Home > Products > Valid Products > AFD

000
FXUS65 KLKN 260958
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
258 AM PDT SUN APR 26 2015

.SYNOPSIS...ANY LINGERING SNOW SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH THE
DEPARTING STORM SYSTEM WILL END THIS MORNING. HOWEVER...GUSTY
NORTHWEST WINDS ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE STORM WILL KEEP IT
FEELING CHILLY TODAY DESPITE PLENTY OF SUN. A RAPID WARMING TREND
WILL COMMENCE ON MONDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY. STORM SYSTEM FROM YESTERDAY
IS SLIDING EAST OF US AT PRESENT. A FEW LINGERING SNOW SHOWERS ARE
STILL MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL NEVADA...SO KEPT A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS THIS MORNING IN THESE AREAS...BUT
MOST AREAS SHOULD BE DRY AND TURN OUT PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY. SOME
CUMULUS SHOULD DEVELOP WITH AFTERNOON HEATING BUT RIGHT NOW EXPECT
IT TO STAY IN THE FEW TO SCATTERED COVERAGE RANGE IN MOST OF THE
CWA. GUSTY WINDS WITH STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT AND JET ALOFT WILL
PROVIDE A BRISK DAY AND DESPITE SUNSHINE IT IS LIKELY TO STILL
FEEL CHILLY TODAY. WINDS ARE LIKELY TO GUST TO AT LEAST 45 MPH IN
SOUTHEAST ELKO COUNTY AND NORTHWEST NYE COUNTY...OUR DOWNSLOPE
AREAS...SO HAVE KEPT WIND ADVISORIES GOING IN THESE AREAS...WITH
THE TONOPAH ONE LASTING LONGEST. HIGHS WILL BE A LITTLE WARMER
THAN YESTERDAY THANKS TO RISING HEIGHTS AND SUNSHINE...BUT NOT BY
MUCH.

RIDGE SLOWLY NUDGES EASTWARD TONIGHT...AND THE GRADIENT
RELAXES...SO CLOUDS SHOULD DISSIPATE...WINDS WILL DIMINISH...AND
WIDESPREAD SUBFREEZING TEMPERATURES WILL OCCUR IN ALL BUT THE
WARMEST LOCALES. NOTHING UNUSUAL FOR LATE APRIL IN THE HIGH
DESERT...BUT IT MIGHT SEEM THAT WAY GIVEN OUR WARM EARLY SPRING UP
TO NOW.

RIDGE AXIS PUSHES DIRECTLY OVERHEAD MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH RAPID
WARMING ALOFT AND COMMENSURATE RISES AT THE SURFACE UNDER MOSTLY
SUNNY SKIES. HIGHS WILL RISE ABOUT 10 DEGREES EACH DAY. WITH THE
RIDGE OVERHEAD...WINDS WILL BE LIGHT...AND RADIATIONAL COOLING
STRONG ON MONDAY NIGHT SO MORE SUBFREEZING TEMPS ARE EXPECTED
DESPITE THE WARMER DAY BEFORE IT. RCM

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY. A TRANSITING
RIDGE AXIS WILL BE EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY...WITH A TROUGH OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. SOUTHWEST
FLOW WILL COMMENCE OVER THE REGION WEDNESDAY WITH THE POSSIBILITY
OF A FEW BREEZES IN THE CENTRAL PART OF THE CWA. AFTERNOON HIGHS
WILL BE QUITE WARM WITH READINGS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S. SOME
MOISTURE WILL TRY TO WORK INTO THE NORTHERN PART OF THE
AREA...SPECIFICALLY ALONG THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH IDAHO. HAVE
KEPT GHOST POPS IN THIS LOCATION AS A RESULT.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...THE UPPER TROUGH WILL SKIRT ACROSS
THE NORTHERN AREA WITH A NORTHWEST FLOW TAKING SHAPE. SHOWERS ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE CENTRAL NEVADA...AND HAVE KEPT A SLIGHT CHANCE IN
THE WHITE PINE COUNTY AREA. AGAIN...COULD SEE A FEW BREEZES IN THE
AREA...BUT WILL BE BELOW WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA. AFTERNOON HIGHS
WILL BE COOLER AND CLOSER TO NORMAL...WITH HIGHS IN THE NORTH
AROUND THE MID TO UPPER 60S.

THURSDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY...THE MODELS DIVERGE SLIGHTLY WITH
THE EUROPEAN TRYING TO DEVELOP A WEAK UPPER TROUGH OVER THE
SOUTHWEST WITH THE GFS TRYING TO BUILD A WEAK RIDGE. HAVE KEPT
GHOST POPS IN THE FORECAST WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES. TEMPERATURES
WILL BE AT OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL WITH LIGHT WINDS.

&&

.AVIATION...SKIES WILL GRADUALLY SCATTER OUT IN THE SOUTHERN TAF
SITES...WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES IN THE NORTH. VFR CONDITIONS WILL
REIGN OVER ALL LOCATIONS. WINDS WILL BE BREEZY TO
WINDY...NW10-20G30- 40KT AT ALL LOCATIONS...WITH WINDS SUBSIDING
LATER THIS EVENING AFTER 03Z.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR NORTHWESTERN NYE
COUNTY.

WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 11 AM PDT THIS MORNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN ELKO
COUNTY.

&&

$$

93/86/86





000
FXUS65 KLKN 260958
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
258 AM PDT SUN APR 26 2015

.SYNOPSIS...ANY LINGERING SNOW SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH THE
DEPARTING STORM SYSTEM WILL END THIS MORNING. HOWEVER...GUSTY
NORTHWEST WINDS ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE STORM WILL KEEP IT
FEELING CHILLY TODAY DESPITE PLENTY OF SUN. A RAPID WARMING TREND
WILL COMMENCE ON MONDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY. STORM SYSTEM FROM YESTERDAY
IS SLIDING EAST OF US AT PRESENT. A FEW LINGERING SNOW SHOWERS ARE
STILL MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL NEVADA...SO KEPT A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS THIS MORNING IN THESE AREAS...BUT
MOST AREAS SHOULD BE DRY AND TURN OUT PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY. SOME
CUMULUS SHOULD DEVELOP WITH AFTERNOON HEATING BUT RIGHT NOW EXPECT
IT TO STAY IN THE FEW TO SCATTERED COVERAGE RANGE IN MOST OF THE
CWA. GUSTY WINDS WITH STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT AND JET ALOFT WILL
PROVIDE A BRISK DAY AND DESPITE SUNSHINE IT IS LIKELY TO STILL
FEEL CHILLY TODAY. WINDS ARE LIKELY TO GUST TO AT LEAST 45 MPH IN
SOUTHEAST ELKO COUNTY AND NORTHWEST NYE COUNTY...OUR DOWNSLOPE
AREAS...SO HAVE KEPT WIND ADVISORIES GOING IN THESE AREAS...WITH
THE TONOPAH ONE LASTING LONGEST. HIGHS WILL BE A LITTLE WARMER
THAN YESTERDAY THANKS TO RISING HEIGHTS AND SUNSHINE...BUT NOT BY
MUCH.

RIDGE SLOWLY NUDGES EASTWARD TONIGHT...AND THE GRADIENT
RELAXES...SO CLOUDS SHOULD DISSIPATE...WINDS WILL DIMINISH...AND
WIDESPREAD SUBFREEZING TEMPERATURES WILL OCCUR IN ALL BUT THE
WARMEST LOCALES. NOTHING UNUSUAL FOR LATE APRIL IN THE HIGH
DESERT...BUT IT MIGHT SEEM THAT WAY GIVEN OUR WARM EARLY SPRING UP
TO NOW.

RIDGE AXIS PUSHES DIRECTLY OVERHEAD MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH RAPID
WARMING ALOFT AND COMMENSURATE RISES AT THE SURFACE UNDER MOSTLY
SUNNY SKIES. HIGHS WILL RISE ABOUT 10 DEGREES EACH DAY. WITH THE
RIDGE OVERHEAD...WINDS WILL BE LIGHT...AND RADIATIONAL COOLING
STRONG ON MONDAY NIGHT SO MORE SUBFREEZING TEMPS ARE EXPECTED
DESPITE THE WARMER DAY BEFORE IT. RCM

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY. A TRANSITING
RIDGE AXIS WILL BE EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY...WITH A TROUGH OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. SOUTHWEST
FLOW WILL COMMENCE OVER THE REGION WEDNESDAY WITH THE POSSIBILITY
OF A FEW BREEZES IN THE CENTRAL PART OF THE CWA. AFTERNOON HIGHS
WILL BE QUITE WARM WITH READINGS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S. SOME
MOISTURE WILL TRY TO WORK INTO THE NORTHERN PART OF THE
AREA...SPECIFICALLY ALONG THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH IDAHO. HAVE
KEPT GHOST POPS IN THIS LOCATION AS A RESULT.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...THE UPPER TROUGH WILL SKIRT ACROSS
THE NORTHERN AREA WITH A NORTHWEST FLOW TAKING SHAPE. SHOWERS ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE CENTRAL NEVADA...AND HAVE KEPT A SLIGHT CHANCE IN
THE WHITE PINE COUNTY AREA. AGAIN...COULD SEE A FEW BREEZES IN THE
AREA...BUT WILL BE BELOW WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA. AFTERNOON HIGHS
WILL BE COOLER AND CLOSER TO NORMAL...WITH HIGHS IN THE NORTH
AROUND THE MID TO UPPER 60S.

THURSDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY...THE MODELS DIVERGE SLIGHTLY WITH
THE EUROPEAN TRYING TO DEVELOP A WEAK UPPER TROUGH OVER THE
SOUTHWEST WITH THE GFS TRYING TO BUILD A WEAK RIDGE. HAVE KEPT
GHOST POPS IN THE FORECAST WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES. TEMPERATURES
WILL BE AT OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL WITH LIGHT WINDS.

&&

.AVIATION...SKIES WILL GRADUALLY SCATTER OUT IN THE SOUTHERN TAF
SITES...WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES IN THE NORTH. VFR CONDITIONS WILL
REIGN OVER ALL LOCATIONS. WINDS WILL BE BREEZY TO
WINDY...NW10-20G30- 40KT AT ALL LOCATIONS...WITH WINDS SUBSIDING
LATER THIS EVENING AFTER 03Z.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR NORTHWESTERN NYE
COUNTY.

WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 11 AM PDT THIS MORNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN ELKO
COUNTY.

&&

$$

93/86/86




000
FXUS65 KLKN 260958
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
258 AM PDT SUN APR 26 2015

.SYNOPSIS...ANY LINGERING SNOW SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH THE
DEPARTING STORM SYSTEM WILL END THIS MORNING. HOWEVER...GUSTY
NORTHWEST WINDS ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE STORM WILL KEEP IT
FEELING CHILLY TODAY DESPITE PLENTY OF SUN. A RAPID WARMING TREND
WILL COMMENCE ON MONDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY. STORM SYSTEM FROM YESTERDAY
IS SLIDING EAST OF US AT PRESENT. A FEW LINGERING SNOW SHOWERS ARE
STILL MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL NEVADA...SO KEPT A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS THIS MORNING IN THESE AREAS...BUT
MOST AREAS SHOULD BE DRY AND TURN OUT PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY. SOME
CUMULUS SHOULD DEVELOP WITH AFTERNOON HEATING BUT RIGHT NOW EXPECT
IT TO STAY IN THE FEW TO SCATTERED COVERAGE RANGE IN MOST OF THE
CWA. GUSTY WINDS WITH STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT AND JET ALOFT WILL
PROVIDE A BRISK DAY AND DESPITE SUNSHINE IT IS LIKELY TO STILL
FEEL CHILLY TODAY. WINDS ARE LIKELY TO GUST TO AT LEAST 45 MPH IN
SOUTHEAST ELKO COUNTY AND NORTHWEST NYE COUNTY...OUR DOWNSLOPE
AREAS...SO HAVE KEPT WIND ADVISORIES GOING IN THESE AREAS...WITH
THE TONOPAH ONE LASTING LONGEST. HIGHS WILL BE A LITTLE WARMER
THAN YESTERDAY THANKS TO RISING HEIGHTS AND SUNSHINE...BUT NOT BY
MUCH.

RIDGE SLOWLY NUDGES EASTWARD TONIGHT...AND THE GRADIENT
RELAXES...SO CLOUDS SHOULD DISSIPATE...WINDS WILL DIMINISH...AND
WIDESPREAD SUBFREEZING TEMPERATURES WILL OCCUR IN ALL BUT THE
WARMEST LOCALES. NOTHING UNUSUAL FOR LATE APRIL IN THE HIGH
DESERT...BUT IT MIGHT SEEM THAT WAY GIVEN OUR WARM EARLY SPRING UP
TO NOW.

RIDGE AXIS PUSHES DIRECTLY OVERHEAD MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH RAPID
WARMING ALOFT AND COMMENSURATE RISES AT THE SURFACE UNDER MOSTLY
SUNNY SKIES. HIGHS WILL RISE ABOUT 10 DEGREES EACH DAY. WITH THE
RIDGE OVERHEAD...WINDS WILL BE LIGHT...AND RADIATIONAL COOLING
STRONG ON MONDAY NIGHT SO MORE SUBFREEZING TEMPS ARE EXPECTED
DESPITE THE WARMER DAY BEFORE IT. RCM

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY. A TRANSITING
RIDGE AXIS WILL BE EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY...WITH A TROUGH OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. SOUTHWEST
FLOW WILL COMMENCE OVER THE REGION WEDNESDAY WITH THE POSSIBILITY
OF A FEW BREEZES IN THE CENTRAL PART OF THE CWA. AFTERNOON HIGHS
WILL BE QUITE WARM WITH READINGS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S. SOME
MOISTURE WILL TRY TO WORK INTO THE NORTHERN PART OF THE
AREA...SPECIFICALLY ALONG THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH IDAHO. HAVE
KEPT GHOST POPS IN THIS LOCATION AS A RESULT.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...THE UPPER TROUGH WILL SKIRT ACROSS
THE NORTHERN AREA WITH A NORTHWEST FLOW TAKING SHAPE. SHOWERS ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE CENTRAL NEVADA...AND HAVE KEPT A SLIGHT CHANCE IN
THE WHITE PINE COUNTY AREA. AGAIN...COULD SEE A FEW BREEZES IN THE
AREA...BUT WILL BE BELOW WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA. AFTERNOON HIGHS
WILL BE COOLER AND CLOSER TO NORMAL...WITH HIGHS IN THE NORTH
AROUND THE MID TO UPPER 60S.

THURSDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY...THE MODELS DIVERGE SLIGHTLY WITH
THE EUROPEAN TRYING TO DEVELOP A WEAK UPPER TROUGH OVER THE
SOUTHWEST WITH THE GFS TRYING TO BUILD A WEAK RIDGE. HAVE KEPT
GHOST POPS IN THE FORECAST WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES. TEMPERATURES
WILL BE AT OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL WITH LIGHT WINDS.

&&

.AVIATION...SKIES WILL GRADUALLY SCATTER OUT IN THE SOUTHERN TAF
SITES...WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES IN THE NORTH. VFR CONDITIONS WILL
REIGN OVER ALL LOCATIONS. WINDS WILL BE BREEZY TO
WINDY...NW10-20G30- 40KT AT ALL LOCATIONS...WITH WINDS SUBSIDING
LATER THIS EVENING AFTER 03Z.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR NORTHWESTERN NYE
COUNTY.

WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 11 AM PDT THIS MORNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN ELKO
COUNTY.

&&

$$

93/86/86





000
FXUS65 KLKN 260622
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1122 PM PDT SAT APR 25 2015

.SYNOPSIS...RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT ACROSS
EASTERN NEVADA WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES FOR THE REST OF THE
WEEKEND. HIGH PRESSURE RETURNS ON SUNDAY WITH WARMER TEMPERATURES
ON TAP FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK.


&&

.UPDATE...WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PICK UP AGAIN ACROSS NORTHWESTERN
NYE COUNTY ON SUNDAY...SO JUST EXTENDED THE WIND ADVISORY THRU 3Z.
WINDS WILL BE LIGHTER OVERNIGHT INTO THE MORNING BEFORE
REINTENSIFYING DURING THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS ARE ALSO LINGERING
MORE THAN EXPECTED EARLIER TODAY SO INCREASED OVERNIGHT POPS. NO
OTHER CHANGES AT THIS TIME. RCM

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED AT 221 PM /

SYNOPSIS...RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT ACROSS
EASTERN NEVADA WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES FOR THE REST OF THE
WEEKEND. HIGH PRESSURE RETURNS ON SUNDAY WITH WARMER TEMPERATURES
ON TAP FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK.

SHORT TERM...UPPER LEVEL LOW EVIDENT OVER NORTHERN NEVADA THIS
AFTERNOON WITH WRAP AROUND PRECIPITATION ACROSS NORTHERN ELKO
COUNTY. INSTABILITY ACROSS NORTHERN NYE AND WHITE PINE COUNTIES
WITH THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUING ACROSS THIS AREA THROUGH EARLY THIS
EVENING. PATCHY FOG A SLIGHT CONCERN OVERNIGHT WITH CLOUDS
DECREASING...HOWEVER CONFIDENCE LOW AS NORTHWESTERLY FLOW MAY BE
STRONG ENOUGH TO KEEP THE MENTION OF FOG OUT OF THE FORECAST FOR
NOW. OTHERWISE A FEW RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS EXPECTED WITH ONLY LIGHT
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS THROUGH TOMORROW MORNING WITH SNOW LEVELS
BETWEEN 5000 AND 6000 FEET. GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED ACROSS NORTHERN
NYE AND SOUTHEAST ELKO COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT WITH WIND
ADVISORIES IN EFFECT. WINDS SHOULD DECREASE BY MID-DAY SUNDAY IN
WEST WENDOVER AREA...WHILE CONTINUED GUSTY WINDS ACROSS NORTHWEST
NYE COUNTY TOMORROW AFTERNOON BUT SHOULD REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY
LEVELS. SHOWERS WILL END ACROSS FAR EASTERN NEVADA TOMORROW
MORNING WITH HIGH PRESSURE RETURNING SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL QUICKLY REBOUND TO THE 60S ON MONDAY
AND MID TO UPPER 70S BY TUESDAY.

LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY. MODELS IN FAIRLY
GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE OVERALL PATTERN THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
FLAT RIDGE OVER THE CWA TUESDAY NIGHT SHIFTS EAST INTO THE ROCKIES
BY THURSDAY AS A SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. WITH THE
CWA UNDER A DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW...DO NOT EXPECT MUCH IN THE WAY OF
PRECIPITATION...EXCEPT POSSIBLY ALONG THE ID-NV BORDER. GFS MUCH
STRONGER WITH THIS TROF...BUT BOTH MODEL SOLUTIONS INDICATE MOSTLY
DRY OVER THE CWA EXCEPT PERHAPS A FEW SHOWERS OVER THE CENTRAL NV
MOUNTAINS THURSDAY AND THURSDAY EVENING. HAVE SOME VERY LOW POPS IN
WHITE PINE COUNTY ON SATURDAY AS EC AND GFS HINT AT SOME DYNAMICS.
TEMPERATURES NEAR 80 DEGREES AT WESTERN ZONES ON WEDNESDAY...THEN
WITH TROF ON THURSDAY...DAYTIME TEMPERATURES COOL DOWN TO JUST A FEW
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL DURING THE REST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.

AVIATION...A MOIST ATMOSPHERE FROM THE STORM SYSTEM OVER THE CWA
MAY PRODUCE A FEW RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS AT KEKO AND KELY THIS
EVENING. SOME MVFR/IFR REDUCTIONS TO CIG/VSBY AT KELY AND KTPH THIS
EVENING UNTIL THE STORM SYSTEM MOVES IN UTAH AFTER 04Z. FROM THE
RECENT RAINFALL...VCFG MAY DEVELOP AFTER MIDNIGHT AFTER SKIES CLEAR
AT KWMC...KEKO...AND KELY.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM PDT SUNDAY FOR NORTHWESTERN NYE COUNTY.

WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 11 AM PDT SUNDAY FOR SOUTHEASTERN ELKO
COUNTY.

&&

$$

93/99




000
FXUS65 KLKN 260622
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1122 PM PDT SAT APR 25 2015

.SYNOPSIS...RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT ACROSS
EASTERN NEVADA WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES FOR THE REST OF THE
WEEKEND. HIGH PRESSURE RETURNS ON SUNDAY WITH WARMER TEMPERATURES
ON TAP FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK.


&&

.UPDATE...WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PICK UP AGAIN ACROSS NORTHWESTERN
NYE COUNTY ON SUNDAY...SO JUST EXTENDED THE WIND ADVISORY THRU 3Z.
WINDS WILL BE LIGHTER OVERNIGHT INTO THE MORNING BEFORE
REINTENSIFYING DURING THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS ARE ALSO LINGERING
MORE THAN EXPECTED EARLIER TODAY SO INCREASED OVERNIGHT POPS. NO
OTHER CHANGES AT THIS TIME. RCM

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED AT 221 PM /

SYNOPSIS...RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT ACROSS
EASTERN NEVADA WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES FOR THE REST OF THE
WEEKEND. HIGH PRESSURE RETURNS ON SUNDAY WITH WARMER TEMPERATURES
ON TAP FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK.

SHORT TERM...UPPER LEVEL LOW EVIDENT OVER NORTHERN NEVADA THIS
AFTERNOON WITH WRAP AROUND PRECIPITATION ACROSS NORTHERN ELKO
COUNTY. INSTABILITY ACROSS NORTHERN NYE AND WHITE PINE COUNTIES
WITH THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUING ACROSS THIS AREA THROUGH EARLY THIS
EVENING. PATCHY FOG A SLIGHT CONCERN OVERNIGHT WITH CLOUDS
DECREASING...HOWEVER CONFIDENCE LOW AS NORTHWESTERLY FLOW MAY BE
STRONG ENOUGH TO KEEP THE MENTION OF FOG OUT OF THE FORECAST FOR
NOW. OTHERWISE A FEW RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS EXPECTED WITH ONLY LIGHT
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS THROUGH TOMORROW MORNING WITH SNOW LEVELS
BETWEEN 5000 AND 6000 FEET. GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED ACROSS NORTHERN
NYE AND SOUTHEAST ELKO COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT WITH WIND
ADVISORIES IN EFFECT. WINDS SHOULD DECREASE BY MID-DAY SUNDAY IN
WEST WENDOVER AREA...WHILE CONTINUED GUSTY WINDS ACROSS NORTHWEST
NYE COUNTY TOMORROW AFTERNOON BUT SHOULD REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY
LEVELS. SHOWERS WILL END ACROSS FAR EASTERN NEVADA TOMORROW
MORNING WITH HIGH PRESSURE RETURNING SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL QUICKLY REBOUND TO THE 60S ON MONDAY
AND MID TO UPPER 70S BY TUESDAY.

LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY. MODELS IN FAIRLY
GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE OVERALL PATTERN THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
FLAT RIDGE OVER THE CWA TUESDAY NIGHT SHIFTS EAST INTO THE ROCKIES
BY THURSDAY AS A SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. WITH THE
CWA UNDER A DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW...DO NOT EXPECT MUCH IN THE WAY OF
PRECIPITATION...EXCEPT POSSIBLY ALONG THE ID-NV BORDER. GFS MUCH
STRONGER WITH THIS TROF...BUT BOTH MODEL SOLUTIONS INDICATE MOSTLY
DRY OVER THE CWA EXCEPT PERHAPS A FEW SHOWERS OVER THE CENTRAL NV
MOUNTAINS THURSDAY AND THURSDAY EVENING. HAVE SOME VERY LOW POPS IN
WHITE PINE COUNTY ON SATURDAY AS EC AND GFS HINT AT SOME DYNAMICS.
TEMPERATURES NEAR 80 DEGREES AT WESTERN ZONES ON WEDNESDAY...THEN
WITH TROF ON THURSDAY...DAYTIME TEMPERATURES COOL DOWN TO JUST A FEW
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL DURING THE REST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.

AVIATION...A MOIST ATMOSPHERE FROM THE STORM SYSTEM OVER THE CWA
MAY PRODUCE A FEW RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS AT KEKO AND KELY THIS
EVENING. SOME MVFR/IFR REDUCTIONS TO CIG/VSBY AT KELY AND KTPH THIS
EVENING UNTIL THE STORM SYSTEM MOVES IN UTAH AFTER 04Z. FROM THE
RECENT RAINFALL...VCFG MAY DEVELOP AFTER MIDNIGHT AFTER SKIES CLEAR
AT KWMC...KEKO...AND KELY.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM PDT SUNDAY FOR NORTHWESTERN NYE COUNTY.

WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 11 AM PDT SUNDAY FOR SOUTHEASTERN ELKO
COUNTY.

&&

$$

93/99





000
FXUS65 KLKN 260622
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1122 PM PDT SAT APR 25 2015

.SYNOPSIS...RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT ACROSS
EASTERN NEVADA WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES FOR THE REST OF THE
WEEKEND. HIGH PRESSURE RETURNS ON SUNDAY WITH WARMER TEMPERATURES
ON TAP FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK.


&&

.UPDATE...WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PICK UP AGAIN ACROSS NORTHWESTERN
NYE COUNTY ON SUNDAY...SO JUST EXTENDED THE WIND ADVISORY THRU 3Z.
WINDS WILL BE LIGHTER OVERNIGHT INTO THE MORNING BEFORE
REINTENSIFYING DURING THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS ARE ALSO LINGERING
MORE THAN EXPECTED EARLIER TODAY SO INCREASED OVERNIGHT POPS. NO
OTHER CHANGES AT THIS TIME. RCM

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED AT 221 PM /

SYNOPSIS...RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT ACROSS
EASTERN NEVADA WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES FOR THE REST OF THE
WEEKEND. HIGH PRESSURE RETURNS ON SUNDAY WITH WARMER TEMPERATURES
ON TAP FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK.

SHORT TERM...UPPER LEVEL LOW EVIDENT OVER NORTHERN NEVADA THIS
AFTERNOON WITH WRAP AROUND PRECIPITATION ACROSS NORTHERN ELKO
COUNTY. INSTABILITY ACROSS NORTHERN NYE AND WHITE PINE COUNTIES
WITH THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUING ACROSS THIS AREA THROUGH EARLY THIS
EVENING. PATCHY FOG A SLIGHT CONCERN OVERNIGHT WITH CLOUDS
DECREASING...HOWEVER CONFIDENCE LOW AS NORTHWESTERLY FLOW MAY BE
STRONG ENOUGH TO KEEP THE MENTION OF FOG OUT OF THE FORECAST FOR
NOW. OTHERWISE A FEW RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS EXPECTED WITH ONLY LIGHT
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS THROUGH TOMORROW MORNING WITH SNOW LEVELS
BETWEEN 5000 AND 6000 FEET. GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED ACROSS NORTHERN
NYE AND SOUTHEAST ELKO COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT WITH WIND
ADVISORIES IN EFFECT. WINDS SHOULD DECREASE BY MID-DAY SUNDAY IN
WEST WENDOVER AREA...WHILE CONTINUED GUSTY WINDS ACROSS NORTHWEST
NYE COUNTY TOMORROW AFTERNOON BUT SHOULD REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY
LEVELS. SHOWERS WILL END ACROSS FAR EASTERN NEVADA TOMORROW
MORNING WITH HIGH PRESSURE RETURNING SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL QUICKLY REBOUND TO THE 60S ON MONDAY
AND MID TO UPPER 70S BY TUESDAY.

LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY. MODELS IN FAIRLY
GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE OVERALL PATTERN THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
FLAT RIDGE OVER THE CWA TUESDAY NIGHT SHIFTS EAST INTO THE ROCKIES
BY THURSDAY AS A SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. WITH THE
CWA UNDER A DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW...DO NOT EXPECT MUCH IN THE WAY OF
PRECIPITATION...EXCEPT POSSIBLY ALONG THE ID-NV BORDER. GFS MUCH
STRONGER WITH THIS TROF...BUT BOTH MODEL SOLUTIONS INDICATE MOSTLY
DRY OVER THE CWA EXCEPT PERHAPS A FEW SHOWERS OVER THE CENTRAL NV
MOUNTAINS THURSDAY AND THURSDAY EVENING. HAVE SOME VERY LOW POPS IN
WHITE PINE COUNTY ON SATURDAY AS EC AND GFS HINT AT SOME DYNAMICS.
TEMPERATURES NEAR 80 DEGREES AT WESTERN ZONES ON WEDNESDAY...THEN
WITH TROF ON THURSDAY...DAYTIME TEMPERATURES COOL DOWN TO JUST A FEW
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL DURING THE REST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.

AVIATION...A MOIST ATMOSPHERE FROM THE STORM SYSTEM OVER THE CWA
MAY PRODUCE A FEW RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS AT KEKO AND KELY THIS
EVENING. SOME MVFR/IFR REDUCTIONS TO CIG/VSBY AT KELY AND KTPH THIS
EVENING UNTIL THE STORM SYSTEM MOVES IN UTAH AFTER 04Z. FROM THE
RECENT RAINFALL...VCFG MAY DEVELOP AFTER MIDNIGHT AFTER SKIES CLEAR
AT KWMC...KEKO...AND KELY.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM PDT SUNDAY FOR NORTHWESTERN NYE COUNTY.

WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 11 AM PDT SUNDAY FOR SOUTHEASTERN ELKO
COUNTY.

&&

$$

93/99





000
FXUS65 KLKN 260622
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1122 PM PDT SAT APR 25 2015

.SYNOPSIS...RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT ACROSS
EASTERN NEVADA WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES FOR THE REST OF THE
WEEKEND. HIGH PRESSURE RETURNS ON SUNDAY WITH WARMER TEMPERATURES
ON TAP FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK.


&&

.UPDATE...WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PICK UP AGAIN ACROSS NORTHWESTERN
NYE COUNTY ON SUNDAY...SO JUST EXTENDED THE WIND ADVISORY THRU 3Z.
WINDS WILL BE LIGHTER OVERNIGHT INTO THE MORNING BEFORE
REINTENSIFYING DURING THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS ARE ALSO LINGERING
MORE THAN EXPECTED EARLIER TODAY SO INCREASED OVERNIGHT POPS. NO
OTHER CHANGES AT THIS TIME. RCM

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED AT 221 PM /

SYNOPSIS...RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT ACROSS
EASTERN NEVADA WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES FOR THE REST OF THE
WEEKEND. HIGH PRESSURE RETURNS ON SUNDAY WITH WARMER TEMPERATURES
ON TAP FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK.

SHORT TERM...UPPER LEVEL LOW EVIDENT OVER NORTHERN NEVADA THIS
AFTERNOON WITH WRAP AROUND PRECIPITATION ACROSS NORTHERN ELKO
COUNTY. INSTABILITY ACROSS NORTHERN NYE AND WHITE PINE COUNTIES
WITH THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUING ACROSS THIS AREA THROUGH EARLY THIS
EVENING. PATCHY FOG A SLIGHT CONCERN OVERNIGHT WITH CLOUDS
DECREASING...HOWEVER CONFIDENCE LOW AS NORTHWESTERLY FLOW MAY BE
STRONG ENOUGH TO KEEP THE MENTION OF FOG OUT OF THE FORECAST FOR
NOW. OTHERWISE A FEW RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS EXPECTED WITH ONLY LIGHT
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS THROUGH TOMORROW MORNING WITH SNOW LEVELS
BETWEEN 5000 AND 6000 FEET. GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED ACROSS NORTHERN
NYE AND SOUTHEAST ELKO COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT WITH WIND
ADVISORIES IN EFFECT. WINDS SHOULD DECREASE BY MID-DAY SUNDAY IN
WEST WENDOVER AREA...WHILE CONTINUED GUSTY WINDS ACROSS NORTHWEST
NYE COUNTY TOMORROW AFTERNOON BUT SHOULD REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY
LEVELS. SHOWERS WILL END ACROSS FAR EASTERN NEVADA TOMORROW
MORNING WITH HIGH PRESSURE RETURNING SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL QUICKLY REBOUND TO THE 60S ON MONDAY
AND MID TO UPPER 70S BY TUESDAY.

LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY. MODELS IN FAIRLY
GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE OVERALL PATTERN THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
FLAT RIDGE OVER THE CWA TUESDAY NIGHT SHIFTS EAST INTO THE ROCKIES
BY THURSDAY AS A SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. WITH THE
CWA UNDER A DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW...DO NOT EXPECT MUCH IN THE WAY OF
PRECIPITATION...EXCEPT POSSIBLY ALONG THE ID-NV BORDER. GFS MUCH
STRONGER WITH THIS TROF...BUT BOTH MODEL SOLUTIONS INDICATE MOSTLY
DRY OVER THE CWA EXCEPT PERHAPS A FEW SHOWERS OVER THE CENTRAL NV
MOUNTAINS THURSDAY AND THURSDAY EVENING. HAVE SOME VERY LOW POPS IN
WHITE PINE COUNTY ON SATURDAY AS EC AND GFS HINT AT SOME DYNAMICS.
TEMPERATURES NEAR 80 DEGREES AT WESTERN ZONES ON WEDNESDAY...THEN
WITH TROF ON THURSDAY...DAYTIME TEMPERATURES COOL DOWN TO JUST A FEW
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL DURING THE REST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.

AVIATION...A MOIST ATMOSPHERE FROM THE STORM SYSTEM OVER THE CWA
MAY PRODUCE A FEW RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS AT KEKO AND KELY THIS
EVENING. SOME MVFR/IFR REDUCTIONS TO CIG/VSBY AT KELY AND KTPH THIS
EVENING UNTIL THE STORM SYSTEM MOVES IN UTAH AFTER 04Z. FROM THE
RECENT RAINFALL...VCFG MAY DEVELOP AFTER MIDNIGHT AFTER SKIES CLEAR
AT KWMC...KEKO...AND KELY.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM PDT SUNDAY FOR NORTHWESTERN NYE COUNTY.

WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 11 AM PDT SUNDAY FOR SOUTHEASTERN ELKO
COUNTY.

&&

$$

93/99




000
FXUS65 KLKN 252121
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
221 PM PDT SAT APR 25 2015

.SYNOPSIS...RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT ACROSS
EASTERN NEVADA WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES FOR THE REST OF THE
WEEKEND. HIGH PRESSURE RETURNS ON SUNDAY WITH WARMER TEMPERATURES
ON TAP FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...UPPER LEVEL LOW EVIDENT OVER NORTHERN NEVADA THIS
AFTERNOON WITH WRAP AROUND PRECIPITATION ACROSS NORTHERN ELKO
COUNTY. INSTABILITY ACROSS NORTHERN NYE AND WHITE PINE COUNTIES
WITH THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUING ACROSS THIS AREA THROUGH EARLY THIS
EVENING. PATCHY FOG A SLIGHT CONCERN OVERNIGHT WITH CLOUDS
DECREASING...HOWEVER CONFIDENCE LOW AS NORTHWESTERLY FLOW MAY BE
STRONG ENOUGH TO KEEP THE MENTION OF FOG OUT OF THE FORECAST FOR
NOW. OTHERWISE A FEW RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS EXPECTED WITH ONLY LIGHT
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS THROUGH TOMORROW MORNING WITH SNOW LEVELS
BETWEEN 5000 AND 6000 FEET. GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED ACROSS NORTHERN
NYE AND SOUTHEAST ELKO COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT WITH WIND
ADVISORIES IN EFFECT. WINDS SHOULD DECREASE BY MID-DAY SUNDAY IN
WEST WENDOVER AREA...WHILE CONTINUED GUSTY WINDS ACROSS NORTHWEST
NYE COUNTY TOMORROW AFTERNOON BUT SHOULD REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY
LEVELS. SHOWERS WILL END ACROSS FAR EASTERN NEVADA TOMORROW
MORNING WITH HIGH PRESSURE RETURNING SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL QUICKLY REBOUND TO THE 60S ON MONDAY
AND MID TO UPPER 70S BY TUESDAY.

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY. MODELS IN FAIRLY
GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE OVERALL PATTERN THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
FLAT RIDGE OVER THE CWA TUESDAY NIGHT SHIFTS EAST INTO THE ROCKIES
BY THURSDAY AS A SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. WITH THE
CWA UNDER A DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW...DO NOT EXPECT MUCH IN THE WAY OF
PRECIPITATION...EXCEPT POSSIBLY ALONG THE ID-NV BORDER. GFS MUCH
STRONGER WITH THIS TROF...BUT BOTH MODEL SOLUTIONS INDICATE MOSTLY
DRY OVER THE CWA EXCEPT PERHAPS A FEW SHOWERS OVER THE CENTRAL NV
MOUNTAINS THURSDAY AND THURSDAY EVENING. HAVE SOME VERY LOW POPS IN
WHITE PINE COUNTY ON SATURDAY AS EC AND GFS HINT AT SOME DYNAMICS.
TEMPERATURES NEAR 80 DEGREES AT WESTERN ZONES ON WEDNESDAY...THEN
WITH TROF ON THURSDAY...DAYTIME TEMPERATURES COOL DOWN TO JUST A FEW
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL DURING THE REST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION...A MOIST ATMOSPHERE FROM THE STORM SYSTEM OVER THE CWA
MAY PRODUCE A FEW RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS AT KEKO AND KELY THIS
EVENING. SOME MVFR/IFR REDUCTIONS TO CIG/VSBY AT KELY AND KTPH THIS
EVENING UNTIL THE STORM SYSTEM MOVES IN UTAH AFTER 04Z. FROM THE
RECENT RAINFALL...VCFG MAY DEVELOP AFTER MIDNIGHT AFTER SKIES CLEAR
AT KWMC...KEKO...AND KELY.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR NORTHWESTERN NYE
COUNTY.

WIND ADVISORY FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM PDT SUNDAY FOR
SOUTHEASTERN ELKO COUNTY.

&&

$$

90/87/87





000
FXUS65 KLKN 252121
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
221 PM PDT SAT APR 25 2015

.SYNOPSIS...RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT ACROSS
EASTERN NEVADA WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES FOR THE REST OF THE
WEEKEND. HIGH PRESSURE RETURNS ON SUNDAY WITH WARMER TEMPERATURES
ON TAP FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...UPPER LEVEL LOW EVIDENT OVER NORTHERN NEVADA THIS
AFTERNOON WITH WRAP AROUND PRECIPITATION ACROSS NORTHERN ELKO
COUNTY. INSTABILITY ACROSS NORTHERN NYE AND WHITE PINE COUNTIES
WITH THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUING ACROSS THIS AREA THROUGH EARLY THIS
EVENING. PATCHY FOG A SLIGHT CONCERN OVERNIGHT WITH CLOUDS
DECREASING...HOWEVER CONFIDENCE LOW AS NORTHWESTERLY FLOW MAY BE
STRONG ENOUGH TO KEEP THE MENTION OF FOG OUT OF THE FORECAST FOR
NOW. OTHERWISE A FEW RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS EXPECTED WITH ONLY LIGHT
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS THROUGH TOMORROW MORNING WITH SNOW LEVELS
BETWEEN 5000 AND 6000 FEET. GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED ACROSS NORTHERN
NYE AND SOUTHEAST ELKO COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT WITH WIND
ADVISORIES IN EFFECT. WINDS SHOULD DECREASE BY MID-DAY SUNDAY IN
WEST WENDOVER AREA...WHILE CONTINUED GUSTY WINDS ACROSS NORTHWEST
NYE COUNTY TOMORROW AFTERNOON BUT SHOULD REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY
LEVELS. SHOWERS WILL END ACROSS FAR EASTERN NEVADA TOMORROW
MORNING WITH HIGH PRESSURE RETURNING SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL QUICKLY REBOUND TO THE 60S ON MONDAY
AND MID TO UPPER 70S BY TUESDAY.

