Home > Products > Valid Products > AFD

000
FXUS61 KGYX 271008
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
608 AM EDT WED AUG 27 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION TODAY AND COULD
SET OFF SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...BUT NOT BEFORE
TEMPERATURES WARM TO NEAR 90 DEGREES AGAIN IN MANY SPOTS. COOLER
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY AND SHIFT OFFSHORE ON SATURDAY. A WARM FRONT CROSSES THE
AREA SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
605 AM...FORECAST UPDATE TO COVER SHRA MOVING ACROSS FAR NRN
ZONES BEING FORCED BY WEAK 500MB WAVE AND PRE-FRONTAL TROUGHING. A
FEW SHRA WILL BE POSSIBLE HERE THROUGH ABOUT 12Z. OTHERWISE
TWEAKED T/TD/SKY FOR THE MORNING BASED ON CURRENT OBS...BUT
OVERALL FORECAST THINKING UNCHANGED FOR THE REST OF THE DAY.

PREVIOUSLY FOR TODAY...WILL LKLY SEE A MAINLY DRY DAY AFTER
SUNRISE THROUGH EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON WHEN THE ACTUAL SFC FRONT
BEGINS TO DROP SE ACROSS THE CWA. WHILE A SHRA OR TSRA CANNOT BE
RULE OUT ANYWHERE WITH THE FROPA...GIVEN DECENT INSTABILITY...THE
LACK OF ANY DYNAMICS AND A REAL TRIGGER DOES NOT BODE WELL FOR ANY
WIDESPREAD CONVECTION. NAM12 AND MESOSCALE MODELS CONTINUE TO
FOCUS CONVECTION DEVELOPMENT MID TO LATE AFTERNOON CLOSER TO THE
COAST...PROBABLY ON THE SEA BREEZE BOUNDARY...AND THIS WHERE THE
30ISH CHC POPS ARE...FROM ABOUT 19-23Z. THERE ARE DECENT SHEAR
PROFILES AHEAD OF THE FRONT...AND INSTABILITY GETS IN THE
1000-1500 J-KG RANGE...SO THERE IS AN OUTSIDE CHC THAT AN
ORGANIZED CELL CAN GET A LITTLE ROTATION...ASSUMING A SUSTAINED
UPDRAFT CAN GET GOING.

MAX TEMPS ON THE COASTAL PLAIN AWAY FROM THE IMMEDIATE COAST
SHOULD MAKE A RUN AT 90 AGAIN...GIVEN INCREASED WSW FLOW...WHICH
WILL DOWNSLOPE AND HELP OUT THE HEATING. COASTAL AREAS THAT DO
WELL WITH DOWNSLOPE...KPWM...COULD GET CLOSE TO 90...DEPENDING ON
TIMING OF FROPA AND WHETHER ANY CONVECTION DEVELOPS IN THE AREA.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
ANY LINGERING SHRA/TSRA SHOULD WIND DOWN OR MOVE OFFSHORE BY
01-02Z. GIVEN THAT MID-UPPR LVL FLOW WILL NOT SHIFT THAT MUCH
BEHIND THE FRONT IT IS UNLIKELY THAT WINDS WILL MIX DOWN ONCE THE
FRONT MOVES THROUGH COASTAL AREAS. THIS WILL MEAN THAT LOW LVL
MOISTURE WILL LINGER THRU THE NIGHT...AND NOT ONLY WILL KEEP MINS
IN THE LOW TO MID 60S...BUT COULD SEE SOME FOG OR LOW STRATUS
DEVELOPING IN SPOTS ON THE COAST. IN THE MTNS AND FOOTHILLS LOOK
FOR MINS TO DROP OFF INTO THE 50S...WITH SOME PARTIAL CLEARING.

COOLER DRIER WILL MIX DOWN AFTER SUNRISE THU MORNING...AND SHOULD
SEE GOOD CLEARING WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ON THE COAST...AND
ENOUGH OF A NW WIND FOR DOWNSLOPING TO PUSH TEMPS INTO THE MID TO
UPPER 70S. IN THE MTNS UPSLOPE FLOW WILL PROVIDE A FAIR AMT OF
CLOUDS...AND PERHAPS A FEW SHRA WITH HIGHS ONLY REACHING TO AROUND
70.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THE MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT ON THE LONG WAVE PATTERN
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. A RIDGE WILL SLIDE EAST ACROSS THE AREA
FOR THURSDAY ND FRIDAY. THE RIDGE WILL SLIDE OFFSHORE BY SATURDAY
WITH THE RETURN FLOW USHERING WARMER AND MORE HUMID AIR INTO THE
REGION FOR THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND. A SLOW-MOVING COLD FRONT WILL DROP
SOUTHEAST AND PROVIDE AN INCREASING CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS AS WE HEAD THROUGH THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND. THE FRONT
WILL STALL ACROSS THE REGION EARLY NEXT WEEK BEFORE RETURNING
NORTH AS A WARM NEXT WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /10Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
.SHORT TERM...GIVEN AN INCREASING SW FLOW ABV THE BOUNDARY
LYR...MAY NOT SEE TOO MUCH IN THE WAY OF FOG THIS AM...BUT CANNOT
RULE OUT KLEB/KCON/KHIE DROPPING TO IFR FOR A COUPLE HRS AROUND
SUNRISE. OTHERWISE MAINLY VFR TODAY WITH A CHC OF A TSRA MID TO
LATE AFTERNOON AT THE COASTAL TERMINALS. OUTSIDE CHC OF SOME FOG
AND STRATUS AT THE COASTAL TERMINALS LATER TONIGHT.

.LONG TERM...

SAT NIGHT - SUN...AREAS OF MVFR IN SHOWERS AND TSTMS.

&&

.MARINE...
.SHORT TERM...HAVE DROPPED THE SCA FOR TODAY ACROSS ALL BUT THE
WATERS S OF PENOBSCOT BAY...WHERE INCREASING SWELL WILL PUSH SEAS
UP TO 5 FT TODAY AND WITH SW WINDS APPROACHING 15 KTS...COULD BE
QUITE CHOPPY. SWELL FROM CRISTOBAL COULD INCREASE TO CLOSER TO 6
FT LATE TONIGHT INTO THU...AND MAY NEED TO PUSH SCA FURTHER WEST
LATER.

.LONG TERM...

SAT NIGHT - SUN...SMALL CRAFT WINDS AND SEAS ARE POSSIBLE.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EDT THURSDAY FOR ANZ150.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...CEMPA
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...
MARINE...





000
FXUS61 KGYX 271008
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
608 AM EDT WED AUG 27 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION TODAY AND COULD
SET OFF SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...BUT NOT BEFORE
TEMPERATURES WARM TO NEAR 90 DEGREES AGAIN IN MANY SPOTS. COOLER
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY AND SHIFT OFFSHORE ON SATURDAY. A WARM FRONT CROSSES THE
AREA SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
605 AM...FORECAST UPDATE TO COVER SHRA MOVING ACROSS FAR NRN
ZONES BEING FORCED BY WEAK 500MB WAVE AND PRE-FRONTAL TROUGHING. A
FEW SHRA WILL BE POSSIBLE HERE THROUGH ABOUT 12Z. OTHERWISE
TWEAKED T/TD/SKY FOR THE MORNING BASED ON CURRENT OBS...BUT
OVERALL FORECAST THINKING UNCHANGED FOR THE REST OF THE DAY.

PREVIOUSLY FOR TODAY...WILL LKLY SEE A MAINLY DRY DAY AFTER
SUNRISE THROUGH EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON WHEN THE ACTUAL SFC FRONT
BEGINS TO DROP SE ACROSS THE CWA. WHILE A SHRA OR TSRA CANNOT BE
RULE OUT ANYWHERE WITH THE FROPA...GIVEN DECENT INSTABILITY...THE
LACK OF ANY DYNAMICS AND A REAL TRIGGER DOES NOT BODE WELL FOR ANY
WIDESPREAD CONVECTION. NAM12 AND MESOSCALE MODELS CONTINUE TO
FOCUS CONVECTION DEVELOPMENT MID TO LATE AFTERNOON CLOSER TO THE
COAST...PROBABLY ON THE SEA BREEZE BOUNDARY...AND THIS WHERE THE
30ISH CHC POPS ARE...FROM ABOUT 19-23Z. THERE ARE DECENT SHEAR
PROFILES AHEAD OF THE FRONT...AND INSTABILITY GETS IN THE
1000-1500 J-KG RANGE...SO THERE IS AN OUTSIDE CHC THAT AN
ORGANIZED CELL CAN GET A LITTLE ROTATION...ASSUMING A SUSTAINED
UPDRAFT CAN GET GOING.

MAX TEMPS ON THE COASTAL PLAIN AWAY FROM THE IMMEDIATE COAST
SHOULD MAKE A RUN AT 90 AGAIN...GIVEN INCREASED WSW FLOW...WHICH
WILL DOWNSLOPE AND HELP OUT THE HEATING. COASTAL AREAS THAT DO
WELL WITH DOWNSLOPE...KPWM...COULD GET CLOSE TO 90...DEPENDING ON
TIMING OF FROPA AND WHETHER ANY CONVECTION DEVELOPS IN THE AREA.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
ANY LINGERING SHRA/TSRA SHOULD WIND DOWN OR MOVE OFFSHORE BY
01-02Z. GIVEN THAT MID-UPPR LVL FLOW WILL NOT SHIFT THAT MUCH
BEHIND THE FRONT IT IS UNLIKELY THAT WINDS WILL MIX DOWN ONCE THE
FRONT MOVES THROUGH COASTAL AREAS. THIS WILL MEAN THAT LOW LVL
MOISTURE WILL LINGER THRU THE NIGHT...AND NOT ONLY WILL KEEP MINS
IN THE LOW TO MID 60S...BUT COULD SEE SOME FOG OR LOW STRATUS
DEVELOPING IN SPOTS ON THE COAST. IN THE MTNS AND FOOTHILLS LOOK
FOR MINS TO DROP OFF INTO THE 50S...WITH SOME PARTIAL CLEARING.

COOLER DRIER WILL MIX DOWN AFTER SUNRISE THU MORNING...AND SHOULD
SEE GOOD CLEARING WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ON THE COAST...AND
ENOUGH OF A NW WIND FOR DOWNSLOPING TO PUSH TEMPS INTO THE MID TO
UPPER 70S. IN THE MTNS UPSLOPE FLOW WILL PROVIDE A FAIR AMT OF
CLOUDS...AND PERHAPS A FEW SHRA WITH HIGHS ONLY REACHING TO AROUND
70.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THE MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT ON THE LONG WAVE PATTERN
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. A RIDGE WILL SLIDE EAST ACROSS THE AREA
FOR THURSDAY ND FRIDAY. THE RIDGE WILL SLIDE OFFSHORE BY SATURDAY
WITH THE RETURN FLOW USHERING WARMER AND MORE HUMID AIR INTO THE
REGION FOR THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND. A SLOW-MOVING COLD FRONT WILL DROP
SOUTHEAST AND PROVIDE AN INCREASING CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS AS WE HEAD THROUGH THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND. THE FRONT
WILL STALL ACROSS THE REGION EARLY NEXT WEEK BEFORE RETURNING
NORTH AS A WARM NEXT WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /10Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
.SHORT TERM...GIVEN AN INCREASING SW FLOW ABV THE BOUNDARY
LYR...MAY NOT SEE TOO MUCH IN THE WAY OF FOG THIS AM...BUT CANNOT
RULE OUT KLEB/KCON/KHIE DROPPING TO IFR FOR A COUPLE HRS AROUND
SUNRISE. OTHERWISE MAINLY VFR TODAY WITH A CHC OF A TSRA MID TO
LATE AFTERNOON AT THE COASTAL TERMINALS. OUTSIDE CHC OF SOME FOG
AND STRATUS AT THE COASTAL TERMINALS LATER TONIGHT.

.LONG TERM...

SAT NIGHT - SUN...AREAS OF MVFR IN SHOWERS AND TSTMS.

&&

.MARINE...
.SHORT TERM...HAVE DROPPED THE SCA FOR TODAY ACROSS ALL BUT THE
WATERS S OF PENOBSCOT BAY...WHERE INCREASING SWELL WILL PUSH SEAS
UP TO 5 FT TODAY AND WITH SW WINDS APPROACHING 15 KTS...COULD BE
QUITE CHOPPY. SWELL FROM CRISTOBAL COULD INCREASE TO CLOSER TO 6
FT LATE TONIGHT INTO THU...AND MAY NEED TO PUSH SCA FURTHER WEST
LATER.

.LONG TERM...

SAT NIGHT - SUN...SMALL CRAFT WINDS AND SEAS ARE POSSIBLE.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EDT THURSDAY FOR ANZ150.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...CEMPA
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...
MARINE...




000
FXUS61 KGYX 270745
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
345 AM EDT WED AUG 27 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION TODAY AND COULD
SET OFF SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...BUT NOT BEFORE
TEMPERATURES WARM TO NEAR 90 DEGREES AGAIN IN MANY SPOTS. COOLER
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY AND SHIFT OFFSHORE ON SATURDAY. A WARM FRONT CROSSES THE
AREA SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
SEEING A FEW SHRA MOVING ALONG THE INTL BORDER OUT OF QUEBEC AND
INTO THE WRN ME MTNS. THESE COULD HOLD TOGETHER TO A FEW SPOTS N
OF RANGELEY A BRIEF SHOWER BEFORE DAYBREAK...AND ARE BEING HANDLED
WELL BY THE HRRR. THESE SHRA ARE ASSOCIATED WITH MORE OF A
MOISTURE BOUNDARY WITH TDS BEHIND THESE SHOWERS ACTUALLY RISING
IN THE N ZONES.

AS FOR TODAY...WILL LKLY SEE A MAINLY DRY DAY AFTER SUNRISE
THROUGH EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON WHEN THE ACTUAL SFC FRONT BEGINS TO
DROP SE ACROSS THE CWA. WHILE A SHRA OR TSRA CANNOT BE RULE OUT
ANYWHERE WITH THE FROPA...GIVEN DECENT INSTABILITY...THE LACK OF
ANY DYNAMICS AND A REAL TRIGGER DOES NOT BODE WELL FOR ANY
WIDESPREAD CONVECTION. NAM12 AND MESOSCALE MODELS CONTINUE TO
FOCUS CONVECTION DEVELOPMENT MID TO LATE AFTERNOON CLOSER TO THE
COAST...PROBABLY ON THE SEA BREEZE BOUNDARY...AND THIS WHERE THE
30ISH CHC POPS ARE...FROM ABOUT 19-23Z. THERE ARE DECENT SHEAR
PROFILES AHEAD OF THE FRONT...AND INSTABILITY GETS IN THE
1000-1500 J-KG RANGE...SO THERE IS AN OUTSIDE CHC THAT AN
ORGANIZED CELL CAN GET A LITTLE ROTATION...ASSUMING A SUSTAINED
UPDRAFT CAN GET GOING.

MAX TEMPS ON THE COASTAL PLAIN AWAY FROM THE IMMEDIATE COAST
SHOULD MAKE A RUN AT 90 AGAIN...GIVEN INCREASED WSW FLOW...WHICH
WILL DOWNSLOPE AND HELP OUT THE HEATING. COASTAL AREAS THAT DO
WELL WITH DOWNSLOPE...KPWM...COULD GET CLOSE TO 90...DEPENDING ON
TIMING OF FROPA AND WHETHER ANY CONVECTION DEVELOPS IN THE AREA.


&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
ANY LINGERING SHRA/TSRA SHOULD WIND DOWN OR MOVE OFFSHORE BY
01-02Z. GIVEN THAT MID-UPPR LVL FLOW WILL NOT SHIFT THAT MUCH
BEHIND THE FRONT IT IS UNLIKELY THAT WINDS WILL MIX DOWN ONCE THE
FRONT MOVES THROUGH COASTAL AREAS. THIS WILL MEAN THAT LOW LVL
MOISTURE WILL LINGER THRU THE NIGHT...AND NOT ONLY WILL KEEP MINS
IN THE LOW TO MID 60S...BUT COULD SEE SOME FOG OR LOW STRATUS
DEVELOPING IN SPOTS ON THE COAST. IN THE MTNS AND FOOTHILLS LOOK
FOR MINS TO DROP OFF INTO THE 50S...WITH SOME PARTIAL CLEARING.

COOLER DRIER WILL MIX DOWN AFTER SUNRISE THU MORNING...AND SHOULD
SEE GOOD CLEARING WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ON THE COAST...AND
ENOUGH OF A NW WIND FOR DOWNSLOPING TO PUSH TEMPS INTO THE MID TO
UPPER 70S. IN THE MTNS UPSLOPE FLOW WILL PROVIDE A FAIR AMT OF
CLOUDS...AND PERHAPS A FEW SHRA WITH HIGHS ONLY REACHING TO AROUND
70.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THE MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT ON THE LONG WAVE PATTERN
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. A RIDGE WILL SLIDE EAST ACROSS THE AREA
FOR THURSDAY ND FRIDAY. THE RIDGE WILL SLIDE OFFSHORE BY SATURDAY
WITH THE RETURN FLOW USHERING WARMER AND MORE HUMID AIR INTO THE
REGION FOR THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND. A SLOW-MOVING COLD FRONT WILL DROP
SOUTHEAST AND PROVIDE AN INCREASING CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS AS WE HEAD THROUGH THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND. THE FRONT
WILL STALL ACROSS THE REGION EARLY NEXT WEEK BEFORE RETURNING
NORTH AS A WARM NEXT WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
.SHORT TERM...GIVEN AN INCREASING SW FLOW ABV THE BOUNDARY
LYR...MAY NOT SEE TOO MUCH IN THE WAY OF FOG THIS AM...BUT CANNOT
RULE OUT KLEB/KCON/KHIE DROPPING TO IFR FOR A COUPLE HRS AROUND
SUNRISE. OTHERWISE MAINLY VFR TODAY WITH A CHC OF A TSRA MID TO
LATE AFTERNOON AT THE COASTAL TERMINALS. OUTSIDE CHC OF SOME FOG
AND STRATUS AT THE COASTAL TERMINALS LATER TONIGHT.

.LONG TERM...

