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000
FXUS62 KJAX 250110
AFDJAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
910 PM EDT FRI OCT 24 2014

.UPDATE...ANOTHER QUIET AND COOL NIGHT IN STORE WITH CLEAR TO
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. A FEW CIRRUS CLOUDS MAY IMPINGE ON THE AREA
AHEAD OF A LARGE MID AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGE LOCATED OVER THE
CENTRAL PLAINS. STRONG MID AND UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS PRESENTLY
ORIENTED FROM THE MID ATLC STATES SSW TO THE NE GULF AND WILL MOVE
OFF THE NE FL COAST BY 12Z-15Z SAT. LIKE LAST NIGHT...CHILLY
OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE 45-50 DEG RANGE OVER INLAND AREAS AND LOWER
50S NEAR THE COAST WITH A LIGHT NLY WIND NEAR THE COAST BUT CALM
INLAND. A FEW ATLC STRATOCU CLOUDS WILL BRIEFLY PASS THROUGH
ERN/SERN FLAGLER COUNTY REST OF TONIGHT. SOME SHALLOW PATCHY FOG
IS POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT (GIVEN STRONG RADIATION INVERSION AND
WEAK MOISTURE ADVECTION OFF THE ATLC EARLIER TODAY) BUT NOT ENOUGH
TO JUSTIFY MENTIONING IN THE FCST GRIDS ATTM. FCST LOOKS GOOD WITH
ONLY SLIGHT TWEAKS.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR. NNE WINDS AROUND 5-10 KT ON SATURDAY.

&&

.MARINE...NORTHERLY WINDS NEAR 10 KT THIS EVENING WILL SLOWLY
INCREASE TO 10-15 KT LATE TONIGHT. SEAS OF 2-3 FT REST OF TONIGHT.

RIP CURRENTS: LOW TO MODERATE RISK THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  45  79  50  80 /   0   0   0   0
SSI  53  75  57  76 /   0   0   0   0
JAX  49  78  52  80 /   0   0   0   0
SGJ  57  77  56  77 /   0   0   0   0
GNV  47  79  49  80 /   0   0   0   0
OCF  49  80  49  81 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

$$

SHASHY/NELSON/GUILLET







000
FXUS62 KJAX 241847
AFDJAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
247 PM EDT FRI OCT 24 2014

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
UPPER TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO PIVOT ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT BUT
THE ATMOSPHERE WILL REMAIN WAY TOO DRY TO SUPPORT ANY PRECIP.
TONIGHT WILL BE ANOTHER SEASONABLY COOL NIGHT WITH LOWS RANGING
FROM THE MID TO UPPER 40S INLAND TO THE MID TO UPPER 50S AT THE
COAST.

SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA
IN WAKE OF UPPER SHORT WAVE MOVING OFF THE SE COAST. A BUILDING
RIDGE ALOFT WILL RESULT IN HIGH TEMPERATURES WARMING FROM THE
UPPER 70S ON SATURDAY TO THE LOW TO MID 80S BY MONDAY. DUE TO VERY
DRY AIRMASS AND LIGHT WINDS LOW TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN AT OR
BELOW AVERAGE.

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...HIGH PRESSURE AT SURFACE
AND ALOFT OVER THE SE U.S. TUESDAY WILL SHIFT EAST INTO THE
ATLANTIC ON WEDNESDAY. A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT AND UPPER TROUGH
WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. BEST LIFT
AND MOISTURE WILL REMAIN NORTH OF OUR AREA SO EXPECT A MOSTLY DRY
FORECAST WITH ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR COASTAL SHOWERS THROUGH THE
PERIOD. MIN TEMPERATURES BE NEAR AVERAGE WITH MAX TEMPERATURES
SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...DRY AIR WILL PRODUCE RH`S APPROACHING CRITICAL
VALUES THIS WEEKEND. WINDS AND FUEL MOISTURE WILL NOT REACH
CRITERIA SO NO HEADLINES.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE IN CONTROL THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW CAUTION LEVELS THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK...WITH NE WINDS THROUGH TOMORROW...BRIEFLY BECOMING OFFSHORE
ON SUNDAY...THEN EASTERLY AND INCREASING AGAIN SOME NEXT WEEK.

RIP CURRENTS: MODERATE RISK THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  45  78  50  80 /   0   0   0   0
SSI  54  75  57  76 /   0   0   0   0
JAX  50  78  52  80 /   0   0   0   0
SGJ  58  76  56  77 /   0   0   0   0
GNV  47  78  49  80 /   0   0   0   0
OCF  50  80  49  81 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

$$

SHULER/ZIBURA/









000
FXUS62 KJAX 241436
AFDJAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1036 AM EDT FRI OCT 24 2014

.UPDATE...
FORECAST IS ON TRACK AND NO CHANGES ARE NECESSARY THIS MORNING.
ANOTHER QUIET AND DRY DAY IS IN STORE. TEMPS WILL BE SLIGHTLY
WARMER WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S. UPPER TROUGH WILL PIVOT
INTO THE REGION TODAY AND WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY NOTHING MORE THAN
SOME THIN STREAMING CIRRUS CLOUDS. EXTREMELY DRY ATMOSPHERE (PWAT
OF 0.37 INCHES ON KJAX 12Z SOUNDING) WILL KEEP RAIN CHANCES AT
ZERO. TONIGHT WILL BE ANOTHER SEASONABLY COOL NIGHT WITH LOWS
RANGING FROM THE MID TO UPPER 40S WELL INLAND TO THE UPPER 50S AT
THE COAST.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND.

