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000
FXUS66 KHNX 222047
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
147 PM PDT WED OCT 22 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT IS PRODUCING MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND A
SLIGHT WARMING TREND. ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL BRING INCREASED CLOUDS
ALONG WITH A COOLING TREND BY THE WEEKEND.

&&

.DISCUSSION...UPPER LEVEL ZONAL FLOW CONTINUED TO DOMINATE THE
REGION THIS AFTERNOON...BRINGING HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS TO THE AREA AND
A SUBTLE WARMING TREND. AS OF 1 PM...TEMPERATURES WERE RUNNING
BETWEEN 1 AND 3 DEGREES WARMER COMPARED TO YESTERDAY AT THIS TIME.
EXPECT VALLEY TEMPS TO WARM INTO THE UPPER 70S TO 80 DEGREES BY
THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS.

THE UPPER LEVEL WEATHER PATTERN IS FORECAST TO PERSIST INTO EARLY
FRIDAY MORNING...BEFORE AN UPPER TROUGH MOVES EAST TOWARD THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST COASTLINE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. THIS STORM
SYSTEM WILL RESULT IN A COOLING TREND...ADDITIONAL CLOUD
COVER...AND A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR RAIN FOR MERCED AND MARIPOSA
COUNTIES AS WELL AS FAR WESTERN FRESNO COUNTY.

AS THE UPPER TROUGH APPROACHES THE AREA...RAIN IS FORECAST TO
SPREAD SOUTH INTO THE SOUTHERN SACRAMENTO VALLEY AS EARLY AS
SATURDAY MORNING. THE FORECAST MODELS SUGGEST THE THE RAIN WILL
CONTINUE SOUTH BRUSHING THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE
AREA. THE GREATEST CHANCE FOR RAIN WILL BE MERCED AND MARIPOSA
COUNTIES AS WELL AS WESTERN FRESNO COUNTY DURING THE LATE MORNING
INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS ON SATURDAY. HOWEVER...FORECASTER
CONFIDENCE IS STILL VERY LOW THAT THE AREA WILL SEE ANY
RAIN...GIVEN THAT THE ENSEMBLE FORECAST KEEPS TRENDING DRIER AND
DRIER FOR THE AREA. THE ENSEMBLE MEAN FORECAST STILL INDICATES
VERY LOW PREDICTABILITY FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO AT LEAST
SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

ONE RESULT OF THIS TROUGH WE ARE CERTAIN ABOUT IS THE COOLING
TREND WHICH WILL BEGIN SATURDAY AND CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY. SATURDAY
WILL SEE TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL...GENERALLY IN THE MID TO UPPER
70S. WITH THE CLOUD COVER THROUGH THE AREA...IT MAY EVEN FEEL A
FEW DEGREES COOLER! SUNDAY IS FORECAST TO BE THE COOLEST DAY OF
THE WEEK...WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW TO MID 70S...A FEW DEGREES
BELOW NORMAL.

UPPER LEVEL NORTHWEST FLOW WILL DOMINATE THE REGION SUNDAY INTO AT
LEAST THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK...KEEPING TEMPERATURES NEAR
NORMAL WITH DRY CONDITIONS FORECAST FOR THE AREA.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA INTERIOR
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
NONE.

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS LOW.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 10-22       92:1948     63:2012     64:1982     35:1961
KFAT 10-23       90:1965     57:1956     64:1982     35:1975
KFAT 10-24       95:1959     59:1897     63:1982     36:1956

KBFL 10-22       95:1901     63:1985     65:1982     37:1920
KBFL 10-23       97:1929     64:1975     65:1982     34:1906
KBFL 10-24       95:1959     59:1971     67:1982     32:1912
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...RILEY
AVN/FW...BSO
SYNOPSIS...BSO

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD





000
FXUS66 KHNX 220953
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
253 AM PDT WED OCT 22 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT IS PRODUCING MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND A
SLIGHT WARMING TREND. ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL BRING INCREASED CLOUDS
ALONG WITH A COOLING TREND BY THE WEEKEND.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
ZONAL FLOW OVER THE REGION TODAY WILL GIVE WAY TO A BUILDING
UPPER RIDGE AND A GRADUAL WARMING TREND THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE WEEK. MOISTURE WILL MOVE IN ACROSS NRN CA THURSDAY WITH SOME
HIGH CLOUDS OVER OUR AREA FROM TIME TO TIME. WE ARE EXPECTING DRY
CONDITIONS THIS WEEK AS CONFIDENCE IS HIGH FOR AN UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE BUILDING OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS BY FRIDAY.

WE HAVE BEEN SEEING THIS UNFORTUNATE TREND WITH THE PAST TWO
WEATHER SYSTEMS THAT HAVE MOVED THROUGH THE CENTRAL CA REGION
OVER THE PAST WEEK AND A HALF. IN THE DAY 6-8 TIME RANGE WE ARE
SEEING AMPLE MOISTURE WITH A VERY PROGRESSIVE TROUGH MOVING
THROUGH. HOWEVER AS WE START TO GET INTO THE DAY 4-6 TIME RANGE WE
ARE SEEING LESS MOISTURE AND BY THE TIME WE ARE IN THE DAY 2-4
TIME RANGE WE ARE SEEING EVEN LESS AND BY THE TIME WE GET TO THE
EVENT WE ARE SEEING NO MOISTURE...ONLY A FEW CLOUDS. WELL THIS
WEEKENDS SYSTEM APPEARS TO TO BE NO DIFFERENT. NEW RUNS OF THE GFS
ARE TRENDING DRIER WITH THIS WEEKENDS SYSTEM. THE 00Z NAM12 GOES
OUT TO 84 HOURS (12Z SATURDAY) AND IT IS SHOWING A VERY DRY FRONT
APPROACHING THE COAST. THE CONTINUED OUTLIER IS THE ECMWF AND WE
ARE NOT PUTTING MUCH WEIGHT IN ITS WET SOLN ATTM. IT HAS BEEN
OVERDOING THE QPF AND THEN COMES IN LINE WITH THE DRIER GFS NEAR
THE EVENT.

THE TROUGH IS A QUICK HITTER AND COOLER WEATHER IN STORE FOR
SUNDAY AND MONDAY WITH SOME WARMING BY TUESDAY. THERE IS ANOTHER
SYSTEM APPROACHING THE REGION LATE TUESDAY AND WED. WE HAVE ADDED
CLIMO POPS IN THE EXTENDED WHICH PRIMARILY FOCUSES ON POPS IN THE
SIERRA. CONFIDENCE REMAINS VERY LOW IN THE EXTENDED.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA INTERIOR
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
NONE.

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS LOW.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 10-22       92:1948     63:2012     64:1982     35:1961
KFAT 10-23       90:1965     57:1956     64:1982     35:1975
KFAT 10-24       95:1959     59:1897     63:1982     36:1956

KBFL 10-22       95:1901     63:1985     65:1982     37:1920
KBFL 10-23       97:1929     64:1975     65:1982     34:1906
KBFL 10-24       95:1959     59:1971     67:1982     32:1912
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...JDB
AVN/FW...DS
PREV DISCUSSION...99
SYNOPSIS...JDB

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD





000
FXUS66 KHNX 220953
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
253 AM PDT WED OCT 22 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT IS PRODUCING MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND A
SLIGHT WARMING TREND. ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL BRING INCREASED CLOUDS
ALONG WITH A COOLING TREND BY THE WEEKEND.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
ZONAL FLOW OVER THE REGION TODAY WILL GIVE WAY TO A BUILDING
UPPER RIDGE AND A GRADUAL WARMING TREND THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE WEEK. MOISTURE WILL MOVE IN ACROSS NRN CA THURSDAY WITH SOME
HIGH CLOUDS OVER OUR AREA FROM TIME TO TIME. WE ARE EXPECTING DRY
CONDITIONS THIS WEEK AS CONFIDENCE IS HIGH FOR AN UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE BUILDING OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS BY FRIDAY.

WE HAVE BEEN SEEING THIS UNFORTUNATE TREND WITH THE PAST TWO
WEATHER SYSTEMS THAT HAVE MOVED THROUGH THE CENTRAL CA REGION
OVER THE PAST WEEK AND A HALF. IN THE DAY 6-8 TIME RANGE WE ARE
SEEING AMPLE MOISTURE WITH A VERY PROGRESSIVE TROUGH MOVING
THROUGH. HOWEVER AS WE START TO GET INTO THE DAY 4-6 TIME RANGE WE
ARE SEEING LESS MOISTURE AND BY THE TIME WE ARE IN THE DAY 2-4
TIME RANGE WE ARE SEEING EVEN LESS AND BY THE TIME WE GET TO THE
EVENT WE ARE SEEING NO MOISTURE...ONLY A FEW CLOUDS. WELL THIS
WEEKENDS SYSTEM APPEARS TO TO BE NO DIFFERENT. NEW RUNS OF THE GFS
ARE TRENDING DRIER WITH THIS WEEKENDS SYSTEM. THE 00Z NAM12 GOES
OUT TO 84 HOURS (12Z SATURDAY) AND IT IS SHOWING A VERY DRY FRONT
APPROACHING THE COAST. THE CONTINUED OUTLIER IS THE ECMWF AND WE
ARE NOT PUTTING MUCH WEIGHT IN ITS WET SOLN ATTM. IT HAS BEEN
OVERDOING THE QPF AND THEN COMES IN LINE WITH THE DRIER GFS NEAR
THE EVENT.

