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000
FXUS64 KHUN 270449
AFDHUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
1049 PM CST WED NOV 26 2014

.UPDATE...
EVENING UPDATE.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
FORECAST HAS BEEN UPDATED NOW THAT THE FRONT HAS PUSHED ACROSS THE
REGION AND THE PRECIPITATION HAS ENDED. PREVIOUS GUSTY WINDS ARE
DIMINISHING ACROSS THE TN VALLEY WITH A FEW GUSTS LEFT IN EASTERN AL
AND EASTERN TN. SKIES ARE ALSO CLEARING OUT AND TEMPERATURES ARE
DROPPING ON TRACK WITH THE OVERNIGHT LOWS. NEXT FORECAST ISSUE WILL
BE WHEN AND IF LOWER CLOUDS MOVE BACK IN AS THE NAM/HRRR WERE
ORIGINALLY SUGGESTING. UPDATED TIMING LOOKS TO BE AFTER 10Z FOR A
LOW TO MID LEVEL CLOUD DECK TO MOVE IN.

LN

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 526 PM CST WED NOV 26 2014/
FOR 00Z TAFS...CIGS LOWERING ACROSS THE AREA NOW TO ABOUT 5-7K FT. A
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE TERMINALS BY 06Z...WITH
A BRIEF PERIOD OF GUSTY WINDS BEHIND IT. SKIES MAY ALSO BRIEFLY CLEAR
BEFORE ADDITIONAL MOISTURE RETURNS. CONFIDENCE TOO LOW ON THE TIMING
OF THE CLEARING CLOUDS TO INCLUDE IN TAFS AT THIS TIME.
SPRINKLES/LIGHT RAIN AND AN OCCASIONAL GUST ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH 06Z
AS WELL BUT NOT WIDESPREAD ENOUGH TO INCLUDE.

LN

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 824 PM CST WED NOV 26 2014/
A FEW THINGS TO NOTE WITH THE FORECAST FOR THIS EVENING. THE COLD
FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE WEST IS ON THE HUNTSVILLE DOORSTEP AS OF
02Z. WITH THIS FRONT...WESTERLY WIND GUSTS HAVE INCREASED TO 30-35
MPH IN SOME SPOTS. THIS IS EXPECTED TO BE ONLY FOR A SHORT
DURATION...LIKELY ONLY UNTIL ABOUT 4 TO 5Z. SITES WEST OF THE FRONT
ARE ALREADY REPORTING WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. AS WELL...MONTE SANO
HAS REPORTED SOME LIGHT SNOW OR A RAIN/SNOW MIX WITH THE
PRECIPITATION CROSSING THE EASTERN HALF OF THE AREA. HAVE CHANGED THE
LIGHT SNOW/RAIN TO FLURRIES/SPRINKLES WITH LITTLE TO NO ACCUMULATION
EXPECTED. ANY SNOW WOULD BE CONFINED TO THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. THIS
PRECIPITATION IS QUICKLY MOVING EAST AND HAVE THEREFORE CHANGED THE
FORECAST TO DRY AFTER 06Z.

WITH THE CLOUDY SKIES...TEMPERATURES HAVE NOT FALLEN AS QUICKLY AS
FORECAST AND HAVE UPDATED HOURLY TEMPS TO REFLECT THE TRENDS. WITH
SKIES ALREADY QUICKLY CLEARING BEHIND THE FRONT...DID NOT CHANGE THE
MIN TEMP FOR THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

LN

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE
AT WEATHER.GOV/HUNTSVILLE.





000
FXUS64 KHUN 270449
AFDHUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
1049 PM CST WED NOV 26 2014

.UPDATE...
EVENING UPDATE.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
FORECAST HAS BEEN UPDATED NOW THAT THE FRONT HAS PUSHED ACROSS THE
REGION AND THE PRECIPITATION HAS ENDED. PREVIOUS GUSTY WINDS ARE
DIMINISHING ACROSS THE TN VALLEY WITH A FEW GUSTS LEFT IN EASTERN AL
AND EASTERN TN. SKIES ARE ALSO CLEARING OUT AND TEMPERATURES ARE
DROPPING ON TRACK WITH THE OVERNIGHT LOWS. NEXT FORECAST ISSUE WILL
BE WHEN AND IF LOWER CLOUDS MOVE BACK IN AS THE NAM/HRRR WERE
ORIGINALLY SUGGESTING. UPDATED TIMING LOOKS TO BE AFTER 10Z FOR A
LOW TO MID LEVEL CLOUD DECK TO MOVE IN.

LN

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 526 PM CST WED NOV 26 2014/
FOR 00Z TAFS...CIGS LOWERING ACROSS THE AREA NOW TO ABOUT 5-7K FT. A
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE TERMINALS BY 06Z...WITH
A BRIEF PERIOD OF GUSTY WINDS BEHIND IT. SKIES MAY ALSO BRIEFLY CLEAR
BEFORE ADDITIONAL MOISTURE RETURNS. CONFIDENCE TOO LOW ON THE TIMING
OF THE CLEARING CLOUDS TO INCLUDE IN TAFS AT THIS TIME.
SPRINKLES/LIGHT RAIN AND AN OCCASIONAL GUST ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH 06Z
AS WELL BUT NOT WIDESPREAD ENOUGH TO INCLUDE.

LN

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 824 PM CST WED NOV 26 2014/
A FEW THINGS TO NOTE WITH THE FORECAST FOR THIS EVENING. THE COLD
FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE WEST IS ON THE HUNTSVILLE DOORSTEP AS OF
02Z. WITH THIS FRONT...WESTERLY WIND GUSTS HAVE INCREASED TO 30-35
MPH IN SOME SPOTS. THIS IS EXPECTED TO BE ONLY FOR A SHORT
DURATION...LIKELY ONLY UNTIL ABOUT 4 TO 5Z. SITES WEST OF THE FRONT
ARE ALREADY REPORTING WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. AS WELL...MONTE SANO
HAS REPORTED SOME LIGHT SNOW OR A RAIN/SNOW MIX WITH THE
PRECIPITATION CROSSING THE EASTERN HALF OF THE AREA. HAVE CHANGED THE
LIGHT SNOW/RAIN TO FLURRIES/SPRINKLES WITH LITTLE TO NO ACCUMULATION
EXPECTED. ANY SNOW WOULD BE CONFINED TO THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. THIS
PRECIPITATION IS QUICKLY MOVING EAST AND HAVE THEREFORE CHANGED THE
FORECAST TO DRY AFTER 06Z.

WITH THE CLOUDY SKIES...TEMPERATURES HAVE NOT FALLEN AS QUICKLY AS
FORECAST AND HAVE UPDATED HOURLY TEMPS TO REFLECT THE TRENDS. WITH
SKIES ALREADY QUICKLY CLEARING BEHIND THE FRONT...DID NOT CHANGE THE
MIN TEMP FOR THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

LN

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE
AT WEATHER.GOV/HUNTSVILLE.




000
FXUS64 KHUN 270224 AAA
AFDHUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
824 PM CST WED NOV 26 2014

.UPDATE...
EVENING UPDATE

&&

.DISCUSSION...
A FEW THINGS TO NOTE WITH THE FORECAST FOR THIS EVENING. THE COLD
FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE WEST IS ON THE HUNTSVILLE DOORSTEP AS OF
02Z. WITH THIS FRONT...WESTERLY WIND GUSTS HAVE INCREASED TO 30-35
MPH IN SOME SPOTS. THIS IS EXPECTED TO BE ONLY FOR A SHORT
DURATION...LIKELY ONLY UNTIL ABOUT 4 TO 5Z. SITES WEST OF THE FRONT
ARE ALREADY REPORTING WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. AS WELL...MONTE SANO
HAS REPORTED SOME LIGHT SNOW OR A RAIN/SNOW MIX WITH THE
PRECIPITATION CROSSING THE EASTERN HALF OF THE AREA. HAVE CHANGED THE
LIGHT SNOW/RAIN TO FLURRIES/SPRINKLES WITH LITTLE TO NO ACCUMULATION
EXPECTED. ANY SNOW WOULD BE CONFINED TO THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. THIS
PRECIPITATION IS QUICKLY MOVING EAST AND HAVE THEREFORE CHANGED THE
FORECAST TO DRY AFTER 06Z.

WITH THE CLOUDY SKIES...TEMPERATURES HAVE NOT FALLEN AS QUICKLY AS
FORECAST AND HAVE UPDATED HOURLY TEMPS TO REFLECT THE TRENDS. WITH
SKIES ALREADY QUICKLY CLEARING BEHIND THE FRONT...DID NOT CHANGE THE
MIN TEMP FOR THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

LN

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 526 PM CST WED NOV 26 2014/
FOR 00Z TAFS...CIGS LOWERING ACROSS THE AREA NOW TO ABOUT 5-7K FT. A
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE TERMINALS BY 06Z...WITH
A BRIEF PERIOD OF GUSTY WINDS BEHIND IT. SKIES MAY ALSO BRIEFLY CLEAR
BEFORE ADDITIONAL MOISTURE RETURNS. CONFIDENCE TOO LOW ON THE TIMING
OF THE CLEARING CLOUDS TO INCLUDE IN TAFS AT THIS TIME.
SPRINKLES/LIGHT RAIN AND AN OCCASIONAL GUST ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH 06Z
AS WELL BUT NOT WIDESPREAD ENOUGH TO INCLUDE.

LN

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 239 PM CST WED NOV 26 2014/

THE AXIS OF THE LONG WAVE TROUGH WAS MOVING OVER THE OHIO
VALLEY...WITH A SURFACE LOW MOVING INTO SOUTHERN ILLINOIS. 19Z
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOWED AREAS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW WRAPPING
AROUND THE BACKSIDE OF THE SURFACE LOW. MEANWHILE...HIGH PRESSURE
WAS BUILDING IN ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO...WITH SURFACE
WINDS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA BECOMING SOUTHERLY OVER THE LAST HOUR
OR SO.

THE AFOREMENTIONED SURFACE LOW WILL DIG SOUTHWARD OVER THE
NEXT 6 HOURS...REACHING INTO SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE SHORTLY AFTER
00Z. MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA
AFTER SUNSET...WITH LIGHT RAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTION
OF THE CWA. TEMPERATURES AT THE ONSET OF PRECIPITATION SHOULD REMAIN
WELL ABOVE FREEZING. AS THE LOW THEN MOVES EAST AFTER 06Z...COLD AIR
WILL FILTER IN BEHIND A SURFACE COLD FRONT...WITH MOISTURE LINGERING
ON THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE LOW...ACROSS OUR NORTHEASTERN
COUNTIES. ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS...THE WET BULB TEMPERATURE
PROFILE WILL LIKELY BE BELOW FREEZING AFTER MIDNIGHT AND LIGHT SNOW
WILL BE POSSIBLE. ELSEWHERE...TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
ABOVE FREEZING AS THE PRECIPITATION MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. THERE IS A
POSSIBILITY THAT THE ATMOSPHERE REMAINS TOO DRY...HOWEVER GIVEN THE
CONSISTENCY IN GUIDANCE AND THE CURRENT CONDITIONS...HAVE OPTED TO
INCLUDE LIGHT SNOW IN THE FORECAST. NO ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED DUE
TO THE SHORT DURATION AND RELATIVELY WARM SURFACE TEMPERATURES.

THE SURFACE LOW AND MOISTURE QUICKLY MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST ON
THURSDAY...AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE AREA. BRISK
NORTHERLY WINDS WILL BRING IN COLDER AIR...AND TEMPERATURES WILL ONLY
REACH INTO THE MID 40S ACROSS THE AREA. THE COLD AIR WILL BE SHORT
LIVED...AS SOUTHERLY FLOW RETURNS ON FRIDAY. STRONG UPPER LEVEL
RIDGING WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO MODERATE OVER THE WEEKEND...WITH
FORECAST HIGHS REACHING INTO THE UPPER 60S...AND POSSIBLY LOWER 70S
BY SUNDAY AND MONDAY. MODELS DIVERGE ON THEIR SOLUTIONS BEYOND
SUNDAY...WITH SEVERAL SHORTWAVES MOVING THROUGH THE AREA DURING THE
BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK. DEPENDING ON THE AMOUNT OF MOISTURE ACROSS
THE AREA...WE MAY SEE THE RETURN OF SHOWERS...AND POSSIBLY A
THUNDERSTORM. DID NOT MAKE TOO MANY CHANGES GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY
THIS FAR OUT.

73

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE
AT WEATHER.GOV/HUNTSVILLE.





000
FXUS64 KHUN 270224 AAA
AFDHUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
824 PM CST WED NOV 26 2014

.UPDATE...
EVENING UPDATE

&&

.DISCUSSION...
A FEW THINGS TO NOTE WITH THE FORECAST FOR THIS EVENING. THE COLD
FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE WEST IS ON THE HUNTSVILLE DOORSTEP AS OF
02Z. WITH THIS FRONT...WESTERLY WIND GUSTS HAVE INCREASED TO 30-35
MPH IN SOME SPOTS. THIS IS EXPECTED TO BE ONLY FOR A SHORT
DURATION...LIKELY ONLY UNTIL ABOUT 4 TO 5Z. SITES WEST OF THE FRONT
ARE ALREADY REPORTING WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. AS WELL...MONTE SANO
HAS REPORTED SOME LIGHT SNOW OR A RAIN/SNOW MIX WITH THE
PRECIPITATION CROSSING THE EASTERN HALF OF THE AREA. HAVE CHANGED THE
LIGHT SNOW/RAIN TO FLURRIES/SPRINKLES WITH LITTLE TO NO ACCUMULATION
EXPECTED. ANY SNOW WOULD BE CONFINED TO THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. THIS
PRECIPITATION IS QUICKLY MOVING EAST AND HAVE THEREFORE CHANGED THE
FORECAST TO DRY AFTER 06Z.

WITH THE CLOUDY SKIES...TEMPERATURES HAVE NOT FALLEN AS QUICKLY AS
FORECAST AND HAVE UPDATED HOURLY TEMPS TO REFLECT THE TRENDS. WITH
SKIES ALREADY QUICKLY CLEARING BEHIND THE FRONT...DID NOT CHANGE THE
MIN TEMP FOR THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

LN

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 526 PM CST WED NOV 26 2014/
FOR 00Z TAFS...CIGS LOWERING ACROSS THE AREA NOW TO ABOUT 5-7K FT. A
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE TERMINALS BY 06Z...WITH
A BRIEF PERIOD OF GUSTY WINDS BEHIND IT. SKIES MAY ALSO BRIEFLY CLEAR
BEFORE ADDITIONAL MOISTURE RETURNS. CONFIDENCE TOO LOW ON THE TIMING
OF THE CLEARING CLOUDS TO INCLUDE IN TAFS AT THIS TIME.
SPRINKLES/LIGHT RAIN AND AN OCCASIONAL GUST ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH 06Z
AS WELL BUT NOT WIDESPREAD ENOUGH TO INCLUDE.

LN

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 239 PM CST WED NOV 26 2014/

THE AXIS OF THE LONG WAVE TROUGH WAS MOVING OVER THE OHIO
VALLEY...WITH A SURFACE LOW MOVING INTO SOUTHERN ILLINOIS. 19Z
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOWED AREAS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW WRAPPING
AROUND THE BACKSIDE OF THE SURFACE LOW. MEANWHILE...HIGH PRESSURE
WAS BUILDING IN ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO...WITH SURFACE
WINDS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA BECOMING SOUTHERLY OVER THE LAST HOUR
OR SO.

THE AFOREMENTIONED SURFACE LOW WILL DIG SOUTHWARD OVER THE
NEXT 6 HOURS...REACHING INTO SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE SHORTLY AFTER
00Z. MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA
AFTER SUNSET...WITH LIGHT RAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTION
OF THE CWA. TEMPERATURES AT THE ONSET OF PRECIPITATION SHOULD REMAIN
WELL ABOVE FREEZING. AS THE LOW THEN MOVES EAST AFTER 06Z...COLD AIR
WILL FILTER IN BEHIND A SURFACE COLD FRONT...WITH MOISTURE LINGERING
ON THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE LOW...ACROSS OUR NORTHEASTERN
COUNTIES. ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS...THE WET BULB TEMPERATURE
PROFILE WILL LIKELY BE BELOW FREEZING AFTER MIDNIGHT AND LIGHT SNOW
WILL BE POSSIBLE. ELSEWHERE...TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
ABOVE FREEZING AS THE PRECIPITATION MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. THERE IS A
POSSIBILITY THAT THE ATMOSPHERE REMAINS TOO DRY...HOWEVER GIVEN THE
CONSISTENCY IN GUIDANCE AND THE CURRENT CONDITIONS...HAVE OPTED TO
INCLUDE LIGHT SNOW IN THE FORECAST. NO ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED DUE
TO THE SHORT DURATION AND RELATIVELY WARM SURFACE TEMPERATURES.

THE SURFACE LOW AND MOISTURE QUICKLY MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST ON
THURSDAY...AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE AREA. BRISK
NORTHERLY WINDS WILL BRING IN COLDER AIR...AND TEMPERATURES WILL ONLY
REACH INTO THE MID 40S ACROSS THE AREA. THE COLD AIR WILL BE SHORT
LIVED...AS SOUTHERLY FLOW RETURNS ON FRIDAY. STRONG UPPER LEVEL
RIDGING WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO MODERATE OVER THE WEEKEND...WITH
FORECAST HIGHS REACHING INTO THE UPPER 60S...AND POSSIBLY LOWER 70S
BY SUNDAY AND MONDAY. MODELS DIVERGE ON THEIR SOLUTIONS BEYOND
SUNDAY...WITH SEVERAL SHORTWAVES MOVING THROUGH THE AREA DURING THE
BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK. DEPENDING ON THE AMOUNT OF MOISTURE ACROSS
THE AREA...WE MAY SEE THE RETURN OF SHOWERS...AND POSSIBLY A
THUNDERSTORM. DID NOT MAKE TOO MANY CHANGES GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY
THIS FAR OUT.

73

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE
AT WEATHER.GOV/HUNTSVILLE.




000
FXUS64 KHUN 262326
AFDHUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
526 PM CST WED NOV 26 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 00Z TAFS

&&

.DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 239 PM CST WED NOV 26 2014/

THE AXIS OF THE LONG WAVE TROUGH WAS MOVING OVER THE OHIO
VALLEY...WITH A SURFACE LOW MOVING INTO SOUTHERN ILLINOIS. 19Z
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOWED AREAS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW WRAPPING
AROUND THE BACKSIDE OF THE SURFACE LOW. MEANWHILE...HIGH PRESSURE
WAS BUILDING IN ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO...WITH SURFACE
WINDS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA BECOMING SOUTHERLY OVER THE LAST HOUR
OR SO.

THE AFOREMENTIONED SURFACE LOW WILL DIG SOUTHWARD OVER THE
NEXT 6 HOURS...REACHING INTO SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE SHORTLY AFTER
00Z. MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA
AFTER SUNSET...WITH LIGHT RAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTION
OF THE CWA. TEMPERATURES AT THE ONSET OF PRECIPITATION SHOULD REMAIN
WELL ABOVE FREEZING. AS THE LOW THEN MOVES EAST AFTER 06Z...COLD AIR
WILL FILTER IN BEHIND A SURFACE COLD FRONT...WITH MOISTURE LINGERING
ON THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE LOW...ACROSS OUR NORTHEASTERN
COUNTIES. ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS...THE WET BULB TEMPERATURE
PROFILE WILL LIKELY BE BELOW FREEZING AFTER MIDNIGHT AND LIGHT SNOW
WILL BE POSSIBLE. ELSEWHERE...TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
ABOVE FREEZING AS THE PRECIPITATION MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. THERE IS A
POSSIBILITY THAT THE ATMOSPHERE REMAINS TOO DRY...HOWEVER GIVEN THE
CONSISTENCY IN GUIDANCE AND THE CURRENT CONDITIONS...HAVE OPTED TO
INCLUDE LIGHT SNOW IN THE FORECAST. NO ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED DUE
TO THE SHORT DURATION AND RELATIVELY WARM SURFACE TEMPERATURES.

THE SURFACE LOW AND MOISTURE QUICKLY MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST ON
THURSDAY...AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE AREA. BRISK
NORTHERLY WINDS WILL BRING IN COLDER AIR...AND TEMPERATURES WILL ONLY
REACH INTO THE MID 40S ACROSS THE AREA. THE COLD AIR WILL BE SHORT
LIVED...AS SOUTHERLY FLOW RETURNS ON FRIDAY. STRONG UPPER LEVEL
RIDGING WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO MODERATE OVER THE WEEKEND...WITH
FORECAST HIGHS REACHING INTO THE UPPER 60S...AND POSSIBLY LOWER 70S
BY SUNDAY AND MONDAY. MODELS DIVERGE ON THEIR SOLUTIONS BEYOND
SUNDAY...WITH SEVERAL SHORTWAVES MOVING THROUGH THE AREA DURING THE
BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK. DEPENDING ON THE AMOUNT OF MOISTURE ACROSS
THE AREA...WE MAY SEE THE RETURN OF SHOWERS...AND POSSIBLY A
THUNDERSTORM. DID NOT MAKE TOO MANY CHANGES GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY
THIS FAR OUT.

73

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR 00Z TAFS...CIGS LOWERING ACROSS THE AREA NOW TO ABOUT 5-7K FT. A
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE TERMINALS BY 06Z...WITH
A BRIEF PERIOD OF GUSTY WINDS BEHIND IT. SKIES MAY ALSO BRIEFLY CLEAR
BEFORE ADDITIONAL MOISTURE RETURNS. CONFIDENCE TOO LOW ON THE TIMING
OF THE CLEARING CLOUDS TO INCLUDE IN TAFS AT THIS TIME.
SPRINKLES/LIGHT RAIN AND AN OCCASIONAL GUST ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH 06Z
AS WELL BUT NOT WIDESPREAD ENOUGH TO INCLUDE.

LN

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE
AT WEATHER.GOV/HUNTSVILLE.





000
FXUS64 KHUN 262039
AFDHUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
239 PM CST WED NOV 26 2014

.DISCUSSION...

THE AXIS OF THE LONG WAVE TROUGH WAS MOVING OVER THE OHIO
VALLEY...WITH A SURFACE LOW MOVING INTO SOUTHERN ILLINOIS. 19Z
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOWED AREAS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW WRAPPING
AROUND THE BACKSIDE OF THE SURFACE LOW. MEANWHILE...HIGH PRESSURE
WAS BUILDING IN ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO...WITH SURFACE
WINDS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA BECOMING SOUTHERLY OVER THE LAST HOUR
OR SO.