&&

.MARINE...
FORECAST ON TRACK WITH NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS AND SEAS 2
TO 4 FEET TODAY. HIGHEST WIND SPEEDS WILL BE ACROSS THE NORTH
CENTRAL FLORIDA WATERS AS GRADIENT TIGHTENS SLIGHTLY DUE TO LOW
PRESSURE MOVING FROM THE FLORIDA KEYS TO THE BAHAMAS TONIGHT.

RIP CURRENTS: MODERATE RISK THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  75  49  76  49 /   0   0   0   0
SSI  73  56  74  57 /   0   0   0   0
JAX  76  53  77  50 /   0   0   0   0
SGJ  75  60  75  57 /   0   0   0   0
GNV  77  51  77  47 /   0   0   0   0
OCF  79  52  77  48 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

$$

SHULER//WALKER









000
FXUS62 KJAX 241436
AFDJAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1036 AM EDT FRI OCT 24 2014

.UPDATE...
FORECAST IS ON TRACK AND NO CHANGES ARE NECESSARY THIS MORNING.
ANOTHER QUIET AND DRY DAY IS IN STORE. TEMPS WILL BE SLIGHTLY
WARMER WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S. UPPER TROUGH WILL PIVOT
INTO THE REGION TODAY AND WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY NOTHING MORE THAN
SOME THIN STREAMING CIRRUS CLOUDS. EXTREMELY DRY ATMOSPHERE (PWAT
OF 0.37 INCHES ON KJAX 12Z SOUNDING) WILL KEEP RAIN CHANCES AT
ZERO. TONIGHT WILL BE ANOTHER SEASONABLY COOL NIGHT WITH LOWS
RANGING FROM THE MID TO UPPER 40S WELL INLAND TO THE UPPER 50S AT
THE COAST.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND.

&&

.MARINE...
FORECAST ON TRACK WITH NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS AND SEAS 2
TO 4 FEET TODAY. HIGHEST WIND SPEEDS WILL BE ACROSS THE NORTH
CENTRAL FLORIDA WATERS AS GRADIENT TIGHTENS SLIGHTLY DUE TO LOW
PRESSURE MOVING FROM THE FLORIDA KEYS TO THE BAHAMAS TONIGHT.

RIP CURRENTS: MODERATE RISK THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  75  49  76  49 /   0   0   0   0
SSI  73  56  74  57 /   0   0   0   0
JAX  76  53  77  50 /   0   0   0   0
SGJ  75  60  75  57 /   0   0   0   0
GNV  77  51  77  47 /   0   0   0   0
OCF  79  52  77  48 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

$$

SHULER//WALKER









000
FXUS62 KJAX 240716
AFDJAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
315 AM EDT FRI OCT 24 2014

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...

A MID LEVEL TROUGH WILL PIVOT ACROSS THE REGION TODAY...
WITH HIGH CLOUDINESS ASSOCIATED IT. EXPECT MOST OF THESE CLOUDS
TO PASS EAST OF THE REGION THIS EVENING AS THE TROUGH AXIS MOVES
SOUTHEAST...WITH SKIES BECOMING MAINLY CLEAR OVERNIGHT.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL TODAY...AND AGAIN
TONIGHT.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST FOR SATURDAY...WITH
A NORTHERLY FLOW. GULF MOISTURE TO THE SOUTHEAST SHOULD PUSH A
FEW CLOUDS INTO NE FL. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR
SEASONAL AVERAGES.

.SHORT TERM /SAT NIGHT-MON/...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD FROM THE NORTH GULF COAST REGION SAT NIGHT
TO OVER NE FL/SE GA ON SUNDAY THEN INTO THE WRN ATLC ON MONDAY. DRY
AND SEASONABLY COOL WEATHER IS EXPECTED WITH SUNNY/CLEAR SKIES AND
LOWS 45-55 SAT NIGHT AND 50-60 SUN NIGHT. DAYTIME HIGHS AROUND 80
SUNDAY AND 80-85 RANGE ON MONDAY.

.LONG TERM /TUE-FRI/...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE IN THE WRN ATLC NORTHEAST OF THE REGION
AND WILL START A LONG PERIOD OF WEAK ONSHORE FLOW. THIS WILL
GRADUALLY INCREASE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TO THE POINT THAT ISOLD
SHOWERS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS MAY PUSH INTO THE I-95 CORRIDOR AND
ST JOHNS RIVER BASIN FROM WED THROUGH FRI. FOR NOW HAVE KEPT RAIN
CHANCES ON THE LOW SIDE AT 20% OR LESS AS ANY RAINFALL AMOUNTS
APPEAR LIGHT AT THIS TIME. MAX TEMPS WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE 80-85
DEGREE RANGE AND LOWS IN THE 50S INLAND/60S COAST/ST JOHNS RIVER
BASIN. NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IMPACTS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THIS 06Z TAF PERIOD.

&&

.MARINE...

