BE WARMER AND DRIER
WITH LATTER PERIODS A BIT COOLER AND ACCOMPANIED BY SEVERAL SHOTS
AT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

A FEW WEAK SHORT WAVE TROUGHS MOVE DOWN THE EAST SIDE OF THE RIDGE
IN THE NEAR TERM /SUN-MON/ BUT IT LOOKS LIKE CHANCES FOR ANY
MEANINGFUL CONVECTION IN OUR AREA ARE MINIMAL. BY TUESDAY THE GFS
DEVELOPS AN MCS DURING THE EVENING WHICH IS NOT SUPPORTED BY THE
LATEST EC AND WHICH LOOKS SOMEWHAT SPURIOUS. BOTH GFS AND EC SHOW
BETTER PRECIP POTENTIAL TUESDAY NIGHT MUCH FURTHER NORTH IN THE
DAKOTAS ALONG THE WARM FRONT AND CLOSER TO 300 MB JET WHICH SEEMS
LIKE A MORE REASONABLE SOLUTION AT THIS TIME. FOR THIS REASON HAVE
PLAYED DOWN POPS FOR TUESDAY NIGHT COMPARED TO PREVIOUS
FORECAST...LEANING TOWARD ECMWF SOLUTION.

FOR WED-FRI...GUIDANCE INDICATES A SERIES OF UPPER SHORT WAVE
TROUGHS WILL BE MOVING THRU MEAN RIDGE POSITION AND OVER THE
CENTRAL PLAINS GIVING CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
TIMING OF THESE FEATURES WILL BE DIFFICULT SO HAVE CONTINUED LOW
CHANCE POPS EACH DAY DURING LAST HALF OF EXTENDED. FORECAST 850 MB
TEMPS IN THE L-M 20S C WILL CORRELATE TO AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPS IN
THE MID TO UPPER 80S.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1104 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD FOR BOTH TAF
SITES. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION WILL PROVIDE A MIX OF SKC WITH
SOME HIGH CLDS FEW-SCT150-300. WINDS WILL SHIFT FROM WNW TO MORE
SOUTHERLY BY 12Z SATURDAY. GLD WILL HAVE MORE SSW WINDS 5-10KTS BY
12Z TOMORROW...AND MCK WILL SEE MAINLY SSE BY THIS TIME.


&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE...JN
SHORT TERM...JN
LONG TERM...DLF
AVIATION...JN







000
FXUS63 KGLD 012021
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
221 PM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 149 PM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

UPDATE ISSUED TO ACCT FOR POP-UP SHOWERS CURRENTLY SHOWING ON
LOCAL RADAR. LOOKING FOR DISSIPATION AFTER SUNSET AND HAVE
ADJUSTED POPS AS SUCH. SOME CLOUD COVER ADJUSTMENTS AS WELL TO
ACCT FOR -RW...OTHERWISE NO OTHER CHANGES AT THIS TIME.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 104 PM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

ANOTHER NICE NIGHT ON TAP FOR THE FORECAST AREA WITH HIGH PRESSURE
OVER THE REGION. A FEW MID/HIGH CLOUDS WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA
DURING THIS TIME...OTHERWISE MAINLY CLEAR SKIES EXPECTED. MODELS DO
CONTINUE TO SHOW SURFACE RIDGE SHIFTING EASTWARD OVER THE NEXT 12-24
HOURS...AND WITH THIS A SHIFT...A MORE SOUTHERLY FLOW FOR THE AREA
ESPECIALLY TOWARDS 12Z SATURDAY IS EXPECTED. THIS WILL RESULT IN
SLIGHTLY WARMER OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES THAN THE AREA HAS SEEN OVER
PAST COUPLE OF NIGHTS WITH QUICKER WARMUP TOWARDS SUNRISE. OVERNIGHT
LOWS WILL RANGE IN THE MID 50S TO NEAR 60F.

GOING INTO SATURDAY...MAIN UPPER RIDGE REMAINS IN PLACE OVER WESTERN
PORTIONS OF THE COUNTRY...WITH SURFACE RIDGE PUSHING EAST INTO
CENTRAL PORTIONS OF KANSAS. INCREASING SOUTHERLY WINDS DURING THE
COURSE OF THE DAY WILL ALLOW FOR PERSISTENT WAA INTO THE AREA WITH
850MB TEMPS RANGING FROM +22C TO +27C. THIS SCENARIO WILL PUT THE
FORECAST AREA ON TAP FOR NEAR 90F IN MANY LOCALES FOR HIGH
TEMPERATURES. BROAD UPPER RIDGE WILL HOWEVER ALLOW A COUPLE OF WEAK
700 MB SHORTWAVES TO WORK SOUTH DURING THE COURSE OF THE DAY...BUT
CURRENT MODEL TRAJECTORY KEEPS ANY CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION TO OUR
EAST...BUT WITH GOOD CHANCE AREAS SEEING SOME INCREASED CLOUD COVER
LATE IN THE DAY THOUGH...WITH FOCUS OVER THE COUNTIES OF
(NORTON...GRAHAM...DECATUR KS AND HITCHCOCK...RED WILLOW IN
NEBRASKA).

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 220 PM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

THE EXTENDED PERIOD STARTS OFF WITH A 590 DM UPPER HIGH OVER THE
CENTRAL ROCKIES WHICH ULTIMATELY GETS FLATTENED OUT BY THE MIDDLE
OF NEXT WEEK...THANKS TO AN UPPER LOW OFF BAJA AND A TROUGH IN
THE EASTERN PACIFIC WHICH BEGIN TO ERODE THE RIDGE BY TUESDAY.
THUS...THE EARLY PERIODS OF THE EXTENDED WILL BE WARMER AND DRIER
WITH LATTER PERIODS A BIT COOLER AND ACCOMPANIED BY SEVERAL SHOTS
AT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

A FEW WEAK SHORT WAVE TROUGHS MOVE DOWN THE EAST SIDE OF THE RIDGE
IN THE NEAR TERM /SUN-MON/ BUT IT LOOKS LIKE CHANCES FOR ANY
MEANINGFUL CONVECTION IN OUR AREA ARE MINIMAL. BY TUESDAY THE GFS
DEVELOPS AN MCS DURING THE EVENING WHICH IS NOT SUPPORTED BY THE
LATEST EC AND WHICH LOOKS SOMEWHAT SPURIOUS. BOTH GFS AND EC SHOW
BETTER PRECIP POTENTIAL TUESDAY NIGHT MUCH FURTHER NORTH IN THE
DAKOTAS ALONG THE WARM FRONT AND CLOSER TO 300 MB JET WHICH SEEMS
LIKE A MORE REASONABLE SOLUTION AT THIS TIME. FOR THIS REASON HAVE
PLAYED DOWN POPS FOR TUESDAY NIGHT COMPARED TO PREVIOUS
FORECAST...LEANING TOWARD ECMWF SOLUTION.

FOR WED-FRI...GUIDANCE INDICATES A SERIES OF UPPER SHORT WAVE
TROUGHS WILL BE MOVING THRU MEAN RIDGE POSITION AND OVER THE
CENTRAL PLAINS GIVING CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
TIMING OF THESE FEATURES WILL BE DIFFICULT SO HAVE CONTINUED LOW
CHANCE POPS EACH DAY DURING LAST HALF OF EXTENDED. FORECAST 850 MB
TEMPS IN THE L-M 20S C WILL CORRELATE TO AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPS IN
THE MID TO UPPER 80S.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1104 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD FOR BOTH TAF
SITES. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION WILL PROVIDE A MIX OF SKC WITH
SOME HIGH CLDS FEW-SCT150-300. WINDS WILL SHIFT FROM WNW TO MORE
SOUTHERLY BY 12Z SATURDAY. GLD WILL HAVE MORE SSW WINDS 5-10KTS BY
12Z TOMORROW...AND MCK WILL SEE MAINLY SSE BY THIS TIME.


&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE...JN
SHORT TERM...JN
LONG TERM...DLF
AVIATION...JN








000
FXUS63 KGLD 011952
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
152 PM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 149 PM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

UPDATE ISSUED TO ACCT FOR POP-UP SHOWERS CURRENTLY SHOWING ON
LOCAL RADAR. LOOKING FOR DISSIPATION AFTER SUNSET AND HAVE
ADJUSTED POPS AS SUCH. SOME CLOUD COVER ADJUSTMENTS AS WELL TO
ACCT FOR -RW..OTHERWISE NO OTHER CHANGES AT THIS TIME.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 104 PM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

ANOTHER NICE NIGHT ON TAP FOR THE FORECAST AREA WITH HIGH PRESSURE
OVER THE REGION. A FEW MID/HIGH CLOUDS WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA
DURING THIS TIME...OTHERWISE MAINLY CLEAR SKIES EXPECTED. MODELS DO
CONTINUE TO SHOW SURFACE RIDGE SHIFTING EASTWARD OVER THE NEXT 12-24
HOURS...AND WITH THIS A SHIFT...A MORE SOUTHERLY FLOW FOR THE AREA
ESPECIALLY TOWARDS 12Z SATURDAY IS EXPECTED. THIS WILL RESULT IN
SLIGHTLY WARMER OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES THAN THE AREA HAS SEEN OVER
PAST COUPLE OF NIGHTS WITH QUICKER WARMUP TOWARDS SUNRISE. OVERNIGHT
LOWS WILL RANGE IN THE MID 50S TO NEAR 60F.

GOING INTO SATURDAY...MAIN UPPER RIDGE REMAINS IN PLACE OVER WESTERN
PORTIONS OF THE COUNTRY...WITH SURFACE RIDGE PUSHING EAST INTO
CENTRAL PORTIONS OF KANSAS. INCREASING SOUTHERLY WINDS DURING THE
COURSE OF THE DAY WILL ALLOW FOR PERSISTENT WAA INTO THE AREA WITH
850MB TEMPS RANGING FROM +22C TO +27C. THIS SCENARIO WILL PUT THE
FORECAST AREA ON TAP FOR NEAR 90F IN MANY LOCALES FOR HIGH
TEMPERATURES. BROAD UPPER RIDGE WILL HOWEVER ALLOW A COUPLE OF WEAK
700 MB SHORTWAVES TO WORK SOUTH DURING THE COURSE OF THE DAY...BUT
CURRENT MODEL TRAJECTORY KEEPS ANY CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION TO OUR
EAST...BUT WITH GOOD CHANCE AREAS SEEING SOME INCREASED CLOUD COVER
LATE IN THE DAY THOUGH...WITH FOCUS OVER THE COUNTIES OF
(NORTON...GRAHAM...DECATUR KS AND HITCHCOCK...RED WILLOW IN
NEBRASKA).

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 247 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

A HIGH AMPLITUDE UPPER RIDGE WILL BE LOCATED JUST WEST OF THE AREA
MONDAY. AN EXTENSIVE PLUME OF MOISTURE WILL STREAM NORTHWARD ON THE
WEST SIDE OF THE RIDGE AND THEN EASTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES
BY LATE MONDAY AS THE RIDGE SHIFTS EASTWARD AND WEAKENS. EXTENSIVE
CIRRUS SEEMS PROBABLE IN THIS SCENARIO AND MADE UPWARD ADJUSTMENTS
TO SKY COVER. A RATHER COMPLICATED EVOLUTION OF THE UPPER FLOW
PATTERN WILL OCCUR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES
TREK ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS.

A RELATIVELY SIGNIFICANT SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL TRAVERSE THE NORTHERN
EDGE OF THE RIDGE AND RESULT IN CONVECTION POSSIBLY AS EARLY AS
MONDAY EVENING. A FAIRLY SUBSTANTIAL AMOUNT OF TERRAIN INDUCED
CONVECTION DURING PEAK HEATING WILL FORM OVER THE ROCKIES WITH MEAN
TRAJECTORIES FAVORABLE FOR CONVECTION TO POSSIBLY ENTER THE FAR
WESTERN PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA. GREATER CHANCES WILL OCCUR
ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS THE
SHORTWAVES MOVE EASTWARD THROUGH THE AREA. A COLD FRONT SHOULD PASS
THROUGH ON WEDNESDAY BRINGING NORTHERLY WINDS AND COOLER
TEMPERATURES. ENSEMBLE SPREAD GROWS CONSIDERABLY BY LATE WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY. AT LEAST A SLIGHT CHANCE POP IS JUSTIFIED FOR THURSDAY
AS WEAK DIFFICULT TO RESOLVE SHORTWAVES MOVE THROUGH IN
WEST/NORTHWESTERLY FLOW.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1104 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD FOR BOTH TAF
SITES. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION WILL PROVIDE A MIX OF SKC WITH
SOME HIGH CLDS FEW-SCT150-300. WINDS WILL SHIFT FROM WNW TO MORE
SOUTHERLY BY 12Z SATURDAY. GLD WILL HAVE MORE SSW WINDS 5-10KTS BY
12Z TOMORROW...AND MCK WILL SEE MAINLY SSE BY THIS TIME.


&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE...JN
SHORT TERM...JN
LONG TERM...BRB
AVIATION...JN









000
FXUS63 KGLD 011952
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
152 PM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 149 PM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

UPDATE ISSUED TO ACCT FOR POP-UP SHOWERS CURRENTLY SHOWING ON
LOCAL RADAR. LOOKING FOR DISSIPATION AFTER SUNSET AND HAVE
ADJUSTED POPS AS SUCH. SOME CLOUD COVER ADJUSTMENTS AS WELL TO
ACCT FOR -RW..OTHERWISE NO OTHER CHANGES AT THIS TIME.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 104 PM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

ANOTHER NICE NIGHT ON TAP FOR THE FORECAST AREA WITH HIGH PRESSURE
OVER THE REGION. A FEW MID/HIGH CLOUDS WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA
DURING THIS TIME...OTHERWISE MAINLY CLEAR SKIES EXPECTED. MODELS DO
CONTINUE TO SHOW SURFACE RIDGE SHIFTING EASTWARD OVER THE NEXT 12-24
HOURS...AND WITH THIS A SHIFT...A MORE SOUTHERLY FLOW FOR THE AREA
ESPECIALLY TOWARDS 12Z SATURDAY IS EXPECTED. THIS WILL RESULT IN
SLIGHTLY WARMER OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES THAN THE AREA HAS SEEN OVER
PAST COUPLE OF NIGHTS WITH QUICKER WARMUP TOWARDS SUNRISE. OVERNIGHT
LOWS WILL RANGE IN THE MID 50S TO NEAR 60F.

GOING INTO SATURDAY...MAIN UPPER RIDGE REMAINS IN PLACE OVER WESTERN
PORTIONS OF THE COUNTRY...WITH SURFACE RIDGE PUSHING EAST INTO
CENTRAL PORTIONS OF KANSAS. INCREASING SOUTHERLY WINDS DURING THE
COURSE OF THE DAY WILL ALLOW FOR PERSISTENT WAA INTO THE AREA WITH
850MB TEMPS RANGING FROM +22C TO +27C. THIS SCENARIO WILL PUT THE
FORECAST AREA ON TAP FOR NEAR 90F IN MANY LOCALES FOR HIGH
TEMPERATURES. BROAD UPPER RIDGE WILL HOWEVER ALLOW A COUPLE OF WEAK
700 MB SHORTWAVES TO WORK SOUTH DURING THE COURSE OF THE DAY...BUT
CURRENT MODEL TRAJECTORY KEEPS ANY CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION TO OUR
EAST...BUT WITH GOOD CHANCE AREAS SEEING SOME INCREASED CLOUD COVER
LATE IN THE DAY THOUGH...WITH FOCUS OVER THE COUNTIES OF
(NORTON...GRAHAM...DECATUR KS AND HITCHCOCK...RED WILLOW IN
NEBRASKA).

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 247 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

A HIGH AMPLITUDE UPPER RIDGE WILL BE LOCATED JUST WEST OF THE AREA
MONDAY. AN EXTENSIVE PLUME OF MOISTURE WILL STREAM NORTHWARD ON THE
WEST SIDE OF THE RIDGE AND THEN EASTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES
BY LATE MONDAY AS THE RIDGE SHIFTS EASTWARD AND WEAKENS. EXTENSIVE
CIRRUS SEEMS PROBABLE IN THIS SCENARIO AND MADE UPWARD ADJUSTMENTS
TO SKY COVER. A RATHER COMPLICATED EVOLUTION OF THE UPPER FLOW
PATTERN WILL OCCUR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES
TREK ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS.

A RELATIVELY SIGNIFICANT SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL TRAVERSE THE NORTHERN
EDGE OF THE RIDGE AND RESULT IN CONVECTION POSSIBLY AS EARLY AS
MONDAY EVENING. A FAIRLY SUBSTANTIAL AMOUNT OF TERRAIN INDUCED
CONVECTION DURING PEAK HEATING WILL FORM OVER THE ROCKIES WITH MEAN
TRAJECTORIES FAVORABLE FOR CONVECTION TO POSSIBLY ENTER THE FAR
WESTERN PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA. GREATER CHANCES WILL OCCUR
ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS THE
SHORTWAVES MOVE EASTWARD THROUGH THE AREA. A COLD FRONT SHOULD PASS
THROUGH ON WEDNESDAY BRINGING NORTHERLY WINDS AND COOLER
TEMPERATURES. ENSEMBLE SPREAD GROWS CONSIDERABLY BY LATE WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY. AT LEAST A SLIGHT CHANCE POP IS JUSTIFIED FOR THURSDAY
AS WEAK DIFFICULT TO RESOLVE SHORTWAVES MOVE THROUGH IN
WEST/NORTHWESTERLY FLOW.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1104 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD FOR BOTH TAF
SITES. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION WILL PROVIDE A MIX OF SKC WITH
SOME HIGH CLDS FEW-SCT150-300. WINDS WILL SHIFT FROM WNW TO MORE
SOUTHERLY BY 12Z SATURDAY. GLD WILL HAVE MORE SSW WINDS 5-10KTS BY
12Z TOMORROW...AND MCK WILL SEE MAINLY SSE BY THIS TIME.


