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000
FXUS62 KKEY 241426
AFDKEY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
1026 AM EDT THU APR 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...
CURRENTLY - A DIFFUSE PRESSURE PATTERN PREVAILS ACROSS FLORIDA THE
KEYS AND SURROUNDING WATERS...WITH RELATIVELY WEAK ZONAL FLOW ALOFT.
SURFACE WINDS ARE QUITE LIGHT AND VARYING IN DIRECTION ACROSS THE
KEYS AREA. DEW POINT TEMPERATURES ARE IN THE UPPER 60S WITH
TEMPERATURES CLIMBING THROUGH THE MID 70S. WHILE LOW LEVEL LIFTING
HAS CONTRIBUTED TO MOISTENING AND SOME CLOUD DECK FORMATION ABOVE
5KFT...THIS MORNINGS SOUNDING INDICATED THE ENVIRONMENT REMAINS
FAIRLY STABLE...AND NO SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS BEEN PRESENT WITHIN THE
FORECAST AREA.

SHORT TERM UPDATE (THIS AFTERNOON) - OUTSIDE OF A FEW SWATHES OF
MID LEVEL CLOUDS...ON BALANCE...SKIES WILL TREND TOWARDS MOSTLY
SUNNY. DAY TIME HEATING OVER A CLEAR SOUTH FLORIDA WILL LEAD TO WEAK
CYCLONIC FLOW DEVELOPING AROUND THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE PENINSULA
BY THIS EVENING...KEEPING WINDS LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVER MUCH OF THE
FORECAST AREA. LIGHT WINDS AND AMPLE SUNSHINE SHOULD PUSH
TEMPERATURES INTO THE LOW TO MID 80S. STABLE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
AND NO RAIN IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE REST OF TODAY.

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE DUE TO A WEAK SYNOPTIC PATTERN
AUGMENTED BY DAY TIME HEATING OVER SOUTH FLORIDA. WINDS WILL TEND
TOWARDS A LIGHT EASTERLY FLOW OVER THE FLORIDA STRAITS DUE TO A MORE
DEFINED GRADIENT FURTHER SOUTH. RAIN CHANCES WILL REMAIN SLIM TO NONE
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.AVIATION...
THROUGH 25/15Z...PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT BOTH EYW
AND MTH. A MOISTENING TREND AT LOW ALTITUDES AFTER 25/00Z WILL FAVOR
DEVELOPMENT OF ISOLATED SHOWERS WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE
PRECIPITATION...MOVING FROM ABOUT 190/08KT. THEREFORE...SHOWERS MAY
BE IN THE VICINITY OF EITHER EYW OR MTH OVERNIGHT...MAINLY AFTER
25/06Z...WITH BRIEF MVFR CEILINGS POSSIBLE AS WELL. HOWEVER...THE
LIKELIHOOD OF IMPACT IS TOO SMALL FOR INCLUSION IN 15Z TAFS.

&&

.KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC/MARINE.........11
AVIATION/NOWCASTS.....KASPER
DATA COLLECTION.......CLR

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000
FXUS62 KKEY 241131
AFDKEY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
731 AM EDT THU APR 24 2014

.AVIATION...
THROUGH 25/12Z...PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT BOTH EYW
AND MTH. A MOISTENING TREND AT LOW ALTITUDES AFTER 25/00Z WILL FAVOR
DEVELOPMENT OF ISOLATED SHOWERS WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE
PRECIPITATION...MOVING FROM ABOUT 190/08KT. THEREFORE...SHOWERS MAY
BE IN THE VICINITY OF EITHER EYW OR MTH OVERNIGHT...MAINLY AFTER
25/06Z...WITH BRIEF MVFR CEILINGS POSSIBLE AS WELL. HOWEVER...THE
LIKELIHOOD OF IMPACT IS TOO SMALL FOR INCLUSION IN 12Z TAFS.
&&

$$

AVIATION...KASPER

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000
FXUS62 KKEY 240815
AFDKEY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
415 AM EDT THU APR 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...
.CURRENTLY...
ANOTHER QUIET APRIL OVERNIGHT IS BEING FELT IN THE FLORIDA KEYS AND
THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS...WITH LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS ALLOWING
TEMPERATURES TO FALL INTO THE LOWER 60S IN THE LARGER INTERIOR
PORTIONS OF THE ISLAND CHAIN...SUCH AS BIG PINE KEY AND RAMROD KEY.
SURFACE WISE...A SPLIT TWO CELL RIDGE IS LOCATED OVER THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA AND ADJACENT GULF AND ATLANTIC WATERS. ACROSS OUR MARINE
DISTRICT...WINDS ARE MOSTLY NORTH RANGING FROM 3 KNOTS AT SOMBRERO
KEY LIGHT TO 6 KNOTS AT MOLASSES REEF. MEANWHILE...LOCAL RADARS
SCANS ARE VOID OF ANY PRECIPITATION ECHOES...BUT CLOUDINESS
ASSOCIATED WITH SUBTLE ISENTROPIC LIFT IS MOVING NORTHWARD THROUGH
THE EASTERN FLORIDA STRAITS.

.SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...
A SCREAMING BUT ZONAL MID AND UPPER LEVEL SOUTHERN STREAM TRAJECTORY
WILL DOMINATE THE GULF OF MEXICO AND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA OVER THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...BEFORE A PROGRESSIVE AND BUILDING ANTICYCLONE
MIGRATES THROUGH THE ENTIRE EASTERN UNITED STATES AND THE SUNSHINE
STATE THIS WEEKEND. BECAUSE OF THE PROGRESSIVE FLOW ALOFT...A SPLIT
SURFACE RIDGE WILL LINGER OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND THE
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. WITH THAT SAID...A 24 HOUR SPELL OF WEAK
ISENTROPIC LIFT NEAR THE 300 K SURFACE WILL SLOWLY MOISTEN AND
PERHAPS ERODE A PERSISTENT STABLE LAYER NEAR 850 MB
TONIGHT...HENCE...DIME POPS WILL BE INSERTED FOR LATE TONIGHT.
OTHERWISE...AN ABSENCE OF LARGE SCALE LIFT COMBINED WITH SCANT
MOISTURE (PWAT VALUES LESS THAN 1 INCH) WILL PROMPT ONLY NICKLE POPS
TO BE EVIDENT IN THE GRIDS. TEMPERATURE WISE...HIGHS WILL AVERAGE IN
THE LOWER TO MID 80S WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS BETWEEN 70 AND 75 DEGREES
THROUGH THE PERIOD.
&&

.LONG TERM (SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...
A LOW LATITUDE AND PREDOMINATE ZONAL WESTERLY FLOW WILL GOVERN THE
GULF OF MEXICO AND FLORIDA PENINSULA...WHILE A WESTERN ATLANTIC
SURFACE RIDGE REACHING ACROSS THE EXTREME SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES
GRADUALLY RETREATS AND SETTLES DOWN THE SUNSHINE STATE. ALTHOUGH LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE WILL SLOWLY INCREASE...AN ABSENCE OF LARGE SCALE
ASCENT AND NO DISCERNIBLE LOW LEVEL FORCING WILL PROMPT ONLY DIME
POPS TO BE MAINTAINED. DUE TO A SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH SURFACE
FLOW...HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL AVERAGE IN THE MID 80S WITH OVERNIGHT
LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S.

&&

.MARINE...
LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS WILL PREVAIL ON KEYS COASTAL WATERS TODAY
THROUGH FRIDAY...BEFORE A SPELL OF LIGHT NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS
PREDOMINATE FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. THEREAFTER...AN EAST TO
SOUTHEAST FLOW WILL SET UP WITH MODERATE TO OCCASIONAL FRESH BREEZES
POSSIBLE BEGINNING SUNDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. HOWEVER...AT
THIS TIME NO ADVISORIES OR HEADLINES ARE EXPECTED.
&&

.AVIATION...
THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL TODAY AT BOTH THE
KEY WEST AND MARATHON ISLAND TERMINALS. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS
WILL BECOME EAST AT BETWEEN 5 AND 10 KNOTS AFTER 13 OR 14Z THIS
MORNING. EXPECT A FEW CUMULUS CLOUDS WITH BASES AOA FL015-020.

&&

.CLIMATE...
ON APRIL 24TH IN KEYS WEATHER HISTORY...THE LAST TIME KEY WEST HIT 89
DEGREES ON APRIL 24TH WAS 23 YEARS AGO IN 1991. TEMPERATURE RECORDS
FOR KEY WEST DATE BACK TO 1872.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KEY WEST  83  74  83  74 / - 10 - -
MARATHON  86  74  86  74 / - 10 - -

&&

.KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC/MARINE.........APA
AVIATION/NOWCASTS.....DAF

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000
FXUS62 KKEY 240102
AFDKEY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
902 PM EDT WED APR 23 2014

.DISCUSSION...
.CURRENTLY...
NO RETURNS ARE SHOWING ON THE FULL SCAN OF THE KBYX RADAR THIS
EVENING. SKIES ARE MOSTLY CLEAR WITH MILD TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER
TO MIDDLE 70S ACROSS THE KEYS. WINDS ALONG THE ISLAND CHAIN ARE OUT
OF THE NORTHWEST TO NORTH NEAR 5 KNOTS AT THE ISLAND TERMINALS...AND
COOP STATIONS. THE WINDS HAVE SURGED SLIGHTLY OVER FLORIDA BAY AND
THE UPPER KEYS AS THE THERMAL GRADIENT FROM THE HEATING OVER THE
MAINLAND BREAKS DOWN WITH LONG KEY RUNNING AROUND 10 KNOTS...MOLASSES
REEF LIGHT HAS 10 TO 15 KNOTS...AND FOWEY ROCKS SHOWING NEAR 15
KNOTS...ALL BACKING TO THE WEST TO NORTHWEST. SURFACE ANALYSIS HAS A
LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS MUCH OF THE GULF OF MEXICO WHICH
WILL BE THE DOMINANT FACTOR IN THE FORECAST.

.FORECAST...
THE LARGE RIDGE MENTIONED ABOVE WILL CONTINUE TO SLIDE SLOWLY TO THE
EAST ENGULFING THE FLORIDA KEYS THROUGH THURSDAY. THURSDAY EVENING A
WEAK WAVE WILL MOVE OVER THE KEYS AREA PROVIDING A SLIGHTLY BETTER
FOCUS FOR LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND INCREASING OUR RAIN CHANCES SLIGHTLY
FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. NO CHANGES TO THE EXISTING FORECAST WILL BE
REQUIRED IN THE SHORT TERM.

&&

.MARINE...
NO ADVISORY OR CAUTIONARY STATEMENTS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH AT LEAST
THE WEEKEND. AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY MOVE
OVER THE KEYS AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND PRODUCING FAIR WINDS AND
FOLLOWING SEAS.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON AT
THE KEY WEST AND MARATHON AIRPORTS. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE
THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.CLIMATE...
ON THIS DATE IN KEYS WEATHER HISTORY...1874...THE HIGH TEMPERATURE IN
KEY WEST WAS 89 DEGREES. THIS SET THE DAILY RECORD MAXIMUM
TEMPERATURE FOR KEY WEST ON APRIL 23RD...WHICH STANDS 140 YEARS
LATER. TEMPERATURE RECORDS FOR KEY WEST DATE BACK TO 1872.

&&

.KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC/MARINE.........BWC
AVIATION/NOWCASTS.....04
DATA COLLECTION.......VICKERY

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000
FXUS62 KKEY 231848
AFDKEY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
248 PM EDT WED APR 23 2014

.DISCUSSION...
CURRENT WEATHER SUMMARY -- MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES PREVAIL OVER THE
FLORIDA KEYS AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS THIS AFTERNOON. CURRENT AIR
TEMPERATURES IN MOST ISLAND COMMUNITIES ARE NEAR 80F...WITH DEWPOINT
TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 60S. LIGHT NORTHERLY BREEZES ARE BLOWING AT
MOST LOCATIONS. A SURFACE ANALYSIS EARLY THIS AFTERNOON REVEALS A
VERY WEAK SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CELL CENTERED OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO
WITH SEA-BREEZE CIRCULATIONS INITIATING AROUND THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA
PENINSULA. LOCAL DOPPLER RADARS ARE VOID OF PRECIPITATION ECHOES
THANKS TO A VERY DRY AND STABLE ATMOSPHERE ALOFT.

FORECAST HIGHLIGHTS -- WINDS OVER FLORIDA BAY AND WATERS ADJACENT TO
THE UPPER KEYS WILL BACK WEST-SOUTHWEST AND SURGE TO NEAR 15 KNOTS
FOR A FEW HOURS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING. THIS
DEVELOPMENT IS IN RESPONSE TO MAINLAND HEATING/SEA BREEZE
CIRCULATIONS. OTHERWISE...A FAIR AND FINE WEATHER PATTERN WILL
PERSIST FOR AT LEAST ANOTHER 24 HOURS. A WEAK SHORT-WAVE PERTURBATION
WITHIN THE MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL WESTERLIES WILL INDUCE A WEAK
SOUTHERLY CURRENT IN THE LOWER TROPOSPHERE ON THURSDAY...WITH SOME
WEAK WARM THERMAL/MOISTURE ADVECTION SETTING UP THURSDAY/THURSDAY
NIGHT. THE LOCAL ATMOSPHERE MAY MOISTEN/DESTABILIZE ENOUGH FOR A FEW
SHOWERS BY LATE THURSDAY NIGHT OR FRIDAY. THEREAFTER...A PRIMARILY
ZONAL UPPER FLOW WITH ONLY WEAK EMBEDDED...MOSTLY SHALLOW
PERTURBATIONS WILL PREVAIL WITH RELATIVELY WEAK GRADIENT FLOWS
THROUGH SUNDAY. BY SUNDAY...SOUTHEAST BREEZES ARE EXPECTED TO FRESHEN
SOME AND STAY MODERATE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. ISOLATED SHOWERS WILL
BE POSSIBLE EACH DAY AND NIGHT FROM FRIDAY ONWARD.
&&

.MARINE...
NO ADVISORIES...NO HEADLINES. AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST
OVER MOST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THE HIGH
WILL MOVE EAST OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TO THE WESTERN NORTH
ATLANTIC FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
&&

.AVIATION...
THROUGH 24/18Z...PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT BOTH EYW
AND MTH. A FEW SHORT-LIVED STRATOCUMULUS CEILINGS ARE POSSIBLE AT
EITHER TERMINAL. HOWEVER...INDIVIDUAL EPISODE DURATIONS WILL BE ON
THE ORDER OF MINUTES.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KEY WEST  70  83  74  84 / -  -  -  10
MARATHON  70  87  74  87 / -  -  -  10
&&

.KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC/MARINE.........KASPER
AVIATION/NOWCASTS.....11
DATA COLLECTION.......VICKERY

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000
FXUS62 KKEY 231504
AFDKEY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
1104 AM EDT WED APR 23 2014

.DISCUSSION...
CURRENT WEATHER SUMMARY -- ANOTHER MILD APRIL DAY IS UNDERWAY ACROSS
THE FLORIDA KEYS AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS...WITH CURRENT AIR
TEMPERATURES RISING SLOWLY THROUGH THE UPPER 70S. MEANWHILE...
DEWPOINT TEMPERATURES ARE HOLDING STEADY 61-65F...KEEPING THE AIR
MASS JUST ON THE COMFORTABLE SIDE. A FEW TO SCATTERED SHALLOW
CUMULUS CLOUDS ARE EVIDENT IN BOTH SURFACE AND SATELLITE
OBSERVATIONS ABOUT THE KEYS. DATA COLLECTED FROM THE KEY WEST MORNING
RADIOSONDE BALLOON REVEAL A DRY AND STABLY STRATIFIED ATMOSPHERE
ABOVE THE SHALLOW...LOW-ALTITUDE CUMULUS LAYER. INDEED...LOCAL
DOPPLER RADAR SCANS CURRENTLY ARE VOID OF ANY PRECIPITATION ECHOES.
THE MEAN SEA LEVEL PRESSURE PATTERN ACROSS THE AREA IS RATHER WEAK
WITH A MEAGER HIGH PRESSURE CELL CENTERED OVER THE NORTH-CENTRAL GULF
OF MEXICO BENEATH ZONAL FLOW ALOFT.

FORECAST HIGHLIGHTS THIS AFTERNOON -- SKIES SHOULD TURN MOSTLY SUNNY
SOON IF THEY ARE NOT ALREADY. AIR TEMPERATURES WILL TOP OUT NEAR 80F
WITH GENTLE WEST TO NORTHWEST BREEZES PREVAILING.
&&

.MARINE...
GENTLE NORTHWEST BREEZES WILL PREVAIL OVER MOST OF THE SERVICE AREA
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE OVER PORTIONS OF
FLORIDA BAY AND HAWK CHANNEL OFF THE UPPER KEYS WHERE MAINLAND
PENINSULA HEATING WILL INDUCE WINDS TO TURN WEST-SOUTHWEST AND
FRESHEN NEAR 15 KNOTS FOR A FEW HOURS LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING.
&&

.AVIATION...
THROUGH 24/15Z...PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT BOTH EYW
AND MTH. A FEW SHORT-LIVED STRATOCUMULUS CEILINGS ARE POSSIBLE AT
EITHER TERMINAL. HOWEVER...INDIVIDUAL EPISODE DURATIONS WILL BE ON
THE ORDER OF MINUTES.
&&

.KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC/MARINE.........KASPER
AVIATION/NOWCASTS.....11
DATA COLLECTION.......CLR

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000
FXUS62 KKEY 231208
AFDKEY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
808 AM EDT WED APR 23 2014

.AVIATION...
SURFACE WINDS WILL BE LIGHT OUT OF THE WEST TO NORTHWEST...INCREASING
FOR A FEW HOURS TO CLOSER TO 10 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING. OUTSIDE OF BRIEF BOUTS OF HIGH MVFR CONDITIONS THIS
MORNING...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL.

&&

$$

AVIATION...11

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000
FXUS62 KKEY 230854
AFDKEY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
452 AM EDT WED APR 23 2014

.DISCUSSION...
.CURRENTLY...
SKIES RANGE FROM MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE LOWER AND MIDDLE KEYS TO
MOSTLY CLEAR IN THE UPPER KEYS...WITH TEMPERATURES AVERAGING NEAR 70
DEGREES. MEANWHILE...LOCAL RADARS ARE NOT DETECTING ANY
PRECIPITATION ECHOES. SURFACE WISE...OUR AREA LIES ON THE EASTERN
PERIPHERY OF A HIGH PRESSURE CELL CENTERED IN THE WEST CENTRAL GULF
OF MEXICO AND A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE JUST TO OUR EAST. ACROSS OUR
MARINE DISTRICT...OBSERVATIONS INDICATE MOSTLY NORTHWEST WINDS OF
AROUND 10 KNOTS.

.SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)...
A FAIRLY ZONAL MID AND UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY FLOW WILL PREVAIL IN THE
SOUTHERN STREAM...WITH A MINOR PERTURBATION TRACKING EASTWARD
THROUGH THE GULF OF MEXICO AND FLORIDA PENINSULA THURSDAY AND
THURSDAY NIGHT. ALTHOUGH LARGE SCALE LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
SHORTWAVE WILL REMAIN NORTH OF OUR AREA...ISENTROPIC LIFT MOST
EVIDENT ON THE 300 K SURFACE WILL PROVIDE MOISTENING UNDERNEATH AN
ELEVATING STABLE LAYER NEAR 850 MB THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT. IN
WAKE OF THE DEPARTING DISTURBANCE...A LIGHT AND CHAOTIC LOW LEVEL
FLOW WITH CONSIDERABLE DRY AIR ALOFT WILL GOVERN OUR SENSIBLE
WEATHER. WITH THAT SAID...LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TRAPPED BENEATH A LOW
LEVEL STABLE LAYER WILL PROMPT MOSTLY CLEAR TO BE REPLACED BY PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES THROUGH MOST OF THIS PERIOD...BUT WILL KEEP ONLY NICKLE
POPS IN THE GRIDS DESPITE SUBTLE LOW LEVEL ASCENT. TEMPERATURE
WISE...A PREDOMINATE WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW SHOULD KEEP HIGH
TEMPERATURES NEAR 80 DEGREES EXCEPT IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S AT THE
MARATHON ASOS TODAY...BEFORE TEMPERATURES RETURN TO THE LOWER TO MID
80S THURSDAY AND FRIDAY DUE TO A LIGHT EAST WIND. LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS WILL ALLOW POCKETS OF RADIATIONAL COOLING LATE TONIGHT...BUT A
LIGHT EAST WIND SHOULD KEEP LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S
THURSDAY NIGHT AND IN THE MID 70S FRIDAY NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM (SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)...
A MID AND UPPER LEVEL ZONAL WESTERLY FLOW WILL PREDOMINATE IN THE
LOW LATITUDES...WITH A REGION OF HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE
FLORIDA PENINSULA SHIFTING QUICKLY INTO THE WESTERN NORTH ATLANTIC
AND A RIDGE AXIS REACHING ACROSS THE SUNSHINE STATE. A DECOUPLED LOW
LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW OVERLAID BY A UNIDIRECTIONAL WESTERLY FLOW WILL
MAINTAIN LIMITED MOISTURE. WITH THAT SAID...A LACK OF BOTH LARGE
SCALE LIFT AND NO DISCERNIBLE LOW LEVEL FORCING WILL PROMPT GENEROUS
DIME POPS TO BE RETAINED THIS WEEKEND. THEREAFTER..A GRADUAL
INCREASE IN MOISTURE WILL JUSTIFY A BETTER CHANCE FOR ISOLATED
ACTIVITY EARLY NEXT WEEK. A LOW LEVEL EAST TO SOUTHEAST TRAJECTORY
WILL ALLOW AVERAGE HIGH TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB INTO THE MID 80S WITH
OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S.