A LOW WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST OF THE REGION TONIGHT...WHICH
MAY CAUSE A LITTLE INCREASE IN WIND SPEEDS. OTHERWISE...HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BE THE PREVAILING WEATHER CONDITION THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE
AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK...LEADING TO A PERIOD OF ONSHORE FLOW...WHICH
WILL LAST THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.

RIP CURRENTS: MODERATE RISK THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
MIN RH VALUES EXPECTED TO BOTTOM OUT AROUND 30% ACROSS INLD SE GA
AND THE SUWANNEE RIVER VALLEY OF INLD NE FL...BUT WILL REMAIN JUST
ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS SO NO HEADLINES ARE EXPECTED.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  75  49  76  49 /   0   0   0   0
SSI  73  56  74  57 /   0   0   0   0
JAX  76  53  77  50 /   0   0   0   0
SGJ  75  60  75  57 /   0   0   0   0
GNV  77  51  77  47 /   0   0   0   0
OCF  79  52  77  48 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

$$

STRUBLE/HESS







000
FXUS62 KJAX 240036
AFDJAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
836 PM EDT THU OCT 23 2014

.UPDATE...SHORT WAVE RIDGING IS LOCATED OVER THE AREA AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING SHORT WAVE TROUGH OVER THE TN VALLEY INTO THE LOWER MS
VALLEY. WATER VAPOR SHOWS UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE BEGINNING TO SPREAD
EWD INTO OUR GA ZONES AND ANTICIPATE AN INCREASE IN HIGH CLOUDS TO
MOSTLY CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ACROSS THE NRN HALF OF THE
CWA THROUGH EARLY FRI MORNING. BY THE TIME HIGH CLOUDS THICKEN
SUFFICIENTLY...MIN TEMPS WILL LIKELY HAVE FALLEN TO THE MID AND
UPPER 40S FOR INLAND AREAS...AND LOWER TO MID 50S COAST. WINDS
TONIGHT NEAR CALM INLAND AND LIGHT NLY FLOW ALONG THE COASTAL
AREAS WITH SFC HIGH PRES LOCATED NW OF THE REGION. OTHER THAN
SLIGHT TWEAKS TO TEMPS AND SKY CONDITION NEXT 24 HRS NO CHANGES
ARE REQUIRED.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR. LIGHT WINDS TONIGHT AND NELY WINDS 5-10 KT ON
FRIDAY WITH AN INCREASE IN HIGH CLOUDS EXPECTED. FEW-SCT STRATOCU
ANTICIPATED FRIDAY AROUND 2500-4000 FT.

&&

.MARINE...FORECAST ON TRACK WITH N-NE WINDS NEAR 10 KT AND SEAS
OF 2-4 FT. MAINLY SHORT PERIOD WIND-WAVES AT 6 SECONDS OR LESS.

RIP CURRENTS: MODERATE RISK INTO THE WEEKEND WITH NE FLOW.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  44  78  48  77 /   0   0   0   0
SSI  53  75  56  75 /   0   0   0   0
JAX  47  77  52  77 /   0   0   0   0
SGJ  57  76  58  76 /   0   0   0   0
GNV  48  78  50  79 /   0   0   0   0
OCF  51  79  51  79 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

$$

SHASHY/NELSON/GUILLET






000
FXUS62 KJAX 231813
AFDJAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
213 PM EDT THU OCT 23 2014

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL PREVAIL THROUGH TOMORROW WITH MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES AND LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS. ANOTHER COOL NIGHT WILL BE IN
STORE FOR TONIGHT WITH LOWS RANGING FROM THE MID 40S INLAND TO
THE MID TO UPPER 50S AT THE BEACHES. SLIGHTLY MILDER TEMPS WILL
PREVAIL FRIDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S INLAND. A SHORTWAVE
TROUGH WILL APPROACH FRIDAY AFTERNOON BUT THE ATMOSPHERE WILL
REMAIN WAY TOO DRY TO SUPPORT ANY PRECIP.

SAT & SAT NIGHT...SUNNY...COOL AND DRY WITH DEEP LAYER NORTHERLY
FLOW IN PLACE WITH SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDINGS OVER THE
W-CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES. HIGHS WILL RANGE IN THE MID TO UPPER
70S WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO NEAR 50 INLAND...TO
MID 50S RIVER BASIN/COAST.

SUN & SUN NIGHT...MEAN LAYER RIDING BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST OVER
THE FL PENINSULA AS A WEAK AND DRY BACKDOOR COLD FRONT SLIDES DOWN
THE SE ATLANTIC COAST AND BECOMES DIFFUSE OVER GA. NORTHERLY FLOW
WEAKENS AND WINDS BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE AS THE RIDGING BUILDS
OVERHEAD. COULD SEE SOME PASSING CLOUDS SUNDAY ASSOCIATED WITH THE
TROUGH...BUT OVERALL SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY CLEAR TO OCCASIONAL
PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGH TEMPS WILL REBOUND TO NEAR 80 SUNDAY WITH
RISING HEIGHTS...WITH LOWS IN THE LOW/MID 50S INLAND SUN NIGHT TO
NEAR 60 RIVER BASIN/COAST. COULD SEE SOME PATCHY FOG INLAND SUNDAY
NIGHT WITH INCREASING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE FROM THE ATLANTIC COUPLED
WITH CALM WINDS AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES.