SAT NIGHT - SUN...AREAS OF MVFR IN SHOWERS AND TSTMS.

&&

.MARINE...
.SHORT TERM...HAVE DROPPED THE SCA FOR TODAY ACROSS ALL BUT THE
WATERS S OF PENOBSCOT BAY...WHERE INCREASING SWELL WILL PUSH SEAS
UP TO 5 FT TODAY AND WITH SW WINDS APPROACHING 15 KTS...COULD BE
QUITE CHOPPY. SWELL FROM CRISTOBAL COULD INCREASE TO CLOSER TO 6
FT LATE TONIGHT INTO THU...AND MAY NEED TO PUSH SCA FURTHER WEST
LATER.

.LONG TERM...

SAT NIGHT - SUN...SMALL CRAFT WINDS AND SEAS ARE POSSIBLE.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EDT THURSDAY FOR ANZ150.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...CEMPA
SHORT TERM...CEMPA
LONG TERM...SCHWIBS
AVIATION...CEMPA/SCHWIBS
MARINE...CEMPA/SCHWIBS




000
FXUS61 KGYX 270745
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
345 AM EDT WED AUG 27 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION TODAY AND COULD
SET OFF SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...BUT NOT BEFORE
TEMPERATURES WARM TO NEAR 90 DEGREES AGAIN IN MANY SPOTS. COOLER
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY AND SHIFT OFFSHORE ON SATURDAY. A WARM FRONT CROSSES THE
AREA SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
SEEING A FEW SHRA MOVING ALONG THE INTL BORDER OUT OF QUEBEC AND
INTO THE WRN ME MTNS. THESE COULD HOLD TOGETHER TO A FEW SPOTS N
OF RANGELEY A BRIEF SHOWER BEFORE DAYBREAK...AND ARE BEING HANDLED
WELL BY THE HRRR. THESE SHRA ARE ASSOCIATED WITH MORE OF A
MOISTURE BOUNDARY WITH TDS BEHIND THESE SHOWERS ACTUALLY RISING
IN THE N ZONES.

AS FOR TODAY...WILL LKLY SEE A MAINLY DRY DAY AFTER SUNRISE
THROUGH EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON WHEN THE ACTUAL SFC FRONT BEGINS TO
DROP SE ACROSS THE CWA. WHILE A SHRA OR TSRA CANNOT BE RULE OUT
ANYWHERE WITH THE FROPA...GIVEN DECENT INSTABILITY...THE LACK OF
ANY DYNAMICS AND A REAL TRIGGER DOES NOT BODE WELL FOR ANY
WIDESPREAD CONVECTION. NAM12 AND MESOSCALE MODELS CONTINUE TO
FOCUS CONVECTION DEVELOPMENT MID TO LATE AFTERNOON CLOSER TO THE
COAST...PROBABLY ON THE SEA BREEZE BOUNDARY...AND THIS WHERE THE
30ISH CHC POPS ARE...FROM ABOUT 19-23Z. THERE ARE DECENT SHEAR
PROFILES AHEAD OF THE FRONT...AND INSTABILITY GETS IN THE
1000-1500 J-KG RANGE...SO THERE IS AN OUTSIDE CHC THAT AN
ORGANIZED CELL CAN GET A LITTLE ROTATION...ASSUMING A SUSTAINED
UPDRAFT CAN GET GOING.

MAX TEMPS ON THE COASTAL PLAIN AWAY FROM THE IMMEDIATE COAST
SHOULD MAKE A RUN AT 90 AGAIN...GIVEN INCREASED WSW FLOW...WHICH
WILL DOWNSLOPE AND HELP OUT THE HEATING. COASTAL AREAS THAT DO
WELL WITH DOWNSLOPE...KPWM...COULD GET CLOSE TO 90...DEPENDING ON
TIMING OF FROPA AND WHETHER ANY CONVECTION DEVELOPS IN THE AREA.


&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
ANY LINGERING SHRA/TSRA SHOULD WIND DOWN OR MOVE OFFSHORE BY
01-02Z. GIVEN THAT MID-UPPR LVL FLOW WILL NOT SHIFT THAT MUCH
BEHIND THE FRONT IT IS UNLIKELY THAT WINDS WILL MIX DOWN ONCE THE
FRONT MOVES THROUGH COASTAL AREAS. THIS WILL MEAN THAT LOW LVL
MOISTURE WILL LINGER THRU THE NIGHT...AND NOT ONLY WILL KEEP MINS
IN THE LOW TO MID 60S...BUT COULD SEE SOME FOG OR LOW STRATUS
DEVELOPING IN SPOTS ON THE COAST. IN THE MTNS AND FOOTHILLS LOOK
FOR MINS TO DROP OFF INTO THE 50S...WITH SOME PARTIAL CLEARING.

COOLER DRIER WILL MIX DOWN AFTER SUNRISE THU MORNING...AND SHOULD
SEE GOOD CLEARING WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ON THE COAST...AND
ENOUGH OF A NW WIND FOR DOWNSLOPING TO PUSH TEMPS INTO THE MID TO
UPPER 70S. IN THE MTNS UPSLOPE FLOW WILL PROVIDE A FAIR AMT OF
CLOUDS...AND PERHAPS A FEW SHRA WITH HIGHS ONLY REACHING TO AROUND
70.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THE MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT ON THE LONG WAVE PATTERN
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. A RIDGE WILL SLIDE EAST ACROSS THE AREA
FOR THURSDAY ND FRIDAY. THE RIDGE WILL SLIDE OFFSHORE BY SATURDAY
WITH THE RETURN FLOW USHERING WARMER AND MORE HUMID AIR INTO THE
REGION FOR THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND. A SLOW-MOVING COLD FRONT WILL DROP
SOUTHEAST AND PROVIDE AN INCREASING CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS AS WE HEAD THROUGH THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND. THE FRONT
WILL STALL ACROSS THE REGION EARLY NEXT WEEK BEFORE RETURNING
NORTH AS A WARM NEXT WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
.SHORT TERM...GIVEN AN INCREASING SW FLOW ABV THE BOUNDARY
LYR...MAY NOT SEE TOO MUCH IN THE WAY OF FOG THIS AM...BUT CANNOT
RULE OUT KLEB/KCON/KHIE DROPPING TO IFR FOR A COUPLE HRS AROUND
SUNRISE. OTHERWISE MAINLY VFR TODAY WITH A CHC OF A TSRA MID TO
LATE AFTERNOON AT THE COASTAL TERMINALS. OUTSIDE CHC OF SOME FOG
AND STRATUS AT THE COASTAL TERMINALS LATER TONIGHT.

.LONG TERM...

SAT NIGHT - SUN...AREAS OF MVFR IN SHOWERS AND TSTMS.

&&

.MARINE...
.SHORT TERM...HAVE DROPPED THE SCA FOR TODAY ACROSS ALL BUT THE
WATERS S OF PENOBSCOT BAY...WHERE INCREASING SWELL WILL PUSH SEAS
UP TO 5 FT TODAY AND WITH SW WINDS APPROACHING 15 KTS...COULD BE
QUITE CHOPPY. SWELL FROM CRISTOBAL COULD INCREASE TO CLOSER TO 6
FT LATE TONIGHT INTO THU...AND MAY NEED TO PUSH SCA FURTHER WEST
LATER.

.LONG TERM...

SAT NIGHT - SUN...SMALL CRAFT WINDS AND SEAS ARE POSSIBLE.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EDT THURSDAY FOR ANZ150.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...CEMPA
SHORT TERM...CEMPA
LONG TERM...SCHWIBS
AVIATION...CEMPA/SCHWIBS
MARINE...CEMPA/SCHWIBS





000
FXUS61 KGYX 270201
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
1001 PM EDT TUE AUG 26 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ANCHORED OFF THE SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND
COAST TODAY AND TONIGHT...WITH CONTINUED VERY WARM AND HUMID
CONDITIONS. A COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION ON
WEDNESDAY AND COULD SET OFF SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...BUT
NOT BEFORE TEMPERATURES WARM TO NEAR 90 DEGREES AGAIN IN MANY
SPOTS. COOLER HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AND SHIFT OFFSHORE ON SATURDAY. A WARM FRONT
CROSSES THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /TONIGHT/...
10PM UPDATE...
MADE ONLY MINOR MODIFICATIONS TO HOURLY TEMPERATURE FORECASTS. MAY
SEE A SHOWER IMPACT FAR NORTHERN AREAS BY MORNING AS CONVECTION
FROM QUEBEC DISSIPATES AS IT MOVES INTO THE AREA.

6PM UPDATE...
HAVE MADE ONLY MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO HOURLY TEMPERATURE AND
DEWPOINT TREND. HAVE ALSO MADE MINOR TWEAKS TO POP GRID TO REFLECT
ZERO PRECIPITATION CHANCES OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. COULD SEE SOME
SHOWERS MOVE INTO THE FAR NORTHWEST PART OF THE AREA BY MORNING.

ORIGINAL DISCUSSION...
MORE PATCHY FOG TONIGHT FOR THE USUAL SUSPECT LOCATIONS...MAINLY
OVER THE INTERIOR VALLEYS. OTHERWISE...CLOUDS ADVANCE TOWARDS
NORTHERN AREAS LATE TONIGHT WITH APPROACHING COLD FRONT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
10PM UPDATE...
UPDATED THE FORECAST TO INCREASE POP VALUES FOR SOUTHEAST NEW
HAMPSHIRE AND SOUTHWEST MAINE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. MODELS ARE
PRETTY CONSISTENT WITH WHERE THE FRONT WILL BE BY WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON... WITH INSTABILITY PRESENT AHEAD OF THE FRONT. MOST
MODELS GENERATE QPF IN THIS AREA AFTER 18Z AND BEFORE 00Z...
THEREFORE HAVE INCREASED POP IN THIS TIME PERIOD AND DECREASED IT
AFTERWARD AS THE FRONT WILL HAVE MOVED OFFSHORE. ALSO WANTED TO
MAKE SURE THAT THE PUBLIC FORECAST INCLUDED THE MENTION OF
THUNDERSTORMS SINCE IT TAKES AT LEAST 30 PERCENT TO TRIGGER
WORDING IN FORECAST PRODUCTS. WIND SHEAR WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR
ORGANIZED THUNDERSTORMS TOMORROW... PROVIDED THUNDERSTORMS DO FORM
BEFORE THE FRONT MOVES OFFSHORE.

ORIGINAL DISCUSSION...
MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE PROGRESS AND TIMING OF THE
FRONT ON WEDNESDAY. ATMOSPHERE BECOMES RELATIVELY UNSTABLE DURING
THE AFTERNOON OVER SOUTHERN LOCATIONS WITH CAPE VALUES APPROACHING
1000 J/KG. HOWEVER...THIS FRONT WILL BE MOISTURE STARVED AND ANY
PRECIPITATION SHOULD BE WIDELY SCATTERED.

THERE WILL BE ISOLATED CONVECTION NEAR THE COASTLINE EARLY
WEDNESDAY EVENING BEFORE THE PRECIPITATION HEADS OUT TO SEA.
COOLER AND DRIER AIR TO FOLLOW LEADING INTO THE EXTENDED PORTION
OF THE FORECAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A LARGE RIDGE OF CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS MAY OCCUR IN THE
MOUNTAINS ON THURSDAY DUE TO THE EXITING UPPER TROUGH ALOFT.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE QUITE COOL BUT SKIES WILL BE MOSTLY SUNNY AS
NWLY DOWNSLOPING SURFACE WINDS OCCUR. THE SURFACE/UPPER RIDGE
AXIS PROGRESSES EASTWARD ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY ALLOWING A SWLY
WARM ADVECTION PATTERN TO DEVELOP. THE AIR MASS WILL GRADUALLY
BECOME WARM HUMID AND UNSTABLE FOR THE REST OF THE WEEKEND AND
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK SO MAINLY DIURNAL SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND
EVENING SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED.

OVERALL USED THE SUPERBLEND MODEL WITH SOME POP ADJUSTMENTS OVER
THE WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /22Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
.SHORT TERM...AREAS OF FOG TONIGHT WILL MAKE FOR SOME IFR AND LIFR
CONDITIONS THROUGH EARLY TOMORROW MORNING. ISOLATED MVFR IN
AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS ON WEDNESDAY.

.LONG TERM...MAINLY VFR THROUGH LATE WEEK. SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER
THE WEEKEND MAY LOWER CONDITIONS TO MVFR AT TIMES.

&&

.MARINE...
.SHORT TERM...LONG PERIOD SWELLS MIXED IN WITH WIND WAVES WILL
MAKE FOR CHOPPY SURF CONDITIONS. SCA HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR A
COMBINATION OF WINDS AND WAVES THROUGH WEDNESDAY FOR ALL AREAS
EXCEPT CASCO BAY.

.LONG TERM...WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SCA CRITERIA.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR
ANZ150>152- 154.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM UPDATE... KIMBLE





000
FXUS61 KGYX 262154
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
554 PM EDT TUE AUG 26 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ANCHORED OFF THE SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND
COAST TODAY AND TONIGHT...WITH CONTINUED VERY WARM AND HUMID
CONDITIONS. A COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION ON
WEDNESDAY AND COULD SET OFF SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...BUT
NOT BEFORE TEMPERATURES WARM TO NEAR 90 DEGREES AGAIN IN MANY
SPOTS. COOLER HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AND SHIFT OFFSHORE ON SATURDAY. A WARM FRONT
CROSSES THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /TONIGHT/...
6PM UPDATE...
HAVE MADE ONLY MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO HOURLY TEMPERATURE AND
DEWPOINT TREND. HAVE ALSO MADE MINOR TWEAKS TO POP GRID TO REFLECT
ZERO PRECIPITATION CHANCES OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. COULD SEE SOME
SHOWERS MOVE INTO THE FAR NORTHWEST PART OF THE AREA BY MORNING.

ORIGINAL DISCUSSION...
MORE PATCHY FOG TONIGHT FOR THE USUAL SUSPECT LOCATIONS...MAINLY
OVER THE INTERIOR VALLEYS. OTHERWISE...CLOUDS ADVANCE TOWARDS
NORTHERN AREAS LATE TONIGHT WITH APPROACHING COLD FRONT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE PROGRESS AND TIMING OF THE
FRONT ON WEDNESDAY. ATMOSPHERE BECOMES RELATIVELY UNSTABLE DURING
THE AFTERNOON OVER SOUTHERN LOCATIONS WITH CAPE VALUES APPROACHING
1000 J/KG. HOWEVER...THIS FRONT WILL BE MOISTURE STARVED AND ANY
PRECIPITATION SHOULD BE WIDELY SCATTERED.

THERE WILL BE ISOLATED CONVECTION NEAR THE COASTLINE EARLY
WEDNESDAY EVENING BEFORE THE PRECIPITATION HEADS OUT TO SEA.
COOLER AND DRIER AIR TO FOLLOW LEADING INTO THE EXTENDED PORTION
OF THE FORECAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A LARGE RIDGE OF CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS MAY OCCUR IN THE
MOUNTAINS ON THURSDAY DUE TO THE EXITING UPPER TROUGH ALOFT.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE QUITE COOL BUT SKIES WILL BE MOSTLY SUNNY AS
NWLY DOWNSLOPING SURFACE WINDS OCCUR. THE SURFACE/UPPER RIDGE
AXIS PROGRESSES EASTWARD ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY ALLOWING A SWLY
WARM ADVECTION PATTERN TO DEVELOP. THE AIR MASS WILL GRADUALLY
BECOME WARM HUMID AND UNSTABLE FOR THE REST OF THE WEEKEND AND
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK SO MAINLY DIURNAL SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND
EVENING SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED.

OVERALL USED THE SUPERBLEND MODEL WITH SOME POP ADJUSTMENTS OVER
THE WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /22Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
.SHORT TERM...AREAS OF FOG TONIGHT WILL MAKE FOR SOME IFR AND LIFR
CONDITIONS THROUGH EARLY TOMORROW MORNING. ISOLATED MVFR IN
AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS ON WEDNESDAY.

.LONG TERM...MAINLY VFR THROUGH LATE WEEK. SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER
THE WEEKEND MAY LOWER CONDITIONS TO MVFR AT TIMES.

&&

.MARINE...
.SHORT TERM...LONG PERIOD SWELLS MIXED IN WITH WIND WAVES WILL
MAKE FOR CHOPPY SURF CONDITIONS. SCA HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR A
COMBINATION OF WINDS AND WAVES THROUGH WEDNESDAY FOR ALL AREAS
EXCEPT CASCO BAY.

.LONG TERM...WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SCA CRITERIA.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR MEZ028.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR ANZ150>152-
     154.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM UPDATE... KIMBLE




000
FXUS61 KGYX 262154
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
554 PM EDT TUE AUG 26 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ANCHORED OFF THE SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND
COAST TODAY AND TONIGHT...WITH CONTINUED VERY WARM AND HUMID
CONDITIONS. A COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION ON
WEDNESDAY AND COULD SET OFF SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...BUT
NOT BEFORE TEMPERATURES WARM TO NEAR 90 DEGREES AGAIN IN MANY
SPOTS. COOLER HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AND SHIFT OFFSHORE ON SATURDAY. A WARM FRONT
CROSSES THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /TONIGHT/...
6PM UPDATE...
HAVE MADE ONLY MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO HOURLY TEMPERATURE AND
DEWPOINT TREND. HAVE ALSO MADE MINOR TWEAKS TO POP GRID TO REFLECT
ZERO PRECIPITATION CHANCES OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. COULD SEE SOME
SHOWERS MOVE INTO THE FAR NORTHWEST PART OF THE AREA BY MORNING.

ORIGINAL DISCUSSION...
MORE PATCHY FOG TONIGHT FOR THE USUAL SUSPECT LOCATIONS...MAINLY
OVER THE INTERIOR VALLEYS. OTHERWISE...CLOUDS ADVANCE TOWARDS
NORTHERN AREAS LATE TONIGHT WITH APPROACHING COLD FRONT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE PROGRESS AND TIMING OF THE
FRONT ON WEDNESDAY. ATMOSPHERE BECOMES RELATIVELY UNSTABLE DURING
THE AFTERNOON OVER SOUTHERN LOCATIONS WITH CAPE VALUES APPROACHING
1000 J/KG. HOWEVER...THIS FRONT WILL BE MOISTURE STARVED AND ANY
PRECIPITATION SHOULD BE WIDELY SCATTERED.

