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000
FXUS65 KMSO 032059
AFDMSO

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Missoula MT
259 PM MDT FRI JUL 3 2015

.DISCUSSION....DISCUSSION...Today will be another hot, dry day. Temperatures
10 to 15 degrees above average will be common. The hottest
locations will be in the canyons of north central Idaho, including
Orofino, Slate Creek, and Hells Canyon. Other than the hot
temperatures, and some breezy afternoon winds, a few high clouds
with cumulus along the Divide can be expected.

Independence Day will still be warm, but a few degrees cooler than
Saturday. Windier conditions are expected as the pressure
gradient tightens in advance of an approaching front. This front,
along with antecedent dry conditions, will continue to raise fire
weather concerns. During the evening, the front itself will push
west over the Divide, bringing showers, thunderstorms, and
easterly winds to northwest Montana. This front will progress to
the west overnight, causing Sunday to be a notably cooler day.
North central Idaho will largely miss out on the cool down, since
the front stalls out near the Montana/Idaho border. Despite Sunday
being cooler for Montana, temperatures will still be near average
for the time of the year, as we have been well above normal for
some time now. Thunderstorms will become an additional threat for
western Montana on Sunday, but models disagree on exactly how far
west the storms will reach. Currently, locations east of the
Bitterroot Range look to have the best shot for afternoon
thunderstorms.

Next week looks to remain warmer than average, around 5 to 10
degrees above average, but not as hot as the previous week.
Tuesday and Wednesday afternoon thunderstorms are again possible.
Past mid-week, the ridge attempts to stay over the area, which
would mean continued mid-summer like conditions.


&&

.AVIATION...A weak shortwave will pass through northwest Montana
today with a few cumulus build-ups possible along the divide.
Wildfire smoke will again move into KBTM this morning with some
impact to visibility through the morning. The rest of north
central Idaho and western Montana will have a few passing clouds,
very warm temperatures, and high density altitudes. Normal
afternoon winds can also be expected today.

High pressure will begin to flatten on Saturday, so afternoon
winds will be stronger than previous days. There will also be a
shortwave to pass along the Divide late in the day of July 4th,
that will help kick off thunderstorms along the Divide, and
especially through Glacier National Park. Gusty easterly winds
will also develop through western Montana Saturday night into
Sunday.


&&

.MSO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MT...RED FLAG WARNING from 6 AM to 9 PM MDT Saturday East Lolo...
     Flathead/Glacier Park...Salish and Kootenai Reservation.

     RED FLAG WARNING from 6 AM to 9 PM MDT Saturday Kootenai.

ID...HEAT ADVISORY until 8 PM PDT this evening Lower Hells
     Canyon/Salmon River Region...Orofino/Grangeville Region.

&&

$$





000
FXUS65 KMSO 032059
AFDMSO

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Missoula MT
259 PM MDT FRI JUL 3 2015

.DISCUSSION....DISCUSSION...Today will be another hot, dry day. Temperatures
10 to 15 degrees above average will be common. The hottest
locations will be in the canyons of north central Idaho, including
Orofino, Slate Creek, and Hells Canyon. Other than the hot
temperatures, and some breezy afternoon winds, a few high clouds
with cumulus along the Divide can be expected.

Independence Day will still be warm, but a few degrees cooler than
Saturday. Windier conditions are expected as the pressure
gradient tightens in advance of an approaching front. This front,
along with antecedent dry conditions, will continue to raise fire
weather concerns. During the evening, the front itself will push
west over the Divide, bringing showers, thunderstorms, and
easterly winds to northwest Montana. This front will progress to
the west overnight, causing Sunday to be a notably cooler day.
North central Idaho will largely miss out on the cool down, since
the front stalls out near the Montana/Idaho border. Despite Sunday
being cooler for Montana, temperatures will still be near average
for the time of the year, as we have been well above normal for
some time now. Thunderstorms will become an additional threat for
western Montana on Sunday, but models disagree on exactly how far
west the storms will reach. Currently, locations east of the
Bitterroot Range look to have the best shot for afternoon
thunderstorms.

Next week looks to remain warmer than average, around 5 to 10
degrees above average, but not as hot as the previous week.
Tuesday and Wednesday afternoon thunderstorms are again possible.
Past mid-week, the ridge attempts to stay over the area, which
would mean continued mid-summer like conditions.


&&

.AVIATION...A weak shortwave will pass through northwest Montana
today with a few cumulus build-ups possible along the divide.
Wildfire smoke will again move into KBTM this morning with some
impact to visibility through the morning. The rest of north
central Idaho and western Montana will have a few passing clouds,
very warm temperatures, and high density altitudes. Normal
afternoon winds can also be expected today.

High pressure will begin to flatten on Saturday, so afternoon
winds will be stronger than previous days. There will also be a
shortwave to pass along the Divide late in the day of July 4th,
that will help kick off thunderstorms along the Divide, and
especially through Glacier National Park. Gusty easterly winds
will also develop through western Montana Saturday night into
Sunday.


