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000
FXUS64 KHGX 071128
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
628 AM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015

.DISCUSSION...
12Z TAF DISCUSSION IN AVIATION SECTION.

&&

.AVIATION...
MORNING RADAR MOSAIC SHOWS A FEW PASSING SHRA BUT NOTHING THAT IS
IMPACTING ANY TERMINALS. WILL MENTION VCSH FOR KLBX/LGLS FOR ANY
ACTIVITY THAT COMES OFF THE GULF.

CIGS THIS MORNING ARE MAINLY VFR EXCEPT FOR MVFR FOR
KCLL/KUTS/KCXO. KCLL HAD SOME BREIF IFR CIGS BUT THOSE LOOK TO BE
LIFTING. EXPECT VFR CIGS FOR ALL TERMINALS THE REST OF THE DAY.
LOOK FOR A REPEAT OF CIGS FOR TONIGHT INTO WED AM.

WINDS WILL CONTINUE FROM S/SE AND MAY BECOME QUITE GUSTY THIS
AFTERNOON WITH WIND GUSTS ABOVE 20KTS IN A FEW SPOTS. WINDS WILL
REMAIN AROUND 5-10KTS AGAIN OVERNIGHT.

DO NOT EXPECT MUCH CONVECTION THIS AFTERNOON WITH BROAD WEAK
RIDGING ALOFT AND PRECIP WATER VALUES AROUND 1.6 INCHES.

39

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 502 AM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015/

DISCUSSION...
AT 4 THIS MORNING TEMPERATURES WERE STILL IN THE LOWER 80S AT THE
COAST AND UPPER 70S TO AROUND 80 INLAND WITH A LITTLE STRONGER
SOUTHERLY WINDS THAN YDAY. A SMATTERING OF SHOWERS NEAR THE COAST
AROUND MIDNIGHT THROUGH 3 AM HAVE BEEN WANING BUT EXPECT THAT THEY
WILL REDEVELOP TOWARD MORNING.

TODAY EXPECTING THE MOISTURE LEVELS TO CONTINUE TO INCREASE
SLIGHTLY WITH THE HRRR BEING THE MOST AGGRESSIVE WITH THE MOISTURE
RETURN. 1.6-1.75" PW SHOULD BE PRESENT BY AROUND NOON AND WITH
DAYTIME HEATING A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DEVELOP.
NAM SOUNDING SHOWS IT UNCAPPED AT 21Z WITH 2500J/KG AND DCAPE NEAR
1100J/KG BUT THE MOISTURE MAY BE MORE LIMITED. GFS ISN`T AS
UNSTABLE AND APPEARS TO SHOW THE SUBSIDENT WARMING GOING ON AT
700MB AS OF 00Z IN THE CRP SOUNDING AND UA ANALYSIS. WILL CARRY 20
POPS SOUTH THIS MORNING SHIFTING INLAND IN THE AFTERNOON. STORMS
MAY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS OF 25-35KTS IN THE STRONGER ONES THAT DO
FORM. STORM MOTIONS APPEARS FAST ENOUGH AND MORE ISOLATED NATURE
OF THE CELLS SHOULD LIMIT ANY FLOODING THREAT. THESE AFTERNOON
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DISSIPATE BY OR BEFORE 6 PM.

A FEW SHOWERS POSSIBLE AGAIN TOMORROW MORNING TOWARD THE COAST BUT
DRIER ATMOSPHERE SHOULD BE OVERHEAD WHICH WILL LIKELY LEAD TO
HIGHER AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WITH NO RAIN EXPECTED. THE BROAD
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING OVER THE GULF LIFTS NORTH AND STRENGTHENS
WEDNESDAY THEN EXPANDS BACK TO THE WEST BLANKETING MS/LA/TX BY
FRI. A WEAK UPPER S/W BOUNCING ALONG THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE RIDGE
MOVES OUT OF LA INTO TX FRIDAY WITH EASTERLY FLOW PICKING UP SOME
OF POOL OF DEEPER MOISTURE OVER LA/NC GULF AND SPREADING IT INTO
SETX FRIDAY. IF THE CAP ISN`T TOO STRONG THIS MAY BE THE DAY WITH
THE HIGHEST RAIN CHANCES FOR THE WEEK.

AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES THIS WEEK SHOULD BE AT NORMAL OR ABOVE BY
A FEW DEGREES AND MINS WELL ABOVE NORMAL SO COMBINED WITH THE HIGH
DEWPOINTS THIS WILL KEEP THE HEAT INDEX READINGS EACH DAY IN THE
95-103 DEGREE RANGE. TROPICS ARE QUIET AND SHOULD REMAIN SO
THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY AND MORE LIKELY TUESDAY. CARIBBEAN
MOISTURE DOES LOOK TO SURGE UP INTO THE GULF NEXT TUESDAY.
45

MARINE...
A TIGHTER PRESSURE GRADIENT THIS MORNING HAS ALLOWED FOR WINDS
AROUND 15 KTS IN OFFSHORE AREAS WITH SEAS AROUND 4-5FT. CAUTION
FLAGS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE AFTERNOON AS EXPECT WINDS TO REMAIN
AROUND 15KTS FOR MUCH OF THE UPPER TX COAST. CAUTIONS MAY BE
NEEDED INTO TONIGHT AND WED MORNING UNTIL THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
WEAKENS THRUSDAY INTO FRIDAY. SEAS SHOULD REMAIN AROUND 3-4FT NEAR
SHORE AND 4-5FT OFFSHORE GOING INTO THE END OF THE WEEK. BY THE
WEEKEND WINDS SHOULD BE DOWN TO AROUND 10 KNOTS WITH SEAS CLOSER
TO 3FT.

39

$$

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      93  77  94  75  93 /  20   0  10  10  10
HOUSTON (IAH)              93  78  94  76  92 /  20   0  10  10  10
GALVESTON (GLS)            90  82  90  81  90 /  20  20  10  10  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 5 PM CDT THIS
     AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO
     THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM
     FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM...WATERS
     FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH
     ISLAND TO FREEPORT OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...45
AVIATION/MARINE...39





000
FXUS64 KHGX 071128
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
628 AM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015

.DISCUSSION...
12Z TAF DISCUSSION IN AVIATION SECTION.

&&

.AVIATION...
MORNING RADAR MOSAIC SHOWS A FEW PASSING SHRA BUT NOTHING THAT IS
IMPACTING ANY TERMINALS. WILL MENTION VCSH FOR KLBX/LGLS FOR ANY
ACTIVITY THAT COMES OFF THE GULF.

CIGS THIS MORNING ARE MAINLY VFR EXCEPT FOR MVFR FOR
KCLL/KUTS/KCXO. KCLL HAD SOME BREIF IFR CIGS BUT THOSE LOOK TO BE
LIFTING. EXPECT VFR CIGS FOR ALL TERMINALS THE REST OF THE DAY.
LOOK FOR A REPEAT OF CIGS FOR TONIGHT INTO WED AM.

WINDS WILL CONTINUE FROM S/SE AND MAY BECOME QUITE GUSTY THIS
AFTERNOON WITH WIND GUSTS ABOVE 20KTS IN A FEW SPOTS. WINDS WILL
REMAIN AROUND 5-10KTS AGAIN OVERNIGHT.

DO NOT EXPECT MUCH CONVECTION THIS AFTERNOON WITH BROAD WEAK
RIDGING ALOFT AND PRECIP WATER VALUES AROUND 1.6 INCHES.

39

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 502 AM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015/

DISCUSSION...
AT 4 THIS MORNING TEMPERATURES WERE STILL IN THE LOWER 80S AT THE
COAST AND UPPER 70S TO AROUND 80 INLAND WITH A LITTLE STRONGER
SOUTHERLY WINDS THAN YDAY. A SMATTERING OF SHOWERS NEAR THE COAST
AROUND MIDNIGHT THROUGH 3 AM HAVE BEEN WANING BUT EXPECT THAT THEY
WILL REDEVELOP TOWARD MORNING.

TODAY EXPECTING THE MOISTURE LEVELS TO CONTINUE TO INCREASE
SLIGHTLY WITH THE HRRR BEING THE MOST AGGRESSIVE WITH THE MOISTURE
RETURN. 1.6-1.75" PW SHOULD BE PRESENT BY AROUND NOON AND WITH
DAYTIME HEATING A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DEVELOP.
NAM SOUNDING SHOWS IT UNCAPPED AT 21Z WITH 2500J/KG AND DCAPE NEAR
1100J/KG BUT THE MOISTURE MAY BE MORE LIMITED. GFS ISN`T AS
UNSTABLE AND APPEARS TO SHOW THE SUBSIDENT WARMING GOING ON AT
700MB AS OF 00Z IN THE CRP SOUNDING AND UA ANALYSIS. WILL CARRY 20
POPS SOUTH THIS MORNING SHIFTING INLAND IN THE AFTERNOON. STORMS
MAY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS OF 25-35KTS IN THE STRONGER ONES THAT DO
FORM. STORM MOTIONS APPEARS FAST ENOUGH AND MORE ISOLATED NATURE
OF THE CELLS SHOULD LIMIT ANY FLOODING THREAT. THESE AFTERNOON
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DISSIPATE BY OR BEFORE 6 PM.

A FEW SHOWERS POSSIBLE AGAIN TOMORROW MORNING TOWARD THE COAST BUT
DRIER ATMOSPHERE SHOULD BE OVERHEAD WHICH WILL LIKELY LEAD TO
HIGHER AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WITH NO RAIN EXPECTED. THE BROAD
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING OVER THE GULF LIFTS NORTH AND STRENGTHENS
WEDNESDAY THEN EXPANDS BACK TO THE WEST BLANKETING MS/LA/TX BY
FRI. A WEAK UPPER S/W BOUNCING ALONG THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE RIDGE
MOVES OUT OF LA INTO TX FRIDAY WITH EASTERLY FLOW PICKING UP SOME
OF POOL OF DEEPER MOISTURE OVER LA/NC GULF AND SPREADING IT INTO
SETX FRIDAY. IF THE CAP ISN`T TOO STRONG THIS MAY BE THE DAY WITH
THE HIGHEST RAIN CHANCES FOR THE WEEK.

AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES THIS WEEK SHOULD BE AT NORMAL OR ABOVE BY
A FEW DEGREES AND MINS WELL ABOVE NORMAL SO COMBINED WITH THE HIGH
DEWPOINTS THIS WILL KEEP THE HEAT INDEX READINGS EACH DAY IN THE
95-103 DEGREE RANGE. TROPICS ARE QUIET AND SHOULD REMAIN SO
THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY AND MORE LIKELY TUESDAY. CARIBBEAN
MOISTURE DOES LOOK TO SURGE UP INTO THE GULF NEXT TUESDAY.
45

MARINE...
A TIGHTER PRESSURE GRADIENT THIS MORNING HAS ALLOWED FOR WINDS
AROUND 15 KTS IN OFFSHORE AREAS WITH SEAS AROUND 4-5FT. CAUTION
FLAGS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE AFTERNOON AS EXPECT WINDS TO REMAIN
AROUND 15KTS FOR MUCH OF THE UPPER TX COAST. CAUTIONS MAY BE
NEEDED INTO TONIGHT AND WED MORNING UNTIL THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
WEAKENS THRUSDAY INTO FRIDAY. SEAS SHOULD REMAIN AROUND 3-4FT NEAR
SHORE AND 4-5FT OFFSHORE GOING INTO THE END OF THE WEEK. BY THE
WEEKEND WINDS SHOULD BE DOWN TO AROUND 10 KNOTS WITH SEAS CLOSER
TO 3FT.

39

$$

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      93  77  94  75  93 /  20   0  10  10  10
HOUSTON (IAH)              93  78  94  76  92 /  20   0  10  10  10
GALVESTON (GLS)            90  82  90  81  90 /  20  20  10  10  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 5 PM CDT THIS
     AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO
     THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM
     FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM...WATERS
     FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH
     ISLAND TO FREEPORT OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...45
AVIATION/MARINE...39




000
FXUS64 KHGX 071002
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
502 AM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015

.DISCUSSION...
AT 4 THIS MORNING TEMPERATURES WERE STILL IN THE LOWER 80S AT THE
COAST AND UPPER 70S TO AROUND 80 INLAND WITH A LITTLE STRONGER
SOUTHERLY WINDS THAN YDAY. A SMATTERING OF SHOWERS NEAR THE COAST
AROUND MIDNIGHT THROUGH 3 AM HAVE BEEN WANING BUT EXPECT THAT THEY
WILL REDEVELOP TOWARD MORNING.

TODAY EXPECTING THE MOISTURE LEVELS TO CONTINUE TO INCREASE
SLIGHTLY WITH THE HRRR BEING THE MOST AGGRESSIVE WITH THE MOISTURE
RETURN. 1.6-1.75" PW SHOULD BE PRESENT BY AROUND NOON AND WITH
DAYTIME HEATING A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DEVELOP.
NAM SOUNDING SHOWS IT UNCAPPED AT 21Z WITH 2500J/KG AND DCAPE NEAR
1100J/KG BUT THE MOISTURE MAY BE MORE LIMITED. GFS ISN`T AS
UNSTABLE AND APPEARS TO SHOW THE SUBSIDENT WARMING GOING ON AT
700MB AS OF 00Z IN THE CRP SOUNDING AND UA ANALYSIS. WILL CARRY 20
POPS SOUTH THIS MORNING SHIFTING INLAND IN THE AFTERNOON. STORMS
MAY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS OF 25-35KTS IN THE STRONGER ONES THAT DO
FORM. STORM MOTIONS APPEARS FAST ENOUGH AND MORE ISOLATED NATURE
OF THE CELLS SHOULD LIMIT ANY FLOODING THREAT. THESE AFTERNOON
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DISSIPATE BY OR BEFORE 6 PM.

A FEW SHOWERS POSSIBLE AGAIN TOMORROW MORNING TOWARD THE COAST BUT
DRIER ATMOSPHERE SHOULD BE OVERHEAD WHICH WILL LIKELY LEAD TO
HIGHER AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WITH NO RAIN EXPECTED. THE BROAD
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING OVER THE GULF LIFTS NORTH AND STRENGTHENS
WEDNESDAY THEN EXPANDS BACK TO THE WEST BLANKETING MS/LA/TX BY
FRI. A WEAK UPPER S/W BOUNCING ALONG THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE RIDGE
MOVES OUT OF LA INTO TX FRIDAY WITH EASTERLY FLOW PICKING UP SOME
OF POOL OF DEEPER MOISTURE OVER LA/NC GULF AND SPREADING IT INTO
SETX FRIDAY. IF THE CAP ISN`T TOO STRONG THIS MAY BE THE DAY WITH
THE HIGHEST RAIN CHANCES FOR THE WEEK.

AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES THIS WEEK SHOULD BE AT NORMAL OR ABOVE BY
A FEW DEGREES AND MINS WELL ABOVE NORMAL SO COMBINED WITH THE HIGH
DEWPOINTS THIS WILL KEEP THE HEAT INDEX READINGS EACH DAY IN THE
95-103 DEGREE RANGE. TROPICS ARE QUIET AND SHOULD REMAIN SO
THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY AND MORE LIKELY TUESDAY. CARIBBEAN
MOISTURE DOES LOOK TO SURGE UP INTO THE GULF NEXT TUESDAY.
45

&&
.MARINE...
A TIGHTER PRESSURE GRADIENT THIS MORNING HAS ALLOWED FOR WINDS
AROUND 15 KTS IN OFFSHORE AREAS WITH SEAS AROUND 4-5FT. CAUTION
FLAGS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE AFTERNOON AS EXPECT WINDS TO REMAIN
AROUND 15KTS FOR MUCH OF THE UPPER TX COAST. CAUTIONS MAY BE
NEEDED INTO TONIGHT AND WED MORNING UNTIL THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
WEAKENS THRUSDAY INTO FRIDAY. SEAS SHOULD REMAIN AROUND 3-4FT NEAR
SHORE AND 4-5FT OFFSHORE GOING INTO THE END OF THE WEEK. BY THE
WEEKEND WINDS SHOULD BE DOWN TO AROUND 10 KNOTS WITH SEAS CLOSER
TO 3FT.

39

$$

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      93  77  94  75  93 /  20   0  10  10  10
HOUSTON (IAH)              93  78  94  76  92 /  20   0  10  10  10
GALVESTON (GLS)            90  82  90  81  90 /  20  20  10  10  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA
     SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE
     MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND
     TO FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO
     FREEPORT OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...45
MARINE/AVIATION...39




000
FXUS64 KHGX 071002
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
502 AM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015

.DISCUSSION...
AT 4 THIS MORNING TEMPERATURES WERE STILL IN THE LOWER 80S AT THE
COAST AND UPPER 70S TO AROUND 80 INLAND WITH A LITTLE STRONGER
SOUTHERLY WINDS THAN YDAY. A SMATTERING OF SHOWERS NEAR THE COAST
AROUND MIDNIGHT THROUGH 3 AM HAVE BEEN WANING BUT EXPECT THAT THEY
WILL REDEVELOP TOWARD MORNING.

TODAY EXPECTING THE MOISTURE LEVELS TO CONTINUE TO INCREASE
SLIGHTLY WITH THE HRRR BEING THE MOST AGGRESSIVE WITH THE MOISTURE
RETURN. 1.6-1.75" PW SHOULD BE PRESENT BY AROUND NOON AND WITH
DAYTIME HEATING A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DEVELOP.
NAM SOUNDING SHOWS IT UNCAPPED AT 21Z WITH 2500J/KG AND DCAPE NEAR
1100J/KG BUT THE MOISTURE MAY BE MORE LIMITED. GFS ISN`T AS
UNSTABLE AND APPEARS TO SHOW THE SUBSIDENT WARMING GOING ON AT
700MB AS OF 00Z IN THE CRP SOUNDING AND UA ANALYSIS. WILL CARRY 20
POPS SOUTH THIS MORNING SHIFTING INLAND IN THE AFTERNOON. STORMS
MAY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS OF 25-35KTS IN THE STRONGER ONES THAT DO
FORM. STORM MOTIONS APPEARS FAST ENOUGH AND MORE ISOLATED NATURE
OF THE CELLS SHOULD LIMIT ANY FLOODING THREAT. THESE AFTERNOON
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DISSIPATE BY OR BEFORE 6 PM.

A FEW SHOWERS POSSIBLE AGAIN TOMORROW MORNING TOWARD THE COAST BUT
DRIER ATMOSPHERE SHOULD BE OVERHEAD WHICH WILL LIKELY LEAD TO
HIGHER AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WITH NO RAIN EXPECTED. THE BROAD
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING OVER THE GULF LIFTS NORTH AND STRENGTHENS
WEDNESDAY THEN EXPANDS BACK TO THE WEST BLANKETING MS/LA/TX BY
FRI. A WEAK UPPER S/W BOUNCING ALONG THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE RIDGE
MOVES OUT OF LA INTO TX FRIDAY WITH EASTERLY FLOW PICKING UP SOME
OF POOL OF DEEPER MOISTURE OVER LA/NC GULF AND SPREADING IT INTO
SETX FRIDAY. IF THE CAP ISN`T TOO STRONG THIS MAY BE THE DAY WITH
THE HIGHEST RAIN CHANCES FOR THE WEEK.

AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES THIS WEEK SHOULD BE AT NORMAL OR ABOVE BY
A FEW DEGREES AND MINS WELL ABOVE NORMAL SO COMBINED WITH THE HIGH
DEWPOINTS THIS WILL KEEP THE HEAT INDEX READINGS EACH DAY IN THE
95-103 DEGREE RANGE. TROPICS ARE QUIET AND SHOULD REMAIN SO
THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY AND MORE LIKELY TUESDAY. CARIBBEAN
MOISTURE DOES LOOK TO SURGE UP INTO THE GULF NEXT TUESDAY.
45

&&
.MARINE...
A TIGHTER PRESSURE GRADIENT THIS MORNING HAS ALLOWED FOR WINDS
AROUND 15 KTS IN OFFSHORE AREAS WITH SEAS AROUND 4-5FT. CAUTION
FLAGS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE AFTERNOON AS EXPECT WINDS TO REMAIN
AROUND 15KTS FOR MUCH OF THE UPPER TX COAST. CAUTIONS MAY BE
NEEDED INTO TONIGHT AND WED MORNING UNTIL THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
WEAKENS THRUSDAY INTO FRIDAY. SEAS SHOULD REMAIN AROUND 3-4FT NEAR
SHORE AND 4-5FT OFFSHORE GOING INTO THE END OF THE WEEK. BY THE
WEEKEND WINDS SHOULD BE DOWN TO AROUND 10 KNOTS WITH SEAS CLOSER
TO 3FT.

39

$$

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      93  77  94  75  93 /  20   0  10  10  10
HOUSTON (IAH)              93  78  94  76  92 /  20   0  10  10  10
GALVESTON (GLS)            90  82  90  81  90 /  20  20  10  10  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA
     SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE
     MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND
     TO FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO
     FREEPORT OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...45
MARINE/AVIATION...39





000
FXUS64 KHGX 070556
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1256 AM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015

.UPDATE...
SHOWERS ONGOING ACROSS THE COASTAL AREAS WITH THE SPEED
CONVERGENCE PRESENT. HAVE UPDATED GRIDS AND ZONES FOR THESE.
EXPECT THAT LIGHT SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE OFF AND ON EARLY THIS
MORNING THEN WITH DAYTIME HEATING TRANSITION INLAND.
45

&&


.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1128 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015/

DISCUSSION...

06Z AVIATION...MVFR CEILINGS PRESENT ACROSS SW AREAS (SGR)
AND EXPECT MVFR CEILINGS TO EXPAND NORTHWARD OVERNIGHT. BRIEF IFR
CEILINGS POSSIBLE AT NORTHERN TAF SITES LATE TONIGHT (CLL AND
UTS). EXPECT SIMILAR SOUTHERLY WINDS ON TUE AS WE SAW TODAY...
AROUND 15 KTS INLAND. 33

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      93  77  94  75  92 /  20   0  10  10  10
HOUSTON (IAH)              92  78  94  76  92 /  20  10  10  10  10
GALVESTON (GLS)            90  82  90  80  90 /  20  10  10  10  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 8 AM CDT THIS MORNING
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE
     MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM
     FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM...WATERS
     FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH
     ISLAND TO FREEPORT OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...45





000
FXUS64 KHGX 070556
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1256 AM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015

.UPDATE...
SHOWERS ONGOING ACROSS THE COASTAL AREAS WITH THE SPEED
CONVERGENCE PRESENT. HAVE UPDATED GRIDS AND ZONES FOR THESE.
EXPECT THAT LIGHT SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE OFF AND ON EARLY THIS
MORNING THEN WITH DAYTIME HEATING TRANSITION INLAND.
45

&&


.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1128 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015/

DISCUSSION...

06Z AVIATION...MVFR CEILINGS PRESENT ACROSS SW AREAS (SGR)
AND EXPECT MVFR CEILINGS TO EXPAND NORTHWARD OVERNIGHT. BRIEF IFR
CEILINGS POSSIBLE AT NORTHERN TAF SITES LATE TONIGHT (CLL AND
UTS). EXPECT SIMILAR SOUTHERLY WINDS ON TUE AS WE SAW TODAY...
AROUND 15 KTS INLAND. 33

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      93  77  94  75  92 /  20   0  10  10  10
HOUSTON (IAH)              92  78  94  76  92 /  20  10  10  10  10
GALVESTON (GLS)            90  82  90  80  90 /  20  10  10  10  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 8 AM CDT THIS MORNING
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE
     MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM
     FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM...WATERS
     FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH
     ISLAND TO FREEPORT OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...45




000
FXUS64 KHGX 070556
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1256 AM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015

.UPDATE...
SHOWERS ONGOING ACROSS THE COASTAL AREAS WITH THE SPEED
CONVERGENCE PRESENT. HAVE UPDATED GRIDS AND ZONES FOR THESE.
EXPECT THAT LIGHT SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE OFF AND ON EARLY THIS
MORNING THEN WITH DAYTIME HEATING TRANSITION INLAND.
45

&&


.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1128 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015/

DISCUSSION...

06Z AVIATION...MVFR CEILINGS PRESENT ACROSS SW AREAS (SGR)
AND EXPECT MVFR CEILINGS TO EXPAND NORTHWARD OVERNIGHT. BRIEF IFR
CEILINGS POSSIBLE AT NORTHERN TAF SITES LATE TONIGHT (CLL AND
UTS). EXPECT SIMILAR SOUTHERLY WINDS ON TUE AS WE SAW TODAY...
AROUND 15 KTS INLAND. 33

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      93  77  94  75  92 /  20   0  10  10  10
HOUSTON (IAH)              92  78  94  76  92 /  20  10  10  10  10
GALVESTON (GLS)            90  82  90  80  90 /  20  10  10  10  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 8 AM CDT THIS MORNING
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE
     MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM
     FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM...WATERS
     FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH
     ISLAND TO FREEPORT OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...45




000
FXUS64 KHGX 070556
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1256 AM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015

.UPDATE...
SHOWERS ONGOING ACROSS THE COASTAL AREAS WITH THE SPEED
CONVERGENCE PRESENT. HAVE UPDATED GRIDS AND ZONES FOR THESE.
EXPECT THAT LIGHT SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE OFF AND ON EARLY THIS
MORNING THEN WITH DAYTIME HEATING TRANSITION INLAND.
45

&&


.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1128 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015/

DISCUSSION...

06Z AVIATION...MVFR CEILINGS PRESENT ACROSS SW AREAS (SGR)
AND EXPECT MVFR CEILINGS TO EXPAND NORTHWARD OVERNIGHT. BRIEF IFR
CEILINGS POSSIBLE AT NORTHERN TAF SITES LATE TONIGHT (CLL AND
UTS). EXPECT SIMILAR SOUTHERLY WINDS ON TUE AS WE SAW TODAY...
AROUND 15 KTS INLAND. 33

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      93  77  94  75  92 /  20   0  10  10  10
HOUSTON (IAH)              92  78  94  76  92 /  20  10  10  10  10
GALVESTON (GLS)            90  82  90  80  90 /  20  10  10  10  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 8 AM CDT THIS MORNING
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE
     MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM
     FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM...WATERS
     FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH
     ISLAND TO FREEPORT OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...45





000
FXUS64 KHGX 070428
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1128 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

.DISCUSSION...

06Z AVIATION...MVFR CEILINGS PRESENT ACROSS SW AREAS (SGR)
AND EXPECT MVFR CEILINGS TO EXPAND NORTHWARD OVERNIGHT. BRIEF IFR
CEILINGS POSSIBLE AT NORTHERN TAF SITES LATE TONIGHT (CLL AND
UTS). EXPECT SIMILIAR SOUTHERLY WINDS ON TUE AS WE SAW TODAY...
AROUND 15 KTS INLAND. 33

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      78  93  77  94  75 /  10  10   0  10  10
HOUSTON (IAH)              79  92  78  94  76 /  10  20  10  10  10
GALVESTON (GLS)            83  90  82  90  80 /  10  20  10  10  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 8 AM CDT TUESDAY FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA
     SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE
     MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND
     TO FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO
     FREEPORT OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...33





000
FXUS64 KHGX 070428
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1128 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

.DISCUSSION...