.LONG TERM /MON THROUGH THU/...

LOW MAINLY COASTAL RAIN CHANCES MID-WEEK WITH ONSHORE FLOW AND
WARMING TEMPERATURES. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OFFSHORE OF THE
MID-ATLANTIC SEABOARD WITH ONSHORE FLOW ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA. AN
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE FL PENINSULA WILL SHIFT EAST WITH A
WARMER SW MID/UPPER LEVEL FLOW. A LOW 20% CHANCE OF COASTAL
SHOWERS POSSIBLE TUE-WED WITH INCREASING CHANCES THU AS MOISTURE
INCREASES AHEAD OF APPROACHING BUT WEAKENING FRONTAL ZONE FROM THE
NW. TEMPS WILL RANGE NEAR TO ABOVE CLIMO VALUES WITH LOWS WILL
MID/UPPER 50S INLAND TO MID 60S RIVER BASIN/COAST WITH HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 80S INLAND TO UPPER 70S COAST.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS WILL REMAIN BELOW CAUTION LEVELS THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK...WITH NE WINDS THROUGH SATURDAY BRIEFLY BECOMING OFFSHORE
SUNDAY...THEN SOUTHEASTERLY FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK.

RIP CURRENTS: MODERATE RISK INTO THE WEEKEND WITH NE FLOW.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  44  78  48  77 /   0   0   0   0
SSI  53  75  56  75 /   0   0   0   0
JAX  47  77  52  77 /   0   0   0   0
SGJ  57  76  58  76 /   0   0   0   0
GNV  48  78  50  79 /   0   0   0   0
OCF  51  79  51  79 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

$$

SHULER/ENYEDI/WALKER









000
FXUS62 KJAX 231813
AFDJAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
213 PM EDT THU OCT 23 2014

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL PREVAIL THROUGH TOMORROW WITH MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES AND LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS. ANOTHER COOL NIGHT WILL BE IN
STORE FOR TONIGHT WITH LOWS RANGING FROM THE MID 40S INLAND TO
THE MID TO UPPER 50S AT THE BEACHES. SLIGHTLY MILDER TEMPS WILL
PREVAIL FRIDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S INLAND. A SHORTWAVE
TROUGH WILL APPROACH FRIDAY AFTERNOON BUT THE ATMOSPHERE WILL
REMAIN WAY TOO DRY TO SUPPORT ANY PRECIP.

SAT & SAT NIGHT...SUNNY...COOL AND DRY WITH DEEP LAYER NORTHERLY
FLOW IN PLACE WITH SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDINGS OVER THE
W-CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES. HIGHS WILL RANGE IN THE MID TO UPPER
70S WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO NEAR 50 INLAND...TO
MID 50S RIVER BASIN/COAST.

SUN & SUN NIGHT...MEAN LAYER RIDING BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST OVER
THE FL PENINSULA AS A WEAK AND DRY BACKDOOR COLD FRONT SLIDES DOWN
THE SE ATLANTIC COAST AND BECOMES DIFFUSE OVER GA. NORTHERLY FLOW
WEAKENS AND WINDS BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE AS THE RIDGING BUILDS
OVERHEAD. COULD SEE SOME PASSING CLOUDS SUNDAY ASSOCIATED WITH THE
TROUGH...BUT OVERALL SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY CLEAR TO OCCASIONAL
PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGH TEMPS WILL REBOUND TO NEAR 80 SUNDAY WITH
RISING HEIGHTS...WITH LOWS IN THE LOW/MID 50S INLAND SUN NIGHT TO
NEAR 60 RIVER BASIN/COAST. COULD SEE SOME PATCHY FOG INLAND SUNDAY
NIGHT WITH INCREASING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE FROM THE ATLANTIC COUPLED
WITH CALM WINDS AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES.

.LONG TERM /MON THROUGH THU/...

LOW MAINLY COASTAL RAIN CHANCES MID-WEEK WITH ONSHORE FLOW AND
WARMING TEMPERATURES. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OFFSHORE OF THE
MID-ATLANTIC SEABOARD WITH ONSHORE FLOW ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA. AN
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE FL PENINSULA WILL SHIFT EAST WITH A
WARMER SW MID/UPPER LEVEL FLOW. A LOW 20% CHANCE OF COASTAL
SHOWERS POSSIBLE TUE-WED WITH INCREASING CHANCES THU AS MOISTURE
INCREASES AHEAD OF APPROACHING BUT WEAKENING FRONTAL ZONE FROM THE
NW. TEMPS WILL RANGE NEAR TO ABOVE CLIMO VALUES WITH LOWS WILL
MID/UPPER 50S INLAND TO MID 60S RIVER BASIN/COAST WITH HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 80S INLAND TO UPPER 70S COAST.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS WILL REMAIN BELOW CAUTION LEVELS THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK...WITH NE WINDS THROUGH SATURDAY BRIEFLY BECOMING OFFSHORE
SUNDAY...THEN SOUTHEASTERLY FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK.

