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000
FXUS66 KHNX 312115
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
215 PM PDT MON AUG 31 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
DRY WEATHER CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA INTERIOR
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. TEMPERATURES WILL AVERAGE SLIGHTLY
BELOW NORMAL FOR MUCH OF THIS WEEK AS ONSHORE FLOW PREVAILS. GUSTY
WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE KERN COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND DESERT EACH
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
AT 1734Z /1034 PDT/ THIS MORNING...THE MARINE LAYER AT FORT ORD HAD
LOWERED TO AS DEPTH OF 1600 FEET. LIGHT WINDS AT TRAVIS AFB INDICATE
THAT THE INFLUX OF MARINE AIR THROUGH THE SACRAMENTO DELTA INTO THE
SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY HAD ENDED...AND THE 24-HOUR TREND AT 18Z /1100
PDT/ WAS SHOWING TEMPERATURES IN THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN SAN
JOAQUIN VALLEY UP A DEGREE OR TWO OVER 18Z SUNDAY...INDICATING THAT
THE MARINE AIR HAS BEGUN TO MIX OUT.

A WEAK TROUGH CONTINUES OVER CALIFORNIA TODAY...BUT THE SHORT-WAVE
THAT BROUGHT THE COLD FRONT THROUGH OVER THE WEEKEND HAD MOVED EAST
OF THE STATE. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL THROUGH
TUESDAY WITH LIGHT WINDS.

THE 12Z MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT WITH A FASTER TIMING WITH THE NEXT
ENERGY DROPPING INTO THE TROUGH...WHICH IS NOW FORECAST TO BEGIN
DEEPENING TUESDAY NIGHT. THIS BRINGS THE NEXT COLD FRONT THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING WITH AN EARLIER ONSET OF GUSTY WINDS ON THE WEST
SIDE OF THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY. WITH ANOTHER PUSH OF MARINE AIR INTO
THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY...TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY WILL BE SEVERAL
DEGREES COOLER THAN TUESDAY AND MORE LIKE SUNDAY...IN THE MID 80S TO
AROUND 90.

ANOTHER SHORT-WAVE DROPS INTO THE TROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT AS AN UPPER-
LEVEL LOW MOVES INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. AT THIS POINT THE GFS
AND ECMWF BEGIN TO DIVERGE...WITH THE GFS MORE PROGRESSIVE THAN THE
ECMWF. IN ADDITION TO MOVING THE TROUGH SLOWER...THE ECMWF ALSO IS
DEEPER WITH THE TROUGH OVER CALIFORNIA.

THE LOW IS FORECAST TO LIFT NORTHEAST INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES
SUNDAY...PULLING THE TROUGH EAST OF REGION. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR SOME
WARMING FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE LABOR DAY HOLIDAY WEEKEND...WITH
TEMPERATURES RETURNING TO NEAR NORMAL.

THE 12Z GFS IS DRY FOR BOTH THE 850-700-MB AND 700-500-MB LAYERS
THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. WHILE A FEW CUMULUS ARE POSSIBLE OVER
THE SOUTHERN SIERRA NEVADA IN AFTERNOONS AND EVENINGS...THE
FORECAST IS DRY FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS.

&&

.AVIATION...
AREAS OF MVFR AND LOCAL IFR VISIBILITIES CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE
FOOTHILLS AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE SOUTHERN SIERRA NEVADA DUE TO
SMOKE. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE CENTRAL CA
INTERIOR DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
NONE.

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 08-31      107:2007     69:1964     75:2007     50:1887
KFAT 09-01      107:1888     73:1964     76:2007     51:1964
KFAT 09-02      108:1955     76:2000     77:1998     48:1964

KBFL 08-31      111:1967     79:1966     80:2007     45:1912
KBFL 09-01      107:1902     74:1964     79:2007     53:1901
KBFL 09-02      110:1955     74:1910     78:1998     50:1913

&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...SANGER
AVN/FW...DS
SYNOPSIS...ROWE

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD





000
FXUS66 KHNX 312115
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
215 PM PDT MON AUG 31 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
DRY WEATHER CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA INTERIOR
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. TEMPERATURES WILL AVERAGE SLIGHTLY
BELOW NORMAL FOR MUCH OF THIS WEEK AS ONSHORE FLOW PREVAILS. GUSTY
WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE KERN COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND DESERT EACH
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
AT 1734Z /1034 PDT/ THIS MORNING...THE MARINE LAYER AT FORT ORD HAD
LOWERED TO AS DEPTH OF 1600 FEET. LIGHT WINDS AT TRAVIS AFB INDICATE
THAT THE INFLUX OF MARINE AIR THROUGH THE SACRAMENTO DELTA INTO THE
SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY HAD ENDED...AND THE 24-HOUR TREND AT 18Z /1100
PDT/ WAS SHOWING TEMPERATURES IN THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN SAN
JOAQUIN VALLEY UP A DEGREE OR TWO OVER 18Z SUNDAY...INDICATING THAT
THE MARINE AIR HAS BEGUN TO MIX OUT.

A WEAK TROUGH CONTINUES OVER CALIFORNIA TODAY...BUT THE SHORT-WAVE
THAT BROUGHT THE COLD FRONT THROUGH OVER THE WEEKEND HAD MOVED EAST
OF THE STATE. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL THROUGH
TUESDAY WITH LIGHT WINDS.

THE 12Z MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT WITH A FASTER TIMING WITH THE NEXT
ENERGY DROPPING INTO THE TROUGH...WHICH IS NOW FORECAST TO BEGIN
DEEPENING TUESDAY NIGHT. THIS BRINGS THE NEXT COLD FRONT THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING WITH AN EARLIER ONSET OF GUSTY WINDS ON THE WEST
SIDE OF THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY. WITH ANOTHER PUSH OF MARINE AIR INTO
THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY...TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY WILL BE SEVERAL
DEGREES COOLER THAN TUESDAY AND MORE LIKE SUNDAY...IN THE MID 80S TO
AROUND 90.

ANOTHER SHORT-WAVE DROPS INTO THE TROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT AS AN UPPER-
LEVEL LOW MOVES INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. AT THIS POINT THE GFS
AND ECMWF BEGIN TO DIVERGE...WITH THE GFS MORE PROGRESSIVE THAN THE
ECMWF. IN ADDITION TO MOVING THE TROUGH SLOWER...THE ECMWF ALSO IS
DEEPER WITH THE TROUGH OVER CALIFORNIA.

THE LOW IS FORECAST TO LIFT NORTHEAST INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES
SUNDAY...PULLING THE TROUGH EAST OF REGION. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR SOME
WARMING FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE LABOR DAY HOLIDAY WEEKEND...WITH
TEMPERATURES RETURNING TO NEAR NORMAL.

THE 12Z GFS IS DRY FOR BOTH THE 850-700-MB AND 700-500-MB LAYERS
THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. WHILE A FEW CUMULUS ARE POSSIBLE OVER
THE SOUTHERN SIERRA NEVADA IN AFTERNOONS AND EVENINGS...THE
FORECAST IS DRY FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS.

&&

.AVIATION...
AREAS OF MVFR AND LOCAL IFR VISIBILITIES CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE
FOOTHILLS AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE SOUTHERN SIERRA NEVADA DUE TO
SMOKE. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE CENTRAL CA
INTERIOR DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
NONE.

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 08-31      107:2007     69:1964     75:2007     50:1887
KFAT 09-01      107:1888     73:1964     76:2007     51:1964
KFAT 09-02      108:1955     76:2000     77:1998     48:1964

KBFL 08-31      111:1967     79:1966     80:2007     45:1912
KBFL 09-01      107:1902     74:1964     79:2007     53:1901
KBFL 09-02      110:1955     74:1910     78:1998     50:1913

&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...SANGER
AVN/FW...DS
SYNOPSIS...ROWE

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD




000
FXUS66 KHNX 312115
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
215 PM PDT MON AUG 31 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
DRY WEATHER CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA INTERIOR
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. TEMPERATURES WILL AVERAGE SLIGHTLY
BELOW NORMAL FOR MUCH OF THIS WEEK AS ONSHORE FLOW PREVAILS. GUSTY
WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE KERN COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND DESERT EACH
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
AT 1734Z /1034 PDT/ THIS MORNING...THE MARINE LAYER AT FORT ORD HAD
LOWERED TO AS DEPTH OF 1600 FEET. LIGHT WINDS AT TRAVIS AFB INDICATE
THAT THE INFLUX OF MARINE AIR THROUGH THE SACRAMENTO DELTA INTO THE
SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY HAD ENDED...AND THE 24-HOUR TREND AT 18Z /1100
PDT/ WAS SHOWING TEMPERATURES IN THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN SAN
JOAQUIN VALLEY UP A DEGREE OR TWO OVER 18Z SUNDAY...INDICATING THAT
THE MARINE AIR HAS BEGUN TO MIX OUT.

A WEAK TROUGH CONTINUES OVER CALIFORNIA TODAY...BUT THE SHORT-WAVE
THAT BROUGHT THE COLD FRONT THROUGH OVER THE WEEKEND HAD MOVED EAST
OF THE STATE. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL THROUGH
TUESDAY WITH LIGHT WINDS.

THE 12Z MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT WITH A FASTER TIMING WITH THE NEXT
ENERGY DROPPING INTO THE TROUGH...WHICH IS NOW FORECAST TO BEGIN
DEEPENING TUESDAY NIGHT. THIS BRINGS THE NEXT COLD FRONT THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING WITH AN EARLIER ONSET OF GUSTY WINDS ON THE WEST
SIDE OF THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY. WITH ANOTHER PUSH OF MARINE AIR INTO
THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY...TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY WILL BE SEVERAL
DEGREES COOLER THAN TUESDAY AND MORE LIKE SUNDAY...IN THE MID 80S TO
AROUND 90.

ANOTHER SHORT-WAVE DROPS INTO THE TROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT AS AN UPPER-
LEVEL LOW MOVES INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. AT THIS POINT THE GFS
AND ECMWF BEGIN TO DIVERGE...WITH THE GFS MORE PROGRESSIVE THAN THE
ECMWF. IN ADDITION TO MOVING THE TROUGH SLOWER...THE ECMWF ALSO IS
DEEPER WITH THE TROUGH OVER CALIFORNIA.

THE LOW IS FORECAST TO LIFT NORTHEAST INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES
SUNDAY...PULLING THE TROUGH EAST OF REGION. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR SOME
WARMING FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE LABOR DAY HOLIDAY WEEKEND...WITH
TEMPERATURES RETURNING TO NEAR NORMAL.

THE 12Z GFS IS DRY FOR BOTH THE 850-700-MB AND 700-500-MB LAYERS
THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. WHILE A FEW CUMULUS ARE POSSIBLE OVER
THE SOUTHERN SIERRA NEVADA IN AFTERNOONS AND EVENINGS...THE
FORECAST IS DRY FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS.

&&

.AVIATION...
AREAS OF MVFR AND LOCAL IFR VISIBILITIES CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE
FOOTHILLS AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE SOUTHERN SIERRA NEVADA DUE TO
SMOKE. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE CENTRAL CA
INTERIOR DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
NONE.