&&

.MARINE...
OUTSIDE OF WINDS BACKING TO SOUTHWEST TO WEST AND INCREASING TO NEAR
15 KNOTS ON THE WATERS ADJACENT TO THE UPPER KEYS DURING THE MID AND
LATE AFTERNOON...MOSTLY NORTHWEST WINDS OF NEAR 10 KNOTS CAN BE
ANTICIPATED ELSEWHERE. FOR TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS WITH A SPLIT RIDGE LYING TO OUR EAST AND WEST CAN BE
EXPECTED...BEFORE A PREDOMINATE EAST WIND SLOWLY OVERSPREADS OUR
ENTIRE MARINE DISTRICT LATE SATURDAY AND ESPECIALLY SUNDAY.
HENCE...NO ADVISORIES OR HEADLINES WILL BE NECESSARY THROUGH THE
PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION...
THE COMBINATION OF SURFACE RIDGING NEAR THE KEYS WITH TYPICALLY
INTENSE INSOLATION WILL RESULT IN VFR CONDITIONS WITH ONLY ALLOW FOR
SOME LOW TOPPED CUMULUS WITH BASES AOA FL015-025 MOVING ACROSS BOTH
THE KEYS WEST AND MARATHON ISLAND TERMINALS THROUGHOUT THE REST OF
THE DAY. GENTLE NORTH TO NORTHWEST WILL GRADUALLY BACK TO JUST NORTH
OF WEST BY AFTERNOON AT ABOUT 5 KNOTS.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KEY WEST  81  70  83  74 / 0 - - -
MARATHON  85  70  86  74 / 0 - - -

&&

.KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC/MARINE.........APA
AVIATION/NOWCASTS.....DAF

VISIT US ON THE WEB AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KEYWEST






























































000
FXUS62 KKEY 230122
AFDKEY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
922 PM EDT TUE APR 22 2014

.DISCUSSION...
.CURRENTLY...
NOTHING SHOWING UP ON THE 250 NAUTICAL MILE RANGE FROM THE KBYX RADAR
AT THIS HOUR. SOME MID TO HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS IS STREAMING ACROSS
THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE KEYS AREA WITH LITTLE HOPE OF ANY
PRECIPITATION FALLING.

.FORECAST...
WINDS ARE DECOUPLING OVER THE ISLAND CHAIN AS EXPECTED...WITH 5 TO 10
KNOTS OUT OF THE NORTHWEST AT BOTH TERMINALS...NEAR 5 KNOTS AT THE
SMITH SHOAL LIGHT...AND NEAR 10 KNOTS AT THE C-MAN STATIONS
SURROUNDING THE ISLAND CHAIN. WILL MAKE NO CHANGES TO THE EXISTING
FORECAST FOR SEVERAL DAYS OF CHAMBER OF COMMERCE WEATHER.

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS ARE BEGINNING TO RELAX AND COME UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF AN AREA
OF HIGH PRESSURE SINKS ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. NO
ADVISORIES OR CAUTIONARY HEADLINES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AND THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING
AT THE KEY WEST AND MARATHON AIRPORTS. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT FROM THE
NORTHWEST TO NORTH THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.CLIMATE...
ON APRIL 22ND IN KEYS WEATHER HISTORY...THE LAST TIME KEY WEST HIT 88
DEGREES ON APRIL 22ND WAS 77 YEARS AGO IN 1937. THIS SET UP A THREE
WAY TIE FOR THE DAILY RECORD MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE ON APRIL 22ND
PREVIOUSLY SET IN 1908...AND 1882. TEMPERATURE RECORDS FOR KEY WEST
DATE BACK TO 1872.