RIP CURRENTS: MODERATE RISK INTO THE WEEKEND WITH NE FLOW.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  44  78  48  77 /   0   0   0   0
SSI  53  75  56  75 /   0   0   0   0
JAX  47  77  52  77 /   0   0   0   0
SGJ  57  76  58  76 /   0   0   0   0
GNV  48  78  50  79 /   0   0   0   0
OCF  51  79  51  79 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

$$

SHULER/ENYEDI/WALKER









000
FXUS62 KJAX 231417
AFDJAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1017 AM EDT THU OCT 23 2014

.UPDATE...
HIGH PRESSURE AND VERY DRY AIR MASS (0.38 INCH PWAT ON 12Z KJAX
SOUNDING) WILL MAINTAIN SUNNY SKIES AND COMFORTABLE HUMIDITY
LEVELS WITH BELOW NORMAL TEMPS TODAY. MAX TEMPS WILL RANGE FROM
THE MID 70S NORTH TO NEAR 80 SOUTH. ANOTHER COOL NIGHT WILL BE IN
STORE TONIGHT WITH LOWS OF 45 TO 50 INLAND WITH LOWER TO MID 50S
COAST. SLIGHTLY MILDER TEMPERATURES WILL PREVAIL FRIDAY WITH
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO AROUND 80. OVERALL THE FORECAST IS ON
TRACK AND NO CHANGES WILL BE NEEDED THIS MORNING.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS WILL REMAIN BELOW CAUTION LEVELS THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
SEAS WILL AVERAGE 2 TO 4 FEET.

RIP CURRENTS: MODERATE RISK INTO THE WEEKEND WITH NE FLOW.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  75  46  78  48 /   0   0   0   0
SSI  73  54  75  56 /   0   0   0   0
JAX  76  48  78  52 /   0   0   0   0
SGJ  76  57  78  58 /   0   0   0   0
GNV  78  47  80  50 /   0   0   0   0
OCF  79  49  80  51 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

$$

SHULER//WALKER









000
FXUS62 KJAX 230619
AFDJAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
219 AM EDT THU OCT 23 2014

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
RIDGING AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL GRADUALLY FLATTEN THROUGH
FRIDAY. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WILL CONTINUE TO PREVAIL. NE FLOW
WILL RESULT IN SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES TODAY WITH
HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S. ANOTHER COOL NIGHT WILL BE IN
STORE TNGT WITH LOWS OF 45-50 INLAND WITH LOWER/MID 50S COAST.
SLIGHTLY MILDER TEMPERATURES WILL PREVAIL FRIDAY WITH HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 70S TO AROUND 80.

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE TO THE WEST OF THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT. A FEW CLOUDS WILL BE POSSIBLE...MAINLY SOUTHEAST
FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...AS GULF MOISTURE MOVES OVER SOUTHERN
FL. WITH THIS PATTERN...NORTHERLY FLOW WILL RESULT IN TEMPERATURES
A LITTLE BELOW NORMAL.

FOLLOWING A DRY FRONTAL BOUNDARY SUNDAY THE PATTERN WILL SHIFT...AS
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS TO THE NORTH. THIS HIGH WILL MOVE
TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE REGION MONDAY...BEGINNING A PERIOD OF
ONSHORE FLOW THAT WILL LAST THROUGH MIDWEEK. THIS WILL RESULT IN
THE CHANCE FOR COASTAL SHOWERS...AS WELL AS TEMPERATURES RETURNING
TO NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR WILL GENERALLY PREVAIL FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. LIGHT WINDS
THROUGH MID MORNING WILL BECOME NE 7-11 KT THIS AFTN.

&&

.MARINE...
NE WIND SURGE CONTINUES TO WEAKEN...AND WILL LOWER THE CAUTION
FOR ALL THE WATERS. WINDS UNDER CAUTION LEVELS WILL PREVAIL
FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK...WITH NE WINDS THROUGH SATURDAY
BRIEFLY BECOMING OFFSHORE SUNDAY...THEN E/SE FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK.

RIP CURRENTS: MODERATE RISK INTO THE WEEKEND WITH NE FLOW.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  75  46  78  48 /   0   0   0   0
SSI  73  54  75  56 /   0   0   0   0
JAX  76  48  78  52 /   0   0   0   0
SGJ  76  57  78  58 /   0   0   0   0
GNV  78  47  80  50 /   0   0   0   0
OCF  79  49  80  51 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

$$

ALLEN/STRUBLE








000
FXUS62 KJAX 230105
AFDJAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
905 PM EDT WED OCT 22 2014

.UPDATE...LARGE MID AND UPPER LEVEL LOW IS OFF THE E COAST WITH DRY
SUBSIDENT AIR OVER OUR FORECAST REGION. SFC HIGH WELL N OF THE AREA
WILL CONTINUE TO FILTER IN COOL AIR. LIGHT TO CALM WINDS AND CLEAR
SKIES WILL ALLOW TEMPS TO FALL STEADILY INTO THE LOWER TO MID 40S
INLAND TO UPPER 40S AND LOWER 50S NEAR THE COAST. NO SIGNIFICANT
CHANGES TO THE FCST EXCEPT TO TWEAK TEMP AND DEWPOINT TRENDS FOR
THIS EVENING.

&&

.AVIATION...CLEAR SKIES. LIGHT TO CALM WINDS TONIGHT AND NNE-NE WINDS
THU AROUND 5 TO 10 KT.

&&

.MARINE...NNE WINDS MAY STILL BE AROUND 15-20 KT OFFSHORE TONIGHT SO
WILL CONTINUE SCEC HEADLINE THERE. THE PRES GRADIENT ALONG THE COAST
AS WELL AS COASTAL OBS SHOW WINDS MORE AROUND THE 10-15 KT OR 15 KT
RANGE SO WILL REMOVE SCEC HEADLINE AT THIS TIME.

RIP CURRENTS: MODERATE RISK THURSDAY DUE TO ONSHORE FLOW AND
ELEVATED SURF.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  44  73  44  77 /   0   0   0   0
SSI  52  71  53  74 /   0   0   0   0
JAX  49  75  48  77 /   0   0   0   0
SGJ  58  74  56  76 /   0   0   0   0
GNV  47  77  47  79 /   0   0   0   0
OCF  51  79  49  80 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

$$

SHASHY/WALSH







000
FXUS62 KJAX 230105
AFDJAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
905 PM EDT WED OCT 22 2014

.UPDATE...LARGE MID AND UPPER LEVEL LOW IS OFF THE E COAST WITH DRY
SUBSIDENT AIR OVER OUR FORECAST REGION. SFC HIGH WELL N OF THE AREA
WILL CONTINUE TO FILTER IN COOL AIR. LIGHT TO CALM WINDS AND CLEAR
SKIES WILL ALLOW TEMPS TO FALL STEADILY INTO THE LOWER TO MID 40S
INLAND TO UPPER 40S AND LOWER 50S NEAR THE COAST. NO SIGNIFICANT
CHANGES TO THE FCST EXCEPT TO TWEAK TEMP AND DEWPOINT TRENDS FOR
THIS EVENING.

&&

.AVIATION...CLEAR SKIES. LIGHT TO CALM WINDS TONIGHT AND NNE-NE WINDS
THU AROUND 5 TO 10 KT.

&&

.MARINE...NNE WINDS MAY STILL BE AROUND 15-20 KT OFFSHORE TONIGHT SO
WILL CONTINUE SCEC HEADLINE THERE. THE PRES GRADIENT ALONG THE COAST
AS WELL AS COASTAL OBS SHOW WINDS MORE AROUND THE 10-15 KT OR 15 KT
RANGE SO WILL REMOVE SCEC HEADLINE AT THIS TIME.

RIP CURRENTS: MODERATE RISK THURSDAY DUE TO ONSHORE FLOW AND
ELEVATED SURF.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  44  73  44  77 /   0   0   0   0
SSI  52  71  53  74 /   0   0   0   0
JAX  49  75  48  77 /   0   0   0   0
SGJ  58  74  56  76 /   0   0   0   0
GNV  47  77  47  79 /   0   0   0   0
OCF  51  79  49  80 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

$$

SHASHY/WALSH







000
FXUS62 KJAX 221848
AFDJAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
248 PM EDT WED OCT 22 2014

...MOSTLY CLEAR AND COOL TONIGHT...

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...

THIS AFTN THROUGH THU...DRY CONDITIONS AND SEASONABLY COOL
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 36 HRS WITH NORTHERLY
FLOW AROUND SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE OH RIVER
VALLEY. NNE WINDS WILL BECOME BREEZY BY MIDDAY ALONG THE COAST
AND ST JOHNS RIVER BASIN NEAR 15 MPH...THEN SUBSIDE IN THE
EVENING.

DRY AIR AND CLEAR SKIES WILL DROP MIN TEMPS TONIGHT INTO THE
LOW/MID 40S OVER INLAND SE GA AND THE SUWANNEE RIVER VALLEY...WITH
ONSHORE FLOW KEEPING THE COAST WARMER WHERE LOWS WILL REACH THE
UPPER 50S. DESPITE CHILLY VALUES...MINS WILL NOT CHALLENGE RECORD
LOWS FOR THE DATE WHICH ARE IN NEAR 40 INLAND TO 45 SSI.

DAYTIME HIGHS THU WILL WARM INTO THE MID 70S OVER SE GA TO NEAR
80 SOUTHWARD TOWARD OCALA UNDER MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WITH A FEW
CUMULUS MOVING ONSHORE OVER OUR SE FL ZONES.

AN EXTREMELY DRY AIR MASS WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY. DAYS WILL BE MOSTLY SUNNY WITH SEASONABLE TEMPS IN THE
MID TO UPPER 70S. THURSDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHTS WILL BE WELL BELOW
NORMAL DUE TO EXCELLENT RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS UNDER CLEAR
SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS.

A FAIRLY STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL PUSH SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE
REGION FRIDAY NIGHT BUT THE AIR MASS WILL REMAIN WAY TOO DRY TO
SUPPORT ANY PRECIP. MID LEVEL RIDGE WILL QUICKLY BUILD IN FROM OUR
WEST ON SATURDAY AND TEMPS WILL BEGIN TO MODERATE BY SATURDAY
NIGHT WITH LOWS CLOSER TO SEASONABLE LEVELS IN THE LOW TO MID 50S
INLAND.

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...