&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE...JN
SHORT TERM...JN
LONG TERM...BRB
AVIATION...JN








000
FXUS63 KGLD 011906
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
106 PM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 104 PM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

ANOTHER NICE NIGHT ON TAP FOR THE FORECAST AREA WITH HIGH PRESSURE
OVER THE REGION. A FEW MID/HIGH CLOUDS WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA
DURING THIS TIME...OTHERWISE MAINLY CLEAR SKIES EXPECTED. MODELS DO
CONTINUE TO SHOW SURFACE RIDGE SHIFTING EASTWARD OVER THE NEXT 12-24
HOURS...AND WITH THIS A SHIFT...A MORE SOUTHERLY FLOW FOR THE AREA
ESPECIALLY TOWARDS 12Z SATURDAY IS EXPECTED. THIS WILL RESULT IN
SLIGHTLY WARMER OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES THAN THE AREA HAS SEEN OVER
PAST COUPLE OF NIGHTS WITH QUICKER WARMUP TOWARDS SUNRISE. OVERNIGHT
LOWS WILL RANGE IN THE MID 50S TO NEAR 60F.

GOING INTO SATURDAY...MAIN UPPER RIDGE REMAINS IN PLACE OVER WESTERN
PORTIONS OF THE COUNTRY...WITH SURFACE RIDGE PUSHING EAST INTO
CENTRAL PORTIONS OF KANSAS. INCREASING SOUTHERLY WINDS DURING THE
COURSE OF THE DAY WILL ALLOW FOR PERSISTENT WAA INTO THE AREA WITH
850MB TEMPS RANGING FROM +22C TO +27C. THIS SCENARIO WILL PUT THE
FORECAST AREA ON TAP FOR NEAR 90F IN MANY LOCALES FOR HIGH
TEMPERATURES. BROAD UPPER RIDGE WILL HOWEVER ALLOW A COUPLE OF WEAK
700 MB SHORTWAVES TO WORK SOUTH DURING THE COURSE OF THE DAY...BUT
CURRENT MODEL TRAJECTORY KEEPS ANY CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION TO OUR
EAST...BUT WITH GOOD CHANCE AREAS SEEING SOME INCREASED CLOUD COVER
LATE IN THE DAY THOUGH...WITH FOCUS OVER THE COUNTIES OF
(NORTON...GRAHAM...DECATUR KS AND HITCHCOCK...RED WILLOW IN
NEBRASKA).

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 247 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

A HIGH AMPLITUDE UPPER RIDGE WILL BE LOCATED JUST WEST OF THE AREA
MONDAY. AN EXTENSIVE PLUME OF MOISTURE WILL STREAM NORTHWARD ON THE
WEST SIDE OF THE RIDGE AND THEN EASTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES
BY LATE MONDAY AS THE RIDGE SHIFTS EASTWARD AND WEAKENS. EXTENSIVE
CIRRUS SEEMS PROBABLE IN THIS SCENARIO AND MADE UPWARD ADJUSTMENTS
TO SKY COVER. A RATHER COMPLICATED EVOLUTION OF THE UPPER FLOW
PATTERN WILL OCCUR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES
TREK ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS.

A RELATIVELY SIGNIFICANT SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL TRAVERSE THE NORTHERN
EDGE OF THE RIDGE AND RESULT IN CONVECTION POSSIBLY AS EARLY AS
MONDAY EVENING. A FAIRLY SUBSTANTIAL AMOUNT OF TERRAIN INDUCED
CONVECTION DURING PEAK HEATING WILL FORM OVER THE ROCKIES WITH MEAN
TRAJECTORIES FAVORABLE FOR CONVECTION TO POSSIBLY ENTER THE FAR
WESTERN PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA. GREATER CHANCES WILL OCCUR
ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS THE
SHORTWAVES MOVE EASTWARD THROUGH THE AREA. A COLD FRONT SHOULD PASS
THROUGH ON WEDNESDAY BRINGING NORTHERLY WINDS AND COOLER
TEMPERATURES. ENSEMBLE SPREAD GROWS CONSIDERABLY BY LATE WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY. AT LEAST A SLIGHT CHANCE POP IS JUSTIFIED FOR THURSDAY
AS WEAK DIFFICULT TO RESOLVE SHORTWAVES MOVE THROUGH IN
WEST/NORTHWESTERLY FLOW.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1104 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD FOR BOTH TAF
SITES. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION WILL PROVIDE A MIX OF SKC WITH
SOME HIGH CLDS FEW-SCT150-300. WINDS WILL SHIFT FROM WNW TO MORE
SOUTHERLY BY 12Z SATURDAY. GLD WILL HAVE MORE SSW WINDS 5-10KTS BY
12Z TOMORROW...AND MCK WILL SEE MAINLY SSE BY THIS TIME.


&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...JN
LONG TERM...BRB
AVIATION...JN








000
FXUS63 KGLD 011906
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
106 PM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 104 PM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

ANOTHER NICE NIGHT ON TAP FOR THE FORECAST AREA WITH HIGH PRESSURE
OVER THE REGION. A FEW MID/HIGH CLOUDS WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA
DURING THIS TIME...OTHERWISE MAINLY CLEAR SKIES EXPECTED. MODELS DO
CONTINUE TO SHOW SURFACE RIDGE SHIFTING EASTWARD OVER THE NEXT 12-24
HOURS...AND WITH THIS A SHIFT...A MORE SOUTHERLY FLOW FOR THE AREA
ESPECIALLY TOWARDS 12Z SATURDAY IS EXPECTED. THIS WILL RESULT IN
SLIGHTLY WARMER OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES THAN THE AREA HAS SEEN OVER
PAST COUPLE OF NIGHTS WITH QUICKER WARMUP TOWARDS SUNRISE. OVERNIGHT
LOWS WILL RANGE IN THE MID 50S TO NEAR 60F.

GOING INTO SATURDAY...MAIN UPPER RIDGE REMAINS IN PLACE OVER WESTERN
PORTIONS OF THE COUNTRY...WITH SURFACE RIDGE PUSHING EAST INTO
CENTRAL PORTIONS OF KANSAS. INCREASING SOUTHERLY WINDS DURING THE
COURSE OF THE DAY WILL ALLOW FOR PERSISTENT WAA INTO THE AREA WITH
850MB TEMPS RANGING FROM +22C TO +27C. THIS SCENARIO WILL PUT THE
FORECAST AREA ON TAP FOR NEAR 90F IN MANY LOCALES FOR HIGH
TEMPERATURES. BROAD UPPER RIDGE WILL HOWEVER ALLOW A COUPLE OF WEAK
700 MB SHORTWAVES TO WORK SOUTH DURING THE COURSE OF THE DAY...BUT
CURRENT MODEL TRAJECTORY KEEPS ANY CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION TO OUR
EAST...BUT WITH GOOD CHANCE AREAS SEEING SOME INCREASED CLOUD COVER
LATE IN THE DAY THOUGH...WITH FOCUS OVER THE COUNTIES OF
(NORTON...GRAHAM...DECATUR KS AND HITCHCOCK...RED WILLOW IN
NEBRASKA).

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 247 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

A HIGH AMPLITUDE UPPER RIDGE WILL BE LOCATED JUST WEST OF THE AREA
MONDAY. AN EXTENSIVE PLUME OF MOISTURE WILL STREAM NORTHWARD ON THE
WEST SIDE OF THE RIDGE AND THEN EASTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES
BY LATE MONDAY AS THE RIDGE SHIFTS EASTWARD AND WEAKENS. EXTENSIVE
CIRRUS SEEMS PROBABLE IN THIS SCENARIO AND MADE UPWARD ADJUSTMENTS
TO SKY COVER. A RATHER COMPLICATED EVOLUTION OF THE UPPER FLOW
PATTERN WILL OCCUR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES
TREK ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS.

A RELATIVELY SIGNIFICANT SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL TRAVERSE THE NORTHERN
EDGE OF THE RIDGE AND RESULT IN CONVECTION POSSIBLY AS EARLY AS
MONDAY EVENING. A FAIRLY SUBSTANTIAL AMOUNT OF TERRAIN INDUCED
CONVECTION DURING PEAK HEATING WILL FORM OVER THE ROCKIES WITH MEAN
TRAJECTORIES FAVORABLE FOR CONVECTION TO POSSIBLY ENTER THE FAR
WESTERN PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA. GREATER CHANCES WILL OCCUR
ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS THE
SHORTWAVES MOVE EASTWARD THROUGH THE AREA. A COLD FRONT SHOULD PASS
THROUGH ON WEDNESDAY BRINGING NORTHERLY WINDS AND COOLER
TEMPERATURES. ENSEMBLE SPREAD GROWS CONSIDERABLY BY LATE WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY. AT LEAST A SLIGHT CHANCE POP IS JUSTIFIED FOR THURSDAY
AS WEAK DIFFICULT TO RESOLVE SHORTWAVES MOVE THROUGH IN
WEST/NORTHWESTERLY FLOW.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1104 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD FOR BOTH TAF
SITES. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION WILL PROVIDE A MIX OF SKC WITH
SOME HIGH CLDS FEW-SCT150-300. WINDS WILL SHIFT FROM WNW TO MORE
SOUTHERLY BY 12Z SATURDAY. GLD WILL HAVE MORE SSW WINDS 5-10KTS BY
12Z TOMORROW...AND MCK WILL SEE MAINLY SSE BY THIS TIME.


&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...JN
LONG TERM...BRB
AVIATION...JN









000
FXUS63 KGLD 011743
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1143 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 1141 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

UPDATE ISSUED TO ADJUST FOR TEMPERATURE TRENDS FROM LATEST OBS. AS
OF NOW FORECAST REMAINS IN GOOD SHAPE DESPITE SCATTERED CUMULUS
POPPING UP OVER AREA.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 247 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

A BENIGN WEATHER PERIOD IS EXPECTED IN THE SHORT TERM. THE UPPER
RIDGE THAT IS CURRENTLY OVER THE WESTERN UNITED STATES CENTERED ON
THE INTER-MOUNTAIN REGION MOVES SLIGHTLY FURTHER TO THE EAST OVER
THE ROCKIES AND HIGH PLAINS REGION. THE RESULT WILL BE A GENERALLY
DRY AIR MASS AND WEAK FLOW ALOFT OVER THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS.
SURFACE WINDS WILL BE LIGHT WITH SOUTH WINDS INCREASING DURING THE
DAY ON SUNDAY AS A LEE SURFACE TROUGH BEGINS TO DEEPEN ALONG THE
FRONT RANGE.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 247 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

A HIGH AMPLITUDE UPPER RIDGE WILL BE LOCATED JUST WEST OF THE AREA
MONDAY. AN EXTENSIVE PLUME OF MOISTURE WILL STREAM NORTHWARD ON THE
WEST SIDE OF THE RIDGE AND THEN EASTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES
BY LATE MONDAY AS THE RIDGE SHIFTS EASTWARD AND WEAKENS. EXTENSIVE
CIRRUS SEEMS PROBABLE IN THIS SCENARIO AND MADE UPWARD ADJUSTMENTS
TO SKY COVER. A RATHER COMPLICATED EVOLUTION OF THE UPPER FLOW
PATTERN WILL OCCUR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES
TREK ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS.

A RELATIVELY SIGNIFICANT SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL TRAVERSE THE NORTHERN
EDGE OF THE RIDGE AND RESULT IN CONVECTION POSSIBLY AS EARLY AS
MONDAY EVENING. A FAIRLY SUBSTANTIAL AMOUNT OF TERRAIN INDUCED
CONVECTION DURING PEAK HEATING WILL FORM OVER THE ROCKIES WITH MEAN
TRAJECTORIES FAVORABLE FOR CONVECTION TO POSSIBLY ENTER THE FAR
WESTERN PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA. GREATER CHANCES WILL OCCUR
ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS THE
SHORTWAVES MOVE EASTWARD THROUGH THE AREA. A COLD FRONT SHOULD PASS
THROUGH ON WEDNESDAY BRINGING NORTHERLY WINDS AND COOLER
TEMPERATURES. ENSEMBLE SPREAD GROWS CONSIDERABLY BY LATE WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY. AT LEAST A SLIGHT CHANCE POP IS JUSTIFIED FOR THURSDAY
AS WEAK DIFFICULT TO RESOLVE SHORTWAVES MOVE THROUGH IN
WEST/NORTHWESTERLY FLOW.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1104 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD FOR BOTH TAF
SITES. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION WILL PROVIDE A MIX OF SKC WITH
SOME HIGH CLDS FEW-SCT150-300. WINDS WILL SHIFT FROM WNW TO MORE
SOUTHERLY BY 12Z SATURDAY. GLD WILL HAVE MORE SSW WINDS 5-10KTS BY
12Z TOMORROW...AND MCK WILL SEE MAINLY SSE BY THIS TIME.


&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE...JN
SHORT TERM...LOCKHART
LONG TERM...BRB
AVIATION...JN










000
FXUS63 KGLD 011743
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1143 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 1141 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

UPDATE ISSUED TO ADJUST FOR TEMPERATURE TRENDS FROM LATEST OBS. AS
OF NOW FORECAST REMAINS IN GOOD SHAPE DESPITE SCATTERED CUMULUS
POPPING UP OVER AREA.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 247 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

A BENIGN WEATHER PERIOD IS EXPECTED IN THE SHORT TERM. THE UPPER
RIDGE THAT IS CURRENTLY OVER THE WESTERN UNITED STATES CENTERED ON
THE INTER-MOUNTAIN REGION MOVES SLIGHTLY FURTHER TO THE EAST OVER
THE ROCKIES AND HIGH PLAINS REGION. THE RESULT WILL BE A GENERALLY
DRY AIR MASS AND WEAK FLOW ALOFT OVER THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS.
SURFACE WINDS WILL BE LIGHT WITH SOUTH WINDS INCREASING DURING THE
DAY ON SUNDAY AS A LEE SURFACE TROUGH BEGINS TO DEEPEN ALONG THE
FRONT RANGE.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 247 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

A HIGH AMPLITUDE UPPER RIDGE WILL BE LOCATED JUST WEST OF THE AREA
MONDAY. AN EXTENSIVE PLUME OF MOISTURE WILL STREAM NORTHWARD ON THE
WEST SIDE OF THE RIDGE AND THEN EASTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES
BY LATE MONDAY AS THE RIDGE SHIFTS EASTWARD AND WEAKENS. EXTENSIVE
CIRRUS SEEMS PROBABLE IN THIS SCENARIO AND MADE UPWARD ADJUSTMENTS
TO SKY COVER. A RATHER COMPLICATED EVOLUTION OF THE UPPER FLOW
PATTERN WILL OCCUR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES
TREK ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS.

A RELATIVELY SIGNIFICANT SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL TRAVERSE THE NORTHERN
EDGE OF THE RIDGE AND RESULT IN CONVECTION POSSIBLY AS EARLY AS
MONDAY EVENING. A FAIRLY SUBSTANTIAL AMOUNT OF TERRAIN INDUCED
CONVECTION DURING PEAK HEATING WILL FORM OVER THE ROCKIES WITH MEAN
TRAJECTORIES FAVORABLE FOR CONVECTION TO POSSIBLY ENTER THE FAR
WESTERN PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA. GREATER CHANCES WILL OCCUR
ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS THE
SHORTWAVES MOVE EASTWARD THROUGH THE AREA. A COLD FRONT SHOULD PASS
THROUGH ON WEDNESDAY BRINGING NORTHERLY WINDS AND COOLER
TEMPERATURES. ENSEMBLE SPREAD GROWS CONSIDERABLY BY LATE WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY. AT LEAST A SLIGHT CHANCE POP IS JUSTIFIED FOR THURSDAY
AS WEAK DIFFICULT TO RESOLVE SHORTWAVES MOVE THROUGH IN
WEST/NORTHWESTERLY FLOW.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1104 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD FOR BOTH TAF
SITES. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION WILL PROVIDE A MIX OF SKC WITH
SOME HIGH CLDS FEW-SCT150-300. WINDS WILL SHIFT FROM WNW TO MORE
SOUTHERLY BY 12Z SATURDAY. GLD WILL HAVE MORE SSW WINDS 5-10KTS BY
12Z TOMORROW...AND MCK WILL SEE MAINLY SSE BY THIS TIME.


&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE...JN
SHORT TERM...LOCKHART
LONG TERM...BRB
AVIATION...JN









000
FXUS63 KGLD 011705
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1105 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 824 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

NICE MORNING ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA AS REGION SEEING SUNNY SKIES
WITH SOME HIGH CLOUDS MOVING OVER PORTIONS OF WESTERN/SOUTHERN
ZONES. NOT SEEING AS IMPEDIMENT TO FORECASTED HIGH TEMPERATURES.
HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR WEST IS AIDING IN NICE WARM UP THIS MORNING
WITH DOWN SLOPE WEST WINDS...BUT WILL SHIFT DURING THE DAY AS RIDGE
MOVES EAST. END RESULT...NO MAJOR CHANGES TO GOING FORECAST AT THIS
TIME WITH ONLY MINOR ADJUSTMENTS BASED ON CURRENTS OBS.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 247 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

A BENIGN WEATHER PERIOD IS EXPECTED IN THE SHORT TERM. THE UPPER
RIDGE THAT IS CURRENTLY OVER THE WESTERN UNITED STATES CENTERED ON
THE INTER-MOUNTAIN REGION MOVES SLIGHTLY FURTHER TO THE EAST OVER
THE ROCKIES AND HIGH PLAINS REGION. THE RESULT WILL BE A GENERALLY
DRY AIR MASS AND WEAK FLOW ALOFT OVER THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS.
SURFACE WINDS WILL BE LIGHT WITH SOUTH WINDS INCREASING DURING THE
DAY ON SUNDAY AS A LEE SURFACE TROUGH BEGINS TO DEEPEN ALONG THE
FRONT RANGE.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 247 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

A HIGH AMPLITUDE UPPER RIDGE WILL BE LOCATED JUST WEST OF THE AREA
MONDAY. AN EXTENSIVE PLUME OF MOISTURE WILL STREAM NORTHWARD ON THE
WEST SIDE OF THE RIDGE AND THEN EASTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES
BY LATE MONDAY AS THE RIDGE SHIFTS EASTWARD AND WEAKENS. EXTENSIVE
CIRRUS SEEMS PROBABLE IN THIS SCENARIO AND MADE UPWARD ADJUSTMENTS
TO SKY COVER. A RATHER COMPLICATED EVOLUTION OF THE UPPER FLOW
PATTERN WILL OCCUR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES
TREK ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS.