&&

.KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC/MARINE.........BWC
AVIATION/NOWCASTS.....04
DATA COLLECTION.......VICKERY

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000
FXUS62 KKEY 221844
AFDKEY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
244 PM EDT TUE APR 22 2014

.DISCUSSION...
CURRENT WEATHER SUMMARY -- PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES PREVAIL ACROSS FLORIDA
KEYS ISLAND COMMUNITIES EARLY THIS AFTERNOON WITH RATHER MILD
CONDITIONS PREVAILING. CURRENT AIR TEMPERATURES ARE NEAR 80F AT MOST
STATIONS WITH DEWPOINT TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 60S. RADAR IS VOID OF
PRECIPITATION ECHOES. ZONAL FLOW PREVAILS ALOFT WITH A WEAK SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE CELL CENTERED OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO.

FORECAST HIGHLIGHTS -- LITTLE CHANGE IN THINKING FROM THE LAST CYCLE.
A RATHER MILD AND DRY...FAIR AND FINE PERIOD WITH GENTLE BREEZES IS
ANTICIPATED FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS UPPER FLOW FLUCTUATES
BETWEEN ZONAL AND WEAK RIDGING OVER THE SUBTROPICAL LATITUDES.
&&

.MARINE...
NO ADVISORIES AND NO HEADLINES. GENTLE NORTHWESTERLY BREEZES WILL SET
IN AND FRESHEN A BIT THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS OF 2-4 FEET DUE TO RESIDUAL
NORTH SWELLS IN THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA OFF THE UPPER KEYS WILL
SUBSIDE SLOWLY OVERNIGHT. AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER
MOST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THE HIGH WILL
MOVE EAST OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TO THE WESTERN NORTH ATLANTIC
FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
&&

.AVIATION...
THROUGH 23/18Z...PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT BOTH EYW
AND MTH.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KEY WEST  70  81  71  82 / -  -  -  -
MARATHON  70  84  71  86 / -  -  -  -
&&

.KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

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000
FXUS62 KKEY 221527
AFDKEY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
1127 AM EDT TUE APR 22 2014

.DISCUSSION...
CURRENT WEATHER SUMMARY -- A MILD DAY IS UNDERWAY ACROSS THE FLORIDA
KEYS AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS...WITH CURRENT AIR TEMPERATURES IN
THE UPPER 70S AND DEWPOINT TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 60S. LIGHT NORTH
TO NORTHEAST BREEZES PREVAIL MOST LOCATIONS. THE SERVICE AREA LIES
ALONG THE EASTERN FLANK OF A WEAK HIGH PRESSURE CELL CENTERED OVER
THE WESTERN GULF BASIN. THE KEY WEST MORNING RAWINSONDE OBSERVATION
REVEALED A VERY DRY AND STABLE LAYER ABOVE ABOUT 3700 FEET
ELEVATION...AND LOCAL RADARS SHOW NO PRECIPITATION ECHOES OVER THE
SERVICE AREA.

FORECAST HIGHLIGHTS THIS AFTERNOON -- NO CHANGES. PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES
WITH HIGHS NEAR 80F.
&&

.MARINE...
GENTLE NORTH-NORTHEAST BREEZES WILL SHIFT NORTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON.
SEAS OF 3-5 FEET DUE TO RESIDUAL NORTH SWELLS WILL PERSIST IN THE
STRAITS OF FLORIDA OFF THE UPPER KEYS.
&&

.AVIATION...
VARIABLE WINDS AOA 5 KNOTS WILL BECOME WESTERLY BETWEEN 5 AND 10
KNOTS AFT 18Z. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL.
&&

.KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC/MARINE.........KASPER
AVIATION/NOWCASTS.....11
DATA COLLECTION.......CLR

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000
FXUS62 KKEY 221222
AFDKEY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
822 AM EDT TUE APR 22 2014

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT THE ISLAND TERMINALS TODAY. SURFACE
WINDS WILL START OUT LIGHT OUT OF THE NORTHEAST...SWITCHING TO WEST
NORTHWEST AND STRENGTHENING THIS AFTERNOON TO NEAR 10 KNOTS.

&&

$$

AVIATION...11

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000
FXUS62 KKEY 221043
AFDKEY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
643 AM EDT TUE APR 22 2014

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT BOTH THE KEY WEST
INTERNATIONAL AND MARATHON AIRPORTS THRU TODAY. NORTH WINDS THIS MORNING
AROUND 10 KNOTS...WILL GRADUALLY BECOME JUST NORTH OF DUE WEST AFTER
18Z. EXPECT ONLY SOME SCATTERED CLOUDS AT FL015-020 AND FL035-040
RESPECTIVELY...GRADUALLY THINNING OUT BY AFTERNOON.


&&

$$

AVIATION...FUTTERMAN

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000
FXUS62 KKEY 220854
AFDKEY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
453 AM EDT TUE APR 22 2014

.DISCUSSION...
.CURRENTLY...
SKIES ARE MOSTLY CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY WITH TEMPERATURES RANGING
FROM THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S ALONG THE ISLAND CHAIN.
MEANWHILE...LOCAL RADARS ARE DETECTING ISOLATED LIGHT SHOWERS AND
SPRINKLES JUST OFFSHORE OF THE UPPER KEYS. SURFACE WISE...OUR
REGION LIES BETWEEN AN ELONGATED REGION OF HIGH PRESSURE COVERING
MUCH OF THE GULF OF MEXICO...WITH A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE EXTENDING
FROM THE WESTERN NORTH ATLANTIC OCEAN INTO THE FLORIDA STRAITS.
ACROSS OUR MARINE DISTRICT...A SOUTH FLORIDA COOL AIR DENSITY
CURRENT IS RESULTING IN NORTH WINDS OF 8 AND 12 KNOTS AT MOLASSES
REEF AND LONG KEY RESPECTIVELY...TO 1 KNOT AT SOMBRERO KEY LIGHT.

.SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)...
OUR AREA WILL LIE BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE COVERING MOST OF THE GULF OF
MEXICO...AND A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE WESTERN NORTH ATLANTIC
OCEAN. THIS WILL ENSURE A MOISTURE STARVED AIRMASS TO REMAIN IN
PLACE ACROSS OUR ENTIRE REGION. HENCE...A TRANQUIL AND BENIGN
WEATHER PATTERN WILL RESULT IN CHAMBER OF COMMERCE WEATHER FOR THE
FLORIDA KEYS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. DAYTIME HIGHS WILL SLOWLY
CLIMB FROM NEAR 80 DEGREES TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...TO THE LOWER TO MID
80S ON THURSDAY. LIGHT WINDS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF NIGHTS WILL
ALLOW RADIATIONAL COOLING IN SOME AREAS...SO LOW TEMPERATURES WILL
RANGE FROM THE MID AND UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S BEFORE LEVELING OFF
INTO THE LOWER 70S THURSDAY NIGHT AS A LIGHT EAST TO SOUTHEAST WIND
SETS UP.

&&

.LONG TERM (FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY)...
A WESTERN ATLANTIC SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDING ACROSS THE SUNSHINE STATE
WILL SLOWLY RETREAT EASTWARD...BUT MOISTURE WILL BE LIMITED TO BELOW
850 MB AS LARGE SCALE MID AND UPPER LEVEL SUBSIDENCE PREDOMINATES.
WITH THAT SAID...SEE NO REASON TO STRAY FROM THE CURRENT ISOLATED
DIME POPS IN THE FORECAST PACKAGE. GIVEN THE SOUTHEAST
TRAJECTORY...ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES CAN BE EXPECTED WITH DAYTIME
HIGHS IN THE MID 80S AND OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S.

&&

.MARINE...
OUTSIDE OF A NORTHERLY SWELL OF UP TO 5 FEET ON THE OFFSHORE COASTAL
WATERS SOUTH OF THE MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS...LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS
VARYING FROM VARIABLE TO MOSTLY NORTHWEST WILL PREVAIL ON OUR MARINE
DISTRICT FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THEREAFTER...A
PREVAILING SOUTHEAST FLOW WILL OVERSPREAD OUR AREA THIS WEEKEND AND
EARLY NEXT WEEK...BUT NO HEADLINES ARE ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

&&

.AVIATION...
BRIEF MVFR CIGS AOA FL015-020 WILL BE POSSIBLE AT BOTH THE KEY WEST
AND MARATHON ISLAND TERMINALS THROUGH ABOUT 11Z. VARIABLE WINDS AOA
5 KNOTS WILL BECOME WESTERLY BETWEEN 5 AND 10 KNOTS AFT 18Z.  VFR
CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THEREAFTER.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KEY WEST  80  70  81  73 / - - - -
MARATHON  83  70  83  73 / - - - -

&&

.KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC/MARINE.........APA
AVIATION/NOWCASTS.....DAF

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000
FXUS62 KKEY 220103
AFDKEY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
903 PM EDT MON APR 21 2014

.DISCUSSION...
.CURRENTLY...
FROM SATELLITE WE CAN SEE AN AREA OF CONVERGENCE ACROSS THE CARD
SOUND AND OCEAN REEF AREA...AND SOME LOW LEVEL STRATUS OVER THE
SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO NEAR THE DRY TORTUGAS. NO SHOWERS ARE
SHOWING UP ON THE KBYX RADAR AT THIS TIME. ON THE COASTAL
WATERS...WINDS ARE OUT OF THE NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS WEST OF
LONG KEY LIGHT...AND LIGHT AND VARIABLE AROUND THE UPPER KEYS. AT THE
ISLAND TERMINALS WE FIND NORTHWEST WINDS NEAR 10 KNOTS. THERE IS A A
WEAKENING AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO
THIS EVENING.

.FORECAST...
NO CHANGES ARE REQUIRED FOR THE SHORT TERM FORECAST. HAVE A DIME POP
IN THE FORECAST AND WITH THE CONVERGENCE ALONG THE UPPER KEYS...AND
THE LOW CEILINGS WEST...THERE MAY BE AT LEAST A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIGHT
RAIN OR SPRINKLES. EXPECT WINDS TO DECOUPLE AND GO LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVER
THE ISLAND CHAIN TONIGHT. THE RIDGE MENTIONED ABOVE WILL DRIFT
SOUTHEASTWARD AS A TROUGH OVER THE NORTHEASTERN UNITED STATES MOVES
TOWARD THE CANADIAN MARITIMES. AS THIS LOW EXITS...THE RIDGE WILL
WEAKEN EVEN MORE AND WINDS WILL DECREASE THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY.
RAIN CHANCES WILL BE SLIGHT AT BEST.