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY. MODELS IN FAIRLY
GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE OVERALL PATTERN THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
FLAT RIDGE OVER THE CWA TUESDAY NIGHT SHIFTS EAST INTO THE ROCKIES
BY THURSDAY AS A SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. WITH THE
CWA UNDER A DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW...DO NOT EXPECT MUCH IN THE WAY OF
PRECIPITATION...EXCEPT POSSIBLY ALONG THE ID-NV BORDER. GFS MUCH
STRONGER WITH THIS TROF...BUT BOTH MODEL SOLUTIONS INDICATE MOSTLY
DRY OVER THE CWA EXCEPT PERHAPS A FEW SHOWERS OVER THE CENTRAL NV
MOUNTAINS THURSDAY AND THURSDAY EVENING. HAVE SOME VERY LOW POPS IN
WHITE PINE COUNTY ON SATURDAY AS EC AND GFS HINT AT SOME DYNAMICS.
TEMPERATURES NEAR 80 DEGREES AT WESTERN ZONES ON WEDNESDAY...THEN
WITH TROF ON THURSDAY...DAYTIME TEMPERATURES COOL DOWN TO JUST A FEW
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL DURING THE REST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION...A MOIST ATMOSPHERE FROM THE STORM SYSTEM OVER THE CWA
MAY PRODUCE A FEW RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS AT KEKO AND KELY THIS
EVENING. SOME MVFR/IFR REDUCTIONS TO CIG/VSBY AT KELY AND KTPH THIS
EVENING UNTIL THE STORM SYSTEM MOVES IN UTAH AFTER 04Z. FROM THE
RECENT RAINFALL...VCFG MAY DEVELOP AFTER MIDNIGHT AFTER SKIES CLEAR
AT KWMC...KEKO...AND KELY.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR NORTHWESTERN NYE
COUNTY.

WIND ADVISORY FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM PDT SUNDAY FOR
SOUTHEASTERN ELKO COUNTY.

&&

$$

90/87/87




000
FXUS65 KLKN 251652
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
952 AM PDT SAT APR 25 2015

SYNOPSIS...ANOTHER PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS ALONG WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TO THE GREAT BASIN
TODAY...ALONG WITH CHILLY TEMPERATURES. WINDY AND COOL BUT SUNNIER
WEATHER ON SUNDAY WILL GIVE WAY TO MUCH WARMER AND DRIER WEATHER
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.UPDATE...EXPECTING STRONG GUSTY WINDS LATER THIS AFTERNOON FOR
NORTHERN NYE COUNTY AND TONOPAH AREA...ALSO EXPECT GUSTY LEE SIDE
WINDS FOR WENDOVER AND SILVER ZONE PASS AREA TONIGHT THUS
INCREASED WINDS AND ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY FOR THOSE ZONES.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED AT 336 AM /

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH MONDAY. GUIDANCE IS IN REASONABLE
AGREEMENT THIS MORNING. ONE LAST STRONG TROUGH MOVING IN FROM THE
PACIFIC TODAY TO MAKE FOR A RATHER MISERABLE START TO THE
WEEKEND...THOUGH THE MOISTURE IS MUCH- NEEDED IN OUR DROUGHT-
STRICKEN PART OF THE NATION. WARM ADVECTION PRECIPITATION WILL
DOMINATE THIS MORNING AS THE AXIS APROACHES THE CWA FROM THE WEST.
THEN...THIS AFTERNOON...COLD ADVECTION ALOFT WILL PROMOTE
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT...WITH THUNDER AND GRAUPEL/SMALL HAIL
POSSIBLE. TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOL...AS COOL OR PERHAPS A BIT
COOLER THAN YESTERDAY...WITH ABUNDANT CLOUD COVER.

TROUGH AXIS SHIFTS EAST TONIGHT WITH DIMINISHING PRECIPITATION AS
INSOLATION ENDS AND THE LOWER ATMOSPHERE STABILIZES. SNOW LEVELS
WILL DROP TOWARDS MANY VALLEY FLOORS SO ANY LINGERING
PRECIPITATION COULD BE ACCUMULATING SNOW EVEN ON THE FLOORS...BUT
SHOULD LIKELY BE VERY LIGHT IF IT DOES.

LOW CUTS OFF TO OUR SOUTHEAST ON SUNDAY AND NORTHWEST PRESSURE
GRADIENT TIGHTENS UP. THIS MAY MEAN A WIND ADVISORY EVENT IN PARTS
OF THE AREA (NYE COUNTY MAINLY WITH GUSTS POSSIBLY REACHING 50-55
MPH. MAV GUIDANCE IS NOTICEABLY HIGHER THAN MET WITH WIND SPEEDS SO
WILL WAIT BEFORE ISSUING ANYTHING...ESPECIALLY SINCE ITS STILL 36
HOURS OUT. OTHERWISE...MUCH DRIER WITH SUNSHINE RETURNING AS THE
RIDGE TO OUR WEST STARTS TO SLOWLY NOSE EAST INTO NEVADA.
TEMPERATURES WILL RISE JUST A BIT THANKS TO THE SUNSHINE BUT STILL
COOLISH...AND THE WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL DOWNRIGHT CHILLY.

RIDGE CONTINUES SLOWLY BUILD EASTWARD MONDAY WITH DIMINISHING
WINDS...SLOW WARMING...AND PLENTY OF SUNSHINE. RCM

LONG TERM...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. THE MODELS ARE IN
DECENT AGREEMENT FOR THE BEGINNING OF THE LONG TERM PERIOD. ALL
SOLUTIONS ARE DEPICTING A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE
SOUTHWEST. THIS WILL LEAD TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ON TUESDAY WITH
AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S. WINDS WILL REMAIN
ON THE LIGHT SIDE.

TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...MODELS ARE SHOWING THE RIDGE AXIS
SHIFTING TO THE EAST...IN RESPONSE TO A PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM
ENTERING THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. THE FLOW WILL GENERALLY BE IN A
WEST TO EAST FASHION. AFTERNOON HIGHS ON WEDNESDAY WILL AGAIN BE
ABOVE NORMAL WITH READINGS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S WITH LIGHT
WINDS ONCE AGAIN.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...CHANGES IN THE MODELS START
OCCURRING WITH THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM. THE EUROPEAN CONTINUES THE
WEST TO EAST FLOW WHILE THE GFS CARVES A SHORTWAVE TROUGH IN THE
NORTHWEST PACIFIC. SHOULD BE A TAD WARMER DURING THE
OVERNIGHT...WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS ON THURSDAY AGAIN ABOVE NORMAL.

MODELS ARE SHOWING SOME KIND OF TROUGH COMING INTO THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST...BUT VARY GREATLY IN THE TIMING AND STRENGTH. DID NOT
MAKE TOO MANY CHANGES THIS FAR OUT IN THE FORECAST AS A RESULT.

AVIATION...A MOIST ATMOSPHERE AND AN APPROACHING STORM SYSTEM
WILL PROVIDE MAINLY RAIN SHOWERS OVER ALL TERMINALS...WITH
ISOLATED -TSRA POSSIBLE. WITH TROUGH PASSAGE THIS EVENING...ANY
LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS WILL CHANGE OVER SNOW SHOWERS. LOOK FOR
MVFR/IFR REDUCTIONS TO CIG/VSBY DURING THE DAY AND EVENING. WINDS
SW10-15G2025KT DURING THE LATE MORNING TO AFTERNOON...DECREASING
IN THE EVENING.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING
FOR NORTHWESTERN NYE COUNTY.

WIND ADVISORY FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM PDT SUNDAY FOR
SOUTHEASTERN ELKO COUNTY.

&&

$$

90/87




000
FXUS65 KLKN 251652
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
952 AM PDT SAT APR 25 2015

SYNOPSIS...ANOTHER PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS ALONG WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TO THE GREAT BASIN
TODAY...ALONG WITH CHILLY TEMPERATURES. WINDY AND COOL BUT SUNNIER
WEATHER ON SUNDAY WILL GIVE WAY TO MUCH WARMER AND DRIER WEATHER
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.UPDATE...EXPECTING STRONG GUSTY WINDS LATER THIS AFTERNOON FOR
NORTHERN NYE COUNTY AND TONOPAH AREA...ALSO EXPECT GUSTY LEE SIDE
WINDS FOR WENDOVER AND SILVER ZONE PASS AREA TONIGHT THUS
INCREASED WINDS AND ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY FOR THOSE ZONES.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED AT 336 AM /

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH MONDAY. GUIDANCE IS IN REASONABLE
AGREEMENT THIS MORNING. ONE LAST STRONG TROUGH MOVING IN FROM THE
PACIFIC TODAY TO MAKE FOR A RATHER MISERABLE START TO THE
WEEKEND...THOUGH THE MOISTURE IS MUCH- NEEDED IN OUR DROUGHT-
STRICKEN PART OF THE NATION. WARM ADVECTION PRECIPITATION WILL
DOMINATE THIS MORNING AS THE AXIS APROACHES THE CWA FROM THE WEST.
THEN...THIS AFTERNOON...COLD ADVECTION ALOFT WILL PROMOTE
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT...WITH THUNDER AND GRAUPEL/SMALL HAIL
POSSIBLE. TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOL...AS COOL OR PERHAPS A BIT
COOLER THAN YESTERDAY...WITH ABUNDANT CLOUD COVER.

TROUGH AXIS SHIFTS EAST TONIGHT WITH DIMINISHING PRECIPITATION AS
INSOLATION ENDS AND THE LOWER ATMOSPHERE STABILIZES. SNOW LEVELS
WILL DROP TOWARDS MANY VALLEY FLOORS SO ANY LINGERING
PRECIPITATION COULD BE ACCUMULATING SNOW EVEN ON THE FLOORS...BUT
SHOULD LIKELY BE VERY LIGHT IF IT DOES.

LOW CUTS OFF TO OUR SOUTHEAST ON SUNDAY AND NORTHWEST PRESSURE
GRADIENT TIGHTENS UP. THIS MAY MEAN A WIND ADVISORY EVENT IN PARTS
OF THE AREA (NYE COUNTY MAINLY WITH GUSTS POSSIBLY REACHING 50-55
MPH. MAV GUIDANCE IS NOTICEABLY HIGHER THAN MET WITH WIND SPEEDS SO
WILL WAIT BEFORE ISSUING ANYTHING...ESPECIALLY SINCE ITS STILL 36
HOURS OUT. OTHERWISE...MUCH DRIER WITH SUNSHINE RETURNING AS THE
RIDGE TO OUR WEST STARTS TO SLOWLY NOSE EAST INTO NEVADA.
TEMPERATURES WILL RISE JUST A BIT THANKS TO THE SUNSHINE BUT STILL
COOLISH...AND THE WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL DOWNRIGHT CHILLY.

RIDGE CONTINUES SLOWLY BUILD EASTWARD MONDAY WITH DIMINISHING
WINDS...SLOW WARMING...AND PLENTY OF SUNSHINE. RCM

LONG TERM...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. THE MODELS ARE IN
DECENT AGREEMENT FOR THE BEGINNING OF THE LONG TERM PERIOD. ALL
SOLUTIONS ARE DEPICTING A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE
SOUTHWEST. THIS WILL LEAD TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ON TUESDAY WITH
AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S. WINDS WILL REMAIN
ON THE LIGHT SIDE.

TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...MODELS ARE SHOWING THE RIDGE AXIS
SHIFTING TO THE EAST...IN RESPONSE TO A PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM
ENTERING THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. THE FLOW WILL GENERALLY BE IN A
WEST TO EAST FASHION. AFTERNOON HIGHS ON WEDNESDAY WILL AGAIN BE
ABOVE NORMAL WITH READINGS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S WITH LIGHT
WINDS ONCE AGAIN.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...CHANGES IN THE MODELS START
OCCURRING WITH THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM. THE EUROPEAN CONTINUES THE
WEST TO EAST FLOW WHILE THE GFS CARVES A SHORTWAVE TROUGH IN THE
NORTHWEST PACIFIC. SHOULD BE A TAD WARMER DURING THE
OVERNIGHT...WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS ON THURSDAY AGAIN ABOVE NORMAL.

MODELS ARE SHOWING SOME KIND OF TROUGH COMING INTO THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST...BUT VARY GREATLY IN THE TIMING AND STRENGTH. DID NOT
MAKE TOO MANY CHANGES THIS FAR OUT IN THE FORECAST AS A RESULT.

AVIATION...A MOIST ATMOSPHERE AND AN APPROACHING STORM SYSTEM
WILL PROVIDE MAINLY RAIN SHOWERS OVER ALL TERMINALS...WITH
ISOLATED -TSRA POSSIBLE. WITH TROUGH PASSAGE THIS EVENING...ANY
LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS WILL CHANGE OVER SNOW SHOWERS. LOOK FOR
MVFR/IFR REDUCTIONS TO CIG/VSBY DURING THE DAY AND EVENING. WINDS
SW10-15G2025KT DURING THE LATE MORNING TO AFTERNOON...DECREASING
IN THE EVENING.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING
FOR NORTHWESTERN NYE COUNTY.

WIND ADVISORY FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM PDT SUNDAY FOR
SOUTHEASTERN ELKO COUNTY.

&&

$$

90/87





000
FXUS65 KLKN 251040 AAA
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
336 AM PDT SAT APR 25 2015

.SYNOPSIS...ANOTHER PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS ALONG WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TO THE GREAT BASIN
TODAY...ALONG WITH CHILLY TEMPERATURES. WINDY AND COOL BUT SUNNIER
WEATHER ON SUNDAY WILL GIVE WAY TO MUCH WARMER AND DRIER WEATHER
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH MONDAY. GUIDANCE IS IN REASONABLE
AGREEMENT THIS MORNING. ONE LAST STRONG TROUGH MOVING IN FROM THE
PACIFIC TODAY TO MAKE FOR A RATHER MISERABLE START TO THE
WEEKEND...THOUGH THE MOISTURE IS MUCH- NEEDED IN OUR DROUGHT-
STRICKEN PART OF THE NATION. WARM ADVECTION PRECIPITATION WILL
DOMINATE THIS MORNING AS THE AXIS APROACHES THE CWA FROM THE WEST.
THEN...THIS AFTERNOON...COLD ADVECTION ALOFT WILL PROMOTE
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT...WITH THUNDER AND GRAUPEL/SMALL HAIL
POSSIBLE. TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOL...AS COOL OR PERHAPS A BIT
COOLER THAN YESTERDAY...WITH ABUNDANT CLOUD COVER.

TROUGH AXIS SHIFTS EAST TONIGHT WITH DIMINISHING PRECIPITATION AS
INSOLATION ENDS AND THE LOWER ATMOSPHERE STABILIZES. SNOW LEVELS
WILL DROP TOWARDS MANY VALLEY FLOORS SO ANY LINGERING
PRECIPITATION COULD BE ACCUMULATING SNOW EVEN ON THE FLOORS...BUT
SHOULD LIKELY BE VERY LIGHT IF IT DOES.

LOW CUTS OFF TO OUR SOUTHEAST ON SUNDAY AND NORTHWEST PRESSURE
GRADIENT TIGHTENS UP. THIS MAY MEAN A WIND ADVISORY EVENT IN PARTS
OF THE AREA (NYE COUNTY MAINLY WITH GUSTS POSSIBLY REACHING 50-55
MPH. MAV GUIDANCE IS NOTICEABLY HIGHER THAN MET WITH WIND SPEEDS SO
WILL WAIT BEFORE ISSUING ANYTHING...ESPECIALLY SINCE ITS STILL 36
HOURS OUT. OTHERWISE...MUCH DRIER WITH SUNSHINE RETURNING AS THE
RIDGE TO OUR WEST STARTS TO SLOWLY NOSE EAST INTO NEVADA.
TEMPERATURES WILL RISE JUST A BIT THANKS TO THE SUNSHINE BUT STILL
COOLISH...AND THE WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL DOWNRIGHT CHILLY.

RIDGE CONTINUES SLOWLY BUILD EASTWARD MONDAY WITH DIMINISHING
WINDS...SLOW WARMING...AND PLENTY OF SUNSHINE. RCM

.LONG TERM...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. THE MODELS ARE IN
DECENT AGREEMENT FOR THE BEGINNING OF THE LONG TERM PERIOD. ALL
SOLUTIONS ARE DEPICTING A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE
SOUTHWEST. THIS WILL LEAD TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ON TUESDAY WITH
AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S. WINDS WILL REMAIN
ON THE LIGHT SIDE.

TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...MODELS ARE SHOWING THE RIDGE AXIS
SHIFTING TO THE EAST...IN RESPONSE TO A PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM
ENTERING THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. THE FLOW WILL GENERALLY BE IN A
WEST TO EAST FASHION. AFTERNOON HIGHS ON WEDNESDAY WILL AGAIN BE
ABOVE NORMAL WITH READINGS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S WITH LIGHT
WINDS ONCE AGAIN.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...CHANGES IN THE MODELS START
OCCURRING WITH THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM. THE EUROPEAN CONTINUES THE
WEST TO EAST FLOW WHILE THE GFS CARVES A SHORTWAVE TROUGH IN THE
NORTHWEST PACIFIC. SHOULD BE A TAD WARMER DURING THE
OVERNIGHT...WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS ON THURSDAY AGAIN ABOVE NORMAL.

MODELS ARE SHOWING SOME KIND OF TROUGH COMING INTO THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST...BUT VARY GREATLY IN THE TIMING AND STRENGTH. DID NOT
MAKE TOO MANY CHANGES THIS FAR OUT IN THE FORECAST AS A RESULT.

&&

.AVIATION...A MOIST ATMOSPHERE AND AN APPROACHING STORM SYSTEM
WILL PROVIDE MAINLY RAIN SHOWERS OVER ALL TERMINALS...WITH
ISOLATED -TSRA POSSIBLE. WITH TROUGH PASSAGE THIS EVENING...ANY
LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS WILL CHANGE OVER SNOW SHOWERS. LOOK FOR
MVFR/IFR REDUCTIONS TO CIG/VSBY DURING THE DAY AND EVENING. WINDS
SW10-15G2025KT DURING THE LATE MORNING TO AFTERNOON...DECREASING
IN THE EVENING.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

93/86/86




000
FXUS65 KLKN 251040 AAA
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
336 AM PDT SAT APR 25 2015

.SYNOPSIS...ANOTHER PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS ALONG WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TO THE GREAT BASIN
TODAY...ALONG WITH CHILLY TEMPERATURES. WINDY AND COOL BUT SUNNIER
WEATHER ON SUNDAY WILL GIVE WAY TO MUCH WARMER AND DRIER WEATHER
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH MONDAY. GUIDANCE IS IN REASONABLE
AGREEMENT THIS MORNING. ONE LAST STRONG TROUGH MOVING IN FROM THE
PACIFIC TODAY TO MAKE FOR A RATHER MISERABLE START TO THE
WEEKEND...THOUGH THE MOISTURE IS MUCH- NEEDED IN OUR DROUGHT-
STRICKEN PART OF THE NATION. WARM ADVECTION PRECIPITATION WILL
DOMINATE THIS MORNING AS THE AXIS APROACHES THE CWA FROM THE WEST.
THEN...THIS AFTERNOON...COLD ADVECTION ALOFT WILL PROMOTE
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT...WITH THUNDER AND GRAUPEL/SMALL HAIL
POSSIBLE. TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOL...AS COOL OR PERHAPS A BIT
COOLER THAN YESTERDAY...WITH ABUNDANT CLOUD COVER.