THERE WILL BE ISOLATED CONVECTION NEAR THE COASTLINE EARLY
WEDNESDAY EVENING BEFORE THE PRECIPITATION HEADS OUT TO SEA.
COOLER AND DRIER AIR TO FOLLOW LEADING INTO THE EXTENDED PORTION
OF THE FORECAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A LARGE RIDGE OF CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS MAY OCCUR IN THE
MOUNTAINS ON THURSDAY DUE TO THE EXITING UPPER TROUGH ALOFT.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE QUITE COOL BUT SKIES WILL BE MOSTLY SUNNY AS
NWLY DOWNSLOPING SURFACE WINDS OCCUR. THE SURFACE/UPPER RIDGE
AXIS PROGRESSES EASTWARD ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY ALLOWING A SWLY
WARM ADVECTION PATTERN TO DEVELOP. THE AIR MASS WILL GRADUALLY
BECOME WARM HUMID AND UNSTABLE FOR THE REST OF THE WEEKEND AND
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK SO MAINLY DIURNAL SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND
EVENING SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED.

OVERALL USED THE SUPERBLEND MODEL WITH SOME POP ADJUSTMENTS OVER
THE WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /22Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
.SHORT TERM...AREAS OF FOG TONIGHT WILL MAKE FOR SOME IFR AND LIFR
CONDITIONS THROUGH EARLY TOMORROW MORNING. ISOLATED MVFR IN
AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS ON WEDNESDAY.

.LONG TERM...MAINLY VFR THROUGH LATE WEEK. SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER
THE WEEKEND MAY LOWER CONDITIONS TO MVFR AT TIMES.

&&

.MARINE...
.SHORT TERM...LONG PERIOD SWELLS MIXED IN WITH WIND WAVES WILL
MAKE FOR CHOPPY SURF CONDITIONS. SCA HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR A
COMBINATION OF WINDS AND WAVES THROUGH WEDNESDAY FOR ALL AREAS
EXCEPT CASCO BAY.

.LONG TERM...WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SCA CRITERIA.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR MEZ028.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR ANZ150>152-
     154.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM UPDATE... KIMBLE





000
FXUS61 KGYX 261843
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
243 PM EDT TUE AUG 26 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ANCHORED OFF THE SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND
COAST TODAY AND TONIGHT...WITH CONTINUES VERY WARM AND HUMID
CONDITIONS. A COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION ON
WEDNESDAY AND COULD SET OFF SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...BUT
NOT BEFORE TEMPERATURES WARM TO NEAR 90 DEGREES AGAIN IN MANY
SPOTS. COOLER HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AND SHIFT OFFSHORE ON SATURDAY. A WARM CROSSES
THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
MORE PATCHY FOG TONIGHT FOR THE USUAL SUSPECT LOCATIONS...MAINLY
OVER THE INTERIOR VALLEYS. OTHERWISE...CLOUDS ADVANCE TOWARDS
NORTHERN AREAS LATE TONIGHT WITH APPROACHING COLD FRONT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE PROGRESS AND TIMING OF THE
FROPA ON WEDNESDAY. ATMOSPHERE BECOMES RELATIVELY UNSTABLE DURING
THE AFTERNOON OVER SOUTHERN LOCATIONS WITH CAPE VALUES APPROACHING
1000 J/KG. HOWEVER...THIS FRONT WILL BE MOISTURE STARVED AND ANY
PRECIP SHOULD BE WIDELY SCATTERED.

THERE WILL BE ISOLATED CONVECTION NEAR THE COASTLINE EARLY
WEDNESDAY EVENING BEFORE THE PRECIP HEADS OUT TO SEA. COOLER AND
DRIER AIR TO FOLLOW LEADING INTO THE EXTENDED PORTION OF THE
FORECAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A LARGE RIDGE OF CANADIAN HIGH PRES BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS MAY OCCUR IN THE MTNS
ON THURSDAY DUE TO THE EXITING UPPER TROF ALOFT. TEMPS WILL BE
QUITE COOL BUT SKIES WILL BE MOSTLY SUNNY AS NWLY DOWNSLOPING SFC
WINDS OCCUR. THE SURFACE/UPPER RIDGE AXIS PROGRESSES EWD ON SAT
AND SUNDAY ALLOWING A SWLY WAA PATTERN TO DEVELOP. THE AMS WILL
GRADUALLY BECOME WARM HUMID AND UNSTABLE FOR THE REST OF THE
WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK SO MAINLY DIURNAL SCT AFTN/EVENING
SHWRS/TSTMS CAN BE EXPECTED.

OVERALL USED THE SUPERBLEND MODEL WITH SOME POP ADJUSTMENTS OVER
THE WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
.SHORT TERM...AREAS OF FOG TONIGHT WILL MAKE FOR SOME IFR AND LIFR
CONDITIONS THROUGH EARLY TOMORROW MORNING. ISOLD MVFR IN AFTERNOON
THUNDERSTORMS ON WEDNESDAY.

.LONG TERM...MAINLY VFR THROUGH LATE WEEK. SCT SHWRS OVER THE
WEEKEND MAY LWR CONDS TO MVFR AT TIMES.

&&

.MARINE...
.SHORT TERM...LONG PERIOD SWELLS MIXED IN WITH WIND WAVES WILL
MAKE FOR CHOPPY SURF CONDITIONS. SCA HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR A
COMBINATION OF WINDS AND WAVES THROUGH WEDNESDAY FOR ALL AREAS
EXCEPT CASCO BAY.

.LONG TERM...WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SCA CRITERIA.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EDT
     WEDNESDAY FOR MEZ028.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EDT
     WEDNESDAY FOR ANZ150>152-154.

&&

$$





000
FXUS61 KGYX 261843
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
243 PM EDT TUE AUG 26 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ANCHORED OFF THE SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND
COAST TODAY AND TONIGHT...WITH CONTINUES VERY WARM AND HUMID
CONDITIONS. A COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION ON
WEDNESDAY AND COULD SET OFF SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...BUT
NOT BEFORE TEMPERATURES WARM TO NEAR 90 DEGREES AGAIN IN MANY
SPOTS. COOLER HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AND SHIFT OFFSHORE ON SATURDAY. A WARM CROSSES
THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
MORE PATCHY FOG TONIGHT FOR THE USUAL SUSPECT LOCATIONS...MAINLY
OVER THE INTERIOR VALLEYS. OTHERWISE...CLOUDS ADVANCE TOWARDS
NORTHERN AREAS LATE TONIGHT WITH APPROACHING COLD FRONT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE PROGRESS AND TIMING OF THE
FROPA ON WEDNESDAY. ATMOSPHERE BECOMES RELATIVELY UNSTABLE DURING
THE AFTERNOON OVER SOUTHERN LOCATIONS WITH CAPE VALUES APPROACHING
1000 J/KG. HOWEVER...THIS FRONT WILL BE MOISTURE STARVED AND ANY
PRECIP SHOULD BE WIDELY SCATTERED.

THERE WILL BE ISOLATED CONVECTION NEAR THE COASTLINE EARLY
WEDNESDAY EVENING BEFORE THE PRECIP HEADS OUT TO SEA. COOLER AND
DRIER AIR TO FOLLOW LEADING INTO THE EXTENDED PORTION OF THE
FORECAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A LARGE RIDGE OF CANADIAN HIGH PRES BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS MAY OCCUR IN THE MTNS
ON THURSDAY DUE TO THE EXITING UPPER TROF ALOFT. TEMPS WILL BE
QUITE COOL BUT SKIES WILL BE MOSTLY SUNNY AS NWLY DOWNSLOPING SFC
WINDS OCCUR. THE SURFACE/UPPER RIDGE AXIS PROGRESSES EWD ON SAT
AND SUNDAY ALLOWING A SWLY WAA PATTERN TO DEVELOP. THE AMS WILL
GRADUALLY BECOME WARM HUMID AND UNSTABLE FOR THE REST OF THE
WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK SO MAINLY DIURNAL SCT AFTN/EVENING
SHWRS/TSTMS CAN BE EXPECTED.

OVERALL USED THE SUPERBLEND MODEL WITH SOME POP ADJUSTMENTS OVER
THE WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
.SHORT TERM...AREAS OF FOG TONIGHT WILL MAKE FOR SOME IFR AND LIFR
CONDITIONS THROUGH EARLY TOMORROW MORNING. ISOLD MVFR IN AFTERNOON
THUNDERSTORMS ON WEDNESDAY.

.LONG TERM...MAINLY VFR THROUGH LATE WEEK. SCT SHWRS OVER THE
WEEKEND MAY LWR CONDS TO MVFR AT TIMES.

&&

.MARINE...
.SHORT TERM...LONG PERIOD SWELLS MIXED IN WITH WIND WAVES WILL
MAKE FOR CHOPPY SURF CONDITIONS. SCA HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR A
COMBINATION OF WINDS AND WAVES THROUGH WEDNESDAY FOR ALL AREAS
EXCEPT CASCO BAY.

.LONG TERM...WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SCA CRITERIA.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EDT
     WEDNESDAY FOR MEZ028.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EDT
     WEDNESDAY FOR ANZ150>152-154.

&&

$$




000
FXUS61 KGYX 261747
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
147 PM EDT TUE AUG 26 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ANCHORED OFF THE SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND
COAST TODAY AND TONIGHT...WITH CONTINUES VERY WARM AND HUMID
CONDITIONS. A COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION ON
WEDNESDAY AND COULD SET OFF SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...BUT
NOT BEFORE TEMPERATURES WARM TO NEAR 90 DEGREES AGAIN IN MANY
SPOTS. COOLER HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AND SHIFT OFFSHORE ON SATURDAY. A WARM CROSSES
THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPDATE...
ONLY MINOR TWEAKS TO THE FORECAST PACKAGE THIS MORNING. THE HEAT
AND HUMIDITY CONTINUES TO BUILD OVER THE REGION...UNDER MAINLY
CLEAR SKIES. MORNING FOG HAS DISSIPATED IN MOST AREAS...OR WILL SO
OVER THE NEXT HOURS.

LONG PERIOD SWELLS OF 2-4 FEET WILL CONTINUE TO REACH THE
COASTLINE TODAY AND FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

PREV DISC...
ANOTHER HOT AND HUMID DAY ON THE WAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND CONTINUES TO PUMP HEAT INTO THE NORTHEAST.
WITH THE EXCEPTION OF MID COAST MAINE...EXPECT HIGHS FROM THE MID
80S TO NEAR 90 ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY/...
WILL SEE INCREASING CLOUDS AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT
TONIGHT. LOWS WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER TO MID 50S NORTH TO THE
UPPER 50S AND MID 60S SOUTH.

COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY. WILL
SEE SOME MARGINAL INSTABILITY AHEAD OF THIS BOUNDARY BUT MOISTURE
MAY BE A LIMITING FACTOR SO NOT LOOKING FOR TOO MUCH IN THE WAY OF
CONVECTION. HAVE GONE WITH A MIX OF MET/MAV POPS WHICH ONLY
PRODUCES SLIGHT CHANCE FOR MOST AREAS. WILL BE ANOTHER HOT ONE
WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES SIMILAR TO TUESDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
ALTHOUGH COLD FRONT WILL WORK ACROSS THE THE CWA WED NIGHT...WITH
A FEW LINGERING SHRA/TSRA POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST IN THE
EVENING...IT LOOKS THERE IS NOT A SIGNIFICANT SFC PUSH BEHIND
IT...AND IT LIKELY TO STAY MUGGY OVERNIGHT...WITH LINGERING LOW
LVL MOISTURE. WILL HAVE TO WAIT TO MIX THE DRIER AIR DOWN AFTER
SUNRISE THU.

500 MB TROUGH OVER THE MARITIMES WILL INTERACT WITH CRISTOBAL ON
THURSDAY...AND THIS WILL KEEP THE FLOW ALOFT MORE NE...AND COULD
SEE SOME CLOUDS AND SHRA SPILL DOWN INTO THE MTS THU AFTERNOON. IT
WILL BE COOLER AND DRIER...WITH HIGHS AROUND 70 N...TO THE MID TO
UPPER 70S IN THE S.

SFC HIGH BUILDS IN THU NIGHT THRU FRI NIGHT...BRINGING A PERIOD
OF FAIR WX...WITH HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE 70S AND LOWS IN THE 50S.
THE HIGH SHIFTS OFFSHORE ON SAT...AND A WARM RETURN FLOW DEVELOPS.
AT THIS POINT LOOK FOR SATURDAY TO STAY MAINLY DRY WITH A FAIR AMT
OF SUN. BY SAT NIGHT...AND RIGHT THROUGH THE REST OF THE HOLIDAY
WEEKEND...WE START TO SEE A CHC OF SHRA OR STORMS...AS INITIALLY
WARM FRONT MOVES THRU SAT NIGHT INTO SUN MORNING. 500 MB FLOW
BECOMES MORE ZONAL...WITH MID LVL BAROLCLINIC ZONE IN THE VICINITY
OF CWA...SO THE THREAT OF SHRA OR TSRA WILL BE THERE SUN THRU TUE.
IF WE STAY ON THE WARM SIDE OF THE BOUNDARY...WILL BE WARM AND
HUMID WITH THE THREAT OF SHRA/TSRA. IF THE BOUNDARY SHIFTS JUST
TO OUR S...LOOK FOR ONSHORE FLOW WITH CLOUDS AND SHRA AND COOL
TEMPS.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

LONG TERM...SOME LINGERING SHRA/TSRA POSSIBLE. AT COASTAL
TERMINALS WED EVE...AND SOME CHC OF FOG NEAR THE COAST LATER WED
NIGHT...BTU GENERALLY VFR EXPECTED THU THRU SAT...WITH VLY FOG THU
AND FRI NIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED FOR TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

LONG TERM...WILL LIKE SEE WINDS DIMINISH WED NIGHT BEFORE TURNING
NW ON THU...BUT SHOULD  STAY BLO SCA LVLS. SHOULD GET SOME SWELL
FROM CRISTOBAL...AND THIS COULD APPROACH 5-6 FT ON THU. FOR FRI
AND SAT SEAS/WINDS TO REMAIN BLO SCA CRITERIA.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$





000
FXUS61 KGYX 261747
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
147 PM EDT TUE AUG 26 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ANCHORED OFF THE SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND
COAST TODAY AND TONIGHT...WITH CONTINUES VERY WARM AND HUMID
CONDITIONS. A COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION ON
WEDNESDAY AND COULD SET OFF SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...BUT
NOT BEFORE TEMPERATURES WARM TO NEAR 90 DEGREES AGAIN IN MANY
SPOTS. COOLER HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AND SHIFT OFFSHORE ON SATURDAY. A WARM CROSSES
THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPDATE...
ONLY MINOR TWEAKS TO THE FORECAST PACKAGE THIS MORNING. THE HEAT
AND HUMIDITY CONTINUES TO BUILD OVER THE REGION...UNDER MAINLY
CLEAR SKIES. MORNING FOG HAS DISSIPATED IN MOST AREAS...OR WILL SO
OVER THE NEXT HOURS.

LONG PERIOD SWELLS OF 2-4 FEET WILL CONTINUE TO REACH THE
COASTLINE TODAY AND FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

PREV DISC...
ANOTHER HOT AND HUMID DAY ON THE WAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND CONTINUES TO PUMP HEAT INTO THE NORTHEAST.
WITH THE EXCEPTION OF MID COAST MAINE...EXPECT HIGHS FROM THE MID
80S TO NEAR 90 ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY/...
WILL SEE INCREASING CLOUDS AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT
TONIGHT. LOWS WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER TO MID 50S NORTH TO THE
UPPER 50S AND MID 60S SOUTH.

COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY. WILL
SEE SOME MARGINAL INSTABILITY AHEAD OF THIS BOUNDARY BUT MOISTURE
MAY BE A LIMITING FACTOR SO NOT LOOKING FOR TOO MUCH IN THE WAY OF
CONVECTION. HAVE GONE WITH A MIX OF MET/MAV POPS WHICH ONLY
PRODUCES SLIGHT CHANCE FOR MOST AREAS. WILL BE ANOTHER HOT ONE
WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES SIMILAR TO TUESDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
ALTHOUGH COLD FRONT WILL WORK ACROSS THE THE CWA WED NIGHT...WITH
A FEW LINGERING SHRA/TSRA POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST IN THE
EVENING...IT LOOKS THERE IS NOT A SIGNIFICANT SFC PUSH BEHIND
IT...AND IT LIKELY TO STAY MUGGY OVERNIGHT...WITH LINGERING LOW
LVL MOISTURE. WILL HAVE TO WAIT TO MIX THE DRIER AIR DOWN AFTER
SUNRISE THU.

500 MB TROUGH OVER THE MARITIMES WILL INTERACT WITH CRISTOBAL ON
THURSDAY...AND THIS WILL KEEP THE FLOW ALOFT MORE NE...AND COULD
SEE SOME CLOUDS AND SHRA SPILL DOWN INTO THE MTS THU AFTERNOON. IT
WILL BE COOLER AND DRIER...WITH HIGHS AROUND 70 N...TO THE MID TO
UPPER 70S IN THE S.

