Home > Products > Valid Products > AFD

000
FXUS64 KLZK 300556
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1156 PM CST THU JAN 29 2015

.AVIATION...
HIGH PRESSURE IN THE PLAINS WILL MOVE EAST THROUGH THE MIDWEST
THROUGH THE PERIOD. NORTH WINDS WILL SLOWLY DECREASE OVERNIGHT. LOW
CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE IN THE SOUTHEAST CORNER OF THE STATE FOR A
FEW HOURS BEFORE MOVING OUT OF THE AREA. EXPECT MOST PLACES TO BE
VFR THROUGH THE PERIOD. DURING THE DAY FRIDAY...WINDS WILL BE
LIGHT FROM THE NORTHEAST.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1103 PM CST THU JAN 29 2015/

AVIATION...
LOW CLOUDS MOVING OUT OF SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...WHILE MVFR
CONDITIONS ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSOURI MOVING SOUTH...AND MAY MOVE
WEST. HAVE LESSENED EXTENT OF CLOUD COVER IMPACTS THE TAF
SITES...BUT LEFT SOME SCATTERED MENTION ACROSS NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 905 PM CST THU JAN 29 2015/

DISCUSSION...
FORECAST IS IN GOOD SHAPE OVERALL BUT A FEW MINOR TWEAKS ARE
NEEDED TO REFLECT CURRENT TRENDS. WINDS REMAIN A BIT ELEVATED OVER
EASTERN AND SOUTHEAST SECTIONS OF THE AREA IN THE WAKE OF THE
FRONT THAT IS NOW LOCATED IN NORTHERN LOUISIANA. WILL HOLD ONTO
HIGHER WINDS FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS UNTIL THE GRADIENT RELAXES.
CLOUD COVER ALSO INCREASED BASED ON TRENDS AND MODEL DATA. ALL
UPDATES OUT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     30  47  29  45 /   0   0   0  20
CAMDEN AR         37  54  33  51 /   0   0   0  10
HARRISON AR       27  48  31  44 /   0   0  10  20
HOT SPRINGS AR    33  52  32  47 /   0   0   0  20
LITTLE ROCK   AR  32  50  31  48 /   0   0   0  10
MONTICELLO AR     37  52  32  51 /   0   0   0  10
MOUNT IDA AR      32  52  31  47 /   0   0   0  20
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  28  48  30  43 /   0   0   0  20
NEWPORT AR        31  47  29  46 /   0   0   0  20
PINE BLUFF AR     35  50  31  49 /   0   0   0  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   30  51  31  46 /   0   0   0  20
SEARCY AR         31  47  29  46 /   0   0   0  10
STUTTGART AR      33  48  31  47 /   0   0   0  10
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...51







000
FXUS64 KLZK 300556
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1156 PM CST THU JAN 29 2015

.AVIATION...
HIGH PRESSURE IN THE PLAINS WILL MOVE EAST THROUGH THE MIDWEST
THROUGH THE PERIOD. NORTH WINDS WILL SLOWLY DECREASE OVERNIGHT. LOW
CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE IN THE SOUTHEAST CORNER OF THE STATE FOR A
FEW HOURS BEFORE MOVING OUT OF THE AREA. EXPECT MOST PLACES TO BE
VFR THROUGH THE PERIOD. DURING THE DAY FRIDAY...WINDS WILL BE
LIGHT FROM THE NORTHEAST.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1103 PM CST THU JAN 29 2015/

AVIATION...
LOW CLOUDS MOVING OUT OF SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...WHILE MVFR
CONDITIONS ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSOURI MOVING SOUTH...AND MAY MOVE
WEST. HAVE LESSENED EXTENT OF CLOUD COVER IMPACTS THE TAF
SITES...BUT LEFT SOME SCATTERED MENTION ACROSS NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 905 PM CST THU JAN 29 2015/

DISCUSSION...
FORECAST IS IN GOOD SHAPE OVERALL BUT A FEW MINOR TWEAKS ARE
NEEDED TO REFLECT CURRENT TRENDS. WINDS REMAIN A BIT ELEVATED OVER
EASTERN AND SOUTHEAST SECTIONS OF THE AREA IN THE WAKE OF THE
FRONT THAT IS NOW LOCATED IN NORTHERN LOUISIANA. WILL HOLD ONTO
HIGHER WINDS FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS UNTIL THE GRADIENT RELAXES.
CLOUD COVER ALSO INCREASED BASED ON TRENDS AND MODEL DATA. ALL
UPDATES OUT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     30  47  29  45 /   0   0   0  20
CAMDEN AR         37  54  33  51 /   0   0   0  10
HARRISON AR       27  48  31  44 /   0   0  10  20
HOT SPRINGS AR    33  52  32  47 /   0   0   0  20
LITTLE ROCK   AR  32  50  31  48 /   0   0   0  10
MONTICELLO AR     37  52  32  51 /   0   0   0  10
MOUNT IDA AR      32  52  31  47 /   0   0   0  20
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  28  48  30  43 /   0   0   0  20
NEWPORT AR        31  47  29  46 /   0   0   0  20
PINE BLUFF AR     35  50  31  49 /   0   0   0  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   30  51  31  46 /   0   0   0  20
SEARCY AR         31  47  29  46 /   0   0   0  10
STUTTGART AR      33  48  31  47 /   0   0   0  10
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...51






000
FXUS64 KLZK 300503 AAA
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1103 PM CST THU JAN 29 2015

.AVIATION...
LOW CLOUDS MOVING OUT OF SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...WHILE MVFR
CONDITIONS ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSOURI MOVING SOUTH...AND MAY MOVE
WEST. HAVE LESSENED EXTENT OF CLOUD COVER IMPACTS THE TAF
SITES...BUT LEFT SOME SCATTERED MENTION ACROSS NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 905 PM CST THU JAN 29 2015/

DISCUSSION...
FORECAST IS IN GOOD SHAPE OVERALL BUT A FEW MINOR TWEAKS ARE
NEEDED TO REFLECT CURRENT TRENDS. WINDS REMAIN A BIT ELEVATED OVER
EASTERN AND SOUTHEAST SECTIONS OF THE AREA IN THE WAKE OF THE
FRONT THAT IS NOW LOCATED IN NORTHERN LOUISIANA. WILL HOLD ONTO
HIGHER WINDS FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS UNTIL THE GRADIENT RELAXES.
CLOUD COVER ALSO INCREASED BASED ON TRENDS AND MODEL DATA. ALL
UPDATES OUT.
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...58





000
FXUS64 KLZK 300503 AAA
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1103 PM CST THU JAN 29 2015

.AVIATION...
LOW CLOUDS MOVING OUT OF SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...WHILE MVFR
CONDITIONS ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSOURI MOVING SOUTH...AND MAY MOVE
WEST. HAVE LESSENED EXTENT OF CLOUD COVER IMPACTS THE TAF
SITES...BUT LEFT SOME SCATTERED MENTION ACROSS NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 905 PM CST THU JAN 29 2015/

DISCUSSION...
FORECAST IS IN GOOD SHAPE OVERALL BUT A FEW MINOR TWEAKS ARE
NEEDED TO REFLECT CURRENT TRENDS. WINDS REMAIN A BIT ELEVATED OVER
EASTERN AND SOUTHEAST SECTIONS OF THE AREA IN THE WAKE OF THE
FRONT THAT IS NOW LOCATED IN NORTHERN LOUISIANA. WILL HOLD ONTO
HIGHER WINDS FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS UNTIL THE GRADIENT RELAXES.
CLOUD COVER ALSO INCREASED BASED ON TRENDS AND MODEL DATA. ALL
UPDATES OUT.
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...58






000
FXUS64 KLZK 300305
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
905 PM CST THU JAN 29 2015

.DISCUSSION...
FORECAST IS IN GOOD SHAPE OVERALL BUT A FEW MINOR TWEAKS ARE
NEEDED TO REFLECT CURRENT TRENDS. WINDS REMAIN A BIT ELEVATED OVER
EASTERN AND SOUTHEAST SECTIONS OF THE AREA IN THE WAKE OF THE
FRONT THAT IS NOW LOCATED IN NORTHERN LOUISIANA. WILL HOLD ONTO
HIGHER WINDS FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS UNTIL THE GRADIENT RELAXES.
CLOUD COVER ALSO INCREASED BASED ON TRENDS AND MODEL DATA. ALL
UPDATES OUT.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 545 PM CST THU JAN 29 2015/

AVIATION...
NORTH WINDS WILL SUBSIDE IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS...AND WILL
GRADUALLY BECOME EAST/SOUTHEAST DURING THE DAY FRIDAY. ONE CHANGE
WITH THIS TAF CYCLE IS THE INTRODUCTION OF LOWER CLOUDS MOVING
BACK INTO NORTHERN SITES...AND EVEN INTO CENTRAL
ARKANSAS...OVERNIGHT. FOR NOW...HAVE KEPT SCT...BUT MAY HAVE TO
INCLUDE A BKN DECK IF CONFIDENCE INCREASES.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 255 PM CST THU JAN 29 2015/

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT

CDFNT CONTD WORKING ITS WAY SWD THRU THE FA THIS AFTN...WITH THE
BNDRY CURRENTLY ACRS SERN AR. GUSTY NW WINDS BEHIND THE FROPA WERE
SLOLY USHERING COOLER AIR INTO THE AREA...MAINLY OVR THE NRN HALF OF
THE FA. MID AFTN TEMPS HAD FALLEN BACK INTO THE 40S OVR NRN
LOCATIONS...WITH 50S AND 60S NOTED FURTHER TO THE S. MEANWHILE...
JUST AHEAD OF THE FNT...FAR SRN AR WARMED INTO THE LOWER 70S.

HIGH PRES WL BLD INTO THE MID SOUTH FOR FRI AND INTO SAT...PROVIDING
FOR DRY CONDS AND SEASONABLE TEMPS. THE RDG WL SHIFT EWD ON SAT...
ALLOWING A NEW STORM SYS TO APCH FM THE W AND BRING UNSETTLED CONDS
FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEKEND.

THE MODELS CONT TO AGREE ON A SPLIT UPR FLOW REGIME SETTING UP OVR
THE AREA THIS WEEKEND. A DVLP STORM SYS OVR THE SWRN STATES WL WORK
EWD BRINGING INCRSG CLOUDS AND RAIN CHCS TO AR SAT NGT AND SUN.
WHILE MOST OF THE AREA WL SEE A COLD RAIN SAT NGT AND SUN...COLDER
AIR WL BE WORKING INTO THE AREA SUN NGT. PRECIP WL BE DIMINISHING FM
THE W LATE SUN AFTN AND EVENING...BUT SOME LOCATIONS OVR NRN AR
COULD SEE A DUSTING OF LGT SNOW BEFORE IT TAPERS OFF.

LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

LONG TERM STARTS WITH HIGH PRESSURE MOVING INTO THE REGION WITH NW
FLOW ALOFT AND WELL BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
SLIDE TO THE EAST BY TUESDAY...ALLOWING A RETURN OF SOUTHERLY FLOW.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOUT TEN DEGREES WARMER ON TUESDAY...YET STILL
BELOW NORMAL. MOISTURE WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE REGION...AHEAD OF A
COLD FRONT SET TO SWEEP THROUGH THE STATE ON WEDNESDAY. THE MAJORITY
OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL EXIST AHEAD OF THE FRONT...BEHIND THE
FRONT MOISTURE WILL BE QUITE LIMITED BUT MAY STILL BE ENOUGH TO
SUPPORT SOME WINTRY PRECIP. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD BACK INTO THE
REGION BEHIND THE FRONT FOR THURSDAY WITH DRY AND COOL WEATHER
RETURNING TO THE FORECAST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     30  47  29  45 /   0   0   0  20
CAMDEN AR         37  54  33  51 /   0   0   0  10
HARRISON AR       27  48  31  44 /   0   0  10  20
HOT SPRINGS AR    33  52  32  47 /   0   0   0  20
LITTLE ROCK   AR  32  50  31  48 /   0   0   0  10
MONTICELLO AR     37  52  32  51 /   0   0   0  10
MOUNT IDA AR      32  52  31  47 /   0   0   0  20
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  28  48  30  43 /   0   0   0  20
NEWPORT AR        31  47  29  46 /   0   0   0  20
PINE BLUFF AR     35  50  31  49 /   0   0   0  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   30  51  31  46 /   0   0   0  20
SEARCY AR         31  47  29  46 /   0   0   0  10
STUTTGART AR      33  48  31  47 /   0   0   0  10
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

56







000
FXUS64 KLZK 300305
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
905 PM CST THU JAN 29 2015

.DISCUSSION...
FORECAST IS IN GOOD SHAPE OVERALL BUT A FEW MINOR TWEAKS ARE
NEEDED TO REFLECT CURRENT TRENDS. WINDS REMAIN A BIT ELEVATED OVER
EASTERN AND SOUTHEAST SECTIONS OF THE AREA IN THE WAKE OF THE
FRONT THAT IS NOW LOCATED IN NORTHERN LOUISIANA. WILL HOLD ONTO
HIGHER WINDS FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS UNTIL THE GRADIENT RELAXES.
CLOUD COVER ALSO INCREASED BASED ON TRENDS AND MODEL DATA. ALL
UPDATES OUT.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 545 PM CST THU JAN 29 2015/

AVIATION...
NORTH WINDS WILL SUBSIDE IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS...AND WILL
GRADUALLY BECOME EAST/SOUTHEAST DURING THE DAY FRIDAY. ONE CHANGE
WITH THIS TAF CYCLE IS THE INTRODUCTION OF LOWER CLOUDS MOVING
BACK INTO NORTHERN SITES...AND EVEN INTO CENTRAL
ARKANSAS...OVERNIGHT. FOR NOW...HAVE KEPT SCT...BUT MAY HAVE TO
INCLUDE A BKN DECK IF CONFIDENCE INCREASES.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 255 PM CST THU JAN 29 2015/

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT

CDFNT CONTD WORKING ITS WAY SWD THRU THE FA THIS AFTN...WITH THE
BNDRY CURRENTLY ACRS SERN AR. GUSTY NW WINDS BEHIND THE FROPA WERE
SLOLY USHERING COOLER AIR INTO THE AREA...MAINLY OVR THE NRN HALF OF
THE FA. MID AFTN TEMPS HAD FALLEN BACK INTO THE 40S OVR NRN
LOCATIONS...WITH 50S AND 60S NOTED FURTHER TO THE S. MEANWHILE...
JUST AHEAD OF THE FNT...FAR SRN AR WARMED INTO THE LOWER 70S.

HIGH PRES WL BLD INTO THE MID SOUTH FOR FRI AND INTO SAT...PROVIDING
FOR DRY CONDS AND SEASONABLE TEMPS. THE RDG WL SHIFT EWD ON SAT...
ALLOWING A NEW STORM SYS TO APCH FM THE W AND BRING UNSETTLED CONDS
FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEKEND.

THE MODELS CONT TO AGREE ON A SPLIT UPR FLOW REGIME SETTING UP OVR
THE AREA THIS WEEKEND. A DVLP STORM SYS OVR THE SWRN STATES WL WORK
EWD BRINGING INCRSG CLOUDS AND RAIN CHCS TO AR SAT NGT AND SUN.
WHILE MOST OF THE AREA WL SEE A COLD RAIN SAT NGT AND SUN...COLDER
AIR WL BE WORKING INTO THE AREA SUN NGT. PRECIP WL BE DIMINISHING FM
THE W LATE SUN AFTN AND EVENING...BUT SOME LOCATIONS OVR NRN AR
COULD SEE A DUSTING OF LGT SNOW BEFORE IT TAPERS OFF.

LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

LONG TERM STARTS WITH HIGH PRESSURE MOVING INTO THE REGION WITH NW
FLOW ALOFT AND WELL BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
SLIDE TO THE EAST BY TUESDAY...ALLOWING A RETURN OF SOUTHERLY FLOW.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOUT TEN DEGREES WARMER ON TUESDAY...YET STILL
BELOW NORMAL. MOISTURE WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE REGION...AHEAD OF A
COLD FRONT SET TO SWEEP THROUGH THE STATE ON WEDNESDAY. THE MAJORITY
OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL EXIST AHEAD OF THE FRONT...BEHIND THE
FRONT MOISTURE WILL BE QUITE LIMITED BUT MAY STILL BE ENOUGH TO
SUPPORT SOME WINTRY PRECIP. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD BACK INTO THE
REGION BEHIND THE FRONT FOR THURSDAY WITH DRY AND COOL WEATHER
RETURNING TO THE FORECAST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     30  47  29  45 /   0   0   0  20
CAMDEN AR         37  54  33  51 /   0   0   0  10
HARRISON AR       27  48  31  44 /   0   0  10  20
HOT SPRINGS AR    33  52  32  47 /   0   0   0  20
LITTLE ROCK   AR  32  50  31  48 /   0   0   0  10
MONTICELLO AR     37  52  32  51 /   0   0   0  10
MOUNT IDA AR      32  52  31  47 /   0   0   0  20
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  28  48  30  43 /   0   0   0  20
NEWPORT AR        31  47  29  46 /   0   0   0  20
PINE BLUFF AR     35  50  31  49 /   0   0   0  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   30  51  31  46 /   0   0   0  20
SEARCY AR         31  47  29  46 /   0   0   0  10
STUTTGART AR      33  48  31  47 /   0   0   0  10
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

56








000
FXUS64 KLZK 292345 AAA
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
545 PM CST THU JAN 29 2015

.AVIATION...
NORTH WINDS WILL SUBSIDE IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS...AND WILL
GRADUALLY BECOME EAST/SOUTHEAST DURING THE DAY FRIDAY. ONE CHANGE
WITH THIS TAF CYCLE IS THE INTRODUCTION OF LOWER CLOUDS MOVING
BACK INTO NORTHERN SITES...AND EVEN INTO CENTRAL
ARKANSAS...OVERNIGHT. FOR NOW...HAVE KEPT SCT...BUT MAY HAVE TO
INCLUDE A BKN DECK IF CONFIDENCE INCREASES.
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 255 PM CST THU JAN 29 2015/

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT

CDFNT CONTD WORKING ITS WAY SWD THRU THE FA THIS AFTN...WITH THE
BNDRY CURRENTLY ACRS SERN AR. GUSTY NW WINDS BEHIND THE FROPA WERE
SLOLY USHERING COOLER AIR INTO THE AREA...MAINLY OVR THE NRN HALF OF
THE FA. MID AFTN TEMPS HAD FALLEN BACK INTO THE 40S OVR NRN
LOCATIONS...WITH 50S AND 60S NOTED FURTHER TO THE S. MEANWHILE...
JUST AHEAD OF THE FNT...FAR SRN AR WARMED INTO THE LOWER 70S.

HIGH PRES WL BLD INTO THE MID SOUTH FOR FRI AND INTO SAT...PROVIDING
FOR DRY CONDS AND SEASONABLE TEMPS. THE RDG WL SHIFT EWD ON SAT...
ALLOWING A NEW STORM SYS TO APCH FM THE W AND BRING UNSETTLED CONDS
FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEKEND.

THE MODELS CONT TO AGREE ON A SPLIT UPR FLOW REGIME SETTING UP OVR
THE AREA THIS WEEKEND. A DVLP STORM SYS OVR THE SWRN STATES WL WORK
EWD BRINGING INCRSG CLOUDS AND RAIN CHCS TO AR SAT NGT AND SUN.
WHILE MOST OF THE AREA WL SEE A COLD RAIN SAT NGT AND SUN...COLDER
AIR WL BE WORKING INTO THE AREA SUN NGT. PRECIP WL BE DIMINISHING FM
THE W LATE SUN AFTN AND EVENING...BUT SOME LOCATIONS OVR NRN AR
COULD SEE A DUSTING OF LGT SNOW BEFORE IT TAPERS OFF.

LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

LONG TERM STARTS WITH HIGH PRESSURE MOVING INTO THE REGION WITH NW
FLOW ALOFT AND WELL BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
SLIDE TO THE EAST BY TUESDAY...ALLOWING A RETURN OF SOUTHERLY FLOW.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOUT TEN DEGREES WARMER ON TUESDAY...YET STILL
BELOW NORMAL. MOISTURE WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE REGION...AHEAD OF A
COLD FRONT SET TO SWEEP THROUGH THE STATE ON WEDNESDAY. THE MAJORITY
OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL EXIST AHEAD OF THE FRONT...BEHIND THE
FRONT MOISTURE WILL BE QUITE LIMITED BUT MAY STILL BE ENOUGH TO
SUPPORT SOME WINTRY PRECIP. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD BACK INTO THE
REGION BEHIND THE FRONT FOR THURSDAY WITH DRY AND COOL WEATHER
RETURNING TO THE FORECAST.
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...58





000
FXUS64 KLZK 292345 AAA
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
545 PM CST THU JAN 29 2015

.AVIATION...
NORTH WINDS WILL SUBSIDE IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS...AND WILL
GRADUALLY BECOME EAST/SOUTHEAST DURING THE DAY FRIDAY. ONE CHANGE
WITH THIS TAF CYCLE IS THE INTRODUCTION OF LOWER CLOUDS MOVING
BACK INTO NORTHERN SITES...AND EVEN INTO CENTRAL
ARKANSAS...OVERNIGHT. FOR NOW...HAVE KEPT SCT...BUT MAY HAVE TO
INCLUDE A BKN DECK IF CONFIDENCE INCREASES.
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 255 PM CST THU JAN 29 2015/

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT

CDFNT CONTD WORKING ITS WAY SWD THRU THE FA THIS AFTN...WITH THE
BNDRY CURRENTLY ACRS SERN AR. GUSTY NW WINDS BEHIND THE FROPA WERE
SLOLY USHERING COOLER AIR INTO THE AREA...MAINLY OVR THE NRN HALF OF
THE FA. MID AFTN TEMPS HAD FALLEN BACK INTO THE 40S OVR NRN
LOCATIONS...WITH 50S AND 60S NOTED FURTHER TO THE S. MEANWHILE...
JUST AHEAD OF THE FNT...FAR SRN AR WARMED INTO THE LOWER 70S.

HIGH PRES WL BLD INTO THE MID SOUTH FOR FRI AND INTO SAT...PROVIDING
FOR DRY CONDS AND SEASONABLE TEMPS. THE RDG WL SHIFT EWD ON SAT...
ALLOWING A NEW STORM SYS TO APCH FM THE W AND BRING UNSETTLED CONDS
FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEKEND.

THE MODELS CONT TO AGREE ON A SPLIT UPR FLOW REGIME SETTING UP OVR
THE AREA THIS WEEKEND. A DVLP STORM SYS OVR THE SWRN STATES WL WORK
EWD BRINGING INCRSG CLOUDS AND RAIN CHCS TO AR SAT NGT AND SUN.
WHILE MOST OF THE AREA WL SEE A COLD RAIN SAT NGT AND SUN...COLDER
AIR WL BE WORKING INTO THE AREA SUN NGT. PRECIP WL BE DIMINISHING FM
THE W LATE SUN AFTN AND EVENING...BUT SOME LOCATIONS OVR NRN AR
COULD SEE A DUSTING OF LGT SNOW BEFORE IT TAPERS OFF.

LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

LONG TERM STARTS WITH HIGH PRESSURE MOVING INTO THE REGION WITH NW
FLOW ALOFT AND WELL BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
SLIDE TO THE EAST BY TUESDAY...ALLOWING A RETURN OF SOUTHERLY FLOW.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOUT TEN DEGREES WARMER ON TUESDAY...YET STILL
BELOW NORMAL. MOISTURE WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE REGION...AHEAD OF A
COLD FRONT SET TO SWEEP THROUGH THE STATE ON WEDNESDAY. THE MAJORITY
OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL EXIST AHEAD OF THE FRONT...BEHIND THE
FRONT MOISTURE WILL BE QUITE LIMITED BUT MAY STILL BE ENOUGH TO
SUPPORT SOME WINTRY PRECIP. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD BACK INTO THE
REGION BEHIND THE FRONT FOR THURSDAY WITH DRY AND COOL WEATHER
RETURNING TO THE FORECAST.
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...58






000
FXUS64 KLZK 292055
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
255 PM CST THU JAN 29 2015

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT

CDFNT CONTD WORKING ITS WAY SWD THRU THE FA THIS AFTN...WITH THE
BNDRY CURRENTLY ACRS SERN AR. GUSTY NW WINDS BEHIND THE FROPA WERE
SLOLY USHERING COOLER AIR INTO THE AREA...MAINLY OVR THE NRN HALF OF
THE FA. MID AFTN TEMPS HAD FALLEN BACK INTO THE 40S OVR NRN
LOCATIONS...WITH 50S AND 60S NOTED FURTHER TO THE S. MEANWHILE...
JUST AHEAD OF THE FNT...FAR SRN AR WARMED INTO THE LOWER 70S.

HIGH PRES WL BLD INTO THE MID SOUTH FOR FRI AND INTO SAT...PROVIDING
FOR DRY CONDS AND SEASONABLE TEMPS. THE RDG WL SHIFT EWD ON SAT...
ALLOWING A NEW STORM SYS TO APCH FM THE W AND BRING UNSETTLED CONDS
FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEKEND.

THE MODELS CONT TO AGREE ON A SPLIT UPR FLOW REGIME SETTING UP OVR
THE AREA THIS WEEKEND. A DVLP STORM SYS OVR THE SWRN STATES WL WORK
EWD BRINGING INCRSG CLOUDS AND RAIN CHCS TO AR SAT NGT AND SUN.
WHILE MOST OF THE AREA WL SEE A COLD RAIN SAT NGT AND SUN...COLDER
AIR WL BE WORKING INTO THE AREA SUN NGT. PRECIP WL BE DIMINISHING FM
THE W LATE SUN AFTN AND EVENING...BUT SOME LOCATIONS OVR NRN AR
COULD SEE A DUSTING OF LGT SNOW BEFORE IT TAPERS OFF.
&&

.LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

LONG TERM STARTS WITH HIGH PRESSURE MOVING INTO THE REGION WITH NW
FLOW ALOFT AND WELL BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
SLIDE TO THE EAST BY TUESDAY...ALLOWING A RETURN OF SOUTHERLY FLOW.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOUT TEN DEGREES WARMER ON TUESDAY...YET STILL
BELOW NORMAL. MOISTURE WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE REGION...AHEAD OF A
COLD FRONT SET TO SWEEP THROUGH THE STATE ON WEDNESDAY. THE MAJORITY
OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL EXIST AHEAD OF THE FRONT...BEHIND THE
FRONT MOISTURE WILL BE QUITE LIMITED BUT MAY STILL BE ENOUGH TO
SUPPORT SOME WINTRY PRECIP. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD BACK INTO THE
REGION BEHIND THE FRONT FOR THURSDAY WITH DRY AND COOL WEATHER
RETURNING TO THE FORECAST.
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...44 / LONG TERM...65








000
FXUS64 KLZK 292055
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
255 PM CST THU JAN 29 2015

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT

CDFNT CONTD WORKING ITS WAY SWD THRU THE FA THIS AFTN...WITH THE
BNDRY CURRENTLY ACRS SERN AR. GUSTY NW WINDS BEHIND THE FROPA WERE
SLOLY USHERING COOLER AIR INTO THE AREA...MAINLY OVR THE NRN HALF OF
THE FA. MID AFTN TEMPS HAD FALLEN BACK INTO THE 40S OVR NRN
LOCATIONS...WITH 50S AND 60S NOTED FURTHER TO THE S. MEANWHILE...
JUST AHEAD OF THE FNT...FAR SRN AR WARMED INTO THE LOWER 70S.

HIGH PRES WL BLD INTO THE MID SOUTH FOR FRI AND INTO SAT...PROVIDING
FOR DRY CONDS AND SEASONABLE TEMPS. THE RDG WL SHIFT EWD ON SAT...
ALLOWING A NEW STORM SYS TO APCH FM THE W AND BRING UNSETTLED CONDS
FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEKEND.

THE MODELS CONT TO AGREE ON A SPLIT UPR FLOW REGIME SETTING UP OVR
THE AREA THIS WEEKEND. A DVLP STORM SYS OVR THE SWRN STATES WL WORK
EWD BRINGING INCRSG CLOUDS AND RAIN CHCS TO AR SAT NGT AND SUN.
WHILE MOST OF THE AREA WL SEE A COLD RAIN SAT NGT AND SUN...COLDER
AIR WL BE WORKING INTO THE AREA SUN NGT. PRECIP WL BE DIMINISHING FM
THE W LATE SUN AFTN AND EVENING...BUT SOME LOCATIONS OVR NRN AR
COULD SEE A DUSTING OF LGT SNOW BEFORE IT TAPERS OFF.
&&

.LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

LONG TERM STARTS WITH HIGH PRESSURE MOVING INTO THE REGION WITH NW
FLOW ALOFT AND WELL BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
SLIDE TO THE EAST BY TUESDAY...ALLOWING A RETURN OF SOUTHERLY FLOW.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOUT TEN DEGREES WARMER ON TUESDAY...YET STILL
BELOW NORMAL. MOISTURE WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE REGION...AHEAD OF A
COLD FRONT SET TO SWEEP THROUGH THE STATE ON WEDNESDAY. THE MAJORITY
OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL EXIST AHEAD OF THE FRONT...BEHIND THE
FRONT MOISTURE WILL BE QUITE LIMITED BUT MAY STILL BE ENOUGH TO
SUPPORT SOME WINTRY PRECIP. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD BACK INTO THE
REGION BEHIND THE FRONT FOR THURSDAY WITH DRY AND COOL WEATHER
RETURNING TO THE FORECAST.
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...44 / LONG TERM...65







000
FXUS64 KLZK 291727
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1127 AM CST THU JAN 29 2015

.AVIATION...

GUSTY WIND CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT FOR ALL TAF
SITES. CURRENTLY SEEING MVFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE NORTH...AND
FORECAST THIS TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. VFR CONDITIONS WILL
RETURN OVERNIGHT WITH WINDS LIGHTENING UP BY FRIDAY MORNING.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 546 AM CST THU JAN 29 2015/

AVIATION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE MOVING INTO THE AREA BEHIND A COLD FRONT
TODAY. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED BUT SOME LOW CLOUDS SHOULD
MOVE INTO AT LEAST NORTHERN ARKANSAS...FROM SOUTHERN MISSOURI.
NORTHWEST WINDS WILL GUST OVER 20KTS. WINDS WILL DECREASE THIS
EVENING. SOME NORTH AND CENTRAL SECTIONS WILL HAVE MVFR CONDITIONS
BUT ALL AREAS WILL BECOME VFR BY THIS EVENING.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 536 AM CST THU JAN 29 2015/

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION FROM THE NORTH TODAY.
OUTSIDE OF AN ISOLATED SHOWER...NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED AHEAD
OF THE FRONT. BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT. IT
WILL TURN COOLER IN THE NORTH...WITH MILD CONDITIONS CONTINUING
IN THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN COUNTIES. THIS WILL NOT LAST.

A RETURN TO MORE SEASONAL TEMPERATURES WILL BE NOTED ON FRIDAY
WITH A LARGE AREA OF CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER ARKANSAS.
THE HIGH WILL NOT STAY LONG...AND WILL WOBBLE TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST
UNITED STATES. FROM HERE...THE PATTERN BECOMES UNSETTLED.

A SPLIT FLOW WILL BE FEATURED THIS WEEKEND...WITH THE SUBTROPICAL
JET BRINGING A STORM SYSTEM AND THE POLAR JET PROVIDING A SHOT OF
COLDER AIR. CLOUDS WILL INCREASE SATURDAY AS THE STORM SYSTEM
APPROACHES...AND RAIN WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT.
ON SUNDAY...WHILE MOISTURE WILL BE ON THE DECLINE...THERE WILL BE
CHANCES FOR LIGHT SNOW IN ABOUT THE NORTHERN TWO ROWS OF COUNTIES.
FLAKES WILL BECOME POSSIBLE AS A COLDER AIRMASS HEADS THIS WAY
FROM THE PLAINS.

AT THIS POINT...ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD BE ON THE ORDER OF A DUSTING...
WITH THE MAIN SNOW BAND FROM CENTRAL MISSOURI THROUGH THE OHIO
VALLEY TO PENNSYLVANIA AND WEST VIRGINIA.

THIS WILL NOT BE A BIG PRECIPITATION MAKER. MOST QPF IS BETWEEN
A QUARTER AND HALF AN INCH.

PRECIPITATION WILL WIND DOWN SUNDAY EVENING...WITH BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES AS THE EXTENDED PERIOD BEGINS.

LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL BE OVER THE MIDDLE PART OF THE COUNTRY TO
BEGIN THE LONG TERM PERIOD. THIS NORTHWEST FLOW WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD WITH HIGH PRESSURE REMAINING OVER THE
SOUTHWEST U.S. AND AN UPPER LOW REMAINS OVER THE NORTHEAST.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER THE AREA MONDAY WITH DRY WEATHER. THIS
HIGH WILL MOVE EAST ON TUESDAY...AND A SHORT WAVE WILL MOVE THROUGH.
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE STATE WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL BRING
A SMALL CHANCE OF RAIN AND SOME LIGHT SNOW IN THE NORTH AND CENTRAL
SECTIONS. THE BEST CHANCE OF SNOW WILL BE WEDNESDAY MORNING. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL FILTER INTO ARKANSAS WEDNESDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES
WILL BE WELL BELOW NORMAL MONDAY...BUT A WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     59  29  47  32 /   0   0   0   0
CAMDEN AR         68  35  54  36 /  10   0   0  10
HARRISON AR       49  26  48  33 /   0   0   0  10
HOT SPRINGS AR    62  32  53  35 /   0   0   0  10
LITTLE ROCK   AR  63  32  51  34 /   0   0   0  10
MONTICELLO AR     68  35  53  35 /  10   0   0  10
MOUNT IDA AR      61  31  53  34 /   0   0   0  10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  52  27  47  32 /   0   0   0  10
NEWPORT AR        61  29  47  32 /  10   0   0   0
PINE BLUFF AR     64  34  52  34 /  10   0   0  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   60  29  51  34 /   0   0   0  10
SEARCY AR         62  29  50  31 /   0   0   0   0
STUTTGART AR      63  32  51  33 /  10   0   0   0
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...65







000
FXUS64 KLZK 291727
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1127 AM CST THU JAN 29 2015

.AVIATION...

GUSTY WIND CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT FOR ALL TAF
SITES. CURRENTLY SEEING MVFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE NORTH...AND
FORECAST THIS TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. VFR CONDITIONS WILL
RETURN OVERNIGHT WITH WINDS LIGHTENING UP BY FRIDAY MORNING.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 546 AM CST THU JAN 29 2015/

AVIATION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE MOVING INTO THE AREA BEHIND A COLD FRONT
TODAY. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED BUT SOME LOW CLOUDS SHOULD
MOVE INTO AT LEAST NORTHERN ARKANSAS...FROM SOUTHERN MISSOURI.
NORTHWEST WINDS WILL GUST OVER 20KTS. WINDS WILL DECREASE THIS
EVENING. SOME NORTH AND CENTRAL SECTIONS WILL HAVE MVFR CONDITIONS
BUT ALL AREAS WILL BECOME VFR BY THIS EVENING.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 536 AM CST THU JAN 29 2015/

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION FROM THE NORTH TODAY.
OUTSIDE OF AN ISOLATED SHOWER...NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED AHEAD
OF THE FRONT. BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT. IT
WILL TURN COOLER IN THE NORTH...WITH MILD CONDITIONS CONTINUING
IN THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN COUNTIES. THIS WILL NOT LAST.

A RETURN TO MORE SEASONAL TEMPERATURES WILL BE NOTED ON FRIDAY
WITH A LARGE AREA OF CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER ARKANSAS.
THE HIGH WILL NOT STAY LONG...AND WILL WOBBLE TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST
UNITED STATES. FROM HERE...THE PATTERN BECOMES UNSETTLED.

A SPLIT FLOW WILL BE FEATURED THIS WEEKEND...WITH THE SUBTROPICAL
JET BRINGING A STORM SYSTEM AND THE POLAR JET PROVIDING A SHOT OF
COLDER AIR. CLOUDS WILL INCREASE SATURDAY AS THE STORM SYSTEM
APPROACHES...AND RAIN WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT.
ON SUNDAY...WHILE MOISTURE WILL BE ON THE DECLINE...THERE WILL BE
CHANCES FOR LIGHT SNOW IN ABOUT THE NORTHERN TWO ROWS OF COUNTIES.
FLAKES WILL BECOME POSSIBLE AS A COLDER AIRMASS HEADS THIS WAY
FROM THE PLAINS.

AT THIS POINT...ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD BE ON THE ORDER OF A DUSTING...
WITH THE MAIN SNOW BAND FROM CENTRAL MISSOURI THROUGH THE OHIO
VALLEY TO PENNSYLVANIA AND WEST VIRGINIA.

THIS WILL NOT BE A BIG PRECIPITATION MAKER. MOST QPF IS BETWEEN
A QUARTER AND HALF AN INCH.

PRECIPITATION WILL WIND DOWN SUNDAY EVENING...WITH BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES AS THE EXTENDED PERIOD BEGINS.

LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL BE OVER THE MIDDLE PART OF THE COUNTRY TO
BEGIN THE LONG TERM PERIOD. THIS NORTHWEST FLOW WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD WITH HIGH PRESSURE REMAINING OVER THE
SOUTHWEST U.S. AND AN UPPER LOW REMAINS OVER THE NORTHEAST.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER THE AREA MONDAY WITH DRY WEATHER. THIS
HIGH WILL MOVE EAST ON TUESDAY...AND A SHORT WAVE WILL MOVE THROUGH.
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE STATE WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL BRING
A SMALL CHANCE OF RAIN AND SOME LIGHT SNOW IN THE NORTH AND CENTRAL
SECTIONS. THE BEST CHANCE OF SNOW WILL BE WEDNESDAY MORNING. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL FILTER INTO ARKANSAS WEDNESDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES
WILL BE WELL BELOW NORMAL MONDAY...BUT A WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     59  29  47  32 /   0   0   0   0
CAMDEN AR         68  35  54  36 /  10   0   0  10
HARRISON AR       49  26  48  33 /   0   0   0  10
HOT SPRINGS AR    62  32  53  35 /   0   0   0  10
LITTLE ROCK   AR  63  32  51  34 /   0   0   0  10
MONTICELLO AR     68  35  53  35 /  10   0   0  10
MOUNT IDA AR      61  31  53  34 /   0   0   0  10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  52  27  47  32 /   0   0   0  10
NEWPORT AR        61  29  47  32 /  10   0   0   0
PINE BLUFF AR     64  34  52  34 /  10   0   0  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   60  29  51  34 /   0   0   0  10
SEARCY AR         62  29  50  31 /   0   0   0   0
STUTTGART AR      63  32  51  33 /  10   0   0   0
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...65






000
FXUS64 KLZK 291146
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
546 AM CST THU JAN 29 2015

.AVIATION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE MOVING INTO THE AREA BEHIND A COLD FRONT
TODAY. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED BUT SOME LOW CLOUDS SHOULD
MOVE INTO AT LEAST NORTHERN ARKANSAS...FROM SOUTHERN MISSOURI.
NORTHWEST WINDS WILL GUST OVER 20KTS. WINDS WILL DECREASE THIS
EVENING. SOME NORTH AND CENTRAL SECTIONS WILL HAVE MVFR CONDITIONS
BUT ALL AREAS WILL BECOME VFR BY THIS EVENING.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 536 AM CST THU JAN 29 2015/

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION FROM THE NORTH TODAY.
OUTSIDE OF AN ISOLATED SHOWER...NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED AHEAD
OF THE FRONT. BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT. IT
WILL TURN COOLER IN THE NORTH...WITH MILD CONDITIONS CONTINUING
IN THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN COUNTIES. THIS WILL NOT LAST.

A RETURN TO MORE SEASONAL TEMPERATURES WILL BE NOTED ON FRIDAY
WITH A LARGE AREA OF CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER ARKANSAS.
THE HIGH WILL NOT STAY LONG...AND WILL WOBBLE TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST
UNITED STATES. FROM HERE...THE PATTERN BECOMES UNSETTLED.

A SPLIT FLOW WILL BE FEATURED THIS WEEKEND...WITH THE SUBTROPICAL
JET BRINGING A STORM SYSTEM AND THE POLAR JET PROVIDING A SHOT OF
COLDER AIR. CLOUDS WILL INCREASE SATURDAY AS THE STORM SYSTEM
APPROACHES...AND RAIN WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT.
ON SUNDAY...WHILE MOISTURE WILL BE ON THE DECLINE...THERE WILL BE
CHANCES FOR LIGHT SNOW IN ABOUT THE NORTHERN TWO ROWS OF COUNTIES.
FLAKES WILL BECOME POSSIBLE AS A COLDER AIRMASS HEADS THIS WAY
FROM THE PLAINS.

AT THIS POINT...ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD BE ON THE ORDER OF A DUSTING...
WITH THE MAIN SNOW BAND FROM CENTRAL MISSOURI THROUGH THE OHIO
VALLEY TO PENNSYLVANIA AND WEST VIRGINIA.

THIS WILL NOT BE A BIG PRECIPITATION MAKER. MOST QPF IS BETWEEN
A QUARTER AND HALF AN INCH.

