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000
FXUS65 KLKN 292107
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
207 PM PDT WED JUL 29 2015

.SYNOPSIS...WARMING TREND CONTINUES THROUGH THE WEEKEND. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE FRIDAY ACROSS CENTRAL NEVADA...WITH
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHERN
NEVADA THIS WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...WEAK FLOW ALOFT TODAY WITH THE REGION UNDER A SLOWLY
BUILDING RIDGE...RESULTING IN CLEAR SKIES AND SLIGHTLY WARMER
TEMPERATURES. AS THE RIDGE BUILDS UP FROM THE SOUTHEAST OVER NEXT
COUPLE DAYS MID-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE...WHICH
WILL RESULT IN SOME INCREASED CLOUDS ACROSS CENTRAL NEVADA. LAST
COUPLE DAYS MODELS HAVE BEEN BACKING OFF ON HOW MUCH MOISTURE
MAKES ITS WAY UP INTO CENTRAL NEVADA UNDER THE RIDGE...AS WELL AS
THE AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY. AS SUCH CONTINUED TO BACK OFF ON POPS
AND CLOUD COVER FOR BOTH THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. DID LEAVE A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER NORTHERN NYE AND SOUTHERN MOST LANDER
AND EUREKA COUNTIES FOR FRIDAY...THOUGH NOT A LOT OF CONFIDENCE
THAT WE WILL GET EVEN A FEW STRIKES IN THESE AREAS.

.LONG TERM...FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL REMAIN STRONG OVER THE SOUTHWEST CONUS. HOWEVER THERE WILL
BE SEVERAL SHORT WAVE IMPULSES EMANATING FROM THE PACIFIC REGION
THAT WILL MOVE NORTH THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN. THESE IMPULSES WILL
DESTABILIZE THE ATMOSPHERE TO THE POINT THAT SHOWERS AND/OR
THUNDERSTORMS COULD OCCUR EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING. AT THIS
JUNCTURE...THE STRONGEST IMPULSE WILL MOVE THROUGH LATE SATURDAY
AS STORMS BEGIN TRANSITIONING FROM DRY TO WET VARIETY.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT KWMC KEKO KELY AND KTPH
THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...WARMING TREND CONTINUES THROUGH THE WEEKEND. MAY
SEE SOME ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS MAKING THERE WAY UP INTO
ZONE 457 ON FRIDAY. MOIST UNSTABLE AIR MOVES UP INTO MORE OF
CENTRAL AND PORTIONS OF NORTHERN NEVADA ON SATURDAY. STORMS
SATURDAY SHOULD BE A LITTLE WETTER THAN ANYTHING THAT DEVELOPS ON
FRIDAY...HOWEVER PROBABLY LEANING TOWARD MAINLY DRY STORMS
SATURDAY TOO.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

96/92/92/96




000
FXUS65 KLKN 292107
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
207 PM PDT WED JUL 29 2015

.SYNOPSIS...WARMING TREND CONTINUES THROUGH THE WEEKEND. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE FRIDAY ACROSS CENTRAL NEVADA...WITH
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHERN
NEVADA THIS WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...WEAK FLOW ALOFT TODAY WITH THE REGION UNDER A SLOWLY
BUILDING RIDGE...RESULTING IN CLEAR SKIES AND SLIGHTLY WARMER
TEMPERATURES. AS THE RIDGE BUILDS UP FROM THE SOUTHEAST OVER NEXT
COUPLE DAYS MID-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE...WHICH
WILL RESULT IN SOME INCREASED CLOUDS ACROSS CENTRAL NEVADA. LAST
COUPLE DAYS MODELS HAVE BEEN BACKING OFF ON HOW MUCH MOISTURE
MAKES ITS WAY UP INTO CENTRAL NEVADA UNDER THE RIDGE...AS WELL AS
THE AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY. AS SUCH CONTINUED TO BACK OFF ON POPS
AND CLOUD COVER FOR BOTH THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. DID LEAVE A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER NORTHERN NYE AND SOUTHERN MOST LANDER
AND EUREKA COUNTIES FOR FRIDAY...THOUGH NOT A LOT OF CONFIDENCE
THAT WE WILL GET EVEN A FEW STRIKES IN THESE AREAS.

.LONG TERM...FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL REMAIN STRONG OVER THE SOUTHWEST CONUS. HOWEVER THERE WILL
BE SEVERAL SHORT WAVE IMPULSES EMANATING FROM THE PACIFIC REGION
THAT WILL MOVE NORTH THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN. THESE IMPULSES WILL
DESTABILIZE THE ATMOSPHERE TO THE POINT THAT SHOWERS AND/OR
THUNDERSTORMS COULD OCCUR EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING. AT THIS
JUNCTURE...THE STRONGEST IMPULSE WILL MOVE THROUGH LATE SATURDAY
AS STORMS BEGIN TRANSITIONING FROM DRY TO WET VARIETY.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT KWMC KEKO KELY AND KTPH
THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...WARMING TREND CONTINUES THROUGH THE WEEKEND. MAY
SEE SOME ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS MAKING THERE WAY UP INTO
ZONE 457 ON FRIDAY. MOIST UNSTABLE AIR MOVES UP INTO MORE OF
CENTRAL AND PORTIONS OF NORTHERN NEVADA ON SATURDAY. STORMS
SATURDAY SHOULD BE A LITTLE WETTER THAN ANYTHING THAT DEVELOPS ON
FRIDAY...HOWEVER PROBABLY LEANING TOWARD MAINLY DRY STORMS
SATURDAY TOO.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

96/92/92/96





000
FXUS65 KLKN 290928
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
228 AM PDT WED JUL 29 2015

.SYNOPSIS...EXPECT A WARMING TREND WITH DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH
FRIDAY. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL GET WELL ESTABLISHED OVER
THE FOUR CORNERS REGION ENABLING MOISTURE TO GET PULLED UP INTO
CENTRAL NEVADA...WHICH WILL FUEL CONVECTION.


&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY. SUMMER LIKE CONDITIONS WILL
ENSUE AS THE UPPER LEVEL HEIGHTS BUILD OVER THE INTER-MOUNTAIN
WEST...WITH THE GFS DEPICTING POSITIVE HEIGHT ANOMALIES OVER THE
WESTERN ZONES OF THE LKN CWA THIS FORECAST PACKAGE. EXPECT SOME
VALLEY LOCATIONS TO REACH THE 90S THIS AFTERNOON...BUT ELKO WILL
REACH THE 90S THURSDAY. OTHERWISE...DRY AND TYPICAL JULY
CONDITIONS ON TAP THIS FORECAST PERIOD.

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY. SOME MODEL
CHANGES HAVE NECESSITATED A FEW CHANGE IN THE VERY LONG RANGE
FORECAST...MOSTLY TO REDUCE POPS A BIT AND TO REDUCE COVERAGE IN THE
EVENING HOURS PAST MONDAY.

HIGH PRESSURE OVER SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL PRODUCE A WEAK MOIST FLOW
INTO THE SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. HAVE KEPT IN
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER CENTRAL NEVADA FRIDAY AFTERNOON. MOST
STORMS WILL BE ON THE DRY SIDE.

THE MODELS ARE SHOWING A LITTLE CHANGE IN THE MOISTURE FLOW FROM
YESTERDAY IN THE MEDIUM AND LONG RANGE. WHEREAS EARLIER A DEFINITE
MONSOON PUSH INVADED MOST OF THE CENTRAL AND NORTH...IT NOW APPEARS
THAT THE UPPER RIDGE WANTS TO STAY A BIT EAST AND WEAKER...KEEPING
MOST OF QUASI-MONSOON FLOW IN THE EASTERN HALF OF THE ELKO FORECAST
AREA.

TEMPS CONTINUE A WARMING TREND...THOUGH THAT`S NOT REALLY NEWS WITH
RECENT LOWS BELOW FREEZING IN THE COLD SPOTS AND IN THE 30S IN OTHER
PLACES.


&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS AND LIGHT WINDS ARE EXPECTED AT KWMC...
KEKO...KELY...AND KTPH THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.


&&

.FIRE WEATHER...STARTING TO SEE HAINES OF 6S IN THE FW GRIDS THIS
PACKAGE AS THE WARMING TREND UNFOLDS. GENERALLY EXPECTING MILD
CONDITIONS THE NEXT 48 HRS WITH THE CHANCE OF TSRA ON FRIDAY. NOT
EXPECTING WETTING RAINS AT THIS TIME FRIDAY...AND THE BULK OF THE
CONVECTION WILL BE IN THE SOUTHERN ZONES.