SFC HIGH BUILDS IN THU NIGHT THRU FRI NIGHT...BRINGING A PERIOD
OF FAIR WX...WITH HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE 70S AND LOWS IN THE 50S.
THE HIGH SHIFTS OFFSHORE ON SAT...AND A WARM RETURN FLOW DEVELOPS.
AT THIS POINT LOOK FOR SATURDAY TO STAY MAINLY DRY WITH A FAIR AMT
OF SUN. BY SAT NIGHT...AND RIGHT THROUGH THE REST OF THE HOLIDAY
WEEKEND...WE START TO SEE A CHC OF SHRA OR STORMS...AS INITIALLY
WARM FRONT MOVES THRU SAT NIGHT INTO SUN MORNING. 500 MB FLOW
BECOMES MORE ZONAL...WITH MID LVL BAROLCLINIC ZONE IN THE VICINITY
OF CWA...SO THE THREAT OF SHRA OR TSRA WILL BE THERE SUN THRU TUE.
IF WE STAY ON THE WARM SIDE OF THE BOUNDARY...WILL BE WARM AND
HUMID WITH THE THREAT OF SHRA/TSRA. IF THE BOUNDARY SHIFTS JUST
TO OUR S...LOOK FOR ONSHORE FLOW WITH CLOUDS AND SHRA AND COOL
TEMPS.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

LONG TERM...SOME LINGERING SHRA/TSRA POSSIBLE. AT COASTAL
TERMINALS WED EVE...AND SOME CHC OF FOG NEAR THE COAST LATER WED
NIGHT...BTU GENERALLY VFR EXPECTED THU THRU SAT...WITH VLY FOG THU
AND FRI NIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED FOR TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

LONG TERM...WILL LIKE SEE WINDS DIMINISH WED NIGHT BEFORE TURNING
NW ON THU...BUT SHOULD  STAY BLO SCA LVLS. SHOULD GET SOME SWELL
FROM CRISTOBAL...AND THIS COULD APPROACH 5-6 FT ON THU. FOR FRI
AND SAT SEAS/WINDS TO REMAIN BLO SCA CRITERIA.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$




000
FXUS61 KGYX 261304
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
904 AM EDT TUE AUG 26 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ANCHORED OFF THE SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND
COAST TODAY AND TONIGHT...WITH CONTINUES VERY WARM AND HUMID
CONDITIONS. A COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION ON
WEDNESDAY AND COULD SET OFF SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...BUT
NOT BEFORE TEMPERATURES WARM TO NEAR 90 DEGREES AGAIN IN MANY
SPOTS. COOLER HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AND SHIFT OFFSHORE ON SATURDAY. A WARM CROSSES
THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPDATE...
ONLY MINOR TWEAKS TO THE FORECAST PACKAGE THIS MORNING. THE HEAT
AND HUMIDITY CONTINUES TO BUILD OVER THE REGION...UNDER MAINLY
CLEAR SKIES. MORNING FOG HAS DISSIPATED IN MOST AREAS...OR WILL SO
OVER THE NEXT HOURS.

LONG PERIOD SWELLS OF 2-4 FEET WILL CONTINUE TO REACH THE
COASTLINE TODAY AND FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

PREV DISC...
ANOTHER HOT AND HUMID DAY ON THE WAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND CONTINUES TO PUMP HEAT INTO THE NORTHEAST.
WITH THE EXCEPTION OF MID COAST MAINE...EXPECT HIGHS FROM THE MID
80S TO NEAR 90 ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY/...
WILL SEE INCREASING CLOUDS AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT
TONIGHT. LOWS WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER TO MID 50S NORTH TO THE
UPPER 50S AND MID 60S SOUTH.

COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY. WILL
SEE SOME MARGINAL INSTABILITY AHEAD OF THIS BOUNDARY BUT MOISTURE
MAY BE A LIMITING FACTOR SO NOT LOOKING FOR TOO MUCH IN THE WAY OF
CONVECTION. HAVE GONE WITH A MIX OF MET/MAV POPS WHICH ONLY
PRODUCES SLIGHT CHANCE FOR MOST AREAS. WILL BE ANOTHER HOT ONE
WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES SIMILAR TO TUESDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
ALTHOUGH COLD FRONT WILL WORK ACROSS THE THE CWA WED NIGHT...WITH
A FEW LINGERING SHRA/TSRA POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST IN THE
EVENING...IT LOOKS THERE IS NOT A SIGNIFICANT SFC PUSH BEHIND
IT...AND IT LIKELY TO STAY MUGGY OVERNIGHT...WITH LINGERING LOW
LVL MOISTURE. WILL HAVE TO WAIT TO MIX THE DRIER AIR DOWN AFTER
SUNRISE THU.

500 MB TROUGH OVER THE MARITIMES WILL INTERACT WITH CRISTOBAL ON
THURSDAY...AND THIS WILL KEEP THE FLOW ALOFT MORE NE...AND COULD
SEE SOME CLOUDS AND SHRA SPILL DOWN INTO THE MTS THU AFTERNOON. IT
WILL BE COOLER AND DRIER...WITH HIGHS AROUND 70 N...TO THE MID TO
UPPER 70S IN THE S.

SFC HIGH BUILDS IN THU NIGHT THRU FRI NIGHT...BRINGING A PERIOD
OF FAIR WX...WITH HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE 70S AND LOWS IN THE 50S.
THE HIGH SHIFTS OFFSHORE ON SAT...AND A WARM RETURN FLOW DEVELOPS.
AT THIS POINT LOOK FOR SATURDAY TO STAY MAINLY DRY WITH A FAIR AMT
OF SUN. BY SAT NIGHT...AND RIGHT THROUGH THE REST OF THE HOLIDAY
WEEKEND...WE START TO SEE A CHC OF SHRA OR STORMS...AS INITIALLY
WARM FRONT MOVES THRU SAT NIGHT INTO SUN MORNING. 500 MB FLOW
BECOMES MORE ZONAL...WITH MID LVL BAROLCLINIC ZONE IN THE VICINITY
OF CWA...SO THE THREAT OF SHRA OR TSRA WILL BE THERE SUN THRU TUE.
IF WE STAY ON THE WARM SIDE OF THE BOUNDARY...WILL BE WARM AND
HUMID WITH THE THREAT OF SHRA/TSRA. IF THE BOUNDARY SHIFTS JUST
TO OUR S...LOOK FOR ONSHORE FLOW WITH CLOUDS AND SHRA AND COOL
TEMPS.

&&

.AVIATION /13Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

LONG TERM...SOME LINGERING SHRA/TSRA POSSIBLE. AT COASTAL
TERMINALS WED EVE...AND SOME CHC OF FOG NEAR THE COAST LATER WED
NIGHT...BTU GENERALLY VFR EXPECTED THU THRU SAT...WITH VLY FOG THU
AND FRI NIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED FOR TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

LONG TERM...WILL LIKE SEE WINDS DIMINISH WED NIGHT BEFORE TURNING
NW ON THU...BUT SHOULD  STAY BLO SCA LVLS. SHOULD GET SOME SWELL
FROM CRISTOBAL...AND THIS COULD APPROACH 5-6 FT ON THU. FOR FRI
AND SAT SEAS/WINDS TO REMAIN BLO SCA CRITERIA.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$




000
FXUS61 KGYX 261304
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
904 AM EDT TUE AUG 26 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ANCHORED OFF THE SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND
COAST TODAY AND TONIGHT...WITH CONTINUES VERY WARM AND HUMID
CONDITIONS. A COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION ON
WEDNESDAY AND COULD SET OFF SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...BUT
NOT BEFORE TEMPERATURES WARM TO NEAR 90 DEGREES AGAIN IN MANY
SPOTS. COOLER HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AND SHIFT OFFSHORE ON SATURDAY. A WARM CROSSES
THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPDATE...
ONLY MINOR TWEAKS TO THE FORECAST PACKAGE THIS MORNING. THE HEAT
AND HUMIDITY CONTINUES TO BUILD OVER THE REGION...UNDER MAINLY
CLEAR SKIES. MORNING FOG HAS DISSIPATED IN MOST AREAS...OR WILL SO
OVER THE NEXT HOURS.

LONG PERIOD SWELLS OF 2-4 FEET WILL CONTINUE TO REACH THE
COASTLINE TODAY AND FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

PREV DISC...
ANOTHER HOT AND HUMID DAY ON THE WAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND CONTINUES TO PUMP HEAT INTO THE NORTHEAST.
WITH THE EXCEPTION OF MID COAST MAINE...EXPECT HIGHS FROM THE MID
80S TO NEAR 90 ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY/...
WILL SEE INCREASING CLOUDS AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT
TONIGHT. LOWS WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER TO MID 50S NORTH TO THE
UPPER 50S AND MID 60S SOUTH.

COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY. WILL
SEE SOME MARGINAL INSTABILITY AHEAD OF THIS BOUNDARY BUT MOISTURE
MAY BE A LIMITING FACTOR SO NOT LOOKING FOR TOO MUCH IN THE WAY OF
CONVECTION. HAVE GONE WITH A MIX OF MET/MAV POPS WHICH ONLY
PRODUCES SLIGHT CHANCE FOR MOST AREAS. WILL BE ANOTHER HOT ONE
WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES SIMILAR TO TUESDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
ALTHOUGH COLD FRONT WILL WORK ACROSS THE THE CWA WED NIGHT...WITH
A FEW LINGERING SHRA/TSRA POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST IN THE
EVENING...IT LOOKS THERE IS NOT A SIGNIFICANT SFC PUSH BEHIND
IT...AND IT LIKELY TO STAY MUGGY OVERNIGHT...WITH LINGERING LOW
LVL MOISTURE. WILL HAVE TO WAIT TO MIX THE DRIER AIR DOWN AFTER
SUNRISE THU.

500 MB TROUGH OVER THE MARITIMES WILL INTERACT WITH CRISTOBAL ON
THURSDAY...AND THIS WILL KEEP THE FLOW ALOFT MORE NE...AND COULD
SEE SOME CLOUDS AND SHRA SPILL DOWN INTO THE MTS THU AFTERNOON. IT
WILL BE COOLER AND DRIER...WITH HIGHS AROUND 70 N...TO THE MID TO
UPPER 70S IN THE S.

SFC HIGH BUILDS IN THU NIGHT THRU FRI NIGHT...BRINGING A PERIOD
OF FAIR WX...WITH HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE 70S AND LOWS IN THE 50S.
THE HIGH SHIFTS OFFSHORE ON SAT...AND A WARM RETURN FLOW DEVELOPS.
AT THIS POINT LOOK FOR SATURDAY TO STAY MAINLY DRY WITH A FAIR AMT
OF SUN. BY SAT NIGHT...AND RIGHT THROUGH THE REST OF THE HOLIDAY
WEEKEND...WE START TO SEE A CHC OF SHRA OR STORMS...AS INITIALLY
WARM FRONT MOVES THRU SAT NIGHT INTO SUN MORNING. 500 MB FLOW
BECOMES MORE ZONAL...WITH MID LVL BAROLCLINIC ZONE IN THE VICINITY
OF CWA...SO THE THREAT OF SHRA OR TSRA WILL BE THERE SUN THRU TUE.
IF WE STAY ON THE WARM SIDE OF THE BOUNDARY...WILL BE WARM AND
HUMID WITH THE THREAT OF SHRA/TSRA. IF THE BOUNDARY SHIFTS JUST
TO OUR S...LOOK FOR ONSHORE FLOW WITH CLOUDS AND SHRA AND COOL
TEMPS.

&&

.AVIATION /13Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

LONG TERM...SOME LINGERING SHRA/TSRA POSSIBLE. AT COASTAL
TERMINALS WED EVE...AND SOME CHC OF FOG NEAR THE COAST LATER WED
NIGHT...BTU GENERALLY VFR EXPECTED THU THRU SAT...WITH VLY FOG THU
AND FRI NIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED FOR TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

LONG TERM...WILL LIKE SEE WINDS DIMINISH WED NIGHT BEFORE TURNING
NW ON THU...BUT SHOULD  STAY BLO SCA LVLS. SHOULD GET SOME SWELL
FROM CRISTOBAL...AND THIS COULD APPROACH 5-6 FT ON THU. FOR FRI
AND SAT SEAS/WINDS TO REMAIN BLO SCA CRITERIA.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$





000
FXUS61 KGYX 260657
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
257 AM EDT TUE AUG 26 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ANCHORED OFF THE SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND
COAST TODAY AND TONIGHT...WITH CONTINUES VERY WARM AND HUMID
CONDITIONS. A COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION ON
WEDNESDAY AND COULD SET OFF SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...BUT
NOT BEFORE TEMPERATURES WARM TO NEAR 90 DEGREES AGAIN IN MANY
SPOTS. COOLER HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AND SHIFT OFFSHORE ON SATURDAY. A WARM CROSSES
THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
ANOTHER HOT AND HUMID DAY ON THE WAY AS HIGH PRESSURE SOUTH OF NEW
ENGLAND CONTINUES TO PUMP HEAT INTO THE NORTHEAST. WITH THE
EXCEPTION OF MID COAST MAINE...EXPECT HIGHS FROM THE MID 80S TO
NEAR 90 ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/...
WILL SEE INCREASING CLOUDS AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT
TONIGHT. LOWS WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER TO MID 50S NORTH TO THE
UPPER 50S AND MID 60S SOUTH.

COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY. WILL
SEE SOME MARGINAL INSTABILITY AHEAD OF THIS BOUNDARY BUT MOISTURE
MAY BE A LIMITING FACTOR SO NOT LOOKING FOR TOO MUCH IN THE WAY OF
CONVECTION. HAVE GONE WITH A MIX OF MET/MAV POPS WHICH ONLY
PRODUCES SLIGHT CHANCE FOR MOST AREAS. WILL BE ANOTHER HOT ONE
WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES SIMILAR TO TUESDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
ALTHOUGH COLD FRONT WILL WORK ACROSS THE THE CWA WED NIGHT...WITH
A FEW LINGERING SHRA/TSRA POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST IN THE
EVENING...IT LOOKS THERE IS NOT A SIGNIFICANT SFC PUSH BEHIND
IT...AND IT LIKELY TO STAY MUGGY OVERNIGHT...WITH LINGERING LOW
LVL MOISTURE. WILL HAVE TO WAIT TO MIX THE DRIER AIR DOWN AFTER
SUNRISE THU.

500 MB TROUGH OVER THE MARITIMES WILL INTERACT WITH CRISTOBAL ON
THURSDAY...AND THIS WILL KEEP THE FLOW ALOFT MORE NE...AND COULD
SEE SOME CLOUDS AND SHRA SPILL DOWN INTO THE MTS THU AFTERNOON. IT
WILL BE COOLER AND DRIER...WITH HIGHS AROUND 70 N...TO THE MID TO
UPPER 70S IN THE S.

SFC HIGH BUILDS IN THU NIGHT THRU FRI NIGHT...BRINGING A PERIOD
OF FAIR WX...WITH HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE 70S AND LOWS IN THE 50S.
THE HIGH SHIFTS OFFSHORE ON SAT...AND A WARM RETURN FLOW DEVELOPS.
AT THIS POINT LOOK FOR SATURDAY TO STAY MAINLY DRY WITH A FAIR AMT
OF SUN. BY SAT NIGHT...AND RIGHT THROUGH THE REST OF THE HOLIDAY
WEEKEND...WE START TO SEE A CHC OF SHRA OR STORMS...AS INITIALLY
WARM FRONT MOVES THRU SAT NIGHT INTO SUN MORNING. 500 MB FLOW
BECOMES MORE ZONAL...WITH MID LVL BAROLCLINIC ZONE IN THE VICINITY
OF CWA...SO THE THREAT OF SHRA OR TSRA WILL BE THERE SUN THRU TUE.
IF WE STAY ON THE WARM SIDE OF THE BOUNDARY...WILL BE WARM AND
HUMID WITH THE THREAT OF SHRA/TSRA. IF THE BOUNDARY SHIFTS JUST
TO OUR S...LOOK FOR ONSHORE FLOW WITH CLOUDS AND SHRA AND COOL
TEMPS.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

LONG TERM...SOME LINGERING SHRA/TSRA POSSIBLE. AT COASTAL
TERMINALS WED EVE...AND SOME CHC OF FOG NEAR THE COAST LATER WED
NIGHT...BTU GENERALLY VFR EXPECTED THU THRU SAT...WITH VLY FOG THU
AND FRI NIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED FOR TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

LONG TERM...WILL LIKE SEE WINDS DIMINISH WED NIGHT BEFORE TURNING
NW ON THU...BUT SHOULD  STAY BLO SCA LVLS. SHOULD GET SOME SWELL
FROM CRISTOBAL...AND THIS COULD APPROACH 5-6 FT ON THU. FOR FRI
AND SAT SEAS/WINDS TO REMAIN BLO SCA CRITERIA.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

LONG TERM...CEMPA




000
FXUS61 KGYX 260657
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
257 AM EDT TUE AUG 26 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ANCHORED OFF THE SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND
COAST TODAY AND TONIGHT...WITH CONTINUES VERY WARM AND HUMID
CONDITIONS. A COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION ON
WEDNESDAY AND COULD SET OFF SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...BUT
NOT BEFORE TEMPERATURES WARM TO NEAR 90 DEGREES AGAIN IN MANY
SPOTS. COOLER HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AND SHIFT OFFSHORE ON SATURDAY. A WARM CROSSES
THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
ANOTHER HOT AND HUMID DAY ON THE WAY AS HIGH PRESSURE SOUTH OF NEW
ENGLAND CONTINUES TO PUMP HEAT INTO THE NORTHEAST. WITH THE
EXCEPTION OF MID COAST MAINE...EXPECT HIGHS FROM THE MID 80S TO
NEAR 90 ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/...
WILL SEE INCREASING CLOUDS AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT
TONIGHT. LOWS WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER TO MID 50S NORTH TO THE
UPPER 50S AND MID 60S SOUTH.

COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY. WILL
SEE SOME MARGINAL INSTABILITY AHEAD OF THIS BOUNDARY BUT MOISTURE
MAY BE A LIMITING FACTOR SO NOT LOOKING FOR TOO MUCH IN THE WAY OF
CONVECTION. HAVE GONE WITH A MIX OF MET/MAV POPS WHICH ONLY
PRODUCES SLIGHT CHANCE FOR MOST AREAS. WILL BE ANOTHER HOT ONE
WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES SIMILAR TO TUESDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
ALTHOUGH COLD FRONT WILL WORK ACROSS THE THE CWA WED NIGHT...WITH
A FEW LINGERING SHRA/TSRA POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST IN THE
EVENING...IT LOOKS THERE IS NOT A SIGNIFICANT SFC PUSH BEHIND
IT...AND IT LIKELY TO STAY MUGGY OVERNIGHT...WITH LINGERING LOW
LVL MOISTURE. WILL HAVE TO WAIT TO MIX THE DRIER AIR DOWN AFTER
SUNRISE THU.