THE AFOREMENTIONED SURFACE LOW WILL DIG SOUTHWARD OVER THE
NEXT 6 HOURS...REACHING INTO SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE SHORTLY AFTER
00Z. MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA
AFTER SUNSET...WITH LIGHT RAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTION
OF THE CWA. TEMPERATURES AT THE ONSET OF PRECIPITATION SHOULD REMAIN
WELL ABOVE FREEZING. AS THE LOW THEN MOVES EAST AFTER 06Z...COLD AIR
WILL FILTER IN BEHIND A SURFACE COLD FRONT...WITH MOISTURE LINGERING
ON THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE LOW...ACROSS OUR NORTHEASTERN
COUNTIES. ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS...THE WET BULB TEMPERATURE
PROFILE WILL LIKELY BE BELOW FREEZING AFTER MIDNIGHT AND LIGHT SNOW
WILL BE POSSIBLE. ELSEWHERE...TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
ABOVE FREEZING AS THE PRECIPITATION MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. THERE IS A
POSSIBILITY THAT THE ATMOSPHERE REMAINS TOO DRY...HOWEVER GIVEN THE
CONSISTENCY IN GUIDANCE AND THE CURRENT CONDITIONS...HAVE OPTED TO
INCLUDE LIGHT SNOW IN THE FORECAST. NO ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED DUE
TO THE SHORT DURATION AND RELATIVELY WARM SURFACE TEMPERATURES.

THE SURFACE LOW AND MOISTURE QUICKLY MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST ON
THURSDAY...AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE AREA. BRISK
NORTHERLY WINDS WILL BRING IN COLDER AIR...AND TEMPERATURES WILL ONLY
REACH INTO THE MID 40S ACROSS THE AREA. THE COLD AIR WILL BE SHORT
LIVED...AS SOUTHERLY FLOW RETURNS ON FRIDAY. STRONG UPPER LEVEL
RIDGING WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO MODERATE OVER THE WEEKEND...WITH
FORECAST HIGHS REACHING INTO THE UPPER 60S...AND POSSIBLY LOWER 70S
BY SUNDAY AND MONDAY. MODELS DIVERGE ON THEIR SOLUTIONS BEYOND
SUNDAY...WITH SEVERAL SHORTWAVES MOVING THROUGH THE AREA DURING THE
BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK. DEPENDING ON THE AMOUNT OF MOISTURE ACROSS
THE AREA...WE MAY SEE THE RETURN OF SHOWERS...AND POSSIBLY A
THUNDERSTORM. DID NOT MAKE TOO MANY CHANGES GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY
THIS FAR OUT.

73

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 1059 AM CST WED NOV 26 2014/
FOR 18Z TAFS... BAND OF MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS (VFR) WILL
OVERSPREAD THE TN VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON IN ADVANCE OF AN UPPER AIR
TROF DROPPING THRU THE MO VALLEY. THIS SYSTEM WILL ARRIVE IN THE OHIO
AND TN VALLEYS TONIGHT BRINGING A COLD FRONT THRU KMSL ~03Z AND KHSV
~05Z SHIFTING WINDS FROM SW TO NW. MVFR CIGS ARE LIKELY BEHIND THE
FRONT LASTING THRU THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD. ATTM, PRECIPITATION
SHOULD REMAIN TO THE N OF BOTH TERMINALS.

AK

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
HUNTSVILLE    32  43  26  50 /  10  10   0   0
SHOALS        34  44  26  50 /  10  10   0   0
VINEMONT      34  42  25  49 /  10  10   0   0
FAYETTEVILLE  32  42  25  48 /  20  10   0   0
ALBERTVILLE   32  43  24  50 /  10  10   0   0
FORT PAYNE    34  44  25  48 /  10  10   0   0

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE
AT WEATHER.GOV/HUNTSVILLE.





000
FXUS64 KHUN 262039
AFDHUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
239 PM CST WED NOV 26 2014

.DISCUSSION...

THE AXIS OF THE LONG WAVE TROUGH WAS MOVING OVER THE OHIO
VALLEY...WITH A SURFACE LOW MOVING INTO SOUTHERN ILLINOIS. 19Z
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOWED AREAS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW WRAPPING
AROUND THE BACKSIDE OF THE SURFACE LOW. MEANWHILE...HIGH PRESSURE
WAS BUILDING IN ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO...WITH SURFACE
WINDS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA BECOMING SOUTHERLY OVER THE LAST HOUR
OR SO.

THE AFOREMENTIONED SURFACE LOW WILL DIG SOUTHWARD OVER THE
NEXT 6 HOURS...REACHING INTO SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE SHORTLY AFTER
00Z. MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA
AFTER SUNSET...WITH LIGHT RAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTION
OF THE CWA. TEMPERATURES AT THE ONSET OF PRECIPITATION SHOULD REMAIN
WELL ABOVE FREEZING. AS THE LOW THEN MOVES EAST AFTER 06Z...COLD AIR
WILL FILTER IN BEHIND A SURFACE COLD FRONT...WITH MOISTURE LINGERING
ON THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE LOW...ACROSS OUR NORTHEASTERN
COUNTIES. ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS...THE WET BULB TEMPERATURE
PROFILE WILL LIKELY BE BELOW FREEZING AFTER MIDNIGHT AND LIGHT SNOW
WILL BE POSSIBLE. ELSEWHERE...TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
ABOVE FREEZING AS THE PRECIPITATION MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. THERE IS A
POSSIBILITY THAT THE ATMOSPHERE REMAINS TOO DRY...HOWEVER GIVEN THE
CONSISTENCY IN GUIDANCE AND THE CURRENT CONDITIONS...HAVE OPTED TO
INCLUDE LIGHT SNOW IN THE FORECAST. NO ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED DUE
TO THE SHORT DURATION AND RELATIVELY WARM SURFACE TEMPERATURES.

THE SURFACE LOW AND MOISTURE QUICKLY MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST ON
THURSDAY...AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE AREA. BRISK
NORTHERLY WINDS WILL BRING IN COLDER AIR...AND TEMPERATURES WILL ONLY
REACH INTO THE MID 40S ACROSS THE AREA. THE COLD AIR WILL BE SHORT
LIVED...AS SOUTHERLY FLOW RETURNS ON FRIDAY. STRONG UPPER LEVEL
RIDGING WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO MODERATE OVER THE WEEKEND...WITH
FORECAST HIGHS REACHING INTO THE UPPER 60S...AND POSSIBLY LOWER 70S
BY SUNDAY AND MONDAY. MODELS DIVERGE ON THEIR SOLUTIONS BEYOND
SUNDAY...WITH SEVERAL SHORTWAVES MOVING THROUGH THE AREA DURING THE
BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK. DEPENDING ON THE AMOUNT OF MOISTURE ACROSS
THE AREA...WE MAY SEE THE RETURN OF SHOWERS...AND POSSIBLY A
THUNDERSTORM. DID NOT MAKE TOO MANY CHANGES GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY
THIS FAR OUT.

73

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 1059 AM CST WED NOV 26 2014/
FOR 18Z TAFS... BAND OF MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS (VFR) WILL
OVERSPREAD THE TN VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON IN ADVANCE OF AN UPPER AIR
TROF DROPPING THRU THE MO VALLEY. THIS SYSTEM WILL ARRIVE IN THE OHIO
AND TN VALLEYS TONIGHT BRINGING A COLD FRONT THRU KMSL ~03Z AND KHSV
~05Z SHIFTING WINDS FROM SW TO NW. MVFR CIGS ARE LIKELY BEHIND THE
FRONT LASTING THRU THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD. ATTM, PRECIPITATION
SHOULD REMAIN TO THE N OF BOTH TERMINALS.

AK

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
HUNTSVILLE    32  43  26  50 /  10  10   0   0
SHOALS        34  44  26  50 /  10  10   0   0
VINEMONT      34  42  25  49 /  10  10   0   0
FAYETTEVILLE  32  42  25  48 /  20  10   0   0
ALBERTVILLE   32  43  24  50 /  10  10   0   0
FORT PAYNE    34  44  25  48 /  10  10   0   0

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE
AT WEATHER.GOV/HUNTSVILLE.




000
FXUS64 KHUN 261659 AAC
AFDHUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
1059 AM CST WED NOV 26 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 18Z TAFS

&&

.DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 933 AM CST WED NOV 26 2014/
WATER VAPOR SHOWS A COMPACT SHORTWAVE/UPPER LOW OVER SRN IA INTO WRN
MO DROPPING RAPIDLY SOUTHEAST AS AN IMPRESSIVE JET STREAM FLOWS SE
FROM THE NRN ROCKIES INTO THE DEEP SOUTH. AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW
WAS OVER KDSM WITH A SECONDARY LOW DEVELOPING IN NORTHERN AR ALONG A
TROF AXIS. THE COLD FRONT WAS SITUATED FROM THE LOW IN IA INTO NRN
KS. THE LOWS ARE FORECAST TO BASICALLY MERGE OVER MIDDLE TN BY EARLY
THIS EVENING. AN ARC OF MID/HIGH CLOUDS IN ADVANCE OF THE SHORTWAVE
WAS CROSSING THE MS RIVER AND WILL ARRIVE EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. AT
THIS HOUR, PRECIP WAS CONFINED TO SW/CENTRAL MO WITH A DRY LOW LEVEL
AIRMASS IN AR. THE AIRMASS WILL BE SLOW TO MOISTEN (TOP-DOWN) THIS
AFTERNOON, SO HAVE OPTED TO REMOVE PRECIP FROM THIS AFTERNOON`S
FORECAST. THE MAJORITY OF THE PRECIP WILL REMAIN IN THE COOL SECTOR
UNTIL THE COLD FRONT ARRIVES LATE TONIGHT.

AK

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR 18Z TAFS... BAND OF MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS (VFR) WILL
OVERSPREAD THE TN VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON IN ADVANCE OF AN UPPER AIR
TROF DROPPING THRU THE MO VALLEY. THIS SYSTEM WILL ARRIVE IN THE OHIO
AND TN VALLEYS TONIGHT BRINGING A COLD FRONT THRU KMSL ~03Z AND KHSV
~05Z SHIFTING WINDS FROM SW TO NW. MVFR CIGS ARE LIKELY BEHIND THE
FRONT LASTING THRU THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD. ATTM, PRECIPITATION
SHOULD REMAIN TO THE N OF BOTH TERMINALS.

AK

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE
AT WEATHER.GOV/HUNTSVILLE.




000
FXUS64 KHUN 261659 AAC
AFDHUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
1059 AM CST WED NOV 26 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 18Z TAFS

&&

.DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 933 AM CST WED NOV 26 2014/
WATER VAPOR SHOWS A COMPACT SHORTWAVE/UPPER LOW OVER SRN IA INTO WRN
MO DROPPING RAPIDLY SOUTHEAST AS AN IMPRESSIVE JET STREAM FLOWS SE
FROM THE NRN ROCKIES INTO THE DEEP SOUTH. AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW
WAS OVER KDSM WITH A SECONDARY LOW DEVELOPING IN NORTHERN AR ALONG A
TROF AXIS. THE COLD FRONT WAS SITUATED FROM THE LOW IN IA INTO NRN
KS. THE LOWS ARE FORECAST TO BASICALLY MERGE OVER MIDDLE TN BY EARLY
THIS EVENING. AN ARC OF MID/HIGH CLOUDS IN ADVANCE OF THE SHORTWAVE
WAS CROSSING THE MS RIVER AND WILL ARRIVE EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. AT
THIS HOUR, PRECIP WAS CONFINED TO SW/CENTRAL MO WITH A DRY LOW LEVEL
AIRMASS IN AR. THE AIRMASS WILL BE SLOW TO MOISTEN (TOP-DOWN) THIS
AFTERNOON, SO HAVE OPTED TO REMOVE PRECIP FROM THIS AFTERNOON`S
FORECAST. THE MAJORITY OF THE PRECIP WILL REMAIN IN THE COOL SECTOR
UNTIL THE COLD FRONT ARRIVES LATE TONIGHT.

AK

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR 18Z TAFS... BAND OF MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS (VFR) WILL
OVERSPREAD THE TN VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON IN ADVANCE OF AN UPPER AIR
TROF DROPPING THRU THE MO VALLEY. THIS SYSTEM WILL ARRIVE IN THE OHIO
AND TN VALLEYS TONIGHT BRINGING A COLD FRONT THRU KMSL ~03Z AND KHSV
~05Z SHIFTING WINDS FROM SW TO NW. MVFR CIGS ARE LIKELY BEHIND THE
FRONT LASTING THRU THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD. ATTM, PRECIPITATION
SHOULD REMAIN TO THE N OF BOTH TERMINALS.

AK

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE
AT WEATHER.GOV/HUNTSVILLE.





000
FXUS64 KHUN 261533 AAB
AFDHUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
933 AM CST WED NOV 26 2014

.UPDATE...
TO ADJUST SKY COVER TRENDS THIS MORNING AND RAISE MAX TEMPS BY A FEW
DEGREES TODAY AND REMOVE SCHC OF -RA IN SRN TN THIS AFTERNOON.
&&

.DISCUSSION...
WATER VAPOR SHOWS A COMPACT SHORTWAVE/UPPER LOW OVER SRN IA INTO WRN
MO DROPPING RAPIDLY SOUTHEAST AS AN IMPRESSIVE JET STREAM FLOWS SE
FROM THE NRN ROCKIES INTO THE DEEP SOUTH. AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW
WAS OVER KDSM WITH A SECONDARY LOW DEVELOPING IN NORTHERN AR ALONG A
TROF AXIS. THE COLD FRONT WAS SITUATED FROM THE LOW IN IA INTO NRN
KS. THE LOWS ARE FORECAST TO BASICALLY MERGE OVER MIDDLE TN BY EARLY
THIS EVENING. AN ARC OF MID/HIGH CLOUDS IN ADVANCE OF THE SHORTWAVE
WAS CROSSING THE MS RIVER AND WILL ARRIVE EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. AT
THIS HOUR, PRECIP WAS CONFINED TO SW/CENTRAL MO WITH A DRY LOW LEVEL
AIRMASS IN AR. THE AIRMASS WILL BE SLOW TO MOISTEN (TOP-DOWN) THIS
AFTERNOON, SO HAVE OPTED TO REMOVE PRECIP FROM THIS AFTERNOON`S
FORECAST. THE MAJORITY OF THE PRECIP WILL REMAIN IN THE COOL SECTOR
UNTIL THE COLD FRONT ARRIVES LATE TONIGHT.

AK

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 549 AM CST WED NOV 26 2014/
FOR 12Z TAFS...SKC CONDS AND A LIGHT WNW FLOW PERSIST AT BOTH HSV/MSL
IN WAKE OF WEAK COLD FRONT LAST EVENING. SCT HIGH-LEVEL CLOUDS WILL
BEGIN TO SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION THIS MORNING...WITH BKN AS CIGS
ARND 12 KFT AND A GUSTY S FLOW DEVELOPING THIS AFTN IN ADVANCE OF A
DISTURBANCE APPROACHING FROM THE NW. STRONG COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED
WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL PUSH EWD ACROSS BOTH TERMINALS BTWN 27/02-05Z.
A BAND OF -RA WILL LIKELY ACCOMPANY FROPA...BUT HAVE NOT INCLUDED IN
FORECAST ATTM DUE TO MINIMAL IMPACTS AND VERY BRIEF PERIOD OF PCPN
EXPECTED. WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 10G18 KTS FROM NW IN WAKE OF THE
FRONT...WITH BKN/OVC MVFR STRATUS EXPECTED THRU END OF TAF PERIOD.

70/DD

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE
AT WEATHER.GOV/HUNTSVILLE.





000
FXUS64 KHUN 261533 AAB
AFDHUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
933 AM CST WED NOV 26 2014

.UPDATE...
TO ADJUST SKY COVER TRENDS THIS MORNING AND RAISE MAX TEMPS BY A FEW
DEGREES TODAY AND REMOVE SCHC OF -RA IN SRN TN THIS AFTERNOON.
&&

.DISCUSSION...
WATER VAPOR SHOWS A COMPACT SHORTWAVE/UPPER LOW OVER SRN IA INTO WRN
MO DROPPING RAPIDLY SOUTHEAST AS AN IMPRESSIVE JET STREAM FLOWS SE
FROM THE NRN ROCKIES INTO THE DEEP SOUTH. AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW
WAS OVER KDSM WITH A SECONDARY LOW DEVELOPING IN NORTHERN AR ALONG A
TROF AXIS. THE COLD FRONT WAS SITUATED FROM THE LOW IN IA INTO NRN
KS. THE LOWS ARE FORECAST TO BASICALLY MERGE OVER MIDDLE TN BY EARLY
THIS EVENING. AN ARC OF MID/HIGH CLOUDS IN ADVANCE OF THE SHORTWAVE
WAS CROSSING THE MS RIVER AND WILL ARRIVE EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. AT
THIS HOUR, PRECIP WAS CONFINED TO SW/CENTRAL MO WITH A DRY LOW LEVEL
AIRMASS IN AR. THE AIRMASS WILL BE SLOW TO MOISTEN (TOP-DOWN) THIS
AFTERNOON, SO HAVE OPTED TO REMOVE PRECIP FROM THIS AFTERNOON`S
FORECAST. THE MAJORITY OF THE PRECIP WILL REMAIN IN THE COOL SECTOR
UNTIL THE COLD FRONT ARRIVES LATE TONIGHT.

AK

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 549 AM CST WED NOV 26 2014/
FOR 12Z TAFS...SKC CONDS AND A LIGHT WNW FLOW PERSIST AT BOTH HSV/MSL
IN WAKE OF WEAK COLD FRONT LAST EVENING. SCT HIGH-LEVEL CLOUDS WILL
BEGIN TO SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION THIS MORNING...WITH BKN AS CIGS
ARND 12 KFT AND A GUSTY S FLOW DEVELOPING THIS AFTN IN ADVANCE OF A
DISTURBANCE APPROACHING FROM THE NW. STRONG COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED
WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL PUSH EWD ACROSS BOTH TERMINALS BTWN 27/02-05Z.
A BAND OF -RA WILL LIKELY ACCOMPANY FROPA...BUT HAVE NOT INCLUDED IN
FORECAST ATTM DUE TO MINIMAL IMPACTS AND VERY BRIEF PERIOD OF PCPN
EXPECTED. WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 10G18 KTS FROM NW IN WAKE OF THE
FRONT...WITH BKN/OVC MVFR STRATUS EXPECTED THRU END OF TAF PERIOD.

70/DD

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE
AT WEATHER.GOV/HUNTSVILLE.




000
FXUS64 KHUN 261149
AFDHUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
549 AM CST WED NOV 26 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 12Z TAFS

&&

.DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 355 AM CST WED NOV 26 2014/
QUIET AND SEASONABLY COOL WX CONDITIONS PREVAIL ACROSS THE CNTRL TN
VALLEY THIS EARLY WED MORNING...AS WEAK HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO
MOVE EWD ACROSS THE CNTRL GULF STATES. CURRENT TEMP TRENDS ARE
MAINLY IN THE MID 30S RANGE FOR MOST AREAS...EXCEPT FOR THE FAR ERN
ZONES WHERE MID/HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS ARE BEGINNING TO EXIT EWD...AS LOW
PRESSURE OFF THE CAROLINAS CONTINUES TO LIFT NWD ALONG THE ATLANTIC
COASTLINE. LATEST MODEL SUITES CONTINUE TO SHOW A SECOND AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE OVER THE MIDWEST REGION DIVING SEWD LATER TODAY...WITH THE
ATTENDANT COLD FRONT SWEEPING ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA TONIGHT. MODELS
ARE ALSO SHOWING SOME ASSOCIATED QPF AFFECTING MUCH OF CNTRL/ERN TN
AND JUST LEADING INTO NRN AL LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING
HRS. CRITICAL THICKNESS VALUES SUGGEST THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME WINTRY
PRECIP WITH THIS ONCOMING SFC WAVE. HOWEVER...BUFR SOUNDINGS ARE
SHOWING LITTLE MOISTURE AVAILABLE ABOVE H7...WITH THE TEMP CURVE
REMAINING JUST ABOVE THE ZERO DEGREE LINE. AS SUCH...WILL GO WITH A
SLIGHT CHC FOR SOME LIGHT RAIN MAINLY FOR AREAS N OF THE TN RIVER
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY THIS EVENING...BEFORE TAPERING
OFF OVERNIGHT AS THE SFC LOW/COLD FRONT MOVE WELL E OF THE AREA.

THE UPCOMING WX FOR THANKSGIVING LOOKS FAIRLY QUIET...ALBEIT RATHER
COLD...AS A STRONG DOME OF POLAR HIGH PRESSURE OUT OF THE NRN PLAINS
BUILDS SEWD INTO THE MIDWEST/OH VALLEY REGIONS. MAX TEMPS ON THU DO
NOT LOOK TO CLIMB MUCH HIGHER THAN THE MID 40S...WHICH IS ABOUT 15F
DEGREES OR SO BELOW SEASONAL TRENDS FOR THIS TIME OF THE YR. TEMPS
THU NIGHT THEN LOOK TO FALL MAINLY INTO THE MID/UPPER 20S...BEFORE A
GRADUAL WARMING TREND DEVELOPS ON FRI...AS THE SFC HIGH SHIFTS EWD
TOWARD THE MID/SRN ATLANTIC BASIN.

THE LATTER HALF OF THE MODEL SUITES/CONSENSUS GUIDANCE IS HINTING AT
RAIN CHANCES ONCE AGAIN RETURNING ON SUN...AS A RETURN FLOW PATTERN
BEGINS TO USHER SOME MOISTURE BACK INTO THE SE REGION. THE GLOBAL
MODELS ARE ALSO POINTING TO ANOTHER POTENTIAL FRONTAL BOUNDARY OUT
OF THE NRN/MID PLAINS APPROACHING THE FORECAST AREA AROUND THE START
OF THE NEW WORK WEEK. THIS MAY PROVIDE AN EXTRA FOCUS MECH FOR
SHOWER DEVELOPMENT THROUGH TUE NIGHT...WITH HIGH PRESSURE FOLLOWING
IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT BY MID WEEK.

09

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR 12Z TAFS...SKC CONDS AND A LIGHT WNW FLOW PERSIST AT BOTH HSV/MSL
IN WAKE OF WEAK COLD FRONT LAST EVENING. SCT HIGH-LEVEL CLOUDS WILL
BEGIN TO SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION THIS MORNING...WITH BKN AS CIGS
ARND 12 KFT AND A GUSTY S FLOW DEVELOPING THIS AFTN IN ADVANCE OF A
DISTURBANCE APPROACHING FROM THE NW. STRONG COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED
WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL PUSH EWD ACROSS BOTH TERMINALS BTWN 27/02-05Z.
A BAND OF -RA WILL LIKELY ACCOMPANY FROPA...BUT HAVE NOT INCLUDED IN
FORECAST ATTM DUE TO MINIMAL IMPACTS AND VERY BRIEF PERIOD OF PCPN
EXPECTED. WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 10G18 KTS FROM NW IN WAKE OF THE
FRONT...WITH BKN/OVC MVFR STRATUS EXPECTED THRU END OF TAF PERIOD.

70/DD

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

AL...NONE.

TN...NONE.

&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE
AT WEATHER.GOV/HUNTSVILLE.





000
FXUS64 KHUN 261149
AFDHUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
549 AM CST WED NOV 26 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 12Z TAFS

&&

.DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 355 AM CST WED NOV 26 2014/
QUIET AND SEASONABLY COOL WX CONDITIONS PREVAIL ACROSS THE CNTRL TN
VALLEY THIS EARLY WED MORNING...AS WEAK HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO
MOVE EWD ACROSS THE CNTRL GULF STATES. CURRENT TEMP TRENDS ARE
MAINLY IN THE MID 30S RANGE FOR MOST AREAS...EXCEPT FOR THE FAR ERN
ZONES WHERE MID/HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS ARE BEGINNING TO EXIT EWD...AS LOW
PRESSURE OFF THE CAROLINAS CONTINUES TO LIFT NWD ALONG THE ATLANTIC
COASTLINE. LATEST MODEL SUITES CONTINUE TO SHOW A SECOND AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE OVER THE MIDWEST REGION DIVING SEWD LATER TODAY...WITH THE
ATTENDANT COLD FRONT SWEEPING ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA TONIGHT. MODELS
ARE ALSO SHOWING SOME ASSOCIATED QPF AFFECTING MUCH OF CNTRL/ERN TN
AND JUST LEADING INTO NRN AL LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING
HRS. CRITICAL THICKNESS VALUES SUGGEST THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME WINTRY
PRECIP WITH THIS ONCOMING SFC WAVE. HOWEVER...BUFR SOUNDINGS ARE
SHOWING LITTLE MOISTURE AVAILABLE ABOVE H7...WITH THE TEMP CURVE
REMAINING JUST ABOVE THE ZERO DEGREE LINE. AS SUCH...WILL GO WITH A
SLIGHT CHC FOR SOME LIGHT RAIN MAINLY FOR AREAS N OF THE TN RIVER
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY THIS EVENING...BEFORE TAPERING
OFF OVERNIGHT AS THE SFC LOW/COLD FRONT MOVE WELL E OF THE AREA.

THE UPCOMING WX FOR THANKSGIVING LOOKS FAIRLY QUIET...ALBEIT RATHER
COLD...AS A STRONG DOME OF POLAR HIGH PRESSURE OUT OF THE NRN PLAINS
BUILDS SEWD INTO THE MIDWEST/OH VALLEY REGIONS. MAX TEMPS ON THU DO
NOT LOOK TO CLIMB MUCH HIGHER THAN THE MID 40S...WHICH IS ABOUT 15F
DEGREES OR SO BELOW SEASONAL TRENDS FOR THIS TIME OF THE YR. TEMPS
THU NIGHT THEN LOOK TO FALL MAINLY INTO THE MID/UPPER 20S...BEFORE A
GRADUAL WARMING TREND DEVELOPS ON FRI...AS THE SFC HIGH SHIFTS EWD
TOWARD THE MID/SRN ATLANTIC BASIN.

THE LATTER HALF OF THE MODEL SUITES/CONSENSUS GUIDANCE IS HINTING AT
RAIN CHANCES ONCE AGAIN RETURNING ON SUN...AS A RETURN FLOW PATTERN
BEGINS TO USHER SOME MOISTURE BACK INTO THE SE REGION. THE GLOBAL
MODELS ARE ALSO POINTING TO ANOTHER POTENTIAL FRONTAL BOUNDARY OUT
OF THE NRN/MID PLAINS APPROACHING THE FORECAST AREA AROUND THE START
OF THE NEW WORK WEEK. THIS MAY PROVIDE AN EXTRA FOCUS MECH FOR
SHOWER DEVELOPMENT THROUGH TUE NIGHT...WITH HIGH PRESSURE FOLLOWING
IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT BY MID WEEK.

09

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR 12Z TAFS...SKC CONDS AND A LIGHT WNW FLOW PERSIST AT BOTH HSV/MSL
IN WAKE OF WEAK COLD FRONT LAST EVENING. SCT HIGH-LEVEL CLOUDS WILL
BEGIN TO SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION THIS MORNING...WITH BKN AS CIGS
ARND 12 KFT AND A GUSTY S FLOW DEVELOPING THIS AFTN IN ADVANCE OF A
DISTURBANCE APPROACHING FROM THE NW. STRONG COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED
WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL PUSH EWD ACROSS BOTH TERMINALS BTWN 27/02-05Z.
A BAND OF -RA WILL LIKELY ACCOMPANY FROPA...BUT HAVE NOT INCLUDED IN
FORECAST ATTM DUE TO MINIMAL IMPACTS AND VERY BRIEF PERIOD OF PCPN
EXPECTED. WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 10G18 KTS FROM NW IN WAKE OF THE
FRONT...WITH BKN/OVC MVFR STRATUS EXPECTED THRU END OF TAF PERIOD.

70/DD

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

AL...NONE.

TN...NONE.

&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE
AT WEATHER.GOV/HUNTSVILLE.




000
FXUS64 KHUN 260955
AFDHUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
355 AM CST WED NOV 26 2014

.DISCUSSION...
QUIET AND SEASONABLY COOL WX CONDITIONS PREVAIL ACROSS THE CNTRL TN
VALLEY THIS EARLY WED MORNING...AS WEAK HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO
MOVE EWD ACROSS THE CNTRL GULF STATES. CURRENT TEMP TRENDS ARE
MAINLY IN THE MID 30S RANGE FOR MOST AREAS...EXCEPT FOR THE FAR ERN
ZONES WHERE MID/HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS ARE BEGINNING TO EXIT EWD...AS LOW
PRESSURE OFF THE CAROLINAS CONTINUES TO LIFT NWD ALONG THE ATLANTIC
COASTLINE. LATEST MODEL SUITES CONTINUE TO SHOW A SECOND AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE OVER THE MIDWEST REGION DIVING SEWD LATER TODAY...WITH THE
ATTENDANT COLD FRONT SWEEPING ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA TONIGHT. MODELS
ARE ALSO SHOWING SOME ASSOCIATED QPF AFFECTING MUCH OF CNTRL/ERN TN
AND JUST LEADING INTO NRN AL LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING
HRS. CRITICAL THICKNESS VALUES SUGGEST THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME WINTRY
PRECIP WITH THIS ONCOMING SFC WAVE. HOWEVER...BUFR SOUNDINGS ARE
SHOWING LITTLE MOISTURE AVAILABLE ABOVE H7...WITH THE TEMP CURVE
REMAINING JUST ABOVE THE ZERO DEGREE LINE. AS SUCH...WILL GO WITH A
SLIGHT CHC FOR SOME LIGHT RAIN MAINLY FOR AREAS N OF THE TN RIVER
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY THIS EVENING...BEFORE TAPERING
OFF OVERNIGHT AS THE SFC LOW/COLD FRONT MOVE WELL E OF THE AREA.

THE UPCOMING WX FOR THANKSGIVING LOOKS FAIRLY QUIET...ALBEIT RATHER
COLD...AS A STRONG DOME OF POLAR HIGH PRESSURE OUT OF THE NRN PLAINS
BUILDS SEWD INTO THE MIDWEST/OH VALLEY REGIONS. MAX TEMPS ON THU DO
NOT LOOK TO CLIMB MUCH HIGHER THAN THE MID 40S...WHICH IS ABOUT 15F
DEGREES OR SO BELOW SEASONAL TRENDS FOR THIS TIME OF THE YR. TEMPS
THU NIGHT THEN LOOK TO FALL MAINLY INTO THE MID/UPPER 20S...BEFORE A
GRADUAL WARMING TREND DEVELOPS ON FRI...AS THE SFC HIGH SHIFTS EWD
TOWARD THE MID/SRN ATLANTIC BASIN.

THE LATTER HALF OF THE MODEL SUITES/CONSENSUS GUIDANCE IS HINTING AT
RAIN CHANCES ONCE AGAIN RETURNING ON SUN...AS A RETURN FLOW PATTERN
BEGINS TO USHER SOME MOISTURE BACK INTO THE SE REGION. THE GLOBAL
MODELS ARE ALSO POINTING TO ANOTHER POTENTIAL FRONTAL BOUNDARY OUT
OF THE NRN/MID PLAINS APPROACHING THE FORECAST AREA AROUND THE START
OF THE NEW WORK WEEK. THIS MAY PROVIDE AN EXTRA FOCUS MECH FOR
SHOWER DEVELOPMENT THROUGH TUE NIGHT...WITH HIGH PRESSURE FOLLOWING
IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT BY MID WEEK.

09

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 1136 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/
FOR 06Z TAFS...
VFR WEATHER SHOULD CONTINUE THIS PERIOD. A STREAM OF HIGH LEVEL
CLOUDS AND VIRGA (EAST OF THE KHSV TERMINAL) WILL MOVE EAST OF THE
REGION DURING THE OVERNIGHT. ANOTHER UPPER SYSTEM APPROACHING FROM
THE NW WILL BRING INCREASING CLOUDS DURING WED. SOME OF THE NEWER
GUIDANCE WAS SHOWING LIGHT RAIN CHANCES...SO ADDED IT FOR LATE IN THE
PERIOD. COLD AIR ASSOCIATED WITH THIS NEXT SYSTEM COULD RESULT IN A
BRIEF WINTRY MIX WED PM...HOWEVER CONFIDENCE NOT HIGH ENOUGH TO ADD
TO TAF THIS ISSUANCE.

RSB

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
HUNTSVILLE    53  33  45  27 /  10  10  10   0
SHOALS        55  33  46  27 /  10  10  10   0
VINEMONT      52  34  45  28 /  10  10  10   0
FAYETTEVILLE  51  33  43  26 /  20  20  10   0
ALBERTVILLE   53  32  44  27 /  10  10  10   0
FORT PAYNE    52  33  45  26 /  10  10  10   0

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE
AT WEATHER.GOV/HUNTSVILLE.





000
FXUS64 KHUN 260955
AFDHUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
355 AM CST WED NOV 26 2014

.DISCUSSION...
QUIET AND SEASONABLY COOL WX CONDITIONS PREVAIL ACROSS THE CNTRL TN
VALLEY THIS EARLY WED MORNING...AS WEAK HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO
MOVE EWD ACROSS THE CNTRL GULF STATES. CURRENT TEMP TRENDS ARE
MAINLY IN THE MID 30S RANGE FOR MOST AREAS...EXCEPT FOR THE FAR ERN
ZONES WHERE MID/HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS ARE BEGINNING TO EXIT EWD...AS LOW
PRESSURE OFF THE CAROLINAS CONTINUES TO LIFT NWD ALONG THE ATLANTIC
COASTLINE. LATEST MODEL SUITES CONTINUE TO SHOW A SECOND AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE OVER THE MIDWEST REGION DIVING SEWD LATER TODAY...WITH THE
ATTENDANT COLD FRONT SWEEPING ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA TONIGHT. MODELS
ARE ALSO SHOWING SOME ASSOCIATED QPF AFFECTING MUCH OF CNTRL/ERN TN
AND JUST LEADING INTO NRN AL LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING
HRS. CRITICAL THICKNESS VALUES SUGGEST THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME WINTRY
PRECIP WITH THIS ONCOMING SFC WAVE. HOWEVER...BUFR SOUNDINGS ARE
SHOWING LITTLE MOISTURE AVAILABLE ABOVE H7...WITH THE TEMP CURVE
REMAINING JUST ABOVE THE ZERO DEGREE LINE. AS SUCH...WILL GO WITH A
SLIGHT CHC FOR SOME LIGHT RAIN MAINLY FOR AREAS N OF THE TN RIVER
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY THIS EVENING...BEFORE TAPERING
OFF OVERNIGHT AS THE SFC LOW/COLD FRONT MOVE WELL E OF THE AREA.

THE UPCOMING WX FOR THANKSGIVING LOOKS FAIRLY QUIET...ALBEIT RATHER
COLD...AS A STRONG DOME OF POLAR HIGH PRESSURE OUT OF THE NRN PLAINS
BUILDS SEWD INTO THE MIDWEST/OH VALLEY REGIONS. MAX TEMPS ON THU DO
NOT LOOK TO CLIMB MUCH HIGHER THAN THE MID 40S...WHICH IS ABOUT 15F
DEGREES OR SO BELOW SEASONAL TRENDS FOR THIS TIME OF THE YR. TEMPS
THU NIGHT THEN LOOK TO FALL MAINLY INTO THE MID/UPPER 20S...BEFORE A
GRADUAL WARMING TREND DEVELOPS ON FRI...AS THE SFC HIGH SHIFTS EWD
TOWARD THE MID/SRN ATLANTIC BASIN.

THE LATTER HALF OF THE MODEL SUITES/CONSENSUS GUIDANCE IS HINTING AT
RAIN CHANCES ONCE AGAIN RETURNING ON SUN...AS A RETURN FLOW PATTERN
BEGINS TO USHER SOME MOISTURE BACK INTO THE SE REGION. THE GLOBAL
MODELS ARE ALSO POINTING TO ANOTHER POTENTIAL FRONTAL BOUNDARY OUT
OF THE NRN/MID PLAINS APPROACHING THE FORECAST AREA AROUND THE START
OF THE NEW WORK WEEK. THIS MAY PROVIDE AN EXTRA FOCUS MECH FOR
SHOWER DEVELOPMENT THROUGH TUE NIGHT...WITH HIGH PRESSURE FOLLOWING
IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT BY MID WEEK.

09

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 1136 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/
FOR 06Z TAFS...
VFR WEATHER SHOULD CONTINUE THIS PERIOD. A STREAM OF HIGH LEVEL
CLOUDS AND VIRGA (EAST OF THE KHSV TERMINAL) WILL MOVE EAST OF THE
REGION DURING THE OVERNIGHT. ANOTHER UPPER SYSTEM APPROACHING FROM
THE NW WILL BRING INCREASING CLOUDS DURING WED. SOME OF THE NEWER
GUIDANCE WAS SHOWING LIGHT RAIN CHANCES...SO ADDED IT FOR LATE IN THE
PERIOD. COLD AIR ASSOCIATED WITH THIS NEXT SYSTEM COULD RESULT IN A
BRIEF WINTRY MIX WED PM...HOWEVER CONFIDENCE NOT HIGH ENOUGH TO ADD
TO TAF THIS ISSUANCE.

RSB

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
HUNTSVILLE    53  33  45  27 /  10  10  10   0
SHOALS        55  33  46  27 /  10  10  10   0
VINEMONT      52  34  45  28 /  10  10  10   0
FAYETTEVILLE  51  33  43  26 /  20  20  10   0
ALBERTVILLE   53  32  44  27 /  10  10  10   0
FORT PAYNE    52  33  45  26 /  10  10  10   0

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE
AT WEATHER.GOV/HUNTSVILLE.




000
FXUS64 KHUN 260955
AFDHUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
355 AM CST WED NOV 26 2014

.DISCUSSION...
QUIET AND SEASONABLY COOL WX CONDITIONS PREVAIL ACROSS THE CNTRL TN
VALLEY THIS EARLY WED MORNING...AS WEAK HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO
MOVE EWD ACROSS THE CNTRL GULF STATES. CURRENT TEMP TRENDS ARE
MAINLY IN THE MID 30S RANGE FOR MOST AREAS...EXCEPT FOR THE FAR ERN
ZONES WHERE MID/HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS ARE BEGINNING TO EXIT EWD...AS LOW
PRESSURE OFF THE CAROLINAS CONTINUES TO LIFT NWD ALONG THE ATLANTIC
COASTLINE. LATEST MODEL SUITES CONTINUE TO SHOW A SECOND AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE OVER THE MIDWEST REGION DIVING SEWD LATER TODAY...WITH THE
ATTENDANT COLD FRONT SWEEPING ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA TONIGHT. MODELS
ARE ALSO SHOWING SOME ASSOCIATED QPF AFFECTING MUCH OF CNTRL/ERN TN
AND JUST LEADING INTO NRN AL LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING
HRS. CRITICAL THICKNESS VALUES SUGGEST THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME WINTRY
PRECIP WITH THIS ONCOMING SFC WAVE. HOWEVER...BUFR SOUNDINGS ARE
SHOWING LITTLE MOISTURE AVAILABLE ABOVE H7...WITH THE TEMP CURVE
REMAINING JUST ABOVE THE ZERO DEGREE LINE. AS SUCH...WILL GO WITH A
SLIGHT CHC FOR SOME LIGHT RAIN MAINLY FOR AREAS N OF THE TN RIVER
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY THIS EVENING...BEFORE TAPERING
OFF OVERNIGHT AS THE SFC LOW/COLD FRONT MOVE WELL E OF THE AREA.

THE UPCOMING WX FOR THANKSGIVING LOOKS FAIRLY QUIET...ALBEIT RATHER
COLD...AS A STRONG DOME OF POLAR HIGH PRESSURE OUT OF THE NRN PLAINS
BUILDS SEWD INTO THE MIDWEST/OH VALLEY REGIONS. MAX TEMPS ON THU DO
NOT LOOK TO CLIMB MUCH HIGHER THAN THE MID 40S...WHICH IS ABOUT 15F
DEGREES OR SO BELOW SEASONAL TRENDS FOR THIS TIME OF THE YR. TEMPS
THU NIGHT THEN LOOK TO FALL MAINLY INTO THE MID/UPPER 20S...BEFORE A
GRADUAL WARMING TREND DEVELOPS ON FRI...AS THE SFC HIGH SHIFTS EWD
TOWARD THE MID/SRN ATLANTIC BASIN.

THE LATTER HALF OF THE MODEL SUITES/CONSENSUS GUIDANCE IS HINTING AT
RAIN CHANCES ONCE AGAIN RETURNING ON SUN...AS A RETURN FLOW PATTERN
BEGINS TO USHER SOME MOISTURE BACK INTO THE SE REGION. THE GLOBAL
MODELS ARE ALSO POINTING TO ANOTHER POTENTIAL FRONTAL BOUNDARY OUT
OF THE NRN/MID PLAINS APPROACHING THE FORECAST AREA AROUND THE START
OF THE NEW WORK WEEK. THIS MAY PROVIDE AN EXTRA FOCUS MECH FOR
SHOWER DEVELOPMENT THROUGH TUE NIGHT...WITH HIGH PRESSURE FOLLOWING
IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT BY MID WEEK.

09

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 1136 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/
FOR 06Z TAFS...
VFR WEATHER SHOULD CONTINUE THIS PERIOD. A STREAM OF HIGH LEVEL
CLOUDS AND VIRGA (EAST OF THE KHSV TERMINAL) WILL MOVE EAST OF THE
REGION DURING THE OVERNIGHT. ANOTHER UPPER SYSTEM APPROACHING FROM
THE NW WILL BRING INCREASING CLOUDS DURING WED. SOME OF THE NEWER
GUIDANCE WAS SHOWING LIGHT RAIN CHANCES...SO ADDED IT FOR LATE IN THE
PERIOD. COLD AIR ASSOCIATED WITH THIS NEXT SYSTEM COULD RESULT IN A
BRIEF WINTRY MIX WED PM...HOWEVER CONFIDENCE NOT HIGH ENOUGH TO ADD
TO TAF THIS ISSUANCE.

RSB

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
HUNTSVILLE    53  33  45  27 /  10  10  10   0
SHOALS        55  33  46  27 /  10  10  10   0
VINEMONT      52  34  45  28 /  10  10  10   0
FAYETTEVILLE  51  33  43  26 /  20  20  10   0
ALBERTVILLE   53  32  44  27 /  10  10  10   0
FORT PAYNE    52  33  45  26 /  10  10  10   0

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE
AT WEATHER.GOV/HUNTSVILLE.





000
FXUS64 KHUN 260955
AFDHUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
355 AM CST WED NOV 26 2014

.DISCUSSION...
QUIET AND SEASONABLY COOL WX CONDITIONS PREVAIL ACROSS THE CNTRL TN
VALLEY THIS EARLY WED MORNING...AS WEAK HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO
MOVE EWD ACROSS THE CNTRL GULF STATES. CURRENT TEMP TRENDS ARE
MAINLY IN THE MID 30S RANGE FOR MOST AREAS...EXCEPT FOR THE FAR ERN
ZONES WHERE MID/HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS ARE BEGINNING TO EXIT EWD...AS LOW
PRESSURE OFF THE CAROLINAS CONTINUES TO LIFT NWD ALONG THE ATLANTIC
COASTLINE. LATEST MODEL SUITES CONTINUE TO SHOW A SECOND AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE OVER THE MIDWEST REGION DIVING SEWD LATER TODAY...WITH THE
ATTENDANT COLD FRONT SWEEPING ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA TONIGHT. MODELS
ARE ALSO SHOWING SOME ASSOCIATED QPF AFFECTING MUCH OF CNTRL/ERN TN
AND JUST LEADING INTO NRN AL LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING
HRS. CRITICAL THICKNESS VALUES SUGGEST THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME WINTRY
PRECIP WITH THIS ONCOMING SFC WAVE. HOWEVER...BUFR SOUNDINGS ARE
SHOWING LITTLE MOISTURE AVAILABLE ABOVE H7...WITH THE TEMP CURVE
REMAINING JUST ABOVE THE ZERO DEGREE LINE. AS SUCH...WILL GO WITH A
SLIGHT CHC FOR SOME LIGHT RAIN MAINLY FOR AREAS N OF THE TN RIVER
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY THIS EVENING...BEFORE TAPERING
OFF OVERNIGHT AS THE SFC LOW/COLD FRONT MOVE WELL E OF THE AREA.

THE UPCOMING WX FOR THANKSGIVING LOOKS FAIRLY QUIET...ALBEIT RATHER
COLD...AS A STRONG DOME OF POLAR HIGH PRESSURE OUT OF THE NRN PLAINS
BUILDS SEWD INTO THE MIDWEST/OH VALLEY REGIONS. MAX TEMPS ON THU DO
NOT LOOK TO CLIMB MUCH HIGHER THAN THE MID 40S...WHICH IS ABOUT 15F
DEGREES OR SO BELOW SEASONAL TRENDS FOR THIS TIME OF THE YR. TEMPS
THU NIGHT THEN LOOK TO FALL MAINLY INTO THE MID/UPPER 20S...BEFORE A
GRADUAL WARMING TREND DEVELOPS ON FRI...AS THE SFC HIGH SHIFTS EWD
TOWARD THE MID/SRN ATLANTIC BASIN.

THE LATTER HALF OF THE MODEL SUITES/CONSENSUS GUIDANCE IS HINTING AT
RAIN CHANCES ONCE AGAIN RETURNING ON SUN...AS A RETURN FLOW PATTERN
BEGINS TO USHER SOME MOISTURE BACK INTO THE SE REGION. THE GLOBAL
MODELS ARE ALSO POINTING TO ANOTHER POTENTIAL FRONTAL BOUNDARY OUT
OF THE NRN/MID PLAINS APPROACHING THE FORECAST AREA AROUND THE START
OF THE NEW WORK WEEK. THIS MAY PROVIDE AN EXTRA FOCUS MECH FOR
SHOWER DEVELOPMENT THROUGH TUE NIGHT...WITH HIGH PRESSURE FOLLOWING
IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT BY MID WEEK.

09

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 1136 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/
FOR 06Z TAFS...
VFR WEATHER SHOULD CONTINUE THIS PERIOD. A STREAM OF HIGH LEVEL
CLOUDS AND VIRGA (EAST OF THE KHSV TERMINAL) WILL MOVE EAST OF THE
REGION DURING THE OVERNIGHT. ANOTHER UPPER SYSTEM APPROACHING FROM
THE NW WILL BRING INCREASING CLOUDS DURING WED. SOME OF THE NEWER
GUIDANCE WAS SHOWING LIGHT RAIN CHANCES...SO ADDED IT FOR LATE IN THE
PERIOD. COLD AIR ASSOCIATED WITH THIS NEXT SYSTEM COULD RESULT IN A
BRIEF WINTRY MIX WED PM...HOWEVER CONFIDENCE NOT HIGH ENOUGH TO ADD
TO TAF THIS ISSUANCE.

RSB

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
HUNTSVILLE    53  33  45  27 /  10  10  10   0
SHOALS        55  33  46  27 /  10  10  10   0
VINEMONT      52  34  45  28 /  10  10  10   0
FAYETTEVILLE  51  33  43  26 /  20  20  10   0
ALBERTVILLE   53  32  44  27 /  10  10  10   0
FORT PAYNE    52  33  45  26 /  10  10  10   0

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE
AT WEATHER.GOV/HUNTSVILLE.




000
FXUS64 KHUN 260536 AAC
AFDHUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
1136 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 06Z TAFS

&&

.DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 935 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/
THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN OVER THE EASTERN CONUS CAN BE BEST DESCRIBED
AS ACTIVE/FAST FLOWING...WITH A STRONG JET ROARING ALOFT...FROM THE
MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI TO NEW ENGLAND/QUEBEC. WINDS OVER THIS
REGION IN THE 250MB LEVEL WERE AROUND 150KT...WITH NEAR 200KT WINDS
FURTHER TO OUR NORTH AND EAST. THIS FLOW WAS BRINGING MOISTURE TO THE
NE SEABOARD... AIDING IN THE FORMATION OF A NOREASTER...DEVELOPING
OVER NORTHERN FLORIDA. THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE ALONG THE MID
ATLANTIC/NEW ENGLAND COAST...BRINGING NOTABLE WINTRY WEATHER TO AREAS
WELL NE OF HERE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

FOR THE TENNESSEE VALLEY...RAPID DEVELOPMENT OF THE SE SURFACE LOW
WILL SPREAD PRECIPITATION AROUND IT. THE BIG QUESTION IS HOW FAR
WEST AND WHETHER WE RECEIVE ANY. NEW OUTPUT FROM THE NAM AND RAP
WERE GENERALLY DRY AND THE 18Z GFS THE WETTEST. THE ECMWF WAS IN
THE MIDDLE...BARELY HAVING PRECIP AFFECTING OUR NE AREAS DURING THE
OVERNIGHT. SAY THE WORD PRECIPITATION...AS A BRIEF INSTANCE OF
WINTRY MIX (SLEET) CANNOT BE TOTALLY RULED OUT...GIVEN A RATHER DRY
LAYER AND WET BULBING. GIVEN MORE EXTENSIVE CLOUDS AND OVERNIGHT LOWS
STAYING ABOVE FREEZING...AM NOT EXPECTING WINTRY ISSUES DURING THE
OVERNIGHT. FOR OUR WESTERN AREAS WITH LESS CLOUDS AND SOMEWHAT DEEPER
COLD AIR...NIGHT TIME LOWS AT OR BELOW FREEZING STILL LOOK GOOD.

TRENDING A BIT TO THE NEW NAM...HAVE TAPERED THE PRECIP FURTHER TO
THE EAST DURING THE LATE NIGHT...KEEPING A SLIGHT CHANCE OVER NE
ALABAMA BEFORE DAYBREAK WED. GIVEN BARELY WARM ENOUGH TEMPERATURES...
HAVE NOT ADDED A WINTRY MIX IN THIS UPDATE.

RSB

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR 06Z TAFS...
VFR WEATHER SHOULD CONTINUE THIS PERIOD. A STREAM OF HIGH LEVEL
CLOUDS AND VIRGA (EAST OF THE KHSV TERMINAL) WILL MOVE EAST OF THE
REGION DURING THE OVERNIGHT. ANOTHER UPPER SYSTEM APPROACHING FROM
THE NW WILL BRING INCREASING CLOUDS DURING WED. SOME OF THE NEWER
GUIDANCE WAS SHOWING LIGHT RAIN CHANCES...SO ADDED IT FOR LATE IN THE
PERIOD. COLD AIR ASSOCIATED WITH THIS NEXT SYSTEM COULD RESULT IN A
BRIEF WINTRY MIX WED PM...HOWEVER CONFIDENCE NOT HIGH ENOUGH TO ADD
TO TAF THIS ISSUANCE.

RSB

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE
AT WEATHER.GOV/HUNTSVILLE.





000
FXUS64 KHUN 260536 AAC
AFDHUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
1136 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 06Z TAFS

&&

.DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 935 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/
THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN OVER THE EASTERN CONUS CAN BE BEST DESCRIBED
AS ACTIVE/FAST FLOWING...WITH A STRONG JET ROARING ALOFT...FROM THE
MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI TO NEW ENGLAND/QUEBEC. WINDS OVER THIS
REGION IN THE 250MB LEVEL WERE AROUND 150KT...WITH NEAR 200KT WINDS
FURTHER TO OUR NORTH AND EAST. THIS FLOW WAS BRINGING MOISTURE TO THE
NE SEABOARD... AIDING IN THE FORMATION OF A NOREASTER...DEVELOPING
OVER NORTHERN FLORIDA. THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE ALONG THE MID
ATLANTIC/NEW ENGLAND COAST...BRINGING NOTABLE WINTRY WEATHER TO AREAS
WELL NE OF HERE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

FOR THE TENNESSEE VALLEY...RAPID DEVELOPMENT OF THE SE SURFACE LOW
WILL SPREAD PRECIPITATION AROUND IT. THE BIG QUESTION IS HOW FAR
WEST AND WHETHER WE RECEIVE ANY. NEW OUTPUT FROM THE NAM AND RAP
WERE GENERALLY DRY AND THE 18Z GFS THE WETTEST. THE ECMWF WAS IN
THE MIDDLE...BARELY HAVING PRECIP AFFECTING OUR NE AREAS DURING THE
OVERNIGHT. SAY THE WORD PRECIPITATION...AS A BRIEF INSTANCE OF
WINTRY MIX (SLEET) CANNOT BE TOTALLY RULED OUT...GIVEN A RATHER DRY
LAYER AND WET BULBING. GIVEN MORE EXTENSIVE CLOUDS AND OVERNIGHT LOWS
STAYING ABOVE FREEZING...AM NOT EXPECTING WINTRY ISSUES DURING THE
OVERNIGHT. FOR OUR WESTERN AREAS WITH LESS CLOUDS AND SOMEWHAT DEEPER
COLD AIR...NIGHT TIME LOWS AT OR BELOW FREEZING STILL LOOK GOOD.

TRENDING A BIT TO THE NEW NAM...HAVE TAPERED THE PRECIP FURTHER TO
THE EAST DURING THE LATE NIGHT...KEEPING A SLIGHT CHANCE OVER NE
ALABAMA BEFORE DAYBREAK WED. GIVEN BARELY WARM ENOUGH TEMPERATURES...
HAVE NOT ADDED A WINTRY MIX IN THIS UPDATE.

RSB

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR 06Z TAFS...
VFR WEATHER SHOULD CONTINUE THIS PERIOD. A STREAM OF HIGH LEVEL
CLOUDS AND VIRGA (EAST OF THE KHSV TERMINAL) WILL MOVE EAST OF THE
REGION DURING THE OVERNIGHT. ANOTHER UPPER SYSTEM APPROACHING FROM
THE NW WILL BRING INCREASING CLOUDS DURING WED. SOME OF THE NEWER
GUIDANCE WAS SHOWING LIGHT RAIN CHANCES...SO ADDED IT FOR LATE IN THE
PERIOD. COLD AIR ASSOCIATED WITH THIS NEXT SYSTEM COULD RESULT IN A
BRIEF WINTRY MIX WED PM...HOWEVER CONFIDENCE NOT HIGH ENOUGH TO ADD
TO TAF THIS ISSUANCE.

RSB

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE
AT WEATHER.GOV/HUNTSVILLE.




000
FXUS64 KHUN 260335 AAB
AFDHUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
935 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.UPDATE...
MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO PRECIP AND CLOUD COVERAGE FOR THE OVERNIGHT.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN OVER THE EASTERN CONUS CAN BE BEST DESCRIBED
AS ACTIVE/FAST FLOWING...WITH A STRONG JET ROARING ALOFT...FROM THE
MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI TO NEW ENGLAND/QUEBEC. WINDS OVER THIS
REGION IN THE 250MB LEVEL WERE AROUND 150KT...WITH NEAR 200KT WINDS
FURTHER TO OUR NORTH AND EAST. THIS FLOW WAS BRINGING MOISTURE TO THE
NE SEABOARD... AIDING IN THE FORMATION OF A NOREASTER...DEVELOPING
OVER NORTHERN FLORIDA. THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE ALONG THE MID
ATLANTIC/NEW ENGLAND COAST...BRINGING NOTABLE WINTRY WEATHER TO AREAS
WELL NE OF HERE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

FOR THE TENNESSEE VALLEY...RAPID DEVELOPMENT OF THE SE SURFACE LOW
WILL SPREAD PRECIPITATION AROUND IT. THE BIG QUESTION IS HOW FAR
WEST AND WHETHER WE RECEIVE ANY. NEW OUTPUT FROM THE NAM AND RAP
WERE GENERALLY DRY AND THE 18Z GFS THE WETTEST. THE ECMWF WAS IN
THE MIDDLE...BARELY HAVING PRECIP AFFECTING OUR NE AREAS DURING THE
OVERNIGHT. SAY THE WORD PRECIPITATION...AS A BRIEF INSTANCE OF
WINTRY MIX (SLEET) CANNOT BE TOTALLY RULED OUT...GIVEN A RATHER DRY
LAYER AND WET BULBING. GIVEN MORE EXTENSIVE CLOUDS AND OVERNIGHT LOWS
STAYING ABOVE FREEZING...AM NOT EXPECTING WINTRY ISSUES DURING THE
OVERNIGHT. FOR OUR WESTERN AREAS WITH LESS CLOUDS AND SOMEWHAT DEEPER
COLD AIR...NIGHT TIME LOWS AT OR BELOW FREEZING STILL LOOK GOOD.

TRENDING A BIT TO THE NEW NAM...HAVE TAPERED THE PRECIP FURTHER TO
THE EAST DURING THE LATE NIGHT...KEEPING A SLIGHT CHANCE OVER NE
ALABAMA BEFORE DAYBREAK WED. GIVEN BARELY WARM ENOUGH TEMPERATURES...
HAVE NOT ADDED A WINTRY MIX IN THIS UPDATE.

RSB

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 540 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/
FOR 00Z TAFS...
VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MID AND HIGH
LEVEL CEILINGS WILL PREVAIL OVER THE REGION FOR MUCH OF THE PERIOD.
VIRGA WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE KHSV AREA. CLEARING SHOULD TAKE
PLACE AFT 07-09Z. ANOTHER AREA OF VFR CLOUDS WITH BASES AROUND
10KFT ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD OVER THE REGION WED AFTERNOON.

RSB

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 238 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

CURRENT WATER VAPOR IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH ACROSS
MUCH OF THE CONUS. MEANWHILE...AT THE SURFACE A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
HAS DEVELOPED ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF...WITH AN INVERTED TROUGH
EXTENDING NORTHWARD INTO FLORIDA AND GEORGIA. CLOUD COVER HAS
CONTINUED TO STREAM ACROSS THE AREA ON THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF
THIS LOW. THIS HAS KEPT CONDITIONS FAIRLY MILD ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA...WITH TEMPERATURES REMAINING IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S.

AS THE SURFACE LOW TRACKS NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT...MOISTURE WILL SURGE
TO THE NORTH ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. PRECIPITATION WILL ENTER
COUNTIES EAST OF THE INTERSTATE 65 CORRIDOR AFTER SUNSET
TONIGHT...AND THEN CONTINUE NORTHWARD...BEFORE EXITING THE AREA BY
SUNRISE ON WEDNESDAY. GIVEN CURRENT MODEL SOUNDINGS...THE VERTICAL
TEMPERATURE PROFILE REMAINS ABOVE FREEZING...AND THE MOISTURE DOES
NOT QUITE REACH THE SNOW GROWTH REGION IN THE UPPER LEVELS.
THEREFORE...PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN LIQUID FORM.

THE LOW WILL QUICKLY MOVE UP THE NORTHEAST COAST...TAKING THE
MOISTURE OUT OF THE AREA ON THURSDAY. MEANWHILE...A SHORTWAVE WILL
DEVELOP IN THE LONGWAVE TROUGH AND MOVE INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY.
MOISTURE WILL ACCOMPANY THIS TROUGH...HOWEVER IT APPEARS THE MOST OF
THE DEEP LAYER MOISTURE WILL REMAIN NORTH OF THE AREA. THIS WILL BARE
WATCHING BECAUSE IF MORE MOISTURE DOES MAKE IT THIS FAR SOUTH...THERE
MAY BE A BRIEF PERIOD OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION BEFORE SUNRISE ON
FRIDAY.

THE EXTENDED FORECAST WILL BE DOMINATED BY AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WITH
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE EASTERN CONUS. TEMPERATURES OVER THE
WEEKEND WILL BE UNSEASONABLY WARM...WITH HIGHS REACHING INTO THE MID
60S BY SUNDAY. RAIN MAY ENTER THE FORECAST AREA ONCE AGAIN BY MONDAY
AFTERNOON...AS SEVERAL SHORTWAVES BEGIN TO APPROACH THE AREA ON THE
NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE UPPER RIDGE. HOWEVER...ONLY KEPT LOW
CHANCE POPS IN FOR THE EXTENDED.

73

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE
AT WEATHER.GOV/HUNTSVILLE.




000
FXUS64 KHUN 260335 AAB
AFDHUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
935 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.UPDATE...
MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO PRECIP AND CLOUD COVERAGE FOR THE OVERNIGHT.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN OVER THE EASTERN CONUS CAN BE BEST DESCRIBED
AS ACTIVE/FAST FLOWING...WITH A STRONG JET ROARING ALOFT...FROM THE
MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI TO NEW ENGLAND/QUEBEC. WINDS OVER THIS
REGION IN THE 250MB LEVEL WERE AROUND 150KT...WITH NEAR 200KT WINDS
FURTHER TO OUR NORTH AND EAST. THIS FLOW WAS BRINGING MOISTURE TO THE
NE SEABOARD... AIDING IN THE FORMATION OF A NOREASTER...DEVELOPING
OVER NORTHERN FLORIDA. THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE ALONG THE MID
ATLANTIC/NEW ENGLAND COAST...BRINGING NOTABLE WINTRY WEATHER TO AREAS
WELL NE OF HERE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

FOR THE TENNESSEE VALLEY...RAPID DEVELOPMENT OF THE SE SURFACE LOW
WILL SPREAD PRECIPITATION AROUND IT. THE BIG QUESTION IS HOW FAR
WEST AND WHETHER WE RECEIVE ANY. NEW OUTPUT FROM THE NAM AND RAP
WERE GENERALLY DRY AND THE 18Z GFS THE WETTEST. THE ECMWF WAS IN
THE MIDDLE...BARELY HAVING PRECIP AFFECTING OUR NE AREAS DURING THE
OVERNIGHT. SAY THE WORD PRECIPITATION...AS A BRIEF INSTANCE OF
WINTRY MIX (SLEET) CANNOT BE TOTALLY RULED OUT...GIVEN A RATHER DRY
LAYER AND WET BULBING. GIVEN MORE EXTENSIVE CLOUDS AND OVERNIGHT LOWS
STAYING ABOVE FREEZING...AM NOT EXPECTING WINTRY ISSUES DURING THE
OVERNIGHT. FOR OUR WESTERN AREAS WITH LESS CLOUDS AND SOMEWHAT DEEPER
COLD AIR...NIGHT TIME LOWS AT OR BELOW FREEZING STILL LOOK GOOD.

TRENDING A BIT TO THE NEW NAM...HAVE TAPERED THE PRECIP FURTHER TO
THE EAST DURING THE LATE NIGHT...KEEPING A SLIGHT CHANCE OVER NE
ALABAMA BEFORE DAYBREAK WED. GIVEN BARELY WARM ENOUGH TEMPERATURES...
HAVE NOT ADDED A WINTRY MIX IN THIS UPDATE.

RSB

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 540 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/
FOR 00Z TAFS...
VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MID AND HIGH
LEVEL CEILINGS WILL PREVAIL OVER THE REGION FOR MUCH OF THE PERIOD.
VIRGA WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE KHSV AREA. CLEARING SHOULD TAKE
PLACE AFT 07-09Z. ANOTHER AREA OF VFR CLOUDS WITH BASES AROUND
10KFT ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD OVER THE REGION WED AFTERNOON.

RSB

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 238 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

CURRENT WATER VAPOR IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH ACROSS
MUCH OF THE CONUS. MEANWHILE...AT THE SURFACE A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
HAS DEVELOPED ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF...WITH AN INVERTED TROUGH
EXTENDING NORTHWARD INTO FLORIDA AND GEORGIA. CLOUD COVER HAS
CONTINUED TO STREAM ACROSS THE AREA ON THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF
THIS LOW. THIS HAS KEPT CONDITIONS FAIRLY MILD ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA...WITH TEMPERATURES REMAINING IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S.

AS THE SURFACE LOW TRACKS NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT...MOISTURE WILL SURGE
TO THE NORTH ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. PRECIPITATION WILL ENTER
COUNTIES EAST OF THE INTERSTATE 65 CORRIDOR AFTER SUNSET
TONIGHT...AND THEN CONTINUE NORTHWARD...BEFORE EXITING THE AREA BY
SUNRISE ON WEDNESDAY. GIVEN CURRENT MODEL SOUNDINGS...THE VERTICAL
TEMPERATURE PROFILE REMAINS ABOVE FREEZING...AND THE MOISTURE DOES
NOT QUITE REACH THE SNOW GROWTH REGION IN THE UPPER LEVELS.
THEREFORE...PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN LIQUID FORM.

THE LOW WILL QUICKLY MOVE UP THE NORTHEAST COAST...TAKING THE
MOISTURE OUT OF THE AREA ON THURSDAY. MEANWHILE...A SHORTWAVE WILL
DEVELOP IN THE LONGWAVE TROUGH AND MOVE INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY.
MOISTURE WILL ACCOMPANY THIS TROUGH...HOWEVER IT APPEARS THE MOST OF
THE DEEP LAYER MOISTURE WILL REMAIN NORTH OF THE AREA. THIS WILL BARE
WATCHING BECAUSE IF MORE MOISTURE DOES MAKE IT THIS FAR SOUTH...THERE
MAY BE A BRIEF PERIOD OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION BEFORE SUNRISE ON
FRIDAY.

THE EXTENDED FORECAST WILL BE DOMINATED BY AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WITH
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE EASTERN CONUS. TEMPERATURES OVER THE
WEEKEND WILL BE UNSEASONABLY WARM...WITH HIGHS REACHING INTO THE MID
60S BY SUNDAY. RAIN MAY ENTER THE FORECAST AREA ONCE AGAIN BY MONDAY
AFTERNOON...AS SEVERAL SHORTWAVES BEGIN TO APPROACH THE AREA ON THE
NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE UPPER RIDGE. HOWEVER...ONLY KEPT LOW
CHANCE POPS IN FOR THE EXTENDED.

73

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE
AT WEATHER.GOV/HUNTSVILLE.





000
FXUS64 KHUN 252340 AAA
AFDHUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
540 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 00Z TAFS

&&

.DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 238 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

CURRENT WATER VAPOR IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH ACROSS
MUCH OF THE CONUS. MEANWHILE...AT THE SURFACE A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
HAS DEVELOPED ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF...WITH AN INVERTED TROUGH
EXTENDING NORTHWARD INTO FLORIDA AND GEORGIA. CLOUD COVER HAS
CONTINUED TO STREAM ACROSS THE AREA ON THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF
THIS LOW. THIS HAS KEPT CONDITIONS FAIRLY MILD ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA...WITH TEMPERATURES REMAINING IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S.

AS THE SURFACE LOW TRACKS NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT...MOISTURE WILL SURGE
TO THE NORTH ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. PRECIPITATION WILL ENTER
COUNTIES EAST OF THE INTERSTATE 65 CORRIDOR AFTER SUNSET
TONIGHT...AND THEN CONTINUE NORTHWARD...BEFORE EXITING THE AREA BY
SUNRISE ON WEDNESDAY. GIVEN CURRENT MODEL SOUNDINGS...THE VERTICAL
TEMPERATURE PROFILE REMAINS ABOVE FREEZING...AND THE MOISTURE DOES
NOT QUITE REACH THE SNOW GROWTH REGION IN THE UPPER LEVELS.
THEREFORE...PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN LIQUID FORM.

THE LOW WILL QUICKLY MOVE UP THE NORTHEAST COAST...TAKING THE
MOISTURE OUT OF THE AREA ON THURSDAY. MEANWHILE...A SHORTWAVE WILL
DEVELOP IN THE LONGWAVE TROUGH AND MOVE INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY.
MOISTURE WILL ACCOMPANY THIS TROUGH...HOWEVER IT APPEARS THE MOST OF
THE DEEP LAYER MOISTURE WILL REMAIN NORTH OF THE AREA. THIS WILL BARE
WATCHING BECAUSE IF MORE MOISTURE DOES MAKE IT THIS FAR SOUTH...THERE
MAY BE A BRIEF PERIOD OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION BEFORE SUNRISE ON
FRIDAY.