TROUGH AXIS SHIFTS EAST TONIGHT WITH DIMINISHING PRECIPITATION AS
INSOLATION ENDS AND THE LOWER ATMOSPHERE STABILIZES. SNOW LEVELS
WILL DROP TOWARDS MANY VALLEY FLOORS SO ANY LINGERING
PRECIPITATION COULD BE ACCUMULATING SNOW EVEN ON THE FLOORS...BUT
SHOULD LIKELY BE VERY LIGHT IF IT DOES.

LOW CUTS OFF TO OUR SOUTHEAST ON SUNDAY AND NORTHWEST PRESSURE
GRADIENT TIGHTENS UP. THIS MAY MEAN A WIND ADVISORY EVENT IN PARTS
OF THE AREA (NYE COUNTY MAINLY WITH GUSTS POSSIBLY REACHING 50-55
MPH. MAV GUIDANCE IS NOTICEABLY HIGHER THAN MET WITH WIND SPEEDS SO
WILL WAIT BEFORE ISSUING ANYTHING...ESPECIALLY SINCE ITS STILL 36
HOURS OUT. OTHERWISE...MUCH DRIER WITH SUNSHINE RETURNING AS THE
RIDGE TO OUR WEST STARTS TO SLOWLY NOSE EAST INTO NEVADA.
TEMPERATURES WILL RISE JUST A BIT THANKS TO THE SUNSHINE BUT STILL
COOLISH...AND THE WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL DOWNRIGHT CHILLY.

RIDGE CONTINUES SLOWLY BUILD EASTWARD MONDAY WITH DIMINISHING
WINDS...SLOW WARMING...AND PLENTY OF SUNSHINE. RCM

.LONG TERM...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. THE MODELS ARE IN
DECENT AGREEMENT FOR THE BEGINNING OF THE LONG TERM PERIOD. ALL
SOLUTIONS ARE DEPICTING A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE
SOUTHWEST. THIS WILL LEAD TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ON TUESDAY WITH
AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S. WINDS WILL REMAIN
ON THE LIGHT SIDE.

TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...MODELS ARE SHOWING THE RIDGE AXIS
SHIFTING TO THE EAST...IN RESPONSE TO A PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM
ENTERING THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. THE FLOW WILL GENERALLY BE IN A
WEST TO EAST FASHION. AFTERNOON HIGHS ON WEDNESDAY WILL AGAIN BE
ABOVE NORMAL WITH READINGS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S WITH LIGHT
WINDS ONCE AGAIN.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...CHANGES IN THE MODELS START
OCCURRING WITH THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM. THE EUROPEAN CONTINUES THE
WEST TO EAST FLOW WHILE THE GFS CARVES A SHORTWAVE TROUGH IN THE
NORTHWEST PACIFIC. SHOULD BE A TAD WARMER DURING THE
OVERNIGHT...WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS ON THURSDAY AGAIN ABOVE NORMAL.

MODELS ARE SHOWING SOME KIND OF TROUGH COMING INTO THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST...BUT VARY GREATLY IN THE TIMING AND STRENGTH. DID NOT
MAKE TOO MANY CHANGES THIS FAR OUT IN THE FORECAST AS A RESULT.

&&

.AVIATION...A MOIST ATMOSPHERE AND AN APPROACHING STORM SYSTEM
WILL PROVIDE MAINLY RAIN SHOWERS OVER ALL TERMINALS...WITH
ISOLATED -TSRA POSSIBLE. WITH TROUGH PASSAGE THIS EVENING...ANY
LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS WILL CHANGE OVER SNOW SHOWERS. LOOK FOR
MVFR/IFR REDUCTIONS TO CIG/VSBY DURING THE DAY AND EVENING. WINDS
SW10-15G2025KT DURING THE LATE MORNING TO AFTERNOON...DECREASING
IN THE EVENING.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

93/86/86





000
FXUS65 KLKN 251036
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
336 AM PDT SAT APR 25 2015

.SYNOPSIS...ANOTHER PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS ALONG WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TO THE GREAT BASIN
TODAY...ALONG WITH CHILLY TEMPERATURES. WINDY AND COOL BUT SUNNIER
WEATHER ON SUNDAY WILL GIVE WAY TO MUCH WARMER AND DRIER WEATHER
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH MONDAY. GUIDANCE IS IN REASONABLE
AGREEMENT THIS MORNING. ONE LAST STRONG TROUGH MOVING IN FROM THE
PACIFIC TODAY TO MAKE FOR A RATHER MISERABLE START TO THE
WEEKEND...THOUGH THE MOISTURE IS MUCH- NEEDED IN OUR DROUGHT-
STRICKEN PART OF THE NATION. WARM ADVECTION PRECIPITATION WILL
DOMINATE THIS MORNING AS THE AXIS APROACHES THE CWA FROM THE WEST.
THEN...THIS AFTERNOON...COLD ADVECTION ALOFT WILL PROMOTE
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT...WITH THUNDER AND GRAUPEL/SMALL HAIL
POSSIBLE. TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOL...AS COOL OR PERHAPS A BIT
COOLER THAN YESTERDAY...WITH ABUNDANT CLOUD COVER.

TROUGH AXIS SHIFTS EAST TONIGHT WITH DIMINISHING PRECIPITATION AS
INSOLATION ENDS AND THE LOWER ATMOSPHERE STABILIZES. SNOW LEVELS
WILL DROP TOWARDS MANY VALLEY FLOORS SO ANY LINGERING
PRECIPITATION COULD BE ACCUMULATING SNOW EVEN ON THE FLOORS...BUT
SHOULD LIKELY BE VERY LIGHT IF IT DOES.

LOW CUTS OFF TO OUR SOUTHEAST ON SUNDAY AND NORTHWEST PRESSURE
GRADIENT TIGHTENS UP. THIS MAY MEAN A WIND ADVISORY EVENT IN PARTS
OF THE AREA WITH GUSTS POSSIBLY REACHING 50-55 MPH. MAV GUIDANCE
IS NOTICEABLY HIGHER THAN MET WITH WIND SPEEDS SO WILL WAIT
BEFORE ISSUING ANYTHING...ESPECIALLY SINCE ITS STILL 36 HOURS OUT.
OTHERWISE...MUCH DRIER WITH SUNSHINE RETURNING AS THE RIDGE TO OUR
WEST STARTS TO SLOWLY NOSE EAST INTO NEVADA. TEMPERATURES WILL
RISE JUST A BIT THANKS TO THE SUNSHINE BUT STILL COOLISH...AND THE
WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL DOWNRIGHT CHILLY.

RIDGE CONTINUES SLOWLY BUILD EASTWARD MONDAY WITH DIMINISHING
WINDS...SLOW WARMING...AND PLENTY OF SUNSHINE. RCM

.LONG TERM...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. THE MODELS ARE IN
DECENT AGREEMENT FOR THE BEGINNING OF THE LONG TERM PERIOD. ALL
SOLUTIONS ARE DEPICTING A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE
SOUTHWEST. THIS WILL LEAD TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ON TUESDAY WITH
AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S. WINDS WILL REMAIN
ON THE LIGHT SIDE.

TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...MODELS ARE SHOWING THE RIDGE AXIS
SHIFTING TO THE EAST...IN RESPONSE TO A PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM
ENTERING THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. THE FLOW WILL GENERALLY BE IN A
WEST TO EAST FASHION. AFTERNOON HIGHS ON WEDNESDAY WILL AGAIN BE
ABOVE NORMAL WITH READINGS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S WITH LIGHT
WINDS ONCE AGAIN.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...CHANGES IN THE MODELS START
OCCURRING WITH THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM. THE EUROPEAN CONTINUES THE
WEST TO EAST FLOW WHILE THE GFS CARVES A SHORTWAVE TROUGH IN THE
NORTHWEST PACIFIC. SHOULD BE A TAD WARMER DURING THE
OVERNIGHT...WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS ON THURSDAY AGAIN ABOVE NORMAL.

MODELS ARE SHOWING SOME KIND OF TROUGH COMING INTO THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST...BUT VARY GREATLY IN THE TIMING AND STRENGTH. DID NOT
MAKE TOO MANY CHANGES THIS FAR OUT IN THE FORECAST AS A RESULT.

&&

.AVIATION...A MOIST ATMOSPHERE AND AN APPROACHING STORM SYSTEM
WILL PROVIDE MAINLY RAIN SHOWERS OVER ALL TERMINALS...WITH
ISOLATED -TSRA POSSIBLE. WITH TROUGH PASSAGE THIS EVENING...ANY
LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS WILL CHANGE OVER SNOW SHOWERS. LOOK FOR
MVFR/IFR REDUCTIONS TO CIG/VSBY DURING THE DAY AND EVENING. WINDS
SW10-15G2025KT DURING THE LATE MORNING TO AFTERNOON...DECREASING
IN THE EVENING.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

93/86/86




000
FXUS65 KLKN 251036
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
336 AM PDT SAT APR 25 2015

.SYNOPSIS...ANOTHER PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS ALONG WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TO THE GREAT BASIN
TODAY...ALONG WITH CHILLY TEMPERATURES. WINDY AND COOL BUT SUNNIER
WEATHER ON SUNDAY WILL GIVE WAY TO MUCH WARMER AND DRIER WEATHER
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH MONDAY. GUIDANCE IS IN REASONABLE
AGREEMENT THIS MORNING. ONE LAST STRONG TROUGH MOVING IN FROM THE
PACIFIC TODAY TO MAKE FOR A RATHER MISERABLE START TO THE
WEEKEND...THOUGH THE MOISTURE IS MUCH- NEEDED IN OUR DROUGHT-
STRICKEN PART OF THE NATION. WARM ADVECTION PRECIPITATION WILL
DOMINATE THIS MORNING AS THE AXIS APROACHES THE CWA FROM THE WEST.
THEN...THIS AFTERNOON...COLD ADVECTION ALOFT WILL PROMOTE
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT...WITH THUNDER AND GRAUPEL/SMALL HAIL
POSSIBLE. TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOL...AS COOL OR PERHAPS A BIT
COOLER THAN YESTERDAY...WITH ABUNDANT CLOUD COVER.

TROUGH AXIS SHIFTS EAST TONIGHT WITH DIMINISHING PRECIPITATION AS
INSOLATION ENDS AND THE LOWER ATMOSPHERE STABILIZES. SNOW LEVELS
WILL DROP TOWARDS MANY VALLEY FLOORS SO ANY LINGERING
PRECIPITATION COULD BE ACCUMULATING SNOW EVEN ON THE FLOORS...BUT
SHOULD LIKELY BE VERY LIGHT IF IT DOES.

LOW CUTS OFF TO OUR SOUTHEAST ON SUNDAY AND NORTHWEST PRESSURE
GRADIENT TIGHTENS UP. THIS MAY MEAN A WIND ADVISORY EVENT IN PARTS
OF THE AREA WITH GUSTS POSSIBLY REACHING 50-55 MPH. MAV GUIDANCE
IS NOTICEABLY HIGHER THAN MET WITH WIND SPEEDS SO WILL WAIT
BEFORE ISSUING ANYTHING...ESPECIALLY SINCE ITS STILL 36 HOURS OUT.
OTHERWISE...MUCH DRIER WITH SUNSHINE RETURNING AS THE RIDGE TO OUR
WEST STARTS TO SLOWLY NOSE EAST INTO NEVADA. TEMPERATURES WILL
RISE JUST A BIT THANKS TO THE SUNSHINE BUT STILL COOLISH...AND THE
WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL DOWNRIGHT CHILLY.

RIDGE CONTINUES SLOWLY BUILD EASTWARD MONDAY WITH DIMINISHING
WINDS...SLOW WARMING...AND PLENTY OF SUNSHINE. RCM

.LONG TERM...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. THE MODELS ARE IN
DECENT AGREEMENT FOR THE BEGINNING OF THE LONG TERM PERIOD. ALL
SOLUTIONS ARE DEPICTING A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE
SOUTHWEST. THIS WILL LEAD TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ON TUESDAY WITH
AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S. WINDS WILL REMAIN
ON THE LIGHT SIDE.

TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...MODELS ARE SHOWING THE RIDGE AXIS
SHIFTING TO THE EAST...IN RESPONSE TO A PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM
ENTERING THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. THE FLOW WILL GENERALLY BE IN A
WEST TO EAST FASHION. AFTERNOON HIGHS ON WEDNESDAY WILL AGAIN BE
ABOVE NORMAL WITH READINGS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S WITH LIGHT
WINDS ONCE AGAIN.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...CHANGES IN THE MODELS START
OCCURRING WITH THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM. THE EUROPEAN CONTINUES THE
WEST TO EAST FLOW WHILE THE GFS CARVES A SHORTWAVE TROUGH IN THE
NORTHWEST PACIFIC. SHOULD BE A TAD WARMER DURING THE
OVERNIGHT...WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS ON THURSDAY AGAIN ABOVE NORMAL.

MODELS ARE SHOWING SOME KIND OF TROUGH COMING INTO THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST...BUT VARY GREATLY IN THE TIMING AND STRENGTH. DID NOT
MAKE TOO MANY CHANGES THIS FAR OUT IN THE FORECAST AS A RESULT.

&&

.AVIATION...A MOIST ATMOSPHERE AND AN APPROACHING STORM SYSTEM
WILL PROVIDE MAINLY RAIN SHOWERS OVER ALL TERMINALS...WITH
ISOLATED -TSRA POSSIBLE. WITH TROUGH PASSAGE THIS EVENING...ANY
LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS WILL CHANGE OVER SNOW SHOWERS. LOOK FOR
MVFR/IFR REDUCTIONS TO CIG/VSBY DURING THE DAY AND EVENING. WINDS
SW10-15G2025KT DURING THE LATE MORNING TO AFTERNOON...DECREASING
IN THE EVENING.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

93/86/86





000
FXUS65 KLKN 250622
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
801 PM PDT FRI APR 24 2015

.SYNOPSIS...VALLEY RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW TONIGHT AND AGAIN ON
SATURDAY. ALSO ON SATURDAY...WINDS WILL BECOME GUSTY AND MOST
AREAS WILL HAVE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. SATURDAY EVENING
SNOW LEVELS WILL LOWER TO VALLEY FLOORS AS PRECIPITATION BEGINS TO
TAPER OFF. COOL AND DRY ON SUNDAY WITH A WARMING TREND NEXT WEEK.


&&

.UPDATE...LOWERED SNOW LEVELS FOR TONIGHT BASED ON REPORTS OF SNOW
REACHING THE GROUND IN WELLS. NO OTHER CHANGES AT THIS TIME.
PRECIPITATION WILL BE SPOTTY FROM THIS POINT ON AND LITTLE IF ANY
VALLEY ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED SO NO HEADLINES ARE NECESSARY. RCM


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED AT 326 PM /

SYNOPSIS...VALLEY RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW TODAY AND AGAIN ON
SATURDAY. ALSO ON SATURDAY...WINDS WILL BECOME GUSTY AND MOST
AREAS WILL HAVE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. SATURDAY EVENING
SNOW LEVELS WILL LOWER TO VALLEY FLOORS AS PRECIPITATION BEGINS TO
TAPER OFF. COOL AND DRY ON SUNDAY WITH A WARMING TREND NEXT WEEK.

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. CURRENTLY...A SHORTWAVE IS
MOVING THROUGH NORTHERN NEVADA. THIS SHOWS UP NICELY ON THE WATER
VAPOR. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO SLIDE EASTWARD THROUGH THE
EVENING...DEVELOPING/MAINTAINING LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN SHOWERS
AND AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM OR TWO. ANY ONE SHOWER COULD DROP
~0.25 INCHES OF RAIN. THE HRRR SHOWS CONVECTION ENDING AROUND 00Z
TO 03Z FROM WEST TO EAST.

WE WILL HAVE A BRIEF BREAK FROM SHOWERS LATER THIS EVENING...BUT
THAT WILL BE SHORT LIVED AS THE NEXT WAVE DROPS IN FROM THE
NORTHWEST. THIS TROUGH IS MUCH STRONGER AND IS NEGATIVELY TILTED.
DUE TO THE NEGATIVE TILT OF THE TROUGH...THE MODELS MAY BE A TAD
TOO QUICK WITH THE TROUGH. THEREFORE...THE HIGHEST QPF/SNOW
AMOUNTS ARE IN WHITE PINE AND NE NYE COUNTIES. ISOLATED TS WILL
AGAIN BE POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY...MAINLY EAST OF HIGHWAY 95. SNOW
LEVELS WILL START OUT ABOVE 7000FT...BUT WILL LOWER TO MOST
VALLEY FLOORS BETWEEN 5500-6500FT THROUGH THE AFTERNOON/EVENING.
SNOW LEVELS IN FAR NW NV WILL START OUT AROUND 6500FT AND LOWER
TO 5000FT BY SATURDAY EVENING. EXPECTING LITTLE...IF ANY...IMPACTS
IN THE VALLEYS. THE COLD AIR WILL BE SLOW TO ARRIVE...AND GIVEN
THE HIGH SUN ANGLE...ROADS SHOULD REMAIN WET. ANY IMPACTS WILL BE
ABOVE 6500FT...BUT WILL STILL BE MINIMAL GIVEN THE TIME OF YEAR. A
TRACE TO ONE INCH OF SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE BELOW 6500FT...WITH
SEVERAL INCHES IN THE MOUNTAINS. SOME OF THE HIGHER ELEVATION
VALLEYS IN NORTHERN ELKO AND WHITE PINE COUNTIES COULD LOCALLY SEE
UP TO 3 INCHES. LOCALLY A FOOT OF SNOW COULD FALL IN THE HIGHEST
MTNS IN WHITE PINE AND NE NYE COUNTIES.

IN ADDITION...GUSTY NW WINDS WILL DEVELOP SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON. NW NYE WILL APPROACH WIND ADV CRITERIA DUE TO
PRESSURE GRADIENT/PRESSURE FALLS. MAV/MET GUIDANCE SUPPORTS STRONG
GUSTS AND THIS WILL BE MONITORED FOR AN ADV.

BY SUNDAY MORNING...MOST LOCATIONS WILL BE DRY. A WARMING TREND
WILL COMMENCE ON MONDAY...WHERE 60S/70S WILL BE PREVALENT.

LONG TERM...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. MODELS IN FAIRLY GOOD
AGREEMENT WITH THE OVERALL PATTERN THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. RIDGE
BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST MONDAY NIGHT WITH RIDGE AXIS OVER THE CWA
BY 18Z TUESDAY FOR A WARMING TREND AND DRY CONDITIONS. SHORTWAVE
PASSING TO THE NORTHWEST FLATTENS THE RIDGE A BIT BUT KEEPS WARM
SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER OUR REGION...WITH TEMPERATURES NEAR 80 DEGREES
BY WEDNESDAY. 12Z MODELS DIFFER WITH GFS NOW TRYING TO DIG A STRONG
TROF INTO NORTHERN CA WHILE THE EC MUCH WEAKER WITH THIS SHORTWAVE.
STILL...EITHER SOLUTION WOULD KEEP THE CWA DRY...BUT GFS WOULD IMPLY
WINDY CONDITIONS AND SOME INSTABILITY IN CENTRAL NV. UNTIL MODELS
COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT...RIGHT NOW WILL LEAN TOWARD WEAKER EC
MODEL IN KEEPING THE CWA DRY WITH LESS WIND AND STABILITY.

