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000
FXUS63 KOAX 291115
AFDOAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
515 AM CST THU JAN 29 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 312 AM CST THU JAN 29 2015

EXTENSIVE LOW CLOUD LAYER HAD OVERSPREAD EASTERN NEBRASKA AND
SOUTHWEST IOWA EARLY THIS MORNING. HRRR SUGGESTS CLOUDS WILL
LIKELY HANG TOUGH THROUGH THE MORNING BEFORE BREAKING UP FROM WEST
TO EAST DURING THE EARLY AFTERNOON. GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS ALSO
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO THE MORNING ALTHOUGH LATEST TREND
APPEARS TO BE A DECREASE FROM NORTH TO SOUTH THROUGH 12Z. WILL
ADD REMAINING SOUTHERN COUNTIES TO ADVISORY THROUGH EXPIRATION AT
7 AM. HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE THEN SETTLES OVER THE AREA TONIGHT
BEFORE MOVING EAST ON FRIDAY.

NEXT FORECAST CONCERN DEVELOPS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY AS A COLD
FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTH WHILE LOW LEVEL WARM
ADVECTION MOVES IN FROM THE SOUTH IN ADVANCE OF CLOSED UPPER LOW
OVER THE SOUTHWEST PART OF THE COUNTRY. LATEST MODEL SOLUTIONS
INDICATE AN AREA OF LIGHT PRECIP SPREADING INTO THE SOUTH HALF OF
THE FORECAST AREA BY SATURDAY MORNING THEN LINGERS THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT.

AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS NORTHERN PARTS OF THE AREA SHOULD STAY DRY
FOR THE MOST PART. DRIER AIR COMING IN WITH NEXT BATCH OF COLD AIR
LOOKS TO LIMIT NORTHERN EXTENT OF PRECIP WITH A SHARP CUTOFF
ACROSS EAST CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND WEST CENTRAL IOWA. PRECIP LIKELY
TO START OFF AS LIQUID ALONG THE SOUTHEAST BORDER AREA LATE FRIDAY
NIGHT THEN TRANSITION TO LIGHT SNOW DURING THE DAY SATURDAY AS THE
COLD AIR DEEPENS BEHIND THE FRONT. SOME LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATION IN
THE 1 TO 2 INCH RANGE POSSIBLE BY SUNDAY MORNING ACROSS SOUTHEAST
NEBRASKA INTO SOUTHWEST IOWA WITH UPPER BOUND NEAR SOUTHERN BORDER
OF NEBRASKA AND SOUTHWEST IOWA.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 312 AM CST THU JAN 29 2015

MUCH COLDER AIR MOVES IN ON SUNDAY AS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WEATHER
SYSTEM MOVES EAST AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE CENTRAL
PLAINS. COLDEST AIR HANGS AROUND THROUGH MONDAY BEFORE SOME
MODERATION RETURNS AS ANOTHER CLIPPER MOVES INTO THE REGION MONDAY
NIGHT. MORE COLD AIR FOLLOWS BEHIND THE CLIPPER FOR TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY ALONG WITH ANOTHER POTENTIAL FOR LIGHT SNOW AS
BAROCLINIC ZONE DEVELOPS IN THE AREA.

&&

.AVIATION...(12Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.)
ISSUED AT 509 AM CST THU JAN 29 2015

MVFR CONDITIONS EARLY IN THE PERIOD...BUT SCATTERING OUT TO VFR BY
18-20Z. VERY STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS 22 TO 32 KNOTS EARLY...WITH
GUSTS DIMINISHING BY 20-23Z...THEN BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE BY
00-02Z.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR NEZ015-030>034-
     042>045-050>053-065>068-078-088>093.

     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM CST EARLY THIS MORNING FOR NEZ011-012-
     016>018.

IA...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR IAZ043-055-056-069-
     079-080-090-091.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...FOBERT
LONG TERM...FOBERT
AVIATION...DEWALD




000
FXUS63 KOAX 291115
AFDOAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
515 AM CST THU JAN 29 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 312 AM CST THU JAN 29 2015

EXTENSIVE LOW CLOUD LAYER HAD OVERSPREAD EASTERN NEBRASKA AND
SOUTHWEST IOWA EARLY THIS MORNING. HRRR SUGGESTS CLOUDS WILL
LIKELY HANG TOUGH THROUGH THE MORNING BEFORE BREAKING UP FROM WEST
TO EAST DURING THE EARLY AFTERNOON. GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS ALSO
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO THE MORNING ALTHOUGH LATEST TREND
APPEARS TO BE A DECREASE FROM NORTH TO SOUTH THROUGH 12Z. WILL
ADD REMAINING SOUTHERN COUNTIES TO ADVISORY THROUGH EXPIRATION AT
7 AM. HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE THEN SETTLES OVER THE AREA TONIGHT
BEFORE MOVING EAST ON FRIDAY.

NEXT FORECAST CONCERN DEVELOPS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY AS A COLD
FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTH WHILE LOW LEVEL WARM
ADVECTION MOVES IN FROM THE SOUTH IN ADVANCE OF CLOSED UPPER LOW
OVER THE SOUTHWEST PART OF THE COUNTRY. LATEST MODEL SOLUTIONS
INDICATE AN AREA OF LIGHT PRECIP SPREADING INTO THE SOUTH HALF OF
THE FORECAST AREA BY SATURDAY MORNING THEN LINGERS THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT.

AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS NORTHERN PARTS OF THE AREA SHOULD STAY DRY
FOR THE MOST PART. DRIER AIR COMING IN WITH NEXT BATCH OF COLD AIR
LOOKS TO LIMIT NORTHERN EXTENT OF PRECIP WITH A SHARP CUTOFF
ACROSS EAST CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND WEST CENTRAL IOWA. PRECIP LIKELY
TO START OFF AS LIQUID ALONG THE SOUTHEAST BORDER AREA LATE FRIDAY
NIGHT THEN TRANSITION TO LIGHT SNOW DURING THE DAY SATURDAY AS THE
COLD AIR DEEPENS BEHIND THE FRONT. SOME LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATION IN
THE 1 TO 2 INCH RANGE POSSIBLE BY SUNDAY MORNING ACROSS SOUTHEAST
NEBRASKA INTO SOUTHWEST IOWA WITH UPPER BOUND NEAR SOUTHERN BORDER
OF NEBRASKA AND SOUTHWEST IOWA.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 312 AM CST THU JAN 29 2015

MUCH COLDER AIR MOVES IN ON SUNDAY AS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WEATHER
SYSTEM MOVES EAST AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE CENTRAL
PLAINS. COLDEST AIR HANGS AROUND THROUGH MONDAY BEFORE SOME
MODERATION RETURNS AS ANOTHER CLIPPER MOVES INTO THE REGION MONDAY
NIGHT. MORE COLD AIR FOLLOWS BEHIND THE CLIPPER FOR TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY ALONG WITH ANOTHER POTENTIAL FOR LIGHT SNOW AS
BAROCLINIC ZONE DEVELOPS IN THE AREA.

&&

.AVIATION...(12Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.)
ISSUED AT 509 AM CST THU JAN 29 2015

MVFR CONDITIONS EARLY IN THE PERIOD...BUT SCATTERING OUT TO VFR BY
18-20Z. VERY STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS 22 TO 32 KNOTS EARLY...WITH
GUSTS DIMINISHING BY 20-23Z...THEN BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE BY
00-02Z.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR NEZ015-030>034-
     042>045-050>053-065>068-078-088>093.

     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM CST EARLY THIS MORNING FOR NEZ011-012-
     016>018.

IA...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR IAZ043-055-056-069-
     079-080-090-091.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...FOBERT
LONG TERM...FOBERT
AVIATION...DEWALD





000
FXUS63 KOAX 290916
AFDOAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
316 AM CST THU JAN 29 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 312 AM CST THU JAN 29 2015

EXTENSIVE LOW CLOUD LAYER HAD OVERSPREAD EASTERN NEBRASKA AND
SOUTHWEST IOWA EARLY THIS MORNING. HRRR SUGGESTS CLOUDS WILL
LIKELY HANG TOUGH THROUGH THE MORNING BEFORE BREAKING UP FROM WEST
TO EAST DURING THE EARLY AFTERNOON. GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS ALSO
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO THE MORNING ALTHOUGH LATEST TREND
APPEARS TO BE A DECREASE FROM NORTH TO SOUTH THROUGH 12Z. WILL
ADD REMAINING SOUTHERN COUNTIES TO ADVISORY THROUGH EXPIRATION AT
7 AM. HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE THEN SETTLES OVER THE AREA TONIGHT
BEFORE MOVING EAST ON FRIDAY.

NEXT FORECAST CONCERN DEVELOPS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY AS A COLD
FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTH WHILE LOW LEVEL WARM
ADVECTION MOVES IN FROM THE SOUTH IN ADVANCE OF CLOSED UPPER LOW
OVER THE SOUTHWEST PART OF THE COUNTRY. LATEST MODEL SOLUTIONS
INDICATE AN AREA OF LIGHT PRECIP SPREADING INTO THE SOUTH HALF OF
THE FORECAST AREA BY SATURDAY MORNING THEN LINGERS THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT.

AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS NORTHERN PARTS OF THE AREA SHOULD STAY DRY
FOR THE MOST PART. DRIER AIR COMING IN WITH NEXT BATCH OF COLD AIR
LOOKS TO LIMIT NORTHERN EXTENT OF PRECIP WITH A SHARP CUTOFF
ACROSS EAST CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND WEST CENTRAL IOWA. PRECIP LIKELY
TO START OFF AS LIQUID ALONG THE SOUTHEAST BORDER AREA LATE FRIDAY
NIGHT THEN TRANSITION TO LIGHT SNOW DURING THE DAY SATURDAY AS THE
COLD AIR DEEPENS BEHIND THE FRONT. SOME LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATION IN
THE 1 TO 2 INCH RANGE POSSIBLE BY SUNDAY MORNING ACROSS SOUTHEAST
NEBRASKA INTO SOUTHWEST IOWA WITH UPPER BOUND NEAR SOUTHERN BORDER
OF NEBRASKA AND SOUTHWEST IOWA.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 312 AM CST THU JAN 29 2015

MUCH COLDER AIR MOVES IN ON SUNDAY AS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WEATHER
SYSTEM MOVES EAST AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE CENTRAL
PLAINS. COLDEST AIR HANGS AROUND THROUGH MONDAY BEFORE SOME
MODERATION RETURNS AS ANOTHER CLIPPER MOVES INTO THE REGION MONDAY
NIGHT. MORE COLD AIR FOLLOWS BEHIND THE CLIPPER FOR TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY ALONG WITH ANOTHER POTENTIAL FOR LIGHT SNOW AS
BAROCLINIC ZONE DEVELOPS IN THE AREA.

&&

.AVIATION...(06Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.)
ISSUED AT 1141 PM CST WED JAN 28 2015

MVFR CONDITIONS HAVE OVERSPREAD THE AREA AND SHOULD LAST INTO
THURSDAY MORNING. SPRINKLES WILL BE POSSIBLE...BUT NOT
SIGNIFICANT ENOUGH TO MENTION. NORTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 30KTS WITH
GUSTS 30 TO 40KTS TONIGHT. THE NORTHWEST WINDS SHOULD DROP OFF
THURSDAY AS THE STRONGER WINDS ALOFT SHIFT TO THE EAST...GENERALLY
DROPPING TO UNDER 15KTS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND UNDER 10KTS
THURSDAY NIGHT.


&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR NEZ015-030>034-
     042>045-050>053-065>068-078-088>093.

     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM CST EARLY THIS MORNING FOR NEZ011-012-
     016>018.

IA...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR IAZ043-055-056-069-
     079-080-090-091.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...FOBERT
LONG TERM...FOBERT
AVIATION...ZAPOTOCNY





000
FXUS63 KOAX 290546
AFDOAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
1146 PM CST WED JAN 28 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 315 PM CST WED JAN 28 2015

THE CHANCE OF PCPN ON THE WEEKEND AND TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE
PERIOD WILL PROVIDE THE MAIN FORECAST CHALLENGES.

A COUPLE OF SHORTWAVE TROUGHS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION DURING THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS. 12 HOUR HEIGHT FALLS AT 12Z AT 500 MB WERE AS HIGH
AS 100 METERS OVER WYOMING. THIS WAVE WILL MOVE EASTWARD THROUGH
EARLY TONIGHT WITH ANOTHER WAVE DROPPING SOUTHEAST FROM THE DAKOTAS
AFTER MIDNIGHT. MOISTURE PROFILES ARE NOT SATURATED...BUT THERE
MAY BE ENOUGH MOISTURE FOR SOME SPRINKLES OR LIGHT SHOWERS IN OUR
NORTHERN AND EASTERN COUNTIES. WILL NEED TO WATCH SURFACE
TEMPERATURES SINCE PCPN WILL BE FALLING AS LIQUID AND IF IT DROPS
BELOW FREEZING IT MAY CAUSE SOME VERY LIGHT SPOTTY ICING. WINDS
WILL ALSO INCREASE LATER TONIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE
TRACKS ACROSS IOWA AND INTO NORTHEAST ILLINOIS BY DAYBREAK.

TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT AND DOWNWARD MOMENTUM TRANSFER (GFS
SHOWS 925 MB WINDS UP TO AROUND 40 OR 45 KNOTS OVERNIGHT) WILL BE
THE MAIN REASONS FOR THE STRONG WINDS. THESE MAY NOT BE CONSTANTLY
AT ADVISORY NUMBERS ALL NIGHT...BUT FEEL AT LEAST A COUPLE OF
PERIODS OF STRONG WINDS WILL OCCUR. WILL GO AHEAD AND ISSUE A
WIND ADVISORY FOR MOST OF OUR FORECAST AREA STARTING MID EVENING
IN NORTHEAST NEBRASKA THEN SPREADING THAT SOUTHEAST WITH TIME.

THE STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BRING IN COOLER AIR FOR THURSDAY.
THESE WINDS SHOULD REMAIN FAIRLY STRONG IN THE MORNING BUT DECREASE
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AS SURFACE RIDGE AXIS BUILDS INTO THE AREA
BY THURSDAY EVENING. WENT WITH HIGHS MOSTLY IN THE UPPER 30S AND
LOWER 40S NORTH...LOWER AND MID 40S SOUTH. SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO INCREASE FRIDAY AS THE RIDGE MOVES EAST LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. WILL BOOST HIGHS A BIT FOR FRIDAY...TO
THE LOWER AND MID 40S BUT EVEN WARMER READINGS APPEAR POSSIBLE
IN OUR SOUTHWEST ZONES. DECIDED NOT TO BE TOO OPTIMISTIC AT THIS
TIME.

THE OPERATIONAL RUNS OF THE 12Z GFS AND 12Z ECMWF HAVE CHANGED IN
REGARDS TO POSSIBLE PCPN AMOUNTS FOR THE WEEKEND. THE 12Z GFS
ENSEMBLE AND THE 15Z SREF STILL INDICATE SOME POTENTIAL FOR LIGHT
RAIN/SNOW. FOR OUR AREA...IN GENERAL...EXPECT THAT THE MAIN
FORCING AND MOISTURE WILL STAY TO OUR SOUTH SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY
NIGHT. THIS WILL BE ADJUSTED (IF NEEDED) AS WE GET CLOSER. THE
MODELS MAY DEVIATE MORE FROM RUN TO RUN OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
THIS VARIANCE WILL BE AT LEAST PARTIALLY DUE TO THE COMPLEX FLOW
THAT WILL DEVELOP OVER THE NORTHERN PACIFIC...WHICH IS NOT A HIGH
DENSITY DATA AREA FOR UPPER AIR OBSERVATIONS IN MOST CASES.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 315 PM CST WED JAN 28 2015

ANOTHER WAVE WILL DROP DOWN ACROSS THE DAKOTAS TOWARD THE CENTRAL
PLAINS FOR SATURDAY NIGHT...BUT THIS MAY HAVE LARGER IMPACTS IN
SOUTHERN MINNESOTA AND NORTHERN IOWA.

PCPN CHANGES WILL BE DECREASING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...AND OUR
TEMPERATURES SHOULD AS WELL. COLD HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER THE
EASTERN DAKOTAS BY NOON SUNDAY...THEN THAT SHOULD MOVE INTO IOWA
AND MISSOURI BY MONDAY MORNING.

SYSTEM AMPLIFICATION SEEMS POSSIBLE BASED ON THE NORTHWEST FLOW
PATTERN FOR SUNDAY...SO WILL NEED TO WATCH THE WAVE SHOWN IN THE
NORTHERN STREAM ON SUNDAY. THE CANADIAN MODEL EVEN BRIEFLY SHOWS
A CLOSED LOW AT 500 MB NEAR THE SOUTH DAKOTA/MINNESOTA BORDER ON
SUNDAY.

OTHERWISE WILL WILL BE MAINLY UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF COOL NORTHWEST
FLOW EARLY NEXT WEEK. HIGHS WILL BE MUCH BELOW NORMAL SUNDAY INTO
MONDAY...THEN SHOULD TREND CLOSER TO NORMAL FOR TUESDAY/WEDNESDAY.
KEPT A SMALL CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW GOING FOR TUESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...(06Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.)
ISSUED AT 1141 PM CST WED JAN 28 2015

MVFR CONDITIONS HAVE OVERSPREAD THE AREA AND SHOULD LAST INTO
THURSDAY MORNING. SPRINKLES WILL BE POSSIBLE...BUT NOT
SIGNIFICANT ENOUGH TO MENTION. NORTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 30KTS WITH
GUSTS 30 TO 40KTS TONIGHT. THE NORTHWEST WINDS SHOULD DROP OFF
THURSDAY AS THE STRONGER WINDS ALOFT SHIFT TO THE EAST...GENERALLY
DROPPING TO UNDER 15KTS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND UNDER 10KTS
THURSDAY NIGHT.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM CST THURSDAY FOR NEZ015-030>034-042>045-
     050>053-065>068.

     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM CST THURSDAY FOR NEZ011-012-016>018.