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 08-31      107:2007     69:1964     75:2007     50:1887
KFAT 09-01      107:1888     73:1964     76:2007     51:1964
KFAT 09-02      108:1955     76:2000     77:1998     48:1964

KBFL 08-31      111:1967     79:1966     80:2007     45:1912
KBFL 09-01      107:1902     74:1964     79:2007     53:1901
KBFL 09-02      110:1955     74:1910     78:1998     50:1913

&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...SANGER
AVN/FW...DS
SYNOPSIS...ROWE

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD




000
FXUS66 KHNX 312115
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
215 PM PDT MON AUG 31 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
DRY WEATHER CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA INTERIOR
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. TEMPERATURES WILL AVERAGE SLIGHTLY
BELOW NORMAL FOR MUCH OF THIS WEEK AS ONSHORE FLOW PREVAILS. GUSTY
WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE KERN COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND DESERT EACH
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
AT 1734Z /1034 PDT/ THIS MORNING...THE MARINE LAYER AT FORT ORD HAD
LOWERED TO AS DEPTH OF 1600 FEET. LIGHT WINDS AT TRAVIS AFB INDICATE
THAT THE INFLUX OF MARINE AIR THROUGH THE SACRAMENTO DELTA INTO THE
SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY HAD ENDED...AND THE 24-HOUR TREND AT 18Z /1100
PDT/ WAS SHOWING TEMPERATURES IN THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN SAN
JOAQUIN VALLEY UP A DEGREE OR TWO OVER 18Z SUNDAY...INDICATING THAT
THE MARINE AIR HAS BEGUN TO MIX OUT.

A WEAK TROUGH CONTINUES OVER CALIFORNIA TODAY...BUT THE SHORT-WAVE
THAT BROUGHT THE COLD FRONT THROUGH OVER THE WEEKEND HAD MOVED EAST
OF THE STATE. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL THROUGH
TUESDAY WITH LIGHT WINDS.

THE 12Z MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT WITH A FASTER TIMING WITH THE NEXT
ENERGY DROPPING INTO THE TROUGH...WHICH IS NOW FORECAST TO BEGIN
DEEPENING TUESDAY NIGHT. THIS BRINGS THE NEXT COLD FRONT THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING WITH AN EARLIER ONSET OF GUSTY WINDS ON THE WEST
SIDE OF THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY. WITH ANOTHER PUSH OF MARINE AIR INTO
THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY...TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY WILL BE SEVERAL
DEGREES COOLER THAN TUESDAY AND MORE LIKE SUNDAY...IN THE MID 80S TO
AROUND 90.

ANOTHER SHORT-WAVE DROPS INTO THE TROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT AS AN UPPER-
LEVEL LOW MOVES INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. AT THIS POINT THE GFS
AND ECMWF BEGIN TO DIVERGE...WITH THE GFS MORE PROGRESSIVE THAN THE
ECMWF. IN ADDITION TO MOVING THE TROUGH SLOWER...THE ECMWF ALSO IS
DEEPER WITH THE TROUGH OVER CALIFORNIA.

THE LOW IS FORECAST TO LIFT NORTHEAST INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES
SUNDAY...PULLING THE TROUGH EAST OF REGION. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR SOME
WARMING FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE LABOR DAY HOLIDAY WEEKEND...WITH
TEMPERATURES RETURNING TO NEAR NORMAL.

THE 12Z GFS IS DRY FOR BOTH THE 850-700-MB AND 700-500-MB LAYERS
THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. WHILE A FEW CUMULUS ARE POSSIBLE OVER
THE SOUTHERN SIERRA NEVADA IN AFTERNOONS AND EVENINGS...THE
FORECAST IS DRY FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS.

&&

.AVIATION...
AREAS OF MVFR AND LOCAL IFR VISIBILITIES CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE
FOOTHILLS AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE SOUTHERN SIERRA NEVADA DUE TO
SMOKE. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE CENTRAL CA
INTERIOR DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
NONE.

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 08-31      107:2007     69:1964     75:2007     50:1887
KFAT 09-01      107:1888     73:1964     76:2007     51:1964
KFAT 09-02      108:1955     76:2000     77:1998     48:1964

KBFL 08-31      111:1967     79:1966     80:2007     45:1912
KBFL 09-01      107:1902     74:1964     79:2007     53:1901
KBFL 09-02      110:1955     74:1910     78:1998     50:1913

&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...SANGER
AVN/FW...DS
SYNOPSIS...ROWE

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD





000
FXUS66 KHNX 311055
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
345 AM PDT MON AUG 31 2015

.SYNOPSIS... DRY WEATHER CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA INTERIOR FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. TEMPERATURES
WILL AVERAGE SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL FOR MUCH OF THIS WEEK AS
AN ONSHORE FLOW PREVAILS. GUSTY WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE
KERN COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND DESERT EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

&&

.DISCUSSION...SKIES ARE MAINLY CLEAR OVER THE CENTRAL CA INTERIOR
THIS MORNING AND TEMPERATURES ARE CERTAINLY COOLER THAN 24 HOURS
AGO IN MOST LOCALES WITH 24-HR TRENDS CURRENTLY DOWN 3 TO 13
DEGREES. ALTHOUGH SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENTS BETWEEN SFO AND LAS
ARE DOWN A FEW MILLIBARS COMPARED TO SUNDAY MORNING...A HEALTHY
ONSHORE FLOW PERSISTS OVER THE CWA. LOW STRATUS THAT WAS PRESENT
ALONG THE CENTRAL CA COAST SUNDAY MORNING IS MOSTLY NONEXISTENT
AS OF THIS WRITING ON CURRENT SATELLITE IMAGERY. NONETHELESS...
MARINE AIR WILL REMAIN POOLED IN THE SJ VLY TODAY AND WITH A
PERSISTENT ONSHORE FLOW...HIGH TEMPS IN THE SJ VLY AND LOWER
FOOTHILLS WILL FALL SHY OF SEASONAL NORMALS AGAIN TODAY. ABOVE
THE MARINE LAYER...THERE WILL BE A FEW DEGREES OF SYNOPTIC WARMING
TODAY WITH MAX TEMPS ENDING UP SLIGHTLY HIGHER OVER THE MOUNTAINS
AND DESERT COMPARED TO SUNDAY.

A MINOR WARMUP IS LIKELY OVER THE ENTIRE CWA TUESDAY AS AN UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST BUILDS WESTWARD.
THE WARMUP WILL BE RATHER SHORT-LIVED AND WILL BE REVERSED BY
THE PASSAGE OF A DRY COLD FRONT ACROSS CENTRAL CA WEDNESDAY
EVENING AND NIGHT. PRIOR TO ITS ARRIVAL...WEDNESDAY COULD BE
EQUALLY AS WARM AS TUESDAY OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF OUR CWA
WHILE NORTHERNMOST AREAS BECOME MORE INFLUENCED BY AN INCREASE IN
ONSHORE FLOW AND THE SPILLAGE OF MARINE AIR THROUGH THE SAC DELTA.

A DEEPENING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE PAC NW DURING THE MIDDLE
OF THIS WEEK WILL BRING A RETURN OF A ROBUST ONSHORE FLOW ACROSS
THE CWA FROM LATE WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. DURING THIS
TIME...WEST WINDS WILL BECOME GUSTY AGAIN THROUGH AND BELOW THE
MOUNTAIN PASSES ALONG THE WEST SIDE OF THE SJ VLY AND IN KERN
COUNTY. MAX TEMPS THURSDAY WILL PROBABLY REMAIN BELOW 90 DEGREES
THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THE SJ VLY AND LOWER FOOTHILLS THANKS TO A
RETURN INFILTRATION OF MARINE AIR WHICH WILL LIKELY REMAIN POOLED
IN THE SJ VLY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THE DETERMINISTIC MODEL RUNS DIVERGE IN THE 5 TO 7 DAY PERIOD.
THE ECM DEEPENS THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER CA WHILE THE GFS SHOWS
FLAT RIDGING ALOFT. THE QUESTION AS TO WHETHER LABOR DAY WEEKEND
WILL BE COOLER OR WARMER CAN BEST BE ANSWERED BY THE ENSEMBLES
WHICH SHOWS NO DEEPENING TROUGH BUT RATHER A ZONAL FLOW ALOFT
ACROSS CENTRAL CA. THIS AGREES MORE CLOSELY TO THE GFS SOLUTION
SO WE OPTED FOR WARMING IN THE EXTENDED PERIODS...PARTICULARLY
SUNDAY AND LABOR DAY. EITHER WAY IT LOOKS AS THOUGH THE WEATHER
PATTERN WILL REMAIN BONE DRY THROUGH DAY 7.

&&

.AVIATION...
AREAS OF MVFR AND LOCAL IFR VISIBILITIES CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE
FOOTHILLS AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE SOUTHERN SIERRA NEVADA DUE
TO SMOKE. LOCAL GUSTS AROUND 35-40 KTS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH AND
BELOW THE MOUNTAIN PASSES OF KERN COUNTY THROUGH THIS EVENING.
OTHERWISE VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL OVER THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
INTERIOR DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
NONE.

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS HIGH.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 08-31      107:2007     69:1964     75:2007     50:1887
KFAT 09-01      107:1888     73:1964     76:2007     51:1964
KFAT 09-02      108:1955     76:2000     77:1998     48:1964

KBFL 08-31      111:1967     79:1966     80:2007     45:1912
KBFL 09-01      107:1902     74:1964     79:2007     53:1901
KBFL 09-02      110:1955     74:1910     78:1998     50:1913
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...DURFEE
AVN/FW...JEB
SYNOPSIS...DURFEE

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD




000
FXUS66 KHNX 311055
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
345 AM PDT MON AUG 31 2015

.SYNOPSIS... DRY WEATHER CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA INTERIOR FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. TEMPERATURES
WILL AVERAGE SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL FOR MUCH OF THIS WEEK AS
AN ONSHORE FLOW PREVAILS. GUSTY WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE
KERN COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND DESERT EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

&&

.DISCUSSION...SKIES ARE MAINLY CLEAR OVER THE CENTRAL CA INTERIOR
THIS MORNING AND TEMPERATURES ARE CERTAINLY COOLER THAN 24 HOURS
AGO IN MOST LOCALES WITH 24-HR TRENDS CURRENTLY DOWN 3 TO 13
DEGREES. ALTHOUGH SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENTS BETWEEN SFO AND LAS
ARE DOWN A FEW MILLIBARS COMPARED TO SUNDAY MORNING...A HEALTHY
ONSHORE FLOW PERSISTS OVER THE CWA. LOW STRATUS THAT WAS PRESENT
ALONG THE CENTRAL CA COAST SUNDAY MORNING IS MOSTLY NONEXISTENT
AS OF THIS WRITING ON CURRENT SATELLITE IMAGERY. NONETHELESS...
MARINE AIR WILL REMAIN POOLED IN THE SJ VLY TODAY AND WITH A
PERSISTENT ONSHORE FLOW...HIGH TEMPS IN THE SJ VLY AND LOWER
FOOTHILLS WILL FALL SHY OF SEASONAL NORMALS AGAIN TODAY. ABOVE
THE MARINE LAYER...THERE WILL BE A FEW DEGREES OF SYNOPTIC WARMING
TODAY WITH MAX TEMPS ENDING UP SLIGHTLY HIGHER OVER THE MOUNTAINS
AND DESERT COMPARED TO SUNDAY.

A MINOR WARMUP IS LIKELY OVER THE ENTIRE CWA TUESDAY AS AN UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST BUILDS WESTWARD.
THE WARMUP WILL BE RATHER SHORT-LIVED AND WILL BE REVERSED BY
THE PASSAGE OF A DRY COLD FRONT ACROSS CENTRAL CA WEDNESDAY
EVENING AND NIGHT. PRIOR TO ITS ARRIVAL...WEDNESDAY COULD BE
EQUALLY AS WARM AS TUESDAY OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF OUR CWA
WHILE NORTHERNMOST AREAS BECOME MORE INFLUENCED BY AN INCREASE IN
ONSHORE FLOW AND THE SPILLAGE OF MARINE AIR THROUGH THE SAC DELTA.

A DEEPENING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE PAC NW DURING THE MIDDLE
OF THIS WEEK WILL BRING A RETURN OF A ROBUST ONSHORE FLOW ACROSS
THE CWA FROM LATE WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. DURING THIS
TIME...WEST WINDS WILL BECOME GUSTY AGAIN THROUGH AND BELOW THE
MOUNTAIN PASSES ALONG THE WEST SIDE OF THE SJ VLY AND IN KERN
COUNTY. MAX TEMPS THURSDAY WILL PROBABLY REMAIN BELOW 90 DEGREES
THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THE SJ VLY AND LOWER FOOTHILLS THANKS TO A
RETURN INFILTRATION OF MARINE AIR WHICH WILL LIKELY REMAIN POOLED
IN THE SJ VLY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THE DETERMINISTIC MODEL RUNS DIVERGE IN THE 5 TO 7 DAY PERIOD.
THE ECM DEEPENS THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER CA WHILE THE GFS SHOWS
FLAT RIDGING ALOFT. THE QUESTION AS TO WHETHER LABOR DAY WEEKEND
WILL BE COOLER OR WARMER CAN BEST BE ANSWERED BY THE ENSEMBLES
WHICH SHOWS NO DEEPENING TROUGH BUT RATHER A ZONAL FLOW ALOFT
ACROSS CENTRAL CA. THIS AGREES MORE CLOSELY TO THE GFS SOLUTION
SO WE OPTED FOR WARMING IN THE EXTENDED PERIODS...PARTICULARLY
SUNDAY AND LABOR DAY. EITHER WAY IT LOOKS AS THOUGH THE WEATHER
PATTERN WILL REMAIN BONE DRY THROUGH DAY 7.

&&

.AVIATION...
AREAS OF MVFR AND LOCAL IFR VISIBILITIES CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE
FOOTHILLS AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE SOUTHERN SIERRA NEVADA DUE
TO SMOKE. LOCAL GUSTS AROUND 35-40 KTS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH AND
BELOW THE MOUNTAIN PASSES OF KERN COUNTY THROUGH THIS EVENING.
OTHERWISE VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL OVER THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
INTERIOR DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
NONE.

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS HIGH.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 08-31      107:2007     69:1964     75:2007     50:1887
KFAT 09-01      107:1888     73:1964     76:2007     51:1964
KFAT 09-02      108:1955     76:2000     77:1998     48:1964

KBFL 08-31      111:1967     79:1966     80:2007     45:1912
KBFL 09-01      107:1902     74:1964     79:2007     53:1901
KBFL 09-02      110:1955     74:1910     78:1998     50:1913
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...DURFEE
AVN/FW...JEB
SYNOPSIS...DURFEE

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD





000
FXUS66 KHNX 311055
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
345 AM PDT MON AUG 31 2015

.SYNOPSIS... DRY WEATHER CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA INTERIOR FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. TEMPERATURES
WILL AVERAGE SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL FOR MUCH OF THIS WEEK AS
AN ONSHORE FLOW PREVAILS. GUSTY WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE
KERN COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND DESERT EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

&&

.DISCUSSION...SKIES ARE MAINLY CLEAR OVER THE CENTRAL CA INTERIOR
THIS MORNING AND TEMPERATURES ARE CERTAINLY COOLER THAN 24 HOURS
AGO IN MOST LOCALES WITH 24-HR TRENDS CURRENTLY DOWN 3 TO 13
DEGREES. ALTHOUGH SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENTS BETWEEN SFO AND LAS
ARE DOWN A FEW MILLIBARS COMPARED TO SUNDAY MORNING...A HEALTHY
ONSHORE FLOW PERSISTS OVER THE CWA. LOW STRATUS THAT WAS PRESENT
ALONG THE CENTRAL CA COAST SUNDAY MORNING IS MOSTLY NONEXISTENT
AS OF THIS WRITING ON CURRENT SATELLITE IMAGERY. NONETHELESS...
MARINE AIR WILL REMAIN POOLED IN THE SJ VLY TODAY AND WITH A
PERSISTENT ONSHORE FLOW...HIGH TEMPS IN THE SJ VLY AND LOWER
FOOTHILLS WILL FALL SHY OF SEASONAL NORMALS AGAIN TODAY. ABOVE
THE MARINE LAYER...THERE WILL BE A FEW DEGREES OF SYNOPTIC WARMING
TODAY WITH MAX TEMPS ENDING UP SLIGHTLY HIGHER OVER THE MOUNTAINS
AND DESERT COMPARED TO SUNDAY.

A MINOR WARMUP IS LIKELY OVER THE ENTIRE CWA TUESDAY AS AN UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST BUILDS WESTWARD.
THE WARMUP WILL BE RATHER SHORT-LIVED AND WILL BE REVERSED BY
THE PASSAGE OF A DRY COLD FRONT ACROSS CENTRAL CA WEDNESDAY
EVENING AND NIGHT. PRIOR TO ITS ARRIVAL...WEDNESDAY COULD BE
EQUALLY AS WARM AS TUESDAY OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF OUR CWA
WHILE NORTHERNMOST AREAS BECOME MORE INFLUENCED BY AN INCREASE IN
ONSHORE FLOW AND THE SPILLAGE OF MARINE AIR THROUGH THE SAC DELTA.

A DEEPENING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE PAC NW DURING THE MIDDLE
OF THIS WEEK WILL BRING A RETURN OF A ROBUST ONSHORE FLOW ACROSS
THE CWA FROM LATE WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. DURING THIS
TIME...WEST WINDS WILL BECOME GUSTY AGAIN THROUGH AND BELOW THE
MOUNTAIN PASSES ALONG THE WEST SIDE OF THE SJ VLY AND IN KERN
COUNTY. MAX TEMPS THURSDAY WILL PROBABLY REMAIN BELOW 90 DEGREES
THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THE SJ VLY AND LOWER FOOTHILLS THANKS TO A
RETURN INFILTRATION OF MARINE AIR WHICH WILL LIKELY REMAIN POOLED
IN THE SJ VLY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THE DETERMINISTIC MODEL RUNS DIVERGE IN THE 5 TO 7 DAY PERIOD.
THE ECM DEEPENS THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER CA WHILE THE GFS SHOWS
FLAT RIDGING ALOFT. THE QUESTION AS TO WHETHER LABOR DAY WEEKEND
WILL BE COOLER OR WARMER CAN BEST BE ANSWERED BY THE ENSEMBLES
WHICH SHOWS NO DEEPENING TROUGH BUT RATHER A ZONAL FLOW ALOFT
ACROSS CENTRAL CA. THIS AGREES MORE CLOSELY TO THE GFS SOLUTION
SO WE OPTED FOR WARMING IN THE EXTENDED PERIODS...PARTICULARLY
SUNDAY AND LABOR DAY. EITHER WAY IT LOOKS AS THOUGH THE WEATHER
PATTERN WILL REMAIN BONE DRY THROUGH DAY 7.

&&

.AVIATION...
AREAS OF MVFR AND LOCAL IFR VISIBILITIES CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE
FOOTHILLS AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE SOUTHERN SIERRA NEVADA DUE
TO SMOKE. LOCAL GUSTS AROUND 35-40 KTS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH AND
BELOW THE MOUNTAIN PASSES OF KERN COUNTY THROUGH THIS EVENING.
OTHERWISE VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL OVER THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
INTERIOR DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
NONE.

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS HIGH.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 08-31      107:2007     69:1964     75:2007     50:1887
KFAT 09-01      107:1888     73:1964     76:2007     51:1964
KFAT 09-02      108:1955     76:2000     77:1998     48:1964

KBFL 08-31      111:1967     79:1966     80:2007     45:1912
KBFL 09-01      107:1902     74:1964     79:2007     53:1901
KBFL 09-02      110:1955     74:1910     78:1998     50:1913
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...DURFEE
AVN/FW...JEB
SYNOPSIS...DURFEE

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD





000
FXUS66 KHNX 311055
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
345 AM PDT MON AUG 31 2015

.SYNOPSIS... DRY WEATHER CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA INTERIOR FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. TEMPERATURES
WILL AVERAGE SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL FOR MUCH OF THIS WEEK AS
AN ONSHORE FLOW PREVAILS. GUSTY WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE
KERN COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND DESERT EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

&&

.DISCUSSION...SKIES ARE MAINLY CLEAR OVER THE CENTRAL CA INTERIOR
THIS MORNING AND TEMPERATURES ARE CERTAINLY COOLER THAN 24 HOURS
AGO IN MOST LOCALES WITH 24-HR TRENDS CURRENTLY DOWN 3 TO 13
DEGREES. ALTHOUGH SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENTS BETWEEN SFO AND LAS
ARE DOWN A FEW MILLIBARS COMPARED TO SUNDAY MORNING...A HEALTHY
ONSHORE FLOW PERSISTS OVER THE CWA. LOW STRATUS THAT WAS PRESENT
ALONG THE CENTRAL CA COAST SUNDAY MORNING IS MOSTLY NONEXISTENT
AS OF THIS WRITING ON CURRENT SATELLITE IMAGERY. NONETHELESS...
MARINE AIR WILL REMAIN POOLED IN THE SJ VLY TODAY AND WITH A
PERSISTENT ONSHORE FLOW...HIGH TEMPS IN THE SJ VLY AND LOWER
FOOTHILLS WILL FALL SHY OF SEASONAL NORMALS AGAIN TODAY. ABOVE
THE MARINE LAYER...THERE WILL BE A FEW DEGREES OF SYNOPTIC WARMING
TODAY WITH MAX TEMPS ENDING UP SLIGHTLY HIGHER OVER THE MOUNTAINS
AND DESERT COMPARED TO SUNDAY.

A MINOR WARMUP IS LIKELY OVER THE ENTIRE CWA TUESDAY AS AN UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST BUILDS WESTWARD.
THE WARMUP WILL BE RATHER SHORT-LIVED AND WILL BE REVERSED BY
THE PASSAGE OF A DRY COLD FRONT ACROSS CENTRAL CA WEDNESDAY
EVENING AND NIGHT. PRIOR TO ITS ARRIVAL...WEDNESDAY COULD BE
EQUALLY AS WARM AS TUESDAY OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF OUR CWA
WHILE NORTHERNMOST AREAS BECOME MORE INFLUENCED BY AN INCREASE IN
ONSHORE FLOW AND THE SPILLAGE OF MARINE AIR THROUGH THE SAC DELTA.

