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000
FXUS65 KLKN 051004
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
204 AM PST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING DRY WEATHER WITH A WARMING
TREND THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY. SKIES ARE CLEAR ACROSS MUCH
OF THE WESTERN CONUS THIS MORNING AND TEMPERATURES ARE RUNNING
ROUGHLY ABOUT 5 DEGREES WARMER.

A QUIET WEATHER REGIME CAN BE EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
WEEK. A DEVELOPING RIDGE OUT OVER THE PACIFIC WILL ENSURE A FAIRLY
STRONG NNW FLOW ALOFT INTO THE GREAT BASIN THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON. THIS WILL DELAY THE WARMING SOMEWHAT OVER EASTERN
NEVADA HOWEVER AREAS FROM ABOUT CARLIN WESTWARD WILL SEE DAYTIME
TEMPERATURES RISE THROUGH THE 50S FRIDAY TO AROUND 60 DEGREES BY
SATURDAY AS THE RIDGE BECOMES MORE PRONOUNCED.

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY.

SPLENDID EARLY SPRING WEATHER FOR NEVADA SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY,
WITH ABOVE NORMAL AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES AND A GRADUAL WARMING
TREND. DRY HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING FOR FEW CLOUDS, LIGHT WINDS AND
ZERO CHANCE OF PRECIP. EXPECT LOWER 60S TO PREVAIL SUNDAY AND
MONDAY. ALL MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO INDICATE TUESDAY WILL BE
THE WARMEST DAY OF THE FORECAST, WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S
AND THE WARMEST VALLEYS REACHING 70 DEGREES. SW FLOW WILL INCREASE
TUESDAY, AND A SW BREEZE OF 10-20 MPH WILL HELP WITH MIXING AND
ENCOURAGE THE WARMER TEMPERATURES. THE RECORD HIGH AT ELKO FOR
TUESDAY MARCH 10TH IS 69 SET IN 1989, AND CURRENTLY FORECASTING 66.

NEVADA WEATHER WILL BECOME UNSETTLED BEGINNING WEDNESDAY, AND
CONTINUING THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY THE 13TH, BUT THE DETAILS ARE MURKY,
AS SHOULD BE EXPECTED THIS FAR OUT. BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY
WEDNESDAY, AS PACIFIC MOISTURE ARRIVES ON THE SW FLOW. 00Z ECMWF
SOLUTION IS MUCH SLOWER, DEEPER AND FURTHER SOUTH TRACKING THE NEXT
PACIFIC TROUGH TOWARD NEVADA LATE NEXT WEEK, AND WOULD RESULT IN
SCATTERED SHOWERS NEXT WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY, FOLLOWED BY
WIDESPREAD BENEFICIAL VALLEY RAIN/MOUNTAIN SNOW BY FRIDAY THE 13TH.
00Z OPERATIONAL GFS IS MUCH DIFFERENT, WITH A WEAK SHORTWAVE
SKIRTING ACROSS NORTHERN NEVADA WEDNESDAY FOR A FEW VALLEY RAIN
SHOWERS. GFS AND MOST OF ITS ENSEMBLE MEMBERS DO NOT HAVE THE STORM
DEPICTED BY 00Z ECMWF LATE NEXT WEEK, SO CONFIDENCE IS LOW. FOR NOW,
EDGED GRIDS TOWARD THE WETTER, DEEPER AND SLOWER ECMWF SOLUTION. BT

&&

.AVIATION...VFR/SKC AND LIGHT WINDS THROUGH SATURDAY. BT

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

92/99/99





000
FXUS65 KLKN 051004
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
204 AM PST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING DRY WEATHER WITH A WARMING
TREND THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY. SKIES ARE CLEAR ACROSS MUCH
OF THE WESTERN CONUS THIS MORNING AND TEMPERATURES ARE RUNNING
ROUGHLY ABOUT 5 DEGREES WARMER.

A QUIET WEATHER REGIME CAN BE EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
WEEK. A DEVELOPING RIDGE OUT OVER THE PACIFIC WILL ENSURE A FAIRLY
STRONG NNW FLOW ALOFT INTO THE GREAT BASIN THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON. THIS WILL DELAY THE WARMING SOMEWHAT OVER EASTERN
NEVADA HOWEVER AREAS FROM ABOUT CARLIN WESTWARD WILL SEE DAYTIME
TEMPERATURES RISE THROUGH THE 50S FRIDAY TO AROUND 60 DEGREES BY
SATURDAY AS THE RIDGE BECOMES MORE PRONOUNCED.

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY.

SPLENDID EARLY SPRING WEATHER FOR NEVADA SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY,
WITH ABOVE NORMAL AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES AND A GRADUAL WARMING
TREND. DRY HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING FOR FEW CLOUDS, LIGHT WINDS AND
ZERO CHANCE OF PRECIP. EXPECT LOWER 60S TO PREVAIL SUNDAY AND
MONDAY. ALL MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO INDICATE TUESDAY WILL BE
THE WARMEST DAY OF THE FORECAST, WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S
AND THE WARMEST VALLEYS REACHING 70 DEGREES. SW FLOW WILL INCREASE
TUESDAY, AND A SW BREEZE OF 10-20 MPH WILL HELP WITH MIXING AND
ENCOURAGE THE WARMER TEMPERATURES. THE RECORD HIGH AT ELKO FOR
TUESDAY MARCH 10TH IS 69 SET IN 1989, AND CURRENTLY FORECASTING 66.

NEVADA WEATHER WILL BECOME UNSETTLED BEGINNING WEDNESDAY, AND
CONTINUING THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY THE 13TH, BUT THE DETAILS ARE MURKY,
AS SHOULD BE EXPECTED THIS FAR OUT. BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY
WEDNESDAY, AS PACIFIC MOISTURE ARRIVES ON THE SW FLOW. 00Z ECMWF
SOLUTION IS MUCH SLOWER, DEEPER AND FURTHER SOUTH TRACKING THE NEXT
PACIFIC TROUGH TOWARD NEVADA LATE NEXT WEEK, AND WOULD RESULT IN
SCATTERED SHOWERS NEXT WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY, FOLLOWED BY
WIDESPREAD BENEFICIAL VALLEY RAIN/MOUNTAIN SNOW BY FRIDAY THE 13TH.
00Z OPERATIONAL GFS IS MUCH DIFFERENT, WITH A WEAK SHORTWAVE
SKIRTING ACROSS NORTHERN NEVADA WEDNESDAY FOR A FEW VALLEY RAIN
SHOWERS. GFS AND MOST OF ITS ENSEMBLE MEMBERS DO NOT HAVE THE STORM
DEPICTED BY 00Z ECMWF LATE NEXT WEEK, SO CONFIDENCE IS LOW. FOR NOW,
EDGED GRIDS TOWARD THE WETTER, DEEPER AND SLOWER ECMWF SOLUTION. BT

&&

.AVIATION...VFR/SKC AND LIGHT WINDS THROUGH SATURDAY. BT

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

92/99/99




000
FXUS65 KLKN 051004
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
204 AM PST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING DRY WEATHER WITH A WARMING
TREND THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY. SKIES ARE CLEAR ACROSS MUCH
OF THE WESTERN CONUS THIS MORNING AND TEMPERATURES ARE RUNNING
ROUGHLY ABOUT 5 DEGREES WARMER.

A QUIET WEATHER REGIME CAN BE EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
WEEK. A DEVELOPING RIDGE OUT OVER THE PACIFIC WILL ENSURE A FAIRLY
STRONG NNW FLOW ALOFT INTO THE GREAT BASIN THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON. THIS WILL DELAY THE WARMING SOMEWHAT OVER EASTERN
NEVADA HOWEVER AREAS FROM ABOUT CARLIN WESTWARD WILL SEE DAYTIME
TEMPERATURES RISE THROUGH THE 50S FRIDAY TO AROUND 60 DEGREES BY
SATURDAY AS THE RIDGE BECOMES MORE PRONOUNCED.

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY.

SPLENDID EARLY SPRING WEATHER FOR NEVADA SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY,
WITH ABOVE NORMAL AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES AND A GRADUAL WARMING
TREND. DRY HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING FOR FEW CLOUDS, LIGHT WINDS AND
ZERO CHANCE OF PRECIP. EXPECT LOWER 60S TO PREVAIL SUNDAY AND
MONDAY. ALL MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO INDICATE TUESDAY WILL BE
THE WARMEST DAY OF THE FORECAST, WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S
AND THE WARMEST VALLEYS REACHING 70 DEGREES. SW FLOW WILL INCREASE
TUESDAY, AND A SW BREEZE OF 10-20 MPH WILL HELP WITH MIXING AND
ENCOURAGE THE WARMER TEMPERATURES. THE RECORD HIGH AT ELKO FOR
TUESDAY MARCH 10TH IS 69 SET IN 1989, AND CURRENTLY FORECASTING 66.

