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000
FXUS64 KLCH 260256
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
956 PM CDT SAT OCT 25 2014

.DISCUSSION...
VERY QUIET NIGHT WITH CLR SKIES AND TEMPS FALLING INTO THE 50S BY
SUNRISE. CURRENT ZONES ARE FINE.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 624 PM CDT SAT OCT 25 2014/

DISCUSSION...
FOR 00Z TAFS...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HRS.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 253 PM CDT SAT OCT 25 2014/

DISCUSSION...
SURFACE RIDGE IS ROUGHLY LAYING ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA FROM EAST
TEXAS TO THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES BRINGING LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS. MEANWHILE...STILL SEEING A DRY NORTHERLY FLOW AT THE MID
AND UPPER LEVELS. THE COMBINATION OF THESE TWO FEATURES IS
BRINGING ABOUT ANOTHER NICE WEATHER DAY WITH LOW HUMIDITY...SUNNY
SKIES AND MILD TEMPERATURES.

LOOKS TO BE ANOTHER CHILLY NIGHT AS SURFACE RIDGE WILL ALLOW FOR
LIGHT WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES...SO DECENT RADIATIONAL COOLING SHOULD
TAKE PLACE.

THE SURFACE RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO MOVE OFF TO THE EAST ON SUNDAY
WITH LIGHT ONSHORE WINDS GRADUALLY DEVELOPING DURING THE
DAY. THIS WILL BE THE BEGINNING OF A WARMING TREND WITH INCREASING
MOISTURE AS THE HIGH BECOMES ESTABLISHED OVER THE SOUTHEAST U.S.
AND RIDGES INTO THE FORECAST AREA EARLY IN THE WEEK.

AN UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE MOVING ACROSS THE PLAINS WILL HELP PUSH
A COLD FRONT INTO THE REGION ON TUESDAY...WITH THE FRONT SLOWLY
MOVING SOUTH AND INTO THE FORECAST AREA ON WEDNESDAY. MOISTURE
INCREASE AND LIFT FROM THE FRONT SHOULD BE SUFFICE TO PRODUCE A
FEW SHOWERS FROM LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.

ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE PLAINS TO THE
EAST ON THURSDAY...HELPING TO STRENGTHEN THE UPPER LEVEL TROF
OVER THE EASTERN U.S. AND PUSHING ANOTHER COLD FRONT QUICKLY
THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA ON THURSDAY NIGHT. WILL KEEP A TOKEN
SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS WITH THIS FRONTAL PASSAGE...ALTHOUGH LOW
LEVEL CONVERGENCE AND MOISTURE DOES NOT SEEM TO BE AS IMPRESSIVE
WITH THIS SYSTEM.

DRIER AND QUITE COOL CONDITIONS WILL THEN SETTLE INTO THE FORECAST
AREA FOR HALLOWEEN INTO NEXT WEEKEND.

RUA

MARINE...
STILL LOOKING AT LIGHT OFFSHORE FLOW AND LOW SEAS THIS AFTERNOON
AS SURFACE RIDGE IS STILL SITUATED ACROSS THE REGION. THIS RIDGE
WILL BEGIN TO MOVE OFF TO THE EAST ON SUNDAY WITH LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS BECOMING SOUTHERLY DURING THE DAY. SOUTHERLY WINDS
WILL INCREASE BY TUESDAY AS A SURFACE COLD FRONT DEVELOPS OVER THE
PLAINS AND NEARS THE REGION. THE COLD FRONT WILL GRADUALLY MOVE
INTO THE COASTAL WATERS ON THURSDAY WITH MODERATE NORTHERLY
WINDS...WITH WINDS POSSIBLY INCREASING NEXT WEEKEND AS A SECONDARY
COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH.

RUA

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  53  84  62  84  67 /   0   0   0  10  10
KBPT  56  85  65  83  68 /   0   0   0  10  10
KAEX  54  86  58  85  64 /   0   0   0   0  10
KLFT  53  86  61  84  66 /   0   0   0  10  10

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES

&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KLCH 252324
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
624 PM CDT SAT OCT 25 2014

.DISCUSSION...
FOR 00Z TAFS...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HRS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 253 PM CDT SAT OCT 25 2014/

DISCUSSION...
SURFACE RIDGE IS ROUGHLY LAYING ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA FROM EAST
TEXAS TO THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES BRINGING LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS. MEANWHILE...STILL SEEING A DRY NORTHERLY FLOW AT THE MID
AND UPPER LEVELS. THE COMBINATION OF THESE TWO FEATURES IS
BRINGING ABOUT ANOTHER NICE WEATHER DAY WITH LOW HUMIDITY...SUNNY
SKIES AND MILD TEMPERATURES.

LOOKS TO BE ANOTHER CHILLY NIGHT AS SURFACE RIDGE WILL ALLOW FOR
LIGHT WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES...SO DECENT RADIATIONAL COOLING SHOULD
TAKE PLACE.

THE SURFACE RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO MOVE OFF TO THE EAST ON SUNDAY
WITH LIGHT ONSHORE WINDS GRADUALLY DEVELOPING DURING THE
DAY. THIS WILL BE THE BEGINNING OF A WARMING TREND WITH INCREASING
MOISTURE AS THE HIGH BECOMES ESTABLISHED OVER THE SOUTHEAST U.S.
AND RIDGES INTO THE FORECAST AREA EARLY IN THE WEEK.

AN UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE MOVING ACROSS THE PLAINS WILL HELP PUSH
A COLD FRONT INTO THE REGION ON TUESDAY...WITH THE FRONT SLOWLY
MOVING SOUTH AND INTO THE FORECAST AREA ON WEDNESDAY. MOISTURE
INCREASE AND LIFT FROM THE FRONT SHOULD BE SUFFICE TO PRODUCE A
FEW SHOWERS FROM LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.

ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE PLAINS TO THE
EAST ON THURSDAY...HELPING TO STRENGTHEN THE UPPER LEVEL TROF
OVER THE EASTERN U.S. AND PUSHING ANOTHER COLD FRONT QUICKLY
THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA ON THURSDAY NIGHT. WILL KEEP A TOKEN
SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS WITH THIS FRONTAL PASSAGE...ALTHOUGH LOW
LEVEL CONVERGENCE AND MOISTURE DOES NOT SEEM TO BE AS IMPRESSIVE
WITH THIS SYSTEM.

DRIER AND QUITE COOL CONDITIONS WILL THEN SETTLE INTO THE FORECAST
AREA FOR HALLOWEEN INTO NEXT WEEKEND.

RUA

MARINE...
STILL LOOKING AT LIGHT OFFSHORE FLOW AND LOW SEAS THIS AFTERNOON
AS SURFACE RIDGE IS STILL SITUATED ACROSS THE REGION. THIS RIDGE
WILL BEGIN TO MOVE OFF TO THE EAST ON SUNDAY WITH LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS BECOMING SOUTHERLY DURING THE DAY. SOUTHERLY WINDS
WILL INCREASE BY TUESDAY AS A SURFACE COLD FRONT DEVELOPS OVER THE
PLAINS AND NEARS THE REGION. THE COLD FRONT WILL GRADUALLY MOVE
INTO THE COASTAL WATERS ON THURSDAY WITH MODERATE NORTHERLY
WINDS...WITH WINDS POSSIBLY INCREASING NEXT WEEKEND AS A SECONDARY
COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH.

RUA

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  53  84  62  84  67 /   0   0   0  10  10
KBPT  56  85  65  83  68 /   0   0   0  10  10
KAEX  54  86  58  85  64 /   0   0   0   0  10
KLFT  53  86  61  84  66 /   0   0   0  10  10

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES

&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KLCH 251953
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
253 PM CDT SAT OCT 25 2014

.DISCUSSION...
SURFACE RIDGE IS ROUGHLY LAYING ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA FROM EAST
TEXAS TO THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES BRINGING LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS. MEANWHILE...STILL SEEING A DRY NORTHERLY FLOW AT THE MID
AND UPPER LEVELS. THE COMBINATION OF THESE TWO FEATURES IS
BRINGING ABOUT ANOTHER NICE WEATHER DAY WITH LOW HUMIDITY...SUNNY
SKIES AND MILD TEMPERATURES.

LOOKS TO BE ANOTHER CHILLY NIGHT AS SURFACE RIDGE WILL ALLOW FOR
LIGHT WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES...SO DECENT RADIATIONAL COOLING SHOULD
TAKE PLACE.

THE SURFACE RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO MOVE OFF TO THE EAST ON SUNDAY
WITH LIGHT ONSHORE WINDS GRADUALLY DEVELOPING DURING THE
DAY. THIS WILL BE THE BEGINNING OF A WARMING TREND WITH INCREASING
MOISTURE AS THE HIGH BECOMES ESTABLISHED OVER THE SOUTHEAST U.S.
AND RIDGES INTO THE FORECAST AREA EARLY IN THE WEEK.

AN UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE MOVING ACROSS THE PLAINS WILL HELP PUSH
A COLD FRONT INTO THE REGION ON TUESDAY...WITH THE FRONT SLOWLY
MOVING SOUTH AND INTO THE FORECAST AREA ON WEDNESDAY. MOISTURE
INCREASE AND LIFT FROM THE FRONT SHOULD BE SUFFICE TO PRODUCE A
FEW SHOWERS FROM LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.

ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE PLAINS TO THE
EAST ON THURSDAY...HELPING TO STRENGTHEN THE UPPER LEVEL TROF
OVER THE EASTERN U.S. AND PUSHING ANOTHER COLD FRONT QUICKLY
THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA ON THURSDAY NIGHT. WILL KEEP A TOKEN
SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS WITH THIS FRONTAL PASSAGE...ALTHOUGH LOW
LEVEL CONVERGENCE AND MOISTURE DOES NOT SEEM TO BE AS IMPRESSIVE
WITH THIS SYSTEM.

DRIER AND QUITE COOL CONDITIONS WILL THEN SETTLE INTO THE FORECAST
AREA FOR HALLOWEEN INTO NEXT WEEKEND.