&&

.MSO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MT...RED FLAG WARNING from 6 AM to 9 PM MDT Saturday East Lolo...
     Flathead/Glacier Park...Salish and Kootenai Reservation.

     RED FLAG WARNING from 6 AM to 9 PM MDT Saturday Kootenai.

ID...HEAT ADVISORY until 8 PM PDT this evening Lower Hells
     Canyon/Salmon River Region...Orofino/Grangeville Region.

&&

$$




000
FXUS65 KMSO 030946
AFDMSO

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Missoula MT
346 AM MDT FRI JUL 3 2015

.DISCUSSION...Today will be another quite warm day with high
temperatures a few degrees warmer than yesterday`s and near record
values.

Fourth of July, Saturday: High pressure will begin to weaken,
though high temperatures will remain very warm. Winds will
increase in the afternoon which will bring an increase in fire
danger. Wind gusts of 30 mph will be common Saturday afternoon
and evening. There will also be increased chances for
thunderstorms in portions of northwest Montana, mainly in Glacier
NP, Saturday evening and overnight. Winds will also shift to
easterly overnight with wind prone canyons and valleys, including
Clearwater Junction, Hellgate Canyon, and Bad Rock Canyon to see
stronger gusts.

Model guidance agree that cooler high temperatures are likely on
Sunday, especially in western Montana where high temperature
readings are going to be close to normal. Locations along the
divide may actually have high temperatures below normal, in the
60s and 70s. Part of the reason for the cooler temperatures, along
the divide, will be the presence of showers and thunderstorms
Sunday. Much of western Montana and eastern Idaho will have
increased shower and thunderstorm chances during Sunday, but the
best chance for any appreciable moisture will be in Glacier NP and
along the divide. Most of north central Idaho will remain hot with
little if any chance for showers.

High pressure is forecast to quickly return for Monday so
temperatures will again warm to 10 degrees above normal. Showers
and thunderstorms chances are also in the forecast for Monday
afternoon, mainly through Lemhi County, Idaho, and into southwest
Montana.

A more active weather pattern is being forecast by extended model
guidance for the second half of next week. The more active
weather pattern will allow for increased chances for showers and
thunderstorms and temperatures not quite as warm as the last 2
weeks but still slightly above normal.


&&

.AVIATION...A weak shortwave will pass through northwest Montana
today with a few cumulus build-ups possible along the divide.
Wildfire smoke will again move into KBTM this morning with some
impact to visibility through the morning. The rest of north
central Idaho and western Montana will have a few passing clouds,
very warm temperatures, and high density altitudes. Normal
afternoon winds can also be expected today.

High pressure will begin to flatten on Saturday so afternoon
winds will be stronger than previous days. There will also be a
shortwave to pass along the divide late in the day of July 4th,
that will help kick off thunderstorms along the divide, and
especially through Glacier National Park. Gusty easterly winds
will also develop through western Montana Saturday night.

&&

.MSO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MT...FIRE WEATHER WATCH from Saturday morning through Saturday
     evening Bitterroot...Deerlodge/West Beaverhead...East
     Lolo...Flathead/Glacier Park...Kootenai...Salish and
     Kootenai Reservation.

ID...HEAT ADVISORY until 8 PM PDT this evening Lower Hells
     Canyon/Salmon River Region...Orofino/Grangeville Region.

&&

$$




000
FXUS65 KMSO 030946
AFDMSO

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Missoula MT
346 AM MDT FRI JUL 3 2015

.DISCUSSION...Today will be another quite warm day with high
temperatures a few degrees warmer than yesterday`s and near record
values.

Fourth of July, Saturday: High pressure will begin to weaken,
though high temperatures will remain very warm. Winds will
increase in the afternoon which will bring an increase in fire
danger. Wind gusts of 30 mph will be common Saturday afternoon
and evening. There will also be increased chances for
thunderstorms in portions of northwest Montana, mainly in Glacier
NP, Saturday evening and overnight. Winds will also shift to
easterly overnight with wind prone canyons and valleys, including
Clearwater Junction, Hellgate Canyon, and Bad Rock Canyon to see
stronger gusts.

Model guidance agree that cooler high temperatures are likely on
Sunday, especially in western Montana where high temperature
readings are going to be close to normal. Locations along the
divide may actually have high temperatures below normal, in the
60s and 70s. Part of the reason for the cooler temperatures, along
the divide, will be the presence of showers and thunderstorms
Sunday. Much of western Montana and eastern Idaho will have
increased shower and thunderstorm chances during Sunday, but the
best chance for any appreciable moisture will be in Glacier NP and
along the divide. Most of north central Idaho will remain hot with
little if any chance for showers.

High pressure is forecast to quickly return for Monday so
temperatures will again warm to 10 degrees above normal. Showers
and thunderstorms chances are also in the forecast for Monday
afternoon, mainly through Lemhi County, Idaho, and into southwest
Montana.

A more active weather pattern is being forecast by extended model
guidance for the second half of next week. The more active
weather pattern will allow for increased chances for showers and
thunderstorms and temperatures not quite as warm as the last 2
weeks but still slightly above normal.


