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000
FXUS64 KLIX 250509
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1208 AM CDT SAT OCT 25 2014

.AVIATION...

VFR CONDITIONS WITH CLEAR SKIES AND EXCELLENT VSBYS WILL PREVAIL
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 325 PM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014/

SYNOPSIS...

CENTER OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE CUMBERLAND
PLATEAU IN TENNESSEE SOUTHWESTWARD INTO EAST TEXAS. VERY LITTLE IN
THE WAY OF CLOUDINESS WITHIN 300 MILES OF NEW ORLEANS THIS
AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES GENERALLY IN THE MID 70S THIS AFTERNOON
WITH DEW POINTS IN THE 40S.

SHORT TERM...

SHORTWAVE PASSING ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON WITH LITTLE
ASSOCIATED WEATHER. HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT
EASTWARD OVER THE WEEKEND AND BE CENTERED ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST
INTO THE WESTERN GULF BY MONDAY. VERY LITTLE IN THE WAY OF
MOISTURE EXPECTED IN THE AREA THROUGH MONDAY. TONIGHT WILL BE COOL
AGAIN WITH READINGS CLOSE TO WHAT WAS OBSERVED THIS MORNING...THEN
A GRADUAL WARMING TREND THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH 3-4 DEGREES OF
WARMING EACH DAY. 35

LONG TERM...

UPPER TROFS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. MOISTURE REMAINS VERY LIMITED...AND
CANNOT SEE MUCH MORE THAN 20-30 POPS DURING THE MIDDLE AND END OF
THE WORK WEEK. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
MUCH OF THE WEEK...ALTHOUGH THERE WILL BE SOME COOLING AFTER THE
PASSAGE OF THE TROF/FRONT TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. WILL NOTE
THAT MODEL SOLUTIONS ARE SHOWING SIGNIFICANT COOLING BEHIND THE
FRIDAY FRONT. SOME INDICATIONS THAT TEMPERATURES MAY HAVE TROUBLE
MAKING IT MUCH PAST LOWER 70S NEXT SATURDAY...WILL CONTINUE TO
MONITOR AND CURRENT FORECAST MAX FOR NEXT SATURDAY MAY NEED TO BE
LOWERED CONSIDERABLY. 35

AVIATION...

VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE FCST AND NO ISSUES ARE
ANTICIPATED. /CAB/

MARINE...

OVERALL THINGS SHOULD BE FAIRLY QUIET FOR THE MARINE ZONES. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE GULF SOUTH THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO
NEXT WEEK. WINDS NEAR 10 KTS TODAY AND TONIGHT WILL LIKELY REMAIN
AROUND 10 KTS OR LESS TOMORROW NIGHT AND THROUGH SAT. THE CTR OF
THE HIGH WILL SLIDE TWRD THE MID ATLANTIC REGION SUN/MON LEADING
TO ONSHORE FLOW RETURNING MON. /CAB/

DECISION SUPPORT...

DSS CODE...GREEN.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...SLURRY SUPPORT.

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
         WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR
         AND/OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL
         SIGNIFICANCE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  54  84  58  82 /   0   0  10   0
BTR  54  86  59  84 /   0   0   0  10
ASD  54  84  60  82 /   0   0  10  10
MSY  60  83  64  83 /   0   0  10  10
GPT  57  83  62  80 /   0   0  10  10
PQL  53  83  59  81 /   0   0  10   0

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KLIX 242025
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
325 PM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...

CENTER OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE CUMBERLAND
PLATEAU IN TENNESSEE SOUTHWESTWARD INTO EAST TEXAS. VERY LITTLE IN
THE WAY OF CLOUDINESS WITHIN 300 MILES OF NEW ORLEANS THIS
AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES GENERALLY IN THE MID 70S THIS AFTERNOON
WITH DEW POINTS IN THE 40S.

&&

.SHORT TERM...

SHORTWAVE PASSING ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON WITH LITTLE
ASSOCIATED WEATHER. HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT
EASTWARD OVER THE WEEKEND AND BE CENTERED ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST
INTO THE WESTERN GULF BY MONDAY. VERY LITTLE IN THE WAY OF
MOISTURE EXPECTED IN THE AREA THROUGH MONDAY. TONIGHT WILL BE COOL
AGAIN WITH READINGS CLOSE TO WHAT WAS OBSERVED THIS MORNING...THEN
A GRADUAL WARMING TREND THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH 3-4 DEGREES OF
WARMING EACH DAY. 35

&&

.LONG TERM...

UPPER TROFS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. MOISTURE REMAINS VERY LIMITED...AND
CANNOT SEE MUCH MORE THAN 20-30 POPS DURING THE MIDDLE AND END OF
THE WORK WEEK. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
MUCH OF THE WEEK...ALTHOUGH THERE WILL BE SOME COOLING AFTER THE
PASSAGE OF THE TROF/FRONT TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. WILL NOTE
THAT MODEL SOLUTIONS ARE SHOWING SIGNIFICANT COOLING BEHIND THE
FRIDAY FRONT. SOME INDICATIONS THAT TEMPERATURES MAY HAVE TROUBLE
MAKING IT MUCH PAST LOWER 70S NEXT SATURDAY...WILL CONTINUE TO
MONITOR AND CURRENT FORECAST MAX FOR NEXT SATURDAY MAY NEED TO BE
LOWERED CONSIDERABLY. 35

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE FCST AND NO ISSUES ARE
ANTICIPATED. /CAB/

&&

.MARINE...

OVERALL THINGS SHOULD BE FAIRLY QUIET FOR THE MARINE ZONES. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE GULF SOUTH THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO
NEXT WEEK. WINDS NEAR 10 KTS TODAY AND TONIGHT WILL LIKELY REMAIN
AROUND 10 KTS OR LESS TOMORROW NIGHT AND THROUGH SAT. THE CTR OF
THE HIGH WILL SLIDE TWRD THE MID ATLANTIC REGION SUN/MON LEADING
TO ONSHORE FLOW RETURNING MON. /CAB/

&&

.DECISION SUPPORT...

DSS CODE...GREEN.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...SLURRY SUPPORT.

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
         WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR
         AND/OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL
         SIGNIFICANCE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  50  81  54  84 /   0   0   0   0
BTR  50  82  54  86 /   0   0   0   0
ASD  47  81  54  84 /   0   0   0   0
MSY  58  79  60  83 /   0   0   0   0
GPT  51  80  57  83 /   0   0   0   0
PQL  46  79  53  83 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KLIX 241303
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
803 AM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014

...SOUNDING DISCUSSION...

A STABLE...DRY...AND OVERALL COOLER ATMOSPHERE SUMMARIZES THIS
MORNING/S SOUNDING. MORE SPECIFICALLY...A BIT MORE MOISTURE HAS
MADE ITS WAY INTO THE LOWER AND MID-LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERIC
PROFILE THIS MORNING BRINGING THE PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUE UP TO
0.61 INCHES. TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT THE COLUMN ARE LOWER /COOLER/
THAN YESTERDAY AT THIS TIME AT ABOUT EVERY LEVEL IN THE
TROPOSPHERE. ONLY THE LOWEST 2500 FEET IS ABOUT 1 DEGREE HIGHER
/WARMER/ THAN YESTERDAY. SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY MORNING...WINDS ARE
FROM A NORTHERLY DIRECTION FROM THE SURFACE TO 12000 FEET AND THEN
FROM A WESTERLY DIRECTION ABOVE THAT. A PEAK WIND OF 86 KNOTS WAS
FOUND AT 40500 FEET.

12Z BALLOON INFO: A ROUTINE FLIGHT THIS MORNING THAT LASTED 113 MINUTES
AND REACHED A HEIGHT OF 20.7 MILES ABOVE THE GROUND BEFORE BURSTING
SOUTHEAST OF GULFPORT NEAR SHIP ISLAND 50 MILES DOWNRANGE.

ANSORGE

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 320 AM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN CONTROL OF THE AREA/S WEATHER
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE SURFACE HIGH WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT
SOUTHWARD OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AND SHOULD BE CENTERED NEAR THE
LOCAL AREA BY SUNDAY MORNING. LOW DEWPOINTS AND NEARLY CLOUDLESS
SKIES WILL GENERALLY ALLOW OVERNIGHT LOWS TO PERSIST BELOW NORMAL
FOR THE NORTH SHORE AND NEAR NORMAL FOR THE SOUTH SHORE FOR THE
NEXT COUPLE NIGHTS. AFTERNOON HIGHS...HOWEVER...WILL GRADUALLY
WARM ABOVE NORMAL AS UPPER LEVEL RIDGING BUILDS INTO THE AREA.