NEVADA WEATHER WILL BECOME UNSETTLED BEGINNING WEDNESDAY, AND
CONTINUING THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY THE 13TH, BUT THE DETAILS ARE MURKY,
AS SHOULD BE EXPECTED THIS FAR OUT. BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY
WEDNESDAY, AS PACIFIC MOISTURE ARRIVES ON THE SW FLOW. 00Z ECMWF
SOLUTION IS MUCH SLOWER, DEEPER AND FURTHER SOUTH TRACKING THE NEXT
PACIFIC TROUGH TOWARD NEVADA LATE NEXT WEEK, AND WOULD RESULT IN
SCATTERED SHOWERS NEXT WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY, FOLLOWED BY
WIDESPREAD BENEFICIAL VALLEY RAIN/MOUNTAIN SNOW BY FRIDAY THE 13TH.
00Z OPERATIONAL GFS IS MUCH DIFFERENT, WITH A WEAK SHORTWAVE
SKIRTING ACROSS NORTHERN NEVADA WEDNESDAY FOR A FEW VALLEY RAIN
SHOWERS. GFS AND MOST OF ITS ENSEMBLE MEMBERS DO NOT HAVE THE STORM
DEPICTED BY 00Z ECMWF LATE NEXT WEEK, SO CONFIDENCE IS LOW. FOR NOW,
EDGED GRIDS TOWARD THE WETTER, DEEPER AND SLOWER ECMWF SOLUTION. BT

&&

.AVIATION...VFR/SKC AND LIGHT WINDS THROUGH SATURDAY. BT

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

92/99/99




000
FXUS65 KLKN 051004
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
204 AM PST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING DRY WEATHER WITH A WARMING
TREND THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY. SKIES ARE CLEAR ACROSS MUCH
OF THE WESTERN CONUS THIS MORNING AND TEMPERATURES ARE RUNNING
ROUGHLY ABOUT 5 DEGREES WARMER.

A QUIET WEATHER REGIME CAN BE EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
WEEK. A DEVELOPING RIDGE OUT OVER THE PACIFIC WILL ENSURE A FAIRLY
STRONG NNW FLOW ALOFT INTO THE GREAT BASIN THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON. THIS WILL DELAY THE WARMING SOMEWHAT OVER EASTERN
NEVADA HOWEVER AREAS FROM ABOUT CARLIN WESTWARD WILL SEE DAYTIME
TEMPERATURES RISE THROUGH THE 50S FRIDAY TO AROUND 60 DEGREES BY
SATURDAY AS THE RIDGE BECOMES MORE PRONOUNCED.

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY.

SPLENDID EARLY SPRING WEATHER FOR NEVADA SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY,
WITH ABOVE NORMAL AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES AND A GRADUAL WARMING
TREND. DRY HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING FOR FEW CLOUDS, LIGHT WINDS AND
ZERO CHANCE OF PRECIP. EXPECT LOWER 60S TO PREVAIL SUNDAY AND
MONDAY. ALL MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO INDICATE TUESDAY WILL BE
THE WARMEST DAY OF THE FORECAST, WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S
AND THE WARMEST VALLEYS REACHING 70 DEGREES. SW FLOW WILL INCREASE
TUESDAY, AND A SW BREEZE OF 10-20 MPH WILL HELP WITH MIXING AND
ENCOURAGE THE WARMER TEMPERATURES. THE RECORD HIGH AT ELKO FOR
TUESDAY MARCH 10TH IS 69 SET IN 1989, AND CURRENTLY FORECASTING 66.

NEVADA WEATHER WILL BECOME UNSETTLED BEGINNING WEDNESDAY, AND
CONTINUING THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY THE 13TH, BUT THE DETAILS ARE MURKY,
AS SHOULD BE EXPECTED THIS FAR OUT. BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY
WEDNESDAY, AS PACIFIC MOISTURE ARRIVES ON THE SW FLOW. 00Z ECMWF
SOLUTION IS MUCH SLOWER, DEEPER AND FURTHER SOUTH TRACKING THE NEXT
PACIFIC TROUGH TOWARD NEVADA LATE NEXT WEEK, AND WOULD RESULT IN
SCATTERED SHOWERS NEXT WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY, FOLLOWED BY
WIDESPREAD BENEFICIAL VALLEY RAIN/MOUNTAIN SNOW BY FRIDAY THE 13TH.
00Z OPERATIONAL GFS IS MUCH DIFFERENT, WITH A WEAK SHORTWAVE
SKIRTING ACROSS NORTHERN NEVADA WEDNESDAY FOR A FEW VALLEY RAIN
SHOWERS. GFS AND MOST OF ITS ENSEMBLE MEMBERS DO NOT HAVE THE STORM
DEPICTED BY 00Z ECMWF LATE NEXT WEEK, SO CONFIDENCE IS LOW. FOR NOW,
EDGED GRIDS TOWARD THE WETTER, DEEPER AND SLOWER ECMWF SOLUTION. BT

&&

.AVIATION...VFR/SKC AND LIGHT WINDS THROUGH SATURDAY. BT

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

92/99/99





000
FXUS65 KLKN 042146
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
146 PM PST WED MAR 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING DRY WEATHER WITH A WARMING
TREND THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
OVERNIGHT AND REMAINS ALONG THE WEST COAST THROUGH SATURDAY FOR
DRY CONDITIONS AND A WARMING TREND THROUGH THE PERIOD. DAYTIME
TEMPERATURES SHOULD REACH THE MID 50S TO MID 60S BY SATURDAY...
WHICH IS 10 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. HOWEVER...WITH GOOD
RADIATIONAL COOLING AT NIGHT...MIN TEMPERATURES MAY ACTUALLY BE A
FEW DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE WITH READINGS IN THE TEENS TO LOWER 20S.

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY.

BEAUTIFUL SPRING WEATHER DURING MOST OF THE LONG TERM WITH
TEMPERATURES WELL ABOVE NORMAL...INTO THE 60S. THE GREAT BASIN WILL
BE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH PRESSURE THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY. BY
TUESDAY THE MODELS SHOW SOME DIVERGENCE WITH A GENERAL SOUTHWESTERLY
FLOW OVER THE GREAT BASIN AND A TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE WESTERN
STATES. TUESDAY THE GFS AND GEFS BEGIN TO BRING MOISTURE INTO THE
WESTERN PART OF NEVADA WHILE THE EC AND CANADIAN MODELS SHOW A
DEEPER TROUGH OFF THE WEST COAST AND THE RIDGE HANGING ON FOR ONE
MORE DAY. WENT WITH A DRIER SOLUTION AS MOST MODELS KEEP TROUGH AT
BAY ON TUESDAY. BY WEDNESDAY LOOKS LIKE GOOD CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
FOR THE AREA AS THE TROUGH MOVES CLOSER TO THE AREA SO WENT WITH A
BLEND OF MODELS ON POPS AND SKY. LOOKS LIKE SNOW LEVELS WILL REMAIN
HIGH...WITH MAINLY VALLEY RAIN...HOWEVER STILL A LOT OF UNCERTAINTY
ON HOW THIS WILL EVOLVE SO STAY TUNED. RLC

&&

.AVIATION...VFR/SKC AND LIGHT WINDS THROUGH TOMORROW. RLC

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

87/90





000
FXUS65 KLKN 042146
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
146 PM PST WED MAR 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING DRY WEATHER WITH A WARMING
TREND THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
OVERNIGHT AND REMAINS ALONG THE WEST COAST THROUGH SATURDAY FOR
DRY CONDITIONS AND A WARMING TREND THROUGH THE PERIOD. DAYTIME
TEMPERATURES SHOULD REACH THE MID 50S TO MID 60S BY SATURDAY...
WHICH IS 10 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. HOWEVER...WITH GOOD
RADIATIONAL COOLING AT NIGHT...MIN TEMPERATURES MAY ACTUALLY BE A
FEW DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE WITH READINGS IN THE TEENS TO LOWER 20S.

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY.

BEAUTIFUL SPRING WEATHER DURING MOST OF THE LONG TERM WITH
TEMPERATURES WELL ABOVE NORMAL...INTO THE 60S. THE GREAT BASIN WILL
BE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH PRESSURE THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY. BY
TUESDAY THE MODELS SHOW SOME DIVERGENCE WITH A GENERAL SOUTHWESTERLY
FLOW OVER THE GREAT BASIN AND A TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE WESTERN
STATES. TUESDAY THE GFS AND GEFS BEGIN TO BRING MOISTURE INTO THE
WESTERN PART OF NEVADA WHILE THE EC AND CANADIAN MODELS SHOW A
DEEPER TROUGH OFF THE WEST COAST AND THE RIDGE HANGING ON FOR ONE
MORE DAY. WENT WITH A DRIER SOLUTION AS MOST MODELS KEEP TROUGH AT
BAY ON TUESDAY. BY WEDNESDAY LOOKS LIKE GOOD CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
FOR THE AREA AS THE TROUGH MOVES CLOSER TO THE AREA SO WENT WITH A
BLEND OF MODELS ON POPS AND SKY. LOOKS LIKE SNOW LEVELS WILL REMAIN
HIGH...WITH MAINLY VALLEY RAIN...HOWEVER STILL A LOT OF UNCERTAINTY
ON HOW THIS WILL EVOLVE SO STAY TUNED. RLC

&&

.AVIATION...VFR/SKC AND LIGHT WINDS THROUGH TOMORROW. RLC

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

87/90




000
FXUS65 KLKN 040955
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
155 AM PST WED MAR 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING DRY WEATHER WITH A WARMING
TREND THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY. SKIES ARE CLEAR ACROSS MUCH
OF THE WESTERN CONUS THIS MORNING. TEMPERATURES FELL INTO THE
TEENS WIDESPREAD BEFORE MIDNIGHT WITH SOME POCKETS OF SINGLE
DIGITS OCCURRING BEFORE MIDNIGHT AS WELL.