&&

.AVIATION...A weak shortwave will pass through northwest Montana
today with a few cumulus build-ups possible along the divide.
Wildfire smoke will again move into KBTM this morning with some
impact to visibility through the morning. The rest of north
central Idaho and western Montana will have a few passing clouds,
very warm temperatures, and high density altitudes. Normal
afternoon winds can also be expected today.

High pressure will begin to flatten on Saturday so afternoon
winds will be stronger than previous days. There will also be a
shortwave to pass along the divide late in the day of July 4th,
that will help kick off thunderstorms along the divide, and
especially through Glacier National Park. Gusty easterly winds
will also develop through western Montana Saturday night.

&&

.MSO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MT...FIRE WEATHER WATCH from Saturday morning through Saturday
     evening Bitterroot...Deerlodge/West Beaverhead...East
     Lolo...Flathead/Glacier Park...Kootenai...Salish and
     Kootenai Reservation.

ID...HEAT ADVISORY until 8 PM PDT this evening Lower Hells
     Canyon/Salmon River Region...Orofino/Grangeville Region.

&&

$$





000
FXUS65 KMSO 022108
AFDMSO

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Missoula MT
308 PM MDT THU JUL 2 2015

.DISCUSSION...Thursday will be another warm, sunny day with
temperatures 10 to 15 degrees above normal. Precipitation is not
expected for our region, but a few cumulus can be expected in the
mountains. The Camas Prairie and deep canyons of north central
Idaho will be the hottest place in our forecast area today, and
heat advisories are currently in place for both today and
tomorrow.

Friday will be a few degrees warmer than today, with continued dry
conditions. Winds will be breezy from the west for western
Montana, with gusts of 20 mph during the afternoon. Winds will be
even stronger on Independence Day, gusting in the 30 mph range,
and dry conditions will continue through Saturday evening.

Overnight Saturday into Sunday, a back door cold front will push
west over the Continental Divide causing a wind shift and windy
conditions for wind prone canyons and valleys, including
Clearwater Junction, Hellgate Canyon, and Bad Rock Canyon. Despite
the air being cooler, temperatures will only fall to near average
values, since we have been well above normal prior to the front`s
arrival. Up to a quarter inch of rain will be possible over
Glacier National Park, and along northern portions of the
Continental Divide. Idaho will be spared from most of these
impacts as the front will weaken before pushing into the
Clearwater Mountains.

Early next week, the ridge begins to build back and temperatures
slowly rise, but by mid-week another back door cold front looks
possible, bringing similar conditions to Sunday.

&&

.AVIATION...Mostly clear skies and light winds will prevail today.
Precipitation is not expected, with only a few cumulus expected over
terrain. KBTM could again see somewhat reduced visibilities due to
smoke from Canadian fires. Density altitudes will be high today
and Friday afternoon as temperatures rise a few degrees.

&&

.MSO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MT...None.
ID...HEAT ADVISORY until 8 PM PDT Friday Lower Hells Canyon/Salmon
     River Region...Orofino/Grangeville Region.

&&

$$




000
FXUS65 KMSO 022108
AFDMSO

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Missoula MT
308 PM MDT THU JUL 2 2015

.DISCUSSION...Thursday will be another warm, sunny day with
temperatures 10 to 15 degrees above normal. Precipitation is not
expected for our region, but a few cumulus can be expected in the
mountains. The Camas Prairie and deep canyons of north central
Idaho will be the hottest place in our forecast area today, and
heat advisories are currently in place for both today and
tomorrow.

Friday will be a few degrees warmer than today, with continued dry
conditions. Winds will be breezy from the west for western
Montana, with gusts of 20 mph during the afternoon. Winds will be
even stronger on Independence Day, gusting in the 30 mph range,
and dry conditions will continue through Saturday evening.

Overnight Saturday into Sunday, a back door cold front will push
west over the Continental Divide causing a wind shift and windy
conditions for wind prone canyons and valleys, including
Clearwater Junction, Hellgate Canyon, and Bad Rock Canyon. Despite
the air being cooler, temperatures will only fall to near average
values, since we have been well above normal prior to the front`s
arrival. Up to a quarter inch of rain will be possible over
Glacier National Park, and along northern portions of the
Continental Divide. Idaho will be spared from most of these
impacts as the front will weaken before pushing into the
Clearwater Mountains.

Early next week, the ridge begins to build back and temperatures
slowly rise, but by mid-week another back door cold front looks
possible, bringing similar conditions to Sunday.

&&

.AVIATION...Mostly clear skies and light winds will prevail today.
Precipitation is not expected, with only a few cumulus expected over
terrain. KBTM could again see somewhat reduced visibilities due to
smoke from Canadian fires. Density altitudes will be high today
and Friday afternoon as temperatures rise a few degrees.

&&

.MSO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MT...None.
ID...HEAT ADVISORY until 8 PM PDT Friday Lower Hells Canyon/Salmon
     River Region...Orofino/Grangeville Region.

