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000
FXUS64 KLIX 270948
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
348 AM CST THU NOV 27 2014

.SHORT TERM...

DEEP LAYER NORTHWEST FLOW AND STRONG NEGATIVE VORTICITY ADVECTION WILL
KEEP A DRY AND STABLE AIRMASS OVER THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH
FRIDAY. CLEAR SKIES AND COOLER THAN AVERAGE TEMPERATURES CAN BE
EXPECTED. AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL PROCEED TO CENTER ITSELF OVER
THE GULF SOUTH ON SATURDAY AND REMAIN OVER THE AREA INTO SUNDAY.
WITH STRONG SUBSIDENCE THROUGHOUT THE ATMOSPHERIC COLUMN...THE MID
AND UPPER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE WILL REMAIN DRY AND NO CHANCE
OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED. HOWEVER...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL
DEVELOP DURING THE DAY ON SATURDAY AND CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY IN THE
LOW LEVELS. THIS ONSHORE FLOW WILL USHER IN A MUCH WARMER AND MORE
HUMID AIRMASS FOR THE WEEKEND. AS THE AIRMASS MOISTENS IN THE LOW
LEVELS...THE SUBSIDENCE ALOFT WILL KEEP CONDITIONS WARM AND DRY IN
THE MID-LEVELS. THIS WILL LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF AN ELEVATED
INVERSION. EXPECT TO SEE A STRATO-CU FIELD DEVELOP SATURDAY
AFTERNOON BENEATH THIS INVERSION AND TURN INTO A THICKER STRATUS
DECK SATURDAY NIGHT. AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THAT BOUNDARY LAYER
FLOW WILL BE TOO STRONG FOR MUCH IN THE WAY OF ADVECTION FOG TO FORM
OVER THE WEEKEND AND HAVE LEFT OUT FOG FROM THE SATURDAY NIGHT
FORECAST FOR NOW.

.LONG TERM...

HEADING INTO NEXT WEEK...BOTH THE EURO AND THE GFS SHOW THE UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE AXIS MOVING OVER FLORIDA ON MONDAY. AT THE SAME
TIME...A WEAK SHORT-WAVE TROUGH WILL SLIDE THROUGH THE MIDWEST.
THIS WEAK UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL BRING A FRONTAL BOUNDARY INTO
THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY DURING THE DAY ON MONDAY. THIS WEAK
BOUNDARY SHOULD STALL JUST NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA AND
GRADUALLY DISSIPATE INTO MONDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER...THERE COULD BE
JUST ENOUGH MID-LEVEL MOISTURE ADVECTION AND WEAK OMEGA ALONG THE
FRONT TO SPARK OFF SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS. HAVE KEPT A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI AND
THE BATON ROUGE AREA MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY EVENING. EXPECT
TO RAIN CHANCES DIMINISH GREATLY BY TUESDAY MORNING AS THE FRONT
DISSIPATES AND ANY UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT QUICKLY PULLS TO THE EAST.
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO WARM ON MONDAY...AND EXPECT TO SEE
READINGS AROUND 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL BY THIS POINT.

THESE WARMER THE AVERAGE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY WITH HIGHS RISING INTO THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 70S AND
OVERNIGHT LOWS DIPPING INTO THE 50S. BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW WILL BE
SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKER EARLY NEXT WEEK...SO SOME ADVECTION FOG MAY
DEVELOP EACH NIGHT ALONG THE COAST. GIVEN THE EXTENDED TIME
FRAME...HAVE ONLY KEPT IN HIGHER THAN NORMAL SKY COVERAGE FOR THE
PERIOD AS STRATUS DEVELOPMENT IS LIKELY EACH NIGHT.

THERE ARE SOME MODEL DIFFERENCES HEADING INTO WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY...WITH THE EURO MODEL SHOWING A MORE PROGRESSIVE FEATURE
MOVING THROUGH THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CONUS. THE GFS HAS A MUCH
SLOWER AND WEAKER SYSTEM IMPACTING THE AREA NEXT WEEKEND. AT THIS
TIME...HAVE WENT WITH A BLEND OF THE MODEL SOLUTIONS...AND HAVE
SLIGHT CHANCE POPS IN PLACE FOR WEDNESDAY. IF THE MODELS TREND
TOWARD THE EURO OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...RAIN CHANCES WILL
NEED TO BE INCREASED.  OVERALL...GIVEN THE LARGE MODEL DIFFERENCES AND
TIMING ISSUES WITH SYSTEMS COMING IN FROM THE EASTERN
PACIFIC...FORECAST CONFIDENCE FOR THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK IS LOWER
THAN AVERAGE.

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR CAVU CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL TERMINALS NEXT 24-30 HOURS. 24/RR

&&

.MARINE...

CLIPPER TYPE SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY AND USHERING CONTINENTAL
COOL HIGH PRESSURE SOUTHWARD THIS MORNING. RENEWED PERIOD OF COLD AIR
ADVECTION SHOULD PRESENT SOME GUSTINESS THIS MORNING BEFORE NEUTRALIZING
THIS AFTERNOON. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WAS ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY TO REMOVE LAKE
BORGNE BUT REMAINS FOR OTHER AREAS TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO
INFLUENCE THE WIND FIELD THROUGH THE WEEKEND BEFORE MOVING EAST AND
MODERATING LATTER PART OF THE WEEKEND. ONSHORE FLOW ONSETS AHEAD OF NEXT
HIGH PRESSURE SURGE EARLY NEXT WEEK. LATEST MODEL RUNS NOW SHOW THE FRONT
MAKING IT TO THE COAST...MAYBE HIGH PRESSURE BRIDGING THE FRONT INTO THE
NORTH GULF LATER NEXT WEEK. 24/RR

&&

.DECISION SUPPORT...

DSS CODE...GREEN.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...SLURRY SUPPORT.


DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
         WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR
         AND/OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL
         SIGNIFICANCE.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  56  32  60  44 /   0   0   0   0
BTR  59  34  62  48 /   0   0   0   0
ASD  59  34  60  44 /   0   0   0   0
MSY  59  42  61  51 /   0   0   0   0
GPT  58  37  58  47 /   0   0   0   0
PQL  59  34  58  41 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON THURSDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO
     STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...LAKE BORGNE...AND MISSISSIPPI
     SOUND.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 3 PM THURSDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA
     FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA
     TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO
     60 NM.

MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON THURSDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO
     STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...LAKE BORGNE...AND MISSISSIPPI
     SOUND.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 3 PM THURSDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA
     FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA
     TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO
     60 NM.

&&

$$

32






000
FXUS64 KLIX 270948
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
348 AM CST THU NOV 27 2014

.SHORT TERM...

DEEP LAYER NORTHWEST FLOW AND STRONG NEGATIVE VORTICITY ADVECTION WILL
KEEP A DRY AND STABLE AIRMASS OVER THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH
FRIDAY. CLEAR SKIES AND COOLER THAN AVERAGE TEMPERATURES CAN BE
EXPECTED. AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL PROCEED TO CENTER ITSELF OVER
THE GULF SOUTH ON SATURDAY AND REMAIN OVER THE AREA INTO SUNDAY.
WITH STRONG SUBSIDENCE THROUGHOUT THE ATMOSPHERIC COLUMN...THE MID
AND UPPER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE WILL REMAIN DRY AND NO CHANCE
OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED. HOWEVER...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL
DEVELOP DURING THE DAY ON SATURDAY AND CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY IN THE
LOW LEVELS. THIS ONSHORE FLOW WILL USHER IN A MUCH WARMER AND MORE
HUMID AIRMASS FOR THE WEEKEND. AS THE AIRMASS MOISTENS IN THE LOW
LEVELS...THE SUBSIDENCE ALOFT WILL KEEP CONDITIONS WARM AND DRY IN
THE MID-LEVELS. THIS WILL LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF AN ELEVATED
INVERSION. EXPECT TO SEE A STRATO-CU FIELD DEVELOP SATURDAY
AFTERNOON BENEATH THIS INVERSION AND TURN INTO A THICKER STRATUS
DECK SATURDAY NIGHT. AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THAT BOUNDARY LAYER
FLOW WILL BE TOO STRONG FOR MUCH IN THE WAY OF ADVECTION FOG TO FORM
OVER THE WEEKEND AND HAVE LEFT OUT FOG FROM THE SATURDAY NIGHT
FORECAST FOR NOW.

.LONG TERM...

HEADING INTO NEXT WEEK...BOTH THE EURO AND THE GFS SHOW THE UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE AXIS MOVING OVER FLORIDA ON MONDAY. AT THE SAME
TIME...A WEAK SHORT-WAVE TROUGH WILL SLIDE THROUGH THE MIDWEST.
THIS WEAK UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL BRING A FRONTAL BOUNDARY INTO
THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY DURING THE DAY ON MONDAY. THIS WEAK
BOUNDARY SHOULD STALL JUST NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA AND
GRADUALLY DISSIPATE INTO MONDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER...THERE COULD BE
JUST ENOUGH MID-LEVEL MOISTURE ADVECTION AND WEAK OMEGA ALONG THE
FRONT TO SPARK OFF SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS. HAVE KEPT A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI AND
THE BATON ROUGE AREA MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY EVENING. EXPECT
TO RAIN CHANCES DIMINISH GREATLY BY TUESDAY MORNING AS THE FRONT
DISSIPATES AND ANY UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT QUICKLY PULLS TO THE EAST.
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO WARM ON MONDAY...AND EXPECT TO SEE
READINGS AROUND 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL BY THIS POINT.

THESE WARMER THE AVERAGE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY WITH HIGHS RISING INTO THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 70S AND
OVERNIGHT LOWS DIPPING INTO THE 50S. BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW WILL BE
SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKER EARLY NEXT WEEK...SO SOME ADVECTION FOG MAY
DEVELOP EACH NIGHT ALONG THE COAST. GIVEN THE EXTENDED TIME
FRAME...HAVE ONLY KEPT IN HIGHER THAN NORMAL SKY COVERAGE FOR THE
PERIOD AS STRATUS DEVELOPMENT IS LIKELY EACH NIGHT.

THERE ARE SOME MODEL DIFFERENCES HEADING INTO WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY...WITH THE EURO MODEL SHOWING A MORE PROGRESSIVE FEATURE
MOVING THROUGH THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CONUS. THE GFS HAS A MUCH
SLOWER AND WEAKER SYSTEM IMPACTING THE AREA NEXT WEEKEND. AT THIS
TIME...HAVE WENT WITH A BLEND OF THE MODEL SOLUTIONS...AND HAVE
SLIGHT CHANCE POPS IN PLACE FOR WEDNESDAY. IF THE MODELS TREND
TOWARD THE EURO OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...RAIN CHANCES WILL
NEED TO BE INCREASED.  OVERALL...GIVEN THE LARGE MODEL DIFFERENCES AND
TIMING ISSUES WITH SYSTEMS COMING IN FROM THE EASTERN
PACIFIC...FORECAST CONFIDENCE FOR THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK IS LOWER
THAN AVERAGE.

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR CAVU CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL TERMINALS NEXT 24-30 HOURS. 24/RR

&&

.MARINE...

CLIPPER TYPE SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY AND USHERING CONTINENTAL
COOL HIGH PRESSURE SOUTHWARD THIS MORNING. RENEWED PERIOD OF COLD AIR
ADVECTION SHOULD PRESENT SOME GUSTINESS THIS MORNING BEFORE NEUTRALIZING
THIS AFTERNOON. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WAS ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY TO REMOVE LAKE
BORGNE BUT REMAINS FOR OTHER AREAS TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO
INFLUENCE THE WIND FIELD THROUGH THE WEEKEND BEFORE MOVING EAST AND
MODERATING LATTER PART OF THE WEEKEND. ONSHORE FLOW ONSETS AHEAD OF NEXT
HIGH PRESSURE SURGE EARLY NEXT WEEK. LATEST MODEL RUNS NOW SHOW THE FRONT
MAKING IT TO THE COAST...MAYBE HIGH PRESSURE BRIDGING THE FRONT INTO THE
NORTH GULF LATER NEXT WEEK. 24/RR

&&

.DECISION SUPPORT...

DSS CODE...GREEN.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...SLURRY SUPPORT.


DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
         WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR
         AND/OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL
         SIGNIFICANCE.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  56  32  60  44 /   0   0   0   0
BTR  59  34  62  48 /   0   0   0   0
ASD  59  34  60  44 /   0   0   0   0
MSY  59  42  61  51 /   0   0   0   0
GPT  58  37  58  47 /   0   0   0   0
PQL  59  34  58  41 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON THURSDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO
     STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...LAKE BORGNE...AND MISSISSIPPI
     SOUND.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 3 PM THURSDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA
     FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA
     TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO
     60 NM.

MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON THURSDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO
     STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...LAKE BORGNE...AND MISSISSIPPI
     SOUND.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 3 PM THURSDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA
     FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA
     TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO
     60 NM.

&&

$$

32







000
FXUS64 KLIX 270557
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1157 PM CST WED NOV 26 2014

.AVIATION...
...06Z TAF ISSUANCE...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL TERMINALS THROUGH THE FORECAST
PERIOD. ANOTHER SURGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL ENTER THE REGION
AROUND MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND BRING AN INCREASE IN NORTH WINDS AND
HIGHER GUSTS AT KNEW THROUGH 27/17Z. 18

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON THURSDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO
     STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...LAKE BORGNE...AND MISSISSIPPI
     SOUND.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 3 PM THURSDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA
     FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA
     TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO
     60 NM.

MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON THURSDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO
     STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...LAKE BORGNE...AND MISSISSIPPI
     SOUND.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 3 PM THURSDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA
     FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA
     TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO
     60 NM.

&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KLIX 270557
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1157 PM CST WED NOV 26 2014

.AVIATION...
...06Z TAF ISSUANCE...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL TERMINALS THROUGH THE FORECAST
PERIOD. ANOTHER SURGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL ENTER THE REGION
AROUND MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND BRING AN INCREASE IN NORTH WINDS AND
HIGHER GUSTS AT KNEW THROUGH 27/17Z. 18

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON THURSDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO
     STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...LAKE BORGNE...AND MISSISSIPPI
     SOUND.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 3 PM THURSDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA
     FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA
     TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO
     60 NM.

MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON THURSDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO
     STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...LAKE BORGNE...AND MISSISSIPPI
     SOUND.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 3 PM THURSDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA
     FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA
     TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO
     60 NM.

&&

$$










000
FXUS64 KLIX 270053
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
653 PM CST WED NOV 26 2014

...SOUNDING DISCUSSION...

A DRY...STABLE AND WARMER ATMOSPHERIC COLUMN OVER US ARE THE
HIGHLIGHTS OF TONIGHT/S SOUNDING. WARMER AIR HAS MOVED INTO THE
AREA...PRIMARILY BELOW 22000 FEET WITH TEMPERATURES AVERAGING 3
TO 4 DEGREES HIGHER THAN YESTERDAY AT THIS TIME. THERE WERE THREE
TEMPERATURE INVERSIONS...INCLUDING THE SURFACE INVERSION THAT IS
FORMING. THE PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUE IS BACK BELOW NORMAL FOR
THIS TIME OF YEAR AT 0.50 INCHES. WINDS THROUGHOUT THE COLUMN WERE
OUT OF A WESTERLY DIRECTION WHETHER THAT BE FROM THE SOUTHWEST AS IT
WAS AT THE SURFACE OR FROM THE NORTHWEST IN THE MID-LEVELS. A PEAK
WIND OF 116 KNOTS WAS LOCATED AT 38450 FEET.

00Z BALLOON INFO: NO ISSUES WITH THE FLIGHT THIS EVENING. THE
BALLOON WAS IN FLIGHT 93 MINUTES AND WENT 85 MILES DOWNRANGE FROM
OUR OFFICE ATTAINING A HEIGHT OF 18.6 MILES ABOVE THE GROUND
BEFORE BURSTING ALONG THE COAST AT THE ALABAMA-MISSISSIPPI STATE
LINE.

ANSORGE

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 223 PM CST WED NOV 26 2014/

SYNOPSIS...

LOW PRESSURE OVER NORTHERN MISSOURI AT 2 PM WITH A COLD FRONT TO
NEAR MEMPHIS...SHREVEPORT AND SAN ANTONIO. NOT MUCH IN THE WAY OF
CLOUD COVER TO THE SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20. PRESSURE GRADIENT AHEAD
OF THE FRONT HAS ALLOWED BREEZY CONDITIONS TO DEVELOP OVER ABOUT
THE NORTHWEST HALF OF THE AREA. TEMPERATURES AT 2 PM RANGED FROM
THE UPPER 50S ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI AND LOUISIANA COASTS WHERE
COOLER WATER WAS CHILLING THE AIR...TO 70 DEGREES AT BATON ROUGE.
THE AIR IS RATHER DRY WITH DEW POINTS GENERALLY IN THE 30S.

SHORT TERM...

REINFORCING COLD FRONT EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA THIS
EVENING. NO CLOUDS OR PRECIPITATION EXPECTED WITH THIS
FRONT...JUST SOME WIND...MAINLY OVER THE COASTAL WATERS. AFTER THE
FRONTAL PASSAGE...HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE FROM THE GREAT PLAINS TO
THE ATLANTIC COAST BY SATURDAY...KEEPING OUR AREA DRY AND MOSTLY
SUNNY.

THE FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL RE-CHILL THE AIR...ALTHOUGH THAT WILL NOT
BE VERY NOTICEABLE TONIGHT. WITH WINDS ONLY BRIEFLY BECOMING CALM
TOWARD SUNRISE OVERNIGHT LOWS TONIGHT WILL ACTUALLY BE ABOVE THIS
MORNINGS LOWS IN MOST PLACES. HIGHS ON THANKSGIVING DAY WILL ONLY
TOP OUT BETWEEN 55 AND 60...AS MUCH AS 10 DEGREES COOLER THAN
TODAY. THE AXIS OF THE HIGH WILL BE OVER THE AREA FRIDAY MORNING
ALLOWING FOR GOOD RADIATING CONDITIONS. LOWS WILL BE SIMILAR TO
THIS MORNING...WITH SOME OF THE NORMALLY COOLER NORTHSHORE AND
MISSISSIPPI COASTAL BOTTOMING OUT AROUND FREEZING. THESE LOCATIONS
HAVE DROPPED TO FREEZING OR BELOW SEVERAL TIMES AND DO NOT
ANTICIPATE THAT A FREEZE WARNING WILL BE NECESSARY. BY FRIDAY
EVENING...ONSHORE FLOW WILL RETURN WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES
MODERATING TO THE UPPER 60S AND LOWER 70S BY SATURDAY. 35

LONG TERM...

PERSISTENT EASTERN TROF FINALLY MOVES AWAY FROM THE ATLANTIC COAST
THIS WEEKEND WITH A MORE ZONAL FLOW MOVING ACROSS THE AREA. A WEAK
FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA ON MONDAY AND WASHES OUT FOR THE EARLY
PART OF NEXT WEEK. MOISTURE RETURN IS RATHER WEAK...AND ONLY SMALL
RAIN CHANCES ARE EXPECTED FOR THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK.
TEMPERATURES DURING THE EXTENDED PERIOD WILL BE ABOVE NORMAL BY
ABOUT 10 DEGREES. WILL USE A BLEND OF MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE FOR
FORECAST TEMPERATURES. 35

AVIATION...

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL TERMINALS THROUGH THE FORECAST
PERIOD. ANOTHER SURGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL ENTER THE REGION TONIGHT
TO BRING AN INCREASE IN NORTH WINDS AND HIGHER GUSTS AT KNEW MAINLY
AFTER 27/06Z.

MEFFER

MARINE...

RE-ENFORCING SURGE OF COLD HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE BUILDING INTO THE NORTH
GULF TONIGHT WITH WINDS INCREASING DUE TO RENEWED COLD AIR ADVECTION
OVER RELATIVELY WARMER WATERS. HAVE MADE A FEW MINOR TWEAKS TO THE
PREVIOUSLY ISSUED SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY AND EXERCISE CAUTION PRODUCTS
ISSUED THIS MORNING TO INCORPORATE THE LATEST WIND FORECAST. THE
MOST NOTABLE IS SIMPLY A SLIGHTLY EARLIER STARTING TIME FOR THE
EXERCISE CAUTION AS SW WINDS HAVE ALREADY INCREASED SIGNIFICANTLY IN
BATON ROUGE. OTHERWISE...NOT MUCH CHANGE THEREAFTER WITH THE
WINDFIELD BEGINNING TO WEAKEN FRIDAY AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
RELAXES. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN CENTERED NORTH OF THE
AREA...ALTHOUGH MOVING FROM NORTHWEST OF THE CWA TO NORTHEAST FROM
TOMORROW TO THIS WEEKEND. RETURN FLOW AHEAD OF NEXT FRONTAL SYSTEM
GETS UNDERWAY SATURDAY WITH THE RIDGE FAR ENOUGH EAST. IT REMAINS TO
BE SEEN IF THIS FRONT ACTUALLY REACHES THE COAST. AT THIS POINT...IT
WILL STALL AND DISSIPATE AT LEAST A 100 MILES TO THE NORTH OF THE
NORTHERN GULF COAST.

MEFFER

DECISION SUPPORT...

DSS CODE...BLUE.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...SLURRY SUPPORT.

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
         WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR
         AND/OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL
         SIGNIFICANCE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  40  56  32  60 /   0   0   0   0
BTR  41  60  34  63 /   0   0   0   0
ASD  40  59  32  61 /   0   0   0   0
MSY  47  59  41  61 /   0   0   0   0
GPT  42  59  35  59 /   0   0   0   0
PQL  38  59  31  60 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 9 PM WEDNESDAY TO NOON THURSDAY FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES: BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR
     SOUND...COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST
     PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...LAKE
     BORGNE...AND MISSISSIPPI SOUND.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT THURSDAY TO 3 PM THURSDAY FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO
     STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND COASTAL WATERS FROM
     STAKE ISLAND LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 9 PM WEDNESDAY TO NOON THURSDAY FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES: BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR
     SOUND...COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST
     PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...LAKE
     BORGNE...AND MISSISSIPPI SOUND.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT THURSDAY TO 3 PM THURSDAY FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO
     STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND COASTAL WATERS FROM
     STAKE ISLAND LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KLIX 270053
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
653 PM CST WED NOV 26 2014

...SOUNDING DISCUSSION...

A DRY...STABLE AND WARMER ATMOSPHERIC COLUMN OVER US ARE THE
HIGHLIGHTS OF TONIGHT/S SOUNDING. WARMER AIR HAS MOVED INTO THE
AREA...PRIMARILY BELOW 22000 FEET WITH TEMPERATURES AVERAGING 3
TO 4 DEGREES HIGHER THAN YESTERDAY AT THIS TIME. THERE WERE THREE
TEMPERATURE INVERSIONS...INCLUDING THE SURFACE INVERSION THAT IS
FORMING. THE PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUE IS BACK BELOW NORMAL FOR
THIS TIME OF YEAR AT 0.50 INCHES. WINDS THROUGHOUT THE COLUMN WERE
OUT OF A WESTERLY DIRECTION WHETHER THAT BE FROM THE SOUTHWEST AS IT
WAS AT THE SURFACE OR FROM THE NORTHWEST IN THE MID-LEVELS. A PEAK
WIND OF 116 KNOTS WAS LOCATED AT 38450 FEET.

00Z BALLOON INFO: NO ISSUES WITH THE FLIGHT THIS EVENING. THE
BALLOON WAS IN FLIGHT 93 MINUTES AND WENT 85 MILES DOWNRANGE FROM
OUR OFFICE ATTAINING A HEIGHT OF 18.6 MILES ABOVE THE GROUND
BEFORE BURSTING ALONG THE COAST AT THE ALABAMA-MISSISSIPPI STATE
LINE.

ANSORGE

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 223 PM CST WED NOV 26 2014/

SYNOPSIS...

LOW PRESSURE OVER NORTHERN MISSOURI AT 2 PM WITH A COLD FRONT TO
NEAR MEMPHIS...SHREVEPORT AND SAN ANTONIO. NOT MUCH IN THE WAY OF
CLOUD COVER TO THE SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20. PRESSURE GRADIENT AHEAD
OF THE FRONT HAS ALLOWED BREEZY CONDITIONS TO DEVELOP OVER ABOUT
THE NORTHWEST HALF OF THE AREA. TEMPERATURES AT 2 PM RANGED FROM
THE UPPER 50S ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI AND LOUISIANA COASTS WHERE
COOLER WATER WAS CHILLING THE AIR...TO 70 DEGREES AT BATON ROUGE.
THE AIR IS RATHER DRY WITH DEW POINTS GENERALLY IN THE 30S.

SHORT TERM...

REINFORCING COLD FRONT EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA THIS
EVENING. NO CLOUDS OR PRECIPITATION EXPECTED WITH THIS
FRONT...JUST SOME WIND...MAINLY OVER THE COASTAL WATERS. AFTER THE
FRONTAL PASSAGE...HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE FROM THE GREAT PLAINS TO
THE ATLANTIC COAST BY SATURDAY...KEEPING OUR AREA DRY AND MOSTLY
SUNNY.

THE FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL RE-CHILL THE AIR...ALTHOUGH THAT WILL NOT
BE VERY NOTICEABLE TONIGHT. WITH WINDS ONLY BRIEFLY BECOMING CALM
TOWARD SUNRISE OVERNIGHT LOWS TONIGHT WILL ACTUALLY BE ABOVE THIS
MORNINGS LOWS IN MOST PLACES. HIGHS ON THANKSGIVING DAY WILL ONLY
TOP OUT BETWEEN 55 AND 60...AS MUCH AS 10 DEGREES COOLER THAN
TODAY. THE AXIS OF THE HIGH WILL BE OVER THE AREA FRIDAY MORNING
ALLOWING FOR GOOD RADIATING CONDITIONS. LOWS WILL BE SIMILAR TO
THIS MORNING...WITH SOME OF THE NORMALLY COOLER NORTHSHORE AND
MISSISSIPPI COASTAL BOTTOMING OUT AROUND FREEZING. THESE LOCATIONS
HAVE DROPPED TO FREEZING OR BELOW SEVERAL TIMES AND DO NOT
ANTICIPATE THAT A FREEZE WARNING WILL BE NECESSARY. BY FRIDAY
EVENING...ONSHORE FLOW WILL RETURN WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES
MODERATING TO THE UPPER 60S AND LOWER 70S BY SATURDAY. 35

LONG TERM...

PERSISTENT EASTERN TROF FINALLY MOVES AWAY FROM THE ATLANTIC COAST
THIS WEEKEND WITH A MORE ZONAL FLOW MOVING ACROSS THE AREA. A WEAK
FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA ON MONDAY AND WASHES OUT FOR THE EARLY
PART OF NEXT WEEK. MOISTURE RETURN IS RATHER WEAK...AND ONLY SMALL
RAIN CHANCES ARE EXPECTED FOR THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK.
TEMPERATURES DURING THE EXTENDED PERIOD WILL BE ABOVE NORMAL BY
ABOUT 10 DEGREES. WILL USE A BLEND OF MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE FOR
FORECAST TEMPERATURES. 35

AVIATION...

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL TERMINALS THROUGH THE FORECAST
PERIOD. ANOTHER SURGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL ENTER THE REGION TONIGHT
TO BRING AN INCREASE IN NORTH WINDS AND HIGHER GUSTS AT KNEW MAINLY
AFTER 27/06Z.

MEFFER

MARINE...

RE-ENFORCING SURGE OF COLD HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE BUILDING INTO THE NORTH
GULF TONIGHT WITH WINDS INCREASING DUE TO RENEWED COLD AIR ADVECTION
OVER RELATIVELY WARMER WATERS. HAVE MADE A FEW MINOR TWEAKS TO THE
PREVIOUSLY ISSUED SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY AND EXERCISE CAUTION PRODUCTS
ISSUED THIS MORNING TO INCORPORATE THE LATEST WIND FORECAST. THE
MOST NOTABLE IS SIMPLY A SLIGHTLY EARLIER STARTING TIME FOR THE
EXERCISE CAUTION AS SW WINDS HAVE ALREADY INCREASED SIGNIFICANTLY IN
BATON ROUGE. OTHERWISE...NOT MUCH CHANGE THEREAFTER WITH THE
WINDFIELD BEGINNING TO WEAKEN FRIDAY AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
RELAXES. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN CENTERED NORTH OF THE
AREA...ALTHOUGH MOVING FROM NORTHWEST OF THE CWA TO NORTHEAST FROM
TOMORROW TO THIS WEEKEND. RETURN FLOW AHEAD OF NEXT FRONTAL SYSTEM
GETS UNDERWAY SATURDAY WITH THE RIDGE FAR ENOUGH EAST. IT REMAINS TO
BE SEEN IF THIS FRONT ACTUALLY REACHES THE COAST. AT THIS POINT...IT
WILL STALL AND DISSIPATE AT LEAST A 100 MILES TO THE NORTH OF THE
NORTHERN GULF COAST.

MEFFER

DECISION SUPPORT...

DSS CODE...BLUE.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...SLURRY SUPPORT.

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
         WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR
         AND/OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL
         SIGNIFICANCE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  40  56  32  60 /   0   0   0   0
BTR  41  60  34  63 /   0   0   0   0
ASD  40  59  32  61 /   0   0   0   0
MSY  47  59  41  61 /   0   0   0   0
GPT  42  59  35  59 /   0   0   0   0
PQL  38  59  31  60 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 9 PM WEDNESDAY TO NOON THURSDAY FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES: BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR
     SOUND...COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST
     PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...LAKE
     BORGNE...AND MISSISSIPPI SOUND.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT THURSDAY TO 3 PM THURSDAY FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO
     STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND COASTAL WATERS FROM
     STAKE ISLAND LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 9 PM WEDNESDAY TO NOON THURSDAY FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES: BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR
     SOUND...COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST
     PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...LAKE
     BORGNE...AND MISSISSIPPI SOUND.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT THURSDAY TO 3 PM THURSDAY FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO
     STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND COASTAL WATERS FROM
     STAKE ISLAND LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KLIX 262023
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
223 PM CST WED NOV 26 2014

.SYNOPSIS...

LOW PRESSURE OVER NORTHERN MISSOURI AT 2 PM WITH A COLD FRONT TO
NEAR MEMPHIS...SHREVEPORT AND SAN ANTONIO. NOT MUCH IN THE WAY OF
CLOUD COVER TO THE SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20. PRESSURE GRADIENT AHEAD
OF THE FRONT HAS ALLOWED BREEZY CONDITIONS TO DEVELOP OVER ABOUT
THE NORTHWEST HALF OF THE AREA. TEMPERATURES AT 2 PM RANGED FROM
THE UPPER 50S ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI AND LOUISIANA COASTS WHERE
COOLER WATER WAS CHILLING THE AIR...TO 70 DEGREES AT BATON ROUGE.
THE AIR IS RATHER DRY WITH DEW POINTS GENERALLY IN THE 30S.

&&

.SHORT TERM...

REINFORCING COLD FRONT EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA THIS
EVENING. NO CLOUDS OR PRECIPITATION EXPECTED WITH THIS
FRONT...JUST SOME WIND...MAINLY OVER THE COASTAL WATERS. AFTER THE
FRONTAL PASSAGE...HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE FROM THE GREAT PLAINS TO
THE ATLANTIC COAST BY SATURDAY...KEEPING OUR AREA DRY AND MOSTLY
SUNNY.

THE FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL RE-CHILL THE AIR...ALTHOUGH THAT WILL NOT
BE VERY NOTICEABLE TONIGHT. WITH WINDS ONLY BRIEFLY BECOMING CALM
TOWARD SUNRISE OVERNIGHT LOWS TONIGHT WILL ACTUALLY BE ABOVE THIS
MORNINGS LOWS IN MOST PLACES. HIGHS ON THANKSGIVING DAY WILL ONLY
TOP OUT BETWEEN 55 AND 60...AS MUCH AS 10 DEGREES COOLER THAN
TODAY. THE AXIS OF THE HIGH WILL BE OVER THE AREA FRIDAY MORNING
ALLOWING FOR GOOD RADIATING CONDITIONS. LOWS WILL BE SIMILAR TO
THIS MORNING...WITH SOME OF THE NORMALLY COOLER NORTHSHORE AND
MISSISSIPPI COASTAL BOTTOMING OUT AROUND FREEZING. THESE LOCATIONS
HAVE DROPPED TO FREEZING OR BELOW SEVERAL TIMES AND DO NOT
ANTICIPATE THAT A FREEZE WARNING WILL BE NECESSARY. BY FRIDAY
EVENING...ONSHORE FLOW WILL RETURN WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES
MODERATING TO THE UPPER 60S AND LOWER 70S BY SATURDAY. 35

&&

.LONG TERM...

PERSISTENT EASTERN TROF FINALLY MOVES AWAY FROM THE ATLANTIC COAST
THIS WEEKEND WITH A MORE ZONAL FLOW MOVING ACROSS THE AREA. A WEAK
FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA ON MONDAY AND WASHES OUT FOR THE EARLY
PART OF NEXT WEEK. MOISTURE RETURN IS RATHER WEAK...AND ONLY SMALL
RAIN CHANCES ARE EXPECTED FOR THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK.
TEMPERATURES DURING THE EXTENDED PERIOD WILL BE ABOVE NORMAL BY
ABOUT 10 DEGREES. WILL USE A BLEND OF MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE FOR
FORECAST TEMPERATURES. 35

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL TERMINALS THROUGH THE FORECAST
PERIOD. ANOTHER SURGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL ENTER THE REGION TONIGHT
TO BRING AN INCREASE IN NORTH WINDS AND HIGHER GUSTS AT KNEW MAINLY
AFTER 27/06Z.