THE EXTENDED FORECAST WILL BE DOMINATED BY AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WITH
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE EASTERN CONUS. TEMPERATURES OVER THE
WEEKEND WILL BE UNSEASONABLY WARM...WITH HIGHS REACHING INTO THE MID
60S BY SUNDAY. RAIN MAY ENTER THE FORECAST AREA ONCE AGAIN BY MONDAY
AFTERNOON...AS SEVERAL SHORTWAVES BEGIN TO APPROACH THE AREA ON THE
NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE UPPER RIDGE. HOWEVER...ONLY KEPT LOW
CHANCE POPS IN FOR THE EXTENDED.

73

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR 00Z TAFS...
VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MID AND HIGH
LEVEL CEILINGS WILL PREVAIL OVER THE REGION FOR MUCH OF THE PERIOD.
VIRGA WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE KHSV AREA. CLEARING SHOULD TAKE
PLACE AFT 07-09Z. ANOTHER AREA OF VFR CLOUDS WITH BASES AROUND
10KFT ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD OVER THE REGION WED AFTERNOON.

RSB

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE
AT WEATHER.GOV/HUNTSVILLE.




000
FXUS64 KHUN 252340 AAA
AFDHUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
540 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 00Z TAFS

&&

.DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 238 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

CURRENT WATER VAPOR IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH ACROSS
MUCH OF THE CONUS. MEANWHILE...AT THE SURFACE A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
HAS DEVELOPED ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF...WITH AN INVERTED TROUGH
EXTENDING NORTHWARD INTO FLORIDA AND GEORGIA. CLOUD COVER HAS
CONTINUED TO STREAM ACROSS THE AREA ON THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF
THIS LOW. THIS HAS KEPT CONDITIONS FAIRLY MILD ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA...WITH TEMPERATURES REMAINING IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S.

AS THE SURFACE LOW TRACKS NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT...MOISTURE WILL SURGE
TO THE NORTH ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. PRECIPITATION WILL ENTER
COUNTIES EAST OF THE INTERSTATE 65 CORRIDOR AFTER SUNSET
TONIGHT...AND THEN CONTINUE NORTHWARD...BEFORE EXITING THE AREA BY
SUNRISE ON WEDNESDAY. GIVEN CURRENT MODEL SOUNDINGS...THE VERTICAL
TEMPERATURE PROFILE REMAINS ABOVE FREEZING...AND THE MOISTURE DOES
NOT QUITE REACH THE SNOW GROWTH REGION IN THE UPPER LEVELS.
THEREFORE...PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN LIQUID FORM.

THE LOW WILL QUICKLY MOVE UP THE NORTHEAST COAST...TAKING THE
MOISTURE OUT OF THE AREA ON THURSDAY. MEANWHILE...A SHORTWAVE WILL
DEVELOP IN THE LONGWAVE TROUGH AND MOVE INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY.
MOISTURE WILL ACCOMPANY THIS TROUGH...HOWEVER IT APPEARS THE MOST OF
THE DEEP LAYER MOISTURE WILL REMAIN NORTH OF THE AREA. THIS WILL BARE
WATCHING BECAUSE IF MORE MOISTURE DOES MAKE IT THIS FAR SOUTH...THERE
MAY BE A BRIEF PERIOD OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION BEFORE SUNRISE ON
FRIDAY.

THE EXTENDED FORECAST WILL BE DOMINATED BY AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WITH
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE EASTERN CONUS. TEMPERATURES OVER THE
WEEKEND WILL BE UNSEASONABLY WARM...WITH HIGHS REACHING INTO THE MID
60S BY SUNDAY. RAIN MAY ENTER THE FORECAST AREA ONCE AGAIN BY MONDAY
AFTERNOON...AS SEVERAL SHORTWAVES BEGIN TO APPROACH THE AREA ON THE
NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE UPPER RIDGE. HOWEVER...ONLY KEPT LOW
CHANCE POPS IN FOR THE EXTENDED.

73

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR 00Z TAFS...
VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MID AND HIGH
LEVEL CEILINGS WILL PREVAIL OVER THE REGION FOR MUCH OF THE PERIOD.
VIRGA WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE KHSV AREA. CLEARING SHOULD TAKE
PLACE AFT 07-09Z. ANOTHER AREA OF VFR CLOUDS WITH BASES AROUND
10KFT ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD OVER THE REGION WED AFTERNOON.

RSB

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE
AT WEATHER.GOV/HUNTSVILLE.





000
FXUS64 KHUN 252038
AFDHUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
238 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.DISCUSSION...

CURRENT WATER VAPOR IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH ACROSS
MUCH OF THE CONUS. MEANWHILE...AT THE SURFACE A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
HAS DEVELOPED ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF...WITH AN INVERTED TROUGH
EXTENDING NORTHWARD INTO FLORIDA AND GEORIGA. CLOUD COVER HAS
CONTINUED TO STREAM ACROSS THE AREA ON THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THIS
LOW. THIS HAS KEPT CONDITIONS FAIRLY MILD ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA...WITH TEMPERATURES REMAINING IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S.

AS THE SURFACE LOW TRACKS NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT...MOISTURE WILL SURGE
TO THE NORTH ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. PRECIPITATION WILL ENTER
COUNTIES EAST OF THE INTERSTATE 65 CORRIDOR AFTER SUNSET
TONIGHT...AND THEN CONTINUE NORTHWARD...BEFORE EXITING THE AREA BY
SUNRISE ON WEDNESDAY. GIVEN CURRENT MODEL SOUNDINGS...THE VERTICAL
TEMPERATURE PROFILE REMAINS ABOVE FREEZING...AND THE MOISTURE DOES
NOT QUITE REACH THE SNOW GROWTH REGION IN THE UPPER LEVELS.
THEREFORE...PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN LIQUID FORM.

THE LOW WILL QUICKLY MOVE UP THE NORTHEAST COAST...TAKING THE
MOISTURE OUT OF THE AREA ON THURSDAY. MEANWHILE...A SHORTWAVE WILL
DEVELOP IN THE LONGWAVE TROUGH AND MOVE INTO THE TENNEESSE VALLEY.
MOISTURE WILL ACCOMPANY THIS TROUGH...HOWEVER IT APPEARS THE MOST OF
THE DEEP LAYER MOISTURE WILL REMAIN NORTH OF THE AREA. THIS WILL BARE
WATCHING BECAUSE IF MORE MOISTURE DOES MAKE IT THIS FAR SOUTH...THERE
MAY BE A BRIEF PERIOD OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION BEFORE SUNRISE ON
FRIDAY.

THE EXTENDED FORECAST WILL BE DOMINATED BY AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WITH
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE EASTERN CONUS. TEMPERATURES OVER THE
WEEKEND WILL BE UNSEASONABLY WARM...WITH HIGHS REACHING INTO THE MID
60S BY SUNDAY. RAIN MAY ENTER THE FORECAST AREA ONCE AGAIN BY MONDAY
AFTERNOON...AS SEVERAL SHORTWAVES BEGIN TO APPROACH THE AREA ON THE
NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE UPPER RIDGE. HOWEVER...ONLY KEPT LOW
CHANCE POPS IN FOR THE EXTENDED.

73

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 1044 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/
FOR 18Z TAFS... VFR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MID AND HIGH LEVEL CIGS WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION BY EARLY THIS
EVENING. VIRGA WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE KHSV AREA WITH -RA REMAINING
JUST SOUTHEAST. CLEARING SHOULD TAKE PLACE AFT 07-09Z.

AK

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
HUNTSVILLE    32  52  33  44 /  10  10  10  10
SHOALS        31  52  34  46 /  10  10  10  10
VINEMONT      32  52  34  44 /  10  10  10  10
FAYETTEVILLE  33  51  34  42 /  10  10  10  10
ALBERTVILLE   33  53  33  44 /  20  10  10  10
FORT PAYNE    34  51  34  46 /  30  10  10  10

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE
AT WEATHER.GOV/HUNTSVILLE.





000
FXUS64 KHUN 252038
AFDHUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
238 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.DISCUSSION...

CURRENT WATER VAPOR IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH ACROSS
MUCH OF THE CONUS. MEANWHILE...AT THE SURFACE A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
HAS DEVELOPED ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF...WITH AN INVERTED TROUGH
EXTENDING NORTHWARD INTO FLORIDA AND GEORIGA. CLOUD COVER HAS
CONTINUED TO STREAM ACROSS THE AREA ON THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THIS
LOW. THIS HAS KEPT CONDITIONS FAIRLY MILD ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA...WITH TEMPERATURES REMAINING IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S.

AS THE SURFACE LOW TRACKS NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT...MOISTURE WILL SURGE
TO THE NORTH ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. PRECIPITATION WILL ENTER
COUNTIES EAST OF THE INTERSTATE 65 CORRIDOR AFTER SUNSET
TONIGHT...AND THEN CONTINUE NORTHWARD...BEFORE EXITING THE AREA BY
SUNRISE ON WEDNESDAY. GIVEN CURRENT MODEL SOUNDINGS...THE VERTICAL
TEMPERATURE PROFILE REMAINS ABOVE FREEZING...AND THE MOISTURE DOES
NOT QUITE REACH THE SNOW GROWTH REGION IN THE UPPER LEVELS.
THEREFORE...PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN LIQUID FORM.

THE LOW WILL QUICKLY MOVE UP THE NORTHEAST COAST...TAKING THE
MOISTURE OUT OF THE AREA ON THURSDAY. MEANWHILE...A SHORTWAVE WILL
DEVELOP IN THE LONGWAVE TROUGH AND MOVE INTO THE TENNEESSE VALLEY.
MOISTURE WILL ACCOMPANY THIS TROUGH...HOWEVER IT APPEARS THE MOST OF
THE DEEP LAYER MOISTURE WILL REMAIN NORTH OF THE AREA. THIS WILL BARE
WATCHING BECAUSE IF MORE MOISTURE DOES MAKE IT THIS FAR SOUTH...THERE
MAY BE A BRIEF PERIOD OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION BEFORE SUNRISE ON
FRIDAY.

THE EXTENDED FORECAST WILL BE DOMINATED BY AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WITH
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE EASTERN CONUS. TEMPERATURES OVER THE
WEEKEND WILL BE UNSEASONABLY WARM...WITH HIGHS REACHING INTO THE MID
60S BY SUNDAY. RAIN MAY ENTER THE FORECAST AREA ONCE AGAIN BY MONDAY
AFTERNOON...AS SEVERAL SHORTWAVES BEGIN TO APPROACH THE AREA ON THE
NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE UPPER RIDGE. HOWEVER...ONLY KEPT LOW
CHANCE POPS IN FOR THE EXTENDED.

73

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 1044 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/
FOR 18Z TAFS... VFR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MID AND HIGH LEVEL CIGS WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION BY EARLY THIS
EVENING. VIRGA WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE KHSV AREA WITH -RA REMAINING
JUST SOUTHEAST. CLEARING SHOULD TAKE PLACE AFT 07-09Z.

AK

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
HUNTSVILLE    32  52  33  44 /  10  10  10  10
SHOALS        31  52  34  46 /  10  10  10  10
VINEMONT      32  52  34  44 /  10  10  10  10
FAYETTEVILLE  33  51  34  42 /  10  10  10  10
ALBERTVILLE   33  53  33  44 /  20  10  10  10
FORT PAYNE    34  51  34  46 /  30  10  10  10

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE
AT WEATHER.GOV/HUNTSVILLE.




000
FXUS64 KHUN 251644 AAC
AFDHUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
1044 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 18Z TAFS

&&

.DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 827 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/
INITIALLY CLEAR SKY IS ALREADY SEEING BANDS OF MID/HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS
STREAMING NE INTO WESTERN/NWRN AL. THIS TREND WILL CONTINUE THRU THE
DAY AS BAROCLINIC LEAF FROM TX NEWD THRU THE MID SOUTH EXPANDS NEWD
IN ADVANCE OF SHARP TROF. HAVE INCORPORATED INCREASING CLOUDS THRU
THE DAY IN RESPONSE. WE WILL ALSO BE MONITORING 12Z MODEL DATA
CLOSELY TODAY TO ASSESS THE PROB OF PRECIP FOR TONIGHT AS THIS WAVE
APPROACHES.

AK

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR 18Z TAFS... VFR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MID AND HIGH LEVEL CIGS WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION BY EARLY THIS
EVENING. VIRGA WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE KHSV AREA WITH -RA REMAINING
JUST SOUTHEAST. CLEARING SHOULD TAKE PLACE AFT 07-09Z.

AK

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE
AT WEATHER.GOV/HUNTSVILLE.




000
FXUS64 KHUN 251644 AAC
AFDHUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
1044 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 18Z TAFS

&&

.DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 827 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/
INITIALLY CLEAR SKY IS ALREADY SEEING BANDS OF MID/HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS
STREAMING NE INTO WESTERN/NWRN AL. THIS TREND WILL CONTINUE THRU THE
DAY AS BAROCLINIC LEAF FROM TX NEWD THRU THE MID SOUTH EXPANDS NEWD
IN ADVANCE OF SHARP TROF. HAVE INCORPORATED INCREASING CLOUDS THRU
THE DAY IN RESPONSE. WE WILL ALSO BE MONITORING 12Z MODEL DATA
CLOSELY TODAY TO ASSESS THE PROB OF PRECIP FOR TONIGHT AS THIS WAVE
APPROACHES.

AK

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR 18Z TAFS... VFR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MID AND HIGH LEVEL CIGS WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION BY EARLY THIS
EVENING. VIRGA WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE KHSV AREA WITH -RA REMAINING
JUST SOUTHEAST. CLEARING SHOULD TAKE PLACE AFT 07-09Z.

AK

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE
AT WEATHER.GOV/HUNTSVILLE.





000
FXUS64 KHUN 251644 AAC
AFDHUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
1044 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 18Z TAFS

&&

.DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 827 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/
INITIALLY CLEAR SKY IS ALREADY SEEING BANDS OF MID/HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS
STREAMING NE INTO WESTERN/NWRN AL. THIS TREND WILL CONTINUE THRU THE
DAY AS BAROCLINIC LEAF FROM TX NEWD THRU THE MID SOUTH EXPANDS NEWD
IN ADVANCE OF SHARP TROF. HAVE INCORPORATED INCREASING CLOUDS THRU
THE DAY IN RESPONSE. WE WILL ALSO BE MONITORING 12Z MODEL DATA
CLOSELY TODAY TO ASSESS THE PROB OF PRECIP FOR TONIGHT AS THIS WAVE
APPROACHES.

AK

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR 18Z TAFS... VFR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MID AND HIGH LEVEL CIGS WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION BY EARLY THIS
EVENING. VIRGA WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE KHSV AREA WITH -RA REMAINING
JUST SOUTHEAST. CLEARING SHOULD TAKE PLACE AFT 07-09Z.

AK

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE
AT WEATHER.GOV/HUNTSVILLE.




000
FXUS64 KHUN 251644 AAC
AFDHUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
1044 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 18Z TAFS

&&

.DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 827 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/
INITIALLY CLEAR SKY IS ALREADY SEEING BANDS OF MID/HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS
STREAMING NE INTO WESTERN/NWRN AL. THIS TREND WILL CONTINUE THRU THE
DAY AS BAROCLINIC LEAF FROM TX NEWD THRU THE MID SOUTH EXPANDS NEWD
IN ADVANCE OF SHARP TROF. HAVE INCORPORATED INCREASING CLOUDS THRU
THE DAY IN RESPONSE. WE WILL ALSO BE MONITORING 12Z MODEL DATA
CLOSELY TODAY TO ASSESS THE PROB OF PRECIP FOR TONIGHT AS THIS WAVE
APPROACHES.

AK

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR 18Z TAFS... VFR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MID AND HIGH LEVEL CIGS WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION BY EARLY THIS
EVENING. VIRGA WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE KHSV AREA WITH -RA REMAINING
JUST SOUTHEAST. CLEARING SHOULD TAKE PLACE AFT 07-09Z.

AK

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE
AT WEATHER.GOV/HUNTSVILLE.





000
FXUS64 KHUN 251427 AAB
AFDHUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
827 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR SKY COVER TRENDS THROUGH TONIGHT.
&&

.DISCUSSION...
INITIALLY CLEAR SKY IS ALREADY SEEING BANDS OF MID/HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS
STREAMING NE INTO WESTERN/NWRN AL. THIS TREND WILL CONTINUE THRU THE
DAY AS BAROCLINIC LEAF FROM TX NEWD THRU THE MID SOUTH EXPANDS NEWD
IN ADVANCE OF SHARP TROF. HAVE INCORPORATED INCREASING CLOUDS THRU
THE DAY IN RESPONSE. WE WILL ALSO BE MONITORING 12Z MODEL DATA
CLOSELY TODAY TO ASSESS THE PROB OF PRECIP FOR TONIGHT AS THIS WAVE
APPROACHES.

AK

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 526 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/
FOR 12Z TAFS...WITH WEAK HIGH PRESSURE MOVING INTO THE REGION OUT OF
ERN TX...VFR CONDS ARE GENERALLY XPCTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. SOME
MID/HIGH CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE OUT OF THE E HEADING INTO THE
AFTERNOON/EVENING HRS...AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE FORMS ALONG THE
SRN ATLANTIC COAST.

09

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE
AT WEATHER.GOV/HUNTSVILLE.




000
FXUS64 KHUN 251427 AAB
AFDHUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
827 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR SKY COVER TRENDS THROUGH TONIGHT.
&&

.DISCUSSION...
INITIALLY CLEAR SKY IS ALREADY SEEING BANDS OF MID/HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS
STREAMING NE INTO WESTERN/NWRN AL. THIS TREND WILL CONTINUE THRU THE
DAY AS BAROCLINIC LEAF FROM TX NEWD THRU THE MID SOUTH EXPANDS NEWD
IN ADVANCE OF SHARP TROF. HAVE INCORPORATED INCREASING CLOUDS THRU
THE DAY IN RESPONSE. WE WILL ALSO BE MONITORING 12Z MODEL DATA
CLOSELY TODAY TO ASSESS THE PROB OF PRECIP FOR TONIGHT AS THIS WAVE
APPROACHES.

AK

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 526 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/
FOR 12Z TAFS...WITH WEAK HIGH PRESSURE MOVING INTO THE REGION OUT OF
ERN TX...VFR CONDS ARE GENERALLY XPCTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. SOME
MID/HIGH CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE OUT OF THE E HEADING INTO THE
AFTERNOON/EVENING HRS...AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE FORMS ALONG THE
SRN ATLANTIC COAST.

09

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE
AT WEATHER.GOV/HUNTSVILLE.





000
FXUS64 KHUN 251126 AAA
AFDHUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
526 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 12Z TAFS

&&

.DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 228 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/
WENT WITH A BLEND OF NAM/GFS/ECMWF BUT WILL LEAN MORE WITH GFS/ECMWF
FOR THE SHORT TERM PORTION OF THE FCST. WENT WITH CONSALL FOR
EXTENDED FCST.

THERE IS A COUPLE OF FLIES IN THE ONITMENT FOR THE SHORT TERM PORTION
OF THE FCST. THE FIRST ONE IS THE CHC OF PCPN TONIGHT AND THE SECOND
ONE IS THE CHC OF MORE PCPN WEDNESDAY AFTN/NIGHT

ATTM MAINLY CI CLOUDS WERE MOVING ACROSS MUCH OF THE CWA WITH TEMPS
IN THE LOW/MID 40S...ALONG WITH A FEW MID/UPPER 30S. AT THE
SFC...HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDED FROM ERN TX THRU THE TN VALLEY AND INTO
THE MID ATLANTIC. THE CDFNT THAT MOVED ACROSS OUR CWA YESTERDAY IS
NOW STRETCHING ALONG THE EAST COAST TO NW FL. WHILE AT 5H A BROAD
UPPER TROF WAS OVER MUCH OF THE CENTRAL PART OF THE COUNTRY. PLENTY
OF MOISTURE WAS FLOWING ON THE ERN SIDE OF THE UPPER TROF...FROM THE
SERN US AND ALONG MUCH OF THE EAST COAST.

FOR TODAY SFC HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE TN
VALLEY. TONIGHT A SFC LOW IS PROGGED TO MOVE NE ALONG THE CDFNT
MENTIONED ABOVE. AT THE SAME TIME A WEAK UPPER SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE TN VALLEY FROM THE WEST. BOTH GFS/ECMWF KEEPS MOST...IF
NOT ALL...OF THE PCPN JUST EAST OF OUR CWA. THE NAM IS THE ODD MAN
OUT WITH A CHC OF PCPN OVER NE AL BETWEEN 06Z AND 09Z. FOR NOW WILL
GO WITH GFS/ECMWF AND KEEP IT DRY ACROSS THE ENTIRE CWA FOR TONIGHT.

AS THE SFC LOW/UPPER SHORTWAVE MOVES EAST OF THE TN VALLEY WEDNESDAY
MRNG...HERE COMES A QUICK MOVING CLIPPER SYSTEM/CDFNT THAT WILL
APPROACH THE CWA WEDNESDAY AFTN/NIGHT. ATTM IT LOOKS LIKE THE CHC OF
PCPN WILL STAY NORTH OF THE CWA. ALSO MODELS SOUNDINGS SHOW MOISTURE
MAY BE TOO LIMITED FOR PCPN. THUS WILL KEEP ALL OF WEDNESDAY
(MRNG/AFTN/NIGHT) DRY ATTM.

ON TURKEY DAY...COLDER AIR WILL MOVE ACROSS THE TN VALLEY BEHIND THE
ABOVE MENTIONED CDFNT. MRNG LOWS WILL BE IN THE LOW 30S WITH AFTN
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S ALONG WITH DRY CONDITIONS.

FRIDAY/SATURDAY...MOST OF THIS TIME FRAME THE TN VALLEY WILL BE UNDER
HIGH PRESSURES AND A WARMING TREND. ALSO THE CHC OF ANY SIGNIFICANT
PCPN LOOKS IFFY ATTM. FRIDAY HIGHS WILL BE IN THE LOW 50S BUT BY
SATURDAY HIGHS WILL CLIMB INTO THE LOW 60S.

SUNDAY/MONDAY...HIGH PRESSURE MOVES EAST OF THE CWA ALLOWING FOR
RETURN FLOW. MODELS ALSO SHOW A CDFNT THAT MAY STALL OUT ALONG THE
KY/TN BORDER. THIS WOULD KEEP A CHC OF SHRA MAINLY FOR LOCATIONS
NORTH OF THE TN RIVER. ONE NICE THING IS THAT HIGH TEMPS SHOULD BE
IN THE MID 60S.

07

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR 12Z TAFS...WITH WEAK HIGH PRESSURE MOVING INTO THE REGION OUT OF
ERN TX...VFR CONDS ARE GENERALLY XPCTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. SOME
MID/HIGH CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE OUT OF THE E HEADING INTO THE
AFTERNOON/EVENING HRS...AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE FORMS ALONG THE
SRN ATLANTIC COAST.

09

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE
AT WEATHER.GOV/HUNTSVILLE.





000
FXUS64 KHUN 251126 AAA
AFDHUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
526 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 12Z TAFS

&&

.DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 228 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/
WENT WITH A BLEND OF NAM/GFS/ECMWF BUT WILL LEAN MORE WITH GFS/ECMWF
FOR THE SHORT TERM PORTION OF THE FCST. WENT WITH CONSALL FOR
EXTENDED FCST.

THERE IS A COUPLE OF FLIES IN THE ONITMENT FOR THE SHORT TERM PORTION
OF THE FCST. THE FIRST ONE IS THE CHC OF PCPN TONIGHT AND THE SECOND
ONE IS THE CHC OF MORE PCPN WEDNESDAY AFTN/NIGHT

ATTM MAINLY CI CLOUDS WERE MOVING ACROSS MUCH OF THE CWA WITH TEMPS
IN THE LOW/MID 40S...ALONG WITH A FEW MID/UPPER 30S. AT THE
SFC...HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDED FROM ERN TX THRU THE TN VALLEY AND INTO
THE MID ATLANTIC. THE CDFNT THAT MOVED ACROSS OUR CWA YESTERDAY IS
NOW STRETCHING ALONG THE EAST COAST TO NW FL. WHILE AT 5H A BROAD
UPPER TROF WAS OVER MUCH OF THE CENTRAL PART OF THE COUNTRY. PLENTY
OF MOISTURE WAS FLOWING ON THE ERN SIDE OF THE UPPER TROF...FROM THE
SERN US AND ALONG MUCH OF THE EAST COAST.

FOR TODAY SFC HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE TN
VALLEY. TONIGHT A SFC LOW IS PROGGED TO MOVE NE ALONG THE CDFNT
MENTIONED ABOVE. AT THE SAME TIME A WEAK UPPER SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE TN VALLEY FROM THE WEST. BOTH GFS/ECMWF KEEPS MOST...IF
NOT ALL...OF THE PCPN JUST EAST OF OUR CWA. THE NAM IS THE ODD MAN
OUT WITH A CHC OF PCPN OVER NE AL BETWEEN 06Z AND 09Z. FOR NOW WILL
GO WITH GFS/ECMWF AND KEEP IT DRY ACROSS THE ENTIRE CWA FOR TONIGHT.

AS THE SFC LOW/UPPER SHORTWAVE MOVES EAST OF THE TN VALLEY WEDNESDAY
MRNG...HERE COMES A QUICK MOVING CLIPPER SYSTEM/CDFNT THAT WILL
APPROACH THE CWA WEDNESDAY AFTN/NIGHT. ATTM IT LOOKS LIKE THE CHC OF
PCPN WILL STAY NORTH OF THE CWA. ALSO MODELS SOUNDINGS SHOW MOISTURE
MAY BE TOO LIMITED FOR PCPN. THUS WILL KEEP ALL OF WEDNESDAY
(MRNG/AFTN/NIGHT) DRY ATTM.

ON TURKEY DAY...COLDER AIR WILL MOVE ACROSS THE TN VALLEY BEHIND THE
ABOVE MENTIONED CDFNT. MRNG LOWS WILL BE IN THE LOW 30S WITH AFTN
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S ALONG WITH DRY CONDITIONS.

FRIDAY/SATURDAY...MOST OF THIS TIME FRAME THE TN VALLEY WILL BE UNDER
HIGH PRESSURES AND A WARMING TREND. ALSO THE CHC OF ANY SIGNIFICANT
PCPN LOOKS IFFY ATTM. FRIDAY HIGHS WILL BE IN THE LOW 50S BUT BY
SATURDAY HIGHS WILL CLIMB INTO THE LOW 60S.

SUNDAY/MONDAY...HIGH PRESSURE MOVES EAST OF THE CWA ALLOWING FOR
RETURN FLOW. MODELS ALSO SHOW A CDFNT THAT MAY STALL OUT ALONG THE
KY/TN BORDER. THIS WOULD KEEP A CHC OF SHRA MAINLY FOR LOCATIONS
NORTH OF THE TN RIVER. ONE NICE THING IS THAT HIGH TEMPS SHOULD BE
IN THE MID 60S.

07

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR 12Z TAFS...WITH WEAK HIGH PRESSURE MOVING INTO THE REGION OUT OF
ERN TX...VFR CONDS ARE GENERALLY XPCTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. SOME
MID/HIGH CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE OUT OF THE E HEADING INTO THE
AFTERNOON/EVENING HRS...AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE FORMS ALONG THE
SRN ATLANTIC COAST.

09

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE
AT WEATHER.GOV/HUNTSVILLE.




000
FXUS64 KHUN 250828
AFDHUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
228 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.DISCUSSION...
WENT WITH A BLEND OF NAM/GFS/ECMWF BUT WILL LEAN MORE WITH GFS/ECMWF
FOR THE SHORT TERM PORTION OF THE FCST. WENT WITH CONSALL FOR
EXTENDED FCST.

THERE IS A COUPLE OF FLIES IN THE ONITMENT FOR THE SHORT TERM PORTION
OF THE FCST. THE FIRST ONE IS THE CHC OF PCPN TONIGHT AND THE SECOND
ONE IS THE CHC OF MORE PCPN WEDNESDAY AFTN/NIGHT

ATTM MAINLY CI CLOUDS WERE MOVING ACROSS MUCH OF THE CWA WITH TEMPS
IN THE LOW/MID 40S...ALONG WITH A FEW MID/UPPER 30S. AT THE
SFC...HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDED FROM ERN TX THRU THE TN VALLEY AND INTO
THE MID ATLANTIC. THE CDFNT THAT MOVED ACROSS OUR CWA YESTERDAY IS
NOW STRETCHING ALONG THE EAST COAST TO NW FL. WHILE AT 5H A BROAD
UPPER TROF WAS OVER MUCH OF THE CENTRAL PART OF THE COUNTRY. PLENTY
OF MOISTURE WAS FLOWING ON THE ERN SIDE OF THE UPPER TROF...FROM THE
SERN US AND ALONG MUCH OF THE EAST COAST.

FOR TODAY SFC HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE TN
VALLEY. TONIGHT A SFC LOW IS PROGGED TO MOVE NE ALONG THE CDFNT
MENTIONED ABOVE. AT THE SAME TIME A WEAK UPPER SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE TN VALLEY FROM THE WEST. BOTH GFS/ECMWF KEEPS MOST...IF
NOT ALL...OF THE PCPN JUST EAST OF OUR CWA. THE NAM IS THE ODD MAN
OUT WITH A CHC OF PCPN OVER NE AL BETWEEN 06Z AND 09Z. FOR NOW WILL
GO WITH GFS/ECMWF AND KEEP IT DRY ACROSS THE ENTIRE CWA FOR TONIGHT.

AS THE SFC LOW/UPPER SHORTWAVE MOVES EAST OF THE TN VALLEY WEDNESDAY
MRNG...HERE COMES A QUICK MOVING CLIPPER SYSTEM/CDFNT THAT WILL
APPROACH THE CWA WEDNESDAY AFTN/NIGHT. ATTM IT LOOKS LIKE THE CHC OF
PCPN WILL STAY NORTH OF THE CWA. ALSO MODELS SOUNDINGS SHOW MOISTURE
MAY BE TOO LIMITED FOR PCPN. THUS WILL KEEP ALL OF WEDNESDAY
(MRNG/AFTN/NIGHT) DRY ATTM.

ON TURKEY DAY...COLDER AIR WILL MOVE ACROSS THE TN VALLEY BEHIND THE
ABOVE MENTIONED CDFNT. MRNG LOWS WILL BE IN THE LOW 30S WITH AFTN
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S ALONG WITH DRY CONDITIONS.

FRIDAY/SATURDAY...MOST OF THIS TIME FRAME THE TN VALLEY WILL BE UNDER
HIGH PRESSURES AND A WARMING TREND. ALSO THE CHC OF ANY SIGNIFICANT
PCPN LOOKS IFFY ATTM. FRIDAY HIGHS WILL BE IN THE LOW 50S BUT BY
SATURDAY HIGHS WILL CLIMB INTO THE LOW 60S.

SUNDAY/MONDAY...HIGH PRESSURE MOVES EAST OF THE CWA ALLOWING FOR
RETURN FLOW. MODELS ALSO SHOW A CDFNT THAT MAY STALL OUT ALONG THE
KY/TN BORDER. THIS WOULD KEEP A CHC OF SHRA MAINLY FOR LOCATIONS
NORTH OF THE TN RIVER. ONE NICE THING IS THAT HIGH TEMPS SHOULD BE
IN THE MID 60S.

07

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 1114 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014/
FOR 06Z TAFS...
VFR WEATHER SHOULD CONTINUE FOR THE TAF PERIOD. LIGHT WINDS DURING
THE OVERNIGHT WILL BECOME NNW IN THE 5-10KT RANGE SHORTLY AFTER
DAYBREAK. A STREAM OF MOISTURE ALOFT MOVING FROM SW-NE WILL BRING
SCATTERED HIGH CLOUDS ACROSS THE AREA...WITH CLOUD BASES GRADUALLY
LOWERING DURING TUE. BY TUE NIGHT...SCATTERED CLOUDS IN THE 5-6KFT
ARE EXPECTED. SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A SYSTEM MOVING TO
THE NE FROM THE GULF SHOULD REMAIN SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA.

RSB

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
HUNTSVILLE    53  32  54  34 /  10  10  10  10
SHOALS        54  31  55  35 /  10  10  10  10
VINEMONT      53  32  54  34 /  10  10  10  10
FAYETTEVILLE  52  32  53  33 /  10  10  10  10
ALBERTVILLE   54  33  54  32 /  10  10  10  10
FORT PAYNE    56  34  53  34 /  10  20  10  10

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE
AT WEATHER.GOV/HUNTSVILLE.





000
FXUS64 KHUN 250828
AFDHUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
228 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.DISCUSSION...
WENT WITH A BLEND OF NAM/GFS/ECMWF BUT WILL LEAN MORE WITH GFS/ECMWF
FOR THE SHORT TERM PORTION OF THE FCST. WENT WITH CONSALL FOR
EXTENDED FCST.

THERE IS A COUPLE OF FLIES IN THE ONITMENT FOR THE SHORT TERM PORTION
OF THE FCST. THE FIRST ONE IS THE CHC OF PCPN TONIGHT AND THE SECOND
ONE IS THE CHC OF MORE PCPN WEDNESDAY AFTN/NIGHT

ATTM MAINLY CI CLOUDS WERE MOVING ACROSS MUCH OF THE CWA WITH TEMPS
IN THE LOW/MID 40S...ALONG WITH A FEW MID/UPPER 30S. AT THE
SFC...HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDED FROM ERN TX THRU THE TN VALLEY AND INTO
THE MID ATLANTIC. THE CDFNT THAT MOVED ACROSS OUR CWA YESTERDAY IS
NOW STRETCHING ALONG THE EAST COAST TO NW FL. WHILE AT 5H A BROAD
UPPER TROF WAS OVER MUCH OF THE CENTRAL PART OF THE COUNTRY. PLENTY
OF MOISTURE WAS FLOWING ON THE ERN SIDE OF THE UPPER TROF...FROM THE
SERN US AND ALONG MUCH OF THE EAST COAST.

FOR TODAY SFC HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE TN
VALLEY. TONIGHT A SFC LOW IS PROGGED TO MOVE NE ALONG THE CDFNT
MENTIONED ABOVE. AT THE SAME TIME A WEAK UPPER SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE TN VALLEY FROM THE WEST. BOTH GFS/ECMWF KEEPS MOST...IF
NOT ALL...OF THE PCPN JUST EAST OF OUR CWA. THE NAM IS THE ODD MAN
OUT WITH A CHC OF PCPN OVER NE AL BETWEEN 06Z AND 09Z. FOR NOW WILL
GO WITH GFS/ECMWF AND KEEP IT DRY ACROSS THE ENTIRE CWA FOR TONIGHT.

AS THE SFC LOW/UPPER SHORTWAVE MOVES EAST OF THE TN VALLEY WEDNESDAY
MRNG...HERE COMES A QUICK MOVING CLIPPER SYSTEM/CDFNT THAT WILL
APPROACH THE CWA WEDNESDAY AFTN/NIGHT. ATTM IT LOOKS LIKE THE CHC OF
PCPN WILL STAY NORTH OF THE CWA. ALSO MODELS SOUNDINGS SHOW MOISTURE
MAY BE TOO LIMITED FOR PCPN. THUS WILL KEEP ALL OF WEDNESDAY
(MRNG/AFTN/NIGHT) DRY ATTM.

ON TURKEY DAY...COLDER AIR WILL MOVE ACROSS THE TN VALLEY BEHIND THE
ABOVE MENTIONED CDFNT. MRNG LOWS WILL BE IN THE LOW 30S WITH AFTN
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S ALONG WITH DRY CONDITIONS.

FRIDAY/SATURDAY...MOST OF THIS TIME FRAME THE TN VALLEY WILL BE UNDER
HIGH PRESSURES AND A WARMING TREND. ALSO THE CHC OF ANY SIGNIFICANT
PCPN LOOKS IFFY ATTM. FRIDAY HIGHS WILL BE IN THE LOW 50S BUT BY
SATURDAY HIGHS WILL CLIMB INTO THE LOW 60S.

SUNDAY/MONDAY...HIGH PRESSURE MOVES EAST OF THE CWA ALLOWING FOR
RETURN FLOW. MODELS ALSO SHOW A CDFNT THAT MAY STALL OUT ALONG THE
KY/TN BORDER. THIS WOULD KEEP A CHC OF SHRA MAINLY FOR LOCATIONS
NORTH OF THE TN RIVER. ONE NICE THING IS THAT HIGH TEMPS SHOULD BE
IN THE MID 60S.

07

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 1114 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014/
FOR 06Z TAFS...
VFR WEATHER SHOULD CONTINUE FOR THE TAF PERIOD. LIGHT WINDS DURING
THE OVERNIGHT WILL BECOME NNW IN THE 5-10KT RANGE SHORTLY AFTER
DAYBREAK. A STREAM OF MOISTURE ALOFT MOVING FROM SW-NE WILL BRING
SCATTERED HIGH CLOUDS ACROSS THE AREA...WITH CLOUD BASES GRADUALLY
LOWERING DURING TUE. BY TUE NIGHT...SCATTERED CLOUDS IN THE 5-6KFT
ARE EXPECTED. SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A SYSTEM MOVING TO
THE NE FROM THE GULF SHOULD REMAIN SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA.

RSB

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
HUNTSVILLE    53  32  54  34 /  10  10  10  10
SHOALS        54  31  55  35 /  10  10  10  10
VINEMONT      53  32  54  34 /  10  10  10  10
FAYETTEVILLE  52  32  53  33 /  10  10  10  10
ALBERTVILLE   54  33  54  32 /  10  10  10  10
FORT PAYNE    56  34  53  34 /  10  20  10  10

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE
AT WEATHER.GOV/HUNTSVILLE.




000
FXUS64 KHUN 250514 AAC
AFDHUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
1114 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 06Z TAFS

&&

.DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 857 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014/
COLDER...MORE SEASONABLE AIR HAS FILTERED IN TO THE AREA FROM
THE NW...IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT PASSAGE EARLIER TODAY.
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER EASTERN TEXAS WAS PROVIDING
A LIGHT W-NW FLOW ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. ALOFT...LARGE SCALE
TROUGHING WAS PRESENT ACROSS THE GREATER NORTH AMERICAN DOMAIN...
WITH A SW-NE MID/UPPER LEVEL FLOW ACROSS THE EASTERN CONUS. A
FETCH OF SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE WAS FLOWING TO THE NE...ORIGINATING
FROM THE CENTRAL MEXICO REGION AROUND 20N.

THIS MOISTURE PLUME FROM THE SUBTROPICS HAS RESULTED IN PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY THIS EVENING. THIS
MOISTURE SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT. THESE CLOUDS WILL
BE GENERALLY HIGH ALTITUDE VARIETY...CAUSING A MINIMAL REFLECTION
IN LONG WAVE RADIATION RETURN. GIVEN THIS MOISTURE...DECIDED TO
RAISE LOW TEMPS A DEGREE MOST SPOTS...SOMEWHAT TEMPERING COLD AIR
ADVECTION FROM HIGH WEST OF THE REGION.

FORECAST UPDATES HAVE BEEN SENT FOR THE REST OF THE NIGHT.

RSB

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR 06Z TAFS...
VFR WEATHER SHOULD CONTINUE FOR THE TAF PERIOD. LIGHT WINDS DURING
THE OVERNIGHT WILL BECOME NNW IN THE 5-10KT RANGE SHORTLY AFTER
DAYBREAK. A STREAM OF MOISTURE ALOFT MOVING FROM SW-NE WILL BRING
SCATTERED HIGH CLOUDS ACROSS THE AREA...WITH CLOUD BASES GRADUALLY
LOWERING DURING TUE. BY TUE NIGHT...SCATTERED CLOUDS IN THE 5-6KFT
ARE EXPECTED. SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A SYSTEM MOVING TO
THE NE FROM THE GULF SHOULD REMAIN SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA.

RSB

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE
AT WEATHER.GOV/HUNTSVILLE.





000
FXUS64 KHUN 250514 AAC
AFDHUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
1114 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 06Z TAFS

&&

.DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 857 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014/
COLDER...MORE SEASONABLE AIR HAS FILTERED IN TO THE AREA FROM
THE NW...IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT PASSAGE EARLIER TODAY.
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER EASTERN TEXAS WAS PROVIDING
A LIGHT W-NW FLOW ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. ALOFT...LARGE SCALE
TROUGHING WAS PRESENT ACROSS THE GREATER NORTH AMERICAN DOMAIN...
WITH A SW-NE MID/UPPER LEVEL FLOW ACROSS THE EASTERN CONUS. A
FETCH OF SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE WAS FLOWING TO THE NE...ORIGINATING
FROM THE CENTRAL MEXICO REGION AROUND 20N.

THIS MOISTURE PLUME FROM THE SUBTROPICS HAS RESULTED IN PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY THIS EVENING. THIS
MOISTURE SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT. THESE CLOUDS WILL
BE GENERALLY HIGH ALTITUDE VARIETY...CAUSING A MINIMAL REFLECTION
IN LONG WAVE RADIATION RETURN. GIVEN THIS MOISTURE...DECIDED TO
RAISE LOW TEMPS A DEGREE MOST SPOTS...SOMEWHAT TEMPERING COLD AIR
ADVECTION FROM HIGH WEST OF THE REGION.

FORECAST UPDATES HAVE BEEN SENT FOR THE REST OF THE NIGHT.

RSB

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR 06Z TAFS...
VFR WEATHER SHOULD CONTINUE FOR THE TAF PERIOD. LIGHT WINDS DURING
THE OVERNIGHT WILL BECOME NNW IN THE 5-10KT RANGE SHORTLY AFTER
DAYBREAK. A STREAM OF MOISTURE ALOFT MOVING FROM SW-NE WILL BRING
SCATTERED HIGH CLOUDS ACROSS THE AREA...WITH CLOUD BASES GRADUALLY
LOWERING DURING TUE. BY TUE NIGHT...SCATTERED CLOUDS IN THE 5-6KFT
ARE EXPECTED. SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A SYSTEM MOVING TO
THE NE FROM THE GULF SHOULD REMAIN SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA.

RSB

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE
AT WEATHER.GOV/HUNTSVILLE.




000
FXUS64 KHUN 250257 AAB
AFDHUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
857 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.UPDATE...
RAISED TEMPERATURES A DEGREE OR SO MOST SPOTS...AND SKY COVER
FROM MOSTLY CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
COLDER...MORE SEASONABLE AIR HAS FILTERED IN TO THE AREA FROM
THE NW...IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT PASSAGE EARLIER TODAY.
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER EASTERN TEXAS WAS PROVIDING
A LIGHT W-NW FLOW ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. ALOFT...LARGE SCALE
TROUGHING WAS PRESENT ACROSS THE GREATER NORTH AMERICAN DOMAIN...
WITH A SW-NE MID/UPPER LEVEL FLOW ACROSS THE EASTERN CONUS. A
FETCH OF SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE WAS FLOWING TO THE NE...ORIGINATING
FROM THE CENTRAL MEXICO REGION AROUND 20N.

THIS MOISTURE PLUME FROM THE SUBTROPICS HAS RESULTED IN PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY THIS EVENING. THIS
MOISTURE SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT. THESE CLOUDS WILL
BE GENERALLY HIGH ALTITUDE VARIETY...CAUSING A MINIMAL REFLECTION
IN LONG WAVE RADIATION RETURN. GIVEN THIS MOISTURE...DECIDED TO
RAISE LOW TEMPS A DEGREE MOST SPOTS...SOMEWHAT TEMPERING COLD AIR
ADVECTION FROM HIGH WEST OF THE REGION.

FORECAST UPDATES HAVE BEEN SENT FOR THE REST OF THE NIGHT.

RSB

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 524 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014/
FOR 00Z TAFS...
LIGHT WESTERLY WINDS ARE FORECAST THROUGH TONIGHT...AS WEAK HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS EASTWARD TOWARD THE REGION. CLEAR SKIES SHOULD
PERSIST THROUGH TUE MORNING...WITH WINDS BECOMING LIGHT FROM THE
NNW AROUND 5 KT. AN INCREASE IN HIGH CLOUDS IS EXPECTED LATE IN
THE PERIOD...WASN`T PUT INTO THE TAF GIVEN NO OTHER CHANGES WERE
EXPECTED.

RSB

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 241 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

CURRENT WATER VAPOR IMAGERY IS SHOWING THE SOUTHEAST UNDER A BROAD
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH...WITH THE SURFACE LOW NOW ACROSS THE NORTHEAST.
THE COLD FRONT HAS NOW PASSED TO THE EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA...AND
LOCAL OBSERVATIONS HAVE SHOWN TEMPERATURES REMAINING STEADY OR
FALLING OVER THE LAST COUPLE OF HOURS. THIS TREND SHOULD CONTINUE
THROUGH THE REMAINING AFTERNOON...WITH SKIES BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR
BY NIGHTFALL.

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD INTO THE AREA
OVERNIGHT...WITH WINDS BECOMING NORTHERLY BY TUESDAY MORNING. A
SURFACE LOW WILL LIKELY DEVELOP ALONG THE GULF COAST ON TUESDAY...AT
THE BASE OF THE LONG WAVE TROUGH. THIS LOW...AND INVERTED TROUGH IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST ACROSS GEORGIA...AND THEN ALONG THE
EAST COAST DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK. MOISTURE WILL SURGE
NORTHWARD WITH THIS SYSTEM...BRINGING THE CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION
ACROSS AREAS TO OUR EAST TUESDAY NIGHT AND INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING.
MODEL CONSENSUS IS NOT VERY GOOD CONCERNING HOW FAR WEST THE
PRECIPITATION WILL REACH...HOWEVER GIVEN THE LACK OF DEEP LAYER
MOISTURE...DID NOT INCLUDE ANY PRECIP WITH THIS SYSTEM.
ADDITIONALLY...DEWPOINTS WILL INCREASE INTO THE MID 30S ACROSS THE
EASTERN COUNTIES OF THE FORECAST AREAS...WHICH SHOULD KEEP
TEMPERATURES ABOVE FREEZING EVEN WITH ANY PRECIPITATION THAT DOES
OCCUR. HOWEVER...THERE IS THAT FINE LINE OF PRECIP TYPE...SO WILL
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS IN CASE ANY WINTRY PRECIP
APPEARS LIKELY.

A SECONDARY LOW WILL DEVELOP AND MOVE ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES
OVERNIGHT WEDNESDAY...WITH LIMITED MOISTURE EXTENDING INTO THE
NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA. THE MAIN LOW PRESSURE QUICKLY
MOVES OUT OF GEORGIA AND TO THE NORTHEAST BY THURSDAY...TAKING THE
DEEP LAYER MOISTURE ALONG WITH IT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO
BUILD IN...WITH SOUTHERLY FLOW RETURNING BY THE END OF THE WORKWEEK.
THIS WILL BRING IN MORE WARM AND MOIST AIR INTO THE REGION BY
WEEKEND...WITH TEMPERATURES RISING INTO THE LOW TO MID 60S. MODELS
ARE HINTING AT SEVERAL SHORTWAVES MOVING IN MOSTLY ZONAL FLOW DURING
THE EXTENDED...AND THEREFORE MADE VERY LITTLE CHANGES TO THE EXTENDED
FORECAST.

73

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE
AT WEATHER.GOV/HUNTSVILLE.




000
FXUS64 KHUN 250257 AAB
AFDHUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
857 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.UPDATE...
RAISED TEMPERATURES A DEGREE OR SO MOST SPOTS...AND SKY COVER
FROM MOSTLY CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
COLDER...MORE SEASONABLE AIR HAS FILTERED IN TO THE AREA FROM
THE NW...IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT PASSAGE EARLIER TODAY.
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER EASTERN TEXAS WAS PROVIDING
A LIGHT W-NW FLOW ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. ALOFT...LARGE SCALE
TROUGHING WAS PRESENT ACROSS THE GREATER NORTH AMERICAN DOMAIN...
WITH A SW-NE MID/UPPER LEVEL FLOW ACROSS THE EASTERN CONUS. A
FETCH OF SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE WAS FLOWING TO THE NE...ORIGINATING
FROM THE CENTRAL MEXICO REGION AROUND 20N.

THIS MOISTURE PLUME FROM THE SUBTROPICS HAS RESULTED IN PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY THIS EVENING. THIS
MOISTURE SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT. THESE CLOUDS WILL
BE GENERALLY HIGH ALTITUDE VARIETY...CAUSING A MINIMAL REFLECTION
IN LONG WAVE RADIATION RETURN. GIVEN THIS MOISTURE...DECIDED TO
RAISE LOW TEMPS A DEGREE MOST SPOTS...SOMEWHAT TEMPERING COLD AIR
ADVECTION FROM HIGH WEST OF THE REGION.

FORECAST UPDATES HAVE BEEN SENT FOR THE REST OF THE NIGHT.

RSB

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 524 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014/
FOR 00Z TAFS...
LIGHT WESTERLY WINDS ARE FORECAST THROUGH TONIGHT...AS WEAK HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS EASTWARD TOWARD THE REGION. CLEAR SKIES SHOULD
PERSIST THROUGH TUE MORNING...WITH WINDS BECOMING LIGHT FROM THE
NNW AROUND 5 KT. AN INCREASE IN HIGH CLOUDS IS EXPECTED LATE IN
THE PERIOD...WASN`T PUT INTO THE TAF GIVEN NO OTHER CHANGES WERE
EXPECTED.

RSB

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 241 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

CURRENT WATER VAPOR IMAGERY IS SHOWING THE SOUTHEAST UNDER A BROAD
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH...WITH THE SURFACE LOW NOW ACROSS THE NORTHEAST.
THE COLD FRONT HAS NOW PASSED TO THE EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA...AND
LOCAL OBSERVATIONS HAVE SHOWN TEMPERATURES REMAINING STEADY OR
FALLING OVER THE LAST COUPLE OF HOURS. THIS TREND SHOULD CONTINUE
THROUGH THE REMAINING AFTERNOON...WITH SKIES BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR
BY NIGHTFALL.

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD INTO THE AREA
OVERNIGHT...WITH WINDS BECOMING NORTHERLY BY TUESDAY MORNING. A
SURFACE LOW WILL LIKELY DEVELOP ALONG THE GULF COAST ON TUESDAY...AT
THE BASE OF THE LONG WAVE TROUGH. THIS LOW...AND INVERTED TROUGH IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST ACROSS GEORGIA...AND THEN ALONG THE
EAST COAST DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK. MOISTURE WILL SURGE
NORTHWARD WITH THIS SYSTEM...BRINGING THE CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION
ACROSS AREAS TO OUR EAST TUESDAY NIGHT AND INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING.
MODEL CONSENSUS IS NOT VERY GOOD CONCERNING HOW FAR WEST THE
PRECIPITATION WILL REACH...HOWEVER GIVEN THE LACK OF DEEP LAYER
MOISTURE...DID NOT INCLUDE ANY PRECIP WITH THIS SYSTEM.
ADDITIONALLY...DEWPOINTS WILL INCREASE INTO THE MID 30S ACROSS THE
EASTERN COUNTIES OF THE FORECAST AREAS...WHICH SHOULD KEEP
TEMPERATURES ABOVE FREEZING EVEN WITH ANY PRECIPITATION THAT DOES
OCCUR. HOWEVER...THERE IS THAT FINE LINE OF PRECIP TYPE...SO WILL
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS IN CASE ANY WINTRY PRECIP
APPEARS LIKELY.

A SECONDARY LOW WILL DEVELOP AND MOVE ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES
OVERNIGHT WEDNESDAY...WITH LIMITED MOISTURE EXTENDING INTO THE
NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA. THE MAIN LOW PRESSURE QUICKLY
MOVES OUT OF GEORGIA AND TO THE NORTHEAST BY THURSDAY...TAKING THE
DEEP LAYER MOISTURE ALONG WITH IT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO
BUILD IN...WITH SOUTHERLY FLOW RETURNING BY THE END OF THE WORKWEEK.
THIS WILL BRING IN MORE WARM AND MOIST AIR INTO THE REGION BY
WEEKEND...WITH TEMPERATURES RISING INTO THE LOW TO MID 60S. MODELS
ARE HINTING AT SEVERAL SHORTWAVES MOVING IN MOSTLY ZONAL FLOW DURING
THE EXTENDED...AND THEREFORE MADE VERY LITTLE CHANGES TO THE EXTENDED
FORECAST.

73

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE
AT WEATHER.GOV/HUNTSVILLE.





000
FXUS64 KHUN 242324 AAA
AFDHUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
524 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 00Z TAFS

&&

.DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 241 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

CURRENT WATER VAPOR IMAGERY IS SHOWING THE SOUTHEAST UNDER A BROAD
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH...WITH THE SURFACE LOW NOW ACROSS THE NORTHEAST.
THE COLD FRONT HAS NOW PASSED TO THE EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA...AND
LOCAL OBSERVATIONS HAVE SHOWN TEMPERATURES REMAINING STEADY OR
FALLING OVER THE LAST COUPLE OF HOURS. THIS TREND SHOULD CONTINUE
THROUGH THE REMAINING AFTERNOON...WITH SKIES BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR
BY NIGHTFALL.

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD INTO THE AREA
OVERNIGHT...WITH WINDS BECOMING NORTHERLY BY TUESDAY MORNING. A
SURFACE LOW WILL LIKELY DEVELOP ALONG THE GULF COAST ON TUESDAY...AT
THE BASE OF THE LONG WAVE TROUGH. THIS LOW...AND INVERTED TROUGH IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST ACROSS GEORGIA...AND THEN ALONG THE
EAST COAST DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK. MOISTURE WILL SURGE
NORTHWARD WITH THIS SYSTEM...BRINGING THE CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION
ACROSS AREAS TO OUR EAST TUESDAY NIGHT AND INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING.
MODEL CONSENSUS IS NOT VERY GOOD CONCERNING HOW FAR WEST THE
PRECIPITATION WILL REACH...HOWEVER GIVEN THE LACK OF DEEP LAYER
MOISTURE...DID NOT INCLUDE ANY PRECIP WITH THIS SYSTEM.
ADDITIONALLY...DEWPOINTS WILL INCREASE INTO THE MID 30S ACROSS THE
EASTERN COUNTIES OF THE FORECAST AREAS...WHICH SHOULD KEEP
TEMPERATURES ABOVE FREEZING EVEN WITH ANY PRECIPITATION THAT DOES
OCCUR. HOWEVER...THERE IS THAT FINE LINE OF PRECIP TYPE...SO WILL
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS IN CASE ANY WINTRY PRECIP
APPEARS LIKELY.

A SECONDARY LOW WILL DEVELOP AND MOVE ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES
OVERNIGHT WEDNESDAY...WITH LIMITED MOISTURE EXTENDING INTO THE
NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA. THE MAIN LOW PRESSURE QUICKLY
MOVES OUT OF GEORGIA AND TO THE NORTHEAST BY THURSDAY...TAKING THE
DEEP LAYER MOISTURE ALONG WITH IT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO
BUILD IN...WITH SOUTHERLY FLOW RETURNING BY THE END OF THE WORKWEEK.
THIS WILL BRING IN MORE WARM AND MOIST AIR INTO THE REGION BY
WEEKEND...WITH TEMPERATURES RISING INTO THE LOW TO MID 60S. MODELS
ARE HINTING AT SEVERAL SHORTWAVES MOVING IN MOSTLY ZONAL FLOW DURING
THE EXTENDED...AND THEREFORE MADE VERY LITTLE CHANGES TO THE EXTENDED
FORECAST.

73

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR 00Z TAFS...
LIGHT WESTERLY WINDS ARE FORECAST THROUGH TONIGHT...AS WEAK HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS EASTWARD TOWARD THE REGION. CLEAR SKIES SHOULD
PERSIST THROUGH TUE MORNING...WITH WINDS BECOMING LIGHT FROM THE
NNW AROUND 5 KT. AN INCREASE IN HIGH CLOUDS IS EXPECTED LATE IN
THE PERIOD...WASN`T PUT INTO THE TAF GIVEN NO OTHER CHANGES WERE
EXPECTED.

RSB

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE
AT WEATHER.GOV/HUNTSVILLE.





000
FXUS64 KHUN 242041
AFDHUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
241 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...

CURRENT WATER VAPOR IMAGERY IS SHOWING THE SOUTHEAST UNDER A BROAD
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH...WITH THE SURFACE LOW NOW ACROSS THE NORTHEAST.
THE COLD FRONT HAS NOW PASSED TO THE EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA...AND
LOCAL OBSERVATIONS HAVE SHOWN TEMPERATURES REMAINING STEADY OR
FALLING OVER THE LAST COUPLE OF HOURS. THIS TREND SHOULD CONTINUE
THROUGH THE REMAINING AFTERNOON...WITH SKIES BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR
BY NIGHTFALL.

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD INTO THE AREA
OVERNIGHT...WITH WINDS BECOMING NORTHERLY BY TUESDAY MORNING. A
SURFACE LOW WILL LIKELY DEVELOP ALONG THE GULF COAST ON TUESDAY...AT
THE BASE OF THE LONG WAVE TROUGH. THIS LOW...AND INVERTED TROUGH IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST ACROSS GEORGIA...AND THEN ALONG THE
EAST COAST DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK. MOISTURE WILL SURGE
NORTHWARD WITH THIS SYSTEM...BRINGING THE CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION
ACROSS AREAS TO OUR EAST TUESDAY NIGHT AND INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING.
MODEL CONSENSUS IS NOT VERY GOOD CONCERNING HOW FAR WEST THE
PRECIPITATION WILL REACH...HOWEVER GIVEN THE LACK OF DEEP LAYER
MOISTURE...DID NOT INCLUDE ANY PRECIP WITH THIS SYSTEM.
ADDITIONALLY...DEWPOINTS WILL INCREASE INTO THE MID 30S ACROSS THE
EASTERN COUNTIES OF THE FORECAST AREAS...WHICH SHOULD KEEP
TEMPERATURES ABOVE FREEZING EVEN WITH ANY PRECIPITATION THAT DOES
OCCUR. HOWEVER...THERE IS THAT FINE LINE OF PRECIP TYPE...SO WILL
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS IN CASE ANY WINTRY PRECIP
APPEARS LIKELY.

A SECONDARY LOW WILL DEVELOP AND MOVE ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES
OVERNIGHT WEDNESDAY...WITH LIMITED MOISTURE EXTENDING INTO THE
NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA. THE MAIN LOW PRESSURE QUICKLY
MOVES OUT OF GEORGIA AND TO THE NORTHEAST BY THURSDAY...TAKING THE
DEEP LAYER MOISTURE ALONG WITH IT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO
BUILD IN...WITH SOUTHERLY FLOW RETURNING BY THE END OF THE WORKWEEK.
THIS WILL BRING IN MORE WARM AND MOIST AIR INTO THE REGION BY
WEEKEND...WITH TEMPERATURES RISING INTO THE LOW TO MID 60S. MODELS
ARE HINTING AT SEVERAL SHORTWAVES MOVING IN MOSTLY ZONAL FLOW DURING
THE EXTENDED...AND THEREFORE MADE VERY LITTLE CHANGES TO THE EXTENDED
FORECAST.

73

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 1127 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014/
FOR 18Z TAFS...

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. WESTERLY
WINDS...GUSTING UP TO 20 KTS...WILL PERSIST OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
HOURS...BEHIND A SURFACE COLD FRONT. WINDS WILL LESSEN AFTER 22Z
ACROSS THE AREA...AND BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT. CLEARING
SKIES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

73

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
HUNTSVILLE    37  53  32  54 /   0   0  10  10
SHOALS        37  52  30  54 /   0   0  10  10
VINEMONT      35  54  32  53 /   0   0  10  10
FAYETTEVILLE  33  52  32  52 /   0   0  10  10
ALBERTVILLE   35  55  33  53 /   0   0  10  10
FORT PAYNE    36  56  34  53 /   0   0  10  10

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE
AT WEATHER.GOV/HUNTSVILLE.





000
FXUS64 KHUN 242041
AFDHUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
241 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...

CURRENT WATER VAPOR IMAGERY IS SHOWING THE SOUTHEAST UNDER A BROAD
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH...WITH THE SURFACE LOW NOW ACROSS THE NORTHEAST.
THE COLD FRONT HAS NOW PASSED TO THE EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA...AND
LOCAL OBSERVATIONS HAVE SHOWN TEMPERATURES REMAINING STEADY OR
FALLING OVER THE LAST COUPLE OF HOURS. THIS TREND SHOULD CONTINUE
THROUGH THE REMAINING AFTERNOON...WITH SKIES BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR
BY NIGHTFALL.

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD INTO THE AREA
OVERNIGHT...WITH WINDS BECOMING NORTHERLY BY TUESDAY MORNING. A
SURFACE LOW WILL LIKELY DEVELOP ALONG THE GULF COAST ON TUESDAY...AT
THE BASE OF THE LONG WAVE TROUGH. THIS LOW...AND INVERTED TROUGH IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST ACROSS GEORGIA...AND THEN ALONG THE
EAST COAST DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK. MOISTURE WILL SURGE
NORTHWARD WITH THIS SYSTEM...BRINGING THE CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION
ACROSS AREAS TO OUR EAST TUESDAY NIGHT AND INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING.
MODEL CONSENSUS IS NOT VERY GOOD CONCERNING HOW FAR WEST THE
PRECIPITATION WILL REACH...HOWEVER GIVEN THE LACK OF DEEP LAYER
MOISTURE...DID NOT INCLUDE ANY PRECIP WITH THIS SYSTEM.
ADDITIONALLY...DEWPOINTS WILL INCREASE INTO THE MID 30S ACROSS THE
EASTERN COUNTIES OF THE FORECAST AREAS...WHICH SHOULD KEEP
TEMPERATURES ABOVE FREEZING EVEN WITH ANY PRECIPITATION THAT DOES
OCCUR. HOWEVER...THERE IS THAT FINE LINE OF PRECIP TYPE...SO WILL
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS IN CASE ANY WINTRY PRECIP
APPEARS LIKELY.

A SECONDARY LOW WILL DEVELOP AND MOVE ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES
OVERNIGHT WEDNESDAY...WITH LIMITED MOISTURE EXTENDING INTO THE
NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA. THE MAIN LOW PRESSURE QUICKLY
MOVES OUT OF GEORGIA AND TO THE NORTHEAST BY THURSDAY...TAKING THE
DEEP LAYER MOISTURE ALONG WITH IT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO
BUILD IN...WITH SOUTHERLY FLOW RETURNING BY THE END OF THE WORKWEEK.
THIS WILL BRING IN MORE WARM AND MOIST AIR INTO THE REGION BY
WEEKEND...WITH TEMPERATURES RISING INTO THE LOW TO MID 60S. MODELS
ARE HINTING AT SEVERAL SHORTWAVES MOVING IN MOSTLY ZONAL FLOW DURING
THE EXTENDED...AND THEREFORE MADE VERY LITTLE CHANGES TO THE EXTENDED
FORECAST.

73

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 1127 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014/
FOR 18Z TAFS...

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. WESTERLY
WINDS...GUSTING UP TO 20 KTS...WILL PERSIST OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
HOURS...BEHIND A SURFACE COLD FRONT. WINDS WILL LESSEN AFTER 22Z
ACROSS THE AREA...AND BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT. CLEARING
SKIES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

73

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
HUNTSVILLE    37  53  32  54 /   0   0  10  10
SHOALS        37  52  30  54 /   0   0  10  10
VINEMONT      35  54  32  53 /   0   0  10  10
FAYETTEVILLE  33  52  32  52 /   0   0  10  10
ALBERTVILLE   35  55  33  53 /   0   0  10  10
FORT PAYNE    36  56  34  53 /   0   0  10  10

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE
AT WEATHER.GOV/HUNTSVILLE.




000
FXUS64 KHUN 241727 AAC
AFDHUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
1127 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 18Z TAFS

&&

.DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 848 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014/
CUMULUS CLOUD STREETS CONTINUE TO STREAM BY WITHIN THE BRISK SWLY
FLOW AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. SUBSIDENCE AND WEAKENING CONVERGENCE
SHOULD LIMIT THE THREAT OF PRECIPITATION. THE FRONT IS JUST ENTERING
NW AL AT THIS HOUR AND WILL SLIDE ACROSS THRU THE REMAINDER OF THE
MORNING HOURS. GUSTY SWLY WIND WILL PERSIST THIS MORNING BEFORE
DIMINISHING GREATLY THIS AFTERNOON DESPITE THE FRONTAL PASSAGE AS THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT RELAXES. TEMPERATURES WILL NOT FOLLOW A NORMAL
DIURNAL CURVE TODAY, SO HAVE ADJUSTED THOSE TRENDS ACCORDINGLY.

AK

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR 18Z TAFS...

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. WESTERLY
WINDS...GUSTING UP TO 20 KTS...WILL PERSIST OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
HOURS...BEHIND A SURFACE COLD FRONT. WINDS WILL LESSEN AFTER 22Z
ACROSS THE AREA...AND BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT. CLEARING
SKIES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

73

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE
AT WEATHER.GOV/HUNTSVILLE.




000
FXUS64 KHUN 241727 AAC
AFDHUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
1127 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 18Z TAFS

&&

.DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 848 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014/
CUMULUS CLOUD STREETS CONTINUE TO STREAM BY WITHIN THE BRISK SWLY
FLOW AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. SUBSIDENCE AND WEAKENING CONVERGENCE
SHOULD LIMIT THE THREAT OF PRECIPITATION. THE FRONT IS JUST ENTERING
NW AL AT THIS HOUR AND WILL SLIDE ACROSS THRU THE REMAINDER OF THE
MORNING HOURS. GUSTY SWLY WIND WILL PERSIST THIS MORNING BEFORE
DIMINISHING GREATLY THIS AFTERNOON DESPITE THE FRONTAL PASSAGE AS THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT RELAXES. TEMPERATURES WILL NOT FOLLOW A NORMAL
DIURNAL CURVE TODAY, SO HAVE ADJUSTED THOSE TRENDS ACCORDINGLY.

AK

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR 18Z TAFS...

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. WESTERLY
WINDS...GUSTING UP TO 20 KTS...WILL PERSIST OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
HOURS...BEHIND A SURFACE COLD FRONT. WINDS WILL LESSEN AFTER 22Z
ACROSS THE AREA...AND BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT. CLEARING
SKIES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

73

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE
AT WEATHER.GOV/HUNTSVILLE.





000
FXUS64 KHUN 241448 CCA
AFDHUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
848 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.UPDATE...
TO ADJUST HOURLY TEMPERATURE TREND THROUGH THE DAY.
&&

.DISCUSSION...
CUMULUS CLOUD STREETS CONTINUE TO STREAM BY WITHIN THE BRISK SWLY
FLOW AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. SUBSIDENCE AND WEAKENING CONVERGENCE
SHOULD LIMIT THE THREAT OF PRECIPITATION. THE FRONT IS JUST ENTERING
NW AL AT THIS HOUR AND WILL SLIDE ACROSS THRU THE REMAINDER OF THE
MORNING HOURS. GUSTY SWLY WIND WILL PERSIST THIS MORNING BEFORE
DIMINISHING GREATLY THIS AFTERNOON DESPITE THE FRONTAL PASSAGE AS THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT RELAXES. TEMPERATURES WILL NOT FOLLOW A NORMAL
DIURNAL CURVE TODAY, SO HAVE ADJUSTED THOSE TRENDS ACCORDINGLY.

AK

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 512 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014/
FOR 12Z TAFS...CDFNT IS NOW EXTENDING ACROSS WRN TN WITH GUSTY SW
WINDS OF 15 TO 30 KTS AHEAD OF THE CDFNT. THE CDFNT WILL GO THRU
KMSL ARND 15Z AND KHSV BY 16Z. NO PCPN IS EXPECTED AHEAD OF THE
CDFNT. THE CDFNT WILL BE OUT OF THE TN VALLEY BY 18Z/19Z. BEHIND THE
CDFNT WINDS/CLOUDS WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH. OTHERWISE MVFR CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED UNTIL ARND 19Z...AFTER 19Z EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE FCST.

07

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE
AT WEATHER.GOV/HUNTSVILLE.





000
FXUS64 KHUN 241448 AAB
AFDHUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
848 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.UPDATE...
TO ADJUST HOURLY TEMPERATURE TREND THROUGH THE DAY.
&&

.DISCUSSION...
CUMULUS CLOUD STREETS CONTINUE TO STREAM BY WITHIN THE BRISK SWLY
FLOW AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. SUBSIDENCE AND WEAKENING CONVERGENCE
SHOULD LIMIT THE THREAT OF PRECIPITATION. THE FRONT IS JUST ENTERING
NW AL AT THIS HOUR AND WILL SLIDE ACROSS THRU THE REMAINDER OF THE
MORNING HOURS. GUSTY SWLY WIND OF WILL PERSIST THIS MORNING BEFORE
DIMINISHING GREATLY THIS AFTERNOON DESPITE THE FRONTAL PASSAGE AS THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT RELAXES. TEMPERATURES WILL NOT FOLLOW A NORMAL
DIURNAL CURVE TODAY, SO HAVE ADJUSTED THOSE TRENDS ACCORDINGLY.

AK

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 512 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014/
FOR 12Z TAFS...CDFNT IS NOW EXTENDING ACROSS WRN TN WITH GUSTY SW
WINDS OF 15 TO 30 KTS AHEAD OF THE CDFNT. THE CDFNT WILL GO THRU
KMSL ARND 15Z AND KHSV BY 16Z. NO PCPN IS EXPECTED AHEAD OF THE
CDFNT. THE CDFNT WILL BE OUT OF THE TN VALLEY BY 18Z/19Z. BEHIND THE
CDFNT WINDS/CLOUDS WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH. OTHERWISE MVFR CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED UNTIL ARND 19Z...AFTER 19Z EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE FCST.

07

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE
AT WEATHER.GOV/HUNTSVILLE.





000
FXUS64 KHUN 241448 AAB
AFDHUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
848 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.UPDATE...
TO ADJUST HOURLY TEMPERATURE TREND THROUGH THE DAY.
&&

.DISCUSSION...
CUMULUS CLOUD STREETS CONTINUE TO STREAM BY WITHIN THE BRISK SWLY
FLOW AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. SUBSIDENCE AND WEAKENING CONVERGENCE
SHOULD LIMIT THE THREAT OF PRECIPITATION. THE FRONT IS JUST ENTERING
NW AL AT THIS HOUR AND WILL SLIDE ACROSS THRU THE REMAINDER OF THE
MORNING HOURS. GUSTY SWLY WIND OF WILL PERSIST THIS MORNING BEFORE
DIMINISHING GREATLY THIS AFTERNOON DESPITE THE FRONTAL PASSAGE AS THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT RELAXES. TEMPERATURES WILL NOT FOLLOW A NORMAL
DIURNAL CURVE TODAY, SO HAVE ADJUSTED THOSE TRENDS ACCORDINGLY.

AK

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 512 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014/
FOR 12Z TAFS...CDFNT IS NOW EXTENDING ACROSS WRN TN WITH GUSTY SW
WINDS OF 15 TO 30 KTS AHEAD OF THE CDFNT. THE CDFNT WILL GO THRU
KMSL ARND 15Z AND KHSV BY 16Z. NO PCPN IS EXPECTED AHEAD OF THE
CDFNT. THE CDFNT WILL BE OUT OF THE TN VALLEY BY 18Z/19Z. BEHIND THE
CDFNT WINDS/CLOUDS WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH. OTHERWISE MVFR CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED UNTIL ARND 19Z...AFTER 19Z EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE FCST.

07

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE
AT WEATHER.GOV/HUNTSVILLE.




000
FXUS64 KHUN 241448 CCA
AFDHUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
848 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.UPDATE...
TO ADJUST HOURLY TEMPERATURE TREND THROUGH THE DAY.
&&

.DISCUSSION...
CUMULUS CLOUD STREETS CONTINUE TO STREAM BY WITHIN THE BRISK SWLY
FLOW AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. SUBSIDENCE AND WEAKENING CONVERGENCE
SHOULD LIMIT THE THREAT OF PRECIPITATION. THE FRONT IS JUST ENTERING
NW AL AT THIS HOUR AND WILL SLIDE ACROSS THRU THE REMAINDER OF THE
MORNING HOURS. GUSTY SWLY WIND WILL PERSIST THIS MORNING BEFORE
DIMINISHING GREATLY THIS AFTERNOON DESPITE THE FRONTAL PASSAGE AS THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT RELAXES. TEMPERATURES WILL NOT FOLLOW A NORMAL
DIURNAL CURVE TODAY, SO HAVE ADJUSTED THOSE TRENDS ACCORDINGLY.

AK

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 512 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014/
FOR 12Z TAFS...CDFNT IS NOW EXTENDING ACROSS WRN TN WITH GUSTY SW
WINDS OF 15 TO 30 KTS AHEAD OF THE CDFNT. THE CDFNT WILL GO THRU
KMSL ARND 15Z AND KHSV BY 16Z. NO PCPN IS EXPECTED AHEAD OF THE
CDFNT. THE CDFNT WILL BE OUT OF THE TN VALLEY BY 18Z/19Z. BEHIND THE
CDFNT WINDS/CLOUDS WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH. OTHERWISE MVFR CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED UNTIL ARND 19Z...AFTER 19Z EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE FCST.

07

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE
AT WEATHER.GOV/HUNTSVILLE.




000
FXUS64 KHUN 241112
AFDHUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
512 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 12Z TAFS

&&

.DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 335 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014/
PRIMARY COLD FRONT IS JUST ABOUT TO THE MS RIVER...WITH SFC WINDS
GUSTING IN THE 20-25 MPH RANGE ON EITHER SIDE OF THE BOUNDARY. THE
PARENT LOW HAS LIFTED WELL INTO THE OH VALLEY REGION...WHERE MOST OF
THE PRECIP NOW RESIDES. LATEST MODEL SUITES CONTINUE TO MOVE THIS
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE QUICKLY NWD ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES...WITH THE
ATTENDANT COLD FRONT SWEEPING THROUGH THE CNTRL TN VALLEY DURING THE
LATE MORNING HRS. CLOUD COVER MAY BE DELAYED A FEW HRS IN SCATTERING
BEHIND THE EXITING FRONTAL BOUNDARY...AS AN EMBEDDED UPPER SHRTWV
LIFTS NEWD ACROSS THE MIDWEST/OH VALLEY REGIONS. SFC WINDS SHIFTING
TO THE W AND GUSTING NEAR 25 MPH THIS MORNING SHOULD ALSO GRADUALLY
DIMINISH TO MORE OF A 10-15 MPH RANGE THIS AFTERNOON AS A WEAK RIDGE
OF HIGH PRESSURE OUT OF THE SRN PLAINS TAKES AIM AT THE MID SOUTH
REGION. MAX TEMPS WILL ALSO LIKELY OCCUR THIS MORNING ALONG/AHEAD OF
THE FRONTAL PASSAGE...WITH COOLER/DRIER AIR FILTERING INTO THE AREA
IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT THIS AFTERNOON.

THE GLOBAL MODELS ARE KEYING ON A SECONDARY SYSTEM EMBEDDED WITHIN A
LONGWAVE TROUGH/NWLY FLOW PATTERN APPROACHING THE TN VALLEY HEADING
TOWARD MID WEEK. TEMP PROFILES/CRITICAL THICKNESS VALUES WOULD MAYBE
SUGGEST THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME MIXED PRECIP WED NIGHT. HOWEVER...IT
LOOK LIKES LIKE MOST OF THIS ENERGY/MOISTURE WILL REMAIN JUST TO THE
N AND E OF THE LOCAL AREA. AS SUCH...THE WX FOR THE THANKSGIVING
HOLIDAY LOOKS NICE...ALBEIT SEASONABLY COOL...WITH OVERALL TEMPS
PERHAPS 5-10F BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF THE YR. THE LATTER HALF
OF THE GLOBAL MODELS ARE SUGGESTING A STRONGER SFC HIGH OUT OF THE
NRN PLAINS BUILDING SEWD TOWARD THE END OF THE HOLIDAY WEEK...WITH
RELATIVELY QUIET AND SEASONABLY COOL WX XPCTED FOR THE LOCAL AREA.

09

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR 12Z TAFS...CDFNT IS NOW EXTENDING ACROSS WRN TN WITH GUSTY SW
WINDS OF 15 TO 30 KTS AHEAD OF THE CDFNT. THE CDFNT WILL GO THRU
KMSL ARND 15Z AND KHSV BY 16Z. NO PCPN IS EXPECTED AHEAD OF THE
CDFNT. THE CDFNT WILL BE OUT OF THE TN VALLEY BY 18Z/19Z. BEHIND THE
CDFNT WINDS/CLOUDS WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH. OTHERWISE MVFR CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED UNTIL ARND 19Z...AFTER 19Z EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE FCST.

07

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE
AT WEATHER.GOV/HUNTSVILLE.




000
FXUS64 KHUN 241112
AFDHUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
512 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 12Z TAFS

&&

.DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 335 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014/
PRIMARY COLD FRONT IS JUST ABOUT TO THE MS RIVER...WITH SFC WINDS
GUSTING IN THE 20-25 MPH RANGE ON EITHER SIDE OF THE BOUNDARY. THE
PARENT LOW HAS LIFTED WELL INTO THE OH VALLEY REGION...WHERE MOST OF
THE PRECIP NOW RESIDES. LATEST MODEL SUITES CONTINUE TO MOVE THIS
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE QUICKLY NWD ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES...WITH THE
ATTENDANT COLD FRONT SWEEPING THROUGH THE CNTRL TN VALLEY DURING THE
LATE MORNING HRS. CLOUD COVER MAY BE DELAYED A FEW HRS IN SCATTERING
BEHIND THE EXITING FRONTAL BOUNDARY...AS AN EMBEDDED UPPER SHRTWV
LIFTS NEWD ACROSS THE MIDWEST/OH VALLEY REGIONS. SFC WINDS SHIFTING
TO THE W AND GUSTING NEAR 25 MPH THIS MORNING SHOULD ALSO GRADUALLY
DIMINISH TO MORE OF A 10-15 MPH RANGE THIS AFTERNOON AS A WEAK RIDGE
OF HIGH PRESSURE OUT OF THE SRN PLAINS TAKES AIM AT THE MID SOUTH
REGION. MAX TEMPS WILL ALSO LIKELY OCCUR THIS MORNING ALONG/AHEAD OF
THE FRONTAL PASSAGE...WITH COOLER/DRIER AIR FILTERING INTO THE AREA
IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT THIS AFTERNOON.

THE GLOBAL MODELS ARE KEYING ON A SECONDARY SYSTEM EMBEDDED WITHIN A
LONGWAVE TROUGH/NWLY FLOW PATTERN APPROACHING THE TN VALLEY HEADING
TOWARD MID WEEK. TEMP PROFILES/CRITICAL THICKNESS VALUES WOULD MAYBE
SUGGEST THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME MIXED PRECIP WED NIGHT. HOWEVER...IT
LOOK LIKES LIKE MOST OF THIS ENERGY/MOISTURE WILL REMAIN JUST TO THE
N AND E OF THE LOCAL AREA. AS SUCH...THE WX FOR THE THANKSGIVING
HOLIDAY LOOKS NICE...ALBEIT SEASONABLY COOL...WITH OVERALL TEMPS
PERHAPS 5-10F BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF THE YR. THE LATTER HALF
OF THE GLOBAL MODELS ARE SUGGESTING A STRONGER SFC HIGH OUT OF THE
NRN PLAINS BUILDING SEWD TOWARD THE END OF THE HOLIDAY WEEK...WITH
RELATIVELY QUIET AND SEASONABLY COOL WX XPCTED FOR THE LOCAL AREA.

09

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR 12Z TAFS...CDFNT IS NOW EXTENDING ACROSS WRN TN WITH GUSTY SW
WINDS OF 15 TO 30 KTS AHEAD OF THE CDFNT. THE CDFNT WILL GO THRU
KMSL ARND 15Z AND KHSV BY 16Z. NO PCPN IS EXPECTED AHEAD OF THE
CDFNT. THE CDFNT WILL BE OUT OF THE TN VALLEY BY 18Z/19Z. BEHIND THE
CDFNT WINDS/CLOUDS WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH. OTHERWISE MVFR CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED UNTIL ARND 19Z...AFTER 19Z EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE FCST.

07

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE
AT WEATHER.GOV/HUNTSVILLE.





000
FXUS64 KHUN 240935
AFDHUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
335 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...
PRIMARY COLD FRONT IS JUST ABOUT TO THE MS RIVER...WITH SFC WINDS
GUSTING IN THE 20-25 MPH RANGE ON EITHER SIDE OF THE BOUNDARY. THE
PARENT LOW HAS LIFTED WELL INTO THE OH VALLEY REGION...WHERE MOST OF
THE PRECIP NOW RESIDES. LATEST MODEL SUITES CONTINUE TO MOVE THIS
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE QUICKLY NWD ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES...WITH THE
ATTENDANT COLD FRONT SWEEPING THROUGH THE CNTRL TN VALLEY DURING THE
LATE MORNING HRS. CLOUD COVER MAY BE DELAYED A FEW HRS IN SCATTERING
BEHIND THE EXITING FRONTAL BOUNDARY...AS AN EMBEDDED UPPER SHRTWV
LIFTS NEWD ACROSS THE MIDWEST/OH VALLEY REGIONS. SFC WINDS SHIFTING
TO THE W AND GUSTING NEAR 25 MPH THIS MORNING SHOULD ALSO GRADUALLY
DIMINISH TO MORE OF A 10-15 MPH RANGE THIS AFTERNOON AS A WEAK RIDGE
OF HIGH PRESSURE OUT OF THE SRN PLAINS TAKES AIM AT THE MID SOUTH
REGION. MAX TEMPS WILL ALSO LIKELY OCCUR THIS MORNING ALONG/AHEAD OF
THE FRONTAL PASSAGE...WITH COOLER/DRIER AIR FILTERING INTO THE AREA
IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT THIS AFTERNOON.

THE GLOBAL MODELS ARE KEYING ON A SECONDARY SYSTEM EMBEDDED WITHIN A
LONGWAVE TROUGH/NWLY FLOW PATTERN APPROACHING THE TN VALLEY HEADING
TOWARD MID WEEK. TEMP PROFILES/CRITICAL THICKNESS VALUES WOULD MAYBE
SUGGEST THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME MIXED PRECIP WED NIGHT. HOWEVER...IT
LOOK LIKES LIKE MOST OF THIS ENERGY/MOISTURE WILL REMAIN JUST TO THE
N AND E OF THE LOCAL AREA. AS SUCH...THE WX FOR THE THANKSGIVING
HOLIDAY LOOKS NICE...ALBEIT SEASONABLY COOL...WITH OVERALL TEMPS
PERHAPS 5-10F BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF THE YR. THE LATTER HALF
OF THE GLOBAL MODELS ARE SUGGESTING A STRONGER SFC HIGH OUT OF THE
NRN PLAINS BUILDING SEWD TOWARD THE END OF THE HOLIDAY WEEK...WITH
RELATIVELY QUIET AND SEASONABLY COOL WX XPCTED FOR THE LOCAL AREA.

09

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 1149 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014/
FOR 06Z TAFS...NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO PREVIOUS AVIATION FORECAST
REASONING. STRONG SSW FLOW OF 12G20 KTS WILL PERSIST THRU THE
NIGHT...WITH MVFR STRATUS CIGS ARND 1500 FT LIKELY TO IMPACT HSV
BASED ON CURRENT TRENDS IN SATELLITE DATA. COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP EWD
RATHER QUICKLY LATER THIS MORNING...WITH WIND SHIFT TO WSW AT MSL/HSV
BY 14/16Z. A BAND OF LGT SHRA MAY ACCOMPANY FROPA AND HAVE INDICATED
THIS WITH VCSH. CLEARING SKIES AND DIMINISHING WLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED
BY LATE AFTN...WITH LGT/VRBL FLOW TOMORROW EVENING.

70/DD

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
HUNTSVILLE    60  36  54  32 /  10   0   0  10
SHOALS        60  35  54  31 /  10   0   0  10
VINEMONT      61  34  54  33 /  10   0   0  10
FAYETTEVILLE  58  33  52  30 /  10   0   0  10
ALBERTVILLE   60  34  55  33 /  10   0   0  10
FORT PAYNE    61  34  55  33 /  10   0   0  10

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE
AT WEATHER.GOV/HUNTSVILLE.





000
FXUS64 KHUN 240549
AFDHUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
1149 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 06Z TAFS

&&

.DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 832 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014/
RECENT RADAR IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT SECONDARY REGION OF SHOWER
ACTIVITY -- ASSOCIATED WITH PASSAGE OF A NEGATIVELY-TILTED MID-
LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH -- WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT NORTHEASTWARD THIS
EVENING. THUS...THE THREAT FOR MEANINGFUL PRECIPITATION HAS NOW ENDED
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...AND HAVE UPDATED FORECAST GRIDS TO REFLECT
ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT SHOWERS ACROSS THE EAST THRU 06Z...AND
PATCHY LIGHT DRIZZLE LINGERING IN THE SAME REGION FOR REMAINDER OF
THE NIGHT.

THE CLOUD COVER FORECAST REMAINS A BIT UNCERTAIN THIS EVENING...WITH
SATELLITE DATA INDICATING A GRADUAL EROSION OF STRATUS TO THE SW OF
THE LOCAL AREA. HOWEVER...BASED ON STRENGTH OF MOIST/SOUTHWESTERLY
FLOW WITHIN WARM SECTOR OF CENTRAL PLAINS CYCLONE...WILL KEEP AT
LEAST MOSTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS FOR REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT. HOURLY
TEMPERATURES REQUIRED SIGNIFICANT ADJUSTMENTS...AS TEMPS HAVE NOW
RISEN WELL INTO THE 60S FOR VIRTUALLY THE ENTIRE REGION. MINIMUM
VALUES FOR THE 00-12Z PERIOD LIKELY OCCURRED AT 00Z...AND EXPECT
TEMPERATURES TO REMAIN NEARLY STEADY IN THE LOWER/MID 60S UNTIL A
COLD FRONT SWEEPS EASTWARD TOMORROW MORNING BETWEEN 13-17Z. WIND
GRIDS WERE ADJUSTED DOWNWARD A BIT BASED ON CURRENT TRENDS IN SURFACE
OBS. HOWEVER...WIND SPEEDS FOR THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF NE ALABAMA/SRN
TENNESSEE WERE INCREASED. CONDITIONS IN ELEVATED TERRAIN WILL LIKELY
REMAIN JUST BELOW OUR WIND ADVISORY THRESHOLD TONIGHT...BUT STILL
EXPECT OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH ALONG THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU
AND ADJACENT RIDGE TOPS.

70/DD

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR 06Z TAFS...NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO PREVIOUS AVIATION FORECAST
REASONING. STRONG SSW FLOW OF 12G20 KTS WILL PERSIST THRU THE
NIGHT...WITH MVFR STRATUS CIGS ARND 1500 FT LIKELY TO IMPACT HSV
BASED ON CURRENT TRENDS IN SATELLITE DATA. COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP EWD
RATHER QUICKLY LATER THIS MORNING...WITH WIND SHIFT TO WSW AT MSL/HSV
BY 14/16Z. A BAND OF LGT SHRA MAY ACCOMPANY FROPA AND HAVE INDICATED
THIS WITH VCSH. CLEARING SKIES AND DIMINISHING WLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED
BY LATE AFTN...WITH LGT/VRBL FLOW TOMORROW EVENING.

70/DD

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

AL...NONE.

TN...NONE.

&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE
AT WEATHER.GOV/HUNTSVILLE.




000
FXUS64 KHUN 240549
AFDHUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
1149 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 06Z TAFS

&&

.DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 832 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014/
RECENT RADAR IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT SECONDARY REGION OF SHOWER
ACTIVITY -- ASSOCIATED WITH PASSAGE OF A NEGATIVELY-TILTED MID-
LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH -- WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT NORTHEASTWARD THIS
EVENING. THUS...THE THREAT FOR MEANINGFUL PRECIPITATION HAS NOW ENDED
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...AND HAVE UPDATED FORECAST GRIDS TO REFLECT
ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT SHOWERS ACROSS THE EAST THRU 06Z...AND
PATCHY LIGHT DRIZZLE LINGERING IN THE SAME REGION FOR REMAINDER OF
THE NIGHT.

THE CLOUD COVER FORECAST REMAINS A BIT UNCERTAIN THIS EVENING...WITH
SATELLITE DATA INDICATING A GRADUAL EROSION OF STRATUS TO THE SW OF
THE LOCAL AREA. HOWEVER...BASED ON STRENGTH OF MOIST/SOUTHWESTERLY
FLOW WITHIN WARM SECTOR OF CENTRAL PLAINS CYCLONE...WILL KEEP AT
LEAST MOSTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS FOR REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT. HOURLY
TEMPERATURES REQUIRED SIGNIFICANT ADJUSTMENTS...AS TEMPS HAVE NOW
RISEN WELL INTO THE 60S FOR VIRTUALLY THE ENTIRE REGION. MINIMUM
VALUES FOR THE 00-12Z PERIOD LIKELY OCCURRED AT 00Z...AND EXPECT
TEMPERATURES TO REMAIN NEARLY STEADY IN THE LOWER/MID 60S UNTIL A
COLD FRONT SWEEPS EASTWARD TOMORROW MORNING BETWEEN 13-17Z. WIND
GRIDS WERE ADJUSTED DOWNWARD A BIT BASED ON CURRENT TRENDS IN SURFACE
OBS. HOWEVER...WIND SPEEDS FOR THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF NE ALABAMA/SRN
TENNESSEE WERE INCREASED. CONDITIONS IN ELEVATED TERRAIN WILL LIKELY
REMAIN JUST BELOW OUR WIND ADVISORY THRESHOLD TONIGHT...BUT STILL
EXPECT OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH ALONG THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU
AND ADJACENT RIDGE TOPS.

70/DD

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR 06Z TAFS...NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO PREVIOUS AVIATION FORECAST
REASONING. STRONG SSW FLOW OF 12G20 KTS WILL PERSIST THRU THE
NIGHT...WITH MVFR STRATUS CIGS ARND 1500 FT LIKELY TO IMPACT HSV
BASED ON CURRENT TRENDS IN SATELLITE DATA. COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP EWD
RATHER QUICKLY LATER THIS MORNING...WITH WIND SHIFT TO WSW AT MSL/HSV
BY 14/16Z. A BAND OF LGT SHRA MAY ACCOMPANY FROPA AND HAVE INDICATED
THIS WITH VCSH. CLEARING SKIES AND DIMINISHING WLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED
BY LATE AFTN...WITH LGT/VRBL FLOW TOMORROW EVENING.

70/DD

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

AL...NONE.

TN...NONE.

&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE
AT WEATHER.GOV/HUNTSVILLE.





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