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000
FXUS65 KLKN 172100
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
200 PM PDT THU APR 17 2014

.SYNOPSIS...PACIFIC MOISTURE WILL INCREASE TONIGHT SPREADING
CLOUDS...RAIN SHOWERS...AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NEVADA.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY MORNING WILL BECOME CONFINED TO
THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE RUBY MOUNTAINS FRIDAY AFTERNOON...AND
MAINLY WHITE PINE AND NYE COUNTIES SATURDAY AFTERNOON. PLEASANT
SPRING TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH EASTER SUNDAY.

HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE AXIS QUICKLY VISITING NEVADA THIS AFTERNOON,
DELIVERING SOME OF THE WARMEST TEMPERATURES SO FAR IN 2014. AN
INCREASING SW BREEZE THIS AFTERNOON WILL PUSH ALL VALLEYS WELL
INTO THE 70S, WITH THE WARMEST VALLEYS CRACKING 80 DEGREES.

ALTHOUGH THE SKY IS MOSTLY CLEAR OVER OUR CWA AS OF THIS WRITING,
PACIFIC MOISTURE IS RACING TOWARD US FROM TWO SEPARATE SOURCES, A
SHORTWAVE ARRIVING ON THE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST, AND
SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE AROUND A LOW SPINNING IN THE EAST PACIFIC
WEST OF LOS ANGELES. CLOUDS WILL INCREASE RAPIDLY THIS EVENING,
ALONG WITH RAIN SHOWERS BREAKING OUT ALONG AND WEST OF THE RUBY
MOUNTAINS. SNOW LEVELS THIS EVENING ARE AT THE RUBY DOME, JUST FOR
SOME PERSPECTIVE ON HOW MILD THIS AIRMASS IS. WEAK INSTABILITY
ACROSS NW HUMBOLDT COUNTY (WITH A CUMULUS FIELD WEST OF DENIO),
AND ALSO NEAR EUREKA EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. INCREASING MOISTURE
WILL TEAM UP WITH THIS INSTABILITY TO GENERATE INCREASING RAIN
SHOWERS, AND ISOLATED THUNDER, INTO THIS EVENING. SHOWER COVERAGE
INCREASES AFTER MIDNIGHT, WITH THE BEST QPF EXPECTED ACROSS
NORTHERN HUMBOLDT AND NORTHERN ELKO COUNTIES THROUGH 5 AM FRIDAY.
VERY MILD TONIGHT, WITH CLOUDS AND SHOWERS HOLDING MOST VALLEYS IN
THE 40S.

FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS CAN BE EXPECTED DURING THE FRIDAY MORNING
COMMUTE. NAM/GFS IN EXCELLENT AGREEMENT WITH AN INSTABILITY AXIS
ALONG A RUBY MTNS/SPRING CREEK-EUREKA-GABBS LINE DURING THE MIDDAY
HOURS ON FRIDAY, SO THUNDER MENTION IS WELL-WARRANTED, EVEN DURING
THE RELATIVELY EARLIER HOURS OF THE DAY. AFTER NOON, THE PLUME OF
PACIFIC MOISTURE WILL SAG SE OF THE RUBY MOUNTAINS, WITH DRIER AIR
INVADING NW NEVADA. PAINTED POPS IN THIS FASHION, WITH HUMBOLDT
COUNTY DRY WITH MUCH FEWER CLOUDS FRIDAY AFTERNOON. SOME STORMS
MAY GET A LITTLE FEISTY ALONG THE INSTABILITY AXIS FRIDAY
AFTERNOON, MOST NOTABLY ELY TO EUREKA TO MANHATTAN.

SATURDAY...MOISTURE IS FURTHER SUPPRESSED SE. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CONFINED LARGELY TO WHITE PINE AND NYE
COUNTIES, BUT A FEW WILL STILL PROBABLY POP UP ON THE RUBIES
SATURDAY AFTERNOON, IMPORTANT FOR THE OUTDOOR ENTHUSIASTS AMONG
US. AFTER A MINOR COOLDOWN FRIDAY, TEMPERATURES WILL GET A 5-8
DEGREE REBOUND ON SATURDAY, BACK TO THE DELIGHTFUL LOW TO MID 70S.

EASTER SUNDAY...A BEAUTIFUL HOLIDAY EXPECTED, UNDER DRY WEAK NEAR
ZONAL FLOW ALOFT. RAIN CHANCES WILL BE REDUCED TO NEAR NOTHING,
BUT KEPT A FEW THUNDERSHOWERS MENTIONED ON THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF
WHITE PINE COUNTY. MOST AREAS MOSTLY SUNNY, ENJOYING UPPER 60S AND
LOWER 70S EASTER AFTERNOON.  BT


.LONG TERM...SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY. MODELS AGREE WITH
INCREASING SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW OVER THE CWA MONDAY AFTERNOON.
AIRMASS LOOKS UNSTABLE OVER NE NV MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR POSSIBLE
AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS. FOR MONDAY NIGHT...WITH TROF ALONG THE WEST
COAST NEGATIVE TILT...COLD FRONT SHOULD SLOW UP AS IT MOVES ACROSS
THE CWA ON TUESDAY. THUS...HAVE HIGH POPS TUESDAY AS MODELS ARE
STILL IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH GOOD QPF AMOUNTS. AS THE TROUGH MOVES
OVER THE REGION...SNOW LEVELS WILL LOWER TOWARD VALLEY FLOORS ACROSS
MUCH OF NORTHERN NEVADA. MODELS DIFFER ON HOW DEEP THE TROF IS
WEDNESDAY...BUT WILL LEAN TOWARD THE GFS THAN THE EC AT THIS TIME AS
THE NEGATIVE TILT TROF SHOULD DIG THE SYSTEM A LITTLE FURTHER SOUTH.
LOOKS LIKE THE EC KICKS IT EAST TOO FAST. MODELS DIFFER A LOT ON
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY SO HAVE BLENDED MODELS FOR LOW POPS ACROSS
THE NORTH AND KEEPING THE SOUTH MAINLY DRY.  JH

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH FRIDAY.  GUSTY
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. RAIN SHOWERS WILL
DEVELOP OVER KWMC...KEKO...AND KELY ON FRIDAY. WINDS WILL BE GUSTY
AT KELY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.  JH

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

99/87/87







000
FXUS65 KLKN 172100
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
200 PM PDT THU APR 17 2014

.SYNOPSIS...PACIFIC MOISTURE WILL INCREASE TONIGHT SPREADING
CLOUDS...RAIN SHOWERS...AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NEVADA.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY MORNING WILL BECOME CONFINED TO
THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE RUBY MOUNTAINS FRIDAY AFTERNOON...AND
MAINLY WHITE PINE AND NYE COUNTIES SATURDAY AFTERNOON. PLEASANT
SPRING TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH EASTER SUNDAY.

HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE AXIS QUICKLY VISITING NEVADA THIS AFTERNOON,
DELIVERING SOME OF THE WARMEST TEMPERATURES SO FAR IN 2014. AN
INCREASING SW BREEZE THIS AFTERNOON WILL PUSH ALL VALLEYS WELL
INTO THE 70S, WITH THE WARMEST VALLEYS CRACKING 80 DEGREES.

ALTHOUGH THE SKY IS MOSTLY CLEAR OVER OUR CWA AS OF THIS WRITING,
PACIFIC MOISTURE IS RACING TOWARD US FROM TWO SEPARATE SOURCES, A
SHORTWAVE ARRIVING ON THE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST, AND
SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE AROUND A LOW SPINNING IN THE EAST PACIFIC
WEST OF LOS ANGELES. CLOUDS WILL INCREASE RAPIDLY THIS EVENING,
ALONG WITH RAIN SHOWERS BREAKING OUT ALONG AND WEST OF THE RUBY
MOUNTAINS. SNOW LEVELS THIS EVENING ARE AT THE RUBY DOME, JUST FOR
SOME PERSPECTIVE ON HOW MILD THIS AIRMASS IS. WEAK INSTABILITY
ACROSS NW HUMBOLDT COUNTY (WITH A CUMULUS FIELD WEST OF DENIO),
AND ALSO NEAR EUREKA EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. INCREASING MOISTURE
WILL TEAM UP WITH THIS INSTABILITY TO GENERATE INCREASING RAIN
SHOWERS, AND ISOLATED THUNDER, INTO THIS EVENING. SHOWER COVERAGE
INCREASES AFTER MIDNIGHT, WITH THE BEST QPF EXPECTED ACROSS
NORTHERN HUMBOLDT AND NORTHERN ELKO COUNTIES THROUGH 5 AM FRIDAY.
VERY MILD TONIGHT, WITH CLOUDS AND SHOWERS HOLDING MOST VALLEYS IN
THE 40S.

FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS CAN BE EXPECTED DURING THE FRIDAY MORNING
COMMUTE. NAM/GFS IN EXCELLENT AGREEMENT WITH AN INSTABILITY AXIS
ALONG A RUBY MTNS/SPRING CREEK-EUREKA-GABBS LINE DURING THE MIDDAY
HOURS ON FRIDAY, SO THUNDER MENTION IS WELL-WARRANTED, EVEN DURING
THE RELATIVELY EARLIER HOURS OF THE DAY. AFTER NOON, THE PLUME OF
PACIFIC MOISTURE WILL SAG SE OF THE RUBY MOUNTAINS, WITH DRIER AIR
INVADING NW NEVADA. PAINTED POPS IN THIS FASHION, WITH HUMBOLDT
COUNTY DRY WITH MUCH FEWER CLOUDS FRIDAY AFTERNOON. SOME STORMS
MAY GET A LITTLE FEISTY ALONG THE INSTABILITY AXIS FRIDAY
AFTERNOON, MOST NOTABLY ELY TO EUREKA TO MANHATTAN.

SATURDAY...MOISTURE IS FURTHER SUPPRESSED SE. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CONFINED LARGELY TO WHITE PINE AND NYE
COUNTIES, BUT A FEW WILL STILL PROBABLY POP UP ON THE RUBIES
SATURDAY AFTERNOON, IMPORTANT FOR THE OUTDOOR ENTHUSIASTS AMONG
US. AFTER A MINOR COOLDOWN FRIDAY, TEMPERATURES WILL GET A 5-8
DEGREE REBOUND ON SATURDAY, BACK TO THE DELIGHTFUL LOW TO MID 70S.

EASTER SUNDAY...A BEAUTIFUL HOLIDAY EXPECTED, UNDER DRY WEAK NEAR
ZONAL FLOW ALOFT. RAIN CHANCES WILL BE REDUCED TO NEAR NOTHING,
BUT KEPT A FEW THUNDERSHOWERS MENTIONED ON THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF
WHITE PINE COUNTY. MOST AREAS MOSTLY SUNNY, ENJOYING UPPER 60S AND
LOWER 70S EASTER AFTERNOON.  BT


.LONG TERM...SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY. MODELS AGREE WITH
INCREASING SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW OVER THE CWA MONDAY AFTERNOON.
AIRMASS LOOKS UNSTABLE OVER NE NV MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR POSSIBLE
AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS. FOR MONDAY NIGHT...WITH TROF ALONG THE WEST
COAST NEGATIVE TILT...COLD FRONT SHOULD SLOW UP AS IT MOVES ACROSS
THE CWA ON TUESDAY. THUS...HAVE HIGH POPS TUESDAY AS MODELS ARE
STILL IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH GOOD QPF AMOUNTS. AS THE TROUGH MOVES
OVER THE REGION...SNOW LEVELS WILL LOWER TOWARD VALLEY FLOORS ACROSS
MUCH OF NORTHERN NEVADA. MODELS DIFFER ON HOW DEEP THE TROF IS
WEDNESDAY...BUT WILL LEAN TOWARD THE GFS THAN THE EC AT THIS TIME AS
THE NEGATIVE TILT TROF SHOULD DIG THE SYSTEM A LITTLE FURTHER SOUTH.
LOOKS LIKE THE EC KICKS IT EAST TOO FAST. MODELS DIFFER A LOT ON
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY SO HAVE BLENDED MODELS FOR LOW POPS ACROSS
THE NORTH AND KEEPING THE SOUTH MAINLY DRY.  JH

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH FRIDAY.  GUSTY
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. RAIN SHOWERS WILL
DEVELOP OVER KWMC...KEKO...AND KELY ON FRIDAY. WINDS WILL BE GUSTY
AT KELY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.  JH

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

99/87/87






000
FXUS65 KLKN 171022
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
322 AM PDT THU APR 17 2014

.SYNOPSIS...A VERY NICE DAY IS ON TAP AS HIGH PRESSURE BRINGS
TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S. LOW PRESSURE WILL BRING SHOWERS TO THE
GREAT BASIN TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...WITH SOME THUNDERSTORMS
POSSIBLE.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY. RATHER MILD THIS MORNING
UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES...WITH TEMPERATURES MOSTLY STILL IN THE
40S. ENHANCED CLOUDINESS ON IR IMAGERY DEFINES THE CREST OF THE H5
RIDGE NICELY NEARING THE CALIFORNIA AND NEVADA BORDER.

TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE SHOULD MAINTAIN AMPLITUDE TODAY AS
THE RIDGE AXIS SLOWLY TRAVERSES THE CWFA. 570DM HEIGHTS WILL REACH
TO NEAR THE IDAHO BORDER AS THE CREST MOVES EAST. COULD BE THE
WARMEST DAY THUS FAR IN THE CALENDAR YEAR...70S WIDESPREAD WITH
POSSIBLY 80 DEGREES SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 50 IN CENTRAL NEVADA AS PRE-
FRONTAL SOUTHWEST WINDS KICK UP A NOTCH...BREEZY CONDITIONS
EXPECTED. A SHALLOW LOW PRESSURE TROUGH MAY BRING SOME LIGHT
SHOWER ACTIVITY TO NORTHWEST HUMBOLDT COUNTY AFTER MIDNIGHT. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE 70S TO NEAR 80 DEGREES. LOW
TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 30S TO THE MID 40S.

FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. THE TROUGH IS SHOWING SIGNS OF DEEPENING
AND PRODUCING AT LEAST ONE COLD FRONT...ON FRIDAY. THE ATMOSPHERE
IS BECOMING UNSTABLE AS THE COOLER AIR ALOFT BEGINS TO SEEP IN.
HOWEVER AM NOT CONFIDENT OF THE SPECIFICS SINCE THE MODELS SEEM
TO BE ALL OVER THE PLACE WITH WHAT COULD BE DECODED AS MULTIPLE
EMBEDDED SHORTWAVES PASSING THROUGH THE TROUGH. THINK THIS IS
OCCURRING DUE TO THE DOMINANT NEAR-ZONAL FLOW OVER NORTHERN NEVADA
AS THE PROPOSED CENTER OF THE LOW WITHIN THE TROUGH PASSES OVER
BAJA CALIFORNIA THEN ARIZONA. WILL HAVE THUNDERSTORMS PRIMARILY
OVER CENTRAL NEVADA BOTH FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AFTERNOON. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 60S TO THE MID 70S. LOW
TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 30S TO AROUND 40 DEGREES.

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY. FLAT RIDGE OVER
THE CWA SATURDAY EVENING WITH LIGHT SHOWER ACTIVITY ACROSS
EAST-CENTRAL NEVADA DIMINISHING SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET. FLOW ALOFT
BACKS TO THE SOUTHWEST ON SUNDAY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF MORE
AFTERNOON SHOWERS ACROSS EAST-CENTRAL NEVADA...THOUGH MODELS HAVE
BEEN TRENDING TOWARD A DRIER SOLUTION. MODELS AGREE WITH INCREASING
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW INTO MONDAY AFTERNOON...WITH ONCE AGAIN SOME WEAK
INSTABILITY ACROSS EAST-CENTRAL NEVADA...AS A TROUGH APPROACHES THE
WEST COAST. TROUGH AXIS PROGGED TO MOVE OVER NEVADA TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY WITH MODELS IN GENERAL AGREEMENT AS TO MUCH INCREASED
MOISTURE ACROSS NORTHERN AND PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEVADA THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. AS THE TROUGH MOVES OVER THE REGION SNOW LEVELS WILL
LOWER TOWARD VALLEY FLOORS ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHERN NEVADA. AT THIS
TIME MODELS ARE IN BETTER AGREEMENT WITH QPF THAN THEY ARE SNOW
LEVELS FOR THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. FOR NOW LEANING FORECAST TOWARD
THE SLIGHTLY COOLER ECMWF MODEL WHICH SUGGESTS AT LEAST MIXED RAIN
AND SNOW TO THE MAJORITY OF VALLEY AREAS...AND LIKELY CHANGING OVER
TO ALL SNOW. FOR NOW QPF AMOUNTS NOT IMPRESSIVE ENOUGH FOR SNOW
ADVISORIES HOWEVER.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION AGAIN TODAY. GUSTY
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS DURING THE AFTERNOON...WITH RAIN SHOWERS
APPROACHING KWMC THIS EVENING...KEKO NEAR OR SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT...AND TO KELY AND KTPH BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

92/96/96







000
FXUS65 KLKN 171022
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
322 AM PDT THU APR 17 2014

.SYNOPSIS...A VERY NICE DAY IS ON TAP AS HIGH PRESSURE BRINGS
TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S. LOW PRESSURE WILL BRING SHOWERS TO THE
GREAT BASIN TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...WITH SOME THUNDERSTORMS
POSSIBLE.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY. RATHER MILD THIS MORNING
UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES...WITH TEMPERATURES MOSTLY STILL IN THE
40S. ENHANCED CLOUDINESS ON IR IMAGERY DEFINES THE CREST OF THE H5
RIDGE NICELY NEARING THE CALIFORNIA AND NEVADA BORDER.

TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE SHOULD MAINTAIN AMPLITUDE TODAY AS
THE RIDGE AXIS SLOWLY TRAVERSES THE CWFA. 570DM HEIGHTS WILL REACH
TO NEAR THE IDAHO BORDER AS THE CREST MOVES EAST. COULD BE THE
WARMEST DAY THUS FAR IN THE CALENDAR YEAR...70S WIDESPREAD WITH
POSSIBLY 80 DEGREES SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 50 IN CENTRAL NEVADA AS PRE-
FRONTAL SOUTHWEST WINDS KICK UP A NOTCH...BREEZY CONDITIONS
EXPECTED. A SHALLOW LOW PRESSURE TROUGH MAY BRING SOME LIGHT
SHOWER ACTIVITY TO NORTHWEST HUMBOLDT COUNTY AFTER MIDNIGHT. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE 70S TO NEAR 80 DEGREES. LOW
TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 30S TO THE MID 40S.

FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. THE TROUGH IS SHOWING SIGNS OF DEEPENING
AND PRODUCING AT LEAST ONE COLD FRONT...ON FRIDAY. THE ATMOSPHERE
IS BECOMING UNSTABLE AS THE COOLER AIR ALOFT BEGINS TO SEEP IN.
HOWEVER AM NOT CONFIDENT OF THE SPECIFICS SINCE THE MODELS SEEM
TO BE ALL OVER THE PLACE WITH WHAT COULD BE DECODED AS MULTIPLE
EMBEDDED SHORTWAVES PASSING THROUGH THE TROUGH. THINK THIS IS
OCCURRING DUE TO THE DOMINANT NEAR-ZONAL FLOW OVER NORTHERN NEVADA
AS THE PROPOSED CENTER OF THE LOW WITHIN THE TROUGH PASSES OVER
BAJA CALIFORNIA THEN ARIZONA. WILL HAVE THUNDERSTORMS PRIMARILY
OVER CENTRAL NEVADA BOTH FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AFTERNOON. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 60S TO THE MID 70S. LOW
TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 30S TO AROUND 40 DEGREES.

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY. FLAT RIDGE OVER
THE CWA SATURDAY EVENING WITH LIGHT SHOWER ACTIVITY ACROSS
EAST-CENTRAL NEVADA DIMINISHING SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET. FLOW ALOFT
BACKS TO THE SOUTHWEST ON SUNDAY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF MORE
AFTERNOON SHOWERS ACROSS EAST-CENTRAL NEVADA...THOUGH MODELS HAVE
BEEN TRENDING TOWARD A DRIER SOLUTION. MODELS AGREE WITH INCREASING
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW INTO MONDAY AFTERNOON...WITH ONCE AGAIN SOME WEAK
INSTABILITY ACROSS EAST-CENTRAL NEVADA...AS A TROUGH APPROACHES THE
WEST COAST. TROUGH AXIS PROGGED TO MOVE OVER NEVADA TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY WITH MODELS IN GENERAL AGREEMENT AS TO MUCH INCREASED
MOISTURE ACROSS NORTHERN AND PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEVADA THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. AS THE TROUGH MOVES OVER THE REGION SNOW LEVELS WILL
LOWER TOWARD VALLEY FLOORS ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHERN NEVADA. AT THIS
TIME MODELS ARE IN BETTER AGREEMENT WITH QPF THAN THEY ARE SNOW
LEVELS FOR THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. FOR NOW LEANING FORECAST TOWARD
THE SLIGHTLY COOLER ECMWF MODEL WHICH SUGGESTS AT LEAST MIXED RAIN
AND SNOW TO THE MAJORITY OF VALLEY AREAS...AND LIKELY CHANGING OVER
TO ALL SNOW. FOR NOW QPF AMOUNTS NOT IMPRESSIVE ENOUGH FOR SNOW
ADVISORIES HOWEVER.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION AGAIN TODAY. GUSTY
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS DURING THE AFTERNOON...WITH RAIN SHOWERS
APPROACHING KWMC THIS EVENING...KEKO NEAR OR SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT...AND TO KELY AND KTPH BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

92/96/96






000
FXUS65 KLKN 162100
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
200 PM PDT WED APR 16 2014

.SYNOPSIS...EXPECT THE WARMEST DAY SO FAR THIS YEAR ON THURSDAY
WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES MUCH ABOVE NORMAL. SCATTERED RAIN
SHOWERS WILL ARRIVE IN NORTHWEST NEVADA THURSDAY NIGHT. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...MOST
NUMEROUS ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN NEVADA. A STRONGER...COLDER
STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED NEXT WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY.

STRATOCUMULUS GRADUALLY BREAKING UP THIS AFTERNOON BEHIND LAST
NIGHT`S DEPARTING SHORTWAVE. SHOULD STILL GET CLOSE TO PROJECTED
HIGHS WITH SEVERAL HOURS OF MID-APRIL SUNSHINE.

STRONG BUT PROGRESSIVE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE MOVES INTO NEVADA ON
THURSDAY. ATMOSPHERE WARMS RAPIDLY IN RESPONSE, WITH SOME OF THE
WARMEST TEMPERATURES SO FAR THIS YEAR EXPECTED. MIDDLE 70S WILL BE
TYPICAL, WITH THE WARMEST VALLEYS IN THE SOUTHERN AND WESTERN
ZONES IN THE LOWER 80S. A SW BREEZE AT 10-20 MPH WILL ENCOURAGE A
WELL-MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER AND THE RESULTANT TOASTY TEMPS.

