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000
FXUS61 KGYX 060328 AAC
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
1028 PM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST ON SATURDAY
AND WILL CROSS THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHWEST SUNDAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL CROSS
THE REGION ON MONDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION ON
TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON
WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
UPDATE...CLOUDS HAVE ALL BUT EXITED THE COAST NOW...ALLOWING
TYPICAL COLD SPOTS TO REALLY BEGIN TO TUMBLE. KIZG HAS DROPPED 8
DEGREES IN THE LAST HOUR ALONE. HAVE ADJUSTED TEMPS IN THE NEAR
TERM TO MATCH THESE TRENDS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD IN
ACROSS THE AREA ALONG WITH COLD AIR ADVECTION...WHICH HAS BEEN
DROPPING OUR TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT THE DAY. MID TO UPPER LEVEL
CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTH THIS EVENING AND MOST AREAS
SHOULD BECOME FAIRLY CLEAR BY MIDNIGHT WITH THE EXCEPTION OF MAYBE
SOUTHERN CHESHIRE AND HILLSBOROUGH COUNTIES IN NEW HAMPSHIRE. THE
NORTHERN CWA SHOULD BE ABLE TO RADIATE MOST EFFICIENTLY TONIGHT AS
CLOUDS MOVE OUT OF THERE FIRST AND THE BOUNDARY LAYER DECOUPLES
WITH USUAL COLD SPOTS ACROSS DROPPING POSSIBLY BETWEEN 15 AND 20
BELOW ZERO.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVERHEAD TOMORROW...AND ALTHOUGH WE WILL
START OFF QUITE COLD...THE STRONG MARCH SUNSHINE SHOULD CREATE
QUITE A LARGE DIURNAL SWING AS TEMPERATURES COULD CLIMB 25-30
DEGREES IN SOME SPOTS DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS. A WEAK WAVE WILL
APPROACH FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING AND THIS WILL INCREASE
CLOUDS TOMORROW NIGHT AND BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SNOW SHOWER
IN THE MOUNTAINS BY SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON
SATURDAY AS A WEAK COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE
NORTHWEST. THE DAY WILL FEATURE VARIABLE CLOUDS
WITH A STRAY SNOW SHOWER POSSIBLE IN NORTHERN SECTIONS.
HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 20S NORTH TO THE LOWER
30S SOUTH.

COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT.
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL
GIVE WAY TO PARTIAL CLEARING AFTER MIDNIGHT DOWNWIND
OF THE MOUNTAINS. ELSEWHERE SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY
CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
NORTH. LOWS WILL ONCE AGAIN FALL TO BELOW NORMAL
LEVELS WITH READINGS BY EARLY SATURDAY OF 5 TO 15
NORTH AND IN THE TEENS SOUTH.

WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTHWEST ON SUNDAY.
LINGERING FRONTAL TROUGH WILL KEEP VARIABLE CLOUDINESS ACROSS
THE REGION FOR MOST OF THE DAY. HIGH TEMPS WILL RANGE FROM
THE MID 20S TO MID 30S.

WEAK LOW PRESSURE CROSSING SOUTHERN CANADA SUNDAY NIGHT WILL
DRIVE A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION MONDAY BRINGING JUST A
GLANCING BLOW OF COOLER AIR MAINLY INTO NORTHERN ZONES. EXPECT
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH JUST A CHANCE OF A SNOW SHOWER. HIGH
WILL RANGE THROUGH THE 30S.

SHALLOW RIDGE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL BRING CLEARING SKIES
MONDAY EVENING ALTHOUGH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL KEEP CLOUDS IN
THE NORTH. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL RANGE THROUGH THE TEENS TO NEAR 20.

HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS OFFSHORE ON TUESDAY AND RETURN FLOW WILL BRING
WARMER AIR BACK INTO THE AREA. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES IN
NORTHERN SECTIONS CLOSER TO THE WARM FRONT. WILL LIKELY ALSO
INCLUDE SOME LOW CHANCE POPS FOR SNOW SHOWERS BUT MOST OF THIS
ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN NORTH OF THE BORDER. HIGH TEMPS WILL
FINALLY TOP OUT NEAR NORMAL WITH MID 30S NORTH TO LOWER 40S SOUTH.

WARMER WEATHER WILL CONTINUE ON WEDNESDAY AS ANOTHER AREA OF HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES
TO PERSIST IN THE NORTH WITH A CHANCE OF A RAIN OR SNOW SHOWER IN
THE AFTERNOON AS ANOTHER WARM FRONT PUSHES THROUGH SOUTHERN
CANADA. PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WILL PREVAIL IN THE SOUTH.
HIGHS WILL REACH THE LOWER TO MID 40S IN MOST LOCATIONS.

COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION ON THURSDAY. SHOULD SEE ONE MORE WARM
DAY AS COLD AIR LAGS BEHIND THE FRONT. LOOKING FOR LITTLE IF ANY
SHOWER ACTIVITY WITH THE FROPA. HIGHS WILL TOP OUT NEAR 40 BEFORE
DROPPING BACK LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.AVIATION /04Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE ENTIRE PERIOD
WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD.

LONG TERM...VFR SATURDAY. AREAS MVFR CEILINGS/VSBY SATURDAY NIGHT
AND SUNDAY. VFR MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SCAS WILL CONTINUE WITH SOME GUSTY WINDS BEHIND COLD
FRONT. COLD AIR ALONG WITH THE GUSTY WINDS WILL MAKE IT FAVORABLE
FOR FREEZING SPRAY ACROSS ALL AREAS TONIGHT THROUGH TOMORROW
MORNING.

LONG TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED LATE MONDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150-152-154.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...LEGRO




000
FXUS61 KGYX 060328 AAC
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
1028 PM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST ON SATURDAY
AND WILL CROSS THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHWEST SUNDAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL CROSS
THE REGION ON MONDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION ON
TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON
WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
UPDATE...CLOUDS HAVE ALL BUT EXITED THE COAST NOW...ALLOWING
TYPICAL COLD SPOTS TO REALLY BEGIN TO TUMBLE. KIZG HAS DROPPED 8
DEGREES IN THE LAST HOUR ALONE. HAVE ADJUSTED TEMPS IN THE NEAR
TERM TO MATCH THESE TRENDS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD IN
ACROSS THE AREA ALONG WITH COLD AIR ADVECTION...WHICH HAS BEEN
DROPPING OUR TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT THE DAY. MID TO UPPER LEVEL
CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTH THIS EVENING AND MOST AREAS
SHOULD BECOME FAIRLY CLEAR BY MIDNIGHT WITH THE EXCEPTION OF MAYBE
SOUTHERN CHESHIRE AND HILLSBOROUGH COUNTIES IN NEW HAMPSHIRE. THE
NORTHERN CWA SHOULD BE ABLE TO RADIATE MOST EFFICIENTLY TONIGHT AS
CLOUDS MOVE OUT OF THERE FIRST AND THE BOUNDARY LAYER DECOUPLES
WITH USUAL COLD SPOTS ACROSS DROPPING POSSIBLY BETWEEN 15 AND 20
BELOW ZERO.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVERHEAD TOMORROW...AND ALTHOUGH WE WILL
START OFF QUITE COLD...THE STRONG MARCH SUNSHINE SHOULD CREATE
QUITE A LARGE DIURNAL SWING AS TEMPERATURES COULD CLIMB 25-30
DEGREES IN SOME SPOTS DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS. A WEAK WAVE WILL
APPROACH FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING AND THIS WILL INCREASE
CLOUDS TOMORROW NIGHT AND BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SNOW SHOWER
IN THE MOUNTAINS BY SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON
SATURDAY AS A WEAK COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE
NORTHWEST. THE DAY WILL FEATURE VARIABLE CLOUDS
WITH A STRAY SNOW SHOWER POSSIBLE IN NORTHERN SECTIONS.
HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 20S NORTH TO THE LOWER
30S SOUTH.

COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT.
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL
GIVE WAY TO PARTIAL CLEARING AFTER MIDNIGHT DOWNWIND
OF THE MOUNTAINS. ELSEWHERE SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY
CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
NORTH. LOWS WILL ONCE AGAIN FALL TO BELOW NORMAL
LEVELS WITH READINGS BY EARLY SATURDAY OF 5 TO 15
NORTH AND IN THE TEENS SOUTH.

WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTHWEST ON SUNDAY.
LINGERING FRONTAL TROUGH WILL KEEP VARIABLE CLOUDINESS ACROSS
THE REGION FOR MOST OF THE DAY. HIGH TEMPS WILL RANGE FROM
THE MID 20S TO MID 30S.

WEAK LOW PRESSURE CROSSING SOUTHERN CANADA SUNDAY NIGHT WILL
DRIVE A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION MONDAY BRINGING JUST A
GLANCING BLOW OF COOLER AIR MAINLY INTO NORTHERN ZONES. EXPECT
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH JUST A CHANCE OF A SNOW SHOWER. HIGH
WILL RANGE THROUGH THE 30S.

SHALLOW RIDGE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL BRING CLEARING SKIES
MONDAY EVENING ALTHOUGH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL KEEP CLOUDS IN
THE NORTH. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL RANGE THROUGH THE TEENS TO NEAR 20.

HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS OFFSHORE ON TUESDAY AND RETURN FLOW WILL BRING
WARMER AIR BACK INTO THE AREA. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES IN
NORTHERN SECTIONS CLOSER TO THE WARM FRONT. WILL LIKELY ALSO
INCLUDE SOME LOW CHANCE POPS FOR SNOW SHOWERS BUT MOST OF THIS
ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN NORTH OF THE BORDER. HIGH TEMPS WILL
FINALLY TOP OUT NEAR NORMAL WITH MID 30S NORTH TO LOWER 40S SOUTH.

WARMER WEATHER WILL CONTINUE ON WEDNESDAY AS ANOTHER AREA OF HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES
TO PERSIST IN THE NORTH WITH A CHANCE OF A RAIN OR SNOW SHOWER IN
THE AFTERNOON AS ANOTHER WARM FRONT PUSHES THROUGH SOUTHERN
CANADA. PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WILL PREVAIL IN THE SOUTH.
HIGHS WILL REACH THE LOWER TO MID 40S IN MOST LOCATIONS.

COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION ON THURSDAY. SHOULD SEE ONE MORE WARM
DAY AS COLD AIR LAGS BEHIND THE FRONT. LOOKING FOR LITTLE IF ANY
SHOWER ACTIVITY WITH THE FROPA. HIGHS WILL TOP OUT NEAR 40 BEFORE
DROPPING BACK LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.AVIATION /04Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE ENTIRE PERIOD
WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD.

LONG TERM...VFR SATURDAY. AREAS MVFR CEILINGS/VSBY SATURDAY NIGHT
AND SUNDAY. VFR MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SCAS WILL CONTINUE WITH SOME GUSTY WINDS BEHIND COLD
FRONT. COLD AIR ALONG WITH THE GUSTY WINDS WILL MAKE IT FAVORABLE
FOR FREEZING SPRAY ACROSS ALL AREAS TONIGHT THROUGH TOMORROW
MORNING.

LONG TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED LATE MONDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150-152-154.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...LEGRO





000
FXUS61 KGYX 060130 AAB
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
830 PM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST ON SATURDAY
AND WILL CROSS THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHWEST SUNDAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL CROSS
THE REGION ON MONDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION ON
TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON
WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
UPDATE...CLEARING HAS MOVED INTO ALL BUT THE COAST AND SRN NH AT
THIS HOUR. TEMPS ACROSS THE NRN VALLEYS ARE APPROACHING...IF
NOT ALREADY BELOW ZERO. HAVE TWEAKED HOURLY TEMPS THRU MIDNIGHT TO
ACCOUNT FOR LATEST OBSERVATIONAL TRENDS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD IN
ACROSS THE AREA ALONG WITH COLD AIR ADVECTION...WHICH HAS BEEN
DROPPING OUR TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT THE DAY. MID TO UPPER LEVEL
CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTH THIS EVENING AND MOST AREAS
SHOULD BECOME FAIRLY CLEAR BY MIDNIGHT WITH THE EXCEPTION OF MAYBE
SOUTHERN CHESHIRE AND HILLSBOROUGH COUNTIES IN NEW HAMPSHIRE. THE
NORTHERN CWA SHOULD BE ABLE TO RADIATE MOST EFFICIENTLY TONIGHT AS
CLOUDS MOVE OUT OF THERE FIRST AND THE BOUNDARY LAYER DECOUPLES
WITH USUAL COLD SPOTS ACROSS DROPPING POSSIBLY BETWEEN 15 AND 20
BELOW ZERO.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVERHEAD TOMORROW...AND ALTHOUGH WE WILL
START OFF QUITE COLD...THE STRONG MARCH SUNSHINE SHOULD CREATE
QUITE A LARGE DIURNAL SWING AS TEMPERATURES COULD CLIMB 25-30
DEGREES IN SOME SPOTS DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS. A WEAK WAVE WILL
APPROACH FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING AND THIS WILL INCREASE
CLOUDS TOMORROW NIGHT AND BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SNOW SHOWER
IN THE MOUNTAINS BY SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON
SATURDAY AS A WEAK COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE
NORTHWEST. THE DAY WILL FEATURE VARIABLE CLOUDS
WITH A STRAY SNOW SHOWER POSSIBLE IN NORTHERN SECTIONS.
HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 20S NORTH TO THE LOWER
30S SOUTH.

COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT.
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL
GIVE WAY TO PARTIAL CLEARING AFTER MIDNIGHT DOWNWIND
OF THE MOUNTAINS. ELSEWHERE SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY
CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
NORTH. LOWS WILL ONCE AGAIN FALL TO BELOW NORMAL
LEVELS WITH READINGS BY EARLY SATURDAY OF 5 TO 15
NORTH AND IN THE TEENS SOUTH.

WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTHWEST ON SUNDAY.
LINGERING FRONTAL TROUGH WILL KEEP VARIABLE CLOUDINESS ACROSS
THE REGION FOR MOST OF THE DAY. HIGH TEMPS WILL RANGE FROM
THE MID 20S TO MID 30S.

WEAK LOW PRESSURE CROSSING SOUTHERN CANADA SUNDAY NIGHT WILL
DRIVE A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION MONDAY BRINGING JUST A
GLANCING BLOW OF COOLER AIR MAINLY INTO NORTHERN ZONES. EXPECT
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH JUST A CHANCE OF A SNOW SHOWER. HIGH
WILL RANGE THROUGH THE 30S.

SHALLOW RIDGE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL BRING CLEARING SKIES
MONDAY EVENING ALTHOUGH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL KEEP CLOUDS IN
THE NORTH. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL RANGE THROUGH THE TEENS TO NEAR 20.

HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS OFFSHORE ON TUESDAY AND RETURN FLOW WILL BRING
WARMER AIR BACK INTO THE AREA. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES IN
NORTHERN SECTIONS CLOSER TO THE WARM FRONT. WILL LIKELY ALSO
INCLUDE SOME LOW CHANCE POPS FOR SNOW SHOWERS BUT MOST OF THIS
ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN NORTH OF THE BORDER. HIGH TEMPS WILL
FINALLY TOP OUT NEAR NORMAL WITH MID 30S NORTH TO LOWER 40S SOUTH.

WARMER WEATHER WILL CONTINUE ON WEDNESDAY AS ANOTHER AREA OF HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES
TO PERSIST IN THE NORTH WITH A CHANCE OF A RAIN OR SNOW SHOWER IN
THE AFTERNOON AS ANOTHER WARM FRONT PUSHES THROUGH SOUTHERN
CANADA. PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WILL PREVAIL IN THE SOUTH.
HIGHS WILL REACH THE LOWER TO MID 40S IN MOST LOCATIONS.

COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION ON THURSDAY. SHOULD SEE ONE MORE WARM
DAY AS COLD AIR LAGS BEHIND THE FRONT. LOOKING FOR LITTLE IF ANY
SHOWER ACTIVITY WITH THE FROPA. HIGHS WILL TOP OUT NEAR 40 BEFORE
DROPPING BACK LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE ENTIRE PERIOD
WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD.

LONG TERM...VFR SATURDAY. AREAS MVFR CEILINGS/VSBY SATURDAY NIGHT
AND SUNDAY. VFR MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SCAS WILL CONTINUE WITH SOME GUSTY WINDS BEHIND COLD
FRONT. COLD AIR ALONG WITH THE GUSTY WINDS WILL MAKE IT FAVORABLE
FOR FREEZING SPRAY ACROSS ALL AREAS TONIGHT THROUGH TOMORROW
MORNING.

LONG TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED LATE MONDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150-152-154.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...LEGRO





000
FXUS61 KGYX 060130 AAB
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
830 PM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST ON SATURDAY
AND WILL CROSS THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHWEST SUNDAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL CROSS
THE REGION ON MONDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION ON
TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON
WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
UPDATE...CLEARING HAS MOVED INTO ALL BUT THE COAST AND SRN NH AT
THIS HOUR. TEMPS ACROSS THE NRN VALLEYS ARE APPROACHING...IF
NOT ALREADY BELOW ZERO. HAVE TWEAKED HOURLY TEMPS THRU MIDNIGHT TO
ACCOUNT FOR LATEST OBSERVATIONAL TRENDS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD IN
ACROSS THE AREA ALONG WITH COLD AIR ADVECTION...WHICH HAS BEEN
DROPPING OUR TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT THE DAY. MID TO UPPER LEVEL
CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTH THIS EVENING AND MOST AREAS
SHOULD BECOME FAIRLY CLEAR BY MIDNIGHT WITH THE EXCEPTION OF MAYBE
SOUTHERN CHESHIRE AND HILLSBOROUGH COUNTIES IN NEW HAMPSHIRE. THE
NORTHERN CWA SHOULD BE ABLE TO RADIATE MOST EFFICIENTLY TONIGHT AS
CLOUDS MOVE OUT OF THERE FIRST AND THE BOUNDARY LAYER DECOUPLES
WITH USUAL COLD SPOTS ACROSS DROPPING POSSIBLY BETWEEN 15 AND 20
BELOW ZERO.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVERHEAD TOMORROW...AND ALTHOUGH WE WILL
START OFF QUITE COLD...THE STRONG MARCH SUNSHINE SHOULD CREATE
QUITE A LARGE DIURNAL SWING AS TEMPERATURES COULD CLIMB 25-30
DEGREES IN SOME SPOTS DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS. A WEAK WAVE WILL
APPROACH FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING AND THIS WILL INCREASE
CLOUDS TOMORROW NIGHT AND BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SNOW SHOWER
IN THE MOUNTAINS BY SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON
SATURDAY AS A WEAK COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE
NORTHWEST. THE DAY WILL FEATURE VARIABLE CLOUDS
WITH A STRAY SNOW SHOWER POSSIBLE IN NORTHERN SECTIONS.
HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 20S NORTH TO THE LOWER
30S SOUTH.

COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT.
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL
GIVE WAY TO PARTIAL CLEARING AFTER MIDNIGHT DOWNWIND
OF THE MOUNTAINS. ELSEWHERE SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY
CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
NORTH. LOWS WILL ONCE AGAIN FALL TO BELOW NORMAL
LEVELS WITH READINGS BY EARLY SATURDAY OF 5 TO 15
NORTH AND IN THE TEENS SOUTH.

WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTHWEST ON SUNDAY.
LINGERING FRONTAL TROUGH WILL KEEP VARIABLE CLOUDINESS ACROSS
THE REGION FOR MOST OF THE DAY. HIGH TEMPS WILL RANGE FROM
THE MID 20S TO MID 30S.

WEAK LOW PRESSURE CROSSING SOUTHERN CANADA SUNDAY NIGHT WILL
DRIVE A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION MONDAY BRINGING JUST A
GLANCING BLOW OF COOLER AIR MAINLY INTO NORTHERN ZONES. EXPECT
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH JUST A CHANCE OF A SNOW SHOWER. HIGH
WILL RANGE THROUGH THE 30S.

SHALLOW RIDGE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL BRING CLEARING SKIES
MONDAY EVENING ALTHOUGH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL KEEP CLOUDS IN
THE NORTH. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL RANGE THROUGH THE TEENS TO NEAR 20.

HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS OFFSHORE ON TUESDAY AND RETURN FLOW WILL BRING
WARMER AIR BACK INTO THE AREA. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES IN
NORTHERN SECTIONS CLOSER TO THE WARM FRONT. WILL LIKELY ALSO
INCLUDE SOME LOW CHANCE POPS FOR SNOW SHOWERS BUT MOST OF THIS
ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN NORTH OF THE BORDER. HIGH TEMPS WILL
FINALLY TOP OUT NEAR NORMAL WITH MID 30S NORTH TO LOWER 40S SOUTH.

WARMER WEATHER WILL CONTINUE ON WEDNESDAY AS ANOTHER AREA OF HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES
TO PERSIST IN THE NORTH WITH A CHANCE OF A RAIN OR SNOW SHOWER IN
THE AFTERNOON AS ANOTHER WARM FRONT PUSHES THROUGH SOUTHERN
CANADA. PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WILL PREVAIL IN THE SOUTH.
HIGHS WILL REACH THE LOWER TO MID 40S IN MOST LOCATIONS.

COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION ON THURSDAY. SHOULD SEE ONE MORE WARM
DAY AS COLD AIR LAGS BEHIND THE FRONT. LOOKING FOR LITTLE IF ANY
SHOWER ACTIVITY WITH THE FROPA. HIGHS WILL TOP OUT NEAR 40 BEFORE
DROPPING BACK LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE ENTIRE PERIOD
WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD.

LONG TERM...VFR SATURDAY. AREAS MVFR CEILINGS/VSBY SATURDAY NIGHT
AND SUNDAY. VFR MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SCAS WILL CONTINUE WITH SOME GUSTY WINDS BEHIND COLD
FRONT. COLD AIR ALONG WITH THE GUSTY WINDS WILL MAKE IT FAVORABLE
FOR FREEZING SPRAY ACROSS ALL AREAS TONIGHT THROUGH TOMORROW
MORNING.

LONG TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED LATE MONDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150-152-154.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...LEGRO




000
FXUS61 KGYX 060130 AAB
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
830 PM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST ON SATURDAY
AND WILL CROSS THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHWEST SUNDAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL CROSS
THE REGION ON MONDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION ON
TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON
WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
UPDATE...CLEARING HAS MOVED INTO ALL BUT THE COAST AND SRN NH AT
THIS HOUR. TEMPS ACROSS THE NRN VALLEYS ARE APPROACHING...IF
NOT ALREADY BELOW ZERO. HAVE TWEAKED HOURLY TEMPS THRU MIDNIGHT TO
ACCOUNT FOR LATEST OBSERVATIONAL TRENDS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD IN
ACROSS THE AREA ALONG WITH COLD AIR ADVECTION...WHICH HAS BEEN
DROPPING OUR TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT THE DAY. MID TO UPPER LEVEL
CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTH THIS EVENING AND MOST AREAS
SHOULD BECOME FAIRLY CLEAR BY MIDNIGHT WITH THE EXCEPTION OF MAYBE
SOUTHERN CHESHIRE AND HILLSBOROUGH COUNTIES IN NEW HAMPSHIRE. THE
NORTHERN CWA SHOULD BE ABLE TO RADIATE MOST EFFICIENTLY TONIGHT AS
CLOUDS MOVE OUT OF THERE FIRST AND THE BOUNDARY LAYER DECOUPLES
WITH USUAL COLD SPOTS ACROSS DROPPING POSSIBLY BETWEEN 15 AND 20
BELOW ZERO.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVERHEAD TOMORROW...AND ALTHOUGH WE WILL
START OFF QUITE COLD...THE STRONG MARCH SUNSHINE SHOULD CREATE
QUITE A LARGE DIURNAL SWING AS TEMPERATURES COULD CLIMB 25-30
DEGREES IN SOME SPOTS DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS. A WEAK WAVE WILL
APPROACH FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING AND THIS WILL INCREASE
CLOUDS TOMORROW NIGHT AND BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SNOW SHOWER
IN THE MOUNTAINS BY SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON
SATURDAY AS A WEAK COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE
NORTHWEST. THE DAY WILL FEATURE VARIABLE CLOUDS
WITH A STRAY SNOW SHOWER POSSIBLE IN NORTHERN SECTIONS.
HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 20S NORTH TO THE LOWER
30S SOUTH.

COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT.
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL
GIVE WAY TO PARTIAL CLEARING AFTER MIDNIGHT DOWNWIND
OF THE MOUNTAINS. ELSEWHERE SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY
CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
NORTH. LOWS WILL ONCE AGAIN FALL TO BELOW NORMAL
LEVELS WITH READINGS BY EARLY SATURDAY OF 5 TO 15
NORTH AND IN THE TEENS SOUTH.

WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTHWEST ON SUNDAY.
LINGERING FRONTAL TROUGH WILL KEEP VARIABLE CLOUDINESS ACROSS
THE REGION FOR MOST OF THE DAY. HIGH TEMPS WILL RANGE FROM
THE MID 20S TO MID 30S.

WEAK LOW PRESSURE CROSSING SOUTHERN CANADA SUNDAY NIGHT WILL
DRIVE A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION MONDAY BRINGING JUST A
GLANCING BLOW OF COOLER AIR MAINLY INTO NORTHERN ZONES. EXPECT
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH JUST A CHANCE OF A SNOW SHOWER. HIGH
WILL RANGE THROUGH THE 30S.

SHALLOW RIDGE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL BRING CLEARING SKIES
MONDAY EVENING ALTHOUGH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL KEEP CLOUDS IN
THE NORTH. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL RANGE THROUGH THE TEENS TO NEAR 20.

HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS OFFSHORE ON TUESDAY AND RETURN FLOW WILL BRING
WARMER AIR BACK INTO THE AREA. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES IN
NORTHERN SECTIONS CLOSER TO THE WARM FRONT. WILL LIKELY ALSO
INCLUDE SOME LOW CHANCE POPS FOR SNOW SHOWERS BUT MOST OF THIS
ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN NORTH OF THE BORDER. HIGH TEMPS WILL
FINALLY TOP OUT NEAR NORMAL WITH MID 30S NORTH TO LOWER 40S SOUTH.

WARMER WEATHER WILL CONTINUE ON WEDNESDAY AS ANOTHER AREA OF HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES
TO PERSIST IN THE NORTH WITH A CHANCE OF A RAIN OR SNOW SHOWER IN
THE AFTERNOON AS ANOTHER WARM FRONT PUSHES THROUGH SOUTHERN
CANADA. PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WILL PREVAIL IN THE SOUTH.
HIGHS WILL REACH THE LOWER TO MID 40S IN MOST LOCATIONS.

COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION ON THURSDAY. SHOULD SEE ONE MORE WARM
DAY AS COLD AIR LAGS BEHIND THE FRONT. LOOKING FOR LITTLE IF ANY
SHOWER ACTIVITY WITH THE FROPA. HIGHS WILL TOP OUT NEAR 40 BEFORE
DROPPING BACK LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE ENTIRE PERIOD
WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD.

LONG TERM...VFR SATURDAY. AREAS MVFR CEILINGS/VSBY SATURDAY NIGHT
AND SUNDAY. VFR MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SCAS WILL CONTINUE WITH SOME GUSTY WINDS BEHIND COLD
FRONT. COLD AIR ALONG WITH THE GUSTY WINDS WILL MAKE IT FAVORABLE
FOR FREEZING SPRAY ACROSS ALL AREAS TONIGHT THROUGH TOMORROW
MORNING.

LONG TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED LATE MONDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150-152-154.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...LEGRO





000
FXUS61 KGYX 052254
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
554 PM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST ON SATURDAY
AND WILL CROSS THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHWEST SUNDAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL CROSS
THE REGION ON MONDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION ON
TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON
WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
UPDATE...NO MAJOR CHANGES TO THE CURRENT FORECAST. TRACKING THE
TRAILING EDGE OF HIGH CLOUDS ON IR SATELLITE...CLEARING SHOULD
REACH WRN ZONES IN THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...AND PROGRESS STEADILY
E FROM THERE. STILL EXPECT THIS TO SET THE STAGE FOR IDEAL
RADIATIONAL COOLING LATE TONIGHT.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD IN
ACROSS THE AREA ALONG WITH COLD AIR ADVECTION...WHICH HAS BEEN
DROPPING OUR TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT THE DAY. MID TO UPPER LEVEL
CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTH THIS EVENING AND MOST AREAS
SHOULD BECOME FAIRLY CLEAR BY MIDNIGHT WITH THE EXCEPTION OF MAYBE
SOUTHERN CHESHIRE AND HILLSBOROUGH COUNTIES IN NEW HAMPSHIRE. THE
NORTHERN CWA SHOULD BE ABLE TO RADIATE MOST EFFICIENTLY TONIGHT AS
CLOUDS MOVE OUT OF THERE FIRST AND THE BOUNDARY LAYER DECOUPLES
WITH USUAL COLD SPOTS ACROSS DROPPING POSSIBLY BETWEEN 15 AND 20
BELOW ZERO.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVERHEAD TOMORROW...AND ALTHOUGH WE WILL
START OFF QUITE COLD...THE STRONG MARCH SUNSHINE SHOULD CREATE
QUITE A LARGE DIURNAL SWING AS TEMPERATURES COULD CLIMB 25-30
DEGREES IN SOME SPOTS DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS. A WEAK WAVE WILL
APPROACH FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING AND THIS WILL INCREASE
CLOUDS TOMORROW NIGHT AND BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SNOW SHOWER
IN THE MOUNTAINS BY SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON
SATURDAY AS A WEAK COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE
NORTHWEST. THE DAY WILL FEATURE VARIABLE CLOUDS
WITH A STRAY SNOW SHOWER POSSIBLE IN NORTHERN SECTIONS.
HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 20S NORTH TO THE LOWER
30S SOUTH.

COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT.
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL
GIVE WAY TO PARTIAL CLEARING AFTER MIDNIGHT DOWNWIND
OF THE MOUNTAINS. ELSEWHERE SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY
CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
NORTH. LOWS WILL ONCE AGAIN FALL TO BELOW NORMAL
LEVELS WITH READINGS BY EARLY SATURDAY OF 5 TO 15
NORTH AND IN THE TEENS SOUTH.

WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTHWEST ON SUNDAY.
LINGERING FRONTAL TROUGH WILL KEEP VARIABLE CLOUDINESS ACROSS
THE REGION FOR MOST OF THE DAY. HIGH TEMPS WILL RANGE FROM
THE MID 20S TO MID 30S.

WEAK LOW PRESSURE CROSSING SOUTHERN CANADA SUNDAY NIGHT WILL
DRIVE A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION MONDAY BRINGING JUST A
GLANCING BLOW OF COOLER AIR MAINLY INTO NORTHERN ZONES. EXPECT
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH JUST A CHANCE OF A SNOW SHOWER. HIGH
WILL RANGE THROUGH THE 30S.

SHALLOW RIDGE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL BRING CLEARING SKIES
MONDAY EVENING ALTHOUGH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL KEEP CLOUDS IN
THE NORTH. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL RANGE THROUGH THE TEENS TO NEAR 20.

HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS OFFSHORE ON TUESDAY AND RETURN FLOW WILL BRING
WARMER AIR BACK INTO THE AREA. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES IN
NORTHERN SECTIONS CLOSER TO THE WARM FRONT. WILL LIKELY ALSO
INCLUDE SOME LOW CHANCE POPS FOR SNOW SHOWERS BUT MOST OF THIS
ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN NORTH OF THE BORDER. HIGH TEMPS WILL
FINALLY TOP OUT NEAR NORMAL WITH MID 30S NORTH TO LOWER 40S SOUTH.

WARMER WEATHER WILL CONTINUE ON WEDNESDAY AS ANOTHER AREA OF HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES
TO PERSIST IN THE NORTH WITH A CHANCE OF A RAIN OR SNOW SHOWER IN
THE AFTERNOON AS ANOTHER WARM FRONT PUSHES THROUGH SOUTHERN
CANADA. PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WILL PREVAIL IN THE SOUTH.
HIGHS WILL REACH THE LOWER TO MID 40S IN MOST LOCATIONS.

COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION ON THURSDAY. SHOULD SEE ONE MORE WARM
DAY AS COLD AIR LAGS BEHIND THE FRONT. LOOKING FOR LITTLE IF ANY
SHOWER ACTIVITY WITH THE FROPA. HIGHS WILL TOP OUT NEAR 40 BEFORE
DROPPING BACK LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE ENTIRE PERIOD
WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD.

LONG TERM...VFR SATURDAY. AREAS MVFR CEILINGS/VSBY SATURDAY NIGHT
AND SUNDAY. VFR MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SCAS WILL CONTINUE WITH SOME GUSTY WINDS BEHIND COLD
FRONT. COLD AIR ALONG WITH THE GUSTY WINDS WILL MAKE IT FAVORABLE
FOR FREEZING SPRAY ACROSS ALL AREAS TONIGHT THROUGH TOMORROW
MORNING.

LONG TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED LATE MONDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150-152-154.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...LEGRO




000
FXUS61 KGYX 052254
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
554 PM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST ON SATURDAY
AND WILL CROSS THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHWEST SUNDAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL CROSS
THE REGION ON MONDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION ON
TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON
WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
UPDATE...NO MAJOR CHANGES TO THE CURRENT FORECAST. TRACKING THE
TRAILING EDGE OF HIGH CLOUDS ON IR SATELLITE...CLEARING SHOULD
REACH WRN ZONES IN THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...AND PROGRESS STEADILY
E FROM THERE. STILL EXPECT THIS TO SET THE STAGE FOR IDEAL
RADIATIONAL COOLING LATE TONIGHT.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD IN
ACROSS THE AREA ALONG WITH COLD AIR ADVECTION...WHICH HAS BEEN
DROPPING OUR TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT THE DAY. MID TO UPPER LEVEL
CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTH THIS EVENING AND MOST AREAS
SHOULD BECOME FAIRLY CLEAR BY MIDNIGHT WITH THE EXCEPTION OF MAYBE
SOUTHERN CHESHIRE AND HILLSBOROUGH COUNTIES IN NEW HAMPSHIRE. THE
NORTHERN CWA SHOULD BE ABLE TO RADIATE MOST EFFICIENTLY TONIGHT AS
CLOUDS MOVE OUT OF THERE FIRST AND THE BOUNDARY LAYER DECOUPLES
WITH USUAL COLD SPOTS ACROSS DROPPING POSSIBLY BETWEEN 15 AND 20
BELOW ZERO.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVERHEAD TOMORROW...AND ALTHOUGH WE WILL
START OFF QUITE COLD...THE STRONG MARCH SUNSHINE SHOULD CREATE
QUITE A LARGE DIURNAL SWING AS TEMPERATURES COULD CLIMB 25-30
DEGREES IN SOME SPOTS DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS. A WEAK WAVE WILL
APPROACH FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING AND THIS WILL INCREASE
CLOUDS TOMORROW NIGHT AND BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SNOW SHOWER
IN THE MOUNTAINS BY SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON
SATURDAY AS A WEAK COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE
NORTHWEST. THE DAY WILL FEATURE VARIABLE CLOUDS
WITH A STRAY SNOW SHOWER POSSIBLE IN NORTHERN SECTIONS.
HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 20S NORTH TO THE LOWER
30S SOUTH.

COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT.
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL
GIVE WAY TO PARTIAL CLEARING AFTER MIDNIGHT DOWNWIND
OF THE MOUNTAINS. ELSEWHERE SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY
CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
NORTH. LOWS WILL ONCE AGAIN FALL TO BELOW NORMAL
LEVELS WITH READINGS BY EARLY SATURDAY OF 5 TO 15
NORTH AND IN THE TEENS SOUTH.

WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTHWEST ON SUNDAY.
LINGERING FRONTAL TROUGH WILL KEEP VARIABLE CLOUDINESS ACROSS
THE REGION FOR MOST OF THE DAY. HIGH TEMPS WILL RANGE FROM
THE MID 20S TO MID 30S.

WEAK LOW PRESSURE CROSSING SOUTHERN CANADA SUNDAY NIGHT WILL
DRIVE A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION MONDAY BRINGING JUST A
GLANCING BLOW OF COOLER AIR MAINLY INTO NORTHERN ZONES. EXPECT
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH JUST A CHANCE OF A SNOW SHOWER. HIGH
WILL RANGE THROUGH THE 30S.

SHALLOW RIDGE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL BRING CLEARING SKIES
MONDAY EVENING ALTHOUGH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL KEEP CLOUDS IN
THE NORTH. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL RANGE THROUGH THE TEENS TO NEAR 20.

HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS OFFSHORE ON TUESDAY AND RETURN FLOW WILL BRING
WARMER AIR BACK INTO THE AREA. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES IN
NORTHERN SECTIONS CLOSER TO THE WARM FRONT. WILL LIKELY ALSO
INCLUDE SOME LOW CHANCE POPS FOR SNOW SHOWERS BUT MOST OF THIS
ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN NORTH OF THE BORDER. HIGH TEMPS WILL
FINALLY TOP OUT NEAR NORMAL WITH MID 30S NORTH TO LOWER 40S SOUTH.

WARMER WEATHER WILL CONTINUE ON WEDNESDAY AS ANOTHER AREA OF HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES
TO PERSIST IN THE NORTH WITH A CHANCE OF A RAIN OR SNOW SHOWER IN
THE AFTERNOON AS ANOTHER WARM FRONT PUSHES THROUGH SOUTHERN
CANADA. PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WILL PREVAIL IN THE SOUTH.
HIGHS WILL REACH THE LOWER TO MID 40S IN MOST LOCATIONS.

COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION ON THURSDAY. SHOULD SEE ONE MORE WARM
DAY AS COLD AIR LAGS BEHIND THE FRONT. LOOKING FOR LITTLE IF ANY
SHOWER ACTIVITY WITH THE FROPA. HIGHS WILL TOP OUT NEAR 40 BEFORE
DROPPING BACK LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE ENTIRE PERIOD
WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD.

LONG TERM...VFR SATURDAY. AREAS MVFR CEILINGS/VSBY SATURDAY NIGHT
AND SUNDAY. VFR MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SCAS WILL CONTINUE WITH SOME GUSTY WINDS BEHIND COLD
FRONT. COLD AIR ALONG WITH THE GUSTY WINDS WILL MAKE IT FAVORABLE
FOR FREEZING SPRAY ACROSS ALL AREAS TONIGHT THROUGH TOMORROW
MORNING.

LONG TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED LATE MONDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150-152-154.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...LEGRO





000
FXUS61 KGYX 052254
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
554 PM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST ON SATURDAY
AND WILL CROSS THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHWEST SUNDAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL CROSS
THE REGION ON MONDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION ON
TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON
WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
UPDATE...NO MAJOR CHANGES TO THE CURRENT FORECAST. TRACKING THE
TRAILING EDGE OF HIGH CLOUDS ON IR SATELLITE...CLEARING SHOULD
REACH WRN ZONES IN THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...AND PROGRESS STEADILY
E FROM THERE. STILL EXPECT THIS TO SET THE STAGE FOR IDEAL
RADIATIONAL COOLING LATE TONIGHT.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD IN
ACROSS THE AREA ALONG WITH COLD AIR ADVECTION...WHICH HAS BEEN
DROPPING OUR TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT THE DAY. MID TO UPPER LEVEL
CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTH THIS EVENING AND MOST AREAS
SHOULD BECOME FAIRLY CLEAR BY MIDNIGHT WITH THE EXCEPTION OF MAYBE
SOUTHERN CHESHIRE AND HILLSBOROUGH COUNTIES IN NEW HAMPSHIRE. THE
NORTHERN CWA SHOULD BE ABLE TO RADIATE MOST EFFICIENTLY TONIGHT AS
CLOUDS MOVE OUT OF THERE FIRST AND THE BOUNDARY LAYER DECOUPLES
WITH USUAL COLD SPOTS ACROSS DROPPING POSSIBLY BETWEEN 15 AND 20
BELOW ZERO.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVERHEAD TOMORROW...AND ALTHOUGH WE WILL
START OFF QUITE COLD...THE STRONG MARCH SUNSHINE SHOULD CREATE
QUITE A LARGE DIURNAL SWING AS TEMPERATURES COULD CLIMB 25-30
DEGREES IN SOME SPOTS DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS. A WEAK WAVE WILL
APPROACH FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING AND THIS WILL INCREASE
CLOUDS TOMORROW NIGHT AND BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SNOW SHOWER
IN THE MOUNTAINS BY SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON
SATURDAY AS A WEAK COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE
NORTHWEST. THE DAY WILL FEATURE VARIABLE CLOUDS
WITH A STRAY SNOW SHOWER POSSIBLE IN NORTHERN SECTIONS.
HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 20S NORTH TO THE LOWER
30S SOUTH.

COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT.
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL
GIVE WAY TO PARTIAL CLEARING AFTER MIDNIGHT DOWNWIND
OF THE MOUNTAINS. ELSEWHERE SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY
CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
NORTH. LOWS WILL ONCE AGAIN FALL TO BELOW NORMAL
LEVELS WITH READINGS BY EARLY SATURDAY OF 5 TO 15
NORTH AND IN THE TEENS SOUTH.

WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTHWEST ON SUNDAY.
LINGERING FRONTAL TROUGH WILL KEEP VARIABLE CLOUDINESS ACROSS
THE REGION FOR MOST OF THE DAY. HIGH TEMPS WILL RANGE FROM
THE MID 20S TO MID 30S.

WEAK LOW PRESSURE CROSSING SOUTHERN CANADA SUNDAY NIGHT WILL
DRIVE A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION MONDAY BRINGING JUST A
GLANCING BLOW OF COOLER AIR MAINLY INTO NORTHERN ZONES. EXPECT
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH JUST A CHANCE OF A SNOW SHOWER. HIGH
WILL RANGE THROUGH THE 30S.

SHALLOW RIDGE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL BRING CLEARING SKIES
MONDAY EVENING ALTHOUGH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL KEEP CLOUDS IN
THE NORTH. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL RANGE THROUGH THE TEENS TO NEAR 20.

HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS OFFSHORE ON TUESDAY AND RETURN FLOW WILL BRING
WARMER AIR BACK INTO THE AREA. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES IN
NORTHERN SECTIONS CLOSER TO THE WARM FRONT. WILL LIKELY ALSO
INCLUDE SOME LOW CHANCE POPS FOR SNOW SHOWERS BUT MOST OF THIS
ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN NORTH OF THE BORDER. HIGH TEMPS WILL
FINALLY TOP OUT NEAR NORMAL WITH MID 30S NORTH TO LOWER 40S SOUTH.

WARMER WEATHER WILL CONTINUE ON WEDNESDAY AS ANOTHER AREA OF HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES
TO PERSIST IN THE NORTH WITH A CHANCE OF A RAIN OR SNOW SHOWER IN
THE AFTERNOON AS ANOTHER WARM FRONT PUSHES THROUGH SOUTHERN
CANADA. PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WILL PREVAIL IN THE SOUTH.
HIGHS WILL REACH THE LOWER TO MID 40S IN MOST LOCATIONS.

COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION ON THURSDAY. SHOULD SEE ONE MORE WARM
DAY AS COLD AIR LAGS BEHIND THE FRONT. LOOKING FOR LITTLE IF ANY
SHOWER ACTIVITY WITH THE FROPA. HIGHS WILL TOP OUT NEAR 40 BEFORE
DROPPING BACK LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE ENTIRE PERIOD
WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD.

LONG TERM...VFR SATURDAY. AREAS MVFR CEILINGS/VSBY SATURDAY NIGHT
AND SUNDAY. VFR MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SCAS WILL CONTINUE WITH SOME GUSTY WINDS BEHIND COLD
FRONT. COLD AIR ALONG WITH THE GUSTY WINDS WILL MAKE IT FAVORABLE
FOR FREEZING SPRAY ACROSS ALL AREAS TONIGHT THROUGH TOMORROW
MORNING.