500 MB TROUGH OVER THE MARITIMES WILL INTERACT WITH CRISTOBAL ON
THURSDAY...AND THIS WILL KEEP THE FLOW ALOFT MORE NE...AND COULD
SEE SOME CLOUDS AND SHRA SPILL DOWN INTO THE MTS THU AFTERNOON. IT
WILL BE COOLER AND DRIER...WITH HIGHS AROUND 70 N...TO THE MID TO
UPPER 70S IN THE S.

SFC HIGH BUILDS IN THU NIGHT THRU FRI NIGHT...BRINGING A PERIOD
OF FAIR WX...WITH HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE 70S AND LOWS IN THE 50S.
THE HIGH SHIFTS OFFSHORE ON SAT...AND A WARM RETURN FLOW DEVELOPS.
AT THIS POINT LOOK FOR SATURDAY TO STAY MAINLY DRY WITH A FAIR AMT
OF SUN. BY SAT NIGHT...AND RIGHT THROUGH THE REST OF THE HOLIDAY
WEEKEND...WE START TO SEE A CHC OF SHRA OR STORMS...AS INITIALLY
WARM FRONT MOVES THRU SAT NIGHT INTO SUN MORNING. 500 MB FLOW
BECOMES MORE ZONAL...WITH MID LVL BAROLCLINIC ZONE IN THE VICINITY
OF CWA...SO THE THREAT OF SHRA OR TSRA WILL BE THERE SUN THRU TUE.
IF WE STAY ON THE WARM SIDE OF THE BOUNDARY...WILL BE WARM AND
HUMID WITH THE THREAT OF SHRA/TSRA. IF THE BOUNDARY SHIFTS JUST
TO OUR S...LOOK FOR ONSHORE FLOW WITH CLOUDS AND SHRA AND COOL
TEMPS.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

LONG TERM...SOME LINGERING SHRA/TSRA POSSIBLE. AT COASTAL
TERMINALS WED EVE...AND SOME CHC OF FOG NEAR THE COAST LATER WED
NIGHT...BTU GENERALLY VFR EXPECTED THU THRU SAT...WITH VLY FOG THU
AND FRI NIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED FOR TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

LONG TERM...WILL LIKE SEE WINDS DIMINISH WED NIGHT BEFORE TURNING
NW ON THU...BUT SHOULD  STAY BLO SCA LVLS. SHOULD GET SOME SWELL
FROM CRISTOBAL...AND THIS COULD APPROACH 5-6 FT ON THU. FOR FRI
AND SAT SEAS/WINDS TO REMAIN BLO SCA CRITERIA.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

LONG TERM...CEMPA





000
FXUS61 KGYX 260123
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
923 PM EDT MON AUG 25 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL HOLD OVER THE NORTHEAST THROUGH TUESDAY. A
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE IN FROM THE NORTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY...BRINGING A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS...BUT NOT BEFORE WE SEE ANOTHER
WARM AND HUMID DAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE
WEST THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...SHIFTING OFFSHORE BY SATURDAY. A WARM
FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT...AND COULD STALL OVER
THE REGION SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/...
UPDATED AGAIN WITH NO REAL CHANGES TO THE PREVIOUS FCST.

MAINLY CLEAR SKIES WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT WITH DEW POINT VALUES
REMAINING IN THE LOWER 60S IN MANY AREAS. AREAS OF FOG WILL
DEVELOP ONCE AGAIN...MOSTLY IN THE INTERIOR VALLEY LOCATIONS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
READINGS WILL SHOOT UP INTO THE LOWER TO MID 80S ONCE AGAIN UNDER
SUNNY SKIES ON TUESDAY. 850 MB TEMPS WILL REACH +16C BY LATE IN
THE DAY. THERE WILL BE A DEEP MIXING LAYER AND A SOUTHWEST
GRADIENT INCREASING WITH TIME.

THIS GRADIENT...ALONG WITH INCREASING CLOUDS OVER NORTHERN
SECTIONS WILL LIMIT THE INLAND FOG TUESDAY NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
A ZONAL FLOW DEVELOPS WEDNESDAY AS THE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE
NORTHEAST BECOMES FLATTENED AS A S/WV AND ACCOMPANIED COLD FRONT
MOVES THROUGH THE RIDGE. A DOWNSLOPING FLOW AND WARM TEMPS ALOFT
EXPECTED WED...TEMPS WILL BECOME VERY MILD AND MAY APPROACH 90
DEGS IN SOME AREAS. A FEW WDLY SCT SHWRS MAY ACCOMPANY THE FRONT.
FOR THU AND FRI... A NWLY FLOW ALOFT WILL REDEVELOP LATER AS AN
UPPER LOW ONCE AGAIN BECOMES ANCHORED IN THE MARITIMES. THIS WILL
MEAN A RETURN TO COOLER TEMPS AND CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN DRY THU
AND FRI. BY THE WEEKEND THE PATTERN BECOMES PROGRESSIVE AND A SW
FLOW AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL ALLOW FOR WARMER AND MORE HUMID
WEATHER WITH THE RISK OF SOME CONVECTION EACH DAY OVER THE WEEKEND
AS A FRONTAL SYSTEM STALLS OVER THE AREA.

STAYED CLOSE TO THE SUPERBLEND MODELING FOR POPS AND TEMPS.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...VFR THROUGH TUESDAY NOT...
WITH AREAS OF IFR/LIFR CEILINGS AND VSBY IN LATE NOT AND EARLY
MORNING VALLEY FOG TNGT AND POSSIBLY AGAIN TUESDAY NOT. LEB AND
HIE AFFECTED THE MOST FOLLOWED BY CON AND RKD. THE OTHER TAF
SITES MAY SEE SOME LGT FOG WITH LESS OF AN IMPACT ON WIG/VSBY.

.LONG TERM...MAINLY VFR CONDO.

&&

.MARINE...
.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...UPDATED WITH NO
CHANGES TO PREVIOUS FCST. WAVES WILL RUN IN THE 2 TO 4 FOOT RANGE
OVER THE OPEN WATERS TNGT...IN PART DUE TO HIGHER PERIOD SWELLS OF
8 SECOND OR HIGHER. WINDS AND SEAS REMAIN BELOW SCA LEVELS THRU
TUESDAY NOT...THOUGH SEAS MAY REACH MINIMAL SCA LEVELS OVER PARTS
OF THE OUTER WATERS TUESDAY NOT.

.LONG TERM...
WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SCA CRITERIA.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$





000
FXUS61 KGYX 260123
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
923 PM EDT MON AUG 25 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL HOLD OVER THE NORTHEAST THROUGH TUESDAY. A
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE IN FROM THE NORTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY...BRINGING A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS...BUT NOT BEFORE WE SEE ANOTHER
WARM AND HUMID DAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE
WEST THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...SHIFTING OFFSHORE BY SATURDAY. A WARM
FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT...AND COULD STALL OVER
THE REGION SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/...
UPDATED AGAIN WITH NO REAL CHANGES TO THE PREVIOUS FCST.

MAINLY CLEAR SKIES WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT WITH DEW POINT VALUES
REMAINING IN THE LOWER 60S IN MANY AREAS. AREAS OF FOG WILL
DEVELOP ONCE AGAIN...MOSTLY IN THE INTERIOR VALLEY LOCATIONS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
READINGS WILL SHOOT UP INTO THE LOWER TO MID 80S ONCE AGAIN UNDER
SUNNY SKIES ON TUESDAY. 850 MB TEMPS WILL REACH +16C BY LATE IN
THE DAY. THERE WILL BE A DEEP MIXING LAYER AND A SOUTHWEST
GRADIENT INCREASING WITH TIME.

THIS GRADIENT...ALONG WITH INCREASING CLOUDS OVER NORTHERN
SECTIONS WILL LIMIT THE INLAND FOG TUESDAY NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
A ZONAL FLOW DEVELOPS WEDNESDAY AS THE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE
NORTHEAST BECOMES FLATTENED AS A S/WV AND ACCOMPANIED COLD FRONT
MOVES THROUGH THE RIDGE. A DOWNSLOPING FLOW AND WARM TEMPS ALOFT
EXPECTED WED...TEMPS WILL BECOME VERY MILD AND MAY APPROACH 90
DEGS IN SOME AREAS. A FEW WDLY SCT SHWRS MAY ACCOMPANY THE FRONT.
FOR THU AND FRI... A NWLY FLOW ALOFT WILL REDEVELOP LATER AS AN
UPPER LOW ONCE AGAIN BECOMES ANCHORED IN THE MARITIMES. THIS WILL
MEAN A RETURN TO COOLER TEMPS AND CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN DRY THU
AND FRI. BY THE WEEKEND THE PATTERN BECOMES PROGRESSIVE AND A SW
FLOW AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL ALLOW FOR WARMER AND MORE HUMID
WEATHER WITH THE RISK OF SOME CONVECTION EACH DAY OVER THE WEEKEND
AS A FRONTAL SYSTEM STALLS OVER THE AREA.

STAYED CLOSE TO THE SUPERBLEND MODELING FOR POPS AND TEMPS.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...VFR THROUGH TUESDAY NOT...
WITH AREAS OF IFR/LIFR CEILINGS AND VSBY IN LATE NOT AND EARLY
MORNING VALLEY FOG TNGT AND POSSIBLY AGAIN TUESDAY NOT. LEB AND
HIE AFFECTED THE MOST FOLLOWED BY CON AND RKD. THE OTHER TAF
SITES MAY SEE SOME LGT FOG WITH LESS OF AN IMPACT ON WIG/VSBY.

.LONG TERM...MAINLY VFR CONDO.

&&

.MARINE...
.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...UPDATED WITH NO
CHANGES TO PREVIOUS FCST. WAVES WILL RUN IN THE 2 TO 4 FOOT RANGE
OVER THE OPEN WATERS TNGT...IN PART DUE TO HIGHER PERIOD SWELLS OF
8 SECOND OR HIGHER. WINDS AND SEAS REMAIN BELOW SCA LEVELS THRU
TUESDAY NOT...THOUGH SEAS MAY REACH MINIMAL SCA LEVELS OVER PARTS
OF THE OUTER WATERS TUESDAY NOT.

.LONG TERM...
WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SCA CRITERIA.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$




000
FXUS61 KGYX 252238
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
638 PM EDT MON AUG 25 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL HOLD OVER THE NORTHEAST THROUGH TUESDAY. A
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE IN FROM THE NORTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY...BRINGING A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS...BUT NOT BEFORE WE SEE ANOTHER
WARM AND HUMID DAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE
WEST THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...SHIFTING OFFSHORE BY SATURDAY. A WARM
FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT...AND COULD STALL OVER
THE REGION SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/...
UPDATED WITH NO REAL CHANGES TO THE PREVIOUS FCST.

MAINLY CLEAR SKIES WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT WITH DEW POINT VALUES
REMAINING IN THE LOWER 60S IN MANY AREAS. AREAS OF FOG WILL
DEVELOP ONCE AGAIN...MOSTLY IN THE INTERIOR VALLEY LOCATIONS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
READINGS WILL SHOOT UP INTO THE LOWER TO MID 80S ONCE AGAIN UNDER
SUNNY SKIES ON TUESDAY. 850 MB TEMPS WILL REACH +16C BY LATE IN
THE DAY. THERE WILL BE A DEEP MIXING LAYER AND A SOUTHWEST
GRADIENT INCREASING WITH TIME.

THIS GRADIENT...ALONG WITH INCREASING CLOUDS OVER NORTHERN
SECTIONS WILL LIMIT THE INLAND FOG TUESDAY NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
A ZONAL FLOW DEVELOPS WEDNESDAY AS THE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE
NORTHEAST BECOMES FLATTENED AS A S/WV AND ACCOMPANIED COLD FRONT
MOVES THROUGH THE RIDGE. A DOWNSLOPING FLOW AND WARM TEMPS ALOFT
EXPECTED WED...TEMPS WILL BECOME VERY MILD AND MAY APPROACH 90
DEGS IN SOME AREAS. A FEW WDLY SCT SHWRS MAY ACCOMPANY THE FRONT.
FOR THU AND FRI... A NWLY FLOW ALOFT WILL REDEVELOP LATER AS AN
UPPER LOW ONCE AGAIN BECOMES ANCHORED IN THE MARITIMES. THIS WILL
MEAN A RETURN TO COOLER TEMPS AND CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN DRY THU
AND FRI. BY THE WEEKEND THE PATTERN BECOMES PROGRESSIVE AND A SW
FLOW AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL ALLOW FOR WARMER AND MORE HUMID
WEATHER WITH THE RISK OF SOME CONVECTION EACH DAY OVER THE WEEKEND
AS A FRONTAL SYSTEM STALLS OVER THE AREA.

STAYED CLOSE TO THE SUPERBLEND MODELING FOR POPS AND TEMPS.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...VFR THROUGH TUESDAY NOT...
WITH AREAS OF IFR/LIFR CEILINGS AND VSBY IN LATE NOT AND EARLY
MORNING VALLEY FOG TNGT AND POSSIBLY AGAIN TUESDAY NOT. LEB AND
HIE AFFECTED THE MOST FOLLOWED BY CON. THE OTHER TAF SITES MAY
SEE SOME LGT FOG WITH LESS OF AN IMPACT ON WIG/VSBY.

.LONG TERM...MAINLY VFR CONDO.

&&

.MARINE...
.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...UPDATED TO TWEAK
WINDS AND SEAS OVERNIGHT PER LATEST BUOY REPORTS. WAVES WILL RUN
IN THE 2 TO 4 FOOT RANGE OVER THE OPEN WATERS TNGT...IN PART DUE
TO HIGHER PERIOD SWELLS OF 8 SECOND OR HIGHER. WINDS AND SEAS
REMAIN BELOW SCA LEVELS THRU TUESDAY NOT...THOUGH SEAS MAY REACH
MINIMAL SCA LEVELS OVER PARTS OF THE OUTER WATERS TUESDAY NOT.

.LONG TERM...
WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SCA CRITERIA.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$




000
FXUS61 KGYX 251920
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
320 PM EDT MON AUG 25 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL HOLD OVER THE NORTHEAST THROUGH TUESDAY. A
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE IN FROM THE NORTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY...BRINGING A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS...BUT NOT BEFORE WE SEE ANOTHER
WARM AND HUMID DAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE
WEST THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...SHIFTING OFFSHORE BY SATURDAY. A WARM
FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT...AND COULD STALL OVER
THE REGION SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
MAINLY CLEAR SKIES WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT WITH DEW POINT VALUES
REMAINING IN THE LOWER 60S IN MANY AREAS. AREAS OF FOG WILL
DEVELOP ONCE AGAIN...MOSTLY IN THE INTERIOR VALLEY LOCATIONS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT/...
READINGS WILL SHOOT UP INTO THE LOWER TO MID 80S ONCE AGAIN UNDER
SUNNY SKIES ON TUESDAY. 850 MB TEMPS WILL REACH +16C BY LATE IN
THE DAY. THERE WILL BE A DEEP MIXING LAYER AND A SOUTHWEST
GRADIENT INCREASING WITH TIME.

THIS GRADIENT...ALONG WITH INCREASING CLOUDS OVER NORTHERN
SECTIONS WILL LIMIT THE INLAND FOG TUESDAY NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
A ZONAL FLOW DEVELOPS WEDNESDAY AS THE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE
NORTHEAST BECOMES FLATTENED AS A S/WV AND ACCOMPANIED COLD FRONT MOVES
THROUGH THE RIDGE. A DOWNSLOPING FLOW AND WARM TEMPS ALOFT
EXPECTED WED...TEMPS WILL BECOME VERY MILD AND MAY APPROACH 90
DEGS IN SOME AREAS. A FEW WDLY SCT SHWRS MAY ACCOMPANY THE FRONT.
FOR THU AND FRI... A NWLY FLOW ALOFT WILL REDEVELOP LATER AS AN
UPPER LOW ONCE AGAIN BECOMES ANCHORED IN THE MARITIMES. THIS WILL
MEAN A RETURN TO COOLER TEMPS AND CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN DRY THU
AND FRI. BY THE WEEKEND THE PATTERN BECOMES PROGRESSIVE AND A SW
FLOW AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL ALLOW FOR WARMER AND MORE HUMID
WEATHER WITH THE RISK OF SOME CONVECTION EACH DAY OVER THE WEEKEND
AS A FRONTAL SYSTEM STALLS OVER THE AREA.

STAYED COSE TO THE SUPERBLEND MODELLING FOR POPS AND TEMPS.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
.SHORT TERM...VFR TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY...WITH AREAS OF IFR/LIFR
CEILINGS AND VSBY IN MORNING VALLEY FOG.

.LONG TERM...MAINLY VFR CONDS.

&&

.MARINE...
.SHORT TERM...
WAVES WILL RUN IN THE 3 TO 4 FOOT RANGE IN SOME
AREAS TODAY. HAVE ADJUSTED THE WAVE FORECAST UPWARDS FOR TONIGHT.
THERE IS MOSTLY AN 8 SECOND OR HIGHER PERIOD.

.LONG TERM...
WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SCA CRITERIA.
&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$





000
FXUS61 KGYX 251920
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
320 PM EDT MON AUG 25 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL HOLD OVER THE NORTHEAST THROUGH TUESDAY. A
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE IN FROM THE NORTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY...BRINGING A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS...BUT NOT BEFORE WE SEE ANOTHER
WARM AND HUMID DAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE
WEST THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...SHIFTING OFFSHORE BY SATURDAY. A WARM
FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT...AND COULD STALL OVER
THE REGION SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
MAINLY CLEAR SKIES WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT WITH DEW POINT VALUES
REMAINING IN THE LOWER 60S IN MANY AREAS. AREAS OF FOG WILL
DEVELOP ONCE AGAIN...MOSTLY IN THE INTERIOR VALLEY LOCATIONS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT/...
READINGS WILL SHOOT UP INTO THE LOWER TO MID 80S ONCE AGAIN UNDER
SUNNY SKIES ON TUESDAY. 850 MB TEMPS WILL REACH +16C BY LATE IN
THE DAY. THERE WILL BE A DEEP MIXING LAYER AND A SOUTHWEST
GRADIENT INCREASING WITH TIME.

THIS GRADIENT...ALONG WITH INCREASING CLOUDS OVER NORTHERN
SECTIONS WILL LIMIT THE INLAND FOG TUESDAY NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
A ZONAL FLOW DEVELOPS WEDNESDAY AS THE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE
NORTHEAST BECOMES FLATTENED AS A S/WV AND ACCOMPANIED COLD FRONT MOVES
THROUGH THE RIDGE. A DOWNSLOPING FLOW AND WARM TEMPS ALOFT
EXPECTED WED...TEMPS WILL BECOME VERY MILD AND MAY APPROACH 90
DEGS IN SOME AREAS. A FEW WDLY SCT SHWRS MAY ACCOMPANY THE FRONT.
FOR THU AND FRI... A NWLY FLOW ALOFT WILL REDEVELOP LATER AS AN
UPPER LOW ONCE AGAIN BECOMES ANCHORED IN THE MARITIMES. THIS WILL
MEAN A RETURN TO COOLER TEMPS AND CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN DRY THU
AND FRI. BY THE WEEKEND THE PATTERN BECOMES PROGRESSIVE AND A SW
FLOW AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL ALLOW FOR WARMER AND MORE HUMID
WEATHER WITH THE RISK OF SOME CONVECTION EACH DAY OVER THE WEEKEND
AS A FRONTAL SYSTEM STALLS OVER THE AREA.

STAYED COSE TO THE SUPERBLEND MODELLING FOR POPS AND TEMPS.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
.SHORT TERM...VFR TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY...WITH AREAS OF IFR/LIFR
CEILINGS AND VSBY IN MORNING VALLEY FOG.

.LONG TERM...MAINLY VFR CONDS.

&&

.MARINE...
.SHORT TERM...
WAVES WILL RUN IN THE 3 TO 4 FOOT RANGE IN SOME
AREAS TODAY. HAVE ADJUSTED THE WAVE FORECAST UPWARDS FOR TONIGHT.
THERE IS MOSTLY AN 8 SECOND OR HIGHER PERIOD.

.LONG TERM...
WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SCA CRITERIA.
&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$




000
FXUS61 KGYX 251302
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
902 AM EDT MON AUG 25 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL HOLD OVER THE NORTHEAST TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE IN FROM THE NORTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY...BRING
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS...BUT NOT BEFORE WE SEE
ANOTHER WARM AND HUMID DAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN
FROM THE WEST THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...SHIFTING OFFSHORE BY SATURDAY.
A WARM FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT...AND COULD STALL
OVER THE REGION SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPDATE...
HAVE UPDATED THE GRIDS BASED ON CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOG CONTINUES
TO BURN OFF AND MIX OUT IN THE CT RIVER VALLEY. ELSEWHERE...MAINLY
CLEAR SKIES REMAIN WITH INCREASING HUMIDITY VALUES. HAVE ADJUSTED
DEW POINTS UPWARDS FOR THE REST OF TODAY. MADE SOME ADJUSTMENTS TO
THE MARINE FORECAST AS WELL (SEE BELOW).

PREV DISC...
HEAT AND HUMIDITY WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TODAY
AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES SOUTH OF THE AREA. EXPECT HIGHS IN MOST
AREAS TO REACH THE MID TO UPPER 80S. A DEVELOPING SEA BREEZE WILL
CAP TEMPS IN COASTAL AREAS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY/...
CLEAR AND MILD ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT WITH LOWS IN THE MID
50S NORTH AND UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S SOUTH.

HOT AND HUMID WEATHER CONTINUES ON TUESDAY UNDER MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES. HIGHS IN MOST LOCATIONS WILL REACH THE MID 80S TO NEAR 90.
AN AFTERNOON SEA BREEZE WILL ONCE AGAIN CAP TEMPS AT THE COAST IN
THE LOWER TO MID 80S.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
OVERALL...MODELS ARE TRENDING TOWARD A LESS AMPLIFIED FLOW ACROSS
THE CONUS...WITH DEVELOPING TROUGHING OVER ALASKA AND THE ERN
PACIFIC. THIS WOULD KEEP THE NERN CONUS WITH A TENDENCY TOWARD
RIDGING ALOFT BY LATE IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD...ALTHOUGH NOT
NECESSARILY A DRY RIDGE.

ON WED...SFC RIDGE BREAKS DOWN AS TROUGH AT 500 MB BEGIN TO DEEPEN
TO OUR WEST. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR SFC COLD FRONT TO APPROACH FROM
THE WEST...BUT NOT BEFORE 850MB TEMPS CLIMB TO 15-17C. THIS SHOULD
ALLOW FOR VERY WARM TEMPS ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OUTSIDE OF THE
MTNS...AS DECENT SW FLOW MIXES THESE AREAS OUT INTO THE MID TO
UPPER 80S...AND IT WILL BE HUMID WITH TDS IN THE LOW TO MID 60S.
MODELS ARE TRENDING TOWARD LIMITED PRECIP WITH THIS FRONT...AND
TIMING OF BEST DYNAMICS...WHICH STAY N...AND THE SFC FRONT NOT
GREAT...BUT MAY BE ENOUGH TO PRODUCE A LINE OF TSRA MOVING
ACROSS THE CWA WED AFTERNOON...GIVEN DECENT INSTABILITY /CAPES OF
1000-1500 J-KG/. THE CONVECTION COULD LINGER INTO EARLY EVE OVER
ERN ZONES BUT SHOULD CLEAR THE CWA LATE...WITH COOLER AIR MOVING
IN FOR THU....WHEN HIGHS WILL BE LIMITED TO THE 70S. THE TROUGH
DEEPENS TO OUR EAST...AND COULD SEE SOME CLOUDS SPILL BACK TO THE
WEST THU AS WELL.

BY FRI...500 MB RIDGING WILL BE BACK IN PLACE...WITH SEASONABLE
TEMPS. ON SAT...START TO SEE WAR AIR ADV DEVELOPING TO OUR
WEST...AND MODELS DISAGREEMENTS BEGIN TO SHOW UP WITH THE GFS
SHOWING WHAT LOOKS LIKE CONVECTIVE SYSTEM REMNANTS MOVING THROUGH
ON SAT...WHILE EURO HOLDS OFF ON THE THREAT OF PRECIP UNTIL
SUNDAY. WHILE BOTH MODELS ARE PROBABLY HAVING PROBLEMS WITH
CONVECTIVE SCALING AT THIS POINT...THEY BOTH SHOW WAA MOVING
THROUGH OVER THE WEEKEND AT SOME POINT...SO THE THREAT OF SHRA
WILL BE THERE ESPECIALLY SAT NIGHT INTO SUNDAY...BUT FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS LOW FOR THE WEEKEND INTO MONDAY AS FOR TIMING AND
EXTENT OF ANY SHRA/TSRA.

&&

.AVIATION /13Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY...WITH AREAS OF IFR/LIFR
CEILINGS AND VSBY IN MORNING VALLEY FOG.

LONG TERM...VLY FOG POSSIBLE TUE NIGHT AGAIN...WITH SOME TSRA
POSSIBLE ON WED AFTERNOON/EVE...OTHERWISE VFR THRU FRIDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...WAVES WILL RUN IN THE 3 TO 4 FOOT RANGE IN SOME AREAS
TODAY. HAVE ADJUSTED THE WAVE FORECAST UPWARDS FOR TODAY AND
TONIGHT. THERE IS MOSTLY AN 8 SECOND OR HIGHER PERIOD.

LONG TERM...SW FLOW INCREASES TUE NIGHT INTO WED AHEAD OF COLD
FRONT...AND ALTHOUGH WINDS WILL STAY BLO SCA LVLS...COULD SEE SEAS
APPROACH 5 FT BY WED. NW FLOW BEHIND THE FRONT SHOULD START BRING
THE SEAS DOWN BY THU.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$





000
FXUS61 KGYX 251302
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
902 AM EDT MON AUG 25 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL HOLD OVER THE NORTHEAST TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE IN FROM THE NORTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY...BRING
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS...BUT NOT BEFORE WE SEE
ANOTHER WARM AND HUMID DAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN
FROM THE WEST THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...SHIFTING OFFSHORE BY SATURDAY.
A WARM FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT...AND COULD STALL
OVER THE REGION SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPDATE...
HAVE UPDATED THE GRIDS BASED ON CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOG CONTINUES
TO BURN OFF AND MIX OUT IN THE CT RIVER VALLEY. ELSEWHERE...MAINLY
CLEAR SKIES REMAIN WITH INCREASING HUMIDITY VALUES. HAVE ADJUSTED
DEW POINTS UPWARDS FOR THE REST OF TODAY. MADE SOME ADJUSTMENTS TO
THE MARINE FORECAST AS WELL (SEE BELOW).

PREV DISC...
HEAT AND HUMIDITY WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TODAY
AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES SOUTH OF THE AREA. EXPECT HIGHS IN MOST
AREAS TO REACH THE MID TO UPPER 80S. A DEVELOPING SEA BREEZE WILL
CAP TEMPS IN COASTAL AREAS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY/...
CLEAR AND MILD ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT WITH LOWS IN THE MID
50S NORTH AND UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S SOUTH.

HOT AND HUMID WEATHER CONTINUES ON TUESDAY UNDER MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES. HIGHS IN MOST LOCATIONS WILL REACH THE MID 80S TO NEAR 90.
AN AFTERNOON SEA BREEZE WILL ONCE AGAIN CAP TEMPS AT THE COAST IN
THE LOWER TO MID 80S.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
OVERALL...MODELS ARE TRENDING TOWARD A LESS AMPLIFIED FLOW ACROSS
THE CONUS...WITH DEVELOPING TROUGHING OVER ALASKA AND THE ERN
PACIFIC. THIS WOULD KEEP THE NERN CONUS WITH A TENDENCY TOWARD
RIDGING ALOFT BY LATE IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD...ALTHOUGH NOT
NECESSARILY A DRY RIDGE.

ON WED...SFC RIDGE BREAKS DOWN AS TROUGH AT 500 MB BEGIN TO DEEPEN
TO OUR WEST. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR SFC COLD FRONT TO APPROACH FROM
THE WEST...BUT NOT BEFORE 850MB TEMPS CLIMB TO 15-17C. THIS SHOULD
ALLOW FOR VERY WARM TEMPS ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OUTSIDE OF THE
MTNS...AS DECENT SW FLOW MIXES THESE AREAS OUT INTO THE MID TO
UPPER 80S...AND IT WILL BE HUMID WITH TDS IN THE LOW TO MID 60S.
MODELS ARE TRENDING TOWARD LIMITED PRECIP WITH THIS FRONT...AND
TIMING OF BEST DYNAMICS...WHICH STAY N...AND THE SFC FRONT NOT
GREAT...BUT MAY BE ENOUGH TO PRODUCE A LINE OF TSRA MOVING
ACROSS THE CWA WED AFTERNOON...GIVEN DECENT INSTABILITY /CAPES OF
1000-1500 J-KG/. THE CONVECTION COULD LINGER INTO EARLY EVE OVER
ERN ZONES BUT SHOULD CLEAR THE CWA LATE...WITH COOLER AIR MOVING
IN FOR THU....WHEN HIGHS WILL BE LIMITED TO THE 70S. THE TROUGH
DEEPENS TO OUR EAST...AND COULD SEE SOME CLOUDS SPILL BACK TO THE
WEST THU AS WELL.

BY FRI...500 MB RIDGING WILL BE BACK IN PLACE...WITH SEASONABLE
TEMPS. ON SAT...START TO SEE WAR AIR ADV DEVELOPING TO OUR
WEST...AND MODELS DISAGREEMENTS BEGIN TO SHOW UP WITH THE GFS
SHOWING WHAT LOOKS LIKE CONVECTIVE SYSTEM REMNANTS MOVING THROUGH
ON SAT...WHILE EURO HOLDS OFF ON THE THREAT OF PRECIP UNTIL
SUNDAY. WHILE BOTH MODELS ARE PROBABLY HAVING PROBLEMS WITH
CONVECTIVE SCALING AT THIS POINT...THEY BOTH SHOW WAA MOVING
THROUGH OVER THE WEEKEND AT SOME POINT...SO THE THREAT OF SHRA
WILL BE THERE ESPECIALLY SAT NIGHT INTO SUNDAY...BUT FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS LOW FOR THE WEEKEND INTO MONDAY AS FOR TIMING AND
EXTENT OF ANY SHRA/TSRA.

&&

.AVIATION /13Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY...WITH AREAS OF IFR/LIFR
CEILINGS AND VSBY IN MORNING VALLEY FOG.

LONG TERM...VLY FOG POSSIBLE TUE NIGHT AGAIN...WITH SOME TSRA
POSSIBLE ON WED AFTERNOON/EVE...OTHERWISE VFR THRU FRIDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...WAVES WILL RUN IN THE 3 TO 4 FOOT RANGE IN SOME AREAS
TODAY. HAVE ADJUSTED THE WAVE FORECAST UPWARDS FOR TODAY AND
TONIGHT. THERE IS MOSTLY AN 8 SECOND OR HIGHER PERIOD.

LONG TERM...SW FLOW INCREASES TUE NIGHT INTO WED AHEAD OF COLD
FRONT...AND ALTHOUGH WINDS WILL STAY BLO SCA LVLS...COULD SEE SEAS
APPROACH 5 FT BY WED. NW FLOW BEHIND THE FRONT SHOULD START BRING
THE SEAS DOWN BY THU.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$




000
FXUS61 KGYX 250718
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
318 AM EDT MON AUG 25 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL HOLD OVER THE NORTHEAST TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE IN FROM THE NORTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY...BRING
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS...BUT NOT BEFORE WE SEE
ANOTHER WARM AND HUMID DAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN
FROM THE WEST THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...SHIFTING OFFSHORE BY SATURDAY.
A WARM FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT...AND COULD STALL
OVER THE REGION SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
HEAT AND HUMIDITY WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AS HIGH
PRESSURE SETTLES SOUTH OF THE AREA. EXPECT HIGHS IN MOST AREAS TO
REACH THE MID TO UPPER 80S. A DEVELOPING SEA BREEZE WILL CAP TEMPS
IN COASTAL AREAS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH 6 PM TUESDAY/...
CLEAR AND MILD ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT WITH LOWS IN THE MID
50S NORTH AND UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S SOUTH.

HOT AND HUMID WEATHER CONTINUES ON TUESDAY UNDER MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES. HIGHS IN MOST LOCATIONS WILL REACH THE MID 80S TO NEAR 90.
AN AFTERNOON SEA BREEZE WILL ONCE AGAIN CAP TEMPS AT THE COAST IN
THE LOWER TO MID 80S.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
OVERALL...MODELS ARE TRENDING TOWARD A LESS AMPLIFIED FLOW ACROSS
THE CONUS...WITH DEVELOPING TROUGHING OVER ALASKA AND THE ERN
PACIFIC. THIS WOULD KEEP THE NERN CONUS WITH A TENDENCY TOWARD
RIDGING ALOFT BY LATE IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD...ALTHOUGH NOT
NECESSARILY A DRY RIDGE.

ON WED...SFC RIDGE BREAKS DOWN AS TROUGH AT 500 MB BEGIN TO DEEPEN
TO OUR WEST. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR SFC COLD FRONT TO APPROACH FROM
THE WEST...BUT NOT BEFORE 850MB TEMPS CLIMB TO 15-17C. THIS SHOULD
ALLOW FOR VERY WARM TEMPS ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OUTSIDE OF THE
MTNS...AS DECENT SW FLOW MIXES THESE AREAS OUT INTO THE MID TO
UPPER 80S...AND IT WILL BE HUMID WITH TDS IN THE LOW TO MID 60S.
MODELS ARE TRENDING TOWARD LIMITED PRECIP WITH THIS FRONT...AND
TIMING OF BEST DYNAMICS...WHICH STAY N...AND THE SFC FRONT NOT
GREAT...BUT MAY BE ENOUGH TO PRODUCE A LINE OF TSRA MOVING
ACROSS THE CWA WED AFTERNOON...GIVEN DECENT INSTABILITY /CAPES OF
1000-1500 J-KG/. THE CONVECTION COULD LINGER INTO EARLY EVE OVER
ERN ZONES BUT SHOULD CLEAR THE CWA LATE...WITH COOLER AIR MOVING
IN FOR THU....WHEN HIGHS WILL BE LIMITED TO THE 70S. THE TROUGH
DEEPENS TO OUR EAST...AND COULD SEE SOME CLOUDS SPILL BACK TO THE
WEST THU AS WELL.

BY FRI...500 MB RIDGING WILL BE BACK IN PLACE...WITH SEASONABLE
TEMPS. ON SAT...START TO SEE WAR AIR ADV DEVELOPING TO OUR
WEST...AND MODELS DISAGREEMENTS BEGIN TO SHOW UP WITH THE GFS
SHOWING WHAT LOOKS LIKE CONVECTIVE SYSTEM REMNANTS MOVING THROUGH
ON SAT...WHILE EURO HOLDS OFF ON THE THREAT OF PRECIP UNTIL
SUNDAY. WHILE BOTH MODELS ARE PROBABLY HAVING PROBLEMS WITH
CONVECTIVE SCALING AT THIS POINT...THEY BOTH SHOW WAA MOVING
THROUGH OVER THE WEEKEND AT SOME POINT...SO THE THREAT OF SHRA
WILL BE THERE ESPECIALLY SAT NIGHT INTO SUNDAY...BUT FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS LOW FOR THE WEEKEND INTO MONDAY AS FOR TIMING AND
EXTENT OF ANY SHRA/TSRA.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY...WITH AREAS OF IFR/LIFR
CEILINGS AND VSBY IN MORNING VALLEY FOG.

LONG TERM...VLY FOG POSSIBLE TUE NIGHT AGAIN...WITH SOME TSRA
POSSIBLE ON WED AFTERNOON/EVE...OTHERWISE VFR THRU FRIDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...NO FLAGS.