AVIATION...RAIN SHOWERS OVER THE CWA WILL DECREASE THIS EVENING
BRIEFLY BEFORE INCREASING AGAIN AFTER 10Z AT KWMC...18Z AT KEKO
..AND 20Z AT KELY. THUS ON SATURDAY...CIGS ARE EXPECTED TO LOWER TO
AT LEAST MVFR AND PERHAPS BRIEFLY IFR AT THESE TERMINALS. WINDS WILL
BE GUSTY AT THE TERMINALS THROUGH 03Z THIS EVENING.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

93/99




000
FXUS65 KLKN 250622
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
801 PM PDT FRI APR 24 2015

.SYNOPSIS...VALLEY RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW TONIGHT AND AGAIN ON
SATURDAY. ALSO ON SATURDAY...WINDS WILL BECOME GUSTY AND MOST
AREAS WILL HAVE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. SATURDAY EVENING
SNOW LEVELS WILL LOWER TO VALLEY FLOORS AS PRECIPITATION BEGINS TO
TAPER OFF. COOL AND DRY ON SUNDAY WITH A WARMING TREND NEXT WEEK.


&&

.UPDATE...LOWERED SNOW LEVELS FOR TONIGHT BASED ON REPORTS OF SNOW
REACHING THE GROUND IN WELLS. NO OTHER CHANGES AT THIS TIME.
PRECIPITATION WILL BE SPOTTY FROM THIS POINT ON AND LITTLE IF ANY
VALLEY ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED SO NO HEADLINES ARE NECESSARY. RCM


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED AT 326 PM /

SYNOPSIS...VALLEY RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW TODAY AND AGAIN ON
SATURDAY. ALSO ON SATURDAY...WINDS WILL BECOME GUSTY AND MOST
AREAS WILL HAVE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. SATURDAY EVENING
SNOW LEVELS WILL LOWER TO VALLEY FLOORS AS PRECIPITATION BEGINS TO
TAPER OFF. COOL AND DRY ON SUNDAY WITH A WARMING TREND NEXT WEEK.

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. CURRENTLY...A SHORTWAVE IS
MOVING THROUGH NORTHERN NEVADA. THIS SHOWS UP NICELY ON THE WATER
VAPOR. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO SLIDE EASTWARD THROUGH THE
EVENING...DEVELOPING/MAINTAINING LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN SHOWERS
AND AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM OR TWO. ANY ONE SHOWER COULD DROP
~0.25 INCHES OF RAIN. THE HRRR SHOWS CONVECTION ENDING AROUND 00Z
TO 03Z FROM WEST TO EAST.

WE WILL HAVE A BRIEF BREAK FROM SHOWERS LATER THIS EVENING...BUT
THAT WILL BE SHORT LIVED AS THE NEXT WAVE DROPS IN FROM THE
NORTHWEST. THIS TROUGH IS MUCH STRONGER AND IS NEGATIVELY TILTED.
DUE TO THE NEGATIVE TILT OF THE TROUGH...THE MODELS MAY BE A TAD
TOO QUICK WITH THE TROUGH. THEREFORE...THE HIGHEST QPF/SNOW
AMOUNTS ARE IN WHITE PINE AND NE NYE COUNTIES. ISOLATED TS WILL
AGAIN BE POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY...MAINLY EAST OF HIGHWAY 95. SNOW
LEVELS WILL START OUT ABOVE 7000FT...BUT WILL LOWER TO MOST
VALLEY FLOORS BETWEEN 5500-6500FT THROUGH THE AFTERNOON/EVENING.
SNOW LEVELS IN FAR NW NV WILL START OUT AROUND 6500FT AND LOWER
TO 5000FT BY SATURDAY EVENING. EXPECTING LITTLE...IF ANY...IMPACTS
IN THE VALLEYS. THE COLD AIR WILL BE SLOW TO ARRIVE...AND GIVEN
THE HIGH SUN ANGLE...ROADS SHOULD REMAIN WET. ANY IMPACTS WILL BE
ABOVE 6500FT...BUT WILL STILL BE MINIMAL GIVEN THE TIME OF YEAR. A
TRACE TO ONE INCH OF SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE BELOW 6500FT...WITH
SEVERAL INCHES IN THE MOUNTAINS. SOME OF THE HIGHER ELEVATION
VALLEYS IN NORTHERN ELKO AND WHITE PINE COUNTIES COULD LOCALLY SEE
UP TO 3 INCHES. LOCALLY A FOOT OF SNOW COULD FALL IN THE HIGHEST
MTNS IN WHITE PINE AND NE NYE COUNTIES.

IN ADDITION...GUSTY NW WINDS WILL DEVELOP SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON. NW NYE WILL APPROACH WIND ADV CRITERIA DUE TO
PRESSURE GRADIENT/PRESSURE FALLS. MAV/MET GUIDANCE SUPPORTS STRONG
GUSTS AND THIS WILL BE MONITORED FOR AN ADV.

BY SUNDAY MORNING...MOST LOCATIONS WILL BE DRY. A WARMING TREND
WILL COMMENCE ON MONDAY...WHERE 60S/70S WILL BE PREVALENT.

LONG TERM...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. MODELS IN FAIRLY GOOD
AGREEMENT WITH THE OVERALL PATTERN THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. RIDGE
BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST MONDAY NIGHT WITH RIDGE AXIS OVER THE CWA
BY 18Z TUESDAY FOR A WARMING TREND AND DRY CONDITIONS. SHORTWAVE
PASSING TO THE NORTHWEST FLATTENS THE RIDGE A BIT BUT KEEPS WARM
SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER OUR REGION...WITH TEMPERATURES NEAR 80 DEGREES
BY WEDNESDAY. 12Z MODELS DIFFER WITH GFS NOW TRYING TO DIG A STRONG
TROF INTO NORTHERN CA WHILE THE EC MUCH WEAKER WITH THIS SHORTWAVE.
STILL...EITHER SOLUTION WOULD KEEP THE CWA DRY...BUT GFS WOULD IMPLY
WINDY CONDITIONS AND SOME INSTABILITY IN CENTRAL NV. UNTIL MODELS
COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT...RIGHT NOW WILL LEAN TOWARD WEAKER EC
MODEL IN KEEPING THE CWA DRY WITH LESS WIND AND STABILITY.

AVIATION...RAIN SHOWERS OVER THE CWA WILL DECREASE THIS EVENING
BRIEFLY BEFORE INCREASING AGAIN AFTER 10Z AT KWMC...18Z AT KEKO
..AND 20Z AT KELY. THUS ON SATURDAY...CIGS ARE EXPECTED TO LOWER TO
AT LEAST MVFR AND PERHAPS BRIEFLY IFR AT THESE TERMINALS. WINDS WILL
BE GUSTY AT THE TERMINALS THROUGH 03Z THIS EVENING.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

93/99





000
FXUS65 KLKN 250301
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
801 PM PDT FRI APR 24 2015

.SYNOPSIS...VALLEY RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW TONIGHT AND AGAIN ON
SATURDAY. ALSO ON SATURDAY...WINDS WILL BECOME GUSTY AND MOST
AREAS WILL HAVE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. SATURDAY EVENING
SNOW LEVELS WILL LOWER TO VALLEY FLOORS AS PRECIPITATION BEGINS TO
TAPER OFF. COOL AND DRY ON SUNDAY WITH A WARMING TREND NEXT WEEK.


&&

.UPDATE...LOWERED SNOW LEVELS FOR TONIGHT BASED ON REPORTS OF SNOW
REACHING THE GROUND IN WELLS. NO OTHER CHANGES AT THIS TMIE.
PRECIPITATION WILL BE SPOTTY FROM THIS POINT ON AND LITTLE IF ANY
VALLEY ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED SO NO HEADLINES ARE NECESSARY. RCM


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED AT 326 PM /

SYNOPSIS...VALLEY RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW TODAY AND AGAIN ON
SATURDAY. ALSO ON SATURDAY...WINDS WILL BECOME GUSTY AND MOST
AREAS WILL HAVE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. SATURDAY EVENING
SNOW LEVELS WILL LOWER TO VALLEY FLOORS AS PRECIPITATION BEGINS TO
TAPER OFF. COOL AND DRY ON SUNDAY WITH A WARMING TREND NEXT WEEK.

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. CURRENTLY...A SHORTWAVE IS
MOVING THROUGH NORTHERN NEVADA. THIS SHOWS UP NICELY ON THE WATER
VAPOR. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO SLIDE EASTWARD THROUGH THE
EVENING...DEVELOPING/MAINTAINING LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN SHOWERS
AND AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM OR TWO. ANY ONE SHOWER COULD DROP
~0.25 INCHES OF RAIN. THE HRRR SHOWS CONVECTION ENDING AROUND 00Z
TO 03Z FROM WEST TO EAST.

WE WILL HAVE A BRIEF BREAK FROM SHOWERS LATER THIS EVENING...BUT
THAT WILL BE SHORT LIVED AS THE NEXT WAVE DROPS IN FROM THE
NORTHWEST. THIS TROUGH IS MUCH STRONGER AND IS NEGATIVELY TILTED.
DUE TO THE NEGATIVE TILT OF THE TROUGH...THE MODELS MAY BE A TAD
TOO QUICK WITH THE TROUGH. THEREFORE...THE HIGHEST QPF/SNOW
AMOUNTS ARE IN WHITE PINE AND NE NYE COUNTIES. ISOLATED TS WILL
AGAIN BE POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY...MAINLY EAST OF HIGHWAY 95. SNOW
LEVELS WILL START OUT ABOVE 7000FT...BUT WILL LOWER TO MOST
VALLEY FLOORS BETWEEN 5500-6500FT THROUGH THE AFTERNOON/EVENING.
SNOW LEVELS IN FAR NW NV WILL START OUT AROUND 6500FT AND LOWER
TO 5000FT BY SATURDAY EVENING. EXPECTING LITTLE...IF ANY...IMPACTS
IN THE VALLEYS. THE COLD AIR WILL BE SLOW TO ARRIVE...AND GIVEN
THE HIGH SUN ANGLE...ROADS SHOULD REMAIN WET. ANY IMPACTS WILL BE
ABOVE 6500FT...BUT WILL STILL BE MINIMAL GIVEN THE TIME OF YEAR. A
TRACE TO ONE INCH OF SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE BELOW 6500FT...WITH
SEVERAL INCHES IN THE MOUNTAINS. SOME OF THE HIGHER ELEVATION
VALLEYS IN NORTHERN ELKO AND WHITE PINE COUNTIES COULD LOCALLY SEE
UP TO 3 INCHES. LOCALLY A FOOT OF SNOW COULD FALL IN THE HIGHEST
MTNS IN WHITE PINE AND NE NYE COUNTIES.

IN ADDITION...GUSTY NW WINDS WILL DEVELOP SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON. NW NYE WILL APPROACH WIND ADV CRITERIA DUE TO
PRESSURE GRADIENT/PRESSURE FALLS. MAV/MET GUIDANCE SUPPORTS STRONG
GUSTS AND THIS WILL BE MONITORED FOR AN ADV.

BY SUNDAY MORNING...MOST LOCATIONS WILL BE DRY. A WARMING TREND
WILL COMMENCE ON MONDAY...WHERE 60S/70S WILL BE PREVALENT.

LONG TERM...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. MODELS IN FAIRLY GOOD
AGREEMENT WITH THE OVERALL PATTERN THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. RIDGE
BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST MONDAY NIGHT WITH RIDGE AXIS OVER THE CWA
BY 18Z TUESDAY FOR A WARMING TREND AND DRY CONDITIONS. SHORTWAVE
PASSING TO THE NORTHWEST FLATTENS THE RIDGE A BIT BUT KEEPS WARM
SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER OUR REGION...WITH TEMPERATURES NEAR 80 DEGREES
BY WEDNESDAY. 12Z MODELS DIFFER WITH GFS NOW TRYING TO DIG A STRONG
TROF INTO NORTHERN CA WHILE THE EC MUCH WEAKER WITH THIS SHORTWAVE.
STILL...EITHER SOLUTION WOULD KEEP THE CWA DRY...BUT GFS WOULD IMPLY
WINDY CONDITIONS AND SOME INSTABILITY IN CENTRAL NV. UNTIL MODELS
COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT...RIGHT NOW WILL LEAN TOWARD WEAKER EC
MODEL IN KEEPING THE CWA DRY WITH LESS WIND AND STABILITY.

AVIATION...RAIN SHOWERS OVER THE CWA WILL DECREASE THIS EVENING
BRIEFLY BEFORE INCREASING AGAIN AFTER 10Z AT KWMC...18Z AT KEKO
..AND 20Z AT KELY. THUS ON SATURDAY...CIGS ARE EXPECTED TO LOWER TO
AT LEAST MVFR AND PERHAPS BRIEFLY IFR AT THESE TERMINALS. WINDS WILL
BE GUSTY AT THE TERMINALS THROUGH 03Z THIS EVENING.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

93/99




000
FXUS65 KLKN 250301
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
801 PM PDT FRI APR 24 2015

.SYNOPSIS...VALLEY RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW TONIGHT AND AGAIN ON
SATURDAY. ALSO ON SATURDAY...WINDS WILL BECOME GUSTY AND MOST
AREAS WILL HAVE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. SATURDAY EVENING
SNOW LEVELS WILL LOWER TO VALLEY FLOORS AS PRECIPITATION BEGINS TO
TAPER OFF. COOL AND DRY ON SUNDAY WITH A WARMING TREND NEXT WEEK.


&&

.UPDATE...LOWERED SNOW LEVELS FOR TONIGHT BASED ON REPORTS OF SNOW
REACHING THE GROUND IN WELLS. NO OTHER CHANGES AT THIS TMIE.
PRECIPITATION WILL BE SPOTTY FROM THIS POINT ON AND LITTLE IF ANY
VALLEY ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED SO NO HEADLINES ARE NECESSARY. RCM


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED AT 326 PM /

SYNOPSIS...VALLEY RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW TODAY AND AGAIN ON
SATURDAY. ALSO ON SATURDAY...WINDS WILL BECOME GUSTY AND MOST
AREAS WILL HAVE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. SATURDAY EVENING
SNOW LEVELS WILL LOWER TO VALLEY FLOORS AS PRECIPITATION BEGINS TO
TAPER OFF. COOL AND DRY ON SUNDAY WITH A WARMING TREND NEXT WEEK.

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. CURRENTLY...A SHORTWAVE IS
MOVING THROUGH NORTHERN NEVADA. THIS SHOWS UP NICELY ON THE WATER
VAPOR. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO SLIDE EASTWARD THROUGH THE
EVENING...DEVELOPING/MAINTAINING LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN SHOWERS
AND AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM OR TWO. ANY ONE SHOWER COULD DROP
~0.25 INCHES OF RAIN. THE HRRR SHOWS CONVECTION ENDING AROUND 00Z
TO 03Z FROM WEST TO EAST.

WE WILL HAVE A BRIEF BREAK FROM SHOWERS LATER THIS EVENING...BUT
THAT WILL BE SHORT LIVED AS THE NEXT WAVE DROPS IN FROM THE
NORTHWEST. THIS TROUGH IS MUCH STRONGER AND IS NEGATIVELY TILTED.
DUE TO THE NEGATIVE TILT OF THE TROUGH...THE MODELS MAY BE A TAD
TOO QUICK WITH THE TROUGH. THEREFORE...THE HIGHEST QPF/SNOW
AMOUNTS ARE IN WHITE PINE AND NE NYE COUNTIES. ISOLATED TS WILL
AGAIN BE POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY...MAINLY EAST OF HIGHWAY 95. SNOW
LEVELS WILL START OUT ABOVE 7000FT...BUT WILL LOWER TO MOST
VALLEY FLOORS BETWEEN 5500-6500FT THROUGH THE AFTERNOON/EVENING.
SNOW LEVELS IN FAR NW NV WILL START OUT AROUND 6500FT AND LOWER
TO 5000FT BY SATURDAY EVENING. EXPECTING LITTLE...IF ANY...IMPACTS
IN THE VALLEYS. THE COLD AIR WILL BE SLOW TO ARRIVE...AND GIVEN
THE HIGH SUN ANGLE...ROADS SHOULD REMAIN WET. ANY IMPACTS WILL BE
ABOVE 6500FT...BUT WILL STILL BE MINIMAL GIVEN THE TIME OF YEAR. A
TRACE TO ONE INCH OF SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE BELOW 6500FT...WITH
SEVERAL INCHES IN THE MOUNTAINS. SOME OF THE HIGHER ELEVATION
VALLEYS IN NORTHERN ELKO AND WHITE PINE COUNTIES COULD LOCALLY SEE
UP TO 3 INCHES. LOCALLY A FOOT OF SNOW COULD FALL IN THE HIGHEST
MTNS IN WHITE PINE AND NE NYE COUNTIES.

IN ADDITION...GUSTY NW WINDS WILL DEVELOP SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON. NW NYE WILL APPROACH WIND ADV CRITERIA DUE TO
PRESSURE GRADIENT/PRESSURE FALLS. MAV/MET GUIDANCE SUPPORTS STRONG
GUSTS AND THIS WILL BE MONITORED FOR AN ADV.

BY SUNDAY MORNING...MOST LOCATIONS WILL BE DRY. A WARMING TREND
WILL COMMENCE ON MONDAY...WHERE 60S/70S WILL BE PREVALENT.

LONG TERM...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. MODELS IN FAIRLY GOOD
AGREEMENT WITH THE OVERALL PATTERN THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. RIDGE
BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST MONDAY NIGHT WITH RIDGE AXIS OVER THE CWA
BY 18Z TUESDAY FOR A WARMING TREND AND DRY CONDITIONS. SHORTWAVE
PASSING TO THE NORTHWEST FLATTENS THE RIDGE A BIT BUT KEEPS WARM
SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER OUR REGION...WITH TEMPERATURES NEAR 80 DEGREES
BY WEDNESDAY. 12Z MODELS DIFFER WITH GFS NOW TRYING TO DIG A STRONG
TROF INTO NORTHERN CA WHILE THE EC MUCH WEAKER WITH THIS SHORTWAVE.
STILL...EITHER SOLUTION WOULD KEEP THE CWA DRY...BUT GFS WOULD IMPLY
WINDY CONDITIONS AND SOME INSTABILITY IN CENTRAL NV. UNTIL MODELS
COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT...RIGHT NOW WILL LEAN TOWARD WEAKER EC
MODEL IN KEEPING THE CWA DRY WITH LESS WIND AND STABILITY.

AVIATION...RAIN SHOWERS OVER THE CWA WILL DECREASE THIS EVENING
BRIEFLY BEFORE INCREASING AGAIN AFTER 10Z AT KWMC...18Z AT KEKO
..AND 20Z AT KELY. THUS ON SATURDAY...CIGS ARE EXPECTED TO LOWER TO
AT LEAST MVFR AND PERHAPS BRIEFLY IFR AT THESE TERMINALS. WINDS WILL
BE GUSTY AT THE TERMINALS THROUGH 03Z THIS EVENING.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

93/99





000
FXUS65 KLKN 250301
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
801 PM PDT FRI APR 24 2015

.SYNOPSIS...VALLEY RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW TODAY AND AGAIN ON
SATURDAY. ALSO ON SATURDAY...WINDS WILL BECOME GUSTY AND MOST
AREAS WILL HAVE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. SATURDAY EVENING
SNOW LEVELS WILL LOWER TO VALLEY FLOORS AS PRECIPITATION BEGINS TO
TAPER OFF. COOL AND DRY ON SUNDAY WITH A WARMING TREND NEXT WEEK.