A DEEPENING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE PAC NW DURING THE MIDDLE
OF THIS WEEK WILL BRING A RETURN OF A ROBUST ONSHORE FLOW ACROSS
THE CWA FROM LATE WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. DURING THIS
TIME...WEST WINDS WILL BECOME GUSTY AGAIN THROUGH AND BELOW THE
MOUNTAIN PASSES ALONG THE WEST SIDE OF THE SJ VLY AND IN KERN
COUNTY. MAX TEMPS THURSDAY WILL PROBABLY REMAIN BELOW 90 DEGREES
THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THE SJ VLY AND LOWER FOOTHILLS THANKS TO A
RETURN INFILTRATION OF MARINE AIR WHICH WILL LIKELY REMAIN POOLED
IN THE SJ VLY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THE DETERMINISTIC MODEL RUNS DIVERGE IN THE 5 TO 7 DAY PERIOD.
THE ECM DEEPENS THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER CA WHILE THE GFS SHOWS
FLAT RIDGING ALOFT. THE QUESTION AS TO WHETHER LABOR DAY WEEKEND
WILL BE COOLER OR WARMER CAN BEST BE ANSWERED BY THE ENSEMBLES
WHICH SHOWS NO DEEPENING TROUGH BUT RATHER A ZONAL FLOW ALOFT
ACROSS CENTRAL CA. THIS AGREES MORE CLOSELY TO THE GFS SOLUTION
SO WE OPTED FOR WARMING IN THE EXTENDED PERIODS...PARTICULARLY
SUNDAY AND LABOR DAY. EITHER WAY IT LOOKS AS THOUGH THE WEATHER
PATTERN WILL REMAIN BONE DRY THROUGH DAY 7.

&&

.AVIATION...
AREAS OF MVFR AND LOCAL IFR VISIBILITIES CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE
FOOTHILLS AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE SOUTHERN SIERRA NEVADA DUE
TO SMOKE. LOCAL GUSTS AROUND 35-40 KTS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH AND
BELOW THE MOUNTAIN PASSES OF KERN COUNTY THROUGH THIS EVENING.
OTHERWISE VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL OVER THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
INTERIOR DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
NONE.

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS HIGH.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 08-31      107:2007     69:1964     75:2007     50:1887
KFAT 09-01      107:1888     73:1964     76:2007     51:1964
KFAT 09-02      108:1955     76:2000     77:1998     48:1964

KBFL 08-31      111:1967     79:1966     80:2007     45:1912
KBFL 09-01      107:1902     74:1964     79:2007     53:1901
KBFL 09-02      110:1955     74:1910     78:1998     50:1913
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...DURFEE
AVN/FW...JEB
SYNOPSIS...DURFEE

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD




000
FXUS66 KHNX 311045
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
345 AM PDT MON AUG 31 2015

.SYNOPSIS... DRY WEATHER CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA INTERIOR FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. TEMPERATURES
WILL AVERAGE SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL FOR MUCH OF THIS WEEK AS
AN ONSHORE FLOW PREVAILS. GUSTY WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE
KERN COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND DESERT EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

&&

.DISCUSSION...SKIES ARE MAINLY CLEAR OVER THE CENTRAL CA INTERIOR
THIS MORNING AND TEMPERATURES ARE CERTAINLY COOLER THAN 24 HOURS
AGO IN MOST LOCALES WITH 24-HR TRENDS CURRENTLY DOWN 3 TO 13
DEGREES. ALTHOUGH SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENTS BETWEEN SFO AND LAS
ARE DOWN A FEW MILLIBARS COMPARED TO SUNDAY MORNING...A HEALTHY
ONSHORE FLOW PERSISTS OVER THE CWA. LOW STRATUS THAT WAS PRESENT
ALONG THE CENTRAL CA COAST SUNDAY MORNING IS MOSTLY NONEXISTENT
AS OF THIS WRITING ON CURRENT SATELLITE IMAGERY. NONETHELESS...
MARINE AIR WILL REMAIN POOLED IN THE SJ VLY TODAY AND WITH A
PERSISTENT ONSHORE FLOW...HIGH TEMPS IN THE SJ VLY AND LOWER
FOOTHILLS WILL FALL SHY OF SEASONAL NORMALS AGAIN TODAY...MUCH
LIKE SUNDAY. ABOVE THE MARINE LAYER...THERE WILL BE A FEW DEGREES
OF SYNOPTIC WARMING TODAY WITH MAX TEMPS ENDING UP SLIGHTLY HIGHER
OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERT COMPARED TO SUNDAY.

A MINOR WARMUP IS LIKELY OVER THE ENTIRE CWA TUESDAY AS AN UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST BUILDS WESTWARD.
THE WARMUP WILL BE RATHER SHORT-LIVED AND WILL BE REVERSED BY
THE PASSAGE OF A DRY COLD FRONT ACROSS CENTRAL CA WEDNESDAY
EVENING AND NIGHT. PRIOR TO ITS ARRIVAL...WEDNESDAY COULD BE
EQUALLY AS WARM AS TUESDAY OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF OUR CWA
WHILE NORTHERNMOST AREAS BECOME MORE INFLUENCED BY AN INCREASE IN
ONSHORE FLOW AND THE SPILLAGE OF MARINE AIR THROUGH THE SAC DELTA.

A DEEPENING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE PAC NW DURING THE MIDDLE
OF THIS WEEK WILL BRING A RETURN OF A ROBUST ONSHORE FLOW ACROSS
THE CWA FROM LATE WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. DURING THIS
TIME...WEST WINDS WILL BECOME GUSTY AGAIN THROUGH AND BELOW THE
MOUNTAIN PASSES ALONG THE WEST SIDE OF THE SJ VLY AND IN KERN
COUNTY. MAX TEMPS THURSDAY WILL PROBABLY REMAIN BELOW 90 DEGREES
THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THE SJ VLY AND LOWER FOOTHILLS THANKS TO A
RETURN INFILTRATION OF MARINE AIR WHICH WILL LIKELY REMAIN POOLED
IN THE SJ VLY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THE DETERMINISTIC MODEL RUNS DIVERGE IN THE 5 TO 7 DAY PERIOD.
THE ECM DEEPENS THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER CA WHILE THE GFS SHOWS
FLAT RIDGING ALOFT. THE QUESTION AS TO WHETHER LABOR DAY WEEKEND
WILL BE COOLER OR WARMER CAN BEST BE ANSWERED BY THE ENSEMBLES
WHICH SHOWS NO DEEPENING TROUGH BUT RATHER A ZONAL FLOW ALOFT
ACROSS CENTRAL CA. THIS AGREES MORE CLOSELY TO THE GFS SOLUTION
SO WE OPTED FOR WARMING IN THE EXTENDED PERIODS...PARTICULARLY
SUNDAY AND LABOR DAY. EITHER WAY IT LOOKS AS THOUGH THE WEATHER
PATTERN WILL REMAIN BONE DRY THROUGH DAY 7.

&&

.AVIATION...
AREAS OF MVFR AND LOCAL IFR VISIBILITIES CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE
FOOTHILLS AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE SOUTHERN SIERRA NEVADA DUE
TO SMOKE. LOCAL GUSTS AROUND 35-40 KTS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH AND
BELOW THE MOUNTAIN PASSES OF KERN COUNTY THROUGH THIS EVENING.
OTHERWISE VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL OVER THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
INTERIOR DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
NONE.

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS HIGH.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 08-31      107:2007     69:1964     75:2007     50:1887
KFAT 09-01      107:1888     73:1964     76:2007     51:1964
KFAT 09-02      108:1955     76:2000     77:1998     48:1964

KBFL 08-31      111:1967     79:1966     80:2007     45:1912
KBFL 09-01      107:1902     74:1964     79:2007     53:1901
KBFL 09-02      110:1955     74:1910     78:1998     50:1913
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...DURFEE
AVN/FW...JEB
SYNOPSIS...DURFEE

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD




000
FXUS66 KHNX 311045
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
345 AM PDT MON AUG 31 2015

.SYNOPSIS... DRY WEATHER CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA INTERIOR FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. TEMPERATURES
WILL AVERAGE SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL FOR MUCH OF THIS WEEK AS
AN ONSHORE FLOW PREVAILS. GUSTY WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE
KERN COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND DESERT EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

&&

.DISCUSSION...SKIES ARE MAINLY CLEAR OVER THE CENTRAL CA INTERIOR
THIS MORNING AND TEMPERATURES ARE CERTAINLY COOLER THAN 24 HOURS
AGO IN MOST LOCALES WITH 24-HR TRENDS CURRENTLY DOWN 3 TO 13
DEGREES. ALTHOUGH SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENTS BETWEEN SFO AND LAS
ARE DOWN A FEW MILLIBARS COMPARED TO SUNDAY MORNING...A HEALTHY
ONSHORE FLOW PERSISTS OVER THE CWA. LOW STRATUS THAT WAS PRESENT
ALONG THE CENTRAL CA COAST SUNDAY MORNING IS MOSTLY NONEXISTENT
AS OF THIS WRITING ON CURRENT SATELLITE IMAGERY. NONETHELESS...
MARINE AIR WILL REMAIN POOLED IN THE SJ VLY TODAY AND WITH A
PERSISTENT ONSHORE FLOW...HIGH TEMPS IN THE SJ VLY AND LOWER
FOOTHILLS WILL FALL SHY OF SEASONAL NORMALS AGAIN TODAY...MUCH
LIKE SUNDAY. ABOVE THE MARINE LAYER...THERE WILL BE A FEW DEGREES
OF SYNOPTIC WARMING TODAY WITH MAX TEMPS ENDING UP SLIGHTLY HIGHER
OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERT COMPARED TO SUNDAY.

A MINOR WARMUP IS LIKELY OVER THE ENTIRE CWA TUESDAY AS AN UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST BUILDS WESTWARD.
THE WARMUP WILL BE RATHER SHORT-LIVED AND WILL BE REVERSED BY
THE PASSAGE OF A DRY COLD FRONT ACROSS CENTRAL CA WEDNESDAY
EVENING AND NIGHT. PRIOR TO ITS ARRIVAL...WEDNESDAY COULD BE
EQUALLY AS WARM AS TUESDAY OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF OUR CWA
WHILE NORTHERNMOST AREAS BECOME MORE INFLUENCED BY AN INCREASE IN
ONSHORE FLOW AND THE SPILLAGE OF MARINE AIR THROUGH THE SAC DELTA.

A DEEPENING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE PAC NW DURING THE MIDDLE
OF THIS WEEK WILL BRING A RETURN OF A ROBUST ONSHORE FLOW ACROSS
THE CWA FROM LATE WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. DURING THIS
TIME...WEST WINDS WILL BECOME GUSTY AGAIN THROUGH AND BELOW THE
MOUNTAIN PASSES ALONG THE WEST SIDE OF THE SJ VLY AND IN KERN
COUNTY. MAX TEMPS THURSDAY WILL PROBABLY REMAIN BELOW 90 DEGREES
THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THE SJ VLY AND LOWER FOOTHILLS THANKS TO A
RETURN INFILTRATION OF MARINE AIR WHICH WILL LIKELY REMAIN POOLED
IN THE SJ VLY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THE DETERMINISTIC MODEL RUNS DIVERGE IN THE 5 TO 7 DAY PERIOD.
THE ECM DEEPENS THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER CA WHILE THE GFS SHOWS
FLAT RIDGING ALOFT. THE QUESTION AS TO WHETHER LABOR DAY WEEKEND
WILL BE COOLER OR WARMER CAN BEST BE ANSWERED BY THE ENSEMBLES
WHICH SHOWS NO DEEPENING TROUGH BUT RATHER A ZONAL FLOW ALOFT
ACROSS CENTRAL CA. THIS AGREES MORE CLOSELY TO THE GFS SOLUTION
SO WE OPTED FOR WARMING IN THE EXTENDED PERIODS...PARTICULARLY
SUNDAY AND LABOR DAY. EITHER WAY IT LOOKS AS THOUGH THE WEATHER
PATTERN WILL REMAIN BONE DRY THROUGH DAY 7.