MEFFER

&&

.MARINE...

RE-ENFORCING SURGE OF COLD HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE BUILDING INTO THE NORTH
GULF TONIGHT WITH WINDS INCREASING DUE TO RENEWED COLD AIR ADVECTION
OVER RELATIVELY WARMER WATERS. HAVE MADE A FEW MINOR TWEAKS TO THE
PREVIOUSLY ISSUED SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY AND EXERCISE CAUTION PRODUCTS
ISSUED THIS MORNING TO INCORPORATE THE LATEST WIND FORECAST. THE
MOST NOTABLE IS SIMPLY A SLIGHTLY EARLIER STARTING TIME FOR THE
EXERCISE CAUTION AS SW WINDS HAVE ALREADY INCREASED SIGNIFICANTLY IN
BATON ROUGE. OTHERWISE...NOT MUCH CHANGE THEREAFTER WITH THE
WINDFIELD BEGINNING TO WEAKEN FRIDAY AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
RELAXES. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN CENTERED NORTH OF THE
AREA...ALTHOUGH MOVING FROM NORTHWEST OF THE CWA TO NORTHEAST FROM
TOMORROW TO THIS WEEKEND. RETURN FLOW AHEAD OF NEXT FRONTAL SYSTEM
GETS UNDERWAY SATURDAY WITH THE RIDGE FAR ENOUGH EAST. IT REMAINS TO
BE SEEN IF THIS FRONT ACTUALLY REACHES THE COAST. AT THIS POINT...IT
WILL STALL AND DISSIPATE AT LEAST A 100 MILES TO THE NORTH OF THE
NORTHERN GULF COAST.

MEFFER

&&

.DECISION SUPPORT...

DSS CODE...BLUE.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...SLURRY SUPPORT.

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
         WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR
         AND/OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL
         SIGNIFICANCE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  40  56  32  60 /   0   0   0   0
BTR  41  60  34  63 /   0   0   0   0
ASD  40  59  32  61 /   0   0   0   0
MSY  47  59  41  61 /   0   0   0   0
GPT  42  59  35  59 /   0   0   0   0
PQL  38  59  31  60 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 9 PM WEDNESDAY TO NOON THURSDAY FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES: BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR
     SOUND...COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST
     PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...LAKE
     BORGNE...AND MISSISSIPPI SOUND.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT THURSDAY TO 3 PM THURSDAY FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO
     STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND COASTAL WATERS FROM
     STAKE ISLAND LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 9 PM WEDNESDAY TO NOON THURSDAY FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES: BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR
     SOUND...COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST
     PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...LAKE
     BORGNE...AND MISSISSIPPI SOUND.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT THURSDAY TO 3 PM THURSDAY FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO
     STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND COASTAL WATERS FROM
     STAKE ISLAND LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KLIX 262023
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
223 PM CST WED NOV 26 2014

.SYNOPSIS...

LOW PRESSURE OVER NORTHERN MISSOURI AT 2 PM WITH A COLD FRONT TO
NEAR MEMPHIS...SHREVEPORT AND SAN ANTONIO. NOT MUCH IN THE WAY OF
CLOUD COVER TO THE SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20. PRESSURE GRADIENT AHEAD
OF THE FRONT HAS ALLOWED BREEZY CONDITIONS TO DEVELOP OVER ABOUT
THE NORTHWEST HALF OF THE AREA. TEMPERATURES AT 2 PM RANGED FROM
THE UPPER 50S ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI AND LOUISIANA COASTS WHERE
COOLER WATER WAS CHILLING THE AIR...TO 70 DEGREES AT BATON ROUGE.
THE AIR IS RATHER DRY WITH DEW POINTS GENERALLY IN THE 30S.

&&

.SHORT TERM...

REINFORCING COLD FRONT EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA THIS
EVENING. NO CLOUDS OR PRECIPITATION EXPECTED WITH THIS
FRONT...JUST SOME WIND...MAINLY OVER THE COASTAL WATERS. AFTER THE
FRONTAL PASSAGE...HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE FROM THE GREAT PLAINS TO
THE ATLANTIC COAST BY SATURDAY...KEEPING OUR AREA DRY AND MOSTLY
SUNNY.

THE FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL RE-CHILL THE AIR...ALTHOUGH THAT WILL NOT
BE VERY NOTICEABLE TONIGHT. WITH WINDS ONLY BRIEFLY BECOMING CALM
TOWARD SUNRISE OVERNIGHT LOWS TONIGHT WILL ACTUALLY BE ABOVE THIS
MORNINGS LOWS IN MOST PLACES. HIGHS ON THANKSGIVING DAY WILL ONLY
TOP OUT BETWEEN 55 AND 60...AS MUCH AS 10 DEGREES COOLER THAN
TODAY. THE AXIS OF THE HIGH WILL BE OVER THE AREA FRIDAY MORNING
ALLOWING FOR GOOD RADIATING CONDITIONS. LOWS WILL BE SIMILAR TO
THIS MORNING...WITH SOME OF THE NORMALLY COOLER NORTHSHORE AND
MISSISSIPPI COASTAL BOTTOMING OUT AROUND FREEZING. THESE LOCATIONS
HAVE DROPPED TO FREEZING OR BELOW SEVERAL TIMES AND DO NOT
ANTICIPATE THAT A FREEZE WARNING WILL BE NECESSARY. BY FRIDAY
EVENING...ONSHORE FLOW WILL RETURN WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES
MODERATING TO THE UPPER 60S AND LOWER 70S BY SATURDAY. 35

&&

.LONG TERM...

PERSISTENT EASTERN TROF FINALLY MOVES AWAY FROM THE ATLANTIC COAST
THIS WEEKEND WITH A MORE ZONAL FLOW MOVING ACROSS THE AREA. A WEAK
FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA ON MONDAY AND WASHES OUT FOR THE EARLY
PART OF NEXT WEEK. MOISTURE RETURN IS RATHER WEAK...AND ONLY SMALL
RAIN CHANCES ARE EXPECTED FOR THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK.
TEMPERATURES DURING THE EXTENDED PERIOD WILL BE ABOVE NORMAL BY
ABOUT 10 DEGREES. WILL USE A BLEND OF MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE FOR
FORECAST TEMPERATURES. 35

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL TERMINALS THROUGH THE FORECAST
PERIOD. ANOTHER SURGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL ENTER THE REGION TONIGHT
TO BRING AN INCREASE IN NORTH WINDS AND HIGHER GUSTS AT KNEW MAINLY
AFTER 27/06Z.

MEFFER

&&

.MARINE...

RE-ENFORCING SURGE OF COLD HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE BUILDING INTO THE NORTH
GULF TONIGHT WITH WINDS INCREASING DUE TO RENEWED COLD AIR ADVECTION
OVER RELATIVELY WARMER WATERS. HAVE MADE A FEW MINOR TWEAKS TO THE
PREVIOUSLY ISSUED SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY AND EXERCISE CAUTION PRODUCTS
ISSUED THIS MORNING TO INCORPORATE THE LATEST WIND FORECAST. THE
MOST NOTABLE IS SIMPLY A SLIGHTLY EARLIER STARTING TIME FOR THE
EXERCISE CAUTION AS SW WINDS HAVE ALREADY INCREASED SIGNIFICANTLY IN
BATON ROUGE. OTHERWISE...NOT MUCH CHANGE THEREAFTER WITH THE
WINDFIELD BEGINNING TO WEAKEN FRIDAY AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
RELAXES. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN CENTERED NORTH OF THE
AREA...ALTHOUGH MOVING FROM NORTHWEST OF THE CWA TO NORTHEAST FROM
TOMORROW TO THIS WEEKEND. RETURN FLOW AHEAD OF NEXT FRONTAL SYSTEM
GETS UNDERWAY SATURDAY WITH THE RIDGE FAR ENOUGH EAST. IT REMAINS TO
BE SEEN IF THIS FRONT ACTUALLY REACHES THE COAST. AT THIS POINT...IT
WILL STALL AND DISSIPATE AT LEAST A 100 MILES TO THE NORTH OF THE
NORTHERN GULF COAST.

MEFFER

&&

.DECISION SUPPORT...

DSS CODE...BLUE.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...SLURRY SUPPORT.

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
         WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR
         AND/OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL
         SIGNIFICANCE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  40  56  32  60 /   0   0   0   0
BTR  41  60  34  63 /   0   0   0   0
ASD  40  59  32  61 /   0   0   0   0
MSY  47  59  41  61 /   0   0   0   0
GPT  42  59  35  59 /   0   0   0   0
PQL  38  59  31  60 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 9 PM WEDNESDAY TO NOON THURSDAY FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES: BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR
     SOUND...COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST
     PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...LAKE
     BORGNE...AND MISSISSIPPI SOUND.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT THURSDAY TO 3 PM THURSDAY FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO
     STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND COASTAL WATERS FROM
     STAKE ISLAND LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 9 PM WEDNESDAY TO NOON THURSDAY FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES: BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR
     SOUND...COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST
     PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...LAKE
     BORGNE...AND MISSISSIPPI SOUND.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT THURSDAY TO 3 PM THURSDAY FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO
     STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND COASTAL WATERS FROM
     STAKE ISLAND LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KLIX 261837
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1237 PM CST WED NOV 26 2014

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL TERMINALS THROUGH THE FORECAST
PERIOD. ANOTHER SURGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL ENTER THE REGION
TONIGHT TO BRING AN INCREASE IN NORTH WINDS AND HIGHER GUSTS AT
KNEW MAINLY AFTER 27/06Z.

MEFFER
&&


.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 355 AM CST WED NOV 26 2014/

DISCUSSION...
CLOUDS HAVE FINALLY MOVED OUT OF THE AREA AND TEMPERATURES HAVE
REALLY DROPPED THIS MORNING UNDER CLEAR SKIES. TEMPERATURES THIS
MORNING HAVE DROPPED TO BELOW FREEZING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
NORTHSHORE AND MID 30S SOUTH OF LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. EXPECT A
BEAUTIFUL DAY ACROSS THE AREA AS ANOTHER COLD FRONT SHOULD QUICKLY
MOVE THROUGH THE AREA LATER ON TODAY INTO TONIGHT. THIS FEATURE
CAN BE SEEN WELL ON THE IR IMAGERY THIS MORNING OVER THE CENTRAL
PLAINS. THIS FRONT WILL ONLY SERVE AS A REINFORCING SHOUT OF COLD
AIR AS THERE IS NO MOISTURE TO WORK WITH OVER THE AREA. HIGH
PRESSURE THEN BUILDS IN OVER THE AREA FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK AS
A SLIGHT WARMING TREND STARTS AND CONTINUES THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND BACK INTO THE 70S BY SUNDAY. THE HIGH
SLIDES EAST BY THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK AND THAT WILL ALLOW FOR
SOME MOISTURE TO RETURN AND MODEL GUIDANCE IS HINTING AT SOME SORT
OF BOUNDARY OR FRONT NORTH OF THE AREA THAT COULD SERVE AS ENOUGH
LIFT TO KICK OFF A FEW AFTERNOON SHOWERS. SO WILL CARRY A SLIGHT
CHANCE FOR SOME SHOWERS STARTING TUESDAY AFTERNOON. GUIDANCE IS
NOT REALLY CONSISTENT ON THE NEXT MAJOR RAIN CHANCE BUT IT LOOKS
TO FAVOR SOMETIME AFTER THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. 13/MH

MARINE...
RE-ENFORCING SURGE OF COLD HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE BUILDING INTO THE NORTH
GULF TONIGHT WITH WINDS INCREASING DUE TO RENEWED COLD AIR ADVECTION OVER
RELATIVELY WARMER WATERS. WILL POST A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TO GO INTO
EFFECT AT 6 PM CST FOR THE NEAR SHORE WATERS EAST OF THE MS RIVER AND AFTER
MIDNIGHT FOR THE OUTER COASTAL WATERS. WILL INDICATE `EXERCISE CAUTION`
CONDITIONS ON LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND WESTERN COASTAL WATERS FOR TONIGHT.
HIGH PRESSURE THEN STAYS PARKED OVER THE GULF STATES WHILE SLOWLY MODERATING
THROUGH LATE SATURDAY. SOME RETURN FLOW AHEAD OF NEXT FRONTAL SYSTEM GETS
UNDERWAY SUNDAY. 24/RR

DECISION SUPPORT...
DSS CODE...BLUE.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...SLURRY SUPPORT.

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
         WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR
         AND/OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL
         SIGNIFICANCE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  40  56  32  60 /   0   0   0   0
BTR  41  60  34  63 /   0   0   0   0
ASD  40  59  32  61 /   0   0   0   0
MSY  47  59  41  61 /   0   0   0   0
GPT  42  59  35  59 /   0   0   0   0
PQL  38  59  31  60 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 9 PM WEDNESDAY TO NOON THURSDAY FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES: BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR
     SOUND...COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST
     PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...LAKE
     BORGNE...AND MISSISSIPPI SOUND.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT THURSDAY TO 3 PM THURSDAY FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO
     STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND COASTAL WATERS FROM
     STAKE ISLAND LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 9 PM WEDNESDAY TO NOON THURSDAY FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES: BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR
     SOUND...COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST
     PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...LAKE
     BORGNE...AND MISSISSIPPI SOUND.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT THURSDAY TO 3 PM THURSDAY FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO
     STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND COASTAL WATERS FROM
     STAKE ISLAND LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KLIX 261837
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1237 PM CST WED NOV 26 2014

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL TERMINALS THROUGH THE FORECAST
PERIOD. ANOTHER SURGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL ENTER THE REGION
TONIGHT TO BRING AN INCREASE IN NORTH WINDS AND HIGHER GUSTS AT
KNEW MAINLY AFTER 27/06Z.

MEFFER
&&


.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 355 AM CST WED NOV 26 2014/

DISCUSSION...
CLOUDS HAVE FINALLY MOVED OUT OF THE AREA AND TEMPERATURES HAVE
REALLY DROPPED THIS MORNING UNDER CLEAR SKIES. TEMPERATURES THIS
MORNING HAVE DROPPED TO BELOW FREEZING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
NORTHSHORE AND MID 30S SOUTH OF LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. EXPECT A
BEAUTIFUL DAY ACROSS THE AREA AS ANOTHER COLD FRONT SHOULD QUICKLY
MOVE THROUGH THE AREA LATER ON TODAY INTO TONIGHT. THIS FEATURE
CAN BE SEEN WELL ON THE IR IMAGERY THIS MORNING OVER THE CENTRAL
PLAINS. THIS FRONT WILL ONLY SERVE AS A REINFORCING SHOUT OF COLD
AIR AS THERE IS NO MOISTURE TO WORK WITH OVER THE AREA. HIGH
PRESSURE THEN BUILDS IN OVER THE AREA FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK AS
A SLIGHT WARMING TREND STARTS AND CONTINUES THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND BACK INTO THE 70S BY SUNDAY. THE HIGH
SLIDES EAST BY THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK AND THAT WILL ALLOW FOR
SOME MOISTURE TO RETURN AND MODEL GUIDANCE IS HINTING AT SOME SORT
OF BOUNDARY OR FRONT NORTH OF THE AREA THAT COULD SERVE AS ENOUGH
LIFT TO KICK OFF A FEW AFTERNOON SHOWERS. SO WILL CARRY A SLIGHT
CHANCE FOR SOME SHOWERS STARTING TUESDAY AFTERNOON. GUIDANCE IS
NOT REALLY CONSISTENT ON THE NEXT MAJOR RAIN CHANCE BUT IT LOOKS
TO FAVOR SOMETIME AFTER THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. 13/MH

MARINE...
RE-ENFORCING SURGE OF COLD HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE BUILDING INTO THE NORTH
GULF TONIGHT WITH WINDS INCREASING DUE TO RENEWED COLD AIR ADVECTION OVER
RELATIVELY WARMER WATERS. WILL POST A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TO GO INTO
EFFECT AT 6 PM CST FOR THE NEAR SHORE WATERS EAST OF THE MS RIVER AND AFTER
MIDNIGHT FOR THE OUTER COASTAL WATERS. WILL INDICATE `EXERCISE CAUTION`
CONDITIONS ON LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND WESTERN COASTAL WATERS FOR TONIGHT.
HIGH PRESSURE THEN STAYS PARKED OVER THE GULF STATES WHILE SLOWLY MODERATING
THROUGH LATE SATURDAY. SOME RETURN FLOW AHEAD OF NEXT FRONTAL SYSTEM GETS
UNDERWAY SUNDAY. 24/RR

DECISION SUPPORT...
DSS CODE...BLUE.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...SLURRY SUPPORT.

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
         WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR
         AND/OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL
         SIGNIFICANCE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  40  56  32  60 /   0   0   0   0
BTR  41  60  34  63 /   0   0   0   0
ASD  40  59  32  61 /   0   0   0   0
MSY  47  59  41  61 /   0   0   0   0
GPT  42  59  35  59 /   0   0   0   0
PQL  38  59  31  60 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 9 PM WEDNESDAY TO NOON THURSDAY FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES: BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR
     SOUND...COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST
     PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...LAKE
     BORGNE...AND MISSISSIPPI SOUND.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT THURSDAY TO 3 PM THURSDAY FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO
     STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND COASTAL WATERS FROM
     STAKE ISLAND LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 9 PM WEDNESDAY TO NOON THURSDAY FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES: BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR
     SOUND...COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST
     PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...LAKE
     BORGNE...AND MISSISSIPPI SOUND.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT THURSDAY TO 3 PM THURSDAY FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO
     STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND COASTAL WATERS FROM
     STAKE ISLAND LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KLIX 260955
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
355 AM CST WED NOV 26 2014

.DISCUSSION...
CLOUDS HAVE FINALLY MOVED OUT OF THE AREA AND TEMPERATURES HAVE
REALLY DROPPED THIS MORNING UNDER CLEAR SKIES. TEMPERATURES THIS
MORNING HAVE DROPPED TO BELOW FREEZING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
NORTHSHORE AND MID 30S SOUTH OF LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. EXPECT A
BEAUTIFUL DAY ACROSS THE AREA AS ANOTHER COLD FRONT SHOULD QUICKLY
MOVE THROUGH THE AREA LATER ON TODAY INTO TONIGHT. THIS FEATURE
CAN BE SEEN WELL ON THE IR IMAGERY THIS MORNING OVER THE CENTRAL
PLAINS. THIS FRONT WILL ONLY SERVE AS A REINFORCING SHOUT OF COLD
AIR AS THERE IS NO MOISTURE TO WORK WITH OVER THE AREA. HIGH
PRESSURE THEN BUILDS IN OVER THE AREA FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK AS
A SLIGHT WARMING TREND STARTS AND CONTINUES THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND BACK INTO THE 70S BY SUNDAY. THE HIGH
SLIDES EAST BY THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK AND THAT WILL ALLOW FOR
SOME MOISTURE TO RETURN AND MODEL GUIDANCE IS HINTING AT SOME SORT
OF BOUNDARY OR FRONT NORTH OF THE AREA THAT COULD SERVE AS ENOUGH
LIFT TO KICK OFF A FEW AFTERNOON SHOWERS. SO WILL CARRY A SLIGHT
CHANCE FOR SOME SHOWERS STARTING TUESDAY AFTERNOON. GUIDANCE IS
NOT REALLY CONSISTENT ON THE NEXT MAJOR RAIN CHANCE BUT IT LOOKS
TO FAVOR SOMETIME AFTER THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. 13/MH

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL TERMINALS TODAY. ANOTHER SURGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE WILL ENTER THE REGION TONIGHT TO BRING AN INCREASE IN NORTH
WINDS AND HIGHER GUSTS AT KNEW MAINLY AFTER 27/06Z. 24/RR

&&

.MARINE...
RE-ENFORCING SURGE OF COLD HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE BUILDING INTO THE NORTH
GULF TONIGHT WITH WINDS INCREASING DUE TO RENEWED COLD AIR ADVECTION OVER
RELATIVELY WARMER WATERS. WILL POST A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TO GO INTO
EFFECT AT 6 PM CST FOR THE NEAR SHORE WATERS EAST OF THE MS RIVER AND AFTER
MIDNIGHT FOR THE OUTER COASTAL WATERS. WILL INDICATE `EXERCISE CAUTION`
CONDITIONS ON LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND WESTERN COASTAL WATERS FOR TONIGHT.
HIGH PRESSURE THEN STAYS PARKED OVER THE GULF STATES WHILE SLOWLY MODERATING
THROUGH LATE SATURDAY. SOME RETURN FLOW AHEAD OF NEXT FRONTAL SYSTEM GETS
UNDERWAY SUNDAY. 24/RR

&&

.DECISION SUPPORT...
DSS CODE...BLUE.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...SLURRY SUPPORT.

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
         WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR
         AND/OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL
         SIGNIFICANCE.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  67  39  58  35 /   0   0   0   0
BTR  69  41  61  37 /   0   0   0   0
ASD  66  40  61  38 /   0   0   0   0
MSY  67  47  60  44 /   0   0   0   0
GPT  66  42  60  40 /   0   0   0   0
PQL  64  38  60  37 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KLIX 260955
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
355 AM CST WED NOV 26 2014

.DISCUSSION...
CLOUDS HAVE FINALLY MOVED OUT OF THE AREA AND TEMPERATURES HAVE
REALLY DROPPED THIS MORNING UNDER CLEAR SKIES. TEMPERATURES THIS
MORNING HAVE DROPPED TO BELOW FREEZING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
NORTHSHORE AND MID 30S SOUTH OF LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. EXPECT A
BEAUTIFUL DAY ACROSS THE AREA AS ANOTHER COLD FRONT SHOULD QUICKLY
MOVE THROUGH THE AREA LATER ON TODAY INTO TONIGHT. THIS FEATURE
CAN BE SEEN WELL ON THE IR IMAGERY THIS MORNING OVER THE CENTRAL
PLAINS. THIS FRONT WILL ONLY SERVE AS A REINFORCING SHOUT OF COLD
AIR AS THERE IS NO MOISTURE TO WORK WITH OVER THE AREA. HIGH
PRESSURE THEN BUILDS IN OVER THE AREA FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK AS
A SLIGHT WARMING TREND STARTS AND CONTINUES THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND BACK INTO THE 70S BY SUNDAY. THE HIGH
SLIDES EAST BY THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK AND THAT WILL ALLOW FOR
SOME MOISTURE TO RETURN AND MODEL GUIDANCE IS HINTING AT SOME SORT
OF BOUNDARY OR FRONT NORTH OF THE AREA THAT COULD SERVE AS ENOUGH
LIFT TO KICK OFF A FEW AFTERNOON SHOWERS. SO WILL CARRY A SLIGHT
CHANCE FOR SOME SHOWERS STARTING TUESDAY AFTERNOON. GUIDANCE IS
NOT REALLY CONSISTENT ON THE NEXT MAJOR RAIN CHANCE BUT IT LOOKS
TO FAVOR SOMETIME AFTER THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. 13/MH

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL TERMINALS TODAY. ANOTHER SURGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE WILL ENTER THE REGION TONIGHT TO BRING AN INCREASE IN NORTH
WINDS AND HIGHER GUSTS AT KNEW MAINLY AFTER 27/06Z. 24/RR

&&

.MARINE...
RE-ENFORCING SURGE OF COLD HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE BUILDING INTO THE NORTH
GULF TONIGHT WITH WINDS INCREASING DUE TO RENEWED COLD AIR ADVECTION OVER
RELATIVELY WARMER WATERS. WILL POST A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TO GO INTO
EFFECT AT 6 PM CST FOR THE NEAR SHORE WATERS EAST OF THE MS RIVER AND AFTER
MIDNIGHT FOR THE OUTER COASTAL WATERS. WILL INDICATE `EXERCISE CAUTION`
CONDITIONS ON LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND WESTERN COASTAL WATERS FOR TONIGHT.
HIGH PRESSURE THEN STAYS PARKED OVER THE GULF STATES WHILE SLOWLY MODERATING
THROUGH LATE SATURDAY. SOME RETURN FLOW AHEAD OF NEXT FRONTAL SYSTEM GETS
UNDERWAY SUNDAY. 24/RR

&&

.DECISION SUPPORT...
DSS CODE...BLUE.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...SLURRY SUPPORT.

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
         WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR
         AND/OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL
         SIGNIFICANCE.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  67  39  58  35 /   0   0   0   0
BTR  69  41  61  37 /   0   0   0   0
ASD  66  40  61  38 /   0   0   0   0
MSY  67  47  60  44 /   0   0   0   0
GPT  66  42  60  40 /   0   0   0   0
PQL  64  38  60  37 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KLIX 260955
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
355 AM CST WED NOV 26 2014

.DISCUSSION...
CLOUDS HAVE FINALLY MOVED OUT OF THE AREA AND TEMPERATURES HAVE
REALLY DROPPED THIS MORNING UNDER CLEAR SKIES. TEMPERATURES THIS
MORNING HAVE DROPPED TO BELOW FREEZING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
NORTHSHORE AND MID 30S SOUTH OF LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. EXPECT A
BEAUTIFUL DAY ACROSS THE AREA AS ANOTHER COLD FRONT SHOULD QUICKLY
MOVE THROUGH THE AREA LATER ON TODAY INTO TONIGHT. THIS FEATURE
CAN BE SEEN WELL ON THE IR IMAGERY THIS MORNING OVER THE CENTRAL
PLAINS. THIS FRONT WILL ONLY SERVE AS A REINFORCING SHOUT OF COLD
AIR AS THERE IS NO MOISTURE TO WORK WITH OVER THE AREA. HIGH
PRESSURE THEN BUILDS IN OVER THE AREA FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK AS
A SLIGHT WARMING TREND STARTS AND CONTINUES THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND BACK INTO THE 70S BY SUNDAY. THE HIGH
SLIDES EAST BY THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK AND THAT WILL ALLOW FOR
SOME MOISTURE TO RETURN AND MODEL GUIDANCE IS HINTING AT SOME SORT
OF BOUNDARY OR FRONT NORTH OF THE AREA THAT COULD SERVE AS ENOUGH
LIFT TO KICK OFF A FEW AFTERNOON SHOWERS. SO WILL CARRY A SLIGHT
CHANCE FOR SOME SHOWERS STARTING TUESDAY AFTERNOON. GUIDANCE IS
NOT REALLY CONSISTENT ON THE NEXT MAJOR RAIN CHANCE BUT IT LOOKS
TO FAVOR SOMETIME AFTER THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. 13/MH

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL TERMINALS TODAY. ANOTHER SURGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE WILL ENTER THE REGION TONIGHT TO BRING AN INCREASE IN NORTH
WINDS AND HIGHER GUSTS AT KNEW MAINLY AFTER 27/06Z. 24/RR

&&

.MARINE...
RE-ENFORCING SURGE OF COLD HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE BUILDING INTO THE NORTH
GULF TONIGHT WITH WINDS INCREASING DUE TO RENEWED COLD AIR ADVECTION OVER
RELATIVELY WARMER WATERS. WILL POST A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TO GO INTO
EFFECT AT 6 PM CST FOR THE NEAR SHORE WATERS EAST OF THE MS RIVER AND AFTER
MIDNIGHT FOR THE OUTER COASTAL WATERS. WILL INDICATE `EXERCISE CAUTION`
CONDITIONS ON LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND WESTERN COASTAL WATERS FOR TONIGHT.
HIGH PRESSURE THEN STAYS PARKED OVER THE GULF STATES WHILE SLOWLY MODERATING
THROUGH LATE SATURDAY. SOME RETURN FLOW AHEAD OF NEXT FRONTAL SYSTEM GETS
UNDERWAY SUNDAY. 24/RR

&&

.DECISION SUPPORT...
DSS CODE...BLUE.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...SLURRY SUPPORT.

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
         WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR
         AND/OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL
         SIGNIFICANCE.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  67  39  58  35 /   0   0   0   0
BTR  69  41  61  37 /   0   0   0   0
ASD  66  40  61  38 /   0   0   0   0
MSY  67  47  60  44 /   0   0   0   0
GPT  66  42  60  40 /   0   0   0   0
PQL  64  38  60  37 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KLIX 260955
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
355 AM CST WED NOV 26 2014

.DISCUSSION...
CLOUDS HAVE FINALLY MOVED OUT OF THE AREA AND TEMPERATURES HAVE
REALLY DROPPED THIS MORNING UNDER CLEAR SKIES. TEMPERATURES THIS
MORNING HAVE DROPPED TO BELOW FREEZING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
NORTHSHORE AND MID 30S SOUTH OF LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. EXPECT A
BEAUTIFUL DAY ACROSS THE AREA AS ANOTHER COLD FRONT SHOULD QUICKLY
MOVE THROUGH THE AREA LATER ON TODAY INTO TONIGHT. THIS FEATURE
CAN BE SEEN WELL ON THE IR IMAGERY THIS MORNING OVER THE CENTRAL
PLAINS. THIS FRONT WILL ONLY SERVE AS A REINFORCING SHOUT OF COLD
AIR AS THERE IS NO MOISTURE TO WORK WITH OVER THE AREA. HIGH
PRESSURE THEN BUILDS IN OVER THE AREA FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK AS
A SLIGHT WARMING TREND STARTS AND CONTINUES THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND BACK INTO THE 70S BY SUNDAY. THE HIGH
SLIDES EAST BY THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK AND THAT WILL ALLOW FOR
SOME MOISTURE TO RETURN AND MODEL GUIDANCE IS HINTING AT SOME SORT
OF BOUNDARY OR FRONT NORTH OF THE AREA THAT COULD SERVE AS ENOUGH
LIFT TO KICK OFF A FEW AFTERNOON SHOWERS. SO WILL CARRY A SLIGHT
CHANCE FOR SOME SHOWERS STARTING TUESDAY AFTERNOON. GUIDANCE IS
NOT REALLY CONSISTENT ON THE NEXT MAJOR RAIN CHANCE BUT IT LOOKS
TO FAVOR SOMETIME AFTER THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. 13/MH

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL TERMINALS TODAY. ANOTHER SURGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE WILL ENTER THE REGION TONIGHT TO BRING AN INCREASE IN NORTH
WINDS AND HIGHER GUSTS AT KNEW MAINLY AFTER 27/06Z. 24/RR

&&

.MARINE...
RE-ENFORCING SURGE OF COLD HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE BUILDING INTO THE NORTH
GULF TONIGHT WITH WINDS INCREASING DUE TO RENEWED COLD AIR ADVECTION OVER
RELATIVELY WARMER WATERS. WILL POST A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TO GO INTO
EFFECT AT 6 PM CST FOR THE NEAR SHORE WATERS EAST OF THE MS RIVER AND AFTER
MIDNIGHT FOR THE OUTER COASTAL WATERS. WILL INDICATE `EXERCISE CAUTION`
CONDITIONS ON LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND WESTERN COASTAL WATERS FOR TONIGHT.
HIGH PRESSURE THEN STAYS PARKED OVER THE GULF STATES WHILE SLOWLY MODERATING
THROUGH LATE SATURDAY. SOME RETURN FLOW AHEAD OF NEXT FRONTAL SYSTEM GETS
UNDERWAY SUNDAY. 24/RR

&&

.DECISION SUPPORT...
DSS CODE...BLUE.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...SLURRY SUPPORT.

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
         WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR
         AND/OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL
         SIGNIFICANCE.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  67  39  58  35 /   0   0   0   0
BTR  69  41  61  37 /   0   0   0   0
ASD  66  40  61  38 /   0   0   0   0
MSY  67  47  60  44 /   0   0   0   0
GPT  66  42  60  40 /   0   0   0   0
PQL  64  38  60  37 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KLIX 260520
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1120 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.AVIATION...
...06Z TAF ISSUANCE...
MID AND HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH EAST. VFR
CONDITIONS WILL BE THE RULE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. WINDS
WILL BACK TO THE WEST AFTER 18Z WED. 18

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS HAVE DECREASED BELOW SCA CRITERIA. WILL ALLOW SCA TO EXPIRE
AT MIDNIGHT.

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST
     PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND
     LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND
     COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM.

MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST
     PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND
     LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND
     COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KLIX 260520
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1120 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.AVIATION...
...06Z TAF ISSUANCE...
MID AND HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH EAST. VFR
CONDITIONS WILL BE THE RULE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. WINDS
WILL BACK TO THE WEST AFTER 18Z WED. 18

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS HAVE DECREASED BELOW SCA CRITERIA. WILL ALLOW SCA TO EXPIRE
AT MIDNIGHT.

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST
     PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND
     LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND
     COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM.

MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST
     PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND
     LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND
     COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KLIX 260255
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
855 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.UPDATED...LATEST IR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWED THE CLEARING LINE
OF CLOUDS FROM WALTHALL COUNTY TO LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN TO HOUMA.
CLEARING LINE WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH EAST THROUGH MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURES
HAVE DROPPED QUICKLY WEST OF THE THIS LINE WITH SOME POINTS JUST 3
DEGREES ABV FORECASTED LOWS. ERGO...HAVE LOWERED WEDNESDAY
MORNING LOWS FOR MCB...BTR AND WEST ZONES. OTHERWISE....AFTERNOON
PACKAGE IS ON TRACK RIGHT NOW.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 657 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

..SOUNDING DISCUSSION...

THE LAYER OF CLOUDS THAT ARE IN THE PROCESS OF EXITING OUR AREA
WAS WELL DEPICTED ON THIS EVENING/S SOUNDING BETWEEN 12000 AND
19000 FEET. THIS HELPED TO INCREASE THE PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUE
TO 0.74 INCHES...WHICH IS JUST SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME
OF YEAR. DRIER AIR WAS FOUND BELOW AND ABOVE THIS CLOUD LAYER.
TEMPERATURES ARE LOWER /COLDER/ THAN THEY WERE AT THIS TIME
YESTERDAY BELOW 23000 FEET ON AVERAGE BY 4 TO 5 DEGREES. WINDS
WERE FROM THE NORTH AT THE SURFACE AND THEN BACKED TO THE FROM THE
SOUTHWEST AROUND 12000 FEET. A MAXIMUM WIND SPEED OF 136 KNOTS
WAS LOCATED AT 38300 FEET.

00Z BALLOON INFO: NO ISSUES WITH THE BALLOON THIS EVENING THAT WAS
LAUNCHED ON TIME WITH A RAINBOW IN THE VICINITY /SEE OUR FACEBOOK
OR TWITTER FOR A PICTURE/. THE FLIGHT LASTED 107 MINUTES AND WENT
135 MILES DOWNRANGE. THE BALLOON BURST AT A HEIGHT OF 19.8 MILES
ABOVE THE GROUND NORTHWEST OF JACKSON AL.

ANSORGE

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 311 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

AVIATION...
MID AND HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE CONTINUE TO STREAM NORTHEASTWARD
ACROSS THE AREA AHEAD OF A TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE GREAT PLAINS.
LOWER LAYERS OF THE ATMOSPHERE ARE EXTREMELY DRY...SO VFR
CONDITIONS WILL BE THE RULE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE MID
AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS SHOULD SHIFT TO THE EAST OF THE AREA
SOMEWHERE BETWEEN 06Z AND 09Z WEDNESDAY WITH LITTLE OR NO
CLOUDINESS EXPECTED UNTIL SOMETIME FRIDAY. 35

MARINE...
STRONG NORTH WINDS AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE GULF WILL MAINTAIN
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS THROUGH THIS EVENING AND MOST OF
TONIGHT FOR THE OPEN GULF WATERS. PROTECTED WATER AREAS SHOULD SEE
WINDS ABATE RAPIDLY THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. ANOTHER COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA WED CAUSING WINDS TO HEIGHTEN ONCE
AGAIN BUT SHOULD REMAIN IN THE 20 TO 25 KNOT RANGE FOR WED NIGHT
AND THU MORNING. NO RAIN IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST.

DECISION SUPPORT...
DSS CODE...BLUE.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...SLURRY SUPPORT
             SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
         WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR
         AND/OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL
         SIGNIFICANCE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  33  65  40  60 /  10   0   0   0
BTR  33  66  41  63 /   0   0   0   0
ASD  38  65  42  63 /  10   0   0   0
MSY  42  64  47  62 /  10   0   0   0
GPT  39  63  44  61 /  20   0   0   0
PQL  40  63  42  61 /  30   0   0   0

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST
     PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND
     LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND
     COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM.

MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST
     PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND
     LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND
     COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KLIX 260255
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
855 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.UPDATED...LATEST IR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWED THE CLEARING LINE
OF CLOUDS FROM WALTHALL COUNTY TO LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN TO HOUMA.
CLEARING LINE WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH EAST THROUGH MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURES
HAVE DROPPED QUICKLY WEST OF THE THIS LINE WITH SOME POINTS JUST 3
DEGREES ABV FORECASTED LOWS. ERGO...HAVE LOWERED WEDNESDAY
MORNING LOWS FOR MCB...BTR AND WEST ZONES. OTHERWISE....AFTERNOON
PACKAGE IS ON TRACK RIGHT NOW.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 657 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

..SOUNDING DISCUSSION...

THE LAYER OF CLOUDS THAT ARE IN THE PROCESS OF EXITING OUR AREA
WAS WELL DEPICTED ON THIS EVENING/S SOUNDING BETWEEN 12000 AND
19000 FEET. THIS HELPED TO INCREASE THE PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUE
TO 0.74 INCHES...WHICH IS JUST SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME
OF YEAR. DRIER AIR WAS FOUND BELOW AND ABOVE THIS CLOUD LAYER.
TEMPERATURES ARE LOWER /COLDER/ THAN THEY WERE AT THIS TIME
YESTERDAY BELOW 23000 FEET ON AVERAGE BY 4 TO 5 DEGREES. WINDS
WERE FROM THE NORTH AT THE SURFACE AND THEN BACKED TO THE FROM THE
SOUTHWEST AROUND 12000 FEET. A MAXIMUM WIND SPEED OF 136 KNOTS
WAS LOCATED AT 38300 FEET.

00Z BALLOON INFO: NO ISSUES WITH THE BALLOON THIS EVENING THAT WAS
LAUNCHED ON TIME WITH A RAINBOW IN THE VICINITY /SEE OUR FACEBOOK
OR TWITTER FOR A PICTURE/. THE FLIGHT LASTED 107 MINUTES AND WENT
135 MILES DOWNRANGE. THE BALLOON BURST AT A HEIGHT OF 19.8 MILES
ABOVE THE GROUND NORTHWEST OF JACKSON AL.

ANSORGE

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 311 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

AVIATION...
MID AND HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE CONTINUE TO STREAM NORTHEASTWARD
ACROSS THE AREA AHEAD OF A TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE GREAT PLAINS.
LOWER LAYERS OF THE ATMOSPHERE ARE EXTREMELY DRY...SO VFR
CONDITIONS WILL BE THE RULE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE MID
AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS SHOULD SHIFT TO THE EAST OF THE AREA
SOMEWHERE BETWEEN 06Z AND 09Z WEDNESDAY WITH LITTLE OR NO
CLOUDINESS EXPECTED UNTIL SOMETIME FRIDAY. 35

MARINE...
STRONG NORTH WINDS AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE GULF WILL MAINTAIN
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS THROUGH THIS EVENING AND MOST OF
TONIGHT FOR THE OPEN GULF WATERS. PROTECTED WATER AREAS SHOULD SEE
WINDS ABATE RAPIDLY THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. ANOTHER COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA WED CAUSING WINDS TO HEIGHTEN ONCE
AGAIN BUT SHOULD REMAIN IN THE 20 TO 25 KNOT RANGE FOR WED NIGHT
AND THU MORNING. NO RAIN IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST.

DECISION SUPPORT...
DSS CODE...BLUE.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...SLURRY SUPPORT
             SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
         WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR
         AND/OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL
         SIGNIFICANCE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  33  65  40  60 /  10   0   0   0
BTR  33  66  41  63 /   0   0   0   0
ASD  38  65  42  63 /  10   0   0   0
MSY  42  64  47  62 /  10   0   0   0
GPT  39  63  44  61 /  20   0   0   0
PQL  40  63  42  61 /  30   0   0   0

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST
     PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND
     LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND
     COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM.

MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST
     PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND
     LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND
     COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KLIX 260057
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
657 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

...SOUNDING DISCUSSION...

THE LAYER OF CLOUDS THAT ARE IN THE PROCESS OF EXITING OUR AREA
WAS WELL DEPICTED ON THIS EVENING/S SOUNDING BETWEEN 12000 AND
19000 FEET. THIS HELPED TO INCREASE THE PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUE
TO 0.74 INCHES...WHICH IS JUST SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME
OF YEAR. DRIER AIR WAS FOUND BELOW AND ABOVE THIS CLOUD LAYER.
TEMPERATURES ARE LOWER /COLDER/ THAN THEY WERE AT THIS TIME
YESTERDAY BELOW 23000 FEET ON AVERAGE BY 4 TO 5 DEGREES. WINDS
WERE FROM THE NORTH AT THE SURFACE AND THEN BACKED TO THE FROM THE
SOUTHWEST AROUND 12000 FEET. A MAXIMUM WIND SPEED OF 136 KNOTS
WAS LOCATED AT 38300 FEET.

00Z BALLOON INFO: NO ISSUES WITH THE BALLOON THIS EVENING THAT WAS
LAUNCHED ON TIME WITH A RAINBOW IN THE VICINITY /SEE OUR FACEBOOK
OR TWITTER FOR A PICTURE/. THE FLIGHT LASTED 107 MINUTES AND WENT
135 MILES DOWNRANGE. THE BALLOON BURST AT A HEIGHT OF 19.8 MILES
ABOVE THE GROUND NORTHWEST OF JACKSON AL.

ANSORGE

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 311 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

AVIATION...
MID AND HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE CONTINUE TO STREAM NORTHEASTWARD
ACROSS THE AREA AHEAD OF A TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE GREAT PLAINS.
LOWER LAYERS OF THE ATMOSPHERE ARE EXTREMELY DRY...SO VFR
CONDITIONS WILL BE THE RULE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE MID
AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS SHOULD SHIFT TO THE EAST OF THE AREA
SOMEWHERE BETWEEN 06Z AND 09Z WEDNESDAY WITH LITTLE OR NO
CLOUDINESS EXPECTED UNTIL SOMETIME FRIDAY. 35

MARINE...
STRONG NORTH WINDS AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE GULF WILL MAINTAIN
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS THROUGH THIS EVENING AND MOST OF
TONIGHT FOR THE OPEN GULF WATERS. PROTECTED WATER AREAS SHOULD SEE
WINDS ABATE RAPIDLY THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. ANOTHER COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA WED CAUSING WINDS TO HEIGHTEN ONCE
AGAIN BUT SHOULD REMAIN IN THE 20 TO 25 KNOT RANGE FOR WED NIGHT
AND THU MORNING. NO RAIN IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST.

DECISION SUPPORT...
DSS CODE...BLUE.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...SLURRY SUPPORT
             SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
         WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR
         AND/OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL
         SIGNIFICANCE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  36  65  40  60 /  10   0   0   0
BTR  37  66  41  63 /   0   0   0   0
ASD  37  65  42  63 /  10   0   0   0
MSY  42  64  47  62 /  10   0   0   0
GPT  39  63  44  61 /  20   0   0   0
PQL  38  63  42  61 /  30   0   0   0

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST
     PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND
     LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND
     COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...AND COASTAL
     WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER OUT 20
     NM.

MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...AND COASTAL
     WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER OUT 20
     NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST
     PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND
     LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND
     COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KLIX 260057
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
657 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

...SOUNDING DISCUSSION...

THE LAYER OF CLOUDS THAT ARE IN THE PROCESS OF EXITING OUR AREA
WAS WELL DEPICTED ON THIS EVENING/S SOUNDING BETWEEN 12000 AND
19000 FEET. THIS HELPED TO INCREASE THE PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUE
TO 0.74 INCHES...WHICH IS JUST SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME
OF YEAR. DRIER AIR WAS FOUND BELOW AND ABOVE THIS CLOUD LAYER.
TEMPERATURES ARE LOWER /COLDER/ THAN THEY WERE AT THIS TIME
YESTERDAY BELOW 23000 FEET ON AVERAGE BY 4 TO 5 DEGREES. WINDS
WERE FROM THE NORTH AT THE SURFACE AND THEN BACKED TO THE FROM THE
SOUTHWEST AROUND 12000 FEET. A MAXIMUM WIND SPEED OF 136 KNOTS
WAS LOCATED AT 38300 FEET.

00Z BALLOON INFO: NO ISSUES WITH THE BALLOON THIS EVENING THAT WAS
LAUNCHED ON TIME WITH A RAINBOW IN THE VICINITY /SEE OUR FACEBOOK
OR TWITTER FOR A PICTURE/. THE FLIGHT LASTED 107 MINUTES AND WENT
135 MILES DOWNRANGE. THE BALLOON BURST AT A HEIGHT OF 19.8 MILES
ABOVE THE GROUND NORTHWEST OF JACKSON AL.

ANSORGE

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 311 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

AVIATION...
MID AND HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE CONTINUE TO STREAM NORTHEASTWARD
ACROSS THE AREA AHEAD OF A TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE GREAT PLAINS.
LOWER LAYERS OF THE ATMOSPHERE ARE EXTREMELY DRY...SO VFR
CONDITIONS WILL BE THE RULE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE MID
AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS SHOULD SHIFT TO THE EAST OF THE AREA
SOMEWHERE BETWEEN 06Z AND 09Z WEDNESDAY WITH LITTLE OR NO
CLOUDINESS EXPECTED UNTIL SOMETIME FRIDAY. 35

MARINE...
STRONG NORTH WINDS AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE GULF WILL MAINTAIN
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS THROUGH THIS EVENING AND MOST OF
TONIGHT FOR THE OPEN GULF WATERS. PROTECTED WATER AREAS SHOULD SEE
WINDS ABATE RAPIDLY THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. ANOTHER COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA WED CAUSING WINDS TO HEIGHTEN ONCE
AGAIN BUT SHOULD REMAIN IN THE 20 TO 25 KNOT RANGE FOR WED NIGHT
AND THU MORNING. NO RAIN IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST.

DECISION SUPPORT...
DSS CODE...BLUE.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...SLURRY SUPPORT
             SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
         WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR
         AND/OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL
         SIGNIFICANCE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  36  65  40  60 /  10   0   0   0
BTR  37  66  41  63 /   0   0   0   0
ASD  37  65  42  63 /  10   0   0   0
MSY  42  64  47  62 /  10   0   0   0
GPT  39  63  44  61 /  20   0   0   0
PQL  38  63  42  61 /  30   0   0   0

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST
     PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND
     LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND
     COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...AND COASTAL
     WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER OUT 20
     NM.

MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...AND COASTAL
     WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER OUT 20
     NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST
     PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND
     LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND
     COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KLIX 252111
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
311 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

LOT OF VIRGA FALLING TODAY OVER CENTRAL LOUISIANA. THE CURRENT
LONG WAVE POLAR TROUGHING IS CAUSING A VERY INTENSE THERMAL
GRADIENT TO EXIST OVER THE EAST PAC...MEXICO...AND GULF OF MEXICO.
THIS IN TURN CAUSES THE WINDS IN THE POLAR JET TO INCREASE. ONE
CAN SEE THIS VERY WELL WHEN LOOKING AT WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. WHILE
ON THEIR WAY NORTH...THE STRONG WINDS THEN CAUSE LAYER
LIFTING(CAUSING VIRGA) OVER LA. THE AREAS SEEING VIRGA CAN BE
PICKED OUT AT THE SFC BY HIGHER DEW PT TEMPS. IF THE VIRGA CAN
MOISTEN LAYERS DEEP ENOUGH...THERE MAY BE SOME LIGHT SHOWERS REACH
THE SFC THIS EVENING. THE UPPER LEVEL LONG WAVE TROUGH AXIS
LOCATED FROM THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES TO NE MEXICO WILL MOVE
THROUGH ALONG WITH A REINFORCING SFC COLD FRONT LATE WED. A VERY
DRY ENVIRONMENT WILL NOT ALLOW THIS SFC FRONT TO PRODUCE ANY
PRECIP. IT MAY NOT EVEN BE ABLE TO PRODUCE CLOUDS WHEN THE FRONT
MOVES THROUGH.

A SLOW WARMING TREND WILL START BY THE END OF THIS WEEK BRINGING
TEMPS BACK INTO THE MID TO UPPER 70S BY SUNDAY. THE NEXT SYSTEM
WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE AREA BY THURSDAY OR FRIDAY.

THE ROSBY WAVE TRAIN WILL CONTINUE INTO THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE.
THIS SIMPLY MEANS THE COOL AND COLD AIR SURGES WILL CONTINUE WITH
SHORT WARM PERIODS IN BETWEEN.

&&

.AVIATION...
MID AND HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE CONTINUE TO STREAM NORTHEASTWARD
ACROSS THE AREA AHEAD OF A TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE GREAT PLAINS.
LOWER LAYERS OF THE ATMOSPHERE ARE EXTREMELY DRY...SO VFR
CONDITIONS WILL BE THE RULE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE MID
AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS SHOULD SHIFT TO THE EAST OF THE AREA
SOMEWHERE BETWEEN 06Z AND 09Z WEDNESDAY WITH LITTLE OR NO
CLOUDINESS EXPECTED UNTIL SOMETIME FRIDAY. 35

&&

.MARINE...
STRONG NORTH WINDS AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE GULF WILL MAINTAIN
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS THROUGH THIS EVENING AND MOST OF
TONIGHT FOR THE OPEN GULF WATERS. PROTECTED WATER AREAS SHOULD SEE
WINDS ABATE RAPIDLY THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. ANOTHER COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA WED CAUSING WINDS TO HEIGHTEN ONCE
AGAIN BUT SHOULD REMAIN IN THE 20 TO 25 KNOT RANGE FOR WED NIGHT
AND THU MORNING. NO RAIN IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST.

&&

.DECISION SUPPORT...
DSS CODE...BLUE.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...SLURRY SUPPORT
             SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
         WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR
         AND/OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL
         SIGNIFICANCE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  36  65  40  60 /  10   0   0   0
BTR  37  66  41  63 /   0   0   0   0
ASD  37  65  42  63 /  10   0   0   0
MSY  42  64  47  62 /  10   0   0   0
GPT  39  63  44  61 /  20   0   0   0
PQL  38  63  42  61 /  30   0   0   0

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST
     PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND
     LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND
     COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...AND COASTAL
     WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER OUT 20
     NM.

MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...AND COASTAL
     WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER OUT 20
     NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST
     PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND
     LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND
     COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KLIX 252111
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
311 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

LOT OF VIRGA FALLING TODAY OVER CENTRAL LOUISIANA. THE CURRENT
LONG WAVE POLAR TROUGHING IS CAUSING A VERY INTENSE THERMAL
GRADIENT TO EXIST OVER THE EAST PAC...MEXICO...AND GULF OF MEXICO.
THIS IN TURN CAUSES THE WINDS IN THE POLAR JET TO INCREASE. ONE
CAN SEE THIS VERY WELL WHEN LOOKING AT WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. WHILE
ON THEIR WAY NORTH...THE STRONG WINDS THEN CAUSE LAYER
LIFTING(CAUSING VIRGA) OVER LA. THE AREAS SEEING VIRGA CAN BE
PICKED OUT AT THE SFC BY HIGHER DEW PT TEMPS. IF THE VIRGA CAN
MOISTEN LAYERS DEEP ENOUGH...THERE MAY BE SOME LIGHT SHOWERS REACH
THE SFC THIS EVENING. THE UPPER LEVEL LONG WAVE TROUGH AXIS
LOCATED FROM THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES TO NE MEXICO WILL MOVE
THROUGH ALONG WITH A REINFORCING SFC COLD FRONT LATE WED. A VERY
DRY ENVIRONMENT WILL NOT ALLOW THIS SFC FRONT TO PRODUCE ANY
PRECIP. IT MAY NOT EVEN BE ABLE TO PRODUCE CLOUDS WHEN THE FRONT
MOVES THROUGH.

A SLOW WARMING TREND WILL START BY THE END OF THIS WEEK BRINGING
TEMPS BACK INTO THE MID TO UPPER 70S BY SUNDAY. THE NEXT SYSTEM
WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE AREA BY THURSDAY OR FRIDAY.

THE ROSBY WAVE TRAIN WILL CONTINUE INTO THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE.
THIS SIMPLY MEANS THE COOL AND COLD AIR SURGES WILL CONTINUE WITH
SHORT WARM PERIODS IN BETWEEN.

&&

.AVIATION...
MID AND HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE CONTINUE TO STREAM NORTHEASTWARD
ACROSS THE AREA AHEAD OF A TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE GREAT PLAINS.
LOWER LAYERS OF THE ATMOSPHERE ARE EXTREMELY DRY...SO VFR
CONDITIONS WILL BE THE RULE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE MID
AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS SHOULD SHIFT TO THE EAST OF THE AREA
SOMEWHERE BETWEEN 06Z AND 09Z WEDNESDAY WITH LITTLE OR NO
CLOUDINESS EXPECTED UNTIL SOMETIME FRIDAY. 35

&&

.MARINE...
STRONG NORTH WINDS AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE GULF WILL MAINTAIN
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS THROUGH THIS EVENING AND MOST OF
TONIGHT FOR THE OPEN GULF WATERS. PROTECTED WATER AREAS SHOULD SEE
WINDS ABATE RAPIDLY THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. ANOTHER COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA WED CAUSING WINDS TO HEIGHTEN ONCE
AGAIN BUT SHOULD REMAIN IN THE 20 TO 25 KNOT RANGE FOR WED NIGHT
AND THU MORNING. NO RAIN IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST.

&&

.DECISION SUPPORT...
DSS CODE...BLUE.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...SLURRY SUPPORT
             SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
         WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR
         AND/OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL
         SIGNIFICANCE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  36  65  40  60 /  10   0   0   0
BTR  37  66  41  63 /   0   0   0   0
ASD  37  65  42  63 /  10   0   0   0
MSY  42  64  47  62 /  10   0   0   0
GPT  39  63  44  61 /  20   0   0   0
PQL  38  63  42  61 /  30   0   0   0

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST
     PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND
     LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND
     COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...AND COASTAL
     WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER OUT 20
     NM.

MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...AND COASTAL
     WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER OUT 20
     NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST
     PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND
     LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND
     COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KLIX 251721
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1121 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.AVIATION...

MID AND HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE CONTINUE TO STREAM NORTHEASTWARD
ACROSS THE AREA AHEAD OF A TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE GREAT PLAINS.
LOWER LAYERS OF THE ATMOSPHERE ARE EXTREMELY DRY...SO VFR
CONDITIONS WILL BE THE RULE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE MID
AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS SHOULD SHIFT TO THE EAST OF THE AREA
SOMEWHERE BETWEEN 06Z AND 09Z WEDNESDAY WITH LITTLE OR NO
CLOUDINESS EXPECTED UNTIL SOMETIME FRIDAY. 35

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 403 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

DISCUSSION...
A QUIET NIGHT ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA AS CLOUDS AND ELEVATED
WINDS KEPT TEMPERATURES FROM FALLING INTO THE UPPER 30S. MID TO
UPPER 30S WERE NOT THAT FAR AWAY AS THE TEMPERATURE IN NATCHEZ IS
37 AND 35 IN ALEXANDRIA. EVEN WITH THE BUMP UP IN TEMPERATURES
WITH THE LAST PACKAGE I HAD TO BUMP THEM UP EVEN MORE AS CLOUDS
FROM THE FRONT IN THE GULF MOVED OVER THE FORECAST AREA. THIS
FRONT AND ANOTHER SHORTWAVE THAT WILL BE TRAVERSING THE AREA TODAY
INTO WEDNESDAY WILL BE THE MAIN FOCUS IN THE FORECAST. THE
AFOREMENTIONED SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA AND
INTERACT WITH THE FRONT IN THE GULF AND PULL THAT FRONT BACK CLOSE
TO THE FORECAST AREA AT THE SAME TIME DEVELOPING A LOW PRESSURE AT
THE SURFACE. THIS WILL GIVE THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST
AREA A CHANCE FOR A SHOWER TODAY. THIS DEVELOPING LOW WILL GO ON
TO POSSIBLY BECOME A NOR`EASTER FOR NEW ENGLAND ON WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY. AFTER THE SYSTEM KICKS OUT OF THE GULF WE WILL BE LEFT
WITH HIGH PRESSURE WORKS INTO THE AREA FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK.
THIS PATTERN WILL KEEP THE AREA COOLER THAN NORMAL. ONCE THIS
RIDGE SLIDES EAST THIS WEEKEND...SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL RETURN AND
PICK MOISTURE BACK UP OVER THE AREA. COULD SEE A FEW SHOWERS
RETURN LATE IN THE WEEKEND OR EARLY NEXT WEEK. 13/MH

AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL TERMINALS NEXT 24-30 HOURS. WINDS
SHOULD PREVAIL OUT OF THE NORTH WITH SOME GUSTY ENHANCEMENT AT KNEW
FROM THERMAL MIXING PROCESSES THIS MORNING. 24/RR

MARINE...
STRONG NORTH WINDS AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE GULF WILL MAINTAIN
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS TODAY BEFORE SETTLING TO LESSER LEVELS
LATER THIS AFTERNOON. MODELS SHOW ANOTHER RE-ENFORCING SURGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDING SOUTH WEDNESDAY AND REMAINING IN PLACE THROUGH FRIDAY
BEFORE MOVING EAST AND MODERATING. ANOTHER FRONT WILL APPROACH THE WEST
GULF OVER THE WEEKEND BUT WILL LIKELY STALL DUE TO RESISTANCE FROM THE
EAST COAST HIGH.  24/RR

DECISION SUPPORT...
DSS CODE...BLUE.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...SLURRY SUPPORT
             SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
         WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR
         AND/OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL
         SIGNIFICANCE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  58  36  65  40 /  10  10   0   0
BTR  59  37  66  41 /  10   0   0   0
ASD  61  37  65  42 /  10  10   0   0
MSY  60  42  64  47 /  10  10   0   0
GPT  61  39  63  44 /  20  20   0   0
PQL  62  38  63  42 /  30  30   0   0

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO
     STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO
     THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND
     COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM.

MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO
     STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO
     THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND
     COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KLIX 251721
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1121 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.AVIATION...

MID AND HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE CONTINUE TO STREAM NORTHEASTWARD
ACROSS THE AREA AHEAD OF A TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE GREAT PLAINS.
LOWER LAYERS OF THE ATMOSPHERE ARE EXTREMELY DRY...SO VFR
CONDITIONS WILL BE THE RULE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE MID
AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS SHOULD SHIFT TO THE EAST OF THE AREA
SOMEWHERE BETWEEN 06Z AND 09Z WEDNESDAY WITH LITTLE OR NO
CLOUDINESS EXPECTED UNTIL SOMETIME FRIDAY. 35

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 403 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

DISCUSSION...
A QUIET NIGHT ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA AS CLOUDS AND ELEVATED
WINDS KEPT TEMPERATURES FROM FALLING INTO THE UPPER 30S. MID TO
UPPER 30S WERE NOT THAT FAR AWAY AS THE TEMPERATURE IN NATCHEZ IS
37 AND 35 IN ALEXANDRIA. EVEN WITH THE BUMP UP IN TEMPERATURES
WITH THE LAST PACKAGE I HAD TO BUMP THEM UP EVEN MORE AS CLOUDS
FROM THE FRONT IN THE GULF MOVED OVER THE FORECAST AREA. THIS
FRONT AND ANOTHER SHORTWAVE THAT WILL BE TRAVERSING THE AREA TODAY
INTO WEDNESDAY WILL BE THE MAIN FOCUS IN THE FORECAST. THE
AFOREMENTIONED SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA AND
INTERACT WITH THE FRONT IN THE GULF AND PULL THAT FRONT BACK CLOSE
TO THE FORECAST AREA AT THE SAME TIME DEVELOPING A LOW PRESSURE AT
THE SURFACE. THIS WILL GIVE THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST
AREA A CHANCE FOR A SHOWER TODAY. THIS DEVELOPING LOW WILL GO ON
TO POSSIBLY BECOME A NOR`EASTER FOR NEW ENGLAND ON WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY. AFTER THE SYSTEM KICKS OUT OF THE GULF WE WILL BE LEFT
WITH HIGH PRESSURE WORKS INTO THE AREA FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK.
THIS PATTERN WILL KEEP THE AREA COOLER THAN NORMAL. ONCE THIS
RIDGE SLIDES EAST THIS WEEKEND...SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL RETURN AND
PICK MOISTURE BACK UP OVER THE AREA. COULD SEE A FEW SHOWERS
RETURN LATE IN THE WEEKEND OR EARLY NEXT WEEK. 13/MH

AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL TERMINALS NEXT 24-30 HOURS. WINDS
SHOULD PREVAIL OUT OF THE NORTH WITH SOME GUSTY ENHANCEMENT AT KNEW
FROM THERMAL MIXING PROCESSES THIS MORNING. 24/RR

MARINE...
STRONG NORTH WINDS AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE GULF WILL MAINTAIN
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS TODAY BEFORE SETTLING TO LESSER LEVELS
LATER THIS AFTERNOON. MODELS SHOW ANOTHER RE-ENFORCING SURGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDING SOUTH WEDNESDAY AND REMAINING IN PLACE THROUGH FRIDAY
BEFORE MOVING EAST AND MODERATING. ANOTHER FRONT WILL APPROACH THE WEST
GULF OVER THE WEEKEND BUT WILL LIKELY STALL DUE TO RESISTANCE FROM THE
EAST COAST HIGH.  24/RR

DECISION SUPPORT...
DSS CODE...BLUE.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...SLURRY SUPPORT
             SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
         WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR
         AND/OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL
         SIGNIFICANCE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  58  36  65  40 /  10  10   0   0
BTR  59  37  66  41 /  10   0   0   0
ASD  61  37  65  42 /  10  10   0   0
MSY  60  42  64  47 /  10  10   0   0
GPT  61  39  63  44 /  20  20   0   0
PQL  62  38  63  42 /  30  30   0   0

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO
     STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO
     THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND
     COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM.

MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO
     STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO
     THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND
     COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KLIX 251003
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
403 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.DISCUSSION...
A QUIET NIGHT ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA AS CLOUDS AND ELEVATED
WINDS KEPT TEMPERATURES FROM FALLING INTO THE UPPER 30S. MID TO
UPPER 30S WERE NOT THAT FAR AWAY AS THE TEMPERATURE IN NATCHEZ IS
37 AND 35 IN ALEXANDRIA. EVEN WITH THE BUMP UP IN TEMPERATURES
WITH THE LAST PACKAGE I HAD TO BUMP THEM UP EVEN MORE AS CLOUDS
FROM THE FRONT IN THE GULF MOVED OVER THE FORECAST AREA. THIS
FRONT AND ANOTHER SHORTWAVE THAT WILL BE TRAVERSING THE AREA TODAY
INTO WEDNESDAY WILL BE THE MAIN FOCUS IN THE FORECAST. THE
AFOREMENTIONED SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA AND
INTERACT WITH THE FRONT IN THE GULF AND PULL THAT FRONT BACK CLOSE
TO THE FORECAST AREA AT THE SAME TIME DEVELOPING A LOW PRESSURE AT
THE SURFACE. THIS WILL GIVE THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST
AREA A CHANCE FOR A SHOWER TODAY. THIS DEVELOPING LOW WILL GO ON
TO POSSIBLY BECOME A NOR`EASTER FOR NEW ENGLAND ON WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY. AFTER THE SYSTEM KICKS OUT OF THE GULF WE WILL BE LEFT
WITH HIGH PRESSURE WORKS INTO THE AREA FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK.
THIS PATTERN WILL KEEP THE AREA COOLER THAN NORMAL. ONCE THIS
RIDGE SLIDES EAST THIS WEEKEND...SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL RETURN AND
PICK MOISTURE BACK UP OVER THE AREA. COULD SEE A FEW SHOWERS
RETURN LATE IN THE WEEKEND OR EARLY NEXT WEEK. 13/MH

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL TERMINALS NEXT 24-30 HOURS. WINDS
SHOULD PREVAIL OUT OF THE NORTH WITH SOME GUSTY ENHANCEMENT AT KNEW
FROM THERMAL MIXING PROCESSES THIS MORNING. 24/RR

&&

.MARINE...
STRONG NORTH WINDS AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE GULF WILL MAINTAIN
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS TODAY BEFORE SETTLING TO LESSER LEVELS
LATER THIS AFTERNOON. MODELS SHOW ANOTHER RE-ENFORCING SURGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDING SOUTH WEDNESDAY AND REMAINING IN PLACE THROUGH FRIDAY
BEFORE MOVING EAST AND MODERATING. ANOTHER FRONT WILL APPROACH THE WEST
GULF OVER THE WEEKEND BUT WILL LIKELY STALL DUE TO RESISTANCE FROM THE
EAST COAST HIGH.  24/RR

&&

.DECISION SUPPORT...
DSS CODE...BLUE.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...SLURRY SUPPORT
             SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
         WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR
         AND/OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL
         SIGNIFICANCE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  58  36  65  40 /  10  10   0   0
BTR  59  37  66  41 /  10   0   0   0
ASD  61  37  65  42 /  10  10   0   0
MSY  60  42  64  47 /  10  10   0   0
GPT  61  39  63  44 /  20  20   0   0
PQL  62  38  63  42 /  30  30   0   0

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO
     STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO
     THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND
     COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM.

MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO
     STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO
     THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND
     COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KLIX 251003
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
403 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.DISCUSSION...
A QUIET NIGHT ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA AS CLOUDS AND ELEVATED
WINDS KEPT TEMPERATURES FROM FALLING INTO THE UPPER 30S. MID TO
UPPER 30S WERE NOT THAT FAR AWAY AS THE TEMPERATURE IN NATCHEZ IS
37 AND 35 IN ALEXANDRIA. EVEN WITH THE BUMP UP IN TEMPERATURES
WITH THE LAST PACKAGE I HAD TO BUMP THEM UP EVEN MORE AS CLOUDS
FROM THE FRONT IN THE GULF MOVED OVER THE FORECAST AREA. THIS
FRONT AND ANOTHER SHORTWAVE THAT WILL BE TRAVERSING THE AREA TODAY
INTO WEDNESDAY WILL BE THE MAIN FOCUS IN THE FORECAST. THE
AFOREMENTIONED SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA AND
INTERACT WITH THE FRONT IN THE GULF AND PULL THAT FRONT BACK CLOSE
TO THE FORECAST AREA AT THE SAME TIME DEVELOPING A LOW PRESSURE AT
THE SURFACE. THIS WILL GIVE THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST
AREA A CHANCE FOR A SHOWER TODAY. THIS DEVELOPING LOW WILL GO ON
TO POSSIBLY BECOME A NOR`EASTER FOR NEW ENGLAND ON WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY. AFTER THE SYSTEM KICKS OUT OF THE GULF WE WILL BE LEFT
WITH HIGH PRESSURE WORKS INTO THE AREA FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK.
THIS PATTERN WILL KEEP THE AREA COOLER THAN NORMAL. ONCE THIS
RIDGE SLIDES EAST THIS WEEKEND...SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL RETURN AND
PICK MOISTURE BACK UP OVER THE AREA. COULD SEE A FEW SHOWERS
RETURN LATE IN THE WEEKEND OR EARLY NEXT WEEK. 13/MH

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL TERMINALS NEXT 24-30 HOURS. WINDS
SHOULD PREVAIL OUT OF THE NORTH WITH SOME GUSTY ENHANCEMENT AT KNEW
FROM THERMAL MIXING PROCESSES THIS MORNING. 24/RR

&&

.MARINE...
STRONG NORTH WINDS AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE GULF WILL MAINTAIN
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS TODAY BEFORE SETTLING TO LESSER LEVELS
LATER THIS AFTERNOON. MODELS SHOW ANOTHER RE-ENFORCING SURGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDING SOUTH WEDNESDAY AND REMAINING IN PLACE THROUGH FRIDAY
BEFORE MOVING EAST AND MODERATING. ANOTHER FRONT WILL APPROACH THE WEST
GULF OVER THE WEEKEND BUT WILL LIKELY STALL DUE TO RESISTANCE FROM THE
EAST COAST HIGH.  24/RR

&&

.DECISION SUPPORT...
DSS CODE...BLUE.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...SLURRY SUPPORT
             SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
         WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR
         AND/OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL
         SIGNIFICANCE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  58  36  65  40 /  10  10   0   0
BTR  59  37  66  41 /  10   0   0   0
ASD  61  37  65  42 /  10  10   0   0
MSY  60  42  64  47 /  10  10   0   0
GPT  61  39  63  44 /  20  20   0   0
PQL  62  38  63  42 /  30  30   0   0

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO
     STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO
     THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND
     COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM.

MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO
     STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO
     THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND
     COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KLIX 250457
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1057 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.AVIATION...
...06Z TAF ISSUANCE...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. HIGH CLOUDS WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT INTO TUESDAY. ANOTHER
IMPULSE LIFTING THROUGH THE BASE OF THE UPPER TROF WILL SPREAD MID
LEVEL CLOUDS ACROSS THE FAR EASTERN SECTIONS TOMORROW...AND
PROBABLY AFFECT KGPT...KPQL AND KBVE. WIND WILL BE THE MAIN
FORECAST CONCERN DOWNWIND OF LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN LATE TONIGHT AND
TUESDAY WITH 15 TO 20 KNOT WINDS EXPECTED. 18

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO
     STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO
     THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND
     COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM.

MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO
     STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO
     THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND
     COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KLIX 250457
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1057 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.AVIATION...
...06Z TAF ISSUANCE...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. HIGH CLOUDS WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT INTO TUESDAY. ANOTHER
IMPULSE LIFTING THROUGH THE BASE OF THE UPPER TROF WILL SPREAD MID
LEVEL CLOUDS ACROSS THE FAR EASTERN SECTIONS TOMORROW...AND
PROBABLY AFFECT KGPT...KPQL AND KBVE. WIND WILL BE THE MAIN
FORECAST CONCERN DOWNWIND OF LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN LATE TONIGHT AND
TUESDAY WITH 15 TO 20 KNOT WINDS EXPECTED. 18

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO
     STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO
     THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND
     COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM.

MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO
     STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO
     THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND
     COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KLIX 250052
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
652 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014

...SOUNDING DISCUSSION...

DRIER AIR HAS BEEN MOVING INTO SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWEST
MISSISSIPPI TODAY IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT THAT HAS PUSHED
THROUGH OUR AREA. THE PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUE HAS DROPPED FROM
0.91 INCHES THIS MORNING TO 0.63 INCHES THIS EVENING. THERE IS AN
ELEVATED TEMPERATURE INVERSION BETWEEN 2600 AND 4600 FEET AND A
FEW OTHER MUCH SMALLER INVERSIONS ABOVE THIS INVERSION.
OVERALL...TEMPERATURES ARE LOWER /COOLER/ AT ANY GIVEN LEVEL
THAN 24 HOURS AGO. THE WIND PROFILE IS TYPICAL OF A POST-FRONTAL
ATMOSPHERE WITH BACKING WINDS. WINDS FROM THE SURFACE TO 2500 FEET
WERE FROM THE NORTH BETWEEN 15 AND 20 KNOTS. THEN WINDS SHIFTED
AND WERE FROM THE SOUTHWEST FROM 5000 FEET TO THE TROPOPAUSE. A
PEAK WIND SPEED OF 129 KNOTS WAS LOCATED AT 33500 FEET.

00Z BALLOON INFO: NO ISSUES WITH THE FLIGHT THIS EVENING. THE
BALLOON ATTAINED A HEIGHT OF 19.7 MILES ABOVE THE GROUND BEFORE
BURSTING NEAR TIBBIE AL 118 MILES DOWNRANGE. THE BALLOON WAS IN
FLIGHT 102 MINUTES.

ANSORGE

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 402 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

SHORT TERM...
COLD FRONT PASSED OFFSHORE EARLIER THIS MORNING BUT TEMPS HAVE STILL
BEEN ABLE TO MAX OUT IN THE MID 60S TO MID 70S. DEWPOINTS PAID NO
ATTENTION AND HAVE BEEN FALLING ALL DAY LONG. ALTHOUGH LOWS WILL BE
MUCH COOLER TONIGHT THAN LAST NIGHT...THEY MAY NOT BE AS COLD AS
PREVIOUSLY FORECASTED. VISIBLE SATELLITE SHOWS A STREAM OF CIRRUS
CLOUDS MOVING IN FROM THE SW OVER CENTRAL PORTIONS OF LA AS WELL AS
THICKER MID/HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO
SLIGHTLY EXPANDING NORTH INTO THE CWA. THIS WILL BE ONE FACTOR TO
LIMIT OVERNIGHT COOLING SOMEWHAT. THE OTHER IS WIND. THE CENTER OF
THE HIGH PRESSURE BEHIND THE FRONT WILL STILL BE OVER EASTERN TEXAS
AND OKLAHOMA BY 12Z TUESDAY AND THUS STILL HAVE A DECENT PRESSURE
GRADIENT OVER THE CWA. THIS WILL KEEP WINDS ELEVATED OVERNIGHT AND
IN THE 5-10 MPH RANGE. JUST DONT SEE TEMPERATURES FALLING OVERLY LOW
IN A LIGHT BREEZE AND SLIGHTLY CLOUDY REGIME. SO HAVE BROUGHT UP
FORECAST LOWS BY 3 TO 5 DEGREES AREAWIDE AND THAT MAY NOT BE ENOUGH.

A WEAKER SHORTWAVE IN THE UPPER LEVELS WILL SWING ALONG THE BASE OF
THE TROUGH AND THROUGH THE AREA TUESDAY. THIS WILL DRAW THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY STALLED OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO BACK NORTH TOWARDS OUR CWA.
HOW FAR NORTH REMAINS TO BE SEEN AND CRUCIAL TO HOW FAR INLAND
SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH THE BOUNDARY MEET. LATEST GUIDANCE SHOWS
THIS TO BE SLIGHTLY LESS INLAND THAN PREVIOUS RUNS SO HAVE TRIMMED
THE WESTERN EDGE OF THIS PRECIP TO EAST OF A SLIDELL TO HOUMA LINE.
TIME FRAME OF SHOWERS LOOK TO BE TUESDAY AFTERNOON THRU MIDNIGHT...
OR UNTIL THE TROUGH FINALLY KICKS THE BOUNDARY EAST AND INTO THE
ATLANTIC OCEAN.

LONG TERM...
QUITE TRANQUIL CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AS
THE AREA WILL BE UNDER GENERAL NORTHWEST FLOW IN THE UPPER LEVELS
AND DOMINATED BY SURFACE RIDGE CENTERED TO THE NORTH. THIS PATTERN
WILL KEEP COOLER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN PLACE. ONCE THIS RIDGE
SLIDES EAST THIS WEEKEND...SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL RETURN AND PICK
MOISTURE BACK UP OVER THE AREA. COULD SEE A FEW SHOWERS RETURN LATE
IN THE WEEKEND OR EARLY NEXT WEEK.

MEFFER

AVIATION...

ANTICIPATE VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. CIRRUS WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT INTO TUESDAY. ANOTHER
IMPULSE LIFTING THROUGH THE BASE OF THE UPPER TROF WILL SPREAD MID
LEVEL CLOUDS ACROSS THE FAR EASTERN SECTIONS TOMORROW...AND
PROBABLY ONLY AFFECT KGPT. WIND WILL BE THE MAIN FORECAST CONCERN
DOWNWIND OF LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN LATE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY WITH 15 TO
20 KNOT WINDS EXPECTED. 35

MARINE...

COLDER AND DRIER AIR WILL REACH THE COASTAL WATERS THIS EVENING AND
WILL HOIST EXERCISE CAUTION FLAGS FOR THE TIDAL LAKES AND
MISSISSIPPI SOUND...AND SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY ELSEWHERE THROUGH
TUESDAY. WOULDNT BE SURPRISED TO SEE A FEW SPOTS ON THE LAKES GET
CLOSE TO ADVISORY LEVEL CONDITIONS. ADVISORY MAY NEED TO BE
LENGTHENED ON THE BACK END INTO TUESDAY NIGHT...AT LEAST OVER THE
OPEN WATERS. ANOTHER REINFORCING SHOT OF COOL AIR EXPECTED TO
INCREASE WINDS AGAIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...BUT COLD
ADVECTION NOT QUITE AS STRONG WITH THAT ONE. ONSHORE FLOW AROUND 10
KNOTS EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE WEEKEND. 35

DECISION SUPPORT...
DSS CODE...BLUE.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...SLURRY SUPPORT
             SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES BEGIN TONIGHT

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
         WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR
         AND/OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL
         SIGNIFICANCE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  41  58  36  64 /  10  10  10   0
BTR  42  59  37  65 /  10  10  10   0
ASD  43  61  37  63 /  10  10  10   0
MSY  48  60  42  63 /  10  10  10   0
GPT  44  60  39  61 /  10  20  30   0
PQL  42  61  38  61 /  10  30  30  10

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 9 PM MONDAY TO 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL
     WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL
     WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON
     TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     STAKE ISLAND LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST
     PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO
     60 NM...AND COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM.

MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 9 PM MONDAY TO 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL
     WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL
     WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON
     TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     STAKE ISLAND LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST
     PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO
     60 NM...AND COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KLIX 250052
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
652 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014

...SOUNDING DISCUSSION...

DRIER AIR HAS BEEN MOVING INTO SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWEST
MISSISSIPPI TODAY IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT THAT HAS PUSHED
THROUGH OUR AREA. THE PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUE HAS DROPPED FROM
0.91 INCHES THIS MORNING TO 0.63 INCHES THIS EVENING. THERE IS AN
ELEVATED TEMPERATURE INVERSION BETWEEN 2600 AND 4600 FEET AND A
FEW OTHER MUCH SMALLER INVERSIONS ABOVE THIS INVERSION.
OVERALL...TEMPERATURES ARE LOWER /COOLER/ AT ANY GIVEN LEVEL
THAN 24 HOURS AGO. THE WIND PROFILE IS TYPICAL OF A POST-FRONTAL
ATMOSPHERE WITH BACKING WINDS. WINDS FROM THE SURFACE TO 2500 FEET
WERE FROM THE NORTH BETWEEN 15 AND 20 KNOTS. THEN WINDS SHIFTED
AND WERE FROM THE SOUTHWEST FROM 5000 FEET TO THE TROPOPAUSE. A
PEAK WIND SPEED OF 129 KNOTS WAS LOCATED AT 33500 FEET.

00Z BALLOON INFO: NO ISSUES WITH THE FLIGHT THIS EVENING. THE
BALLOON ATTAINED A HEIGHT OF 19.7 MILES ABOVE THE GROUND BEFORE
BURSTING NEAR TIBBIE AL 118 MILES DOWNRANGE. THE BALLOON WAS IN
FLIGHT 102 MINUTES.

ANSORGE

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 402 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

SHORT TERM...
COLD FRONT PASSED OFFSHORE EARLIER THIS MORNING BUT TEMPS HAVE STILL
BEEN ABLE TO MAX OUT IN THE MID 60S TO MID 70S. DEWPOINTS PAID NO
ATTENTION AND HAVE BEEN FALLING ALL DAY LONG. ALTHOUGH LOWS WILL BE
MUCH COOLER TONIGHT THAN LAST NIGHT...THEY MAY NOT BE AS COLD AS
PREVIOUSLY FORECASTED. VISIBLE SATELLITE SHOWS A STREAM OF CIRRUS
CLOUDS MOVING IN FROM THE SW OVER CENTRAL PORTIONS OF LA AS WELL AS
THICKER MID/HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO
SLIGHTLY EXPANDING NORTH INTO THE CWA. THIS WILL BE ONE FACTOR TO
LIMIT OVERNIGHT COOLING SOMEWHAT. THE OTHER IS WIND. THE CENTER OF
THE HIGH PRESSURE BEHIND THE FRONT WILL STILL BE OVER EASTERN TEXAS
AND OKLAHOMA BY 12Z TUESDAY AND THUS STILL HAVE A DECENT PRESSURE
GRADIENT OVER THE CWA. THIS WILL KEEP WINDS ELEVATED OVERNIGHT AND
IN THE 5-10 MPH RANGE. JUST DONT SEE TEMPERATURES FALLING OVERLY LOW
IN A LIGHT BREEZE AND SLIGHTLY CLOUDY REGIME. SO HAVE BROUGHT UP
FORECAST LOWS BY 3 TO 5 DEGREES AREAWIDE AND THAT MAY NOT BE ENOUGH.

A WEAKER SHORTWAVE IN THE UPPER LEVELS WILL SWING ALONG THE BASE OF
THE TROUGH AND THROUGH THE AREA TUESDAY. THIS WILL DRAW THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY STALLED OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO BACK NORTH TOWARDS OUR CWA.
HOW FAR NORTH REMAINS TO BE SEEN AND CRUCIAL TO HOW FAR INLAND
SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH THE BOUNDARY MEET. LATEST GUIDANCE SHOWS
THIS TO BE SLIGHTLY LESS INLAND THAN PREVIOUS RUNS SO HAVE TRIMMED
THE WESTERN EDGE OF THIS PRECIP TO EAST OF A SLIDELL TO HOUMA LINE.
TIME FRAME OF SHOWERS LOOK TO BE TUESDAY AFTERNOON THRU MIDNIGHT...
OR UNTIL THE TROUGH FINALLY KICKS THE BOUNDARY EAST AND INTO THE
ATLANTIC OCEAN.

LONG TERM...
QUITE TRANQUIL CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AS
THE AREA WILL BE UNDER GENERAL NORTHWEST FLOW IN THE UPPER LEVELS
AND DOMINATED BY SURFACE RIDGE CENTERED TO THE NORTH. THIS PATTERN
WILL KEEP COOLER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN PLACE. ONCE THIS RIDGE
SLIDES EAST THIS WEEKEND...SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL RETURN AND PICK
MOISTURE BACK UP OVER THE AREA. COULD SEE A FEW SHOWERS RETURN LATE
IN THE WEEKEND OR EARLY NEXT WEEK.

MEFFER

AVIATION...

ANTICIPATE VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. CIRRUS WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT INTO TUESDAY. ANOTHER
IMPULSE LIFTING THROUGH THE BASE OF THE UPPER TROF WILL SPREAD MID
LEVEL CLOUDS ACROSS THE FAR EASTERN SECTIONS TOMORROW...AND
PROBABLY ONLY AFFECT KGPT. WIND WILL BE THE MAIN FORECAST CONCERN
DOWNWIND OF LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN LATE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY WITH 15 TO
20 KNOT WINDS EXPECTED. 35

MARINE...

COLDER AND DRIER AIR WILL REACH THE COASTAL WATERS THIS EVENING AND
WILL HOIST EXERCISE CAUTION FLAGS FOR THE TIDAL LAKES AND
MISSISSIPPI SOUND...AND SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY ELSEWHERE THROUGH
TUESDAY. WOULDNT BE SURPRISED TO SEE A FEW SPOTS ON THE LAKES GET
CLOSE TO ADVISORY LEVEL CONDITIONS. ADVISORY MAY NEED TO BE
LENGTHENED ON THE BACK END INTO TUESDAY NIGHT...AT LEAST OVER THE
OPEN WATERS. ANOTHER REINFORCING SHOT OF COOL AIR EXPECTED TO
INCREASE WINDS AGAIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...BUT COLD
ADVECTION NOT QUITE AS STRONG WITH THAT ONE. ONSHORE FLOW AROUND 10
KNOTS EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE WEEKEND. 35

DECISION SUPPORT...
DSS CODE...BLUE.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...SLURRY SUPPORT
             SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES BEGIN TONIGHT

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
         WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR
         AND/OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL
         SIGNIFICANCE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  41  58  36  64 /  10  10  10   0
BTR  42  59  37  65 /  10  10  10   0
ASD  43  61  37  63 /  10  10  10   0
MSY  48  60  42  63 /  10  10  10   0
GPT  44  60  39  61 /  10  20  30   0
PQL  42  61  38  61 /  10  30  30  10

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 9 PM MONDAY TO 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL
     WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL
     WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON
     TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     STAKE ISLAND LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST
     PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO
     60 NM...AND COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM.

MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 9 PM MONDAY TO 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL
     WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL
     WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON
     TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     STAKE ISLAND LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST
     PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO
     60 NM...AND COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KLIX 242202
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
402 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.SHORT TERM...
COLD FRONT PASSED OFFSHORE EARLIER THIS MORNING BUT TEMPS HAVE STILL
BEEN ABLE TO MAX OUT IN THE MID 60S TO MID 70S. DEWPOINTS PAID NO
ATTENTION AND HAVE BEEN FALLING ALL DAY LONG. ALTHOUGH LOWS WILL BE
MUCH COOLER TONIGHT THAN LAST NIGHT...THEY MAY NOT BE AS COLD AS
PREVIOUSLY FORECASTED. VISIBLE SATELLITE SHOWS A STREAM OF CIRRUS
CLOUDS MOVING IN FROM THE SW OVER CENTRAL PORTIONS OF LA AS WELL AS
THICKER MID/HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO
SLIGHTLY EXPANDING NORTH INTO THE CWA. THIS WILL BE ONE FACTOR TO
LIMIT OVERNIGHT COOLING SOMEWHAT. THE OTHER IS WIND. THE CENTER OF
THE HIGH PRESSURE BEHIND THE FRONT WILL STILL BE OVER EASTERN TEXAS
AND OKLAHOMA BY 12Z TUESDAY AND THUS STILL HAVE A DECENT PRESSURE
GRADIENT OVER THE CWA. THIS WILL KEEP WINDS ELEVATED OVERNIGHT AND
IN THE 5-10 MPH RANGE. JUST DONT SEE TEMPERATURES FALLING OVERLY LOW
IN A LIGHT BREEZE AND SLIGHTLY CLOUDY REGIME. SO HAVE BROUGHT UP
FORECAST LOWS BY 3 TO 5 DEGREES AREAWIDE AND THAT MAY NOT BE ENOUGH.

A WEAKER SHORTWAVE IN THE UPPER LEVELS WILL SWING ALONG THE BASE OF
THE TROUGH AND THROUGH THE AREA TUESDAY. THIS WILL DRAW THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY STALLED OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO BACK NORTH TOWARDS OUR CWA.
HOW FAR NORTH REMAINS TO BE SEEN AND CRUCIAL TO HOW FAR INLAND
SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH THE BOUNDARY MEET. LATEST GUIDANCE SHOWS
THIS TO BE SLIGHTLY LESS INLAND THAN PREVIOUS RUNS SO HAVE TRIMMED
THE WESTERN EDGE OF THIS PRECIP TO EAST OF A SLIDELL TO HOUMA LINE.
TIME FRAME OF SHOWERS LOOK TO BE TUESDAY AFTERNOON THRU MIDNIGHT...
OR UNTIL THE TROUGH FINALLY KICKS THE BOUNDARY EAST AND INTO THE
ATLANTIC OCEAN.

.LONG TERM...
QUITE TRANQUIL CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AS
THE AREA WILL BE UNDER GENERAL NORTHWEST FLOW IN THE UPPER LEVELS
AND DOMINATED BY SURFACE RIDGE CENTERED TO THE NORTH. THIS PATTERN
WILL KEEP COOLER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN PLACE. ONCE THIS RIDGE
SLIDES EAST THIS WEEKEND...SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL RETURN AND PICK
MOISTURE BACK UP OVER THE AREA. COULD SEE A FEW SHOWERS RETURN LATE
IN THE WEEKEND OR EARLY NEXT WEEK.

MEFFER
&&

.AVIATION...

ANTICIPATE VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. CIRRUS WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT INTO TUESDAY. ANOTHER
IMPULSE LIFTING THROUGH THE BASE OF THE UPPER TROF WILL SPREAD MID
LEVEL CLOUDS ACROSS THE FAR EASTERN SECTIONS TOMORROW...AND
PROBABLY ONLY AFFECT KGPT. WIND WILL BE THE MAIN FORECAST CONCERN
DOWNWIND OF LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN LATE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY WITH 15 TO
20 KNOT WINDS EXPECTED. 35

&&

.MARINE...

COLDER AND DRIER AIR WILL REACH THE COASTAL WATERS THIS EVENING AND
WILL HOIST EXERCISE CAUTION FLAGS FOR THE TIDAL LAKES AND
MISSISSIPPI SOUND...AND SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY ELSEWHERE THROUGH
TUESDAY. WOULDNT BE SURPRISED TO SEE A FEW SPOTS ON THE LAKES GET
CLOSE TO ADVISORY LEVEL CONDITIONS. ADVISORY MAY NEED TO BE
LENGTHENED ON THE BACK END INTO TUESDAY NIGHT...AT LEAST OVER THE
OPEN WATERS. ANOTHER REINFORCING SHOT OF COOL AIR EXPECTED TO
INCREASE WINDS AGAIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...BUT COLD
ADVECTION NOT QUITE AS STRONG WITH THAT ONE. ONSHORE FLOW AROUND 10
KNOTS EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE WEEKEND. 35

&&

.DECISION SUPPORT...
DSS CODE...BLUE.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...SLURRY SUPPORT
             SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES BEGIN TONIGHT

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
         WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR
         AND/OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL
         SIGNIFICANCE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  41  58  36  64 /  10  10  10   0
BTR  42  59  37  65 /  10  10  10   0
ASD  43  61  37  63 /  10  10  10   0
MSY  48  60  42  63 /  10  10  10   0
GPT  44  60  39  61 /  10  20  30   0
PQL  42  61  38  61 /  10  30  30  10

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 9 PM MONDAY TO 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL
     WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL
     WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON
     TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     STAKE ISLAND LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST
     PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO
     60 NM...AND COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM.

MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 9 PM MONDAY TO 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL
     WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL
     WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON
     TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     STAKE ISLAND LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST
     PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO
     60 NM...AND COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KLIX 241724
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1124 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.AVIATION...

COLD FRONT HAS PASSED THROUGH ALL TERMINALS CLEARING AWAY FOG AND
LOW CLOUDS. ANTICIPATE VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
ANOTHER IMPULSE MOVING THROUGH THE BASE OF THE UPPER TROF WILL
SPREAD MID LEVEL CLOUDS ACROSS THE FAR EASTERN SECTIONS...AND
PROBABLY ONLY AFFECT KGPT. WIND WILL BE THE MAIN FORECAST
CONCERN DOWNWIND OF LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN LATE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY
WITH 15 TO 20 KNOT WINDS EXPECTED. 35

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 956 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

UPDATE...
VIS SATELLITE AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS BOTH INDICATE THAT THE
COLD FRONT HAS PUSHED OFFSHORE WITH WINDS NW TO WEST AT ALL
INLAND LOCATIONS. DEWPOINTS WILL STEADILY DROP AS DRIER AIR MOVES
IN. TEMPERATURES HAVE FALLEN FROM BTR TO MCB AND NW. THE FIGHT
BETWEEN INCOMING SHORTWAVE RADIATION AND CAA WILL RESULT IN NEAR
STEADY TEMPERATURES THE REST OF THE DAY..GIVE OR TAKE A FEW
DEGREES. THE BEST CHANCE FOR COOLING IS AREAS CLOSEST TO THE
FRONT OR SOUTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA. SO HAVE UPDATED THE
FORECAST TO ATTEMPT TO CAPTURE THE LATEST TEMPERATURE TRENDS.

MEFFER

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 352 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
FOG AND STRATUS WILL BEGIN OUR MORNING ACROSS MOST OF THE FORECAST
AREA AS TEMPERATURES STAYED IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S THROUGH MOST
OF THE EVENING. PATCHY LOCALLY DENSE FOG HAS BEEN REPORTED IN A
FEW SPOTS THIS MORNING AND SHOULD BEGIN TO MIX OUT AFTER SUNRISE.
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA TODAY AND USHER
IN A COOLER AND DRIER AIR MASS. WINDS WILL PICK UP SOME BEHIND THE
FRONT A PERSIST INTO THE EVENING HOURS. YOU MIGHT NOT FEEL THAT
MUCH OF A DIFFERENCE IN TEMPERATURES TODAY BUT YOU WILL FEEL IT
TONIGHT AS LOWS DIVE BACK DOWN INTO THE UPPER 30S AND LOWER 40S.
HIGHS TOMORROW WILL TOP OUT AROUND 60 DEGREES.

ANOTHER FAST MOVING UPPER TROUGH WILL BE MOVING THROUGH THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. MODEL GUIDANCE
SUGGESTING THERE WILL BE JUST ENOUGH MOISTURE RETURN TO SQUEEZE
OUT SOME SHOWERS DURING THIS TIME FRAME. WILL CONTINUE TO CARRY A
CHANCE FOR SOME SHOWERS FOR TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT MAINLY FOR
AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF A LINE FROM SLIDELL TO NEW ORLEANS DOWN TO
HOUMA. ONCE THE TROUGH SWINGS THROUGH...A REINFORCING HIGH WILL
BUILD IN AND THIS HIGH WILL SLOWLY PROGRESS EASTWARD THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE SECOND
HALF OF THE WORK WEEK WILL BE NEAR OR BELOW NORMAL. AS THE HIGH
SLIDES EAST OF THE AREA LATE IN THE WEEK...A GRADUAL WARMING TREND
WILL BEGIN AND TEMPS WILL RISE ABOVE NORMAL OVER THE WEEKEND.
13/MH

AVIATION...
STRATUS AND FOG HAS DEVELOPED OVER POTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA
RESULTING IN MVFR TO LIFR CONDITIONS AT MOST TAF LOCATIONS. THE
WORST CONDITIONS WERE ACROSS COASTAL AREAS WHERE SOME ADVECTION
FOG WAS ALSO BEING OBSERVED. THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE THROUGH 14Z BEFORE IMPROVING TO VFR DURING THE MID AND LATE
MORNING HOURS. A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION DURING
THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON MONDAY.

MARINE...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN TODAY PROVIDING LIGHT TO
MODERATE OFFSHORE FLOW BUT THIS WILL BE SHORT LIVED. MON NIGHT
THROUGH TUE NIGHT...A REINFORCING FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA
AND LEAD TO WINDS RAMPING BACK UP ONCE AGAIN. SCY CONDITIONS WILL
LIKELY REDEVELOP AS EARLY AS LATE TONIGHT BUT LIKELY MORE TOMORROW
AND PERSISTING THROUGH TUE NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN WED
MORNING AND MUCH LIGHTER WINDS WILL ENCOMPASS ALL OF THE MARINE
ZONES. /CAB/

DECISION SUPPORT...
DSS CODE...GREEN.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...SLURRY SUPPORT.

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
         WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR
         AND/OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL
         SIGNIFICANCE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  63  37  58  36 /  10  10  10  10
BTR  64  39  60  37 /  10  10  10  10
ASD  71  38  60  37 /  10  10  20  10
MSY  70  46  59  42 /  10  10  20  10
GPT  73  40  59  39 /  10  20  20  30
PQL  71  37  60  38 /  10  20  20  30

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$








000
FXUS64 KLIX 241724
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1124 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.AVIATION...

COLD FRONT HAS PASSED THROUGH ALL TERMINALS CLEARING AWAY FOG AND
LOW CLOUDS. ANTICIPATE VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
ANOTHER IMPULSE MOVING THROUGH THE BASE OF THE UPPER TROF WILL
SPREAD MID LEVEL CLOUDS ACROSS THE FAR EASTERN SECTIONS...AND
PROBABLY ONLY AFFECT KGPT. WIND WILL BE THE MAIN FORECAST
CONCERN DOWNWIND OF LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN LATE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY
WITH 15 TO 20 KNOT WINDS EXPECTED. 35

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 956 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

UPDATE...
VIS SATELLITE AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS BOTH INDICATE THAT THE
COLD FRONT HAS PUSHED OFFSHORE WITH WINDS NW TO WEST AT ALL
INLAND LOCATIONS. DEWPOINTS WILL STEADILY DROP AS DRIER AIR MOVES
IN. TEMPERATURES HAVE FALLEN FROM BTR TO MCB AND NW. THE FIGHT
BETWEEN INCOMING SHORTWAVE RADIATION AND CAA WILL RESULT IN NEAR
STEADY TEMPERATURES THE REST OF THE DAY..GIVE OR TAKE A FEW
DEGREES. THE BEST CHANCE FOR COOLING IS AREAS CLOSEST TO THE
FRONT OR SOUTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA. SO HAVE UPDATED THE
FORECAST TO ATTEMPT TO CAPTURE THE LATEST TEMPERATURE TRENDS.

MEFFER

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 352 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
FOG AND STRATUS WILL BEGIN OUR MORNING ACROSS MOST OF THE FORECAST
AREA AS TEMPERATURES STAYED IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S THROUGH MOST
OF THE EVENING. PATCHY LOCALLY DENSE FOG HAS BEEN REPORTED IN A
FEW SPOTS THIS MORNING AND SHOULD BEGIN TO MIX OUT AFTER SUNRISE.
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA TODAY AND USHER
IN A COOLER AND DRIER AIR MASS. WINDS WILL PICK UP SOME BEHIND THE
FRONT A PERSIST INTO THE EVENING HOURS. YOU MIGHT NOT FEEL THAT
MUCH OF A DIFFERENCE IN TEMPERATURES TODAY BUT YOU WILL FEEL IT
TONIGHT AS LOWS DIVE BACK DOWN INTO THE UPPER 30S AND LOWER 40S.
HIGHS TOMORROW WILL TOP OUT AROUND 60 DEGREES.

ANOTHER FAST MOVING UPPER TROUGH WILL BE MOVING THROUGH THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. MODEL GUIDANCE
SUGGESTING THERE WILL BE JUST ENOUGH MOISTURE RETURN TO SQUEEZE
OUT SOME SHOWERS DURING THIS TIME FRAME. WILL CONTINUE TO CARRY A
CHANCE FOR SOME SHOWERS FOR TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT MAINLY FOR
AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF A LINE FROM SLIDELL TO NEW ORLEANS DOWN TO
HOUMA. ONCE THE TROUGH SWINGS THROUGH...A REINFORCING HIGH WILL
BUILD IN AND THIS HIGH WILL SLOWLY PROGRESS EASTWARD THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE SECOND
HALF OF THE WORK WEEK WILL BE NEAR OR BELOW NORMAL. AS THE HIGH
SLIDES EAST OF THE AREA LATE IN THE WEEK...A GRADUAL WARMING TREND
WILL BEGIN AND TEMPS WILL RISE ABOVE NORMAL OVER THE WEEKEND.
13/MH

AVIATION...
STRATUS AND FOG HAS DEVELOPED OVER POTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA
RESULTING IN MVFR TO LIFR CONDITIONS AT MOST TAF LOCATIONS. THE
WORST CONDITIONS WERE ACROSS COASTAL AREAS WHERE SOME ADVECTION
FOG WAS ALSO BEING OBSERVED. THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE THROUGH 14Z BEFORE IMPROVING TO VFR DURING THE MID AND LATE
MORNING HOURS. A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION DURING
THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON MONDAY.

MARINE...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN TODAY PROVIDING LIGHT TO
MODERATE OFFSHORE FLOW BUT THIS WILL BE SHORT LIVED. MON NIGHT
THROUGH TUE NIGHT...A REINFORCING FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA
AND LEAD TO WINDS RAMPING BACK UP ONCE AGAIN. SCY CONDITIONS WILL
LIKELY REDEVELOP AS EARLY AS LATE TONIGHT BUT LIKELY MORE TOMORROW
AND PERSISTING THROUGH TUE NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN WED
MORNING AND MUCH LIGHTER WINDS WILL ENCOMPASS ALL OF THE MARINE
ZONES. /CAB/

DECISION SUPPORT...
DSS CODE...GREEN.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...SLURRY SUPPORT.

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
         WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR
         AND/OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL
         SIGNIFICANCE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  63  37  58  36 /  10  10  10  10
BTR  64  39  60  37 /  10  10  10  10
ASD  71  38  60  37 /  10  10  20  10
MSY  70  46  59  42 /  10  10  20  10
GPT  73  40  59  39 /  10  20  20  30
PQL  71  37  60  38 /  10  20  20  30

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$









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