PRECIPITATION WILL WIND DOWN SUNDAY EVENING...WITH BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES AS THE EXTENDED PERIOD BEGINS.

LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL BE OVER THE MIDDLE PART OF THE COUNTRY TO
BEGIN THE LONG TERM PERIOD. THIS NORTHWEST FLOW WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD WITH HIGH PRESSURE REMAINING OVER THE
SOUTHWEST U.S. AND AN UPPER LOW REMAINS OVER THE NORTHEAST.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER THE AREA MONDAY WITH DRY WEATHER. THIS
HIGH WILL MOVE EAST ON TUESDAY...AND A SHORT WAVE WILL MOVE THROUGH.
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE STATE WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL BRING
A SMALL CHANCE OF RAIN AND SOME LIGHT SNOW IN THE NORTH AND CENTRAL
SECTIONS. THE BEST CHANCE OF SNOW WILL BE WEDNESDAY MORNING. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL FILTER INTO ARKANSAS WEDNESDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES
WILL BE WELL BELOW NORMAL MONDAY...BUT A WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     56  29  47  32 /   0   0   0   0
CAMDEN AR         65  35  54  36 /  10   0   0  10
HARRISON AR       51  26  48  33 /   0   0   0  10
HOT SPRINGS AR    61  32  53  35 /   0   0   0  10
LITTLE ROCK   AR  61  32  51  34 /   0   0   0  10
MONTICELLO AR     66  35  53  35 /  10   0   0  10
MOUNT IDA AR      60  31  53  34 /   0   0   0  10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  51  27  47  32 /   0   0   0  10
NEWPORT AR        57  29  47  32 /  10   0   0   0
PINE BLUFF AR     64  34  52  34 /  10   0   0  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   57  29  51  34 /   0   0   0  10
SEARCY AR         59  29  50  31 /   0   0   0   0
STUTTGART AR      63  32  51  33 /  10   0   0   0
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

51
AVIATION...99






000
FXUS64 KLZK 291146
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
546 AM CST THU JAN 29 2015

.AVIATION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE MOVING INTO THE AREA BEHIND A COLD FRONT
TODAY. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED BUT SOME LOW CLOUDS SHOULD
MOVE INTO AT LEAST NORTHERN ARKANSAS...FROM SOUTHERN MISSOURI.
NORTHWEST WINDS WILL GUST OVER 20KTS. WINDS WILL DECREASE THIS
EVENING. SOME NORTH AND CENTRAL SECTIONS WILL HAVE MVFR CONDITIONS
BUT ALL AREAS WILL BECOME VFR BY THIS EVENING.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 536 AM CST THU JAN 29 2015/

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION FROM THE NORTH TODAY.
OUTSIDE OF AN ISOLATED SHOWER...NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED AHEAD
OF THE FRONT. BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT. IT
WILL TURN COOLER IN THE NORTH...WITH MILD CONDITIONS CONTINUING
IN THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN COUNTIES. THIS WILL NOT LAST.

A RETURN TO MORE SEASONAL TEMPERATURES WILL BE NOTED ON FRIDAY
WITH A LARGE AREA OF CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER ARKANSAS.
THE HIGH WILL NOT STAY LONG...AND WILL WOBBLE TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST
UNITED STATES. FROM HERE...THE PATTERN BECOMES UNSETTLED.

A SPLIT FLOW WILL BE FEATURED THIS WEEKEND...WITH THE SUBTROPICAL
JET BRINGING A STORM SYSTEM AND THE POLAR JET PROVIDING A SHOT OF
COLDER AIR. CLOUDS WILL INCREASE SATURDAY AS THE STORM SYSTEM
APPROACHES...AND RAIN WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT.
ON SUNDAY...WHILE MOISTURE WILL BE ON THE DECLINE...THERE WILL BE
CHANCES FOR LIGHT SNOW IN ABOUT THE NORTHERN TWO ROWS OF COUNTIES.
FLAKES WILL BECOME POSSIBLE AS A COLDER AIRMASS HEADS THIS WAY
FROM THE PLAINS.

AT THIS POINT...ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD BE ON THE ORDER OF A DUSTING...
WITH THE MAIN SNOW BAND FROM CENTRAL MISSOURI THROUGH THE OHIO
VALLEY TO PENNSYLVANIA AND WEST VIRGINIA.

THIS WILL NOT BE A BIG PRECIPITATION MAKER. MOST QPF IS BETWEEN
A QUARTER AND HALF AN INCH.

PRECIPITATION WILL WIND DOWN SUNDAY EVENING...WITH BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES AS THE EXTENDED PERIOD BEGINS.

LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL BE OVER THE MIDDLE PART OF THE COUNTRY TO
BEGIN THE LONG TERM PERIOD. THIS NORTHWEST FLOW WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD WITH HIGH PRESSURE REMAINING OVER THE
SOUTHWEST U.S. AND AN UPPER LOW REMAINS OVER THE NORTHEAST.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER THE AREA MONDAY WITH DRY WEATHER. THIS
HIGH WILL MOVE EAST ON TUESDAY...AND A SHORT WAVE WILL MOVE THROUGH.
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE STATE WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL BRING
A SMALL CHANCE OF RAIN AND SOME LIGHT SNOW IN THE NORTH AND CENTRAL
SECTIONS. THE BEST CHANCE OF SNOW WILL BE WEDNESDAY MORNING. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL FILTER INTO ARKANSAS WEDNESDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES
WILL BE WELL BELOW NORMAL MONDAY...BUT A WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     56  29  47  32 /   0   0   0   0
CAMDEN AR         65  35  54  36 /  10   0   0  10
HARRISON AR       51  26  48  33 /   0   0   0  10
HOT SPRINGS AR    61  32  53  35 /   0   0   0  10
LITTLE ROCK   AR  61  32  51  34 /   0   0   0  10
MONTICELLO AR     66  35  53  35 /  10   0   0  10
MOUNT IDA AR      60  31  53  34 /   0   0   0  10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  51  27  47  32 /   0   0   0  10
NEWPORT AR        57  29  47  32 /  10   0   0   0
PINE BLUFF AR     64  34  52  34 /  10   0   0  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   57  29  51  34 /   0   0   0  10
SEARCY AR         59  29  50  31 /   0   0   0   0
STUTTGART AR      63  32  51  33 /  10   0   0   0
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

51
AVIATION...99







000
FXUS64 KLZK 291136
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
536 AM CST THU JAN 29 2015

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION FROM THE NORTH TODAY.
OUTSIDE OF AN ISOLATED SHOWER...NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED AHEAD
OF THE FRONT. BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT. IT
WILL TURN COOLER IN THE NORTH...WITH MILD CONDITIONS CONTINUING
IN THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN COUNTIES. THIS WILL NOT LAST.

A RETURN TO MORE SEASONAL TEMPERATURES WILL BE NOTED ON FRIDAY
WITH A LARGE AREA OF CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER ARKANSAS.
THE HIGH WILL NOT STAY LONG...AND WILL WOBBLE TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST
UNITED STATES. FROM HERE...THE PATTERN BECOMES UNSETTLED.

A SPLIT FLOW WILL BE FEATURED THIS WEEKEND...WITH THE SUBTROPICAL
JET BRINGING A STORM SYSTEM AND THE POLAR JET PROVIDING A SHOT OF
COLDER AIR. CLOUDS WILL INCREASE SATURDAY AS THE STORM SYSTEM
APPROACHES...AND RAIN WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT.
ON SUNDAY...WHILE MOISTURE WILL BE ON THE DECLINE...THERE WILL BE
CHANCES FOR LIGHT SNOW IN ABOUT THE NORTHERN TWO ROWS OF COUNTIES.
FLAKES WILL BECOME POSSIBLE AS A COLDER AIRMASS HEADS THIS WAY
FROM THE PLAINS.

AT THIS POINT...ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD BE ON THE ORDER OF A DUSTING...
WITH THE MAIN SNOW BAND FROM CENTRAL MISSOURI THROUGH THE OHIO
VALLEY TO PENNSYLVANIA AND WEST VIRGINIA.

THIS WILL NOT BE A BIG PRECIPITATION MAKER. MOST QPF IS BETWEEN
A QUARTER AND HALF AN INCH.

PRECIPITATION WILL WIND DOWN SUNDAY EVENING...WITH BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES AS THE EXTENDED PERIOD BEGINS.
&&

.LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL BE OVER THE MIDDLE PART OF THE COUNTRY TO
BEGIN THE LONG TERM PERIOD. THIS NORTHWEST FLOW WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD WITH HIGH PRESSURE REMAINING OVER THE
SOUTHWEST U.S. AND AN UPPER LOW REMAINS OVER THE NORTHEAST.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER THE AREA MONDAY WITH DRY WEATHER. THIS
HIGH WILL MOVE EAST ON TUESDAY...AND A SHORT WAVE WILL MOVE THROUGH.
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE STATE WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL BRING
A SMALL CHANCE OF RAIN AND SOME LIGHT SNOW IN THE NORTH AND CENTRAL
SECTIONS. THE BEST CHANCE OF SNOW WILL BE WEDNESDAY MORNING. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL FILTER INTO ARKANSAS WEDNESDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES
WILL BE WELL BELOW NORMAL MONDAY...BUT A WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     56  29  47  32 /   0   0   0   0
CAMDEN AR         65  35  54  36 /  10   0   0  10
HARRISON AR       51  26  48  33 /   0   0   0  10
HOT SPRINGS AR    61  32  53  35 /   0   0   0  10
LITTLE ROCK   AR  61  32  51  34 /   0   0   0  10
MONTICELLO AR     66  35  53  35 /  10   0   0  10
MOUNT IDA AR      60  31  53  34 /   0   0   0  10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  51  27  47  32 /   0   0   0  10
NEWPORT AR        57  29  47  32 /  10   0   0   0
PINE BLUFF AR     64  34  52  34 /  10   0   0  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   57  29  51  34 /   0   0   0  10
SEARCY AR         59  29  50  31 /   0   0   0   0
STUTTGART AR      63  32  51  33 /  10   0   0   0
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...46 / LONG TERM...51







000
FXUS64 KLZK 291136
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
536 AM CST THU JAN 29 2015

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION FROM THE NORTH TODAY.
OUTSIDE OF AN ISOLATED SHOWER...NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED AHEAD
OF THE FRONT. BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT. IT
WILL TURN COOLER IN THE NORTH...WITH MILD CONDITIONS CONTINUING
IN THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN COUNTIES. THIS WILL NOT LAST.

A RETURN TO MORE SEASONAL TEMPERATURES WILL BE NOTED ON FRIDAY
WITH A LARGE AREA OF CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER ARKANSAS.
THE HIGH WILL NOT STAY LONG...AND WILL WOBBLE TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST
UNITED STATES. FROM HERE...THE PATTERN BECOMES UNSETTLED.

A SPLIT FLOW WILL BE FEATURED THIS WEEKEND...WITH THE SUBTROPICAL
JET BRINGING A STORM SYSTEM AND THE POLAR JET PROVIDING A SHOT OF
COLDER AIR. CLOUDS WILL INCREASE SATURDAY AS THE STORM SYSTEM
APPROACHES...AND RAIN WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT.
ON SUNDAY...WHILE MOISTURE WILL BE ON THE DECLINE...THERE WILL BE
CHANCES FOR LIGHT SNOW IN ABOUT THE NORTHERN TWO ROWS OF COUNTIES.
FLAKES WILL BECOME POSSIBLE AS A COLDER AIRMASS HEADS THIS WAY
FROM THE PLAINS.

AT THIS POINT...ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD BE ON THE ORDER OF A DUSTING...
WITH THE MAIN SNOW BAND FROM CENTRAL MISSOURI THROUGH THE OHIO
VALLEY TO PENNSYLVANIA AND WEST VIRGINIA.

THIS WILL NOT BE A BIG PRECIPITATION MAKER. MOST QPF IS BETWEEN
A QUARTER AND HALF AN INCH.

PRECIPITATION WILL WIND DOWN SUNDAY EVENING...WITH BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES AS THE EXTENDED PERIOD BEGINS.
&&

.LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL BE OVER THE MIDDLE PART OF THE COUNTRY TO
BEGIN THE LONG TERM PERIOD. THIS NORTHWEST FLOW WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD WITH HIGH PRESSURE REMAINING OVER THE
SOUTHWEST U.S. AND AN UPPER LOW REMAINS OVER THE NORTHEAST.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER THE AREA MONDAY WITH DRY WEATHER. THIS
HIGH WILL MOVE EAST ON TUESDAY...AND A SHORT WAVE WILL MOVE THROUGH.
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE STATE WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL BRING
A SMALL CHANCE OF RAIN AND SOME LIGHT SNOW IN THE NORTH AND CENTRAL
SECTIONS. THE BEST CHANCE OF SNOW WILL BE WEDNESDAY MORNING. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL FILTER INTO ARKANSAS WEDNESDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES
WILL BE WELL BELOW NORMAL MONDAY...BUT A WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     56  29  47  32 /   0   0   0   0
CAMDEN AR         65  35  54  36 /  10   0   0  10
HARRISON AR       51  26  48  33 /   0   0   0  10
HOT SPRINGS AR    61  32  53  35 /   0   0   0  10
LITTLE ROCK   AR  61  32  51  34 /   0   0   0  10
MONTICELLO AR     66  35  53  35 /  10   0   0  10
MOUNT IDA AR      60  31  53  34 /   0   0   0  10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  51  27  47  32 /   0   0   0  10
NEWPORT AR        57  29  47  32 /  10   0   0   0
PINE BLUFF AR     64  34  52  34 /  10   0   0  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   57  29  51  34 /   0   0   0  10
SEARCY AR         59  29  50  31 /   0   0   0   0
STUTTGART AR      63  32  51  33 /  10   0   0   0
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...46 / LONG TERM...51






000
FXUS64 KLZK 290535
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1135 PM CST WED JAN 28 2015

.AVIATION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE STATE DURING THE TAF PERIOD WITH
WINDS TURNING NORTHWEST IN ITS WAKE. WINDS WILL BE BRIEFLY GUSTY AS
THE BOUNDARY MOVES THROUGH AND WIND SHEAR WILL BE A CONCERN AS WELL.
THE MAJORITY OF THE MOISTURE WILL BE HIGH LEVEL BUT SOME LOWER
CLOUDS WILL BE POSSIBLE. CONDITIONS WILL GENERALLY BE VFR EXCEPT FOR
POSSIBLE BRIEF MVFR CONDITIONS WHERE LOWER CLOUDS PREVAIL.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 557 PM CST WED JAN 28 2015/

AVIATION...
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE STATE OVERNIGHT...WITH A WIND
SHIFT WITH FROPA. HAVE KEPT SCATTERED LOW STRATUS ACROSS SOUTHERN
ARKANSAS DURING THE MORNING HOURS...BUT DID ADD MVFR CIGS ACROSS
THE NORTHERN SITES AS CLOUDS WILL MOVE SOUTH FROM MISSOURI. WILL
HAVE TO MONITOR DEVELOPMENT OF CLOUDS SOUTH OF THE STATE...AND MAY
HAVE TO ADD CIGS TO SOUTHERN SITES.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 250 PM CST WED JAN 28 2015/

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT

HIGH PRES WAS CENTERED TO THE E OF AR THIS AFTN...WITH A DVLPG SFC
LOW OVR THE NRN PLAINS. THIS RESULTED IN A BREEZY S/SELY WIND FLOW
OVR THE NATURAL STATE. MID AFTN TEMPS WERE A FEW DEGREES COOLER THAN
THIS TIME ON TUE...WITH READINGS RANGING FM THE 50S OVR ERN AR TO
THE 60S AND LOWER 70S ELSEWHERE.

THE AFOREMENTIONED SFC LOW TO THE N OF THE REGION WL CONT TO TRACK
EWD TNGT AND THU. MEANWHILE...A CDFNT TRAILING SWD FM THE LOW WL
SWEEP THRU AR LATE TNGT AND ON THU. WINDS WL SHIFT TO THE NW BEHIND
THE FROPA. MOISTURE LVLS RMN LIMITED WITH THIS SYS...SO NO RAINFALL
IS EXPECTED. COOLER AIR WL GRADUALLY FILTER SWD ON THU...WITH MILD
TEMPS STILL ANTICIPATED OVR CNTRL AND SRN AR.

THE COOLER AIRMASS WL BE MORE NOTICEABLE ACRS THE FA ON FRI...WITH
MOST LOCATIONS SEEING TEMPS FAIRLY CLOSE TO SEASONAL NORMS. CLOUDS
WL BE ON THE INCRS FM THE W BY FRI NGT AS A NEW SRN STREAM STORM SYS
ORGANIZES OVR THE SWRN PART OF THE NATION.

RAIN CHCS WL RETURN TO THE FCST FOR SAT AND SAT NGT AS A SERIES OF
WEAK UPR IMPULSES EJECT OUT OF THE SWRN U.S. STORM SYS AND MOVE THRU
THE MID SOUTH. FCST TEMP PROFILES CONT TO INDC MAINLY A COLD RAIN
FOR THE AREA. HOWEVER...THERE COULD BE A BRIEF BOUT OF WINTRY PRECIP
OVR PARTS OF NRN AR EARLY SAT MRNG AND AGAIN LATE SAT NGT.

RAIN WL BCM MORE WIDESPREAD SAT NGT...AND WL CONT INTO THE START OF
THE LONG TERM.

LONG TERM...SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

LEFT HIGH END POPS IN FOR SUNDAY AS MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT
WITH TIMING ON THE FROPA ENTERING THE REGION. THERE IS SOME
DISCREPANCY AS WE GET INTO SUNDAY NIGHT/MONDAY WHERE THE ECMWF WANTS
TO HOLD ONTO MOISTURE LONG AFTER THE COLDER AIR ARRIVES...MEANWHILE
THE GFS HAS MOST OF THE MOISTURE PUSHED SOUTH. WENT WITH A MODEL
BLEND FOR NOW WITH MENTION OF A BRIEF TRANSITION PERIOD OF RAIN/SNOW
SUNDAY NIGHT. MONDAYS HIGHS WILL CLIMB ABOVE FREEZING WITH LITTLE TO
NO ACCUMULATION EXPECTED FROM THIS SYSTEM.

MONDAY WILL BE THE COLDEST DAY OF THE WEEK...WITH TEMPERATURES
CLIMBING BACK UP TO SEASONAL AVERAGES BY TUESDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE
40S/50S.

IN THE MEANTIME THE NEXT WEATHER SYSTEM OF INTEREST WILL BE BREWING
IN THE GULF...PROGGED TO MOVE INTO THE MIDSOUTH TOWARDS THE END OF
THE PERIOD. THE ECMWF KEEPS THIS STORM SYSTEM JUST TO OUR SOUTH
WHILE THE GFS HAS A TRACK FURTHER NORTH. WENT WITH ANOTHER MODEL
BLEND APPROACH CONSIDERING HOW FAR OUT THIS IS...AND THE FLIP
FLOPPING THAT WILL LIKELY TAKE PLACE BEFORE EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     45  57  29  46 /  10   0   0   0
CAMDEN AR         49  69  35  53 /   0  10   0   0
HARRISON AR       43  51  26  47 /   0   0   0   0
HOT SPRINGS AR    48  63  32  51 /   0   0   0   0
LITTLE ROCK   AR  47  63  32  49 /  10   0   0   0
MONTICELLO AR     49  68  35  51 /   0  10   0   0
MOUNT IDA AR      49  61  31  52 /   0   0   0   0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  43  52  27  47 /   0   0   0   0
NEWPORT AR        45  57  29  45 /  10  10   0   0
PINE BLUFF AR     48  65  34  48 /  10  10   0   0
RUSSELLVILLE AR   43  60  29  50 /   0   0   0   0
SEARCY AR         43  59  29  46 /  10   0   0   0
STUTTGART AR      46  62  32  47 /  10  10   0   0
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

56
AVIATION...99






000
FXUS64 KLZK 290535
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1135 PM CST WED JAN 28 2015

.AVIATION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE STATE DURING THE TAF PERIOD WITH
WINDS TURNING NORTHWEST IN ITS WAKE. WINDS WILL BE BRIEFLY GUSTY AS
THE BOUNDARY MOVES THROUGH AND WIND SHEAR WILL BE A CONCERN AS WELL.
THE MAJORITY OF THE MOISTURE WILL BE HIGH LEVEL BUT SOME LOWER
CLOUDS WILL BE POSSIBLE. CONDITIONS WILL GENERALLY BE VFR EXCEPT FOR
POSSIBLE BRIEF MVFR CONDITIONS WHERE LOWER CLOUDS PREVAIL.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 557 PM CST WED JAN 28 2015/

AVIATION...
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE STATE OVERNIGHT...WITH A WIND
SHIFT WITH FROPA. HAVE KEPT SCATTERED LOW STRATUS ACROSS SOUTHERN
ARKANSAS DURING THE MORNING HOURS...BUT DID ADD MVFR CIGS ACROSS
THE NORTHERN SITES AS CLOUDS WILL MOVE SOUTH FROM MISSOURI. WILL
HAVE TO MONITOR DEVELOPMENT OF CLOUDS SOUTH OF THE STATE...AND MAY
HAVE TO ADD CIGS TO SOUTHERN SITES.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 250 PM CST WED JAN 28 2015/

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT

HIGH PRES WAS CENTERED TO THE E OF AR THIS AFTN...WITH A DVLPG SFC
LOW OVR THE NRN PLAINS. THIS RESULTED IN A BREEZY S/SELY WIND FLOW
OVR THE NATURAL STATE. MID AFTN TEMPS WERE A FEW DEGREES COOLER THAN
THIS TIME ON TUE...WITH READINGS RANGING FM THE 50S OVR ERN AR TO
THE 60S AND LOWER 70S ELSEWHERE.