A RELATIVELY SIGNIFICANT SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL TRAVERSE THE NORTHERN
EDGE OF THE RIDGE AND RESULT IN CONVECTION POSSIBLY AS EARLY AS
MONDAY EVENING. A FAIRLY SUBSTANTIAL AMOUNT OF TERRAIN INDUCED
CONVECTION DURING PEAK HEATING WILL FORM OVER THE ROCKIES WITH MEAN
TRAJECTORIES FAVORABLE FOR CONVECTION TO POSSIBLY ENTER THE FAR
WESTERN PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA. GREATER CHANCES WILL OCCUR
ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS THE
SHORTWAVES MOVE EASTWARD THROUGH THE AREA. A COLD FRONT SHOULD PASS
THROUGH ON WEDNESDAY BRINGING NORTHERLY WINDS AND COOLER
TEMPERATURES. ENSEMBLE SPREAD GROWS CONSIDERABLY BY LATE WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY. AT LEAST A SLIGHT CHANCE POP IS JUSTIFIED FOR THURSDAY
AS WEAK DIFFICULT TO RESOLVE SHORTWAVES MOVE THROUGH IN
WEST/NORTHWESTERLY FLOW.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1104 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD FOR BOTH TAF
SITES. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION WILL PROVIDE A MIX OF SKC WITH
SOME HIGH CLDS FEW-SCT150-300. WINDS WILL SHIFT FROM WNW TO MORE
SOUTHERLY BY 12Z SATURDAY. GLD WILL HAVE MORE SSW WINDS 5-10KTS BY
12Z TOMORROW...AND MCK WILL SEE MAINLY SSE BY THIS TIME.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE...JN
SHORT TERM...LOCKHART
LONG TERM...BRB
AVIATION...JN








000
FXUS63 KGLD 011705
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1105 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 824 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

NICE MORNING ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA AS REGION SEEING SUNNY SKIES
WITH SOME HIGH CLOUDS MOVING OVER PORTIONS OF WESTERN/SOUTHERN
ZONES. NOT SEEING AS IMPEDIMENT TO FORECASTED HIGH TEMPERATURES.
HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR WEST IS AIDING IN NICE WARM UP THIS MORNING
WITH DOWN SLOPE WEST WINDS...BUT WILL SHIFT DURING THE DAY AS RIDGE
MOVES EAST. END RESULT...NO MAJOR CHANGES TO GOING FORECAST AT THIS
TIME WITH ONLY MINOR ADJUSTMENTS BASED ON CURRENTS OBS.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 247 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

A BENIGN WEATHER PERIOD IS EXPECTED IN THE SHORT TERM. THE UPPER
RIDGE THAT IS CURRENTLY OVER THE WESTERN UNITED STATES CENTERED ON
THE INTER-MOUNTAIN REGION MOVES SLIGHTLY FURTHER TO THE EAST OVER
THE ROCKIES AND HIGH PLAINS REGION. THE RESULT WILL BE A GENERALLY
DRY AIR MASS AND WEAK FLOW ALOFT OVER THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS.
SURFACE WINDS WILL BE LIGHT WITH SOUTH WINDS INCREASING DURING THE
DAY ON SUNDAY AS A LEE SURFACE TROUGH BEGINS TO DEEPEN ALONG THE
FRONT RANGE.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 247 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

A HIGH AMPLITUDE UPPER RIDGE WILL BE LOCATED JUST WEST OF THE AREA
MONDAY. AN EXTENSIVE PLUME OF MOISTURE WILL STREAM NORTHWARD ON THE
WEST SIDE OF THE RIDGE AND THEN EASTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES
BY LATE MONDAY AS THE RIDGE SHIFTS EASTWARD AND WEAKENS. EXTENSIVE
CIRRUS SEEMS PROBABLE IN THIS SCENARIO AND MADE UPWARD ADJUSTMENTS
TO SKY COVER. A RATHER COMPLICATED EVOLUTION OF THE UPPER FLOW
PATTERN WILL OCCUR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES
TREK ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS.

A RELATIVELY SIGNIFICANT SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL TRAVERSE THE NORTHERN
EDGE OF THE RIDGE AND RESULT IN CONVECTION POSSIBLY AS EARLY AS
MONDAY EVENING. A FAIRLY SUBSTANTIAL AMOUNT OF TERRAIN INDUCED
CONVECTION DURING PEAK HEATING WILL FORM OVER THE ROCKIES WITH MEAN
TRAJECTORIES FAVORABLE FOR CONVECTION TO POSSIBLY ENTER THE FAR
WESTERN PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA. GREATER CHANCES WILL OCCUR
ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS THE
SHORTWAVES MOVE EASTWARD THROUGH THE AREA. A COLD FRONT SHOULD PASS
THROUGH ON WEDNESDAY BRINGING NORTHERLY WINDS AND COOLER
TEMPERATURES. ENSEMBLE SPREAD GROWS CONSIDERABLY BY LATE WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY. AT LEAST A SLIGHT CHANCE POP IS JUSTIFIED FOR THURSDAY
AS WEAK DIFFICULT TO RESOLVE SHORTWAVES MOVE THROUGH IN
WEST/NORTHWESTERLY FLOW.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1104 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD FOR BOTH TAF
SITES. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION WILL PROVIDE A MIX OF SKC WITH
SOME HIGH CLDS FEW-SCT150-300. WINDS WILL SHIFT FROM WNW TO MORE
SOUTHERLY BY 12Z SATURDAY. GLD WILL HAVE MORE SSW WINDS 5-10KTS BY
12Z TOMORROW...AND MCK WILL SEE MAINLY SSE BY THIS TIME.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE...JN
SHORT TERM...LOCKHART
LONG TERM...BRB
AVIATION...JN







000
FXUS63 KGLD 011428
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
828 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 824 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

NICE MORNING ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA AS REGION SEEING SUNNY SKIES
WITH SOME HIGH CLOUDS MOVING OVER PORTIONS OF WESTERN/SOUTHERN
ZONES. NOT SEEING AS IMPEDIMENT TO FORECASTED HIGH TEMPERATURES.
HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR WEST IS AIDING IN NICE WARM UP THIS MORNING
WITH DOWN SLOPE WEST WINDS...BUT WILL SHIFT DURING THE DAY AS RIDGE
MOVES EAST. END RESULT...NO MAJOR CHANGES TO GOING FORECAST AT THIS
TIME WITH ONLY MINOR ADJUSTMENTS BASED ON CURRENTS OBS.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 247 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

A BENIGN WEATHER PERIOD IS EXPECTED IN THE SHORT TERM. THE UPPER
RIDGE THAT IS CURRENTLY OVER THE WESTERN UNITED STATES CENTERED ON
THE INTER-MOUNTAIN REGION MOVES SLIGHTLY FURTHER TO THE EAST OVER
THE ROCKIES AND HIGH PLAINS REGION. THE RESULT WILL BE A GENERALLY
DRY AIR MASS AND WEAK FLOW ALOFT OVER THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS.
SURFACE WINDS WILL BE LIGHT WITH SOUTH WINDS INCREASING DURING THE
DAY ON SUNDAY AS A LEE SURFACE TROUGH BEGINS TO DEEPEN ALONG THE
FRONT RANGE.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 247 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

A HIGH AMPLITUDE UPPER RIDGE WILL BE LOCATED JUST WEST OF THE AREA
MONDAY. AN EXTENSIVE PLUME OF MOISTURE WILL STREAM NORTHWARD ON THE
WEST SIDE OF THE RIDGE AND THEN EASTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES
BY LATE MONDAY AS THE RIDGE SHIFTS EASTWARD AND WEAKENS. EXTENSIVE
CIRRUS SEEMS PROBABLE IN THIS SCENARIO AND MADE UPWARD ADJUSTMENTS
TO SKY COVER. A RATHER COMPLICATED EVOLUTION OF THE UPPER FLOW
PATTERN WILL OCCUR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES
TREK ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS.

A RELATIVELY SIGNIFICANT SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL TRAVERSE THE NORTHERN
EDGE OF THE RIDGE AND RESULT IN CONVECTION POSSIBLY AS EARLY AS
MONDAY EVENING. A FAIRLY SUBSTANTIAL AMOUNT OF TERRAIN INDUCED
CONVECTION DURING PEAK HEATING WILL FORM OVER THE ROCKIES WITH MEAN
TRAJECTORIES FAVORABLE FOR CONVECTION TO POSSIBLY ENTER THE FAR
WESTERN PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA. GREATER CHANCES WILL OCCUR
ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS THE
SHORTWAVES MOVE EASTWARD THROUGH THE AREA. A COLD FRONT SHOULD PASS
THROUGH ON WEDNESDAY BRINGING NORTHERLY WINDS AND COOLER
TEMPERATURES. ENSEMBLE SPREAD GROWS CONSIDERABLY BY LATE WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY. AT LEAST A SLIGHT CHANCE POP IS JUSTIFIED FOR THURSDAY
AS WEAK DIFFICULT TO RESOLVE SHORTWAVES MOVE THROUGH IN
WEST/NORTHWESTERLY FLOW.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 432 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

VFR CONDITIONS AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED AT MCK AND GLD
THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.


&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE...JN
SHORT TERM...LOCKHART
LONG TERM...BRB
AVIATION...LOCKHART









000
FXUS63 KGLD 011428
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
828 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 824 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

NICE MORNING ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA AS REGION SEEING SUNNY SKIES
WITH SOME HIGH CLOUDS MOVING OVER PORTIONS OF WESTERN/SOUTHERN
ZONES. NOT SEEING AS IMPEDIMENT TO FORECASTED HIGH TEMPERATURES.
HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR WEST IS AIDING IN NICE WARM UP THIS MORNING
WITH DOWN SLOPE WEST WINDS...BUT WILL SHIFT DURING THE DAY AS RIDGE
MOVES EAST. END RESULT...NO MAJOR CHANGES TO GOING FORECAST AT THIS
TIME WITH ONLY MINOR ADJUSTMENTS BASED ON CURRENTS OBS.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 247 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

A BENIGN WEATHER PERIOD IS EXPECTED IN THE SHORT TERM. THE UPPER
RIDGE THAT IS CURRENTLY OVER THE WESTERN UNITED STATES CENTERED ON
THE INTER-MOUNTAIN REGION MOVES SLIGHTLY FURTHER TO THE EAST OVER
THE ROCKIES AND HIGH PLAINS REGION. THE RESULT WILL BE A GENERALLY
DRY AIR MASS AND WEAK FLOW ALOFT OVER THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS.
SURFACE WINDS WILL BE LIGHT WITH SOUTH WINDS INCREASING DURING THE
DAY ON SUNDAY AS A LEE SURFACE TROUGH BEGINS TO DEEPEN ALONG THE
FRONT RANGE.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 247 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

A HIGH AMPLITUDE UPPER RIDGE WILL BE LOCATED JUST WEST OF THE AREA
MONDAY. AN EXTENSIVE PLUME OF MOISTURE WILL STREAM NORTHWARD ON THE
WEST SIDE OF THE RIDGE AND THEN EASTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES
BY LATE MONDAY AS THE RIDGE SHIFTS EASTWARD AND WEAKENS. EXTENSIVE
CIRRUS SEEMS PROBABLE IN THIS SCENARIO AND MADE UPWARD ADJUSTMENTS
TO SKY COVER. A RATHER COMPLICATED EVOLUTION OF THE UPPER FLOW
PATTERN WILL OCCUR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES
TREK ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS.

A RELATIVELY SIGNIFICANT SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL TRAVERSE THE NORTHERN
EDGE OF THE RIDGE AND RESULT IN CONVECTION POSSIBLY AS EARLY AS
MONDAY EVENING. A FAIRLY SUBSTANTIAL AMOUNT OF TERRAIN INDUCED
CONVECTION DURING PEAK HEATING WILL FORM OVER THE ROCKIES WITH MEAN
TRAJECTORIES FAVORABLE FOR CONVECTION TO POSSIBLY ENTER THE FAR
WESTERN PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA. GREATER CHANCES WILL OCCUR
ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS THE
SHORTWAVES MOVE EASTWARD THROUGH THE AREA. A COLD FRONT SHOULD PASS
THROUGH ON WEDNESDAY BRINGING NORTHERLY WINDS AND COOLER
TEMPERATURES. ENSEMBLE SPREAD GROWS CONSIDERABLY BY LATE WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY. AT LEAST A SLIGHT CHANCE POP IS JUSTIFIED FOR THURSDAY
AS WEAK DIFFICULT TO RESOLVE SHORTWAVES MOVE THROUGH IN
WEST/NORTHWESTERLY FLOW.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 432 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

VFR CONDITIONS AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED AT MCK AND GLD
THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.


&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE...JN
SHORT TERM...LOCKHART
LONG TERM...BRB
AVIATION...LOCKHART








000
FXUS63 KGLD 011112
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
512 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 247 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

A BENIGN WEATHER PERIOD IS EXPECTED IN THE SHORT TERM. THE UPPER
RIDGE THAT IS CURRENTLY OVER THE WESTERN UNITED STATES CENTERED ON
THE INTER-MOUNTAIN REGION MOVES SLIGHTLY FURTHER TO THE EAST OVER
THE ROCKIES AND HIGH PLAINS REGION. THE RESULT WILL BE A GENERALLY
DRY AIR MASS AND WEAK FLOW ALOFT OVER THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS.
SURFACE WINDS WILL BE LIGHT WITH SOUTH WINDS INCREASING DURING THE
DAY ON SUNDAY AS A LEE SURFACE TROUGH BEGINS TO DEEPEN ALONG THE
FRONT RANGE.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 247 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

A HIGH AMPLITUDE UPPER RIDGE WILL BE LOCATED JUST WEST OF THE AREA
MONDAY. AN EXTENSIVE PLUME OF MOISTURE WILL STREAM NORTHWARD ON THE
WEST SIDE OF THE RIDGE AND THEN EASTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES
BY LATE MONDAY AS THE RIDGE SHIFTS EASTWARD AND WEAKENS. EXTENSIVE
CIRRUS SEEMS PROBABLE IN THIS SCENARIO AND MADE UPWARD ADJUSTMENTS
TO SKY COVER. A RATHER COMPLICATED EVOLUTION OF THE UPPER FLOW
PATTERN WILL OCCUR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES
TREK ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS.

A RELATIVELY SIGNIFICANT SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL TRAVERSE THE NORTHERN
EDGE OF THE RIDGE AND RESULT IN CONVECTION POSSIBLY AS EARLY AS
MONDAY EVENING. A FAIRLY SUBSTANTIAL AMOUNT OF TERRAIN INDUCED
CONVECTION DURING PEAK HEATING WILL FORM OVER THE ROCKIES WITH MEAN
TRAJECTORIES FAVORABLE FOR CONVECTION TO POSSIBLY ENTER THE FAR
WESTERN PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA. GREATER CHANCES WILL OCCUR
ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS THE
SHORTWAVES MOVE EASTWARD THROUGH THE AREA. A COLD FRONT SHOULD PASS
THROUGH ON WEDNESDAY BRINGING NORTHERLY WINDS AND COOLER
TEMPERATURES. ENSEMBLE SPREAD GROWS CONSIDERABLY BY LATE WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY. AT LEAST A SLIGHT CHANCE POP IS JUSTIFIED FOR THURSDAY
AS WEAK DIFFICULT TO RESOLVE SHORTWAVES MOVE THROUGH IN
WEST/NORTHWESTERLY FLOW.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 432 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

VFR CONDITIONS AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED AT MCK AND GLD
THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...LOCKHART
LONG TERM...BRB
AVIATION...LOCKHART







000
FXUS63 KGLD 011112
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
512 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 247 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

A BENIGN WEATHER PERIOD IS EXPECTED IN THE SHORT TERM. THE UPPER
RIDGE THAT IS CURRENTLY OVER THE WESTERN UNITED STATES CENTERED ON
THE INTER-MOUNTAIN REGION MOVES SLIGHTLY FURTHER TO THE EAST OVER
THE ROCKIES AND HIGH PLAINS REGION. THE RESULT WILL BE A GENERALLY
DRY AIR MASS AND WEAK FLOW ALOFT OVER THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS.
SURFACE WINDS WILL BE LIGHT WITH SOUTH WINDS INCREASING DURING THE
DAY ON SUNDAY AS A LEE SURFACE TROUGH BEGINS TO DEEPEN ALONG THE
FRONT RANGE.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 247 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

A HIGH AMPLITUDE UPPER RIDGE WILL BE LOCATED JUST WEST OF THE AREA
MONDAY. AN EXTENSIVE PLUME OF MOISTURE WILL STREAM NORTHWARD ON THE
WEST SIDE OF THE RIDGE AND THEN EASTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES
BY LATE MONDAY AS THE RIDGE SHIFTS EASTWARD AND WEAKENS. EXTENSIVE
CIRRUS SEEMS PROBABLE IN THIS SCENARIO AND MADE UPWARD ADJUSTMENTS
TO SKY COVER. A RATHER COMPLICATED EVOLUTION OF THE UPPER FLOW
PATTERN WILL OCCUR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES
TREK ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS.

A RELATIVELY SIGNIFICANT SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL TRAVERSE THE NORTHERN
EDGE OF THE RIDGE AND RESULT IN CONVECTION POSSIBLY AS EARLY AS
MONDAY EVENING. A FAIRLY SUBSTANTIAL AMOUNT OF TERRAIN INDUCED
CONVECTION DURING PEAK HEATING WILL FORM OVER THE ROCKIES WITH MEAN
TRAJECTORIES FAVORABLE FOR CONVECTION TO POSSIBLY ENTER THE FAR
WESTERN PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA. GREATER CHANCES WILL OCCUR
ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS THE
SHORTWAVES MOVE EASTWARD THROUGH THE AREA. A COLD FRONT SHOULD PASS
THROUGH ON WEDNESDAY BRINGING NORTHERLY WINDS AND COOLER
TEMPERATURES. ENSEMBLE SPREAD GROWS CONSIDERABLY BY LATE WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY. AT LEAST A SLIGHT CHANCE POP IS JUSTIFIED FOR THURSDAY
AS WEAK DIFFICULT TO RESOLVE SHORTWAVES MOVE THROUGH IN
WEST/NORTHWESTERLY FLOW.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 432 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

VFR CONDITIONS AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED AT MCK AND GLD
THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...LOCKHART
LONG TERM...BRB
AVIATION...LOCKHART








000
FXUS63 KGLD 011031
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
431 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 247 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

A BENIGN WEATHER PERIOD IS EXPECTED IN THE SHORT TERM. THE UPPER
RIDGE THAT IS CURRENTLY OVER THE WESTERN UNITED STATES CENTERED ON
THE INTER-MOUNTAIN REGION MOVES SLIGHTLY FURTHER TO THE EAST OVER
THE ROCKIES AND HIGH PLAINS REGION. THE RESULT WILL BE A GENERALLY
DRY AIR MASS AND WEAK FLOW ALOFT OVER THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS.
SURFACE WINDS WILL BE LIGHT WITH SOUTH WINDS INCREASING DURING THE
DAY ON SUNDAY AS A LEE SURFACE TROUGH BEGINS TO DEEPEN ALONG THE
FRONT RANGE.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 247 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

A HIGH AMPLITUDE UPPER RIDGE WILL BE LOCATED JUST WEST OF THE AREA
MONDAY. AN EXTENSIVE PLUME OF MOISTURE WILL STREAM NORTHWARD ON THE
WEST SIDE OF THE RIDGE AND THEN EASTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES
BY LATE MONDAY AS THE RIDGE SHIFTS EASTWARD AND WEAKENS. EXTENSIVE
CIRRUS SEEMS PROBABLE IN THIS SCENARIO AND MADE UPWARD ADJUSTMENTS
TO SKY COVER. A RATHER COMPLICATED EVOLUTION OF THE UPPER FLOW
PATTERN WILL OCCUR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES
TREK ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS.