THE TROUGH IS A QUICK HITTER AND COOLER WEATHER IN STORE FOR
SUNDAY AND MONDAY WITH SOME WARMING BY TUESDAY. THERE IS ANOTHER
SYSTEM APPROACHING THE REGION LATE TUESDAY AND WED. WE HAVE ADDED
CLIMO POPS IN THE EXTENDED WHICH PRIMARILY FOCUSES ON POPS IN THE
SIERRA. CONFIDENCE REMAINS VERY LOW IN THE EXTENDED.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA INTERIOR
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
NONE.

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS LOW.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 10-22       92:1948     63:2012     64:1982     35:1961
KFAT 10-23       90:1965     57:1956     64:1982     35:1975
KFAT 10-24       95:1959     59:1897     63:1982     36:1956

KBFL 10-22       95:1901     63:1985     65:1982     37:1920
KBFL 10-23       97:1929     64:1975     65:1982     34:1906
KBFL 10-24       95:1959     59:1971     67:1982     32:1912
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...JDB
AVN/FW...DS
PREV DISCUSSION...99
SYNOPSIS...JDB

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD





000
FXUS66 KHNX 212150
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
250 PM PDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL RETURN FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK WITH DRY
CONDITIONS CONTINUING AND TEMPERATURES WARMING TO ABOVE NORMAL BY
THURSDAY. ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL BRING INCREASED CLOUDS ALONG WITH A
COOLING TREND BY SATURDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...AN UPPER TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO EJECT EAST OUT OF
THE AREA...WITH COOL AIR FILTERING INTO THE REGION THROUGH THE
DAY. TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON WERE GENERALLY BETWEEN 6 AND 9
DEGREES COOLER COMPARED TO YESTERDAY AT THIS TIME...WITH READINGS
IN THE LOW TO MID 70S. THESE TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO WARM
ANOTHER FEW DEGREES BY LATE AFTERNOON.

ZONAL FLOW WILL PREVAIL OVER THE AREA FROM EARLY TOMORROW MORNING
INTO FRIDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN A SUBTLE WARMING TREND OVER THE
REGION...WITH DAYTIME HIGH TEMPERATURES INCREASING BY A FEW
DEGREES EACH DAY INTO FRIDAY. FRIDAY LOOKS TO BE THE WARMEST DAY
OF THE WEEK...WITH VALLEY TEMPERATURES WARMING INTO THE LOW TO MID
80S...AROUND 5 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE END OF OCTOBER.

YET ANOTHER UPPER TROUGH IS FORECAST TO MOVE EAST TOWARD NORTHERN
CALIFORNIA FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THE NCEP
ENSEMBLE MEAN FORECAST IS INDICATING BETTER CONSISTENCY FROM MODEL
RUN TO MODEL RUN WITH THE SYSTEM BY THE END OF THE WEEK...ADDING
TO FORECASTER CONFIDENCE SLIGHTLY. THE ENSEMBLE MEMBERS ARE NOW
IN BETTER AGREEMENT THAT LIGHT RAIN WILL SPREAD SOUTHEAST INTO THE
WESTERN PORTION OF THE VALLEY MAINLY NORTH OF KERN COUNTY ON
SATURDAY MORNING. ANY RAIN CHANCES WILL QUICKLY END BY SATURDAY
AFTERNOON. AT BEST...NORTHERN MERCED AND MARIPOSA COUNTIES MAY SEE
MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION. GIVEN THE PAST FEW STORM SYSTEMS THAT
BRUSHED THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE AREA...GIVING US NO
APPRECIABLE PRECIPITATION...WE WILL CLOSELY WATCH MODEL TRENDS FOR
A BETTER HANDLE ON TIMING...LOCATION...AND ANY POSSIBILITY OF
PRECIPITATION LATER THIS WEEK.

ONE THING WE ARE CONFIDENT ON...IS THE FACT THAT THIS NEXT STORM
SYSTEM WILL BRING ANOTHER COOLING TREND TO THE AREA BEGINNING
SATURDAY AND CONTINUING INTO SUNDAY. SUNDAY WILL SEE TEMPERATURES
SLIGHT BELOW NORMAL...GENERALLY IN THE LOW 70S.

OTHERWISE...HIGH PRESSURE IS ONCE AGAIN FORECAST TO BUILD OVER THE
AREA BEGINNING EARLY NEXT WEEK...RESULTING IN A DRY FORECAST AND
WARMING TEMPERATURES.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA INTERIOR
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
NONE.

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS LOW.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 10-21       93:2003     58:1941     60:1992     34:1949
KFAT 10-22       92:1948     63:2012     64:1982     35:1961
KFAT 10-23       90:1965     57:1956     64:1982     35:1975

KBFL 10-21       94:2003     62:2004     65:1976     32:1906
KBFL 10-22       95:1901     63:1985     65:1982     37:1920
KBFL 10-23       97:1929     64:1975     65:1982     34:1906
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...RILEY
AVN/FW...DCH
SYNOPSIS...RILEY

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD





000
FXUS66 KHNX 212150
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
250 PM PDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL RETURN FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK WITH DRY
CONDITIONS CONTINUING AND TEMPERATURES WARMING TO ABOVE NORMAL BY
THURSDAY. ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL BRING INCREASED CLOUDS ALONG WITH A
COOLING TREND BY SATURDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...AN UPPER TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO EJECT EAST OUT OF
THE AREA...WITH COOL AIR FILTERING INTO THE REGION THROUGH THE
DAY. TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON WERE GENERALLY BETWEEN 6 AND 9
DEGREES COOLER COMPARED TO YESTERDAY AT THIS TIME...WITH READINGS
IN THE LOW TO MID 70S. THESE TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO WARM
ANOTHER FEW DEGREES BY LATE AFTERNOON.

ZONAL FLOW WILL PREVAIL OVER THE AREA FROM EARLY TOMORROW MORNING
INTO FRIDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN A SUBTLE WARMING TREND OVER THE
REGION...WITH DAYTIME HIGH TEMPERATURES INCREASING BY A FEW
DEGREES EACH DAY INTO FRIDAY. FRIDAY LOOKS TO BE THE WARMEST DAY
OF THE WEEK...WITH VALLEY TEMPERATURES WARMING INTO THE LOW TO MID
80S...AROUND 5 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE END OF OCTOBER.

YET ANOTHER UPPER TROUGH IS FORECAST TO MOVE EAST TOWARD NORTHERN
CALIFORNIA FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THE NCEP
ENSEMBLE MEAN FORECAST IS INDICATING BETTER CONSISTENCY FROM MODEL
RUN TO MODEL RUN WITH THE SYSTEM BY THE END OF THE WEEK...ADDING
TO FORECASTER CONFIDENCE SLIGHTLY. THE ENSEMBLE MEMBERS ARE NOW
IN BETTER AGREEMENT THAT LIGHT RAIN WILL SPREAD SOUTHEAST INTO THE
WESTERN PORTION OF THE VALLEY MAINLY NORTH OF KERN COUNTY ON
SATURDAY MORNING. ANY RAIN CHANCES WILL QUICKLY END BY SATURDAY
AFTERNOON. AT BEST...NORTHERN MERCED AND MARIPOSA COUNTIES MAY SEE
MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION. GIVEN THE PAST FEW STORM SYSTEMS THAT
BRUSHED THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE AREA...GIVING US NO
APPRECIABLE PRECIPITATION...WE WILL CLOSELY WATCH MODEL TRENDS FOR
A BETTER HANDLE ON TIMING...LOCATION...AND ANY POSSIBILITY OF
PRECIPITATION LATER THIS WEEK.

ONE THING WE ARE CONFIDENT ON...IS THE FACT THAT THIS NEXT STORM
SYSTEM WILL BRING ANOTHER COOLING TREND TO THE AREA BEGINNING
SATURDAY AND CONTINUING INTO SUNDAY. SUNDAY WILL SEE TEMPERATURES
SLIGHT BELOW NORMAL...GENERALLY IN THE LOW 70S.

OTHERWISE...HIGH PRESSURE IS ONCE AGAIN FORECAST TO BUILD OVER THE
AREA BEGINNING EARLY NEXT WEEK...RESULTING IN A DRY FORECAST AND
WARMING TEMPERATURES.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA INTERIOR
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
NONE.

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS LOW.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 10-21       93:2003     58:1941     60:1992     34:1949
KFAT 10-22       92:1948     63:2012     64:1982     35:1961
KFAT 10-23       90:1965     57:1956     64:1982     35:1975

KBFL 10-21       94:2003     62:2004     65:1976     32:1906
KBFL 10-22       95:1901     63:1985     65:1982     37:1920
KBFL 10-23       97:1929     64:1975     65:1982     34:1906
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...RILEY
AVN/FW...DCH
SYNOPSIS...RILEY

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD





000
FXUS66 KHNX 211002
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
302 AM PDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...A COOLING TREND WILL OCCUR TODAY WITH BREEZY WINDS
LIKELY THIS MORNING ACROSS THE WEST SIDE OF THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY
AND THE KERN COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
RETURN FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK WITH DRY CONDITIONS
CONTINUING AND TEMPERATURES WARMING TO ABOVE NORMAL BY THURSDAY.
ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL BRING INCREASED CLOUDS ALONG WITH A COOLING
TREND BY SATURDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...A FAIRLY STRONG COLD FRONT PUSHED THROUGH CENTRAL
CA LAST EVENING BRINGING BREEZY TO LOCALLY WIND CONDITIONS TO OUR
CWFA WITH A FEW LOCATIONS IN THE KERN COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS
REPORTING GUSTS JUST ABOVE 40 MPH. THE BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING THEN TAPER OFF THE
AFTERNOON AS P-GRADS RELAX.

MEANWHILE...FOG IMAGERY IS INDICATING SOME UPSLOPE LOW CLOUDS
BANKED UP ALONG THE SOUTH END OF THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY AND THE
VALLEY FACING SLOPES OF THE TEHACHAPI MOUNTAINS. SOME PATCHES OF
FOG HAVE BEEN REPORTED NEAR TEHACHAPI ALONG HIGHWAY 58 THIS
MORNING AS WELL. THE LOW CLOUDS AND PATCHY FOG AS WELL AS SOME
PATCHY DRIZZLE WILL CONTINUE THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING WHEN
P-GRADS DECREASE. TEMPERATURES ACROSS OUR AREA WILL LOWER TO NEAR
SEASONAL NORMALS TODAY IN THE COOLER POST-FRONTAL AIRMASS.

THE 06Z WRF IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH PRIOR RUNS INDICATING AN
UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD INTO CA ON WEDNESDAY THEN SHIFT INLAND INTO
THE GREAT BASIN BY THURSDAY WHILE A MOISTURE FETCH TAKES AIM AT
THE PAC NW AND EXTREME NORCAL. THE ONLY IMPACT THE MOISTURE FETCH
WILL HAVE ON OUR AREA FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WORK WEEK WILL BE
SOME HIGH CLOUDS AT TIMES. TEMPERATURES WILL TREND UPWARD EACH DAY
THROUGH FRIDAY IN RESPONSE TO RISES IN HEIGHTS AND DIURNAL
THICKNESSES.

THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS AND THEIR ENSEMBLE MEMBERS REMAIN IN VERY
POOR AGREEMENT IN THEIR HANDLING OF A MOIST UPPER TROUGH WHICH IS
PROGGED TO CROSS THE PAC NW AND NORCAL FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT. THE 00Z GFS INDICATES THE SOUTHERN EXTENT OF
PRECIPITATION WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL BRUSH OUR NORTHERN MOST AREA
IN MERCED AND MARIPOSA COUNTIES LATE FRIDAY NIGHT AND EARLY
SATURDAY WHILE THE 00Z ECMWF IS INDICATING THE POTENTIAL FOR A
SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION EVENT ACROSS MUCH OF OUR CWFA ON
SATRUDAY NIGHT AS IT IS MUCH STRONGER WITH THIS SYSTEM.
HOWEVER...WITH POOR RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY AND POOR ENSEMBLE
AGREEMENT CONFIDENCE IN ANY ONE MODEL RUN FOR NEXT WEEKEND IS VERY
LOW. WE HAVE INCREASED PRECIPITATION CHANCES FOR OUR NORTHERN
MOST AREAS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT AND ACROSS MUCH OF OUR AREA FROM
FRESNO COUNTY NORTHWARD FOR SATURDAY AND HAVE INCREASED SKY COVER
SATURDAY. COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE ALSO EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND
ALONG WITH INCREASED WINDS OVER THE SIERRA CREST ALONG AS OVER THE
NORMALLY WIND PRONE AREAS ALONG THE WEST SIDE OF THE SAN JOAQUIN
VALLEY AND IN KERN COUNTY.

FINALLY...A DRY UPPER RIDGE IS PROGGED TO BUILD BACK INTO CA
EARLY NEXT WEEK WHICH WILL RESULT IN A WARMING AND DRYING TREND
FOR OUR AREA BY MONDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...WIND GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS ARE LIKELY AROUND THE KERN
COUNTY MOUNTAIN PASSES UNTIL 18Z TUESDAY. AREAS OF MVFR CEILINGS
ALONG THE WEST SLOPES OF THE SIERRA AND THE NORTH FACING SLOPES OF
THE TEHACHAPI MOUNTAINS UNTIL 21Z TUESDAY. VFR CONDITIONS WILL
PREVAIL ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA INTERIOR DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...NONE.

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS LOW.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 10-21       93:2003     58:1941     60:1992     34:1949
KFAT 10-22       92:1948     63:2012     64:1982     35:1961
KFAT 10-23       90:1965     57:1956     64:1982     35:1975

KBFL 10-21       94:2003     62:2004     65:1976     32:1906
KBFL 10-22       95:1901     63:1985     65:1982     37:1920
KBFL 10-23       97:1929     64:1975     65:1982     34:1906
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...DS
AVN/FW...JDB
SYNOPSIS...DS

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD





000
FXUS66 KHNX 211002
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
302 AM PDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...A COOLING TREND WILL OCCUR TODAY WITH BREEZY WINDS
LIKELY THIS MORNING ACROSS THE WEST SIDE OF THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY
AND THE KERN COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
RETURN FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK WITH DRY CONDITIONS
CONTINUING AND TEMPERATURES WARMING TO ABOVE NORMAL BY THURSDAY.
ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL BRING INCREASED CLOUDS ALONG WITH A COOLING
TREND BY SATURDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...A FAIRLY STRONG COLD FRONT PUSHED THROUGH CENTRAL
CA LAST EVENING BRINGING BREEZY TO LOCALLY WIND CONDITIONS TO OUR
CWFA WITH A FEW LOCATIONS IN THE KERN COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS
REPORTING GUSTS JUST ABOVE 40 MPH. THE BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING THEN TAPER OFF THE
AFTERNOON AS P-GRADS RELAX.

MEANWHILE...FOG IMAGERY IS INDICATING SOME UPSLOPE LOW CLOUDS
BANKED UP ALONG THE SOUTH END OF THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY AND THE
VALLEY FACING SLOPES OF THE TEHACHAPI MOUNTAINS. SOME PATCHES OF
FOG HAVE BEEN REPORTED NEAR TEHACHAPI ALONG HIGHWAY 58 THIS
MORNING AS WELL. THE LOW CLOUDS AND PATCHY FOG AS WELL AS SOME
PATCHY DRIZZLE WILL CONTINUE THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING WHEN
P-GRADS DECREASE. TEMPERATURES ACROSS OUR AREA WILL LOWER TO NEAR
SEASONAL NORMALS TODAY IN THE COOLER POST-FRONTAL AIRMASS.

THE 06Z WRF IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH PRIOR RUNS INDICATING AN
UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD INTO CA ON WEDNESDAY THEN SHIFT INLAND INTO
THE GREAT BASIN BY THURSDAY WHILE A MOISTURE FETCH TAKES AIM AT
THE PAC NW AND EXTREME NORCAL. THE ONLY IMPACT THE MOISTURE FETCH
WILL HAVE ON OUR AREA FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WORK WEEK WILL BE
SOME HIGH CLOUDS AT TIMES. TEMPERATURES WILL TREND UPWARD EACH DAY
THROUGH FRIDAY IN RESPONSE TO RISES IN HEIGHTS AND DIURNAL
THICKNESSES.

THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS AND THEIR ENSEMBLE MEMBERS REMAIN IN VERY
POOR AGREEMENT IN THEIR HANDLING OF A MOIST UPPER TROUGH WHICH IS
PROGGED TO CROSS THE PAC NW AND NORCAL FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT. THE 00Z GFS INDICATES THE SOUTHERN EXTENT OF
PRECIPITATION WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL BRUSH OUR NORTHERN MOST AREA
IN MERCED AND MARIPOSA COUNTIES LATE FRIDAY NIGHT AND EARLY
SATURDAY WHILE THE 00Z ECMWF IS INDICATING THE POTENTIAL FOR A
SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION EVENT ACROSS MUCH OF OUR CWFA ON
SATRUDAY NIGHT AS IT IS MUCH STRONGER WITH THIS SYSTEM.
HOWEVER...WITH POOR RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY AND POOR ENSEMBLE
AGREEMENT CONFIDENCE IN ANY ONE MODEL RUN FOR NEXT WEEKEND IS VERY
LOW. WE HAVE INCREASED PRECIPITATION CHANCES FOR OUR NORTHERN
MOST AREAS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT AND ACROSS MUCH OF OUR AREA FROM
FRESNO COUNTY NORTHWARD FOR SATURDAY AND HAVE INCREASED SKY COVER
SATURDAY. COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE ALSO EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND
ALONG WITH INCREASED WINDS OVER THE SIERRA CREST ALONG AS OVER THE
NORMALLY WIND PRONE AREAS ALONG THE WEST SIDE OF THE SAN JOAQUIN
VALLEY AND IN KERN COUNTY.

FINALLY...A DRY UPPER RIDGE IS PROGGED TO BUILD BACK INTO CA
EARLY NEXT WEEK WHICH WILL RESULT IN A WARMING AND DRYING TREND
FOR OUR AREA BY MONDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...WIND GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS ARE LIKELY AROUND THE KERN
COUNTY MOUNTAIN PASSES UNTIL 18Z TUESDAY. AREAS OF MVFR CEILINGS
ALONG THE WEST SLOPES OF THE SIERRA AND THE NORTH FACING SLOPES OF
THE TEHACHAPI MOUNTAINS UNTIL 21Z TUESDAY. VFR CONDITIONS WILL
PREVAIL ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA INTERIOR DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...NONE.

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS LOW.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 10-21       93:2003     58:1941     60:1992     34:1949
KFAT 10-22       92:1948     63:2012     64:1982     35:1961
KFAT 10-23       90:1965     57:1956     64:1982     35:1975

KBFL 10-21       94:2003     62:2004     65:1976     32:1906
KBFL 10-22       95:1901     63:1985     65:1982     37:1920
KBFL 10-23       97:1929     64:1975     65:1982     34:1906
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...DS
AVN/FW...JDB
SYNOPSIS...DS

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD




000
FXUS66 KHNX 211002
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
302 AM PDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...A COOLING TREND WILL OCCUR TODAY WITH BREEZY WINDS
LIKELY THIS MORNING ACROSS THE WEST SIDE OF THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY
AND THE KERN COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
RETURN FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK WITH DRY CONDITIONS
CONTINUING AND TEMPERATURES WARMING TO ABOVE NORMAL BY THURSDAY.
ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL BRING INCREASED CLOUDS ALONG WITH A COOLING
TREND BY SATURDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...A FAIRLY STRONG COLD FRONT PUSHED THROUGH CENTRAL
CA LAST EVENING BRINGING BREEZY TO LOCALLY WIND CONDITIONS TO OUR
CWFA WITH A FEW LOCATIONS IN THE KERN COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS
REPORTING GUSTS JUST ABOVE 40 MPH. THE BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING THEN TAPER OFF THE
AFTERNOON AS P-GRADS RELAX.

MEANWHILE...FOG IMAGERY IS INDICATING SOME UPSLOPE LOW CLOUDS
BANKED UP ALONG THE SOUTH END OF THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY AND THE
VALLEY FACING SLOPES OF THE TEHACHAPI MOUNTAINS. SOME PATCHES OF
FOG HAVE BEEN REPORTED NEAR TEHACHAPI ALONG HIGHWAY 58 THIS
MORNING AS WELL. THE LOW CLOUDS AND PATCHY FOG AS WELL AS SOME
PATCHY DRIZZLE WILL CONTINUE THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING WHEN
P-GRADS DECREASE. TEMPERATURES ACROSS OUR AREA WILL LOWER TO NEAR
SEASONAL NORMALS TODAY IN THE COOLER POST-FRONTAL AIRMASS.

THE 06Z WRF IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH PRIOR RUNS INDICATING AN
UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD INTO CA ON WEDNESDAY THEN SHIFT INLAND INTO
THE GREAT BASIN BY THURSDAY WHILE A MOISTURE FETCH TAKES AIM AT
THE PAC NW AND EXTREME NORCAL. THE ONLY IMPACT THE MOISTURE FETCH
WILL HAVE ON OUR AREA FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WORK WEEK WILL BE
SOME HIGH CLOUDS AT TIMES. TEMPERATURES WILL TREND UPWARD EACH DAY
THROUGH FRIDAY IN RESPONSE TO RISES IN HEIGHTS AND DIURNAL
THICKNESSES.

THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS AND THEIR ENSEMBLE MEMBERS REMAIN IN VERY
POOR AGREEMENT IN THEIR HANDLING OF A MOIST UPPER TROUGH WHICH IS
PROGGED TO CROSS THE PAC NW AND NORCAL FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT. THE 00Z GFS INDICATES THE SOUTHERN EXTENT OF
PRECIPITATION WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL BRUSH OUR NORTHERN MOST AREA
IN MERCED AND MARIPOSA COUNTIES LATE FRIDAY NIGHT AND EARLY
SATURDAY WHILE THE 00Z ECMWF IS INDICATING THE POTENTIAL FOR A
SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION EVENT ACROSS MUCH OF OUR CWFA ON
SATRUDAY NIGHT AS IT IS MUCH STRONGER WITH THIS SYSTEM.
HOWEVER...WITH POOR RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY AND POOR ENSEMBLE
AGREEMENT CONFIDENCE IN ANY ONE MODEL RUN FOR NEXT WEEKEND IS VERY
LOW. WE HAVE INCREASED PRECIPITATION CHANCES FOR OUR NORTHERN
MOST AREAS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT AND ACROSS MUCH OF OUR AREA FROM
FRESNO COUNTY NORTHWARD FOR SATURDAY AND HAVE INCREASED SKY COVER
SATURDAY. COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE ALSO EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND
ALONG WITH INCREASED WINDS OVER THE SIERRA CREST ALONG AS OVER THE
NORMALLY WIND PRONE AREAS ALONG THE WEST SIDE OF THE SAN JOAQUIN
VALLEY AND IN KERN COUNTY.

FINALLY...A DRY UPPER RIDGE IS PROGGED TO BUILD BACK INTO CA
EARLY NEXT WEEK WHICH WILL RESULT IN A WARMING AND DRYING TREND
FOR OUR AREA BY MONDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...WIND GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS ARE LIKELY AROUND THE KERN
COUNTY MOUNTAIN PASSES UNTIL 18Z TUESDAY. AREAS OF MVFR CEILINGS
ALONG THE WEST SLOPES OF THE SIERRA AND THE NORTH FACING SLOPES OF
THE TEHACHAPI MOUNTAINS UNTIL 21Z TUESDAY. VFR CONDITIONS WILL
PREVAIL ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA INTERIOR DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...NONE.

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS LOW.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 10-21       93:2003     58:1941     60:1992     34:1949
KFAT 10-22       92:1948     63:2012     64:1982     35:1961
KFAT 10-23       90:1965     57:1956     64:1982     35:1975

KBFL 10-21       94:2003     62:2004     65:1976     32:1906
KBFL 10-22       95:1901     63:1985     65:1982     37:1920
KBFL 10-23       97:1929     64:1975     65:1982     34:1906
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...DS
AVN/FW...JDB
SYNOPSIS...DS

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD





000
FXUS66 KHNX 202151
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
251 PM PDT MON OCT 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A COOLING TREND WILL OCCUR TONIGHT AND TUESDAY WITH BREEZY
CONDITIONS LIKELY THIS EVENING ALONG THE WEST SIDE OF THE SAN
JOAQUIN VALLEY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL RETURN FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
WEEK WITH DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUING AND TEMPERATURES WARMING TO
ABOVE NORMAL BY FRIDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
THE LEADING EDGE OF A BAND OF CLOUD COVER ASSOCIATED WITH AN
APPROACHING COLD FRONT WAS JUST REACHING THE WESTERN EDGE OF
MERCED COUNTY AS AS 230 PM. WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT ACROSS NORCAL
HAVE BEEN LESS THAN 15 KTS. THE HRRR HAD BEEN PROGGING GUSTS TO
NEARLY 30 KTS THIS EVENING IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY AS THE FRONT
MOVES THROUGH. THE LATEST RUN HAS BACKED OFF TO GUSTS OF ONLY
AROUND 25 KTS THOUGH...AND KEEPS ANY GUSTS ABOVE 20 KTS NORTH OF
KERN COUNTY. THERE IS STILL A CONCERN THAT ANY SUBSTANTIAL
INCREASE IN WINDS THIS EVENING COULD PRODUCE BLOWING DUST ALONG
THE INTERSTATE 5 CORRIDOR. WILL CONTINUE TO ADVERTISE THE POSSIBILITY
VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

HAVE LEFT SLIGHT CHANCE POPS IN PLACE NEAR YOSEMITE TONIGHT AS
MOST OF THE ENERGY FROM THE SYSTEM MOVES NORTH OF OUR AREA AND
INTO NEVADA. HAVE ALSO KEPT THE POSSIBILITY OF LIGHT DRIZZLE IN
THE EXTREME SOUTHERN END OF THE VALLEY AND THE NORTH FACING SLOPES FROM
MOUNT PINOS TO TEJON RANCH DUE TO UPSLOPE CLOUDINESS LATE TONIGHT
AND TUESDAY MORNING.