THE AFOREMENTIONED SFC LOW TO THE N OF THE REGION WL CONT TO TRACK
EWD TNGT AND THU. MEANWHILE...A CDFNT TRAILING SWD FM THE LOW WL
SWEEP THRU AR LATE TNGT AND ON THU. WINDS WL SHIFT TO THE NW BEHIND
THE FROPA. MOISTURE LVLS RMN LIMITED WITH THIS SYS...SO NO RAINFALL
IS EXPECTED. COOLER AIR WL GRADUALLY FILTER SWD ON THU...WITH MILD
TEMPS STILL ANTICIPATED OVR CNTRL AND SRN AR.

THE COOLER AIRMASS WL BE MORE NOTICEABLE ACRS THE FA ON FRI...WITH
MOST LOCATIONS SEEING TEMPS FAIRLY CLOSE TO SEASONAL NORMS. CLOUDS
WL BE ON THE INCRS FM THE W BY FRI NGT AS A NEW SRN STREAM STORM SYS
ORGANIZES OVR THE SWRN PART OF THE NATION.

RAIN CHCS WL RETURN TO THE FCST FOR SAT AND SAT NGT AS A SERIES OF
WEAK UPR IMPULSES EJECT OUT OF THE SWRN U.S. STORM SYS AND MOVE THRU
THE MID SOUTH. FCST TEMP PROFILES CONT TO INDC MAINLY A COLD RAIN
FOR THE AREA. HOWEVER...THERE COULD BE A BRIEF BOUT OF WINTRY PRECIP
OVR PARTS OF NRN AR EARLY SAT MRNG AND AGAIN LATE SAT NGT.

RAIN WL BCM MORE WIDESPREAD SAT NGT...AND WL CONT INTO THE START OF
THE LONG TERM.

LONG TERM...SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

LEFT HIGH END POPS IN FOR SUNDAY AS MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT
WITH TIMING ON THE FROPA ENTERING THE REGION. THERE IS SOME
DISCREPANCY AS WE GET INTO SUNDAY NIGHT/MONDAY WHERE THE ECMWF WANTS
TO HOLD ONTO MOISTURE LONG AFTER THE COLDER AIR ARRIVES...MEANWHILE
THE GFS HAS MOST OF THE MOISTURE PUSHED SOUTH. WENT WITH A MODEL
BLEND FOR NOW WITH MENTION OF A BRIEF TRANSITION PERIOD OF RAIN/SNOW
SUNDAY NIGHT. MONDAYS HIGHS WILL CLIMB ABOVE FREEZING WITH LITTLE TO
NO ACCUMULATION EXPECTED FROM THIS SYSTEM.

MONDAY WILL BE THE COLDEST DAY OF THE WEEK...WITH TEMPERATURES
CLIMBING BACK UP TO SEASONAL AVERAGES BY TUESDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE
40S/50S.

IN THE MEANTIME THE NEXT WEATHER SYSTEM OF INTEREST WILL BE BREWING
IN THE GULF...PROGGED TO MOVE INTO THE MIDSOUTH TOWARDS THE END OF
THE PERIOD. THE ECMWF KEEPS THIS STORM SYSTEM JUST TO OUR SOUTH
WHILE THE GFS HAS A TRACK FURTHER NORTH. WENT WITH ANOTHER MODEL
BLEND APPROACH CONSIDERING HOW FAR OUT THIS IS...AND THE FLIP
FLOPPING THAT WILL LIKELY TAKE PLACE BEFORE EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     45  57  29  46 /  10   0   0   0
CAMDEN AR         49  69  35  53 /   0  10   0   0
HARRISON AR       43  51  26  47 /   0   0   0   0
HOT SPRINGS AR    48  63  32  51 /   0   0   0   0
LITTLE ROCK   AR  47  63  32  49 /  10   0   0   0
MONTICELLO AR     49  68  35  51 /   0  10   0   0
MOUNT IDA AR      49  61  31  52 /   0   0   0   0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  43  52  27  47 /   0   0   0   0
NEWPORT AR        45  57  29  45 /  10  10   0   0
PINE BLUFF AR     48  65  34  48 /  10  10   0   0
RUSSELLVILLE AR   43  60  29  50 /   0   0   0   0
SEARCY AR         43  59  29  46 /  10   0   0   0
STUTTGART AR      46  62  32  47 /  10  10   0   0
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

56
AVIATION...99







000
FXUS64 KLZK 282357 AAA
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
557 PM CST WED JAN 28 2015

.AVIATION...
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE STATE OVERNIGHT...WITH A WIND
SHIFT WITH FROPA. HAVE KEPT SCATTERED LOW STRATUS ACROSS SOUTHERN
ARKANSAS DURING THE MORNING HOURS...BUT DID ADD MVFR CIGS ACROSS
THE NORTHERN SITES AS CLOUDS WILL MOVE SOUTH FROM MISSOURI. WILL
HAVE TO MONITOR DEVELOPMENT OF CLOUDS SOUTH OF THE STATE...AND MAY
HAVE TO ADD CIGS TO SOUTHERN SITES.
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 250 PM CST WED JAN 28 2015/

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT

HIGH PRES WAS CENTERED TO THE E OF AR THIS AFTN...WITH A DVLPG SFC
LOW OVR THE NRN PLAINS. THIS RESULTED IN A BREEZY S/SELY WIND FLOW
OVR THE NATURAL STATE. MID AFTN TEMPS WERE A FEW DEGREES COOLER THAN
THIS TIME ON TUE...WITH READINGS RANGING FM THE 50S OVR ERN AR TO
THE 60S AND LOWER 70S ELSEWHERE.

THE AFOREMENTIONED SFC LOW TO THE N OF THE REGION WL CONT TO TRACK
EWD TNGT AND THU. MEANWHILE...A CDFNT TRAILING SWD FM THE LOW WL
SWEEP THRU AR LATE TNGT AND ON THU. WINDS WL SHIFT TO THE NW BEHIND
THE FROPA. MOISTURE LVLS RMN LIMITED WITH THIS SYS...SO NO RAINFALL
IS EXPECTED. COOLER AIR WL GRADUALLY FILTER SWD ON THU...WITH MILD
TEMPS STILL ANTICIPATED OVR CNTRL AND SRN AR.

THE COOLER AIRMASS WL BE MORE NOTICEABLE ACRS THE FA ON FRI...WITH
MOST LOCATIONS SEEING TEMPS FAIRLY CLOSE TO SEASONAL NORMS. CLOUDS
WL BE ON THE INCRS FM THE W BY FRI NGT AS A NEW SRN STREAM STORM SYS
ORGANIZES OVR THE SWRN PART OF THE NATION.

RAIN CHCS WL RETURN TO THE FCST FOR SAT AND SAT NGT AS A SERIES OF
WEAK UPR IMPULSES EJECT OUT OF THE SWRN U.S. STORM SYS AND MOVE THRU
THE MID SOUTH. FCST TEMP PROFILES CONT TO INDC MAINLY A COLD RAIN
FOR THE AREA. HOWEVER...THERE COULD BE A BRIEF BOUT OF WINTRY PRECIP
OVR PARTS OF NRN AR EARLY SAT MRNG AND AGAIN LATE SAT NGT.

RAIN WL BCM MORE WIDESPREAD SAT NGT...AND WL CONT INTO THE START OF
THE LONG TERM.

LONG TERM...SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

LEFT HIGH END POPS IN FOR SUNDAY AS MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT
WITH TIMING ON THE FROPA ENTERING THE REGION. THERE IS SOME
DISCREPANCY AS WE GET INTO SUNDAY NIGHT/MONDAY WHERE THE ECMWF WANTS
TO HOLD ONTO MOISTURE LONG AFTER THE COLDER AIR ARRIVES...MEANWHILE
THE GFS HAS MOST OF THE MOISTURE PUSHED SOUTH. WENT WITH A MODEL
BLEND FOR NOW WITH MENTION OF A BRIEF TRANSITION PERIOD OF RAIN/SNOW
SUNDAY NIGHT. MONDAYS HIGHS WILL CLIMB ABOVE FREEZING WITH LITTLE TO
NO ACCUMULATION EXPECTED FROM THIS SYSTEM.

MONDAY WILL BE THE COLDEST DAY OF THE WEEK...WITH TEMPERATURES
CLIMBING BACK UP TO SEASONAL AVERAGES BY TUESDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE
40S/50S.

IN THE MEANTIME THE NEXT WEATHER SYSTEM OF INTEREST WILL BE BREWING
IN THE GULF...PROGGED TO MOVE INTO THE MIDSOUTH TOWARDS THE END OF
THE PERIOD. THE ECMWF KEEPS THIS STORM SYSTEM JUST TO OUR SOUTH
WHILE THE GFS HAS A TRACK FURTHER NORTH. WENT WITH ANOTHER MODEL
BLEND APPROACH CONSIDERING HOW FAR OUT THIS IS...AND THE FLIP
FLOPPING THAT WILL LIKELY TAKE PLACE BEFORE EARLY NEXT WEEK.
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...58





000
FXUS64 KLZK 282357 AAA
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
557 PM CST WED JAN 28 2015

.AVIATION...
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE STATE OVERNIGHT...WITH A WIND
SHIFT WITH FROPA. HAVE KEPT SCATTERED LOW STRATUS ACROSS SOUTHERN
ARKANSAS DURING THE MORNING HOURS...BUT DID ADD MVFR CIGS ACROSS
THE NORTHERN SITES AS CLOUDS WILL MOVE SOUTH FROM MISSOURI. WILL
HAVE TO MONITOR DEVELOPMENT OF CLOUDS SOUTH OF THE STATE...AND MAY
HAVE TO ADD CIGS TO SOUTHERN SITES.
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 250 PM CST WED JAN 28 2015/

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT

HIGH PRES WAS CENTERED TO THE E OF AR THIS AFTN...WITH A DVLPG SFC
LOW OVR THE NRN PLAINS. THIS RESULTED IN A BREEZY S/SELY WIND FLOW
OVR THE NATURAL STATE. MID AFTN TEMPS WERE A FEW DEGREES COOLER THAN
THIS TIME ON TUE...WITH READINGS RANGING FM THE 50S OVR ERN AR TO
THE 60S AND LOWER 70S ELSEWHERE.

THE AFOREMENTIONED SFC LOW TO THE N OF THE REGION WL CONT TO TRACK
EWD TNGT AND THU. MEANWHILE...A CDFNT TRAILING SWD FM THE LOW WL
SWEEP THRU AR LATE TNGT AND ON THU. WINDS WL SHIFT TO THE NW BEHIND
THE FROPA. MOISTURE LVLS RMN LIMITED WITH THIS SYS...SO NO RAINFALL
IS EXPECTED. COOLER AIR WL GRADUALLY FILTER SWD ON THU...WITH MILD
TEMPS STILL ANTICIPATED OVR CNTRL AND SRN AR.

THE COOLER AIRMASS WL BE MORE NOTICEABLE ACRS THE FA ON FRI...WITH
MOST LOCATIONS SEEING TEMPS FAIRLY CLOSE TO SEASONAL NORMS. CLOUDS
WL BE ON THE INCRS FM THE W BY FRI NGT AS A NEW SRN STREAM STORM SYS
ORGANIZES OVR THE SWRN PART OF THE NATION.

RAIN CHCS WL RETURN TO THE FCST FOR SAT AND SAT NGT AS A SERIES OF
WEAK UPR IMPULSES EJECT OUT OF THE SWRN U.S. STORM SYS AND MOVE THRU
THE MID SOUTH. FCST TEMP PROFILES CONT TO INDC MAINLY A COLD RAIN
FOR THE AREA. HOWEVER...THERE COULD BE A BRIEF BOUT OF WINTRY PRECIP
OVR PARTS OF NRN AR EARLY SAT MRNG AND AGAIN LATE SAT NGT.

RAIN WL BCM MORE WIDESPREAD SAT NGT...AND WL CONT INTO THE START OF
THE LONG TERM.

LONG TERM...SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

LEFT HIGH END POPS IN FOR SUNDAY AS MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT
WITH TIMING ON THE FROPA ENTERING THE REGION. THERE IS SOME
DISCREPANCY AS WE GET INTO SUNDAY NIGHT/MONDAY WHERE THE ECMWF WANTS
TO HOLD ONTO MOISTURE LONG AFTER THE COLDER AIR ARRIVES...MEANWHILE
THE GFS HAS MOST OF THE MOISTURE PUSHED SOUTH. WENT WITH A MODEL
BLEND FOR NOW WITH MENTION OF A BRIEF TRANSITION PERIOD OF RAIN/SNOW
SUNDAY NIGHT. MONDAYS HIGHS WILL CLIMB ABOVE FREEZING WITH LITTLE TO
NO ACCUMULATION EXPECTED FROM THIS SYSTEM.

MONDAY WILL BE THE COLDEST DAY OF THE WEEK...WITH TEMPERATURES
CLIMBING BACK UP TO SEASONAL AVERAGES BY TUESDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE
40S/50S.

IN THE MEANTIME THE NEXT WEATHER SYSTEM OF INTEREST WILL BE BREWING
IN THE GULF...PROGGED TO MOVE INTO THE MIDSOUTH TOWARDS THE END OF
THE PERIOD. THE ECMWF KEEPS THIS STORM SYSTEM JUST TO OUR SOUTH
WHILE THE GFS HAS A TRACK FURTHER NORTH. WENT WITH ANOTHER MODEL
BLEND APPROACH CONSIDERING HOW FAR OUT THIS IS...AND THE FLIP
FLOPPING THAT WILL LIKELY TAKE PLACE BEFORE EARLY NEXT WEEK.
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...58






000
FXUS64 KLZK 282051
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
250 PM CST WED JAN 28 2015

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT

HIGH PRES WAS CENTERED TO THE E OF AR THIS AFTN...WITH A DVLPG SFC
LOW OVR THE NRN PLAINS. THIS RESULTED IN A BREEZY S/SELY WIND FLOW
OVR THE NATURAL STATE. MID AFTN TEMPS WERE A FEW DEGREES COOLER THAN
THIS TIME ON TUE...WITH READINGS RANGING FM THE 50S OVR ERN AR TO
THE 60S AND LOWER 70S ELSEWHERE.

THE AFOREMENTIONED SFC LOW TO THE N OF THE REGION WL CONT TO TRACK
EWD TNGT AND THU. MEANWHILE...A CDFNT TRAILING SWD FM THE LOW WL
SWEEP THRU AR LATE TNGT AND ON THU. WINDS WL SHIFT TO THE NW BEHIND
THE FROPA. MOISTURE LVLS RMN LIMITED WITH THIS SYS...SO NO RAINFALL
IS EXPECTED. COOLER AIR WL GRADUALLY FILTER SWD ON THU...WITH MILD
TEMPS STILL ANTICIPATED OVR CNTRL AND SRN AR.

THE COOLER AIRMASS WL BE MORE NOTICEABLE ACRS THE FA ON FRI...WITH
MOST LOCATIONS SEEING TEMPS FAIRLY CLOSE TO SEASONAL NORMS. CLOUDS
WL BE ON THE INCRS FM THE W BY FRI NGT AS A NEW SRN STREAM STORM SYS
ORGANIZES OVR THE SWRN PART OF THE NATION.

RAIN CHCS WL RETURN TO THE FCST FOR SAT AND SAT NGT AS A SERIES OF
WEAK UPR IMPULSES EJECT OUT OF THE SWRN U.S. STORM SYS AND MOVE THRU
THE MID SOUTH. FCST TEMP PROFILES CONT TO INDC MAINLY A COLD RAIN
FOR THE AREA. HOWEVER...THERE COULD BE A BRIEF BOUT OF WINTRY PRECIP
OVR PARTS OF NRN AR EARLY SAT MRNG AND AGAIN LATE SAT NGT.

RAIN WL BCM MORE WIDESPREAD SAT NGT...AND WL CONT INTO THE START OF
THE LONG TERM.
&&

.LONG TERM...SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

LEFT HIGH END POPS IN FOR SUNDAY AS MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT
WITH TIMING ON THE FROPA ENTERING THE REGION. THERE IS SOME
DISCREPANCY AS WE GET INTO SUNDAY NIGHT/MONDAY WHERE THE ECMWF WANTS
TO HOLD ONTO MOISTURE LONG AFTER THE COLDER AIR ARRIVES...MEANWHILE
THE GFS HAS MOST OF THE MOISTURE PUSHED SOUTH. WENT WITH A MODEL
BLEND FOR NOW WITH MENTION OF A BRIEF TRANSITION PERIOD OF RAIN/SNOW
SUNDAY NIGHT. MONDAYS HIGHS WILL CLIMB ABOVE FREEZING WITH LITTLE TO
NO ACCUMULATION EXPECTED FROM THIS SYSTEM.

MONDAY WILL BE THE COLDEST DAY OF THE WEEK...WITH TEMPERATURES
CLIMBING BACK UP TO SEASONAL AVERAGES BY TUESDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE
40S/50S.

IN THE MEANTIME THE NEXT WEATHER SYSTEM OF INTEREST WILL BE BREWING
IN THE GULF...PROGGED TO MOVE INTO THE MIDSOUTH TOWARDS THE END OF
THE PERIOD. THE ECMWF KEEPS THIS STORM SYSTEM JUST TO OUR SOUTH
WHILE THE GFS HAS A TRACK FURTHER NORTH. WENT WITH ANOTHER MODEL
BLEND APPROACH CONSIDERING HOW FAR OUT THIS IS...AND THE FLIP
FLOPPING THAT WILL LIKELY TAKE PLACE BEFORE EARLY NEXT WEEK.
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...44 / LONG TERM...61






000
FXUS64 KLZK 282051
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
250 PM CST WED JAN 28 2015

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT

HIGH PRES WAS CENTERED TO THE E OF AR THIS AFTN...WITH A DVLPG SFC
LOW OVR THE NRN PLAINS. THIS RESULTED IN A BREEZY S/SELY WIND FLOW
OVR THE NATURAL STATE. MID AFTN TEMPS WERE A FEW DEGREES COOLER THAN
THIS TIME ON TUE...WITH READINGS RANGING FM THE 50S OVR ERN AR TO
THE 60S AND LOWER 70S ELSEWHERE.

THE AFOREMENTIONED SFC LOW TO THE N OF THE REGION WL CONT TO TRACK
EWD TNGT AND THU. MEANWHILE...A CDFNT TRAILING SWD FM THE LOW WL
SWEEP THRU AR LATE TNGT AND ON THU. WINDS WL SHIFT TO THE NW BEHIND
THE FROPA. MOISTURE LVLS RMN LIMITED WITH THIS SYS...SO NO RAINFALL
IS EXPECTED. COOLER AIR WL GRADUALLY FILTER SWD ON THU...WITH MILD
TEMPS STILL ANTICIPATED OVR CNTRL AND SRN AR.

THE COOLER AIRMASS WL BE MORE NOTICEABLE ACRS THE FA ON FRI...WITH
MOST LOCATIONS SEEING TEMPS FAIRLY CLOSE TO SEASONAL NORMS. CLOUDS
WL BE ON THE INCRS FM THE W BY FRI NGT AS A NEW SRN STREAM STORM SYS
ORGANIZES OVR THE SWRN PART OF THE NATION.

RAIN CHCS WL RETURN TO THE FCST FOR SAT AND SAT NGT AS A SERIES OF
WEAK UPR IMPULSES EJECT OUT OF THE SWRN U.S. STORM SYS AND MOVE THRU
THE MID SOUTH. FCST TEMP PROFILES CONT TO INDC MAINLY A COLD RAIN
FOR THE AREA. HOWEVER...THERE COULD BE A BRIEF BOUT OF WINTRY PRECIP
OVR PARTS OF NRN AR EARLY SAT MRNG AND AGAIN LATE SAT NGT.