&&

.MARINE...
AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL DRIFT SOUTHEAST AND NEAR THE FLORIDA
KEYS THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. NO ADVISORY OR CAUTIONARY HEADLINES
ARE EXPECTED THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...
EXPECTING VFR CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE AT BOTH THE KEY WEST
INTERNATIONAL AND MARATHON ISLAND TERMINALS THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.
WINDS WILL DECREASE AS THE EVENING PROGRESSES WHILE BECOMING VARIABLE
OVERNIGHT. EXPECT THE NORTHWEST WINDS TO PERSIST DURING TUESDAY...AND
REMAIN AT 10 KNOTS OR LESS.

&&

.CLIMATE...
ON THIS DATE IN KEYS WEATHER HISTORY...1884...KEY WEST HIT 89 DEGREES
SETTING THE DAILY RECORD MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE IN KEY WEST ON APRIL
21ST. THIS RECORD REMAINS STANDING 130 YEARS LATER. TEMPERATURE
RECORDS FOR KEY WEST DATE BACK TO 1872.

&&

.KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC/MARINE.........BWC
AVIATION/NOWCASTS.....BWC
DATA COLLECTION.......PARKE

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000
FXUS62 KKEY 211901
AFDKEY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
301 PM EDT MON APR 21 2014

.DISCUSSION...A MID LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDS FROM SOUTHERN
MEXICO...NORTHWARD INTO THE APPALACHIAN MOUNTAINS. AT THE
SURFACE...WEAK HIGH PRESSURE HAS MAINTAINED ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN
UNITED STATES AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...NESTLED BETWEEN A MARITIME LOW
EAST OF THE CAROLINAS AND A BROAD TROUGH ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
VALLEY. ACCORDING TO THIS MORNING`S SOUNDING...WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...AND
MIMIC TPW IMAGERY...DEEP DRY AIR PREVAILS ATOP A LOW LEVEL INVERSION.
THE INVERSION HAS MANAGED TO TRAP LAYERS OF STRATO- CU AND TO PREVENT
VERTICAL MOTION...AND HENCE PRECIPITATION. THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA
PENINSULA HAS HEATED ENOUGH TO ERODE THE LOW LEVEL CLOUD LAYERS...AND
THOSE LOCATION DOWNWIND FROM THE MIDDLE TO UPPER KEYS ARE SUNNY AS
WELL. WINDS ACROSS THE MARINE DISTRICT ARE MOSTLY FROM THE NORTH AT
10 TO 15 KNOTS. TEMPERATURES RANGE FROM THE MID TO UPPER 70S AND
DEWPOINTS ARE IN THE MID 60S.

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT)...FOLLOWING THE
DEFORMATION OF THE THERMAL TROUGH...A WEAK NORTHEASTERLY SURGE WILL
ALLOW FOR ENOUGH MOISTURE CONVERGENCE TO DEVELOP LIGHT
SHOWERS...MAINLY ACROSS THE EASTERN AND SOUTHERN HALVES OF OUR AREA.
THUS...WE HAVE RETAINED THE ISOLATED SHOWERS FOR TONIGHT...FOLLOWED
BY CONTINUED NEAR NIL CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION. TEMPERATURES WILL
SLOWLY MODERATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WITH LOWS RANGING
FROM 70 TO 75...AND HIGHS INTO THE LOWER 80S. GENTLE BREEZES WILL
PREDOMINANTLY BE NORTHERLY...BUT PERIODS OF VARIABLE ARE LIKELY AS
DAYTIME HEATING AND COOLING MASSAGES THE LOCAL WIND GRADIENT. THE
BIGGEST MARINE CONCERN WILL BE THE PERSISTENT NORTHERLY SWELLS ACROSS
THE EASTERN STRAITS. THE AVAILABLE OBSERVATIONS FROM THE EAST COAST
OF FLORIDA DESCRIBE 6 TO 7 FOOT SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS COMPOSED OF
10 TO 12 SECOND SWELL. NWPS PLACES THESE SWELLS IN OUR EASTERN ZONES
THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM (THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY)...LOW LEVEL INHIBITION AND LIGHT
BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE LONG TERM. EXPECT LOW
RAIN CHANCES...MOSTLY SUNNY TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES...AND SLIGHTLY
ABOVE NORMAL HIGH AND LOW TEMPERATURES. MARINE WINDS MAY FRESHEN
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY NIGHT...BUT UNTIL THEN...MUCH OF THE SAME.

&&

.MARINE...AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED
STATES AND THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL SPREAD EASTWARD AS LOW PRESSURE
EAST OF THE CAROLINAS LIFTS NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE WESTERN NORTH
ATLANTIC.


&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT BOTH THE KEY WEST AND
MARATHON TERMINALS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. SURFACE WINDS WILL BE FROM
THE NORTH TO NORTHEAST BETWEEN 5 AND 10 KNOTS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KEY WEST  70  82  71  82 / 10 -  -  -
MARATHON  70  84  71  84 / 10 -  -  -

&&

.KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC/MARINE.........CLR
AVIATION/NOWCASTS.....CLR
DATA COLLECTION.......PARKE

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