IA...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM CST THURSDAY FOR IAZ043-055-056-069-079-
     080-090-091.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...MILLER
LONG TERM...MILLER
AVIATION...ZAPOTOCNY





000
FXUS63 KOAX 290546
AFDOAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
1146 PM CST WED JAN 28 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 315 PM CST WED JAN 28 2015

THE CHANCE OF PCPN ON THE WEEKEND AND TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE
PERIOD WILL PROVIDE THE MAIN FORECAST CHALLENGES.

A COUPLE OF SHORTWAVE TROUGHS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION DURING THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS. 12 HOUR HEIGHT FALLS AT 12Z AT 500 MB WERE AS HIGH
AS 100 METERS OVER WYOMING. THIS WAVE WILL MOVE EASTWARD THROUGH
EARLY TONIGHT WITH ANOTHER WAVE DROPPING SOUTHEAST FROM THE DAKOTAS
AFTER MIDNIGHT. MOISTURE PROFILES ARE NOT SATURATED...BUT THERE
MAY BE ENOUGH MOISTURE FOR SOME SPRINKLES OR LIGHT SHOWERS IN OUR
NORTHERN AND EASTERN COUNTIES. WILL NEED TO WATCH SURFACE
TEMPERATURES SINCE PCPN WILL BE FALLING AS LIQUID AND IF IT DROPS
BELOW FREEZING IT MAY CAUSE SOME VERY LIGHT SPOTTY ICING. WINDS
WILL ALSO INCREASE LATER TONIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE
TRACKS ACROSS IOWA AND INTO NORTHEAST ILLINOIS BY DAYBREAK.

TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT AND DOWNWARD MOMENTUM TRANSFER (GFS
SHOWS 925 MB WINDS UP TO AROUND 40 OR 45 KNOTS OVERNIGHT) WILL BE
THE MAIN REASONS FOR THE STRONG WINDS. THESE MAY NOT BE CONSTANTLY
AT ADVISORY NUMBERS ALL NIGHT...BUT FEEL AT LEAST A COUPLE OF
PERIODS OF STRONG WINDS WILL OCCUR. WILL GO AHEAD AND ISSUE A
WIND ADVISORY FOR MOST OF OUR FORECAST AREA STARTING MID EVENING
IN NORTHEAST NEBRASKA THEN SPREADING THAT SOUTHEAST WITH TIME.

THE STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BRING IN COOLER AIR FOR THURSDAY.
THESE WINDS SHOULD REMAIN FAIRLY STRONG IN THE MORNING BUT DECREASE
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AS SURFACE RIDGE AXIS BUILDS INTO THE AREA
BY THURSDAY EVENING. WENT WITH HIGHS MOSTLY IN THE UPPER 30S AND
LOWER 40S NORTH...LOWER AND MID 40S SOUTH. SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO INCREASE FRIDAY AS THE RIDGE MOVES EAST LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. WILL BOOST HIGHS A BIT FOR FRIDAY...TO
THE LOWER AND MID 40S BUT EVEN WARMER READINGS APPEAR POSSIBLE
IN OUR SOUTHWEST ZONES. DECIDED NOT TO BE TOO OPTIMISTIC AT THIS
TIME.

THE OPERATIONAL RUNS OF THE 12Z GFS AND 12Z ECMWF HAVE CHANGED IN
REGARDS TO POSSIBLE PCPN AMOUNTS FOR THE WEEKEND. THE 12Z GFS
ENSEMBLE AND THE 15Z SREF STILL INDICATE SOME POTENTIAL FOR LIGHT
RAIN/SNOW. FOR OUR AREA...IN GENERAL...EXPECT THAT THE MAIN
FORCING AND MOISTURE WILL STAY TO OUR SOUTH SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY
NIGHT. THIS WILL BE ADJUSTED (IF NEEDED) AS WE GET CLOSER. THE
MODELS MAY DEVIATE MORE FROM RUN TO RUN OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
THIS VARIANCE WILL BE AT LEAST PARTIALLY DUE TO THE COMPLEX FLOW
THAT WILL DEVELOP OVER THE NORTHERN PACIFIC...WHICH IS NOT A HIGH
DENSITY DATA AREA FOR UPPER AIR OBSERVATIONS IN MOST CASES.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 315 PM CST WED JAN 28 2015

ANOTHER WAVE WILL DROP DOWN ACROSS THE DAKOTAS TOWARD THE CENTRAL
PLAINS FOR SATURDAY NIGHT...BUT THIS MAY HAVE LARGER IMPACTS IN
SOUTHERN MINNESOTA AND NORTHERN IOWA.

PCPN CHANGES WILL BE DECREASING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...AND OUR
TEMPERATURES SHOULD AS WELL. COLD HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER THE
EASTERN DAKOTAS BY NOON SUNDAY...THEN THAT SHOULD MOVE INTO IOWA
AND MISSOURI BY MONDAY MORNING.

SYSTEM AMPLIFICATION SEEMS POSSIBLE BASED ON THE NORTHWEST FLOW
PATTERN FOR SUNDAY...SO WILL NEED TO WATCH THE WAVE SHOWN IN THE
NORTHERN STREAM ON SUNDAY. THE CANADIAN MODEL EVEN BRIEFLY SHOWS
A CLOSED LOW AT 500 MB NEAR THE SOUTH DAKOTA/MINNESOTA BORDER ON
SUNDAY.

OTHERWISE WILL WILL BE MAINLY UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF COOL NORTHWEST
FLOW EARLY NEXT WEEK. HIGHS WILL BE MUCH BELOW NORMAL SUNDAY INTO
MONDAY...THEN SHOULD TREND CLOSER TO NORMAL FOR TUESDAY/WEDNESDAY.
KEPT A SMALL CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW GOING FOR TUESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...(06Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.)
ISSUED AT 1141 PM CST WED JAN 28 2015

MVFR CONDITIONS HAVE OVERSPREAD THE AREA AND SHOULD LAST INTO
THURSDAY MORNING. SPRINKLES WILL BE POSSIBLE...BUT NOT
SIGNIFICANT ENOUGH TO MENTION. NORTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 30KTS WITH
GUSTS 30 TO 40KTS TONIGHT. THE NORTHWEST WINDS SHOULD DROP OFF
THURSDAY AS THE STRONGER WINDS ALOFT SHIFT TO THE EAST...GENERALLY
DROPPING TO UNDER 15KTS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND UNDER 10KTS
THURSDAY NIGHT.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM CST THURSDAY FOR NEZ015-030>034-042>045-
     050>053-065>068.

     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM CST THURSDAY FOR NEZ011-012-016>018.

IA...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM CST THURSDAY FOR IAZ043-055-056-069-079-
     080-090-091.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...MILLER
LONG TERM...MILLER
AVIATION...ZAPOTOCNY




000
FXUS63 KOAX 282345
AFDOAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
545 PM CST WED JAN 28 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 315 PM CST WED JAN 28 2015

THE CHANCE OF PCPN ON THE WEEKEND AND TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE
PERIOD WILL PROVIDE THE MAIN FORECAST CHALLENGES.

A COUPLE OF SHORTWAVE TROUGHS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION DURING THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS. 12 HOUR HEIGHT FALLS AT 12Z AT 500 MB WERE AS HIGH
AS 100 METERS OVER WYOMING. THIS WAVE WILL MOVE EASTWARD THROUGH
EARLY TONIGHT WITH ANOTHER WAVE DROPPING SOUTHEAST FROM THE DAKOTAS
AFTER MIDNIGHT. MOISTURE PROFILES ARE NOT SATURATED...BUT THERE
MAY BE ENOUGH MOISTURE FOR SOME SPRINKLES OR LIGHT SHOWERS IN OUR
NORTHERN AND EASTERN COUNTIES. WILL NEED TO WATCH SURFACE
TEMPERATURES SINCE PCPN WILL BE FALLING AS LIQUID AND IF IT DROPS
BELOW FREEZING IT MAY CAUSE SOME VERY LIGHT SPOTTY ICING. WINDS
WILL ALSO INCREASE LATER TONIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE
TRACKS ACROSS IOWA AND INTO NORTHEAST ILLINOIS BY DAYBREAK.

TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT AND DOWNWARD MOMENTUM TRANSFER (GFS
SHOWS 925 MB WINDS UP TO AROUND 40 OR 45 KNOTS OVERNIGHT) WILL BE
THE MAIN REASONS FOR THE STRONG WINDS. THESE MAY NOT BE CONSTANTLY
AT ADVISORY NUMBERS ALL NIGHT...BUT FEEL AT LEAST A COUPLE OF
PERIODS OF STRONG WINDS WILL OCCUR. WILL GO AHEAD AND ISSUE A
WIND ADVISORY FOR MOST OF OUR FORECAST AREA STARTING MID EVENING
IN NORTHEAST NEBRASKA THEN SPREADING THAT SOUTHEAST WITH TIME.

THE STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BRING IN COOLER AIR FOR THURSDAY.
THESE WINDS SHOULD REMAIN FAIRLY STRONG IN THE MORNING BUT DECREASE
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AS SURFACE RIDGE AXIS BUILDS INTO THE AREA
BY THURSDAY EVENING. WENT WITH HIGHS MOSTLY IN THE UPPER 30S AND
LOWER 40S NORTH...LOWER AND MID 40S SOUTH. SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO INCREASE FRIDAY AS THE RIDGE MOVES EAST LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. WILL BOOST HIGHS A BIT FOR FRIDAY...TO
THE LOWER AND MID 40S BUT EVEN WARMER READINGS APPEAR POSSIBLE
IN OUR SOUTHWEST ZONES. DECIDED NOT TO BE TOO OPTIMISTIC AT THIS
TIME.

THE OPERATIONAL RUNS OF THE 12Z GFS AND 12Z ECMWF HAVE CHANGED IN
REGARDS TO POSSIBLE PCPN AMOUNTS FOR THE WEEKEND. THE 12Z GFS
ENSEMBLE AND THE 15Z SREF STILL INDICATE SOME POTENTIAL FOR LIGHT
RAIN/SNOW. FOR OUR AREA...IN GENERAL...EXPECT THAT THE MAIN
FORCING AND MOISTURE WILL STAY TO OUR SOUTH SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY
NIGHT. THIS WILL BE ADJUSTED (IF NEEDED) AS WE GET CLOSER. THE
MODELS MAY DEVIATE MORE FROM RUN TO RUN OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
THIS VARIANCE WILL BE AT LEAST PARTIALLY DUE TO THE COMPLEX FLOW
THAT WILL DEVELOP OVER THE NORTHERN PACIFIC...WHICH IS NOT A HIGH
DENSITY DATA AREA FOR UPPER AIR OBSERVATIONS IN MOST CASES.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 315 PM CST WED JAN 28 2015

ANOTHER WAVE WILL DROP DOWN ACROSS THE DAKOTAS TOWARD THE CENTRAL
PLAINS FOR SATURDAY NIGHT...BUT THIS MAY HAVE LARGER IMPACTS IN
SOUTHERN MINNESOTA AND NORTHERN IOWA.

PCPN CHANGES WILL BE DECREASING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...AND OUR
TEMPERATURES SHOULD AS WELL. COLD HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER THE
EASTERN DAKOTAS BY NOON SUNDAY...THEN THAT SHOULD MOVE INTO IOWA
AND MISSOURI BY MONDAY MORNING.

SYSTEM AMPLIFICATION SEEMS POSSIBLE BASED ON THE NORTHWEST FLOW
PATTERN FOR SUNDAY...SO WILL NEED TO WATCH THE WAVE SHOWN IN THE
NORTHERN STREAM ON SUNDAY. THE CANADIAN MODEL EVEN BRIEFLY SHOWS
A CLOSED LOW AT 500 MB NEAR THE SOUTH DAKOTA/MINNESOTA BORDER ON
SUNDAY.

OTHERWISE WILL WILL BE MAINLY UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF COOL NORTHWEST
FLOW EARLY NEXT WEEK. HIGHS WILL BE MUCH BELOW NORMAL SUNDAY INTO
MONDAY...THEN SHOULD TREND CLOSER TO NORMAL FOR TUESDAY/WEDNESDAY.
KEPT A SMALL CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW GOING FOR TUESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...(00Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.)
ISSUED AT 534 PM CST WED JAN 28 2015

THE WINDS HAVE SHIFTED AND INCREASED TO AROUND 15KTS AT KOFK AND
THE WINDS WILL FURTHER INCREASE FROM THE NORTHWEST 20-30KT
SUSTAINED WITH GUSTS 30 TO 40KTS THIS EVENING AT ALL SITES AND
LAST THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS. HIGH CLOUDS WILL THICKEN WITH MID
CLOUDS. MVFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AFTER 06Z. THERE
MAY BE SOME -RA AS THE SHORTWAVE MOVES THROUGH AFTER 04Z.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...WIND ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 7 AM CST THURSDAY FOR
     NEZ045-050>053-065>068.

     WIND ADVISORY FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM CST THURSDAY FOR
     NEZ015-030>034-042>044.

     WIND ADVISORY FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM CST THURSDAY FOR
     NEZ011-012-016>018.

IA...WIND ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 7 AM CST THURSDAY FOR
     IAZ055-056-069-079-080-090-091.

     WIND ADVISORY FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM CST THURSDAY FOR
     IAZ043.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...MILLER
LONG TERM...MILLER
AVIATION...ZAPOTOCNY





000
FXUS63 KOAX 282345
AFDOAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
545 PM CST WED JAN 28 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 315 PM CST WED JAN 28 2015

THE CHANCE OF PCPN ON THE WEEKEND AND TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE
PERIOD WILL PROVIDE THE MAIN FORECAST CHALLENGES.

A COUPLE OF SHORTWAVE TROUGHS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION DURING THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS. 12 HOUR HEIGHT FALLS AT 12Z AT 500 MB WERE AS HIGH
AS 100 METERS OVER WYOMING. THIS WAVE WILL MOVE EASTWARD THROUGH
EARLY TONIGHT WITH ANOTHER WAVE DROPPING SOUTHEAST FROM THE DAKOTAS
AFTER MIDNIGHT. MOISTURE PROFILES ARE NOT SATURATED...BUT THERE
MAY BE ENOUGH MOISTURE FOR SOME SPRINKLES OR LIGHT SHOWERS IN OUR
NORTHERN AND EASTERN COUNTIES. WILL NEED TO WATCH SURFACE
TEMPERATURES SINCE PCPN WILL BE FALLING AS LIQUID AND IF IT DROPS
BELOW FREEZING IT MAY CAUSE SOME VERY LIGHT SPOTTY ICING. WINDS
WILL ALSO INCREASE LATER TONIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE
TRACKS ACROSS IOWA AND INTO NORTHEAST ILLINOIS BY DAYBREAK.

TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT AND DOWNWARD MOMENTUM TRANSFER (GFS
SHOWS 925 MB WINDS UP TO AROUND 40 OR 45 KNOTS OVERNIGHT) WILL BE
THE MAIN REASONS FOR THE STRONG WINDS. THESE MAY NOT BE CONSTANTLY
AT ADVISORY NUMBERS ALL NIGHT...BUT FEEL AT LEAST A COUPLE OF
PERIODS OF STRONG WINDS WILL OCCUR. WILL GO AHEAD AND ISSUE A
WIND ADVISORY FOR MOST OF OUR FORECAST AREA STARTING MID EVENING
IN NORTHEAST NEBRASKA THEN SPREADING THAT SOUTHEAST WITH TIME.

THE STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BRING IN COOLER AIR FOR THURSDAY.
THESE WINDS SHOULD REMAIN FAIRLY STRONG IN THE MORNING BUT DECREASE
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AS SURFACE RIDGE AXIS BUILDS INTO THE AREA
BY THURSDAY EVENING. WENT WITH HIGHS MOSTLY IN THE UPPER 30S AND
LOWER 40S NORTH...LOWER AND MID 40S SOUTH. SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO INCREASE FRIDAY AS THE RIDGE MOVES EAST LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. WILL BOOST HIGHS A BIT FOR FRIDAY...TO
THE LOWER AND MID 40S BUT EVEN WARMER READINGS APPEAR POSSIBLE
IN OUR SOUTHWEST ZONES. DECIDED NOT TO BE TOO OPTIMISTIC AT THIS
TIME.

THE OPERATIONAL RUNS OF THE 12Z GFS AND 12Z ECMWF HAVE CHANGED IN
REGARDS TO POSSIBLE PCPN AMOUNTS FOR THE WEEKEND. THE 12Z GFS
ENSEMBLE AND THE 15Z SREF STILL INDICATE SOME POTENTIAL FOR LIGHT
RAIN/SNOW. FOR OUR AREA...IN GENERAL...EXPECT THAT THE MAIN
FORCING AND MOISTURE WILL STAY TO OUR SOUTH SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY
NIGHT. THIS WILL BE ADJUSTED (IF NEEDED) AS WE GET CLOSER. THE
MODELS MAY DEVIATE MORE FROM RUN TO RUN OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
THIS VARIANCE WILL BE AT LEAST PARTIALLY DUE TO THE COMPLEX FLOW
THAT WILL DEVELOP OVER THE NORTHERN PACIFIC...WHICH IS NOT A HIGH
DENSITY DATA AREA FOR UPPER AIR OBSERVATIONS IN MOST CASES.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 315 PM CST WED JAN 28 2015

ANOTHER WAVE WILL DROP DOWN ACROSS THE DAKOTAS TOWARD THE CENTRAL
PLAINS FOR SATURDAY NIGHT...BUT THIS MAY HAVE LARGER IMPACTS IN
SOUTHERN MINNESOTA AND NORTHERN IOWA.

PCPN CHANGES WILL BE DECREASING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...AND OUR
TEMPERATURES SHOULD AS WELL. COLD HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER THE
EASTERN DAKOTAS BY NOON SUNDAY...THEN THAT SHOULD MOVE INTO IOWA
AND MISSOURI BY MONDAY MORNING.

SYSTEM AMPLIFICATION SEEMS POSSIBLE BASED ON THE NORTHWEST FLOW
PATTERN FOR SUNDAY...SO WILL NEED TO WATCH THE WAVE SHOWN IN THE
NORTHERN STREAM ON SUNDAY. THE CANADIAN MODEL EVEN BRIEFLY SHOWS
A CLOSED LOW AT 500 MB NEAR THE SOUTH DAKOTA/MINNESOTA BORDER ON
SUNDAY.

OTHERWISE WILL WILL BE MAINLY UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF COOL NORTHWEST
FLOW EARLY NEXT WEEK. HIGHS WILL BE MUCH BELOW NORMAL SUNDAY INTO
MONDAY...THEN SHOULD TREND CLOSER TO NORMAL FOR TUESDAY/WEDNESDAY.
KEPT A SMALL CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW GOING FOR TUESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...(00Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.)
ISSUED AT 534 PM CST WED JAN 28 2015

THE WINDS HAVE SHIFTED AND INCREASED TO AROUND 15KTS AT KOFK AND
THE WINDS WILL FURTHER INCREASE FROM THE NORTHWEST 20-30KT
SUSTAINED WITH GUSTS 30 TO 40KTS THIS EVENING AT ALL SITES AND
LAST THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS. HIGH CLOUDS WILL THICKEN WITH MID
CLOUDS. MVFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AFTER 06Z. THERE
MAY BE SOME -RA AS THE SHORTWAVE MOVES THROUGH AFTER 04Z.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...WIND ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 7 AM CST THURSDAY FOR
     NEZ045-050>053-065>068.

     WIND ADVISORY FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM CST THURSDAY FOR
     NEZ015-030>034-042>044.

     WIND ADVISORY FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM CST THURSDAY FOR
     NEZ011-012-016>018.

IA...WIND ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 7 AM CST THURSDAY FOR
     IAZ055-056-069-079-080-090-091.

     WIND ADVISORY FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM CST THURSDAY FOR
     IAZ043.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...MILLER
LONG TERM...MILLER
AVIATION...ZAPOTOCNY




000
FXUS63 KOAX 282115
AFDOAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
315 PM CST WED JAN 28 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 315 PM CST WED JAN 28 2015

THE CHANCE OF PCPN ON THE WEEKEND AND TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE
PERIOD WILL PROVIDE THE MAIN FORECAST CHALLENGES.

A COUPLE OF SHORTWAVE TROUGHS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION DURING THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS. 12 HOUR HEIGHT FALLS AT 12Z AT 500 MB WERE AS HIGH
AS 100 METERS OVER WYOMING. THIS WAVE WILL MOVE EASTWARD THROUGH
EARLY TONIGHT WITH ANOTHER WAVE DROPPING SOUTHEAST FROM THE DAKOTAS
AFTER MIDNIGHT. MOISTURE PROFILES ARE NOT SATURATED...BUT THERE
MAY BE ENOUGH MOISTURE FOR SOME SPRINKLES OR LIGHT SHOWERS IN OUR
NORTHERN AND EASTERN COUNTIES. WILL NEED TO WATCH SURFACE
TEMPERATURES SINCE PCPN WILL BE FALLING AS LIQUID AND IF IT DROPS
BELOW FREEZING IT MAY CAUSE SOME VERY LIGHT SPOTTY ICING. WINDS
WILL ALSO INCREASE LATER TONIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE
TRACKS ACROSS IOWA AND INTO NORTHEAST ILLINOIS BY DAYBREAK.

TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT AND DOWNWARD MOMENTUM TRANSFER (GFS
SHOWS 925 MB WINDS UP TO AROUND 40 OR 45 KNOTS OVERNIGHT) WILL BE
THE MAIN REASONS FOR THE STRONG WINDS. THESE MAY NOT BE CONSTANTLY
AT ADVISORY NUMBERS ALL NIGHT...BUT FEEL AT LEAST A COUPLE OF
PERIODS OF STRONG WINDS WILL OCCUR. WILL GO AHEAD AND ISSUE A
WIND ADVISORY FOR MOST OF OUR FORECAST AREA STARTING MID EVENING
IN NORTHEAST NEBRASKA THEN SPREADING THAT SOUTHEAST WITH TIME.

THE STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BRING IN COOLER AIR FOR THURSDAY.
THESE WINDS SHOULD REMAIN FAIRLY STRONG IN THE MORNING BUT DECREASE
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AS SURFACE RIDGE AXIS BUILDS INTO THE AREA
BY THURSDAY EVENING. WENT WITH HIGHS MOSTLY IN THE UPPER 30S AND
LOWER 40S NORTH...LOWER AND MID 40S SOUTH. SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO INCREASE FRIDAY AS THE RIDGE MOVES EAST LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. WILL BOOST HIGHS A BIT FOR FRIDAY...TO
THE LOWER AND MID 40S BUT EVEN WARMER READINGS APPEAR POSSIBLE
IN OUR SOUTHWEST ZONES. DECIDED NOT TO BE TOO OPTIMISTIC AT THIS
TIME.

THE OPERATIONAL RUNS OF THE 12Z GFS AND 12Z ECMWF HAVE CHANGED IN
REGARDS TO POSSIBLE PCPN AMOUNTS FOR THE WEEKEND. THE 12Z GFS
ENSEMBLE AND THE 15Z SREF STILL INDICATE SOME POTENTIAL FOR LIGHT
RAIN/SNOW. FOR OUR AREA...IN GENERAL...EXPECT THAT THE MAIN
FORCING AND MOISTURE WILL STAY TO OUR SOUTH SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY
NIGHT. THIS WILL BE ADJUSTED (IF NEEDED) AS WE GET CLOSER. THE
MODELS MAY DEVIATE MORE FROM RUN TO RUN OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
THIS VARIANCE WILL BE AT LEAST PARTIALLY DUE TO THE COMPLEX FLOW
THAT WILL DEVELOP OVER THE NORTHERN PACIFIC...WHICH IS NOT A HIGH
DENSITY DATA AREA FOR UPPER AIR OBSERVATIONS IN MOST CASES.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 315 PM CST WED JAN 28 2015

ANOTHER WAVE WILL DROP DOWN ACROSS THE DAKOTAS TOWARD THE CENTRAL
PLAINS FOR SATURDAY NIGHT...BUT THIS MAY HAVE LARGER IMPACTS IN
SOUTHERN MINNESOTA AND NORTHERN IOWA.

PCPN CHANGES WILL BE DECREASING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...AND OUR
TEMPERATURES SHOULD AS WELL. COLD HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER THE
EASTERN DAKOTAS BY NOON SUNDAY...THEN THAT SHOULD MOVE INTO IOWA
AND MISSOURI BY MONDAY MORNING.

SYSTEM AMPLIFICATION SEEMS POSSIBLE BASED ON THE NORTHWEST FLOW
PATTERN FOR SUNDAY...SO WILL NEED TO WATCH THE WAVE SHOWN IN THE
NORTHERN STREAM ON SUNDAY. THE CANADIAN MODEL EVEN BRIEFLY SHOWS
A CLOSED LOW AT 500 MB NEAR THE SOUTH DAKOTA/MINNESOTA BORDER ON
SUNDAY.

OTHERWISE WILL WILL BE MAINLY UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF COOL NORTHWEST
FLOW EARLY NEXT WEEK. HIGHS WILL BE MUCH BELOW NORMAL SUNDAY INTO
MONDAY...THEN SHOULD TREND CLOSER TO NORMAL FOR TUESDAY/WEDNESDAY.
KEPT A SMALL CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW GOING FOR TUESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...(18Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.)
ISSUED AT 1127 AM CST WED JAN 28 2015

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED EARLY IN THE PERIOD WITH LIGHT
SOUTHEAST WINDS INITIALLY. A COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH THIS
EVENING TURNING WINDS TO THE NORTHWEST. THESE WILL INCREASE TO
AROUND 25 KTS WITH GUSTS UP TO NEAR 35 KTS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT. IN
ADDITION...MVFR CIGS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AFTER 06Z.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...WIND ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 7 AM CST THURSDAY FOR
     NEZ045-050>053-065>068.

     WIND ADVISORY FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM CST THURSDAY FOR
     NEZ015-030>034-042>044.

     WIND ADVISORY FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM CST THURSDAY FOR
     NEZ011-012-016>018.

IA...WIND ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 7 AM CST THURSDAY FOR
     IAZ055-056-069-079-080-090-091.

     WIND ADVISORY FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM CST THURSDAY FOR
     IAZ043.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...MILLER
LONG TERM...MILLER
AVIATION...KERN





000
FXUS63 KOAX 282115
AFDOAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
315 PM CST WED JAN 28 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 315 PM CST WED JAN 28 2015

THE CHANCE OF PCPN ON THE WEEKEND AND TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE
PERIOD WILL PROVIDE THE MAIN FORECAST CHALLENGES.

A COUPLE OF SHORTWAVE TROUGHS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION DURING THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS. 12 HOUR HEIGHT FALLS AT 12Z AT 500 MB WERE AS HIGH
AS 100 METERS OVER WYOMING. THIS WAVE WILL MOVE EASTWARD THROUGH
EARLY TONIGHT WITH ANOTHER WAVE DROPPING SOUTHEAST FROM THE DAKOTAS
AFTER MIDNIGHT. MOISTURE PROFILES ARE NOT SATURATED...BUT THERE
MAY BE ENOUGH MOISTURE FOR SOME SPRINKLES OR LIGHT SHOWERS IN OUR
NORTHERN AND EASTERN COUNTIES. WILL NEED TO WATCH SURFACE
TEMPERATURES SINCE PCPN WILL BE FALLING AS LIQUID AND IF IT DROPS
BELOW FREEZING IT MAY CAUSE SOME VERY LIGHT SPOTTY ICING. WINDS
WILL ALSO INCREASE LATER TONIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE
TRACKS ACROSS IOWA AND INTO NORTHEAST ILLINOIS BY DAYBREAK.

TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT AND DOWNWARD MOMENTUM TRANSFER (GFS
SHOWS 925 MB WINDS UP TO AROUND 40 OR 45 KNOTS OVERNIGHT) WILL BE
THE MAIN REASONS FOR THE STRONG WINDS. THESE MAY NOT BE CONSTANTLY
AT ADVISORY NUMBERS ALL NIGHT...BUT FEEL AT LEAST A COUPLE OF
PERIODS OF STRONG WINDS WILL OCCUR. WILL GO AHEAD AND ISSUE A
WIND ADVISORY FOR MOST OF OUR FORECAST AREA STARTING MID EVENING
IN NORTHEAST NEBRASKA THEN SPREADING THAT SOUTHEAST WITH TIME.

THE STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BRING IN COOLER AIR FOR THURSDAY.
THESE WINDS SHOULD REMAIN FAIRLY STRONG IN THE MORNING BUT DECREASE
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AS SURFACE RIDGE AXIS BUILDS INTO THE AREA
BY THURSDAY EVENING. WENT WITH HIGHS MOSTLY IN THE UPPER 30S AND
LOWER 40S NORTH...LOWER AND MID 40S SOUTH. SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO INCREASE FRIDAY AS THE RIDGE MOVES EAST LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. WILL BOOST HIGHS A BIT FOR FRIDAY...TO
THE LOWER AND MID 40S BUT EVEN WARMER READINGS APPEAR POSSIBLE
IN OUR SOUTHWEST ZONES. DECIDED NOT TO BE TOO OPTIMISTIC AT THIS
TIME.

THE OPERATIONAL RUNS OF THE 12Z GFS AND 12Z ECMWF HAVE CHANGED IN
REGARDS TO POSSIBLE PCPN AMOUNTS FOR THE WEEKEND. THE 12Z GFS
ENSEMBLE AND THE 15Z SREF STILL INDICATE SOME POTENTIAL FOR LIGHT
RAIN/SNOW. FOR OUR AREA...IN GENERAL...EXPECT THAT THE MAIN
FORCING AND MOISTURE WILL STAY TO OUR SOUTH SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY
NIGHT. THIS WILL BE ADJUSTED (IF NEEDED) AS WE GET CLOSER. THE
MODELS MAY DEVIATE MORE FROM RUN TO RUN OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
THIS VARIANCE WILL BE AT LEAST PARTIALLY DUE TO THE COMPLEX FLOW
THAT WILL DEVELOP OVER THE NORTHERN PACIFIC...WHICH IS NOT A HIGH
DENSITY DATA AREA FOR UPPER AIR OBSERVATIONS IN MOST CASES.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 315 PM CST WED JAN 28 2015

ANOTHER WAVE WILL DROP DOWN ACROSS THE DAKOTAS TOWARD THE CENTRAL
PLAINS FOR SATURDAY NIGHT...BUT THIS MAY HAVE LARGER IMPACTS IN
SOUTHERN MINNESOTA AND NORTHERN IOWA.

PCPN CHANGES WILL BE DECREASING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...AND OUR
TEMPERATURES SHOULD AS WELL. COLD HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER THE
EASTERN DAKOTAS BY NOON SUNDAY...THEN THAT SHOULD MOVE INTO IOWA
AND MISSOURI BY MONDAY MORNING.

SYSTEM AMPLIFICATION SEEMS POSSIBLE BASED ON THE NORTHWEST FLOW
PATTERN FOR SUNDAY...SO WILL NEED TO WATCH THE WAVE SHOWN IN THE
NORTHERN STREAM ON SUNDAY. THE CANADIAN MODEL EVEN BRIEFLY SHOWS
A CLOSED LOW AT 500 MB NEAR THE SOUTH DAKOTA/MINNESOTA BORDER ON
SUNDAY.

OTHERWISE WILL WILL BE MAINLY UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF COOL NORTHWEST
FLOW EARLY NEXT WEEK. HIGHS WILL BE MUCH BELOW NORMAL SUNDAY INTO
MONDAY...THEN SHOULD TREND CLOSER TO NORMAL FOR TUESDAY/WEDNESDAY.
KEPT A SMALL CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW GOING FOR TUESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...(18Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.)
ISSUED AT 1127 AM CST WED JAN 28 2015

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED EARLY IN THE PERIOD WITH LIGHT
SOUTHEAST WINDS INITIALLY. A COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH THIS
EVENING TURNING WINDS TO THE NORTHWEST. THESE WILL INCREASE TO
AROUND 25 KTS WITH GUSTS UP TO NEAR 35 KTS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT. IN
ADDITION...MVFR CIGS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AFTER 06Z.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...WIND ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 7 AM CST THURSDAY FOR
     NEZ045-050>053-065>068.

     WIND ADVISORY FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM CST THURSDAY FOR
     NEZ015-030>034-042>044.

     WIND ADVISORY FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM CST THURSDAY FOR
     NEZ011-012-016>018.

IA...WIND ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 7 AM CST THURSDAY FOR
     IAZ055-056-069-079-080-090-091.

     WIND ADVISORY FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM CST THURSDAY FOR
     IAZ043.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...MILLER
LONG TERM...MILLER
AVIATION...KERN




000
FXUS63 KOAX 281729
AFDOAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
1129 AM CST WED JAN 28 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 250 AM CST WED JAN 28 2015

TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE PRIMARY FOCUS IN THE SHORT
TERM.

POCKET OF VERY WARM AIR WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS EASTERN NEBRASKA
AND SOUTHWEST IOWA THIS MORNING IN ADVANCE OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING
ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS TOWARD THE LOWER MISSOURI VALLEY TODAY.
GOOD POTENTIAL FOR RECORD HIGHS TODAY WITH TEMPERATURES STARTING
OFF IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S EARLY THIS MORNING. SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA
AND SOUTHWEST IOWA WILL BE IN THE WARM SECTOR THE LONGEST PRIOR TO
THE ARRIVAL OF THE COLD FRONT MID TO LATE AFTERNOON AND MAY SEE
TEMPS APPROACHING 70...ESPECIALLY IN THE FAR SOUTHEAST.

GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA ALONG WITH THE
COLDER AIR DURING THE EVENING WITH WINDS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
INTO THURSDAY MORNING. NO HEADLINES AT THIS TIME BUT DAY SHIFT
WILL NEED TO CONSIDER IF MAV GUIDANCE STAYS CONSISTENT IN NEXT
MODEL RUN. NOT AS WARM THURSDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE
REGION WITH DIMINISHING WINDS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGH DRIFTS TO
THE EAST THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY AS SYSTEM OVER THE SOUTHWEST
PART OF THE NATION BEGINS TO APPROACH THE REGION.

ICE JAMS ON THE LOWER PLATTE RIVER CONTINUE TO PRODUCE FLOODING
FROM WESTERN DOUGLAS COUNTY INTO SOUTHERN SARPY AND NORTHERN CASS
COUNTY THIS MORNING.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 250 AM CST WED JAN 28 2015

TIMING OF THE SOUTHWEST SYSTEM WILL BE THE MAIN CONCERN EARLY IN
THE EXTENDED PERIOD WITH 00Z MODELS SLOWING THE MOVEMENT INTO THE
AREA FROM PREVIOUS RUNS. PRECIP TYPE ALSO COMES INTO PLAY AS A
COLD FRONT BISECTS THE FORECAST AREA ON SATURDAY WITH SOME
POTENTIAL FOR FREEZING PRECIP ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE SOUTH HALF
OF THE AREA INTO SATURDAY EVENING BEFORE COLDER AIR MOVES INTO THE
LOW LEVELS AND PRECIP CHANGES TO SNOW THERE LATER SATURDAY NIGHT.
SNOW DIMINISHES ON SUNDAY WITH SURGE OF COLDER AIR MOVING IN
DURING THE DAY. COLD AIR HANGS ON THROUGH MONDAY BEFORE WARMER
TEMPS RETURN TUESDAY. SOME UNCERTAINTY FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK HOWEVER
AS MODELS DIFFER ON TIMING OF THE WARM AIR RETURN WITH GFS SLOWER
THAN THE EURO.

&&

.AVIATION...(18Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.)
ISSUED AT 1127 AM CST WED JAN 28 2015

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED EARLY IN THE PERIOD WITH LIGHT
SOUTHEAST WINDS INITIALLY. A COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH THIS
EVENING TURNING WINDS TO THE NORTHWEST. THESE WILL INCREASE TO
AROUND 25 KTS WITH GUSTS UP TO NEAR 35 KTS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT. IN
ADDITION...MVFR CIGS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AFTER 06Z.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...FOBERT
LONG TERM...FOBERT
AVIATION...KERN




000
FXUS63 KOAX 281729
AFDOAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
1129 AM CST WED JAN 28 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 250 AM CST WED JAN 28 2015

TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE PRIMARY FOCUS IN THE SHORT
TERM.

POCKET OF VERY WARM AIR WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS EASTERN NEBRASKA
AND SOUTHWEST IOWA THIS MORNING IN ADVANCE OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING
ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS TOWARD THE LOWER MISSOURI VALLEY TODAY.
GOOD POTENTIAL FOR RECORD HIGHS TODAY WITH TEMPERATURES STARTING
OFF IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S EARLY THIS MORNING. SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA
AND SOUTHWEST IOWA WILL BE IN THE WARM SECTOR THE LONGEST PRIOR TO
THE ARRIVAL OF THE COLD FRONT MID TO LATE AFTERNOON AND MAY SEE
TEMPS APPROACHING 70...ESPECIALLY IN THE FAR SOUTHEAST.

GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA ALONG WITH THE
COLDER AIR DURING THE EVENING WITH WINDS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
INTO THURSDAY MORNING. NO HEADLINES AT THIS TIME BUT DAY SHIFT
WILL NEED TO CONSIDER IF MAV GUIDANCE STAYS CONSISTENT IN NEXT
MODEL RUN. NOT AS WARM THURSDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE
REGION WITH DIMINISHING WINDS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGH DRIFTS TO
THE EAST THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY AS SYSTEM OVER THE SOUTHWEST
PART OF THE NATION BEGINS TO APPROACH THE REGION.

ICE JAMS ON THE LOWER PLATTE RIVER CONTINUE TO PRODUCE FLOODING
FROM WESTERN DOUGLAS COUNTY INTO SOUTHERN SARPY AND NORTHERN CASS
COUNTY THIS MORNING.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 250 AM CST WED JAN 28 2015

TIMING OF THE SOUTHWEST SYSTEM WILL BE THE MAIN CONCERN EARLY IN
THE EXTENDED PERIOD WITH 00Z MODELS SLOWING THE MOVEMENT INTO THE
AREA FROM PREVIOUS RUNS. PRECIP TYPE ALSO COMES INTO PLAY AS A
COLD FRONT BISECTS THE FORECAST AREA ON SATURDAY WITH SOME
POTENTIAL FOR FREEZING PRECIP ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE SOUTH HALF
OF THE AREA INTO SATURDAY EVENING BEFORE COLDER AIR MOVES INTO THE
LOW LEVELS AND PRECIP CHANGES TO SNOW THERE LATER SATURDAY NIGHT.
SNOW DIMINISHES ON SUNDAY WITH SURGE OF COLDER AIR MOVING IN
DURING THE DAY. COLD AIR HANGS ON THROUGH MONDAY BEFORE WARMER
TEMPS RETURN TUESDAY. SOME UNCERTAINTY FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK HOWEVER
AS MODELS DIFFER ON TIMING OF THE WARM AIR RETURN WITH GFS SLOWER
THAN THE EURO.

&&

.AVIATION...(18Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.)
ISSUED AT 1127 AM CST WED JAN 28 2015

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED EARLY IN THE PERIOD WITH LIGHT
SOUTHEAST WINDS INITIALLY. A COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH THIS
EVENING TURNING WINDS TO THE NORTHWEST. THESE WILL INCREASE TO
AROUND 25 KTS WITH GUSTS UP TO NEAR 35 KTS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT. IN
ADDITION...MVFR CIGS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AFTER 06Z.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...FOBERT
LONG TERM...FOBERT
AVIATION...KERN





000
FXUS63 KOAX 281130
AFDOAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
530 AM CST WED JAN 28 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 250 AM CST WED JAN 28 2015

TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE PRIMARY FOCUS IN THE SHORT
TERM.

POCKET OF VERY WARM AIR WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS EASTERN NEBRASKA
AND SOUTHWEST IOWA THIS MORNING IN ADVANCE OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING
ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS TOWARD THE LOWER MISSOURI VALLEY TODAY.
GOOD POTENTIAL FOR RECORD HIGHS TODAY WITH TEMPERATURES STARTING
OFF IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S EARLY THIS MORNING. SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA
AND SOUTHWEST IOWA WILL BE IN THE WARM SECTOR THE LONGEST PRIOR TO
THE ARRIVAL OF THE COLD FRONT MID TO LATE AFTERNOON AND MAY SEE
TEMPS APPROACHING 70...ESPECIALLY IN THE FAR SOUTHEAST.

GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA ALONG WITH THE
COLDER AIR DURING THE EVENING WITH WINDS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
INTO THURSDAY MORNING. NO HEADLINES AT THIS TIME BUT DAY SHIFT
WILL NEED TO CONSIDER IF MAV GUIDANCE STAYS CONSISTENT IN NEXT
MODEL RUN. NOT AS WARM THURSDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE
REGION WITH DIMINISHING WINDS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGH DRIFTS TO
THE EAST THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY AS SYSTEM OVER THE SOUTHWEST
PART OF THE NATION BEGINS TO APPROACH THE REGION.

ICE JAMS ON THE LOWER PLATTE RIVER CONTINUE TO PRODUCE FLOODING
FROM WESTERN DOUGLAS COUNTY INTO SOUTHERN SARPY AND NORTHERN CASS
COUNTY THIS MORNING.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 250 AM CST WED JAN 28 2015

TIMING OF THE SOUTHWEST SYSTEM WILL BE THE MAIN CONCERN EARLY IN
THE EXTENDED PERIOD WITH 00Z MODELS SLOWING THE MOVEMENT INTO THE
AREA FROM PREVIOUS RUNS. PRECIP TYPE ALSO COMES INTO PLAY AS A
COLD FRONT BISECTS THE FORECAST AREA ON SATURDAY WITH SOME
POTENTIAL FOR FREEZING PRECIP ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE SOUTH HALF
OF THE AREA INTO SATURDAY EVENING BEFORE COLDER AIR MOVES INTO THE
LOW LEVELS AND PRECIP CHANGES TO SNOW THERE LATER SATURDAY NIGHT.
SNOW DIMINISHES ON SUNDAY WITH SURGE OF COLDER AIR MOVING IN
DURING THE DAY. COLD AIR HANGS ON THROUGH MONDAY BEFORE WARMER
TEMPS RETURN TUESDAY. SOME UNCERTAINTY FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK HOWEVER
AS MODELS DIFFER ON TIMING OF THE WARM AIR RETURN WITH GFS SLOWER
THAN THE EURO.

&&

.AVIATION...(12Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.)
ISSUED AT 525 AM CST WED JAN 28 2015

VFR CONDITIONS EARLY IN THE PERIOD WITH SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
12 KNOTS. WINDS BECOME SOUTHWEST BY 17-21Z...THEN NORTHWEST BY
21-24Z AS A COLD FRONT BEGINS TO MOVE INTO THE AREA. ONCE THE
FRONT ARRIVES...WINDS SUBSTANTIALLY INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 KNOTS
SUSTAINED BY 29/02-03Z...WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 TO 38 KNOTS. COULD
ALSO SEE MVFR CEILINGS DEVELOP BY 04-06Z.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...FOBERT
LONG TERM...FOBERT
AVIATION...DEWALD





000
FXUS63 KOAX 281130
AFDOAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
530 AM CST WED JAN 28 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 250 AM CST WED JAN 28 2015

TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE PRIMARY FOCUS IN THE SHORT
TERM.

POCKET OF VERY WARM AIR WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS EASTERN NEBRASKA
AND SOUTHWEST IOWA THIS MORNING IN ADVANCE OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING
ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS TOWARD THE LOWER MISSOURI VALLEY TODAY.
GOOD POTENTIAL FOR RECORD HIGHS TODAY WITH TEMPERATURES STARTING
OFF IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S EARLY THIS MORNING. SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA
AND SOUTHWEST IOWA WILL BE IN THE WARM SECTOR THE LONGEST PRIOR TO
THE ARRIVAL OF THE COLD FRONT MID TO LATE AFTERNOON AND MAY SEE
TEMPS APPROACHING 70...ESPECIALLY IN THE FAR SOUTHEAST.

GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA ALONG WITH THE
COLDER AIR DURING THE EVENING WITH WINDS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
INTO THURSDAY MORNING. NO HEADLINES AT THIS TIME BUT DAY SHIFT
WILL NEED TO CONSIDER IF MAV GUIDANCE STAYS CONSISTENT IN NEXT
MODEL RUN. NOT AS WARM THURSDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE
REGION WITH DIMINISHING WINDS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGH DRIFTS TO
THE EAST THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY AS SYSTEM OVER THE SOUTHWEST
PART OF THE NATION BEGINS TO APPROACH THE REGION.

ICE JAMS ON THE LOWER PLATTE RIVER CONTINUE TO PRODUCE FLOODING
FROM WESTERN DOUGLAS COUNTY INTO SOUTHERN SARPY AND NORTHERN CASS
COUNTY THIS MORNING.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 250 AM CST WED JAN 28 2015

TIMING OF THE SOUTHWEST SYSTEM WILL BE THE MAIN CONCERN EARLY IN
THE EXTENDED PERIOD WITH 00Z MODELS SLOWING THE MOVEMENT INTO THE
AREA FROM PREVIOUS RUNS. PRECIP TYPE ALSO COMES INTO PLAY AS A
COLD FRONT BISECTS THE FORECAST AREA ON SATURDAY WITH SOME
POTENTIAL FOR FREEZING PRECIP ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE SOUTH HALF
OF THE AREA INTO SATURDAY EVENING BEFORE COLDER AIR MOVES INTO THE
LOW LEVELS AND PRECIP CHANGES TO SNOW THERE LATER SATURDAY NIGHT.
SNOW DIMINISHES ON SUNDAY WITH SURGE OF COLDER AIR MOVING IN
DURING THE DAY. COLD AIR HANGS ON THROUGH MONDAY BEFORE WARMER
TEMPS RETURN TUESDAY. SOME UNCERTAINTY FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK HOWEVER
AS MODELS DIFFER ON TIMING OF THE WARM AIR RETURN WITH GFS SLOWER
THAN THE EURO.

&&

.AVIATION...(12Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.)
ISSUED AT 525 AM CST WED JAN 28 2015

VFR CONDITIONS EARLY IN THE PERIOD WITH SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
12 KNOTS. WINDS BECOME SOUTHWEST BY 17-21Z...THEN NORTHWEST BY
21-24Z AS A COLD FRONT BEGINS TO MOVE INTO THE AREA. ONCE THE
FRONT ARRIVES...WINDS SUBSTANTIALLY INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 KNOTS
SUSTAINED BY 29/02-03Z...WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 TO 38 KNOTS. COULD
ALSO SEE MVFR CEILINGS DEVELOP BY 04-06Z.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...FOBERT
LONG TERM...FOBERT
AVIATION...DEWALD




000
FXUS63 KOAX 280901
AFDOAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
301 AM CST WED JAN 28 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 250 AM CST WED JAN 28 2015

TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE PRIMARY FOCUS IN THE SHORT
TERM.

POCKET OF VERY WARM AIR WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS EASTERN NEBRASKA
AND SOUTHWEST IOWA THIS MORNING IN ADVANCE OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING
ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS TOWARD THE LOWER MISSOURI VALLEY TODAY.
GOOD POTENTIAL FOR RECORD HIGHS TODAY WITH TEMPERATURES STARTING
OFF IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S EARLY THIS MORNING. SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA
AND SOUTHWEST IOWA WILL BE IN THE WARM SECTOR THE LONGEST PRIOR TO
THE ARRIVAL OF THE COLD FRONT MID TO LATE AFTERNOON AND MAY SEE
TEMPS APPROACHING 70...ESPECIALLY IN THE FAR SOUTHEAST.

GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA ALONG WITH THE
COLDER AIR DURING THE EVENING WITH WINDS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
INTO THURSDAY MORNING. NO HEADLINES AT THIS TIME BUT DAY SHIFT
WILL NEED TO CONSIDER IF MAV GUIDANCE STAYS CONSISTENT IN NEXT
MODEL RUN. NOT AS WARM THURSDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE
REGION WITH DIMINISHING WINDS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGH DRIFTS TO
THE EAST THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY AS SYSTEM OVER THE SOUTHWEST
PART OF THE NATION BEGINS TO APPROACH THE REGION.

ICE JAMS ON THE LOWER PLATTE RIVER CONTINUE TO PRODUCE FLOODING
FROM WESTERN DOUGLAS COUNTY INTO SOUTHERN SARPY AND NORTHERN CASS
COUNTY THIS MORNING.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 250 AM CST WED JAN 28 2015

TIMING OF THE SOUTHWEST SYSTEM WILL BE THE MAIN CONCERN EARLY IN
THE EXTENDED PERIOD WITH 00Z MODELS SLOWING THE MOVEMENT INTO THE
AREA FROM PREVIOUS RUNS. PRECIP TYPE ALSO COMES INTO PLAY AS A
COLD FRONT BISECTS THE FORECAST AREA ON SATURDAY WITH SOME
POTENTIAL FOR FREEZING PRECIP ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE SOUTH HALF
OF THE AREA INTO SATURDAY EVENING BEFORE COLDER AIR MOVES INTO THE
LOW LEVELS AND PRECIP CHANGES TO SNOW THERE LATER SATURDAY NIGHT.
SNOW DIMINISHES ON SUNDAY WITH SURGE OF COLDER AIR MOVING IN
DURING THE DAY. COLD AIR HANGS ON THROUGH MONDAY BEFORE WARMER
TEMPS RETURN TUESDAY. SOME UNCERTAINTY FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK HOWEVER
AS MODELS DIFFER ON TIMING OF THE WARM AIR RETURN WITH GFS SLOWER
THAN THE EURO.

&&

.AVIATION...(06Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.)
ISSUED AT 1139 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE NAM/GFS TRY
TO EXPAND THE MVFR CIGS SOUTHWARD WEDNESDAY MORNING AND THE RAP
KEEPS THEM NORTH OF SUX.  FOR THIS FORECAST WILL FOLLOW THE RAP
WITH THE LOW CLOUDS REMAINING NORTH OF THE TAF SITES. THE LOW
LEVEL JET INCREASES ALONG THE MISSOURI RIVER AND THIS WILL KEEP
WINDS UP AROUND 10-12KTS AT KOMA. SOUTHEAST FLOW 6-12KTS WILL
BECOME SOUTH THEN SOUTHWEST AHEAD OF THE WINDSHIFT. THE WINDSHIFT
TO THE NORTHWEST ARRIVES AT KOFK AROUND 17Z WITH NORTHWEST WINDS
STRENGTHENING TO 15 TO 30KT WITH GUSTS 30-40KTS THEREAFTER. THESE
STRONGER WINDS WILL WORK INTO KOMA AND KLNK AREAS TOWARD 00Z.
CLOUDS DO INCREASE BEHIND THE FRONT AND MVFR CONDITIONS MAY TRY TO
WORK IN TOWARD KOMA AROUND 03Z.


&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...FOBERT
LONG TERM...FOBERT
AVIATION...ZAPOTOCNY




000
FXUS63 KOAX 280901
AFDOAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
301 AM CST WED JAN 28 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 250 AM CST WED JAN 28 2015

TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE PRIMARY FOCUS IN THE SHORT
TERM.

POCKET OF VERY WARM AIR WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS EASTERN NEBRASKA
AND SOUTHWEST IOWA THIS MORNING IN ADVANCE OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING
ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS TOWARD THE LOWER MISSOURI VALLEY TODAY.
GOOD POTENTIAL FOR RECORD HIGHS TODAY WITH TEMPERATURES STARTING
OFF IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S EARLY THIS MORNING. SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA
AND SOUTHWEST IOWA WILL BE IN THE WARM SECTOR THE LONGEST PRIOR TO
THE ARRIVAL OF THE COLD FRONT MID TO LATE AFTERNOON AND MAY SEE
TEMPS APPROACHING 70...ESPECIALLY IN THE FAR SOUTHEAST.

GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA ALONG WITH THE
COLDER AIR DURING THE EVENING WITH WINDS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
INTO THURSDAY MORNING. NO HEADLINES AT THIS TIME BUT DAY SHIFT
WILL NEED TO CONSIDER IF MAV GUIDANCE STAYS CONSISTENT IN NEXT
MODEL RUN. NOT AS WARM THURSDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE
REGION WITH DIMINISHING WINDS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGH DRIFTS TO
THE EAST THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY AS SYSTEM OVER THE SOUTHWEST
PART OF THE NATION BEGINS TO APPROACH THE REGION.

ICE JAMS ON THE LOWER PLATTE RIVER CONTINUE TO PRODUCE FLOODING
FROM WESTERN DOUGLAS COUNTY INTO SOUTHERN SARPY AND NORTHERN CASS
COUNTY THIS MORNING.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 250 AM CST WED JAN 28 2015

TIMING OF THE SOUTHWEST SYSTEM WILL BE THE MAIN CONCERN EARLY IN
THE EXTENDED PERIOD WITH 00Z MODELS SLOWING THE MOVEMENT INTO THE
AREA FROM PREVIOUS RUNS. PRECIP TYPE ALSO COMES INTO PLAY AS A
COLD FRONT BISECTS THE FORECAST AREA ON SATURDAY WITH SOME
POTENTIAL FOR FREEZING PRECIP ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE SOUTH HALF
OF THE AREA INTO SATURDAY EVENING BEFORE COLDER AIR MOVES INTO THE
LOW LEVELS AND PRECIP CHANGES TO SNOW THERE LATER SATURDAY NIGHT.
SNOW DIMINISHES ON SUNDAY WITH SURGE OF COLDER AIR MOVING IN
DURING THE DAY. COLD AIR HANGS ON THROUGH MONDAY BEFORE WARMER
TEMPS RETURN TUESDAY. SOME UNCERTAINTY FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK HOWEVER
AS MODELS DIFFER ON TIMING OF THE WARM AIR RETURN WITH GFS SLOWER
THAN THE EURO.

&&

.AVIATION...(06Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.)
ISSUED AT 1139 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE NAM/GFS TRY
TO EXPAND THE MVFR CIGS SOUTHWARD WEDNESDAY MORNING AND THE RAP
KEEPS THEM NORTH OF SUX.  FOR THIS FORECAST WILL FOLLOW THE RAP
WITH THE LOW CLOUDS REMAINING NORTH OF THE TAF SITES. THE LOW
LEVEL JET INCREASES ALONG THE MISSOURI RIVER AND THIS WILL KEEP
WINDS UP AROUND 10-12KTS AT KOMA. SOUTHEAST FLOW 6-12KTS WILL
BECOME SOUTH THEN SOUTHWEST AHEAD OF THE WINDSHIFT. THE WINDSHIFT
TO THE NORTHWEST ARRIVES AT KOFK AROUND 17Z WITH NORTHWEST WINDS
STRENGTHENING TO 15 TO 30KT WITH GUSTS 30-40KTS THEREAFTER. THESE
STRONGER WINDS WILL WORK INTO KOMA AND KLNK AREAS TOWARD 00Z.
CLOUDS DO INCREASE BEHIND THE FRONT AND MVFR CONDITIONS MAY TRY TO
WORK IN TOWARD KOMA AROUND 03Z.


&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...FOBERT
LONG TERM...FOBERT
AVIATION...ZAPOTOCNY





000
FXUS63 KOAX 280901
AFDOAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
301 AM CST WED JAN 28 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 250 AM CST WED JAN 28 2015

TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE PRIMARY FOCUS IN THE SHORT
TERM.

POCKET OF VERY WARM AIR WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS EASTERN NEBRASKA
AND SOUTHWEST IOWA THIS MORNING IN ADVANCE OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING
ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS TOWARD THE LOWER MISSOURI VALLEY TODAY.
GOOD POTENTIAL FOR RECORD HIGHS TODAY WITH TEMPERATURES STARTING
OFF IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S EARLY THIS MORNING. SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA
AND SOUTHWEST IOWA WILL BE IN THE WARM SECTOR THE LONGEST PRIOR TO
THE ARRIVAL OF THE COLD FRONT MID TO LATE AFTERNOON AND MAY SEE
TEMPS APPROACHING 70...ESPECIALLY IN THE FAR SOUTHEAST.

GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA ALONG WITH THE
COLDER AIR DURING THE EVENING WITH WINDS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
INTO THURSDAY MORNING. NO HEADLINES AT THIS TIME BUT DAY SHIFT
WILL NEED TO CONSIDER IF MAV GUIDANCE STAYS CONSISTENT IN NEXT
MODEL RUN. NOT AS WARM THURSDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE
REGION WITH DIMINISHING WINDS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGH DRIFTS TO
THE EAST THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY AS SYSTEM OVER THE SOUTHWEST
PART OF THE NATION BEGINS TO APPROACH THE REGION.

ICE JAMS ON THE LOWER PLATTE RIVER CONTINUE TO PRODUCE FLOODING
FROM WESTERN DOUGLAS COUNTY INTO SOUTHERN SARPY AND NORTHERN CASS
COUNTY THIS MORNING.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 250 AM CST WED JAN 28 2015

TIMING OF THE SOUTHWEST SYSTEM WILL BE THE MAIN CONCERN EARLY IN
THE EXTENDED PERIOD WITH 00Z MODELS SLOWING THE MOVEMENT INTO THE
AREA FROM PREVIOUS RUNS. PRECIP TYPE ALSO COMES INTO PLAY AS A
COLD FRONT BISECTS THE FORECAST AREA ON SATURDAY WITH SOME
POTENTIAL FOR FREEZING PRECIP ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE SOUTH HALF
OF THE AREA INTO SATURDAY EVENING BEFORE COLDER AIR MOVES INTO THE
LOW LEVELS AND PRECIP CHANGES TO SNOW THERE LATER SATURDAY NIGHT.
SNOW DIMINISHES ON SUNDAY WITH SURGE OF COLDER AIR MOVING IN
DURING THE DAY. COLD AIR HANGS ON THROUGH MONDAY BEFORE WARMER
TEMPS RETURN TUESDAY. SOME UNCERTAINTY FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK HOWEVER
AS MODELS DIFFER ON TIMING OF THE WARM AIR RETURN WITH GFS SLOWER
THAN THE EURO.

&&

.AVIATION...(06Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.)
ISSUED AT 1139 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE NAM/GFS TRY
TO EXPAND THE MVFR CIGS SOUTHWARD WEDNESDAY MORNING AND THE RAP
KEEPS THEM NORTH OF SUX.  FOR THIS FORECAST WILL FOLLOW THE RAP
WITH THE LOW CLOUDS REMAINING NORTH OF THE TAF SITES. THE LOW
LEVEL JET INCREASES ALONG THE MISSOURI RIVER AND THIS WILL KEEP
WINDS UP AROUND 10-12KTS AT KOMA. SOUTHEAST FLOW 6-12KTS WILL
BECOME SOUTH THEN SOUTHWEST AHEAD OF THE WINDSHIFT. THE WINDSHIFT
TO THE NORTHWEST ARRIVES AT KOFK AROUND 17Z WITH NORTHWEST WINDS
STRENGTHENING TO 15 TO 30KT WITH GUSTS 30-40KTS THEREAFTER. THESE
STRONGER WINDS WILL WORK INTO KOMA AND KLNK AREAS TOWARD 00Z.
CLOUDS DO INCREASE BEHIND THE FRONT AND MVFR CONDITIONS MAY TRY TO
WORK IN TOWARD KOMA AROUND 03Z.


&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...FOBERT
LONG TERM...FOBERT
AVIATION...ZAPOTOCNY




000
FXUS63 KOAX 280901
AFDOAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
301 AM CST WED JAN 28 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 250 AM CST WED JAN 28 2015

TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE PRIMARY FOCUS IN THE SHORT
TERM.

POCKET OF VERY WARM AIR WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS EASTERN NEBRASKA
AND SOUTHWEST IOWA THIS MORNING IN ADVANCE OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING
ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS TOWARD THE LOWER MISSOURI VALLEY TODAY.
GOOD POTENTIAL FOR RECORD HIGHS TODAY WITH TEMPERATURES STARTING
OFF IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S EARLY THIS MORNING. SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA
AND SOUTHWEST IOWA WILL BE IN THE WARM SECTOR THE LONGEST PRIOR TO
THE ARRIVAL OF THE COLD FRONT MID TO LATE AFTERNOON AND MAY SEE
TEMPS APPROACHING 70...ESPECIALLY IN THE FAR SOUTHEAST.

GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA ALONG WITH THE
COLDER AIR DURING THE EVENING WITH WINDS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
INTO THURSDAY MORNING. NO HEADLINES AT THIS TIME BUT DAY SHIFT
WILL NEED TO CONSIDER IF MAV GUIDANCE STAYS CONSISTENT IN NEXT
MODEL RUN. NOT AS WARM THURSDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE
REGION WITH DIMINISHING WINDS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGH DRIFTS TO
THE EAST THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY AS SYSTEM OVER THE SOUTHWEST
PART OF THE NATION BEGINS TO APPROACH THE REGION.

ICE JAMS ON THE LOWER PLATTE RIVER CONTINUE TO PRODUCE FLOODING
FROM WESTERN DOUGLAS COUNTY INTO SOUTHERN SARPY AND NORTHERN CASS
COUNTY THIS MORNING.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 250 AM CST WED JAN 28 2015

TIMING OF THE SOUTHWEST SYSTEM WILL BE THE MAIN CONCERN EARLY IN
THE EXTENDED PERIOD WITH 00Z MODELS SLOWING THE MOVEMENT INTO THE
AREA FROM PREVIOUS RUNS. PRECIP TYPE ALSO COMES INTO PLAY AS A
COLD FRONT BISECTS THE FORECAST AREA ON SATURDAY WITH SOME
POTENTIAL FOR FREEZING PRECIP ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE SOUTH HALF
OF THE AREA INTO SATURDAY EVENING BEFORE COLDER AIR MOVES INTO THE
LOW LEVELS AND PRECIP CHANGES TO SNOW THERE LATER SATURDAY NIGHT.
SNOW DIMINISHES ON SUNDAY WITH SURGE OF COLDER AIR MOVING IN
DURING THE DAY. COLD AIR HANGS ON THROUGH MONDAY BEFORE WARMER
TEMPS RETURN TUESDAY. SOME UNCERTAINTY FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK HOWEVER
AS MODELS DIFFER ON TIMING OF THE WARM AIR RETURN WITH GFS SLOWER
THAN THE EURO.

&&

.AVIATION...(06Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.)
ISSUED AT 1139 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE NAM/GFS TRY
TO EXPAND THE MVFR CIGS SOUTHWARD WEDNESDAY MORNING AND THE RAP
KEEPS THEM NORTH OF SUX.  FOR THIS FORECAST WILL FOLLOW THE RAP
WITH THE LOW CLOUDS REMAINING NORTH OF THE TAF SITES. THE LOW
LEVEL JET INCREASES ALONG THE MISSOURI RIVER AND THIS WILL KEEP
WINDS UP AROUND 10-12KTS AT KOMA. SOUTHEAST FLOW 6-12KTS WILL
BECOME SOUTH THEN SOUTHWEST AHEAD OF THE WINDSHIFT. THE WINDSHIFT
TO THE NORTHWEST ARRIVES AT KOFK AROUND 17Z WITH NORTHWEST WINDS
STRENGTHENING TO 15 TO 30KT WITH GUSTS 30-40KTS THEREAFTER. THESE
STRONGER WINDS WILL WORK INTO KOMA AND KLNK AREAS TOWARD 00Z.
CLOUDS DO INCREASE BEHIND THE FRONT AND MVFR CONDITIONS MAY TRY TO
WORK IN TOWARD KOMA AROUND 03Z.


&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...FOBERT
LONG TERM...FOBERT
AVIATION...ZAPOTOCNY





000
FXUS63 KOAX 280550
AFDOAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
1150 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 332 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

QUIET WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE AS UPPER RIDGING MOVES TOWARD
THE CENTRAL PLAINS TONIGHT. A QUICK MOVING SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE
SOUTHWESTERN CONUS THIS AFTERNOON WILL MOVE INTO WYOMING BY
DAYBREAK. SFC LOW PRESSURE WILL SLIDE EAST ACROSS THE NORTHERN
PLAINS DRAGGING A COLD FRONT INTO THE CWA BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
MIXING IS EXPECTED TO SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASE TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON ALONG THE BOUNDARY. MOS GUIDANCE BETWEEN THE GFS AND NAM
DIFFERS BY 21 DEGREES AT OMAHA TOMORROW. THE NAM BRINGS IN A SLUG OF
LOW CLOUDS TOMORROW WHICH LOOKS SUSPECT AND THUS HAVE DISCOUNTED.
WE WILL WARM TEMPERATURES TO NEAR RECORDS WEDNESDAY.

A SECONDARY SHORTWAVE WILL DROP SOUTHEAST JUST BEHIND THIS FIRST
WAVE WEDNESDAY NIGHT/THURSDAY MORNING. SOME SPRINKLES/FLURRIES
CANNOT BE COMPLETELY RULED OUT ACROSS NORTHEAST NEBRASKA BUT THIS
SHOULD BE A QUICK SHOT.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 332 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

SFC HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES OVER THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY
MORNING WITH RETURN FLOW SETTING UP BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. SHORTWAVE
ENERGY SHEARING OUT OF THE GREAT BASIN IS EXPECTED TO ADVANCE EAST
AND THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND MIDWEST INTO FRIDAY. ADDITIONAL
NORTHERN STREAM ENERGY WILL DIG IN BEHIND THE LEAD SHORTWAVE INTO
SATURDAY NIGHT. WE HAVE INCREASED POPS INITIALLY WITH THE SOUTHERN
SYSTEM SATURDAY...THEN IN OUR NORTH ON SUNDAY WITH THE NORTHERN
STREAM. THIS COULD BEGIN AS SNOW EVENT IN OUR SOUTH EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING BEFORE TRANSITIONING TO A RA/SN EVENT DURING THE DAY. ONCE
THE NORTHERN STREAM SYSTEM DROPS DOWN...WE WILL TRANSITION OVER TO
ALL SNOW INTO SUNDAY MORNING.

&&

.AVIATION...(06Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.)
ISSUED AT 1139 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE NAM/GFS TRY
TO EXPAND THE MVFR CIGS SOUTHWARD WEDNESDAY MORNING AND THE RAP
KEEPS THEM NORTH OF SUX.  FOR THIS FORECAST WILL FOLLOW THE RAP
WITH THE LOW CLOUDS REMAINING NORTH OF THE TAF SITES. THE LOW
LEVEL JET INCREASES ALONG THE MISSOURI RIVER AND THIS WILL KEEP
WINDS UP AROUND 10-12KTS AT KOMA. SOUTHEAST FLOW 6-12KTS WILL
BECOME SOUTH THEN SOUTHWEST AHEAD OF THE WINDSHIFT. THE WINDSHIFT
TO THE NORTHWEST ARRIVES AT KOFK AROUND 17Z WITH NORTHWEST WINDS
STRENGTHENING TO 15 TO 30KT WITH GUSTS 30-40KTS THEREAFTER. THESE
STRONGER WINDS WILL WORK INTO KOMA AND KLNK AREAS TOWARD 00Z.
CLOUDS DO INCREASE BEHIND THE FRONT AND MVFR CONDITIONS MAY TRY TO
WORK IN TOWARD KOMA AROUND 03Z.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...KERN
LONG TERM...KERN
AVIATION...ZAPOTOCNY





000
FXUS63 KOAX 280550
AFDOAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
1150 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 332 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

QUIET WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE AS UPPER RIDGING MOVES TOWARD
THE CENTRAL PLAINS TONIGHT. A QUICK MOVING SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE
SOUTHWESTERN CONUS THIS AFTERNOON WILL MOVE INTO WYOMING BY
DAYBREAK. SFC LOW PRESSURE WILL SLIDE EAST ACROSS THE NORTHERN
PLAINS DRAGGING A COLD FRONT INTO THE CWA BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
MIXING IS EXPECTED TO SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASE TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON ALONG THE BOUNDARY. MOS GUIDANCE BETWEEN THE GFS AND NAM
DIFFERS BY 21 DEGREES AT OMAHA TOMORROW. THE NAM BRINGS IN A SLUG OF
LOW CLOUDS TOMORROW WHICH LOOKS SUSPECT AND THUS HAVE DISCOUNTED.
WE WILL WARM TEMPERATURES TO NEAR RECORDS WEDNESDAY.

A SECONDARY SHORTWAVE WILL DROP SOUTHEAST JUST BEHIND THIS FIRST
WAVE WEDNESDAY NIGHT/THURSDAY MORNING. SOME SPRINKLES/FLURRIES
CANNOT BE COMPLETELY RULED OUT ACROSS NORTHEAST NEBRASKA BUT THIS
SHOULD BE A QUICK SHOT.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 332 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

SFC HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES OVER THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY
MORNING WITH RETURN FLOW SETTING UP BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. SHORTWAVE
ENERGY SHEARING OUT OF THE GREAT BASIN IS EXPECTED TO ADVANCE EAST
AND THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND MIDWEST INTO FRIDAY. ADDITIONAL
NORTHERN STREAM ENERGY WILL DIG IN BEHIND THE LEAD SHORTWAVE INTO
SATURDAY NIGHT. WE HAVE INCREASED POPS INITIALLY WITH THE SOUTHERN
SYSTEM SATURDAY...THEN IN OUR NORTH ON SUNDAY WITH THE NORTHERN
STREAM. THIS COULD BEGIN AS SNOW EVENT IN OUR SOUTH EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING BEFORE TRANSITIONING TO A RA/SN EVENT DURING THE DAY. ONCE
THE NORTHERN STREAM SYSTEM DROPS DOWN...WE WILL TRANSITION OVER TO
ALL SNOW INTO SUNDAY MORNING.

&&

.AVIATION...(06Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.)
ISSUED AT 1139 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE NAM/GFS TRY
TO EXPAND THE MVFR CIGS SOUTHWARD WEDNESDAY MORNING AND THE RAP
KEEPS THEM NORTH OF SUX.  FOR THIS FORECAST WILL FOLLOW THE RAP
WITH THE LOW CLOUDS REMAINING NORTH OF THE TAF SITES. THE LOW
LEVEL JET INCREASES ALONG THE MISSOURI RIVER AND THIS WILL KEEP
WINDS UP AROUND 10-12KTS AT KOMA. SOUTHEAST FLOW 6-12KTS WILL
BECOME SOUTH THEN SOUTHWEST AHEAD OF THE WINDSHIFT. THE WINDSHIFT
TO THE NORTHWEST ARRIVES AT KOFK AROUND 17Z WITH NORTHWEST WINDS
STRENGTHENING TO 15 TO 30KT WITH GUSTS 30-40KTS THEREAFTER. THESE
STRONGER WINDS WILL WORK INTO KOMA AND KLNK AREAS TOWARD 00Z.
CLOUDS DO INCREASE BEHIND THE FRONT AND MVFR CONDITIONS MAY TRY TO
WORK IN TOWARD KOMA AROUND 03Z.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...KERN
LONG TERM...KERN
AVIATION...ZAPOTOCNY




000
FXUS63 KOAX 280419
AFDOAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
1019 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 332 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

QUIET WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE AS UPPER RIDGING MOVES TOWARD
THE CENTRAL PLAINS TONIGHT. A QUICK MOVING SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE
SOUTHWESTERN CONUS THIS AFTERNOON WILL MOVE INTO WYOMING BY
DAYBREAK. SFC LOW PRESSURE WILL SLIDE EAST ACROSS THE NORTHERN
PLAINS DRAGGING A COLD FRONT INTO THE CWA BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
MIXING IS EXPECTED TO SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASE TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON ALONG THE BOUNDARY. MOS GUIDANCE BETWEEN THE GFS AND NAM
DIFFERS BY 21 DEGREES AT OMAHA TOMORROW. THE NAM BRINGS IN A SLUG OF
LOW CLOUDS TOMORROW WHICH LOOKS SUSPECT AND THUS HAVE DISCOUNTED.
WE WILL WARM TEMPERATURES TO NEAR RECORDS WEDNESDAY.

A SECONDARY SHORTWAVE WILL DROP SOUTHEAST JUST BEHIND THIS FIRST
WAVE WEDNESDAY NIGHT/THURSDAY MORNING. SOME SPRINKLES/FLURRIES
CANNOT BE COMPLETELY RULED OUT ACROSS NORTHEAST NEBRASKA BUT THIS
SHOULD BE A QUICK SHOT.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 332 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

SFC HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES OVER THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY
MORNING WITH RETURN FLOW SETTING UP BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. SHORTWAVE
ENERGY SHEARING OUT OF THE GREAT BASIN IS EXPECTED TO ADVANCE EAST
AND THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND MIDWEST INTO FRIDAY. ADDITIONAL
NORTHERN STREAM ENERGY WILL DIG IN BEHIND THE LEAD SHORTWAVE INTO
SATURDAY NIGHT. WE HAVE INCREASED POPS INITIALLY WITH THE SOUTHERN
SYSTEM SATURDAY...THEN IN OUR NORTH ON SUNDAY WITH THE NORTHERN
STREAM. THIS COULD BEGIN AS SNOW EVENT IN OUR SOUTH EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING BEFORE TRANSITIONING TO A RA/SN EVENT DURING THE DAY. ONCE
THE NORTHERN STREAM SYSTEM DROPS DOWN...WE WILL TRANSITION OVER TO
ALL SNOW INTO SUNDAY MORNING.

&&

.AVIATION...(00Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.)
ISSUED AT 557 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. LIGHT SOUTHEAST WIND WILL BECOME MORE
SOUTH BY WEDNESDAY MORNING...AND THEN WEST WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AS A
COLD FRONT COMES THROUGH. THE STRONGER NORTHWEST WIND BEHIND THE
COLD FRONT SHOULD HOLD OFF UNTIL JUST AFTER THE END TIME OF 00Z
THURSDAY IN THIS FORECAST.


&&

.HYDROLOGY...
ISSUED AT 1009 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

THE LATEST INFORMATION FROM THIS AFTERNOON WAS THAT THE 1.4 MILE
LONG ICE JAM REMAINED IN PLACE ON THE PLATTE RIVER SOUTH OF
HIGHWAY 92...BETWEEN Q STREET AND F STREET. HAVE LEFT THE FLOOD
WARNING AND FLOOD ADVISORY AS IS AS CALLS TO LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT
REVEAL NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...KERN
LONG TERM...KERN
AVIATION...HEINLEIN
HYDROLOGY...ZAPOTOCNY




000
FXUS63 KOAX 280419
AFDOAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
1019 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 332 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

QUIET WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE AS UPPER RIDGING MOVES TOWARD
THE CENTRAL PLAINS TONIGHT. A QUICK MOVING SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE
SOUTHWESTERN CONUS THIS AFTERNOON WILL MOVE INTO WYOMING BY
DAYBREAK. SFC LOW PRESSURE WILL SLIDE EAST ACROSS THE NORTHERN
PLAINS DRAGGING A COLD FRONT INTO THE CWA BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
MIXING IS EXPECTED TO SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASE TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON ALONG THE BOUNDARY. MOS GUIDANCE BETWEEN THE GFS AND NAM
DIFFERS BY 21 DEGREES AT OMAHA TOMORROW. THE NAM BRINGS IN A SLUG OF
LOW CLOUDS TOMORROW WHICH LOOKS SUSPECT AND THUS HAVE DISCOUNTED.
WE WILL WARM TEMPERATURES TO NEAR RECORDS WEDNESDAY.

A SECONDARY SHORTWAVE WILL DROP SOUTHEAST JUST BEHIND THIS FIRST
WAVE WEDNESDAY NIGHT/THURSDAY MORNING. SOME SPRINKLES/FLURRIES
CANNOT BE COMPLETELY RULED OUT ACROSS NORTHEAST NEBRASKA BUT THIS
SHOULD BE A QUICK SHOT.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 332 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

SFC HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES OVER THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY
MORNING WITH RETURN FLOW SETTING UP BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. SHORTWAVE
ENERGY SHEARING OUT OF THE GREAT BASIN IS EXPECTED TO ADVANCE EAST
AND THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND MIDWEST INTO FRIDAY. ADDITIONAL
NORTHERN STREAM ENERGY WILL DIG IN BEHIND THE LEAD SHORTWAVE INTO
SATURDAY NIGHT. WE HAVE INCREASED POPS INITIALLY WITH THE SOUTHERN
SYSTEM SATURDAY...THEN IN OUR NORTH ON SUNDAY WITH THE NORTHERN
STREAM. THIS COULD BEGIN AS SNOW EVENT IN OUR SOUTH EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING BEFORE TRANSITIONING TO A RA/SN EVENT DURING THE DAY. ONCE
THE NORTHERN STREAM SYSTEM DROPS DOWN...WE WILL TRANSITION OVER TO
ALL SNOW INTO SUNDAY MORNING.

&&

.AVIATION...(00Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.)
ISSUED AT 557 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. LIGHT SOUTHEAST WIND WILL BECOME MORE
SOUTH BY WEDNESDAY MORNING...AND THEN WEST WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AS A
COLD FRONT COMES THROUGH. THE STRONGER NORTHWEST WIND BEHIND THE
COLD FRONT SHOULD HOLD OFF UNTIL JUST AFTER THE END TIME OF 00Z
THURSDAY IN THIS FORECAST.


&&

.HYDROLOGY...
ISSUED AT 1009 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

THE LATEST INFORMATION FROM THIS AFTERNOON WAS THAT THE 1.4 MILE
LONG ICE JAM REMAINED IN PLACE ON THE PLATTE RIVER SOUTH OF
HIGHWAY 92...BETWEEN Q STREET AND F STREET. HAVE LEFT THE FLOOD
WARNING AND FLOOD ADVISORY AS IS AS CALLS TO LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT
REVEAL NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...KERN
LONG TERM...KERN
AVIATION...HEINLEIN
HYDROLOGY...ZAPOTOCNY





000
FXUS63 KOAX 272359
AFDOAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
559 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 332 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

QUIET WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE AS UPPER RIDGING MOVES TOWARD
THE CENTRAL PLAINS TONIGHT. A QUICK MOVING SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE
SOUTHWESTERN CONUS THIS AFTERNOON WILL MOVE INTO WYOMING BY
DAYBREAK. SFC LOW PRESSURE WILL SLIDE EAST ACROSS THE NORTHERN
PLAINS DRAGGING A COLD FRONT INTO THE CWA BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
MIXING IS EXPECTED TO SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASE TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON ALONG THE BOUNDARY. MOS GUIDANCE BETWEEN THE GFS AND NAM
DIFFERS BY 21 DEGREES AT OMAHA TOMORROW. THE NAM BRINGS IN A SLUG OF
LOW CLOUDS TOMORROW WHICH LOOKS SUSPECT AND THUS HAVE DISCOUNTED.
WE WILL WARM TEMPERATURES TO NEAR RECORDS WEDNESDAY.

A SECONDARY SHORTWAVE WILL DROP SOUTHEAST JUST BEHIND THIS FIRST
WAVE WEDNESDAY NIGHT/THURSDAY MORNING. SOME SPRINKLES/FLURRIES
CANNOT BE COMPLETELY RULED OUT ACROSS NORTHEAST NEBRASKA BUT THIS
SHOULD BE A QUICK SHOT.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 332 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

SFC HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES OVER THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY
MORNING WITH RETURN FLOW SETTING UP BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. SHORTWAVE
ENERGY SHEARING OUT OF THE GREAT BASIN IS EXPECTED TO ADVANCE EAST
AND THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND MIDWEST INTO FRIDAY. ADDITIONAL
NORTHERN STREAM ENERGY WILL DIG IN BEHIND THE LEAD SHORTWAVE INTO
SATURDAY NIGHT. WE HAVE INCREASED POPS INITIALLY WITH THE SOUTHERN
SYSTEM SATURDAY...THEN IN OUR NORTH ON SUNDAY WITH THE NORTHERN
STREAM. THIS COULD BEGIN AS SNOW EVENT IN OUR SOUTH EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING BEFORE TRANSITIONING TO A RA/SN EVENT DURING THE DAY. ONCE
THE NORTHERN STREAM SYSTEM DROPS DOWN...WE WILL TRANSITION OVER TO
ALL SNOW INTO SUNDAY MORNING.

&&

.AVIATION...(00Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.)
ISSUED AT 557 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. LIGHT SOUTHEAST WIND WILL BECOME MORE
SOUTH BY WEDNESDAY MORNING...AND THEN WEST WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AS A
COLD FRONT COMES THROUGH. THE STRONGER NORTHWEST WIND BEHIND THE
COLD FRONT SHOULD HOLD OFF UNTIL JUST AFTER THE END TIME OF 00Z
THURSDAY IN THIS FORECAST.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...KERN
LONG TERM...KERN
AVIATION...HEINLEIN





000
FXUS63 KOAX 272359
AFDOAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
559 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 332 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

QUIET WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE AS UPPER RIDGING MOVES TOWARD
THE CENTRAL PLAINS TONIGHT. A QUICK MOVING SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE
SOUTHWESTERN CONUS THIS AFTERNOON WILL MOVE INTO WYOMING BY
DAYBREAK. SFC LOW PRESSURE WILL SLIDE EAST ACROSS THE NORTHERN
PLAINS DRAGGING A COLD FRONT INTO THE CWA BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
MIXING IS EXPECTED TO SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASE TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON ALONG THE BOUNDARY. MOS GUIDANCE BETWEEN THE GFS AND NAM
DIFFERS BY 21 DEGREES AT OMAHA TOMORROW. THE NAM BRINGS IN A SLUG OF
LOW CLOUDS TOMORROW WHICH LOOKS SUSPECT AND THUS HAVE DISCOUNTED.
WE WILL WARM TEMPERATURES TO NEAR RECORDS WEDNESDAY.

A SECONDARY SHORTWAVE WILL DROP SOUTHEAST JUST BEHIND THIS FIRST
WAVE WEDNESDAY NIGHT/THURSDAY MORNING. SOME SPRINKLES/FLURRIES
CANNOT BE COMPLETELY RULED OUT ACROSS NORTHEAST NEBRASKA BUT THIS
SHOULD BE A QUICK SHOT.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 332 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

SFC HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES OVER THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY
MORNING WITH RETURN FLOW SETTING UP BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. SHORTWAVE
ENERGY SHEARING OUT OF THE GREAT BASIN IS EXPECTED TO ADVANCE EAST
AND THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND MIDWEST INTO FRIDAY. ADDITIONAL
NORTHERN STREAM ENERGY WILL DIG IN BEHIND THE LEAD SHORTWAVE INTO
SATURDAY NIGHT. WE HAVE INCREASED POPS INITIALLY WITH THE SOUTHERN
SYSTEM SATURDAY...THEN IN OUR NORTH ON SUNDAY WITH THE NORTHERN
STREAM. THIS COULD BEGIN AS SNOW EVENT IN OUR SOUTH EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING BEFORE TRANSITIONING TO A RA/SN EVENT DURING THE DAY. ONCE
THE NORTHERN STREAM SYSTEM DROPS DOWN...WE WILL TRANSITION OVER TO
ALL SNOW INTO SUNDAY MORNING.

&&

.AVIATION...(00Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.)
ISSUED AT 557 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. LIGHT SOUTHEAST WIND WILL BECOME MORE
SOUTH BY WEDNESDAY MORNING...AND THEN WEST WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AS A
COLD FRONT COMES THROUGH. THE STRONGER NORTHWEST WIND BEHIND THE
COLD FRONT SHOULD HOLD OFF UNTIL JUST AFTER THE END TIME OF 00Z
THURSDAY IN THIS FORECAST.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...KERN
LONG TERM...KERN
AVIATION...HEINLEIN




000
FXUS63 KOAX 272219
AFDOAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
415 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 332 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

QUIET WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE AS UPPER RIDGING MOVES TOWARD
THE CENTRAL PLAINS TONIGHT. A QUICK MOVING SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE
SOUTHWESTERN CONUS THIS AFTERNOON WILL MOVE INTO WYOMING BY
DAYBREAK. SFC LOW PRESSURE WILL SLIDE EAST ACROSS THE NORTHERN
PLAINS DRAGGING A COLD FRONT INTO THE CWA BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
MIXING IS EXPECTED TO SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASE TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON ALONG THE BOUNDARY. MOS GUIDANCE BETWEEN THE GFS AND NAM
DIFFERS BY 21 DEGREES AT OMAHA TOMORROW. THE NAM BRINGS IN A SLUG OF
LOW CLOUDS TOMORROW WHICH LOOKS SUSPECT AND THUS HAVE DISCOUNTED.
WE WILL WARM TEMPERATURES TO NEAR RECORDS WEDNESDAY.

A SECONDARY SHORTWAVE WILL DROP SOUTHEAST JUST BEHIND THIS FIRST
WAVE WEDNESDAY NIGHT/THURSDAY MORNING. SOME SPRINKLES/FLURRIES
CANNOT BE COMPLETELY RULED OUT ACROSS NORTHEAST NEBRASKA BUT THIS
SHOULD BE A QUICK SHOT.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 332 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

SFC HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES OVER THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY
MORNING WITH RETURN FLOW SETTING UP BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. SHORTWAVE
ENERGY SHEARING OUT OF THE GREAT BASIN IS EXPECTED TO ADVANCE EAST
AND THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND MIDWEST INTO FRIDAY. ADDITIONAL
NORTHERN STREAM ENERGY WILL DIG IN BEHIND THE LEAD SHORTWAVE INTO
SATURDAY NIGHT. WE HAVE INCREASED POPS INITIALLY WITH THE SOUTHERN
SYSTEM SATURDAY...THEN IN OUR NORTH ON SUNDAY WITH THE NORTHERN
STREAM. THIS COULD BEGIN AS SNOW EVENT IN OUR SOUTH EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING BEFORE TRANSITIONING TO A RA/SN EVENT DURING THE DAY. ONCE
THE NORTHERN STREAM SYSTEM DROPS DOWN...WE WILL TRANSITION OVER TO
ALL SNOW INTO SUNDAY MORNING.

&&

.AVIATION...(18Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.)
ISSUED AT 1120 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THRU THE FCST PD.

&&

.HYDROLOGY... ISSUED AT 332 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

A RIVER JAM APPROXIMATELY 1.4 MILES LONG REMAINS IN PLACE ON THE
PLATTE RIVER SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 92...ROUGHLY BETWEEN Q AND F STREETS.
THE PAPIO NRD FLEW THE RIVER TODAY AND MENTIONED THE RIVER WAS ICE
FREE UPSTREAM TO THE HIGHWAY 77 BRIDGE. A WEAK RISE IN THE PLATTE
CAN BE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT FROM COLUMBUS DOWNSTREAM AS WATER FROM THE
LOUP POWER CANAL WAS DIVERTED INTO THE LOUP RIVER. THE JAM COULD
LAST A FEW DAYS SO THE FLOOD WARNING WILL CONTINUE. AN ADVISORY IS
IN EFFECT DOWNSTREAM OF THE FLOOD WARNING IN THE EVENT THE JAM
SHOULD BREAK FREE. THE WARNING AND ADVISORY WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT
UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...KERN LONG TERM...KERN AVIATION...DEE
HYDROLOGY...KERN/PEARSON





000
FXUS63 KOAX 272219
AFDOAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
415 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 332 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

QUIET WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE AS UPPER RIDGING MOVES TOWARD
THE CENTRAL PLAINS TONIGHT. A QUICK MOVING SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE
SOUTHWESTERN CONUS THIS AFTERNOON WILL MOVE INTO WYOMING BY
DAYBREAK. SFC LOW PRESSURE WILL SLIDE EAST ACROSS THE NORTHERN
PLAINS DRAGGING A COLD FRONT INTO THE CWA BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
MIXING IS EXPECTED TO SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASE TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON ALONG THE BOUNDARY. MOS GUIDANCE BETWEEN THE GFS AND NAM
DIFFERS BY 21 DEGREES AT OMAHA TOMORROW. THE NAM BRINGS IN A SLUG OF
LOW CLOUDS TOMORROW WHICH LOOKS SUSPECT AND THUS HAVE DISCOUNTED.
WE WILL WARM TEMPERATURES TO NEAR RECORDS WEDNESDAY.

A SECONDARY SHORTWAVE WILL DROP SOUTHEAST JUST BEHIND THIS FIRST
WAVE WEDNESDAY NIGHT/THURSDAY MORNING. SOME SPRINKLES/FLURRIES
CANNOT BE COMPLETELY RULED OUT ACROSS NORTHEAST NEBRASKA BUT THIS
SHOULD BE A QUICK SHOT.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 332 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

SFC HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES OVER THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY
MORNING WITH RETURN FLOW SETTING UP BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. SHORTWAVE
ENERGY SHEARING OUT OF THE GREAT BASIN IS EXPECTED TO ADVANCE EAST
AND THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND MIDWEST INTO FRIDAY. ADDITIONAL
NORTHERN STREAM ENERGY WILL DIG IN BEHIND THE LEAD SHORTWAVE INTO
SATURDAY NIGHT. WE HAVE INCREASED POPS INITIALLY WITH THE SOUTHERN
SYSTEM SATURDAY...THEN IN OUR NORTH ON SUNDAY WITH THE NORTHERN
STREAM. THIS COULD BEGIN AS SNOW EVENT IN OUR SOUTH EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING BEFORE TRANSITIONING TO A RA/SN EVENT DURING THE DAY. ONCE
THE NORTHERN STREAM SYSTEM DROPS DOWN...WE WILL TRANSITION OVER TO
ALL SNOW INTO SUNDAY MORNING.

&&

.AVIATION...(18Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.)
ISSUED AT 1120 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THRU THE FCST PD.

&&

.HYDROLOGY... ISSUED AT 332 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

A RIVER JAM APPROXIMATELY 1.4 MILES LONG REMAINS IN PLACE ON THE
PLATTE RIVER SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 92...ROUGHLY BETWEEN Q AND F STREETS.
THE PAPIO NRD FLEW THE RIVER TODAY AND MENTIONED THE RIVER WAS ICE
FREE UPSTREAM TO THE HIGHWAY 77 BRIDGE. A WEAK RISE IN THE PLATTE
CAN BE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT FROM COLUMBUS DOWNSTREAM AS WATER FROM THE
LOUP POWER CANAL WAS DIVERTED INTO THE LOUP RIVER. THE JAM COULD
LAST A FEW DAYS SO THE FLOOD WARNING WILL CONTINUE. AN ADVISORY IS
IN EFFECT DOWNSTREAM OF THE FLOOD WARNING IN THE EVENT THE JAM
SHOULD BREAK FREE. THE WARNING AND ADVISORY WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT
UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...KERN LONG TERM...KERN AVIATION...DEE
HYDROLOGY...KERN/PEARSON




000
FXUS63 KOAX 272216
AFDOAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
415 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY) ISSUED AT 332 PM CST TUE JAN
27 2015

QUIET WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE AS UPPER RIDGING MOVES TOWARD
THE CENTRAL PLAINS TONIGHT. A QUICK MOVING SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE
SOUTHWESTERN CONUS THIS AFTERNOON WILL MOVE INTO WYOMING BY
DAYBREAK. SFC LOW PRESSURE WILL SLIDE EAST ACROSS THE NORTHERN
PLAINS DRAGGING A COLD FRONT INTO THE CWA BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
MIXING IS EXPECTED TO SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASE TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON ALONG THE BOUNDARY. MOS GUIDANCE BETWEEN THE GFS AND NAM
DIFFERS BY 21 DEGREES AT OMAHA TOMORROW. THE NAM BRINGS IN A SLUG OF
LOW CLOUDS TOMORROW WHICH LOOKS SUSPECT AND THUS HAVE DISCOUNTED.
WE WILL WARM TEMPERATURES TO NEAR RECORDS WEDNESDAY.

A SECONDARY SHORTWAVE WILL DROP SOUTHEAST JUST BEHIND THIS FIRST
WAVE WEDNESDAY NIGHT/THURSDAY MORNING. SOME SPRINKLES/FLURRIES
CANNOT BE COMPLETELY RULED OUT ACROSS NORTHEAST NEBRASKA BUT THIS
SHOULD BE A QUICK SHOT.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY) ISSUED AT 332 PM CST TUE
JAN 27 2015

SFC HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES OVER THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY
MORNING WITH RETURN FLOW SETTING UP BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. SHORTWAVE
ENERGY SHEARING OUT OF THE GREAT BASIN IS EXPECTED TO ADVANCE EAST
AND THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND MIDWEST INTO FRIDAY. ADDITIONAL
NORTHERN STREAM ENERGY WILL DIG IN BEHIND THE LEAD SHORTWAVE INTO
SATURDAY NIGHT. WE HAVE INCREASED POPS INITIALLY WITH THE SOUTHERN
SYSTEM SATURDAY...THEN IN OUR NORTH ON SUNDAY WITH THE NORTHERN
STREAM. THIS COULD BEGIN AS SNOW EVENT IN OUR SOUTH EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING BEFORE TRANSITIONING TO A RA/SN EVENT DURING THE DAY. ONCE
THE NORTHERN STREAM SYSTEM DROPS DOWN...WE WILL TRANSITION OVER TO
ALL SNOW INTO SUNDAY MORNING.

&&

.AVIATION...(18Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.) ISSUED AT 1120 AM
CST TUE JAN 27 2015

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THRU THE FCST PD.

&&

.HYDROLOGY... ISSUED AT 332 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

A RIVER JAM APPROXIMATELY 1.4 MILES LONG REMAINS IN PLACE ON THE
PLATTE RIVER SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 92...ROUGHLY BETWEEN Q AND F STREETS.
THE PAPIO NRD FLEW THE RIVER TODAY AND MENTIONED THE RIVER WAS ICE
FREE UPSTREAM TO THE HIGHWAY 77 BRIDGE. A WEAK RISE IN THE PLATTE
CAN BE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT FROM COLUMBUS DOWNSTREAM AS WATER FROM THE
LOUP POWER CANAL WAS DIVERTED INTO THE LOUP RIVER. THE JAM COULD
LAST A FEW DAYS SO THE FLOOD WARNING WILL CONTINUE. AN ADVISORY IS
IN EFFECT DOWNSTREAM OF THE FLOOD WARNING IN THE EVENT THE JAM
SHOULD BREAK FREE. THE WARNING AND ADVISORY WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT
UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NE...NONE. IA...NONE. &&

$$

SHORT TERM...KERN LONG TERM...KERN AVIATION...DEE
HYDROLOGY...KERN/PEARSON





000
FXUS63 KOAX 272216
AFDOAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
415 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY) ISSUED AT 332 PM CST TUE JAN
27 2015

QUIET WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE AS UPPER RIDGING MOVES TOWARD
THE CENTRAL PLAINS TONIGHT. A QUICK MOVING SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE
SOUTHWESTERN CONUS THIS AFTERNOON WILL MOVE INTO WYOMING BY
DAYBREAK. SFC LOW PRESSURE WILL SLIDE EAST ACROSS THE NORTHERN
PLAINS DRAGGING A COLD FRONT INTO THE CWA BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
MIXING IS EXPECTED TO SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASE TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON ALONG THE BOUNDARY. MOS GUIDANCE BETWEEN THE GFS AND NAM
DIFFERS BY 21 DEGREES AT OMAHA TOMORROW. THE NAM BRINGS IN A SLUG OF
LOW CLOUDS TOMORROW WHICH LOOKS SUSPECT AND THUS HAVE DISCOUNTED.
WE WILL WARM TEMPERATURES TO NEAR RECORDS WEDNESDAY.

A SECONDARY SHORTWAVE WILL DROP SOUTHEAST JUST BEHIND THIS FIRST
WAVE WEDNESDAY NIGHT/THURSDAY MORNING. SOME SPRINKLES/FLURRIES
CANNOT BE COMPLETELY RULED OUT ACROSS NORTHEAST NEBRASKA BUT THIS
SHOULD BE A QUICK SHOT.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY) ISSUED AT 332 PM CST TUE
JAN 27 2015

SFC HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES OVER THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY
MORNING WITH RETURN FLOW SETTING UP BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. SHORTWAVE
ENERGY SHEARING OUT OF THE GREAT BASIN IS EXPECTED TO ADVANCE EAST
AND THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND MIDWEST INTO FRIDAY. ADDITIONAL
NORTHERN STREAM ENERGY WILL DIG IN BEHIND THE LEAD SHORTWAVE INTO
SATURDAY NIGHT. WE HAVE INCREASED POPS INITIALLY WITH THE SOUTHERN
SYSTEM SATURDAY...THEN IN OUR NORTH ON SUNDAY WITH THE NORTHERN
STREAM. THIS COULD BEGIN AS SNOW EVENT IN OUR SOUTH EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING BEFORE TRANSITIONING TO A RA/SN EVENT DURING THE DAY. ONCE
THE NORTHERN STREAM SYSTEM DROPS DOWN...WE WILL TRANSITION OVER TO
ALL SNOW INTO SUNDAY MORNING.

&&

.AVIATION...(18Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.) ISSUED AT 1120 AM
CST TUE JAN 27 2015

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THRU THE FCST PD.

&&

.HYDROLOGY... ISSUED AT 332 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

A RIVER JAM APPROXIMATELY 1.4 MILES LONG REMAINS IN PLACE ON THE
PLATTE RIVER SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 92...ROUGHLY BETWEEN Q AND F STREETS.
THE PAPIO NRD FLEW THE RIVER TODAY AND MENTIONED THE RIVER WAS ICE
FREE UPSTREAM TO THE HIGHWAY 77 BRIDGE. A WEAK RISE IN THE PLATTE
CAN BE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT FROM COLUMBUS DOWNSTREAM AS WATER FROM THE
LOUP POWER CANAL WAS DIVERTED INTO THE LOUP RIVER. THE JAM COULD
LAST A FEW DAYS SO THE FLOOD WARNING WILL CONTINUE. AN ADVISORY IS
IN EFFECT DOWNSTREAM OF THE FLOOD WARNING IN THE EVENT THE JAM
SHOULD BREAK FREE. THE WARNING AND ADVISORY WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT
UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NE...NONE. IA...NONE. &&

$$

SHORT TERM...KERN LONG TERM...KERN AVIATION...DEE
HYDROLOGY...KERN/PEARSON




000
FXUS63 KOAX 271721
AFDOAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
1121 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 240 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN THE PRIMARY FOCUS IN THE FORECAST WITH
MILD CONDITIONS INTO WEDNESDAY BEFORE COOLER AIR COMES IN
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. FLOODING HAS BEEN REPORTED EARLY
THIS MORNING ON THE PLATTE RIVER IN WESTERN DOUGLAS COUNTY AS THE
WARM TEMPERATURES HAVE RESULTED IN ICE JAMS ALONG THIS REACH OF
THE RIVER.

LITTLE CHANGE TO FORECAST TRENDS IN THE SHORT TERM. MAX
TEMPERATURES ON WEDNESDAY WILL APPROACH RECORD HIGHS IN MAINLY
SOUTHEAST PARTS OF THE AREA...PRIOR TO A COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS LIKELY ONCE AGAIN
BEHIND THE FRONT WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING WITH A
PERIOD OF SPRINKLES OR FLURRIES POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY EVENING. COLDER
ON THURSDAY WITH MORE SEASONAL TEMPERATURES AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS INTO THE REGION.

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 240 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

EXTENDED PERIOD IS EXPECTED TO TREND COLDER AND MORE ACTIVE AS
NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN STREAM WAVE ENERGY INTERACT OVER THE CENTRAL
CONUS. NO MAJOR SYSTEM INDICATED DURING THIS TIME FOR OUR AREA WITH
BETTER MOISTURE AND ENERGY LOCATED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND
SOUTHEAST PART OF THE COUNTRY...BUT A PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW IS
POSSIBLE OVER THE WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION...(18Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.)
ISSUED AT 1120 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THRU THE FCST PD.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...FOBERT
LONG TERM...FOBERT
AVIATION...DEE





000
FXUS63 KOAX 271721
AFDOAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
1121 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 240 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN THE PRIMARY FOCUS IN THE FORECAST WITH
MILD CONDITIONS INTO WEDNESDAY BEFORE COOLER AIR COMES IN
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. FLOODING HAS BEEN REPORTED EARLY
THIS MORNING ON THE PLATTE RIVER IN WESTERN DOUGLAS COUNTY AS THE
WARM TEMPERATURES HAVE RESULTED IN ICE JAMS ALONG THIS REACH OF
THE RIVER.

LITTLE CHANGE TO FORECAST TRENDS IN THE SHORT TERM. MAX
TEMPERATURES ON WEDNESDAY WILL APPROACH RECORD HIGHS IN MAINLY
SOUTHEAST PARTS OF THE AREA...PRIOR TO A COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS LIKELY ONCE AGAIN
BEHIND THE FRONT WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING WITH A
PERIOD OF SPRINKLES OR FLURRIES POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY EVENING. COLDER
ON THURSDAY WITH MORE SEASONAL TEMPERATURES AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS INTO THE REGION.

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 240 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

EXTENDED PERIOD IS EXPECTED TO TREND COLDER AND MORE ACTIVE AS
NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN STREAM WAVE ENERGY INTERACT OVER THE CENTRAL
CONUS. NO MAJOR SYSTEM INDICATED DURING THIS TIME FOR OUR AREA WITH
BETTER MOISTURE AND ENERGY LOCATED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND
SOUTHEAST PART OF THE COUNTRY...BUT A PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW IS
POSSIBLE OVER THE WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION...(18Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.)
ISSUED AT 1120 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THRU THE FCST PD.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...FOBERT
LONG TERM...FOBERT
AVIATION...DEE




000
FXUS63 KOAX 271110
AFDOAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
510 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 240 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN THE PRIMARY FOCUS IN THE FORECAST WITH
MILD CONDITIONS INTO WEDNESDAY BEFORE COOLER AIR COMES IN
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. FLOODING HAS BEEN REPORTED EARLY
THIS MORNING ON THE PLATTE RIVER IN WESTERN DOUGLAS COUNTY AS THE
WARM TEMPERATURES HAVE RESULTED IN ICE JAMS ALONG THIS REACH OF
THE RIVER.

LITTLE CHANGE TO FORECAST TRENDS IN THE SHORT TERM. MAX
TEMPERATURES ON WEDNESDAY WILL APPROACH RECORD HIGHS IN MAINLY
SOUTHEAST PARTS OF THE AREA...PRIOR TO A COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS LIKELY ONCE AGAIN
BEHIND THE FRONT WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING WITH A
PERIOD OF SPRINKLES OR FLURRIES POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY EVENING. COLDER
ON THURSDAY WITH MORE SEASONAL TEMPERATURES AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS INTO THE REGION.

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 240 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

EXTENDED PERIOD IS EXPECTED TO TREND COLDER AND MORE ACTIVE AS
NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN STREAM WAVE ENERGY INTERACT OVER THE CENTRAL
CONUS. NO MAJOR SYSTEM INDICATED DURING THIS TIME FOR OUR AREA WITH
BETTER MOISTURE AND ENERGY LOCATED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND
SOUTHEAST PART OF THE COUNTRY...BUT A PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW IS
POSSIBLE OVER THE WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION...(12Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.)
ISSUED AT 509 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS
BECOME SOUTHEAST BY 16-18Z AND INCREASE TO 10-12 KNOTS.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...FOBERT
LONG TERM...FOBERT
AVIATION...DEWALD




000
FXUS63 KOAX 271110
AFDOAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
510 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 240 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN THE PRIMARY FOCUS IN THE FORECAST WITH
MILD CONDITIONS INTO WEDNESDAY BEFORE COOLER AIR COMES IN
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. FLOODING HAS BEEN REPORTED EARLY
THIS MORNING ON THE PLATTE RIVER IN WESTERN DOUGLAS COUNTY AS THE
WARM TEMPERATURES HAVE RESULTED IN ICE JAMS ALONG THIS REACH OF
THE RIVER.

LITTLE CHANGE TO FORECAST TRENDS IN THE SHORT TERM. MAX
TEMPERATURES ON WEDNESDAY WILL APPROACH RECORD HIGHS IN MAINLY
SOUTHEAST PARTS OF THE AREA...PRIOR TO A COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS LIKELY ONCE AGAIN
BEHIND THE FRONT WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING WITH A
PERIOD OF SPRINKLES OR FLURRIES POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY EVENING. COLDER
ON THURSDAY WITH MORE SEASONAL TEMPERATURES AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS INTO THE REGION.

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 240 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

EXTENDED PERIOD IS EXPECTED TO TREND COLDER AND MORE ACTIVE AS
NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN STREAM WAVE ENERGY INTERACT OVER THE CENTRAL
CONUS. NO MAJOR SYSTEM INDICATED DURING THIS TIME FOR OUR AREA WITH
BETTER MOISTURE AND ENERGY LOCATED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND
SOUTHEAST PART OF THE COUNTRY...BUT A PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW IS
POSSIBLE OVER THE WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION...(12Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.)
ISSUED AT 509 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS
BECOME SOUTHEAST BY 16-18Z AND INCREASE TO 10-12 KNOTS.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...FOBERT
LONG TERM...FOBERT
AVIATION...DEWALD





000
FXUS63 KOAX 270847
AFDOAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
247 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 240 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN THE PRIMARY FOCUS IN THE FORECAST WITH
MILD CONDITIONS INTO WEDNESDAY BEFORE COOLER AIR COMES IN
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. FLOODING HAS BEEN REPORTED EARLY
THIS MORNING ON THE PLATTE RIVER IN WESTERN DOUGLAS COUNTY AS THE
WARM TEMPERATURES HAVE RESULTED IN ICE JAMS ALONG THIS REACH OF
THE RIVER.

LITTLE CHANGE TO FORECAST TRENDS IN THE SHORT TERM. MAX
TEMPERATURES ON WEDNESDAY WILL APPROACH RECORD HIGHS IN MAINLY
SOUTHEAST PARTS OF THE AREA...PRIOR TO A COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS LIKELY ONCE AGAIN
BEHIND THE FRONT WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING WITH A
PERIOD OF SPRINKLES OR FLURRIES POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY EVENING. COLDER
ON THURSDAY WITH MORE SEASONAL TEMPERATURES AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS INTO THE REGION.

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 240 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

EXTENDED PERIOD IS EXPECTED TO TREND COLDER AND MORE ACTIVE AS
NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN STREAM WAVE ENERGY INTERACT OVER THE CENTRAL
CONUS. NO MAJOR SYSTEM INDICATED DURING THIS TIME FOR OUR AREA WITH
BETTER MOISTURE AND ENERGY LOCATED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND
SOUTHEAST PART OF THE COUNTRY...BUT A PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW IS
POSSIBLE OVER THE WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION...(06Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.)
ISSUED AT 1127 PM CST MON JAN 26 2015

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE TAF CYCLE. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE SFC WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHEAST AFTER SUNRISE ON TUESDAY.


&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...FOBERT
LONG TERM...FOBERT
AVIATION...KERN




000
FXUS63 KOAX 270530
AFDOAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
1130 PM CST MON JAN 26 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 243 PM CST MON JAN 26 2015

DOMINATE FEATURE THIS AFTN PER SATL PIX IS WELL AMPLIFIED/STAGNANT
UPSTREAM RIDGE OVER THE WRN CONUS FORMING INTO A REX BLOCKING
PATTERN. MEANWHILE VERY PLEASANT CONDITIONS FOR THIS TIME OF THE
YEAR OVER THE CNTRL PLAINS.

MODELS IN AGREEMENT NO ACTIVE WX TO CONTEND WITH THE NEXT SEVERALS
DAYS ALONG WITH WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS...HIGHS AROUND 60 WEST/LOW
50S EAST...TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

A NOTICEABLE CHANGE THOUGH COMING WED NIGHT/THURS WILL BE REALIZES
WHEN SFC LOW MOVING INTO THE OH/TN VLYS DRAGS A RELATIVELY WEAK COLD
FRONT INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS. GIVEN THE WEAK NATURE OF THE
CAA...MAX IN THE LOW 40S WILL STILL BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL.