RAIN WL BCM MORE WIDESPREAD SAT NGT...AND WL CONT INTO THE START OF
THE LONG TERM.
&&

.LONG TERM...SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

LEFT HIGH END POPS IN FOR SUNDAY AS MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT
WITH TIMING ON THE FROPA ENTERING THE REGION. THERE IS SOME
DISCREPANCY AS WE GET INTO SUNDAY NIGHT/MONDAY WHERE THE ECMWF WANTS
TO HOLD ONTO MOISTURE LONG AFTER THE COLDER AIR ARRIVES...MEANWHILE
THE GFS HAS MOST OF THE MOISTURE PUSHED SOUTH. WENT WITH A MODEL
BLEND FOR NOW WITH MENTION OF A BRIEF TRANSITION PERIOD OF RAIN/SNOW
SUNDAY NIGHT. MONDAYS HIGHS WILL CLIMB ABOVE FREEZING WITH LITTLE TO
NO ACCUMULATION EXPECTED FROM THIS SYSTEM.

MONDAY WILL BE THE COLDEST DAY OF THE WEEK...WITH TEMPERATURES
CLIMBING BACK UP TO SEASONAL AVERAGES BY TUESDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE
40S/50S.

IN THE MEANTIME THE NEXT WEATHER SYSTEM OF INTEREST WILL BE BREWING
IN THE GULF...PROGGED TO MOVE INTO THE MIDSOUTH TOWARDS THE END OF
THE PERIOD. THE ECMWF KEEPS THIS STORM SYSTEM JUST TO OUR SOUTH
WHILE THE GFS HAS A TRACK FURTHER NORTH. WENT WITH ANOTHER MODEL
BLEND APPROACH CONSIDERING HOW FAR OUT THIS IS...AND THE FLIP
FLOPPING THAT WILL LIKELY TAKE PLACE BEFORE EARLY NEXT WEEK.
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...44 / LONG TERM...61







000
FXUS64 KLZK 281555 AAA
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
955 AM CST WED JAN 28 2015

.AVIATION...

ALTHOUGH A COLD FRONT IS STILL EXPECTED TO DROP SOUTH INTO THE
REGION TONIGHT...VFR CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE. LIMITED
MOISTURE WILL HELP TO KEEP ANY PRECIP OUT OF THE FORECAST. HOWEVER A
NOTABLE WIND SHIFT WILL BEGIN IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS OVERNIGHT WITH
ALL TERMINALS EXPERIENCING WEST/NORTHWEST WINDS BY 15Z.
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 526 AM CST WED JAN 28 2015/

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT
MILD AND DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE TODAY. WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHERLY
AS HIGH PRESSURE DEPARTS TO THE EAST AND A NEW COLD FRONT APPROACHES
FROM THE PLAINS.

THE FRONT WILL BLOW THROUGH THE REGION ON THURSDAY...WITH WINDS
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST. MOISTURE WILL BE LIMITED...SO NO
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED. IT WILL BE MILD ONE MORE TIME...AND
THEN CHANGES ARE COMING FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD.

COOLER CONDITIONS ARE IN THE FORECAST FRIDAY...BUT NOTHING
EXTREME. IF ANYTHING...TEMPERATURES WILL BE CLOSER TO NORMAL.
A SPLIT FLOW PATTERN WILL SET UP...WITH THE SUBTROPICAL JET
BRINGING A STORM SYSTEM FROM THE SOUTHWEST THIS WEEKEND AND THE
POLAR JET PROVIDING COLD AIR TO FOLLOW.

FOR THE NEAR TERM...THE SOUTHWEST SYSTEM WILL BE THE MAIN
PLAYER. CLOUDS WILL INCREASE FRIDAY NIGHT...WITH RAIN CHANCES
ENTERING THE FORECAST ON SATURDAY. THERE COULD BE A PERIOD OF
WINTRY PRECIPITATION TOWARD THE MISSOURI BORDER EARLY IN THE
DAY...BUT IT WILL BE BRIEF IF IT HAPPENS.

RAIN WILL BECOME WIDESREAD SATURDAY NIGHT...AND WILL CONTINUE INTO
THE BEGINNING OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD.

LONG TERM...SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
AN UPPER TROUGH WILL EXTEND FROM THE PLAINS INTO MEXICO. THIS UPPER
TROUGH WILL MOVE EAST SUNDAY AND MONDAY...AND SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT
WILL BECOME NORTHWEST MONDAY. THIS NORTHWEST FLOW OVER ARKANSAS WILL
BECOME MORE WESTERLY TUESDAY AS THE UPPER TROUGH PULLS AWAY.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH ARKANSAS SUNDAY. THIS WILL BRING GOOD
CHANCES OF RAIN TO THE AREA. THE GFS SEEMS TO HOLD THE PRECIPITATION
IN THE AREA A LITTLE TOO LONG. ECMWF HAS THE MOISTURE EXITING THE
AREA BEFORE THE COLD AIR REACHES THE STATE. LEFT A SMALL CHANCE OF
LIGHT SNOW IN THE NORTH SUNDAY NIGHT. THE PRECIPITATION SHOULD BE
OUT OF THE STATE BY MONDAY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE AND DRIER AIR
BUILD OVER THE STATE MONDAY AND TUESDAY. WILL KEEP THE FORECAST DRY
MONDAY AND TUESDAY. BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
THE LONG TERM PERIOD.
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...61










000
FXUS64 KLZK 281555 AAA
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
955 AM CST WED JAN 28 2015

.AVIATION...

ALTHOUGH A COLD FRONT IS STILL EXPECTED TO DROP SOUTH INTO THE
REGION TONIGHT...VFR CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE. LIMITED
MOISTURE WILL HELP TO KEEP ANY PRECIP OUT OF THE FORECAST. HOWEVER A
NOTABLE WIND SHIFT WILL BEGIN IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS OVERNIGHT WITH
ALL TERMINALS EXPERIENCING WEST/NORTHWEST WINDS BY 15Z.
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 526 AM CST WED JAN 28 2015/

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT
MILD AND DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE TODAY. WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHERLY
AS HIGH PRESSURE DEPARTS TO THE EAST AND A NEW COLD FRONT APPROACHES
FROM THE PLAINS.

THE FRONT WILL BLOW THROUGH THE REGION ON THURSDAY...WITH WINDS
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST. MOISTURE WILL BE LIMITED...SO NO
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED. IT WILL BE MILD ONE MORE TIME...AND
THEN CHANGES ARE COMING FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD.

COOLER CONDITIONS ARE IN THE FORECAST FRIDAY...BUT NOTHING
EXTREME. IF ANYTHING...TEMPERATURES WILL BE CLOSER TO NORMAL.
A SPLIT FLOW PATTERN WILL SET UP...WITH THE SUBTROPICAL JET
BRINGING A STORM SYSTEM FROM THE SOUTHWEST THIS WEEKEND AND THE
POLAR JET PROVIDING COLD AIR TO FOLLOW.

FOR THE NEAR TERM...THE SOUTHWEST SYSTEM WILL BE THE MAIN
PLAYER. CLOUDS WILL INCREASE FRIDAY NIGHT...WITH RAIN CHANCES
ENTERING THE FORECAST ON SATURDAY. THERE COULD BE A PERIOD OF
WINTRY PRECIPITATION TOWARD THE MISSOURI BORDER EARLY IN THE
DAY...BUT IT WILL BE BRIEF IF IT HAPPENS.

RAIN WILL BECOME WIDESREAD SATURDAY NIGHT...AND WILL CONTINUE INTO
THE BEGINNING OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD.

LONG TERM...SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
AN UPPER TROUGH WILL EXTEND FROM THE PLAINS INTO MEXICO. THIS UPPER
TROUGH WILL MOVE EAST SUNDAY AND MONDAY...AND SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT
WILL BECOME NORTHWEST MONDAY. THIS NORTHWEST FLOW OVER ARKANSAS WILL
BECOME MORE WESTERLY TUESDAY AS THE UPPER TROUGH PULLS AWAY.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH ARKANSAS SUNDAY. THIS WILL BRING GOOD
CHANCES OF RAIN TO THE AREA. THE GFS SEEMS TO HOLD THE PRECIPITATION
IN THE AREA A LITTLE TOO LONG. ECMWF HAS THE MOISTURE EXITING THE
AREA BEFORE THE COLD AIR REACHES THE STATE. LEFT A SMALL CHANCE OF
LIGHT SNOW IN THE NORTH SUNDAY NIGHT. THE PRECIPITATION SHOULD BE
OUT OF THE STATE BY MONDAY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE AND DRIER AIR
BUILD OVER THE STATE MONDAY AND TUESDAY. WILL KEEP THE FORECAST DRY
MONDAY AND TUESDAY. BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
THE LONG TERM PERIOD.
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...61









000
FXUS64 KLZK 281144
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
544 AM CST WED JAN 28 2015

.AVIATION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST OF THE AREA TODAY. A WARM FRONT WILL
MOVE THROUGH THE STATE THIS AFTERNOON AND A COLD FRONT TONIGHT.
WINDS WILL BECOME NORTHWEST BEHIND THE COLD FRONT. INCLUDED WIND
SHEAR AT ALL SITES. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 526 AM CST WED JAN 28 2015/

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT
MILD AND DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE TODAY. WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHERLY
AS HIGH PRESSURE DEPARTS TO THE EAST AND A NEW COLD FRONT APPROACHES
FROM THE PLAINS.

THE FRONT WILL BLOW THROUGH THE REGION ON THURSDAY...WITH WINDS
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST. MOISTURE WILL BE LIMITED...SO NO
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED. IT WILL BE MILD ONE MORE TIME...AND
THEN CHANGES ARE COMING FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD.

COOLER CONDITIONS ARE IN THE FORECAST FRIDAY...BUT NOTHING
EXTREME. IF ANYTHING...TEMPERATURES WILL BE CLOSER TO NORMAL.
A SPLIT FLOW PATTERN WILL SET UP...WITH THE SUBTROPICAL JET
BRINGING A STORM SYSTEM FROM THE SOUTHWEST THIS WEEKEND AND THE
POLAR JET PROVIDING COLD AIR TO FOLLOW.

FOR THE NEAR TERM...THE SOUTHWEST SYSTEM WILL BE THE MAIN
PLAYER. CLOUDS WILL INCREASE FRIDAY NIGHT...WITH RAIN CHANCES
ENTERING THE FORECAST ON SATURDAY. THERE COULD BE A PERIOD OF
WINTRY PRECIPITATION TOWARD THE MISSOURI BORDER EARLY IN THE
DAY...BUT IT WILL BE BRIEF IF IT HAPPENS.

RAIN WILL BECOME WIDESREAD SATURDAY NIGHT...AND WILL CONTINUE INTO
THE BEGINNING OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD.

LONG TERM...SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
AN UPPER TROUGH WILL EXTEND FROM THE PLAINS INTO MEXICO. THIS UPPER
TROUGH WILL MOVE EAST SUNDAY AND MONDAY...AND SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT
WILL BECOME NORTHWEST MONDAY. THIS NORTHWEST FLOW OVER ARKANSAS WILL
BECOME MORE WESTERLY TUESDAY AS THE UPPER TROUGH PULLS AWAY.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH ARKANSAS SUNDAY. THIS WILL BRING GOOD
CHANCES OF RAIN TO THE AREA. THE GFS SEEMS TO HOLD THE PRECIPITATION
IN THE AREA A LITTLE TOO LONG. ECMWF HAS THE MOISTURE EXITING THE
AREA BEFORE THE COLD AIR REACHES THE STATE. LEFT A SMALL CHANCE OF
LIGHT SNOW IN THE NORTH SUNDAY NIGHT. THE PRECIPITATION SHOULD BE
OUT OF THE STATE BY MONDAY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE AND DRIER AIR
BUILD OVER THE STATE MONDAY AND TUESDAY. WILL KEEP THE FORECAST DRY
MONDAY AND TUESDAY. BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
THE LONG TERM PERIOD.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     61  45  56  30 /   0  10  10   0
CAMDEN AR         72  47  69  35 /   0  10  10   0
HARRISON AR       68  44  51  27 /   0   0   0   0
HOT SPRINGS AR    69  47  63  33 /   0  10   0   0
LITTLE ROCK   AR  67  46  63  33 /   0  10  10   0
MONTICELLO AR     68  49  68  35 /   0  10  10   0
MOUNT IDA AR      70  47  62  32 /   0   0   0   0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  65  42  52  27 /   0  10   0   0
NEWPORT AR        62  45  57  31 /   0  10  10   0
PINE BLUFF AR     67  47  65  35 /   0  10  10   0
RUSSELLVILLE AR   68  43  60  31 /   0  10   0   0
SEARCY AR         64  45  60  32 /   0  10  10   0
STUTTGART AR      64  46  62  33 /   0  10  10   0
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...51






000
FXUS64 KLZK 281144
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
544 AM CST WED JAN 28 2015

.AVIATION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST OF THE AREA TODAY. A WARM FRONT WILL
MOVE THROUGH THE STATE THIS AFTERNOON AND A COLD FRONT TONIGHT.
WINDS WILL BECOME NORTHWEST BEHIND THE COLD FRONT. INCLUDED WIND
SHEAR AT ALL SITES. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 526 AM CST WED JAN 28 2015/

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT
MILD AND DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE TODAY. WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHERLY
AS HIGH PRESSURE DEPARTS TO THE EAST AND A NEW COLD FRONT APPROACHES
FROM THE PLAINS.

THE FRONT WILL BLOW THROUGH THE REGION ON THURSDAY...WITH WINDS
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST. MOISTURE WILL BE LIMITED...SO NO
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED. IT WILL BE MILD ONE MORE TIME...AND
THEN CHANGES ARE COMING FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD.

COOLER CONDITIONS ARE IN THE FORECAST FRIDAY...BUT NOTHING
EXTREME. IF ANYTHING...TEMPERATURES WILL BE CLOSER TO NORMAL.
A SPLIT FLOW PATTERN WILL SET UP...WITH THE SUBTROPICAL JET
BRINGING A STORM SYSTEM FROM THE SOUTHWEST THIS WEEKEND AND THE
POLAR JET PROVIDING COLD AIR TO FOLLOW.

FOR THE NEAR TERM...THE SOUTHWEST SYSTEM WILL BE THE MAIN
PLAYER. CLOUDS WILL INCREASE FRIDAY NIGHT...WITH RAIN CHANCES
ENTERING THE FORECAST ON SATURDAY. THERE COULD BE A PERIOD OF
WINTRY PRECIPITATION TOWARD THE MISSOURI BORDER EARLY IN THE
DAY...BUT IT WILL BE BRIEF IF IT HAPPENS.

RAIN WILL BECOME WIDESREAD SATURDAY NIGHT...AND WILL CONTINUE INTO
THE BEGINNING OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD.

LONG TERM...SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
AN UPPER TROUGH WILL EXTEND FROM THE PLAINS INTO MEXICO. THIS UPPER
TROUGH WILL MOVE EAST SUNDAY AND MONDAY...AND SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT
WILL BECOME NORTHWEST MONDAY. THIS NORTHWEST FLOW OVER ARKANSAS WILL
BECOME MORE WESTERLY TUESDAY AS THE UPPER TROUGH PULLS AWAY.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH ARKANSAS SUNDAY. THIS WILL BRING GOOD
CHANCES OF RAIN TO THE AREA. THE GFS SEEMS TO HOLD THE PRECIPITATION
IN THE AREA A LITTLE TOO LONG. ECMWF HAS THE MOISTURE EXITING THE
AREA BEFORE THE COLD AIR REACHES THE STATE. LEFT A SMALL CHANCE OF
LIGHT SNOW IN THE NORTH SUNDAY NIGHT. THE PRECIPITATION SHOULD BE
OUT OF THE STATE BY MONDAY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE AND DRIER AIR
BUILD OVER THE STATE MONDAY AND TUESDAY. WILL KEEP THE FORECAST DRY
MONDAY AND TUESDAY. BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
THE LONG TERM PERIOD.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     61  45  56  30 /   0  10  10   0
CAMDEN AR         72  47  69  35 /   0  10  10   0
HARRISON AR       68  44  51  27 /   0   0   0   0
HOT SPRINGS AR    69  47  63  33 /   0  10   0   0
LITTLE ROCK   AR  67  46  63  33 /   0  10  10   0
MONTICELLO AR     68  49  68  35 /   0  10  10   0
MOUNT IDA AR      70  47  62  32 /   0   0   0   0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  65  42  52  27 /   0  10   0   0
NEWPORT AR        62  45  57  31 /   0  10  10   0
PINE BLUFF AR     67  47  65  35 /   0  10  10   0
RUSSELLVILLE AR   68  43  60  31 /   0  10   0   0
SEARCY AR         64  45  60  32 /   0  10  10   0
STUTTGART AR      64  46  62  33 /   0  10  10   0
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...51







000
FXUS64 KLZK 281126
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
526 AM CST WED JAN 28 2015

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT
MILD AND DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE TODAY. WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHERLY
AS HIGH PRESSURE DEPARTS TO THE EAST AND A NEW COLD FRONT APPROACHES
FROM THE PLAINS.

THE FRONT WILL BLOW THROUGH THE REGION ON THURSDAY...WITH WINDS
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST. MOISTURE WILL BE LIMITED...SO NO
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED. IT WILL BE MILD ONE MORE TIME...AND
THEN CHANGES ARE COMING FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD.

COOLER CONDITIONS ARE IN THE FORECAST FRIDAY...BUT NOTHING
EXTREME. IF ANYTHING...TEMPERATURES WILL BE CLOSER TO NORMAL.
A SPLIT FLOW PATTERN WILL SET UP...WITH THE SUBTROPICAL JET
BRINGING A STORM SYSTEM FROM THE SOUTHWEST THIS WEEKEND AND THE
POLAR JET PROVIDING COLD AIR TO FOLLOW.

FOR THE NEAR TERM...THE SOUTHWEST SYSTEM WILL BE THE MAIN
PLAYER. CLOUDS WILL INCREASE FRIDAY NIGHT...WITH RAIN CHANCES
ENTERING THE FORECAST ON SATURDAY. THERE COULD BE A PERIOD OF
WINTRY PRECIPITATION TOWARD THE MISSOURI BORDER EARLY IN THE
DAY...BUT IT WILL BE BRIEF IF IT HAPPENS.

RAIN WILL BECOME WIDESREAD SATURDAY NIGHT...AND WILL CONTINUE INTO
THE BEGINNING OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD.
&&

.LONG TERM...SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
AN UPPER TROUGH WILL EXTEND FROM THE PLAINS INTO MEXICO. THIS UPPER
TROUGH WILL MOVE EAST SUNDAY AND MONDAY...AND SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT
WILL BECOME NORTHWEST MONDAY. THIS NORTHWEST FLOW OVER ARKANSAS WILL
BECOME MORE WESTERLY TUESDAY AS THE UPPER TROUGH PULLS AWAY.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH ARKANSAS SUNDAY. THIS WILL BRING GOOD
CHANCES OF RAIN TO THE AREA. THE GFS SEEMS TO HOLD THE PRECIPITATION
IN THE AREA A LITTLE TOO LONG. ECMWF HAS THE MOISTURE EXITING THE
AREA BEFORE THE COLD AIR REACHES THE STATE. LEFT A SMALL CHANCE OF
LIGHT SNOW IN THE NORTH SUNDAY NIGHT. THE PRECIPITATION SHOULD BE
OUT OF THE STATE BY MONDAY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE AND DRIER AIR
BUILD OVER THE STATE MONDAY AND TUESDAY. WILL KEEP THE FORECAST DRY
MONDAY AND TUESDAY. BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
THE LONG TERM PERIOD.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     61  45  56  30 /   0  10  10   0
CAMDEN AR         72  47  69  35 /   0  10  10   0
HARRISON AR       68  44  51  27 /   0   0   0   0
HOT SPRINGS AR    69  47  63  33 /   0  10   0   0
LITTLE ROCK   AR  67  46  63  33 /   0  10  10   0
MONTICELLO AR     68  49  68  35 /   0  10  10   0
MOUNT IDA AR      70  47  62  32 /   0   0   0   0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  65  42  52  27 /   0  10   0   0
NEWPORT AR        62  45  57  31 /   0  10  10   0
PINE BLUFF AR     67  47  65  35 /   0  10  10   0
RUSSELLVILLE AR   68  43  60  31 /   0  10   0   0
SEARCY AR         64  45  60  32 /   0  10  10   0
STUTTGART AR      64  46  62  33 /   0  10  10   0
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...46 / LONG TERM...51







000
FXUS64 KLZK 281126
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
526 AM CST WED JAN 28 2015

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT
MILD AND DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE TODAY. WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHERLY
AS HIGH PRESSURE DEPARTS TO THE EAST AND A NEW COLD FRONT APPROACHES
FROM THE PLAINS.