&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

97/98/98/97





000
FXUS65 KLKN 282100
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
200 PM PDT TUE JUL 28 2015

.SYNOPSIS...WARMING TREND INTO THE WEEKEND. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
RETURN TO CENTRAL NEVADA ON FRIDAY...THEN EXPAND UP INTO NORTHERN
NEVADA SATURDAY. STORMS WILL CONTINUE ON SUNDAY...WITH MORE
MODERATE RAINS POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL NEVADA. SCATTERED AFTERNOON
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED NEXT MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WITH
MODERATE RAINS POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. SUNNY AND DRY LATE THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH CLEAR SKIES THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT ACROSS
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE IS BEGINNING TO
BUILD IN OVER NEVADA...WHICH IS RESULTING IN A WARMING TREND.
TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL BE A FEW DEGREES WARMER THAN LAST
NIGHT...YET STILL A LITTLE BELOW NORMAL. MOST OF THE REGION WILL
BE SUNNY AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY...HOWEVER WEAK INSTABILITY AND A
SLIGHT INCREASE IN MID-LEVEL MOISTURE OVER CENTRAL NEVADA WILL
LEAD TO INCREASED CLOUDS. NO STORMS OR SHOWERS ON WEDNESDAY. MID-
LEVEL MOISTURE CONTINUES TO ADVECT UP INTO CENTRAL NEVADA
THURSDAY ALONG THE WESTERN FLANK OF THE BUILDING RIDGE. SHOULD SEE
SCATTERED TO POSSIBLY BROKEN SKIES ACROSS CENTRAL NEVADA BY LATE
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...WITH A FEW CLOUDS REACHING INTO NORTHERN
NEVADA. AIR MASS WILL REMAIN A LITTLE TOO STABLE FOR ANY STORMS TO
DEVELOP ON THURSDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES THURSDAY WILL WARM INTO THE
UPPER 80S TO MID 90S UNDER THE BUILDING RIDGE...PUSHING TEMPS BACK
ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS.

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BRING GENERALLY DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH SATURDAY...ALTHOUGH THERE MAY
BE ENOUGH MOISTURE AVAILABLE TO TRIGGER SOME THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY.

THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...HIGH PRESSURE WILL MAINTAIN
STRENGTH OVER THE SOUTH-CENTRAL CONUS AND PRODUCE A MOIST FLOW
OVER THE SIERRA-NEVADA RANGE. A FEW DRY VARIETY THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE CONFINED MAINLY TO AREAS SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 50.

FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE WILL ATTEMPT
TO CENTRALIZE NEAR THE FOUR CORNERS AREA OF THE COUNTRY TO PROVIDE A
MORE FAVORABLE MONSOON FLOW ACROSS THE LKN CWFA. THE MOIST FLOW WILL
STILL FAVOR CENTRAL NEVADA HOWEVER MOISTURE WILL PUSH NORTH AND WEST
AS THUNDERSTORMS BEGIN TO TRANSITION TO MORE WETTING TYPE STORMS.

SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL SEEK AN IDEAL
LOCATION NEAR THE 4-CORNERS AREA AND THE MONSOON FLOW WILL SURGE
NORTHWARD. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL SPREAD TO ALL PARTS OF
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT KWMC KEKO KELY AND KTPH
THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...DRY AND STABLE CONDITIONS THROUGH THURSDAY.
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
NEVADA ON FRIDAY. BEST CHANCE FOR A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES FRIDAY
WILL BE ACROSS WESTERN 457 AND SOUTHWESTERN 454...WITH LITTLE IF
ANY ASSOCIATED SHOWER ACTIVITY. ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS
POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL ZONES SATURDAY...THOUGH FOR NOW CENTRAL NEVADA
ZONES LOOKING MORE FAVORABLE. MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY INCREASE
ACROSS CENTRAL NEVADA ZONES SUNDAY WITH STORMS TRANSITIONING TO
WET. AIR MASS CONTINUES TO MOISTEN UP EARLY NEXT WEEK...WITH
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
DRIER AND MORE STABLE CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO SPREAD IN FROM WEST
TO EAST NEXT THURSDAY...WITH MOST STORMS CONFINED TO EASTERN
NEVADA ZONES.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

96/92/92/96





000
FXUS65 KLKN 282100
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
200 PM PDT TUE JUL 28 2015

.SYNOPSIS...WARMING TREND INTO THE WEEKEND. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
RETURN TO CENTRAL NEVADA ON FRIDAY...THEN EXPAND UP INTO NORTHERN
NEVADA SATURDAY. STORMS WILL CONTINUE ON SUNDAY...WITH MORE
MODERATE RAINS POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL NEVADA. SCATTERED AFTERNOON
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED NEXT MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WITH
MODERATE RAINS POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. SUNNY AND DRY LATE THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH CLEAR SKIES THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT ACROSS
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE IS BEGINNING TO
BUILD IN OVER NEVADA...WHICH IS RESULTING IN A WARMING TREND.
TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL BE A FEW DEGREES WARMER THAN LAST
NIGHT...YET STILL A LITTLE BELOW NORMAL. MOST OF THE REGION WILL
BE SUNNY AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY...HOWEVER WEAK INSTABILITY AND A
SLIGHT INCREASE IN MID-LEVEL MOISTURE OVER CENTRAL NEVADA WILL
LEAD TO INCREASED CLOUDS. NO STORMS OR SHOWERS ON WEDNESDAY. MID-
LEVEL MOISTURE CONTINUES TO ADVECT UP INTO CENTRAL NEVADA
THURSDAY ALONG THE WESTERN FLANK OF THE BUILDING RIDGE. SHOULD SEE
SCATTERED TO POSSIBLY BROKEN SKIES ACROSS CENTRAL NEVADA BY LATE
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...WITH A FEW CLOUDS REACHING INTO NORTHERN
NEVADA. AIR MASS WILL REMAIN A LITTLE TOO STABLE FOR ANY STORMS TO
DEVELOP ON THURSDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES THURSDAY WILL WARM INTO THE
UPPER 80S TO MID 90S UNDER THE BUILDING RIDGE...PUSHING TEMPS BACK
ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS.

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BRING GENERALLY DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH SATURDAY...ALTHOUGH THERE MAY
BE ENOUGH MOISTURE AVAILABLE TO TRIGGER SOME THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY.

THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...HIGH PRESSURE WILL MAINTAIN
STRENGTH OVER THE SOUTH-CENTRAL CONUS AND PRODUCE A MOIST FLOW
OVER THE SIERRA-NEVADA RANGE. A FEW DRY VARIETY THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE CONFINED MAINLY TO AREAS SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 50.

FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE WILL ATTEMPT
TO CENTRALIZE NEAR THE FOUR CORNERS AREA OF THE COUNTRY TO PROVIDE A
MORE FAVORABLE MONSOON FLOW ACROSS THE LKN CWFA. THE MOIST FLOW WILL
STILL FAVOR CENTRAL NEVADA HOWEVER MOISTURE WILL PUSH NORTH AND WEST
AS THUNDERSTORMS BEGIN TO TRANSITION TO MORE WETTING TYPE STORMS.

SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL SEEK AN IDEAL
LOCATION NEAR THE 4-CORNERS AREA AND THE MONSOON FLOW WILL SURGE
NORTHWARD. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL SPREAD TO ALL PARTS OF
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT KWMC KEKO KELY AND KTPH
THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...DRY AND STABLE CONDITIONS THROUGH THURSDAY.
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
NEVADA ON FRIDAY. BEST CHANCE FOR A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES FRIDAY
WILL BE ACROSS WESTERN 457 AND SOUTHWESTERN 454...WITH LITTLE IF
ANY ASSOCIATED SHOWER ACTIVITY. ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS
POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL ZONES SATURDAY...THOUGH FOR NOW CENTRAL NEVADA
ZONES LOOKING MORE FAVORABLE. MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY INCREASE
ACROSS CENTRAL NEVADA ZONES SUNDAY WITH STORMS TRANSITIONING TO
WET. AIR MASS CONTINUES TO MOISTEN UP EARLY NEXT WEEK...WITH
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
DRIER AND MORE STABLE CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO SPREAD IN FROM WEST
TO EAST NEXT THURSDAY...WITH MOST STORMS CONFINED TO EASTERN
NEVADA ZONES.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

96/92/92/96




000
FXUS65 KLKN 282100
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
200 PM PDT TUE JUL 28 2015

.SYNOPSIS...WARMING TREND INTO THE WEEKEND. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
RETURN TO CENTRAL NEVADA ON FRIDAY...THEN EXPAND UP INTO NORTHERN
NEVADA SATURDAY. STORMS WILL CONTINUE ON SUNDAY...WITH MORE
MODERATE RAINS POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL NEVADA. SCATTERED AFTERNOON
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED NEXT MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WITH
MODERATE RAINS POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. SUNNY AND DRY LATE THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH CLEAR SKIES THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT ACROSS
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE IS BEGINNING TO
BUILD IN OVER NEVADA...WHICH IS RESULTING IN A WARMING TREND.
TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL BE A FEW DEGREES WARMER THAN LAST
NIGHT...YET STILL A LITTLE BELOW NORMAL. MOST OF THE REGION WILL
BE SUNNY AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY...HOWEVER WEAK INSTABILITY AND A
SLIGHT INCREASE IN MID-LEVEL MOISTURE OVER CENTRAL NEVADA WILL
LEAD TO INCREASED CLOUDS. NO STORMS OR SHOWERS ON WEDNESDAY. MID-
LEVEL MOISTURE CONTINUES TO ADVECT UP INTO CENTRAL NEVADA
THURSDAY ALONG THE WESTERN FLANK OF THE BUILDING RIDGE. SHOULD SEE
SCATTERED TO POSSIBLY BROKEN SKIES ACROSS CENTRAL NEVADA BY LATE
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...WITH A FEW CLOUDS REACHING INTO NORTHERN
NEVADA. AIR MASS WILL REMAIN A LITTLE TOO STABLE FOR ANY STORMS TO
DEVELOP ON THURSDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES THURSDAY WILL WARM INTO THE
UPPER 80S TO MID 90S UNDER THE BUILDING RIDGE...PUSHING TEMPS BACK
ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS.