LATEST GUIDANCE HAS ALSO BACKED OFF A LITTLE ON THE AMOUNT OF POST
FRONTAL COOLING FOR TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES ARE NOW EXPECTED TO ONLY
FALL ABOUT 3 TO 5 DEG F...WITH MOST OF THE VALLEY IN THE MID 70S
ON TUESDAY.

WEAK RIDGING AFTER THIS SYSTEM WILL LEAD TO A WARMING TREND ACROSS
THE AREA FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM IS
THEN PROGGED BY THE MODEL ENSEMBLES TO MOVE ACROSS CALIFORNIA ON
SATURDAY. CONFIDENCE IN IT BRINGING PRECIPITATION TO THE AREA
REMAINS LOW AT THIS TIME.

&&

.AVIATION...
WIND GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY FROM
00Z TO 12Z TUESDAY. GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS ARE LIKELY AROUND THE KERN
COUNTY MOUNTAIN PASSES THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY. AREAS OF MVFR CEILINGS
ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE WEST SLOPES OF THE SIERRA AND THE NORTH
FACING SLOPES OF THE TEHACHAPI MOUNTAINS FROM 06Z TO 18Z TUESDAY.
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
INTERIOR DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
NONE.

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS MEDIUM.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS LOW.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 10-20       94:1927     56:1941     59:2012     35:1949
KFAT 10-21       93:2003     58:1941     60:1992     34:1949
KFAT 10-22       92:1948     63:2012     64:1982     35:1961

KBFL 10-20       97:1927     60:1910     63:1978     33:1908
KBFL 10-21       94:2003     62:2004     65:1976     32:1906
KBFL 10-22       95:1901     63:1985     65:1982     37:1920
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...MENDENHALL
AVN/FW...DCH
PREV DISCUSSION...99
SYNOPSIS...WP

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD




000
FXUS66 KHNX 202151
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
251 PM PDT MON OCT 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A COOLING TREND WILL OCCUR TONIGHT AND TUESDAY WITH BREEZY
CONDITIONS LIKELY THIS EVENING ALONG THE WEST SIDE OF THE SAN
JOAQUIN VALLEY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL RETURN FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
WEEK WITH DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUING AND TEMPERATURES WARMING TO
ABOVE NORMAL BY FRIDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
THE LEADING EDGE OF A BAND OF CLOUD COVER ASSOCIATED WITH AN
APPROACHING COLD FRONT WAS JUST REACHING THE WESTERN EDGE OF
MERCED COUNTY AS AS 230 PM. WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT ACROSS NORCAL
HAVE BEEN LESS THAN 15 KTS. THE HRRR HAD BEEN PROGGING GUSTS TO
NEARLY 30 KTS THIS EVENING IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY AS THE FRONT
MOVES THROUGH. THE LATEST RUN HAS BACKED OFF TO GUSTS OF ONLY
AROUND 25 KTS THOUGH...AND KEEPS ANY GUSTS ABOVE 20 KTS NORTH OF
KERN COUNTY. THERE IS STILL A CONCERN THAT ANY SUBSTANTIAL
INCREASE IN WINDS THIS EVENING COULD PRODUCE BLOWING DUST ALONG
THE INTERSTATE 5 CORRIDOR. WILL CONTINUE TO ADVERTISE THE POSSIBILITY
VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

HAVE LEFT SLIGHT CHANCE POPS IN PLACE NEAR YOSEMITE TONIGHT AS
MOST OF THE ENERGY FROM THE SYSTEM MOVES NORTH OF OUR AREA AND
INTO NEVADA. HAVE ALSO KEPT THE POSSIBILITY OF LIGHT DRIZZLE IN
THE EXTREME SOUTHERN END OF THE VALLEY AND THE NORTH FACING SLOPES FROM
MOUNT PINOS TO TEJON RANCH DUE TO UPSLOPE CLOUDINESS LATE TONIGHT
AND TUESDAY MORNING.

LATEST GUIDANCE HAS ALSO BACKED OFF A LITTLE ON THE AMOUNT OF POST
FRONTAL COOLING FOR TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES ARE NOW EXPECTED TO ONLY
FALL ABOUT 3 TO 5 DEG F...WITH MOST OF THE VALLEY IN THE MID 70S
ON TUESDAY.

WEAK RIDGING AFTER THIS SYSTEM WILL LEAD TO A WARMING TREND ACROSS
THE AREA FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM IS
THEN PROGGED BY THE MODEL ENSEMBLES TO MOVE ACROSS CALIFORNIA ON
SATURDAY. CONFIDENCE IN IT BRINGING PRECIPITATION TO THE AREA
REMAINS LOW AT THIS TIME.

&&

.AVIATION...
WIND GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY FROM
00Z TO 12Z TUESDAY. GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS ARE LIKELY AROUND THE KERN
COUNTY MOUNTAIN PASSES THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY. AREAS OF MVFR CEILINGS
ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE WEST SLOPES OF THE SIERRA AND THE NORTH
FACING SLOPES OF THE TEHACHAPI MOUNTAINS FROM 06Z TO 18Z TUESDAY.
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
INTERIOR DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
NONE.

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS MEDIUM.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS LOW.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 10-20       94:1927     56:1941     59:2012     35:1949
KFAT 10-21       93:2003     58:1941     60:1992     34:1949
KFAT 10-22       92:1948     63:2012     64:1982     35:1961

KBFL 10-20       97:1927     60:1910     63:1978     33:1908
KBFL 10-21       94:2003     62:2004     65:1976     32:1906
KBFL 10-22       95:1901     63:1985     65:1982     37:1920
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...MENDENHALL
AVN/FW...DCH
PREV DISCUSSION...99
SYNOPSIS...WP

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD





000
FXUS66 KHNX 202151
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
251 PM PDT MON OCT 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A COOLING TREND WILL OCCUR TONIGHT AND TUESDAY WITH BREEZY
CONDITIONS LIKELY THIS EVENING ALONG THE WEST SIDE OF THE SAN
JOAQUIN VALLEY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL RETURN FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
WEEK WITH DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUING AND TEMPERATURES WARMING TO
ABOVE NORMAL BY FRIDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
THE LEADING EDGE OF A BAND OF CLOUD COVER ASSOCIATED WITH AN
APPROACHING COLD FRONT WAS JUST REACHING THE WESTERN EDGE OF
MERCED COUNTY AS AS 230 PM. WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT ACROSS NORCAL
HAVE BEEN LESS THAN 15 KTS. THE HRRR HAD BEEN PROGGING GUSTS TO
NEARLY 30 KTS THIS EVENING IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY AS THE FRONT
MOVES THROUGH. THE LATEST RUN HAS BACKED OFF TO GUSTS OF ONLY
AROUND 25 KTS THOUGH...AND KEEPS ANY GUSTS ABOVE 20 KTS NORTH OF
KERN COUNTY. THERE IS STILL A CONCERN THAT ANY SUBSTANTIAL
INCREASE IN WINDS THIS EVENING COULD PRODUCE BLOWING DUST ALONG
THE INTERSTATE 5 CORRIDOR. WILL CONTINUE TO ADVERTISE THE POSSIBILITY
VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

HAVE LEFT SLIGHT CHANCE POPS IN PLACE NEAR YOSEMITE TONIGHT AS
MOST OF THE ENERGY FROM THE SYSTEM MOVES NORTH OF OUR AREA AND
INTO NEVADA. HAVE ALSO KEPT THE POSSIBILITY OF LIGHT DRIZZLE IN
THE EXTREME SOUTHERN END OF THE VALLEY AND THE NORTH FACING SLOPES FROM
MOUNT PINOS TO TEJON RANCH DUE TO UPSLOPE CLOUDINESS LATE TONIGHT
AND TUESDAY MORNING.

LATEST GUIDANCE HAS ALSO BACKED OFF A LITTLE ON THE AMOUNT OF POST
FRONTAL COOLING FOR TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES ARE NOW EXPECTED TO ONLY
FALL ABOUT 3 TO 5 DEG F...WITH MOST OF THE VALLEY IN THE MID 70S
ON TUESDAY.

WEAK RIDGING AFTER THIS SYSTEM WILL LEAD TO A WARMING TREND ACROSS
THE AREA FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM IS
THEN PROGGED BY THE MODEL ENSEMBLES TO MOVE ACROSS CALIFORNIA ON
SATURDAY. CONFIDENCE IN IT BRINGING PRECIPITATION TO THE AREA
REMAINS LOW AT THIS TIME.

&&

.AVIATION...
WIND GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY FROM
00Z TO 12Z TUESDAY. GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS ARE LIKELY AROUND THE KERN
COUNTY MOUNTAIN PASSES THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY. AREAS OF MVFR CEILINGS
ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE WEST SLOPES OF THE SIERRA AND THE NORTH
FACING SLOPES OF THE TEHACHAPI MOUNTAINS FROM 06Z TO 18Z TUESDAY.
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
INTERIOR DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
NONE.

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS MEDIUM.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS LOW.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 10-20       94:1927     56:1941     59:2012     35:1949
KFAT 10-21       93:2003     58:1941     60:1992     34:1949
KFAT 10-22       92:1948     63:2012     64:1982     35:1961

KBFL 10-20       97:1927     60:1910     63:1978     33:1908
KBFL 10-21       94:2003     62:2004     65:1976     32:1906
KBFL 10-22       95:1901     63:1985     65:1982     37:1920
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...MENDENHALL
AVN/FW...DCH
PREV DISCUSSION...99
SYNOPSIS...WP

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD




000
FXUS66 KHNX 202151
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
251 PM PDT MON OCT 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A COOLING TREND WILL OCCUR TONIGHT AND TUESDAY WITH BREEZY
CONDITIONS LIKELY THIS EVENING ALONG THE WEST SIDE OF THE SAN
JOAQUIN VALLEY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL RETURN FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
WEEK WITH DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUING AND TEMPERATURES WARMING TO
ABOVE NORMAL BY FRIDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
THE LEADING EDGE OF A BAND OF CLOUD COVER ASSOCIATED WITH AN
APPROACHING COLD FRONT WAS JUST REACHING THE WESTERN EDGE OF
MERCED COUNTY AS AS 230 PM. WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT ACROSS NORCAL
HAVE BEEN LESS THAN 15 KTS. THE HRRR HAD BEEN PROGGING GUSTS TO
NEARLY 30 KTS THIS EVENING IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY AS THE FRONT
MOVES THROUGH. THE LATEST RUN HAS BACKED OFF TO GUSTS OF ONLY
AROUND 25 KTS THOUGH...AND KEEPS ANY GUSTS ABOVE 20 KTS NORTH OF
KERN COUNTY. THERE IS STILL A CONCERN THAT ANY SUBSTANTIAL
INCREASE IN WINDS THIS EVENING COULD PRODUCE BLOWING DUST ALONG
THE INTERSTATE 5 CORRIDOR. WILL CONTINUE TO ADVERTISE THE POSSIBILITY
VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

HAVE LEFT SLIGHT CHANCE POPS IN PLACE NEAR YOSEMITE TONIGHT AS
MOST OF THE ENERGY FROM THE SYSTEM MOVES NORTH OF OUR AREA AND
INTO NEVADA. HAVE ALSO KEPT THE POSSIBILITY OF LIGHT DRIZZLE IN
THE EXTREME SOUTHERN END OF THE VALLEY AND THE NORTH FACING SLOPES FROM
MOUNT PINOS TO TEJON RANCH DUE TO UPSLOPE CLOUDINESS LATE TONIGHT
AND TUESDAY MORNING.

LATEST GUIDANCE HAS ALSO BACKED OFF A LITTLE ON THE AMOUNT OF POST
FRONTAL COOLING FOR TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES ARE NOW EXPECTED TO ONLY
FALL ABOUT 3 TO 5 DEG F...WITH MOST OF THE VALLEY IN THE MID 70S
ON TUESDAY.

WEAK RIDGING AFTER THIS SYSTEM WILL LEAD TO A WARMING TREND ACROSS
THE AREA FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM IS
THEN PROGGED BY THE MODEL ENSEMBLES TO MOVE ACROSS CALIFORNIA ON
SATURDAY. CONFIDENCE IN IT BRINGING PRECIPITATION TO THE AREA
REMAINS LOW AT THIS TIME.

&&

.AVIATION...
WIND GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY FROM
00Z TO 12Z TUESDAY. GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS ARE LIKELY AROUND THE KERN
COUNTY MOUNTAIN PASSES THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY. AREAS OF MVFR CEILINGS
ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE WEST SLOPES OF THE SIERRA AND THE NORTH
FACING SLOPES OF THE TEHACHAPI MOUNTAINS FROM 06Z TO 18Z TUESDAY.
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
INTERIOR DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
NONE.

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS MEDIUM.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS LOW.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 10-20       94:1927     56:1941     59:2012     35:1949
KFAT 10-21       93:2003     58:1941     60:1992     34:1949
KFAT 10-22       92:1948     63:2012     64:1982     35:1961

KBFL 10-20       97:1927     60:1910     63:1978     33:1908
KBFL 10-21       94:2003     62:2004     65:1976     32:1906
KBFL 10-22       95:1901     63:1985     65:1982     37:1920
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...MENDENHALL
AVN/FW...DCH
PREV DISCUSSION...99
SYNOPSIS...WP

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD





000
FXUS66 KHNX 201012
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED AVIATION SECTION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
251 AM PDT MON OCT 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A COOLING TREND WILL OCCUR TONIGHT AND TUESDAY WITH BREEZY WINDS
LIKELY THIS EVENING ALONG THE WEST SIDE OF THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL RETURN FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK WITH DRY
CONDITIONS CONTINUING AND TEMPERATURES WARMING TO ABOVE NORMAL BY
FRIDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
FRONT JUST OFF THE CENTRAL CA COAST IS EXPECTED TO PUSH THROUGH
THE REGION THIS EVENING. NO MEASURABLE PRECIP IS EXPECTED WITH
THIS FEATURE AS IT QUICKLY MOVES THROUGH BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE LATER THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE
WEST SIDE OF THE SJV AND IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. SOME CLOUDS
LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT WILL BANK UP ALONG THE EAST
SIDE OF THE SJV AND DOWN INTO THE SOUTH END OF THE SJV OVER KERN
CO VALLEY. THE NAM IS ONCE AGAIN TRYING TO PAINT SOME POPS OVER
THE SOUTH END...BUT WILL NOT BUY OFF ON IT THIS TIME SINCE IT DID
NOT PAN OUT LAST TIME. WILL MENTION SOME SPRINKLES POSSIBLE.

NICE COOL DAY ON TUESDAY AS TEMPS FALL OFF BEHIND THE FRONT.
HOWEVER THEY WILL BE SHORT LIVED AS A WEAK UPPER RIDGE WILL SLOWLY
BUILD NORTH OVER THE AREA FROM SOCAL WED AND CONTINUE THROUGH
FRIDAY WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS AND DRY CONDITIONS.

GUIDANCE HAS CHANGED OVER THE PAST FEW RUNS WITH A LOW CONFIDENCE
TROUGH EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION ON SATURDAY. WE HAVE
INTRODUCED SLIGHT CHANCE POPS ACROSS THE CENTRAL SJV NORTH OF
FRESNO CO ON SAT. RIGHT NOW QPF LOOKS VERY LIGHT. AGAIN CONFIDENCE
IS LOW FOR THIS EVENT. WEAK RIDGE BUILDS BACK ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY
WITH DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS RETURNING.

&&

.AVIATION...MOUNTAIN OBCURATIONS DEVELOPING ALONG THE NORTHWEST
FACING SLOPES OF THE TEHACHAPI MOUNTAINS 09-12Z TUESDAY. OTHERWISE
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE CENTRAL CA INTERIOR DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
NONE.

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS MEDIUM.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS LOW.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 10-20       94:1927     56:1941     59:2012     35:1949
KFAT 10-21       93:2003     58:1941     60:1992     34:1949
KFAT 10-22       92:1948     63:2012     64:1982     35:1961

KBFL 10-20       97:1927     60:1910     63:1978     33:1908
KBFL 10-21       94:2003     62:2004     65:1976     32:1906
KBFL 10-22       95:1901     63:1985     65:1982     37:1920
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...JDB
AVN/FW...MV
SYNOPSIS...JDB

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD




000
FXUS66 KHNX 201012
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED AVIATION SECTION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
251 AM PDT MON OCT 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A COOLING TREND WILL OCCUR TONIGHT AND TUESDAY WITH BREEZY WINDS
LIKELY THIS EVENING ALONG THE WEST SIDE OF THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL RETURN FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK WITH DRY
CONDITIONS CONTINUING AND TEMPERATURES WARMING TO ABOVE NORMAL BY
FRIDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
FRONT JUST OFF THE CENTRAL CA COAST IS EXPECTED TO PUSH THROUGH
THE REGION THIS EVENING. NO MEASURABLE PRECIP IS EXPECTED WITH
THIS FEATURE AS IT QUICKLY MOVES THROUGH BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE LATER THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE
WEST SIDE OF THE SJV AND IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. SOME CLOUDS
LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT WILL BANK UP ALONG THE EAST
SIDE OF THE SJV AND DOWN INTO THE SOUTH END OF THE SJV OVER KERN
CO VALLEY. THE NAM IS ONCE AGAIN TRYING TO PAINT SOME POPS OVER
THE SOUTH END...BUT WILL NOT BUY OFF ON IT THIS TIME SINCE IT DID
NOT PAN OUT LAST TIME. WILL MENTION SOME SPRINKLES POSSIBLE.

NICE COOL DAY ON TUESDAY AS TEMPS FALL OFF BEHIND THE FRONT.
HOWEVER THEY WILL BE SHORT LIVED AS A WEAK UPPER RIDGE WILL SLOWLY
BUILD NORTH OVER THE AREA FROM SOCAL WED AND CONTINUE THROUGH
FRIDAY WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS AND DRY CONDITIONS.

GUIDANCE HAS CHANGED OVER THE PAST FEW RUNS WITH A LOW CONFIDENCE
TROUGH EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION ON SATURDAY. WE HAVE
INTRODUCED SLIGHT CHANCE POPS ACROSS THE CENTRAL SJV NORTH OF
FRESNO CO ON SAT. RIGHT NOW QPF LOOKS VERY LIGHT. AGAIN CONFIDENCE
IS LOW FOR THIS EVENT. WEAK RIDGE BUILDS BACK ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY
WITH DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS RETURNING.

&&

.AVIATION...MOUNTAIN OBCURATIONS DEVELOPING ALONG THE NORTHWEST
FACING SLOPES OF THE TEHACHAPI MOUNTAINS 09-12Z TUESDAY. OTHERWISE
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE CENTRAL CA INTERIOR DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
NONE.

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS MEDIUM.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS LOW.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 10-20       94:1927     56:1941     59:2012     35:1949
KFAT 10-21       93:2003     58:1941     60:1992     34:1949
KFAT 10-22       92:1948     63:2012     64:1982     35:1961

KBFL 10-20       97:1927     60:1910     63:1978     33:1908
KBFL 10-21       94:2003     62:2004     65:1976     32:1906
KBFL 10-22       95:1901     63:1985     65:1982     37:1920
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...JDB
AVN/FW...MV
SYNOPSIS...JDB

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD




000
FXUS66 KHNX 201012
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED AVIATION SECTION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
251 AM PDT MON OCT 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A COOLING TREND WILL OCCUR TONIGHT AND TUESDAY WITH BREEZY WINDS
LIKELY THIS EVENING ALONG THE WEST SIDE OF THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL RETURN FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK WITH DRY
CONDITIONS CONTINUING AND TEMPERATURES WARMING TO ABOVE NORMAL BY
FRIDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
FRONT JUST OFF THE CENTRAL CA COAST IS EXPECTED TO PUSH THROUGH
THE REGION THIS EVENING. NO MEASURABLE PRECIP IS EXPECTED WITH
THIS FEATURE AS IT QUICKLY MOVES THROUGH BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE LATER THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE
WEST SIDE OF THE SJV AND IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. SOME CLOUDS
LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT WILL BANK UP ALONG THE EAST
SIDE OF THE SJV AND DOWN INTO THE SOUTH END OF THE SJV OVER KERN
CO VALLEY. THE NAM IS ONCE AGAIN TRYING TO PAINT SOME POPS OVER
THE SOUTH END...BUT WILL NOT BUY OFF ON IT THIS TIME SINCE IT DID
NOT PAN OUT LAST TIME. WILL MENTION SOME SPRINKLES POSSIBLE.

NICE COOL DAY ON TUESDAY AS TEMPS FALL OFF BEHIND THE FRONT.
HOWEVER THEY WILL BE SHORT LIVED AS A WEAK UPPER RIDGE WILL SLOWLY
BUILD NORTH OVER THE AREA FROM SOCAL WED AND CONTINUE THROUGH
FRIDAY WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS AND DRY CONDITIONS.

GUIDANCE HAS CHANGED OVER THE PAST FEW RUNS WITH A LOW CONFIDENCE
TROUGH EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION ON SATURDAY. WE HAVE
INTRODUCED SLIGHT CHANCE POPS ACROSS THE CENTRAL SJV NORTH OF
FRESNO CO ON SAT. RIGHT NOW QPF LOOKS VERY LIGHT. AGAIN CONFIDENCE
IS LOW FOR THIS EVENT. WEAK RIDGE BUILDS BACK ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY
WITH DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS RETURNING.

&&

.AVIATION...MOUNTAIN OBCURATIONS DEVELOPING ALONG THE NORTHWEST
FACING SLOPES OF THE TEHACHAPI MOUNTAINS 09-12Z TUESDAY. OTHERWISE
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE CENTRAL CA INTERIOR DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
NONE.

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS MEDIUM.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS LOW.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 10-20       94:1927     56:1941     59:2012     35:1949
KFAT 10-21       93:2003     58:1941     60:1992     34:1949
KFAT 10-22       92:1948     63:2012     64:1982     35:1961

KBFL 10-20       97:1927     60:1910     63:1978     33:1908
KBFL 10-21       94:2003     62:2004     65:1976     32:1906
KBFL 10-22       95:1901     63:1985     65:1982     37:1920
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...JDB
AVN/FW...MV
SYNOPSIS...JDB

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD





000
FXUS66 KHNX 200951
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
251 AM PDT MON OCT 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A COOLING TREND WILL OCCUR TONIGHT AND TUESDAY WITH BREEZY WINDS
LIKELY THIS EVENING ALONG THE WEST SIDE OF THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL RETURN FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK WITH DRY
CONDITIONS CONTINUING AND TEMPERATURES WARMING TO ABOVE NORMAL BY
FRIDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
FRONT JUST OFF THE CENTRAL CA COAST IS EXPECTED TO PUSH THROUGH
THE REGION THIS EVENING. NO MEASURABLE PRECIP IS EXPECTED WITH
THIS FEATURE AS IT QUICKLY MOVES THROUGH BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE LATER THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE
WEST SIDE OF THE SJV AND IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. SOME CLOUDS
LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT WILL BANK UP ALONG THE EAST
SIDE OF THE SJV AND DOWN INTO THE SOUTH END OF THE SJV OVER KERN
CO VALLEY. THE NAM IS ONCE AGAIN TRYING TO PAINT SOME POPS OVER
THE SOUTH END...BUT WILL NOT BUY OFF ON IT THIS TIME SINCE IT DID
NOT PAN OUT LAST TIME. WILL MENTION SOME SPRINKLES POSSIBLE.

NICE COOL DAY ON TUESDAY AS TEMPS FALL OFF BEHIND THE FRONT.
HOWEVER THEY WILL BE SHORT LIVED AS A WEAK UPPER RIDGE WILL SLOWLY
BUILD NORTH OVER THE AREA FROM SOCAL WED AND CONTINUE THROUGH
FRIDAY WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS AND DRY CONDITIONS.

GUIDANCE HAS CHANGED OVER THE PAST FEW RUNS WITH A LOW CONFIDENCE
TROUGH EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION ON SATURDAY. WE HAVE
INTRODUCED SLIGHT CHANCE POPS ACROSS THE CENTRAL SJV NORTH OF
FRESNO CO ON SAT. RIGHT NOW QPF LOOKS VERY LIGHT. AGAIN CONFIDENCE
IS LOW FOR THIS EVENT. WEAK RIDGE BUILDS BACK ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY
WITH DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS RETURNING.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE CENTRAL CA INTERIOR DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
NONE.

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS MEDIUM.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS LOW.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 10-20       94:1927     56:1941     59:2012     35:1949
KFAT 10-21       93:2003     58:1941     60:1992     34:1949
KFAT 10-22       92:1948     63:2012     64:1982     35:1961

KBFL 10-20       97:1927     60:1910     63:1978     33:1908
KBFL 10-21       94:2003     62:2004     65:1976     32:1906
KBFL 10-22       95:1901     63:1985     65:1982     37:1920
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...JDB
AVN/FW...MV
SYNOPSIS...JDB

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD





000
FXUS66 KHNX 200951
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
251 AM PDT MON OCT 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A COOLING TREND WILL OCCUR TONIGHT AND TUESDAY WITH BREEZY WINDS
LIKELY THIS EVENING ALONG THE WEST SIDE OF THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL RETURN FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK WITH DRY
CONDITIONS CONTINUING AND TEMPERATURES WARMING TO ABOVE NORMAL BY
FRIDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
FRONT JUST OFF THE CENTRAL CA COAST IS EXPECTED TO PUSH THROUGH
THE REGION THIS EVENING. NO MEASURABLE PRECIP IS EXPECTED WITH
THIS FEATURE AS IT QUICKLY MOVES THROUGH BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE LATER THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE
WEST SIDE OF THE SJV AND IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. SOME CLOUDS
LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT WILL BANK UP ALONG THE EAST
SIDE OF THE SJV AND DOWN INTO THE SOUTH END OF THE SJV OVER KERN
CO VALLEY. THE NAM IS ONCE AGAIN TRYING TO PAINT SOME POPS OVER
THE SOUTH END...BUT WILL NOT BUY OFF ON IT THIS TIME SINCE IT DID
NOT PAN OUT LAST TIME. WILL MENTION SOME SPRINKLES POSSIBLE.

NICE COOL DAY ON TUESDAY AS TEMPS FALL OFF BEHIND THE FRONT.
HOWEVER THEY WILL BE SHORT LIVED AS A WEAK UPPER RIDGE WILL SLOWLY
BUILD NORTH OVER THE AREA FROM SOCAL WED AND CONTINUE THROUGH
FRIDAY WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS AND DRY CONDITIONS.

GUIDANCE HAS CHANGED OVER THE PAST FEW RUNS WITH A LOW CONFIDENCE
TROUGH EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION ON SATURDAY. WE HAVE
INTRODUCED SLIGHT CHANCE POPS ACROSS THE CENTRAL SJV NORTH OF
FRESNO CO ON SAT. RIGHT NOW QPF LOOKS VERY LIGHT. AGAIN CONFIDENCE
IS LOW FOR THIS EVENT. WEAK RIDGE BUILDS BACK ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY
WITH DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS RETURNING.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE CENTRAL CA INTERIOR DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
NONE.

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS MEDIUM.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS LOW.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 10-20       94:1927     56:1941     59:2012     35:1949
KFAT 10-21       93:2003     58:1941     60:1992     34:1949
KFAT 10-22       92:1948     63:2012     64:1982     35:1961

KBFL 10-20       97:1927     60:1910     63:1978     33:1908
KBFL 10-21       94:2003     62:2004     65:1976     32:1906
KBFL 10-22       95:1901     63:1985     65:1982     37:1920
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...JDB
AVN/FW...MV
SYNOPSIS...JDB

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD




000
FXUS66 KHNX 200951
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
251 AM PDT MON OCT 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A COOLING TREND WILL OCCUR TONIGHT AND TUESDAY WITH BREEZY WINDS
LIKELY THIS EVENING ALONG THE WEST SIDE OF THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL RETURN FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK WITH DRY
CONDITIONS CONTINUING AND TEMPERATURES WARMING TO ABOVE NORMAL BY
FRIDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
FRONT JUST OFF THE CENTRAL CA COAST IS EXPECTED TO PUSH THROUGH
THE REGION THIS EVENING. NO MEASURABLE PRECIP IS EXPECTED WITH
THIS FEATURE AS IT QUICKLY MOVES THROUGH BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE LATER THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE
WEST SIDE OF THE SJV AND IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. SOME CLOUDS
LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT WILL BANK UP ALONG THE EAST
SIDE OF THE SJV AND DOWN INTO THE SOUTH END OF THE SJV OVER KERN
CO VALLEY. THE NAM IS ONCE AGAIN TRYING TO PAINT SOME POPS OVER
THE SOUTH END...BUT WILL NOT BUY OFF ON IT THIS TIME SINCE IT DID
NOT PAN OUT LAST TIME. WILL MENTION SOME SPRINKLES POSSIBLE.

NICE COOL DAY ON TUESDAY AS TEMPS FALL OFF BEHIND THE FRONT.
HOWEVER THEY WILL BE SHORT LIVED AS A WEAK UPPER RIDGE WILL SLOWLY
BUILD NORTH OVER THE AREA FROM SOCAL WED AND CONTINUE THROUGH
FRIDAY WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS AND DRY CONDITIONS.

GUIDANCE HAS CHANGED OVER THE PAST FEW RUNS WITH A LOW CONFIDENCE
TROUGH EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION ON SATURDAY. WE HAVE
INTRODUCED SLIGHT CHANCE POPS ACROSS THE CENTRAL SJV NORTH OF
FRESNO CO ON SAT. RIGHT NOW QPF LOOKS VERY LIGHT. AGAIN CONFIDENCE
IS LOW FOR THIS EVENT. WEAK RIDGE BUILDS BACK ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY
WITH DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS RETURNING.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE CENTRAL CA INTERIOR DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
NONE.

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS MEDIUM.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS LOW.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 10-20       94:1927     56:1941     59:2012     35:1949
KFAT 10-21       93:2003     58:1941     60:1992     34:1949
KFAT 10-22       92:1948     63:2012     64:1982     35:1961

KBFL 10-20       97:1927     60:1910     63:1978     33:1908
KBFL 10-21       94:2003     62:2004     65:1976     32:1906
KBFL 10-22       95:1901     63:1985     65:1982     37:1920
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...JDB
AVN/FW...MV
SYNOPSIS...JDB

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD




000
FXUS66 KHNX 200951
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
251 AM PDT MON OCT 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A COOLING TREND WILL OCCUR TONIGHT AND TUESDAY WITH BREEZY WINDS
LIKELY THIS EVENING ALONG THE WEST SIDE OF THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL RETURN FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK WITH DRY
CONDITIONS CONTINUING AND TEMPERATURES WARMING TO ABOVE NORMAL BY
FRIDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
FRONT JUST OFF THE CENTRAL CA COAST IS EXPECTED TO PUSH THROUGH
THE REGION THIS EVENING. NO MEASURABLE PRECIP IS EXPECTED WITH
THIS FEATURE AS IT QUICKLY MOVES THROUGH BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE LATER THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE
WEST SIDE OF THE SJV AND IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. SOME CLOUDS
LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT WILL BANK UP ALONG THE EAST
SIDE OF THE SJV AND DOWN INTO THE SOUTH END OF THE SJV OVER KERN
CO VALLEY. THE NAM IS ONCE AGAIN TRYING TO PAINT SOME POPS OVER
THE SOUTH END...BUT WILL NOT BUY OFF ON IT THIS TIME SINCE IT DID
NOT PAN OUT LAST TIME. WILL MENTION SOME SPRINKLES POSSIBLE.

NICE COOL DAY ON TUESDAY AS TEMPS FALL OFF BEHIND THE FRONT.
HOWEVER THEY WILL BE SHORT LIVED AS A WEAK UPPER RIDGE WILL SLOWLY
BUILD NORTH OVER THE AREA FROM SOCAL WED AND CONTINUE THROUGH
FRIDAY WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS AND DRY CONDITIONS.

GUIDANCE HAS CHANGED OVER THE PAST FEW RUNS WITH A LOW CONFIDENCE
TROUGH EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION ON SATURDAY. WE HAVE
INTRODUCED SLIGHT CHANCE POPS ACROSS THE CENTRAL SJV NORTH OF
FRESNO CO ON SAT. RIGHT NOW QPF LOOKS VERY LIGHT. AGAIN CONFIDENCE
IS LOW FOR THIS EVENT. WEAK RIDGE BUILDS BACK ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY
WITH DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS RETURNING.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE CENTRAL CA INTERIOR DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
NONE.

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS MEDIUM.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS LOW.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 10-20       94:1927     56:1941     59:2012     35:1949
KFAT 10-21       93:2003     58:1941     60:1992     34:1949
KFAT 10-22       92:1948     63:2012     64:1982     35:1961

KBFL 10-20       97:1927     60:1910     63:1978     33:1908
KBFL 10-21       94:2003     62:2004     65:1976     32:1906
KBFL 10-22       95:1901     63:1985     65:1982     37:1920
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...JDB
AVN/FW...MV
SYNOPSIS...JDB

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD





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