&&

$$





000
FXUS65 KMSO 021018 CCA
AFDMSO

Area Forecast Discussion...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Missoula MT
418 AM MDT THU JUL 2 2015

...Hot Today and Friday...
...Gusty winds Saturday...

.DISCUSSION...Easterly winds in western Montana have kept
temperatures quite warm in many locations. These winds will
decrease through the morning, and afternoon highs are again going
to be very warm. Western portions of north central Idaho,
including Orofino, Slate Creek, and Riggins, will see triple
digit temperatures both today and Friday, so a heat advisory is
in effect this afternoon through Friday. A weak shortwave will
pass through the region today with a few showers possible along
the Divide.

High temperatures on Friday will again approach record values with
afternoon breezes likely.

The next weather system is on track to move into the region on
Saturday. Ahead of the weather system, increased westerly winds
are expected, particularly in western Montana. Confidence is
increasing for showers and thunderstorms to move through Glacier
National Park late in the day as the shortwave passes. Easterly
winds will develop overnight Saturday night as surface high
pressure develops on the east side of the Divide. These winds
could be gusty Saturday night through Sunday morning in favored
locations including: Columbia Falls, Kalispell Airport,
Helmville, Hellgate Canyon, and along the east side of Flathead
Lake.

Sunday will have cooler temperatures and chances for showers as
the shortwave continues through Idaho and western Montana. Though
high temperatures are going to be cooler, they will still be
slightly above average in most places.

High pressure will return for Monday, but it now looks like a more
active weather pattern will develop by the middle of next week.
This more active weather pattern will keep temperatures a little
cooler than what we have been seeing lately (ie: low to mid 80s)
and bring increased chances for showers and thunderstorms.


&&

.AVIATION...An easterly pressure gradient has developed over
western Montana and is causing a slight increase in winds
particularly at KGPI and KMSO. The gradient is forecast to
decrease through the morning and high temperatures will again be
quite warm this afternoon. A weak shortwave will pass through
western Montana this afternoon so showers and thunderstorms are
possible along the divide through sunset.



&&

.MSO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MT...None.
ID...HEAT ADVISORY from 2 PM this afternoon to 8 PM PDT Friday Lower
     Hells Canyon/Salmon River Region...Orofino/Grangeville
     Region.

&&

$$




000
FXUS65 KMSO 021018 CCA
AFDMSO

Area Forecast Discussion...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Missoula MT
418 AM MDT THU JUL 2 2015

...Hot Today and Friday...
...Gusty winds Saturday...

.DISCUSSION...Easterly winds in western Montana have kept
temperatures quite warm in many locations. These winds will
decrease through the morning, and afternoon highs are again going
to be very warm. Western portions of north central Idaho,
including Orofino, Slate Creek, and Riggins, will see triple
digit temperatures both today and Friday, so a heat advisory is
in effect this afternoon through Friday. A weak shortwave will
pass through the region today with a few showers possible along
the Divide.

High temperatures on Friday will again approach record values with
afternoon breezes likely.

The next weather system is on track to move into the region on
Saturday. Ahead of the weather system, increased westerly winds
are expected, particularly in western Montana. Confidence is
increasing for showers and thunderstorms to move through Glacier
National Park late in the day as the shortwave passes. Easterly
winds will develop overnight Saturday night as surface high
pressure develops on the east side of the Divide. These winds
could be gusty Saturday night through Sunday morning in favored
locations including: Columbia Falls, Kalispell Airport,
Helmville, Hellgate Canyon, and along the east side of Flathead
Lake.

Sunday will have cooler temperatures and chances for showers as
the shortwave continues through Idaho and western Montana. Though
high temperatures are going to be cooler, they will still be
slightly above average in most places.

High pressure will return for Monday, but it now looks like a more
active weather pattern will develop by the middle of next week.
This more active weather pattern will keep temperatures a little
cooler than what we have been seeing lately (ie: low to mid 80s)
and bring increased chances for showers and thunderstorms.


&&

.AVIATION...An easterly pressure gradient has developed over
western Montana and is causing a slight increase in winds
particularly at KGPI and KMSO. The gradient is forecast to
decrease through the morning and high temperatures will again be
quite warm this afternoon. A weak shortwave will pass through
western Montana this afternoon so showers and thunderstorms are
possible along the divide through sunset.



&&

.MSO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MT...None.
ID...HEAT ADVISORY from 2 PM this afternoon to 8 PM PDT Friday Lower
     Hells Canyon/Salmon River Region...Orofino/Grangeville
     Region.

&&

$$





000
FXUS65 KMSO 021018 CCA
AFDMSO

Area Forecast Discussion...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Missoula MT
418 AM MDT THU JUL 2 2015

...Hot Today and Friday...
...Gusty winds Saturday...

.DISCUSSION...Easterly winds in western Montana have kept
temperatures quite warm in many locations. These winds will
decrease through the morning, and afternoon highs are again going
to be very warm. Western portions of north central Idaho,
including Orofino, Slate Creek, and Riggins, will see triple
digit temperatures both today and Friday, so a heat advisory is
in effect this afternoon through Friday. A weak shortwave will
pass through the region today with a few showers possible along
the Divide.

High temperatures on Friday will again approach record values with
afternoon breezes likely.

The next weather system is on track to move into the region on
Saturday. Ahead of the weather system, increased westerly winds
are expected, particularly in western Montana. Confidence is
increasing for showers and thunderstorms to move through Glacier
National Park late in the day as the shortwave passes. Easterly
winds will develop overnight Saturday night as surface high
pressure develops on the east side of the Divide. These winds
could be gusty Saturday night through Sunday morning in favored
locations including: Columbia Falls, Kalispell Airport,
Helmville, Hellgate Canyon, and along the east side of Flathead
Lake.

Sunday will have cooler temperatures and chances for showers as
the shortwave continues through Idaho and western Montana. Though
high temperatures are going to be cooler, they will still be
slightly above average in most places.

High pressure will return for Monday, but it now looks like a more
active weather pattern will develop by the middle of next week.
This more active weather pattern will keep temperatures a little
cooler than what we have been seeing lately (ie: low to mid 80s)
and bring increased chances for showers and thunderstorms.


&&

.AVIATION...An easterly pressure gradient has developed over
western Montana and is causing a slight increase in winds
particularly at KGPI and KMSO. The gradient is forecast to
decrease through the morning and high temperatures will again be
quite warm this afternoon. A weak shortwave will pass through
western Montana this afternoon so showers and thunderstorms are
possible along the divide through sunset.



&&

.MSO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MT...None.
ID...HEAT ADVISORY from 2 PM this afternoon to 8 PM PDT Friday Lower
     Hells Canyon/Salmon River Region...Orofino/Grangeville
     Region.

&&

$$





000
FXUS65 KMSO 021018 CCA
AFDMSO

Area Forecast Discussion...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Missoula MT
418 AM MDT THU JUL 2 2015

...Hot Today and Friday...
...Gusty winds Saturday...

.DISCUSSION...Easterly winds in western Montana have kept
temperatures quite warm in many locations. These winds will
decrease through the morning, and afternoon highs are again going
to be very warm. Western portions of north central Idaho,
including Orofino, Slate Creek, and Riggins, will see triple
digit temperatures both today and Friday, so a heat advisory is
in effect this afternoon through Friday. A weak shortwave will
pass through the region today with a few showers possible along
the Divide.

High temperatures on Friday will again approach record values with
afternoon breezes likely.

The next weather system is on track to move into the region on
Saturday. Ahead of the weather system, increased westerly winds
are expected, particularly in western Montana. Confidence is
increasing for showers and thunderstorms to move through Glacier
National Park late in the day as the shortwave passes. Easterly
winds will develop overnight Saturday night as surface high
pressure develops on the east side of the Divide. These winds
could be gusty Saturday night through Sunday morning in favored
locations including: Columbia Falls, Kalispell Airport,
Helmville, Hellgate Canyon, and along the east side of Flathead
Lake.

Sunday will have cooler temperatures and chances for showers as
the shortwave continues through Idaho and western Montana. Though
high temperatures are going to be cooler, they will still be
slightly above average in most places.

High pressure will return for Monday, but it now looks like a more
active weather pattern will develop by the middle of next week.
This more active weather pattern will keep temperatures a little
cooler than what we have been seeing lately (ie: low to mid 80s)
and bring increased chances for showers and thunderstorms.


&&

.AVIATION...An easterly pressure gradient has developed over
western Montana and is causing a slight increase in winds
particularly at KGPI and KMSO. The gradient is forecast to
decrease through the morning and high temperatures will again be
quite warm this afternoon. A weak shortwave will pass through
western Montana this afternoon so showers and thunderstorms are
possible along the divide through sunset.



&&

.MSO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MT...None.
ID...HEAT ADVISORY from 2 PM this afternoon to 8 PM PDT Friday Lower
     Hells Canyon/Salmon River Region...Orofino/Grangeville
     Region.

&&

$$




000
FXUS65 KMSO 021018
AFDMSO

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Missoula MT
418 AM MDT THU JUL 2 2015

...Hot Today and Friday...
...Gusty winds Saturday...

.DISCUSSION...Easterly winds in western Montana have kept
temperatures quite warm in many locations. This winds will
decrease through the morning and afternoon highs are again going
to be very warm. Western portions of north central Idaho,
including Orofino, Slate Creek, and Riggins will see triple digit
temperatures both Thursday and Friday, and a heat advisory is in
effect this afternoon through Friday. A weak shortwave will pass
through the region today with a few showers possible along the
divide.

High temperatures on Friday will again approach record values with
afternoon breezes likely.

The next weather system is on track to move into the region on
Saturday. Ahead of the weather system, increased westerly winds
are expected, particularly in western Montana. Confidence is
increasing for showers and thunderstorms to move through Glacier
National Park late in the day as the shortwave passes. Easterly
winds will develop overnight Saturday night as surface high
pressure develops on the east side of the divide. These winds
could be gusty Saturday night through Sunday morning in favored
locations including, Columbia Falls, Kalispell Airport,
Helmville, Hellgate Canyon, and the east side of Flathead Lake.

Sunday will have cooler temperatures and chances for showers as
the shortwave continues through Idaho and western Montana. Though
high temperatures are going to be cooler, they will still be
slightly above average in most places.

High pressure will return for Monday, but it now looks like a more
active weather pattern will develop by the middle of next week.
This more active weather pattern will keep temperatures a little
cooler than what we have been seeing lately (low to mid 80s) and
bring increased chances for showers and thunderstorms.


&&

.AVIATION...An easterly pressure gradient has developed over
western Montana and is causing a slight increase in winds
particularly at KGPI and KMSO. The gradient is forecast to
decrease through the morning and high temperatures will again be
quite warm this afternoon. A weak shortwave will pass through
western Montana this afternoon so showers and thunderstorms are
possible along the divide through sunset.



&&

.MSO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MT...None.
ID...HEAT ADVISORY from 2 PM this afternoon to 8 PM PDT Friday Lower
     Hells Canyon/Salmon River Region...Orofino/Grangeville
     Region.

&&

$$





000
FXUS65 KMSO 021018
AFDMSO

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Missoula MT
418 AM MDT THU JUL 2 2015

...Hot Today and Friday...
...Gusty winds Saturday...

.DISCUSSION...Easterly winds in western Montana have kept
temperatures quite warm in many locations. This winds will
decrease through the morning and afternoon highs are again going
to be very warm. Western portions of north central Idaho,
including Orofino, Slate Creek, and Riggins will see triple digit
temperatures both Thursday and Friday, and a heat advisory is in
effect this afternoon through Friday. A weak shortwave will pass
through the region today with a few showers possible along the
divide.

High temperatures on Friday will again approach record values with
afternoon breezes likely.

The next weather system is on track to move into the region on
Saturday. Ahead of the weather system, increased westerly winds
are expected, particularly in western Montana. Confidence is
increasing for showers and thunderstorms to move through Glacier
National Park late in the day as the shortwave passes. Easterly
winds will develop overnight Saturday night as surface high
pressure develops on the east side of the divide. These winds
could be gusty Saturday night through Sunday morning in favored
locations including, Columbia Falls, Kalispell Airport,
Helmville, Hellgate Canyon, and the east side of Flathead Lake.

Sunday will have cooler temperatures and chances for showers as
the shortwave continues through Idaho and western Montana. Though
high temperatures are going to be cooler, they will still be
slightly above average in most places.

High pressure will return for Monday, but it now looks like a more
active weather pattern will develop by the middle of next week.
This more active weather pattern will keep temperatures a little
cooler than what we have been seeing lately (low to mid 80s) and
bring increased chances for showers and thunderstorms.


&&

.AVIATION...An easterly pressure gradient has developed over
western Montana and is causing a slight increase in winds
particularly at KGPI and KMSO. The gradient is forecast to
decrease through the morning and high temperatures will again be
quite warm this afternoon. A weak shortwave will pass through
western Montana this afternoon so showers and thunderstorms are
possible along the divide through sunset.



&&

.MSO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MT...None.
ID...HEAT ADVISORY from 2 PM this afternoon to 8 PM PDT Friday Lower
     Hells Canyon/Salmon River Region...Orofino/Grangeville
     Region.

&&

$$





000
FXUS65 KMSO 021018
AFDMSO

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Missoula MT
418 AM MDT THU JUL 2 2015

...Hot Today and Friday...
...Gusty winds Saturday...

.DISCUSSION...Easterly winds in western Montana have kept
temperatures quite warm in many locations. This winds will
decrease through the morning and afternoon highs are again going
to be very warm. Western portions of north central Idaho,
including Orofino, Slate Creek, and Riggins will see triple digit
temperatures both Thursday and Friday, and a heat advisory is in
effect this afternoon through Friday. A weak shortwave will pass
through the region today with a few showers possible along the
divide.

High temperatures on Friday will again approach record values with
afternoon breezes likely.

The next weather system is on track to move into the region on
Saturday. Ahead of the weather system, increased westerly winds
are expected, particularly in western Montana. Confidence is
increasing for showers and thunderstorms to move through Glacier
National Park late in the day as the shortwave passes. Easterly
winds will develop overnight Saturday night as surface high
pressure develops on the east side of the divide. These winds
could be gusty Saturday night through Sunday morning in favored
locations including, Columbia Falls, Kalispell Airport,
Helmville, Hellgate Canyon, and the east side of Flathead Lake.

Sunday will have cooler temperatures and chances for showers as
the shortwave continues through Idaho and western Montana. Though
high temperatures are going to be cooler, they will still be
slightly above average in most places.

High pressure will return for Monday, but it now looks like a more
active weather pattern will develop by the middle of next week.
This more active weather pattern will keep temperatures a little
cooler than what we have been seeing lately (low to mid 80s) and
bring increased chances for showers and thunderstorms.


&&

.AVIATION...An easterly pressure gradient has developed over
western Montana and is causing a slight increase in winds
particularly at KGPI and KMSO. The gradient is forecast to
decrease through the morning and high temperatures will again be
quite warm this afternoon. A weak shortwave will pass through
western Montana this afternoon so showers and thunderstorms are
possible along the divide through sunset.



&&

.MSO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MT...None.
ID...HEAT ADVISORY from 2 PM this afternoon to 8 PM PDT Friday Lower
     Hells Canyon/Salmon River Region...Orofino/Grangeville
     Region.

&&

$$




000
FXUS65 KMSO 021018
AFDMSO

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Missoula MT
418 AM MDT THU JUL 2 2015

...Hot Today and Friday...
...Gusty winds Saturday...

.DISCUSSION...Easterly winds in western Montana have kept
temperatures quite warm in many locations. This winds will
decrease through the morning and afternoon highs are again going
to be very warm. Western portions of north central Idaho,
including Orofino, Slate Creek, and Riggins will see triple digit
temperatures both Thursday and Friday, and a heat advisory is in
effect this afternoon through Friday. A weak shortwave will pass
through the region today with a few showers possible along the
divide.

High temperatures on Friday will again approach record values with
afternoon breezes likely.

The next weather system is on track to move into the region on
Saturday. Ahead of the weather system, increased westerly winds
are expected, particularly in western Montana. Confidence is
increasing for showers and thunderstorms to move through Glacier
National Park late in the day as the shortwave passes. Easterly
winds will develop overnight Saturday night as surface high
pressure develops on the east side of the divide. These winds
could be gusty Saturday night through Sunday morning in favored
locations including, Columbia Falls, Kalispell Airport,
Helmville, Hellgate Canyon, and the east side of Flathead Lake.

Sunday will have cooler temperatures and chances for showers as
the shortwave continues through Idaho and western Montana. Though
high temperatures are going to be cooler, they will still be
slightly above average in most places.

High pressure will return for Monday, but it now looks like a more
active weather pattern will develop by the middle of next week.
This more active weather pattern will keep temperatures a little
cooler than what we have been seeing lately (low to mid 80s) and
bring increased chances for showers and thunderstorms.


&&

.AVIATION...An easterly pressure gradient has developed over
western Montana and is causing a slight increase in winds
particularly at KGPI and KMSO. The gradient is forecast to
decrease through the morning and high temperatures will again be
quite warm this afternoon. A weak shortwave will pass through
western Montana this afternoon so showers and thunderstorms are
possible along the divide through sunset.



&&

.MSO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MT...None.
ID...HEAT ADVISORY from 2 PM this afternoon to 8 PM PDT Friday Lower
     Hells Canyon/Salmon River Region...Orofino/Grangeville
     Region.

&&

$$




000
FXUS65 KMSO 012045
AFDMSO

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Missoula MT
245 PM MDT WED JUL 1 2015

...More heat into Saturday....

.DISCUSSION...Sunny, warm conditions with some afternoon cumulus
will be the weather experienced by most today as the regions
continues to sit underneath an upper level ridge. Those near
Glacier National Park and surrounding communities may see an
afternoon shower or thunderstorm, but these storms will not be
widespread, and very little precipitation is expected west of the
Divide. Winds will generally be from northwest, and will be breezy
this afternoon, with gusts to 25 mph. Overnight winds will shift
and become easterly as a surface high pressure slides southward
east of the Divide.

As we move into the late week, temperatures will continue to rise
and again approach record values on Friday. Those in north central
Idaho, including Orofino, Slate Creek, and Riggins will see
triple digit temperatures both Thursday and Friday. Those with
outdoor plans should be careful to stay hydrated and try to limit
time in the sun.

On Saturday, a system east of the divide will tighten the pressure
gradient and cause windy conditions (winds from the west) for
western Montana. North central Idaho will see lighter winds.
Following the afternoon winds, rain showers will likely spread
along the Divide, especially near Glacier National Park. This
system will bring a strong surface high pressure east of the
Divide, and winds are again expected to shift to easterly. Locally
strong east to northeast winds are possible in some of the
typically channeled valley wind locations (Columbia Falls,
Kalispell Airport, Helmville, Hellgate to name a few) Saturday
night and early Sunday.

The ridge of high pressure rebuilds again next week, and the
general pattern will again be above average temperatures with
slight chances for afternoon showers as weak systems move through
the flow.

&&

.AVIATION...Breezy northwest winds gusting to around 20 kts will
affect KMSO and KBTM this afternoon. Skies will be mostly sunny
with cumulus across the area, with KGPI being the only site with a
small chance of an evening shower. KGPI will be less windy this
afternoon, but will see an increase in northeast winds overnight.
KBTM and KMSO wills also see a shift to southeast winds after
02/0600z.


&&

.MSO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MT...None.
ID...HEAT ADVISORY from 2 PM Thursday to 8 PM PDT Friday Lower Hells
     Canyon/Salmon River Region...Orofino/Grangeville Region.

&&

$$





000
FXUS65 KMSO 012045
AFDMSO

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Missoula MT
245 PM MDT WED JUL 1 2015

...More heat into Saturday....

.DISCUSSION...Sunny, warm conditions with some afternoon cumulus
will be the weather experienced by most today as the regions
continues to sit underneath an upper level ridge. Those near
Glacier National Park and surrounding communities may see an
afternoon shower or thunderstorm, but these storms will not be
widespread, and very little precipitation is expected west of the
Divide. Winds will generally be from northwest, and will be breezy
this afternoon, with gusts to 25 mph. Overnight winds will shift
and become easterly as a surface high pressure slides southward
east of the Divide.

As we move into the late week, temperatures will continue to rise
and again approach record values on Friday. Those in north central
Idaho, including Orofino, Slate Creek, and Riggins will see
triple digit temperatures both Thursday and Friday. Those with
outdoor plans should be careful to stay hydrated and try to limit
time in the sun.

On Saturday, a system east of the divide will tighten the pressure
gradient and cause windy conditions (winds from the west) for
western Montana. North central Idaho will see lighter winds.
Following the afternoon winds, rain showers will likely spread
along the Divide, especially near Glacier National Park. This
system will bring a strong surface high pressure east of the
Divide, and winds are again expected to shift to easterly. Locally
strong east to northeast winds are possible in some of the
typically channeled valley wind locations (Columbia Falls,
Kalispell Airport, Helmville, Hellgate to name a few) Saturday
night and early Sunday.

The ridge of high pressure rebuilds again next week, and the
general pattern will again be above average temperatures with
slight chances for afternoon showers as weak systems move through
the flow.

&&

.AVIATION...Breezy northwest winds gusting to around 20 kts will
affect KMSO and KBTM this afternoon. Skies will be mostly sunny
with cumulus across the area, with KGPI being the only site with a
small chance of an evening shower. KGPI will be less windy this
afternoon, but will see an increase in northeast winds overnight.
KBTM and KMSO wills also see a shift to southeast winds after
02/0600z.


&&

.MSO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MT...None.
ID...HEAT ADVISORY from 2 PM Thursday to 8 PM PDT Friday Lower Hells
     Canyon/Salmon River Region...Orofino/Grangeville Region.

&&

$$




000
FXUS65 KMSO 010930
AFDMSO

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Missoula MT
330 AM MDT WED JUL 1 2015

...Heat to extend through July 4th...

.DISCUSSION...A few showers and thunderstorms are possible
through Glacier National Park today as a shortwave passes out of
Canada. The rest of the region can expect continued very warm and
dry conditions today.

High pressure over the Western United States will keep very warm
temperatures through the rest of this week and during the 4th of
July. A few weak shortwaves will pass in the coming days so
temperatures are not expected to be as hot as last weekend.
Afternoon breezes are also expected each afternoon.

The ridge over the region is forecast to flatten on July 4th as a
trough approaches Idaho and Montana. Increased wind can be
expected on Saturday with wind gusts of 25-30 mph possible. This
wind, along with the recent heat, and lack of precipitation brings
increased fire concerns Saturday.

Extended model guidance have agreement that a trough will pass on
Sunday. There will be an increase in shower chances with the
trough. Though, these appear to mainly be along the divide at
this time.

&&

.AVIATION...Thunderstorms are passing north of the US/Canadian
border this morning in association with a passing shortwave. Once
this shortwave moves in the Glacier Park Region showers and
thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon and evening. The
rest of the region will continue to have very warm temperatures,
dry conditions, and increased afternoon winds.


&&

.MSO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MT...None.
ID...None.
&&

$$




000
FXUS65 KMSO 010930
AFDMSO

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Missoula MT
330 AM MDT WED JUL 1 2015

...Heat to extend through July 4th...

.DISCUSSION...A few showers and thunderstorms are possible
through Glacier National Park today as a shortwave passes out of
Canada. The rest of the region can expect continued very warm and
dry conditions today.

High pressure over the Western United States will keep very warm
temperatures through the rest of this week and during the 4th of
July. A few weak shortwaves will pass in the coming days so
temperatures are not expected to be as hot as last weekend.
Afternoon breezes are also expected each afternoon.

The ridge over the region is forecast to flatten on July 4th as a
trough approaches Idaho and Montana. Increased wind can be
expected on Saturday with wind gusts of 25-30 mph possible. This
wind, along with the recent heat, and lack of precipitation brings
increased fire concerns Saturday.

Extended model guidance have agreement that a trough will pass on
Sunday. There will be an increase in shower chances with the
trough. Though, these appear to mainly be along the divide at
this time.

&&

.AVIATION...Thunderstorms are passing north of the US/Canadian
border this morning in association with a passing shortwave. Once
this shortwave moves in the Glacier Park Region showers and
thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon and evening. The
rest of the region will continue to have very warm temperatures,
dry conditions, and increased afternoon winds.


&&

.MSO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MT...None.
ID...None.
&&

$$





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