06Z AVIATION...MVFR CEILINGS PRESENT ACROSS SW AREAS (SGR)
AND EXPECT MVFR CEILINGS TO EXPAND NORTHWARD OVERNIGHT. BRIEF IFR
CEILINGS POSSIBLE AT NORTHERN TAF SITES LATE TONIGHT (CLL AND
UTS). EXPECT SIMILIAR SOUTHERLY WINDS ON TUE AS WE SAW TODAY...
AROUND 15 KTS INLAND. 33

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      78  93  77  94  75 /  10  10   0  10  10
HOUSTON (IAH)              79  92  78  94  76 /  10  20  10  10  10
GALVESTON (GLS)            83  90  82  90  80 /  10  20  10  10  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 8 AM CDT TUESDAY FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA
     SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE
     MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND
     TO FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO
     FREEPORT OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...33




000
FXUS64 KHGX 070234
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
934 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

.DISCUSSION...
CORRECTED SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION EFFECTIVE TIMES.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 911 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015/
CURRENT FCST IS ON TRACK. RINSE & REPEAT TOMORROW. 47

610 PM AVIATION...
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL SUBSIDE WITH THE LOSS OF
HEATING AROUND 2Z. EXPECT ANOTHER BREEZY DAY ON TUE. WILL SEE MVFR
CEILINGS AGAIN ACROSS NORTHERN TAFS (CLL, UTS, CXO) LATER TONIGHT
AND EARLY TUE. 33

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      78  93  77  94  75 /  10  10   0  10  10
HOUSTON (IAH)              79  92  78  94  76 /  10  20  10  10  10
GALVESTON (GLS)            83  90  82  90  80 /  10  20  10  10  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 8 AM CDT TUESDAY FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA
     SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE
     MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND
     TO FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO
     FREEPORT OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KHGX 070234
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
934 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

.DISCUSSION...
CORRECTED SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION EFFECTIVE TIMES.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 911 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015/
CURRENT FCST IS ON TRACK. RINSE & REPEAT TOMORROW. 47

610 PM AVIATION...
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL SUBSIDE WITH THE LOSS OF
HEATING AROUND 2Z. EXPECT ANOTHER BREEZY DAY ON TUE. WILL SEE MVFR
CEILINGS AGAIN ACROSS NORTHERN TAFS (CLL, UTS, CXO) LATER TONIGHT
AND EARLY TUE. 33

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      78  93  77  94  75 /  10  10   0  10  10
HOUSTON (IAH)              79  92  78  94  76 /  10  20  10  10  10
GALVESTON (GLS)            83  90  82  90  80 /  10  20  10  10  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 8 AM CDT TUESDAY FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA
     SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE
     MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND
     TO FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO
     FREEPORT OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KHGX 070211
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
911 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

.DISCUSSION...
CURRENT FCST IS ON TRACK. RINSE & REPEAT TOMORROW. 47

&&

.610 PM AVIATION...
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL SUBSIDE WITH THE LOSS OF
HEATING AROUND 2Z. EXPECT ANOTHER BREEZY DAY ON TUE. WILL SEE MVFR
CEILINGS AGAIN ACROSS NORTHERN TAFS (CLL, UTS, CXO) LATER TONIGHT
AND EARLY TUE. 33

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      78  93  77  94  75 /  10  10   0  10  10
HOUSTON (IAH)              79  92  78  94  76 /  10  20  10  10  10
GALVESTON (GLS)            83  90  82  90  80 /  10  20  10  10  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
     THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS
     FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60
     NM...WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT
     20 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM...
     WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KHGX 070211
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
911 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

.DISCUSSION...
CURRENT FCST IS ON TRACK. RINSE & REPEAT TOMORROW. 47

&&

.610 PM AVIATION...
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL SUBSIDE WITH THE LOSS OF
HEATING AROUND 2Z. EXPECT ANOTHER BREEZY DAY ON TUE. WILL SEE MVFR
CEILINGS AGAIN ACROSS NORTHERN TAFS (CLL, UTS, CXO) LATER TONIGHT
AND EARLY TUE. 33

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      78  93  77  94  75 /  10  10   0  10  10
HOUSTON (IAH)              79  92  78  94  76 /  10  20  10  10  10
GALVESTON (GLS)            83  90  82  90  80 /  10  20  10  10  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
     THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS
     FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60
     NM...WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT
     20 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM...
     WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KHGX 070211
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
911 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

.DISCUSSION...
CURRENT FCST IS ON TRACK. RINSE & REPEAT TOMORROW. 47

&&

.610 PM AVIATION...
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL SUBSIDE WITH THE LOSS OF
HEATING AROUND 2Z. EXPECT ANOTHER BREEZY DAY ON TUE. WILL SEE MVFR
CEILINGS AGAIN ACROSS NORTHERN TAFS (CLL, UTS, CXO) LATER TONIGHT
AND EARLY TUE. 33

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      78  93  77  94  75 /  10  10   0  10  10
HOUSTON (IAH)              79  92  78  94  76 /  10  20  10  10  10
GALVESTON (GLS)            83  90  82  90  80 /  10  20  10  10  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
     THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS
     FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60
     NM...WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT
     20 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM...
     WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KHGX 062310
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
610 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

.DISCUSSION...

00Z AVIATION...SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL SUBSIDE WITH THE LOSS OF
HEATING AROUND 2Z. EXPECT ANOTHER BREEZY DAY ON TUE. WILL SEE MVFR
CEILINGS AGAIN ACROSS NORTHERN TAFS (CLL, UTS, CXO) LATER TONIGHT
AND EARLY TUE. 33

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 259 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015/

DISCUSSION...
BENIGN PATTERN WILL REMAIN ESTABLISHED AND BRING NEAR CLIMO
SUMMERTIME CONDITIONS TO THE REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A LARGE
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL INCREASE OVER THE SOUTHEAST U.S. THROUGH
THE END OF THE WEEK AND BUILD ACROSS MUCH OF THE GULF OF
MEXICO/SRN US BY THE WEEKEND. THIS HIGH CENTER WILL BUILD/DEVELOP
WWD INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. ALTHOUGH RAIN CHANCES REMAIN
SPARSE...MODELS CONTINUE TO PAINT LIGHT QPF OVER THE AREA TOMORROW
WITHIN DEEPER MOISTURE FETCH AND WILL KEEP SLGT CHANCE WORDING IN
PLAY FOR THE AFTERNOON. STILL MORE UNCERTAINTY WITH RAIN CHANCES
LATE THIS WEEK AND OVER THE WEEKEND...WITH MODELS SHOWING SOME SEA
BREEZE ACTIVITY FRI AND SAT AFTERNOON. ONCE AGAIN...WILL HANDLE
WITH SLGT CHANCE WORDING FOR NOW. ALL IN ALL...SOMEWHAT QUIET
WEATHER PATTERN WILL REMAIN THE NORM THROUGH AT LEAST THE WEEKEND.

48

MARINE...
ONSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEK. SPEEDS WILL
BE MODERATE...AROUND 15 KNOTS OR 15 TO 20 KNOTS TONIGHT AND
TUESDAY...THEN DIMINISH SOMEWHAT LATER IN THE WEEK AND FOR THE
WEEKEND AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE EASTERN GULF.
SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED LATER
TONIGHT FOR AT LEAST THE SOUTHWEST WATERS 20 TO 60 NM OUT.

46

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      77  92  77  94  75 /  10  10   0  10  10
HOUSTON (IAH)              78  91  78  94  76 /  10  20  10  10  10
GALVESTON (GLS)            81  89  82  90  80 /  10  20  10  10  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
     THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS
     FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60
     NM...WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT
     20 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM...
     WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...33
AVIATION/MARINE...33




000
FXUS64 KHGX 062310
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
610 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

.DISCUSSION...

00Z AVIATION...SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL SUBSIDE WITH THE LOSS OF
HEATING AROUND 2Z. EXPECT ANOTHER BREEZY DAY ON TUE. WILL SEE MVFR
CEILINGS AGAIN ACROSS NORTHERN TAFS (CLL, UTS, CXO) LATER TONIGHT
AND EARLY TUE. 33

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 259 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015/

DISCUSSION...
BENIGN PATTERN WILL REMAIN ESTABLISHED AND BRING NEAR CLIMO
SUMMERTIME CONDITIONS TO THE REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A LARGE
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL INCREASE OVER THE SOUTHEAST U.S. THROUGH
THE END OF THE WEEK AND BUILD ACROSS MUCH OF THE GULF OF
MEXICO/SRN US BY THE WEEKEND. THIS HIGH CENTER WILL BUILD/DEVELOP
WWD INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. ALTHOUGH RAIN CHANCES REMAIN
SPARSE...MODELS CONTINUE TO PAINT LIGHT QPF OVER THE AREA TOMORROW
WITHIN DEEPER MOISTURE FETCH AND WILL KEEP SLGT CHANCE WORDING IN
PLAY FOR THE AFTERNOON. STILL MORE UNCERTAINTY WITH RAIN CHANCES
LATE THIS WEEK AND OVER THE WEEKEND...WITH MODELS SHOWING SOME SEA
BREEZE ACTIVITY FRI AND SAT AFTERNOON. ONCE AGAIN...WILL HANDLE
WITH SLGT CHANCE WORDING FOR NOW. ALL IN ALL...SOMEWHAT QUIET
WEATHER PATTERN WILL REMAIN THE NORM THROUGH AT LEAST THE WEEKEND.

48

MARINE...
ONSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEK. SPEEDS WILL
BE MODERATE...AROUND 15 KNOTS OR 15 TO 20 KNOTS TONIGHT AND
TUESDAY...THEN DIMINISH SOMEWHAT LATER IN THE WEEK AND FOR THE
WEEKEND AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE EASTERN GULF.
SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED LATER
TONIGHT FOR AT LEAST THE SOUTHWEST WATERS 20 TO 60 NM OUT.

46

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      77  92  77  94  75 /  10  10   0  10  10
HOUSTON (IAH)              78  91  78  94  76 /  10  20  10  10  10
GALVESTON (GLS)            81  89  82  90  80 /  10  20  10  10  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
     THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS
     FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60
     NM...WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT
     20 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM...
     WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...33
AVIATION/MARINE...33





000
FXUS64 KHGX 062310
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
610 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

.DISCUSSION...

00Z AVIATION...SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL SUBSIDE WITH THE LOSS OF
HEATING AROUND 2Z. EXPECT ANOTHER BREEZY DAY ON TUE. WILL SEE MVFR
CEILINGS AGAIN ACROSS NORTHERN TAFS (CLL, UTS, CXO) LATER TONIGHT
AND EARLY TUE. 33

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 259 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015/

DISCUSSION...
BENIGN PATTERN WILL REMAIN ESTABLISHED AND BRING NEAR CLIMO
SUMMERTIME CONDITIONS TO THE REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A LARGE
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL INCREASE OVER THE SOUTHEAST U.S. THROUGH
THE END OF THE WEEK AND BUILD ACROSS MUCH OF THE GULF OF
MEXICO/SRN US BY THE WEEKEND. THIS HIGH CENTER WILL BUILD/DEVELOP
WWD INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. ALTHOUGH RAIN CHANCES REMAIN
SPARSE...MODELS CONTINUE TO PAINT LIGHT QPF OVER THE AREA TOMORROW
WITHIN DEEPER MOISTURE FETCH AND WILL KEEP SLGT CHANCE WORDING IN
PLAY FOR THE AFTERNOON. STILL MORE UNCERTAINTY WITH RAIN CHANCES
LATE THIS WEEK AND OVER THE WEEKEND...WITH MODELS SHOWING SOME SEA
BREEZE ACTIVITY FRI AND SAT AFTERNOON. ONCE AGAIN...WILL HANDLE
WITH SLGT CHANCE WORDING FOR NOW. ALL IN ALL...SOMEWHAT QUIET
WEATHER PATTERN WILL REMAIN THE NORM THROUGH AT LEAST THE WEEKEND.

48

MARINE...
ONSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEK. SPEEDS WILL
BE MODERATE...AROUND 15 KNOTS OR 15 TO 20 KNOTS TONIGHT AND
TUESDAY...THEN DIMINISH SOMEWHAT LATER IN THE WEEK AND FOR THE
WEEKEND AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE EASTERN GULF.
SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED LATER
TONIGHT FOR AT LEAST THE SOUTHWEST WATERS 20 TO 60 NM OUT.

46

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      77  92  77  94  75 /  10  10   0  10  10
HOUSTON (IAH)              78  91  78  94  76 /  10  20  10  10  10
GALVESTON (GLS)            81  89  82  90  80 /  10  20  10  10  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
     THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS
     FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60
     NM...WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT
     20 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM...
     WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...33
AVIATION/MARINE...33




000
FXUS64 KHGX 062310
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
610 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

.DISCUSSION...

00Z AVIATION...SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL SUBSIDE WITH THE LOSS OF
HEATING AROUND 2Z. EXPECT ANOTHER BREEZY DAY ON TUE. WILL SEE MVFR
CEILINGS AGAIN ACROSS NORTHERN TAFS (CLL, UTS, CXO) LATER TONIGHT
AND EARLY TUE. 33

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 259 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015/

DISCUSSION...
BENIGN PATTERN WILL REMAIN ESTABLISHED AND BRING NEAR CLIMO
SUMMERTIME CONDITIONS TO THE REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A LARGE
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL INCREASE OVER THE SOUTHEAST U.S. THROUGH
THE END OF THE WEEK AND BUILD ACROSS MUCH OF THE GULF OF
MEXICO/SRN US BY THE WEEKEND. THIS HIGH CENTER WILL BUILD/DEVELOP
WWD INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. ALTHOUGH RAIN CHANCES REMAIN
SPARSE...MODELS CONTINUE TO PAINT LIGHT QPF OVER THE AREA TOMORROW
WITHIN DEEPER MOISTURE FETCH AND WILL KEEP SLGT CHANCE WORDING IN
PLAY FOR THE AFTERNOON. STILL MORE UNCERTAINTY WITH RAIN CHANCES
LATE THIS WEEK AND OVER THE WEEKEND...WITH MODELS SHOWING SOME SEA
BREEZE ACTIVITY FRI AND SAT AFTERNOON. ONCE AGAIN...WILL HANDLE
WITH SLGT CHANCE WORDING FOR NOW. ALL IN ALL...SOMEWHAT QUIET
WEATHER PATTERN WILL REMAIN THE NORM THROUGH AT LEAST THE WEEKEND.

48

MARINE...
ONSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEK. SPEEDS WILL
BE MODERATE...AROUND 15 KNOTS OR 15 TO 20 KNOTS TONIGHT AND
TUESDAY...THEN DIMINISH SOMEWHAT LATER IN THE WEEK AND FOR THE
WEEKEND AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE EASTERN GULF.
SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED LATER
TONIGHT FOR AT LEAST THE SOUTHWEST WATERS 20 TO 60 NM OUT.

46

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      77  92  77  94  75 /  10  10   0  10  10
HOUSTON (IAH)              78  91  78  94  76 /  10  20  10  10  10
GALVESTON (GLS)            81  89  82  90  80 /  10  20  10  10  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
     THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS
     FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60
     NM...WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT
     20 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM...
     WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...33
AVIATION/MARINE...33





000
FXUS64 KHGX 061959
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
259 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

.DISCUSSION...
BENIGN PATTERN WILL REMAIN ESTABLISHED AND BRING NEAR CLIMO
SUMMERTIME CONDITIONS TO THE REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A LARGE
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL INCREASE OVER THE SOUTHEAST U.S. THROUGH
THE END OF THE WEEK AND BUILD ACROSS MUCH OF THE GULF OF
MEXICO/SRN US BY THE WEEKEND. THIS HIGH CENTER WILL BUILD/DEVELOP
WWD INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. ALTHOUGH RAIN CHANCES REMAIN
SPARSE...MODELS CONTINUE TO PAINT LIGHT QPF OVER THE AREA TOMORROW
WITHIN DEEPER MOISTURE FETCH AND WILL KEEP SLGT CHANCE WORDING IN
PLAY FOR THE AFTERNOON. STILL MORE UNCERTAINTY WITH RAIN CHANCES
LATE THIS WEEK AND OVER THE WEEKEND...WITH MODELS SHOWING SOME SEA
BREEZE ACTIVITY FRI AND SAT AFTERNOON. ONCE AGAIN...WILL HANDLE
WITH SLGT CHANCE WORDING FOR NOW. ALL IN ALL...SOMEWHAT QUIET
WEATHER PATTERN WILL REMAIN THE NORM THROUGH AT LEAST THE WEEKEND.

48

&&

MARINE...
ONSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEK. SPEEDS WILL
BE MODERATE...AROUND 15 KNOTS OR 15 TO 20 KNOTS TONIGHT AND
TUESDAY...THEN DIMINISH SOMEWHAT LATER IN THE WEEK AND FOR THE
WEEKEND AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE EASTERN GULF.
SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED LATER
TONIGHT FOR AT LEAST THE SOUTHWEST WATERS 20 TO 60 NM OUT.

46

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1236 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015/

AVIATION...
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWING SCATTERED CUMULUS FIELD WITH SOME CIRRUS
ADVECTING DOWN FROM THE NORTH. VFR CONDITIONS EVERYWHERE BUT WITH
A GUSTY SOUTH WIND. NEXT 24 HOURS SHOULD FOLLOW A SIMILAR CYCLE AS
THE PAST...WTIH DIMINISHING WINDS TONIGHT AND SOME LOWER CIGS
DEVELOPING FOR SGR...CXO...UTS AND CLL. THINK REMAINING AIPORTS
SHOULD STAY VFR ALTHOUGH DID INCLUDE TEMPO MVFR FOR LBX AS THEY
MAY BE ON EDGE OF STRATUS SHIELD. WINDS SHOULD BECOME GUSTY AGAIN
LATE TOMORROW MORNING.

46


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      77  92  77  94  75 /  10  10   0  10  10
HOUSTON (IAH)              78  91  78  94  76 /  10  20  10  10  10
GALVESTON (GLS)            81  89  82  90  80 /  10  20  10  10  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...48





000
FXUS64 KHGX 061959
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
259 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

.DISCUSSION...
BENIGN PATTERN WILL REMAIN ESTABLISHED AND BRING NEAR CLIMO
SUMMERTIME CONDITIONS TO THE REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A LARGE
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL INCREASE OVER THE SOUTHEAST U.S. THROUGH
THE END OF THE WEEK AND BUILD ACROSS MUCH OF THE GULF OF
MEXICO/SRN US BY THE WEEKEND. THIS HIGH CENTER WILL BUILD/DEVELOP
WWD INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. ALTHOUGH RAIN CHANCES REMAIN
SPARSE...MODELS CONTINUE TO PAINT LIGHT QPF OVER THE AREA TOMORROW
WITHIN DEEPER MOISTURE FETCH AND WILL KEEP SLGT CHANCE WORDING IN
PLAY FOR THE AFTERNOON. STILL MORE UNCERTAINTY WITH RAIN CHANCES
LATE THIS WEEK AND OVER THE WEEKEND...WITH MODELS SHOWING SOME SEA
BREEZE ACTIVITY FRI AND SAT AFTERNOON. ONCE AGAIN...WILL HANDLE
WITH SLGT CHANCE WORDING FOR NOW. ALL IN ALL...SOMEWHAT QUIET
WEATHER PATTERN WILL REMAIN THE NORM THROUGH AT LEAST THE WEEKEND.

48

&&

MARINE...
ONSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEK. SPEEDS WILL
BE MODERATE...AROUND 15 KNOTS OR 15 TO 20 KNOTS TONIGHT AND
TUESDAY...THEN DIMINISH SOMEWHAT LATER IN THE WEEK AND FOR THE
WEEKEND AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE EASTERN GULF.
SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED LATER
TONIGHT FOR AT LEAST THE SOUTHWEST WATERS 20 TO 60 NM OUT.

46

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1236 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015/

AVIATION...
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWING SCATTERED CUMULUS FIELD WITH SOME CIRRUS
ADVECTING DOWN FROM THE NORTH. VFR CONDITIONS EVERYWHERE BUT WITH
A GUSTY SOUTH WIND. NEXT 24 HOURS SHOULD FOLLOW A SIMILAR CYCLE AS
THE PAST...WTIH DIMINISHING WINDS TONIGHT AND SOME LOWER CIGS
DEVELOPING FOR SGR...CXO...UTS AND CLL. THINK REMAINING AIPORTS
SHOULD STAY VFR ALTHOUGH DID INCLUDE TEMPO MVFR FOR LBX AS THEY
MAY BE ON EDGE OF STRATUS SHIELD. WINDS SHOULD BECOME GUSTY AGAIN
LATE TOMORROW MORNING.

46


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      77  92  77  94  75 /  10  10   0  10  10
HOUSTON (IAH)              78  91  78  94  76 /  10  20  10  10  10
GALVESTON (GLS)            81  89  82  90  80 /  10  20  10  10  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...48




000
FXUS64 KHGX 061736
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1236 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

.DISCUSSION...
UPDATED AVIATION.

&&

.AVIATION...
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWING SCATTERED CUMULUS FIELD WITH SOME CIRRUS
ADVECTING DOWN FROM THE NORTH. VFR CONDITIONS EVERYWHERE BUT WITH
A GUSTY SOUTH WIND. NEXT 24 HOURS SHOULD FOLLOW A SIMILAR CYCLE AS
THE PAST...WTIH DIMINISHING WINDS TONIGHT AND SOME LOWER CIGS
DEVELOPING FOR SGR...CXO...UTS AND CLL. THINK REMAINING AIPORTS
SHOULD STAY VFR ALTHOUGH DID INCLUDE TEMPO MVFR FOR LBX AS THEY
MAY BE ON EDGE OF STRATUS SHIELD. WINDS SHOULD BECOME GUSTY AGAIN
LATE TOMORROW MORNING. 46

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 959 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2015/

UPDATE...
CURRENT FORECAST ON TRACK. ONLY MODIFIED THE HOURLY GRIDS TO MATCH
OBS AND BETTER REPRESENT CHANGES INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 90S WITH LITTLE OR NO RAIN STILL ON TAP FOR THIS
AFTERNOON. MAIN CONCERN WILL BE HEAT AND HUMIDITY WITH HIS
REACHING INTO THE 100-105F FOR MOST SITES. A FEW SPOTS ALREADY
SEEING HEAT INDICES IN THAT RANGE. DIURNAL MIXING WILL LOWER TDS
THIS AFTERNOON AS TEMPS INCREASE KEEPING HIS ABOVE TRIPLE DIGITS
INTO THE EARLY EVENING.

48

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 358 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2015/

DISCUSSION...
WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY WITH ONLY A FEW
STREAMER SHOWERS POSSIBLE EARLY THIS MORNING. PW VALUES HAVE
FALLEN TO AROUND 1.60 INCHES AND FURTHER DRYING IS EXPECTED THIS
AFTN. THE GRADIENT IS TIGHTER THAN LAST NIGHT AND SFC WINDS HAVE
NOT FULLY DECOUPLED. THE EXTRA MIXING HAS KEPT TEMPS ON THE WARM
SIDE SO A WARM START TO THE DAY IS LIKELY. IT WON`T REQUIRE MUCH
HEATING TO BRING TEMPS INTO THE LOW/MID 90S THIS AFTN.

ON TUESDAY...A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS NORTH
TEXAS. PW VALUES INCREASE TO BETWEEN 1.70 AND 1.80 INCHES BY
AFTERNOON AND CONVECTIVE TEMPS ARE BETWEEN 87-90 DEGREES SO FEEL
AT LEAST SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON TUES AFTN. CONDS
DRY OUT AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY WITH PW VALUES FALLING BACK TO 1.30
INCHES. NAM 12 IS BRINGING A SWATH OF CIRRUS ACROSS THE REGION ON
WEDS AFTN WITH SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPS. THE GFS/ECMWF ARE DRIER AND
A BIT WARMER AND LEANED TOWARD THE WARMER GFS/ECMWF SOLN. HEIGHTS
BEGIN TO BUILD ON THURSDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE OVER FLORIDA INCHES
WESTWARD. CONVECTIVE TEMPS WARM INTO THE MID 90S AND FCST SOUNDINGS
SHOW WEAK CAPPING IN THE 850-700 MB LAYER SO NOT EXPECTING MUCH IN
THE WAY OF SHRA/TSRA.

NOT QUITE SURE WHAT TO MAKE OF FRI/SAT. UPPER LEVEL RIDGING OVER
THE EASTERN U.S. BEGINS TO SHIFT WEST BUT SE TX LOOKS TO BE JUST
FAR ENOUGH SOUTH OF THE CENTER OF THE RIDGE FOR A WEAK DISTURBANCE
TO UNDERCUT THE RIDGE AND HEAD WEST. PW VALUES INCREASE TO BETWEEN
1.8 AND 2.0 INCHES. INITIALLY THOUGHT SUBSIDENCE FROM THE
EXPANDING RIDGE WOULD KEEP THE AREA DRY ON FRI-SUN BUT CONSIDERING
THE HIGH PW CONTENT...DAYTIME HEATING AND THE WEAK DISTURBANCE...
FEEL ITS BEST TO MENTION SLIGHT RAIN CHANCES ON FRI AND SAT. 43

MARINE...
A FEW STREAMER SHOWERS/SPRINKLES POSSIBLE THIS MORNING WITH SSE FLOW RIGHT
AROUND 15 KNOTS. EXPECT THESE WINDS TO CONTINUE TODAY THEN INCREASE SLIGHTLY
TONIGHT AND WILL MOST LIKELY NEED A SCEC. UPPER RIDGING OVER SE U.S. WILL
START EXPANDING WESTWARD BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. THIS SHOULD BACK WINDS
TO THE SE AND ESE BUT LIGHTER BY THURSDAY. WINDS SHOULD DROP OFF OVER THE
COMING WEEKEND AND MAY END UP AT 5 KNOTS OR LESS IF ECMWF TRACKS CORRECTLY
AS SURFACE RIDGING MEANDERS INTO THE UPPER TEXAS COASTAL WATERS SUNDAY NIGHT.
HAVE STRONGLY FAVORED THE ECMWF WINDS AFTER WEDNESDAY.
45

AVIATION...
MIX OF MAINLY VFR AND SOME PATCHY IFR CONDITIONS EARLY THIS MORNING. ST DECK
EXPANDING INTO CLL AREA AND WILL PROBABLY REACH UTS/CXO BY SUNRISE. MAY BE ADDING
VCSH TO GLS TAF IN THE COMING HOUR IF STREAMERS GET ANY MORE ORGANIZED. TODAY
BE VFR WITH RISING CU BASES AND LIGHT TO MODERATE SSE WINDS WITH LLJ ALIGNED FROM
WACO TO AUSTIN TO BROWNSVILLE. RAIN CHANCES LOOK VERY SLIM INDEED BUT CAN`T RULE
OUT 1 OR 2 SHOWERS PROBABLY MORE IN THE SGR/LBX AREAS THAN IAH/HOU. TONIGHT LLJ
RETURNS TO NEARLY THE SAME AREA OR A FEW MILES FURTHER EAST...CLL MAY GET CLOSE
TO LLWS CRITERIA AFTER 03Z. MVFR/IFR CIGS LIKELY AGAIN TONIGHT FOR CLL AND PERHAPS
CXO/UTS.
45

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      93  77  92  77  93 /  10  10  10  10  10
HOUSTON (IAH)              93  78  92  78  93 /   0  10  20  10  10
GALVESTON (GLS)            91  81  90  81  91 /   0  10  20  10  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KHGX 061736
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1236 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

.DISCUSSION...
UPDATED AVIATION.