MODELS ARE COMING INTO BETTER AGREEMENT INDICATING A WARMING TREND
ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE REGION. MAX
TEMPS WILL CLIMB TO ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS WITH HIGHS IN THE LOW TO
MID 80S SUNDAY AND MONDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST OF THE
AREA ON MONDAY AND THE ENSUING ONSHORE FLOW WILL BEGIN TO BRING
SOME INCREASE IN MOISTURE...WITH ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
MAINLY ALONG THE COAST TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS.

&&

.MARINE...NNE WIND SURGE 15-20 KTS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY
EVENING HOURS WITH SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION LIKELY ONSHORE FOR
THE OFFSHORE WATERS OVERNIGHT. WINDS WILL RELAX THU INTO SAT AS
HIGH PRESSURE NNW OF THE WATERS SETTLES SOUTHWARD TOWARD THE GULF
COAST REGION. EASTERLY FLOW WILL DEVELOP EARLY NEXT WEEK AS HIGH
PRESSURE STRENGTHENS NE OF THE WATERS.

RIP CURRENTS: LOW RISK TODAY. MODERATE RISK THURS DUE TO ONSHORE
FLOW.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

MARGINALLY LOW MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES (GENERALLY 28-35
PERCENT) ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST INLAND EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH AT
LEAST SATURDAY. HOWEVER... WITH PREVAILING LIGHT WINDS AND ERC
VALUES FAR FROM CRITICAL VALUES...RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE NOT
ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  44  74  44  77 /   0   0   0   0
SSI  54  71  53  74 /   0   0   0   0
JAX  49  75  48  77 /   0   0   0   0
SGJ  58  74  56  76 /   0   0   0   0
GNV  48  77  47  79 /   0   0   0   0
OCF  50  79  49  80 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

$$

ENYEDI/SHULER/GUILLET










000
FXUS62 KJAX 221357
AFDJAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
957 AM EDT WED OCT 22 2014

...SUNNY...COOLER AND BREEZY...

.UPDATE...A STELLAR DAY IN STORE AS DRY AIR FILTERS IN FROM THE
NORTH AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE TN RIVER VALLEY. HIGH TEMPS
WILL RANGE FROM THE LOW/MID 70S OVER SE GA TO THE LOW 80S
SOUTHWARD TOWARD OCALA. BREEZY WINDS OF 15-20 MPH WILL IMPACT THE
COAST AND ST JOHNS RIVER BASIN INTO THE AFTN.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS.

&&

.MARINE...EXPANDED THE SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION TO THE FL
NEARSHORE WATERS AS NNE WIND SURGE PUSHES SOUTHWARD DOWN THE
COASTLINE TODAY. ANTICIPATE BEING ABLE TO DROP THIS HEADLINE FOR
NEARSHORE LEGS THIS AFTN...WHILE WINDS WILL RELAX TO AROUND 15 KTS
OVER THE OFFSHORE LEGS THIS EVENING.

RIP CURRENTS: LOW RISK TODAY. MODERATE RISK EXPECTED THU.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...MIN RHS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 30-35% INLAND THIS
AFTN...WITH CLOSER TO THE COAST RHS WILL NEAR 40-45% UNDER A
BREEZY NNE 15-20 MPH. ALL PARAMETERS WILL REMAIN ABOVE RED FLAG
CONDITIONS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  74  44  74  47 /   0   0   0   0
SSI  73  53  73  55 /   0   0   0   0
JAX  78  48  76  51 /   0   0   0   0
SGJ  77  57  76  58 /   0   0   0   0
GNV  81  48  78  50 /   0   0   0   0
OCF  83  50  79  52 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

$$

ENYEDI/GUILLET








000
FXUS62 KJAX 220546
AFDJAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
146 AM EDT WED OCT 22 2014

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
CLEAR SKIES PREVAIL OVERNIGHT...AS A COLD FRONT MOVES INTO CENTRAL
FLORIDA. DRY AIR WILL CONTINUE TO WORK INTO THE REGION TODAY AS
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NW. HIGHS TODAY WILL RANGE FROM
THE MID 70S ACROSS SE GA/EXTREME NE FL...TO THE UPPER 70S/AROUND 80
FOR NORTH-CENTRAL FL. CLEAR SKIES...LIGHT WINDS...AND DRY AIR WILL
RESULT IN OPTIMAL RADIATIONAL COOLING TNGT...WITH LOW TEMPERATURES
FALLING TO THE MID/UPPER 40S FOR INLAND LOCATIONS...AND 50 TO 55
CLOSER TO THE COAST. SUNNY SKIES WILL CONTINUE THURSDAY UNDER HIGH
PRESSURE...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES ANOTHER DEGREE OR TWO COOLER THAN
WEDNESDAY.

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
FOR THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...THE REGION WILL BE BETWEEN
HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH AND GULF MOISTURE TRACKING EAST ACROSS
SOUTHERN PORTION OF FL. AT THIS POINT...MODEL TRENDS CONTINUE TO
KEEP BEST MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH GULF SYSTEM SOUTH OF FORECAST
AREA...SO MAINTAINING A DRY FORECAST. HOWEVER...EXPECT CLOUDS TO
INCREASE SOUTH...AND COULD NOT RULE OUT A SHOWER FAR SOUTH.
SLIGHTLY COOLER THAN NORMAL READINGS WILL BE EXPECTED THROUGH
SATURDAY...DUE TO FLOW FROM NORTH.

FOR SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD NORTH OF THE
REGION. AS THE HIGH BUILDS AND DRIFTS TOWARD THE EAST COAST...IT
WILL SET UP A PERIOD OF INCREASINGLY MOIST ONSHORE FLOW. AS A
RESULT THERE WILL BE A CHANCE FOR PRIMARILY COASTAL SHOWERS MONDAY
AND TUESDAY. WITH ONSHORE FLOW...EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO TREND NEAR
TO JUST ABOVE NORMA.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR WILL GENERALLY PREVAIL FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WITH PERHAPS
SOME SHALLOW MVFR AT VQQ OVERNIGHT. LIGHT WINDS THROUGH MID MORNING
WILL BECOME NORTH 8-12 KT THIS AFTN.

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS WILL INCREASE OVERNIGHT INTO THE MORNING HOURS AS A NE WIND
SURGE DEVELOPS IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT. WILL USE CAUTION
FOR THE OUTER LEGS TODAY INTO THIS EVENING...WITH AROUND 15 KNOTS
FOR THE NEAR SHORE WATERS. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE FOR LATE WEEK
WITH WINDS INCREASING FOR THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. SEAS
WILL GENERALLY REMAIN BELOW CAUTION CRITERIA.

RIP CURRENTS: LOW RISK TODAY WITH SIDESHORE FLOW. MODERATE RISK
THURSDAY WITH ONSHORE FLOW.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  74  44  74  47 /   0   0   0   0
SSI  73  53  73  55 /   0   0   0   0
JAX  77  48  76  51 /   0   0   0   0
SGJ  77  57  76  58 /   0   0   0   0
GNV  80  48  78  50 /   0   0   0   0
OCF  82  50  79  52 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

$$

ALLEN/STRUBLE








000
FXUS62 KJAX 220546
AFDJAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
146 AM EDT WED OCT 22 2014

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
CLEAR SKIES PREVAIL OVERNIGHT...AS A COLD FRONT MOVES INTO CENTRAL
FLORIDA. DRY AIR WILL CONTINUE TO WORK INTO THE REGION TODAY AS
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NW. HIGHS TODAY WILL RANGE FROM
THE MID 70S ACROSS SE GA/EXTREME NE FL...TO THE UPPER 70S/AROUND 80
FOR NORTH-CENTRAL FL. CLEAR SKIES...LIGHT WINDS...AND DRY AIR WILL
RESULT IN OPTIMAL RADIATIONAL COOLING TNGT...WITH LOW TEMPERATURES
FALLING TO THE MID/UPPER 40S FOR INLAND LOCATIONS...AND 50 TO 55
CLOSER TO THE COAST. SUNNY SKIES WILL CONTINUE THURSDAY UNDER HIGH
PRESSURE...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES ANOTHER DEGREE OR TWO COOLER THAN
WEDNESDAY.

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
FOR THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...THE REGION WILL BE BETWEEN
HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH AND GULF MOISTURE TRACKING EAST ACROSS
SOUTHERN PORTION OF FL. AT THIS POINT...MODEL TRENDS CONTINUE TO
KEEP BEST MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH GULF SYSTEM SOUTH OF FORECAST
AREA...SO MAINTAINING A DRY FORECAST. HOWEVER...EXPECT CLOUDS TO
INCREASE SOUTH...AND COULD NOT RULE OUT A SHOWER FAR SOUTH.
SLIGHTLY COOLER THAN NORMAL READINGS WILL BE EXPECTED THROUGH
SATURDAY...DUE TO FLOW FROM NORTH.

FOR SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD NORTH OF THE
REGION. AS THE HIGH BUILDS AND DRIFTS TOWARD THE EAST COAST...IT
WILL SET UP A PERIOD OF INCREASINGLY MOIST ONSHORE FLOW. AS A
RESULT THERE WILL BE A CHANCE FOR PRIMARILY COASTAL SHOWERS MONDAY
AND TUESDAY. WITH ONSHORE FLOW...EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO TREND NEAR
TO JUST ABOVE NORMA.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR WILL GENERALLY PREVAIL FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WITH PERHAPS
SOME SHALLOW MVFR AT VQQ OVERNIGHT. LIGHT WINDS THROUGH MID MORNING
WILL BECOME NORTH 8-12 KT THIS AFTN.

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS WILL INCREASE OVERNIGHT INTO THE MORNING HOURS AS A NE WIND
SURGE DEVELOPS IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT. WILL USE CAUTION
FOR THE OUTER LEGS TODAY INTO THIS EVENING...WITH AROUND 15 KNOTS
FOR THE NEAR SHORE WATERS. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE FOR LATE WEEK
WITH WINDS INCREASING FOR THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. SEAS
WILL GENERALLY REMAIN BELOW CAUTION CRITERIA.

RIP CURRENTS: LOW RISK TODAY WITH SIDESHORE FLOW. MODERATE RISK
THURSDAY WITH ONSHORE FLOW.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  74  44  74  47 /   0   0   0   0
SSI  73  53  73  55 /   0   0   0   0
JAX  77  48  76  51 /   0   0   0   0
SGJ  77  57  76  58 /   0   0   0   0
GNV  80  48  78  50 /   0   0   0   0
OCF  82  50  79  52 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

$$

ALLEN/STRUBLE








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