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000
FXUS64 KLCH 211137
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
637 AM CDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.DISCUSSION...
FOR THE 12Z TAF PACKAGE.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR TO PREVAIL WITH GENERALLY LIGHT NORTHEAST WINDS.

13

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 400 AM CDT TUE OCT 21 2014/

SYNOPSIS...
A COOL AND QUIET NIGHT UNDERWAY WITH HIGH PRES SITTING OVER THE
REGION. A FEW HIGH CLOUDS WERE STREAMING ACRS THE AREA ON WLY FLOW
ALOFT WHILE WINDS IN THE LOWER LVLS WERE NELY. LATEST UA/WV
ANALYSIS SHOWS A SHORTWAVE DROPPING SE ACRS THE ERN CONUS AND THIS
WAS PUSHING A SWATH OF DRIER AIR TOWARD THE LOWER MS VALLEY.

DISCUSSION...
FEW CHANGES TO THE FCST FOR THE UPCOMING WEEK AS A GENERALLY DRY
AND QUIET WEATHER PATTERN REMAINS IN PLACE. A NARROW AMPLIFIED
RIDGE ALOFT WILL CROSS THE AREA TODAY AS THE UPPER LOW ASSOCIATED
WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED SHORTWAVE DIVES SOUTHEAST TOWARD THE E
COAST. MEANWHILE...A REINFORCING BOOST OF HIGH PRES AT THE SFC
CAN BE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AS A COOL FRONT SLIDES S THROUGH THE
REGION. A WEAK SHORTWAVE WILL CROSS THE CNTL CONUS THURSDAY INTO
FRIDAY...BUT LITTLE MOISTURE WILL ACCOMPANY THE FEATURE AND THUS
DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE.

HIGH TEMPS ARE EXPECTED TO CLIMB INTO THE LOWER 80S THIS AFTN
WITH LOWS TONIGHT FALLING INTO THE MID 50S NORTH TO AROUND 60
SOUTH. TEMPERATURES WILL BE A FEW DEGREES COOLER WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY IN THE WAKE OF THE COOL FRONT...BUT OVERALL NO
SIGNIFICANT TEMPERATURE SWINGS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

A GRADUAL WARMING TREND WILL DEVELOP OVER THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK AS RIDGING ALOFT BUILDS ACRS TX AND LA WHILE THE SFC
HIGH MOVES EAST ALLOWING FOR A RETURN OF LOW LVL MOISTURE. AT THIS
TIME...RAIN CHCS REMAIN MINIMAL THROUGH THE FCST PERIOD ALTHOUGH
AN APPROACHING FRONT COULD BRING A FEW SHOWERS BY THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK.

MARINE...
LT TO MODT OFFSHORE FLOW WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE WEEK AS HIGH PRES
RIDGES S AND W ACRS LA AND E TX. A BRIEF PERIOD OF ELEVATED WINDS
AND SEAS...POSSIBLY REQUIRING EXERCISE CAUTION FLAGS...IS EXPECTED
WEDNESDAY AS THE PRES GRADIENT TIGHTENS BETWEEN THE HIGH TO THE
NORTH AND A DEVELOPING AREA OF LOWER PRES NR THE BAY OF CAMPECHE.
WINDS WILL DIMINISH THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AS THE SFC
HIGH BUILDS SOUTH WHILE THE LOW OVER THE WRN GULF MOVES NE AWAY FM
THE AREA. AN ONSHORE FLOW WILL DEVELOP BY EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE
SFC HIGH MOVES EAST OF THE AREA.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  83  59  82  56 /   0   0   0   0
KBPT  83  60  82  58 /   0   0   0   0
KAEX  82  54  80  50 /   0   0   0   0
KLFT  83  58  81  55 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC/MARINE...24
AVIATION...13







000
FXUS64 KLCH 211137
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
637 AM CDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.DISCUSSION...
FOR THE 12Z TAF PACKAGE.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR TO PREVAIL WITH GENERALLY LIGHT NORTHEAST WINDS.

13

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 400 AM CDT TUE OCT 21 2014/

SYNOPSIS...
A COOL AND QUIET NIGHT UNDERWAY WITH HIGH PRES SITTING OVER THE
REGION. A FEW HIGH CLOUDS WERE STREAMING ACRS THE AREA ON WLY FLOW
ALOFT WHILE WINDS IN THE LOWER LVLS WERE NELY. LATEST UA/WV
ANALYSIS SHOWS A SHORTWAVE DROPPING SE ACRS THE ERN CONUS AND THIS
WAS PUSHING A SWATH OF DRIER AIR TOWARD THE LOWER MS VALLEY.

DISCUSSION...
FEW CHANGES TO THE FCST FOR THE UPCOMING WEEK AS A GENERALLY DRY
AND QUIET WEATHER PATTERN REMAINS IN PLACE. A NARROW AMPLIFIED
RIDGE ALOFT WILL CROSS THE AREA TODAY AS THE UPPER LOW ASSOCIATED
WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED SHORTWAVE DIVES SOUTHEAST TOWARD THE E
COAST. MEANWHILE...A REINFORCING BOOST OF HIGH PRES AT THE SFC
CAN BE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AS A COOL FRONT SLIDES S THROUGH THE
REGION. A WEAK SHORTWAVE WILL CROSS THE CNTL CONUS THURSDAY INTO
FRIDAY...BUT LITTLE MOISTURE WILL ACCOMPANY THE FEATURE AND THUS
DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE.

HIGH TEMPS ARE EXPECTED TO CLIMB INTO THE LOWER 80S THIS AFTN
WITH LOWS TONIGHT FALLING INTO THE MID 50S NORTH TO AROUND 60
SOUTH. TEMPERATURES WILL BE A FEW DEGREES COOLER WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY IN THE WAKE OF THE COOL FRONT...BUT OVERALL NO
SIGNIFICANT TEMPERATURE SWINGS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

A GRADUAL WARMING TREND WILL DEVELOP OVER THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK AS RIDGING ALOFT BUILDS ACRS TX AND LA WHILE THE SFC
HIGH MOVES EAST ALLOWING FOR A RETURN OF LOW LVL MOISTURE. AT THIS
TIME...RAIN CHCS REMAIN MINIMAL THROUGH THE FCST PERIOD ALTHOUGH
AN APPROACHING FRONT COULD BRING A FEW SHOWERS BY THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK.

MARINE...
LT TO MODT OFFSHORE FLOW WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE WEEK AS HIGH PRES
RIDGES S AND W ACRS LA AND E TX. A BRIEF PERIOD OF ELEVATED WINDS
AND SEAS...POSSIBLY REQUIRING EXERCISE CAUTION FLAGS...IS EXPECTED
WEDNESDAY AS THE PRES GRADIENT TIGHTENS BETWEEN THE HIGH TO THE
NORTH AND A DEVELOPING AREA OF LOWER PRES NR THE BAY OF CAMPECHE.
WINDS WILL DIMINISH THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AS THE SFC
HIGH BUILDS SOUTH WHILE THE LOW OVER THE WRN GULF MOVES NE AWAY FM
THE AREA. AN ONSHORE FLOW WILL DEVELOP BY EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE
SFC HIGH MOVES EAST OF THE AREA.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  83  59  82  56 /   0   0   0   0
KBPT  83  60  82  58 /   0   0   0   0
KAEX  82  54  80  50 /   0   0   0   0
KLFT  83  58  81  55 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC/MARINE...24
AVIATION...13






000
FXUS64 KLCH 211137
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
637 AM CDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.DISCUSSION...
FOR THE 12Z TAF PACKAGE.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR TO PREVAIL WITH GENERALLY LIGHT NORTHEAST WINDS.

13

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 400 AM CDT TUE OCT 21 2014/

SYNOPSIS...
A COOL AND QUIET NIGHT UNDERWAY WITH HIGH PRES SITTING OVER THE
REGION. A FEW HIGH CLOUDS WERE STREAMING ACRS THE AREA ON WLY FLOW
ALOFT WHILE WINDS IN THE LOWER LVLS WERE NELY. LATEST UA/WV
ANALYSIS SHOWS A SHORTWAVE DROPPING SE ACRS THE ERN CONUS AND THIS
WAS PUSHING A SWATH OF DRIER AIR TOWARD THE LOWER MS VALLEY.

DISCUSSION...
FEW CHANGES TO THE FCST FOR THE UPCOMING WEEK AS A GENERALLY DRY
AND QUIET WEATHER PATTERN REMAINS IN PLACE. A NARROW AMPLIFIED
RIDGE ALOFT WILL CROSS THE AREA TODAY AS THE UPPER LOW ASSOCIATED
WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED SHORTWAVE DIVES SOUTHEAST TOWARD THE E
COAST. MEANWHILE...A REINFORCING BOOST OF HIGH PRES AT THE SFC
CAN BE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AS A COOL FRONT SLIDES S THROUGH THE
REGION. A WEAK SHORTWAVE WILL CROSS THE CNTL CONUS THURSDAY INTO
FRIDAY...BUT LITTLE MOISTURE WILL ACCOMPANY THE FEATURE AND THUS
DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE.

HIGH TEMPS ARE EXPECTED TO CLIMB INTO THE LOWER 80S THIS AFTN
WITH LOWS TONIGHT FALLING INTO THE MID 50S NORTH TO AROUND 60
SOUTH. TEMPERATURES WILL BE A FEW DEGREES COOLER WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY IN THE WAKE OF THE COOL FRONT...BUT OVERALL NO
SIGNIFICANT TEMPERATURE SWINGS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

A GRADUAL WARMING TREND WILL DEVELOP OVER THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK AS RIDGING ALOFT BUILDS ACRS TX AND LA WHILE THE SFC
HIGH MOVES EAST ALLOWING FOR A RETURN OF LOW LVL MOISTURE. AT THIS
TIME...RAIN CHCS REMAIN MINIMAL THROUGH THE FCST PERIOD ALTHOUGH
AN APPROACHING FRONT COULD BRING A FEW SHOWERS BY THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK.

MARINE...
LT TO MODT OFFSHORE FLOW WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE WEEK AS HIGH PRES
RIDGES S AND W ACRS LA AND E TX. A BRIEF PERIOD OF ELEVATED WINDS
AND SEAS...POSSIBLY REQUIRING EXERCISE CAUTION FLAGS...IS EXPECTED
WEDNESDAY AS THE PRES GRADIENT TIGHTENS BETWEEN THE HIGH TO THE
NORTH AND A DEVELOPING AREA OF LOWER PRES NR THE BAY OF CAMPECHE.
WINDS WILL DIMINISH THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AS THE SFC
HIGH BUILDS SOUTH WHILE THE LOW OVER THE WRN GULF MOVES NE AWAY FM
THE AREA. AN ONSHORE FLOW WILL DEVELOP BY EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE
SFC HIGH MOVES EAST OF THE AREA.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  83  59  82  56 /   0   0   0   0
KBPT  83  60  82  58 /   0   0   0   0
KAEX  82  54  80  50 /   0   0   0   0
KLFT  83  58  81  55 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC/MARINE...24
AVIATION...13






000
FXUS64 KLCH 211137
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
637 AM CDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.DISCUSSION...
FOR THE 12Z TAF PACKAGE.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR TO PREVAIL WITH GENERALLY LIGHT NORTHEAST WINDS.

13

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 400 AM CDT TUE OCT 21 2014/

SYNOPSIS...
A COOL AND QUIET NIGHT UNDERWAY WITH HIGH PRES SITTING OVER THE
REGION. A FEW HIGH CLOUDS WERE STREAMING ACRS THE AREA ON WLY FLOW
ALOFT WHILE WINDS IN THE LOWER LVLS WERE NELY. LATEST UA/WV
ANALYSIS SHOWS A SHORTWAVE DROPPING SE ACRS THE ERN CONUS AND THIS
WAS PUSHING A SWATH OF DRIER AIR TOWARD THE LOWER MS VALLEY.

DISCUSSION...
FEW CHANGES TO THE FCST FOR THE UPCOMING WEEK AS A GENERALLY DRY
AND QUIET WEATHER PATTERN REMAINS IN PLACE. A NARROW AMPLIFIED
RIDGE ALOFT WILL CROSS THE AREA TODAY AS THE UPPER LOW ASSOCIATED
WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED SHORTWAVE DIVES SOUTHEAST TOWARD THE E
COAST. MEANWHILE...A REINFORCING BOOST OF HIGH PRES AT THE SFC
CAN BE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AS A COOL FRONT SLIDES S THROUGH THE
REGION. A WEAK SHORTWAVE WILL CROSS THE CNTL CONUS THURSDAY INTO
FRIDAY...BUT LITTLE MOISTURE WILL ACCOMPANY THE FEATURE AND THUS
DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE.

HIGH TEMPS ARE EXPECTED TO CLIMB INTO THE LOWER 80S THIS AFTN
WITH LOWS TONIGHT FALLING INTO THE MID 50S NORTH TO AROUND 60
SOUTH. TEMPERATURES WILL BE A FEW DEGREES COOLER WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY IN THE WAKE OF THE COOL FRONT...BUT OVERALL NO
SIGNIFICANT TEMPERATURE SWINGS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

A GRADUAL WARMING TREND WILL DEVELOP OVER THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK AS RIDGING ALOFT BUILDS ACRS TX AND LA WHILE THE SFC
HIGH MOVES EAST ALLOWING FOR A RETURN OF LOW LVL MOISTURE. AT THIS
TIME...RAIN CHCS REMAIN MINIMAL THROUGH THE FCST PERIOD ALTHOUGH
AN APPROACHING FRONT COULD BRING A FEW SHOWERS BY THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK.