A RELATIVELY SIGNIFICANT SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL TRAVERSE THE NORTHERN
EDGE OF THE RIDGE AND RESULT IN CONVECTION POSSIBLY AS EARLY AS
MONDAY EVENING. A FAIRLY SUBSTANTIAL AMOUNT OF TERRAIN INDUCED
CONVECTION DURING PEAK HEATING WILL FORM OVER THE ROCKIES WITH MEAN
TRAJECTORIES FAVORABLE FOR CONVECTION TO POSSIBLY ENTER THE FAR
WESTERN PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA. GREATER CHANCES WILL OCCUR
ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS THE
SHORTWAVES MOVE EASTWARD THROUGH THE AREA. A COLD FRONT SHOULD PASS
THROUGH ON WEDNESDAY BRINGING NORTHERLY WINDS AND COOLER
TEMPERATURES. ENSEMBLE SPREAD GROWS CONSIDERABLY BY LATE WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY. AT LEAST A SLIGHT CHANCE POP IS JUSTIFIED FOR THURSDAY
AS WEAK DIFFICULT TO RESOLVE SHORTWAVES MOVE THROUGH IN
WEST/NORTHWESTERLY FLOW.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1114 PM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

VFR EXPECTED AT BOTH KGLD AND KMCK THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. THERE
IS A SLIM CHANCE OF A BRIEF PERIOD OF LOW STRATUS AT KMCK AROUND
SUNRISE DUE TO LOW LEVEL EASTERLY WINDS BRINGING IN HIGHER DEW
POINTS OVERNIGHT. OTHERWISE...MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS
ARE EXPECTED.


&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...LOCKHART
LONG TERM...BRB
AVIATION...024








000
FXUS63 KGLD 011031
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
431 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 247 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

A BENIGN WEATHER PERIOD IS EXPECTED IN THE SHORT TERM. THE UPPER
RIDGE THAT IS CURRENTLY OVER THE WESTERN UNITED STATES CENTERED ON
THE INTER-MOUNTAIN REGION MOVES SLIGHTLY FURTHER TO THE EAST OVER
THE ROCKIES AND HIGH PLAINS REGION. THE RESULT WILL BE A GENERALLY
DRY AIR MASS AND WEAK FLOW ALOFT OVER THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS.
SURFACE WINDS WILL BE LIGHT WITH SOUTH WINDS INCREASING DURING THE
DAY ON SUNDAY AS A LEE SURFACE TROUGH BEGINS TO DEEPEN ALONG THE
FRONT RANGE.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 247 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

A HIGH AMPLITUDE UPPER RIDGE WILL BE LOCATED JUST WEST OF THE AREA
MONDAY. AN EXTENSIVE PLUME OF MOISTURE WILL STREAM NORTHWARD ON THE
WEST SIDE OF THE RIDGE AND THEN EASTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES
BY LATE MONDAY AS THE RIDGE SHIFTS EASTWARD AND WEAKENS. EXTENSIVE
CIRRUS SEEMS PROBABLE IN THIS SCENARIO AND MADE UPWARD ADJUSTMENTS
TO SKY COVER. A RATHER COMPLICATED EVOLUTION OF THE UPPER FLOW
PATTERN WILL OCCUR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES
TREK ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS.

A RELATIVELY SIGNIFICANT SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL TRAVERSE THE NORTHERN
EDGE OF THE RIDGE AND RESULT IN CONVECTION POSSIBLY AS EARLY AS
MONDAY EVENING. A FAIRLY SUBSTANTIAL AMOUNT OF TERRAIN INDUCED
CONVECTION DURING PEAK HEATING WILL FORM OVER THE ROCKIES WITH MEAN
TRAJECTORIES FAVORABLE FOR CONVECTION TO POSSIBLY ENTER THE FAR
WESTERN PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA. GREATER CHANCES WILL OCCUR
ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS THE
SHORTWAVES MOVE EASTWARD THROUGH THE AREA. A COLD FRONT SHOULD PASS
THROUGH ON WEDNESDAY BRINGING NORTHERLY WINDS AND COOLER
TEMPERATURES. ENSEMBLE SPREAD GROWS CONSIDERABLY BY LATE WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY. AT LEAST A SLIGHT CHANCE POP IS JUSTIFIED FOR THURSDAY
AS WEAK DIFFICULT TO RESOLVE SHORTWAVES MOVE THROUGH IN
WEST/NORTHWESTERLY FLOW.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1114 PM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

VFR EXPECTED AT BOTH KGLD AND KMCK THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. THERE
IS A SLIM CHANCE OF A BRIEF PERIOD OF LOW STRATUS AT KMCK AROUND
SUNRISE DUE TO LOW LEVEL EASTERLY WINDS BRINGING IN HIGHER DEW
POINTS OVERNIGHT. OTHERWISE...MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS
ARE EXPECTED.


&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...LOCKHART
LONG TERM...BRB
AVIATION...024







000
FXUS63 KGLD 010518
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1118 PM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 159 PM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT THROUGH TOMORROW AS MID
LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE REMAIN DRY. WINDS THROUGHOUT THE SHORT TERM
WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT AND FROM A WESTERLY DIRECTION TONIGHT
SHIFTING TO MORE OF AN EASTERLY DIRECTION TOMORROW AS AN AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE POSITIONS ITSELF SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA. LOWS TONIGHT ARE
EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM THE UPPER 50S ACROSS THE KS/NE BORDER AND
EASTERN COLORADO TO LOWER 60S ACROSS WEST CENTRAL KANSAS. HIGHS
TOMORROW ARE PROGGED TO RANGE FROM THE LOWER 80S ACROSS WEST CENTRAL
COLORADO TO UPPER 80S ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 159 PM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CONTINUES TO SPIN AROUND THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK WITH AN UPPER LEVEL LONG WAVE
TROUGH ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THIS WILL ALLOW NORTHWEST
FLOW TO BE FOUND ABOVE THE AREA. MID LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE REMAIN
FAIRLY DRY THROUGH THIS PERIOD WHICH WILL BRING PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES
TO THE FORECAST AREA. AN EXCEPTION TO THIS WILL BE SATURDAY
AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY EVENING WHEN A WEAK UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE
MOVES AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE AND DOWN THROUGH CENTRAL
NEBRASKA AND CENTRAL KANSAS. THIS WILL BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON SATURDAY INTO THE EVENING.
IF ANY STORMS DUE DEVELOP THEY SHOULD QUICKLY DISSIPATE AFTER SUNSET
WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES THEREAFTER. AS FOR WINDS, THEY ARE EXPECTED
TO SHIFT TO MORE OF A SOUTHERLY DIRECTION BY FRIDAY EVENING AND
CONTINUE THROUGH THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK. HIGHS FRIDAY
THROUGH THIS WEEKEND WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE 80S WITH AROUND 90
DEGREES ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA. LOWS LOOK TO START OUT
RANGING FROM THE MID 50S ACROSS EASTERN COLORADO TO LOWER 60S ACROSS
EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA SATURDAY MORNING THEN REACH INTO THE
LOWER TO MID 60S THIS WEEKEND. LOWS MONDAY MORNING ARE PROGGED TO
DIP INTO THE MID 60S.

THE WEATHER PATTERN STARTS TO CHANGE SHAPE BY THE BEGINNING OF NEXT
WEEK AS A STRONG UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE MOVES UP AND OVER THE RIDGE.
MID TO UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE INCREASES DURING THIS TIMEFRAME WITH
INCREASED CLOUD COVER EXPECTED. IT LOOKS TO REMAIN DRY ON MONDAY
WITH THUNDERSTORM CHANCES INCREASING TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. SURFACE
LEE TROUGHING INTENSIFIES AS THIS FEATURE APPROACHES WITH SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. A COLD FRONT MAY MOVE
THROUGH THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY SHIFTING WINDS TO MORE
OF A NORTHERLY DIRECTION. HIGHS THROUGH TUESDAY CONTINUE TO RANGE
FROM THE MID 80S WEST TO AROUND 90 DEGREES EAST WITH LOWS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 60S. HIGHS WEDNESDAY MAY ONLY REACH INTO THE 80S
DEPENDING IF THE AFOREMENTIONED FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1114 PM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

VFR EXPECTED AT BOTH KGLD AND KMCK THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. THERE
IS A SLIM CHANCE OF A BRIEF PERIOD OF LOW STRATUS AT KMCK AROUND
SUNRISE DUE TO LOW LEVEL EASTERLY WINDS BRINGING IN HIGHER DEW
POINTS OVERNIGHT. OTHERWISE...MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS
ARE EXPECTED.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...WAH
LONG TERM...WAH
AVIATION...024







000
FXUS63 KGLD 010518
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1118 PM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 159 PM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT THROUGH TOMORROW AS MID
LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE REMAIN DRY. WINDS THROUGHOUT THE SHORT TERM
WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT AND FROM A WESTERLY DIRECTION TONIGHT
SHIFTING TO MORE OF AN EASTERLY DIRECTION TOMORROW AS AN AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE POSITIONS ITSELF SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA. LOWS TONIGHT ARE
EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM THE UPPER 50S ACROSS THE KS/NE BORDER AND
EASTERN COLORADO TO LOWER 60S ACROSS WEST CENTRAL KANSAS. HIGHS
TOMORROW ARE PROGGED TO RANGE FROM THE LOWER 80S ACROSS WEST CENTRAL
COLORADO TO UPPER 80S ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 159 PM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CONTINUES TO SPIN AROUND THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK WITH AN UPPER LEVEL LONG WAVE
TROUGH ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THIS WILL ALLOW NORTHWEST
FLOW TO BE FOUND ABOVE THE AREA. MID LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE REMAIN
FAIRLY DRY THROUGH THIS PERIOD WHICH WILL BRING PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES
TO THE FORECAST AREA. AN EXCEPTION TO THIS WILL BE SATURDAY
AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY EVENING WHEN A WEAK UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE
MOVES AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE AND DOWN THROUGH CENTRAL
NEBRASKA AND CENTRAL KANSAS. THIS WILL BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON SATURDAY INTO THE EVENING.
IF ANY STORMS DUE DEVELOP THEY SHOULD QUICKLY DISSIPATE AFTER SUNSET
WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES THEREAFTER. AS FOR WINDS, THEY ARE EXPECTED
TO SHIFT TO MORE OF A SOUTHERLY DIRECTION BY FRIDAY EVENING AND
CONTINUE THROUGH THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK. HIGHS FRIDAY
THROUGH THIS WEEKEND WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE 80S WITH AROUND 90
DEGREES ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA. LOWS LOOK TO START OUT
RANGING FROM THE MID 50S ACROSS EASTERN COLORADO TO LOWER 60S ACROSS
EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA SATURDAY MORNING THEN REACH INTO THE
LOWER TO MID 60S THIS WEEKEND. LOWS MONDAY MORNING ARE PROGGED TO
DIP INTO THE MID 60S.

THE WEATHER PATTERN STARTS TO CHANGE SHAPE BY THE BEGINNING OF NEXT
WEEK AS A STRONG UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE MOVES UP AND OVER THE RIDGE.
MID TO UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE INCREASES DURING THIS TIMEFRAME WITH
INCREASED CLOUD COVER EXPECTED. IT LOOKS TO REMAIN DRY ON MONDAY
WITH THUNDERSTORM CHANCES INCREASING TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. SURFACE
LEE TROUGHING INTENSIFIES AS THIS FEATURE APPROACHES WITH SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. A COLD FRONT MAY MOVE
THROUGH THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY SHIFTING WINDS TO MORE
OF A NORTHERLY DIRECTION. HIGHS THROUGH TUESDAY CONTINUE TO RANGE
FROM THE MID 80S WEST TO AROUND 90 DEGREES EAST WITH LOWS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 60S. HIGHS WEDNESDAY MAY ONLY REACH INTO THE 80S
DEPENDING IF THE AFOREMENTIONED FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1114 PM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

VFR EXPECTED AT BOTH KGLD AND KMCK THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. THERE
IS A SLIM CHANCE OF A BRIEF PERIOD OF LOW STRATUS AT KMCK AROUND
SUNRISE DUE TO LOW LEVEL EASTERLY WINDS BRINGING IN HIGHER DEW
POINTS OVERNIGHT. OTHERWISE...MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS
ARE EXPECTED.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...WAH
LONG TERM...WAH
AVIATION...024






000
FXUS63 KGLD 312322
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
522 PM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 159 PM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT THROUGH TOMORROW AS MID
LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE REMAIN DRY. WINDS THROUGHOUT THE SHORT TERM
WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT AND FROM A WESTERLY DIRECTION TONIGHT
SHIFTING TO MORE OF AN EASTERLY DIRECTION TOMORROW AS AN AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE POSITIONS ITSELF SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA. LOWS TONIGHT ARE
EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM THE UPPER 50S ACROSS THE KS/NE BORDER AND
EASTERN COLORADO TO LOWER 60S ACROSS WEST CENTRAL KANSAS. HIGHS
TOMORROW ARE PROGGED TO RANGE FROM THE LOWER 80S ACROSS WEST CENTRAL
COLORADO TO UPPER 80S ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 159 PM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CONTINUES TO SPIN AROUND THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK WITH AN UPPER LEVEL LONG WAVE
TROUGH ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THIS WILL ALLOW NORTHWEST
FLOW TO BE FOUND ABOVE THE AREA. MID LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE REMAIN
FAIRLY DRY THROUGH THIS PERIOD WHICH WILL BRING PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES
TO THE FORECAST AREA. AN EXCEPTION TO THIS WILL BE SATURDAY
AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY EVENING WHEN A WEAK UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE
MOVES AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE AND DOWN THROUGH CENTRAL
NEBRASKA AND CENTRAL KANSAS. THIS WILL BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON SATURDAY INTO THE EVENING.
IF ANY STORMS DUE DEVELOP THEY SHOULD QUICKLY DISSIPATE AFTER SUNSET
WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES THEREAFTER. AS FOR WINDS, THEY ARE EXPECTED
TO SHIFT TO MORE OF A SOUTHERLY DIRECTION BY FRIDAY EVENING AND
CONTINUE THROUGH THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK. HIGHS FRIDAY
THROUGH THIS WEEKEND WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE 80S WITH AROUND 90
DEGREES ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA. LOWS LOOK TO START OUT
RANGING FROM THE MID 50S ACROSS EASTERN COLORADO TO LOWER 60S ACROSS
EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA SATURDAY MORNING THEN REACH INTO THE
LOWER TO MID 60S THIS WEEKEND. LOWS MONDAY MORNING ARE PROGGED TO
DIP INTO THE MID 60S.

THE WEATHER PATTERN STARTS TO CHANGE SHAPE BY THE BEGINNING OF NEXT
WEEK AS A STRONG UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE MOVES UP AND OVER THE RIDGE.
MID TO UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE INCREASES DURING THIS TIMEFRAME WITH
INCREASED CLOUD COVER EXPECTED. IT LOOKS TO REMAIN DRY ON MONDAY
WITH THUNDERSTORM CHANCES INCREASING TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. SURFACE
LEE TROUGHING INTENSIFIES AS THIS FEATURE APPROACHES WITH SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. A COLD FRONT MAY MOVE
THROUGH THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY SHIFTING WINDS TO MORE
OF A NORTHERLY DIRECTION. HIGHS THROUGH TUESDAY CONTINUE TO RANGE
FROM THE MID 80S WEST TO AROUND 90 DEGREES EAST WITH LOWS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 60S. HIGHS WEDNESDAY MAY ONLY REACH INTO THE 80S
DEPENDING IF THE AFOREMENTIONED FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 516 PM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

VFR EXPECTED AT BOTH KGLD AND KMCK THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. A
COUPLE OF ISOLATED SHOWERS NEAR KMCK WILL DISSIPATE EARLY THIS
EVENING WITH THE LOSS OF SURFACE HEATING. OTHERWISE...STRONG RIDGE
ALOFT WILL KEEP THE FORECAST DRY WITH LIGHT WINDS AT THE SURFACE.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...WAH
LONG TERM...WAH
AVIATION...024





000
FXUS63 KGLD 312322
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
522 PM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 159 PM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT THROUGH TOMORROW AS MID
LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE REMAIN DRY. WINDS THROUGHOUT THE SHORT TERM
WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT AND FROM A WESTERLY DIRECTION TONIGHT
SHIFTING TO MORE OF AN EASTERLY DIRECTION TOMORROW AS AN AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE POSITIONS ITSELF SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA. LOWS TONIGHT ARE
EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM THE UPPER 50S ACROSS THE KS/NE BORDER AND
EASTERN COLORADO TO LOWER 60S ACROSS WEST CENTRAL KANSAS. HIGHS
TOMORROW ARE PROGGED TO RANGE FROM THE LOWER 80S ACROSS WEST CENTRAL
COLORADO TO UPPER 80S ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 159 PM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CONTINUES TO SPIN AROUND THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK WITH AN UPPER LEVEL LONG WAVE
TROUGH ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THIS WILL ALLOW NORTHWEST
FLOW TO BE FOUND ABOVE THE AREA. MID LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE REMAIN
FAIRLY DRY THROUGH THIS PERIOD WHICH WILL BRING PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES
TO THE FORECAST AREA. AN EXCEPTION TO THIS WILL BE SATURDAY
AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY EVENING WHEN A WEAK UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE
MOVES AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE AND DOWN THROUGH CENTRAL
NEBRASKA AND CENTRAL KANSAS. THIS WILL BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON SATURDAY INTO THE EVENING.
IF ANY STORMS DUE DEVELOP THEY SHOULD QUICKLY DISSIPATE AFTER SUNSET
WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES THEREAFTER. AS FOR WINDS, THEY ARE EXPECTED
TO SHIFT TO MORE OF A SOUTHERLY DIRECTION BY FRIDAY EVENING AND
CONTINUE THROUGH THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK. HIGHS FRIDAY
THROUGH THIS WEEKEND WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE 80S WITH AROUND 90
DEGREES ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA. LOWS LOOK TO START OUT
RANGING FROM THE MID 50S ACROSS EASTERN COLORADO TO LOWER 60S ACROSS
EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA SATURDAY MORNING THEN REACH INTO THE
LOWER TO MID 60S THIS WEEKEND. LOWS MONDAY MORNING ARE PROGGED TO
DIP INTO THE MID 60S.

THE WEATHER PATTERN STARTS TO CHANGE SHAPE BY THE BEGINNING OF NEXT
WEEK AS A STRONG UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE MOVES UP AND OVER THE RIDGE.
MID TO UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE INCREASES DURING THIS TIMEFRAME WITH
INCREASED CLOUD COVER EXPECTED. IT LOOKS TO REMAIN DRY ON MONDAY
WITH THUNDERSTORM CHANCES INCREASING TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. SURFACE
LEE TROUGHING INTENSIFIES AS THIS FEATURE APPROACHES WITH SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. A COLD FRONT MAY MOVE
THROUGH THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY SHIFTING WINDS TO MORE
OF A NORTHERLY DIRECTION. HIGHS THROUGH TUESDAY CONTINUE TO RANGE
FROM THE MID 80S WEST TO AROUND 90 DEGREES EAST WITH LOWS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 60S. HIGHS WEDNESDAY MAY ONLY REACH INTO THE 80S
DEPENDING IF THE AFOREMENTIONED FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 516 PM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

VFR EXPECTED AT BOTH KGLD AND KMCK THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. A
COUPLE OF ISOLATED SHOWERS NEAR KMCK WILL DISSIPATE EARLY THIS
EVENING WITH THE LOSS OF SURFACE HEATING. OTHERWISE...STRONG RIDGE
ALOFT WILL KEEP THE FORECAST DRY WITH LIGHT WINDS AT THE SURFACE.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...WAH
LONG TERM...WAH
AVIATION...024






000
FXUS63 KGLD 312000
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
200 PM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 159 PM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT THROUGH TOMORROW AS MID
LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE REMAIN DRY. WINDS THROUGHOUT THE SHORT TERM
WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT AND FROM A WESTERLY DIRECTION TONIGHT
SHIFTING TO MORE OF AN EASTERLY DIRECTION TOMORROW AS AN AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE POSITIONS ITSELF SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA. LOWS TONIGHT ARE
EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM THE UPPER 50S ACROSS THE KS/NE BORDER AND
EASTERN COLORADO TO LOWER 60S ACROSS WEST CENTRAL KANSAS. HIGHS
TOMORROW ARE PROGGED TO RANGE FROM THE LOWER 80S ACROSS WEST CENTRAL
COLORADO TO UPPER 80S ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 159 PM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CONTINUES TO SPIN AROUND THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK WITH AN UPPER LEVEL LONG WAVE
TROUGH ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THIS WILL ALLOW NORTHWEST
FLOW TO BE FOUND ABOVE THE AREA. MID LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE REMAIN
FAIRLY DRY THROUGH THIS PERIOD WHICH WILL BRING PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES
TO THE FORECAST AREA. AN EXCEPTION TO THIS WILL BE SATURDAY
AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY EVENING WHEN A WEAK UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE
MOVES AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE AND DOWN THROUGH CENTRAL
NEBRASKA AND CENTRAL KANSAS. THIS WILL BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON SATURDAY INTO THE EVENING.
IF ANY STORMS DUE DEVELOP THEY SHOULD QUICKLY DISSIPATE AFTER SUNSET
WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES THEREAFTER. AS FOR WINDS, THEY ARE EXPECTED
TO SHIFT TO MORE OF A SOUTHERLY DIRECTION BY FRIDAY EVENING AND
CONTINUE THROUGH THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK. HIGHS FRIDAY
THROUGH THIS WEEKEND WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE 80S WITH AROUND 90
DEGREES ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA. LOWS LOOK TO START OUT
RANGING FROM THE MID 50S ACROSS EASTERN COLORADO TO LOWER 60S ACROSS
EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA SATURDAY MORNING THEN REACH INTO THE
LOWER TO MID 60S THIS WEEKEND. LOWS MONDAY MORNING ARE PROGGED TO
DIP INTO THE MID 60S.

THE WEATHER PATTERN STARTS TO CHANGE SHAPE BY THE BEGINNING OF NEXT
WEEK AS A STRONG UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE MOVES UP AND OVER THE RIDGE.
MID TO UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE INCREASES DURING THIS TIMEFRAME WITH
INCREASED CLOUD COVER EXPECTED. IT LOOKS TO REMAIN DRY ON MONDAY
WITH THUNDERSTORM CHANCES INCREASING TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. SURFACE
LEE TROUGHING INTENSIFIES AS THIS FEATURE APPROACHES WITH SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. A COLD FRONT MAY MOVE
THROUGH THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY SHIFTING WINDS TO MORE
OF A NORTHERLY DIRECTION. HIGHS THROUGH TUESDAY CONTINUE TO RANGE
FROM THE MID 80S WEST TO AROUND 90 DEGREES EAST WITH LOWS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 60S. HIGHS WEDNESDAY MAY ONLY REACH INTO THE 80S
DEPENDING IF THE AFOREMENTIONED FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1122 AM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT WITH MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE FROM THE NORTHWEST AT 5 TO 10
KNOTS BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE EVENING INTO THE
OVERNIGHT.


&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...WAH
LONG TERM...WAH
AVIATION...WAH








000
FXUS63 KGLD 312000
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
200 PM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 159 PM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT THROUGH TOMORROW AS MID
LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE REMAIN DRY. WINDS THROUGHOUT THE SHORT TERM
WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT AND FROM A WESTERLY DIRECTION TONIGHT
SHIFTING TO MORE OF AN EASTERLY DIRECTION TOMORROW AS AN AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE POSITIONS ITSELF SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA. LOWS TONIGHT ARE
EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM THE UPPER 50S ACROSS THE KS/NE BORDER AND
EASTERN COLORADO TO LOWER 60S ACROSS WEST CENTRAL KANSAS. HIGHS
TOMORROW ARE PROGGED TO RANGE FROM THE LOWER 80S ACROSS WEST CENTRAL
COLORADO TO UPPER 80S ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 159 PM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CONTINUES TO SPIN AROUND THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK WITH AN UPPER LEVEL LONG WAVE
TROUGH ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THIS WILL ALLOW NORTHWEST
FLOW TO BE FOUND ABOVE THE AREA. MID LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE REMAIN
FAIRLY DRY THROUGH THIS PERIOD WHICH WILL BRING PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES
TO THE FORECAST AREA. AN EXCEPTION TO THIS WILL BE SATURDAY
AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY EVENING WHEN A WEAK UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE
MOVES AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE AND DOWN THROUGH CENTRAL
NEBRASKA AND CENTRAL KANSAS. THIS WILL BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON SATURDAY INTO THE EVENING.
IF ANY STORMS DUE DEVELOP THEY SHOULD QUICKLY DISSIPATE AFTER SUNSET
WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES THEREAFTER. AS FOR WINDS, THEY ARE EXPECTED
TO SHIFT TO MORE OF A SOUTHERLY DIRECTION BY FRIDAY EVENING AND
CONTINUE THROUGH THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK. HIGHS FRIDAY
THROUGH THIS WEEKEND WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE 80S WITH AROUND 90
DEGREES ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA. LOWS LOOK TO START OUT
RANGING FROM THE MID 50S ACROSS EASTERN COLORADO TO LOWER 60S ACROSS
EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA SATURDAY MORNING THEN REACH INTO THE
LOWER TO MID 60S THIS WEEKEND. LOWS MONDAY MORNING ARE PROGGED TO
DIP INTO THE MID 60S.

THE WEATHER PATTERN STARTS TO CHANGE SHAPE BY THE BEGINNING OF NEXT
WEEK AS A STRONG UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE MOVES UP AND OVER THE RIDGE.
MID TO UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE INCREASES DURING THIS TIMEFRAME WITH
INCREASED CLOUD COVER EXPECTED. IT LOOKS TO REMAIN DRY ON MONDAY
WITH THUNDERSTORM CHANCES INCREASING TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. SURFACE
LEE TROUGHING INTENSIFIES AS THIS FEATURE APPROACHES WITH SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. A COLD FRONT MAY MOVE
THROUGH THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY SHIFTING WINDS TO MORE
OF A NORTHERLY DIRECTION. HIGHS THROUGH TUESDAY CONTINUE TO RANGE
FROM THE MID 80S WEST TO AROUND 90 DEGREES EAST WITH LOWS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 60S. HIGHS WEDNESDAY MAY ONLY REACH INTO THE 80S
DEPENDING IF THE AFOREMENTIONED FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1122 AM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT WITH MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE FROM THE NORTHWEST AT 5 TO 10
KNOTS BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE EVENING INTO THE
OVERNIGHT.


&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...WAH
LONG TERM...WAH
AVIATION...WAH







000
FXUS63 KGLD 311725
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1125 AM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

...UPDATED AVIATION SECTION...

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 235 AM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

SHORT TERM FORECAST FOCUS IS ON WARMING TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE
END OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND.

THE WESTERN UNITED STATES RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN PLACE
TROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH WEAK NORTH NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. THERE
WILL BE A FEW EMBEDDED WAVES IN THE UPPER FLOW...BUT EXPECT ANY
DISTURBANCES MOVING THROUGH THE FLOW TO CIRCUMNAVIGATE THE
FORECAST AREA. THERE WILL BE DIURNALLY DRIVEN THUNDERSTORMS
FORMING OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN TO THE WEST...BUT EXPECT THOSE TO
REMAIN OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN WITH A VERY LOW POSSIBILITY OF
MAKING IT OVER FAR EASTERN COLORADO. HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO RISE BACK UP INTO THE MIDDLE 80S TO LOWER 90S WITH
LOWS IN THE MIDDLE 50S TO AROUND 60. THIS WILL BE RIGHT AROUND
AVERAGE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 235 AM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

A BENIGN WEATHER PATTERN WILL BE IN PLACE AT THE START OF THE
EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR LATE
JULY. AN AMPLIFIED UPPER FLOW PATTERN WILL EXIST ON SUNDAY WITH A
BUILDING RIDGE JUST TO OUR WEST AND DEEPENING TROUGH TO OUR EAST.
THIS RIDGE WILL WEAKEN AS IT SHIFTS EASTWARD ON MONDAY EVENTUALLY
EVOLVING INTO A MORE ZONAL FLOW PATTERN BY MID WEEK. BY LATE MONDAY
A SERIES OF SHORTWAVE TROUGHS WILL APPROACH THE CENTRAL ROCKIES AND
MOVE INTO THE HIGH PLAINS BY TUESDAY. ASCENT IN COMBINATION WITH AT
LEAST MODEST MOISTURE RETURN FROM PRECEDING DAYS OF SOUTHERLY LOW
LEVEL FLOW WILL RESULT IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF CONVECTION BEGINNING AS
EARLY AS MONDAY EVENING IN THE WEST AND THEN INCREASING TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY ACROSS THE REST OF THE AREA. A COLD FRONT WILL PASS
THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT OR EARLY WEDNESDAY BRING COOLER TEMPERATURES.
UNTIL THEN...NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL OCCUR.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1122 AM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT WITH MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE FROM THE NORTHWEST AT 5 TO 10
KNOTS BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE EVENING INTO THE
OVERNIGHT.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...LOCKHART
LONG TERM...BRB
AVIATION...WAH








000
FXUS63 KGLD 311725
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1125 AM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

...UPDATED AVIATION SECTION...

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 235 AM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

SHORT TERM FORECAST FOCUS IS ON WARMING TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE
END OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND.

THE WESTERN UNITED STATES RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN PLACE
TROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH WEAK NORTH NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. THERE
WILL BE A FEW EMBEDDED WAVES IN THE UPPER FLOW...BUT EXPECT ANY
DISTURBANCES MOVING THROUGH THE FLOW TO CIRCUMNAVIGATE THE
FORECAST AREA. THERE WILL BE DIURNALLY DRIVEN THUNDERSTORMS
FORMING OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN TO THE WEST...BUT EXPECT THOSE TO
REMAIN OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN WITH A VERY LOW POSSIBILITY OF
MAKING IT OVER FAR EASTERN COLORADO. HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO RISE BACK UP INTO THE MIDDLE 80S TO LOWER 90S WITH
LOWS IN THE MIDDLE 50S TO AROUND 60. THIS WILL BE RIGHT AROUND
AVERAGE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 235 AM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

A BENIGN WEATHER PATTERN WILL BE IN PLACE AT THE START OF THE
EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR LATE
JULY. AN AMPLIFIED UPPER FLOW PATTERN WILL EXIST ON SUNDAY WITH A
BUILDING RIDGE JUST TO OUR WEST AND DEEPENING TROUGH TO OUR EAST.
THIS RIDGE WILL WEAKEN AS IT SHIFTS EASTWARD ON MONDAY EVENTUALLY
EVOLVING INTO A MORE ZONAL FLOW PATTERN BY MID WEEK. BY LATE MONDAY
A SERIES OF SHORTWAVE TROUGHS WILL APPROACH THE CENTRAL ROCKIES AND
MOVE INTO THE HIGH PLAINS BY TUESDAY. ASCENT IN COMBINATION WITH AT
LEAST MODEST MOISTURE RETURN FROM PRECEDING DAYS OF SOUTHERLY LOW
LEVEL FLOW WILL RESULT IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF CONVECTION BEGINNING AS
EARLY AS MONDAY EVENING IN THE WEST AND THEN INCREASING TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY ACROSS THE REST OF THE AREA. A COLD FRONT WILL PASS
THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT OR EARLY WEDNESDAY BRING COOLER TEMPERATURES.
UNTIL THEN...NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL OCCUR.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1122 AM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT WITH MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE FROM THE NORTHWEST AT 5 TO 10
KNOTS BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE EVENING INTO THE
OVERNIGHT.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...LOCKHART
LONG TERM...BRB
AVIATION...WAH







000
FXUS63 KGLD 311150
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
550 AM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 235 AM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

SHORT TERM FORECAST FOCUS IS ON WARMING TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE
END OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND.

THE WESTERN UNITED STATES RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN PLACE
TROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH WEAK NORTH NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. THERE
WILL BE A FEW EMBEDDED WAVES IN THE UPPER FLOW...BUT EXPECT ANY
DISTURBANCES MOVING THROUGH THE FLOW TO CIRCUMNAVIGATE THE
FORECAST AREA. THERE WILL BE DIURNALLY DRIVEN THUNDERSTORMS
FORMING OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN TO THE WEST...BUT EXPECT THOSE TO
REMAIN OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN WITH A VERY LOW POSSIBILITY OF
MAKING IT OVER FAR EASTERN COLORADO. HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO RISE BACK UP INTO THE MIDDLE 80S TO LOWER 90S WITH
LOWS IN THE MIDDLE 50S TO AROUND 60. THIS WILL BE RIGHT AROUND
AVERAGE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 235 AM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

A BENIGN WEATHER PATTERN WILL BE IN PLACE AT THE START OF THE
EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR LATE
JULY. AN AMPLIFIED UPPER FLOW PATTERN WILL EXIST ON SUNDAY WITH A
BUILDING RIDGE JUST TO OUR WEST AND DEEPENING TROUGH TO OUR EAST.
THIS RIDGE WILL WEAKEN AS IT SHIFTS EASTWARD ON MONDAY EVENTUALLY
EVOLVING INTO A MORE ZONAL FLOW PATTERN BY MID WEEK. BY LATE MONDAY
A SERIES OF SHORTWAVE TROUGHS WILL APPROACH THE CENTRAL ROCKIES AND
MOVE INTO THE HIGH PLAINS BY TUESDAY. ASCENT IN COMBINATION WITH AT
LEAST MODEST MOISTURE RETURN FROM PRECEDING DAYS OF SOUTHERLY LOW
LEVEL FLOW WILL RESULT IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF CONVECTION BEGINNING AS
EARLY AS MONDAY EVENING IN THE WEST AND THEN INCREASING TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY ACROSS THE REST OF THE AREA. A COLD FRONT WILL PASS
THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT OR EARLY WEDNESDAY BRING COOLER TEMPERATURES.
UNTIL THEN...NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL OCCUR.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 411 AM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

VFR CONDITIONS WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED AT MCK AND GLD
THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. LIGHT WESTERLY WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT
AND VARIABLE AROUND SUNSET AND TURN TO THE NORTH AFTER 06Z.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...LOCKHART
LONG TERM...BRB
AVIATION...LOCKHART







000
FXUS63 KGLD 311150
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
550 AM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 235 AM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

SHORT TERM FORECAST FOCUS IS ON WARMING TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE
END OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND.