FRIDAY APPEARS TO BE CONVECTIVE AND SPRING-LIKE, AS A PLUME OF
ENHANCED PRECIPITABLE WATER OFF THE PACIFIC INTERACTS WITH APRIL
SUNSHINE. EXPECT ISOLATED TO SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS FRIDAY
MORNING, BUT INSTABILITY INCREASES AFTER NOON, ESPECIALLY ACROSS
ELKO, NORTHERN WHITE PINE, SE EUREKA, AND NW NYE COUNTIES. GFS
BUFR SOUNDINGS FOR ELKO FRIDAY AFTERNOON REVEAL CLOUD BASES NEAR
650 MB, LOW ENOUGH TO GET RAIN TO THE GROUND, ESPECIALLY WITH PW
OVER 1/2 INCH. SOUNDINGS ALSO SUGGEST A LIFTED INDEX OF -2 AND
CAPE OF 200 J/KG AROUND 2-3 PM. NEEDLESS TO SAY, MENTIONED
THUNDER, AND INCLUDED SCATTERED THUNDER WORDING WHERE INSTABILITY
IS EXPECTED TO BE THE GREATEST. STRONG DOWNDRAFTS OF 50-55 MPH
POSSIBLE FROM THE STRONGEST STORMS. WITH THE CLOUDS AND
CONVECTION, AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL BE REDUCED FROM THURSDAY`S BALMY
READINGS, BUT STILL IN THE 60S AND LOWER 70S.

SATURDAY...MORE OF THE SAME CONVECTIVE TRENDS, ALTHOUGH MORE
FOCUSED ACROSS THE SE ZONES, AS THE PW PLUME SHIFTS SE. GFS BUFR
SOUNDINGS FOR ELY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AGAIN REVEAL CLOUD BASES NEAR
650 MB WITH LIFTED INDEX OF -1 AND CAPE NEAR 100 J/KG. INCREASED
POP GRIDS FROM THE RUBY MOUNTAINS SE, AND INCLUDED THUNDER. 12Z
ECMWF IN PARTICULAR HAS STRONG CONVECTIVE SIGNALS ACROSS THE
EASTERN AND SOUTHERN ZONES. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM NICELY OVER NW
NEVADA, AWAY FROM THE CONVECTION AND WITH FEWER CLOUDS THAN ON
FRIDAY.  BT

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY. MODELS IN
GENERALLY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE OVERALL PATTERN THROUGH
MONDAY...THEN DIFFER ON THE STRENGTH AND TIMING OF THE TROF OVER THE
WESTERN U.S. NEXT TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. FLAT RIDGE OVER THE CWA
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY WITH A FEW SHOWERS POSSIBLE...MAINLY OVER
EASTERN NV. A FEW RAIN SHOWERS MAY LINGER ALONG THE ID-NV BORDER
SUNDAY NIGHT...OTHERWISE DRY AS A DIRTY RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE CWA.
MODELS DIFFER IN TIMING OF THE MOVEMENT OF THE DEEP TROP IN THE GULF
OF ALASKA ON MONDAY. WITH THIS DEEPER TROP...EXPECT THE COLD FRONT
ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROF TO BE ON THE SLOWER SIDE. STILL...MODELS
AREN`T TOO BAD IN AGREEMENT ON QPF AMOUNTS TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.
MODELS INDICATE A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS NEVADA DURING
THE DAY TUESDAY...WITH SNOW LEVELS DROPPING TO THE VALLEY FLOORS
BY MIDNIGHT OVER MOST LOCATIONS TUESDAY. STILL TOO EARLY TO GET
THE TIMING OF QPF AMOUNTS...BUT DOES LOOK COLDER AND WETTER NEXT
MID WEEK. AIRMASS REMAINS COLD WEDNESDAY AND LOOKS AT THIS TIME
THERE SHOULD BE ENOUGH MOISTURE PRESENT FOR RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS.  JH

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THURSDAY.
NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WITH GUSTS OF 15 TO 25 KTS WILL DECREASE AFTER
SUNSET THIS EVENING. SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 22 MPH WILL
DEVELOP THURSDAY AFTERNOON AHEAD OF THE NEXT TROF LOCATED ALONG
THE WEST COAST.  JH

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

99/87/87






000
FXUS65 KLKN 162100
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
200 PM PDT WED APR 16 2014

.SYNOPSIS...EXPECT THE WARMEST DAY SO FAR THIS YEAR ON THURSDAY
WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES MUCH ABOVE NORMAL. SCATTERED RAIN
SHOWERS WILL ARRIVE IN NORTHWEST NEVADA THURSDAY NIGHT. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...MOST
NUMEROUS ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN NEVADA. A STRONGER...COLDER
STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED NEXT WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY.

STRATOCUMULUS GRADUALLY BREAKING UP THIS AFTERNOON BEHIND LAST
NIGHT`S DEPARTING SHORTWAVE. SHOULD STILL GET CLOSE TO PROJECTED
HIGHS WITH SEVERAL HOURS OF MID-APRIL SUNSHINE.

STRONG BUT PROGRESSIVE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE MOVES INTO NEVADA ON
THURSDAY. ATMOSPHERE WARMS RAPIDLY IN RESPONSE, WITH SOME OF THE
WARMEST TEMPERATURES SO FAR THIS YEAR EXPECTED. MIDDLE 70S WILL BE
TYPICAL, WITH THE WARMEST VALLEYS IN THE SOUTHERN AND WESTERN
ZONES IN THE LOWER 80S. A SW BREEZE AT 10-20 MPH WILL ENCOURAGE A
WELL-MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER AND THE RESULTANT TOASTY TEMPS.

FRIDAY APPEARS TO BE CONVECTIVE AND SPRING-LIKE, AS A PLUME OF
ENHANCED PRECIPITABLE WATER OFF THE PACIFIC INTERACTS WITH APRIL
SUNSHINE. EXPECT ISOLATED TO SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS FRIDAY
MORNING, BUT INSTABILITY INCREASES AFTER NOON, ESPECIALLY ACROSS
ELKO, NORTHERN WHITE PINE, SE EUREKA, AND NW NYE COUNTIES. GFS
BUFR SOUNDINGS FOR ELKO FRIDAY AFTERNOON REVEAL CLOUD BASES NEAR
650 MB, LOW ENOUGH TO GET RAIN TO THE GROUND, ESPECIALLY WITH PW
OVER 1/2 INCH. SOUNDINGS ALSO SUGGEST A LIFTED INDEX OF -2 AND
CAPE OF 200 J/KG AROUND 2-3 PM. NEEDLESS TO SAY, MENTIONED
THUNDER, AND INCLUDED SCATTERED THUNDER WORDING WHERE INSTABILITY
IS EXPECTED TO BE THE GREATEST. STRONG DOWNDRAFTS OF 50-55 MPH
POSSIBLE FROM THE STRONGEST STORMS. WITH THE CLOUDS AND
CONVECTION, AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL BE REDUCED FROM THURSDAY`S BALMY
READINGS, BUT STILL IN THE 60S AND LOWER 70S.

SATURDAY...MORE OF THE SAME CONVECTIVE TRENDS, ALTHOUGH MORE
FOCUSED ACROSS THE SE ZONES, AS THE PW PLUME SHIFTS SE. GFS BUFR
SOUNDINGS FOR ELY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AGAIN REVEAL CLOUD BASES NEAR
650 MB WITH LIFTED INDEX OF -1 AND CAPE NEAR 100 J/KG. INCREASED
POP GRIDS FROM THE RUBY MOUNTAINS SE, AND INCLUDED THUNDER. 12Z
ECMWF IN PARTICULAR HAS STRONG CONVECTIVE SIGNALS ACROSS THE
EASTERN AND SOUTHERN ZONES. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM NICELY OVER NW
NEVADA, AWAY FROM THE CONVECTION AND WITH FEWER CLOUDS THAN ON
FRIDAY.  BT

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY. MODELS IN
GENERALLY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE OVERALL PATTERN THROUGH
MONDAY...THEN DIFFER ON THE STRENGTH AND TIMING OF THE TROF OVER THE
WESTERN U.S. NEXT TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. FLAT RIDGE OVER THE CWA
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY WITH A FEW SHOWERS POSSIBLE...MAINLY OVER
EASTERN NV. A FEW RAIN SHOWERS MAY LINGER ALONG THE ID-NV BORDER
SUNDAY NIGHT...OTHERWISE DRY AS A DIRTY RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE CWA.
MODELS DIFFER IN TIMING OF THE MOVEMENT OF THE DEEP TROP IN THE GULF
OF ALASKA ON MONDAY. WITH THIS DEEPER TROP...EXPECT THE COLD FRONT
ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROF TO BE ON THE SLOWER SIDE. STILL...MODELS
AREN`T TOO BAD IN AGREEMENT ON QPF AMOUNTS TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.
MODELS INDICATE A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS NEVADA DURING
THE DAY TUESDAY...WITH SNOW LEVELS DROPPING TO THE VALLEY FLOORS
BY MIDNIGHT OVER MOST LOCATIONS TUESDAY. STILL TOO EARLY TO GET
THE TIMING OF QPF AMOUNTS...BUT DOES LOOK COLDER AND WETTER NEXT
MID WEEK. AIRMASS REMAINS COLD WEDNESDAY AND LOOKS AT THIS TIME
THERE SHOULD BE ENOUGH MOISTURE PRESENT FOR RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS.  JH

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THURSDAY.
NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WITH GUSTS OF 15 TO 25 KTS WILL DECREASE AFTER
SUNSET THIS EVENING. SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 22 MPH WILL
DEVELOP THURSDAY AFTERNOON AHEAD OF THE NEXT TROF LOCATED ALONG
THE WEST COAST.  JH

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

99/87/87







000
FXUS65 KLKN 161017
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
317 AM PDT WED APR 16 2014

.SYNOPSIS...MILD TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
A WEAK WEATHER SYSTEM WILL BRING SOME SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.


&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY. DIRTY RIDGE OFFSHORE PRODUCING
NORTHWEST FLOW OVER NEVADA. DIRTY FLOW COVERS NORTHERN AND TO
LESSER EXTENT CENTRAL NEVADA. PREVIOUS FORECAST PACK HAD SOME VERY
LOW PRECIP CHANCES OVER NORTHEAST NEVADA THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON. HAVE
REDUCED THESE AS ACTUAL CLOUD COVER BECAME MORE SPARSE. SURFACE IS
VERY DRY AND MOST OF SHOWERS WILL ONLY BECOME VIRGA OR...IN THE
HIGHEST ELEVATIONS..."SNIRGA". WEAK SHORTWAVES
NOTWITHSTANDING...NOT MUCH IN THE WAY OF PRECIP THROUGH THURSDAY.
ANOTHER LARGER WAVE FORMS OVER THE SOUTHWEST U.S. LATER THURSDAY
AND CREATES AN UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE OVER CENTRAL NEVADA. GOOD
POTENTIAL FOR TONOPAH LOW FORMING FRIDAY AND ISOLATED...PROBABLY
DRY...THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN
NEVADA...EXTENDING NORTHWARD INTO THE RUBIES AND POSSIBLY PINON
RANGE. TEMPS REMAIN MILD SO ANY SNOW WILL BE IN HIGHER TERRAIN.

.LONG TERM...FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY. BROAD TROUGH OVER
THE GREAT BASIN EARLY THIS WEEKEND RESULTING IN SHOWERS OVER
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN NEVADA. AS THE TROUGH EXITS OFF TO
THE EAST BY SUNDAY INSTABILITY WILL BE CONFINED TO EASTERN MOST
PORTIONS OF THE STATE. EARLY NEXT WEEK A DEEPER TROUGH BEGINS TO
APPROACH THE WEST COAST...WITH THE FLOW ALOFT GRADUALLY BACKING TO
THE SOUTHWEST. AS SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW STRENGTHENS EXPECT INSTABILITY
TO INCREASE INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK WITH EXPANDING SHOWER
ACTIVITY. MODELS COMING INTO PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE TIMING
AND STRENGTH OF NEXT TUESDAYS TROUGH PASSAGE...WHICH HAS THE
POTENTIAL FOR QPF AMOUNTS OF A QUARTER INCH OR MORE WITH THE FRONTAL
PASSAGE.


&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION TODAY. A WEAK SYSTEM
DROPPING THROUGH NEVADA WILL BRING INCREASED CLOUDS ALONG WITH
NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WITH GUSTS OF 15 TO 25 KTS FROM LATE THIS
MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS.


&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

98/96/96






000
FXUS65 KLKN 161017
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
317 AM PDT WED APR 16 2014

.SYNOPSIS...MILD TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
A WEAK WEATHER SYSTEM WILL BRING SOME SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.


&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY. DIRTY RIDGE OFFSHORE PRODUCING
NORTHWEST FLOW OVER NEVADA. DIRTY FLOW COVERS NORTHERN AND TO
LESSER EXTENT CENTRAL NEVADA. PREVIOUS FORECAST PACK HAD SOME VERY
LOW PRECIP CHANCES OVER NORTHEAST NEVADA THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON. HAVE
REDUCED THESE AS ACTUAL CLOUD COVER BECAME MORE SPARSE. SURFACE IS
VERY DRY AND MOST OF SHOWERS WILL ONLY BECOME VIRGA OR...IN THE
HIGHEST ELEVATIONS..."SNIRGA". WEAK SHORTWAVES
NOTWITHSTANDING...NOT MUCH IN THE WAY OF PRECIP THROUGH THURSDAY.
ANOTHER LARGER WAVE FORMS OVER THE SOUTHWEST U.S. LATER THURSDAY
AND CREATES AN UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE OVER CENTRAL NEVADA. GOOD
POTENTIAL FOR TONOPAH LOW FORMING FRIDAY AND ISOLATED...PROBABLY
DRY...THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN
NEVADA...EXTENDING NORTHWARD INTO THE RUBIES AND POSSIBLY PINON
RANGE. TEMPS REMAIN MILD SO ANY SNOW WILL BE IN HIGHER TERRAIN.

.LONG TERM...FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY. BROAD TROUGH OVER
THE GREAT BASIN EARLY THIS WEEKEND RESULTING IN SHOWERS OVER
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN NEVADA. AS THE TROUGH EXITS OFF TO
THE EAST BY SUNDAY INSTABILITY WILL BE CONFINED TO EASTERN MOST
PORTIONS OF THE STATE. EARLY NEXT WEEK A DEEPER TROUGH BEGINS TO
APPROACH THE WEST COAST...WITH THE FLOW ALOFT GRADUALLY BACKING TO
THE SOUTHWEST. AS SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW STRENGTHENS EXPECT INSTABILITY
TO INCREASE INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK WITH EXPANDING SHOWER
ACTIVITY. MODELS COMING INTO PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE TIMING
AND STRENGTH OF NEXT TUESDAYS TROUGH PASSAGE...WHICH HAS THE
POTENTIAL FOR QPF AMOUNTS OF A QUARTER INCH OR MORE WITH THE FRONTAL
PASSAGE.


&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION TODAY. A WEAK SYSTEM
DROPPING THROUGH NEVADA WILL BRING INCREASED CLOUDS ALONG WITH
NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WITH GUSTS OF 15 TO 25 KTS FROM LATE THIS
MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS.


&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

98/96/96







000
FXUS65 KLKN 160122
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
622 PM PDT TUE APR 15 2014

.SYNOPSIS...MILD TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK. DURING THIS TIME...A WEAK WEATHER SYSTEM WILL BRING SOME
SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE WEEKEND.


&&

.UPDATE..DROPPED WIND ADVISORY AS SPEEDS HAVE LOWERED AND WILL
CONTINUE TO DO SO AFTER DARK. MAY REMAIN GUSTY ON SUMMITS AND
PASSES. ESPECIALLY PEQUOP AND H.D.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED AT 245 PM /

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. CURRENTLY A LARGE DOME OF
HIGH PRESSURE RESIDES FAR ENOUGH OFF THE PACIFIC COAST TO CREATE A
DIRTY NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT OF THE LKN CWFA. A WIND ADVISORY
REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF ELKO COUNTY AT THIS TIME. WINDS
WILL TAPER OFF AROUND SUNSET THIS EVENING AND THE WIND ADVISORY
FOR PARTS OF ELKO COUNTY WILL EXPIRE. THERE IS SUBSTANTIAL
CLOUDINESS OVER NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA THIS AFTERNOON AND
WINDS ARE SLOWLY INCREASING...PERHAPS BEING INHIBITED SOMEWHAT BY
THE CLOUD COVER. CLOUDS WILL BE INCREASING THIS EVENING AND EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING AS SEVERAL EMBEDDED SHORTWAVES MOVE THROUGH THE
EASTERN SIDE OF THE PACIFIC RIDGE AND THROUGH NEVADA. THIS SHOULD
KEEP LOW TEMPERATURES FROM SINKING INTO THE 20S WIDESPREAD.

TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SOME PERIODS OF LIGHT PRECIPITATION
WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE DIRTY RIDGE PATTERN HOWEVER THE LOWER
LAYERS OF THE ATMOSPHERE ARE VERY DRY...SURFACE DEWPOINTS ARE IN
TEENS FOR THE MOST PART...AND EVEN DRIER OVER CENTRAL NEVADA. ANY
PRECIPITATION IS LIKELY TO BE CONFINED TO ELEVATIONS ABOVE 6500
FEET. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 50S TO THE MID 60S.
LOW TEMPERATURES WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE 30S.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. THE AXIS OF A LOW-AMPLITUDE
SHORTWAVE RIDGE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN BRING DRIER
CONDITIONS AS THE PATTERN RETURNS TO A PROGRESSIVE FLOW. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL RISE INTO THE 70S IN MANY LOCATIONS. LOW
TEMPERATURES WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM THE UPPER 20S TO THE MID
30S.

THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE GREAT
BASIN TO BRING AN INCREASED CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION AND SOME
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. HOWEVER LITTLE OR NO VALLEY SNOW
ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE 60S. LOW TEMPERATURES WILL
GENERALLY BE IN THE 30S.

LONG TERM...LONG TERM...FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. GROWING
CONFIDENCE THAT THE OVERALL PATTERN WILL BE ACTIVE FOR THE
LONG TERM WITH A POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT STORM BEGINNING OF NEXT
WEEK. TEMPERATURES SHOULD REMAIN NEAR OR ABOVE NORMAL.

FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...DIFFERENCES BETWEEN MODELS AND
MODELS RUNS STILL EXIST...HOWEVER GENERAL CONSENSUS IS THAT MID
LEVEL MOISTURE COMBINED WITH DIFFLUENCE ALOFT WILL CREATE
CONVECTION FOR MAINLY CENTRAL NEVADA SATURDAY AND TO A LESSER
EXTENT SUNDAY. ALL MODELS PICK UP THE WEAK CUT OFF LOW OFF THE
EASTERN PACIFIC BUT DIFFER ON WHETHER THE MOISTURE FROM THIS
SOUTHERN STREAM WILL REMAIN IN THE AREA SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.
CONTINUE THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE AND WENT WITH THE HIGHEST POPS OVER
CENTRAL NEVADA ON SATURDAY WITH A SHIFT TO THE NORTH AND DECREASE
IN COVERAGE ON SUNDAY. CONFIDENT THAT INSTABILITY WILL FAVOR SOME
THUNDERSTORMS AWAY FROM SNOW COVERED AREAS SO INCLUDED THEM FOR
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. IT IS IMPORTANT TO NOTE THAT CONFIDENCE IS
NOT HIGH FOR SUNDAY AS GFS DEPICTS MORE CONVECTION AS THE TRAP
MOISTURE IS PULLED NORTHWARD DUE TO THE INCREASE IN SOUTHWESTERLY
FLOW. THE ECMWF ON THE OTHER HAND BUILDS A WEAK RIDGE OVERHEAD
WHICH RESULTS IN LESS PROBABILITY FOR CONVECTION.

MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...CONFIDENCE IS GROWING THAT A STRONG STORM
WILL IMPACT THE AREA...HOWEVER WHAT TYPE IMPACT IS STILL IN DOUBT.
ACCORDING TO THE GFS A DEEP UPPER LEVEL LOW WOULD DIVE SOUTH INTO
CENTRAL CA LATE MONDAY BEFORE SLOWLY DRIFTING INTO SOUTHERN NV
LATE TUESDAY. ON THE OTHER HAND THE ECMWF DOESN`T EVEN BRING THE
UPPER LEVEL CLOSE TO THE WEST COAST...WRAPPING IT BACK TO THE
NORTH. WITH THE GFS SOLUTION...WIDESPREAD PRECIP WOULD BE EXPECTED
MONDAY AND TUESDAY WHILE THE ECMWF WOULD BRING WINDY CONDITIONS
WITH AREAS OF PRECIP TUESDAY AS THE JET STREAM MOVES DIRECTLY
OVERHEAD. NOW THE LATEST ECMWF SOLUTION DID EDGE TOWARD THE
GFS...AND THE TREND OF THE GFS HAS BEEN TO DEEPEN THE UPPER LEVEL
LOW... SO FAVOR THE GFS EVER SO SLIGHTLY IN REGARD TO POPS AND
WINDS. BOTH ENSEMBLE MEANS ARE SIMILAR TO THE DETERMINISTIC BUT
NOT AS DEEP WHICH IS TYPICAL. DGEX AND GEM ARE ALSO SOMEWHERE IN
THE MIDDLE BUT RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY IS NOT GOOD. REGARDLESS OF
WHICH MODEL IS USED...THE WEATHER WILL BE ACTIVE EARLY NEXT WEEK
SO STAY TUNE.

AVIATION...WINDY AND TURBULENT CONDITIONS ARE THE MAIN IMPACT FOR
THIS PERIOD. WINDS SUBSIDE THIS EVENING BUT CIGS WILL DROP TO OR
SLIGHTLY BELOW 10K FEET OVERNIGHT. AS THE FRONT SETTLES NEAR
KELY...A FEW SHOWERS IN THE VICINITY ARE POSSIBLE TOWARDS THE END
OF THE PERIOD.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

98






000
FXUS65 KLKN 152145
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
245 PM PDT TUE APR 15 2014

.SYNOPSIS...MILD TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK. DURING THIS TIME...A WEAK WEATHER SYSTEM WILL BRING SOME
SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. CURRENTLY A LARGE DOME OF
HIGH PRESSURE RESIDES FAR ENOUGH OFF THE PACIFIC COAST TO CREATE A
DIRTY NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT OF THE LKN CWFA. A WIND ADVISORY
REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF ELKO COUNTY AT THIS TIME. WINDS
WILL TAPER OFF AROUND SUNSET THIS EVENING AND THE WIND ADVISORY
FOR PARTS OF ELKO COUNTY WILL EXPIRE. THERE IS SUBSTANTIAL
CLOUDINESS OVER NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA THIS AFTERNOON AND
WINDS ARE SLOWLY INCREASING...PERHAPS BEING INHIBITED SOMEWHAT BY
THE CLOUD COVER. CLOUDS WILL BE INCREASING THIS EVENING AND EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING AS SEVERAL EMBEDDED SHORTWAVES MOVE THROUGH THE
EASTERN SIDE OF THE PACIFIC RIDGE AND THROUGH NEVADA. THIS SHOULD
KEEP LOW TEMPERATURES FROM SINKING INTO THE 20S WIDESPREAD.

TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SOME PERIODS OF LIGHT PRECIPITATION
WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE DIRTY RIDGE PATTERN HOWEVER THE LOWER
LAYERS OF THE ATMOSPHERE ARE VERY DRY...SURFACE DEWPOINTS ARE IN
TEENS FOR THE MOST PART...AND EVEN DRIER OVER CENTRAL NEVADA. ANY
PRECIPITATION IS LIKELY TO BE CONFINED TO ELEVATIONS ABOVE 6500
FEET. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 50S TO THE MID 60S.
LOW TEMPERATURES WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE 30S.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. THE AXIS OF A LOW-AMPLITUDE
SHORTWAVE RIDGE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN BRING DRIER
CONDITIONS AS THE PATTERN RETURNS TO A PROGRESSIVE FLOW. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL RISE INTO THE 70S IN MANY LOCATIONS. LOW
TEMPERATURES WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM THE UPPER 20S TO THE MID
30S.

THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE GREAT
BASIN TO BRING AN INCREASED CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION AND SOME
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. HOWEVER LITTLE OR NO VALLEY SNOW
ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE 60S. LOW TEMPERATURES WILL
GENERALLY BE IN THE 30S.

.LONG TERM...LONG TERM...FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. GROWING
CONFIDENCE THAT THE OVERALL PATTERN WILL BE ACTIVE FOR THE
LONG TERM WITH A POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT STORM BEGINNING OF NEXT
WEEK. TEMPERATURES SHOULD REMAIN NEAR OR ABOVE NORMAL.

FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...DIFFERENCES BETWEEN MODELS AND
MODELS RUNS STILL EXIST...HOWEVER GENERAL CONSENSUS IS THAT MID
LEVEL MOISTURE COMBINED WITH DIFFLUENCE ALOFT WILL CREATE
CONVECTION FOR MAINLY CENTRAL NEVADA SATURDAY AND TO A LESSER
EXTENT SUNDAY. ALL MODELS PICK UP THE WEAK CUT OFF LOW OFF THE
EASTERN PACIFIC BUT DIFFER ON WHETHER THE MOISTURE FROM THIS
SOUTHERN STREAM WILL REMAIN IN THE AREA SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.
CONTINUE THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE AND WENT WITH THE HIGHEST POPS OVER
CENTRAL NEVADA ON SATURDAY WITH A SHIFT TO THE NORTH AND DECREASE
IN COVERAGE ON SUNDAY. CONFIDENT THAT INSTABILITY WILL FAVOR SOME
THUNDERSTORMS AWAY FROM SNOW COVERED AREAS SO INCLUDED THEM FOR
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. IT IS IMPORTANT TO NOTE THAT CONFIDENCE IS
NOT HIGH FOR SUNDAY AS GFS DEPICTS MORE CONVECTION AS THE TRAP
MOISTURE IS PULLED NORTHWARD DUE TO THE INCREASE IN SOUTHWESTERLY
FLOW. THE ECMWF ON THE OTHER HAND BUILDS A WEAK RIDGE OVERHEAD
WHICH RESULTS IN LESS PROBABILITY FOR CONVECTION.

MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...CONFIDENCE IS GROWING THAT A STRONG STORM
WILL IMPACT THE AREA...HOWEVER WHAT TYPE IMPACT IS STILL IN DOUBT.
ACCORDING TO THE GFS A DEEP UPPER LEVEL LOW WOULD DIVE SOUTH INTO
CENTRAL CA LATE MONDAY BEFORE SLOWLY DRIFTING INTO SOUTHERN NV
LATE TUESDAY. ON THE OTHER HAND THE ECMWF DOESN`T EVEN BRING THE
UPPER LEVEL CLOSE TO THE WEST COAST...WRAPPING IT BACK TO THE
NORTH. WITH THE GFS SOLUTION...WIDESPREAD PRECIP WOULD BE EXPECTED
MONDAY AND TUESDAY WHILE THE ECMWF WOULD BRING WINDY CONDITIONS
WITH AREAS OF PRECIP TUESDAY AS THE JET STREAM MOVES DIRECTLY
OVERHEAD. NOW THE LATEST ECMWF SOLUTION DID EDGE TOWARD THE
GFS...AND THE TREND OF THE GFS HAS BEEN TO DEEPEN THE UPPER LEVEL
LOW... SO FAVOR THE GFS EVER SO SLIGHTLY IN REGARD TO POPS AND
WINDS. BOTH ENSEMBLE MEANS ARE SIMILAR TO THE DETERMINISTIC BUT
NOT AS DEEP WHICH IS TYPICAL. DGEX AND GEM ARE ALSO SOMEWHERE IN
THE MIDDLE BUT RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY IS NOT GOOD. REGARDLESS OF
WHICH MODEL IS USED...THE WEATHER WILL BE ACTIVE EARLY NEXT WEEK
SO STAY TUNE.

&&

.AVIATION...WINDY AND TURBULENT CONDITIONS ARE THE MAIN IMPACT FOR
THIS PERIOD. WINDS SUBSIDE THIS EVENING BUT CIGS WILL DROP TO OR
SLIGHTLY BELOW 10K FEET OVERNIGHT. AS THE FRONT SETTLES NEAR
KELY...A FEW SHOWERS IN THE VICINITY ARE POSSIBLE TOWARDS THE END
OF THE PERIOD.


&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR NORTHERN ELKO
COUNTY...RUBY MOUNTAINS/EAST HUMBOLDT RANGE...SOUTH CENTRAL ELKO
COUNTY...SOUTHEASTERN ELKO COUNTY.

&&

$$

92/85/85









000
FXUS65 KLKN 150955
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
255 AM PDT TUE APR 15 2014

.SYNOPSIS...GUSTY WINDS TODAY AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE AREA.
A FEW SHOWERS ACROSS EASTERN NEVADA AND COOLER ON WEDNESDAY AS A
DISTURBANCE MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. HIGH PRESSURE WILL ALLOW FOR
WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ON THURSDAY BEFORE ANOTHER DISTURBANCE
BRINGS A CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION ON FRIDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY. A WEAK SHORTWAVE IS MOVING
OVER NORTHERN NEVADA THIS MORNING WITH A FEW PASSING HIGH CLOUDS.
MAIN STORY FOR TODAY WILL BE GUSTY WINDS WHICH WILL BE STRONGEST
OVER PORTIONS OF ELKO COUNTY. ISSUED WIND ADVISORY AS GUIDANCE AND
MODELS SUGGEST 25 TO 30 KNOTS SUSTAINED WINDS AT SURFACE AND GOOD
CHANCE OF DOWNSLOPE WINDS WITH STRONGEST WINDS ACROSS NORTHEAST
ELKO COUNTY SO INCLUDED THAT AREA IN WIND ADVISORY AS WELL. ANOMALIES
2 TO 3 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL FOR 850 AND 700 MB WINDS.
MSLP GRADIENT NOT IMPRESSIVE ONLY 5-6 MB ACROSS THE CWA BUT ENOUGH
INDICATIONS WITH MODELS AND MOS GUIDANCE TO ISSUE WIND ADVISORY
FOR PARTS OF ELKO COUNTY.

WEDNESDAY MODELS SHOW A 110 KNOT JET STREAK PASSING NEAR NORTHERN
NEVADA THIS HELP PRODUCE ISOLATED AREAS OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS
EASTERN NEVADA MAINLY IN ELKO AND WHITE PINE COUNTIES...BUT WITH
LIMITED MOISTURE MOST OF PRECIPITATION WILL BE IN HIGHER TERRAIN.
OTHERWISE 5 TO 10 DEGREES COOLER ON WEDNESDAY BEHIND COLD FRONT.

THURSDAY A RIDGE PROGRESSES THROUGH THE AREA WITH JUST A FEW HIGH
CLOUDS AND WARMER TEMPERATURES.

FRIDAY. MODELS COMING INTO BETTER AGREEMENT WITH A SHORTWAVE
PUSHING INTO THE AREA BRINGING PACIFIC MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY
TO THE AREA. MODELS STILL HAVE SOME DIFFERENCES WITH TIMING AND
STRENGTH BUT ENOUGH CONFIDENCE TO INCREASE POPS AND INTRODUCE
THUNDER AS BOTH EC AND GFS SHOW LI`S OF -1 TO -2 IN AFTERNOON. JET
SUPPORT IS WEAK WITH 45 TO 50 KNOT AREA OF 250MB WINDS CLIPPING
NORTHERN NEVADA. WILL CONTINUE TO BE WARM ON FRIDAY BUT CLOUDS AND
PRECIPITATION WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES MAINLY IN THE 60S.

.LONG TERM...FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT MONDAY. ALL MODELS ARE
SHOWING A BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PUSHING THROUGH NORTHERN NEVADA
LATE FRIDAY NIGHT. THE EUROPEAN IS A LITTLE DEEPER AND COLDER WITH
THIS SYSTEM VERSUS THE GFS. HAVE KEPT THE BROADBRUSHED...BUT
ISOLATED...NATURE OF THE POPS IN THE FORECAST. PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS
WILL BE ON THE LIGHT SIDE AND...AT THIS TIME...SNOW LEVELS ARE
FORECAST GENERALLY BE ABOVE 6500 FEET. BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON...THE
EUROPEAN SHOWS A SHARPER RIDGE AXIS IN BEHIND THE OUTGOING
TROUGH...WITH A MUCH MORE BROAD RIDGE IN THE GFS. MOISTURE TRAPPED
UNDER THE RIDGE COULD LEAD TO ISOLATED SHOWERS OVER NORTHERN
NEVADA...WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS RANGING IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S.
CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED TO HANG AROUND DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...WITH MID 30S TO LOW 40S AROUND THE AREA.
SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY...RIDGING IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN UNDER A WEST
TO SOUTHWEST FLOW. AFTERNOON HIGHS AND OVERNIGHT LOWS ARE EXPECTED
TO REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL...WITH MAYBE AN ISOLATED SHOWER IN THE
NORTHERN SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED FOR THE 24 HOUR PERIOD AT
ALL SITES. STRONG WINDS EXPECTED FOR THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON
PERIODS WITH SUSTAINED W-NW15-25KT WITH GUSTS TO 30-40KT. WINDS WILL
DIMINISH AFTER 03Z THIS EVENING.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR
NORTHERN ELKO COUNTY...RUBY MOUNTAINS/EAST HUMBOLDT RANGE...
SOUTH CENTRAL ELKO COUNTY...SOUTHEASTERN ELKO COUNTY.

&&

$$

90/86/86







000
FXUS65 KLKN 150955
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
255 AM PDT TUE APR 15 2014

.SYNOPSIS...GUSTY WINDS TODAY AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE AREA.
A FEW SHOWERS ACROSS EASTERN NEVADA AND COOLER ON WEDNESDAY AS A
DISTURBANCE MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. HIGH PRESSURE WILL ALLOW FOR
WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ON THURSDAY BEFORE ANOTHER DISTURBANCE
BRINGS A CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION ON FRIDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY. A WEAK SHORTWAVE IS MOVING
OVER NORTHERN NEVADA THIS MORNING WITH A FEW PASSING HIGH CLOUDS.
MAIN STORY FOR TODAY WILL BE GUSTY WINDS WHICH WILL BE STRONGEST
OVER PORTIONS OF ELKO COUNTY. ISSUED WIND ADVISORY AS GUIDANCE AND
MODELS SUGGEST 25 TO 30 KNOTS SUSTAINED WINDS AT SURFACE AND GOOD
CHANCE OF DOWNSLOPE WINDS WITH STRONGEST WINDS ACROSS NORTHEAST
ELKO COUNTY SO INCLUDED THAT AREA IN WIND ADVISORY AS WELL. ANOMALIES
2 TO 3 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL FOR 850 AND 700 MB WINDS.
MSLP GRADIENT NOT IMPRESSIVE ONLY 5-6 MB ACROSS THE CWA BUT ENOUGH
INDICATIONS WITH MODELS AND MOS GUIDANCE TO ISSUE WIND ADVISORY
FOR PARTS OF ELKO COUNTY.

WEDNESDAY MODELS SHOW A 110 KNOT JET STREAK PASSING NEAR NORTHERN
NEVADA THIS HELP PRODUCE ISOLATED AREAS OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS
EASTERN NEVADA MAINLY IN ELKO AND WHITE PINE COUNTIES...BUT WITH
LIMITED MOISTURE MOST OF PRECIPITATION WILL BE IN HIGHER TERRAIN.
OTHERWISE 5 TO 10 DEGREES COOLER ON WEDNESDAY BEHIND COLD FRONT.

THURSDAY A RIDGE PROGRESSES THROUGH THE AREA WITH JUST A FEW HIGH
CLOUDS AND WARMER TEMPERATURES.

FRIDAY. MODELS COMING INTO BETTER AGREEMENT WITH A SHORTWAVE
PUSHING INTO THE AREA BRINGING PACIFIC MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY
TO THE AREA. MODELS STILL HAVE SOME DIFFERENCES WITH TIMING AND
STRENGTH BUT ENOUGH CONFIDENCE TO INCREASE POPS AND INTRODUCE
THUNDER AS BOTH EC AND GFS SHOW LI`S OF -1 TO -2 IN AFTERNOON. JET
SUPPORT IS WEAK WITH 45 TO 50 KNOT AREA OF 250MB WINDS CLIPPING
NORTHERN NEVADA. WILL CONTINUE TO BE WARM ON FRIDAY BUT CLOUDS AND
PRECIPITATION WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES MAINLY IN THE 60S.

.LONG TERM...FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT MONDAY. ALL MODELS ARE
SHOWING A BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PUSHING THROUGH NORTHERN NEVADA
LATE FRIDAY NIGHT. THE EUROPEAN IS A LITTLE DEEPER AND COLDER WITH
THIS SYSTEM VERSUS THE GFS. HAVE KEPT THE BROADBRUSHED...BUT
ISOLATED...NATURE OF THE POPS IN THE FORECAST. PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS
WILL BE ON THE LIGHT SIDE AND...AT THIS TIME...SNOW LEVELS ARE
FORECAST GENERALLY BE ABOVE 6500 FEET. BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON...THE
EUROPEAN SHOWS A SHARPER RIDGE AXIS IN BEHIND THE OUTGOING
TROUGH...WITH A MUCH MORE BROAD RIDGE IN THE GFS. MOISTURE TRAPPED
UNDER THE RIDGE COULD LEAD TO ISOLATED SHOWERS OVER NORTHERN
NEVADA...WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS RANGING IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S.
CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED TO HANG AROUND DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...WITH MID 30S TO LOW 40S AROUND THE AREA.
SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY...RIDGING IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN UNDER A WEST
TO SOUTHWEST FLOW. AFTERNOON HIGHS AND OVERNIGHT LOWS ARE EXPECTED
TO REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL...WITH MAYBE AN ISOLATED SHOWER IN THE
NORTHERN SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED FOR THE 24 HOUR PERIOD AT
ALL SITES. STRONG WINDS EXPECTED FOR THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON
PERIODS WITH SUSTAINED W-NW15-25KT WITH GUSTS TO 30-40KT. WINDS WILL
DIMINISH AFTER 03Z THIS EVENING.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR
NORTHERN ELKO COUNTY...RUBY MOUNTAINS/EAST HUMBOLDT RANGE...
SOUTH CENTRAL ELKO COUNTY...SOUTHEASTERN ELKO COUNTY.

&&

$$

90/86/86






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