MARINE...
LT TO MODT OFFSHORE FLOW WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE WEEK AS HIGH PRES
RIDGES S AND W ACRS LA AND E TX. A BRIEF PERIOD OF ELEVATED WINDS
AND SEAS...POSSIBLY REQUIRING EXERCISE CAUTION FLAGS...IS EXPECTED
WEDNESDAY AS THE PRES GRADIENT TIGHTENS BETWEEN THE HIGH TO THE
NORTH AND A DEVELOPING AREA OF LOWER PRES NR THE BAY OF CAMPECHE.
WINDS WILL DIMINISH THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AS THE SFC
HIGH BUILDS SOUTH WHILE THE LOW OVER THE WRN GULF MOVES NE AWAY FM
THE AREA. AN ONSHORE FLOW WILL DEVELOP BY EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE
SFC HIGH MOVES EAST OF THE AREA.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  83  59  82  56 /   0   0   0   0
KBPT  83  60  82  58 /   0   0   0   0
KAEX  82  54  80  50 /   0   0   0   0
KLFT  83  58  81  55 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC/MARINE...24
AVIATION...13







000
FXUS64 KLCH 210900
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
400 AM CDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A COOL AND QUIET NIGHT UNDERWAY WITH HIGH PRES SITTING OVER THE
REGION. A FEW HIGH CLOUDS WERE STREAMING ACRS THE AREA ON WLY FLOW
ALOFT WHILE WINDS IN THE LOWER LVLS WERE NELY. LATEST UA/WV
ANALYSIS SHOWS A SHORTWAVE DROPPING SE ACRS THE ERN CONUS AND THIS
WAS PUSHING A SWATH OF DRIER AIR TOWARD THE LOWER MS VALLEY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
FEW CHANGES TO THE FCST FOR THE UPCOMING WEEK AS A GENERALLY DRY
AND QUIET WEATHER PATTERN REMAINS IN PLACE. A NARROW AMPLIFIED
RIDGE ALOFT WILL CROSS THE AREA TODAY AS THE UPPER LOW ASSOCIATED
WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED SHORTWAVE DIVES SOUTHEAST TOWARD THE E
COAST. MEANWHILE...A REINFORCING BOOST OF HIGH PRES AT THE SFC
CAN BE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AS A COOL FRONT SLIDES S THROUGH THE
REGION. A WEAK SHORTWAVE WILL CROSS THE CNTL CONUS THURSDAY INTO
FRIDAY...BUT LITTLE MOISTURE WILL ACCOMPANY THE FEATURE AND THUS
DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE.

HIGH TEMPS ARE EXPECTED TO CLIMB INTO THE LOWER 80S THIS AFTN
WITH LOWS TONIGHT FALLING INTO THE MID 50S NORTH TO AROUND 60
SOUTH. TEMPERATURES WILL BE A FEW DEGREES COOLER WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY IN THE WAKE OF THE COOL FRONT...BUT OVERALL NO
SIGNIFICANT TEMPERATURE SWINGS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

A GRADUAL WARMING TREND WILL DEVELOP OVER THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK AS RIDGING ALOFT BUILDS ACRS TX AND LA WHILE THE SFC
HIGH MOVES EAST ALLOWING FOR A RETURN OF LOW LVL MOISTURE. AT THIS
TIME...RAIN CHCS REMAIN MINIMAL THROUGH THE FCST PERIOD ALTHOUGH
AN APPROACHING FRONT COULD BRING A FEW SHOWERS BY THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.MARINE...
LT TO MODT OFFSHORE FLOW WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE WEEK AS HIGH PRES
RIDGES S AND W ACRS LA AND E TX. A BRIEF PERIOD OF ELEVATED WINDS
AND SEAS...POSSIBLY REQUIRING EXERCISE CAUTION FLAGS...IS EXPECTED
WEDNESDAY AS THE PRES GRADIENT TIGHTENS BETWEEN THE HIGH TO THE
NORTH AND A DEVELOPING AREA OF LOWER PRES NR THE BAY OF CAMPECHE.
WINDS WILL DIMINISH THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AS THE SFC
HIGH BUILDS SOUTH WHILE THE LOW OVER THE WRN GULF MOVES NE AWAY FM
THE AREA. AN ONSHORE FLOW WILL DEVELOP BY EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE
SFC HIGH MOVES EAST OF THE AREA.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  82  57  80  53 /   0   0   0   0
KBPT  83  60  82  58 /   0   0   0   0
KAEX  82  54  80  50 /   0   0   0   0
KLFT  83  58  81  54 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC/MARINE...24







000
FXUS64 KLCH 210449
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1149 PM CDT MON OCT 20 2014

.DISCUSSION...
FOR 06Z TAF ISSUANCE.

&&

.AVIATION...
AGAIN NOT MANY CHANGES MADE TO THE INHERITED TAFS AND THINKING AS
WE REMAIN IN SOMEWHAT OF A BROKEN RECORD PATTERN. FORECAST TIME-
HEIGHT SECTIONS CONTINUE TO INDICATE MAINLY CIRRUS AFFECTING THE
REGION...THEREFORE VFR CONDITIONS TO PERSIST. COULD SEE A LITTLE
MORE WIND IN THE LATE MORNING/AFTERNOON ON TUESDAY...MAINLY SRN
SITES...AS THE HIGH PUSHES EWD AND A LITTLE TIGHTER GRADIENT
DEVELOPS OVER THE FORECAST AREA.

25

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 952 PM CDT MON OCT 20 2014/

UPDATE...NEAR CLIMO AND SOMEWHAT COOL TEMPS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT.
FORECAST LOOKS ON TRACK AND SEE NO NEED FOR ANY CHANGES.

MARCOTTE

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 221 PM CDT MON OCT 20 2014/

SYNOPSIS...

A COOL DOME OF HIGH PRESSURE ...VICINITY DENISON TX...WILL MOVE
LITTLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THE DOME WILL RE-FORM SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST INTO CENTRAL TEXAS ON SATURDAY...BEFORE TRAVELING EASTWARD
ACROSS LOUISIANA ON SUNDAY.

FURTHER UP...A COOL DEPRESSION OF LOW PRESSURE IS FOUND OVER
DESERT OLD MEXICO. THIS UPPER LEVEL FEATURE IS GENERATING CIRRUS
ACROSS THE SIERRA MADRE OCCIDENTAL. THE MIDLATITUDE WESTERLIES ARE
TRANSPORTING THE CIRRUS NORTHEAST ACROSS TEXAS AND LOUISIANA.

DISCUSSION...

A WEAK BACKDOOR COLD FRONT WILL TRAVEL SOUTH AND WEST THROUGH THE
WESTERN UPPER GULF COAST STATES TONIGHT...EXITING THE COASTAL
WATERS BY EARLY MORNING TUESDAY.

WEAK ADVECTIVE COOLING WILL BEGIN IN THE POST-FRONTAL AIR TONIGHT.
HOWEVER...RADIATIONAL COOLING WILL BE WEAKER...DUE TO ADVECTING
PACIFIC CIRRUS AND POST-FRONTAL NORTHEASTERLY WINDS. THE OVERNIGHT
TEMPERATURES WILL BE RUNNING A COUPLE OF DEGREES BELOW NORMAL FOR
LATE OCTOBER.

FOR TUESDAY...THE DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL BE RUNNING ABOUT
NORMAL...UNDER MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES.

MARINE...

THE ACTUAL TIDES WILL BE RUNNING ABOUT A FOOT ABOVE THE TIDE TABLE
VALUES FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

THE NEW BEAVER MOON WILL OCCUR THIS THURSDAY...BRINGING ABOUT
LARGE CHANGES-IN-WATER ELEVATION AT THE COAST. ABOUT 2 FEET WILL
SEPARATE THE LOWER LOW TIDE (OCCURRING EARLY TO MID MORNING) FROM
THE HIGHER HIGH TIDE (OCCURRING EARLY TO MIDAFTERNOON).

OUTLOOK...

THE TRAVELING DOME OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE ITS JOURNEY
EASTWARD. A WEAK RETURN FLOW WILL SET-UP ACROSS THE WESTERN UPPER
GULF COAST STATES ON MONDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  56  82  60  80  55 /  10  10   0   0   0
KBPT  58  81  61  80  57 /  10  10   0   0   0
KAEX  54  81  55  79  50 /  10  10   0   0   0
KLFT  56  82  58  80  54 /  10  10   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
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WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES

&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KLCH 210252
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
952 PM CDT MON OCT 20 2014

.UPDATE...NEAR CLIMO AND SOMEWHAT COOL TEMPS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT.
FORECAST LOOKS ON TRACK AND SEE NO NEED FOR ANY CHANGES.

&&

MARCOTTE


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 221 PM CDT MON OCT 20 2014/

SYNOPSIS...

A COOL DOME OF HIGH PRESSURE ...VICINITY DENISON TX...WILL MOVE
LITTLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THE DOME WILL RE-FORM SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST INTO CENTRAL TEXAS ON SATURDAY...BEFORE TRAVELING EASTWARD
ACROSS LOUISIANA ON SUNDAY.

FURTHER UP...A COOL DEPRESSION OF LOW PRESSURE IS FOUND OVER
DESERT OLD MEXICO. THIS UPPER LEVEL FEATURE IS GENERATING CIRRUS
ACROSS THE SIERRA MADRE OCCIDENTAL. THE MIDLATITUDE WESTERLIES ARE
TRANSPORTING THE CIRRUS NORTHEAST ACROSS TEXAS AND LOUISIANA.

DISCUSSION...

A WEAK BACKDOOR COLD FRONT WILL TRAVEL SOUTH AND WEST THROUGH THE
WESTERN UPPER GULF COAST STATES TONIGHT...EXITING THE COASTAL
WATERS BY EARLY MORNING TUESDAY.

WEAK ADVECTIVE COOLING WILL BEGIN IN THE POST-FRONTAL AIR TONIGHT.
HOWEVER...RADIATIONAL COOLING WILL BE WEAKER...DUE TO ADVECTING
PACIFIC CIRRUS AND POST-FRONTAL NORTHEASTERLY WINDS. THE OVERNIGHT
TEMPERATURES WILL BE RUNNING A COUPLE OF DEGREES BELOW NORMAL FOR
LATE OCTOBER.

FOR TUESDAY...THE DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL BE RUNNING ABOUT
NORMAL...UNDER MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES.

MARINE...

THE ACTUAL TIDES WILL BE RUNNING ABOUT A FOOT ABOVE THE TIDE TABLE
VALUES FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

THE NEW BEAVER MOON WILL OCCUR THIS THURSDAY...BRINGING ABOUT
LARGE CHANGES-IN-WATER ELEVATION AT THE COAST. ABOUT 2 FEET WILL
SEPARATE THE LOWER LOW TIDE (OCCURRING EARLY TO MID MORNING) FROM
THE HIGHER HIGH TIDE (OCCURRING EARLY TO MIDAFTERNOON).

OUTLOOK...

THE TRAVELING DOME OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE ITS JOURNEY
EASTWARD. A WEAK RETURN FLOW WILL SET-UP ACROSS THE WESTERN UPPER
GULF COAST STATES ON MONDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  56  82  60  80  55 /  10  10   0   0   0
KBPT  58  81  61  80  57 /  10  10   0   0   0
KAEX  54  81  55  79  50 /  10  10   0   0   0
KLFT  56  82  58  80  54 /  10  10   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KLCH 210252
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
952 PM CDT MON OCT 20 2014

.UPDATE...NEAR CLIMO AND SOMEWHAT COOL TEMPS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT.
FORECAST LOOKS ON TRACK AND SEE NO NEED FOR ANY CHANGES.

&&

MARCOTTE


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 221 PM CDT MON OCT 20 2014/

SYNOPSIS...

A COOL DOME OF HIGH PRESSURE ...VICINITY DENISON TX...WILL MOVE
LITTLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THE DOME WILL RE-FORM SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST INTO CENTRAL TEXAS ON SATURDAY...BEFORE TRAVELING EASTWARD
ACROSS LOUISIANA ON SUNDAY.

FURTHER UP...A COOL DEPRESSION OF LOW PRESSURE IS FOUND OVER
DESERT OLD MEXICO. THIS UPPER LEVEL FEATURE IS GENERATING CIRRUS
ACROSS THE SIERRA MADRE OCCIDENTAL. THE MIDLATITUDE WESTERLIES ARE
TRANSPORTING THE CIRRUS NORTHEAST ACROSS TEXAS AND LOUISIANA.

DISCUSSION...

A WEAK BACKDOOR COLD FRONT WILL TRAVEL SOUTH AND WEST THROUGH THE
WESTERN UPPER GULF COAST STATES TONIGHT...EXITING THE COASTAL
WATERS BY EARLY MORNING TUESDAY.

WEAK ADVECTIVE COOLING WILL BEGIN IN THE POST-FRONTAL AIR TONIGHT.
HOWEVER...RADIATIONAL COOLING WILL BE WEAKER...DUE TO ADVECTING
PACIFIC CIRRUS AND POST-FRONTAL NORTHEASTERLY WINDS. THE OVERNIGHT
TEMPERATURES WILL BE RUNNING A COUPLE OF DEGREES BELOW NORMAL FOR
LATE OCTOBER.

FOR TUESDAY...THE DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL BE RUNNING ABOUT
NORMAL...UNDER MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES.

MARINE...

THE ACTUAL TIDES WILL BE RUNNING ABOUT A FOOT ABOVE THE TIDE TABLE
VALUES FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

THE NEW BEAVER MOON WILL OCCUR THIS THURSDAY...BRINGING ABOUT
LARGE CHANGES-IN-WATER ELEVATION AT THE COAST. ABOUT 2 FEET WILL
SEPARATE THE LOWER LOW TIDE (OCCURRING EARLY TO MID MORNING) FROM
THE HIGHER HIGH TIDE (OCCURRING EARLY TO MIDAFTERNOON).

OUTLOOK...

THE TRAVELING DOME OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE ITS JOURNEY
EASTWARD. A WEAK RETURN FLOW WILL SET-UP ACROSS THE WESTERN UPPER
GULF COAST STATES ON MONDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  56  82  60  80  55 /  10  10   0   0   0
KBPT  58  81  61  80  57 /  10  10   0   0   0
KAEX  54  81  55  79  50 /  10  10   0   0   0
KLFT  56  82  58  80  54 /  10  10   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KLCH 210252
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
952 PM CDT MON OCT 20 2014

.UPDATE...NEAR CLIMO AND SOMEWHAT COOL TEMPS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT.
FORECAST LOOKS ON TRACK AND SEE NO NEED FOR ANY CHANGES.

&&

MARCOTTE


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 221 PM CDT MON OCT 20 2014/

SYNOPSIS...

A COOL DOME OF HIGH PRESSURE ...VICINITY DENISON TX...WILL MOVE
LITTLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THE DOME WILL RE-FORM SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST INTO CENTRAL TEXAS ON SATURDAY...BEFORE TRAVELING EASTWARD
ACROSS LOUISIANA ON SUNDAY.