BY SUNDAY EVENING...THE SURFACE HIGH WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT EASTWARD
AND WILL RESULT IN WINDS BECOMING ONSHORE. THIS WILL MARK THE
START OF A VERY SLOW RETURN OF MOISTURE TO THE AREA. ALSO EXPECT
TEMPERATURES TO CONTINUE THEIR SLOW WARMING TREND. MODEL GUIDANCE
IS IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE FIRST PART OF NEXT WEEK...
SO A BLAND OF AVAILABLE GUIDANCE SEEMS REASONABLE. TWILL NOTE THAT
THE MEX SEEMS TO BE A BIT TOO AGGRESSIVE ON AFTERNOON HIGHS FOR
THE SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY TIME FRAME...WHEN IT IS ACTUALLY
FORECASTING UPPER 80S TO NEAR 90 DEGREES. STILL USED A BLEND...
BUT WITH A HEAVIER WEIGHT ON THE COOLER EURO MOS GUIDANCE.

MOVING INTO MIDWEEK...A COUPLE SHORT WAVES WILL IMPACT THE AREA.
THE FIRST WILL DRIVE A COLD FRONT TOWARD THE COAST...BUT IT NOW
LOOKS AS IF THIS INITIAL IMPULSE WILL LIFT NORTHEASTWARD BEFORE
CLEARING THE LOCAL AREA. THE FRONT WILL LOSE ITS SOUTHWARD PUSH AS
THE UPPER IMPULSE LIFTS AWAY...AND WILL STALL BEFORE REACHING THE
LOCAL AREA. A STRONGER IMPULSE LOOKS TO FINALLY PUSH THE FRONT
INTO AND THROUGH THE AREA SOME TIME LATE NEXT WEEK...THOUGH THE
MODELS CONTINUE TO STRUGGLE WITH THE EXACT TIMING. IN GENERAL AM
CARRYING ONLY SLIGHT CHANCE TO LOW END CHANCE POPS DURING THE
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY TIME FRAME AS MOISTURE WILL STILL BE
LIMITED EVEN AS THE FRONTS APPROACH THE AREA.

AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WITH MAINLY CLEAR SKIES AND EXCELLENT VSBYS CAN BE
EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. PATCHY FOG MAY RESTRICT
VSBY AT MCB AND HUM SATURDAY MORNING 10 AND 13Z.

MARINE...
A 1021MB HIGH FROM NORTHEAST TEXAS TO WEST TENNESSEE WILL SLOWLY SAG
SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND. AS A RESULT...THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
WILL RELAX ON THE LAND AREAS AND NEAR COASTAL WATERS. HOWEVER...A
SLIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER NORTH CENTRAL GULF WILL MAINTAIN A
NORTHEAST FLOW OF 10 TO 15 KNOTS OVER THE OPEN COASTAL WATERS
THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY. THE HIGH WILL SHIFT TOWARD THE EASTERN
SEABOARD EARLY NEXT WEEK...WHICH WILL ALLOW WINDS TO SHIFT TO THE
EAST AND THEN SOUTHEAST BY MONDAY. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE NEAR 10
KNOTS AND SEAS WILL RANGE FROM 1 TO 3 FEET EARLY NEXT WEEK.

DECISION SUPPORT...
DSS CODE...GREEN.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...SLURRY SUPPORT.

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
         WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR
         AND/OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL
         SIGNIFICANCE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  76  50  80  54 /   0   0   0   0
BTR  79  52  81  55 /   0   0   0   0
ASD  77  47  80  52 /   0   0   0   0
MSY  76  58  78  60 /   0   0   0   0
GPT  77  51  79  55 /   0   0   0   0
PQL  77  46  78  49 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KLIX 240820
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
320 AM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN CONTROL OF THE AREA/S WEATHER
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE SURFACE HIGH WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT
SOUTHWARD OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AND SHOULD BE CENTERED NEAR THE
LOCAL AREA BY SUNDAY MORNING. LOW DEWPOINTS AND NEARLY CLOUDLESS
SKIES WILL GENERALLY ALLOW OVERNIGHT LOWS TO PERSIST BELOW NORMAL
FOR THE NORTH SHORE AND NEAR NORMAL FOR THE SOUTH SHORE FOR THE
NEXT COUPLE NIGHTS. AFTERNOON HIGHS...HOWEVER...WILL GRADUALLY
WARM ABOVE NORMAL AS UPPER LEVEL RIDGING BUILDS INTO THE AREA.

BY SUNDAY EVENING...THE SURFACE HIGH WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT EASTWARD
AND WILL RESULT IN WINDS BECOMING ONSHORE. THIS WILL MARK THE
START OF A VERY SLOW RETURN OF MOISTURE TO THE AREA. ALSO EXPECT
TEMPERATURES TO CONTINUE THEIR SLOW WARMING TREND. MODEL GUIDANCE
IS IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE FIRST PART OF NEXT WEEK...
SO A BLAND OF AVAILABLE GUIDANCE SEEMS REASONABLE. TWILL NOTE THAT
THE MEX SEEMS TO BE A BIT TOO AGGRESSIVE ON AFTERNOON HIGHS FOR
THE SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY TIME FRAME...WHEN IT IS ACTUALLY
FORECASTING UPPER 80S TO NEAR 90 DEGREES. STILL USED A BLEND...
BUT WITH A HEAVIER WEIGHT ON THE COOLER EURO MOS GUIDANCE.

MOVING INTO MIDWEEK...A COUPLE SHORT WAVES WILL IMPACT THE AREA.
THE FIRST WILL DRIVE A COLD FRONT TOWARD THE COAST...BUT IT NOW
LOOKS AS IF THIS INITIAL IMPULSE WILL LIFT NORTHEASTWARD BEFORE
CLEARING THE LOCAL AREA. THE FRONT WILL LOSE ITS SOUTHWARD PUSH AS
THE UPPER IMPULSE LIFTS AWAY...AND WILL STALL BEFORE REACHING THE
LOCAL AREA. A STRONGER IMPULSE LOOKS TO FINALLY PUSH THE FRONT
INTO AND THROUGH THE AREA SOME TIME LATE NEXT WEEK...THOUGH THE
MODELS CONTINUE TO STRUGGLE WITH THE EXACT TIMING. IN GENERAL AM
CARRYING ONLY SLIGHT CHANCE TO LOW END CHANCE POPS DURING THE
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY TIME FRAME AS MOISTURE WILL STILL BE
LIMITED EVEN AS THE FRONTS APPROACH THE AREA.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WITH MAINLY CLEAR SKIES AND EXCELLENT VSBYS CAN BE
EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. PATCHY FOG MAY RESTRICT
VSBY AT MCB AND HUM SATURDAY MORNING 10 AND 13Z.

&&

.MARINE...
A 1021MB HIGH FROM NORTHEAST TEXAS TO WEST TENNESSEE WILL SLOWLY SAG
SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND. AS A RESULT...THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
WILL RELAX ON THE LAND AREAS AND NEAR COASTAL WATERS. HOWEVER...A
SLIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER NORTH CENTRAL GULF WILL MAINTAIN A
NORTHEAST FLOW OF 10 TO 15 KNOTS OVER THE OPEN COASTAL WATERS
THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY. THE HIGH WILL SHIFT TOWARD THE EASTERN
SEABOARD EARLY NEXT WEEK...WHICH WILL ALLOW WINDS TO SHIFT TO THE
EAST AND THEN SOUTHEAST BY MONDAY. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE NEAR 10
KNOTS AND SEAS WILL RANGE FROM 1 TO 3 FEET EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DECISION SUPPORT...
DSS CODE...GREEN.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...SLURRY SUPPORT.

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
         WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR
         AND/OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL
         SIGNIFICANCE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  76  50  80  54 /   0   0   0   0
BTR  79  52  81  55 /   0   0   0   0
ASD  77  47  80  52 /   0   0   0   0
MSY  76  58  78  60 /   0   0   0   0
GPT  77  51  79  55 /   0   0   0   0
PQL  77  46  78  49 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION/MARINE...18
REST OF DISCUSSION...95/DM







000
FXUS64 KLIX 240456
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1156 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

.AVIATION...

VFR CONDITIONS WITH MAINLY CLEAR SKIES AND EXCELLENT VSBYS CAN BE
EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. 22/TD

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 315 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2014/

SYNOPSIS...

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE EXTENDS FROM MICHIGAN INTO ARKANSAS
AND NORTHWEST LOUISIANA. A FEW HIGH CLOUDS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A
MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE MOVING THROUGH THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER
VALLEY. THIS MAY FILTER SUNSHINE FOR ABOUT THE WEST HALF OF THE
AREA DURING THIS AFTERNOONS PARTIAL SOLAR ECLIPSE. TEMPERATURES
ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON ARE RUNNING ABOUT 5 DEGREES COOLER
THAN AT THE SAME TIME YESTERDAY.

SHORT TERM...