LONG TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED LATE MONDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150-152-154.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...LEGRO




000
FXUS61 KGYX 052254
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
554 PM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST ON SATURDAY
AND WILL CROSS THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHWEST SUNDAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL CROSS
THE REGION ON MONDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION ON
TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON
WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
UPDATE...NO MAJOR CHANGES TO THE CURRENT FORECAST. TRACKING THE
TRAILING EDGE OF HIGH CLOUDS ON IR SATELLITE...CLEARING SHOULD
REACH WRN ZONES IN THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...AND PROGRESS STEADILY
E FROM THERE. STILL EXPECT THIS TO SET THE STAGE FOR IDEAL
RADIATIONAL COOLING LATE TONIGHT.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD IN
ACROSS THE AREA ALONG WITH COLD AIR ADVECTION...WHICH HAS BEEN
DROPPING OUR TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT THE DAY. MID TO UPPER LEVEL
CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTH THIS EVENING AND MOST AREAS
SHOULD BECOME FAIRLY CLEAR BY MIDNIGHT WITH THE EXCEPTION OF MAYBE
SOUTHERN CHESHIRE AND HILLSBOROUGH COUNTIES IN NEW HAMPSHIRE. THE
NORTHERN CWA SHOULD BE ABLE TO RADIATE MOST EFFICIENTLY TONIGHT AS
CLOUDS MOVE OUT OF THERE FIRST AND THE BOUNDARY LAYER DECOUPLES
WITH USUAL COLD SPOTS ACROSS DROPPING POSSIBLY BETWEEN 15 AND 20
BELOW ZERO.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVERHEAD TOMORROW...AND ALTHOUGH WE WILL
START OFF QUITE COLD...THE STRONG MARCH SUNSHINE SHOULD CREATE
QUITE A LARGE DIURNAL SWING AS TEMPERATURES COULD CLIMB 25-30
DEGREES IN SOME SPOTS DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS. A WEAK WAVE WILL
APPROACH FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING AND THIS WILL INCREASE
CLOUDS TOMORROW NIGHT AND BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SNOW SHOWER
IN THE MOUNTAINS BY SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON
SATURDAY AS A WEAK COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE
NORTHWEST. THE DAY WILL FEATURE VARIABLE CLOUDS
WITH A STRAY SNOW SHOWER POSSIBLE IN NORTHERN SECTIONS.
HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 20S NORTH TO THE LOWER
30S SOUTH.

COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT.
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL
GIVE WAY TO PARTIAL CLEARING AFTER MIDNIGHT DOWNWIND
OF THE MOUNTAINS. ELSEWHERE SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY
CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
NORTH. LOWS WILL ONCE AGAIN FALL TO BELOW NORMAL
LEVELS WITH READINGS BY EARLY SATURDAY OF 5 TO 15
NORTH AND IN THE TEENS SOUTH.

WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTHWEST ON SUNDAY.
LINGERING FRONTAL TROUGH WILL KEEP VARIABLE CLOUDINESS ACROSS
THE REGION FOR MOST OF THE DAY. HIGH TEMPS WILL RANGE FROM
THE MID 20S TO MID 30S.

WEAK LOW PRESSURE CROSSING SOUTHERN CANADA SUNDAY NIGHT WILL
DRIVE A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION MONDAY BRINGING JUST A
GLANCING BLOW OF COOLER AIR MAINLY INTO NORTHERN ZONES. EXPECT
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH JUST A CHANCE OF A SNOW SHOWER. HIGH
WILL RANGE THROUGH THE 30S.

SHALLOW RIDGE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL BRING CLEARING SKIES
MONDAY EVENING ALTHOUGH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL KEEP CLOUDS IN
THE NORTH. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL RANGE THROUGH THE TEENS TO NEAR 20.

HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS OFFSHORE ON TUESDAY AND RETURN FLOW WILL BRING
WARMER AIR BACK INTO THE AREA. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES IN
NORTHERN SECTIONS CLOSER TO THE WARM FRONT. WILL LIKELY ALSO
INCLUDE SOME LOW CHANCE POPS FOR SNOW SHOWERS BUT MOST OF THIS
ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN NORTH OF THE BORDER. HIGH TEMPS WILL
FINALLY TOP OUT NEAR NORMAL WITH MID 30S NORTH TO LOWER 40S SOUTH.

WARMER WEATHER WILL CONTINUE ON WEDNESDAY AS ANOTHER AREA OF HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES
TO PERSIST IN THE NORTH WITH A CHANCE OF A RAIN OR SNOW SHOWER IN
THE AFTERNOON AS ANOTHER WARM FRONT PUSHES THROUGH SOUTHERN
CANADA. PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WILL PREVAIL IN THE SOUTH.
HIGHS WILL REACH THE LOWER TO MID 40S IN MOST LOCATIONS.

COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION ON THURSDAY. SHOULD SEE ONE MORE WARM
DAY AS COLD AIR LAGS BEHIND THE FRONT. LOOKING FOR LITTLE IF ANY
SHOWER ACTIVITY WITH THE FROPA. HIGHS WILL TOP OUT NEAR 40 BEFORE
DROPPING BACK LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE ENTIRE PERIOD
WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD.

LONG TERM...VFR SATURDAY. AREAS MVFR CEILINGS/VSBY SATURDAY NIGHT
AND SUNDAY. VFR MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SCAS WILL CONTINUE WITH SOME GUSTY WINDS BEHIND COLD
FRONT. COLD AIR ALONG WITH THE GUSTY WINDS WILL MAKE IT FAVORABLE
FOR FREEZING SPRAY ACROSS ALL AREAS TONIGHT THROUGH TOMORROW
MORNING.

LONG TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED LATE MONDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150-152-154.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...LEGRO





000
FXUS61 KGYX 051950
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
250 PM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST ON SATURDAY
AND WILL CROSS THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHWEST SUNDAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL CROSS
THE REGION ON MONDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION ON
TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON
WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD IN ACROSS THE AREA ALONG
WITH COLD AIR ADVECTION...WHICH HAS BEEN DROPPING OUR TEMPERATURES
THROUGHOUT THE DAY. MID TO UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO
PUSH SOUTH THIS EVENING AND MOST AREAS SHOULD BECOME FAIRLY CLEAR
BY MIDNIGHT WITH THE EXCEPTION OF MAYBE SOUTHERN CHESHIRE AND
HILLSBOROUGH COUNTIES IN NEW HAMPSHIRE. THE NORTHERN CWA SHOULD BE
ABLE TO RADIATE MOST EFFICIENTLY TONIGHT AS CLOUDS MOVE OUT OF
THERE FIRST AND THE BOUNDARY LAYER DECOUPLES WITH USUAL COLD SPOTS
ACROSS DROPPING POSSIBLY BETWEEN 15 AND 20 BELOW ZERO.


&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVERHEAD TOMORROW...AND ALTHOUGH WE WILL
START OFF QUITE COLD...THE STRONG MARCH SUNSHINE SHOULD CREATE
QUITE A LARGE DIURNAL SWING AS TEMPERATURES COULD CLIMB 25-30
DEGREES IN SOME SPOTS DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS. A WEAK WAVE WILL
APPROACH FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING AND THIS WILL INCREASE
CLOUDS TOMORROW NIGHT AND BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SNOW SHOWER
IN THE MOUNTAINS BY SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON
SATURDAY AS A WEAK COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE
NORTHWEST. THE DAY WILL FEATURE VARIABLE CLOUDS
WITH A STRAY SNOW SHOWER POSSIBLE IN NORTHERN SECTIONS.
HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 20S NORTH TO THE LOWER
30S SOUTH.

COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT.
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL
GIVE WAY TO PARTIAL CLEARING AFTER MIDNIGHT DOWNWIND
OF THE MOUNTAINS. ELSEWHERE SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY
CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
NORTH. LOWS WILL ONCE AGAIN FALL TO BELOW NORMAL
LEVELS WITH READINGS BY EARLY SATURDAY OF 5 TO 15
NORTH AND IN THE TEENS SOUTH.

WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTHWEST ON SUNDAY.
LINGERING FRONTAL TROUGH WILL KEEP VARIABLE CLOUDINESS ACROSS
THE REGION FOR MOST OF THE DAY. HIGH TEMPS WILL RANGE FROM
THE MID 20S TO MID 30S.

WEAK LOW PRESSURE CROSSING SOUTHERN CANADA SUNDAY NIGHT WILL
DRIVE A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION MONDAY BRINGING JUST A
GLANCING BLOW OF COOLER AIR MAINLY INTO NORTHERN ZONES. EXPECT
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH JUST A CHANCE OF A SNOW SHOWER. HIGH
WILL RANGE THROUGH THE 30S.

SHALLOW RIDGE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL BRING CLEARING SKIES
MONDAY EVENING ALTHOUGH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL KEEP CLOUDS IN
THE NORTH. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL RANGE THROUGH THE TEENS TO NEAR 20.

HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS OFFSHORE ON TUESDAY AND RETURN FLOW WILL BRING
WARMER AIR BACK INTO THE AREA. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES IN
NORTHERN SECTIONS CLOSER TO THE WARM FRONT. WILL LIKELY ALSO
INCLUDE SOME LOW CHANCE POPS FOR SNOW SHOWERS BUT MOST OF THIS
ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN NORTH OF THE BORDER. HIGH TEMPS WILL
FINALLY TOP OUT NEAR NORMAL WITH MID 30S NORTH TO LOWER 40S SOUTH.

WARMER WEATHER WILL CONTINUE ON WEDNESDAY AS ANOTHER AREA OF HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES
TO PERSIST IN THE NORTH WITH A CHANCE OF A RAIN OR SNOW SHOWER IN
THE AFTERNOON AS ANOTHER WARM FRONT PUSHES THROUGH SOUTHERN
CANADA. PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WILL PREVAIL IN THE SOUTH.
HIGHS WILL REACH THE LOWER TO MID 40S IN MOST LOCATIONS.

COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION ON THURSDAY. SHOULD SEE ONE MORE WARM
DAY AS COLD AIR LAGS BEHIND THE FRONT. LOOKING FOR LITTLE IF ANY
SHOWER ACTIVITY WITH THE FROPA. HIGHS WILL TOP OUT NEAR 40 BEFORE
DROPPING BACK LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE ENTIRE PERIOD
WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD.

LONG TERM...VFR SATURDAY. AREAS MVFR CEILINGS/VSBY SATURDAY NIGHT
AND SUNDAY. VFR MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SCAS WILL CONTINUE WITH SOME GUSTY WINDS BEHIND COLD
FRONT. COLD AIR ALONG WITH THE GUSTY WINDS WILL MAKE IT FAVORABLE
FOR FREEZING SPRAY ACROSS ALL AREAS TONIGHT THROUGH TOMORROW
MORNING.

LONG TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED LATE MONDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.
     FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...KISTNER
SHORT TERM...KISTNER




000
FXUS61 KGYX 051950
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
250 PM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST ON SATURDAY
AND WILL CROSS THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHWEST SUNDAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL CROSS
THE REGION ON MONDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION ON
TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON
WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD IN ACROSS THE AREA ALONG
WITH COLD AIR ADVECTION...WHICH HAS BEEN DROPPING OUR TEMPERATURES
THROUGHOUT THE DAY. MID TO UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO
PUSH SOUTH THIS EVENING AND MOST AREAS SHOULD BECOME FAIRLY CLEAR
BY MIDNIGHT WITH THE EXCEPTION OF MAYBE SOUTHERN CHESHIRE AND
HILLSBOROUGH COUNTIES IN NEW HAMPSHIRE. THE NORTHERN CWA SHOULD BE
ABLE TO RADIATE MOST EFFICIENTLY TONIGHT AS CLOUDS MOVE OUT OF
THERE FIRST AND THE BOUNDARY LAYER DECOUPLES WITH USUAL COLD SPOTS
ACROSS DROPPING POSSIBLY BETWEEN 15 AND 20 BELOW ZERO.


&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVERHEAD TOMORROW...AND ALTHOUGH WE WILL
START OFF QUITE COLD...THE STRONG MARCH SUNSHINE SHOULD CREATE
QUITE A LARGE DIURNAL SWING AS TEMPERATURES COULD CLIMB 25-30
DEGREES IN SOME SPOTS DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS. A WEAK WAVE WILL
APPROACH FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING AND THIS WILL INCREASE
CLOUDS TOMORROW NIGHT AND BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SNOW SHOWER
IN THE MOUNTAINS BY SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON
SATURDAY AS A WEAK COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE
NORTHWEST. THE DAY WILL FEATURE VARIABLE CLOUDS
WITH A STRAY SNOW SHOWER POSSIBLE IN NORTHERN SECTIONS.
HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 20S NORTH TO THE LOWER
30S SOUTH.

COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT.
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL
GIVE WAY TO PARTIAL CLEARING AFTER MIDNIGHT DOWNWIND
OF THE MOUNTAINS. ELSEWHERE SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY
CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
NORTH. LOWS WILL ONCE AGAIN FALL TO BELOW NORMAL
LEVELS WITH READINGS BY EARLY SATURDAY OF 5 TO 15
NORTH AND IN THE TEENS SOUTH.

WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTHWEST ON SUNDAY.
LINGERING FRONTAL TROUGH WILL KEEP VARIABLE CLOUDINESS ACROSS
THE REGION FOR MOST OF THE DAY. HIGH TEMPS WILL RANGE FROM
THE MID 20S TO MID 30S.

WEAK LOW PRESSURE CROSSING SOUTHERN CANADA SUNDAY NIGHT WILL
DRIVE A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION MONDAY BRINGING JUST A
GLANCING BLOW OF COOLER AIR MAINLY INTO NORTHERN ZONES. EXPECT
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH JUST A CHANCE OF A SNOW SHOWER. HIGH
WILL RANGE THROUGH THE 30S.

SHALLOW RIDGE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL BRING CLEARING SKIES
MONDAY EVENING ALTHOUGH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL KEEP CLOUDS IN
THE NORTH. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL RANGE THROUGH THE TEENS TO NEAR 20.

HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS OFFSHORE ON TUESDAY AND RETURN FLOW WILL BRING
WARMER AIR BACK INTO THE AREA. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES IN
NORTHERN SECTIONS CLOSER TO THE WARM FRONT. WILL LIKELY ALSO
INCLUDE SOME LOW CHANCE POPS FOR SNOW SHOWERS BUT MOST OF THIS
ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN NORTH OF THE BORDER. HIGH TEMPS WILL
FINALLY TOP OUT NEAR NORMAL WITH MID 30S NORTH TO LOWER 40S SOUTH.

WARMER WEATHER WILL CONTINUE ON WEDNESDAY AS ANOTHER AREA OF HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES
TO PERSIST IN THE NORTH WITH A CHANCE OF A RAIN OR SNOW SHOWER IN
THE AFTERNOON AS ANOTHER WARM FRONT PUSHES THROUGH SOUTHERN
CANADA. PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WILL PREVAIL IN THE SOUTH.
HIGHS WILL REACH THE LOWER TO MID 40S IN MOST LOCATIONS.

COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION ON THURSDAY. SHOULD SEE ONE MORE WARM
DAY AS COLD AIR LAGS BEHIND THE FRONT. LOOKING FOR LITTLE IF ANY
SHOWER ACTIVITY WITH THE FROPA. HIGHS WILL TOP OUT NEAR 40 BEFORE
DROPPING BACK LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE ENTIRE PERIOD
WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD.

LONG TERM...VFR SATURDAY. AREAS MVFR CEILINGS/VSBY SATURDAY NIGHT
AND SUNDAY. VFR MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SCAS WILL CONTINUE WITH SOME GUSTY WINDS BEHIND COLD
FRONT. COLD AIR ALONG WITH THE GUSTY WINDS WILL MAKE IT FAVORABLE
FOR FREEZING SPRAY ACROSS ALL AREAS TONIGHT THROUGH TOMORROW
MORNING.

LONG TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED LATE MONDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.
     FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...KISTNER
SHORT TERM...KISTNER





000
FXUS61 KGYX 051950
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
250 PM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST ON SATURDAY
AND WILL CROSS THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHWEST SUNDAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL CROSS
THE REGION ON MONDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION ON
TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON
WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD IN ACROSS THE AREA ALONG
WITH COLD AIR ADVECTION...WHICH HAS BEEN DROPPING OUR TEMPERATURES
THROUGHOUT THE DAY. MID TO UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO
PUSH SOUTH THIS EVENING AND MOST AREAS SHOULD BECOME FAIRLY CLEAR
BY MIDNIGHT WITH THE EXCEPTION OF MAYBE SOUTHERN CHESHIRE AND
HILLSBOROUGH COUNTIES IN NEW HAMPSHIRE. THE NORTHERN CWA SHOULD BE
ABLE TO RADIATE MOST EFFICIENTLY TONIGHT AS CLOUDS MOVE OUT OF
THERE FIRST AND THE BOUNDARY LAYER DECOUPLES WITH USUAL COLD SPOTS
ACROSS DROPPING POSSIBLY BETWEEN 15 AND 20 BELOW ZERO.


&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVERHEAD TOMORROW...AND ALTHOUGH WE WILL
START OFF QUITE COLD...THE STRONG MARCH SUNSHINE SHOULD CREATE
QUITE A LARGE DIURNAL SWING AS TEMPERATURES COULD CLIMB 25-30
DEGREES IN SOME SPOTS DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS. A WEAK WAVE WILL
APPROACH FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING AND THIS WILL INCREASE
CLOUDS TOMORROW NIGHT AND BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SNOW SHOWER
IN THE MOUNTAINS BY SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON
SATURDAY AS A WEAK COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE
NORTHWEST. THE DAY WILL FEATURE VARIABLE CLOUDS
WITH A STRAY SNOW SHOWER POSSIBLE IN NORTHERN SECTIONS.
HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 20S NORTH TO THE LOWER
30S SOUTH.

COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT.
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL
GIVE WAY TO PARTIAL CLEARING AFTER MIDNIGHT DOWNWIND
OF THE MOUNTAINS. ELSEWHERE SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY
CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
NORTH. LOWS WILL ONCE AGAIN FALL TO BELOW NORMAL
LEVELS WITH READINGS BY EARLY SATURDAY OF 5 TO 15
NORTH AND IN THE TEENS SOUTH.

WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTHWEST ON SUNDAY.
LINGERING FRONTAL TROUGH WILL KEEP VARIABLE CLOUDINESS ACROSS
THE REGION FOR MOST OF THE DAY. HIGH TEMPS WILL RANGE FROM
THE MID 20S TO MID 30S.

WEAK LOW PRESSURE CROSSING SOUTHERN CANADA SUNDAY NIGHT WILL
DRIVE A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION MONDAY BRINGING JUST A
GLANCING BLOW OF COOLER AIR MAINLY INTO NORTHERN ZONES. EXPECT
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH JUST A CHANCE OF A SNOW SHOWER. HIGH
WILL RANGE THROUGH THE 30S.

SHALLOW RIDGE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL BRING CLEARING SKIES
MONDAY EVENING ALTHOUGH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL KEEP CLOUDS IN
THE NORTH. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL RANGE THROUGH THE TEENS TO NEAR 20.

HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS OFFSHORE ON TUESDAY AND RETURN FLOW WILL BRING
WARMER AIR BACK INTO THE AREA. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES IN
NORTHERN SECTIONS CLOSER TO THE WARM FRONT. WILL LIKELY ALSO
INCLUDE SOME LOW CHANCE POPS FOR SNOW SHOWERS BUT MOST OF THIS
ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN NORTH OF THE BORDER. HIGH TEMPS WILL
FINALLY TOP OUT NEAR NORMAL WITH MID 30S NORTH TO LOWER 40S SOUTH.

WARMER WEATHER WILL CONTINUE ON WEDNESDAY AS ANOTHER AREA OF HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES
TO PERSIST IN THE NORTH WITH A CHANCE OF A RAIN OR SNOW SHOWER IN
THE AFTERNOON AS ANOTHER WARM FRONT PUSHES THROUGH SOUTHERN
CANADA. PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WILL PREVAIL IN THE SOUTH.
HIGHS WILL REACH THE LOWER TO MID 40S IN MOST LOCATIONS.

COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION ON THURSDAY. SHOULD SEE ONE MORE WARM
DAY AS COLD AIR LAGS BEHIND THE FRONT. LOOKING FOR LITTLE IF ANY
SHOWER ACTIVITY WITH THE FROPA. HIGHS WILL TOP OUT NEAR 40 BEFORE
DROPPING BACK LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE ENTIRE PERIOD
WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD.

LONG TERM...VFR SATURDAY. AREAS MVFR CEILINGS/VSBY SATURDAY NIGHT
AND SUNDAY. VFR MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SCAS WILL CONTINUE WITH SOME GUSTY WINDS BEHIND COLD
FRONT. COLD AIR ALONG WITH THE GUSTY WINDS WILL MAKE IT FAVORABLE
FOR FREEZING SPRAY ACROSS ALL AREAS TONIGHT THROUGH TOMORROW
MORNING.

LONG TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED LATE MONDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.
     FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...KISTNER
SHORT TERM...KISTNER




000
FXUS61 KGYX 051950
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
250 PM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST ON SATURDAY
AND WILL CROSS THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHWEST SUNDAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL CROSS
THE REGION ON MONDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION ON
TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON
WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD IN ACROSS THE AREA ALONG
WITH COLD AIR ADVECTION...WHICH HAS BEEN DROPPING OUR TEMPERATURES
THROUGHOUT THE DAY. MID TO UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO
PUSH SOUTH THIS EVENING AND MOST AREAS SHOULD BECOME FAIRLY CLEAR
BY MIDNIGHT WITH THE EXCEPTION OF MAYBE SOUTHERN CHESHIRE AND
HILLSBOROUGH COUNTIES IN NEW HAMPSHIRE. THE NORTHERN CWA SHOULD BE
ABLE TO RADIATE MOST EFFICIENTLY TONIGHT AS CLOUDS MOVE OUT OF
THERE FIRST AND THE BOUNDARY LAYER DECOUPLES WITH USUAL COLD SPOTS
ACROSS DROPPING POSSIBLY BETWEEN 15 AND 20 BELOW ZERO.


&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVERHEAD TOMORROW...AND ALTHOUGH WE WILL
START OFF QUITE COLD...THE STRONG MARCH SUNSHINE SHOULD CREATE
QUITE A LARGE DIURNAL SWING AS TEMPERATURES COULD CLIMB 25-30
DEGREES IN SOME SPOTS DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS. A WEAK WAVE WILL
APPROACH FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING AND THIS WILL INCREASE
CLOUDS TOMORROW NIGHT AND BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SNOW SHOWER
IN THE MOUNTAINS BY SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON
SATURDAY AS A WEAK COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE
NORTHWEST. THE DAY WILL FEATURE VARIABLE CLOUDS
WITH A STRAY SNOW SHOWER POSSIBLE IN NORTHERN SECTIONS.
HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 20S NORTH TO THE LOWER
30S SOUTH.

COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT.
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL
GIVE WAY TO PARTIAL CLEARING AFTER MIDNIGHT DOWNWIND
OF THE MOUNTAINS. ELSEWHERE SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY
CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
NORTH. LOWS WILL ONCE AGAIN FALL TO BELOW NORMAL
LEVELS WITH READINGS BY EARLY SATURDAY OF 5 TO 15
NORTH AND IN THE TEENS SOUTH.

WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTHWEST ON SUNDAY.
LINGERING FRONTAL TROUGH WILL KEEP VARIABLE CLOUDINESS ACROSS
THE REGION FOR MOST OF THE DAY. HIGH TEMPS WILL RANGE FROM
THE MID 20S TO MID 30S.

WEAK LOW PRESSURE CROSSING SOUTHERN CANADA SUNDAY NIGHT WILL
DRIVE A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION MONDAY BRINGING JUST A
GLANCING BLOW OF COOLER AIR MAINLY INTO NORTHERN ZONES. EXPECT
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH JUST A CHANCE OF A SNOW SHOWER. HIGH
WILL RANGE THROUGH THE 30S.

SHALLOW RIDGE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL BRING CLEARING SKIES
MONDAY EVENING ALTHOUGH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL KEEP CLOUDS IN
THE NORTH. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL RANGE THROUGH THE TEENS TO NEAR 20.

HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS OFFSHORE ON TUESDAY AND RETURN FLOW WILL BRING
WARMER AIR BACK INTO THE AREA. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES IN
NORTHERN SECTIONS CLOSER TO THE WARM FRONT. WILL LIKELY ALSO
INCLUDE SOME LOW CHANCE POPS FOR SNOW SHOWERS BUT MOST OF THIS
ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN NORTH OF THE BORDER. HIGH TEMPS WILL
FINALLY TOP OUT NEAR NORMAL WITH MID 30S NORTH TO LOWER 40S SOUTH.

WARMER WEATHER WILL CONTINUE ON WEDNESDAY AS ANOTHER AREA OF HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES
TO PERSIST IN THE NORTH WITH A CHANCE OF A RAIN OR SNOW SHOWER IN
THE AFTERNOON AS ANOTHER WARM FRONT PUSHES THROUGH SOUTHERN
CANADA. PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WILL PREVAIL IN THE SOUTH.
HIGHS WILL REACH THE LOWER TO MID 40S IN MOST LOCATIONS.

COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION ON THURSDAY. SHOULD SEE ONE MORE WARM
DAY AS COLD AIR LAGS BEHIND THE FRONT. LOOKING FOR LITTLE IF ANY
SHOWER ACTIVITY WITH THE FROPA. HIGHS WILL TOP OUT NEAR 40 BEFORE
DROPPING BACK LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE ENTIRE PERIOD
WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD.

LONG TERM...VFR SATURDAY. AREAS MVFR CEILINGS/VSBY SATURDAY NIGHT
AND SUNDAY. VFR MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SCAS WILL CONTINUE WITH SOME GUSTY WINDS BEHIND COLD
FRONT. COLD AIR ALONG WITH THE GUSTY WINDS WILL MAKE IT FAVORABLE
FOR FREEZING SPRAY ACROSS ALL AREAS TONIGHT THROUGH TOMORROW
MORNING.

LONG TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED LATE MONDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.
     FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...KISTNER
SHORT TERM...KISTNER





000
FXUS61 KGYX 051731
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
1231 PM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THROUGH
THURSDAY...AND CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL
APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL CROSS THE AREA ON
SATURDAY. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST SATURDAY
NIGHT AND WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION MONDAY AND WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
1230 PM UPDATE...COLD AIR CONTINUES TO PUSH INTO THE AREA.
TEMPERATURES WERE RUNNING 1-3 DEGREES BELOW PREVIOUS FORECAST SO
LOWERED THE TEMPS BASED ON THESE CURRENT OBS AND TRENDS.

930 AM UPDATE...NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES MADE TO THE FORECAST.
ADJUSTED TEMPERATURES TO MATCH CURRENT OBS AND TRENDS. MODELS SHOW
T850 TO CONTINUE TO DROP THROUGH THE DAY WITH COLD AIR
ADVECTION AND AREAS ACROSS THE NORTH WILL LIKELY ONLY TOP OUT IN
THE UPPER SINGLE DIGITS TO LOW TEENS TODAY EVEN WITH SOME BREAKS
OF SUN THIS AFTERNOON. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO PUSH
INTO THE REGION...BUT MID TO UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH
THE FRONT TO OUR SOUTH WILL LIKELY LINGER OVER THE AREA INTO THIS
AFTERNOON ACROSS THE NORTH AND INTO THE EVENING HOURS ACROSS THE
SOUTH.

600 AM...FOR THIS ESTF UPDATE I MADE MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO 1ST
PERIOD GRIDS TO REFLECT THE LATEST MESONET AND SATELLITE TRENDS.


PREV DISC...
AT 07Z...A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WAS SITUATED ALONG THE COASTAL
PLAIN...WHILE A FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDED FROM THE DELMARVA TO
SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND WITH A SERIES OF WAVES RIDING ALONG IT. THE
COLD FRONT WILL EXIT THE COAST NEXT FEW HOURS. CLOUD SHIELD WITH
THE BOUNDARY TO OUR SOUTH WILL GRADUALLY SINK FURTHER SOUTHWARD
TODAY AS SURFACE HIGH BEGINS TO NOSE IN FROM THE WEST. MUCH COLDER
THEN YESTERDAY AS COLD AIR DEEPENS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA WITH
READINGS A GOOD 15 TO 20 DEGREES COOLER THAN WEDNESDAY. OUTSIDE OF
A STRAY FLURRY...IT WILL BE A DRY DAY ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA
TODAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
CLEARING AND SEASONABLY COLD TONIGHT AS SURFACE HIGH SETTLES
ACROSS THE REGION. LOWS WILL RANGE FROM AROUND ZERO NEAR THE COAST
TO 15 BELOW IN THE MOUNTAINS. ON FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY AND CONTINUED
COLD UNDER THE SURFACE RIDGE WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM
15 TO 25 DEGREES...OR A GOOD 15 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE FOR THE
DATE.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
PLENTY OF COLD AIR REMAINS IN PLACE DURING THE END OF THE WORKWEEK
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES MAINLY BETWEEN
15 AND 25 DEGREES FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. READINGS SHOULD BE AROUND
40 DEGREES FOR HIGHS IN PORTLAND THIS TIME OF THE YEAR.

A WEEK FRONT WILL CROSS NEW ENGLAND SATURDAY NIGHT. AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...WEAK WARM AIR ADVECTION WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO REACH
THE FREEZING LEVEL OVER SOUTHERN SECTIONS. FULL SUNSHINE SHOULD
ALLOW READINGS TO REACH THE FREEZING MARK OVER SOUTHERN SECTIONS
ON SUNDAY AS WELL. THIS IS STILL WELL BELOW NORMAL.

00Z MODEL SUITE STILL SHOWING A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CROSSING
OVER MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THIS WILL BRING
SOME SNOW SHOWERS OR A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW TO THE REGION.
THIS SYSTEM WILL BE SIMILAR TO THE OTHERS IN THAT IT WILL BE
MOISTURE STARVED.

LACK OF ARCTIC AIR BEHIND THIS DEPARTING SYSTEM WILL ALLOW FOR A
WARM UP EARLY TO MID NEXT WEEK WITH WIDESPREAD 40S. AN OFFSHORE
FLOW TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WILL BRING THE WARMEST LOCATIONS TO THE
COASTLINE.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR EXPECTED.

LONG TERM...IFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN DETERIORATING
CONDITIONS...LOWERING CEILINGS AND POSSIBLY LOWERING VISIBILITIES
IN SOME SNOW SHOWERS EARLY MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SMALL CRAFT WINDS AND SEAS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT
BEHIND THE SECONDARY COLD FRONT WITH CURRENT HEADLINE EXTENDED
ACCORDINGLY. COLD TEMPERATURES AND WIND TONIGHT WILL PRODUCE A
PERIOD OF MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY WITH A FREEZING SPRAY ADV ISSUED
FOR TONIGHT.

LONG TERM...QUICK MOVING...BUT RELATIVELY WEAK SYSTEMS WILL CROSS
THE WATERS DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THE HIGHEST CHANCE OF
REACHING SCA WIND THRESHOLDS OF GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS WILL OCCUR EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING...EARLY MONDAY MORNING AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.
     FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...KISTNER





000
FXUS61 KGYX 051731
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
1231 PM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THROUGH
THURSDAY...AND CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL
APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL CROSS THE AREA ON
SATURDAY. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST SATURDAY
NIGHT AND WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION MONDAY AND WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
1230 PM UPDATE...COLD AIR CONTINUES TO PUSH INTO THE AREA.
TEMPERATURES WERE RUNNING 1-3 DEGREES BELOW PREVIOUS FORECAST SO
LOWERED THE TEMPS BASED ON THESE CURRENT OBS AND TRENDS.

930 AM UPDATE...NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES MADE TO THE FORECAST.
ADJUSTED TEMPERATURES TO MATCH CURRENT OBS AND TRENDS. MODELS SHOW
T850 TO CONTINUE TO DROP THROUGH THE DAY WITH COLD AIR
ADVECTION AND AREAS ACROSS THE NORTH WILL LIKELY ONLY TOP OUT IN
THE UPPER SINGLE DIGITS TO LOW TEENS TODAY EVEN WITH SOME BREAKS
OF SUN THIS AFTERNOON. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO PUSH
INTO THE REGION...BUT MID TO UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH
THE FRONT TO OUR SOUTH WILL LIKELY LINGER OVER THE AREA INTO THIS
AFTERNOON ACROSS THE NORTH AND INTO THE EVENING HOURS ACROSS THE
SOUTH.

600 AM...FOR THIS ESTF UPDATE I MADE MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO 1ST
PERIOD GRIDS TO REFLECT THE LATEST MESONET AND SATELLITE TRENDS.


PREV DISC...
AT 07Z...A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WAS SITUATED ALONG THE COASTAL
PLAIN...WHILE A FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDED FROM THE DELMARVA TO
SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND WITH A SERIES OF WAVES RIDING ALONG IT. THE
COLD FRONT WILL EXIT THE COAST NEXT FEW HOURS. CLOUD SHIELD WITH
THE BOUNDARY TO OUR SOUTH WILL GRADUALLY SINK FURTHER SOUTHWARD
TODAY AS SURFACE HIGH BEGINS TO NOSE IN FROM THE WEST. MUCH COLDER
THEN YESTERDAY AS COLD AIR DEEPENS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA WITH
READINGS A GOOD 15 TO 20 DEGREES COOLER THAN WEDNESDAY. OUTSIDE OF
A STRAY FLURRY...IT WILL BE A DRY DAY ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA
TODAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
CLEARING AND SEASONABLY COLD TONIGHT AS SURFACE HIGH SETTLES
ACROSS THE REGION. LOWS WILL RANGE FROM AROUND ZERO NEAR THE COAST
TO 15 BELOW IN THE MOUNTAINS. ON FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY AND CONTINUED
COLD UNDER THE SURFACE RIDGE WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM
15 TO 25 DEGREES...OR A GOOD 15 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE FOR THE
DATE.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
PLENTY OF COLD AIR REMAINS IN PLACE DURING THE END OF THE WORKWEEK
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES MAINLY BETWEEN
15 AND 25 DEGREES FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. READINGS SHOULD BE AROUND
40 DEGREES FOR HIGHS IN PORTLAND THIS TIME OF THE YEAR.

A WEEK FRONT WILL CROSS NEW ENGLAND SATURDAY NIGHT. AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...WEAK WARM AIR ADVECTION WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO REACH
THE FREEZING LEVEL OVER SOUTHERN SECTIONS. FULL SUNSHINE SHOULD
ALLOW READINGS TO REACH THE FREEZING MARK OVER SOUTHERN SECTIONS
ON SUNDAY AS WELL. THIS IS STILL WELL BELOW NORMAL.

00Z MODEL SUITE STILL SHOWING A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CROSSING
OVER MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THIS WILL BRING
SOME SNOW SHOWERS OR A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW TO THE REGION.
THIS SYSTEM WILL BE SIMILAR TO THE OTHERS IN THAT IT WILL BE
MOISTURE STARVED.

LACK OF ARCTIC AIR BEHIND THIS DEPARTING SYSTEM WILL ALLOW FOR A
WARM UP EARLY TO MID NEXT WEEK WITH WIDESPREAD 40S. AN OFFSHORE
FLOW TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WILL BRING THE WARMEST LOCATIONS TO THE
COASTLINE.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR EXPECTED.

LONG TERM...IFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN DETERIORATING
CONDITIONS...LOWERING CEILINGS AND POSSIBLY LOWERING VISIBILITIES
IN SOME SNOW SHOWERS EARLY MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SMALL CRAFT WINDS AND SEAS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT
BEHIND THE SECONDARY COLD FRONT WITH CURRENT HEADLINE EXTENDED
ACCORDINGLY. COLD TEMPERATURES AND WIND TONIGHT WILL PRODUCE A
PERIOD OF MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY WITH A FREEZING SPRAY ADV ISSUED
FOR TONIGHT.

LONG TERM...QUICK MOVING...BUT RELATIVELY WEAK SYSTEMS WILL CROSS
THE WATERS DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THE HIGHEST CHANCE OF
REACHING SCA WIND THRESHOLDS OF GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS WILL OCCUR EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING...EARLY MONDAY MORNING AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.
     FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...KISTNER




000
FXUS61 KGYX 051449
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
949 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THROUGH
THURSDAY...AND CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL
APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL CROSS THE AREA ON
SATURDAY. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST SATURDAY
NIGHT AND WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION MONDAY AND WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
930 AM UPDATE...NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES MADE TO THE FORECAST.
ADJUSTED TEMPERATURES TO MATCH CURRENT OBS AND TRENDS. MODELS SHOW
T850 TO CONTINUE TO DROP THROUGH THE DAY WITH COLD AIR
ADVECTION AND AREAS ACROSS THE NORTH WILL LIKELY ONLY TOP OUT IN
THE UPPER SINGLE DIGITS TO LOW TEENS TODAY EVEN WITH SOME BREAKS
OF SUN THIS AFTERNOON. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO PUSH
INTO THE REGION...BUT MID TO UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH
THE FRONT TO OUR SOUTH WILL LIKELY LINGER OVER THE AREA INTO THIS
AFTERNOON ACROSS THE NORTH AND INTO THE EVENING HOURS ACROSS THE
SOUTH.

600 AM...FOR THIS ESTF UPDATE I MADE MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO 1ST
PERIOD GRIDS TO REFLECT THE LATEST MESONET AND SATELLITE TRENDS.


PREV DISC...
AT 07Z...A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WAS SITUATED ALONG THE COASTAL
PLAIN...WHILE A FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDED FROM THE DELMARVA TO
SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND WITH A SERIES OF WAVES RIDING ALONG IT. THE
COLD FRONT WILL EXIT THE COAST NEXT FEW HOURS. CLOUD SHIELD WITH
THE BOUNDARY TO OUR SOUTH WILL GRADUALLY SINK FURTHER SOUTHWARD
TODAY AS SURFACE HIGH BEGINS TO NOSE IN FROM THE WEST. MUCH COLDER
THEN YESTERDAY AS COLD AIR DEEPENS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA WITH
READINGS A GOOD 15 TO 20 DEGREES COOLER THAN WEDNESDAY. OUTSIDE OF
A STRAY FLURRY...IT WILL BE A DRY DAY ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA
TODAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
CLEARING AND SEASONABLY COLD TONIGHT AS SURFACE HIGH SETTLES
ACROSS THE REGION. LOWS WILL RANGE FROM AROUND ZERO NEAR THE COAST
TO 15 BELOW IN THE MOUNTAINS. ON FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY AND CONTINUED
COLD UNDER THE SURFACE RIDGE WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM
15 TO 25 DEGREES...OR A GOOD 15 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE FOR THE
DATE.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
PLENTY OF COLD AIR REMAINS IN PLACE DURING THE END OF THE WORKWEEK
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES MAINLY BETWEEN
15 AND 25 DEGREES FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. READINGS SHOULD BE AROUND
40 DEGREES FOR HIGHS IN PORTLAND THIS TIME OF THE YEAR.

A WEEK FRONT WILL CROSS NEW ENGLAND SATURDAY NIGHT. AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...WEAK WARM AIR ADVECTION WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO REACH
THE FREEZING LEVEL OVER SOUTHERN SECTIONS. FULL SUNSHINE SHOULD
ALLOW READINGS TO REACH THE FREEZING MARK OVER SOUTHERN SECTIONS
ON SUNDAY AS WELL. THIS IS STILL WELL BELOW NORMAL.

00Z MODEL SUITE STILL SHOWING A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CROSSING
OVER MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THIS WILL BRING
SOME SNOW SHOWERS OR A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW TO THE REGION.
THIS SYSTEM WILL BE SIMILAR TO THE OTHERS IN THAT IT WILL BE
MOISTURE STARVED.

LACK OF ARCTIC AIR BEHIND THIS DEPARTING SYSTEM WILL ALLOW FOR A
WARM UP EARLY TO MID NEXT WEEK WITH WIDESPREAD 40S. AN OFFSHORE
FLOW TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WILL BRING THE WARMEST LOCATIONS TO THE
COASTLINE.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR EXPECTED.

LONG TERM...IFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN DETERIORATING
CONDITIONS...LOWERING CEILINGS AND POSSIBLY LOWERING VISIBILITIES
IN SOME SNOW SHOWERS EARLY MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SMALL CRAFT WINDS AND SEAS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT
BEHIND THE SECONDARY COLD FRONT WITH CURRENT HEADLINE EXTENDED
ACCORDINGLY. COLD TEMPERATURES AND WIND TONIGHT WILL PRODUCE A
PERIOD OF MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY WITH A FREEZING SPRAY ADV ISSUED
FOR TONIGHT.

LONG TERM...QUICK MOVING...BUT RELATIVELY WEAK SYSTEMS WILL CROSS
THE WATERS DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THE HIGHEST CHANCE OF
REACHING SCA WIND THRESHOLDS OF GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS WILL OCCUR EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING...EARLY MONDAY MORNING AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.
     FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...KISTNER




000
FXUS61 KGYX 051449
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
949 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THROUGH
THURSDAY...AND CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL
APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL CROSS THE AREA ON
SATURDAY. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST SATURDAY
NIGHT AND WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION MONDAY AND WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
930 AM UPDATE...NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES MADE TO THE FORECAST.
ADJUSTED TEMPERATURES TO MATCH CURRENT OBS AND TRENDS. MODELS SHOW
T850 TO CONTINUE TO DROP THROUGH THE DAY WITH COLD AIR
ADVECTION AND AREAS ACROSS THE NORTH WILL LIKELY ONLY TOP OUT IN
THE UPPER SINGLE DIGITS TO LOW TEENS TODAY EVEN WITH SOME BREAKS
OF SUN THIS AFTERNOON. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO PUSH
INTO THE REGION...BUT MID TO UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH
THE FRONT TO OUR SOUTH WILL LIKELY LINGER OVER THE AREA INTO THIS
AFTERNOON ACROSS THE NORTH AND INTO THE EVENING HOURS ACROSS THE
SOUTH.

600 AM...FOR THIS ESTF UPDATE I MADE MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO 1ST
PERIOD GRIDS TO REFLECT THE LATEST MESONET AND SATELLITE TRENDS.


PREV DISC...
AT 07Z...A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WAS SITUATED ALONG THE COASTAL
PLAIN...WHILE A FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDED FROM THE DELMARVA TO
SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND WITH A SERIES OF WAVES RIDING ALONG IT. THE
COLD FRONT WILL EXIT THE COAST NEXT FEW HOURS. CLOUD SHIELD WITH
THE BOUNDARY TO OUR SOUTH WILL GRADUALLY SINK FURTHER SOUTHWARD
TODAY AS SURFACE HIGH BEGINS TO NOSE IN FROM THE WEST. MUCH COLDER
THEN YESTERDAY AS COLD AIR DEEPENS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA WITH
READINGS A GOOD 15 TO 20 DEGREES COOLER THAN WEDNESDAY. OUTSIDE OF
A STRAY FLURRY...IT WILL BE A DRY DAY ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA
TODAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
CLEARING AND SEASONABLY COLD TONIGHT AS SURFACE HIGH SETTLES
ACROSS THE REGION. LOWS WILL RANGE FROM AROUND ZERO NEAR THE COAST
TO 15 BELOW IN THE MOUNTAINS. ON FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY AND CONTINUED
COLD UNDER THE SURFACE RIDGE WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM
15 TO 25 DEGREES...OR A GOOD 15 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE FOR THE
DATE.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
PLENTY OF COLD AIR REMAINS IN PLACE DURING THE END OF THE WORKWEEK
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES MAINLY BETWEEN
15 AND 25 DEGREES FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. READINGS SHOULD BE AROUND
40 DEGREES FOR HIGHS IN PORTLAND THIS TIME OF THE YEAR.