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BRING GENERALLY DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH SATURDAY...ALTHOUGH THERE MAY
BE ENOUGH MOISTURE AVAILABLE TO TRIGGER SOME THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY.

THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...HIGH PRESSURE WILL MAINTAIN
STRENGTH OVER THE SOUTH-CENTRAL CONUS AND PRODUCE A MOIST FLOW
OVER THE SIERRA-NEVADA RANGE. A FEW DRY VARIETY THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE CONFINED MAINLY TO AREAS SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 50.

FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE WILL ATTEMPT
TO CENTRALIZE NEAR THE FOUR CORNERS AREA OF THE COUNTRY TO PROVIDE A
MORE FAVORABLE MONSOON FLOW ACROSS THE LKN CWFA. THE MOIST FLOW WILL
STILL FAVOR CENTRAL NEVADA HOWEVER MOISTURE WILL PUSH NORTH AND WEST
AS THUNDERSTORMS BEGIN TO TRANSITION TO MORE WETTING TYPE STORMS.

SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL SEEK AN IDEAL
LOCATION NEAR THE 4-CORNERS AREA AND THE MONSOON FLOW WILL SURGE
NORTHWARD. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL SPREAD TO ALL PARTS OF
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT KWMC KEKO KELY AND KTPH
THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...DRY AND STABLE CONDITIONS THROUGH THURSDAY.
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
NEVADA ON FRIDAY. BEST CHANCE FOR A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES FRIDAY
WILL BE ACROSS WESTERN 457 AND SOUTHWESTERN 454...WITH LITTLE IF
ANY ASSOCIATED SHOWER ACTIVITY. ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS
POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL ZONES SATURDAY...THOUGH FOR NOW CENTRAL NEVADA
ZONES LOOKING MORE FAVORABLE. MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY INCREASE
ACROSS CENTRAL NEVADA ZONES SUNDAY WITH STORMS TRANSITIONING TO
WET. AIR MASS CONTINUES TO MOISTEN UP EARLY NEXT WEEK...WITH
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
DRIER AND MORE STABLE CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO SPREAD IN FROM WEST
TO EAST NEXT THURSDAY...WITH MOST STORMS CONFINED TO EASTERN
NEVADA ZONES.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

96/92/92/96





000
FXUS65 KLKN 280900
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
200 AM PDT TUE JUL 28 2015

.SYNOPSIS...NEVADA WILL ENJOY TERRIFIC WEATHER ON TUESDAY...WITH
FULL SUNSHINE...LIGHT WINDS...AND MILD TEMPERATURES. A RAPID
WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THIS WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

CLEAR, CALM AND COOL THIS MORNING. STRONG RADIATIONAL COOLING IN A
DRY AIRMASS, WITH NO CLOUDS IN, OR ANYWHERE NEAR, NEVADA. SOME
VALLEYS WILL EXPERIENCE MID TO UPPER 30S AT SUNRISE, WITH FREEZING
TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE VALLEYS OF NORTHERN ELKO COUNTY.

TODAY...PICTURE PERFECT WEATHER, WITH FULL SUNSHINE, LIGHT WINDS,
AND MILD TEMPERATURES, STILL ABOUT 10 DEGREES BELOW LATE JULY
NORMALS.

TONIGHT...CLEAR AND QUITE COOL AGAIN, MORE UPPER 30S AND LOWER
40S.

WEDNESDAY...WARMER. HIGH PRESSURE AGGRESSIVELY BUILDS INTO NEVADA,
WITH 5-10 DEGREES OF WARMING OVER TUESDAY`S READINGS.  BAT



.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY. SOUTHWESTERN
RIDGE WILL EXTEND NORTHWEST INTO THE GREAT BASIN OVER THE
PERIOD...WITH A WARMING TREND AND INTRODUCTION OF MORE CLOUDS AND
CREEPING POPS INTO THE AREA FROM THE SOUTH. MOIST ENOUGH FOR
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS BEGINNING FRIDAY AFTERNOON. COVERAGE WILL
EXPAND EACH AFTERNOON AND LINGER INTO THE EARLY EVENINGS AS THE
TEMPS WARM. RIDGE TENDS TO WEAKEN BEGINNING EARLY NEXT WEEK...SO
TEMPS DROP A LITTLE. MODELS AGREED WELL ENOUGH IN THE BEGINNING BUT
DIFFERENCES CREEP IN LATER...HENCE LESS CONFIDENCE LATER IN THE
PERIOD.  BB

&&

.AVIATION...DRY AND VFR AT ALL SITES THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY. WINDS
WILL BE NORTHEASTERLY GENERALLY AROUND 10 KNOTS OR LESS WITH A
CHANGE TO LIGHT AND VARIABLE AFTER SUNSET TUESDAY.  BB

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.  BAT

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

99/98/98/99





000
FXUS65 KLKN 280900 CCA
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTEDD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
200 AM PDT TUE JUL 28 2015

.SYNOPSIS...NEVADA WILL ENJOY TERRIFIC WEATHER ON TUESDAY...WITH
FULL SUNSHINE...LIGHT WINDS...AND MILD TEMPERATURES. A RAPID
WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THIS WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION UPDATE...12Z TAFS OUT. KWMC HAS HAD INTERMITTENT
REPORTING PROBLEMS VIA AUTOMATED ELECTRONIC MEANS...AND
INTERMITTENT BUSY SIGNALS WHEN DIALING IN. AM NOT CONFIDENT IN
BEING ABLE TO OBTAIN OBS. THEREFORE AMD NOT SKED.

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

CLEAR, CALM AND COOL THIS MORNING. STRONG RADIATIONAL COOLING IN A
DRY AIRMASS, WITH NO CLOUDS IN, OR ANYWHERE NEAR, NEVADA. SOME
VALLEYS WILL EXPERIENCE MID TO UPPER 30S AT SUNRISE, WITH FREEZING
TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE VALLEYS OF NORTHERN ELKO COUNTY.

TODAY...PICTURE PERFECT WEATHER, WITH FULL SUNSHINE, LIGHT WINDS,
AND MILD TEMPERATURES, STILL ABOUT 10 DEGREES BELOW LATE JULY
NORMALS.

TONIGHT...CLEAR AND QUITE COOL AGAIN, MORE UPPER 30S AND LOWER
40S.

WEDNESDAY...WARMER. HIGH PRESSURE AGGRESSIVELY BUILDS INTO NEVADA,
WITH 5-10 DEGREES OF WARMING OVER TUESDAY`S READINGS.  BAT



.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY. SOUTHWESTERN
RIDGE WILL EXTEND NORTHWEST INTO THE GREAT BASIN OVER THE
PERIOD...WITH A WARMING TREND AND INTRODUCTION OF MORE CLOUDS AND
CREEPING POPS INTO THE AREA FROM THE SOUTH. MOIST ENOUGH FOR
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS BEGINNING FRIDAY AFTERNOON. COVERAGE WILL
EXPAND EACH AFTERNOON AND LINGER INTO THE EARLY EVENINGS AS THE
TEMPS WARM. RIDGE TENDS TO WEAKEN BEGINNING EARLY NEXT WEEK...SO
TEMPS DROP A LITTLE. MODELS AGREED WELL ENOUGH IN THE BEGINNING BUT
DIFFERENCES CREEP IN LATER...HENCE LESS CONFIDENCE LATER IN THE
PERIOD.  BB

&&

.AVIATION...DRY AND VFR AT ALL SITES THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY. WINDS
WILL BE NORTHEASTERLY GENERALLY AROUND 10 KNOTS OR LESS WITH A
CHANGE TO LIGHT AND VARIABLE AFTER SUNSET TUESDAY.  BB

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.  BAT

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

99/98/98/99





000
FXUS65 KLKN 280900 CCA
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTEDD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
200 AM PDT TUE JUL 28 2015

.SYNOPSIS...NEVADA WILL ENJOY TERRIFIC WEATHER ON TUESDAY...WITH
FULL SUNSHINE...LIGHT WINDS...AND MILD TEMPERATURES. A RAPID
WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THIS WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION UPDATE...12Z TAFS OUT. KWMC HAS HAD INTERMITTENT
REPORTING PROBLEMS VIA AUTOMATED ELECTRONIC MEANS...AND
INTERMITTENT BUSY SIGNALS WHEN DIALING IN. AM NOT CONFIDENT IN
BEING ABLE TO OBTAIN OBS. THEREFORE AMD NOT SKED.