&&

.UPDATE...LOWERED SNOW LEVELS FOR TONIGHT BASED ON REPORTS OF SNOW
REACHING THE GROUND IN WELLS. NO OTHER CHANGES AT THIS TMIE.
PRECIPITATION WILL BE SPOTTY FROM THIS POINT ON AND LITTLE IF ANY
VALLEY ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED SO NO HEADLINES ARE NECESSARY. RCM


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED AT 326 PM /

SYNOPSIS...VALLEY RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW TODAY AND AGAIN ON
SATURDAY. ALSO ON SATURDAY...WINDS WILL BECOME GUSTY AND MOST
AREAS WILL HAVE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. SATURDAY EVENING
SNOW LEVELS WILL LOWER TO VALLEY FLOORS AS PRECIPITATION BEGINS TO
TAPER OFF. COOL AND DRY ON SUNDAY WITH A WARMING TREND NEXT WEEK.

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. CURRENTLY...A SHORTWAVE IS
MOVING THROUGH NORTHERN NEVADA. THIS SHOWS UP NICELY ON THE WATER
VAPOR. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO SLIDE EASTWARD THROUGH THE
EVENING...DEVELOPING/MAINTAINING LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN SHOWERS
AND AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM OR TWO. ANY ONE SHOWER COULD DROP
~0.25 INCHES OF RAIN. THE HRRR SHOWS CONVECTION ENDING AROUND 00Z
TO 03Z FROM WEST TO EAST.

WE WILL HAVE A BRIEF BREAK FROM SHOWERS LATER THIS EVENING...BUT
THAT WILL BE SHORT LIVED AS THE NEXT WAVE DROPS IN FROM THE
NORTHWEST. THIS TROUGH IS MUCH STRONGER AND IS NEGATIVELY TILTED.
DUE TO THE NEGATIVE TILT OF THE TROUGH...THE MODELS MAY BE A TAD
TOO QUICK WITH THE TROUGH. THEREFORE...THE HIGHEST QPF/SNOW
AMOUNTS ARE IN WHITE PINE AND NE NYE COUNTIES. ISOLATED TS WILL
AGAIN BE POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY...MAINLY EAST OF HIGHWAY 95. SNOW
LEVELS WILL START OUT ABOVE 7000FT...BUT WILL LOWER TO MOST
VALLEY FLOORS BETWEEN 5500-6500FT THROUGH THE AFTERNOON/EVENING.
SNOW LEVELS IN FAR NW NV WILL START OUT AROUND 6500FT AND LOWER
TO 5000FT BY SATURDAY EVENING. EXPECTING LITTLE...IF ANY...IMPACTS
IN THE VALLEYS. THE COLD AIR WILL BE SLOW TO ARRIVE...AND GIVEN
THE HIGH SUN ANGLE...ROADS SHOULD REMAIN WET. ANY IMPACTS WILL BE
ABOVE 6500FT...BUT WILL STILL BE MINIMAL GIVEN THE TIME OF YEAR. A
TRACE TO ONE INCH OF SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE BELOW 6500FT...WITH
SEVERAL INCHES IN THE MOUNTAINS. SOME OF THE HIGHER ELEVATION
VALLEYS IN NORTHERN ELKO AND WHITE PINE COUNTIES COULD LOCALLY SEE
UP TO 3 INCHES. LOCALLY A FOOT OF SNOW COULD FALL IN THE HIGHEST
MTNS IN WHITE PINE AND NE NYE COUNTIES.

IN ADDITION...GUSTY NW WINDS WILL DEVELOP SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON. NW NYE WILL APPROACH WIND ADV CRITERIA DUE TO
PRESSURE GRADIENT/PRESSURE FALLS. MAV/MET GUIDANCE SUPPORTS STRONG
GUSTS AND THIS WILL BE MONITORED FOR AN ADV.

BY SUNDAY MORNING...MOST LOCATIONS WILL BE DRY. A WARMING TREND
WILL COMMENCE ON MONDAY...WHERE 60S/70S WILL BE PREVALENT.

LONG TERM...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. MODELS IN FAIRLY GOOD
AGREEMENT WITH THE OVERALL PATTERN THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. RIDGE
BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST MONDAY NIGHT WITH RIDGE AXIS OVER THE CWA
BY 18Z TUESDAY FOR A WARMING TREND AND DRY CONDITIONS. SHORTWAVE
PASSING TO THE NORTHWEST FLATTENS THE RIDGE A BIT BUT KEEPS WARM
SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER OUR REGION...WITH TEMPERATURES NEAR 80 DEGREES
BY WEDNESDAY. 12Z MODELS DIFFER WITH GFS NOW TRYING TO DIG A STRONG
TROF INTO NORTHERN CA WHILE THE EC MUCH WEAKER WITH THIS SHORTWAVE.
STILL...EITHER SOLUTION WOULD KEEP THE CWA DRY...BUT GFS WOULD IMPLY
WINDY CONDITIONS AND SOME INSTABILITY IN CENTRAL NV. UNTIL MODELS
COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT...RIGHT NOW WILL LEAN TOWARD WEAKER EC
MODEL IN KEEPING THE CWA DRY WITH LESS WIND AND STABILITY.

AVIATION...RAIN SHOWERS OVER THE CWA WILL DECREASE THIS EVENING
BRIEFLY BEFORE INCREASING AGAIN AFTER 10Z AT KWMC...18Z AT KEKO
..AND 20Z AT KELY. THUS ON SATURDAY...CIGS ARE EXPECTED TO LOWER TO
AT LEAST MVFR AND PERHAPS BRIEFLY IFR AT THESE TERMINALS. WINDS WILL
BE GUSTY AT THE TERMINALS THROUGH 03Z THIS EVENING.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

93/99





000
FXUS65 KLKN 250301
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
801 PM PDT FRI APR 24 2015

.SYNOPSIS...VALLEY RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW TODAY AND AGAIN ON
SATURDAY. ALSO ON SATURDAY...WINDS WILL BECOME GUSTY AND MOST
AREAS WILL HAVE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. SATURDAY EVENING
SNOW LEVELS WILL LOWER TO VALLEY FLOORS AS PRECIPITATION BEGINS TO
TAPER OFF. COOL AND DRY ON SUNDAY WITH A WARMING TREND NEXT WEEK.


&&

.UPDATE...LOWERED SNOW LEVELS FOR TONIGHT BASED ON REPORTS OF SNOW
REACHING THE GROUND IN WELLS. NO OTHER CHANGES AT THIS TMIE.
PRECIPITATION WILL BE SPOTTY FROM THIS POINT ON AND LITTLE IF ANY
VALLEY ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED SO NO HEADLINES ARE NECESSARY. RCM


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED AT 326 PM /

SYNOPSIS...VALLEY RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW TODAY AND AGAIN ON
SATURDAY. ALSO ON SATURDAY...WINDS WILL BECOME GUSTY AND MOST
AREAS WILL HAVE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. SATURDAY EVENING
SNOW LEVELS WILL LOWER TO VALLEY FLOORS AS PRECIPITATION BEGINS TO
TAPER OFF. COOL AND DRY ON SUNDAY WITH A WARMING TREND NEXT WEEK.

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. CURRENTLY...A SHORTWAVE IS
MOVING THROUGH NORTHERN NEVADA. THIS SHOWS UP NICELY ON THE WATER
VAPOR. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO SLIDE EASTWARD THROUGH THE
EVENING...DEVELOPING/MAINTAINING LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN SHOWERS
AND AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM OR TWO. ANY ONE SHOWER COULD DROP
~0.25 INCHES OF RAIN. THE HRRR SHOWS CONVECTION ENDING AROUND 00Z
TO 03Z FROM WEST TO EAST.

WE WILL HAVE A BRIEF BREAK FROM SHOWERS LATER THIS EVENING...BUT
THAT WILL BE SHORT LIVED AS THE NEXT WAVE DROPS IN FROM THE
NORTHWEST. THIS TROUGH IS MUCH STRONGER AND IS NEGATIVELY TILTED.
DUE TO THE NEGATIVE TILT OF THE TROUGH...THE MODELS MAY BE A TAD
TOO QUICK WITH THE TROUGH. THEREFORE...THE HIGHEST QPF/SNOW
AMOUNTS ARE IN WHITE PINE AND NE NYE COUNTIES. ISOLATED TS WILL
AGAIN BE POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY...MAINLY EAST OF HIGHWAY 95. SNOW
LEVELS WILL START OUT ABOVE 7000FT...BUT WILL LOWER TO MOST
VALLEY FLOORS BETWEEN 5500-6500FT THROUGH THE AFTERNOON/EVENING.
SNOW LEVELS IN FAR NW NV WILL START OUT AROUND 6500FT AND LOWER
TO 5000FT BY SATURDAY EVENING. EXPECTING LITTLE...IF ANY...IMPACTS
IN THE VALLEYS. THE COLD AIR WILL BE SLOW TO ARRIVE...AND GIVEN
THE HIGH SUN ANGLE...ROADS SHOULD REMAIN WET. ANY IMPACTS WILL BE
ABOVE 6500FT...BUT WILL STILL BE MINIMAL GIVEN THE TIME OF YEAR. A
TRACE TO ONE INCH OF SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE BELOW 6500FT...WITH
SEVERAL INCHES IN THE MOUNTAINS. SOME OF THE HIGHER ELEVATION
VALLEYS IN NORTHERN ELKO AND WHITE PINE COUNTIES COULD LOCALLY SEE
UP TO 3 INCHES. LOCALLY A FOOT OF SNOW COULD FALL IN THE HIGHEST
MTNS IN WHITE PINE AND NE NYE COUNTIES.

IN ADDITION...GUSTY NW WINDS WILL DEVELOP SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON. NW NYE WILL APPROACH WIND ADV CRITERIA DUE TO
PRESSURE GRADIENT/PRESSURE FALLS. MAV/MET GUIDANCE SUPPORTS STRONG
GUSTS AND THIS WILL BE MONITORED FOR AN ADV.

BY SUNDAY MORNING...MOST LOCATIONS WILL BE DRY. A WARMING TREND
WILL COMMENCE ON MONDAY...WHERE 60S/70S WILL BE PREVALENT.

LONG TERM...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. MODELS IN FAIRLY GOOD
AGREEMENT WITH THE OVERALL PATTERN THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. RIDGE
BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST MONDAY NIGHT WITH RIDGE AXIS OVER THE CWA
BY 18Z TUESDAY FOR A WARMING TREND AND DRY CONDITIONS. SHORTWAVE
PASSING TO THE NORTHWEST FLATTENS THE RIDGE A BIT BUT KEEPS WARM
SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER OUR REGION...WITH TEMPERATURES NEAR 80 DEGREES
BY WEDNESDAY. 12Z MODELS DIFFER WITH GFS NOW TRYING TO DIG A STRONG
TROF INTO NORTHERN CA WHILE THE EC MUCH WEAKER WITH THIS SHORTWAVE.
STILL...EITHER SOLUTION WOULD KEEP THE CWA DRY...BUT GFS WOULD IMPLY
WINDY CONDITIONS AND SOME INSTABILITY IN CENTRAL NV. UNTIL MODELS
COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT...RIGHT NOW WILL LEAN TOWARD WEAKER EC
MODEL IN KEEPING THE CWA DRY WITH LESS WIND AND STABILITY.

AVIATION...RAIN SHOWERS OVER THE CWA WILL DECREASE THIS EVENING
BRIEFLY BEFORE INCREASING AGAIN AFTER 10Z AT KWMC...18Z AT KEKO
..AND 20Z AT KELY. THUS ON SATURDAY...CIGS ARE EXPECTED TO LOWER TO
AT LEAST MVFR AND PERHAPS BRIEFLY IFR AT THESE TERMINALS. WINDS WILL
BE GUSTY AT THE TERMINALS THROUGH 03Z THIS EVENING.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

93/99




000
FXUS65 KLKN 242226
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
326 PM PDT FRI APR 24 2015

.SYNOPSIS...VALLEY RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW TODAY AND AGAIN ON
SATURDAY. ALSO ON SATURDAY...WINDS WILL BECOME GUSTY AND MOST
AREAS WILL HAVE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. SATURDAY EVENING
SNOW LEVELS WILL LOWER TO VALLEY FLOORS AS PRECIPITATION BEGINS TO
TAPER OFF. COOL AND DRY ON SUNDAY WITH A WARMING TREND NEXT WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. CURRENTLY...A SHORTWAVE IS
MOVING THROUGH NORTHERN NEVADA. THIS SHOWS UP NICELY ON THE WATER
VAPOR. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO SLIDE EASTWARD THROUGH THE
EVENING...DEVELOPING/MAINTAINING LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN SHOWERS
AND AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM OR TWO. ANY ONE SHOWER COULD DROP
~0.25 INCHES OF RAIN. THE HRRR SHOWS CONVECTION ENDING AROUND 00Z
TO 03Z FROM WEST TO EAST.

WE WILL HAVE A BRIEF BREAK FROM SHOWERS LATER THIS EVENING...BUT
THAT WILL BE SHORT LIVED AS THE NEXT WAVE DROPS IN FROM THE
NORTHWEST. THIS TROUGH IS MUCH STRONGER AND IS NEGATIVELY TILTED.
DUE TO THE NEGATIVE TILT OF THE TROUGH...THE MODELS MAY BE A TAD
TOO QUICK WITH THE TROUGH. THEREFORE...THE HIGHEST QPF/SNOW
AMOUNTS ARE IN WHITE PINE AND NE NYE COUNTIES. ISOLATED TS WILL
AGAIN BE POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY...MAINLY EAST OF HIGHWAY 95. SNOW
LEVELS WILL START OUT ABOVE 7000FT...BUT WILL LOWER TO MOST
VALLEY FLOORS BETWEEN 5500-6500FT THROUGH THE AFTERNOON/EVENING.
SNOW LEVELS IN FAR NW NV WILL START OUT AROUND 6500FT AND LOWER
TO 5000FT BY SATURDAY EVENING. EXPECTING LITTLE...IF ANY...IMPACTS
IN THE VALLEYS. THE COLD AIR WILL BE SLOW TO ARRIVE...AND GIVEN
THE HIGH SUN ANGLE...ROADS SHOULD REMAIN WET. ANY IMPACTS WILL BE
ABOVE 6500FT...BUT WILL STILL BE MINIMAL GIVEN THE TIME OF YEAR. A
TRACE TO ONE INCH OF SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE BELOW 6500FT...WITH
SEVERAL INCHES IN THE MOUNTAINS. SOME OF THE HIGHER ELEVATION
VALLEYS IN NORTHERN ELKO AND WHITE PINE COUNTIES COULD LOCALLY SEE
UP TO 3 INCHES. LOCALLY A FOOT OF SNOW COULD FALL IN THE HIGHEST
MTNS IN WHITE PINE AND NE NYE COUNTIES.

IN ADDITION...GUSTY NW WINDS WILL DEVELOP SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON. NW NYE WILL APPROACH WIND ADV CRITERIA DUE TO
PRESSURE GRADIENT/PRESSURE FALLS. MAV/MET GUIDANCE SUPPORTS STRONG
GUSTS AND THIS WILL BE MONITORED FOR AN ADV.

BY SUNDAY MORNING...MOST LOCATIONS WILL BE DRY. A WARMING TREND
WILL COMMENCE ON MONDAY...WHERE 60S/70S WILL BE PREVALENT.

.LONG TERM...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. MODELS IN FAIRLY GOOD
AGREEMENT WITH THE OVERALL PATTERN THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. RIDGE
BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST MONDAY NIGHT WITH RIDGE AXIS OVER THE CWA
BY 18Z TUESDAY FOR A WARMING TREND AND DRY CONDITIONS. SHORTWAVE
PASSING TO THE NORTHWEST FLATTENS THE RIDGE A BIT BUT KEEPS WARM
SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER OUR REGION...WITH TEMPERATURES NEAR 80 DEGREES
BY WEDNESDAY. 12Z MODELS DIFFER WITH GFS NOW TRYING TO DIG A STRONG
TROF INTO NORTHERN CA WHILE THE EC MUCH WEAKER WITH THIS SHORTWAVE.
STILL...EITHER SOLUTION WOULD KEEP THE CWA DRY...BUT GFS WOULD IMPLY
WINDY CONDITIONS AND SOME INSTABILITY IN CENTRAL NV. UNTIL MODELS
COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT...RIGHT NOW WILL LEAN TOWARD WEAKER EC
MODEL IN KEEPING THE CWA DRY WITH LESS WIND AND STABILITY.

&&

.AVIATION...RAIN SHOWERS OVER THE CWA WILL DECREASE THIS EVENING
BRIEFLY BEFORE INCREASING AGAIN AFTER 10Z AT KWMC...18Z AT KEKO
...AND 20Z AT KELY. THUS ON SATURDAY...CIGS ARE EXPECTED TO LOWER TO
AT LEAST MVFR AND PERHAPS BRIEFLY IFR AT THESE TERMINALS. WINDS WILL
BE GUSTY AT THE TERMINALS THROUGH 03Z THIS EVENING.


&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

94/87/87




000
FXUS65 KLKN 242226
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
326 PM PDT FRI APR 24 2015

.SYNOPSIS...VALLEY RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW TODAY AND AGAIN ON
SATURDAY. ALSO ON SATURDAY...WINDS WILL BECOME GUSTY AND MOST
AREAS WILL HAVE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. SATURDAY EVENING
SNOW LEVELS WILL LOWER TO VALLEY FLOORS AS PRECIPITATION BEGINS TO
TAPER OFF. COOL AND DRY ON SUNDAY WITH A WARMING TREND NEXT WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. CURRENTLY...A SHORTWAVE IS
MOVING THROUGH NORTHERN NEVADA. THIS SHOWS UP NICELY ON THE WATER
VAPOR. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO SLIDE EASTWARD THROUGH THE
EVENING...DEVELOPING/MAINTAINING LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN SHOWERS
AND AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM OR TWO. ANY ONE SHOWER COULD DROP
~0.25 INCHES OF RAIN. THE HRRR SHOWS CONVECTION ENDING AROUND 00Z
TO 03Z FROM WEST TO EAST.

WE WILL HAVE A BRIEF BREAK FROM SHOWERS LATER THIS EVENING...BUT
THAT WILL BE SHORT LIVED AS THE NEXT WAVE DROPS IN FROM THE
NORTHWEST. THIS TROUGH IS MUCH STRONGER AND IS NEGATIVELY TILTED.
DUE TO THE NEGATIVE TILT OF THE TROUGH...THE MODELS MAY BE A TAD
TOO QUICK WITH THE TROUGH. THEREFORE...THE HIGHEST QPF/SNOW
AMOUNTS ARE IN WHITE PINE AND NE NYE COUNTIES. ISOLATED TS WILL
AGAIN BE POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY...MAINLY EAST OF HIGHWAY 95. SNOW
LEVELS WILL START OUT ABOVE 7000FT...BUT WILL LOWER TO MOST
VALLEY FLOORS BETWEEN 5500-6500FT THROUGH THE AFTERNOON/EVENING.
SNOW LEVELS IN FAR NW NV WILL START OUT AROUND 6500FT AND LOWER
TO 5000FT BY SATURDAY EVENING. EXPECTING LITTLE...IF ANY...IMPACTS
IN THE VALLEYS. THE COLD AIR WILL BE SLOW TO ARRIVE...AND GIVEN
THE HIGH SUN ANGLE...ROADS SHOULD REMAIN WET. ANY IMPACTS WILL BE
ABOVE 6500FT...BUT WILL STILL BE MINIMAL GIVEN THE TIME OF YEAR. A
TRACE TO ONE INCH OF SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE BELOW 6500FT...WITH
SEVERAL INCHES IN THE MOUNTAINS. SOME OF THE HIGHER ELEVATION
VALLEYS IN NORTHERN ELKO AND WHITE PINE COUNTIES COULD LOCALLY SEE
UP TO 3 INCHES. LOCALLY A FOOT OF SNOW COULD FALL IN THE HIGHEST
MTNS IN WHITE PINE AND NE NYE COUNTIES.

IN ADDITION...GUSTY NW WINDS WILL DEVELOP SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON. NW NYE WILL APPROACH WIND ADV CRITERIA DUE TO
PRESSURE GRADIENT/PRESSURE FALLS. MAV/MET GUIDANCE SUPPORTS STRONG
GUSTS AND THIS WILL BE MONITORED FOR AN ADV.

BY SUNDAY MORNING...MOST LOCATIONS WILL BE DRY. A WARMING TREND
WILL COMMENCE ON MONDAY...WHERE 60S/70S WILL BE PREVALENT.

.LONG TERM...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. MODELS IN FAIRLY GOOD
AGREEMENT WITH THE OVERALL PATTERN THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. RIDGE
BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST MONDAY NIGHT WITH RIDGE AXIS OVER THE CWA
BY 18Z TUESDAY FOR A WARMING TREND AND DRY CONDITIONS. SHORTWAVE
PASSING TO THE NORTHWEST FLATTENS THE RIDGE A BIT BUT KEEPS WARM
SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER OUR REGION...WITH TEMPERATURES NEAR 80 DEGREES
BY WEDNESDAY. 12Z MODELS DIFFER WITH GFS NOW TRYING TO DIG A STRONG
TROF INTO NORTHERN CA WHILE THE EC MUCH WEAKER WITH THIS SHORTWAVE.
STILL...EITHER SOLUTION WOULD KEEP THE CWA DRY...BUT GFS WOULD IMPLY
WINDY CONDITIONS AND SOME INSTABILITY IN CENTRAL NV. UNTIL MODELS
COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT...RIGHT NOW WILL LEAN TOWARD WEAKER EC
MODEL IN KEEPING THE CWA DRY WITH LESS WIND AND STABILITY.

&&

.AVIATION...RAIN SHOWERS OVER THE CWA WILL DECREASE THIS EVENING
BRIEFLY BEFORE INCREASING AGAIN AFTER 10Z AT KWMC...18Z AT KEKO
...AND 20Z AT KELY. THUS ON SATURDAY...CIGS ARE EXPECTED TO LOWER TO
AT LEAST MVFR AND PERHAPS BRIEFLY IFR AT THESE TERMINALS. WINDS WILL
BE GUSTY AT THE TERMINALS THROUGH 03Z THIS EVENING.


&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

94/87/87





000
FXUS65 KLKN 241859
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1159 AM PDT FRI APR 24 2015

.SYNOPSIS...VALLEY RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW TODAY AND AGAIN ON
SATURDAY. ALSO ON SATURDAY WINDS WILL BECOME GUSTY AND MOST AREAS
WILL HAVE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. SATURDAY EVENING SNOW
LEVELS WILL LOWER TO VALLEY FLOORS AS PRECIPITATION BEGINS TO
TAPER OFF. COOL AND DRY ON SUNDAY WITH A WARMING TREND NEXT WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM UPDATE...DECIDED TO INCLUDE SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDER
FOR THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON. MARGINAL INSTABILITY AND
APPROACHING SHORTWAVE WILL PROMOTE SOME ISOLATED TS. CURRENT RADAR
TRENDS ARE SHOWING SOME ENHANCED CORES MOVING IN FROM
PERSHING/CHURCHILL COUNTIES. HRRR SHOWS THESE SHOWERS MOVING
EASTWARD THROUGHOUT THE DAY.

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED AT 322 AM /

SYNOPSIS...VALLEY RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW TODAY AND AGAIN ON
SATURDAY. ALSO ON SATURDAY WINDS WILL BECOME GUSTY AND MOST AREAS
WILL HAVE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. SATURDAY EVENING SNOW
LEVELS WILL LOWER TO VALLEY FLOORS AS PRECIPITATION BEGINS TO
TAPER OFF. COOL AND DRY ON SUNDAY WITH A WARMING TREND NEXT WEEK.

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY. TROUGH DROPPING INTO THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST THIS MORNING WITH ASSOCIATED JET MOVING OVER
NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AND NEVADA. AS A RESULT PRECIPITATION WILL
SPREAD NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST ACROSS NEVADA TODAY WITH RAIN IN THE
VALLEYS AND SNOW IN THE MOUNTAINS. MANY VALLEY LOCATIONS WILL
RECEIVE A TENTH OF AN INCH OF RAIN TODAY. WEAK INSTABILITY SETS
UP ACROSS EAST-CENTRAL NEVADA THIS AFTERNOON WHICH MAY TRIGGER
SOME ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. BEST CHANCES FOR TS WILL BE OVER AND
NEAR GREAT BASIN PARK THIS AFTERNOON WHICH COULD ENHANCE
PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS.

THE FIRST WAVE OF MOISTURE EXITS EAST INTO UTAH THIS EVENING
FOLLOWED ALMOST IMMEDIATELY WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF MOISTURE
APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. THIS SECOND SYSTEM TONIGHT INTO
SATURDAY HAS THE POTENTIAL TO SPREAD MODERATE PRECIPITATION TO
MUCH OF THE REGION. ONE TO THREE TENTHS OF AN INCH OF QPF WILL BE
COMMON ON SATURDAY...WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. MANY OF THE
MOUNTAINS ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA WILL ADD ANOTHER 2-6
INCHES OF SNOW ON SATURDAY. MAY NEED TO CONSIDER AN ELEVATION
BASED WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SATURDAY AS SNOW AND BLOWING
SNOW ABOVE 6500-7000 FEET MAY BE A CONCERN...ESPECIALLY WITH
RESPECT TO REDUCED VISIBILITIES ON HIGH ELEVATION SUMMITS.

SHOWER ACTIVITY EXITS INTO UTAH SATURDAY NIGHT...THIS TIME
FOLLOWED UP WITH RIDGING BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST. COLD NORTHERLY
FLOW ALOFT SUNDAY MORNING WILL RESULT IN TEMPERATURES FALLING BACK
INTO THE 20S FOR MANY LOCATIONS. IF SKIES SCATTER OUT OR CLEAR
COMPLETELY EARLY SUNDAY...SOME VALLEYS MAY SEE SOME FREEZING FOG.
NORTHERLY FLOW SUNDAY WILL KEEP HIGHS ON THE COOL SIDE...GENERALLY
UPPER 50S...WHICH WOULD BE 5-10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL.

LONG TERM...SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. TROUGH WILL BE EXITING
THE AREA TO OUR EAST SUNDAY NIGHT WITH RIDGE BUILDING IN FROM
THE WEST. THIS TREND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY WITH QUICKLY
WARMING TEMPERATURES AND SUNNY SKIES. SHORTWAVE PASSING TO THE
NORTHWEST FLATTENS THE RIDGE A BIT BUT KEEPS WARM SOUTHWEST FLOW
OVER OUR REGION...WITH TEMPERATURES NOW LOOKING LIKE THEY WILL
APPROACH OR EXCEED 80 ACROSS MUCH OF THE CWA`S VALLEYS ON
WEDNESDAY. DESPITE OUR VERY WARM LATE WINTER AND EARLY
SPRING...THIS WOULD BE THE FIRST 80 OF THE YEAR IN MOST LOCALES.
ANOTHER SHORTWAVE APPROACHING OR PASSING TO THE NORTHWEST ON
THURSDAY WOULD LIKELY KNOCK TEMPS DOWN A BIT BUT IT SHOULD REMAIN
VERY WARM AND DRY WITH THE RIDGE AXIS NOT FAR AWAY TO OUR
SOUTHEAST. RCM

AVIATION...RAIN SHOWERS WILL OVERSPREAD MUCH OF THE CWA FROM WEST
TO EAST LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. NORTHERN AND WESTERN TERMINALS
SHOULD AVOID THUNDER...BUT THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP FURTHER SOUTH
AND EAST AROUND KELY AND KTPH LATER IN THE DAY. CIGS LOOK TO
LOWER TO AT LEAST MVFR AND PERHAPS BRIEFLY IFR AT THE NORTHERN
TERMINALS AS THE SHOWERS MOVE IN...BUT SHOULD STAY HIGHER FOR THE
MOST PART FURTHER SOUTH. WINDS WILL BE GUSTY BY THIS AFTERNOON AT
ALL TERMINALS WITH A FEW GUSTS UP AROUND 30 KNOTS POSSIBLE.
CONDITIONS WILL GENERALLY IMPROVE IN ALL REGARDS THIS EVENING. RCM

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

94/99




000
FXUS65 KLKN 241859
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1159 AM PDT FRI APR 24 2015

.SYNOPSIS...VALLEY RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW TODAY AND AGAIN ON
SATURDAY. ALSO ON SATURDAY WINDS WILL BECOME GUSTY AND MOST AREAS
WILL HAVE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. SATURDAY EVENING SNOW
LEVELS WILL LOWER TO VALLEY FLOORS AS PRECIPITATION BEGINS TO
TAPER OFF. COOL AND DRY ON SUNDAY WITH A WARMING TREND NEXT WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM UPDATE...DECIDED TO INCLUDE SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDER
FOR THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON. MARGINAL INSTABILITY AND
APPROACHING SHORTWAVE WILL PROMOTE SOME ISOLATED TS. CURRENT RADAR
TRENDS ARE SHOWING SOME ENHANCED CORES MOVING IN FROM
PERSHING/CHURCHILL COUNTIES. HRRR SHOWS THESE SHOWERS MOVING
EASTWARD THROUGHOUT THE DAY.

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED AT 322 AM /

SYNOPSIS...VALLEY RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW TODAY AND AGAIN ON
SATURDAY. ALSO ON SATURDAY WINDS WILL BECOME GUSTY AND MOST AREAS
WILL HAVE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. SATURDAY EVENING SNOW
LEVELS WILL LOWER TO VALLEY FLOORS AS PRECIPITATION BEGINS TO
TAPER OFF. COOL AND DRY ON SUNDAY WITH A WARMING TREND NEXT WEEK.

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY. TROUGH DROPPING INTO THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST THIS MORNING WITH ASSOCIATED JET MOVING OVER
NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AND NEVADA. AS A RESULT PRECIPITATION WILL
SPREAD NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST ACROSS NEVADA TODAY WITH RAIN IN THE
VALLEYS AND SNOW IN THE MOUNTAINS. MANY VALLEY LOCATIONS WILL
RECEIVE A TENTH OF AN INCH OF RAIN TODAY. WEAK INSTABILITY SETS
UP ACROSS EAST-CENTRAL NEVADA THIS AFTERNOON WHICH MAY TRIGGER
SOME ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. BEST CHANCES FOR TS WILL BE OVER AND
NEAR GREAT BASIN PARK THIS AFTERNOON WHICH COULD ENHANCE
PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS.

THE FIRST WAVE OF MOISTURE EXITS EAST INTO UTAH THIS EVENING
FOLLOWED ALMOST IMMEDIATELY WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF MOISTURE
APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. THIS SECOND SYSTEM TONIGHT INTO
SATURDAY HAS THE POTENTIAL TO SPREAD MODERATE PRECIPITATION TO
MUCH OF THE REGION. ONE TO THREE TENTHS OF AN INCH OF QPF WILL BE
COMMON ON SATURDAY...WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. MANY OF THE
MOUNTAINS ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA WILL ADD ANOTHER 2-6
INCHES OF SNOW ON SATURDAY. MAY NEED TO CONSIDER AN ELEVATION
BASED WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SATURDAY AS SNOW AND BLOWING
SNOW ABOVE 6500-7000 FEET MAY BE A CONCERN...ESPECIALLY WITH
RESPECT TO REDUCED VISIBILITIES ON HIGH ELEVATION SUMMITS.

SHOWER ACTIVITY EXITS INTO UTAH SATURDAY NIGHT...THIS TIME
FOLLOWED UP WITH RIDGING BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST. COLD NORTHERLY
FLOW ALOFT SUNDAY MORNING WILL RESULT IN TEMPERATURES FALLING BACK
INTO THE 20S FOR MANY LOCATIONS. IF SKIES SCATTER OUT OR CLEAR
COMPLETELY EARLY SUNDAY...SOME VALLEYS MAY SEE SOME FREEZING FOG.
NORTHERLY FLOW SUNDAY WILL KEEP HIGHS ON THE COOL SIDE...GENERALLY
UPPER 50S...WHICH WOULD BE 5-10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL.

LONG TERM...SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. TROUGH WILL BE EXITING
THE AREA TO OUR EAST SUNDAY NIGHT WITH RIDGE BUILDING IN FROM
THE WEST. THIS TREND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY WITH QUICKLY
WARMING TEMPERATURES AND SUNNY SKIES. SHORTWAVE PASSING TO THE
NORTHWEST FLATTENS THE RIDGE A BIT BUT KEEPS WARM SOUTHWEST FLOW
OVER OUR REGION...WITH TEMPERATURES NOW LOOKING LIKE THEY WILL
APPROACH OR EXCEED 80 ACROSS MUCH OF THE CWA`S VALLEYS ON
WEDNESDAY. DESPITE OUR VERY WARM LATE WINTER AND EARLY
SPRING...THIS WOULD BE THE FIRST 80 OF THE YEAR IN MOST LOCALES.
ANOTHER SHORTWAVE APPROACHING OR PASSING TO THE NORTHWEST ON
THURSDAY WOULD LIKELY KNOCK TEMPS DOWN A BIT BUT IT SHOULD REMAIN
VERY WARM AND DRY WITH THE RIDGE AXIS NOT FAR AWAY TO OUR
SOUTHEAST. RCM

AVIATION...RAIN SHOWERS WILL OVERSPREAD MUCH OF THE CWA FROM WEST
TO EAST LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. NORTHERN AND WESTERN TERMINALS
SHOULD AVOID THUNDER...BUT THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP FURTHER SOUTH
AND EAST AROUND KELY AND KTPH LATER IN THE DAY. CIGS LOOK TO
LOWER TO AT LEAST MVFR AND PERHAPS BRIEFLY IFR AT THE NORTHERN
TERMINALS AS THE SHOWERS MOVE IN...BUT SHOULD STAY HIGHER FOR THE
MOST PART FURTHER SOUTH. WINDS WILL BE GUSTY BY THIS AFTERNOON AT
ALL TERMINALS WITH A FEW GUSTS UP AROUND 30 KNOTS POSSIBLE.
CONDITIONS WILL GENERALLY IMPROVE IN ALL REGARDS THIS EVENING. RCM

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

94/99





000
FXUS65 KLKN 241022
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
322 AM PDT FRI APR 24 2015

.SYNOPSIS...VALLEY RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW TODAY AND AGAIN ON
SATURDAY. ALSO ON SATURDAY WINDS WILL BECOME GUSTY AND MOST AREAS
WILL HAVE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. SATURDAY EVENING SNOW
LEVELS WILL LOWER TO VALLEY FLOORS AS PRECIPITATION BEGINS TO
TAPER OFF. COOL AND DRY ON SUNDAY WITH A WARMING TREND NEXT WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY. TROUGH DROPPING INTO THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST THIS MORNING WITH ASSOCIATED JET MOVING OVER
NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AND NEVADA. AS A RESULT PRECIPITATION WILL
SPREAD NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST ACROSS NEVADA TODAY WITH RAIN IN THE
VALLEYS AND SNOW IN THE MOUNTAINS. MANY VALLEY LOCATIONS WILL
RECEIVE A TENTH OF AN INCH OF RAIN TODAY. WEAK INSTABILITY SETS
UP ACROSS EAST-CENTRAL NEVADA THIS AFTERNOON WHICH MAY TRIGGER
SOME ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. BEST CHANCES FOR TS WILL BE OVER AND
NEAR GREAT BASIN PARK THIS AFTERNOON WHICH COULD ENHANCE
PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS.

THE FIRST WAVE OF MOISTURE EXITS EAST INTO UTAH THIS EVENING
FOLLOWED ALMOST IMMEDIATELY WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF MOISTURE
APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. THIS SECOND SYSTEM TONIGHT INTO
SATURDAY HAS THE POTENTIAL TO SPREAD MODERATE PRECIPITATION TO
MUCH OF THE REGION. ONE TO THREE TENTHS OF AN INCH OF QPF WILL BE
COMMON ON SATURDAY...WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. MANY OF THE
MOUNTAINS ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA WILL ADD ANOTHER 2-6
INCHES OF SNOW ON SATURDAY. MAY NEED TO CONSIDER AN ELEVATION
BASED WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SATURDAY AS SNOW AND BLOWING
SNOW ABOVE 6500-7000 FEET MAY BE A CONCERN...ESPECIALLY WITH
RESPECT TO REDUCED VISIBILITIES ON HIGH ELEVATION SUMMITS.

SHOWER ACTIVITY EXITS INTO UTAH SATURDAY NIGHT...THIS TIME
FOLLOWED UP WITH RIDGING BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST. COLD NORTHERLY
FLOW ALOFT SUNDAY MORNING WILL RESULT IN TEMPERATURES FALLING BACK
INTO THE 20S FOR MANY LOCATIONS. IF SKIES SCATTER OUT OR CLEAR
COMPLETELY EARLY SUNDAY...SOME VALLEYS MAY SEE SOME FREEZING FOG.
NORTHERLY FLOW SUNDAY WILL KEEP HIGHS ON THE COOL SIDE...GENERALLY
UPPER 50S...WHICH WOULD BE 5-10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL.

.LONG TERM...SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. TROUGH WILL BE EXITING
THE AREA TO OUR EAST SUNDAY NIGHT WITH RIDGE BUILDING IN FROM
THE WEST. THIS TREND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY WITH QUICKLY
WARMING TEMPERATURES AND SUNNY SKIES. SHORTWAVE PASSING TO THE
NORTHWEST FLATTENS THE RIDGE A BIT BUT KEEPS WARM SOUTHWEST FLOW
OVER OUR REGION...WITH TEMPERATURES NOW LOOKING LIKE THEY WILL
APPROACH OR EXCEED 80 ACROSS MUCH OF THE CWA`S VALLEYS ON
WEDNESDAY. DESPITE OUR VERY WARM LATE WINTER AND EARLY
SPRING...THIS WOULD BE THE FIRST 80 OF THE YEAR IN MOST LOCALES.
ANOTHER SHORTWAVE APPROACHING OR PASSING TO THE NORTHWEST ON
THURSDAY WOULD LIKELY KNOCK TEMPS DOWN A BIT BUT IT SHOULD REMAIN
VERY WARM AND DRY WITH THE RIDGE AXIS NOT FAR AWAY TO OUR
SOUTHEAST. RCM

&&

.AVIATION...RAIN SHOWERS WILL OVERSPREAD MUCH OF THE CWA FROM WEST
TO EAST LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. NORTHERN AND WESTERN TERMINALS
SHOULD AVOID THUNDER...BUT THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP FURTHER SOUTH
AND EAST AROUND KELY AND KTPH LATER IN THE DAY. CIGS LOOK TO
LOWER TO AT LEAST MVFR AND PERHAPS BRIEFLY IFR AT THE NORTHERN
TERMINALS AS THE SHOWERS MOVE IN...BUT SHOULD STAY HIGHER FOR THE
MOST PART FURTHER SOUTH. WINDS WILL BE GUSTY BY THIS AFTERNOON AT
ALL TERMINALS WITH A FEW GUSTS UP AROUND 30 KNOTS POSSIBLE.
CONDITIONS WILL GENERALLY IMPROVE IN ALL REGARDS THIS EVENING. RCM

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

96/93/93




000
FXUS65 KLKN 241022
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
322 AM PDT FRI APR 24 2015

.SYNOPSIS...VALLEY RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW TODAY AND AGAIN ON
SATURDAY. ALSO ON SATURDAY WINDS WILL BECOME GUSTY AND MOST AREAS
WILL HAVE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. SATURDAY EVENING SNOW
LEVELS WILL LOWER TO VALLEY FLOORS AS PRECIPITATION BEGINS TO
TAPER OFF. COOL AND DRY ON SUNDAY WITH A WARMING TREND NEXT WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY. TROUGH DROPPING INTO THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST THIS MORNING WITH ASSOCIATED JET MOVING OVER
NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AND NEVADA. AS A RESULT PRECIPITATION WILL
SPREAD NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST ACROSS NEVADA TODAY WITH RAIN IN THE
VALLEYS AND SNOW IN THE MOUNTAINS. MANY VALLEY LOCATIONS WILL
RECEIVE A TENTH OF AN INCH OF RAIN TODAY. WEAK INSTABILITY SETS
UP ACROSS EAST-CENTRAL NEVADA THIS AFTERNOON WHICH MAY TRIGGER
SOME ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. BEST CHANCES FOR TS WILL BE OVER AND
NEAR GREAT BASIN PARK THIS AFTERNOON WHICH COULD ENHANCE
PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS.

THE FIRST WAVE OF MOISTURE EXITS EAST INTO UTAH THIS EVENING
FOLLOWED ALMOST IMMEDIATELY WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF MOISTURE
APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. THIS SECOND SYSTEM TONIGHT INTO
SATURDAY HAS THE POTENTIAL TO SPREAD MODERATE PRECIPITATION TO
MUCH OF THE REGION. ONE TO THREE TENTHS OF AN INCH OF QPF WILL BE
COMMON ON SATURDAY...WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. MANY OF THE
MOUNTAINS ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA WILL ADD ANOTHER 2-6
INCHES OF SNOW ON SATURDAY. MAY NEED TO CONSIDER AN ELEVATION
BASED WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SATURDAY AS SNOW AND BLOWING
SNOW ABOVE 6500-7000 FEET MAY BE A CONCERN...ESPECIALLY WITH
RESPECT TO REDUCED VISIBILITIES ON HIGH ELEVATION SUMMITS.

SHOWER ACTIVITY EXITS INTO UTAH SATURDAY NIGHT...THIS TIME
FOLLOWED UP WITH RIDGING BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST. COLD NORTHERLY
FLOW ALOFT SUNDAY MORNING WILL RESULT IN TEMPERATURES FALLING BACK
INTO THE 20S FOR MANY LOCATIONS. IF SKIES SCATTER OUT OR CLEAR
COMPLETELY EARLY SUNDAY...SOME VALLEYS MAY SEE SOME FREEZING FOG.
NORTHERLY FLOW SUNDAY WILL KEEP HIGHS ON THE COOL SIDE...GENERALLY
UPPER 50S...WHICH WOULD BE 5-10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL.

.LONG TERM...SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. TROUGH WILL BE EXITING
THE AREA TO OUR EAST SUNDAY NIGHT WITH RIDGE BUILDING IN FROM
THE WEST. THIS TREND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY WITH QUICKLY
WARMING TEMPERATURES AND SUNNY SKIES. SHORTWAVE PASSING TO THE
NORTHWEST FLATTENS THE RIDGE A BIT BUT KEEPS WARM SOUTHWEST FLOW
OVER OUR REGION...WITH TEMPERATURES NOW LOOKING LIKE THEY WILL
APPROACH OR EXCEED 80 ACROSS MUCH OF THE CWA`S VALLEYS ON
WEDNESDAY. DESPITE OUR VERY WARM LATE WINTER AND EARLY
SPRING...THIS WOULD BE THE FIRST 80 OF THE YEAR IN MOST LOCALES.
ANOTHER SHORTWAVE APPROACHING OR PASSING TO THE NORTHWEST ON
THURSDAY WOULD LIKELY KNOCK TEMPS DOWN A BIT BUT IT SHOULD REMAIN
VERY WARM AND DRY WITH THE RIDGE AXIS NOT FAR AWAY TO OUR
SOUTHEAST. RCM

&&

.AVIATION...RAIN SHOWERS WILL OVERSPREAD MUCH OF THE CWA FROM WEST
TO EAST LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. NORTHERN AND WESTERN TERMINALS
SHOULD AVOID THUNDER...BUT THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP FURTHER SOUTH
AND EAST AROUND KELY AND KTPH LATER IN THE DAY. CIGS LOOK TO
LOWER TO AT LEAST MVFR AND PERHAPS BRIEFLY IFR AT THE NORTHERN
TERMINALS AS THE SHOWERS MOVE IN...BUT SHOULD STAY HIGHER FOR THE
MOST PART FURTHER SOUTH. WINDS WILL BE GUSTY BY THIS AFTERNOON AT
ALL TERMINALS WITH A FEW GUSTS UP AROUND 30 KNOTS POSSIBLE.
CONDITIONS WILL GENERALLY IMPROVE IN ALL REGARDS THIS EVENING. RCM

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

96/93/93





000
FXUS65 KLKN 232126
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
226 PM PDT THU APR 23 2015

.SYNOPSIS...SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE TODAY
ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN NEVADA. MORE SHOWERS FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY ACROSS MOST OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA WITH COOLER
TEMPERATURES. WARMING AND DRYING TREND SUNDAY INTO NEXT WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...FOCUS FOR TS DEVELOPMENT HAS SHIFTED EASTWARD. THE
BEST PARAMETERS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL
ELKO...EXTENDING INTO SOUTHERN LANDER/EUREKA COUNTIES. STORM
MOVEMENT IS ALMOST NONEXISTENT...SO MINOR FLOODING IS ALWAYS A
POSSIBILITY. STORMS WILL DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET AS INSTABILITY
WEAKENS.

BY EARLY FRIDAY AND INTO THE AFTERNOON...QUICK MOVING SHORTWAVE
WILL TRAVERSE NORTHERN/CENTRAL NEVADA. DYNAMICS/MOISTURE ARE
MODEST...SO EXPECT WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND ISOLATED STORMS. A
GENERAL ~0.10 INCH OF LIQUID WILL BE LIKELY...WITH MORE IN THE
HIGHER ELEVATIONS. SNOW LEVELS WILL DIP TO ~7000-8000FT...WHICH
WILL ALLOW FOR SEVERAL INCHES OF HIGH ELEVATION SNOW. NO IMPACTS
ARE EXPECTED AT ANY PASS LEVELS.

A MUCH STRONGER...NEGATIVELY TILTED TROUGH MOVES INTO NORTHERN
NEVADA SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. THIS WILL BRING WIDESPREAD VALLEY
RAIN AND MTN SNOW SHOWERS TO THE AREA. SNOW LEVELS WILL RAPIDLY
FALL TO MOST VALLEY FLOORS BY LAT SAT NIGHT AND EARLY SUN
MORNING...BUT THE MAJORITY OF THE PRECIP WILL BE EXITING THE AREA.
NOT EXPECTING ANYTHING MORE THAN A DUSTING TO ONE INCH BETWEEN
5500-6000FT. THE RUBY MTNS WILL SEE AROUND A HALF OF FOOT. THE
MTNS IN WHITE PINE WILL SEE AROUND 1 FOOT OF FRESH SNOWFALL.

THE STORMS RAPIDLY DEPARTS EARLY SUNDAY MORNING AND WILL BE
REPLACED BY BREEZY NW WINDS AND MUCH COOLER TEMPS. NW NYE MAY
FLIRT WITH WIND ADV CRITERIA...BUT WILL HOLD OFF ON ANY HEADLINES
AT THIS TIME.

.LONG TERM...SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY. MODELS IN AGREEMENT
WITH BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE OVER NEVADA SUNDAY INTO AND KEEPING THE
RIDGE OVER THE CWA TUESDAY. THE RIDGE FLATTENS TUESDAY NIGHT BUT
WITH SOUTHWEST FLOW REMAINING OVER THE CWA...DAYTIME TEMPERATURES
WILL WARM. DAYTIME TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO 5 TO 15 DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH TEMPERATURES APPROACHING THE 80
DEGREE MARK AT MANY SOUTHERN LOCATIONS TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...THUNDERSTORMS AT KELY AND KEKO WILL DISSIPATE NEAR
SUNSET THIS EVENING. HOWEVER...NOT BEFORE POSSIBLY BRINGING ISOLATED
GUSTY WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 KNOTS...BRIEF HEAVY RAIN...SMALL
HAIL...LIGHTNING AND POTENTIALLY MVFR CIGS AND VIS FOR A BRIEF
PERIOD. OTHERWISE...VFR CIGS/VIS WITH WINDS MOSTLY BELOW 20 KNOTS.
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FRIDAY AFTERNOON AT ALL OF THE
TERMINALS.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

94/87/87





000
FXUS65 KLKN 232126
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
226 PM PDT THU APR 23 2015

.SYNOPSIS...SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE TODAY
ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN NEVADA. MORE SHOWERS FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY ACROSS MOST OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA WITH COOLER
TEMPERATURES. WARMING AND DRYING TREND SUNDAY INTO NEXT WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...FOCUS FOR TS DEVELOPMENT HAS SHIFTED EASTWARD. THE
BEST PARAMETERS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL
ELKO...EXTENDING INTO SOUTHERN LANDER/EUREKA COUNTIES. STORM
MOVEMENT IS ALMOST NONEXISTENT...SO MINOR FLOODING IS ALWAYS A
POSSIBILITY. STORMS WILL DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET AS INSTABILITY
WEAKENS.

BY EARLY FRIDAY AND INTO THE AFTERNOON...QUICK MOVING SHORTWAVE
WILL TRAVERSE NORTHERN/CENTRAL NEVADA. DYNAMICS/MOISTURE ARE
MODEST...SO EXPECT WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND ISOLATED STORMS. A
GENERAL ~0.10 INCH OF LIQUID WILL BE LIKELY...WITH MORE IN THE
HIGHER ELEVATIONS. SNOW LEVELS WILL DIP TO ~7000-8000FT...WHICH
WILL ALLOW FOR SEVERAL INCHES OF HIGH ELEVATION SNOW. NO IMPACTS
ARE EXPECTED AT ANY PASS LEVELS.

A MUCH STRONGER...NEGATIVELY TILTED TROUGH MOVES INTO NORTHERN
NEVADA SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. THIS WILL BRING WIDESPREAD VALLEY
RAIN AND MTN SNOW SHOWERS TO THE AREA. SNOW LEVELS WILL RAPIDLY
FALL TO MOST VALLEY FLOORS BY LAT SAT NIGHT AND EARLY SUN
MORNING...BUT THE MAJORITY OF THE PRECIP WILL BE EXITING THE AREA.
NOT EXPECTING ANYTHING MORE THAN A DUSTING TO ONE INCH BETWEEN
5500-6000FT. THE RUBY MTNS WILL SEE AROUND A HALF OF FOOT. THE
MTNS IN WHITE PINE WILL SEE AROUND 1 FOOT OF FRESH SNOWFALL.

THE STORMS RAPIDLY DEPARTS EARLY SUNDAY MORNING AND WILL BE
REPLACED BY BREEZY NW WINDS AND MUCH COOLER TEMPS. NW NYE MAY
FLIRT WITH WIND ADV CRITERIA...BUT WILL HOLD OFF ON ANY HEADLINES
AT THIS TIME.

.LONG TERM...SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY. MODELS IN AGREEMENT
WITH BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE OVER NEVADA SUNDAY INTO AND KEEPING THE
RIDGE OVER THE CWA TUESDAY. THE RIDGE FLATTENS TUESDAY NIGHT BUT
WITH SOUTHWEST FLOW REMAINING OVER THE CWA...DAYTIME TEMPERATURES
WILL WARM. DAYTIME TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO 5 TO 15 DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH TEMPERATURES APPROACHING THE 80
DEGREE MARK AT MANY SOUTHERN LOCATIONS TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...THUNDERSTORMS AT KELY AND KEKO WILL DISSIPATE NEAR
SUNSET THIS EVENING. HOWEVER...NOT BEFORE POSSIBLY BRINGING ISOLATED
GUSTY WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 KNOTS...BRIEF HEAVY RAIN...SMALL
HAIL...LIGHTNING AND POTENTIALLY MVFR CIGS AND VIS FOR A BRIEF
PERIOD. OTHERWISE...VFR CIGS/VIS WITH WINDS MOSTLY BELOW 20 KNOTS.
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FRIDAY AFTERNOON AT ALL OF THE
TERMINALS.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

94/87/87




000
FXUS65 KLKN 232126
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
226 PM PDT THU APR 23 2015

.SYNOPSIS...SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE TODAY
ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN NEVADA. MORE SHOWERS FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY ACROSS MOST OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA WITH COOLER
TEMPERATURES. WARMING AND DRYING TREND SUNDAY INTO NEXT WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...FOCUS FOR TS DEVELOPMENT HAS SHIFTED EASTWARD. THE
BEST PARAMETERS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL
ELKO...EXTENDING INTO SOUTHERN LANDER/EUREKA COUNTIES. STORM
MOVEMENT IS ALMOST NONEXISTENT...SO MINOR FLOODING IS ALWAYS A
POSSIBILITY. STORMS WILL DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET AS INSTABILITY
WEAKENS.

BY EARLY FRIDAY AND INTO THE AFTERNOON...QUICK MOVING SHORTWAVE
WILL TRAVERSE NORTHERN/CENTRAL NEVADA. DYNAMICS/MOISTURE ARE
MODEST...SO EXPECT WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND ISOLATED STORMS. A
GENERAL ~0.10 INCH OF LIQUID WILL BE LIKELY...WITH MORE IN THE
HIGHER ELEVATIONS. SNOW LEVELS WILL DIP TO ~7000-8000FT...WHICH
WILL ALLOW FOR SEVERAL INCHES OF HIGH ELEVATION SNOW. NO IMPACTS
ARE EXPECTED AT ANY PASS LEVELS.

A MUCH STRONGER...NEGATIVELY TILTED TROUGH MOVES INTO NORTHERN
NEVADA SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. THIS WILL BRING WIDESPREAD VALLEY
RAIN AND MTN SNOW SHOWERS TO THE AREA. SNOW LEVELS WILL RAPIDLY
FALL TO MOST VALLEY FLOORS BY LAT SAT NIGHT AND EARLY SUN
MORNING...BUT THE MAJORITY OF THE PRECIP WILL BE EXITING THE AREA.
NOT EXPECTING ANYTHING MORE THAN A DUSTING TO ONE INCH BETWEEN
5500-6000FT. THE RUBY MTNS WILL SEE AROUND A HALF OF FOOT. THE
MTNS IN WHITE PINE WILL SEE AROUND 1 FOOT OF FRESH SNOWFALL.

THE STORMS RAPIDLY DEPARTS EARLY SUNDAY MORNING AND WILL BE
REPLACED BY BREEZY NW WINDS AND MUCH COOLER TEMPS. NW NYE MAY
FLIRT WITH WIND ADV CRITERIA...BUT WILL HOLD OFF ON ANY HEADLINES
AT THIS TIME.

.LONG TERM...SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY. MODELS IN AGREEMENT
WITH BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE OVER NEVADA SUNDAY INTO AND KEEPING THE
RIDGE OVER THE CWA TUESDAY. THE RIDGE FLATTENS TUESDAY NIGHT BUT
WITH SOUTHWEST FLOW REMAINING OVER THE CWA...DAYTIME TEMPERATURES
WILL WARM. DAYTIME TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO 5 TO 15 DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH TEMPERATURES APPROACHING THE 80
DEGREE MARK AT MANY SOUTHERN LOCATIONS TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...THUNDERSTORMS AT KELY AND KEKO WILL DISSIPATE NEAR
SUNSET THIS EVENING. HOWEVER...NOT BEFORE POSSIBLY BRINGING ISOLATED
GUSTY WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 KNOTS...BRIEF HEAVY RAIN...SMALL
HAIL...LIGHTNING AND POTENTIALLY MVFR CIGS AND VIS FOR A BRIEF
PERIOD. OTHERWISE...VFR CIGS/VIS WITH WINDS MOSTLY BELOW 20 KNOTS.
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FRIDAY AFTERNOON AT ALL OF THE
TERMINALS.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

94/87/87




000
FXUS65 KLKN 232126
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
226 PM PDT THU APR 23 2015

.SYNOPSIS...SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE TODAY
ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN NEVADA. MORE SHOWERS FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY ACROSS MOST OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA WITH COOLER
TEMPERATURES. WARMING AND DRYING TREND SUNDAY INTO NEXT WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...FOCUS FOR TS DEVELOPMENT HAS SHIFTED EASTWARD. THE
BEST PARAMETERS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL
ELKO...EXTENDING INTO SOUTHERN LANDER/EUREKA COUNTIES. STORM
MOVEMENT IS ALMOST NONEXISTENT...SO MINOR FLOODING IS ALWAYS A
POSSIBILITY. STORMS WILL DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET AS INSTABILITY
WEAKENS.

BY EARLY FRIDAY AND INTO THE AFTERNOON...QUICK MOVING SHORTWAVE
WILL TRAVERSE NORTHERN/CENTRAL NEVADA. DYNAMICS/MOISTURE ARE
MODEST...SO EXPECT WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND ISOLATED STORMS. A
GENERAL ~0.10 INCH OF LIQUID WILL BE LIKELY...WITH MORE IN THE
HIGHER ELEVATIONS. SNOW LEVELS WILL DIP TO ~7000-8000FT...WHICH
WILL ALLOW FOR SEVERAL INCHES OF HIGH ELEVATION SNOW. NO IMPACTS
ARE EXPECTED AT ANY PASS LEVELS.

A MUCH STRONGER...NEGATIVELY TILTED TROUGH MOVES INTO NORTHERN
NEVADA SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. THIS WILL BRING WIDESPREAD VALLEY
RAIN AND MTN SNOW SHOWERS TO THE AREA. SNOW LEVELS WILL RAPIDLY
FALL TO MOST VALLEY FLOORS BY LAT SAT NIGHT AND EARLY SUN
MORNING...BUT THE MAJORITY OF THE PRECIP WILL BE EXITING THE AREA.
NOT EXPECTING ANYTHING MORE THAN A DUSTING TO ONE INCH BETWEEN
5500-6000FT. THE RUBY MTNS WILL SEE AROUND A HALF OF FOOT. THE
MTNS IN WHITE PINE WILL SEE AROUND 1 FOOT OF FRESH SNOWFALL.

THE STORMS RAPIDLY DEPARTS EARLY SUNDAY MORNING AND WILL BE
REPLACED BY BREEZY NW WINDS AND MUCH COOLER TEMPS. NW NYE MAY
FLIRT WITH WIND ADV CRITERIA...BUT WILL HOLD OFF ON ANY HEADLINES
AT THIS TIME.

.LONG TERM...SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY. MODELS IN AGREEMENT
WITH BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE OVER NEVADA SUNDAY INTO AND KEEPING THE
RIDGE OVER THE CWA TUESDAY. THE RIDGE FLATTENS TUESDAY NIGHT BUT
WITH SOUTHWEST FLOW REMAINING OVER THE CWA...DAYTIME TEMPERATURES
WILL WARM. DAYTIME TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO 5 TO 15 DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH TEMPERATURES APPROACHING THE 80
DEGREE MARK AT MANY SOUTHERN LOCATIONS TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...THUNDERSTORMS AT KELY AND KEKO WILL DISSIPATE NEAR
SUNSET THIS EVENING. HOWEVER...NOT BEFORE POSSIBLY BRINGING ISOLATED
GUSTY WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 KNOTS...BRIEF HEAVY RAIN...SMALL
HAIL...LIGHTNING AND POTENTIALLY MVFR CIGS AND VIS FOR A BRIEF
PERIOD. OTHERWISE...VFR CIGS/VIS WITH WINDS MOSTLY BELOW 20 KNOTS.
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FRIDAY AFTERNOON AT ALL OF THE
TERMINALS.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

94/87/87





    US Dept of Commerce
    National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
    National Weather Service
    1325 East West Highway
    Silver Spring, MD 20910
    Page Author: NWS Internet Services Team
Disclaimer
Information Quality
Credits
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities