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000
FXUS64 KMRX 211748
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
148 PM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.AVIATION...
VFR TO PREVAIL WITH THE EXCEPTION OF MVFR CIGS AT TRI BTWN 22/07Z
AND 22/14Z. ISOLATED SHOWERS PSBL NEAR TRI THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...WILL CARRY VCSH.

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

$$

GC





000
FXUS64 KMRX 211514
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1114 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.DISCUSSION...
MADE ONLY MINOR TWEAKS IN ORDER TO SIMPLIFY FIRST PERIOD WORDING.
FORECAST STILL ON TARGET CONCERNING CLOUDS AND SHOWER EXPECTATION
OVER THE NORTHEAST SECTIONS. GIVEN THE MORNING SUN...I BUMPED UP
TEMPS OVER THE PLATEAU AND NORTHERN HALF OF VALLEY IN TN ABOUT A
DEGREE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN             70  44  65  40 /   0   0   0   0
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN  66  41  60  38 /  10  10   0   0
OAK RIDGE, TN                       66  41  60  38 /  10   0   0   0
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN              62  41  55  35 /  20  10  10  10

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

$$

GC




000
FXUS64 KMRX 211135
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
735 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.AVIATION...SMALL BAND OF SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH COLD FRONT...HAVE
MOVED SE OF TRI. BRIEF MVFR CONDITIONS AT TRI TO START THE MORNING
WHILE VFR CONTINUES FOR BOTH CHA AND TYS. SHOULD SEE MORE PATCHY
LIGHT SHOWERS POP UP THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS SW VA AND NE TN...
POSSIBLY CLIPPING TRI.

CLOUD COVER AND SPOTTY SHOWERS LATE TONIGHT SHOULD PULL NORTH A BIT
BUT I EXPECT TRI TO TREND DOWN TO MVFR BY OR AFTER 22/06Z. THOSE W
TO NW SURFACE WINDS WILL PROVIDE TOO MUCH MIXING FOR ANY FOG TO
DEVELOP OVERNIGHT.

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

$$

TG




000
FXUS64 KMRX 211135
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
735 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.AVIATION...SMALL BAND OF SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH COLD FRONT...HAVE
MOVED SE OF TRI. BRIEF MVFR CONDITIONS AT TRI TO START THE MORNING
WHILE VFR CONTINUES FOR BOTH CHA AND TYS. SHOULD SEE MORE PATCHY
LIGHT SHOWERS POP UP THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS SW VA AND NE TN...
POSSIBLY CLIPPING TRI.

CLOUD COVER AND SPOTTY SHOWERS LATE TONIGHT SHOULD PULL NORTH A BIT
BUT I EXPECT TRI TO TREND DOWN TO MVFR BY OR AFTER 22/06Z. THOSE W
TO NW SURFACE WINDS WILL PROVIDE TOO MUCH MIXING FOR ANY FOG TO
DEVELOP OVERNIGHT.

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

$$

TG





000
FXUS64 KMRX 211135
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
735 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.AVIATION...SMALL BAND OF SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH COLD FRONT...HAVE
MOVED SE OF TRI. BRIEF MVFR CONDITIONS AT TRI TO START THE MORNING
WHILE VFR CONTINUES FOR BOTH CHA AND TYS. SHOULD SEE MORE PATCHY
LIGHT SHOWERS POP UP THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS SW VA AND NE TN...
POSSIBLY CLIPPING TRI.

CLOUD COVER AND SPOTTY SHOWERS LATE TONIGHT SHOULD PULL NORTH A BIT
BUT I EXPECT TRI TO TREND DOWN TO MVFR BY OR AFTER 22/06Z. THOSE W
TO NW SURFACE WINDS WILL PROVIDE TOO MUCH MIXING FOR ANY FOG TO
DEVELOP OVERNIGHT.

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

$$

TG





000
FXUS64 KMRX 211135
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
735 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.AVIATION...SMALL BAND OF SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH COLD FRONT...HAVE
MOVED SE OF TRI. BRIEF MVFR CONDITIONS AT TRI TO START THE MORNING
WHILE VFR CONTINUES FOR BOTH CHA AND TYS. SHOULD SEE MORE PATCHY
LIGHT SHOWERS POP UP THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS SW VA AND NE TN...
POSSIBLY CLIPPING TRI.

CLOUD COVER AND SPOTTY SHOWERS LATE TONIGHT SHOULD PULL NORTH A BIT
BUT I EXPECT TRI TO TREND DOWN TO MVFR BY OR AFTER 22/06Z. THOSE W
TO NW SURFACE WINDS WILL PROVIDE TOO MUCH MIXING FOR ANY FOG TO
DEVELOP OVERNIGHT.

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

$$

TG




000
FXUS64 KMRX 210742
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
342 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.SHORT TERM.../TODAY AND TONIGHT/...SEEING A FEW SHOWERS DEVELOP
ALONG THE INCOMING COLD FRONT...MAINLY ACROSS SE KY AND SW VA.
PATCHY VALLEY FOG NOTED IN A FEW AREAS WHERE SKY COVER IS MORE
ABSENT. THE PATTERN SUGGESTS LINGERING CLOUD COVER FOR AT LEAST SW
VA AND NE TN THROUGH TODAY...AND EVEN INTO TONIGHT. SURFACE LAPSE
RATES STEEPEN THIS AFTERNOON WITH LOW LEVEL CAPES REACHING 40 TO 80
J/KG. KEPT PREVIOUS POP AND WEATHER GRIDS INTACT...BUT ALSO ADDED
SPRINKLES TO MUCH OF THE REST OF NE TN AND SMOKIES.

THE LINGERING CLOUDS AND SOME COLD AIR ADVECTION LENDED MORE
SUPPORT TO THE COOLER MOS MAX TEMPS TODAY...BUT A BLEND FOR MOS
MINS TONIGHT.

.LONG TERM.../WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...AN UPPER-LOW OVER THE
MID-ATLANTIC WILL CONTINUE TO PROMOTE A COOL...NORTHWEST FLOW
ACROSS THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY...REINFORCING THE COOL AIR MASS AND
KEEPING HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S AREAWIDE. SOME DENSER
CLOUD COVER MAY ALSO BE PRESENT ACROSS SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND
NORTHEAST TENNESSEE INITIALLY...BUT WILL GRADUALLY GIVE WAY TO
MOSTLY SUNNY CONDITIONS BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS DRIER AIR FILTERS
INTO THE REGION. A BRIEF BOUT OF RIDGING ON THURSDAY WILL ALLOW FOR
A QUICK WARM-UP BEFORE ANOTHER DRY UPPER- TROUGH BRINGS DOWN
ANOTHER MINOR SHOT OF COOLER AIR ON FRIDAY. THEREAFTER...A MORE
PRONOUNCED UPPER-RIDGE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA THIS WEEKEND INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK...ALLOWING FOR AMPLE SUNSHINE AND DRY CONDITIONS
THROUGH THE REMAINDER PERIOD. THIS WILL RESULT IN HIGHS REACHING
THE 70S ACROSS THE VALLEYS EACH DAY SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN             70  44  65  40 /   0   0   0   0
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN  65  41  60  38 /  10  10   0   0
OAK RIDGE, TN                       65  41  60  38 /  10   0   0   0
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN              61  41  55  35 /  20  10  10  10

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

$$

TG/AMP




000
FXUS64 KMRX 210742
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
342 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.SHORT TERM.../TODAY AND TONIGHT/...SEEING A FEW SHOWERS DEVELOP
ALONG THE INCOMING COLD FRONT...MAINLY ACROSS SE KY AND SW VA.
PATCHY VALLEY FOG NOTED IN A FEW AREAS WHERE SKY COVER IS MORE
ABSENT. THE PATTERN SUGGESTS LINGERING CLOUD COVER FOR AT LEAST SW
VA AND NE TN THROUGH TODAY...AND EVEN INTO TONIGHT. SURFACE LAPSE
RATES STEEPEN THIS AFTERNOON WITH LOW LEVEL CAPES REACHING 40 TO 80
J/KG. KEPT PREVIOUS POP AND WEATHER GRIDS INTACT...BUT ALSO ADDED
SPRINKLES TO MUCH OF THE REST OF NE TN AND SMOKIES.

THE LINGERING CLOUDS AND SOME COLD AIR ADVECTION LENDED MORE
SUPPORT TO THE COOLER MOS MAX TEMPS TODAY...BUT A BLEND FOR MOS
MINS TONIGHT.

.LONG TERM.../WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...AN UPPER-LOW OVER THE
MID-ATLANTIC WILL CONTINUE TO PROMOTE A COOL...NORTHWEST FLOW
ACROSS THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY...REINFORCING THE COOL AIR MASS AND
KEEPING HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S AREAWIDE. SOME DENSER
CLOUD COVER MAY ALSO BE PRESENT ACROSS SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND
NORTHEAST TENNESSEE INITIALLY...BUT WILL GRADUALLY GIVE WAY TO
MOSTLY SUNNY CONDITIONS BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS DRIER AIR FILTERS
INTO THE REGION. A BRIEF BOUT OF RIDGING ON THURSDAY WILL ALLOW FOR
A QUICK WARM-UP BEFORE ANOTHER DRY UPPER- TROUGH BRINGS DOWN
ANOTHER MINOR SHOT OF COOLER AIR ON FRIDAY. THEREAFTER...A MORE
PRONOUNCED UPPER-RIDGE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA THIS WEEKEND INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK...ALLOWING FOR AMPLE SUNSHINE AND DRY CONDITIONS
THROUGH THE REMAINDER PERIOD. THIS WILL RESULT IN HIGHS REACHING
THE 70S ACROSS THE VALLEYS EACH DAY SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN             70  44  65  40 /   0   0   0   0
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN  65  41  60  38 /  10  10   0   0
OAK RIDGE, TN                       65  41  60  38 /  10   0   0   0
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN              61  41  55  35 /  20  10  10  10

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

$$

TG/AMP





000
FXUS64 KMRX 210540
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
140 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.AVIATION...NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AND ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL KEEP
CLOUDS OVER NE TN AND SW VA FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS OR SO. HOWEVER
CEILING HEIGHTS SHOULD STAY JUST ABOVE MVFR CATEGORY...EXCEPT FOR
BRIEFLY AT TRI. RAIN CHANCES TOO LOW TO CARRY IN TAFS...BUT A FEW
SPRINKLES ARE POSSIBLE AT TRI.

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

$$

TG




000
FXUS64 KMRX 210212
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1000 PM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

.DISCUSSION...WEAK COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIAN REGION LATE TONIGHT.  AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE...A FEW
SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS HAVE DEVELOPED.  AN ADDITIONALLY BAND IS
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATER TONIGHT AS WELL.  HOWEVER...COVERAGE WILL
BE EVEN MORE LIMITED WITH THE NEXT BAND WITH BEST CHANCES NORTH.
CURRENT FORECAST OF 20 TO 30 POPS ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE
AREA REASONABLE AND NO UPDATE IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN             48  70  44  67 /  10   0   0   0
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN  47  66  41  61 /  10  10  10   0
OAK RIDGE, TN                       48  65  41  63 /  20  10   0   0
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN              45  61  41  56 /  30  20  10  10

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

$$

MJB





000
FXUS64 KMRX 210212
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1000 PM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

.DISCUSSION...WEAK COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIAN REGION LATE TONIGHT.  AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE...A FEW
SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS HAVE DEVELOPED.  AN ADDITIONALLY BAND IS
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATER TONIGHT AS WELL.  HOWEVER...COVERAGE WILL
BE EVEN MORE LIMITED WITH THE NEXT BAND WITH BEST CHANCES NORTH.
CURRENT FORECAST OF 20 TO 30 POPS ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE
AREA REASONABLE AND NO UPDATE IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN             48  70  44  67 /  10   0   0   0
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN  47  66  41  61 /  10  10  10   0
OAK RIDGE, TN                       48  65  41  63 /  20  10   0   0
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN              45  61  41  56 /  30  20  10  10

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

$$

MJB




000
FXUS64 KMRX 210212
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1000 PM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

.DISCUSSION...WEAK COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIAN REGION LATE TONIGHT.  AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE...A FEW
SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS HAVE DEVELOPED.  AN ADDITIONALLY BAND IS
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATER TONIGHT AS WELL.  HOWEVER...COVERAGE WILL
BE EVEN MORE LIMITED WITH THE NEXT BAND WITH BEST CHANCES NORTH.
CURRENT FORECAST OF 20 TO 30 POPS ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE
AREA REASONABLE AND NO UPDATE IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN             48  70  44  67 /  10   0   0   0
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN  47  66  41  61 /  10  10  10   0
OAK RIDGE, TN                       48  65  41  63 /  20  10   0   0
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN              45  61  41  56 /  30  20  10  10

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

$$

MJB




000
FXUS64 KMRX 210212
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1000 PM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

.DISCUSSION...WEAK COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIAN REGION LATE TONIGHT.  AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE...A FEW
SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS HAVE DEVELOPED.  AN ADDITIONALLY BAND IS
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATER TONIGHT AS WELL.  HOWEVER...COVERAGE WILL
BE EVEN MORE LIMITED WITH THE NEXT BAND WITH BEST CHANCES NORTH.
CURRENT FORECAST OF 20 TO 30 POPS ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE
AREA REASONABLE AND NO UPDATE IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN             48  70  44  67 /  10   0   0   0
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN  47  66  41  61 /  10  10  10   0
OAK RIDGE, TN                       48  65  41  63 /  20  10   0   0
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN              45  61  41  56 /  30  20  10  10

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

$$

MJB





000
FXUS64 KMRX 202310
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
710 PM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

.AVIATION...
MIDLEVEL CLOUDS WILL BE EXITING THE AREA IN THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO. A
FRONT WILL BE APPROACHING THE AREA FROM THE NORTHWEST...AND AHEAD
OF THE FRONT...THERE WILL BE SOME LINGERING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE.
ALTHOUGH THERE WILL BE CLEARING SKIES THIS EVENING...WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE SOME MIXING...WHICH MAY RESULT IN CIGS
DEVELOPING RATHER THAN FOG. MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS MVFR CIGS AT
TRI...AND WILL FOLLOW THIS FOR THE TAF BUT WITH LOW CONFIDENCE. THE
FRONTAL PASSAGE LATE TOMORROW MORNING WILL SHIFT WINDS TO NW AND
INCREASE SPEEDS TO AROUND 10 KTS.

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

$$

DGS




000
FXUS64 KMRX 201859
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
259 PM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT AND TUESDAY)...NOT TOO EVENTFUL. FROPA WILL
OCCUR AND THEN WE WILL BEGIN TO FIND OUR NE SECTIONS UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF WRAP-AROUND MOISTURE. LOW POPS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT
AND TUESDAY...GREATEST AREAL COVERAGE POTENTIAL TONIGHT WITH
FROPA...THEN THE CHANCE-OF-PRECIP AREA WILL GRADUALLY BE CONFINED
TO SW VA AND FAR NE TN TUESDAY. POST-FRONTAL MIXING WILL KEEP MIN
TEMPS TUESDAY A LITTLE WARMER THAN TODAY...BUT MAX TEMPS EXPECTED
TO BE A LITTLE BIT COOLER TUESDAY THAN TODAY. A BETTER COOL DOWN IS
EXPECTED WEDNESDAY...SEE BELOW.

.LONG TERM (TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)...MODELS IN DECENT
AGREEMENT OVERALL AND SHOW A RATHER BENIGN WEATHER PATTERN FOR THE
LONG TERM PERIOD. FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS A BIT ABOVE AVERAGE FOR
THIS TIME OF YEAR. UPPER LOW TO OUR NORTHEAST EARLY IN THE PERIOD
WITH COLD ADVECTION OVER OUR AREA. SOME SHALLOW MOISTURE EXPECTED
TO LINGER ESPECIALLY NORTH...BUT DOES NOT LOOK DEEP ENOUGH FOR ANY
SIGNIFICANT PRECIP. WILL KEEP MORE CLOUDS NORTHEAST THAN SOUTHWEST
EARLY. MODELS SHOW A FAST MOVING UPPER LOW/TROUGH SWINGING ACROSS
THE AREA AROUND THE SATURDAY TIME FRAME. THIS LOOKS TO BE MOISTURE
STARVED SO NO PRECIP IN THE FORECAST WITH THIS SYSTEM. RIDGING
BUILDS ACROSS THE AREA AND OFF TO OUR EAST LATE. SHOULD BE DRY AND
A BIT WARMER. WILL GENERALLY NOT STRAY FAR FROM GFS MOS TEMPS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN             48  70  44  67 /  10   0   0   0
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN  47  66  41  61 /  10  10  10   0
OAK RIDGE, TN                       48  65  41  63 /  20  10   0   0
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN              45  61  41  56 /  30  20  10  10

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

$$

GC/LW





000
FXUS64 KMRX 201859
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
259 PM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT AND TUESDAY)...NOT TOO EVENTFUL. FROPA WILL
OCCUR AND THEN WE WILL BEGIN TO FIND OUR NE SECTIONS UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF WRAP-AROUND MOISTURE. LOW POPS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT
AND TUESDAY...GREATEST AREAL COVERAGE POTENTIAL TONIGHT WITH
FROPA...THEN THE CHANCE-OF-PRECIP AREA WILL GRADUALLY BE CONFINED
TO SW VA AND FAR NE TN TUESDAY. POST-FRONTAL MIXING WILL KEEP MIN
TEMPS TUESDAY A LITTLE WARMER THAN TODAY...BUT MAX TEMPS EXPECTED
TO BE A LITTLE BIT COOLER TUESDAY THAN TODAY. A BETTER COOL DOWN IS
EXPECTED WEDNESDAY...SEE BELOW.

.LONG TERM (TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)...MODELS IN DECENT
AGREEMENT OVERALL AND SHOW A RATHER BENIGN WEATHER PATTERN FOR THE
LONG TERM PERIOD. FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS A BIT ABOVE AVERAGE FOR
THIS TIME OF YEAR. UPPER LOW TO OUR NORTHEAST EARLY IN THE PERIOD
WITH COLD ADVECTION OVER OUR AREA. SOME SHALLOW MOISTURE EXPECTED
TO LINGER ESPECIALLY NORTH...BUT DOES NOT LOOK DEEP ENOUGH FOR ANY
SIGNIFICANT PRECIP. WILL KEEP MORE CLOUDS NORTHEAST THAN SOUTHWEST
EARLY. MODELS SHOW A FAST MOVING UPPER LOW/TROUGH SWINGING ACROSS
THE AREA AROUND THE SATURDAY TIME FRAME. THIS LOOKS TO BE MOISTURE
STARVED SO NO PRECIP IN THE FORECAST WITH THIS SYSTEM. RIDGING
BUILDS ACROSS THE AREA AND OFF TO OUR EAST LATE. SHOULD BE DRY AND
A BIT WARMER. WILL GENERALLY NOT STRAY FAR FROM GFS MOS TEMPS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN             48  70  44  67 /  10   0   0   0
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN  47  66  41  61 /  10  10  10   0
OAK RIDGE, TN                       48  65  41  63 /  20  10   0   0
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN              45  61  41  56 /  30  20  10  10

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

$$

GC/LW




000
FXUS64 KMRX 201845
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
245 PM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

.AVIATION...
WITH FROPA COMING THROUGH...MAY SEE A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS BUT NOT
EXPECTING IT TO BE WIDESPREAD ENOUGH TO BE MENTIONABLE. MOSTLY VFR
CONDITIONS ALTHOUGH BR REMAINS IN THE FCST 21/07-14Z AT TRI. WINDS
WILL PICK UP FROM THE W/NW TUESDAY DURING THE DAY...UPWARDS OF
10-12KTS.

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

$$

GC




000
FXUS64 KMRX 201845
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
245 PM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

.AVIATION...
WITH FROPA COMING THROUGH...MAY SEE A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS BUT NOT
EXPECTING IT TO BE WIDESPREAD ENOUGH TO BE MENTIONABLE. MOSTLY VFR
CONDITIONS ALTHOUGH BR REMAINS IN THE FCST 21/07-14Z AT TRI. WINDS
WILL PICK UP FROM THE W/NW TUESDAY DURING THE DAY...UPWARDS OF
10-12KTS.

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

$$

GC





000
FXUS64 KMRX 201305
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
905 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

.DISCUSSION...
UPDATED TO REMOVE FROST ADVISORY HEADLINE BUT OTHERWISE RETAINED
FORECAST WORDING...WHICH MAY BE IN GOOD ENOUGH SHAPE TO PREVENT THE
NEED FOR A LATE MORNING UPDATE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN             70  49  71  45 /  10  10   0  10
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN  67  48  67  43 /  10  10  10  10
OAK RIDGE, TN                       67  49  67  43 /  10  10  10  10
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN              65  46  62  40 /  10  20  20  20

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

$$

GC




000
FXUS64 KMRX 201305
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
905 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

.DISCUSSION...
UPDATED TO REMOVE FROST ADVISORY HEADLINE BUT OTHERWISE RETAINED
FORECAST WORDING...WHICH MAY BE IN GOOD ENOUGH SHAPE TO PREVENT THE
NEED FOR A LATE MORNING UPDATE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN             70  49  71  45 /  10  10   0  10
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN  67  48  67  43 /  10  10  10  10
OAK RIDGE, TN                       67  49  67  43 /  10  10  10  10
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN              65  46  62  40 /  10  20  20  20

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

$$

GC





000
FXUS64 KMRX 201134
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
733 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

.AVIATION...MAIN CONCERN IS THE PATCHY DENSE FOG AT TYS TO START OUT
THE MORNING...WHICH WILL CAUSE ABOUT AN HOUR OR SO OF LIFR
CONDITIONS.  OTHERWISE...A GRADUAL INCREASE IN CLOUDS DURING THE DAY
BUT STAYING MOSTLY VFR. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE AT TRI AFTER 21/06Z
WHEN MVFR CONDITIONS APPEAR LIKELY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN             70  49  71  45 /  10  10   0  10
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN  67  48  67  43 /  10  10  10  10
OAK RIDGE, TN                       67  49  67  43 /  10  10  10  10
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN              65  46  62  40 /  10  20  20  20

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...FROST ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR CHEROKEE-CLAY.

TN...FROST ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR EAST POLK-HANCOCK-
     HAWKINS-NORTHWEST CARTER-NORTHWEST GREENE-SOUTHEAST MONROE-
     SULLIVAN-WASHINGTON TN.

VA...FROST ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR LEE-RUSSELL-SCOTT-
     WASHINGTON-WISE.

&&

$$

TG





000
FXUS64 KMRX 201134
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
733 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

.AVIATION...MAIN CONCERN IS THE PATCHY DENSE FOG AT TYS TO START OUT
THE MORNING...WHICH WILL CAUSE ABOUT AN HOUR OR SO OF LIFR
CONDITIONS.  OTHERWISE...A GRADUAL INCREASE IN CLOUDS DURING THE DAY
BUT STAYING MOSTLY VFR. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE AT TRI AFTER 21/06Z
WHEN MVFR CONDITIONS APPEAR LIKELY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN             70  49  71  45 /  10  10   0  10
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN  67  48  67  43 /  10  10  10  10
OAK RIDGE, TN                       67  49  67  43 /  10  10  10  10
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN              65  46  62  40 /  10  20  20  20

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...FROST ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR CHEROKEE-CLAY.

TN...FROST ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR EAST POLK-HANCOCK-
     HAWKINS-NORTHWEST CARTER-NORTHWEST GREENE-SOUTHEAST MONROE-
     SULLIVAN-WASHINGTON TN.

VA...FROST ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR LEE-RUSSELL-SCOTT-
     WASHINGTON-WISE.

&&

$$

TG




000
FXUS64 KMRX 200808
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
408 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)...THICKENING HIGH CLOUDS PASSING
ACROSS THE REGION MAY INHIBIT HOW WIDESPREAD ANY FROST IS THIS
MORNING. ALSO...LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS NOTED ACROSS PARTS OF THE
FROST ADVISORY AREA. HOWEVER...WILL LET THE FROST ADVISORY RUN ITS
COURSE THROUGH 9AM EDT AS TEMPS MAY DROP A FEW MORE DEGREES BEFORE
DAYBREAK.

UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED WEAK COLD FRONT DON`T HAVE MUCH
MOISTURE TO WORK WITH...SO KEPT JUST THE LOW POPS MAINLY FOR SW VA
AND NE TN. TIMING WAS TWEAKED A BIT IN LINE WITH THE 00Z NAM AND
LATEST SREF...AS 00Z GFS MODEL AND MOS WERE DELAYED (ARRIVED JUST IN
TIME FOR THE AFD).

OTHERWISE...NAM MOS TEMPS VERY CLOSE TO PREVIOUS GRIDS FOR TODAY AND
TONIGHT...AND WERE CLOSELY FOLLOWED.

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...NOT MUCH CHANGE IN CURRENT
FORECAST AS CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH SYSTEM OVER THE NE STATES
AFFECTS MAINLY SW VA AND NE TN TUESDAY AND THEN BEGINS TO MOVE AWAY
TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. GFS MUCH DRIER WITH SYSTEM AS IT MOVES
SOUTHEAST INTO THE EASTERN LAKES...MID ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST
TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY WITH ALMOST NO CHANCE OF SHOWERS JUST
CLOUDS. STILL PREFERRING THE NAM WHICH BRINGS IN A LITTLE MORE
MOISTURE FOR SLIGHT CHANCE TO CHANCE SHOWERS TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY. COLD FRONT TO MOVE THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING WITH MUCH
COLDER TEMPERATURES DUE TO CLOUDS OVER SW VA BUT COLDER AIR MASS
WITH NW FLOW TO LAG BEHIND SOUTHERN SECTIONS WHERE NO WEATHER IS
EXPECTED EXCEPT A WIND SHIFT. HIGHS TUESDAY ABOUT THE SAME SOUTHERN
HALF AND A FEW DEGREES COOLER AT TRI CITIES. COOLER DAYS WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY WITH NORTHERLY FLOW AND UPPER TROUGH OVER EASTERN
STATES. THEN AS THE EASTERN SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED UPPER LOW FINALLY
MOVES EAST UPPER FLOW TURNS WESTERLY. GFS SHOWS A WEAK SYSTEM
APPROACH FRIDAY AND THEN RIDGING TAKES OVER AND BUILDS OVER THE
SOUTH CENTRAL STATES FOR THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM A FEW
DEGREES SATURDAY AND SUNDAY WITH NO RAIN EXPECTED.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN             70  49  71  45 /  10  10   0  10
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN  67  48  67  43 /  10  10  10  10
OAK RIDGE, TN                       67  49  67  43 /  10  10  10  10
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN              65  46  62  40 /  10  20  20  20

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...FROST ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR CHEROKEE-CLAY.

TN...FROST ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR EAST POLK-HANCOCK-
     HAWKINS-NORTHWEST CARTER-NORTHWEST GREENE-SOUTHEAST MONROE-
     SULLIVAN-WASHINGTON TN.

VA...FROST ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR LEE-RUSSELL-SCOTT-
     WASHINGTON-WISE.

&&

$$

TG/TD





000
FXUS64 KMRX 200808
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
408 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)...THICKENING HIGH CLOUDS PASSING
ACROSS THE REGION MAY INHIBIT HOW WIDESPREAD ANY FROST IS THIS
MORNING. ALSO...LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS NOTED ACROSS PARTS OF THE
FROST ADVISORY AREA. HOWEVER...WILL LET THE FROST ADVISORY RUN ITS
COURSE THROUGH 9AM EDT AS TEMPS MAY DROP A FEW MORE DEGREES BEFORE
DAYBREAK.

UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED WEAK COLD FRONT DON`T HAVE MUCH
MOISTURE TO WORK WITH...SO KEPT JUST THE LOW POPS MAINLY FOR SW VA
AND NE TN. TIMING WAS TWEAKED A BIT IN LINE WITH THE 00Z NAM AND
LATEST SREF...AS 00Z GFS MODEL AND MOS WERE DELAYED (ARRIVED JUST IN
TIME FOR THE AFD).

OTHERWISE...NAM MOS TEMPS VERY CLOSE TO PREVIOUS GRIDS FOR TODAY AND
TONIGHT...AND WERE CLOSELY FOLLOWED.

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...NOT MUCH CHANGE IN CURRENT
FORECAST AS CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH SYSTEM OVER THE NE STATES
AFFECTS MAINLY SW VA AND NE TN TUESDAY AND THEN BEGINS TO MOVE AWAY
TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. GFS MUCH DRIER WITH SYSTEM AS IT MOVES
SOUTHEAST INTO THE EASTERN LAKES...MID ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST
TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY WITH ALMOST NO CHANCE OF SHOWERS JUST
CLOUDS. STILL PREFERRING THE NAM WHICH BRINGS IN A LITTLE MORE
MOISTURE FOR SLIGHT CHANCE TO CHANCE SHOWERS TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY. COLD FRONT TO MOVE THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING WITH MUCH
COLDER TEMPERATURES DUE TO CLOUDS OVER SW VA BUT COLDER AIR MASS
WITH NW FLOW TO LAG BEHIND SOUTHERN SECTIONS WHERE NO WEATHER IS
EXPECTED EXCEPT A WIND SHIFT. HIGHS TUESDAY ABOUT THE SAME SOUTHERN
HALF AND A FEW DEGREES COOLER AT TRI CITIES. COOLER DAYS WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY WITH NORTHERLY FLOW AND UPPER TROUGH OVER EASTERN
STATES. THEN AS THE EASTERN SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED UPPER LOW FINALLY
MOVES EAST UPPER FLOW TURNS WESTERLY. GFS SHOWS A WEAK SYSTEM
APPROACH FRIDAY AND THEN RIDGING TAKES OVER AND BUILDS OVER THE
SOUTH CENTRAL STATES FOR THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM A FEW
DEGREES SATURDAY AND SUNDAY WITH NO RAIN EXPECTED.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN             70  49  71  45 /  10  10   0  10
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN  67  48  67  43 /  10  10  10  10
OAK RIDGE, TN                       67  49  67  43 /  10  10  10  10
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN              65  46  62  40 /  10  20  20  20

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...FROST ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR CHEROKEE-CLAY.

TN...FROST ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR EAST POLK-HANCOCK-
     HAWKINS-NORTHWEST CARTER-NORTHWEST GREENE-SOUTHEAST MONROE-
     SULLIVAN-WASHINGTON TN.

VA...FROST ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR LEE-RUSSELL-SCOTT-
     WASHINGTON-WISE.

&&

$$

TG/TD




000
FXUS64 KMRX 200808
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
408 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)...THICKENING HIGH CLOUDS PASSING
ACROSS THE REGION MAY INHIBIT HOW WIDESPREAD ANY FROST IS THIS
MORNING. ALSO...LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS NOTED ACROSS PARTS OF THE
FROST ADVISORY AREA. HOWEVER...WILL LET THE FROST ADVISORY RUN ITS
COURSE THROUGH 9AM EDT AS TEMPS MAY DROP A FEW MORE DEGREES BEFORE
DAYBREAK.

UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED WEAK COLD FRONT DON`T HAVE MUCH
MOISTURE TO WORK WITH...SO KEPT JUST THE LOW POPS MAINLY FOR SW VA
AND NE TN. TIMING WAS TWEAKED A BIT IN LINE WITH THE 00Z NAM AND
LATEST SREF...AS 00Z GFS MODEL AND MOS WERE DELAYED (ARRIVED JUST IN
TIME FOR THE AFD).

OTHERWISE...NAM MOS TEMPS VERY CLOSE TO PREVIOUS GRIDS FOR TODAY AND
TONIGHT...AND WERE CLOSELY FOLLOWED.

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...NOT MUCH CHANGE IN CURRENT
FORECAST AS CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH SYSTEM OVER THE NE STATES
AFFECTS MAINLY SW VA AND NE TN TUESDAY AND THEN BEGINS TO MOVE AWAY
TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. GFS MUCH DRIER WITH SYSTEM AS IT MOVES
SOUTHEAST INTO THE EASTERN LAKES...MID ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST
TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY WITH ALMOST NO CHANCE OF SHOWERS JUST
CLOUDS. STILL PREFERRING THE NAM WHICH BRINGS IN A LITTLE MORE
MOISTURE FOR SLIGHT CHANCE TO CHANCE SHOWERS TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY. COLD FRONT TO MOVE THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING WITH MUCH
COLDER TEMPERATURES DUE TO CLOUDS OVER SW VA BUT COLDER AIR MASS
WITH NW FLOW TO LAG BEHIND SOUTHERN SECTIONS WHERE NO WEATHER IS
EXPECTED EXCEPT A WIND SHIFT. HIGHS TUESDAY ABOUT THE SAME SOUTHERN
HALF AND A FEW DEGREES COOLER AT TRI CITIES. COOLER DAYS WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY WITH NORTHERLY FLOW AND UPPER TROUGH OVER EASTERN
STATES. THEN AS THE EASTERN SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED UPPER LOW FINALLY
MOVES EAST UPPER FLOW TURNS WESTERLY. GFS SHOWS A WEAK SYSTEM
APPROACH FRIDAY AND THEN RIDGING TAKES OVER AND BUILDS OVER THE
SOUTH CENTRAL STATES FOR THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM A FEW
DEGREES SATURDAY AND SUNDAY WITH NO RAIN EXPECTED.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN             70  49  71  45 /  10  10   0  10
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN  67  48  67  43 /  10  10  10  10
OAK RIDGE, TN                       67  49  67  43 /  10  10  10  10
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN              65  46  62  40 /  10  20  20  20

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...FROST ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR CHEROKEE-CLAY.

TN...FROST ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR EAST POLK-HANCOCK-
     HAWKINS-NORTHWEST CARTER-NORTHWEST GREENE-SOUTHEAST MONROE-
     SULLIVAN-WASHINGTON TN.

VA...FROST ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR LEE-RUSSELL-SCOTT-
     WASHINGTON-WISE.

&&

$$

TG/TD




000
FXUS64 KMRX 200808
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
408 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)...THICKENING HIGH CLOUDS PASSING
ACROSS THE REGION MAY INHIBIT HOW WIDESPREAD ANY FROST IS THIS
MORNING. ALSO...LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS NOTED ACROSS PARTS OF THE
FROST ADVISORY AREA. HOWEVER...WILL LET THE FROST ADVISORY RUN ITS
COURSE THROUGH 9AM EDT AS TEMPS MAY DROP A FEW MORE DEGREES BEFORE
DAYBREAK.

UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED WEAK COLD FRONT DON`T HAVE MUCH
MOISTURE TO WORK WITH...SO KEPT JUST THE LOW POPS MAINLY FOR SW VA
AND NE TN. TIMING WAS TWEAKED A BIT IN LINE WITH THE 00Z NAM AND
LATEST SREF...AS 00Z GFS MODEL AND MOS WERE DELAYED (ARRIVED JUST IN
TIME FOR THE AFD).

OTHERWISE...NAM MOS TEMPS VERY CLOSE TO PREVIOUS GRIDS FOR TODAY AND
TONIGHT...AND WERE CLOSELY FOLLOWED.

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...NOT MUCH CHANGE IN CURRENT
FORECAST AS CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH SYSTEM OVER THE NE STATES
AFFECTS MAINLY SW VA AND NE TN TUESDAY AND THEN BEGINS TO MOVE AWAY
TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. GFS MUCH DRIER WITH SYSTEM AS IT MOVES
SOUTHEAST INTO THE EASTERN LAKES...MID ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST
TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY WITH ALMOST NO CHANCE OF SHOWERS JUST
CLOUDS. STILL PREFERRING THE NAM WHICH BRINGS IN A LITTLE MORE
MOISTURE FOR SLIGHT CHANCE TO CHANCE SHOWERS TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY. COLD FRONT TO MOVE THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING WITH MUCH
COLDER TEMPERATURES DUE TO CLOUDS OVER SW VA BUT COLDER AIR MASS
WITH NW FLOW TO LAG BEHIND SOUTHERN SECTIONS WHERE NO WEATHER IS
EXPECTED EXCEPT A WIND SHIFT. HIGHS TUESDAY ABOUT THE SAME SOUTHERN
HALF AND A FEW DEGREES COOLER AT TRI CITIES. COOLER DAYS WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY WITH NORTHERLY FLOW AND UPPER TROUGH OVER EASTERN
STATES. THEN AS THE EASTERN SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED UPPER LOW FINALLY
MOVES EAST UPPER FLOW TURNS WESTERLY. GFS SHOWS A WEAK SYSTEM
APPROACH FRIDAY AND THEN RIDGING TAKES OVER AND BUILDS OVER THE
SOUTH CENTRAL STATES FOR THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM A FEW
DEGREES SATURDAY AND SUNDAY WITH NO RAIN EXPECTED.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN             70  49  71  45 /  10  10   0  10
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN  67  48  67  43 /  10  10  10  10
OAK RIDGE, TN                       67  49  67  43 /  10  10  10  10
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN              65  46  62  40 /  10  20  20  20

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...FROST ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR CHEROKEE-CLAY.

TN...FROST ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR EAST POLK-HANCOCK-
     HAWKINS-NORTHWEST CARTER-NORTHWEST GREENE-SOUTHEAST MONROE-
     SULLIVAN-WASHINGTON TN.

VA...FROST ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR LEE-RUSSELL-SCOTT-
     WASHINGTON-WISE.

&&

$$

TG/TD





000
FXUS64 KMRX 200536
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
135 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

.AVIATION...HIGHS CLOUDS STREAMING ACROSS THE REGION THIS MORNING
APPEAR TO BE THICK ENOUGH TO INHIBIT FOG FORMATION AT OUR TAF SITES.
THUS...GOING WITH VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. CLOUDS
SHOULD LOWER TO A MID DECK THEN AROUND 5000 FEET AGL AHEAD OF A WEAK
AND MOSTLY DRY COLD FRONT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN             44  71  49  71 /   0  10  10  10
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN  43  68  48  67 /   0  10  10  10
OAK RIDGE, TN                       42  67  49  67 /   0  10  10  10
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN              37  67  45  62 /   0  10  20  30

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...FROST ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 9 AM EDT MONDAY FOR CHEROKEE-CLAY.

TN...FROST ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 9 AM EDT MONDAY FOR EAST POLK-
     HANCOCK-HAWKINS-NORTHWEST CARTER-NORTHWEST GREENE-SOUTHEAST
     MONROE-SULLIVAN-WASHINGTON TN.

VA...FROST ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 9 AM EDT MONDAY FOR LEE-RUSSELL-
     SCOTT-WASHINGTON-WISE.

&&

$$

TG




000
FXUS64 KMRX 200536
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
135 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

.AVIATION...HIGHS CLOUDS STREAMING ACROSS THE REGION THIS MORNING
APPEAR TO BE THICK ENOUGH TO INHIBIT FOG FORMATION AT OUR TAF SITES.
THUS...GOING WITH VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. CLOUDS
SHOULD LOWER TO A MID DECK THEN AROUND 5000 FEET AGL AHEAD OF A WEAK
AND MOSTLY DRY COLD FRONT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN             44  71  49  71 /   0  10  10  10
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN  43  68  48  67 /   0  10  10  10
OAK RIDGE, TN                       42  67  49  67 /   0  10  10  10
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN              37  67  45  62 /   0  10  20  30

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...FROST ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 9 AM EDT MONDAY FOR CHEROKEE-CLAY.

TN...FROST ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 9 AM EDT MONDAY FOR EAST POLK-
     HANCOCK-HAWKINS-NORTHWEST CARTER-NORTHWEST GREENE-SOUTHEAST
     MONROE-SULLIVAN-WASHINGTON TN.

VA...FROST ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 9 AM EDT MONDAY FOR LEE-RUSSELL-
     SCOTT-WASHINGTON-WISE.

&&

$$

TG





000
FXUS64 KMRX 200130
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
930 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE AREA WEATHER
TONIGHT.  WITH CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS...LOWS WILL FALL INTO THE
30S AND 40S ACROSS THE TN VALLEY.  PATCHY FROST IS POSSIBLE OVER
AREAS WHERE TEMPERATURES FALL INTO THE MID TO UPPER 30S.  A FROST
ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THESE AREAS.  OTHERWISE...IT WILL BE A
QUIET NIGHT WITH EVERYTHING ON TRACK IN THE CURRENT FORECAST.  NO
UPDATE EXPECTED.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN             44  71  49  71 /   0  10  10  10
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN  43  68  48  67 /   0  10  10  10
OAK RIDGE, TN                       42  67  49  67 /   0  10  10  10
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN              37  67  45  62 /   0  10  20  30

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...FROST ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 9 AM EDT MONDAY FOR CHEROKEE-CLAY.

TN...FROST ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 9 AM EDT MONDAY FOR EAST POLK-
     HANCOCK-HAWKINS-NORTHWEST CARTER-NORTHWEST GREENE-SOUTHEAST
     MONROE-SULLIVAN-WASHINGTON TN.

VA...FROST ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 9 AM EDT MONDAY FOR LEE-RUSSELL-
     SCOTT-WASHINGTON-WISE.

&&

$$

MJB





000
FXUS64 KMRX 200130
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
930 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE AREA WEATHER
TONIGHT.  WITH CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS...LOWS WILL FALL INTO THE
30S AND 40S ACROSS THE TN VALLEY.  PATCHY FROST IS POSSIBLE OVER
AREAS WHERE TEMPERATURES FALL INTO THE MID TO UPPER 30S.  A FROST
ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THESE AREAS.  OTHERWISE...IT WILL BE A
QUIET NIGHT WITH EVERYTHING ON TRACK IN THE CURRENT FORECAST.  NO
UPDATE EXPECTED.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN             44  71  49  71 /   0  10  10  10
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN  43  68  48  67 /   0  10  10  10
OAK RIDGE, TN                       42  67  49  67 /   0  10  10  10
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN              37  67  45  62 /   0  10  20  30

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...FROST ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 9 AM EDT MONDAY FOR CHEROKEE-CLAY.

TN...FROST ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 9 AM EDT MONDAY FOR EAST POLK-
     HANCOCK-HAWKINS-NORTHWEST CARTER-NORTHWEST GREENE-SOUTHEAST
     MONROE-SULLIVAN-WASHINGTON TN.

VA...FROST ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 9 AM EDT MONDAY FOR LEE-RUSSELL-
     SCOTT-WASHINGTON-WISE.

&&

$$

MJB




000
FXUS64 KMRX 192306
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
706 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.AVIATION...
HIGH CLOUDS WILL BE SPREADING ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT...WITH NO
CONCERNS FOR AVIATION. THE CLOUDS SHOULD HELP PREVENT FOG
DEVELOPMENT LATE TONIGHT. THE CLOUD BASE WILL GRADUALLY BE LOWERING
THROUGH TOMORROW...ESPECIALLY AT TRI...BUT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT
VFR LEVELS THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. WINDS WILL BECOME SW TOMORROW AT
5-10 KTS.

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...FROST ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 9 AM EDT MONDAY FOR CHEROKEE-CLAY.

TN...FROST ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 9 AM EDT MONDAY FOR EAST POLK-
     HANCOCK-HAWKINS-NORTHWEST CARTER-NORTHWEST GREENE-SOUTHEAST
     MONROE-SULLIVAN-WASHINGTON TN.

VA...FROST ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 9 AM EDT MONDAY FOR LEE-RUSSELL-
     SCOTT-WASHINGTON-WISE.

&&

$$

DGS





000
FXUS64 KMRX 192306
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
706 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.AVIATION...
HIGH CLOUDS WILL BE SPREADING ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT...WITH NO
CONCERNS FOR AVIATION. THE CLOUDS SHOULD HELP PREVENT FOG
DEVELOPMENT LATE TONIGHT. THE CLOUD BASE WILL GRADUALLY BE LOWERING
THROUGH TOMORROW...ESPECIALLY AT TRI...BUT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT
VFR LEVELS THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. WINDS WILL BECOME SW TOMORROW AT
5-10 KTS.

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...FROST ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 9 AM EDT MONDAY FOR CHEROKEE-CLAY.

TN...FROST ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 9 AM EDT MONDAY FOR EAST POLK-
     HANCOCK-HAWKINS-NORTHWEST CARTER-NORTHWEST GREENE-SOUTHEAST
     MONROE-SULLIVAN-WASHINGTON TN.

VA...FROST ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 9 AM EDT MONDAY FOR LEE-RUSSELL-
     SCOTT-WASHINGTON-WISE.

&&

$$

DGS




000
FXUS64 KMRX 192306
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
706 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.AVIATION...
HIGH CLOUDS WILL BE SPREADING ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT...WITH NO
CONCERNS FOR AVIATION. THE CLOUDS SHOULD HELP PREVENT FOG
DEVELOPMENT LATE TONIGHT. THE CLOUD BASE WILL GRADUALLY BE LOWERING
THROUGH TOMORROW...ESPECIALLY AT TRI...BUT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT
VFR LEVELS THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. WINDS WILL BECOME SW TOMORROW AT
5-10 KTS.

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...FROST ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 9 AM EDT MONDAY FOR CHEROKEE-CLAY.

TN...FROST ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 9 AM EDT MONDAY FOR EAST POLK-
     HANCOCK-HAWKINS-NORTHWEST CARTER-NORTHWEST GREENE-SOUTHEAST
     MONROE-SULLIVAN-WASHINGTON TN.

VA...FROST ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 9 AM EDT MONDAY FOR LEE-RUSSELL-
     SCOTT-WASHINGTON-WISE.

&&

$$

DGS




000
FXUS64 KMRX 192306
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
706 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.AVIATION...
HIGH CLOUDS WILL BE SPREADING ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT...WITH NO
CONCERNS FOR AVIATION. THE CLOUDS SHOULD HELP PREVENT FOG
DEVELOPMENT LATE TONIGHT. THE CLOUD BASE WILL GRADUALLY BE LOWERING
THROUGH TOMORROW...ESPECIALLY AT TRI...BUT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT
VFR LEVELS THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. WINDS WILL BECOME SW TOMORROW AT
5-10 KTS.

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...FROST ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 9 AM EDT MONDAY FOR CHEROKEE-CLAY.

TN...FROST ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 9 AM EDT MONDAY FOR EAST POLK-
     HANCOCK-HAWKINS-NORTHWEST CARTER-NORTHWEST GREENE-SOUTHEAST
     MONROE-SULLIVAN-WASHINGTON TN.

VA...FROST ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 9 AM EDT MONDAY FOR LEE-RUSSELL-
     SCOTT-WASHINGTON-WISE.

&&

$$

DGS





000
FXUS64 KMRX 191910
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
310 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT AND MONDAY)...HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO
THE AREA...WITH DRY AND COOL WEATHER FOR TONIGHT AND TOMORROW.
BOUNDARY LAYER IS DRY WITH SFC DEWPOINT TEMPS HIGH...SO COULD SEE
PATCHY FROST IN MAINLY NORTHEAST TENNESSEE AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA.
WILL GO WITH AN ADVISORY FOR THE AREAS STILL IN THE FROST/FREEZE
PROGRAM. OTHERWISE...TEMPERATURES WILL BE A COUPLE OF DEGREES BELOW
NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

.LONG TERM (MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)...STILL ADVERTISING EAST
COAST TROUGHING WHOSE WRAP-AROUND MOISTURE WILL DOG THE
NORTHEASTERN HALF-TO-QUARTER OF THE AREA WITH CLOUDS AND SCATTERED
LIGHT PRECIP MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WHICH WILL THEN MOVE
OFF TO THE EAST...LEAVING THAT REGION WITH DRY WEATHER WED NGT
THROUGH SUNDAY. IN CONTRAST...THE CHATTANOOGA VICINITY WILL LIKELY
BE DRY THROUGHOUT THE EXTENDED...BEING TOO FAR AWAY FROM THE WRAP-
AROUND MOISTURE FIELD. FINALLY...FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST
AREA...UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL RETURN BY THE END OF THE WEEK AND
RESULT IN ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND A GREAT UPCOMING WEEKEND.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN             44  71  49  71 /   0  10  10  10
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN  43  68  48  67 /   0  10  10  10
OAK RIDGE, TN                       42  67  49  67 /   0  10  10  10
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN              37  67  45  62 /   0  10  20  30

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...FROST ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 9 AM EDT MONDAY FOR CHEROKEE-CLAY.

TN...FROST ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 9 AM EDT MONDAY FOR EAST POLK-
     HANCOCK-HAWKINS-NORTHWEST CARTER-NORTHWEST GREENE-SOUTHEAST
     MONROE-SULLIVAN-WASHINGTON TN.

VA...FROST ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 9 AM EDT MONDAY FOR LEE-RUSSELL-
     SCOTT-WASHINGTON-WISE.

&&

$$

JW/GC




000
FXUS64 KMRX 191910
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
310 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT AND MONDAY)...HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO
THE AREA...WITH DRY AND COOL WEATHER FOR TONIGHT AND TOMORROW.
BOUNDARY LAYER IS DRY WITH SFC DEWPOINT TEMPS HIGH...SO COULD SEE
PATCHY FROST IN MAINLY NORTHEAST TENNESSEE AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA.
WILL GO WITH AN ADVISORY FOR THE AREAS STILL IN THE FROST/FREEZE
PROGRAM. OTHERWISE...TEMPERATURES WILL BE A COUPLE OF DEGREES BELOW
NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

.LONG TERM (MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)...STILL ADVERTISING EAST
COAST TROUGHING WHOSE WRAP-AROUND MOISTURE WILL DOG THE
NORTHEASTERN HALF-TO-QUARTER OF THE AREA WITH CLOUDS AND SCATTERED
LIGHT PRECIP MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WHICH WILL THEN MOVE
OFF TO THE EAST...LEAVING THAT REGION WITH DRY WEATHER WED NGT
THROUGH SUNDAY. IN CONTRAST...THE CHATTANOOGA VICINITY WILL LIKELY
BE DRY THROUGHOUT THE EXTENDED...BEING TOO FAR AWAY FROM THE WRAP-
AROUND MOISTURE FIELD. FINALLY...FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST
AREA...UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL RETURN BY THE END OF THE WEEK AND
RESULT IN ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND A GREAT UPCOMING WEEKEND.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN             44  71  49  71 /   0  10  10  10
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN  43  68  48  67 /   0  10  10  10
OAK RIDGE, TN                       42  67  49  67 /   0  10  10  10
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN              37  67  45  62 /   0  10  20  30

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...FROST ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 9 AM EDT MONDAY FOR CHEROKEE-CLAY.

TN...FROST ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 9 AM EDT MONDAY FOR EAST POLK-
     HANCOCK-HAWKINS-NORTHWEST CARTER-NORTHWEST GREENE-SOUTHEAST
     MONROE-SULLIVAN-WASHINGTON TN.

VA...FROST ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 9 AM EDT MONDAY FOR LEE-RUSSELL-
     SCOTT-WASHINGTON-WISE.

&&

$$

JW/GC





000
FXUS64 KMRX 191712
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
112 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN AT ALL THREE TAF SITES THROUGH THE
PERIOD DUE TO HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA TODAY AND
TONIGHT.

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

$$

JW




000
FXUS64 KMRX 191712
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
112 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN AT ALL THREE TAF SITES THROUGH THE
PERIOD DUE TO HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA TODAY AND
TONIGHT.

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

$$

JW





000
FXUS64 KMRX 191347
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
947 AM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.DISCUSSION...OVERALL FORECAST STILL ON TRACK. ADJUSTED TEMPS TO
REFLECT THE FASTER WARMING THAN PREVIOUSLY SHOWN...WITH CLOUDS
CONTINUING TO MOVE OUT THROUGH THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
AFTERNOON. HIGHS SHOULD BE A COUPLE OF DEGREES BELOW NORMAL FOR
THIS TIME OF YEAR.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN             66  44  71  49 /   0   0  10  10
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN  63  42  68  48 /   0   0  10  10
OAK RIDGE, TN                       64  41  67  49 /   0   0  10  10
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN              61  37  67  42 /   0   0  10  20

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

$$

JW




000
FXUS64 KMRX 191347
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
947 AM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.DISCUSSION...OVERALL FORECAST STILL ON TRACK. ADJUSTED TEMPS TO
REFLECT THE FASTER WARMING THAN PREVIOUSLY SHOWN...WITH CLOUDS
CONTINUING TO MOVE OUT THROUGH THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
AFTERNOON. HIGHS SHOULD BE A COUPLE OF DEGREES BELOW NORMAL FOR
THIS TIME OF YEAR.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN             66  44  71  49 /   0   0  10  10
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN  63  42  68  48 /   0   0  10  10
OAK RIDGE, TN                       64  41  67  49 /   0   0  10  10
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN              61  37  67  42 /   0   0  10  20

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

$$

JW





000
FXUS64 KMRX 191135
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
735 AM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.AVIATION...LOW CLOUD DECK HAS ADVANCED SOUTHWARD TO AFFECT ALL BUT
SE TN THIS MORNING. A LINGERING MVFR CEILING FOR ABOUT 2 TO 4 HOURS
FOR TYS AND TRI. OTHERWISE...EXPECTING VFR CONDITIONS FOR ALL 3 TAF
SITES AFTER THIS MORNING. HIGH CLOUD DECK IS PROGGED FOR LATE
TONIGHT WHICH WOULD INHIBIT FOG DEVELOPMENT,

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

$$

TG




000
FXUS64 KMRX 191135
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
735 AM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.AVIATION...LOW CLOUD DECK HAS ADVANCED SOUTHWARD TO AFFECT ALL BUT
SE TN THIS MORNING. A LINGERING MVFR CEILING FOR ABOUT 2 TO 4 HOURS
FOR TYS AND TRI. OTHERWISE...EXPECTING VFR CONDITIONS FOR ALL 3 TAF
SITES AFTER THIS MORNING. HIGH CLOUD DECK IS PROGGED FOR LATE
TONIGHT WHICH WOULD INHIBIT FOG DEVELOPMENT,

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

$$

TG





000
FXUS64 KMRX 190830
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
430 AM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)...UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS WAS
SHIFTING EAST OF THE APPALACHIANS THIS MORNING...WITH MOSTLY CLOUDS
LEFT BEHIND AND NO PRECIPITATION. THESE CLOUDS AND LIGHT NORTHERLY
WINDS KEPT MIN TEMPS UP OVERNIGHT.

SUNSHINE RETURNS IN NEAR FULL FORCE LATER TODAY...BUT SOME SLIGHT
COOLING OF 850 MB TEMPS. THUS...I KEPT MAX TEMPS CLOSER TO THE MOS
BLEND JUST BELOW THE WARMER GFS MAXES.

WINDS SHOULD DECOUPLE TONIGHT WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN HIGH CLOUDS.
WEAK SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW BEGINS LATE TONIGHT FOR WESTERN AREAS
AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS. HOWEVER...MAY SEE MINS DIP AS LOW AS MID OR
UPPER 30S IN A FEW SPOTS OF NE TN AND SW VA. THUS...I ADDED SOME
PATCHY AREAS OF FROST.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER
THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE COUNTRY CONTINUES THROUGH MOST OF THE
WEEK. NW FLOW BRINGS SYSTEM SOUTHEAST INTO THE GREAT LAKES THEN
MOVES EAST ACROSS THE NE STATES. A REINFORCING SHOT OF COLDER AIR
WILL MOVE THROUGH WITH THIS SYSTEM AS IT DROPS A COLD FRONT THROUGH
THE FORECAST AREA TUESDAY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS MONDAY NIGHT.
TUESDAY THE BEST CHANCE OF SHOWERS WILL BE IN THE NE AS THE FRONT
PASSES THROUGH. THE SYSTEM WILL BE SLOW TO MOVE TO THE NE AS MODELS
TRY TO SHOW THE SYSTEM DEVELOPING A CLOSED LOW OVER THE MID
ATLANTIC AND NE STATES. AS MOISTURE ROTATES AROUND IT A FEW
SHOWERS WILL LINGER TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY IN THE NE SECTIONS.
THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY HIGHER PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST
AS RIDGING REPLACES TROUGH THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN             66  44  71  49 /   0   0  10  10
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN  63  42  68  48 /   0   0  10  10
OAK RIDGE, TN                       64  41  67  49 /   0   0  10  10
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN              61  37  67  42 /   0   0  10  20

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

$$

TG/TD




000
FXUS64 KMRX 190830
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
430 AM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)...UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS WAS
SHIFTING EAST OF THE APPALACHIANS THIS MORNING...WITH MOSTLY CLOUDS
LEFT BEHIND AND NO PRECIPITATION. THESE CLOUDS AND LIGHT NORTHERLY
WINDS KEPT MIN TEMPS UP OVERNIGHT.

SUNSHINE RETURNS IN NEAR FULL FORCE LATER TODAY...BUT SOME SLIGHT
COOLING OF 850 MB TEMPS. THUS...I KEPT MAX TEMPS CLOSER TO THE MOS
BLEND JUST BELOW THE WARMER GFS MAXES.

WINDS SHOULD DECOUPLE TONIGHT WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN HIGH CLOUDS.
WEAK SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW BEGINS LATE TONIGHT FOR WESTERN AREAS
AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS. HOWEVER...MAY SEE MINS DIP AS LOW AS MID OR
UPPER 30S IN A FEW SPOTS OF NE TN AND SW VA. THUS...I ADDED SOME
PATCHY AREAS OF FROST.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER
THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE COUNTRY CONTINUES THROUGH MOST OF THE
WEEK. NW FLOW BRINGS SYSTEM SOUTHEAST INTO THE GREAT LAKES THEN
MOVES EAST ACROSS THE NE STATES. A REINFORCING SHOT OF COLDER AIR
WILL MOVE THROUGH WITH THIS SYSTEM AS IT DROPS A COLD FRONT THROUGH
THE FORECAST AREA TUESDAY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS MONDAY NIGHT.
TUESDAY THE BEST CHANCE OF SHOWERS WILL BE IN THE NE AS THE FRONT
PASSES THROUGH. THE SYSTEM WILL BE SLOW TO MOVE TO THE NE AS MODELS
TRY TO SHOW THE SYSTEM DEVELOPING A CLOSED LOW OVER THE MID
ATLANTIC AND NE STATES. AS MOISTURE ROTATES AROUND IT A FEW
SHOWERS WILL LINGER TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY IN THE NE SECTIONS.
THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY HIGHER PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST
AS RIDGING REPLACES TROUGH THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN             66  44  71  49 /   0   0  10  10
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN  63  42  68  48 /   0   0  10  10
OAK RIDGE, TN                       64  41  67  49 /   0   0  10  10
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN              61  37  67  42 /   0   0  10  20

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

$$

TG/TD





000
FXUS64 KMRX 190538
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
137 AM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.AVIATION...CLOUDS MAY PERSIST THROUGH DAYBREAK FOR TYS AND TRI...
DROPPING INTO MVFR CATEGORY MAINLY OVER NE TN AND SW VA. NOT SEEING
MUCH IF ANY LIGHT PRECIPITATION WITH THE ASSOCIATED UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE. THE CLOUDS SHOULD GIVE WAY TO CLEAR SKIES BY MID
MORNING WITH VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH AT LEAST SUNDAY NIGHT.

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

$$

TG




000
FXUS64 KMRX 190538
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
137 AM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.AVIATION...CLOUDS MAY PERSIST THROUGH DAYBREAK FOR TYS AND TRI...
DROPPING INTO MVFR CATEGORY MAINLY OVER NE TN AND SW VA. NOT SEEING
MUCH IF ANY LIGHT PRECIPITATION WITH THE ASSOCIATED UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE. THE CLOUDS SHOULD GIVE WAY TO CLEAR SKIES BY MID
MORNING WITH VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH AT LEAST SUNDAY NIGHT.

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

$$

TG





000
FXUS64 KMRX 190120
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
920 PM EDT SAT OCT 18 2014

.DISCUSSION...
OVERALL FORECAST STILL ON TRACK. ONLY MINOR EDITS WERE TO INCREASE
CLOUD COVER FURTHER SOUTH FOR THE EARLY TONIGHT PERIOD...AS WELL AS
LOWER TEMPERATURES A DEGREE OR TWO FOR TONIGHT. WITH THE FRONT
STILL SWINGING THROUGH THE AREA...TEMPS WILL BE SEVERAL DEGREES
BELOW NORMAL FOR TONIGHT...WITH LIGHT SHOWERS POSSIBLE IN NE TN AND
SW VA. CLOUDS AND RAIN SHOULD CLEAR BY MORNING AND SUNNY AND DRY
DAY EXPECTED SUNDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN             44  65  44  72 /  10   0   0  10
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN  42  63  43  68 /  10   0   0  10
OAK RIDGE, TN                       41  64  41  68 /  10   0   0  20
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN              41  60  35  67 /  30   0   0  10

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

$$

JW





000
FXUS64 KMRX 190120
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
920 PM EDT SAT OCT 18 2014

.DISCUSSION...
OVERALL FORECAST STILL ON TRACK. ONLY MINOR EDITS WERE TO INCREASE
CLOUD COVER FURTHER SOUTH FOR THE EARLY TONIGHT PERIOD...AS WELL AS
LOWER TEMPERATURES A DEGREE OR TWO FOR TONIGHT. WITH THE FRONT
STILL SWINGING THROUGH THE AREA...TEMPS WILL BE SEVERAL DEGREES
BELOW NORMAL FOR TONIGHT...WITH LIGHT SHOWERS POSSIBLE IN NE TN AND
SW VA. CLOUDS AND RAIN SHOULD CLEAR BY MORNING AND SUNNY AND DRY
DAY EXPECTED SUNDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN             44  65  44  72 /  10   0   0  10
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN  42  63  43  68 /  10   0   0  10
OAK RIDGE, TN                       41  64  41  68 /  10   0   0  20
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN              41  60  35  67 /  30   0   0  10

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

$$

JW




000
FXUS64 KMRX 182313
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
713 PM EDT SAT OCT 18 2014

.AVIATION...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS CROSSING THE AREA THIS EVENING...AND IS
BRINGING BROKEN TO OVERCAST CLOUDS OVER THE TAF SITES. CLOUD ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN PLACE AT TRI THROUGH THE NIGHT...AND MAY
APPROACH THE VFR/MVFR MARGINS. WILL KEEP THE TAF VFR FOR NOW AS
THAT SEEMS THE MOST LIKELY SCENARIO. TYS AND CHA WILL STAY VFR FOR
CERTAIN...WITH CLOUDS BECOMING SCATTERED AT CHA BY MIDNIGHT. CLEAR
SKIES RETURN FOR ALL SITES BY LATE MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON
TOMORROW.

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

$$

DGS





000
FXUS64 KMRX 182313
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
713 PM EDT SAT OCT 18 2014

.AVIATION...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS CROSSING THE AREA THIS EVENING...AND IS
BRINGING BROKEN TO OVERCAST CLOUDS OVER THE TAF SITES. CLOUD ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN PLACE AT TRI THROUGH THE NIGHT...AND MAY
APPROACH THE VFR/MVFR MARGINS. WILL KEEP THE TAF VFR FOR NOW AS
THAT SEEMS THE MOST LIKELY SCENARIO. TYS AND CHA WILL STAY VFR FOR
CERTAIN...WITH CLOUDS BECOMING SCATTERED AT CHA BY MIDNIGHT. CLEAR
SKIES RETURN FOR ALL SITES BY LATE MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON
TOMORROW.

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

$$

DGS




000
FXUS64 KMRX 181846
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
246 PM EDT SAT OCT 18 2014

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
CONTINUING TO BUILD ACROSS OUR AREA BUT ANOTHER RE-ENFORCING SHOT
OF COLD AIR WILL ARRIVE TONIGHT AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH SWINGS
THROUGH. ENOUGH MOISTURE AND LIFT LOOK TO TO BE PRESENT TO GENERATE
SOME LIGHT SHOWERS ACROSS NETN...SWVA...AND THE SMOKIES AS THIS
TROUGH MOVES THROUGH. SHOWERS WILL BE LIGHT THOUGH...WITH MOST
AREAS ONLY SEEING A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH UP TO ONE TENTH OF
INCH. THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH RATHER QUICKLY WITH CLEARING
SKIES LATE TONIGHT. THIS WILL POSSIBLY ALLOW FOR SOME FOG OVERNIGHT
IN AREAS THAT DO RECEIVE RAIN...IF THE WINDS CAN SETTLE DOWN.
OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE QUITE A BIT COLDER COMPARED TO LAST
NIGHT...ROUGHLY 8 TO 10 DEGREES.

HIGH PRESSURE FURTHER BUILDS INTO THE AREA TOMORROW WHICH SHOULD
RESULT IN MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AREA WIDE BY THE AFTERNOON HOURS. HIGH
TEMPS WILL BE A FEW DEGREES COOLER...AGAIN...DUE TO THE COLD AIR
RE- ENFORCEMENT THAT WILL OCCUR TONIGHT. HIGHS WILL GENERALLY BE 5
TO 7 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. OVERALL...A NICE FALL DAY EXPECTED
TOMORROW.

.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)...THERE IS ONLY SO
MANY WAYS TO SAY IT...BUT REPETITIVE TROFFING ALOFT OVER THE EAST
COAST WILL BE THE DRIVER OF THE WEATHER DURING THE EXTENDED PERIOD.
THIS WILL RESULT IN CHANCES OF SHOWERS LATE MONDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY...MAINLY OVER THE NORTHEAST HALF TO THIRD OF THE AREA.
EXPECTING THE BEST CHANCES TO OCCUR MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY OVER
AND NEAR SW VA AND THE FAR NE TN MOUNTAINS. IN COMPARISON...THE
CHATTANOOGA VICINITY IS EXPECTED TO STAY DRY THROUGH THE PERIOD...
TOO FAR AWAY FROM THE MOISTURE BAND TO BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE
TROUGH. AS THE UPPER TROUGH GRADUALLY MOVES INTO THE NORTH ATLANTIC
LATE NEXT WEEK...RIDGING WILL BUILD IN OVER OUR REGION...WITH A
CONSEQUENT WARM-UP EXPECTED FOR FRI-SAT.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN             44  66  44  72 /  10   0   0  10
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN  43  64  43  68 /  10   0   0  10
OAK RIDGE, TN                       42  65  41  68 /  10   0   0  20
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN              42  61  35  67 /  30   0   0  10

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

$$

SR/GC




000
FXUS64 KMRX 181846
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
246 PM EDT SAT OCT 18 2014

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
CONTINUING TO BUILD ACROSS OUR AREA BUT ANOTHER RE-ENFORCING SHOT
OF COLD AIR WILL ARRIVE TONIGHT AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH SWINGS
THROUGH. ENOUGH MOISTURE AND LIFT LOOK TO TO BE PRESENT TO GENERATE
SOME LIGHT SHOWERS ACROSS NETN...SWVA...AND THE SMOKIES AS THIS
TROUGH MOVES THROUGH. SHOWERS WILL BE LIGHT THOUGH...WITH MOST
AREAS ONLY SEEING A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH UP TO ONE TENTH OF
INCH. THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH RATHER QUICKLY WITH CLEARING
SKIES LATE TONIGHT. THIS WILL POSSIBLY ALLOW FOR SOME FOG OVERNIGHT
IN AREAS THAT DO RECEIVE RAIN...IF THE WINDS CAN SETTLE DOWN.
OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE QUITE A BIT COLDER COMPARED TO LAST
NIGHT...ROUGHLY 8 TO 10 DEGREES.

HIGH PRESSURE FURTHER BUILDS INTO THE AREA TOMORROW WHICH SHOULD
RESULT IN MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AREA WIDE BY THE AFTERNOON HOURS. HIGH
TEMPS WILL BE A FEW DEGREES COOLER...AGAIN...DUE TO THE COLD AIR
RE- ENFORCEMENT THAT WILL OCCUR TONIGHT. HIGHS WILL GENERALLY BE 5
TO 7 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. OVERALL...A NICE FALL DAY EXPECTED
TOMORROW.

.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)...THERE IS ONLY SO
MANY WAYS TO SAY IT...BUT REPETITIVE TROFFING ALOFT OVER THE EAST
COAST WILL BE THE DRIVER OF THE WEATHER DURING THE EXTENDED PERIOD.
THIS WILL RESULT IN CHANCES OF SHOWERS LATE MONDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY...MAINLY OVER THE NORTHEAST HALF TO THIRD OF THE AREA.
EXPECTING THE BEST CHANCES TO OCCUR MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY OVER
AND NEAR SW VA AND THE FAR NE TN MOUNTAINS. IN COMPARISON...THE
CHATTANOOGA VICINITY IS EXPECTED TO STAY DRY THROUGH THE PERIOD...
TOO FAR AWAY FROM THE MOISTURE BAND TO BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE
TROUGH. AS THE UPPER TROUGH GRADUALLY MOVES INTO THE NORTH ATLANTIC
LATE NEXT WEEK...RIDGING WILL BUILD IN OVER OUR REGION...WITH A
CONSEQUENT WARM-UP EXPECTED FOR FRI-SAT.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN             44  66  44  72 /  10   0   0  10
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN  43  64  43  68 /  10   0   0  10
OAK RIDGE, TN                       42  65  41  68 /  10   0   0  20
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN              42  61  35  67 /  30   0   0  10

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

$$

SR/GC





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