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000
FXUS61 KGYX 012247
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
647 PM EDT WED APR 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT BEFORE SLIDING
OFFSHORE EARLY THURSDAY. A DEVELOPING WARM FRONT WILL PUSH NORTH
ACROSS NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND ON THURSDAY...INTRODUCING WARMER AIR
TO MOST OF THE AREA AND BRINGING PRECIPITATION TO NORTHERN AREAS.
A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA ON FRIDAY WITH MORE
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS. THE FRONT WILL STALL OFFSHORE FRIDAY NIGHT
WHILE LOW PRESSURE MOVES TO THE NORTHEAST ALONG IT... SPREADING
PRECIPITATION INTO MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE. AS THE LOW MOVES AWAY
ON SATURDAY HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN BEHIND IT.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 7 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
7 PM UPDATE...LITTLE CHANGE TO THE GOING FORECAST. THIS EVENING
WILL FEATURE DIMINISHING WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES.

PREVIOUSLY...

AT 18Z...A 1024 MILLIBAR RIDGE WAS DRAPED ACROSS THE EASTERN GREAT
LAKES. WITH THE EXCEPTION OF A FEW HIGH CLOUDS ON GOES IMAGERY...SKIES
WERE MAINLY SUNNY ACROSS THE REGION UNDER THE BUILDING RIDGE. TEMPERATURES
WERE RUNNING CLOSE TO TEN DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE UNDER THE STRONG EARLY
APRIL SUNSHINE WITH GUSTY NORTHERLY WIND ADDING AN ADDITIONAL BITE
TO THE AIR. WINDS WILL DROP OFF THIS EVENING AS WE DECOUPLE AND AS
THE GRADIENT BEGINS TO RELAX. IT`LL BE ANOTHER COLD NIGHT WITH
LOWS IN THE TEENS AND LOWER 20S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /7 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
AS THE HIGH SHIFTS OFFSHORE EARLY THURSDAY... A SOUTHWEST FLOW
WILL DEVELOP AND RAPIDLY TRANSPORT WARMER AIR NORTHWARD. A WARM
FRONT WILL SHARPEN ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE DAY AND PROVIDE THE
FOCUS FOR CLOUDS AND SOME LIGHT PRECIPITATION ALONG AND TO THE NORTH
OF IT. SOME LIGHT SNOW OR SLEET EARLY IN THE MOUNTAINS AND
FOOTHILLS...FOLLOWED BY A QUICK TRANSITION TO MAINLY LIGHT RAIN
OR SHOWERS...WITH A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN POSSIBLE.
THE EXCEPTION WILL BE ACROSS OUR FAR NORTHERN MOUNTAIN ZONES NEAR
THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER WITH A LIGHT MIX COULD LINGER. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER 50S IN EXTREME SOUTHERN NEW
HAMPSHIRE TO AROUND 40 NEAR THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER. ANY WINTRY
PRECIPITATION ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY LIGHT TOMORROW.

THE COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY
NIGHT ACCOMPANIED BY A FEW SHOWERS. LOWS WILL BE IN THE UPPER 30S
TO MID 40S...BUT NORTHERN SECTIONS OF SOMERSET AND FRANKLIN
COUNTIES WILL COOL TO NEAR FREEZING BY FRIDAY MORNING WHERE SOME
PATCHY BLACK ICE CAN`T BE RULED OUT.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
OVERALL 500MB +PNA PATTERN CONTINUES TO HOLD BUT IS GRADUALLY
BECOMING LESS AMPLIFIED...WHICH IS LIKELY DUE TO SEASONAL CHANGES
MORE THAN ANYTHING ELSE. HOWEVER...ERN ATLANTIC AND WRN PACIFIC
PACIFIC BLOCKING CONTINUES TO HANG ON...WHICH WILL KEEP US
GENERALLY RUNNING BLO NORMAL THRU THE EXTENDED...WITH MOSTLY FAST
MOVING SYSTEMS.

THE LONG RANGE STARTS WITH THE MOST AMPLIFIED SYSTEM IN THE
PERIOD AS 500 TROUGH OVER THE GREAT LAKES DIGS EQUATORWARD ON FRI
AND TILTS NEG AS IT SWING THRU NEW ENGLAND SAT. FRI LOOKS TO BE
THE ONE ABV NORMAL DAY WE WILL SE...WITH HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
PERHAPS AROUND 60 IN SRN NH AS AFC COLD FRONT STALLS OVER THE
AREA. THIS WILL LIKELY BE WITH A FAIR AMOUNT OF CLOUDS DURING THEN
DAY AS THE WARM SECTOR MOVES OVERHEAD AND WE SIT IN SFC
OCCLUSION...ALTHOUGH ENOUGH SW FLOW COULD MIX OUT SOME AFTERNOON
BREAKS OF SUN...ESECIALLY INLAND PARTS OF NH AND INTERIOR SW ME.
ANY SHRA SHOULD BE LIMITED TO THE MORNING.

SFC WAVE DEVELOPS ON THE FRONT WHICH TRACKS NE ALONG THE FRONT
LATE FRI NIGHT INTO SAT...BRING A ROUND OF STEADY PRECIP TO THE
AREA. DEPENDING ON WHERE THIS LOW TRACKS AND WHERE THE COLD FRONT
ENDS UP WILL DETERMINE WHERE THE PRECIP CHANGES TO SNOW AND HOW
MUCH ACCUMULATES. ATTM...BEST CHC FOR ANY APPRECIABLE
ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE IN THE MTNS...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS
CLOSE TO THE INTL BORDER AND IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN...WHERE SEVERAL
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. THE COASTAL PLAIN OF ME AND ALL OF SRN NH
WILL GENERALLY STAY RAIN...ALTHOUGH COULD MIX WITH A LITTLE WET
SNOW AS THE PRECIP ENDS SAT AFTERNOON. ALL THE PRECIP WINDS DOWN
SAT NIGHT AND IT TURNS COLD AGAIN WITH LOWS BACK IN THE TEENS N
AND MID TO UPPER 20S S.

WEAK LOW PRES BUILDS TO THE S ON SUNDAY...BUT WILL NOT ALLOW
REMAIN OF FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO MOVE TOO FAR S...AND ANOTHER WAVE
BRINGS A THREAT OF SOME LIGHT SNOW SUN NIGHT. THE EARLY TO MID
PART OF NEXT WEEK LOOKS TO REMAIN COOL AND UNSETTLED WITH WEAK
BAROCLINIC ZONE STALLED OVER THE AREA BENEATH NEAR ZONAL FLOW
ALOFT WITH WEAK WAVES IN THE FLOW THREATENING TO SET OFF PRECIP
EVERY 24 HOURS OR SO.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS. GUSTY NW WINDS WILL QUICKLY DIMINISH
BY EVENING. INCREASING CLOUDS EXPECTED THU MORNING WITH MVFR OR
BRIEF LCL IFR CONDITIONS PSBL IN NORTHERN AREAS CLOSER TO THE
DEVELOPING WARM FRONT. MVFR THU NIGHT WITH LCL IFR PSBL IN
SHOWERS.

LONG TERM...FLIGHT RESTRICTIONS EXPECTED FRI INTO SAT...AT LEAST
MVFR...ALTHOUGH THERE COULD SEE SOME VFR AT TIMES FRI
AFTERNOON...WITH A PERIOD OF IFR OR LOWER FRI NIGHT INTO SAT
MORNING.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SCA HAS BEEN DROPPED AS WIND AND SEAS DIMINISH WITH
APPROACH OF SURFACE HIGH. WINDS AND SEAS SHOULD ONCE AGAIN REACH
SMALL CRAFT THRESHOLD THURSDAY NIGHT AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING COLD
FRONT.

LONG TERM...SCA EXPECTED SAT NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$





000
FXUS61 KGYX 012247
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
647 PM EDT WED APR 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT BEFORE SLIDING
OFFSHORE EARLY THURSDAY. A DEVELOPING WARM FRONT WILL PUSH NORTH
ACROSS NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND ON THURSDAY...INTRODUCING WARMER AIR
TO MOST OF THE AREA AND BRINGING PRECIPITATION TO NORTHERN AREAS.
A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA ON FRIDAY WITH MORE
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS. THE FRONT WILL STALL OFFSHORE FRIDAY NIGHT
WHILE LOW PRESSURE MOVES TO THE NORTHEAST ALONG IT... SPREADING
PRECIPITATION INTO MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE. AS THE LOW MOVES AWAY
ON SATURDAY HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN BEHIND IT.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 7 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
7 PM UPDATE...LITTLE CHANGE TO THE GOING FORECAST. THIS EVENING
WILL FEATURE DIMINISHING WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES.

PREVIOUSLY...

AT 18Z...A 1024 MILLIBAR RIDGE WAS DRAPED ACROSS THE EASTERN GREAT
LAKES. WITH THE EXCEPTION OF A FEW HIGH CLOUDS ON GOES IMAGERY...SKIES
WERE MAINLY SUNNY ACROSS THE REGION UNDER THE BUILDING RIDGE. TEMPERATURES
WERE RUNNING CLOSE TO TEN DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE UNDER THE STRONG EARLY
APRIL SUNSHINE WITH GUSTY NORTHERLY WIND ADDING AN ADDITIONAL BITE
TO THE AIR. WINDS WILL DROP OFF THIS EVENING AS WE DECOUPLE AND AS
THE GRADIENT BEGINS TO RELAX. IT`LL BE ANOTHER COLD NIGHT WITH
LOWS IN THE TEENS AND LOWER 20S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /7 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
AS THE HIGH SHIFTS OFFSHORE EARLY THURSDAY... A SOUTHWEST FLOW
WILL DEVELOP AND RAPIDLY TRANSPORT WARMER AIR NORTHWARD. A WARM
FRONT WILL SHARPEN ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE DAY AND PROVIDE THE
FOCUS FOR CLOUDS AND SOME LIGHT PRECIPITATION ALONG AND TO THE NORTH
OF IT. SOME LIGHT SNOW OR SLEET EARLY IN THE MOUNTAINS AND
FOOTHILLS...FOLLOWED BY A QUICK TRANSITION TO MAINLY LIGHT RAIN
OR SHOWERS...WITH A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN POSSIBLE.
THE EXCEPTION WILL BE ACROSS OUR FAR NORTHERN MOUNTAIN ZONES NEAR
THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER WITH A LIGHT MIX COULD LINGER. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER 50S IN EXTREME SOUTHERN NEW
HAMPSHIRE TO AROUND 40 NEAR THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER. ANY WINTRY
PRECIPITATION ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY LIGHT TOMORROW.

THE COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY
NIGHT ACCOMPANIED BY A FEW SHOWERS. LOWS WILL BE IN THE UPPER 30S
TO MID 40S...BUT NORTHERN SECTIONS OF SOMERSET AND FRANKLIN
COUNTIES WILL COOL TO NEAR FREEZING BY FRIDAY MORNING WHERE SOME
PATCHY BLACK ICE CAN`T BE RULED OUT.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
OVERALL 500MB +PNA PATTERN CONTINUES TO HOLD BUT IS GRADUALLY
BECOMING LESS AMPLIFIED...WHICH IS LIKELY DUE TO SEASONAL CHANGES
MORE THAN ANYTHING ELSE. HOWEVER...ERN ATLANTIC AND WRN PACIFIC
PACIFIC BLOCKING CONTINUES TO HANG ON...WHICH WILL KEEP US
GENERALLY RUNNING BLO NORMAL THRU THE EXTENDED...WITH MOSTLY FAST
MOVING SYSTEMS.

THE LONG RANGE STARTS WITH THE MOST AMPLIFIED SYSTEM IN THE
PERIOD AS 500 TROUGH OVER THE GREAT LAKES DIGS EQUATORWARD ON FRI
AND TILTS NEG AS IT SWING THRU NEW ENGLAND SAT. FRI LOOKS TO BE
THE ONE ABV NORMAL DAY WE WILL SE...WITH HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
PERHAPS AROUND 60 IN SRN NH AS AFC COLD FRONT STALLS OVER THE
AREA. THIS WILL LIKELY BE WITH A FAIR AMOUNT OF CLOUDS DURING THEN
DAY AS THE WARM SECTOR MOVES OVERHEAD AND WE SIT IN SFC
OCCLUSION...ALTHOUGH ENOUGH SW FLOW COULD MIX OUT SOME AFTERNOON
BREAKS OF SUN...ESECIALLY INLAND PARTS OF NH AND INTERIOR SW ME.
ANY SHRA SHOULD BE LIMITED TO THE MORNING.

SFC WAVE DEVELOPS ON THE FRONT WHICH TRACKS NE ALONG THE FRONT
LATE FRI NIGHT INTO SAT...BRING A ROUND OF STEADY PRECIP TO THE
AREA. DEPENDING ON WHERE THIS LOW TRACKS AND WHERE THE COLD FRONT
ENDS UP WILL DETERMINE WHERE THE PRECIP CHANGES TO SNOW AND HOW
MUCH ACCUMULATES. ATTM...BEST CHC FOR ANY APPRECIABLE
ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE IN THE MTNS...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS
CLOSE TO THE INTL BORDER AND IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN...WHERE SEVERAL
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. THE COASTAL PLAIN OF ME AND ALL OF SRN NH
WILL GENERALLY STAY RAIN...ALTHOUGH COULD MIX WITH A LITTLE WET
SNOW AS THE PRECIP ENDS SAT AFTERNOON. ALL THE PRECIP WINDS DOWN
SAT NIGHT AND IT TURNS COLD AGAIN WITH LOWS BACK IN THE TEENS N
AND MID TO UPPER 20S S.

WEAK LOW PRES BUILDS TO THE S ON SUNDAY...BUT WILL NOT ALLOW
REMAIN OF FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO MOVE TOO FAR S...AND ANOTHER WAVE
BRINGS A THREAT OF SOME LIGHT SNOW SUN NIGHT. THE EARLY TO MID
PART OF NEXT WEEK LOOKS TO REMAIN COOL AND UNSETTLED WITH WEAK
BAROCLINIC ZONE STALLED OVER THE AREA BENEATH NEAR ZONAL FLOW
ALOFT WITH WEAK WAVES IN THE FLOW THREATENING TO SET OFF PRECIP
EVERY 24 HOURS OR SO.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS. GUSTY NW WINDS WILL QUICKLY DIMINISH
BY EVENING. INCREASING CLOUDS EXPECTED THU MORNING WITH MVFR OR
BRIEF LCL IFR CONDITIONS PSBL IN NORTHERN AREAS CLOSER TO THE
DEVELOPING WARM FRONT. MVFR THU NIGHT WITH LCL IFR PSBL IN
SHOWERS.

LONG TERM...FLIGHT RESTRICTIONS EXPECTED FRI INTO SAT...AT LEAST
MVFR...ALTHOUGH THERE COULD SEE SOME VFR AT TIMES FRI
AFTERNOON...WITH A PERIOD OF IFR OR LOWER FRI NIGHT INTO SAT
MORNING.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SCA HAS BEEN DROPPED AS WIND AND SEAS DIMINISH WITH
APPROACH OF SURFACE HIGH. WINDS AND SEAS SHOULD ONCE AGAIN REACH
SMALL CRAFT THRESHOLD THURSDAY NIGHT AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING COLD
FRONT.

LONG TERM...SCA EXPECTED SAT NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$




000
FXUS61 KGYX 012247
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
647 PM EDT WED APR 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT BEFORE SLIDING
OFFSHORE EARLY THURSDAY. A DEVELOPING WARM FRONT WILL PUSH NORTH
ACROSS NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND ON THURSDAY...INTRODUCING WARMER AIR
TO MOST OF THE AREA AND BRINGING PRECIPITATION TO NORTHERN AREAS.
A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA ON FRIDAY WITH MORE
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS. THE FRONT WILL STALL OFFSHORE FRIDAY NIGHT
WHILE LOW PRESSURE MOVES TO THE NORTHEAST ALONG IT... SPREADING
PRECIPITATION INTO MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE. AS THE LOW MOVES AWAY
ON SATURDAY HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN BEHIND IT.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 7 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
7 PM UPDATE...LITTLE CHANGE TO THE GOING FORECAST. THIS EVENING
WILL FEATURE DIMINISHING WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES.

PREVIOUSLY...

AT 18Z...A 1024 MILLIBAR RIDGE WAS DRAPED ACROSS THE EASTERN GREAT
LAKES. WITH THE EXCEPTION OF A FEW HIGH CLOUDS ON GOES IMAGERY...SKIES
WERE MAINLY SUNNY ACROSS THE REGION UNDER THE BUILDING RIDGE. TEMPERATURES
WERE RUNNING CLOSE TO TEN DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE UNDER THE STRONG EARLY
APRIL SUNSHINE WITH GUSTY NORTHERLY WIND ADDING AN ADDITIONAL BITE
TO THE AIR. WINDS WILL DROP OFF THIS EVENING AS WE DECOUPLE AND AS
THE GRADIENT BEGINS TO RELAX. IT`LL BE ANOTHER COLD NIGHT WITH
LOWS IN THE TEENS AND LOWER 20S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /7 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
AS THE HIGH SHIFTS OFFSHORE EARLY THURSDAY... A SOUTHWEST FLOW
WILL DEVELOP AND RAPIDLY TRANSPORT WARMER AIR NORTHWARD. A WARM
FRONT WILL SHARPEN ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE DAY AND PROVIDE THE
FOCUS FOR CLOUDS AND SOME LIGHT PRECIPITATION ALONG AND TO THE NORTH
OF IT. SOME LIGHT SNOW OR SLEET EARLY IN THE MOUNTAINS AND
FOOTHILLS...FOLLOWED BY A QUICK TRANSITION TO MAINLY LIGHT RAIN
OR SHOWERS...WITH A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN POSSIBLE.
THE EXCEPTION WILL BE ACROSS OUR FAR NORTHERN MOUNTAIN ZONES NEAR
THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER WITH A LIGHT MIX COULD LINGER. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER 50S IN EXTREME SOUTHERN NEW
HAMPSHIRE TO AROUND 40 NEAR THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER. ANY WINTRY
PRECIPITATION ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY LIGHT TOMORROW.

THE COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY
NIGHT ACCOMPANIED BY A FEW SHOWERS. LOWS WILL BE IN THE UPPER 30S
TO MID 40S...BUT NORTHERN SECTIONS OF SOMERSET AND FRANKLIN
COUNTIES WILL COOL TO NEAR FREEZING BY FRIDAY MORNING WHERE SOME
PATCHY BLACK ICE CAN`T BE RULED OUT.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
OVERALL 500MB +PNA PATTERN CONTINUES TO HOLD BUT IS GRADUALLY
BECOMING LESS AMPLIFIED...WHICH IS LIKELY DUE TO SEASONAL CHANGES
MORE THAN ANYTHING ELSE. HOWEVER...ERN ATLANTIC AND WRN PACIFIC
PACIFIC BLOCKING CONTINUES TO HANG ON...WHICH WILL KEEP US
GENERALLY RUNNING BLO NORMAL THRU THE EXTENDED...WITH MOSTLY FAST
MOVING SYSTEMS.

THE LONG RANGE STARTS WITH THE MOST AMPLIFIED SYSTEM IN THE
PERIOD AS 500 TROUGH OVER THE GREAT LAKES DIGS EQUATORWARD ON FRI
AND TILTS NEG AS IT SWING THRU NEW ENGLAND SAT. FRI LOOKS TO BE
THE ONE ABV NORMAL DAY WE WILL SE...WITH HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
PERHAPS AROUND 60 IN SRN NH AS AFC COLD FRONT STALLS OVER THE
AREA. THIS WILL LIKELY BE WITH A FAIR AMOUNT OF CLOUDS DURING THEN
DAY AS THE WARM SECTOR MOVES OVERHEAD AND WE SIT IN SFC
OCCLUSION...ALTHOUGH ENOUGH SW FLOW COULD MIX OUT SOME AFTERNOON
BREAKS OF SUN...ESECIALLY INLAND PARTS OF NH AND INTERIOR SW ME.
ANY SHRA SHOULD BE LIMITED TO THE MORNING.

SFC WAVE DEVELOPS ON THE FRONT WHICH TRACKS NE ALONG THE FRONT
LATE FRI NIGHT INTO SAT...BRING A ROUND OF STEADY PRECIP TO THE
AREA. DEPENDING ON WHERE THIS LOW TRACKS AND WHERE THE COLD FRONT
ENDS UP WILL DETERMINE WHERE THE PRECIP CHANGES TO SNOW AND HOW
MUCH ACCUMULATES. ATTM...BEST CHC FOR ANY APPRECIABLE
ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE IN THE MTNS...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS
CLOSE TO THE INTL BORDER AND IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN...WHERE SEVERAL
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. THE COASTAL PLAIN OF ME AND ALL OF SRN NH
WILL GENERALLY STAY RAIN...ALTHOUGH COULD MIX WITH A LITTLE WET
SNOW AS THE PRECIP ENDS SAT AFTERNOON. ALL THE PRECIP WINDS DOWN
SAT NIGHT AND IT TURNS COLD AGAIN WITH LOWS BACK IN THE TEENS N
AND MID TO UPPER 20S S.

WEAK LOW PRES BUILDS TO THE S ON SUNDAY...BUT WILL NOT ALLOW
REMAIN OF FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO MOVE TOO FAR S...AND ANOTHER WAVE
BRINGS A THREAT OF SOME LIGHT SNOW SUN NIGHT. THE EARLY TO MID
PART OF NEXT WEEK LOOKS TO REMAIN COOL AND UNSETTLED WITH WEAK
BAROCLINIC ZONE STALLED OVER THE AREA BENEATH NEAR ZONAL FLOW
ALOFT WITH WEAK WAVES IN THE FLOW THREATENING TO SET OFF PRECIP
EVERY 24 HOURS OR SO.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS. GUSTY NW WINDS WILL QUICKLY DIMINISH
BY EVENING. INCREASING CLOUDS EXPECTED THU MORNING WITH MVFR OR
BRIEF LCL IFR CONDITIONS PSBL IN NORTHERN AREAS CLOSER TO THE
DEVELOPING WARM FRONT. MVFR THU NIGHT WITH LCL IFR PSBL IN
SHOWERS.

LONG TERM...FLIGHT RESTRICTIONS EXPECTED FRI INTO SAT...AT LEAST
MVFR...ALTHOUGH THERE COULD SEE SOME VFR AT TIMES FRI
AFTERNOON...WITH A PERIOD OF IFR OR LOWER FRI NIGHT INTO SAT
MORNING.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SCA HAS BEEN DROPPED AS WIND AND SEAS DIMINISH WITH
APPROACH OF SURFACE HIGH. WINDS AND SEAS SHOULD ONCE AGAIN REACH
SMALL CRAFT THRESHOLD THURSDAY NIGHT AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING COLD
FRONT.

LONG TERM...SCA EXPECTED SAT NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$




000
FXUS61 KGYX 011932
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
332 PM EDT WED APR 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT BEFORE SLIDING
OFFSHORE EARLY THURSDAY. A DEVELOPING WARM FRONT WILL PUSH NORTH
ACROSS NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND ON THURSDAY...INTRODUCING WARMER AIR
TO MOST OF THE AREA AND BRINGING PRECIPITATION TO NORTHERN AREAS.
A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA ON FRIDAY WITH MORE
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS. THE FRONT WILL STALL OFFSHORE FRIDAY NIGHT
WHILE LOW PRESSURE MOVES TO THE NORTHEAST ALONG IT... SPREADING
PRECIPITATION INTO MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE. AS THE LOW MOVES AWAY
ON SATURDAY HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN BEHIND IT.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AT 18Z...A 1024 MILLIBAR RIDGE WAS DRAPED ACROSS THE EASTERN GREAT
LAKES. WITH THE EXCEPTION OF A FEW HIGH CLOUDS ON GOES IMAGERY...SKIES
WERE MAINLY SUNNY ACROSS THE REGION UNDER THE BUILDING RIDGE. TEMPERATURES
WERE RUNNING CLOSE TO TEN DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE UNDER THE STRONG EARLY
APRIL SUNSHINE WITH GUSTY NORTHERLY WIND ADDING AN ADDITIONAL BITE
TO THE AIR. WINDS WILL DROP OFF THIS EVENING AS WE DECOUPLE AND AS
THE GRADIENT BEGINS TO RELAX. IT`LL BE ANOTHER COLD NIGHT WITH
LOWS IN THE TEENS AND LOWER 20S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
AS THE HIGH SHIFTS OFFSHORE EARLY THURSDAY... A SOUTHWEST FLOW
WILL DEVELOP AND RAPIDLY TRANSPORT WARMER AIR NORTHWARD. A WARM
FRONT WILL SHARPEN ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE DAY AND PROVIDE THE
FOCUS FOR CLOUDS AND SOME LIGHT PRECIPITATION ALONG AND TO THE NORTH
OF IT. SOME LIGHT SNOW OR SLEET EARLY IN THE MOUNTAINS AND
FOOTHILLS...FOLLOWED BY A QUICK TRANSITION TO MAINLY LIGHT RAIN
OR SHOWERS...WITH A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN POSSIBLE.
THE EXCEPTION WILL BE ACROSS OUR FAR NORTHERN MOUNTAIN ZONES NEAR
THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER WITH A LIGHT MIX COULD LINGER. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER 50S IN EXTREME SOUTHERN NEW
HAMPSHIRE TO AROUND 40 NEAR THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER. ANY WINTRY
PRECIPITATION ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY LIGHT TOMORROW.

THE COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY
NIGHT ACCOMPANIED BY A FEW SHOWERS. LOWS WILL BE IN THE UPPER 30S
TO MID 40S...BUT NORTHERN SECTIONS OF SOMERSET AND FRANKLIN
COUNTIES WILL COOL TO NEAR FREEZING BY FRIDAY MORNING WHERE SOME
PATCHY BLACK ICE CAN`T BE RULED OUT.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
OVERALL 500MB +PNA PATTERN CONTINUES TO HOLD BUT IS GRADUALLY
BECOMING LESS AMPLIFIED...WHICH IS LIKELY DUE TO SEASONAL CHANGES
MORE THAN ANYTHING ELSE. HOWEVER...ERN ATLANTIC AND WRN PACIFIC
PACIFIC BLOCKING CONTINUES TO HANG ON...WHICH WILL KEEP US
GENERALLY RUNNING BLO NORMAL THRU THE EXTENDED...WITH MOSTLY FAST
MOVING SYSTEMS.

THE LONG RANGE STARTS WITH THE MOST AMPLIFIED SYSTEM IN THE
PERIOD AS 500 TROUGH OVER THE GREAT LAKES DIGS EQUATORWARD ON FRI
AND TILTS NEG AS IT SWING THRU NEW ENGLAND SAT. FRI LOOKS TO BE
THE ONE ABV NORMAL DAY WE WILL SE...WITH HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
PERHAPS AROUND 60 IN SRN NH AS AFC COLD FRONT STALLS OVER THE
AREA. THIS WILL LIKELY BE WITH A FAIR AMOUNT OF CLOUDS DURING THEN
DAY AS THE WARM SECTOR MOVES OVERHEAD AND WE SIT IN SFC
OCCLUSION...ALTHOUGH ENOUGH SW FLOW COULD MIX OUT SOME AFTERNOON
BREAKS OF SUN...ESECIALLY INLAND PARTS OF NH AND INTERIOR SW ME.
ANY SHRA SHOULD BE LIMITED TO THE MORNING.

SFC WAVE DEVELOPS ON THE FRONT WHICH TRACKS NE ALONG THE FRONT
LATE FRI NIGHT INTO SAT...BRING A ROUND OF STEADY PRECIP TO THE
AREA. DEPENDING ON WHERE THIS LOW TRACKS AND WHERE THE COLD FRONT
ENDS UP WILL DETERMINE WHERE THE PRECIP CHANGES TO SNOW AND HOW
MUCH ACCUMULATES. ATTM...BEST CHC FOR ANY APPRECIABLE
ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE IN THE MTNS...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS
CLOSE TO THE INTL BORDER AND IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN...WHERE SEVERAL
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. THE COASTAL PLAIN OF ME AND ALL OF SRN NH
WILL GENERALLY STAY RAIN...ALTHOUGH COULD MIX WITH A LITTLE WET
SNOW AS THE PRECIP ENDS SAT AFTERNOON. ALL THE PRECIP WINDS DOWN
SAT NIGHT AND IT TURNS COLD AGAIN WITH LOWS BACK IN THE TEENS N
AND MID TO UPPER 20S S.

WEAK LOW PRES BUILDS TO THE S ON SUNDAY...BUT WILL NOT ALLOW
REMAIN OF FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO MOVE TOO FAR S...AND ANOTHER WAVE
BRINGS A THREAT OF SOME LIGHT SNOW SUN NIGHT. THE EARLY TO MID
PART OF NEXT WEEK LOOKS TO REMAIN COOL AND UNSETTLED WITH WEAK
BAROCLINIC ZONE STALLED OVER THE AREA BENEATH NEAR ZONAL FLOW
ALOFT WITH WEAK WAVES IN THE FLOW THREATENING TO SET OFF PRECIP
EVERY 24 HOURS OR SO.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS. GUSTY NW WINDS WILL QUICKLY DIMINISH
BY EVENING. INCREASING CLOUDS EXPECTED THU MORNING WITH MVFR OR
BRIEF LCL IFR CONDITIONS PSBL IN NORTHERN AREAS CLOSER TO THE
DEVELOPING WARM FRONT. MVFR THU NIGHT WITH LCL IFR PSBL IN
SHOWERS.

LONG TERM...FLIGHT RESTRICTIONS EXPECTED FRI INTO SAT...AT LEAST
MVFR...ALTHOUGH THERE COULD SEE SOME VFR AT TIMES FRI
AFTERNOON...WITH A PERIOD OF IFR OR LOWER FRI NIGHT INTO SAT
MORNING.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SCA HAS BEEN DROPPED AS WIND AND SEAS DIMINISH WITH
APPROACH OF SURFACE HIGH. WINDS AND SEAS SHOULD ONCE AGAIN REACH
SMALL CRAFT THRESHOLD THURSDAY NIGHT AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING COLD
FRONT.

LONG TERM...SCA EXPECTED SAT NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
SCHWIBS/CEMPA




000
FXUS61 KGYX 011932
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
332 PM EDT WED APR 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT BEFORE SLIDING
OFFSHORE EARLY THURSDAY. A DEVELOPING WARM FRONT WILL PUSH NORTH
ACROSS NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND ON THURSDAY...INTRODUCING WARMER AIR
TO MOST OF THE AREA AND BRINGING PRECIPITATION TO NORTHERN AREAS.
A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA ON FRIDAY WITH MORE
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS. THE FRONT WILL STALL OFFSHORE FRIDAY NIGHT
WHILE LOW PRESSURE MOVES TO THE NORTHEAST ALONG IT... SPREADING
PRECIPITATION INTO MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE. AS THE LOW MOVES AWAY
ON SATURDAY HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN BEHIND IT.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AT 18Z...A 1024 MILLIBAR RIDGE WAS DRAPED ACROSS THE EASTERN GREAT
LAKES. WITH THE EXCEPTION OF A FEW HIGH CLOUDS ON GOES IMAGERY...SKIES
WERE MAINLY SUNNY ACROSS THE REGION UNDER THE BUILDING RIDGE. TEMPERATURES
WERE RUNNING CLOSE TO TEN DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE UNDER THE STRONG EARLY
APRIL SUNSHINE WITH GUSTY NORTHERLY WIND ADDING AN ADDITIONAL BITE
TO THE AIR. WINDS WILL DROP OFF THIS EVENING AS WE DECOUPLE AND AS
THE GRADIENT BEGINS TO RELAX. IT`LL BE ANOTHER COLD NIGHT WITH
LOWS IN THE TEENS AND LOWER 20S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
AS THE HIGH SHIFTS OFFSHORE EARLY THURSDAY... A SOUTHWEST FLOW
WILL DEVELOP AND RAPIDLY TRANSPORT WARMER AIR NORTHWARD. A WARM
FRONT WILL SHARPEN ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE DAY AND PROVIDE THE
FOCUS FOR CLOUDS AND SOME LIGHT PRECIPITATION ALONG AND TO THE NORTH
OF IT. SOME LIGHT SNOW OR SLEET EARLY IN THE MOUNTAINS AND
FOOTHILLS...FOLLOWED BY A QUICK TRANSITION TO MAINLY LIGHT RAIN
OR SHOWERS...WITH A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN POSSIBLE.
THE EXCEPTION WILL BE ACROSS OUR FAR NORTHERN MOUNTAIN ZONES NEAR
THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER WITH A LIGHT MIX COULD LINGER. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER 50S IN EXTREME SOUTHERN NEW
HAMPSHIRE TO AROUND 40 NEAR THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER. ANY WINTRY
PRECIPITATION ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY LIGHT TOMORROW.

THE COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY
NIGHT ACCOMPANIED BY A FEW SHOWERS. LOWS WILL BE IN THE UPPER 30S
TO MID 40S...BUT NORTHERN SECTIONS OF SOMERSET AND FRANKLIN
COUNTIES WILL COOL TO NEAR FREEZING BY FRIDAY MORNING WHERE SOME
PATCHY BLACK ICE CAN`T BE RULED OUT.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
OVERALL 500MB +PNA PATTERN CONTINUES TO HOLD BUT IS GRADUALLY
BECOMING LESS AMPLIFIED...WHICH IS LIKELY DUE TO SEASONAL CHANGES
MORE THAN ANYTHING ELSE. HOWEVER...ERN ATLANTIC AND WRN PACIFIC
PACIFIC BLOCKING CONTINUES TO HANG ON...WHICH WILL KEEP US
GENERALLY RUNNING BLO NORMAL THRU THE EXTENDED...WITH MOSTLY FAST
MOVING SYSTEMS.

THE LONG RANGE STARTS WITH THE MOST AMPLIFIED SYSTEM IN THE
PERIOD AS 500 TROUGH OVER THE GREAT LAKES DIGS EQUATORWARD ON FRI
AND TILTS NEG AS IT SWING THRU NEW ENGLAND SAT. FRI LOOKS TO BE
THE ONE ABV NORMAL DAY WE WILL SE...WITH HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
PERHAPS AROUND 60 IN SRN NH AS AFC COLD FRONT STALLS OVER THE
AREA. THIS WILL LIKELY BE WITH A FAIR AMOUNT OF CLOUDS DURING THEN
DAY AS THE WARM SECTOR MOVES OVERHEAD AND WE SIT IN SFC
OCCLUSION...ALTHOUGH ENOUGH SW FLOW COULD MIX OUT SOME AFTERNOON
BREAKS OF SUN...ESECIALLY INLAND PARTS OF NH AND INTERIOR SW ME.
ANY SHRA SHOULD BE LIMITED TO THE MORNING.

SFC WAVE DEVELOPS ON THE FRONT WHICH TRACKS NE ALONG THE FRONT
LATE FRI NIGHT INTO SAT...BRING A ROUND OF STEADY PRECIP TO THE
AREA. DEPENDING ON WHERE THIS LOW TRACKS AND WHERE THE COLD FRONT
ENDS UP WILL DETERMINE WHERE THE PRECIP CHANGES TO SNOW AND HOW
MUCH ACCUMULATES. ATTM...BEST CHC FOR ANY APPRECIABLE
ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE IN THE MTNS...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS
CLOSE TO THE INTL BORDER AND IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN...WHERE SEVERAL
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. THE COASTAL PLAIN OF ME AND ALL OF SRN NH
WILL GENERALLY STAY RAIN...ALTHOUGH COULD MIX WITH A LITTLE WET
SNOW AS THE PRECIP ENDS SAT AFTERNOON. ALL THE PRECIP WINDS DOWN
SAT NIGHT AND IT TURNS COLD AGAIN WITH LOWS BACK IN THE TEENS N
AND MID TO UPPER 20S S.

WEAK LOW PRES BUILDS TO THE S ON SUNDAY...BUT WILL NOT ALLOW
REMAIN OF FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO MOVE TOO FAR S...AND ANOTHER WAVE
BRINGS A THREAT OF SOME LIGHT SNOW SUN NIGHT. THE EARLY TO MID
PART OF NEXT WEEK LOOKS TO REMAIN COOL AND UNSETTLED WITH WEAK
BAROCLINIC ZONE STALLED OVER THE AREA BENEATH NEAR ZONAL FLOW
ALOFT WITH WEAK WAVES IN THE FLOW THREATENING TO SET OFF PRECIP
EVERY 24 HOURS OR SO.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS. GUSTY NW WINDS WILL QUICKLY DIMINISH
BY EVENING. INCREASING CLOUDS EXPECTED THU MORNING WITH MVFR OR
BRIEF LCL IFR CONDITIONS PSBL IN NORTHERN AREAS CLOSER TO THE
DEVELOPING WARM FRONT. MVFR THU NIGHT WITH LCL IFR PSBL IN
SHOWERS.

LONG TERM...FLIGHT RESTRICTIONS EXPECTED FRI INTO SAT...AT LEAST
MVFR...ALTHOUGH THERE COULD SEE SOME VFR AT TIMES FRI
AFTERNOON...WITH A PERIOD OF IFR OR LOWER FRI NIGHT INTO SAT
MORNING.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SCA HAS BEEN DROPPED AS WIND AND SEAS DIMINISH WITH
APPROACH OF SURFACE HIGH. WINDS AND SEAS SHOULD ONCE AGAIN REACH
SMALL CRAFT THRESHOLD THURSDAY NIGHT AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING COLD
FRONT.