FURTHER UP...A COOL DEPRESSION OF LOW PRESSURE IS FOUND OVER
DESERT OLD MEXICO. THIS UPPER LEVEL FEATURE IS GENERATING CIRRUS
ACROSS THE SIERRA MADRE OCCIDENTAL. THE MIDLATITUDE WESTERLIES ARE
TRANSPORTING THE CIRRUS NORTHEAST ACROSS TEXAS AND LOUISIANA.

DISCUSSION...

A WEAK BACKDOOR COLD FRONT WILL TRAVEL SOUTH AND WEST THROUGH THE
WESTERN UPPER GULF COAST STATES TONIGHT...EXITING THE COASTAL
WATERS BY EARLY MORNING TUESDAY.

WEAK ADVECTIVE COOLING WILL BEGIN IN THE POST-FRONTAL AIR TONIGHT.
HOWEVER...RADIATIONAL COOLING WILL BE WEAKER...DUE TO ADVECTING
PACIFIC CIRRUS AND POST-FRONTAL NORTHEASTERLY WINDS. THE OVERNIGHT
TEMPERATURES WILL BE RUNNING A COUPLE OF DEGREES BELOW NORMAL FOR
LATE OCTOBER.

FOR TUESDAY...THE DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL BE RUNNING ABOUT
NORMAL...UNDER MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES.

MARINE...

THE ACTUAL TIDES WILL BE RUNNING ABOUT A FOOT ABOVE THE TIDE TABLE
VALUES FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

THE NEW BEAVER MOON WILL OCCUR THIS THURSDAY...BRINGING ABOUT
LARGE CHANGES-IN-WATER ELEVATION AT THE COAST. ABOUT 2 FEET WILL
SEPARATE THE LOWER LOW TIDE (OCCURRING EARLY TO MID MORNING) FROM
THE HIGHER HIGH TIDE (OCCURRING EARLY TO MIDAFTERNOON).

OUTLOOK...

THE TRAVELING DOME OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE ITS JOURNEY
EASTWARD. A WEAK RETURN FLOW WILL SET-UP ACROSS THE WESTERN UPPER
GULF COAST STATES ON MONDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  56  82  60  80  55 /  10  10   0   0   0
KBPT  58  81  61  80  57 /  10  10   0   0   0
KAEX  54  81  55  79  50 /  10  10   0   0   0
KLFT  56  82  58  80  54 /  10  10   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KLCH 210252
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
952 PM CDT MON OCT 20 2014

.UPDATE...NEAR CLIMO AND SOMEWHAT COOL TEMPS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT.
FORECAST LOOKS ON TRACK AND SEE NO NEED FOR ANY CHANGES.

&&

MARCOTTE


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 221 PM CDT MON OCT 20 2014/

SYNOPSIS...

A COOL DOME OF HIGH PRESSURE ...VICINITY DENISON TX...WILL MOVE
LITTLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THE DOME WILL RE-FORM SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST INTO CENTRAL TEXAS ON SATURDAY...BEFORE TRAVELING EASTWARD
ACROSS LOUISIANA ON SUNDAY.

FURTHER UP...A COOL DEPRESSION OF LOW PRESSURE IS FOUND OVER
DESERT OLD MEXICO. THIS UPPER LEVEL FEATURE IS GENERATING CIRRUS
ACROSS THE SIERRA MADRE OCCIDENTAL. THE MIDLATITUDE WESTERLIES ARE
TRANSPORTING THE CIRRUS NORTHEAST ACROSS TEXAS AND LOUISIANA.

DISCUSSION...

A WEAK BACKDOOR COLD FRONT WILL TRAVEL SOUTH AND WEST THROUGH THE
WESTERN UPPER GULF COAST STATES TONIGHT...EXITING THE COASTAL
WATERS BY EARLY MORNING TUESDAY.

WEAK ADVECTIVE COOLING WILL BEGIN IN THE POST-FRONTAL AIR TONIGHT.
HOWEVER...RADIATIONAL COOLING WILL BE WEAKER...DUE TO ADVECTING
PACIFIC CIRRUS AND POST-FRONTAL NORTHEASTERLY WINDS. THE OVERNIGHT
TEMPERATURES WILL BE RUNNING A COUPLE OF DEGREES BELOW NORMAL FOR
LATE OCTOBER.

FOR TUESDAY...THE DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL BE RUNNING ABOUT
NORMAL...UNDER MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES.

MARINE...

THE ACTUAL TIDES WILL BE RUNNING ABOUT A FOOT ABOVE THE TIDE TABLE
VALUES FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

THE NEW BEAVER MOON WILL OCCUR THIS THURSDAY...BRINGING ABOUT
LARGE CHANGES-IN-WATER ELEVATION AT THE COAST. ABOUT 2 FEET WILL
SEPARATE THE LOWER LOW TIDE (OCCURRING EARLY TO MID MORNING) FROM
THE HIGHER HIGH TIDE (OCCURRING EARLY TO MIDAFTERNOON).

OUTLOOK...

THE TRAVELING DOME OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE ITS JOURNEY
EASTWARD. A WEAK RETURN FLOW WILL SET-UP ACROSS THE WESTERN UPPER
GULF COAST STATES ON MONDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  56  82  60  80  55 /  10  10   0   0   0
KBPT  58  81  61  80  57 /  10  10   0   0   0
KAEX  54  81  55  79  50 /  10  10   0   0   0
KLFT  56  82  58  80  54 /  10  10   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KLCH 201921
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
221 PM CDT MON OCT 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...

A COOL DOME OF HIGH PRESSURE ...VICINITY DENISON TX...WILL MOVE
LITTLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THE DOME WILL RE-FORM SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST INTO CENTRAL TEXAS ON SATURDAY...BEFORE TRAVELING EASTWARD
ACROSS LOUISIANA ON SUNDAY.

FURTHER UP...A COOL DEPRESSION OF LOW PRESSURE IS FOUND OVER
DESERT OLD MEXICO. THIS UPPER LEVEL FEATURE IS GENERATING CIRRUS
ACROSS THE SIERRA MADRE OCCIDENTAL. THE MIDLATITUDE WESTERLIES ARE
TRANSPORTING THE CIRRUS NORTHEAST ACROSS TEXAS AND LOUISIANA.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

A WEAK BACKDOOR COLD FRONT WILL TRAVEL SOUTH AND WEST THROUGH THE
WESTERN UPPER GULF COAST STATES TONIGHT...EXITING THE COASTAL
WATERS BY EARLY MORNING TUESDAY.

WEAK ADVECTIVE COOLING WILL BEGIN IN THE POST-FRONTAL AIR TONIGHT.
HOWEVER...RADIATIONAL COOLING WILL BE WEAKER...DUE TO ADVECTING
PACIFIC CIRRUS AND POST-FRONTAL NORTHEASTERLY WINDS. THE OVERNIGHT
TEMPERATURES WILL BE RUNNING A COUPLE OF DEGREES BELOW NORMAL FOR
LATE OCTOBER.

FOR TUESDAY...THE DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL BE RUNNING ABOUT
NORMAL...UNDER MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES.

&&

.MARINE...

THE ACTUAL TIDES WILL BE RUNNING ABOUT A FOOT ABOVE THE TIDE TABLE
VALUES FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

THE NEW BEAVER MOON WILL OCCUR THIS THURSDAY...BRINGING ABOUT
LARGE CHANGES-IN-WATER ELEVATION AT THE COAST. ABOUT 2 FEET WILL
SEPARATE THE LOWER LOW TIDE (OCCURRING EARLY TO MID MORNING) FROM
THE HIGHER HIGH TIDE (OCCURRING EARLY TO MIDAFTERNOON).

&&

.OUTLOOK...

THE TRAVELING DOME OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE ITS JOURNEY
EASTWARD. A WEAK RETURN FLOW WILL SET-UP ACROSS THE WESTERN UPPER
GULF COAST STATES ON MONDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  56  82  60  80  55 /  10  10   0   0   0
KBPT  58  81  61  80  57 /  10  10   0   0   0
KAEX  54  81  55  79  50 /  10  10   0   0   0
KLFT  56  82  58  80  54 /  10  10   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES

&&

JT

$$














000
FXUS64 KLCH 201921
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
221 PM CDT MON OCT 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...

A COOL DOME OF HIGH PRESSURE ...VICINITY DENISON TX...WILL MOVE
LITTLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THE DOME WILL RE-FORM SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST INTO CENTRAL TEXAS ON SATURDAY...BEFORE TRAVELING EASTWARD
ACROSS LOUISIANA ON SUNDAY.

FURTHER UP...A COOL DEPRESSION OF LOW PRESSURE IS FOUND OVER
DESERT OLD MEXICO. THIS UPPER LEVEL FEATURE IS GENERATING CIRRUS
ACROSS THE SIERRA MADRE OCCIDENTAL. THE MIDLATITUDE WESTERLIES ARE
TRANSPORTING THE CIRRUS NORTHEAST ACROSS TEXAS AND LOUISIANA.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

A WEAK BACKDOOR COLD FRONT WILL TRAVEL SOUTH AND WEST THROUGH THE
WESTERN UPPER GULF COAST STATES TONIGHT...EXITING THE COASTAL
WATERS BY EARLY MORNING TUESDAY.

WEAK ADVECTIVE COOLING WILL BEGIN IN THE POST-FRONTAL AIR TONIGHT.
HOWEVER...RADIATIONAL COOLING WILL BE WEAKER...DUE TO ADVECTING
PACIFIC CIRRUS AND POST-FRONTAL NORTHEASTERLY WINDS. THE OVERNIGHT
TEMPERATURES WILL BE RUNNING A COUPLE OF DEGREES BELOW NORMAL FOR
LATE OCTOBER.

FOR TUESDAY...THE DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL BE RUNNING ABOUT
NORMAL...UNDER MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES.

&&

.MARINE...

THE ACTUAL TIDES WILL BE RUNNING ABOUT A FOOT ABOVE THE TIDE TABLE
VALUES FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

THE NEW BEAVER MOON WILL OCCUR THIS THURSDAY...BRINGING ABOUT
LARGE CHANGES-IN-WATER ELEVATION AT THE COAST. ABOUT 2 FEET WILL
SEPARATE THE LOWER LOW TIDE (OCCURRING EARLY TO MID MORNING) FROM
THE HIGHER HIGH TIDE (OCCURRING EARLY TO MIDAFTERNOON).

&&

.OUTLOOK...

THE TRAVELING DOME OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE ITS JOURNEY
EASTWARD. A WEAK RETURN FLOW WILL SET-UP ACROSS THE WESTERN UPPER
GULF COAST STATES ON MONDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  56  82  60  80  55 /  10  10   0   0   0
KBPT  58  81  61  80  57 /  10  10   0   0   0
KAEX  54  81  55  79  50 /  10  10   0   0   0
KLFT  56  82  58  80  54 /  10  10   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES

&&

JT

$$













000
FXUS64 KLCH 201551
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1051 AM CDT MON OCT 20 2014

.DISCUSSION...
18Z TAF ISSUANCE.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR TO PREVAIL WITH A GENERALLY LIGHT NE WIND 6-8 KTS TODAY AND
TUE AFTERNOONS...LIKELY BECOMING L&V AFTER 00Z THIS EVENING.

DML

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 653 AM CDT MON OCT 20 2014/

DISCUSSION...
FOR THE 12Z TAF PACKAGE.

AVIATION...
VFR TO PREVAIL WITH A GENERALLY LIGHT NE WIND.

13

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 416 AM CDT MON OCT 20 2014/

SYNOPSIS...
LATEST UA/WV ANALYSIS SHOWS ZONAL FLOW ALOFT BRINGING AN INCREASE IN
MOISTURE INTO THE UPPER LVLS...AND THIS IS INDICATED ON IR IMAGERY
AS WELL WITH SCT HIGH CLOUDS STREAMING EAST ACRS THE REGION. AT
THE SFC...THE FRONT THAT MOVED THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY IS NOW STALLED
ACRS THE NRN GULF OF MEXICO...WITH LOW CLOUDS AND EVEN SOME ISLTD
SHOWERS MARKING THE LOCATION OF THE BOUNDARY ON RADAR/SATELLITE.
HIGH PRES NORTH OF THE BOUNDARY WAS BRINGING LT NELY WINDS AND
COOL QUIET CONDITIONS TO SW LA AND SE TX. TEMPERATURES EARLY THIS
MORNING WERE RUNNING FM AROUND 50 ACRS CNTL LA TO THE LOWER 60S
ACRS LOWER SE TX.

DISCUSSION...
AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF GENERALLY TRANQUIL WEATHER WILL CONTINUE
THIS WEEK. SFC HIGH PRES OVER THE SE CONUS WILL BE REINFORCED FROM
THE N AS A COOL FRONT SLIDES S THROUGH THE REGION LATE TUESDAY
INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL MAINTAIN A DRY AND RELATIVELY COOL
NELY FLOW IN THE LOWER LVLS. MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO INDICATE
AN AREA OF LOW PRES DEVELOPING NR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA LATE IN
THE WEEK...WHICH WILL EVENTUALLY BE PULLED NE ACRS FLA AND INTO
THE ATLANTIC AS SHORTWAVE ENERGY DROPS SE ACRS THE CNTL CONUS.
MODELS INDICATE SOME MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE SHORTWAVE AS IT
MOVES INTO NRN TX...BUT BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF SHOW ENOUGH DRY
AIR OVER THE REGION TO LIMIT PRECIP POTENTIAL WITH THIS FEATURE.
BY NEXT WEEKEND...RIDGING BEGINS TO BUILD BACK OVER THE AREA
ALOFT. NO SIGNIFICANT TEMPERATURE SWINGS ARE ANTICIPATED THROUGH
THE PERIOD WITH HIGHS AROUND NORMAL (UPPER 70S TO AROUND 80) AND
OVERNIGHT LOWS RUNNING NEAR OR SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL (IN THE 50S).

24

MARINE...
LT TO MODT OFFSHORE FLOW WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE WEEK AS HIGH
PRES RIDGES S AND W ACRS LA AND E TX. WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN
BRIEFLY ON WEDNESDAY...POSSIBLY REQUIRING EXERCISE CAUTION
FLAGS...AS LOW PRES DEVELOPS NR THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. WINDS WILL
DIMINISH THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AS THE LOW LIFTS NE
TOWARD FLA.

24

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  56  83  59  82  54 /  10  10  10   0   0
KBPT  58  83  61  81  57 /  10  10  10   0   0
KAEX  53  82  55  79  49 /  10  10   0  10   0
KLFT  57  83  58  82  53 /  10  10   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KLCH 201153
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
653 AM CDT MON OCT 20 2014

.DISCUSSION...
FOR THE 12Z TAF PACKAGE.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR TO PREVAIL WITH A GENERALLY LIGHT NE WIND.

13

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 416 AM CDT MON OCT 20 2014/

SYNOPSIS...
LATEST UA/WV ANALYSIS SHOWS ZONAL FLOW ALOFT BRINGING AN INCREASE IN
MOISTURE INTO THE UPPER LVLS...AND THIS IS INDICATED ON IR IMAGERY
AS WELL WITH SCT HIGH CLOUDS STREAMING EAST ACRS THE REGION. AT
THE SFC...THE FRONT THAT MOVED THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY IS NOW STALLED
ACRS THE NRN GULF OF MEXICO...WITH LOW CLOUDS AND EVEN SOME ISLTD
SHOWERS MARKING THE LOCATION OF THE BOUNDARY ON RADAR/SATELLITE.
HIGH PRES NORTH OF THE BOUNDARY WAS BRINGING LT NELY WINDS AND
COOL QUIET CONDITIONS TO SW LA AND SE TX. TEMPERATURES EARLY THIS
MORNING WERE RUNNING FM AROUND 50 ACRS CNTL LA TO THE LOWER 60S
ACRS LOWER SE TX.

DISCUSSION...
AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF GENERALLY TRANQUIL WEATHER WILL CONTINUE
THIS WEEK. SFC HIGH PRES OVER THE SE CONUS WILL BE REINFORCED FROM
THE N AS A COOL FRONT SLIDES S THROUGH THE REGION LATE TUESDAY
INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL MAINTAIN A DRY AND RELATIVELY COOL
NELY FLOW IN THE LOWER LVLS. MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO INDICATE
AN AREA OF LOW PRES DEVELOPING NR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA LATE IN
THE WEEK...WHICH WILL EVENTUALLY BE PULLED NE ACRS FLA AND INTO
THE ATLANTIC AS SHORTWAVE ENERGY DROPS SE ACRS THE CNTL CONUS.
MODELS INDICATE SOME MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE SHORTWAVE AS IT
MOVES INTO NRN TX...BUT BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF SHOW ENOUGH DRY
AIR OVER THE REGION TO LIMIT PRECIP POTENTIAL WITH THIS FEATURE.
BY NEXT WEEKEND...RIDGING BEGINS TO BUILD BACK OVER THE AREA
ALOFT. NO SIGNIFICANT TEMPERATURE SWINGS ARE ANTICIPATED THROUGH
THE PERIOD WITH HIGHS AROUND NORMAL (UPPER 70S TO AROUND 80) AND
OVERNIGHT LOWS RUNNING NEAR OR SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL (IN THE 50S).

24

MARINE...
LT TO MODT OFFSHORE FLOW WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE WEEK AS HIGH
PRES RIDGES S AND W ACRS LA AND E TX. WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN
BRIEFLY ON WEDNESDAY...POSSIBLY REQUIRING EXERCISE CAUTION
FLAGS...AS LOW PRES DEVELOPS NR THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. WINDS WILL
DIMINISH THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AS THE LOW LIFTS NE
TOWARD FLA.

24

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  81  56  83  59 /  10  10  10  10
KBPT  81  58  83  61 /  10  10  10  10
KAEX  79  53  82  55 /  10  10  10   0
KLFT  81  57  83  58 /  10  10  10   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$






000
FXUS64 KLCH 201153
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
653 AM CDT MON OCT 20 2014

.DISCUSSION...
FOR THE 12Z TAF PACKAGE.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR TO PREVAIL WITH A GENERALLY LIGHT NE WIND.

13

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 416 AM CDT MON OCT 20 2014/

SYNOPSIS...
LATEST UA/WV ANALYSIS SHOWS ZONAL FLOW ALOFT BRINGING AN INCREASE IN
MOISTURE INTO THE UPPER LVLS...AND THIS IS INDICATED ON IR IMAGERY
AS WELL WITH SCT HIGH CLOUDS STREAMING EAST ACRS THE REGION. AT
THE SFC...THE FRONT THAT MOVED THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY IS NOW STALLED
ACRS THE NRN GULF OF MEXICO...WITH LOW CLOUDS AND EVEN SOME ISLTD
SHOWERS MARKING THE LOCATION OF THE BOUNDARY ON RADAR/SATELLITE.
HIGH PRES NORTH OF THE BOUNDARY WAS BRINGING LT NELY WINDS AND
COOL QUIET CONDITIONS TO SW LA AND SE TX. TEMPERATURES EARLY THIS
MORNING WERE RUNNING FM AROUND 50 ACRS CNTL LA TO THE LOWER 60S
ACRS LOWER SE TX.

DISCUSSION...
AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF GENERALLY TRANQUIL WEATHER WILL CONTINUE
THIS WEEK. SFC HIGH PRES OVER THE SE CONUS WILL BE REINFORCED FROM
THE N AS A COOL FRONT SLIDES S THROUGH THE REGION LATE TUESDAY
INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL MAINTAIN A DRY AND RELATIVELY COOL
NELY FLOW IN THE LOWER LVLS. MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO INDICATE
AN AREA OF LOW PRES DEVELOPING NR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA LATE IN
THE WEEK...WHICH WILL EVENTUALLY BE PULLED NE ACRS FLA AND INTO
THE ATLANTIC AS SHORTWAVE ENERGY DROPS SE ACRS THE CNTL CONUS.
MODELS INDICATE SOME MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE SHORTWAVE AS IT
MOVES INTO NRN TX...BUT BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF SHOW ENOUGH DRY
AIR OVER THE REGION TO LIMIT PRECIP POTENTIAL WITH THIS FEATURE.
BY NEXT WEEKEND...RIDGING BEGINS TO BUILD BACK OVER THE AREA
ALOFT. NO SIGNIFICANT TEMPERATURE SWINGS ARE ANTICIPATED THROUGH
THE PERIOD WITH HIGHS AROUND NORMAL (UPPER 70S TO AROUND 80) AND
OVERNIGHT LOWS RUNNING NEAR OR SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL (IN THE 50S).

24

MARINE...
LT TO MODT OFFSHORE FLOW WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE WEEK AS HIGH
PRES RIDGES S AND W ACRS LA AND E TX. WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN
BRIEFLY ON WEDNESDAY...POSSIBLY REQUIRING EXERCISE CAUTION
FLAGS...AS LOW PRES DEVELOPS NR THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. WINDS WILL
DIMINISH THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AS THE LOW LIFTS NE
TOWARD FLA.

24

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  81  56  83  59 /  10  10  10  10
KBPT  81  58  83  61 /  10  10  10  10
KAEX  79  53  82  55 /  10  10  10   0
KLFT  81  57  83  58 /  10  10  10   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KLCH 200916
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
416 AM CDT MON OCT 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
LATEST UA/WV ANALYSIS SHOWS ZONAL FLOW ALOFT BRINGING AN INCREASE IN
MOISTURE INTO THE UPPER LVLS...AND THIS IS INDICATED ON IR IMAGERY
AS WELL WITH SCT HIGH CLOUDS STREAMING EAST ACRS THE REGION. AT
THE SFC...THE FRONT THAT MOVED THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY IS NOW STALLED
ACRS THE NRN GULF OF MEXICO...WITH LOW CLOUDS AND EVEN SOME ISLTD
SHOWERS MARKING THE LOCATION OF THE BOUNDARY ON RADAR/SATELLITE.
HIGH PRES NORTH OF THE BOUNDARY WAS BRINGING LT NELY WINDS AND
COOL QUIET CONDITIONS TO SW LA AND SE TX. TEMPERATURES EARLY THIS
MORNING WERE RUNNING FM AROUND 50 ACRS CNTL LA TO THE LOWER 60S
ACRS LOWER SE TX.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF GENERALLY TRANQUIL WEATHER WILL CONTINUE
THIS WEEK. SFC HIGH PRES OVER THE SE CONUS WILL BE REINFORCED FROM
THE N AS A COOL FRONT SLIDES S THROUGH THE REGION LATE TUESDAY
INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL MAINTAIN A DRY AND RELATIVELY COOL
NELY FLOW IN THE LOWER LVLS. MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO INDICATE
AN AREA OF LOW PRES DEVELOPING NR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA LATE IN
THE WEEK...WHICH WILL EVENTUALLY BE PULLED NE ACRS FLA AND INTO
THE ATLANTIC AS SHORTWAVE ENERGY DROPS SE ACRS THE CNTL CONUS.
MODELS INDICATE SOME MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE SHORTWAVE AS IT
MOVES INTO NRN TX...BUT BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF SHOW ENOUGH DRY
AIR OVER THE REGION TO LIMIT PRECIP POTENTIAL WITH THIS FEATURE.
BY NEXT WEEKEND...RIDGING BEGINS TO BUILD BACK OVER THE AREA
ALOFT. NO SIGNIFICANT TEMPERATURE SWINGS ARE ANTICIPATED THROUGH
THE PERIOD WITH HIGHS AROUND NORMAL (UPPER 70S TO AROUND 80) AND
OVERNIGHT LOWS RUNNING NEAR OR SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL (IN THE 50S).

&&

.MARINE...
LT TO MODT OFFSHORE FLOW WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE WEEK AS HIGH
PRES RIDGES S AND W ACRS LA AND E TX. WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN
BRIEFLY ON WEDNESDAY...POSSIBLY REQUIRING EXERCISE CAUTION
FLAGS...AS LOW PRES DEVELOPS NR THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. WINDS WILL
DIMINISH THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AS THE LOW LIFTS NE
TOWARD FLA.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  80  56  82  58 /  10  10  10   0
KBPT  81  58  83  61 /  10  10  10  10
KAEX  79  53  82  55 /  10  10  10   0
KLFT  81  57  83  59 /  10  10  10   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC/MARINE...24






000
FXUS64 KLCH 200916
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
416 AM CDT MON OCT 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
LATEST UA/WV ANALYSIS SHOWS ZONAL FLOW ALOFT BRINGING AN INCREASE IN
MOISTURE INTO THE UPPER LVLS...AND THIS IS INDICATED ON IR IMAGERY
AS WELL WITH SCT HIGH CLOUDS STREAMING EAST ACRS THE REGION. AT
THE SFC...THE FRONT THAT MOVED THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY IS NOW STALLED
ACRS THE NRN GULF OF MEXICO...WITH LOW CLOUDS AND EVEN SOME ISLTD
SHOWERS MARKING THE LOCATION OF THE BOUNDARY ON RADAR/SATELLITE.
HIGH PRES NORTH OF THE BOUNDARY WAS BRINGING LT NELY WINDS AND
COOL QUIET CONDITIONS TO SW LA AND SE TX. TEMPERATURES EARLY THIS
MORNING WERE RUNNING FM AROUND 50 ACRS CNTL LA TO THE LOWER 60S
ACRS LOWER SE TX.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF GENERALLY TRANQUIL WEATHER WILL CONTINUE
THIS WEEK. SFC HIGH PRES OVER THE SE CONUS WILL BE REINFORCED FROM
THE N AS A COOL FRONT SLIDES S THROUGH THE REGION LATE TUESDAY
INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL MAINTAIN A DRY AND RELATIVELY COOL
NELY FLOW IN THE LOWER LVLS. MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO INDICATE
AN AREA OF LOW PRES DEVELOPING NR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA LATE IN
THE WEEK...WHICH WILL EVENTUALLY BE PULLED NE ACRS FLA AND INTO
THE ATLANTIC AS SHORTWAVE ENERGY DROPS SE ACRS THE CNTL CONUS.
MODELS INDICATE SOME MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE SHORTWAVE AS IT
MOVES INTO NRN TX...BUT BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF SHOW ENOUGH DRY
AIR OVER THE REGION TO LIMIT PRECIP POTENTIAL WITH THIS FEATURE.
BY NEXT WEEKEND...RIDGING BEGINS TO BUILD BACK OVER THE AREA
ALOFT. NO SIGNIFICANT TEMPERATURE SWINGS ARE ANTICIPATED THROUGH
THE PERIOD WITH HIGHS AROUND NORMAL (UPPER 70S TO AROUND 80) AND
OVERNIGHT LOWS RUNNING NEAR OR SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL (IN THE 50S).

&&

.MARINE...
LT TO MODT OFFSHORE FLOW WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE WEEK AS HIGH
PRES RIDGES S AND W ACRS LA AND E TX. WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN
BRIEFLY ON WEDNESDAY...POSSIBLY REQUIRING EXERCISE CAUTION
FLAGS...AS LOW PRES DEVELOPS NR THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. WINDS WILL
DIMINISH THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AS THE LOW LIFTS NE
TOWARD FLA.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  80  56  82  58 /  10  10  10   0
KBPT  81  58  83  61 /  10  10  10  10
KAEX  79  53  82  55 /  10  10  10   0
KLFT  81  57  83  59 /  10  10  10   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC/MARINE...24







000
FXUS64 KLCH 200425
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1125 PM CDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.DISCUSSION...
FOR 06Z TAF ISSUANCE.

&&

.AVIATION...
NO CHANGES TO PREVIOUS TAF THINKING.

25

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 951 PM CDT SUN OCT 19 2014/

UPDATE...WILL SEE TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES BELOW THAT OF LAST
NIGHT. WITH THAT SAID...FORECAST APPEARS ON TRACK AND NO EVENING
UPDATE WILL BE REQUIRED.

MARCOTTE

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 642 PM CDT SUN OCT 19 2014/

DISCUSSION...
FOR 00Z TAF ISSUANCE.

AVIATION...
DRY HIGH PRESSURE SFC/NEAR ZONAL FLOW ALOFT WILL MAINTAIN VFR
CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE SFC HIGH WILL ALSO MAINTAIN
LIGHT NERLY FLOW.

25

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  57  81  58  84  59 /   0  10   0   0   0
KBPT  59  81  60  82  61 /   0  10   0   0   0
KAEX  50  80  54  83  55 /   0   0   0   0   0
KLFT  56  82  58  84  59 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES

&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KLCH 200425
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1125 PM CDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.DISCUSSION...
FOR 06Z TAF ISSUANCE.

&&

.AVIATION...
NO CHANGES TO PREVIOUS TAF THINKING.

25

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 951 PM CDT SUN OCT 19 2014/

UPDATE...WILL SEE TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES BELOW THAT OF LAST
NIGHT. WITH THAT SAID...FORECAST APPEARS ON TRACK AND NO EVENING
UPDATE WILL BE REQUIRED.

MARCOTTE

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 642 PM CDT SUN OCT 19 2014/

DISCUSSION...
FOR 00Z TAF ISSUANCE.

AVIATION...
DRY HIGH PRESSURE SFC/NEAR ZONAL FLOW ALOFT WILL MAINTAIN VFR
CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE SFC HIGH WILL ALSO MAINTAIN
LIGHT NERLY FLOW.

25

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  57  81  58  84  59 /   0  10   0   0   0
KBPT  59  81  60  82  61 /   0  10   0   0   0
KAEX  50  80  54  83  55 /   0   0   0   0   0
KLFT  56  82  58  84  59 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES

&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KLCH 200251
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
951 PM CDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.UPDATE...WILL SEE TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES BELOW THAT OF LAST
NIGHT. WITH THAT SAID...FORECAST APPEARS ON TRACK AND NO EVENING
UPDATE WILL BE REQUIRED.

&&

MARCOTTE


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 642 PM CDT SUN OCT 19 2014/

DISCUSSION...
FOR 00Z TAF ISSUANCE.

AVIATION...
DRY HIGH PRESSURE SFC/NEAR ZONAL FLOW ALOFT WILL MAINTAIN VFR
CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE SFC HIGH WILL ALSO MAINTAIN
LIGHT NERLY FLOW.

25

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  57  81  58  84  59 /   0  10   0   0   0
KBPT  59  81  60  82  61 /   0  10   0   0   0
KAEX  50  80  54  83  55 /   0   0   0   0   0
KLFT  56  82  58  84  59 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KLCH 200251
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
951 PM CDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.UPDATE...WILL SEE TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES BELOW THAT OF LAST
NIGHT. WITH THAT SAID...FORECAST APPEARS ON TRACK AND NO EVENING
UPDATE WILL BE REQUIRED.

&&

MARCOTTE


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 642 PM CDT SUN OCT 19 2014/

DISCUSSION...
FOR 00Z TAF ISSUANCE.

AVIATION...
DRY HIGH PRESSURE SFC/NEAR ZONAL FLOW ALOFT WILL MAINTAIN VFR
CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE SFC HIGH WILL ALSO MAINTAIN
LIGHT NERLY FLOW.

25

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  57  81  58  84  59 /   0  10   0   0   0
KBPT  59  81  60  82  61 /   0  10   0   0   0
KAEX  50  80  54  83  55 /   0   0   0   0   0
KLFT  56  82  58  84  59 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KLCH 192342
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
642 PM CDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.DISCUSSION...
FOR 00Z TAF ISSUANCE.

&&

.AVIATION...
DRY HIGH PRESSURE SFC/NEAR ZONAL FLOW ALOFT WILL MAINTAIN VFR
CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE SFC HIGH WILL ALSO MAINTAIN
LIGHT NERLY FLOW.

25

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  57  81  58  84  59 /   0  10   0   0   0
KBPT  59  81  60  82  61 /   0  10   0   0   0
KAEX  50  80  54  83  55 /   0   0   0   0   0
KLFT  56  82  58  84  59 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON
     LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND
     TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER
     TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES

&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KLCH 192342
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
642 PM CDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.DISCUSSION...
FOR 00Z TAF ISSUANCE.

&&

.AVIATION...
DRY HIGH PRESSURE SFC/NEAR ZONAL FLOW ALOFT WILL MAINTAIN VFR
CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE SFC HIGH WILL ALSO MAINTAIN
LIGHT NERLY FLOW.

25

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  57  81  58  84  59 /   0  10   0   0   0
KBPT  59  81  60  82  61 /   0  10   0   0   0
KAEX  50  80  54  83  55 /   0   0   0   0   0
KLFT  56  82  58  84  59 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON
     LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND
     TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER
     TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES

&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KLCH 192342
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
642 PM CDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.DISCUSSION...
FOR 00Z TAF ISSUANCE.

&&

.AVIATION...
DRY HIGH PRESSURE SFC/NEAR ZONAL FLOW ALOFT WILL MAINTAIN VFR
CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE SFC HIGH WILL ALSO MAINTAIN
LIGHT NERLY FLOW.

25

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  57  81  58  84  59 /   0  10   0   0   0
KBPT  59  81  60  82  61 /   0  10   0   0   0
KAEX  50  80  54  83  55 /   0   0   0   0   0
KLFT  56  82  58  84  59 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON
     LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND
     TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER
     TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES

&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KLCH 192342
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
642 PM CDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.DISCUSSION...
FOR 00Z TAF ISSUANCE.

&&

.AVIATION...
DRY HIGH PRESSURE SFC/NEAR ZONAL FLOW ALOFT WILL MAINTAIN VFR
CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE SFC HIGH WILL ALSO MAINTAIN
LIGHT NERLY FLOW.

25

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  57  81  58  84  59 /   0  10   0   0   0
KBPT  59  81  60  82  61 /   0  10   0   0   0
KAEX  50  80  54  83  55 /   0   0   0   0   0
KLFT  56  82  58  84  59 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON
     LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND
     TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER
     TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES

&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KLCH 192014
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
314 PM CDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.DISCUSSION...NO MAJOR ISSUES WITH THE FORECAST FOR THIS PERIOD.
THE WEEKEND CLOSED ON A GREAT NOTE WITH PLENTY OF SUNSHINE AND LOW
HUMIDITIES. A LARGE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL SETTLE OVER THE SE
U.S. OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. WHILE A SHORT WAVE WILL MOVE JUST
NORTH OF THE AREA ON MONDAY...BOUNDARY LAYER PROGS SHOWING E/NE
FLOW SO APPRECIABLE MOISTURE RETURN IS NOT LIKELY.

A SIMILAR SCENARIO IS DEVELOPING ON THURSDAY AND AGAIN APPEARS THAT
MOST OF MOISTURE WILL BE SUPPRESSED TO THE SOUTH.  THIS MAY OCCUR AS
WELL ON SATURDAY BUT ECMWF APPEARS TO BE DIGGING TROUGH FURTHER
SOUTH.  FOR NOW...WILL MAINTAIN DRY WEATHER TREND INTO THE WEEKEND.

DISTURBANCE OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE MAY LIFT NE WITH APPROACH OF
UPPER TROUGH LATE THIS WEEK.  THIS MAY CONTINUE TO REINFORCE DRY AIR
OVER THE REGION FOR THE WEEKEND.

TEMPERATURES SHOULD REMAIN NEAR OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE
WEEK.


&&

.MARINE...WILL ALLOW SCEC TO EXPIRE AS PER CURRENT GRIDS.

WITH LARGE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE EASTERN U.S...EXPECT
MAINLY E/NE FLOW THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD. SCEC CONDITIONS
...ESPECIALLY WINDS...MAY OCCUR AROUND MIDWEEK AS GRADIENT TIGHTENS
SUFFICIENTLY THANKS TO DEVELOPING DISTURBANCE OVER BAY OF CAMPECHE.
THE GRADIENT WILL WEAKEN AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE SE U.S.
OVER THE WEEKEND.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  57  81  58  84  59 /   0  10   0   0   0
KBPT  59  81  60  82  61 /   0  10   0   0   0
KAEX  50  80  54  83  55 /   0   0   0   0   0
KLFT  56  82  58  84  59 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KLCH 192014
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
314 PM CDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.DISCUSSION...NO MAJOR ISSUES WITH THE FORECAST FOR THIS PERIOD.
THE WEEKEND CLOSED ON A GREAT NOTE WITH PLENTY OF SUNSHINE AND LOW
HUMIDITIES. A LARGE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL SETTLE OVER THE SE
U.S. OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. WHILE A SHORT WAVE WILL MOVE JUST
NORTH OF THE AREA ON MONDAY...BOUNDARY LAYER PROGS SHOWING E/NE
FLOW SO APPRECIABLE MOISTURE RETURN IS NOT LIKELY.

A SIMILAR SCENARIO IS DEVELOPING ON THURSDAY AND AGAIN APPEARS THAT
MOST OF MOISTURE WILL BE SUPPRESSED TO THE SOUTH.  THIS MAY OCCUR AS
WELL ON SATURDAY BUT ECMWF APPEARS TO BE DIGGING TROUGH FURTHER
SOUTH.  FOR NOW...WILL MAINTAIN DRY WEATHER TREND INTO THE WEEKEND.

DISTURBANCE OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE MAY LIFT NE WITH APPROACH OF
UPPER TROUGH LATE THIS WEEK.  THIS MAY CONTINUE TO REINFORCE DRY AIR
OVER THE REGION FOR THE WEEKEND.

TEMPERATURES SHOULD REMAIN NEAR OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE
WEEK.


&&

.MARINE...WILL ALLOW SCEC TO EXPIRE AS PER CURRENT GRIDS.

WITH LARGE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE EASTERN U.S...EXPECT
MAINLY E/NE FLOW THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD. SCEC CONDITIONS
...ESPECIALLY WINDS...MAY OCCUR AROUND MIDWEEK AS GRADIENT TIGHTENS
SUFFICIENTLY THANKS TO DEVELOPING DISTURBANCE OVER BAY OF CAMPECHE.
THE GRADIENT WILL WEAKEN AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE SE U.S.
OVER THE WEEKEND.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  57  81  58  84  59 /   0  10   0   0   0
KBPT  59  81  60  82  61 /   0  10   0   0   0
KAEX  50  80  54  83  55 /   0   0   0   0   0
KLFT  56  82  58  84  59 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KLCH 191528
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1028 AM CDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.UPDATE...CURRENT FORECAST IS ON TRACK. WILL KEEP SCEC GOING FOR
NEARSHORE AND OFFSHORE WATERS FOR TODAY. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES
ARE PLANNED AT THIS MOMENT.

&&


PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 259 AM CDT SUN OCT 19 2014/

DISCUSSION...
COLD FRONT TONIGHT HAS FINALLY PUSHED INTO THE COASTAL WATERS WITH
DRY AIRMASS FILTERING INTO THE AREA IN ITS WAKE.

NO CHANGES TO THE OVERALL THINKING NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS DRY
AIRMASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE WITH NORTHEAST FLOW IN THE LOW
LEVELS. THIS WILL RESULT IN COOL NIGHTS AND MILD DAYS.

NEXT FRONT STILL SCHEDULED FOR TUESDAY NIGHT/WEDNESDAY AS NEW
ENERGY DIVES INTO THE EAST COAST TROUGH. DIFFERENCES IN THE
GUIDANCE BEGIN TO SHOW UP THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY WITH THE EVOLUTION
OF THE NEXT TROUGH. BOTH ARE FAIRLY SIMILAR...BUT THE KEY
DIFFERENCE IS THE AMPLITUDE. THE ECMWF WOULD RESULT IN MORE
CLOUDINESS AND POSSIBLY SOME SHOWERS FOR FRIDAY. AT THIS TIME WILL
HOLD OFF ON INTRODUCTION OF PRECIPITATION AND SEE HOW THINGS
EVOLVE. THE LAST TIME A SIMILAR FEATURE WAS FORECAST A WEEK OR SO
AGO...THE ECMWF HAD TOO MUCH AMPLIFICATION OF THAT SYSTEM.

MARINE...
WINDS HAVE INCREASED IN THE COASTAL WATERS BEHIND A COLD FRONT AND
THESE WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE A BIT THROUGH EARLY MORNING BEFORE
DIMINISHING A BIT THIS AFTERNOON. SCEC WAS INCLUDED WITH THIS
UPDATE TO ACCOUNT FOR WINDS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  80  58  81  59  83 /   0  10  10   0   0
KBPT  81  60  82  61  83 /   0  10  10  10   0
KAEX  76  52  80  55  83 /   0   0   0   0   0
KLFT  80  58  82  59  83 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KLCH 191528
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1028 AM CDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.UPDATE...CURRENT FORECAST IS ON TRACK. WILL KEEP SCEC GOING FOR
NEARSHORE AND OFFSHORE WATERS FOR TODAY. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES
ARE PLANNED AT THIS MOMENT.

&&


PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 259 AM CDT SUN OCT 19 2014/

DISCUSSION...
COLD FRONT TONIGHT HAS FINALLY PUSHED INTO THE COASTAL WATERS WITH
DRY AIRMASS FILTERING INTO THE AREA IN ITS WAKE.

NO CHANGES TO THE OVERALL THINKING NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS DRY
AIRMASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE WITH NORTHEAST FLOW IN THE LOW
LEVELS. THIS WILL RESULT IN COOL NIGHTS AND MILD DAYS.

NEXT FRONT STILL SCHEDULED FOR TUESDAY NIGHT/WEDNESDAY AS NEW
ENERGY DIVES INTO THE EAST COAST TROUGH. DIFFERENCES IN THE
GUIDANCE BEGIN TO SHOW UP THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY WITH THE EVOLUTION
OF THE NEXT TROUGH. BOTH ARE FAIRLY SIMILAR...BUT THE KEY
DIFFERENCE IS THE AMPLITUDE. THE ECMWF WOULD RESULT IN MORE
CLOUDINESS AND POSSIBLY SOME SHOWERS FOR FRIDAY. AT THIS TIME WILL
HOLD OFF ON INTRODUCTION OF PRECIPITATION AND SEE HOW THINGS
EVOLVE. THE LAST TIME A SIMILAR FEATURE WAS FORECAST A WEEK OR SO
AGO...THE ECMWF HAD TOO MUCH AMPLIFICATION OF THAT SYSTEM.

MARINE...
WINDS HAVE INCREASED IN THE COASTAL WATERS BEHIND A COLD FRONT AND
THESE WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE A BIT THROUGH EARLY MORNING BEFORE
DIMINISHING A BIT THIS AFTERNOON. SCEC WAS INCLUDED WITH THIS
UPDATE TO ACCOUNT FOR WINDS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  80  58  81  59  83 /   0  10  10   0   0
KBPT  81  60  82  61  83 /   0  10  10  10   0
KAEX  76  52  80  55  83 /   0   0   0   0   0
KLFT  80  58  82  59  83 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KLCH 191113
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
613 AM CDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.DISCUSSION...
19/12Z TAF ISSUANCE.

&&

.AVIATION...
COLD FRONT HAS PUSHED SOUTH OF THE TAF SITES EARLY THIS
MORNING...WITH VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE NEXT
24 HOURS. SCT STRATOCU CAN BE EXPECTED NR THE LCH/BPT TERMINALS
TODAY WITH SKIES STAYING MOSTLY CLEAR ELSEWHERE. NELY WINDS AROUND
10 KT COULD BRIEFLY GUST TO AROUND 15 KT THIS MORNING AT SRN TAF
SITES. WINDS WILL TAPER OFF TO LESS THAN 5 KT THIS EVENING.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 259 AM CDT SUN OCT 19 2014/

DISCUSSION...
COLD FRONT TONIGHT HAS FINALLY PUSHED INTO THE COASTAL WATERS WITH
DRY AIRMASS FILTERING INTO THE AREA IN ITS WAKE.

NO CHANGES TO THE OVERALL THINKING NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS DRY
AIRMASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE WITH NORTHEAST FLOW IN THE LOW
LEVELS. THIS WILL RESULT IN COOL NIGHTS AND MILD DAYS.

NEXT FRONT STILL SCHEDULED FOR TUESDAY NIGHT/WEDNESDAY AS NEW
ENERGY DIVES INTO THE EAST COAST TROUGH. DIFFERENCES IN THE
GUIDANCE BEGIN TO SHOW UP THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY WITH THE EVOLUTION
OF THE NEXT TROUGH. BOTH ARE FAIRLY SIMILAR...BUT THE KEY
DIFFERENCE IS THE AMPLITUDE. THE ECMWF WOULD RESULT IN MORE
CLOUDINESS AND POSSIBLY SOME SHOWERS FOR FRIDAY. AT THIS TIME WILL
HOLD OFF ON INTRODUCTION OF PRECIPITATION AND SEE HOW THINGS
EVOLVE. THE LAST TIME A SIMILAR FEATURE WAS FORECAST A WEEK OR SO
AGO...THE ECMWF HAD TOO MUCH AMPLIFICATION OF THAT SYSTEM.

MARINE...
WINDS HAVE INCREASED IN THE COASTAL WATERS BEHIND A COLD FRONT AND
THESE WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE A BIT THROUGH EARLY MORNING BEFORE
DIMINISHING A BIT THIS AFTERNOON. SCEC WAS INCLUDED WITH THIS
UPDATE TO ACCOUNT FOR WINDS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  78  56  80  58 /   0   0   0   0
KBPT  81  60  82  61 /   0  10  10  10
KAEX  76  52  80  55 /   0   0   0   0
KLFT  80  58  82  59 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR WATERS
     FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
     WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
     WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA
     FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM-
     COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20
     NM-COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM.


&&

$$

PUBLIC/MARINE...27
AVIATION...24







000
FXUS64 KLCH 191113
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
613 AM CDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.DISCUSSION...
19/12Z TAF ISSUANCE.

&&

.AVIATION...
COLD FRONT HAS PUSHED SOUTH OF THE TAF SITES EARLY THIS
MORNING...WITH VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE NEXT
24 HOURS. SCT STRATOCU CAN BE EXPECTED NR THE LCH/BPT TERMINALS
TODAY WITH SKIES STAYING MOSTLY CLEAR ELSEWHERE. NELY WINDS AROUND
10 KT COULD BRIEFLY GUST TO AROUND 15 KT THIS MORNING AT SRN TAF
SITES. WINDS WILL TAPER OFF TO LESS THAN 5 KT THIS EVENING.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 259 AM CDT SUN OCT 19 2014/

DISCUSSION...
COLD FRONT TONIGHT HAS FINALLY PUSHED INTO THE COASTAL WATERS WITH
DRY AIRMASS FILTERING INTO THE AREA IN ITS WAKE.

NO CHANGES TO THE OVERALL THINKING NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS DRY
AIRMASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE WITH NORTHEAST FLOW IN THE LOW
LEVELS. THIS WILL RESULT IN COOL NIGHTS AND MILD DAYS.

NEXT FRONT STILL SCHEDULED FOR TUESDAY NIGHT/WEDNESDAY AS NEW
ENERGY DIVES INTO THE EAST COAST TROUGH. DIFFERENCES IN THE
GUIDANCE BEGIN TO SHOW UP THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY WITH THE EVOLUTION
OF THE NEXT TROUGH. BOTH ARE FAIRLY SIMILAR...BUT THE KEY
DIFFERENCE IS THE AMPLITUDE. THE ECMWF WOULD RESULT IN MORE
CLOUDINESS AND POSSIBLY SOME SHOWERS FOR FRIDAY. AT THIS TIME WILL
HOLD OFF ON INTRODUCTION OF PRECIPITATION AND SEE HOW THINGS
EVOLVE. THE LAST TIME A SIMILAR FEATURE WAS FORECAST A WEEK OR SO
AGO...THE ECMWF HAD TOO MUCH AMPLIFICATION OF THAT SYSTEM.

MARINE...
WINDS HAVE INCREASED IN THE COASTAL WATERS BEHIND A COLD FRONT AND
THESE WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE A BIT THROUGH EARLY MORNING BEFORE
DIMINISHING A BIT THIS AFTERNOON. SCEC WAS INCLUDED WITH THIS
UPDATE TO ACCOUNT FOR WINDS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  78  56  80  58 /   0   0   0   0
KBPT  81  60  82  61 /   0  10  10  10
KAEX  76  52  80  55 /   0   0   0   0
KLFT  80  58  82  59 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR WATERS
     FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
     WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
     WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA
     FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM-
     COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20
     NM-COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM.


&&

$$

PUBLIC/MARINE...27
AVIATION...24






000
FXUS64 KLCH 190759
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
259 AM CDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.DISCUSSION...
COLD FRONT TONIGHT HAS FINALLY PUSHED INTO THE COASTAL WATERS WITH
DRY AIRMASS FILTERING INTO THE AREA IN ITS WAKE.

NO CHANGES TO THE OVERALL THINKING NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS DRY
AIRMASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE WITH NORTHEAST FLOW IN THE LOW
LEVELS. THIS WILL RESULT IN COOL NIGHTS AND MILD DAYS.

NEXT FRONT STILL SCHEDULED FOR TUESDAY NIGHT/WEDNESDAY AS NEW
ENERGY DIVES INTO THE EAST COAST TROUGH. DIFFERENCES IN THE
GUIDANCE BEGIN TO SHOW UP THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY WITH THE EVOLUTION
OF THE NEXT TROUGH. BOTH ARE FAIRLY SIMILAR...BUT THE KEY
DIFFERENCE IS THE AMPLITUDE. THE ECMWF WOULD RESULT IN MORE
CLOUDINESS AND POSSIBLY SOME SHOWERS FOR FRIDAY. AT THIS TIME WILL
HOLD OFF ON INTRODUCTION OF PRECIPITATION AND SEE HOW THINGS
EVOLVE. THE LAST TIME A SIMILAR FEATURE WAS FORECAST A WEEK OR SO
AGO...THE ECMWF HAD TOO MUCH AMPLIFICATION OF THAT SYSTEM.

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS HAVE INCREASED IN THE COASTAL WATERS BEHIND A COLD FRONT AND
THESE WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE A BIT THROUGH EARLY MORNING BEFORE
DIMINISHING A BIT THIS AFTERNOON. SCEC WAS INCLUDED WITH THIS
UPDATE TO ACCOUNT FOR WINDS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  80  58  81  59  83 /   0  10  10   0   0
KBPT  81  60  82  61  83 /   0  10  10  10   0
KAEX  76  52  80  55  83 /   0   0   0   0   0
KLFT  80  58  82  59  83 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON
     LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND
     TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER
     TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH
     ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY
     TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM.

&&

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES

&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KLCH 190759
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
259 AM CDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.DISCUSSION...
COLD FRONT TONIGHT HAS FINALLY PUSHED INTO THE COASTAL WATERS WITH
DRY AIRMASS FILTERING INTO THE AREA IN ITS WAKE.

NO CHANGES TO THE OVERALL THINKING NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS DRY
AIRMASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE WITH NORTHEAST FLOW IN THE LOW
LEVELS. THIS WILL RESULT IN COOL NIGHTS AND MILD DAYS.

NEXT FRONT STILL SCHEDULED FOR TUESDAY NIGHT/WEDNESDAY AS NEW
ENERGY DIVES INTO THE EAST COAST TROUGH. DIFFERENCES IN THE
GUIDANCE BEGIN TO SHOW UP THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY WITH THE EVOLUTION
OF THE NEXT TROUGH. BOTH ARE FAIRLY SIMILAR...BUT THE KEY
DIFFERENCE IS THE AMPLITUDE. THE ECMWF WOULD RESULT IN MORE
CLOUDINESS AND POSSIBLY SOME SHOWERS FOR FRIDAY. AT THIS TIME WILL
HOLD OFF ON INTRODUCTION OF PRECIPITATION AND SEE HOW THINGS
EVOLVE. THE LAST TIME A SIMILAR FEATURE WAS FORECAST A WEEK OR SO
AGO...THE ECMWF HAD TOO MUCH AMPLIFICATION OF THAT SYSTEM.

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS HAVE INCREASED IN THE COASTAL WATERS BEHIND A COLD FRONT AND
THESE WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE A BIT THROUGH EARLY MORNING BEFORE
DIMINISHING A BIT THIS AFTERNOON. SCEC WAS INCLUDED WITH THIS
UPDATE TO ACCOUNT FOR WINDS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  80  58  81  59  83 /   0  10  10   0   0
KBPT  81  60  82  61  83 /   0  10  10  10   0
KAEX  76  52  80  55  83 /   0   0   0   0   0
KLFT  80  58  82  59  83 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON
     LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND
     TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER
     TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH
     ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY
     TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM.

&&

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES

&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KLCH 190438
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1138 PM CDT SAT OCT 18 2014

.DISCUSSION...
FOR 06Z TAF ISSUANCE.

&&

.AVIATION...
OTHER THAN ADJUSTING INITIAL WINDS/CLOUDS DUE TO FROPA...NO
CHANGES TO PREVIOUS TAF THINKING.

25

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 953 PM CDT SAT OCT 18 2014/

UPDATE...WILL PLACE SOUTHWARD ADVANCING FRONTAL BOUNDARY FROM
NEAR PATTERSON TO JUST NORTH OF BEAUMONT. FRONT IDENTIFIABLE ON
SATELLITE IMAGERY BY A VERY NARROW BAND OF STRATOCU. WITH POST
FRONTAL DRIER AIR FILTERING INTO THE AREA...FOG WILL NOT BE A
CONCERN TONIGHT. GRIDS/FORECAST LOOKS ON TRACK AND SEE NO NEED FOR
AN UPDATE.

MARCOTTE

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 640 PM CDT SAT OCT 18 2014/

DISCUSSION...
FOR 00Z TAF ISSUANCE.

AVIATION...
SATELLITE IMAGERY/SFC OBS INDICATE THE AFTERNOON CU HAS LARGELY
DISSIPATED ACROSS THE AREA...WHILE SOME CIRRUS PASSES OVERHEAD.
WITH FORECAST SOUNDINGS/TIME-HEIGHT SECTIONS INDICATING
LITTLE/NONE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AND THUS VFR CONDITIONS...MAIN
ISSUE THIS PERIOD LOOKS TO BE POST-FRONTAL WINDS AFTER DAYBREAK
TOMORROW AS CAA/TIGHTER GRADIENT DEVELOPS OVER THE REGION. FOR NOW
HAVE GONE WITH AT LEAST A FEW HOURS OF 10+ KNOTS ALL SITES TO
ACCOUNT.

25

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 323 PM CDT SAT OCT 18 2014/

DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT IS PROGRESSING SOUTH ACROSS THE CWA
THIS AFTERNOON WITH A DRIER AIR MASS AND HIGH PRESSURE MOVING IN
FROM THE NORTH. THE FRONT IS DRAPED FROM FAR WEST TX TO ALONG THE
NORTH GULF COAST AND UP THE ATLANTIC COAST. THIS FRONT WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND INTO
THE GULF TONIGHT. MOISTURE IS VERY LIMITED, HOWEVER THERE IS A
VERY SLIM CHANCE THAT ONE OR POSSIBLY TWO BRIEF AND LIGHT SHOWERS
MAY OCCUR CLOSER TO THE COAST WHEN THE FRONT COLLIDES WITH THE SEA
BREEZE LATE THIS AFTERNOON, HOWEVER THE CHANCE IS 10 PERCENT AT BEST AND
THEREFORE NOT MENTIONED IN THE FORECAST. THE FRONT WILL STALL
ACROSS THE CENTRAL OR SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO DURING SUNDAY AND
MONDAY WITH LOW PRESSURE POSSIBLY DEVELOPING ALONG THE BOUNDARY.
THIS LOW WILL MOVE EAST TO NORTHEAST AND ACROSS CUBA AND/OR
FLORIDA BY LATE WEEK OR NEXT WEEKEND. THIS WILL KEEP OUR LOCAL
AREA IN A NORTH TO NORTHEAST FLOW THROUGH THE WEEK WHICH WILL KEEP
HUMIDITY FAIRLY LOW AND TEMPS CLOSE TO SEASONAL AVERAGES ALTHOUGH
A COOLER AIR MASS MY MOVE IN BY THE END OF THE WEEK AS THE GULF
LOW PULLS AWAY. AS FAR AS PRECIP IS CONCERNED, AS THE LOW
DEVELOPS AND MOVES EAST A FEW SHOWERS MAY OCCUR MONDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS, HOWEVER THE CHANCE FOR PRECIP
FROM THE COAST NORTHWARD WILL REMAIN 10 PERCENT OR LESS THROUGH THE
PERIOD.

MARINE...AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN DURING SUNDAY THE OFFSHORE
FLOW MAY INCREASE TO AROUND 15 KTS OR SLIGHTLY MORE AND AN
EXERCISE CAUTION STATEMENT MAY NEED TO BE ADDED. WINDS MAY
DECREASE A BIT INTO MONDAY AND EARLY TUE, HOWEVER LOW PRESSURE MAY
DEVELOP IN THE SOUTHWEST GULF AND MOVE TOWARD CUBA AND FLORIDA BY
MID TO LATE WEEK TIGHTENING THE PRESSURE GRADIENT LOCALLY. THIS MAY
INCREASE THE WINDS BY MID WEEK TO AROUND 15 KTS OR SLIGHTLY MORE
AGAIN IN THE GULF WATERS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  60  79  58  81  60 /   0   0  10  10   0
KBPT  62  81  60  82  61 /  10   0  10  10  10
KAEX  54  76  52  80  55 /   0   0   0   0   0
KLFT  60  80  57  82  59 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES

&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KLCH 190438
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1138 PM CDT SAT OCT 18 2014

.DISCUSSION...
FOR 06Z TAF ISSUANCE.

&&

.AVIATION...
OTHER THAN ADJUSTING INITIAL WINDS/CLOUDS DUE TO FROPA...NO
CHANGES TO PREVIOUS TAF THINKING.

25

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 953 PM CDT SAT OCT 18 2014/

UPDATE...WILL PLACE SOUTHWARD ADVANCING FRONTAL BOUNDARY FROM
NEAR PATTERSON TO JUST NORTH OF BEAUMONT. FRONT IDENTIFIABLE ON
SATELLITE IMAGERY BY A VERY NARROW BAND OF STRATOCU. WITH POST
FRONTAL DRIER AIR FILTERING INTO THE AREA...FOG WILL NOT BE A
CONCERN TONIGHT. GRIDS/FORECAST LOOKS ON TRACK AND SEE NO NEED FOR
AN UPDATE.

MARCOTTE

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 640 PM CDT SAT OCT 18 2014/

DISCUSSION...
FOR 00Z TAF ISSUANCE.

AVIATION...
SATELLITE IMAGERY/SFC OBS INDICATE THE AFTERNOON CU HAS LARGELY
DISSIPATED ACROSS THE AREA...WHILE SOME CIRRUS PASSES OVERHEAD.
WITH FORECAST SOUNDINGS/TIME-HEIGHT SECTIONS INDICATING
LITTLE/NONE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AND THUS VFR CONDITIONS...MAIN
ISSUE THIS PERIOD LOOKS TO BE POST-FRONTAL WINDS AFTER DAYBREAK
TOMORROW AS CAA/TIGHTER GRADIENT DEVELOPS OVER THE REGION. FOR NOW
HAVE GONE WITH AT LEAST A FEW HOURS OF 10+ KNOTS ALL SITES TO
ACCOUNT.

25

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 323 PM CDT SAT OCT 18 2014/

DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT IS PROGRESSING SOUTH ACROSS THE CWA
THIS AFTERNOON WITH A DRIER AIR MASS AND HIGH PRESSURE MOVING IN
FROM THE NORTH. THE FRONT IS DRAPED FROM FAR WEST TX TO ALONG THE
NORTH GULF COAST AND UP THE ATLANTIC COAST. THIS FRONT WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND INTO
THE GULF TONIGHT. MOISTURE IS VERY LIMITED, HOWEVER THERE IS A
VERY SLIM CHANCE THAT ONE OR POSSIBLY TWO BRIEF AND LIGHT SHOWERS
MAY OCCUR CLOSER TO THE COAST WHEN THE FRONT COLLIDES WITH THE SEA
BREEZE LATE THIS AFTERNOON, HOWEVER THE CHANCE IS 10 PERCENT AT BEST AND
THEREFORE NOT MENTIONED IN THE FORECAST. THE FRONT WILL STALL
ACROSS THE CENTRAL OR SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO DURING SUNDAY AND
MONDAY WITH LOW PRESSURE POSSIBLY DEVELOPING ALONG THE BOUNDARY.
THIS LOW WILL MOVE EAST TO NORTHEAST AND ACROSS CUBA AND/OR
FLORIDA BY LATE WEEK OR NEXT WEEKEND. THIS WILL KEEP OUR LOCAL
AREA IN A NORTH TO NORTHEAST FLOW THROUGH THE WEEK WHICH WILL KEEP
HUMIDITY FAIRLY LOW AND TEMPS CLOSE TO SEASONAL AVERAGES ALTHOUGH
A COOLER AIR MASS MY MOVE IN BY THE END OF THE WEEK AS THE GULF
LOW PULLS AWAY. AS FAR AS PRECIP IS CONCERNED, AS THE LOW
DEVELOPS AND MOVES EAST A FEW SHOWERS MAY OCCUR MONDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS, HOWEVER THE CHANCE FOR PRECIP
FROM THE COAST NORTHWARD WILL REMAIN 10 PERCENT OR LESS THROUGH THE
PERIOD.

MARINE...AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN DURING SUNDAY THE OFFSHORE
FLOW MAY INCREASE TO AROUND 15 KTS OR SLIGHTLY MORE AND AN
EXERCISE CAUTION STATEMENT MAY NEED TO BE ADDED. WINDS MAY
DECREASE A BIT INTO MONDAY AND EARLY TUE, HOWEVER LOW PRESSURE MAY
DEVELOP IN THE SOUTHWEST GULF AND MOVE TOWARD CUBA AND FLORIDA BY
MID TO LATE WEEK TIGHTENING THE PRESSURE GRADIENT LOCALLY. THIS MAY
INCREASE THE WINDS BY MID WEEK TO AROUND 15 KTS OR SLIGHTLY MORE
AGAIN IN THE GULF WATERS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  60  79  58  81  60 /   0   0  10  10   0
KBPT  62  81  60  82  61 /  10   0  10  10  10
KAEX  54  76  52  80  55 /   0   0   0   0   0
KLFT  60  80  57  82  59 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES

&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KLCH 190253
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
953 PM CDT SAT OCT 18 2014

.UPDATE...WILL PLACE SOUTHWARD ADVANCING FRONTAL BOUNDARY FROM
NEAR PATTERSON TO JUST NORTH OF BEAUMONT. FRONT IDENTIFIABLE ON
SATELLITE IMAGERY BY A VERY NARROW BAND OF STRATOCU. WITH POST
FRONTAL DRIER AIR FILTERING INTO THE AREA...FOG WILL NOT BE A
CONCERN TONIGHT. GRIDS/FORECAST LOOKS ON TRACK AND SEE NO NEED FOR
AN UPDATE.

&&

MARCOTTE


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 640 PM CDT SAT OCT 18 2014/

DISCUSSION...
FOR 00Z TAF ISSUANCE.

AVIATION...
SATELLITE IMAGERY/SFC OBS INDICATE THE AFTERNOON CU HAS LARGELY
DISSIPATED ACROSS THE AREA...WHILE SOME CIRRUS PASSES OVERHEAD.
WITH FORECAST SOUNDINGS/TIME-HEIGHT SECTIONS INDICATING
LITTLE/NONE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AND THUS VFR CONDITIONS...MAIN
ISSUE THIS PERIOD LOOKS TO BE POST-FRONTAL WINDS AFTER DAYBREAK
TOMORROW AS CAA/TIGHTER GRADIENT DEVELOPS OVER THE REGION. FOR NOW
HAVE GONE WITH AT LEAST A FEW HOURS OF 10+ KNOTS ALL SITES TO
ACCOUNT.

25

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 323 PM CDT SAT OCT 18 2014/

DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT IS PROGRESSING SOUTH ACROSS THE CWA
THIS AFTERNOON WITH A DRIER AIR MASS AND HIGH PRESSURE MOVING IN
FROM THE NORTH. THE FRONT IS DRAPED FROM FAR WEST TX TO ALONG THE
NORTH GULF COAST AND UP THE ATLANTIC COAST. THIS FRONT WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND INTO
THE GULF TONIGHT. MOISTURE IS VERY LIMITED, HOWEVER THERE IS A
VERY SLIM CHANCE THAT ONE OR POSSIBLY TWO BRIEF AND LIGHT SHOWERS
MAY OCCUR CLOSER TO THE COAST WHEN THE FRONT COLLIDES WITH THE SEA
BREEZE LATE THIS AFTERNOON, HOWEVER THE CHANCE IS 10 PERCENT AT BEST AND
THEREFORE NOT MENTIONED IN THE FORECAST. THE FRONT WILL STALL
ACROSS THE CENTRAL OR SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO DURING SUNDAY AND
MONDAY WITH LOW PRESSURE POSSIBLY DEVELOPING ALONG THE BOUNDARY.
THIS LOW WILL MOVE EAST TO NORTHEAST AND ACROSS CUBA AND/OR
FLORIDA BY LATE WEEK OR NEXT WEEKEND. THIS WILL KEEP OUR LOCAL
AREA IN A NORTH TO NORTHEAST FLOW THROUGH THE WEEK WHICH WILL KEEP
HUMIDITY FAIRLY LOW AND TEMPS CLOSE TO SEASONAL AVERAGES ALTHOUGH
A COOLER AIR MASS MY MOVE IN BY THE END OF THE WEEK AS THE GULF
LOW PULLS AWAY. AS FAR AS PRECIP IS CONCERNED, AS THE LOW
DEVELOPS AND MOVES EAST A FEW SHOWERS MAY OCCUR MONDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS, HOWEVER THE CHANCE FOR PRECIP
FROM THE COAST NORTHWARD WILL REMAIN 10 PERCENT OR LESS THROUGH THE
PERIOD.

MARINE...AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN DURING SUNDAY THE OFFSHORE
FLOW MAY INCREASE TO AROUND 15 KTS OR SLIGHTLY MORE AND AN
EXERCISE CAUTION STATEMENT MAY NEED TO BE ADDED. WINDS MAY
DECREASE A BIT INTO MONDAY AND EARLY TUE, HOWEVER LOW PRESSURE MAY
DEVELOP IN THE SOUTHWEST GULF AND MOVE TOWARD CUBA AND FLORIDA BY
MID TO LATE WEEK TIGHTENING THE PRESSURE GRADIENT LOCALLY. THIS MAY
INCREASE THE WINDS BY MID WEEK TO AROUND 15 KTS OR SLIGHTLY MORE
AGAIN IN THE GULF WATERS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  60  79  58  81  60 /   0   0  10  10   0
KBPT  62  81  60  82  61 /  10   0  10  10  10
KAEX  54  76  52  80  55 /   0   0   0   0   0
KLFT  60  80  57  82  59 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KLCH 190253
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
953 PM CDT SAT OCT 18 2014

.UPDATE...WILL PLACE SOUTHWARD ADVANCING FRONTAL BOUNDARY FROM
NEAR PATTERSON TO JUST NORTH OF BEAUMONT. FRONT IDENTIFIABLE ON
SATELLITE IMAGERY BY A VERY NARROW BAND OF STRATOCU. WITH POST
FRONTAL DRIER AIR FILTERING INTO THE AREA...FOG WILL NOT BE A
CONCERN TONIGHT. GRIDS/FORECAST LOOKS ON TRACK AND SEE NO NEED FOR
AN UPDATE.

&&

MARCOTTE


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 640 PM CDT SAT OCT 18 2014/

DISCUSSION...
FOR 00Z TAF ISSUANCE.

AVIATION...
SATELLITE IMAGERY/SFC OBS INDICATE THE AFTERNOON CU HAS LARGELY
DISSIPATED ACROSS THE AREA...WHILE SOME CIRRUS PASSES OVERHEAD.
WITH FORECAST SOUNDINGS/TIME-HEIGHT SECTIONS INDICATING
LITTLE/NONE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AND THUS VFR CONDITIONS...MAIN
ISSUE THIS PERIOD LOOKS TO BE POST-FRONTAL WINDS AFTER DAYBREAK
TOMORROW AS CAA/TIGHTER GRADIENT DEVELOPS OVER THE REGION. FOR NOW
HAVE GONE WITH AT LEAST A FEW HOURS OF 10+ KNOTS ALL SITES TO
ACCOUNT.

25

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 323 PM CDT SAT OCT 18 2014/

DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT IS PROGRESSING SOUTH ACROSS THE CWA
THIS AFTERNOON WITH A DRIER AIR MASS AND HIGH PRESSURE MOVING IN
FROM THE NORTH. THE FRONT IS DRAPED FROM FAR WEST TX TO ALONG THE
NORTH GULF COAST AND UP THE ATLANTIC COAST. THIS FRONT WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND INTO
THE GULF TONIGHT. MOISTURE IS VERY LIMITED, HOWEVER THERE IS A
VERY SLIM CHANCE THAT ONE OR POSSIBLY TWO BRIEF AND LIGHT SHOWERS
MAY OCCUR CLOSER TO THE COAST WHEN THE FRONT COLLIDES WITH THE SEA
BREEZE LATE THIS AFTERNOON, HOWEVER THE CHANCE IS 10 PERCENT AT BEST AND
THEREFORE NOT MENTIONED IN THE FORECAST. THE FRONT WILL STALL
ACROSS THE CENTRAL OR SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO DURING SUNDAY AND
MONDAY WITH LOW PRESSURE POSSIBLY DEVELOPING ALONG THE BOUNDARY.
THIS LOW WILL MOVE EAST TO NORTHEAST AND ACROSS CUBA AND/OR
FLORIDA BY LATE WEEK OR NEXT WEEKEND. THIS WILL KEEP OUR LOCAL
AREA IN A NORTH TO NORTHEAST FLOW THROUGH THE WEEK WHICH WILL KEEP
HUMIDITY FAIRLY LOW AND TEMPS CLOSE TO SEASONAL AVERAGES ALTHOUGH
A COOLER AIR MASS MY MOVE IN BY THE END OF THE WEEK AS THE GULF
LOW PULLS AWAY. AS FAR AS PRECIP IS CONCERNED, AS THE LOW
DEVELOPS AND MOVES EAST A FEW SHOWERS MAY OCCUR MONDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS, HOWEVER THE CHANCE FOR PRECIP
FROM THE COAST NORTHWARD WILL REMAIN 10 PERCENT OR LESS THROUGH THE
PERIOD.

MARINE...AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN DURING SUNDAY THE OFFSHORE
FLOW MAY INCREASE TO AROUND 15 KTS OR SLIGHTLY MORE AND AN
EXERCISE CAUTION STATEMENT MAY NEED TO BE ADDED. WINDS MAY
DECREASE A BIT INTO MONDAY AND EARLY TUE, HOWEVER LOW PRESSURE MAY
DEVELOP IN THE SOUTHWEST GULF AND MOVE TOWARD CUBA AND FLORIDA BY
MID TO LATE WEEK TIGHTENING THE PRESSURE GRADIENT LOCALLY. THIS MAY
INCREASE THE WINDS BY MID WEEK TO AROUND 15 KTS OR SLIGHTLY MORE
AGAIN IN THE GULF WATERS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  60  79  58  81  60 /   0   0  10  10   0
KBPT  62  81  60  82  61 /  10   0  10  10  10
KAEX  54  76  52  80  55 /   0   0   0   0   0
KLFT  60  80  57  82  59 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KLCH 182340
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
640 PM CDT SAT OCT 18 2014

.DISCUSSION...
FOR 00Z TAF ISSUANCE.

&&

.AVIATION...
SATELLITE IMAGERY/SFC OBS INDICATE THE AFTERNOON CU HAS LARGELY
DISSIPATED ACROSS THE AREA...WHILE SOME CIRRUS PASSES OVERHEAD.
WITH FORECAST SOUNDINGS/TIME-HEIGHT SECTIONS INDICATING
LITTLE/NONE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AND THUS VFR CONDITIONS...MAIN
ISSUE THIS PERIOD LOOKS TO BE POST-FRONTAL WINDS AFTER DAYBREAK
TOMORROW AS CAA/TIGHTER GRADIENT DEVELOPS OVER THE REGION. FOR NOW
HAVE GONE WITH AT LEAST A FEW HOURS OF 10+ KNOTS ALL SITES TO
ACCOUNT.

25

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 323 PM CDT SAT OCT 18 2014/

DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT IS PROGRESSING SOUTH ACROSS THE CWA
THIS AFTERNOON WITH A DRIER AIR MASS AND HIGH PRESSURE MOVING IN
FROM THE NORTH. THE FRONT IS DRAPED FROM FAR WEST TX TO ALONG THE
NORTH GULF COAST AND UP THE ATLANTIC COAST. THIS FRONT WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND INTO
THE GULF TONIGHT. MOISTURE IS VERY LIMITED, HOWEVER THERE IS A
VERY SLIM CHANCE THAT ONE OR POSSIBLY TWO BRIEF AND LIGHT SHOWERS
MAY OCCUR CLOSER TO THE COAST WHEN THE FRONT COLLIDES WITH THE SEA
BREEZE LATE THIS AFTERNOON, HOWEVER THE CHANCE IS 10 PERCENT AT BEST AND
THEREFORE NOT MENTIONED IN THE FORECAST. THE FRONT WILL STALL
ACROSS THE CENTRAL OR SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO DURING SUNDAY AND
MONDAY WITH LOW PRESSURE POSSIBLY DEVELOPING ALONG THE BOUNDARY.
THIS LOW WILL MOVE EAST TO NORTHEAST AND ACROSS CUBA AND/OR
FLORIDA BY LATE WEEK OR NEXT WEEKEND. THIS WILL KEEP OUR LOCAL
AREA IN A NORTH TO NORTHEAST FLOW THROUGH THE WEEK WHICH WILL KEEP
HUMIDITY FAIRLY LOW AND TEMPS CLOSE TO SEASONAL AVERAGES ALTHOUGH
A COOLER AIR MASS MY MOVE IN BY THE END OF THE WEEK AS THE GULF
LOW PULLS AWAY. AS FAR AS PRECIP IS CONCERNED, AS THE LOW
DEVELOPS AND MOVES EAST A FEW SHOWERS MAY OCCUR MONDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS, HOWEVER THE CHANCE FOR PRECIP
FROM THE COAST NORTHWARD WILL REMAIN 10 PERCENT OR LESS THROUGH THE
PERIOD.

MARINE...AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN DURING SUNDAY THE OFFSHORE
FLOW MAY INCREASE TO AROUND 15 KTS OR SLIGHTLY MORE AND AN
EXERCISE CAUTION STATEMENT MAY NEED TO BE ADDED. WINDS MAY
DECREASE A BIT INTO MONDAY AND EARLY TUE, HOWEVER LOW PRESSURE MAY
DEVELOP IN THE SOUTHWEST GULF AND MOVE TOWARD CUBA AND FLORIDA BY
MID TO LATE WEEK TIGHTENING THE PRESSURE GRADIENT LOCALLY. THIS MAY
INCREASE THE WINDS BY MID WEEK TO AROUND 15 KTS OR SLIGHTLY MORE
AGAIN IN THE GULF WATERS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  60  79  58  81  60 /   0   0  10  10   0
KBPT  62  81  60  82  61 /  10   0  10  10  10
KAEX  54  76  52  80  55 /   0   0   0   0   0
KLFT  60  80  57  82  59 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES

&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KLCH 182340
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
640 PM CDT SAT OCT 18 2014

.DISCUSSION...
FOR 00Z TAF ISSUANCE.

&&

.AVIATION...
SATELLITE IMAGERY/SFC OBS INDICATE THE AFTERNOON CU HAS LARGELY
DISSIPATED ACROSS THE AREA...WHILE SOME CIRRUS PASSES OVERHEAD.
WITH FORECAST SOUNDINGS/TIME-HEIGHT SECTIONS INDICATING
LITTLE/NONE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AND THUS VFR CONDITIONS...MAIN
ISSUE THIS PERIOD LOOKS TO BE POST-FRONTAL WINDS AFTER DAYBREAK
TOMORROW AS CAA/TIGHTER GRADIENT DEVELOPS OVER THE REGION. FOR NOW
HAVE GONE WITH AT LEAST A FEW HOURS OF 10+ KNOTS ALL SITES TO
ACCOUNT.

25

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 323 PM CDT SAT OCT 18 2014/

DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT IS PROGRESSING SOUTH ACROSS THE CWA
THIS AFTERNOON WITH A DRIER AIR MASS AND HIGH PRESSURE MOVING IN
FROM THE NORTH. THE FRONT IS DRAPED FROM FAR WEST TX TO ALONG THE
NORTH GULF COAST AND UP THE ATLANTIC COAST. THIS FRONT WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND INTO
THE GULF TONIGHT. MOISTURE IS VERY LIMITED, HOWEVER THERE IS A
VERY SLIM CHANCE THAT ONE OR POSSIBLY TWO BRIEF AND LIGHT SHOWERS
MAY OCCUR CLOSER TO THE COAST WHEN THE FRONT COLLIDES WITH THE SEA
BREEZE LATE THIS AFTERNOON, HOWEVER THE CHANCE IS 10 PERCENT AT BEST AND
THEREFORE NOT MENTIONED IN THE FORECAST. THE FRONT WILL STALL
ACROSS THE CENTRAL OR SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO DURING SUNDAY AND
MONDAY WITH LOW PRESSURE POSSIBLY DEVELOPING ALONG THE BOUNDARY.
THIS LOW WILL MOVE EAST TO NORTHEAST AND ACROSS CUBA AND/OR
FLORIDA BY LATE WEEK OR NEXT WEEKEND. THIS WILL KEEP OUR LOCAL
AREA IN A NORTH TO NORTHEAST FLOW THROUGH THE WEEK WHICH WILL KEEP
HUMIDITY FAIRLY LOW AND TEMPS CLOSE TO SEASONAL AVERAGES ALTHOUGH
A COOLER AIR MASS MY MOVE IN BY THE END OF THE WEEK AS THE GULF
LOW PULLS AWAY. AS FAR AS PRECIP IS CONCERNED, AS THE LOW
DEVELOPS AND MOVES EAST A FEW SHOWERS MAY OCCUR MONDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS, HOWEVER THE CHANCE FOR PRECIP
FROM THE COAST NORTHWARD WILL REMAIN 10 PERCENT OR LESS THROUGH THE
PERIOD.

MARINE...AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN DURING SUNDAY THE OFFSHORE
FLOW MAY INCREASE TO AROUND 15 KTS OR SLIGHTLY MORE AND AN
EXERCISE CAUTION STATEMENT MAY NEED TO BE ADDED. WINDS MAY
DECREASE A BIT INTO MONDAY AND EARLY TUE, HOWEVER LOW PRESSURE MAY
DEVELOP IN THE SOUTHWEST GULF AND MOVE TOWARD CUBA AND FLORIDA BY
MID TO LATE WEEK TIGHTENING THE PRESSURE GRADIENT LOCALLY. THIS MAY
INCREASE THE WINDS BY MID WEEK TO AROUND 15 KTS OR SLIGHTLY MORE
AGAIN IN THE GULF WATERS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  60  79  58  81  60 /   0   0  10  10   0
KBPT  62  81  60  82  61 /  10   0  10  10  10
KAEX  54  76  52  80  55 /   0   0   0   0   0
KLFT  60  80  57  82  59 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES

&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KLCH 182023
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
323 PM CDT SAT OCT 18 2014

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT IS PROGRESSING SOUTH ACROSS THE CWA
THIS AFTERNOON WITH A DRIER AIR MASS AND HIGH PRESSURE MOVING IN
FROM THE NORTH. THE FRONT IS DRAPED FROM FAR WEST TX TO ALONG THE
NORTH GULF COAST AND UP THE ATLANTIC COAST. THIS FRONT WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND INTO
THE GULF TONIGHT. MOISTURE IS VERY LIMITED, HOWEVER THERE IS A
VERY SLIM CHANCE THAT ONE OR POSSIBLY TWO BRIEF AND LIGHT SHOWERS
MAY OCCUR CLOSER TO THE COAST WHEN THE FRONT COLLIDES WITH THE SEA
BREEZE LATE THIS AFTERNOON, HOWEVER THE CHANCE IS 10 PERCENT AT BEST AND
THEREFORE NOT MENTIONED IN THE FORECAST. THE FRONT WILL STALL
ACROSS THE CENTRAL OR SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO DURING SUNDAY AND
MONDAY WITH LOW PRESSURE POSSIBLY DEVELOPING ALONG THE BOUNDARY.
THIS LOW WILL MOVE EAST TO NORTHEAST AND ACROSS CUBA AND/OR
FLORIDA BY LATE WEEK OR NEXT WEEKEND. THIS WILL KEEP OUR LOCAL
AREA IN A NORTH TO NORTHEAST FLOW THROUGH THE WEEK WHICH WILL KEEP
HUMIDITY FAIRLY LOW AND TEMPS CLOSE TO SEASONAL AVERAGES ALTHOUGH
A COOLER AIR MASS MY MOVE IN BY THE END OF THE WEEK AS THE GULF
LOW PULLS AWAY. AS FAR AS PRECIP IS CONCERNED, AS THE LOW
DEVELOPS AND MOVES EAST A FEW SHOWERS MAY OCCUR MONDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS, HOWEVER THE CHANCE FOR PRECIP
FROM THE COAST NORTHWARD WILL REMAIN 10 PERCENT OR LESS THROUGH THE
PERIOD.


&&

.MARINE...AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN DURING SUNDAY THE OFFSHORE
FLOW MAY INCREASE TO AROUND 15 KTS OR SLIGHTLY MORE AND AN
EXERCISE CAUTION STATEMENT MAY NEED TO BE ADDED. WINDS MAY
DECREASE A BIT INTO MONDAY AND EARLY TUE, HOWEVER LOW PRESSURE MAY
DEVELOP IN THE SOUTHWEST GULF AND MOVE TOWARD CUBA AND FLORIDA BY
MID TO LATE WEEK TIGHTENING THE PRESSURE GRADIENT LOCALLY. THIS MAY
INCREASE THE WINDS BY MID WEEK TO AROUND 15 KTS OR SLIGHTLY MORE
AGAIN IN THE GULF WATERS.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  60  79  58  81  60 /   0   0  10  10   0
KBPT  62  81  60  82  61 /  10   0  10  10  10
KAEX  54  76  52  80  55 /   0   0   0   0   0
KLFT  60  80  57  82  59 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES

&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KLCH 182023
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
323 PM CDT SAT OCT 18 2014

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT IS PROGRESSING SOUTH ACROSS THE CWA
THIS AFTERNOON WITH A DRIER AIR MASS AND HIGH PRESSURE MOVING IN
FROM THE NORTH. THE FRONT IS DRAPED FROM FAR WEST TX TO ALONG THE
NORTH GULF COAST AND UP THE ATLANTIC COAST. THIS FRONT WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND INTO
THE GULF TONIGHT. MOISTURE IS VERY LIMITED, HOWEVER THERE IS A
VERY SLIM CHANCE THAT ONE OR POSSIBLY TWO BRIEF AND LIGHT SHOWERS
MAY OCCUR CLOSER TO THE COAST WHEN THE FRONT COLLIDES WITH THE SEA
BREEZE LATE THIS AFTERNOON, HOWEVER THE CHANCE IS 10 PERCENT AT BEST AND
THEREFORE NOT MENTIONED IN THE FORECAST. THE FRONT WILL STALL
ACROSS THE CENTRAL OR SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO DURING SUNDAY AND
MONDAY WITH LOW PRESSURE POSSIBLY DEVELOPING ALONG THE BOUNDARY.
THIS LOW WILL MOVE EAST TO NORTHEAST AND ACROSS CUBA AND/OR
FLORIDA BY LATE WEEK OR NEXT WEEKEND. THIS WILL KEEP OUR LOCAL
AREA IN A NORTH TO NORTHEAST FLOW THROUGH THE WEEK WHICH WILL KEEP
HUMIDITY FAIRLY LOW AND TEMPS CLOSE TO SEASONAL AVERAGES ALTHOUGH
A COOLER AIR MASS MY MOVE IN BY THE END OF THE WEEK AS THE GULF
LOW PULLS AWAY. AS FAR AS PRECIP IS CONCERNED, AS THE LOW
DEVELOPS AND MOVES EAST A FEW SHOWERS MAY OCCUR MONDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS, HOWEVER THE CHANCE FOR PRECIP
FROM THE COAST NORTHWARD WILL REMAIN 10 PERCENT OR LESS THROUGH THE
PERIOD.


&&

.MARINE...AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN DURING SUNDAY THE OFFSHORE
FLOW MAY INCREASE TO AROUND 15 KTS OR SLIGHTLY MORE AND AN
EXERCISE CAUTION STATEMENT MAY NEED TO BE ADDED. WINDS MAY
DECREASE A BIT INTO MONDAY AND EARLY TUE, HOWEVER LOW PRESSURE MAY
DEVELOP IN THE SOUTHWEST GULF AND MOVE TOWARD CUBA AND FLORIDA BY
MID TO LATE WEEK TIGHTENING THE PRESSURE GRADIENT LOCALLY. THIS MAY
INCREASE THE WINDS BY MID WEEK TO AROUND 15 KTS OR SLIGHTLY MORE
AGAIN IN THE GULF WATERS.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  60  79  58  81  60 /   0   0  10  10   0
KBPT  62  81  60  82  61 /  10   0  10  10  10
KAEX  54  76  52  80  55 /   0   0   0   0   0
KLFT  60  80  57  82  59 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES

&&

$$









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