THE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL DRIFT SLOWLY SOUTHWARD AND BE
CENTERED OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO BY SUNDAY. ONCE THE HIGH
CLOUDS DEPART TONIGHT...LITTLE IN THE WAY OF EVEN CLOUDINESS IS
ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE WEEKEND. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES WILL
REMAIN WELL BELOW ONE INCH THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

WILL GO WITH A BLENDED SOLUTION ON TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE
WEEKEND AS THERE IS NOT A LOT OF VARIANCE IN GUIDANCE. TRENDED
TOWARD THE COOLER END WHERE THERE WAS. 35

LONG TERM...

SHORTWAVES WILL BE MOVING ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER
VALLEY ON TUESDAY AND THURSDAY. THERE WILL BE LITTLE IN THE WAY OF
DEEP MOISTURE AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONTS ASSOCIATED WITH THESE
FEATURES...SO DO NOT REALLY EXPECT MUCH MORE THAN A FEW SHOWERS TO
DEVELOP. WILL CONTINUE THE MINIMAL MENTION OF SHOWERS IN THE
FORECAST FOR MID AND LATE WEEK THAT WAS IN THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE.

EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO BE ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE WORKWEEK NEXT
WEEK...BUT CONTINUED PREVIOUS TREND OF A FEW DEGREES BELOW MEX
NUMBERS...MAINLY ON HIGH TEMPERATURES. 35

AVIATION...

A SCATTERED TO BROKEN HIGH LEVEL DECK OF CLOUDS RANGING AROUND 20K
FEET WILL BE FOUND OVER THE TERMINALS TONIGHT.  OVERALL...VFR
CONDITIONS WILL BE FOUND AT ALL OF THE TERMINALS.  AS A RESULT...NO
SIGNIFICANT AVIATION IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED. 32

MARINE...

AN EASING PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE AREA WILL ALLOW SMALL CRAFT
EXERCISE CAUTION FLAGS TO END THIS EVENING OVER THE OUTER GULF
WATERS.  A GENERAL NORTHEAST FLOW OF 10 TO 15 KNOTS WILL REMAIN IN
PLACE FROM TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY.  WINDS WILL BE STRONGER OVER
THE WATERS BEYOND 20 NM.  SEAS WILL DECREASE FROM 3 TO 5 FEET TO 1
TO 3 FEET BY SATURDAY.  THE HIGH WILL SHIFT TOWARD THE EASTERN
SEABOARD EARLY NEXT WEEK...WHICH WILL ALLOW WINDS TO SHIFT TO THE
EAST AND THEN SOUTHEAST BY MONDAY.  WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE NEAR 10
KNOTS AND SEAS WILL RANGE FROM 1 TO 3 FEET EARLY NEXT WEEK. 32

DECISION SUPPORT...

DSS CODE...GREEN.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...SLURRY SUPPORT.

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
         WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR
         AND/OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL
         SIGNIFICANCE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  46  76  49  80 /   0   0   0   0
BTR  48  78  51  81 /   0   0   0   0
ASD  46  77  49  80 /   0   0   0   0
MSY  56  76  57  78 /   0   0   0   0
GPT  50  77  51  79 /   0   0   0   0
PQL  44  77  45  78 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KLIX 240456
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1156 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

.AVIATION...

VFR CONDITIONS WITH MAINLY CLEAR SKIES AND EXCELLENT VSBYS CAN BE
EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. 22/TD

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 315 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2014/

SYNOPSIS...

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE EXTENDS FROM MICHIGAN INTO ARKANSAS
AND NORTHWEST LOUISIANA. A FEW HIGH CLOUDS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A
MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE MOVING THROUGH THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER
VALLEY. THIS MAY FILTER SUNSHINE FOR ABOUT THE WEST HALF OF THE
AREA DURING THIS AFTERNOONS PARTIAL SOLAR ECLIPSE. TEMPERATURES
ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON ARE RUNNING ABOUT 5 DEGREES COOLER
THAN AT THE SAME TIME YESTERDAY.

SHORT TERM...

THE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL DRIFT SLOWLY SOUTHWARD AND BE
CENTERED OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO BY SUNDAY. ONCE THE HIGH
CLOUDS DEPART TONIGHT...LITTLE IN THE WAY OF EVEN CLOUDINESS IS
ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE WEEKEND. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES WILL
REMAIN WELL BELOW ONE INCH THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

WILL GO WITH A BLENDED SOLUTION ON TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE
WEEKEND AS THERE IS NOT A LOT OF VARIANCE IN GUIDANCE. TRENDED
TOWARD THE COOLER END WHERE THERE WAS. 35

LONG TERM...

SHORTWAVES WILL BE MOVING ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER
VALLEY ON TUESDAY AND THURSDAY. THERE WILL BE LITTLE IN THE WAY OF
DEEP MOISTURE AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONTS ASSOCIATED WITH THESE
FEATURES...SO DO NOT REALLY EXPECT MUCH MORE THAN A FEW SHOWERS TO
DEVELOP. WILL CONTINUE THE MINIMAL MENTION OF SHOWERS IN THE
FORECAST FOR MID AND LATE WEEK THAT WAS IN THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE.

EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO BE ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE WORKWEEK NEXT
WEEK...BUT CONTINUED PREVIOUS TREND OF A FEW DEGREES BELOW MEX
NUMBERS...MAINLY ON HIGH TEMPERATURES. 35

AVIATION...

A SCATTERED TO BROKEN HIGH LEVEL DECK OF CLOUDS RANGING AROUND 20K
FEET WILL BE FOUND OVER THE TERMINALS TONIGHT.  OVERALL...VFR
CONDITIONS WILL BE FOUND AT ALL OF THE TERMINALS.  AS A RESULT...NO
SIGNIFICANT AVIATION IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED. 32

MARINE...

AN EASING PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE AREA WILL ALLOW SMALL CRAFT
EXERCISE CAUTION FLAGS TO END THIS EVENING OVER THE OUTER GULF
WATERS.  A GENERAL NORTHEAST FLOW OF 10 TO 15 KNOTS WILL REMAIN IN
PLACE FROM TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY.  WINDS WILL BE STRONGER OVER
THE WATERS BEYOND 20 NM.  SEAS WILL DECREASE FROM 3 TO 5 FEET TO 1
TO 3 FEET BY SATURDAY.  THE HIGH WILL SHIFT TOWARD THE EASTERN
SEABOARD EARLY NEXT WEEK...WHICH WILL ALLOW WINDS TO SHIFT TO THE
EAST AND THEN SOUTHEAST BY MONDAY.  WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE NEAR 10
KNOTS AND SEAS WILL RANGE FROM 1 TO 3 FEET EARLY NEXT WEEK. 32

DECISION SUPPORT...

DSS CODE...GREEN.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...SLURRY SUPPORT.

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
         WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR
         AND/OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL
         SIGNIFICANCE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  46  76  49  80 /   0   0   0   0
BTR  48  78  51  81 /   0   0   0   0
ASD  46  77  49  80 /   0   0   0   0
MSY  56  76  57  78 /   0   0   0   0
GPT  50  77  51  79 /   0   0   0   0
PQL  44  77  45  78 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KLIX 232015
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
315 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

.SYNOPSIS...

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE EXTENDS FROM MICHIGAN INTO ARKANSAS
AND NORTHWEST LOUISIANA. A FEW HIGH CLOUDS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A
MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE MOVING THROUGH THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER
VALLEY. THIS MAY FILTER SUNSHINE FOR ABOUT THE WEST HALF OF THE
AREA DURING THIS AFTERNOONS PARTIAL SOLAR ECLIPSE. TEMPERATURES
ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON ARE RUNNING ABOUT 5 DEGREES COOLER
THAN AT THE SAME TIME YESTERDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM...

THE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL DRIFT SLOWLY SOUTHWARD AND BE
CENTERED OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO BY SUNDAY. ONCE THE HIGH
CLOUDS DEPART TONIGHT...LITTLE IN THE WAY OF EVEN CLOUDINESS IS
ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE WEEKEND. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES WILL
REMAIN WELL BELOW ONE INCH THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

WILL GO WITH A BLENDED SOLUTION ON TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE
WEEKEND AS THERE IS NOT A LOT OF VARIANCE IN GUIDANCE. TRENDED
TOWARD THE COOLER END WHERE THERE WAS. 35

&&

.LONG TERM...

SHORTWAVES WILL BE MOVING ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER
VALLEY ON TUESDAY AND THURSDAY. THERE WILL BE LITTLE IN THE WAY OF
DEEP MOISTURE AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONTS ASSOCIATED WITH THESE
FEATURES...SO DO NOT REALLY EXPECT MUCH MORE THAN A FEW SHOWERS TO
DEVELOP. WILL CONTINUE THE MINIMAL MENTION OF SHOWERS IN THE
FORECAST FOR MID AND LATE WEEK THAT WAS IN THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE.

EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO BE ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE WORKWEEK NEXT
WEEK...BUT CONTINUED PREVIOUS TREND OF A FEW DEGREES BELOW MEX
NUMBERS...MAINLY ON HIGH TEMPERATURES. 35

&&

.AVIATION...

A SCATTERED TO BROKEN HIGH LEVEL DECK OF CLOUDS RANGING AROUND 20K
FEET WILL BE FOUND OVER THE TERMINALS TONIGHT.  OVERALL...VFR
CONDITIONS WILL BE FOUND AT ALL OF THE TERMINALS.  AS A RESULT...NO
SIGNIFICANT AVIATION IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED. 32

&&

.MARINE...

AN EASING PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE AREA WILL ALLOW SMALL CRAFT
EXERCISE CAUTION FLAGS TO END THIS EVENING OVER THE OUTER GULF
WATERS.  A GENERAL NORTHEAST FLOW OF 10 TO 15 KNOTS WILL REMAIN IN
PLACE FROM TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY.  WINDS WILL BE STRONGER OVER
THE WATERS BEYOND 20 NM.  SEAS WILL DECREASE FROM 3 TO 5 FEET TO 1
TO 3 FEET BY SATURDAY.  THE HIGH WILL SHIFT TOWARD THE EASTERN
SEABOARD EARLY NEXT WEEK...WHICH WILL ALLOW WINDS TO SHIFT TO THE
EAST AND THEN SOUTHEAST BY MONDAY.  WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE NEAR 10
KNOTS AND SEAS WILL RANGE FROM 1 TO 3 FEET EARLY NEXT WEEK. 32

&&

.DECISION SUPPORT...

DSS CODE...GREEN.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...SLURRY SUPPORT.

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
         WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR
         AND/OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL
         SIGNIFICANCE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  46  76  49  80 /   0   0   0   0
BTR  48  78  51  81 /   0   0   0   0
ASD  46  77  49  80 /   0   0   0   0
MSY  56  76  57  78 /   0   0   0   0
GPT  50  77  51  79 /   0   0   0   0
PQL  44  77  45  78 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KLIX 231708
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1208 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

.AVIATION...

...18Z AVIATION DISCUSSION...

OUTSIDE OF A HIGH LEVEL SCATTERED CLOUD DECK RANGING AROUND 20K
FEET OVER KMCB AND KBTR...THERE IS REALLY NOT MUCH TO DISCUSS IN
TERMS OF AVIATION IMPACTS. WINDS WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE NORTHEAST
THROUGH THE PERIOD AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE
MID-MISSISIPPI VALLEY AND A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE
SOUTHEAST GULF CONTINUE TO INTERACT. OVERALL...VFR CONDITIONS WILL
BE THE RULE AT ALL OF THE TERMINALS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. 32

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  46  77  49  81 /   0   0   0   0
BTR  48  79  51  82 /   0   0   0   0
ASD  46  78  50  81 /   0   0   0   0
MSY  56  76  57  79 /   0   0   0   0
GPT  50  78  51  80 /   0   0   0   0
PQL  44  78  45  80 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KLIX 231708
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1208 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

.AVIATION...

...18Z AVIATION DISCUSSION...

OUTSIDE OF A HIGH LEVEL SCATTERED CLOUD DECK RANGING AROUND 20K
FEET OVER KMCB AND KBTR...THERE IS REALLY NOT MUCH TO DISCUSS IN
TERMS OF AVIATION IMPACTS. WINDS WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE NORTHEAST
THROUGH THE PERIOD AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE
MID-MISSISIPPI VALLEY AND A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE
SOUTHEAST GULF CONTINUE TO INTERACT. OVERALL...VFR CONDITIONS WILL
BE THE RULE AT ALL OF THE TERMINALS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. 32

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  46  77  49  81 /   0   0   0   0
BTR  48  79  51  82 /   0   0   0   0
ASD  46  78  50  81 /   0   0   0   0
MSY  56  76  57  79 /   0   0   0   0
GPT  50  78  51  80 /   0   0   0   0
PQL  44  78  45  80 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KLIX 231243
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
743 AM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

...SOUNDING DISCUSSION...

SEASONABLY DRY CONDITIONS PERSIST OVER THE AREA. STRONG SURFACE
INVERSION HAS SET UP THROUGH ABOUT 900MB. DAYTIME HEATING WILL MIX
THIS INVERSION OUT. THERE ARE TWO SMALLER...WEAKER INVERSIONS WITH
THE FIRST AROUND 425 MB AND THE OTHER AROUND 160 MB...WHICH IS
NEAR THE TROPOPAUSE. WINDS IN THE LOWER HALF OF THE ATMOSPHERE ARE
MAINLY FROM THE NORTH OR NORTHEAST AND LIGHT. WINDS ARE STRONGER
JUST ABOVE THE SURFACE WITH SPEEDS OF AROUND 20 KNOTS. WINDS IN
THE UPPER HALF OF THE ATMOSPHERE ARE FROM THE WEST AND THEN
SOUTHWEST WITH A PEAK WIND OF 66 KNOTS AT 36500 FEET.

12Z BALLOON INFO: A SUCCESSFUL FLIGHT THIS MORNING THAT REACHED A
HEIGHT OF 19.4 MILES ABOVE THE GROUND AFTER 93 MINUTES IN FLIGHT.
THE BALLOON WENT 29.6 MILES DOWNRANGE BURSTING OVER DIAMONDHEAD
MS.

ANSORGE

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 349 AM CDT THU OCT 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN CONTROL OF THE AREA/S WEATHER THROUGH
THE END OF THE WEEK WITH COOL AND DRY CONDITIONS PERSISTING.
OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL CONTINUE TO BE BELOW NORMAL NEXT FEW NIGHTS
NORTH OF THE LAKE AND NEAR NORMAL SOUTH OF THE LAKE. AFTERNOON
HIGHS SHOULD BE SEASONABLE...IN THE MID 70S...TODAY.

UPPER RIDGING WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA FROM THE WEST FRIDAY
THROUGH THE WEEKEND...RESULTING IN A WARMING TREND THROUGH THE
FIRST PART OF NEXT WEEK. SUBSIDENCE ALOFT AND A DRY AIR MASS WILL
KEEP RAIN CHANCES NEGLIGIBLE THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY.

SOME UNCERTAINTY IN THE FORECAST GOING INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK...BUT MODELS GENERALLY AGREE THAT A SLOW RETURN OF MOISTURE
WILL BEGIN LATE SUNDAY/MONDAY AS THE SURFACE HIGH FINALLY SLIDES
EAST OF THE LOCAL AREA AND WINDS BECOME ONSHORE AGAIN. EURO HAS
SLOWED PROGRESSION OF THE NEXT FRONT AND IS MORE IN LINE WITH THE
GFS TIMING FROM LAST NIGHT/S 00Z RUN. NOW LOOKS LIKE THE FRONTAL
PASSAGE WILL HOLD OFF UNTIL LATE THURSDAY OR FRIDAY. ALSO OF NOTE
IS THAT THERE IS SOME DISAGREEMENT CONCERNING THE STRENGTH OF THE
FRONT AS WELL...WITH THE GFS NOW SHOWING A CLEANER/STRONGER
FRONTAL PASSAGE THAN THE EURO...A FAIRLY SIGNIFICANT CHANGE
COMPARED TO LAST NIGHT/S MODEL RUNS. LUCKILY THE LARGEST
DIFFERENCES REMAIN JUST OUTSIDE THE CURRENT FORECAST PERIOD...SO A
BLEND OF AVAILABLE GUIDANCE STILL SEEMS REASONABLE IN THE EXTENDED
PORTION OF THE FORECAST.

AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL FOR THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS AND BEYOND. A
BAND OF HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS WITH BASES 150-250 WILL MOVE THROUGH WITH
AN UPPER DISTURBANCE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. NORTHEAST WINDS
WILL BE A BIT STRONGER IN THE 10 TO 15 KNOTS RANGE AT KNEW AND KMSY
THIS MORNING...OTHERWISE NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL BE 10 KNOTS
OR LESS.

MARINE...
A BRIEF PERIOD OF SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION CONDITIONS WILL
CONTINUE OVER THE OPEN GULF WATERS THROUGH 7 AM. THESE CONDITIONS
MAY SLOWLY ABATE TODAY AS THE COLD AIR ADVECTION RELAXES.
NORTHEASTERLY WINDS AROUND 10 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK...WITH THE POSSIBLE EXCEPTION OF A BRIEF INCREASE TO AROUND 15
KNOTS LATE SATURDAY OR SUNDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTHEAST GETS
RE-ENFORCED.

THE SURFACE HIGH OVER THE GULF SOUTH WILL BECOME MORE CENTERED OVER
THE EASTERN SEABOARD BY MONDAY...ALLOWING WINDS TO SHIFT TO A MORE
EASTERLY AND THEN SOUTHEASTERLY DIRECTION.  THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
OVER THE AREA WILL ALSO WEAKEN DURING THIS PERIOD AND EXPECT WINDS
TO FALL TO AROUND 10 KNOTS OR LESS.  SEAS WILL ALSO FALL TO 2 FEET
OR LESS ON MONDAY.

DECISION SUPPORT...
DSS CODE...GREEN.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...SLURRY SUPPORT.

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
         WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR
         AND/OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL
         SIGNIFICANCE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  73  46  77  49 /   0   0   0   0
BTR  75  48  79  51 /   0   0   0   0
ASD  75  46  78  50 /   0   0   0   0
MSY  75  56  76  57 /   0   0   0   0
GPT  74  50  78  51 /   0   0   0   0
PQL  75  44  78  45 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$










000
FXUS64 KLIX 230849
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
349 AM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN CONTROL OF THE AREA/S WEATHER THROUGH
THE END OF THE WEEK WITH COOL AND DRY CONDITIONS PERSISTING.
OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL CONTINUE TO BE BELOW NORMAL NEXT FEW NIGHTS
NORTH OF THE LAKE AND NEAR NORMAL SOUTH OF THE LAKE. AFTERNOON
HIGHS SHOULD BE SEASONABLE...IN THE MID 70S...TODAY.

UPPER RIDGING WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA FROM THE WEST FRIDAY
THROUGH THE WEEKEND...RESULTING IN A WARMING TREND THROUGH THE
FIRST PART OF NEXT WEEK. SUBSIDENCE ALOFT AND A DRY AIR MASS WILL
KEEP RAIN CHANCES NEGLIGIBLE THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY.

SOME UNCERTAINTY IN THE FORECAST GOING INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK...BUT MODELS GENERALLY AGREE THAT A SLOW RETURN OF MOISTURE
WILL BEGIN LATE SUNDAY/MONDAY AS THE SURFACE HIGH FINALLY SLIDES
EAST OF THE LOCAL AREA AND WINDS BECOME ONSHORE AGAIN. EURO HAS
SLOWED PROGRESSION OF THE NEXT FRONT AND IS MORE IN LINE WITH THE
GFS TIMING FROM LAST NIGHT/S 00Z RUN. NOW LOOKS LIKE THE FRONTAL
PASSAGE WILL HOLD OFF UNTIL LATE THURSDAY OR FRIDAY. ALSO OF NOTE
IS THAT THERE IS SOME DISAGREEMENT CONCERNING THE STRENGTH OF THE
FRONT AS WELL...WITH THE GFS NOW SHOWING A CLEANER/STRONGER
FRONTAL PASSAGE THAN THE EURO...A FAIRLY SIGNIFICANT CHANGE
COMPARED TO LAST NIGHT/S MODEL RUNS. LUCKILY THE LARGEST
DIFFERENCES REMAIN JUST OUTSIDE THE CURRENT FORECAST PERIOD...SO A
BLEND OF AVAILABLE GUIDANCE STILL SEEMS REASONABLE IN THE EXTENDED
PORTION OF THE FORECAST.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL FOR THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS AND BEYOND. A
BAND OF HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS WITH BASES 150-250 WILL MOVE THROUGH WITH
AN UPPER DISTURBANCE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. NORTHEAST WINDS
WILL BE A BIT STRONGER IN THE 10 TO 15 KNOTS RANGE AT KNEW AND KMSY
THIS MORNING...OTHERWISE NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL BE 10 KNOTS
OR LESS.

&&

.MARINE...
A BRIEF PERIOD OF SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION CONDITIONS WILL
CONTINUE OVER THE OPEN GULF WATERS THROUGH 7 AM. THESE CONDITIONS
MAY SLOWLY ABATE TODAY AS THE COLD AIR ADVECTION RELAXES.
NORTHEASTERLY WINDS AROUND 10 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK...WITH THE POSSIBLE EXCEPTION OF A BRIEF INCREASE TO AROUND 15
KNOTS LATE SATURDAY OR SUNDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTHEAST GETS
RE-ENFORCED.

THE SURFACE HIGH OVER THE GULF SOUTH WILL BECOME MORE CENTERED OVER
THE EASTERN SEABOARD BY MONDAY...ALLOWING WINDS TO SHIFT TO A MORE
EASTERLY AND THEN SOUTHEASTERLY DIRECTION.  THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
OVER THE AREA WILL ALSO WEAKEN DURING THIS PERIOD AND EXPECT WINDS
TO FALL TO AROUND 10 KNOTS OR LESS.  SEAS WILL ALSO FALL TO 2 FEET
OR LESS ON MONDAY.

&&

.DECISION SUPPORT...
DSS CODE...GREEN.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...SLURRY SUPPORT.

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
         WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR
         AND/OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL
         SIGNIFICANCE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  75  46  77  49 /   0   0   0   0
BTR  77  48  79  51 /   0   0   0   0
ASD  77  46  78  50 /   0   0   0   0
MSY  77  56  76  57 /   0   0   0   0
GPT  76  50  78  51 /   0   0   0   0
PQL  77  44  78  45 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION/MARINE...18
REST OF DISCUSSION...95/DM







000
FXUS64 KLIX 230453
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1153 PM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

.AVIATION...

VFR CONDITIONS WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND EXCELLENT VSBYS WILL
PREVAIL FOR THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS AND BEYOND. A BAND OF HIGH LEVEL
CLOUDS WITH BASES 150-250 WILL MOVE THROUGH WITH AN UPPER
DISTURBANCE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL
BE A BIT STRONGER IN THE 10 TO 15 KNOTS RANGE AT KNEW AND KMSY
TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...OTHERWISE NORTH TO
NORTHEAST WINDS WILL BE 10 KNOTS OR LESS. 22/TD

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 333 PM CDT WED OCT 22 2014/

DISCUSSION...
CURRENT UPPER AIR ANALYSIS SHOWS A DEEPENING LOW WRAPPING UP TIGHTLY
AS ITS MOVING EASTWARD OFF THE VA/MD/NJ COASTLINES. A WEAKER TROUGH
IS TRACKING ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS WITH A RIDGE BETWEEN THE TWO AND
OVER OUR AREA. THIS ALONG WITH SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE IN PLACE HAS
LEAD TO DRY CONDITIONS AND NEAR NORMAL TEMPS. THE SFC RIDGE WILL BE
CENTERED JUST NORTH/NORTHEAST OF THE CWA FOR THE NEXT 2 MORNINGS.
THIS IS A PRIME SETUP FOR COLD AIR DRAINAGE IN NERN ZONES. SO
EXPECTING LOWS TO DROP INTO THE MID 40S FOR THOSE AREAS AND HAVE
KEPT PREVIOUS FCST LOWS WHICH WERE RIGHT INLINE WITH THAT.

UPPER RIDGE WILL BEGIN BUILDING INTO THE AREA OVER THE WEEKEND. THIS
WILL BRING TEMPS BACK UP INTO THE LOWER 80S AND HAVE BUMPED UP TEMPS
JUST A COUPLE DEGREES FROM PREVIOUS FCST FOR THIS. NORTHERLY FLOW
WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP MOISTURE AND THUS ANY CHANCE OF RAIN WELL
OFFSHORE.

MODELS SHOW THAT THIS UPPER HIGH WILL FINALLY SLIDE EAST IN THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. MOISTURE WILL BEGIN RETURNING AND COULD SEE
RAIN CHANCES COMING BACK WITH THE NEXT TROUGH.

MEFFER

AVIATION...

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT AREA TERMINALS THROUGH THE FORECAST
PERIOD AS A DRY AND STABLE AIRMASS REMAINS OVER THE REGION. 35

MARINE...

A PERIOD OF SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
OVER THE OPEN GULF WATERS TONIGHT AS WELL AS CHANDELEUR AND BRETON
SOUNDS. THESE CONDITIONS MAY CONTINUE ACROSS THE OUTER WATERS FOR
PART OF THE DAY ON THURSDAY BEFORE THE COLD AIR ADVECTION RELAXES.
NORTHEASTERLY WINDS AROUND 10 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK...WITH THE POSSIBLE EXCEPTION OF A BRIEF INCREASE TO AROUND 15
KNOTS LATE SATURDAY OR SUNDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTHEAST GETS
RE-ENFORCED. NO SIGNIFICANT IMPACT TO THE MARINE AREA IS CURRENTLY
ANTICIPATED WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE. THE SURFACE HIGH OVER THE
GULF SOUTH WILL BECOME MORE CENTERED OVER THE EASTERN SEABOARD BY
MONDAY...ALLOWING WINDS TO SHIFT TO A MORE EASTERLY AND THEN
SOUTHEASTERLY DIRECTION.  THE PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE AREA WILL
ALSO WEAKEN DURING THIS PERIOD AND EXPECT WINDS TO FALL TO AROUND 10
KNOTS OR LESS.  SEAS WILL ALSO FALL TO 2 FEET OR LESS ON MONDAY. 35

DECISION SUPPORT...
DSS CODE...GREEN.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...SLURRY SUPPORT.