LONG TERM...SCA EXPECTED SAT NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
SCHWIBS/CEMPA





000
FXUS61 KGYX 011932
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
332 PM EDT WED APR 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT BEFORE SLIDING
OFFSHORE EARLY THURSDAY. A DEVELOPING WARM FRONT WILL PUSH NORTH
ACROSS NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND ON THURSDAY...INTRODUCING WARMER AIR
TO MOST OF THE AREA AND BRINGING PRECIPITATION TO NORTHERN AREAS.
A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA ON FRIDAY WITH MORE
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS. THE FRONT WILL STALL OFFSHORE FRIDAY NIGHT
WHILE LOW PRESSURE MOVES TO THE NORTHEAST ALONG IT... SPREADING
PRECIPITATION INTO MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE. AS THE LOW MOVES AWAY
ON SATURDAY HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN BEHIND IT.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AT 18Z...A 1024 MILLIBAR RIDGE WAS DRAPED ACROSS THE EASTERN GREAT
LAKES. WITH THE EXCEPTION OF A FEW HIGH CLOUDS ON GOES IMAGERY...SKIES
WERE MAINLY SUNNY ACROSS THE REGION UNDER THE BUILDING RIDGE. TEMPERATURES
WERE RUNNING CLOSE TO TEN DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE UNDER THE STRONG EARLY
APRIL SUNSHINE WITH GUSTY NORTHERLY WIND ADDING AN ADDITIONAL BITE
TO THE AIR. WINDS WILL DROP OFF THIS EVENING AS WE DECOUPLE AND AS
THE GRADIENT BEGINS TO RELAX. IT`LL BE ANOTHER COLD NIGHT WITH
LOWS IN THE TEENS AND LOWER 20S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
AS THE HIGH SHIFTS OFFSHORE EARLY THURSDAY... A SOUTHWEST FLOW
WILL DEVELOP AND RAPIDLY TRANSPORT WARMER AIR NORTHWARD. A WARM
FRONT WILL SHARPEN ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE DAY AND PROVIDE THE
FOCUS FOR CLOUDS AND SOME LIGHT PRECIPITATION ALONG AND TO THE NORTH
OF IT. SOME LIGHT SNOW OR SLEET EARLY IN THE MOUNTAINS AND
FOOTHILLS...FOLLOWED BY A QUICK TRANSITION TO MAINLY LIGHT RAIN
OR SHOWERS...WITH A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN POSSIBLE.
THE EXCEPTION WILL BE ACROSS OUR FAR NORTHERN MOUNTAIN ZONES NEAR
THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER WITH A LIGHT MIX COULD LINGER. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER 50S IN EXTREME SOUTHERN NEW
HAMPSHIRE TO AROUND 40 NEAR THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER. ANY WINTRY
PRECIPITATION ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY LIGHT TOMORROW.

THE COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY
NIGHT ACCOMPANIED BY A FEW SHOWERS. LOWS WILL BE IN THE UPPER 30S
TO MID 40S...BUT NORTHERN SECTIONS OF SOMERSET AND FRANKLIN
COUNTIES WILL COOL TO NEAR FREEZING BY FRIDAY MORNING WHERE SOME
PATCHY BLACK ICE CAN`T BE RULED OUT.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
OVERALL 500MB +PNA PATTERN CONTINUES TO HOLD BUT IS GRADUALLY
BECOMING LESS AMPLIFIED...WHICH IS LIKELY DUE TO SEASONAL CHANGES
MORE THAN ANYTHING ELSE. HOWEVER...ERN ATLANTIC AND WRN PACIFIC
PACIFIC BLOCKING CONTINUES TO HANG ON...WHICH WILL KEEP US
GENERALLY RUNNING BLO NORMAL THRU THE EXTENDED...WITH MOSTLY FAST
MOVING SYSTEMS.

THE LONG RANGE STARTS WITH THE MOST AMPLIFIED SYSTEM IN THE
PERIOD AS 500 TROUGH OVER THE GREAT LAKES DIGS EQUATORWARD ON FRI
AND TILTS NEG AS IT SWING THRU NEW ENGLAND SAT. FRI LOOKS TO BE
THE ONE ABV NORMAL DAY WE WILL SE...WITH HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
PERHAPS AROUND 60 IN SRN NH AS AFC COLD FRONT STALLS OVER THE
AREA. THIS WILL LIKELY BE WITH A FAIR AMOUNT OF CLOUDS DURING THEN
DAY AS THE WARM SECTOR MOVES OVERHEAD AND WE SIT IN SFC
OCCLUSION...ALTHOUGH ENOUGH SW FLOW COULD MIX OUT SOME AFTERNOON
BREAKS OF SUN...ESECIALLY INLAND PARTS OF NH AND INTERIOR SW ME.
ANY SHRA SHOULD BE LIMITED TO THE MORNING.

SFC WAVE DEVELOPS ON THE FRONT WHICH TRACKS NE ALONG THE FRONT
LATE FRI NIGHT INTO SAT...BRING A ROUND OF STEADY PRECIP TO THE
AREA. DEPENDING ON WHERE THIS LOW TRACKS AND WHERE THE COLD FRONT
ENDS UP WILL DETERMINE WHERE THE PRECIP CHANGES TO SNOW AND HOW
MUCH ACCUMULATES. ATTM...BEST CHC FOR ANY APPRECIABLE
ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE IN THE MTNS...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS
CLOSE TO THE INTL BORDER AND IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN...WHERE SEVERAL
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. THE COASTAL PLAIN OF ME AND ALL OF SRN NH
WILL GENERALLY STAY RAIN...ALTHOUGH COULD MIX WITH A LITTLE WET
SNOW AS THE PRECIP ENDS SAT AFTERNOON. ALL THE PRECIP WINDS DOWN
SAT NIGHT AND IT TURNS COLD AGAIN WITH LOWS BACK IN THE TEENS N
AND MID TO UPPER 20S S.

WEAK LOW PRES BUILDS TO THE S ON SUNDAY...BUT WILL NOT ALLOW
REMAIN OF FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO MOVE TOO FAR S...AND ANOTHER WAVE
BRINGS A THREAT OF SOME LIGHT SNOW SUN NIGHT. THE EARLY TO MID
PART OF NEXT WEEK LOOKS TO REMAIN COOL AND UNSETTLED WITH WEAK
BAROCLINIC ZONE STALLED OVER THE AREA BENEATH NEAR ZONAL FLOW
ALOFT WITH WEAK WAVES IN THE FLOW THREATENING TO SET OFF PRECIP
EVERY 24 HOURS OR SO.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS. GUSTY NW WINDS WILL QUICKLY DIMINISH
BY EVENING. INCREASING CLOUDS EXPECTED THU MORNING WITH MVFR OR
BRIEF LCL IFR CONDITIONS PSBL IN NORTHERN AREAS CLOSER TO THE
DEVELOPING WARM FRONT. MVFR THU NIGHT WITH LCL IFR PSBL IN
SHOWERS.

LONG TERM...FLIGHT RESTRICTIONS EXPECTED FRI INTO SAT...AT LEAST
MVFR...ALTHOUGH THERE COULD SEE SOME VFR AT TIMES FRI
AFTERNOON...WITH A PERIOD OF IFR OR LOWER FRI NIGHT INTO SAT
MORNING.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SCA HAS BEEN DROPPED AS WIND AND SEAS DIMINISH WITH
APPROACH OF SURFACE HIGH. WINDS AND SEAS SHOULD ONCE AGAIN REACH
SMALL CRAFT THRESHOLD THURSDAY NIGHT AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING COLD
FRONT.

LONG TERM...SCA EXPECTED SAT NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
SCHWIBS/CEMPA





000
FXUS61 KGYX 011932
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
332 PM EDT WED APR 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT BEFORE SLIDING
OFFSHORE EARLY THURSDAY. A DEVELOPING WARM FRONT WILL PUSH NORTH
ACROSS NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND ON THURSDAY...INTRODUCING WARMER AIR
TO MOST OF THE AREA AND BRINGING PRECIPITATION TO NORTHERN AREAS.
A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA ON FRIDAY WITH MORE
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS. THE FRONT WILL STALL OFFSHORE FRIDAY NIGHT
WHILE LOW PRESSURE MOVES TO THE NORTHEAST ALONG IT... SPREADING
PRECIPITATION INTO MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE. AS THE LOW MOVES AWAY
ON SATURDAY HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN BEHIND IT.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AT 18Z...A 1024 MILLIBAR RIDGE WAS DRAPED ACROSS THE EASTERN GREAT
LAKES. WITH THE EXCEPTION OF A FEW HIGH CLOUDS ON GOES IMAGERY...SKIES
WERE MAINLY SUNNY ACROSS THE REGION UNDER THE BUILDING RIDGE. TEMPERATURES
WERE RUNNING CLOSE TO TEN DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE UNDER THE STRONG EARLY
APRIL SUNSHINE WITH GUSTY NORTHERLY WIND ADDING AN ADDITIONAL BITE
TO THE AIR. WINDS WILL DROP OFF THIS EVENING AS WE DECOUPLE AND AS
THE GRADIENT BEGINS TO RELAX. IT`LL BE ANOTHER COLD NIGHT WITH
LOWS IN THE TEENS AND LOWER 20S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
AS THE HIGH SHIFTS OFFSHORE EARLY THURSDAY... A SOUTHWEST FLOW
WILL DEVELOP AND RAPIDLY TRANSPORT WARMER AIR NORTHWARD. A WARM
FRONT WILL SHARPEN ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE DAY AND PROVIDE THE
FOCUS FOR CLOUDS AND SOME LIGHT PRECIPITATION ALONG AND TO THE NORTH
OF IT. SOME LIGHT SNOW OR SLEET EARLY IN THE MOUNTAINS AND
FOOTHILLS...FOLLOWED BY A QUICK TRANSITION TO MAINLY LIGHT RAIN
OR SHOWERS...WITH A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN POSSIBLE.
THE EXCEPTION WILL BE ACROSS OUR FAR NORTHERN MOUNTAIN ZONES NEAR
THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER WITH A LIGHT MIX COULD LINGER. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER 50S IN EXTREME SOUTHERN NEW
HAMPSHIRE TO AROUND 40 NEAR THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER. ANY WINTRY
PRECIPITATION ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY LIGHT TOMORROW.

THE COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY
NIGHT ACCOMPANIED BY A FEW SHOWERS. LOWS WILL BE IN THE UPPER 30S
TO MID 40S...BUT NORTHERN SECTIONS OF SOMERSET AND FRANKLIN
COUNTIES WILL COOL TO NEAR FREEZING BY FRIDAY MORNING WHERE SOME
PATCHY BLACK ICE CAN`T BE RULED OUT.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
OVERALL 500MB +PNA PATTERN CONTINUES TO HOLD BUT IS GRADUALLY
BECOMING LESS AMPLIFIED...WHICH IS LIKELY DUE TO SEASONAL CHANGES
MORE THAN ANYTHING ELSE. HOWEVER...ERN ATLANTIC AND WRN PACIFIC
PACIFIC BLOCKING CONTINUES TO HANG ON...WHICH WILL KEEP US
GENERALLY RUNNING BLO NORMAL THRU THE EXTENDED...WITH MOSTLY FAST
MOVING SYSTEMS.

THE LONG RANGE STARTS WITH THE MOST AMPLIFIED SYSTEM IN THE
PERIOD AS 500 TROUGH OVER THE GREAT LAKES DIGS EQUATORWARD ON FRI
AND TILTS NEG AS IT SWING THRU NEW ENGLAND SAT. FRI LOOKS TO BE
THE ONE ABV NORMAL DAY WE WILL SE...WITH HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
PERHAPS AROUND 60 IN SRN NH AS AFC COLD FRONT STALLS OVER THE
AREA. THIS WILL LIKELY BE WITH A FAIR AMOUNT OF CLOUDS DURING THEN
DAY AS THE WARM SECTOR MOVES OVERHEAD AND WE SIT IN SFC
OCCLUSION...ALTHOUGH ENOUGH SW FLOW COULD MIX OUT SOME AFTERNOON
BREAKS OF SUN...ESECIALLY INLAND PARTS OF NH AND INTERIOR SW ME.
ANY SHRA SHOULD BE LIMITED TO THE MORNING.

SFC WAVE DEVELOPS ON THE FRONT WHICH TRACKS NE ALONG THE FRONT
LATE FRI NIGHT INTO SAT...BRING A ROUND OF STEADY PRECIP TO THE
AREA. DEPENDING ON WHERE THIS LOW TRACKS AND WHERE THE COLD FRONT
ENDS UP WILL DETERMINE WHERE THE PRECIP CHANGES TO SNOW AND HOW
MUCH ACCUMULATES. ATTM...BEST CHC FOR ANY APPRECIABLE
ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE IN THE MTNS...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS
CLOSE TO THE INTL BORDER AND IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN...WHERE SEVERAL
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. THE COASTAL PLAIN OF ME AND ALL OF SRN NH
WILL GENERALLY STAY RAIN...ALTHOUGH COULD MIX WITH A LITTLE WET
SNOW AS THE PRECIP ENDS SAT AFTERNOON. ALL THE PRECIP WINDS DOWN
SAT NIGHT AND IT TURNS COLD AGAIN WITH LOWS BACK IN THE TEENS N
AND MID TO UPPER 20S S.

WEAK LOW PRES BUILDS TO THE S ON SUNDAY...BUT WILL NOT ALLOW
REMAIN OF FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO MOVE TOO FAR S...AND ANOTHER WAVE
BRINGS A THREAT OF SOME LIGHT SNOW SUN NIGHT. THE EARLY TO MID
PART OF NEXT WEEK LOOKS TO REMAIN COOL AND UNSETTLED WITH WEAK
BAROCLINIC ZONE STALLED OVER THE AREA BENEATH NEAR ZONAL FLOW
ALOFT WITH WEAK WAVES IN THE FLOW THREATENING TO SET OFF PRECIP
EVERY 24 HOURS OR SO.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS. GUSTY NW WINDS WILL QUICKLY DIMINISH
BY EVENING. INCREASING CLOUDS EXPECTED THU MORNING WITH MVFR OR
BRIEF LCL IFR CONDITIONS PSBL IN NORTHERN AREAS CLOSER TO THE
DEVELOPING WARM FRONT. MVFR THU NIGHT WITH LCL IFR PSBL IN
SHOWERS.

LONG TERM...FLIGHT RESTRICTIONS EXPECTED FRI INTO SAT...AT LEAST
MVFR...ALTHOUGH THERE COULD SEE SOME VFR AT TIMES FRI
AFTERNOON...WITH A PERIOD OF IFR OR LOWER FRI NIGHT INTO SAT
MORNING.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SCA HAS BEEN DROPPED AS WIND AND SEAS DIMINISH WITH
APPROACH OF SURFACE HIGH. WINDS AND SEAS SHOULD ONCE AGAIN REACH
SMALL CRAFT THRESHOLD THURSDAY NIGHT AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING COLD
FRONT.

LONG TERM...SCA EXPECTED SAT NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
SCHWIBS/CEMPA




000
FXUS61 KGYX 011557
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
1157 AM EDT WED APR 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND WILL MOVE OUT TO SEA TODAY WHILE
COLD HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTHWEST. HIGH
PRESSURE CRESTS OVER THE REGION TONIGHT WITH VERY COLD
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED. BUT AS THE HIGH MOVES EAST ON THURSDAY...A
WARM FRONT WILL DEVELOP AND PUSH NORTH ACROSS NORTHERN NEW
ENGLAND. THIS WILL BRING WARMER AIR INTO MOST OF THE AREA AND
BRING PRECIPITATION TO NORTHERN AREAS. A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVES
THROUGH THE AREA ON FRIDAY WITH MORE WIDESPREAD SHOWERS. THIS
FRONT WILL STALL OFFSHORE FRIDAY NIGHT WHILE LOW PRESSURE MOVES TO
THE NORTHEAST ALONG THE FRONT... SPREADING PRECIPITATION INTO
MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE. AS THE LOW MOVES AWAY ON SATURDAY HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN BEHIND IT.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 7 PM THIS EVENING/...

1158 AM...A COOL BUT PLEASANT SUNNY DAY UNDER BUILDING HIGH
PRESSURE. I INGESTED THE LATEST MESONET INTO 1ST PERIOD GRIDS FOR
THIS ESTF UPDATE AND EXTENDED THE CURRENT SCA AREA THROUGH EARLY
EVENING.

PREV DISC...
935 AM...QUIET DAY AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS EASTWARD ACROSS
THE FORECAST AREA. I MADE ONLY MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO 1ST PERIOD
GRIDS TO REFLECT THE CURRENT MESONET FOR THIS ESTF UPDATE.

PREV DISC...
HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR WEST WILL CONTINUE A COLD NORTHWEST FLOW OVER
NEW ENGLAND TODAY IN SPITE OF A MOSTLY CLEAR SKY. LOW PRESSURE
STRENGTHENING AS IT MOVES OUT TO SEA WILL HELP TO INCREASE THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT A BIT AND CAUSE WINDS TO GUST UP TO 25 MPH
ESPECIALLY IN THE EASTERN PART OF THE FORECAST AREA. TEMPERATURES
TODAY WILL STRUGGLE TO MAKE IT OUT OF THE 30S. DOWNSLOPING
NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BRING THE WARMEST TEMPERATURES TO COASTAL AND
SOUTHERN AREAS WHERE LOW 40S ARE POSSIBLE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /7 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
AXIS OF HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS INTO NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT... BRINGING
NEARLY CALM WINDS. THIS WILL ALLOW GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING
CONDITIONS AND TEMPERATURES WILL DROP INTO THE TEENS FOR MUCH OF
THE AREA. THERE MAY BE SOME INCREASING CLOUDS BY MORNING WHICH
WOULD LIMIT COOLING SOMEWHAT ESPECIALLY OVER NEW HAMPSHIRE.
SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE MAY ONLY DROP INTO THE LOW 20S.

AS THE HIGH SHIFTS EAST ON THURSDAY... A SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL
DEVELOP AND RAPIDLY TRANSPORT WARMER AIR NORTHWARD. A WARM FRONT
WILL SHARPEN ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON AND PROVIDE THE
FOCUS FOR PRECIPITATION ALONG AND NORTH OF IT. THERE IS SOME
DISCREPANCY ON WHERE THE WARM FRONT WILL SET UP. HIGHER RESOLUTION
MODELS LIKE THE NAM AND REGIONAL PLACE THIS FRONT FURTHER NORTH
FROM FAR NORTHERN COOS COUNTY IN NEW HAMPSHIRE TO CENTRAL SOMERSET
COUNTY IN MAINE. AS A RESULT... THE BEST CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
WOULD BE NORTH OF THIS LINE. COURSER RESOLUTION MODELS LIKE THE
GFS AND ECMWF HAVE THE FRONT A LITTLE FURTHER SOUTH FROM GRAFTON
COUNTY NEW HAMPSHIRE TO THE MIDCOAST OF MAINE WITH A MUCH BROADER
PRECIPITATION SHIELD NORTH OF IT. FOR THIS FORECAST HAVE DECIDED
TO FAVOR THE HIGHER RESOLUTION MODELS AND THE FURTHER NORTH
PLACEMENT OF THE FRONT ON THURSDAY.

TEMPERATURES SOUTH OF THE FRONT ON THURSDAY WILL WARM INTO THE 40S
AND 50S. BUT TO THE NORTH OF THE FRONT IT WILL BE A DIFFERENT
STORY. EARLY MORNING COLD AIR WILL BE TOUGH TO ERODE.
PRECIPITATION LIKELY STARTS OUT AS SNOW IN THE LATE MORNING BUT
TRANSITIONS TO FREEZING RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON AND THEN FINALLY
RAIN ONCE TEMPERATURES RISE ABOVE FREEZING. TOTAL PRECIPITATION IS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 0.2 INCHES ON THURSDAY SO SNOW AND ICE
ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED TO BE FAIRLY LIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A WARM FRONT WILL BE LIFTING OVER THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT...
KEEPING NEW ENGLAND IN THE WARM SECTOR BEFORE A COLD FRONT FOLLOWS
FOR FRIDAY MORNING. THIS WILL BRING MOSTLY RAIN TO THE AREA WITH
SOME POCKETS OF FREEZING RAIN IN THE COLDER NORTHERN VALLEYS.
EXPECT FRIDAY NIGHT`S LOWS TO OCCUR EARLY WITH TEMPERATURES
GRADUALLY CLIMBING ABOVE FREEZING OVERNIGHT.

FRIDAY SHOULD BE WARM AND CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS TAPERING OFF AND
NEGLIGIBLE COLD AIR ADVECTION. HIGHS WILL REACH THE 50S EASILY
AREAWIDE WITH LOWER 60S IN THE FAVORED WARM SPOTS. AFTER A WARM DAY
FRIDAY... THE REST OF THE EXTENDED WILL BE COOLER. THE
AFOREMENTIONED SURFACE BOUNDARY STALLS AND LINGERS OFF THE NH AND
MAINE COAST FRIDAY. LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPS ON IT FRIDAY
NIGHT INTO SATURDAY WITH THE PASSAGE OF A REINFORCING ENERGETIC
COLD POOL. THE HEAVIEST QPF WILL OCCUR AFTER MIDNIGHT AND INTO MID
MORNING SATURDAY AS THE SURFACE CYCLONE DEEPENS ALONG COASTAL
MAINE. THIS WOULD BRING RAIN TO THE COAST AND SNOW TO THE
MOUNTAINS WITH A RAIN/SNOW MIX IN BETWEEN. THIS HAS THE POTENTIAL
TO BRING ADVISORY LEVEL SNOW TO THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS
DEPENDING ON THE TRACK.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FOR SUNDAY WITH A QUICK SYSTEM MOVING EAST
OUT OF THE GREAT LAKES REGION SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING AND
TRACKING ALONG THE STALLED BOUNDARY. THIS BOUNDARY CONTINUES TO BE
A PLAYER IN OUR WEATHER THROUGH DAY 8 AS YET ANOTHER STORM SEEMS
TO TAKE SHAPE ON IT. CURRENTLY HAVE KEPT POPS LOWER THAN GUIDANCE
DUE TO LOW CONFIDENCE IN TIMING OF INDIVIDUAL WAVES.

&&

.AVIATION /16Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS TODAY WITH GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS IN
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. INCREASING CLOUDS EXPECTED THURSDAY MORNING
WITH MVFR OR IFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE BRIEFLY ESPECIALLY IN
NORTHERN AREAS CLOSER TO THE DEVELOPING WARM FRONT.

LONG TERM...POOR FLYING CONDITIONS LIKELY FRIDAY AND SATURDAY IN
WIDESPREAD SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS WITH IFR OR LOWER VISIBILITIES
AND CEILINGS. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN LATE SATURDAY AND SUNDAY
BRINGING VFR CONDITIONS.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...PRESSURE GRADIENT INCREASES BETWEEN STRENGTHENING LOW
PRESSURE PASSING BY TO THE EAST AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM
THE WEST. THIS WILL ALLOW A FEW WIND GUSTS TO 25 KT OVER THE OUTER
WATERS TODAY. WINDS SHOULD DIMINISH FROM WEST TO EAST THROUGH THE
DAY AS HIGH PRESSURE APPROACHES FROM THE WEST AND CRESTS OVER THE
WATERS EARLY THURSDAY.

LONG TERM...SCA CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING.
THERE WILL BE A BRIEF BREAK AND THEN WAVES/WINDS WILL BEGIN TO
RAMP UP AGAIN SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY WITH DEVELOPING COASTAL LOW
PRESSURE.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR
     ANZ150>152-154.

&&

$$

ES




000
FXUS61 KGYX 011557
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
1157 AM EDT WED APR 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND WILL MOVE OUT TO SEA TODAY WHILE
COLD HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTHWEST. HIGH
PRESSURE CRESTS OVER THE REGION TONIGHT WITH VERY COLD
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED. BUT AS THE HIGH MOVES EAST ON THURSDAY...A
WARM FRONT WILL DEVELOP AND PUSH NORTH ACROSS NORTHERN NEW
ENGLAND. THIS WILL BRING WARMER AIR INTO MOST OF THE AREA AND
BRING PRECIPITATION TO NORTHERN AREAS. A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVES
THROUGH THE AREA ON FRIDAY WITH MORE WIDESPREAD SHOWERS. THIS
FRONT WILL STALL OFFSHORE FRIDAY NIGHT WHILE LOW PRESSURE MOVES TO
THE NORTHEAST ALONG THE FRONT... SPREADING PRECIPITATION INTO
MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE. AS THE LOW MOVES AWAY ON SATURDAY HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN BEHIND IT.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 7 PM THIS EVENING/...

1158 AM...A COOL BUT PLEASANT SUNNY DAY UNDER BUILDING HIGH
PRESSURE. I INGESTED THE LATEST MESONET INTO 1ST PERIOD GRIDS FOR
THIS ESTF UPDATE AND EXTENDED THE CURRENT SCA AREA THROUGH EARLY
EVENING.

PREV DISC...
935 AM...QUIET DAY AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS EASTWARD ACROSS
THE FORECAST AREA. I MADE ONLY MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO 1ST PERIOD
GRIDS TO REFLECT THE CURRENT MESONET FOR THIS ESTF UPDATE.

PREV DISC...
HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR WEST WILL CONTINUE A COLD NORTHWEST FLOW OVER
NEW ENGLAND TODAY IN SPITE OF A MOSTLY CLEAR SKY. LOW PRESSURE
STRENGTHENING AS IT MOVES OUT TO SEA WILL HELP TO INCREASE THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT A BIT AND CAUSE WINDS TO GUST UP TO 25 MPH
ESPECIALLY IN THE EASTERN PART OF THE FORECAST AREA. TEMPERATURES
TODAY WILL STRUGGLE TO MAKE IT OUT OF THE 30S. DOWNSLOPING
NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BRING THE WARMEST TEMPERATURES TO COASTAL AND
SOUTHERN AREAS WHERE LOW 40S ARE POSSIBLE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /7 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
AXIS OF HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS INTO NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT... BRINGING
NEARLY CALM WINDS. THIS WILL ALLOW GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING
CONDITIONS AND TEMPERATURES WILL DROP INTO THE TEENS FOR MUCH OF
THE AREA. THERE MAY BE SOME INCREASING CLOUDS BY MORNING WHICH
WOULD LIMIT COOLING SOMEWHAT ESPECIALLY OVER NEW HAMPSHIRE.
SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE MAY ONLY DROP INTO THE LOW 20S.

AS THE HIGH SHIFTS EAST ON THURSDAY... A SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL
DEVELOP AND RAPIDLY TRANSPORT WARMER AIR NORTHWARD. A WARM FRONT
WILL SHARPEN ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON AND PROVIDE THE
FOCUS FOR PRECIPITATION ALONG AND NORTH OF IT. THERE IS SOME
DISCREPANCY ON WHERE THE WARM FRONT WILL SET UP. HIGHER RESOLUTION
MODELS LIKE THE NAM AND REGIONAL PLACE THIS FRONT FURTHER NORTH
FROM FAR NORTHERN COOS COUNTY IN NEW HAMPSHIRE TO CENTRAL SOMERSET
COUNTY IN MAINE. AS A RESULT... THE BEST CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
WOULD BE NORTH OF THIS LINE. COURSER RESOLUTION MODELS LIKE THE
GFS AND ECMWF HAVE THE FRONT A LITTLE FURTHER SOUTH FROM GRAFTON
COUNTY NEW HAMPSHIRE TO THE MIDCOAST OF MAINE WITH A MUCH BROADER
PRECIPITATION SHIELD NORTH OF IT. FOR THIS FORECAST HAVE DECIDED
TO FAVOR THE HIGHER RESOLUTION MODELS AND THE FURTHER NORTH
PLACEMENT OF THE FRONT ON THURSDAY.

TEMPERATURES SOUTH OF THE FRONT ON THURSDAY WILL WARM INTO THE 40S
AND 50S. BUT TO THE NORTH OF THE FRONT IT WILL BE A DIFFERENT
STORY. EARLY MORNING COLD AIR WILL BE TOUGH TO ERODE.
PRECIPITATION LIKELY STARTS OUT AS SNOW IN THE LATE MORNING BUT
TRANSITIONS TO FREEZING RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON AND THEN FINALLY
RAIN ONCE TEMPERATURES RISE ABOVE FREEZING. TOTAL PRECIPITATION IS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 0.2 INCHES ON THURSDAY SO SNOW AND ICE
ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED TO BE FAIRLY LIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A WARM FRONT WILL BE LIFTING OVER THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT...
KEEPING NEW ENGLAND IN THE WARM SECTOR BEFORE A COLD FRONT FOLLOWS
FOR FRIDAY MORNING. THIS WILL BRING MOSTLY RAIN TO THE AREA WITH
SOME POCKETS OF FREEZING RAIN IN THE COLDER NORTHERN VALLEYS.
EXPECT FRIDAY NIGHT`S LOWS TO OCCUR EARLY WITH TEMPERATURES
GRADUALLY CLIMBING ABOVE FREEZING OVERNIGHT.

FRIDAY SHOULD BE WARM AND CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS TAPERING OFF AND
NEGLIGIBLE COLD AIR ADVECTION. HIGHS WILL REACH THE 50S EASILY
AREAWIDE WITH LOWER 60S IN THE FAVORED WARM SPOTS. AFTER A WARM DAY
FRIDAY... THE REST OF THE EXTENDED WILL BE COOLER. THE
AFOREMENTIONED SURFACE BOUNDARY STALLS AND LINGERS OFF THE NH AND
MAINE COAST FRIDAY. LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPS ON IT FRIDAY
NIGHT INTO SATURDAY WITH THE PASSAGE OF A REINFORCING ENERGETIC
COLD POOL. THE HEAVIEST QPF WILL OCCUR AFTER MIDNIGHT AND INTO MID
MORNING SATURDAY AS THE SURFACE CYCLONE DEEPENS ALONG COASTAL
MAINE. THIS WOULD BRING RAIN TO THE COAST AND SNOW TO THE
MOUNTAINS WITH A RAIN/SNOW MIX IN BETWEEN. THIS HAS THE POTENTIAL
TO BRING ADVISORY LEVEL SNOW TO THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS
DEPENDING ON THE TRACK.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FOR SUNDAY WITH A QUICK SYSTEM MOVING EAST
OUT OF THE GREAT LAKES REGION SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING AND
TRACKING ALONG THE STALLED BOUNDARY. THIS BOUNDARY CONTINUES TO BE
A PLAYER IN OUR WEATHER THROUGH DAY 8 AS YET ANOTHER STORM SEEMS
TO TAKE SHAPE ON IT. CURRENTLY HAVE KEPT POPS LOWER THAN GUIDANCE
DUE TO LOW CONFIDENCE IN TIMING OF INDIVIDUAL WAVES.

&&

.AVIATION /16Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS TODAY WITH GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS IN
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. INCREASING CLOUDS EXPECTED THURSDAY MORNING
WITH MVFR OR IFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE BRIEFLY ESPECIALLY IN
NORTHERN AREAS CLOSER TO THE DEVELOPING WARM FRONT.

LONG TERM...POOR FLYING CONDITIONS LIKELY FRIDAY AND SATURDAY IN
WIDESPREAD SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS WITH IFR OR LOWER VISIBILITIES
AND CEILINGS. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN LATE SATURDAY AND SUNDAY
BRINGING VFR CONDITIONS.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...PRESSURE GRADIENT INCREASES BETWEEN STRENGTHENING LOW
PRESSURE PASSING BY TO THE EAST AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM
THE WEST. THIS WILL ALLOW A FEW WIND GUSTS TO 25 KT OVER THE OUTER
WATERS TODAY. WINDS SHOULD DIMINISH FROM WEST TO EAST THROUGH THE
DAY AS HIGH PRESSURE APPROACHES FROM THE WEST AND CRESTS OVER THE
WATERS EARLY THURSDAY.

LONG TERM...SCA CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING.
THERE WILL BE A BRIEF BREAK AND THEN WAVES/WINDS WILL BEGIN TO
RAMP UP AGAIN SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY WITH DEVELOPING COASTAL LOW
PRESSURE.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR
     ANZ150>152-154.

&&

$$

ES





000
FXUS61 KGYX 011337
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
937 AM EDT WED APR 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND WILL MOVE OUT TO SEA TODAY WHILE
COLD HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTHWEST. HIGH
PRESSURE CRESTS OVER THE REGION TONIGHT WITH VERY COLD
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED. BUT AS THE HIGH MOVES EAST ON THURSDAY...A
WARM FRONT WILL DEVELOP AND PUSH NORTH ACROSS NORTHERN NEW
ENGLAND. THIS WILL BRING WARMER AIR INTO MOST OF THE AREA AND
BRING PRECIPITATION TO NORTHERN AREAS. A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVES
THROUGH THE AREA ON FRIDAY WITH MORE WIDESPREAD SHOWERS. THIS
FRONT WILL STALL OFFSHORE FRIDAY NIGHT WHILE LOW PRESSURE MOVES TO
THE NORTHEAST ALONG THE FRONT... SPREADING PRECIPITATION INTO
MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE. AS THE LOW MOVES AWAY ON SATURDAY HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN BEHIND IT.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 7 PM THIS EVENING/...

935 AM...QUIET DAY AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS EASTWARD ACROSS
THE FORECAST AREA. I MADE ONLY MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO 1ST PERIOD
GRIDS TO REFLECT THE CURRENT MESONET FOR THIS ESTF UPDATE.

PREV DISC...
HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR WEST WILL CONTINUE A COLD NORTHWEST FLOW OVER
NEW ENGLAND TODAY IN SPITE OF A MOSTLY CLEAR SKY. LOW PRESSURE
STRENGTHENING AS IT MOVES OUT TO SEA WILL HELP TO INCREASE THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT A BIT AND CAUSE WINDS TO GUST UP TO 25 MPH
ESPECIALLY IN THE EASTERN PART OF THE FORECAST AREA. TEMPERATURES
TODAY WILL STRUGGLE TO MAKE IT OUT OF THE 30S. DOWNSLOPING
NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BRING THE WARMEST TEMPERATURES TO COASTAL AND
SOUTHERN AREAS WHERE LOW 40S ARE POSSIBLE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /7 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
AXIS OF HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS INTO NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT... BRINGING
NEARLY CALM WINDS. THIS WILL ALLOW GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING
CONDITIONS AND TEMPERATURES WILL DROP INTO THE TEENS FOR MUCH OF
THE AREA. THERE MAY BE SOME INCREASING CLOUDS BY MORNING WHICH
WOULD LIMIT COOLING SOMEWHAT ESPECIALLY OVER NEW HAMPSHIRE.
SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE MAY ONLY DROP INTO THE LOW 20S.

AS THE HIGH SHIFTS EAST ON THURSDAY... A SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL
DEVELOP AND RAPIDLY TRANSPORT WARMER AIR NORTHWARD. A WARM FRONT
WILL SHARPEN ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON AND PROVIDE THE
FOCUS FOR PRECIPITATION ALONG AND NORTH OF IT. THERE IS SOME
DISCREPANCY ON WHERE THE WARM FRONT WILL SET UP. HIGHER RESOLUTION
MODELS LIKE THE NAM AND REGIONAL PLACE THIS FRONT FURTHER NORTH
FROM FAR NORTHERN COOS COUNTY IN NEW HAMPSHIRE TO CENTRAL SOMERSET
COUNTY IN MAINE. AS A RESULT... THE BEST CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
WOULD BE NORTH OF THIS LINE. COURSER RESOLUTION MODELS LIKE THE
GFS AND ECMWF HAVE THE FRONT A LITTLE FURTHER SOUTH FROM GRAFTON
COUNTY NEW HAMPSHIRE TO THE MIDCOAST OF MAINE WITH A MUCH BROADER
PRECIPITATION SHIELD NORTH OF IT. FOR THIS FORECAST HAVE DECIDED
TO FAVOR THE HIGHER RESOLUTION MODELS AND THE FURTHER NORTH
PLACEMENT OF THE FRONT ON THURSDAY.

TEMPERATURES SOUTH OF THE FRONT ON THURSDAY WILL WARM INTO THE 40S
AND 50S. BUT TO THE NORTH OF THE FRONT IT WILL BE A DIFFERENT
STORY. EARLY MORNING COLD AIR WILL BE TOUGH TO ERODE.
PRECIPITATION LIKELY STARTS OUT AS SNOW IN THE LATE MORNING BUT
TRANSITIONS TO FREEZING RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON AND THEN FINALLY
RAIN ONCE TEMPERATURES RISE ABOVE FREEZING. TOTAL PRECIPITATION IS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 0.2 INCHES ON THURSDAY SO SNOW AND ICE
ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED TO BE FAIRLY LIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A WARM FRONT WILL BE LIFTING OVER THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT...
KEEPING NEW ENGLAND IN THE WARM SECTOR BEFORE A COLD FRONT FOLLOWS
FOR FRIDAY MORNING. THIS WILL BRING MOSTLY RAIN TO THE AREA WITH
SOME POCKETS OF FREEZING RAIN IN THE COLDER NORTHERN VALLEYS.
EXPECT FRIDAY NIGHT`S LOWS TO OCCUR EARLY WITH TEMPERATURES
GRADUALLY CLIMBING ABOVE FREEZING OVERNIGHT.

FRIDAY SHOULD BE WARM AND CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS TAPERING OFF AND
NEGLIGIBLE COLD AIR ADVECTION. HIGHS WILL REACH THE 50S EASILY
AREAWIDE WITH LOWER 60S IN THE FAVORED WARM SPOTS. AFTER A WARM DAY
FRIDAY... THE REST OF THE EXTENDED WILL BE COOLER. THE
AFOREMENTIONED SURFACE BOUNDARY STALLS AND LINGERS OFF THE NH AND
MAINE COAST FRIDAY. LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPS ON IT FRIDAY
NIGHT INTO SATURDAY WITH THE PASSAGE OF A REINFORCING ENERGETIC
COLD POOL. THE HEAVIEST QPF WILL OCCUR AFTER MIDNIGHT AND INTO MID
MORNING SATURDAY AS THE SURFACE CYCLONE DEEPENS ALONG COASTAL
MAINE. THIS WOULD BRING RAIN TO THE COAST AND SNOW TO THE
MOUNTAINS WITH A RAIN/SNOW MIX IN BETWEEN. THIS HAS THE POTENTIAL
TO BRING ADVISORY LEVEL SNOW TO THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS
DEPENDING ON THE TRACK.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FOR SUNDAY WITH A QUICK SYSTEM MOVING EAST
OUT OF THE GREAT LAKES REGION SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING AND
TRACKING ALONG THE STALLED BOUNDARY. THIS BOUNDARY CONTINUES TO BE
A PLAYER IN OUR WEATHER THROUGH DAY 8 AS YET ANOTHER STORM SEEMS
TO TAKE SHAPE ON IT. CURRENTLY HAVE KEPT POPS LOWER THAN GUIDANCE
DUE TO LOW CONFIDENCE IN TIMING OF INDIVIDUAL WAVES.

