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000
FXUS66 KHNX 281212
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
412 AM PST WED JAN 28 2015

...UPDATED FOR DENSE FOG ADVISORY...

.SYNOPSIS...ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING A RENEWED CHANCE OF
SHOWERS TO MAINLY THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERT WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY.
OTHERWISE EXPECT MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS WITH NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE
TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
FOG HAS BECOME DENSE ACROSS PARTS OF THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY EARLY
THIS MORNING...FALLING TO LESS THAN 1/4 MILE. THE DENSE FOG WILL
LIKELY SPREAD A BIT MORE BY DAYBREAK. VISIBILITIES ARE EXPECTED
TO IMPROVE BY MID-MORNING.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 222 AM PST WED JAN 28 2015/

DISCUSSION...
PATCHY FOG IS BEGINNING TO DEVELOP IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY EARLY
THIS MORNING AND WILL LIKELY BECOME DENSE IN SOME AREAS TOWARD
DAYBREAK. EXPECT IT TO CLEAR QUICKLY THIS MORNING AS ANOTHER LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES THE AREA.

HIGH LEVEL CLOUD COVER WILL BE ON THE INCREASE TODAY AS THE UPPER
TROUGH MOVES TOWARDS THE COAST. THE DEEPEST MOISTURE WITH THIS
SYSTEM WILL REMAIN WELL TO OUR SOUTH. BUT THERE IS EXPECTED TO BE
ENOUGH ENERGY AND MOISTURE TO BRING SCATTERED SHOWERS TO THE
MOUNTAINS AND DESERT AREAS TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. THE SAN JOAQUIN
VALLEY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN DRY. THERE COULD BE SOME PATCHY
FOG THURSDAY AND FRIDAY MORNINGS...BUT THERE SHOULD BE ENOUGH
CLOUD COVER TO PREVENT IT FROM BEING WIDESPREAD.

ONCE THE UPPER LOW EXITS TO THE EAST SATURDAY MORNING...HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. BOTH THE
GFS AND ECMWF ARE INDICATING A FLATTENING OF THE RIDGE ON MONDAY
AS A SHORTWAVE MOVES ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND BRUSHES
NORTHERN CALIFORNIA. AT THIS TIME...IT LOOKS LIKE ANY CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION WILL STAY TO OUR NORTH MONDAY. THE RIDGE THEN
QUICKLY REBUILDS TUESDAY AND REMAINS THROUGH THE WEEK. AREAS OF
NIGHT AND MORNING FOG ARE LIKELY TO FORM IN THE SAN JOAQUIN
VALLEY BEGINNING SATURDAY MORNING AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...
VISIBILITIES WILL BECOME VLIFR WITH DENSE FOG BY 12Z FOR ALL
TERMINALS EXCEPT KBFL. VISIBILITIES ARE FORECAST TO IMPROVE
SIGNIFICANTLY BETWEEN 18Z AND 19Z. OTHERWISE...PATCHY MVFR
VISIBILITY WILL PREVAIL AFTER 19Z THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS
BEFORE A RETURN OF DENSE FOG EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
ON WEDNESDAY JANUARY 28 2015... FIREPLACE/WOOD STOVE BURNING
STATUS IS: NO BURNING UNLESS REGISTERED IN FRESNO... KERN...
KINGS... MADERA... MERCED AND TULARE COUNTIES.
FURTHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT VALLEYAIR.ORG

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS MEDIUM.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 01-28       78:1986     41:1963     50:2003     23:1975
KFAT 01-29       73:1960     43:2002     55:1911     24:1902
KFAT 01-30       74:1984     41:1923     56:1911     25:1946

KBFL 01-28       77:1988     47:1957     52:1981     27:1957
KBFL 01-29       74:1986     42:2002     54:1986     27:1903
KBFL 01-30       77:1911     44:1951     60:1911     23:1902
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM PST THIS MORNING CAZ089>092.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...BEAN
AVN/FW...RILEY
PREV DISCUSSION...BEAN
SYNOPSIS...BEAN

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD




000
FXUS66 KHNX 281212
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
412 AM PST WED JAN 28 2015

...UPDATED FOR DENSE FOG ADVISORY...

.SYNOPSIS...ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING A RENEWED CHANCE OF
SHOWERS TO MAINLY THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERT WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY.
OTHERWISE EXPECT MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS WITH NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE
TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
FOG HAS BECOME DENSE ACROSS PARTS OF THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY EARLY
THIS MORNING...FALLING TO LESS THAN 1/4 MILE. THE DENSE FOG WILL
LIKELY SPREAD A BIT MORE BY DAYBREAK. VISIBILITIES ARE EXPECTED
TO IMPROVE BY MID-MORNING.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 222 AM PST WED JAN 28 2015/

DISCUSSION...
PATCHY FOG IS BEGINNING TO DEVELOP IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY EARLY
THIS MORNING AND WILL LIKELY BECOME DENSE IN SOME AREAS TOWARD
DAYBREAK. EXPECT IT TO CLEAR QUICKLY THIS MORNING AS ANOTHER LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES THE AREA.

HIGH LEVEL CLOUD COVER WILL BE ON THE INCREASE TODAY AS THE UPPER
TROUGH MOVES TOWARDS THE COAST. THE DEEPEST MOISTURE WITH THIS
SYSTEM WILL REMAIN WELL TO OUR SOUTH. BUT THERE IS EXPECTED TO BE
ENOUGH ENERGY AND MOISTURE TO BRING SCATTERED SHOWERS TO THE
MOUNTAINS AND DESERT AREAS TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. THE SAN JOAQUIN
VALLEY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN DRY. THERE COULD BE SOME PATCHY
FOG THURSDAY AND FRIDAY MORNINGS...BUT THERE SHOULD BE ENOUGH
CLOUD COVER TO PREVENT IT FROM BEING WIDESPREAD.

ONCE THE UPPER LOW EXITS TO THE EAST SATURDAY MORNING...HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. BOTH THE
GFS AND ECMWF ARE INDICATING A FLATTENING OF THE RIDGE ON MONDAY
AS A SHORTWAVE MOVES ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND BRUSHES
NORTHERN CALIFORNIA. AT THIS TIME...IT LOOKS LIKE ANY CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION WILL STAY TO OUR NORTH MONDAY. THE RIDGE THEN
QUICKLY REBUILDS TUESDAY AND REMAINS THROUGH THE WEEK. AREAS OF
NIGHT AND MORNING FOG ARE LIKELY TO FORM IN THE SAN JOAQUIN
VALLEY BEGINNING SATURDAY MORNING AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...
VISIBILITIES WILL BECOME VLIFR WITH DENSE FOG BY 12Z FOR ALL
TERMINALS EXCEPT KBFL. VISIBILITIES ARE FORECAST TO IMPROVE
SIGNIFICANTLY BETWEEN 18Z AND 19Z. OTHERWISE...PATCHY MVFR
VISIBILITY WILL PREVAIL AFTER 19Z THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS
BEFORE A RETURN OF DENSE FOG EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
ON WEDNESDAY JANUARY 28 2015... FIREPLACE/WOOD STOVE BURNING
STATUS IS: NO BURNING UNLESS REGISTERED IN FRESNO... KERN...
KINGS... MADERA... MERCED AND TULARE COUNTIES.
FURTHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT VALLEYAIR.ORG

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS MEDIUM.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 01-28       78:1986     41:1963     50:2003     23:1975
KFAT 01-29       73:1960     43:2002     55:1911     24:1902
KFAT 01-30       74:1984     41:1923     56:1911     25:1946

KBFL 01-28       77:1988     47:1957     52:1981     27:1957
KBFL 01-29       74:1986     42:2002     54:1986     27:1903
KBFL 01-30       77:1911     44:1951     60:1911     23:1902
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM PST THIS MORNING CAZ089>092.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...BEAN
AVN/FW...RILEY
PREV DISCUSSION...BEAN
SYNOPSIS...BEAN

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD





000
FXUS66 KHNX 281022
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
222 AM PST WED JAN 28 2015

.SYNOPSIS...ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING A RENEWED CHANCE OF
SHOWERS TO MAINLY THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERT WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY.
OTHERWISE EXPECT MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS WITH NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE
TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
PATCHY FOG IS BEGINNING TO DEVELOP IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY EARLY
THIS MORNING AND WILL LIKELY BECOME DENSE IN SOME AREAS TOWARD
DAYBREAK. EXPECT IT TO CLEAR QUICKLY THIS MORNING AS ANOTHER LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES THE AREA.

HIGH LEVEL CLOUD COVER WILL BE ON THE INCREASE TODAY AS THE UPPER
TROUGH MOVES TOWARDS THE COAST. THE DEEPEST MOISTURE WITH THIS
SYSTEM WILL REMAIN WELL TO OUR SOUTH. BUT THERE IS EXPECTED TO BE
ENOUGH ENERGY AND MOISTURE TO BRING SCATTERED SHOWERS TO THE
MOUNTAINS AND DESERT AREAS TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. THE SAN JOAQUIN
VALLEY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN DRY. THERE COULD BE SOME PATCHY
FOG THURSDAY AND FRIDAY MORNINGS...BUT THERE SHOULD BE ENOUGH
CLOUD COVER TO PREVENT IT FROM BEING WIDESPREAD.

ONCE THE UPPER LOW EXITS TO THE EAST SATURDAY MORNING...HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. BOTH THE
GFS AND ECMWF ARE INDICATING A FLATTENING OF THE RIDGE ON MONDAY
AS A SHORTWAVE MOVES ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND BRUSHES
NORTHERN CALIFORNIA. AT THIS TIME...IT LOOKS LIKE ANY CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION WILL STAY TO OUR NORTH MONDAY. THE RIDGE THEN
QUICKLY REBUILDS TUESDAY AND REMAINS THROUGH THE WEEK. AREAS OF
NIGHT AND MORNING FOG ARE LIKELY TO FORM IN THE SAN JOAQUIN
VALLEY BEGINNING SATURDAY MORNING AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...
VISIBILITIES WILL BECOME VLIFR WITH DENSE FOG BY 12Z FOR ALL
TERMINALS EXCEPT KBFL. VISIBILITIES ARE FORECAST TO IMPROVE
SIGNIFICANTLY BETWEEN 18Z AND 19Z. OTHERWISE...PATCHY MVFR
VISIBILITY WILL PREVAIL AFTER 19Z THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS
BEFORE A RETURN OF DENSE FOG EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
ON WEDNESDAY JANUARY 28 2015... FIREPLACE/WOOD STOVE BURNING
STATUS IS: NO BURNING UNLESS REGISTERED IN FRESNO... KERN...
KINGS... MADERA... MERCED AND TULARE COUNTIES.
FURTHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT VALLEYAIR.ORG

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS MEDIUM.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 01-28       78:1986     41:1963     50:2003     23:1975
KFAT 01-29       73:1960     43:2002     55:1911     24:1902
KFAT 01-30       74:1984     41:1923     56:1911     25:1946

KBFL 01-28       77:1988     47:1957     52:1981     27:1957
KBFL 01-29       74:1986     42:2002     54:1986     27:1903
KBFL 01-30       77:1911     44:1951     60:1911     23:1902
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...BEAN
AVN/FW...RILEY
SYNOPSIS...BEAN

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD




000
FXUS66 KHNX 281022
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
222 AM PST WED JAN 28 2015

.SYNOPSIS...ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING A RENEWED CHANCE OF
SHOWERS TO MAINLY THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERT WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY.
OTHERWISE EXPECT MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS WITH NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE
TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
PATCHY FOG IS BEGINNING TO DEVELOP IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY EARLY
THIS MORNING AND WILL LIKELY BECOME DENSE IN SOME AREAS TOWARD
DAYBREAK. EXPECT IT TO CLEAR QUICKLY THIS MORNING AS ANOTHER LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES THE AREA.

HIGH LEVEL CLOUD COVER WILL BE ON THE INCREASE TODAY AS THE UPPER
TROUGH MOVES TOWARDS THE COAST. THE DEEPEST MOISTURE WITH THIS
SYSTEM WILL REMAIN WELL TO OUR SOUTH. BUT THERE IS EXPECTED TO BE
ENOUGH ENERGY AND MOISTURE TO BRING SCATTERED SHOWERS TO THE
MOUNTAINS AND DESERT AREAS TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. THE SAN JOAQUIN
VALLEY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN DRY. THERE COULD BE SOME PATCHY
FOG THURSDAY AND FRIDAY MORNINGS...BUT THERE SHOULD BE ENOUGH
CLOUD COVER TO PREVENT IT FROM BEING WIDESPREAD.

ONCE THE UPPER LOW EXITS TO THE EAST SATURDAY MORNING...HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. BOTH THE
GFS AND ECMWF ARE INDICATING A FLATTENING OF THE RIDGE ON MONDAY
AS A SHORTWAVE MOVES ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND BRUSHES
NORTHERN CALIFORNIA. AT THIS TIME...IT LOOKS LIKE ANY CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION WILL STAY TO OUR NORTH MONDAY. THE RIDGE THEN
QUICKLY REBUILDS TUESDAY AND REMAINS THROUGH THE WEEK. AREAS OF
NIGHT AND MORNING FOG ARE LIKELY TO FORM IN THE SAN JOAQUIN
VALLEY BEGINNING SATURDAY MORNING AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...
VISIBILITIES WILL BECOME VLIFR WITH DENSE FOG BY 12Z FOR ALL
TERMINALS EXCEPT KBFL. VISIBILITIES ARE FORECAST TO IMPROVE
SIGNIFICANTLY BETWEEN 18Z AND 19Z. OTHERWISE...PATCHY MVFR
VISIBILITY WILL PREVAIL AFTER 19Z THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS
BEFORE A RETURN OF DENSE FOG EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
ON WEDNESDAY JANUARY 28 2015... FIREPLACE/WOOD STOVE BURNING
STATUS IS: NO BURNING UNLESS REGISTERED IN FRESNO... KERN...
KINGS... MADERA... MERCED AND TULARE COUNTIES.
FURTHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT VALLEYAIR.ORG

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS MEDIUM.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 01-28       78:1986     41:1963     50:2003     23:1975
KFAT 01-29       73:1960     43:2002     55:1911     24:1902
KFAT 01-30       74:1984     41:1923     56:1911     25:1946

KBFL 01-28       77:1988     47:1957     52:1981     27:1957
KBFL 01-29       74:1986     42:2002     54:1986     27:1903
KBFL 01-30       77:1911     44:1951     60:1911     23:1902
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...BEAN
AVN/FW...RILEY
SYNOPSIS...BEAN

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD





000
FXUS66 KHNX 280455
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
855 PM PST TUE JAN 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING A RENEWED CHANCE OF SHOWERS
TO MAINLY THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERT WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY.
OTHERWISE EXPECT MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS WITH NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE
AVERAGE TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
RADAR AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT PRECIPITATION HAS
ENDED OVER THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA INTERIOR AND SKIES ARE CLEARING
FOR THE MOST PART. ONE EXCEPTION IS THE SOUTH END OF THE SAN JOAQUIN
VALLEY...WHERE CLOUDS ARE POOLED AND PUSHING AGAINST THE VALLEY-
FACING SLOPES. THIS HAS PRODUCED DENSE FOG IN THE TEHACHAPI AREA...
WHERE TEHACHAPI MUNICIPAL AIRPORT /KTSP/ HAS BEEN REPORTING
VISIBILITIES OF LESS THAN A QUARTER MILE.

HAVE UPDATED THE FORECAST TO REMOVE POPS...WEATHER...QPF AND SNOW
FROM THE SOUTHERN SIERRA NEVADA TONIGHT...AND TO ADD PATCHY DENSE
FOG ALONG THE VALLEY-FACING SLOPES OF THE KERN COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND
INTO THE PASSES THROUGH 18Z /1000 PST/ WEDNESDAY.

ANOTHER AREA OF CONCERN THIS EVENING IS THE KERN COUNTY DESERT AND
INDIAN WELLS VALLEY...WHERE UP TO A HALF INCH OF RAIN FELL. WITH
CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WIND...PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE. PER DISCUSSION
WITH WFO/S OXNARD...LAS VEGAS AND SAN DIEGO...HAVE ADDED PATCHY
FOG TO THE INDIAN WELLS VALLEY AND THE SOUTHEASTERN KERN COUNTY
DESERT THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY.

FOR THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY...CLEAR SKIES AND
LIGHT WIND WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR PATCHY FOG DEVELOPMENT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS TUESDAY NIGHT INTO TODAY WERE MOSTLY LIGHT
WITH ONLY A FEW STATIONS REACHING AROUND A QUARTER INCH. SOME OF
THIS MOISTURE WILL RECHARGE THE BOUNDARY LAYER WEDNESDAY...SO COULD
SEE SOME PATCHY FOG WEDNESDAY EVENING. HOWEVER...ANOTHER TROUGH IS
FORECAST TO MOVE INTO CALIFORNIA THURSDAY AND SHOULD KEEP THE LOWER
ATMOSPHERE MIXED ENOUGH TO PREVENT FURTHER FOG DEVELOPMENT UNTIL THE
WEEKEND...WHEN THE NEXT UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS INTO CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 339 PM PST TUE JAN 27 2015/

DISCUSSION...SHOWER ACTIVITY QUICKLY DIMINISHING AS AN UPPER LOW
MOVES NE OF THE SIERRA. THE SOUTH VALLEY HAS CLEARED OUT WITH
SHOWERS LIMITED MAINLY TO THE MOUNTAINS. EXPECT ALL SHOWER
ACTIVITY TO END DURING THE EARLY EVENING. WEATHER RADAR
PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES SHOWS WIDESPREAD LIGHT PRECIPITATION
FALLING OVER MUCH OF DISTRICT WITH THE HEAVIER AMOUNTS OF 0.6-1.0
INCH OVER THE TEHACHAPI MOUNTAINS AND INDIAN WELLS VALLEY. CONCERN
FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR FOG IN THE SJV TONIGHT. DEW POINTS RUNNING
RELATIVELY HIGH WITH THE RECENT RAINFALL. WINDS SHOULD REMAIN
LIGHT AS SHORT WAVE RIDGING BUILDS BEHIND THE EXITING TROUGH. A
MITIGATING FACTOR WILL BE AMOUNT OF REMNANT CLOUD COVER. HOWEVER
MODELS PROG DECREASING MID LEVEL MOISTURE BEHIND THE TROUGH.

HIGH LEVEL CLOUD COVER WILL BE ON THE INCREASE WEDNESDAY AS AN
UPPER TROUGH OFF BAJA MOVES TOWARDS THE SOCAL COAST. SATELLITE PW
ESTIMATES INDICATE LOTS OF TROPICAL MOISTURE AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM.
HOWEVER MODELS PROG THE DEEP MOISTURE TO PUSH THROUGH THE SONORAN
DESERT AND REMAIN EAST OF THE COLORADO RIVER. MODELS SPLIT THE
TROUGH AS IT MOVES ONSHORE WITH THE STRONGER DYNAMICS MOVING
TROUGH N BAJA. THUS MODEL FORECAST LIGHT AMOUNTS OF PRECIPITATION
MAINLY OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERT. PRECIPITATION COULD BEGIN
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND DIMINISH THURSDAY NIGHT. THE ENSEMBLE MEAN
TRENDS REMAIN INCONSISTENT WITH THE TRACK OF THIS LOW...GIVING
FORECASTERS VERY LITTLE CONFIDENCE IN MEASURABLE RAIN...ESPECIALLY
FOR THE DESERT.

ONCE THE UPPER LOW EXITS EAST...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE
REGION SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY...WITH THE OPERATIONAL AND ENSEMBLE
MEANS ALL IN AGREEMENT. THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK LOOKS A BIT
LESS CERTAIN...AS NCEP/S GLOBAL ENSEMBLE SHOWING VERY LOW
PREDICTABILITY FOR THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN FOR THE BEGINNING OF
NEXT WEEK. REGARDLESS...BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE INDICATING DRY
WEATHER.

PATCHY FOG WILL ONCE AGAIN BE POSSIBLE THROUGH MANY VALLEY
LOCATIONS STARTING AS THURSDAY. PATCHY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH
NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING FROM THURSDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...
MVFR CEILINGS CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE WEST SLOPES OF THE SIERRA
AND THE NORTH FACING SLOPES OF THE TEHACHAPI MOUNTAINS UNTIL 18Z
WEDNESDAY WITH IMPROVEMENT TO VFR THEREAFTER. AREAS OF IFR
CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY
BETWEEN 06Z AND 18Z WEDNESDAY WITH LOCAL LIFR/VLIFR IN FOG. VFR
CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ELSEWHERE THROUGHOUT THE CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
ON WEDNESDAY JANUARY 28 2015... FIREPLACE/WOOD STOVE BURNING
STATUS IS: NO BURNING UNLESS REGISTERED IN FRESNO... KERN...
KINGS... MADERA... MERCED AND TULARE COUNTIES.
FURTHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT VALLEYAIR.ORG

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS MEDIUM.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 01-27       70:1934     39:1963     52:2012     25:1949
KFAT 01-28       78:1986     41:1963     50:2003     23:1975
KFAT 01-29       73:1960     43:2002     55:1911     24:1902

KBFL 01-27       75:1928     37:1963     51:2012     24:1904
KBFL 01-28       77:1988     47:1957     52:1981     27:1957
KBFL 01-29       74:1986     42:2002     54:1986     27:1903
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...SANGER
AVN/FW...MOLINA/DURFEE
PREV DISCUSSION...MV
SYNOPSIS...BSO

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD




000
FXUS66 KHNX 280455
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
855 PM PST TUE JAN 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING A RENEWED CHANCE OF SHOWERS
TO MAINLY THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERT WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY.
OTHERWISE EXPECT MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS WITH NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE
AVERAGE TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
RADAR AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT PRECIPITATION HAS
ENDED OVER THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA INTERIOR AND SKIES ARE CLEARING
FOR THE MOST PART. ONE EXCEPTION IS THE SOUTH END OF THE SAN JOAQUIN
VALLEY...WHERE CLOUDS ARE POOLED AND PUSHING AGAINST THE VALLEY-
FACING SLOPES. THIS HAS PRODUCED DENSE FOG IN THE TEHACHAPI AREA...
WHERE TEHACHAPI MUNICIPAL AIRPORT /KTSP/ HAS BEEN REPORTING
VISIBILITIES OF LESS THAN A QUARTER MILE.

HAVE UPDATED THE FORECAST TO REMOVE POPS...WEATHER...QPF AND SNOW
FROM THE SOUTHERN SIERRA NEVADA TONIGHT...AND TO ADD PATCHY DENSE
FOG ALONG THE VALLEY-FACING SLOPES OF THE KERN COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND
INTO THE PASSES THROUGH 18Z /1000 PST/ WEDNESDAY.

ANOTHER AREA OF CONCERN THIS EVENING IS THE KERN COUNTY DESERT AND
INDIAN WELLS VALLEY...WHERE UP TO A HALF INCH OF RAIN FELL. WITH
CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WIND...PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE. PER DISCUSSION
WITH WFO/S OXNARD...LAS VEGAS AND SAN DIEGO...HAVE ADDED PATCHY
FOG TO THE INDIAN WELLS VALLEY AND THE SOUTHEASTERN KERN COUNTY
DESERT THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY.

FOR THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY...CLEAR SKIES AND
LIGHT WIND WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR PATCHY FOG DEVELOPMENT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS TUESDAY NIGHT INTO TODAY WERE MOSTLY LIGHT
WITH ONLY A FEW STATIONS REACHING AROUND A QUARTER INCH. SOME OF
THIS MOISTURE WILL RECHARGE THE BOUNDARY LAYER WEDNESDAY...SO COULD
SEE SOME PATCHY FOG WEDNESDAY EVENING. HOWEVER...ANOTHER TROUGH IS
FORECAST TO MOVE INTO CALIFORNIA THURSDAY AND SHOULD KEEP THE LOWER
ATMOSPHERE MIXED ENOUGH TO PREVENT FURTHER FOG DEVELOPMENT UNTIL THE
WEEKEND...WHEN THE NEXT UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS INTO CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 339 PM PST TUE JAN 27 2015/

DISCUSSION...SHOWER ACTIVITY QUICKLY DIMINISHING AS AN UPPER LOW
MOVES NE OF THE SIERRA. THE SOUTH VALLEY HAS CLEARED OUT WITH
SHOWERS LIMITED MAINLY TO THE MOUNTAINS. EXPECT ALL SHOWER
ACTIVITY TO END DURING THE EARLY EVENING. WEATHER RADAR
PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES SHOWS WIDESPREAD LIGHT PRECIPITATION
FALLING OVER MUCH OF DISTRICT WITH THE HEAVIER AMOUNTS OF 0.6-1.0
INCH OVER THE TEHACHAPI MOUNTAINS AND INDIAN WELLS VALLEY. CONCERN
FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR FOG IN THE SJV TONIGHT. DEW POINTS RUNNING
RELATIVELY HIGH WITH THE RECENT RAINFALL. WINDS SHOULD REMAIN
LIGHT AS SHORT WAVE RIDGING BUILDS BEHIND THE EXITING TROUGH. A
MITIGATING FACTOR WILL BE AMOUNT OF REMNANT CLOUD COVER. HOWEVER
MODELS PROG DECREASING MID LEVEL MOISTURE BEHIND THE TROUGH.

HIGH LEVEL CLOUD COVER WILL BE ON THE INCREASE WEDNESDAY AS AN
UPPER TROUGH OFF BAJA MOVES TOWARDS THE SOCAL COAST. SATELLITE PW
ESTIMATES INDICATE LOTS OF TROPICAL MOISTURE AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM.
HOWEVER MODELS PROG THE DEEP MOISTURE TO PUSH THROUGH THE SONORAN
DESERT AND REMAIN EAST OF THE COLORADO RIVER. MODELS SPLIT THE
TROUGH AS IT MOVES ONSHORE WITH THE STRONGER DYNAMICS MOVING
TROUGH N BAJA. THUS MODEL FORECAST LIGHT AMOUNTS OF PRECIPITATION
MAINLY OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERT. PRECIPITATION COULD BEGIN
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND DIMINISH THURSDAY NIGHT. THE ENSEMBLE MEAN
TRENDS REMAIN INCONSISTENT WITH THE TRACK OF THIS LOW...GIVING
FORECASTERS VERY LITTLE CONFIDENCE IN MEASURABLE RAIN...ESPECIALLY
FOR THE DESERT.

ONCE THE UPPER LOW EXITS EAST...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE
REGION SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY...WITH THE OPERATIONAL AND ENSEMBLE
MEANS ALL IN AGREEMENT. THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK LOOKS A BIT
LESS CERTAIN...AS NCEP/S GLOBAL ENSEMBLE SHOWING VERY LOW
PREDICTABILITY FOR THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN FOR THE BEGINNING OF
NEXT WEEK. REGARDLESS...BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE INDICATING DRY
WEATHER.

PATCHY FOG WILL ONCE AGAIN BE POSSIBLE THROUGH MANY VALLEY
LOCATIONS STARTING AS THURSDAY. PATCHY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH
NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING FROM THURSDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...
MVFR CEILINGS CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE WEST SLOPES OF THE SIERRA
AND THE NORTH FACING SLOPES OF THE TEHACHAPI MOUNTAINS UNTIL 18Z
WEDNESDAY WITH IMPROVEMENT TO VFR THEREAFTER. AREAS OF IFR
CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY
BETWEEN 06Z AND 18Z WEDNESDAY WITH LOCAL LIFR/VLIFR IN FOG. VFR
CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ELSEWHERE THROUGHOUT THE CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
ON WEDNESDAY JANUARY 28 2015... FIREPLACE/WOOD STOVE BURNING
STATUS IS: NO BURNING UNLESS REGISTERED IN FRESNO... KERN...
KINGS... MADERA... MERCED AND TULARE COUNTIES.
FURTHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT VALLEYAIR.ORG

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS MEDIUM.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 01-27       70:1934     39:1963     52:2012     25:1949
KFAT 01-28       78:1986     41:1963     50:2003     23:1975
KFAT 01-29       73:1960     43:2002     55:1911     24:1902

KBFL 01-27       75:1928     37:1963     51:2012     24:1904
KBFL 01-28       77:1988     47:1957     52:1981     27:1957
KBFL 01-29       74:1986     42:2002     54:1986     27:1903
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...SANGER
AVN/FW...MOLINA/DURFEE
PREV DISCUSSION...MV
SYNOPSIS...BSO

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD





000
FXUS66 KHNX 272339
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
339 PM PST TUE JAN 27 2015

.UPDATE...AIR QUALITY ISSUES UPDATED.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING A RENEWED
CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO MAINLY THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERT WEDNESDAY
NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. OTHERWISE EXPECT MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS WITH
NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...SHOWER ACTIVITY QUICKLY DIMINISHING AS AN UPPER LOW
MOVES NE OF THE SIERRA. THE SOUTH VALLEY HAS CLEARED OUT WITH
SHOWERS LIMITED MAINLY TO THE MOUNTAINS. EXPECT ALL SHOWER
ACTIVITY TO END DURING THE EARLY EVENING. WEATHER RADAR
PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES SHOWS WIDESPREAD LIGHT PRECIPITATION
FALLING OVER MUCH OF DISTRICT WITH THE HEAVIER AMOUNTS OF 0.6-1.0
INCH OVER THE TEHACHAPI MOUNTAINS AND INDIAN WELLS VALLEY. CONCERN
FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR FOG IN THE SJV TONIGHT. DEW POINTS RUNNING
RELATIVELY HIGH WITH THE RECENT RAINFALL. WINDS SHOULD REMAIN
LIGHT AS SHORT WAVE RIDGING BUILDS BEHIND THE EXITING TROUGH. A
MITIGATING FACTOR WILL BE AMOUNT OF REMNANT CLOUD COVER. HOWEVER
MODELS PROG DECREASING MID LEVEL MOISTURE BEHIND THE TROUGH.

HIGH LEVEL CLOUD COVER WILL BE ON THE INCREASE WEDNESDAY AS AN
UPPER TROUGH OFF BAJA MOVES TOWARDS THE SOCAL COAST. SATELLITE PW
ESTIMATES INDICATE LOTS OF TROPICAL MOISTURE AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM.
HOWEVER MODELS PROG THE DEEP MOISTURE TO PUSH THROUGH THE SONORAN
DESERT AND REMAIN EAST OF THE COLORADO RIVER. MODELS SPLIT THE
TROUGH AS IT MOVES ONSHORE WITH THE STRONGER DYNAMICS MOVING
TROUGH N BAJA. THUS MODEL FORECAST LIGHT AMOUNTS OF PRECIPITATION
MAINLY OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERT. PRECIPITATION COULD BEGIN
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND DIMINISH THURSDAY NIGHT. THE ENSEMBLE MEAN
TRENDS REMAIN INCONSISTENT WITH THE TRACK OF THIS LOW...GIVING
FORECASTERS VERY LITTLE CONFIDENCE IN MEASURABLE RAIN...ESPECIALLY
FOR THE DESERT.

ONCE THE UPPER LOW EXITS EAST...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE
REGION SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY...WITH THE OPERATIONAL AND ENSEMBLE
MEANS ALL IN AGREEMENT. THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK LOOKS A BIT
LESS CERTAIN...AS NCEPS GLOBAL ENSEMBLE SHOWING VERY LOW
PREDICTABILITY FOR THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN FOR THE BEGINNING OF
NEXT WEEK. REGARDLESS...BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE INDICATING DRY
WEATHER.

PATCHY FOG WILL ONCE AGAIN BE POSSIBLE THROUGH MANY VALLEY
LOCATIONS STARTING AS THURSDAY. PATCHY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH
NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING FROM THURSDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...
MVFR CEILINGS CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE WEST SLOPES OF THE SIERRA
AND THE NORTH FACING SLOPES OF THE TEHACHAPI MOUNTAINS UNTIL 18Z
WEDNESDAY WITH IMPROVEMENT TO VFR THEREAFTER. AREAS OF IFR
CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY
BETWEEN 06Z AND 18Z WEDNESDAY WITH LOCAL LIFR/VLIFR IN FOG. VFR
CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ELSEWHERE THROUGHOUT THE CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
ON WEDNESDAY JANUARY 28 2015... FIREPLACE/WOOD STOVE BURNING
STATUS IS: NO BURNING UNLESS REGISTERED IN FRESNO... KERN...
KINGS... MADERA... MERCED AND TULARE COUNTIES.
FURTHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT VALLEYAIR.ORG

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS MEDIUM.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 01-27       70:1934     39:1963     52:2012     25:1949
KFAT 01-28       78:1986     41:1963     50:2003     23:1975
KFAT 01-29       73:1960     43:2002     55:1911     24:1902

KBFL 01-27       75:1928     37:1963     51:2012     24:1904
KBFL 01-28       77:1988     47:1957     52:1981     27:1957
KBFL 01-29       74:1986     42:2002     54:1986     27:1903

&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...MV
AVN/FW...DURFEE
SYNOPSIS...BSO

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD




000
FXUS66 KHNX 272339
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
339 PM PST TUE JAN 27 2015

.UPDATE...AIR QUALITY ISSUES UPDATED.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING A RENEWED
CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO MAINLY THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERT WEDNESDAY
NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. OTHERWISE EXPECT MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS WITH
NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...SHOWER ACTIVITY QUICKLY DIMINISHING AS AN UPPER LOW
MOVES NE OF THE SIERRA. THE SOUTH VALLEY HAS CLEARED OUT WITH
SHOWERS LIMITED MAINLY TO THE MOUNTAINS. EXPECT ALL SHOWER
ACTIVITY TO END DURING THE EARLY EVENING. WEATHER RADAR
PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES SHOWS WIDESPREAD LIGHT PRECIPITATION
FALLING OVER MUCH OF DISTRICT WITH THE HEAVIER AMOUNTS OF 0.6-1.0
INCH OVER THE TEHACHAPI MOUNTAINS AND INDIAN WELLS VALLEY. CONCERN
FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR FOG IN THE SJV TONIGHT. DEW POINTS RUNNING
RELATIVELY HIGH WITH THE RECENT RAINFALL. WINDS SHOULD REMAIN
LIGHT AS SHORT WAVE RIDGING BUILDS BEHIND THE EXITING TROUGH. A
MITIGATING FACTOR WILL BE AMOUNT OF REMNANT CLOUD COVER. HOWEVER
MODELS PROG DECREASING MID LEVEL MOISTURE BEHIND THE TROUGH.

HIGH LEVEL CLOUD COVER WILL BE ON THE INCREASE WEDNESDAY AS AN
UPPER TROUGH OFF BAJA MOVES TOWARDS THE SOCAL COAST. SATELLITE PW
ESTIMATES INDICATE LOTS OF TROPICAL MOISTURE AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM.
HOWEVER MODELS PROG THE DEEP MOISTURE TO PUSH THROUGH THE SONORAN
DESERT AND REMAIN EAST OF THE COLORADO RIVER. MODELS SPLIT THE
TROUGH AS IT MOVES ONSHORE WITH THE STRONGER DYNAMICS MOVING
TROUGH N BAJA. THUS MODEL FORECAST LIGHT AMOUNTS OF PRECIPITATION
MAINLY OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERT. PRECIPITATION COULD BEGIN
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND DIMINISH THURSDAY NIGHT. THE ENSEMBLE MEAN
TRENDS REMAIN INCONSISTENT WITH THE TRACK OF THIS LOW...GIVING
FORECASTERS VERY LITTLE CONFIDENCE IN MEASURABLE RAIN...ESPECIALLY
FOR THE DESERT.

ONCE THE UPPER LOW EXITS EAST...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE
REGION SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY...WITH THE OPERATIONAL AND ENSEMBLE
MEANS ALL IN AGREEMENT. THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK LOOKS A BIT
LESS CERTAIN...AS NCEPS GLOBAL ENSEMBLE SHOWING VERY LOW
PREDICTABILITY FOR THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN FOR THE BEGINNING OF
NEXT WEEK. REGARDLESS...BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE INDICATING DRY
WEATHER.

PATCHY FOG WILL ONCE AGAIN BE POSSIBLE THROUGH MANY VALLEY
LOCATIONS STARTING AS THURSDAY. PATCHY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH
NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING FROM THURSDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...
MVFR CEILINGS CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE WEST SLOPES OF THE SIERRA
AND THE NORTH FACING SLOPES OF THE TEHACHAPI MOUNTAINS UNTIL 18Z
WEDNESDAY WITH IMPROVEMENT TO VFR THEREAFTER. AREAS OF IFR
CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY
BETWEEN 06Z AND 18Z WEDNESDAY WITH LOCAL LIFR/VLIFR IN FOG. VFR
CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ELSEWHERE THROUGHOUT THE CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
ON WEDNESDAY JANUARY 28 2015... FIREPLACE/WOOD STOVE BURNING
STATUS IS: NO BURNING UNLESS REGISTERED IN FRESNO... KERN...
KINGS... MADERA... MERCED AND TULARE COUNTIES.
FURTHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT VALLEYAIR.ORG

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS MEDIUM.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 01-27       70:1934     39:1963     52:2012     25:1949
KFAT 01-28       78:1986     41:1963     50:2003     23:1975
KFAT 01-29       73:1960     43:2002     55:1911     24:1902

KBFL 01-27       75:1928     37:1963     51:2012     24:1904
KBFL 01-28       77:1988     47:1957     52:1981     27:1957
KBFL 01-29       74:1986     42:2002     54:1986     27:1903

&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...MV
AVN/FW...DURFEE
SYNOPSIS...BSO

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD





000
FXUS66 KHNX 272305
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
305 PM PST TUE JAN 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING A RENEWED CHANCE OF
SHOWERS TO MAINLY THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERT WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY.
OTHERWISE EXPECT MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS WITH NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE
TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
&&

.DISCUSSION...
SHOWER ACTIVITY QUICKLY DIMINISHING AS AN UPPER LOW MOVES NE OF
THE SIERRA. THE SOUTH VALLEY HAS CLEARED OUT WITH SHOWERS LIMITED
MAINLY TO THE MOUNTAINS. EXPECT ALL SHOWER ACTIVITY TO END DURING
THE EARLY EVENING. WEATHER RADAR PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES SHOWS
WIDESPREAD LIGHT PRECIPITATION FALLING OVER MUCH OF DISTRICT WITH
THE HEAVIER AMOUNTS OF 0.6-1.0 INCH OVER THE TEHACHAPI MOUNTAINS
AND INDIAN WELLS VALLEY. CONCERN FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR FOG IN THE
SJV TONIGHT. DEW POINTS RUNNING RELATIVELY HIGH WITH THE RECENT
RAINFALL. WINDS SHOULD REMAIN LIGHT AS SHORT WAVE RIDGING BUILDS
BEHIND THE EXITING TROUGH. A MITIGATING FACTOR WILL BE AMOUNT OF
REMNANT CLOUD COVER. HOWEVER MODELS PROG DECREASING MID LEVEL
MOISTURE BEHIND THE TROUGH.

HIGH LEVEL CLOUD COVER WILL BE ON THE INCREASE WEDNESDAY AS AN
UPPER TROUGH OFF BAJA MOVES TOWARDS THE SOCAL COAST. SATELLITE PW
ESTIMATES INDICATE LOTS OF TROPICAL MOISTURE AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM.
HOWEVER MODELS PROG THE DEEP MOISTURE TO PUSH THROUGH THE SONORAN
DESERT AND REMAIN EAST OF THE COLORADO RIVER. MODELS SPLIT THE
TROUGH AS IT MOVES ONSHORE WITH THE STRONGER DYNAMICS MOVING
TROUGH N BAJA. THUS MODEL FORECAST LIGHT AMOUNTS OF PRECIPITATION
MAINLY OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERT. PRECIPITATION COULD BEGIN
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND DIMINISH THURSDAY NIGHT. THE ENSEMBLE MEAN
TRENDS REMAIN INCONSISTENT WITH THE TRACK OF THIS LOW...GIVING
FORECASTERS VERY LITTLE CONFIDENCE IN MEASURABLE RAIN...ESPECIALLY
FOR THE DESERT.

ONCE THE UPPER LOW EXITS EAST...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE
REGION SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY...WITH THE OPERATIONAL AND ENSEMBLE
MEANS ALL IN AGREEMENT. THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK LOOKS A BIT
LESS CERTAIN...AS NCEPS GLOBAL ENSEMBLE SHOWING VERY LOW
PREDICABILITY FOR THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN FOR THE BEGINNING OF
NEXT WEEK. REGARDLESS...BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE INDICATING DRY
WEATHER.

PATCHY FOG WILL ONCE AGAIN BE POSSIBLE THROUGH MANY VALLEY
LOCATIONS STARTING AS THURSDAY. PATCHY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH
NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING FROM THURSDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...
MVFR CEILINGS CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE WEST SLOPES OF THE SIERRA
AND THE NORTH FACING SLOPES OF THE TEHACHAPI MOUNTAINS UNTIL 18Z
WEDNESDAY WITH IMPROVEMENT TO VFR THEREAFTER. AREAS OF IFR
CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY
BETWEEN 06Z AND 18Z WEDNESDAY WITH LOCAL LIFR/VLIFR IN FOG. VFR
CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ELSEWHERE THROUGHOUT THE CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
ON TUESDAY JANUARY 27 2015... FIREPLACE/WOOD STOVE BURNING STATUS
IS: NO BURNING UNLESS REGISTERED IN FRESNO... KERN... KINGS AND
TULARE COUNTIES.
FURTHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT VALLEYAIR.ORG

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS MEDIUM.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 01-27       70:1934     39:1963     52:2012     25:1949
KFAT 01-28       78:1986     41:1963     50:2003     23:1975
KFAT 01-29       73:1960     43:2002     55:1911     24:1902

KBFL 01-27       75:1928     37:1963     51:2012     24:1904
KBFL 01-28       77:1988     47:1957     52:1981     27:1957
KBFL 01-29       74:1986     42:2002     54:1986     27:1903
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...MV
AVN/FW...DURFEE
PREV DISCUSSION...RILEY
SYNOPSIS...BSO

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD




000
FXUS66 KHNX 272305
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
305 PM PST TUE JAN 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING A RENEWED CHANCE OF
SHOWERS TO MAINLY THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERT WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY.
OTHERWISE EXPECT MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS WITH NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE
TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
&&

.DISCUSSION...
SHOWER ACTIVITY QUICKLY DIMINISHING AS AN UPPER LOW MOVES NE OF
THE SIERRA. THE SOUTH VALLEY HAS CLEARED OUT WITH SHOWERS LIMITED
MAINLY TO THE MOUNTAINS. EXPECT ALL SHOWER ACTIVITY TO END DURING
THE EARLY EVENING. WEATHER RADAR PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES SHOWS
WIDESPREAD LIGHT PRECIPITATION FALLING OVER MUCH OF DISTRICT WITH
THE HEAVIER AMOUNTS OF 0.6-1.0 INCH OVER THE TEHACHAPI MOUNTAINS
AND INDIAN WELLS VALLEY. CONCERN FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR FOG IN THE
SJV TONIGHT. DEW POINTS RUNNING RELATIVELY HIGH WITH THE RECENT
RAINFALL. WINDS SHOULD REMAIN LIGHT AS SHORT WAVE RIDGING BUILDS
BEHIND THE EXITING TROUGH. A MITIGATING FACTOR WILL BE AMOUNT OF
REMNANT CLOUD COVER. HOWEVER MODELS PROG DECREASING MID LEVEL
MOISTURE BEHIND THE TROUGH.

HIGH LEVEL CLOUD COVER WILL BE ON THE INCREASE WEDNESDAY AS AN
UPPER TROUGH OFF BAJA MOVES TOWARDS THE SOCAL COAST. SATELLITE PW
ESTIMATES INDICATE LOTS OF TROPICAL MOISTURE AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM.
HOWEVER MODELS PROG THE DEEP MOISTURE TO PUSH THROUGH THE SONORAN
DESERT AND REMAIN EAST OF THE COLORADO RIVER. MODELS SPLIT THE
TROUGH AS IT MOVES ONSHORE WITH THE STRONGER DYNAMICS MOVING
TROUGH N BAJA. THUS MODEL FORECAST LIGHT AMOUNTS OF PRECIPITATION
MAINLY OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERT. PRECIPITATION COULD BEGIN
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND DIMINISH THURSDAY NIGHT. THE ENSEMBLE MEAN
TRENDS REMAIN INCONSISTENT WITH THE TRACK OF THIS LOW...GIVING
FORECASTERS VERY LITTLE CONFIDENCE IN MEASURABLE RAIN...ESPECIALLY
FOR THE DESERT.

ONCE THE UPPER LOW EXITS EAST...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE
REGION SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY...WITH THE OPERATIONAL AND ENSEMBLE
MEANS ALL IN AGREEMENT. THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK LOOKS A BIT
LESS CERTAIN...AS NCEPS GLOBAL ENSEMBLE SHOWING VERY LOW
PREDICABILITY FOR THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN FOR THE BEGINNING OF
NEXT WEEK. REGARDLESS...BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE INDICATING DRY
WEATHER.

PATCHY FOG WILL ONCE AGAIN BE POSSIBLE THROUGH MANY VALLEY
LOCATIONS STARTING AS THURSDAY. PATCHY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH
NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING FROM THURSDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...
MVFR CEILINGS CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE WEST SLOPES OF THE SIERRA
AND THE NORTH FACING SLOPES OF THE TEHACHAPI MOUNTAINS UNTIL 18Z
WEDNESDAY WITH IMPROVEMENT TO VFR THEREAFTER. AREAS OF IFR
CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY
BETWEEN 06Z AND 18Z WEDNESDAY WITH LOCAL LIFR/VLIFR IN FOG. VFR
CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ELSEWHERE THROUGHOUT THE CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
ON TUESDAY JANUARY 27 2015... FIREPLACE/WOOD STOVE BURNING STATUS
IS: NO BURNING UNLESS REGISTERED IN FRESNO... KERN... KINGS AND
TULARE COUNTIES.
FURTHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT VALLEYAIR.ORG

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS MEDIUM.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 01-27       70:1934     39:1963     52:2012     25:1949
KFAT 01-28       78:1986     41:1963     50:2003     23:1975
KFAT 01-29       73:1960     43:2002     55:1911     24:1902

KBFL 01-27       75:1928     37:1963     51:2012     24:1904
KBFL 01-28       77:1988     47:1957     52:1981     27:1957
KBFL 01-29       74:1986     42:2002     54:1986     27:1903
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...MV
AVN/FW...DURFEE
PREV DISCUSSION...RILEY
SYNOPSIS...BSO

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD





000
FXUS66 KHNX 271022
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
222 AM PST TUE JAN 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...A STORM SYSTEM OFF THE SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST WILL
MOVE NORTH BRINGING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO MUCH OF THE CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA INTERIOR THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. DRY WEATHER WILL
RETURN BY WEDNESDAY...HOWEVER...ANOTHER STORM WILL BRING A RENEWED
CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO MAINLY THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERT WEDNESDAY INTO
FRIDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LOW OFF THE SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COASTLINE
CONTINUES TO BRING LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN SHOWERS TO MUCH OF THE
REGION. THE HEAVIEST RAIN WAS OBSERVED IN KERN COUNTY IN THE PAST
6 HOURS...WHERE DESERT AND MOUNTAIN LOCATIONS PICKED UP BETWEEN A
QUARTER OF AN INCH TO NEARLY TWO-THIRDS OF AN INCH.
OTHERWISE...MANY VALLEY LOCATIONS FROM TULARE AND KINGS COUNTY
SOUTHWARD PICKED UP A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH TO A TENTH OF AN
INCH. THE HIGH RES ARW...NMM...AND HRRR ALL INDICATE THAT SHOWERS
WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWARD...HOWEVER VERY LITTLE
ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. THIS ACTIVITY IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE
INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS...WITH RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS
CONTINUING OVER THE SIERRA NEVADA INTO THE EVENING HOURS...AS THE
UPPER LOW SHIFTS QUICKLY NORTHEAST OUT OF THE REGION.

SNOW LEVELS WITH THIS STORM WILL REMAIN AROUND 7,500 FEET WITH A
FEW INCHES POSSIBLE OVER SIERRA CREST.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRIEFLY BUILD OVER CALIFORNIA ON WEDNESDAY
BEFORE A WEAK UPPER TROUGH IMPACTS THE REGION THURSDAY INTO
FRIDAY. THE UPPER TROUGH WILL BECOME A CLOSED LOW ON FRIDAY AND
TRAVEL SLOWLY SOUTHEAST INTO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA ON FRIDAY AND
INTO ARIZONA EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THIS WILL BRING A CHANCE FOR
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS TO THE SIERRA NEVADA THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY...AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO THE KERN COUNTY DESERT
ON FRIDAY AS THE LOW SHIFTS SOUTH INTO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. THE
ENSEMBLE MEAN TRENDS HAVE BEEN VERY INCONSISTENT WITH THE TRACK OF
THIS LOW...GIVING FORECASTERS VERY LITTLE CONFIDENCE IN
MEASUREABLE RAIN...ESPECIALLY FOR THE DESERT.

ONCE THE UPPER LOW EXITS EAST...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE
REGION SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY...WITH THE OPERATIONAL AND ENSEMBLE
MEANS ALL IN AGREEMENT. THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK LOOKS A BIT
LESS CERTAIN...AS NCEPS GLOBAL ENSEMBLE SHOWING VERY LOW
PREDICABILITY FOR THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN FOR THE BEGINNING OF
NEXT WEEK. REGARDLESS...BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE INDICATING DRY
WEATHER.

LASTLY...WITH THE LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS EXPERIENCED IN THE VALLEY
TODAY...PATCHY FOG WILL ONCE AGAIN BE POSSIBLE THROUGH MANY VALLEY
LOCATIONS STARTING AS EARLY AS THURSDAY. PATCHY FOG WILL BE
POSSIBLE EACH NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING FROM THURSDAY INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...
LOCAL MVFR VISIBILITIES AND MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIIONS IN SHOWERS
THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY. OTHERWISE VFR CONDITIONS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
ON TUESDAY JANUARY 27 2015... FIREPLACE/WOOD STOVE BURNING STATUS
IS: NO BURNING UNLESS REGISTERED IN FRESNO... KERN... KINGS AND
TULARE COUNTIES.
FURTHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT VALLEYAIR.ORG

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS MEDIUM.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 01-27       70:1934     39:1963     52:2012     25:1949
KFAT 01-28       78:1986     41:1963     50:2003     23:1975
KFAT 01-29       73:1960     43:2002     55:1911     24:1902

KBFL 01-27       75:1928     37:1963     51:2012     24:1904
KBFL 01-28       77:1988     47:1957     52:1981     27:1957
KBFL 01-29       74:1986     42:2002     54:1986     27:1903
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...RILEY
AVN/FW...BEAN
SYNOPSIS...RILEY

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD





000
FXUS66 KHNX 271022
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
222 AM PST TUE JAN 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...A STORM SYSTEM OFF THE SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST WILL
MOVE NORTH BRINGING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO MUCH OF THE CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA INTERIOR THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. DRY WEATHER WILL
RETURN BY WEDNESDAY...HOWEVER...ANOTHER STORM WILL BRING A RENEWED
CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO MAINLY THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERT WEDNESDAY INTO
FRIDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LOW OFF THE SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COASTLINE
CONTINUES TO BRING LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN SHOWERS TO MUCH OF THE
REGION. THE HEAVIEST RAIN WAS OBSERVED IN KERN COUNTY IN THE PAST
6 HOURS...WHERE DESERT AND MOUNTAIN LOCATIONS PICKED UP BETWEEN A
QUARTER OF AN INCH TO NEARLY TWO-THIRDS OF AN INCH.
OTHERWISE...MANY VALLEY LOCATIONS FROM TULARE AND KINGS COUNTY
SOUTHWARD PICKED UP A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH TO A TENTH OF AN
INCH. THE HIGH RES ARW...NMM...AND HRRR ALL INDICATE THAT SHOWERS
WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWARD...HOWEVER VERY LITTLE
ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. THIS ACTIVITY IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE
INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS...WITH RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS
CONTINUING OVER THE SIERRA NEVADA INTO THE EVENING HOURS...AS THE
UPPER LOW SHIFTS QUICKLY NORTHEAST OUT OF THE REGION.

SNOW LEVELS WITH THIS STORM WILL REMAIN AROUND 7,500 FEET WITH A
FEW INCHES POSSIBLE OVER SIERRA CREST.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRIEFLY BUILD OVER CALIFORNIA ON WEDNESDAY
BEFORE A WEAK UPPER TROUGH IMPACTS THE REGION THURSDAY INTO
FRIDAY. THE UPPER TROUGH WILL BECOME A CLOSED LOW ON FRIDAY AND
TRAVEL SLOWLY SOUTHEAST INTO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA ON FRIDAY AND
INTO ARIZONA EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THIS WILL BRING A CHANCE FOR
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS TO THE SIERRA NEVADA THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY...AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO THE KERN COUNTY DESERT
ON FRIDAY AS THE LOW SHIFTS SOUTH INTO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. THE
ENSEMBLE MEAN TRENDS HAVE BEEN VERY INCONSISTENT WITH THE TRACK OF
THIS LOW...GIVING FORECASTERS VERY LITTLE CONFIDENCE IN
MEASUREABLE RAIN...ESPECIALLY FOR THE DESERT.

ONCE THE UPPER LOW EXITS EAST...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE
REGION SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY...WITH THE OPERATIONAL AND ENSEMBLE
MEANS ALL IN AGREEMENT. THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK LOOKS A BIT
LESS CERTAIN...AS NCEPS GLOBAL ENSEMBLE SHOWING VERY LOW
PREDICABILITY FOR THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN FOR THE BEGINNING OF
NEXT WEEK. REGARDLESS...BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE INDICATING DRY
WEATHER.

LASTLY...WITH THE LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS EXPERIENCED IN THE VALLEY
TODAY...PATCHY FOG WILL ONCE AGAIN BE POSSIBLE THROUGH MANY VALLEY
LOCATIONS STARTING AS EARLY AS THURSDAY. PATCHY FOG WILL BE
POSSIBLE EACH NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING FROM THURSDAY INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...
LOCAL MVFR VISIBILITIES AND MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIIONS IN SHOWERS
THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY. OTHERWISE VFR CONDITIONS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
ON TUESDAY JANUARY 27 2015... FIREPLACE/WOOD STOVE BURNING STATUS
IS: NO BURNING UNLESS REGISTERED IN FRESNO... KERN... KINGS AND
TULARE COUNTIES.
FURTHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT VALLEYAIR.ORG

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS MEDIUM.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 01-27       70:1934     39:1963     52:2012     25:1949
KFAT 01-28       78:1986     41:1963     50:2003     23:1975
KFAT 01-29       73:1960     43:2002     55:1911     24:1902

KBFL 01-27       75:1928     37:1963     51:2012     24:1904
KBFL 01-28       77:1988     47:1957     52:1981     27:1957
KBFL 01-29       74:1986     42:2002     54:1986     27:1903
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...RILEY
AVN/FW...BEAN
SYNOPSIS...RILEY

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD




000
FXUS66 KHNX 262329
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
329 PM PST MON JAN 26 2015

.SYNOPSIS...A STORM SYSTEM OFF THE COAST OF NORTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA WILL
BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO MUCH OF THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA INTERIOR
THROUGH TUESDAY. DRY WEATHER WILL RETURN BY WEDNESDAY...HOWEVER...ANOTHER
STORM WILL BRING A RENEWED CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO MAINLY THE MOUNTAINS AND
DESERT THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND INTO FRIDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
AFTER ANOTHER MORNING WITH AREAS OF DENSE FOG IN THE VALLEY...A
CHANGE IN THE WEATHER PATTERN IS UNDERWAY. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW
PRESSURE CENTER LOCATED OFFSHORE NORTHERN BAJA IS CURRENTLY SPINNING
CLOUDS AND BANDS OF PRECIPITATION NORTHWARD ACROSS SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA. SOME OF THIS RAINFALL HAS CLIPPED KERN COUNTY...WITH
AROUND 1/10 OF AN INCH RECORDED IN THE RIDGECREST AREA SO FAR.

PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWARD ACROSS OUR AREA
THROUGH TONIGHT AS THE UPPER LOW LIFTS NORTH. THERE IS GOOD MODEL
CONSENSUS IN HANDLING THIS LOW AS IT DRIFTS ACROSS CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA BY TUESDAY AND CONTINUES THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN BY
TUESDAY NIGHT. THE RESULT FOR US WILL BE SOME MEASURABLEPRECIPITATION
AT NEARLY ALL CENTRAL CALIFORNIA LOCATIONS. QPF GUIDANCE SHOWS A
FEW HUNDREDTHS TO AROUND 1/10 OF AN INCH IN THE VALLEY...UP TO A
FEW TENTHS IN THE SURROUNDING TERRAIN AND DESERT AREAS...WITH
HIGHER AMOUNTS AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS. THIS WARM STORM WILL LIMIT
SNOWFALL TO MAINLY AROUND 7000 FEET AND ABOVE. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS
WILL MOSTLY BE JUST A FEW INCHES...BUT COULD SEE UP TO NEARLY A
FOOT AT SOME OF THE VERY HIGHEST PEAKS.

WEAK RIDGING BEHIND THIS DEPARTING SYSTEM WEDNESDAY WILL BRING
DRIER CONDITIONS...THEN AN ADDITIONAL WEAK TROUGH IS PROGGED TO
PUSH ACROSS THE REGION BY THURSDAY. ONLY MINOR DIFFERENCES IN
MODEL SOLUTIONS WITH THIS FEATURE AS THEY DRAG IT ACROSS CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA...THEN DEVELOP AN UPPER LOW NEAR THE BAJA AREA THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. MOISTURE FETCH WITH THIS SYSTEM IS MAINLY SHUNTED
EAST OF THE REGION AND ONLY SOME LIGHT SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...MOSTLY IN THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERT AREAS.

ANOTHER RIDGE BUILDING OVER THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER TO OUR SOUTH
WILL RETURN US TO DRY CONDITIONS BY THE FIRST PART OF NEXT WEEK...WITH
A POSSIBLE REPEAT OF THE VALLEY FOG PATTERN WE HAVE BEEN IN
RECENTLY.



&&

.AVIATION...
WIDESPREAD IFR VISIBILITIES AND CEILINGS IN FOG AND STRATUS ACROSS
MOST OF THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY AND ADJACENT TERRAIN...WITH AREAS OF
LIFR/VLIFR UNTIL 20Z MONDAY. ELSEWHERE...RAIN AND HIGH ELEVATION
SNOW WILL CREATE MVFR WITH LOCAL MTN OBSCURING IFR CONDITIONS AFTER
15Z MONDAY.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
ON TUESDAY JANUARY 27 2015... FIREPLACE/WOOD STOVE BURNING STATUS
IS: NO BURNING UNLESS REGISTERED IN FRESNO... KERN... KINGS AND
TULARE COUNTIES.
FURTHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT VALLEYAIR.ORG

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 01-26       70:1940     41:1957     52:1940     24:1898
KFAT 01-27       70:1934     39:1963     52:2012     25:1949
KFAT 01-28       78:1986     41:1963     50:2003     23:1975

KBFL 01-26       78:1942     45:1902     56:1966     25:1904
KBFL 01-27       75:1928     37:1963     51:2012     24:1904
KBFL 01-28       77:1988     47:1957     52:1981     27:1957
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...JEB
AVN/FW...DURFEE
SYNOPSIS...BSO

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD





000
FXUS66 KHNX 262329
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
329 PM PST MON JAN 26 2015

.SYNOPSIS...A STORM SYSTEM OFF THE COAST OF NORTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA WILL
BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO MUCH OF THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA INTERIOR
THROUGH TUESDAY. DRY WEATHER WILL RETURN BY WEDNESDAY...HOWEVER...ANOTHER
STORM WILL BRING A RENEWED CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO MAINLY THE MOUNTAINS AND
DESERT THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND INTO FRIDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
AFTER ANOTHER MORNING WITH AREAS OF DENSE FOG IN THE VALLEY...A
CHANGE IN THE WEATHER PATTERN IS UNDERWAY. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW
PRESSURE CENTER LOCATED OFFSHORE NORTHERN BAJA IS CURRENTLY SPINNING
CLOUDS AND BANDS OF PRECIPITATION NORTHWARD ACROSS SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA. SOME OF THIS RAINFALL HAS CLIPPED KERN COUNTY...WITH
AROUND 1/10 OF AN INCH RECORDED IN THE RIDGECREST AREA SO FAR.

PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWARD ACROSS OUR AREA
THROUGH TONIGHT AS THE UPPER LOW LIFTS NORTH. THERE IS GOOD MODEL
CONSENSUS IN HANDLING THIS LOW AS IT DRIFTS ACROSS CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA BY TUESDAY AND CONTINUES THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN BY
TUESDAY NIGHT. THE RESULT FOR US WILL BE SOME MEASURABLEPRECIPITATION
AT NEARLY ALL CENTRAL CALIFORNIA LOCATIONS. QPF GUIDANCE SHOWS A
FEW HUNDREDTHS TO AROUND 1/10 OF AN INCH IN THE VALLEY...UP TO A
FEW TENTHS IN THE SURROUNDING TERRAIN AND DESERT AREAS...WITH
HIGHER AMOUNTS AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS. THIS WARM STORM WILL LIMIT
SNOWFALL TO MAINLY AROUND 7000 FEET AND ABOVE. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS
WILL MOSTLY BE JUST A FEW INCHES...BUT COULD SEE UP TO NEARLY A
FOOT AT SOME OF THE VERY HIGHEST PEAKS.

WEAK RIDGING BEHIND THIS DEPARTING SYSTEM WEDNESDAY WILL BRING
DRIER CONDITIONS...THEN AN ADDITIONAL WEAK TROUGH IS PROGGED TO
PUSH ACROSS THE REGION BY THURSDAY. ONLY MINOR DIFFERENCES IN
MODEL SOLUTIONS WITH THIS FEATURE AS THEY DRAG IT ACROSS CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA...THEN DEVELOP AN UPPER LOW NEAR THE BAJA AREA THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. MOISTURE FETCH WITH THIS SYSTEM IS MAINLY SHUNTED
EAST OF THE REGION AND ONLY SOME LIGHT SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...MOSTLY IN THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERT AREAS.

ANOTHER RIDGE BUILDING OVER THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER TO OUR SOUTH
WILL RETURN US TO DRY CONDITIONS BY THE FIRST PART OF NEXT WEEK...WITH
A POSSIBLE REPEAT OF THE VALLEY FOG PATTERN WE HAVE BEEN IN
RECENTLY.



&&

.AVIATION...
WIDESPREAD IFR VISIBILITIES AND CEILINGS IN FOG AND STRATUS ACROSS
MOST OF THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY AND ADJACENT TERRAIN...WITH AREAS OF
LIFR/VLIFR UNTIL 20Z MONDAY. ELSEWHERE...RAIN AND HIGH ELEVATION
SNOW WILL CREATE MVFR WITH LOCAL MTN OBSCURING IFR CONDITIONS AFTER
15Z MONDAY.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
ON TUESDAY JANUARY 27 2015... FIREPLACE/WOOD STOVE BURNING STATUS
IS: NO BURNING UNLESS REGISTERED IN FRESNO... KERN... KINGS AND
TULARE COUNTIES.
FURTHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT VALLEYAIR.ORG

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 01-26       70:1940     41:1957     52:1940     24:1898
KFAT 01-27       70:1934     39:1963     52:2012     25:1949
KFAT 01-28       78:1986     41:1963     50:2003     23:1975

KBFL 01-26       78:1942     45:1902     56:1966     25:1904
KBFL 01-27       75:1928     37:1963     51:2012     24:1904
KBFL 01-28       77:1988     47:1957     52:1981     27:1957
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...JEB
AVN/FW...DURFEE
SYNOPSIS...BSO

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD




000
FXUS66 KHNX 261325
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
525 AM PST MON JAN 26 2015

.UPDATE...
DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 18Z TODAY FOR THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...
THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL DRIFT FROM NORTHERN CALIFORNIA TO
THE FOUR CORNERS REGION TODAY. THIS SHIFT WILL ALLOW A STORM
SYSTEM OFF THE COAST OF NORTHERN BAJA TO INTRODUCE SHOWERS INTO
MUCH OF THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA INTERIOR LATER TODAY THROUGH
TUESDAY. DRY WEATHER WILL RETURN BY WEDNESDAY. ANOTHER STORM WILL
BRING A RENEWED CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO MAINLY THE MOUNTAINS AND
DESERT LATER IN THE WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
DENSE FOG HAS BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD. AT 1223Z /0423 PST/...THE
CALIFORNIA HIGHWAY PATROL REPORTED 200-500-FOOT VISIBILITIES ON
INTERSTATE 5 AS FAR SOUTH AS HIGHWAY 58 /NEAR BUTTONWILLOW/. AT
13Z /0500 PST/...THE AWOS/S AT LOS BANOS...VISALIA AND CASTLE
AIRPARK...AND THE ASOS AT MERCED WERE REPORTING VISIBILITIES OF
LESS THAN A QUARTER MILE...AND THE ASOS/S AT FRESNO AND HANFORD
WERE AT ONE QUARTER MILE. HAVE ISSUED A DENSE FOG ADVISORY FOR THE
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY THROUGH 18Z /1000 PST/
THIS MORNING AS THERE SHOULD BE SOME MIXING BY THAT TIME AHEAD OF
THE APPROACHING STORM.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 305 AM PST MON JAN 26 2015/

DISCUSSION...
ONLY PATCHY DENSE FOG IN THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY
THIS MORNING...MAINLY IN THE MERCED/ATWATER AREA AND ALONG THE
HIGHWAY 198 CORRIDOR FROM VISALIA WEST THROUGH HANFORD. AT 10Z /0200
PST/...TEMPERATURES IN THE COLDEST SPOTS WERE ALREADY NEAR FREEZING
AND BLACK ICE ON RURAL BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES IS A CONCERN. HAVE
USED SOCIAL MEDIA TO GET THE WORD OUT.

SATELLITE LOOPS SHOW AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW WEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA THIS
MORNING...SPINNING HIGH CLOUDS NORTHWARD ACROSS SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
INTO THE CENTRAL PART OF THE STATE. THIS LOW IS TAPPING INTO A
SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE FETCH...AND PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO PUSH
NORTHWARD INTO THE KERN COUNTY MOUNTAIN AND DESERT AREAS THIS
AFTERNOON /POSSIBLY AS EARLY AS MIDDAY FOR THE EDWARDS/ROSAMOND/
BORON AREA/...THEN SPREAD NORTHWARD TONIGHT.

DUE TO THE SUBTROPICAL NATURE OF THE MOISTURE PLUME...SNOW LEVELS
WILL START OUT HIGH...AROUND 8000 FEET THIS AFTERNOON...THEN SLOWLY
LOWER TO AROUND 7000 FEET BY TUESDAY EVENING BEFORE BOTTOMING OUT
AROUND 6500 FEET WEDNESDAY MORNING. FORECASTED STORM TOTAL QPF IS
AROUND A TENTH OF AN INCH FOR THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY FLOOR...UP TO A
THIRD OF AN INCH IN THE FOOTHILLS...AND AROUND A HALF INCH IN THE
SOUTHERN SIERRA NEVADA EXCEPT LOCALLY HIGHER IN THE TULARE COUNTY
MOUNTAINS. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS FORECAST FOR TONIGHT...THEN THE
PRECIPITATION ENDS FROM THE WEST DURING THE DAY TUESDAY AS THE STORM
MOVES INTO THE GREAT BASIN.

AT THIS TIME...ONLY EXPECT ISOLATED TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS IN EXCESS
OF SIX INCHES NEAR THE SOUTHERN SIERRA NEVADA CREST. SNOWFALL IS NOT
FORECAST TO REACH WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY CRITERIA...BUT LOCAL
HIGHER ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE IF STRONG CONVECTIVE SNOW SHOWERS
DEVELOP...SO PEOPLE HEADING INTO THE HIGH COUNTRY WILL NEED TO
REMAIN ALERT FOR CHANGES IN CONDITIONS.

ANOTHER UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IS FORECAST TO REACH CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
THURSDAY AND REMAIN OVER THE REGION FRIDAY BEFORE DROPPING SOUTH
INTO BAJA CALIFORNIA SATURDAY. THIS WILL ALLOW AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE
TO NOSE INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND NORTHERN CALIFORNIA...IN A
PATTERN HIGHLY REMINISCENT OF THIS PAST WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION...
WIDESPREAD IFR VISIBILITIES AND CEILINGS IN FOG AND STRATUS ACROSS
MOST OF THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY AND ADJACENT TERRAIN...WITH AREAS OF
LIFR/VLIFR UNTIL 20Z MONDAY. ELSEWHERE...RAIN AND HIGH ELEVATION
SNOW WILL CREATE MVFR WITH LOCAL MTN OBSCURING IFR CONDITIONS AFTER
15Z MONDAY.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
ON MONDAY JANUARY 26 2015... FIREPLACE/WOOD STOVE BURNING STATUS
IS: NO BURNING UNLESS REGISTERED IN FRESNO... KERN... KINGS...
MADERA... MERCED AND TULARE COUNTIES.
FURTHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT VALLEYAIR.ORG

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS MEDIUM.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 01-26       70:1940     41:1957     52:1940     24:1898
KFAT 01-27       70:1934     39:1963     52:2012     25:1949
KFAT 01-28       78:1986     41:1963     50:2003     23:1975

KBFL 01-26       78:1942     45:1902     56:1966     25:1904
KBFL 01-27       75:1928     37:1963     51:2012     24:1904
KBFL 01-28       77:1988     47:1957     52:1981     27:1957
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM PST THIS MORNING FOR THE CENTRAL
AND SOUTHERN SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY /CAZ089>092/.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...SANGER
AVN/FW...SANGER
SYNOPSIS...MOLINA
PREV DISCUSSION...SANGER

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD





000
FXUS66 KHNX 261105
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
305 AM PST MON JAN 26 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL DRIFT FROM NORTHERN CALIFORNIA TO
THE FOUR CORNERS REGION TODAY. THIS SHIFT WILL ALLOW A STORM
SYSTEM OFF THE COAST OF NORTHERN BAJA TO INTRODUCE SHOWERS INTO
MUCH OF THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA INTERIOR LATER TODAY THROUGH
TUESDAY. DRY WEATHER WILL RETURN BY WEDNESDAY. ANOTHER STORM WILL
BRING A RENEWED CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO MAINLY THE MOUNTAINS AND
DESERT LATER IN THE WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
ONLY PATCHY DENSE FOG IN THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY
THIS MORNING...MAINLY IN THE MERCED/ATWATER AREA AND ALONG THE
HIGHWAY 198 CORRIDOR FROM VISALIA WEST THROUGH HANFORD. AT 10Z /0200
PST/...TEMPERATURES IN THE COLDEST SPOTS WERE ALREADY NEAR FREEZING
AND BLACK ICE ON RURAL BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES IS A CONCERN. HAVE
USED SOCIAL MEDIA TO GET THE WORD OUT.

SATELLITE LOOPS SHOW AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW WEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA THIS
MORNING...SPINNING HIGH CLOUDS NORTHWARD ACROSS SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
INTO THE CENTRAL PART OF THE STATE. THIS LOW IS TAPPING INTO A
SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE FETCH...AND PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO PUSH
NORTHWARD INTO THE KERN COUNTY MOUNTAIN AND DESERT AREAS THIS
AFTERNOON /POSSIBLY AS EARLY AS MIDDAY FOR THE EDWARDS/ROSAMOND/
BORON AREA/...THEN SPREAD NORTHWARD TONIGHT.

DUE TO THE SUBTROPICAL NATURE OF THE MOISTURE PLUME...SNOW LEVELS
WILL START OUT HIGH...AROUND 8000 FEET THIS AFTERNOON...THEN SLOWLY
LOWER TO AROUND 7000 FEET BY TUESDAY EVENING BEFORE BOTTOMING OUT
AROUND 6500 FEET WEDNESDAY MORNING. FORECASTED STORM TOTAL QPF IS
AROUND A TENTH OF AN INCH FOR THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY FLOOR...UP TO A
THIRD OF AN INCH IN THE FOOTHILLS...AND AROUND A HALF INCH IN THE
SOUTHERN SIERRA NEVADA EXCEPT LOCALLY HIGHER IN THE TULARE COUNTY
MOUNTAINS. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS FORECAST FOR TONIGHT...THEN THE
PRECIPITATION ENDS FROM THE WEST DURING THE DAY TUESDAY AS THE STORM
MOVES INTO THE GREAT BASIN.

AT THIS TIME...ONLY EXPECT ISOLATED TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS IN EXCESS
OF SIX INCHES NEAR THE SOUTHERN SIERRA NEVADA CREST. SNOWFALL IS NOT
FORECAST TO REACH WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY CRITERIA...BUT LOCAL
HIGHER ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE IF STRONG CONVECTIVE SNOW SHOWERS
DEVELOP...SO PEOPLE HEADING INTO THE HIGH COUNTRY WILL NEED TO
REMAIN ALERT FOR CHANGES IN CONDITIONS.

ANOTHER UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IS FORECAST TO REACH CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
THURSDAY AND REMAIN OVER THE REGION FRIDAY BEFORE DROPPING SOUTH
INTO BAJA CALIFORNIA SATURDAY. THIS WILL ALLOW AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE
TO NOSE INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND NORTHERN CALIFORNIA...IN A
PATTERN HIGHLY REMINISCENT OF THIS PAST WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION...
WIDESPREAD IFR VISIBILITIES AND CEILINGS IN FOG AND STRATUS ACROSS
MOST OF THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY AND ADJACENT TERRAIN...WITH AREAS OF
LIFR/VLIFR UNTIL 20Z TODAY. ELSEWHERE...RAIN AND HIGH ELEVATION
SNOW WILL CREATE MVFR WITH LOCAL MTN OBSCURING IFR CONDITIONS
AFTER 15Z MONDAY.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
ON MONDAY JANUARY 26 2015... FIREPLACE/WOOD STOVE BURNING STATUS
IS: NO BURNING UNLESS REGISTERED IN FRESNO... KERN... KINGS...
MADERA... MERCED AND TULARE COUNTIES.
FURTHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT VALLEYAIR.ORG

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS MEDIUM.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 01-26       70:1940     41:1957     52:1940     24:1898
KFAT 01-27       70:1934     39:1963     52:2012     25:1949
KFAT 01-28       78:1986     41:1963     50:2003     23:1975

KBFL 01-26       78:1942     45:1902     56:1966     25:1904
KBFL 01-27       75:1928     37:1963     51:2012     24:1904
KBFL 01-28       77:1988     47:1957     52:1981     27:1957
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...SANGER
AVN/FW...MOLINA
SYNOPSIS...MOLINA

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD





000
FXUS66 KHNX 261105
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
305 AM PST MON JAN 26 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL DRIFT FROM NORTHERN CALIFORNIA TO
THE FOUR CORNERS REGION TODAY. THIS SHIFT WILL ALLOW A STORM
SYSTEM OFF THE COAST OF NORTHERN BAJA TO INTRODUCE SHOWERS INTO
MUCH OF THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA INTERIOR LATER TODAY THROUGH
TUESDAY. DRY WEATHER WILL RETURN BY WEDNESDAY. ANOTHER STORM WILL
BRING A RENEWED CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO MAINLY THE MOUNTAINS AND
DESERT LATER IN THE WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
ONLY PATCHY DENSE FOG IN THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY
THIS MORNING...MAINLY IN THE MERCED/ATWATER AREA AND ALONG THE
HIGHWAY 198 CORRIDOR FROM VISALIA WEST THROUGH HANFORD. AT 10Z /0200
PST/...TEMPERATURES IN THE COLDEST SPOTS WERE ALREADY NEAR FREEZING
AND BLACK ICE ON RURAL BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES IS A CONCERN. HAVE
USED SOCIAL MEDIA TO GET THE WORD OUT.

SATELLITE LOOPS SHOW AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW WEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA THIS
MORNING...SPINNING HIGH CLOUDS NORTHWARD ACROSS SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
INTO THE CENTRAL PART OF THE STATE. THIS LOW IS TAPPING INTO A
SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE FETCH...AND PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO PUSH
NORTHWARD INTO THE KERN COUNTY MOUNTAIN AND DESERT AREAS THIS
AFTERNOON /POSSIBLY AS EARLY AS MIDDAY FOR THE EDWARDS/ROSAMOND/
BORON AREA/...THEN SPREAD NORTHWARD TONIGHT.

DUE TO THE SUBTROPICAL NATURE OF THE MOISTURE PLUME...SNOW LEVELS
WILL START OUT HIGH...AROUND 8000 FEET THIS AFTERNOON...THEN SLOWLY
LOWER TO AROUND 7000 FEET BY TUESDAY EVENING BEFORE BOTTOMING OUT
AROUND 6500 FEET WEDNESDAY MORNING. FORECASTED STORM TOTAL QPF IS
AROUND A TENTH OF AN INCH FOR THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY FLOOR...UP TO A
THIRD OF AN INCH IN THE FOOTHILLS...AND AROUND A HALF INCH IN THE
SOUTHERN SIERRA NEVADA EXCEPT LOCALLY HIGHER IN THE TULARE COUNTY
MOUNTAINS. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS FORECAST FOR TONIGHT...THEN THE
PRECIPITATION ENDS FROM THE WEST DURING THE DAY TUESDAY AS THE STORM
MOVES INTO THE GREAT BASIN.

AT THIS TIME...ONLY EXPECT ISOLATED TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS IN EXCESS
OF SIX INCHES NEAR THE SOUTHERN SIERRA NEVADA CREST. SNOWFALL IS NOT
FORECAST TO REACH WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY CRITERIA...BUT LOCAL
HIGHER ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE IF STRONG CONVECTIVE SNOW SHOWERS
DEVELOP...SO PEOPLE HEADING INTO THE HIGH COUNTRY WILL NEED TO
REMAIN ALERT FOR CHANGES IN CONDITIONS.

ANOTHER UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IS FORECAST TO REACH CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
THURSDAY AND REMAIN OVER THE REGION FRIDAY BEFORE DROPPING SOUTH
INTO BAJA CALIFORNIA SATURDAY. THIS WILL ALLOW AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE
TO NOSE INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND NORTHERN CALIFORNIA...IN A
PATTERN HIGHLY REMINISCENT OF THIS PAST WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION...
WIDESPREAD IFR VISIBILITIES AND CEILINGS IN FOG AND STRATUS ACROSS
MOST OF THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY AND ADJACENT TERRAIN...WITH AREAS OF
LIFR/VLIFR UNTIL 20Z TODAY. ELSEWHERE...RAIN AND HIGH ELEVATION
SNOW WILL CREATE MVFR WITH LOCAL MTN OBSCURING IFR CONDITIONS
AFTER 15Z MONDAY.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
ON MONDAY JANUARY 26 2015... FIREPLACE/WOOD STOVE BURNING STATUS
IS: NO BURNING UNLESS REGISTERED IN FRESNO... KERN... KINGS...
MADERA... MERCED AND TULARE COUNTIES.
FURTHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT VALLEYAIR.ORG

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS MEDIUM.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 01-26       70:1940     41:1957     52:1940     24:1898
KFAT 01-27       70:1934     39:1963     52:2012     25:1949
KFAT 01-28       78:1986     41:1963     50:2003     23:1975

KBFL 01-26       78:1942     45:1902     56:1966     25:1904
KBFL 01-27       75:1928     37:1963     51:2012     24:1904
KBFL 01-28       77:1988     47:1957     52:1981     27:1957
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...SANGER
AVN/FW...MOLINA
SYNOPSIS...MOLINA

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD




000
FXUS66 KHNX 260555 AAA
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
955 PM PST SUN JAN 25 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL DRIFT FROM NORTHERN CALIFORNIA TO THE
FOUR CORNERS REGION BY MONDAY MORNING. A STORM SYSTEM OFF THE
COAST OF NORTHERN BAJA WILL BRING SHOWERS INTO MUCH OF THE CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA INTERIOR LATE MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. DRY WEATHER WILL
RETURN BY WEDNESDAY. ANOTHER STORM WILL BRING A RENEWED CHANCE OF
SHOWERS TO MAINLY THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERT LATER IN THE WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
CLEAR SKIES HAVE REALLY ALLOWED TEMPS TO DROP IN THE VALLEY. WE
HAVE UPDATED TEMPS INTO THE MID TO UPPER 30S ACROSS SEVERAL PARTS
OF THE VALLEY. FRESNO AND BAKERSFIELD REMAIN WARM. ADJUSTED AREA
OF FOG IN THE VALLEY AND FOCUSED DENSE FOG NEAR MERCED. COVERAGE
IS NOT WIDESPREAD ENOUGH TO ISSUE A DENSE FOG ADVISORY AT THIS
TIME. PLENTY OF HIGH AND MID CLOUDS WILL PROBABLY LOCK TEMPS AT
THEIR CURRENT VALUES OVERNIGHT. WE ARE STILL LOOKING AT RAIN
SPREADING FROM SOUTH TO NORTH LATE TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 411 PM PST SUN JAN 25 2015/

DISCUSSION...LOW CLOUDS ACROSS THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY ARE
BREAKING UP AND VIRTUALLY ALL LOCATIONS WILL GET AT LEAST A
GLIMPSE OF THE SUN THIS AFTERNOON. SATELLITE SHOWS HIGH AND MID
CLOUDS INVADING THE DESERT AREAS AHEAD OF A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
APPROACHING FROM THE SOUTH. THE CLEARING SKIES ARE FAVORABLE FOR
RAPID RADIATIONAL COOLING AND FOG REDEVELOPMENT TONIGHT. FOG
FORMATION COULD HOWEVER BE INHIBITED BY SOME DRIER AIR IN
EASTERLY FLOW AROUND THE TOP OF THIS LOW ALONG WITH THE INCOMING
CLOUDS. A DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS NOT ANTICIPATED FOR TONIGHT AT
THIS TIME BUT CONDITIONS WILL BE MONITORED THIS EVENING.

MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN LIFTING THIS LOW NORTHWESTWARD AND
THAN PUSHING IT ACROSS CENTRAL CALIFORNIA TUESDAY. THIS WILL BRING
RAIN TO THE DESERT AND MOUNTAIN AREAS BY MONDAY AND SPREADING
ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH TUESDAY. SNOW LEVELS WITH THIS STORM WILL
BE RATHER HIGH BUT MODERATE QPF AMOUNTS WILL ALLOW FOR UP TO A
FOOT OF SNOW AT THE VERY HIGHEST ELEVATIONS...OTHERWISE A FEW
INCHES ARE EXPECTED GENERALLY ABOVE 7000 FT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN
THE VALLEY BE AROUND 1/10 OF AN INCH.

AS THIS SYSTEM LIFTS OUT...WEDNESDAY WILL BRING A BREAK...THEN
ADDITIONAL SHORTWAVE ENERGY LIFTS NORTHEAST INTO THE REGION
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. MODELS ARE TRENDING A LITTLE FARTHER
EAST WITH THE ASSOCIATED MOISTURE WITH THIS SYSTEM. IT WILL BRING
AT LEAST A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR PRECIP OVER THE DESERT AND MOUNTAIN
AREAS BY THURSDAY NIGHT INTO THE WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION...
WIDESPREAD IFR VISIBILITIES AND CEILINGS IN FOG AND STRATUS ACROSS
MOST OF THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY AND ADJACENT TERRAIN THROUGH 00Z
MONDAY...WITH AREAS OF LIFR/VLIFR BETWEEN 06Z AND 20Z MONDAY. VFR
CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
INTERIOR DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
ON MONDAY JANUARY 26 2015... FIREPLACE/WOOD STOVE BURNING STATUS
IS: NO BURNING UNLESS REGISTERED IN FRESNO... KERN... KINGS...
MADERA... MERCED AND TULARE COUNTIES.
FURTHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT VALLEYAIR.ORG

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS MEDIUM.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 01-25       70:2005     42:1895     57:1969     24:1949
KFAT 01-26       70:1940     41:1957     52:1940     24:1898
KFAT 01-27       70:1934     39:1963     52:2012     25:1949

KBFL 01-25       77:1924     39:1999     57:1969     22:1893
KBFL 01-26       78:1942     45:1902     56:1966     25:1904
KBFL 01-27       75:1928     37:1963     51:2012     24:1904
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...JDB
AVN/FW...DS
PREV DISCUSSION...JEB
SYNOPSIS...WP

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD




000
FXUS66 KHNX 260555 AAA
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
955 PM PST SUN JAN 25 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL DRIFT FROM NORTHERN CALIFORNIA TO THE
FOUR CORNERS REGION BY MONDAY MORNING. A STORM SYSTEM OFF THE
COAST OF NORTHERN BAJA WILL BRING SHOWERS INTO MUCH OF THE CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA INTERIOR LATE MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. DRY WEATHER WILL
RETURN BY WEDNESDAY. ANOTHER STORM WILL BRING A RENEWED CHANCE OF
SHOWERS TO MAINLY THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERT LATER IN THE WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
CLEAR SKIES HAVE REALLY ALLOWED TEMPS TO DROP IN THE VALLEY. WE
HAVE UPDATED TEMPS INTO THE MID TO UPPER 30S ACROSS SEVERAL PARTS
OF THE VALLEY. FRESNO AND BAKERSFIELD REMAIN WARM. ADJUSTED AREA
OF FOG IN THE VALLEY AND FOCUSED DENSE FOG NEAR MERCED. COVERAGE
IS NOT WIDESPREAD ENOUGH TO ISSUE A DENSE FOG ADVISORY AT THIS
TIME. PLENTY OF HIGH AND MID CLOUDS WILL PROBABLY LOCK TEMPS AT
THEIR CURRENT VALUES OVERNIGHT. WE ARE STILL LOOKING AT RAIN
SPREADING FROM SOUTH TO NORTH LATE TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 411 PM PST SUN JAN 25 2015/

DISCUSSION...LOW CLOUDS ACROSS THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY ARE
BREAKING UP AND VIRTUALLY ALL LOCATIONS WILL GET AT LEAST A
GLIMPSE OF THE SUN THIS AFTERNOON. SATELLITE SHOWS HIGH AND MID
CLOUDS INVADING THE DESERT AREAS AHEAD OF A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
APPROACHING FROM THE SOUTH. THE CLEARING SKIES ARE FAVORABLE FOR
RAPID RADIATIONAL COOLING AND FOG REDEVELOPMENT TONIGHT. FOG
FORMATION COULD HOWEVER BE INHIBITED BY SOME DRIER AIR IN
EASTERLY FLOW AROUND THE TOP OF THIS LOW ALONG WITH THE INCOMING
CLOUDS. A DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS NOT ANTICIPATED FOR TONIGHT AT
THIS TIME BUT CONDITIONS WILL BE MONITORED THIS EVENING.

MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN LIFTING THIS LOW NORTHWESTWARD AND
THAN PUSHING IT ACROSS CENTRAL CALIFORNIA TUESDAY. THIS WILL BRING
RAIN TO THE DESERT AND MOUNTAIN AREAS BY MONDAY AND SPREADING
ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH TUESDAY. SNOW LEVELS WITH THIS STORM WILL
BE RATHER HIGH BUT MODERATE QPF AMOUNTS WILL ALLOW FOR UP TO A
FOOT OF SNOW AT THE VERY HIGHEST ELEVATIONS...OTHERWISE A FEW
INCHES ARE EXPECTED GENERALLY ABOVE 7000 FT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN
THE VALLEY BE AROUND 1/10 OF AN INCH.

AS THIS SYSTEM LIFTS OUT...WEDNESDAY WILL BRING A BREAK...THEN
ADDITIONAL SHORTWAVE ENERGY LIFTS NORTHEAST INTO THE REGION
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. MODELS ARE TRENDING A LITTLE FARTHER
EAST WITH THE ASSOCIATED MOISTURE WITH THIS SYSTEM. IT WILL BRING
AT LEAST A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR PRECIP OVER THE DESERT AND MOUNTAIN
AREAS BY THURSDAY NIGHT INTO THE WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION...
WIDESPREAD IFR VISIBILITIES AND CEILINGS IN FOG AND STRATUS ACROSS
MOST OF THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY AND ADJACENT TERRAIN THROUGH 00Z
MONDAY...WITH AREAS OF LIFR/VLIFR BETWEEN 06Z AND 20Z MONDAY. VFR
CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
INTERIOR DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
ON MONDAY JANUARY 26 2015... FIREPLACE/WOOD STOVE BURNING STATUS
IS: NO BURNING UNLESS REGISTERED IN FRESNO... KERN... KINGS...
MADERA... MERCED AND TULARE COUNTIES.
FURTHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT VALLEYAIR.ORG

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS MEDIUM.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 01-25       70:2005     42:1895     57:1969     24:1949
KFAT 01-26       70:1940     41:1957     52:1940     24:1898
KFAT 01-27       70:1934     39:1963     52:2012     25:1949

KBFL 01-25       77:1924     39:1999     57:1969     22:1893
KBFL 01-26       78:1942     45:1902     56:1966     25:1904
KBFL 01-27       75:1928     37:1963     51:2012     24:1904
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...JDB
AVN/FW...DS
PREV DISCUSSION...JEB
SYNOPSIS...WP

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD





000
FXUS66 KHNX 260011
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
411 PM PST SUN JAN 25 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL DRIFT FROM NORTHERN CALIFORNIA TO THE
FOUR CORNERS REGION BY MONDAY MORNING. A STORM SYSTEM OFF THE
COAST OF NORTHERN BAJA WILL BRING SHOWERS INTO MUCH OF THE CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA INTERIOR LATE MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. DRY WEATHER WILL
RETURN BY WEDNESDAY. ANOTHER STORM WILL BRING A RENEWED CHANCE OF
SHOWERS TO MAINLY THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERT LATER IN THE WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...LOW CLOUDS ACROSS THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY ARE
BREAKING UP AND VIRTUALLY ALL LOCATIONS WILL GET AT LEAST A
GLIMPSE OF THE SUN THIS AFTERNOON. SATELLITE SHOWS HIGH AND MID
CLOUDS INVADING THE DESERT AREAS AHEAD OF A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
APPROACHING FROM THE SOUTH. THE CLEARING SKIES ARE FAVORABLE FOR
RAPID RADIATIONAL COOLING AND FOG REDEVELOPMENT TONIGHT. FOG
FORMATION COULD HOWEVER BE INHIBITED BY SOME DRIER AIR IN
EASTERLY FLOW AROUND THE TOP OF THIS LOW ALONG WITH THE INCOMING
CLOUDS. A DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS NOT ANTICIPATED FOR TONIGHT AT
THIS TIME BUT CONDITIONS WILL BE MONITORED THIS EVENING.

MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN LIFTING THIS LOW NORTHWESTWARD AND
THAN PUSHING IT ACROSS CENTRAL CALIFORNIA TUESDAY. THIS WILL BRING
RAIN TO THE DESERT AND MOUNTAIN AREAS BY MONDAY AND SPREADING
ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH TUESDAY. SNOW LEVELS WITH THIS STORM WILL
BE RATHER HIGH BUT MODERATE QPF AMOUNTS WILL ALLOW FOR UP TO A
FOOT OF SNOW AT THE VERY HIGHEST ELEVATIONS...OTHERWISE A FEW
INCHES ARE EXPECTED GENERALLY ABOVE 7000 FT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN
THE VALLEY BE AROUND 1/10 OF AN INCH.

AS THIS SYSTEM LIFTS OUT...WEDNESDAY WILL BRING A BREAK...THEN
ADDITIONAL SHORTWAVE ENERGY LIFTS NORTHEAST INTO THE REGION
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. MODELS ARE TRENDING A LITTLE FARTHER
EAST WITH THE ASSOCIATED MOISTURE WITH THIS SYSTEM. IT WILL BRING
AT LEAST A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR PRECIP OVER THE DESERT AND MOUNTAIN
AREAS BY THURSDAY NIGHT INTO THE WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION...
WIDESPREAD IFR VISIBILITIES AND CEILINGS IN FOG AND STRATUS ACROSS
MOST OF THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY AND ADJACENT TERRAIN THROUGH 00Z
MONDAY...WITH AREAS OF LIFR/VLIFR BETWEEN 06Z AND 20Z MONDAY. VFR
CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
INTERIOR DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
ON MONDAY JANUARY 26 2015... FIREPLACE/WOOD STOVE BURNING STATUS
IS: NO BURNING UNLESS REGISTERED IN FRESNO... KERN... KINGS...
MADERA... MERCED AND TULARE COUNTIES.
FURTHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT VALLEYAIR.ORG

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 01-25       70:2005     42:1895     57:1969     24:1949
KFAT 01-26       70:1940     41:1957     52:1940     24:1898
KFAT 01-27       70:1934     39:1963     52:2012     25:1949

KBFL 01-25       77:1924     39:1999     57:1969     22:1893
KBFL 01-26       78:1942     45:1902     56:1966     25:1904
KBFL 01-27       75:1928     37:1963     51:2012     24:1904
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...JEB
AVN/FW...ANDERSEN
SYNOPSIS...DURFEE

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD




000
FXUS66 KHNX 260011
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
411 PM PST SUN JAN 25 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL DRIFT FROM NORTHERN CALIFORNIA TO THE
FOUR CORNERS REGION BY MONDAY MORNING. A STORM SYSTEM OFF THE
COAST OF NORTHERN BAJA WILL BRING SHOWERS INTO MUCH OF THE CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA INTERIOR LATE MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. DRY WEATHER WILL
RETURN BY WEDNESDAY. ANOTHER STORM WILL BRING A RENEWED CHANCE OF
SHOWERS TO MAINLY THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERT LATER IN THE WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...LOW CLOUDS ACROSS THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY ARE
BREAKING UP AND VIRTUALLY ALL LOCATIONS WILL GET AT LEAST A
GLIMPSE OF THE SUN THIS AFTERNOON. SATELLITE SHOWS HIGH AND MID
CLOUDS INVADING THE DESERT AREAS AHEAD OF A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
APPROACHING FROM THE SOUTH. THE CLEARING SKIES ARE FAVORABLE FOR
RAPID RADIATIONAL COOLING AND FOG REDEVELOPMENT TONIGHT. FOG
FORMATION COULD HOWEVER BE INHIBITED BY SOME DRIER AIR IN
EASTERLY FLOW AROUND THE TOP OF THIS LOW ALONG WITH THE INCOMING
CLOUDS. A DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS NOT ANTICIPATED FOR TONIGHT AT
THIS TIME BUT CONDITIONS WILL BE MONITORED THIS EVENING.

MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN LIFTING THIS LOW NORTHWESTWARD AND
THAN PUSHING IT ACROSS CENTRAL CALIFORNIA TUESDAY. THIS WILL BRING
RAIN TO THE DESERT AND MOUNTAIN AREAS BY MONDAY AND SPREADING
ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH TUESDAY. SNOW LEVELS WITH THIS STORM WILL
BE RATHER HIGH BUT MODERATE QPF AMOUNTS WILL ALLOW FOR UP TO A
FOOT OF SNOW AT THE VERY HIGHEST ELEVATIONS...OTHERWISE A FEW
INCHES ARE EXPECTED GENERALLY ABOVE 7000 FT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN
THE VALLEY BE AROUND 1/10 OF AN INCH.

AS THIS SYSTEM LIFTS OUT...WEDNESDAY WILL BRING A BREAK...THEN
ADDITIONAL SHORTWAVE ENERGY LIFTS NORTHEAST INTO THE REGION
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. MODELS ARE TRENDING A LITTLE FARTHER
EAST WITH THE ASSOCIATED MOISTURE WITH THIS SYSTEM. IT WILL BRING
AT LEAST A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR PRECIP OVER THE DESERT AND MOUNTAIN
AREAS BY THURSDAY NIGHT INTO THE WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION...
WIDESPREAD IFR VISIBILITIES AND CEILINGS IN FOG AND STRATUS ACROSS
MOST OF THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY AND ADJACENT TERRAIN THROUGH 00Z
MONDAY...WITH AREAS OF LIFR/VLIFR BETWEEN 06Z AND 20Z MONDAY. VFR
CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
INTERIOR DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
ON MONDAY JANUARY 26 2015... FIREPLACE/WOOD STOVE BURNING STATUS
IS: NO BURNING UNLESS REGISTERED IN FRESNO... KERN... KINGS...
MADERA... MERCED AND TULARE COUNTIES.
FURTHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT VALLEYAIR.ORG

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 01-25       70:2005     42:1895     57:1969     24:1949
KFAT 01-26       70:1940     41:1957     52:1940     24:1898
KFAT 01-27       70:1934     39:1963     52:2012     25:1949

KBFL 01-25       77:1924     39:1999     57:1969     22:1893
KBFL 01-26       78:1942     45:1902     56:1966     25:1904
KBFL 01-27       75:1928     37:1963     51:2012     24:1904
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...JEB
AVN/FW...ANDERSEN
SYNOPSIS...DURFEE

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD





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