&&

.AVIATION...
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWING SCATTERED CUMULUS FIELD WITH SOME CIRRUS
ADVECTING DOWN FROM THE NORTH. VFR CONDITIONS EVERYWHERE BUT WITH
A GUSTY SOUTH WIND. NEXT 24 HOURS SHOULD FOLLOW A SIMILAR CYCLE AS
THE PAST...WTIH DIMINISHING WINDS TONIGHT AND SOME LOWER CIGS
DEVELOPING FOR SGR...CXO...UTS AND CLL. THINK REMAINING AIPORTS
SHOULD STAY VFR ALTHOUGH DID INCLUDE TEMPO MVFR FOR LBX AS THEY
MAY BE ON EDGE OF STRATUS SHIELD. WINDS SHOULD BECOME GUSTY AGAIN
LATE TOMORROW MORNING. 46

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 959 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2015/

UPDATE...
CURRENT FORECAST ON TRACK. ONLY MODIFIED THE HOURLY GRIDS TO MATCH
OBS AND BETTER REPRESENT CHANGES INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 90S WITH LITTLE OR NO RAIN STILL ON TAP FOR THIS
AFTERNOON. MAIN CONCERN WILL BE HEAT AND HUMIDITY WITH HIS
REACHING INTO THE 100-105F FOR MOST SITES. A FEW SPOTS ALREADY
SEEING HEAT INDICES IN THAT RANGE. DIURNAL MIXING WILL LOWER TDS
THIS AFTERNOON AS TEMPS INCREASE KEEPING HIS ABOVE TRIPLE DIGITS
INTO THE EARLY EVENING.

48

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 358 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2015/

DISCUSSION...
WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY WITH ONLY A FEW
STREAMER SHOWERS POSSIBLE EARLY THIS MORNING. PW VALUES HAVE
FALLEN TO AROUND 1.60 INCHES AND FURTHER DRYING IS EXPECTED THIS
AFTN. THE GRADIENT IS TIGHTER THAN LAST NIGHT AND SFC WINDS HAVE
NOT FULLY DECOUPLED. THE EXTRA MIXING HAS KEPT TEMPS ON THE WARM
SIDE SO A WARM START TO THE DAY IS LIKELY. IT WON`T REQUIRE MUCH
HEATING TO BRING TEMPS INTO THE LOW/MID 90S THIS AFTN.

ON TUESDAY...A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS NORTH
TEXAS. PW VALUES INCREASE TO BETWEEN 1.70 AND 1.80 INCHES BY
AFTERNOON AND CONVECTIVE TEMPS ARE BETWEEN 87-90 DEGREES SO FEEL
AT LEAST SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON TUES AFTN. CONDS
DRY OUT AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY WITH PW VALUES FALLING BACK TO 1.30
INCHES. NAM 12 IS BRINGING A SWATH OF CIRRUS ACROSS THE REGION ON
WEDS AFTN WITH SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPS. THE GFS/ECMWF ARE DRIER AND
A BIT WARMER AND LEANED TOWARD THE WARMER GFS/ECMWF SOLN. HEIGHTS
BEGIN TO BUILD ON THURSDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE OVER FLORIDA INCHES
WESTWARD. CONVECTIVE TEMPS WARM INTO THE MID 90S AND FCST SOUNDINGS
SHOW WEAK CAPPING IN THE 850-700 MB LAYER SO NOT EXPECTING MUCH IN
THE WAY OF SHRA/TSRA.

NOT QUITE SURE WHAT TO MAKE OF FRI/SAT. UPPER LEVEL RIDGING OVER
THE EASTERN U.S. BEGINS TO SHIFT WEST BUT SE TX LOOKS TO BE JUST
FAR ENOUGH SOUTH OF THE CENTER OF THE RIDGE FOR A WEAK DISTURBANCE
TO UNDERCUT THE RIDGE AND HEAD WEST. PW VALUES INCREASE TO BETWEEN
1.8 AND 2.0 INCHES. INITIALLY THOUGHT SUBSIDENCE FROM THE
EXPANDING RIDGE WOULD KEEP THE AREA DRY ON FRI-SUN BUT CONSIDERING
THE HIGH PW CONTENT...DAYTIME HEATING AND THE WEAK DISTURBANCE...
FEEL ITS BEST TO MENTION SLIGHT RAIN CHANCES ON FRI AND SAT. 43

MARINE...
A FEW STREAMER SHOWERS/SPRINKLES POSSIBLE THIS MORNING WITH SSE FLOW RIGHT
AROUND 15 KNOTS. EXPECT THESE WINDS TO CONTINUE TODAY THEN INCREASE SLIGHTLY
TONIGHT AND WILL MOST LIKELY NEED A SCEC. UPPER RIDGING OVER SE U.S. WILL
START EXPANDING WESTWARD BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. THIS SHOULD BACK WINDS
TO THE SE AND ESE BUT LIGHTER BY THURSDAY. WINDS SHOULD DROP OFF OVER THE
COMING WEEKEND AND MAY END UP AT 5 KNOTS OR LESS IF ECMWF TRACKS CORRECTLY
AS SURFACE RIDGING MEANDERS INTO THE UPPER TEXAS COASTAL WATERS SUNDAY NIGHT.
HAVE STRONGLY FAVORED THE ECMWF WINDS AFTER WEDNESDAY.
45

AVIATION...
MIX OF MAINLY VFR AND SOME PATCHY IFR CONDITIONS EARLY THIS MORNING. ST DECK
EXPANDING INTO CLL AREA AND WILL PROBABLY REACH UTS/CXO BY SUNRISE. MAY BE ADDING
VCSH TO GLS TAF IN THE COMING HOUR IF STREAMERS GET ANY MORE ORGANIZED. TODAY
BE VFR WITH RISING CU BASES AND LIGHT TO MODERATE SSE WINDS WITH LLJ ALIGNED FROM
WACO TO AUSTIN TO BROWNSVILLE. RAIN CHANCES LOOK VERY SLIM INDEED BUT CAN`T RULE
OUT 1 OR 2 SHOWERS PROBABLY MORE IN THE SGR/LBX AREAS THAN IAH/HOU. TONIGHT LLJ
RETURNS TO NEARLY THE SAME AREA OR A FEW MILES FURTHER EAST...CLL MAY GET CLOSE
TO LLWS CRITERIA AFTER 03Z. MVFR/IFR CIGS LIKELY AGAIN TONIGHT FOR CLL AND PERHAPS
CXO/UTS.
45

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      93  77  92  77  93 /  10  10  10  10  10
HOUSTON (IAH)              93  78  92  78  93 /   0  10  20  10  10
GALVESTON (GLS)            91  81  90  81  91 /   0  10  20  10  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KHGX 061736
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1236 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

.DISCUSSION...
UPDATED AVIATION.

&&

.AVIATION...
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWING SCATTERED CUMULUS FIELD WITH SOME CIRRUS
ADVECTING DOWN FROM THE NORTH. VFR CONDITIONS EVERYWHERE BUT WITH
A GUSTY SOUTH WIND. NEXT 24 HOURS SHOULD FOLLOW A SIMILAR CYCLE AS
THE PAST...WTIH DIMINISHING WINDS TONIGHT AND SOME LOWER CIGS
DEVELOPING FOR SGR...CXO...UTS AND CLL. THINK REMAINING AIPORTS
SHOULD STAY VFR ALTHOUGH DID INCLUDE TEMPO MVFR FOR LBX AS THEY
MAY BE ON EDGE OF STRATUS SHIELD. WINDS SHOULD BECOME GUSTY AGAIN
LATE TOMORROW MORNING. 46

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 959 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2015/

UPDATE...
CURRENT FORECAST ON TRACK. ONLY MODIFIED THE HOURLY GRIDS TO MATCH
OBS AND BETTER REPRESENT CHANGES INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 90S WITH LITTLE OR NO RAIN STILL ON TAP FOR THIS
AFTERNOON. MAIN CONCERN WILL BE HEAT AND HUMIDITY WITH HIS
REACHING INTO THE 100-105F FOR MOST SITES. A FEW SPOTS ALREADY
SEEING HEAT INDICES IN THAT RANGE. DIURNAL MIXING WILL LOWER TDS
THIS AFTERNOON AS TEMPS INCREASE KEEPING HIS ABOVE TRIPLE DIGITS
INTO THE EARLY EVENING.

48

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 358 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2015/

DISCUSSION...
WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY WITH ONLY A FEW
STREAMER SHOWERS POSSIBLE EARLY THIS MORNING. PW VALUES HAVE
FALLEN TO AROUND 1.60 INCHES AND FURTHER DRYING IS EXPECTED THIS
AFTN. THE GRADIENT IS TIGHTER THAN LAST NIGHT AND SFC WINDS HAVE
NOT FULLY DECOUPLED. THE EXTRA MIXING HAS KEPT TEMPS ON THE WARM
SIDE SO A WARM START TO THE DAY IS LIKELY. IT WON`T REQUIRE MUCH
HEATING TO BRING TEMPS INTO THE LOW/MID 90S THIS AFTN.

ON TUESDAY...A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS NORTH
TEXAS. PW VALUES INCREASE TO BETWEEN 1.70 AND 1.80 INCHES BY
AFTERNOON AND CONVECTIVE TEMPS ARE BETWEEN 87-90 DEGREES SO FEEL
AT LEAST SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON TUES AFTN. CONDS
DRY OUT AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY WITH PW VALUES FALLING BACK TO 1.30
INCHES. NAM 12 IS BRINGING A SWATH OF CIRRUS ACROSS THE REGION ON
WEDS AFTN WITH SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPS. THE GFS/ECMWF ARE DRIER AND
A BIT WARMER AND LEANED TOWARD THE WARMER GFS/ECMWF SOLN. HEIGHTS
BEGIN TO BUILD ON THURSDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE OVER FLORIDA INCHES
WESTWARD. CONVECTIVE TEMPS WARM INTO THE MID 90S AND FCST SOUNDINGS
SHOW WEAK CAPPING IN THE 850-700 MB LAYER SO NOT EXPECTING MUCH IN
THE WAY OF SHRA/TSRA.

NOT QUITE SURE WHAT TO MAKE OF FRI/SAT. UPPER LEVEL RIDGING OVER
THE EASTERN U.S. BEGINS TO SHIFT WEST BUT SE TX LOOKS TO BE JUST
FAR ENOUGH SOUTH OF THE CENTER OF THE RIDGE FOR A WEAK DISTURBANCE
TO UNDERCUT THE RIDGE AND HEAD WEST. PW VALUES INCREASE TO BETWEEN
1.8 AND 2.0 INCHES. INITIALLY THOUGHT SUBSIDENCE FROM THE
EXPANDING RIDGE WOULD KEEP THE AREA DRY ON FRI-SUN BUT CONSIDERING
THE HIGH PW CONTENT...DAYTIME HEATING AND THE WEAK DISTURBANCE...
FEEL ITS BEST TO MENTION SLIGHT RAIN CHANCES ON FRI AND SAT. 43

MARINE...
A FEW STREAMER SHOWERS/SPRINKLES POSSIBLE THIS MORNING WITH SSE FLOW RIGHT
AROUND 15 KNOTS. EXPECT THESE WINDS TO CONTINUE TODAY THEN INCREASE SLIGHTLY
TONIGHT AND WILL MOST LIKELY NEED A SCEC. UPPER RIDGING OVER SE U.S. WILL
START EXPANDING WESTWARD BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. THIS SHOULD BACK WINDS
TO THE SE AND ESE BUT LIGHTER BY THURSDAY. WINDS SHOULD DROP OFF OVER THE
COMING WEEKEND AND MAY END UP AT 5 KNOTS OR LESS IF ECMWF TRACKS CORRECTLY
AS SURFACE RIDGING MEANDERS INTO THE UPPER TEXAS COASTAL WATERS SUNDAY NIGHT.
HAVE STRONGLY FAVORED THE ECMWF WINDS AFTER WEDNESDAY.
45

AVIATION...
MIX OF MAINLY VFR AND SOME PATCHY IFR CONDITIONS EARLY THIS MORNING. ST DECK
EXPANDING INTO CLL AREA AND WILL PROBABLY REACH UTS/CXO BY SUNRISE. MAY BE ADDING
VCSH TO GLS TAF IN THE COMING HOUR IF STREAMERS GET ANY MORE ORGANIZED. TODAY
BE VFR WITH RISING CU BASES AND LIGHT TO MODERATE SSE WINDS WITH LLJ ALIGNED FROM
WACO TO AUSTIN TO BROWNSVILLE. RAIN CHANCES LOOK VERY SLIM INDEED BUT CAN`T RULE
OUT 1 OR 2 SHOWERS PROBABLY MORE IN THE SGR/LBX AREAS THAN IAH/HOU. TONIGHT LLJ
RETURNS TO NEARLY THE SAME AREA OR A FEW MILES FURTHER EAST...CLL MAY GET CLOSE
TO LLWS CRITERIA AFTER 03Z. MVFR/IFR CIGS LIKELY AGAIN TONIGHT FOR CLL AND PERHAPS
CXO/UTS.
45

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      93  77  92  77  93 /  10  10  10  10  10
HOUSTON (IAH)              93  78  92  78  93 /   0  10  20  10  10
GALVESTON (GLS)            91  81  90  81  91 /   0  10  20  10  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KHGX 061736
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1236 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

.DISCUSSION...
UPDATED AVIATION.

&&

.AVIATION...
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWING SCATTERED CUMULUS FIELD WITH SOME CIRRUS
ADVECTING DOWN FROM THE NORTH. VFR CONDITIONS EVERYWHERE BUT WITH
A GUSTY SOUTH WIND. NEXT 24 HOURS SHOULD FOLLOW A SIMILAR CYCLE AS
THE PAST...WTIH DIMINISHING WINDS TONIGHT AND SOME LOWER CIGS
DEVELOPING FOR SGR...CXO...UTS AND CLL. THINK REMAINING AIPORTS
SHOULD STAY VFR ALTHOUGH DID INCLUDE TEMPO MVFR FOR LBX AS THEY
MAY BE ON EDGE OF STRATUS SHIELD. WINDS SHOULD BECOME GUSTY AGAIN
LATE TOMORROW MORNING. 46

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 959 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2015/

UPDATE...
CURRENT FORECAST ON TRACK. ONLY MODIFIED THE HOURLY GRIDS TO MATCH
OBS AND BETTER REPRESENT CHANGES INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 90S WITH LITTLE OR NO RAIN STILL ON TAP FOR THIS
AFTERNOON. MAIN CONCERN WILL BE HEAT AND HUMIDITY WITH HIS
REACHING INTO THE 100-105F FOR MOST SITES. A FEW SPOTS ALREADY
SEEING HEAT INDICES IN THAT RANGE. DIURNAL MIXING WILL LOWER TDS
THIS AFTERNOON AS TEMPS INCREASE KEEPING HIS ABOVE TRIPLE DIGITS
INTO THE EARLY EVENING.

48

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 358 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2015/

DISCUSSION...
WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY WITH ONLY A FEW
STREAMER SHOWERS POSSIBLE EARLY THIS MORNING. PW VALUES HAVE
FALLEN TO AROUND 1.60 INCHES AND FURTHER DRYING IS EXPECTED THIS
AFTN. THE GRADIENT IS TIGHTER THAN LAST NIGHT AND SFC WINDS HAVE
NOT FULLY DECOUPLED. THE EXTRA MIXING HAS KEPT TEMPS ON THE WARM
SIDE SO A WARM START TO THE DAY IS LIKELY. IT WON`T REQUIRE MUCH
HEATING TO BRING TEMPS INTO THE LOW/MID 90S THIS AFTN.

ON TUESDAY...A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS NORTH
TEXAS. PW VALUES INCREASE TO BETWEEN 1.70 AND 1.80 INCHES BY
AFTERNOON AND CONVECTIVE TEMPS ARE BETWEEN 87-90 DEGREES SO FEEL
AT LEAST SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON TUES AFTN. CONDS
DRY OUT AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY WITH PW VALUES FALLING BACK TO 1.30
INCHES. NAM 12 IS BRINGING A SWATH OF CIRRUS ACROSS THE REGION ON
WEDS AFTN WITH SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPS. THE GFS/ECMWF ARE DRIER AND
A BIT WARMER AND LEANED TOWARD THE WARMER GFS/ECMWF SOLN. HEIGHTS
BEGIN TO BUILD ON THURSDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE OVER FLORIDA INCHES
WESTWARD. CONVECTIVE TEMPS WARM INTO THE MID 90S AND FCST SOUNDINGS
SHOW WEAK CAPPING IN THE 850-700 MB LAYER SO NOT EXPECTING MUCH IN
THE WAY OF SHRA/TSRA.

NOT QUITE SURE WHAT TO MAKE OF FRI/SAT. UPPER LEVEL RIDGING OVER
THE EASTERN U.S. BEGINS TO SHIFT WEST BUT SE TX LOOKS TO BE JUST
FAR ENOUGH SOUTH OF THE CENTER OF THE RIDGE FOR A WEAK DISTURBANCE
TO UNDERCUT THE RIDGE AND HEAD WEST. PW VALUES INCREASE TO BETWEEN
1.8 AND 2.0 INCHES. INITIALLY THOUGHT SUBSIDENCE FROM THE
EXPANDING RIDGE WOULD KEEP THE AREA DRY ON FRI-SUN BUT CONSIDERING
THE HIGH PW CONTENT...DAYTIME HEATING AND THE WEAK DISTURBANCE...
FEEL ITS BEST TO MENTION SLIGHT RAIN CHANCES ON FRI AND SAT. 43

MARINE...
A FEW STREAMER SHOWERS/SPRINKLES POSSIBLE THIS MORNING WITH SSE FLOW RIGHT
AROUND 15 KNOTS. EXPECT THESE WINDS TO CONTINUE TODAY THEN INCREASE SLIGHTLY
TONIGHT AND WILL MOST LIKELY NEED A SCEC. UPPER RIDGING OVER SE U.S. WILL
START EXPANDING WESTWARD BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. THIS SHOULD BACK WINDS
TO THE SE AND ESE BUT LIGHTER BY THURSDAY. WINDS SHOULD DROP OFF OVER THE
COMING WEEKEND AND MAY END UP AT 5 KNOTS OR LESS IF ECMWF TRACKS CORRECTLY
AS SURFACE RIDGING MEANDERS INTO THE UPPER TEXAS COASTAL WATERS SUNDAY NIGHT.
HAVE STRONGLY FAVORED THE ECMWF WINDS AFTER WEDNESDAY.
45

AVIATION...
MIX OF MAINLY VFR AND SOME PATCHY IFR CONDITIONS EARLY THIS MORNING. ST DECK
EXPANDING INTO CLL AREA AND WILL PROBABLY REACH UTS/CXO BY SUNRISE. MAY BE ADDING
VCSH TO GLS TAF IN THE COMING HOUR IF STREAMERS GET ANY MORE ORGANIZED. TODAY
BE VFR WITH RISING CU BASES AND LIGHT TO MODERATE SSE WINDS WITH LLJ ALIGNED FROM
WACO TO AUSTIN TO BROWNSVILLE. RAIN CHANCES LOOK VERY SLIM INDEED BUT CAN`T RULE
OUT 1 OR 2 SHOWERS PROBABLY MORE IN THE SGR/LBX AREAS THAN IAH/HOU. TONIGHT LLJ
RETURNS TO NEARLY THE SAME AREA OR A FEW MILES FURTHER EAST...CLL MAY GET CLOSE
TO LLWS CRITERIA AFTER 03Z. MVFR/IFR CIGS LIKELY AGAIN TONIGHT FOR CLL AND PERHAPS
CXO/UTS.
45

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      93  77  92  77  93 /  10  10  10  10  10
HOUSTON (IAH)              93  78  92  78  93 /   0  10  20  10  10
GALVESTON (GLS)            91  81  90  81  91 /   0  10  20  10  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KHGX 061459
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
959 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

.UPDATE...
CURRENT FORECAST ON TRACK. ONLY MODIFIED THE HOURLY GRIDS TO MATCH
OBS AND BETTER REPRESENT CHANGES INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 90S WITH LITTLE OR NO RAIN STILL ON TAP FOR THIS
AFTERNOON. MAIN CONCERN WILL BE HEAT AND HUMIDITY WITH HIS
REACHING INTO THE 100-105F FOR MOST SITES. A FEW SPOTS ALREADY
SEEING HEAT INDICES IN THAT RANGE. DIURNAL MIXING WILL LOWER TDS
THIS AFTERNOON AS TEMPS INCREASE KEEPING HIS ABOVE TRIPLE DIGITS
INTO THE EARLY EVENING.

48

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 358 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2015/

DISCUSSION...
WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY WITH ONLY A FEW
STREAMER SHOWERS POSSIBLE EARLY THIS MORNING. PW VALUES HAVE
FALLEN TO AROUND 1.60 INCHES AND FURTHER DRYING IS EXPECTED THIS
AFTN. THE GRADIENT IS TIGHTER THAN LAST NIGHT AND SFC WINDS HAVE
NOT FULLY DECOUPLED. THE EXTRA MIXING HAS KEPT TEMPS ON THE WARM
SIDE SO A WARM START TO THE DAY IS LIKELY. IT WON`T REQUIRE MUCH
HEATING TO BRING TEMPS INTO THE LOW/MID 90S THIS AFTN.

ON TUESDAY...A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS NORTH
TEXAS. PW VALUES INCREASE TO BETWEEN 1.70 AND 1.80 INCHES BY
AFTERNOON AND CONVECTIVE TEMPS ARE BETWEEN 87-90 DEGREES SO FEEL
AT LEAST SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON TUES AFTN. CONDS
DRY OUT AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY WITH PW VALUES FALLING BACK TO 1.30
INCHES. NAM 12 IS BRINGING A SWATH OF CIRRUS ACROSS THE REGION ON
WEDS AFTN WITH SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPS. THE GFS/ECMWF ARE DRIER AND
A BIT WARMER AND LEANED TOWARD THE WARMER GFS/ECMWF SOLN. HEIGHTS
BEGIN TO BUILD ON THURSDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE OVER FLORIDA INCHES
WESTWARD. CONVECTIVE TEMPS WARM INTO THE MID 90S AND FCST SOUNDINGS
SHOW WEAK CAPPING IN THE 850-700 MB LAYER SO NOT EXPECTING MUCH IN
THE WAY OF SHRA/TSRA.

NOT QUITE SURE WHAT TO MAKE OF FRI/SAT. UPPER LEVEL RIDGING OVER
THE EASTERN U.S. BEGINS TO SHIFT WEST BUT SE TX LOOKS TO BE JUST
FAR ENOUGH SOUTH OF THE CENTER OF THE RIDGE FOR A WEAK DISTURBANCE
TO UNDERCUT THE RIDGE AND HEAD WEST. PW VALUES INCREASE TO BETWEEN
1.8 AND 2.0 INCHES. INITIALLY THOUGHT SUBSIDENCE FROM THE
EXPANDING RIDGE WOULD KEEP THE AREA DRY ON FRI-SUN BUT CONSIDERING
THE HIGH PW CONTENT...DAYTIME HEATING AND THE WEAK DISTURBANCE...
FEEL ITS BEST TO MENTION SLIGHT RAIN CHANCES ON FRI AND SAT. 43

MARINE...
A FEW STREAMER SHOWERS/SPRINKLES POSSIBLE THIS MORNING WITH SSE FLOW RIGHT
AROUND 15 KNOTS. EXPECT THESE WINDS TO CONTINUE TODAY THEN INCREASE SLIGHTLY
TONIGHT AND WILL MOST LIKELY NEED A SCEC. UPPER RIDGING OVER SE U.S. WILL
START EXPANDING WESTWARD BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. THIS SHOULD BACK WINDS
TO THE SE AND ESE BUT LIGHTER BY THURSDAY. WINDS SHOULD DROP OFF OVER THE
COMING WEEKEND AND MAY END UP AT 5 KNOTS OR LESS IF ECMWF TRACKS CORRECTLY
AS SURFACE RIDGING MEANDERS INTO THE UPPER TEXAS COASTAL WATERS SUNDAY NIGHT.
HAVE STRONGLY FAVORED THE ECMWF WINDS AFTER WEDNESDAY.
45

AVIATION...
MIX OF MAINLY VFR AND SOME PATCHY IFR CONDITIONS EARLY THIS MORNING. ST DECK
EXPANDING INTO CLL AREA AND WILL PROBABLY REACH UTS/CXO BY SUNRISE. MAY BE ADDING
VCSH TO GLS TAF IN THE COMING HOUR IF STREAMERS GET ANY MORE ORGANIZED. TODAY
BE VFR WITH RISING CU BASES AND LIGHT TO MODERATE SSE WINDS WITH LLJ ALIGNED FROM
WACO TO AUSTIN TO BROWNSVILLE. RAIN CHANCES LOOK VERY SLIM INDEED BUT CAN`T RULE
OUT 1 OR 2 SHOWERS PROBABLY MORE IN THE SGR/LBX AREAS THAN IAH/HOU. TONIGHT LLJ
RETURNS TO NEARLY THE SAME AREA OR A FEW MILES FURTHER EAST...CLL MAY GET CLOSE
TO LLWS CRITERIA AFTER 03Z. MVFR/IFR CIGS LIKELY AGAIN TONIGHT FOR CLL AND PERHAPS
CXO/UTS.
45

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      77  92  77  93  74 /  10  10  10  10   0
HOUSTON (IAH)              78  92  78  93  76 /  10  20  10  10   0
GALVESTON (GLS)            81  90  81  91  80 /  10  20  10  10   0

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KHGX 061459
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
959 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

.UPDATE...
CURRENT FORECAST ON TRACK. ONLY MODIFIED THE HOURLY GRIDS TO MATCH
OBS AND BETTER REPRESENT CHANGES INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 90S WITH LITTLE OR NO RAIN STILL ON TAP FOR THIS
AFTERNOON. MAIN CONCERN WILL BE HEAT AND HUMIDITY WITH HIS
REACHING INTO THE 100-105F FOR MOST SITES. A FEW SPOTS ALREADY
SEEING HEAT INDICES IN THAT RANGE. DIURNAL MIXING WILL LOWER TDS
THIS AFTERNOON AS TEMPS INCREASE KEEPING HIS ABOVE TRIPLE DIGITS
INTO THE EARLY EVENING.

48

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 358 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2015/

DISCUSSION...
WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY WITH ONLY A FEW
STREAMER SHOWERS POSSIBLE EARLY THIS MORNING. PW VALUES HAVE
FALLEN TO AROUND 1.60 INCHES AND FURTHER DRYING IS EXPECTED THIS
AFTN. THE GRADIENT IS TIGHTER THAN LAST NIGHT AND SFC WINDS HAVE
NOT FULLY DECOUPLED. THE EXTRA MIXING HAS KEPT TEMPS ON THE WARM
SIDE SO A WARM START TO THE DAY IS LIKELY. IT WON`T REQUIRE MUCH
HEATING TO BRING TEMPS INTO THE LOW/MID 90S THIS AFTN.

ON TUESDAY...A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS NORTH
TEXAS. PW VALUES INCREASE TO BETWEEN 1.70 AND 1.80 INCHES BY
AFTERNOON AND CONVECTIVE TEMPS ARE BETWEEN 87-90 DEGREES SO FEEL
AT LEAST SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON TUES AFTN. CONDS
DRY OUT AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY WITH PW VALUES FALLING BACK TO 1.30
INCHES. NAM 12 IS BRINGING A SWATH OF CIRRUS ACROSS THE REGION ON
WEDS AFTN WITH SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPS. THE GFS/ECMWF ARE DRIER AND
A BIT WARMER AND LEANED TOWARD THE WARMER GFS/ECMWF SOLN. HEIGHTS
BEGIN TO BUILD ON THURSDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE OVER FLORIDA INCHES
WESTWARD. CONVECTIVE TEMPS WARM INTO THE MID 90S AND FCST SOUNDINGS
SHOW WEAK CAPPING IN THE 850-700 MB LAYER SO NOT EXPECTING MUCH IN
THE WAY OF SHRA/TSRA.

NOT QUITE SURE WHAT TO MAKE OF FRI/SAT. UPPER LEVEL RIDGING OVER
THE EASTERN U.S. BEGINS TO SHIFT WEST BUT SE TX LOOKS TO BE JUST
FAR ENOUGH SOUTH OF THE CENTER OF THE RIDGE FOR A WEAK DISTURBANCE
TO UNDERCUT THE RIDGE AND HEAD WEST. PW VALUES INCREASE TO BETWEEN
1.8 AND 2.0 INCHES. INITIALLY THOUGHT SUBSIDENCE FROM THE
EXPANDING RIDGE WOULD KEEP THE AREA DRY ON FRI-SUN BUT CONSIDERING
THE HIGH PW CONTENT...DAYTIME HEATING AND THE WEAK DISTURBANCE...
FEEL ITS BEST TO MENTION SLIGHT RAIN CHANCES ON FRI AND SAT. 43

MARINE...
A FEW STREAMER SHOWERS/SPRINKLES POSSIBLE THIS MORNING WITH SSE FLOW RIGHT
AROUND 15 KNOTS. EXPECT THESE WINDS TO CONTINUE TODAY THEN INCREASE SLIGHTLY
TONIGHT AND WILL MOST LIKELY NEED A SCEC. UPPER RIDGING OVER SE U.S. WILL
START EXPANDING WESTWARD BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. THIS SHOULD BACK WINDS
TO THE SE AND ESE BUT LIGHTER BY THURSDAY. WINDS SHOULD DROP OFF OVER THE
COMING WEEKEND AND MAY END UP AT 5 KNOTS OR LESS IF ECMWF TRACKS CORRECTLY
AS SURFACE RIDGING MEANDERS INTO THE UPPER TEXAS COASTAL WATERS SUNDAY NIGHT.
HAVE STRONGLY FAVORED THE ECMWF WINDS AFTER WEDNESDAY.
45

AVIATION...
MIX OF MAINLY VFR AND SOME PATCHY IFR CONDITIONS EARLY THIS MORNING. ST DECK
EXPANDING INTO CLL AREA AND WILL PROBABLY REACH UTS/CXO BY SUNRISE. MAY BE ADDING
VCSH TO GLS TAF IN THE COMING HOUR IF STREAMERS GET ANY MORE ORGANIZED. TODAY
BE VFR WITH RISING CU BASES AND LIGHT TO MODERATE SSE WINDS WITH LLJ ALIGNED FROM
WACO TO AUSTIN TO BROWNSVILLE. RAIN CHANCES LOOK VERY SLIM INDEED BUT CAN`T RULE
OUT 1 OR 2 SHOWERS PROBABLY MORE IN THE SGR/LBX AREAS THAN IAH/HOU. TONIGHT LLJ
RETURNS TO NEARLY THE SAME AREA OR A FEW MILES FURTHER EAST...CLL MAY GET CLOSE
TO LLWS CRITERIA AFTER 03Z. MVFR/IFR CIGS LIKELY AGAIN TONIGHT FOR CLL AND PERHAPS
CXO/UTS.
45

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      77  92  77  93  74 /  10  10  10  10   0
HOUSTON (IAH)              78  92  78  93  76 /  10  20  10  10   0
GALVESTON (GLS)            81  90  81  91  80 /  10  20  10  10   0

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KHGX 061459
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
959 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

.UPDATE...
CURRENT FORECAST ON TRACK. ONLY MODIFIED THE HOURLY GRIDS TO MATCH
OBS AND BETTER REPRESENT CHANGES INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 90S WITH LITTLE OR NO RAIN STILL ON TAP FOR THIS
AFTERNOON. MAIN CONCERN WILL BE HEAT AND HUMIDITY WITH HIS
REACHING INTO THE 100-105F FOR MOST SITES. A FEW SPOTS ALREADY
SEEING HEAT INDICES IN THAT RANGE. DIURNAL MIXING WILL LOWER TDS
THIS AFTERNOON AS TEMPS INCREASE KEEPING HIS ABOVE TRIPLE DIGITS
INTO THE EARLY EVENING.

48

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 358 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2015/

DISCUSSION...
WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY WITH ONLY A FEW
STREAMER SHOWERS POSSIBLE EARLY THIS MORNING. PW VALUES HAVE
FALLEN TO AROUND 1.60 INCHES AND FURTHER DRYING IS EXPECTED THIS
AFTN. THE GRADIENT IS TIGHTER THAN LAST NIGHT AND SFC WINDS HAVE
NOT FULLY DECOUPLED. THE EXTRA MIXING HAS KEPT TEMPS ON THE WARM
SIDE SO A WARM START TO THE DAY IS LIKELY. IT WON`T REQUIRE MUCH
HEATING TO BRING TEMPS INTO THE LOW/MID 90S THIS AFTN.

ON TUESDAY...A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS NORTH
TEXAS. PW VALUES INCREASE TO BETWEEN 1.70 AND 1.80 INCHES BY
AFTERNOON AND CONVECTIVE TEMPS ARE BETWEEN 87-90 DEGREES SO FEEL
AT LEAST SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON TUES AFTN. CONDS
DRY OUT AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY WITH PW VALUES FALLING BACK TO 1.30
INCHES. NAM 12 IS BRINGING A SWATH OF CIRRUS ACROSS THE REGION ON
WEDS AFTN WITH SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPS. THE GFS/ECMWF ARE DRIER AND
A BIT WARMER AND LEANED TOWARD THE WARMER GFS/ECMWF SOLN. HEIGHTS
BEGIN TO BUILD ON THURSDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE OVER FLORIDA INCHES
WESTWARD. CONVECTIVE TEMPS WARM INTO THE MID 90S AND FCST SOUNDINGS
SHOW WEAK CAPPING IN THE 850-700 MB LAYER SO NOT EXPECTING MUCH IN
THE WAY OF SHRA/TSRA.

NOT QUITE SURE WHAT TO MAKE OF FRI/SAT. UPPER LEVEL RIDGING OVER
THE EASTERN U.S. BEGINS TO SHIFT WEST BUT SE TX LOOKS TO BE JUST
FAR ENOUGH SOUTH OF THE CENTER OF THE RIDGE FOR A WEAK DISTURBANCE
TO UNDERCUT THE RIDGE AND HEAD WEST. PW VALUES INCREASE TO BETWEEN
1.8 AND 2.0 INCHES. INITIALLY THOUGHT SUBSIDENCE FROM THE
EXPANDING RIDGE WOULD KEEP THE AREA DRY ON FRI-SUN BUT CONSIDERING
THE HIGH PW CONTENT...DAYTIME HEATING AND THE WEAK DISTURBANCE...
FEEL ITS BEST TO MENTION SLIGHT RAIN CHANCES ON FRI AND SAT. 43

MARINE...
A FEW STREAMER SHOWERS/SPRINKLES POSSIBLE THIS MORNING WITH SSE FLOW RIGHT
AROUND 15 KNOTS. EXPECT THESE WINDS TO CONTINUE TODAY THEN INCREASE SLIGHTLY
TONIGHT AND WILL MOST LIKELY NEED A SCEC. UPPER RIDGING OVER SE U.S. WILL
START EXPANDING WESTWARD BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. THIS SHOULD BACK WINDS
TO THE SE AND ESE BUT LIGHTER BY THURSDAY. WINDS SHOULD DROP OFF OVER THE
COMING WEEKEND AND MAY END UP AT 5 KNOTS OR LESS IF ECMWF TRACKS CORRECTLY
AS SURFACE RIDGING MEANDERS INTO THE UPPER TEXAS COASTAL WATERS SUNDAY NIGHT.
HAVE STRONGLY FAVORED THE ECMWF WINDS AFTER WEDNESDAY.
45

AVIATION...
MIX OF MAINLY VFR AND SOME PATCHY IFR CONDITIONS EARLY THIS MORNING. ST DECK
EXPANDING INTO CLL AREA AND WILL PROBABLY REACH UTS/CXO BY SUNRISE. MAY BE ADDING
VCSH TO GLS TAF IN THE COMING HOUR IF STREAMERS GET ANY MORE ORGANIZED. TODAY
BE VFR WITH RISING CU BASES AND LIGHT TO MODERATE SSE WINDS WITH LLJ ALIGNED FROM
WACO TO AUSTIN TO BROWNSVILLE. RAIN CHANCES LOOK VERY SLIM INDEED BUT CAN`T RULE
OUT 1 OR 2 SHOWERS PROBABLY MORE IN THE SGR/LBX AREAS THAN IAH/HOU. TONIGHT LLJ
RETURNS TO NEARLY THE SAME AREA OR A FEW MILES FURTHER EAST...CLL MAY GET CLOSE
TO LLWS CRITERIA AFTER 03Z. MVFR/IFR CIGS LIKELY AGAIN TONIGHT FOR CLL AND PERHAPS
CXO/UTS.
45

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      77  92  77  93  74 /  10  10  10  10   0
HOUSTON (IAH)              78  92  78  93  76 /  10  20  10  10   0
GALVESTON (GLS)            81  90  81  91  80 /  10  20  10  10   0

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KHGX 061459
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
959 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

.UPDATE...
CURRENT FORECAST ON TRACK. ONLY MODIFIED THE HOURLY GRIDS TO MATCH
OBS AND BETTER REPRESENT CHANGES INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 90S WITH LITTLE OR NO RAIN STILL ON TAP FOR THIS
AFTERNOON. MAIN CONCERN WILL BE HEAT AND HUMIDITY WITH HIS
REACHING INTO THE 100-105F FOR MOST SITES. A FEW SPOTS ALREADY
SEEING HEAT INDICES IN THAT RANGE. DIURNAL MIXING WILL LOWER TDS
THIS AFTERNOON AS TEMPS INCREASE KEEPING HIS ABOVE TRIPLE DIGITS
INTO THE EARLY EVENING.

48

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 358 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2015/

DISCUSSION...
WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY WITH ONLY A FEW
STREAMER SHOWERS POSSIBLE EARLY THIS MORNING. PW VALUES HAVE
FALLEN TO AROUND 1.60 INCHES AND FURTHER DRYING IS EXPECTED THIS
AFTN. THE GRADIENT IS TIGHTER THAN LAST NIGHT AND SFC WINDS HAVE
NOT FULLY DECOUPLED. THE EXTRA MIXING HAS KEPT TEMPS ON THE WARM
SIDE SO A WARM START TO THE DAY IS LIKELY. IT WON`T REQUIRE MUCH
HEATING TO BRING TEMPS INTO THE LOW/MID 90S THIS AFTN.

ON TUESDAY...A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS NORTH
TEXAS. PW VALUES INCREASE TO BETWEEN 1.70 AND 1.80 INCHES BY
AFTERNOON AND CONVECTIVE TEMPS ARE BETWEEN 87-90 DEGREES SO FEEL
AT LEAST SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON TUES AFTN. CONDS
DRY OUT AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY WITH PW VALUES FALLING BACK TO 1.30
INCHES. NAM 12 IS BRINGING A SWATH OF CIRRUS ACROSS THE REGION ON
WEDS AFTN WITH SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPS. THE GFS/ECMWF ARE DRIER AND
A BIT WARMER AND LEANED TOWARD THE WARMER GFS/ECMWF SOLN. HEIGHTS
BEGIN TO BUILD ON THURSDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE OVER FLORIDA INCHES
WESTWARD. CONVECTIVE TEMPS WARM INTO THE MID 90S AND FCST SOUNDINGS
SHOW WEAK CAPPING IN THE 850-700 MB LAYER SO NOT EXPECTING MUCH IN
THE WAY OF SHRA/TSRA.

NOT QUITE SURE WHAT TO MAKE OF FRI/SAT. UPPER LEVEL RIDGING OVER
THE EASTERN U.S. BEGINS TO SHIFT WEST BUT SE TX LOOKS TO BE JUST
FAR ENOUGH SOUTH OF THE CENTER OF THE RIDGE FOR A WEAK DISTURBANCE
TO UNDERCUT THE RIDGE AND HEAD WEST. PW VALUES INCREASE TO BETWEEN
1.8 AND 2.0 INCHES. INITIALLY THOUGHT SUBSIDENCE FROM THE
EXPANDING RIDGE WOULD KEEP THE AREA DRY ON FRI-SUN BUT CONSIDERING
THE HIGH PW CONTENT...DAYTIME HEATING AND THE WEAK DISTURBANCE...
FEEL ITS BEST TO MENTION SLIGHT RAIN CHANCES ON FRI AND SAT. 43

MARINE...
A FEW STREAMER SHOWERS/SPRINKLES POSSIBLE THIS MORNING WITH SSE FLOW RIGHT
AROUND 15 KNOTS. EXPECT THESE WINDS TO CONTINUE TODAY THEN INCREASE SLIGHTLY
TONIGHT AND WILL MOST LIKELY NEED A SCEC. UPPER RIDGING OVER SE U.S. WILL
START EXPANDING WESTWARD BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. THIS SHOULD BACK WINDS
TO THE SE AND ESE BUT LIGHTER BY THURSDAY. WINDS SHOULD DROP OFF OVER THE
COMING WEEKEND AND MAY END UP AT 5 KNOTS OR LESS IF ECMWF TRACKS CORRECTLY
AS SURFACE RIDGING MEANDERS INTO THE UPPER TEXAS COASTAL WATERS SUNDAY NIGHT.
HAVE STRONGLY FAVORED THE ECMWF WINDS AFTER WEDNESDAY.
45

AVIATION...
MIX OF MAINLY VFR AND SOME PATCHY IFR CONDITIONS EARLY THIS MORNING. ST DECK
EXPANDING INTO CLL AREA AND WILL PROBABLY REACH UTS/CXO BY SUNRISE. MAY BE ADDING
VCSH TO GLS TAF IN THE COMING HOUR IF STREAMERS GET ANY MORE ORGANIZED. TODAY
BE VFR WITH RISING CU BASES AND LIGHT TO MODERATE SSE WINDS WITH LLJ ALIGNED FROM
WACO TO AUSTIN TO BROWNSVILLE. RAIN CHANCES LOOK VERY SLIM INDEED BUT CAN`T RULE
OUT 1 OR 2 SHOWERS PROBABLY MORE IN THE SGR/LBX AREAS THAN IAH/HOU. TONIGHT LLJ
RETURNS TO NEARLY THE SAME AREA OR A FEW MILES FURTHER EAST...CLL MAY GET CLOSE
TO LLWS CRITERIA AFTER 03Z. MVFR/IFR CIGS LIKELY AGAIN TONIGHT FOR CLL AND PERHAPS
CXO/UTS.
45

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      77  92  77  93  74 /  10  10  10  10   0
HOUSTON (IAH)              78  92  78  93  76 /  10  20  10  10   0
GALVESTON (GLS)            81  90  81  91  80 /  10  20  10  10   0

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KHGX 060858
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
358 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

.DISCUSSION...
WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY WITH ONLY A FEW
STREAMER SHOWERS POSSIBLE EARLY THIS MORNING. PW VALUES HAVE
FALLEN TO AROUND 1.60 INCHES AND FURTHER DRYING IS EXPECTED THIS
AFTN. THE GRADIENT IS TIGHTER THAN LAST NIGHT AND SFC WINDS HAVE
NOT FULLY DECOUPLED. THE EXTRA MIXING HAS KEPT TEMPS ON THE WARM
SIDE SO A WARM START TO THE DAY IS LIKELY. IT WON`T REQUIRE MUCH
HEATING TO BRING TEMPS INTO THE LOW/MID 90S THIS AFTN.

ON TUESDAY...A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS NORTH
TEXAS. PW VALUES INCREASE TO BETWEEN 1.70 AND 1.80 INCHES BY
AFTERNOON AND CONVECTIVE TEMPS ARE BETWEEN 87-90 DEGREES SO FEEL
AT LEAST SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON TUES AFTN. CONDS
DRY OUT AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY WITH PW VALUES FALLING BACK TO 1.30
INCHES. NAM 12 IS BRINGING A SWATH OF CIRRUS ACROSS THE REGION ON
WEDS AFTN WITH SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPS. THE GFS/ECMWF ARE DRIER AND
A BIT WARMER AND LEANED TOWARD THE WARMER GFS/ECMWF SOLN. HEIGHTS
BEGIN TO BUILD ON THURSDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE OVER FLORIDA INCHES
WESTWARD. CONVECTIVE TEMPS WARM INTO THE MID 90S AND FCST SOUNDINGS
SHOW WEAK CAPPING IN THE 850-700 MB LAYER SO NOT EXPECTING MUCH IN
THE WAY OF SHRA/TSRA.

NOT QUITE SURE WHAT TO MAKE OF FRI/SAT. UPPER LEVEL RIDGING OVER
THE EASTERN U.S. BEGINS TO SHIFT WEST BUT SE TX LOOKS TO BE JUST
FAR ENOUGH SOUTH OF THE CENTER OF THE RIDGE FOR A WEAK DISTURBANCE
TO UNDERCUT THE RIDGE AND HEAD WEST. PW VALUES INCREASE TO BETWEEN
1.8 AND 2.0 INCHES. INITIALLY THOUGHT SUBSIDENCE FROM THE
EXPANDING RIDGE WOULD KEEP THE AREA DRY ON FRI-SUN BUT CONSIDERING
THE HIGH PW CONTENT...DAYTIME HEATING AND THE WEAK DISTURBANCE...
FEEL ITS BEST TO MENTION SLIGHT RAIN CHANCES ON FRI AND SAT. 43

&&

.MARINE...
A FEW STREAMER SHOWERS/SPRINKLES POSSIBLE THIS MORNING WITH SSE FLOW RIGHT
AROUND 15 KNOTS. EXPECT THESE WINDS TO CONTINUE TODAY THEN INCREASE SLIGHTLY
TONIGHT AND WILL MOST LIKELY NEED A SCEC. UPPER RIDGING OVER SE U.S. WILL
START EXPANDING WESTWARD BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. THIS SHOULD BACK WINDS
TO THE SE AND ESE BUT LIGHTER BY THURSDAY. WINDS SHOULD DROP OFF OVER THE
COMING WEEKEND AND MAY END UP AT 5 KNOTS OR LESS IF ECMWF TRACKS CORRECTLY
AS SURFACE RIDGING MEANDERS INTO THE UPPER TEXAS COASTAL WATERS SUNDAY NIGHT.
HAVE STRONGLY FAVORED THE ECMWF WINDS AFTER WEDNESDAY.
45
&&

.AVIATION...
MIX OF MAINLY VFR AND SOME PATCHY IFR CONDITIONS EARLY THIS MORNING. ST DECK
EXPANDING INTO CLL AREA AND WILL PROBABLY REACH UTS/CXO BY SUNRISE. MAY BE ADDING
VCSH TO GLS TAF IN THE COMING HOUR IF STREAMERS GET ANY MORE ORGANIZED. TODAY
BE VFR WITH RISING CU BASES AND LIGHT TO MODERATE SSE WINDS WITH LLJ ALIGNED FROM
WACO TO AUSTIN TO BROWNSVILLE. RAIN CHANCES LOOK VERY SLIM INDEED BUT CAN`T RULE
OUT 1 OR 2 SHOWERS PROBABLY MORE IN THE SGR/LBX AREAS THAN IAH/HOU. TONIGHT LLJ
RETURNS TO NEARLY THE SAME AREA OR A FEW MILES FURTHER EAST...CLL MAY GET CLOSE
TO LLWS CRITERIA AFTER 03Z. MVFR/IFR CIGS LIKELY AGAIN TONIGHT FOR CLL AND PERHAPS
CXO/UTS.
45
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      93  77  92  77  93 /  10  10  10  10  10
HOUSTON (IAH)              93  78  92  78  93 /   0  10  20  10  10
GALVESTON (GLS)            91  81  90  81  91 /   0  10  20  10  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KHGX 060858
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
358 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

.DISCUSSION...
WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY WITH ONLY A FEW
STREAMER SHOWERS POSSIBLE EARLY THIS MORNING. PW VALUES HAVE
FALLEN TO AROUND 1.60 INCHES AND FURTHER DRYING IS EXPECTED THIS
AFTN. THE GRADIENT IS TIGHTER THAN LAST NIGHT AND SFC WINDS HAVE
NOT FULLY DECOUPLED. THE EXTRA MIXING HAS KEPT TEMPS ON THE WARM
SIDE SO A WARM START TO THE DAY IS LIKELY. IT WON`T REQUIRE MUCH
HEATING TO BRING TEMPS INTO THE LOW/MID 90S THIS AFTN.

ON TUESDAY...A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS NORTH
TEXAS. PW VALUES INCREASE TO BETWEEN 1.70 AND 1.80 INCHES BY
AFTERNOON AND CONVECTIVE TEMPS ARE BETWEEN 87-90 DEGREES SO FEEL
AT LEAST SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON TUES AFTN. CONDS
DRY OUT AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY WITH PW VALUES FALLING BACK TO 1.30
INCHES. NAM 12 IS BRINGING A SWATH OF CIRRUS ACROSS THE REGION ON
WEDS AFTN WITH SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPS. THE GFS/ECMWF ARE DRIER AND
A BIT WARMER AND LEANED TOWARD THE WARMER GFS/ECMWF SOLN. HEIGHTS
BEGIN TO BUILD ON THURSDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE OVER FLORIDA INCHES
WESTWARD. CONVECTIVE TEMPS WARM INTO THE MID 90S AND FCST SOUNDINGS
SHOW WEAK CAPPING IN THE 850-700 MB LAYER SO NOT EXPECTING MUCH IN
THE WAY OF SHRA/TSRA.

NOT QUITE SURE WHAT TO MAKE OF FRI/SAT. UPPER LEVEL RIDGING OVER
THE EASTERN U.S. BEGINS TO SHIFT WEST BUT SE TX LOOKS TO BE JUST
FAR ENOUGH SOUTH OF THE CENTER OF THE RIDGE FOR A WEAK DISTURBANCE
TO UNDERCUT THE RIDGE AND HEAD WEST. PW VALUES INCREASE TO BETWEEN
1.8 AND 2.0 INCHES. INITIALLY THOUGHT SUBSIDENCE FROM THE
EXPANDING RIDGE WOULD KEEP THE AREA DRY ON FRI-SUN BUT CONSIDERING
THE HIGH PW CONTENT...DAYTIME HEATING AND THE WEAK DISTURBANCE...
FEEL ITS BEST TO MENTION SLIGHT RAIN CHANCES ON FRI AND SAT. 43

&&

.MARINE...
A FEW STREAMER SHOWERS/SPRINKLES POSSIBLE THIS MORNING WITH SSE FLOW RIGHT
AROUND 15 KNOTS. EXPECT THESE WINDS TO CONTINUE TODAY THEN INCREASE SLIGHTLY
TONIGHT AND WILL MOST LIKELY NEED A SCEC. UPPER RIDGING OVER SE U.S. WILL
START EXPANDING WESTWARD BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. THIS SHOULD BACK WINDS
TO THE SE AND ESE BUT LIGHTER BY THURSDAY. WINDS SHOULD DROP OFF OVER THE
COMING WEEKEND AND MAY END UP AT 5 KNOTS OR LESS IF ECMWF TRACKS CORRECTLY
AS SURFACE RIDGING MEANDERS INTO THE UPPER TEXAS COASTAL WATERS SUNDAY NIGHT.
HAVE STRONGLY FAVORED THE ECMWF WINDS AFTER WEDNESDAY.
45
&&

.AVIATION...
MIX OF MAINLY VFR AND SOME PATCHY IFR CONDITIONS EARLY THIS MORNING. ST DECK
EXPANDING INTO CLL AREA AND WILL PROBABLY REACH UTS/CXO BY SUNRISE. MAY BE ADDING
VCSH TO GLS TAF IN THE COMING HOUR IF STREAMERS GET ANY MORE ORGANIZED. TODAY
BE VFR WITH RISING CU BASES AND LIGHT TO MODERATE SSE WINDS WITH LLJ ALIGNED FROM
WACO TO AUSTIN TO BROWNSVILLE. RAIN CHANCES LOOK VERY SLIM INDEED BUT CAN`T RULE
OUT 1 OR 2 SHOWERS PROBABLY MORE IN THE SGR/LBX AREAS THAN IAH/HOU. TONIGHT LLJ
RETURNS TO NEARLY THE SAME AREA OR A FEW MILES FURTHER EAST...CLL MAY GET CLOSE
TO LLWS CRITERIA AFTER 03Z. MVFR/IFR CIGS LIKELY AGAIN TONIGHT FOR CLL AND PERHAPS
CXO/UTS.
45
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      93  77  92  77  93 /  10  10  10  10  10
HOUSTON (IAH)              93  78  92  78  93 /   0  10  20  10  10
GALVESTON (GLS)            91  81  90  81  91 /   0  10  20  10  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KHGX 060858
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
358 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

.DISCUSSION...
WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY WITH ONLY A FEW
STREAMER SHOWERS POSSIBLE EARLY THIS MORNING. PW VALUES HAVE
FALLEN TO AROUND 1.60 INCHES AND FURTHER DRYING IS EXPECTED THIS
AFTN. THE GRADIENT IS TIGHTER THAN LAST NIGHT AND SFC WINDS HAVE
NOT FULLY DECOUPLED. THE EXTRA MIXING HAS KEPT TEMPS ON THE WARM
SIDE SO A WARM START TO THE DAY IS LIKELY. IT WON`T REQUIRE MUCH
HEATING TO BRING TEMPS INTO THE LOW/MID 90S THIS AFTN.

ON TUESDAY...A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS NORTH
TEXAS. PW VALUES INCREASE TO BETWEEN 1.70 AND 1.80 INCHES BY
AFTERNOON AND CONVECTIVE TEMPS ARE BETWEEN 87-90 DEGREES SO FEEL
AT LEAST SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON TUES AFTN. CONDS
DRY OUT AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY WITH PW VALUES FALLING BACK TO 1.30
INCHES. NAM 12 IS BRINGING A SWATH OF CIRRUS ACROSS THE REGION ON
WEDS AFTN WITH SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPS. THE GFS/ECMWF ARE DRIER AND
A BIT WARMER AND LEANED TOWARD THE WARMER GFS/ECMWF SOLN. HEIGHTS
BEGIN TO BUILD ON THURSDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE OVER FLORIDA INCHES
WESTWARD. CONVECTIVE TEMPS WARM INTO THE MID 90S AND FCST SOUNDINGS
SHOW WEAK CAPPING IN THE 850-700 MB LAYER SO NOT EXPECTING MUCH IN
THE WAY OF SHRA/TSRA.

NOT QUITE SURE WHAT TO MAKE OF FRI/SAT. UPPER LEVEL RIDGING OVER
THE EASTERN U.S. BEGINS TO SHIFT WEST BUT SE TX LOOKS TO BE JUST
FAR ENOUGH SOUTH OF THE CENTER OF THE RIDGE FOR A WEAK DISTURBANCE
TO UNDERCUT THE RIDGE AND HEAD WEST. PW VALUES INCREASE TO BETWEEN
1.8 AND 2.0 INCHES. INITIALLY THOUGHT SUBSIDENCE FROM THE
EXPANDING RIDGE WOULD KEEP THE AREA DRY ON FRI-SUN BUT CONSIDERING
THE HIGH PW CONTENT...DAYTIME HEATING AND THE WEAK DISTURBANCE...
FEEL ITS BEST TO MENTION SLIGHT RAIN CHANCES ON FRI AND SAT. 43

&&

.MARINE...
A FEW STREAMER SHOWERS/SPRINKLES POSSIBLE THIS MORNING WITH SSE FLOW RIGHT
AROUND 15 KNOTS. EXPECT THESE WINDS TO CONTINUE TODAY THEN INCREASE SLIGHTLY
TONIGHT AND WILL MOST LIKELY NEED A SCEC. UPPER RIDGING OVER SE U.S. WILL
START EXPANDING WESTWARD BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. THIS SHOULD BACK WINDS
TO THE SE AND ESE BUT LIGHTER BY THURSDAY. WINDS SHOULD DROP OFF OVER THE
COMING WEEKEND AND MAY END UP AT 5 KNOTS OR LESS IF ECMWF TRACKS CORRECTLY
AS SURFACE RIDGING MEANDERS INTO THE UPPER TEXAS COASTAL WATERS SUNDAY NIGHT.
HAVE STRONGLY FAVORED THE ECMWF WINDS AFTER WEDNESDAY.
45
&&

.AVIATION...
MIX OF MAINLY VFR AND SOME PATCHY IFR CONDITIONS EARLY THIS MORNING. ST DECK
EXPANDING INTO CLL AREA AND WILL PROBABLY REACH UTS/CXO BY SUNRISE. MAY BE ADDING
VCSH TO GLS TAF IN THE COMING HOUR IF STREAMERS GET ANY MORE ORGANIZED. TODAY
BE VFR WITH RISING CU BASES AND LIGHT TO MODERATE SSE WINDS WITH LLJ ALIGNED FROM
WACO TO AUSTIN TO BROWNSVILLE. RAIN CHANCES LOOK VERY SLIM INDEED BUT CAN`T RULE
OUT 1 OR 2 SHOWERS PROBABLY MORE IN THE SGR/LBX AREAS THAN IAH/HOU. TONIGHT LLJ
RETURNS TO NEARLY THE SAME AREA OR A FEW MILES FURTHER EAST...CLL MAY GET CLOSE
TO LLWS CRITERIA AFTER 03Z. MVFR/IFR CIGS LIKELY AGAIN TONIGHT FOR CLL AND PERHAPS
CXO/UTS.
45
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      93  77  92  77  93 /  10  10  10  10  10
HOUSTON (IAH)              93  78  92  78  93 /   0  10  20  10  10
GALVESTON (GLS)            91  81  90  81  91 /   0  10  20  10  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KHGX 060858
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
358 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

.DISCUSSION...
WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY WITH ONLY A FEW
STREAMER SHOWERS POSSIBLE EARLY THIS MORNING. PW VALUES HAVE
FALLEN TO AROUND 1.60 INCHES AND FURTHER DRYING IS EXPECTED THIS
AFTN. THE GRADIENT IS TIGHTER THAN LAST NIGHT AND SFC WINDS HAVE
NOT FULLY DECOUPLED. THE EXTRA MIXING HAS KEPT TEMPS ON THE WARM
SIDE SO A WARM START TO THE DAY IS LIKELY. IT WON`T REQUIRE MUCH
HEATING TO BRING TEMPS INTO THE LOW/MID 90S THIS AFTN.

ON TUESDAY...A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS NORTH
TEXAS. PW VALUES INCREASE TO BETWEEN 1.70 AND 1.80 INCHES BY
AFTERNOON AND CONVECTIVE TEMPS ARE BETWEEN 87-90 DEGREES SO FEEL
AT LEAST SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON TUES AFTN. CONDS
DRY OUT AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY WITH PW VALUES FALLING BACK TO 1.30
INCHES. NAM 12 IS BRINGING A SWATH OF CIRRUS ACROSS THE REGION ON
WEDS AFTN WITH SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPS. THE GFS/ECMWF ARE DRIER AND
A BIT WARMER AND LEANED TOWARD THE WARMER GFS/ECMWF SOLN. HEIGHTS
BEGIN TO BUILD ON THURSDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE OVER FLORIDA INCHES
WESTWARD. CONVECTIVE TEMPS WARM INTO THE MID 90S AND FCST SOUNDINGS
SHOW WEAK CAPPING IN THE 850-700 MB LAYER SO NOT EXPECTING MUCH IN
THE WAY OF SHRA/TSRA.

NOT QUITE SURE WHAT TO MAKE OF FRI/SAT. UPPER LEVEL RIDGING OVER
THE EASTERN U.S. BEGINS TO SHIFT WEST BUT SE TX LOOKS TO BE JUST
FAR ENOUGH SOUTH OF THE CENTER OF THE RIDGE FOR A WEAK DISTURBANCE
TO UNDERCUT THE RIDGE AND HEAD WEST. PW VALUES INCREASE TO BETWEEN
1.8 AND 2.0 INCHES. INITIALLY THOUGHT SUBSIDENCE FROM THE
EXPANDING RIDGE WOULD KEEP THE AREA DRY ON FRI-SUN BUT CONSIDERING
THE HIGH PW CONTENT...DAYTIME HEATING AND THE WEAK DISTURBANCE...
FEEL ITS BEST TO MENTION SLIGHT RAIN CHANCES ON FRI AND SAT. 43

&&

.MARINE...
A FEW STREAMER SHOWERS/SPRINKLES POSSIBLE THIS MORNING WITH SSE FLOW RIGHT
AROUND 15 KNOTS. EXPECT THESE WINDS TO CONTINUE TODAY THEN INCREASE SLIGHTLY
TONIGHT AND WILL MOST LIKELY NEED A SCEC. UPPER RIDGING OVER SE U.S. WILL
START EXPANDING WESTWARD BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. THIS SHOULD BACK WINDS
TO THE SE AND ESE BUT LIGHTER BY THURSDAY. WINDS SHOULD DROP OFF OVER THE
COMING WEEKEND AND MAY END UP AT 5 KNOTS OR LESS IF ECMWF TRACKS CORRECTLY
AS SURFACE RIDGING MEANDERS INTO THE UPPER TEXAS COASTAL WATERS SUNDAY NIGHT.
HAVE STRONGLY FAVORED THE ECMWF WINDS AFTER WEDNESDAY.
45
&&

.AVIATION...
MIX OF MAINLY VFR AND SOME PATCHY IFR CONDITIONS EARLY THIS MORNING. ST DECK
EXPANDING INTO CLL AREA AND WILL PROBABLY REACH UTS/CXO BY SUNRISE. MAY BE ADDING
VCSH TO GLS TAF IN THE COMING HOUR IF STREAMERS GET ANY MORE ORGANIZED. TODAY
BE VFR WITH RISING CU BASES AND LIGHT TO MODERATE SSE WINDS WITH LLJ ALIGNED FROM
WACO TO AUSTIN TO BROWNSVILLE. RAIN CHANCES LOOK VERY SLIM INDEED BUT CAN`T RULE
OUT 1 OR 2 SHOWERS PROBABLY MORE IN THE SGR/LBX AREAS THAN IAH/HOU. TONIGHT LLJ
RETURNS TO NEARLY THE SAME AREA OR A FEW MILES FURTHER EAST...CLL MAY GET CLOSE
TO LLWS CRITERIA AFTER 03Z. MVFR/IFR CIGS LIKELY AGAIN TONIGHT FOR CLL AND PERHAPS
CXO/UTS.
45
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      93  77  92  77  93 /  10  10  10  10  10
HOUSTON (IAH)              93  78  92  78  93 /   0  10  20  10  10
GALVESTON (GLS)            91  81  90  81  91 /   0  10  20  10  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KHGX 060438
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1138 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015

.DISCUSSION...
SEE 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR FLIGHT RULES WILL PREVAIL THROUGH TOMORROW EXCEPT FOR SOME
ISOLATED MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE AT KCLL... KUTS AND KCXO
AROUND SUNRISE. SOUTH WINDS WILL DECREASE TO 5 TO 10 KNOTS
OVERNIGHT AND INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 KNOTS BY MID TO LATE MORNING.
44

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 904 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015/

DISCUSSION...
ANOTHER WARM MUGGY DAY IN THE BOOKS. FCST IS FINE...JUST INSIGNIFICANT
TWEAKS TO MATCH GRIDS W/ LATEST OBS FOR THE UPDATE. 47

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      78  93  77  92  76 /   0  10  10  20  10
HOUSTON (IAH)              78  93  78  92  77 /   0   0  10  20  10
GALVESTON (GLS)            82  89  81  89  80 /  10   0  10  20  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 7 AM CDT MONDAY FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA
     SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE
     MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND
     TO FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO
     FREEPORT OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...47
AVIATION/MARINE...44





000
FXUS64 KHGX 060438
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1138 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015

.DISCUSSION...
SEE 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR FLIGHT RULES WILL PREVAIL THROUGH TOMORROW EXCEPT FOR SOME
ISOLATED MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE AT KCLL... KUTS AND KCXO
AROUND SUNRISE. SOUTH WINDS WILL DECREASE TO 5 TO 10 KNOTS
OVERNIGHT AND INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 KNOTS BY MID TO LATE MORNING.
44

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 904 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015/

DISCUSSION...
ANOTHER WARM MUGGY DAY IN THE BOOKS. FCST IS FINE...JUST INSIGNIFICANT
TWEAKS TO MATCH GRIDS W/ LATEST OBS FOR THE UPDATE. 47

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      78  93  77  92  76 /   0  10  10  20  10
HOUSTON (IAH)              78  93  78  92  77 /   0   0  10  20  10
GALVESTON (GLS)            82  89  81  89  80 /  10   0  10  20  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 7 AM CDT MONDAY FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA
     SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE
     MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND
     TO FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO
     FREEPORT OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...47
AVIATION/MARINE...44




000
FXUS64 KHGX 060204
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
904 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015

.DISCUSSION...
ANOTHER WARM MUGGY DAY IN THE BOOKS. FCST IS FINE...JUST INSIGNIFICANT
TWEAKS TO MATCH GRIDS W/ LATEST OBS FOR THE UPDATE.  47

&&

.651 PM AVIATION...
GUSTY SOUTH WINDS SHOULD DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET THIS EVENING AND
PICK UP AGAIN BY MID-MORNING ON MONDAY. VFR FLIGHT RULES WILL PREVAIL
THROUGH TOMORROW EXCEPT FOR SOME ISOLATED MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS
POSSIBLE AT KCLL... KUTS AND KCXO AROUND SUNRISE. 44

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      78  93  77  92  76 /   0  10  10  20  10
HOUSTON (IAH)              78  93  78  92  77 /   0   0  10  20  10
GALVESTON (GLS)            82  89  81  89  80 /  10   0  10  20  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 7 AM CDT MONDAY FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA
     SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE
     MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND
     TO FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO
     FREEPORT OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KHGX 060204
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
904 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015

.DISCUSSION...
ANOTHER WARM MUGGY DAY IN THE BOOKS. FCST IS FINE...JUST INSIGNIFICANT
TWEAKS TO MATCH GRIDS W/ LATEST OBS FOR THE UPDATE.  47

&&

.651 PM AVIATION...
GUSTY SOUTH WINDS SHOULD DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET THIS EVENING AND
PICK UP AGAIN BY MID-MORNING ON MONDAY. VFR FLIGHT RULES WILL PREVAIL
THROUGH TOMORROW EXCEPT FOR SOME ISOLATED MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS
POSSIBLE AT KCLL... KUTS AND KCXO AROUND SUNRISE. 44

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      78  93  77  92  76 /   0  10  10  20  10
HOUSTON (IAH)              78  93  78  92  77 /   0   0  10  20  10
GALVESTON (GLS)            82  89  81  89  80 /  10   0  10  20  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 7 AM CDT MONDAY FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA
     SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE
     MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND
     TO FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO
     FREEPORT OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KHGX 052351
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
651 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015

.DISCUSSION...
PLEASE SEE 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.AVIATION...
GUSTY SOUTH WINDS SHOULD DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET THIS EVENING AND
PICK UP AGAIN BY MID-MORNING ON MONDAY. VFR FLIGHT RULES WILL PREVAIL
THROUGH TOMORROW EXCEPT FOR SOME ISOLATED MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS
POSSIBLE AT KCLL... KUTS AND KCXO AROUND SUNRISE. 44

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 303 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015/

DISCUSSION...
FAIRLY QUIET MID/UPPER LEVEL PATTERN BECOMING ESTABLISHED TO
START THE NEW WORK WEEK AS A FLAT RIDGE BUILDS ACROSS THE GULF OF
MEXICO. OVERALL...WE SHOULD SEE TEMPS AROUND NORMAL FOR THIS TIME
OF YEAR WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S AND OVERNIGHT MINS IN THE
UPPER 70S. MOST OF THE PERIOD WILL REMAIN DRY...ALTHOUGH MODELS
INCREASE MOISTURE AROUND WRN PERIPHERY OF UPPER HIGH OVER THE NWRN
GULF ON TUESDAY. OVERALL ASCENT ACROSS THE AREA WILL REMAIN WEAK
WITH LITTLE OR NO LOW LEVEL FOCUS AWAY FROM THE SEA BREEZE BUT
WILL KEEP 20 POPS AREAWIDE ON TUESDAY AS SREF MEAN PAINTS LIGHT
PRECIPITATION OVER SERN TX. SIMILAR SETUP AGAIN FOR THE END OF THE
WEEK WITH GFS STILL THE MORE AGGRESSIVE OF THE OPERATIONAL MODELS
IN QPF OVER SERN TX THU/FRI/SAT AFTERNOONS. WILL KEEP SLGT CHANCE
WORDING FOR NOW. ALL IN ALL...QUIESCENT PATTERN WILL HOLD AT
LEAST INTO NEXT WEEK WITH MAX HEAT INDICES LIKELY REACHING THE
100-105F RANGE MOST DAYS.

48

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      77  93  77  92  75 /  10  10  10  20  10
HOUSTON (IAH)              78  93  78  92  77 /   0   0  10  20  10
GALVESTON (GLS)            79  89  78  89  79 /  10   0  10  20  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION FROM 10 PM CDT THIS EVENING
     THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM
     FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM...
     WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20
     NM...WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM...
     WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...47
AVIATION/MARINE...44





000
FXUS64 KHGX 052351
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
651 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015

.DISCUSSION...
PLEASE SEE 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.AVIATION...
GUSTY SOUTH WINDS SHOULD DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET THIS EVENING AND
PICK UP AGAIN BY MID-MORNING ON MONDAY. VFR FLIGHT RULES WILL PREVAIL
THROUGH TOMORROW EXCEPT FOR SOME ISOLATED MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS
POSSIBLE AT KCLL... KUTS AND KCXO AROUND SUNRISE. 44

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 303 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015/

DISCUSSION...
FAIRLY QUIET MID/UPPER LEVEL PATTERN BECOMING ESTABLISHED TO
START THE NEW WORK WEEK AS A FLAT RIDGE BUILDS ACROSS THE GULF OF
MEXICO. OVERALL...WE SHOULD SEE TEMPS AROUND NORMAL FOR THIS TIME
OF YEAR WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S AND OVERNIGHT MINS IN THE
UPPER 70S. MOST OF THE PERIOD WILL REMAIN DRY...ALTHOUGH MODELS
INCREASE MOISTURE AROUND WRN PERIPHERY OF UPPER HIGH OVER THE NWRN
GULF ON TUESDAY. OVERALL ASCENT ACROSS THE AREA WILL REMAIN WEAK
WITH LITTLE OR NO LOW LEVEL FOCUS AWAY FROM THE SEA BREEZE BUT
WILL KEEP 20 POPS AREAWIDE ON TUESDAY AS SREF MEAN PAINTS LIGHT
PRECIPITATION OVER SERN TX. SIMILAR SETUP AGAIN FOR THE END OF THE
WEEK WITH GFS STILL THE MORE AGGRESSIVE OF THE OPERATIONAL MODELS
IN QPF OVER SERN TX THU/FRI/SAT AFTERNOONS. WILL KEEP SLGT CHANCE
WORDING FOR NOW. ALL IN ALL...QUIESCENT PATTERN WILL HOLD AT
LEAST INTO NEXT WEEK WITH MAX HEAT INDICES LIKELY REACHING THE
100-105F RANGE MOST DAYS.

48

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      77  93  77  92  75 /  10  10  10  20  10
HOUSTON (IAH)              78  93  78  92  77 /   0   0  10  20  10
GALVESTON (GLS)            79  89  78  89  79 /  10   0  10  20  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION FROM 10 PM CDT THIS EVENING
     THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM
     FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM...
     WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20
     NM...WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM...
     WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...47
AVIATION/MARINE...44




000
FXUS64 KHGX 052351
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
651 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015

.DISCUSSION...
PLEASE SEE 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.AVIATION...
GUSTY SOUTH WINDS SHOULD DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET THIS EVENING AND
PICK UP AGAIN BY MID-MORNING ON MONDAY. VFR FLIGHT RULES WILL PREVAIL
THROUGH TOMORROW EXCEPT FOR SOME ISOLATED MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS
POSSIBLE AT KCLL... KUTS AND KCXO AROUND SUNRISE. 44

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 303 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015/

DISCUSSION...
FAIRLY QUIET MID/UPPER LEVEL PATTERN BECOMING ESTABLISHED TO
START THE NEW WORK WEEK AS A FLAT RIDGE BUILDS ACROSS THE GULF OF
MEXICO. OVERALL...WE SHOULD SEE TEMPS AROUND NORMAL FOR THIS TIME
OF YEAR WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S AND OVERNIGHT MINS IN THE
UPPER 70S. MOST OF THE PERIOD WILL REMAIN DRY...ALTHOUGH MODELS
INCREASE MOISTURE AROUND WRN PERIPHERY OF UPPER HIGH OVER THE NWRN
GULF ON TUESDAY. OVERALL ASCENT ACROSS THE AREA WILL REMAIN WEAK
WITH LITTLE OR NO LOW LEVEL FOCUS AWAY FROM THE SEA BREEZE BUT
WILL KEEP 20 POPS AREAWIDE ON TUESDAY AS SREF MEAN PAINTS LIGHT
PRECIPITATION OVER SERN TX. SIMILAR SETUP AGAIN FOR THE END OF THE
WEEK WITH GFS STILL THE MORE AGGRESSIVE OF THE OPERATIONAL MODELS
IN QPF OVER SERN TX THU/FRI/SAT AFTERNOONS. WILL KEEP SLGT CHANCE
WORDING FOR NOW. ALL IN ALL...QUIESCENT PATTERN WILL HOLD AT
LEAST INTO NEXT WEEK WITH MAX HEAT INDICES LIKELY REACHING THE
100-105F RANGE MOST DAYS.

48

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      77  93  77  92  75 /  10  10  10  20  10
HOUSTON (IAH)              78  93  78  92  77 /   0   0  10  20  10
GALVESTON (GLS)            79  89  78  89  79 /  10   0  10  20  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION FROM 10 PM CDT THIS EVENING
     THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM
     FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM...
     WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20
     NM...WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM...
     WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...47
AVIATION/MARINE...44




000
FXUS64 KHGX 052351
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
651 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015

.DISCUSSION...
PLEASE SEE 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.AVIATION...
GUSTY SOUTH WINDS SHOULD DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET THIS EVENING AND
PICK UP AGAIN BY MID-MORNING ON MONDAY. VFR FLIGHT RULES WILL PREVAIL
THROUGH TOMORROW EXCEPT FOR SOME ISOLATED MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS
POSSIBLE AT KCLL... KUTS AND KCXO AROUND SUNRISE. 44

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 303 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015/

DISCUSSION...
FAIRLY QUIET MID/UPPER LEVEL PATTERN BECOMING ESTABLISHED TO
START THE NEW WORK WEEK AS A FLAT RIDGE BUILDS ACROSS THE GULF OF
MEXICO. OVERALL...WE SHOULD SEE TEMPS AROUND NORMAL FOR THIS TIME
OF YEAR WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S AND OVERNIGHT MINS IN THE
UPPER 70S. MOST OF THE PERIOD WILL REMAIN DRY...ALTHOUGH MODELS
INCREASE MOISTURE AROUND WRN PERIPHERY OF UPPER HIGH OVER THE NWRN
GULF ON TUESDAY. OVERALL ASCENT ACROSS THE AREA WILL REMAIN WEAK
WITH LITTLE OR NO LOW LEVEL FOCUS AWAY FROM THE SEA BREEZE BUT
WILL KEEP 20 POPS AREAWIDE ON TUESDAY AS SREF MEAN PAINTS LIGHT
PRECIPITATION OVER SERN TX. SIMILAR SETUP AGAIN FOR THE END OF THE
WEEK WITH GFS STILL THE MORE AGGRESSIVE OF THE OPERATIONAL MODELS
IN QPF OVER SERN TX THU/FRI/SAT AFTERNOONS. WILL KEEP SLGT CHANCE
WORDING FOR NOW. ALL IN ALL...QUIESCENT PATTERN WILL HOLD AT
LEAST INTO NEXT WEEK WITH MAX HEAT INDICES LIKELY REACHING THE
100-105F RANGE MOST DAYS.

48

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      77  93  77  92  75 /  10  10  10  20  10
HOUSTON (IAH)              78  93  78  92  77 /   0   0  10  20  10
GALVESTON (GLS)            79  89  78  89  79 /  10   0  10  20  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION FROM 10 PM CDT THIS EVENING
     THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM
     FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM...
     WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20
     NM...WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM...
     WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...47
AVIATION/MARINE...44





000
FXUS64 KHGX 052003
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
303 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015

.DISCUSSION...
FAIRLY QUIET MID/UPPER LEVEL PATTERN BECOMING ESTABLISHED TO
START THE NEW WORK WEEK AS A FLAT RIDGE BUILDS ACROSS THE GULF OF
MEXICO. OVERALL...WE SHOULD SEE TEMPS AROUND NORMAL FOR THIS TIME
OF YEAR WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S AND OVERNIGHT MINS IN THE
UPPER 70S. MOST OF THE PERIOD WILL REMAIN DRY...ALTHOUGH MODELS
INCREASE MOISTURE AROUND WRN PERIPHERY OF UPPER HIGH OVER THE NWRN
GULF ON TUESDAY. OVERALL ASCENT ACROSS THE AREA WILL REMAIN WEAK
WITH LITTLE OR NO LOW LEVEL FOCUS AWAY FROM THE SEA BREEZE BUT
WILL KEEP 20 POPS AREAWIDE ON TUESDAY AS SREF MEAN PAINTS LIGHT
PRECIPITATION OVER SERN TX. SIMILAR SETUP AGAIN FOR THE END OF THE
WEEK WITH GFS STILL THE MORE AGGRESSIVE OF THE OPERATIONAL MODELS
IN QPF OVER SERN TX THU/FRI/SAT AFTERNOONS. WILL KEEP SLGT CHANCE
WORDING FOR NOW. ALL IN ALL...QUIESCENT PATTERN WILL HOLD AT
LEAST INTO NEXT WEEK WITH MAX HEAT INDICES LIKELY REACHING THE
100-105F RANGE MOST DAYS.

48

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1211 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015/

DISCUSSION...

18Z AVIATION...SCT CU FIELD AROUND 4KFT WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF
ISO SHRA/TSRA EXPECTED FOR THIS AFT. EXPECTED CONVECTIVE COVERAGE
IS TOO LIMITED FOR MENTION IN TAFS. SOUTH WINDS 10-15 KTS
TODAY...5-10 TONIGHT...AND AROUND 15 KTS TOMORROW. THERE IS A
WINDOW FOR MVFR/IFR CEILINGS LATE TONIGHT/EARLY MON AT CXO...UTS
AND CLL. 33

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      77  93  77  92  75 /  10  10  10  20  10
HOUSTON (IAH)              78  93  78  92  77 /   0   0  10  20  10
GALVESTON (GLS)            79  89  78  89  79 /  10   0  10  20  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION FROM 10 PM CDT THIS EVENING
     THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM
     FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM...
     WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20
     NM...WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM...
     WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...48





000
FXUS64 KHGX 052003
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
303 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015

.DISCUSSION...
FAIRLY QUIET MID/UPPER LEVEL PATTERN BECOMING ESTABLISHED TO
START THE NEW WORK WEEK AS A FLAT RIDGE BUILDS ACROSS THE GULF OF
MEXICO. OVERALL...WE SHOULD SEE TEMPS AROUND NORMAL FOR THIS TIME
OF YEAR WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S AND OVERNIGHT MINS IN THE
UPPER 70S. MOST OF THE PERIOD WILL REMAIN DRY...ALTHOUGH MODELS
INCREASE MOISTURE AROUND WRN PERIPHERY OF UPPER HIGH OVER THE NWRN
GULF ON TUESDAY. OVERALL ASCENT ACROSS THE AREA WILL REMAIN WEAK
WITH LITTLE OR NO LOW LEVEL FOCUS AWAY FROM THE SEA BREEZE BUT
WILL KEEP 20 POPS AREAWIDE ON TUESDAY AS SREF MEAN PAINTS LIGHT
PRECIPITATION OVER SERN TX. SIMILAR SETUP AGAIN FOR THE END OF THE
WEEK WITH GFS STILL THE MORE AGGRESSIVE OF THE OPERATIONAL MODELS
IN QPF OVER SERN TX THU/FRI/SAT AFTERNOONS. WILL KEEP SLGT CHANCE
WORDING FOR NOW. ALL IN ALL...QUIESCENT PATTERN WILL HOLD AT
LEAST INTO NEXT WEEK WITH MAX HEAT INDICES LIKELY REACHING THE
100-105F RANGE MOST DAYS.