&&

.AVIATION /14Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS TODAY WITH GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS IN
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. INCREASING CLOUDS EXPECTED THURSDAY MORNING
WITH MVFR OR IFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE BRIEFLY ESPECIALLY IN
NORTHERN AREAS CLOSER TO THE DEVELOPING WARM FRONT.

LONG TERM...POOR FLYING CONDITIONS LIKELY FRIDAY AND SATURDAY IN
WIDESPREAD SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS WITH IFR OR LOWER VISIBILITIES
AND CEILINGS. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN LATE SATURDAY AND SUNDAY
BRINGING VFR CONDITIONS.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...PRESSURE GRADIENT INCREASES BETWEEN STRENGTHENING LOW
PRESSURE PASSING BY TO THE EAST AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM
THE WEST. THIS WILL ALLOW A FEW WIND GUSTS TO 25 KT OVER THE OUTER
WATERS TODAY. WINDS SHOULD DIMINISH FROM WEST TO EAST THROUGH THE
DAY AS HIGH PRESSURE APPROACHES FROM THE WEST AND CRESTS OVER THE
WATERS EARLY THURSDAY.

LONG TERM...SCA CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING.
THERE WILL BE A BRIEF BREAK AND THEN WAVES/WINDS WILL BEGIN TO
RAMP UP AGAIN SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY WITH DEVELOPING COASTAL LOW
PRESSURE.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY FOR ANZ152-154.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR ANZ150-
     151.

&&

$$
ES





000
FXUS61 KGYX 011337
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
937 AM EDT WED APR 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND WILL MOVE OUT TO SEA TODAY WHILE
COLD HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTHWEST. HIGH
PRESSURE CRESTS OVER THE REGION TONIGHT WITH VERY COLD
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED. BUT AS THE HIGH MOVES EAST ON THURSDAY...A
WARM FRONT WILL DEVELOP AND PUSH NORTH ACROSS NORTHERN NEW
ENGLAND. THIS WILL BRING WARMER AIR INTO MOST OF THE AREA AND
BRING PRECIPITATION TO NORTHERN AREAS. A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVES
THROUGH THE AREA ON FRIDAY WITH MORE WIDESPREAD SHOWERS. THIS
FRONT WILL STALL OFFSHORE FRIDAY NIGHT WHILE LOW PRESSURE MOVES TO
THE NORTHEAST ALONG THE FRONT... SPREADING PRECIPITATION INTO
MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE. AS THE LOW MOVES AWAY ON SATURDAY HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN BEHIND IT.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 7 PM THIS EVENING/...

935 AM...QUIET DAY AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS EASTWARD ACROSS
THE FORECAST AREA. I MADE ONLY MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO 1ST PERIOD
GRIDS TO REFLECT THE CURRENT MESONET FOR THIS ESTF UPDATE.

PREV DISC...
HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR WEST WILL CONTINUE A COLD NORTHWEST FLOW OVER
NEW ENGLAND TODAY IN SPITE OF A MOSTLY CLEAR SKY. LOW PRESSURE
STRENGTHENING AS IT MOVES OUT TO SEA WILL HELP TO INCREASE THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT A BIT AND CAUSE WINDS TO GUST UP TO 25 MPH
ESPECIALLY IN THE EASTERN PART OF THE FORECAST AREA. TEMPERATURES
TODAY WILL STRUGGLE TO MAKE IT OUT OF THE 30S. DOWNSLOPING
NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BRING THE WARMEST TEMPERATURES TO COASTAL AND
SOUTHERN AREAS WHERE LOW 40S ARE POSSIBLE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /7 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
AXIS OF HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS INTO NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT... BRINGING
NEARLY CALM WINDS. THIS WILL ALLOW GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING
CONDITIONS AND TEMPERATURES WILL DROP INTO THE TEENS FOR MUCH OF
THE AREA. THERE MAY BE SOME INCREASING CLOUDS BY MORNING WHICH
WOULD LIMIT COOLING SOMEWHAT ESPECIALLY OVER NEW HAMPSHIRE.
SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE MAY ONLY DROP INTO THE LOW 20S.

AS THE HIGH SHIFTS EAST ON THURSDAY... A SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL
DEVELOP AND RAPIDLY TRANSPORT WARMER AIR NORTHWARD. A WARM FRONT
WILL SHARPEN ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON AND PROVIDE THE
FOCUS FOR PRECIPITATION ALONG AND NORTH OF IT. THERE IS SOME
DISCREPANCY ON WHERE THE WARM FRONT WILL SET UP. HIGHER RESOLUTION
MODELS LIKE THE NAM AND REGIONAL PLACE THIS FRONT FURTHER NORTH
FROM FAR NORTHERN COOS COUNTY IN NEW HAMPSHIRE TO CENTRAL SOMERSET
COUNTY IN MAINE. AS A RESULT... THE BEST CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
WOULD BE NORTH OF THIS LINE. COURSER RESOLUTION MODELS LIKE THE
GFS AND ECMWF HAVE THE FRONT A LITTLE FURTHER SOUTH FROM GRAFTON
COUNTY NEW HAMPSHIRE TO THE MIDCOAST OF MAINE WITH A MUCH BROADER
PRECIPITATION SHIELD NORTH OF IT. FOR THIS FORECAST HAVE DECIDED
TO FAVOR THE HIGHER RESOLUTION MODELS AND THE FURTHER NORTH
PLACEMENT OF THE FRONT ON THURSDAY.

TEMPERATURES SOUTH OF THE FRONT ON THURSDAY WILL WARM INTO THE 40S
AND 50S. BUT TO THE NORTH OF THE FRONT IT WILL BE A DIFFERENT
STORY. EARLY MORNING COLD AIR WILL BE TOUGH TO ERODE.
PRECIPITATION LIKELY STARTS OUT AS SNOW IN THE LATE MORNING BUT
TRANSITIONS TO FREEZING RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON AND THEN FINALLY
RAIN ONCE TEMPERATURES RISE ABOVE FREEZING. TOTAL PRECIPITATION IS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 0.2 INCHES ON THURSDAY SO SNOW AND ICE
ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED TO BE FAIRLY LIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A WARM FRONT WILL BE LIFTING OVER THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT...
KEEPING NEW ENGLAND IN THE WARM SECTOR BEFORE A COLD FRONT FOLLOWS
FOR FRIDAY MORNING. THIS WILL BRING MOSTLY RAIN TO THE AREA WITH
SOME POCKETS OF FREEZING RAIN IN THE COLDER NORTHERN VALLEYS.
EXPECT FRIDAY NIGHT`S LOWS TO OCCUR EARLY WITH TEMPERATURES
GRADUALLY CLIMBING ABOVE FREEZING OVERNIGHT.

FRIDAY SHOULD BE WARM AND CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS TAPERING OFF AND
NEGLIGIBLE COLD AIR ADVECTION. HIGHS WILL REACH THE 50S EASILY
AREAWIDE WITH LOWER 60S IN THE FAVORED WARM SPOTS. AFTER A WARM DAY
FRIDAY... THE REST OF THE EXTENDED WILL BE COOLER. THE
AFOREMENTIONED SURFACE BOUNDARY STALLS AND LINGERS OFF THE NH AND
MAINE COAST FRIDAY. LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPS ON IT FRIDAY
NIGHT INTO SATURDAY WITH THE PASSAGE OF A REINFORCING ENERGETIC
COLD POOL. THE HEAVIEST QPF WILL OCCUR AFTER MIDNIGHT AND INTO MID
MORNING SATURDAY AS THE SURFACE CYCLONE DEEPENS ALONG COASTAL
MAINE. THIS WOULD BRING RAIN TO THE COAST AND SNOW TO THE
MOUNTAINS WITH A RAIN/SNOW MIX IN BETWEEN. THIS HAS THE POTENTIAL
TO BRING ADVISORY LEVEL SNOW TO THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS
DEPENDING ON THE TRACK.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FOR SUNDAY WITH A QUICK SYSTEM MOVING EAST
OUT OF THE GREAT LAKES REGION SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING AND
TRACKING ALONG THE STALLED BOUNDARY. THIS BOUNDARY CONTINUES TO BE
A PLAYER IN OUR WEATHER THROUGH DAY 8 AS YET ANOTHER STORM SEEMS
TO TAKE SHAPE ON IT. CURRENTLY HAVE KEPT POPS LOWER THAN GUIDANCE
DUE TO LOW CONFIDENCE IN TIMING OF INDIVIDUAL WAVES.

&&

.AVIATION /14Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS TODAY WITH GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS IN
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. INCREASING CLOUDS EXPECTED THURSDAY MORNING
WITH MVFR OR IFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE BRIEFLY ESPECIALLY IN
NORTHERN AREAS CLOSER TO THE DEVELOPING WARM FRONT.

LONG TERM...POOR FLYING CONDITIONS LIKELY FRIDAY AND SATURDAY IN
WIDESPREAD SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS WITH IFR OR LOWER VISIBILITIES
AND CEILINGS. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN LATE SATURDAY AND SUNDAY
BRINGING VFR CONDITIONS.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...PRESSURE GRADIENT INCREASES BETWEEN STRENGTHENING LOW
PRESSURE PASSING BY TO THE EAST AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM
THE WEST. THIS WILL ALLOW A FEW WIND GUSTS TO 25 KT OVER THE OUTER
WATERS TODAY. WINDS SHOULD DIMINISH FROM WEST TO EAST THROUGH THE
DAY AS HIGH PRESSURE APPROACHES FROM THE WEST AND CRESTS OVER THE
WATERS EARLY THURSDAY.

LONG TERM...SCA CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING.
THERE WILL BE A BRIEF BREAK AND THEN WAVES/WINDS WILL BEGIN TO
RAMP UP AGAIN SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY WITH DEVELOPING COASTAL LOW
PRESSURE.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY FOR ANZ152-154.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR ANZ150-
     151.

&&

$$
ES




000
FXUS61 KGYX 010748
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
348 AM EDT WED APR 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND WILL MOVE OUT TO SEA TODAY WHILE
COLD HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTHWEST. HIGH
PRESSURE CRESTS OVER THE REGION TONIGHT WITH VERY COLD
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED. BUT AS THE HIGH MOVES EAST ON THURSDAY A
WARM FRONT WILL DEVELOP AND PUSH NORTH ACROSS NORTHERN NEW
ENGLAND. THIS WILL BRING WARMER AIR INTO MOST OF THE AREA AND
BRING PRECIPITATION TO NORTHERN AREAS. A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVES
THROUGH THE AREA ON FRIDAY WITH MORE WIDESPREAD SHOWERS. THIS
FRONT WILL STALL OFFSHORE FRIDAY NIGHT WHILE LOW PRESSURE MOVES TO
THE NORTHEAST ALONG THE FRONT... SPREADING PRECIPITATION INTO
MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE. AS THE LOW MOVES AWAY ON SATURDAY HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN BEHIND IT.

&&

.NEAR TERM /TODAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR WEST WILL CONTINUE A COLD NORTHWEST FLOW OVER
NEW ENGLAND TODAY IN SPITE OF A MOSTLY CLEAR SKY. LOW PRESSURE
STRENGTHENING AS IT MOVES OUT TO SEA WILL HELP TO INCREASE THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT A BIT AND CAUSE WINDS TO GUST UP TO 25 MPH
ESPECIALLY IN THE EASTERN PART OF THE FORECAST AREA. TEMPERATURES
TODAY WILL STRUGGLE TO MAKE IT OUT OF THE 30S. DOWNSLOPING
NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BRING THE WARMEST TEMPERATURES TO COASTAL AND
SOUTHERN AREAS WHERE LOW 40S ARE POSSIBLE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT AND THURSDAY/...
AXIS OF HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS INTO NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT... BRINGING
NEARLY CALM WINDS. THIS WILL ALLOW GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING
CONDITIONS AND TEMPERATURES WILL DROP INTO THE TEENS FOR MUCH OF
THE AREA. THERE MAY BE SOME INCREASING CLOUDS BY MORNING WHICH
WOULD LIMIT COOLING SOMEWHAT ESPECIALLY OVER NEW HAMPSHIRE.
SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE MAY ONLY DROP INTO THE LOW 20S.

AS THE HIGH SHIFTS EAST ON THURSDAY... A SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL
DEVELOP AND RAPIDLY TRANSPORT WARMER AIR NORTHWARD. A WARM FRONT
WILL SHARPEN ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON AND PROVIDE THE
FOCUS FOR PRECIPITATION ALONG AND NORTH OF IT. THERE IS SOME
DISCREPANCY ON WHERE THE WARM FRONT WILL SET UP. HIGHER RESOLUTION
MODELS LIKE THE NAM AND REGIONAL PLACE THIS FRONT FURTHER NORTH
FROM FAR NORTHERN COOS COUNTY IN NEW HAMPSHIRE TO CENTRAL SOMERSET
COUNTY IN MAINE. AS A RESULT... THE BEST CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
WOULD BE NORTH OF THIS LINE. COURSER RESOLUTION MODELS LIKE THE
GFS AND ECMWF HAVE THE FRONT A LITTLE FURTHER SOUTH FROM GRAFTON
COUNTY NEW HAMPSHIRE TO THE MIDCOAST OF MAINE WITH A MUCH BROADER
PRECIPITATION SHIELD NORTH OF IT. FOR THIS FORECAST HAVE DECIDED
TO FAVOR THE HIGHER RESOLUTION MODELS AND THE FURTHER NORTH
PLACEMENT OF THE FRONT ON THURSDAY.

TEMPERATURES SOUTH OF THE FRONT ON THURSDAY WILL WARM INTO THE 40S
AND 50S. BUT TO THE NORTH OF THE FRONT IT WILL BE A DIFFERENT
STORY. EARLY MORNING COLD AIR WILL BE TOUGH TO ERODE.
PRECIPITATION LIKELY STARTS OUT AS SNOW IN THE LATE MORNING BUT
TRANSITIONS TO FREEZING RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON AND THEN FINALLY
RAIN ONCE TEMPERATURES RISE ABOVE FREEZING. TOTAL PRECIPITATION IS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 0.2 INCHES ON THURSDAY SO SNOW AND ICE
ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED TO BE FAIRLY LIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A WARM FRONT WILL BE LIFTING OVER THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT...
KEEPING NEW ENGLAND IN THE WARM SECTOR BEFORE A COLD FRONT FOLLOWS
FOR FRIDAY MORNING. THIS WILL BRING MOSTLY RAIN TO THE AREA WITH
SOME POCKETS OF FREEZING RAIN IN THE COLDER NORTHERN VALLEYS.
EXPECT FRIDAY NIGHT`S LOWS TO OCCUR EARLY WITH TEMPERATURES
GRADUALLY CLIMBING ABOVE FREEZING OVERNIGHT.

FRIDAY SHOULD BE WARM AND CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS TAPERING OFF AND
NEGLIGIBLE COLD AIR ADVECTION. HIGHS WILL REACH THE 50S EASILY
AREAWIDE WITH LOWER 60S IN THE FAVORED WARM SPOTS. AFTER A WARM DAY
FRIDAY... THE REST OF THE EXTENDED WILL BE COOLER. THE
AFOREMENTIONED SURFACE BOUNDARY STALLS AND LINGERS OFF THE NH AND
MAINE COAST FRIDAY. LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPS ON IT FRIDAY
NIGHT INTO SATURDAY WITH THE PASSAGE OF A REINFORCING ENERGETIC
COLD POOL. THE HEAVIEST QPF WILL OCCUR AFTER MIDNIGHT AND INTO MID
MORNING SATURDAY AS THE SURFACE CYCLONE DEEPENS ALONG COASTAL
MAINE. THIS WOULD BRING RAIN TO THE COAST AND SNOW TO THE
MOUNTAINS WITH A RAIN/SNOW MIX IN BETWEEN. THIS HAS THE POTENTIAL
TO BRING ADVISORY LEVEL SNOW TO THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS
DEPENDING ON THE TRACK.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FOR SUNDAY WITH A QUICK SYSTEM MOVING EAST
OUT OF THE GREAT LAKES REGION SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING AND
TRACKING ALONG THE STALLED BOUNDARY. THIS BOUNDARY CONTINUES TO BE
A PLAYER IN OUR WEATHER THROUGH DAY 8 AS YET ANOTHER STORM SEEMS
TO TAKE SHAPE ON IT. CURRENTLY HAVE KEPT POPS LOWER THAN GUIDANCE
DUE TO LOW CONFIDENCE IN TIMING OF INDIVIDUAL WAVES.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS TODAY WITH GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS IN
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. INCREASING CLOUDS EXPECTED THURSDAY MORNING
WITH MVFR OR IFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE BRIEFLY ESPECIALLY IN
NORTHERN AREAS CLOSER TO THE DEVELOPING WARM FRONT.

LONG TERM...POOR FLYING CONDITIONS LIKELY FRIDAY AND SATURDAY IN
WIDESPREAD SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS WITH IFR OR LOWER VISIBILITIES
AND CEILINGS. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN LATE SATURDAY AND SUNDAY
BRINGING VFR CONDITIONS.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...PRESSURE GRADIENT INCREASES BETWEEN STRENGTHENING LOW
PRESSURE PASSING BY TO THE EAST AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM
THE WEST. THIS WILL ALLOW A FEW WIND GUSTS TO 25 KT OVER THE OUTER
WATERS TODAY. WINDS SHOULD DIMINISH FROM WEST TO EAST THROUGH THE
DAY AS HIGH PRESSURE APPROACHES FROM THE WEST AND CRESTS OVER THE
WATERS EARLY THURSDAY.

LONG TERM...SCA CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING.
THERE WILL BE A BRIEF BREAK AND THEN WAVES/WINDS WILL BEGIN TO
RAMP UP AGAIN SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY WITH DEVELOPING COASTAL LOW
PRESSURE.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     ANZ150>152-154.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...KIMBLE
SHORT TERM...KIMBLE
LONG TERM...HANES




000
FXUS61 KGYX 010748
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
348 AM EDT WED APR 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND WILL MOVE OUT TO SEA TODAY WHILE
COLD HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTHWEST. HIGH
PRESSURE CRESTS OVER THE REGION TONIGHT WITH VERY COLD
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED. BUT AS THE HIGH MOVES EAST ON THURSDAY A
WARM FRONT WILL DEVELOP AND PUSH NORTH ACROSS NORTHERN NEW
ENGLAND. THIS WILL BRING WARMER AIR INTO MOST OF THE AREA AND
BRING PRECIPITATION TO NORTHERN AREAS. A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVES
THROUGH THE AREA ON FRIDAY WITH MORE WIDESPREAD SHOWERS. THIS
FRONT WILL STALL OFFSHORE FRIDAY NIGHT WHILE LOW PRESSURE MOVES TO
THE NORTHEAST ALONG THE FRONT... SPREADING PRECIPITATION INTO
MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE. AS THE LOW MOVES AWAY ON SATURDAY HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN BEHIND IT.

&&

.NEAR TERM /TODAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR WEST WILL CONTINUE A COLD NORTHWEST FLOW OVER
NEW ENGLAND TODAY IN SPITE OF A MOSTLY CLEAR SKY. LOW PRESSURE
STRENGTHENING AS IT MOVES OUT TO SEA WILL HELP TO INCREASE THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT A BIT AND CAUSE WINDS TO GUST UP TO 25 MPH
ESPECIALLY IN THE EASTERN PART OF THE FORECAST AREA. TEMPERATURES
TODAY WILL STRUGGLE TO MAKE IT OUT OF THE 30S. DOWNSLOPING
NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BRING THE WARMEST TEMPERATURES TO COASTAL AND
SOUTHERN AREAS WHERE LOW 40S ARE POSSIBLE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT AND THURSDAY/...
AXIS OF HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS INTO NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT... BRINGING
NEARLY CALM WINDS. THIS WILL ALLOW GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING
CONDITIONS AND TEMPERATURES WILL DROP INTO THE TEENS FOR MUCH OF
THE AREA. THERE MAY BE SOME INCREASING CLOUDS BY MORNING WHICH
WOULD LIMIT COOLING SOMEWHAT ESPECIALLY OVER NEW HAMPSHIRE.
SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE MAY ONLY DROP INTO THE LOW 20S.

AS THE HIGH SHIFTS EAST ON THURSDAY... A SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL
DEVELOP AND RAPIDLY TRANSPORT WARMER AIR NORTHWARD. A WARM FRONT
WILL SHARPEN ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON AND PROVIDE THE
FOCUS FOR PRECIPITATION ALONG AND NORTH OF IT. THERE IS SOME
DISCREPANCY ON WHERE THE WARM FRONT WILL SET UP. HIGHER RESOLUTION
MODELS LIKE THE NAM AND REGIONAL PLACE THIS FRONT FURTHER NORTH
FROM FAR NORTHERN COOS COUNTY IN NEW HAMPSHIRE TO CENTRAL SOMERSET
COUNTY IN MAINE. AS A RESULT... THE BEST CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
WOULD BE NORTH OF THIS LINE. COURSER RESOLUTION MODELS LIKE THE
GFS AND ECMWF HAVE THE FRONT A LITTLE FURTHER SOUTH FROM GRAFTON
COUNTY NEW HAMPSHIRE TO THE MIDCOAST OF MAINE WITH A MUCH BROADER
PRECIPITATION SHIELD NORTH OF IT. FOR THIS FORECAST HAVE DECIDED
TO FAVOR THE HIGHER RESOLUTION MODELS AND THE FURTHER NORTH
PLACEMENT OF THE FRONT ON THURSDAY.

TEMPERATURES SOUTH OF THE FRONT ON THURSDAY WILL WARM INTO THE 40S
AND 50S. BUT TO THE NORTH OF THE FRONT IT WILL BE A DIFFERENT
STORY. EARLY MORNING COLD AIR WILL BE TOUGH TO ERODE.
PRECIPITATION LIKELY STARTS OUT AS SNOW IN THE LATE MORNING BUT
TRANSITIONS TO FREEZING RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON AND THEN FINALLY
RAIN ONCE TEMPERATURES RISE ABOVE FREEZING. TOTAL PRECIPITATION IS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 0.2 INCHES ON THURSDAY SO SNOW AND ICE
ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED TO BE FAIRLY LIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A WARM FRONT WILL BE LIFTING OVER THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT...
KEEPING NEW ENGLAND IN THE WARM SECTOR BEFORE A COLD FRONT FOLLOWS
FOR FRIDAY MORNING. THIS WILL BRING MOSTLY RAIN TO THE AREA WITH
SOME POCKETS OF FREEZING RAIN IN THE COLDER NORTHERN VALLEYS.
EXPECT FRIDAY NIGHT`S LOWS TO OCCUR EARLY WITH TEMPERATURES
GRADUALLY CLIMBING ABOVE FREEZING OVERNIGHT.

FRIDAY SHOULD BE WARM AND CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS TAPERING OFF AND
NEGLIGIBLE COLD AIR ADVECTION. HIGHS WILL REACH THE 50S EASILY
AREAWIDE WITH LOWER 60S IN THE FAVORED WARM SPOTS. AFTER A WARM DAY
FRIDAY... THE REST OF THE EXTENDED WILL BE COOLER. THE
AFOREMENTIONED SURFACE BOUNDARY STALLS AND LINGERS OFF THE NH AND
MAINE COAST FRIDAY. LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPS ON IT FRIDAY
NIGHT INTO SATURDAY WITH THE PASSAGE OF A REINFORCING ENERGETIC
COLD POOL. THE HEAVIEST QPF WILL OCCUR AFTER MIDNIGHT AND INTO MID
MORNING SATURDAY AS THE SURFACE CYCLONE DEEPENS ALONG COASTAL
MAINE. THIS WOULD BRING RAIN TO THE COAST AND SNOW TO THE
MOUNTAINS WITH A RAIN/SNOW MIX IN BETWEEN. THIS HAS THE POTENTIAL
TO BRING ADVISORY LEVEL SNOW TO THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS
DEPENDING ON THE TRACK.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FOR SUNDAY WITH A QUICK SYSTEM MOVING EAST
OUT OF THE GREAT LAKES REGION SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING AND
TRACKING ALONG THE STALLED BOUNDARY. THIS BOUNDARY CONTINUES TO BE
A PLAYER IN OUR WEATHER THROUGH DAY 8 AS YET ANOTHER STORM SEEMS
TO TAKE SHAPE ON IT. CURRENTLY HAVE KEPT POPS LOWER THAN GUIDANCE
DUE TO LOW CONFIDENCE IN TIMING OF INDIVIDUAL WAVES.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR CONDITIONS TODAY WITH GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS IN
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. INCREASING CLOUDS EXPECTED THURSDAY MORNING
WITH MVFR OR IFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE BRIEFLY ESPECIALLY IN
NORTHERN AREAS CLOSER TO THE DEVELOPING WARM FRONT.

LONG TERM...POOR FLYING CONDITIONS LIKELY FRIDAY AND SATURDAY IN
WIDESPREAD SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS WITH IFR OR LOWER VISIBILITIES
AND CEILINGS. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN LATE SATURDAY AND SUNDAY
BRINGING VFR CONDITIONS.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...PRESSURE GRADIENT INCREASES BETWEEN STRENGTHENING LOW
PRESSURE PASSING BY TO THE EAST AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM
THE WEST. THIS WILL ALLOW A FEW WIND GUSTS TO 25 KT OVER THE OUTER
WATERS TODAY. WINDS SHOULD DIMINISH FROM WEST TO EAST THROUGH THE
DAY AS HIGH PRESSURE APPROACHES FROM THE WEST AND CRESTS OVER THE
WATERS EARLY THURSDAY.

LONG TERM...SCA CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING.
THERE WILL BE A BRIEF BREAK AND THEN WAVES/WINDS WILL BEGIN TO
RAMP UP AGAIN SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY WITH DEVELOPING COASTAL LOW
PRESSURE.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     ANZ150>152-154.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...KIMBLE
SHORT TERM...KIMBLE
LONG TERM...HANES





000
FXUS61 KGYX 010153
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
953 PM EDT TUE MAR 31 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST TONIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AND WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A WARM FRONT
WILL LIFT NORTH INTO THE REGION ON THURSDAY AND WILL STALL AS A
COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. THE COLD FRONT WILL GRADUALLY
SETTLE INTO NEW ENGLAND AND WILL STALL ON FRIDAY. LOW PRESSURE
WILL TRACK NORTHEAST ALONG THE FRONT FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL MOVE
NORTHEAST THROUGH THE REGION ON SATURDAY. WEAL LOW PRESSURE
DROPPING SOUTHEAST FROM CANADA WILL DISSIPATE OVER THE REGION ON
SUNDAY AND A TRAILING COLD FRONT WILL STALL OVER SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND ON SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA ON
MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
10 PM UPDATE...NO CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. HIGH CLOUDS ARE
CLEARING OUT AND CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED FOR THE REST OF THE
NIGHT.

7 PM UPDATE...LITTLE CHANGE TO THE GOING FORECAST. ANY HIGH
CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH STORM SYSTEM WELL TO OUR SOUTH WILL
DEPART LATER THIS EVENING.

PREVIOUSLY...

CLEAR AND COLD NIGHT ON TAP FOR THE REGION AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
IN FROM THE WEST. WEAK DISTURBANCE PASSING SOUTH OF THE FORECAST
AREA WILL BRUSH SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE WITH SOME HIGH CLOUDS
DURING THE 1ST HALF OF THE NIGHT. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL RANGE
THROUGH THE SINGLE NUMBERS NORTH AND THROUGH THE TEENS SOUTH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT IN FROM THE WEST ON
WEDNESDAY. ASIDE FROM A FEW CLOUDS IN THE MOUNTAINS...SHOULD SEE
ANOTHER MOSTLY SUNNY DAY. WILL SEE A SLIGHTLY COOLER DAY WITH
HIGHS FROM THE UPPER 20S TO UPPER 30S NORTH AND UPPER 30S TO LOWER
40S SOUTH.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST OVER THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT BEFORE
SHIFTING OFFSHORE. WILL SEE INCREASING CLOUDS AFTER MIDNIGHT AS
WEAK OVER-RUNNING EDGES IN FROM THE WEST. LOWS WILL BOTTOM OUT AT
10 TO 15 DEGREES NORTH AND IN THE MID TEENS TO MID 20S SOUTH.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THE MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT ON THE LONG WAVE PATTERN
THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK. THERE IS DECENT AGREEMENT IN
HANDLING OF INDIVIDUAL SHORTWAVE ENERGY AS WELL. WE BEGIN THE
PERIOD WITH HIGH PRESSURE SLIDING OFFSHORE. A WARM FRONT WILL
BRING INCREASING CLOUDS AND A FEW RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS LATE
THURSDAY. A FEW RAIN SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
FRIDAY AHEAD OF THE TRAILING COLD FRONT. THE COLD FRONT WILL STALL
TO OUR SOUTH AND EAST FRIDAY NIGHT WITH DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE TO
TRACK NORTHEAST ALONG IT ON SATURDAY. THERMAL FIELDS SUGGEST A
LARGELY RAIN EVENT AHEAD OF THE LOW...WITH AREAS NEAR THE
INTERNATIONAL BORDER POSSIBLY SEEING A WINTRY MIX. AS COLD AIR
WRAPS IN BEHIND THE LOW...RAIN COULD TRANSITION TO SLEET AND SNOW
LATE SATURDAY ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS BEFORE ENDING. A
COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA SUNDAY WITH A FEW RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN NOSE INTO THE AREA FOR EARLY NEXT
WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

LONG TERM...

THU PM...SCT MVFR PSBL IN RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.

THU NIGHT - FRI...MVFR IN RAIN SHOWERS...WITH LCL IFR PSBL.

SAT...MVFR IN RAIN AND SNOW...WITH AREAS OF IFR.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SCA`S FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH NOON WEDNESDAY.

LONG TERM...

FRI - SUN...SMALL CRAFT WINDS AND SEAS ARE LIKELY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 2 PM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR
     ANZ150>152-154.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...EKSTER




000
FXUS61 KGYX 010153
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
953 PM EDT TUE MAR 31 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST TONIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AND WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A WARM FRONT
WILL LIFT NORTH INTO THE REGION ON THURSDAY AND WILL STALL AS A
COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. THE COLD FRONT WILL GRADUALLY
SETTLE INTO NEW ENGLAND AND WILL STALL ON FRIDAY. LOW PRESSURE
WILL TRACK NORTHEAST ALONG THE FRONT FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL MOVE
NORTHEAST THROUGH THE REGION ON SATURDAY. WEAL LOW PRESSURE
DROPPING SOUTHEAST FROM CANADA WILL DISSIPATE OVER THE REGION ON
SUNDAY AND A TRAILING COLD FRONT WILL STALL OVER SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND ON SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA ON
MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
10 PM UPDATE...NO CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. HIGH CLOUDS ARE
CLEARING OUT AND CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED FOR THE REST OF THE
NIGHT.

7 PM UPDATE...LITTLE CHANGE TO THE GOING FORECAST. ANY HIGH
CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH STORM SYSTEM WELL TO OUR SOUTH WILL
DEPART LATER THIS EVENING.

PREVIOUSLY...

CLEAR AND COLD NIGHT ON TAP FOR THE REGION AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
IN FROM THE WEST. WEAK DISTURBANCE PASSING SOUTH OF THE FORECAST
AREA WILL BRUSH SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE WITH SOME HIGH CLOUDS
DURING THE 1ST HALF OF THE NIGHT. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL RANGE
THROUGH THE SINGLE NUMBERS NORTH AND THROUGH THE TEENS SOUTH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT IN FROM THE WEST ON
WEDNESDAY. ASIDE FROM A FEW CLOUDS IN THE MOUNTAINS...SHOULD SEE
ANOTHER MOSTLY SUNNY DAY. WILL SEE A SLIGHTLY COOLER DAY WITH
HIGHS FROM THE UPPER 20S TO UPPER 30S NORTH AND UPPER 30S TO LOWER
40S SOUTH.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST OVER THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT BEFORE
SHIFTING OFFSHORE. WILL SEE INCREASING CLOUDS AFTER MIDNIGHT AS
WEAK OVER-RUNNING EDGES IN FROM THE WEST. LOWS WILL BOTTOM OUT AT
10 TO 15 DEGREES NORTH AND IN THE MID TEENS TO MID 20S SOUTH.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THE MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT ON THE LONG WAVE PATTERN
THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK. THERE IS DECENT AGREEMENT IN
HANDLING OF INDIVIDUAL SHORTWAVE ENERGY AS WELL. WE BEGIN THE
PERIOD WITH HIGH PRESSURE SLIDING OFFSHORE. A WARM FRONT WILL
BRING INCREASING CLOUDS AND A FEW RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS LATE
THURSDAY. A FEW RAIN SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
FRIDAY AHEAD OF THE TRAILING COLD FRONT. THE COLD FRONT WILL STALL
TO OUR SOUTH AND EAST FRIDAY NIGHT WITH DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE TO
TRACK NORTHEAST ALONG IT ON SATURDAY. THERMAL FIELDS SUGGEST A
LARGELY RAIN EVENT AHEAD OF THE LOW...WITH AREAS NEAR THE
INTERNATIONAL BORDER POSSIBLY SEEING A WINTRY MIX. AS COLD AIR
WRAPS IN BEHIND THE LOW...RAIN COULD TRANSITION TO SLEET AND SNOW
LATE SATURDAY ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS BEFORE ENDING. A
COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA SUNDAY WITH A FEW RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN NOSE INTO THE AREA FOR EARLY NEXT
WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

LONG TERM...

THU PM...SCT MVFR PSBL IN RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.

THU NIGHT - FRI...MVFR IN RAIN SHOWERS...WITH LCL IFR PSBL.

SAT...MVFR IN RAIN AND SNOW...WITH AREAS OF IFR.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SCA`S FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH NOON WEDNESDAY.

LONG TERM...

FRI - SUN...SMALL CRAFT WINDS AND SEAS ARE LIKELY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 2 PM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR
     ANZ150>152-154.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...EKSTER





000
FXUS61 KGYX 010153
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
953 PM EDT TUE MAR 31 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST TONIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AND WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A WARM FRONT
WILL LIFT NORTH INTO THE REGION ON THURSDAY AND WILL STALL AS A
COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. THE COLD FRONT WILL GRADUALLY
SETTLE INTO NEW ENGLAND AND WILL STALL ON FRIDAY. LOW PRESSURE
WILL TRACK NORTHEAST ALONG THE FRONT FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL MOVE
NORTHEAST THROUGH THE REGION ON SATURDAY. WEAL LOW PRESSURE
DROPPING SOUTHEAST FROM CANADA WILL DISSIPATE OVER THE REGION ON
SUNDAY AND A TRAILING COLD FRONT WILL STALL OVER SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND ON SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA ON
MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
10 PM UPDATE...NO CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. HIGH CLOUDS ARE
CLEARING OUT AND CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED FOR THE REST OF THE
NIGHT.

7 PM UPDATE...LITTLE CHANGE TO THE GOING FORECAST. ANY HIGH
CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH STORM SYSTEM WELL TO OUR SOUTH WILL
DEPART LATER THIS EVENING.

PREVIOUSLY...

CLEAR AND COLD NIGHT ON TAP FOR THE REGION AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
IN FROM THE WEST. WEAK DISTURBANCE PASSING SOUTH OF THE FORECAST
AREA WILL BRUSH SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE WITH SOME HIGH CLOUDS
DURING THE 1ST HALF OF THE NIGHT. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL RANGE
THROUGH THE SINGLE NUMBERS NORTH AND THROUGH THE TEENS SOUTH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT IN FROM THE WEST ON
WEDNESDAY. ASIDE FROM A FEW CLOUDS IN THE MOUNTAINS...SHOULD SEE
ANOTHER MOSTLY SUNNY DAY. WILL SEE A SLIGHTLY COOLER DAY WITH
HIGHS FROM THE UPPER 20S TO UPPER 30S NORTH AND UPPER 30S TO LOWER
40S SOUTH.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST OVER THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT BEFORE
SHIFTING OFFSHORE. WILL SEE INCREASING CLOUDS AFTER MIDNIGHT AS
WEAK OVER-RUNNING EDGES IN FROM THE WEST. LOWS WILL BOTTOM OUT AT
10 TO 15 DEGREES NORTH AND IN THE MID TEENS TO MID 20S SOUTH.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THE MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT ON THE LONG WAVE PATTERN
THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK. THERE IS DECENT AGREEMENT IN
HANDLING OF INDIVIDUAL SHORTWAVE ENERGY AS WELL. WE BEGIN THE
PERIOD WITH HIGH PRESSURE SLIDING OFFSHORE. A WARM FRONT WILL
BRING INCREASING CLOUDS AND A FEW RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS LATE
THURSDAY. A FEW RAIN SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
FRIDAY AHEAD OF THE TRAILING COLD FRONT. THE COLD FRONT WILL STALL
TO OUR SOUTH AND EAST FRIDAY NIGHT WITH DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE TO
TRACK NORTHEAST ALONG IT ON SATURDAY. THERMAL FIELDS SUGGEST A
LARGELY RAIN EVENT AHEAD OF THE LOW...WITH AREAS NEAR THE
INTERNATIONAL BORDER POSSIBLY SEEING A WINTRY MIX. AS COLD AIR
WRAPS IN BEHIND THE LOW...RAIN COULD TRANSITION TO SLEET AND SNOW
LATE SATURDAY ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS BEFORE ENDING. A
COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA SUNDAY WITH A FEW RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN NOSE INTO THE AREA FOR EARLY NEXT
WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

LONG TERM...

THU PM...SCT MVFR PSBL IN RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.

THU NIGHT - FRI...MVFR IN RAIN SHOWERS...WITH LCL IFR PSBL.

SAT...MVFR IN RAIN AND SNOW...WITH AREAS OF IFR.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SCA`S FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH NOON WEDNESDAY.

LONG TERM...

FRI - SUN...SMALL CRAFT WINDS AND SEAS ARE LIKELY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 2 PM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR
     ANZ150>152-154.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...EKSTER





000
FXUS61 KGYX 010153
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
953 PM EDT TUE MAR 31 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST TONIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AND WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A WARM FRONT
WILL LIFT NORTH INTO THE REGION ON THURSDAY AND WILL STALL AS A
COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. THE COLD FRONT WILL GRADUALLY
SETTLE INTO NEW ENGLAND AND WILL STALL ON FRIDAY. LOW PRESSURE
WILL TRACK NORTHEAST ALONG THE FRONT FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL MOVE
NORTHEAST THROUGH THE REGION ON SATURDAY. WEAL LOW PRESSURE
DROPPING SOUTHEAST FROM CANADA WILL DISSIPATE OVER THE REGION ON
SUNDAY AND A TRAILING COLD FRONT WILL STALL OVER SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND ON SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA ON
MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
10 PM UPDATE...NO CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. HIGH CLOUDS ARE
CLEARING OUT AND CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED FOR THE REST OF THE
NIGHT.

7 PM UPDATE...LITTLE CHANGE TO THE GOING FORECAST. ANY HIGH
CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH STORM SYSTEM WELL TO OUR SOUTH WILL
DEPART LATER THIS EVENING.

PREVIOUSLY...

CLEAR AND COLD NIGHT ON TAP FOR THE REGION AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
IN FROM THE WEST. WEAK DISTURBANCE PASSING SOUTH OF THE FORECAST
AREA WILL BRUSH SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE WITH SOME HIGH CLOUDS
DURING THE 1ST HALF OF THE NIGHT. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL RANGE
THROUGH THE SINGLE NUMBERS NORTH AND THROUGH THE TEENS SOUTH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT IN FROM THE WEST ON
WEDNESDAY. ASIDE FROM A FEW CLOUDS IN THE MOUNTAINS...SHOULD SEE
ANOTHER MOSTLY SUNNY DAY. WILL SEE A SLIGHTLY COOLER DAY WITH
HIGHS FROM THE UPPER 20S TO UPPER 30S NORTH AND UPPER 30S TO LOWER
40S SOUTH.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST OVER THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT BEFORE
SHIFTING OFFSHORE. WILL SEE INCREASING CLOUDS AFTER MIDNIGHT AS
WEAK OVER-RUNNING EDGES IN FROM THE WEST. LOWS WILL BOTTOM OUT AT
10 TO 15 DEGREES NORTH AND IN THE MID TEENS TO MID 20S SOUTH.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THE MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT ON THE LONG WAVE PATTERN
THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK. THERE IS DECENT AGREEMENT IN
HANDLING OF INDIVIDUAL SHORTWAVE ENERGY AS WELL. WE BEGIN THE
PERIOD WITH HIGH PRESSURE SLIDING OFFSHORE. A WARM FRONT WILL
BRING INCREASING CLOUDS AND A FEW RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS LATE
THURSDAY. A FEW RAIN SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
FRIDAY AHEAD OF THE TRAILING COLD FRONT. THE COLD FRONT WILL STALL
TO OUR SOUTH AND EAST FRIDAY NIGHT WITH DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE TO
TRACK NORTHEAST ALONG IT ON SATURDAY. THERMAL FIELDS SUGGEST A
LARGELY RAIN EVENT AHEAD OF THE LOW...WITH AREAS NEAR THE
INTERNATIONAL BORDER POSSIBLY SEEING A WINTRY MIX. AS COLD AIR
WRAPS IN BEHIND THE LOW...RAIN COULD TRANSITION TO SLEET AND SNOW
LATE SATURDAY ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS BEFORE ENDING. A
COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA SUNDAY WITH A FEW RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN NOSE INTO THE AREA FOR EARLY NEXT
WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

LONG TERM...

THU PM...SCT MVFR PSBL IN RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.

THU NIGHT - FRI...MVFR IN RAIN SHOWERS...WITH LCL IFR PSBL.

SAT...MVFR IN RAIN AND SNOW...WITH AREAS OF IFR.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SCA`S FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH NOON WEDNESDAY.

LONG TERM...

FRI - SUN...SMALL CRAFT WINDS AND SEAS ARE LIKELY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 2 PM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR
     ANZ150>152-154.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...EKSTER




000
FXUS61 KGYX 312301
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
701 PM EDT TUE MAR 31 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST TONIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AND WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A WARM FRONT
WILL LIFT NORTH INTO THE REGION ON THURSDAY AND WILL STALL AS A
COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. THE COLD FRONT WILL GRADUALLY
SETTLE INTO NEW ENGLAND AND WILL STALL ON FRIDAY. LOW PRESSURE
WILL TRACK NORTHEAST ALONG THE FRONT FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL MOVE
NORTHEAST THROUGH THE REGION ON SATURDAY. WEAL LOW PRESSURE
DROPPING SOUTHEAST FROM CANADA WILL DISSIPATE OVER THE REGION ON
SUNDAY AND A TRAILING COLD FRONT WILL STALL OVER SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND ON SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA ON
MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
7 PM UPDATE...LITTLE CHANGE TO THE GOING FORECAST. ANY HIGH
CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH STORM SYSTEM WELL TO OUR SOUTH WILL
DEPART LATER THIS EVENING.

PREVIOUSLY...

CLEAR AND COLD NIGHT ON TAP FOR THE REGION AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
IN FROM THE WEST. WEAK DISTURBANCE PASSING SOUTH OF THE FORECAST
AREA WILL BRUSH SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE WITH SOME HIGH CLOUDS
DURING THE 1ST HALF OF THE NIGHT. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL RANGE
THROUGH THE SINGLE NUMBERS NORTH AND THROUGH THE TEENS SOUTH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT IN FROM THE WEST ON
WEDNESDAY. ASIDE FROM A FEW CLOUDS IN THE MOUNTAINS...SHOULD SEE
ANOTHER MOSTLY SUNNY DAY. WILL SEE A SLIGHTLY COOLER DAY WITH
HIGHS FROM THE UPPER 20S TO UPPER 30S NORTH AND UPPER 30S TO LOWER
40S SOUTH.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST OVER THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT BEFORE
SHIFTING OFFSHORE. WILL SEE INCREASING CLOUDS AFTER MIDNIGHT AS
WEAK OVER-RUNNING EDGES IN FROM THE WEST. LOWS WILL BOTTOM OUT AT
10 TO 15 DEGREES NORTH AND IN THE MID TEENS TO MID 20S SOUTH.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THE MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT ON THE LONG WAVE PATTERN
THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK. THERE IS DECENT AGREEMENT IN
HANDLING OF INDIVIDUAL SHORTWAVE ENERGY AS WELL. WE BEGIN THE
PERIOD WITH HIGH PRESSURE SLIDING OFFSHORE. A WARM FRONT WILL
BRING INCREASING CLOUDS AND A FEW RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS LATE
THURSDAY. A FEW RAIN SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
FRIDAY AHEAD OF THE TRAILING COLD FRONT. THE COLD FRONT WILL STALL
TO OUR SOUTH AND EAST FRIDAY NIGHT WITH DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE TO
TRACK NORTHEAST ALONG IT ON SATURDAY. THERMAL FIELDS SUGGEST A
LARGELY RAIN EVENT AHEAD OF THE LOW...WITH AREAS NEAR THE
INTERNATIONAL BORDER POSSIBLY SEEING A WINTRY MIX. AS COLD AIR
WRAPS IN BEHIND THE LOW...RAIN COULD TRANSITION TO SLEET AND SNOW
LATE SATURDAY ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS BEFORE ENDING. A
COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA SUNDAY WITH A FEW RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN NOSE INTO THE AREA FOR EARLY NEXT
WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /23Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

LONG TERM...

THU PM...SCT MVFR PSBL IN RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.

THU NIGHT - FRI...MVFR IN RAIN SHOWERS...WITH LCL IFR PSBL.

SAT...MVFR IN RAIN AND SNOW...WITH AREAS OF IFR.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SCA`S FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH NOON WEDNESDAY.

LONG TERM...

FRI - SUN...SMALL CRAFT WINDS AND SEAS ARE LIKELY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 2 PM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR
     ANZ150>152-154.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...EKSTER




000
FXUS61 KGYX 312301
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
701 PM EDT TUE MAR 31 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST TONIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AND WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A WARM FRONT
WILL LIFT NORTH INTO THE REGION ON THURSDAY AND WILL STALL AS A
COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. THE COLD FRONT WILL GRADUALLY
SETTLE INTO NEW ENGLAND AND WILL STALL ON FRIDAY. LOW PRESSURE
WILL TRACK NORTHEAST ALONG THE FRONT FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL MOVE
NORTHEAST THROUGH THE REGION ON SATURDAY. WEAL LOW PRESSURE
DROPPING SOUTHEAST FROM CANADA WILL DISSIPATE OVER THE REGION ON
SUNDAY AND A TRAILING COLD FRONT WILL STALL OVER SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND ON SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA ON
MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
7 PM UPDATE...LITTLE CHANGE TO THE GOING FORECAST. ANY HIGH
CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH STORM SYSTEM WELL TO OUR SOUTH WILL
DEPART LATER THIS EVENING.

PREVIOUSLY...

CLEAR AND COLD NIGHT ON TAP FOR THE REGION AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
IN FROM THE WEST. WEAK DISTURBANCE PASSING SOUTH OF THE FORECAST
AREA WILL BRUSH SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE WITH SOME HIGH CLOUDS
DURING THE 1ST HALF OF THE NIGHT. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL RANGE
THROUGH THE SINGLE NUMBERS NORTH AND THROUGH THE TEENS SOUTH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT IN FROM THE WEST ON
WEDNESDAY. ASIDE FROM A FEW CLOUDS IN THE MOUNTAINS...SHOULD SEE
ANOTHER MOSTLY SUNNY DAY. WILL SEE A SLIGHTLY COOLER DAY WITH
HIGHS FROM THE UPPER 20S TO UPPER 30S NORTH AND UPPER 30S TO LOWER
40S SOUTH.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST OVER THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT BEFORE
SHIFTING OFFSHORE. WILL SEE INCREASING CLOUDS AFTER MIDNIGHT AS
WEAK OVER-RUNNING EDGES IN FROM THE WEST. LOWS WILL BOTTOM OUT AT
10 TO 15 DEGREES NORTH AND IN THE MID TEENS TO MID 20S SOUTH.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THE MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT ON THE LONG WAVE PATTERN
THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK. THERE IS DECENT AGREEMENT IN
HANDLING OF INDIVIDUAL SHORTWAVE ENERGY AS WELL. WE BEGIN THE
PERIOD WITH HIGH PRESSURE SLIDING OFFSHORE. A WARM FRONT WILL
BRING INCREASING CLOUDS AND A FEW RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS LATE
THURSDAY. A FEW RAIN SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
FRIDAY AHEAD OF THE TRAILING COLD FRONT. THE COLD FRONT WILL STALL
TO OUR SOUTH AND EAST FRIDAY NIGHT WITH DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE TO
TRACK NORTHEAST ALONG IT ON SATURDAY. THERMAL FIELDS SUGGEST A
LARGELY RAIN EVENT AHEAD OF THE LOW...WITH AREAS NEAR THE
INTERNATIONAL BORDER POSSIBLY SEEING A WINTRY MIX. AS COLD AIR
WRAPS IN BEHIND THE LOW...RAIN COULD TRANSITION TO SLEET AND SNOW
LATE SATURDAY ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS BEFORE ENDING. A
COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA SUNDAY WITH A FEW RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN NOSE INTO THE AREA FOR EARLY NEXT
WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /23Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

LONG TERM...

THU PM...SCT MVFR PSBL IN RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.

THU NIGHT - FRI...MVFR IN RAIN SHOWERS...WITH LCL IFR PSBL.

SAT...MVFR IN RAIN AND SNOW...WITH AREAS OF IFR.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SCA`S FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH NOON WEDNESDAY.

LONG TERM...

FRI - SUN...SMALL CRAFT WINDS AND SEAS ARE LIKELY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 2 PM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR
     ANZ150>152-154.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...EKSTER





000
FXUS61 KGYX 312301
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
701 PM EDT TUE MAR 31 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST TONIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AND WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A WARM FRONT
WILL LIFT NORTH INTO THE REGION ON THURSDAY AND WILL STALL AS A
COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. THE COLD FRONT WILL GRADUALLY
SETTLE INTO NEW ENGLAND AND WILL STALL ON FRIDAY. LOW PRESSURE
WILL TRACK NORTHEAST ALONG THE FRONT FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL MOVE
NORTHEAST THROUGH THE REGION ON SATURDAY. WEAL LOW PRESSURE
DROPPING SOUTHEAST FROM CANADA WILL DISSIPATE OVER THE REGION ON
SUNDAY AND A TRAILING COLD FRONT WILL STALL OVER SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND ON SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA ON
MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
7 PM UPDATE...LITTLE CHANGE TO THE GOING FORECAST. ANY HIGH
CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH STORM SYSTEM WELL TO OUR SOUTH WILL
DEPART LATER THIS EVENING.

PREVIOUSLY...

CLEAR AND COLD NIGHT ON TAP FOR THE REGION AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
IN FROM THE WEST. WEAK DISTURBANCE PASSING SOUTH OF THE FORECAST
AREA WILL BRUSH SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE WITH SOME HIGH CLOUDS
DURING THE 1ST HALF OF THE NIGHT. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL RANGE
THROUGH THE SINGLE NUMBERS NORTH AND THROUGH THE TEENS SOUTH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT IN FROM THE WEST ON
WEDNESDAY. ASIDE FROM A FEW CLOUDS IN THE MOUNTAINS...SHOULD SEE
ANOTHER MOSTLY SUNNY DAY. WILL SEE A SLIGHTLY COOLER DAY WITH
HIGHS FROM THE UPPER 20S TO UPPER 30S NORTH AND UPPER 30S TO LOWER
40S SOUTH.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST OVER THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT BEFORE
SHIFTING OFFSHORE. WILL SEE INCREASING CLOUDS AFTER MIDNIGHT AS
WEAK OVER-RUNNING EDGES IN FROM THE WEST. LOWS WILL BOTTOM OUT AT
10 TO 15 DEGREES NORTH AND IN THE MID TEENS TO MID 20S SOUTH.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THE MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT ON THE LONG WAVE PATTERN
THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK. THERE IS DECENT AGREEMENT IN
HANDLING OF INDIVIDUAL SHORTWAVE ENERGY AS WELL. WE BEGIN THE
PERIOD WITH HIGH PRESSURE SLIDING OFFSHORE. A WARM FRONT WILL
BRING INCREASING CLOUDS AND A FEW RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS LATE
THURSDAY. A FEW RAIN SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
FRIDAY AHEAD OF THE TRAILING COLD FRONT. THE COLD FRONT WILL STALL
TO OUR SOUTH AND EAST FRIDAY NIGHT WITH DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE TO
TRACK NORTHEAST ALONG IT ON SATURDAY. THERMAL FIELDS SUGGEST A
LARGELY RAIN EVENT AHEAD OF THE LOW...WITH AREAS NEAR THE
INTERNATIONAL BORDER POSSIBLY SEEING A WINTRY MIX. AS COLD AIR
WRAPS IN BEHIND THE LOW...RAIN COULD TRANSITION TO SLEET AND SNOW
LATE SATURDAY ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS BEFORE ENDING. A
COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA SUNDAY WITH A FEW RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN NOSE INTO THE AREA FOR EARLY NEXT
WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /23Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

LONG TERM...

THU PM...SCT MVFR PSBL IN RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.

THU NIGHT - FRI...MVFR IN RAIN SHOWERS...WITH LCL IFR PSBL.

SAT...MVFR IN RAIN AND SNOW...WITH AREAS OF IFR.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SCA`S FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH NOON WEDNESDAY.

LONG TERM...

FRI - SUN...SMALL CRAFT WINDS AND SEAS ARE LIKELY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 2 PM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR
     ANZ150>152-154.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...EKSTER




000
FXUS61 KGYX 312301
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
701 PM EDT TUE MAR 31 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST TONIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AND WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A WARM FRONT
WILL LIFT NORTH INTO THE REGION ON THURSDAY AND WILL STALL AS A
COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. THE COLD FRONT WILL GRADUALLY
SETTLE INTO NEW ENGLAND AND WILL STALL ON FRIDAY. LOW PRESSURE
WILL TRACK NORTHEAST ALONG THE FRONT FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL MOVE
NORTHEAST THROUGH THE REGION ON SATURDAY. WEAL LOW PRESSURE
DROPPING SOUTHEAST FROM CANADA WILL DISSIPATE OVER THE REGION ON
SUNDAY AND A TRAILING COLD FRONT WILL STALL OVER SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND ON SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA ON
MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
7 PM UPDATE...LITTLE CHANGE TO THE GOING FORECAST. ANY HIGH
CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH STORM SYSTEM WELL TO OUR SOUTH WILL
DEPART LATER THIS EVENING.

PREVIOUSLY...

CLEAR AND COLD NIGHT ON TAP FOR THE REGION AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
IN FROM THE WEST. WEAK DISTURBANCE PASSING SOUTH OF THE FORECAST
AREA WILL BRUSH SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE WITH SOME HIGH CLOUDS
DURING THE 1ST HALF OF THE NIGHT. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL RANGE
THROUGH THE SINGLE NUMBERS NORTH AND THROUGH THE TEENS SOUTH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT IN FROM THE WEST ON
WEDNESDAY. ASIDE FROM A FEW CLOUDS IN THE MOUNTAINS...SHOULD SEE
ANOTHER MOSTLY SUNNY DAY. WILL SEE A SLIGHTLY COOLER DAY WITH
HIGHS FROM THE UPPER 20S TO UPPER 30S NORTH AND UPPER 30S TO LOWER
40S SOUTH.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST OVER THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT BEFORE
SHIFTING OFFSHORE. WILL SEE INCREASING CLOUDS AFTER MIDNIGHT AS
WEAK OVER-RUNNING EDGES IN FROM THE WEST. LOWS WILL BOTTOM OUT AT
10 TO 15 DEGREES NORTH AND IN THE MID TEENS TO MID 20S SOUTH.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THE MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT ON THE LONG WAVE PATTERN
THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK. THERE IS DECENT AGREEMENT IN
HANDLING OF INDIVIDUAL SHORTWAVE ENERGY AS WELL. WE BEGIN THE
PERIOD WITH HIGH PRESSURE SLIDING OFFSHORE. A WARM FRONT WILL
BRING INCREASING CLOUDS AND A FEW RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS LATE
THURSDAY. A FEW RAIN SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
FRIDAY AHEAD OF THE TRAILING COLD FRONT. THE COLD FRONT WILL STALL
TO OUR SOUTH AND EAST FRIDAY NIGHT WITH DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE TO
TRACK NORTHEAST ALONG IT ON SATURDAY. THERMAL FIELDS SUGGEST A
LARGELY RAIN EVENT AHEAD OF THE LOW...WITH AREAS NEAR THE
INTERNATIONAL BORDER POSSIBLY SEEING A WINTRY MIX. AS COLD AIR
WRAPS IN BEHIND THE LOW...RAIN COULD TRANSITION TO SLEET AND SNOW
LATE SATURDAY ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS BEFORE ENDING. A
COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA SUNDAY WITH A FEW RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN NOSE INTO THE AREA FOR EARLY NEXT
WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /23Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

LONG TERM...

THU PM...SCT MVFR PSBL IN RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.

THU NIGHT - FRI...MVFR IN RAIN SHOWERS...WITH LCL IFR PSBL.

SAT...MVFR IN RAIN AND SNOW...WITH AREAS OF IFR.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SCA`S FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH NOON WEDNESDAY.

LONG TERM...

FRI - SUN...SMALL CRAFT WINDS AND SEAS ARE LIKELY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 2 PM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR
     ANZ150>152-154.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...EKSTER





000
FXUS61 KGYX 311851
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
251 PM EDT TUE MAR 31 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST TONIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AND WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A WARM FRONT
WILL LIFT NORTH INTO THE REGION ON THURSDAY AND WILL STALL AS A
COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. THE COLD FRONT WILL GRADUALLY
SETTLE INTO NEW ENGLAND AND WILL STALL ON FRIDAY. LOW PRESSURE
WILL TRACK NORTHEAST ALONG THE FRONT FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL MOVE
NORTHEAST THROUGH THE REGION ON SATURDAY. WEAL LOW PRESSURE
DROPPING SOUTHEAST FROM CANADA WILL DISSIPATE OVER THE REGION ON
SUNDAY AND A TRAILING COLD FRONT WILL STALL OVER SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND ON SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA ON
MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
CLEAR AND COLD NIGHT ON TAP FOR THE REGION AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
IN FROM THE WEST. WEAK DISTURBANCE PASSING SOUTH OF THE FORECAST
AREA WILL BRUSH SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE WITH SOME HIGH CLOUDS
DURING THE 1ST HALF OF THE NIGHT. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL RANGE
THROUGH THE SINGLE NUMBERS NORTH AND THROUGH THE TEENS SOUTH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT IN FROM THE WEST ON
WEDNESDAY. ASIDE FROM A FEW CLOUDS IN THE MOUNTAINS...SHOULD SEE
ANOTHER MOSTLY SUNNY DAY. WILL SEE A SLIGHTLY COOLER DAY WITH
HIGHS FROM THE UPPER 20S TO UPPER 30S NORTH AND UPPER 30S TO LOWER
40S SOUTH.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST OVER THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT BEFORE
SHIFTING OFFSHORE. WILL SEE INCREASING CLOUDS AFTER MIDNIGHT AS
WEAK OVER-RUNNING EDGES IN FROM THE WEST. LOWS WILL BOTTOM OUT AT
10 TO 15 DEGREES NORTH AND IN THE MID TEENS TO MID 20S SOUTH.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THE MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT ON THE LONG WAVE PATTERN
THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK. THERE IS DECENT AGREEMENT IN
HANDLING OF INDIVIDUAL SHORTWAVE ENERGY AS WELL. WE BEGIN THE
PERIOD WITH HIGH PRESSURE SLIDING OFFSHORE. A WARM FRONT WILL
BRING INCREASING CLOUDS AND A FEW RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS LATE
THURSDAY. A FEW RAIN SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
FRIDAY AHEAD OF THE TRAILING COLD FRONT. THE COLD FRONT WILL STALL
TO OUR SOUTH AND EAST FRIDAY NIGHT WITH DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE TO
TRACK NORTHEAST ALONG IT ON SATURDAY. THERMAL FIELDS SUGGEST A
LARGELY RAIN EVENT AHEAD OF THE LOW...WITH AREAS NEAR THE
INTERNATIONAL BORDER POSSIBLY SEEING A WINTRY MIX. AS COLD AIR
WRAPS IN BEHIND THE LOW...RAIN COULD TRANSITION TO SLEET AND SNOW
LATE SATURDAY ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS BEFORE ENDING. A
COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA SUNDAY WITH A FEW RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN NOSE INTO THE AREA FOR EARLY NEXT
WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

LONG TERM...

THU PM...SCT MVFR PSBL IN RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.

THU NIGHT - FRI...MVFR IN RAIN SHOWERS...WITH LCL IFR PSBL.

SAT...MVFR IN RAIN AND SNOW...WITH AREAS OF IFR.


&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SCA`S FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH NOON WEDNESDAY.

LONG TERM...

FRI - SUN...SMALL CRAFT WINDS AND SEAS ARE LIKELY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 2 AM TO NOON EDT WEDNESDAY FOR
         ANZ150>154.

&&

$$




000
FXUS61 KGYX 311851
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
251 PM EDT TUE MAR 31 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST TONIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AND WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A WARM FRONT
WILL LIFT NORTH INTO THE REGION ON THURSDAY AND WILL STALL AS A
COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. THE COLD FRONT WILL GRADUALLY
SETTLE INTO NEW ENGLAND AND WILL STALL ON FRIDAY. LOW PRESSURE
WILL TRACK NORTHEAST ALONG THE FRONT FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL MOVE
NORTHEAST THROUGH THE REGION ON SATURDAY. WEAL LOW PRESSURE
DROPPING SOUTHEAST FROM CANADA WILL DISSIPATE OVER THE REGION ON
SUNDAY AND A TRAILING COLD FRONT WILL STALL OVER SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND ON SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA ON
MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
CLEAR AND COLD NIGHT ON TAP FOR THE REGION AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
IN FROM THE WEST. WEAK DISTURBANCE PASSING SOUTH OF THE FORECAST
AREA WILL BRUSH SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE WITH SOME HIGH CLOUDS
DURING THE 1ST HALF OF THE NIGHT. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL RANGE
THROUGH THE SINGLE NUMBERS NORTH AND THROUGH THE TEENS SOUTH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT IN FROM THE WEST ON
WEDNESDAY. ASIDE FROM A FEW CLOUDS IN THE MOUNTAINS...SHOULD SEE
ANOTHER MOSTLY SUNNY DAY. WILL SEE A SLIGHTLY COOLER DAY WITH
HIGHS FROM THE UPPER 20S TO UPPER 30S NORTH AND UPPER 30S TO LOWER
40S SOUTH.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST OVER THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT BEFORE
SHIFTING OFFSHORE. WILL SEE INCREASING CLOUDS AFTER MIDNIGHT AS
WEAK OVER-RUNNING EDGES IN FROM THE WEST. LOWS WILL BOTTOM OUT AT
10 TO 15 DEGREES NORTH AND IN THE MID TEENS TO MID 20S SOUTH.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THE MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT ON THE LONG WAVE PATTERN
THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK. THERE IS DECENT AGREEMENT IN
HANDLING OF INDIVIDUAL SHORTWAVE ENERGY AS WELL. WE BEGIN THE
PERIOD WITH HIGH PRESSURE SLIDING OFFSHORE. A WARM FRONT WILL
BRING INCREASING CLOUDS AND A FEW RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS LATE
THURSDAY. A FEW RAIN SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
FRIDAY AHEAD OF THE TRAILING COLD FRONT. THE COLD FRONT WILL STALL
TO OUR SOUTH AND EAST FRIDAY NIGHT WITH DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE TO
TRACK NORTHEAST ALONG IT ON SATURDAY. THERMAL FIELDS SUGGEST A
LARGELY RAIN EVENT AHEAD OF THE LOW...WITH AREAS NEAR THE
INTERNATIONAL BORDER POSSIBLY SEEING A WINTRY MIX. AS COLD AIR
WRAPS IN BEHIND THE LOW...RAIN COULD TRANSITION TO SLEET AND SNOW
LATE SATURDAY ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS BEFORE ENDING. A
COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA SUNDAY WITH A FEW RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN NOSE INTO THE AREA FOR EARLY NEXT
WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

LONG TERM...

THU PM...SCT MVFR PSBL IN RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.

THU NIGHT - FRI...MVFR IN RAIN SHOWERS...WITH LCL IFR PSBL.

SAT...MVFR IN RAIN AND SNOW...WITH AREAS OF IFR.


&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SCA`S FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH NOON WEDNESDAY.

LONG TERM...

FRI - SUN...SMALL CRAFT WINDS AND SEAS ARE LIKELY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 2 AM TO NOON EDT WEDNESDAY FOR
         ANZ150>154.

&&

$$





000
FXUS61 KGYX 311536
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
1136 AM EDT TUE MAR 31 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
COOL HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHWEST TODAY AND
WEDNESDAY. LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST TO THE SOUTH OF SOUTHERN
NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE MOVES TO THE EAST ON THURSDAY
WITH A WARMER SOUTHWEST FLOW DEVELOPING. SHOWERY WEATHER IS
EXPECTED FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS A FRONT STALLS NEAR THE REGION.
LOW PRESSURE MOVING ALONG THIS FRONT WILL BRING A PERIOD OF RAIN
OR SNOW FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
15Z UPDATE...QUICK UPDATE TO ADJUST TEMPS AND DEW POINTS BASED ON
CURRENT OBS. EXPECT CLOUDS OVER NORTHERN AND WESTERN ZONES TO
CONTINUE DIMINISHING THROUGH MID AFTERNOON. SYSTEM SLIDING SOUTH
OF THE FORECAST AREA MAY BRUSH SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE ZONES WITH
SOME HIGH CLOUDS LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING BUT ANY PRECIP
WILL REMAIN WELL SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA. STILL LOOKING FOR
TEMPS TO TOP OUT IN THE 30S TO NEAR 40 NORTH AND IN THE 40S SOUTH.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...SECONDARY S/WV TROF IS CROSSING THE AREA
THIS MORNING. THIS HAS ALLOWED A SMALL SURGE IN UPSLOPE SHSN
ACTIVITY AS IT CROSSES THE HIGHER TERRAIN. THRU SUNRISE ANOTHER
INCH OR TWO ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE IN THE MTNS AND NRN ZONES.

AS THE SECONDARY COLD FRONT CROSSES THE AREA TODAY...WE WILL SEE
TEMPS NEAR FREEZING IN THE N...WITH HIGHS CLIMBING INTO THE 40S
NEAR THE COAST. NW FLOW WILL BE A LITTLE GUSTY IN THE AFTERNOON
BEFORE DIMINISHING OVERNIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/...
TRAILING S/WV TROF CROSSING THE GREAT LAKES WILL DEVELOP A WEAK
LOW PRES TONIGHT. THIS WILL CROSS VERY NEAR SRN NEW ENGLAND...BUT
EXPECT ANY PRECIP TO REMAIN S OF THE FORECAST AREA. SOME CLOUD
COVER MAY WORK INTO SRN ZONES...BEFORE CLEARING LATE. SURFACE
RIDGING WILL TRY AND BUILD INTO THE FORECAST AREA LATE...AND MAY
ALLOW FOR SOME RADIATIONAL COOLING IN THE FAVORED VALLEYS. WILL BE
A CHILLY NIGHT...WITH READINGS SOME 5 TO 10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL.
A NICE CONTINUATION OF THE THEME ESTABLISHED FOR THIS MARCH SO
FAR.

ON WED THE ONLY FOOLS WILL BE THOSE LOOKING FOR SPRING...AS TEMPS
WILL BE WELL BELOW NORMAL YET AGAIN TO START THE NEW MONTH. WITH
COOL HIGH PRES IN CONTROL AND LITTLE MIXING...TEMPS WILL ONLY
CLIMB INTO THE HIGH 30S NEAR THE COAST AND LOW 30S ACROSS THE
NORTH COUNTRY.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE MOVING OVER THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL BRING
BETTER RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING
INTO THE TEENS FOR MOST OF THE AREA AND LOW 20S IN SOUTHEAST NEW
HAMPSHIRE. HIGH PRESSURE MOVES EAST ON THURSDAY WITH A SOUTHWEST
FLOW BRINGING WARMER TEMPERATURES... MAINLY IN THE 40S.

UPPER TROUGH CROSSES THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT ALLOWING A COLD FRONT
TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA. THE FRONT WILL LIKELY STALL JUST
OFFSHORE... KEEPING SHOWERY WEATHER IN THE FORECAST. LOW PRESSURE
WILL MOVE NORTHEAST ALONG THE FRONT FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY.
SOME DISCREPANCY EXISTS AS TO WHETHER THIS LOW WILL TRACK NEAR THE
MASSACHUSETTS/NEW HAMPSHIRE LINE OR WHETHER IT WILL TRACK OFF THE
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND COAST. A FURTHER SOUTH TRACK WOULD ALLOW MORE
OF THE PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW TO FALL AS SNOW
ACROSS NEW HAMPSHIRE AND MAINE. CURRENTLY EXPECT SNOW TO PRIMARILY
BE LIMITED TO NORTHERN AREAS... THOUGH THERE IS A CHANCE THAT
PRECIPITATION CHANGES TO SNOW EVEN TO THE COAST BEFORE ENDING ON
SATURDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /16Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
SHORT TERM...GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED IN THRU WED. NW
FLOW AND LINGERING MOISTURE IN THE LOW LEVELS IS LEADING TO MVFR
CIGS...AND OCCASIONAL IFR VSBYS IN UPSLOPE SHSN FOR AREAS NEAR
KHIE. THIS WILL DIMINISH THIS MORNING...AND EVENTUALLY ALL
TERMINALS GO VFR THRU WED. GUSTS WITHIN NW FLOW AROUND 17 KTS WILL
BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN WED.

LONG TERM...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. THEN SHOWERY
WEATHER COULD BRING MVFR OR IFR CONDITIONS. MORE WIDESPREAD
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED SATURDAY WITH RAIN OR SNOW LEADING TO
POTENTIALLY IFR CONDITIONS.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SECONDARY COLD FRONT CROSSING THE WATERS EARLY TODAY
WILL KEEP WINDS AND SEAS ABOVE SCA THRESHOLDS INTO THE AFTERNOON.
WEAK LOW PRES WILL PASS S OF THE AREA TONIGHT...AND WILL HELP TO
REINVIGORATE NW FLOW. MARGINAL SCA CONDITIONS MAY LINGER THRU WED.

LONG TERM...NORTHWEST FLOW DIMINISHES AS HIGH PRESSURE CROSSES THE
GULF OF MAINE THURSDAY MORNING. BUT FLOW QUICKLY SHIFTS TO THE
SOUTHWEST AND STRENGTHENS AGAIN LATER ON THURSDAY WITH ADVISORY
LEVEL WIND SPEEDS POSSIBLE. A FRONT WILL STALL OVER THE GULF OF
MAINE FRIDAY. LOW PRESSURE MOVING ALONG THE FRONT WILL LIKELY LEAD
STRENGTHEN WIND SPEEDS A BIT BUT SHOULD STAY BELOW GALE FORCE.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 3 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     ANZ150>154.

&&

$$




000
FXUS61 KGYX 311536
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
1136 AM EDT TUE MAR 31 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
COOL HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHWEST TODAY AND
WEDNESDAY. LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST TO THE SOUTH OF SOUTHERN
NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE MOVES TO THE EAST ON THURSDAY
WITH A WARMER SOUTHWEST FLOW DEVELOPING. SHOWERY WEATHER IS
EXPECTED FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS A FRONT STALLS NEAR THE REGION.
LOW PRESSURE MOVING ALONG THIS FRONT WILL BRING A PERIOD OF RAIN
OR SNOW FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
15Z UPDATE...QUICK UPDATE TO ADJUST TEMPS AND DEW POINTS BASED ON
CURRENT OBS. EXPECT CLOUDS OVER NORTHERN AND WESTERN ZONES TO
CONTINUE DIMINISHING THROUGH MID AFTERNOON. SYSTEM SLIDING SOUTH
OF THE FORECAST AREA MAY BRUSH SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE ZONES WITH
SOME HIGH CLOUDS LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING BUT ANY PRECIP
WILL REMAIN WELL SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA. STILL LOOKING FOR
TEMPS TO TOP OUT IN THE 30S TO NEAR 40 NORTH AND IN THE 40S SOUTH.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...SECONDARY S/WV TROF IS CROSSING THE AREA
THIS MORNING. THIS HAS ALLOWED A SMALL SURGE IN UPSLOPE SHSN
ACTIVITY AS IT CROSSES THE HIGHER TERRAIN. THRU SUNRISE ANOTHER
INCH OR TWO ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE IN THE MTNS AND NRN ZONES.

AS THE SECONDARY COLD FRONT CROSSES THE AREA TODAY...WE WILL SEE
TEMPS NEAR FREEZING IN THE N...WITH HIGHS CLIMBING INTO THE 40S
NEAR THE COAST. NW FLOW WILL BE A LITTLE GUSTY IN THE AFTERNOON
BEFORE DIMINISHING OVERNIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/...
TRAILING S/WV TROF CROSSING THE GREAT LAKES WILL DEVELOP A WEAK
LOW PRES TONIGHT. THIS WILL CROSS VERY NEAR SRN NEW ENGLAND...BUT
EXPECT ANY PRECIP TO REMAIN S OF THE FORECAST AREA. SOME CLOUD
COVER MAY WORK INTO SRN ZONES...BEFORE CLEARING LATE. SURFACE
RIDGING WILL TRY AND BUILD INTO THE FORECAST AREA LATE...AND MAY
ALLOW FOR SOME RADIATIONAL COOLING IN THE FAVORED VALLEYS. WILL BE
A CHILLY NIGHT...WITH READINGS SOME 5 TO 10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL.
A NICE CONTINUATION OF THE THEME ESTABLISHED FOR THIS MARCH SO
FAR.

ON WED THE ONLY FOOLS WILL BE THOSE LOOKING FOR SPRING...AS TEMPS
WILL BE WELL BELOW NORMAL YET AGAIN TO START THE NEW MONTH. WITH
COOL HIGH PRES IN CONTROL AND LITTLE MIXING...TEMPS WILL ONLY
CLIMB INTO THE HIGH 30S NEAR THE COAST AND LOW 30S ACROSS THE
NORTH COUNTRY.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE MOVING OVER THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL BRING
BETTER RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING
INTO THE TEENS FOR MOST OF THE AREA AND LOW 20S IN SOUTHEAST NEW
HAMPSHIRE. HIGH PRESSURE MOVES EAST ON THURSDAY WITH A SOUTHWEST
FLOW BRINGING WARMER TEMPERATURES... MAINLY IN THE 40S.

UPPER TROUGH CROSSES THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT ALLOWING A COLD FRONT
TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA. THE FRONT WILL LIKELY STALL JUST
OFFSHORE... KEEPING SHOWERY WEATHER IN THE FORECAST. LOW PRESSURE
WILL MOVE NORTHEAST ALONG THE FRONT FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY.
SOME DISCREPANCY EXISTS AS TO WHETHER THIS LOW WILL TRACK NEAR THE
MASSACHUSETTS/NEW HAMPSHIRE LINE OR WHETHER IT WILL TRACK OFF THE
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND COAST. A FURTHER SOUTH TRACK WOULD ALLOW MORE
OF THE PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW TO FALL AS SNOW
ACROSS NEW HAMPSHIRE AND MAINE. CURRENTLY EXPECT SNOW TO PRIMARILY
BE LIMITED TO NORTHERN AREAS... THOUGH THERE IS A CHANCE THAT
PRECIPITATION CHANGES TO SNOW EVEN TO THE COAST BEFORE ENDING ON
SATURDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /16Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
SHORT TERM...GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED IN THRU WED. NW
FLOW AND LINGERING MOISTURE IN THE LOW LEVELS IS LEADING TO MVFR
CIGS...AND OCCASIONAL IFR VSBYS IN UPSLOPE SHSN FOR AREAS NEAR
KHIE. THIS WILL DIMINISH THIS MORNING...AND EVENTUALLY ALL
TERMINALS GO VFR THRU WED. GUSTS WITHIN NW FLOW AROUND 17 KTS WILL
BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN WED.

LONG TERM...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. THEN SHOWERY
WEATHER COULD BRING MVFR OR IFR CONDITIONS. MORE WIDESPREAD
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED SATURDAY WITH RAIN OR SNOW LEADING TO
POTENTIALLY IFR CONDITIONS.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SECONDARY COLD FRONT CROSSING THE WATERS EARLY TODAY
WILL KEEP WINDS AND SEAS ABOVE SCA THRESHOLDS INTO THE AFTERNOON.
WEAK LOW PRES WILL PASS S OF THE AREA TONIGHT...AND WILL HELP TO
REINVIGORATE NW FLOW. MARGINAL SCA CONDITIONS MAY LINGER THRU WED.

LONG TERM...NORTHWEST FLOW DIMINISHES AS HIGH PRESSURE CROSSES THE
GULF OF MAINE THURSDAY MORNING. BUT FLOW QUICKLY SHIFTS TO THE
SOUTHWEST AND STRENGTHENS AGAIN LATER ON THURSDAY WITH ADVISORY
LEVEL WIND SPEEDS POSSIBLE. A FRONT WILL STALL OVER THE GULF OF
MAINE FRIDAY. LOW PRESSURE MOVING ALONG THE FRONT WILL LIKELY LEAD
STRENGTHEN WIND SPEEDS A BIT BUT SHOULD STAY BELOW GALE FORCE.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 3 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     ANZ150>154.

&&

$$





000
FXUS61 KGYX 311036 AAA
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
636 AM EDT TUE MAR 31 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
COOL HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHWEST TODAY AND
WEDNESDAY. LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST TO THE SOUTH OF SOUTHERN
NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE MOVES TO THE EAST ON THURSDAY
WITH A WARMER SOUTHWEST FLOW DEVELOPING. SHOWERY WEATHER IS
EXPECTED FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS A FRONT STALLS NEAR THE REGION.
LOW PRESSURE MOVING ALONG THIS FRONT WILL BRING A PERIOD OF RAIN
OR SNOW FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 7 AM THIS MORNING/...
UPDATE...MINOR CHANGES TO REFLECT CURRENT OBSERVATIONAL TRENDS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...SECONDARY S/WV TROF IS CROSSING THE AREA
THIS MORNING. THIS HAS ALLOWED A SMALL SURGE IN UPSLOPE SHSN
ACTIVITY AS IT CROSSES THE HIGHER TERRAIN. THRU SUNRISE ANOTHER
INCH OR TWO ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE IN THE MTNS AND NRN ZONES.

AS THE SECONDARY COLD FRONT CROSSES THE AREA TODAY...WE WILL SEE
TEMPS NEAR FREEZING IN THE N...WITH HIGHS CLIMBING INTO THE 40S
NEAR THE COAST. NW FLOW WILL BE A LITTLE GUSTY IN THE AFTERNOON
BEFORE DIMINISHING OVERNIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /7 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/...
TRAILING S/WV TROF CROSSING THE GREAT LAKES WILL DEVELOP A WEAK
LOW PRES TONIGHT. THIS WILL CROSS VERY NEAR SRN NEW ENGLAND...BUT
EXPECT ANY PRECIP TO REMAIN S OF THE FORECAST AREA. SOME CLOUD
COVER MAY WORK INTO SRN ZONES...BEFORE CLEARING LATE. SURFACE
RIDGING WILL TRY AND BUILD INTO THE FORECAST AREA LATE...AND MAY
ALLOW FOR SOME RADIATIONAL COOLING IN THE FAVORED VALLEYS. WILL BE
A CHILLY NIGHT...WITH READINGS SOME 5 TO 10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL.
A NICE CONTINUATION OF THE THEME ESTABLISHED FOR THIS MARCH SO
FAR.

ON WED THE ONLY FOOLS WILL BE THOSE LOOKING FOR SPRING...AS TEMPS
WILL BE WELL BELOW NORMAL YET AGAIN TO START THE NEW MONTH. WITH
COOL HIGH PRES IN CONTROL AND LITTLE MIXING...TEMPS WILL ONLY
CLIMB INTO THE HIGH 30S NEAR THE COAST AND LOW 30S ACROSS THE
NORTH COUNTRY.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE MOVING OVER THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL BRING
BETTER RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING
INTO THE TEENS FOR MOST OF THE AREA AND LOW 20S IN SOUTHEAST NEW
HAMPSHIRE. HIGH PRESSURE MOVES EAST ON THURSDAY WITH A SOUTHWEST
FLOW BRINGING WARMER TEMPERATURES... MAINLY IN THE 40S.

UPPER TROUGH CROSSES THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT ALLOWING A COLD FRONT
TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA. THE FRONT WILL LIKELY STALL JUST
OFFSHORE... KEEPING SHOWERY WEATHER IN THE FORECAST. LOW PRESSURE
WILL MOVE NORTHEAST ALONG THE FRONT FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY.
SOME DISCREPANCY EXISTS AS TO WHETHER THIS LOW WILL TRACK NEAR THE
MASSACHUSETTS/NEW HAMPSHIRE LINE OR WHETHER IT WILL TRACK OFF THE
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND COAST. A FURTHER SOUTH TRACK WOULD ALLOW MORE
OF THE PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW TO FALL AS SNOW
ACROSS NEW HAMPSHIRE AND MAINE. CURRENTLY EXPECT SNOW TO PRIMARILY
BE LIMITED TO NORTHERN AREAS... THOUGH THERE IS A CHANCE THAT
PRECIPITATION CHANGES TO SNOW EVEN TO THE COAST BEFORE ENDING ON
SATURDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
SHORT TERM...GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED IN THRU WED. NW
FLOW AND LINGERING MOISTURE IN THE LOW LEVELS IS LEADING TO MVFR
CIGS...AND OCCASIONAL IFR VSBYS IN UPSLOPE SHSN FOR AREAS NEAR
KHIE. THIS WILL DIMINISH THIS MORNING...AND EVENTUALLY ALL
TERMINALS GO VFR THRU WED. GUSTS WITHIN NW FLOW AROUND 17 KTS WILL
BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN WED.

LONG TERM...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. THEN SHOWERY
WEATHER COULD BRING MVFR OR IFR CONDITIONS. MORE WIDESPREAD
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED SATURDAY WITH RAIN OR SNOW LEADING TO
POTENTIALLY IFR CONDITIONS.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SECONDARY COLD FRONT CROSSING THE WATERS EARLY TODAY
WILL KEEP WINDS AND SEAS ABOVE SCA THRESHOLDS INTO THE AFTERNOON.
WEAK LOW PRES WILL PASS S OF THE AREA TONIGHT...AND WILL HELP TO
REINVIGORATE NW FLOW. MARGINAL SCA CONDITIONS MAY LINGER THRU WED.

LONG TERM...NORTHWEST FLOW DIMINISHES AS HIGH PRESSURE CROSSES THE
GULF OF MAINE THURSDAY MORNING. BUT FLOW QUICKLY SHIFTS TO THE
SOUTHWEST AND STRENGTHENS AGAIN LATER ON THURSDAY WITH ADVISORY
LEVEL WIND SPEEDS POSSIBLE. A FRONT WILL STALL OVER THE GULF OF
MAINE FRIDAY. LOW PRESSURE MOVING ALONG THE FRONT WILL LIKELY LEAD
STRENGTHEN WIND SPEEDS A BIT BUT SHOULD STAY BELOW GALE FORCE.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 3 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     ANZ150>154.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...LEGRO





000
FXUS61 KGYX 311036 AAA
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
636 AM EDT TUE MAR 31 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
COOL HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHWEST TODAY AND
WEDNESDAY. LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST TO THE SOUTH OF SOUTHERN
NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE MOVES TO THE EAST ON THURSDAY
WITH A WARMER SOUTHWEST FLOW DEVELOPING. SHOWERY WEATHER IS
EXPECTED FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS A FRONT STALLS NEAR THE REGION.
LOW PRESSURE MOVING ALONG THIS FRONT WILL BRING A PERIOD OF RAIN
OR SNOW FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 7 AM THIS MORNING/...
UPDATE...MINOR CHANGES TO REFLECT CURRENT OBSERVATIONAL TRENDS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...SECONDARY S/WV TROF IS CROSSING THE AREA
THIS MORNING. THIS HAS ALLOWED A SMALL SURGE IN UPSLOPE SHSN
ACTIVITY AS IT CROSSES THE HIGHER TERRAIN. THRU SUNRISE ANOTHER
INCH OR TWO ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE IN THE MTNS AND NRN ZONES.

AS THE SECONDARY COLD FRONT CROSSES THE AREA TODAY...WE WILL SEE
TEMPS NEAR FREEZING IN THE N...WITH HIGHS CLIMBING INTO THE 40S
NEAR THE COAST. NW FLOW WILL BE A LITTLE GUSTY IN THE AFTERNOON
BEFORE DIMINISHING OVERNIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /7 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/...
TRAILING S/WV TROF CROSSING THE GREAT LAKES WILL DEVELOP A WEAK
LOW PRES TONIGHT. THIS WILL CROSS VERY NEAR SRN NEW ENGLAND...BUT
EXPECT ANY PRECIP TO REMAIN S OF THE FORECAST AREA. SOME CLOUD
COVER MAY WORK INTO SRN ZONES...BEFORE CLEARING LATE. SURFACE
RIDGING WILL TRY AND BUILD INTO THE FORECAST AREA LATE...AND MAY
ALLOW FOR SOME RADIATIONAL COOLING IN THE FAVORED VALLEYS. WILL BE
A CHILLY NIGHT...WITH READINGS SOME 5 TO 10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL.
A NICE CONTINUATION OF THE THEME ESTABLISHED FOR THIS MARCH SO
FAR.

ON WED THE ONLY FOOLS WILL BE THOSE LOOKING FOR SPRING...AS TEMPS
WILL BE WELL BELOW NORMAL YET AGAIN TO START THE NEW MONTH. WITH
COOL HIGH PRES IN CONTROL AND LITTLE MIXING...TEMPS WILL ONLY
CLIMB INTO THE HIGH 30S NEAR THE COAST AND LOW 30S ACROSS THE
NORTH COUNTRY.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE MOVING OVER THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL BRING
BETTER RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING
INTO THE TEENS FOR MOST OF THE AREA AND LOW 20S IN SOUTHEAST NEW
HAMPSHIRE. HIGH PRESSURE MOVES EAST ON THURSDAY WITH A SOUTHWEST
FLOW BRINGING WARMER TEMPERATURES... MAINLY IN THE 40S.

UPPER TROUGH CROSSES THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT ALLOWING A COLD FRONT
TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA. THE FRONT WILL LIKELY STALL JUST
OFFSHORE... KEEPING SHOWERY WEATHER IN THE FORECAST. LOW PRESSURE
WILL MOVE NORTHEAST ALONG THE FRONT FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY.
SOME DISCREPANCY EXISTS AS TO WHETHER THIS LOW WILL TRACK NEAR THE
MASSACHUSETTS/NEW HAMPSHIRE LINE OR WHETHER IT WILL TRACK OFF THE
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND COAST. A FURTHER SOUTH TRACK WOULD ALLOW MORE
OF THE PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW TO FALL AS SNOW
ACROSS NEW HAMPSHIRE AND MAINE. CURRENTLY EXPECT SNOW TO PRIMARILY
BE LIMITED TO NORTHERN AREAS... THOUGH THERE IS A CHANCE THAT
PRECIPITATION CHANGES TO SNOW EVEN TO THE COAST BEFORE ENDING ON
SATURDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
SHORT TERM...GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED IN THRU WED. NW
FLOW AND LINGERING MOISTURE IN THE LOW LEVELS IS LEADING TO MVFR
CIGS...AND OCCASIONAL IFR VSBYS IN UPSLOPE SHSN FOR AREAS NEAR
KHIE. THIS WILL DIMINISH THIS MORNING...AND EVENTUALLY ALL
TERMINALS GO VFR THRU WED. GUSTS WITHIN NW FLOW AROUND 17 KTS WILL
BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN WED.

LONG TERM...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. THEN SHOWERY
WEATHER COULD BRING MVFR OR IFR CONDITIONS. MORE WIDESPREAD
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED SATURDAY WITH RAIN OR SNOW LEADING TO
POTENTIALLY IFR CONDITIONS.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SECONDARY COLD FRONT CROSSING THE WATERS EARLY TODAY
WILL KEEP WINDS AND SEAS ABOVE SCA THRESHOLDS INTO THE AFTERNOON.
WEAK LOW PRES WILL PASS S OF THE AREA TONIGHT...AND WILL HELP TO
REINVIGORATE NW FLOW. MARGINAL SCA CONDITIONS MAY LINGER THRU WED.

LONG TERM...NORTHWEST FLOW DIMINISHES AS HIGH PRESSURE CROSSES THE
GULF OF MAINE THURSDAY MORNING. BUT FLOW QUICKLY SHIFTS TO THE
SOUTHWEST AND STRENGTHENS AGAIN LATER ON THURSDAY WITH ADVISORY
LEVEL WIND SPEEDS POSSIBLE. A FRONT WILL STALL OVER THE GULF OF
MAINE FRIDAY. LOW PRESSURE MOVING ALONG THE FRONT WILL LIKELY LEAD
STRENGTHEN WIND SPEEDS A BIT BUT SHOULD STAY BELOW GALE FORCE.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 3 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     ANZ150>154.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...LEGRO




000
FXUS61 KGYX 310746
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
346 AM EDT TUE MAR 31 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
COOL HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHWEST TODAY AND
WEDNESDAY. LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST TO THE SOUTH OF SOUTHERN
NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE MOVES TO THE EAST ON THURSDAY
WITH A WARMER SOUTHWEST FLOW DEVELOPING. SHOWERY WEATHER IS
EXPECTED FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS A FRONT STALLS NEAR THE REGION.
LOW PRESSURE MOVING ALONG THIS FRONT WILL BRING A PERIOD OF RAIN
OR SNOW FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /TODAY/...
SECONDARY S/WV TROF IS CROSSING THE AREA THIS MORNING. THIS HAS
ALLOWED A SMALL SURGE IN UPSLOPE SHSN ACTIVITY AS IT CROSSES THE
HIGHER TERRAIN. THRU SUNRISE ANOTHER INCH OR TWO ACCUMULATION IS
POSSIBLE IN THE MTNS AND NRN ZONES.

AS THE SECONDARY COLD FRONT CROSSES THE AREA TODAY...WE WILL SEE
TEMPS NEAR FREEZING IN THE N...WITH HIGHS CLIMBING INTO THE 40S
NEAR THE COAST. NW FLOW WILL BE A LITTLE GUSTY IN THE AFTERNOON
BEFORE DIMINISHING OVERNIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY/...
TRAILING S/WV TROF CROSSING THE GREAT LAKES WILL DEVELOP A WEAK
LOW PRES TONIGHT. THIS WILL CROSS VERY NEAR SRN NEW ENGLAND...BUT
EXPECT ANY PRECIP TO REMAIN S OF THE FORECAST AREA. SOME CLOUD
COVER MAY WORK INTO SRN ZONES...BEFORE CLEARING LATE. SURFACE
RIDGING WILL TRY AND BUILD INTO THE FORECAST AREA LATE...AND MAY
ALLOW FOR SOME RADIATIONAL COOLING IN THE FAVORED VALLEYS. WILL BE
A CHILLY NIGHT...WITH READINGS SOME 5 TO 10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL.
A NICE CONTINUATION OF THE THEME ESTABLISHED FOR THIS MARCH SO
FAR.

ON WED THE ONLY FOOLS WILL BE THOSE LOOKING FOR SPRING...AS TEMPS
WILL BE WELL BELOW NORMAL YET AGAIN TO START THE NEW MONTH. WITH
COOL HIGH PRES IN CONTROL AND LITTLE MIXING...TEMPS WILL ONLY
CLIMB INTO THE HIGH 30S NEAR THE COAST AND LOW 30S ACROSS THE
NORTH COUNTRY.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE MOVING OVER THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL BRING
BETTER RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING
INTO THE TEENS FOR MOST OF THE AREA AND LOW 20S IN SOUTHEAST NEW
HAMPSHIRE. HIGH PRESSURE MOVES EAST ON THURSDAY WITH A SOUTHWEST
FLOW BRINGING WARMER TEMPERATURES... MAINLY IN THE 40S.

UPPER TROUGH CROSSES THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT ALLOWING A COLD FRONT
TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA. THE FRONT WILL LIKELY STALL JUST
OFFSHORE... KEEPING SHOWERY WEATHER IN THE FORECAST. LOW PRESSURE
WILL MOVE NORTHEAST ALONG THE FRONT FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY.
SOME DISCREPANCY EXISTS AS TO WHETHER THIS LOW WILL TRACK NEAR THE
MASSACHUSETTS/NEW HAMPSHIRE LINE OR WHETHER IT WILL TRACK OFF THE
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND COAST. A FURTHER SOUTH TRACK WOULD ALLOW MORE
OF THE PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW TO FALL AS SNOW
ACROSS NEW HAMPSHIRE AND MAINE. CURRENTLY EXPECT SNOW TO PRIMARILY
BE LIMITED TO NORTHERN AREAS... THOUGH THERE IS A CHANCE THAT
PRECIPITATION CHANGES TO SNOW EVEN TO THE COAST BEFORE ENDING ON
SATURDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
SHORT TERM...GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED IN THRU WED. NW
FLOW AND LINGERING MOISTURE IN THE LOW LEVELS IS LEADING TO MVFR
CIGS...AND OCCASIONAL IFR VSBYS IN UPSLOPE SHSN FOR AREAS NEAR
KHIE. THIS WILL DIMINISH THIS MORNING...AND EVENTUALLY ALL
TERMINALS GO VFR THRU WED. GUSTS WITHIN NW FLOW AROUND 17 KTS WILL
BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN WED.

LONG TERM...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. THEN SHOWERY
WEATHER COULD BRING MVFR OR IFR CONDITIONS. MORE WIDESPREAD
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED SATURDAY WITH RAIN OR SNOW LEADING TO
POTENTIALLY IFR CONDITIONS.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SECONDARY COLD FRONT CROSSING THE WATERS EARLY TODAY
WILL KEEP WINDS AND SEAS ABOVE SCA THRESHOLDS INTO THE AFTERNOON.
WEAK LOW PRES WILL PASS S OF THE AREA TONIGHT...AND WILL HELP TO
REINVIGORATE NW FLOW. MARGINAL SCA CONDITIONS MAY LINGER THRU WED.

LONG TERM...NORTHWEST FLOW DIMINISHES AS HIGH PRESSURE CROSSES THE
GULF OF MAINE THURSDAY MORNING. BUT FLOW QUICKLY SHIFTS TO THE
SOUTHWEST AND STRENGTHENS AGAIN LATER ON THURSDAY WITH ADVISORY
LEVEL WIND SPEEDS POSSIBLE. A FRONT WILL STALL OVER THE GULF OF
MAINE FRIDAY. LOW PRESSURE MOVING ALONG THE FRONT WILL LIKELY LEAD
STRENGTHEN WIND SPEEDS A BIT BUT SHOULD STAY BELOW GALE FORCE.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 3 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     ANZ150>154.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM... LEGRO
SHORT TERM... LEGRO





000
FXUS61 KGYX 310746
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
346 AM EDT TUE MAR 31 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
COOL HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHWEST TODAY AND
WEDNESDAY. LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST TO THE SOUTH OF SOUTHERN
NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE MOVES TO THE EAST ON THURSDAY
WITH A WARMER SOUTHWEST FLOW DEVELOPING. SHOWERY WEATHER IS
EXPECTED FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS A FRONT STALLS NEAR THE REGION.
LOW PRESSURE MOVING ALONG THIS FRONT WILL BRING A PERIOD OF RAIN
OR SNOW FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /TODAY/...
SECONDARY S/WV TROF IS CROSSING THE AREA THIS MORNING. THIS HAS
ALLOWED A SMALL SURGE IN UPSLOPE SHSN ACTIVITY AS IT CROSSES THE
HIGHER TERRAIN. THRU SUNRISE ANOTHER INCH OR TWO ACCUMULATION IS
POSSIBLE IN THE MTNS AND NRN ZONES.

AS THE SECONDARY COLD FRONT CROSSES THE AREA TODAY...WE WILL SEE
TEMPS NEAR FREEZING IN THE N...WITH HIGHS CLIMBING INTO THE 40S
NEAR THE COAST. NW FLOW WILL BE A LITTLE GUSTY IN THE AFTERNOON
BEFORE DIMINISHING OVERNIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY/...
TRAILING S/WV TROF CROSSING THE GREAT LAKES WILL DEVELOP A WEAK
LOW PRES TONIGHT. THIS WILL CROSS VERY NEAR SRN NEW ENGLAND...BUT
EXPECT ANY PRECIP TO REMAIN S OF THE FORECAST AREA. SOME CLOUD
COVER MAY WORK INTO SRN ZONES...BEFORE CLEARING LATE. SURFACE
RIDGING WILL TRY AND BUILD INTO THE FORECAST AREA LATE...AND MAY
ALLOW FOR SOME RADIATIONAL COOLING IN THE FAVORED VALLEYS. WILL BE
A CHILLY NIGHT...WITH READINGS SOME 5 TO 10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL.
A NICE CONTINUATION OF THE THEME ESTABLISHED FOR THIS MARCH SO
FAR.

ON WED THE ONLY FOOLS WILL BE THOSE LOOKING FOR SPRING...AS TEMPS
WILL BE WELL BELOW NORMAL YET AGAIN TO START THE NEW MONTH. WITH
COOL HIGH PRES IN CONTROL AND LITTLE MIXING...TEMPS WILL ONLY
CLIMB INTO THE HIGH 30S NEAR THE COAST AND LOW 30S ACROSS THE
NORTH COUNTRY.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE MOVING OVER THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL BRING
BETTER RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING
INTO THE TEENS FOR MOST OF THE AREA AND LOW 20S IN SOUTHEAST NEW
HAMPSHIRE. HIGH PRESSURE MOVES EAST ON THURSDAY WITH A SOUTHWEST
FLOW BRINGING WARMER TEMPERATURES... MAINLY IN THE 40S.

UPPER TROUGH CROSSES THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT ALLOWING A COLD FRONT
TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA. THE FRONT WILL LIKELY STALL JUST
OFFSHORE... KEEPING SHOWERY WEATHER IN THE FORECAST. LOW PRESSURE
WILL MOVE NORTHEAST ALONG THE FRONT FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY.
SOME DISCREPANCY EXISTS AS TO WHETHER THIS LOW WILL TRACK NEAR THE
MASSACHUSETTS/NEW HAMPSHIRE LINE OR WHETHER IT WILL TRACK OFF THE
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND COAST. A FURTHER SOUTH TRACK WOULD ALLOW MORE
OF THE PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW TO FALL AS SNOW
ACROSS NEW HAMPSHIRE AND MAINE. CURRENTLY EXPECT SNOW TO PRIMARILY
BE LIMITED TO NORTHERN AREAS... THOUGH THERE IS A CHANCE THAT
PRECIPITATION CHANGES TO SNOW EVEN TO THE COAST BEFORE ENDING ON
SATURDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
SHORT TERM...GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED IN THRU WED. NW
FLOW AND LINGERING MOISTURE IN THE LOW LEVELS IS LEADING TO MVFR
CIGS...AND OCCASIONAL IFR VSBYS IN UPSLOPE SHSN FOR AREAS NEAR
KHIE. THIS WILL DIMINISH THIS MORNING...AND EVENTUALLY ALL
TERMINALS GO VFR THRU WED. GUSTS WITHIN NW FLOW AROUND 17 KTS WILL
BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN WED.

LONG TERM...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. THEN SHOWERY
WEATHER COULD BRING MVFR OR IFR CONDITIONS. MORE WIDESPREAD
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED SATURDAY WITH RAIN OR SNOW LEADING TO
POTENTIALLY IFR CONDITIONS.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SECONDARY COLD FRONT CROSSING THE WATERS EARLY TODAY
WILL KEEP WINDS AND SEAS ABOVE SCA THRESHOLDS INTO THE AFTERNOON.
WEAK LOW PRES WILL PASS S OF THE AREA TONIGHT...AND WILL HELP TO
REINVIGORATE NW FLOW. MARGINAL SCA CONDITIONS MAY LINGER THRU WED.

LONG TERM...NORTHWEST FLOW DIMINISHES AS HIGH PRESSURE CROSSES THE
GULF OF MAINE THURSDAY MORNING. BUT FLOW QUICKLY SHIFTS TO THE
SOUTHWEST AND STRENGTHENS AGAIN LATER ON THURSDAY WITH ADVISORY
LEVEL WIND SPEEDS POSSIBLE. A FRONT WILL STALL OVER THE GULF OF
MAINE FRIDAY. LOW PRESSURE MOVING ALONG THE FRONT WILL LIKELY LEAD
STRENGTHEN WIND SPEEDS A BIT BUT SHOULD STAY BELOW GALE FORCE.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 3 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     ANZ150>154.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM... LEGRO
SHORT TERM... LEGRO




000
FXUS61 KGYX 310212
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
1012 PM EDT MON MAR 30 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION TONIGHT AND WILL PUSH
OFFSHORE BY TUESDAY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN
FROM THE NORTHWEST TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
CREST OVER THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE ON
THURSDAY AS A WARM FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTHWEST. THE WARM
FRONT WILL BE QUICKLY FOLLOWED BY A COLD FRONT EARLY FRIDAY. THE
FRONT WILL STALL SOUTH OF THE AREA FRIDAY AND LOW PRESSURE WILL
TRACK NORTHEAST ALONG IT FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. ANOTHER AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE CROSSING SOUTHERN CANADA SATURDAY NIGHT WILL DRIVE
A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION BY SUNDAY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST BEHIND THE FRONT ON SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 7 AM TUESDAY MORNING/...
10 PM UPDATE...DOWNSLOPING BEHIND THE FRONT HAS CLEARED OUT
CLOUDS SOUTH AND EAST OF THE MOUNTAINS...SO UPDATED SKY COVER
BASED ON LATEST SATELLITE. UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE IN
THE MOUNTAINS DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. TEMPERATURES WERE ALSO
UPDATED BASED ON LATEST OBS AND TRENDS...WITH CLEARING SOUTH OF
THE MOUNTAINS...THESE AREAS WILL RADIATE QUITE NICELY SO ADJUSTED
LOW TEMPERATURES A BIT LOWER THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECASTED.

7 PM UPDATE...DID A QUICK UPDATE TO SKY AND TEMPS BASED ON CURRENT
OBS/TRENDS AND SATELLITE DATA. ALSO BOOSTED POP IN THE MOUNTAINS
WHERE UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS CAN BE EXPECTED INTO THE MORNING HOURS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE 1ST IN A SERIES OF COLD FRONTS
WILL BE DEPARTING THE FORECAST AREA TO THE EAST LATE THIS
AFTERNOON. MAY SEE SOME BREAKS IN THE OVERCAST DEVELOPING DURING
THE EVENING HOURS DOWNWIND OF THE MOUNTAINS BUT CLOUDS WILL ONCE
AGAIN BE ON THE INCREASE TOWARD MIDNIGHT AS A SECONDARY COLD
FRONT SWINGS THROUGH THE REGION. EXPECT MUCH OF THE AREA TO SEE A
DRY NIGHT BUT SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE IN THE MOUNTAINS
OVERNIGHT AND INTO TUESDAY MORNING WHERE AN INCH OR TWO OF
ACCUMULATION WILL BE POSSIBLE. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL GENERALLY RANGE
THROUGH THE 20S FROM NORTH TO SOUTH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /7 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
SKIES WILL CLEAR EARLY TUESDAY SETTING UP A MOSTLY SUNNY DAY
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE
NORTHWEST. SUNSHINE AND DOWNSLOPING WINDS WILL HELP BOOST TEMPS
INTO THE LOWER TO MID 40S IN SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL MAINE AND NEW
HAMPSHIRE. HIGHS WILL RANGE THROUGH THE 30S IN THE NORTH.

TUESDAY NIGHT LOOKING MOSTLY CLEAR AND QUIET AS HIGH PRESSURE
CONTINUES TO BUILD IN FROM THE WEST. LOW TEMPS WILL DIP TO BETWEEN
5 AND 10 DEGREES NORTH AND WILL RANGE THROUGH THE TEENS TO LOWER
20S SOUTH.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
A PROGRESSIVE PATTERN WILL DEVELOP THROUGH THE WEEK.

ON WEDNESDAY THE COLDER AIR AND TROUGH WILL MOVE OUT OF OUR AREA.
AS IT DOES A WEAK STORM WILL PASS THROUGH SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND,
BRINING CLOUD COVER INTO THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF OUR AREA. CLEAR
SKIES TO THE NORTH WILL ALLOW FOR OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES TO ONCE
AGAIN FALL INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS IN THE NORTH AND MID 20S SOUTH.

BY THURSDAY MORNING TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO WARM ALOFT AS AN
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS INTO THE REGION. SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL
DEVELOP AROUND A HIGH SITUATED OFF THE CAROLINA COAST. FOR NEW
HAMPSHIRE SOUTH OF THE NOTCHES AND THE CT RIVER VALLEY THIS SOUTH
FLOW WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB TO NEAR 50. ALONG THE MAINE
COAST FROM PORTLAND THROUGH PENOBSCOT BAY THAT SAME SOUTH WIND
WILL FLOW OVER THE 37 DEGREE OCEAN, KEEPING TEMPERATURES BELOW 40
FOR THE IMMEDIATE COAST.

FRIDAY WILL SEE MORE WARMING... WITH SOUTHERN NH REACHING 60
DEGREES. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST THROUGH THE LATE
AFTERNOON BRINGING SHOWERS. THAT FRONT WILL STALL ACROSS THE
REGION FRIDAY NIGHT BEFORE ANOTHER LOW REDEVELOPS ALONG IT ON
SATURDAY. STILL A BIT OF A SPREAD ON TIMING WITH THE SHOWERS,
FRONT LOOKS TO STALL OFF SHORE WHICH WOULD KEEP JUST SOUTHERN
SECTIONS IN RAIN SHOWERS WHILE THE MOUNTAINS SEE JUST CLOUDS,
HOWEVER EXACT LOCATION IS A BIT SUSPECT AND WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED
TO SEE THE MOUNTAINS HOLD ONTO THE RAIN A BIT LONGER. NO MATTER
THE TIMING, THE RESULT IS AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF SHOWERS FRIDAY
NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. WITH WARM TEMPS FRIDAY... IT WILL FALL AS
RAIN FOR ALL BUT THE HIGHEST SUMMITS. BUT AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES
FURTHER THROUGH ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON COLD AIR WILL SWITCH THE
PRECIP OVER TO UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MOUNTAINS. SUNDAY WILL
SEE COLDER HIGH PRESSURE AGAIN MOVE INTO THE REGION FOR THE START
OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
SHORT TERM...00Z UPDATE...COLD FRONT WILL BE PUSHING OFFSHORE
TONIGHT AND ALL AREAS SHOULD RETURN TO VFR OTHER THAN HIE WHERE
UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...AREAS OF MVFR CIGS/VSBY EARLY THIS
EVENING... IMPROVING TO VFR. VFR TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

LONG TERM... CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE TO IFR ON THURSDAY
NIGHT... WITH LIFR IN FOG POSSIBLE FOR COASTAL SITES. WILL SEE A
MIX OF MVFR AND IFR THROUGH THE DAY ON FRIDAY BEFORE RETURNING TO
VFR LATE SATURDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SCA`S IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

LONG TERM...SCA POSSIBLE FOR THE OUTER WATERS THURSDAY INTO
FRIDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 3 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...KISTNER
AVIATION...KISTNER





000
FXUS61 KGYX 310212
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
1012 PM EDT MON MAR 30 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION TONIGHT AND WILL PUSH
OFFSHORE BY TUESDAY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN
FROM THE NORTHWEST TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
CREST OVER THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE ON
THURSDAY AS A WARM FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTHWEST. THE WARM
FRONT WILL BE QUICKLY FOLLOWED BY A COLD FRONT EARLY FRIDAY. THE
FRONT WILL STALL SOUTH OF THE AREA FRIDAY AND LOW PRESSURE WILL
TRACK NORTHEAST ALONG IT FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. ANOTHER AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE CROSSING SOUTHERN CANADA SATURDAY NIGHT WILL DRIVE
A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION BY SUNDAY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST BEHIND THE FRONT ON SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 7 AM TUESDAY MORNING/...
10 PM UPDATE...DOWNSLOPING BEHIND THE FRONT HAS CLEARED OUT
CLOUDS SOUTH AND EAST OF THE MOUNTAINS...SO UPDATED SKY COVER
BASED ON LATEST SATELLITE. UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE IN
THE MOUNTAINS DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. TEMPERATURES WERE ALSO
UPDATED BASED ON LATEST OBS AND TRENDS...WITH CLEARING SOUTH OF
THE MOUNTAINS...THESE AREAS WILL RADIATE QUITE NICELY SO ADJUSTED
LOW TEMPERATURES A BIT LOWER THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECASTED.

7 PM UPDATE...DID A QUICK UPDATE TO SKY AND TEMPS BASED ON CURRENT
OBS/TRENDS AND SATELLITE DATA. ALSO BOOSTED POP IN THE MOUNTAINS
WHERE UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS CAN BE EXPECTED INTO THE MORNING HOURS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE 1ST IN A SERIES OF COLD FRONTS
WILL BE DEPARTING THE FORECAST AREA TO THE EAST LATE THIS
AFTERNOON. MAY SEE SOME BREAKS IN THE OVERCAST DEVELOPING DURING
THE EVENING HOURS DOWNWIND OF THE MOUNTAINS BUT CLOUDS WILL ONCE
AGAIN BE ON THE INCREASE TOWARD MIDNIGHT AS A SECONDARY COLD
FRONT SWINGS THROUGH THE REGION. EXPECT MUCH OF THE AREA TO SEE A
DRY NIGHT BUT SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE IN THE MOUNTAINS
OVERNIGHT AND INTO TUESDAY MORNING WHERE AN INCH OR TWO OF
ACCUMULATION WILL BE POSSIBLE. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL GENERALLY RANGE
THROUGH THE 20S FROM NORTH TO SOUTH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /7 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
SKIES WILL CLEAR EARLY TUESDAY SETTING UP A MOSTLY SUNNY DAY
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE
NORTHWEST. SUNSHINE AND DOWNSLOPING WINDS WILL HELP BOOST TEMPS
INTO THE LOWER TO MID 40S IN SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL MAINE AND NEW
HAMPSHIRE. HIGHS WILL RANGE THROUGH THE 30S IN THE NORTH.

TUESDAY NIGHT LOOKING MOSTLY CLEAR AND QUIET AS HIGH PRESSURE
CONTINUES TO BUILD IN FROM THE WEST. LOW TEMPS WILL DIP TO BETWEEN
5 AND 10 DEGREES NORTH AND WILL RANGE THROUGH THE TEENS TO LOWER
20S SOUTH.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
A PROGRESSIVE PATTERN WILL DEVELOP THROUGH THE WEEK.

ON WEDNESDAY THE COLDER AIR AND TROUGH WILL MOVE OUT OF OUR AREA.
AS IT DOES A WEAK STORM WILL PASS THROUGH SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND,
BRINING CLOUD COVER INTO THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF OUR AREA. CLEAR
SKIES TO THE NORTH WILL ALLOW FOR OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES TO ONCE
AGAIN FALL INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS IN THE NORTH AND MID 20S SOUTH.

BY THURSDAY MORNING TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO WARM ALOFT AS AN
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS INTO THE REGION. SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL
DEVELOP AROUND A HIGH SITUATED OFF THE CAROLINA COAST. FOR NEW
HAMPSHIRE SOUTH OF THE NOTCHES AND THE CT RIVER VALLEY THIS SOUTH
FLOW WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB TO NEAR 50. ALONG THE MAINE
COAST FROM PORTLAND THROUGH PENOBSCOT BAY THAT SAME SOUTH WIND
WILL FLOW OVER THE 37 DEGREE OCEAN, KEEPING TEMPERATURES BELOW 40
FOR THE IMMEDIATE COAST.

FRIDAY WILL SEE MORE WARMING... WITH SOUTHERN NH REACHING 60
DEGREES. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST THROUGH THE LATE
AFTERNOON BRINGING SHOWERS. THAT FRONT WILL STALL ACROSS THE
REGION FRIDAY NIGHT BEFORE ANOTHER LOW REDEVELOPS ALONG IT ON
SATURDAY. STILL A BIT OF A SPREAD ON TIMING WITH THE SHOWERS,
FRONT LOOKS TO STALL OFF SHORE WHICH WOULD KEEP JUST SOUTHERN
SECTIONS IN RAIN SHOWERS WHILE THE MOUNTAINS SEE JUST CLOUDS,
HOWEVER EXACT LOCATION IS A BIT SUSPECT AND WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED
TO SEE THE MOUNTAINS HOLD ONTO THE RAIN A BIT LONGER. NO MATTER
THE TIMING, THE RESULT IS AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF SHOWERS FRIDAY
NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. WITH WARM TEMPS FRIDAY... IT WILL FALL AS
RAIN FOR ALL BUT THE HIGHEST SUMMITS. BUT AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES
FURTHER THROUGH ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON COLD AIR WILL SWITCH THE
PRECIP OVER TO UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MOUNTAINS. SUNDAY WILL
SEE COLDER HIGH PRESSURE AGAIN MOVE INTO THE REGION FOR THE START
OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
SHORT TERM...00Z UPDATE...COLD FRONT WILL BE PUSHING OFFSHORE
TONIGHT AND ALL AREAS SHOULD RETURN TO VFR OTHER THAN HIE WHERE
UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...AREAS OF MVFR CIGS/VSBY EARLY THIS
EVENING... IMPROVING TO VFR. VFR TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

LONG TERM... CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE TO IFR ON THURSDAY
NIGHT... WITH LIFR IN FOG POSSIBLE FOR COASTAL SITES. WILL SEE A
MIX OF MVFR AND IFR THROUGH THE DAY ON FRIDAY BEFORE RETURNING TO
VFR LATE SATURDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SCA`S IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

LONG TERM...SCA POSSIBLE FOR THE OUTER WATERS THURSDAY INTO
FRIDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 3 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...KISTNER
AVIATION...KISTNER




000
FXUS61 KGYX 310212
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
1012 PM EDT MON MAR 30 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION TONIGHT AND WILL PUSH
OFFSHORE BY TUESDAY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN
FROM THE NORTHWEST TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
CREST OVER THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE ON
THURSDAY AS A WARM FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTHWEST. THE WARM
FRONT WILL BE QUICKLY FOLLOWED BY A COLD FRONT EARLY FRIDAY. THE
FRONT WILL STALL SOUTH OF THE AREA FRIDAY AND LOW PRESSURE WILL
TRACK NORTHEAST ALONG IT FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. ANOTHER AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE CROSSING SOUTHERN CANADA SATURDAY NIGHT WILL DRIVE
A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION BY SUNDAY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST BEHIND THE FRONT ON SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 7 AM TUESDAY MORNING/...
10 PM UPDATE...DOWNSLOPING BEHIND THE FRONT HAS CLEARED OUT
CLOUDS SOUTH AND EAST OF THE MOUNTAINS...SO UPDATED SKY COVER
BASED ON LATEST SATELLITE. UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE IN
THE MOUNTAINS DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. TEMPERATURES WERE ALSO
UPDATED BASED ON LATEST OBS AND TRENDS...WITH CLEARING SOUTH OF
THE MOUNTAINS...THESE AREAS WILL RADIATE QUITE NICELY SO ADJUSTED
LOW TEMPERATURES A BIT LOWER THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECASTED.

7 PM UPDATE...DID A QUICK UPDATE TO SKY AND TEMPS BASED ON CURRENT
OBS/TRENDS AND SATELLITE DATA. ALSO BOOSTED POP IN THE MOUNTAINS
WHERE UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS CAN BE EXPECTED INTO THE MORNING HOURS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE 1ST IN A SERIES OF COLD FRONTS
WILL BE DEPARTING THE FORECAST AREA TO THE EAST LATE THIS
AFTERNOON. MAY SEE SOME BREAKS IN THE OVERCAST DEVELOPING DURING
THE EVENING HOURS DOWNWIND OF THE MOUNTAINS BUT CLOUDS WILL ONCE
AGAIN BE ON THE INCREASE TOWARD MIDNIGHT AS A SECONDARY COLD
FRONT SWINGS THROUGH THE REGION. EXPECT MUCH OF THE AREA TO SEE A
DRY NIGHT BUT SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE IN THE MOUNTAINS
OVERNIGHT AND INTO TUESDAY MORNING WHERE AN INCH OR TWO OF
ACCUMULATION WILL BE POSSIBLE. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL GENERALLY RANGE
THROUGH THE 20S FROM NORTH TO SOUTH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /7 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
SKIES WILL CLEAR EARLY TUESDAY SETTING UP A MOSTLY SUNNY DAY
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE
NORTHWEST. SUNSHINE AND DOWNSLOPING WINDS WILL HELP BOOST TEMPS
INTO THE LOWER TO MID 40S IN SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL MAINE AND NEW
HAMPSHIRE. HIGHS WILL RANGE THROUGH THE 30S IN THE NORTH.

TUESDAY NIGHT LOOKING MOSTLY CLEAR AND QUIET AS HIGH PRESSURE
CONTINUES TO BUILD IN FROM THE WEST. LOW TEMPS WILL DIP TO BETWEEN
5 AND 10 DEGREES NORTH AND WILL RANGE THROUGH THE TEENS TO LOWER
20S SOUTH.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
A PROGRESSIVE PATTERN WILL DEVELOP THROUGH THE WEEK.

ON WEDNESDAY THE COLDER AIR AND TROUGH WILL MOVE OUT OF OUR AREA.
AS IT DOES A WEAK STORM WILL PASS THROUGH SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND,
BRINING CLOUD COVER INTO THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF OUR AREA. CLEAR
SKIES TO THE NORTH WILL ALLOW FOR OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES TO ONCE
AGAIN FALL INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS IN THE NORTH AND MID 20S SOUTH.

BY THURSDAY MORNING TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO WARM ALOFT AS AN
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS INTO THE REGION. SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL
DEVELOP AROUND A HIGH SITUATED OFF THE CAROLINA COAST. FOR NEW
HAMPSHIRE SOUTH OF THE NOTCHES AND THE CT RIVER VALLEY THIS SOUTH
FLOW WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB TO NEAR 50. ALONG THE MAINE
COAST FROM PORTLAND THROUGH PENOBSCOT BAY THAT SAME SOUTH WIND
WILL FLOW OVER THE 37 DEGREE OCEAN, KEEPING TEMPERATURES BELOW 40
FOR THE IMMEDIATE COAST.

FRIDAY WILL SEE MORE WARMING... WITH SOUTHERN NH REACHING 60
DEGREES. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST THROUGH THE LATE
AFTERNOON BRINGING SHOWERS. THAT FRONT WILL STALL ACROSS THE
REGION FRIDAY NIGHT BEFORE ANOTHER LOW REDEVELOPS ALONG IT ON
SATURDAY. STILL A BIT OF A SPREAD ON TIMING WITH THE SHOWERS,
FRONT LOOKS TO STALL OFF SHORE WHICH WOULD KEEP JUST SOUTHERN
SECTIONS IN RAIN SHOWERS WHILE THE MOUNTAINS SEE JUST CLOUDS,
HOWEVER EXACT LOCATION IS A BIT SUSPECT AND WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED
TO SEE THE MOUNTAINS HOLD ONTO THE RAIN A BIT LONGER. NO MATTER
THE TIMING, THE RESULT IS AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF SHOWERS FRIDAY
NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. WITH WARM TEMPS FRIDAY... IT WILL FALL AS
RAIN FOR ALL BUT THE HIGHEST SUMMITS. BUT AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES
FURTHER THROUGH ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON COLD AIR WILL SWITCH THE
PRECIP OVER TO UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MOUNTAINS. SUNDAY WILL
SEE COLDER HIGH PRESSURE AGAIN MOVE INTO THE REGION FOR THE START
OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
SHORT TERM...00Z UPDATE...COLD FRONT WILL BE PUSHING OFFSHORE
TONIGHT AND ALL AREAS SHOULD RETURN TO VFR OTHER THAN HIE WHERE
UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...AREAS OF MVFR CIGS/VSBY EARLY THIS
EVENING... IMPROVING TO VFR. VFR TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

LONG TERM... CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE TO IFR ON THURSDAY
NIGHT... WITH LIFR IN FOG POSSIBLE FOR COASTAL SITES. WILL SEE A
MIX OF MVFR AND IFR THROUGH THE DAY ON FRIDAY BEFORE RETURNING TO
VFR LATE SATURDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SCA`S IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

LONG TERM...SCA POSSIBLE FOR THE OUTER WATERS THURSDAY INTO
FRIDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 3 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...KISTNER
AVIATION...KISTNER




000
FXUS61 KGYX 310212
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
1012 PM EDT MON MAR 30 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION TONIGHT AND WILL PUSH
OFFSHORE BY TUESDAY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN
FROM THE NORTHWEST TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
CREST OVER THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE ON
THURSDAY AS A WARM FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTHWEST. THE WARM
FRONT WILL BE QUICKLY FOLLOWED BY A COLD FRONT EARLY FRIDAY. THE
FRONT WILL STALL SOUTH OF THE AREA FRIDAY AND LOW PRESSURE WILL
TRACK NORTHEAST ALONG IT FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. ANOTHER AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE CROSSING SOUTHERN CANADA SATURDAY NIGHT WILL DRIVE
A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION BY SUNDAY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST BEHIND THE FRONT ON SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 7 AM TUESDAY MORNING/...
10 PM UPDATE...DOWNSLOPING BEHIND THE FRONT HAS CLEARED OUT
CLOUDS SOUTH AND EAST OF THE MOUNTAINS...SO UPDATED SKY COVER
BASED ON LATEST SATELLITE. UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE IN
THE MOUNTAINS DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. TEMPERATURES WERE ALSO
UPDATED BASED ON LATEST OBS AND TRENDS...WITH CLEARING SOUTH OF
THE MOUNTAINS...THESE AREAS WILL RADIATE QUITE NICELY SO ADJUSTED
LOW TEMPERATURES A BIT LOWER THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECASTED.

7 PM UPDATE...DID A QUICK UPDATE TO SKY AND TEMPS BASED ON CURRENT
OBS/TRENDS AND SATELLITE DATA. ALSO BOOSTED POP IN THE MOUNTAINS
WHERE UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS CAN BE EXPECTED INTO THE MORNING HOURS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE 1ST IN A SERIES OF COLD FRONTS
WILL BE DEPARTING THE FORECAST AREA TO THE EAST LATE THIS
AFTERNOON. MAY SEE SOME BREAKS IN THE OVERCAST DEVELOPING DURING
THE EVENING HOURS DOWNWIND OF THE MOUNTAINS BUT CLOUDS WILL ONCE
AGAIN BE ON THE INCREASE TOWARD MIDNIGHT AS A SECONDARY COLD
FRONT SWINGS THROUGH THE REGION. EXPECT MUCH OF THE AREA TO SEE A
DRY NIGHT BUT SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE IN THE MOUNTAINS
OVERNIGHT AND INTO TUESDAY MORNING WHERE AN INCH OR TWO OF
ACCUMULATION WILL BE POSSIBLE. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL GENERALLY RANGE
THROUGH THE 20S FROM NORTH TO SOUTH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /7 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
SKIES WILL CLEAR EARLY TUESDAY SETTING UP A MOSTLY SUNNY DAY
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE
NORTHWEST. SUNSHINE AND DOWNSLOPING WINDS WILL HELP BOOST TEMPS
INTO THE LOWER TO MID 40S IN SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL MAINE AND NEW
HAMPSHIRE. HIGHS WILL RANGE THROUGH THE 30S IN THE NORTH.

TUESDAY NIGHT LOOKING MOSTLY CLEAR AND QUIET AS HIGH PRESSURE
CONTINUES TO BUILD IN FROM THE WEST. LOW TEMPS WILL DIP TO BETWEEN
5 AND 10 DEGREES NORTH AND WILL RANGE THROUGH THE TEENS TO LOWER
20S SOUTH.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
A PROGRESSIVE PATTERN WILL DEVELOP THROUGH THE WEEK.

ON WEDNESDAY THE COLDER AIR AND TROUGH WILL MOVE OUT OF OUR AREA.
AS IT DOES A WEAK STORM WILL PASS THROUGH SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND,
BRINING CLOUD COVER INTO THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF OUR AREA. CLEAR
SKIES TO THE NORTH WILL ALLOW FOR OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES TO ONCE
AGAIN FALL INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS IN THE NORTH AND MID 20S SOUTH.

BY THURSDAY MORNING TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO WARM ALOFT AS AN
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS INTO THE REGION. SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL
DEVELOP AROUND A HIGH SITUATED OFF THE CAROLINA COAST. FOR NEW
HAMPSHIRE SOUTH OF THE NOTCHES AND THE CT RIVER VALLEY THIS SOUTH
FLOW WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB TO NEAR 50. ALONG THE MAINE
COAST FROM PORTLAND THROUGH PENOBSCOT BAY THAT SAME SOUTH WIND
WILL FLOW OVER THE 37 DEGREE OCEAN, KEEPING TEMPERATURES BELOW 40
FOR THE IMMEDIATE COAST.

FRIDAY WILL SEE MORE WARMING... WITH SOUTHERN NH REACHING 60
DEGREES. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST THROUGH THE LATE
AFTERNOON BRINGING SHOWERS. THAT FRONT WILL STALL ACROSS THE
REGION FRIDAY NIGHT BEFORE ANOTHER LOW REDEVELOPS ALONG IT ON
SATURDAY. STILL A BIT OF A SPREAD ON TIMING WITH THE SHOWERS,
FRONT LOOKS TO STALL OFF SHORE WHICH WOULD KEEP JUST SOUTHERN
SECTIONS IN RAIN SHOWERS WHILE THE MOUNTAINS SEE JUST CLOUDS,
HOWEVER EXACT LOCATION IS A BIT SUSPECT AND WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED
TO SEE THE MOUNTAINS HOLD ONTO THE RAIN A BIT LONGER. NO MATTER
THE TIMING, THE RESULT IS AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF SHOWERS FRIDAY
NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. WITH WARM TEMPS FRIDAY... IT WILL FALL AS
RAIN FOR ALL BUT THE HIGHEST SUMMITS. BUT AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES
FURTHER THROUGH ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON COLD AIR WILL SWITCH THE
PRECIP OVER TO UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MOUNTAINS. SUNDAY WILL
SEE COLDER HIGH PRESSURE AGAIN MOVE INTO THE REGION FOR THE START
OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
SHORT TERM...00Z UPDATE...COLD FRONT WILL BE PUSHING OFFSHORE
TONIGHT AND ALL AREAS SHOULD RETURN TO VFR OTHER THAN HIE WHERE
UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...AREAS OF MVFR CIGS/VSBY EARLY THIS
EVENING... IMPROVING TO VFR. VFR TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

LONG TERM... CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE TO IFR ON THURSDAY
NIGHT... WITH LIFR IN FOG POSSIBLE FOR COASTAL SITES. WILL SEE A
MIX OF MVFR AND IFR THROUGH THE DAY ON FRIDAY BEFORE RETURNING TO
VFR LATE SATURDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SCA`S IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

LONG TERM...SCA POSSIBLE FOR THE OUTER WATERS THURSDAY INTO
FRIDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 3 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...KISTNER
AVIATION...KISTNER





000
FXUS61 KGYX 302300
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
700 PM EDT MON MAR 30 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION TONIGHT AND WILL PUSH
OFFSHORE BY TUESDAY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN
FROM THE NORTHWEST TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
CREST OVER THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE ON
THURSDAY AS A WARM FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTHWEST. THE WARM
FRONT WILL BE QUICKLY FOLLOWED BY A COLD FRONT EARLY FRIDAY. THE
FRONT WILL STALL SOUTH OF THE AREA FRIDAY AND LOW PRESSURE WILL
TRACK NORTHEAST ALONG IT FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. ANOTHER AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE CROSSING SOUTHERN CANADA SATURDAY NIGHT WILL DRIVE
A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION BY SUNDAY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST BEHIND THE FRONT ON SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 7 AM TUESDAY MORNING/...
7 PM UPDATE...DID A QUICK UPDATE TO SKY AND TEMPS BASED ON CURRENT
OBS/TRENDS AND SATELLITE DATA. ALSO BOOSTED POP IN THE MOUNTAINS
WHERE UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS CAN BE EXPECTED INTO THE MORNING HOURS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE 1ST IN A SERIES OF COLD FRONTS
WILL BE DEPARTING THE FORECAST AREA TO THE EAST LATE THIS
AFTERNOON. MAY SEE SOME BREAKS IN THE OVERCAST DEVELOPING DURING
THE EVENING HOURS DOWNWIND OF THE MOUNTAINS BUT CLOUDS WILL ONCE
AGAIN BE ON THE INCREASE TOWARD MIDNIGHT AS A SECONDARY COLD
FRONT SWINGS THROUGH THE REGION. EXPECT MUCH OF THE AREA TO SEE A
DRY NIGHT BUT SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE IN THE MOUNTAINS
OVERNIGHT AND INTO TUESDAY MORNING WHERE AN INCH OR TWO OF
ACCUMULATION WILL BE POSSIBLE. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL GENERALLY RANGE
THROUGH THE 20S FROM NORTH TO SOUTH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /7 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
SKIES WILL CLEAR EARLY TUESDAY SETTING UP A MOSTLY SUNNY DAY
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE
NORTHWEST. SUNSHINE AND DOWNSLOPING WINDS WILL HELP BOOST TEMPS
INTO THE LOWER TO MID 40S IN SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL MAINE AND NEW
HAMPSHIRE. HIGHS WILL RANGE THROUGH THE 30S IN THE NORTH.

TUESDAY NIGHT LOOKING MOSTLY CLEAR AND QUIET AS HIGH PRESSURE
CONTINUES TO BUILD IN FROM THE WEST. LOW TEMPS WILL DIP TO BETWEEN
5 AND 10 DEGREES NORTH AND WILL RANGE THROUGH THE TEENS TO LOWER
20S SOUTH.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
A PROGRESSIVE PATTERN WILL DEVELOP THROUGH THE WEEK.

ON WEDNESDAY THE COLDER AIR AND TROUGH WILL MOVE OUT OF OUR AREA.
AS IT DOES A WEAK STORM WILL PASS THROUGH SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND,
BRINING CLOUD COVER INTO THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF OUR AREA. CLEAR
SKIES TO THE NORTH WILL ALLOW FOR OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES TO ONCE
AGAIN FALL INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS IN THE NORTH AND MID 20S SOUTH.

BY THURSDAY MORNING TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO WARM ALOFT AS AN
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS INTO THE REGION. SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL
DEVELOP AROUND A HIGH SITUATED OFF THE CAROLINA COAST. FOR NEW
HAMPSHIRE SOUTH OF THE NOTCHES AND THE CT RIVER VALLEY THIS SOUTH
FLOW WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB TO NEAR 50. ALONG THE MAINE
COAST FROM PORTLAND THROUGH PENOBSCOT BAY THAT SAME SOUTH WIND
WILL FLOW OVER THE 37 DEGREE OCEAN, KEEPING TEMPERATURES BELOW 40
FOR THE IMMEDIATE COAST.

FRIDAY WILL SEE MORE WARMING... WITH SOUTHERN NH REACHING 60
DEGREES. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST THROUGH THE LATE
AFTERNOON BRINGING SHOWERS. THAT FRONT WILL STALL ACROSS THE
REGION FRIDAY NIGHT BEFORE ANOTHER LOW REDEVELOPS ALONG IT ON
SATURDAY. STILL A BIT OF A SPREAD ON TIMING WITH THE SHOWERS,
FRONT LOOKS TO STALL OFF SHORE WHICH WOULD KEEP JUST SOUTHERN
SECTIONS IN RAIN SHOWERS WHILE THE MOUNTAINS SEE JUST CLOUDS,
HOWEVER EXACT LOCATION IS A BIT SUSPECT AND WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED
TO SEE THE MOUNTAINS HOLD ONTO THE RAIN A BIT LONGER. NO MATTER
THE TIMING, THE RESULT IS AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF SHOWERS FRIDAY
NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. WITH WARM TEMPS FRIDAY... IT WILL FALL AS
RAIN FOR ALL BUT THE HIGHEST SUMMITS. BUT AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES
FURTHER THROUGH ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON COLD AIR WILL SWITCH THE
PRECIP OVER TO UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MOUNTAINS. SUNDAY WILL
SEE COLDER HIGH PRESSURE AGAIN MOVE INTO THE REGION FOR THE START
OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
SHORT TERM...00Z UPDATE...COLD FRONT WILL BE PUSHING OFFSHORE
TONIGHT AND ALL AREAS SHOULD RETURN TO VFR OTHER THAN HIE WHERE
UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...AREAS OF MVFR CIGS/VSBY EARLY THIS
EVENING... IMPROVING TO VFR. VFR TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

LONG TERM... CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE TO IFR ON THURSDAY
NIGHT... WITH LIFR IN FOG POSSIBLE FOR COASTAL SITES. WILL SEE A
MIX OF MVFR AND IFR THROUGH THE DAY ON FRIDAY BEFORE RETURNING TO
VFR LATE SATURDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SCA`S IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

LONG TERM...SCA POSSIBLE FOR THE OUTER WATERS THURSDAY INTO
FRIDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 3 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...KISTNER




000
FXUS61 KGYX 302300
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
700 PM EDT MON MAR 30 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION TONIGHT AND WILL PUSH
OFFSHORE BY TUESDAY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN
FROM THE NORTHWEST TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
CREST OVER THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE ON
THURSDAY AS A WARM FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTHWEST. THE WARM
FRONT WILL BE QUICKLY FOLLOWED BY A COLD FRONT EARLY FRIDAY. THE
FRONT WILL STALL SOUTH OF THE AREA FRIDAY AND LOW PRESSURE WILL
TRACK NORTHEAST ALONG IT FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. ANOTHER AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE CROSSING SOUTHERN CANADA SATURDAY NIGHT WILL DRIVE
A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION BY SUNDAY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST BEHIND THE FRONT ON SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 7 AM TUESDAY MORNING/...
7 PM UPDATE...DID A QUICK UPDATE TO SKY AND TEMPS BASED ON CURRENT
OBS/TRENDS AND SATELLITE DATA. ALSO BOOSTED POP IN THE MOUNTAINS
WHERE UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS CAN BE EXPECTED INTO THE MORNING HOURS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE 1ST IN A SERIES OF COLD FRONTS
WILL BE DEPARTING THE FORECAST AREA TO THE EAST LATE THIS
AFTERNOON. MAY SEE SOME BREAKS IN THE OVERCAST DEVELOPING DURING
THE EVENING HOURS DOWNWIND OF THE MOUNTAINS BUT CLOUDS WILL ONCE
AGAIN BE ON THE INCREASE TOWARD MIDNIGHT AS A SECONDARY COLD
FRONT SWINGS THROUGH THE REGION. EXPECT MUCH OF THE AREA TO SEE A
DRY NIGHT BUT SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE IN THE MOUNTAINS
OVERNIGHT AND INTO TUESDAY MORNING WHERE AN INCH OR TWO OF
ACCUMULATION WILL BE POSSIBLE. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL GENERALLY RANGE
THROUGH THE 20S FROM NORTH TO SOUTH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /7 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
SKIES WILL CLEAR EARLY TUESDAY SETTING UP A MOSTLY SUNNY DAY
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE
NORTHWEST. SUNSHINE AND DOWNSLOPING WINDS WILL HELP BOOST TEMPS
INTO THE LOWER TO MID 40S IN SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL MAINE AND NEW
HAMPSHIRE. HIGHS WILL RANGE THROUGH THE 30S IN THE NORTH.

TUESDAY NIGHT LOOKING MOSTLY CLEAR AND QUIET AS HIGH PRESSURE
CONTINUES TO BUILD IN FROM THE WEST. LOW TEMPS WILL DIP TO BETWEEN
5 AND 10 DEGREES NORTH AND WILL RANGE THROUGH THE TEENS TO LOWER
20S SOUTH.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
A PROGRESSIVE PATTERN WILL DEVELOP THROUGH THE WEEK.

ON WEDNESDAY THE COLDER AIR AND TROUGH WILL MOVE OUT OF OUR AREA.
AS IT DOES A WEAK STORM WILL PASS THROUGH SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND,
BRINING CLOUD COVER INTO THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF OUR AREA. CLEAR
SKIES TO THE NORTH WILL ALLOW FOR OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES TO ONCE
AGAIN FALL INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS IN THE NORTH AND MID 20S SOUTH.

BY THURSDAY MORNING TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO WARM ALOFT AS AN
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS INTO THE REGION. SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL
DEVELOP AROUND A HIGH SITUATED OFF THE CAROLINA COAST. FOR NEW
HAMPSHIRE SOUTH OF THE NOTCHES AND THE CT RIVER VALLEY THIS SOUTH
FLOW WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB TO NEAR 50. ALONG THE MAINE
COAST FROM PORTLAND THROUGH PENOBSCOT BAY THAT SAME SOUTH WIND
WILL FLOW OVER THE 37 DEGREE OCEAN, KEEPING TEMPERATURES BELOW 40
FOR THE IMMEDIATE COAST.

FRIDAY WILL SEE MORE WARMING... WITH SOUTHERN NH REACHING 60
DEGREES. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST THROUGH THE LATE
AFTERNOON BRINGING SHOWERS. THAT FRONT WILL STALL ACROSS THE
REGION FRIDAY NIGHT BEFORE ANOTHER LOW REDEVELOPS ALONG IT ON
SATURDAY. STILL A BIT OF A SPREAD ON TIMING WITH THE SHOWERS,
FRONT LOOKS TO STALL OFF SHORE WHICH WOULD KEEP JUST SOUTHERN
SECTIONS IN RAIN SHOWERS WHILE THE MOUNTAINS SEE JUST CLOUDS,
HOWEVER EXACT LOCATION IS A BIT SUSPECT AND WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED
TO SEE THE MOUNTAINS HOLD ONTO THE RAIN A BIT LONGER. NO MATTER
THE TIMING, THE RESULT IS AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF SHOWERS FRIDAY
NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. WITH WARM TEMPS FRIDAY... IT WILL FALL AS
RAIN FOR ALL BUT THE HIGHEST SUMMITS. BUT AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES
FURTHER THROUGH ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON COLD AIR WILL SWITCH THE
PRECIP OVER TO UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MOUNTAINS. SUNDAY WILL
SEE COLDER HIGH PRESSURE AGAIN MOVE INTO THE REGION FOR THE START
OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
SHORT TERM...00Z UPDATE...COLD FRONT WILL BE PUSHING OFFSHORE
TONIGHT AND ALL AREAS SHOULD RETURN TO VFR OTHER THAN HIE WHERE
UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...AREAS OF MVFR CIGS/VSBY EARLY THIS
EVENING... IMPROVING TO VFR. VFR TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

LONG TERM... CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE TO IFR ON THURSDAY
NIGHT... WITH LIFR IN FOG POSSIBLE FOR COASTAL SITES. WILL SEE A
MIX OF MVFR AND IFR THROUGH THE DAY ON FRIDAY BEFORE RETURNING TO
VFR LATE SATURDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SCA`S IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

LONG TERM...SCA POSSIBLE FOR THE OUTER WATERS THURSDAY INTO
FRIDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 3 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...KISTNER





000
FXUS61 KGYX 302300
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
700 PM EDT MON MAR 30 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION TONIGHT AND WILL PUSH
OFFSHORE BY TUESDAY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN
FROM THE NORTHWEST TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
CREST OVER THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE ON
THURSDAY AS A WARM FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTHWEST. THE WARM
FRONT WILL BE QUICKLY FOLLOWED BY A COLD FRONT EARLY FRIDAY. THE
FRONT WILL STALL SOUTH OF THE AREA FRIDAY AND LOW PRESSURE WILL
TRACK NORTHEAST ALONG IT FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. ANOTHER AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE CROSSING SOUTHERN CANADA SATURDAY NIGHT WILL DRIVE
A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION BY SUNDAY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST BEHIND THE FRONT ON SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 7 AM TUESDAY MORNING/...
7 PM UPDATE...DID A QUICK UPDATE TO SKY AND TEMPS BASED ON CURRENT
OBS/TRENDS AND SATELLITE DATA. ALSO BOOSTED POP IN THE MOUNTAINS
WHERE UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS CAN BE EXPECTED INTO THE MORNING HOURS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE 1ST IN A SERIES OF COLD FRONTS
WILL BE DEPARTING THE FORECAST AREA TO THE EAST LATE THIS
AFTERNOON. MAY SEE SOME BREAKS IN THE OVERCAST DEVELOPING DURING
THE EVENING HOURS DOWNWIND OF THE MOUNTAINS BUT CLOUDS WILL ONCE
AGAIN BE ON THE INCREASE TOWARD MIDNIGHT AS A SECONDARY COLD
FRONT SWINGS THROUGH THE REGION. EXPECT MUCH OF THE AREA TO SEE A
DRY NIGHT BUT SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE IN THE MOUNTAINS
OVERNIGHT AND INTO TUESDAY MORNING WHERE AN INCH OR TWO OF
ACCUMULATION WILL BE POSSIBLE. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL GENERALLY RANGE
THROUGH THE 20S FROM NORTH TO SOUTH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /7 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
SKIES WILL CLEAR EARLY TUESDAY SETTING UP A MOSTLY SUNNY DAY
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE
NORTHWEST. SUNSHINE AND DOWNSLOPING WINDS WILL HELP BOOST TEMPS
INTO THE LOWER TO MID 40S IN SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL MAINE AND NEW
HAMPSHIRE. HIGHS WILL RANGE THROUGH THE 30S IN THE NORTH.

TUESDAY NIGHT LOOKING MOSTLY CLEAR AND QUIET AS HIGH PRESSURE
CONTINUES TO BUILD IN FROM THE WEST. LOW TEMPS WILL DIP TO BETWEEN
5 AND 10 DEGREES NORTH AND WILL RANGE THROUGH THE TEENS TO LOWER
20S SOUTH.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
A PROGRESSIVE PATTERN WILL DEVELOP THROUGH THE WEEK.

ON WEDNESDAY THE COLDER AIR AND TROUGH WILL MOVE OUT OF OUR AREA.
AS IT DOES A WEAK STORM WILL PASS THROUGH SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND,
BRINING CLOUD COVER INTO THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF OUR AREA. CLEAR
SKIES TO THE NORTH WILL ALLOW FOR OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES TO ONCE
AGAIN FALL INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS IN THE NORTH AND MID 20S SOUTH.

BY THURSDAY MORNING TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO WARM ALOFT AS AN
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS INTO THE REGION. SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL
DEVELOP AROUND A HIGH SITUATED OFF THE CAROLINA COAST. FOR NEW
HAMPSHIRE SOUTH OF THE NOTCHES AND THE CT RIVER VALLEY THIS SOUTH
FLOW WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB TO NEAR 50. ALONG THE MAINE
COAST FROM PORTLAND THROUGH PENOBSCOT BAY THAT SAME SOUTH WIND
WILL FLOW OVER THE 37 DEGREE OCEAN, KEEPING TEMPERATURES BELOW 40
FOR THE IMMEDIATE COAST.

FRIDAY WILL SEE MORE WARMING... WITH SOUTHERN NH REACHING 60
DEGREES. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST THROUGH THE LATE
AFTERNOON BRINGING SHOWERS. THAT FRONT WILL STALL ACROSS THE
REGION FRIDAY NIGHT BEFORE ANOTHER LOW REDEVELOPS ALONG IT ON
SATURDAY. STILL A BIT OF A SPREAD ON TIMING WITH THE SHOWERS,
FRONT LOOKS TO STALL OFF SHORE WHICH WOULD KEEP JUST SOUTHERN
SECTIONS IN RAIN SHOWERS WHILE THE MOUNTAINS SEE JUST CLOUDS,
HOWEVER EXACT LOCATION IS A BIT SUSPECT AND WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED
TO SEE THE MOUNTAINS HOLD ONTO THE RAIN A BIT LONGER. NO MATTER
THE TIMING, THE RESULT IS AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF SHOWERS FRIDAY
NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. WITH WARM TEMPS FRIDAY... IT WILL FALL AS
RAIN FOR ALL BUT THE HIGHEST SUMMITS. BUT AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES
FURTHER THROUGH ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON COLD AIR WILL SWITCH THE
PRECIP OVER TO UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MOUNTAINS. SUNDAY WILL
SEE COLDER HIGH PRESSURE AGAIN MOVE INTO THE REGION FOR THE START
OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
SHORT TERM...00Z UPDATE...COLD FRONT WILL BE PUSHING OFFSHORE
TONIGHT AND ALL AREAS SHOULD RETURN TO VFR OTHER THAN HIE WHERE
UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...AREAS OF MVFR CIGS/VSBY EARLY THIS
EVENING... IMPROVING TO VFR. VFR TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

LONG TERM... CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE TO IFR ON THURSDAY
NIGHT... WITH LIFR IN FOG POSSIBLE FOR COASTAL SITES. WILL SEE A
MIX OF MVFR AND IFR THROUGH THE DAY ON FRIDAY BEFORE RETURNING TO
VFR LATE SATURDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SCA`S IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

LONG TERM...SCA POSSIBLE FOR THE OUTER WATERS THURSDAY INTO
FRIDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 3 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...KISTNER





000
FXUS61 KGYX 302300
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
700 PM EDT MON MAR 30 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION TONIGHT AND WILL PUSH
OFFSHORE BY TUESDAY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN
FROM THE NORTHWEST TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
CREST OVER THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE ON
THURSDAY AS A WARM FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTHWEST. THE WARM
FRONT WILL BE QUICKLY FOLLOWED BY A COLD FRONT EARLY FRIDAY. THE
FRONT WILL STALL SOUTH OF THE AREA FRIDAY AND LOW PRESSURE WILL
TRACK NORTHEAST ALONG IT FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. ANOTHER AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE CROSSING SOUTHERN CANADA SATURDAY NIGHT WILL DRIVE
A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION BY SUNDAY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST BEHIND THE FRONT ON SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 7 AM TUESDAY MORNING/...
7 PM UPDATE...DID A QUICK UPDATE TO SKY AND TEMPS BASED ON CURRENT
OBS/TRENDS AND SATELLITE DATA. ALSO BOOSTED POP IN THE MOUNTAINS
WHERE UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS CAN BE EXPECTED INTO THE MORNING HOURS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE 1ST IN A SERIES OF COLD FRONTS
WILL BE DEPARTING THE FORECAST AREA TO THE EAST LATE THIS
AFTERNOON. MAY SEE SOME BREAKS IN THE OVERCAST DEVELOPING DURING
THE EVENING HOURS DOWNWIND OF THE MOUNTAINS BUT CLOUDS WILL ONCE
AGAIN BE ON THE INCREASE TOWARD MIDNIGHT AS A SECONDARY COLD
FRONT SWINGS THROUGH THE REGION. EXPECT MUCH OF THE AREA TO SEE A
DRY NIGHT BUT SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE IN THE MOUNTAINS
OVERNIGHT AND INTO TUESDAY MORNING WHERE AN INCH OR TWO OF
ACCUMULATION WILL BE POSSIBLE. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL GENERALLY RANGE
THROUGH THE 20S FROM NORTH TO SOUTH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /7 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
SKIES WILL CLEAR EARLY TUESDAY SETTING UP A MOSTLY SUNNY DAY
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE
NORTHWEST. SUNSHINE AND DOWNSLOPING WINDS WILL HELP BOOST TEMPS
INTO THE LOWER TO MID 40S IN SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL MAINE AND NEW
HAMPSHIRE. HIGHS WILL RANGE THROUGH THE 30S IN THE NORTH.

TUESDAY NIGHT LOOKING MOSTLY CLEAR AND QUIET AS HIGH PRESSURE
CONTINUES TO BUILD IN FROM THE WEST. LOW TEMPS WILL DIP TO BETWEEN
5 AND 10 DEGREES NORTH AND WILL RANGE THROUGH THE TEENS TO LOWER
20S SOUTH.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
A PROGRESSIVE PATTERN WILL DEVELOP THROUGH THE WEEK.

ON WEDNESDAY THE COLDER AIR AND TROUGH WILL MOVE OUT OF OUR AREA.
AS IT DOES A WEAK STORM WILL PASS THROUGH SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND,
BRINING CLOUD COVER INTO THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF OUR AREA. CLEAR
SKIES TO THE NORTH WILL ALLOW FOR OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES TO ONCE
AGAIN FALL INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS IN THE NORTH AND MID 20S SOUTH.

BY THURSDAY MORNING TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO WARM ALOFT AS AN
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS INTO THE REGION. SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL
DEVELOP AROUND A HIGH SITUATED OFF THE CAROLINA COAST. FOR NEW
HAMPSHIRE SOUTH OF THE NOTCHES AND THE CT RIVER VALLEY THIS SOUTH
FLOW WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB TO NEAR 50. ALONG THE MAINE
COAST FROM PORTLAND THROUGH PENOBSCOT BAY THAT SAME SOUTH WIND
WILL FLOW OVER THE 37 DEGREE OCEAN, KEEPING TEMPERATURES BELOW 40
FOR THE IMMEDIATE COAST.

FRIDAY WILL SEE MORE WARMING... WITH SOUTHERN NH REACHING 60
DEGREES. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST THROUGH THE LATE
AFTERNOON BRINGING SHOWERS. THAT FRONT WILL STALL ACROSS THE
REGION FRIDAY NIGHT BEFORE ANOTHER LOW REDEVELOPS ALONG IT ON
SATURDAY. STILL A BIT OF A SPREAD ON TIMING WITH THE SHOWERS,
FRONT LOOKS TO STALL OFF SHORE WHICH WOULD KEEP JUST SOUTHERN
SECTIONS IN RAIN SHOWERS WHILE THE MOUNTAINS SEE JUST CLOUDS,
HOWEVER EXACT LOCATION IS A BIT SUSPECT AND WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED
TO SEE THE MOUNTAINS HOLD ONTO THE RAIN A BIT LONGER. NO MATTER
THE TIMING, THE RESULT IS AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF SHOWERS FRIDAY
NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. WITH WARM TEMPS FRIDAY... IT WILL FALL AS
RAIN FOR ALL BUT THE HIGHEST SUMMITS. BUT AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES
FURTHER THROUGH ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON COLD AIR WILL SWITCH THE
PRECIP OVER TO UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MOUNTAINS. SUNDAY WILL
SEE COLDER HIGH PRESSURE AGAIN MOVE INTO THE REGION FOR THE START
OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
SHORT TERM...00Z UPDATE...COLD FRONT WILL BE PUSHING OFFSHORE
TONIGHT AND ALL AREAS SHOULD RETURN TO VFR OTHER THAN HIE WHERE
UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...AREAS OF MVFR CIGS/VSBY EARLY THIS
EVENING... IMPROVING TO VFR. VFR TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

LONG TERM... CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE TO IFR ON THURSDAY
NIGHT... WITH LIFR IN FOG POSSIBLE FOR COASTAL SITES. WILL SEE A
MIX OF MVFR AND IFR THROUGH THE DAY ON FRIDAY BEFORE RETURNING TO
VFR LATE SATURDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SCA`S IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

LONG TERM...SCA POSSIBLE FOR THE OUTER WATERS THURSDAY INTO
FRIDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 3 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...KISTNER




000
FXUS61 KGYX 301838
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
238 PM EDT MON MAR 30 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION TONIGHT AND WILL PUSH
OFFSHORE BY TUESDAY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN
FROM THE NORTHWEST TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
CREST OVER THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE ON
THURSDAY AS A WARM FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTHWEST. THE WARM
FRONT WILL BE QUICKLY FOLLOWED BY A COLD FRONT EARLY FRIDAY. THE
FRONT WILL STALL SOUTH OF THE AREA FRIDAY AND LOW PRESSURE WILL
TRACK NORTHEAST ALONG IT FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. ANOTHER AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE CROSSING SOUTHERN CANADA SATURDAY NIGHT WILL DRIVE
A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION BY SUNDAY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST BEHIND THE FRONT ON SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE 1ST IN A SERIES OF COLD FRONTS
WILL BE DEPARTING THE FORECAST AREA TO THE EAST LATE THIS
AFTERNOON. MAY SEE SOME BREAKS IN THE OVERCAST DEVELOPING DURING
THE EVENING HOURS DOWNWIND OF THE MOUNTAINS BUT CLOUDS WILL ONCE
AGAIN BE ON THE INCREASE TOWARD MIDNIGHT AS A SECONDARY COLD
FRONT SWINGS THROUGH THE REGION. EXPECT MUCH OF THE AREA TO SEE A
DRY NIGHT BUT SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE IN THE MOUNTAINS
OVERNIGHT AND INTO TUESDAY MORNING WHERE AN INCH OR TWO OF
ACCUMULATION WILL BE POSSIBLE. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL GENERALLY RANGE
THROUGH THE 20S FROM NORTH TO SOUTH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
SKIES WILL CLEAR EARLY TUESDAY SETTING UP A MOSTLY SUNNY DAY
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE
NORTHWEST. SUNSHINE AND DOWNSLOPING WINDS WILL HELP BOOST TEMPS
INTO THE LOWER TO MID 40S IN SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL MAINE AND NEW
HAMPSHIRE. HIGHS WILL RANGE THROUGH THE 30S IN THE NORTH.

TUESDAY NIGHT LOOKING MOSTLY CLEAR AND QUIET AS HIGH PRESSURE
CONTINUES TO BUILD IN FROM THE WEST. LOW TEMPS WILL DIP TO BETWEEN
5 AND 10 DEGREES NORTH AND WILL RANGE THROUGH THE TEENS TO LOWER
20S SOUTH.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
A PROGRESSIVE PATTERN WILL DEVELOP THROUGH THE WEEK.

ON WEDNESDAY THE COLDER AIR AND TROUGH WILL MOVE OUT OF OUR AREA.
AS IT DOES A WEAK STORM WILL PASS THROUGH SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND,
BRINING CLOUD COVER INTO THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF OUR AREA. CLEAR
SKIES TO THE NORTH WILL ALLOW FOR OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES TO ONCE
AGAIN FALL INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS IN THE NORTH AND MID 20S SOUTH.

BY THURSDAY MORNING TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO WARM ALOFT AS AN
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS INTO THE REGION. SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL
DEVELOP AROUND A HIGH SITUATED OFF THE CAROLINA COAST. FOR NEW
HAMPSHIRE SOUTH OF THE NOTCHES AND THE CT RIVER VALLEY THIS SOUTH
FLOW WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB TO NEAR 50. ALONG THE MAINE
COAST FROM PORTLAND THROUGH PENOBSCOT BAY THAT SAME SOUTH WIND
WILL FLOW OVER THE 37 DEGREE OCEAN, KEEPING TEMPERATURES BELOW 40
FOR THE IMMEDIATE COAST.

FRIDAY WILL SEE MORE WARMING... WITH SOUTHERN NH REACHING 60
DEGREES. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST THROUGH THE LATE
AFTERNOON BRINGING SHOWERS. THAT FRONT WILL STALL ACROSS THE
REGION FRIDAY NIGHT BEFORE ANOTHER LOW REDEVELOPS ALONG IT ON
SATURDAY. STILL A BIT OF A SPREAD ON TIMING WITH THE SHOWERS,
FRONT LOOKS TO STALL OFF SHORE WHICH WOULD KEEP JUST SOUTHERN
SECTIONS IN RAIN SHOWERS WHILE THE MOUNTAINS SEE JUST CLOUDS,
HOWEVER EXACT LOCATION IS A BIT SUSPECT AND WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED
TOSEE THE MOUNTAINS HOLD ONTO THE RAIN A BIT LONGER. NO MATTER
THE TIMING, THE RESULT IS AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF SHOWERS FRIDAY
NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. WITH WARM TEMPS FRIDAY... IT WILL FALL AS
RAIN FOR ALL BUT THE HIGHEST SUMMITS. BUT AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES
FURTHER THROUGH ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON COLD AIR WILL SWITCH THE
PRECIP OVER TO UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MOUNTAINS. SUNDAY WILL
SEE COLDER HIGH PRESSURE AGAIN MOVE INTO THE REGION FOR THE START
OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
SHORT TERM...AREAS OF MVFR CIGS/VSBY EARLY THIS EVENING...
IMPROVING TO VFR. VFR TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

LONG TERM... CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE TO IFR ON THURSDAY
NIGHT... WITH LIFR IN FOG POSSIBLE FOR COASTAL SITES. WILL SEE A
MIX OF MVFR AND IFR THROUGH THE DAY ON FRIDAY BEFORE RETURNING TO
VFR LATE SATURDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SCA`S IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

LONG TERM...SCA POSSIBLE FOR THE OUTER WATERS THURSDAY INTO
FRIDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 3 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$




000
FXUS61 KGYX 301838
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
238 PM EDT MON MAR 30 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION TONIGHT AND WILL PUSH
OFFSHORE BY TUESDAY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN
FROM THE NORTHWEST TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
CREST OVER THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE ON
THURSDAY AS A WARM FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTHWEST. THE WARM
FRONT WILL BE QUICKLY FOLLOWED BY A COLD FRONT EARLY FRIDAY. THE
FRONT WILL STALL SOUTH OF THE AREA FRIDAY AND LOW PRESSURE WILL
TRACK NORTHEAST ALONG IT FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. ANOTHER AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE CROSSING SOUTHERN CANADA SATURDAY NIGHT WILL DRIVE
A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION BY SUNDAY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST BEHIND THE FRONT ON SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE 1ST IN A SERIES OF COLD FRONTS
WILL BE DEPARTING THE FORECAST AREA TO THE EAST LATE THIS
AFTERNOON. MAY SEE SOME BREAKS IN THE OVERCAST DEVELOPING DURING
THE EVENING HOURS DOWNWIND OF THE MOUNTAINS BUT CLOUDS WILL ONCE
AGAIN BE ON THE INCREASE TOWARD MIDNIGHT AS A SECONDARY COLD
FRONT SWINGS THROUGH THE REGION. EXPECT MUCH OF THE AREA TO SEE A
DRY NIGHT BUT SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE IN THE MOUNTAINS
OVERNIGHT AND INTO TUESDAY MORNING WHERE AN INCH OR TWO OF
ACCUMULATION WILL BE POSSIBLE. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL GENERALLY RANGE
THROUGH THE 20S FROM NORTH TO SOUTH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
SKIES WILL CLEAR EARLY TUESDAY SETTING UP A MOSTLY SUNNY DAY
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE
NORTHWEST. SUNSHINE AND DOWNSLOPING WINDS WILL HELP BOOST TEMPS
INTO THE LOWER TO MID 40S IN SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL MAINE AND NEW
HAMPSHIRE. HIGHS WILL RANGE THROUGH THE 30S IN THE NORTH.

TUESDAY NIGHT LOOKING MOSTLY CLEAR AND QUIET AS HIGH PRESSURE
CONTINUES TO BUILD IN FROM THE WEST. LOW TEMPS WILL DIP TO BETWEEN
5 AND 10 DEGREES NORTH AND WILL RANGE THROUGH THE TEENS TO LOWER
20S SOUTH.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
A PROGRESSIVE PATTERN WILL DEVELOP THROUGH THE WEEK.

ON WEDNESDAY THE COLDER AIR AND TROUGH WILL MOVE OUT OF OUR AREA.
AS IT DOES A WEAK STORM WILL PASS THROUGH SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND,
BRINING CLOUD COVER INTO THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF OUR AREA. CLEAR
SKIES TO THE NORTH WILL ALLOW FOR OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES TO ONCE
AGAIN FALL INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS IN THE NORTH AND MID 20S SOUTH.

BY THURSDAY MORNING TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO WARM ALOFT AS AN
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS INTO THE REGION. SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL
DEVELOP AROUND A HIGH SITUATED OFF THE CAROLINA COAST. FOR NEW
HAMPSHIRE SOUTH OF THE NOTCHES AND THE CT RIVER VALLEY THIS SOUTH
FLOW WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB TO NEAR 50. ALONG THE MAINE
COAST FROM PORTLAND THROUGH PENOBSCOT BAY THAT SAME SOUTH WIND
WILL FLOW OVER THE 37 DEGREE OCEAN, KEEPING TEMPERATURES BELOW 40
FOR THE IMMEDIATE COAST.

FRIDAY WILL SEE MORE WARMING... WITH SOUTHERN NH REACHING 60
DEGREES. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST THROUGH THE LATE
AFTERNOON BRINGING SHOWERS. THAT FRONT WILL STALL ACROSS THE
REGION FRIDAY NIGHT BEFORE ANOTHER LOW REDEVELOPS ALONG IT ON
SATURDAY. STILL A BIT OF A SPREAD ON TIMING WITH THE SHOWERS,
FRONT LOOKS TO STALL OFF SHORE WHICH WOULD KEEP JUST SOUTHERN
SECTIONS IN RAIN SHOWERS WHILE THE MOUNTAINS SEE JUST CLOUDS,
HOWEVER EXACT LOCATION IS A BIT SUSPECT AND WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED
TOSEE THE MOUNTAINS HOLD ONTO THE RAIN A BIT LONGER. NO MATTER
THE TIMING, THE RESULT IS AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF SHOWERS FRIDAY
NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. WITH WARM TEMPS FRIDAY... IT WILL FALL AS
RAIN FOR ALL BUT THE HIGHEST SUMMITS. BUT AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES
FURTHER THROUGH ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON COLD AIR WILL SWITCH THE
PRECIP OVER TO UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MOUNTAINS. SUNDAY WILL
SEE COLDER HIGH PRESSURE AGAIN MOVE INTO THE REGION FOR THE START
OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
SHORT TERM...AREAS OF MVFR CIGS/VSBY EARLY THIS EVENING...
IMPROVING TO VFR. VFR TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

LONG TERM... CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE TO IFR ON THURSDAY
NIGHT... WITH LIFR IN FOG POSSIBLE FOR COASTAL SITES. WILL SEE A
MIX OF MVFR AND IFR THROUGH THE DAY ON FRIDAY BEFORE RETURNING TO
VFR LATE SATURDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SCA`S IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

LONG TERM...SCA POSSIBLE FOR THE OUTER WATERS THURSDAY INTO
FRIDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 3 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$





000
FXUS61 KGYX 301021
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
621 AM EDT MON MAR 30 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM
THE WEST TODAY. AFTER THE FRONT CROSSES THE AREA...HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE ON THURSDAY AS A WARM FRONT
APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTHWEST. A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH
THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL TRY TO BUILD IN
FROM THE WEST INTO THE WEEKEND...THOUGH THE FRONT WILL LOITER
NEARBY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
UPDATE...MINOR CHANGES TO ACCOUNT FOR CURRENT OBSERVATIONAL
TRENDS. ASOS EQUIPMENT AROUND THE HUDSON VALLEY ARE JUST NOW
STARTING TO DETECT PCPN...DESPITE THE RADAR PRESENTATION. EXPECT
THAT MUCH OF THE PCPN THIS MORNING WILL BE VERY LIGHT OR NOT AT
ALL...WITH THE BETTER CHANCE LATER THIS AFTERNOON WITH SHOWERS ON
THE COLD FRONT ITSELF. HAVE ADJUSTED POP TO SHOW THIS TREND.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT...CURRENTLY BACK ACROSS THE
ERN GREAT LAKES...WILL PUSH TOWARDS THE AREA TODAY. SLY TO SWLY
FLOW AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL ALLOW SRN NH AND PARTS OF THE
INTERIOR OF WRN ME TO WARM TO NEAR NORMAL. WINDS OFF THE WATER
HOWEVER WILL LIKELY KEEP COASTAL ME BELOW NORMAL.

MORE OR LESS MOISTURE STARVED...QPF AMOUNTS ARE LIGHT...AND BEST
CHANCE FOR GREATER THAN 0.1 INCH WILL BE CONFINED TO THE HIGHER
TERRAIN. AIR MASS IS DRY ENOUGH THAT MOST PCPN SHOULD FALL AS
SN...THOUGH A MIX WITH RA ACROSS SRN ZONES IS POSSIBLE DURING THE
DAY.

ALONG THE FRONT...ESPECIALLY NRN ZONES...THE ISALLOBARIC COMPONENT
OF THE WIND MAY HELP TO PRODUCE A BRIEF PERIOD OF STRONGER
GUSTS...NEAR 35-40 MPH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM TUESDAY/...
FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA TONIGHT...WITH LOW PRES PULLING N THRU
QUEBEC. WHAT MOISTURE REMAINS TRAPPED IN THE CYCLONIC FLOW ON THE
BACKSIDE WILL BE FORCED OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN AND RESULT IN AREAS
OF SHSN CONTINUING INTO TUE. A COUPLE INCHES OF ACCUMULATION IS
POSSIBLE FOR NRN ZONES.

ATMOSPHERE REMAINS MORE OR LESS MIXED OVERNIGHT...KEEPING TEMPS ON
THE MILDER SIDE. COLDEST AIR WILL DELAY UNTIL TUE TO ARRIVE...SO
TEMPS MAY ACTUALLY BE ABLE TO CLIMB TOWARDS 40 NEAR THE COAST WITH
SOME SUNNY SKIES. ACROSS THE FAR INTERIOR TEMPS MAY STRUGGLE FOR
FREEZING HOWEVER...AS COLD FRONT WILL HAVE ALREADY WORKED INTO
THOSE AREAS.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST TO THE SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND COASTLINE. ANY PRECIPITATION WITH THIS FEATURE SHOULD
REMAIN SOUTH OF THE NEW HAMPSHIRE STATE LINE WHILE COLD AIR
CONTINUES TO SPILL INTO THE REGION. AS THE LOW MOVES EAST IT WILL
STRENGTHEN AND COMBINE WITH HIGH PRESSURE APPROACHING FROM THE
WEST TO PRODUCE SOME STRONGER WINDS ON WEDNESDAY... THOUGH GUSTS
SHOULD STAY WELL BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA... ONLY IN THE 20 TO 30
MPH RANGE. IT WILL MAKE IT FEEL COLDER THOUGH AS TEMPERATURES
STRUGGLE TO RISE OUT OF THE 30S.

HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS TO THE EAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT. EXPECT A WARMING
TREND TO COMMENCE ON THURSDAY WITH SOUTHWEST FLOW DEVELOPING
THROUGH THE LOW LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE. A WARM FRONT WILL FORM
PRIMARILY TO OUR WEST... BUT COULD EXTEND EASTWARD INTO NEW
HAMPSHIRE AND NORTHERN MAINE ON THURSDAY AND AID IN THE PRODUCTION
OF SOME LIGHT RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS.

UPPER TROUGH AXIS CROSSES THE AREA ON FRIDAY THOUGH MOST OF THE
FORCING STAYS TO THE NORTH. EXPECT A CHANCE OF SHOWERS ON FRIDAY
WITH TEMPERATURES REACHING THEIR WARMEST LEVELS OF THE SEASON SO
FAR. READINGS IN THE 50S WILL BE WIDESPREAD WITH SOME 60 DEGREE
READINGS POSSIBLE IN SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE BEFORE COLDER AIR
ARRIVES FRIDAY NIGHT.

SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA LATE FRIDAY BUT WILL STALL
SOMEWHERE OFFSHORE. BOTH GFS AND ECMWF NOW IN AGREEMENT THAT UPPER
TROUGH WILL GENERATE SURFACE LOW PRESSURE OVER THE OHIO RIVER
VALLEY FRIDAY NIGHT AND TRACK NEAR SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND ON
SATURDAY. NEW HAMPSHIRE AND MAINE WOULD BE ON THE COLD SIDE OF
THIS LOW TRACK... AND THUS THERE IS A CHANCE THAT PRECIPITATION
FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY COULD FALL AS SNOW. IT MAY BE DIFFICULT
TO GET ENOUGH COLD AIR AT THE SURFACE FOR SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION.

&&

.AVIATION /10Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
SHORT TERM...COLD FRONT WILL PUSH TOWARDS THE AREA TODAY. FOR THE
MOST PART THIS SYSTEM WILL BE MOISTURE STARVED...AND THUS DO NOT
EXPECT MUCH IN THE WAY OF SHOWERS FOR MOST TERMINALS. GREATEST
CHANCE FOR A PERIOD OF MVFR OR LOWER SHRASN WILL BE AT KLEB AND
KHIE LATE THIS MORNING THRU THE EVENING. OTHERWISE EXPECT JUST A
BROKEN DECK OF MVFR CIGS TO TRANSITION ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA
TODAY. GUSTY SWLY BECOMING WLY WINDS WILL PICK UP BEHIND THE
FRONT. THIS WILL PROLONG UPSLOPE SHSN NEAR KHIE INTO TUE.

LONG TERM...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY WITH STRENGTHENING
NORTHWEST WINDS. HIGH PRESSURE CROSSES THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
COULD SEE MVFR OR IFR CONDITIONS THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY AS SHOWERY
WEATHER IS POSSIBLE.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN ABOVE SCA THRESHOLDS INTO
TONIGHT.

LONG TERM...INCREASING PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN STRENGTHENING
OFFSHORE LOW AND HIGH PRESSURE MOVING IN FROM THE WEST WILL ALLOW
NORTHWEST WINDS TO STRENGTHEN ON WEDNESDAY. GUSTS TO 25 OR 30 KT
ARE POSSIBLE AND WILL DIMINISH WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH HIGH PRESSURE
CRESTING OVER THE GULF OF MAINE.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM EDT TUESDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...LEGRO
SHORT TERM...LEGRO
LONG TERM...KIMBLE
AVIATION...KIMBLE/LEGRO
MARINE...KIMBLE/LEGRO





000
FXUS61 KGYX 301021
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
621 AM EDT MON MAR 30 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM
THE WEST TODAY. AFTER THE FRONT CROSSES THE AREA...HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE ON THURSDAY AS A WARM FRONT
APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTHWEST. A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH
THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL TRY TO BUILD IN
FROM THE WEST INTO THE WEEKEND...THOUGH THE FRONT WILL LOITER
NEARBY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
UPDATE...MINOR CHANGES TO ACCOUNT FOR CURRENT OBSERVATIONAL
TRENDS. ASOS EQUIPMENT AROUND THE HUDSON VALLEY ARE JUST NOW
STARTING TO DETECT PCPN...DESPITE THE RADAR PRESENTATION. EXPECT
THAT MUCH OF THE PCPN THIS MORNING WILL BE VERY LIGHT OR NOT AT
ALL...WITH THE BETTER CHANCE LATER THIS AFTERNOON WITH SHOWERS ON
THE COLD FRONT ITSELF. HAVE ADJUSTED POP TO SHOW THIS TREND.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT...CURRENTLY BACK ACROSS THE
ERN GREAT LAKES...WILL PUSH TOWARDS THE AREA TODAY. SLY TO SWLY
FLOW AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL ALLOW SRN NH AND PARTS OF THE
INTERIOR OF WRN ME TO WARM TO NEAR NORMAL. WINDS OFF THE WATER
HOWEVER WILL LIKELY KEEP COASTAL ME BELOW NORMAL.

MORE OR LESS MOISTURE STARVED...QPF AMOUNTS ARE LIGHT...AND BEST
CHANCE FOR GREATER THAN 0.1 INCH WILL BE CONFINED TO THE HIGHER
TERRAIN. AIR MASS IS DRY ENOUGH THAT MOST PCPN SHOULD FALL AS
SN...THOUGH A MIX WITH RA ACROSS SRN ZONES IS POSSIBLE DURING THE
DAY.

ALONG THE FRONT...ESPECIALLY NRN ZONES...THE ISALLOBARIC COMPONENT
OF THE WIND MAY HELP TO PRODUCE A BRIEF PERIOD OF STRONGER
GUSTS...NEAR 35-40 MPH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM TUESDAY/...
FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA TONIGHT...WITH LOW PRES PULLING N THRU
QUEBEC. WHAT MOISTURE REMAINS TRAPPED IN THE CYCLONIC FLOW ON THE
BACKSIDE WILL BE FORCED OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN AND RESULT IN AREAS
OF SHSN CONTINUING INTO TUE. A COUPLE INCHES OF ACCUMULATION IS
POSSIBLE FOR NRN ZONES.

ATMOSPHERE REMAINS MORE OR LESS MIXED OVERNIGHT...KEEPING TEMPS ON
THE MILDER SIDE. COLDEST AIR WILL DELAY UNTIL TUE TO ARRIVE...SO
TEMPS MAY ACTUALLY BE ABLE TO CLIMB TOWARDS 40 NEAR THE COAST WITH
SOME SUNNY SKIES. ACROSS THE FAR INTERIOR TEMPS MAY STRUGGLE FOR
FREEZING HOWEVER...AS COLD FRONT WILL HAVE ALREADY WORKED INTO
THOSE AREAS.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST TO THE SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND COASTLINE. ANY PRECIPITATION WITH THIS FEATURE SHOULD
REMAIN SOUTH OF THE NEW HAMPSHIRE STATE LINE WHILE COLD AIR
CONTINUES TO SPILL INTO THE REGION. AS THE LOW MOVES EAST IT WILL
STRENGTHEN AND COMBINE WITH HIGH PRESSURE APPROACHING FROM THE
WEST TO PRODUCE SOME STRONGER WINDS ON WEDNESDAY... THOUGH GUSTS
SHOULD STAY WELL BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA... ONLY IN THE 20 TO 30
MPH RANGE. IT WILL MAKE IT FEEL COLDER THOUGH AS TEMPERATURES
STRUGGLE TO RISE OUT OF THE 30S.

HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS TO THE EAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT. EXPECT A WARMING
TREND TO COMMENCE ON THURSDAY WITH SOUTHWEST FLOW DEVELOPING
THROUGH THE LOW LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE. A WARM FRONT WILL FORM
PRIMARILY TO OUR WEST... BUT COULD EXTEND EASTWARD INTO NEW
HAMPSHIRE AND NORTHERN MAINE ON THURSDAY AND AID IN THE PRODUCTION
OF SOME LIGHT RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS.

UPPER TROUGH AXIS CROSSES THE AREA ON FRIDAY THOUGH MOST OF THE
FORCING STAYS TO THE NORTH. EXPECT A CHANCE OF SHOWERS ON FRIDAY
WITH TEMPERATURES REACHING THEIR WARMEST LEVELS OF THE SEASON SO
FAR. READINGS IN THE 50S WILL BE WIDESPREAD WITH SOME 60 DEGREE
READINGS POSSIBLE IN SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE BEFORE COLDER AIR
ARRIVES FRIDAY NIGHT.

SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA LATE FRIDAY BUT WILL STALL
SOMEWHERE OFFSHORE. BOTH GFS AND ECMWF NOW IN AGREEMENT THAT UPPER
TROUGH WILL GENERATE SURFACE LOW PRESSURE OVER THE OHIO RIVER
VALLEY FRIDAY NIGHT AND TRACK NEAR SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND ON
SATURDAY. NEW HAMPSHIRE AND MAINE WOULD BE ON THE COLD SIDE OF
THIS LOW TRACK... AND THUS THERE IS A CHANCE THAT PRECIPITATION
FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY COULD FALL AS SNOW. IT MAY BE DIFFICULT
TO GET ENOUGH COLD AIR AT THE SURFACE FOR SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION.

&&

.AVIATION /10Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
SHORT TERM...COLD FRONT WILL PUSH TOWARDS THE AREA TODAY. FOR THE
MOST PART THIS SYSTEM WILL BE MOISTURE STARVED...AND THUS DO NOT
EXPECT MUCH IN THE WAY OF SHOWERS FOR MOST TERMINALS. GREATEST
CHANCE FOR A PERIOD OF MVFR OR LOWER SHRASN WILL BE AT KLEB AND
KHIE LATE THIS MORNING THRU THE EVENING. OTHERWISE EXPECT JUST A
BROKEN DECK OF MVFR CIGS TO TRANSITION ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA
TODAY. GUSTY SWLY BECOMING WLY WINDS WILL PICK UP BEHIND THE
FRONT. THIS WILL PROLONG UPSLOPE SHSN NEAR KHIE INTO TUE.

LONG TERM...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY WITH STRENGTHENING
NORTHWEST WINDS. HIGH PRESSURE CROSSES THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
COULD SEE MVFR OR IFR CONDITIONS THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY AS SHOWERY
WEATHER IS POSSIBLE.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN ABOVE SCA THRESHOLDS INTO
TONIGHT.

LONG TERM...INCREASING PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN STRENGTHENING
OFFSHORE LOW AND HIGH PRESSURE MOVING IN FROM THE WEST WILL ALLOW
NORTHWEST WINDS TO STRENGTHEN ON WEDNESDAY. GUSTS TO 25 OR 30 KT
ARE POSSIBLE AND WILL DIMINISH WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH HIGH PRESSURE
CRESTING OVER THE GULF OF MAINE.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM EDT TUESDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...LEGRO
SHORT TERM...LEGRO
LONG TERM...KIMBLE
AVIATION...KIMBLE/LEGRO
MARINE...KIMBLE/LEGRO




000
FXUS61 KGYX 300738
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
338 AM EDT MON MAR 30 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM
THE WEST TODAY. AFTER THE FRONT CROSSES THE AREA...HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE ON THURSDAY AS A WARM FRONT
APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTHWEST. A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH
THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL TRY TO BUILD IN
FROM THE WEST INTO THE WEEKEND...THOUGH THE FRONT WILL LOITER
NEARBY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /TODAY/...
A COLD FRONT...CURRENTLY BACK ACROSS THE ERN GREAT LAKES...WILL
PUSH TOWARDS THE AREA TODAY. SLY TO SWLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE FRONT
WILL ALLOW SRN NH AND PARTS OF THE INTERIOR OF WRN ME TO WARM TO
NEAR NORMAL. WINDS OFF THE WATER HOWEVER WILL LIKELY KEEP COASTAL
ME BELOW NORMAL.

MORE OR LESS MOISTURE STARVED...QPF AMOUNTS ARE LIGHT...AND BEST
CHANCE FOR GREATER THAN 0.1 INCH WILL BE CONFINED TO THE HIGHER
TERRAIN. AIR MASS IS DRY ENOUGH THAT MOST PCPN SHOULD FALL AS
SN...THOUGH A MIX WITH RA ACROSS SRN ZONES IS POSSIBLE DURING THE
DAY.

ALONG THE FRONT...ESPECIALLY NRN ZONES...THE ISALLOBARIC COMPONENT
OF THE WIND MAY HELP TO PRODUCE A BRIEF PERIOD OF STRONGER
GUSTS...NEAR 35-40 MPH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA TONIGHT...WITH LOW PRES PULLING N THRU
QUEBEC. WHAT MOISTURE REMAINS TRAPPED IN THE CYCLONIC FLOW ON THE
BACKSIDE WILL BE FORCED OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN AND RESULT IN AREAS
OF SHSN CONTINUING INTO TUE. A COUPLE INCHES OF ACCUMULATION IS
POSSIBLE FOR NRN ZONES.

ATMOSPHERE REMAINS MORE OR LESS MIXED OVERNIGHT...KEEPING TEMPS ON
THE MILDER SIDE. COLDEST AIR WILL DELAY UNTIL TUE TO ARRIVE...SO
TEMPS MAY ACTUALLY BE ABLE TO CLIMB TOWARDS 40 NEAR THE COAST WITH
SOME SUNNY SKIES. ACROSS THE FAR INTERIOR TEMPS MAY STRUGGLE FOR
FREEZING HOWEVER...AS COLD FRONT WILL HAVE ALREADY WORKED INTO
THOSE AREAS.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST TO THE SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND COASTLINE. ANY PRECIPITATION WITH THIS FEATURE SHOULD
REMAIN SOUTH OF THE NEW HAMPSHIRE STATE LINE WHILE COLD AIR
CONTINUES TO SPILL INTO THE REGION. AS THE LOW MOVES EAST IT WILL
STRENGTHEN AND COMBINE WITH HIGH PRESSURE APPROACHING FROM THE
WEST TO PRODUCE SOME STRONGER WINDS ON WEDNESDAY... THOUGH GUSTS
SHOULD STAY WELL BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA... ONLY IN THE 20 TO 30
MPH RANGE. IT WILL MAKE IT FEEL COLDER THOUGH AS TEMPERATURES
STRUGGLE TO RISE OUT OF THE 30S.

HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS TO THE EAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT. EXPECT A WARMING
TREND TO COMMENCE ON THURSDAY WITH SOUTHWEST FLOW DEVELOPING
THROUGH THE LOW LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE. A WARM FRONT WILL FORM
PRIMARILY TO OUR WEST... BUT COULD EXTEND EASTWARD INTO NEW
HAMPSHIRE AND NORTHERN MAINE ON THURSDAY AND AID IN THE PRODUCTION
OF SOME LIGHT RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS.

UPPER TROUGH AXIS CROSSES THE AREA ON FRIDAY THOUGH MOST OF THE
FORCING STAYS TO THE NORTH. EXPECT A CHANCE OF SHOWERS ON FRIDAY
WITH TEMPERATURES REACHING THEIR WARMEST LEVELS OF THE SEASON SO
FAR. READINGS IN THE 50S WILL BE WIDESPREAD WITH SOME 60 DEGREE
READINGS POSSIBLE IN SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE BEFORE COLDER AIR
ARRIVES FRIDAY NIGHT.

SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA LATE FRIDAY BUT WILL STALL
SOMEWHERE OFFSHORE. BOTH GFS AND ECMWF NOW IN AGREEMENT THAT UPPER
TROUGH WILL GENERATE SURFACE LOW PRESSURE OVER THE OHIO RIVER
VALLEY FRIDAY NIGHT AND TRACK NEAR SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND ON
SATURDAY. NEW HAMPSHIRE AND MAINE WOULD BE ON THE COLD SIDE OF
THIS LOW TRACK... AND THUS THERE IS A CHANCE THAT PRECIPITATION
FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY COULD FALL AS SNOW. IT MAY BE DIFFICULT
TO GET ENOUGH COLD AIR AT THE SURFACE FOR SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
SHORT TERM...COLD FRONT WILL PUSH TOWARDS THE AREA TODAY. FOR THE
MOST PART THIS SYSTEM WILL BE MOISTURE STARVED...AND THUS DO NOT
EXPECT MUCH IN THE WAY OF SHOWERS FOR MOST TERMINALS. GREATEST
CHANCE FOR A PERIOD OF MVFR OR LOWER SHRASN WILL BE AT KLEB AND
KHIE LATE THIS MORNING THRU THE EVENING. OTHERWISE EXPECT JUST A
BROKEN DECK OF MVFR CIGS TO TRANSITION ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA
TODAY. GUSTY SWLY BECOMING WLY WINDS WILL PICK UP BEHIND THE
FRONT. THIS WILL PROLONG UPSLOPE SHSN NEAR KHIE INTO TUE.

LONG TERM...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY WITH STRENGTHENING
NORTHWEST WINDS. HIGH PRESSURE CROSSES THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
COULD SEE MVFR OR IFR CONDITIONS THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY AS SHOWERY
WEATHER IS POSSIBLE.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN ABOVE SCA THRESHOLDS INTO
TONIGHT.

LONG TERM...INCREASING PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN STRENGTHENING
OFFSHORE LOW AND HIGH PRESSURE MOVING IN FROM THE WEST WILL ALLOW
NORTHWEST WINDS TO STRENGTHEN ON WEDNESDAY. GUSTS TO 25 OR 30 KT
ARE POSSIBLE AND WILL DIMINISH WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH HIGH PRESSURE
CRESTING OVER THE GULF OF MAINE.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM EDT TUESDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...LEGRO
SHORT TERM...LEGRO





000
FXUS61 KGYX 300738
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
338 AM EDT MON MAR 30 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM
THE WEST TODAY. AFTER THE FRONT CROSSES THE AREA...HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE ON THURSDAY AS A WARM FRONT
APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTHWEST. A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH
THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL TRY TO BUILD IN
FROM THE WEST INTO THE WEEKEND...THOUGH THE FRONT WILL LOITER
NEARBY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /TODAY/...
A COLD FRONT...CURRENTLY BACK ACROSS THE ERN GREAT LAKES...WILL
PUSH TOWARDS THE AREA TODAY. SLY TO SWLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE FRONT
WILL ALLOW SRN NH AND PARTS OF THE INTERIOR OF WRN ME TO WARM TO
NEAR NORMAL. WINDS OFF THE WATER HOWEVER WILL LIKELY KEEP COASTAL
ME BELOW NORMAL.

MORE OR LESS MOISTURE STARVED...QPF AMOUNTS ARE LIGHT...AND BEST
CHANCE FOR GREATER THAN 0.1 INCH WILL BE CONFINED TO THE HIGHER
TERRAIN. AIR MASS IS DRY ENOUGH THAT MOST PCPN SHOULD FALL AS
SN...THOUGH A MIX WITH RA ACROSS SRN ZONES IS POSSIBLE DURING THE
DAY.

ALONG THE FRONT...ESPECIALLY NRN ZONES...THE ISALLOBARIC COMPONENT
OF THE WIND MAY HELP TO PRODUCE A BRIEF PERIOD OF STRONGER
GUSTS...NEAR 35-40 MPH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA TONIGHT...WITH LOW PRES PULLING N THRU
QUEBEC. WHAT MOISTURE REMAINS TRAPPED IN THE CYCLONIC FLOW ON THE
BACKSIDE WILL BE FORCED OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN AND RESULT IN AREAS
OF SHSN CONTINUING INTO TUE. A COUPLE INCHES OF ACCUMULATION IS
POSSIBLE FOR NRN ZONES.

ATMOSPHERE REMAINS MORE OR LESS MIXED OVERNIGHT...KEEPING TEMPS ON
THE MILDER SIDE. COLDEST AIR WILL DELAY UNTIL TUE TO ARRIVE...SO
TEMPS MAY ACTUALLY BE ABLE TO CLIMB TOWARDS 40 NEAR THE COAST WITH
SOME SUNNY SKIES. ACROSS THE FAR INTERIOR TEMPS MAY STRUGGLE FOR
FREEZING HOWEVER...AS COLD FRONT WILL HAVE ALREADY WORKED INTO
THOSE AREAS.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST TO THE SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND COASTLINE. ANY PRECIPITATION WITH THIS FEATURE SHOULD
REMAIN SOUTH OF THE NEW HAMPSHIRE STATE LINE WHILE COLD AIR
CONTINUES TO SPILL INTO THE REGION. AS THE LOW MOVES EAST IT WILL
STRENGTHEN AND COMBINE WITH HIGH PRESSURE APPROACHING FROM THE
WEST TO PRODUCE SOME STRONGER WINDS ON WEDNESDAY... THOUGH GUSTS
SHOULD STAY WELL BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA... ONLY IN THE 20 TO 30
MPH RANGE. IT WILL MAKE IT FEEL COLDER THOUGH AS TEMPERATURES
STRUGGLE TO RISE OUT OF THE 30S.

HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS TO THE EAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT. EXPECT A WARMING
TREND TO COMMENCE ON THURSDAY WITH SOUTHWEST FLOW DEVELOPING
THROUGH THE LOW LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE. A WARM FRONT WILL FORM
PRIMARILY TO OUR WEST... BUT COULD EXTEND EASTWARD INTO NEW
HAMPSHIRE AND NORTHERN MAINE ON THURSDAY AND AID IN THE PRODUCTION
OF SOME LIGHT RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS.

UPPER TROUGH AXIS CROSSES THE AREA ON FRIDAY THOUGH MOST OF THE
FORCING STAYS TO THE NORTH. EXPECT A CHANCE OF SHOWERS ON FRIDAY
WITH TEMPERATURES REACHING THEIR WARMEST LEVELS OF THE SEASON SO
FAR. READINGS IN THE 50S WILL BE WIDESPREAD WITH SOME 60 DEGREE
READINGS POSSIBLE IN SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE BEFORE COLDER AIR
ARRIVES FRIDAY NIGHT.

SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA LATE FRIDAY BUT WILL STALL
SOMEWHERE OFFSHORE. BOTH GFS AND ECMWF NOW IN AGREEMENT THAT UPPER
TROUGH WILL GENERATE SURFACE LOW PRESSURE OVER THE OHIO RIVER
VALLEY FRIDAY NIGHT AND TRACK NEAR SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND ON
SATURDAY. NEW HAMPSHIRE AND MAINE WOULD BE ON THE COLD SIDE OF
THIS LOW TRACK... AND THUS THERE IS A CHANCE THAT PRECIPITATION
FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY COULD FALL AS SNOW. IT MAY BE DIFFICULT
TO GET ENOUGH COLD AIR AT THE SURFACE FOR SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
SHORT TERM...COLD FRONT WILL PUSH TOWARDS THE AREA TODAY. FOR THE
MOST PART THIS SYSTEM WILL BE MOISTURE STARVED...AND THUS DO NOT
EXPECT MUCH IN THE WAY OF SHOWERS FOR MOST TERMINALS. GREATEST
CHANCE FOR A PERIOD OF MVFR OR LOWER SHRASN WILL BE AT KLEB AND
KHIE LATE THIS MORNING THRU THE EVENING. OTHERWISE EXPECT JUST A
BROKEN DECK OF MVFR CIGS TO TRANSITION ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA
TODAY. GUSTY SWLY BECOMING WLY WINDS WILL PICK UP BEHIND THE
FRONT. THIS WILL PROLONG UPSLOPE SHSN NEAR KHIE INTO TUE.

LONG TERM...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY WITH STRENGTHENING
NORTHWEST WINDS. HIGH PRESSURE CROSSES THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
COULD SEE MVFR OR IFR CONDITIONS THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY AS SHOWERY
WEATHER IS POSSIBLE.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN ABOVE SCA THRESHOLDS INTO
TONIGHT.

LONG TERM...INCREASING PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN STRENGTHENING
OFFSHORE LOW AND HIGH PRESSURE MOVING IN FROM THE WEST WILL ALLOW
NORTHWEST WINDS TO STRENGTHEN ON WEDNESDAY. GUSTS TO 25 OR 30 KT
ARE POSSIBLE AND WILL DIMINISH WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH HIGH PRESSURE
CRESTING OVER THE GULF OF MAINE.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM EDT TUESDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...LEGRO
SHORT TERM...LEGRO




000
FXUS61 KGYX 300738
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
338 AM EDT MON MAR 30 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM
THE WEST TODAY. AFTER THE FRONT CROSSES THE AREA...HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE ON THURSDAY AS A WARM FRONT
APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTHWEST. A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH
THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL TRY TO BUILD IN
FROM THE WEST INTO THE WEEKEND...THOUGH THE FRONT WILL LOITER
NEARBY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /TODAY/...
A COLD FRONT...CURRENTLY BACK ACROSS THE ERN GREAT LAKES...WILL
PUSH TOWARDS THE AREA TODAY. SLY TO SWLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE FRONT
WILL ALLOW SRN NH AND PARTS OF THE INTERIOR OF WRN ME TO WARM TO
NEAR NORMAL. WINDS OFF THE WATER HOWEVER WILL LIKELY KEEP COASTAL
ME BELOW NORMAL.

MORE OR LESS MOISTURE STARVED...QPF AMOUNTS ARE LIGHT...AND BEST
CHANCE FOR GREATER THAN 0.1 INCH WILL BE CONFINED TO THE HIGHER
TERRAIN. AIR MASS IS DRY ENOUGH THAT MOST PCPN SHOULD FALL AS
SN...THOUGH A MIX WITH RA ACROSS SRN ZONES IS POSSIBLE DURING THE
DAY.

ALONG THE FRONT...ESPECIALLY NRN ZONES...THE ISALLOBARIC COMPONENT
OF THE WIND MAY HELP TO PRODUCE A BRIEF PERIOD OF STRONGER
GUSTS...NEAR 35-40 MPH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA TONIGHT...WITH LOW PRES PULLING N THRU
QUEBEC. WHAT MOISTURE REMAINS TRAPPED IN THE CYCLONIC FLOW ON THE
BACKSIDE WILL BE FORCED OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN AND RESULT IN AREAS
OF SHSN CONTINUING INTO TUE. A COUPLE INCHES OF ACCUMULATION IS
POSSIBLE FOR NRN ZONES.

ATMOSPHERE REMAINS MORE OR LESS MIXED OVERNIGHT...KEEPING TEMPS ON
THE MILDER SIDE. COLDEST AIR WILL DELAY UNTIL TUE TO ARRIVE...SO
TEMPS MAY ACTUALLY BE ABLE TO CLIMB TOWARDS 40 NEAR THE COAST WITH
SOME SUNNY SKIES. ACROSS THE FAR INTERIOR TEMPS MAY STRUGGLE FOR
FREEZING HOWEVER...AS COLD FRONT WILL HAVE ALREADY WORKED INTO
THOSE AREAS.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST TO THE SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND COASTLINE. ANY PRECIPITATION WITH THIS FEATURE SHOULD
REMAIN SOUTH OF THE NEW HAMPSHIRE STATE LINE WHILE COLD AIR
CONTINUES TO SPILL INTO THE REGION. AS THE LOW MOVES EAST IT WILL
STRENGTHEN AND COMBINE WITH HIGH PRESSURE APPROACHING FROM THE
WEST TO PRODUCE SOME STRONGER WINDS ON WEDNESDAY... THOUGH GUSTS
SHOULD STAY WELL BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA... ONLY IN THE 20 TO 30
MPH RANGE. IT WILL MAKE IT FEEL COLDER THOUGH AS TEMPERATURES
STRUGGLE TO RISE OUT OF THE 30S.

HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS TO THE EAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT. EXPECT A WARMING
TREND TO COMMENCE ON THURSDAY WITH SOUTHWEST FLOW DEVELOPING
THROUGH THE LOW LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE. A WARM FRONT WILL FORM
PRIMARILY TO OUR WEST... BUT COULD EXTEND EASTWARD INTO NEW
HAMPSHIRE AND NORTHERN MAINE ON THURSDAY AND AID IN THE PRODUCTION
OF SOME LIGHT RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS.

UPPER TROUGH AXIS CROSSES THE AREA ON FRIDAY THOUGH MOST OF THE
FORCING STAYS TO THE NORTH. EXPECT A CHANCE OF SHOWERS ON FRIDAY
WITH TEMPERATURES REACHING THEIR WARMEST LEVELS OF THE SEASON SO
FAR. READINGS IN THE 50S WILL BE WIDESPREAD WITH SOME 60 DEGREE
READINGS POSSIBLE IN SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE BEFORE COLDER AIR
ARRIVES FRIDAY NIGHT.

SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA LATE FRIDAY BUT WILL STALL
SOMEWHERE OFFSHORE. BOTH GFS AND ECMWF NOW IN AGREEMENT THAT UPPER
TROUGH WILL GENERATE SURFACE LOW PRESSURE OVER THE OHIO RIVER
VALLEY FRIDAY NIGHT AND TRACK NEAR SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND ON
SATURDAY. NEW HAMPSHIRE AND MAINE WOULD BE ON THE COLD SIDE OF
THIS LOW TRACK... AND THUS THERE IS A CHANCE THAT PRECIPITATION
FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY COULD FALL AS SNOW. IT MAY BE DIFFICULT
TO GET ENOUGH COLD AIR AT THE SURFACE FOR SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
SHORT TERM...COLD FRONT WILL PUSH TOWARDS THE AREA TODAY. FOR THE
MOST PART THIS SYSTEM WILL BE MOISTURE STARVED...AND THUS DO NOT
EXPECT MUCH IN THE WAY OF SHOWERS FOR MOST TERMINALS. GREATEST
CHANCE FOR A PERIOD OF MVFR OR LOWER SHRASN WILL BE AT KLEB AND
KHIE LATE THIS MORNING THRU THE EVENING. OTHERWISE EXPECT JUST A
BROKEN DECK OF MVFR CIGS TO TRANSITION ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA
TODAY. GUSTY SWLY BECOMING WLY WINDS WILL PICK UP BEHIND THE
FRONT. THIS WILL PROLONG UPSLOPE SHSN NEAR KHIE INTO TUE.

LONG TERM...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY WITH STRENGTHENING
NORTHWEST WINDS. HIGH PRESSURE CROSSES THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
COULD SEE MVFR OR IFR CONDITIONS THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY AS SHOWERY
WEATHER IS POSSIBLE.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN ABOVE SCA THRESHOLDS INTO
TONIGHT.

LONG TERM...INCREASING PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN STRENGTHENING
OFFSHORE LOW AND HIGH PRESSURE MOVING IN FROM THE WEST WILL ALLOW
NORTHWEST WINDS TO STRENGTHEN ON WEDNESDAY. GUSTS TO 25 OR 30 KT
ARE POSSIBLE AND WILL DIMINISH WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH HIGH PRESSURE
CRESTING OVER THE GULF OF MAINE.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM EDT TUESDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...LEGRO
SHORT TERM...LEGRO




000
FXUS61 KGYX 300738
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
338 AM EDT MON MAR 30 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM
THE WEST TODAY. AFTER THE FRONT CROSSES THE AREA...HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE ON THURSDAY AS A WARM FRONT
APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTHWEST. A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH
THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL TRY TO BUILD IN
FROM THE WEST INTO THE WEEKEND...THOUGH THE FRONT WILL LOITER
NEARBY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /TODAY/...
A COLD FRONT...CURRENTLY BACK ACROSS THE ERN GREAT LAKES...WILL
PUSH TOWARDS THE AREA TODAY. SLY TO SWLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE FRONT
WILL ALLOW SRN NH AND PARTS OF THE INTERIOR OF WRN ME TO WARM TO
NEAR NORMAL. WINDS OFF THE WATER HOWEVER WILL LIKELY KEEP COASTAL
ME BELOW NORMAL.

MORE OR LESS MOISTURE STARVED...QPF AMOUNTS ARE LIGHT...AND BEST
CHANCE FOR GREATER THAN 0.1 INCH WILL BE CONFINED TO THE HIGHER
TERRAIN. AIR MASS IS DRY ENOUGH THAT MOST PCPN SHOULD FALL AS
SN...THOUGH A MIX WITH RA ACROSS SRN ZONES IS POSSIBLE DURING THE
DAY.

ALONG THE FRONT...ESPECIALLY NRN ZONES...THE ISALLOBARIC COMPONENT
OF THE WIND MAY HELP TO PRODUCE A BRIEF PERIOD OF STRONGER
GUSTS...NEAR 35-40 MPH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA TONIGHT...WITH LOW PRES PULLING N THRU
QUEBEC. WHAT MOISTURE REMAINS TRAPPED IN THE CYCLONIC FLOW ON THE
BACKSIDE WILL BE FORCED OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN AND RESULT IN AREAS
OF SHSN CONTINUING INTO TUE. A COUPLE INCHES OF ACCUMULATION IS
POSSIBLE FOR NRN ZONES.

ATMOSPHERE REMAINS MORE OR LESS MIXED OVERNIGHT...KEEPING TEMPS ON
THE MILDER SIDE. COLDEST AIR WILL DELAY UNTIL TUE TO ARRIVE...SO
TEMPS MAY ACTUALLY BE ABLE TO CLIMB TOWARDS 40 NEAR THE COAST WITH
SOME SUNNY SKIES. ACROSS THE FAR INTERIOR TEMPS MAY STRUGGLE FOR
FREEZING HOWEVER...AS COLD FRONT WILL HAVE ALREADY WORKED INTO
THOSE AREAS.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST TO THE SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND COASTLINE. ANY PRECIPITATION WITH THIS FEATURE SHOULD
REMAIN SOUTH OF THE NEW HAMPSHIRE STATE LINE WHILE COLD AIR
CONTINUES TO SPILL INTO THE REGION. AS THE LOW MOVES EAST IT WILL
STRENGTHEN AND COMBINE WITH HIGH PRESSURE APPROACHING FROM THE
WEST TO PRODUCE SOME STRONGER WINDS ON WEDNESDAY... THOUGH GUSTS
SHOULD STAY WELL BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA... ONLY IN THE 20 TO 30
MPH RANGE. IT WILL MAKE IT FEEL COLDER THOUGH AS TEMPERATURES
STRUGGLE TO RISE OUT OF THE 30S.

HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS TO THE EAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT. EXPECT A WARMING
TREND TO COMMENCE ON THURSDAY WITH SOUTHWEST FLOW DEVELOPING
THROUGH THE LOW LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE. A WARM FRONT WILL FORM
PRIMARILY TO OUR WEST... BUT COULD EXTEND EASTWARD INTO NEW
HAMPSHIRE AND NORTHERN MAINE ON THURSDAY AND AID IN THE PRODUCTION
OF SOME LIGHT RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS.

UPPER TROUGH AXIS CROSSES THE AREA ON FRIDAY THOUGH MOST OF THE
FORCING STAYS TO THE NORTH. EXPECT A CHANCE OF SHOWERS ON FRIDAY
WITH TEMPERATURES REACHING THEIR WARMEST LEVELS OF THE SEASON SO
FAR. READINGS IN THE 50S WILL BE WIDESPREAD WITH SOME 60 DEGREE
READINGS POSSIBLE IN SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE BEFORE COLDER AIR
ARRIVES FRIDAY NIGHT.

SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA LATE FRIDAY BUT WILL STALL
SOMEWHERE OFFSHORE. BOTH GFS AND ECMWF NOW IN AGREEMENT THAT UPPER
TROUGH WILL GENERATE SURFACE LOW PRESSURE OVER THE OHIO RIVER
VALLEY FRIDAY NIGHT AND TRACK NEAR SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND ON
SATURDAY. NEW HAMPSHIRE AND MAINE WOULD BE ON THE COLD SIDE OF
THIS LOW TRACK... AND THUS THERE IS A CHANCE THAT PRECIPITATION
FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY COULD FALL AS SNOW. IT MAY BE DIFFICULT
TO GET ENOUGH COLD AIR AT THE SURFACE FOR SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
SHORT TERM...COLD FRONT WILL PUSH TOWARDS THE AREA TODAY. FOR THE
MOST PART THIS SYSTEM WILL BE MOISTURE STARVED...AND THUS DO NOT
EXPECT MUCH IN THE WAY OF SHOWERS FOR MOST TERMINALS. GREATEST
CHANCE FOR A PERIOD OF MVFR OR LOWER SHRASN WILL BE AT KLEB AND
KHIE LATE THIS MORNING THRU THE EVENING. OTHERWISE EXPECT JUST A
BROKEN DECK OF MVFR CIGS TO TRANSITION ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA
TODAY. GUSTY SWLY BECOMING WLY WINDS WILL PICK UP BEHIND THE
FRONT. THIS WILL PROLONG UPSLOPE SHSN NEAR KHIE INTO TUE.

LONG TERM...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY WITH STRENGTHENING
NORTHWEST WINDS. HIGH PRESSURE CROSSES THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
COULD SEE MVFR OR IFR CONDITIONS THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY AS SHOWERY
WEATHER IS POSSIBLE.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN ABOVE SCA THRESHOLDS INTO
TONIGHT.

LONG TERM...INCREASING PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN STRENGTHENING
OFFSHORE LOW AND HIGH PRESSURE MOVING IN FROM THE WEST WILL ALLOW
NORTHWEST WINDS TO STRENGTHEN ON WEDNESDAY. GUSTS TO 25 OR 30 KT
ARE POSSIBLE AND WILL DIMINISH WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH HIGH PRESSURE
CRESTING OVER THE GULF OF MAINE.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM EDT TUESDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...LEGRO
SHORT TERM...LEGRO





000
FXUS61 KGYX 300055
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
855 PM EDT SUN MAR 29 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE OVERNIGHT AS A COLD FRONT
APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. THE COLD FRONT WILL GRADUALLY CROSS THE
REGION ON MONDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST
TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE ON
THURSDAY AS A WARM FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTHWEST. A COLD
FRONT WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
850 PM UPDATE...JUST MINOR CHANGES MADE TO SKY COVER AND
TEMPERATURES BASED ON METSAT AND CURRENT OBS/TRENDS.

6 PM UPDATE...TEMPS WERE STILL RUNNING QUITE WARM ACROSS THE
AREA...SO INCREASED THEM OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS AND THEN
RADIATIONAL COOLING SHOULD PUT THEM BACK ON TRACK. ALSO...HELD OFF
ANY SHOWER ACTIVITY UNTIL THE EARLY MORNING AS ALL THE MESO MODELS
ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT FOR SHOWER ACTIVITY TO PICK UP AROUND
SUNRISE ACROSS NEW HAMPSHIRE AND MORE MID MORNING FOR MAINE.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST OVER THE REGION
THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE SHIFTING OFFSHORE TONIGHT. A COLD FRONT
APPROACHING FROM THE WEST WILL BRING INCREASING CLOUDS OVERNIGHT
AND THE CHANCE OF A SNOW SHOWER IN NORTHERN AND WESTERN ZONES
TOWARD DAYBREAK MONDAY. EXPECT ANY PRECIP TO BE LIGHT AND SPOTTY.
LOWS WILL RANGE THROUGH THE TEENS NORTH AND LOWER TO MID 20S
SOUTH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT/...
COLD FRONT WILL GRADUALLY PUSH EAST THROUGH THE REGION ON MONDAY.
THE DAY WILL FEATURE MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
NORTH AND RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS IN SOUTHERN AND COASTAL ZONES.
EXPECT LITTLE IF ANY SNOW ACCUMULATION IN SOUTHERN AREAS BUT AN
INCH OR TWO WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE NORTH. HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM
THE UPPER 30S TO THE MID 40S.

COLD FRONT WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE BY MONDAY EVENING. WILL SEE A
CONTINUING CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE NORTH AS UPSLOPE WINDS
KICK IN. ELSEWHERE LOOKING FOR PARTIAL CLEARING AND JUST A CHANCE
OF AN EVENING SNOW SHOWER. LOW TEMPS WILL RANGE THROUGH THE 20S TO
NEAR 30.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AFTER A LONG WINTER OF COLD AIR ITS NICE TO SEE THE CORE OF THE
HEMISPHERIC COLD AIR HAS RETREATED TO BAFFIN ISLAND. THIS LEAVES
THE OVERALL PATTERN AS FAIRLY ZONAL THROUGH NORTH AMERICA...
ALTHOUGH WE STILL HANG ONTO A BIT OF OUR EAST COAST TROUGH. A
SERIES OF DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE THROUGH THIS FLOW OVER THE NEXT
WEEK AS THE GENERALLY PROGRESSIVE PATTERN CONTINUES.

AFTER A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT, TUESDAY WILL SEE
US RETURN TO OUR FAVORITE POST-FRONTAL PATTERN WITH UPSLOPE SNOW
SHOWERS IN THE MOUNTAINS.. COLD AIR ADVECTION AND NORTHWESTERLY
WINDS. THE APRIL SUN WILL MAKE THIS DAY CONSIDERABLY MILDER THAN
THE PATTERN WOULD SUGGEST BUT NEVERTHELESS TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN BELOW NORMAL WITH HIGHS AROUND 40 AT THE SEACOAST AND 30S
INLAND. WINDS MAY GUST TO 25 TO 30 MPH IN THE MORNING... BUT THE
GENERALLY WEAKER PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL MEAN WINDS WILL DECREASE
QUICKLY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

WEDNESDAY A WEAK SYSTEM WILL PASS TO OUR SOUTH... BRINING SOME
CLOUDS TO SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND YORK COUNTY MAINE. FROM THERE
WE TRY TO BRING IN SOME WEAK RIDGING OVERNIGHT INTO THURSDAY. AS
THE SURFACE RIDGE CRESTS TO THE SOUTH ON THURSDAY SOUTHERLY FLOW
WILL BRING US SOME WARM AIR WITH TEMPERATURES REACHING THE 50S
SOUTH TO 40S NORTH UNDER MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES.

ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL MOVE OUT OF THE CANADIAN PRAIRIES FOR LATE
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. STILL QUITE A BIT OF SPREAD ON THE
TIMING...WITH SHOWERS ARRIVING AS EARLY AS THURSDAY NIGHT OR AS
LATE AS FRIDAY AFTERNOON. WHAT IS CLEAR IS THAT FRIDAY IS LIKELY
TO BE A WET DAY AS A LOW TRACKS TO THE NORTH AND DRAGS ANOTHER
COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION.

&&

.AVIATION /01Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
SHORT TERM...
00Z UPDATE...COLD FRONT THAT IS PUSHING INTO THE
AREA WILL BRING SOME LOWER CEILING DECKS STARTING MONDAY MORNING.
IT LOOKS LIKE THERE WILL BE SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS THAT COULD
BRING VISIBILITIES/CEILINGS DOWN A BIT LOWER...BUT CONDITIONS
SHOULD NOT DROP BELOW MVFR...WITH THE ONLY EXCEPTION BEING IN THE
MOUNTAINS...WHERE SNOW SHOWERS MAY BRING BRIEF PERIODS OF IFR
CONDITIONS. THE FRONT PUSHES OFFSHORE ON MONDAY EVENING AND
CONDITIONS WILL RETURN TO VFR...HOWEVER UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS WILL
LINGER IN THE MOUNTAINS WHERE BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR TO IFR
CONDITIONS COULD BE POSSIBLE INTO TUESDAY MORNING.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...VFR TONIGHT. AREAS OF MVFR VSBY/CIGS ON
MONDAY....IMPROVING TO VFR MONDAY NIGHT.

LONG TERM... VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE FIRST PART OF THE WEEK
DECREASING TO MVFR SHOWERS ON THURSDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SCA`S WILL BE NEEDED AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND WILL
GO THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.

LONG TERM...WINDS WILL DECREASE TUESDAY MORNING BEHIND THE FRONT
AND WILL REMAIN BELOW SCA THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 4 AM MONDAY TO 8 AM EDT TUESDAY FOR
     ANZ150>154.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...KISTNER
AVIATION...KISTNER





000
FXUS61 KGYX 300055
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
855 PM EDT SUN MAR 29 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE OVERNIGHT AS A COLD FRONT
APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. THE COLD FRONT WILL GRADUALLY CROSS THE
REGION ON MONDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST
TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE ON
THURSDAY AS A WARM FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTHWEST. A COLD
FRONT WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
850 PM UPDATE...JUST MINOR CHANGES MADE TO SKY COVER AND
TEMPERATURES BASED ON METSAT AND CURRENT OBS/TRENDS.

6 PM UPDATE...TEMPS WERE STILL RUNNING QUITE WARM ACROSS THE
AREA...SO INCREASED THEM OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS AND THEN
RADIATIONAL COOLING SHOULD PUT THEM BACK ON TRACK. ALSO...HELD OFF
ANY SHOWER ACTIVITY UNTIL THE EARLY MORNING AS ALL THE MESO MODELS
ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT FOR SHOWER ACTIVITY TO PICK UP AROUND
SUNRISE ACROSS NEW HAMPSHIRE AND MORE MID MORNING FOR MAINE.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST OVER THE REGION
THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE SHIFTING OFFSHORE TONIGHT. A COLD FRONT
APPROACHING FROM THE WEST WILL BRING INCREASING CLOUDS OVERNIGHT
AND THE CHANCE OF A SNOW SHOWER IN NORTHERN AND WESTERN ZONES
TOWARD DAYBREAK MONDAY. EXPECT ANY PRECIP TO BE LIGHT AND SPOTTY.
LOWS WILL RANGE THROUGH THE TEENS NORTH AND LOWER TO MID 20S
SOUTH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT/...
COLD FRONT WILL GRADUALLY PUSH EAST THROUGH THE REGION ON MONDAY.
THE DAY WILL FEATURE MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
NORTH AND RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS IN SOUTHERN AND COASTAL ZONES.
EXPECT LITTLE IF ANY SNOW ACCUMULATION IN SOUTHERN AREAS BUT AN
INCH OR TWO WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE NORTH. HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM
THE UPPER 30S TO THE MID 40S.

COLD FRONT WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE BY MONDAY EVENING. WILL SEE A
CONTINUING CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE NORTH AS UPSLOPE WINDS
KICK IN. ELSEWHERE LOOKING FOR PARTIAL CLEARING AND JUST A CHANCE
OF AN EVENING SNOW SHOWER. LOW TEMPS WILL RANGE THROUGH THE 20S TO
NEAR 30.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AFTER A LONG WINTER OF COLD AIR ITS NICE TO SEE THE CORE OF THE
HEMISPHERIC COLD AIR HAS RETREATED TO BAFFIN ISLAND. THIS LEAVES
THE OVERALL PATTERN AS FAIRLY ZONAL THROUGH NORTH AMERICA...
ALTHOUGH WE STILL HANG ONTO A BIT OF OUR EAST COAST TROUGH. A
SERIES OF DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE THROUGH THIS FLOW OVER THE NEXT
WEEK AS THE GENERALLY PROGRESSIVE PATTERN CONTINUES.

AFTER A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT, TUESDAY WILL SEE
US RETURN TO OUR FAVORITE POST-FRONTAL PATTERN WITH UPSLOPE SNOW
SHOWERS IN THE MOUNTAINS.. COLD AIR ADVECTION AND NORTHWESTERLY
WINDS. THE APRIL SUN WILL MAKE THIS DAY CONSIDERABLY MILDER THAN
THE PATTERN WOULD SUGGEST BUT NEVERTHELESS TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN BELOW NORMAL WITH HIGHS AROUND 40 AT THE SEACOAST AND 30S
INLAND. WINDS MAY GUST TO 25 TO 30 MPH IN THE MORNING... BUT THE
GENERALLY WEAKER PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL MEAN WINDS WILL DECREASE
QUICKLY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

WEDNESDAY A WEAK SYSTEM WILL PASS TO OUR SOUTH... BRINING SOME
CLOUDS TO SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND YORK COUNTY MAINE. FROM THERE
WE TRY TO BRING IN SOME WEAK RIDGING OVERNIGHT INTO THURSDAY. AS
THE SURFACE RIDGE CRESTS TO THE SOUTH ON THURSDAY SOUTHERLY FLOW
WILL BRING US SOME WARM AIR WITH TEMPERATURES REACHING THE 50S
SOUTH TO 40S NORTH UNDER MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES.

ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL MOVE OUT OF THE CANADIAN PRAIRIES FOR LATE
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. STILL QUITE A BIT OF SPREAD ON THE
TIMING...WITH SHOWERS ARRIVING AS EARLY AS THURSDAY NIGHT OR AS
LATE AS FRIDAY AFTERNOON. WHAT IS CLEAR IS THAT FRIDAY IS LIKELY
TO BE A WET DAY AS A LOW TRACKS TO THE NORTH AND DRAGS ANOTHER
COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION.

&&

.AVIATION /01Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
SHORT TERM...
00Z UPDATE...COLD FRONT THAT IS PUSHING INTO THE
AREA WILL BRING SOME LOWER CEILING DECKS STARTING MONDAY MORNING.
IT LOOKS LIKE THERE WILL BE SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS THAT COULD
BRING VISIBILITIES/CEILINGS DOWN A BIT LOWER...BUT CONDITIONS
SHOULD NOT DROP BELOW MVFR...WITH THE ONLY EXCEPTION BEING IN THE
MOUNTAINS...WHERE SNOW SHOWERS MAY BRING BRIEF PERIODS OF IFR
CONDITIONS. THE FRONT PUSHES OFFSHORE ON MONDAY EVENING AND
CONDITIONS WILL RETURN TO VFR...HOWEVER UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS WILL
LINGER IN THE MOUNTAINS WHERE BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR TO IFR
CONDITIONS COULD BE POSSIBLE INTO TUESDAY MORNING.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...VFR TONIGHT. AREAS OF MVFR VSBY/CIGS ON
MONDAY....IMPROVING TO VFR MONDAY NIGHT.

LONG TERM... VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE FIRST PART OF THE WEEK
DECREASING TO MVFR SHOWERS ON THURSDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SCA`S WILL BE NEEDED AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND WILL
GO THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.

LONG TERM...WINDS WILL DECREASE TUESDAY MORNING BEHIND THE FRONT
AND WILL REMAIN BELOW SCA THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 4 AM MONDAY TO 8 AM EDT TUESDAY FOR
     ANZ150>154.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...KISTNER
AVIATION...KISTNER




000
FXUS61 KGYX 300055
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
855 PM EDT SUN MAR 29 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE OVERNIGHT AS A COLD FRONT
APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. THE COLD FRONT WILL GRADUALLY CROSS THE
REGION ON MONDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST
TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE ON
THURSDAY AS A WARM FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTHWEST. A COLD
FRONT WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
850 PM UPDATE...JUST MINOR CHANGES MADE TO SKY COVER AND
TEMPERATURES BASED ON METSAT AND CURRENT OBS/TRENDS.

6 PM UPDATE...TEMPS WERE STILL RUNNING QUITE WARM ACROSS THE
AREA...SO INCREASED THEM OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS AND THEN
RADIATIONAL COOLING SHOULD PUT THEM BACK ON TRACK. ALSO...HELD OFF
ANY SHOWER ACTIVITY UNTIL THE EARLY MORNING AS ALL THE MESO MODELS
ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT FOR SHOWER ACTIVITY TO PICK UP AROUND
SUNRISE ACROSS NEW HAMPSHIRE AND MORE MID MORNING FOR MAINE.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST OVER THE REGION
THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE SHIFTING OFFSHORE TONIGHT. A COLD FRONT
APPROACHING FROM THE WEST WILL BRING INCREASING CLOUDS OVERNIGHT
AND THE CHANCE OF A SNOW SHOWER IN NORTHERN AND WESTERN ZONES
TOWARD DAYBREAK MONDAY. EXPECT ANY PRECIP TO BE LIGHT AND SPOTTY.
LOWS WILL RANGE THROUGH THE TEENS NORTH AND LOWER TO MID 20S
SOUTH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT/...
COLD FRONT WILL GRADUALLY PUSH EAST THROUGH THE REGION ON MONDAY.
THE DAY WILL FEATURE MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
NORTH AND RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS IN SOUTHERN AND COASTAL ZONES.
EXPECT LITTLE IF ANY SNOW ACCUMULATION IN SOUTHERN AREAS BUT AN
INCH OR TWO WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE NORTH. HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM
THE UPPER 30S TO THE MID 40S.

COLD FRONT WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE BY MONDAY EVENING. WILL SEE A
CONTINUING CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE NORTH AS UPSLOPE WINDS
KICK IN. ELSEWHERE LOOKING FOR PARTIAL CLEARING AND JUST A CHANCE
OF AN EVENING SNOW SHOWER. LOW TEMPS WILL RANGE THROUGH THE 20S TO
NEAR 30.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AFTER A LONG WINTER OF COLD AIR ITS NICE TO SEE THE CORE OF THE
HEMISPHERIC COLD AIR HAS RETREATED TO BAFFIN ISLAND. THIS LEAVES
THE OVERALL PATTERN AS FAIRLY ZONAL THROUGH NORTH AMERICA...
ALTHOUGH WE STILL HANG ONTO A BIT OF OUR EAST COAST TROUGH. A
SERIES OF DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE THROUGH THIS FLOW OVER THE NEXT
WEEK AS THE GENERALLY PROGRESSIVE PATTERN CONTINUES.

AFTER A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT, TUESDAY WILL SEE
US RETURN TO OUR FAVORITE POST-FRONTAL PATTERN WITH UPSLOPE SNOW
SHOWERS IN THE MOUNTAINS.. COLD AIR ADVECTION AND NORTHWESTERLY
WINDS. THE APRIL SUN WILL MAKE THIS DAY CONSIDERABLY MILDER THAN
THE PATTERN WOULD SUGGEST BUT NEVERTHELESS TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN BELOW NORMAL WITH HIGHS AROUND 40 AT THE SEACOAST AND 30S
INLAND. WINDS MAY GUST TO 25 TO 30 MPH IN THE MORNING... BUT THE
GENERALLY WEAKER PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL MEAN WINDS WILL DECREASE
QUICKLY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

WEDNESDAY A WEAK SYSTEM WILL PASS TO OUR SOUTH... BRINING SOME
CLOUDS TO SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND YORK COUNTY MAINE. FROM THERE
WE TRY TO BRING IN SOME WEAK RIDGING OVERNIGHT INTO THURSDAY. AS
THE SURFACE RIDGE CRESTS TO THE SOUTH ON THURSDAY SOUTHERLY FLOW
WILL BRING US SOME WARM AIR WITH TEMPERATURES REACHING THE 50S
SOUTH TO 40S NORTH UNDER MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES.

ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL MOVE OUT OF THE CANADIAN PRAIRIES FOR LATE
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. STILL QUITE A BIT OF SPREAD ON THE
TIMING...WITH SHOWERS ARRIVING AS EARLY AS THURSDAY NIGHT OR AS
LATE AS FRIDAY AFTERNOON. WHAT IS CLEAR IS THAT FRIDAY IS LIKELY
TO BE A WET DAY AS A LOW TRACKS TO THE NORTH AND DRAGS ANOTHER
COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION.

&&

.AVIATION /01Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
SHORT TERM...
00Z UPDATE...COLD FRONT THAT IS PUSHING INTO THE
AREA WILL BRING SOME LOWER CEILING DECKS STARTING MONDAY MORNING.
IT LOOKS LIKE THERE WILL BE SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS THAT COULD
BRING VISIBILITIES/CEILINGS DOWN A BIT LOWER...BUT CONDITIONS
SHOULD NOT DROP BELOW MVFR...WITH THE ONLY EXCEPTION BEING IN THE
MOUNTAINS...WHERE SNOW SHOWERS MAY BRING BRIEF PERIODS OF IFR
CONDITIONS. THE FRONT PUSHES OFFSHORE ON MONDAY EVENING AND
CONDITIONS WILL RETURN TO VFR...HOWEVER UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS WILL
LINGER IN THE MOUNTAINS WHERE BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR TO IFR
CONDITIONS COULD BE POSSIBLE INTO TUESDAY MORNING.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...VFR TONIGHT. AREAS OF MVFR VSBY/CIGS ON
MONDAY....IMPROVING TO VFR MONDAY NIGHT.

LONG TERM... VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE FIRST PART OF THE WEEK
DECREASING TO MVFR SHOWERS ON THURSDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SCA`S WILL BE NEEDED AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND WILL
GO THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.

LONG TERM...WINDS WILL DECREASE TUESDAY MORNING BEHIND THE FRONT
AND WILL REMAIN BELOW SCA THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 4 AM MONDAY TO 8 AM EDT TUESDAY FOR
     ANZ150>154.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...KISTNER
AVIATION...KISTNER




000
FXUS61 KGYX 300055
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
855 PM EDT SUN MAR 29 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE OVERNIGHT AS A COLD FRONT
APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. THE COLD FRONT WILL GRADUALLY CROSS THE
REGION ON MONDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST
TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE ON
THURSDAY AS A WARM FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTHWEST. A COLD
FRONT WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
850 PM UPDATE...JUST MINOR CHANGES MADE TO SKY COVER AND
TEMPERATURES BASED ON METSAT AND CURRENT OBS/TRENDS.

6 PM UPDATE...TEMPS WERE STILL RUNNING QUITE WARM ACROSS THE
AREA...SO INCREASED THEM OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS AND THEN
RADIATIONAL COOLING SHOULD PUT THEM BACK ON TRACK. ALSO...HELD OFF
ANY SHOWER ACTIVITY UNTIL THE EARLY MORNING AS ALL THE MESO MODELS
ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT FOR SHOWER ACTIVITY TO PICK UP AROUND
SUNRISE ACROSS NEW HAMPSHIRE AND MORE MID MORNING FOR MAINE.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST OVER THE REGION
THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE SHIFTING OFFSHORE TONIGHT. A COLD FRONT
APPROACHING FROM THE WEST WILL BRING INCREASING CLOUDS OVERNIGHT
AND THE CHANCE OF A SNOW SHOWER IN NORTHERN AND WESTERN ZONES
TOWARD DAYBREAK MONDAY. EXPECT ANY PRECIP TO BE LIGHT AND SPOTTY.
LOWS WILL RANGE THROUGH THE TEENS NORTH AND LOWER TO MID 20S
SOUTH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT/...
COLD FRONT WILL GRADUALLY PUSH EAST THROUGH THE REGION ON MONDAY.
THE DAY WILL FEATURE MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
NORTH AND RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS IN SOUTHERN AND COASTAL ZONES.
EXPECT LITTLE IF ANY SNOW ACCUMULATION IN SOUTHERN AREAS BUT AN
INCH OR TWO WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE NORTH. HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM
THE UPPER 30S TO THE MID 40S.

COLD FRONT WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE BY MONDAY EVENING. WILL SEE A
CONTINUING CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE NORTH AS UPSLOPE WINDS
KICK IN. ELSEWHERE LOOKING FOR PARTIAL CLEARING AND JUST A CHANCE
OF AN EVENING SNOW SHOWER. LOW TEMPS WILL RANGE THROUGH THE 20S TO
NEAR 30.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AFTER A LONG WINTER OF COLD AIR ITS NICE TO SEE THE CORE OF THE
HEMISPHERIC COLD AIR HAS RETREATED TO BAFFIN ISLAND. THIS LEAVES
THE OVERALL PATTERN AS FAIRLY ZONAL THROUGH NORTH AMERICA...
ALTHOUGH WE STILL HANG ONTO A BIT OF OUR EAST COAST TROUGH. A
SERIES OF DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE THROUGH THIS FLOW OVER THE NEXT
WEEK AS THE GENERALLY PROGRESSIVE PATTERN CONTINUES.

AFTER A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT, TUESDAY WILL SEE
US RETURN TO OUR FAVORITE POST-FRONTAL PATTERN WITH UPSLOPE SNOW
SHOWERS IN THE MOUNTAINS.. COLD AIR ADVECTION AND NORTHWESTERLY
WINDS. THE APRIL SUN WILL MAKE THIS DAY CONSIDERABLY MILDER THAN
THE PATTERN WOULD SUGGEST BUT NEVERTHELESS TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN BELOW NORMAL WITH HIGHS AROUND 40 AT THE SEACOAST AND 30S
INLAND. WINDS MAY GUST TO 25 TO 30 MPH IN THE MORNING... BUT THE
GENERALLY WEAKER PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL MEAN WINDS WILL DECREASE
QUICKLY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

WEDNESDAY A WEAK SYSTEM WILL PASS TO OUR SOUTH... BRINING SOME
CLOUDS TO SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND YORK COUNTY MAINE. FROM THERE
WE TRY TO BRING IN SOME WEAK RIDGING OVERNIGHT INTO THURSDAY. AS
THE SURFACE RIDGE CRESTS TO THE SOUTH ON THURSDAY SOUTHERLY FLOW
WILL BRING US SOME WARM AIR WITH TEMPERATURES REACHING THE 50S
SOUTH TO 40S NORTH UNDER MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES.

ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL MOVE OUT OF THE CANADIAN PRAIRIES FOR LATE
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. STILL QUITE A BIT OF SPREAD ON THE
TIMING...WITH SHOWERS ARRIVING AS EARLY AS THURSDAY NIGHT OR AS
LATE AS FRIDAY AFTERNOON. WHAT IS CLEAR IS THAT FRIDAY IS LIKELY
TO BE A WET DAY AS A LOW TRACKS TO THE NORTH AND DRAGS ANOTHER
COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION.

&&

.AVIATION /01Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
SHORT TERM...
00Z UPDATE...COLD FRONT THAT IS PUSHING INTO THE
AREA WILL BRING SOME LOWER CEILING DECKS STARTING MONDAY MORNING.
IT LOOKS LIKE THERE WILL BE SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS THAT COULD
BRING VISIBILITIES/CEILINGS DOWN A BIT LOWER...BUT CONDITIONS
SHOULD NOT DROP BELOW MVFR...WITH THE ONLY EXCEPTION BEING IN THE
MOUNTAINS...WHERE SNOW SHOWERS MAY BRING BRIEF PERIODS OF IFR
CONDITIONS. THE FRONT PUSHES OFFSHORE ON MONDAY EVENING AND
CONDITIONS WILL RETURN TO VFR...HOWEVER UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS WILL
LINGER IN THE MOUNTAINS WHERE BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR TO IFR
CONDITIONS COULD BE POSSIBLE INTO TUESDAY MORNING.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...VFR TONIGHT. AREAS OF MVFR VSBY/CIGS ON
MONDAY....IMPROVING TO VFR MONDAY NIGHT.

LONG TERM... VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE FIRST PART OF THE WEEK
DECREASING TO MVFR SHOWERS ON THURSDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SCA`S WILL BE NEEDED AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND WILL
GO THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.

LONG TERM...WINDS WILL DECREASE TUESDAY MORNING BEHIND THE FRONT
AND WILL REMAIN BELOW SCA THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 4 AM MONDAY TO 8 AM EDT TUESDAY FOR
     ANZ150>154.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...KISTNER
AVIATION...KISTNER





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