THE WESTERN UNITED STATES RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN PLACE
TROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH WEAK NORTH NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. THERE
WILL BE A FEW EMBEDDED WAVES IN THE UPPER FLOW...BUT EXPECT ANY
DISTURBANCES MOVING THROUGH THE FLOW TO CIRCUMNAVIGATE THE
FORECAST AREA. THERE WILL BE DIURNALLY DRIVEN THUNDERSTORMS
FORMING OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN TO THE WEST...BUT EXPECT THOSE TO
REMAIN OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN WITH A VERY LOW POSSIBILITY OF
MAKING IT OVER FAR EASTERN COLORADO. HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO RISE BACK UP INTO THE MIDDLE 80S TO LOWER 90S WITH
LOWS IN THE MIDDLE 50S TO AROUND 60. THIS WILL BE RIGHT AROUND
AVERAGE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 235 AM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

A BENIGN WEATHER PATTERN WILL BE IN PLACE AT THE START OF THE
EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR LATE
JULY. AN AMPLIFIED UPPER FLOW PATTERN WILL EXIST ON SUNDAY WITH A
BUILDING RIDGE JUST TO OUR WEST AND DEEPENING TROUGH TO OUR EAST.
THIS RIDGE WILL WEAKEN AS IT SHIFTS EASTWARD ON MONDAY EVENTUALLY
EVOLVING INTO A MORE ZONAL FLOW PATTERN BY MID WEEK. BY LATE MONDAY
A SERIES OF SHORTWAVE TROUGHS WILL APPROACH THE CENTRAL ROCKIES AND
MOVE INTO THE HIGH PLAINS BY TUESDAY. ASCENT IN COMBINATION WITH AT
LEAST MODEST MOISTURE RETURN FROM PRECEDING DAYS OF SOUTHERLY LOW
LEVEL FLOW WILL RESULT IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF CONVECTION BEGINNING AS
EARLY AS MONDAY EVENING IN THE WEST AND THEN INCREASING TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY ACROSS THE REST OF THE AREA. A COLD FRONT WILL PASS
THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT OR EARLY WEDNESDAY BRING COOLER TEMPERATURES.
UNTIL THEN...NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL OCCUR.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 411 AM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

VFR CONDITIONS WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED AT MCK AND GLD
THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. LIGHT WESTERLY WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT
AND VARIABLE AROUND SUNSET AND TURN TO THE NORTH AFTER 06Z.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...LOCKHART
LONG TERM...BRB
AVIATION...LOCKHART








000
FXUS63 KGLD 311004
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
404 AM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 235 AM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

SHORT TERM FORECAST FOCUS IS ON WARMING TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE
END OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND.

THE WESTERN UNITED STATES RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN PLACE
TROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH WEAK NORTH NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. THERE
WILL BE A FEW EMBEDDED WAVES IN THE UPPER FLOW...BUT EXPECT ANY
DISTURBANCES MOVING THROUGH THE FLOW TO CIRCUMNAVIGATE THE
FORECAST AREA. THERE WILL BE DIURNALLY DRIVEN THUNDERSTORMS
FORMING OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN TO THE WEST...BUT EXPECT THOSE TO
REMAIN OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN WITH A VERY LOW POSSIBILITY OF
MAKING IT OVER FAR EASTERN COLORADO. HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO RISE BACK UP INTO THE MIDDLE 80S TO LOWER 90S WITH
LOWS IN THE MIDDLE 50S TO AROUND 60. THIS WILL BE RIGHT AROUND
AVERAGE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 235 AM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

A BENIGN WEATHER PATTERN WILL BE IN PLACE AT THE START OF THE
EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR LATE
JULY. AN AMPLIFIED UPPER FLOW PATTERN WILL EXIST ON SUNDAY WITH A
BUILDING RIDGE JUST TO OUR WEST AND DEEPENING TROUGH TO OUR EAST.
THIS RIDGE WILL WEAKEN AS IT SHIFTS EASTWARD ON MONDAY EVENTUALLY
EVOLVING INTO A MORE ZONAL FLOW PATTERN BY MID WEEK. BY LATE MONDAY
A SERIES OF SHORTWAVE TROUGHS WILL APPROACH THE CENTRAL ROCKIES AND
MOVE INTO THE HIGH PLAINS BY TUESDAY. ASCENT IN COMBINATION WITH AT
LEAST MODEST MOISTURE RETURN FROM PRECEDING DAYS OF SOUTHERLY LOW
LEVEL FLOW WILL RESULT IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF CONVECTION BEGINNING AS
EARLY AS MONDAY EVENING IN THE WEST AND THEN INCREASING TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY ACROSS THE REST OF THE AREA. A COLD FRONT WILL PASS
THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT OR EARLY WEDNESDAY BRING COOLER TEMPERATURES.
UNTIL THEN...NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL OCCUR.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1128 PM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AT KGLD AND KMCK
TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING AS HIGH PRESSURE AND SUBSIDENCE
CONTINUE OVER THE AREA. THERE IS A SLIM CHANCE FOR SOME PATCHY FOG
AT KMCK EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.  THE FORECAST SOUNDING FOR KMCK
POINT OUT THE POSSIBILITY OF STRATUS BUT HIGH CLOUDS TONIGHT WILL
PROBABLY KEEP THE DEWPOINT DEPRESSION LARGE ENOUGH TO PRECLUDE THE
POSSIBILITY.  WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE AND THEN
SHIFT TO THE WEST NORTHWEST THURSDAY EVENING.


&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...LOCKHART
LONG TERM...BRB
AVIATION...FS







000
FXUS63 KGLD 311004
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
404 AM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 235 AM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

SHORT TERM FORECAST FOCUS IS ON WARMING TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE
END OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND.

THE WESTERN UNITED STATES RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN PLACE
TROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH WEAK NORTH NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. THERE
WILL BE A FEW EMBEDDED WAVES IN THE UPPER FLOW...BUT EXPECT ANY
DISTURBANCES MOVING THROUGH THE FLOW TO CIRCUMNAVIGATE THE
FORECAST AREA. THERE WILL BE DIURNALLY DRIVEN THUNDERSTORMS
FORMING OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN TO THE WEST...BUT EXPECT THOSE TO
REMAIN OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN WITH A VERY LOW POSSIBILITY OF
MAKING IT OVER FAR EASTERN COLORADO. HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO RISE BACK UP INTO THE MIDDLE 80S TO LOWER 90S WITH
LOWS IN THE MIDDLE 50S TO AROUND 60. THIS WILL BE RIGHT AROUND
AVERAGE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 235 AM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

A BENIGN WEATHER PATTERN WILL BE IN PLACE AT THE START OF THE
EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR LATE
JULY. AN AMPLIFIED UPPER FLOW PATTERN WILL EXIST ON SUNDAY WITH A
BUILDING RIDGE JUST TO OUR WEST AND DEEPENING TROUGH TO OUR EAST.
THIS RIDGE WILL WEAKEN AS IT SHIFTS EASTWARD ON MONDAY EVENTUALLY
EVOLVING INTO A MORE ZONAL FLOW PATTERN BY MID WEEK. BY LATE MONDAY
A SERIES OF SHORTWAVE TROUGHS WILL APPROACH THE CENTRAL ROCKIES AND
MOVE INTO THE HIGH PLAINS BY TUESDAY. ASCENT IN COMBINATION WITH AT
LEAST MODEST MOISTURE RETURN FROM PRECEDING DAYS OF SOUTHERLY LOW
LEVEL FLOW WILL RESULT IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF CONVECTION BEGINNING AS
EARLY AS MONDAY EVENING IN THE WEST AND THEN INCREASING TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY ACROSS THE REST OF THE AREA. A COLD FRONT WILL PASS
THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT OR EARLY WEDNESDAY BRING COOLER TEMPERATURES.
UNTIL THEN...NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL OCCUR.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1128 PM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AT KGLD AND KMCK
TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING AS HIGH PRESSURE AND SUBSIDENCE
CONTINUE OVER THE AREA. THERE IS A SLIM CHANCE FOR SOME PATCHY FOG
AT KMCK EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.  THE FORECAST SOUNDING FOR KMCK
POINT OUT THE POSSIBILITY OF STRATUS BUT HIGH CLOUDS TONIGHT WILL
PROBABLY KEEP THE DEWPOINT DEPRESSION LARGE ENOUGH TO PRECLUDE THE
POSSIBILITY.  WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE AND THEN
SHIFT TO THE WEST NORTHWEST THURSDAY EVENING.


&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...LOCKHART
LONG TERM...BRB
AVIATION...FS








000
FXUS63 KGLD 310529
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1129 PM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 223 PM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

SKIES WILL SLOWLY CLEAR FROM NORTH TO SOUTH THIS EVENING AS THE
UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE THAT AFFECTED THE AREA THIS MORNING CONTINUES
TO MOVE SOUTHEAST INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY. SURFACE WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE FROM THE NORTH NORTHEAST
EARLY THIS EVENING BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGH MIDNIGHT.
LIGHT NORTHWEST WINDS ARE THEN EXPECTED AFTER MIDNIGHT. AS FOR
TEMPERATURES, LOWS OVERNIGHT WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE UPPER 50S.

PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ARE EXPECTED TOMORROW AS MID TO UPPER LEVELS OF
THE ATMOSPHERE DRY OUT. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT THROUGHOUT THE DAY
WITH A GENERAL WESTERLY COMPONENT. THERE COULD BE A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP ACROSS THE PALMER DIVIDE DURING THE
AFTERNOON, BUT CONFIDENCE IS LOW THAT THIS WILL ACTUALLY HAPPEN. AS
FOR TEMPERATURES, HIGHS TOMORROW ARE FORECASTED TO RANGE FROM THE
UPPER 70S ACROSS EAST CENTRAL COLORADO TO MID TO UPPER 80S ACROSS
THE KS/NE LINE.

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 223 PM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CONTINUES TO SPIN AROUND THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK WITH AN UPPER LEVEL LONG WAVE
TROUGH ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THIS WILL ALLOW NORTHWEST
FLOW TO BE FOUND ABOVE THE CWA. MID LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE REMAIN
FAIRLY DRY THROUGH THIS PERIOD WHICH WILL BRING PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES
TO THE FORECAST AREA. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO MORE OF A SOUTHERLY
DIRECTION BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE EXTENDED FORECAST. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED FRIDAY THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. HIGHS FRIDAY THROUGH THIS WEEKEND WILL GENERALLY BE IN
THE 80S WITH AROUND 90 DEGREES ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA.
LOWS LOOK TO START OUT RANGING FROM THE MID 60S ACROSS EASTERN
COLORADO TO LOWER 60S ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY MORNINGS THEN REACH INTO THE LOWER TO MID 60S THIS WEEKEND.

THE WEATHER PATTERN STARTS TO CHANGE SHAPE BY THE BEGINNING OF NEXT
WEEK AS AN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE MOVES UP AND OVER THE
AFOREMENTIONED RIDGE. MID TO UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE INCREASES DURING
THIS TIMEFRAME WITH INCREASED CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS. SURFACE LEE
TROUGHING INTENSIFIES AS THIS FEATURE APPROACHES WITH SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS EXPECTED. HIGHS THROUGH THIS PERIOD CONTINUE TO
RANGE FROM THE MID 80S WEST TO AROUND 90 DEGREES EAST WITH LOWS IN
THE LOWER TO MID 60S.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1128 PM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AT KGLD AND KMCK
TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING AS HIGH PRESSURE AND SUBSIDENCE
CONTINUE OVER THE AREA. THERE IS A SLIM CHANCE FOR SOME PATCHY FOG
AT KMCK EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.  THE FORECAST SOUNDING FOR KMCK
POINT OUT THE POSSIBILITY OF STRATUS BUT HIGH CLOUDS TONIGHT WILL
PROBABLY KEEP THE DEWPOINT DEPRESION LARGE ENOUGH TO PRECLUDE THE
POSSIBLITY.  WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE AND THEN
SHIFT TO THE WEST NORTHWEST THURSDAY EVENING.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...WAH
LONG TERM...WAH
AVIATION...FS








000
FXUS63 KGLD 310529
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1129 PM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 223 PM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

SKIES WILL SLOWLY CLEAR FROM NORTH TO SOUTH THIS EVENING AS THE
UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE THAT AFFECTED THE AREA THIS MORNING CONTINUES
TO MOVE SOUTHEAST INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY. SURFACE WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE FROM THE NORTH NORTHEAST
EARLY THIS EVENING BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGH MIDNIGHT.
LIGHT NORTHWEST WINDS ARE THEN EXPECTED AFTER MIDNIGHT. AS FOR
TEMPERATURES, LOWS OVERNIGHT WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE UPPER 50S.

PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ARE EXPECTED TOMORROW AS MID TO UPPER LEVELS OF
THE ATMOSPHERE DRY OUT. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT THROUGHOUT THE DAY
WITH A GENERAL WESTERLY COMPONENT. THERE COULD BE A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP ACROSS THE PALMER DIVIDE DURING THE
AFTERNOON, BUT CONFIDENCE IS LOW THAT THIS WILL ACTUALLY HAPPEN. AS
FOR TEMPERATURES, HIGHS TOMORROW ARE FORECASTED TO RANGE FROM THE
UPPER 70S ACROSS EAST CENTRAL COLORADO TO MID TO UPPER 80S ACROSS
THE KS/NE LINE.

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 223 PM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CONTINUES TO SPIN AROUND THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK WITH AN UPPER LEVEL LONG WAVE
TROUGH ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THIS WILL ALLOW NORTHWEST
FLOW TO BE FOUND ABOVE THE CWA. MID LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE REMAIN
FAIRLY DRY THROUGH THIS PERIOD WHICH WILL BRING PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES
TO THE FORECAST AREA. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO MORE OF A SOUTHERLY
DIRECTION BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE EXTENDED FORECAST. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED FRIDAY THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. HIGHS FRIDAY THROUGH THIS WEEKEND WILL GENERALLY BE IN
THE 80S WITH AROUND 90 DEGREES ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA.
LOWS LOOK TO START OUT RANGING FROM THE MID 60S ACROSS EASTERN
COLORADO TO LOWER 60S ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY MORNINGS THEN REACH INTO THE LOWER TO MID 60S THIS WEEKEND.

THE WEATHER PATTERN STARTS TO CHANGE SHAPE BY THE BEGINNING OF NEXT
WEEK AS AN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE MOVES UP AND OVER THE
AFOREMENTIONED RIDGE. MID TO UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE INCREASES DURING
THIS TIMEFRAME WITH INCREASED CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS. SURFACE LEE
TROUGHING INTENSIFIES AS THIS FEATURE APPROACHES WITH SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS EXPECTED. HIGHS THROUGH THIS PERIOD CONTINUE TO
RANGE FROM THE MID 80S WEST TO AROUND 90 DEGREES EAST WITH LOWS IN
THE LOWER TO MID 60S.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1128 PM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AT KGLD AND KMCK
TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING AS HIGH PRESSURE AND SUBSIDENCE
CONTINUE OVER THE AREA. THERE IS A SLIM CHANCE FOR SOME PATCHY FOG
AT KMCK EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.  THE FORECAST SOUNDING FOR KMCK
POINT OUT THE POSSIBILITY OF STRATUS BUT HIGH CLOUDS TONIGHT WILL
PROBABLY KEEP THE DEWPOINT DEPRESION LARGE ENOUGH TO PRECLUDE THE
POSSIBLITY.  WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE AND THEN
SHIFT TO THE WEST NORTHWEST THURSDAY EVENING.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...WAH
LONG TERM...WAH
AVIATION...FS







000
FXUS63 KGLD 302328
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
528 PM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 223 PM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

SKIES WILL SLOWLY CLEAR FROM NORTH TO SOUTH THIS EVENING AS THE
UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE THAT AFFECTED THE AREA THIS MORNING CONTINUES
TO MOVE SOUTHEAST INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY. SURFACE WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE FROM THE NORTH NORTHEAST
EARLY THIS EVENING BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGH MIDNIGHT.
LIGHT NORTHWEST WINDS ARE THEN EXPECTED AFTER MIDNIGHT. AS FOR
TEMPERATURES, LOWS OVERNIGHT WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE UPPER 50S.

PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ARE EXPECTED TOMORROW AS MID TO UPPER LEVELS OF
THE ATMOSPHERE DRY OUT. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT THROUGHOUT THE DAY
WITH A GENERAL WESTERLY COMPONENT. THERE COULD BE A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP ACROSS THE PALMER DIVIDE DURING THE
AFTERNOON, BUT CONFIDENCE IS LOW THAT THIS WILL ACTUALLY HAPPEN. AS
FOR TEMPERATURES, HIGHS TOMORROW ARE FORECASTED TO RANGE FROM THE
UPPER 70S ACROSS EAST CENTRAL COLORADO TO MID TO UPPER 80S ACROSS
THE KS/NE LINE.

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 223 PM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CONTINUES TO SPIN AROUND THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK WITH AN UPPER LEVEL LONG WAVE
TROUGH ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THIS WILL ALLOW NORTHWEST
FLOW TO BE FOUND ABOVE THE CWA. MID LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE REMAIN
FAIRLY DRY THROUGH THIS PERIOD WHICH WILL BRING PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES
TO THE FORECAST AREA. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO MORE OF A SOUTHERLY
DIRECTION BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE EXTENDED FORECAST. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED FRIDAY THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. HIGHS FRIDAY THROUGH THIS WEEKEND WILL GENERALLY BE IN
THE 80S WITH AROUND 90 DEGREES ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA.
LOWS LOOK TO START OUT RANGING FROM THE MID 60S ACROSS EASTERN
COLORADO TO LOWER 60S ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY MORNINGS THEN REACH INTO THE LOWER TO MID 60S THIS WEEKEND.

THE WEATHER PATTERN STARTS TO CHANGE SHAPE BY THE BEGINNING OF NEXT
WEEK AS AN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE MOVES UP AND OVER THE
AFOREMENTIONED RIDGE. MID TO UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE INCREASES DURING
THIS TIMEFRAME WITH INCREASED CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS. SURFACE LEE
TROUGHING INTENSIFIES AS THIS FEATURE APPROACHES WITH SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS EXPECTED. HIGHS THROUGH THIS PERIOD CONTINUE TO
RANGE FROM THE MID 80S WEST TO AROUND 90 DEGREES EAST WITH LOWS IN
THE LOWER TO MID 60S.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 528 PM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

GRADUAL CLEARING AND VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT KGLD AND KMCK
TONIGHT AND THURSDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE AND SUBSIDENCE MOVE INTO THE
AREA. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...WAH
LONG TERM...WAH
AVIATION...FS








000
FXUS63 KGLD 302328
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
528 PM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 223 PM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

SKIES WILL SLOWLY CLEAR FROM NORTH TO SOUTH THIS EVENING AS THE
UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE THAT AFFECTED THE AREA THIS MORNING CONTINUES
TO MOVE SOUTHEAST INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY. SURFACE WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE FROM THE NORTH NORTHEAST
EARLY THIS EVENING BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGH MIDNIGHT.
LIGHT NORTHWEST WINDS ARE THEN EXPECTED AFTER MIDNIGHT. AS FOR
TEMPERATURES, LOWS OVERNIGHT WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE UPPER 50S.

PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ARE EXPECTED TOMORROW AS MID TO UPPER LEVELS OF
THE ATMOSPHERE DRY OUT. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT THROUGHOUT THE DAY
WITH A GENERAL WESTERLY COMPONENT. THERE COULD BE A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP ACROSS THE PALMER DIVIDE DURING THE
AFTERNOON, BUT CONFIDENCE IS LOW THAT THIS WILL ACTUALLY HAPPEN. AS
FOR TEMPERATURES, HIGHS TOMORROW ARE FORECASTED TO RANGE FROM THE
UPPER 70S ACROSS EAST CENTRAL COLORADO TO MID TO UPPER 80S ACROSS
THE KS/NE LINE.

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 223 PM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CONTINUES TO SPIN AROUND THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK WITH AN UPPER LEVEL LONG WAVE
TROUGH ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THIS WILL ALLOW NORTHWEST
FLOW TO BE FOUND ABOVE THE CWA. MID LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE REMAIN
FAIRLY DRY THROUGH THIS PERIOD WHICH WILL BRING PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES
TO THE FORECAST AREA. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO MORE OF A SOUTHERLY
DIRECTION BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE EXTENDED FORECAST. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED FRIDAY THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. HIGHS FRIDAY THROUGH THIS WEEKEND WILL GENERALLY BE IN
THE 80S WITH AROUND 90 DEGREES ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA.
LOWS LOOK TO START OUT RANGING FROM THE MID 60S ACROSS EASTERN
COLORADO TO LOWER 60S ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY MORNINGS THEN REACH INTO THE LOWER TO MID 60S THIS WEEKEND.

THE WEATHER PATTERN STARTS TO CHANGE SHAPE BY THE BEGINNING OF NEXT
WEEK AS AN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE MOVES UP AND OVER THE
AFOREMENTIONED RIDGE. MID TO UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE INCREASES DURING
THIS TIMEFRAME WITH INCREASED CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS. SURFACE LEE
TROUGHING INTENSIFIES AS THIS FEATURE APPROACHES WITH SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS EXPECTED. HIGHS THROUGH THIS PERIOD CONTINUE TO
RANGE FROM THE MID 80S WEST TO AROUND 90 DEGREES EAST WITH LOWS IN
THE LOWER TO MID 60S.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 528 PM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

GRADUAL CLEARING AND VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT KGLD AND KMCK
TONIGHT AND THURSDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE AND SUBSIDENCE MOVE INTO THE
AREA. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...WAH
LONG TERM...WAH
AVIATION...FS







000
FXUS63 KGLD 302025
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
225 PM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 223 PM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

SKIES WILL SLOWLY CLEAR FROM NORTH TO SOUTH THIS EVENING AS THE
UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE THAT AFFECTED THE AREA THIS MORNING CONTINUES
TO MOVE SOUTHEAST INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY. SURFACE WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE FROM THE NORTH NORTHEAST
EARLY THIS EVENING BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGH MIDNIGHT.
LIGHT NORTHWEST WINDS ARE THEN EXPECTED AFTER MIDNIGHT. AS FOR
TEMPERATURES, LOWS OVERNIGHT WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE UPPER 50S.

PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ARE EXPECTED TOMORROW AS MID TO UPPER LEVELS OF
THE ATMOSPHERE DRY OUT. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT THROUGHOUT THE DAY
WITH A GENERAL WESTERLY COMPONENT. THERE COULD BE A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP ACROSS THE PALMER DIVIDE DURING THE
AFTERNOON, BUT CONFIDENCE IS LOW THAT THIS WILL ACTUALLY HAPPEN. AS
FOR TEMPERATURES, HIGHS TOMORROW ARE FORECASTED TO RANGE FROM THE
UPPER 70S ACROSS EAST CENTRAL COLORADO TO MID TO UPPER 80S ACROSS
THE KS/NE LINE.


.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 223 PM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CONTINUES TO SPIN AROUND THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK WITH AN UPPER LEVEL LONG WAVE
TROUGH ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THIS WILL ALLOW NORTHWEST
FLOW TO BE FOUND ABOVE THE CWA. MID LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE REMAIN
FAIRLY DRY THROUGH THIS PERIOD WHICH WILL BRING PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES
TO THE FORECAST AREA. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO MORE OF A SOUTHERLY
DIRECTION BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE EXTENDED FORECAST. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED FRIDAY THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. HIGHS FRIDAY THROUGH THIS WEEKEND WILL GENERALLY BE IN
THE 80S WITH AROUND 90 DEGREES ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA.
LOWS LOOK TO START OUT RANGING FROM THE MID 60S ACROSS EASTERN
COLORADO TO LOWER 60S ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY MORNINGS THEN REACH INTO THE LOWER TO MID 60S THIS WEEKEND.

THE WEATHER PATTERN STARTS TO CHANGE SHAPE BY THE BEGINNING OF NEXT
WEEK AS AN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE MOVES UP AND OVER THE
AFOREMENTIONED RIDGE. MID TO UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE INCREASES DURING
THIS TIMEFRAME WITH INCREASED CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS. SURFACE LEE
TROUGHING INTENSIFIES AS THIS FEATURE APPROACHES WITH SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS EXPECTED. HIGHS THROUGH THIS PERIOD CONTINUE TO
RANGE FROM THE MID 80S WEST TO AROUND 90 DEGREES EAST WITH LOWS IN
THE LOWER TO MID 60S.


&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1105 AM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

WITH THE EXCEPTION OF A FEW LOW CLOUDS AOA020 OVER THE NEXT COUPLE
OF HOURS...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL TODAY WITH MOSTLY CLOUDY
SKIES AOA100. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE FROM THE EAST THIS AFTERNOON
BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE THIS EVENING. NORTHWEST WINDS ARE THEN
EXPECTED OVERNIGHT.


&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...WAH
LONG TERM...WAH
AVIATION...WAH







000
FXUS63 KGLD 302025
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
225 PM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 223 PM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

SKIES WILL SLOWLY CLEAR FROM NORTH TO SOUTH THIS EVENING AS THE
UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE THAT AFFECTED THE AREA THIS MORNING CONTINUES
TO MOVE SOUTHEAST INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY. SURFACE WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE FROM THE NORTH NORTHEAST
EARLY THIS EVENING BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGH MIDNIGHT.
LIGHT NORTHWEST WINDS ARE THEN EXPECTED AFTER MIDNIGHT. AS FOR
TEMPERATURES, LOWS OVERNIGHT WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE UPPER 50S.

PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ARE EXPECTED TOMORROW AS MID TO UPPER LEVELS OF
THE ATMOSPHERE DRY OUT. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT THROUGHOUT THE DAY
WITH A GENERAL WESTERLY COMPONENT. THERE COULD BE A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP ACROSS THE PALMER DIVIDE DURING THE
AFTERNOON, BUT CONFIDENCE IS LOW THAT THIS WILL ACTUALLY HAPPEN. AS
FOR TEMPERATURES, HIGHS TOMORROW ARE FORECASTED TO RANGE FROM THE
UPPER 70S ACROSS EAST CENTRAL COLORADO TO MID TO UPPER 80S ACROSS
THE KS/NE LINE.


.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 223 PM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CONTINUES TO SPIN AROUND THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK WITH AN UPPER LEVEL LONG WAVE
TROUGH ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THIS WILL ALLOW NORTHWEST
FLOW TO BE FOUND ABOVE THE CWA. MID LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE REMAIN
FAIRLY DRY THROUGH THIS PERIOD WHICH WILL BRING PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES
TO THE FORECAST AREA. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO MORE OF A SOUTHERLY
DIRECTION BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE EXTENDED FORECAST. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED FRIDAY THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. HIGHS FRIDAY THROUGH THIS WEEKEND WILL GENERALLY BE IN
THE 80S WITH AROUND 90 DEGREES ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA.
LOWS LOOK TO START OUT RANGING FROM THE MID 60S ACROSS EASTERN
COLORADO TO LOWER 60S ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY MORNINGS THEN REACH INTO THE LOWER TO MID 60S THIS WEEKEND.

THE WEATHER PATTERN STARTS TO CHANGE SHAPE BY THE BEGINNING OF NEXT
WEEK AS AN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE MOVES UP AND OVER THE
AFOREMENTIONED RIDGE. MID TO UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE INCREASES DURING
THIS TIMEFRAME WITH INCREASED CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS. SURFACE LEE
TROUGHING INTENSIFIES AS THIS FEATURE APPROACHES WITH SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS EXPECTED. HIGHS THROUGH THIS PERIOD CONTINUE TO
RANGE FROM THE MID 80S WEST TO AROUND 90 DEGREES EAST WITH LOWS IN
THE LOWER TO MID 60S.


&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1105 AM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

WITH THE EXCEPTION OF A FEW LOW CLOUDS AOA020 OVER THE NEXT COUPLE
OF HOURS...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL TODAY WITH MOSTLY CLOUDY
SKIES AOA100. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE FROM THE EAST THIS AFTERNOON
BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE THIS EVENING. NORTHWEST WINDS ARE THEN
EXPECTED OVERNIGHT.


&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...WAH
LONG TERM...WAH
AVIATION...WAH








000
FXUS63 KGLD 301709
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1109 AM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

...UPDATED AVIATION SECTION...

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 348 AM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

THE MAIN SHORT TERM FORECAST CONCERN IS THE ONGOING LIGHT TO
MODERATE RAINFALL AND EXPECTED REDEVELOPMENT OF RAINFALL OVER
AREAS THAT ALREADY RECEIVED SUBSTANTIAL RAINFALL LAST EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT.  WILL LEAVE THE CURRENT FLASH FLOOD WATCH AREA INTACT
ACROSS THE WESTERN AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA TO
ACCOUNT FOR THIS.

THE BULK OF THE MID LEVEL LOW PRESSURE CENTER MOVES THROUGH
SOUTHWEST KANSAS AND INTO NORTHERN OKLAHOMA TODAY...TAKING THE
FAVORED AREA OF HEAVIER RAINFALL WITH IT OUT OF THE CENTRAL HIGH
PLAINS REGION AND INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS.

THE UPPER RIDGE REMAINS IN PLACE OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN AND ROCKY
MOUNTAIN REGION WITH NORTH NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT PERSISTING OVER
THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS REGION WITH GENERALLY HIGH PRESSURE IN
PLACE AT THE SURFACE. EXPECT CLEARING SKIES AND DRIER WARMER
CONDITIONS TO PERSIST THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 348 AM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

UPPER RIDGE OVER THE WEST WILL MOVE SLOWLY EASTWARD DURING THE
EXTENDED PERIOD AND DEAMPLIFY EARLY NEXT WEEK. AS THIS HAPPENS...A
SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE THROUGH THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL ROCKIES LATE
MONDAY ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE RIDGE. THERE IS AGREEMENT IN THE
MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE ON THIS GENERAL TREND BUT DETAILS ON TIMING
AND HOW MUCH THE THE RIDGE WILL BREAK DOWN HAVE NOT YET BEEN
RESOLVED AT THAT TIME PERIOD. NEVERTHELESS ABOVE CLIMO POP IS
WARRANTED ON TUESDAY. DRY AND SEASONABLY WARM CONDITIONS WILL
PRECEDE THE SHORTWAVE WITH SOME CONVECTION ENCROACHING ON THE
WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA AS EARLY AS MONDAY EVENING.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1105 AM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

WITH THE EXCEPTION OF A FEW LOW CLOUDS AOA020 OVER THE NEXT COUPLE
OF HOURS...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL TODAY WITH MOSTLY CLOUDY
SKIES AOA100. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE FROM THE EAST THIS AFTERNOON
BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE THIS EVENING. NORTHWEST WINDS ARE THEN
EXPECTED OVERNIGHT.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...LOCKHART
LONG TERM...BRB
AVIATION...WAH








000
FXUS63 KGLD 301709
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1109 AM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

...UPDATED AVIATION SECTION...

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 348 AM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

THE MAIN SHORT TERM FORECAST CONCERN IS THE ONGOING LIGHT TO
MODERATE RAINFALL AND EXPECTED REDEVELOPMENT OF RAINFALL OVER
AREAS THAT ALREADY RECEIVED SUBSTANTIAL RAINFALL LAST EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT.  WILL LEAVE THE CURRENT FLASH FLOOD WATCH AREA INTACT
ACROSS THE WESTERN AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA TO
ACCOUNT FOR THIS.

THE BULK OF THE MID LEVEL LOW PRESSURE CENTER MOVES THROUGH
SOUTHWEST KANSAS AND INTO NORTHERN OKLAHOMA TODAY...TAKING THE
FAVORED AREA OF HEAVIER RAINFALL WITH IT OUT OF THE CENTRAL HIGH
PLAINS REGION AND INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS.

THE UPPER RIDGE REMAINS IN PLACE OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN AND ROCKY
MOUNTAIN REGION WITH NORTH NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT PERSISTING OVER
THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS REGION WITH GENERALLY HIGH PRESSURE IN
PLACE AT THE SURFACE. EXPECT CLEARING SKIES AND DRIER WARMER
CONDITIONS TO PERSIST THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 348 AM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

UPPER RIDGE OVER THE WEST WILL MOVE SLOWLY EASTWARD DURING THE
EXTENDED PERIOD AND DEAMPLIFY EARLY NEXT WEEK. AS THIS HAPPENS...A
SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE THROUGH THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL ROCKIES LATE
MONDAY ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE RIDGE. THERE IS AGREEMENT IN THE
MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE ON THIS GENERAL TREND BUT DETAILS ON TIMING
AND HOW MUCH THE THE RIDGE WILL BREAK DOWN HAVE NOT YET BEEN
RESOLVED AT THAT TIME PERIOD. NEVERTHELESS ABOVE CLIMO POP IS
WARRANTED ON TUESDAY. DRY AND SEASONABLY WARM CONDITIONS WILL
PRECEDE THE SHORTWAVE WITH SOME CONVECTION ENCROACHING ON THE
WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA AS EARLY AS MONDAY EVENING.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1105 AM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

WITH THE EXCEPTION OF A FEW LOW CLOUDS AOA020 OVER THE NEXT COUPLE
OF HOURS...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL TODAY WITH MOSTLY CLOUDY
SKIES AOA100. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE FROM THE EAST THIS AFTERNOON
BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE THIS EVENING. NORTHWEST WINDS ARE THEN
EXPECTED OVERNIGHT.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...LOCKHART
LONG TERM...BRB
AVIATION...WAH







000
FXUS63 KGLD 301202
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
602 AM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 348 AM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

THE MAIN SHORT TERM FORECAST CONCERN IS THE ONGOING LIGHT TO
MODERATE RAINFALL AND EXPECTED REDEVELOPMENT OF RAINFALL OVER
AREAS THAT ALREADY RECEIVED SUBSTANTIAL RAINFALL LAST EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT.  WILL LEAVE THE CURRENT FLASH FLOOD WATCH AREA INTACT
ACROSS THE WESTERN AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA TO
ACCOUNT FOR THIS.

THE BULK OF THE MID LEVEL LOW PRESSURE CENTER MOVES THROUGH
SOUTHWEST KANSAS AND INTO NORTHERN OKLAHOMA TODAY...TAKING THE
FAVORED AREA OF HEAVIER RAINFALL WITH IT OUT OF THE CENTRAL HIGH
PLAINS REGION AND INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS.

THE UPPER RIDGE REMAINS IN PLACE OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN AND ROCKY
MOUNTAIN REGION WITH NORTH NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT PERSISTING OVER
THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS REGION WITH GENERALLY HIGH PRESSURE IN
PLACE AT THE SURFACE. EXPECT CLEARING SKIES AND DRIER WARMER
CONDITIONS TO PERSIST THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 348 AM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

UPPER RIDGE OVER THE WEST WILL MOVE SLOWLY EASTWARD DURING THE
EXTENDED PERIOD AND DEAMPLIFY EARLY NEXT WEEK. AS THIS HAPPENS...A
SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE THROUGH THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL ROCKIES LATE
MONDAY ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE RIDGE. THERE IS AGREEMENT IN THE
MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE ON THIS GENERAL TREND BUT DETAILS ON TIMING
AND HOW MUCH THE THE RIDGE WILL BREAK DOWN HAVE NOT YET BEEN
RESOLVED AT THAT TIME PERIOD. NEVERTHELESS ABOVE CLIMO POP IS
WARRANTED ON TUESDAY. DRY AND SEASONABLY WARM CONDITIONS WILL
PRECEDE THE SHORTWAVE WITH SOME CONVECTION ENCROACHING ON THE
WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA AS EARLY AS MONDAY EVENING.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 554 AM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BOUNCE BETWEEN IFR AND MVFR THROUGH
ABOUT 15Z AT BOTH MCK AND GLD DUE MAINLY TO LOW CEILINGS. GLD IS
MORE LIKELY TO SEE A RAIN SHOWER THAN MCK...BUT BOTH LOCATIONS
WILL HAVE IMPROVING CONDITIONS BY 19Z AS LOW CLOUDS DIMINISH AND
SHOWERS BEGIN TO CLEAR FROM NORTHEAST TO SOUTHWEST AS DRYER AIR
MOVES INTO THE REGION. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM
AT GLD THIS AFTERNOON...BUT EXPECT CLOUDS TO CONTINUE TO DIMINISH
OVERNIGHT WITH WINDS BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE AROUND SUNSET AND
THEN BECOMING LIGHT OUT OF THE NORTHWEST AFTER 09Z THURSDAY MORNING.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 3 PM MDT /4 PM CDT/ THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     KSZ027-041-042.

CO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 3 PM MDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR COZ090>092.

NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...LOCKHART
LONG TERM...BRB
AVIATION...LOCKHART








000
FXUS63 KGLD 301202
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
602 AM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 348 AM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

THE MAIN SHORT TERM FORECAST CONCERN IS THE ONGOING LIGHT TO
MODERATE RAINFALL AND EXPECTED REDEVELOPMENT OF RAINFALL OVER
AREAS THAT ALREADY RECEIVED SUBSTANTIAL RAINFALL LAST EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT.  WILL LEAVE THE CURRENT FLASH FLOOD WATCH AREA INTACT
ACROSS THE WESTERN AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA TO
ACCOUNT FOR THIS.

THE BULK OF THE MID LEVEL LOW PRESSURE CENTER MOVES THROUGH
SOUTHWEST KANSAS AND INTO NORTHERN OKLAHOMA TODAY...TAKING THE
FAVORED AREA OF HEAVIER RAINFALL WITH IT OUT OF THE CENTRAL HIGH
PLAINS REGION AND INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS.

THE UPPER RIDGE REMAINS IN PLACE OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN AND ROCKY
MOUNTAIN REGION WITH NORTH NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT PERSISTING OVER
THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS REGION WITH GENERALLY HIGH PRESSURE IN
PLACE AT THE SURFACE. EXPECT CLEARING SKIES AND DRIER WARMER
CONDITIONS TO PERSIST THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 348 AM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

UPPER RIDGE OVER THE WEST WILL MOVE SLOWLY EASTWARD DURING THE
EXTENDED PERIOD AND DEAMPLIFY EARLY NEXT WEEK. AS THIS HAPPENS...A
SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE THROUGH THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL ROCKIES LATE
MONDAY ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE RIDGE. THERE IS AGREEMENT IN THE
MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE ON THIS GENERAL TREND BUT DETAILS ON TIMING
AND HOW MUCH THE THE RIDGE WILL BREAK DOWN HAVE NOT YET BEEN
RESOLVED AT THAT TIME PERIOD. NEVERTHELESS ABOVE CLIMO POP IS
WARRANTED ON TUESDAY. DRY AND SEASONABLY WARM CONDITIONS WILL
PRECEDE THE SHORTWAVE WITH SOME CONVECTION ENCROACHING ON THE
WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA AS EARLY AS MONDAY EVENING.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 554 AM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BOUNCE BETWEEN IFR AND MVFR THROUGH
ABOUT 15Z AT BOTH MCK AND GLD DUE MAINLY TO LOW CEILINGS. GLD IS
MORE LIKELY TO SEE A RAIN SHOWER THAN MCK...BUT BOTH LOCATIONS
WILL HAVE IMPROVING CONDITIONS BY 19Z AS LOW CLOUDS DIMINISH AND
SHOWERS BEGIN TO CLEAR FROM NORTHEAST TO SOUTHWEST AS DRYER AIR
MOVES INTO THE REGION. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM
AT GLD THIS AFTERNOON...BUT EXPECT CLOUDS TO CONTINUE TO DIMINISH
OVERNIGHT WITH WINDS BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE AROUND SUNSET AND
THEN BECOMING LIGHT OUT OF THE NORTHWEST AFTER 09Z THURSDAY MORNING.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 3 PM MDT /4 PM CDT/ THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     KSZ027-041-042.

CO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 3 PM MDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR COZ090>092.

NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...LOCKHART
LONG TERM...BRB
AVIATION...LOCKHART







000
FXUS63 KGLD 301022
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
422 AM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 348 AM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

THE MAIN SHORT TERM FORECAST CONCERN IS THE ONGOING LIGHT TO
MODERATE RAINFALL AND EXPECTED REDEVELOPMENT OF RAINFALL OVER
AREAS THAT ALREADY RECEIVED SUBSTANTIAL RAINFALL LAST EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT.  WILL LEAVE THE CURRENT FLASH FLOOD WATCH AREA INTACT
ACROSS THE WESTERN AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA TO
ACCOUNT FOR THIS.

THE BULK OF THE MID LEVEL LOW PRESSURE CENTER MOVES THROUGH
SOUTHWEST KANSAS AND INTO NORTHERN OKLAHOMA TODAY...TAKING THE
FAVORED AREA OF HEAVIER RAINFALL WITH IT OUT OF THE CENTRAL HIGH
PLAINS REGION AND INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS.

THE UPPER RIDGE REMAINS IN PLACE OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN AND ROCKY
MOUNTAIN REGION WITH NORTH NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT PERSISTING OVER
THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS REGION WITH GENERALLY HIGH PRESSURE IN
PLACE AT THE SURFACE. EXPECT CLEARING SKIES AND DRIER WARMER
CONDITIONS TO PERSIST THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 348 AM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

UPPER RIDGE OVER THE WEST WILL MOVE SLOWLY EASTWARD DURING THE
EXTENDED PERIOD AND DEAMPLIFY EARLY NEXT WEEK. AS THIS HAPPENS...A
SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE THROUGH THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL ROCKIES LATE
MONDAY ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE RIDGE. THERE IS AGREEMENT IN THE
MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE ON THIS GENERAL TREND BUT DETAILS ON TIMING
AND HOW MUCH THE THE RIDGE WILL BREAK DOWN HAVE NOT YET BEEN
RESOLVED AT THAT TIME PERIOD. NEVERTHELESS ABOVE CLIMO POP IS
WARRANTED ON TUESDAY. DRY AND SEASONABLY WARM CONDITIONS WILL
PRECEDE THE SHORTWAVE WITH SOME CONVECTION ENCROACHING ON THE
WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA AS EARLY AS MONDAY EVENING.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1106 PM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY OVERNIGHT AT KGLD AND KMCK
BASED ON MODEL DATA AND RADAR TRENDS.  THE FORECAST SOUNDING FOR
KGLD INDICATES IFR CONDITIONS TOWARD SUNRISE WEDNESDAY MORNING.
FORECAST SOUNDINGS FOR KMCK INDICATE MVFR CONDITIONS. SOUNDINGS
INDICATE THAT STRATUS AND LIGHT FOG WILL PERSIST UNTIL AROUND NOON.
THERE WILL BE SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS AT EACH SITE IN THE
AFTERNOON WITH THOSE CHANCES DECREASING WITH BY EVENING.


&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 3 PM MDT /4 PM CDT/ THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     KSZ027-041-042.

CO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 3 PM MDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR COZ090>092.

NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...LOCKHART
LONG TERM...BRB
AVIATION...FS








000
FXUS63 KGLD 300507
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1107 PM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 137 PM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

HAVE ISSUED A FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY FOR
FAR WEST AND SOUTHWEST COUNTIES. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...BUT MORE
IMPORTANTLY...THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED EXTREME RAINFALL RATES...
WARRANTS A WATCH FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH MID-AFTERNOON TOMORROW.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1230 AM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

THIS AFTERNOON: CUMULUS FIELD WEST OF AN ATWOOD TO GOVE LINE WILL
LIKELY GENERATE SOME ISOLATED CONVECTION AS HEATING CONTINUES TO
PUSH READINGS NEAR CONVECTIVE TEMPERATURES IN THE MIDDLE 80S. SPC
MESOANALYSIS PAGE SHOWS CAPE OVER 1500 J/KG WITH MINIMAL CIN IN
THIS AREA. KEPT LOW POPS IN FOR THIS AFTERNOON GENERALLY WEST OF
HWY 83 TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS.

THIS EVENING-WEDNESDAY: MAIN CHANGE IN THE FORECAST WAS TO SLOW
DOWN THE ARRIVAL OF PRECIPITATION WITH THE APPROACHING SYSTEMS NOW
OVER UT/CO/NM. PRECIP EMPHASIS NOW IS IN THE TONIGHT-WEDNESDAY TIME
FRAME RATHER THAN LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO WED MORNING. OVERALL...THE
LOCATION OF THE BEST RAINFALL STILL APPEARS TO BE OVER OUR WESTERN
AND SOUTHERN AREAS SO NO MAJOR CHANGE THERE.

LATEST GUIDANCE SUGGESTS TWO MAIN SHOTS OF PRECIP. THE FIRST
IMPULSE WILL LIFT OUT OF NEW MEXICO INTO SE COLORADO...SW KANSAS
AND THE TX-OK PANHANDLE LATER TODAY AND CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. THIS
WILL MAINLY IMPACT THE FAR SOUTHWEST PART OF THE FORECAST AREA
TONIGHT. THE LARGE CIRCULATION NOW OVER UTAH IS A LITTLE MORE OF A
WILD CARD IN THAT THE EXACT LOCATION OF THE BEST PRECIP COVERAGE
WITH THIS FEATURE IS NOT AS CERTAIN. LATEST NAM/ECMWF IMPACT MORE
OF OUR SOUTHWEST COUNTIES WEDNESDAY WITH MODERATE TO HEAVY
RAINFALL...IN CONTRAST WITH THE GFS WHICH KEEPS THE BULK OF THE
PRECIP WITH THIS SECOND FEATURE ALMOST ENTIRELY IN CENTRAL AND
EASTERN COLORADO.

PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES REMAIN IMPRESSIVE WITH 1.50" PROGGED
TONIGHT AND 1.25" WED AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION...MEAN 0-6 KM WINDS
AROUND 10 KTS THROUGH THE PERIOD MEANS THAT ANY AREA GETTING
DECENT SHOWERS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL. AS IT
STANDS NOW...THE FURTHER WEST AND SOUTH IN OUR CWA THE BETTER THE
CHANCE FOR THIS TO OCCUR. LATEST GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SUGGEST
THAT LOCATIONS IN THE NORTHEAST COUNTIES NEAR NORTON...MCCOOK AND
HILL CITY WILL LIKELY SEE MINIMAL PRECIPITATION WITH THIS SYSTEM.
FOR NOW THOUGH...WILL NOT ISSUE ANY HIGHLIGHTS FOR FLOODING IN THE
SOUTHWEST COUNTIES.

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 150 PM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WEAK 500 MB SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE SOUTH
ACROSS EASTERN COLORADO DURING THE EVENING. WITH MOIST AIR ALREADY
IN PLACE...KEPT A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH 06Z OVER THE
WESTERN THIRD OF THE AREA. WEAK SUBSIDENCE WILL DEVELOP AFTER
06Z WHICH WILL END THE PRECIPITATION THREAT.

THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...500 MB RIDGE WILL REBUILD OVER THE
ROCKY MOUNTAIN STATES WHICH PLACES THE HIGH PLAINS IN DRY NORTHWEST
FLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND AS CLOUDS DECREASE AND
WEAK WARM AIR ADVECTION OCCURS.

FRIDAY...CONVECTION WILL DEVELOP DURING THE AFTERNOON ALONG THE
COLORADO FRONT RANGE. MIXED LAYER CAPES WILL BE NEAR 500 J/KG OVER
FAR WESTERN KIT CARSON/CHEYENNE COUNTIES. SO...WILL KEEP SMALL
CHANCE POPS OVER THAT AREA.

SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...500 MB RIDGE WILL CONTINUE OVER THE WESTERN
UNITED STATES. OTHER THAN OROGRAPHICALLY INDUCED CONVECTION...DIFFICULT
TO FIND A FEATURE TO PRODUCE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
ALTHOUGH THE AIR MASS WILL BECOME SLIGHTLY UNSTABLE DURING THE
AFTERNOONS...BUT HAVE OPTED TO KEEP THE FORECASTS DRY WITH LACK OF
MODEL DYNAMICS DEPICTED.

MONDAY AND TUESDAY...GFS SHOWS THE RIDGE WEAKENING IN RESPONSE TO A
SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING ACROSS NORTHERN COLORADO. ECMWF IS NOT AS
AGRESSIVE...BUT HINTS AT THE WEAKENING RIDGE. WILL INDICATE A
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS BOTH DAYS.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1106 PM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY OVERNIGHT AT KGLD AND KMCK
BASED ON MODEL DATA AND RADAR TRENDS.  THE FORECAST SOUNDING FOR
KGLD INDICATES IFR CONDITIONS TOWARD SUNRISE WEDNESDAY MORNING.
FORECAST SOUNDINGS FOR KMCK INDICATE MVFR CONDITIONS. SOUNDINGS
INDICATE THAT STRATUS AND LIGHT FOG WILL PERSIST UNTIL AROUND NOON.
THERE WILL BE SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS AT EACH SITE IN THE
AFTERNOON WITH THOSE CHANCES DECREASING WITH BY EVENING.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FOR KSZ027-041-042.

CO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FOR COZ090>092.

NE...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE...DLF
SHORT TERM...DLF
LONG TERM...MENTZER
AVIATION...FS







000
FXUS63 KGLD 300507
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1107 PM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 137 PM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

HAVE ISSUED A FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY FOR
FAR WEST AND SOUTHWEST COUNTIES. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...BUT MORE
IMPORTANTLY...THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED EXTREME RAINFALL RATES...
WARRANTS A WATCH FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH MID-AFTERNOON TOMORROW.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1230 AM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

THIS AFTERNOON: CUMULUS FIELD WEST OF AN ATWOOD TO GOVE LINE WILL
LIKELY GENERATE SOME ISOLATED CONVECTION AS HEATING CONTINUES TO
PUSH READINGS NEAR CONVECTIVE TEMPERATURES IN THE MIDDLE 80S. SPC
MESOANALYSIS PAGE SHOWS CAPE OVER 1500 J/KG WITH MINIMAL CIN IN
THIS AREA. KEPT LOW POPS IN FOR THIS AFTERNOON GENERALLY WEST OF
HWY 83 TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS.

THIS EVENING-WEDNESDAY: MAIN CHANGE IN THE FORECAST WAS TO SLOW
DOWN THE ARRIVAL OF PRECIPITATION WITH THE APPROACHING SYSTEMS NOW
OVER UT/CO/NM. PRECIP EMPHASIS NOW IS IN THE TONIGHT-WEDNESDAY TIME
FRAME RATHER THAN LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO WED MORNING. OVERALL...THE
LOCATION OF THE BEST RAINFALL STILL APPEARS TO BE OVER OUR WESTERN
AND SOUTHERN AREAS SO NO MAJOR CHANGE THERE.

LATEST GUIDANCE SUGGESTS TWO MAIN SHOTS OF PRECIP. THE FIRST
IMPULSE WILL LIFT OUT OF NEW MEXICO INTO SE COLORADO...SW KANSAS
AND THE TX-OK PANHANDLE LATER TODAY AND CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. THIS
WILL MAINLY IMPACT THE FAR SOUTHWEST PART OF THE FORECAST AREA
TONIGHT. THE LARGE CIRCULATION NOW OVER UTAH IS A LITTLE MORE OF A
WILD CARD IN THAT THE EXACT LOCATION OF THE BEST PRECIP COVERAGE
WITH THIS FEATURE IS NOT AS CERTAIN. LATEST NAM/ECMWF IMPACT MORE
OF OUR SOUTHWEST COUNTIES WEDNESDAY WITH MODERATE TO HEAVY
RAINFALL...IN CONTRAST WITH THE GFS WHICH KEEPS THE BULK OF THE
PRECIP WITH THIS SECOND FEATURE ALMOST ENTIRELY IN CENTRAL AND
EASTERN COLORADO.

PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES REMAIN IMPRESSIVE WITH 1.50" PROGGED
TONIGHT AND 1.25" WED AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION...MEAN 0-6 KM WINDS
AROUND 10 KTS THROUGH THE PERIOD MEANS THAT ANY AREA GETTING
DECENT SHOWERS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL. AS IT
STANDS NOW...THE FURTHER WEST AND SOUTH IN OUR CWA THE BETTER THE
CHANCE FOR THIS TO OCCUR. LATEST GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SUGGEST
THAT LOCATIONS IN THE NORTHEAST COUNTIES NEAR NORTON...MCCOOK AND
HILL CITY WILL LIKELY SEE MINIMAL PRECIPITATION WITH THIS SYSTEM.
FOR NOW THOUGH...WILL NOT ISSUE ANY HIGHLIGHTS FOR FLOODING IN THE
SOUTHWEST COUNTIES.

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 150 PM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WEAK 500 MB SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE SOUTH
ACROSS EASTERN COLORADO DURING THE EVENING. WITH MOIST AIR ALREADY
IN PLACE...KEPT A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH 06Z OVER THE
WESTERN THIRD OF THE AREA. WEAK SUBSIDENCE WILL DEVELOP AFTER
06Z WHICH WILL END THE PRECIPITATION THREAT.

THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...500 MB RIDGE WILL REBUILD OVER THE
ROCKY MOUNTAIN STATES WHICH PLACES THE HIGH PLAINS IN DRY NORTHWEST
FLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND AS CLOUDS DECREASE AND
WEAK WARM AIR ADVECTION OCCURS.

FRIDAY...CONVECTION WILL DEVELOP DURING THE AFTERNOON ALONG THE
COLORADO FRONT RANGE. MIXED LAYER CAPES WILL BE NEAR 500 J/KG OVER
FAR WESTERN KIT CARSON/CHEYENNE COUNTIES. SO...WILL KEEP SMALL
CHANCE POPS OVER THAT AREA.

SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...500 MB RIDGE WILL CONTINUE OVER THE WESTERN
UNITED STATES. OTHER THAN OROGRAPHICALLY INDUCED CONVECTION...DIFFICULT
TO FIND A FEATURE TO PRODUCE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
ALTHOUGH THE AIR MASS WILL BECOME SLIGHTLY UNSTABLE DURING THE
AFTERNOONS...BUT HAVE OPTED TO KEEP THE FORECASTS DRY WITH LACK OF
MODEL DYNAMICS DEPICTED.

MONDAY AND TUESDAY...GFS SHOWS THE RIDGE WEAKENING IN RESPONSE TO A
SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING ACROSS NORTHERN COLORADO. ECMWF IS NOT AS
AGRESSIVE...BUT HINTS AT THE WEAKENING RIDGE. WILL INDICATE A
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS BOTH DAYS.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1106 PM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY OVERNIGHT AT KGLD AND KMCK
BASED ON MODEL DATA AND RADAR TRENDS.  THE FORECAST SOUNDING FOR
KGLD INDICATES IFR CONDITIONS TOWARD SUNRISE WEDNESDAY MORNING.
FORECAST SOUNDINGS FOR KMCK INDICATE MVFR CONDITIONS. SOUNDINGS
INDICATE THAT STRATUS AND LIGHT FOG WILL PERSIST UNTIL AROUND NOON.
THERE WILL BE SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS AT EACH SITE IN THE
AFTERNOON WITH THOSE CHANCES DECREASING WITH BY EVENING.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FOR KSZ027-041-042.

CO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FOR COZ090>092.

NE...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE...DLF
SHORT TERM...DLF
LONG TERM...MENTZER
AVIATION...FS








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