LONG TERM...SW FLOW INCREASES TUE NIGHT INTO WED AHEAD OF COLD
FRONT...AND ALTHOUGH WINDS WILL STAY BLO SCA LVLS...COULD SEE SEAS
APPROACH 5 FT BY WED. NW FLOW BEHIND THE FRONT SHOULD START BRING
THE SEAS DOWN BY THU.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

LONG TERM...CEMPA





000
FXUS61 KGYX 250718
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
318 AM EDT MON AUG 25 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL HOLD OVER THE NORTHEAST TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE IN FROM THE NORTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY...BRING
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS...BUT NOT BEFORE WE SEE
ANOTHER WARM AND HUMID DAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN
FROM THE WEST THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...SHIFTING OFFSHORE BY SATURDAY.
A WARM FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT...AND COULD STALL
OVER THE REGION SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
HEAT AND HUMIDITY WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AS HIGH
PRESSURE SETTLES SOUTH OF THE AREA. EXPECT HIGHS IN MOST AREAS TO
REACH THE MID TO UPPER 80S. A DEVELOPING SEA BREEZE WILL CAP TEMPS
IN COASTAL AREAS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH 6 PM TUESDAY/...
CLEAR AND MILD ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT WITH LOWS IN THE MID
50S NORTH AND UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S SOUTH.

HOT AND HUMID WEATHER CONTINUES ON TUESDAY UNDER MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES. HIGHS IN MOST LOCATIONS WILL REACH THE MID 80S TO NEAR 90.
AN AFTERNOON SEA BREEZE WILL ONCE AGAIN CAP TEMPS AT THE COAST IN
THE LOWER TO MID 80S.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
OVERALL...MODELS ARE TRENDING TOWARD A LESS AMPLIFIED FLOW ACROSS
THE CONUS...WITH DEVELOPING TROUGHING OVER ALASKA AND THE ERN
PACIFIC. THIS WOULD KEEP THE NERN CONUS WITH A TENDENCY TOWARD
RIDGING ALOFT BY LATE IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD...ALTHOUGH NOT
NECESSARILY A DRY RIDGE.

ON WED...SFC RIDGE BREAKS DOWN AS TROUGH AT 500 MB BEGIN TO DEEPEN
TO OUR WEST. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR SFC COLD FRONT TO APPROACH FROM
THE WEST...BUT NOT BEFORE 850MB TEMPS CLIMB TO 15-17C. THIS SHOULD
ALLOW FOR VERY WARM TEMPS ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OUTSIDE OF THE
MTNS...AS DECENT SW FLOW MIXES THESE AREAS OUT INTO THE MID TO
UPPER 80S...AND IT WILL BE HUMID WITH TDS IN THE LOW TO MID 60S.
MODELS ARE TRENDING TOWARD LIMITED PRECIP WITH THIS FRONT...AND
TIMING OF BEST DYNAMICS...WHICH STAY N...AND THE SFC FRONT NOT
GREAT...BUT MAY BE ENOUGH TO PRODUCE A LINE OF TSRA MOVING
ACROSS THE CWA WED AFTERNOON...GIVEN DECENT INSTABILITY /CAPES OF
1000-1500 J-KG/. THE CONVECTION COULD LINGER INTO EARLY EVE OVER
ERN ZONES BUT SHOULD CLEAR THE CWA LATE...WITH COOLER AIR MOVING
IN FOR THU....WHEN HIGHS WILL BE LIMITED TO THE 70S. THE TROUGH
DEEPENS TO OUR EAST...AND COULD SEE SOME CLOUDS SPILL BACK TO THE
WEST THU AS WELL.

BY FRI...500 MB RIDGING WILL BE BACK IN PLACE...WITH SEASONABLE
TEMPS. ON SAT...START TO SEE WAR AIR ADV DEVELOPING TO OUR
WEST...AND MODELS DISAGREEMENTS BEGIN TO SHOW UP WITH THE GFS
SHOWING WHAT LOOKS LIKE CONVECTIVE SYSTEM REMNANTS MOVING THROUGH
ON SAT...WHILE EURO HOLDS OFF ON THE THREAT OF PRECIP UNTIL
SUNDAY. WHILE BOTH MODELS ARE PROBABLY HAVING PROBLEMS WITH
CONVECTIVE SCALING AT THIS POINT...THEY BOTH SHOW WAA MOVING
THROUGH OVER THE WEEKEND AT SOME POINT...SO THE THREAT OF SHRA
WILL BE THERE ESPECIALLY SAT NIGHT INTO SUNDAY...BUT FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS LOW FOR THE WEEKEND INTO MONDAY AS FOR TIMING AND
EXTENT OF ANY SHRA/TSRA.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY...WITH AREAS OF IFR/LIFR
CEILINGS AND VSBY IN MORNING VALLEY FOG.

LONG TERM...VLY FOG POSSIBLE TUE NIGHT AGAIN...WITH SOME TSRA
POSSIBLE ON WED AFTERNOON/EVE...OTHERWISE VFR THRU FRIDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...NO FLAGS.

LONG TERM...SW FLOW INCREASES TUE NIGHT INTO WED AHEAD OF COLD
FRONT...AND ALTHOUGH WINDS WILL STAY BLO SCA LVLS...COULD SEE SEAS
APPROACH 5 FT BY WED. NW FLOW BEHIND THE FRONT SHOULD START BRING
THE SEAS DOWN BY THU.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

LONG TERM...CEMPA




000
FXUS61 KGYX 250120
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
920 PM EDT SUN AUG 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL HOLD OVER NEW ENGLAND MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
A COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD TOWARDS THE REGION
THURSDAY...BEFORE REMAINING OVER NEW ENGLAND FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.
A SLOW MOVING FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/...
UPDATED TO RAISE SKY COVER ACROSS THE CT VALLEY INTO NRN NH
VALLEYS FOR AREAS OF DENSE FOG TO FORM OVERNIGHT. OTRW NO REAL
CHANGES AT THIS TIME. CLR OR MOSTLY CLR SKIES EXPECTED OUTSIDE OF
THE DEVELOPING FOG IN VALLEYS OVERNIGHT. LIGHT WINDS AND LACK OF
SKY COVER THIS EVENING WILL ALLOW A QUICK DROP IN TEMPS.
INCREASING MOISTURE WITHIN THE BOUNDARY LAYER NEAR THE SFC WILL
KEEP MIN TEMPS A FEW DEGREES WARMER THAN LAST NIGHT BUT ALSO
ALLOW FOG TO FORM IN PREFERRED VALLEYS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
ON MON H8 TEMPS CLIMB TO AROUND 15 C ACROSS THE AREA. FORECAST
SOUNDINGS INDICATE MIXING CLOSE TO THIS LEVEL DURING THE
AFTERNOON...WHICH SUPPORTS HIGH TEMPS IN THE MID 80S ACROSS THE
INTERIOR...AND LOW 80S IN THE NORTH COUNTRY. SEA BREEZES SHOULD
DEVELOP ALONG THE COAST AND CAP WARMTH SOMEWHAT HOWEVER.

HIGH PRES REMAINS IN CONTROL MON NIGHT...WITH MORE CLEAR SKIES AND
LIGHT WINDS. MORE VALLEY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE UNDER THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
A GRADUAL INCREASE IN WARMTH AND HUMIDITY WILL CONTINUE ON
TUESDAY TO BEGIN THE LONG RANGE PORTION OF THE FORECAST. IT WILL
CONTINUE TO BE A LITTLE COOLER ALONG THE COAST DUE TO AN ONSHORE
WIND...WITH 70S AS WELL IN THE MOUNTAINS.

BY WEDNESDAY...ALL MODELS WITHIN THE 12Z MODEL SUITE ARE NOW IN
GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE TIMING OF THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT
WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY EVENING. SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP
WITH THIS SYSTEM...WITH ISOLATED CONVECTION DURING THE AFTERNOON
AND EARLY EVENING HOURS.

ON THURSDAY...THE UPPER LEVEL IMPULSE WILL TRIGGER A COUPLE
SHOWERS OVER THE UPSLOPE FACING HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE MOUNTAINS.
ELSEWHERE IT WILL REMAIN DRY...BUT IT WILL ALSO FEEL QUITE A BIT
COOLER THAN THE EARLIER PORTION OF THE WEEK.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING DRY CONDITIONS TO THE REGION
INTO NEXT WEEKEND...ALONG WITH COOLER...BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

&&

.AVIATION /01Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...DIURNAL CU WITH BASES AROUND
5 KFT WILL DISSIPATE QUICKLY AFTER SUNSET. EXPECT ANOTHER ROUND OF
FOG WITH SFC RIDGE AXIS MOVING CLOSE TO THE HUDSON VALLEY. EXPECT
LOCALLY DENSE FOG IN THE LARGER RIVER VALLEYS ONCE AGAIN...WITH
LIFR CIGS/VSBYS MOST LIKELY AT KLEB AND KHIE...BUT ALSO FORMING IN
OTHER VALLEYS THAT WOULD IMPACT PLACES LIKE KCON. FOG WILL LIFT
AROUND 12Z...EXCEPT FOR KLEB WHICH MAY LINGER UNTIL NEAR 14Z...
SIMILAR TO THE TIMING OF THE FOG LIFTING THIS MORNING. DIURNAL CU
POSSIBLE AGAIN MON...BUT NO FLIGHT RESTRICTIONS ARE EXPECTED. SEA
BREEZES ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AT KPWM...KPSM...AND KRKD. ANOTHER
CLEAR NIGHT SHOULD PROMOTE MORE VALLEY FOG MON NIGHT.

LONG TERM...VFR EXCEPT AREAS OF IFR CONDITIONS DEVELOPING IN
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITH A FRONTAL PASSAGE
WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...
.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...UPDATED AGAIN TO
MAKE MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO THE FCST OVERNIGHT AND MONDAY BUT
OVERALL HIGH PRESSURE KEEPS WINDS AND SEAS WELL BELOW SCA
THRESHOLDS.

.LONG TERM...A FEW LONG PERIOD SWELLS WILL BE EXPECTED LATE IN THE
WEEK...BUT THESE WILL BE MINOR.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$





000
FXUS61 KGYX 250120
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
920 PM EDT SUN AUG 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL HOLD OVER NEW ENGLAND MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
A COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD TOWARDS THE REGION
THURSDAY...BEFORE REMAINING OVER NEW ENGLAND FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.
A SLOW MOVING FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/...
UPDATED TO RAISE SKY COVER ACROSS THE CT VALLEY INTO NRN NH
VALLEYS FOR AREAS OF DENSE FOG TO FORM OVERNIGHT. OTRW NO REAL
CHANGES AT THIS TIME. CLR OR MOSTLY CLR SKIES EXPECTED OUTSIDE OF
THE DEVELOPING FOG IN VALLEYS OVERNIGHT. LIGHT WINDS AND LACK OF
SKY COVER THIS EVENING WILL ALLOW A QUICK DROP IN TEMPS.
INCREASING MOISTURE WITHIN THE BOUNDARY LAYER NEAR THE SFC WILL
KEEP MIN TEMPS A FEW DEGREES WARMER THAN LAST NIGHT BUT ALSO
ALLOW FOG TO FORM IN PREFERRED VALLEYS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
ON MON H8 TEMPS CLIMB TO AROUND 15 C ACROSS THE AREA. FORECAST
SOUNDINGS INDICATE MIXING CLOSE TO THIS LEVEL DURING THE
AFTERNOON...WHICH SUPPORTS HIGH TEMPS IN THE MID 80S ACROSS THE
INTERIOR...AND LOW 80S IN THE NORTH COUNTRY. SEA BREEZES SHOULD
DEVELOP ALONG THE COAST AND CAP WARMTH SOMEWHAT HOWEVER.

HIGH PRES REMAINS IN CONTROL MON NIGHT...WITH MORE CLEAR SKIES AND
LIGHT WINDS. MORE VALLEY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE UNDER THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
A GRADUAL INCREASE IN WARMTH AND HUMIDITY WILL CONTINUE ON
TUESDAY TO BEGIN THE LONG RANGE PORTION OF THE FORECAST. IT WILL
CONTINUE TO BE A LITTLE COOLER ALONG THE COAST DUE TO AN ONSHORE
WIND...WITH 70S AS WELL IN THE MOUNTAINS.

BY WEDNESDAY...ALL MODELS WITHIN THE 12Z MODEL SUITE ARE NOW IN
GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE TIMING OF THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT
WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY EVENING. SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP
WITH THIS SYSTEM...WITH ISOLATED CONVECTION DURING THE AFTERNOON
AND EARLY EVENING HOURS.

ON THURSDAY...THE UPPER LEVEL IMPULSE WILL TRIGGER A COUPLE
SHOWERS OVER THE UPSLOPE FACING HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE MOUNTAINS.
ELSEWHERE IT WILL REMAIN DRY...BUT IT WILL ALSO FEEL QUITE A BIT
COOLER THAN THE EARLIER PORTION OF THE WEEK.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING DRY CONDITIONS TO THE REGION
INTO NEXT WEEKEND...ALONG WITH COOLER...BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

&&

.AVIATION /01Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...DIURNAL CU WITH BASES AROUND
5 KFT WILL DISSIPATE QUICKLY AFTER SUNSET. EXPECT ANOTHER ROUND OF
FOG WITH SFC RIDGE AXIS MOVING CLOSE TO THE HUDSON VALLEY. EXPECT
LOCALLY DENSE FOG IN THE LARGER RIVER VALLEYS ONCE AGAIN...WITH
LIFR CIGS/VSBYS MOST LIKELY AT KLEB AND KHIE...BUT ALSO FORMING IN
OTHER VALLEYS THAT WOULD IMPACT PLACES LIKE KCON. FOG WILL LIFT
AROUND 12Z...EXCEPT FOR KLEB WHICH MAY LINGER UNTIL NEAR 14Z...
SIMILAR TO THE TIMING OF THE FOG LIFTING THIS MORNING. DIURNAL CU
POSSIBLE AGAIN MON...BUT NO FLIGHT RESTRICTIONS ARE EXPECTED. SEA
BREEZES ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AT KPWM...KPSM...AND KRKD. ANOTHER
CLEAR NIGHT SHOULD PROMOTE MORE VALLEY FOG MON NIGHT.

LONG TERM...VFR EXCEPT AREAS OF IFR CONDITIONS DEVELOPING IN
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITH A FRONTAL PASSAGE
WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...
.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...UPDATED AGAIN TO
MAKE MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO THE FCST OVERNIGHT AND MONDAY BUT
OVERALL HIGH PRESSURE KEEPS WINDS AND SEAS WELL BELOW SCA
THRESHOLDS.

.LONG TERM...A FEW LONG PERIOD SWELLS WILL BE EXPECTED LATE IN THE
WEEK...BUT THESE WILL BE MINOR.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$




000
FXUS61 KGYX 242247
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
647 PM EDT SUN AUG 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL HOLD OVER NEW ENGLAND MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
A COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD TOWARDS THE REGION
THURSDAY...BEFORE REMAINING OVER NEW ENGLAND FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.
A SLOW MOVING FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/...
UPDATED TO LOWER SKY COVER MOST AREAS THRU THE NGT WITH CLR OR
MOSTLY CLR EXPECTED OUTSIDE OF DEVELOPING FOG IN VALLEYS
OVERNIGHT.

AFTER SUNSET CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS WILL PROMOTE A QUICK
DROP IN TEMPS. INCREASING MOISTURE WITHIN THE BOUNDARY LAYER WILL
KEEP MIN TEMPS A FEW DEGREES WARMER THAN LAST NIGHT HOWEVER.

SFC RIDGE AXIS MOVES CLOSER...AND THUS EXPECT ANOTHER ROUND OF
VALLEY FOG OVERNIGHT. AFTER MIDNIGHT IT WILL BE LOCALLY DENSE IN
THE LARGER RIVER VALLEYS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
ON MON H8 TEMPS CLIMB TO AROUND 15 C ACROSS THE AREA. FORECAST
SOUNDINGS INDICATE MIXING CLOSE TO THIS LEVEL DURING THE
AFTERNOON...WHICH SUPPORTS HIGH TEMPS IN THE MID 80S ACROSS THE
INTERIOR...AND LOW 80S IN THE NORTH COUNTRY. SEA BREEZES SHOULD
DEVELOP ALONG THE COAST AND CAP WARMTH SOMEWHAT HOWEVER.

HIGH PRES REMAINS IN CONTROL MON NIGHT...WITH MORE CLEAR SKIES AND
LIGHT WINDS. MORE VALLEY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE UNDER THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
A GRADUAL INCREASE IN WARMTH AND HUMIDITY WILL CONTINUE ON
TUESDAY TO BEGIN THE LONG RANGE PORTION OF THE FORECAST. IT WILL
CONTINUE TO BE A LITTLE COOLER ALONG THE COAST DUE TO AN ONSHORE
WIND...WITH 70S AS WELL IN THE MOUNTAINS.

BY WEDNESDAY...ALL MODELS WITHIN THE 12Z MODEL SUITE ARE NOW IN
GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE TIMING OF THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT
WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY EVENING. SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP
WITH THIS SYSTEM...WITH ISOLATED CONVECTION DURING THE AFTERNOON
AND EARLY EVENING HOURS.

ON THURSDAY...THE UPPER LEVEL IMPULSE WILL TRIGGER A COUPLE
SHOWERS OVER THE UPSLOPE FACING HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE MOUNTAINS.
ELSEWHERE IT WILL REMAIN DRY...BUT IT WILL ALSO FEEL QUITE A BIT
COOLER THAN THE EARLIER PORTION OF THE WEEK.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING DRY CONDITIONS TO THE REGION
INTO NEXT WEEKEND...ALONG WITH COOLER...BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...DIURNAL CU WITH BASES AROUND
5 KFT WILL DISSIPATE QUICKLY AFTER SUNSET. EXPECT ANOTHER ROUND OF
FOG WITH SFC RIDGE AXIS MOVING CLOSE TO THE HUDSON VALLEY. EXPECT
LOCALLY DENSE FOG IN THE LARGER RIVER VALLEYS ONCE AGAIN...WITH
LIFR CIGS/VSBYS MOST LIKELY AT KLEB AND KHIE...BUT ALSO FORMING IN
OTHER VALLEYS THAT WOULD IMPACT PLACES LIKE KCON. FOG WILL LIFT
AROUND 12Z...EXCEPT FOR KLEB WHICH MAY LINGER UNTIL NEAR 14Z...
SIMILAR TO THE TIMING OF THE FOG LIFTING THIS MORNING. DIURNAL CU
POSSIBLE AGAIN MON...BUT NO FLIGHT RESTRICTIONS ARE EXPECTED. SEA
BREEZES ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AT KPWM...KPSM...AND KRKD. ANOTHER
CLEAR NIGHT SHOULD PROMOTE MORE VALLEY FOG MON NIGHT.