A WEEK FRONT WILL CROSS NEW ENGLAND SATURDAY NIGHT. AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...WEAK WARM AIR ADVECTION WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO REACH
THE FREEZING LEVEL OVER SOUTHERN SECTIONS. FULL SUNSHINE SHOULD
ALLOW READINGS TO REACH THE FREEZING MARK OVER SOUTHERN SECTIONS
ON SUNDAY AS WELL. THIS IS STILL WELL BELOW NORMAL.

00Z MODEL SUITE STILL SHOWING A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CROSSING
OVER MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THIS WILL BRING
SOME SNOW SHOWERS OR A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW TO THE REGION.
THIS SYSTEM WILL BE SIMILAR TO THE OTHERS IN THAT IT WILL BE
MOISTURE STARVED.

LACK OF ARCTIC AIR BEHIND THIS DEPARTING SYSTEM WILL ALLOW FOR A
WARM UP EARLY TO MID NEXT WEEK WITH WIDESPREAD 40S. AN OFFSHORE
FLOW TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WILL BRING THE WARMEST LOCATIONS TO THE
COASTLINE.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR EXPECTED.

LONG TERM...IFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN DETERIORATING
CONDITIONS...LOWERING CEILINGS AND POSSIBLY LOWERING VISIBILITIES
IN SOME SNOW SHOWERS EARLY MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SMALL CRAFT WINDS AND SEAS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT
BEHIND THE SECONDARY COLD FRONT WITH CURRENT HEADLINE EXTENDED
ACCORDINGLY. COLD TEMPERATURES AND WIND TONIGHT WILL PRODUCE A
PERIOD OF MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY WITH A FREEZING SPRAY ADV ISSUED
FOR TONIGHT.

LONG TERM...QUICK MOVING...BUT RELATIVELY WEAK SYSTEMS WILL CROSS
THE WATERS DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THE HIGHEST CHANCE OF
REACHING SCA WIND THRESHOLDS OF GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS WILL OCCUR EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING...EARLY MONDAY MORNING AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.
     FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...KISTNER





000
FXUS61 KGYX 051109
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
609 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THROUGH
THURSDAY...AND CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL
APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL CROSS THE AREA ON
SATURDAY. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST SATURDAY
NIGHT AND WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION MONDAY AND WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...

600 AM...FOR THIS ESTF UPDATE I MADE MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO 1ST
PERIOD GRIDS TO REFLECT THE LATEST MESONET AND SATELLITE TRENDS.


PREV DISC...
AT 07Z...A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WAS SITUATED ALONG THE COASTAL
PLAIN...WHILE A FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDED FROM THE DELMARVA TO
SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND WITH A SERIES OF WAVES RIDING ALONG IT. THE
COLD FRONT WILL EXIT THE COAST NEXT FEW HOURS. CLOUD SHIELD WITH
THE BOUNDARY TO OUR SOUTH WILL GRADUALLY SINK FURTHER SOUTHWARD
TODAY AS SURFACE HIGH BEGINS TO NOSE IN FROM THE WEST. MUCH COLDER
THEN YESTERDAY AS COLD AIR DEEPENS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA WITH
READINGS A GOOD 15 TO 20 DEGREES COOLER THAN WEDNESDAY. OUTSIDE OF
A STRAY FLURRY...IT WILL BE A DRY DAY ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA
TODAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
CLEARING AND SEASONABLY COLD TONIGHT AS SURFACE HIGH SETTLES
ACROSS THE REGION. LOWS WILL RANGE FROM AROUND ZERO NEAR THE COAST
TO 15 BELOW IN THE MOUNTAINS. ON FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY AND CONTINUED
COLD UNDER THE SURFACE RIDGE WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM
15 TO 25 DEGREES...OR A GOOD 15 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE FOR THE
DATE.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
PLENTY OF COLD AIR REMAINS IN PLACE DURING THE END OF THE WORKWEEK
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES MAINLY BETWEEN
15 AND 25 DEGREES FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. READINGS SHOULD BE AROUND
40 DEGREES FOR HIGHS IN PORTLAND THIS TIME OF THE YEAR.

A WEEK FRONT WILL CROSS NEW ENGLAND SATURDAY NIGHT. AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...WEAK WARM AIR ADVECTION WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO REACH
THE FREEZING LEVEL OVER SOUTHERN SECTIONS. FULL SUNSHINE SHOULD
ALLOW READINGS TO REACH THE FREEZING MARK OVER SOUTHERN SECTIONS
ON SUNDAY AS WELL. THIS IS STILL WELL BELOW NORMAL.

00Z MODEL SUITE STILL SHOWING A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CROSSING
OVER MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THIS WILL BRING
SOME SNOW SHOWERS OR A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW TO THE REGION.
THIS SYSTEM WILL BE SIMILAR TO THE OTHERS IN THAT IT WILL BE
MOISTURE STARVED.

LACK OF ARCTIC AIR BEHIND THIS DEPARTING SYSTEM WILL ALLOW FOR A
WARM UP EARLY TO MID NEXT WEEK WITH WIDESPREAD 40S. AN OFFSHORE
FLOW TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WILL BRING THE WARMEST LOCATIONS TO THE
COASTLINE.

&&

.AVIATION /11Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR EXPECTED.

LONG TERM...IFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN DETERIORATING
CONDITIONS...LOWERING CEILINGS AND POSSIBLY LOWERING VISIBILITIES
IN SOME SNOW SHOWERS EARLY MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SMALL CRAFT WINDS AND SEAS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT
BEHIND THE SECONDARY COLD FRONT WITH CURRENT HEADLINE EXTENDED
ACCORDINGLY. COLD TEMPERATURES AND WIND TONIGHT WILL PRODUCE A
PERIOD OF MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY WITH A FREEZING SPRAY ADV ISSUED
FOR TONIGHT.

LONG TERM...QUICK MOVING...BUT RELATIVELY WEAK SYSTEMS WILL CROSS
THE WATERS DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THE HIGHEST CHANCE OF
REACHING SCA WIND THRESHOLDS OF GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS WILL OCCUR EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING...EARLY MONDAY MORNING AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.
     FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$
ES





000
FXUS61 KGYX 051109
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
609 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THROUGH
THURSDAY...AND CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL
APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL CROSS THE AREA ON
SATURDAY. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST SATURDAY
NIGHT AND WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION MONDAY AND WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...

600 AM...FOR THIS ESTF UPDATE I MADE MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO 1ST
PERIOD GRIDS TO REFLECT THE LATEST MESONET AND SATELLITE TRENDS.


PREV DISC...
AT 07Z...A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WAS SITUATED ALONG THE COASTAL
PLAIN...WHILE A FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDED FROM THE DELMARVA TO
SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND WITH A SERIES OF WAVES RIDING ALONG IT. THE
COLD FRONT WILL EXIT THE COAST NEXT FEW HOURS. CLOUD SHIELD WITH
THE BOUNDARY TO OUR SOUTH WILL GRADUALLY SINK FURTHER SOUTHWARD
TODAY AS SURFACE HIGH BEGINS TO NOSE IN FROM THE WEST. MUCH COLDER
THEN YESTERDAY AS COLD AIR DEEPENS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA WITH
READINGS A GOOD 15 TO 20 DEGREES COOLER THAN WEDNESDAY. OUTSIDE OF
A STRAY FLURRY...IT WILL BE A DRY DAY ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA
TODAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
CLEARING AND SEASONABLY COLD TONIGHT AS SURFACE HIGH SETTLES
ACROSS THE REGION. LOWS WILL RANGE FROM AROUND ZERO NEAR THE COAST
TO 15 BELOW IN THE MOUNTAINS. ON FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY AND CONTINUED
COLD UNDER THE SURFACE RIDGE WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM
15 TO 25 DEGREES...OR A GOOD 15 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE FOR THE
DATE.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
PLENTY OF COLD AIR REMAINS IN PLACE DURING THE END OF THE WORKWEEK
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES MAINLY BETWEEN
15 AND 25 DEGREES FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. READINGS SHOULD BE AROUND
40 DEGREES FOR HIGHS IN PORTLAND THIS TIME OF THE YEAR.

A WEEK FRONT WILL CROSS NEW ENGLAND SATURDAY NIGHT. AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...WEAK WARM AIR ADVECTION WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO REACH
THE FREEZING LEVEL OVER SOUTHERN SECTIONS. FULL SUNSHINE SHOULD
ALLOW READINGS TO REACH THE FREEZING MARK OVER SOUTHERN SECTIONS
ON SUNDAY AS WELL. THIS IS STILL WELL BELOW NORMAL.

00Z MODEL SUITE STILL SHOWING A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CROSSING
OVER MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THIS WILL BRING
SOME SNOW SHOWERS OR A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW TO THE REGION.
THIS SYSTEM WILL BE SIMILAR TO THE OTHERS IN THAT IT WILL BE
MOISTURE STARVED.

LACK OF ARCTIC AIR BEHIND THIS DEPARTING SYSTEM WILL ALLOW FOR A
WARM UP EARLY TO MID NEXT WEEK WITH WIDESPREAD 40S. AN OFFSHORE
FLOW TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WILL BRING THE WARMEST LOCATIONS TO THE
COASTLINE.

&&

.AVIATION /11Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR EXPECTED.

LONG TERM...IFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN DETERIORATING
CONDITIONS...LOWERING CEILINGS AND POSSIBLY LOWERING VISIBILITIES
IN SOME SNOW SHOWERS EARLY MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SMALL CRAFT WINDS AND SEAS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT
BEHIND THE SECONDARY COLD FRONT WITH CURRENT HEADLINE EXTENDED
ACCORDINGLY. COLD TEMPERATURES AND WIND TONIGHT WILL PRODUCE A
PERIOD OF MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY WITH A FREEZING SPRAY ADV ISSUED
FOR TONIGHT.

LONG TERM...QUICK MOVING...BUT RELATIVELY WEAK SYSTEMS WILL CROSS
THE WATERS DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THE HIGHEST CHANCE OF
REACHING SCA WIND THRESHOLDS OF GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS WILL OCCUR EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING...EARLY MONDAY MORNING AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.
     FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$
ES





000
FXUS61 KGYX 051109
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
609 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THROUGH
THURSDAY...AND CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL
APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL CROSS THE AREA ON
SATURDAY. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST SATURDAY
NIGHT AND WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION MONDAY AND WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...

600 AM...FOR THIS ESTF UPDATE I MADE MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO 1ST
PERIOD GRIDS TO REFLECT THE LATEST MESONET AND SATELLITE TRENDS.


PREV DISC...
AT 07Z...A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WAS SITUATED ALONG THE COASTAL
PLAIN...WHILE A FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDED FROM THE DELMARVA TO
SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND WITH A SERIES OF WAVES RIDING ALONG IT. THE
COLD FRONT WILL EXIT THE COAST NEXT FEW HOURS. CLOUD SHIELD WITH
THE BOUNDARY TO OUR SOUTH WILL GRADUALLY SINK FURTHER SOUTHWARD
TODAY AS SURFACE HIGH BEGINS TO NOSE IN FROM THE WEST. MUCH COLDER
THEN YESTERDAY AS COLD AIR DEEPENS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA WITH
READINGS A GOOD 15 TO 20 DEGREES COOLER THAN WEDNESDAY. OUTSIDE OF
A STRAY FLURRY...IT WILL BE A DRY DAY ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA
TODAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
CLEARING AND SEASONABLY COLD TONIGHT AS SURFACE HIGH SETTLES
ACROSS THE REGION. LOWS WILL RANGE FROM AROUND ZERO NEAR THE COAST
TO 15 BELOW IN THE MOUNTAINS. ON FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY AND CONTINUED
COLD UNDER THE SURFACE RIDGE WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM
15 TO 25 DEGREES...OR A GOOD 15 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE FOR THE
DATE.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
PLENTY OF COLD AIR REMAINS IN PLACE DURING THE END OF THE WORKWEEK
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES MAINLY BETWEEN
15 AND 25 DEGREES FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. READINGS SHOULD BE AROUND
40 DEGREES FOR HIGHS IN PORTLAND THIS TIME OF THE YEAR.

A WEEK FRONT WILL CROSS NEW ENGLAND SATURDAY NIGHT. AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...WEAK WARM AIR ADVECTION WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO REACH
THE FREEZING LEVEL OVER SOUTHERN SECTIONS. FULL SUNSHINE SHOULD
ALLOW READINGS TO REACH THE FREEZING MARK OVER SOUTHERN SECTIONS
ON SUNDAY AS WELL. THIS IS STILL WELL BELOW NORMAL.

00Z MODEL SUITE STILL SHOWING A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CROSSING
OVER MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THIS WILL BRING
SOME SNOW SHOWERS OR A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW TO THE REGION.
THIS SYSTEM WILL BE SIMILAR TO THE OTHERS IN THAT IT WILL BE
MOISTURE STARVED.

LACK OF ARCTIC AIR BEHIND THIS DEPARTING SYSTEM WILL ALLOW FOR A
WARM UP EARLY TO MID NEXT WEEK WITH WIDESPREAD 40S. AN OFFSHORE
FLOW TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WILL BRING THE WARMEST LOCATIONS TO THE
COASTLINE.

&&

.AVIATION /11Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR EXPECTED.

LONG TERM...IFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN DETERIORATING
CONDITIONS...LOWERING CEILINGS AND POSSIBLY LOWERING VISIBILITIES
IN SOME SNOW SHOWERS EARLY MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SMALL CRAFT WINDS AND SEAS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT
BEHIND THE SECONDARY COLD FRONT WITH CURRENT HEADLINE EXTENDED
ACCORDINGLY. COLD TEMPERATURES AND WIND TONIGHT WILL PRODUCE A
PERIOD OF MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY WITH A FREEZING SPRAY ADV ISSUED
FOR TONIGHT.

LONG TERM...QUICK MOVING...BUT RELATIVELY WEAK SYSTEMS WILL CROSS
THE WATERS DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THE HIGHEST CHANCE OF
REACHING SCA WIND THRESHOLDS OF GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS WILL OCCUR EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING...EARLY MONDAY MORNING AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.
     FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$
ES




000
FXUS61 KGYX 051109
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
609 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THROUGH
THURSDAY...AND CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL
APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL CROSS THE AREA ON
SATURDAY. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST SATURDAY
NIGHT AND WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION MONDAY AND WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...

600 AM...FOR THIS ESTF UPDATE I MADE MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO 1ST
PERIOD GRIDS TO REFLECT THE LATEST MESONET AND SATELLITE TRENDS.


PREV DISC...
AT 07Z...A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WAS SITUATED ALONG THE COASTAL
PLAIN...WHILE A FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDED FROM THE DELMARVA TO
SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND WITH A SERIES OF WAVES RIDING ALONG IT. THE
COLD FRONT WILL EXIT THE COAST NEXT FEW HOURS. CLOUD SHIELD WITH
THE BOUNDARY TO OUR SOUTH WILL GRADUALLY SINK FURTHER SOUTHWARD
TODAY AS SURFACE HIGH BEGINS TO NOSE IN FROM THE WEST. MUCH COLDER
THEN YESTERDAY AS COLD AIR DEEPENS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA WITH
READINGS A GOOD 15 TO 20 DEGREES COOLER THAN WEDNESDAY. OUTSIDE OF
A STRAY FLURRY...IT WILL BE A DRY DAY ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA
TODAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
CLEARING AND SEASONABLY COLD TONIGHT AS SURFACE HIGH SETTLES
ACROSS THE REGION. LOWS WILL RANGE FROM AROUND ZERO NEAR THE COAST
TO 15 BELOW IN THE MOUNTAINS. ON FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY AND CONTINUED
COLD UNDER THE SURFACE RIDGE WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM
15 TO 25 DEGREES...OR A GOOD 15 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE FOR THE
DATE.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
PLENTY OF COLD AIR REMAINS IN PLACE DURING THE END OF THE WORKWEEK
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES MAINLY BETWEEN
15 AND 25 DEGREES FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. READINGS SHOULD BE AROUND
40 DEGREES FOR HIGHS IN PORTLAND THIS TIME OF THE YEAR.

A WEEK FRONT WILL CROSS NEW ENGLAND SATURDAY NIGHT. AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...WEAK WARM AIR ADVECTION WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO REACH
THE FREEZING LEVEL OVER SOUTHERN SECTIONS. FULL SUNSHINE SHOULD
ALLOW READINGS TO REACH THE FREEZING MARK OVER SOUTHERN SECTIONS
ON SUNDAY AS WELL. THIS IS STILL WELL BELOW NORMAL.

00Z MODEL SUITE STILL SHOWING A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CROSSING
OVER MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THIS WILL BRING
SOME SNOW SHOWERS OR A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW TO THE REGION.
THIS SYSTEM WILL BE SIMILAR TO THE OTHERS IN THAT IT WILL BE
MOISTURE STARVED.

LACK OF ARCTIC AIR BEHIND THIS DEPARTING SYSTEM WILL ALLOW FOR A
WARM UP EARLY TO MID NEXT WEEK WITH WIDESPREAD 40S. AN OFFSHORE
FLOW TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WILL BRING THE WARMEST LOCATIONS TO THE
COASTLINE.

&&

.AVIATION /11Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR EXPECTED.

LONG TERM...IFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN DETERIORATING
CONDITIONS...LOWERING CEILINGS AND POSSIBLY LOWERING VISIBILITIES
IN SOME SNOW SHOWERS EARLY MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SMALL CRAFT WINDS AND SEAS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT
BEHIND THE SECONDARY COLD FRONT WITH CURRENT HEADLINE EXTENDED
ACCORDINGLY. COLD TEMPERATURES AND WIND TONIGHT WILL PRODUCE A
PERIOD OF MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY WITH A FREEZING SPRAY ADV ISSUED
FOR TONIGHT.

LONG TERM...QUICK MOVING...BUT RELATIVELY WEAK SYSTEMS WILL CROSS
THE WATERS DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THE HIGHEST CHANCE OF
REACHING SCA WIND THRESHOLDS OF GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS WILL OCCUR EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING...EARLY MONDAY MORNING AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.
     FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$
ES




000
FXUS61 KGYX 050740
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
240 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THROUGH
THURSDAY...AND CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL
APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL CROSS THE AREA ON
SATURDAY. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST SATURDAY
NIGHT AND WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION MONDAY AND WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...

AT 07Z...A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WAS SITUATED ALONG THE COASTAL
PLAIN...WHILE A FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDED FROM THE DELMARVA TO
SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND WITH A SERIES OF WAVES RIDING ALONG IT. THE
COLD FRONT WILL EXIT THE COAST NEXT FEW HOURS. CLOUD SHIELD WITH
THE BOUNDARY TO OUR SOUTH WILL GRADUALLY SINK FURTHER SOUTHWARD
TODAY AS SURFACE HIGH BEGINS TO NOSE IN FROM THE WEST. MUCH COLDER
THEN YESTERDAY AS COLD AIR DEEPENS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA WITH
READINGS A GOOD 15 TO 20 DEGREES COOLER THAN WEDNESDAY. OUTSIDE OF
A STRAY FLURRY...IT WILL BE A DRY DAY ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA
TODAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
CLEARING AND SEASONABLY COLD TONIGHT AS SURFACE HIGH SETTLES
ACROSS THE REGION. LOWS WILL RANGE FROM AROUND ZERO NEAR THE COAST
TO 15 BELOW IN THE MOUNTAINS. ON FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY AND CONTINUED
COLD UNDER THE SURFACE RIDGE WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM
15 TO 25 DEGREES...OR A GOOD 15 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE FOR THE
DATE.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
PLENTY OF COLD AIR REMAINS IN PLACE DURING THE END OF THE WORKWEEK
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES MAINLY BETWEEN
15 AND 25 DEGREES FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. READINGS SHOULD BE AROUND
40 DEGREES FOR HIGHS IN PORTLAND THIS TIME OF THE YEAR.

A WEEK FRONT WILL CROSS NEW ENGLAND SATURDAY NIGHT. AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...WEAK WARM AIR ADVECTION WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO REACH
THE FREEZING LEVEL OVER SOUTHERN SECTIONS. FULL SUNSHINE SHOULD
ALLOW READINGS TO REACH THE FREEZING MARK OVER SOUTHERN SECTIONS
ON SUNDAY AS WELL. THIS IS STILL WELL BELOW NORMAL.

00Z MODEL SUITE STILL SHOWING A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CROSSING
OVER MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THIS WILL BRING
SOME SNOW SHOWERS OR A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW TO THE REGION.
THIS SYSTEM WILL BE SIMILAR TO THE OTHERS IN THAT IT WILL BE
MOISTURE STARVED.

LACK OF ARCTIC AIR BEHIND THIS DEPARTING SYSTEM WILL ALLOW FOR A
WARM UP EARLY TO MID NEXT WEEK WITH WIDESPREAD 40S. AN OFFSHORE
FLOW TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WILL BRING THE WARMEST LOCATIONS TO THE
COASTLINE.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR EXPECTED.

LONG TERM...IFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN DETERIORATING
CONDITIONS...LOWERING CEILINGS AND POSSIBLY LOWERING VISIBILITIES
IN SOME SNOW SHOWERS EARLY MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SMALL CRAFT WINDS AND SEAS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT
BEHIND THE SECONDARY COLD FRONT WITH CURRENT HEADLINE EXTENDED
ACCORDINGLY. COLD TEMPERATURES AND WIND TONIGHT WILL PRODUCE A
PERIOD OF MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY WITH A FREEZING SPRAY ADV ISSUED
FOR TONIGHT.

LONG TERM...QUICK MOVING...BUT RELATIVELY WEAK SYSTEMS WILL CROSS
THE WATERS DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THE HIGHEST CHANCE OF
REACHING SCA WIND THRESHOLDS OF GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS WILL OCCUR EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING...EARLY MONDAY MORNING AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.
     FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$

SCHWIBS/CANNON





000
FXUS61 KGYX 050740
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
240 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THROUGH
THURSDAY...AND CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL
APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL CROSS THE AREA ON
SATURDAY. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST SATURDAY
NIGHT AND WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION MONDAY AND WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...

AT 07Z...A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WAS SITUATED ALONG THE COASTAL
PLAIN...WHILE A FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDED FROM THE DELMARVA TO
SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND WITH A SERIES OF WAVES RIDING ALONG IT. THE
COLD FRONT WILL EXIT THE COAST NEXT FEW HOURS. CLOUD SHIELD WITH
THE BOUNDARY TO OUR SOUTH WILL GRADUALLY SINK FURTHER SOUTHWARD
TODAY AS SURFACE HIGH BEGINS TO NOSE IN FROM THE WEST. MUCH COLDER
THEN YESTERDAY AS COLD AIR DEEPENS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA WITH
READINGS A GOOD 15 TO 20 DEGREES COOLER THAN WEDNESDAY. OUTSIDE OF
A STRAY FLURRY...IT WILL BE A DRY DAY ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA
TODAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
CLEARING AND SEASONABLY COLD TONIGHT AS SURFACE HIGH SETTLES
ACROSS THE REGION. LOWS WILL RANGE FROM AROUND ZERO NEAR THE COAST
TO 15 BELOW IN THE MOUNTAINS. ON FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY AND CONTINUED
COLD UNDER THE SURFACE RIDGE WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM
15 TO 25 DEGREES...OR A GOOD 15 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE FOR THE
DATE.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
PLENTY OF COLD AIR REMAINS IN PLACE DURING THE END OF THE WORKWEEK
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES MAINLY BETWEEN
15 AND 25 DEGREES FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. READINGS SHOULD BE AROUND
40 DEGREES FOR HIGHS IN PORTLAND THIS TIME OF THE YEAR.

A WEEK FRONT WILL CROSS NEW ENGLAND SATURDAY NIGHT. AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...WEAK WARM AIR ADVECTION WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO REACH
THE FREEZING LEVEL OVER SOUTHERN SECTIONS. FULL SUNSHINE SHOULD
ALLOW READINGS TO REACH THE FREEZING MARK OVER SOUTHERN SECTIONS
ON SUNDAY AS WELL. THIS IS STILL WELL BELOW NORMAL.

00Z MODEL SUITE STILL SHOWING A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CROSSING
OVER MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THIS WILL BRING
SOME SNOW SHOWERS OR A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW TO THE REGION.
THIS SYSTEM WILL BE SIMILAR TO THE OTHERS IN THAT IT WILL BE
MOISTURE STARVED.

LACK OF ARCTIC AIR BEHIND THIS DEPARTING SYSTEM WILL ALLOW FOR A
WARM UP EARLY TO MID NEXT WEEK WITH WIDESPREAD 40S. AN OFFSHORE
FLOW TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WILL BRING THE WARMEST LOCATIONS TO THE
COASTLINE.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR EXPECTED.

LONG TERM...IFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN DETERIORATING
CONDITIONS...LOWERING CEILINGS AND POSSIBLY LOWERING VISIBILITIES
IN SOME SNOW SHOWERS EARLY MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SMALL CRAFT WINDS AND SEAS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT
BEHIND THE SECONDARY COLD FRONT WITH CURRENT HEADLINE EXTENDED
ACCORDINGLY. COLD TEMPERATURES AND WIND TONIGHT WILL PRODUCE A
PERIOD OF MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY WITH A FREEZING SPRAY ADV ISSUED
FOR TONIGHT.

LONG TERM...QUICK MOVING...BUT RELATIVELY WEAK SYSTEMS WILL CROSS
THE WATERS DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THE HIGHEST CHANCE OF
REACHING SCA WIND THRESHOLDS OF GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS WILL OCCUR EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING...EARLY MONDAY MORNING AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.
     FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$

SCHWIBS/CANNON




000
FXUS61 KGYX 050740
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
240 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THROUGH
THURSDAY...AND CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL
APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL CROSS THE AREA ON
SATURDAY. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST SATURDAY
NIGHT AND WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION MONDAY AND WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...

AT 07Z...A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WAS SITUATED ALONG THE COASTAL
PLAIN...WHILE A FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDED FROM THE DELMARVA TO
SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND WITH A SERIES OF WAVES RIDING ALONG IT. THE
COLD FRONT WILL EXIT THE COAST NEXT FEW HOURS. CLOUD SHIELD WITH
THE BOUNDARY TO OUR SOUTH WILL GRADUALLY SINK FURTHER SOUTHWARD
TODAY AS SURFACE HIGH BEGINS TO NOSE IN FROM THE WEST. MUCH COLDER
THEN YESTERDAY AS COLD AIR DEEPENS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA WITH
READINGS A GOOD 15 TO 20 DEGREES COOLER THAN WEDNESDAY. OUTSIDE OF
A STRAY FLURRY...IT WILL BE A DRY DAY ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA
TODAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
CLEARING AND SEASONABLY COLD TONIGHT AS SURFACE HIGH SETTLES
ACROSS THE REGION. LOWS WILL RANGE FROM AROUND ZERO NEAR THE COAST
TO 15 BELOW IN THE MOUNTAINS. ON FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY AND CONTINUED
COLD UNDER THE SURFACE RIDGE WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM
15 TO 25 DEGREES...OR A GOOD 15 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE FOR THE
DATE.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
PLENTY OF COLD AIR REMAINS IN PLACE DURING THE END OF THE WORKWEEK
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES MAINLY BETWEEN
15 AND 25 DEGREES FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. READINGS SHOULD BE AROUND
40 DEGREES FOR HIGHS IN PORTLAND THIS TIME OF THE YEAR.

A WEEK FRONT WILL CROSS NEW ENGLAND SATURDAY NIGHT. AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...WEAK WARM AIR ADVECTION WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO REACH
THE FREEZING LEVEL OVER SOUTHERN SECTIONS. FULL SUNSHINE SHOULD
ALLOW READINGS TO REACH THE FREEZING MARK OVER SOUTHERN SECTIONS
ON SUNDAY AS WELL. THIS IS STILL WELL BELOW NORMAL.

00Z MODEL SUITE STILL SHOWING A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CROSSING
OVER MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THIS WILL BRING
SOME SNOW SHOWERS OR A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW TO THE REGION.
THIS SYSTEM WILL BE SIMILAR TO THE OTHERS IN THAT IT WILL BE
MOISTURE STARVED.

LACK OF ARCTIC AIR BEHIND THIS DEPARTING SYSTEM WILL ALLOW FOR A
WARM UP EARLY TO MID NEXT WEEK WITH WIDESPREAD 40S. AN OFFSHORE
FLOW TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WILL BRING THE WARMEST LOCATIONS TO THE
COASTLINE.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR EXPECTED.

LONG TERM...IFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN DETERIORATING
CONDITIONS...LOWERING CEILINGS AND POSSIBLY LOWERING VISIBILITIES
IN SOME SNOW SHOWERS EARLY MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SMALL CRAFT WINDS AND SEAS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT
BEHIND THE SECONDARY COLD FRONT WITH CURRENT HEADLINE EXTENDED
ACCORDINGLY. COLD TEMPERATURES AND WIND TONIGHT WILL PRODUCE A
PERIOD OF MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY WITH A FREEZING SPRAY ADV ISSUED
FOR TONIGHT.

LONG TERM...QUICK MOVING...BUT RELATIVELY WEAK SYSTEMS WILL CROSS
THE WATERS DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THE HIGHEST CHANCE OF
REACHING SCA WIND THRESHOLDS OF GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS WILL OCCUR EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING...EARLY MONDAY MORNING AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.
     FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$

SCHWIBS/CANNON





000
FXUS61 KGYX 050740
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
240 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THROUGH
THURSDAY...AND CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL
APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL CROSS THE AREA ON
SATURDAY. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST SATURDAY
NIGHT AND WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION MONDAY AND WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...

AT 07Z...A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WAS SITUATED ALONG THE COASTAL
PLAIN...WHILE A FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDED FROM THE DELMARVA TO
SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND WITH A SERIES OF WAVES RIDING ALONG IT. THE
COLD FRONT WILL EXIT THE COAST NEXT FEW HOURS. CLOUD SHIELD WITH
THE BOUNDARY TO OUR SOUTH WILL GRADUALLY SINK FURTHER SOUTHWARD
TODAY AS SURFACE HIGH BEGINS TO NOSE IN FROM THE WEST. MUCH COLDER
THEN YESTERDAY AS COLD AIR DEEPENS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA WITH
READINGS A GOOD 15 TO 20 DEGREES COOLER THAN WEDNESDAY. OUTSIDE OF
A STRAY FLURRY...IT WILL BE A DRY DAY ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA
TODAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
CLEARING AND SEASONABLY COLD TONIGHT AS SURFACE HIGH SETTLES
ACROSS THE REGION. LOWS WILL RANGE FROM AROUND ZERO NEAR THE COAST
TO 15 BELOW IN THE MOUNTAINS. ON FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY AND CONTINUED
COLD UNDER THE SURFACE RIDGE WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM
15 TO 25 DEGREES...OR A GOOD 15 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE FOR THE
DATE.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
PLENTY OF COLD AIR REMAINS IN PLACE DURING THE END OF THE WORKWEEK
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES MAINLY BETWEEN
15 AND 25 DEGREES FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. READINGS SHOULD BE AROUND
40 DEGREES FOR HIGHS IN PORTLAND THIS TIME OF THE YEAR.

A WEEK FRONT WILL CROSS NEW ENGLAND SATURDAY NIGHT. AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...WEAK WARM AIR ADVECTION WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO REACH
THE FREEZING LEVEL OVER SOUTHERN SECTIONS. FULL SUNSHINE SHOULD
ALLOW READINGS TO REACH THE FREEZING MARK OVER SOUTHERN SECTIONS
ON SUNDAY AS WELL. THIS IS STILL WELL BELOW NORMAL.

00Z MODEL SUITE STILL SHOWING A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CROSSING
OVER MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THIS WILL BRING
SOME SNOW SHOWERS OR A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW TO THE REGION.
THIS SYSTEM WILL BE SIMILAR TO THE OTHERS IN THAT IT WILL BE
MOISTURE STARVED.

LACK OF ARCTIC AIR BEHIND THIS DEPARTING SYSTEM WILL ALLOW FOR A
WARM UP EARLY TO MID NEXT WEEK WITH WIDESPREAD 40S. AN OFFSHORE
FLOW TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WILL BRING THE WARMEST LOCATIONS TO THE
COASTLINE.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR EXPECTED.

LONG TERM...IFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN DETERIORATING
CONDITIONS...LOWERING CEILINGS AND POSSIBLY LOWERING VISIBILITIES
IN SOME SNOW SHOWERS EARLY MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SMALL CRAFT WINDS AND SEAS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT
BEHIND THE SECONDARY COLD FRONT WITH CURRENT HEADLINE EXTENDED
ACCORDINGLY. COLD TEMPERATURES AND WIND TONIGHT WILL PRODUCE A
PERIOD OF MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY WITH A FREEZING SPRAY ADV ISSUED
FOR TONIGHT.

LONG TERM...QUICK MOVING...BUT RELATIVELY WEAK SYSTEMS WILL CROSS
THE WATERS DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THE HIGHEST CHANCE OF
REACHING SCA WIND THRESHOLDS OF GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS WILL OCCUR EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING...EARLY MONDAY MORNING AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.
     FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$

SCHWIBS/CANNON




000
FXUS61 KGYX 050534
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
1234 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THROUGH
THURSDAY...AND CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL
APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL CROSS THE AREA ON
SATURDAY. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST SATURDAY
NIGHT AND WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION MONDAY AND WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/...

1229 AM...MINOR ESTF UPDATE TO REFLECT SATELLITE TREND AND INGEST
THE 05Z MESONET INTO FIRST PERIOD GRIDS.

PREV DISC...
.UPDATE...
NO MAJOR CHANGES FOR THIS UPDATE... PRECIPITATION STAYING TO OUR
SOUTH WITH JUST THE LIGHTEST ECHOES ENCROACHING ON SOUTHERN NH.
MESO MODELS STILL SHOWING THIS SAGGING SOUTH THE NEXT FEW HOURS SO
THINK MINIMAL CHANCE OF POPS LOOKS GOOD.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 AM FRIDAY/...
A SERIES OF WAVES WILL RIPPLE ALONG THE SLOWLY ADVANCING COLD
FRONT THRU THU NIGHT. THE FIRST OF WHICH...CURRENTLY OVER THE MID
MS RIVER VALLEY...ARRIVES EARLY THU. HAVE MAINTAINED SOME SCHC POP
IN SRN NH ALONG THE MA BORDER. I REALLY DON/T EXPECT MUCH MORE
THAN SHSN ALONG THE BORDER IF PRECIP DOES FALL. THE SECOND WAVE
ARRIVES LATE THU EVENING...AND SHOULD BE EVEN FARTHER S THAN THE
FIRST.

HIGH PRES BEGINS TO ASSERT MORE CONTROL OVER THE REGION...AND
SKIES WILL QUICKLY CLEAR FROM N TO S. WITH SURFACE RIDGE AXIS
ALIGNED OVERHEAD...EXPECT BOUNDARY LAYER TO DECOUPLE AND THE
TYPICAL COLD SPOTS TO FALL WELL BELOW ZERO. SIDED WITH THE COLDER
MAV/MET GUIDANCE.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
PRETTY QUIET EXTENDED FORECAST THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK....
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY BEFORE
SHIFTING OFFSHORE. DESPITE A FAIR AMOUNT OF SUNSHINE
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO AVERAGE WELL BELOW NORMAL
WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TEENS NORTH AND LOWER TO MID 20S SOUTH.

COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT BRINGING
INCREASING CLOUDS AND A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN IN NORTHERN
ZONES AFTER MIDNIGHT. FRONT WILL TAKE ALL DAY SATURDAY TO PUSH
THROUGH THE REGION. WILL LIKELY INCLUDE LOW CHANCE POPS FOR MOST
OF THE FORECAST AREA BUT EXPECT ANY SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY TO BE LIGHT
AND SPOTTY WITH THIS MOISTURE STARVED SYSTEM. HIGHS ON SATURDAY WILL
REACH THE MID 20S TO MID 30S.

SKIES CLEAR BRIEFLY SATURDAY EVENING AS THE FRONT PUSHES OFFSHORE...
BUT CLOUDS WILL AGAIN BE ON THE INCREASE AFTER MIDNIGHT AS WEAK
CLIPPER APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. WILL SEE A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS TOWARD DAYBREAK IN SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE BUT ONCE AGAIN
EXPECT ANY AMOUNTS TO BE LIGHT AND SPOTTY. ENTIRE FORECAST AREA
WILL SEE THE CHANCE OF OCCASIONAL LIGHT SNOW ON SUNDAY AS LOW
PRESSURE MOVES INTO SOUTHERN MAINE BY LATE IN THE DAY. QPF
FORECAST TO BE LIGHT WITH THIS SYSTEM WITH MOST AREAS SEEING ONLY
AN INCH OR TWO OF SNOW THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.

EXPECT LIGHT SNOW TO WIND DOWN SUNDAY EVENING AS LOW PRESSURE
SHIFTS EAST INTO THE MARITIMES. VARIABLE CLOUDINESS WILL LINGER
THROUGH THE NIGHT AND INTO MONDAY AS LOW PRESSURE TROUGH LINGERS
OVER THE AREA. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL
GRADUALLY CLEAR SKIES DOWNWIND OF THE MOUNTAINS MONDAY AFTERNOON.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.
WARM FRONT PASSING THROUGH SOUTHERN QUEBEC WILL BRUSH NORTHERN
ZONES WITH CLOUDS MONDAY NIGHT BUT THE MAJORITY OF ASSOCIATED
PRECIP WILL REMAIN NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA. NET AFFECT WILL BE
A MODERATION IN TEMPS WITH MUCH OF THE AREA SEEING HIGHS AT OR
ABOVE NORMAL WITH MID 30S NORTH TO LOWER 40S SOUTH.

WARM AIR WILL STICK AROUND ON WEDNESDAY AS WEAK LOW PRESSURE
PASSES SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THRU FRI MORNING.
LOCAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN SCT SHSN ACROSS THE NRN
MOUNTAINS LATE THIS AFTERNOON...BEFORE UPSLOPE FLOW WEAKENS.

LONG TERM...VFR FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. AREAS MVFR/IFR
CEILINGS/VSBY SUNDAY. VFR MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...MARGINAL SCA CONDITIONS CONTINUE THRU THU NIGHT.
WINDS GUST 20 TO 25 KNOTS AT TIMES...WITH SEAS REMAINING RIGHT
AROUND 5 FT. A PERIOD OF MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY IS POSSIBLE LATE
THU NIGHT.

LONG TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED SATURDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR
     ANZ150>154.

&&

$$
ES




000
FXUS61 KGYX 050534
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
1234 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THROUGH
THURSDAY...AND CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL
APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL CROSS THE AREA ON
SATURDAY. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST SATURDAY
NIGHT AND WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION MONDAY AND WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/...

1229 AM...MINOR ESTF UPDATE TO REFLECT SATELLITE TREND AND INGEST
THE 05Z MESONET INTO FIRST PERIOD GRIDS.

PREV DISC...
.UPDATE...
NO MAJOR CHANGES FOR THIS UPDATE... PRECIPITATION STAYING TO OUR
SOUTH WITH JUST THE LIGHTEST ECHOES ENCROACHING ON SOUTHERN NH.
MESO MODELS STILL SHOWING THIS SAGGING SOUTH THE NEXT FEW HOURS SO
THINK MINIMAL CHANCE OF POPS LOOKS GOOD.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 AM FRIDAY/...
A SERIES OF WAVES WILL RIPPLE ALONG THE SLOWLY ADVANCING COLD
FRONT THRU THU NIGHT. THE FIRST OF WHICH...CURRENTLY OVER THE MID
MS RIVER VALLEY...ARRIVES EARLY THU. HAVE MAINTAINED SOME SCHC POP
IN SRN NH ALONG THE MA BORDER. I REALLY DON/T EXPECT MUCH MORE
THAN SHSN ALONG THE BORDER IF PRECIP DOES FALL. THE SECOND WAVE
ARRIVES LATE THU EVENING...AND SHOULD BE EVEN FARTHER S THAN THE
FIRST.

HIGH PRES BEGINS TO ASSERT MORE CONTROL OVER THE REGION...AND
SKIES WILL QUICKLY CLEAR FROM N TO S. WITH SURFACE RIDGE AXIS
ALIGNED OVERHEAD...EXPECT BOUNDARY LAYER TO DECOUPLE AND THE
TYPICAL COLD SPOTS TO FALL WELL BELOW ZERO. SIDED WITH THE COLDER
MAV/MET GUIDANCE.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
PRETTY QUIET EXTENDED FORECAST THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK....
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY BEFORE
SHIFTING OFFSHORE. DESPITE A FAIR AMOUNT OF SUNSHINE
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO AVERAGE WELL BELOW NORMAL
WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TEENS NORTH AND LOWER TO MID 20S SOUTH.

COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT BRINGING
INCREASING CLOUDS AND A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN IN NORTHERN
ZONES AFTER MIDNIGHT. FRONT WILL TAKE ALL DAY SATURDAY TO PUSH
THROUGH THE REGION. WILL LIKELY INCLUDE LOW CHANCE POPS FOR MOST
OF THE FORECAST AREA BUT EXPECT ANY SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY TO BE LIGHT
AND SPOTTY WITH THIS MOISTURE STARVED SYSTEM. HIGHS ON SATURDAY WILL
REACH THE MID 20S TO MID 30S.

SKIES CLEAR BRIEFLY SATURDAY EVENING AS THE FRONT PUSHES OFFSHORE...
BUT CLOUDS WILL AGAIN BE ON THE INCREASE AFTER MIDNIGHT AS WEAK
CLIPPER APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. WILL SEE A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS TOWARD DAYBREAK IN SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE BUT ONCE AGAIN
EXPECT ANY AMOUNTS TO BE LIGHT AND SPOTTY. ENTIRE FORECAST AREA
WILL SEE THE CHANCE OF OCCASIONAL LIGHT SNOW ON SUNDAY AS LOW
PRESSURE MOVES INTO SOUTHERN MAINE BY LATE IN THE DAY. QPF
FORECAST TO BE LIGHT WITH THIS SYSTEM WITH MOST AREAS SEEING ONLY
AN INCH OR TWO OF SNOW THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.

EXPECT LIGHT SNOW TO WIND DOWN SUNDAY EVENING AS LOW PRESSURE
SHIFTS EAST INTO THE MARITIMES. VARIABLE CLOUDINESS WILL LINGER
THROUGH THE NIGHT AND INTO MONDAY AS LOW PRESSURE TROUGH LINGERS
OVER THE AREA. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL
GRADUALLY CLEAR SKIES DOWNWIND OF THE MOUNTAINS MONDAY AFTERNOON.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.
WARM FRONT PASSING THROUGH SOUTHERN QUEBEC WILL BRUSH NORTHERN
ZONES WITH CLOUDS MONDAY NIGHT BUT THE MAJORITY OF ASSOCIATED
PRECIP WILL REMAIN NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA. NET AFFECT WILL BE
A MODERATION IN TEMPS WITH MUCH OF THE AREA SEEING HIGHS AT OR
ABOVE NORMAL WITH MID 30S NORTH TO LOWER 40S SOUTH.

WARM AIR WILL STICK AROUND ON WEDNESDAY AS WEAK LOW PRESSURE
PASSES SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THRU FRI MORNING.
LOCAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN SCT SHSN ACROSS THE NRN
MOUNTAINS LATE THIS AFTERNOON...BEFORE UPSLOPE FLOW WEAKENS.

LONG TERM...VFR FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. AREAS MVFR/IFR
CEILINGS/VSBY SUNDAY. VFR MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...MARGINAL SCA CONDITIONS CONTINUE THRU THU NIGHT.
WINDS GUST 20 TO 25 KNOTS AT TIMES...WITH SEAS REMAINING RIGHT
AROUND 5 FT. A PERIOD OF MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY IS POSSIBLE LATE
THU NIGHT.

LONG TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED SATURDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR
     ANZ150>154.

&&

$$
ES





000
FXUS61 KGYX 050250 AAC
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
950 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST TONIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY AND WILL CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A COLD
FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL CROSS THE
AREA ON SATURDAY. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST
SATURDAY NIGHT AND WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION MONDAY AND WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
.UPDATE...
NO MAJOR CHANGES FOR THIS UPDATE... PRECIPITATION STAYING TO OUR
SOUTH WITH JUST THE LIGHTEST ECHOES ENCROACHING ON SOUTHERN NH.
MESO MODELS STILL SHOWING THIS SAGGING SOUTH THE NEXT FEW HOURS SO
THINK MINIMAL CHANCE OF POPS LOOKS GOOD.

&&

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO DROP AFTER A RELATIVELY WARM DAY. SOME
LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS FALLING SOUTH OF NH AND THESE WILL WORK THEIR
WAY TOWARDS NH AND SW MAINE OVERNIGHT AS BAROCLINIC ZONE PUSHES
NORTH. HOWEVER MESO MODELS STILL SHOWING IT FALL JUST SHORT OF
ACCUMULATING PRECIPITATION OVER THE FORECAST AREA BEFORE THE
BOUNDARY DRIFTS BACK SOUTH AROUND DAYBREAK. HAVE MAINTAINED POPS
ACROSS FAR NORTH WITH THE APPROACH OF A COLD FRONT...OTHERWISE
ADJUSTED SKY... TEMPERATURES... AND DEW POINTS FOR CURRENT TRENDS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
A SERIES OF WAVES WILL RIPPLE ALONG THE SLOWLY ADVANCING COLD
FRONT THRU THU NIGHT. THE FIRST OF WHICH...CURRENTLY OVER THE MID
MS RIVER VALLEY...ARRIVES EARLY THU. HAVE MAINTAINED SOME SCHC POP
IN SRN NH ALONG THE MA BORDER. I REALLY DON/T EXPECT MUCH MORE
THAN SHSN ALONG THE BORDER IF PRECIP DOES FALL. THE SECOND WAVE
ARRIVES LATE THU EVENING...AND SHOULD BE EVEN FARTHER S THAN THE
FIRST.

HIGH PRES BEGINS TO ASSERT MORE CONTROL OVER THE REGION...AND
SKIES WILL QUICKLY CLEAR FROM N TO S. WITH SURFACE RIDGE AXIS
ALIGNED OVERHEAD...EXPECT BOUNDARY LAYER TO DECOUPLE AND THE
TYPICAL COLD SPOTS TO FALL WELL BELOW ZERO. SIDED WITH THE COLDER
MAV/MET GUIDANCE.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
PRETTY QUIET EXTENDED FORECAST THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK....
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY BEFORE
SHIFTING OFFSHORE. DESPITE A FAIR AMOUNT OF SUNSHINE
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO AVERAGE WELL BELOW NORMAL
WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TEENS NORTH AND LOWER TO MID 20S SOUTH.

COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT BRINGING
INCREASING CLOUDS AND A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN IN NORTHERN
ZONES AFTER MIDNIGHT. FRONT WILL TAKE ALL DAY SATURDAY TO PUSH
THROUGH THE REGION. WILL LIKELY INCLUDE LOW CHANCE POPS FOR MOST
OF THE FORECAST AREA BUT EXPECT ANY SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY TO BE LIGHT
AND SPOTTY WITH THIS MOISTURE STARVED SYSTEM. HIGHS ON SATURDAY WILL
REACH THE MID 20S TO MID 30S.

SKIES CLEAR BRIEFLY SATURDAY EVENING AS THE FRONT PUSHES OFFSHORE...
BUT CLOUDS WILL AGAIN BE ON THE INCREASE AFTER MIDNIGHT AS WEAK
CLIPPER APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. WILL SEE A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS TOWARD DAYBREAK IN SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE BUT ONCE AGAIN
EXPECT ANY AMOUNTS TO BE LIGHT AND SPOTTY. ENTIRE FORECAST AREA
WILL SEE THE CHANCE OF OCCASIONAL LIGHT SNOW ON SUNDAY AS LOW
PRESSURE MOVES INTO SOUTHERN MAINE BY LATE IN THE DAY. QPF
FORECAST TO BE LIGHT WITH THIS SYSTEM WITH MOST AREAS SEEING ONLY
AN INCH OR TWO OF SNOW THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.

EXPECT LIGHT SNOW TO WIND DOWN SUNDAY EVENING AS LOW PRESSURE
SHIFTS EAST INTO THE MARITIMES. VARIABLE CLOUDINESS WILL LINGER
THROUGH THE NIGHT AND INTO MONDAY AS LOW PRESSURE TROUGH LINGERS
OVER THE AREA. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL
GRADUALLY CLEAR SKIES DOWNWIND OF THE MOUNTAINS MONDAY AFTERNOON.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.
WARM FRONT PASSING THROUGH SOUTHERN QUEBEC WILL BRUSH NORTHERN
ZONES WITH CLOUDS MONDAY NIGHT BUT THE MAJORITY OF ASSOCIATED
PRECIP WILL REMAIN NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA. NET AFFECT WILL BE
A MODERATION IN TEMPS WITH MUCH OF THE AREA SEEING HIGHS AT OR
ABOVE NORMAL WITH MID 30S NORTH TO LOWER 40S SOUTH.

WARM AIR WILL STICK AROUND ON WEDNESDAY AS WEAK LOW PRESSURE
PASSES SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND.

&&

.AVIATION /03Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THRU FRI MORNING.
LOCAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN SCT SHSN ACROSS THE NRN
MOUNTAINS LATE THIS AFTERNOON...BEFORE UPSLOPE FLOW WEAKENS.

LONG TERM...VFR FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. AREAS MVFR/IFR
CEILINGS/VSBY SUNDAY. VFR MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...MARGINAL SCA CONDITIONS CONTINUE THRU THU NIGHT.
WINDS GUST 20 TO 25 KNOTS AT TIMES...WITH SEAS REMAINING RIGHT
AROUND 5 FT. A PERIOD OF MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY IS POSSIBLE LATE
THU NIGHT.

LONG TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED SATURDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$

UPDATE...HANES




000
FXUS61 KGYX 050250 AAC
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
950 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST TONIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY AND WILL CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A COLD
FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL CROSS THE
AREA ON SATURDAY. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST
SATURDAY NIGHT AND WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION MONDAY AND WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
.UPDATE...
NO MAJOR CHANGES FOR THIS UPDATE... PRECIPITATION STAYING TO OUR
SOUTH WITH JUST THE LIGHTEST ECHOES ENCROACHING ON SOUTHERN NH.
MESO MODELS STILL SHOWING THIS SAGGING SOUTH THE NEXT FEW HOURS SO
THINK MINIMAL CHANCE OF POPS LOOKS GOOD.

&&

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO DROP AFTER A RELATIVELY WARM DAY. SOME
LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS FALLING SOUTH OF NH AND THESE WILL WORK THEIR
WAY TOWARDS NH AND SW MAINE OVERNIGHT AS BAROCLINIC ZONE PUSHES
NORTH. HOWEVER MESO MODELS STILL SHOWING IT FALL JUST SHORT OF
ACCUMULATING PRECIPITATION OVER THE FORECAST AREA BEFORE THE
BOUNDARY DRIFTS BACK SOUTH AROUND DAYBREAK. HAVE MAINTAINED POPS
ACROSS FAR NORTH WITH THE APPROACH OF A COLD FRONT...OTHERWISE
ADJUSTED SKY... TEMPERATURES... AND DEW POINTS FOR CURRENT TRENDS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
A SERIES OF WAVES WILL RIPPLE ALONG THE SLOWLY ADVANCING COLD
FRONT THRU THU NIGHT. THE FIRST OF WHICH...CURRENTLY OVER THE MID
MS RIVER VALLEY...ARRIVES EARLY THU. HAVE MAINTAINED SOME SCHC POP
IN SRN NH ALONG THE MA BORDER. I REALLY DON/T EXPECT MUCH MORE
THAN SHSN ALONG THE BORDER IF PRECIP DOES FALL. THE SECOND WAVE
ARRIVES LATE THU EVENING...AND SHOULD BE EVEN FARTHER S THAN THE
FIRST.

HIGH PRES BEGINS TO ASSERT MORE CONTROL OVER THE REGION...AND
SKIES WILL QUICKLY CLEAR FROM N TO S. WITH SURFACE RIDGE AXIS
ALIGNED OVERHEAD...EXPECT BOUNDARY LAYER TO DECOUPLE AND THE
TYPICAL COLD SPOTS TO FALL WELL BELOW ZERO. SIDED WITH THE COLDER
MAV/MET GUIDANCE.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
PRETTY QUIET EXTENDED FORECAST THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK....
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY BEFORE
SHIFTING OFFSHORE. DESPITE A FAIR AMOUNT OF SUNSHINE
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO AVERAGE WELL BELOW NORMAL
WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TEENS NORTH AND LOWER TO MID 20S SOUTH.

COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT BRINGING
INCREASING CLOUDS AND A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN IN NORTHERN
ZONES AFTER MIDNIGHT. FRONT WILL TAKE ALL DAY SATURDAY TO PUSH
THROUGH THE REGION. WILL LIKELY INCLUDE LOW CHANCE POPS FOR MOST
OF THE FORECAST AREA BUT EXPECT ANY SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY TO BE LIGHT
AND SPOTTY WITH THIS MOISTURE STARVED SYSTEM. HIGHS ON SATURDAY WILL
REACH THE MID 20S TO MID 30S.

SKIES CLEAR BRIEFLY SATURDAY EVENING AS THE FRONT PUSHES OFFSHORE...
BUT CLOUDS WILL AGAIN BE ON THE INCREASE AFTER MIDNIGHT AS WEAK
CLIPPER APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. WILL SEE A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS TOWARD DAYBREAK IN SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE BUT ONCE AGAIN
EXPECT ANY AMOUNTS TO BE LIGHT AND SPOTTY. ENTIRE FORECAST AREA
WILL SEE THE CHANCE OF OCCASIONAL LIGHT SNOW ON SUNDAY AS LOW
PRESSURE MOVES INTO SOUTHERN MAINE BY LATE IN THE DAY. QPF
FORECAST TO BE LIGHT WITH THIS SYSTEM WITH MOST AREAS SEEING ONLY
AN INCH OR TWO OF SNOW THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.

EXPECT LIGHT SNOW TO WIND DOWN SUNDAY EVENING AS LOW PRESSURE
SHIFTS EAST INTO THE MARITIMES. VARIABLE CLOUDINESS WILL LINGER
THROUGH THE NIGHT AND INTO MONDAY AS LOW PRESSURE TROUGH LINGERS
OVER THE AREA. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL
GRADUALLY CLEAR SKIES DOWNWIND OF THE MOUNTAINS MONDAY AFTERNOON.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.
WARM FRONT PASSING THROUGH SOUTHERN QUEBEC WILL BRUSH NORTHERN
ZONES WITH CLOUDS MONDAY NIGHT BUT THE MAJORITY OF ASSOCIATED
PRECIP WILL REMAIN NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA. NET AFFECT WILL BE
A MODERATION IN TEMPS WITH MUCH OF THE AREA SEEING HIGHS AT OR
ABOVE NORMAL WITH MID 30S NORTH TO LOWER 40S SOUTH.

WARM AIR WILL STICK AROUND ON WEDNESDAY AS WEAK LOW PRESSURE
PASSES SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND.

&&

.AVIATION /03Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THRU FRI MORNING.
LOCAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN SCT SHSN ACROSS THE NRN
MOUNTAINS LATE THIS AFTERNOON...BEFORE UPSLOPE FLOW WEAKENS.

LONG TERM...VFR FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. AREAS MVFR/IFR
CEILINGS/VSBY SUNDAY. VFR MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...MARGINAL SCA CONDITIONS CONTINUE THRU THU NIGHT.
WINDS GUST 20 TO 25 KNOTS AT TIMES...WITH SEAS REMAINING RIGHT
AROUND 5 FT. A PERIOD OF MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY IS POSSIBLE LATE
THU NIGHT.

LONG TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED SATURDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$

UPDATE...HANES





000
FXUS61 KGYX 050005 AAA
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
705 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST TONIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY AND WILL CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A COLD
FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL CROSS THE
AREA ON SATURDAY. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST
SATURDAY NIGHT AND WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION MONDAY AND WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
.UPDATE...
TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO DROP AFTER A RELATIVELY WARM DAY. SOME
LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS FALLING SOUTH OF NH AND THESE WILL WORK THEIR
WAY TOWARDS NH AND SW MAINE OVERNIGHT AS BAROCLINIC ZONE PUSHES
NORTH. HOWEVER MESOMODELS STILL SHOWING IT FALL JUST SHORT OF
ACCUMULATING PRECIPITATION OVER THE FORECAST AREA BEFORE THE
BOUNDARY DRIFTS BACK SOUTH AROUND DAYBREAK. HAVE MAINTAINED POPS
ACROSS FAR NORTH WITH THE APPROACH OF A COLD FRONT...OTHERWISE
ADJUSTED SKY... TEMPERATURES... AND DEW POINTS FOR CURRENT TRENDS.

&&

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRES CONTINUES TO NOSE TOWARDS THE FORECAST AREA THIS
AFTERNOON. FOR THE TIME BEING THE REAL COLD PUSH REMAINS BACK
ACROSS CANADA...AND WILL WAIT TO PUSH THRU UNTIL THE OVERNIGHT. AS
SUCH HAVE BLENDED 2 M TEMP GUIDANCE IN WITH THE MAV/MET FOR
OVERNIGHT LOWS. CAA WILL KEEP AT LEAST MARGINAL MIXING IN THE
LOWEST LEVELS...AND I DON/T EXPECT RADIATIONAL COOLING TO BE MUCH
OF AN ISSUE. WITH THE PUSH OF COLD/DRY AIR UPSLOPE SHSN AND CLOUDS
WILL COME TO AN END OVERNIGHT AS WELL.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
A SERIES OF WAVES WILL RIPPLE ALONG THE SLOWLY ADVANCING COLD
FRONT THRU THU NIGHT. THE FIRST OF WHICH...CURRENTLY OVER THE MID
MS RIVER VALLEY...ARRIVES EARLY THU. HAVE MAINTAINED SOME SCHC POP
IN SRN NH ALONG THE MA BORDER. I REALLY DON/T EXPECT MUCH MORE
THAN SHSN ALONG THE BORDER IF PRECIP DOES FALL. THE SECOND WAVE
ARRIVES LATE THU EVENING...AND SHOULD BE EVEN FARTHER S THAN THE
FIRST.

HIGH PRES BEGINS TO ASSERT MORE CONTROL OVER THE REGION...AND
SKIES WILL QUICKLY CLEAR FROM N TO S. WITH SURFACE RIDGE AXIS
ALIGNED OVERHEAD...EXPECT BOUNDARY LAYER TO DECOUPLE AND THE
TYPICAL COLD SPOTS TO FALL WELL BELOW ZERO. SIDED WITH THE COLDER
MAV/MET GUIDANCE.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
PRETTY QUIET EXTENDED FORECAST THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK....
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY BEFORE
SHIFTING OFFSHORE. DESPITE A FAIR AMOUNT OF SUNSHINE
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO AVERAGE WELL BELOW NORMAL
WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TEENS NORTH AND LOWER TO MID 20S SOUTH.

COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT BRINGING
INCREASING CLOUDS AND A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN IN NORTHERN
ZONES AFTER MIDNIGHT. FRONT WILL TAKE ALL DAY SATURDAY TO PUSH
THROUGH THE REGION. WILL LIKELY INCLUDE LOW CHANCE POPS FOR MOST
OF THE FORECAST AREA BUT EXPECT ANY SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY TO BE LIGHT
AND SPOTTY WITH THIS MOISTURE STARVED SYSTEM. HIGHS ON SATURDAY WILL
REACH THE MID 20S TO MID 30S.

SKIES CLEAR BRIEFLY SATURDAY EVENING AS THE FRONT PUSHES OFFSHORE...
BUT CLOUDS WILL AGAIN BE ON THE INCREASE AFTER MIDNIGHT AS WEAK
CLIPPER APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. WILL SEE A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS TOWARD DAYBREAK IN SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE BUT ONCE AGAIN
EXPECT ANY AMOUNTS TO BE LIGHT AND SPOTTY. ENTIRE FORECAST AREA
WILL SEE THE CHANCE OF OCCASIONAL LIGHT SNOW ON SUNDAY AS LOW
PRESSURE MOVES INTO SOUTHERN MAINE BY LATE IN THE DAY. QPF
FORECAST TO BE LIGHT WITH THIS SYSTEM WITH MOST AREAS SEEING ONLY
AN INCH OR TWO OF SNOW THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.

EXPECT LIGHT SNOW TO WIND DOWN SUNDAY EVENING AS LOW PRESSURE
SHIFTS EAST INTO THE MARITIMES. VARIABLE CLOUDINESS WILL LINGER
THROUGH THE NIGHT AND INTO MONDAY AS LOW PRESSURE TROUGH LINGERS
OVER THE AREA. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL
GRADUALLY CLEAR SKIES DOWNWIND OF THE MOUNTAINS MONDAY AFTERNOON.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.
WARM FRONT PASSING THROUGH SOUTHERN QUEBEC WILL BRUSH NORTHERN
ZONES WITH CLOUDS MONDAY NIGHT BUT THE MAJORITY OF ASSOCIATED
PRECIP WILL REMAIN NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA. NET AFFECT WILL BE
A MODERATION IN TEMPS WITH MUCH OF THE AREA SEEING HIGHS AT OR
ABOVE NORMAL WITH MID 30S NORTH TO LOWER 40S SOUTH.

WARM AIR WILL STICK AROUND ON WEDNESDAY AS WEAK LOW PRESSURE
PASSES SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THRU FRI MORNING.
LOCAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN SCT SHSN ACROSS THE NRN
MOUNTAINS LATE THIS AFTERNOON...BEFORE UPSLOPE FLOW WEAKENS.

LONG TERM...VFR FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. AREAS MVFR/IFR
CEILINGS/VSBY SUNDAY. VFR MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...MARGINAL SCA CONDITIONS CONTINUE THRU THU NIGHT.
WINDS GUST 20 TO 25 KNOTS AT TIMES...WITH SEAS REMAINING RIGHT
AROUND 5 FT. A PERIOD OF MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY IS POSSIBLE LATE
THU NIGHT.

LONG TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED SATURDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...
MARINE...





000
FXUS61 KGYX 050005 AAA
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
705 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST TONIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY AND WILL CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A COLD
FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL CROSS THE
AREA ON SATURDAY. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST
SATURDAY NIGHT AND WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION MONDAY AND WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
.UPDATE...
TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO DROP AFTER A RELATIVELY WARM DAY. SOME
LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS FALLING SOUTH OF NH AND THESE WILL WORK THEIR
WAY TOWARDS NH AND SW MAINE OVERNIGHT AS BAROCLINIC ZONE PUSHES
NORTH. HOWEVER MESOMODELS STILL SHOWING IT FALL JUST SHORT OF
ACCUMULATING PRECIPITATION OVER THE FORECAST AREA BEFORE THE
BOUNDARY DRIFTS BACK SOUTH AROUND DAYBREAK. HAVE MAINTAINED POPS
ACROSS FAR NORTH WITH THE APPROACH OF A COLD FRONT...OTHERWISE
ADJUSTED SKY... TEMPERATURES... AND DEW POINTS FOR CURRENT TRENDS.

&&

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRES CONTINUES TO NOSE TOWARDS THE FORECAST AREA THIS
AFTERNOON. FOR THE TIME BEING THE REAL COLD PUSH REMAINS BACK
ACROSS CANADA...AND WILL WAIT TO PUSH THRU UNTIL THE OVERNIGHT. AS
SUCH HAVE BLENDED 2 M TEMP GUIDANCE IN WITH THE MAV/MET FOR
OVERNIGHT LOWS. CAA WILL KEEP AT LEAST MARGINAL MIXING IN THE
LOWEST LEVELS...AND I DON/T EXPECT RADIATIONAL COOLING TO BE MUCH
OF AN ISSUE. WITH THE PUSH OF COLD/DRY AIR UPSLOPE SHSN AND CLOUDS
WILL COME TO AN END OVERNIGHT AS WELL.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
A SERIES OF WAVES WILL RIPPLE ALONG THE SLOWLY ADVANCING COLD
FRONT THRU THU NIGHT. THE FIRST OF WHICH...CURRENTLY OVER THE MID
MS RIVER VALLEY...ARRIVES EARLY THU. HAVE MAINTAINED SOME SCHC POP
IN SRN NH ALONG THE MA BORDER. I REALLY DON/T EXPECT MUCH MORE
THAN SHSN ALONG THE BORDER IF PRECIP DOES FALL. THE SECOND WAVE
ARRIVES LATE THU EVENING...AND SHOULD BE EVEN FARTHER S THAN THE
FIRST.

HIGH PRES BEGINS TO ASSERT MORE CONTROL OVER THE REGION...AND
SKIES WILL QUICKLY CLEAR FROM N TO S. WITH SURFACE RIDGE AXIS
ALIGNED OVERHEAD...EXPECT BOUNDARY LAYER TO DECOUPLE AND THE
TYPICAL COLD SPOTS TO FALL WELL BELOW ZERO. SIDED WITH THE COLDER
MAV/MET GUIDANCE.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
PRETTY QUIET EXTENDED FORECAST THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK....
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY BEFORE
SHIFTING OFFSHORE. DESPITE A FAIR AMOUNT OF SUNSHINE
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO AVERAGE WELL BELOW NORMAL
WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TEENS NORTH AND LOWER TO MID 20S SOUTH.

COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT BRINGING
INCREASING CLOUDS AND A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN IN NORTHERN
ZONES AFTER MIDNIGHT. FRONT WILL TAKE ALL DAY SATURDAY TO PUSH
THROUGH THE REGION. WILL LIKELY INCLUDE LOW CHANCE POPS FOR MOST
OF THE FORECAST AREA BUT EXPECT ANY SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY TO BE LIGHT
AND SPOTTY WITH THIS MOISTURE STARVED SYSTEM. HIGHS ON SATURDAY WILL
REACH THE MID 20S TO MID 30S.

SKIES CLEAR BRIEFLY SATURDAY EVENING AS THE FRONT PUSHES OFFSHORE...
BUT CLOUDS WILL AGAIN BE ON THE INCREASE AFTER MIDNIGHT AS WEAK
CLIPPER APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. WILL SEE A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS TOWARD DAYBREAK IN SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE BUT ONCE AGAIN
EXPECT ANY AMOUNTS TO BE LIGHT AND SPOTTY. ENTIRE FORECAST AREA
WILL SEE THE CHANCE OF OCCASIONAL LIGHT SNOW ON SUNDAY AS LOW
PRESSURE MOVES INTO SOUTHERN MAINE BY LATE IN THE DAY. QPF
FORECAST TO BE LIGHT WITH THIS SYSTEM WITH MOST AREAS SEEING ONLY
AN INCH OR TWO OF SNOW THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.

EXPECT LIGHT SNOW TO WIND DOWN SUNDAY EVENING AS LOW PRESSURE
SHIFTS EAST INTO THE MARITIMES. VARIABLE CLOUDINESS WILL LINGER
THROUGH THE NIGHT AND INTO MONDAY AS LOW PRESSURE TROUGH LINGERS
OVER THE AREA. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL
GRADUALLY CLEAR SKIES DOWNWIND OF THE MOUNTAINS MONDAY AFTERNOON.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.
WARM FRONT PASSING THROUGH SOUTHERN QUEBEC WILL BRUSH NORTHERN
ZONES WITH CLOUDS MONDAY NIGHT BUT THE MAJORITY OF ASSOCIATED
PRECIP WILL REMAIN NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA. NET AFFECT WILL BE
A MODERATION IN TEMPS WITH MUCH OF THE AREA SEEING HIGHS AT OR
ABOVE NORMAL WITH MID 30S NORTH TO LOWER 40S SOUTH.

WARM AIR WILL STICK AROUND ON WEDNESDAY AS WEAK LOW PRESSURE
PASSES SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THRU FRI MORNING.
LOCAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN SCT SHSN ACROSS THE NRN
MOUNTAINS LATE THIS AFTERNOON...BEFORE UPSLOPE FLOW WEAKENS.

LONG TERM...VFR FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. AREAS MVFR/IFR
CEILINGS/VSBY SUNDAY. VFR MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...MARGINAL SCA CONDITIONS CONTINUE THRU THU NIGHT.
WINDS GUST 20 TO 25 KNOTS AT TIMES...WITH SEAS REMAINING RIGHT
AROUND 5 FT. A PERIOD OF MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY IS POSSIBLE LATE
THU NIGHT.

LONG TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED SATURDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...
MARINE...




000
FXUS61 KGYX 042020 CCA
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
320 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST TONIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY AND WILL CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A COLD
FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL CROSS THE
AREA ON SATURDAY. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST
SATURDAY NIGHT AND WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION MONDAY AND WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
HIGH PRES CONTINUES TO NOSE TOWARDS THE FORECAST AREA THIS
AFTERNOON. FOR THE TIME BEING THE REAL COLD PUSH REMAINS BACK
ACROSS CANADA...AND WILL WAIT TO PUSH THRU UNTIL THE OVERNIGHT. AS
SUCH HAVE BLENDED 2 M TEMP GUIDANCE IN WITH THE MAV/MET FOR
OVERNIGHT LOWS. CAA WILL KEEP AT LEAST MARGINAL MIXING IN THE
LOWEST LEVELS...AND I DON/T EXPECT RADIATIONAL COOLING TO BE MUCH
OF AN ISSUE. WITH THE PUSH OF COLD/DRY AIR UPSLOPE SHSN AND CLOUDS
WILL COME TO AN END OVERNIGHT AS WELL.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
A SERIES OF WAVES WILL RIPPLE ALONG THE SLOWLY ADVANCING COLD
FRONT THRU THU NIGHT. THE FIRST OF WHICH...CURRENTLY OVER THE MID
MS RIVER VALLEY...ARRIVES EARLY THU. HAVE MAINTAINED SOME SCHC POP
IN SRN NH ALONG THE MA BORDER. I REALLY DON/T EXPECT MUCH MORE
THAN SHSN ALONG THE BORDER IF PRECIP DOES FALL. THE SECOND WAVE
ARRIVES LATE THU EVENING...AND SHOULD BE EVEN FARTHER S THAN THE
FIRST.

HIGH PRES BEGINS TO ASSERT MORE CONTROL OVER THE REGION...AND
SKIES WILL QUICKLY CLEAR FROM N TO S. WITH SURFACE RIDGE AXIS
ALIGNED OVERHEAD...EXPECT BOUNDARY LAYER TO DECOUPLE AND THE
TYPICAL COLD SPOTS TO FALL WELL BELOW ZERO. SIDED WITH THE COLDER
MAV/MET GUIDANCE.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
PRETTY QUIET EXTENDED FORECAST THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK....
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY BEFORE
SHIFTING OFFSHORE. DESPITE A FAIR AMOUNT OF SUNSHINE
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO AVERAGE WELL BELOW NORMAL
WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TEENS NORTH AND LOWER TO MID 20S SOUTH.

COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT BRINGING
INCREASING CLOUDS AND A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN IN NORTHERN
ZONES AFTER MIDNIGHT. FRONT WILL TAKE ALL DAY SATURDAY TO PUSH
THROUGH THE REGION. WILL LIKELY INCLUDE LOW CHANCE POPS FOR MOST
OF THE FORECAST AREA BUT EXPECT ANY SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY TO BE LIGHT
AND SPOTTY WITH THIS MOISTURE STARVED SYSTEM. HIGHS ON SATURDAY WILL
REACH THE MID 20S TO MID 30S.

SKIES CLEAR BRIEFLY SATURDAY EVENING AS THE FRONT PUSHES OFFSHORE...
BUT CLOUDS WILL AGAIN BE ON THE INCREASE AFTER MIDNIGHT AS WEAK
CLIPPER APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. WILL SEE A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS TOWARD DAYBREAK IN SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE BUT ONCE AGAIN
EXPECT ANY AMOUNTS TO BE LIGHT AND SPOTTY. ENTIRE FORECAST AREA
WILL SEE THE CHANCE OF OCCASIONAL LIGHT SNOW ON SUNDAY AS LOW
PRESSURE MOVES INTO SOUTHERN MAINE BY LATE IN THE DAY. QPF
FORECAST TO BE LIGHT WITH THIS SYSTEM WITH MOST AREAS SEEING ONLY
AN INCH OR TWO OF SNOW THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.

EXPECT LIGHT SNOW TO WIND DOWN SUNDAY EVENING AS LOW PRESSURE
SHIFTS EAST INTO THE MARITIMES. VARIABLE CLOUDINESS WILL LINGER
THROUGH THE NIGHT AND INTO MONDAY AS LOW PRESSURE TROUGH LINGERS
OVER THE AREA. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL
GRADUALLY CLEAR SKIES DOWNWIND OF THE MOUNTAINS MONDAY AFTERNOON.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.
WARM FRONT PASSING THROUGH SOUTHERN QUEBEC WILL BRUSH NORTHERN
ZONES WITH CLOUDS MONDAY NIGHT BUT THE MAJORITY OF ASSOCIATED
PRECIP WILL REMAIN NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA. NET AFFECT WILL BE
A MODERATION IN TEMPS WITH MUCH OF THE AREA SEEING HIGHS AT OR
ABOVE NORMAL WITH MID 30S NORTH TO LOWER 40S SOUTH.

WARM AIR WILL STICK AROUND ON WEDNESDAY AS WEAK LOW PRESSURE
PASSES SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THRU FRI MORNING.
LOCAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN SCT SHSN ACROSS THE NRN
MOUNTAINS LATE THIS AFTERNOON...BEFORE UPSLOPE FLOW WEAKENS.

LONG TERM...VFR FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. AREAS MVFR/IFR
CEILINGS/VSBY SUNDAY. VFR MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...MARGINAL SCA CONDITIONS CONTINUE THRU THU NIGHT.
WINDS GUST 20 TO 25 KNOTS AT TIMES...WITH SEAS REMAINING RIGHT
AROUND 5 FT. A PERIOD OF MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY IS POSSIBLE LATE
THU NIGHT.

LONG TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED SATURDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$

LEGRO/SINSABAUGH




000
FXUS61 KGYX 042020 CCA
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
320 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST TONIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY AND WILL CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A COLD
FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL CROSS THE
AREA ON SATURDAY. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST
SATURDAY NIGHT AND WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION MONDAY AND WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
HIGH PRES CONTINUES TO NOSE TOWARDS THE FORECAST AREA THIS
AFTERNOON. FOR THE TIME BEING THE REAL COLD PUSH REMAINS BACK
ACROSS CANADA...AND WILL WAIT TO PUSH THRU UNTIL THE OVERNIGHT. AS
SUCH HAVE BLENDED 2 M TEMP GUIDANCE IN WITH THE MAV/MET FOR
OVERNIGHT LOWS. CAA WILL KEEP AT LEAST MARGINAL MIXING IN THE
LOWEST LEVELS...AND I DON/T EXPECT RADIATIONAL COOLING TO BE MUCH
OF AN ISSUE. WITH THE PUSH OF COLD/DRY AIR UPSLOPE SHSN AND CLOUDS
WILL COME TO AN END OVERNIGHT AS WELL.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
A SERIES OF WAVES WILL RIPPLE ALONG THE SLOWLY ADVANCING COLD
FRONT THRU THU NIGHT. THE FIRST OF WHICH...CURRENTLY OVER THE MID
MS RIVER VALLEY...ARRIVES EARLY THU. HAVE MAINTAINED SOME SCHC POP
IN SRN NH ALONG THE MA BORDER. I REALLY DON/T EXPECT MUCH MORE
THAN SHSN ALONG THE BORDER IF PRECIP DOES FALL. THE SECOND WAVE
ARRIVES LATE THU EVENING...AND SHOULD BE EVEN FARTHER S THAN THE
FIRST.

HIGH PRES BEGINS TO ASSERT MORE CONTROL OVER THE REGION...AND
SKIES WILL QUICKLY CLEAR FROM N TO S. WITH SURFACE RIDGE AXIS
ALIGNED OVERHEAD...EXPECT BOUNDARY LAYER TO DECOUPLE AND THE
TYPICAL COLD SPOTS TO FALL WELL BELOW ZERO. SIDED WITH THE COLDER
MAV/MET GUIDANCE.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
PRETTY QUIET EXTENDED FORECAST THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK....
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY BEFORE
SHIFTING OFFSHORE. DESPITE A FAIR AMOUNT OF SUNSHINE
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO AVERAGE WELL BELOW NORMAL
WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TEENS NORTH AND LOWER TO MID 20S SOUTH.

COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT BRINGING
INCREASING CLOUDS AND A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN IN NORTHERN
ZONES AFTER MIDNIGHT. FRONT WILL TAKE ALL DAY SATURDAY TO PUSH
THROUGH THE REGION. WILL LIKELY INCLUDE LOW CHANCE POPS FOR MOST
OF THE FORECAST AREA BUT EXPECT ANY SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY TO BE LIGHT
AND SPOTTY WITH THIS MOISTURE STARVED SYSTEM. HIGHS ON SATURDAY WILL
REACH THE MID 20S TO MID 30S.

SKIES CLEAR BRIEFLY SATURDAY EVENING AS THE FRONT PUSHES OFFSHORE...
BUT CLOUDS WILL AGAIN BE ON THE INCREASE AFTER MIDNIGHT AS WEAK
CLIPPER APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. WILL SEE A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS TOWARD DAYBREAK IN SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE BUT ONCE AGAIN
EXPECT ANY AMOUNTS TO BE LIGHT AND SPOTTY. ENTIRE FORECAST AREA
WILL SEE THE CHANCE OF OCCASIONAL LIGHT SNOW ON SUNDAY AS LOW
PRESSURE MOVES INTO SOUTHERN MAINE BY LATE IN THE DAY. QPF
FORECAST TO BE LIGHT WITH THIS SYSTEM WITH MOST AREAS SEEING ONLY
AN INCH OR TWO OF SNOW THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.

EXPECT LIGHT SNOW TO WIND DOWN SUNDAY EVENING AS LOW PRESSURE
SHIFTS EAST INTO THE MARITIMES. VARIABLE CLOUDINESS WILL LINGER
THROUGH THE NIGHT AND INTO MONDAY AS LOW PRESSURE TROUGH LINGERS
OVER THE AREA. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL
GRADUALLY CLEAR SKIES DOWNWIND OF THE MOUNTAINS MONDAY AFTERNOON.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.
WARM FRONT PASSING THROUGH SOUTHERN QUEBEC WILL BRUSH NORTHERN
ZONES WITH CLOUDS MONDAY NIGHT BUT THE MAJORITY OF ASSOCIATED
PRECIP WILL REMAIN NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA. NET AFFECT WILL BE
A MODERATION IN TEMPS WITH MUCH OF THE AREA SEEING HIGHS AT OR
ABOVE NORMAL WITH MID 30S NORTH TO LOWER 40S SOUTH.

WARM AIR WILL STICK AROUND ON WEDNESDAY AS WEAK LOW PRESSURE
PASSES SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THRU FRI MORNING.
LOCAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN SCT SHSN ACROSS THE NRN
MOUNTAINS LATE THIS AFTERNOON...BEFORE UPSLOPE FLOW WEAKENS.

LONG TERM...VFR FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. AREAS MVFR/IFR
CEILINGS/VSBY SUNDAY. VFR MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...MARGINAL SCA CONDITIONS CONTINUE THRU THU NIGHT.
WINDS GUST 20 TO 25 KNOTS AT TIMES...WITH SEAS REMAINING RIGHT
AROUND 5 FT. A PERIOD OF MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY IS POSSIBLE LATE
THU NIGHT.

LONG TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED SATURDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$

LEGRO/SINSABAUGH





000
FXUS61 KGYX 042020 CCA
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
320 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST TONIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY AND WILL CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A COLD
FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL CROSS THE
AREA ON SATURDAY. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST
SATURDAY NIGHT AND WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION MONDAY AND WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
HIGH PRES CONTINUES TO NOSE TOWARDS THE FORECAST AREA THIS
AFTERNOON. FOR THE TIME BEING THE REAL COLD PUSH REMAINS BACK
ACROSS CANADA...AND WILL WAIT TO PUSH THRU UNTIL THE OVERNIGHT. AS
SUCH HAVE BLENDED 2 M TEMP GUIDANCE IN WITH THE MAV/MET FOR
OVERNIGHT LOWS. CAA WILL KEEP AT LEAST MARGINAL MIXING IN THE
LOWEST LEVELS...AND I DON/T EXPECT RADIATIONAL COOLING TO BE MUCH
OF AN ISSUE. WITH THE PUSH OF COLD/DRY AIR UPSLOPE SHSN AND CLOUDS
WILL COME TO AN END OVERNIGHT AS WELL.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
A SERIES OF WAVES WILL RIPPLE ALONG THE SLOWLY ADVANCING COLD
FRONT THRU THU NIGHT. THE FIRST OF WHICH...CURRENTLY OVER THE MID
MS RIVER VALLEY...ARRIVES EARLY THU. HAVE MAINTAINED SOME SCHC POP
IN SRN NH ALONG THE MA BORDER. I REALLY DON/T EXPECT MUCH MORE
THAN SHSN ALONG THE BORDER IF PRECIP DOES FALL. THE SECOND WAVE
ARRIVES LATE THU EVENING...AND SHOULD BE EVEN FARTHER S THAN THE
FIRST.

HIGH PRES BEGINS TO ASSERT MORE CONTROL OVER THE REGION...AND
SKIES WILL QUICKLY CLEAR FROM N TO S. WITH SURFACE RIDGE AXIS
ALIGNED OVERHEAD...EXPECT BOUNDARY LAYER TO DECOUPLE AND THE
TYPICAL COLD SPOTS TO FALL WELL BELOW ZERO. SIDED WITH THE COLDER
MAV/MET GUIDANCE.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
PRETTY QUIET EXTENDED FORECAST THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK....
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY BEFORE
SHIFTING OFFSHORE. DESPITE A FAIR AMOUNT OF SUNSHINE
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO AVERAGE WELL BELOW NORMAL
WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TEENS NORTH AND LOWER TO MID 20S SOUTH.

COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT BRINGING
INCREASING CLOUDS AND A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN IN NORTHERN
ZONES AFTER MIDNIGHT. FRONT WILL TAKE ALL DAY SATURDAY TO PUSH
THROUGH THE REGION. WILL LIKELY INCLUDE LOW CHANCE POPS FOR MOST
OF THE FORECAST AREA BUT EXPECT ANY SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY TO BE LIGHT
AND SPOTTY WITH THIS MOISTURE STARVED SYSTEM. HIGHS ON SATURDAY WILL
REACH THE MID 20S TO MID 30S.

SKIES CLEAR BRIEFLY SATURDAY EVENING AS THE FRONT PUSHES OFFSHORE...
BUT CLOUDS WILL AGAIN BE ON THE INCREASE AFTER MIDNIGHT AS WEAK
CLIPPER APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. WILL SEE A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS TOWARD DAYBREAK IN SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE BUT ONCE AGAIN
EXPECT ANY AMOUNTS TO BE LIGHT AND SPOTTY. ENTIRE FORECAST AREA
WILL SEE THE CHANCE OF OCCASIONAL LIGHT SNOW ON SUNDAY AS LOW
PRESSURE MOVES INTO SOUTHERN MAINE BY LATE IN THE DAY. QPF
FORECAST TO BE LIGHT WITH THIS SYSTEM WITH MOST AREAS SEEING ONLY
AN INCH OR TWO OF SNOW THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.

EXPECT LIGHT SNOW TO WIND DOWN SUNDAY EVENING AS LOW PRESSURE
SHIFTS EAST INTO THE MARITIMES. VARIABLE CLOUDINESS WILL LINGER
THROUGH THE NIGHT AND INTO MONDAY AS LOW PRESSURE TROUGH LINGERS
OVER THE AREA. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL
GRADUALLY CLEAR SKIES DOWNWIND OF THE MOUNTAINS MONDAY AFTERNOON.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.
WARM FRONT PASSING THROUGH SOUTHERN QUEBEC WILL BRUSH NORTHERN
ZONES WITH CLOUDS MONDAY NIGHT BUT THE MAJORITY OF ASSOCIATED
PRECIP WILL REMAIN NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA. NET AFFECT WILL BE
A MODERATION IN TEMPS WITH MUCH OF THE AREA SEEING HIGHS AT OR
ABOVE NORMAL WITH MID 30S NORTH TO LOWER 40S SOUTH.

WARM AIR WILL STICK AROUND ON WEDNESDAY AS WEAK LOW PRESSURE
PASSES SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THRU FRI MORNING.
LOCAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN SCT SHSN ACROSS THE NRN
MOUNTAINS LATE THIS AFTERNOON...BEFORE UPSLOPE FLOW WEAKENS.

LONG TERM...VFR FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. AREAS MVFR/IFR
CEILINGS/VSBY SUNDAY. VFR MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...MARGINAL SCA CONDITIONS CONTINUE THRU THU NIGHT.
WINDS GUST 20 TO 25 KNOTS AT TIMES...WITH SEAS REMAINING RIGHT
AROUND 5 FT. A PERIOD OF MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY IS POSSIBLE LATE
THU NIGHT.

LONG TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED SATURDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$

LEGRO/SINSABAUGH





000
FXUS61 KGYX 042020 CCA
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
320 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST TONIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY AND WILL CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A COLD
FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL CROSS THE
AREA ON SATURDAY. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST
SATURDAY NIGHT AND WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION MONDAY AND WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
HIGH PRES CONTINUES TO NOSE TOWARDS THE FORECAST AREA THIS
AFTERNOON. FOR THE TIME BEING THE REAL COLD PUSH REMAINS BACK
ACROSS CANADA...AND WILL WAIT TO PUSH THRU UNTIL THE OVERNIGHT. AS
SUCH HAVE BLENDED 2 M TEMP GUIDANCE IN WITH THE MAV/MET FOR
OVERNIGHT LOWS. CAA WILL KEEP AT LEAST MARGINAL MIXING IN THE
LOWEST LEVELS...AND I DON/T EXPECT RADIATIONAL COOLING TO BE MUCH
OF AN ISSUE. WITH THE PUSH OF COLD/DRY AIR UPSLOPE SHSN AND CLOUDS
WILL COME TO AN END OVERNIGHT AS WELL.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
A SERIES OF WAVES WILL RIPPLE ALONG THE SLOWLY ADVANCING COLD
FRONT THRU THU NIGHT. THE FIRST OF WHICH...CURRENTLY OVER THE MID
MS RIVER VALLEY...ARRIVES EARLY THU. HAVE MAINTAINED SOME SCHC POP
IN SRN NH ALONG THE MA BORDER. I REALLY DON/T EXPECT MUCH MORE
THAN SHSN ALONG THE BORDER IF PRECIP DOES FALL. THE SECOND WAVE
ARRIVES LATE THU EVENING...AND SHOULD BE EVEN FARTHER S THAN THE
FIRST.

HIGH PRES BEGINS TO ASSERT MORE CONTROL OVER THE REGION...AND
SKIES WILL QUICKLY CLEAR FROM N TO S. WITH SURFACE RIDGE AXIS
ALIGNED OVERHEAD...EXPECT BOUNDARY LAYER TO DECOUPLE AND THE
TYPICAL COLD SPOTS TO FALL WELL BELOW ZERO. SIDED WITH THE COLDER
MAV/MET GUIDANCE.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
PRETTY QUIET EXTENDED FORECAST THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK....
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY BEFORE
SHIFTING OFFSHORE. DESPITE A FAIR AMOUNT OF SUNSHINE
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO AVERAGE WELL BELOW NORMAL
WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TEENS NORTH AND LOWER TO MID 20S SOUTH.

COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT BRINGING
INCREASING CLOUDS AND A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN IN NORTHERN
ZONES AFTER MIDNIGHT. FRONT WILL TAKE ALL DAY SATURDAY TO PUSH
THROUGH THE REGION. WILL LIKELY INCLUDE LOW CHANCE POPS FOR MOST
OF THE FORECAST AREA BUT EXPECT ANY SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY TO BE LIGHT
AND SPOTTY WITH THIS MOISTURE STARVED SYSTEM. HIGHS ON SATURDAY WILL
REACH THE MID 20S TO MID 30S.

SKIES CLEAR BRIEFLY SATURDAY EVENING AS THE FRONT PUSHES OFFSHORE...
BUT CLOUDS WILL AGAIN BE ON THE INCREASE AFTER MIDNIGHT AS WEAK
CLIPPER APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. WILL SEE A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS TOWARD DAYBREAK IN SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE BUT ONCE AGAIN
EXPECT ANY AMOUNTS TO BE LIGHT AND SPOTTY. ENTIRE FORECAST AREA
WILL SEE THE CHANCE OF OCCASIONAL LIGHT SNOW ON SUNDAY AS LOW
PRESSURE MOVES INTO SOUTHERN MAINE BY LATE IN THE DAY. QPF
FORECAST TO BE LIGHT WITH THIS SYSTEM WITH MOST AREAS SEEING ONLY
AN INCH OR TWO OF SNOW THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.

EXPECT LIGHT SNOW TO WIND DOWN SUNDAY EVENING AS LOW PRESSURE
SHIFTS EAST INTO THE MARITIMES. VARIABLE CLOUDINESS WILL LINGER
THROUGH THE NIGHT AND INTO MONDAY AS LOW PRESSURE TROUGH LINGERS
OVER THE AREA. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL
GRADUALLY CLEAR SKIES DOWNWIND OF THE MOUNTAINS MONDAY AFTERNOON.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.
WARM FRONT PASSING THROUGH SOUTHERN QUEBEC WILL BRUSH NORTHERN
ZONES WITH CLOUDS MONDAY NIGHT BUT THE MAJORITY OF ASSOCIATED
PRECIP WILL REMAIN NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA. NET AFFECT WILL BE
A MODERATION IN TEMPS WITH MUCH OF THE AREA SEEING HIGHS AT OR
ABOVE NORMAL WITH MID 30S NORTH TO LOWER 40S SOUTH.

WARM AIR WILL STICK AROUND ON WEDNESDAY AS WEAK LOW PRESSURE
PASSES SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THRU FRI MORNING.
LOCAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN SCT SHSN ACROSS THE NRN
MOUNTAINS LATE THIS AFTERNOON...BEFORE UPSLOPE FLOW WEAKENS.

LONG TERM...VFR FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. AREAS MVFR/IFR
CEILINGS/VSBY SUNDAY. VFR MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...MARGINAL SCA CONDITIONS CONTINUE THRU THU NIGHT.
WINDS GUST 20 TO 25 KNOTS AT TIMES...WITH SEAS REMAINING RIGHT
AROUND 5 FT. A PERIOD OF MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY IS POSSIBLE LATE
THU NIGHT.

LONG TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED SATURDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$

LEGRO/SINSABAUGH




000
FXUS61 KGYX 041946
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
246 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST TONIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY AND WILL CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A COLD
FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL CROSS THE
AREA ON SATURDAY. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST
SATURDAY NIGHT AND WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION MONDAY AND WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
HIGH PRES CONTINUES TO NOSE TOWARDS THE FORECAST AREA THIS
AFTERNOON. FOR THE TIME BEING THE REAL COLD PUSH REMAINS BACK
ACROSS CANADA...AND WILL WAIT TO PUSH THRU UNTIL THE OVERNIGHT. AS
SUCH HAVE BLENDED 2 M TEMP GUIDANCE IN WITH THE MAV/MET FOR
OVERNIGHT LOWS. CAA WILL KEEP AT LEAST MARGINAL MIXING IN THE
LOWEST LEVELS...AND I DON/T EXPECT RADIATIONAL COOLING TO BE MUCH
OF AN ISSUE. WITH THE PUSH OF COLD/DRY AIR UPSLOPE SHSN AND CLOUDS
WILL COME TO AN END OVERNIGHT AS WELL.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
A SERIES OF WAVES WILL RIPPLE ALONG THE SLOWLY ADVANCING COLD
FRONT THRU THU NIGHT. THE FIRST OF WHICH...CURRENTLY OVER THE MID
MS RIVER VALLEY...ARRIVES EARLY THU. HAVE MAINTAINED SOME SCHC POP
IN SRN NH ALONG THE MA BORDER. I REALLY DON/T EXPECT MUCH MORE
THAN SHSN ALONG THE BORDER IF PRECIP DOES FALL. THE SECOND WAVE
ARRIVES LATE THU EVENING...AND SHOULD BE EVEN FARTHER S THAN THE
FIRST.

HIGH PRES BEGINS TO ASSERT MORE CONTROL OVER THE REGION...AND
SKIES WILL QUICKLY CLEAR FROM N TO S. WITH SURFACE RIDGE AXIS
ALIGNED OVERHEAD...EXPECT BOUNDARY LAYER TO DECOUPLE AND THE
TYPICAL COLD SPOTS TO FALL WELL BELOW ZERO. SIDED WITH THE COLDER
MAV/MET GUIDANCE.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
PRETTY QUIET EXTENDED FORECAST THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK....
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY BEFORE
SHIFTING OFFSHORE. DESPITE A FAIR AMOUNT OF SUNSHINE
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO AVERAGE WELL BELOW NORMAL
WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TEENS NORTH AND LOWER TO MID 20S SOUTH.

COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT BRINGING
INCREASING CLOUDS AND A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN IN NORTHERN
ZONES AFTER MIDNIGHT. FRONT WILL TAKE ALL DAY SATURDAY TO PUSH
THROUGH THE REGION. WILL LIKELY INCLUDE LOW CHANCE POPS FOR MOST
OF THE FORECAST AREA BUT EXPECT ANY SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY TO BE
LIGHT AND SPOTTY WITH THIS MOISTURE STAVED SYSTEM. HIGHS ON
SATURDAY WILL REACH THE MID 20S TO MID 30S.

SKIES CLEAR BRIEFLY SATURDAY EVENING AS THE FRONT PUSHES OFFSHORE...
BUT CLOUDS WILL AGAIN BE ON THE INCREASE AFTER MIDNIGHT AS WEAK
CLIPPER APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. WILL SEE A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS TOWARD DAYBREAK IN SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE BUT ONCE AGAIN
EXPECT ANY AMOUNTS TO BE LIGHT AND SPOTTY. ENTIRE FORECAST AREA
WILL SEE THE CHANCE OF OCCASIONAL LIGHT SNOW ON SUNDAY AS LOW
PRESSURE MOVES INTO SOUTHERN MAINE BY LATE IN THE DAY. QPF
FORECAST TO BE LIGHT WITH THIS SYSTEM WITH MOST AREAS SEEING ONLY
AN INCH OR TWO OF SNOW THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.

EXPECT LIGHT SNOW TO WIND DOWN SUNDAY EVENING AS LOW PRESSURE
SHIFTS EAST INTO THE MARITIMES. VARIABLE CLOUDINESS WILL LINGER
THROUGH THE NIGHT AND INTO MONDAY AS LOW PRESSURE TROUGH LINGERS
OVER THE AREA. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL
GRADUALLY CLEAR SKIES DOWNWIND OF THE MOUNTAINS MONDAY AFTERNOON.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.
WARM FRONT PASSING THROUGH SOUTHERN QUEBEC WILL BRUSH NORTHERN
ZONES WITH CLOUDS MONDAY NIGHT BUT THE MAJORITY OF ASSOCIATED
PRECIP WILL REMAIN NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA. NET AFFECT WILL BE
A MODERATION IN TEMPS WITH MUCH OF THE AREA SEEING HIGHS AT OR
ABOVE NORMAL WITH MID 30S NORTH TO LOWER 40S SOUTH.

WARM AIR WILL STICK AROUND ON WEDNESDAY AS WEAK LOW PRESSURE
PASSES SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THRU FRI MORNING.
LOCAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN SCT SHSN ACROSS THE NRN
MOUNTAINS LATE THIS AFTERNOON...BEFORE UPSLOPE FLOW WEAKENS.

LONG TERM...VFR FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. AREAS MVFR/IFR
CEILINGS/VSBY SUNDAY. VFR MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...MARGINAL SCA CONDITIONS CONTINUE THRU THU NIGHT.
WINDS GUST 20 TO 25 KNOTS AT TIMES...WITH SEAS REMAINING RIGHT
AROUND 5 FT. A PERIOD OF MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY IS POSSIBLE LATE
THU NIGHT.

LONG TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED SATURDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$

LEGRO/SINSABAUGH




000
FXUS61 KGYX 041946
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
246 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST TONIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY AND WILL CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A COLD
FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL CROSS THE
AREA ON SATURDAY. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST
SATURDAY NIGHT AND WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION MONDAY AND WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
HIGH PRES CONTINUES TO NOSE TOWARDS THE FORECAST AREA THIS
AFTERNOON. FOR THE TIME BEING THE REAL COLD PUSH REMAINS BACK
ACROSS CANADA...AND WILL WAIT TO PUSH THRU UNTIL THE OVERNIGHT. AS
SUCH HAVE BLENDED 2 M TEMP GUIDANCE IN WITH THE MAV/MET FOR
OVERNIGHT LOWS. CAA WILL KEEP AT LEAST MARGINAL MIXING IN THE
LOWEST LEVELS...AND I DON/T EXPECT RADIATIONAL COOLING TO BE MUCH
OF AN ISSUE. WITH THE PUSH OF COLD/DRY AIR UPSLOPE SHSN AND CLOUDS
WILL COME TO AN END OVERNIGHT AS WELL.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
A SERIES OF WAVES WILL RIPPLE ALONG THE SLOWLY ADVANCING COLD
FRONT THRU THU NIGHT. THE FIRST OF WHICH...CURRENTLY OVER THE MID
MS RIVER VALLEY...ARRIVES EARLY THU. HAVE MAINTAINED SOME SCHC POP
IN SRN NH ALONG THE MA BORDER. I REALLY DON/T EXPECT MUCH MORE
THAN SHSN ALONG THE BORDER IF PRECIP DOES FALL. THE SECOND WAVE
ARRIVES LATE THU EVENING...AND SHOULD BE EVEN FARTHER S THAN THE
FIRST.

HIGH PRES BEGINS TO ASSERT MORE CONTROL OVER THE REGION...AND
SKIES WILL QUICKLY CLEAR FROM N TO S. WITH SURFACE RIDGE AXIS
ALIGNED OVERHEAD...EXPECT BOUNDARY LAYER TO DECOUPLE AND THE
TYPICAL COLD SPOTS TO FALL WELL BELOW ZERO. SIDED WITH THE COLDER
MAV/MET GUIDANCE.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
PRETTY QUIET EXTENDED FORECAST THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK....
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY BEFORE
SHIFTING OFFSHORE. DESPITE A FAIR AMOUNT OF SUNSHINE
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO AVERAGE WELL BELOW NORMAL
WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TEENS NORTH AND LOWER TO MID 20S SOUTH.

COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT BRINGING
INCREASING CLOUDS AND A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN IN NORTHERN
ZONES AFTER MIDNIGHT. FRONT WILL TAKE ALL DAY SATURDAY TO PUSH
THROUGH THE REGION. WILL LIKELY INCLUDE LOW CHANCE POPS FOR MOST
OF THE FORECAST AREA BUT EXPECT ANY SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY TO BE
LIGHT AND SPOTTY WITH THIS MOISTURE STAVED SYSTEM. HIGHS ON
SATURDAY WILL REACH THE MID 20S TO MID 30S.

SKIES CLEAR BRIEFLY SATURDAY EVENING AS THE FRONT PUSHES OFFSHORE...
BUT CLOUDS WILL AGAIN BE ON THE INCREASE AFTER MIDNIGHT AS WEAK
CLIPPER APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. WILL SEE A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS TOWARD DAYBREAK IN SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE BUT ONCE AGAIN
EXPECT ANY AMOUNTS TO BE LIGHT AND SPOTTY. ENTIRE FORECAST AREA
WILL SEE THE CHANCE OF OCCASIONAL LIGHT SNOW ON SUNDAY AS LOW
PRESSURE MOVES INTO SOUTHERN MAINE BY LATE IN THE DAY. QPF
FORECAST TO BE LIGHT WITH THIS SYSTEM WITH MOST AREAS SEEING ONLY
AN INCH OR TWO OF SNOW THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.

EXPECT LIGHT SNOW TO WIND DOWN SUNDAY EVENING AS LOW PRESSURE
SHIFTS EAST INTO THE MARITIMES. VARIABLE CLOUDINESS WILL LINGER
THROUGH THE NIGHT AND INTO MONDAY AS LOW PRESSURE TROUGH LINGERS
OVER THE AREA. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL
GRADUALLY CLEAR SKIES DOWNWIND OF THE MOUNTAINS MONDAY AFTERNOON.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.
WARM FRONT PASSING THROUGH SOUTHERN QUEBEC WILL BRUSH NORTHERN
ZONES WITH CLOUDS MONDAY NIGHT BUT THE MAJORITY OF ASSOCIATED
PRECIP WILL REMAIN NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA. NET AFFECT WILL BE
A MODERATION IN TEMPS WITH MUCH OF THE AREA SEEING HIGHS AT OR
ABOVE NORMAL WITH MID 30S NORTH TO LOWER 40S SOUTH.

WARM AIR WILL STICK AROUND ON WEDNESDAY AS WEAK LOW PRESSURE
PASSES SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THRU FRI MORNING.
LOCAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN SCT SHSN ACROSS THE NRN
MOUNTAINS LATE THIS AFTERNOON...BEFORE UPSLOPE FLOW WEAKENS.

LONG TERM...VFR FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. AREAS MVFR/IFR
CEILINGS/VSBY SUNDAY. VFR MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...MARGINAL SCA CONDITIONS CONTINUE THRU THU NIGHT.
WINDS GUST 20 TO 25 KNOTS AT TIMES...WITH SEAS REMAINING RIGHT
AROUND 5 FT. A PERIOD OF MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY IS POSSIBLE LATE
THU NIGHT.

LONG TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED SATURDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$

LEGRO/SINSABAUGH





000
FXUS61 KGYX 041946
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
246 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST TONIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY AND WILL CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A COLD
FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL CROSS THE
AREA ON SATURDAY. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST
SATURDAY NIGHT AND WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION MONDAY AND WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
HIGH PRES CONTINUES TO NOSE TOWARDS THE FORECAST AREA THIS
AFTERNOON. FOR THE TIME BEING THE REAL COLD PUSH REMAINS BACK
ACROSS CANADA...AND WILL WAIT TO PUSH THRU UNTIL THE OVERNIGHT. AS
SUCH HAVE BLENDED 2 M TEMP GUIDANCE IN WITH THE MAV/MET FOR
OVERNIGHT LOWS. CAA WILL KEEP AT LEAST MARGINAL MIXING IN THE
LOWEST LEVELS...AND I DON/T EXPECT RADIATIONAL COOLING TO BE MUCH
OF AN ISSUE. WITH THE PUSH OF COLD/DRY AIR UPSLOPE SHSN AND CLOUDS
WILL COME TO AN END OVERNIGHT AS WELL.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
A SERIES OF WAVES WILL RIPPLE ALONG THE SLOWLY ADVANCING COLD
FRONT THRU THU NIGHT. THE FIRST OF WHICH...CURRENTLY OVER THE MID
MS RIVER VALLEY...ARRIVES EARLY THU. HAVE MAINTAINED SOME SCHC POP
IN SRN NH ALONG THE MA BORDER. I REALLY DON/T EXPECT MUCH MORE
THAN SHSN ALONG THE BORDER IF PRECIP DOES FALL. THE SECOND WAVE
ARRIVES LATE THU EVENING...AND SHOULD BE EVEN FARTHER S THAN THE
FIRST.

HIGH PRES BEGINS TO ASSERT MORE CONTROL OVER THE REGION...AND
SKIES WILL QUICKLY CLEAR FROM N TO S. WITH SURFACE RIDGE AXIS
ALIGNED OVERHEAD...EXPECT BOUNDARY LAYER TO DECOUPLE AND THE
TYPICAL COLD SPOTS TO FALL WELL BELOW ZERO. SIDED WITH THE COLDER
MAV/MET GUIDANCE.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
PRETTY QUIET EXTENDED FORECAST THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK....
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY BEFORE
SHIFTING OFFSHORE. DESPITE A FAIR AMOUNT OF SUNSHINE
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO AVERAGE WELL BELOW NORMAL
WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TEENS NORTH AND LOWER TO MID 20S SOUTH.

COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT BRINGING
INCREASING CLOUDS AND A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN IN NORTHERN
ZONES AFTER MIDNIGHT. FRONT WILL TAKE ALL DAY SATURDAY TO PUSH
THROUGH THE REGION. WILL LIKELY INCLUDE LOW CHANCE POPS FOR MOST
OF THE FORECAST AREA BUT EXPECT ANY SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY TO BE
LIGHT AND SPOTTY WITH THIS MOISTURE STAVED SYSTEM. HIGHS ON
SATURDAY WILL REACH THE MID 20S TO MID 30S.

SKIES CLEAR BRIEFLY SATURDAY EVENING AS THE FRONT PUSHES OFFSHORE...
BUT CLOUDS WILL AGAIN BE ON THE INCREASE AFTER MIDNIGHT AS WEAK
CLIPPER APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. WILL SEE A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS TOWARD DAYBREAK IN SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE BUT ONCE AGAIN
EXPECT ANY AMOUNTS TO BE LIGHT AND SPOTTY. ENTIRE FORECAST AREA
WILL SEE THE CHANCE OF OCCASIONAL LIGHT SNOW ON SUNDAY AS LOW
PRESSURE MOVES INTO SOUTHERN MAINE BY LATE IN THE DAY. QPF
FORECAST TO BE LIGHT WITH THIS SYSTEM WITH MOST AREAS SEEING ONLY
AN INCH OR TWO OF SNOW THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.

EXPECT LIGHT SNOW TO WIND DOWN SUNDAY EVENING AS LOW PRESSURE
SHIFTS EAST INTO THE MARITIMES. VARIABLE CLOUDINESS WILL LINGER
THROUGH THE NIGHT AND INTO MONDAY AS LOW PRESSURE TROUGH LINGERS
OVER THE AREA. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL
GRADUALLY CLEAR SKIES DOWNWIND OF THE MOUNTAINS MONDAY AFTERNOON.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.
WARM FRONT PASSING THROUGH SOUTHERN QUEBEC WILL BRUSH NORTHERN
ZONES WITH CLOUDS MONDAY NIGHT BUT THE MAJORITY OF ASSOCIATED
PRECIP WILL REMAIN NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA. NET AFFECT WILL BE
A MODERATION IN TEMPS WITH MUCH OF THE AREA SEEING HIGHS AT OR
ABOVE NORMAL WITH MID 30S NORTH TO LOWER 40S SOUTH.

WARM AIR WILL STICK AROUND ON WEDNESDAY AS WEAK LOW PRESSURE
PASSES SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THRU FRI MORNING.
LOCAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN SCT SHSN ACROSS THE NRN
MOUNTAINS LATE THIS AFTERNOON...BEFORE UPSLOPE FLOW WEAKENS.

LONG TERM...VFR FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. AREAS MVFR/IFR
CEILINGS/VSBY SUNDAY. VFR MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...MARGINAL SCA CONDITIONS CONTINUE THRU THU NIGHT.
WINDS GUST 20 TO 25 KNOTS AT TIMES...WITH SEAS REMAINING RIGHT
AROUND 5 FT. A PERIOD OF MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY IS POSSIBLE LATE
THU NIGHT.

LONG TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED SATURDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$

LEGRO/SINSABAUGH





000
FXUS61 KGYX 041946
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
246 PM EST WED MAR 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST TONIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY AND WILL CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A COLD
FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL CROSS THE
AREA ON SATURDAY. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST
SATURDAY NIGHT AND WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION MONDAY AND WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
HIGH PRES CONTINUES TO NOSE TOWARDS THE FORECAST AREA THIS
AFTERNOON. FOR THE TIME BEING THE REAL COLD PUSH REMAINS BACK
ACROSS CANADA...AND WILL WAIT TO PUSH THRU UNTIL THE OVERNIGHT. AS
SUCH HAVE BLENDED 2 M TEMP GUIDANCE IN WITH THE MAV/MET FOR
OVERNIGHT LOWS. CAA WILL KEEP AT LEAST MARGINAL MIXING IN THE
LOWEST LEVELS...AND I DON/T EXPECT RADIATIONAL COOLING TO BE MUCH
OF AN ISSUE. WITH THE PUSH OF COLD/DRY AIR UPSLOPE SHSN AND CLOUDS
WILL COME TO AN END OVERNIGHT AS WELL.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
A SERIES OF WAVES WILL RIPPLE ALONG THE SLOWLY ADVANCING COLD
FRONT THRU THU NIGHT. THE FIRST OF WHICH...CURRENTLY OVER THE MID
MS RIVER VALLEY...ARRIVES EARLY THU. HAVE MAINTAINED SOME SCHC POP
IN SRN NH ALONG THE MA BORDER. I REALLY DON/T EXPECT MUCH MORE
THAN SHSN ALONG THE BORDER IF PRECIP DOES FALL. THE SECOND WAVE
ARRIVES LATE THU EVENING...AND SHOULD BE EVEN FARTHER S THAN THE
FIRST.

HIGH PRES BEGINS TO ASSERT MORE CONTROL OVER THE REGION...AND
SKIES WILL QUICKLY CLEAR FROM N TO S. WITH SURFACE RIDGE AXIS
ALIGNED OVERHEAD...EXPECT BOUNDARY LAYER TO DECOUPLE AND THE
TYPICAL COLD SPOTS TO FALL WELL BELOW ZERO. SIDED WITH THE COLDER
MAV/MET GUIDANCE.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
PRETTY QUIET EXTENDED FORECAST THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK....
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY BEFORE
SHIFTING OFFSHORE. DESPITE A FAIR AMOUNT OF SUNSHINE
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO AVERAGE WELL BELOW NORMAL
WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TEENS NORTH AND LOWER TO MID 20S SOUTH.

COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT BRINGING
INCREASING CLOUDS AND A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN IN NORTHERN
ZONES AFTER MIDNIGHT. FRONT WILL TAKE ALL DAY SATURDAY TO PUSH
THROUGH THE REGION. WILL LIKELY INCLUDE LOW CHANCE POPS FOR MOST
OF THE FORECAST AREA BUT EXPECT ANY SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY TO BE
LIGHT AND SPOTTY WITH THIS MOISTURE STAVED SYSTEM. HIGHS ON
SATURDAY WILL REACH THE MID 20S TO MID 30S.

SKIES CLEAR BRIEFLY SATURDAY EVENING AS THE FRONT PUSHES OFFSHORE...
BUT CLOUDS WILL AGAIN BE ON THE INCREASE AFTER MIDNIGHT AS WEAK
CLIPPER APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. WILL SEE A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS TOWARD DAYBREAK IN SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE BUT ONCE AGAIN
EXPECT ANY AMOUNTS TO BE LIGHT AND SPOTTY. ENTIRE FORECAST AREA
WILL SEE THE CHANCE OF OCCASIONAL LIGHT SNOW ON SUNDAY AS LOW
PRESSURE MOVES INTO SOUTHERN MAINE BY LATE IN THE DAY. QPF
FORECAST TO BE LIGHT WITH THIS SYSTEM WITH MOST AREAS SEEING ONLY
AN INCH OR TWO OF SNOW THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.

EXPECT LIGHT SNOW TO WIND DOWN SUNDAY EVENING AS LOW PRESSURE
SHIFTS EAST INTO THE MARITIMES. VARIABLE CLOUDINESS WILL LINGER
THROUGH THE NIGHT AND INTO MONDAY AS LOW PRESSURE TROUGH LINGERS
OVER THE AREA. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL
GRADUALLY CLEAR SKIES DOWNWIND OF THE MOUNTAINS MONDAY AFTERNOON.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.
WARM FRONT PASSING THROUGH SOUTHERN QUEBEC WILL BRUSH NORTHERN
ZONES WITH CLOUDS MONDAY NIGHT BUT THE MAJORITY OF ASSOCIATED
PRECIP WILL REMAIN NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA. NET AFFECT WILL BE
A MODERATION IN TEMPS WITH MUCH OF THE AREA SEEING HIGHS AT OR
ABOVE NORMAL WITH MID 30S NORTH TO LOWER 40S SOUTH.

WARM AIR WILL STICK AROUND ON WEDNESDAY AS WEAK LOW PRESSURE
PASSES SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THRU FRI MORNING.
LOCAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN SCT SHSN ACROSS THE NRN
MOUNTAINS LATE THIS AFTERNOON...BEFORE UPSLOPE FLOW WEAKENS.

LONG TERM...VFR FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. AREAS MVFR/IFR
CEILINGS/VSBY SUNDAY. VFR MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...MARGINAL SCA CONDITIONS CONTINUE THRU THU NIGHT.
WINDS GUST 20 TO 25 KNOTS AT TIMES...WITH SEAS REMAINING RIGHT
AROUND 5 FT. A PERIOD OF MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY IS POSSIBLE LATE
THU NIGHT.

LONG TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED SATURDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$

LEGRO/SINSABAUGH




000
FXUS61 KGYX 041429
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
929 AM EST WED MAR 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL PASS TO OUR NORTH TODAY...DRAGGING A COLD FRONT
THROUGH THE REGION. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST
THURSDAY AND CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A WEAK DISTURBANCE
WILL DRAG TRAILING WARM AND COLD FRONTS ACROSS THE REGION THIS
WEEKEND. ANOTHER VERY WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL CROSS THE REGION EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
UPDATE...HAVE BLENDED IN CMC-REGIONAL CLOUD COVER FOR THE REST OF
THE DAY TO REFLECT FEWER CLOUDS ACROSS NRN ZONES. WITH CANADIAN
HIGH PRES NOSING INTO THE NORTHEAST...LOW CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY BE
SHUNTED S OF THE REGION. LATEST HRRR RUN SHOWS ADDITIONAL CLOUD
COVER MOVING IN FROM THE W THIS AFTERNOON...BUT COLD CLOUD TOPS
REFLECT THAT THESE WILL MAINLY BE HIGH CLOUDS IN NATURE AND
PROBABLY ONLY PARTIALLY OBSCURE THE SUN. UPSLOPE CLOUDS WILL
CONTINUE IN THE MTNS HOWEVER. OTHERWISE...NO CHANGES TO THE
PREVIOUS FORECAST.

PREV DISC...
THE STEADIER WARM AIR ADVECTION PRECIPITATION WAS EXITING THE AREA
AS OF 07Z. IN ITS WAKE...LOW CLOUDS AND PATCHY FOG. THERE WAS SOME
SPOTTY SNOW SHOWERS...SLEET...AND FREEZING DRIZZLE AS WELL. WITH
STEADIER PRECIPITATION NOW ENDED...THE CURRENT WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORIES ARE THEREFORE DROPPED AS OF THE NEW PUBLIC PACKAGE
ISSUANCE THIS MORNING. THE COLD/OCCLUDED FRONT ENTERING WESTERN
NEW ENGLAND AT 07Z WILL RACE EAST AND EXIT THE COAST THIS
MORNING. SOUTHWEST FLOW AND PARTIAL CLEARING BEHIND IT WILL ALLOW
TEMPERATURES TO WARM TO A FEW DEGREES EITHER SIDE OF 40 ACROSS THE
AREA TODAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA TONIGHT WITH A FEW UPSLOPE
SNOW SHOWERS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN. WITH COLD AIR
DEEPENING ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...LOWS WILL RANGE FROM NEAR 20
AT THE COAST TO THE SINGLE NUMBERS ABOVE ZERO NEAR THE
INTERNATIONAL BORDER.

ON THURSDAY...SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE TO COASTAL MAINE SEES A FEW
CLOUDS WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE SITUATED TO OUR SOUTH AND
EAST...OTHERWISE A MOSTLY SUNNY AND SEASONABLY COLD DAY WITH HIGHS
ONLY IN THE TEENS AND 20S.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
MOISTURE STARVED WOULD BE A GOOD LABEL FOR THE THEME FOR ANY
SYSTEMS CROSSING OUR REGION DURING THE LONG TERM PORTION OF THE
FORECAST.

AFTER A COLD SHOT OF AIR DURING THE LATER PART OF THE WORK WEEK...A
PATTERN CHANGE WILL ALLOW FOR MILDER AIR INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL FINALLY ARRIVE NEXT WEEK WITH
READINGS IN THE LOWER 40S EXPECTED OVER MANY LOCATIONS. THE JET
STREAM WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT OUR REGION FROM CANADA.
HOWEVER...UNLIKE FEBRUARY...OUR AIRMASS WILL NOT BE BUILDING FROM
THE ARCTIC AND PLUNGING SOUTHWARD. RATHER...THEY WILL BE
SIGNIFICANTLY MODIFIED WITH TIME AFTER CROSSING NORTH AMERICA.

SEVERAL CLIPPER TYPE SYSTEMS WILL BE CROSSING OUR FORECAST AREA
DURING THE EXTENDED PORTION OF THE FORECAST. THREE SEPARATE SYSTEM
PASSAGES WILL OCCUR SATURDAY NIGHT...MONDAY AND AGAIN ON TUESDAY.
AGAIN...THESE WILL BE VERY MOISTURE STARVED SYSTEMS...SO ONLY VERY
LIGHT SNOW...SNOW FLURRIES OR RAIN SHOWERS WILL ACCOMPANY THE
AREAS OF LOW PRESSURE.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...CONDS IMPROVING TO VFR THROUGHOUT BY 15Z.

LONG TERM...MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SMALL CRAFT EXTENDED THROUGH TONIGHT AS COLD/OCCLUDED
FRONT CROSSES THE AREA THIS MORNING...WITH A SECONDARY COLD
FRONTAL PASSAGE TONIGHT.

LONG TERM...WINDS AND SEAS WILL BE MAINLY BELOW SCA THRESHOLDS
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...HOWEVER WINDS MAY BECOME GUSTY FROM THE
WEST ON MONDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...LEGRO





000
FXUS61 KGYX 041429
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
929 AM EST WED MAR 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL PASS TO OUR NORTH TODAY...DRAGGING A COLD FRONT
THROUGH THE REGION. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST
THURSDAY AND CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A WEAK DISTURBANCE
WILL DRAG TRAILING WARM AND COLD FRONTS ACROSS THE REGION THIS
WEEKEND. ANOTHER VERY WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL CROSS THE REGION EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
UPDATE...HAVE BLENDED IN CMC-REGIONAL CLOUD COVER FOR THE REST OF
THE DAY TO REFLECT FEWER CLOUDS ACROSS NRN ZONES. WITH CANADIAN
HIGH PRES NOSING INTO THE NORTHEAST...LOW CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY BE
SHUNTED S OF THE REGION. LATEST HRRR RUN SHOWS ADDITIONAL CLOUD
COVER MOVING IN FROM THE W THIS AFTERNOON...BUT COLD CLOUD TOPS
REFLECT THAT THESE WILL MAINLY BE HIGH CLOUDS IN NATURE AND
PROBABLY ONLY PARTIALLY OBSCURE THE SUN. UPSLOPE CLOUDS WILL
CONTINUE IN THE MTNS HOWEVER. OTHERWISE...NO CHANGES TO THE
PREVIOUS FORECAST.

PREV DISC...
THE STEADIER WARM AIR ADVECTION PRECIPITATION WAS EXITING THE AREA
AS OF 07Z. IN ITS WAKE...LOW CLOUDS AND PATCHY FOG. THERE WAS SOME
SPOTTY SNOW SHOWERS...SLEET...AND FREEZING DRIZZLE AS WELL. WITH
STEADIER PRECIPITATION NOW ENDED...THE CURRENT WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORIES ARE THEREFORE DROPPED AS OF THE NEW PUBLIC PACKAGE
ISSUANCE THIS MORNING. THE COLD/OCCLUDED FRONT ENTERING WESTERN
NEW ENGLAND AT 07Z WILL RACE EAST AND EXIT THE COAST THIS
MORNING. SOUTHWEST FLOW AND PARTIAL CLEARING BEHIND IT WILL ALLOW
TEMPERATURES TO WARM TO A FEW DEGREES EITHER SIDE OF 40 ACROSS THE
AREA TODAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA TONIGHT WITH A FEW UPSLOPE
SNOW SHOWERS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN. WITH COLD AIR
DEEPENING ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...LOWS WILL RANGE FROM NEAR 20
AT THE COAST TO THE SINGLE NUMBERS ABOVE ZERO NEAR THE
INTERNATIONAL BORDER.

ON THURSDAY...SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE TO COASTAL MAINE SEES A FEW
CLOUDS WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE SITUATED TO OUR SOUTH AND
EAST...OTHERWISE A MOSTLY SUNNY AND SEASONABLY COLD DAY WITH HIGHS
ONLY IN THE TEENS AND 20S.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
MOISTURE STARVED WOULD BE A GOOD LABEL FOR THE THEME FOR ANY
SYSTEMS CROSSING OUR REGION DURING THE LONG TERM PORTION OF THE
FORECAST.

AFTER A COLD SHOT OF AIR DURING THE LATER PART OF THE WORK WEEK...A
PATTERN CHANGE WILL ALLOW FOR MILDER AIR INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL FINALLY ARRIVE NEXT WEEK WITH
READINGS IN THE LOWER 40S EXPECTED OVER MANY LOCATIONS. THE JET
STREAM WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT OUR REGION FROM CANADA.
HOWEVER...UNLIKE FEBRUARY...OUR AIRMASS WILL NOT BE BUILDING FROM
THE ARCTIC AND PLUNGING SOUTHWARD. RATHER...THEY WILL BE
SIGNIFICANTLY MODIFIED WITH TIME AFTER CROSSING NORTH AMERICA.

SEVERAL CLIPPER TYPE SYSTEMS WILL BE CROSSING OUR FORECAST AREA
DURING THE EXTENDED PORTION OF THE FORECAST. THREE SEPARATE SYSTEM
PASSAGES WILL OCCUR SATURDAY NIGHT...MONDAY AND AGAIN ON TUESDAY.
AGAIN...THESE WILL BE VERY MOISTURE STARVED SYSTEMS...SO ONLY VERY
LIGHT SNOW...SNOW FLURRIES OR RAIN SHOWERS WILL ACCOMPANY THE
AREAS OF LOW PRESSURE.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...CONDS IMPROVING TO VFR THROUGHOUT BY 15Z.

LONG TERM...MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SMALL CRAFT EXTENDED THROUGH TONIGHT AS COLD/OCCLUDED
FRONT CROSSES THE AREA THIS MORNING...WITH A SECONDARY COLD
FRONTAL PASSAGE TONIGHT.

LONG TERM...WINDS AND SEAS WILL BE MAINLY BELOW SCA THRESHOLDS
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...HOWEVER WINDS MAY BECOME GUSTY FROM THE
WEST ON MONDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...LEGRO




000
FXUS61 KGYX 041101
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
601 AM EST WED MAR 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL PASS TO OUR NORTH TODAY...DRAGGING A COLD FRONT
THROUGH THE REGION. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST
THURSDAY AND CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A WEAK DISTURBANCE
WILL DRAG TRAILING WARM AND COLD FRONTS ACROSS THE REGION THIS
WEEKEND. ANOTHER VERY WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL CROSS THE REGION EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...

600 AM...MINOR ESTF UPDATE TO INGEST THE LATEST MESONET INTO 1ST
PERIOD GRIDS.

PREV DISC...
THE STEADIER WARM AIR ADVECTION PRECIPITATION WAS EXITING THE AREA
AS OF 07Z. IN ITS WAKE...LOW CLOUDS AND PATCHY FOG. THERE WAS SOME
SPOTTY SNOW SHOWERS...SLEET...AND FREEZING DRIZZLE AS WELL. WITH
STEADIER PRECIPITATION NOW ENDED...THE CURRENT WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORIES ARE THEREFORE DROPPED AS OF THE NEW PUBLIC PACKAGE
ISSUANCE THIS MORNING. THE COLD/OCCLUDED FRONT ENTERING WESTERN
NEW ENGLAND AT 07Z WILL RACE EAST AND EXIT THE COAST THIS
MORNING. SOUTHWEST FLOW AND PARTIAL CLEARING BEHIND IT WILL ALLOW
TEMPERATURES TO WARM TO A FEW DEGREES EITHER SIDE OF 40 ACROSS THE
AREA TODAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA TONIGHT WITH A FEW UPSLOPE
SNOW SHOWERS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN. WITH COLD AIR
DEEPENING ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...LOWS WILL RANGE FROM NEAR 20
AT THE COAST TO THE SINGLE NUMBERS ABOVE ZERO NEAR THE
INTERNATIONAL BORDER.

ON THURSDAY...SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE TO COASTAL MAINE SEES A FEW
CLOUDS WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE SITUATED TO OUR SOUTH AND
EAST...OTHERWISE A MOSTLY SUNNY AND SEASONABLY COLD DAY WITH HIGHS
ONLY IN THE TEENS AND 20S.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
MOISTURE STARVED WOULD BE A GOOD LABEL FOR THE THEME FOR ANY
SYSTEMS CROSSING OUR REGION DURING THE LONG TERM PORTION OF THE
FORECAST.

AFTER A COLD SHOT OF AIR DURING THE LATER PART OF THE WORK WEEK...A
PATTERN CHANGE WILL ALLOW FOR MILDER AIR INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL FINALLY ARRIVE NEXT WEEK WITH
READINGS IN THE LOWER 40S EXPECTED OVER MANY LOCATIONS. THE JET
STREAM WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT OUR REGION FROM CANADA.
HOWEVER...UNLIKE FEBRUARY...OUR AIRMASS WILL NOT BE BUILDING FROM
THE ARCTIC AND PLUNGING SOUTHWARD. RATHER...THEY WILL BE
SIGNIFICANTLY MODIFIED WITH TIME AFTER CROSSING NORTH AMERICA.

SEVERAL CLIPPER TYPE SYSTEMS WILL BE CROSSING OUR FORECAST AREA
DURING THE EXTENDED PORTION OF THE FORECAST. THREE SEPARATE SYSTEM
PASSAGES WILL OCCUR SATURDAY NIGHT...MONDAY AND AGAIN ON TUESDAY.
AGAIN...THESE WILL BE VERY MOISTURE STARVED SYSTEMS...SO ONLY VERY
LIGHT SNOW...SNOW FLURRIES OR RAIN SHOWERS WILL ACCOMPANY THE
AREAS OF LOW PRESSURE.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...CONDS IMPROVING TO VFR THROUGHOUT BY 15Z.

LONG TERM...MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SMALL CRAFT EXTENDED THROUGH TONIGHT AS COLD/OCCLUDED
FRONT CROSSES THE AREA THIS MORNING...WITH A SECONDARY COLD
FRONTAL PASSAGE TONIGHT.

LONG TERM...WINDS AND SEAS WILL BE MAINLY BELOW SCA THRESHOLDS
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...HOWEVER WINDS MAY BECOME GUSTY FROM THE
WEST ON MONDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$
ES




000
FXUS61 KGYX 041101
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
601 AM EST WED MAR 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL PASS TO OUR NORTH TODAY...DRAGGING A COLD FRONT
THROUGH THE REGION. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST
THURSDAY AND CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A WEAK DISTURBANCE
WILL DRAG TRAILING WARM AND COLD FRONTS ACROSS THE REGION THIS
WEEKEND. ANOTHER VERY WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL CROSS THE REGION EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...

600 AM...MINOR ESTF UPDATE TO INGEST THE LATEST MESONET INTO 1ST
PERIOD GRIDS.

PREV DISC...
THE STEADIER WARM AIR ADVECTION PRECIPITATION WAS EXITING THE AREA
AS OF 07Z. IN ITS WAKE...LOW CLOUDS AND PATCHY FOG. THERE WAS SOME
SPOTTY SNOW SHOWERS...SLEET...AND FREEZING DRIZZLE AS WELL. WITH
STEADIER PRECIPITATION NOW ENDED...THE CURRENT WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORIES ARE THEREFORE DROPPED AS OF THE NEW PUBLIC PACKAGE
ISSUANCE THIS MORNING. THE COLD/OCCLUDED FRONT ENTERING WESTERN
NEW ENGLAND AT 07Z WILL RACE EAST AND EXIT THE COAST THIS
MORNING. SOUTHWEST FLOW AND PARTIAL CLEARING BEHIND IT WILL ALLOW
TEMPERATURES TO WARM TO A FEW DEGREES EITHER SIDE OF 40 ACROSS THE
AREA TODAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA TONIGHT WITH A FEW UPSLOPE
SNOW SHOWERS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN. WITH COLD AIR
DEEPENING ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...LOWS WILL RANGE FROM NEAR 20
AT THE COAST TO THE SINGLE NUMBERS ABOVE ZERO NEAR THE
INTERNATIONAL BORDER.

ON THURSDAY...SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE TO COASTAL MAINE SEES A FEW
CLOUDS WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE SITUATED TO OUR SOUTH AND
EAST...OTHERWISE A MOSTLY SUNNY AND SEASONABLY COLD DAY WITH HIGHS
ONLY IN THE TEENS AND 20S.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
MOISTURE STARVED WOULD BE A GOOD LABEL FOR THE THEME FOR ANY
SYSTEMS CROSSING OUR REGION DURING THE LONG TERM PORTION OF THE
FORECAST.

AFTER A COLD SHOT OF AIR DURING THE LATER PART OF THE WORK WEEK...A
PATTERN CHANGE WILL ALLOW FOR MILDER AIR INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL FINALLY ARRIVE NEXT WEEK WITH
READINGS IN THE LOWER 40S EXPECTED OVER MANY LOCATIONS. THE JET
STREAM WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT OUR REGION FROM CANADA.
HOWEVER...UNLIKE FEBRUARY...OUR AIRMASS WILL NOT BE BUILDING FROM
THE ARCTIC AND PLUNGING SOUTHWARD. RATHER...THEY WILL BE
SIGNIFICANTLY MODIFIED WITH TIME AFTER CROSSING NORTH AMERICA.

SEVERAL CLIPPER TYPE SYSTEMS WILL BE CROSSING OUR FORECAST AREA
DURING THE EXTENDED PORTION OF THE FORECAST. THREE SEPARATE SYSTEM
PASSAGES WILL OCCUR SATURDAY NIGHT...MONDAY AND AGAIN ON TUESDAY.
AGAIN...THESE WILL BE VERY MOISTURE STARVED SYSTEMS...SO ONLY VERY
LIGHT SNOW...SNOW FLURRIES OR RAIN SHOWERS WILL ACCOMPANY THE
AREAS OF LOW PRESSURE.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...CONDS IMPROVING TO VFR THROUGHOUT BY 15Z.

LONG TERM...MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SMALL CRAFT EXTENDED THROUGH TONIGHT AS COLD/OCCLUDED
FRONT CROSSES THE AREA THIS MORNING...WITH A SECONDARY COLD
FRONTAL PASSAGE TONIGHT.

LONG TERM...WINDS AND SEAS WILL BE MAINLY BELOW SCA THRESHOLDS
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...HOWEVER WINDS MAY BECOME GUSTY FROM THE
WEST ON MONDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$
ES




000
FXUS61 KGYX 041101
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
601 AM EST WED MAR 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL PASS TO OUR NORTH TODAY...DRAGGING A COLD FRONT
THROUGH THE REGION. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST
THURSDAY AND CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A WEAK DISTURBANCE
WILL DRAG TRAILING WARM AND COLD FRONTS ACROSS THE REGION THIS
WEEKEND. ANOTHER VERY WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL CROSS THE REGION EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...