TEMP/DEWPOINT SPREAD IS FAIRLY LARGE AT THIS HOUR SO FOG ISSUES
ARE NOT ANTICIPATED THIS MORNING. A QUIET WEATHER REGIME CAN BE
EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WORK WEEK. THE UPPER LEVEL LOW
ASSOCIATED WITH THE EXITING TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE IS NOW OFF THE
COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA AND IS CREATING A FAIRLY STRONG DUE-
NORTHERLY FLOW OF AIR INTO THE GREAT BASIN. THIS FLOW WILL WEAKEN
LATE TODAY HOWEVER A NORTHERLY COMPONENT TO THE WINDS ALOFT WILL
PRESIDE OVER EASTERN NEVADA THROUGH FRIDAY. THUS WHILE A WARMING
TREND WILL BEGIN OVER THE WESTERN PART OF THE STATE...AREAS FROM
ABOUT CARLIN AND EASTWARD WILL REMAIN NOTICEABLY COOLER.

.LONG TERM...FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY.

FANTASTIC EARLY SPRING WEATHER ACROSS NEVADA THIS WEEKEND AND EARLY
NEXT WEEK. HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING AND DRY AIR WITH ZERO CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION. WARMED UP DAILY MAX TEMPS INTO THE LOWER 60S FOR MOST
VALLEYS, WITH 00Z ECMWF SUGGESTING TUESDAY WILL BE THE WARMEST DAY.
CURRENTLY FORECASTED HIGHS FOR TUESDAY ARE ABOUT 5 DEGREES SHORT OF
ESTABLISHED RECORDS. 00Z ECMWF, WITH SOME SUPPORT FROM 00Z GFS,
SUGGESTS THE NEXT PACIFIC TROUGH WITH RAIN/SNOW WILL ARRIVE DURING
THE THURSDAY MARCH 12TH TIME FRAME. THIS SYSTEM SHOWS POTENTIAL TO
PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT RAIN/SNOW ACROSS NEVADA, BUT STILL FALLS JUST
OUTSIDE THE 7-DAY FORECAST. BT

&&

.AVIATION...VFR/SKC AND LIGHT WINDS THROUGH 12Z THU. BT

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

92/99/99





000
FXUS65 KLKN 040955
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
155 AM PST WED MAR 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING DRY WEATHER WITH A WARMING
TREND THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY. SKIES ARE CLEAR ACROSS MUCH
OF THE WESTERN CONUS THIS MORNING. TEMPERATURES FELL INTO THE
TEENS WIDESPREAD BEFORE MIDNIGHT WITH SOME POCKETS OF SINGLE
DIGITS OCCURRING BEFORE MIDNIGHT AS WELL.

TEMP/DEWPOINT SPREAD IS FAIRLY LARGE AT THIS HOUR SO FOG ISSUES
ARE NOT ANTICIPATED THIS MORNING. A QUIET WEATHER REGIME CAN BE
EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WORK WEEK. THE UPPER LEVEL LOW
ASSOCIATED WITH THE EXITING TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE IS NOW OFF THE
COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA AND IS CREATING A FAIRLY STRONG DUE-
NORTHERLY FLOW OF AIR INTO THE GREAT BASIN. THIS FLOW WILL WEAKEN
LATE TODAY HOWEVER A NORTHERLY COMPONENT TO THE WINDS ALOFT WILL
PRESIDE OVER EASTERN NEVADA THROUGH FRIDAY. THUS WHILE A WARMING
TREND WILL BEGIN OVER THE WESTERN PART OF THE STATE...AREAS FROM
ABOUT CARLIN AND EASTWARD WILL REMAIN NOTICEABLY COOLER.

.LONG TERM...FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY.

FANTASTIC EARLY SPRING WEATHER ACROSS NEVADA THIS WEEKEND AND EARLY
NEXT WEEK. HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING AND DRY AIR WITH ZERO CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION. WARMED UP DAILY MAX TEMPS INTO THE LOWER 60S FOR MOST
VALLEYS, WITH 00Z ECMWF SUGGESTING TUESDAY WILL BE THE WARMEST DAY.
CURRENTLY FORECASTED HIGHS FOR TUESDAY ARE ABOUT 5 DEGREES SHORT OF
ESTABLISHED RECORDS. 00Z ECMWF, WITH SOME SUPPORT FROM 00Z GFS,
SUGGESTS THE NEXT PACIFIC TROUGH WITH RAIN/SNOW WILL ARRIVE DURING
THE THURSDAY MARCH 12TH TIME FRAME. THIS SYSTEM SHOWS POTENTIAL TO
PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT RAIN/SNOW ACROSS NEVADA, BUT STILL FALLS JUST
OUTSIDE THE 7-DAY FORECAST. BT

&&

.AVIATION...VFR/SKC AND LIGHT WINDS THROUGH 12Z THU. BT

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

92/99/99




000
FXUS65 KLKN 032255
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
255 PM PST TUE MAR 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...A DEPARTING STORM SYSTEM WILL LEAVE CHILLY AIR IN ITS
WAKE TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD ACROSS THE AREA OVER
THE NEXT FEW DAYS RESULTING IN DRY WEATHER WITH WARMING
TEMPERATURES.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. STORM SYSTEMS WHICH BROUGHT
SNOW TO THE REGION OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS ARE SHIFTING SOUTHEAST
AWAY FROM THE AREA AT PRESENT AND CLOUDS HAVE BROKEN FOR SOME SUN
IN MANY AREAS. WEAK RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA TONIGHT AND
WINDS SHOULD LIGHTEN UP...SO EXPECT GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING
ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WHICH RETAIN SOME SNOW COVER. RIDGE WILL
REMAIN OVER THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY WITH SLIGHTLY MILDER AIR MOVING
IN ALOFT SO AFTERNOON TEMPS SHOULD WARM INTO THE 40S IN MANY
VALLEYS UNDER MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES. A VERY WEAK SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE AREA FROM THE NORTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT BUT THE ONLY
EFFECT MIGHT BE TO KEEP LOWS SLIGHTLY HIGHER FROM A FEW CLOUDS AND
LESS DECOUPLING. STRONGER RIDGE BUILDS EASTWARD FROM THE WEST
COAST THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY WITH CONTINUED WARMING TEMPS ALOFT
AND CLEAR SKIES...RESULTING IN SUNSHINE AND WARMER TEMPS ON THE
GROUND BOTH DURING THE DAY AND AT NIGHT. ALL-IN-ALL...VERY LITTLE
TO BE CONCERNED ABOUT WEATHER-WISE. RCM

.LONG TERM...FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY. THE MODELS ARE
CONVERGING ON THE CONCEPT OF THE RIDGE INFLUENCING WESTERN U.S..
EXPECT THE 576 DAM TO BE EAST OF WINNEMUCCA BY 00Z SATURDAY AND
THE CENTER OF THE DOME OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER NORTHERN CA. SENSIBLE
WEATHER-WISE...EXPECTING ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS AND MORE DRY
CONDITIONS. NEXT CHANCE FOR F72-F168...AND DAYTIME TEMPS WILL WARM
INTO THE 50S AND 60S.

&&

.AVIATION...IN THE WAKE OF THE RECENT FRONTAL PASSAGE...LOW LEVEL
CLOUDS WILL LINGER ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA.
GENERALLY EXPECTING VFR CIGS...AND OBSCURED MT TOPS.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

93/97/97





000
FXUS65 KLKN 032255
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
255 PM PST TUE MAR 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...A DEPARTING STORM SYSTEM WILL LEAVE CHILLY AIR IN ITS
WAKE TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD ACROSS THE AREA OVER
THE NEXT FEW DAYS RESULTING IN DRY WEATHER WITH WARMING
TEMPERATURES.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. STORM SYSTEMS WHICH BROUGHT
SNOW TO THE REGION OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS ARE SHIFTING SOUTHEAST
AWAY FROM THE AREA AT PRESENT AND CLOUDS HAVE BROKEN FOR SOME SUN
IN MANY AREAS. WEAK RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA TONIGHT AND
WINDS SHOULD LIGHTEN UP...SO EXPECT GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING
ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WHICH RETAIN SOME SNOW COVER. RIDGE WILL
REMAIN OVER THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY WITH SLIGHTLY MILDER AIR MOVING
IN ALOFT SO AFTERNOON TEMPS SHOULD WARM INTO THE 40S IN MANY
VALLEYS UNDER MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES. A VERY WEAK SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE AREA FROM THE NORTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT BUT THE ONLY
EFFECT MIGHT BE TO KEEP LOWS SLIGHTLY HIGHER FROM A FEW CLOUDS AND
LESS DECOUPLING. STRONGER RIDGE BUILDS EASTWARD FROM THE WEST
COAST THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY WITH CONTINUED WARMING TEMPS ALOFT
AND CLEAR SKIES...RESULTING IN SUNSHINE AND WARMER TEMPS ON THE
GROUND BOTH DURING THE DAY AND AT NIGHT. ALL-IN-ALL...VERY LITTLE
TO BE CONCERNED ABOUT WEATHER-WISE. RCM

.LONG TERM...FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY. THE MODELS ARE
CONVERGING ON THE CONCEPT OF THE RIDGE INFLUENCING WESTERN U.S..
EXPECT THE 576 DAM TO BE EAST OF WINNEMUCCA BY 00Z SATURDAY AND
THE CENTER OF THE DOME OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER NORTHERN CA. SENSIBLE
WEATHER-WISE...EXPECTING ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS AND MORE DRY
CONDITIONS. NEXT CHANCE FOR F72-F168...AND DAYTIME TEMPS WILL WARM
INTO THE 50S AND 60S.

&&

.AVIATION...IN THE WAKE OF THE RECENT FRONTAL PASSAGE...LOW LEVEL
CLOUDS WILL LINGER ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA.
GENERALLY EXPECTING VFR CIGS...AND OBSCURED MT TOPS.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

93/97/97




000
FXUS65 KLKN 032255
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
255 PM PST TUE MAR 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...A DEPARTING STORM SYSTEM WILL LEAVE CHILLY AIR IN ITS
WAKE TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD ACROSS THE AREA OVER
THE NEXT FEW DAYS RESULTING IN DRY WEATHER WITH WARMING
TEMPERATURES.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. STORM SYSTEMS WHICH BROUGHT
SNOW TO THE REGION OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS ARE SHIFTING SOUTHEAST
AWAY FROM THE AREA AT PRESENT AND CLOUDS HAVE BROKEN FOR SOME SUN
IN MANY AREAS. WEAK RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA TONIGHT AND
WINDS SHOULD LIGHTEN UP...SO EXPECT GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING
ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WHICH RETAIN SOME SNOW COVER. RIDGE WILL
REMAIN OVER THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY WITH SLIGHTLY MILDER AIR MOVING
IN ALOFT SO AFTERNOON TEMPS SHOULD WARM INTO THE 40S IN MANY
VALLEYS UNDER MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES. A VERY WEAK SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE AREA FROM THE NORTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT BUT THE ONLY
EFFECT MIGHT BE TO KEEP LOWS SLIGHTLY HIGHER FROM A FEW CLOUDS AND
LESS DECOUPLING. STRONGER RIDGE BUILDS EASTWARD FROM THE WEST
COAST THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY WITH CONTINUED WARMING TEMPS ALOFT
AND CLEAR SKIES...RESULTING IN SUNSHINE AND WARMER TEMPS ON THE
GROUND BOTH DURING THE DAY AND AT NIGHT. ALL-IN-ALL...VERY LITTLE
TO BE CONCERNED ABOUT WEATHER-WISE. RCM

.LONG TERM...FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY. THE MODELS ARE
CONVERGING ON THE CONCEPT OF THE RIDGE INFLUENCING WESTERN U.S..
EXPECT THE 576 DAM TO BE EAST OF WINNEMUCCA BY 00Z SATURDAY AND
THE CENTER OF THE DOME OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER NORTHERN CA. SENSIBLE
WEATHER-WISE...EXPECTING ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS AND MORE DRY
CONDITIONS. NEXT CHANCE FOR F72-F168...AND DAYTIME TEMPS WILL WARM
INTO THE 50S AND 60S.

&&

.AVIATION...IN THE WAKE OF THE RECENT FRONTAL PASSAGE...LOW LEVEL
CLOUDS WILL LINGER ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA.
GENERALLY EXPECTING VFR CIGS...AND OBSCURED MT TOPS.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

93/97/97




000
FXUS65 KLKN 031020
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
220 AM PST TUE MAR 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL SPREAD SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS
NORTHERN NEVADA EARLY THIS MORNING...THEN PASS OVER EAST-CENTRAL
NEVADA DURING THE MID TO LATE MORNING HOURS. COLD AND DRY TONIGHT
INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING...WITH WARMER AND CONTINUED DRY CONDITIONS
FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT IS MOVING
NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST ACROSS NEVADA TONIGHT. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS
IN VALLEY AREAS ARE EXPECTED TO GENERALLY BE IN THE TRACE TO HALF
INCH RANGE...WHILE MOUNTAINS CAN EXPECT BETWEEN ONE HALF AND TWO
INCHES. MOST SNOW SHOWERS SHOULD END AT WINNEMUCCA BY 4AM...ELKO
BY 7AM...AND ELY BY AROUND NOON...THOUGH LIGHT FLURRIES COULD LAST
A LITTLE LONGER AT EACH LOCATION. MAY HAVE SOME PATCHES OF ICE ON
ROADWAYS EARLY THIS MORNING AS OVERNIGHT SNOWFALL MELTS AND
REFREEZES BEFORE SUNRISE. LAST OF THE SHOWERS FROM THE PASSING
FRONT WILL BE OVER SOUTHERN WHITE PINE COUNTY...INCLUDING GREAT
BASIN PARK...WHICH CAN EXPECT SNOW SHOWERS FROM AROUND 9AM THROUGH
THE EARLY AFTERNOON.

IN THE WAKE OF THE PASSING TROUGH/FRONTAL BOUNDARY...NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL NEVADA WILL BE LEFT IN A COLD AND DRY NORTHERLY FLOW ALOFT
WHICH WILL RESULT IN LOW TEMPERATURES EARLY WEDNESDAY FALLING INTO
THE SINGLE DIGITS IN MANY VALLEY LOCATIONS. TEMPERATURES WARM BY
5-7 DEGREES BOTH WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO
BUILD IN FROM THE WEST.

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT MONDAY. THE MODELS ARE IN
GOOD AGREEMENT SHOWING A STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE SPREADING
ACROSS THE WEST. WITH SOME MINOR DISCREPANCY...THE CENTER OF THE
SYNOPTIC RIDGE WILL LINGER NEAR THE CALIFORNIA COAST DURING THE
ENTIRE LONG TERM FORECAST PERIOD PROVIDING WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS
TO THE LKN CWFA. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY AS
DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE 50S.

&&

.AVIATION...A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO BRING SNOW
SHOWERS TO THE STATE THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. VFR CONDITIONS WILL
PREVAIL AT KWMC AND KTPH THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. HOWEVER PERIODS
OF MVFR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED AT KEKO AND KELY THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH IMPROVING CONDITIONS OCCURRING THIS EVENING.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

96/92/92





000
FXUS65 KLKN 031020
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
220 AM PST TUE MAR 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL SPREAD SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS
NORTHERN NEVADA EARLY THIS MORNING...THEN PASS OVER EAST-CENTRAL
NEVADA DURING THE MID TO LATE MORNING HOURS. COLD AND DRY TONIGHT
INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING...WITH WARMER AND CONTINUED DRY CONDITIONS
FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT IS MOVING
NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST ACROSS NEVADA TONIGHT. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS
IN VALLEY AREAS ARE EXPECTED TO GENERALLY BE IN THE TRACE TO HALF
INCH RANGE...WHILE MOUNTAINS CAN EXPECT BETWEEN ONE HALF AND TWO
INCHES. MOST SNOW SHOWERS SHOULD END AT WINNEMUCCA BY 4AM...ELKO
BY 7AM...AND ELY BY AROUND NOON...THOUGH LIGHT FLURRIES COULD LAST
A LITTLE LONGER AT EACH LOCATION. MAY HAVE SOME PATCHES OF ICE ON
ROADWAYS EARLY THIS MORNING AS OVERNIGHT SNOWFALL MELTS AND
REFREEZES BEFORE SUNRISE. LAST OF THE SHOWERS FROM THE PASSING
FRONT WILL BE OVER SOUTHERN WHITE PINE COUNTY...INCLUDING GREAT
BASIN PARK...WHICH CAN EXPECT SNOW SHOWERS FROM AROUND 9AM THROUGH
THE EARLY AFTERNOON.

IN THE WAKE OF THE PASSING TROUGH/FRONTAL BOUNDARY...NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL NEVADA WILL BE LEFT IN A COLD AND DRY NORTHERLY FLOW ALOFT
WHICH WILL RESULT IN LOW TEMPERATURES EARLY WEDNESDAY FALLING INTO
THE SINGLE DIGITS IN MANY VALLEY LOCATIONS. TEMPERATURES WARM BY
5-7 DEGREES BOTH WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO
BUILD IN FROM THE WEST.

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT MONDAY. THE MODELS ARE IN
GOOD AGREEMENT SHOWING A STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE SPREADING
ACROSS THE WEST. WITH SOME MINOR DISCREPANCY...THE CENTER OF THE
SYNOPTIC RIDGE WILL LINGER NEAR THE CALIFORNIA COAST DURING THE
ENTIRE LONG TERM FORECAST PERIOD PROVIDING WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS
TO THE LKN CWFA. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY AS
DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE 50S.

&&

.AVIATION...A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO BRING SNOW
SHOWERS TO THE STATE THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. VFR CONDITIONS WILL
PREVAIL AT KWMC AND KTPH THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. HOWEVER PERIODS
OF MVFR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED AT KEKO AND KELY THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH IMPROVING CONDITIONS OCCURRING THIS EVENING.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

96/92/92




000
FXUS65 KLKN 031020
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
220 AM PST TUE MAR 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL SPREAD SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS
NORTHERN NEVADA EARLY THIS MORNING...THEN PASS OVER EAST-CENTRAL
NEVADA DURING THE MID TO LATE MORNING HOURS. COLD AND DRY TONIGHT
INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING...WITH WARMER AND CONTINUED DRY CONDITIONS
FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT IS MOVING
NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST ACROSS NEVADA TONIGHT. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS
IN VALLEY AREAS ARE EXPECTED TO GENERALLY BE IN THE TRACE TO HALF
INCH RANGE...WHILE MOUNTAINS CAN EXPECT BETWEEN ONE HALF AND TWO
INCHES. MOST SNOW SHOWERS SHOULD END AT WINNEMUCCA BY 4AM...ELKO
BY 7AM...AND ELY BY AROUND NOON...THOUGH LIGHT FLURRIES COULD LAST
A LITTLE LONGER AT EACH LOCATION. MAY HAVE SOME PATCHES OF ICE ON
ROADWAYS EARLY THIS MORNING AS OVERNIGHT SNOWFALL MELTS AND
REFREEZES BEFORE SUNRISE. LAST OF THE SHOWERS FROM THE PASSING
FRONT WILL BE OVER SOUTHERN WHITE PINE COUNTY...INCLUDING GREAT
BASIN PARK...WHICH CAN EXPECT SNOW SHOWERS FROM AROUND 9AM THROUGH
THE EARLY AFTERNOON.

IN THE WAKE OF THE PASSING TROUGH/FRONTAL BOUNDARY...NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL NEVADA WILL BE LEFT IN A COLD AND DRY NORTHERLY FLOW ALOFT
WHICH WILL RESULT IN LOW TEMPERATURES EARLY WEDNESDAY FALLING INTO
THE SINGLE DIGITS IN MANY VALLEY LOCATIONS. TEMPERATURES WARM BY
5-7 DEGREES BOTH WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO
BUILD IN FROM THE WEST.

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT MONDAY. THE MODELS ARE IN
GOOD AGREEMENT SHOWING A STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE SPREADING
ACROSS THE WEST. WITH SOME MINOR DISCREPANCY...THE CENTER OF THE
SYNOPTIC RIDGE WILL LINGER NEAR THE CALIFORNIA COAST DURING THE
ENTIRE LONG TERM FORECAST PERIOD PROVIDING WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS
TO THE LKN CWFA. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY AS
DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE 50S.

&&

.AVIATION...A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO BRING SNOW
SHOWERS TO THE STATE THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. VFR CONDITIONS WILL
PREVAIL AT KWMC AND KTPH THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. HOWEVER PERIODS
OF MVFR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED AT KEKO AND KELY THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH IMPROVING CONDITIONS OCCURRING THIS EVENING.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

96/92/92





000
FXUS65 KLKN 030540
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
940 PM PST MON MAR 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL BRING MORE SNOW SHOWERS TO
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA LATER TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY. COLD AND
DRY TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING...WITH A WARMING AND
CONTINUED DRY PATTERN THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.UPDATE...TOOK DOWN THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW ACROSS
EAST-CENTRAL NEVADA AN HOUR EARLY AS SHOWERS ENDED. ADJUSTED MOST
WEATHER FORECAST ELEMENTS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THIS EVENING
THROUGH 4AM...ADDRESSING THE EXITING SYSTEM TO THE SE...AS WELL
AS THE NEXT SYSTEM APPROACHING FROM THE NORTHWEST. RELATIVELY
MINOR CHANGES.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED AT 322 PM /

SYNOPSIS...SNOW FROM A DEPARTING STORM SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY END
IN EAST-CENTRAL NEVADA THIS EVENING...BUT ANOTHER WEAK DISTURBANCE
WILL BRING MORE SNOW SHOWERS TO NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA LATER
TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING.

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. STORM SYSTEM WHICH HAS
BEEN BRINGING SNOW TO EAST-CENTRAL NEVADA WILL MOVE EAST THIS
EVENING WITH DIMINISHING SNOW SHOWERS. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY
LOOKED GOOD AND LEFT IT IN PLACE AS IS WITH NO SIGNIFICANT
CHANGES. HOWEVER...IT NOW APPEARS A SIGNIFICANT SECONDARY TROUGH
WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE CWA STARTING THIS EVENING...WITH
THE BULK OF ASSOCIATED SNOW SHOWERS AFFECTING THE CWA OVERNIGHT
TONIGHT. AMOUNTS LOOK RELATIVELY LIGHT BUT CERTAINLY SOME PLACES
COULD RECEIVE A QUICK 1-2 INCHES TONIGHT AS THIS LITTLE SHORTWAVE
ACTS ON A COLD BUT RELATIVELY MOIST AIR MASS. DEBATED ANOTHER
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY BUT DECIDED TO GO THE SPECIAL WEATHER
STATEMENT ROUTE FOR NOW GIVEN THAT THERE IS UNCERTAINTY ABOUT JUST
HOW AND WHEN IT AFFECTS TRAVEL ROUTES FOR RUSH HOUR. IT MIGHT BE
AN OPTION FOR THE OVERNIGHT CREW HOWEVER. IN GENERAL...SNOW
SHOWERS SHOULD BE DIMINISHING BY RUSH HOUR BUT THE DAMAGE MAY BE
DONE BY THEN...SO TRAVELERS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS
ESPECIALLY LATER TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING.

THIS SECONDARY TROUGH IS GONE BY LATER TUESDAY AND CLOUDS SHOULD
BREAK FOR SUNSHINE IN MUCH OF THE AREA. HIGHS WILL BE CHILLY
HOWEVER WITH MANY PLACES NOW EXPECTED TO FAIL TO REACH 40.

A WEAK RIDGE WILL MOVE OVERHEAD ON TUESDAY NIGHT AND COMBINED WITH
SNOW ON THE GROUND IN SOME PLACES ESPECIALLY IN EAST-CENTRAL
NEVADA...WE WILL BE LOOKING AT SOME VERY CHILLY TEMPS BY EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING. ANOTHER WEAK SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS ON
WEDNESDAY BUT WITH LITTLE MOISTURE IT SHOULD HAVE LITTLE IF ANY
AFFECT ON THE WEATHER. RIDGE STRENGTHENS OVER THE WEST COAST BY
THURSDAY SO TEMPS SHOULD START TO WARM UP SIGNIFICANTLY...WITH 50S
EXPECTED IN MANY VALLEYS BY THEN. RCM

LONG TERM...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT MONDAY. MODELS IN GOOD
AGREEMENT IN THAT A STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER
THE CWA THROUGH THE PERIOD FOR DRY WEATHER. MODELS DO DIFFER ON
THE LOCATION OF THE HIGH. THE EC IS MUCH COLDER WITH TEMPERATURES
THAN THE GFS AS IT BRINGS A SHORTWAVE ACROSS NE NV FRIDAY NIGHT
THROUGH SATURDAY AND PLACE THE HIGH OFF THE WEST COAST...WHILE THE
GFS AND DGEX HAS THE HIGH OVER THE CWA FOR TEMPS TO AROUND 10
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL BY FRIDAY. HAVE LEAN CLOSER TOWARD THE GFS
SOLUTION KEEPING TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD.

AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT THE KWMC AND KTPH
TERMINALS THROUGH TUESDAY. SNOW SHOWERS WILL LINGER THIS EVENING
AT KEKO AND KELY. SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP AGAIN OVER KEKO AT
ABOUT 10Z AND THEN MOVING INTO KELY AROUND 15Z TUESDAY...THEREFORE
EXPECT BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR CONDITIONS DURING THESE TIMES.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

96/96




000
FXUS65 KLKN 030540
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
940 PM PST MON MAR 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL BRING MORE SNOW SHOWERS TO
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA LATER TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY. COLD AND
DRY TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING...WITH A WARMING AND
CONTINUED DRY PATTERN THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.UPDATE...TOOK DOWN THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW ACROSS
EAST-CENTRAL NEVADA AN HOUR EARLY AS SHOWERS ENDED. ADJUSTED MOST
WEATHER FORECAST ELEMENTS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THIS EVENING
THROUGH 4AM...ADDRESSING THE EXITING SYSTEM TO THE SE...AS WELL
AS THE NEXT SYSTEM APPROACHING FROM THE NORTHWEST. RELATIVELY
MINOR CHANGES.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED AT 322 PM /

SYNOPSIS...SNOW FROM A DEPARTING STORM SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY END
IN EAST-CENTRAL NEVADA THIS EVENING...BUT ANOTHER WEAK DISTURBANCE
WILL BRING MORE SNOW SHOWERS TO NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA LATER
TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING.

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. STORM SYSTEM WHICH HAS
BEEN BRINGING SNOW TO EAST-CENTRAL NEVADA WILL MOVE EAST THIS
EVENING WITH DIMINISHING SNOW SHOWERS. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY
LOOKED GOOD AND LEFT IT IN PLACE AS IS WITH NO SIGNIFICANT
CHANGES. HOWEVER...IT NOW APPEARS A SIGNIFICANT SECONDARY TROUGH
WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE CWA STARTING THIS EVENING...WITH
THE BULK OF ASSOCIATED SNOW SHOWERS AFFECTING THE CWA OVERNIGHT
TONIGHT. AMOUNTS LOOK RELATIVELY LIGHT BUT CERTAINLY SOME PLACES
COULD RECEIVE A QUICK 1-2 INCHES TONIGHT AS THIS LITTLE SHORTWAVE
ACTS ON A COLD BUT RELATIVELY MOIST AIR MASS. DEBATED ANOTHER
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY BUT DECIDED TO GO THE SPECIAL WEATHER
STATEMENT ROUTE FOR NOW GIVEN THAT THERE IS UNCERTAINTY ABOUT JUST
HOW AND WHEN IT AFFECTS TRAVEL ROUTES FOR RUSH HOUR. IT MIGHT BE
AN OPTION FOR THE OVERNIGHT CREW HOWEVER. IN GENERAL...SNOW
SHOWERS SHOULD BE DIMINISHING BY RUSH HOUR BUT THE DAMAGE MAY BE
DONE BY THEN...SO TRAVELERS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS
ESPECIALLY LATER TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING.

THIS SECONDARY TROUGH IS GONE BY LATER TUESDAY AND CLOUDS SHOULD
BREAK FOR SUNSHINE IN MUCH OF THE AREA. HIGHS WILL BE CHILLY
HOWEVER WITH MANY PLACES NOW EXPECTED TO FAIL TO REACH 40.

A WEAK RIDGE WILL MOVE OVERHEAD ON TUESDAY NIGHT AND COMBINED WITH
SNOW ON THE GROUND IN SOME PLACES ESPECIALLY IN EAST-CENTRAL
NEVADA...WE WILL BE LOOKING AT SOME VERY CHILLY TEMPS BY EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING. ANOTHER WEAK SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS ON
WEDNESDAY BUT WITH LITTLE MOISTURE IT SHOULD HAVE LITTLE IF ANY
AFFECT ON THE WEATHER. RIDGE STRENGTHENS OVER THE WEST COAST BY
THURSDAY SO TEMPS SHOULD START TO WARM UP SIGNIFICANTLY...WITH 50S
EXPECTED IN MANY VALLEYS BY THEN. RCM

LONG TERM...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT MONDAY. MODELS IN GOOD
AGREEMENT IN THAT A STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER
THE CWA THROUGH THE PERIOD FOR DRY WEATHER. MODELS DO DIFFER ON
THE LOCATION OF THE HIGH. THE EC IS MUCH COLDER WITH TEMPERATURES
THAN THE GFS AS IT BRINGS A SHORTWAVE ACROSS NE NV FRIDAY NIGHT
THROUGH SATURDAY AND PLACE THE HIGH OFF THE WEST COAST...WHILE THE
GFS AND DGEX HAS THE HIGH OVER THE CWA FOR TEMPS TO AROUND 10
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL BY FRIDAY. HAVE LEAN CLOSER TOWARD THE GFS
SOLUTION KEEPING TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD.

AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT THE KWMC AND KTPH
TERMINALS THROUGH TUESDAY. SNOW SHOWERS WILL LINGER THIS EVENING
AT KEKO AND KELY. SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP AGAIN OVER KEKO AT
ABOUT 10Z AND THEN MOVING INTO KELY AROUND 15Z TUESDAY...THEREFORE
EXPECT BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR CONDITIONS DURING THESE TIMES.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

96/96





000
FXUS65 KLKN 030540
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
940 PM PST MON MAR 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL BRING MORE SNOW SHOWERS TO
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA LATER TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY. COLD AND
DRY TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING...WITH A WARMING AND
CONTINUED DRY PATTERN THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.UPDATE...TOOK DOWN THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW ACROSS
EAST-CENTRAL NEVADA AN HOUR EARLY AS SHOWERS ENDED. ADJUSTED MOST
WEATHER FORECAST ELEMENTS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THIS EVENING
THROUGH 4AM...ADDRESSING THE EXITING SYSTEM TO THE SE...AS WELL
AS THE NEXT SYSTEM APPROACHING FROM THE NORTHWEST. RELATIVELY
MINOR CHANGES.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED AT 322 PM /

SYNOPSIS...SNOW FROM A DEPARTING STORM SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY END
IN EAST-CENTRAL NEVADA THIS EVENING...BUT ANOTHER WEAK DISTURBANCE
WILL BRING MORE SNOW SHOWERS TO NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA LATER
TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING.

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. STORM SYSTEM WHICH HAS
BEEN BRINGING SNOW TO EAST-CENTRAL NEVADA WILL MOVE EAST THIS
EVENING WITH DIMINISHING SNOW SHOWERS. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY
LOOKED GOOD AND LEFT IT IN PLACE AS IS WITH NO SIGNIFICANT
CHANGES. HOWEVER...IT NOW APPEARS A SIGNIFICANT SECONDARY TROUGH
WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE CWA STARTING THIS EVENING...WITH
THE BULK OF ASSOCIATED SNOW SHOWERS AFFECTING THE CWA OVERNIGHT
TONIGHT. AMOUNTS LOOK RELATIVELY LIGHT BUT CERTAINLY SOME PLACES
COULD RECEIVE A QUICK 1-2 INCHES TONIGHT AS THIS LITTLE SHORTWAVE
ACTS ON A COLD BUT RELATIVELY MOIST AIR MASS. DEBATED ANOTHER
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY BUT DECIDED TO GO THE SPECIAL WEATHER
STATEMENT ROUTE FOR NOW GIVEN THAT THERE IS UNCERTAINTY ABOUT JUST
HOW AND WHEN IT AFFECTS TRAVEL ROUTES FOR RUSH HOUR. IT MIGHT BE
AN OPTION FOR THE OVERNIGHT CREW HOWEVER. IN GENERAL...SNOW
SHOWERS SHOULD BE DIMINISHING BY RUSH HOUR BUT THE DAMAGE MAY BE
DONE BY THEN...SO TRAVELERS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS
ESPECIALLY LATER TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING.

THIS SECONDARY TROUGH IS GONE BY LATER TUESDAY AND CLOUDS SHOULD
BREAK FOR SUNSHINE IN MUCH OF THE AREA. HIGHS WILL BE CHILLY
HOWEVER WITH MANY PLACES NOW EXPECTED TO FAIL TO REACH 40.

A WEAK RIDGE WILL MOVE OVERHEAD ON TUESDAY NIGHT AND COMBINED WITH
SNOW ON THE GROUND IN SOME PLACES ESPECIALLY IN EAST-CENTRAL
NEVADA...WE WILL BE LOOKING AT SOME VERY CHILLY TEMPS BY EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING. ANOTHER WEAK SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS ON
WEDNESDAY BUT WITH LITTLE MOISTURE IT SHOULD HAVE LITTLE IF ANY
AFFECT ON THE WEATHER. RIDGE STRENGTHENS OVER THE WEST COAST BY
THURSDAY SO TEMPS SHOULD START TO WARM UP SIGNIFICANTLY...WITH 50S
EXPECTED IN MANY VALLEYS BY THEN. RCM

LONG TERM...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT MONDAY. MODELS IN GOOD
AGREEMENT IN THAT A STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER
THE CWA THROUGH THE PERIOD FOR DRY WEATHER. MODELS DO DIFFER ON
THE LOCATION OF THE HIGH. THE EC IS MUCH COLDER WITH TEMPERATURES
THAN THE GFS AS IT BRINGS A SHORTWAVE ACROSS NE NV FRIDAY NIGHT
THROUGH SATURDAY AND PLACE THE HIGH OFF THE WEST COAST...WHILE THE
GFS AND DGEX HAS THE HIGH OVER THE CWA FOR TEMPS TO AROUND 10
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL BY FRIDAY. HAVE LEAN CLOSER TOWARD THE GFS
SOLUTION KEEPING TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD.

AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT THE KWMC AND KTPH
TERMINALS THROUGH TUESDAY. SNOW SHOWERS WILL LINGER THIS EVENING
AT KEKO AND KELY. SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP AGAIN OVER KEKO AT
ABOUT 10Z AND THEN MOVING INTO KELY AROUND 15Z TUESDAY...THEREFORE
EXPECT BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR CONDITIONS DURING THESE TIMES.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

96/96




000
FXUS65 KLKN 030540
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
940 PM PST MON MAR 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL BRING MORE SNOW SHOWERS TO
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA LATER TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY. COLD AND
DRY TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING...WITH A WARMING AND
CONTINUED DRY PATTERN THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.UPDATE...TOOK DOWN THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW ACROSS
EAST-CENTRAL NEVADA AN HOUR EARLY AS SHOWERS ENDED. ADJUSTED MOST
WEATHER FORECAST ELEMENTS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THIS EVENING
THROUGH 4AM...ADDRESSING THE EXITING SYSTEM TO THE SE...AS WELL
AS THE NEXT SYSTEM APPROACHING FROM THE NORTHWEST. RELATIVELY
MINOR CHANGES.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED AT 322 PM /

SYNOPSIS...SNOW FROM A DEPARTING STORM SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY END
IN EAST-CENTRAL NEVADA THIS EVENING...BUT ANOTHER WEAK DISTURBANCE
WILL BRING MORE SNOW SHOWERS TO NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA LATER
TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING.

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. STORM SYSTEM WHICH HAS
BEEN BRINGING SNOW TO EAST-CENTRAL NEVADA WILL MOVE EAST THIS
EVENING WITH DIMINISHING SNOW SHOWERS. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY
LOOKED GOOD AND LEFT IT IN PLACE AS IS WITH NO SIGNIFICANT
CHANGES. HOWEVER...IT NOW APPEARS A SIGNIFICANT SECONDARY TROUGH
WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE CWA STARTING THIS EVENING...WITH
THE BULK OF ASSOCIATED SNOW SHOWERS AFFECTING THE CWA OVERNIGHT
TONIGHT. AMOUNTS LOOK RELATIVELY LIGHT BUT CERTAINLY SOME PLACES
COULD RECEIVE A QUICK 1-2 INCHES TONIGHT AS THIS LITTLE SHORTWAVE
ACTS ON A COLD BUT RELATIVELY MOIST AIR MASS. DEBATED ANOTHER
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY BUT DECIDED TO GO THE SPECIAL WEATHER
STATEMENT ROUTE FOR NOW GIVEN THAT THERE IS UNCERTAINTY ABOUT JUST
HOW AND WHEN IT AFFECTS TRAVEL ROUTES FOR RUSH HOUR. IT MIGHT BE
AN OPTION FOR THE OVERNIGHT CREW HOWEVER. IN GENERAL...SNOW
SHOWERS SHOULD BE DIMINISHING BY RUSH HOUR BUT THE DAMAGE MAY BE
DONE BY THEN...SO TRAVELERS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS
ESPECIALLY LATER TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING.

THIS SECONDARY TROUGH IS GONE BY LATER TUESDAY AND CLOUDS SHOULD
BREAK FOR SUNSHINE IN MUCH OF THE AREA. HIGHS WILL BE CHILLY
HOWEVER WITH MANY PLACES NOW EXPECTED TO FAIL TO REACH 40.

A WEAK RIDGE WILL MOVE OVERHEAD ON TUESDAY NIGHT AND COMBINED WITH
SNOW ON THE GROUND IN SOME PLACES ESPECIALLY IN EAST-CENTRAL
NEVADA...WE WILL BE LOOKING AT SOME VERY CHILLY TEMPS BY EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING. ANOTHER WEAK SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS ON
WEDNESDAY BUT WITH LITTLE MOISTURE IT SHOULD HAVE LITTLE IF ANY
AFFECT ON THE WEATHER. RIDGE STRENGTHENS OVER THE WEST COAST BY
THURSDAY SO TEMPS SHOULD START TO WARM UP SIGNIFICANTLY...WITH 50S
EXPECTED IN MANY VALLEYS BY THEN. RCM

LONG TERM...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT MONDAY. MODELS IN GOOD
AGREEMENT IN THAT A STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER
THE CWA THROUGH THE PERIOD FOR DRY WEATHER. MODELS DO DIFFER ON
THE LOCATION OF THE HIGH. THE EC IS MUCH COLDER WITH TEMPERATURES
THAN THE GFS AS IT BRINGS A SHORTWAVE ACROSS NE NV FRIDAY NIGHT
THROUGH SATURDAY AND PLACE THE HIGH OFF THE WEST COAST...WHILE THE
GFS AND DGEX HAS THE HIGH OVER THE CWA FOR TEMPS TO AROUND 10
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL BY FRIDAY. HAVE LEAN CLOSER TOWARD THE GFS
SOLUTION KEEPING TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD.

AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT THE KWMC AND KTPH
TERMINALS THROUGH TUESDAY. SNOW SHOWERS WILL LINGER THIS EVENING
AT KEKO AND KELY. SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP AGAIN OVER KEKO AT
ABOUT 10Z AND THEN MOVING INTO KELY AROUND 15Z TUESDAY...THEREFORE
EXPECT BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR CONDITIONS DURING THESE TIMES.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

96/96





000
FXUS65 KLKN 022322
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
322 PM PST MON MAR 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...SNOW FROM A DEPARTING STORM SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY END
IN EAST-CENTRAL NEVADA THIS EVENING...BUT ANOTHER WEAK DISTURBANCE
WILL BRING MORE SNOW SHOWERS TO NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA LATER
TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. STORM SYSTEM WHICH HAS
BEEN BRINGING SNOW TO EAST-CENTRAL NEVADA WILL MOVE EAST THIS
EVENING WITH DIMINISHING SNOW SHOWERS. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY
LOOKED GOOD AND LEFT IT IN PLACE AS IS WITH NO SIGNIFICANT
CHANGES. HOWEVER...IT NOW APPEARS A SIGNIFICANT SECONDARY TROUGH
WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE CWA STARTING THIS EVENING...WITH
THE BULK OF ASSOCIATED SNOW SHOWERS AFFECTING THE CWA OVERNIGHT
TONIGHT. AMOUNTS LOOK RELATIVELY LIGHT BUT CERTAINLY SOME PLACES
COULD RECEIVE A QUICK 1-2 INCHES TONIGHT AS THIS LITTLE SHORTWAVE
ACTS ON A COLD BUT RELATIVELY MOIST AIR MASS. DEBATED ANOTHER
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY BUT DECIDED TO GO THE SPECIAL WEATHER
STATEMENT ROUTE FOR NOW GIVEN THAT THERE IS UNCERTAINTY ABOUT JUST
HOW AND WHEN IT AFFECTS TRAVEL ROUTES FOR RUSH HOUR. IT MIGHT BE
AN OPTION FOR THE OVERNIGHT CREW HOWEVER. IN GENERAL...SNOW
SHOWERS SHOULD BE DIMINISHING BY RUSH HOUR BUT THE DAMAGE MAY BE
DONE BY THEN...SO TRAVELERS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS
ESPECIALLY LATER TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING.

THIS SECONDARY TROUGH IS GONE BY LATER TUESDAY AND CLOUDS SHOULD
BREAK FOR SUNSHINE IN MUCH OF THE AREA. HIGHS WILL BE CHILLY
HOWEVER WITH MANY PLACES NOW EXPECTED TO FAIL TO REACH 40.

A WEAK RIDGE WILL MOVE OVERHEAD ON TUESDAY NIGHT AND COMBINED WITH
SNOW ON THE GROUND IN SOME PLACES ESPECIALLY IN EAST-CENTRAL
NEVADA...WE WILL BE LOOKING AT SOME VERY CHILLY TEMPS BY EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING. ANOTHER WEAK SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS ON
WEDNESDAY BUT WITH LITTLE MOISTURE IT SHOULD HAVE LITTLE IF ANY
AFFECT ON THE WEATHER. RIDGE STRENGTHENS OVER THE WEST COAST BY
THURSDAY SO TEMPS SHOULD START TO WARM UP SIGNIFICANTLY...WITH 50S
EXPECTED IN MANY VALLEYS BY THEN. RCM

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT MONDAY. MODELS IN GOOD
AGREEMENT IN THAT A STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER
THE CWA THROUGH THE PERIOD FOR DRY WEATHER. MODELS DO DIFFER ON
THE LOCATION OF THE HIGH. THE EC IS MUCH COLDER WITH TEMPERATURES
THAN THE GFS AS IT BRINGS A SHORTWAVE ACROSS NE NV FRIDAY NIGHT
THROUGH SATURDAY AND PLACE THE HIGH OFF THE WEST COAST...WHILE THE
GFS AND DGEX HAS THE HIGH OVER THE CWA FOR TEMPS TO AROUND 10
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL BY FRIDAY. HAVE LEAN CLOSER TOWARD THE GFS
SOLUTION KEEPING TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT THE KWMC AND KTPH
TERMINALS THROUGH TUESDAY. SNOW SHOWERS WILL LINGER THIS EVENING
AT KEKO AND KELY. SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP AGAIN OVER KEKO AT
ABOUT 10Z AND THEN MOVING INTO KELY AROUND 15Z TUESDAY...THEREFORE
EXPECT BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR CONDITIONS DURING THESE TIMES.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR
NORTHEASTERN NYE COUNTY-WHITE PINE COUNTY.

&&

$$

93/86/86




000
FXUS65 KLKN 022322
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
322 PM PST MON MAR 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...SNOW FROM A DEPARTING STORM SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY END
IN EAST-CENTRAL NEVADA THIS EVENING...BUT ANOTHER WEAK DISTURBANCE
WILL BRING MORE SNOW SHOWERS TO NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA LATER
TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. STORM SYSTEM WHICH HAS
BEEN BRINGING SNOW TO EAST-CENTRAL NEVADA WILL MOVE EAST THIS
EVENING WITH DIMINISHING SNOW SHOWERS. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY
LOOKED GOOD AND LEFT IT IN PLACE AS IS WITH NO SIGNIFICANT
CHANGES. HOWEVER...IT NOW APPEARS A SIGNIFICANT SECONDARY TROUGH
WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE CWA STARTING THIS EVENING...WITH
THE BULK OF ASSOCIATED SNOW SHOWERS AFFECTING THE CWA OVERNIGHT
TONIGHT. AMOUNTS LOOK RELATIVELY LIGHT BUT CERTAINLY SOME PLACES
COULD RECEIVE A QUICK 1-2 INCHES TONIGHT AS THIS LITTLE SHORTWAVE
ACTS ON A COLD BUT RELATIVELY MOIST AIR MASS. DEBATED ANOTHER
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY BUT DECIDED TO GO THE SPECIAL WEATHER
STATEMENT ROUTE FOR NOW GIVEN THAT THERE IS UNCERTAINTY ABOUT JUST
HOW AND WHEN IT AFFECTS TRAVEL ROUTES FOR RUSH HOUR. IT MIGHT BE
AN OPTION FOR THE OVERNIGHT CREW HOWEVER. IN GENERAL...SNOW
SHOWERS SHOULD BE DIMINISHING BY RUSH HOUR BUT THE DAMAGE MAY BE
DONE BY THEN...SO TRAVELERS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS
ESPECIALLY LATER TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING.

THIS SECONDARY TROUGH IS GONE BY LATER TUESDAY AND CLOUDS SHOULD
BREAK FOR SUNSHINE IN MUCH OF THE AREA. HIGHS WILL BE CHILLY
HOWEVER WITH MANY PLACES NOW EXPECTED TO FAIL TO REACH 40.

A WEAK RIDGE WILL MOVE OVERHEAD ON TUESDAY NIGHT AND COMBINED WITH
SNOW ON THE GROUND IN SOME PLACES ESPECIALLY IN EAST-CENTRAL
NEVADA...WE WILL BE LOOKING AT SOME VERY CHILLY TEMPS BY EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING. ANOTHER WEAK SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS ON
WEDNESDAY BUT WITH LITTLE MOISTURE IT SHOULD HAVE LITTLE IF ANY
AFFECT ON THE WEATHER. RIDGE STRENGTHENS OVER THE WEST COAST BY
THURSDAY SO TEMPS SHOULD START TO WARM UP SIGNIFICANTLY...WITH 50S
EXPECTED IN MANY VALLEYS BY THEN. RCM

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT MONDAY. MODELS IN GOOD
AGREEMENT IN THAT A STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER
THE CWA THROUGH THE PERIOD FOR DRY WEATHER. MODELS DO DIFFER ON
THE LOCATION OF THE HIGH. THE EC IS MUCH COLDER WITH TEMPERATURES
THAN THE GFS AS IT BRINGS A SHORTWAVE ACROSS NE NV FRIDAY NIGHT
THROUGH SATURDAY AND PLACE THE HIGH OFF THE WEST COAST...WHILE THE
GFS AND DGEX HAS THE HIGH OVER THE CWA FOR TEMPS TO AROUND 10
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL BY FRIDAY. HAVE LEAN CLOSER TOWARD THE GFS
SOLUTION KEEPING TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT THE KWMC AND KTPH
TERMINALS THROUGH TUESDAY. SNOW SHOWERS WILL LINGER THIS EVENING
AT KEKO AND KELY. SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP AGAIN OVER KEKO AT
ABOUT 10Z AND THEN MOVING INTO KELY AROUND 15Z TUESDAY...THEREFORE
EXPECT BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR CONDITIONS DURING THESE TIMES.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR
NORTHEASTERN NYE COUNTY-WHITE PINE COUNTY.

&&

$$

93/86/86





000
FXUS65 KLKN 022034
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1234 PM PST MON MAR 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS CENTRAL
NEVADA THROUGH THIS EVENING. LIGHT TO LOCALLY MODERATE SNOW
POSSIBLE ACROSS BOTH CENTRAL AND NORTHERN NEVADA LATER TODAY
THROUGH TUESDAY. DRY TUESDAY NIGHT ON THROUGH THE WEEKEND...WITH
HIGH TEMPERATURES CLIMBING BACK INTO THE 50S BY THURSDAY.

&&

.UPDATE...ADDED SOME SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FURTHER NORTHWEST THAN
EXISTING FORECAST GIVEN DEVELOPING SNOW SHOWERS IN THIS AREA. NO
OTHER CHANGES AT THIS TIME. RCM

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED AT 344 AM /

SYNOPSIS...MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS CENTRAL
NEVADA THROUGH THIS EVENING. LIGHT TO LOCALLY MODERATE SNOW
POSSIBLE ACROSS BOTH CENTRAL AND NORTHERN NEVADA LATER TODAY
THROUGH TUESDAY. DRY TUESDAY NIGHT ON THROUGH THE WEEKEND...WITH
HIGH TEMPERATURES CLIMBING BACK INTO THE 50S BY THURSDAY.

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SNOW IS SPREADING UP INTO
CENTRAL NEVADA EARLY THIS MORNING...WITH 0.09 INCHES OF QPF AT
TONOPAH AS OF 3AM. SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL DRIFT NORTH AND EAST
EARLY THIS MORNING TO AT LEAST HIGHWAY 50...SLIGHTLY FURTHER
NORTH ACROSS EASTERN NEVADA...LIKELY REACHING UP INTO SOUTHEASTERN
ELKO COUNTY BY LATE THIS MORNING. MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IS EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF EAST-CENTRAL NEVADA LATE THIS MORNING
INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. DECENT CAPE AND SLIGHTLY NEGATIVE
LIFTED INDICES OVER NORTHEASTERN NYE AND SOUTHERN WHITE PINE
COUNTY DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS WILL ENHANCE SNOW SHOWERS AT
TIMES...WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE. ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NW NYE AND WHITE PINE COUNTIES WHICH IS IN
EFFECT THROUGH 10 PM THIS EVENING.

LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING MODELS HAVE CLOUDS
REACHING OVER MOST OF NORTHERN NEVADA...WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS IN HUMBOLDT AND ELKO COUNTIES. NOT EXPECTING ANY
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES TODAY ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE
80...ALTHOUGH A FEW FLURRIES WILL BE POSSIBLE. SNOW SHOWERS TAPER
OFF THIS EVENING ACROSS CENTRAL NEVADA...AND BEGIN TO INCREASE
OVER NORTHERN NEVADA. SNOWFALL THIS EVENING AND NIGHT WILL BE
RELATIVELY LIGHT...WITH THE MAIN FOCUS OF SHOWER ACTIVITY BEING
OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHERN LANDER COUNTY...NORTHEAST ACROSS
THE RUBY MOUNTAINS AND UP OVER THE INDEPENDENCE MOUNTAINS OF
NORTH-CENTRAL ELKO COUNTY. MAY SEE A DUSTING TO A HALF IN OF SNOW
TO VALLEY LOCATIONS NEAR THESE MOUNTAIN AREAS. SOME MORE LIGHT
SNOW LINGERING OVER EASTERN NEVADA TUESDAY MORNING. DRY AND COLDER
TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY AS SKIES CLEAR AND COLD NORTHERLY
FLOW ALOFT DOMINATES.

LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. MODELS IN GOOD
AGREEMENT THAT A STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE
REGION THROUGH THE PERIOD FOR DRY WEATHER WITH AFTERNOON TEMPS
CLIMBING TO AROUND 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL BY FRIDAY.

AVIATION...A STREAM OF MOISTURE MOVING UP FROM THE SOUTH WILL
BRING WIDESPREAD SNOW TO MUCH OF CENTRAL NV TODAY WITH IFR
CONDITIONS THE PREDOMINATE CONDITION AT THE KTPH TERMINAL UNTIL
AROUND 21Z TODAY AND AT THE KELY TERMINAL UNTIL AROUND 23Z TODAY.
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT THE KWMC AND KEKO TERMINALS WITH
ABOUT A 15 PCT CHANCE OF A SNOW SHOWER AFT 22Z BRIEFLY LOWERING
CONDITIONS TO MVFR.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR
NORTHEASTERN NYE COUNTY-WHITE PINE COUNTY.

&&

$$

93/99




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