LONG TERM...VFR EXCEPT AREAS OF IFR CONDITIONS DEVELOPING IN
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITH A FRONTAL PASSAGE
WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...
.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...UPDATED TO MAKE MINOR
ADJUSTMENTS TO THE FCST OVERNIGHT AND MONDAY BUT OVERALL HIGH
PRESSURE KEEPS WINDS AND SEAS WELL BELOW SCA THRESHOLDS.

.LONG TERM...A FEW LONG PERIOD SWELLS WILL BE EXPECTED LATE IN THE
WEEK...BUT THESE WILL BE MINOR.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$





000
FXUS61 KGYX 241846
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
246 PM EDT SUN AUG 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL HOLD OVER NEW ENGLAND MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
A COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD TOWARDS THE REGION
THURSDAY...BEFORE REMAINING OVER NEW ENGLAND FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.
A SLOW MOVING FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /TONIGHT/...
NOT MUCH TO SPEAK ABOUT IN THE SHORT TERM...WITH A NEARLY PERFECT
DAY IN PROGRESS. AFTER SUNSET CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS WILL
PROMOTE A QUICK DROP IN TEMPS. INCREASING MOISTURE WITHIN THE
BOUNDARY LAYER WILL KEEP MIN TEMPS A FEW DEGREES WARMER THAN LAST
NIGHT HOWEVER.

SFC RIDGE AXIS MOVES CLOSER...AND THUS EXPECT ANOTHER ROUND OF
VALLEY FOG OVERNIGHT. AFTER MIDNIGHT IT WILL BE LOCALLY DENSE IN
THE LARGER RIVER VALLEYS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT/...
ON MON H8 TEMPS CLIMB TO AROUND 15 C ACROSS THE AREA. FORECAST
SOUNDINGS INDICATE MIXING CLOSE TO THIS LEVEL DURING THE
AFTERNOON...WHICH SUPPORTS HIGH TEMPS IN THE MID 80S ACROSS THE
INTERIOR...AND LOW 80S IN THE NORTH COUNTRY. SEA BREEZES SHOULD
DEVELOP ALONG THE COAST AND CAP WARMTH SOMEWHAT HOWEVER.

HIGH PRES REMAINS IN CONTROL MON NIGHT...WITH MORE CLEAR SKIES AND
LIGHT WINDS. MORE VALLEY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE UNDER THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
A GRADUAL INCREASE IN WARMTH AND HUMIDITY WILL CONTINUE ON
TUESDAY TO BEGIN THE LONG RANGE PORTION OF THE FORECAST. IT WILL
CONTINUE TO BE A LITTLE COOLER ALONG THE COAST DUE TO AN ONSHORE
WIND...WITH 70S AS WELL IN THE MOUNTAINS.

BY WEDNESDAY...ALL MODELS WITHIN THE 12Z MODEL SUITE ARE NOW IN
GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE TIMING OF THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT
WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY EVENING. SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP
WITH THIS SYSTEM...WITH ISOLATED CONVECTION DURING THE AFTERNOON
AND EARLY EVENING HOURS.

ON THURSDAY...THE UPPER LEVEL IMPULSE WILL TRIGGER A COUPLE
SHOWERS OVER THE UPSLOPE FACING HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE MOUNTAINS.
ELSEWHERE IT WILL REMAIN DRY...BUT IT WILL ALSO FEEL QUITE A BIT
COOLER THAN THE EARLIER PORTION OF THE WEEK.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING DRY CONDITIONS TO THE REGION
INTO NEXT WEEKEND...ALONG WITH COOLER...BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
SHORT TERM...DIURNAL CU WITH BASES AROUND 5 KFT WILL DISSIPATE
QUICKLY AFTER SUNSET. EXPECT ANOTHER ROUND OF FOG WILL SFC RIDGE
AXIS MOVING CLOSE TO THE HUDSON VALLEY. EXPECT LOCALLY DENSE FOR
IN THE LARGER RIVER VALLEYS ONCE AGAIN...WITH LIFR CIGS/VSBYS MOST
LIKELY AT KLEB AND KHIE. FOG WILL LIFT AROUND 12Z...EXCEPT FOR
KLEB WHICH MAY LINGER UNTIL NEAR 14Z. DIURNAL CU POSSIBLE AGAIN
MON...BUT NO FLIGHT RESTRICTIONS ARE EXPECTED. SEA BREEZES ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AT KPWM...KPSM...AND KRKD. ANOTHER CLEAR
NIGHT SHOULD PROMOTE MORE VALLEY FOG MON NIGHT.

LONG TERM...VFR EXCEPT AREAS OF IFR CONDITIONS DEVELOPING IN
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITH A FRONTAL PASSAGE
WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...
.SHORT TERM...WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SCA THRESHOLDS.

.LONG TERM...A FEW LONG PERIOD SWELLS WILL BE EXPECTED LATE IN THE
WEEK...BUT THESE WILL BE MINOR.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

LEGRO/JC





000
FXUS61 KGYX 241846
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
246 PM EDT SUN AUG 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL HOLD OVER NEW ENGLAND MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
A COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD TOWARDS THE REGION
THURSDAY...BEFORE REMAINING OVER NEW ENGLAND FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.
A SLOW MOVING FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /TONIGHT/...
NOT MUCH TO SPEAK ABOUT IN THE SHORT TERM...WITH A NEARLY PERFECT
DAY IN PROGRESS. AFTER SUNSET CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS WILL
PROMOTE A QUICK DROP IN TEMPS. INCREASING MOISTURE WITHIN THE
BOUNDARY LAYER WILL KEEP MIN TEMPS A FEW DEGREES WARMER THAN LAST
NIGHT HOWEVER.

SFC RIDGE AXIS MOVES CLOSER...AND THUS EXPECT ANOTHER ROUND OF
VALLEY FOG OVERNIGHT. AFTER MIDNIGHT IT WILL BE LOCALLY DENSE IN
THE LARGER RIVER VALLEYS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT/...
ON MON H8 TEMPS CLIMB TO AROUND 15 C ACROSS THE AREA. FORECAST
SOUNDINGS INDICATE MIXING CLOSE TO THIS LEVEL DURING THE
AFTERNOON...WHICH SUPPORTS HIGH TEMPS IN THE MID 80S ACROSS THE
INTERIOR...AND LOW 80S IN THE NORTH COUNTRY. SEA BREEZES SHOULD
DEVELOP ALONG THE COAST AND CAP WARMTH SOMEWHAT HOWEVER.

HIGH PRES REMAINS IN CONTROL MON NIGHT...WITH MORE CLEAR SKIES AND
LIGHT WINDS. MORE VALLEY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE UNDER THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
A GRADUAL INCREASE IN WARMTH AND HUMIDITY WILL CONTINUE ON
TUESDAY TO BEGIN THE LONG RANGE PORTION OF THE FORECAST. IT WILL
CONTINUE TO BE A LITTLE COOLER ALONG THE COAST DUE TO AN ONSHORE
WIND...WITH 70S AS WELL IN THE MOUNTAINS.

BY WEDNESDAY...ALL MODELS WITHIN THE 12Z MODEL SUITE ARE NOW IN
GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE TIMING OF THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT
WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY EVENING. SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP
WITH THIS SYSTEM...WITH ISOLATED CONVECTION DURING THE AFTERNOON
AND EARLY EVENING HOURS.

ON THURSDAY...THE UPPER LEVEL IMPULSE WILL TRIGGER A COUPLE
SHOWERS OVER THE UPSLOPE FACING HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE MOUNTAINS.
ELSEWHERE IT WILL REMAIN DRY...BUT IT WILL ALSO FEEL QUITE A BIT
COOLER THAN THE EARLIER PORTION OF THE WEEK.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING DRY CONDITIONS TO THE REGION
INTO NEXT WEEKEND...ALONG WITH COOLER...BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
SHORT TERM...DIURNAL CU WITH BASES AROUND 5 KFT WILL DISSIPATE
QUICKLY AFTER SUNSET. EXPECT ANOTHER ROUND OF FOG WILL SFC RIDGE
AXIS MOVING CLOSE TO THE HUDSON VALLEY. EXPECT LOCALLY DENSE FOR
IN THE LARGER RIVER VALLEYS ONCE AGAIN...WITH LIFR CIGS/VSBYS MOST
LIKELY AT KLEB AND KHIE. FOG WILL LIFT AROUND 12Z...EXCEPT FOR
KLEB WHICH MAY LINGER UNTIL NEAR 14Z. DIURNAL CU POSSIBLE AGAIN
MON...BUT NO FLIGHT RESTRICTIONS ARE EXPECTED. SEA BREEZES ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AT KPWM...KPSM...AND KRKD. ANOTHER CLEAR
NIGHT SHOULD PROMOTE MORE VALLEY FOG MON NIGHT.

LONG TERM...VFR EXCEPT AREAS OF IFR CONDITIONS DEVELOPING IN
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITH A FRONTAL PASSAGE
WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...
.SHORT TERM...WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SCA THRESHOLDS.

.LONG TERM...A FEW LONG PERIOD SWELLS WILL BE EXPECTED LATE IN THE
WEEK...BUT THESE WILL BE MINOR.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

LEGRO/JC




000
FXUS61 KGYX 241405 AAA
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
1005 AM EDT SUN AUG 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL HOLD OVER NEW ENGLAND TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY. A
COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY
FOLLOWED BY A SECONDARY COLD FRONT ON THURSDAY WHICH WILL STALL
OVER THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT. LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK NORTHEAST
FROM THE GREAT LAKES ALONG THE BOUNDARY FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
UPDATE...MOSTLY MINOR CHANGES IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS TO ADJUST FOR
LATEST OBSERVATIONAL TRENDS. DID KNOCK BACK HIGH TEMPS A FEW
DEGREES BASED ON FORECAST MIXING AND 06Z MODEL TEMPS ALOFT. WAA
ALOFT THRU THE DAY AND MIXING TO NEAR H8 SUPPORTS HIGH TEMPS FOR
THE INTERIOR AROUND 80...FEEL THAT MID 80S WILL BE DIFFICULT TO DO
THIS AFTERNOON.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM MONDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE RELAXES SOMEWHAT AND SHIFTS SOUTH AND WEST OVERNIGHT
AS WEAK LOW PRESSURE MOVES ACROSS CANADA NORTH OF THE GREAT
LAKES... STEERED BY A WEAK SHORT WAVE. STILL EXPECTING MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS TO CONTRIBUTE TO GOOD RADIATIONAL
COOLING POTENTIAL. OVERNIGHT LOWS SHOULD DROP INTO THE 50S WITH A
FEW UPPER 40S POSSIBLE IN THE MOUNTAIN VALLEYS AND A FEW SPOTS
NEAR 60 POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST. PATCHY FOG WILL AGAIN BE
POSSIBLE AS DEW POINT DEPRESSIONS DROP.

AN EVEN WARMER DAY IS ON TAP FOR MONDAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE
SHIFTING OFFSHORE RESULTING IN SW WINDS OVER THE REGION. 850MB
READINGS WARM TO NEAR 15 DEGREES C OVER MUCH OF THE AREA...AND
MOST LOCATIONS WILL REACH THE MID 80S WITH SOUTHERN NH AND SW
MAINE MAKING A RUN INTO THE UPPER 80S. COASTAL LOCATIONS MAY BE A
BIT COOLER THANKS TO A SEA BREEZE.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE ANCHORED SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND WILL CONTINUE TO
PUMP WARM AND HUMID AIR INTO THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.
LOWS MONDAY NIGHT WILL BOTTOM OUT NEAR 60 AND HIGHS ON TUESDAY IN
THE LOWER TO MID 80S.

COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST TUESDAY NIGHT. MAY SEE
ENOUGH INSTABILITY CREEPING INTO NORTHERN ZONES TO KICK OFF A
SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM...BUT THE MAJORITY OF THE FORECAST AREA
WILL SEE A DRY NIGHT.

COLD FRONT WILL WILL SLOWLY SAG SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION WEDNESDAY
BEFORE STALLING ACROSS SOUTHERN ZONES WEDNESDAY NIGHT. WILL BE
ANOTHER HOT AND MUGGY DAY WITH HIGHS ONCE AGAIN IN THE LOWER TO
MID 80S. INCREASING SHEAR DURING THE DAY MAY RESULT IN SOME SEVERE
STORMS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.

STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL LIKELY BE THE FOCUS FOR OVERNIGHT
SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY NIGHT IN THE SOUTH. AT THE
SAME TIME SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST
BRINGING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BACK INTO NORTHERN ZONES BY
THURSDAY MORNING AND THIS BOUNDARY WILL PUSH SOUTH THROUGH THE
REGION ON THURSDAY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN BE LIKELY
SOME WHICH MAY BE SEVERE.

FRONTAL BOUNDARY FORECAST TO PUSH A LITTLE FARTHER SOUTH THURSDAY
NIGHT AS WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTH. EXPECT THIS
BOUNDARY TO LIFT NORTH ON FRIDAY AS LOW PRESSURE RIDES EAST FROM
THE GREAT LAKES ALONG IT. FORECAST CONFIDENCE HEADS SOUTH AT THIS
POINT AS MODELS DIVERGE BUT THE POTENTIAL IS THERE FOR A VERY WET
END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /14Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL WITH THE EXCEPTION OF
PATCHY DENSE MORNING FOG...MAINLY IN THE MOUNTAINS.

LONG TERM...VFR MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...NO PROBLEMS ARE NOTED OVER THE WATERS.

LONG TERM...NO PROBLEMS NOTED.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...LEGRO




000
FXUS61 KGYX 241405 AAA
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
1005 AM EDT SUN AUG 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL HOLD OVER NEW ENGLAND TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY. A
COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY
FOLLOWED BY A SECONDARY COLD FRONT ON THURSDAY WHICH WILL STALL
OVER THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT. LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK NORTHEAST
FROM THE GREAT LAKES ALONG THE BOUNDARY FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
UPDATE...MOSTLY MINOR CHANGES IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS TO ADJUST FOR
LATEST OBSERVATIONAL TRENDS. DID KNOCK BACK HIGH TEMPS A FEW
DEGREES BASED ON FORECAST MIXING AND 06Z MODEL TEMPS ALOFT. WAA
ALOFT THRU THE DAY AND MIXING TO NEAR H8 SUPPORTS HIGH TEMPS FOR
THE INTERIOR AROUND 80...FEEL THAT MID 80S WILL BE DIFFICULT TO DO
THIS AFTERNOON.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM MONDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE RELAXES SOMEWHAT AND SHIFTS SOUTH AND WEST OVERNIGHT
AS WEAK LOW PRESSURE MOVES ACROSS CANADA NORTH OF THE GREAT
LAKES... STEERED BY A WEAK SHORT WAVE. STILL EXPECTING MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS TO CONTRIBUTE TO GOOD RADIATIONAL
COOLING POTENTIAL. OVERNIGHT LOWS SHOULD DROP INTO THE 50S WITH A
FEW UPPER 40S POSSIBLE IN THE MOUNTAIN VALLEYS AND A FEW SPOTS
NEAR 60 POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST. PATCHY FOG WILL AGAIN BE
POSSIBLE AS DEW POINT DEPRESSIONS DROP.

AN EVEN WARMER DAY IS ON TAP FOR MONDAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE
SHIFTING OFFSHORE RESULTING IN SW WINDS OVER THE REGION. 850MB
READINGS WARM TO NEAR 15 DEGREES C OVER MUCH OF THE AREA...AND
MOST LOCATIONS WILL REACH THE MID 80S WITH SOUTHERN NH AND SW
MAINE MAKING A RUN INTO THE UPPER 80S. COASTAL LOCATIONS MAY BE A
BIT COOLER THANKS TO A SEA BREEZE.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE ANCHORED SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND WILL CONTINUE TO
PUMP WARM AND HUMID AIR INTO THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.
LOWS MONDAY NIGHT WILL BOTTOM OUT NEAR 60 AND HIGHS ON TUESDAY IN
THE LOWER TO MID 80S.

COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST TUESDAY NIGHT. MAY SEE
ENOUGH INSTABILITY CREEPING INTO NORTHERN ZONES TO KICK OFF A
SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM...BUT THE MAJORITY OF THE FORECAST AREA
WILL SEE A DRY NIGHT.

COLD FRONT WILL WILL SLOWLY SAG SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION WEDNESDAY
BEFORE STALLING ACROSS SOUTHERN ZONES WEDNESDAY NIGHT. WILL BE
ANOTHER HOT AND MUGGY DAY WITH HIGHS ONCE AGAIN IN THE LOWER TO
MID 80S. INCREASING SHEAR DURING THE DAY MAY RESULT IN SOME SEVERE
STORMS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.

STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL LIKELY BE THE FOCUS FOR OVERNIGHT
SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY NIGHT IN THE SOUTH. AT THE
SAME TIME SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST
BRINGING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BACK INTO NORTHERN ZONES BY
THURSDAY MORNING AND THIS BOUNDARY WILL PUSH SOUTH THROUGH THE
REGION ON THURSDAY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN BE LIKELY
SOME WHICH MAY BE SEVERE.

FRONTAL BOUNDARY FORECAST TO PUSH A LITTLE FARTHER SOUTH THURSDAY
NIGHT AS WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTH. EXPECT THIS
BOUNDARY TO LIFT NORTH ON FRIDAY AS LOW PRESSURE RIDES EAST FROM
THE GREAT LAKES ALONG IT. FORECAST CONFIDENCE HEADS SOUTH AT THIS
POINT AS MODELS DIVERGE BUT THE POTENTIAL IS THERE FOR A VERY WET
END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /14Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL WITH THE EXCEPTION OF
PATCHY DENSE MORNING FOG...MAINLY IN THE MOUNTAINS.

LONG TERM...VFR MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...NO PROBLEMS ARE NOTED OVER THE WATERS.

LONG TERM...NO PROBLEMS NOTED.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...LEGRO





    US Dept of Commerce
    National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
    National Weather Service
    1325 East West Highway
    Silver Spring, MD 20910
    Page Author: NWS Internet Services Team
Disclaimer
Information Quality
Credits
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities