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000
FXUS66 KHNX 131105
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
305 AM PST SAT FEB 13 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING DRY WEATHER TO THE CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA INTERIOR THROUGH TUESDAY WITH PATCHY NIGHT AND MORNING
FOG IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY. A STORM SYSTEM MAY BRING RAIN AND
HIGH SIERRA SNOW TO THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA INTERIOR DURING THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE THAT HAS BEEN BRINGING UNSEASONABLY
WARM WEATHER TO THE CWA LATELY HAS WEAKENED AND SHIFTED EASTWARD
TO THE FOUR CORNERS REGION IN RESPONSE TO A WEAK SHORT WAVE
TROUGH THAT IS MOVING ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. THIS SYSTEM
WILL BRING LITTLE MORE THAN HIGH CLOUDINESS TO THE CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA INTERIOR TODAY AND JUST A COUPLE DEGREES OF COOLING
TODAY AND SUNDAY. SUNDAY WILL ALSO BE A LITTLE BREEZY ON THE WEST
SIDE OF THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY. IN THE MEANTIME...PATCHY FOG WILL
OCCUR IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY AGAIN THIS MORNING AND MAY BE
LOCALLY DENSE. EXPECT THIS PATTERN OF LATE NIGHT AND MORNING FOG
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY.

A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC WILL BUILD
INTO CALIFORNIA MONDAY AND TUESDAY...BRINGING A RETURN OF WELL
ABOVE NORMAL AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES. TUESDAY WILL PROBABLY BE THE
WARMEST DAY WITH HIGHS WELL INTO THE 70S IN THE SAN JOAQUIN
VALLEY...LOWER FOOTHILLS AND THE KERN COUNTY DESERT.

THE MODELS CONTINUE TO FORECAST A LOWER PRESSURE SYSTEM TO MOVE
ACROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. THE GFS CONTINUES TO
FORECAST AN OPEN WAVE TROUGH PASSAGE ACROSS CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
WEDNESDAY NIGHT THAT EXITS QUICKLY EASTWARD INTO THE GREAT BASIN
THURSDAY...WITH THE BEST CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION BEING WEDNESDAY
NIGHT ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE CWA. THE ECM WHICH OVER THE
PAST FEW MODEL RUNS HAD BEEN MUCH DEEPER...POTENTIALLY WETTER AND
SLOWER TO MOVE THROUGH THE REGION...WITH THE LATEST RUN IS NOW
STARTING TO TREND A LITTLE FASTER...ALTHOUGH STILL SLOWER AND
WETTER THAN THE GFS. THE ECM WOULD BRING MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION
INTO THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
HOWEVER...THE ENSEMBLES CONTINUE TO LEAN MORE TOWARD THE ECM AND
HAVE SEVERAL MEMBERS THAT ARE MORE LIKE THE PREVIOUS ECM...SO
HAVE NOT BACKED OFF COMPLETELY FROM SHOWERS CONTINUING OVER THE
AREA THURSDAY NIGHT. IF THE FASTER MOVEMENT IS CORRECT...THE
IMPLICATIONS WOULD BE LESS PRECIPITATION...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN HALF OF THE CWA.


&&

.AVIATION...
IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY...AREAS OF MVFR IN HAZE WITH LOCAL
IFR/LIFR IN MIST/FOG POSSIBLE THRU 18Z TODAY AND AGAIN AFTER 09Z SUN.
OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE CENTRAL CA
INTERIOR DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
ON SATURDAY FEBRUARY 13 2016... FIREPLACE/WOOD STOVE BURNING
STATUS IS: NO BURNING UNLESS REGISTERED IN FRESNO... KERN...
KINGS... MADERA AND TULARE COUNTIES.
FURTHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT VALLEYAIR.ORG

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.

CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 02-13       79:1921     43:1903     56:1987     24:1949
KFAT 02-14       79:1924     46:1903     55:1986     25:1949
KFAT 02-15       79:1977     49:1990     58:1902     24:1990

KBFL 02-13       83:1924     49:1949     55:1986     25:1908
KBFL 02-14       78:2014     47:1990     55:1986     21:1903
KBFL 02-15       84:1977     50:1911     56:1982     21:1903
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...BEAN
AVN/FW...DS
SYNOPSIS...BEAN

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD





000
FXUS66 KHNX 131105
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
305 AM PST SAT FEB 13 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING DRY WEATHER TO THE CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA INTERIOR THROUGH TUESDAY WITH PATCHY NIGHT AND MORNING
FOG IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY. A STORM SYSTEM MAY BRING RAIN AND
HIGH SIERRA SNOW TO THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA INTERIOR DURING THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE THAT HAS BEEN BRINGING UNSEASONABLY
WARM WEATHER TO THE CWA LATELY HAS WEAKENED AND SHIFTED EASTWARD
TO THE FOUR CORNERS REGION IN RESPONSE TO A WEAK SHORT WAVE
TROUGH THAT IS MOVING ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. THIS SYSTEM
WILL BRING LITTLE MORE THAN HIGH CLOUDINESS TO THE CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA INTERIOR TODAY AND JUST A COUPLE DEGREES OF COOLING
TODAY AND SUNDAY. SUNDAY WILL ALSO BE A LITTLE BREEZY ON THE WEST
SIDE OF THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY. IN THE MEANTIME...PATCHY FOG WILL
OCCUR IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY AGAIN THIS MORNING AND MAY BE
LOCALLY DENSE. EXPECT THIS PATTERN OF LATE NIGHT AND MORNING FOG
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY.

A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC WILL BUILD
INTO CALIFORNIA MONDAY AND TUESDAY...BRINGING A RETURN OF WELL
ABOVE NORMAL AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES. TUESDAY WILL PROBABLY BE THE
WARMEST DAY WITH HIGHS WELL INTO THE 70S IN THE SAN JOAQUIN
VALLEY...LOWER FOOTHILLS AND THE KERN COUNTY DESERT.

THE MODELS CONTINUE TO FORECAST A LOWER PRESSURE SYSTEM TO MOVE
ACROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. THE GFS CONTINUES TO
FORECAST AN OPEN WAVE TROUGH PASSAGE ACROSS CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
WEDNESDAY NIGHT THAT EXITS QUICKLY EASTWARD INTO THE GREAT BASIN
THURSDAY...WITH THE BEST CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION BEING WEDNESDAY
NIGHT ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE CWA. THE ECM WHICH OVER THE
PAST FEW MODEL RUNS HAD BEEN MUCH DEEPER...POTENTIALLY WETTER AND
SLOWER TO MOVE THROUGH THE REGION...WITH THE LATEST RUN IS NOW
STARTING TO TREND A LITTLE FASTER...ALTHOUGH STILL SLOWER AND
WETTER THAN THE GFS. THE ECM WOULD BRING MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION
INTO THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
HOWEVER...THE ENSEMBLES CONTINUE TO LEAN MORE TOWARD THE ECM AND
HAVE SEVERAL MEMBERS THAT ARE MORE LIKE THE PREVIOUS ECM...SO
HAVE NOT BACKED OFF COMPLETELY FROM SHOWERS CONTINUING OVER THE
AREA THURSDAY NIGHT. IF THE FASTER MOVEMENT IS CORRECT...THE
IMPLICATIONS WOULD BE LESS PRECIPITATION...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN HALF OF THE CWA.


&&

.AVIATION...
IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY...AREAS OF MVFR IN HAZE WITH LOCAL
IFR/LIFR IN MIST/FOG POSSIBLE THRU 18Z TODAY AND AGAIN AFTER 09Z SUN.
OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE CENTRAL CA
INTERIOR DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
ON SATURDAY FEBRUARY 13 2016... FIREPLACE/WOOD STOVE BURNING
STATUS IS: NO BURNING UNLESS REGISTERED IN FRESNO... KERN...
KINGS... MADERA AND TULARE COUNTIES.
FURTHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT VALLEYAIR.ORG

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.

CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 02-13       79:1921     43:1903     56:1987     24:1949
KFAT 02-14       79:1924     46:1903     55:1986     25:1949
KFAT 02-15       79:1977     49:1990     58:1902     24:1990

KBFL 02-13       83:1924     49:1949     55:1986     25:1908
KBFL 02-14       78:2014     47:1990     55:1986     21:1903
KBFL 02-15       84:1977     50:1911     56:1982     21:1903
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...BEAN
AVN/FW...DS
SYNOPSIS...BEAN

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD





000
FXUS66 KHNX 131105
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
305 AM PST SAT FEB 13 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING DRY WEATHER TO THE CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA INTERIOR THROUGH TUESDAY WITH PATCHY NIGHT AND MORNING
FOG IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY. A STORM SYSTEM MAY BRING RAIN AND
HIGH SIERRA SNOW TO THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA INTERIOR DURING THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE THAT HAS BEEN BRINGING UNSEASONABLY
WARM WEATHER TO THE CWA LATELY HAS WEAKENED AND SHIFTED EASTWARD
TO THE FOUR CORNERS REGION IN RESPONSE TO A WEAK SHORT WAVE
TROUGH THAT IS MOVING ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. THIS SYSTEM
WILL BRING LITTLE MORE THAN HIGH CLOUDINESS TO THE CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA INTERIOR TODAY AND JUST A COUPLE DEGREES OF COOLING
TODAY AND SUNDAY. SUNDAY WILL ALSO BE A LITTLE BREEZY ON THE WEST
SIDE OF THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY. IN THE MEANTIME...PATCHY FOG WILL
OCCUR IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY AGAIN THIS MORNING AND MAY BE
LOCALLY DENSE. EXPECT THIS PATTERN OF LATE NIGHT AND MORNING FOG
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY.

A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC WILL BUILD
INTO CALIFORNIA MONDAY AND TUESDAY...BRINGING A RETURN OF WELL
ABOVE NORMAL AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES. TUESDAY WILL PROBABLY BE THE
WARMEST DAY WITH HIGHS WELL INTO THE 70S IN THE SAN JOAQUIN
VALLEY...LOWER FOOTHILLS AND THE KERN COUNTY DESERT.

THE MODELS CONTINUE TO FORECAST A LOWER PRESSURE SYSTEM TO MOVE
ACROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. THE GFS CONTINUES TO
FORECAST AN OPEN WAVE TROUGH PASSAGE ACROSS CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
WEDNESDAY NIGHT THAT EXITS QUICKLY EASTWARD INTO THE GREAT BASIN
THURSDAY...WITH THE BEST CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION BEING WEDNESDAY
NIGHT ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE CWA. THE ECM WHICH OVER THE
PAST FEW MODEL RUNS HAD BEEN MUCH DEEPER...POTENTIALLY WETTER AND
SLOWER TO MOVE THROUGH THE REGION...WITH THE LATEST RUN IS NOW
STARTING TO TREND A LITTLE FASTER...ALTHOUGH STILL SLOWER AND
WETTER THAN THE GFS. THE ECM WOULD BRING MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION
INTO THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
HOWEVER...THE ENSEMBLES CONTINUE TO LEAN MORE TOWARD THE ECM AND
HAVE SEVERAL MEMBERS THAT ARE MORE LIKE THE PREVIOUS ECM...SO
HAVE NOT BACKED OFF COMPLETELY FROM SHOWERS CONTINUING OVER THE
AREA THURSDAY NIGHT. IF THE FASTER MOVEMENT IS CORRECT...THE
IMPLICATIONS WOULD BE LESS PRECIPITATION...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN HALF OF THE CWA.


&&

.AVIATION...
IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY...AREAS OF MVFR IN HAZE WITH LOCAL
IFR/LIFR IN MIST/FOG POSSIBLE THRU 18Z TODAY AND AGAIN AFTER 09Z SUN.
OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE CENTRAL CA
INTERIOR DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
ON SATURDAY FEBRUARY 13 2016... FIREPLACE/WOOD STOVE BURNING
STATUS IS: NO BURNING UNLESS REGISTERED IN FRESNO... KERN...
KINGS... MADERA AND TULARE COUNTIES.
FURTHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT VALLEYAIR.ORG

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.

CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 02-13       79:1921     43:1903     56:1987     24:1949
KFAT 02-14       79:1924     46:1903     55:1986     25:1949
KFAT 02-15       79:1977     49:1990     58:1902     24:1990

KBFL 02-13       83:1924     49:1949     55:1986     25:1908
KBFL 02-14       78:2014     47:1990     55:1986     21:1903
KBFL 02-15       84:1977     50:1911     56:1982     21:1903
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...BEAN
AVN/FW...DS
SYNOPSIS...BEAN

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD




000
FXUS66 KHNX 130005
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
405 PM PST FRI FEB 12 2016

.UPDATE...UPDATED AIR QUALITY ISSUES.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING DRY WEATHER TO THE CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA INTERIOR THROUGH TUESDAY WITH PATCHY NIGHT AND MORNING
FOG IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY. A STORM SYSTEM MAY BRING RAIN AND
HIGH SIERRA SNOW TO THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA INTERIOR DURING THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.


&&

.DISCUSSION...WHILE THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE NATION HAS BEEN
SHIVERING FROM FREQUENT INVASIONS OF ARCTIC AIR ALL WEEK...THE
GOLDEN STATE HAS BEEN BASKING IN SPRINGLIKE WARMTH. FOR EXAMPLE
...THE MAX TEMP IN FRESNO HAS BEEN HIGHER DURING THE PAST FIVE
DAYS THAN MIAMI FLORIDA.

THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE THAT HAS BEEN BRINGING
UNSEASONABLY WARM WEATHER TO THE CWA LATELY HAS WEAKENED AND
HAS NOW SHIFTED EASTWARD TO THE FOUR CORNERS REGION. A WEAK
SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL TREK EASTWARD ACROSS THE PAC NW TONIGHT.
IN THE MEANTIME...A SOUTHWEST TO WEST FLOW ALOFT WILL PREVAIL
OVER THE GOLDEN STATE AND BRING LITTLE MORE THAN HIGH CLOUDINESS
TO THE CENTRAL CA INTERIOR THROUGH MOST OF SATURDAY. AS THE
FLOW ALOFT BECOMES NORTHWESTERLY THIS WEEKEND...MUCH OF OUR CWA
WILL EXPERIENCE MINOR SYNOPTIC COOLING. SUNDAY WILL ALSO BE A
LITTLE BREEZY ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE SJ VLY.

AFTERWARD...A FAIRLY STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE
OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC WILL BUILD QUICKLY INTO CA AND BRING A
RETURN OF WELL ABOVE NORMAL AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES TO THE CWA
EARLY NEXT WEEK. TUESDAY WILL PROBABLY BE THE WARMEST DAY WITH
HIGHS WELL INTO THE 70S IN THE SJ VLY...LOWER FOOTHILLS AND THE
KERN COUNTY DESERT.

THE MODELS FORECAST A CHANGE TO SEASONABLY COOLER WEATHER ACROSS
CA DURING THE MID TO LATER PART OF NEXT WEEK. THE TIMING AND
INTENSITY OF A STORM THAT WILL BRING THE CHANGE IS STILL QUITE
VARIED AMONG THE MODELS. ONLY ONE THING IS CERTAIN...NEITHER THE
GFS OR ECM HAVE WAVERED IN THEIR SOLUTIONS FOR THE PAST SEVERAL
RUNS. THE GFS CONTINUES TO FORECAST AN OPEN WAVE TROUGH PASSAGE
ACROSS CENTRAL CA WEDNESDAY NIGHT THAT EXITS QUICKLY EASTWARD INTO
THE GREAT BASIN THURSDAY WHILE THE ECM FORECASTS A MUCH DEEPER...
POTENTIALLY WETTER AND SLOWER STORM SYSTEM TO IMPACT THE CENTRAL
CA INTERIOR FROM WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. WE ARE
CURRENTLY TAKING A COMPROMISE SOLUTION OF BOTH MODELS AND THIS
SEEMS TO BE THE DIRECTION THE ENSEMBLES ARE LEANING TOWARD FOR
NOW. WHATEVER THE CASE...THE MODELS DO AGREE THAT THERE WILL BE A
PERIOD OF WET WEATHER WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...ESP IN THE
OROGRAPHICALLY FAVORED WEST SLOPES OF THE SIERRA WHICH INCLUDES
THE SIERRA FOOTHILLS AND POSSIBLE THE EAST SIDE OF THE SJ VLY.
WHAT WE ARE NOT YET CERTAIN OF IS WHETHER THIS PERIOD OF WET
WEATHER WILL BE BRIEF OR LONG LASTING. HOPEFULLY THE MODELS WILL
COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. WE SHOULD
BE ABLE TO SHED MORE LIGHT ON THIS IN FUTURE FORECAST DISCUSSIONS.

UP UNTIL THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...NIGHTLY OCCURRENCES OF PATCHY
DENSE FOG ARE POSSIBLE IN THE SJ VLY WHICH COULD INTERFERE WITH
TRAVEL PLANS UNTIL ABOUT 9 AM EACH DAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...
IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY...AREAS OF MVFR IN HAZE WITH LOCAL
IFR/LIFR IN MIST/FOG POSSIBLE BETWEEN 06Z AND 18Z SATURDAY.
OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA INTERIOR DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES... ON SATURDAY FEBRUARY 13 2016...
FIREPLACE/WOOD STOVE BURNING STATUS IS: NO BURNING UNLESS REGISTERED
IN FRESNO... KERN... KINGS... MADERA AND TULARE COUNTIES.
FURTHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT VALLEYAIR.ORG

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.

CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 02-12       76:1921     46:1903     54:1983     27:1949
KFAT 02-13       79:1921     43:1903     56:1987     24:1949
KFAT 02-14       79:1924     46:1903     55:1986     25:1949

KBFL 02-12       80:1921     42:1919     56:1957     20:1901
KBFL 02-13       83:1924     49:1949     55:1986     25:1908
KBFL 02-14       78:2014     47:1990     55:1986     21:1903
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...DURFEE
AVN/FW...DURFEE
SYNOPSIS...BSO

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD





000
FXUS66 KHNX 130005
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
405 PM PST FRI FEB 12 2016

.UPDATE...UPDATED AIR QUALITY ISSUES.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING DRY WEATHER TO THE CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA INTERIOR THROUGH TUESDAY WITH PATCHY NIGHT AND MORNING
FOG IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY. A STORM SYSTEM MAY BRING RAIN AND
HIGH SIERRA SNOW TO THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA INTERIOR DURING THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.


&&

.DISCUSSION...WHILE THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE NATION HAS BEEN
SHIVERING FROM FREQUENT INVASIONS OF ARCTIC AIR ALL WEEK...THE
GOLDEN STATE HAS BEEN BASKING IN SPRINGLIKE WARMTH. FOR EXAMPLE
...THE MAX TEMP IN FRESNO HAS BEEN HIGHER DURING THE PAST FIVE
DAYS THAN MIAMI FLORIDA.

THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE THAT HAS BEEN BRINGING
UNSEASONABLY WARM WEATHER TO THE CWA LATELY HAS WEAKENED AND
HAS NOW SHIFTED EASTWARD TO THE FOUR CORNERS REGION. A WEAK
SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL TREK EASTWARD ACROSS THE PAC NW TONIGHT.
IN THE MEANTIME...A SOUTHWEST TO WEST FLOW ALOFT WILL PREVAIL
OVER THE GOLDEN STATE AND BRING LITTLE MORE THAN HIGH CLOUDINESS
TO THE CENTRAL CA INTERIOR THROUGH MOST OF SATURDAY. AS THE
FLOW ALOFT BECOMES NORTHWESTERLY THIS WEEKEND...MUCH OF OUR CWA
WILL EXPERIENCE MINOR SYNOPTIC COOLING. SUNDAY WILL ALSO BE A
LITTLE BREEZY ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE SJ VLY.

AFTERWARD...A FAIRLY STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE
OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC WILL BUILD QUICKLY INTO CA AND BRING A
RETURN OF WELL ABOVE NORMAL AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES TO THE CWA
EARLY NEXT WEEK. TUESDAY WILL PROBABLY BE THE WARMEST DAY WITH
HIGHS WELL INTO THE 70S IN THE SJ VLY...LOWER FOOTHILLS AND THE
KERN COUNTY DESERT.

THE MODELS FORECAST A CHANGE TO SEASONABLY COOLER WEATHER ACROSS
CA DURING THE MID TO LATER PART OF NEXT WEEK. THE TIMING AND
INTENSITY OF A STORM THAT WILL BRING THE CHANGE IS STILL QUITE
VARIED AMONG THE MODELS. ONLY ONE THING IS CERTAIN...NEITHER THE
GFS OR ECM HAVE WAVERED IN THEIR SOLUTIONS FOR THE PAST SEVERAL
RUNS. THE GFS CONTINUES TO FORECAST AN OPEN WAVE TROUGH PASSAGE
ACROSS CENTRAL CA WEDNESDAY NIGHT THAT EXITS QUICKLY EASTWARD INTO
THE GREAT BASIN THURSDAY WHILE THE ECM FORECASTS A MUCH DEEPER...
POTENTIALLY WETTER AND SLOWER STORM SYSTEM TO IMPACT THE CENTRAL
CA INTERIOR FROM WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. WE ARE
CURRENTLY TAKING A COMPROMISE SOLUTION OF BOTH MODELS AND THIS
SEEMS TO BE THE DIRECTION THE ENSEMBLES ARE LEANING TOWARD FOR
NOW. WHATEVER THE CASE...THE MODELS DO AGREE THAT THERE WILL BE A
PERIOD OF WET WEATHER WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...ESP IN THE
OROGRAPHICALLY FAVORED WEST SLOPES OF THE SIERRA WHICH INCLUDES
THE SIERRA FOOTHILLS AND POSSIBLE THE EAST SIDE OF THE SJ VLY.
WHAT WE ARE NOT YET CERTAIN OF IS WHETHER THIS PERIOD OF WET
WEATHER WILL BE BRIEF OR LONG LASTING. HOPEFULLY THE MODELS WILL
COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. WE SHOULD
BE ABLE TO SHED MORE LIGHT ON THIS IN FUTURE FORECAST DISCUSSIONS.

UP UNTIL THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...NIGHTLY OCCURRENCES OF PATCHY
DENSE FOG ARE POSSIBLE IN THE SJ VLY WHICH COULD INTERFERE WITH
TRAVEL PLANS UNTIL ABOUT 9 AM EACH DAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...
IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY...AREAS OF MVFR IN HAZE WITH LOCAL
IFR/LIFR IN MIST/FOG POSSIBLE BETWEEN 06Z AND 18Z SATURDAY.
OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA INTERIOR DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES... ON SATURDAY FEBRUARY 13 2016...
FIREPLACE/WOOD STOVE BURNING STATUS IS: NO BURNING UNLESS REGISTERED
IN FRESNO... KERN... KINGS... MADERA AND TULARE COUNTIES.
FURTHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT VALLEYAIR.ORG

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.

CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 02-12       76:1921     46:1903     54:1983     27:1949
KFAT 02-13       79:1921     43:1903     56:1987     24:1949
KFAT 02-14       79:1924     46:1903     55:1986     25:1949

KBFL 02-12       80:1921     42:1919     56:1957     20:1901
KBFL 02-13       83:1924     49:1949     55:1986     25:1908
KBFL 02-14       78:2014     47:1990     55:1986     21:1903
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...DURFEE
AVN/FW...DURFEE
SYNOPSIS...BSO

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD





000
FXUS66 KHNX 130005
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
405 PM PST FRI FEB 12 2016

.UPDATE...UPDATED AIR QUALITY ISSUES.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING DRY WEATHER TO THE CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA INTERIOR THROUGH TUESDAY WITH PATCHY NIGHT AND MORNING
FOG IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY. A STORM SYSTEM MAY BRING RAIN AND
HIGH SIERRA SNOW TO THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA INTERIOR DURING THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.


&&

.DISCUSSION...WHILE THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE NATION HAS BEEN
SHIVERING FROM FREQUENT INVASIONS OF ARCTIC AIR ALL WEEK...THE
GOLDEN STATE HAS BEEN BASKING IN SPRINGLIKE WARMTH. FOR EXAMPLE
...THE MAX TEMP IN FRESNO HAS BEEN HIGHER DURING THE PAST FIVE
DAYS THAN MIAMI FLORIDA.

THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE THAT HAS BEEN BRINGING
UNSEASONABLY WARM WEATHER TO THE CWA LATELY HAS WEAKENED AND
HAS NOW SHIFTED EASTWARD TO THE FOUR CORNERS REGION. A WEAK
SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL TREK EASTWARD ACROSS THE PAC NW TONIGHT.
IN THE MEANTIME...A SOUTHWEST TO WEST FLOW ALOFT WILL PREVAIL
OVER THE GOLDEN STATE AND BRING LITTLE MORE THAN HIGH CLOUDINESS
TO THE CENTRAL CA INTERIOR THROUGH MOST OF SATURDAY. AS THE
FLOW ALOFT BECOMES NORTHWESTERLY THIS WEEKEND...MUCH OF OUR CWA
WILL EXPERIENCE MINOR SYNOPTIC COOLING. SUNDAY WILL ALSO BE A
LITTLE BREEZY ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE SJ VLY.

AFTERWARD...A FAIRLY STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE
OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC WILL BUILD QUICKLY INTO CA AND BRING A
RETURN OF WELL ABOVE NORMAL AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES TO THE CWA
EARLY NEXT WEEK. TUESDAY WILL PROBABLY BE THE WARMEST DAY WITH
HIGHS WELL INTO THE 70S IN THE SJ VLY...LOWER FOOTHILLS AND THE
KERN COUNTY DESERT.

THE MODELS FORECAST A CHANGE TO SEASONABLY COOLER WEATHER ACROSS
CA DURING THE MID TO LATER PART OF NEXT WEEK. THE TIMING AND
INTENSITY OF A STORM THAT WILL BRING THE CHANGE IS STILL QUITE
VARIED AMONG THE MODELS. ONLY ONE THING IS CERTAIN...NEITHER THE
GFS OR ECM HAVE WAVERED IN THEIR SOLUTIONS FOR THE PAST SEVERAL
RUNS. THE GFS CONTINUES TO FORECAST AN OPEN WAVE TROUGH PASSAGE
ACROSS CENTRAL CA WEDNESDAY NIGHT THAT EXITS QUICKLY EASTWARD INTO
THE GREAT BASIN THURSDAY WHILE THE ECM FORECASTS A MUCH DEEPER...
POTENTIALLY WETTER AND SLOWER STORM SYSTEM TO IMPACT THE CENTRAL
CA INTERIOR FROM WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. WE ARE
CURRENTLY TAKING A COMPROMISE SOLUTION OF BOTH MODELS AND THIS
SEEMS TO BE THE DIRECTION THE ENSEMBLES ARE LEANING TOWARD FOR
NOW. WHATEVER THE CASE...THE MODELS DO AGREE THAT THERE WILL BE A
PERIOD OF WET WEATHER WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...ESP IN THE
OROGRAPHICALLY FAVORED WEST SLOPES OF THE SIERRA WHICH INCLUDES
THE SIERRA FOOTHILLS AND POSSIBLE THE EAST SIDE OF THE SJ VLY.
WHAT WE ARE NOT YET CERTAIN OF IS WHETHER THIS PERIOD OF WET
WEATHER WILL BE BRIEF OR LONG LASTING. HOPEFULLY THE MODELS WILL
COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. WE SHOULD
BE ABLE TO SHED MORE LIGHT ON THIS IN FUTURE FORECAST DISCUSSIONS.

UP UNTIL THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...NIGHTLY OCCURRENCES OF PATCHY
DENSE FOG ARE POSSIBLE IN THE SJ VLY WHICH COULD INTERFERE WITH
TRAVEL PLANS UNTIL ABOUT 9 AM EACH DAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...
IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY...AREAS OF MVFR IN HAZE WITH LOCAL
IFR/LIFR IN MIST/FOG POSSIBLE BETWEEN 06Z AND 18Z SATURDAY.
OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA INTERIOR DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES... ON SATURDAY FEBRUARY 13 2016...
FIREPLACE/WOOD STOVE BURNING STATUS IS: NO BURNING UNLESS REGISTERED
IN FRESNO... KERN... KINGS... MADERA AND TULARE COUNTIES.
FURTHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT VALLEYAIR.ORG

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.

CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 02-12       76:1921     46:1903     54:1983     27:1949
KFAT 02-13       79:1921     43:1903     56:1987     24:1949
KFAT 02-14       79:1924     46:1903     55:1986     25:1949

KBFL 02-12       80:1921     42:1919     56:1957     20:1901
KBFL 02-13       83:1924     49:1949     55:1986     25:1908
KBFL 02-14       78:2014     47:1990     55:1986     21:1903
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...DURFEE
AVN/FW...DURFEE
SYNOPSIS...BSO

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD




000
FXUS66 KHNX 122212
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
210 PM PST FRI FEB 12 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING DRY WEATHER TO THE CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA INTERIOR THROUGH TUESDAY WITH PATCHY NIGHT AND MORNING
FOG IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY. A STORM SYSTEM MAY BRING RAIN AND
HIGH SIERRA SNOW TO THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA INTERIOR DURING THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.


&&

.DISCUSSION...WHILE THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE NATION HAS BEEN
SHIVERING FROM FREQUENT INVASIONS OF ARCTIC AIR ALL WEEK...THE
GOLDEN STATE HAS BEEN BASKING IN SPRINGLIKE WARMTH. FOR EXAMPLE
...THE MAX TEMP IN FRESNO HAS BEEN HIGHER DURING THE PAST FIVE
DAYS THAN MIAMI FLORIDA.

THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE THAT HAS BEEN BRINGING
UNSEASONABLY WARM WEATHER TO THE CWA LATELY HAS WEAKENED AND
HAS NOW SHIFTED EASTWARD TO THE FOUR CORNERS REGION. A WEAK
SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL TREK EASTWARD ACROSS THE PAC NW TONIGHT.
IN THE MEANTIME...A SOUTHWEST TO WEST FLOW ALOFT WILL PREVAIL
OVER THE GOLDEN STATE AND BRING LITTLE MORE THAN HIGH CLOUDINESS
TO THE CENTRAL CA INTERIOR THROUGH MOST OF SATURDAY. AS THE
FLOW ALOFT BECOMES NORTHWESTERLY THIS WEEKEND...MUCH OF OUR CWA
WILL EXPERIENCE MINOR SYNOPTIC COOLING. SUNDAY WILL ALSO BE A
LITTLE BREEZY ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE SJ VLY.

AFTERWARD...A FAIRLY STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE
OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC WILL BUILD QUICKLY INTO CA AND BRING A
RETURN OF WELL ABOVE NORMAL AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES TO THE CWA
EARLY NEXT WEEK. TUESDAY WILL PROBABLY BE THE WARMEST DAY WITH
HIGHS WELL INTO THE 70S IN THE SJ VLY...LOWER FOOTHILLS AND THE
KERN COUNTY DESERT.

THE MODELS FORECAST A CHANGE TO SEASONABLY COOLER WEATHER ACROSS
CA DURING THE MID TO LATER PART OF NEXT WEEK. THE TIMING AND
INTENSITY OF A STORM THAT WILL BRING THE CHANGE IS STILL QUITE
VARIED AMONG THE MODELS. ONLY ONE THING IS CERTAIN...NEITHER THE
GFS OR ECM HAVE WAVERED IN THEIR SOLUTIONS FOR THE PAST SEVERAL
RUNS. THE GFS CONTINUES TO FORECAST AN OPEN WAVE TROUGH PASSAGE
ACROSS CENTRAL CA WEDNESDAY NIGHT THAT EXITS QUICKLY EASTWARD INTO
THE GREAT BASIN THURSDAY WHILE THE ECM FORECASTS A MUCH DEEPER...
POTENTIALLY WETTER AND SLOWER STORM SYSTEM TO IMPACT THE CENTRAL
CA INTERIOR FROM WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. WE ARE
CURRENTLY TAKING A COMPROMISE SOLUTION OF BOTH MODELS AND THIS
SEEMS TO BE THE DIRECTION THE ENSEMBLES ARE LEANING TOWARD FOR
NOW. WHATEVER THE CASE...THE MODELS DO AGREE THAT THERE WILL BE A
PERIOD OF WET WEATHER WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...ESP IN THE
OROGRAPHICALLY FAVORED WEST SLOPES OF THE SIERRA WHICH INCLUDES
THE SIERRA FOOTHILLS AND POSSIBLE THE EAST SIDE OF THE SJ VLY.
WHAT WE ARE NOT YET CERTAIN OF IS WHETHER THIS PERIOD OF WET
WEATHER WILL BE BRIEF OR LONG LASTING. HOPEFULLY THE MODELS WILL
COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. WE SHOULD
BE ABLE TO SHED MORE LIGHT ON THIS IN FUTURE FORECAST DISCUSSIONS.

UP UNTIL THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...NIGHTLY OCCURRENCES OF PATCHY
DENSE FOG ARE POSSIBLE IN THE SJ VLY WHICH COULD INTERFERE WITH
TRAVEL PLANS UNTIL ABOUT 9 AM EACH DAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...
IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY...AREAS OF MVFR IN HAZE WITH LOCAL
IFR/LIFR IN MIST/FOG POSSIBLE BETWEEN 06Z AND 18Z SATURDAY.
OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA INTERIOR DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
ON FRIDAY FEBRUARY 12 2016... FIREPLACE/WOOD STOVE BURNING STATUS
IS: NO BURNING UNLESS REGISTERED IN FRESNO... KERN... KINGS...
MADERA AND TULARE COUNTIES.
FURTHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT VALLEYAIR.ORG

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.

CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 02-12       76:1921     46:1903     54:1983     27:1949
KFAT 02-13       79:1921     43:1903     56:1987     24:1949
KFAT 02-14       79:1924     46:1903     55:1986     25:1949

KBFL 02-12       80:1921     42:1919     56:1957     20:1901
KBFL 02-13       83:1924     49:1949     55:1986     25:1908
KBFL 02-14       78:2014     47:1990     55:1986     21:1903
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...DURFEE
AVN/FW...DURFEE
SYNOPSIS...BSO

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD





000
FXUS66 KHNX 122201
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
157 PM PST FRI FEB 12 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING DRY WEATHER TO THE CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA INTERIOR THROUGH TUESDAY WITH PATCHY NIGHT AND MORNING
FOG IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY. A STORM SYSTEM MAY BRING RAIN AND
HIGH SIERRA SNOW TO THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA INTERIOR DURING THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.


&&

.DISCUSSION...WHILE THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE NATION HAS BEEN
SHIVERING FROM FREQUENT INVASIONS OF ARCTIC AIR ALL WEEK...THE
GOLDEN STATE HAS BEEN BASKING IN SPRINGLIKE WARMTH. FOR EXAMPLE
...THE MAX TEMP IN FRESNO HAS BEEN HIGHER DURING THE PAST FIVE
DAYS THAN MIAMI FLORIDA.

THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE THAT HAS BEEN BRINGING
UNSEASONABLY WARM WEATHER TO THE CWA LATELY HAS WEAKENED AND
HAS NOW SHIFTED EASTWARD TO THE FOUR CORNERS REGION. A WEAK
SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL TREK EASTWARD ACROSS THE PAC NW TONIGHT.
IN THE MEANTIME...A SOUTHWEST TO WEST FLOW ALOFT WILL PREVAIL
OVER THE GOLDEN STATE AND BRING LITTLE MORE THAN HIGH CLOUDINESS
TO THE CENTRAL CA INTERIOR THROUGH MOST OF SATURDAY. AS THE
FLOW ALOFT BECOMES NORTHWESTERLY THIS WEEKEND...MUCH OF OUR CWA
WILL EXPERIENCE MINOR SYNOPTIC COOLING.

AFTERWARD...A FAIRLY STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE
OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC WILL BUILD QUICKLY INTO CA AND BRING A
RETURN OF WELL ABOVE NORMAL AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES TO THE CWA
EARLY NEXT WEEK. TUESDAY WILL PROBABLY BE THE WARMEST DAY WITH
HIGHS WELL INTO THE 70S IN THE SJ VLY...LOWER FOOTHILLS AND THE
KERN COUNTY DESERT.

THE MODELS FORECAST A CHANGE TO SEASONABLY COOLER WEATHER ACROSS
CA DURING THE MID TO LATER PART OF NEXT WEEK. THE TIMING AND
INTENSITY OF A STORM THAT WILL BRING THE CHANGE IS STILL QUITE
VARIED AMONG THE MODELS. ONLY ONE THING IS CERTAIN...NEITHER THE
GFS OR ECM HAVE WAVERED IN THEIR SOLUTIONS FOR THE PAST SEVERAL
RUNS. THE GFS CONTINUES TO FORECAST AN OPEN WAVE TROUGH PASSAGE
ACROSS CENTRAL CA WEDNESDAY NIGHT THAT EXITS QUICKLY EASTWARD INTO
THE GREAT BASIN THURSDAY WHILE THE ECM FORECASTS A MUCH DEEPER...
POTENTIALLY WETTER AND SLOWER STORM SYSTEM TO IMPACT THE CENTRAL
CA INTERIOR FROM WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. WE ARE
CURRENTLY TAKING A COMPROMISE SOLUTION OF BOTH MODELS AND THIS
SEEMS TO BE THE DIRECTION THE ENSEMBLES ARE LEANING TOWARD FOR
NOW. WHATEVER THE CASE...THE MODELS DO AGREE THAT THERE WILL BE A
PERIOD OF WET WEATHER WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...ESP IN THE
OROGRAPHICALLY FAVORED WEST SLOPES OF THE SIERRA WHICH INCLUDES
THE SIERRA FOOTHILLS AND POSSIBLE THE EAST SIDE OF THE SJ VLY.
WHAT WE ARE NOT YET CERTAIN OF IS WHETHER THIS PERIOD OF WET
WEATHER WILL BE BRIEF OR LONG LASTING. HOPEFULLY THE MODELS WILL
COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. WE SHOULD
BE ABLE TO SHED MORE LIGHT ON THIS IN FUTURE FORECAST DISCUSSIONS.

UP UNTIL THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...NIGHTLY OCCURRENCES OF PATCHY
DENSE FOG ARE POSSIBLE IN THE SJ VLY WHICH COULD INTERFERE WITH
TRAVEL PLANS UNTIL ABOUT 9 AM EACH DAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...
IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY...AREAS OF MVFR IN HAZE WITH LOCAL
IFR/LIFR IN MIST/FOG POSSIBLE BETWEEN 06Z AND 18Z SATURDAY.
OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA INTERIOR DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
ON FRIDAY FEBRUARY 12 2016... FIREPLACE/WOOD STOVE BURNING STATUS
IS: NO BURNING UNLESS REGISTERED IN FRESNO... KERN... KINGS...
MADERA AND TULARE COUNTIES.
FURTHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT VALLEYAIR.ORG

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.

CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 02-12       76:1921     46:1903     54:1983     27:1949
KFAT 02-13       79:1921     43:1903     56:1987     24:1949
KFAT 02-14       79:1924     46:1903     55:1986     25:1949

KBFL 02-12       80:1921     42:1919     56:1957     20:1901
KBFL 02-13       83:1924     49:1949     55:1986     25:1908
KBFL 02-14       78:2014     47:1990     55:1986     21:1903
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...DURFEE
AVN/FW...DURFEE
SYNOPSIS...BSO

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD





000
FXUS66 KHNX 122157
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
157 PM PST FRI FEB 12 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING DRY WEATHER TO THE CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA INTERIOR THROUGH TUESDAY WITH PATCHY NIGHT AND MORNING
FOG IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY. A STORM SYSTEM MAY BRING RAIN AND
HIGH SIERRA SNOW TO THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA INTERIOR DURING THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.


&&

.DISCUSSION...WHILE THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE NATION HAS BEEN
SHIVERING FROM FREQUENT INVASIONS OF ARCTIC AIR ALL WEEK...THE
GOLDEN STATE HAS BEEN BASKING IN SPRINGLIKE WARMTH. FOR EXAMPLE
...THE MAX TEMP IN FRESNO HAS BEEN HIGHER DURING THE PAST FIVE
DAYS THAN MIAMI FLORIDA.

THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE THAT HAS BEEN BRINGING
UNSEASONABLY WARM WEATHER TO THE CWA LATELY HAS WEAKENED AND
HAS NOW SHIFTED EASTWARD TO THE FOUR CORNERS REGION. A WEAK
SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL TREK EASTWARD ACROSS THE PAC NW TONIGHT.
IN THE MEANTIME...A SOUTHWEST TO WEST FLOW ALOFT WILL PREVAIL
OVER THE GOLDEN STATE AND BRING LITTLE MORE THAN HIGH CLOUDINESS
TO THE CENTRAL CA INTERIOR THROUGH MOST OF SATURDAY. AS THE
FLOW ALOFT BECOMES NORTHWESTERLY THIS WEEKEND...MUCH OF OUR CWA
WILL EXPERIENCE MINOR SYNOPTIC COOLING.

AFTERWARD...A FAIRLY STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE
OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC WILL BUILD QUICKLY INTO CA AND BRING A
RETURN OF WELL ABOVE NORMAL AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES TO THE CWA
EARLY NEXT WEEK. TUESDAY WILL PROBABLY BE THE WARMEST DAY WITH
HIGHS WELL INTO THE 70S IN THE SJ VLY...LOWER FOOTHILLS AND THE
KERN COUNTY DESERT.

THE MODELS FORECAST A CHANGE TO SEASONABLY COOLER WEATHER ACROSS
CA DURING THE MID TO LATER PART OF NEXT WEEK. THE TIMING AND
INTENSITY OF A STORM THAT WILL BRING THE CHANGE IS STILL QUITE
VARIED AMONG THE MODELS. ONLY ONE THING IS CERTAIN...NEITHER THE
GFS OR ECM HAVE WAVERED IN THEIR SOLUTIONS FOR THE PAST SEVERAL
RUNS. THE GFS CONTINUES TO FORECAST AN OPEN WAVE TROUGH PASSAGE
ACROSS CENTRAL CA WEDNESDAY NIGHT THAT EXITS QUICKLY EASTWARD INTO
THE GREAT BASIN THURSDAY WHILE THE ECM FORECASTS A MUCH DEEPER...
POTENTIALLY WETTER AND SLOWER STORM SYSTEM TO IMPACT THE CENTRAL
CA INTERIOR FROM WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. WE ARE
CURRENTLY TAKING A COMPROMISE SOLUTION OF BOTH MODELS AND THIS
SEEMS TO BE THE DIRECTION THE ENSEMBLES ARE LEANING TOWARD FOR
NOW. WHATEVER THE CASE...THE MODELS DO AGREE THAT THERE WILL BE A
PERIOD OF WET WEATHER WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...ESP IN THE
OROGRAPHICALLY FAVORED WEST SLOPES OF THE SIERRA WHICH INCLUDES
THE SIERRA FOOTHILLS AND POSSIBLE THE EAST SIDE OF THE SJ VLY.
WHAT WE ARE NOT YET CERTAIN OF IS WHETHER THIS PERIOD OF WET
WEATHER WILL BE BRIEF OR LONG LASTING. HOPEFULLY THE MODELS WILL
COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. WE SHOULD
BE ABLE TO SHED MORE LIGHT ON THIS IN FUTURE FORECAST DISCUSSIONS.


&&

.AVIATION...
IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY...AREAS OF MVFR IN HAZE WITH LOCAL
IFR/LIFR IN MIST/FOG POSSIBLE BETWEEN 06Z AND 18Z SATURDAY.
OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA INTERIOR DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
ON FRIDAY FEBRUARY 12 2016... FIREPLACE/WOOD STOVE BURNING STATUS
IS: NO BURNING UNLESS REGISTERED IN FRESNO... KERN... KINGS...
MADERA AND TULARE COUNTIES.
FURTHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT VALLEYAIR.ORG

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.

CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 02-12       76:1921     46:1903     54:1983     27:1949
KFAT 02-13       79:1921     43:1903     56:1987     24:1949
KFAT 02-14       79:1924     46:1903     55:1986     25:1949

KBFL 02-12       80:1921     42:1919     56:1957     20:1901
KBFL 02-13       83:1924     49:1949     55:1986     25:1908
KBFL 02-14       78:2014     47:1990     55:1986     21:1903
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...DURFEE
AVN/FW...DURFEE
SYNOPSIS...BSO

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD





000
FXUS66 KHNX 121120
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
320 AM PST FRI FEB 12 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING DRY WEATHER TO THE CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA INTERIOR THROUGH TUESDAY WITH PATCHY NIGHT AND MORNING
FOG IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY. A STORM SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE
INTO THE AREA NEXT WEEK WITH SHOWERS AND WINTRY WEATHER EXPECTED IN
THE MOUNTAINS BY MIDWEEK.


&&

.DISCUSSION...
THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE THAT HAS BEEN BRINGING SPRING-LIKE
WEATHER TO THE REGION WILL WEAKEN SLIGHTLY AND DRIFT EASTWARD TO
THE FOUR CORNERS REGION TODAY AND SATURDAY AS A STORM SYSTEM MOVES
ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. THIS SYSTEM AND ITS ASSOCIATED COLD
FRONT WILL REMAIN TO OUR NORTH...WITH THE FRONT FALLING APART AS
IT TRIES TO MOVE SOUTH SATURDAY. IT WILL BRING JUST SOME MID AND
HIGH CLOUDS TO THE CWFA OVER THE WEEKEND. THIS SYSTEM WILL ALLOW
AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES TO EDGE DOWN A FEW DEGREES TODAY THROUGH
SUNDAY...BUT THEY WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL FOR MID FEBRUARY.

A RATHER STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL REBUILD OVER
CALIFORNIA EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO WARM
AGAIN MONDAY AND TUESDAY. MAX TEMPS WILL LIKELY BE BACK IN THE MID
70S IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY...LOWER FOOTHILLS AND THE KERN
COUNTY DESERT BOTH DAYS.

IN THE NEAR TERM...PATCHY FOG IS DEVELOPING IN THE CENTER OF THE
SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY AGAIN THIS MORNING...AND IT WILL BE DENSE IN
SOME AREAS THROUGH MID MORNING. DESPITE THE INCREASED CLOUD COVER
TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...CAN NOT RULE OUT PATCHY FOG AGAIN SATURDAY
MORNING...ALTHOUGH MAYBE A BIT LESS COVERAGE. THEN AS THE RIDGE
REBUILDS WE CAN EXPECT PATCHY LATE NIGHT AND MORNING FOG TO
CONTINUE SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

MEDIUM RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO BRING A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM INTO
CALIFORNIA FOR THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...WITH THE PROMISE OF
VALLEY RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY.
THE ECM SOLUTION CONTINUES TO HAVE A DEEPER UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND
IS A BIT SLOWER AND WETTER THAN THE GFS. THE ECM HOLDS ON TO SOME
PRECIPITATION THURSDAY NIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY WHILE THE GFS MOVES
THE SYSTEM OUT BY THURSDAY EVENING. DESPITE THE FASTER TIMING OF
THE GFS BOTH MODELS HINT OF A SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE TAP WITH THIS
SYSTEM IN ADDITION TO DECENT INTERACTION OF THE 300 MB JET. EITHER
WAY...THE WEST SLOPES OF THE SIERRA NEVADA LOOK LIKE THEY WILL SEE
GOOD OROGRAPHIC PRECIPITATION DURING THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. STAY
TUNED FOR UPDATES.


&&

.AVIATION...
IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY...AREAS OF MVFR IN HAZE WITH LOCAL
IFR/LIFR IN MIST/FOG POSSIBLE TIL 18Z TODAY AND AGAIN AFTER 09Z SAT.
OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE CENTRAL CA
INTERIOR FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
ON FRIDAY FEBRUARY 12 2016... FIREPLACE/WOOD STOVE BURNING STATUS
IS: NO BURNING UNLESS REGISTERED IN FRESNO... KERN... KINGS...
MADERA AND TULARE COUNTIES.
FURTHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT VALLEYAIR.ORG

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.

CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 02-12       76:1921     46:1903     54:1983     27:1949
KFAT 02-13       79:1921     43:1903     56:1987     24:1949
KFAT 02-14       79:1924     46:1903     55:1986     25:1949

KBFL 02-12       80:1921     42:1919     56:1957     20:1901
KBFL 02-13       83:1924     49:1949     55:1986     25:1908
KBFL 02-14       78:2014     47:1990     55:1986     21:1903
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...BEAN
AVN/FW...DS
SYNOPSIS...BEAN

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD





000
FXUS66 KHNX 121120
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
320 AM PST FRI FEB 12 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING DRY WEATHER TO THE CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA INTERIOR THROUGH TUESDAY WITH PATCHY NIGHT AND MORNING
FOG IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY. A STORM SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE
INTO THE AREA NEXT WEEK WITH SHOWERS AND WINTRY WEATHER EXPECTED IN
THE MOUNTAINS BY MIDWEEK.


&&

.DISCUSSION...
THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE THAT HAS BEEN BRINGING SPRING-LIKE
WEATHER TO THE REGION WILL WEAKEN SLIGHTLY AND DRIFT EASTWARD TO
THE FOUR CORNERS REGION TODAY AND SATURDAY AS A STORM SYSTEM MOVES
ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. THIS SYSTEM AND ITS ASSOCIATED COLD
FRONT WILL REMAIN TO OUR NORTH...WITH THE FRONT FALLING APART AS
IT TRIES TO MOVE SOUTH SATURDAY. IT WILL BRING JUST SOME MID AND
HIGH CLOUDS TO THE CWFA OVER THE WEEKEND. THIS SYSTEM WILL ALLOW
AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES TO EDGE DOWN A FEW DEGREES TODAY THROUGH
SUNDAY...BUT THEY WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL FOR MID FEBRUARY.

A RATHER STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL REBUILD OVER
CALIFORNIA EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO WARM
AGAIN MONDAY AND TUESDAY. MAX TEMPS WILL LIKELY BE BACK IN THE MID
70S IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY...LOWER FOOTHILLS AND THE KERN
COUNTY DESERT BOTH DAYS.

IN THE NEAR TERM...PATCHY FOG IS DEVELOPING IN THE CENTER OF THE
SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY AGAIN THIS MORNING...AND IT WILL BE DENSE IN
SOME AREAS THROUGH MID MORNING. DESPITE THE INCREASED CLOUD COVER
TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...CAN NOT RULE OUT PATCHY FOG AGAIN SATURDAY
MORNING...ALTHOUGH MAYBE A BIT LESS COVERAGE. THEN AS THE RIDGE
REBUILDS WE CAN EXPECT PATCHY LATE NIGHT AND MORNING FOG TO
CONTINUE SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

MEDIUM RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO BRING A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM INTO
CALIFORNIA FOR THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...WITH THE PROMISE OF
VALLEY RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY.
THE ECM SOLUTION CONTINUES TO HAVE A DEEPER UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND
IS A BIT SLOWER AND WETTER THAN THE GFS. THE ECM HOLDS ON TO SOME
PRECIPITATION THURSDAY NIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY WHILE THE GFS MOVES
THE SYSTEM OUT BY THURSDAY EVENING. DESPITE THE FASTER TIMING OF
THE GFS BOTH MODELS HINT OF A SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE TAP WITH THIS
SYSTEM IN ADDITION TO DECENT INTERACTION OF THE 300 MB JET. EITHER
WAY...THE WEST SLOPES OF THE SIERRA NEVADA LOOK LIKE THEY WILL SEE
GOOD OROGRAPHIC PRECIPITATION DURING THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. STAY
TUNED FOR UPDATES.


&&

.AVIATION...
IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY...AREAS OF MVFR IN HAZE WITH LOCAL
IFR/LIFR IN MIST/FOG POSSIBLE TIL 18Z TODAY AND AGAIN AFTER 09Z SAT.
OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE CENTRAL CA
INTERIOR FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
ON FRIDAY FEBRUARY 12 2016... FIREPLACE/WOOD STOVE BURNING STATUS
IS: NO BURNING UNLESS REGISTERED IN FRESNO... KERN... KINGS...
MADERA AND TULARE COUNTIES.
FURTHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT VALLEYAIR.ORG

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.

CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 02-12       76:1921     46:1903     54:1983     27:1949
KFAT 02-13       79:1921     43:1903     56:1987     24:1949
KFAT 02-14       79:1924     46:1903     55:1986     25:1949

KBFL 02-12       80:1921     42:1919     56:1957     20:1901
KBFL 02-13       83:1924     49:1949     55:1986     25:1908
KBFL 02-14       78:2014     47:1990     55:1986     21:1903
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...BEAN
AVN/FW...DS
SYNOPSIS...BEAN

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD




000
FXUS66 KHNX 121120
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
320 AM PST FRI FEB 12 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING DRY WEATHER TO THE CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA INTERIOR THROUGH TUESDAY WITH PATCHY NIGHT AND MORNING
FOG IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY. A STORM SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE
INTO THE AREA NEXT WEEK WITH SHOWERS AND WINTRY WEATHER EXPECTED IN
THE MOUNTAINS BY MIDWEEK.


&&

.DISCUSSION...
THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE THAT HAS BEEN BRINGING SPRING-LIKE
WEATHER TO THE REGION WILL WEAKEN SLIGHTLY AND DRIFT EASTWARD TO
THE FOUR CORNERS REGION TODAY AND SATURDAY AS A STORM SYSTEM MOVES
ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. THIS SYSTEM AND ITS ASSOCIATED COLD
FRONT WILL REMAIN TO OUR NORTH...WITH THE FRONT FALLING APART AS
IT TRIES TO MOVE SOUTH SATURDAY. IT WILL BRING JUST SOME MID AND
HIGH CLOUDS TO THE CWFA OVER THE WEEKEND. THIS SYSTEM WILL ALLOW
AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES TO EDGE DOWN A FEW DEGREES TODAY THROUGH
SUNDAY...BUT THEY WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL FOR MID FEBRUARY.

A RATHER STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL REBUILD OVER
CALIFORNIA EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO WARM
AGAIN MONDAY AND TUESDAY. MAX TEMPS WILL LIKELY BE BACK IN THE MID
70S IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY...LOWER FOOTHILLS AND THE KERN
COUNTY DESERT BOTH DAYS.

IN THE NEAR TERM...PATCHY FOG IS DEVELOPING IN THE CENTER OF THE
SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY AGAIN THIS MORNING...AND IT WILL BE DENSE IN
SOME AREAS THROUGH MID MORNING. DESPITE THE INCREASED CLOUD COVER
TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...CAN NOT RULE OUT PATCHY FOG AGAIN SATURDAY
MORNING...ALTHOUGH MAYBE A BIT LESS COVERAGE. THEN AS THE RIDGE
REBUILDS WE CAN EXPECT PATCHY LATE NIGHT AND MORNING FOG TO
CONTINUE SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

MEDIUM RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO BRING A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM INTO
CALIFORNIA FOR THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...WITH THE PROMISE OF
VALLEY RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY.
THE ECM SOLUTION CONTINUES TO HAVE A DEEPER UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND
IS A BIT SLOWER AND WETTER THAN THE GFS. THE ECM HOLDS ON TO SOME
PRECIPITATION THURSDAY NIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY WHILE THE GFS MOVES
THE SYSTEM OUT BY THURSDAY EVENING. DESPITE THE FASTER TIMING OF
THE GFS BOTH MODELS HINT OF A SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE TAP WITH THIS
SYSTEM IN ADDITION TO DECENT INTERACTION OF THE 300 MB JET. EITHER
WAY...THE WEST SLOPES OF THE SIERRA NEVADA LOOK LIKE THEY WILL SEE
GOOD OROGRAPHIC PRECIPITATION DURING THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. STAY
TUNED FOR UPDATES.


&&

.AVIATION...
IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY...AREAS OF MVFR IN HAZE WITH LOCAL
IFR/LIFR IN MIST/FOG POSSIBLE TIL 18Z TODAY AND AGAIN AFTER 09Z SAT.
OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE CENTRAL CA
INTERIOR FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
ON FRIDAY FEBRUARY 12 2016... FIREPLACE/WOOD STOVE BURNING STATUS
IS: NO BURNING UNLESS REGISTERED IN FRESNO... KERN... KINGS...
MADERA AND TULARE COUNTIES.
FURTHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT VALLEYAIR.ORG

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.

CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 02-12       76:1921     46:1903     54:1983     27:1949
KFAT 02-13       79:1921     43:1903     56:1987     24:1949
KFAT 02-14       79:1924     46:1903     55:1986     25:1949

KBFL 02-12       80:1921     42:1919     56:1957     20:1901
KBFL 02-13       83:1924     49:1949     55:1986     25:1908
KBFL 02-14       78:2014     47:1990     55:1986     21:1903
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...BEAN
AVN/FW...DS
SYNOPSIS...BEAN

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD





000
FXUS66 KHNX 112331 AAA
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
331 PM PST THU FEB 11 2016

.UPDATE...UPDATED AIR QUALITY ISSUES.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING DRY WEATHER TO THE CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA INTERIOR THROUGH TUESDAY WITH PATCHY NIGHT AND MORNING
FOG IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY. A STORM SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE
INTO THE AREA NEXT WEEK WITH SHOWERS AND WINTRY WEATHER EXPECTED
IN THE MOUNTAINS BY MIDWEEK.


&&

.DISCUSSION...SUNSHINE IS BOOSTING TEMPERATURES TO WELL ABOVE
NORMAL AGAIN OVER THE CWA THIS AFTERNOON COURTESY OF AN UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE. THIS RIDGE WILL WEAKEN SOMEWHAT
AND DRIFT EASTWARD TO THE FOUR CORNERS REGION DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS AND CONTINUE TO BRING DRY WEATHER AND ABOVE NORMAL
AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES TO THE CENTRAL CA INTERIOR FRIDAY. IN
THE MEANTIME...A COLD FRONT THAT IS CURRENTLY POISED OVER THE
EASTERN PACIFIC WILL APPROACH THE WEST COAST. THIS FEATURE IS
ALREADY LIMITED ON MOISTURE ON SATELLITE IMAGERY SO WHEN IT
MAKES INROADS INTO THE CENTRAL CA INTERIOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON
IT WILL PROBABLY BRING LITTLE MORE THAN ALTOCUMULUS CLOUDS AND
AT BEST SOME SPRINKLES TO MAINLY THE HIGHER TERRAIN. NONETHELESS
MAX TEMPS WILL FINALLY TREND A BIT COOLER THIS WEEKEND YET STILL
REMAIN SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL ACROSS THE CWA. THE COLD FRONT WILL
ALSO BE ACCOMPANIED AND FOLLOWED BY A MODEST ONSHORE FLOW
SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

THE MODELS FORECAST A RATHER STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGE TO BUILD
INTO CA FROM THE EASTERN PACIFIC EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL
BRING A RETURN OF UNSEASONABLY WARM AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES TO
THE CWA MONDAY AND TUESDAY. MAX TEMPS WILL LIKELY BE BACK IN THE
70S IN THE SJ VLY...LOWER FOOTHILLS AND THE KERN COUNTY DESERT
BOTH DAYS. CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING WITH EACH MODEL RUN THAT A
RETURN OF WINTRY WEATHER WILL OCCUR DURING THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK. THE ECM SOLN IS MORE BULLISH ON THIS IDEA THAN THE GFS AND
FORECASTS A COLDER...WETTER AND MUCH DEEPER UPPER LEVEL TROUGH TO
MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL CA INTERIOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT
THURSDAY. ON THE OTHER HAND THE GFS DEPICTS MORE OF AN OPEN WAVE
TROUGH TO SAIL THROUGH THE CWA WEDNESDAY EVENING AND EXIT INTO THE
GREAT BASIN NEXT THURSDAY. DESPITE THE FASTER TIMING OF THE GFS
BOTH MODELS HINT OF A SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE TAP WITH THIS SYSTEM
IN ADDITION TO DECENT INTERACTION OF THE 300 MB JET. EITHER WAY...
THE WEST SLOPES OF THE SIERRA NEVADA APPEAR DESTINED FOR HEALTHY
OROGRAPHIC PRECIPITATION DURING THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK SO STAY
TUNED FOR UPDATES.

OTHERWISE...THE ONLY WEATHER IMPACTS IN THE NEAR TERM WILL BE
PATCHY LATE NIGHT AND MORNING FOG IN THE SJ VLY...SPECIFICALLY
FRIDAY AND AGAIN SUNDAY...MONDAY AND TUESDAY. LUCKILY THE SUN
IS STRONG ENOUGH THIS TIME OF YEAR TO BURN OFF MOST OF THE FOG
BY 9 AM.


&&

.AVIATION...
IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY...AREAS OF MVFR IN HAZE WITH LOCAL IFR IN
FOG POSSIBLE FROM 12Z TO 18Z THURSDAY. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS
WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE CENTRAL CA INTERIOR FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES... ON FRIDAY FEBRUARY 12 2016... FIREPLACE/WOOD
STOVE BURNING STATUS IS: NO BURNING UNLESS REGISTERED IN FRESNO...
KERN... KINGS... MADERA AND TULARE COUNTIES.
FURTHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT VALLEYAIR.ORG

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.

CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 02-11       73:1925     46:2001     53:1970     28:1948
KFAT 02-12       76:1921     46:1903     54:1983     27:1949
KFAT 02-13       79:1921     43:1903     56:1987     24:1949

KBFL 02-11       81:1925     45:1989     56:1925     20:1901
KBFL 02-12       80:1921     42:1919     56:1957     20:1901
KBFL 02-13       83:1924     49:1949     55:1986     25:1908
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...DURFEE
AVN/FW...DCH
SYNOPSIS...BSO

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD





000
FXUS66 KHNX 112331 AAA
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
331 PM PST THU FEB 11 2016

.UPDATE...UPDATED AIR QUALITY ISSUES.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING DRY WEATHER TO THE CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA INTERIOR THROUGH TUESDAY WITH PATCHY NIGHT AND MORNING
FOG IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY. A STORM SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE
INTO THE AREA NEXT WEEK WITH SHOWERS AND WINTRY WEATHER EXPECTED
IN THE MOUNTAINS BY MIDWEEK.


&&

.DISCUSSION...SUNSHINE IS BOOSTING TEMPERATURES TO WELL ABOVE
NORMAL AGAIN OVER THE CWA THIS AFTERNOON COURTESY OF AN UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE. THIS RIDGE WILL WEAKEN SOMEWHAT
AND DRIFT EASTWARD TO THE FOUR CORNERS REGION DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS AND CONTINUE TO BRING DRY WEATHER AND ABOVE NORMAL
AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES TO THE CENTRAL CA INTERIOR FRIDAY. IN
THE MEANTIME...A COLD FRONT THAT IS CURRENTLY POISED OVER THE
EASTERN PACIFIC WILL APPROACH THE WEST COAST. THIS FEATURE IS
ALREADY LIMITED ON MOISTURE ON SATELLITE IMAGERY SO WHEN IT
MAKES INROADS INTO THE CENTRAL CA INTERIOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON
IT WILL PROBABLY BRING LITTLE MORE THAN ALTOCUMULUS CLOUDS AND
AT BEST SOME SPRINKLES TO MAINLY THE HIGHER TERRAIN. NONETHELESS
MAX TEMPS WILL FINALLY TREND A BIT COOLER THIS WEEKEND YET STILL
REMAIN SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL ACROSS THE CWA. THE COLD FRONT WILL
ALSO BE ACCOMPANIED AND FOLLOWED BY A MODEST ONSHORE FLOW
SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

THE MODELS FORECAST A RATHER STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGE TO BUILD
INTO CA FROM THE EASTERN PACIFIC EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL
BRING A RETURN OF UNSEASONABLY WARM AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES TO
THE CWA MONDAY AND TUESDAY. MAX TEMPS WILL LIKELY BE BACK IN THE
70S IN THE SJ VLY...LOWER FOOTHILLS AND THE KERN COUNTY DESERT
BOTH DAYS. CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING WITH EACH MODEL RUN THAT A
RETURN OF WINTRY WEATHER WILL OCCUR DURING THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK. THE ECM SOLN IS MORE BULLISH ON THIS IDEA THAN THE GFS AND
FORECASTS A COLDER...WETTER AND MUCH DEEPER UPPER LEVEL TROUGH TO
MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL CA INTERIOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT
THURSDAY. ON THE OTHER HAND THE GFS DEPICTS MORE OF AN OPEN WAVE
TROUGH TO SAIL THROUGH THE CWA WEDNESDAY EVENING AND EXIT INTO THE
GREAT BASIN NEXT THURSDAY. DESPITE THE FASTER TIMING OF THE GFS
BOTH MODELS HINT OF A SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE TAP WITH THIS SYSTEM
IN ADDITION TO DECENT INTERACTION OF THE 300 MB JET. EITHER WAY...
THE WEST SLOPES OF THE SIERRA NEVADA APPEAR DESTINED FOR HEALTHY
OROGRAPHIC PRECIPITATION DURING THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK SO STAY
TUNED FOR UPDATES.

OTHERWISE...THE ONLY WEATHER IMPACTS IN THE NEAR TERM WILL BE
PATCHY LATE NIGHT AND MORNING FOG IN THE SJ VLY...SPECIFICALLY
FRIDAY AND AGAIN SUNDAY...MONDAY AND TUESDAY. LUCKILY THE SUN
IS STRONG ENOUGH THIS TIME OF YEAR TO BURN OFF MOST OF THE FOG
BY 9 AM.


&&

.AVIATION...
IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY...AREAS OF MVFR IN HAZE WITH LOCAL IFR IN
FOG POSSIBLE FROM 12Z TO 18Z THURSDAY. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS
WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE CENTRAL CA INTERIOR FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES... ON FRIDAY FEBRUARY 12 2016... FIREPLACE/WOOD
STOVE BURNING STATUS IS: NO BURNING UNLESS REGISTERED IN FRESNO...
KERN... KINGS... MADERA AND TULARE COUNTIES.
FURTHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT VALLEYAIR.ORG

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.

CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 02-11       73:1925     46:2001     53:1970     28:1948
KFAT 02-12       76:1921     46:1903     54:1983     27:1949
KFAT 02-13       79:1921     43:1903     56:1987     24:1949

KBFL 02-11       81:1925     45:1989     56:1925     20:1901
KBFL 02-12       80:1921     42:1919     56:1957     20:1901
KBFL 02-13       83:1924     49:1949     55:1986     25:1908
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...DURFEE
AVN/FW...DCH
SYNOPSIS...BSO

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD





000
FXUS66 KHNX 112331 AAA
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
331 PM PST THU FEB 11 2016

.UPDATE...UPDATED AIR QUALITY ISSUES.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING DRY WEATHER TO THE CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA INTERIOR THROUGH TUESDAY WITH PATCHY NIGHT AND MORNING
FOG IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY. A STORM SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE
INTO THE AREA NEXT WEEK WITH SHOWERS AND WINTRY WEATHER EXPECTED
IN THE MOUNTAINS BY MIDWEEK.


&&

.DISCUSSION...SUNSHINE IS BOOSTING TEMPERATURES TO WELL ABOVE
NORMAL AGAIN OVER THE CWA THIS AFTERNOON COURTESY OF AN UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE. THIS RIDGE WILL WEAKEN SOMEWHAT
AND DRIFT EASTWARD TO THE FOUR CORNERS REGION DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS AND CONTINUE TO BRING DRY WEATHER AND ABOVE NORMAL
AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES TO THE CENTRAL CA INTERIOR FRIDAY. IN
THE MEANTIME...A COLD FRONT THAT IS CURRENTLY POISED OVER THE
EASTERN PACIFIC WILL APPROACH THE WEST COAST. THIS FEATURE IS
ALREADY LIMITED ON MOISTURE ON SATELLITE IMAGERY SO WHEN IT
MAKES INROADS INTO THE CENTRAL CA INTERIOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON
IT WILL PROBABLY BRING LITTLE MORE THAN ALTOCUMULUS CLOUDS AND
AT BEST SOME SPRINKLES TO MAINLY THE HIGHER TERRAIN. NONETHELESS
MAX TEMPS WILL FINALLY TREND A BIT COOLER THIS WEEKEND YET STILL
REMAIN SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL ACROSS THE CWA. THE COLD FRONT WILL
ALSO BE ACCOMPANIED AND FOLLOWED BY A MODEST ONSHORE FLOW
SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

THE MODELS FORECAST A RATHER STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGE TO BUILD
INTO CA FROM THE EASTERN PACIFIC EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL
BRING A RETURN OF UNSEASONABLY WARM AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES TO
THE CWA MONDAY AND TUESDAY. MAX TEMPS WILL LIKELY BE BACK IN THE
70S IN THE SJ VLY...LOWER FOOTHILLS AND THE KERN COUNTY DESERT
BOTH DAYS. CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING WITH EACH MODEL RUN THAT A
RETURN OF WINTRY WEATHER WILL OCCUR DURING THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK. THE ECM SOLN IS MORE BULLISH ON THIS IDEA THAN THE GFS AND
FORECASTS A COLDER...WETTER AND MUCH DEEPER UPPER LEVEL TROUGH TO
MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL CA INTERIOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT
THURSDAY. ON THE OTHER HAND THE GFS DEPICTS MORE OF AN OPEN WAVE
TROUGH TO SAIL THROUGH THE CWA WEDNESDAY EVENING AND EXIT INTO THE
GREAT BASIN NEXT THURSDAY. DESPITE THE FASTER TIMING OF THE GFS
BOTH MODELS HINT OF A SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE TAP WITH THIS SYSTEM
IN ADDITION TO DECENT INTERACTION OF THE 300 MB JET. EITHER WAY...
THE WEST SLOPES OF THE SIERRA NEVADA APPEAR DESTINED FOR HEALTHY
OROGRAPHIC PRECIPITATION DURING THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK SO STAY
TUNED FOR UPDATES.

OTHERWISE...THE ONLY WEATHER IMPACTS IN THE NEAR TERM WILL BE
PATCHY LATE NIGHT AND MORNING FOG IN THE SJ VLY...SPECIFICALLY
FRIDAY AND AGAIN SUNDAY...MONDAY AND TUESDAY. LUCKILY THE SUN
IS STRONG ENOUGH THIS TIME OF YEAR TO BURN OFF MOST OF THE FOG
BY 9 AM.


&&

.AVIATION...
IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY...AREAS OF MVFR IN HAZE WITH LOCAL IFR IN
FOG POSSIBLE FROM 12Z TO 18Z THURSDAY. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS
WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE CENTRAL CA INTERIOR FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES... ON FRIDAY FEBRUARY 12 2016... FIREPLACE/WOOD
STOVE BURNING STATUS IS: NO BURNING UNLESS REGISTERED IN FRESNO...
KERN... KINGS... MADERA AND TULARE COUNTIES.
FURTHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT VALLEYAIR.ORG

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.

CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 02-11       73:1925     46:2001     53:1970     28:1948
KFAT 02-12       76:1921     46:1903     54:1983     27:1949
KFAT 02-13       79:1921     43:1903     56:1987     24:1949

KBFL 02-11       81:1925     45:1989     56:1925     20:1901
KBFL 02-12       80:1921     42:1919     56:1957     20:1901
KBFL 02-13       83:1924     49:1949     55:1986     25:1908
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...DURFEE
AVN/FW...DCH
SYNOPSIS...BSO

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD




000
FXUS66 KHNX 112120
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
120 PM PST THU FEB 11 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING DRY WEATHER TO THE CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA INTERIOR THROUGH TUESDAY WITH PATCHY NIGHT AND MORNING
FOG IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY. A STORM SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE
INTO THE AREA NEXT WEEK WITH SHOWERS AND WINTRY WEATHER EXPECTED
IN THE MOUNTAINS BY MIDWEEK.


&&

.DISCUSSION...SUNSHINE IS BOOSTING TEMPERATURES TO WELL ABOVE
NORMAL AGAIN OVER THE CWA THIS AFTERNOON COURTESY OF AN UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE. THIS RIDGE WILL WEAKEN SOMEWHAT
AND DRIFT EASTWARD TO THE FOUR CORNERS REGION DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS AND CONTINUE TO BRING DRY WEATHER AND ABOVE NORMAL
AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES TO THE CENTRAL CA INTERIOR FRIDAY. IN
THE MEANTIME...A COLD FRONT THAT IS CURRENTLY POISED OVER THE
EASTERN PACIFIC WILL APPROACH THE WEST COAST. THIS FEATURE IS
ALREADY LIMITED ON MOISTURE ON SATELLITE IMAGERY SO WHEN IT
MAKES INROADS INTO THE CENTRAL CA INTERIOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON
IT WILL PROBABLY BRING LITTLE MORE THAN ALTOCUMULUS CLOUDS AND
AT BEST SOME SPRINKLES TO MAINLY THE HIGHER TERRAIN. NONETHELESS
MAX TEMPS WILL FINALLY TREND A BIT COOLER THIS WEEKEND YET STILL
REMAIN SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL ACROSS THE CWA. THE COLD FRONT WILL
ALSO BE ACCOMPANIED AND FOLLOWED BY A MODEST ONSHORE FLOW
SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

THE MODELS FORECAST A RATHER STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGE TO BUILD
INTO CA FROM THE EASTERN PACIFIC EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL
BRING A RETURN OF UNSEASONABLY WARM AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES TO
THE CWA MONDAY AND TUESDAY. MAX TEMPS WILL LIKELY BE BACK IN THE
70S IN THE SJ VLY...LOWER FOOTHILLS AND THE KERN COUNTY DESERT
BOTH DAYS. CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING WITH EACH MODEL RUN THAT A
RETURN OF WINTRY WEATHER WILL OCCUR DURING THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK. THE ECM SOLN IS MORE BULLISH ON THIS IDEA THAN THE GFS AND
FORECASTS A COLDER...WETTER AND MUCH DEEPER UPPER LEVEL TROUGH TO
MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL CA INTERIOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT
THURSDAY. ON THE OTHER HAND THE GFS DEPICTS MORE OF AN OPEN WAVE
TROUGH TO SAIL THROUGH THE CWA WEDNESDAY EVENING AND EXIT INTO THE
GREAT BASIN NEXT THURSDAY. DESPITE THE FASTER TIMING OF THE GFS
BOTH MODELS HINT OF A SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE TAP WITH THIS SYSTEM
IN ADDITION TO DECENT INTERACTION OF THE 300 MB JET. EITHER WAY...
THE WEST SLOPES OF THE SIERRA NEVADA APPEAR DESTINED FOR HEALTHY
OROGRAPHIC PRECIPITATION DURING THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK SO STAY
TUNED FOR UPDATES.

OTHERWISE...THE ONLY WEATHER IMPACTS IN THE NEAR TERM WILL BE
PATCHY LATE NIGHT AND MORNING FOG IN THE SJ VLY...SPECIFICALLY
FRIDAY AND AGAIN SUNDAY...MONDAY AND TUESDAY. LUCKILY THE SUN
IS STRONG ENOUGH THIS TIME OF YEAR TO BURN OFF MOST OF THE FOG
BY 9 AM.


&&

.AVIATION...
IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY...AREAS OF MVFR IN HAZE WITH LOCAL IFR IN
FOG POSSIBLE FROM 12Z TO 18Z THURSDAY. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS
WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE CENTRAL CA INTERIOR FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
ON THURSDAY FEBRUARY 11 2016... FIREPLACE/WOOD STOVE BURNING
STATUS IS: NO BURNING UNLESS REGISTERED IN FRESNO... KERN...
KINGS... MADERA AND MERCED COUNTIES.
FURTHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT VALLEYAIR.ORG

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.

CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 02-11       73:1925     46:2001     53:1970     28:1948
KFAT 02-12       76:1921     46:1903     54:1983     27:1949
KFAT 02-13       79:1921     43:1903     56:1987     24:1949

KBFL 02-11       81:1925     45:1989     56:1925     20:1901
KBFL 02-12       80:1921     42:1919     56:1957     20:1901
KBFL 02-13       83:1924     49:1949     55:1986     25:1908
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...DURFEE
AVN/FW...DCH
SYNOPSIS...BSO

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD





000
FXUS66 KHNX 111051
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
251 AM PST THU FEB 11 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING DRY WEATHER TO THE CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA INTERIOR THROUGH TUESDAY WITH PATCHY NIGHT AND MORNING
FOG IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY. A WEATHER SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE
INTO THE AREA WITH PRECIPITATION EXPECTED BY WEDNESDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
RIDGE FLATTENED ENOUGH TO KEEP US FROM RECORD BREAKING TEMPS
ACROSS THE CENTRAL CA INTERIOR YESTERDAY. VERY SIMILAR CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED ONCE AGAIN TODAY AS THE RIDGE REMAINS IN PLACE.
HOWEVER WEATHER SYSTEM WILL MOVE ONSHORE INTO THE PAC NW TONIGHT.
THIS WILL BE STRONG ENOUGH TO KEEP OUR TEMPS DROPPING THROUGH THE
WEEKEND AS THE RIDGE FLATTENS OUT AND SHIFTS EAST BY FRIDAY NIGHT.

WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO CROSS THE REGION ON
SAT WITH CONTINUED SYNOPTIC COOLING ACROSS THE FA. SOME HIGH AND
MID CLOUDS WITH THE TROUGH. IT WILL BE MOISTURE STARVED ENOUGH TO
LIMIT THE CHANCE OF ANY PRECIP.

EPAC RIDGE BUILDS EAST INTO THE AREA BY MONDAY WITH GRADUAL
WARMING TREND MONDAY AND TUESDAY. THE RIDGE FLATTENS OUT AND
SLIDES SE INTO THE FOUR CORNERS AS A DIGGING TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO IMPACT THE AREA WITH RAIN AND HIGH
ELEVATION SNOW STARTING WED. GUIDANCE IS BECOMING MORE CONFIDENT
WITH THIS FEATURE AND WE ARE INCREASING CHANCES OF PRECIP WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY. SNOW LEVELS ARE FORECAST TO START OUT AROUND 8000
FEET ON WED BEFORE DROPPING TO AROUND 5000 FEET BY THURSDAY AS THE
COLD AIR MOVES IN BEHIND THE FRONT. WE ARE KEEPING IN MOUNTAIN
SHOWERS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY AS THE SYSTEM SLOWLY MOVES OUT.

&&

.AVIATION...
IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY...AREAS OF MVFR IN HAZE WITH LOCAL IFR IN
FOG POSSIBLE FROM 12Z TO 18Z THURSDAY. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS
WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE CENTRAL CA INTERIOR FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
ON THURSDAY FEBRUARY 11 2016... FIREPLACE/WOOD STOVE BURNING
STATUS IS: NO BURNING UNLESS REGISTERED IN FRESNO... KERN...
KINGS... MADERA AND MERCED COUNTIES.
FURTHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT VALLEYAIR.ORG

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.

CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 02-11       73:1925     46:2001     53:1970     28:1948
KFAT 02-12       76:1921     46:1903     54:1983     27:1949
KFAT 02-13       79:1921     43:1903     56:1987     24:1949

KBFL 02-11       81:1925     45:1989     56:1925     20:1901
KBFL 02-12       80:1921     42:1919     56:1957     20:1901
KBFL 02-13       83:1924     49:1949     55:1986     25:1908

&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...JDB
AVN/FW...MOLINA
SYNOPSIS...JDB

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD





000
FXUS66 KHNX 110012
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
412 PM PST WED FEB 10 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING DRY WEATHER TO THE CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA INTERIOR. THESE CONDITIONS WILL EXIST FOR AT LEAST THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS ALONG WITH PATCHY NIGHT AND MORNING FOG IN THE SAN
JOAQUIN VALLEY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...UPPER RIDGE PROVIDING ANOTHER UNSEASONABLY MILD DAY
ACROSS THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA INTERIOR WITH JUST A FEW HIGH CLOUDS
PASSING THROUGH. TEMPERATURES ARE RUNNING VERY CLOSE TO THIS TIME
YESTERDAY AND HIGHS WILL TOP OUT AROUND 15-20 DEGREES ABOVE CLIMO
ONCE AGAIN. THE RECORD HIGHS AT FRESNO AND BAKERSFIELD MAY BE TIED
OR BROKEN AGAIN AS WELL. LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED ON THURSDAY AS
WE REMAIN ON THE WARM SIDE OF THE RIDGE. FRIDAY WILL BRING SOME
SLIGHT COOLING AS THE RIDGE BREAKS DOWN DUE TO AN APPROACHING S/WV
TROUGH. THIS SYSTEM WILL TAKE AIM ON THE PACNW WITH DRY CONDITIONS
CONTINUING OVER CENTRAL CALIFORNIA. TEMPERATURES WILL COOL FURTHER
FOR THE WEEKEND BUT REMAIN SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE CLIMO. BY MONDAY...
RIDGING BUILDS IN AGAIN ALONG WITH A RETURN OF AN OFFSHORE SURFACE
FLOW. THIS WILL PUSH TEMPERATURES BACK UP TO 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE
CLIMO FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO
ADVERTISE A MORE SIGNIFICANT EPAC TROUGH NEXT WED-THURS THAT MAY
TAP INTO SOME SUB-TROPICAL MOISTURE. CONFIDENCE IS JUST MEDIUM AT
THIS POINT AS IT IS STILL A WEEK AWAY BUT THE MODELS HAVE SHOWN
THIS FOR A FEW RUNS NOW. MAINLY LIGHT WINDS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH
FRIDAY THEN BECOME BREEZY IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY THIS WEEKEND
AS ONSHORE FLOW INCREASES. THE OFFSHORE PRESSURE GRADIENT DEVELOPS
SUNDAY NIGHT FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF GUSTY EASTERLY WINDS IN THE KERN
COUNTY MOUNTAINS.
&&

.AVIATION...
IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY...AREAS OF MVFR IN HAZE WITH LOCAL IFR IN
FOG FROM 12Z TO 18Z THURSDAY. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS WILL
PREVAIL ACROSS THE CENTRAL CA INTERIOR FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
ON THURSDAY FEBRUARY 11 2016... FIREPLACE/WOOD STOVE BURNING
STATUS IS: NO BURNING UNLESS REGISTERED IN FRESNO... KERN...
KINGS... MADERA AND MERCED COUNTIES.
FURTHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT VALLEYAIR.ORG

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.

CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 02-10       75:1961     44:1894     54:1916     29:1965
KFAT 02-11       73:1925     46:2001     53:1970     28:1948
KFAT 02-12       76:1921     46:1903     54:1983     27:1949

KBFL 02-10       79:1961     47:1967     54:1973     23:1929
KBFL 02-11       81:1925     45:1989     56:1925     20:1901
KBFL 02-12       80:1921     42:1919     56:1957     20:1901
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...DCH
AVN/FW...BSO
SYNOPSIS...BSO

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD





000
FXUS66 KHNX 110012
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
412 PM PST WED FEB 10 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING DRY WEATHER TO THE CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA INTERIOR. THESE CONDITIONS WILL EXIST FOR AT LEAST THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS ALONG WITH PATCHY NIGHT AND MORNING FOG IN THE SAN
JOAQUIN VALLEY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...UPPER RIDGE PROVIDING ANOTHER UNSEASONABLY MILD DAY
ACROSS THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA INTERIOR WITH JUST A FEW HIGH CLOUDS
PASSING THROUGH. TEMPERATURES ARE RUNNING VERY CLOSE TO THIS TIME
YESTERDAY AND HIGHS WILL TOP OUT AROUND 15-20 DEGREES ABOVE CLIMO
ONCE AGAIN. THE RECORD HIGHS AT FRESNO AND BAKERSFIELD MAY BE TIED
OR BROKEN AGAIN AS WELL. LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED ON THURSDAY AS
WE REMAIN ON THE WARM SIDE OF THE RIDGE. FRIDAY WILL BRING SOME
SLIGHT COOLING AS THE RIDGE BREAKS DOWN DUE TO AN APPROACHING S/WV
TROUGH. THIS SYSTEM WILL TAKE AIM ON THE PACNW WITH DRY CONDITIONS
CONTINUING OVER CENTRAL CALIFORNIA. TEMPERATURES WILL COOL FURTHER
FOR THE WEEKEND BUT REMAIN SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE CLIMO. BY MONDAY...
RIDGING BUILDS IN AGAIN ALONG WITH A RETURN OF AN OFFSHORE SURFACE
FLOW. THIS WILL PUSH TEMPERATURES BACK UP TO 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE
CLIMO FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO
ADVERTISE A MORE SIGNIFICANT EPAC TROUGH NEXT WED-THURS THAT MAY
TAP INTO SOME SUB-TROPICAL MOISTURE. CONFIDENCE IS JUST MEDIUM AT
THIS POINT AS IT IS STILL A WEEK AWAY BUT THE MODELS HAVE SHOWN
THIS FOR A FEW RUNS NOW. MAINLY LIGHT WINDS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH
FRIDAY THEN BECOME BREEZY IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY THIS WEEKEND
AS ONSHORE FLOW INCREASES. THE OFFSHORE PRESSURE GRADIENT DEVELOPS
SUNDAY NIGHT FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF GUSTY EASTERLY WINDS IN THE KERN
COUNTY MOUNTAINS.
&&

.AVIATION...
IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY...AREAS OF MVFR IN HAZE WITH LOCAL IFR IN
FOG FROM 12Z TO 18Z THURSDAY. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS WILL
PREVAIL ACROSS THE CENTRAL CA INTERIOR FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
ON THURSDAY FEBRUARY 11 2016... FIREPLACE/WOOD STOVE BURNING
STATUS IS: NO BURNING UNLESS REGISTERED IN FRESNO... KERN...
KINGS... MADERA AND MERCED COUNTIES.
FURTHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT VALLEYAIR.ORG

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.

CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 02-10       75:1961     44:1894     54:1916     29:1965
KFAT 02-11       73:1925     46:2001     53:1970     28:1948
KFAT 02-12       76:1921     46:1903     54:1983     27:1949

KBFL 02-10       79:1961     47:1967     54:1973     23:1929
KBFL 02-11       81:1925     45:1989     56:1925     20:1901
KBFL 02-12       80:1921     42:1919     56:1957     20:1901
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...DCH
AVN/FW...BSO
SYNOPSIS...BSO

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD





000
FXUS66 KHNX 110012
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
412 PM PST WED FEB 10 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING DRY WEATHER TO THE CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA INTERIOR. THESE CONDITIONS WILL EXIST FOR AT LEAST THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS ALONG WITH PATCHY NIGHT AND MORNING FOG IN THE SAN
JOAQUIN VALLEY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...UPPER RIDGE PROVIDING ANOTHER UNSEASONABLY MILD DAY
ACROSS THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA INTERIOR WITH JUST A FEW HIGH CLOUDS
PASSING THROUGH. TEMPERATURES ARE RUNNING VERY CLOSE TO THIS TIME
YESTERDAY AND HIGHS WILL TOP OUT AROUND 15-20 DEGREES ABOVE CLIMO
ONCE AGAIN. THE RECORD HIGHS AT FRESNO AND BAKERSFIELD MAY BE TIED
OR BROKEN AGAIN AS WELL. LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED ON THURSDAY AS
WE REMAIN ON THE WARM SIDE OF THE RIDGE. FRIDAY WILL BRING SOME
SLIGHT COOLING AS THE RIDGE BREAKS DOWN DUE TO AN APPROACHING S/WV
TROUGH. THIS SYSTEM WILL TAKE AIM ON THE PACNW WITH DRY CONDITIONS
CONTINUING OVER CENTRAL CALIFORNIA. TEMPERATURES WILL COOL FURTHER
FOR THE WEEKEND BUT REMAIN SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE CLIMO. BY MONDAY...
RIDGING BUILDS IN AGAIN ALONG WITH A RETURN OF AN OFFSHORE SURFACE
FLOW. THIS WILL PUSH TEMPERATURES BACK UP TO 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE
CLIMO FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO
ADVERTISE A MORE SIGNIFICANT EPAC TROUGH NEXT WED-THURS THAT MAY
TAP INTO SOME SUB-TROPICAL MOISTURE. CONFIDENCE IS JUST MEDIUM AT
THIS POINT AS IT IS STILL A WEEK AWAY BUT THE MODELS HAVE SHOWN
THIS FOR A FEW RUNS NOW. MAINLY LIGHT WINDS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH
FRIDAY THEN BECOME BREEZY IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY THIS WEEKEND
AS ONSHORE FLOW INCREASES. THE OFFSHORE PRESSURE GRADIENT DEVELOPS
SUNDAY NIGHT FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF GUSTY EASTERLY WINDS IN THE KERN
COUNTY MOUNTAINS.
&&

.AVIATION...
IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY...AREAS OF MVFR IN HAZE WITH LOCAL IFR IN
FOG FROM 12Z TO 18Z THURSDAY. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS WILL
PREVAIL ACROSS THE CENTRAL CA INTERIOR FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
ON THURSDAY FEBRUARY 11 2016... FIREPLACE/WOOD STOVE BURNING
STATUS IS: NO BURNING UNLESS REGISTERED IN FRESNO... KERN...
KINGS... MADERA AND MERCED COUNTIES.
FURTHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT VALLEYAIR.ORG

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.

CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 02-10       75:1961     44:1894     54:1916     29:1965
KFAT 02-11       73:1925     46:2001     53:1970     28:1948
KFAT 02-12       76:1921     46:1903     54:1983     27:1949

KBFL 02-10       79:1961     47:1967     54:1973     23:1929
KBFL 02-11       81:1925     45:1989     56:1925     20:1901
KBFL 02-12       80:1921     42:1919     56:1957     20:1901
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...DCH
AVN/FW...BSO
SYNOPSIS...BSO

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD




000
FXUS66 KHNX 102241
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
241 PM PST WED FEB 10 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING DRY WEATHER TO THE CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA INTERIOR. THESE CONDITIONS WILL EXIST FOR AT LEAST THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS ALONG WITH PATCHY NIGHT AND MORNING FOG IN THE
SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...UPPER RIDGE PROVIDING ANOTHER UNSEASONABLY MILD DAY
ACROSS THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA INTERIOR WITH JUST A FEW HIGH CLOUDS
PASSING THROUGH. TEMPERATURES ARE RUNNING VERY CLOSE TO THIS TIME
YESTERDAY AND HIGHS WILL TOP OUT AROUND 15-20 DEGREES ABOVE CLIMO
ONCE AGAIN. THE RECORD HIGHS AT FRESNO AND BAKERSFIELD MAY BE TIED
OR BROKEN AGAIN AS WELL. LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED ON THURSDAY AS
WE REMAIN ON THE WARM SIDE OF THE RIDGE. FRIDAY WILL BRING SOME
SLIGHT COOLING AS THE RIDGE BREAKS DOWN DUE TO AN APPROACHING S/WV
TROUGH. THIS SYSTEM WILL TAKE AIM ON THE PACNW WITH DRY CONDITIONS
CONTINUING OVER CENTRAL CALIFORNIA. TEMPERATURES WILL COOL FURTHER
FOR THE WEEKEND BUT REMAIN SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE CLIMO. BY MONDAY...
RIDGING BUILDS IN AGAIN ALONG WITH A RETURN OF AN OFFSHORE SURFACE
FLOW. THIS WILL PUSH TEMPERATURES BACK UP TO 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE
CLIMO FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO
ADVERTISE A MORE SIGNIFICANT EPAC TROUGH NEXT WED-THURS THAT MAY
TAP INTO SOME SUB-TROPICAL MOISTURE. CONFIDENCE IS JUST MEDIUM AT
THIS POINT AS IT IS STILL A WEEK AWAY BUT THE MODELS HAVE SHOWN
THIS FOR A FEW RUNS NOW. MAINLY LIGHT WINDS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH
FRIDAY THEN BECOME BREEZY IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY THIS WEEKEND
AS ONSHORE FLOW INCREASES. THE OFFSHORE PRESSURE GRADIENT DEVELOPS
SUNDAY NIGHT FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF GUSTY EASTERLY WINDS IN THE KERN
COUNTY MOUNTAINS.

&&

.AVIATION...
IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY...AREAS OF MVFR IN HAZE WITH LOCAL IFR
IN FOG FROM 12Z TO 18Z THURSDAY. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS WILL
PREVAIL ACROSS THE CENTRAL CA INTERIOR FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
ON WEDNESDAY FEBRUARY 10 2016...FIREPLACE/WOOD STOVE BURNING
STATUS IS: NO BURNING UNLESS REGISTERED IN FRESNO...KERN AND
KINGS COUNTIES. FURTHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT VALLEYAIR.ORG

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.

CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 02-10       75:1961     44:1894     54:1916     29:1965
KFAT 02-11       73:1925     46:2001     53:1970     28:1948
KFAT 02-12       76:1921     46:1903     54:1983     27:1949

KBFL 02-10       79:1961     47:1967     54:1973     23:1929
KBFL 02-11       81:1925     45:1989     56:1925     20:1901
KBFL 02-12       80:1921     42:1919     56:1957     20:1901
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...DCH
AVN/FW...BSO
SYNOPSIS...BSO

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD





000
FXUS66 KHNX 102241
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
241 PM PST WED FEB 10 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING DRY WEATHER TO THE CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA INTERIOR. THESE CONDITIONS WILL EXIST FOR AT LEAST THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS ALONG WITH PATCHY NIGHT AND MORNING FOG IN THE
SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...UPPER RIDGE PROVIDING ANOTHER UNSEASONABLY MILD DAY
ACROSS THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA INTERIOR WITH JUST A FEW HIGH CLOUDS
PASSING THROUGH. TEMPERATURES ARE RUNNING VERY CLOSE TO THIS TIME
YESTERDAY AND HIGHS WILL TOP OUT AROUND 15-20 DEGREES ABOVE CLIMO
ONCE AGAIN. THE RECORD HIGHS AT FRESNO AND BAKERSFIELD MAY BE TIED
OR BROKEN AGAIN AS WELL. LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED ON THURSDAY AS
WE REMAIN ON THE WARM SIDE OF THE RIDGE. FRIDAY WILL BRING SOME
SLIGHT COOLING AS THE RIDGE BREAKS DOWN DUE TO AN APPROACHING S/WV
TROUGH. THIS SYSTEM WILL TAKE AIM ON THE PACNW WITH DRY CONDITIONS
CONTINUING OVER CENTRAL CALIFORNIA. TEMPERATURES WILL COOL FURTHER
FOR THE WEEKEND BUT REMAIN SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE CLIMO. BY MONDAY...
RIDGING BUILDS IN AGAIN ALONG WITH A RETURN OF AN OFFSHORE SURFACE
FLOW. THIS WILL PUSH TEMPERATURES BACK UP TO 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE
CLIMO FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO
ADVERTISE A MORE SIGNIFICANT EPAC TROUGH NEXT WED-THURS THAT MAY
TAP INTO SOME SUB-TROPICAL MOISTURE. CONFIDENCE IS JUST MEDIUM AT
THIS POINT AS IT IS STILL A WEEK AWAY BUT THE MODELS HAVE SHOWN
THIS FOR A FEW RUNS NOW. MAINLY LIGHT WINDS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH
FRIDAY THEN BECOME BREEZY IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY THIS WEEKEND
AS ONSHORE FLOW INCREASES. THE OFFSHORE PRESSURE GRADIENT DEVELOPS
SUNDAY NIGHT FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF GUSTY EASTERLY WINDS IN THE KERN
COUNTY MOUNTAINS.

&&

.AVIATION...
IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY...AREAS OF MVFR IN HAZE WITH LOCAL IFR
IN FOG FROM 12Z TO 18Z THURSDAY. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS WILL
PREVAIL ACROSS THE CENTRAL CA INTERIOR FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
ON WEDNESDAY FEBRUARY 10 2016...FIREPLACE/WOOD STOVE BURNING
STATUS IS: NO BURNING UNLESS REGISTERED IN FRESNO...KERN AND
KINGS COUNTIES. FURTHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT VALLEYAIR.ORG

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.

CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 02-10       75:1961     44:1894     54:1916     29:1965
KFAT 02-11       73:1925     46:2001     53:1970     28:1948
KFAT 02-12       76:1921     46:1903     54:1983     27:1949

KBFL 02-10       79:1961     47:1967     54:1973     23:1929
KBFL 02-11       81:1925     45:1989     56:1925     20:1901
KBFL 02-12       80:1921     42:1919     56:1957     20:1901
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...DCH
AVN/FW...BSO
SYNOPSIS...BSO

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD




000
FXUS66 KHNX 102241
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
241 PM PST WED FEB 10 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING DRY WEATHER TO THE CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA INTERIOR. THESE CONDITIONS WILL EXIST FOR AT LEAST THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS ALONG WITH PATCHY NIGHT AND MORNING FOG IN THE
SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...UPPER RIDGE PROVIDING ANOTHER UNSEASONABLY MILD DAY
ACROSS THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA INTERIOR WITH JUST A FEW HIGH CLOUDS
PASSING THROUGH. TEMPERATURES ARE RUNNING VERY CLOSE TO THIS TIME
YESTERDAY AND HIGHS WILL TOP OUT AROUND 15-20 DEGREES ABOVE CLIMO
ONCE AGAIN. THE RECORD HIGHS AT FRESNO AND BAKERSFIELD MAY BE TIED
OR BROKEN AGAIN AS WELL. LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED ON THURSDAY AS
WE REMAIN ON THE WARM SIDE OF THE RIDGE. FRIDAY WILL BRING SOME
SLIGHT COOLING AS THE RIDGE BREAKS DOWN DUE TO AN APPROACHING S/WV
TROUGH. THIS SYSTEM WILL TAKE AIM ON THE PACNW WITH DRY CONDITIONS
CONTINUING OVER CENTRAL CALIFORNIA. TEMPERATURES WILL COOL FURTHER
FOR THE WEEKEND BUT REMAIN SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE CLIMO. BY MONDAY...
RIDGING BUILDS IN AGAIN ALONG WITH A RETURN OF AN OFFSHORE SURFACE
FLOW. THIS WILL PUSH TEMPERATURES BACK UP TO 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE
CLIMO FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO
ADVERTISE A MORE SIGNIFICANT EPAC TROUGH NEXT WED-THURS THAT MAY
TAP INTO SOME SUB-TROPICAL MOISTURE. CONFIDENCE IS JUST MEDIUM AT
THIS POINT AS IT IS STILL A WEEK AWAY BUT THE MODELS HAVE SHOWN
THIS FOR A FEW RUNS NOW. MAINLY LIGHT WINDS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH
FRIDAY THEN BECOME BREEZY IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY THIS WEEKEND
AS ONSHORE FLOW INCREASES. THE OFFSHORE PRESSURE GRADIENT DEVELOPS
SUNDAY NIGHT FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF GUSTY EASTERLY WINDS IN THE KERN
COUNTY MOUNTAINS.

&&

.AVIATION...
IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY...AREAS OF MVFR IN HAZE WITH LOCAL IFR
IN FOG FROM 12Z TO 18Z THURSDAY. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS WILL
PREVAIL ACROSS THE CENTRAL CA INTERIOR FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
ON WEDNESDAY FEBRUARY 10 2016...FIREPLACE/WOOD STOVE BURNING
STATUS IS: NO BURNING UNLESS REGISTERED IN FRESNO...KERN AND
KINGS COUNTIES. FURTHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT VALLEYAIR.ORG

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.

CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 02-10       75:1961     44:1894     54:1916     29:1965
KFAT 02-11       73:1925     46:2001     53:1970     28:1948
KFAT 02-12       76:1921     46:1903     54:1983     27:1949

KBFL 02-10       79:1961     47:1967     54:1973     23:1929
KBFL 02-11       81:1925     45:1989     56:1925     20:1901
KBFL 02-12       80:1921     42:1919     56:1957     20:1901
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...DCH
AVN/FW...BSO
SYNOPSIS...BSO

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD





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