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
         WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR
         AND/OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL
         SIGNIFICANCE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  45  75  45  76 /   0   0   0   0
BTR  51  77  50  78 /   0   0   0   0
ASD  48  75  47  77 /   0   0   0   0
MSY  58  76  56  74 /   0   0   0   0
GPT  52  74  52  77 /   0   0   0   0
PQL  44  75  44  77 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KLIX 230453
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1153 PM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

.AVIATION...

VFR CONDITIONS WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND EXCELLENT VSBYS WILL
PREVAIL FOR THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS AND BEYOND. A BAND OF HIGH LEVEL
CLOUDS WITH BASES 150-250 WILL MOVE THROUGH WITH AN UPPER
DISTURBANCE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL
BE A BIT STRONGER IN THE 10 TO 15 KNOTS RANGE AT KNEW AND KMSY
TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...OTHERWISE NORTH TO
NORTHEAST WINDS WILL BE 10 KNOTS OR LESS. 22/TD

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 333 PM CDT WED OCT 22 2014/

DISCUSSION...
CURRENT UPPER AIR ANALYSIS SHOWS A DEEPENING LOW WRAPPING UP TIGHTLY
AS ITS MOVING EASTWARD OFF THE VA/MD/NJ COASTLINES. A WEAKER TROUGH
IS TRACKING ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS WITH A RIDGE BETWEEN THE TWO AND
OVER OUR AREA. THIS ALONG WITH SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE IN PLACE HAS
LEAD TO DRY CONDITIONS AND NEAR NORMAL TEMPS. THE SFC RIDGE WILL BE
CENTERED JUST NORTH/NORTHEAST OF THE CWA FOR THE NEXT 2 MORNINGS.
THIS IS A PRIME SETUP FOR COLD AIR DRAINAGE IN NERN ZONES. SO
EXPECTING LOWS TO DROP INTO THE MID 40S FOR THOSE AREAS AND HAVE
KEPT PREVIOUS FCST LOWS WHICH WERE RIGHT INLINE WITH THAT.

UPPER RIDGE WILL BEGIN BUILDING INTO THE AREA OVER THE WEEKEND. THIS
WILL BRING TEMPS BACK UP INTO THE LOWER 80S AND HAVE BUMPED UP TEMPS
JUST A COUPLE DEGREES FROM PREVIOUS FCST FOR THIS. NORTHERLY FLOW
WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP MOISTURE AND THUS ANY CHANCE OF RAIN WELL
OFFSHORE.

MODELS SHOW THAT THIS UPPER HIGH WILL FINALLY SLIDE EAST IN THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. MOISTURE WILL BEGIN RETURNING AND COULD SEE
RAIN CHANCES COMING BACK WITH THE NEXT TROUGH.

MEFFER

AVIATION...

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT AREA TERMINALS THROUGH THE FORECAST
PERIOD AS A DRY AND STABLE AIRMASS REMAINS OVER THE REGION. 35

MARINE...

A PERIOD OF SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
OVER THE OPEN GULF WATERS TONIGHT AS WELL AS CHANDELEUR AND BRETON
SOUNDS. THESE CONDITIONS MAY CONTINUE ACROSS THE OUTER WATERS FOR
PART OF THE DAY ON THURSDAY BEFORE THE COLD AIR ADVECTION RELAXES.
NORTHEASTERLY WINDS AROUND 10 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK...WITH THE POSSIBLE EXCEPTION OF A BRIEF INCREASE TO AROUND 15
KNOTS LATE SATURDAY OR SUNDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTHEAST GETS
RE-ENFORCED. NO SIGNIFICANT IMPACT TO THE MARINE AREA IS CURRENTLY
ANTICIPATED WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE. THE SURFACE HIGH OVER THE
GULF SOUTH WILL BECOME MORE CENTERED OVER THE EASTERN SEABOARD BY
MONDAY...ALLOWING WINDS TO SHIFT TO A MORE EASTERLY AND THEN
SOUTHEASTERLY DIRECTION.  THE PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE AREA WILL
ALSO WEAKEN DURING THIS PERIOD AND EXPECT WINDS TO FALL TO AROUND 10
KNOTS OR LESS.  SEAS WILL ALSO FALL TO 2 FEET OR LESS ON MONDAY. 35

DECISION SUPPORT...
DSS CODE...GREEN.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...SLURRY SUPPORT.

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
         WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR
         AND/OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL
         SIGNIFICANCE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  45  75  45  76 /   0   0   0   0
BTR  51  77  50  78 /   0   0   0   0
ASD  48  75  47  77 /   0   0   0   0
MSY  58  76  56  74 /   0   0   0   0
GPT  52  74  52  77 /   0   0   0   0
PQL  44  75  44  77 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KLIX 222033
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
333 PM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

.DISCUSSION...
CURRENT UPPER AIR ANALYSIS SHOWS A DEEPENING LOW WRAPPING UP TIGHTLY
AS ITS MOVING EASTWARD OFF THE VA/MD/NJ COASTLINES. A WEAKER TROUGH
IS TRACKING ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS WITH A RIDGE BETWEEN THE TWO AND
OVER OUR AREA. THIS ALONG WITH SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE IN PLACE HAS
LEAD TO DRY CONDITIONS AND NEAR NORMAL TEMPS. THE SFC RIDGE WILL BE
CENTERED JUST NORTH/NORTHEAST OF THE CWA FOR THE NEXT 2 MORNINGS.
THIS IS A PRIME SETUP FOR COLD AIR DRAINAGE IN NERN ZONES. SO
EXPECTING LOWS TO DROP INTO THE MID 40S FOR THOSE AREAS AND HAVE
KEPT PREVIOUS FCST LOWS WHICH WERE RIGHT INLINE WITH THAT.

UPPER RIDGE WILL BEGIN BUILDING INTO THE AREA OVER THE WEEKEND. THIS
WILL BRING TEMPS BACK UP INTO THE LOWER 80S AND HAVE BUMPED UP TEMPS
JUST A COUPLE DEGREES FROM PREVIOUS FCST FOR THIS. NORTHERLY FLOW
WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP MOISTURE AND THUS ANY CHANCE OF RAIN WELL
OFFSHORE.

MODELS SHOW THAT THIS UPPER HIGH WILL FINALLY SLIDE EAST IN THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. MOISTURE WILL BEGIN RETURNING AND COULD SEE
RAIN CHANCES COMING BACK WITH THE NEXT TROUGH.

MEFFER
&&

.AVIATION...

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT AREA TERMINALS THROUGH THE FORECAST
PERIOD AS A DRY AND STABLE AIRMASS REMAINS OVER THE REGION. 35

&&

.MARINE...

A PERIOD OF SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
OVER THE OPEN GULF WATERS TONIGHT AS WELL AS CHANDELEUR AND BRETON
SOUNDS. THESE CONDITIONS MAY CONTINUE ACROSS THE OUTER WATERS FOR
PART OF THE DAY ON THURSDAY BEFORE THE COLD AIR ADVECTION RELAXES.
NORTHEASTERLY WINDS AROUND 10 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK...WITH THE POSSIBLE EXCEPTION OF A BRIEF INCREASE TO AROUND 15
KNOTS LATE SATURDAY OR SUNDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTHEAST GETS
RE-ENFORCED. NO SIGNIFICANT IMPACT TO THE MARINE AREA IS CURRENTLY
ANTICIPATED WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE. THE SURFACE HIGH OVER THE
GULF SOUTH WILL BECOME MORE CENTERED OVER THE EASTERN SEABOARD BY
MONDAY...ALLOWING WINDS TO SHIFT TO A MORE EASTERLY AND THEN
SOUTHEASTERLY DIRECTION.  THE PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE AREA WILL
ALSO WEAKEN DURING THIS PERIOD AND EXPECT WINDS TO FALL TO AROUND 10
KNOTS OR LESS.  SEAS WILL ALSO FALL TO 2 FEET OR LESS ON MONDAY. 35

&&

.DECISION SUPPORT...
DSS CODE...GREEN.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...SLURRY SUPPORT.