RUA

&&

.MARINE...
STILL LOOKING AT LIGHT OFFSHORE FLOW AND LOW SEAS THIS AFTERNOON
AS SURFACE RIDGE IS STILL SITUATED ACROSS THE REGION. THIS RIDGE
WILL BEGIN TO MOVE OFF TO THE EAST ON SUNDAY WITH LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS BECOMING SOUTHERLY DURING THE DAY. SOUTHERLY WINDS
WILL INCREASE BY TUESDAY AS A SURFACE COLD FRONT DEVELOPS OVER THE
PLAINS AND NEARS THE REGION. THE COLD FRONT WILL GRADUALLY MOVE
INTO THE COASTAL WATERS ON THURSDAY WITH MODERATE NORTHERLY
WINDS...WITH WINDS POSSIBLY INCREASING NEXT WEEKEND AS A SECONDARY
COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH.

RUA

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  53  84  62  84  67 /   0   0   0  10  10
KBPT  56  85  65  83  68 /   0   0   0  10  10
KAEX  54  86  58  85  64 /   0   0   0   0  10
KLFT  53  86  61  84  66 /   0   0   0  10  10

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KLCH 251659
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1159 AM CDT SAT OCT 25 2014

.AVIATION UPDATE...REGARDING 18Z TAF ISSUANCE. SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE OVER THE AREA WILL RESULT IN LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. A
DRY NORTHERLY FLOW IN THE MID AND UPPER LEVELS WILL MAINTAIN CLEAR
SKIES. IDEAL CONDITIONS. VFR CONTINUING.

&&

MARCOTTE

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 946 AM CDT SAT OCT 25 2014/

UPDATE...
LOOKS LIKE ANOTHER PLEASANT FALL WEATHER DAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE
PREVAILING AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT. NO CHANGES TO THE FORECAST AT
THIS TIME.

RUA

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 552 AM CDT SAT OCT 25 2014/

AVIATION...FG IS AFFECT KAEX AT THIS TIME, HOWEVER THE THIN FOG
WILL CLEAR AN HOUR OR TWO AFTER SUNRISE. VFR CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED AREA WIDE THROUGH THE REST OF THE DAY AND EVENING. PATCHY
FOG MAY DEVELOP TOWARD SUNDAY MORNING, HOWEVER CONFIDENCE IS TOO
LOW TO PUT INTO TAFS AT THIS TIME. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT THROUGH THE
PERIOD.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 307 AM CDT SAT OCT 25 2014/

DISCUSSION...
WHAT A BEAUTIFUL FRIDAY WE HAD WITH THE FISHING BEING ABSOLUTELY
A YAWNER OVER BIG LAKE. GUESS THAT MEANS I DON`T KNOW WHERE THE
FISH ARE. IF ANYBODY KNOWS...PLEASE FEEL FREE TO TELL ME WHERE
THE FISH ARE. I PROMISED MY WIFE FISH AND CAME HOME EMPTY HANDY.
SHE WAS NOT THRILLED TO EAT LEFT OVERS SINCE I HAD TO GO TO BED FOR
THE GRAVEYARD SHIFT. HOWEVER...FRIDAY AFTERNOON WAS BEAUTIFUL. :)

EARLY THIS SATURDAY MORNING TEMPERATURES CONTINUED TO FALL INTO
THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S UNDER CLEAR SKIES AND CALM WINDS. HIGH
PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TO REMAIN ANCHORED
OVER THE REGION THROUGH SUNDAY. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED ACROSS THE LAND AREAS TODAY WITH WINDS SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTH ON SUNDAY AS PRESSURE FALLS DEVELOP ACROSS THE CENTRAL
PLAINS INTO THE COLORADO ROCKIES AS THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM MOVES
INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS ON MONDAY.

SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL BRING IN AN ABUNDANCE OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ON
TUESDAY RESULTING IN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. THE NEXT COLD
FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTH ON WEDNESDAY AND MOVE INTO INTERIOR
SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND CENTRAL LOUISIANA BY EARLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
THE FRONT SHOULD CONTINUE TO MIGRATE SOUTHWARD AND EXIT THE
COASTAL WATERS BY THURSDAY MORNING. WILL GENERALLY KEEP LOW POPS
IN THE FORECAST ALL THE WAY INTO THURSDAY WITH SCATTERED RAIN
EXITING THE COASTAL WATERS BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THIS WILL NOT BE A
VERY STRONG SYSTEM FOR OUR AREA SO WE ARE JUST LOOKING FOR SOME
SCATTERED RAIN NEXT WEEK.

IN THE MEANTIME...AFTER A COOL START TO SATURDAY MORNING...WE
SHOULD BEGIN A SLOW WARM UP TODAY AND THAT WILL CONTINUE INTO
TUESDAY. ENJOY YOUR WEEKEND!

MARINE...
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD IN OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS WITH A LIGHT NORTHERLY WIND CONTINUING UNTIL LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AS THE SURFACE HIGH BEGINS TO SHIFT EAST INTO SUNDAY.
SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL RETURN ON SUNDAY WITH WINDS SLOWLY INCREASING
THROUGH TUESDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE COASTAL WATERS LATE
WEDNESDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  84  58  85  62  85 /   0   0   0   0  10
KBPT  84  58  86  64  84 /   0   0   0   0  10
KAEX  85  56  86  58  86 /   0   0   0   0  10
KLFT  83  57  87  61  85 /   0   0   0   0  10

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KLCH 251659
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1159 AM CDT SAT OCT 25 2014

.AVIATION UPDATE...REGARDING 18Z TAF ISSUANCE. SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE OVER THE AREA WILL RESULT IN LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. A
DRY NORTHERLY FLOW IN THE MID AND UPPER LEVELS WILL MAINTAIN CLEAR
SKIES. IDEAL CONDITIONS. VFR CONTINUING.

&&

MARCOTTE

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 946 AM CDT SAT OCT 25 2014/

UPDATE...
LOOKS LIKE ANOTHER PLEASANT FALL WEATHER DAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE
PREVAILING AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT. NO CHANGES TO THE FORECAST AT
THIS TIME.

RUA

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 552 AM CDT SAT OCT 25 2014/

AVIATION...FG IS AFFECT KAEX AT THIS TIME, HOWEVER THE THIN FOG
WILL CLEAR AN HOUR OR TWO AFTER SUNRISE. VFR CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED AREA WIDE THROUGH THE REST OF THE DAY AND EVENING. PATCHY
FOG MAY DEVELOP TOWARD SUNDAY MORNING, HOWEVER CONFIDENCE IS TOO
LOW TO PUT INTO TAFS AT THIS TIME. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT THROUGH THE
PERIOD.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 307 AM CDT SAT OCT 25 2014/

DISCUSSION...
WHAT A BEAUTIFUL FRIDAY WE HAD WITH THE FISHING BEING ABSOLUTELY
A YAWNER OVER BIG LAKE. GUESS THAT MEANS I DON`T KNOW WHERE THE
FISH ARE. IF ANYBODY KNOWS...PLEASE FEEL FREE TO TELL ME WHERE
THE FISH ARE. I PROMISED MY WIFE FISH AND CAME HOME EMPTY HANDY.
SHE WAS NOT THRILLED TO EAT LEFT OVERS SINCE I HAD TO GO TO BED FOR
THE GRAVEYARD SHIFT. HOWEVER...FRIDAY AFTERNOON WAS BEAUTIFUL. :)

EARLY THIS SATURDAY MORNING TEMPERATURES CONTINUED TO FALL INTO
THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S UNDER CLEAR SKIES AND CALM WINDS. HIGH
PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TO REMAIN ANCHORED
OVER THE REGION THROUGH SUNDAY. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED ACROSS THE LAND AREAS TODAY WITH WINDS SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTH ON SUNDAY AS PRESSURE FALLS DEVELOP ACROSS THE CENTRAL
PLAINS INTO THE COLORADO ROCKIES AS THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM MOVES
INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS ON MONDAY.

SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL BRING IN AN ABUNDANCE OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ON
TUESDAY RESULTING IN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. THE NEXT COLD
FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTH ON WEDNESDAY AND MOVE INTO INTERIOR
SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND CENTRAL LOUISIANA BY EARLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
THE FRONT SHOULD CONTINUE TO MIGRATE SOUTHWARD AND EXIT THE
COASTAL WATERS BY THURSDAY MORNING. WILL GENERALLY KEEP LOW POPS
IN THE FORECAST ALL THE WAY INTO THURSDAY WITH SCATTERED RAIN
EXITING THE COASTAL WATERS BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THIS WILL NOT BE A
VERY STRONG SYSTEM FOR OUR AREA SO WE ARE JUST LOOKING FOR SOME
SCATTERED RAIN NEXT WEEK.

IN THE MEANTIME...AFTER A COOL START TO SATURDAY MORNING...WE
SHOULD BEGIN A SLOW WARM UP TODAY AND THAT WILL CONTINUE INTO
TUESDAY. ENJOY YOUR WEEKEND!

MARINE...
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD IN OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS WITH A LIGHT NORTHERLY WIND CONTINUING UNTIL LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AS THE SURFACE HIGH BEGINS TO SHIFT EAST INTO SUNDAY.
SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL RETURN ON SUNDAY WITH WINDS SLOWLY INCREASING
THROUGH TUESDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE COASTAL WATERS LATE
WEDNESDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  84  58  85  62  85 /   0   0   0   0  10
KBPT  84  58  86  64  84 /   0   0   0   0  10
KAEX  85  56  86  58  86 /   0   0   0   0  10
KLFT  83  57  87  61  85 /   0   0   0   0  10

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KLCH 251446
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
946 AM CDT SAT OCT 25 2014

.UPDATE...
LOOKS LIKE ANOTHER PLEASANT FALL WEATHER DAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE
PREVAILING AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT. NO CHANGES TO THE FORECAST AT
THIS TIME.

RUA

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 552 AM CDT SAT OCT 25 2014/

AVIATION...FG IS AFFECT KAEX AT THIS TIME, HOWEVER THE THIN FOG
WILL CLEAR AN HOUR OR TWO AFTER SUNRISE. VFR CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED AREA WIDE THROUGH THE REST OF THE DAY AND EVENING. PATCHY
FOG MAY DEVELOP TOWARD SUNDAY MORNING, HOWEVER CONFIDENCE IS TOO
LOW TO PUT INTO TAFS AT THIS TIME. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT THROUGH THE
PERIOD.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 307 AM CDT SAT OCT 25 2014/

DISCUSSION...
WHAT A BEAUTIFUL FRIDAY WE HAD WITH THE FISHING BEING ABSOLUTELY
A YAWNER OVER BIG LAKE. GUESS THAT MEANS I DON`T KNOW WHERE THE
FISH ARE. IF ANYBODY KNOWS...PLEASE FEEL FREE TO TELL ME WHERE
THE FISH ARE. I PROMISED MY WIFE FISH AND CAME HOME EMPTY HANDY.
SHE WAS NOT THRILLED TO EAT LEFT OVERS SINCE I HAD TO GO TO BED FOR
THE GRAVEYARD SHIFT. HOWEVER...FRIDAY AFTERNOON WAS BEAUTIFUL. :)

EARLY THIS SATURDAY MORNING TEMPERATURES CONTINUED TO FALL INTO
THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S UNDER CLEAR SKIES AND CALM WINDS. HIGH
PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TO REMAIN ANCHORED
OVER THE REGION THROUGH SUNDAY. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED ACROSS THE LAND AREAS TODAY WITH WINDS SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTH ON SUNDAY AS PRESSURE FALLS DEVELOP ACROSS THE CENTRAL
PLAINS INTO THE COLORADO ROCKIES AS THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM MOVES
INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS ON MONDAY.

SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL BRING IN AN ABUNDANCE OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ON
TUESDAY RESULTING IN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. THE NEXT COLD
FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTH ON WEDNESDAY AND MOVE INTO INTERIOR
SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND CENTRAL LOUISIANA BY EARLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
THE FRONT SHOULD CONTINUE TO MIGRATE SOUTHWARD AND EXIT THE
COASTAL WATERS BY THURSDAY MORNING. WILL GENERALLY KEEP LOW POPS
IN THE FORECAST ALL THE WAY INTO THURSDAY WITH SCATTERED RAIN
EXITING THE COASTAL WATERS BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THIS WILL NOT BE A
VERY STRONG SYSTEM FOR OUR AREA SO WE ARE JUST LOOKING FOR SOME
SCATTERED RAIN NEXT WEEK.

IN THE MEANTIME...AFTER A COOL START TO SATURDAY MORNING...WE
SHOULD BEGIN A SLOW WARM UP TODAY AND THAT WILL CONTINUE INTO
TUESDAY. ENJOY YOUR WEEKEND!

MARINE...
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD IN OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS WITH A LIGHT NORTHERLY WIND CONTINUING UNTIL LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AS THE SURFACE HIGH BEGINS TO SHIFT EAST INTO SUNDAY.
SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL RETURN ON SUNDAY WITH WINDS SLOWLY INCREASING
THROUGH TUESDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE COASTAL WATERS LATE
WEDNESDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  84  58  85  62  85 /   0   0   0   0  10
KBPT  84  58  86  64  84 /   0   0   0   0  10
KAEX  85  56  86  58  86 /   0   0   0   0  10
KLFT  83  57  87  61  85 /   0   0   0   0  10

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KLCH 251052
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
552 AM CDT SAT OCT 25 2014


.AVIATION...FG IS AFFECT KAEX AT THIS TIME, HOWEVER THE THIN FOG
WILL CLEAR AN HOUR OR TWO AFTER SUNRISE. VFR CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED AREA WIDE THROUGH THE REST OF THE DAY AND EVENING. PATCHY
FOG MAY DEVELOP TOWARD SUNDAY MORNING, HOWEVER CONFIDENCE IS TOO
LOW TO PUT INTO TAFS AT THIS TIME. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT THROUGH THE
PERIOD.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 307 AM CDT SAT OCT 25 2014/

DISCUSSION...
WHAT A BEAUTIFUL FRIDAY WE HAD WITH THE FISHING BEING ABSOLUTELY
A YAWNER OVER BIG LAKE. GUESS THAT MEANS I DON`T KNOW WHERE THE
FISH ARE. IF ANYBODY KNOWS...PLEASE FEEL FREE TO TELL ME WHERE
THE FISH ARE. I PROMISED MY WIFE FISH AND CAME HOME EMPTY HANDY.
SHE WAS NOT THRILLED TO EAT LEFT OVERS SINCE I HAD TO GO TO BED FOR
THE GRAVEYARD SHIFT. HOWEVER...FRIDAY AFTERNOON WAS BEAUTIFUL. :)

EARLY THIS SATURDAY MORNING TEMPERATURES CONTINUED TO FALL INTO
THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S UNDER CLEAR SKIES AND CALM WINDS. HIGH
PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TO REMAIN ANCHORED
OVER THE REGION THROUGH SUNDAY. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED ACROSS THE LAND AREAS TODAY WITH WINDS SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTH ON SUNDAY AS PRESSURE FALLS DEVELOP ACROSS THE CENTRAL
PLAINS INTO THE COLORADO ROCKIES AS THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM MOVES
INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS ON MONDAY.

SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL BRING IN AN ABUNDANCE OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ON
TUESDAY RESULTING IN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. THE NEXT COLD
FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTH ON WEDNESDAY AND MOVE INTO INTERIOR
SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND CENTRAL LOUISIANA BY EARLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
THE FRONT SHOULD CONTINUE TO MIGRATE SOUTHWARD AND EXIT THE
COASTAL WATERS BY THURSDAY MORNING. WILL GENERALLY KEEP LOW POPS
IN THE FORECAST ALL THE WAY INTO THURSDAY WITH SCATTERED RAIN
EXITING THE COASTAL WATERS BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THIS WILL NOT BE A
VERY STRONG SYSTEM FOR OUR AREA SO WE ARE JUST LOOKING FOR SOME
SCATTERED RAIN NEXT WEEK.

IN THE MEANTIME...AFTER A COOL START TO SATURDAY MORNING...WE
SHOULD BEGIN A SLOW WARM UP TODAY AND THAT WILL CONTINUE INTO
TUESDAY. ENJOY YOUR WEEKEND!

MARINE...
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD IN OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS WITH A LIGHT NORTHERLY WIND CONTINUING UNTIL LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AS THE SURFACE HIGH BEGINS TO SHIFT EAST INTO SUNDAY.
SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL RETURN ON SUNDAY WITH WINDS SLOWLY INCREASING
THROUGH TUESDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE COASTAL WATERS LATE
WEDNESDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  84  58  85  62  85 /   0   0   0   0  10
KBPT  84  58  86  64  84 /   0   0   0   0  10
KAEX  85  56  86  58  86 /   0   0   0   0  10
KLFT  83  57  87  61  85 /   0   0   0   0  10

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES

&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KLCH 251052
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
552 AM CDT SAT OCT 25 2014


.AVIATION...FG IS AFFECT KAEX AT THIS TIME, HOWEVER THE THIN FOG
WILL CLEAR AN HOUR OR TWO AFTER SUNRISE. VFR CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED AREA WIDE THROUGH THE REST OF THE DAY AND EVENING. PATCHY
FOG MAY DEVELOP TOWARD SUNDAY MORNING, HOWEVER CONFIDENCE IS TOO
LOW TO PUT INTO TAFS AT THIS TIME. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT THROUGH THE
PERIOD.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 307 AM CDT SAT OCT 25 2014/

DISCUSSION...
WHAT A BEAUTIFUL FRIDAY WE HAD WITH THE FISHING BEING ABSOLUTELY
A YAWNER OVER BIG LAKE. GUESS THAT MEANS I DON`T KNOW WHERE THE
FISH ARE. IF ANYBODY KNOWS...PLEASE FEEL FREE TO TELL ME WHERE
THE FISH ARE. I PROMISED MY WIFE FISH AND CAME HOME EMPTY HANDY.
SHE WAS NOT THRILLED TO EAT LEFT OVERS SINCE I HAD TO GO TO BED FOR
THE GRAVEYARD SHIFT. HOWEVER...FRIDAY AFTERNOON WAS BEAUTIFUL. :)

EARLY THIS SATURDAY MORNING TEMPERATURES CONTINUED TO FALL INTO
THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S UNDER CLEAR SKIES AND CALM WINDS. HIGH
PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TO REMAIN ANCHORED
OVER THE REGION THROUGH SUNDAY. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED ACROSS THE LAND AREAS TODAY WITH WINDS SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTH ON SUNDAY AS PRESSURE FALLS DEVELOP ACROSS THE CENTRAL
PLAINS INTO THE COLORADO ROCKIES AS THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM MOVES
INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS ON MONDAY.

SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL BRING IN AN ABUNDANCE OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ON
TUESDAY RESULTING IN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. THE NEXT COLD
FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTH ON WEDNESDAY AND MOVE INTO INTERIOR
SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND CENTRAL LOUISIANA BY EARLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
THE FRONT SHOULD CONTINUE TO MIGRATE SOUTHWARD AND EXIT THE
COASTAL WATERS BY THURSDAY MORNING. WILL GENERALLY KEEP LOW POPS
IN THE FORECAST ALL THE WAY INTO THURSDAY WITH SCATTERED RAIN
EXITING THE COASTAL WATERS BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THIS WILL NOT BE A
VERY STRONG SYSTEM FOR OUR AREA SO WE ARE JUST LOOKING FOR SOME
SCATTERED RAIN NEXT WEEK.

IN THE MEANTIME...AFTER A COOL START TO SATURDAY MORNING...WE
SHOULD BEGIN A SLOW WARM UP TODAY AND THAT WILL CONTINUE INTO
TUESDAY. ENJOY YOUR WEEKEND!

MARINE...
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD IN OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS WITH A LIGHT NORTHERLY WIND CONTINUING UNTIL LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AS THE SURFACE HIGH BEGINS TO SHIFT EAST INTO SUNDAY.
SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL RETURN ON SUNDAY WITH WINDS SLOWLY INCREASING
THROUGH TUESDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE COASTAL WATERS LATE
WEDNESDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  84  58  85  62  85 /   0   0   0   0  10
KBPT  84  58  86  64  84 /   0   0   0   0  10
KAEX  85  56  86  58  86 /   0   0   0   0  10
KLFT  83  57  87  61  85 /   0   0   0   0  10

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES

&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KLCH 250807
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
307 AM CDT SAT OCT 25 2014

.DISCUSSION...
WHAT A BEAUTIFUL FRIDAY WE HAD WITH THE FISHING BEING ABSOLUTELY
A YAWNER OVER BIG LAKE. GUESS THAT MEANS I DON`T KNOW WHERE THE
FISH ARE. IF ANYBODY KNOWS...PLEASE FEEL FREE TO TELL ME WHERE
THE FISH ARE. I PROMISED MY WIFE FISH AND CAME HOME EMPTY HANDY.
SHE WAS NOT THRILLED TO EAT LEFT OVERS SINCE I HAD TO GO TO BED FOR
THE GRAVEYARD SHIFT. HOWEVER...FRIDAY AFTERNOON WAS BEAUTIFUL. :)

EARLY THIS SATURDAY MORNING TEMPERATURES CONTINUED TO FALL INTO
THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S UNDER CLEAR SKIES AND CALM WINDS. HIGH
PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TO REMAIN ANCHORED
OVER THE REGION THROUGH SUNDAY. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS ARE
EPXECTED ACROSS THE LAND AREAS TODAY WITH WINDS SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTH ON SUNDAY AS PRESSURE FALLS DEVELOP ACROSS THE CENTRAL
PLAINS INTO THE COLORADO ROCKIES AS THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM MOVES
INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS ON MONDAY.

SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL BRING IN AN ABUNDANCE OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ON
TUESDAY RESULTING IN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. THE NEXT COLD
FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTH ON WEDNESDAY AND MOVE INTO INTERIOR
SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND CENTRAL LOUISIANA BY EARLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
THE FRONT SHOULD CONTINUE TO MIGRATE SOUTHWARD AND EXIT THE
COASTAL WATERS BY THURSDAY MORNING. WILL GENERALLY KEEP LOW POPS
IN THE FORECAST ALL THE WAY INTO THURSDAY WITH SCATTERED RAIN
EXITING THE COASTAL WATERS BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THIS WILL NOT BE A
VERY STRONG SYSTEM FOR OUR AREA SO WE ARE JUST LOOKING FOR SOME
SCATTERED RAIN NEXT WEEK.

IN THE MEANTIME...AFTER A COOL START TO SATURDAY MORNING...WE
SHOULD BEGIN A SLOW WARM UP TODAY AND THAT WILL CONTINUE INTO
TUESDAY. ENJOY YOUR WEEKEND!

&&

.MARINE...
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD IN OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS WITH A LIGHT NORTHERLY WIND CONTINUING UNTIL LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AS THE SURFACE HIGH BEGINS TO SHIFT EAST INTO SUNDAY.
SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL RETURN ON SUNDAY WITH WINDS SLOWLY INCREASING
THROUGH TUESDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE COASTAL WATERS LATE
WEDNESDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  84  58  85  62 /   0   0   0   0
KBPT  84  58  86  64 /   0   0   0   0
KAEX  85  56  86  58 /   0   0   0   0
KLFT  83  57  87  61 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC/MARINE...06







000
FXUS64 KLCH 250050
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
750 PM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014

.UPDATE...
OTHER THAN VERY SHORT TERM GRID REFRESH...SEE NO REASON TO UPDATE
THE FORECAST THIS EVENING.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 241 PM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
A PLEASANT FALL WEATHER DAY ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA WITH HIGH
PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT PREVAILING AND BRINGING NORTHERLY
FLOW AND A DRY CONTINENTAL AIR MASS. MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES...LOW
HUMIDITY AND AIR TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S ARE THE RESULT.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE WEEKEND...SO
NOT MUCH IN THE WAY OF CHANGES TO THE FORECAST EXCEPT A SLIGHT
MODERATION AND UPWARD TREND IN TEMPERATURES.

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE OFF TO THE EAST BY MONDAY AND
BECOME ESTABLISHED OVER THE SOUTHEAST U.S. FLOW OFF THE GULF WILL
RETURN AS A RESULT AND THIS WILL HELP INCREASE TEMPERATURES AND
HUMIDITY VALUES.

A SHORT WAVE WILL MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS THE PLAINS AND ACROSS THE
NORTHERN U.S. ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL PUSH A SURFACE
COLD FRONT DOWN TOWARD THE FORECAST AREA...ALTHOUGH IT LOOKS TO
STALL NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA AS HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE
SOUTHEAST U.S. HOLDS. ENOUGH MOISTURE RETURN AND SOME LIFT
PROVIDED BY THE NEARING OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL ALLOW FOR A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS ON TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.

A SECONDARY SHORT WAVE WILL MOVE DOWN AND PUSH THE COLD FRONT
ACROSS AND THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA ON LATE THURSDAY...WITH A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. ANOTHER CHILLY AIR
MASS IS THEN EXPECTED TO MOVE DOWN BEHIND THIS FRONT FOR NEXT WEEKEND.

RUA

MARINE...
HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE WILL CONTINUE TO RIDGE DOWN FROM THE
NORTH INTO THE COASTAL WATERS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. MAINLY LIGHT
NORTHERLY WINDS AND LOW SEAS WILL BE THE RESULT. THE HIGH PRESSURE
SYSTEM WILL MOVE OFF TO THE EAST AND OVER THE SOUTHEAST U.S. EARLY
NEXT WEEK. LIGHT TO MODERATE SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP WITH
SLIGHTLY BUILDING SEAS ON MONDAY INTO TUESDAY.

RUA

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  52  83  58  85  62 /   0   0   0   0   0
KBPT  55  84  58  86  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
KAEX  49  83  56  86  59 /   0   0   0   0   0
KLFT  51  83  57  87  61 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES

&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KLCH 241941
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
241 PM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...
A PLEASANT FALL WEATHER DAY ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA WITH HIGH
PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT PREVAILING AND BRINGING NORTHERLY
FLOW AND A DRY CONTINENTAL AIR MASS. MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES...LOW
HUMIDITY AND AIR TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S ARE THE RESULT.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE WEEKEND...SO
NOT MUCH IN THE WAY OF CHANGES TO THE FORECAST EXCEPT A SLIGHT
MODERATION AND UPWARD TREND IN TEMPERATURES.

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE OFF TO THE EAST BY MONDAY AND
BECOME ESTABLISHED OVER THE SOUTHEAST U.S. FLOW OFF THE GULF WILL
RETURN AS A RESULT AND THIS WILL HELP INCREASE TEMPERATURES AND
HUMIDITY VALUES.

A SHORT WAVE WILL MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS THE PLAINS AND ACROSS THE
NORTHERN U.S. ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL PUSH A SURFACE
COLD FRONT DOWN TOWARD THE FORECAST AREA...ALTHOUGH IT LOOKS TO
STALL NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA AS HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE
SOUTHEAST U.S. HOLDS. ENOUGH MOISTURE RETURN AND SOME LIFT
PROVIDED BY THE NEARING OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL ALLOW FOR A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS ON TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.

A SECONDARY SHORT WAVE WILL MOVE DOWN AND PUSH THE COLD FRONT
ACROSS AND THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA ON LATE THURSDAY...WITH A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. ANOTHER CHILLY AIR
MASS IS THEN EXPECTED TO MOVE DOWN BEHIND THIS FRONT FOR NEXT WEEKEND.

RUA

&&

.MARINE...
HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE WILL CONTINUE TO RIDGE DOWN FROM THE
NORTH INTO THE COASTAL WATERS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. MAINLY LIGHT
NORTHERLY WINDS AND LOW SEAS WILL BE THE RESULT. THE HIGH PRESSURE
SYSTEM WILL MOVE OFF TO THE EAST AND OVER THE SOUTHEAST U.S. EARLY
NEXT WEEK. LIGHT TO MODERATE SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP WITH
SLIGHTLY BUILDING SEAS ON MONDAY INTO TUESDAY.

RUA

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  52  83  58  85  62 /   0   0   0   0   0
KBPT  55  84  58  86  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
KAEX  49  83  56  86  59 /   0   0   0   0   0
KLFT  51  83  57  87  61 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KLCH 241714
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1214 PM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014

.AVIATION UPDATE...REGARDING 18Z TAF ISSUANCE. CLEAR SKIES AND VFR
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH VERY DRY HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION.
WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT NORTHERLY.


&&

MARCOTTE


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1025 AM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014/

UPDATE...
HIGH PRESSURE IN CONTROL TODAY WITH A RELATIVELY DRY AIRMASS. THE
RESULT SHOULD BE MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND MILD TEMPERATURES. CURRENT
FORECAST SEEMS TO BE ON TRACK AND NO CHANGES NEEDED AT THIS TIME.

RUA

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 618 AM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014/

AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS AND LIGHT NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 524 AM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
DRY CONTINENTAL AIRMASS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN PLACE AND ONLY
SLOWLY MODERATE THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH HIGH PRESSURE IN
CONTROL AT THE SFC AND DEEP NORTHERLY FLOW AROUND A BUILDING UPPER
RIDGE TO THE WEST AND A TROF DIGGING TO THE EAST.

A PROGRESSIVE PATTERN IS ADVERTISED BY THE GLOBAL MODELS HEADING
THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK...AND THE MODERATING TREND IS
PROGGED TO ACCELERATE A BIT ONCE SFC HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS EAST OF
THE AREA LATE SAT PERMITTING AN ONSHORE FLOW TO DEVELOP. THE UPPER
RIDGE IS FCST TO TRANSLATE EAST OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...BUT
FLATTEN OUT A BIT BY UPSTREAM ENERGY TRAVERSING THE WRN CONUS. THE
RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO RE-AMPLIFY OVER THE SE CONUS AS THIS WRN TROF
DIGS INTO THE DESERT SW...RESULTING IN A DEEPER SOUTHERLY FETCH
AND INCREASING MSTR QUALITY BY EARLY NEXT WEEK.

THE GFS/ECMWF ARE IN MUCH BETTER AGREEMENT THIS MORNING THAT THE
FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS TROF WILL STALL AND WASH OUT NORTH/WEST
OF THE REGION...THOUGH THE INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER IS STILL
SUFFICIENT TO KNOCK A FEW DEGREES OFF OF FCST HIGHS COMPARED TO
THE WEEKEND...AND MAINTAIN A SMALL POP IN THE TUE-THU TIME PERIOD.
DIFFERENCES IN THE GLOBAL MODELS...APPARENT OVER THE WRN CONUS
WED...BEGIN TO REAR THEIR HEAD HERE ON THU WITH THE ECMWF SHOWING
A ROBUST FROPA THU/THU NIGHT. CONTINUED ALONG THE LINES OF THE
PREV FCST BY BLENDING THIS SOLUTION INTO THE GRIDS...SHOWING A
COOLING/CLEARING TREND FROM THU INTO FRI.

13

MARINE...
OFFSHORE FLOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY AND SATURDAY AS A
LARGE AREA OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS OVER THE EASTERN
HALF OF THE U.S. INTO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. THE HIGH IS
FORECAST TO BEGIN SHIFTING TOWARD THE MID ATLANTIC SATURDAY
NIGHT...WITH SOUTHERLY WINDS RETURNING. A LIGHT TO MODERATE
ONSHORE FLOW WILL PREVAIL INTO THE EARLY TO MIDDLE PART OF NEXT
WEEK.

13

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  77  53  82  58  83 /   0   0   0   0   0
KBPT  79  55  83  59  83 /   0   0   0   0   0
KAEX  76  50  82  56  84 /   0   0   0   0   0
KLFT  77  52  81  57  84 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KLCH 241525
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1025 AM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014

.UPDATE...
HIGH PRESSURE IN CONTROL TODAY WITH A RELATIVELY DRY AIRMASS. THE
RESULT SHOULD BE MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND MILD TEMPERATURES. CURRENT
FORECAST SEEMS TO BE ON TRACK AND NO CHANGES NEEDED AT THIS TIME.

RUA

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 618 AM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014/

AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS AND LIGHT NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 524 AM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
DRY CONTINENTAL AIRMASS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN PLACE AND ONLY
SLOWLY MODERATE THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH HIGH PRESSURE IN
CONTROL AT THE SFC AND DEEP NORTHERLY FLOW AROUND A BUILDING UPPER
RIDGE TO THE WEST AND A TROF DIGGING TO THE EAST.

A PROGRESSIVE PATTERN IS ADVERTISED BY THE GLOBAL MODELS HEADING
THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK...AND THE MODERATING TREND IS
PROGGED TO ACCELERATE A BIT ONCE SFC HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS EAST OF
THE AREA LATE SAT PERMITTING AN ONSHORE FLOW TO DEVELOP. THE UPPER
RIDGE IS FCST TO TRANSLATE EAST OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...BUT
FLATTEN OUT A BIT BY UPSTREAM ENERGY TRAVERSING THE WRN CONUS. THE
RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO RE-AMPLIFY OVER THE SE CONUS AS THIS WRN TROF
DIGS INTO THE DESERT SW...RESULTING IN A DEEPER SOUTHERLY FETCH
AND INCREASING MSTR QUALITY BY EARLY NEXT WEEK.

THE GFS/ECMWF ARE IN MUCH BETTER AGREEMENT THIS MORNING THAT THE
FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS TROF WILL STALL AND WASH OUT NORTH/WEST
OF THE REGION...THOUGH THE INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER IS STILL
SUFFICIENT TO KNOCK A FEW DEGREES OFF OF FCST HIGHS COMPARED TO
THE WEEKEND...AND MAINTAIN A SMALL POP IN THE TUE-THU TIME PERIOD.
DIFFERENCES IN THE GLOBAL MODELS...APPARENT OVER THE WRN CONUS
WED...BEGIN TO REAR THEIR HEAD HERE ON THU WITH THE ECMWF SHOWING
A ROBUST FROPA THU/THU NIGHT. CONTINUED ALONG THE LINES OF THE
PREV FCST BY BLENDING THIS SOLUTION INTO THE GRIDS...SHOWING A
COOLING/CLEARING TREND FROM THU INTO FRI.

13

MARINE...
OFFSHORE FLOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY AND SATURDAY AS A
LARGE AREA OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS OVER THE EASTERN
HALF OF THE U.S. INTO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. THE HIGH IS
FORECAST TO BEGIN SHIFTING TOWARD THE MID ATLANTIC SATURDAY
NIGHT...WITH SOUTHERLY WINDS RETURNING. A LIGHT TO MODERATE
ONSHORE FLOW WILL PREVAIL INTO THE EARLY TO MIDDLE PART OF NEXT
WEEK.

13

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  77  53  82  58  83 /   0   0   0   0   0
KBPT  79  55  83  59  83 /   0   0   0   0   0
KAEX  76  50  82  56  84 /   0   0   0   0   0
KLFT  77  52  81  57  84 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KLCH 241118
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
618 AM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014


.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS AND LIGHT NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 524 AM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
DRY CONTINENTAL AIRMASS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN PLACE AND ONLY
SLOWLY MODERATE THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH HIGH PRESSURE IN
CONTROL AT THE SFC AND DEEP NORTHERLY FLOW AROUND A BUILDING UPPER
RIDGE TO THE WEST AND A TROF DIGGING TO THE EAST.

A PROGRESSIVE PATTERN IS ADVERTISED BY THE GLOBAL MODELS HEADING
THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK...AND THE MODERATING TREND IS
PROGGED TO ACCELERATE A BIT ONCE SFC HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS EAST OF
THE AREA LATE SAT PERMITTING AN ONSHORE FLOW TO DEVELOP. THE UPPER
RIDGE IS FCST TO TRANSLATE EAST OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...BUT
FLATTEN OUT A BIT BY UPSTREAM ENERGY TRAVERSING THE WRN CONUS. THE
RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO RE-AMPLIFY OVER THE SE CONUS AS THIS WRN TROF
DIGS INTO THE DESERT SW...RESULTING IN A DEEPER SOUTHERLY FETCH
AND INCREASING MSTR QUALITY BY EARLY NEXT WEEK.

THE GFS/ECMWF ARE IN MUCH BETTER AGREEMENT THIS MORNING THAT THE
FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS TROF WILL STALL AND WASH OUT NORTH/WEST
OF THE REGION...THOUGH THE INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER IS STILL
SUFFICIENT TO KNOCK A FEW DEGREES OFF OF FCST HIGHS COMPARED TO
THE WEEKEND...AND MAINTAIN A SMALL POP IN THE TUE-THU TIME PERIOD.
DIFFERENCES IN THE GLOBAL MODELS...APPARENT OVER THE WRN CONUS
WED...BEGIN TO REAR THEIR HEAD HERE ON THU WITH THE ECMWF SHOWING
A ROBUST FROPA THU/THU NIGHT. CONTINUED ALONG THE LINES OF THE
PREV FCST BY BLENDING THIS SOLUTION INTO THE GRIDS...SHOWING A
COOLING/CLEARING TREND FROM THU INTO FRI.

13

MARINE...
OFFSHORE FLOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY AND SATURDAY AS A
LARGE AREA OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS OVER THE EASTERN
HALF OF THE U.S. INTO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. THE HIGH IS
FORECAST TO BEGIN SHIFTING TOWARD THE MID ATLANTIC SATURDAY
NIGHT...WITH SOUTHERLY WINDS RETURNING. A LIGHT TO MODERATE
ONSHORE FLOW WILL PREVAIL INTO THE EARLY TO MIDDLE PART OF NEXT
WEEK.

13

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  77  53  82  58  83 /   0   0   0   0   0
KBPT  79  55  83  59  83 /   0   0   0   0   0
KAEX  76  50  82  56  84 /   0   0   0   0   0
KLFT  77  52  81  57  84 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES

&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KLCH 241024
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
524 AM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...
DRY CONTINENTAL AIRMASS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN PLACE AND ONLY
SLOWLY MODERATE THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH HIGH PRESSURE IN
CONTROL AT THE SFC AND DEEP NORTHERLY FLOW AROUND A BUILDING UPPER
RIDGE TO THE WEST AND A TROF DIGGING TO THE EAST.

A PROGRESSIVE PATTERN IS ADVERTISED BY THE GLOBAL MODELS HEADING
THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK...AND THE MODERATING TREND IS
PROGGED TO ACCELERATE A BIT ONCE SFC HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS EAST OF
THE AREA LATE SAT PERMITTING AN ONSHORE FLOW TO DEVELOP. THE UPPER
RIDGE IS FCST TO TRANSLATE EAST OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...BUT
FLATTEN OUT A BIT BY UPSTREAM ENERGY TRAVERSING THE WRN CONUS. THE
RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO RE-AMPLIFY OVER THE SE CONUS AS THIS WRN TROF
DIGS INTO THE DESERT SW...RESULTING IN A DEEPER SOUTHERLY FETCH
AND INCREASING MSTR QUALITY BY EARLY NEXT WEEK.

THE GFS/ECMWF ARE IN MUCH BETTER AGREEMENT THIS MORNING THAT THE
FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS TROF WILL STALL AND WASH OUT NORTH/WEST
OF THE REGION...THOUGH THE INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER IS STILL
SUFFICIENT TO KNOCK A FEW DEGREES OFF OF FCST HIGHS COMPARED TO
THE WEEKEND...AND MAINTAIN A SMALL POP IN THE TUE-THU TIME PERIOD.
DIFFERENCES IN THE GLOBAL MODELS...APPARENT OVER THE WRN CONUS
WED...BEGIN TO REAR THEIR HEAD HERE ON THU WITH THE ECMWF SHOWING
A ROBUST FROPA THU/THU NIGHT. CONTINUED ALONG THE LINES OF THE
PREV FCST BY BLENDING THIS SOLUTION INTO THE GRIDS...SHOWING A
COOLING/CLEARING TREND FROM THU INTO FRI.

13

&&

.MARINE...
OFFSHORE FLOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY AND SATURDAY AS A
LARGE AREA OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS OVER THE EASTERN
HALF OF THE U.S. INTO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. THE HIGH IS
FORECAST TO BEGIN SHIFTING TOWARD THE MID ATLANTIC SATURDAY
NIGHT...WITH SOUTHERLY WINDS RETURNING. A LIGHT TO MODERATE
ONSHORE FLOW WILL PREVAIL INTO THE EARLY TO MIDDLE PART OF NEXT
WEEK.

13

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  77  53  82  58 /   0   0   0   0
KBPT  79  55  83  59 /   0   0   0   0
KAEX  76  50  82  56 /   0   0   0   0
KLFT  77  52  81  57 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

13








000
FXUS64 KLCH 240153
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
853 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

.UPDATE...UPPER TROF MOVED THROUGH LATE TODAY, CLEARING OUR SKIES
AND PRODUCING DECENT THICKNESS FALLS TNITE ESPECIALLY AROUND THE
NORTHERN AND EASTERN ZONES WHERE I TWEAKED TEMPS LOWER. WAS ABLE
TO INDIRECTLY VIEW THE PARTIAL SOLAR ECLIPSE AND AGAIN NOTED A
PROMINENT SUNSPOT STILL EVIDENT FROM YESTERDAY. HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDING OVER WEST TEXAS SHOULD HELP MAINTAIN A DRY NORTHWESTERLY
UPPER FLOW.

SWEENEY

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 639 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2014/

AVIATION...

BKN250....LGHT WNDS... P6SM... VFR THRU SUNRISE

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 226 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...
SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING OVER THE EASTERN U.S. SW
INTO THE GULF COAST. WATER VAPOR SAT IMAGERY SHOWS UPPER TROF OVER
E TX...CONTINUING MID/HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS OVER E TX/LA THIS
AFTERNOON. THIS SHOULD CONTINUE EAST THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...WITH GRADUAL CLEARING EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. MAY HAVE
ENOUGH BREAKS TO VIEW THE PARTIAL SOLAR ECLIPSE LATE THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH OF COURSE THE PROPER VIEWING EQUIPMENT...AND NOT
DIRECTLY WITH THE UNPROTECTED EYE. SAFEST WAY TO VIEW IT IS
FOCUSING THE IMAGE OF THE SUN ONTO A WHITE CARDBOARD WITH EITHER
BINOCULARS...TELESCOPE...OR PINHOLE THROUGH CARD STOCK. IT SHOULD
START AROUND 5 PM...WITH MID ECLIPSE CLOSE TO 6 PM WITH ABOUT 23%
COVERAGE.

THE SFC HIGH WILL SLOWLY SETTLE OVER THE N GULF STATES
THU AFTERNOON THRU EARLY SAT...WITH DIMINISHING WINDS INLAND
EXPECTED. WITH DIMINISHED WINDS AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES...EXPECT
LOWS ONCE AGAIN IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S.

EXPECT SLOW MODERATION OF THE HIGH LEADING TO GRADUALLY WARMING
TEMPS FOR SAT...BECOMING MORE NOTICEABLY BY SUN INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK AS THE HIGH MOVES EAST AND S TO SE FLOW RETURNS TO THE AREA.
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF PRECIP RETURNS BY TUE AFTERNOON AS ANOTHER
UPPER LEVEL TROF AND FRONT APPROACHES THE AREA BUT EXPECTED TO
STALL NORTH OF THE REGION. THE CHACE OF PRECIP WILL CONTINUE THRU
THU UNTIL THE NEXT SIGNIFICANT COLD FRONT MOVES THRU THE REGION
THAT AFTERNOON. THIS FRONT LIKELY TO BRING A MUCH STRONGER AND COLDER
AIR MASS TO THE REGION FOR LATE NEXT WEEK.

DML

MARINE...
NE WINDS OF 5-10 KTS ACROSS THE 0-20 KTS WITH 10-15 KTS ACROSS
THE 20-60NM ZONES WILL CONTINUE THRU FRI...DIMINISHING AS HIGH
PRESSURE SETTLES OVER THE REGION. THE HIGH IS FORECAST TO SHIFT
EAST BY SUN...WITH S-SE WINDS RETURNING THRU MID NEXT WEEK.
HYDROLOGY...

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  52  81  55  82  59 /   0   0   0   0   0
KBPT  53  82  57  82  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
KAEX  47  80  52  82  56 /   0   0   0   0   0
KLFT  47  80  53  81  58 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES

&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KLCH 232339
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
639 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

.AVIATION...

BKN250....LGHT WNDS... P6SM... VFR THRU SUNRISE

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 226 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...
SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING OVER THE EASTERN U.S. SW
INTO THE GULF COAST. WATER VAPOR SAT IMAGERY SHOWS UPPER TROF OVER
E TX...CONTINUING MID/HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS OVER E TX/LA THIS
AFTERNOON. THIS SHOULD CONTINUE EAST THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...WITH GRADUAL CLEARING EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. MAY HAVE
ENOUGH BREAKS TO VIEW THE PARTIAL SOLAR ECLIPSE LATE THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH OF COURSE THE PROPER VIEWING EQUIPMENT...AND NOT
DIRECTLY WITH THE UNPROTECTED EYE. SAFEST WAY TO VIEW IT IS
FOCUSING THE IMAGE OF THE SUN ONTO A WHITE CARDBOARD WITH EITHER
BINOCULARS...TELESCOPE...OR PINHOLE THROUGH CARD STOCK. IT SHOULD
START AROUND 5 PM...WITH MID ECLIPSE CLOSE TO 6 PM WITH ABOUT 23%
COVERAGE.

THE SFC HIGH WILL SLOWLY SETTLE OVER THE N GULF STATES
THU AFTERNOON THRU EARLY SAT...WITH DIMINISHING WINDS INLAND
EXPECTED. WITH DIMINISHED WINDS AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES...EXPECT
LOWS ONCE AGAIN IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S.

EXPECT SLOW MODERATION OF THE HIGH LEADING TO GRADUALLY WARMING
TEMPS FOR SAT...BECOMING MORE NOTICEABLY BY SUN INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK AS THE HIGH MOVES EAST AND S TO SE FLOW RETURNS TO THE AREA.
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF PRECIP RETURNS BY TUE AFTERNOON AS ANOTHER
UPPER LEVEL TROF AND FRONT APPROACHES THE AREA BUT EXPECTED TO
STALL NORTH OF THE REGION. THE CHACE OF PRECIP WILL CONTINUE THRU
THU UNTIL THE NEXT SIGNIFICANT COLD FRONT MOVES THRU THE REGION
THAT AFTERNOON. THIS FRONT LIKELY TO BRING A MUCH STRONGER AND COLDER
AIR MASS TO THE REGION FOR LATE NEXT WEEK.

DML

MARINE...
NE WINDS OF 5-10 KTS ACROSS THE 0-20 KTS WITH 10-15 KTS ACROSS
THE 20-60NM ZONES WILL CONTINUE THRU FRI...DIMINISHING AS HIGH
PRESSURE SETTLES OVER THE REGION. THE HIGH IS FORECAST TO SHIFT
EAST BY SUN...WITH S-SE WINDS RETURNING THRU MID NEXT WEEK.
HYDROLOGY...

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  52  78  55  82  59 /  10   0   0   0   0
KBPT  54  78  57  82  60 /  10   0   0   0   0
KAEX  48  77  52  82  56 /  10   0   0   0   0
KLFT  50  77  53  81  58 /  10   0   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES

&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KLCH 231926
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
226 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

.DISCUSSION...
SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING OVER THE EASTERN U.S. SW
INTO THE GULF COAST. WATER VAPOR SAT IMAGERY SHOWS UPPER TROF OVER
E TX...CONTINUING MID/HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS OVER E TX/LA THIS
AFTERNOON. THIS SHOULD CONTINUE EAST THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...WITH GRADUAL CLEARING EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. MAY HAVE
ENOUGH BREAKS TO VIEW THE PARTIAL SOLAR ECLIPSE LATE THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH OF COURSE THE PROPER VIEWING EQUIPMENT...AND NOT
DIRECTLY WITH THE UNPROTECTED EYE. SAFEST WAY TO VIEW IT IS
FOCUSING THE IMAGE OF THE SUN ONTO A WHITE CARDBOARD WITH EITHER
BINOCULARS...TELESCOPE...OR PINHOLE THROUGH CARD STOCK. IT SHOULD
START AROUND 5 PM...WITH MID ECLIPSE CLOSE TO 6 PM WITH ABOUT 23%
COVERAGE.

THE SFC HIGH WILL SLOWLY SETTLE OVER THE N GULF STATES
THU AFTERNOON THRU EARLY SAT...WITH DIMINISHING WINDS INLAND
EXPECTED. WITH DIMINISHED WINDS AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES...EXPECT
LOWS ONCE AGAIN IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S.

EXPECT SLOW MODERATION OF THE HIGH LEADING TO GRADUALLY WARMING
TEMPS FOR SAT...BECOMING MORE NOTICEABLY BY SUN INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK AS THE HIGH MOVES EAST AND S TO SE FLOW RETURNS TO THE AREA.
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF PRECIP RETURNS BY TUE AFTERNOON AS ANOTHER
UPPER LEVEL TROF AND FRONT APPROACHES THE AREA BUT EXPECTED TO
STALL NORTH OF THE REGION. THE CHACE OF PRECIP WILL CONTINUE THRU
THU UNTIL THE NEXT SIGNIFICANT COLD FRONT MOVES THRU THE REGION
THAT AFTERNOON. THIS FRONT LIKELY TO BRING A MUCH STRONGER AND COLDER
AIR MASS TO THE REGION FOR LATE NEXT WEEK.

DML

&&

.MARINE...
NE WINDS OF 5-10 KTS ACROSS THE 0-20 KTS WITH 10-15 KTS ACROSS
THE 20-60NM ZONES WILL CONTINUE THRU FRI...DIMINISHING AS HIGH
PRESSURE SETTLES OVER THE REGION. THE HIGH IS FORECAST TO SHIFT
EAST BY SUN...WITH S-SE WINDS RETURNING THRU MID NEXT WEEK.
.HYDROLOGY...


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  52  78  55  82  59 /  10   0   0   0   0
KBPT  54  78  57  82  60 /  10   0   0   0   0
KAEX  48  77  52  82  56 /  10   0   0   0   0
KLFT  50  77  53  81  58 /  10   0   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KLCH 231926
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
226 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

.DISCUSSION...
SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING OVER THE EASTERN U.S. SW
INTO THE GULF COAST. WATER VAPOR SAT IMAGERY SHOWS UPPER TROF OVER
E TX...CONTINUING MID/HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS OVER E TX/LA THIS
AFTERNOON. THIS SHOULD CONTINUE EAST THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...WITH GRADUAL CLEARING EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. MAY HAVE
ENOUGH BREAKS TO VIEW THE PARTIAL SOLAR ECLIPSE LATE THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH OF COURSE THE PROPER VIEWING EQUIPMENT...AND NOT
DIRECTLY WITH THE UNPROTECTED EYE. SAFEST WAY TO VIEW IT IS
FOCUSING THE IMAGE OF THE SUN ONTO A WHITE CARDBOARD WITH EITHER
BINOCULARS...TELESCOPE...OR PINHOLE THROUGH CARD STOCK. IT SHOULD
START AROUND 5 PM...WITH MID ECLIPSE CLOSE TO 6 PM WITH ABOUT 23%
COVERAGE.

THE SFC HIGH WILL SLOWLY SETTLE OVER THE N GULF STATES
THU AFTERNOON THRU EARLY SAT...WITH DIMINISHING WINDS INLAND
EXPECTED. WITH DIMINISHED WINDS AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES...EXPECT
LOWS ONCE AGAIN IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S.

EXPECT SLOW MODERATION OF THE HIGH LEADING TO GRADUALLY WARMING
TEMPS FOR SAT...BECOMING MORE NOTICEABLY BY SUN INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK AS THE HIGH MOVES EAST AND S TO SE FLOW RETURNS TO THE AREA.
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF PRECIP RETURNS BY TUE AFTERNOON AS ANOTHER
UPPER LEVEL TROF AND FRONT APPROACHES THE AREA BUT EXPECTED TO
STALL NORTH OF THE REGION. THE CHACE OF PRECIP WILL CONTINUE THRU
THU UNTIL THE NEXT SIGNIFICANT COLD FRONT MOVES THRU THE REGION
THAT AFTERNOON. THIS FRONT LIKELY TO BRING A MUCH STRONGER AND COLDER
AIR MASS TO THE REGION FOR LATE NEXT WEEK.

DML

&&

.MARINE...
NE WINDS OF 5-10 KTS ACROSS THE 0-20 KTS WITH 10-15 KTS ACROSS
THE 20-60NM ZONES WILL CONTINUE THRU FRI...DIMINISHING AS HIGH
PRESSURE SETTLES OVER THE REGION. THE HIGH IS FORECAST TO SHIFT
EAST BY SUN...WITH S-SE WINDS RETURNING THRU MID NEXT WEEK.
.HYDROLOGY...


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  52  78  55  82  59 /  10   0   0   0   0
KBPT  54  78  57  82  60 /  10   0   0   0   0
KAEX  48  77  52  82  56 /  10   0   0   0   0
KLFT  50  77  53  81  58 /  10   0   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KLCH 231715
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1215 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

.DISCUSSION...
FOR THE 23/18Z TAF ISSUANCE.

&&

.AVIATION...
UPPER LEVEL TROF WILL MOVE WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE REGION THIS
AFTERNOON. EXTENSIVE UPPER LEVEL CLOUDINESS WILL BE THE RESULT
WITH CLEARING SKIES DURING THE EVENING. OTHERWISE...LIGHT...MAINLY
NORTHEAST WINDS FROM A SURFACE RIDGE WILL PREVAIL...AND THIS WILL
KEEP VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD.

RUA

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1026 AM CDT THU OCT 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...
SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING OVER THE EASTERN U.S. SW
INTO THE GULF COAST. WATER VAPOR SAT IMAGERY SHOWS UPPER TROF
NICELY OVER C AND W TX...BRINGING MID/HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS OVER E TX
INTO W LA THIS MORNING. AREA RADARS ACTUALLY SOME ECHO RETURNS
OVER NE TX WITH THIS FEATURE. WITH THE DRY AIR IN PLACE AT THE
LOWER LEVELS...EXPECTING MOST IF NOT ALL OF THIS IS VIRGA...OR NOT
REACHING THE GROUND.

FOR OUR FORECAST...MADE MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO INCREASE THE CLOUD
COVER FROM W TO E THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON. WITH THE CLOUD COVER
AND WEAK CAA FROM THE NE...AFTERNOON HIGHS OF THE MID 70S STILL
LOOK GOOD IN FORECAST.

DML

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 641 AM CDT THU OCT 23 2014/

AVIATION...VFR AND NORTHEAST WINDS UNDER 10 KTS WILL PREVAIL
THROUGH THE PERIOD.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 506 AM CDT THU OCT 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...
NO MAJOR CHANGES TO THE FORECAST THIS MORNING...AS THE MILD AND
DRY PATTERN LOOKS TO PERSIST INTO THE WEEKEND.

ELONGATED UPPER TROF QUITE EVIDENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY ACROSS
THE CENTRAL CONUS IS PROGGED TO CONTINUE EAST TODAY. LIGHT RADAR
RETURNS AND OB REPORTS OF DZ/-RA SHOWING UP OVER CENTRAL/EASTERN
TX THIS MORNING WITH THIS FEATURE. AS IT CONTINUES EAST INTO
DECREASING MEAN LAYER RH...IT WILL BECOME MORE DIFFICULT TO
SQUEEZE OUT EVEN THAT. THUS...WILL CONTINUE WITH A DRY FCST FOR
TODAY/TONIGHT. JUST A LITTLE MORE IN THE WAY OF CLOUD COVER.

AS THE UPPER TROF AXIS PASSES EAST OF THE REGION TONIGHT AND A
RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE FOUR CORNERS...A DEEP NORTHERLY FLOW WILL
DEVELOP...AND PERSIST INTO SATURDAY AS THE RIDGE SLOWLY TREKS
EAST. BY SUN...WITH THE RIDGE PULLING EAST OF THE AREA WHILE ALSO
FLATTENING OUT AHEAD OF AN ADVANCING WRN CONUS TROF...SOUTH WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO RETURN...PROVIDING A MORE SIGNIFICANT MODERATION
TO THE DRY CONTINENTAL AIR IN PLACE. WARMING TEMPERATURES AND
INCREASING MSTR WILL RESULT...ALONG WITH LOW END RAIN CHANCES.

THE GLOBAL GUIDANCE IS STILL IN POOR AGREEMENT BY EARLY NEXT
WEEK...THOUGH THE ECMWF HAS TRENDED A LITTLE MORE IN THE DIRECTION
OF THE GFS...INDICATING A WEAKER FRONT MORE LIKELY TO LIMP INTO
THE AREA. AS A RESULT...EXTENDED SMALL POPS INTO TUE NIGHT AND
WED...BUT LEFT DRY THEREAFTER GIVEN THE PRESENT UNCERTAINTY.

13

MARINE...
OFFSHORE FLOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND AS A LARGE
AREA OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF
THE U.S. INTO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. THE HIGH IS FORECAST TO
SHIFT EAST TOWARD THE MID ATLANTIC ON SUNDAY...WITH SOUTHERLY
WINDS RETURNING.

13

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  76  53  78  56  82 /   0   0   0   0   0
KBPT  77  55  80  58  83 /   0   0   0   0   0
KAEX  74  49  78  52  82 /   0   0   0   0   0
KLFT  76  51  78  54  82 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$










000
FXUS64 KLCH 231715
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1215 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

.DISCUSSION...
FOR THE 23/18Z TAF ISSUANCE.

&&

.AVIATION...
UPPER LEVEL TROF WILL MOVE WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE REGION THIS
AFTERNOON. EXTENSIVE UPPER LEVEL CLOUDINESS WILL BE THE RESULT
WITH CLEARING SKIES DURING THE EVENING. OTHERWISE...LIGHT...MAINLY
NORTHEAST WINDS FROM A SURFACE RIDGE WILL PREVAIL...AND THIS WILL
KEEP VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD.

RUA

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1026 AM CDT THU OCT 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...
SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING OVER THE EASTERN U.S. SW
INTO THE GULF COAST. WATER VAPOR SAT IMAGERY SHOWS UPPER TROF
NICELY OVER C AND W TX...BRINGING MID/HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS OVER E TX
INTO W LA THIS MORNING. AREA RADARS ACTUALLY SOME ECHO RETURNS
OVER NE TX WITH THIS FEATURE. WITH THE DRY AIR IN PLACE AT THE
LOWER LEVELS...EXPECTING MOST IF NOT ALL OF THIS IS VIRGA...OR NOT
REACHING THE GROUND.

FOR OUR FORECAST...MADE MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO INCREASE THE CLOUD
COVER FROM W TO E THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON. WITH THE CLOUD COVER
AND WEAK CAA FROM THE NE...AFTERNOON HIGHS OF THE MID 70S STILL
LOOK GOOD IN FORECAST.

DML

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 641 AM CDT THU OCT 23 2014/

AVIATION...VFR AND NORTHEAST WINDS UNDER 10 KTS WILL PREVAIL
THROUGH THE PERIOD.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 506 AM CDT THU OCT 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...
NO MAJOR CHANGES TO THE FORECAST THIS MORNING...AS THE MILD AND
DRY PATTERN LOOKS TO PERSIST INTO THE WEEKEND.

ELONGATED UPPER TROF QUITE EVIDENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY ACROSS
THE CENTRAL CONUS IS PROGGED TO CONTINUE EAST TODAY. LIGHT RADAR
RETURNS AND OB REPORTS OF DZ/-RA SHOWING UP OVER CENTRAL/EASTERN
TX THIS MORNING WITH THIS FEATURE. AS IT CONTINUES EAST INTO
DECREASING MEAN LAYER RH...IT WILL BECOME MORE DIFFICULT TO
SQUEEZE OUT EVEN THAT. THUS...WILL CONTINUE WITH A DRY FCST FOR
TODAY/TONIGHT. JUST A LITTLE MORE IN THE WAY OF CLOUD COVER.

AS THE UPPER TROF AXIS PASSES EAST OF THE REGION TONIGHT AND A
RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE FOUR CORNERS...A DEEP NORTHERLY FLOW WILL
DEVELOP...AND PERSIST INTO SATURDAY AS THE RIDGE SLOWLY TREKS
EAST. BY SUN...WITH THE RIDGE PULLING EAST OF THE AREA WHILE ALSO
FLATTENING OUT AHEAD OF AN ADVANCING WRN CONUS TROF...SOUTH WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO RETURN...PROVIDING A MORE SIGNIFICANT MODERATION
TO THE DRY CONTINENTAL AIR IN PLACE. WARMING TEMPERATURES AND
INCREASING MSTR WILL RESULT...ALONG WITH LOW END RAIN CHANCES.

THE GLOBAL GUIDANCE IS STILL IN POOR AGREEMENT BY EARLY NEXT
WEEK...THOUGH THE ECMWF HAS TRENDED A LITTLE MORE IN THE DIRECTION
OF THE GFS...INDICATING A WEAKER FRONT MORE LIKELY TO LIMP INTO
THE AREA. AS A RESULT...EXTENDED SMALL POPS INTO TUE NIGHT AND
WED...BUT LEFT DRY THEREAFTER GIVEN THE PRESENT UNCERTAINTY.

13

MARINE...
OFFSHORE FLOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND AS A LARGE
AREA OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF
THE U.S. INTO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. THE HIGH IS FORECAST TO
SHIFT EAST TOWARD THE MID ATLANTIC ON SUNDAY...WITH SOUTHERLY
WINDS RETURNING.

13

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  76  53  78  56  82 /   0   0   0   0   0
KBPT  77  55  80  58  83 /   0   0   0   0   0
KAEX  74  49  78  52  82 /   0   0   0   0   0
KLFT  76  51  78  54  82 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$










000
FXUS64 KLCH 231526
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1026 AM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

.DISCUSSION...
SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING OVER THE EASTERN U.S. SW
INTO THE GULF COAST. WATER VAPOR SAT IMAGERY SHOWS UPPER TROF
NICELY OVER C AND W TX...BRINGING MID/HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS OVER E TX
INTO W LA THIS MORNING. AREA RADARS ACTUALLY SOME ECHO RETURNS
OVER NE TX WITH THIS FEATURE. WITH THE DRY AIR IN PLACE AT THE
LOWER LEVELS...EXPECTING MOST IF NOT ALL OF THIS IS VIRGA...OR NOT
REACHING THE GROUND.

FOR OUR FORECAST...MADE MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO INCREASE THE CLOUD
COVER FROM W TO E THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON. WITH THE CLOUD COVER
AND WEAK CAA FROM THE NE...AFTERNOON HIGHS OF THE MID 70S STILL
LOOK GOOD IN FORECAST.

DML

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 641 AM CDT THU OCT 23 2014/

AVIATION...VFR AND NORTHEAST WINDS UNDER 10 KTS WILL PREVAIL
THROUGH THE PERIOD.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 506 AM CDT THU OCT 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...
NO MAJOR CHANGES TO THE FORECAST THIS MORNING...AS THE MILD AND
DRY PATTERN LOOKS TO PERSIST INTO THE WEEKEND.

ELONGATED UPPER TROF QUITE EVIDENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY ACROSS
THE CENTRAL CONUS IS PROGGED TO CONTINUE EAST TODAY. LIGHT RADAR
RETURNS AND OB REPORTS OF DZ/-RA SHOWING UP OVER CENTRAL/EASTERN
TX THIS MORNING WITH THIS FEATURE. AS IT CONTINUES EAST INTO
DECREASING MEAN LAYER RH...IT WILL BECOME MORE DIFFICULT TO
SQUEEZE OUT EVEN THAT. THUS...WILL CONTINUE WITH A DRY FCST FOR
TODAY/TONIGHT. JUST A LITTLE MORE IN THE WAY OF CLOUD COVER.

AS THE UPPER TROF AXIS PASSES EAST OF THE REGION TONIGHT AND A
RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE FOUR CORNERS...A DEEP NORTHERLY FLOW WILL
DEVELOP...AND PERSIST INTO SATURDAY AS THE RIDGE SLOWLY TREKS
EAST. BY SUN...WITH THE RIDGE PULLING EAST OF THE AREA WHILE ALSO
FLATTENING OUT AHEAD OF AN ADVANCING WRN CONUS TROF...SOUTH WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO RETURN...PROVIDING A MORE SIGNIFICANT MODERATION
TO THE DRY CONTINENTAL AIR IN PLACE. WARMING TEMPERATURES AND
INCREASING MSTR WILL RESULT...ALONG WITH LOW END RAIN CHANCES.

THE GLOBAL GUIDANCE IS STILL IN POOR AGREEMENT BY EARLY NEXT
WEEK...THOUGH THE ECMWF HAS TRENDED A LITTLE MORE IN THE DIRECTION
OF THE GFS...INDICATING A WEAKER FRONT MORE LIKELY TO LIMP INTO
THE AREA. AS A RESULT...EXTENDED SMALL POPS INTO TUE NIGHT AND
WED...BUT LEFT DRY THEREAFTER GIVEN THE PRESENT UNCERTAINTY.

13

MARINE...
OFFSHORE FLOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND AS A LARGE
AREA OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF
THE U.S. INTO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. THE HIGH IS FORECAST TO
SHIFT EAST TOWARD THE MID ATLANTIC ON SUNDAY...WITH SOUTHERLY
WINDS RETURNING.

13

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  76  53  78  56  82 /   0   0   0   0   0
KBPT  77  55  80  58  83 /   0   0   0   0   0
KAEX  74  49  78  52  82 /   0   0   0   0   0
KLFT  76  51  78  54  82 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KLCH 231141
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
641 AM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

.AVIATION...VFR AND NORTHEAST WINDS UNDER 10 KTS WILL PREVAIL
THROUGH THE PERIOD.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 506 AM CDT THU OCT 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...
NO MAJOR CHANGES TO THE FORECAST THIS MORNING...AS THE MILD AND
DRY PATTERN LOOKS TO PERSIST INTO THE WEEKEND.

ELONGATED UPPER TROF QUITE EVIDENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY ACROSS
THE CENTRAL CONUS IS PROGGED TO CONTINUE EAST TODAY. LIGHT RADAR
RETURNS AND OB REPORTS OF DZ/-RA SHOWING UP OVER CENTRAL/EASTERN
TX THIS MORNING WITH THIS FEATURE. AS IT CONTINUES EAST INTO
DECREASING MEAN LAYER RH...IT WILL BECOME MORE DIFFICULT TO
SQUEEZE OUT EVEN THAT. THUS...WILL CONTINUE WITH A DRY FCST FOR
TODAY/TONIGHT. JUST A LITTLE MORE IN THE WAY OF CLOUD COVER.

AS THE UPPER TROF AXIS PASSES EAST OF THE REGION TONIGHT AND A
RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE FOUR CORNERS...A DEEP NORTHERLY FLOW WILL
DEVELOP...AND PERSIST INTO SATURDAY AS THE RIDGE SLOWLY TREKS
EAST. BY SUN...WITH THE RIDGE PULLING EAST OF THE AREA WHILE ALSO
FLATTENING OUT AHEAD OF AN ADVANCING WRN CONUS TROF...SOUTH WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO RETURN...PROVIDING A MORE SIGNIFICANT MODERATION
TO THE DRY CONTINENTAL AIR IN PLACE. WARMING TEMPERATURES AND
INCREASING MSTR WILL RESULT...ALONG WITH LOW END RAIN CHANCES.

THE GLOBAL GUIDANCE IS STILL IN POOR AGREEMENT BY EARLY NEXT
WEEK...THOUGH THE ECMWF HAS TRENDED A LITTLE MORE IN THE DIRECTION
OF THE GFS...INDICATING A WEAKER FRONT MORE LIKELY TO LIMP INTO
THE AREA. AS A RESULT...EXTENDED SMALL POPS INTO TUE NIGHT AND
WED...BUT LEFT DRY THEREAFTER GIVEN THE PRESENT UNCERTAINTY.

13

MARINE...
OFFSHORE FLOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND AS A LARGE
AREA OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF
THE U.S. INTO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. THE HIGH IS FORECAST TO
SHIFT EAST TOWARD THE MID ATLANTIC ON SUNDAY...WITH SOUTHERLY
WINDS RETURNING.

13

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  76  53  78  56  82 /   0   0   0   0   0
KBPT  77  55  80  58  83 /   0   0   0   0   0
KAEX  74  49  78  52  82 /   0   0   0   0   0
KLFT  76  51  78  54  82 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES

&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KLCH 231006
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
506 AM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

.DISCUSSION...
NO MAJOR CHANGES TO THE FORECAST THIS MORNING...AS THE MILD AND
DRY PATTERN LOOKS TO PERSIST INTO THE WEEKEND.

ELONGATED UPPER TROF QUITE EVIDENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY ACROSS
THE CENTRAL CONUS IS PROGGED TO CONTINUE EAST TODAY. LIGHT RADAR
RETURNS AND OB REPORTS OF DZ/-RA SHOWING UP OVER CENTRAL/EASTERN
TX THIS MORNING WITH THIS FEATURE. AS IT CONTINUES EAST INTO
DECREASING MEAN LAYER RH...IT WILL BECOME MORE DIFFICULT TO
SQUEEZE OUT EVEN THAT. THUS...WILL CONTINUE WITH A DRY FCST FOR
TODAY/TONIGHT. JUST A LITTLE MORE IN THE WAY OF CLOUD COVER.

AS THE UPPER TROF AXIS PASSES EAST OF THE REGION TONIGHT AND A
RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE FOUR CORNERS...A DEEP NORTHERLY FLOW WILL
DEVELOP...AND PERSIST INTO SATURDAY AS THE RIDGE SLOWLY TREKS
EAST. BY SUN...WITH THE RIDGE PULLING EAST OF THE AREA WHILE ALSO
FLATTENING OUT AHEAD OF AN ADVANCING WRN CONUS TROF...SOUTH WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO RETURN...PROVIDING A MORE SIGNIFICANT MODERATION
TO THE DRY CONTINENTAL AIR IN PLACE. WARMING TEMPERATURES AND
INCREASING MSTR WILL RESULT...ALONG WITH LOW END RAIN CHANCES.

THE GLOBAL GUIDANCE IS STILL IN POOR AGREEMENT BY EARLY NEXT
WEEK...THOUGH THE ECMWF HAS TRENDED A LITTLE MORE IN THE DIRECTION
OF THE GFS...INDICATING A WEAKER FRONT MORE LIKELY TO LIMP INTO
THE AREA. AS A RESULT...EXTENDED SMALL POPS INTO TUE NIGHT AND
WED...BUT LEFT DRY THEREAFTER GIVEN THE PRESENT UNCERTAINTY.

13

&&

.MARINE...
OFFSHORE FLOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND AS A LARGE
AREA OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF
THE U.S. INTO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. THE HIGH IS FORECAST TO
SHIFT EAST TOWARD THE MID ATLANTIC ON SUNDAY...WITH SOUTHERLY
WINDS RETURNING.

13

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  76  53  78  56 /   0   0   0   0
KBPT  77  55  80  58 /   0   0   0   0
KAEX  74  49  78  52 /   0   0   0   0
KLFT  76  51  78  54 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC/MARINE...13







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