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

CLEAR, CALM AND COOL THIS MORNING. STRONG RADIATIONAL COOLING IN A
DRY AIRMASS, WITH NO CLOUDS IN, OR ANYWHERE NEAR, NEVADA. SOME
VALLEYS WILL EXPERIENCE MID TO UPPER 30S AT SUNRISE, WITH FREEZING
TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE VALLEYS OF NORTHERN ELKO COUNTY.

TODAY...PICTURE PERFECT WEATHER, WITH FULL SUNSHINE, LIGHT WINDS,
AND MILD TEMPERATURES, STILL ABOUT 10 DEGREES BELOW LATE JULY
NORMALS.

TONIGHT...CLEAR AND QUITE COOL AGAIN, MORE UPPER 30S AND LOWER
40S.

WEDNESDAY...WARMER. HIGH PRESSURE AGGRESSIVELY BUILDS INTO NEVADA,
WITH 5-10 DEGREES OF WARMING OVER TUESDAY`S READINGS.  BAT



.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY. SOUTHWESTERN
RIDGE WILL EXTEND NORTHWEST INTO THE GREAT BASIN OVER THE
PERIOD...WITH A WARMING TREND AND INTRODUCTION OF MORE CLOUDS AND
CREEPING POPS INTO THE AREA FROM THE SOUTH. MOIST ENOUGH FOR
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS BEGINNING FRIDAY AFTERNOON. COVERAGE WILL
EXPAND EACH AFTERNOON AND LINGER INTO THE EARLY EVENINGS AS THE
TEMPS WARM. RIDGE TENDS TO WEAKEN BEGINNING EARLY NEXT WEEK...SO
TEMPS DROP A LITTLE. MODELS AGREED WELL ENOUGH IN THE BEGINNING BUT
DIFFERENCES CREEP IN LATER...HENCE LESS CONFIDENCE LATER IN THE
PERIOD.  BB

&&

.AVIATION...DRY AND VFR AT ALL SITES THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY. WINDS
WILL BE NORTHEASTERLY GENERALLY AROUND 10 KNOTS OR LESS WITH A
CHANGE TO LIGHT AND VARIABLE AFTER SUNSET TUESDAY.  BB

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.  BAT

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

99/98/98/99




000
FXUS65 KLKN 280900
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
200 AM PDT TUE JUL 28 2015

.SYNOPSIS...NEVADA WILL ENJOY TERRIFIC WEATHER ON TUESDAY...WITH
FULL SUNSHINE...LIGHT WINDS...AND MILD TEMPERATURES. A RAPID
WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THIS WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

CLEAR, CALM AND COOL THIS MORNING. STRONG RADIATIONAL COOLING IN A
DRY AIRMASS, WITH NO CLOUDS IN, OR ANYWHERE NEAR, NEVADA. SOME
VALLEYS WILL EXPERIENCE MID TO UPPER 30S AT SUNRISE, WITH FREEZING
TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE VALLEYS OF NORTHERN ELKO COUNTY.

TODAY...PICTURE PERFECT WEATHER, WITH FULL SUNSHINE, LIGHT WINDS,
AND MILD TEMPERATURES, STILL ABOUT 10 DEGREES BELOW LATE JULY
NORMALS.

TONIGHT...CLEAR AND QUITE COOL AGAIN, MORE UPPER 30S AND LOWER
40S.

WEDNESDAY...WARMER. HIGH PRESSURE AGGRESSIVELY BUILDS INTO NEVADA,
WITH 5-10 DEGREES OF WARMING OVER TUESDAY`S READINGS.  BAT



.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY. SOUTHWESTERN
RIDGE WILL EXTEND NORTHWEST INTO THE GREAT BASIN OVER THE
PERIOD...WITH A WARMING TREND AND INTRODUCTION OF MORE CLOUDS AND
CREEPING POPS INTO THE AREA FROM THE SOUTH. MOIST ENOUGH FOR
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS BEGINNING FRIDAY AFTERNOON. COVERAGE WILL
EXPAND EACH AFTERNOON AND LINGER INTO THE EARLY EVENINGS AS THE
TEMPS WARM. RIDGE TENDS TO WEAKEN BEGINNING EARLY NEXT WEEK...SO
TEMPS DROP A LITTLE. MODELS AGREED WELL ENOUGH IN THE BEGINNING BUT
DIFFERENCES CREEP IN LATER...HENCE LESS CONFIDENCE LATER IN THE
PERIOD.  BB

&&

.AVIATION...DRY AND VFR AT ALL SITES THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY. WINDS
WILL BE NORTHEASTERLY GENERALLY AROUND 10 KNOTS OR LESS WITH A
CHANGE TO LIGHT AND VARIABLE AFTER SUNSET TUESDAY.  BB

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.  BAT

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

99/98/98/99





000
FXUS65 KLKN 280900 CCA
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTEDD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
200 AM PDT TUE JUL 28 2015

.SYNOPSIS...NEVADA WILL ENJOY TERRIFIC WEATHER ON TUESDAY...WITH
FULL SUNSHINE...LIGHT WINDS...AND MILD TEMPERATURES. A RAPID
WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THIS WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION UPDATE...12Z TAFS OUT. KWMC HAS HAD INTERMITTENT
REPORTING PROBLEMS VIA AUTOMATED ELECTRONIC MEANS...AND
INTERMITTENT BUSY SIGNALS WHEN DIALING IN. AM NOT CONFIDENT IN
BEING ABLE TO OBTAIN OBS. THEREFORE AMD NOT SKED.

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

CLEAR, CALM AND COOL THIS MORNING. STRONG RADIATIONAL COOLING IN A
DRY AIRMASS, WITH NO CLOUDS IN, OR ANYWHERE NEAR, NEVADA. SOME
VALLEYS WILL EXPERIENCE MID TO UPPER 30S AT SUNRISE, WITH FREEZING
TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE VALLEYS OF NORTHERN ELKO COUNTY.

TODAY...PICTURE PERFECT WEATHER, WITH FULL SUNSHINE, LIGHT WINDS,
AND MILD TEMPERATURES, STILL ABOUT 10 DEGREES BELOW LATE JULY
NORMALS.

TONIGHT...CLEAR AND QUITE COOL AGAIN, MORE UPPER 30S AND LOWER
40S.

WEDNESDAY...WARMER. HIGH PRESSURE AGGRESSIVELY BUILDS INTO NEVADA,
WITH 5-10 DEGREES OF WARMING OVER TUESDAY`S READINGS.  BAT



.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY. SOUTHWESTERN
RIDGE WILL EXTEND NORTHWEST INTO THE GREAT BASIN OVER THE
PERIOD...WITH A WARMING TREND AND INTRODUCTION OF MORE CLOUDS AND
CREEPING POPS INTO THE AREA FROM THE SOUTH. MOIST ENOUGH FOR
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS BEGINNING FRIDAY AFTERNOON. COVERAGE WILL
EXPAND EACH AFTERNOON AND LINGER INTO THE EARLY EVENINGS AS THE
TEMPS WARM. RIDGE TENDS TO WEAKEN BEGINNING EARLY NEXT WEEK...SO
TEMPS DROP A LITTLE. MODELS AGREED WELL ENOUGH IN THE BEGINNING BUT
DIFFERENCES CREEP IN LATER...HENCE LESS CONFIDENCE LATER IN THE
PERIOD.  BB

&&

.AVIATION...DRY AND VFR AT ALL SITES THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY. WINDS
WILL BE NORTHEASTERLY GENERALLY AROUND 10 KNOTS OR LESS WITH A
CHANGE TO LIGHT AND VARIABLE AFTER SUNSET TUESDAY.  BB

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.  BAT

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

99/98/98/99




000
FXUS65 KLKN 272217
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
317 PM PDT MON JUL 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...AN UNSEASONABLY COOL AIR MASS HAS SETTLED IN OVER
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA TODAY. THIS WILL BRING CHILLY
TEMPERATURES TO THE REGION TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING BY LATE
JULY STANDARDS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO THE LOWER 40S WILL BE
COMMON. DRY WEATHER WITH A WARMING TREND BEGINNING TUESDAY.
MONSOON MOISTURE MAKES ITS RETURN BY THE END OF THE WEEK.
&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. AN UNSEASONABLY COOL AIR
MASS HAS SETTLED IN OVER NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NV TODAY IN THE WAKE
OF A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. THIS WILL LEAD TO CHILLY
TEMPERATURES TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING BY LATE JULY STANDARDS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO THE LOWER 40S WILL BE COMMON. SOME OF THE
COLDEST SPOTS LIKE WILDHORSE AND CHARLESTON WILL SEE LOWS DIP
BELOW FREEZING. SEVERAL LOCATIONS WILL BE FLIRTING WITH RECORD LOW
TEMPS. ISSUED AN SPS HIGHLIGHTNING THESE CHILLY TEMPS. DRY WITH A
WARMING TREND BEGINNING TUESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILD UP FROM THE
SOUTH WITH TEMPS BACK TO NEAR NORMAL ON WEDNESDAY.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT MONDAY. WARMING TREND
THURSDAY ON THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS UP FROM THE
FOUR CORNERS REGION OF THE DESERT SOUTHWEST. MOIST AIR UNDER THE
BUILDING RIDGE WILL RESULT IN INCREASED CLOUDS ACROSS CENTRAL NEVADA
THURSDAY...HOWEVER NOT EXPECTING ANY SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY. STILL EXPECTING SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY FRIDAY
AFTERNOON ACROSS NORTHERN NYE COUNTY...HOWEVER LATEST MODEL RUNS
SUGGEST THE AIR MASS WILL BE A LITTLE SLOWER TO MOISTEN UP...AND
WILL ALSO BE A LITTLE MORE STABLE THAN PREVIOUS GUIDANCE. FOR NOW
LIMITING SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY FRIDAY TO NORTHERN NYE
COUNTY AND THE SOUTHERN MOST PORTION OF LANDER COUNTY...WITH ONLY
ISOLATED ACTIVITY. SIMILARLY FOR SATURDAY THE MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY WILL BE A LITTLE SLOWER IN ITS NORTHERLY PROGRESSION.
HAVE BACKED OFF A LITTLE ON THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE SATURDAY. EXPECT
MOST ACTIVITY TO BE OVER THE HIGHLAND REGION OF CENTRAL
NEVADA...THOUGH STILL ONLY ISOLATED. MAY ALSO SEE A FEW STORM CELLS
REACHING UP INTO NORTHERN LANDER AND EUREKA COUNTIES AND UP INTO
HUMBOLDT COUNTY. ALL BUT THE SOUTHERN MOST PORTIONS OF ELKO COUNTY
SHOULD REMAIN STORM-FREE SATURDAY. NOT AS MUCH MODEL AGREEMENT WITH
RESPECT TO THUNDERSTORM LOCATIONS SUNDAY INTO MONDAY...SO WENT WITH
A BROADBRUSH OF ISOLATED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS ALL
OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA EACH AFTERNOON. MODELS ARE IS
AGREEMENT WITH THE RIDGE BEGINNING TO WEAKEN ON MONDAY...SO EXPECT
HIGH TEMPERATURES TO BEGIN TO RECEDE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
&&

.AVIATION...DRY WITH VFR CONDITIONS OVER THE NEXT 24 PLUS HOURS. IN
THE WAKE OF THE FRONTAL PASSAGE EARLY THIS MORNING...COOL NORTHERLY
FLOW IS DOMINATING ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON. MOST LOCATIONS
CAN EXPECT NORTHWESTERLY WINDS THIS EVENING TO VEER SLIGHTLY TO THE
NORTH OR NORTHEAST LATER TONIGHT. MUCH COLDER TUESDAY MORNING...WITH
A WARMING TREND BEGINNING TOMORROW AFTERNOON WHICH WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS
EXPECTED TO RETURN TO CENTRAL NEVADA FRIDAY...AND INTO NORTHERN
NEVADA THIS WEEKEND.
&&

.FIRE WEATHER...DRY WITH A WARMING TREND BEGINNING TUESDAY.
MONSOON MOISTURE MAKES ITS RETURN AT THE END OF THE WEEK.
&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

91/96/96/91




000
FXUS65 KLKN 272217
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
317 PM PDT MON JUL 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...AN UNSEASONABLY COOL AIR MASS HAS SETTLED IN OVER
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA TODAY. THIS WILL BRING CHILLY
TEMPERATURES TO THE REGION TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING BY LATE
JULY STANDARDS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO THE LOWER 40S WILL BE
COMMON. DRY WEATHER WITH A WARMING TREND BEGINNING TUESDAY.
MONSOON MOISTURE MAKES ITS RETURN BY THE END OF THE WEEK.
&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. AN UNSEASONABLY COOL AIR
MASS HAS SETTLED IN OVER NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NV TODAY IN THE WAKE
OF A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. THIS WILL LEAD TO CHILLY
TEMPERATURES TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING BY LATE JULY STANDARDS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO THE LOWER 40S WILL BE COMMON. SOME OF THE
COLDEST SPOTS LIKE WILDHORSE AND CHARLESTON WILL SEE LOWS DIP
BELOW FREEZING. SEVERAL LOCATIONS WILL BE FLIRTING WITH RECORD LOW
TEMPS. ISSUED AN SPS HIGHLIGHTNING THESE CHILLY TEMPS. DRY WITH A
WARMING TREND BEGINNING TUESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILD UP FROM THE
SOUTH WITH TEMPS BACK TO NEAR NORMAL ON WEDNESDAY.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT MONDAY. WARMING TREND
THURSDAY ON THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS UP FROM THE
FOUR CORNERS REGION OF THE DESERT SOUTHWEST. MOIST AIR UNDER THE
BUILDING RIDGE WILL RESULT IN INCREASED CLOUDS ACROSS CENTRAL NEVADA
THURSDAY...HOWEVER NOT EXPECTING ANY SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY. STILL EXPECTING SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY FRIDAY
AFTERNOON ACROSS NORTHERN NYE COUNTY...HOWEVER LATEST MODEL RUNS
SUGGEST THE AIR MASS WILL BE A LITTLE SLOWER TO MOISTEN UP...AND
WILL ALSO BE A LITTLE MORE STABLE THAN PREVIOUS GUIDANCE. FOR NOW
LIMITING SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY FRIDAY TO NORTHERN NYE
COUNTY AND THE SOUTHERN MOST PORTION OF LANDER COUNTY...WITH ONLY
ISOLATED ACTIVITY. SIMILARLY FOR SATURDAY THE MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY WILL BE A LITTLE SLOWER IN ITS NORTHERLY PROGRESSION.
HAVE BACKED OFF A LITTLE ON THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE SATURDAY. EXPECT
MOST ACTIVITY TO BE OVER THE HIGHLAND REGION OF CENTRAL
NEVADA...THOUGH STILL ONLY ISOLATED. MAY ALSO SEE A FEW STORM CELLS
REACHING UP INTO NORTHERN LANDER AND EUREKA COUNTIES AND UP INTO
HUMBOLDT COUNTY. ALL BUT THE SOUTHERN MOST PORTIONS OF ELKO COUNTY
SHOULD REMAIN STORM-FREE SATURDAY. NOT AS MUCH MODEL AGREEMENT WITH
RESPECT TO THUNDERSTORM LOCATIONS SUNDAY INTO MONDAY...SO WENT WITH
A BROADBRUSH OF ISOLATED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS ALL
OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA EACH AFTERNOON. MODELS ARE IS
AGREEMENT WITH THE RIDGE BEGINNING TO WEAKEN ON MONDAY...SO EXPECT
HIGH TEMPERATURES TO BEGIN TO RECEDE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
&&

.AVIATION...DRY WITH VFR CONDITIONS OVER THE NEXT 24 PLUS HOURS. IN
THE WAKE OF THE FRONTAL PASSAGE EARLY THIS MORNING...COOL NORTHERLY
FLOW IS DOMINATING ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON. MOST LOCATIONS
CAN EXPECT NORTHWESTERLY WINDS THIS EVENING TO VEER SLIGHTLY TO THE
NORTH OR NORTHEAST LATER TONIGHT. MUCH COLDER TUESDAY MORNING...WITH
A WARMING TREND BEGINNING TOMORROW AFTERNOON WHICH WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS
EXPECTED TO RETURN TO CENTRAL NEVADA FRIDAY...AND INTO NORTHERN
NEVADA THIS WEEKEND.
&&

.FIRE WEATHER...DRY WITH A WARMING TREND BEGINNING TUESDAY.
MONSOON MOISTURE MAKES ITS RETURN AT THE END OF THE WEEK.
&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

91/96/96/91





000
FXUS65 KLKN 270900
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
200 AM PDT MON JUL 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...NEVADA WILL ENJOY MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES ON
MONDAY...WITH AFTERNOON READINGS 10 TO 15 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL.
QUITE CHILLY TONIGHT...WITH MANY VALLEYS FALLING INTO THE UPPER
30S AROUND SUNRISE TUESDAY MORNING. SPECTACULAR WEATHER WITH LIGHT
WINDS EXPECTED ON TUESDAY...FOLLOWED BY A STRONG WARMING TREND FOR
THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

STRONG SHORTWAVE, IMPRESSIVE FOR MID-SUMMER, ENTERING NW NEVADA
THIS MORNING. STRONG FORCING AND LIFT WILL SPREAD ACROSS NORTHERN
NEVADA THIS MORNING, SPREADING RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDER
ALONG AND NORTH OF I-80. SEVERAL LIGHTNING STRIKES NOTED ACROSS
HUMBOLDT AND NW ELKO COUNTIES THROUGH 1 AM. WHILE FORCING IS
STRONG AHEAD OF THE SHORTWAVE, AND ALONG THE ASSOCIATED ADVANCING
COLD FRONT, IT IS ACTING ON A DRY AIRMASS AND QPF WILL BE LIMITED.
COLD FRONT HAS ALREADY CLEARED HUMBOLDT COUNTY AS OF MIDNIGHT, AND
WILL EXIT THE CWA BY THE MID- MORNING HOURS.

AIR BEHIND THE COLD FRONT IS IMPRESSIVELY COOL FOR JULY, WITH
700 MB TEMPS TUMBLING TO 4-6C ACROSS NORTHERN NEVADA. THIS
TRANSLATES TO MOST VALLEYS REMAINING IN THE UPPER 70S THIS
AFTERNOON, ABOUT 15 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. IN FACT, THE FORECASTED
HIGH OF 78 AT ELKO WOULD TIE THE SECOND COOLEST HIGH TEMPERATURE
RECORDED FOR JULY 27TH...78 DEGREES ON JULY 27, 1909. MORE FREE
AC...ENJOY! POST-FRONTAL NW WINDS WILL BE BLUSTERY TODAY,
ESPECIALLY ACROSS ELKO COUNTY, WHERE THEY WILL AVERAGE 15-25 MPH
THIS AFTERNOON. GUSTS WILL EXCEED 30 MPH ON/NEAR THE HIGHER
TERRAIN. FULL SUNSHINE EXPECTED BY AFTERNOON, AS SUBSIDENCE CLEARS
OUT THE SKY BEHIND THE DEPARTING SHORTWAVE.

TONIGHT...CLEAR AND CHILLY. A CRYSTAL CLEAR SKY AND DRY AIR WILL
ALLOW FOR STRONG RADIATIONAL COOLING, WITH A 1023 MB SURFACE HIGH
OVER NORTHERN ELKO COUNTY AT 5 AM. SUBFREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED IN THE TYPICALLY COLD ELEVATED VALLEYS OF NORTHERN ELKO
COUNTY, SUCH AS WILDHORSE AND CHARLESTON. IT DOES NOT APPEAR
SURFACE WINDS WILL HAVE TIME TO GO TO TRUE DRAINAGE BY SUNRISE,
AND THIS WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES FROM COMPLETELY BOTTOMING OUT.
A GOOD EXAMPLE OF THIS IS AT WINNEMUCCA, WHERE NE WINDS WILL KEEP
MIN TEMPS ELEVATED. NONETHELESS, UPPER 30S AND LOWER 40S WILL BE
COMMON IN MANY VALLEYS TUESDAY MORNING, WITH THE COLDEST READINGS
NEAR THE SURFACE HIGH IN ELKO COUNTY.

TUESDAY...TERRIFIC. FULL SUNSHINE AND LIGHT WINDS. TEMPERATURES
WILL REMAIN MILD AND WELL BELOW NORMAL, CLIMBING ONLY 2-4 DEGREES
FROM MONDAY`S READINGS.  TURNER



.LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY. HIGH CONFIDENCE IN
THE FORECAST WITH MODELS IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE LONG
TERM.

TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...RIDGE WILL BUILD BACK OVER THE
GREAT BASIN WITH 595 DECAMETER HIGH GIVING WAY TO VERY WARM TO HOT
TEMPERATURES ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WITH TEMPS IN THE MID TO UPPER
90S.

FRIDAY...PW`S BEGIN TO INCREASE TO NEAR .75" IN CENTRAL NEVADA WITH
LIMITED INSTABILITY AS THE RIDGE BEGINS TO WEAKEN ACROSS THE GREAT
BASIN. CONVECTION POSSIBLE MAINLY IN NORTHERN NYE COUNTY.

SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW FOUR CORNERS HIGH AND
TROUGH OFF WEST COAST PRODUCING SOUTHERLY FLOW OVER THE GREAT BASIN
WHICH WILL BRING IN MONSOON MOISTURE. SATURDAY PW`S WILL BE NEAR AN
INCH IN CENTRAL NEVADA AND CLOSE TO .75" ACROSS THE NORTH. MOST OF
THE STORMS WILL BE IN CENTRAL NEVADA WHERE BEST MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY IS FORECAST TO BE. SUNDAY PW`S INCREASE TO NEAR AN INCH
IN MOST OF THE REGION WITH THUNDERSTORMS AND AREAS OF HEAVY RAIN
A GOOD POSSIBILITY THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THE AREA. RLC

&&

.AVIATION...SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE ACROSS
NORTHERN NEVADA THROUGH ABOUT 18Z AS A COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE
STATE. COULD BE SOME SHOWERS NEAR KWMC EARLY THIS AM BEFORE 15Z AND
NEAR KEKO BETWEEN 12 AND 18Z. OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WINDS AT ALL
TERMINALS OF 10-25 KTS. RLC

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...AFTER THIS MORNING`S COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE, GUSTY
NW WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO AVERAGE 15-25 MPH FOR MOST FWZ. GUSTS
OF 30-35 MPH MOST LIKELY ON/NEAR THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF ELKO COUNTY
THIS AFTERNOON. MUCH COOLER TODAY WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WELL
BELOW LATE JULY NORMALS. CONTINUED MILD WITH MUCH LIGHTER WINDS ON
TUESDAY. A STRONG WARMING TREND CAN BE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY. MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL EVENTUALLY RETURN BY NEXT WEEKEND,
WITH ISOLATED CONVECTION AFFECTING FWZ 457 STARTING FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.  TURNER

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

99/90/90/99




000
FXUS65 KLKN 270900
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
200 AM PDT MON JUL 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...NEVADA WILL ENJOY MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES ON
MONDAY...WITH AFTERNOON READINGS 10 TO 15 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL.
QUITE CHILLY TONIGHT...WITH MANY VALLEYS FALLING INTO THE UPPER
30S AROUND SUNRISE TUESDAY MORNING. SPECTACULAR WEATHER WITH LIGHT
WINDS EXPECTED ON TUESDAY...FOLLOWED BY A STRONG WARMING TREND FOR
THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

STRONG SHORTWAVE, IMPRESSIVE FOR MID-SUMMER, ENTERING NW NEVADA
THIS MORNING. STRONG FORCING AND LIFT WILL SPREAD ACROSS NORTHERN
NEVADA THIS MORNING, SPREADING RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDER
ALONG AND NORTH OF I-80. SEVERAL LIGHTNING STRIKES NOTED ACROSS
HUMBOLDT AND NW ELKO COUNTIES THROUGH 1 AM. WHILE FORCING IS
STRONG AHEAD OF THE SHORTWAVE, AND ALONG THE ASSOCIATED ADVANCING
COLD FRONT, IT IS ACTING ON A DRY AIRMASS AND QPF WILL BE LIMITED.
COLD FRONT HAS ALREADY CLEARED HUMBOLDT COUNTY AS OF MIDNIGHT, AND
WILL EXIT THE CWA BY THE MID- MORNING HOURS.

AIR BEHIND THE COLD FRONT IS IMPRESSIVELY COOL FOR JULY, WITH
700 MB TEMPS TUMBLING TO 4-6C ACROSS NORTHERN NEVADA. THIS
TRANSLATES TO MOST VALLEYS REMAINING IN THE UPPER 70S THIS
AFTERNOON, ABOUT 15 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. IN FACT, THE FORECASTED
HIGH OF 78 AT ELKO WOULD TIE THE SECOND COOLEST HIGH TEMPERATURE
RECORDED FOR JULY 27TH...78 DEGREES ON JULY 27, 1909. MORE FREE
AC...ENJOY! POST-FRONTAL NW WINDS WILL BE BLUSTERY TODAY,
ESPECIALLY ACROSS ELKO COUNTY, WHERE THEY WILL AVERAGE 15-25 MPH
THIS AFTERNOON. GUSTS WILL EXCEED 30 MPH ON/NEAR THE HIGHER
TERRAIN. FULL SUNSHINE EXPECTED BY AFTERNOON, AS SUBSIDENCE CLEARS
OUT THE SKY BEHIND THE DEPARTING SHORTWAVE.

TONIGHT...CLEAR AND CHILLY. A CRYSTAL CLEAR SKY AND DRY AIR WILL
ALLOW FOR STRONG RADIATIONAL COOLING, WITH A 1023 MB SURFACE HIGH
OVER NORTHERN ELKO COUNTY AT 5 AM. SUBFREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED IN THE TYPICALLY COLD ELEVATED VALLEYS OF NORTHERN ELKO
COUNTY, SUCH AS WILDHORSE AND CHARLESTON. IT DOES NOT APPEAR
SURFACE WINDS WILL HAVE TIME TO GO TO TRUE DRAINAGE BY SUNRISE,
AND THIS WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES FROM COMPLETELY BOTTOMING OUT.
A GOOD EXAMPLE OF THIS IS AT WINNEMUCCA, WHERE NE WINDS WILL KEEP
MIN TEMPS ELEVATED. NONETHELESS, UPPER 30S AND LOWER 40S WILL BE
COMMON IN MANY VALLEYS TUESDAY MORNING, WITH THE COLDEST READINGS
NEAR THE SURFACE HIGH IN ELKO COUNTY.

TUESDAY...TERRIFIC. FULL SUNSHINE AND LIGHT WINDS. TEMPERATURES
WILL REMAIN MILD AND WELL BELOW NORMAL, CLIMBING ONLY 2-4 DEGREES
FROM MONDAY`S READINGS.  TURNER



.LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY. HIGH CONFIDENCE IN
THE FORECAST WITH MODELS IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE LONG
TERM.

TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...RIDGE WILL BUILD BACK OVER THE
GREAT BASIN WITH 595 DECAMETER HIGH GIVING WAY TO VERY WARM TO HOT
TEMPERATURES ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WITH TEMPS IN THE MID TO UPPER
90S.

FRIDAY...PW`S BEGIN TO INCREASE TO NEAR .75" IN CENTRAL NEVADA WITH
LIMITED INSTABILITY AS THE RIDGE BEGINS TO WEAKEN ACROSS THE GREAT
BASIN. CONVECTION POSSIBLE MAINLY IN NORTHERN NYE COUNTY.

SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW FOUR CORNERS HIGH AND
TROUGH OFF WEST COAST PRODUCING SOUTHERLY FLOW OVER THE GREAT BASIN
WHICH WILL BRING IN MONSOON MOISTURE. SATURDAY PW`S WILL BE NEAR AN
INCH IN CENTRAL NEVADA AND CLOSE TO .75" ACROSS THE NORTH. MOST OF
THE STORMS WILL BE IN CENTRAL NEVADA WHERE BEST MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY IS FORECAST TO BE. SUNDAY PW`S INCREASE TO NEAR AN INCH
IN MOST OF THE REGION WITH THUNDERSTORMS AND AREAS OF HEAVY RAIN
A GOOD POSSIBILITY THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THE AREA. RLC

&&

.AVIATION...SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE ACROSS
NORTHERN NEVADA THROUGH ABOUT 18Z AS A COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE
STATE. COULD BE SOME SHOWERS NEAR KWMC EARLY THIS AM BEFORE 15Z AND
NEAR KEKO BETWEEN 12 AND 18Z. OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WINDS AT ALL
TERMINALS OF 10-25 KTS. RLC

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...AFTER THIS MORNING`S COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE, GUSTY
NW WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO AVERAGE 15-25 MPH FOR MOST FWZ. GUSTS
OF 30-35 MPH MOST LIKELY ON/NEAR THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF ELKO COUNTY
THIS AFTERNOON. MUCH COOLER TODAY WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WELL
BELOW LATE JULY NORMALS. CONTINUED MILD WITH MUCH LIGHTER WINDS ON
TUESDAY. A STRONG WARMING TREND CAN BE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY. MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL EVENTUALLY RETURN BY NEXT WEEKEND,
WITH ISOLATED CONVECTION AFFECTING FWZ 457 STARTING FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.  TURNER

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

99/90/90/99





000
FXUS65 KLKN 270900
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
200 AM PDT MON JUL 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...NEVADA WILL ENJOY MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES ON
MONDAY...WITH AFTERNOON READINGS 10 TO 15 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL.
QUITE CHILLY TONIGHT...WITH MANY VALLEYS FALLING INTO THE UPPER
30S AROUND SUNRISE TUESDAY MORNING. SPECTACULAR WEATHER WITH LIGHT
WINDS EXPECTED ON TUESDAY...FOLLOWED BY A STRONG WARMING TREND FOR
THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

STRONG SHORTWAVE, IMPRESSIVE FOR MID-SUMMER, ENTERING NW NEVADA
THIS MORNING. STRONG FORCING AND LIFT WILL SPREAD ACROSS NORTHERN
NEVADA THIS MORNING, SPREADING RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDER
ALONG AND NORTH OF I-80. SEVERAL LIGHTNING STRIKES NOTED ACROSS
HUMBOLDT AND NW ELKO COUNTIES THROUGH 1 AM. WHILE FORCING IS
STRONG AHEAD OF THE SHORTWAVE, AND ALONG THE ASSOCIATED ADVANCING
COLD FRONT, IT IS ACTING ON A DRY AIRMASS AND QPF WILL BE LIMITED.
COLD FRONT HAS ALREADY CLEARED HUMBOLDT COUNTY AS OF MIDNIGHT, AND
WILL EXIT THE CWA BY THE MID- MORNING HOURS.

AIR BEHIND THE COLD FRONT IS IMPRESSIVELY COOL FOR JULY, WITH
700 MB TEMPS TUMBLING TO 4-6C ACROSS NORTHERN NEVADA. THIS
TRANSLATES TO MOST VALLEYS REMAINING IN THE UPPER 70S THIS
AFTERNOON, ABOUT 15 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. IN FACT, THE FORECASTED
HIGH OF 78 AT ELKO WOULD TIE THE SECOND COOLEST HIGH TEMPERATURE
RECORDED FOR JULY 27TH...78 DEGREES ON JULY 27, 1909. MORE FREE
AC...ENJOY! POST-FRONTAL NW WINDS WILL BE BLUSTERY TODAY,
ESPECIALLY ACROSS ELKO COUNTY, WHERE THEY WILL AVERAGE 15-25 MPH
THIS AFTERNOON. GUSTS WILL EXCEED 30 MPH ON/NEAR THE HIGHER
TERRAIN. FULL SUNSHINE EXPECTED BY AFTERNOON, AS SUBSIDENCE CLEARS
OUT THE SKY BEHIND THE DEPARTING SHORTWAVE.

TONIGHT...CLEAR AND CHILLY. A CRYSTAL CLEAR SKY AND DRY AIR WILL
ALLOW FOR STRONG RADIATIONAL COOLING, WITH A 1023 MB SURFACE HIGH
OVER NORTHERN ELKO COUNTY AT 5 AM. SUBFREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED IN THE TYPICALLY COLD ELEVATED VALLEYS OF NORTHERN ELKO
COUNTY, SUCH AS WILDHORSE AND CHARLESTON. IT DOES NOT APPEAR
SURFACE WINDS WILL HAVE TIME TO GO TO TRUE DRAINAGE BY SUNRISE,
AND THIS WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES FROM COMPLETELY BOTTOMING OUT.
A GOOD EXAMPLE OF THIS IS AT WINNEMUCCA, WHERE NE WINDS WILL KEEP
MIN TEMPS ELEVATED. NONETHELESS, UPPER 30S AND LOWER 40S WILL BE
COMMON IN MANY VALLEYS TUESDAY MORNING, WITH THE COLDEST READINGS
NEAR THE SURFACE HIGH IN ELKO COUNTY.

TUESDAY...TERRIFIC. FULL SUNSHINE AND LIGHT WINDS. TEMPERATURES
WILL REMAIN MILD AND WELL BELOW NORMAL, CLIMBING ONLY 2-4 DEGREES
FROM MONDAY`S READINGS.  TURNER



.LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY. HIGH CONFIDENCE IN
THE FORECAST WITH MODELS IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE LONG
TERM.

TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...RIDGE WILL BUILD BACK OVER THE
GREAT BASIN WITH 595 DECAMETER HIGH GIVING WAY TO VERY WARM TO HOT
TEMPERATURES ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WITH TEMPS IN THE MID TO UPPER
90S.

FRIDAY...PW`S BEGIN TO INCREASE TO NEAR .75" IN CENTRAL NEVADA WITH
LIMITED INSTABILITY AS THE RIDGE BEGINS TO WEAKEN ACROSS THE GREAT
BASIN. CONVECTION POSSIBLE MAINLY IN NORTHERN NYE COUNTY.

SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW FOUR CORNERS HIGH AND
TROUGH OFF WEST COAST PRODUCING SOUTHERLY FLOW OVER THE GREAT BASIN
WHICH WILL BRING IN MONSOON MOISTURE. SATURDAY PW`S WILL BE NEAR AN
INCH IN CENTRAL NEVADA AND CLOSE TO .75" ACROSS THE NORTH. MOST OF
THE STORMS WILL BE IN CENTRAL NEVADA WHERE BEST MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY IS FORECAST TO BE. SUNDAY PW`S INCREASE TO NEAR AN INCH
IN MOST OF THE REGION WITH THUNDERSTORMS AND AREAS OF HEAVY RAIN
A GOOD POSSIBILITY THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THE AREA. RLC

&&

.AVIATION...SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE ACROSS
NORTHERN NEVADA THROUGH ABOUT 18Z AS A COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE
STATE. COULD BE SOME SHOWERS NEAR KWMC EARLY THIS AM BEFORE 15Z AND
NEAR KEKO BETWEEN 12 AND 18Z. OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WINDS AT ALL
TERMINALS OF 10-25 KTS. RLC

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...AFTER THIS MORNING`S COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE, GUSTY
NW WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO AVERAGE 15-25 MPH FOR MOST FWZ. GUSTS
OF 30-35 MPH MOST LIKELY ON/NEAR THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF ELKO COUNTY
THIS AFTERNOON. MUCH COOLER TODAY WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WELL
BELOW LATE JULY NORMALS. CONTINUED MILD WITH MUCH LIGHTER WINDS ON
TUESDAY. A STRONG WARMING TREND CAN BE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY. MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL EVENTUALLY RETURN BY NEXT WEEKEND,
WITH ISOLATED CONVECTION AFFECTING FWZ 457 STARTING FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.  TURNER

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

99/90/90/99




000
FXUS65 KLKN 270900
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
200 AM PDT MON JUL 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...NEVADA WILL ENJOY MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES ON
MONDAY...WITH AFTERNOON READINGS 10 TO 15 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL.
QUITE CHILLY TONIGHT...WITH MANY VALLEYS FALLING INTO THE UPPER
30S AROUND SUNRISE TUESDAY MORNING. SPECTACULAR WEATHER WITH LIGHT
WINDS EXPECTED ON TUESDAY...FOLLOWED BY A STRONG WARMING TREND FOR
THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

STRONG SHORTWAVE, IMPRESSIVE FOR MID-SUMMER, ENTERING NW NEVADA
THIS MORNING. STRONG FORCING AND LIFT WILL SPREAD ACROSS NORTHERN
NEVADA THIS MORNING, SPREADING RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDER
ALONG AND NORTH OF I-80. SEVERAL LIGHTNING STRIKES NOTED ACROSS
HUMBOLDT AND NW ELKO COUNTIES THROUGH 1 AM. WHILE FORCING IS
STRONG AHEAD OF THE SHORTWAVE, AND ALONG THE ASSOCIATED ADVANCING
COLD FRONT, IT IS ACTING ON A DRY AIRMASS AND QPF WILL BE LIMITED.
COLD FRONT HAS ALREADY CLEARED HUMBOLDT COUNTY AS OF MIDNIGHT, AND
WILL EXIT THE CWA BY THE MID- MORNING HOURS.

AIR BEHIND THE COLD FRONT IS IMPRESSIVELY COOL FOR JULY, WITH
700 MB TEMPS TUMBLING TO 4-6C ACROSS NORTHERN NEVADA. THIS
TRANSLATES TO MOST VALLEYS REMAINING IN THE UPPER 70S THIS
AFTERNOON, ABOUT 15 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. IN FACT, THE FORECASTED
HIGH OF 78 AT ELKO WOULD TIE THE SECOND COOLEST HIGH TEMPERATURE
RECORDED FOR JULY 27TH...78 DEGREES ON JULY 27, 1909. MORE FREE
AC...ENJOY! POST-FRONTAL NW WINDS WILL BE BLUSTERY TODAY,
ESPECIALLY ACROSS ELKO COUNTY, WHERE THEY WILL AVERAGE 15-25 MPH
THIS AFTERNOON. GUSTS WILL EXCEED 30 MPH ON/NEAR THE HIGHER
TERRAIN. FULL SUNSHINE EXPECTED BY AFTERNOON, AS SUBSIDENCE CLEARS
OUT THE SKY BEHIND THE DEPARTING SHORTWAVE.

TONIGHT...CLEAR AND CHILLY. A CRYSTAL CLEAR SKY AND DRY AIR WILL
ALLOW FOR STRONG RADIATIONAL COOLING, WITH A 1023 MB SURFACE HIGH
OVER NORTHERN ELKO COUNTY AT 5 AM. SUBFREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED IN THE TYPICALLY COLD ELEVATED VALLEYS OF NORTHERN ELKO
COUNTY, SUCH AS WILDHORSE AND CHARLESTON. IT DOES NOT APPEAR
SURFACE WINDS WILL HAVE TIME TO GO TO TRUE DRAINAGE BY SUNRISE,
AND THIS WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES FROM COMPLETELY BOTTOMING OUT.
A GOOD EXAMPLE OF THIS IS AT WINNEMUCCA, WHERE NE WINDS WILL KEEP
MIN TEMPS ELEVATED. NONETHELESS, UPPER 30S AND LOWER 40S WILL BE
COMMON IN MANY VALLEYS TUESDAY MORNING, WITH THE COLDEST READINGS
NEAR THE SURFACE HIGH IN ELKO COUNTY.

TUESDAY...TERRIFIC. FULL SUNSHINE AND LIGHT WINDS. TEMPERATURES
WILL REMAIN MILD AND WELL BELOW NORMAL, CLIMBING ONLY 2-4 DEGREES
FROM MONDAY`S READINGS.  TURNER



.LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY. HIGH CONFIDENCE IN
THE FORECAST WITH MODELS IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE LONG
TERM.

TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...RIDGE WILL BUILD BACK OVER THE
GREAT BASIN WITH 595 DECAMETER HIGH GIVING WAY TO VERY WARM TO HOT
TEMPERATURES ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WITH TEMPS IN THE MID TO UPPER
90S.

FRIDAY...PW`S BEGIN TO INCREASE TO NEAR .75" IN CENTRAL NEVADA WITH
LIMITED INSTABILITY AS THE RIDGE BEGINS TO WEAKEN ACROSS THE GREAT
BASIN. CONVECTION POSSIBLE MAINLY IN NORTHERN NYE COUNTY.

SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW FOUR CORNERS HIGH AND
TROUGH OFF WEST COAST PRODUCING SOUTHERLY FLOW OVER THE GREAT BASIN
WHICH WILL BRING IN MONSOON MOISTURE. SATURDAY PW`S WILL BE NEAR AN
INCH IN CENTRAL NEVADA AND CLOSE TO .75" ACROSS THE NORTH. MOST OF
THE STORMS WILL BE IN CENTRAL NEVADA WHERE BEST MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY IS FORECAST TO BE. SUNDAY PW`S INCREASE TO NEAR AN INCH
IN MOST OF THE REGION WITH THUNDERSTORMS AND AREAS OF HEAVY RAIN
A GOOD POSSIBILITY THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THE AREA. RLC

&&

.AVIATION...SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE ACROSS
NORTHERN NEVADA THROUGH ABOUT 18Z AS A COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE
STATE. COULD BE SOME SHOWERS NEAR KWMC EARLY THIS AM BEFORE 15Z AND
NEAR KEKO BETWEEN 12 AND 18Z. OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WINDS AT ALL
TERMINALS OF 10-25 KTS. RLC

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...AFTER THIS MORNING`S COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE, GUSTY
NW WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO AVERAGE 15-25 MPH FOR MOST FWZ. GUSTS
OF 30-35 MPH MOST LIKELY ON/NEAR THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF ELKO COUNTY
THIS AFTERNOON. MUCH COOLER TODAY WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WELL
BELOW LATE JULY NORMALS. CONTINUED MILD WITH MUCH LIGHTER WINDS ON
TUESDAY. A STRONG WARMING TREND CAN BE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY. MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL EVENTUALLY RETURN BY NEXT WEEKEND,
WITH ISOLATED CONVECTION AFFECTING FWZ 457 STARTING FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.  TURNER

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

99/90/90/99





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