600 AM...MINOR ESTF UPDATE TO INGEST THE LATEST MESONET INTO 1ST
PERIOD GRIDS.

PREV DISC...
THE STEADIER WARM AIR ADVECTION PRECIPITATION WAS EXITING THE AREA
AS OF 07Z. IN ITS WAKE...LOW CLOUDS AND PATCHY FOG. THERE WAS SOME
SPOTTY SNOW SHOWERS...SLEET...AND FREEZING DRIZZLE AS WELL. WITH
STEADIER PRECIPITATION NOW ENDED...THE CURRENT WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORIES ARE THEREFORE DROPPED AS OF THE NEW PUBLIC PACKAGE
ISSUANCE THIS MORNING. THE COLD/OCCLUDED FRONT ENTERING WESTERN
NEW ENGLAND AT 07Z WILL RACE EAST AND EXIT THE COAST THIS
MORNING. SOUTHWEST FLOW AND PARTIAL CLEARING BEHIND IT WILL ALLOW
TEMPERATURES TO WARM TO A FEW DEGREES EITHER SIDE OF 40 ACROSS THE
AREA TODAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA TONIGHT WITH A FEW UPSLOPE
SNOW SHOWERS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN. WITH COLD AIR
DEEPENING ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...LOWS WILL RANGE FROM NEAR 20
AT THE COAST TO THE SINGLE NUMBERS ABOVE ZERO NEAR THE
INTERNATIONAL BORDER.

ON THURSDAY...SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE TO COASTAL MAINE SEES A FEW
CLOUDS WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE SITUATED TO OUR SOUTH AND
EAST...OTHERWISE A MOSTLY SUNNY AND SEASONABLY COLD DAY WITH HIGHS
ONLY IN THE TEENS AND 20S.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
MOISTURE STARVED WOULD BE A GOOD LABEL FOR THE THEME FOR ANY
SYSTEMS CROSSING OUR REGION DURING THE LONG TERM PORTION OF THE
FORECAST.

AFTER A COLD SHOT OF AIR DURING THE LATER PART OF THE WORK WEEK...A
PATTERN CHANGE WILL ALLOW FOR MILDER AIR INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL FINALLY ARRIVE NEXT WEEK WITH
READINGS IN THE LOWER 40S EXPECTED OVER MANY LOCATIONS. THE JET
STREAM WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT OUR REGION FROM CANADA.
HOWEVER...UNLIKE FEBRUARY...OUR AIRMASS WILL NOT BE BUILDING FROM
THE ARCTIC AND PLUNGING SOUTHWARD. RATHER...THEY WILL BE
SIGNIFICANTLY MODIFIED WITH TIME AFTER CROSSING NORTH AMERICA.

SEVERAL CLIPPER TYPE SYSTEMS WILL BE CROSSING OUR FORECAST AREA
DURING THE EXTENDED PORTION OF THE FORECAST. THREE SEPARATE SYSTEM
PASSAGES WILL OCCUR SATURDAY NIGHT...MONDAY AND AGAIN ON TUESDAY.
AGAIN...THESE WILL BE VERY MOISTURE STARVED SYSTEMS...SO ONLY VERY
LIGHT SNOW...SNOW FLURRIES OR RAIN SHOWERS WILL ACCOMPANY THE
AREAS OF LOW PRESSURE.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...CONDS IMPROVING TO VFR THROUGHOUT BY 15Z.

LONG TERM...MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SMALL CRAFT EXTENDED THROUGH TONIGHT AS COLD/OCCLUDED
FRONT CROSSES THE AREA THIS MORNING...WITH A SECONDARY COLD
FRONTAL PASSAGE TONIGHT.

LONG TERM...WINDS AND SEAS WILL BE MAINLY BELOW SCA THRESHOLDS
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...HOWEVER WINDS MAY BECOME GUSTY FROM THE
WEST ON MONDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$
ES





000
FXUS61 KGYX 041101
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
601 AM EST WED MAR 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL PASS TO OUR NORTH TODAY...DRAGGING A COLD FRONT
THROUGH THE REGION. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST
THURSDAY AND CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A WEAK DISTURBANCE
WILL DRAG TRAILING WARM AND COLD FRONTS ACROSS THE REGION THIS
WEEKEND. ANOTHER VERY WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL CROSS THE REGION EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...

600 AM...MINOR ESTF UPDATE TO INGEST THE LATEST MESONET INTO 1ST
PERIOD GRIDS.

PREV DISC...
THE STEADIER WARM AIR ADVECTION PRECIPITATION WAS EXITING THE AREA
AS OF 07Z. IN ITS WAKE...LOW CLOUDS AND PATCHY FOG. THERE WAS SOME
SPOTTY SNOW SHOWERS...SLEET...AND FREEZING DRIZZLE AS WELL. WITH
STEADIER PRECIPITATION NOW ENDED...THE CURRENT WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORIES ARE THEREFORE DROPPED AS OF THE NEW PUBLIC PACKAGE
ISSUANCE THIS MORNING. THE COLD/OCCLUDED FRONT ENTERING WESTERN
NEW ENGLAND AT 07Z WILL RACE EAST AND EXIT THE COAST THIS
MORNING. SOUTHWEST FLOW AND PARTIAL CLEARING BEHIND IT WILL ALLOW
TEMPERATURES TO WARM TO A FEW DEGREES EITHER SIDE OF 40 ACROSS THE
AREA TODAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA TONIGHT WITH A FEW UPSLOPE
SNOW SHOWERS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN. WITH COLD AIR
DEEPENING ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...LOWS WILL RANGE FROM NEAR 20
AT THE COAST TO THE SINGLE NUMBERS ABOVE ZERO NEAR THE
INTERNATIONAL BORDER.

ON THURSDAY...SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE TO COASTAL MAINE SEES A FEW
CLOUDS WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE SITUATED TO OUR SOUTH AND
EAST...OTHERWISE A MOSTLY SUNNY AND SEASONABLY COLD DAY WITH HIGHS
ONLY IN THE TEENS AND 20S.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
MOISTURE STARVED WOULD BE A GOOD LABEL FOR THE THEME FOR ANY
SYSTEMS CROSSING OUR REGION DURING THE LONG TERM PORTION OF THE
FORECAST.

AFTER A COLD SHOT OF AIR DURING THE LATER PART OF THE WORK WEEK...A
PATTERN CHANGE WILL ALLOW FOR MILDER AIR INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL FINALLY ARRIVE NEXT WEEK WITH
READINGS IN THE LOWER 40S EXPECTED OVER MANY LOCATIONS. THE JET
STREAM WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT OUR REGION FROM CANADA.
HOWEVER...UNLIKE FEBRUARY...OUR AIRMASS WILL NOT BE BUILDING FROM
THE ARCTIC AND PLUNGING SOUTHWARD. RATHER...THEY WILL BE
SIGNIFICANTLY MODIFIED WITH TIME AFTER CROSSING NORTH AMERICA.

SEVERAL CLIPPER TYPE SYSTEMS WILL BE CROSSING OUR FORECAST AREA
DURING THE EXTENDED PORTION OF THE FORECAST. THREE SEPARATE SYSTEM
PASSAGES WILL OCCUR SATURDAY NIGHT...MONDAY AND AGAIN ON TUESDAY.
AGAIN...THESE WILL BE VERY MOISTURE STARVED SYSTEMS...SO ONLY VERY
LIGHT SNOW...SNOW FLURRIES OR RAIN SHOWERS WILL ACCOMPANY THE
AREAS OF LOW PRESSURE.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...CONDS IMPROVING TO VFR THROUGHOUT BY 15Z.

LONG TERM...MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SMALL CRAFT EXTENDED THROUGH TONIGHT AS COLD/OCCLUDED
FRONT CROSSES THE AREA THIS MORNING...WITH A SECONDARY COLD
FRONTAL PASSAGE TONIGHT.

LONG TERM...WINDS AND SEAS WILL BE MAINLY BELOW SCA THRESHOLDS
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...HOWEVER WINDS MAY BECOME GUSTY FROM THE
WEST ON MONDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$
ES





000
FXUS61 KGYX 040819
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
319 AM EST WED MAR 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL PASS TO OUR NORTH TODAY...DRAGGING A COLD FRONT
THROUGH THE REGION. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST
THURSDAY AND CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A WEAK DISTURBANCE
WILL DRAG TRAILING WARM AND COLD FRONTS ACROSS THE REGION THIS
WEEKEND. ANOTHER VERY WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL CROSS THE REGION EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
THE STEADIER WARM AIR ADVECTION PRECIPITATION WAS EXITING THE AREA
AS OF 07Z. IN ITS WAKE...LOW CLOUDS AND PATCHY FOG. THERE WAS SOME
SPOTTY SNOW SHOWERS...SLEET...AND FREEZING DRIZZLE AS WELL. WITH
STEADIER PRECIPITATION NOW ENDED...THE CURRENT WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORIES ARE THEREFORE DROPPED AS OF THE NEW PUBLIC PACKAGE
ISSUANCE THIS MORNING. THE COLD/OCCLUDED FRONT ENTERING WESTERN
NEW ENGLAND AT 07Z WILL RACE EAST AND EXIT THE COAST THIS
MORNING. SOUTHWEST FLOW AND PARTIAL CLEARING BEHIND IT WILL ALLOW
TEMPERATURES TO WARM TO A FEW DEGREES EITHER SIDE OF 40 ACROSS THE
AREA TODAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA TONIGHT WITH A FEW UPSLOPE
SNOW SHOWERS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN. WITH COLD AIR
DEEPENING ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...LOWS WILL RANGE FROM NEAR 20
AT THE COAST TO THE SINGLE NUMBERS ABOVE ZERO NEAR THE
INTERNATIONAL BORDER.

ON THURSDAY...SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE TO COASTAL MAINE SEES A FEW
CLOUDS WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE SITUATED TO OUR SOUTH AND
EAST...OTHERWISE A MOSTLY SUNNY AND SEASONABLY COLD DAY WITH HIGHS
ONLY IN THE TEENS AND 20S.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
MOISTURE STARVED WOULD BE A GOOD LABEL FOR THE THEME FOR ANY
SYSTEMS CROSSING OUR REGION DURING THE LONG TERM PORTION OF THE
FORECAST.

AFTER A COLD SHOT OF AIR DURING THE LATER PART OF THE WORK WEEK...A
PATTERN CHANGE WILL ALLOW FOR MILDER AIR INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL FINALLY ARRIVE NEXT WEEK WITH
READINGS IN THE LOWER 40S EXPECTED OVER MANY LOCATIONS. THE JET
STREAM WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT OUR REGION FROM CANADA.
HOWEVER...UNLIKE FEBRUARY...OUR AIRMASS WILL NOT BE BUILDING FROM
THE ARCTIC AND PLUNGING SOUTHWARD. RATHER...THEY WILL BE
SIGNIFICANTLY MODIFIED WITH TIME AFTER CROSSING NORTH AMERICA.

SEVERAL CLIPPER TYPE SYSTEMS WILL BE CROSSING OUR FORECAST AREA
DURING THE EXTENDED PORTION OF THE FORECAST. THREE SEPARATE SYSTEM
PASSAGES WILL OCCUR SATURDAY NIGHT...MONDAY AND AGAIN ON TUESDAY.
AGAIN...THESE WILL BE VERY MOISTURE STARVED SYSTEMS...SO ONLY VERY
LIGHT SNOW...SNOW FLURRIES OR RAIN SHOWERS WILL ACCOMPANY THE
AREAS OF LOW PRESSURE.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...CONDS IMPROVING TO VFR THROUGHOUT BY 15Z.

LONG TERM...MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SMALL CRAFT EXTENDED THROUGH TONIGHT AS COLD/OCCLUDED
FRONT CROSSES THE AREA THIS MORNING...WITH A SECONDARY COLD
FRONTAL PASSAGE TONIGHT.

LONG TERM...WINDS AND SEAS WILL BE MAINLY BELOW SCA THRESHOLDS
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...HOWEVER WINDS MAY BECOME GUSTY FROM THE
WEST ON MONDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$

SCHWIBS/CANNON





000
FXUS61 KGYX 040819
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
319 AM EST WED MAR 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL PASS TO OUR NORTH TODAY...DRAGGING A COLD FRONT
THROUGH THE REGION. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST
THURSDAY AND CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A WEAK DISTURBANCE
WILL DRAG TRAILING WARM AND COLD FRONTS ACROSS THE REGION THIS
WEEKEND. ANOTHER VERY WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL CROSS THE REGION EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
THE STEADIER WARM AIR ADVECTION PRECIPITATION WAS EXITING THE AREA
AS OF 07Z. IN ITS WAKE...LOW CLOUDS AND PATCHY FOG. THERE WAS SOME
SPOTTY SNOW SHOWERS...SLEET...AND FREEZING DRIZZLE AS WELL. WITH
STEADIER PRECIPITATION NOW ENDED...THE CURRENT WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORIES ARE THEREFORE DROPPED AS OF THE NEW PUBLIC PACKAGE
ISSUANCE THIS MORNING. THE COLD/OCCLUDED FRONT ENTERING WESTERN
NEW ENGLAND AT 07Z WILL RACE EAST AND EXIT THE COAST THIS
MORNING. SOUTHWEST FLOW AND PARTIAL CLEARING BEHIND IT WILL ALLOW
TEMPERATURES TO WARM TO A FEW DEGREES EITHER SIDE OF 40 ACROSS THE
AREA TODAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA TONIGHT WITH A FEW UPSLOPE
SNOW SHOWERS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN. WITH COLD AIR
DEEPENING ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...LOWS WILL RANGE FROM NEAR 20
AT THE COAST TO THE SINGLE NUMBERS ABOVE ZERO NEAR THE
INTERNATIONAL BORDER.

ON THURSDAY...SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE TO COASTAL MAINE SEES A FEW
CLOUDS WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE SITUATED TO OUR SOUTH AND
EAST...OTHERWISE A MOSTLY SUNNY AND SEASONABLY COLD DAY WITH HIGHS
ONLY IN THE TEENS AND 20S.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
MOISTURE STARVED WOULD BE A GOOD LABEL FOR THE THEME FOR ANY
SYSTEMS CROSSING OUR REGION DURING THE LONG TERM PORTION OF THE
FORECAST.

AFTER A COLD SHOT OF AIR DURING THE LATER PART OF THE WORK WEEK...A
PATTERN CHANGE WILL ALLOW FOR MILDER AIR INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL FINALLY ARRIVE NEXT WEEK WITH
READINGS IN THE LOWER 40S EXPECTED OVER MANY LOCATIONS. THE JET
STREAM WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT OUR REGION FROM CANADA.
HOWEVER...UNLIKE FEBRUARY...OUR AIRMASS WILL NOT BE BUILDING FROM
THE ARCTIC AND PLUNGING SOUTHWARD. RATHER...THEY WILL BE
SIGNIFICANTLY MODIFIED WITH TIME AFTER CROSSING NORTH AMERICA.

SEVERAL CLIPPER TYPE SYSTEMS WILL BE CROSSING OUR FORECAST AREA
DURING THE EXTENDED PORTION OF THE FORECAST. THREE SEPARATE SYSTEM
PASSAGES WILL OCCUR SATURDAY NIGHT...MONDAY AND AGAIN ON TUESDAY.
AGAIN...THESE WILL BE VERY MOISTURE STARVED SYSTEMS...SO ONLY VERY
LIGHT SNOW...SNOW FLURRIES OR RAIN SHOWERS WILL ACCOMPANY THE
AREAS OF LOW PRESSURE.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...CONDS IMPROVING TO VFR THROUGHOUT BY 15Z.

LONG TERM...MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SMALL CRAFT EXTENDED THROUGH TONIGHT AS COLD/OCCLUDED
FRONT CROSSES THE AREA THIS MORNING...WITH A SECONDARY COLD
FRONTAL PASSAGE TONIGHT.

LONG TERM...WINDS AND SEAS WILL BE MAINLY BELOW SCA THRESHOLDS
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...HOWEVER WINDS MAY BECOME GUSTY FROM THE
WEST ON MONDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$

SCHWIBS/CANNON





000
FXUS61 KGYX 040819
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
319 AM EST WED MAR 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL PASS TO OUR NORTH TODAY...DRAGGING A COLD FRONT
THROUGH THE REGION. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST
THURSDAY AND CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A WEAK DISTURBANCE
WILL DRAG TRAILING WARM AND COLD FRONTS ACROSS THE REGION THIS
WEEKEND. ANOTHER VERY WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL CROSS THE REGION EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
THE STEADIER WARM AIR ADVECTION PRECIPITATION WAS EXITING THE AREA
AS OF 07Z. IN ITS WAKE...LOW CLOUDS AND PATCHY FOG. THERE WAS SOME
SPOTTY SNOW SHOWERS...SLEET...AND FREEZING DRIZZLE AS WELL. WITH
STEADIER PRECIPITATION NOW ENDED...THE CURRENT WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORIES ARE THEREFORE DROPPED AS OF THE NEW PUBLIC PACKAGE
ISSUANCE THIS MORNING. THE COLD/OCCLUDED FRONT ENTERING WESTERN
NEW ENGLAND AT 07Z WILL RACE EAST AND EXIT THE COAST THIS
MORNING. SOUTHWEST FLOW AND PARTIAL CLEARING BEHIND IT WILL ALLOW
TEMPERATURES TO WARM TO A FEW DEGREES EITHER SIDE OF 40 ACROSS THE
AREA TODAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA TONIGHT WITH A FEW UPSLOPE
SNOW SHOWERS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN. WITH COLD AIR
DEEPENING ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...LOWS WILL RANGE FROM NEAR 20
AT THE COAST TO THE SINGLE NUMBERS ABOVE ZERO NEAR THE
INTERNATIONAL BORDER.

ON THURSDAY...SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE TO COASTAL MAINE SEES A FEW
CLOUDS WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE SITUATED TO OUR SOUTH AND
EAST...OTHERWISE A MOSTLY SUNNY AND SEASONABLY COLD DAY WITH HIGHS
ONLY IN THE TEENS AND 20S.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
MOISTURE STARVED WOULD BE A GOOD LABEL FOR THE THEME FOR ANY
SYSTEMS CROSSING OUR REGION DURING THE LONG TERM PORTION OF THE
FORECAST.

AFTER A COLD SHOT OF AIR DURING THE LATER PART OF THE WORK WEEK...A
PATTERN CHANGE WILL ALLOW FOR MILDER AIR INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL FINALLY ARRIVE NEXT WEEK WITH
READINGS IN THE LOWER 40S EXPECTED OVER MANY LOCATIONS. THE JET
STREAM WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT OUR REGION FROM CANADA.
HOWEVER...UNLIKE FEBRUARY...OUR AIRMASS WILL NOT BE BUILDING FROM
THE ARCTIC AND PLUNGING SOUTHWARD. RATHER...THEY WILL BE
SIGNIFICANTLY MODIFIED WITH TIME AFTER CROSSING NORTH AMERICA.

SEVERAL CLIPPER TYPE SYSTEMS WILL BE CROSSING OUR FORECAST AREA
DURING THE EXTENDED PORTION OF THE FORECAST. THREE SEPARATE SYSTEM
PASSAGES WILL OCCUR SATURDAY NIGHT...MONDAY AND AGAIN ON TUESDAY.
AGAIN...THESE WILL BE VERY MOISTURE STARVED SYSTEMS...SO ONLY VERY
LIGHT SNOW...SNOW FLURRIES OR RAIN SHOWERS WILL ACCOMPANY THE
AREAS OF LOW PRESSURE.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...CONDS IMPROVING TO VFR THROUGHOUT BY 15Z.

LONG TERM...MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SMALL CRAFT EXTENDED THROUGH TONIGHT AS COLD/OCCLUDED
FRONT CROSSES THE AREA THIS MORNING...WITH A SECONDARY COLD
FRONTAL PASSAGE TONIGHT.

LONG TERM...WINDS AND SEAS WILL BE MAINLY BELOW SCA THRESHOLDS
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...HOWEVER WINDS MAY BECOME GUSTY FROM THE
WEST ON MONDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$

SCHWIBS/CANNON




000
FXUS61 KGYX 040513
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
1213 AM EST WED MAR 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL SWING THROUGH SOUTHERN CANADA TONIGHT TRYING TO
PUSH A WARM FRONT NORTH ACROSS THE REGION. AS THE LOW SHIFTS TO
OUR NORTH...IT WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION LATE
WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THURSDAY AND
CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL DRAG
TRAILING WARM AND COLD FRONTS ACROSS THE REGION THIS WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/...

1209 AM...MINOR ESTF UPDATE TO REFLECT RADAR TRENDS AND INGEST
LATEST MESONET.

.UPDATE...
SNOW CONTINUES TONIGHT WITH NORTHERN STREAM SHORT WAVE NOTED IN
WATER VAPOR SATELLITE JUST ENTERING QUEBEC PROVINCE. THE CURRENT
WAVE OF PRECIPITATION MAY REPRESENT THE HEAVIEST OF THE NIGHT WITH
LIGHTER SHOWERS TO FOLLOW. IN FACT WE MAY SEE THIS EVENT ENDING IN
THE NEXT 3-4 HOURS WITH A SLEET/FREEZING RAIN/RAIN MIX POSSIBLE
BRIEFLY ON THE TAIL END AND CONTINUED UPSLOPE SNOW OVER THE
MOUNTAINS. WITH THAT IN MIND MID SHIFT MAY BE ABLE TO DROP
ADVISORIES EARLY ON. OTHERWISE SNOW IS OF THE SLUSHY WET VARIETY
MAKING DRIVING SLIPPERY. UPDATED TEMPERATURE AND DEW POINT GRIDS
FOR CURRENT TRENDS... OTHERWISE LITTLE CHANGE TO CURRENT FORECAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 AM THURSDAY/...
WE BREAK OUT INTO THE WARM SECTOR WEDNESDAY MORNING AND A LIGHT
WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL DEVELOP IN THE LOWER LEVELS. H85
TEMPERATURES A BALMY 0 TO -5C SHOULD ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO WARM
INTO THE 40S AS SOME SUN IS ALSO EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AS THE DAY
WEARS ON AND A DRY SLOT MOVES THROUGH BY LATE MORNING.

A DRY WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT BUT
SOME CLOUDS WILL BE NOTED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE FORECAST
AREA AS A COLD FRONT STALLS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND AND WE REMAIN ON
THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY.

USED A BLEND OF THE THE MODELS FOR TEMPERATURES WED AND WED NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF RELATIVELY QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH
THE PERIOD. A SOUTHERN STREAM SHORT WAVE TROUGH THAT WILL BRING
SNOW TO THE SOUTH OF OUR AREA ON THURS WILL BE SHUNTED OUT TO SEA
BEFORE IT CAN BRING US ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL. A FEW FLURRIES
POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHERNMOST ZONES THEN...BUT THAT/S ABOUT IT.
OTHERWISE...BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED WITH MAINLY DRY
WEATHER. A WARM UP IS QUITE POSSIBLE EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /05Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...CONDITIONS LOWERING TO IFR TONIGHT IN SNOW. THEN
IMPROVING TO VFR BY WED MORNING AND CONTINUING INTO WED NIGHT.

LONG TERM...VFR CONDITIONS THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...AN INCREASING SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW TONIGHT WILL
REACH SCA CRITERIA BY LATER THIS EVENING SO A SCA HAS BEEN ISSUED
AND WILL CONTINUE INTO WED OVER THE OUTER WATERS INTO THE
AFTERNOON.

LONG TERM...SCA CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED MUCH OF THE TIME THU
THROUGH SUN. THE STRONGEST OF WHICH ARE EXPECTED ON SAT WHEN GUSTS
MAY APPROACH LOW-END GALE FORCE AT TIMES.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR
     MEZ007>009-012>014-018>028.
NH...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR
     NHZ001>015.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR ANZ151-
     153.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR ANZ150-
     152-154.

&&

$$
ES




000
FXUS61 KGYX 040513
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
1213 AM EST WED MAR 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL SWING THROUGH SOUTHERN CANADA TONIGHT TRYING TO
PUSH A WARM FRONT NORTH ACROSS THE REGION. AS THE LOW SHIFTS TO
OUR NORTH...IT WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION LATE
WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THURSDAY AND
CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL DRAG
TRAILING WARM AND COLD FRONTS ACROSS THE REGION THIS WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/...

1209 AM...MINOR ESTF UPDATE TO REFLECT RADAR TRENDS AND INGEST
LATEST MESONET.

.UPDATE...
SNOW CONTINUES TONIGHT WITH NORTHERN STREAM SHORT WAVE NOTED IN
WATER VAPOR SATELLITE JUST ENTERING QUEBEC PROVINCE. THE CURRENT
WAVE OF PRECIPITATION MAY REPRESENT THE HEAVIEST OF THE NIGHT WITH
LIGHTER SHOWERS TO FOLLOW. IN FACT WE MAY SEE THIS EVENT ENDING IN
THE NEXT 3-4 HOURS WITH A SLEET/FREEZING RAIN/RAIN MIX POSSIBLE
BRIEFLY ON THE TAIL END AND CONTINUED UPSLOPE SNOW OVER THE
MOUNTAINS. WITH THAT IN MIND MID SHIFT MAY BE ABLE TO DROP
ADVISORIES EARLY ON. OTHERWISE SNOW IS OF THE SLUSHY WET VARIETY
MAKING DRIVING SLIPPERY. UPDATED TEMPERATURE AND DEW POINT GRIDS
FOR CURRENT TRENDS... OTHERWISE LITTLE CHANGE TO CURRENT FORECAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 AM THURSDAY/...
WE BREAK OUT INTO THE WARM SECTOR WEDNESDAY MORNING AND A LIGHT
WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL DEVELOP IN THE LOWER LEVELS. H85
TEMPERATURES A BALMY 0 TO -5C SHOULD ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO WARM
INTO THE 40S AS SOME SUN IS ALSO EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AS THE DAY
WEARS ON AND A DRY SLOT MOVES THROUGH BY LATE MORNING.

A DRY WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT BUT
SOME CLOUDS WILL BE NOTED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE FORECAST
AREA AS A COLD FRONT STALLS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND AND WE REMAIN ON
THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY.

USED A BLEND OF THE THE MODELS FOR TEMPERATURES WED AND WED NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF RELATIVELY QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH
THE PERIOD. A SOUTHERN STREAM SHORT WAVE TROUGH THAT WILL BRING
SNOW TO THE SOUTH OF OUR AREA ON THURS WILL BE SHUNTED OUT TO SEA
BEFORE IT CAN BRING US ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL. A FEW FLURRIES
POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHERNMOST ZONES THEN...BUT THAT/S ABOUT IT.
OTHERWISE...BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED WITH MAINLY DRY
WEATHER. A WARM UP IS QUITE POSSIBLE EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /05Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...CONDITIONS LOWERING TO IFR TONIGHT IN SNOW. THEN
IMPROVING TO VFR BY WED MORNING AND CONTINUING INTO WED NIGHT.

LONG TERM...VFR CONDITIONS THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...AN INCREASING SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW TONIGHT WILL
REACH SCA CRITERIA BY LATER THIS EVENING SO A SCA HAS BEEN ISSUED
AND WILL CONTINUE INTO WED OVER THE OUTER WATERS INTO THE
AFTERNOON.

LONG TERM...SCA CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED MUCH OF THE TIME THU
THROUGH SUN. THE STRONGEST OF WHICH ARE EXPECTED ON SAT WHEN GUSTS
MAY APPROACH LOW-END GALE FORCE AT TIMES.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR
     MEZ007>009-012>014-018>028.
NH...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR
     NHZ001>015.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR ANZ151-
     153.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR ANZ150-
     152-154.

&&

$$
ES





000
FXUS61 KGYX 040313 AAB
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
1013 PM EST TUE MAR 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL SWING THROUGH SOUTHERN CANADA TONIGHT TRYING TO
PUSH A WARM FRONT NORTH ACROSS THE REGION. AS THE LOW SHIFTS TO
OUR NORTH...IT WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION LATE
WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THURSDAY AND
CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL DRAG
TRAILING WARM AND COLD FRONTS ACROSS THE REGION THIS WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
.UPDATE...
SNOW CONTINUES TONIGHT WITH NORTHERN STREAM SHORT WAVE NOTED IN
WATER VAPOR SATELLITE JUST ENTERING QUEBEC PROVINCE. THE CURRENT
WAVE OF PRECIPITATION MAY REPRESENT THE HEAVIEST OF THE NIGHT WITH
LIGHTER SHOWERS TO FOLLOW. IN FACT WE MAY SEE THIS EVENT ENDING IN
THE NEXT 3-4 HOURS WITH A SLEET/FREEZING RAIN/RAIN MIX POSSIBLE
BRIEFLY ON THE TAIL END AND CONTINUED UPSLOPE SNOW OVER THE
MOUNTAINS. WITH THAT IN MIND MID SHIFT MAY BE ABLE TO DROP
ADVISORIES EARLY ON. OTHERWISE SNOW IS OF THE SLUSHY WET VARIETY
MAKING DRIVING SLIPPERY. UPDATED TEMPERATURE AND DEW POINT GRIDS
FOR CURRENT TRENDS... OTHERWISE LITTLE CHANGE TO CURRENT FORECAST.

&&

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
WARM AIR ADVECTION OVERSPREADING THE REGION THIS EVENING IS
ACCOMPANIED BY SPOTTY LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS. TIME OF ARRIVAL HAS
SLOWED SOMEWHAT AND THIS HAS TO DO WITH ALL THE DRY AIR ALOFT AND
TOP DOWN SATURATION TAKING ITS TIME. HAVE ADJUSTED POPS... QPF...
AND HOURLY TEMPERATURE AND DEW POINT GRIDS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
WE BREAK OUT INTO THE WARM SECTOR WEDNESDAY MORNING AND A LIGHT
WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL DEVELOP IN THE LOWER LEVELS. H85
TEMPERATURES A BALMY 0 TO -5C SHOULD ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO WARM
INTO THE 40S AS SOME SUN IS ALSO EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AS THE DAY
WEARS ON AND A DRY SLOT MOVES THROUGH BY LATE MORNING.

A DRY WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT BUT
SOME CLOUDS WILL BE NOTED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE FORECAST
AREA AS A COLD FRONT STALLS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND AND WE REMAIN ON
THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY.

USED A BLEND OF THE THE MODELS FOR TEMPERATURES WED AND WED NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF RELATIVELY QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH
THE PERIOD. A SOUTHERN STREAM SHORT WAVE TROUGH THAT WILL BRING
SNOW TO THE SOUTH OF OUR AREA ON THURS WILL BE SHUNTED OUT TO SEA
BEFORE IT CAN BRING US ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL. A FEW FLURRIES
POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHERNMOST ZONES THEN...BUT THAT/S ABOUT IT.
OTHERWISE...BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED WITH MAINLY DRY
WEATHER. A WARM UP IS QUITE POSSIBLE EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /03Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...CONDITIONS LOWERING TO IFR TONIGHT IN SNOW. THEN
IMPROVING TO VFR BY WED MORNING AND CONTINUING INTO WED NIGHT.

LONG TERM...VFR CONDITIONS THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...AN INCREASING SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW TONIGHT WILL
REACH SCA CRITERIA BY LATER THIS EVENING SO A SCA HAS BEEN ISSUED
AND WILL CONTINUE INTO WED OVER THE OUTER WATERS INTO THE
AFTERNOON.

LONG TERM...SCA CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED MUCH OF THE TIME THU
THROUGH SUN. THE STRONGEST OF WHICH ARE EXPECTED ON SAT WHEN GUSTS
MAY APPROACH LOW-END GALE FORCE AT TIMES.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR
     MEZ007>009-012>014-018>028.
NH...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR
     NHZ001>015.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR ANZ151-153.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 3 PM EST WEDNESDAY FOR ANZ150-152-
     154.

&&

$$

.UPDATE...HANES




000
FXUS61 KGYX 040313 AAB
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
1013 PM EST TUE MAR 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL SWING THROUGH SOUTHERN CANADA TONIGHT TRYING TO
PUSH A WARM FRONT NORTH ACROSS THE REGION. AS THE LOW SHIFTS TO
OUR NORTH...IT WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION LATE
WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THURSDAY AND
CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL DRAG
TRAILING WARM AND COLD FRONTS ACROSS THE REGION THIS WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
.UPDATE...
SNOW CONTINUES TONIGHT WITH NORTHERN STREAM SHORT WAVE NOTED IN
WATER VAPOR SATELLITE JUST ENTERING QUEBEC PROVINCE. THE CURRENT
WAVE OF PRECIPITATION MAY REPRESENT THE HEAVIEST OF THE NIGHT WITH
LIGHTER SHOWERS TO FOLLOW. IN FACT WE MAY SEE THIS EVENT ENDING IN
THE NEXT 3-4 HOURS WITH A SLEET/FREEZING RAIN/RAIN MIX POSSIBLE
BRIEFLY ON THE TAIL END AND CONTINUED UPSLOPE SNOW OVER THE
MOUNTAINS. WITH THAT IN MIND MID SHIFT MAY BE ABLE TO DROP
ADVISORIES EARLY ON. OTHERWISE SNOW IS OF THE SLUSHY WET VARIETY
MAKING DRIVING SLIPPERY. UPDATED TEMPERATURE AND DEW POINT GRIDS
FOR CURRENT TRENDS... OTHERWISE LITTLE CHANGE TO CURRENT FORECAST.

&&

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
WARM AIR ADVECTION OVERSPREADING THE REGION THIS EVENING IS
ACCOMPANIED BY SPOTTY LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS. TIME OF ARRIVAL HAS
SLOWED SOMEWHAT AND THIS HAS TO DO WITH ALL THE DRY AIR ALOFT AND
TOP DOWN SATURATION TAKING ITS TIME. HAVE ADJUSTED POPS... QPF...
AND HOURLY TEMPERATURE AND DEW POINT GRIDS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
WE BREAK OUT INTO THE WARM SECTOR WEDNESDAY MORNING AND A LIGHT
WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL DEVELOP IN THE LOWER LEVELS. H85
TEMPERATURES A BALMY 0 TO -5C SHOULD ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO WARM
INTO THE 40S AS SOME SUN IS ALSO EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AS THE DAY
WEARS ON AND A DRY SLOT MOVES THROUGH BY LATE MORNING.

A DRY WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT BUT
SOME CLOUDS WILL BE NOTED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE FORECAST
AREA AS A COLD FRONT STALLS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND AND WE REMAIN ON
THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY.

USED A BLEND OF THE THE MODELS FOR TEMPERATURES WED AND WED NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF RELATIVELY QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH
THE PERIOD. A SOUTHERN STREAM SHORT WAVE TROUGH THAT WILL BRING
SNOW TO THE SOUTH OF OUR AREA ON THURS WILL BE SHUNTED OUT TO SEA
BEFORE IT CAN BRING US ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL. A FEW FLURRIES
POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHERNMOST ZONES THEN...BUT THAT/S ABOUT IT.
OTHERWISE...BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED WITH MAINLY DRY
WEATHER. A WARM UP IS QUITE POSSIBLE EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /03Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...CONDITIONS LOWERING TO IFR TONIGHT IN SNOW. THEN
IMPROVING TO VFR BY WED MORNING AND CONTINUING INTO WED NIGHT.

LONG TERM...VFR CONDITIONS THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...AN INCREASING SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW TONIGHT WILL
REACH SCA CRITERIA BY LATER THIS EVENING SO A SCA HAS BEEN ISSUED
AND WILL CONTINUE INTO WED OVER THE OUTER WATERS INTO THE
AFTERNOON.

LONG TERM...SCA CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED MUCH OF THE TIME THU
THROUGH SUN. THE STRONGEST OF WHICH ARE EXPECTED ON SAT WHEN GUSTS
MAY APPROACH LOW-END GALE FORCE AT TIMES.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR
     MEZ007>009-012>014-018>028.
NH...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR
     NHZ001>015.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR ANZ151-153.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 3 PM EST WEDNESDAY FOR ANZ150-152-
     154.

&&

$$

.UPDATE...HANES





000
FXUS61 KGYX 040004 AAA
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
704 PM EST TUE MAR 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL SWING THROUGH SOUTHERN CANADA TONIGHT TRYING TO
PUSH A WARM FRONT NORTH ACROSS THE REGION. AS THE LOW SHIFTS TO
OUR NORTH...IT WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION LATE
WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THURSDAY AND
CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL DRAG
TRAILING WARM AND COLD FRONTS ACROSS THE REGION THIS WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
.UPDATE...
WARM AIR ADVECTION OVERSPREADING THE REGION THIS EVENING IS
ACCOMPANIED BY SPOTTY LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS. TIME OF ARRIVAL HAS
SLOWED SOMEWHAT AND THIS HAS TO DO WITH ALL THE DRY AIR ALOFT AND
TOP DOWN SATURATION TAKING ITS TIME. HAVE ADJUSTED POPS... QPF...
AND HOURLY TEMPERATURE AND DEW POINT GRIDS.

&&

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
A STRONG SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WITH AN EMBEDDED SHORT WAVE WITH
BRING A BURST OF WARM AIR ADVECTION SNOW ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT
LASTING ABOUT 6 HOURS. MODELS AGREE ON TIMING. SNOW BEGINS IN
SOUTHWEST NH BY EARLY THIS EVENING AND THEN QUICKLY SPREADS NORTH
AND EAST AND OVERSPREADS THE REST OF NORTHERN NH AND ALL OF
SOUTHWEST ME THIS EVENING. THE GFS IS THE WETTEST MODEL WITH CLOSE
TO .50 QPF OVER MUCH OF THE AREA WHILE OTHER MODELS IN THE RANGE
OF .25-.30. USED A COMPROMISE. OVERALL MOSTLY A 3-6 INCH SNOWFALL
EXPECTED EXCEPT OVER SOUTHEAST NH AND MAYBE COASTAL SOUTHWEST
MAINE WHERE AMOUNTS COULD BE IN THE 2-4 INCH RANGE DUE TO A BRIEF
CHANGEOVER TO A MIXED BAG BEFORE ENDING. SNOW RATIOS OF 10-13:1
EXPECTED WITH THIS SYSTEM SO A WET SNOW IS EXPECTED. ALL MODELS
QUICKLY SHUT OFF THE QPF AFTER 06Z BUT THERE COULD BE SOME LIGHT
LINGERING PRECIPITATION FOR A FEW MORE HOURS LATER SO WILL KEEP
THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES IN PLACE ENDING AT 12Z.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLOWLY ON THE RISE THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT SO
DID NOT USE A DIURNAL TOOL.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
WE BREAK OUT INTO THE WARM SECTOR WEDNESDAY MORNING AND A LIGHT
WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL DEVELOP IN THE LOWER LEVELS. H85
TEMPERATURES A BALMY 0 TO -5C SHOULD ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO WARM
INTO THE 40S AS SOME SUN IS ALSO EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AS THE DAY
WEARS ON AND A DRY SLOT MOVES THROUGH BY LATE MORNING.

A DRY WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT BUT
SOME CLOUDS WILL BE NOTED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE FORECAST
AREA AS A COLD FRONT STALLS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND AND WE REMAIN ON
THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY.

USED A BLEND OF THE THE MODELS FOR TEMPERATURES WED AND WED NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF RELATIVELY QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH
THE PERIOD. A SOUTHERN STREAM SHORT WAVE TROUGH THAT WILL BRING
SNOW TO THE SOUTH OF OUR AREA ON THURS WILL BE SHUNTED OUT TO SEA
BEFORE IT CAN BRING US ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL. A FEW FLURRIES
POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHERNMOST ZONES THEN...BUT THAT/S ABOUT IT.
OTHERWISE...BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED WITH MAINLY DRY
WEATHER. A WARM UP IS QUITE POSSIBLE EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...CONDITIONS LOWERING TO IFR TONIGHT IN SNOW. THEN
IMPROVING TO VFR BY WED MORNING AND CONTINUING INTO WED NIGHT.

LONG TERM...VFR CONDITIONS THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...AN INCREASING SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW TONIGHT WILL
REACH SCA CRITERIA BY LATER THIS EVENING SO A SCA HAS BEEN ISSUED
AND WILL CONTINUE INTO WED OVER THE OUTER WATERS INTO THE
AFTERNOON.

LONG TERM...SCA CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED MUCH OF THE TIME THU
THROUGH SUN. THE STRONGEST OF WHICH ARE EXPECTED ON SAT WHEN GUSTS
MAY APPROACH LOW-END GALE FORCE AT TIMES.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR
     MEZ007>009-012>014-018>028.
NH...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR
     NHZ001>015.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR ANZ151-153.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 3 PM EST WEDNESDAY FOR ANZ150-152-
     154.

&&

$$

UPDATE...HANES





000
FXUS61 KGYX 040004 AAA
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
704 PM EST TUE MAR 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL SWING THROUGH SOUTHERN CANADA TONIGHT TRYING TO
PUSH A WARM FRONT NORTH ACROSS THE REGION. AS THE LOW SHIFTS TO
OUR NORTH...IT WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION LATE
WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THURSDAY AND
CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL DRAG
TRAILING WARM AND COLD FRONTS ACROSS THE REGION THIS WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
.UPDATE...
WARM AIR ADVECTION OVERSPREADING THE REGION THIS EVENING IS
ACCOMPANIED BY SPOTTY LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS. TIME OF ARRIVAL HAS
SLOWED SOMEWHAT AND THIS HAS TO DO WITH ALL THE DRY AIR ALOFT AND
TOP DOWN SATURATION TAKING ITS TIME. HAVE ADJUSTED POPS... QPF...
AND HOURLY TEMPERATURE AND DEW POINT GRIDS.

&&

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
A STRONG SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WITH AN EMBEDDED SHORT WAVE WITH
BRING A BURST OF WARM AIR ADVECTION SNOW ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT
LASTING ABOUT 6 HOURS. MODELS AGREE ON TIMING. SNOW BEGINS IN
SOUTHWEST NH BY EARLY THIS EVENING AND THEN QUICKLY SPREADS NORTH
AND EAST AND OVERSPREADS THE REST OF NORTHERN NH AND ALL OF
SOUTHWEST ME THIS EVENING. THE GFS IS THE WETTEST MODEL WITH CLOSE
TO .50 QPF OVER MUCH OF THE AREA WHILE OTHER MODELS IN THE RANGE
OF .25-.30. USED A COMPROMISE. OVERALL MOSTLY A 3-6 INCH SNOWFALL
EXPECTED EXCEPT OVER SOUTHEAST NH AND MAYBE COASTAL SOUTHWEST
MAINE WHERE AMOUNTS COULD BE IN THE 2-4 INCH RANGE DUE TO A BRIEF
CHANGEOVER TO A MIXED BAG BEFORE ENDING. SNOW RATIOS OF 10-13:1
EXPECTED WITH THIS SYSTEM SO A WET SNOW IS EXPECTED. ALL MODELS
QUICKLY SHUT OFF THE QPF AFTER 06Z BUT THERE COULD BE SOME LIGHT
LINGERING PRECIPITATION FOR A FEW MORE HOURS LATER SO WILL KEEP
THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES IN PLACE ENDING AT 12Z.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLOWLY ON THE RISE THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT SO
DID NOT USE A DIURNAL TOOL.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
WE BREAK OUT INTO THE WARM SECTOR WEDNESDAY MORNING AND A LIGHT
WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL DEVELOP IN THE LOWER LEVELS. H85
TEMPERATURES A BALMY 0 TO -5C SHOULD ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO WARM
INTO THE 40S AS SOME SUN IS ALSO EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AS THE DAY
WEARS ON AND A DRY SLOT MOVES THROUGH BY LATE MORNING.

A DRY WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT BUT
SOME CLOUDS WILL BE NOTED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE FORECAST
AREA AS A COLD FRONT STALLS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND AND WE REMAIN ON
THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY.

USED A BLEND OF THE THE MODELS FOR TEMPERATURES WED AND WED NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF RELATIVELY QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH
THE PERIOD. A SOUTHERN STREAM SHORT WAVE TROUGH THAT WILL BRING
SNOW TO THE SOUTH OF OUR AREA ON THURS WILL BE SHUNTED OUT TO SEA
BEFORE IT CAN BRING US ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL. A FEW FLURRIES
POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHERNMOST ZONES THEN...BUT THAT/S ABOUT IT.
OTHERWISE...BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED WITH MAINLY DRY
WEATHER. A WARM UP IS QUITE POSSIBLE EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...CONDITIONS LOWERING TO IFR TONIGHT IN SNOW. THEN
IMPROVING TO VFR BY WED MORNING AND CONTINUING INTO WED NIGHT.

LONG TERM...VFR CONDITIONS THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...AN INCREASING SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW TONIGHT WILL
REACH SCA CRITERIA BY LATER THIS EVENING SO A SCA HAS BEEN ISSUED
AND WILL CONTINUE INTO WED OVER THE OUTER WATERS INTO THE
AFTERNOON.

LONG TERM...SCA CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED MUCH OF THE TIME THU
THROUGH SUN. THE STRONGEST OF WHICH ARE EXPECTED ON SAT WHEN GUSTS
MAY APPROACH LOW-END GALE FORCE AT TIMES.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR
     MEZ007>009-012>014-018>028.
NH...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR
     NHZ001>015.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR ANZ151-153.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 3 PM EST WEDNESDAY FOR ANZ150-152-
     154.

&&

$$

UPDATE...HANES




000
FXUS61 KGYX 040004 AAA
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
704 PM EST TUE MAR 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL SWING THROUGH SOUTHERN CANADA TONIGHT TRYING TO
PUSH A WARM FRONT NORTH ACROSS THE REGION. AS THE LOW SHIFTS TO
OUR NORTH...IT WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION LATE
WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THURSDAY AND
CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL DRAG
TRAILING WARM AND COLD FRONTS ACROSS THE REGION THIS WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
.UPDATE...
WARM AIR ADVECTION OVERSPREADING THE REGION THIS EVENING IS
ACCOMPANIED BY SPOTTY LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS. TIME OF ARRIVAL HAS
SLOWED SOMEWHAT AND THIS HAS TO DO WITH ALL THE DRY AIR ALOFT AND
TOP DOWN SATURATION TAKING ITS TIME. HAVE ADJUSTED POPS... QPF...
AND HOURLY TEMPERATURE AND DEW POINT GRIDS.

&&

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
A STRONG SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WITH AN EMBEDDED SHORT WAVE WITH
BRING A BURST OF WARM AIR ADVECTION SNOW ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT
LASTING ABOUT 6 HOURS. MODELS AGREE ON TIMING. SNOW BEGINS IN
SOUTHWEST NH BY EARLY THIS EVENING AND THEN QUICKLY SPREADS NORTH
AND EAST AND OVERSPREADS THE REST OF NORTHERN NH AND ALL OF
SOUTHWEST ME THIS EVENING. THE GFS IS THE WETTEST MODEL WITH CLOSE
TO .50 QPF OVER MUCH OF THE AREA WHILE OTHER MODELS IN THE RANGE
OF .25-.30. USED A COMPROMISE. OVERALL MOSTLY A 3-6 INCH SNOWFALL
EXPECTED EXCEPT OVER SOUTHEAST NH AND MAYBE COASTAL SOUTHWEST
MAINE WHERE AMOUNTS COULD BE IN THE 2-4 INCH RANGE DUE TO A BRIEF
CHANGEOVER TO A MIXED BAG BEFORE ENDING. SNOW RATIOS OF 10-13:1
EXPECTED WITH THIS SYSTEM SO A WET SNOW IS EXPECTED. ALL MODELS
QUICKLY SHUT OFF THE QPF AFTER 06Z BUT THERE COULD BE SOME LIGHT
LINGERING PRECIPITATION FOR A FEW MORE HOURS LATER SO WILL KEEP
THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES IN PLACE ENDING AT 12Z.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLOWLY ON THE RISE THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT SO
DID NOT USE A DIURNAL TOOL.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
WE BREAK OUT INTO THE WARM SECTOR WEDNESDAY MORNING AND A LIGHT
WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL DEVELOP IN THE LOWER LEVELS. H85
TEMPERATURES A BALMY 0 TO -5C SHOULD ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO WARM
INTO THE 40S AS SOME SUN IS ALSO EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AS THE DAY
WEARS ON AND A DRY SLOT MOVES THROUGH BY LATE MORNING.

A DRY WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT BUT
SOME CLOUDS WILL BE NOTED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE FORECAST
AREA AS A COLD FRONT STALLS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND AND WE REMAIN ON
THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY.

USED A BLEND OF THE THE MODELS FOR TEMPERATURES WED AND WED NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF RELATIVELY QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH
THE PERIOD. A SOUTHERN STREAM SHORT WAVE TROUGH THAT WILL BRING
SNOW TO THE SOUTH OF OUR AREA ON THURS WILL BE SHUNTED OUT TO SEA
BEFORE IT CAN BRING US ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL. A FEW FLURRIES
POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHERNMOST ZONES THEN...BUT THAT/S ABOUT IT.
OTHERWISE...BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED WITH MAINLY DRY
WEATHER. A WARM UP IS QUITE POSSIBLE EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...CONDITIONS LOWERING TO IFR TONIGHT IN SNOW. THEN
IMPROVING TO VFR BY WED MORNING AND CONTINUING INTO WED NIGHT.

LONG TERM...VFR CONDITIONS THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...AN INCREASING SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW TONIGHT WILL
REACH SCA CRITERIA BY LATER THIS EVENING SO A SCA HAS BEEN ISSUED
AND WILL CONTINUE INTO WED OVER THE OUTER WATERS INTO THE
AFTERNOON.

LONG TERM...SCA CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED MUCH OF THE TIME THU
THROUGH SUN. THE STRONGEST OF WHICH ARE EXPECTED ON SAT WHEN GUSTS
MAY APPROACH LOW-END GALE FORCE AT TIMES.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR
     MEZ007>009-012>014-018>028.
NH...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR
     NHZ001>015.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR ANZ151-153.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 3 PM EST WEDNESDAY FOR ANZ150-152-
     154.

&&

$$

UPDATE...HANES





000
FXUS61 KGYX 040004 AAA
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
704 PM EST TUE MAR 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL SWING THROUGH SOUTHERN CANADA TONIGHT TRYING TO
PUSH A WARM FRONT NORTH ACROSS THE REGION. AS THE LOW SHIFTS TO
OUR NORTH...IT WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION LATE
WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THURSDAY AND
CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL DRAG
TRAILING WARM AND COLD FRONTS ACROSS THE REGION THIS WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
.UPDATE...
WARM AIR ADVECTION OVERSPREADING THE REGION THIS EVENING IS
ACCOMPANIED BY SPOTTY LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS. TIME OF ARRIVAL HAS
SLOWED SOMEWHAT AND THIS HAS TO DO WITH ALL THE DRY AIR ALOFT AND
TOP DOWN SATURATION TAKING ITS TIME. HAVE ADJUSTED POPS... QPF...
AND HOURLY TEMPERATURE AND DEW POINT GRIDS.

&&

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
A STRONG SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WITH AN EMBEDDED SHORT WAVE WITH
BRING A BURST OF WARM AIR ADVECTION SNOW ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT
LASTING ABOUT 6 HOURS. MODELS AGREE ON TIMING. SNOW BEGINS IN
SOUTHWEST NH BY EARLY THIS EVENING AND THEN QUICKLY SPREADS NORTH
AND EAST AND OVERSPREADS THE REST OF NORTHERN NH AND ALL OF
SOUTHWEST ME THIS EVENING. THE GFS IS THE WETTEST MODEL WITH CLOSE
TO .50 QPF OVER MUCH OF THE AREA WHILE OTHER MODELS IN THE RANGE
OF .25-.30. USED A COMPROMISE. OVERALL MOSTLY A 3-6 INCH SNOWFALL
EXPECTED EXCEPT OVER SOUTHEAST NH AND MAYBE COASTAL SOUTHWEST
MAINE WHERE AMOUNTS COULD BE IN THE 2-4 INCH RANGE DUE TO A BRIEF
CHANGEOVER TO A MIXED BAG BEFORE ENDING. SNOW RATIOS OF 10-13:1
EXPECTED WITH THIS SYSTEM SO A WET SNOW IS EXPECTED. ALL MODELS
QUICKLY SHUT OFF THE QPF AFTER 06Z BUT THERE COULD BE SOME LIGHT
LINGERING PRECIPITATION FOR A FEW MORE HOURS LATER SO WILL KEEP
THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES IN PLACE ENDING AT 12Z.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLOWLY ON THE RISE THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT SO
DID NOT USE A DIURNAL TOOL.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
WE BREAK OUT INTO THE WARM SECTOR WEDNESDAY MORNING AND A LIGHT
WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL DEVELOP IN THE LOWER LEVELS. H85
TEMPERATURES A BALMY 0 TO -5C SHOULD ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO WARM
INTO THE 40S AS SOME SUN IS ALSO EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AS THE DAY
WEARS ON AND A DRY SLOT MOVES THROUGH BY LATE MORNING.

A DRY WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT BUT
SOME CLOUDS WILL BE NOTED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE FORECAST
AREA AS A COLD FRONT STALLS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND AND WE REMAIN ON
THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY.

USED A BLEND OF THE THE MODELS FOR TEMPERATURES WED AND WED NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF RELATIVELY QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH
THE PERIOD. A SOUTHERN STREAM SHORT WAVE TROUGH THAT WILL BRING
SNOW TO THE SOUTH OF OUR AREA ON THURS WILL BE SHUNTED OUT TO SEA
BEFORE IT CAN BRING US ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL. A FEW FLURRIES
POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHERNMOST ZONES THEN...BUT THAT/S ABOUT IT.
OTHERWISE...BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED WITH MAINLY DRY
WEATHER. A WARM UP IS QUITE POSSIBLE EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...CONDITIONS LOWERING TO IFR TONIGHT IN SNOW. THEN
IMPROVING TO VFR BY WED MORNING AND CONTINUING INTO WED NIGHT.

LONG TERM...VFR CONDITIONS THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...AN INCREASING SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW TONIGHT WILL
REACH SCA CRITERIA BY LATER THIS EVENING SO A SCA HAS BEEN ISSUED
AND WILL CONTINUE INTO WED OVER THE OUTER WATERS INTO THE
AFTERNOON.

LONG TERM...SCA CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED MUCH OF THE TIME THU
THROUGH SUN. THE STRONGEST OF WHICH ARE EXPECTED ON SAT WHEN GUSTS
MAY APPROACH LOW-END GALE FORCE AT TIMES.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR
     MEZ007>009-012>014-018>028.
NH...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR
     NHZ001>015.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR ANZ151-153.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 3 PM EST WEDNESDAY FOR ANZ150-152-
     154.

&&

$$

UPDATE...HANES




000
FXUS61 KGYX 032039
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
339 PM EST TUE MAR 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL SWING THROUGH SOUTHERN CANADA TONIGHT TRYING TO
PUSH A WARM FRONT NORTH ACROSS THE REGION. AS THE LOW SHIFTS TO
OUR NORTH...IT WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION LATE
WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THURSDAY AND
CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL DRAG
TRAILING WARM AND COLD FRONTS ACROSS THE REGION THIS WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
A STRONG SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WITH AN EMBEDDED SHORT WAVE WITH
BRING A BURST OF WARM AIR ADVECTION SNOW ACROSS THE REGION
TONIGHT LASTING ABOUT 6 HOURS. MODELS AGREE ON TIMING. SNOW BEGINS
IN SOUTHWEST NH BY EARLY THIS EVENING AND THEN QUICKLY SPREADS
NORTH AND EAST AND OVERSPREADS THE REST OF NORTHERN NH AND ALL OF
SOUTHWEST ME THIS EVENING. THE GFS IS THE WETTEST MODEL WITH
CLOSE TO .50 QPF OVER MUCH OF THE AREA WHILE OTHER MODELS IN THE
RANGE OF .25-.30. USED A COMPROMISE. OVERALL MOSTLY A 3-6 INCH
SNOWFALL EXPECTED EXCEPT OVER SOUTHEAST NH AND MAYBE COASTAL
SOUTHWEST MAINE WHERE AMOUNTS COULD BE IN THE 2-4 INCH RANGE DUE
TO A BRIEF CHANGEOVER TO A MIXED BAG BEFORE ENDING. SNOW RATIOS OF
10-13:1 EXPECTED WITH THIS SYSTEM SO A WET SNOW IS EXPECTED. ALL
MODELS QUICKLY SHUT OFF THE QPF AFTER 06Z BUT THERE COULD BE SOME
LIGHT LINGERING PRECIPITATION FOR A FEW MORE HOURS LATER SO WILL
KEEP THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES IN PLACE ENDING AT 12Z.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLOWLY ON THE RISE THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT SO
DID NOT USE A DIURNAL TOOL.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
WE BREAK OUT INTO THE WARM SECTOR WEDNESDAY MORNING AND A LIGHT
WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL DEVELOP IN THE LOWER LEVELS. H85
TEMPERATURES A BALMY 0 TO -5C SHOULD ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO WARM
INTO THE 40S AS SOME SUN IS ALSO EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AS THE DAY
WEARS ON AND A DRY SLOT MOVES THROUGH BY LATE MORNING.

A DRY WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT BUT
SOME CLOUDS WILL BE NOTED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE FORECAST
AREA AS A COLD FRONT STALLS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND AND WE REMAIN ON
THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY.

USED A BLEND OF THE THE MODELS FOR TEMPERATURES WED AND WED NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF RELATIVELY QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH
THE PERIOD. A SOUTHERN STREAM SHORT WAVE TROUGH THAT WILL BRING
SNOW TO THE SOUTH OF OUR AREA ON THURS WILL BE SHUNTED OUT TO SEA
BEFORE IT CAN BRING US ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL. A FEW FLURRIES
POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHERNMOST ZONES THEN...BUT THAT/S ABOUT IT.
OTHERWISE...BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED WITH MAINLY DRY
WEATHER. A WARMUP IS QUITE POSSIBLE EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...CONDITIONS LOWERING TO IFR TONIGHT IN SNOW. THEN
IMPROVING TO VFR BY WED MORNING AND CONTINUING INTO WED NIGHT.

LONG TERM...VFR CONDITIONS THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...AN INCREASING SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW TONIGHT WILL
REACH SCA CRITERIA BY LATER THIS EVENING SO A SCA HAS BEEN ISSUED
AND WILL CONTINUE INTO WED OVER THE OUTER WATERS INTO THE
AFTERNOON.

LONG TERM...SCA CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED MUCH OF THE TIME THU
THROUGH SUN. THE STRONGEST OF WHICH ARE EXPECTED ON SAT WHEN GUSTS
MAY APPROACH LOW-END GALE FORCE AT TIMES.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     WEDNESDAY FOR MEZ007>009-012>014-018>028.
NH...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR
     NHZ001>015.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     WEDNESDAY FOR ANZ151-153.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 3 PM EST
     WEDNESDAY FOR ANZ150-152-154.

&&

$$






000
FXUS61 KGYX 032039
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
339 PM EST TUE MAR 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL SWING THROUGH SOUTHERN CANADA TONIGHT TRYING TO
PUSH A WARM FRONT NORTH ACROSS THE REGION. AS THE LOW SHIFTS TO
OUR NORTH...IT WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION LATE
WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THURSDAY AND
CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL DRAG
TRAILING WARM AND COLD FRONTS ACROSS THE REGION THIS WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
A STRONG SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WITH AN EMBEDDED SHORT WAVE WITH
BRING A BURST OF WARM AIR ADVECTION SNOW ACROSS THE REGION
TONIGHT LASTING ABOUT 6 HOURS. MODELS AGREE ON TIMING. SNOW BEGINS
IN SOUTHWEST NH BY EARLY THIS EVENING AND THEN QUICKLY SPREADS
NORTH AND EAST AND OVERSPREADS THE REST OF NORTHERN NH AND ALL OF
SOUTHWEST ME THIS EVENING. THE GFS IS THE WETTEST MODEL WITH
CLOSE TO .50 QPF OVER MUCH OF THE AREA WHILE OTHER MODELS IN THE
RANGE OF .25-.30. USED A COMPROMISE. OVERALL MOSTLY A 3-6 INCH
SNOWFALL EXPECTED EXCEPT OVER SOUTHEAST NH AND MAYBE COASTAL
SOUTHWEST MAINE WHERE AMOUNTS COULD BE IN THE 2-4 INCH RANGE DUE
TO A BRIEF CHANGEOVER TO A MIXED BAG BEFORE ENDING. SNOW RATIOS OF
10-13:1 EXPECTED WITH THIS SYSTEM SO A WET SNOW IS EXPECTED. ALL
MODELS QUICKLY SHUT OFF THE QPF AFTER 06Z BUT THERE COULD BE SOME
LIGHT LINGERING PRECIPITATION FOR A FEW MORE HOURS LATER SO WILL
KEEP THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES IN PLACE ENDING AT 12Z.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLOWLY ON THE RISE THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT SO
DID NOT USE A DIURNAL TOOL.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
WE BREAK OUT INTO THE WARM SECTOR WEDNESDAY MORNING AND A LIGHT
WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL DEVELOP IN THE LOWER LEVELS. H85
TEMPERATURES A BALMY 0 TO -5C SHOULD ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO WARM
INTO THE 40S AS SOME SUN IS ALSO EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AS THE DAY
WEARS ON AND A DRY SLOT MOVES THROUGH BY LATE MORNING.

A DRY WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT BUT
SOME CLOUDS WILL BE NOTED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE FORECAST
AREA AS A COLD FRONT STALLS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND AND WE REMAIN ON
THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY.

USED A BLEND OF THE THE MODELS FOR TEMPERATURES WED AND WED NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF RELATIVELY QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH
THE PERIOD. A SOUTHERN STREAM SHORT WAVE TROUGH THAT WILL BRING
SNOW TO THE SOUTH OF OUR AREA ON THURS WILL BE SHUNTED OUT TO SEA
BEFORE IT CAN BRING US ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL. A FEW FLURRIES
POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHERNMOST ZONES THEN...BUT THAT/S ABOUT IT.
OTHERWISE...BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED WITH MAINLY DRY
WEATHER. A WARMUP IS QUITE POSSIBLE EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...CONDITIONS LOWERING TO IFR TONIGHT IN SNOW. THEN
IMPROVING TO VFR BY WED MORNING AND CONTINUING INTO WED NIGHT.

LONG TERM...VFR CONDITIONS THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...AN INCREASING SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW TONIGHT WILL
REACH SCA CRITERIA BY LATER THIS EVENING SO A SCA HAS BEEN ISSUED
AND WILL CONTINUE INTO WED OVER THE OUTER WATERS INTO THE
AFTERNOON.

LONG TERM...SCA CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED MUCH OF THE TIME THU
THROUGH SUN. THE STRONGEST OF WHICH ARE EXPECTED ON SAT WHEN GUSTS
MAY APPROACH LOW-END GALE FORCE AT TIMES.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     WEDNESDAY FOR MEZ007>009-012>014-018>028.
NH...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR
     NHZ001>015.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     WEDNESDAY FOR ANZ151-153.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 3 PM EST
     WEDNESDAY FOR ANZ150-152-154.

&&

$$





000
FXUS61 KGYX 032039
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
339 PM EST TUE MAR 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL SWING THROUGH SOUTHERN CANADA TONIGHT TRYING TO
PUSH A WARM FRONT NORTH ACROSS THE REGION. AS THE LOW SHIFTS TO
OUR NORTH...IT WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION LATE
WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THURSDAY AND
CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL DRAG
TRAILING WARM AND COLD FRONTS ACROSS THE REGION THIS WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
A STRONG SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WITH AN EMBEDDED SHORT WAVE WITH
BRING A BURST OF WARM AIR ADVECTION SNOW ACROSS THE REGION
TONIGHT LASTING ABOUT 6 HOURS. MODELS AGREE ON TIMING. SNOW BEGINS
IN SOUTHWEST NH BY EARLY THIS EVENING AND THEN QUICKLY SPREADS
NORTH AND EAST AND OVERSPREADS THE REST OF NORTHERN NH AND ALL OF
SOUTHWEST ME THIS EVENING. THE GFS IS THE WETTEST MODEL WITH
CLOSE TO .50 QPF OVER MUCH OF THE AREA WHILE OTHER MODELS IN THE
RANGE OF .25-.30. USED A COMPROMISE. OVERALL MOSTLY A 3-6 INCH
SNOWFALL EXPECTED EXCEPT OVER SOUTHEAST NH AND MAYBE COASTAL
SOUTHWEST MAINE WHERE AMOUNTS COULD BE IN THE 2-4 INCH RANGE DUE
TO A BRIEF CHANGEOVER TO A MIXED BAG BEFORE ENDING. SNOW RATIOS OF
10-13:1 EXPECTED WITH THIS SYSTEM SO A WET SNOW IS EXPECTED. ALL
MODELS QUICKLY SHUT OFF THE QPF AFTER 06Z BUT THERE COULD BE SOME
LIGHT LINGERING PRECIPITATION FOR A FEW MORE HOURS LATER SO WILL
KEEP THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES IN PLACE ENDING AT 12Z.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLOWLY ON THE RISE THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT SO
DID NOT USE A DIURNAL TOOL.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
WE BREAK OUT INTO THE WARM SECTOR WEDNESDAY MORNING AND A LIGHT
WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL DEVELOP IN THE LOWER LEVELS. H85
TEMPERATURES A BALMY 0 TO -5C SHOULD ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO WARM
INTO THE 40S AS SOME SUN IS ALSO EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AS THE DAY
WEARS ON AND A DRY SLOT MOVES THROUGH BY LATE MORNING.

A DRY WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT BUT
SOME CLOUDS WILL BE NOTED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE FORECAST
AREA AS A COLD FRONT STALLS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND AND WE REMAIN ON
THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY.

USED A BLEND OF THE THE MODELS FOR TEMPERATURES WED AND WED NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF RELATIVELY QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH
THE PERIOD. A SOUTHERN STREAM SHORT WAVE TROUGH THAT WILL BRING
SNOW TO THE SOUTH OF OUR AREA ON THURS WILL BE SHUNTED OUT TO SEA
BEFORE IT CAN BRING US ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL. A FEW FLURRIES
POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHERNMOST ZONES THEN...BUT THAT/S ABOUT IT.
OTHERWISE...BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED WITH MAINLY DRY
WEATHER. A WARMUP IS QUITE POSSIBLE EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...CONDITIONS LOWERING TO IFR TONIGHT IN SNOW. THEN
IMPROVING TO VFR BY WED MORNING AND CONTINUING INTO WED NIGHT.

LONG TERM...VFR CONDITIONS THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...AN INCREASING SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW TONIGHT WILL
REACH SCA CRITERIA BY LATER THIS EVENING SO A SCA HAS BEEN ISSUED
AND WILL CONTINUE INTO WED OVER THE OUTER WATERS INTO THE
AFTERNOON.

LONG TERM...SCA CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED MUCH OF THE TIME THU
THROUGH SUN. THE STRONGEST OF WHICH ARE EXPECTED ON SAT WHEN GUSTS
MAY APPROACH LOW-END GALE FORCE AT TIMES.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     WEDNESDAY FOR MEZ007>009-012>014-018>028.
NH...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR
     NHZ001>015.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     WEDNESDAY FOR ANZ151-153.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 3 PM EST
     WEDNESDAY FOR ANZ150-152-154.

&&

$$






000
FXUS61 KGYX 032039
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
339 PM EST TUE MAR 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL SWING THROUGH SOUTHERN CANADA TONIGHT TRYING TO
PUSH A WARM FRONT NORTH ACROSS THE REGION. AS THE LOW SHIFTS TO
OUR NORTH...IT WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION LATE
WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THURSDAY AND
CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL DRAG
TRAILING WARM AND COLD FRONTS ACROSS THE REGION THIS WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
A STRONG SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WITH AN EMBEDDED SHORT WAVE WITH
BRING A BURST OF WARM AIR ADVECTION SNOW ACROSS THE REGION
TONIGHT LASTING ABOUT 6 HOURS. MODELS AGREE ON TIMING. SNOW BEGINS
IN SOUTHWEST NH BY EARLY THIS EVENING AND THEN QUICKLY SPREADS
NORTH AND EAST AND OVERSPREADS THE REST OF NORTHERN NH AND ALL OF
SOUTHWEST ME THIS EVENING. THE GFS IS THE WETTEST MODEL WITH
CLOSE TO .50 QPF OVER MUCH OF THE AREA WHILE OTHER MODELS IN THE
RANGE OF .25-.30. USED A COMPROMISE. OVERALL MOSTLY A 3-6 INCH
SNOWFALL EXPECTED EXCEPT OVER SOUTHEAST NH AND MAYBE COASTAL
SOUTHWEST MAINE WHERE AMOUNTS COULD BE IN THE 2-4 INCH RANGE DUE
TO A BRIEF CHANGEOVER TO A MIXED BAG BEFORE ENDING. SNOW RATIOS OF
10-13:1 EXPECTED WITH THIS SYSTEM SO A WET SNOW IS EXPECTED. ALL
MODELS QUICKLY SHUT OFF THE QPF AFTER 06Z BUT THERE COULD BE SOME
LIGHT LINGERING PRECIPITATION FOR A FEW MORE HOURS LATER SO WILL
KEEP THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES IN PLACE ENDING AT 12Z.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLOWLY ON THE RISE THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT SO
DID NOT USE A DIURNAL TOOL.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
WE BREAK OUT INTO THE WARM SECTOR WEDNESDAY MORNING AND A LIGHT
WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL DEVELOP IN THE LOWER LEVELS. H85
TEMPERATURES A BALMY 0 TO -5C SHOULD ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO WARM
INTO THE 40S AS SOME SUN IS ALSO EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AS THE DAY
WEARS ON AND A DRY SLOT MOVES THROUGH BY LATE MORNING.

A DRY WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT BUT
SOME CLOUDS WILL BE NOTED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE FORECAST
AREA AS A COLD FRONT STALLS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND AND WE REMAIN ON
THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY.

USED A BLEND OF THE THE MODELS FOR TEMPERATURES WED AND WED NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF RELATIVELY QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH
THE PERIOD. A SOUTHERN STREAM SHORT WAVE TROUGH THAT WILL BRING
SNOW TO THE SOUTH OF OUR AREA ON THURS WILL BE SHUNTED OUT TO SEA
BEFORE IT CAN BRING US ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL. A FEW FLURRIES
POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHERNMOST ZONES THEN...BUT THAT/S ABOUT IT.
OTHERWISE...BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED WITH MAINLY DRY
WEATHER. A WARMUP IS QUITE POSSIBLE EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...CONDITIONS LOWERING TO IFR TONIGHT IN SNOW. THEN
IMPROVING TO VFR BY WED MORNING AND CONTINUING INTO WED NIGHT.

LONG TERM...VFR CONDITIONS THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...AN INCREASING SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW TONIGHT WILL
REACH SCA CRITERIA BY LATER THIS EVENING SO A SCA HAS BEEN ISSUED
AND WILL CONTINUE INTO WED OVER THE OUTER WATERS INTO THE
AFTERNOON.

LONG TERM...SCA CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED MUCH OF THE TIME THU
THROUGH SUN. THE STRONGEST OF WHICH ARE EXPECTED ON SAT WHEN GUSTS
MAY APPROACH LOW-END GALE FORCE AT TIMES.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     WEDNESDAY FOR MEZ007>009-012>014-018>028.
NH...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR
     NHZ001>015.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     WEDNESDAY FOR ANZ151-153.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 3 PM EST
     WEDNESDAY FOR ANZ150-152-154.

&&

$$





000
FXUS61 KGYX 031451
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
951 AM EST TUE MAR 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE AREA WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE THIS AFTERNOON.
LOW PRESSURE WILL SWING THROUGH SOUTHERN CANADA TONIGHT TRYING TO
PUSH A WARM FRONT NORTH ACROSS THE REGION. AS THE LOW SHIFTS TO
OUR NORTH...IT WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION LATE
WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THURSDAY AND
CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL DRAG
TRAILING WARM AND COLD FRONTS ACROSS THE REGION THIS WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
950 AM UPDATE: UPDATE REFLECTS NO REAL CHANGES. PREVIOUS FORECAST
LOOKS PERFECT ON ALL GRIDS.

615 AM...QUICK UPDATE TO T/TD BASED ON CURRENT OBS. OTHERWISE
FORECAST THINKING HAS NOT CHANGED ALL THAT MUCH. OFF HOUR MODEL
RUNS SENDING MIXED MESSAGES WITH 06Z NAM12 COMING WITH MORE QPF
AND 06Z GFS COMING IN WITH LESS...BUT TIMING STAYS THE SAME SAME
WITH BULK OF QPF COMING IN 00-06Z...BUT JUST A LITTLE LATER IN
THE EASTERN ZONES.

PREVIOUSLY...SFC HIGH PASSING TO THE S OF THE CWA HAS FINALLY
ALLOWED WINDS TO DIMINISH AND WE WILL START THE DAY WITH SUNSHINE
WHICH SHOULD LINGER THROUGH THE MORNING. THE MID TO HIGH CLOUDS
ROLL IN AROUND MIDDAY AS WAA KICKS INTO GEAR ALOFT...IN ADVANCE
OF THE NEXT SYSTEM. DETAILS OF THE THIS SYSTEM ARE ADDRESSED IN
THE SHORT TERM SECTION...BUT WILL START TO SEE SNOW BREAK OUT IN
SRN AND WRN NH IN THE 4-6 PM TIMEFRAME...ALTHOUGH BULK OF PRECIP
WILL HOLD OFF UNTIL AFTER SUNSET.

TEMPS TODAY WILL WARM WITH THE SUN THIS MORNING AND THEN MORE
SLOWLY THIS AFTERNOON BENEATH THE CLOUDS...BUT INCREASING S FLOW
THIS AFTERNOON SHOULD KEEP TEMPS SLOWLY MOVING UPWARD THRU THE
AFTERNOON...RISING TO THE LOW-MID 20S IN THE N AND UPPER 20S TO
NEAR 30 IN THE S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/...
MAIN CORE OF THIS SYSTEM WITH DEEPER SFC LOW AND 500MB CLOSED LOW
WILL REMAIN WELL TO OUR N AND W...BUT BROAD AREA OF STRONG WAA AND
ISENTROPIC LIFT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE CWA FROM SW-NE
OVERNIGHT...AND MOSTLY FOCUSED ON THE 00-06Z TIME PERIOD. SO BULK
OF THE SNOW WILL HIT THIS EVENING INTO THE POST-MIDNIGHT HOURS.
COULD SEE SOME BRIEF HEAVIER BURSTS OF SNOW IN THIS TIME FRAME.
THE SW WINDS AWAY FROM THE COAST WILL HAVE A HARD TIME MIXING TO
THE SFC OVERNIGHT...AND ALTHOUGH TEMPS WILL BE RISING...WILL LKLY
BE STUCK BLO FREEZING...AND WITH ABV FREEZING AIR MOVING
ALOFT...COULD SEE A BIT OF FREEZING RAIN AS THE PRECIP ENDS IN THE
PRE-DAWN HOURS...ALTHOUGH THIS WOULD BE VERY LIGHT...AND LIMITED
TO SRN NH AND SW ME /YORK AND SERN CUMBERLAND COUNTIES/. A
WIDESPREAD 3-5 INCHES LOOK REASONABLE GIVEN QPF OF A QUARTER TO
JUST UNDER A HALF INCH. IN ALL BUT NRN AND ERN...RATIOS WILL START
IN THE 13-15 TO 1 RANGE...BUT WILL GET CLOSER TO 8-10 TO 1 AS THE
NIGHT PROGRESSES...SO THIS WILL BE A WETTER SNOW THAN MOST OF US
ARE USED TO THIS WINTER...AND COULD LEAD TO SLIGHT LOWER AMTS IN
S NH AS WELL. ALSO OF CONCERN IS THE 00Z REG CMC...WHICH HAS
NOTICABLY LOWER QPF.

ONCE WE BREAK OUT INTO THE WARM SECTOR WED MORNING A BREEZY W-SW
FLOW WILL ALLOW TEMPS TO RISE NICELY INTO THE 40S ACROSS MOST OF
THE CWA...WITH EVEN THE MTNS SEEING UPPER 30S...AND BREAKS OF SUN
OUTSIDE THE MTNS MIDDAY AND AFTERNOON.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
IN SHORT...A CONTINUATION OF BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES BUT NO
SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION EVENTS. THE MODELS ARE IN GENERAL
AGREEMENT ON THE LONG WAVE PATTERN WELL INTO NEXT WEEK. THE
WESTERN RIDGE GRADUALLY FLATTENS AND MOVES ONSHORE INTO THE
WESTERN HALF OF THE CONUS...WHILE WE SEE LINGERING TROFINESS HERE
IN THE EAST AND BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES...PUNCTUATED BY PERIODIC
BRIEF WARM UPS. WE BEGIN THE PERIOD WITH A SURFACE FRONT STALLED
JUST TO OUR SOUTH AND EAST. WE`LL BE ON THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF
THE CLOUD SHIELD...BUT EXPECT ANY MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION TO
REMAIN TO OUR SOUTH. THERE COULD BE A FEW UPSLOPE FLURRIES IN THE
MOUNTAINS...OTHERWISE A DRY DAY ON THURSDAY AS AN UPPER IMPULSE
RACES EAST ACROSS THE AREA. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS TO OUR SOUTH
THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. THE NEXT IMPULSE APPROACHES THE AREA BY
SATURDAY WITH AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT TO CROSS THE REGION EARLY
SUNDAY. THE NEXT IMPULSE AND COLD FRONT ARRIVE FOR MONDAY AND
MONDAY NIGHT.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR THRU MOST OF THE DAY...BUT CONDS FALL TO IFR
AROUND SUNSET OR EARLY EVENING IN SNOW...AND WILL STAY THERE
THRU TONIGHT...WITH IMPROVEMENT BACK TO VFR ON WED.

LONG TERM...

THU AND SAT...SCT MVFR IN MTN SNOW SHOWERS.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...WIND DIMINISHING QUICKLY DURING THE PRE-DAWN...AND
WILL BE LIGHT THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY AS THEY SHIFT SSW AND
INCREASE. WILL PROBABLY NEED SCA TONIGHT INTO WED.

LONG TERM...

THU...SMALL CRAFT WINDS AND SEAS ARE POSSIBLE.

SAT...GALE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     WEDNESDAY FOR MEZ007>009-012>014-018>028.
NH...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST
     WEDNESDAY FOR NHZ001>015.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$





000
FXUS61 KGYX 031451
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
951 AM EST TUE MAR 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE AREA WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE THIS AFTERNOON.
LOW PRESSURE WILL SWING THROUGH SOUTHERN CANADA TONIGHT TRYING TO
PUSH A WARM FRONT NORTH ACROSS THE REGION. AS THE LOW SHIFTS TO
OUR NORTH...IT WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION LATE
WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THURSDAY AND
CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL DRAG
TRAILING WARM AND COLD FRONTS ACROSS THE REGION THIS WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
950 AM UPDATE: UPDATE REFLECTS NO REAL CHANGES. PREVIOUS FORECAST
LOOKS PERFECT ON ALL GRIDS.

615 AM...QUICK UPDATE TO T/TD BASED ON CURRENT OBS. OTHERWISE
FORECAST THINKING HAS NOT CHANGED ALL THAT MUCH. OFF HOUR MODEL
RUNS SENDING MIXED MESSAGES WITH 06Z NAM12 COMING WITH MORE QPF
AND 06Z GFS COMING IN WITH LESS...BUT TIMING STAYS THE SAME SAME
WITH BULK OF QPF COMING IN 00-06Z...BUT JUST A LITTLE LATER IN
THE EASTERN ZONES.

PREVIOUSLY...SFC HIGH PASSING TO THE S OF THE CWA HAS FINALLY
ALLOWED WINDS TO DIMINISH AND WE WILL START THE DAY WITH SUNSHINE
WHICH SHOULD LINGER THROUGH THE MORNING. THE MID TO HIGH CLOUDS
ROLL IN AROUND MIDDAY AS WAA KICKS INTO GEAR ALOFT...IN ADVANCE
OF THE NEXT SYSTEM. DETAILS OF THE THIS SYSTEM ARE ADDRESSED IN
THE SHORT TERM SECTION...BUT WILL START TO SEE SNOW BREAK OUT IN
SRN AND WRN NH IN THE 4-6 PM TIMEFRAME...ALTHOUGH BULK OF PRECIP
WILL HOLD OFF UNTIL AFTER SUNSET.

TEMPS TODAY WILL WARM WITH THE SUN THIS MORNING AND THEN MORE
SLOWLY THIS AFTERNOON BENEATH THE CLOUDS...BUT INCREASING S FLOW
THIS AFTERNOON SHOULD KEEP TEMPS SLOWLY MOVING UPWARD THRU THE
AFTERNOON...RISING TO THE LOW-MID 20S IN THE N AND UPPER 20S TO
NEAR 30 IN THE S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/...
MAIN CORE OF THIS SYSTEM WITH DEEPER SFC LOW AND 500MB CLOSED LOW
WILL REMAIN WELL TO OUR N AND W...BUT BROAD AREA OF STRONG WAA AND
ISENTROPIC LIFT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE CWA FROM SW-NE
OVERNIGHT...AND MOSTLY FOCUSED ON THE 00-06Z TIME PERIOD. SO BULK
OF THE SNOW WILL HIT THIS EVENING INTO THE POST-MIDNIGHT HOURS.
COULD SEE SOME BRIEF HEAVIER BURSTS OF SNOW IN THIS TIME FRAME.
THE SW WINDS AWAY FROM THE COAST WILL HAVE A HARD TIME MIXING TO
THE SFC OVERNIGHT...AND ALTHOUGH TEMPS WILL BE RISING...WILL LKLY
BE STUCK BLO FREEZING...AND WITH ABV FREEZING AIR MOVING
ALOFT...COULD SEE A BIT OF FREEZING RAIN AS THE PRECIP ENDS IN THE
PRE-DAWN HOURS...ALTHOUGH THIS WOULD BE VERY LIGHT...AND LIMITED
TO SRN NH AND SW ME /YORK AND SERN CUMBERLAND COUNTIES/. A
WIDESPREAD 3-5 INCHES LOOK REASONABLE GIVEN QPF OF A QUARTER TO
JUST UNDER A HALF INCH. IN ALL BUT NRN AND ERN...RATIOS WILL START
IN THE 13-15 TO 1 RANGE...BUT WILL GET CLOSER TO 8-10 TO 1 AS THE
NIGHT PROGRESSES...SO THIS WILL BE A WETTER SNOW THAN MOST OF US
ARE USED TO THIS WINTER...AND COULD LEAD TO SLIGHT LOWER AMTS IN
S NH AS WELL. ALSO OF CONCERN IS THE 00Z REG CMC...WHICH HAS
NOTICABLY LOWER QPF.

ONCE WE BREAK OUT INTO THE WARM SECTOR WED MORNING A BREEZY W-SW
FLOW WILL ALLOW TEMPS TO RISE NICELY INTO THE 40S ACROSS MOST OF
THE CWA...WITH EVEN THE MTNS SEEING UPPER 30S...AND BREAKS OF SUN
OUTSIDE THE MTNS MIDDAY AND AFTERNOON.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
IN SHORT...A CONTINUATION OF BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES BUT NO
SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION EVENTS. THE MODELS ARE IN GENERAL
AGREEMENT ON THE LONG WAVE PATTERN WELL INTO NEXT WEEK. THE
WESTERN RIDGE GRADUALLY FLATTENS AND MOVES ONSHORE INTO THE
WESTERN HALF OF THE CONUS...WHILE WE SEE LINGERING TROFINESS HERE
IN THE EAST AND BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES...PUNCTUATED BY PERIODIC
BRIEF WARM UPS. WE BEGIN THE PERIOD WITH A SURFACE FRONT STALLED
JUST TO OUR SOUTH AND EAST. WE`LL BE ON THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF
THE CLOUD SHIELD...BUT EXPECT ANY MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION TO
REMAIN TO OUR SOUTH. THERE COULD BE A FEW UPSLOPE FLURRIES IN THE
MOUNTAINS...OTHERWISE A DRY DAY ON THURSDAY AS AN UPPER IMPULSE
RACES EAST ACROSS THE AREA. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS TO OUR SOUTH
THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. THE NEXT IMPULSE APPROACHES THE AREA BY
SATURDAY WITH AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT TO CROSS THE REGION EARLY
SUNDAY. THE NEXT IMPULSE AND COLD FRONT ARRIVE FOR MONDAY AND
MONDAY NIGHT.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR THRU MOST OF THE DAY...BUT CONDS FALL TO IFR
AROUND SUNSET OR EARLY EVENING IN SNOW...AND WILL STAY THERE
THRU TONIGHT...WITH IMPROVEMENT BACK TO VFR ON WED.

LONG TERM...

THU AND SAT...SCT MVFR IN MTN SNOW SHOWERS.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...WIND DIMINISHING QUICKLY DURING THE PRE-DAWN...AND
WILL BE LIGHT THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY AS THEY SHIFT SSW AND
INCREASE. WILL PROBABLY NEED SCA TONIGHT INTO WED.

LONG TERM...

THU...SMALL CRAFT WINDS AND SEAS ARE POSSIBLE.

SAT...GALE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     WEDNESDAY FOR MEZ007>009-012>014-018>028.
NH...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST
     WEDNESDAY FOR NHZ001>015.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$





000
FXUS61 KGYX 031451
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
951 AM EST TUE MAR 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE AREA WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE THIS AFTERNOON.
LOW PRESSURE WILL SWING THROUGH SOUTHERN CANADA TONIGHT TRYING TO
PUSH A WARM FRONT NORTH ACROSS THE REGION. AS THE LOW SHIFTS TO
OUR NORTH...IT WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION LATE
WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THURSDAY AND
CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL DRAG
TRAILING WARM AND COLD FRONTS ACROSS THE REGION THIS WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
950 AM UPDATE: UPDATE REFLECTS NO REAL CHANGES. PREVIOUS FORECAST
LOOKS PERFECT ON ALL GRIDS.

615 AM...QUICK UPDATE TO T/TD BASED ON CURRENT OBS. OTHERWISE
FORECAST THINKING HAS NOT CHANGED ALL THAT MUCH. OFF HOUR MODEL
RUNS SENDING MIXED MESSAGES WITH 06Z NAM12 COMING WITH MORE QPF
AND 06Z GFS COMING IN WITH LESS...BUT TIMING STAYS THE SAME SAME
WITH BULK OF QPF COMING IN 00-06Z...BUT JUST A LITTLE LATER IN
THE EASTERN ZONES.

PREVIOUSLY...SFC HIGH PASSING TO THE S OF THE CWA HAS FINALLY
ALLOWED WINDS TO DIMINISH AND WE WILL START THE DAY WITH SUNSHINE
WHICH SHOULD LINGER THROUGH THE MORNING. THE MID TO HIGH CLOUDS
ROLL IN AROUND MIDDAY AS WAA KICKS INTO GEAR ALOFT...IN ADVANCE
OF THE NEXT SYSTEM. DETAILS OF THE THIS SYSTEM ARE ADDRESSED IN
THE SHORT TERM SECTION...BUT WILL START TO SEE SNOW BREAK OUT IN
SRN AND WRN NH IN THE 4-6 PM TIMEFRAME...ALTHOUGH BULK OF PRECIP
WILL HOLD OFF UNTIL AFTER SUNSET.

TEMPS TODAY WILL WARM WITH THE SUN THIS MORNING AND THEN MORE
SLOWLY THIS AFTERNOON BENEATH THE CLOUDS...BUT INCREASING S FLOW
THIS AFTERNOON SHOULD KEEP TEMPS SLOWLY MOVING UPWARD THRU THE
AFTERNOON...RISING TO THE LOW-MID 20S IN THE N AND UPPER 20S TO
NEAR 30 IN THE S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/...
MAIN CORE OF THIS SYSTEM WITH DEEPER SFC LOW AND 500MB CLOSED LOW
WILL REMAIN WELL TO OUR N AND W...BUT BROAD AREA OF STRONG WAA AND
ISENTROPIC LIFT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE CWA FROM SW-NE
OVERNIGHT...AND MOSTLY FOCUSED ON THE 00-06Z TIME PERIOD. SO BULK
OF THE SNOW WILL HIT THIS EVENING INTO THE POST-MIDNIGHT HOURS.
COULD SEE SOME BRIEF HEAVIER BURSTS OF SNOW IN THIS TIME FRAME.
THE SW WINDS AWAY FROM THE COAST WILL HAVE A HARD TIME MIXING TO
THE SFC OVERNIGHT...AND ALTHOUGH TEMPS WILL BE RISING...WILL LKLY
BE STUCK BLO FREEZING...AND WITH ABV FREEZING AIR MOVING
ALOFT...COULD SEE A BIT OF FREEZING RAIN AS THE PRECIP ENDS IN THE
PRE-DAWN HOURS...ALTHOUGH THIS WOULD BE VERY LIGHT...AND LIMITED
TO SRN NH AND SW ME /YORK AND SERN CUMBERLAND COUNTIES/. A
WIDESPREAD 3-5 INCHES LOOK REASONABLE GIVEN QPF OF A QUARTER TO
JUST UNDER A HALF INCH. IN ALL BUT NRN AND ERN...RATIOS WILL START
IN THE 13-15 TO 1 RANGE...BUT WILL GET CLOSER TO 8-10 TO 1 AS THE
NIGHT PROGRESSES...SO THIS WILL BE A WETTER SNOW THAN MOST OF US
ARE USED TO THIS WINTER...AND COULD LEAD TO SLIGHT LOWER AMTS IN
S NH AS WELL. ALSO OF CONCERN IS THE 00Z REG CMC...WHICH HAS
NOTICABLY LOWER QPF.

ONCE WE BREAK OUT INTO THE WARM SECTOR WED MORNING A BREEZY W-SW
FLOW WILL ALLOW TEMPS TO RISE NICELY INTO THE 40S ACROSS MOST OF
THE CWA...WITH EVEN THE MTNS SEEING UPPER 30S...AND BREAKS OF SUN
OUTSIDE THE MTNS MIDDAY AND AFTERNOON.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
IN SHORT...A CONTINUATION OF BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES BUT NO
SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION EVENTS. THE MODELS ARE IN GENERAL
AGREEMENT ON THE LONG WAVE PATTERN WELL INTO NEXT WEEK. THE
WESTERN RIDGE GRADUALLY FLATTENS AND MOVES ONSHORE INTO THE
WESTERN HALF OF THE CONUS...WHILE WE SEE LINGERING TROFINESS HERE
IN THE EAST AND BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES...PUNCTUATED BY PERIODIC
BRIEF WARM UPS. WE BEGIN THE PERIOD WITH A SURFACE FRONT STALLED
JUST TO OUR SOUTH AND EAST. WE`LL BE ON THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF
THE CLOUD SHIELD...BUT EXPECT ANY MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION TO
REMAIN TO OUR SOUTH. THERE COULD BE A FEW UPSLOPE FLURRIES IN THE
MOUNTAINS...OTHERWISE A DRY DAY ON THURSDAY AS AN UPPER IMPULSE
RACES EAST ACROSS THE AREA. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS TO OUR SOUTH
THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. THE NEXT IMPULSE APPROACHES THE AREA BY
SATURDAY WITH AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT TO CROSS THE REGION EARLY
SUNDAY. THE NEXT IMPULSE AND COLD FRONT ARRIVE FOR MONDAY AND
MONDAY NIGHT.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR THRU MOST OF THE DAY...BUT CONDS FALL TO IFR
AROUND SUNSET OR EARLY EVENING IN SNOW...AND WILL STAY THERE
THRU TONIGHT...WITH IMPROVEMENT BACK TO VFR ON WED.

LONG TERM...

THU AND SAT...SCT MVFR IN MTN SNOW SHOWERS.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...WIND DIMINISHING QUICKLY DURING THE PRE-DAWN...AND
WILL BE LIGHT THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY AS THEY SHIFT SSW AND
INCREASE. WILL PROBABLY NEED SCA TONIGHT INTO WED.

LONG TERM...

THU...SMALL CRAFT WINDS AND SEAS ARE POSSIBLE.

SAT...GALE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     WEDNESDAY FOR MEZ007>009-012>014-018>028.
NH...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST
     WEDNESDAY FOR NHZ001>015.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$






000
FXUS61 KGYX 031118
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
618 AM EST TUE MAR 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING BEFORE
SHIFTING OFFSHORE. LOW PRESSURE WILL SWING THROUGH SOUTHERN
CANADA TONIGHT TRYING TO PUSH A WARM FRONT NORTH ACROSS THE
REGION. AS THE LOW SHIFTS TO OUR NORTH...IT WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT
THROUGH THE REGION LATE WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN
FROM THE WEST THURSDAY AND CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A WEAK
DISTURBANCE WILL DRAG TRAILING WARM AND COLD FRONTS ACROSS THE
REGION THIS WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
615 AM...QUICK UPDATE TO T/TD BASED ON CURRENT OBS. OTHERWISE
FORECAST THINKING HAS NOT CHANGED ALL THAT MUCH. OFF HOUR MODEL
RUNS SENDING MIXED MESSAGES WITH 06Z NAM12 COMING WITH MORE QPF
AND 06Z GFS COMING IN WITH LESS...BUT TIMING STAYS THE SAME SAME
WITH BULK OF QPF COMING IN 00-06Z...BUT JUST A LITTLE LATER IN
THE EASTERN ZONES.

PREVIOUSLY...SFC HIGH PASSING TO THE S OF THE CWA HAS FINALLY
ALLOWED WINDS TO DIMINISH AND WE WILL START THE DAY WITH SUNSHINE
WHICH SHOULD LINGER THROUGH THE MORNING. THE MID TO HIGH CLOUDS
ROLL IN AROUND MIDDAY AS WAA KICKS INTO GEAR ALOFT...IN ADVANCE
OF THE NEXT SYSTEM. DETAILS OF THE THIS SYSTEM ARE ADDRESSED IN
THE SHORT TERM SECTION...BUT WILL START TO SEE SNOW BREAK OUT IN
SRN AND WRN NH IN THE 4-6 PM TIMEFRAME...ALTHOUGH BULK OF PRECIP
WILL HOLD OFF UNTIL AFTER SUNSET.

TEMPS TODAY WILL WARM WITH THE SUN THIS MORNING AND THEN MORE
SLOWLY THIS AFTERNOON BENEATH THE CLOUDS...BUT INCREASING S FLOW
THIS AFTERNOON SHOULD KEEP TEMPS SLOWLY MOVING UPWARD THRU THE
AFTERNOON...RISING TO THE LOW-MID 20S IN THE N AND UPPER 20S TO
NEAR 30 IN THE S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/...
MAIN CORE OF THIS SYSTEM WITH DEEPER SFC LOW AND 500MB CLOSED LOW
WILL REMAIN WELL TO OUR N AND W...BUT BROAD AREA OF STRONG WAA AND
ISENTROPIC LIFT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE CWA FROM SW-NE
OVERNIGHT...AND MOSTLY FOCUSED ON THE 00-06Z TIME PERIOD. SO BULK
OF THE SNOW WILL HIT THIS EVENING INTO THE POST-MIDNIGHT HOURS.
COULD SEE SOME BRIEF HEAVIER BURSTS OF SNOW IN THIS TIME FRAME.
THE SW WINDS AWAY FROM THE COAST WILL HAVE A HARD TIME MIXING TO
THE SFC OVERNIGHT...AND ALTHOUGH TEMPS WILL BE RISING...WILL LKLY
BE STUCK BLO FREEZING...AND WITH ABV FREEZING AIR MOVING
ALOFT...COULD SEE A BIT OF FREEZING RAIN AS THE PRECIP ENDS IN THE
PRE-DAWN HOURS...ALTHOUGH THIS WOULD BE VERY LIGHT...AND LIMITED
TO SRN NH AND SW ME /YORK AND SERN CUMBERLAND COUNTIES/. A
WIDESPREAD 3-5 INCHES LOOK REASONABLE GIVEN QPF OF A QUARTER TO
JUST UNDER A HALF INCH. IN ALL BUT NRN AND ERN...RATIOS WILL START
IN THE 13-15 TO 1 RANGE...BUT WILL GET CLOSER TO 8-10 TO 1 AS THE
NIGHT PROGRESSES...SO THIS WILL BE A WETTER SNOW THAN MOST OF US
ARE USED TO THIS WINTER...AND COULD LEAD TO SLIGHT LOWER AMTS IN
S NH AS WELL. ALSO OF CONCERN IS THE 00Z REG CMC...WHICH HAS
NOTICABLY LOWER QPF.

ONCE WE BREAK OUT INTO THE WARM SECTOR WED MORNING A BREEZY W-SW
FLOW WILL ALLOW TEMPS TO RISE NICELY INTO THE 40S ACROSS MOST OF
THE CWA...WITH EVEN THE MTNS SEEING UPPER 30S...AND BREAKS OF SUN
OUTSIDE THE MTNS MIDDAY AND AFTERNOON.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
IN SHORT...A CONTINUATION OF BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES BUT NO
SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION EVENTS. THE MODELS ARE IN GENERAL
AGREEMENT ON THE LONG WAVE PATTERN WELL INTO NEXT WEEK. THE
WESTERN RIDGE GRADUALLY FLATTENS AND MOVES ONSHORE INTO THE
WESTERN HALF OF THE CONUS...WHILE WE SEE LINGERING TROFINESS HERE
IN THE EAST AND BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES...PUNCTUATED BY PERIODIC
BRIEF WARM UPS. WE BEGIN THE PERIOD WITH A SURFACE FRONT STALLED
JUST TO OUR SOUTH AND EAST. WE`LL BE ON THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF
THE CLOUD SHIELD...BUT EXPECT ANY MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION TO
REMAIN TO OUR SOUTH. THERE COULD BE A FEW UPSLOPE FLURRIES IN THE
MOUNTAINS...OTHERWISE A DRY DAY ON THURSDAY AS AN UPPER IMPULSE
RACES EAST ACROSS THE AREA. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS TO OUR SOUTH
THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. THE NEXT IMPULSE APPROACHES THE AREA BY
SATURDAY WITH AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT TO CROSS THE REGION EARLY
SUNDAY. THE NEXT IMPULSE AND COLD FRONT ARRIVE FOR MONDAY AND
MONDAY NIGHT.

&&

.AVIATION /11Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR THRU MOST OF THE DAY...BUT CONDS FALL TO IFR
AROUND SUNSET OR EARLY EVENING IN SNOW...AND WILL STAY THERE
THRU TONIGHT...WITH IMPROVEMENT BACK TO VFR ON WED.

LONG TERM...

THU AND SAT...SCT MVFR IN MTN SNOW SHOWERS.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...WIND DIMINISHING QUICKLY DURING THE PRE-DAWN...AND
WILL BE LIGHT THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY AS THEY SHIFT SSW AND
INCREASE. WILL PROBABLY NEED SCA TONIGHT INTO WED.

LONG TERM...

THU...SMALL CRAFT WINDS AND SEAS ARE POSSIBLE.

SAT...GALE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     WEDNESDAY FOR MEZ007>009-012>014-018>028.
NH...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST
     WEDNESDAY FOR NHZ001>015.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...CEMPA
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...
MARINE...




000
FXUS61 KGYX 031118
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
618 AM EST TUE MAR 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING BEFORE
SHIFTING OFFSHORE. LOW PRESSURE WILL SWING THROUGH SOUTHERN
CANADA TONIGHT TRYING TO PUSH A WARM FRONT NORTH ACROSS THE
REGION. AS THE LOW SHIFTS TO OUR NORTH...IT WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT
THROUGH THE REGION LATE WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN
FROM THE WEST THURSDAY AND CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A WEAK
DISTURBANCE WILL DRAG TRAILING WARM AND COLD FRONTS ACROSS THE
REGION THIS WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
615 AM...QUICK UPDATE TO T/TD BASED ON CURRENT OBS. OTHERWISE
FORECAST THINKING HAS NOT CHANGED ALL THAT MUCH. OFF HOUR MODEL
RUNS SENDING MIXED MESSAGES WITH 06Z NAM12 COMING WITH MORE QPF
AND 06Z GFS COMING IN WITH LESS...BUT TIMING STAYS THE SAME SAME
WITH BULK OF QPF COMING IN 00-06Z...BUT JUST A LITTLE LATER IN
THE EASTERN ZONES.

PREVIOUSLY...SFC HIGH PASSING TO THE S OF THE CWA HAS FINALLY
ALLOWED WINDS TO DIMINISH AND WE WILL START THE DAY WITH SUNSHINE
WHICH SHOULD LINGER THROUGH THE MORNING. THE MID TO HIGH CLOUDS
ROLL IN AROUND MIDDAY AS WAA KICKS INTO GEAR ALOFT...IN ADVANCE
OF THE NEXT SYSTEM. DETAILS OF THE THIS SYSTEM ARE ADDRESSED IN
THE SHORT TERM SECTION...BUT WILL START TO SEE SNOW BREAK OUT IN
SRN AND WRN NH IN THE 4-6 PM TIMEFRAME...ALTHOUGH BULK OF PRECIP
WILL HOLD OFF UNTIL AFTER SUNSET.

TEMPS TODAY WILL WARM WITH THE SUN THIS MORNING AND THEN MORE
SLOWLY THIS AFTERNOON BENEATH THE CLOUDS...BUT INCREASING S FLOW
THIS AFTERNOON SHOULD KEEP TEMPS SLOWLY MOVING UPWARD THRU THE
AFTERNOON...RISING TO THE LOW-MID 20S IN THE N AND UPPER 20S TO
NEAR 30 IN THE S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/...
MAIN CORE OF THIS SYSTEM WITH DEEPER SFC LOW AND 500MB CLOSED LOW
WILL REMAIN WELL TO OUR N AND W...BUT BROAD AREA OF STRONG WAA AND
ISENTROPIC LIFT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE CWA FROM SW-NE
OVERNIGHT...AND MOSTLY FOCUSED ON THE 00-06Z TIME PERIOD. SO BULK
OF THE SNOW WILL HIT THIS EVENING INTO THE POST-MIDNIGHT HOURS.
COULD SEE SOME BRIEF HEAVIER BURSTS OF SNOW IN THIS TIME FRAME.
THE SW WINDS AWAY FROM THE COAST WILL HAVE A HARD TIME MIXING TO
THE SFC OVERNIGHT...AND ALTHOUGH TEMPS WILL BE RISING...WILL LKLY
BE STUCK BLO FREEZING...AND WITH ABV FREEZING AIR MOVING
ALOFT...COULD SEE A BIT OF FREEZING RAIN AS THE PRECIP ENDS IN THE
PRE-DAWN HOURS...ALTHOUGH THIS WOULD BE VERY LIGHT...AND LIMITED
TO SRN NH AND SW ME /YORK AND SERN CUMBERLAND COUNTIES/. A
WIDESPREAD 3-5 INCHES LOOK REASONABLE GIVEN QPF OF A QUARTER TO
JUST UNDER A HALF INCH. IN ALL BUT NRN AND ERN...RATIOS WILL START
IN THE 13-15 TO 1 RANGE...BUT WILL GET CLOSER TO 8-10 TO 1 AS THE
NIGHT PROGRESSES...SO THIS WILL BE A WETTER SNOW THAN MOST OF US
ARE USED TO THIS WINTER...AND COULD LEAD TO SLIGHT LOWER AMTS IN
S NH AS WELL. ALSO OF CONCERN IS THE 00Z REG CMC...WHICH HAS
NOTICABLY LOWER QPF.

ONCE WE BREAK OUT INTO THE WARM SECTOR WED MORNING A BREEZY W-SW
FLOW WILL ALLOW TEMPS TO RISE NICELY INTO THE 40S ACROSS MOST OF
THE CWA...WITH EVEN THE MTNS SEEING UPPER 30S...AND BREAKS OF SUN
OUTSIDE THE MTNS MIDDAY AND AFTERNOON.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
IN SHORT...A CONTINUATION OF BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES BUT NO
SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION EVENTS. THE MODELS ARE IN GENERAL
AGREEMENT ON THE LONG WAVE PATTERN WELL INTO NEXT WEEK. THE
WESTERN RIDGE GRADUALLY FLATTENS AND MOVES ONSHORE INTO THE
WESTERN HALF OF THE CONUS...WHILE WE SEE LINGERING TROFINESS HERE
IN THE EAST AND BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES...PUNCTUATED BY PERIODIC
BRIEF WARM UPS. WE BEGIN THE PERIOD WITH A SURFACE FRONT STALLED
JUST TO OUR SOUTH AND EAST. WE`LL BE ON THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF
THE CLOUD SHIELD...BUT EXPECT ANY MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION TO
REMAIN TO OUR SOUTH. THERE COULD BE A FEW UPSLOPE FLURRIES IN THE
MOUNTAINS...OTHERWISE A DRY DAY ON THURSDAY AS AN UPPER IMPULSE
RACES EAST ACROSS THE AREA. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS TO OUR SOUTH
THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. THE NEXT IMPULSE APPROACHES THE AREA BY
SATURDAY WITH AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT TO CROSS THE REGION EARLY
SUNDAY. THE NEXT IMPULSE AND COLD FRONT ARRIVE FOR MONDAY AND
MONDAY NIGHT.

&&

.AVIATION /11Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR THRU MOST OF THE DAY...BUT CONDS FALL TO IFR
AROUND SUNSET OR EARLY EVENING IN SNOW...AND WILL STAY THERE
THRU TONIGHT...WITH IMPROVEMENT BACK TO VFR ON WED.

LONG TERM...

THU AND SAT...SCT MVFR IN MTN SNOW SHOWERS.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...WIND DIMINISHING QUICKLY DURING THE PRE-DAWN...AND
WILL BE LIGHT THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY AS THEY SHIFT SSW AND
INCREASE. WILL PROBABLY NEED SCA TONIGHT INTO WED.

LONG TERM...

THU...SMALL CRAFT WINDS AND SEAS ARE POSSIBLE.

SAT...GALE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     WEDNESDAY FOR MEZ007>009-012>014-018>028.
NH...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST
     WEDNESDAY FOR NHZ001>015.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...CEMPA
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...
MARINE...





000
FXUS61 KGYX 030848
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
348 AM EST TUE MAR 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING BEFORE
SHIFTING OFFSHORE. LOW PRESSURE WILL SWING THROUGH SOUTHERN
CANADA TONIGHT TRYING TO PUSH A WARM FRONT NORTH ACROSS THE
REGION. AS THE LOW SHIFTS TO OUR NORTH...IT WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT
THROUGH THE REGION LATE WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN
FROM THE WEST THURSDAY AND CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A WEAK
DISTURBANCE WILL DRAG TRAILING WARM AND COLD FRONTS ACROSS THE
REGION THIS WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
SFC HIGH PASSING TO THE S OF THE CWA HAS FINALLY ALLOWED WINDS TO
DIMINISH AND WE WILL START THE DAY WITH SUNSHINE WHICH SHOULD
LINGER THROUGH THE MORNING. THE MID TO HIGH CLOUDS ROLL ING AROUND
MIDDAY AS WAA KICKS INTO GEAR ALOFT...IN ADVANCE OF THE NEXT
SYSTEM. DETAILS OF THE THIS SYSTEM ARE ADDRESSED IN THE SHORT TERM
SECTION...BUT WILL START TO SEE SNOW BREAK OUT IN SRN AND WRN NH
IN THE 4-6 PM TIMEFRAME...ALTHOUGH BULK OF PRECIP WILL HOLD OFF
UNTIL AFTER SUNSET.

TEMPS TODAY WILL WARM WITH THE SUN THIS MORNING AND THEN MORE
SLOWLY THIS AFTERNOON BENEATH THE CLOUDS...BUT INCREASING S FLOW
THIS AFTERNOON SHOULD KEEP TEMPS SLOWLY MOVING UPWARD THRU THE
AFTERNOON...RISING TO THE LOW-MID 20S IN THE N AND UPPER 20S TO
NEAR 30 IN THE S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/...
MAIN CORE OF THIS SYSTEM WITH DEEPER SFC LOW AND 500MB CLOSED LOW
WILL REMAIN WELL TO OUR N AND W...BUT BROAD AREA OF STRONG WAA AND
ISENTROPIC LIFT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE CWA FROM SW-NE
OVERNIGHT...AND MOSTLY FOCUSED ON THE 00-06Z TIME PERIOD. SO BULK
OF THE SNOW WILL HIT THIS EVENING INTO THE POST-MIDNIGHT HOURS.
COULD SEE SOME BRIEF HEAVIER BURSTS OF SNOW IN THIS TIME FRAME.
THE SW WINDS AWAY FROM THE COAST WILL HAVE A HARD TIME MIXING TO
THE SFC OVERNIGHT...AND ALTHOUGH TEMPS WILL BE RISING...WILL LKLY
BE STUCK BLO FREEZING...AND WITH ABV FREEZING AIR MOVING
ALOFT...COULD SEE A BIT OF FREEZING RAIN AS THE PRECIP ENDS IN THE
PRE-DAWN HOURS...ALTHOUGH THIS WOULD BE VERY LIGHT...AND LIMITED
TO SRN NH AND SW ME /YORK AND SERN CUMBERLAND COUNTIES/. A
WIDESPREAD 3-5 INCHES LOOK REASONABLE GIVEN QPF OF A QUARTER TO
JUST UNDER A HALF INCH. IN ALL BUT NRN AND ERN...RATIOS WILL START
IN THE 13-15 TO 1 RANGE...BUT WILL GET CLOSER TO 8-10 TO 1 AS THE
NIGHT PROGRESSES...SO THIS WILL BE A WETTER SNOW THAN MOST OF US
ARE USED TO THIS WINTER...AND COULD LEAD TO SLIGHT LOWER AMTS IN
S NH AS WELL. ALSO OF CONCERN IS THE 00Z REG CMC...WHICH HAS
NOTICABLY LOWER QPF.

ONCE WE BREAK OUT INTO THE WARM SECTOR WED MORNING A BREEZY W-SW
FLOW WILL ALLOW TEMPS TO RISE NICELY INTO THE 40S ACROSS MOST OF
THE CWA...WITH EVEN THE MTNS SEEING UPPER 30S...AND BREAKS OF SUN
OUTSIDE THE MTNS MIDDAY AND AFTERNOON.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
IN SHORT...A CONTINUATION OF BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES BUT NO
SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION EVENTS. THE MODELS ARE IN GENERAL
AGREEMENT ON THE LONG WAVE PATTERN WELL INTO NEXT WEEK. THE
WESTERN RIDGE GRADUALLY FLATTENS AND MOVES ONSHORE INTO THE
WESTERN HALF OF THE CONUS...WHILE WE SEE LINGERING TROFINESS HERE
IN THE EAST AND BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES...PUNCTUATED BY PERIODIC
BRIEF WARM UPS. WE BEGIN THE PERIOD WITH A SURFACE FRONT STALLED
JUST TO OUR SOUTH AND EAST. WE`LL BE ON THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF
THE CLOUD SHIELD...BUT EXPECT ANY MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION TO
REMAIN TO OUR SOUTH. THERE COULD BE A FEW UPSLOPE FLURRIES IN THE
MOUNTAINS...OTHERWISE A DRY DAY ON THURSDAY AS AN UPPER IMPULSE
RACES EAST ACROSS THE AREA. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS TO OUR SOUTH
THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. THE NEXT IMPULSE APPROACHES THE AREA BY
SATURDAY WITH AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT TO CROSS THE REGION EARLY
SUNDAY. THE NEXT IMPULSE AND COLD FRONT ARRIVE FOR MONDAY AND
MONDAY NIGHT.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...

SHORT TERM...VFR THRU MOST OF THE DAY...BUT CONDS FALL TO IFR
AROUND SUNSET OR EARLY EVENING IN SNOW...AND WILL STAY THERE
THRU TONIGHT...WITH IMPROVEMENT BACK TO VFR ON WED.

LONG TERM...

THU AND SAT...SCT MVFR IN MTN SNOW SHOWERS.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...WIND DIMINISHING QUICKLY DURING THE PRE-DAWN...AND
WILL BE LIGHT THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY AS THEY SHIFT SSW AND
INCREASE. WILL PROBABLY NEED SCA TONIGHT INTO WED.

LONG TERM...

THU...SMALL CRAFT WINDS AND SEAS ARE POSSIBLE.

SAT...GALE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     WEDNESDAY FOR MEZ007>009-012>014-018>028.
NH...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST
     WEDNESDAY FOR NHZ001>015.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR/SHORT...CEMPA
LONG...SCHWIBS





000
FXUS61 KGYX 030848
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
348 AM EST TUE MAR 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING BEFORE
SHIFTING OFFSHORE. LOW PRESSURE WILL SWING THROUGH SOUTHERN
CANADA TONIGHT TRYING TO PUSH A WARM FRONT NORTH ACROSS THE
REGION. AS THE LOW SHIFTS TO OUR NORTH...IT WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT
THROUGH THE REGION LATE WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN
FROM THE WEST THURSDAY AND CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A WEAK
DISTURBANCE WILL DRAG TRAILING WARM AND COLD FRONTS ACROSS THE
REGION THIS WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
SFC HIGH PASSING TO THE S OF THE CWA HAS FINALLY ALLOWED WINDS TO
DIMINISH AND WE WILL START THE DAY WITH SUNSHINE WHICH SHOULD
LINGER THROUGH THE MORNING. THE MID TO HIGH CLOUDS ROLL ING AROUND
MIDDAY AS WAA KICKS INTO GEAR ALOFT...IN ADVANCE OF THE NEXT
SYSTEM. DETAILS OF THE THIS SYSTEM ARE ADDRESSED IN THE SHORT TERM
SECTION...BUT WILL START TO SEE SNOW BREAK OUT IN SRN AND WRN NH
IN THE 4-6 PM TIMEFRAME...ALTHOUGH BULK OF PRECIP WILL HOLD OFF
UNTIL AFTER SUNSET.

TEMPS TODAY WILL WARM WITH THE SUN THIS MORNING AND THEN MORE
SLOWLY THIS AFTERNOON BENEATH THE CLOUDS...BUT INCREASING S FLOW
THIS AFTERNOON SHOULD KEEP TEMPS SLOWLY MOVING UPWARD THRU THE
AFTERNOON...RISING TO THE LOW-MID 20S IN THE N AND UPPER 20S TO
NEAR 30 IN THE S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/...
MAIN CORE OF THIS SYSTEM WITH DEEPER SFC LOW AND 500MB CLOSED LOW
WILL REMAIN WELL TO OUR N AND W...BUT BROAD AREA OF STRONG WAA AND
ISENTROPIC LIFT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE CWA FROM SW-NE
OVERNIGHT...AND MOSTLY FOCUSED ON THE 00-06Z TIME PERIOD. SO BULK
OF THE SNOW WILL HIT THIS EVENING INTO THE POST-MIDNIGHT HOURS.
COULD SEE SOME BRIEF HEAVIER BURSTS OF SNOW IN THIS TIME FRAME.
THE SW WINDS AWAY FROM THE COAST WILL HAVE A HARD TIME MIXING TO
THE SFC OVERNIGHT...AND ALTHOUGH TEMPS WILL BE RISING...WILL LKLY
BE STUCK BLO FREEZING...AND WITH ABV FREEZING AIR MOVING
ALOFT...COULD SEE A BIT OF FREEZING RAIN AS THE PRECIP ENDS IN THE
PRE-DAWN HOURS...ALTHOUGH THIS WOULD BE VERY LIGHT...AND LIMITED
TO SRN NH AND SW ME /YORK AND SERN CUMBERLAND COUNTIES/. A
WIDESPREAD 3-5 INCHES LOOK REASONABLE GIVEN QPF OF A QUARTER TO
JUST UNDER A HALF INCH. IN ALL BUT NRN AND ERN...RATIOS WILL START
IN THE 13-15 TO 1 RANGE...BUT WILL GET CLOSER TO 8-10 TO 1 AS THE
NIGHT PROGRESSES...SO THIS WILL BE A WETTER SNOW THAN MOST OF US
ARE USED TO THIS WINTER...AND COULD LEAD TO SLIGHT LOWER AMTS IN
S NH AS WELL. ALSO OF CONCERN IS THE 00Z REG CMC...WHICH HAS
NOTICABLY LOWER QPF.

ONCE WE BREAK OUT INTO THE WARM SECTOR WED MORNING A BREEZY W-SW
FLOW WILL ALLOW TEMPS TO RISE NICELY INTO THE 40S ACROSS MOST OF
THE CWA...WITH EVEN THE MTNS SEEING UPPER 30S...AND BREAKS OF SUN
OUTSIDE THE MTNS MIDDAY AND AFTERNOON.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
IN SHORT...A CONTINUATION OF BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES BUT NO
SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION EVENTS. THE MODELS ARE IN GENERAL
AGREEMENT ON THE LONG WAVE PATTERN WELL INTO NEXT WEEK. THE
WESTERN RIDGE GRADUALLY FLATTENS AND MOVES ONSHORE INTO THE
WESTERN HALF OF THE CONUS...WHILE WE SEE LINGERING TROFINESS HERE
IN THE EAST AND BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES...PUNCTUATED BY PERIODIC
BRIEF WARM UPS. WE BEGIN THE PERIOD WITH A SURFACE FRONT STALLED
JUST TO OUR SOUTH AND EAST. WE`LL BE ON THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF
THE CLOUD SHIELD...BUT EXPECT ANY MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION TO
REMAIN TO OUR SOUTH. THERE COULD BE A FEW UPSLOPE FLURRIES IN THE
MOUNTAINS...OTHERWISE A DRY DAY ON THURSDAY AS AN UPPER IMPULSE
RACES EAST ACROSS THE AREA. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS TO OUR SOUTH
THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. THE NEXT IMPULSE APPROACHES THE AREA BY
SATURDAY WITH AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT TO CROSS THE REGION EARLY
SUNDAY. THE NEXT IMPULSE AND COLD FRONT ARRIVE FOR MONDAY AND
MONDAY NIGHT.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...

SHORT TERM...VFR THRU MOST OF THE DAY...BUT CONDS FALL TO IFR
AROUND SUNSET OR EARLY EVENING IN SNOW...AND WILL STAY THERE
THRU TONIGHT...WITH IMPROVEMENT BACK TO VFR ON WED.

LONG TERM...

THU AND SAT...SCT MVFR IN MTN SNOW SHOWERS.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...WIND DIMINISHING QUICKLY DURING THE PRE-DAWN...AND
WILL BE LIGHT THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY AS THEY SHIFT SSW AND
INCREASE. WILL PROBABLY NEED SCA TONIGHT INTO WED.

LONG TERM...

THU...SMALL CRAFT WINDS AND SEAS ARE POSSIBLE.

SAT...GALE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     WEDNESDAY FOR MEZ007>009-012>014-018>028.
NH...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST
     WEDNESDAY FOR NHZ001>015.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR/SHORT...CEMPA
LONG...SCHWIBS




000
FXUS61 KGYX 030848
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
348 AM EST TUE MAR 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING BEFORE
SHIFTING OFFSHORE. LOW PRESSURE WILL SWING THROUGH SOUTHERN
CANADA TONIGHT TRYING TO PUSH A WARM FRONT NORTH ACROSS THE
REGION. AS THE LOW SHIFTS TO OUR NORTH...IT WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT
THROUGH THE REGION LATE WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN
FROM THE WEST THURSDAY AND CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A WEAK
DISTURBANCE WILL DRAG TRAILING WARM AND COLD FRONTS ACROSS THE
REGION THIS WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
SFC HIGH PASSING TO THE S OF THE CWA HAS FINALLY ALLOWED WINDS TO
DIMINISH AND WE WILL START THE DAY WITH SUNSHINE WHICH SHOULD
LINGER THROUGH THE MORNING. THE MID TO HIGH CLOUDS ROLL ING AROUND
MIDDAY AS WAA KICKS INTO GEAR ALOFT...IN ADVANCE OF THE NEXT
SYSTEM. DETAILS OF THE THIS SYSTEM ARE ADDRESSED IN THE SHORT TERM
SECTION...BUT WILL START TO SEE SNOW BREAK OUT IN SRN AND WRN NH
IN THE 4-6 PM TIMEFRAME...ALTHOUGH BULK OF PRECIP WILL HOLD OFF
UNTIL AFTER SUNSET.

TEMPS TODAY WILL WARM WITH THE SUN THIS MORNING AND THEN MORE
SLOWLY THIS AFTERNOON BENEATH THE CLOUDS...BUT INCREASING S FLOW
THIS AFTERNOON SHOULD KEEP TEMPS SLOWLY MOVING UPWARD THRU THE
AFTERNOON...RISING TO THE LOW-MID 20S IN THE N AND UPPER 20S TO
NEAR 30 IN THE S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/...
MAIN CORE OF THIS SYSTEM WITH DEEPER SFC LOW AND 500MB CLOSED LOW
WILL REMAIN WELL TO OUR N AND W...BUT BROAD AREA OF STRONG WAA AND
ISENTROPIC LIFT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE CWA FROM SW-NE
OVERNIGHT...AND MOSTLY FOCUSED ON THE 00-06Z TIME PERIOD. SO BULK
OF THE SNOW WILL HIT THIS EVENING INTO THE POST-MIDNIGHT HOURS.
COULD SEE SOME BRIEF HEAVIER BURSTS OF SNOW IN THIS TIME FRAME.
THE SW WINDS AWAY FROM THE COAST WILL HAVE A HARD TIME MIXING TO
THE SFC OVERNIGHT...AND ALTHOUGH TEMPS WILL BE RISING...WILL LKLY
BE STUCK BLO FREEZING...AND WITH ABV FREEZING AIR MOVING
ALOFT...COULD SEE A BIT OF FREEZING RAIN AS THE PRECIP ENDS IN THE
PRE-DAWN HOURS...ALTHOUGH THIS WOULD BE VERY LIGHT...AND LIMITED
TO SRN NH AND SW ME /YORK AND SERN CUMBERLAND COUNTIES/. A
WIDESPREAD 3-5 INCHES LOOK REASONABLE GIVEN QPF OF A QUARTER TO
JUST UNDER A HALF INCH. IN ALL BUT NRN AND ERN...RATIOS WILL START
IN THE 13-15 TO 1 RANGE...BUT WILL GET CLOSER TO 8-10 TO 1 AS THE
NIGHT PROGRESSES...SO THIS WILL BE A WETTER SNOW THAN MOST OF US
ARE USED TO THIS WINTER...AND COULD LEAD TO SLIGHT LOWER AMTS IN
S NH AS WELL. ALSO OF CONCERN IS THE 00Z REG CMC...WHICH HAS
NOTICABLY LOWER QPF.

ONCE WE BREAK OUT INTO THE WARM SECTOR WED MORNING A BREEZY W-SW
FLOW WILL ALLOW TEMPS TO RISE NICELY INTO THE 40S ACROSS MOST OF
THE CWA...WITH EVEN THE MTNS SEEING UPPER 30S...AND BREAKS OF SUN
OUTSIDE THE MTNS MIDDAY AND AFTERNOON.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
IN SHORT...A CONTINUATION OF BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES BUT NO
SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION EVENTS. THE MODELS ARE IN GENERAL
AGREEMENT ON THE LONG WAVE PATTERN WELL INTO NEXT WEEK. THE
WESTERN RIDGE GRADUALLY FLATTENS AND MOVES ONSHORE INTO THE
WESTERN HALF OF THE CONUS...WHILE WE SEE LINGERING TROFINESS HERE
IN THE EAST AND BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES...PUNCTUATED BY PERIODIC
BRIEF WARM UPS. WE BEGIN THE PERIOD WITH A SURFACE FRONT STALLED
JUST TO OUR SOUTH AND EAST. WE`LL BE ON THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF
THE CLOUD SHIELD...BUT EXPECT ANY MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION TO
REMAIN TO OUR SOUTH. THERE COULD BE A FEW UPSLOPE FLURRIES IN THE
MOUNTAINS...OTHERWISE A DRY DAY ON THURSDAY AS AN UPPER IMPULSE
RACES EAST ACROSS THE AREA. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS TO OUR SOUTH
THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. THE NEXT IMPULSE APPROACHES THE AREA BY
SATURDAY WITH AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT TO CROSS THE REGION EARLY
SUNDAY. THE NEXT IMPULSE AND COLD FRONT ARRIVE FOR MONDAY AND
MONDAY NIGHT.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...

SHORT TERM...VFR THRU MOST OF THE DAY...BUT CONDS FALL TO IFR
AROUND SUNSET OR EARLY EVENING IN SNOW...AND WILL STAY THERE
THRU TONIGHT...WITH IMPROVEMENT BACK TO VFR ON WED.

LONG TERM...

THU AND SAT...SCT MVFR IN MTN SNOW SHOWERS.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...WIND DIMINISHING QUICKLY DURING THE PRE-DAWN...AND
WILL BE LIGHT THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY AS THEY SHIFT SSW AND
INCREASE. WILL PROBABLY NEED SCA TONIGHT INTO WED.

LONG TERM...

THU...SMALL CRAFT WINDS AND SEAS ARE POSSIBLE.

SAT...GALE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     WEDNESDAY FOR MEZ007>009-012>014-018>028.
NH...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST
     WEDNESDAY FOR NHZ001>015.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR/SHORT...CEMPA
LONG...SCHWIBS





000
FXUS61 KGYX 030848
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
348 AM EST TUE MAR 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING BEFORE
SHIFTING OFFSHORE. LOW PRESSURE WILL SWING THROUGH SOUTHERN
CANADA TONIGHT TRYING TO PUSH A WARM FRONT NORTH ACROSS THE
REGION. AS THE LOW SHIFTS TO OUR NORTH...IT WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT
THROUGH THE REGION LATE WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN
FROM THE WEST THURSDAY AND CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A WEAK
DISTURBANCE WILL DRAG TRAILING WARM AND COLD FRONTS ACROSS THE
REGION THIS WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
SFC HIGH PASSING TO THE S OF THE CWA HAS FINALLY ALLOWED WINDS TO
DIMINISH AND WE WILL START THE DAY WITH SUNSHINE WHICH SHOULD
LINGER THROUGH THE MORNING. THE MID TO HIGH CLOUDS ROLL ING AROUND
MIDDAY AS WAA KICKS INTO GEAR ALOFT...IN ADVANCE OF THE NEXT
SYSTEM. DETAILS OF THE THIS SYSTEM ARE ADDRESSED IN THE SHORT TERM
SECTION...BUT WILL START TO SEE SNOW BREAK OUT IN SRN AND WRN NH
IN THE 4-6 PM TIMEFRAME...ALTHOUGH BULK OF PRECIP WILL HOLD OFF
UNTIL AFTER SUNSET.

TEMPS TODAY WILL WARM WITH THE SUN THIS MORNING AND THEN MORE
SLOWLY THIS AFTERNOON BENEATH THE CLOUDS...BUT INCREASING S FLOW
THIS AFTERNOON SHOULD KEEP TEMPS SLOWLY MOVING UPWARD THRU THE
AFTERNOON...RISING TO THE LOW-MID 20S IN THE N AND UPPER 20S TO
NEAR 30 IN THE S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/...
MAIN CORE OF THIS SYSTEM WITH DEEPER SFC LOW AND 500MB CLOSED LOW
WILL REMAIN WELL TO OUR N AND W...BUT BROAD AREA OF STRONG WAA AND
ISENTROPIC LIFT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE CWA FROM SW-NE
OVERNIGHT...AND MOSTLY FOCUSED ON THE 00-06Z TIME PERIOD. SO BULK
OF THE SNOW WILL HIT THIS EVENING INTO THE POST-MIDNIGHT HOURS.
COULD SEE SOME BRIEF HEAVIER BURSTS OF SNOW IN THIS TIME FRAME.
THE SW WINDS AWAY FROM THE COAST WILL HAVE A HARD TIME MIXING TO
THE SFC OVERNIGHT...AND ALTHOUGH TEMPS WILL BE RISING...WILL LKLY
BE STUCK BLO FREEZING...AND WITH ABV FREEZING AIR MOVING
ALOFT...COULD SEE A BIT OF FREEZING RAIN AS THE PRECIP ENDS IN THE
PRE-DAWN HOURS...ALTHOUGH THIS WOULD BE VERY LIGHT...AND LIMITED
TO SRN NH AND SW ME /YORK AND SERN CUMBERLAND COUNTIES/. A
WIDESPREAD 3-5 INCHES LOOK REASONABLE GIVEN QPF OF A QUARTER TO
JUST UNDER A HALF INCH. IN ALL BUT NRN AND ERN...RATIOS WILL START
IN THE 13-15 TO 1 RANGE...BUT WILL GET CLOSER TO 8-10 TO 1 AS THE
NIGHT PROGRESSES...SO THIS WILL BE A WETTER SNOW THAN MOST OF US
ARE USED TO THIS WINTER...AND COULD LEAD TO SLIGHT LOWER AMTS IN
S NH AS WELL. ALSO OF CONCERN IS THE 00Z REG CMC...WHICH HAS
NOTICABLY LOWER QPF.

ONCE WE BREAK OUT INTO THE WARM SECTOR WED MORNING A BREEZY W-SW
FLOW WILL ALLOW TEMPS TO RISE NICELY INTO THE 40S ACROSS MOST OF
THE CWA...WITH EVEN THE MTNS SEEING UPPER 30S...AND BREAKS OF SUN
OUTSIDE THE MTNS MIDDAY AND AFTERNOON.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
IN SHORT...A CONTINUATION OF BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES BUT NO
SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION EVENTS. THE MODELS ARE IN GENERAL
AGREEMENT ON THE LONG WAVE PATTERN WELL INTO NEXT WEEK. THE
WESTERN RIDGE GRADUALLY FLATTENS AND MOVES ONSHORE INTO THE
WESTERN HALF OF THE CONUS...WHILE WE SEE LINGERING TROFINESS HERE
IN THE EAST AND BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES...PUNCTUATED BY PERIODIC
BRIEF WARM UPS. WE BEGIN THE PERIOD WITH A SURFACE FRONT STALLED
JUST TO OUR SOUTH AND EAST. WE`LL BE ON THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF
THE CLOUD SHIELD...BUT EXPECT ANY MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION TO
REMAIN TO OUR SOUTH. THERE COULD BE A FEW UPSLOPE FLURRIES IN THE
MOUNTAINS...OTHERWISE A DRY DAY ON THURSDAY AS AN UPPER IMPULSE
RACES EAST ACROSS THE AREA. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS TO OUR SOUTH
THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. THE NEXT IMPULSE APPROACHES THE AREA BY
SATURDAY WITH AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT TO CROSS THE REGION EARLY
SUNDAY. THE NEXT IMPULSE AND COLD FRONT ARRIVE FOR MONDAY AND
MONDAY NIGHT.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...

SHORT TERM...VFR THRU MOST OF THE DAY...BUT CONDS FALL TO IFR
AROUND SUNSET OR EARLY EVENING IN SNOW...AND WILL STAY THERE
THRU TONIGHT...WITH IMPROVEMENT BACK TO VFR ON WED.

LONG TERM...

THU AND SAT...SCT MVFR IN MTN SNOW SHOWERS.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...WIND DIMINISHING QUICKLY DURING THE PRE-DAWN...AND
WILL BE LIGHT THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY AS THEY SHIFT SSW AND
INCREASE. WILL PROBABLY NEED SCA TONIGHT INTO WED.

LONG TERM...

THU...SMALL CRAFT WINDS AND SEAS ARE POSSIBLE.

SAT...GALE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     WEDNESDAY FOR MEZ007>009-012>014-018>028.
NH...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST
     WEDNESDAY FOR NHZ001>015.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR/SHORT...CEMPA
LONG...SCHWIBS




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