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
         WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR
         AND/OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL
         SIGNIFICANCE.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  45  75  45  76 /   0   0   0   0
BTR  51  77  50  78 /   0   0   0   0
ASD  48  75  47  77 /   0   0   0   0
MSY  58  76  56  74 /   0   0   0   0
GPT  52  74  52  77 /   0   0   0   0
PQL  44  75  44  77 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KLIX 222033
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
333 PM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

.DISCUSSION...
CURRENT UPPER AIR ANALYSIS SHOWS A DEEPENING LOW WRAPPING UP TIGHTLY
AS ITS MOVING EASTWARD OFF THE VA/MD/NJ COASTLINES. A WEAKER TROUGH
IS TRACKING ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS WITH A RIDGE BETWEEN THE TWO AND
OVER OUR AREA. THIS ALONG WITH SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE IN PLACE HAS
LEAD TO DRY CONDITIONS AND NEAR NORMAL TEMPS. THE SFC RIDGE WILL BE
CENTERED JUST NORTH/NORTHEAST OF THE CWA FOR THE NEXT 2 MORNINGS.
THIS IS A PRIME SETUP FOR COLD AIR DRAINAGE IN NERN ZONES. SO
EXPECTING LOWS TO DROP INTO THE MID 40S FOR THOSE AREAS AND HAVE
KEPT PREVIOUS FCST LOWS WHICH WERE RIGHT INLINE WITH THAT.

UPPER RIDGE WILL BEGIN BUILDING INTO THE AREA OVER THE WEEKEND. THIS
WILL BRING TEMPS BACK UP INTO THE LOWER 80S AND HAVE BUMPED UP TEMPS
JUST A COUPLE DEGREES FROM PREVIOUS FCST FOR THIS. NORTHERLY FLOW
WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP MOISTURE AND THUS ANY CHANCE OF RAIN WELL
OFFSHORE.

MODELS SHOW THAT THIS UPPER HIGH WILL FINALLY SLIDE EAST IN THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. MOISTURE WILL BEGIN RETURNING AND COULD SEE
RAIN CHANCES COMING BACK WITH THE NEXT TROUGH.

MEFFER
&&

.AVIATION...

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT AREA TERMINALS THROUGH THE FORECAST
PERIOD AS A DRY AND STABLE AIRMASS REMAINS OVER THE REGION. 35

&&

.MARINE...

A PERIOD OF SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
OVER THE OPEN GULF WATERS TONIGHT AS WELL AS CHANDELEUR AND BRETON
SOUNDS. THESE CONDITIONS MAY CONTINUE ACROSS THE OUTER WATERS FOR
PART OF THE DAY ON THURSDAY BEFORE THE COLD AIR ADVECTION RELAXES.
NORTHEASTERLY WINDS AROUND 10 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK...WITH THE POSSIBLE EXCEPTION OF A BRIEF INCREASE TO AROUND 15
KNOTS LATE SATURDAY OR SUNDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTHEAST GETS
RE-ENFORCED. NO SIGNIFICANT IMPACT TO THE MARINE AREA IS CURRENTLY
ANTICIPATED WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE. THE SURFACE HIGH OVER THE
GULF SOUTH WILL BECOME MORE CENTERED OVER THE EASTERN SEABOARD BY
MONDAY...ALLOWING WINDS TO SHIFT TO A MORE EASTERLY AND THEN
SOUTHEASTERLY DIRECTION.  THE PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE AREA WILL
ALSO WEAKEN DURING THIS PERIOD AND EXPECT WINDS TO FALL TO AROUND 10
KNOTS OR LESS.  SEAS WILL ALSO FALL TO 2 FEET OR LESS ON MONDAY. 35

&&

.DECISION SUPPORT...
DSS CODE...GREEN.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...SLURRY SUPPORT.

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
         WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR
         AND/OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL
         SIGNIFICANCE.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  45  75  45  76 /   0   0   0   0
BTR  51  77  50  78 /   0   0   0   0
ASD  48  75  47  77 /   0   0   0   0
MSY  58  76  56  74 /   0   0   0   0
GPT  52  74  52  77 /   0   0   0   0
PQL  44  75  44  77 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KLIX 221723
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1223 PM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

.AVIATION...

VFR CONDITIONS ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH LITTLE
OR NO CLOUDINESS BELOW FL150 THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY. NORTHEAST WINDS
OF 10 TO 15 KNOTS AT THE NEW ORLEANS TERMINALS SHOULD FALL BELOW
10 KNOTS LATER THIS EVENING. 35

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 309 AM CDT WED OCT 22 2014/

DISCUSSION...
REINFORCING FRONT ARRIVES TODAY BRINGING ANOTHER SHOT OF DRY AIR
TO THE REGION. WITH DEWPOINTS FORECAST TO DROP INTO THE LOW TO MID
40S ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA...OVERNIGHT COOLING WILL BE EFFICIENT
AND SHOULD SEE BELOW NORMAL NEXT FEW NIGHTS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS
AREAS NORTH OF THE TIDAL LAKES. AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL BE NEAR TO
SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL...TOPPING OUT GENERALLY IN THE 76 TO 83
DEGREE RANGE NEXT FEW DAYS.

TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY MODERATE THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH
MOISTURE SLOWLY RETURNING TO THE AREA AND LOWS RISING TO NEAR NORMAL
BY SATURDAY AND ABOVE NORMAL BY SUNDAY. HIGHS WILL RISE A BIT MORE
SLOWLY GENERALLY REMAINING IN THE LOW 80S THROUGH THE EXTENDED
PERIOD.

MODELS ARE IN GENERALLY GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH ABOUT MONDAY. AT
THAT POINT...SOME SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES BEGIN TO APPEAR. THE
EURO IS A MORE AMPLIFIED WITH THE NEXT UPPER TROUGH AND PUSHES
THE NEXT COLD FRONT THROUGH THE LOCAL AREA ON WEDNESDAY. THE GFS
ON THE OTHER HAND IS SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKER WITH THE UPPER TROUGH
AND ALSO LIFTS IT NORTHEASTWARD AS IT APPROACHES THE MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY AND THUS THE SURFACE FRONT DOES NOT HAVE THE NECESSARY PUSH
TO MAKE IT THROUGH THE LOCAL AREA. SINCE THE LARGEST DIFFERENCES
DO NOT APPEAR UNTIL THE VERY END OF THIS FORECAST PERIOD...HAVE
GENERALLY GONE WITH A BLEND OF GUIDANCE ON DAYS 6 THROUGH 8 WITH A
HEAVIER RELIANCE ON THE EURO...WHICH IS ALSO MORE IN LINE WITH THE
LATEST GUIDANCE FROM HPC.

AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT AREA TERMINALS THROUGH THE FORECAST
PERIOD AS A DRY AND STABLE AIRMASS REMAINS OVER THE REGION.

MARINE...
A PERIOD OF SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
OVER THE GULF WATERS THROUGH THURSDAY AS COOLER AND DRIER AIR
CONTINUES TO ADVECT INTO THE REGION.  NORTH-NORTHEAST FLOW OF 15 TO
20 KNOTS AND SEAS OF UP TO 5 FEET ARE EXPECTED DURING THIS PERIOD.
THE GRADIENT FLOW WILL BEGIN TO EASE BY FRIDAY...ALLOWING THE
NORTHEAST FLOW TO DROP TO BETWEEN 10 AND 15 KNOTS.  SEAS WILL ALSO
FALL BACK TO 3 FEET OR LESS DURING THIS PERIOD.  OVER THE
WEEKEND...A GENERAL NORTHEAST FLOW OF 10 TO 15 KNOTS AND SEAS OF 2
TO 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED AS HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GULF SOUTH
CONTINUES TO INTERACT WITH A TROPICAL LOW OVER THE YUCATAN AND
NORTHWEST CARIBBEAN.   THE SURFACE HIGH OVER THE GULF SOUTH WILL
BECOME MORE CENTERED OVER THE EASTERN SEABOARD BY MONDAY...ALLOWING
WINDS TO SHIFT TO A MORE EASTERLY AND THEN SOUTHEASTERLY DIRECTION.
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE AREA WILL ALSO WEAKEN DURING THIS
PERIOD AND EXPECT WINDS TO FALL TO AROUND 10 KNOTS OR LESS.  SEAS
WILL ALSO FALL TO 2 FEET OR LESS ON MONDAY.

DECISION SUPPORT...
DSS CODE...GREEN.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...SLURRY SUPPORT.

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
         WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR
         AND/OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL
         SIGNIFICANCE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  79  45  75  45 /   0   0   0   0
BTR  81  51  77  50 /   0   0   0   0
ASD  81  48  75  47 /   0   0   0   0
MSY  80  58  76  56 /   0   0   0   0
GPT  79  52  74  52 /   0   0   0   0
PQL  79  44  75  44 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KLIX 221723
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1223 PM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

.AVIATION...

VFR CONDITIONS ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH LITTLE
OR NO CLOUDINESS BELOW FL150 THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY. NORTHEAST WINDS
OF 10 TO 15 KNOTS AT THE NEW ORLEANS TERMINALS SHOULD FALL BELOW
10 KNOTS LATER THIS EVENING. 35

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 309 AM CDT WED OCT 22 2014/

DISCUSSION...
REINFORCING FRONT ARRIVES TODAY BRINGING ANOTHER SHOT OF DRY AIR
TO THE REGION. WITH DEWPOINTS FORECAST TO DROP INTO THE LOW TO MID
40S ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA...OVERNIGHT COOLING WILL BE EFFICIENT
AND SHOULD SEE BELOW NORMAL NEXT FEW NIGHTS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS
AREAS NORTH OF THE TIDAL LAKES. AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL BE NEAR TO
SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL...TOPPING OUT GENERALLY IN THE 76 TO 83
DEGREE RANGE NEXT FEW DAYS.

TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY MODERATE THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH
MOISTURE SLOWLY RETURNING TO THE AREA AND LOWS RISING TO NEAR NORMAL
BY SATURDAY AND ABOVE NORMAL BY SUNDAY. HIGHS WILL RISE A BIT MORE
SLOWLY GENERALLY REMAINING IN THE LOW 80S THROUGH THE EXTENDED
PERIOD.

MODELS ARE IN GENERALLY GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH ABOUT MONDAY. AT
THAT POINT...SOME SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES BEGIN TO APPEAR. THE
EURO IS A MORE AMPLIFIED WITH THE NEXT UPPER TROUGH AND PUSHES
THE NEXT COLD FRONT THROUGH THE LOCAL AREA ON WEDNESDAY. THE GFS
ON THE OTHER HAND IS SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKER WITH THE UPPER TROUGH
AND ALSO LIFTS IT NORTHEASTWARD AS IT APPROACHES THE MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY AND THUS THE SURFACE FRONT DOES NOT HAVE THE NECESSARY PUSH
TO MAKE IT THROUGH THE LOCAL AREA. SINCE THE LARGEST DIFFERENCES
DO NOT APPEAR UNTIL THE VERY END OF THIS FORECAST PERIOD...HAVE
GENERALLY GONE WITH A BLEND OF GUIDANCE ON DAYS 6 THROUGH 8 WITH A
HEAVIER RELIANCE ON THE EURO...WHICH IS ALSO MORE IN LINE WITH THE
LATEST GUIDANCE FROM HPC.

AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT AREA TERMINALS THROUGH THE FORECAST
PERIOD AS A DRY AND STABLE AIRMASS REMAINS OVER THE REGION.

MARINE...
A PERIOD OF SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
OVER THE GULF WATERS THROUGH THURSDAY AS COOLER AND DRIER AIR
CONTINUES TO ADVECT INTO THE REGION.  NORTH-NORTHEAST FLOW OF 15 TO
20 KNOTS AND SEAS OF UP TO 5 FEET ARE EXPECTED DURING THIS PERIOD.
THE GRADIENT FLOW WILL BEGIN TO EASE BY FRIDAY...ALLOWING THE
NORTHEAST FLOW TO DROP TO BETWEEN 10 AND 15 KNOTS.  SEAS WILL ALSO
FALL BACK TO 3 FEET OR LESS DURING THIS PERIOD.  OVER THE
WEEKEND...A GENERAL NORTHEAST FLOW OF 10 TO 15 KNOTS AND SEAS OF 2
TO 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED AS HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GULF SOUTH
CONTINUES TO INTERACT WITH A TROPICAL LOW OVER THE YUCATAN AND
NORTHWEST CARIBBEAN.   THE SURFACE HIGH OVER THE GULF SOUTH WILL
BECOME MORE CENTERED OVER THE EASTERN SEABOARD BY MONDAY...ALLOWING
WINDS TO SHIFT TO A MORE EASTERLY AND THEN SOUTHEASTERLY DIRECTION.
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE AREA WILL ALSO WEAKEN DURING THIS
PERIOD AND EXPECT WINDS TO FALL TO AROUND 10 KNOTS OR LESS.  SEAS
WILL ALSO FALL TO 2 FEET OR LESS ON MONDAY.

DECISION SUPPORT...
DSS CODE...GREEN.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...SLURRY SUPPORT.

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
         WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR
         AND/OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL
         SIGNIFICANCE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  79  45  75  45 /   0   0   0   0
BTR  81  51  77  50 /   0   0   0   0
ASD  81  48  75  47 /   0   0   0   0
MSY  80  58  76  56 /   0   0   0   0
GPT  79  52  74  52 /   0   0   0   0
PQL  79  44  75  44 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KLIX 220809
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
309 AM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

.DISCUSSION...
REINFORCING FRONT ARRIVES TODAY BRINGING ANOTHER SHOT OF DRY AIR
TO THE REGION. WITH DEWPOINTS FORECAST TO DROP INTO THE LOW TO MID
40S ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA...OVERNIGHT COOLING WILL BE EFFICIENT
AND SHOULD SEE BELOW NORMAL NEXT FEW NIGHTS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS
AREAS NORTH OF THE TIDAL LAKES. AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL BE NEAR TO
SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL...TOPPING OUT GENERALLY IN THE 76 TO 83
DEGREE RANGE NEXT FEW DAYS.

TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY MODERATE THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH
MOISTURE SLOWLY RETURNING TO THE AREA AND LOWS RISING TO NEAR NORMAL
BY SATURDAY AND ABOVE NORMAL BY SUNDAY. HIGHS WILL RISE A BIT MORE
SLOWLY GENERALLY REMAINING IN THE LOW 80S THROUGH THE EXTENDED
PERIOD.

MODELS ARE IN GENERALLY GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH ABOUT MONDAY. AT
THAT POINT...SOME SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES BEGIN TO APPEAR. THE
EURO IS A MORE AMPLIFIED WITH THE NEXT UPPER TROUGH AND PUSHES
THE NEXT COLD FRONT THROUGH THE LOCAL AREA ON WEDNESDAY. THE GFS
ON THE OTHER HAND IS SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKER WITH THE UPPER TROUGH
AND ALSO LIFTS IT NORTHEASTWARD AS IT APPROACHES THE MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY AND THUS THE SURFACE FRONT DOES NOT HAVE THE NECESSARY PUSH
TO MAKE IT THROUGH THE LOCAL AREA. SINCE THE LARGEST DIFFERENCES
DO NOT APPEAR UNTIL THE VERY END OF THIS FORECAST PERIOD...HAVE
GENERALLY GONE WITH A BLEND OF GUIDANCE ON DAYS 6 THROUGH 8 WITH A
HEAVIER RELIANCE ON THE EURO...WHICH IS ALSO MORE IN LINE WITH THE
LATEST GUIDANCE FROM HPC.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT AREA TERMINALS THROUGH THE FORECAST
PERIOD AS A DRY AND STABLE AIRMASS REMAINS OVER THE REGION.

&&

.MARINE...
A PERIOD OF SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
OVER THE GULF WATERS THROUGH THURSDAY AS COOLER AND DRIER AIR
CONTINUES TO ADVECT INTO THE REGION.  NORTH-NORTHEAST FLOW OF 15 TO
20 KNOTS AND SEAS OF UP TO 5 FEET ARE EXPECTED DURING THIS PERIOD.
THE GRADIENT FLOW WILL BEGIN TO EASE BY FRIDAY...ALLOWING THE
NORTHEAST FLOW TO DROP TO BETWEEN 10 AND 15 KNOTS.  SEAS WILL ALSO
FALL BACK TO 3 FEET OR LESS DURING THIS PERIOD.  OVER THE
WEEKEND...A GENERAL NORTHEAST FLOW OF 10 TO 15 KNOTS AND SEAS OF 2
TO 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED AS HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GULF SOUTH
CONTINUES TO INTERACT WITH A TROPICAL LOW OVER THE YUCATAN AND
NORTHWEST CARIBBEAN.   THE SURFACE HIGH OVER THE GULF SOUTH WILL
BECOME MORE CENTERED OVER THE EASTERN SEABOARD BY MONDAY...ALLOWING
WINDS TO SHIFT TO A MORE EASTERLY AND THEN SOUTHEASTERLY DIRECTION.
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE AREA WILL ALSO WEAKEN DURING THIS
PERIOD AND EXPECT WINDS TO FALL TO AROUND 10 KNOTS OR LESS.  SEAS
WILL ALSO FALL TO 2 FEET OR LESS ON MONDAY.

&&

.DECISION SUPPORT...
DSS CODE...GREEN.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...SLURRY SUPPORT.

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
         WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR
         AND/OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL
         SIGNIFICANCE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  79  45  75  45 /   0   0   0   0
BTR  81  51  77  50 /   0   0   0   0
ASD  81  48  75  47 /   0   0   0   0
MSY  80  58  76  56 /   0   0   0   0
GPT  79  52  74  52 /   0   0   0   0
PQL  79  44  75  44 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION/MARINE...32
REST OF DISCUSSION...95/DM







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