THE FRONT WILL BLOW THROUGH THE REGION ON THURSDAY...WITH WINDS
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST. MOISTURE WILL BE LIMITED...SO NO
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED. IT WILL BE MILD ONE MORE TIME...AND
THEN CHANGES ARE COMING FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD.

COOLER CONDITIONS ARE IN THE FORECAST FRIDAY...BUT NOTHING
EXTREME. IF ANYTHING...TEMPERATURES WILL BE CLOSER TO NORMAL.
A SPLIT FLOW PATTERN WILL SET UP...WITH THE SUBTROPICAL JET
BRINGING A STORM SYSTEM FROM THE SOUTHWEST THIS WEEKEND AND THE
POLAR JET PROVIDING COLD AIR TO FOLLOW.

FOR THE NEAR TERM...THE SOUTHWEST SYSTEM WILL BE THE MAIN
PLAYER. CLOUDS WILL INCREASE FRIDAY NIGHT...WITH RAIN CHANCES
ENTERING THE FORECAST ON SATURDAY. THERE COULD BE A PERIOD OF
WINTRY PRECIPITATION TOWARD THE MISSOURI BORDER EARLY IN THE
DAY...BUT IT WILL BE BRIEF IF IT HAPPENS.

RAIN WILL BECOME WIDESREAD SATURDAY NIGHT...AND WILL CONTINUE INTO
THE BEGINNING OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD.
&&

.LONG TERM...SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
AN UPPER TROUGH WILL EXTEND FROM THE PLAINS INTO MEXICO. THIS UPPER
TROUGH WILL MOVE EAST SUNDAY AND MONDAY...AND SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT
WILL BECOME NORTHWEST MONDAY. THIS NORTHWEST FLOW OVER ARKANSAS WILL
BECOME MORE WESTERLY TUESDAY AS THE UPPER TROUGH PULLS AWAY.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH ARKANSAS SUNDAY. THIS WILL BRING GOOD
CHANCES OF RAIN TO THE AREA. THE GFS SEEMS TO HOLD THE PRECIPITATION
IN THE AREA A LITTLE TOO LONG. ECMWF HAS THE MOISTURE EXITING THE
AREA BEFORE THE COLD AIR REACHES THE STATE. LEFT A SMALL CHANCE OF
LIGHT SNOW IN THE NORTH SUNDAY NIGHT. THE PRECIPITATION SHOULD BE
OUT OF THE STATE BY MONDAY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE AND DRIER AIR
BUILD OVER THE STATE MONDAY AND TUESDAY. WILL KEEP THE FORECAST DRY
MONDAY AND TUESDAY. BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
THE LONG TERM PERIOD.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     61  45  56  30 /   0  10  10   0
CAMDEN AR         72  47  69  35 /   0  10  10   0
HARRISON AR       68  44  51  27 /   0   0   0   0
HOT SPRINGS AR    69  47  63  33 /   0  10   0   0
LITTLE ROCK   AR  67  46  63  33 /   0  10  10   0
MONTICELLO AR     68  49  68  35 /   0  10  10   0
MOUNT IDA AR      70  47  62  32 /   0   0   0   0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  65  42  52  27 /   0  10   0   0
NEWPORT AR        62  45  57  31 /   0  10  10   0
PINE BLUFF AR     67  47  65  35 /   0  10  10   0
RUSSELLVILLE AR   68  43  60  31 /   0  10   0   0
SEARCY AR         64  45  60  32 /   0  10  10   0
STUTTGART AR      64  46  62  33 /   0  10  10   0
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...46 / LONG TERM...51






000
FXUS64 KLZK 280541
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1141 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

.AVIATION...
VFR FLIGHT CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. WINDS
WILL BE LIGHT FROM THE SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT AS THE HIGH PRESSURE
MOVES EAST. WINDS ACROSS THE NORTH WILL BECOME 10 TO 20 MPH AND
GUSTY ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AHEAD OF WEAK FRONT THAT WILL APPROACH
ARKANSAS LATER ON WEDNESDAY. WINDS OVER THE REST OF ARKANSAS ON
WEDNESDAY WILL BE LIGHT IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOME 5 TO 15 THROUGH
THE DAY.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 840 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015/

DISCUSSION...

OVERALL FORECAST ON TRACK. CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH
LOWS AROUND NORMAL IN THE EAST...TO ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS IN THE WEST.
NW UPPER FLOW IS INTO AR WITH THE UPPER RIDGE BUILT OVER THE WESTERN
PLAINS AND THE DEEP UPPER TROUGH WAS OVER THE EASTERN SEA BOARD. AT
THIS TIME LITTLE MOISTURE IS SEEN UPSTREAM. STILL EXPECTING A COLD
FRONT LATE WEDNESDAY TO THURSDAY...BUT WITH LIMITED MOISTURE...ONLY
EXPECT A WIND SHIFT TO THE NW TO N AND COLDER AIR FILTERS IN OVER
THE REGION. LATE EVENING UPDATE WILL ONLY FINE TUNE A FEW ELEMENTS
WITH NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES. (59)

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 502 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015/

AVIATION...
WINDS WILL GRADUALLY BECOME LIGHT FROM THE SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT AS
HIGH PRESSURE MOVES EAST. WINDS ACROSS THE NORTH WILL BECOME GUSTY
AHEAD OF WEAK FRONT THAT WILL APPROACH DURING THE AFTERNOON
WEDNESDAY.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 245 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015/

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT

SFC HIGH PRES CONTD TO SLOLY SHIFT EWD TODAY WITH THE AXIS SITUATED
OVR ERN AR AT MID AFTN. THE AIRMASS MODIFIED QUITE NICELY OVR WRN
AND CNTRL AR WHERE MID AFTN TEMPS WERE IN THE 60S AND LOWER 70S. THE
COLDER AIR ASSOCD WITH THE HIGH WAS LINGERING OVR ERN AR WHERE
READINGS WERE STILL IN THE 50S.

THE AFOREMENTIONED HIGH PRES RDG WL CONT TO SHIFT EWD TNGT AND WED.
THIS WL ALLOW FOR S/SELY WINDS TO RETURN TO THE ENTIRE FA HEADING
INTO WED. LOOKING FOR ANOTHER WARM DAY ON WED WITH HIGHS AGAIN IN
THE 60S AND LOWER 70S.

MODELS CONT TO INDC A QUICK MOVG CDFNT WL DROP SWD THRU AR LATE WED
NGT AND ON THU. MID AND HIGH LVL CLOUDS WL INCRS AHEAD OF THIS
FEATURE. LOW LVL MOISTURE STILL LACKING WITH FROPA...SO WL CONT TO
KEEP A DRY FCST DURG THIS TIMEFRAME. HIGH PRES WL BRING A
REINFORCING SHOT OF COOLER AND DRIER AIR FOR FRI. THE NEXT CHC FOR
ANY ORGANIZED PRECIP WL RETURN TO WRN AR LATE FRI NGT...WITH BETTER
CHCS HEADING INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.

LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

LONG TERM BEGINS WITH HIGH PRESSURE DEPARTING TO THE EAST AND
PRECIPITATION ON OUR DOORSTEP TO THE WEST. SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WILL
TRACK TOWARDS THE STATE THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND BRING PRECIPITATION
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. MODELS DID TEND TO COME BACK A BIT WARMER
THIS MORNING AND AS A RESULT DID BUMP TEMPS UP A DEGREE OR TWO.
HOWEVER THIS DOES STILL KEEP WINTRY PRECIPITATION IN THE FORECAST
SATURDAY MORNING AND AGAIN SUNDAY AFTERNOON. CURRENT FORECAST HAS
TEMPS STAYING STEADY OR EVEN WARMING DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS
SATURDAY NIGHT WITH THE COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE STATE EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING. THIS WOULD RESULT IN SFC TEMPS FALLING THROUGH THE
DAY ON SUNDAY AND THE RETURN OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION CHANCES.
AGAIN...THIS SYSTEM IS STILL FAIRLY FAR OUT...AND WITH THE TIMING OF
THE FRONT LIKELY TO CHANGE...IT WOULD GREATLY EFFECT THE PRECIP TYPE
FORECAST. PLEASE CONTINUE TO MONITOR FORECAST UPDATES IN THE COMING
DAYS.

BEHIND THIS SYSTEM...HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION FOR THE
NEW WORK WEEK. THIS RESULTS IN DRY WEATHER AND SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES TO CLOSE OUT THE LONG TERM.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     63  33  61  45 /   0   0   0  10
CAMDEN AR         73  36  72  47 /   0   0   0   0
HARRISON AR       63  36  68  44 /   0   0   0   0
HOT SPRINGS AR    72  38  69  47 /   0   0   0  10
LITTLE ROCK   AR  67  35  67  46 /   0   0   0  10
MONTICELLO AR     67  37  68  49 /   0   0   0   0
MOUNT IDA AR      73  36  70  47 /   0   0   0  10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  58  35  65  42 /   0   0   0  10
NEWPORT AR        56  33  62  45 /   0   0   0  10
PINE BLUFF AR     61  36  67  47 /   0   0   0  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   70  37  68  43 /   0   0   0  10
SEARCY AR         63  33  64  45 /   0   0   0  10
STUTTGART AR      61  34  64  46 /   0   0   0  10
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...51







000
FXUS64 KLZK 280541
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1141 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

.AVIATION...
VFR FLIGHT CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. WINDS
WILL BE LIGHT FROM THE SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT AS THE HIGH PRESSURE
MOVES EAST. WINDS ACROSS THE NORTH WILL BECOME 10 TO 20 MPH AND
GUSTY ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AHEAD OF WEAK FRONT THAT WILL APPROACH
ARKANSAS LATER ON WEDNESDAY. WINDS OVER THE REST OF ARKANSAS ON
WEDNESDAY WILL BE LIGHT IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOME 5 TO 15 THROUGH
THE DAY.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 840 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015/

DISCUSSION...

OVERALL FORECAST ON TRACK. CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH
LOWS AROUND NORMAL IN THE EAST...TO ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS IN THE WEST.
NW UPPER FLOW IS INTO AR WITH THE UPPER RIDGE BUILT OVER THE WESTERN
PLAINS AND THE DEEP UPPER TROUGH WAS OVER THE EASTERN SEA BOARD. AT
THIS TIME LITTLE MOISTURE IS SEEN UPSTREAM. STILL EXPECTING A COLD
FRONT LATE WEDNESDAY TO THURSDAY...BUT WITH LIMITED MOISTURE...ONLY
EXPECT A WIND SHIFT TO THE NW TO N AND COLDER AIR FILTERS IN OVER
THE REGION. LATE EVENING UPDATE WILL ONLY FINE TUNE A FEW ELEMENTS
WITH NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES. (59)

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 502 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015/

AVIATION...
WINDS WILL GRADUALLY BECOME LIGHT FROM THE SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT AS
HIGH PRESSURE MOVES EAST. WINDS ACROSS THE NORTH WILL BECOME GUSTY
AHEAD OF WEAK FRONT THAT WILL APPROACH DURING THE AFTERNOON
WEDNESDAY.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 245 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015/

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT

SFC HIGH PRES CONTD TO SLOLY SHIFT EWD TODAY WITH THE AXIS SITUATED
OVR ERN AR AT MID AFTN. THE AIRMASS MODIFIED QUITE NICELY OVR WRN
AND CNTRL AR WHERE MID AFTN TEMPS WERE IN THE 60S AND LOWER 70S. THE
COLDER AIR ASSOCD WITH THE HIGH WAS LINGERING OVR ERN AR WHERE
READINGS WERE STILL IN THE 50S.

THE AFOREMENTIONED HIGH PRES RDG WL CONT TO SHIFT EWD TNGT AND WED.
THIS WL ALLOW FOR S/SELY WINDS TO RETURN TO THE ENTIRE FA HEADING
INTO WED. LOOKING FOR ANOTHER WARM DAY ON WED WITH HIGHS AGAIN IN
THE 60S AND LOWER 70S.

MODELS CONT TO INDC A QUICK MOVG CDFNT WL DROP SWD THRU AR LATE WED
NGT AND ON THU. MID AND HIGH LVL CLOUDS WL INCRS AHEAD OF THIS
FEATURE. LOW LVL MOISTURE STILL LACKING WITH FROPA...SO WL CONT TO
KEEP A DRY FCST DURG THIS TIMEFRAME. HIGH PRES WL BRING A
REINFORCING SHOT OF COOLER AND DRIER AIR FOR FRI. THE NEXT CHC FOR
ANY ORGANIZED PRECIP WL RETURN TO WRN AR LATE FRI NGT...WITH BETTER
CHCS HEADING INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.

LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

LONG TERM BEGINS WITH HIGH PRESSURE DEPARTING TO THE EAST AND
PRECIPITATION ON OUR DOORSTEP TO THE WEST. SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WILL
TRACK TOWARDS THE STATE THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND BRING PRECIPITATION
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. MODELS DID TEND TO COME BACK A BIT WARMER
THIS MORNING AND AS A RESULT DID BUMP TEMPS UP A DEGREE OR TWO.
HOWEVER THIS DOES STILL KEEP WINTRY PRECIPITATION IN THE FORECAST
SATURDAY MORNING AND AGAIN SUNDAY AFTERNOON. CURRENT FORECAST HAS
TEMPS STAYING STEADY OR EVEN WARMING DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS
SATURDAY NIGHT WITH THE COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE STATE EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING. THIS WOULD RESULT IN SFC TEMPS FALLING THROUGH THE
DAY ON SUNDAY AND THE RETURN OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION CHANCES.
AGAIN...THIS SYSTEM IS STILL FAIRLY FAR OUT...AND WITH THE TIMING OF
THE FRONT LIKELY TO CHANGE...IT WOULD GREATLY EFFECT THE PRECIP TYPE
FORECAST. PLEASE CONTINUE TO MONITOR FORECAST UPDATES IN THE COMING
DAYS.

BEHIND THIS SYSTEM...HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION FOR THE
NEW WORK WEEK. THIS RESULTS IN DRY WEATHER AND SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES TO CLOSE OUT THE LONG TERM.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     63  33  61  45 /   0   0   0  10
CAMDEN AR         73  36  72  47 /   0   0   0   0
HARRISON AR       63  36  68  44 /   0   0   0   0
HOT SPRINGS AR    72  38  69  47 /   0   0   0  10
LITTLE ROCK   AR  67  35  67  46 /   0   0   0  10
MONTICELLO AR     67  37  68  49 /   0   0   0   0
MOUNT IDA AR      73  36  70  47 /   0   0   0  10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  58  35  65  42 /   0   0   0  10
NEWPORT AR        56  33  62  45 /   0   0   0  10
PINE BLUFF AR     61  36  67  47 /   0   0   0  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   70  37  68  43 /   0   0   0  10
SEARCY AR         63  33  64  45 /   0   0   0  10
STUTTGART AR      61  34  64  46 /   0   0   0  10
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...51






000
FXUS64 KLZK 280237 AAB
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
840 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

.DISCUSSION...

OVERALL FORECAST ON TRACK. CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH
LOWS AROUND NORMAL IN THE EAST...TO ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS IN THE WEST.
NW UPPER FLOW IS INTO AR WITH THE UPPER RIDGE BUILT OVER THE WESTERN
PLAINS AND THE DEEP UPPER TROUGH WAS OVER THE EASTERN SEA BOARD. AT
THIS TIME LITTLE MOISTURE IS SEEN UPSTREAM. STILL EXPECTING A COLD
FRONT LATE WEDNESDAY TO THURSDAY...BUT WITH LIMITED MOISTURE...ONLY
EXPECT A WIND SHIFT TO THE NW TO N AND COLDER AIR FILTERS IN OVER
THE REGION. LATE EVENING UPDATE WILL ONLY FINE TUNE A FEW ELEMENTS
WITH NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES. (59)

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 502 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015/

.AVIATION...
WINDS WILL GRADUALLY BECOME LIGHT FROM THE SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT AS
HIGH PRESSURE MOVES EAST. WINDS ACROSS THE NORTH WILL BECOME GUSTY
AHEAD OF WEAK FRONT THAT WILL APPROACH DURING THE AFTERNOON
WEDNESDAY.
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 245 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015/

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT

SFC HIGH PRES CONTD TO SLOLY SHIFT EWD TODAY WITH THE AXIS SITUATED
OVR ERN AR AT MID AFTN. THE AIRMASS MODIFIED QUITE NICELY OVR WRN
AND CNTRL AR WHERE MID AFTN TEMPS WERE IN THE 60S AND LOWER 70S. THE
COLDER AIR ASSOCD WITH THE HIGH WAS LINGERING OVR ERN AR WHERE
READINGS WERE STILL IN THE 50S.

THE AFOREMENTIONED HIGH PRES RDG WL CONT TO SHIFT EWD TNGT AND WED.
THIS WL ALLOW FOR S/SELY WINDS TO RETURN TO THE ENTIRE FA HEADING
INTO WED. LOOKING FOR ANOTHER WARM DAY ON WED WITH HIGHS AGAIN IN
THE 60S AND LOWER 70S.

MODELS CONT TO INDC A QUICK MOVG CDFNT WL DROP SWD THRU AR LATE WED
NGT AND ON THU. MID AND HIGH LVL CLOUDS WL INCRS AHEAD OF THIS
FEATURE. LOW LVL MOISTURE STILL LACKING WITH FROPA...SO WL CONT TO
KEEP A DRY FCST DURG THIS TIMEFRAME. HIGH PRES WL BRING A
REINFORCING SHOT OF COOLER AND DRIER AIR FOR FRI. THE NEXT CHC FOR
ANY ORGANIZED PRECIP WL RETURN TO WRN AR LATE FRI NGT...WITH BETTER
CHCS HEADING INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.

LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

LONG TERM BEGINS WITH HIGH PRESSURE DEPARTING TO THE EAST AND
PRECIPITATION ON OUR DOORSTEP TO THE WEST. SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WILL
TRACK TOWARDS THE STATE THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND BRING PRECIPITATION
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. MODELS DID TEND TO COME BACK A BIT WARMER
THIS MORNING AND AS A RESULT DID BUMP TEMPS UP A DEGREE OR TWO.
HOWEVER THIS DOES STILL KEEP WINTRY PRECIPITATION IN THE FORECAST
SATURDAY MORNING AND AGAIN SUNDAY AFTERNOON. CURRENT FORECAST HAS
TEMPS STAYING STEADY OR EVEN WARMING DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS
SATURDAY NIGHT WITH THE COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE STATE EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING. THIS WOULD RESULT IN SFC TEMPS FALLING THROUGH THE
DAY ON SUNDAY AND THE RETURN OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION CHANCES.
AGAIN...THIS SYSTEM IS STILL FAIRLY FAR OUT...AND WITH THE TIMING OF
THE FRONT LIKELY TO CHANGE...IT WOULD GREATLY EFFECT THE PRECIP TYPE
FORECAST. PLEASE CONTINUE TO MONITOR FORECAST UPDATES IN THE COMING
DAYS.

BEHIND THIS SYSTEM...HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION FOR THE
NEW WORK WEEK. THIS RESULTS IN DRY WEATHER AND SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES TO CLOSE OUT THE LONG TERM.
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...58









000
FXUS64 KLZK 280237 AAB
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
840 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

.DISCUSSION...

OVERALL FORECAST ON TRACK. CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH
LOWS AROUND NORMAL IN THE EAST...TO ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS IN THE WEST.
NW UPPER FLOW IS INTO AR WITH THE UPPER RIDGE BUILT OVER THE WESTERN
PLAINS AND THE DEEP UPPER TROUGH WAS OVER THE EASTERN SEA BOARD. AT
THIS TIME LITTLE MOISTURE IS SEEN UPSTREAM. STILL EXPECTING A COLD
FRONT LATE WEDNESDAY TO THURSDAY...BUT WITH LIMITED MOISTURE...ONLY
EXPECT A WIND SHIFT TO THE NW TO N AND COLDER AIR FILTERS IN OVER
THE REGION. LATE EVENING UPDATE WILL ONLY FINE TUNE A FEW ELEMENTS
WITH NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES. (59)

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 502 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015/

.AVIATION...
WINDS WILL GRADUALLY BECOME LIGHT FROM THE SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT AS
HIGH PRESSURE MOVES EAST. WINDS ACROSS THE NORTH WILL BECOME GUSTY
AHEAD OF WEAK FRONT THAT WILL APPROACH DURING THE AFTERNOON
WEDNESDAY.
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 245 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015/

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT

SFC HIGH PRES CONTD TO SLOLY SHIFT EWD TODAY WITH THE AXIS SITUATED
OVR ERN AR AT MID AFTN. THE AIRMASS MODIFIED QUITE NICELY OVR WRN
AND CNTRL AR WHERE MID AFTN TEMPS WERE IN THE 60S AND LOWER 70S. THE
COLDER AIR ASSOCD WITH THE HIGH WAS LINGERING OVR ERN AR WHERE
READINGS WERE STILL IN THE 50S.

THE AFOREMENTIONED HIGH PRES RDG WL CONT TO SHIFT EWD TNGT AND WED.
THIS WL ALLOW FOR S/SELY WINDS TO RETURN TO THE ENTIRE FA HEADING
INTO WED. LOOKING FOR ANOTHER WARM DAY ON WED WITH HIGHS AGAIN IN
THE 60S AND LOWER 70S.

MODELS CONT TO INDC A QUICK MOVG CDFNT WL DROP SWD THRU AR LATE WED
NGT AND ON THU. MID AND HIGH LVL CLOUDS WL INCRS AHEAD OF THIS
FEATURE. LOW LVL MOISTURE STILL LACKING WITH FROPA...SO WL CONT TO
KEEP A DRY FCST DURG THIS TIMEFRAME. HIGH PRES WL BRING A
REINFORCING SHOT OF COOLER AND DRIER AIR FOR FRI. THE NEXT CHC FOR
ANY ORGANIZED PRECIP WL RETURN TO WRN AR LATE FRI NGT...WITH BETTER
CHCS HEADING INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.

LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

LONG TERM BEGINS WITH HIGH PRESSURE DEPARTING TO THE EAST AND
PRECIPITATION ON OUR DOORSTEP TO THE WEST. SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WILL
TRACK TOWARDS THE STATE THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND BRING PRECIPITATION
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. MODELS DID TEND TO COME BACK A BIT WARMER
THIS MORNING AND AS A RESULT DID BUMP TEMPS UP A DEGREE OR TWO.
HOWEVER THIS DOES STILL KEEP WINTRY PRECIPITATION IN THE FORECAST
SATURDAY MORNING AND AGAIN SUNDAY AFTERNOON. CURRENT FORECAST HAS
TEMPS STAYING STEADY OR EVEN WARMING DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS
SATURDAY NIGHT WITH THE COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE STATE EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING. THIS WOULD RESULT IN SFC TEMPS FALLING THROUGH THE
DAY ON SUNDAY AND THE RETURN OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION CHANCES.
AGAIN...THIS SYSTEM IS STILL FAIRLY FAR OUT...AND WITH THE TIMING OF
THE FRONT LIKELY TO CHANGE...IT WOULD GREATLY EFFECT THE PRECIP TYPE
FORECAST. PLEASE CONTINUE TO MONITOR FORECAST UPDATES IN THE COMING
DAYS.

BEHIND THIS SYSTEM...HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION FOR THE
NEW WORK WEEK. THIS RESULTS IN DRY WEATHER AND SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES TO CLOSE OUT THE LONG TERM.
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...58








000
FXUS64 KLZK 280237 AAB
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
840 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

.DISCUSSION...

OVERALL FORECAST ON TRACK. CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH
LOWS AROUND NORMAL IN THE EAST...TO ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS IN THE WEST.
NW UPPER FLOW IS INTO AR WITH THE UPPER RIDGE BUILT OVER THE WESTERN
PLAINS AND THE DEEP UPPER TROUGH WAS OVER THE EASTERN SEA BOARD. AT
THIS TIME LITTLE MOISTURE IS SEEN UPSTREAM. STILL EXPECTING A COLD
FRONT LATE WEDNESDAY TO THURSDAY...BUT WITH LIMITED MOISTURE...ONLY
EXPECT A WIND SHIFT TO THE NW TO N AND COLDER AIR FILTERS IN OVER
THE REGION. LATE EVENING UPDATE WILL ONLY FINE TUNE A FEW ELEMENTS
WITH NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES. (59)

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 502 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015/

.AVIATION...
WINDS WILL GRADUALLY BECOME LIGHT FROM THE SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT AS
HIGH PRESSURE MOVES EAST. WINDS ACROSS THE NORTH WILL BECOME GUSTY
AHEAD OF WEAK FRONT THAT WILL APPROACH DURING THE AFTERNOON
WEDNESDAY.
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 245 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015/

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT

SFC HIGH PRES CONTD TO SLOLY SHIFT EWD TODAY WITH THE AXIS SITUATED
OVR ERN AR AT MID AFTN. THE AIRMASS MODIFIED QUITE NICELY OVR WRN
AND CNTRL AR WHERE MID AFTN TEMPS WERE IN THE 60S AND LOWER 70S. THE
COLDER AIR ASSOCD WITH THE HIGH WAS LINGERING OVR ERN AR WHERE
READINGS WERE STILL IN THE 50S.

THE AFOREMENTIONED HIGH PRES RDG WL CONT TO SHIFT EWD TNGT AND WED.
THIS WL ALLOW FOR S/SELY WINDS TO RETURN TO THE ENTIRE FA HEADING
INTO WED. LOOKING FOR ANOTHER WARM DAY ON WED WITH HIGHS AGAIN IN
THE 60S AND LOWER 70S.

MODELS CONT TO INDC A QUICK MOVG CDFNT WL DROP SWD THRU AR LATE WED
NGT AND ON THU. MID AND HIGH LVL CLOUDS WL INCRS AHEAD OF THIS
FEATURE. LOW LVL MOISTURE STILL LACKING WITH FROPA...SO WL CONT TO
KEEP A DRY FCST DURG THIS TIMEFRAME. HIGH PRES WL BRING A
REINFORCING SHOT OF COOLER AND DRIER AIR FOR FRI. THE NEXT CHC FOR
ANY ORGANIZED PRECIP WL RETURN TO WRN AR LATE FRI NGT...WITH BETTER
CHCS HEADING INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.

LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

LONG TERM BEGINS WITH HIGH PRESSURE DEPARTING TO THE EAST AND
PRECIPITATION ON OUR DOORSTEP TO THE WEST. SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WILL
TRACK TOWARDS THE STATE THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND BRING PRECIPITATION
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. MODELS DID TEND TO COME BACK A BIT WARMER
THIS MORNING AND AS A RESULT DID BUMP TEMPS UP A DEGREE OR TWO.
HOWEVER THIS DOES STILL KEEP WINTRY PRECIPITATION IN THE FORECAST
SATURDAY MORNING AND AGAIN SUNDAY AFTERNOON. CURRENT FORECAST HAS
TEMPS STAYING STEADY OR EVEN WARMING DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS
SATURDAY NIGHT WITH THE COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE STATE EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING. THIS WOULD RESULT IN SFC TEMPS FALLING THROUGH THE
DAY ON SUNDAY AND THE RETURN OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION CHANCES.
AGAIN...THIS SYSTEM IS STILL FAIRLY FAR OUT...AND WITH THE TIMING OF
THE FRONT LIKELY TO CHANGE...IT WOULD GREATLY EFFECT THE PRECIP TYPE
FORECAST. PLEASE CONTINUE TO MONITOR FORECAST UPDATES IN THE COMING
DAYS.

BEHIND THIS SYSTEM...HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION FOR THE
NEW WORK WEEK. THIS RESULTS IN DRY WEATHER AND SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES TO CLOSE OUT THE LONG TERM.
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...58








000
FXUS64 KLZK 280237 AAB
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
840 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

.DISCUSSION...

OVERALL FORECAST ON TRACK. CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH
LOWS AROUND NORMAL IN THE EAST...TO ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS IN THE WEST.
NW UPPER FLOW IS INTO AR WITH THE UPPER RIDGE BUILT OVER THE WESTERN
PLAINS AND THE DEEP UPPER TROUGH WAS OVER THE EASTERN SEA BOARD. AT
THIS TIME LITTLE MOISTURE IS SEEN UPSTREAM. STILL EXPECTING A COLD
FRONT LATE WEDNESDAY TO THURSDAY...BUT WITH LIMITED MOISTURE...ONLY
EXPECT A WIND SHIFT TO THE NW TO N AND COLDER AIR FILTERS IN OVER
THE REGION. LATE EVENING UPDATE WILL ONLY FINE TUNE A FEW ELEMENTS
WITH NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES. (59)

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 502 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015/

.AVIATION...
WINDS WILL GRADUALLY BECOME LIGHT FROM THE SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT AS
HIGH PRESSURE MOVES EAST. WINDS ACROSS THE NORTH WILL BECOME GUSTY
AHEAD OF WEAK FRONT THAT WILL APPROACH DURING THE AFTERNOON
WEDNESDAY.
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 245 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015/

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT

SFC HIGH PRES CONTD TO SLOLY SHIFT EWD TODAY WITH THE AXIS SITUATED
OVR ERN AR AT MID AFTN. THE AIRMASS MODIFIED QUITE NICELY OVR WRN
AND CNTRL AR WHERE MID AFTN TEMPS WERE IN THE 60S AND LOWER 70S. THE
COLDER AIR ASSOCD WITH THE HIGH WAS LINGERING OVR ERN AR WHERE
READINGS WERE STILL IN THE 50S.

THE AFOREMENTIONED HIGH PRES RDG WL CONT TO SHIFT EWD TNGT AND WED.
THIS WL ALLOW FOR S/SELY WINDS TO RETURN TO THE ENTIRE FA HEADING
INTO WED. LOOKING FOR ANOTHER WARM DAY ON WED WITH HIGHS AGAIN IN
THE 60S AND LOWER 70S.

MODELS CONT TO INDC A QUICK MOVG CDFNT WL DROP SWD THRU AR LATE WED
NGT AND ON THU. MID AND HIGH LVL CLOUDS WL INCRS AHEAD OF THIS
FEATURE. LOW LVL MOISTURE STILL LACKING WITH FROPA...SO WL CONT TO
KEEP A DRY FCST DURG THIS TIMEFRAME. HIGH PRES WL BRING A
REINFORCING SHOT OF COOLER AND DRIER AIR FOR FRI. THE NEXT CHC FOR
ANY ORGANIZED PRECIP WL RETURN TO WRN AR LATE FRI NGT...WITH BETTER
CHCS HEADING INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.

LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

LONG TERM BEGINS WITH HIGH PRESSURE DEPARTING TO THE EAST AND
PRECIPITATION ON OUR DOORSTEP TO THE WEST. SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WILL
TRACK TOWARDS THE STATE THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND BRING PRECIPITATION
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. MODELS DID TEND TO COME BACK A BIT WARMER
THIS MORNING AND AS A RESULT DID BUMP TEMPS UP A DEGREE OR TWO.
HOWEVER THIS DOES STILL KEEP WINTRY PRECIPITATION IN THE FORECAST
SATURDAY MORNING AND AGAIN SUNDAY AFTERNOON. CURRENT FORECAST HAS
TEMPS STAYING STEADY OR EVEN WARMING DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS
SATURDAY NIGHT WITH THE COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE STATE EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING. THIS WOULD RESULT IN SFC TEMPS FALLING THROUGH THE
DAY ON SUNDAY AND THE RETURN OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION CHANCES.
AGAIN...THIS SYSTEM IS STILL FAIRLY FAR OUT...AND WITH THE TIMING OF
THE FRONT LIKELY TO CHANGE...IT WOULD GREATLY EFFECT THE PRECIP TYPE
FORECAST. PLEASE CONTINUE TO MONITOR FORECAST UPDATES IN THE COMING
DAYS.

BEHIND THIS SYSTEM...HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION FOR THE
NEW WORK WEEK. THIS RESULTS IN DRY WEATHER AND SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES TO CLOSE OUT THE LONG TERM.
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...58









000
FXUS64 KLZK 272302 AAA
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
502 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

.AVIATION...
WINDS WILL GRADUALLY BECOME LIGHT FROM THE SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT AS
HIGH PRESSURE MOVES EAST. WINDS ACROSS THE NORTH WILL BECOME GUSTY
AHEAD OF WEAK FRONT THAT WILL APPROACH DURING THE AFTERNOON
WEDNESDAY.
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 245 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015/

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT

SFC HIGH PRES CONTD TO SLOLY SHIFT EWD TODAY WITH THE AXIS SITUATED
OVR ERN AR AT MID AFTN. THE AIRMASS MODIFIED QUITE NICELY OVR WRN
AND CNTRL AR WHERE MID AFTN TEMPS WERE IN THE 60S AND LOWER 70S. THE
COLDER AIR ASSOCD WITH THE HIGH WAS LINGERING OVR ERN AR WHERE
READINGS WERE STILL IN THE 50S.

THE AFOREMENTIONED HIGH PRES RDG WL CONT TO SHIFT EWD TNGT AND WED.
THIS WL ALLOW FOR S/SELY WINDS TO RETURN TO THE ENTIRE FA HEADING
INTO WED. LOOKING FOR ANOTHER WARM DAY ON WED WITH HIGHS AGAIN IN
THE 60S AND LOWER 70S.

MODELS CONT TO INDC A QUICK MOVG CDFNT WL DROP SWD THRU AR LATE WED
NGT AND ON THU. MID AND HIGH LVL CLOUDS WL INCRS AHEAD OF THIS
FEATURE. LOW LVL MOISTURE STILL LACKING WITH FROPA...SO WL CONT TO
KEEP A DRY FCST DURG THIS TIMEFRAME. HIGH PRES WL BRING A
REINFORCING SHOT OF COOLER AND DRIER AIR FOR FRI. THE NEXT CHC FOR
ANY ORGANIZED PRECIP WL RETURN TO WRN AR LATE FRI NGT...WITH BETTER
CHCS HEADING INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.

LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

LONG TERM BEGINS WITH HIGH PRESSURE DEPARTING TO THE EAST AND
PRECIPITATION ON OUR DOORSTEP TO THE WEST. SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WILL
TRACK TOWARDS THE STATE THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND BRING PRECIPITATION
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. MODELS DID TEND TO COME BACK A BIT WARMER
THIS MORNING AND AS A RESULT DID BUMP TEMPS UP A DEGREE OR TWO.
HOWEVER THIS DOES STILL KEEP WINTRY PRECIPITATION IN THE FORECAST
SATURDAY MORNING AND AGAIN SUNDAY AFTERNOON. CURRENT FORECAST HAS
TEMPS STAYING STEADY OR EVEN WARMING DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS
SATURDAY NIGHT WITH THE COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE STATE EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING. THIS WOULD RESULT IN SFC TEMPS FALLING THROUGH THE
DAY ON SUNDAY AND THE RETURN OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION CHANCES.
AGAIN...THIS SYSTEM IS STILL FAIRLY FAR OUT...AND WITH THE TIMING OF
THE FRONT LIKELY TO CHANGE...IT WOULD GREATLY EFFECT THE PRECIP TYPE
FORECAST. PLEASE CONTINUE TO MONITOR FORECAST UPDATES IN THE COMING
DAYS.

BEHIND THIS SYSTEM...HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION FOR THE
NEW WORK WEEK. THIS RESULTS IN DRY WEATHER AND SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES TO CLOSE OUT THE LONG TERM.
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...58





000
FXUS64 KLZK 272046
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
245 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT

SFC HIGH PRES CONTD TO SLOLY SHIFT EWD TODAY WITH THE AXIS SITUATED
OVR ERN AR AT MID AFTN. THE AIRMASS MODIFIED QUITE NICELY OVR WRN
AND CNTRL AR WHERE MID AFTN TEMPS WERE IN THE 60S AND LOWER 70S. THE
COLDER AIR ASSOCD WITH THE HIGH WAS LINGERING OVR ERN AR WHERE
READINGS WERE STILL IN THE 50S.

THE AFOREMENTIONED HIGH PRES RDG WL CONT TO SHIFT EWD TNGT AND WED.
THIS WL ALLOW FOR S/SELY WINDS TO RETURN TO THE ENTIRE FA HEADING
INTO WED. LOOKING FOR ANOTHER WARM DAY ON WED WITH HIGHS AGAIN IN
THE 60S AND LOWER 70S.

MODELS CONT TO INDC A QUICK MOVG CDFNT WL DROP SWD THRU AR LATE WED
NGT AND ON THU. MID AND HIGH LVL CLOUDS WL INCRS AHEAD OF THIS
FEATURE. LOW LVL MOISTURE STILL LACKING WITH FROPA...SO WL CONT TO
KEEP A DRY FCST DURG THIS TIMEFRAME. HIGH PRES WL BRING A
REINFORCING SHOT OF COOLER AND DRIER AIR FOR FRI. THE NEXT CHC FOR
ANY ORGANIZED PRECIP WL RETURN TO WRN AR LATE FRI NGT...WITH BETTER
CHCS HEADING INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.
&&

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

LONG TERM BEGINS WITH HIGH PRESSURE DEPARTING TO THE EAST AND
PRECIPITATION ON OUR DOORSTEP TO THE WEST. SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WILL
TRACK TOWARDS THE STATE THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND BRING PRECIPITATION
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. MODELS DID TEND TO COME BACK A BIT WARMER
THIS MORNING AND AS A RESULT DID BUMP TEMPS UP A DEGREE OR TWO.
HOWEVER THIS DOES STILL KEEP WINTRY PRECIPITATION IN THE FORECAST
SATURDAY MORNING AND AGAIN SUNDAY AFTERNOON. CURRENT FORECAST HAS
TEMPS STAYING STEADY OR EVEN WARMING DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS
SATURDAY NIGHT WITH THE COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE STATE EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING. THIS WOULD RESULT IN SFC TEMPS FALLING THROUGH THE
DAY ON SUNDAY AND THE RETURN OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION CHANCES.
AGAIN...THIS SYSTEM IS STILL FAIRLY FAR OUT...AND WITH THE TIMING OF
THE FRONT LIKELY TO CHANGE...IT WOULD GREATLY EFFECT THE PRECIP TYPE
FORECAST. PLEASE CONTINUE TO MONITOR FORECAST UPDATES IN THE COMING
DAYS.

BEHIND THIS SYSTEM...HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION FOR THE
NEW WORK WEEK. THIS RESULTS IN DRY WEATHER AND SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES TO CLOSE OUT THE LONG TERM.
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...44 / LONG TERM...65








000
FXUS64 KLZK 272046
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
245 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT

SFC HIGH PRES CONTD TO SLOLY SHIFT EWD TODAY WITH THE AXIS SITUATED
OVR ERN AR AT MID AFTN. THE AIRMASS MODIFIED QUITE NICELY OVR WRN
AND CNTRL AR WHERE MID AFTN TEMPS WERE IN THE 60S AND LOWER 70S. THE
COLDER AIR ASSOCD WITH THE HIGH WAS LINGERING OVR ERN AR WHERE
READINGS WERE STILL IN THE 50S.

THE AFOREMENTIONED HIGH PRES RDG WL CONT TO SHIFT EWD TNGT AND WED.
THIS WL ALLOW FOR S/SELY WINDS TO RETURN TO THE ENTIRE FA HEADING
INTO WED. LOOKING FOR ANOTHER WARM DAY ON WED WITH HIGHS AGAIN IN
THE 60S AND LOWER 70S.

MODELS CONT TO INDC A QUICK MOVG CDFNT WL DROP SWD THRU AR LATE WED
NGT AND ON THU. MID AND HIGH LVL CLOUDS WL INCRS AHEAD OF THIS
FEATURE. LOW LVL MOISTURE STILL LACKING WITH FROPA...SO WL CONT TO
KEEP A DRY FCST DURG THIS TIMEFRAME. HIGH PRES WL BRING A
REINFORCING SHOT OF COOLER AND DRIER AIR FOR FRI. THE NEXT CHC FOR
ANY ORGANIZED PRECIP WL RETURN TO WRN AR LATE FRI NGT...WITH BETTER
CHCS HEADING INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.
&&

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

LONG TERM BEGINS WITH HIGH PRESSURE DEPARTING TO THE EAST AND
PRECIPITATION ON OUR DOORSTEP TO THE WEST. SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WILL
TRACK TOWARDS THE STATE THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND BRING PRECIPITATION
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. MODELS DID TEND TO COME BACK A BIT WARMER
THIS MORNING AND AS A RESULT DID BUMP TEMPS UP A DEGREE OR TWO.
HOWEVER THIS DOES STILL KEEP WINTRY PRECIPITATION IN THE FORECAST
SATURDAY MORNING AND AGAIN SUNDAY AFTERNOON. CURRENT FORECAST HAS
TEMPS STAYING STEADY OR EVEN WARMING DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS
SATURDAY NIGHT WITH THE COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE STATE EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING. THIS WOULD RESULT IN SFC TEMPS FALLING THROUGH THE
DAY ON SUNDAY AND THE RETURN OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION CHANCES.
AGAIN...THIS SYSTEM IS STILL FAIRLY FAR OUT...AND WITH THE TIMING OF
THE FRONT LIKELY TO CHANGE...IT WOULD GREATLY EFFECT THE PRECIP TYPE
FORECAST. PLEASE CONTINUE TO MONITOR FORECAST UPDATES IN THE COMING
DAYS.

BEHIND THIS SYSTEM...HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION FOR THE
NEW WORK WEEK. THIS RESULTS IN DRY WEATHER AND SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES TO CLOSE OUT THE LONG TERM.
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...44 / LONG TERM...65







000
FXUS64 KLZK 271810
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1210 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

.AVIATION...

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD WITH LIGHT
WINDS TODAY SHIFTING OUT OF THE SOUTH BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. WINDS
WILL ONCE AGAIN BE A BIT STRONG ON WEDNESDAY...GENERALLY ACROSS
NORTHERN ARKANSAS.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 449 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2015/

AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 217 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2015/

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY

WINDS HAVE SWITCHED BACK TO THE NW THIS MORNING AS A VERY WEAK FRONT
WAS DROPPING SOUTH INTO THE STATE. NOT MUCH IMPACT WILL BE SEEN FROM
THIS FRONT OTHER THAN THE WIND SHIFT...WITH MILD TEMPS EXPECTED ONCE
AGAIN FOR THIS TUE AFTERNOON. EXPECT HIGH TEMPS IN THE 50S AND
60S...THOUGH SOME LOCATIONS ACROSS THE FAR WEST COULD SEE TEMPS
AROUND 70. A MOSTLY CLEAR SKY WILL CONTINUE.

SRLY FLOW WILL RETURN FOR WED...THOUGH SOME INCREASED CLOUDINESS
WILL BE SEEN. EVEN SO...EXPECT TEMPS TO BE WARMER THAN TODAY...WITH
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOW 70S...WITH THE WARMEST TEMPS ACROSS THE
FAR WEST.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE STATE ON THU...WITH MAINLY INCREASED
CLOUDS AND A NWRLY WIND THE MAIN IMPACTS. MOISTURE LEVELS LOOK
LIMITED ENOUGH TO KEEP THE FORECAST DRY. HOWEVER...THERE COULD BE
SOME SPRINKLES OR LIGHT RAIN ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT THU
AFTERNOON. WILL ONLY CARRY SILENT POPS HOWEVER DUE TO THE LOW
CONFIDENCE OF PRECIP AND LOW MOISTURE LEVELS.

MUCH COOLER CONDITIONS WILL BE SEEN FOR FRI AS NRLY FLOW USHERS IN
COOLER AND DRIER AIR. TEMPS SHOULD DROP BELOW NORMAL...WITH HIGHS IN
THE MID 40S TO MID 50S. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR SEEING PRECIP WILL COME
VERY LATE FRI NIGHT AND MORE LIKELY OVER THE WEEKEND.

LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY

A SURFACE AND UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE AREA ON SATURDAY
AND SUNDAY...WITH PRECIPITATION BECOMING FAIRLY WIDESPREAD.
INDICATIONS ARE THAT THERE WILL BE SOME FORM OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION
OVER PORTIONS OF THE AREA. HOWEVER...THIS CONTINUES TO BE A LOW-
CONFIDENCE FORECAST DUE TO CONTINUED MODEL PERFORMANCE ISSUES IN THE
EXTENDED RANGE.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL PUSH IN TO THE REGION LATE SUNDAY...WITH ANY
LINGERING PRECIPITATION COMING TO AN END. TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE
PERIOD WILL RANGE BELOW SEASONAL AVERAGES.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     59  33  59  45 /   0   0  10  10
CAMDEN AR         69  40  71  51 /   0   0  10  10
HARRISON AR       61  36  65  43 /   0   0  10  10
HOT SPRINGS AR    68  39  68  49 /   0   0  10  10
LITTLE ROCK   AR  65  36  65  48 /   0   0  10  10
MONTICELLO AR     65  38  67  50 /   0   0  10  10
MOUNT IDA AR      70  39  69  49 /   0   0  10  10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  60  34  61  44 /   0   0  10  10
NEWPORT AR        59  33  60  44 /   0   0  10  10
PINE BLUFF AR     64  36  66  48 /   0   0  10  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   66  37  67  45 /   0   0  10  10
SEARCY AR         61  32  61  45 /   0   0  10  10
STUTTGART AR      62  35  63  46 /   0   0  10  10
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...65







000
FXUS64 KLZK 271810
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1210 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

.AVIATION...

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD WITH LIGHT
WINDS TODAY SHIFTING OUT OF THE SOUTH BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. WINDS
WILL ONCE AGAIN BE A BIT STRONG ON WEDNESDAY...GENERALLY ACROSS
NORTHERN ARKANSAS.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 449 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2015/

AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 217 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2015/

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY

WINDS HAVE SWITCHED BACK TO THE NW THIS MORNING AS A VERY WEAK FRONT
WAS DROPPING SOUTH INTO THE STATE. NOT MUCH IMPACT WILL BE SEEN FROM
THIS FRONT OTHER THAN THE WIND SHIFT...WITH MILD TEMPS EXPECTED ONCE
AGAIN FOR THIS TUE AFTERNOON. EXPECT HIGH TEMPS IN THE 50S AND
60S...THOUGH SOME LOCATIONS ACROSS THE FAR WEST COULD SEE TEMPS
AROUND 70. A MOSTLY CLEAR SKY WILL CONTINUE.

SRLY FLOW WILL RETURN FOR WED...THOUGH SOME INCREASED CLOUDINESS
WILL BE SEEN. EVEN SO...EXPECT TEMPS TO BE WARMER THAN TODAY...WITH
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOW 70S...WITH THE WARMEST TEMPS ACROSS THE
FAR WEST.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE STATE ON THU...WITH MAINLY INCREASED
CLOUDS AND A NWRLY WIND THE MAIN IMPACTS. MOISTURE LEVELS LOOK
LIMITED ENOUGH TO KEEP THE FORECAST DRY. HOWEVER...THERE COULD BE
SOME SPRINKLES OR LIGHT RAIN ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT THU
AFTERNOON. WILL ONLY CARRY SILENT POPS HOWEVER DUE TO THE LOW
CONFIDENCE OF PRECIP AND LOW MOISTURE LEVELS.

MUCH COOLER CONDITIONS WILL BE SEEN FOR FRI AS NRLY FLOW USHERS IN
COOLER AND DRIER AIR. TEMPS SHOULD DROP BELOW NORMAL...WITH HIGHS IN
THE MID 40S TO MID 50S. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR SEEING PRECIP WILL COME
VERY LATE FRI NIGHT AND MORE LIKELY OVER THE WEEKEND.

LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY

A SURFACE AND UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE AREA ON SATURDAY
AND SUNDAY...WITH PRECIPITATION BECOMING FAIRLY WIDESPREAD.
INDICATIONS ARE THAT THERE WILL BE SOME FORM OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION
OVER PORTIONS OF THE AREA. HOWEVER...THIS CONTINUES TO BE A LOW-
CONFIDENCE FORECAST DUE TO CONTINUED MODEL PERFORMANCE ISSUES IN THE
EXTENDED RANGE.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL PUSH IN TO THE REGION LATE SUNDAY...WITH ANY
LINGERING PRECIPITATION COMING TO AN END. TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE
PERIOD WILL RANGE BELOW SEASONAL AVERAGES.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     59  33  59  45 /   0   0  10  10
CAMDEN AR         69  40  71  51 /   0   0  10  10
HARRISON AR       61  36  65  43 /   0   0  10  10
HOT SPRINGS AR    68  39  68  49 /   0   0  10  10
LITTLE ROCK   AR  65  36  65  48 /   0   0  10  10
MONTICELLO AR     65  38  67  50 /   0   0  10  10
MOUNT IDA AR      70  39  69  49 /   0   0  10  10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  60  34  61  44 /   0   0  10  10
NEWPORT AR        59  33  60  44 /   0   0  10  10
PINE BLUFF AR     64  36  66  48 /   0   0  10  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   66  37  67  45 /   0   0  10  10
SEARCY AR         61  32  61  45 /   0   0  10  10
STUTTGART AR      62  35  63  46 /   0   0  10  10
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...65






000
FXUS64 KLZK 271049 AAA
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
449 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 217 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2015/

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY

WINDS HAVE SWITCHED BACK TO THE NW THIS MORNING AS A VERY WEAK FRONT
WAS DROPPING SOUTH INTO THE STATE. NOT MUCH IMPACT WILL BE SEEN FROM
THIS FRONT OTHER THAN THE WIND SHIFT...WITH MILD TEMPS EXPECTED ONCE
AGAIN FOR THIS TUE AFTERNOON. EXPECT HIGH TEMPS IN THE 50S AND
60S...THOUGH SOME LOCATIONS ACROSS THE FAR WEST COULD SEE TEMPS
AROUND 70. A MOSTLY CLEAR SKY WILL CONTINUE.

SRLY FLOW WILL RETURN FOR WED...THOUGH SOME INCREASED CLOUDINESS
WILL BE SEEN. EVEN SO...EXPECT TEMPS TO BE WARMER THAN TODAY...WITH
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOW 70S...WITH THE WARMEST TEMPS ACROSS THE
FAR WEST.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE STATE ON THU...WITH MAINLY INCREASED
CLOUDS AND A NWRLY WIND THE MAIN IMPACTS. MOISTURE LEVELS LOOK
LIMITED ENOUGH TO KEEP THE FORECAST DRY. HOWEVER...THERE COULD BE
SOME SPRINKLES OR LIGHT RAIN ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT THU
AFTERNOON. WILL ONLY CARRY SILENT POPS HOWEVER DUE TO THE LOW
CONFIDENCE OF PRECIP AND LOW MOISTURE LEVELS.

MUCH COOLER CONDITIONS WILL BE SEEN FOR FRI AS NRLY FLOW USHERS IN
COOLER AND DRIER AIR. TEMPS SHOULD DROP BELOW NORMAL...WITH HIGHS IN
THE MID 40S TO MID 50S. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR SEEING PRECIP WILL COME
VERY LATE FRI NIGHT AND MORE LIKELY OVER THE WEEKEND.

LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY

A SURFACE AND UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE AREA ON SATURDAY
AND SUNDAY...WITH PRECIPITATION BECOMING FAIRLY WIDESPREAD.
INDICATIONS ARE THAT THERE WILL BE SOME FORM OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION
OVER PORTIONS OF THE AREA. HOWEVER...THIS CONTINUES TO BE A LOW-
CONFIDENCE FORECAST DUE TO CONTINUED MODEL PERFORMANCE ISSUES IN THE
EXTENDED RANGE.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL PUSH IN TO THE REGION LATE SUNDAY...WITH ANY
LINGERING PRECIPITATION COMING TO AN END. TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE
PERIOD WILL RANGE BELOW SEASONAL AVERAGES.
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...57





000
FXUS64 KLZK 271049 AAA
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
449 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 217 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2015/

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY

WINDS HAVE SWITCHED BACK TO THE NW THIS MORNING AS A VERY WEAK FRONT
WAS DROPPING SOUTH INTO THE STATE. NOT MUCH IMPACT WILL BE SEEN FROM
THIS FRONT OTHER THAN THE WIND SHIFT...WITH MILD TEMPS EXPECTED ONCE
AGAIN FOR THIS TUE AFTERNOON. EXPECT HIGH TEMPS IN THE 50S AND
60S...THOUGH SOME LOCATIONS ACROSS THE FAR WEST COULD SEE TEMPS
AROUND 70. A MOSTLY CLEAR SKY WILL CONTINUE.

SRLY FLOW WILL RETURN FOR WED...THOUGH SOME INCREASED CLOUDINESS
WILL BE SEEN. EVEN SO...EXPECT TEMPS TO BE WARMER THAN TODAY...WITH
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOW 70S...WITH THE WARMEST TEMPS ACROSS THE
FAR WEST.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE STATE ON THU...WITH MAINLY INCREASED
CLOUDS AND A NWRLY WIND THE MAIN IMPACTS. MOISTURE LEVELS LOOK
LIMITED ENOUGH TO KEEP THE FORECAST DRY. HOWEVER...THERE COULD BE
SOME SPRINKLES OR LIGHT RAIN ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT THU
AFTERNOON. WILL ONLY CARRY SILENT POPS HOWEVER DUE TO THE LOW
CONFIDENCE OF PRECIP AND LOW MOISTURE LEVELS.

MUCH COOLER CONDITIONS WILL BE SEEN FOR FRI AS NRLY FLOW USHERS IN
COOLER AND DRIER AIR. TEMPS SHOULD DROP BELOW NORMAL...WITH HIGHS IN
THE MID 40S TO MID 50S. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR SEEING PRECIP WILL COME
VERY LATE FRI NIGHT AND MORE LIKELY OVER THE WEEKEND.

LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY

A SURFACE AND UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE AREA ON SATURDAY
AND SUNDAY...WITH PRECIPITATION BECOMING FAIRLY WIDESPREAD.
INDICATIONS ARE THAT THERE WILL BE SOME FORM OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION
OVER PORTIONS OF THE AREA. HOWEVER...THIS CONTINUES TO BE A LOW-
CONFIDENCE FORECAST DUE TO CONTINUED MODEL PERFORMANCE ISSUES IN THE
EXTENDED RANGE.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL PUSH IN TO THE REGION LATE SUNDAY...WITH ANY
LINGERING PRECIPITATION COMING TO AN END. TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE
PERIOD WILL RANGE BELOW SEASONAL AVERAGES.
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...57






000
FXUS64 KLZK 270817
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
217 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY

WINDS HAVE SWITCHED BACK TO THE NW THIS MORNING AS A VERY WEAK FRONT
WAS DROPPING SOUTH INTO THE STATE. NOT MUCH IMPACT WILL BE SEEN FROM
THIS FRONT OTHER THAN THE WIND SHIFT...WITH MILD TEMPS EXPECTED ONCE
AGAIN FOR THIS TUE AFTERNOON. EXPECT HIGH TEMPS IN THE 50S AND
60S...THOUGH SOME LOCATIONS ACROSS THE FAR WEST COULD SEE TEMPS
AROUND 70. A MOSTLY CLEAR SKY WILL CONTINUE.

SRLY FLOW WILL RETURN FOR WED...THOUGH SOME INCREASED CLOUDINESS
WILL BE SEEN. EVEN SO...EXPECT TEMPS TO BE WARMER THAN TODAY...WITH
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOW 70S...WITH THE WARMEST TEMPS ACROSS THE
FAR WEST.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE STATE ON THU...WITH MAINLY INCREASED
CLOUDS AND A NWRLY WIND THE MAIN IMPACTS. MOISTURE LEVELS LOOK
LIMITED ENOUGH TO KEEP THE FORECAST DRY. HOWEVER...THERE COULD BE
SOME SPRINKLES OR LIGHT RAIN ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT THU
AFTERNOON. WILL ONLY CARRY SILENT POPS HOWEVER DUE TO THE LOW
CONFIDENCE OF PRECIP AND LOW MOISTURE LEVELS.

MUCH COOLER CONDITIONS WILL BE SEEN FOR FRI AS NRLY FLOW USHERS IN
COOLER AND DRIER AIR. TEMPS SHOULD DROP BELOW NORMAL...WITH HIGHS IN
THE MID 40S TO MID 50S. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR SEEING PRECIP WILL COME
VERY LATE FRI NIGHT AND MORE LIKELY OVER THE WEEKEND.

&&

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY

A SURFACE AND UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE AREA ON SATURDAY
AND SUNDAY...WITH PRECIPITATION BECOMING FAIRLY WIDESPREAD.
INDICATIONS ARE THAT THERE WILL BE SOME FORM OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION
OVER PORTIONS OF THE AREA. HOWEVER...THIS CONTINUES TO BE A LOW-
CONFIDENCE FORECAST DUE TO CONTINUED MODEL PERFORMANCE ISSUES IN THE
EXTENDED RANGE.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL PUSH IN TO THE REGION LATE SUNDAY...WITH ANY
LINGERING PRECIPITATION COMING TO AN END. TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE
PERIOD WILL RANGE BELOW SEASONAL AVERAGES.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     59  33  59  45 /   0   0  10  10
CAMDEN AR         69  40  71  51 /   0   0  10  10
HARRISON AR       60  36  65  43 /   0   0  10  10
HOT SPRINGS AR    68  39  68  49 /   0   0  10  10
LITTLE ROCK   AR  64  36  65  48 /   0   0  10  10
MONTICELLO AR     65  38  67  50 /   0   0  10  10
MOUNT IDA AR      69  39  69  49 /   0   0  10  10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  59  34  61  44 /   0   0  10  10
NEWPORT AR        58  33  60  44 /   0   0  10  10
PINE BLUFF AR     63  36  66  48 /   0   0  10  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   66  37  67  45 /   0   0  10  10
SEARCY AR         60  32  61  45 /   0   0  10  10
STUTTGART AR      61  35  63  46 /   0   0  10  10
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...62 / LONG TERM...57







000
FXUS64 KLZK 270817
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
217 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY

WINDS HAVE SWITCHED BACK TO THE NW THIS MORNING AS A VERY WEAK FRONT
WAS DROPPING SOUTH INTO THE STATE. NOT MUCH IMPACT WILL BE SEEN FROM
THIS FRONT OTHER THAN THE WIND SHIFT...WITH MILD TEMPS EXPECTED ONCE
AGAIN FOR THIS TUE AFTERNOON. EXPECT HIGH TEMPS IN THE 50S AND
60S...THOUGH SOME LOCATIONS ACROSS THE FAR WEST COULD SEE TEMPS
AROUND 70. A MOSTLY CLEAR SKY WILL CONTINUE.

SRLY FLOW WILL RETURN FOR WED...THOUGH SOME INCREASED CLOUDINESS
WILL BE SEEN. EVEN SO...EXPECT TEMPS TO BE WARMER THAN TODAY...WITH
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOW 70S...WITH THE WARMEST TEMPS ACROSS THE
FAR WEST.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE STATE ON THU...WITH MAINLY INCREASED
CLOUDS AND A NWRLY WIND THE MAIN IMPACTS. MOISTURE LEVELS LOOK
LIMITED ENOUGH TO KEEP THE FORECAST DRY. HOWEVER...THERE COULD BE
SOME SPRINKLES OR LIGHT RAIN ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT THU
AFTERNOON. WILL ONLY CARRY SILENT POPS HOWEVER DUE TO THE LOW
CONFIDENCE OF PRECIP AND LOW MOISTURE LEVELS.

MUCH COOLER CONDITIONS WILL BE SEEN FOR FRI AS NRLY FLOW USHERS IN
COOLER AND DRIER AIR. TEMPS SHOULD DROP BELOW NORMAL...WITH HIGHS IN
THE MID 40S TO MID 50S. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR SEEING PRECIP WILL COME
VERY LATE FRI NIGHT AND MORE LIKELY OVER THE WEEKEND.

&&

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY

A SURFACE AND UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE AREA ON SATURDAY
AND SUNDAY...WITH PRECIPITATION BECOMING FAIRLY WIDESPREAD.
INDICATIONS ARE THAT THERE WILL BE SOME FORM OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION
OVER PORTIONS OF THE AREA. HOWEVER...THIS CONTINUES TO BE A LOW-
CONFIDENCE FORECAST DUE TO CONTINUED MODEL PERFORMANCE ISSUES IN THE
EXTENDED RANGE.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL PUSH IN TO THE REGION LATE SUNDAY...WITH ANY
LINGERING PRECIPITATION COMING TO AN END. TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE
PERIOD WILL RANGE BELOW SEASONAL AVERAGES.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     59  33  59  45 /   0   0  10  10
CAMDEN AR         69  40  71  51 /   0   0  10  10
HARRISON AR       60  36  65  43 /   0   0  10  10
HOT SPRINGS AR    68  39  68  49 /   0   0  10  10
LITTLE ROCK   AR  64  36  65  48 /   0   0  10  10
MONTICELLO AR     65  38  67  50 /   0   0  10  10
MOUNT IDA AR      69  39  69  49 /   0   0  10  10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  59  34  61  44 /   0   0  10  10
NEWPORT AR        58  33  60  44 /   0   0  10  10
PINE BLUFF AR     63  36  66  48 /   0   0  10  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   66  37  67  45 /   0   0  10  10
SEARCY AR         60  32  61  45 /   0   0  10  10
STUTTGART AR      61  35  63  46 /   0   0  10  10
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...62 / LONG TERM...57






    US Dept of Commerce
    National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
    National Weather Service
    1325 East West Highway
    Silver Spring, MD 20910
    Page Author: NWS Internet Services Team
Disclaimer
Information Quality
Credits
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities