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000
FXUS61 KGYX 180708
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
308 AM EDT THU SEP 18 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH SOUTH OF THE REGION TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AND WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE FRIDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OFF THE EAST
COAST SATURDAY ALLOWING A WARM FRONT TO TRACK NORTHEAST ACROSS
THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT. A COLD FRONT WILL QUICKLY FOLLOW FROM THE
WEST SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY...AND WILL PROVIDE A ROUND OF
SHOWERS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN BEHIND THE FRONT MONDAY NIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
COLD FRONT SLOWLY MAKING ITS WAY SOUTH FROM SOUTHERN QUEBEC EARLY
THIS MORNING. MID LEVEL CLOUDS JUST CREEPING INTO NORTHWEST ZONES
AND THIS BAND OF CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO SAG SOUTH THROUGH THE
MORNING HOURS. SOME SHOWER ACTIVITY SHOWING UP NORTH OF THE BORDER
AND MAY BRIEFLY DAMPEN PORTIONS OF THE MOUNTAINS BUT NOT LOOKING
FOR MUCH IN THE WAY OF QPF.

IN THE SOUTH EXPECT MID LEVEL CLOUDS TO PUSH INTO SOUTHERN ZONES
DURING THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. COLDER AIR LAGGING
BEHIND THE FRONT WILL CAP TEMPS IN THE MOUNTAINS WITH READINGS
TOPPING OUT IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. FARTHER SOUTH...DOWNSLOPING
WINDS AND AT LEAST PARTLY SUNNY SKIES WILL BOOST TEMPS INTO THE
MID TO UPPER 60S TO NEAR 70S ALONG THE COAST. EXPECT DECREASING
CLOUDS BY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON AS THE FRONT PUSHES OFFSHORE AND
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
LOOKING FOR CLEAR AND COLD CONDITIONS TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE
CONTINUES TO BUILD IN FROM THE WEST. HARD FREEZE LIKELY IN THE
MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS AS TEMPS DIP INTO THE MID TO UPPER 20S.
TIGHTENING PRES GRADIENT ACROSS SOUTHERN ZONES WILL ACTUALLY
INCREASE WINDS OVERNIGHT SO MAY NOT EVEN SEE FROST IN COASTAL
ZONES WERE OVERNIGHT LOWS FORECAST TO BOTTOM OUT IN THE UPPER 30S
TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHERN INTERIOR SECTIONS WILL BE A REAL GUESSING
GAME AS FAR AS AREAS THAT DECOUPLE OR NOT. WILL LIKELY NEED FROST
ADVISORIES FOR PATCHY FROST. WITH THE SITUATION STILL EVOLVING
WILL LET THE DAY SHIFT HAVE A LOOK AT THE NEXT MODEL RUN BEFORE
DECIDING ON FROST/FREEZE ADVISORIES/WARNINGS.

EXPECT A SUNNY BUT COOL FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE CRESTS OVERHEAD.
EXPECT MUCH OF THE REGION TO ONLY RANGE THROUGH THE 50S FOR HIGHS
WHICH BE AROUND 10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
500MB HEMISPHERIC PATTERN LOOK TO REMAIN UNSTABLE THROUGH THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...AND WE START TO SHIFT FROM DOWNSTREAM
BLOCKING TO BLOCKING IN BOTH DIRECTIONS. ULTIMATELY THIS COULD
LEAD TO WARM SPELL...PROVIDED BOTH GFS/EURO ARE ON TRACK.

BEFORE THAT...WILL HAVE TO DEAL WITH ONE MORE 500 MB
TROUGH THAT WILL WORK THROUGH THE AREA SUNDAY THROUGH TUE. ON
SATURDAY WILL DEVELOP A WEAK WARM FRONT THAT WILL CROSS THE REGION
LATE IN THE DAY AND SAT NIGHT. BEST FORCING REMAINS WELL TO THE
N...BUT COULD PRODUCE CLOUDS AND A FEW SHRA IN THE N SAT NIGHT.
AFTER TEMPS WARM INTO THE 60S ON SAT OVERNIGHT MINS WILL FEEL
BALMY COMPARED TO PREVIOUS NIGHTS AS THEY ONLY DROP INTO THE 50S.
SUNDAY WILL FEATURE INCREASED SW FLOW...AND 850MB TEMPS
APPROACHING 15C. TEMPS WILL RISE WELL INTO MID TO UPPER 70-S IN
MANY SPOTS...BUT THE SW WINDS WILL KEEP THE COAST
COOLER...ESPECIALLY THE MID-COAST WHERE HIGHS WILL PROBABLY PEAK
OUT NEAR 70. WILL ALSO START TO SEE SHRA MOVE INTO FAR N AND W
ZONES LATE IN THE DAY.

THE FRONT CROSSES THE REGION SUN NIGHT AND MON MORNING...AND THIS
WILL BE THE BEST CH OF SHRA ACROSS THE CWA. BEHIND THE
FRONT...LOOK FOR THE NW DOWNSLOPE TO BRING MINS UP TO AROUND 70 ON
THE COASTAL PLAIN...BUT IN THE MTNS HIGHS WILL ONLY GET TO THE
LOWER 60S...AND LIKELY DROP DURING THE AFTERNOON. WILL SEE SOME
COLDER AIR RETURN FOR MON NIGHT INTO TUE NIGHT...BUT MAX/MINS LOOK
TO ONLY RUN A FEW DEGREES BLO NORMAL. BY WED...AS LARGE SCALE
500MB RIDGING BUILDS OVER THE ERN CONUS...LOOK FOR HIGHS TO CLIMB
BACK TO NORMAL...WITH MAINLY SUNNY SKIES.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...AREAS OF IFR/LIFR CEILINGS AND VSBY IN MORNING FOG
TODAY...OTHERWISE VFR.

LONG TERM...MAINLY VFR THROUGH SUNDAY...ALTHOUGH SOME VLY FOG
POSSIBLE EACH NIGHT. MORE WIDESPREAD FLIGHT RESTRICTIONS POSSIBLE
SUN NIGHT IN SHRA A HEAD OF A COLD FRONT.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...MAY COME CLOSE TO NEEDING SCA`S TONIGHT...OTHERWISE
NO FLAGS.

LONG TERM...SW FLOW AHEAD OF COLD FRONT COULD BRING WINDS AND SEAS
TO SCA CRITERIA SAT NIGHT AND SUNDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING FOR
     MEZ007>009-012>014.
NH...FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING FOR
     NHZ001>006.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$





000
FXUS61 KGYX 180708
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
308 AM EDT THU SEP 18 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH SOUTH OF THE REGION TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AND WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE FRIDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OFF THE EAST
COAST SATURDAY ALLOWING A WARM FRONT TO TRACK NORTHEAST ACROSS
THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT. A COLD FRONT WILL QUICKLY FOLLOW FROM THE
WEST SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY...AND WILL PROVIDE A ROUND OF
SHOWERS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN BEHIND THE FRONT MONDAY NIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
COLD FRONT SLOWLY MAKING ITS WAY SOUTH FROM SOUTHERN QUEBEC EARLY
THIS MORNING. MID LEVEL CLOUDS JUST CREEPING INTO NORTHWEST ZONES
AND THIS BAND OF CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO SAG SOUTH THROUGH THE
MORNING HOURS. SOME SHOWER ACTIVITY SHOWING UP NORTH OF THE BORDER
AND MAY BRIEFLY DAMPEN PORTIONS OF THE MOUNTAINS BUT NOT LOOKING
FOR MUCH IN THE WAY OF QPF.

IN THE SOUTH EXPECT MID LEVEL CLOUDS TO PUSH INTO SOUTHERN ZONES
DURING THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. COLDER AIR LAGGING
BEHIND THE FRONT WILL CAP TEMPS IN THE MOUNTAINS WITH READINGS
TOPPING OUT IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. FARTHER SOUTH...DOWNSLOPING
WINDS AND AT LEAST PARTLY SUNNY SKIES WILL BOOST TEMPS INTO THE
MID TO UPPER 60S TO NEAR 70S ALONG THE COAST. EXPECT DECREASING
CLOUDS BY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON AS THE FRONT PUSHES OFFSHORE AND
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
LOOKING FOR CLEAR AND COLD CONDITIONS TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE
CONTINUES TO BUILD IN FROM THE WEST. HARD FREEZE LIKELY IN THE
MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS AS TEMPS DIP INTO THE MID TO UPPER 20S.
TIGHTENING PRES GRADIENT ACROSS SOUTHERN ZONES WILL ACTUALLY
INCREASE WINDS OVERNIGHT SO MAY NOT EVEN SEE FROST IN COASTAL
ZONES WERE OVERNIGHT LOWS FORECAST TO BOTTOM OUT IN THE UPPER 30S
TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHERN INTERIOR SECTIONS WILL BE A REAL GUESSING
GAME AS FAR AS AREAS THAT DECOUPLE OR NOT. WILL LIKELY NEED FROST
ADVISORIES FOR PATCHY FROST. WITH THE SITUATION STILL EVOLVING
WILL LET THE DAY SHIFT HAVE A LOOK AT THE NEXT MODEL RUN BEFORE
DECIDING ON FROST/FREEZE ADVISORIES/WARNINGS.

EXPECT A SUNNY BUT COOL FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE CRESTS OVERHEAD.
EXPECT MUCH OF THE REGION TO ONLY RANGE THROUGH THE 50S FOR HIGHS
WHICH BE AROUND 10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
500MB HEMISPHERIC PATTERN LOOK TO REMAIN UNSTABLE THROUGH THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...AND WE START TO SHIFT FROM DOWNSTREAM
BLOCKING TO BLOCKING IN BOTH DIRECTIONS. ULTIMATELY THIS COULD
LEAD TO WARM SPELL...PROVIDED BOTH GFS/EURO ARE ON TRACK.

BEFORE THAT...WILL HAVE TO DEAL WITH ONE MORE 500 MB
TROUGH THAT WILL WORK THROUGH THE AREA SUNDAY THROUGH TUE. ON
SATURDAY WILL DEVELOP A WEAK WARM FRONT THAT WILL CROSS THE REGION
LATE IN THE DAY AND SAT NIGHT. BEST FORCING REMAINS WELL TO THE
N...BUT COULD PRODUCE CLOUDS AND A FEW SHRA IN THE N SAT NIGHT.
AFTER TEMPS WARM INTO THE 60S ON SAT OVERNIGHT MINS WILL FEEL
BALMY COMPARED TO PREVIOUS NIGHTS AS THEY ONLY DROP INTO THE 50S.
SUNDAY WILL FEATURE INCREASED SW FLOW...AND 850MB TEMPS
APPROACHING 15C. TEMPS WILL RISE WELL INTO MID TO UPPER 70-S IN
MANY SPOTS...BUT THE SW WINDS WILL KEEP THE COAST
COOLER...ESPECIALLY THE MID-COAST WHERE HIGHS WILL PROBABLY PEAK
OUT NEAR 70. WILL ALSO START TO SEE SHRA MOVE INTO FAR N AND W
ZONES LATE IN THE DAY.

THE FRONT CROSSES THE REGION SUN NIGHT AND MON MORNING...AND THIS
WILL BE THE BEST CH OF SHRA ACROSS THE CWA. BEHIND THE
FRONT...LOOK FOR THE NW DOWNSLOPE TO BRING MINS UP TO AROUND 70 ON
THE COASTAL PLAIN...BUT IN THE MTNS HIGHS WILL ONLY GET TO THE
LOWER 60S...AND LIKELY DROP DURING THE AFTERNOON. WILL SEE SOME
COLDER AIR RETURN FOR MON NIGHT INTO TUE NIGHT...BUT MAX/MINS LOOK
TO ONLY RUN A FEW DEGREES BLO NORMAL. BY WED...AS LARGE SCALE
500MB RIDGING BUILDS OVER THE ERN CONUS...LOOK FOR HIGHS TO CLIMB
BACK TO NORMAL...WITH MAINLY SUNNY SKIES.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...AREAS OF IFR/LIFR CEILINGS AND VSBY IN MORNING FOG
TODAY...OTHERWISE VFR.

LONG TERM...MAINLY VFR THROUGH SUNDAY...ALTHOUGH SOME VLY FOG
POSSIBLE EACH NIGHT. MORE WIDESPREAD FLIGHT RESTRICTIONS POSSIBLE
SUN NIGHT IN SHRA A HEAD OF A COLD FRONT.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...MAY COME CLOSE TO NEEDING SCA`S TONIGHT...OTHERWISE
NO FLAGS.

LONG TERM...SW FLOW AHEAD OF COLD FRONT COULD BRING WINDS AND SEAS
TO SCA CRITERIA SAT NIGHT AND SUNDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING FOR
     MEZ007>009-012>014.
NH...FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING FOR
     NHZ001>006.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$




000
FXUS61 KGYX 180115
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
915 PM EDT WED SEP 17 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION BY EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING. THE FRONT HAS VERY LITTLE IN THE WAY OF
MOISTURE...BUT TEMPERATURES WILL PLUMMET BEHIND THE FRONT THURSDAY
NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE OVERHEAD EARLY FRIDAY BEFORE
SHIFTING OFFSHORE FRIDAY NIGHT. A WARM FRONT CROSSES THE REGION ON
SATURDAY...PUSHING TEMPERATURES WELL ABOVE NORMAL SUNDAY AND
MONDAY. ANOTHER COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT AND COOLS
THINGS BACK DOWN BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AND A BROAD RIDGE OF
HIGH PRESSURE LOOKS TO BUILD IN BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
915 PM UPDATE: ADJUSTED CLOUD COVER TO REFLECT MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES
OVER SRN AREAS FOR THE REST OF THE NIGHT OTRW ONLY MINOR TWEAKS TO
TEMPS. NO OTHER CHANGES NEEDED ATTM.

PREV DISC:
AREAS OF CU WILL CONTINUE UNTIL SUNSET. THEREAFTER...A COLD FRONT
WILL GRADUALLY APPROACH NORTHERN AREAS LATE TONIGHT. THIS WILL
BRING SOME CLOUDINESS AND THE SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SHOWER TO THE
NORTHERN MOUNTAIN REGIONS BY MORNING. THE ADVANCING CLOUDS WILL
PREVENT SIGNIFICANT FOG FROM FORMING IN THESE AREAS AS WELL.

ELSEWHERE...MAINLY CLEAR SKIES WILL ALLOW FOR PATCHY FOG TO
DEVELOP ONCE AGAIN...WITH POCKETS OF DENSE FOG IN THE CT RIVER
VALLEY. EXPECT WIDESPREAD 40S THROUGHOUT THE REGION.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
NORTHERN AREAS WILL ONCE AGAIN HAVE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SHOWER
WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT THURSDAY MORNING. LIGHT PRECIP
WILL BE AIDED BY UPSLOPE CONDITIONS AND STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION.

OTHERWISE...EXPECT MAINLY CLEAR SKIES. WITH CLEAR SKIES...LIGHT
WINDS AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE REGION...TEMPERATURES
WILL FALL TO SOME OF THEIR COLDEST LEVELS OF THE YEAR. EXPECT
TEMPERATURES NEAR OR BELOW 32 DEGREES FOR MUCH OF THE FORECAST
AREA...IN CENTRAL AND NORTHERN AREAS. THEREFORE...A FREEZE WATCH
HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR LATE TOMORROW NIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.
USED A BLEND OF MODEL GUIDANCE FOR THE FRIDAY MORNING MINS.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
START OF THE PERIOD WITH SFC HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD UNDER ZONAL
FLOW AT 850MB - 500MB AS BROAD LONG WAVE TROUGH MOVES OFF TO OUR
EAST. THE SFC HIGH WILL SHIFT OFF SHORE BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND
THIS WILL DEVELOP SOUTHWEST FLOW FRIDAY NIGHT AT THE SURFACE. WAA
ADVECTION WILL QUICKLY WARM THINGS UP FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY WITH
MODERATE SW FLOW ALOFT. A WARM FRONT WILL BRING SOME CLOUDS AND
MAYBE A FEW SHOWERS LATER IN THE DAY ON SATURDAY BUT MOSTLY CLOUDS
OUT AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL HELP KEEP HI TEMPS FOR SATURDAY
SUBDUED.

SUNDAY IS LOOKING MORE AND MORE LIKE SUMMER AGAIN...AS MODERATE
WSW FLOW ALOFT WITH 850 TEMPS NEARING 15C ACROSS THE SOUTH SHOULD
PUSH OUR SFC TEMPS INTO THE 70S ACROSS THE ENTIRE CWA.

MODELS ARE STILL NOT IN AGREEMENT WITH THE SOLUTION FOR THE
SECOND HALF OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. GFS ALONG WITH GEFS CONTINUE
TO BE PROGRESSIVE WITH A COLD FRONT AND IT MOVES IT THROUGH THE
CWA FAIRLY QUICKLY SUN NIGHT AND MON. WHILE THE 00Z EURO HAS SFC
WAVE DEVELOP SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND AND THE FRONT GETS HELD UP OVER
THE REGION WHICH WOULD PROVIDE A SOAKING RAIN WITH A CHANCE OF
RAIN INTO TUESDAY MORNING.

UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL SLOWLY PUSH THROUGH THE REGION TUE -
WED...INSTABILITY WILL ALLOW FOR A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS TO
OCCUR...ESPECIALLY IN THE MOUNTAINS AND TEMPERATURES WILL COOL OFF
ONCE AGAIN. GOOD NEWS IS THAT ALL GUIDANCE IS POINTING AT A BROAD
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER EASTERN CONUS AT THE END OF THE PERIOD
WHICH SHOULD BRING A NICE STRETCH OF WARM AND PLEASANT WEATHER
THAT SHOULD AT LEAST LAST INTO NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION /01Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED EXCEPT FOR VALLEY FOR IN THE
EARLY MORNING HOURS CAUSING A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIFR CONDITIONS FOR
HIE AND LEB.

LONG TERM...MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED EXCEPT FOR VALLEY FOG
WHICH WILL BRING LEB AND HIE DOWN TO LIFR CONDITIONS FOR A BRIEF
TIME DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. A PASSING COLD FRONT SUNDAY
INTO MONDAY WILL PRODUCE SHOWERS AND MVFR CONDITIONS WILL BE
POSSIBLE.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...NO FLAGS...BUT SOME OFF PERIOD SWELLS COMING IN FROM
EDOUARD COULD BRING SEAS TO NEAR 5 FEET.

LONG TERM...SOUTHWEST FLOW DEVELOPS ON SATURDAY AND LASTS INTO
SUNDAY. CONDITIONS WILL BE CLOSE TO SCA CRITERIA...WITH GUSTS UP
TO 25KTS AND SEAS TO 5 FEET. AFTER SUNDAY...CONDITIONS SHOULD STAY
BELOW SCA CRITERIA.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING
     FOR MEZ007>009-012>014.
NH...FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING
     FOR NHZ001>006.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$





000
FXUS61 KGYX 180115
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
915 PM EDT WED SEP 17 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION BY EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING. THE FRONT HAS VERY LITTLE IN THE WAY OF
MOISTURE...BUT TEMPERATURES WILL PLUMMET BEHIND THE FRONT THURSDAY
NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE OVERHEAD EARLY FRIDAY BEFORE
SHIFTING OFFSHORE FRIDAY NIGHT. A WARM FRONT CROSSES THE REGION ON
SATURDAY...PUSHING TEMPERATURES WELL ABOVE NORMAL SUNDAY AND
MONDAY. ANOTHER COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT AND COOLS
THINGS BACK DOWN BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AND A BROAD RIDGE OF
HIGH PRESSURE LOOKS TO BUILD IN BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
915 PM UPDATE: ADJUSTED CLOUD COVER TO REFLECT MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES
OVER SRN AREAS FOR THE REST OF THE NIGHT OTRW ONLY MINOR TWEAKS TO
TEMPS. NO OTHER CHANGES NEEDED ATTM.

PREV DISC:
AREAS OF CU WILL CONTINUE UNTIL SUNSET. THEREAFTER...A COLD FRONT
WILL GRADUALLY APPROACH NORTHERN AREAS LATE TONIGHT. THIS WILL
BRING SOME CLOUDINESS AND THE SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SHOWER TO THE
NORTHERN MOUNTAIN REGIONS BY MORNING. THE ADVANCING CLOUDS WILL
PREVENT SIGNIFICANT FOG FROM FORMING IN THESE AREAS AS WELL.

ELSEWHERE...MAINLY CLEAR SKIES WILL ALLOW FOR PATCHY FOG TO
DEVELOP ONCE AGAIN...WITH POCKETS OF DENSE FOG IN THE CT RIVER
VALLEY. EXPECT WIDESPREAD 40S THROUGHOUT THE REGION.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
NORTHERN AREAS WILL ONCE AGAIN HAVE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SHOWER
WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT THURSDAY MORNING. LIGHT PRECIP
WILL BE AIDED BY UPSLOPE CONDITIONS AND STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION.

OTHERWISE...EXPECT MAINLY CLEAR SKIES. WITH CLEAR SKIES...LIGHT
WINDS AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE REGION...TEMPERATURES
WILL FALL TO SOME OF THEIR COLDEST LEVELS OF THE YEAR. EXPECT
TEMPERATURES NEAR OR BELOW 32 DEGREES FOR MUCH OF THE FORECAST
AREA...IN CENTRAL AND NORTHERN AREAS. THEREFORE...A FREEZE WATCH
HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR LATE TOMORROW NIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.
USED A BLEND OF MODEL GUIDANCE FOR THE FRIDAY MORNING MINS.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
START OF THE PERIOD WITH SFC HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD UNDER ZONAL
FLOW AT 850MB - 500MB AS BROAD LONG WAVE TROUGH MOVES OFF TO OUR
EAST. THE SFC HIGH WILL SHIFT OFF SHORE BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND
THIS WILL DEVELOP SOUTHWEST FLOW FRIDAY NIGHT AT THE SURFACE. WAA
ADVECTION WILL QUICKLY WARM THINGS UP FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY WITH
MODERATE SW FLOW ALOFT. A WARM FRONT WILL BRING SOME CLOUDS AND
MAYBE A FEW SHOWERS LATER IN THE DAY ON SATURDAY BUT MOSTLY CLOUDS
OUT AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL HELP KEEP HI TEMPS FOR SATURDAY
SUBDUED.

SUNDAY IS LOOKING MORE AND MORE LIKE SUMMER AGAIN...AS MODERATE
WSW FLOW ALOFT WITH 850 TEMPS NEARING 15C ACROSS THE SOUTH SHOULD
PUSH OUR SFC TEMPS INTO THE 70S ACROSS THE ENTIRE CWA.

MODELS ARE STILL NOT IN AGREEMENT WITH THE SOLUTION FOR THE
SECOND HALF OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. GFS ALONG WITH GEFS CONTINUE
TO BE PROGRESSIVE WITH A COLD FRONT AND IT MOVES IT THROUGH THE
CWA FAIRLY QUICKLY SUN NIGHT AND MON. WHILE THE 00Z EURO HAS SFC
WAVE DEVELOP SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND AND THE FRONT GETS HELD UP OVER
THE REGION WHICH WOULD PROVIDE A SOAKING RAIN WITH A CHANCE OF
RAIN INTO TUESDAY MORNING.

UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL SLOWLY PUSH THROUGH THE REGION TUE -
WED...INSTABILITY WILL ALLOW FOR A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS TO
OCCUR...ESPECIALLY IN THE MOUNTAINS AND TEMPERATURES WILL COOL OFF
ONCE AGAIN. GOOD NEWS IS THAT ALL GUIDANCE IS POINTING AT A BROAD
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER EASTERN CONUS AT THE END OF THE PERIOD
WHICH SHOULD BRING A NICE STRETCH OF WARM AND PLEASANT WEATHER
THAT SHOULD AT LEAST LAST INTO NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION /01Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED EXCEPT FOR VALLEY FOR IN THE
EARLY MORNING HOURS CAUSING A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIFR CONDITIONS FOR
HIE AND LEB.

LONG TERM...MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED EXCEPT FOR VALLEY FOG
WHICH WILL BRING LEB AND HIE DOWN TO LIFR CONDITIONS FOR A BRIEF
TIME DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. A PASSING COLD FRONT SUNDAY
INTO MONDAY WILL PRODUCE SHOWERS AND MVFR CONDITIONS WILL BE
POSSIBLE.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...NO FLAGS...BUT SOME OFF PERIOD SWELLS COMING IN FROM
EDOUARD COULD BRING SEAS TO NEAR 5 FEET.

LONG TERM...SOUTHWEST FLOW DEVELOPS ON SATURDAY AND LASTS INTO
SUNDAY. CONDITIONS WILL BE CLOSE TO SCA CRITERIA...WITH GUSTS UP
TO 25KTS AND SEAS TO 5 FEET. AFTER SUNDAY...CONDITIONS SHOULD STAY
BELOW SCA CRITERIA.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING
     FOR MEZ007>009-012>014.
NH...FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING
     FOR NHZ001>006.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$






000
FXUS61 KGYX 171910
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
310 PM EDT WED SEP 17 2014

.SYNOPSIS...A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION BY EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING. THE FRONT HAS VERY LITTLE IN THE WAY OF
MOISTURE...BUT TEMPERATURES WILL PLUMMET BEHIND THE FRONT THURSDAY
NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE OVERHEAD EARLY FRIDAY BEFORE
SHIFTING OFFSHORE FRIDAY NIGHT. A WARM FRONT CROSSES THE REGION ON
SATURDAY...PUSHING TEMPERATURES WELL ABOVE NORMAL SUNDAY AND
MONDAY. ANOTHER COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT AND COOLS
THINGS BACK DOWN BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AND A BROAD RIDGE OF
HIGH PRESSURE LOOKS TO BUILD IN BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AREAS OF CU WILL CONTINUE UNTIL SUNSET. THEREAFTER...A COLD FRONT
WILL GRADUALLY APPROACH NORTHERN AREAS LATE TONIGHT. THIS WILL
BRING SOME CLOUDINESS AND THE SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SHOWER TO THE
NORTHERN MOUNTAIN REGIONS BY MORNING. THE ADVANCING CLOUDS WILL
PREVENT SIGNIFICANT FOG FROM FORMING IN THESE AREAS AS WELL.

ELSEWHERE...MAINLY CLEAR SKIES WILL ALLOW FOR PATCHY FOG TO
DEVELOP ONCE AGAIN...WITH POCKETS OF DENSE FOG IN THE CT RIVER
VALLEY. EXPECT WIDESPREAD 40S THROUGHOUT THE REGION.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT/...
NORTHERN AREAS WILL ONCE AGAIN HAVE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SHOWER
WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT THURSDAY MORNING. LIGHT PRECIP
WILL BE AIDED BY UPSLOPE CONDITIONS AND STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION.

OTHERWISE...EXPECT MAINLY CLEAR SKIES. WITH CLEAR SKIES...LIGHT
WINDS AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE REGION...TEMPERATURES
WILL FALL TO SOME OF THEIR COLDEST LEVELS OF THE YEAR. EXPECT
TEMPERATURES NEAR OR BELOW 32 DEGREES FOR MUCH OF THE FORECAST
AREA...IN CENTRAL AND NORTHERN AREAS. THEREFORE...A FREEZE WATCH
HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR LATE TOMORROW NIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.
USED A BLEND OF MODEL GUIDANCE FOR THE FRIDAY MORNING MINS.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
START OF THE PERIOD WITH SFC HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD UNDER ZONAL
FLOW AT 850MB - 500MB AS BROAD LONG WAVE TROUGH MOVES OFF TO OUR
EAST. THE SFC HIGH WILL SHIFT OFF SHORE BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND
THIS WILL DEVELOP SOUTHWEST FLOW FRIDAY NIGHT AT THE SURFACE. WAA
ADVECTION WILL QUICKLY WARM THINGS UP FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY WITH
MODERATE SW FLOW ALOFT. A WARM FRONT WILL BRING SOME CLOUDS AND
MAYBE A FEW SHOWERS LATER IN THE DAY ON SATURDAY BUT MOSTLY CLOUDS
OUT AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL HELP KEEP HI TEMPS FOR SATURDAY
SUBDUED.

SUNDAY IS LOOKING MORE AND MORE LIKE SUMMER AGAIN...AS MODERATE
WSW FLOW ALOFT WITH 850 TEMPS NEARING 15C ACROSS THE SOUTH SHOULD
PUSH OUR SFC TEMPS INTO THE 70S ACROSS THE ENTIRE CWA.

MODELS ARE STILL NOT IN AGREEMENT WITH THE SOLUTION FOR THE
SECOND HALF OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. GFS ALONG WITH GEFS CONTINUE
TO BE PROGRESSIVE WITH A COLD FRONT AND IT MOVES IT THROUGH THE
CWA FAIRLY QUICKLY SUN NIGHT AND MON. WHILE THE 00Z EURO HAS SFC
WAVE DEVELOP SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND AND THE FRONT GETS HELD UP OVER
THE REGION WHICH WOULD PROVIDE A SOAKING RAIN WITH A CHANCE OF
RAIN INTO TUESDAY MORNING.

UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL SLOWLY PUSH THROUGH THE REGION TUE -
WED...INSTABILITY WILL ALLOW FOR A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS TO
OCCUR...ESPECIALLY IN THE MOUNTAINS AND TEMPERATURES WILL COOL OFF
ONCE AGAIN. GOOD NEWS IS THAT ALL GUIDANCE IS POINTING AT A BROAD
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER EASTERN CONUS AT THE END OF THE PERIOD
WHICH SHOULD BRING A NICE STRETCH OF WARM AND PLEASANT WEATHER
THAT SHOULD AT LEAST LAST INTO NEXT WEEKEND.


&&

.AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED EXCEPT FOR VALLEY FOR IN THE
EARLY MORNING HOURS CAUSING A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIFR CONDITIONS FOR
HIE AND LEB.

LONG TERM...MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED EXCEPT FOR VALLEY FOG
WHICH WILL BRING LEB AND HIE DOWN TO LIFR CONDITIONS FOR A BRIEF
TIME DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. A PASSING COLD FRONT SUNDAY
INTO MONDAY WILL PRODUCE SHOWERS AND MVFR CONDITIONS WILL BE
POSSIBLE.


&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...NO FLAGS...BUT SOME OFF PERIOD SWELLS COMING IN FROM
EDOUARD COULD BRING SEAS TO NEAR 5 FEET.

LONG TERM...SOUTHWEST FLOW DEVELOPS ON SATURDAY AND LASTS INTO
SUNDAY. CONDITIONS WILL BE CLOSE TO SCA CRITERIA...WITH GUSTS UP
TO 25KTS AND SEAS TO 5 FEET. AFTER SUNDAY...CONDITIONS SHOULD STAY
BELOW SCA CRITERIA.



&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING
     FOR MEZ007>009-012>014.
NH...FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING
     FOR NHZ001>006.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$





000
FXUS61 KGYX 171910
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
310 PM EDT WED SEP 17 2014

.SYNOPSIS...A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION BY EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING. THE FRONT HAS VERY LITTLE IN THE WAY OF
MOISTURE...BUT TEMPERATURES WILL PLUMMET BEHIND THE FRONT THURSDAY
NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE OVERHEAD EARLY FRIDAY BEFORE
SHIFTING OFFSHORE FRIDAY NIGHT. A WARM FRONT CROSSES THE REGION ON
SATURDAY...PUSHING TEMPERATURES WELL ABOVE NORMAL SUNDAY AND
MONDAY. ANOTHER COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT AND COOLS
THINGS BACK DOWN BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AND A BROAD RIDGE OF
HIGH PRESSURE LOOKS TO BUILD IN BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AREAS OF CU WILL CONTINUE UNTIL SUNSET. THEREAFTER...A COLD FRONT
WILL GRADUALLY APPROACH NORTHERN AREAS LATE TONIGHT. THIS WILL
BRING SOME CLOUDINESS AND THE SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SHOWER TO THE
NORTHERN MOUNTAIN REGIONS BY MORNING. THE ADVANCING CLOUDS WILL
PREVENT SIGNIFICANT FOG FROM FORMING IN THESE AREAS AS WELL.

ELSEWHERE...MAINLY CLEAR SKIES WILL ALLOW FOR PATCHY FOG TO
DEVELOP ONCE AGAIN...WITH POCKETS OF DENSE FOG IN THE CT RIVER
VALLEY. EXPECT WIDESPREAD 40S THROUGHOUT THE REGION.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT/...
NORTHERN AREAS WILL ONCE AGAIN HAVE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SHOWER
WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT THURSDAY MORNING. LIGHT PRECIP
WILL BE AIDED BY UPSLOPE CONDITIONS AND STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION.

OTHERWISE...EXPECT MAINLY CLEAR SKIES. WITH CLEAR SKIES...LIGHT
WINDS AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE REGION...TEMPERATURES
WILL FALL TO SOME OF THEIR COLDEST LEVELS OF THE YEAR. EXPECT
TEMPERATURES NEAR OR BELOW 32 DEGREES FOR MUCH OF THE FORECAST
AREA...IN CENTRAL AND NORTHERN AREAS. THEREFORE...A FREEZE WATCH
HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR LATE TOMORROW NIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.
USED A BLEND OF MODEL GUIDANCE FOR THE FRIDAY MORNING MINS.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
START OF THE PERIOD WITH SFC HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD UNDER ZONAL
FLOW AT 850MB - 500MB AS BROAD LONG WAVE TROUGH MOVES OFF TO OUR
EAST. THE SFC HIGH WILL SHIFT OFF SHORE BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND
THIS WILL DEVELOP SOUTHWEST FLOW FRIDAY NIGHT AT THE SURFACE. WAA
ADVECTION WILL QUICKLY WARM THINGS UP FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY WITH
MODERATE SW FLOW ALOFT. A WARM FRONT WILL BRING SOME CLOUDS AND
MAYBE A FEW SHOWERS LATER IN THE DAY ON SATURDAY BUT MOSTLY CLOUDS
OUT AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL HELP KEEP HI TEMPS FOR SATURDAY
SUBDUED.

SUNDAY IS LOOKING MORE AND MORE LIKE SUMMER AGAIN...AS MODERATE
WSW FLOW ALOFT WITH 850 TEMPS NEARING 15C ACROSS THE SOUTH SHOULD
PUSH OUR SFC TEMPS INTO THE 70S ACROSS THE ENTIRE CWA.

MODELS ARE STILL NOT IN AGREEMENT WITH THE SOLUTION FOR THE
SECOND HALF OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. GFS ALONG WITH GEFS CONTINUE
TO BE PROGRESSIVE WITH A COLD FRONT AND IT MOVES IT THROUGH THE
CWA FAIRLY QUICKLY SUN NIGHT AND MON. WHILE THE 00Z EURO HAS SFC
WAVE DEVELOP SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND AND THE FRONT GETS HELD UP OVER
THE REGION WHICH WOULD PROVIDE A SOAKING RAIN WITH A CHANCE OF
RAIN INTO TUESDAY MORNING.

UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL SLOWLY PUSH THROUGH THE REGION TUE -
WED...INSTABILITY WILL ALLOW FOR A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS TO
OCCUR...ESPECIALLY IN THE MOUNTAINS AND TEMPERATURES WILL COOL OFF
ONCE AGAIN. GOOD NEWS IS THAT ALL GUIDANCE IS POINTING AT A BROAD
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER EASTERN CONUS AT THE END OF THE PERIOD
WHICH SHOULD BRING A NICE STRETCH OF WARM AND PLEASANT WEATHER
THAT SHOULD AT LEAST LAST INTO NEXT WEEKEND.


&&

.AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED EXCEPT FOR VALLEY FOR IN THE
EARLY MORNING HOURS CAUSING A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIFR CONDITIONS FOR
HIE AND LEB.

LONG TERM...MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED EXCEPT FOR VALLEY FOG
WHICH WILL BRING LEB AND HIE DOWN TO LIFR CONDITIONS FOR A BRIEF
TIME DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. A PASSING COLD FRONT SUNDAY
INTO MONDAY WILL PRODUCE SHOWERS AND MVFR CONDITIONS WILL BE
POSSIBLE.


&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...NO FLAGS...BUT SOME OFF PERIOD SWELLS COMING IN FROM
EDOUARD COULD BRING SEAS TO NEAR 5 FEET.

LONG TERM...SOUTHWEST FLOW DEVELOPS ON SATURDAY AND LASTS INTO
SUNDAY. CONDITIONS WILL BE CLOSE TO SCA CRITERIA...WITH GUSTS UP
TO 25KTS AND SEAS TO 5 FEET. AFTER SUNDAY...CONDITIONS SHOULD STAY
BELOW SCA CRITERIA.



&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING
     FOR MEZ007>009-012>014.
NH...FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING
     FOR NHZ001>006.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$




000
FXUS61 KGYX 171327
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
927 AM EDT WED SEP 17 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTH TODAY AND WILL PUSH
SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY. THE
FRONT WILL PRODUCE LITTLE IN THE WAY OF RAIN SHOWERS...BUT
TEMPERATURES WILL DROP SHARPLY BEHIND THE FRONT LATE THURSDAY AND
THURSDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST
THURSDAY NIGHT AND WILL CREST OVER THE REGION EARLY FRIDAY BEFORE
SHIFTING OFFSHORE. A WARM FRONT CROSSES THE REGION ON
SATURDAY...PUSHING TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL SUNDAY AND MONDAY.
A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT AND COOLS THINGS BACK
DOWN BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPDATE...
HAVE UPDATED THE GRIDS BASED ON CURRENT CONDITIONS. THE FOG IS
SLOW TO BURN OFF IN THE CT RIVER VALLEY AND SOME OF THE FOOTHILLS
IN MAINE. WILL DELAY IMPROVING CONDITIONS IN THE GRIDS AND TAFS.
HAVE ADJUSTED DEW POINT VALUES UPWARDS FOR THIS MORNING.

MONITORING THE PROGRESSION OF OUR NEXT COLD SHOT. WE ARE
ANTICIPATING FROST AND FREEZE CONDITIONS FOR THE NORTHERN 2/3 OF
OUR FORECAST AREA THURSDAY NIGHT.

PREV DISC...
AREAS OF VALLEY FOG WILL BURN OFF THROUGH MID MORNING
AND THE REGION SHOULD SEE A MOSTLY SUNNY WEDNESDAY. COLD FRONT
DROPPING SOUTH FROM QUEBEC MAY PUSH SOME MID LEVEL CLOUDS INTO
NORTHERN ZONES THIS AFTERNOON BUT NOT LOOKING FOR ANY PRECIP. HIGH
TEMPS WILL RANGE THROUGH THE 60S TO NEAR 70 IN THE SOUTH.
DEVELOPING SEA BREEZE WILL CAP TEMPS AT THE COAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY/...
COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY DROP SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION TONIGHT. NOT
EXPECTING MUCH MORE THAN VARIABLE MID LEVEL CLOUDS FOR MOST
AREAS. CAN`T RULE OUT A SHOWER OR SPRINKLE IN THE MOUNTAINS BUT
THESE SHOULD BE FEW AND FAR BETWEEN. LOW TEMPS WILL RANGE FROM THE
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S NORTH AND IN THE MID 40S TO NEAR 50 SOUTH.`

COLD FRONT SHIFTS OFFSHORE EARLY THURSDAY FOLLOWED BY HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST. MORNING CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY
GIVE WAY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BE ON THE
INCREASE DURING THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. HIGH TEMPS
WILL BE SIMILAR TO TODAY BEFORE DROPPING OFF SHARPLY IN THE LATE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SFC HIGH BUILDS IN THU NIGHT BELOW ZONAL FLOW AT 500MB AND 850MB
TEMPS BETWEEN 0 AND -4C. THIS WILL MAKE FOR A COLD NIGHT...WITH A
GOOD SHOT AT A HARD FREEZE IN THE MTN ZONES...WHERE MINS SHOULD
FALL TO THE UPPER 20S TO AROUND 30. A KILLING FROST IN THE
FOOTHILLS....AND WILL LIKELY SEE SOME FROST ALL THE WAY INTO THE
INLAND COASTAL ZONES....AS MINS WILL BE IN THE 30S. EVEN COASTAL
AREAS COULD SEE SOME READING IN THE UPPER 30S.

THE SFC HIGH SHIFTS EWD ACROSS THE CWA FRI...WHICH WILL ALLOW FOR
WEAK ONSHORE FLOW TO DEVELOP...AND THIS COMBINED WITH COLD AIR
ALOFT WILL KEEP MAX TEMPS MAINLY IN THE 50S ACROSS MOST OF THE
CWA...ALTHOUGH A FEW OF THE WARMER SPOTS COULD MAKE IT TO 60 OR
SO. DESPITE MAINLY SUNNY SKIES...IT WILL STILL BE CHILLY.

WILL START TO SEE SW FLOW DEVELOP FRI NIGHT...AND INTENSIFYPRETTY
GOOD AT THE MID LVLS...WHICH WILL QUICKLY WARM THINGS UP AT
850MB. WILL SEE MORE IN THE WAY OF CLOUDS OVER THE MTNS SATURDAY
AS THE MID-LVL WAA GETS GOING...BUT PRECIP LOOKS TO HOLD OFF UNTIL
SAT NIGHT ASSOCIATED WITH SFC WARM FRONT. HIGHS GET CLOSER TO
NORMAL ON SAT MAINLY IN THE 60S. CLOUDS AND SHOWERS SAT
NIGHT...ESPECIALLY IN THE N WILL KEEP MINS ON THE RELATIVE WARM
SIDE...IN THE 50S. A LITTLE BIT OF WEAK RIDGING BUILDS IN FOR
SUNDAY WITH 850 TEMPS PUSHING 15C IN THE SOUTH. SHOULD BE ENOUGH
TO PUSH TEMPS INTO THE 70S EVERYWHERE...WITH INLAND AREAS IN SW ME
AND SRN NH MAKING A RUN AT 80.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE BEGINS TO WANE AFTER SUNDAY...AS THE GFS
PUSHES A COLD FRONT FAIRLY QUICKLY SUN NIGHT AND MON...WHILE THE
00Z EURO HOLDS IT UP OVER THE AREA AS A POS TILTED 500MB TROUGH TO
THE WEST NEEDS TO WAIT FOR A KICKER...AND THIS WOULD KEEP THE CHC
OF SHRA IN THE REGION RIGHT THRU TUE.

&&

.AVIATION /13Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...IFR/LIFR CEILINGS/VSBY IN MORNING FOG...BECOMING VFR.
AREAS OF IFR/LIFR IN PATCHY FOG TONIGHT. VFR THURSDAY.

LONG TERM...MAINLY VFR THU NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...WITH SOME VLY
FOG POSSIBLE FRI AND SAT NIGHT. SOME SHRA AT KHIE/KLEB POSSIBLE
SAT NIGHT INTO SUNDAY COULD ALSO PRODUCE MVFR AT TIMES.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...NO FLAGS.

LONG TERM...BRIEF BURST OF NW WINDS BEHIND A COLD FRONT COULD
APPROACH SCA CRITERIA LATE THU NIGHT INTO EARLY FRI. SW FLOW PICKS
UP SATURDAY AND MAY NEED SCA LATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY DUE TO
WINDS AND SEAS.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
JC




000
FXUS61 KGYX 171327
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
927 AM EDT WED SEP 17 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTH TODAY AND WILL PUSH
SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY. THE
FRONT WILL PRODUCE LITTLE IN THE WAY OF RAIN SHOWERS...BUT
TEMPERATURES WILL DROP SHARPLY BEHIND THE FRONT LATE THURSDAY AND
THURSDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST
THURSDAY NIGHT AND WILL CREST OVER THE REGION EARLY FRIDAY BEFORE
SHIFTING OFFSHORE. A WARM FRONT CROSSES THE REGION ON
SATURDAY...PUSHING TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL SUNDAY AND MONDAY.
A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT AND COOLS THINGS BACK
DOWN BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPDATE...
HAVE UPDATED THE GRIDS BASED ON CURRENT CONDITIONS. THE FOG IS
SLOW TO BURN OFF IN THE CT RIVER VALLEY AND SOME OF THE FOOTHILLS
IN MAINE. WILL DELAY IMPROVING CONDITIONS IN THE GRIDS AND TAFS.
HAVE ADJUSTED DEW POINT VALUES UPWARDS FOR THIS MORNING.

MONITORING THE PROGRESSION OF OUR NEXT COLD SHOT. WE ARE
ANTICIPATING FROST AND FREEZE CONDITIONS FOR THE NORTHERN 2/3 OF
OUR FORECAST AREA THURSDAY NIGHT.

PREV DISC...
AREAS OF VALLEY FOG WILL BURN OFF THROUGH MID MORNING
AND THE REGION SHOULD SEE A MOSTLY SUNNY WEDNESDAY. COLD FRONT
DROPPING SOUTH FROM QUEBEC MAY PUSH SOME MID LEVEL CLOUDS INTO
NORTHERN ZONES THIS AFTERNOON BUT NOT LOOKING FOR ANY PRECIP. HIGH
TEMPS WILL RANGE THROUGH THE 60S TO NEAR 70 IN THE SOUTH.
DEVELOPING SEA BREEZE WILL CAP TEMPS AT THE COAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY/...
COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY DROP SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION TONIGHT. NOT
EXPECTING MUCH MORE THAN VARIABLE MID LEVEL CLOUDS FOR MOST
AREAS. CAN`T RULE OUT A SHOWER OR SPRINKLE IN THE MOUNTAINS BUT
THESE SHOULD BE FEW AND FAR BETWEEN. LOW TEMPS WILL RANGE FROM THE
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S NORTH AND IN THE MID 40S TO NEAR 50 SOUTH.`

COLD FRONT SHIFTS OFFSHORE EARLY THURSDAY FOLLOWED BY HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST. MORNING CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY
GIVE WAY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BE ON THE
INCREASE DURING THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. HIGH TEMPS
WILL BE SIMILAR TO TODAY BEFORE DROPPING OFF SHARPLY IN THE LATE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SFC HIGH BUILDS IN THU NIGHT BELOW ZONAL FLOW AT 500MB AND 850MB
TEMPS BETWEEN 0 AND -4C. THIS WILL MAKE FOR A COLD NIGHT...WITH A
GOOD SHOT AT A HARD FREEZE IN THE MTN ZONES...WHERE MINS SHOULD
FALL TO THE UPPER 20S TO AROUND 30. A KILLING FROST IN THE
FOOTHILLS....AND WILL LIKELY SEE SOME FROST ALL THE WAY INTO THE
INLAND COASTAL ZONES....AS MINS WILL BE IN THE 30S. EVEN COASTAL
AREAS COULD SEE SOME READING IN THE UPPER 30S.

THE SFC HIGH SHIFTS EWD ACROSS THE CWA FRI...WHICH WILL ALLOW FOR
WEAK ONSHORE FLOW TO DEVELOP...AND THIS COMBINED WITH COLD AIR
ALOFT WILL KEEP MAX TEMPS MAINLY IN THE 50S ACROSS MOST OF THE
CWA...ALTHOUGH A FEW OF THE WARMER SPOTS COULD MAKE IT TO 60 OR
SO. DESPITE MAINLY SUNNY SKIES...IT WILL STILL BE CHILLY.

WILL START TO SEE SW FLOW DEVELOP FRI NIGHT...AND INTENSIFYPRETTY
GOOD AT THE MID LVLS...WHICH WILL QUICKLY WARM THINGS UP AT
850MB. WILL SEE MORE IN THE WAY OF CLOUDS OVER THE MTNS SATURDAY
AS THE MID-LVL WAA GETS GOING...BUT PRECIP LOOKS TO HOLD OFF UNTIL
SAT NIGHT ASSOCIATED WITH SFC WARM FRONT. HIGHS GET CLOSER TO
NORMAL ON SAT MAINLY IN THE 60S. CLOUDS AND SHOWERS SAT
NIGHT...ESPECIALLY IN THE N WILL KEEP MINS ON THE RELATIVE WARM
SIDE...IN THE 50S. A LITTLE BIT OF WEAK RIDGING BUILDS IN FOR
SUNDAY WITH 850 TEMPS PUSHING 15C IN THE SOUTH. SHOULD BE ENOUGH
TO PUSH TEMPS INTO THE 70S EVERYWHERE...WITH INLAND AREAS IN SW ME
AND SRN NH MAKING A RUN AT 80.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE BEGINS TO WANE AFTER SUNDAY...AS THE GFS
PUSHES A COLD FRONT FAIRLY QUICKLY SUN NIGHT AND MON...WHILE THE
00Z EURO HOLDS IT UP OVER THE AREA AS A POS TILTED 500MB TROUGH TO
THE WEST NEEDS TO WAIT FOR A KICKER...AND THIS WOULD KEEP THE CHC
OF SHRA IN THE REGION RIGHT THRU TUE.

&&

.AVIATION /13Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...IFR/LIFR CEILINGS/VSBY IN MORNING FOG...BECOMING VFR.
AREAS OF IFR/LIFR IN PATCHY FOG TONIGHT. VFR THURSDAY.

LONG TERM...MAINLY VFR THU NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...WITH SOME VLY
FOG POSSIBLE FRI AND SAT NIGHT. SOME SHRA AT KHIE/KLEB POSSIBLE
SAT NIGHT INTO SUNDAY COULD ALSO PRODUCE MVFR AT TIMES.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...NO FLAGS.

LONG TERM...BRIEF BURST OF NW WINDS BEHIND A COLD FRONT COULD
APPROACH SCA CRITERIA LATE THU NIGHT INTO EARLY FRI. SW FLOW PICKS
UP SATURDAY AND MAY NEED SCA LATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY DUE TO
WINDS AND SEAS.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
JC





000
FXUS61 KGYX 170724
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
324 AM EDT WED SEP 17 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTH TODAY AND WILL PUSH
SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY. THE
FRONT WILL PRODUCE LITTLE IN THE WAY OF RAIN SHOWERS...BUT
TEMPERATURES WILL DROP SHARPLY BEHIND THE FRONT LATE THURSDAY AND
THURSDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST
THURSDAY NIGHT AND WILL CREST OVER THE REGION EARLY FRIDAY BEFORE
SHIFTING OFFSHORE. A WARM FRONT CROSSES THE REGION ON
SATURDAY...PUSHING TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL SUNDAY AND MONDAY.
A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT AND COOLS THINGS BACK
DOWN BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
AREAS OF VALLEY FOG WILL BURN OFF THROUGH MID MORNING AND THE
REGION SHOULD SEE A MOSTLY SUNNY WEDNESDAY. COLD FRONT DROPPING
SOUTH FROM QUEBEC MAY PUSH SOME MID LEVEL CLOUDS INTO NORTHERN
ZONES THIS AFTERNOON BUT NOT LOOKING FOR ANY PRECIP. HIGH TEMPS
WILL RANGE THROUGH THE 60S TO NEAR 70 IN THE SOUTH. DEVELOPING SEA
BREEZE WILL CAP TEMPS AT THE COAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY DROP SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION TONIGHT. NOT
EXPECTING MUCH MORE THAN VARIABLE MID LEVEL CLOUDS FOR MOST
AREAS. CAN`T RULE OUT A SHOWER OR SPRINKLE IN THE MOUNTAINS BUT
THESE SHOULD BE FEW AND FAR BETWEEN. LOW TEMPS WILL RANGE FROM THE
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S NORTH AND IN THE MID 40S TO NEAR 50 SOUTH.`

COLD FRONT SHIFTS OFFSHORE EARLY THURSDAY FOLLOWED BY HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST. MORNING CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY
GIVE WAY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BE ON THE
INCREASE DURING THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. HIGH TEMPS
WILL BE SIMILAR TO TODAY BEFORE DROPPING OFF SHARPLY IN THE LATE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SFC HIGH BUILDS IN THU NIGHT BELOW ZONAL FLOW AT 500MB AND 850MB
TEMPS BETWEEN 0 AND -4C. THIS WILL MAKE FOR A COLD NIGHT...WITH A
GOOD SHOT AT A HARD FREEZE IN THE MTN ZONES...WHERE MINS SHOULD
FALL TO THE UPPER 20S TO AROUND 30. A KILLING FROST IN THE
FOOTHILLS....AND WILL LIKELY SEE SOME FROST ALL THE WAY INTO THE
INLAND COASTAL ZONES....AS MINS WILL BE IN THE 30S. EVEN COASTAL
AREAS COULD SEE SOME READING IN THE UPPER 30S.

THE SFC HIGH SHIFTS EWD ACROSS THE CWA FRI...WHICH WILL ALLOW FOR
WEAK ONSHORE FLOW TO DEVELOP...AND THIS COMBINED WITH COLD AIR
ALOFT WILL KEEP MAX TEMPS MAINLY IN THE 50S ACROSS MOST OF THE
CWA...ALTHOUGH A FEW OF THE WARMER SPOTS COULD MAKE IT TO 60 OR
SO. DESPITE MAINLY SUNNY SKIES...IT WILL STILL BE CHILLY.

WILL START TO SEE SW FLOW DEVELOP FRI NIGHT...AND INTENSIFYPRETTY
GOOD AT THE MID LVLS...WHICH WILL QUICKLY WARM THINGS UP AT
850MB. WILL SEE MORE IN THE WAY OF CLOUDS OVER THE MTNS SATURDAY
AS THE MID-LVL WAA GETS GOING...BUT PRECIP LOOKS TO HOLD OFF UNTIL
SAT NIGHT ASSOCIATED WITH SFC WARM FRONT. HIGHS GET CLOSER TO
NORMAL ON SAT MAINLY IN THE 60S. CLOUDS AND SHOWERS SAT
NIGHT...ESPECIALLY IN THE N WILL KEEP MINS ON THE RELATIVE WARM
SIDE...IN THE 50S. A LITTLE BIT OF WEAK RIDGING BUILDS IN FOR
SUNDAY WITH 850 TEMPS PUSHING 15C IN THE SOUTH. SHOULD BE ENOUGH
TO PUSH TEMPS INTO THE 70S EVERYWHERE...WITH INLAND AREAS IN SW ME
AND SRN NH MAKING A RUN AT 80.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE BEGINS TO WANE AFTER SUNDAY...AS THE GFS
PUSHES A COLD FRONT FAIRLY QUICKLY SUN NIGHT AND MON...WHILE THE
00Z EURO HOLDS IT UP OVER THE AREA AS A POS TILTED 500MB TROUGH TO
THE WEST NEEDS TO WAIT FOR A KICKER...AND THIS WOULD KEEP THE CHC
OF SHRA IN THE REGION RIGHT THRU TUE.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...IFR/LIFR CEILINGS/VSBY IN MORNING FOG...BECOMING VFR.
AREAS OF IFR/LIFR IN PATCHY FOG TONIGHT. VFR THURSDAY.

LONG TERM...MAINLY VFR THU NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...WITH SOME VLY
FOG POSSIBLE FRI AND SAT NIGHT. SOME SHRA AT KHIE/KLEB POSSIBLE
SAT NIGHT INTO SUNDAY COULD ALSO PRODUCE MVFR AT TIMES.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...NO FLAGS.

LONG TERM...BRIEF BURST OF NW WINDS BEHIND A COLD FRONT COULD
APPROACH SCA CRITERIA LATE THU NIGHT INTO EARLY FRI. SW FLOW PICKS
UP SATURDAY AND MAY NEED SCA LATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY DUE TO
WINDS AND SEAS.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$





000
FXUS61 KGYX 170724
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
324 AM EDT WED SEP 17 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTH TODAY AND WILL PUSH
SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY. THE
FRONT WILL PRODUCE LITTLE IN THE WAY OF RAIN SHOWERS...BUT
TEMPERATURES WILL DROP SHARPLY BEHIND THE FRONT LATE THURSDAY AND
THURSDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST
THURSDAY NIGHT AND WILL CREST OVER THE REGION EARLY FRIDAY BEFORE
SHIFTING OFFSHORE. A WARM FRONT CROSSES THE REGION ON
SATURDAY...PUSHING TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL SUNDAY AND MONDAY.
A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT AND COOLS THINGS BACK
DOWN BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
AREAS OF VALLEY FOG WILL BURN OFF THROUGH MID MORNING AND THE
REGION SHOULD SEE A MOSTLY SUNNY WEDNESDAY. COLD FRONT DROPPING
SOUTH FROM QUEBEC MAY PUSH SOME MID LEVEL CLOUDS INTO NORTHERN
ZONES THIS AFTERNOON BUT NOT LOOKING FOR ANY PRECIP. HIGH TEMPS
WILL RANGE THROUGH THE 60S TO NEAR 70 IN THE SOUTH. DEVELOPING SEA
BREEZE WILL CAP TEMPS AT THE COAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY DROP SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION TONIGHT. NOT
EXPECTING MUCH MORE THAN VARIABLE MID LEVEL CLOUDS FOR MOST
AREAS. CAN`T RULE OUT A SHOWER OR SPRINKLE IN THE MOUNTAINS BUT
THESE SHOULD BE FEW AND FAR BETWEEN. LOW TEMPS WILL RANGE FROM THE
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S NORTH AND IN THE MID 40S TO NEAR 50 SOUTH.`

COLD FRONT SHIFTS OFFSHORE EARLY THURSDAY FOLLOWED BY HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST. MORNING CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY
GIVE WAY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BE ON THE
INCREASE DURING THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. HIGH TEMPS
WILL BE SIMILAR TO TODAY BEFORE DROPPING OFF SHARPLY IN THE LATE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SFC HIGH BUILDS IN THU NIGHT BELOW ZONAL FLOW AT 500MB AND 850MB
TEMPS BETWEEN 0 AND -4C. THIS WILL MAKE FOR A COLD NIGHT...WITH A
GOOD SHOT AT A HARD FREEZE IN THE MTN ZONES...WHERE MINS SHOULD
FALL TO THE UPPER 20S TO AROUND 30. A KILLING FROST IN THE
FOOTHILLS....AND WILL LIKELY SEE SOME FROST ALL THE WAY INTO THE
INLAND COASTAL ZONES....AS MINS WILL BE IN THE 30S. EVEN COASTAL
AREAS COULD SEE SOME READING IN THE UPPER 30S.

THE SFC HIGH SHIFTS EWD ACROSS THE CWA FRI...WHICH WILL ALLOW FOR
WEAK ONSHORE FLOW TO DEVELOP...AND THIS COMBINED WITH COLD AIR
ALOFT WILL KEEP MAX TEMPS MAINLY IN THE 50S ACROSS MOST OF THE
CWA...ALTHOUGH A FEW OF THE WARMER SPOTS COULD MAKE IT TO 60 OR
SO. DESPITE MAINLY SUNNY SKIES...IT WILL STILL BE CHILLY.

WILL START TO SEE SW FLOW DEVELOP FRI NIGHT...AND INTENSIFYPRETTY
GOOD AT THE MID LVLS...WHICH WILL QUICKLY WARM THINGS UP AT
850MB. WILL SEE MORE IN THE WAY OF CLOUDS OVER THE MTNS SATURDAY
AS THE MID-LVL WAA GETS GOING...BUT PRECIP LOOKS TO HOLD OFF UNTIL
SAT NIGHT ASSOCIATED WITH SFC WARM FRONT. HIGHS GET CLOSER TO
NORMAL ON SAT MAINLY IN THE 60S. CLOUDS AND SHOWERS SAT
NIGHT...ESPECIALLY IN THE N WILL KEEP MINS ON THE RELATIVE WARM
SIDE...IN THE 50S. A LITTLE BIT OF WEAK RIDGING BUILDS IN FOR
SUNDAY WITH 850 TEMPS PUSHING 15C IN THE SOUTH. SHOULD BE ENOUGH
TO PUSH TEMPS INTO THE 70S EVERYWHERE...WITH INLAND AREAS IN SW ME
AND SRN NH MAKING A RUN AT 80.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE BEGINS TO WANE AFTER SUNDAY...AS THE GFS
PUSHES A COLD FRONT FAIRLY QUICKLY SUN NIGHT AND MON...WHILE THE
00Z EURO HOLDS IT UP OVER THE AREA AS A POS TILTED 500MB TROUGH TO
THE WEST NEEDS TO WAIT FOR A KICKER...AND THIS WOULD KEEP THE CHC
OF SHRA IN THE REGION RIGHT THRU TUE.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...IFR/LIFR CEILINGS/VSBY IN MORNING FOG...BECOMING VFR.
AREAS OF IFR/LIFR IN PATCHY FOG TONIGHT. VFR THURSDAY.

LONG TERM...MAINLY VFR THU NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...WITH SOME VLY
FOG POSSIBLE FRI AND SAT NIGHT. SOME SHRA AT KHIE/KLEB POSSIBLE
SAT NIGHT INTO SUNDAY COULD ALSO PRODUCE MVFR AT TIMES.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...NO FLAGS.

LONG TERM...BRIEF BURST OF NW WINDS BEHIND A COLD FRONT COULD
APPROACH SCA CRITERIA LATE THU NIGHT INTO EARLY FRI. SW FLOW PICKS
UP SATURDAY AND MAY NEED SCA LATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY DUE TO
WINDS AND SEAS.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$




000
FXUS61 KGYX 170148
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
948 PM EDT TUE SEP 16 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL PUSH OFFSHORE TONIGHT. A STRONGER SECONDARY
COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTH AND CROSS THE WATERS LATE
WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THURSDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE FRIDAY NIGHT AND
WILL HOLD OFF THE COAST THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
945 PM UPDATE: SKIES HAVE BECOME MOSTLY CLEAR ATTM AND TEMPS
DROPPING INTO THE FCST RANGE. PATCHY FOG ALSO BEGINNING TO
DEVELOP.  NO CHANGES NEEDED ATTM.

735 PM UPDATE: ONLY MINOR TWEAKS TO CLOUD COVER AND TEMPS BASED ON
CURRENT CONDITIONS OTRW NO OTHER CHANGES ATTM.

PREV DISC: SKIES WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY BEGIN TO CLEAR ACROSS
THE REGION THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. WITH CLEAR SKIES...LIGHT
WINDS AND MOISTURE FROM TODAYS RAINS...EXPECT AREAS OF FOG TO
DEVELOP TONIGHT ACROSS THE INTERIOR SHELTERED VALLEYS. THIS WILL
PREVENT ANY FROST WITH MINIMUM TEMPERATURES HOLDING INTO THE UPPER
30S IN THE MOUNTAINS WITH 40S ELSEWHERE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
MORE SUNSHINE WILL BE ON TAP FOR WEDNESDAY AS A RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE ENTERS NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND. THERE WILL BE A WEAK WEATHER
DISTURBANCE APPROACHING FAR NORTHERN MAINE LATE IN THE DAY. THIS
MAY BRING SOME CLOUDINESS TO THE NORTHERN MOUNTAIN AREAS.

BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...EXPECT MORE PATCHY FOG TO DEVELOP. WE WILL BE
INTRODUCING SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR THE FAR NORTHERN AREAS WITH THE
APPROACH AND EVENTUAL PASSAGE OF ANOTHER COLD FRONT. THIS WILL SET
THE STAGE FOR ONE OF THE COLDEST PERIODS THIS SEPTEMBER IN THE
LONG TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THE EARLY PART OF THE EXTENDED WILL BE DOMINATED BY THE STRONG
COLD FNT HEADED THRU THE REGION ON THU. AHEAD OF THE FNT SW FLOW
AND SOME COMPRESSIONAL WARMING WILL BUMP HIGHS UP INTO THE 60S FOR
THE COASTAL PLAIN. COLD AIR WILL LIKELY SNEAK INTO THE NRN ZONES
BEFORE SUNRISE...SO HIGHS SHOULD OCCUR EARLY IN THE DAY. THIS NRN
STREAM SYSTEM WILL BE MOISTURE STARVED...SO DO NOT EXPECT MUCH IN
THE WAY OF PCPN. THE COOL NW FLOW OVER THE TERRAIN WILL BE THE
GREATEST SOURCE OF SHOWERS...BUT EVEN THEN ONLY SCHC TO CHC POP.

CAA CONTINUES FIRST HALF OF THU NIGHT BEFORE HIGH PRES SETTLES
OVERHEAD. CLEAR AND CALM PRIOR TO SUNRISE WILL SUPPORT IDEAL
RADIATIONAL COOLING. H8 TEMPS ALOFT NEAR -2C IN THE N TO 0C IN THE
S WILL SUPPORT WIDESPREAD 30S DOWN TO MID 20S IN SHELTERED NRN
VALLEYS. FOR MUCH OF THE NRN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS WILL
BRING AN END TO THE GROWING SEASON. HIGH CENTERED OVERHEAD FRI
WILL INHIBIT MIXING...DESPITE FULL SUNSHINE. AS A RESULT HIGH
TEMPS WILL STRUGGLE INTO THE UPPER 50S. THE RECORD COLD HIGH TEMP
FOR KPWM ON FRI IS 58...SO THIS IS A VERY CHILLY AIR MASS FOR THIS
TIME OF YEAR.

WARMTH IS QUICK TO FOLLOW HOWEVER...WITH HIGH PRES SLIDING
OFFSHORE AND RETURN FLOW DEVELOPING. THIS WILL BRING TEMPS BACK TO
SEASONABLE...AND POSSIBLY EVEN MILDER THAN NORMAL BY SUN
AFTERNOON. THIS WILL BRING ANOTHER CHANCE AT RAIN HOWEVER...AS
LOW PRES MOVING THRU CANADA DRAGS A COLD FNT ACROSS NEW ENGLAND
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...AREAS OF FOG DEVELOPING WITH CLEARING SKIES TONIGHT.
LIFR CONDITIONS OVER MANY INLAND AREAS...ESPECIALLY IN SHELTERED
VALLEYS. CONDITIONS IMPROVING TOMORROW WITH PATCHY FOG
REDEVELOPING WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

LONG TERM...VFR PREVAILS THRU SAT AS HIGH PRES REMAINS IN
CONTROL. DIGGING TROF OVER THE WEEKEND WILL EVENTUAL PUSH A WARM
FNT FOLLOWED BY A COLD FNT THRU THE REGION. EXPECT A PERIOD OF
SHOWERS AND MVFR OR LOWER CONDITIONS WITH THESE FEATURES.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...MODELS APPEAR TO BE OVERFORECASTING SWELL HEIGHTS
FROM HURRICANE EDOUARD. HAVE COLLABORATED WITH ADJACENT OFFICES.
WILL NOT BE ISSUING SCAS FOR SEAS AT THIS TIME. SWELLS SHOULD
EVENTUALLY BUILD LATER ON WEDNESDAY.

LONG TERM...SCA WINDS AND SEAS ARE POSSIBLE THU BEHIND COLD FNT.
DID UNDERCUT MODEL WIND SPEEDS OVER THE WATERS FOR THE LATE
WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK...AS THEY TYPICALLY OVERFORECAST SW
FLOW. HOWEVER...SUSTAINED SLY FLOW WILL GRADUALLY BUILD SEAS INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$





000
FXUS61 KGYX 170148
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
948 PM EDT TUE SEP 16 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL PUSH OFFSHORE TONIGHT. A STRONGER SECONDARY
COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTH AND CROSS THE WATERS LATE
WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THURSDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE FRIDAY NIGHT AND
WILL HOLD OFF THE COAST THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
945 PM UPDATE: SKIES HAVE BECOME MOSTLY CLEAR ATTM AND TEMPS
DROPPING INTO THE FCST RANGE. PATCHY FOG ALSO BEGINNING TO
DEVELOP.  NO CHANGES NEEDED ATTM.

735 PM UPDATE: ONLY MINOR TWEAKS TO CLOUD COVER AND TEMPS BASED ON
CURRENT CONDITIONS OTRW NO OTHER CHANGES ATTM.

PREV DISC: SKIES WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY BEGIN TO CLEAR ACROSS
THE REGION THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. WITH CLEAR SKIES...LIGHT
WINDS AND MOISTURE FROM TODAYS RAINS...EXPECT AREAS OF FOG TO
DEVELOP TONIGHT ACROSS THE INTERIOR SHELTERED VALLEYS. THIS WILL
PREVENT ANY FROST WITH MINIMUM TEMPERATURES HOLDING INTO THE UPPER
30S IN THE MOUNTAINS WITH 40S ELSEWHERE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
MORE SUNSHINE WILL BE ON TAP FOR WEDNESDAY AS A RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE ENTERS NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND. THERE WILL BE A WEAK WEATHER
DISTURBANCE APPROACHING FAR NORTHERN MAINE LATE IN THE DAY. THIS
MAY BRING SOME CLOUDINESS TO THE NORTHERN MOUNTAIN AREAS.

BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...EXPECT MORE PATCHY FOG TO DEVELOP. WE WILL BE
INTRODUCING SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR THE FAR NORTHERN AREAS WITH THE
APPROACH AND EVENTUAL PASSAGE OF ANOTHER COLD FRONT. THIS WILL SET
THE STAGE FOR ONE OF THE COLDEST PERIODS THIS SEPTEMBER IN THE
LONG TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THE EARLY PART OF THE EXTENDED WILL BE DOMINATED BY THE STRONG
COLD FNT HEADED THRU THE REGION ON THU. AHEAD OF THE FNT SW FLOW
AND SOME COMPRESSIONAL WARMING WILL BUMP HIGHS UP INTO THE 60S FOR
THE COASTAL PLAIN. COLD AIR WILL LIKELY SNEAK INTO THE NRN ZONES
BEFORE SUNRISE...SO HIGHS SHOULD OCCUR EARLY IN THE DAY. THIS NRN
STREAM SYSTEM WILL BE MOISTURE STARVED...SO DO NOT EXPECT MUCH IN
THE WAY OF PCPN. THE COOL NW FLOW OVER THE TERRAIN WILL BE THE
GREATEST SOURCE OF SHOWERS...BUT EVEN THEN ONLY SCHC TO CHC POP.

CAA CONTINUES FIRST HALF OF THU NIGHT BEFORE HIGH PRES SETTLES
OVERHEAD. CLEAR AND CALM PRIOR TO SUNRISE WILL SUPPORT IDEAL
RADIATIONAL COOLING. H8 TEMPS ALOFT NEAR -2C IN THE N TO 0C IN THE
S WILL SUPPORT WIDESPREAD 30S DOWN TO MID 20S IN SHELTERED NRN
VALLEYS. FOR MUCH OF THE NRN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS WILL
BRING AN END TO THE GROWING SEASON. HIGH CENTERED OVERHEAD FRI
WILL INHIBIT MIXING...DESPITE FULL SUNSHINE. AS A RESULT HIGH
TEMPS WILL STRUGGLE INTO THE UPPER 50S. THE RECORD COLD HIGH TEMP
FOR KPWM ON FRI IS 58...SO THIS IS A VERY CHILLY AIR MASS FOR THIS
TIME OF YEAR.

WARMTH IS QUICK TO FOLLOW HOWEVER...WITH HIGH PRES SLIDING
OFFSHORE AND RETURN FLOW DEVELOPING. THIS WILL BRING TEMPS BACK TO
SEASONABLE...AND POSSIBLY EVEN MILDER THAN NORMAL BY SUN
AFTERNOON. THIS WILL BRING ANOTHER CHANCE AT RAIN HOWEVER...AS
LOW PRES MOVING THRU CANADA DRAGS A COLD FNT ACROSS NEW ENGLAND
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...AREAS OF FOG DEVELOPING WITH CLEARING SKIES TONIGHT.
LIFR CONDITIONS OVER MANY INLAND AREAS...ESPECIALLY IN SHELTERED
VALLEYS. CONDITIONS IMPROVING TOMORROW WITH PATCHY FOG
REDEVELOPING WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

LONG TERM...VFR PREVAILS THRU SAT AS HIGH PRES REMAINS IN
CONTROL. DIGGING TROF OVER THE WEEKEND WILL EVENTUAL PUSH A WARM
FNT FOLLOWED BY A COLD FNT THRU THE REGION. EXPECT A PERIOD OF
SHOWERS AND MVFR OR LOWER CONDITIONS WITH THESE FEATURES.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...MODELS APPEAR TO BE OVERFORECASTING SWELL HEIGHTS
FROM HURRICANE EDOUARD. HAVE COLLABORATED WITH ADJACENT OFFICES.
WILL NOT BE ISSUING SCAS FOR SEAS AT THIS TIME. SWELLS SHOULD
EVENTUALLY BUILD LATER ON WEDNESDAY.

LONG TERM...SCA WINDS AND SEAS ARE POSSIBLE THU BEHIND COLD FNT.
DID UNDERCUT MODEL WIND SPEEDS OVER THE WATERS FOR THE LATE
WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK...AS THEY TYPICALLY OVERFORECAST SW
FLOW. HOWEVER...SUSTAINED SLY FLOW WILL GRADUALLY BUILD SEAS INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$






000
FXUS61 KGYX 162338
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
738 PM EDT TUE SEP 16 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL PUSH OFFSHORE TONIGHT. A STRONGER SECONDARY
COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTH AND CROSS THE WATERS LATE
WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THURSDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE FRIDAY NIGHT AND
WILL HOLD OFF THE COAST THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
735 PM UPDATE: ONLY MINOR TWEAKS TO CLOUD COVER AND TEMPS BASED ON
CURRENT CONDITIONS OTRW NO OTHER CHANGES ATTM.

PREV DISC: SKIES WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY BEGIN TO CLEAR ACROSS
THE REGION THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. WITH CLEAR SKIES...LIGHT
WINDS AND MOISTURE FROM TODAYS RAINS...EXPECT AREAS OF FOG TO
DEVELOP TONIGHT ACROSS THE INTERIOR SHELTERED VALLEYS. THIS WILL
PREVENT ANY FROST WITH MINIMUM TEMPERATURES HOLDING INTO THE UPPER
30S IN THE MOUNTAINS WITH 40S ELSEWHERE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
MORE SUNSHINE WILL BE ON TAP FOR WEDNESDAY AS A RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE ENTERS NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND. THERE WILL BE A WEAK WEATHER
DISTURBANCE APPROACHING FAR NORTHERN MAINE LATE IN THE DAY. THIS
MAY BRING SOME CLOUDINESS TO THE NORTHERN MOUNTAIN AREAS.

BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...EXPECT MORE PATCHY FOG TO DEVELOP. WE WILL BE
INTRODUCING SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR THE FAR NORTHERN AREAS WITH THE
APPROACH AND EVENTUAL PASSAGE OF ANOTHER COLD FRONT. THIS WILL SET
THE STAGE FOR ONE OF THE COLDEST PERIODS THIS SEPTEMBER IN THE
LONG TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THE EARLY PART OF THE EXTENDED WILL BE DOMINATED BY THE STRONG
COLD FNT HEADED THRU THE REGION ON THU. AHEAD OF THE FNT SW FLOW
AND SOME COMPRESSIONAL WARMING WILL BUMP HIGHS UP INTO THE 60S FOR
THE COASTAL PLAIN. COLD AIR WILL LIKELY SNEAK INTO THE NRN ZONES
BEFORE SUNRISE...SO HIGHS SHOULD OCCUR EARLY IN THE DAY. THIS NRN
STREAM SYSTEM WILL BE MOISTURE STARVED...SO DO NOT EXPECT MUCH IN
THE WAY OF PCPN. THE COOL NW FLOW OVER THE TERRAIN WILL BE THE
GREATEST SOURCE OF SHOWERS...BUT EVEN THEN ONLY SCHC TO CHC POP.

CAA CONTINUES FIRST HALF OF THU NIGHT BEFORE HIGH PRES SETTLES
OVERHEAD. CLEAR AND CALM PRIOR TO SUNRISE WILL SUPPORT IDEAL
RADIATIONAL COOLING. H8 TEMPS ALOFT NEAR -2C IN THE N TO 0C IN THE
S WILL SUPPORT WIDESPREAD 30S DOWN TO MID 20S IN SHELTERED NRN
VALLEYS. FOR MUCH OF THE NRN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS WILL
BRING AN END TO THE GROWING SEASON. HIGH CENTERED OVERHEAD FRI
WILL INHIBIT MIXING...DESPITE FULL SUNSHINE. AS A RESULT HIGH
TEMPS WILL STRUGGLE INTO THE UPPER 50S. THE RECORD COLD HIGH TEMP
FOR KPWM ON FRI IS 58...SO THIS IS A VERY CHILLY AIR MASS FOR THIS
TIME OF YEAR.

WARMTH IS QUICK TO FOLLOW HOWEVER...WITH HIGH PRES SLIDING
OFFSHORE AND RETURN FLOW DEVELOPING. THIS WILL BRING TEMPS BACK TO
SEASONABLE...AND POSSIBLY EVEN MILDER THAN NORMAL BY SUN
AFTERNOON. THIS WILL BRING ANOTHER CHANCE AT RAIN HOWEVER...AS
LOW PRES MOVING THRU CANADA DRAGS A COLD FNT ACROSS NEW ENGLAND
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...AREAS OF FOG DEVELOPING WITH CLEARING SKIES TONIGHT.
LIFR CONDITIONS OVER MANY INLAND AREAS...ESPECIALLY IN SHELTERED
VALLEYS. CONDITIONS IMPROVING TOMORROW WITH PATCHY FOG
REDEVELOPING WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

LONG TERM...VFR PREVAILS THRU SAT AS HIGH PRES REMAINS IN
CONTROL. DIGGING TROF OVER THE WEEKEND WILL EVENTUAL PUSH A WARM
FNT FOLLOWED BY A COLD FNT THRU THE REGION. EXPECT A PERIOD OF
SHOWERS AND MVFR OR LOWER CONDITIONS WITH THESE FEATURES.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...MODELS APPEAR TO BE OVERFORECASTING SWELL HEIGHTS
FROM HURRICANE EDOUARD. HAVE COLLABORATED WITH ADJACENT OFFICES.
WILL NOT BE ISSUING SCAS FOR SEAS AT THIS TIME. SWELLS SHOULD
EVENTUALLY BUILD LATER ON WEDNESDAY.

LONG TERM...SCA WINDS AND SEAS ARE POSSIBLE THU BEHIND COLD FNT.
DID UNDERCUT MODEL WIND SPEEDS OVER THE WATERS FOR THE LATE
WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK...AS THEY TYPICALLY OVERFORECAST SW
FLOW. HOWEVER...SUSTAINED SLY FLOW WILL GRADUALLY BUILD SEAS INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$





000
FXUS61 KGYX 162338
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
738 PM EDT TUE SEP 16 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL PUSH OFFSHORE TONIGHT. A STRONGER SECONDARY
COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTH AND CROSS THE WATERS LATE
WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THURSDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE FRIDAY NIGHT AND
WILL HOLD OFF THE COAST THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
735 PM UPDATE: ONLY MINOR TWEAKS TO CLOUD COVER AND TEMPS BASED ON
CURRENT CONDITIONS OTRW NO OTHER CHANGES ATTM.

PREV DISC: SKIES WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY BEGIN TO CLEAR ACROSS
THE REGION THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. WITH CLEAR SKIES...LIGHT
WINDS AND MOISTURE FROM TODAYS RAINS...EXPECT AREAS OF FOG TO
DEVELOP TONIGHT ACROSS THE INTERIOR SHELTERED VALLEYS. THIS WILL
PREVENT ANY FROST WITH MINIMUM TEMPERATURES HOLDING INTO THE UPPER
30S IN THE MOUNTAINS WITH 40S ELSEWHERE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
MORE SUNSHINE WILL BE ON TAP FOR WEDNESDAY AS A RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE ENTERS NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND. THERE WILL BE A WEAK WEATHER
DISTURBANCE APPROACHING FAR NORTHERN MAINE LATE IN THE DAY. THIS
MAY BRING SOME CLOUDINESS TO THE NORTHERN MOUNTAIN AREAS.

BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...EXPECT MORE PATCHY FOG TO DEVELOP. WE WILL BE
INTRODUCING SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR THE FAR NORTHERN AREAS WITH THE
APPROACH AND EVENTUAL PASSAGE OF ANOTHER COLD FRONT. THIS WILL SET
THE STAGE FOR ONE OF THE COLDEST PERIODS THIS SEPTEMBER IN THE
LONG TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THE EARLY PART OF THE EXTENDED WILL BE DOMINATED BY THE STRONG
COLD FNT HEADED THRU THE REGION ON THU. AHEAD OF THE FNT SW FLOW
AND SOME COMPRESSIONAL WARMING WILL BUMP HIGHS UP INTO THE 60S FOR
THE COASTAL PLAIN. COLD AIR WILL LIKELY SNEAK INTO THE NRN ZONES
BEFORE SUNRISE...SO HIGHS SHOULD OCCUR EARLY IN THE DAY. THIS NRN
STREAM SYSTEM WILL BE MOISTURE STARVED...SO DO NOT EXPECT MUCH IN
THE WAY OF PCPN. THE COOL NW FLOW OVER THE TERRAIN WILL BE THE
GREATEST SOURCE OF SHOWERS...BUT EVEN THEN ONLY SCHC TO CHC POP.

CAA CONTINUES FIRST HALF OF THU NIGHT BEFORE HIGH PRES SETTLES
OVERHEAD. CLEAR AND CALM PRIOR TO SUNRISE WILL SUPPORT IDEAL
RADIATIONAL COOLING. H8 TEMPS ALOFT NEAR -2C IN THE N TO 0C IN THE
S WILL SUPPORT WIDESPREAD 30S DOWN TO MID 20S IN SHELTERED NRN
VALLEYS. FOR MUCH OF THE NRN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS WILL
BRING AN END TO THE GROWING SEASON. HIGH CENTERED OVERHEAD FRI
WILL INHIBIT MIXING...DESPITE FULL SUNSHINE. AS A RESULT HIGH
TEMPS WILL STRUGGLE INTO THE UPPER 50S. THE RECORD COLD HIGH TEMP
FOR KPWM ON FRI IS 58...SO THIS IS A VERY CHILLY AIR MASS FOR THIS
TIME OF YEAR.

WARMTH IS QUICK TO FOLLOW HOWEVER...WITH HIGH PRES SLIDING
OFFSHORE AND RETURN FLOW DEVELOPING. THIS WILL BRING TEMPS BACK TO
SEASONABLE...AND POSSIBLY EVEN MILDER THAN NORMAL BY SUN
AFTERNOON. THIS WILL BRING ANOTHER CHANCE AT RAIN HOWEVER...AS
LOW PRES MOVING THRU CANADA DRAGS A COLD FNT ACROSS NEW ENGLAND
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...AREAS OF FOG DEVELOPING WITH CLEARING SKIES TONIGHT.
LIFR CONDITIONS OVER MANY INLAND AREAS...ESPECIALLY IN SHELTERED
VALLEYS. CONDITIONS IMPROVING TOMORROW WITH PATCHY FOG
REDEVELOPING WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

LONG TERM...VFR PREVAILS THRU SAT AS HIGH PRES REMAINS IN
CONTROL. DIGGING TROF OVER THE WEEKEND WILL EVENTUAL PUSH A WARM
FNT FOLLOWED BY A COLD FNT THRU THE REGION. EXPECT A PERIOD OF
SHOWERS AND MVFR OR LOWER CONDITIONS WITH THESE FEATURES.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...MODELS APPEAR TO BE OVERFORECASTING SWELL HEIGHTS
FROM HURRICANE EDOUARD. HAVE COLLABORATED WITH ADJACENT OFFICES.
WILL NOT BE ISSUING SCAS FOR SEAS AT THIS TIME. SWELLS SHOULD
EVENTUALLY BUILD LATER ON WEDNESDAY.

LONG TERM...SCA WINDS AND SEAS ARE POSSIBLE THU BEHIND COLD FNT.
DID UNDERCUT MODEL WIND SPEEDS OVER THE WATERS FOR THE LATE
WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK...AS THEY TYPICALLY OVERFORECAST SW
FLOW. HOWEVER...SUSTAINED SLY FLOW WILL GRADUALLY BUILD SEAS INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$






000
FXUS61 KGYX 161909
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
309 PM EDT TUE SEP 16 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL PUSH OFFSHORE TONIGHT. A STRONGER SECONDARY
COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTH AND CROSS THE WATERS LATE
WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THURSDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE FRIDAY NIGHT AND
WILL HOLD OFF THE COAST THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
SKIES WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY BEGIN TO CLEAR ACROSS THE REGION
THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. WITH CLEAR SKIES...LIGHT WINDS AND
MOISTURE FROM TODAYS RAINS...EXPECT AREAS OF FOG TO DEVELOP
TONIGHT ACROSS THE INTERIOR SHELTERED VALLEYS. THIS WILL PREVENT
ANY FROST WITH MINIMUM TEMPERATURES HOLDING INTO THE UPPER 30S IN
THE MOUNTAINS WITH 40S ELSEWHERE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
MORE SUNSHINE WILL BE ON TAP FOR WEDNESDAY AS A RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE ENTERS NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND. THERE WILL BE A WEAK WEATHER
DISTURBANCE APPROACHING FAR NORTHERN MAINE LATE IN THE DAY. THIS
MAY BRING SOME CLOUDINESS TO THE NORTHERN MOUNTAIN AREAS.

BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...EXPECT MORE PATCHY FOG TO DEVELOP. WE WILL BE
INTRODUCING SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR THE FAR NORTHERN AREAS WITH THE
APPROACH AND EVENTUAL PASSAGE OF ANOTHER COLD FRONT. THIS WILL SET
THE STAGE FOR ONE OF THE COLDEST PERIODS THIS SEPTEMBER IN THE
LONG TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THE EARLY PART OF THE EXTENDED WILL BE DOMINATED BY THE STRONG
COLD FNT HEADED THRU THE REGION ON THU. AHEAD OF THE FNT SW FLOW
AND SOME COMPRESSIONAL WARMING WILL BUMP HIGHS UP INTO THE 60S FOR
THE COASTAL PLAIN. COLD AIR WILL LIKELY SNEAK INTO THE NRN ZONES
BEFORE SUNRISE...SO HIGHS SHOULD OCCUR EARLY IN THE DAY. THIS NRN
STREAM SYSTEM WILL BE MOISTURE STARVED...SO DO NOT EXPECT MUCH IN
THE WAY OF PCPN. THE COOL NW FLOW OVER THE TERRAIN WILL BE THE
GREATEST SOURCE OF SHOWERS...BUT EVEN THEN ONLY SCHC TO CHC POP.

CAA CONTINUES FIRST HALF OF THU NIGHT BEFORE HIGH PRES SETTLES
OVERHEAD. CLEAR AND CALM PRIOR TO SUNRISE WILL SUPPORT IDEAL
RADIATIONAL COOLING. H8 TEMPS ALOFT NEAR -2C IN THE N TO 0C IN THE
S WILL SUPPORT WIDESPREAD 30S DOWN TO MID 20S IN SHELTERED NRN
VALLEYS. FOR MUCH OF THE NRN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS WILL
BRING AN END TO THE GROWING SEASON. HIGH CENTERED OVERHEAD FRI
WILL INHIBIT MIXING...DESPITE FULL SUNSHINE. AS A RESULT HIGH
TEMPS WILL STRUGGLE INTO THE UPPER 50S. THE RECORD COLD HIGH TEMP
FOR KPWM ON FRI IS 58...SO THIS IS A VERY CHILLY AIR MASS FOR THIS
TIME OF YEAR.

WARMTH IS QUICK TO FOLLOW HOWEVER...WITH HIGH PRES SLIDING
OFFSHORE AND RETURN FLOW DEVELOPING. THIS WILL BRING TEMPS BACK TO
SEASONABLE...AND POSSIBLY EVEN MILDER THAN NORMAL BY SUN
AFTERNOON. THIS WILL BRING ANOTHER CHANCE AT RAIN HOWEVER...AS
LOW PRES MOVING THRU CANADA DRAGS A COLD FNT ACROSS NEW ENGLAND
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...AREAS OF FOG DEVELOPING WITH CLEARING SKIES TONIGHT.
LIFR CONDITIONS OVER MANY INLAND AREAS...ESPECIALLY IN SHELTERED
VALLEYS. CONDITIONS IMPROVING TOMORROW WITH PATCHY FOG
REDEVELOPING WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

LONG TERM...VFR PREVAILS THRU SAT AS HIGH PRES REMAINS IN
CONTROL. DIGGING TROF OVER THE WEEKEND WILL EVENTUAL PUSH A WARM
FNT FOLLOWED BY A COLD FNT THRU THE REGION. EXPECT A PERIOD OF
SHOWERS AND MVFR OR LOWER CONDITIONS WITH THESE FEATURES.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...MODELS APPEAR TO BE OVERFORECASTING SWELL HEIGHTS
FROM HURRICANE EDOUARD. HAVE COLLABORATED WITH ADJACENT OFFICES.
WILL NOT BE ISSUING SCAS FOR SEAS AT THIS TIME. SWELLS SHOULD
EVENTUALLY BUILD LATER ON WEDNESDAY.

LONG TERM...SCA WINDS AND SEAS ARE POSSIBLE THU BEHIND COLD FNT.
DID UNDERCUT MODEL WIND SPEEDS OVER THE WATERS FOR THE LATE
WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK...AS THEY TYPICALLY OVERFORECAST SW
FLOW. HOWEVER...SUSTAINED SLY FLOW WILL GRADUALLY BUILD SEAS INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

JC/LEGRO





000
FXUS61 KGYX 161909
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
309 PM EDT TUE SEP 16 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL PUSH OFFSHORE TONIGHT. A STRONGER SECONDARY
COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTH AND CROSS THE WATERS LATE
WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THURSDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE FRIDAY NIGHT AND
WILL HOLD OFF THE COAST THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
SKIES WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY BEGIN TO CLEAR ACROSS THE REGION
THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. WITH CLEAR SKIES...LIGHT WINDS AND
MOISTURE FROM TODAYS RAINS...EXPECT AREAS OF FOG TO DEVELOP
TONIGHT ACROSS THE INTERIOR SHELTERED VALLEYS. THIS WILL PREVENT
ANY FROST WITH MINIMUM TEMPERATURES HOLDING INTO THE UPPER 30S IN
THE MOUNTAINS WITH 40S ELSEWHERE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
MORE SUNSHINE WILL BE ON TAP FOR WEDNESDAY AS A RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE ENTERS NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND. THERE WILL BE A WEAK WEATHER
DISTURBANCE APPROACHING FAR NORTHERN MAINE LATE IN THE DAY. THIS
MAY BRING SOME CLOUDINESS TO THE NORTHERN MOUNTAIN AREAS.

BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...EXPECT MORE PATCHY FOG TO DEVELOP. WE WILL BE
INTRODUCING SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR THE FAR NORTHERN AREAS WITH THE
APPROACH AND EVENTUAL PASSAGE OF ANOTHER COLD FRONT. THIS WILL SET
THE STAGE FOR ONE OF THE COLDEST PERIODS THIS SEPTEMBER IN THE
LONG TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THE EARLY PART OF THE EXTENDED WILL BE DOMINATED BY THE STRONG
COLD FNT HEADED THRU THE REGION ON THU. AHEAD OF THE FNT SW FLOW
AND SOME COMPRESSIONAL WARMING WILL BUMP HIGHS UP INTO THE 60S FOR
THE COASTAL PLAIN. COLD AIR WILL LIKELY SNEAK INTO THE NRN ZONES
BEFORE SUNRISE...SO HIGHS SHOULD OCCUR EARLY IN THE DAY. THIS NRN
STREAM SYSTEM WILL BE MOISTURE STARVED...SO DO NOT EXPECT MUCH IN
THE WAY OF PCPN. THE COOL NW FLOW OVER THE TERRAIN WILL BE THE
GREATEST SOURCE OF SHOWERS...BUT EVEN THEN ONLY SCHC TO CHC POP.

CAA CONTINUES FIRST HALF OF THU NIGHT BEFORE HIGH PRES SETTLES
OVERHEAD. CLEAR AND CALM PRIOR TO SUNRISE WILL SUPPORT IDEAL
RADIATIONAL COOLING. H8 TEMPS ALOFT NEAR -2C IN THE N TO 0C IN THE
S WILL SUPPORT WIDESPREAD 30S DOWN TO MID 20S IN SHELTERED NRN
VALLEYS. FOR MUCH OF THE NRN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS WILL
BRING AN END TO THE GROWING SEASON. HIGH CENTERED OVERHEAD FRI
WILL INHIBIT MIXING...DESPITE FULL SUNSHINE. AS A RESULT HIGH
TEMPS WILL STRUGGLE INTO THE UPPER 50S. THE RECORD COLD HIGH TEMP
FOR KPWM ON FRI IS 58...SO THIS IS A VERY CHILLY AIR MASS FOR THIS
TIME OF YEAR.

WARMTH IS QUICK TO FOLLOW HOWEVER...WITH HIGH PRES SLIDING
OFFSHORE AND RETURN FLOW DEVELOPING. THIS WILL BRING TEMPS BACK TO
SEASONABLE...AND POSSIBLY EVEN MILDER THAN NORMAL BY SUN
AFTERNOON. THIS WILL BRING ANOTHER CHANCE AT RAIN HOWEVER...AS
LOW PRES MOVING THRU CANADA DRAGS A COLD FNT ACROSS NEW ENGLAND
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...AREAS OF FOG DEVELOPING WITH CLEARING SKIES TONIGHT.
LIFR CONDITIONS OVER MANY INLAND AREAS...ESPECIALLY IN SHELTERED
VALLEYS. CONDITIONS IMPROVING TOMORROW WITH PATCHY FOG
REDEVELOPING WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

LONG TERM...VFR PREVAILS THRU SAT AS HIGH PRES REMAINS IN
CONTROL. DIGGING TROF OVER THE WEEKEND WILL EVENTUAL PUSH A WARM
FNT FOLLOWED BY A COLD FNT THRU THE REGION. EXPECT A PERIOD OF
SHOWERS AND MVFR OR LOWER CONDITIONS WITH THESE FEATURES.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...MODELS APPEAR TO BE OVERFORECASTING SWELL HEIGHTS
FROM HURRICANE EDOUARD. HAVE COLLABORATED WITH ADJACENT OFFICES.
WILL NOT BE ISSUING SCAS FOR SEAS AT THIS TIME. SWELLS SHOULD
EVENTUALLY BUILD LATER ON WEDNESDAY.

LONG TERM...SCA WINDS AND SEAS ARE POSSIBLE THU BEHIND COLD FNT.
DID UNDERCUT MODEL WIND SPEEDS OVER THE WATERS FOR THE LATE
WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK...AS THEY TYPICALLY OVERFORECAST SW
FLOW. HOWEVER...SUSTAINED SLY FLOW WILL GRADUALLY BUILD SEAS INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

JC/LEGRO




000
FXUS61 KGYX 161600
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
1200 PM EDT TUE SEP 16 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL PUSH OFFSHORE TODAY. A SECONDARY COLD FRONT
WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTH TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AND WILL SLIDE
SOUTH OF THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN
FROM THE WEST THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL HOLD OFF THE COAST THROUGH
SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
UPDATE...
HAVE UPDATED THE FORECAST PACKAGE TO INCLUDE HIGHER POPS FOR THIS
MORNING IN ALL AREAS...ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHERN LOCATIONS. SHOWERS
WILL PERSIST FOR A FEW MORE HOURS...AND MORE WIDESPREAD THAN THE
MODELS WOULD SUGGEST. MADE SOME ADJUSTMENTS TO INCREASE THE CLOUD
COVER GRIDS. OTHERWISE...LITTLE IN THE WAY OF CHANGES WITH THIS
12Z UPDATE.

PREV DISC...
ONLY MINOR CHANGES TO THE FORECAST FOR THIS UPDATE TO REFLECT THE
SHOWERS ON RADAR AND CONVECTIVE TRENDS. OTHER WEATHER ELEMENTS ARE
ON TRACK THIS MORNING.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/...
DRIER AIR HELPS USHER IN COOLER AIR OVERNIGHT BEHIND THE FRONT.
LIGHT WINDS AND CLEARING SKIES WILL HELP SUPPORT GOOD RADIATIONAL
COOLING CONDITIONS. THIS WILL LEAD TO OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S WITH A FEW MID 30S FILTERING INTO THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS.
LOWER TO MID 40S SHOULD BE AS LOW AS THE LOCATIONS IN THE COASTAL
PLAIN DROP. WEDNESDAY LOOKS A BIT WARMER THAN WEDNESDAY...
ESPECIALLY FOR THE COASTAL PLAIN...AS THE COOLER AIRMASS MODERATES
QUICKLY. CLOUDS DEVELOP OVER THE NORTH AS A BACKDOOR FRONT DROPS
TOWARDS THE CANADIAN BORDER...BUT THE REST OF MAINE AND NH WILL
ENJOY MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
COLD FRONT WILL GRADUALLY PUSH SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. WILL LIKELY CONTINUE LOW CHANCE POPS MAINLY FOR NORTHERN
ZONES WEDNESDAY NIGHT. VERY LITTLE FORCING WITH THIS BOUNDARY SO
NOT LOOKING FOR MUCH IN THE WAY OF SHOWER ACTIVITY. VARIABLE
CLOUDINESS OVERNIGHT WILL HELP TO KEEP TEMPS UP AND EXPECT LOWS
RANGING THROUGH THE 40S.

MORNING CLOUDS WILL QUICKLY GIVE WAY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES THURSDAY
WITH HIGHS RANGING THROUGH THE 50S NORTH AND LOWER TO MID 60S
SOUTH. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BE GUSTY AT TIMES.

LIGHT WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES WILL ALLOW FOR SOME OF THE COLDEST TEMPS
OF THE SEASON THURSDAY NIGHT. EXPECT A HARD FREEZE IN THE NORTH
WHERE LOWS WILL DIP INTO THE MID TO UPPER 20S. CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN INTERIOR SECTIONS OF MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE WILL SEE A
WIDESPREAD FROST WITH LOWS RANGING THROUGH THE 30S. COASTAL
SECTIONS WILL BOTTOM OUT NEAR 40 BUT SOME LOW SPOTS COULD SEE SOME
PATCHY FROST.

SUNNY BUT COOL WEATHER CONTINUES ON FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE CRESTS
OVERHEAD. HIGH TEMPS WILL TOP OUT AROUND 10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL
WITH MOST AREAS NOT MAKING IT OUT OF THE 50S.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE OFFSHORE FRIDAY NIGHT WITH RETURN FLOW
BRINGING SOMEWHAT WARMER AIR BACK INTO THE REGION FOR THE WEEKEND.
HIGHS SATURDAY WILL EDGE BACK INTO THE LOWER TO MID 60S FOR MOST
AREAS.

COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST ON SUNDAY BUT MAY SQUEAK
OUT ONE MORE NICE DAY WITH HIGHS REACHING THE LOWER 70S IN WARMER
SOUTHERN ZONES.

&&

.AVIATION /16Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
SHORT TERM...SOME BRIEF LIFR/IFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE THIS MORNING
OVER THE MOUNTAIN TERMINALS PRIMARILY DUE TO FOG...OTHERWISE
EXPECT PREVAILING MVFR TO VFR CEILINGS FOR THIS LIGHT RAIN EVENT
ENDING BETWEEN 18Z- 21Z TODAY. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND EVENTUALLY
WESTERLY.

LONG TERM...VFR WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES MAY BE NEEDED WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING AS WAVES INCREASE ABOVE 5 FT.

LONG TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED THURSDAY NIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$




000
FXUS61 KGYX 161600
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
1200 PM EDT TUE SEP 16 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL PUSH OFFSHORE TODAY. A SECONDARY COLD FRONT
WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTH TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AND WILL SLIDE
SOUTH OF THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN
FROM THE WEST THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL HOLD OFF THE COAST THROUGH
SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
UPDATE...
HAVE UPDATED THE FORECAST PACKAGE TO INCLUDE HIGHER POPS FOR THIS
MORNING IN ALL AREAS...ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHERN LOCATIONS. SHOWERS
WILL PERSIST FOR A FEW MORE HOURS...AND MORE WIDESPREAD THAN THE
MODELS WOULD SUGGEST. MADE SOME ADJUSTMENTS TO INCREASE THE CLOUD
COVER GRIDS. OTHERWISE...LITTLE IN THE WAY OF CHANGES WITH THIS
12Z UPDATE.

PREV DISC...
ONLY MINOR CHANGES TO THE FORECAST FOR THIS UPDATE TO REFLECT THE
SHOWERS ON RADAR AND CONVECTIVE TRENDS. OTHER WEATHER ELEMENTS ARE
ON TRACK THIS MORNING.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/...
DRIER AIR HELPS USHER IN COOLER AIR OVERNIGHT BEHIND THE FRONT.
LIGHT WINDS AND CLEARING SKIES WILL HELP SUPPORT GOOD RADIATIONAL
COOLING CONDITIONS. THIS WILL LEAD TO OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S WITH A FEW MID 30S FILTERING INTO THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS.
LOWER TO MID 40S SHOULD BE AS LOW AS THE LOCATIONS IN THE COASTAL
PLAIN DROP. WEDNESDAY LOOKS A BIT WARMER THAN WEDNESDAY...
ESPECIALLY FOR THE COASTAL PLAIN...AS THE COOLER AIRMASS MODERATES
QUICKLY. CLOUDS DEVELOP OVER THE NORTH AS A BACKDOOR FRONT DROPS
TOWARDS THE CANADIAN BORDER...BUT THE REST OF MAINE AND NH WILL
ENJOY MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
COLD FRONT WILL GRADUALLY PUSH SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. WILL LIKELY CONTINUE LOW CHANCE POPS MAINLY FOR NORTHERN
ZONES WEDNESDAY NIGHT. VERY LITTLE FORCING WITH THIS BOUNDARY SO
NOT LOOKING FOR MUCH IN THE WAY OF SHOWER ACTIVITY. VARIABLE
CLOUDINESS OVERNIGHT WILL HELP TO KEEP TEMPS UP AND EXPECT LOWS
RANGING THROUGH THE 40S.

MORNING CLOUDS WILL QUICKLY GIVE WAY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES THURSDAY
WITH HIGHS RANGING THROUGH THE 50S NORTH AND LOWER TO MID 60S
SOUTH. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BE GUSTY AT TIMES.

LIGHT WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES WILL ALLOW FOR SOME OF THE COLDEST TEMPS
OF THE SEASON THURSDAY NIGHT. EXPECT A HARD FREEZE IN THE NORTH
WHERE LOWS WILL DIP INTO THE MID TO UPPER 20S. CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN INTERIOR SECTIONS OF MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE WILL SEE A
WIDESPREAD FROST WITH LOWS RANGING THROUGH THE 30S. COASTAL
SECTIONS WILL BOTTOM OUT NEAR 40 BUT SOME LOW SPOTS COULD SEE SOME
PATCHY FROST.

SUNNY BUT COOL WEATHER CONTINUES ON FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE CRESTS
OVERHEAD. HIGH TEMPS WILL TOP OUT AROUND 10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL
WITH MOST AREAS NOT MAKING IT OUT OF THE 50S.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE OFFSHORE FRIDAY NIGHT WITH RETURN FLOW
BRINGING SOMEWHAT WARMER AIR BACK INTO THE REGION FOR THE WEEKEND.
HIGHS SATURDAY WILL EDGE BACK INTO THE LOWER TO MID 60S FOR MOST
AREAS.

COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST ON SUNDAY BUT MAY SQUEAK
OUT ONE MORE NICE DAY WITH HIGHS REACHING THE LOWER 70S IN WARMER
SOUTHERN ZONES.

&&

.AVIATION /16Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
SHORT TERM...SOME BRIEF LIFR/IFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE THIS MORNING
OVER THE MOUNTAIN TERMINALS PRIMARILY DUE TO FOG...OTHERWISE
EXPECT PREVAILING MVFR TO VFR CEILINGS FOR THIS LIGHT RAIN EVENT
ENDING BETWEEN 18Z- 21Z TODAY. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND EVENTUALLY
WESTERLY.

LONG TERM...VFR WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES MAY BE NEEDED WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING AS WAVES INCREASE ABOVE 5 FT.

LONG TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED THURSDAY NIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$





000
FXUS61 KGYX 161228
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
828 AM EDT TUE SEP 16 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL PUSH OFFSHORE TODAY. A SECONDARY COLD FRONT
WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTH TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AND WILL SLIDE
SOUTH OF THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN
FROM THE WEST THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL HOLD OFF THE COAST THROUGH
SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
UPDATE...
HAVE UPDATED THE FORECAST PACKAGE TO INCLUDE HIGHER POPS FOR THIS
MORNING IN ALL AREAS...ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHERN LOCATIONS. SHOWERS
WILL PERSIST FOR A FEW MORE HOURS...AND MORE WIDESPREAD THAN THE
MODELS WOULD SUGGEST. MADE SOME ADJUSTMENTS TO INCREASE THE CLOUD
COVER GRIDS. OTHERWISE...LITTLE IN THE WAY OF CHANGES WITH THIS
12Z UPDATE.

PREV DISC...
ONLY MINOR CHANGES TO THE FORECAST FOR THIS UPDATE TO REFLECT THE
SHOWERS ON RADAR AND CONVECTIVE TRENDS. OTHER WEATHER ELEMENTS ARE
ON TRACK THIS MORNING.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/...
DRIER AIR HELPS USHER IN COOLER AIR OVERNIGHT BEHIND THE FRONT.
LIGHT WINDS AND CLEARING SKIES WILL HELP SUPPORT GOOD RADIATIONAL
COOLING CONDITIONS. THIS WILL LEAD TO OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S WITH A FEW MID 30S FILTERING INTO THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS.
LOWER TO MID 40S SHOULD BE AS LOW AS THE LOCATIONS IN THE COASTAL
PLAIN DROP. WEDNESDAY LOOKS A BIT WARMER THAN WEDNESDAY...
ESPECIALLY FOR THE COASTAL PLAIN...AS THE COOLER AIRMASS MODERATES
QUICKLY. CLOUDS DEVELOP OVER THE NORTH AS A BACKDOOR FRONT DROPS
TOWARDS THE CANADIAN BORDER...BUT THE REST OF MAINE AND NH WILL
ENJOY MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
COLD FRONT WILL GRADUALLY PUSH SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. WILL LIKELY CONTINUE LOW CHANCE POPS MAINLY FOR NORTHERN
ZONES WEDNESDAY NIGHT. VERY LITTLE FORCING WITH THIS BOUNDARY SO
NOT LOOKING FOR MUCH IN THE WAY OF SHOWER ACTIVITY. VARIABLE
CLOUDINESS OVERNIGHT WILL HELP TO KEEP TEMPS UP AND EXPECT LOWS
RANGING THROUGH THE 40S.

MORNING CLOUDS WILL QUICKLY GIVE WAY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES THURSDAY
WITH HIGHS RANGING THROUGH THE 50S NORTH AND LOWER TO MID 60S
SOUTH. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BE GUSTY AT TIMES.

LIGHT WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES WILL ALLOW FOR SOME OF THE COLDEST TEMPS
OF THE SEASON THURSDAY NIGHT. EXPECT A HARD FREEZE IN THE NORTH
WHERE LOWS WILL DIP INTO THE MID TO UPPER 20S. CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN INTERIOR SECTIONS OF MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE WILL SEE A
WIDESPREAD FROST WITH LOWS RANGING THROUGH THE 30S. COASTAL
SECTIONS WILL BOTTOM OUT NEAR 40 BUT SOME LOW SPOTS COULD SEE SOME
PATCHY FROST.

SUNNY BUT COOL WEATHER CONTINUES ON FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE CRESTS
OVERHEAD. HIGH TEMPS WILL TOP OUT AROUND 10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL
WITH MOST AREAS NOT MAKING IT OUT OF THE 50S.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE OFFSHORE FRIDAY NIGHT WITH RETURN FLOW
BRINGING SOMEWHAT WARMER AIR BACK INTO THE REGION FOR THE WEEKEND.
HIGHS SATURDAY WILL EDGE BACK INTO THE LOWER TO MID 60S FOR MOST
AREAS.

COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST ON SUNDAY BUT MAY SQUEAK
OUT ONE MORE NICE DAY WITH HIGHS REACHING THE LOWER 70S IN WARMER
SOUTHERN ZONES.

&&

.AVIATION /13Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
SHORT TERM...SOME BRIEF LIFR/IFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE THIS MORNING
OVER THE MOUNTAIN TERMINALS PRIMARILY DUE TO FOG...OTHERWISE
EXPECT PREVAILING MVFR TO VFR CEILINGS FOR THIS LIGHT RAIN EVENT
ENDING BETWEEN 18Z- 21Z TODAY. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND EVENTUALLY
WESTERLY.

LONG TERM...VFR WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES MAY BE NEEDED WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING AS WAVES INCREASE ABOVE 5 FT.

LONG TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED THURSDAY NIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$





000
FXUS61 KGYX 161228
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
828 AM EDT TUE SEP 16 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL PUSH OFFSHORE TODAY. A SECONDARY COLD FRONT
WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTH TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AND WILL SLIDE
SOUTH OF THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN
FROM THE WEST THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL HOLD OFF THE COAST THROUGH
SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
UPDATE...
HAVE UPDATED THE FORECAST PACKAGE TO INCLUDE HIGHER POPS FOR THIS
MORNING IN ALL AREAS...ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHERN LOCATIONS. SHOWERS
WILL PERSIST FOR A FEW MORE HOURS...AND MORE WIDESPREAD THAN THE
MODELS WOULD SUGGEST. MADE SOME ADJUSTMENTS TO INCREASE THE CLOUD
COVER GRIDS. OTHERWISE...LITTLE IN THE WAY OF CHANGES WITH THIS
12Z UPDATE.

PREV DISC...
ONLY MINOR CHANGES TO THE FORECAST FOR THIS UPDATE TO REFLECT THE
SHOWERS ON RADAR AND CONVECTIVE TRENDS. OTHER WEATHER ELEMENTS ARE
ON TRACK THIS MORNING.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/...
DRIER AIR HELPS USHER IN COOLER AIR OVERNIGHT BEHIND THE FRONT.
LIGHT WINDS AND CLEARING SKIES WILL HELP SUPPORT GOOD RADIATIONAL
COOLING CONDITIONS. THIS WILL LEAD TO OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S WITH A FEW MID 30S FILTERING INTO THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS.
LOWER TO MID 40S SHOULD BE AS LOW AS THE LOCATIONS IN THE COASTAL
PLAIN DROP. WEDNESDAY LOOKS A BIT WARMER THAN WEDNESDAY...
ESPECIALLY FOR THE COASTAL PLAIN...AS THE COOLER AIRMASS MODERATES
QUICKLY. CLOUDS DEVELOP OVER THE NORTH AS A BACKDOOR FRONT DROPS
TOWARDS THE CANADIAN BORDER...BUT THE REST OF MAINE AND NH WILL
ENJOY MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
COLD FRONT WILL GRADUALLY PUSH SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. WILL LIKELY CONTINUE LOW CHANCE POPS MAINLY FOR NORTHERN
ZONES WEDNESDAY NIGHT. VERY LITTLE FORCING WITH THIS BOUNDARY SO
NOT LOOKING FOR MUCH IN THE WAY OF SHOWER ACTIVITY. VARIABLE
CLOUDINESS OVERNIGHT WILL HELP TO KEEP TEMPS UP AND EXPECT LOWS
RANGING THROUGH THE 40S.

MORNING CLOUDS WILL QUICKLY GIVE WAY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES THURSDAY
WITH HIGHS RANGING THROUGH THE 50S NORTH AND LOWER TO MID 60S
SOUTH. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BE GUSTY AT TIMES.

LIGHT WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES WILL ALLOW FOR SOME OF THE COLDEST TEMPS
OF THE SEASON THURSDAY NIGHT. EXPECT A HARD FREEZE IN THE NORTH
WHERE LOWS WILL DIP INTO THE MID TO UPPER 20S. CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN INTERIOR SECTIONS OF MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE WILL SEE A
WIDESPREAD FROST WITH LOWS RANGING THROUGH THE 30S. COASTAL
SECTIONS WILL BOTTOM OUT NEAR 40 BUT SOME LOW SPOTS COULD SEE SOME
PATCHY FROST.

SUNNY BUT COOL WEATHER CONTINUES ON FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE CRESTS
OVERHEAD. HIGH TEMPS WILL TOP OUT AROUND 10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL
WITH MOST AREAS NOT MAKING IT OUT OF THE 50S.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE OFFSHORE FRIDAY NIGHT WITH RETURN FLOW
BRINGING SOMEWHAT WARMER AIR BACK INTO THE REGION FOR THE WEEKEND.
HIGHS SATURDAY WILL EDGE BACK INTO THE LOWER TO MID 60S FOR MOST
AREAS.

COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST ON SUNDAY BUT MAY SQUEAK
OUT ONE MORE NICE DAY WITH HIGHS REACHING THE LOWER 70S IN WARMER
SOUTHERN ZONES.

&&

.AVIATION /13Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
SHORT TERM...SOME BRIEF LIFR/IFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE THIS MORNING
OVER THE MOUNTAIN TERMINALS PRIMARILY DUE TO FOG...OTHERWISE
EXPECT PREVAILING MVFR TO VFR CEILINGS FOR THIS LIGHT RAIN EVENT
ENDING BETWEEN 18Z- 21Z TODAY. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND EVENTUALLY
WESTERLY.

LONG TERM...VFR WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES MAY BE NEEDED WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING AS WAVES INCREASE ABOVE 5 FT.

LONG TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED THURSDAY NIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$




000
FXUS61 KGYX 161047 AAA
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
647 AM EDT TUE SEP 16 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL PUSH OFFSHORE TODAY. A SECONDARY COLD FRONT
WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTH TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AND WILL SLIDE
SOUTH OF THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN
FROM THE WEST THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL HOLD OFF THE COAST THROUGH
SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
.UPDATE...
ONLY MINOR CHANGES TO THE FORECAST FOR THIS UPDATE TO REFLECT THE
SHOWERS ON RADAR AND CONVECTIVE TRENDS. OTHER WEATHER ELEMENTS
ARE ON TRACK THIS MORNING.

&&

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
LIGHT SHOWERS ALREADY IN PROGRESS MAINLY OVER SOUTHERN NH IN
POORLY ORGANIZED WARM AIR ADVECTION REGIME. WRF-NMM MODEL HAS THE
BEST HANDLE ON CONVECTION THIS MORNING SO HAVE USED THIS MODEL THE
FIRST FEW HOURS. FORCING IS NOT IMPRESSIVE WITH THIS SYSTEM NOR IS
MOISTURE SO AM EXPECTING MORE OF WHAT WE ARE SEEING AT PRESENT
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON BEFORE THE BETTER FORCING MOVES EAST. THE
PRE FRONTAL TROUGH STRETCHES FROM NEAR KPSM NORTHWARD TO THE ST
LAWRENCE VALLEY...AND WILL SHIFT SOUTH AND EAST DURING THE DAY.
THIS WILL HELP FOCUS RAIN ON THE MESOSCALE AHEAD OF THE ACTUAL
COLD FRONT WHICH MOVES THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AND PROVIDES ANOTHER
SOURCE OF LIFT. STILL PROBABLY WILL SEE ONLY A COUPLE TENTHS OF AN
INCH BY THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHS WILL RANGE IN THE UPPER 50S NORTH TO
MID 60S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/...
DRIER AIR HELPS USHER IN COOLER AIR OVERNIGHT BEHIND THE FRONT.
LIGHT WINDS AND CLEARING SKIES WILL HELP SUPPORT GOOD RADIATIONAL
COOLING CONDITIONS. THIS WILL LEAD TO OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S WITH A FEW MID 30S FILTERING INTO THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS.
LOWER TO MID 40S SHOULD BE AS LOW AS THE LOCATIONS IN THE COASTAL
PLAIN DROP. WEDNESDAY LOOKS A BIT WARMER THAN WEDNESDAY...
ESPECIALLY FOR THE COASTAL PLAIN...AS THE COOLER AIRMASS MODERATES
QUICKLY. CLOUDS DEVELOP OVER THE NORTH AS A BACKDOOR FRONT DROPS
TOWARDS THE CANADIAN BORDER...BUT THE REST OF MAINE AND NH WILL
ENJOY MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
COLD FRONT WILL GRADUALLY PUSH SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. WILL LIKELY CONTINUE LOW CHANCE POPS MAINLY FOR NORTHERN
ZONES WEDNESDAY NIGHT. VERY LITTLE FORCING WITH THIS BOUNDARY SO
NOT LOOKING FOR MUCH IN THE WAY OF SHOWER ACTIVITY. VARIABLE
CLOUDINESS OVERNIGHT WILL HELP TO KEEP TEMPS UP AND EXPECT LOWS
RANGING THROUGH THE 40S.

MORNING CLOUDS WILL QUICKLY GIVE WAY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES THURSDAY
WITH HIGHS RANGING THROUGH THE 50S NORTH AND LOWER TO MID 60S
SOUTH. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BE GUSTY AT TIMES.

LIGHT WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES WILL ALLOW FOR SOME OF THE COLDEST TEMPS
OF THE SEASON THURSDAY NIGHT. EXPECT A HARD FREEZE IN THE NORTH
WHERE LOWS WILL DIP INTO THE MID TO UPPER 20S. CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN INTERIOR SECTIONS OF MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE WILL SEE A
WIDESPREAD FROST WITH LOWS RANGING THROUGH THE 30S. COASTAL
SECTIONS WILL BOTTOM OUT NEAR 40 BUT SOME LOW SPOTS COULD SEE SOME
PATCHY FROST.

SUNNY BUT COOL WEATHER CONTINUES ON FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE CRESTS
OVERHEAD. HIGH TEMPS WILL TOP OUT AROUND 10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL
WITH MOST AREAS NOT MAKING IT OUT OF THE 50S.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE OFFSHORE FRIDAY NIGHT WITH RETURN FLOW
BRINGING SOMEWHAT WARMER AIR BACK INTO THE REGION FOR THE WEEKEND.
HIGHS SATURDAY WILL EDGE BACK INTO THE LOWER TO MID 60S FOR MOST
AREAS.

COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST ON SUNDAY BUT MAY SQUEAK
OUT ONE MORE NICE DAY WITH HIGHS REACHING THE LOWER 70S IN WARMER
SOUTHERN ZONES.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
SHORT TERM...SOME BRIEF LIFR/IFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE THIS MORNING
OVER THE MOUNTAIN TERMINALS PRIMARILY DUE TO FOG...OTHERWISE
EXPECT PREVAILING MVFR TO VFR CEILINGS FOR THIS LIGHT RAIN EVENT
ENDING BETWEEN 18Z- 21Z TODAY. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND EVENTUALLY
WESTERLY.

LONG TERM...VFR WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES MAY BE NEEDED WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING AS WAVES INCREASE ABOVE 5 FT.

LONG TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED THURSDAY NIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

HANES/SINSABAUGH




000
FXUS61 KGYX 161047 AAA
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
647 AM EDT TUE SEP 16 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL PUSH OFFSHORE TODAY. A SECONDARY COLD FRONT
WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTH TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AND WILL SLIDE
SOUTH OF THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN
FROM THE WEST THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL HOLD OFF THE COAST THROUGH
SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
.UPDATE...
ONLY MINOR CHANGES TO THE FORECAST FOR THIS UPDATE TO REFLECT THE
SHOWERS ON RADAR AND CONVECTIVE TRENDS. OTHER WEATHER ELEMENTS
ARE ON TRACK THIS MORNING.

&&

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
LIGHT SHOWERS ALREADY IN PROGRESS MAINLY OVER SOUTHERN NH IN
POORLY ORGANIZED WARM AIR ADVECTION REGIME. WRF-NMM MODEL HAS THE
BEST HANDLE ON CONVECTION THIS MORNING SO HAVE USED THIS MODEL THE
FIRST FEW HOURS. FORCING IS NOT IMPRESSIVE WITH THIS SYSTEM NOR IS
MOISTURE SO AM EXPECTING MORE OF WHAT WE ARE SEEING AT PRESENT
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON BEFORE THE BETTER FORCING MOVES EAST. THE
PRE FRONTAL TROUGH STRETCHES FROM NEAR KPSM NORTHWARD TO THE ST
LAWRENCE VALLEY...AND WILL SHIFT SOUTH AND EAST DURING THE DAY.
THIS WILL HELP FOCUS RAIN ON THE MESOSCALE AHEAD OF THE ACTUAL
COLD FRONT WHICH MOVES THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AND PROVIDES ANOTHER
SOURCE OF LIFT. STILL PROBABLY WILL SEE ONLY A COUPLE TENTHS OF AN
INCH BY THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHS WILL RANGE IN THE UPPER 50S NORTH TO
MID 60S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/...
DRIER AIR HELPS USHER IN COOLER AIR OVERNIGHT BEHIND THE FRONT.
LIGHT WINDS AND CLEARING SKIES WILL HELP SUPPORT GOOD RADIATIONAL
COOLING CONDITIONS. THIS WILL LEAD TO OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S WITH A FEW MID 30S FILTERING INTO THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS.
LOWER TO MID 40S SHOULD BE AS LOW AS THE LOCATIONS IN THE COASTAL
PLAIN DROP. WEDNESDAY LOOKS A BIT WARMER THAN WEDNESDAY...
ESPECIALLY FOR THE COASTAL PLAIN...AS THE COOLER AIRMASS MODERATES
QUICKLY. CLOUDS DEVELOP OVER THE NORTH AS A BACKDOOR FRONT DROPS
TOWARDS THE CANADIAN BORDER...BUT THE REST OF MAINE AND NH WILL
ENJOY MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
COLD FRONT WILL GRADUALLY PUSH SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. WILL LIKELY CONTINUE LOW CHANCE POPS MAINLY FOR NORTHERN
ZONES WEDNESDAY NIGHT. VERY LITTLE FORCING WITH THIS BOUNDARY SO
NOT LOOKING FOR MUCH IN THE WAY OF SHOWER ACTIVITY. VARIABLE
CLOUDINESS OVERNIGHT WILL HELP TO KEEP TEMPS UP AND EXPECT LOWS
RANGING THROUGH THE 40S.

MORNING CLOUDS WILL QUICKLY GIVE WAY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES THURSDAY
WITH HIGHS RANGING THROUGH THE 50S NORTH AND LOWER TO MID 60S
SOUTH. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BE GUSTY AT TIMES.

LIGHT WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES WILL ALLOW FOR SOME OF THE COLDEST TEMPS
OF THE SEASON THURSDAY NIGHT. EXPECT A HARD FREEZE IN THE NORTH
WHERE LOWS WILL DIP INTO THE MID TO UPPER 20S. CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN INTERIOR SECTIONS OF MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE WILL SEE A
WIDESPREAD FROST WITH LOWS RANGING THROUGH THE 30S. COASTAL
SECTIONS WILL BOTTOM OUT NEAR 40 BUT SOME LOW SPOTS COULD SEE SOME
PATCHY FROST.

SUNNY BUT COOL WEATHER CONTINUES ON FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE CRESTS
OVERHEAD. HIGH TEMPS WILL TOP OUT AROUND 10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL
WITH MOST AREAS NOT MAKING IT OUT OF THE 50S.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE OFFSHORE FRIDAY NIGHT WITH RETURN FLOW
BRINGING SOMEWHAT WARMER AIR BACK INTO THE REGION FOR THE WEEKEND.
HIGHS SATURDAY WILL EDGE BACK INTO THE LOWER TO MID 60S FOR MOST
AREAS.

COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST ON SUNDAY BUT MAY SQUEAK
OUT ONE MORE NICE DAY WITH HIGHS REACHING THE LOWER 70S IN WARMER
SOUTHERN ZONES.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
SHORT TERM...SOME BRIEF LIFR/IFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE THIS MORNING
OVER THE MOUNTAIN TERMINALS PRIMARILY DUE TO FOG...OTHERWISE
EXPECT PREVAILING MVFR TO VFR CEILINGS FOR THIS LIGHT RAIN EVENT
ENDING BETWEEN 18Z- 21Z TODAY. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND EVENTUALLY
WESTERLY.

LONG TERM...VFR WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES MAY BE NEEDED WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING AS WAVES INCREASE ABOVE 5 FT.

LONG TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED THURSDAY NIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

HANES/SINSABAUGH





000
FXUS61 KGYX 160735
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
335 AM EDT TUE SEP 16 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL PUSH OFFSHORE TODAY. A SECONDARY COLD FRONT
WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTH TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AND WILL SLIDE
SOUTH OF THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN
FROM THE WEST THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL HOLD OFF THE COAST THROUGH
SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
LIGHT SHOWERS ALREADY IN PROGRESS MAINLY OVER SOUTHERN NH IN
POORLY ORGANIZED WARM AIR ADVECTION REGIME. WRF-NMM MODEL HAS THE
BEST HANDLE ON CONVECTION THIS MORNING SO HAVE USED THIS MODEL THE
FIRST FEW HOURS. FORCING IS NOT IMPRESSIVE WITH THIS SYSTEM NOR IS
MOISTURE SO AM EXPECTING MORE OF WHAT WE ARE SEEING AT PRESENT
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON BEFORE THE BETTER FORCING MOVES EAST. THE
PRE FRONTAL TROUGH STRETCHES FROM NEAR KPSM NORTHWARD TO THE ST
LAWRENCE VALLEY...AND WILL SHIFT SOUTH AND EAST DURING THE DAY.
THIS WILL HELP FOCUS RAIN ON THE MESOSCALE AHEAD OF THE ACTUAL
COLD FRONT WHICH MOVES THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AND PROVIDES ANOTHER
SOURCE OF LIFT. STILL PROBABLY WILL SEE ONLY A COUPLE TENTHS OF AN
INCH BY THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHS WILL RANGE IN THE UPPER 50S NORTH TO
MID 60S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/...
DRIER AIR HELPS USHER IN COOLER AIR OVERNIGHT BEHIND THE FRONT.
LIGHT WINDS AND CLEARING SKIES WILL HELP SUPPORT GOOD RADIATIONAL
COOLING CONDITIONS. THIS WILL LEAD TO OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S WITH A FEW MID 30S FILTERING INTO THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS.
LOWER TO MID 40S SHOULD BE AS LOW AS THE LOCATIONS IN THE COASTAL
PLAIN DROP. WEDNESDAY LOOKS A BIT WARMER THAN WEDNESDAY...
ESPECIALLY FOR THE COASTAL PLAIN...AS THE COOLER AIRMASS MODERATES
QUICKLY. CLOUDS DEVELOP OVER THE NORTH AS A BACKDOOR FRONT DROPS
TOWARDS THE CANADIAN BORDER...BUT THE REST OF MAINE AND NH WILL
ENJOY MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
COLD FRONT WILL GRADUALLY PUSH SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. WILL LIKELY CONTINUE LOW CHANCE POPS MAINLY FOR NORTHERN
ZONES WEDNESDAY NIGHT. VERY LITTLE FORCING WITH THIS BOUNDARY SO
NOT LOOKING FOR MUCH IN THE WAY OF SHOWER ACTIVITY. VARIABLE
CLOUDINESS OVERNIGHT WILL HELP TO KEEP TEMPS UP AND EXPECT LOWS
RANGING THROUGH THE 40S.

MORNING CLOUDS WILL QUICKLY GIVE WAY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES THURSDAY
WITH HIGHS RANGING THROUGH THE 50S NORTH AND LOWER TO MID 60S
SOUTH. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BE GUSTY AT TIMES.

LIGHT WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES WILL ALLOW FOR SOME OF THE COLDEST TEMPS
OF THE SEASON THURSDAY NIGHT. EXPECT A HARD FREEZE IN THE NORTH
WHERE LOWS WILL DIP INTO THE MID TO UPPER 20S. CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN INTERIOR SECTIONS OF MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE WILL SEE A
WIDESPREAD FROST WITH LOWS RANGING THROUGH THE 30S. COASTAL
SECTIONS WILL BOTTOM OUT NEAR 40 BUT SOME LOW SPOTS COULD SEE SOME
PATCHY FROST.

SUNNY BUT COOL WEATHER CONTINUES ON FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE CRESTS
OVERHEAD. HIGH TEMPS WILL TOP OUT AROUND 10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL
WITH MOST AREAS NOT MAKING IT OUT OF THE 50S.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE OFFSHORE FRIDAY NIGHT WITH RETURN FLOW
BRINGING SOMEWHAT WARMER AIR BACK INTO THE REGION FOR THE WEEKEND.
HIGHS SATURDAY WILL EDGE BACK INTO THE LOWER TO MID 60S FOR MOST
AREAS.

COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST ON SUNDAY BUT MAY SQUEAK
OUT ONE MORE NICE DAY WITH HIGHS REACHING THE LOWER 70S IN WARMER
SOUTHERN ZONES.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
SHORT TERM...SOME BRIEF LIFR/IFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE THIS MORNING
OVER THE MOUNTAIN TERMINALS PRIMARILY DUE TO FOG...OTHERWISE
EXPECT PREVAILING MVFR TO VFR CEILINGS FOR THIS LIGHT RAIN EVENT
ENDING BETWEEN 18Z- 21Z TODAY. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND EVENTUALLY
WESTERLY.

LONG TERM...VFR WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...NO FLAGS.

LONG TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED THURSDAY NIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

HANES/SINSABAUGH




000
FXUS61 KGYX 160735
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
335 AM EDT TUE SEP 16 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL PUSH OFFSHORE TODAY. A SECONDARY COLD FRONT
WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTH TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AND WILL SLIDE
SOUTH OF THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN
FROM THE WEST THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL HOLD OFF THE COAST THROUGH
SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
LIGHT SHOWERS ALREADY IN PROGRESS MAINLY OVER SOUTHERN NH IN
POORLY ORGANIZED WARM AIR ADVECTION REGIME. WRF-NMM MODEL HAS THE
BEST HANDLE ON CONVECTION THIS MORNING SO HAVE USED THIS MODEL THE
FIRST FEW HOURS. FORCING IS NOT IMPRESSIVE WITH THIS SYSTEM NOR IS
MOISTURE SO AM EXPECTING MORE OF WHAT WE ARE SEEING AT PRESENT
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON BEFORE THE BETTER FORCING MOVES EAST. THE
PRE FRONTAL TROUGH STRETCHES FROM NEAR KPSM NORTHWARD TO THE ST
LAWRENCE VALLEY...AND WILL SHIFT SOUTH AND EAST DURING THE DAY.
THIS WILL HELP FOCUS RAIN ON THE MESOSCALE AHEAD OF THE ACTUAL
COLD FRONT WHICH MOVES THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AND PROVIDES ANOTHER
SOURCE OF LIFT. STILL PROBABLY WILL SEE ONLY A COUPLE TENTHS OF AN
INCH BY THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHS WILL RANGE IN THE UPPER 50S NORTH TO
MID 60S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/...
DRIER AIR HELPS USHER IN COOLER AIR OVERNIGHT BEHIND THE FRONT.
LIGHT WINDS AND CLEARING SKIES WILL HELP SUPPORT GOOD RADIATIONAL
COOLING CONDITIONS. THIS WILL LEAD TO OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S WITH A FEW MID 30S FILTERING INTO THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS.
LOWER TO MID 40S SHOULD BE AS LOW AS THE LOCATIONS IN THE COASTAL
PLAIN DROP. WEDNESDAY LOOKS A BIT WARMER THAN WEDNESDAY...
ESPECIALLY FOR THE COASTAL PLAIN...AS THE COOLER AIRMASS MODERATES
QUICKLY. CLOUDS DEVELOP OVER THE NORTH AS A BACKDOOR FRONT DROPS
TOWARDS THE CANADIAN BORDER...BUT THE REST OF MAINE AND NH WILL
ENJOY MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
COLD FRONT WILL GRADUALLY PUSH SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. WILL LIKELY CONTINUE LOW CHANCE POPS MAINLY FOR NORTHERN
ZONES WEDNESDAY NIGHT. VERY LITTLE FORCING WITH THIS BOUNDARY SO
NOT LOOKING FOR MUCH IN THE WAY OF SHOWER ACTIVITY. VARIABLE
CLOUDINESS OVERNIGHT WILL HELP TO KEEP TEMPS UP AND EXPECT LOWS
RANGING THROUGH THE 40S.

MORNING CLOUDS WILL QUICKLY GIVE WAY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES THURSDAY
WITH HIGHS RANGING THROUGH THE 50S NORTH AND LOWER TO MID 60S
SOUTH. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BE GUSTY AT TIMES.

LIGHT WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES WILL ALLOW FOR SOME OF THE COLDEST TEMPS
OF THE SEASON THURSDAY NIGHT. EXPECT A HARD FREEZE IN THE NORTH
WHERE LOWS WILL DIP INTO THE MID TO UPPER 20S. CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN INTERIOR SECTIONS OF MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE WILL SEE A
WIDESPREAD FROST WITH LOWS RANGING THROUGH THE 30S. COASTAL
SECTIONS WILL BOTTOM OUT NEAR 40 BUT SOME LOW SPOTS COULD SEE SOME
PATCHY FROST.

SUNNY BUT COOL WEATHER CONTINUES ON FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE CRESTS
OVERHEAD. HIGH TEMPS WILL TOP OUT AROUND 10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL
WITH MOST AREAS NOT MAKING IT OUT OF THE 50S.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE OFFSHORE FRIDAY NIGHT WITH RETURN FLOW
BRINGING SOMEWHAT WARMER AIR BACK INTO THE REGION FOR THE WEEKEND.
HIGHS SATURDAY WILL EDGE BACK INTO THE LOWER TO MID 60S FOR MOST
AREAS.

COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST ON SUNDAY BUT MAY SQUEAK
OUT ONE MORE NICE DAY WITH HIGHS REACHING THE LOWER 70S IN WARMER
SOUTHERN ZONES.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
SHORT TERM...SOME BRIEF LIFR/IFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE THIS MORNING
OVER THE MOUNTAIN TERMINALS PRIMARILY DUE TO FOG...OTHERWISE
EXPECT PREVAILING MVFR TO VFR CEILINGS FOR THIS LIGHT RAIN EVENT
ENDING BETWEEN 18Z- 21Z TODAY. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND EVENTUALLY
WESTERLY.

LONG TERM...VFR WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...NO FLAGS.

LONG TERM...SCA`S MAY BE NEEDED THURSDAY NIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

HANES/SINSABAUGH





000
FXUS61 KGYX 160449 AAC
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
1249 AM EDT TUE SEP 16 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST TONIGHT AND CROSS THE
REGION TUESDAY. A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH THROUGH
THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST
WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. HIGH [PRESSURE WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE
FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL HOLD OFF THE COAST THROUGH SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/...
.UPDATE...MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO CURRENT PERIOD GRIDS THROUGH 14Z TO
REFLECT BOTH SATELLITE AND RADAR TRENDS. SHOWERS ARE CURRENTLY
OVER NH. SOME ECHOES OVER MAINE ARE NOT REACHING THE GROUND QUITE
YET AND JUST PRODUCING VIRGA. ADJUSTED TEMPERATURES AND DEW POINTS
AS WELL...OTHERWISE FORECAST IS ON TRACK.

&&

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
COLD FNT CURRENTLY MOVING ACROSS THE ERN GREAT LAKES WILL CONTINUE
TO MOVE OUR WAY THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. INITIALLY THIS EVENING
MOSTLY CLEAR CONDITIONS SHOULD ALLOW TEMPS TO DROP QUICKLY. THESE
WILL STABILIZE AS CLOUDS MOVE OVERHEAD. EXPECT ANY RAIN TO DELAY
UNTIL AFTER MIDNIGHT. HOWEVER...FORCING IS NOT OVERLY IMPRESSIVE
AND I DO NOT EXPECT A WIDESPREAD PCPN EVENT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 AM WEDNESDAY/...
THE LACK OF THICK CLOUD COVER AND STEADY PCPN WILL ALLOW DOWNSLOPE
SWLY WINDS TO ACTUALLY WARM AFTERNOON TEMPS AOA TODAY. THE
REMAINING SHRA CLEAR FROM W TO E TUE EARLY AFTERNOON. MODEL
GUIDANCE HAS CLEARING OCCURRING QUICKLY BEHIND THE FROPA...SO HAVE
INCLUDED THIS TREND IN THE FORECAST. NEXT FNT AND STRONGER SHOT OF
COLD AIR APPROACHES TUE NIGHT...WHICH SHOULD KEEP BOUNDARY LAYER
WELL MIXED ENOUGH TO PRECLUDE ANY TEMPS COLD ENOUGH FOR WIDESPREAD
FROST.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
VERY QUIET CONDITIONS EXPECTED IN THE LONG RANGE PERIOD. THERE IS
A SMALL CHANCE OF SHOWERS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY
NIGHT...MAINLY IN THE MOUNTAINS AS WEAK COLD FRONTS PASS THROUGH
THE REGION.

BEHIND THE SECONDARY COLD FRONT...HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY
BUILD SOUTHEAST FROM CANADA WITH PERHAPS THE COLDEST AIR OF THE
YEAR. TEMPERATURES AT H850 WILL BE FROM ZERO TO -4C BY FRIDAY
MORNING. WITH CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS...THIS POTENTIALLY WILL
BE THE COLDEST MORNING OF THE YEAR SO FAR.

OTHERWISE...12Z MODEL SUITE REMAINS IN GOOD AGREEMENT THIS
MORNING...WITH A RELATIVE DRY TREND CONTINUING.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
SHORT TERM...COLD FNT WILL CROSS THE REGION TONIGHT...WITH SCT TO
LIKELY SHOWERS. HOWEVER...FORCING IS ON THE WEAKER SIDE...AND
WIDESPREAD FLIGHT RESTRICTIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED. A FEW POCKETS OF
MVFR CIGS AND VSBYS ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT...BUT CONDITIONS WILL
QUICKLY IMPROVE TO VFR TUE BEHIND THE FNT.

LONG TERM...VFR TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...LATE TUE NIGHT SEAS WILL BUILD TO NEAR 5 FT ON THE
OUTER WATERS WILL PASSAGE OF COLD FNT. HOWEVER...EXPECT CONDITIONS
TO REMAIN BELOW SCA THRESHOLDS.

LONG TERM...NO FLAGS. HOWEVER...COLD AIR ADVECTION OVER RELATIVELY
WARMER WATERS MAY ALLOW FOR GUSTY WINDS THURSDAY AND THURSDAY
NIGHT BEHIND THE COLD FRONT.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

UPDATE...HANES




000
FXUS61 KGYX 160449 AAC
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
1249 AM EDT TUE SEP 16 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST TONIGHT AND CROSS THE
REGION TUESDAY. A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH THROUGH
THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST
WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. HIGH [PRESSURE WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE
FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL HOLD OFF THE COAST THROUGH SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/...
.UPDATE...MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO CURRENT PERIOD GRIDS THROUGH 14Z TO
REFLECT BOTH SATELLITE AND RADAR TRENDS. SHOWERS ARE CURRENTLY
OVER NH. SOME ECHOES OVER MAINE ARE NOT REACHING THE GROUND QUITE
YET AND JUST PRODUCING VIRGA. ADJUSTED TEMPERATURES AND DEW POINTS
AS WELL...OTHERWISE FORECAST IS ON TRACK.

&&

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
COLD FNT CURRENTLY MOVING ACROSS THE ERN GREAT LAKES WILL CONTINUE
TO MOVE OUR WAY THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. INITIALLY THIS EVENING
MOSTLY CLEAR CONDITIONS SHOULD ALLOW TEMPS TO DROP QUICKLY. THESE
WILL STABILIZE AS CLOUDS MOVE OVERHEAD. EXPECT ANY RAIN TO DELAY
UNTIL AFTER MIDNIGHT. HOWEVER...FORCING IS NOT OVERLY IMPRESSIVE
AND I DO NOT EXPECT A WIDESPREAD PCPN EVENT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 AM WEDNESDAY/...
THE LACK OF THICK CLOUD COVER AND STEADY PCPN WILL ALLOW DOWNSLOPE
SWLY WINDS TO ACTUALLY WARM AFTERNOON TEMPS AOA TODAY. THE
REMAINING SHRA CLEAR FROM W TO E TUE EARLY AFTERNOON. MODEL
GUIDANCE HAS CLEARING OCCURRING QUICKLY BEHIND THE FROPA...SO HAVE
INCLUDED THIS TREND IN THE FORECAST. NEXT FNT AND STRONGER SHOT OF
COLD AIR APPROACHES TUE NIGHT...WHICH SHOULD KEEP BOUNDARY LAYER
WELL MIXED ENOUGH TO PRECLUDE ANY TEMPS COLD ENOUGH FOR WIDESPREAD
FROST.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
VERY QUIET CONDITIONS EXPECTED IN THE LONG RANGE PERIOD. THERE IS
A SMALL CHANCE OF SHOWERS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY
NIGHT...MAINLY IN THE MOUNTAINS AS WEAK COLD FRONTS PASS THROUGH
THE REGION.

BEHIND THE SECONDARY COLD FRONT...HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY
BUILD SOUTHEAST FROM CANADA WITH PERHAPS THE COLDEST AIR OF THE
YEAR. TEMPERATURES AT H850 WILL BE FROM ZERO TO -4C BY FRIDAY
MORNING. WITH CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS...THIS POTENTIALLY WILL
BE THE COLDEST MORNING OF THE YEAR SO FAR.

OTHERWISE...12Z MODEL SUITE REMAINS IN GOOD AGREEMENT THIS
MORNING...WITH A RELATIVE DRY TREND CONTINUING.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
SHORT TERM...COLD FNT WILL CROSS THE REGION TONIGHT...WITH SCT TO
LIKELY SHOWERS. HOWEVER...FORCING IS ON THE WEAKER SIDE...AND
WIDESPREAD FLIGHT RESTRICTIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED. A FEW POCKETS OF
MVFR CIGS AND VSBYS ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT...BUT CONDITIONS WILL
QUICKLY IMPROVE TO VFR TUE BEHIND THE FNT.

LONG TERM...VFR TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...LATE TUE NIGHT SEAS WILL BUILD TO NEAR 5 FT ON THE
OUTER WATERS WILL PASSAGE OF COLD FNT. HOWEVER...EXPECT CONDITIONS
TO REMAIN BELOW SCA THRESHOLDS.

LONG TERM...NO FLAGS. HOWEVER...COLD AIR ADVECTION OVER RELATIVELY
WARMER WATERS MAY ALLOW FOR GUSTY WINDS THURSDAY AND THURSDAY
NIGHT BEHIND THE COLD FRONT.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

UPDATE...HANES





000
FXUS61 KGYX 160249
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
1049 PM EDT MON SEP 15 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST TONIGHT AND CROSS THE
REGION TUESDAY. A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH THROUGH
THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST
WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. HIGH [PRESSURE WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE
FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL HOLD OFF THE COAST THROUGH SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/...

1040 PM...I MADE MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO 1ST PERIOD GRIDS TO REFLECT
BOTH SATELLITE AND RADAR TRENDS...AS WELL AS INGESTING 02Z
MESONET. I ALSO ADDED MENTION OF SNOW SHOWERS TO MOUNTAIN SUMMITS
ABOVE 4THSD FEET FOR THE OVERNIGHT.

PREV DISC...
705 PM...MINOR ESTF UPDATE TO INGEST THE CURRENT MESONET INTO 1ST
PERIOD GRIDS.

PREV DISC...
COLD FNT CURRENTLY MOVING ACROSS THE ERN GREAT LAKES WILL CONTINUE
TO MOVE OUR WAY THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. INITIALLY THIS EVENING
MOSTLY CLEAR CONDITIONS SHOULD ALLOW TEMPS TO DROP QUICKLY. THESE
WILL STABILIZE AS CLOUDS MOVE OVERHEAD. EXPECT ANY RAIN TO DELAY
UNTIL AFTER MIDNIGHT. HOWEVER...FORCING IS NOT OVERLY IMPRESSIVE
AND I DO NOT EXPECT A WIDESPREAD PCPN EVENT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
THE LACK OF THICK CLOUD COVER AND STEADY PCPN WILL ALLOW DOWNSLOPE
SWLY WINDS TO ACTUALLY WARM AFTERNOON TEMPS AOA TODAY. THE
REMAINING SHRA CLEAR FROM W TO E TUE EARLY AFTERNOON. MODEL
GUIDANCE HAS CLEARING OCCURRING QUICKLY BEHIND THE FROPA...SO HAVE
INCLUDED THIS TREND IN THE FORECAST. NEXT FNT AND STRONGER SHOT OF
COLD AIR APPROACHES TUE NIGHT...WHICH SHOULD KEEP BOUNDARY LAYER
WELL MIXED ENOUGH TO PRECLUDE ANY TEMPS COLD ENOUGH FOR WIDESPREAD
FROST.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
VERY QUIET CONDITIONS EXPECTED IN THE LONG RANGE PERIOD. THERE IS
A SMALL CHANCE OF SHOWERS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY
NIGHT...MAINLY IN THE MOUNTAINS AS WEAK COLD FRONTS PASS THROUGH
THE REGION.

BEHIND THE SECONDARY COLD FRONT...HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY
BUILD SOUTHEAST FROM CANADA WITH PERHAPS THE COLDEST AIR OF THE
YEAR. TEMPERATURES AT H850 WILL BE FROM ZERO TO -4C BY FRIDAY
MORNING. WITH CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS...THIS POTENTIALLY WILL
BE THE COLDEST MORNING OF THE YEAR SO FAR.

OTHERWISE...12Z MODEL SUITE REMAINS IN GOOD AGREEMENT THIS
MORNING...WITH A RELATIVE DRY TREND CONTINUING.

&&

.AVIATION /03Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
SHORT TERM...COLD FNT WILL CROSS THE REGION TONIGHT...WITH SCT TO
LIKELY SHOWERS. HOWEVER...FORCING IS ON THE WEAKER SIDE...AND
WIDESPREAD FLIGHT RESTRICTIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED. A FEW POCKETS OF
MVFR CIGS AND VSBYS ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT...BUT CONDITIONS WILL
QUICKLY IMPROVE TO VFR TUE BEHIND THE FNT.

LONG TERM...VFR TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...LATE TUE NIGHT SEAS WILL BUILD TO NEAR 5 FT ON THE
OUTER WATERS WILL PASSAGE OF COLD FNT. HOWEVER...EXPECT CONDITIONS
TO REMAIN BELOW SCA THRESHOLDS.

LONG TERM...NO FLAGS. HOWEVER...COLD AIR ADVECTION OVER RELATIVELY
WARMER WATERS MAY ALLOW FOR GUSTY WINDS THURSDAY AND THURSDAY
NIGHT BEHIND THE COLD FRONT.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

SCHWIBS




000
FXUS61 KGYX 160249
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
1049 PM EDT MON SEP 15 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST TONIGHT AND CROSS THE
REGION TUESDAY. A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH THROUGH
THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST
WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. HIGH [PRESSURE WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE
FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL HOLD OFF THE COAST THROUGH SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/...

1040 PM...I MADE MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO 1ST PERIOD GRIDS TO REFLECT
BOTH SATELLITE AND RADAR TRENDS...AS WELL AS INGESTING 02Z
MESONET. I ALSO ADDED MENTION OF SNOW SHOWERS TO MOUNTAIN SUMMITS
ABOVE 4THSD FEET FOR THE OVERNIGHT.

PREV DISC...
705 PM...MINOR ESTF UPDATE TO INGEST THE CURRENT MESONET INTO 1ST
PERIOD GRIDS.

PREV DISC...
COLD FNT CURRENTLY MOVING ACROSS THE ERN GREAT LAKES WILL CONTINUE
TO MOVE OUR WAY THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. INITIALLY THIS EVENING
MOSTLY CLEAR CONDITIONS SHOULD ALLOW TEMPS TO DROP QUICKLY. THESE
WILL STABILIZE AS CLOUDS MOVE OVERHEAD. EXPECT ANY RAIN TO DELAY
UNTIL AFTER MIDNIGHT. HOWEVER...FORCING IS NOT OVERLY IMPRESSIVE
AND I DO NOT EXPECT A WIDESPREAD PCPN EVENT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
THE LACK OF THICK CLOUD COVER AND STEADY PCPN WILL ALLOW DOWNSLOPE
SWLY WINDS TO ACTUALLY WARM AFTERNOON TEMPS AOA TODAY. THE
REMAINING SHRA CLEAR FROM W TO E TUE EARLY AFTERNOON. MODEL
GUIDANCE HAS CLEARING OCCURRING QUICKLY BEHIND THE FROPA...SO HAVE
INCLUDED THIS TREND IN THE FORECAST. NEXT FNT AND STRONGER SHOT OF
COLD AIR APPROACHES TUE NIGHT...WHICH SHOULD KEEP BOUNDARY LAYER
WELL MIXED ENOUGH TO PRECLUDE ANY TEMPS COLD ENOUGH FOR WIDESPREAD
FROST.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
VERY QUIET CONDITIONS EXPECTED IN THE LONG RANGE PERIOD. THERE IS
A SMALL CHANCE OF SHOWERS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY
NIGHT...MAINLY IN THE MOUNTAINS AS WEAK COLD FRONTS PASS THROUGH
THE REGION.

BEHIND THE SECONDARY COLD FRONT...HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY
BUILD SOUTHEAST FROM CANADA WITH PERHAPS THE COLDEST AIR OF THE
YEAR. TEMPERATURES AT H850 WILL BE FROM ZERO TO -4C BY FRIDAY
MORNING. WITH CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS...THIS POTENTIALLY WILL
BE THE COLDEST MORNING OF THE YEAR SO FAR.

OTHERWISE...12Z MODEL SUITE REMAINS IN GOOD AGREEMENT THIS
MORNING...WITH A RELATIVE DRY TREND CONTINUING.

&&

.AVIATION /03Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
SHORT TERM...COLD FNT WILL CROSS THE REGION TONIGHT...WITH SCT TO
LIKELY SHOWERS. HOWEVER...FORCING IS ON THE WEAKER SIDE...AND
WIDESPREAD FLIGHT RESTRICTIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED. A FEW POCKETS OF
MVFR CIGS AND VSBYS ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT...BUT CONDITIONS WILL
QUICKLY IMPROVE TO VFR TUE BEHIND THE FNT.

LONG TERM...VFR TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...LATE TUE NIGHT SEAS WILL BUILD TO NEAR 5 FT ON THE
OUTER WATERS WILL PASSAGE OF COLD FNT. HOWEVER...EXPECT CONDITIONS
TO REMAIN BELOW SCA THRESHOLDS.

LONG TERM...NO FLAGS. HOWEVER...COLD AIR ADVECTION OVER RELATIVELY
WARMER WATERS MAY ALLOW FOR GUSTY WINDS THURSDAY AND THURSDAY
NIGHT BEHIND THE COLD FRONT.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

SCHWIBS





000
FXUS61 KGYX 152322
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
722 PM EDT MON SEP 15 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST TONIGHT AND CROSS THE
REGION TUESDAY. A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH THROUGH
THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST
WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. HIGH [PRESSURE WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE
FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL HOLD OFF THE COAST THROUGH SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/...

705 PM...MINOR ESTF UPDATE TO INGEST THE CURRENT MESONET INTO 1ST
PERIOD GRIDS.

PREV DISC...
COLD FNT CURRENTLY MOVING ACROSS THE ERN GREAT LAKES WILL CONTINUE
TO MOVE OUR WAY THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. INITIALLY THIS EVENING
MOSTLY CLEAR CONDITIONS SHOULD ALLOW TEMPS TO DROP QUICKLY. THESE
WILL STABILIZE AS CLOUDS MOVE OVERHEAD. EXPECT ANY RAIN TO DELAY
UNTIL AFTER MIDNIGHT. HOWEVER...FORCING IS NOT OVERLY IMPRESSIVE
AND I DO NOT EXPECT A WIDESPREAD PCPN EVENT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
THE LACK OF THICK CLOUD COVER AND STEADY PCPN WILL ALLOW DOWNSLOPE
SWLY WINDS TO ACTUALLY WARM AFTERNOON TEMPS AOA TODAY. THE
REMAINING SHRA CLEAR FROM W TO E TUE EARLY AFTERNOON. MODEL
GUIDANCE HAS CLEARING OCCURRING QUICKLY BEHIND THE FROPA...SO HAVE
INCLUDED THIS TREND IN THE FORECAST. NEXT FNT AND STRONGER SHOT OF
COLD AIR APPROACHES TUE NIGHT...WHICH SHOULD KEEP BOUNDARY LAYER
WELL MIXED ENOUGH TO PRECLUDE ANY TEMPS COLD ENOUGH FOR WIDESPREAD
FROST.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
VERY QUIET CONDITIONS EXPECTED IN THE LONG RANGE PERIOD. THERE IS
A SMALL CHANCE OF SHOWERS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY
NIGHT...MAINLY IN THE MOUNTAINS AS WEAK COLD FRONTS PASS THROUGH
THE REGION.

BEHIND THE SECONDARY COLD FRONT...HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY
BUILD SOUTHEAST FROM CANADA WITH PERHAPS THE COLDEST AIR OF THE
YEAR. TEMPERATURES AT H850 WILL BE FROM ZERO TO -4C BY FRIDAY
MORNING. WITH CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS...THIS POTENTIALLY WILL
BE THE COLDEST MORNING OF THE YEAR SO FAR.

OTHERWISE...12Z MODEL SUITE REMAINS IN GOOD AGREEMENT THIS
MORNING...WITH A RELATIVE DRY TREND CONTINUING.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
SHORT TERM...COLD FNT WILL CROSS THE REGION TONIGHT...WITH SCT TO
LIKELY SHOWERS. HOWEVER...FORCING IS ON THE WEAKER SIDE...AND
WIDESPREAD FLIGHT RESTRICTIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED. A FEW POCKETS OF
MVFR CIGS AND VSBYS ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT...BUT CONDITIONS WILL
QUICKLY IMPROVE TO VFR TUE BEHIND THE FNT.

LONG TERM...VFR TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...LATE TUE NIGHT SEAS WILL BUILD TO NEAR 5 FT ON THE
OUTER WATERS WILL PASSAGE OF COLD FNT. HOWEVER...EXPECT CONDITIONS
TO REMAIN BELOW SCA THRESHOLDS.

LONG TERM...NO FLAGS. HOWEVER...COLD AIR ADVECTION OVER RELATIVELY
WARMER WATERS MAY ALLOW FOR GUSTY WINDS THURSDAY AND THURSDAY
NIGHT BEHIND THE COLD FRONT.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

SCHWIBS





000
FXUS61 KGYX 152322
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
722 PM EDT MON SEP 15 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST TONIGHT AND CROSS THE
REGION TUESDAY. A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH THROUGH
THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST
WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. HIGH [PRESSURE WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE
FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL HOLD OFF THE COAST THROUGH SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/...

705 PM...MINOR ESTF UPDATE TO INGEST THE CURRENT MESONET INTO 1ST
PERIOD GRIDS.

PREV DISC...
COLD FNT CURRENTLY MOVING ACROSS THE ERN GREAT LAKES WILL CONTINUE
TO MOVE OUR WAY THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. INITIALLY THIS EVENING
MOSTLY CLEAR CONDITIONS SHOULD ALLOW TEMPS TO DROP QUICKLY. THESE
WILL STABILIZE AS CLOUDS MOVE OVERHEAD. EXPECT ANY RAIN TO DELAY
UNTIL AFTER MIDNIGHT. HOWEVER...FORCING IS NOT OVERLY IMPRESSIVE
AND I DO NOT EXPECT A WIDESPREAD PCPN EVENT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
THE LACK OF THICK CLOUD COVER AND STEADY PCPN WILL ALLOW DOWNSLOPE
SWLY WINDS TO ACTUALLY WARM AFTERNOON TEMPS AOA TODAY. THE
REMAINING SHRA CLEAR FROM W TO E TUE EARLY AFTERNOON. MODEL
GUIDANCE HAS CLEARING OCCURRING QUICKLY BEHIND THE FROPA...SO HAVE
INCLUDED THIS TREND IN THE FORECAST. NEXT FNT AND STRONGER SHOT OF
COLD AIR APPROACHES TUE NIGHT...WHICH SHOULD KEEP BOUNDARY LAYER
WELL MIXED ENOUGH TO PRECLUDE ANY TEMPS COLD ENOUGH FOR WIDESPREAD
FROST.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
VERY QUIET CONDITIONS EXPECTED IN THE LONG RANGE PERIOD. THERE IS
A SMALL CHANCE OF SHOWERS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY
NIGHT...MAINLY IN THE MOUNTAINS AS WEAK COLD FRONTS PASS THROUGH
THE REGION.

BEHIND THE SECONDARY COLD FRONT...HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY
BUILD SOUTHEAST FROM CANADA WITH PERHAPS THE COLDEST AIR OF THE
YEAR. TEMPERATURES AT H850 WILL BE FROM ZERO TO -4C BY FRIDAY
MORNING. WITH CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS...THIS POTENTIALLY WILL
BE THE COLDEST MORNING OF THE YEAR SO FAR.

OTHERWISE...12Z MODEL SUITE REMAINS IN GOOD AGREEMENT THIS
MORNING...WITH A RELATIVE DRY TREND CONTINUING.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
SHORT TERM...COLD FNT WILL CROSS THE REGION TONIGHT...WITH SCT TO
LIKELY SHOWERS. HOWEVER...FORCING IS ON THE WEAKER SIDE...AND
WIDESPREAD FLIGHT RESTRICTIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED. A FEW POCKETS OF
MVFR CIGS AND VSBYS ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT...BUT CONDITIONS WILL
QUICKLY IMPROVE TO VFR TUE BEHIND THE FNT.

LONG TERM...VFR TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...LATE TUE NIGHT SEAS WILL BUILD TO NEAR 5 FT ON THE
OUTER WATERS WILL PASSAGE OF COLD FNT. HOWEVER...EXPECT CONDITIONS
TO REMAIN BELOW SCA THRESHOLDS.

LONG TERM...NO FLAGS. HOWEVER...COLD AIR ADVECTION OVER RELATIVELY
WARMER WATERS MAY ALLOW FOR GUSTY WINDS THURSDAY AND THURSDAY
NIGHT BEHIND THE COLD FRONT.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

SCHWIBS




000
FXUS61 KGYX 151833
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
233 PM EDT MON SEP 15 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST TONIGHT AND WILL CROSS
THE REGION ON TUESDAY. A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH
THROUGH THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM
THE WEST WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. HIGH [PRESSURE WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL HOLD OFF THE COAST THROUGH
SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY/...
COLD FNT CURRENTLY MOVING ACROSS THE ERN GREAT LAKES WILL CONTINUE
TO MOVE OUR WAY THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. INITIALLY THIS EVENING
MOSTLY CLEAR CONDITIONS SHOULD ALLOW TEMPS TO DROP QUICKLY. THESE
WILL STABILIZE AS CLOUDS MOVE OVERHEAD. EXPECT ANY RAIN TO DELAY
UNTIL AFTER MIDNIGHT. HOWEVER...FORCING IS NOT OVERLY IMPRESSIVE
AND I DO NOT EXPECT A WIDESPREAD PCPN EVENT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT/...
THE LACK OF THICK CLOUD COVER AND STEADY PCPN WILL ALLOW DOWNSLOPE
SWLY WINDS TO ACTUALLY WARM AFTERNOON TEMPS AOA TODAY. THE
REMAINING SHRA CLEAR FROM W TO E TUE EARLY AFTERNOON. MODEL
GUIDANCE HAS CLEARING OCCURRING QUICKLY BEHIND THE FROPA...SO HAVE
INCLUDED THIS TREND IN THE FORECAST. NEXT FNT AND STRONGER SHOT OF
COLD AIR APPROACHES TUE NIGHT...WHICH SHOULD KEEP BOUNDARY LAYER
WELL MIXED ENOUGH TO PRECLUDE ANY TEMPS COLD ENOUGH FOR WIDESPREAD
FROST.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
VERY QUIET CONDITIONS EXPECTED IN THE LONG RANGE PERIOD. THERE IS
A SMALL CHANCE OF SHOWERS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY
NIGHT...MAINLY IN THE MOUNTAINS AS WEAK COLD FRONTS PASS THROUGH
THE REGION.

BEHIND THE SECONDARY COLD FRONT...HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY
BUILD SOUTHEAST FROM CANADA WITH PERHAPS THE COLDEST AIR OF THE
YEAR. TEMPERATURES AT H850 WILL BE FROM ZERO TO -4C BY FRIDAY
MORNING. WITH CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS...THIS POTENTIALLY WILL
BE THE COLDEST MORNING OF THE YEAR SO FAR.

OTHERWISE...12Z MODEL SUITE REMAINS IN GOOD AGREEMENT THIS
MORNING...WITH A RELATIVE DRY TREND CONTINUING.

&&

.AVIATION /17Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
SHORT TERM...COLD FNT WILL CROSS THE REGION TONIGHT...WITH SCT TO
LIKELY SHOWERS. HOWEVER...FORCING IS ON THE WEAKER SIDE...AND
WIDESPREAD FLIGHT RESTRICTIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED. A FEW POCKETS OF
MVFR CIGS AND VSBYS ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT...BUT CONDITIONS WILL
QUICKLY IMPROVE TO VFR TUE BEHIND THE FNT.

LONG TERM...VFR TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...LATE TUE NIGHT SEAS WILL BUILD TO NEAR 5 FT ON THE
OUTER WATERS WILL PASSAGE OF COLD FNT. HOWEVER...EXPECT CONDITIONS
TO REMAIN BELOW SCA THRESHOLDS.

LONG TERM...NO FLAGS. HOWEVER...COLD AIR ADVECTION OVER RELATIVELY
WARMER WATERS MAY ALLOW FOR GUSTY WINDS THURSDAY AND THURSDAY
NIGHT BEHIND THE COLD FRONT.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

LEGRO/JC





000
FXUS61 KGYX 151833
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
233 PM EDT MON SEP 15 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST TONIGHT AND WILL CROSS
THE REGION ON TUESDAY. A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH
THROUGH THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM
THE WEST WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. HIGH [PRESSURE WILL SHIFT
OFFSHORE FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL HOLD OFF THE COAST THROUGH
SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY/...
COLD FNT CURRENTLY MOVING ACROSS THE ERN GREAT LAKES WILL CONTINUE
TO MOVE OUR WAY THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. INITIALLY THIS EVENING
MOSTLY CLEAR CONDITIONS SHOULD ALLOW TEMPS TO DROP QUICKLY. THESE
WILL STABILIZE AS CLOUDS MOVE OVERHEAD. EXPECT ANY RAIN TO DELAY
UNTIL AFTER MIDNIGHT. HOWEVER...FORCING IS NOT OVERLY IMPRESSIVE
AND I DO NOT EXPECT A WIDESPREAD PCPN EVENT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT/...
THE LACK OF THICK CLOUD COVER AND STEADY PCPN WILL ALLOW DOWNSLOPE
SWLY WINDS TO ACTUALLY WARM AFTERNOON TEMPS AOA TODAY. THE
REMAINING SHRA CLEAR FROM W TO E TUE EARLY AFTERNOON. MODEL
GUIDANCE HAS CLEARING OCCURRING QUICKLY BEHIND THE FROPA...SO HAVE
INCLUDED THIS TREND IN THE FORECAST. NEXT FNT AND STRONGER SHOT OF
COLD AIR APPROACHES TUE NIGHT...WHICH SHOULD KEEP BOUNDARY LAYER
WELL MIXED ENOUGH TO PRECLUDE ANY TEMPS COLD ENOUGH FOR WIDESPREAD
FROST.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
VERY QUIET CONDITIONS EXPECTED IN THE LONG RANGE PERIOD. THERE IS
A SMALL CHANCE OF SHOWERS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY
NIGHT...MAINLY IN THE MOUNTAINS AS WEAK COLD FRONTS PASS THROUGH
THE REGION.

BEHIND THE SECONDARY COLD FRONT...HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY
BUILD SOUTHEAST FROM CANADA WITH PERHAPS THE COLDEST AIR OF THE
YEAR. TEMPERATURES AT H850 WILL BE FROM ZERO TO -4C BY FRIDAY
MORNING. WITH CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS...THIS POTENTIALLY WILL
BE THE COLDEST MORNING OF THE YEAR SO FAR.

OTHERWISE...12Z MODEL SUITE REMAINS IN GOOD AGREEMENT THIS
MORNING...WITH A RELATIVE DRY TREND CONTINUING.

&&

.AVIATION /17Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
SHORT TERM...COLD FNT WILL CROSS THE REGION TONIGHT...WITH SCT TO
LIKELY SHOWERS. HOWEVER...FORCING IS ON THE WEAKER SIDE...AND
WIDESPREAD FLIGHT RESTRICTIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED. A FEW POCKETS OF
MVFR CIGS AND VSBYS ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT...BUT CONDITIONS WILL
QUICKLY IMPROVE TO VFR TUE BEHIND THE FNT.

LONG TERM...VFR TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...LATE TUE NIGHT SEAS WILL BUILD TO NEAR 5 FT ON THE
OUTER WATERS WILL PASSAGE OF COLD FNT. HOWEVER...EXPECT CONDITIONS
TO REMAIN BELOW SCA THRESHOLDS.

LONG TERM...NO FLAGS. HOWEVER...COLD AIR ADVECTION OVER RELATIVELY
WARMER WATERS MAY ALLOW FOR GUSTY WINDS THURSDAY AND THURSDAY
NIGHT BEHIND THE COLD FRONT.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

LEGRO/JC




000
FXUS61 KGYX 151417 AAA
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
1017 AM EDT MON SEP 15 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE TODAY. A COLD FRONT WILL
APPROACH FROM THE WEST TONIGHT AND WILL CROSS THE REGION ON
TUESDAY. A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION
ON WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST WEDNESDAY
NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. HIGH [PRESSURE WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE FRIDAY
NIGHT AND WILL HOLD OFF THE COAST THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
UPDATE...SOME MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO GRIDS TO REFLECT CURRENT
OBSERVATIONAL TRENDS. LARGEST CHANGES WERE TO SKY COVER...WHICH
THERE IS LITTLE OF ATTM. ACROSS THE NRN ZONES SOME BROKEN CLOUDS
WILL GRADUALLY ENCROACH FROM THE W...AS THEY MOVE IN FROM
ADIRONDACKS AND SRN QUEBEC.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM TUESDAY/...
TONIGHT`S LOWS WILL BE WARMER THAN THIS MORNING`S WITH INSULATING
CLOUD COVER. STILL WE WILL LIKELY DROP INTO THE UPPER 30S ALONG
THE CANADIAN BORDER. ELSEWHERE WE WILL BE IN THE 40S WITH READINGS
NEAR 50 ALONG THE COAST. SHOWERS WILL ARRIVE GENERALLY AFTER
MIDNIGHT FROM WEST TO EAST WITH LIGHT RAIN FALLING THROUGH EARLY
AFTERNOON. SW WINDS SHOULD HELP HIGHS REACH THE UPPER 50S TO MID
60S WITH PERHAPS A COUPLE HIGHER READINGS OVER THE SW...DEPENDING
ON HOW FAST THE DRY SLOT ARRIVES.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTH TUESDAY NIGHT
BRINGING INCREASING CLOUDS TO NORTHERN ZONES AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LITTLE IN THE WAY OF FORCING WITH THIS BOUNDARY SO NOT GOING WITH
MUCH IN THE WAY OF POPS.

THE FRONT WILL SLOWLY SAG SOUTH INTO THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY. WEAK
SHORTWAVE PASSING TO THE NORTH MAY KICK OFF A FEW LATE DAY
SHOWERS IN NORTHERN ZONES. FRONT WILL FINALLY PUSH SOUTH OF THE
REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST.
MAY SEE A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS IN NORTHERN ZONES BUT EXPECT THE
MAJORITY OF THE FORECAST AREA TO SEE A DRY NIGHT.

MORNING CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY GIVE WAY TO SUNNY SKIES ON THURSDAY
AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST. WILL SEE FALL LIKE
TEMPS AS COLD CANADIAN AIRMASS SETTLES INTO THE REGION. HIGHS WILL
RANGE FROM THE MID 50S TO THE MID 60S.

FAIR WEATHER CONTINUES THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
CRESTS OVER THE REGION. WILL LIKELY SEE A HARD FREEZE IN NORTHERN
ZONES THURSDAY NIGHT AND AREAS OF FROST IN SOUTHERN INTERIOR AND
CENTRAL PORTIONS OF MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE.

HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS OFFSHORE FRIDAY NIGHT AND RETURN FLOW WILL
BRING MODERATING TEMPS BACK INTO THE REGION ON SATURDAY. BROAD AREA
OF OVER-RUNNING SETTING UP TO THE WEST WILL BRING INCREASING
CLOUDS ON SATURDAY AND THE CHANCE FOR A LATE DAY SHOWER IN FAR
NORTHERN ZONES.

COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST SATURDAY NIGHT AND
SUNDAY. SHORTWAVE SWINGING IN FROM THE WEST WILL SPIN UP SURFACE
LOW PRESSURE ACROSS WESTERN QUEBEC ON SUNDAY....DRIVING A COLD FRONT
TOWARD THE REGION. WILL SEE INCREASING CLOUDS ON SUNDAY WITH A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS PUSHING INTO FAR NORTHWEST ZONES BY LATE IN THE
DAY. COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY PUSH INTO THE REGION FROM THE WEST
SUNDAY NIGHT BRINGING A ROUND OF SHOWERS TO THE AREA.

FRONT WILL PUSH OFFSHORE MONDAY MORNING. EXPECT MORNING CLOUDS TO
GIVE WAY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE
WEST.

&&

.AVIATION /14Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
SHORT TERM...LIFR OR LOWER THIS MORNING THROUGH 1330Z AT KHIE...
KCON... AND KLEB IN STRATUS AND FOG WILL IMPROVE TO VFR CONDITIONS
EVERYWHERE TODAY. LOWERING CEILINGS LIKELY TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY
WITH MVFR TO VFR CONDITIONS IN SHOWERS.

LONG TERM...VFR TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...NO FLAGS.

LONG TERM...NO FLAGS.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...LEGRO




000
FXUS61 KGYX 151056 AAA
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
656 AM EDT MON SEP 15 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE TODAY. A COLD FRONT WILL
APPROACH FROM THE WEST TONIGHT AND WILL CROSS THE REGION ON
TUESDAY. A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION
ON WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST WEDNESDAY
NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. HIGH [PRESSURE WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE FRIDAY
NIGHT AND WILL HOLD OFF THE COAST THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
.UPDATE...
ONLY MADE SLIGHT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST THIS MORNING FOR SKY
COVER...HOURLY TEMPERATURES...AND DEW POINTS. AREA OF CLOUDS OVER
THE NORTHERN COUNTIES IS BREAKING UP SLOWLY. NO OTHER CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST AT THIS TIME.

&&

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
CLOUDS NEAR THE 925MB LEVEL ARE LOCATED ACROSS PORTIONS OF
COOS...FRANKLIN...AND SOMERSET COUNTIES AS WELL AS SULLIVAN COUNTY
THIS MORNING. THIS HAS DISRUPTED RADIATIONAL COOLING AND MAY
PREVENT FROST FROM FORMING. HAVE NOT CANCELLED THE FROST ADVISORY
FOR THESE AREAS HOWEVER AS THE CLOUDS ARE SLOWLY MOVING AND WE
HAVE SEVERAL MORE HOURS IN THE ADVISORY. THAT SAID...IT WILL BE
MUCH HARDER AT THIS POINT FOR FROST TO DEVELOP IN THESE AREAS.
OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE FROST ADVISORY SUCH AS THE REMAINING
MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS ARE ALREADY APPROACHING THE MID 30S.

ADDITIONAL CLOUDINESS BLANKETS THE COAST AND THE MESOMODEL WHICH
DID PICK UP ON THESE CLOUDS...NAMELY THE RAP...SHOW THIS BROKEN
TO OVERCAST DECK MOVING OFFSHORE BY MID MORNING. WE SHOULD SEE A
QUICK WARM UP TODAY WITH HIGHS TOPPING OUT NEAR THE UPPER 50S
NORTH TO LOWER TO MID 60S SOUTH AS HIGH PRESSURE SLIDES NW TO SE
ACROSS THE AREA. INCREASING CLOUDS WILL APPEAR LATE TONIGHT AS A
COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM TUESDAY/...
TONIGHT`S LOWS WILL BE WARMER THAN THIS MORNING`S WITH INSULATING
CLOUD COVER. STILL WE WILL LIKELY DROP INTO THE UPPER 30S ALONG
THE CANADIAN BORDER. ELSEWHERE WE WILL BE IN THE 40S WITH READINGS
NEAR 50 ALONG THE COAST. SHOWERS WILL ARRIVE GENERALLY AFTER
MIDNIGHT FROM WEST TO EAST WITH LIGHT RAIN FALLING THROUGH EARLY
AFTERNOON. SW WINDS SHOULD HELP HIGHS REACH THE UPPER 50S TO MID
60S WITH PERHAPS A COUPLE HIGHER READINGS OVER THE SW...DEPENDING
ON HOW FAST THE DRY SLOT ARRIVES.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTH TUESDAY NIGHT
BRINGING INCREASING CLOUDS TO NORTHERN ZONES AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LITTLE IN THE WAY OF FORCING WITH THIS BOUNDARY SO NOT GOING WITH
MUCH IN THE WAY OF POPS.

THE FRONT WILL SLOWLY SAG SOUTH INTO THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY. WEAK
SHORTWAVE PASSING TO THE NORTH MAY KICK OFF A FEW LATE DAY
SHOWERS IN NORTHERN ZONES. FRONT WILL FINALLY PUSH SOUTH OF THE
REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST.
MAY SEE A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS IN NORTHERN ZONES BUT EXPECT THE
MAJORITY OF THE FORECAST AREA TO SEE A DRY NIGHT.

MORNING CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY GIVE WAY TO SUNNY SKIES ON THURSDAY
AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST. WILL SEE FALL LIKE
TEMPS AS COLD CANADIAN AIRMASS SETTLES INTO THE REGION. HIGHS WILL
RANGE FROM THE MID 50S TO THE MID 60S.

FAIR WEATHER CONTINUES THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
CRESTS OVER THE REGION. WILL LIKELY SEE A HARD FREEZE IN NORTHERN
ZONES THURSDAY NIGHT AND AREAS OF FROST IN SOUTHERN INTERIOR AND
CENTRAL PORTIONS OF MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE.

HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS OFFSHORE FRIDAY NIGHT AND RETURN FLOW WILL
BRING MODERATING TEMPS BACK INTO THE REGION ON SATURDAY. BROAD AREA
OF OVER-RUNNING SETTING UP TO THE WEST WILL BRING INCREASING
CLOUDS ON SATURDAY AND THE CHANCE FOR A LATE DAY SHOWER IN FAR
NORTHERN ZONES.

COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST SATURDAY NIGHT AND
SUNDAY. SHORTWAVE SWINGING IN FROM THE WEST WILL SPIN UP SURFACE
LOW PRESSURE ACROSS WESTERN QUEBEC ON SUNDAY....DRIVING A COLD FRONT
TOWARD THE REGION. WILL SEE INCREASING CLOUDS ON SUNDAY WITH A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS PUSHING INTO FAR NORTHWEST ZONES BY LATE IN THE
DAY. COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY PUSH INTO THE REGION FROM THE WEST
SUNDAY NIGHT BRINGING A ROUND OF SHOWERS TO THE AREA.

FRONT WILL PUSH OFFSHORE MONDAY MORNING. EXPECT MORNING CLOUDS TO
GIVE WAY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE
WEST.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
SHORT TERM...LIFR OR LOWER THIS MORNING THROUGH 1330Z AT KHIE...
KCON... AND KLEB IN STRATUS AND FOG WILL IMPROVE TO VFR CONDITIONS
EVERYWHERE TODAY. LOWERING CEILINGS LIKELY TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY
WITH MVFR TO VFR CONDITIONS IN SHOWERS.

LONG TERM...VFR TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...NO FLAGS.

LONG TERM...NO FLAGS.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...FROST ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR MEZ007>009-012.
NH...FROST ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR NHZ001>009.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

HANES/SINSABAUGH




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