48

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1211 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015/

DISCUSSION...

18Z AVIATION...SCT CU FIELD AROUND 4KFT WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF
ISO SHRA/TSRA EXPECTED FOR THIS AFT. EXPECTED CONVECTIVE COVERAGE
IS TOO LIMITED FOR MENTION IN TAFS. SOUTH WINDS 10-15 KTS
TODAY...5-10 TONIGHT...AND AROUND 15 KTS TOMORROW. THERE IS A
WINDOW FOR MVFR/IFR CEILINGS LATE TONIGHT/EARLY MON AT CXO...UTS
AND CLL. 33

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      77  93  77  92  75 /  10  10  10  20  10
HOUSTON (IAH)              78  93  78  92  77 /   0   0  10  20  10
GALVESTON (GLS)            79  89  78  89  79 /  10   0  10  20  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION FROM 10 PM CDT THIS EVENING
     THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM
     FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM...
     WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20
     NM...WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM...
     WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...48




000
FXUS64 KHGX 051711
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1211 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015

.DISCUSSION...

18Z AVIATION...SCT CU FIELD AROUND 4KFT WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF
ISO SHRA/TSRA EXPECTED FOR THIS AFT. EXPECTED CONVECTIVE COVERAGE
IS TOO LIMITED FOR MENTION IN TAFS. SOUTH WINDS 10-15 KTS
TODAY...5-10 TONIGHT...AND AROUND 15 KTS TOMORROW. THERE IS A
WINDOW FOR MVFR/IFR CEILINGS LATE TONIGHT/EARLY MON AT CXO...UTS
AND CLL. 33

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 956 AM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015/

UPDATE...
OTHER THAN BUMPING TEMPS AND DEW POINTS UPWARDS A NOTCH TO BETTER
MATCH OBS...NO OTHER UPDATES NEEDED AT THIS TIME. WILL HAVE TO
KEEP AN EYE ON HEAT INDICES THIS MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON UNTIL
DIURNAL MIXING AND INCREASING WINDS BEGIN TO DIP TDS OUT OF THE
UPPER 70S TO NEAR 80F. MANY SITES WILL APPROACH 105F FOR HEAT
INDICES...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST. CAN`T RULE OUT A STRAY
SHOWER/TSTM NEAR THE COAST AND ALONG NORTHERN/EASTERN COUNTIES
THIS AFTERNOON GIVEN THE ABUNDANT MOISTURE IN PLACE...ALTHOUGH
OVERALL SETUP MUCH LESS FAVORABLE THAN YESTERDAY.

48

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      93  77  93  76  92 /  20  10   0   0  20
HOUSTON (IAH)              93  78  94  78  92 /  20  10  10   0  20
GALVESTON (GLS)            89  81  90  80  89 /  20  10  10  10  20

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...33





000
FXUS64 KHGX 051456
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
956 AM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015

.UPDATE...
OTHER THAN BUMPING TEMPS AND DEW POINTS UPWARDS A NOTCH TO BETTER
MATCH OBS...NO OTHER UPDATES NEEDED AT THIS TIME. WILL HAVE TO
KEEP AN EYE ON HEAT INDICES THIS MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON UNTIL
DIURNAL MIXING AND INCREASING WINDS BEGIN TO DIP TDS OUT OF THE
UPPER 70S TO NEAR 80F. MANY SITES WILL APPROACH 105F FOR HEAT
INDICES...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST. CAN`T RULE OUT A STRAY
SHOWER/TSTM NEAR THE COAST AND ALONG NORTHERN/EASTERN COUNTIES
THIS AFTERNOON GIVEN THE ABUNDANT MOISTURE IN PLACE...ALTHOUGH
OVERALL SETUP MUCH LESS FAVORABLE THAN YESTERDAY.

48

&&


.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 437 AM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015/

DISCUSSION...
AT 3 AM...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WAS LOCATED FLORIDA WITH LOW
PRESSURE OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL PLAINS. SPEED CONVERGENCE ALONG
THE COAST IS PRODUCING A FEW SHOWERS AND THIS WILL PERSIST THROUGH
SUNRISE AND THEN COME TO AN END. AT 850 MB...DEEPER MOISTURE WAS
LOCATED NEAR BRO AND ANOTHER SWATH OF DEEPER MOISTURE ACROSS
SOUTHERN LOUISIANA INTO SE TX. A WEAK 700 MB TROUGH EXTENDED
ACROSS NORTH LOUISIANA INTO EAST TEXAS AND 700 MB TEMPS HAD COOLED
SLIGHTLY FROM YESTERDAY. A WEAK 500 MB TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS ACROSS
CENTRAL TEXAS TO A WEAK 500 MB LOW OVER THE MID SOUTH. AT 250
MB...A STRONG UPPER LEVEL HIGH WAS OVER NEW MEXICO WITH A SHARP
TROUGH AXIS FROM ARKANSAS THROUGH SOUTHERN LOUISIANA. UPPER LEVEL
WINDS REMAIN BROADLY DIVERGENT BUT MODELS SUGGEST THAT THE
DIVERGENCE WILL DIMINISH BY AFTERNOON. PW VALUES REMAIN BETWEEN
1.7-1.8 INCHES WITH CONVECTIVE BETWEEN 88-91 DEGREES. THE MODEST
MOISTURE COUPLED WITH THE 700-500 TROUGH AXIS SHOULD YIELD A FEW
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY. NOT EXPECTING MUCH IN THE WAY OF
COVERAGE TODAY AND THE 20 POPS IN THE GRIDS SEEM MORE THAN
GENEROUS. HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL RANGE FROM ABOUT 98-103 DEGREES
INLAND AND BETWEEN 102 AND 109 DEGREES IN THE COASTAL COUNTIES
TODAY AND AGAIN MONDAY. STAY HYDRATED WITH WATER IF HEADING TO
AREA BEACHES TODAY.

UPPER LEVEL RIDGING LOOKS A BIT WEAKER ON MONDAY AS AN UPPER HIGH
RESIDES OVER FLORIDA AND A SECOND HIGH OVER NORTHERN MEXICO. THIS
LEAVES SE TX IN A BIT OF A WEAKNESS ALOFT. MOISTURE ON MONDAY IS
RATHER SPARSE WITH PW VALUES BETWEEN 1.5 AND 1.6 INCHES AND
CONVECTIVE TEMPS WILL BE IN THE LOWER 90S. WILL KEEP RAIN OUT OF
THE FORECAST ON MONDAY. BY TUESDAY...A WEAK S/WV TROUGH WILL SCOOT
EAST BETWEEN THE TWO UPPER LEVEL RIDGES AND PW VALUES INCREASE TO
1.8 INCHES BY AFTERNOON. WILL MAINTAIN LOWISH POPS FOR TUESDAY BUT
AGAIN COVERAGE NOT LOOKING TOO IMPRESSIVE. THE UPPER HIGH OVER
FLORIDA AND THE OTHER HIGH OVER NORTHERN MEXICO MERGE OVER THE
SOUTHERN U.S. DURING THE UPCOMING WEEK AND THIS WILL YIELD A BROAD
BUT WEAK UPPER LEVEL RIDGE THAT EXTENDS FROM NORTHWEST MEXICO
ACROSS TEXAS TO THE CAROLINA COAST BY THURSDAY. 500 MB HEIGHTS
REMAIN MODEST STAYING AROUND 5920 DM. IT`LL START GETTING WARMER
BUT NOT LOOKING AT HOT TEMPERATURES JUST YET. THE RIDGE SHOULD
KEEP MOST OF SE TX WITH ONLY AN ISOLATED SHRA/TSRA POSSIBLE. THE
CENTER OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BECOME CENTERED OVER THE
SOUTHERN ROCKIES ON FRIDAY AND HEIGHTS WILL BEGIN TO BUILD. WARMER
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FOR NEXT WEEKEND WITH DRY CONDITIONS
PERSISTING.  43

MARINE...

SSE WINDS 10-15KTS SHOULD CONTINUE TODAY WITH A FEW KNOT INCREASE
TONIGHT. MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY THE LLJ INTENSIFIES TO THE WEST
AS A S/W MOVES INTO OKLAHOMA AND THIS SHOULD TAP INTO DEEPER
MOISTURE AND ELEVATE THE WINDS. SCEC CONDITIONS MAY BE POSSIBLE LATE
MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. UPPER RIDGING TAKING
HOLD ON TEXAS ON WEDNESDAY AND SQUASHING SHOWER CHANCES AND WINDS
LOWER INTO THE 8-14KT RANGE.
45

AVIATION...
SOME PATCHY FOG AT CXO AND ARM WITH ST 600-1200FT NEAR CLL/11R AREAS
EARLY THIS MORNING. EXPECTING THE FOG AND ST TO CONTINUE UNTIL
AROUND SUNRISE THEN QUICKLY DISSIPATE. SHOWERS IN THE GULF ARE
REALLY STRUGGLING AGAINST THE SUBSIDENCE SO HAVE INCLUDED VCSH AT
GLS BUT FOR NOW DON`T PLAN TO INCLUDE LBX. TODAY ACROSS THE MAIN
TERMINALS EXPECTING VFR CONDITIONS. A FEW SHOWERS AND EVEN AN
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE SEABREEZE BUT
COVERAGE SHOULD LOW AND NOT CONFIDENT ENOUGH THAT THEY WOULD IMPACT
ANY PARTICULAR TERMINAL. SOME PATCHY MVFR CIGS MAY DEVELOP AS FAR
EAST AS CXO AFTER 06Z AND CONFIDENCE IS MUCH HIGHER THAT CLL WILL GO
MVFR AFTER 06Z.
45

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      93  77  93  76  92 /  20  10   0   0  20
HOUSTON (IAH)              93  78  94  78  92 /  20  10  10   0  20
GALVESTON (GLS)            89  81  90  80  89 /  20  10  10  10  20

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KHGX 051456
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
956 AM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015

.UPDATE...
OTHER THAN BUMPING TEMPS AND DEW POINTS UPWARDS A NOTCH TO BETTER
MATCH OBS...NO OTHER UPDATES NEEDED AT THIS TIME. WILL HAVE TO
KEEP AN EYE ON HEAT INDICES THIS MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON UNTIL
DIURNAL MIXING AND INCREASING WINDS BEGIN TO DIP TDS OUT OF THE
UPPER 70S TO NEAR 80F. MANY SITES WILL APPROACH 105F FOR HEAT
INDICES...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST. CAN`T RULE OUT A STRAY
SHOWER/TSTM NEAR THE COAST AND ALONG NORTHERN/EASTERN COUNTIES
THIS AFTERNOON GIVEN THE ABUNDANT MOISTURE IN PLACE...ALTHOUGH
OVERALL SETUP MUCH LESS FAVORABLE THAN YESTERDAY.

48

&&


.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 437 AM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015/

DISCUSSION...
AT 3 AM...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WAS LOCATED FLORIDA WITH LOW
PRESSURE OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL PLAINS. SPEED CONVERGENCE ALONG
THE COAST IS PRODUCING A FEW SHOWERS AND THIS WILL PERSIST THROUGH
SUNRISE AND THEN COME TO AN END. AT 850 MB...DEEPER MOISTURE WAS
LOCATED NEAR BRO AND ANOTHER SWATH OF DEEPER MOISTURE ACROSS
SOUTHERN LOUISIANA INTO SE TX. A WEAK 700 MB TROUGH EXTENDED
ACROSS NORTH LOUISIANA INTO EAST TEXAS AND 700 MB TEMPS HAD COOLED
SLIGHTLY FROM YESTERDAY. A WEAK 500 MB TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS ACROSS
CENTRAL TEXAS TO A WEAK 500 MB LOW OVER THE MID SOUTH. AT 250
MB...A STRONG UPPER LEVEL HIGH WAS OVER NEW MEXICO WITH A SHARP
TROUGH AXIS FROM ARKANSAS THROUGH SOUTHERN LOUISIANA. UPPER LEVEL
WINDS REMAIN BROADLY DIVERGENT BUT MODELS SUGGEST THAT THE
DIVERGENCE WILL DIMINISH BY AFTERNOON. PW VALUES REMAIN BETWEEN
1.7-1.8 INCHES WITH CONVECTIVE BETWEEN 88-91 DEGREES. THE MODEST
MOISTURE COUPLED WITH THE 700-500 TROUGH AXIS SHOULD YIELD A FEW
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY. NOT EXPECTING MUCH IN THE WAY OF
COVERAGE TODAY AND THE 20 POPS IN THE GRIDS SEEM MORE THAN
GENEROUS. HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL RANGE FROM ABOUT 98-103 DEGREES
INLAND AND BETWEEN 102 AND 109 DEGREES IN THE COASTAL COUNTIES
TODAY AND AGAIN MONDAY. STAY HYDRATED WITH WATER IF HEADING TO
AREA BEACHES TODAY.

UPPER LEVEL RIDGING LOOKS A BIT WEAKER ON MONDAY AS AN UPPER HIGH
RESIDES OVER FLORIDA AND A SECOND HIGH OVER NORTHERN MEXICO. THIS
LEAVES SE TX IN A BIT OF A WEAKNESS ALOFT. MOISTURE ON MONDAY IS
RATHER SPARSE WITH PW VALUES BETWEEN 1.5 AND 1.6 INCHES AND
CONVECTIVE TEMPS WILL BE IN THE LOWER 90S. WILL KEEP RAIN OUT OF
THE FORECAST ON MONDAY. BY TUESDAY...A WEAK S/WV TROUGH WILL SCOOT
EAST BETWEEN THE TWO UPPER LEVEL RIDGES AND PW VALUES INCREASE TO
1.8 INCHES BY AFTERNOON. WILL MAINTAIN LOWISH POPS FOR TUESDAY BUT
AGAIN COVERAGE NOT LOOKING TOO IMPRESSIVE. THE UPPER HIGH OVER
FLORIDA AND THE OTHER HIGH OVER NORTHERN MEXICO MERGE OVER THE
SOUTHERN U.S. DURING THE UPCOMING WEEK AND THIS WILL YIELD A BROAD
BUT WEAK UPPER LEVEL RIDGE THAT EXTENDS FROM NORTHWEST MEXICO
ACROSS TEXAS TO THE CAROLINA COAST BY THURSDAY. 500 MB HEIGHTS
REMAIN MODEST STAYING AROUND 5920 DM. IT`LL START GETTING WARMER
BUT NOT LOOKING AT HOT TEMPERATURES JUST YET. THE RIDGE SHOULD
KEEP MOST OF SE TX WITH ONLY AN ISOLATED SHRA/TSRA POSSIBLE. THE
CENTER OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BECOME CENTERED OVER THE
SOUTHERN ROCKIES ON FRIDAY AND HEIGHTS WILL BEGIN TO BUILD. WARMER
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FOR NEXT WEEKEND WITH DRY CONDITIONS
PERSISTING.  43

MARINE...

SSE WINDS 10-15KTS SHOULD CONTINUE TODAY WITH A FEW KNOT INCREASE
TONIGHT. MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY THE LLJ INTENSIFIES TO THE WEST
AS A S/W MOVES INTO OKLAHOMA AND THIS SHOULD TAP INTO DEEPER
MOISTURE AND ELEVATE THE WINDS. SCEC CONDITIONS MAY BE POSSIBLE LATE
MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. UPPER RIDGING TAKING
HOLD ON TEXAS ON WEDNESDAY AND SQUASHING SHOWER CHANCES AND WINDS
LOWER INTO THE 8-14KT RANGE.
45

AVIATION...
SOME PATCHY FOG AT CXO AND ARM WITH ST 600-1200FT NEAR CLL/11R AREAS
EARLY THIS MORNING. EXPECTING THE FOG AND ST TO CONTINUE UNTIL
AROUND SUNRISE THEN QUICKLY DISSIPATE. SHOWERS IN THE GULF ARE
REALLY STRUGGLING AGAINST THE SUBSIDENCE SO HAVE INCLUDED VCSH AT
GLS BUT FOR NOW DON`T PLAN TO INCLUDE LBX. TODAY ACROSS THE MAIN
TERMINALS EXPECTING VFR CONDITIONS. A FEW SHOWERS AND EVEN AN
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE SEABREEZE BUT
COVERAGE SHOULD LOW AND NOT CONFIDENT ENOUGH THAT THEY WOULD IMPACT
ANY PARTICULAR TERMINAL. SOME PATCHY MVFR CIGS MAY DEVELOP AS FAR
EAST AS CXO AFTER 06Z AND CONFIDENCE IS MUCH HIGHER THAT CLL WILL GO
MVFR AFTER 06Z.
45

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      93  77  93  76  92 /  20  10   0   0  20
HOUSTON (IAH)              93  78  94  78  92 /  20  10  10   0  20
GALVESTON (GLS)            89  81  90  80  89 /  20  10  10  10  20

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KHGX 050937
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
437 AM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015

.DISCUSSION...
AT 3 AM...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WAS LOCATED FLORIDA WITH LOW
PRESSURE OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL PLAINS. SPEED CONVERGENCE ALONG
THE COAST IS PRODUCING A FEW SHOWERS AND THIS WILL PERSIST THROUGH
SUNRISE AND THEN COME TO AN END. AT 850 MB...DEEPER MOISTURE WAS
LOCATED NEAR BRO AND ANOTHER SWATH OF DEEPER MOISTURE ACROSS
SOUTHERN LOUISIANA INTO SE TX. A WEAK 700 MB TROUGH EXTENDED
ACROSS NORTH LOUISIANA INTO EAST TEXAS AND 700 MB TEMPS HAD COOLED
SLIGHTLY FROM YESTERDAY. A WEAK 500 MB TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS ACROSS
CENTRAL TEXAS TO A WEAK 500 MB LOW OVER THE MID SOUTH. AT 250
MB...A STRONG UPPER LEVEL HIGH WAS OVER NEW MEXICO WITH A SHARP
TROUGH AXIS FROM ARKANSAS THROUGH SOUTHERN LOUISIANA. UPPER LEVEL
WINDS REMAIN BROADLY DIVERGENT BUT MODELS SUGGEST THAT THE
DIVERGENCE WILL DIMINISH BY AFTERNOON. PW VALUES REMAIN BETWEEN
1.7-1.8 INCHES WITH CONVECTIVE BETWEEN 88-91 DEGREES. THE MODEST
MOISTURE COUPLED WITH THE 700-500 TROUGH AXIS SHOULD YIELD A FEW
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY. NOT EXPECTING MUCH IN THE WAY OF
COVERAGE TODAY AND THE 20 POPS IN THE GRIDS SEEM MORE THAN
GENEROUS. HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL RANGE FROM ABOUT 98-103 DEGREES
INLAND AND BETWEEN 102 AND 109 DEGREES IN THE COASTAL COUNTIES
TODAY AND AGAIN MONDAY. STAY HYDRATED WITH WATER IF HEADING TO
AREA BEACHES TODAY.

UPPER LEVEL RIDGING LOOKS A BIT WEAKER ON MONDAY AS AN UPPER HIGH
RESIDES OVER FLORIDA AND A SECOND HIGH OVER NORTHERN MEXICO. THIS
LEAVES SE TX IN A BIT OF A WEAKNESS ALOFT. MOISTURE ON MONDAY IS
RATHER SPARSE WITH PW VALUES BETWEEN 1.5 AND 1.6 INCHES AND
CONVECTIVE TEMPS WILL BE IN THE LOWER 90S. WILL KEEP RAIN OUT OF
THE FORECAST ON MONDAY. BY TUESDAY...A WEAK S/WV TROUGH WILL SCOOT
EAST BETWEEN THE TWO UPPER LEVEL RIDGES AND PW VALUES INCREASE TO
1.8 INCHES BY AFTERNOON. WILL MAINTAIN LOWISH POPS FOR TUESDAY BUT
AGAIN COVERAGE NOT LOOKING TOO IMPRESSIVE. THE UPPER HIGH OVER
FLORIDA AND THE OTHER HIGH OVER NORTHERN MEXICO MERGE OVER THE
SOUTHERN U.S. DURING THE UPCOMING WEEK AND THIS WILL YIELD A BROAD
BUT WEAK UPPER LEVEL RIDGE THAT EXTENDS FROM NORTHWEST MEXICO
ACROSS TEXAS TO THE CAROLINA COAST BY THURSDAY. 500 MB HEIGHTS
REMAIN MODEST STAYING AROUND 5920 DM. IT`LL START GETTING WARMER
BUT NOT LOOKING AT HOT TEMPERATURES JUST YET. THE RIDGE SHOULD
KEEP MOST OF SE TX WITH ONLY AN ISOLATED SHRA/TSRA POSSIBLE. THE
CENTER OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BECOME CENTERED OVER THE
SOUTHERN ROCKIES ON FRIDAY AND HEIGHTS WILL BEGIN TO BUILD. WARMER
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FOR NEXT WEEKEND WITH DRY CONDITIONS
PERSISTING.  43

&&

.MARINE...

SSE WINDS 10-15KTS SHOULD CONTINUE TODAY WITH A FEW KNOT INCREASE
TONIGHT. MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY THE LLJ INTENSIFIES TO THE WEST
AS A S/W MOVES INTO OKLAHOMA AND THIS SHOULD TAP INTO DEEPER
MOISTURE AND ELEVATE THE WINDS. SCEC CONDITIONS MAY BE POSSIBLE LATE
MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. UPPER RIDGING TAKING
HOLD ON TEXAS ON WEDNESDAY AND SQUASHING SHOWER CHANCES AND WINDS
LOWER INTO THE 8-14KT RANGE.
45

&&

.AVIATION...
SOME PATCHY FOG AT CXO AND ARM WITH ST 600-1200FT NEAR CLL/11R AREAS
EARLY THIS MORNING. EXPECTING THE FOG AND ST TO CONTINUE UNTIL
AROUND SUNRISE THEN QUICKLY DISSIPATE. SHOWERS IN THE GULF ARE
REALLY STRUGGLING AGAINST THE SUBSIDENCE SO HAVE INCLUDED VCSH AT
GLS BUT FOR NOW DON`T PLAN TO INCLUDE LBX. TODAY ACROSS THE MAIN
TERMINALS EXPECTING VFR CONDITIONS. A FEW SHOWERS AND EVEN AN
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE SEABREEZE BUT
COVERAGE SHOULD LOW AND NOT CONFIDENT ENOUGH THAT THEY WOULD IMPACT
ANY PARTICULAR TERMINAL. SOME PATCHY MVFR CIGS MAY DEVELOP AS FAR
EAST AS CXO AFTER 06Z AND CONFIDENCE IS MUCH HIGHER THAT CLL WILL GO
MVFR AFTER 06Z.
45
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      93  77  93  76  92 /  20  10   0   0  20
HOUSTON (IAH)              93  78  94  78  92 /  20  10  10   0  20
GALVESTON (GLS)            89  81  90  80  89 /  20  10  10  10  20

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KHGX 050937
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
437 AM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015

.DISCUSSION...
AT 3 AM...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WAS LOCATED FLORIDA WITH LOW
PRESSURE OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL PLAINS. SPEED CONVERGENCE ALONG
THE COAST IS PRODUCING A FEW SHOWERS AND THIS WILL PERSIST THROUGH
SUNRISE AND THEN COME TO AN END. AT 850 MB...DEEPER MOISTURE WAS
LOCATED NEAR BRO AND ANOTHER SWATH OF DEEPER MOISTURE ACROSS
SOUTHERN LOUISIANA INTO SE TX. A WEAK 700 MB TROUGH EXTENDED
ACROSS NORTH LOUISIANA INTO EAST TEXAS AND 700 MB TEMPS HAD COOLED
SLIGHTLY FROM YESTERDAY. A WEAK 500 MB TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS ACROSS
CENTRAL TEXAS TO A WEAK 500 MB LOW OVER THE MID SOUTH. AT 250
MB...A STRONG UPPER LEVEL HIGH WAS OVER NEW MEXICO WITH A SHARP
TROUGH AXIS FROM ARKANSAS THROUGH SOUTHERN LOUISIANA. UPPER LEVEL
WINDS REMAIN BROADLY DIVERGENT BUT MODELS SUGGEST THAT THE
DIVERGENCE WILL DIMINISH BY AFTERNOON. PW VALUES REMAIN BETWEEN
1.7-1.8 INCHES WITH CONVECTIVE BETWEEN 88-91 DEGREES. THE MODEST
MOISTURE COUPLED WITH THE 700-500 TROUGH AXIS SHOULD YIELD A FEW
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY. NOT EXPECTING MUCH IN THE WAY OF
COVERAGE TODAY AND THE 20 POPS IN THE GRIDS SEEM MORE THAN
GENEROUS. HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL RANGE FROM ABOUT 98-103 DEGREES
INLAND AND BETWEEN 102 AND 109 DEGREES IN THE COASTAL COUNTIES
TODAY AND AGAIN MONDAY. STAY HYDRATED WITH WATER IF HEADING TO
AREA BEACHES TODAY.

UPPER LEVEL RIDGING LOOKS A BIT WEAKER ON MONDAY AS AN UPPER HIGH
RESIDES OVER FLORIDA AND A SECOND HIGH OVER NORTHERN MEXICO. THIS
LEAVES SE TX IN A BIT OF A WEAKNESS ALOFT. MOISTURE ON MONDAY IS
RATHER SPARSE WITH PW VALUES BETWEEN 1.5 AND 1.6 INCHES AND
CONVECTIVE TEMPS WILL BE IN THE LOWER 90S. WILL KEEP RAIN OUT OF
THE FORECAST ON MONDAY. BY TUESDAY...A WEAK S/WV TROUGH WILL SCOOT
EAST BETWEEN THE TWO UPPER LEVEL RIDGES AND PW VALUES INCREASE TO
1.8 INCHES BY AFTERNOON. WILL MAINTAIN LOWISH POPS FOR TUESDAY BUT
AGAIN COVERAGE NOT LOOKING TOO IMPRESSIVE. THE UPPER HIGH OVER
FLORIDA AND THE OTHER HIGH OVER NORTHERN MEXICO MERGE OVER THE
SOUTHERN U.S. DURING THE UPCOMING WEEK AND THIS WILL YIELD A BROAD
BUT WEAK UPPER LEVEL RIDGE THAT EXTENDS FROM NORTHWEST MEXICO
ACROSS TEXAS TO THE CAROLINA COAST BY THURSDAY. 500 MB HEIGHTS
REMAIN MODEST STAYING AROUND 5920 DM. IT`LL START GETTING WARMER
BUT NOT LOOKING AT HOT TEMPERATURES JUST YET. THE RIDGE SHOULD
KEEP MOST OF SE TX WITH ONLY AN ISOLATED SHRA/TSRA POSSIBLE. THE
CENTER OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BECOME CENTERED OVER THE
SOUTHERN ROCKIES ON FRIDAY AND HEIGHTS WILL BEGIN TO BUILD. WARMER
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FOR NEXT WEEKEND WITH DRY CONDITIONS
PERSISTING.  43

&&

.MARINE...

SSE WINDS 10-15KTS SHOULD CONTINUE TODAY WITH A FEW KNOT INCREASE
TONIGHT. MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY THE LLJ INTENSIFIES TO THE WEST
AS A S/W MOVES INTO OKLAHOMA AND THIS SHOULD TAP INTO DEEPER
MOISTURE AND ELEVATE THE WINDS. SCEC CONDITIONS MAY BE POSSIBLE LATE
MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. UPPER RIDGING TAKING
HOLD ON TEXAS ON WEDNESDAY AND SQUASHING SHOWER CHANCES AND WINDS
LOWER INTO THE 8-14KT RANGE.
45

&&

.AVIATION...
SOME PATCHY FOG AT CXO AND ARM WITH ST 600-1200FT NEAR CLL/11R AREAS
EARLY THIS MORNING. EXPECTING THE FOG AND ST TO CONTINUE UNTIL
AROUND SUNRISE THEN QUICKLY DISSIPATE. SHOWERS IN THE GULF ARE
REALLY STRUGGLING AGAINST THE SUBSIDENCE SO HAVE INCLUDED VCSH AT
GLS BUT FOR NOW DON`T PLAN TO INCLUDE LBX. TODAY ACROSS THE MAIN
TERMINALS EXPECTING VFR CONDITIONS. A FEW SHOWERS AND EVEN AN
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE SEABREEZE BUT
COVERAGE SHOULD LOW AND NOT CONFIDENT ENOUGH THAT THEY WOULD IMPACT
ANY PARTICULAR TERMINAL. SOME PATCHY MVFR CIGS MAY DEVELOP AS FAR
EAST AS CXO AFTER 06Z AND CONFIDENCE IS MUCH HIGHER THAT CLL WILL GO
MVFR AFTER 06Z.
45
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      93  77  93  76  92 /  20  10   0   0  20
HOUSTON (IAH)              93  78  94  78  92 /  20  10  10   0  20
GALVESTON (GLS)            89  81  90  80  89 /  20  10  10  10  20

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KHGX 050937
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
437 AM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015

.DISCUSSION...
AT 3 AM...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WAS LOCATED FLORIDA WITH LOW
PRESSURE OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL PLAINS. SPEED CONVERGENCE ALONG
THE COAST IS PRODUCING A FEW SHOWERS AND THIS WILL PERSIST THROUGH
SUNRISE AND THEN COME TO AN END. AT 850 MB...DEEPER MOISTURE WAS
LOCATED NEAR BRO AND ANOTHER SWATH OF DEEPER MOISTURE ACROSS
SOUTHERN LOUISIANA INTO SE TX. A WEAK 700 MB TROUGH EXTENDED
ACROSS NORTH LOUISIANA INTO EAST TEXAS AND 700 MB TEMPS HAD COOLED
SLIGHTLY FROM YESTERDAY. A WEAK 500 MB TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS ACROSS
CENTRAL TEXAS TO A WEAK 500 MB LOW OVER THE MID SOUTH. AT 250
MB...A STRONG UPPER LEVEL HIGH WAS OVER NEW MEXICO WITH A SHARP
TROUGH AXIS FROM ARKANSAS THROUGH SOUTHERN LOUISIANA. UPPER LEVEL
WINDS REMAIN BROADLY DIVERGENT BUT MODELS SUGGEST THAT THE
DIVERGENCE WILL DIMINISH BY AFTERNOON. PW VALUES REMAIN BETWEEN
1.7-1.8 INCHES WITH CONVECTIVE BETWEEN 88-91 DEGREES. THE MODEST
MOISTURE COUPLED WITH THE 700-500 TROUGH AXIS SHOULD YIELD A FEW
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY. NOT EXPECTING MUCH IN THE WAY OF
COVERAGE TODAY AND THE 20 POPS IN THE GRIDS SEEM MORE THAN
GENEROUS. HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL RANGE FROM ABOUT 98-103 DEGREES
INLAND AND BETWEEN 102 AND 109 DEGREES IN THE COASTAL COUNTIES
TODAY AND AGAIN MONDAY. STAY HYDRATED WITH WATER IF HEADING TO
AREA BEACHES TODAY.

UPPER LEVEL RIDGING LOOKS A BIT WEAKER ON MONDAY AS AN UPPER HIGH
RESIDES OVER FLORIDA AND A SECOND HIGH OVER NORTHERN MEXICO. THIS
LEAVES SE TX IN A BIT OF A WEAKNESS ALOFT. MOISTURE ON MONDAY IS
RATHER SPARSE WITH PW VALUES BETWEEN 1.5 AND 1.6 INCHES AND
CONVECTIVE TEMPS WILL BE IN THE LOWER 90S. WILL KEEP RAIN OUT OF
THE FORECAST ON MONDAY. BY TUESDAY...A WEAK S/WV TROUGH WILL SCOOT
EAST BETWEEN THE TWO UPPER LEVEL RIDGES AND PW VALUES INCREASE TO
1.8 INCHES BY AFTERNOON. WILL MAINTAIN LOWISH POPS FOR TUESDAY BUT
AGAIN COVERAGE NOT LOOKING TOO IMPRESSIVE. THE UPPER HIGH OVER
FLORIDA AND THE OTHER HIGH OVER NORTHERN MEXICO MERGE OVER THE
SOUTHERN U.S. DURING THE UPCOMING WEEK AND THIS WILL YIELD A BROAD
BUT WEAK UPPER LEVEL RIDGE THAT EXTENDS FROM NORTHWEST MEXICO
ACROSS TEXAS TO THE CAROLINA COAST BY THURSDAY. 500 MB HEIGHTS
REMAIN MODEST STAYING AROUND 5920 DM. IT`LL START GETTING WARMER
BUT NOT LOOKING AT HOT TEMPERATURES JUST YET. THE RIDGE SHOULD
KEEP MOST OF SE TX WITH ONLY AN ISOLATED SHRA/TSRA POSSIBLE. THE
CENTER OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BECOME CENTERED OVER THE
SOUTHERN ROCKIES ON FRIDAY AND HEIGHTS WILL BEGIN TO BUILD. WARMER
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FOR NEXT WEEKEND WITH DRY CONDITIONS
PERSISTING.  43

&&

.MARINE...

SSE WINDS 10-15KTS SHOULD CONTINUE TODAY WITH A FEW KNOT INCREASE
TONIGHT. MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY THE LLJ INTENSIFIES TO THE WEST
AS A S/W MOVES INTO OKLAHOMA AND THIS SHOULD TAP INTO DEEPER
MOISTURE AND ELEVATE THE WINDS. SCEC CONDITIONS MAY BE POSSIBLE LATE
MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. UPPER RIDGING TAKING
HOLD ON TEXAS ON WEDNESDAY AND SQUASHING SHOWER CHANCES AND WINDS
LOWER INTO THE 8-14KT RANGE.
45

&&

.AVIATION...
SOME PATCHY FOG AT CXO AND ARM WITH ST 600-1200FT NEAR CLL/11R AREAS
EARLY THIS MORNING. EXPECTING THE FOG AND ST TO CONTINUE UNTIL
AROUND SUNRISE THEN QUICKLY DISSIPATE. SHOWERS IN THE GULF ARE
REALLY STRUGGLING AGAINST THE SUBSIDENCE SO HAVE INCLUDED VCSH AT
GLS BUT FOR NOW DON`T PLAN TO INCLUDE LBX. TODAY ACROSS THE MAIN
TERMINALS EXPECTING VFR CONDITIONS. A FEW SHOWERS AND EVEN AN
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE SEABREEZE BUT
COVERAGE SHOULD LOW AND NOT CONFIDENT ENOUGH THAT THEY WOULD IMPACT
ANY PARTICULAR TERMINAL. SOME PATCHY MVFR CIGS MAY DEVELOP AS FAR
EAST AS CXO AFTER 06Z AND CONFIDENCE IS MUCH HIGHER THAT CLL WILL GO
MVFR AFTER 06Z.
45
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      93  77  93  76  92 /  20  10   0   0  20
HOUSTON (IAH)              93  78  94  78  92 /  20  10  10   0  20
GALVESTON (GLS)            89  81  90  80  89 /  20  10  10  10  20

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KHGX 050937
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
437 AM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015

.DISCUSSION...
AT 3 AM...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WAS LOCATED FLORIDA WITH LOW
PRESSURE OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL PLAINS. SPEED CONVERGENCE ALONG
THE COAST IS PRODUCING A FEW SHOWERS AND THIS WILL PERSIST THROUGH
SUNRISE AND THEN COME TO AN END. AT 850 MB...DEEPER MOISTURE WAS
LOCATED NEAR BRO AND ANOTHER SWATH OF DEEPER MOISTURE ACROSS
SOUTHERN LOUISIANA INTO SE TX. A WEAK 700 MB TROUGH EXTENDED
ACROSS NORTH LOUISIANA INTO EAST TEXAS AND 700 MB TEMPS HAD COOLED
SLIGHTLY FROM YESTERDAY. A WEAK 500 MB TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS ACROSS
CENTRAL TEXAS TO A WEAK 500 MB LOW OVER THE MID SOUTH. AT 250
MB...A STRONG UPPER LEVEL HIGH WAS OVER NEW MEXICO WITH A SHARP
TROUGH AXIS FROM ARKANSAS THROUGH SOUTHERN LOUISIANA. UPPER LEVEL
WINDS REMAIN BROADLY DIVERGENT BUT MODELS SUGGEST THAT THE
DIVERGENCE WILL DIMINISH BY AFTERNOON. PW VALUES REMAIN BETWEEN
1.7-1.8 INCHES WITH CONVECTIVE BETWEEN 88-91 DEGREES. THE MODEST
MOISTURE COUPLED WITH THE 700-500 TROUGH AXIS SHOULD YIELD A FEW
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY. NOT EXPECTING MUCH IN THE WAY OF
COVERAGE TODAY AND THE 20 POPS IN THE GRIDS SEEM MORE THAN
GENEROUS. HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL RANGE FROM ABOUT 98-103 DEGREES
INLAND AND BETWEEN 102 AND 109 DEGREES IN THE COASTAL COUNTIES
TODAY AND AGAIN MONDAY. STAY HYDRATED WITH WATER IF HEADING TO
AREA BEACHES TODAY.

UPPER LEVEL RIDGING LOOKS A BIT WEAKER ON MONDAY AS AN UPPER HIGH
RESIDES OVER FLORIDA AND A SECOND HIGH OVER NORTHERN MEXICO. THIS
LEAVES SE TX IN A BIT OF A WEAKNESS ALOFT. MOISTURE ON MONDAY IS
RATHER SPARSE WITH PW VALUES BETWEEN 1.5 AND 1.6 INCHES AND
CONVECTIVE TEMPS WILL BE IN THE LOWER 90S. WILL KEEP RAIN OUT OF
THE FORECAST ON MONDAY. BY TUESDAY...A WEAK S/WV TROUGH WILL SCOOT
EAST BETWEEN THE TWO UPPER LEVEL RIDGES AND PW VALUES INCREASE TO
1.8 INCHES BY AFTERNOON. WILL MAINTAIN LOWISH POPS FOR TUESDAY BUT
AGAIN COVERAGE NOT LOOKING TOO IMPRESSIVE. THE UPPER HIGH OVER
FLORIDA AND THE OTHER HIGH OVER NORTHERN MEXICO MERGE OVER THE
SOUTHERN U.S. DURING THE UPCOMING WEEK AND THIS WILL YIELD A BROAD
BUT WEAK UPPER LEVEL RIDGE THAT EXTENDS FROM NORTHWEST MEXICO
ACROSS TEXAS TO THE CAROLINA COAST BY THURSDAY. 500 MB HEIGHTS
REMAIN MODEST STAYING AROUND 5920 DM. IT`LL START GETTING WARMER
BUT NOT LOOKING AT HOT TEMPERATURES JUST YET. THE RIDGE SHOULD
KEEP MOST OF SE TX WITH ONLY AN ISOLATED SHRA/TSRA POSSIBLE. THE
CENTER OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BECOME CENTERED OVER THE
SOUTHERN ROCKIES ON FRIDAY AND HEIGHTS WILL BEGIN TO BUILD. WARMER
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FOR NEXT WEEKEND WITH DRY CONDITIONS
PERSISTING.  43

&&

.MARINE...

SSE WINDS 10-15KTS SHOULD CONTINUE TODAY WITH A FEW KNOT INCREASE
TONIGHT. MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY THE LLJ INTENSIFIES TO THE WEST
AS A S/W MOVES INTO OKLAHOMA AND THIS SHOULD TAP INTO DEEPER
MOISTURE AND ELEVATE THE WINDS. SCEC CONDITIONS MAY BE POSSIBLE LATE
MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. UPPER RIDGING TAKING
HOLD ON TEXAS ON WEDNESDAY AND SQUASHING SHOWER CHANCES AND WINDS
LOWER INTO THE 8-14KT RANGE.
45

&&

.AVIATION...
SOME PATCHY FOG AT CXO AND ARM WITH ST 600-1200FT NEAR CLL/11R AREAS
EARLY THIS MORNING. EXPECTING THE FOG AND ST TO CONTINUE UNTIL
AROUND SUNRISE THEN QUICKLY DISSIPATE. SHOWERS IN THE GULF ARE
REALLY STRUGGLING AGAINST THE SUBSIDENCE SO HAVE INCLUDED VCSH AT
GLS BUT FOR NOW DON`T PLAN TO INCLUDE LBX. TODAY ACROSS THE MAIN
TERMINALS EXPECTING VFR CONDITIONS. A FEW SHOWERS AND EVEN AN
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE SEABREEZE BUT
COVERAGE SHOULD LOW AND NOT CONFIDENT ENOUGH THAT THEY WOULD IMPACT
ANY PARTICULAR TERMINAL. SOME PATCHY MVFR CIGS MAY DEVELOP AS FAR
EAST AS CXO AFTER 06Z AND CONFIDENCE IS MUCH HIGHER THAT CLL WILL GO
MVFR AFTER 06Z.
45
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      93  77  93  76  92 /  20  10   0   0  20
HOUSTON (IAH)              93  78  94  78  92 /  20  10  10   0  20
GALVESTON (GLS)            89  81  90  80  89 /  20  10  10  10  20

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KHGX 050449
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1149 PM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015

.DISCUSSION...
SEE 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.AVIATION...
HAVE ADDED A LITTLE MORE ORE-DAWN MVFR VIS/CIG COVERAGE TO
TERMINALS IN WESTERN PORTIONS OF FORECAST AREA. OTHERWISE...
VFR CONDITIONS WITH GUSTY SOUTH WINDS WILL PREVAIL DURING THE DAY
ON SUNDAY.  44

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 857 PM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015/

DISCUSSION...
WITH THE LOSS OF HEATING...CONVECTION HAS DISSIPATED OVER SE TX.
MAY SEE A SHORT LIVED ROGUE SHRA ACROSS ERN PARTS IN THE NEXT FEW
HOURS BUT SHOULDN`T BE SIGNIFICANT OR A FIREWORKS SHOW STOPPER.
ENJOY THE REST OF THE NIGHT AND BE SAFE. UPDATED FCST IS ALREADY
OUT - ONLY CHANGE WAS TO TRIM POPS. 47

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      75  94  77  94  76 /  10  20  10   0   0
HOUSTON (IAH)              76  94  78  94  78 /  20  20  10  10   0
GALVESTON (GLS)            80  89  78  90  79 /  20  20  10  10  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...47
AVIATION/MARINE...44




000
FXUS64 KHGX 050449
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1149 PM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015

.DISCUSSION...
SEE 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.AVIATION...
HAVE ADDED A LITTLE MORE ORE-DAWN MVFR VIS/CIG COVERAGE TO
TERMINALS IN WESTERN PORTIONS OF FORECAST AREA. OTHERWISE...
VFR CONDITIONS WITH GUSTY SOUTH WINDS WILL PREVAIL DURING THE DAY
ON SUNDAY.  44

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 857 PM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015/

DISCUSSION...
WITH THE LOSS OF HEATING...CONVECTION HAS DISSIPATED OVER SE TX.
MAY SEE A SHORT LIVED ROGUE SHRA ACROSS ERN PARTS IN THE NEXT FEW
HOURS BUT SHOULDN`T BE SIGNIFICANT OR A FIREWORKS SHOW STOPPER.
ENJOY THE REST OF THE NIGHT AND BE SAFE. UPDATED FCST IS ALREADY
OUT - ONLY CHANGE WAS TO TRIM POPS. 47

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      75  94  77  94  76 /  10  20  10   0   0
HOUSTON (IAH)              76  94  78  94  78 /  20  20  10  10   0
GALVESTON (GLS)            80  89  78  90  79 /  20  20  10  10  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...47
AVIATION/MARINE...44





000
FXUS64 KHGX 050157
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
857 PM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015

.DISCUSSION...
WITH THE LOSS OF HEATING...CONVECTION HAS DISSIPATED OVER SE TX.
MAY SEE A SHORT LIVED ROGUE SHRA ACROSS ERN PARTS IN THE NEXT FEW
HOURS BUT SHOULDN`T BE SIGNIFICANT OR A FIREWORKS SHOW STOPPER.
ENJOY THE REST OF THE NIGHT AND BE SAFE. UPDATED FCST IS ALREADY
OUT - ONLY CHANGE WAS TO TRIM POPS. 47

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      75  94  77  94  76 /  10  20  10   0   0
HOUSTON (IAH)              76  94  78  94  78 /  20  20  10  10   0
GALVESTON (GLS)            80  89  78  90  79 /  20  20  10  10  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KHGX 050157
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
857 PM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015

.DISCUSSION...
WITH THE LOSS OF HEATING...CONVECTION HAS DISSIPATED OVER SE TX.
MAY SEE A SHORT LIVED ROGUE SHRA ACROSS ERN PARTS IN THE NEXT FEW
HOURS BUT SHOULDN`T BE SIGNIFICANT OR A FIREWORKS SHOW STOPPER.
ENJOY THE REST OF THE NIGHT AND BE SAFE. UPDATED FCST IS ALREADY
OUT - ONLY CHANGE WAS TO TRIM POPS. 47

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      75  94  77  94  76 /  10  20  10   0   0
HOUSTON (IAH)              76  94  78  94  78 /  20  20  10  10   0
GALVESTON (GLS)            80  89  78  90  79 /  20  20  10  10  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KHGX 042358
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
658 PM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015

.DISCUSSION...
PLEASE SEE 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION...

&&

.AVIATION...
A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS WILL DISSIPATE SOON AFTER SUNSET. MVFR
CONDS HAVE NOT BEEN AS WIDESPREAD AS FORECAST FOR THE PREVIOUS TWO
MORNINGS SO ONLY MENTIONED THE POSSIBILITY OF PRE-DAWN MVFR CONDS
AT KCXO. VFR CONDS WITH GUSTY SOUTH WINDS WILL BE THE PREVAILING
WEATHER TOMORROW. A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
POSSIBLE TOMORROW AFTERNOON...BUT WITH MINIMAL COVERAGE
ANTICIPATED.... WON`T MENTION IN TAFS AT THIS TIME. 44

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 302 PM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015/

DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL WANE QUICKLY AFTER DARK THIS
EVENING AS SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE MID-SOUTH AND AWAY
FROM THE AREA. IN ITS WAKE...RIDGING ALOFT WILL BECOME
ESTABLISHED WHICH WILL BUILD THROUGH NEXT WEEK. DESPITE LARGE
SCALE SUBSIDENCE BECOMING ESTABLISHED...THE AIR MASS WILL REMAIN
QUITE MOIST ON SUNDAY AND WILL MAINTAIN SLGT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS/TSTMS SUNDAY AFTERNOON. AS WE MOVE INTO NEXT
WEEK...FORECAST WILL MIRROR CLIMATOLOGY WITH HIGHS GENERALLY IN
THE LOWER 90S EACH AFTERNOON ALTHOUGH RAIN CHANCES WILL REMAIN
QUITE LOW. COULD NOSE INTO THE MID 90S FOR INLAND AREAS BY THE
MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.

GFS AND ECMWF HAVE SOME DISAGREEMENT WITH RAIN CHANCES LATE IN
THE WEEK AS GFS BRINGS HIGHER POPS/INCREASING MOISTURE THU INTO
FRI ASSOCIATED WITH MID/UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE CENTER SHIFTING
OVER THE SOUTHEAST U.S.  EURO MAINTAINS THE DRIER PATTERN THROUGH
THE WEEK. WILL STAY WITH PERSISTENCE FOR THIS FORECAST...BUT WILL
KEEP MENTION OF SLGT CHANCE TSTMS THU/FRI AFTERNOONS.

48

MARINE...
MODERATE SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS DUE TO HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE EASTERN GULF AND LOW
PRESSURE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. EXPECT ISOLATED SHWRS/TSTMS
OFFSHORE LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY SUN. LOW RAIN CHANCES ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH MID- WEEK OVER THE COASTAL WATERS.

33

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1243 PM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015/

DISCUSSION...

18Z AVIATION DISCUSSION...SEEING SCT SHRA AND ISO TSRA EARLY THIS
AFT. EXPECT COVERAGE TO GRADUALLY INCREASE THE AFT AND ALSO GRADUALLY
SHIFT NORTH/FURTHER INLAND ACROSS SE TX IN THE 20-23Z TIME FRAME.
HAVE A TEMPO FOR TSRA AT IAH AND NORTHWARD WHERE THE BEST AFT COVERAGE
IS EXPECTED. DO NOT EXPECT MUCH ACTIVITY PAST 00Z. EXPECT ISOLATED
SHRA/TSTMS TOMORROW...BUT WITH MINIMAL COVERAGE. COULD SEE BRIEF
MVFR CEILINGS 10Z-15Z SUN. 33

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      75  94  77  94  76 /  30  20  10   0   0
HOUSTON (IAH)              76  94  78  94  78 /  30  20  10  10   0
GALVESTON (GLS)            80  89  78  90  79 /  10  20  10  10  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...47
AVIATION/MARINE...44





000
FXUS64 KHGX 042002
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
302 PM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015

.DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL WANE QUICKLY AFTER DARK THIS
EVENING AS SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE MID-SOUTH AND AWAY
FROM THE AREA. IN ITS WAKE...RIDGING ALOFT WILL BECOME
ESTABLISHED WHICH WILL BUILD THROUGH NEXT WEEK. DESPITE LARGE
SCALE SUBSIDENCE BECOMING ESTABLISHED...THE AIR MASS WILL REMAIN
QUITE MOIST ON SUNDAY AND WILL MAINTAIN SLGT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS/TSTMS SUNDAY AFTERNOON. AS WE MOVE INTO NEXT
WEEK...FORECAST WILL MIRROR CLIMATOLOGY WITH HIGHS GENERALLY IN
THE LOWER 90S EACH AFTERNOON ALTHOUGH RAIN CHANCES WILL REMAIN
QUITE LOW. COULD NOSE INTO THE MID 90S FOR INLAND AREAS BY THE
MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.

GFS AND ECMWF HAVE SOME DISAGREEMENT WITH RAIN CHANCES LATE IN
THE WEEK AS GFS BRINGS HIGHER POPS/INCREASING MOISTURE THU INTO
FRI ASSOCIATED WITH MID/UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE CENTER SHIFTING
OVER THE SOUTHEAST U.S.  EURO MAINTAINS THE DRIER PATTERN THROUGH
THE WEEK. WILL STAY WITH PERSISTENCE FOR THIS FORECAST...BUT WILL
KEEP MENTION OF SLGT CHANCE TSTMS THU/FRI AFTERNOONS.

48

.MARINE...
MODERATE SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS DUE TO HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE EASTERN GULF AND LOW
PRESSURE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. EXPECT ISOLATED SHWRS/TSTMS
OFFSHORE LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY SUN. LOW RAIN CHANCES ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH MID- WEEK OVER THE COASTAL WATERS.

33

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1243 PM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015/

DISCUSSION...

18Z AVIATION DISCUSSION...SEEING SCT SHRA AND ISO TSRA EARLY THIS
AFT. EXPECT COVERAGE TO GRADUALLY INCREASE THE AFT AND ALSO GRADUALLY
SHIFT NORTH/FURTHER INLAND ACROSS SE TX IN THE 20-23Z TIME FRAME.
HAVE A TEMPO FOR TSRA AT IAH AND NORTHWARD WHERE THE BEST AFT COVERAGE
IS EXPECTED. DO NOT EXPECT MUCH ACTIVITY PAST 00Z. EXPECT ISOLATED
SHRA/TSTMS TOMORROW...BUT WITH MINIMAL COVERAGE. COULD SEE BRIEF
MVFR CEILINGS 10Z-15Z SUN. 33

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      75  94  77  94  76 /  10  20  10   0   0
HOUSTON (IAH)              76  94  78  94  78 /  10  20  10  10   0
GALVESTON (GLS)            80  89  78  90  79 /  10  20  10  10  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KHGX 042002
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
302 PM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015

.DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL WANE QUICKLY AFTER DARK THIS
EVENING AS SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE MID-SOUTH AND AWAY
FROM THE AREA. IN ITS WAKE...RIDGING ALOFT WILL BECOME
ESTABLISHED WHICH WILL BUILD THROUGH NEXT WEEK. DESPITE LARGE
SCALE SUBSIDENCE BECOMING ESTABLISHED...THE AIR MASS WILL REMAIN
QUITE MOIST ON SUNDAY AND WILL MAINTAIN SLGT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS/TSTMS SUNDAY AFTERNOON. AS WE MOVE INTO NEXT
WEEK...FORECAST WILL MIRROR CLIMATOLOGY WITH HIGHS GENERALLY IN
THE LOWER 90S EACH AFTERNOON ALTHOUGH RAIN CHANCES WILL REMAIN
QUITE LOW. COULD NOSE INTO THE MID 90S FOR INLAND AREAS BY THE
MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.

GFS AND ECMWF HAVE SOME DISAGREEMENT WITH RAIN CHANCES LATE IN
THE WEEK AS GFS BRINGS HIGHER POPS/INCREASING MOISTURE THU INTO
FRI ASSOCIATED WITH MID/UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE CENTER SHIFTING
OVER THE SOUTHEAST U.S.  EURO MAINTAINS THE DRIER PATTERN THROUGH
THE WEEK. WILL STAY WITH PERSISTENCE FOR THIS FORECAST...BUT WILL
KEEP MENTION OF SLGT CHANCE TSTMS THU/FRI AFTERNOONS.

48

.MARINE...
MODERATE SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS DUE TO HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE EASTERN GULF AND LOW
PRESSURE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. EXPECT ISOLATED SHWRS/TSTMS
OFFSHORE LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY SUN. LOW RAIN CHANCES ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH MID- WEEK OVER THE COASTAL WATERS.

33

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1243 PM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015/

DISCUSSION...

18Z AVIATION DISCUSSION...SEEING SCT SHRA AND ISO TSRA EARLY THIS
AFT. EXPECT COVERAGE TO GRADUALLY INCREASE THE AFT AND ALSO GRADUALLY
SHIFT NORTH/FURTHER INLAND ACROSS SE TX IN THE 20-23Z TIME FRAME.
HAVE A TEMPO FOR TSRA AT IAH AND NORTHWARD WHERE THE BEST AFT COVERAGE
IS EXPECTED. DO NOT EXPECT MUCH ACTIVITY PAST 00Z. EXPECT ISOLATED
SHRA/TSTMS TOMORROW...BUT WITH MINIMAL COVERAGE. COULD SEE BRIEF
MVFR CEILINGS 10Z-15Z SUN. 33

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      75  94  77  94  76 /  10  20  10   0   0
HOUSTON (IAH)              76  94  78  94  78 /  10  20  10  10   0
GALVESTON (GLS)            80  89  78  90  79 /  10  20  10  10  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KHGX 042002
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
302 PM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015

.DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL WANE QUICKLY AFTER DARK THIS
EVENING AS SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE MID-SOUTH AND AWAY
FROM THE AREA. IN ITS WAKE...RIDGING ALOFT WILL BECOME
ESTABLISHED WHICH WILL BUILD THROUGH NEXT WEEK. DESPITE LARGE
SCALE SUBSIDENCE BECOMING ESTABLISHED...THE AIR MASS WILL REMAIN
QUITE MOIST ON SUNDAY AND WILL MAINTAIN SLGT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS/TSTMS SUNDAY AFTERNOON. AS WE MOVE INTO NEXT
WEEK...FORECAST WILL MIRROR CLIMATOLOGY WITH HIGHS GENERALLY IN
THE LOWER 90S EACH AFTERNOON ALTHOUGH RAIN CHANCES WILL REMAIN
QUITE LOW. COULD NOSE INTO THE MID 90S FOR INLAND AREAS BY THE
MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.

GFS AND ECMWF HAVE SOME DISAGREEMENT WITH RAIN CHANCES LATE IN
THE WEEK AS GFS BRINGS HIGHER POPS/INCREASING MOISTURE THU INTO
FRI ASSOCIATED WITH MID/UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE CENTER SHIFTING
OVER THE SOUTHEAST U.S.  EURO MAINTAINS THE DRIER PATTERN THROUGH
THE WEEK. WILL STAY WITH PERSISTENCE FOR THIS FORECAST...BUT WILL
KEEP MENTION OF SLGT CHANCE TSTMS THU/FRI AFTERNOONS.

48

.MARINE...
MODERATE SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS DUE TO HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE EASTERN GULF AND LOW
PRESSURE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. EXPECT ISOLATED SHWRS/TSTMS
OFFSHORE LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY SUN. LOW RAIN CHANCES ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH MID- WEEK OVER THE COASTAL WATERS.

33

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1243 PM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015/

DISCUSSION...

18Z AVIATION DISCUSSION...SEEING SCT SHRA AND ISO TSRA EARLY THIS
AFT. EXPECT COVERAGE TO GRADUALLY INCREASE THE AFT AND ALSO GRADUALLY
SHIFT NORTH/FURTHER INLAND ACROSS SE TX IN THE 20-23Z TIME FRAME.
HAVE A TEMPO FOR TSRA AT IAH AND NORTHWARD WHERE THE BEST AFT COVERAGE
IS EXPECTED. DO NOT EXPECT MUCH ACTIVITY PAST 00Z. EXPECT ISOLATED
SHRA/TSTMS TOMORROW...BUT WITH MINIMAL COVERAGE. COULD SEE BRIEF
MVFR CEILINGS 10Z-15Z SUN. 33

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      75  94  77  94  76 /  10  20  10   0   0
HOUSTON (IAH)              76  94  78  94  78 /  10  20  10  10   0
GALVESTON (GLS)            80  89  78  90  79 /  10  20  10  10  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KHGX 042002
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
302 PM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015

.DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL WANE QUICKLY AFTER DARK THIS
EVENING AS SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE MID-SOUTH AND AWAY
FROM THE AREA. IN ITS WAKE...RIDGING ALOFT WILL BECOME
ESTABLISHED WHICH WILL BUILD THROUGH NEXT WEEK. DESPITE LARGE
SCALE SUBSIDENCE BECOMING ESTABLISHED...THE AIR MASS WILL REMAIN
QUITE MOIST ON SUNDAY AND WILL MAINTAIN SLGT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS/TSTMS SUNDAY AFTERNOON. AS WE MOVE INTO NEXT
WEEK...FORECAST WILL MIRROR CLIMATOLOGY WITH HIGHS GENERALLY IN
THE LOWER 90S EACH AFTERNOON ALTHOUGH RAIN CHANCES WILL REMAIN
QUITE LOW. COULD NOSE INTO THE MID 90S FOR INLAND AREAS BY THE
MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.

GFS AND ECMWF HAVE SOME DISAGREEMENT WITH RAIN CHANCES LATE IN
THE WEEK AS GFS BRINGS HIGHER POPS/INCREASING MOISTURE THU INTO
FRI ASSOCIATED WITH MID/UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE CENTER SHIFTING
OVER THE SOUTHEAST U.S.  EURO MAINTAINS THE DRIER PATTERN THROUGH
THE WEEK. WILL STAY WITH PERSISTENCE FOR THIS FORECAST...BUT WILL
KEEP MENTION OF SLGT CHANCE TSTMS THU/FRI AFTERNOONS.

48

.MARINE...
MODERATE SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS DUE TO HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE EASTERN GULF AND LOW
PRESSURE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. EXPECT ISOLATED SHWRS/TSTMS
OFFSHORE LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY SUN. LOW RAIN CHANCES ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH MID- WEEK OVER THE COASTAL WATERS.

33

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1243 PM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015/

DISCUSSION...

18Z AVIATION DISCUSSION...SEEING SCT SHRA AND ISO TSRA EARLY THIS
AFT. EXPECT COVERAGE TO GRADUALLY INCREASE THE AFT AND ALSO GRADUALLY
SHIFT NORTH/FURTHER INLAND ACROSS SE TX IN THE 20-23Z TIME FRAME.
HAVE A TEMPO FOR TSRA AT IAH AND NORTHWARD WHERE THE BEST AFT COVERAGE
IS EXPECTED. DO NOT EXPECT MUCH ACTIVITY PAST 00Z. EXPECT ISOLATED
SHRA/TSTMS TOMORROW...BUT WITH MINIMAL COVERAGE. COULD SEE BRIEF
MVFR CEILINGS 10Z-15Z SUN. 33

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      75  94  77  94  76 /  10  20  10   0   0
HOUSTON (IAH)              76  94  78  94  78 /  10  20  10  10   0
GALVESTON (GLS)            80  89  78  90  79 /  10  20  10  10  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KHGX 041743
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1243 PM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015

.DISCUSSION...

18Z AVIATION DISCUSSION...SEEING SCT SHRA AND ISO TSRA EARLY THIS
AFT. EXPECT COVERAGE TO GRADUALLY INCREASE THE AFT AND ALSO GRADUALLY
SHIFT NORTH/FURTHER INLAND ACROSS SE TX IN THE 20-23Z TIME FRAME.
HAVE A TEMPO FOR TSRA AT IAH AND NORTHWARD WHERE THE BEST AFT COVERAGE
IS EXPECTED. DO NOT EXPECT MUCH ACTIVITY PAST 00Z. EXPECT ISOLATED
SHRA/TSTMS TOMORROW...BUT WITH MINIMAL COVERAGE. COULD SEE BRIEF
MVFR CEILINGS 10Z-15Z SUN. 33

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      92  76  92  75  93 /  30  20  20  10  10
HOUSTON (IAH)              93  77  93  77  93 /  50  20  20  10  10
GALVESTON (GLS)            89  82  90  81  91 /  20  10  20  10  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...33




000
FXUS64 KHGX 041743
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1243 PM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015

.DISCUSSION...

18Z AVIATION DISCUSSION...SEEING SCT SHRA AND ISO TSRA EARLY THIS
AFT. EXPECT COVERAGE TO GRADUALLY INCREASE THE AFT AND ALSO GRADUALLY
SHIFT NORTH/FURTHER INLAND ACROSS SE TX IN THE 20-23Z TIME FRAME.
HAVE A TEMPO FOR TSRA AT IAH AND NORTHWARD WHERE THE BEST AFT COVERAGE
IS EXPECTED. DO NOT EXPECT MUCH ACTIVITY PAST 00Z. EXPECT ISOLATED
SHRA/TSTMS TOMORROW...BUT WITH MINIMAL COVERAGE. COULD SEE BRIEF
MVFR CEILINGS 10Z-15Z SUN. 33

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      92  76  92  75  93 /  30  20  20  10  10
HOUSTON (IAH)              93  77  93  77  93 /  50  20  20  10  10
GALVESTON (GLS)            89  82  90  81  91 /  20  10  20  10  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...33





000
FXUS64 KHGX 041743
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1243 PM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015

.DISCUSSION...

18Z AVIATION DISCUSSION...SEEING SCT SHRA AND ISO TSRA EARLY THIS
AFT. EXPECT COVERAGE TO GRADUALLY INCREASE THE AFT AND ALSO GRADUALLY
SHIFT NORTH/FURTHER INLAND ACROSS SE TX IN THE 20-23Z TIME FRAME.
HAVE A TEMPO FOR TSRA AT IAH AND NORTHWARD WHERE THE BEST AFT COVERAGE
IS EXPECTED. DO NOT EXPECT MUCH ACTIVITY PAST 00Z. EXPECT ISOLATED
SHRA/TSTMS TOMORROW...BUT WITH MINIMAL COVERAGE. COULD SEE BRIEF
MVFR CEILINGS 10Z-15Z SUN. 33

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      92  76  92  75  93 /  30  20  20  10  10
HOUSTON (IAH)              93  77  93  77  93 /  50  20  20  10  10
GALVESTON (GLS)            89  82  90  81  91 /  20  10  20  10  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...33




000
FXUS64 KHGX 041514
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1014 AM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015

.UPDATE...
CURRENT FORECAST IN GOOD SHAPE WITH EXPECTED DEVELOPMENT OF
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATER THIS MORNING INTO THE
EARLY EVENING...PRIMARILY ACROSS NRN AND EASTERN COUNTIES.
LOCATION AND EXACT TIMING OF THESE SHORT-LIVED STORMS REMAINS TOO
DIFFICULT TO PIN DOWN AT THIS TIME. OVERALL...A WARM AND HUMID
FOUTH OF JULY IS ON TAP WITH BREEZY SOUTH-SOUTHWEST WINDS.

TAIL END OF WELL DEFINED SHORTWAVE TROUGH ON WV IMAGERY
APPROACHING THE MID SOUTH WILL SKIRT SERN TX TODAY MAY BOOST DEEP
ASCENT TODAY. INITIAL DEVELOPMENT BY EARLY AFTERNOON WILL LIKELY
BE TIED CLOSER TO THE SEA BREEZE...ALTHOUGH MODERATE LARGER SCALE
S-SW FLOW THROUGHOUT THE BOUNDARY LAYER ACROSS THE AREA MAY TEND
TO LIMIT OVERALL CONVERGENCE TODAY. WITH LITTLE FOCUS
ELSEWHERE...LATER DAY DEVELOPMENT WILL BE TOUGHER TO PIN DOWN AND
MAY BECOME FOCUSED ALONG RESIDUAL OUTFLOW FROM EARLIER DAY STORMS.
OBSERVED AND FORECAST SOUNDINGS ARE FAVORABLE FOR A FEW STRONGER
STORMS ONCE TEMPS PUSH THROUGH THE UPPER 80S WITH ISOLATED
STRONG/DAMAGING WIND THE PRIMARY CONCERN...ALONG WITH LIGHTNING
AND BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL. HIGH-RES GUIDANCE SUGGESTS MOST OF THE
TSTM DEVELOPMENT WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 12P/1P THROUGH 7P/8P.

48

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 426 AM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015/

DISCUSSION...
AT 3 AM...A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDED FROM CENTRAL ARKANSAS INTO
EXTREME NORTH TEXAS. SPEED CONVERGENCE ALONG THE COAST HAS HELPED
TO PRODUCE A FEW SHOWERS IN THE COASTAL COUNTIES EARLY THIS
MORNING AND THESE WILL END SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE. AT 850 MB...A
TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE EXTENDED ACROSS NORTH ARKANSAS INTO SOUTH
OKLAHOMA WITH DEEPER MOISTURE OVER NORTHERN LOUISIANA AND A SECOND
AREA OF DEEPER MOISTURE ALONG THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY. A 700 MB
TROUGH EXTENDED INTO NE TEXAS WITH SUBTLE WARMING AT BOTH LCH AND
CRP. AT 500 MB...A TOUGH OF LOW PRESSURE EXTENDED INTO SOUTH
CENTRAL TEXAS. WINDS AT 250 MB WERE SPLITTING OVER EAST TEXAS AND
MODELS KEEP A DIVERGENT WIND FIELD IN PLACE THROUGH THE DAY.

FCST SOUNDINGS PROG PW VALUES TO INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY PEAKING
BETWEEN 1.9 AND 2.3 INCHES. CAPE VALUES ARE PROGGED TO INCREASE TO
AROUND 3000 J/KG AND LI`S ARE -7 TO -10. CONVECTIVE TEMPS ARE
BETWEEN 86 AND 90 DEGREES SO DAYTIME HEATING COUPLED WITH THE
WEAKNESS AT 700-500 MB AND A DIVERGENT UPPER LEVEL WIND FIELD
SHOULD YIELD A GOOD CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY.
MODELS ARE NOT AGGRESSIVE WITH RAIN CHANCES TODAY BUT THINK
CONVECTION WILL BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD BY AFTN. SOME OF THE STORMS
WILL BE ON THE STRONG/SEVERE SIDE WITH CAPE AOA 3000 AND AN
INVERTED V SIGNATURE EVIDENT ON FCST SOUNDINGS. HAVE ADDED SOME
POSSIBLY SEVERE TO THE WX GRIDS/ZONES FOR THE EASTERN HALF OF THE
CWA FOR THIS AFTERNOON. CONDS SHOULD CLEAR IN TIME FOR AREA
FIREWORKS TONIGHT WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING AND THE UPPER
TROUGH SHIFTING EAST.

ON SUNDAY...THE TROUGH IS FURTHER EAST AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGING
TRIES TO BUILD OVER THE STATE. PW VALUES REMAIN BETWEEN 1.7-1.9
INCHES WITH LITTLE CAPPING IN PLACE. FCST SOUNDINGS SHOW A
CONSIDERABLY DRIER MOISTURE PROFILE AND CONVECTIVE TEMPS AROUND
90. RAIN CHANCES WILL BE CONSIDERABLY LOWER TOMORROW BUT AM
HESITANT TO COMPLETELY PULL POPS SO WILL MAINTAIN THE 20 POPS
ALREADY IN THE GRIDS. THE WEEK AHEAD LOOKS MAINLY DRY WITH PW
VALUES HOVERING AROUND 1.4-1.5 INCHES. AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL
TRY TO DEVELOP MID WEEK BUT IT LOOKS LIKE THIS FEATURE REALLY
DOESN`T DEVELOP UNTIL THE END OF THE WEEK. TEMPS WILL REMAIN NEAR
CLIMO EARLY IN THE WEEK AND GRADUALLY WARM TOWARD THE END OF THE
WEEK. MID 90S LOOK LIKE A POSSIBILITY BY NEXT THU/FRI WITH WARMER
TEMPS POSSIBLE FOR NEXT WEEKEND. 43

MARINE...

SCATTERED SHOWERS IN THE GULF WATERS MOVING NORTH OR NORTHEAST WITH
TIME SHOULD WANE BY 8-9 AM. SOUTHERLY FLOW IS WELL ESTABLISHED
BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN GULF AND LEE SIDE TROUGHING
THAT EVENTUALLY MOVES OUT INTO THE PLAINS BY EARLY IN THE WEEK. THIS
SHOULD MAINTAIN SOUTHERLY WINDS IN THE 12-17KT RANGE THROUGH
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. SEAS OF 2-4 FEET NEARSHORE AND 3 TO 6 FEET WELL
OFFSHORE. THE SHOWERS SHOULD RETURN AGAIN TOMORROW MORNING BUT AFTER
THAT EXPECT DECREASING COVERAGE OF STORMS. ONE POSSIBLE FLY IN THAT
OINTMENT WOULD BE A DISTURBANCE ROUNDING THE UPPER RIDGE AND NUDGING
STORMS OUT OF LA INTO THE COASTAL WATERS SUNDAY AFTERNOON...MORE
LIKELY THE STORMS WOULD WEAKEN AS IT MOVES INTO SUBSIDENCE ALOFT BUT
WILL BE KEEPING AN EYE ON THE POSSIBILITY. TROPICS LOOK QUIET
THROUGH THE WEEK.
45

AVIATION...

PATCHY MVFR CONDITIONS EARLY THIS MORNING A COMBINATION OF LIGHT FOG
AND BKN ST AT 2000-3000FT. SHOWERS NEAR THE COAST SHOULD STRUGGLE TO
PENETRATE INLAND EARLY THIS MORNING BUT AS LL FLOW BACKS WITH
HEATING THE SHOWERS SHOULD BEGIN THE INLAND CREEP OFFSET BY CAPPING.
WILL KEEP VCSH IN THE COASTAL SITES THROUGH 15-16Z THEN TRANSITION
INLAND SITES TO VCSH/VCTS. EXPECT THAT AROUND 17-18Z MOST SITES
SHOULD NEAR CONVECTIVE TEMPS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY SHOULD INCREASE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON.
GUSTY WINDS IN PULSE TYPE STORMS A DECENT THREAT AND PLAN TO KEEP
THE GUSTY WINDS IN THE TERMINALS ACCOMPANYING TSRA. AT THE MOMENT
THINK THAT 20-23Z SHOULD BE THE GREATEST CHANCE AT IAH...AN HOUR OR
SO EARLIER FOR HOU AND HOUR LATER FOR CXO AS SEABREEZE NOSES INLAND
AND DEEPER MOISTURE ARRIVES.

45

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      92  76  92  75  93 /  30  20  20  10  10
HOUSTON (IAH)              93  77  93  77  93 /  50  20  20  10  10
GALVESTON (GLS)            89  82  90  81  91 /  40  10  20  10  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KHGX 041514
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1014 AM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015

.UPDATE...
CURRENT FORECAST IN GOOD SHAPE WITH EXPECTED DEVELOPMENT OF
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATER THIS MORNING INTO THE
EARLY EVENING...PRIMARILY ACROSS NRN AND EASTERN COUNTIES.
LOCATION AND EXACT TIMING OF THESE SHORT-LIVED STORMS REMAINS TOO
DIFFICULT TO PIN DOWN AT THIS TIME. OVERALL...A WARM AND HUMID
FOUTH OF JULY IS ON TAP WITH BREEZY SOUTH-SOUTHWEST WINDS.

TAIL END OF WELL DEFINED SHORTWAVE TROUGH ON WV IMAGERY
APPROACHING THE MID SOUTH WILL SKIRT SERN TX TODAY MAY BOOST DEEP
ASCENT TODAY. INITIAL DEVELOPMENT BY EARLY AFTERNOON WILL LIKELY
BE TIED CLOSER TO THE SEA BREEZE...ALTHOUGH MODERATE LARGER SCALE
S-SW FLOW THROUGHOUT THE BOUNDARY LAYER ACROSS THE AREA MAY TEND
TO LIMIT OVERALL CONVERGENCE TODAY. WITH LITTLE FOCUS
ELSEWHERE...LATER DAY DEVELOPMENT WILL BE TOUGHER TO PIN DOWN AND
MAY BECOME FOCUSED ALONG RESIDUAL OUTFLOW FROM EARLIER DAY STORMS.
OBSERVED AND FORECAST SOUNDINGS ARE FAVORABLE FOR A FEW STRONGER
STORMS ONCE TEMPS PUSH THROUGH THE UPPER 80S WITH ISOLATED
STRONG/DAMAGING WIND THE PRIMARY CONCERN...ALONG WITH LIGHTNING
AND BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL. HIGH-RES GUIDANCE SUGGESTS MOST OF THE
TSTM DEVELOPMENT WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 12P/1P THROUGH 7P/8P.

48

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 426 AM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015/

DISCUSSION...
AT 3 AM...A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDED FROM CENTRAL ARKANSAS INTO
EXTREME NORTH TEXAS. SPEED CONVERGENCE ALONG THE COAST HAS HELPED
TO PRODUCE A FEW SHOWERS IN THE COASTAL COUNTIES EARLY THIS
MORNING AND THESE WILL END SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE. AT 850 MB...A
TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE EXTENDED ACROSS NORTH ARKANSAS INTO SOUTH
OKLAHOMA WITH DEEPER MOISTURE OVER NORTHERN LOUISIANA AND A SECOND
AREA OF DEEPER MOISTURE ALONG THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY. A 700 MB
TROUGH EXTENDED INTO NE TEXAS WITH SUBTLE WARMING AT BOTH LCH AND
CRP. AT 500 MB...A TOUGH OF LOW PRESSURE EXTENDED INTO SOUTH
CENTRAL TEXAS. WINDS AT 250 MB WERE SPLITTING OVER EAST TEXAS AND
MODELS KEEP A DIVERGENT WIND FIELD IN PLACE THROUGH THE DAY.

FCST SOUNDINGS PROG PW VALUES TO INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY PEAKING
BETWEEN 1.9 AND 2.3 INCHES. CAPE VALUES ARE PROGGED TO INCREASE TO
AROUND 3000 J/KG AND LI`S ARE -7 TO -10. CONVECTIVE TEMPS ARE
BETWEEN 86 AND 90 DEGREES SO DAYTIME HEATING COUPLED WITH THE
WEAKNESS AT 700-500 MB AND A DIVERGENT UPPER LEVEL WIND FIELD
SHOULD YIELD A GOOD CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY.
MODELS ARE NOT AGGRESSIVE WITH RAIN CHANCES TODAY BUT THINK
CONVECTION WILL BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD BY AFTN. SOME OF THE STORMS
WILL BE ON THE STRONG/SEVERE SIDE WITH CAPE AOA 3000 AND AN
INVERTED V SIGNATURE EVIDENT ON FCST SOUNDINGS. HAVE ADDED SOME
POSSIBLY SEVERE TO THE WX GRIDS/ZONES FOR THE EASTERN HALF OF THE
CWA FOR THIS AFTERNOON. CONDS SHOULD CLEAR IN TIME FOR AREA
FIREWORKS TONIGHT WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING AND THE UPPER
TROUGH SHIFTING EAST.

ON SUNDAY...THE TROUGH IS FURTHER EAST AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGING
TRIES TO BUILD OVER THE STATE. PW VALUES REMAIN BETWEEN 1.7-1.9
INCHES WITH LITTLE CAPPING IN PLACE. FCST SOUNDINGS SHOW A
CONSIDERABLY DRIER MOISTURE PROFILE AND CONVECTIVE TEMPS AROUND
90. RAIN CHANCES WILL BE CONSIDERABLY LOWER TOMORROW BUT AM
HESITANT TO COMPLETELY PULL POPS SO WILL MAINTAIN THE 20 POPS
ALREADY IN THE GRIDS. THE WEEK AHEAD LOOKS MAINLY DRY WITH PW
VALUES HOVERING AROUND 1.4-1.5 INCHES. AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL
TRY TO DEVELOP MID WEEK BUT IT LOOKS LIKE THIS FEATURE REALLY
DOESN`T DEVELOP UNTIL THE END OF THE WEEK. TEMPS WILL REMAIN NEAR
CLIMO EARLY IN THE WEEK AND GRADUALLY WARM TOWARD THE END OF THE
WEEK. MID 90S LOOK LIKE A POSSIBILITY BY NEXT THU/FRI WITH WARMER
TEMPS POSSIBLE FOR NEXT WEEKEND. 43

MARINE...

SCATTERED SHOWERS IN THE GULF WATERS MOVING NORTH OR NORTHEAST WITH
TIME SHOULD WANE BY 8-9 AM. SOUTHERLY FLOW IS WELL ESTABLISHED
BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN GULF AND LEE SIDE TROUGHING
THAT EVENTUALLY MOVES OUT INTO THE PLAINS BY EARLY IN THE WEEK. THIS
SHOULD MAINTAIN SOUTHERLY WINDS IN THE 12-17KT RANGE THROUGH
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. SEAS OF 2-4 FEET NEARSHORE AND 3 TO 6 FEET WELL
OFFSHORE. THE SHOWERS SHOULD RETURN AGAIN TOMORROW MORNING BUT AFTER
THAT EXPECT DECREASING COVERAGE OF STORMS. ONE POSSIBLE FLY IN THAT
OINTMENT WOULD BE A DISTURBANCE ROUNDING THE UPPER RIDGE AND NUDGING
STORMS OUT OF LA INTO THE COASTAL WATERS SUNDAY AFTERNOON...MORE
LIKELY THE STORMS WOULD WEAKEN AS IT MOVES INTO SUBSIDENCE ALOFT BUT
WILL BE KEEPING AN EYE ON THE POSSIBILITY. TROPICS LOOK QUIET
THROUGH THE WEEK.
45

AVIATION...

PATCHY MVFR CONDITIONS EARLY THIS MORNING A COMBINATION OF LIGHT FOG
AND BKN ST AT 2000-3000FT. SHOWERS NEAR THE COAST SHOULD STRUGGLE TO
PENETRATE INLAND EARLY THIS MORNING BUT AS LL FLOW BACKS WITH
HEATING THE SHOWERS SHOULD BEGIN THE INLAND CREEP OFFSET BY CAPPING.
WILL KEEP VCSH IN THE COASTAL SITES THROUGH 15-16Z THEN TRANSITION
INLAND SITES TO VCSH/VCTS. EXPECT THAT AROUND 17-18Z MOST SITES
SHOULD NEAR CONVECTIVE TEMPS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY SHOULD INCREASE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON.
GUSTY WINDS IN PULSE TYPE STORMS A DECENT THREAT AND PLAN TO KEEP
THE GUSTY WINDS IN THE TERMINALS ACCOMPANYING TSRA. AT THE MOMENT
THINK THAT 20-23Z SHOULD BE THE GREATEST CHANCE AT IAH...AN HOUR OR
SO EARLIER FOR HOU AND HOUR LATER FOR CXO AS SEABREEZE NOSES INLAND
AND DEEPER MOISTURE ARRIVES.

45

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      92  76  92  75  93 /  30  20  20  10  10
HOUSTON (IAH)              93  77  93  77  93 /  50  20  20  10  10
GALVESTON (GLS)            89  82  90  81  91 /  40  10  20  10  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$




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