&&

.AVIATION...
AREAS OF MVFR AND LOCAL IFR VISIBILITIES CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE
FOOTHILLS AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE SOUTHERN SIERRA NEVADA DUE
TO SMOKE. LOCAL GUSTS AROUND 35-40 KTS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH AND
BELOW THE MOUNTAIN PASSES OF KERN COUNTY THROUGH THIS EVENING.
OTHERWISE VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL OVER THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
INTERIOR DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
NONE.

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS HIGH.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 08-31      107:2007     69:1964     75:2007     50:1887
KFAT 09-01      107:1888     73:1964     76:2007     51:1964
KFAT 09-02      108:1955     76:2000     77:1998     48:1964

KBFL 08-31      111:1967     79:1966     80:2007     45:1912
KBFL 09-01      107:1902     74:1964     79:2007     53:1901
KBFL 09-02      110:1955     74:1910     78:1998     50:1913
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...DURFEE
AVN/FW...JEB
SYNOPSIS...DURFEE

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD





000
FXUS66 KHNX 311045
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
345 AM PDT MON AUG 31 2015

.SYNOPSIS... DRY WEATHER CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA INTERIOR FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. TEMPERATURES
WILL AVERAGE SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL FOR MUCH OF THIS WEEK AS
AN ONSHORE FLOW PREVAILS. GUSTY WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE
KERN COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND DESERT EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

&&

.DISCUSSION...SKIES ARE MAINLY CLEAR OVER THE CENTRAL CA INTERIOR
THIS MORNING AND TEMPERATURES ARE CERTAINLY COOLER THAN 24 HOURS
AGO IN MOST LOCALES WITH 24-HR TRENDS CURRENTLY DOWN 3 TO 13
DEGREES. ALTHOUGH SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENTS BETWEEN SFO AND LAS
ARE DOWN A FEW MILLIBARS COMPARED TO SUNDAY MORNING...A HEALTHY
ONSHORE FLOW PERSISTS OVER THE CWA. LOW STRATUS THAT WAS PRESENT
ALONG THE CENTRAL CA COAST SUNDAY MORNING IS MOSTLY NONEXISTENT
AS OF THIS WRITING ON CURRENT SATELLITE IMAGERY. NONETHELESS...
MARINE AIR WILL REMAIN POOLED IN THE SJ VLY TODAY AND WITH A
PERSISTENT ONSHORE FLOW...HIGH TEMPS IN THE SJ VLY AND LOWER
FOOTHILLS WILL FALL SHY OF SEASONAL NORMALS AGAIN TODAY...MUCH
LIKE SUNDAY. ABOVE THE MARINE LAYER...THERE WILL BE A FEW DEGREES
OF SYNOPTIC WARMING TODAY WITH MAX TEMPS ENDING UP SLIGHTLY HIGHER
OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERT COMPARED TO SUNDAY.

A MINOR WARMUP IS LIKELY OVER THE ENTIRE CWA TUESDAY AS AN UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST BUILDS WESTWARD.
THE WARMUP WILL BE RATHER SHORT-LIVED AND WILL BE REVERSED BY
THE PASSAGE OF A DRY COLD FRONT ACROSS CENTRAL CA WEDNESDAY
EVENING AND NIGHT. PRIOR TO ITS ARRIVAL...WEDNESDAY COULD BE
EQUALLY AS WARM AS TUESDAY OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF OUR CWA
WHILE NORTHERNMOST AREAS BECOME MORE INFLUENCED BY AN INCREASE IN
ONSHORE FLOW AND THE SPILLAGE OF MARINE AIR THROUGH THE SAC DELTA.

A DEEPENING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE PAC NW DURING THE MIDDLE
OF THIS WEEK WILL BRING A RETURN OF A ROBUST ONSHORE FLOW ACROSS
THE CWA FROM LATE WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. DURING THIS
TIME...WEST WINDS WILL BECOME GUSTY AGAIN THROUGH AND BELOW THE
MOUNTAIN PASSES ALONG THE WEST SIDE OF THE SJ VLY AND IN KERN
COUNTY. MAX TEMPS THURSDAY WILL PROBABLY REMAIN BELOW 90 DEGREES
THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THE SJ VLY AND LOWER FOOTHILLS THANKS TO A
RETURN INFILTRATION OF MARINE AIR WHICH WILL LIKELY REMAIN POOLED
IN THE SJ VLY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THE DETERMINISTIC MODEL RUNS DIVERGE IN THE 5 TO 7 DAY PERIOD.
THE ECM DEEPENS THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER CA WHILE THE GFS SHOWS
FLAT RIDGING ALOFT. THE QUESTION AS TO WHETHER LABOR DAY WEEKEND
WILL BE COOLER OR WARMER CAN BEST BE ANSWERED BY THE ENSEMBLES
WHICH SHOWS NO DEEPENING TROUGH BUT RATHER A ZONAL FLOW ALOFT
ACROSS CENTRAL CA. THIS AGREES MORE CLOSELY TO THE GFS SOLUTION
SO WE OPTED FOR WARMING IN THE EXTENDED PERIODS...PARTICULARLY
SUNDAY AND LABOR DAY. EITHER WAY IT LOOKS AS THOUGH THE WEATHER
PATTERN WILL REMAIN BONE DRY THROUGH DAY 7.

&&

.AVIATION...
AREAS OF MVFR AND LOCAL IFR VISIBILITIES CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE
FOOTHILLS AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE SOUTHERN SIERRA NEVADA DUE
TO SMOKE. LOCAL GUSTS AROUND 35-40 KTS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH AND
BELOW THE MOUNTAIN PASSES OF KERN COUNTY THROUGH THIS EVENING.
OTHERWISE VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL OVER THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
INTERIOR DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
NONE.

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS HIGH.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 08-31      107:2007     69:1964     75:2007     50:1887
KFAT 09-01      107:1888     73:1964     76:2007     51:1964
KFAT 09-02      108:1955     76:2000     77:1998     48:1964

KBFL 08-31      111:1967     79:1966     80:2007     45:1912
KBFL 09-01      107:1902     74:1964     79:2007     53:1901
KBFL 09-02      110:1955     74:1910     78:1998     50:1913
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...DURFEE
AVN/FW...JEB
SYNOPSIS...DURFEE

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD





000
FXUS66 KHNX 311045
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
345 AM PDT MON AUG 31 2015

.SYNOPSIS... DRY WEATHER CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA INTERIOR FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. TEMPERATURES
WILL AVERAGE SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL FOR MUCH OF THIS WEEK AS
AN ONSHORE FLOW PREVAILS. GUSTY WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE
KERN COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND DESERT EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

&&

.DISCUSSION...SKIES ARE MAINLY CLEAR OVER THE CENTRAL CA INTERIOR
THIS MORNING AND TEMPERATURES ARE CERTAINLY COOLER THAN 24 HOURS
AGO IN MOST LOCALES WITH 24-HR TRENDS CURRENTLY DOWN 3 TO 13
DEGREES. ALTHOUGH SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENTS BETWEEN SFO AND LAS
ARE DOWN A FEW MILLIBARS COMPARED TO SUNDAY MORNING...A HEALTHY
ONSHORE FLOW PERSISTS OVER THE CWA. LOW STRATUS THAT WAS PRESENT
ALONG THE CENTRAL CA COAST SUNDAY MORNING IS MOSTLY NONEXISTENT
AS OF THIS WRITING ON CURRENT SATELLITE IMAGERY. NONETHELESS...
MARINE AIR WILL REMAIN POOLED IN THE SJ VLY TODAY AND WITH A
PERSISTENT ONSHORE FLOW...HIGH TEMPS IN THE SJ VLY AND LOWER
FOOTHILLS WILL FALL SHY OF SEASONAL NORMALS AGAIN TODAY...MUCH
LIKE SUNDAY. ABOVE THE MARINE LAYER...THERE WILL BE A FEW DEGREES
OF SYNOPTIC WARMING TODAY WITH MAX TEMPS ENDING UP SLIGHTLY HIGHER
OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERT COMPARED TO SUNDAY.

A MINOR WARMUP IS LIKELY OVER THE ENTIRE CWA TUESDAY AS AN UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST BUILDS WESTWARD.
THE WARMUP WILL BE RATHER SHORT-LIVED AND WILL BE REVERSED BY
THE PASSAGE OF A DRY COLD FRONT ACROSS CENTRAL CA WEDNESDAY
EVENING AND NIGHT. PRIOR TO ITS ARRIVAL...WEDNESDAY COULD BE
EQUALLY AS WARM AS TUESDAY OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF OUR CWA
WHILE NORTHERNMOST AREAS BECOME MORE INFLUENCED BY AN INCREASE IN
ONSHORE FLOW AND THE SPILLAGE OF MARINE AIR THROUGH THE SAC DELTA.

A DEEPENING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE PAC NW DURING THE MIDDLE
OF THIS WEEK WILL BRING A RETURN OF A ROBUST ONSHORE FLOW ACROSS
THE CWA FROM LATE WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. DURING THIS
TIME...WEST WINDS WILL BECOME GUSTY AGAIN THROUGH AND BELOW THE
MOUNTAIN PASSES ALONG THE WEST SIDE OF THE SJ VLY AND IN KERN
COUNTY. MAX TEMPS THURSDAY WILL PROBABLY REMAIN BELOW 90 DEGREES
THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THE SJ VLY AND LOWER FOOTHILLS THANKS TO A
RETURN INFILTRATION OF MARINE AIR WHICH WILL LIKELY REMAIN POOLED
IN THE SJ VLY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THE DETERMINISTIC MODEL RUNS DIVERGE IN THE 5 TO 7 DAY PERIOD.
THE ECM DEEPENS THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER CA WHILE THE GFS SHOWS
FLAT RIDGING ALOFT. THE QUESTION AS TO WHETHER LABOR DAY WEEKEND
WILL BE COOLER OR WARMER CAN BEST BE ANSWERED BY THE ENSEMBLES
WHICH SHOWS NO DEEPENING TROUGH BUT RATHER A ZONAL FLOW ALOFT
ACROSS CENTRAL CA. THIS AGREES MORE CLOSELY TO THE GFS SOLUTION
SO WE OPTED FOR WARMING IN THE EXTENDED PERIODS...PARTICULARLY
SUNDAY AND LABOR DAY. EITHER WAY IT LOOKS AS THOUGH THE WEATHER
PATTERN WILL REMAIN BONE DRY THROUGH DAY 7.

&&

.AVIATION...
AREAS OF MVFR AND LOCAL IFR VISIBILITIES CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE
FOOTHILLS AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE SOUTHERN SIERRA NEVADA DUE
TO SMOKE. LOCAL GUSTS AROUND 35-40 KTS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH AND
BELOW THE MOUNTAIN PASSES OF KERN COUNTY THROUGH THIS EVENING.
OTHERWISE VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL OVER THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
INTERIOR DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
NONE.

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS HIGH.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 08-31      107:2007     69:1964     75:2007     50:1887
KFAT 09-01      107:1888     73:1964     76:2007     51:1964
KFAT 09-02      108:1955     76:2000     77:1998     48:1964

KBFL 08-31      111:1967     79:1966     80:2007     45:1912
KBFL 09-01      107:1902     74:1964     79:2007     53:1901
KBFL 09-02      110:1955     74:1910     78:1998     50:1913
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...DURFEE
AVN/FW...JEB
SYNOPSIS...DURFEE

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD




000
FXUS66 KHNX 302100
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
200 PM PDT SUN AUG 30 2015

.SYNOPSIS...DRY WEATHER CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA INTERIOR FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW AVERAGE THIS UPCOMING WEEK AS ONSHORE
FLOW PREVAILS. GUSTY WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE KERN COUNTY
MOUNTAINS AND DESERT EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

&&

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT WHICH PUSHED THROUGH CENTRAL CA
OVERNIGHT BROUGHT A PERIOD OF GUSTY WINDS ALONG WITH A NOTICABLE
COOLING TREND TO OUR AREA TODAY WITH TEMPERATURES GENERALLY
RUNNING 5-10 DEG F BELOW YDAY. SOME HIGH CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH
THE FRONT REMAIN OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF OUR CWFA THIS AFTERNOON
WHILE AREAS FROM FRESNO COUNTY NORTHWARD HAVE CLEARED OUT.

12Z WRF IS INDICATING THAT THE WESTERN CONUS WILL REMAIN IN A
TROUGHY PATTERN FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. SOME RECOVERY IN
TEMPERATURES ARE ANTICIPATED ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY AS HEIGHTS AND
DIURNAL THICKNESSES RISE AND THE PREVAILING AIRMASS WARMS. THE
TROUGH IS THEN PROGGED TO AMPLIFY ON WEDNESDAY...BRINGING A
REINFORCING SHOT OF COOLER AIR INTO OUR AREA.

THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS ARE NOW INDICATING THAT THE WESTERN CONUS
TROUGH LINGERS OVER CA THROUGH FRIDAY WITH A DRY WESTERLY FLOW
PREVAILING OVER CENTRAL CA. TEMPERATURES WILL RECOVER A BIT EACH
DAY...BUT REMAIN SLIGHTLY BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS AT LEAST THROUGH
THE END OF THE WEEK. THE TROUGH IS PROGGED TO EJECT EASTWARD NEXT
WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INLAND. THIS WILL BRING A MORE
PRONOUNCED WARMING TREND FOR THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND AHEAD. RH PROGS
CONTINUE TO SHOW LITTLE TO NO SIGNS OF ANY SIGNIFICANT MOISTURE
IMPACTING OUR AREA THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND. THEREFORE...OUR FORECAST
REMAINS DRY THROUGH THE FIRST WEEK OF SEPTEMBER.

&&

.AVIATION...AREAS OF MVFR AND LOCAL IFR VISIBILITIES CAN BE
EXPECTED IN THE FOOTHILLS AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE SOUTHERN
SIERRA NEVADA DUE TO SMOKE. LOCAL GUSTS AROUND 35-40 KTS ARE
POSSIBLE THROUGH THE PASSES AND CANYONS IN THE KERN COUNTY
MTNS/DESERT AND LOCALLY UP TO 30 KTS ALONG THE WEST SIDE OF THE
SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY THROUGH THIS EVENING. BLDU WITH LOCAL VIS
AROUND 1 MILE OR LESS ALSO POSSIBLE AT TIMES IN THESE AREAS.
OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE CENTRAL CA
INTERIOR DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...NONE.

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS HIGH.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 08-30      109:1988     80:1957     81:2007     49:1966
KFAT 08-31      107:2007     69:1964     75:2007     50:1887
KFAT 09-01      107:1888     73:1964     76:2007     51:1964

KBFL 08-30      108:1988     80:1957     85:1909     45:1912
KBFL 08-31      111:1967     79:1966     80:2007     45:1912
KBFL 09-01      107:1902     74:1964     79:2007     53:1901
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...DS
AVN/FW...ANDERSEN
SYNOPSIS...ROWE

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD





000
FXUS66 KHNX 302100
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
200 PM PDT SUN AUG 30 2015

.SYNOPSIS...DRY WEATHER CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA INTERIOR FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW AVERAGE THIS UPCOMING WEEK AS ONSHORE
FLOW PREVAILS. GUSTY WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE KERN COUNTY
MOUNTAINS AND DESERT EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

&&

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT WHICH PUSHED THROUGH CENTRAL CA
OVERNIGHT BROUGHT A PERIOD OF GUSTY WINDS ALONG WITH A NOTICABLE
COOLING TREND TO OUR AREA TODAY WITH TEMPERATURES GENERALLY
RUNNING 5-10 DEG F BELOW YDAY. SOME HIGH CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH
THE FRONT REMAIN OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF OUR CWFA THIS AFTERNOON
WHILE AREAS FROM FRESNO COUNTY NORTHWARD HAVE CLEARED OUT.

12Z WRF IS INDICATING THAT THE WESTERN CONUS WILL REMAIN IN A
TROUGHY PATTERN FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. SOME RECOVERY IN
TEMPERATURES ARE ANTICIPATED ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY AS HEIGHTS AND
DIURNAL THICKNESSES RISE AND THE PREVAILING AIRMASS WARMS. THE
TROUGH IS THEN PROGGED TO AMPLIFY ON WEDNESDAY...BRINGING A
REINFORCING SHOT OF COOLER AIR INTO OUR AREA.

THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS ARE NOW INDICATING THAT THE WESTERN CONUS
TROUGH LINGERS OVER CA THROUGH FRIDAY WITH A DRY WESTERLY FLOW
PREVAILING OVER CENTRAL CA. TEMPERATURES WILL RECOVER A BIT EACH
DAY...BUT REMAIN SLIGHTLY BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS AT LEAST THROUGH
THE END OF THE WEEK. THE TROUGH IS PROGGED TO EJECT EASTWARD NEXT
WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INLAND. THIS WILL BRING A MORE
PRONOUNCED WARMING TREND FOR THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND AHEAD. RH PROGS
CONTINUE TO SHOW LITTLE TO NO SIGNS OF ANY SIGNIFICANT MOISTURE
IMPACTING OUR AREA THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND. THEREFORE...OUR FORECAST
REMAINS DRY THROUGH THE FIRST WEEK OF SEPTEMBER.

&&

.AVIATION...AREAS OF MVFR AND LOCAL IFR VISIBILITIES CAN BE
EXPECTED IN THE FOOTHILLS AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE SOUTHERN
SIERRA NEVADA DUE TO SMOKE. LOCAL GUSTS AROUND 35-40 KTS ARE
POSSIBLE THROUGH THE PASSES AND CANYONS IN THE KERN COUNTY
MTNS/DESERT AND LOCALLY UP TO 30 KTS ALONG THE WEST SIDE OF THE
SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY THROUGH THIS EVENING. BLDU WITH LOCAL VIS
AROUND 1 MILE OR LESS ALSO POSSIBLE AT TIMES IN THESE AREAS.
OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE CENTRAL CA
INTERIOR DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...NONE.

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS HIGH.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 08-30      109:1988     80:1957     81:2007     49:1966
KFAT 08-31      107:2007     69:1964     75:2007     50:1887
KFAT 09-01      107:1888     73:1964     76:2007     51:1964

KBFL 08-30      108:1988     80:1957     85:1909     45:1912
KBFL 08-31      111:1967     79:1966     80:2007     45:1912
KBFL 09-01      107:1902     74:1964     79:2007     53:1901
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...DS
AVN/FW...ANDERSEN
SYNOPSIS...ROWE

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD





000
FXUS66 KHNX 302100
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
200 PM PDT SUN AUG 30 2015

.SYNOPSIS...DRY WEATHER CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA INTERIOR FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW AVERAGE THIS UPCOMING WEEK AS ONSHORE
FLOW PREVAILS. GUSTY WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE KERN COUNTY
MOUNTAINS AND DESERT EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

&&

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT WHICH PUSHED THROUGH CENTRAL CA
OVERNIGHT BROUGHT A PERIOD OF GUSTY WINDS ALONG WITH A NOTICABLE
COOLING TREND TO OUR AREA TODAY WITH TEMPERATURES GENERALLY
RUNNING 5-10 DEG F BELOW YDAY. SOME HIGH CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH
THE FRONT REMAIN OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF OUR CWFA THIS AFTERNOON
WHILE AREAS FROM FRESNO COUNTY NORTHWARD HAVE CLEARED OUT.

12Z WRF IS INDICATING THAT THE WESTERN CONUS WILL REMAIN IN A
TROUGHY PATTERN FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. SOME RECOVERY IN
TEMPERATURES ARE ANTICIPATED ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY AS HEIGHTS AND
DIURNAL THICKNESSES RISE AND THE PREVAILING AIRMASS WARMS. THE
TROUGH IS THEN PROGGED TO AMPLIFY ON WEDNESDAY...BRINGING A
REINFORCING SHOT OF COOLER AIR INTO OUR AREA.

THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS ARE NOW INDICATING THAT THE WESTERN CONUS
TROUGH LINGERS OVER CA THROUGH FRIDAY WITH A DRY WESTERLY FLOW
PREVAILING OVER CENTRAL CA. TEMPERATURES WILL RECOVER A BIT EACH
DAY...BUT REMAIN SLIGHTLY BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS AT LEAST THROUGH
THE END OF THE WEEK. THE TROUGH IS PROGGED TO EJECT EASTWARD NEXT
WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INLAND. THIS WILL BRING A MORE
PRONOUNCED WARMING TREND FOR THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND AHEAD. RH PROGS
CONTINUE TO SHOW LITTLE TO NO SIGNS OF ANY SIGNIFICANT MOISTURE
IMPACTING OUR AREA THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND. THEREFORE...OUR FORECAST
REMAINS DRY THROUGH THE FIRST WEEK OF SEPTEMBER.

&&

.AVIATION...AREAS OF MVFR AND LOCAL IFR VISIBILITIES CAN BE
EXPECTED IN THE FOOTHILLS AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE SOUTHERN
SIERRA NEVADA DUE TO SMOKE. LOCAL GUSTS AROUND 35-40 KTS ARE
POSSIBLE THROUGH THE PASSES AND CANYONS IN THE KERN COUNTY
MTNS/DESERT AND LOCALLY UP TO 30 KTS ALONG THE WEST SIDE OF THE
SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY THROUGH THIS EVENING. BLDU WITH LOCAL VIS
AROUND 1 MILE OR LESS ALSO POSSIBLE AT TIMES IN THESE AREAS.
OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE CENTRAL CA
INTERIOR DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...NONE.

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS HIGH.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 08-30      109:1988     80:1957     81:2007     49:1966
KFAT 08-31      107:2007     69:1964     75:2007     50:1887
KFAT 09-01      107:1888     73:1964     76:2007     51:1964

KBFL 08-30      108:1988     80:1957     85:1909     45:1912
KBFL 08-31      111:1967     79:1966     80:2007     45:1912
KBFL 09-01      107:1902     74:1964     79:2007     53:1901
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...DS
AVN/FW...ANDERSEN
SYNOPSIS...ROWE

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD




000
FXUS66 KHNX 301015
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
315 AM PDT SUN AUG 30 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
DRY WEATHER CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA INTERIOR
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. TEMPERATURES WILL AVERAGE COOLER THAN
NORMAL THIS WEEK THANKS TO A PREVAILING ONSHORE FLOW. GUSTY WINDS
CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE KERN COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND DESERT EACH
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

&&

.DISCUSSION...CENTRAL CALIFORNIANS WILL AWAKE TO A REFRESHINGLY
COOL CHANGE IN THE WEATHER THIS MORNING THANKS TO A DRY COLD
FRONTAL PASSAGE LAST NIGHT. THE FRONT IS EXITING SOUTH AND EAST
OF THE CWA AS OF THIS WRITING AND IS MARKED BY LITTLE MORE THAN
A NARROW BAND OF HIGH CLOUDS ON SATELLITE IMAGERY EXTENDING FROM
CENTRAL INYO COUNTY SOUTHWESTWARD TO SANTA BARBARA COUNTY. IN ITS
WAKE...A ROBUST ONSHORE FLOW IS FLOODING THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY
WITH OCEAN COOLED AIR AND WILL CONTINUE TO DO SO THROUGH THIS
EVENING. SOME LOW CLOUDS ARE CURRENTLY FORMING ALONG THE NORTH
FACING SLOPES OF THE TEHACHAPI MOUNTAINS BUT THEY SHOULD ERODE
RATHER QUICKLY BY MIDDAY TODAY AS DRIER AIR MOVES INTO THIS
REGION. WESTERLY WINDS WILL REMAIN GUSTY ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE
SJ VLY THROUGH THIS EVENING IN ADDITION TO THE KERN COUNTY
MOUNTAINS AND DESERT. TEMPERATURE-WISE...TODAY WILL AVERAGE A
GOOD 8 TO 15 DEGREES COOLER THAN SATURDAY. SMOKE FROM THE FIRES
IN THE SIERRA WILL BE BLOWN INTO NEVADA BY WESTERLY WINDS ALOFT
TODAY. HOWEVER...THE MODELS FORECAST WINDS AT THE 8K FOOT LEVEL
TO BECOME EASTERLY TONIGHT AND MONDAY SO THIS MIGHT BRING SOME
OF THAT SMOKE BACK INTO THE SIERRA FOOTHILLS DURING THIS TIME.

IN THE BROADER PICTURE...AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL RESIDE ALONG
THE WEST COAST FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AND MAINTAIN AN ONSHORE
FLOW ACROSS CENTRAL CA. THE MODELS FORECAST THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
TO AMPLIFY SOMEWHAT DURING MIDWEEK AS SOME ENERGY DROPS INTO IT.
THE NET RESULT WILL BE A DEEPENING OF THE MARINE LAYER ALONG THE
CA COAST AND AN INCREASE IN ONSHORE FLOW WHICH WILL ULTIMATELY
BRING A REINFORCING SHOT OF COOLER AIR INTO THE CENTRAL CA
INTERIOR...ESPECIALLY THE SJ VLY AND LOWER FOOTHILLS...WEDNESDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY. IN THESE AREAS...MAX TEMPS COULD FALL BACK
INTO THE 80S BOTH DAYS SIMILAR TO TODAY. AFTERWARD...THE MODELS
LIFT THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH NORTHWARD AND WEAKEN THE ONSHORE FLOW
SO WE WOULD EXPECT A DAY TO DAY WARMING TREND BEGINNING FRIDAY AND
LASTING THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND. OTHERWISE...THE WEATHER PATTERN WILL
REMAIN BONE DRY ACROSS THE CWA THROUGH DAY 7.

&&

.AVIATION...
AREAS OF MVFR AND LOCAL IFR VISIBILITIES CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE
FOOTHILLS AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE SOUTHERN SIERRA NEVADA DUE TO
SMOKE. MVFR CEILINGS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE NORTH FACING SLOPES OF
THE TEHACHAPI MOUNTAINS THROUGH 18Z TODAY

LOCAL GUSTS AROUND 35-40 KTS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE PASSES AND
CANYONS IN THE KERN COUNTY MTNS/DESERT AND LOCALLY UP TO 35 KTS
ALONG THE WEST SIDE OF THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY THROUGH THIS EVENING.
BLDU WITH LOCAL VIS AROUND 1 MILE OR LESS ALSO POSSIBLE AT TIMES IN
THESE AREAS.

OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE CENTRAL CA
INTERIOR DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
NONE.

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS HIGH.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 08-30      109:1988     80:1957     81:2007     49:1966
KFAT 08-31      107:2007     69:1964     75:2007     50:1887
KFAT 09-01      107:1888     73:1964     76:2007     51:1964

KBFL 08-30      108:1988     80:1957     85:1909     45:1912
KBFL 08-31      111:1967     79:1966     80:2007     45:1912
KBFL 09-01      107:1902     74:1964     79:2007     53:1901
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...DURFEE
AVN/FW...JEB
SYNOPSIS...DURFEE

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD





000
FXUS66 KHNX 292100
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
200 PM PDT SAT AUG 29 2015

.SYNOPSIS...DRY WEATHER CAN BE EXPECTED OVER INTERIOR CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. LOCALLY BREEZY CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IMPACTS THE
REGION. BY SUNDAY TEMPERATURES WILL COOL TO SLIGHTLY BELOW
AVERAGES. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEAR AVERAGE DURING
NEXT WEEK AS ONSHORE FLOW CONTINUES.

&&

.DISCUSSION...A STRONG UPPER TROUGH OFF THE PAC NW COAST HAS
BROUGHT LOWERING HEIGHTS AND THICKNESSES TO OUR AREA ALONG WITH
MODERATE WIND GUSTS BELOW THE MOUNTAIN PASSES IN KERN COUNTY.
TEMPERATURES HAVE TRENDED DOWNWARD SEVERAL DEGREES FROM YDAY.
VISIBLE IMAGERY IS INDICATING SOME THIN HIGH CLOUDS STREAMING
ACROSS CENTRAL CA. ALSO OF NOTE IS SMOKE FROM THE ROUGH FIRE IN
EASTERN FRESNO COUNTY WHICH IS BEING TRANSPORTED TO THE NORTHEAST
AND AWAY FROM THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY.

12Z WRF IS INDICATING A DRY COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTHEAST ACROSS
OUR CWFA THIS EVENING AS THE UPPER TROUGH PUSHES INTO THE PAC NW.
THIS WILL PROVIDE FOR BREEZY CONDITIONS TONIGHT ALONG THE WEST
SIDE OF THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY AND BELOW THE PASSES IN KERN
COUNTY ALONG WITH A CONTINUATION OF THE ONGOING COOLING TREND
ACROSS OUR AREA WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS ON SUNDAY EXPECTED TO BE 5-10
DEG F BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS. AS THIS IS A DRY SYSTEM...AREAS OF
BLOWING DUST WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE VALLEY WITH THE FRONTAL
PASSAGE THIS EVENING...BUT DO NOT ANTICIPATE WIDESPREAD VISIBILITY
REDUCTIONS.

WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO LIGHTEN UP AS P-GRADS RELAX AND TEMPERATURES
ARE EXPECTED TO RECOVER SLIGHTLY ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY...BUT
REMAIN BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS AS OUR AREA REMAINS UNDER A DRY
WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT IN A TROUGHY PATTERN.

THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN DEEPENING THE
UPPER TROUGH ALONG THE WESTERN CONUS COAST ON WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY THEN PUSH THE TROUGH EAST OF CA BY THE END OF NEXT WEEK.
AS THE TROUGH DEEPENS...INCREASING ONSHORE FLOW ALONG WITH
LOWERING HEIGHTS WILL BRING ANOTHER WELCOME COOLING TREND TO OUR
AREA. THIS WILL BE FOLLOWED BY A RECOVERY TOWARD THE END OF THE
WEEK AS TEMPERATURES RISE TO NEAR CLIMO AS HEIGHTS AND DIURNAL
THICKNESSES REBOUND. RH PROGS ARE SHOWING NO SIGNS OF SIGNIFICANT
MOISTURE IMPACTING OUR AREA FOR THE NEXT WEEK SO NO PRECIPITATION
IS ANTICIPATED FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS.

&&

.AVIATION...AREAS OF MVFR AND LOCAL IFR VISIBILITIES CAN BE
EXPECTED IN THE FOOTHILLS AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE SOUTHERN
SIERRA NEVADA DUE TO SMOKE. MVFR CEILINGS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
NORTH FACING SLOPES OF THE TEHACHAPI MOUNTAINS AFTER 08Z SUNDAY.

LOCAL GUSTS AROUND 35-40 KTS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE PASSES AND
CANYONS IN THE KERN COUNTY MTNS/DESERT AND AROUND 30 KTS ALONG THE
WEST SIDE OF THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY THROUGH THIS EVENING. BLDU WITH
LOCAL VIS AROUND 1 MILE OR LESS ALSO POSSIBLE AT TIMES IN THESE
AREAS.

OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE CENTRAL CA
INTERIOR DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...NONE.

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS HIGH.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 08-29      109:1915     79:2010     76:1915     52:1895
KFAT 08-30      109:1988     80:1957     81:2007     49:1966
KFAT 08-31      107:2007     69:1964     75:2007     50:1887

KBFL 08-29      109:1915     77:1911     85:1909     45:1903
KBFL 08-30      108:1988     80:1957     85:1909     45:1912
KBFL 08-31      111:1967     79:1966     80:2007     45:1912
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...DS
AVN/FW...BSO
SYNOPSIS...ROWE

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD




000
FXUS66 KHNX 291118
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
418 AM PDT SAT AUG 29 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
TEMPERATURES WILL COOL TO SLIGHTLY BELOW AVERAGE THIS WEEKEND...AND
LOCALLY BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
IMPACTS THE REGION. TEMPERATURES SHOULD REMAIN NEAR AVERAGE
DURING NEXT WEEK AS ONSHORE FLOW CONTINUES. NO PRECIPITATION IS
EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
AFTER ANOTHER SCORCHING DAY YESTERDAY ACROSS CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
UNDER THE BACKSIDE OF A RETREATING HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE...A CHANGE
IN THE WEATHER IS ON THE WAY. A DEVELOPING TROUGH OVER THE
NORTHEAST PACIFIC IS BEGINNING TO LOWER HEIGHTS AND THICKNESSES
OVER THE REGION. ONSHORE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENTS ARE INCREASING
AND THE LAYER OF OCEAN COOLED AIR ALONG THE COAST IS DEEPENING
DRAMATICALLY. MODERATE WIND GUSTS ARE ALREADY BEING SEEN THROUGH
AND BELOW MOUNTAIN PASSES. THESE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BRING THE
COOLER AIR INTO THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY TODAY...PROVIDING
SIGNIFICANTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES...ESPECIALLY OVER NORTHERN
PORTIONS OF OUR VALLEY ZONES.

COOLING WILL BE A LITTLE LESS DRAMATIC IN THE SOUTH VALLEY AS
WELL AS AREAS OUTSIDE THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY UNTIL TOMORROW AS THE
UPPER TROUGH CONTINUES TO TRACK INLAND. SUNDAY TEMPERATURES WILL
BE AROUND 6-12 DEGREES BELOW CLIMO ACROSS OUR AREA. THE GUSTY
WINDS WILL ALSO PRODUCE AREAS OF BLOWING DUST TODAY AND SUNDAY.
THERE IS ENOUGH ASSOCIATED MOISTURE FOR SOME MID/HIGH CLOUDINESS
WITH THE PASSING TROUGH...AND MODELS SUGGEST SOME UPSLOPE
CLOUDINESS IN THE KERN COUNTY MOUNTAINS BY TONIGHT...BUT
PRECIPITATION CHANCES REMAIN AT OR NEAR ZERO.

DRY CONDITIONS WITH TEMPERATURES NEAR OR SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL
ARE PROGGED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF NEXT WEEK AS MODEL
CONSENSUS CONTINUES IN MAINTAINING A TROUGHY PATTERN OVER THE WEST
COAST THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION...
AREAS OF MVFR AND LOCAL IFR VISIBILITIES CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE
FOOTHILLS AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE SOUTHERN SIERRA NEVADA DUE TO
SMOKE. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE CENTRAL CA
INTERIOR DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
NONE.

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS HIGH.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 08-29      109:1915     79:2010     76:1915     52:1895
KFAT 08-30      109:1988     80:1957     81:2007     49:1966
KFAT 08-31      107:2007     69:1964     75:2007     50:1887

KBFL 08-29      109:1915     77:1911     85:1909     45:1903
KBFL 08-30      108:1988     80:1957     85:1909     45:1912
KBFL 08-31      111:1967     79:1966     80:2007     45:1912
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...JEB
AVN/FW...DURFEE
SYNOPSIS...JEB

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD




000
FXUS66 KHNX 291118
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
418 AM PDT SAT AUG 29 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
TEMPERATURES WILL COOL TO SLIGHTLY BELOW AVERAGE THIS WEEKEND...AND
LOCALLY BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
IMPACTS THE REGION. TEMPERATURES SHOULD REMAIN NEAR AVERAGE
DURING NEXT WEEK AS ONSHORE FLOW CONTINUES. NO PRECIPITATION IS
EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
AFTER ANOTHER SCORCHING DAY YESTERDAY ACROSS CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
UNDER THE BACKSIDE OF A RETREATING HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE...A CHANGE
IN THE WEATHER IS ON THE WAY. A DEVELOPING TROUGH OVER THE
NORTHEAST PACIFIC IS BEGINNING TO LOWER HEIGHTS AND THICKNESSES
OVER THE REGION. ONSHORE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENTS ARE INCREASING
AND THE LAYER OF OCEAN COOLED AIR ALONG THE COAST IS DEEPENING
DRAMATICALLY. MODERATE WIND GUSTS ARE ALREADY BEING SEEN THROUGH
AND BELOW MOUNTAIN PASSES. THESE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BRING THE
COOLER AIR INTO THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY TODAY...PROVIDING
SIGNIFICANTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES...ESPECIALLY OVER NORTHERN
PORTIONS OF OUR VALLEY ZONES.

COOLING WILL BE A LITTLE LESS DRAMATIC IN THE SOUTH VALLEY AS
WELL AS AREAS OUTSIDE THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY UNTIL TOMORROW AS THE
UPPER TROUGH CONTINUES TO TRACK INLAND. SUNDAY TEMPERATURES WILL
BE AROUND 6-12 DEGREES BELOW CLIMO ACROSS OUR AREA. THE GUSTY
WINDS WILL ALSO PRODUCE AREAS OF BLOWING DUST TODAY AND SUNDAY.
THERE IS ENOUGH ASSOCIATED MOISTURE FOR SOME MID/HIGH CLOUDINESS
WITH THE PASSING TROUGH...AND MODELS SUGGEST SOME UPSLOPE
CLOUDINESS IN THE KERN COUNTY MOUNTAINS BY TONIGHT...BUT
PRECIPITATION CHANCES REMAIN AT OR NEAR ZERO.

DRY CONDITIONS WITH TEMPERATURES NEAR OR SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL
ARE PROGGED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF NEXT WEEK AS MODEL
CONSENSUS CONTINUES IN MAINTAINING A TROUGHY PATTERN OVER THE WEST
COAST THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION...
AREAS OF MVFR AND LOCAL IFR VISIBILITIES CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE
FOOTHILLS AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE SOUTHERN SIERRA NEVADA DUE TO
SMOKE. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE CENTRAL CA
INTERIOR DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
NONE.

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS HIGH.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 08-29      109:1915     79:2010     76:1915     52:1895
KFAT 08-30      109:1988     80:1957     81:2007     49:1966
KFAT 08-31      107:2007     69:1964     75:2007     50:1887

KBFL 08-29      109:1915     77:1911     85:1909     45:1903
KBFL 08-30      108:1988     80:1957     85:1909     45:1912
KBFL 08-31      111:1967     79:1966     80:2007     45:1912
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...JEB
AVN/FW...DURFEE
SYNOPSIS...JEB

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD




000
FXUS66 KHNX 291118
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
418 AM PDT SAT AUG 29 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
TEMPERATURES WILL COOL TO SLIGHTLY BELOW AVERAGE THIS WEEKEND...AND
LOCALLY BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
IMPACTS THE REGION. TEMPERATURES SHOULD REMAIN NEAR AVERAGE
DURING NEXT WEEK AS ONSHORE FLOW CONTINUES. NO PRECIPITATION IS
EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
AFTER ANOTHER SCORCHING DAY YESTERDAY ACROSS CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
UNDER THE BACKSIDE OF A RETREATING HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE...A CHANGE
IN THE WEATHER IS ON THE WAY. A DEVELOPING TROUGH OVER THE
NORTHEAST PACIFIC IS BEGINNING TO LOWER HEIGHTS AND THICKNESSES
OVER THE REGION. ONSHORE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENTS ARE INCREASING
AND THE LAYER OF OCEAN COOLED AIR ALONG THE COAST IS DEEPENING
DRAMATICALLY. MODERATE WIND GUSTS ARE ALREADY BEING SEEN THROUGH
AND BELOW MOUNTAIN PASSES. THESE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BRING THE
COOLER AIR INTO THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY TODAY...PROVIDING
SIGNIFICANTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES...ESPECIALLY OVER NORTHERN
PORTIONS OF OUR VALLEY ZONES.

COOLING WILL BE A LITTLE LESS DRAMATIC IN THE SOUTH VALLEY AS
WELL AS AREAS OUTSIDE THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY UNTIL TOMORROW AS THE
UPPER TROUGH CONTINUES TO TRACK INLAND. SUNDAY TEMPERATURES WILL
BE AROUND 6-12 DEGREES BELOW CLIMO ACROSS OUR AREA. THE GUSTY
WINDS WILL ALSO PRODUCE AREAS OF BLOWING DUST TODAY AND SUNDAY.
THERE IS ENOUGH ASSOCIATED MOISTURE FOR SOME MID/HIGH CLOUDINESS
WITH THE PASSING TROUGH...AND MODELS SUGGEST SOME UPSLOPE
CLOUDINESS IN THE KERN COUNTY MOUNTAINS BY TONIGHT...BUT
PRECIPITATION CHANCES REMAIN AT OR NEAR ZERO.

DRY CONDITIONS WITH TEMPERATURES NEAR OR SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL
ARE PROGGED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF NEXT WEEK AS MODEL
CONSENSUS CONTINUES IN MAINTAINING A TROUGHY PATTERN OVER THE WEST
COAST THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION...
AREAS OF MVFR AND LOCAL IFR VISIBILITIES CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE
FOOTHILLS AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE SOUTHERN SIERRA NEVADA DUE TO
SMOKE. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE CENTRAL CA
INTERIOR DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
NONE.

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS HIGH.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 08-29      109:1915     79:2010     76:1915     52:1895
KFAT 08-30      109:1988     80:1957     81:2007     49:1966
KFAT 08-31      107:2007     69:1964     75:2007     50:1887

KBFL 08-29      109:1915     77:1911     85:1909     45:1903
KBFL 08-30      108:1988     80:1957     85:1909     45:1912
KBFL 08-31      111:1967     79:1966     80:2007     45:1912
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...JEB
AVN/FW...DURFEE
SYNOPSIS...JEB

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD





000
FXUS66 KHNX 291118
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
418 AM PDT SAT AUG 29 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
TEMPERATURES WILL COOL TO SLIGHTLY BELOW AVERAGE THIS WEEKEND...AND
LOCALLY BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
IMPACTS THE REGION. TEMPERATURES SHOULD REMAIN NEAR AVERAGE
DURING NEXT WEEK AS ONSHORE FLOW CONTINUES. NO PRECIPITATION IS
EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
AFTER ANOTHER SCORCHING DAY YESTERDAY ACROSS CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
UNDER THE BACKSIDE OF A RETREATING HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE...A CHANGE
IN THE WEATHER IS ON THE WAY. A DEVELOPING TROUGH OVER THE
NORTHEAST PACIFIC IS BEGINNING TO LOWER HEIGHTS AND THICKNESSES
OVER THE REGION. ONSHORE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENTS ARE INCREASING
AND THE LAYER OF OCEAN COOLED AIR ALONG THE COAST IS DEEPENING
DRAMATICALLY. MODERATE WIND GUSTS ARE ALREADY BEING SEEN THROUGH
AND BELOW MOUNTAIN PASSES. THESE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BRING THE
COOLER AIR INTO THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY TODAY...PROVIDING
SIGNIFICANTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES...ESPECIALLY OVER NORTHERN
PORTIONS OF OUR VALLEY ZONES.

COOLING WILL BE A LITTLE LESS DRAMATIC IN THE SOUTH VALLEY AS
WELL AS AREAS OUTSIDE THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY UNTIL TOMORROW AS THE
UPPER TROUGH CONTINUES TO TRACK INLAND. SUNDAY TEMPERATURES WILL
BE AROUND 6-12 DEGREES BELOW CLIMO ACROSS OUR AREA. THE GUSTY
WINDS WILL ALSO PRODUCE AREAS OF BLOWING DUST TODAY AND SUNDAY.
THERE IS ENOUGH ASSOCIATED MOISTURE FOR SOME MID/HIGH CLOUDINESS
WITH THE PASSING TROUGH...AND MODELS SUGGEST SOME UPSLOPE
CLOUDINESS IN THE KERN COUNTY MOUNTAINS BY TONIGHT...BUT
PRECIPITATION CHANCES REMAIN AT OR NEAR ZERO.

DRY CONDITIONS WITH TEMPERATURES NEAR OR SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL
ARE PROGGED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF NEXT WEEK AS MODEL
CONSENSUS CONTINUES IN MAINTAINING A TROUGHY PATTERN OVER THE WEST
COAST THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION...
AREAS OF MVFR AND LOCAL IFR VISIBILITIES CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE
FOOTHILLS AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE SOUTHERN SIERRA NEVADA DUE TO
SMOKE. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE CENTRAL CA
INTERIOR DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
NONE.

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS HIGH.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 08-29      109:1915     79:2010     76:1915     52:1895
KFAT 08-30      109:1988     80:1957     81:2007     49:1966
KFAT 08-31      107:2007     69:1964     75:2007     50:1887

KBFL 08-29      109:1915     77:1911     85:1909     45:1903
KBFL 08-30      108:1988     80:1957     85:1909     45:1912
KBFL 08-31      111:1967     79:1966     80:2007     45:1912
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...JEB
AVN/FW...DURFEE
SYNOPSIS...JEB

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD





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