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 243 PM CST MON JAN 26 2015

MEDIUM RANGE MODELS ARE ADVERTISING POSSIBLE PCPN EARLY NEXT WEEKEND
ASSOCIATED WITH NEXT CANADIAN AIRMASS INTRUSION INTO THE LOWER 48.
HOWEVER...WITH SUCH A WIDE DISCREPANCY AMONGST THE ECM/GFS/CMC WITH
RESPECT TO SFC FEATURES...TIMING THE COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE IS
PROBLEMATIC AT BEST WITH METEOGRAMS ILLUSTRATING THIS WELL. CMC
PROJECTS THE BNDRY INTO THE OMAHA METRO AROUND 12Z SAT...GFS 06Z
SUN...ECM 12Z SUN. GIVEN ALL THIS...AM CONTENT WITH FOLLOWING
SUPERBLEND WITH THE FROPA BTWN 12Z-18Z SAT. AS FOR PCPN...THERE IS
GENERAL AGREEMENT ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE WILL BE MOST PREVALENT OVER THE
SRN CWA FRI NIGHT/SAT TIME FRAME. THUS WILL CONFINE SMALL POPS TO
THE SOUTH.

&&

.AVIATION...(06Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.)
ISSUED AT 1127 PM CST MON JAN 26 2015

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE TAF CYCLE. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE SFC WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHEAST AFTER SUNRISE ON TUESDAY.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...DEE
LONG TERM...DEE
AVIATION...KERN




000
FXUS63 KOAX 270530
AFDOAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
1130 PM CST MON JAN 26 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 243 PM CST MON JAN 26 2015

DOMINATE FEATURE THIS AFTN PER SATL PIX IS WELL AMPLIFIED/STAGNANT
UPSTREAM RIDGE OVER THE WRN CONUS FORMING INTO A REX BLOCKING
PATTERN. MEANWHILE VERY PLEASANT CONDITIONS FOR THIS TIME OF THE
YEAR OVER THE CNTRL PLAINS.

MODELS IN AGREEMENT NO ACTIVE WX TO CONTEND WITH THE NEXT SEVERALS
DAYS ALONG WITH WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS...HIGHS AROUND 60 WEST/LOW
50S EAST...TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

A NOTICEABLE CHANGE THOUGH COMING WED NIGHT/THURS WILL BE REALIZES
WHEN SFC LOW MOVING INTO THE OH/TN VLYS DRAGS A RELATIVELY WEAK COLD
FRONT INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS. GIVEN THE WEAK NATURE OF THE
CAA...MAX IN THE LOW 40S WILL STILL BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL.

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 243 PM CST MON JAN 26 2015

MEDIUM RANGE MODELS ARE ADVERTISING POSSIBLE PCPN EARLY NEXT WEEKEND
ASSOCIATED WITH NEXT CANADIAN AIRMASS INTRUSION INTO THE LOWER 48.
HOWEVER...WITH SUCH A WIDE DISCREPANCY AMONGST THE ECM/GFS/CMC WITH
RESPECT TO SFC FEATURES...TIMING THE COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE IS
PROBLEMATIC AT BEST WITH METEOGRAMS ILLUSTRATING THIS WELL. CMC
PROJECTS THE BNDRY INTO THE OMAHA METRO AROUND 12Z SAT...GFS 06Z
SUN...ECM 12Z SUN. GIVEN ALL THIS...AM CONTENT WITH FOLLOWING
SUPERBLEND WITH THE FROPA BTWN 12Z-18Z SAT. AS FOR PCPN...THERE IS
GENERAL AGREEMENT ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE WILL BE MOST PREVALENT OVER THE
SRN CWA FRI NIGHT/SAT TIME FRAME. THUS WILL CONFINE SMALL POPS TO
THE SOUTH.

&&

.AVIATION...(06Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.)
ISSUED AT 1127 PM CST MON JAN 26 2015

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE TAF CYCLE. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE SFC WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHEAST AFTER SUNRISE ON TUESDAY.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...DEE
LONG TERM...DEE
AVIATION...KERN





000
FXUS63 KOAX 262324
AFDOAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
524 PM CST MON JAN 26 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 243 PM CST MON JAN 26 2015

DOMINATE FEATURE THIS AFTN PER SATL PIX IS WELL AMPLIFIED/STAGNANT
UPSTREAM RIDGE OVER THE WRN CONUS FORMING INTO A REX BLOCKING
PATTERN. MEANWHILE VERY PLEASANT CONDITIONS FOR THIS TIME OF THE
YEAR OVER THE CNTRL PLAINS.

MODELS IN AGREEMENT NO ACTIVE WX TO CONTEND WITH THE NEXT SEVERALS
DAYS ALONG WITH WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS...HIGHS AROUND 60 WEST/LOW
50S EAST...TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

A NOTICEABLE CHANGE THOUGH COMING WED NIGHT/THURS WILL BE REALIZES
WHEN SFC LOW MOVING INTO THE OH/TN VLYS DRAGS A RELATIVELY WEAK COLD
FRONT INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS. GIVEN THE WEAK NATURE OF THE
CAA...MAX IN THE LOW 40S WILL STILL BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL.

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 243 PM CST MON JAN 26 2015

MEDIUM RANGE MODELS ARE ADVERTISING POSSIBLE PCPN EARLY NEXT WEEKEND
ASSOCIATED WITH NEXT CANADIAN AIRMASS INTRUSION INTO THE LOWER 48.
HOWEVER...WITH SUCH A WIDE DISCREPANCY AMONGST THE ECM/GFS/CMC WITH
RESPECT TO SFC FEATURES...TIMING THE COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE IS
PROBLEMATIC AT BEST WITH METEOGRAMS ILLUSTRATING THIS WELL. CMC
PROJECTS THE BNDRY INTO THE OMAHA METRO AROUND 12Z SAT...GFS 06Z
SUN...ECM 12Z SUN. GIVEN ALL THIS...AM CONTENT WITH FOLLOWING
SUPERBLEND WITH THE FROPA BTWN 12Z-18Z SAT. AS FOR PCPN...THERE IS
GENERAL AGREEMENT ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE WILL BE MOST PREVALENT OVER THE
SRN CWA FRI NIGHT/SAT TIME FRAME. THUS WILL CONFINE SMALL POPS TO
THE SOUTH.

&&

.AVIATION...(00Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.)
ISSUED AT 519 PM CST MON JAN 26 2015

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. NORTHWEST
WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE THIS EVENING AND TURN TO THE
SOUTHEAST ON TUESDAY.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...DEE
LONG TERM...DEE
AVIATION...KERN




000
FXUS63 KOAX 262324
AFDOAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
524 PM CST MON JAN 26 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 243 PM CST MON JAN 26 2015

DOMINATE FEATURE THIS AFTN PER SATL PIX IS WELL AMPLIFIED/STAGNANT
UPSTREAM RIDGE OVER THE WRN CONUS FORMING INTO A REX BLOCKING
PATTERN. MEANWHILE VERY PLEASANT CONDITIONS FOR THIS TIME OF THE
YEAR OVER THE CNTRL PLAINS.

MODELS IN AGREEMENT NO ACTIVE WX TO CONTEND WITH THE NEXT SEVERALS
DAYS ALONG WITH WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS...HIGHS AROUND 60 WEST/LOW
50S EAST...TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

A NOTICEABLE CHANGE THOUGH COMING WED NIGHT/THURS WILL BE REALIZES
WHEN SFC LOW MOVING INTO THE OH/TN VLYS DRAGS A RELATIVELY WEAK COLD
FRONT INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS. GIVEN THE WEAK NATURE OF THE
CAA...MAX IN THE LOW 40S WILL STILL BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL.

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 243 PM CST MON JAN 26 2015

MEDIUM RANGE MODELS ARE ADVERTISING POSSIBLE PCPN EARLY NEXT WEEKEND
ASSOCIATED WITH NEXT CANADIAN AIRMASS INTRUSION INTO THE LOWER 48.
HOWEVER...WITH SUCH A WIDE DISCREPANCY AMONGST THE ECM/GFS/CMC WITH
RESPECT TO SFC FEATURES...TIMING THE COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE IS
PROBLEMATIC AT BEST WITH METEOGRAMS ILLUSTRATING THIS WELL. CMC
PROJECTS THE BNDRY INTO THE OMAHA METRO AROUND 12Z SAT...GFS 06Z
SUN...ECM 12Z SUN. GIVEN ALL THIS...AM CONTENT WITH FOLLOWING
SUPERBLEND WITH THE FROPA BTWN 12Z-18Z SAT. AS FOR PCPN...THERE IS
GENERAL AGREEMENT ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE WILL BE MOST PREVALENT OVER THE
SRN CWA FRI NIGHT/SAT TIME FRAME. THUS WILL CONFINE SMALL POPS TO
THE SOUTH.

&&

.AVIATION...(00Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.)
ISSUED AT 519 PM CST MON JAN 26 2015

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. NORTHWEST
WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE THIS EVENING AND TURN TO THE
SOUTHEAST ON TUESDAY.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...DEE
LONG TERM...DEE
AVIATION...KERN





000
FXUS63 KOAX 262044
AFDOAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
244 PM CST MON JAN 26 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 243 PM CST MON JAN 26 2015

DOMINATE FEATURE THIS AFTN PER SATL PIX IS WELL AMPLIFIED/STAGNANT
UPSTREAM RIDGE OVER THE WRN CONUS FORMING INTO A REX BLOCKING
PATTERN. MEANWHILE VERY PLEASANT CONDITIONS FOR THIS TIME OF THE
YEAR OVER THE CNTRL PLAINS.

MODELS IN AGREEMENT NO ACTIVE WX TO CONTEND WITH THE NEXT SEVERALS
DAYS ALONG WITH WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS...HIGHS AROUND 60 WEST/LOW
50S EAST...TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

A NOTICEABLE CHANGE THOUGH COMING WED NIGHT/THURS WILL BE REALIZES
WHEN SFC LOW MOVING INTO THE OH/TN VLYS DRAGS A RELATIVELY WEAK COLD
FRONT INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS. GIVEN THE WEAK NATURE OF THE
CAA...MAX IN THE LOW 40S WILL STILL BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL.

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 243 PM CST MON JAN 26 2015

MEDIUM RANGE MODELS ARE ADVERTISING POSSIBLE PCPN EARLY NEXT WEEKEND
ASSOCIATED WITH NEXT CANADIAN AIRMASS INTRUSION INTO THE LOWER 48.
HOWEVER...WITH SUCH A WIDE DISCREPANCY AMONGST THE ECM/GFS/CMC WITH
RESPECT TO SFC FEATURES...TIMING THE COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE IS
PROBLEMATIC AT BEST WITH METEOGRAMS ILLUSTRATING THIS WELL. CMC
PROJECTS THE BNDRY INTO THE OMAHA METRO AROUND 12Z SAT...GFS 06Z
SUN...ECM 12Z SUN. GIVEN ALL THIS...AM CONTENT WITH FOLLOWING
SUPERBLEND WITH THE FROPA BTWN 12Z-18Z SAT. AS FOR PCPN...THERE IS
GENERAL AGREEMENT ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE WILL BE MOST PREVALENT OVER THE
SRN CWA FRI NIGHT/SAT TIME FRAME. THUS WILL CONFINE SMALL POPS TO
THE SOUTH.

&&

.AVIATION...(18Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.)
ISSUED AT 1122 AM CST MON JAN 26 2015

GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25KT ARE FORECAST THROUGH
23Z...THEN SPEEDS WILL DECREASE TO 10KT OR LESS. LIGHT SOUTHEAST
WINDS RETURN BY 15Z TUESDAY. OTHERWISE CLEAR SKIES CAN BE
EXPECTED.


&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...DEE
LONG TERM...DEE
AVIATION...DERGAN




000
FXUS63 KOAX 262044
AFDOAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
244 PM CST MON JAN 26 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 243 PM CST MON JAN 26 2015

DOMINATE FEATURE THIS AFTN PER SATL PIX IS WELL AMPLIFIED/STAGNANT
UPSTREAM RIDGE OVER THE WRN CONUS FORMING INTO A REX BLOCKING
PATTERN. MEANWHILE VERY PLEASANT CONDITIONS FOR THIS TIME OF THE
YEAR OVER THE CNTRL PLAINS.

MODELS IN AGREEMENT NO ACTIVE WX TO CONTEND WITH THE NEXT SEVERALS
DAYS ALONG WITH WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS...HIGHS AROUND 60 WEST/LOW
50S EAST...TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

A NOTICEABLE CHANGE THOUGH COMING WED NIGHT/THURS WILL BE REALIZES
WHEN SFC LOW MOVING INTO THE OH/TN VLYS DRAGS A RELATIVELY WEAK COLD
FRONT INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS. GIVEN THE WEAK NATURE OF THE
CAA...MAX IN THE LOW 40S WILL STILL BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL.

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 243 PM CST MON JAN 26 2015

MEDIUM RANGE MODELS ARE ADVERTISING POSSIBLE PCPN EARLY NEXT WEEKEND
ASSOCIATED WITH NEXT CANADIAN AIRMASS INTRUSION INTO THE LOWER 48.
HOWEVER...WITH SUCH A WIDE DISCREPANCY AMONGST THE ECM/GFS/CMC WITH
RESPECT TO SFC FEATURES...TIMING THE COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE IS
PROBLEMATIC AT BEST WITH METEOGRAMS ILLUSTRATING THIS WELL. CMC
PROJECTS THE BNDRY INTO THE OMAHA METRO AROUND 12Z SAT...GFS 06Z
SUN...ECM 12Z SUN. GIVEN ALL THIS...AM CONTENT WITH FOLLOWING
SUPERBLEND WITH THE FROPA BTWN 12Z-18Z SAT. AS FOR PCPN...THERE IS
GENERAL AGREEMENT ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE WILL BE MOST PREVALENT OVER THE
SRN CWA FRI NIGHT/SAT TIME FRAME. THUS WILL CONFINE SMALL POPS TO
THE SOUTH.

&&

.AVIATION...(18Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.)
ISSUED AT 1122 AM CST MON JAN 26 2015

GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25KT ARE FORECAST THROUGH
23Z...THEN SPEEDS WILL DECREASE TO 10KT OR LESS. LIGHT SOUTHEAST
WINDS RETURN BY 15Z TUESDAY. OTHERWISE CLEAR SKIES CAN BE
EXPECTED.


&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...DEE
LONG TERM...DEE
AVIATION...DERGAN





000
FXUS63 KOAX 261724
AFDOAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
1124 AM CST MON JAN 26 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 315 AM CST MON JAN 26 2015

SHORT TERM FORECAST CONCERNS WILL MAINLY BE TEMPERATURES.

AS THE BIG STORM BEARS DOWN ON THE MID ATLANTIC AND NEW ENGLAND
STATES TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...LOCALLY WE ARE LOOKING AT
UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES WITH HIGHS IN THE 50S AND 60S. WARM
DOWNSLOPING FLOW FROM THE WEST WITH INCREASING NORTHWEST WINDS ARE
FORECAST FOR TODAY AS A SHORTWAVE TROF MOVES THROUGH THE UPPER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. MUCH WARMER H85 TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST FOR
TUESDAY...HOWEVER THE SOUTHEAST LOW LEVEL FLOW...WILL MEAN THAT
THE WARM AIR ALOFT WILL NOT BE FULLY REALIZED IN THE MAX TEMP
FORECAST. MID LEVEL RIDGING IS FLATTENED WEDNESDAY AS A SHORTWAVE
BREAKS IT DOWN. THERE MAY BE SOME LOW CLOUDS/DRIZZLE TO CONTEND
WITH AHEAD OF AND WITH THE FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE SHORTWAVE

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 315 AM CST MON JAN 26 2015

A COLD FRONT SWEEPS THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND APPEARS TO COME
THROUGH DRY WITH BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS FOR THURSDAY. THE MODELS
DIVERGE FRIDAY- SUNDAY REGARDING SNOW CHANCES. FOR NOW USED THE
UKMET/GEM WHICH IS DRY AND COLDER. COOLER HIGHS IN THE 30S/40S FOR
THURSDAY - SATURDAY WITH COOLER HIGHS IN THE 30S FOR SUNDAY AND
MONDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...(18Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.)
ISSUED AT 1122 AM CST MON JAN 26 2015

GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25KT ARE FORECAST THROUGH
23Z...THEN SPEEDS WILL DECREASE TO 10KT OR LESS. LIGHT SOUTHEAST
WINDS RETURN BY 15Z TUESDAY. OTHERWISE CLEAR SKIES CAN BE
EXPECTED.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...ZAPOTOCNY
LONG TERM...ZAPOTOCNY
AVIATION...DERGAN





000
FXUS63 KOAX 261724
AFDOAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
1124 AM CST MON JAN 26 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 315 AM CST MON JAN 26 2015

SHORT TERM FORECAST CONCERNS WILL MAINLY BE TEMPERATURES.

AS THE BIG STORM BEARS DOWN ON THE MID ATLANTIC AND NEW ENGLAND
STATES TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...LOCALLY WE ARE LOOKING AT
UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES WITH HIGHS IN THE 50S AND 60S. WARM
DOWNSLOPING FLOW FROM THE WEST WITH INCREASING NORTHWEST WINDS ARE
FORECAST FOR TODAY AS A SHORTWAVE TROF MOVES THROUGH THE UPPER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. MUCH WARMER H85 TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST FOR
TUESDAY...HOWEVER THE SOUTHEAST LOW LEVEL FLOW...WILL MEAN THAT
THE WARM AIR ALOFT WILL NOT BE FULLY REALIZED IN THE MAX TEMP
FORECAST. MID LEVEL RIDGING IS FLATTENED WEDNESDAY AS A SHORTWAVE
BREAKS IT DOWN. THERE MAY BE SOME LOW CLOUDS/DRIZZLE TO CONTEND
WITH AHEAD OF AND WITH THE FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE SHORTWAVE

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 315 AM CST MON JAN 26 2015

A COLD FRONT SWEEPS THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND APPEARS TO COME
THROUGH DRY WITH BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS FOR THURSDAY. THE MODELS
DIVERGE FRIDAY- SUNDAY REGARDING SNOW CHANCES. FOR NOW USED THE
UKMET/GEM WHICH IS DRY AND COLDER. COOLER HIGHS IN THE 30S/40S FOR
THURSDAY - SATURDAY WITH COOLER HIGHS IN THE 30S FOR SUNDAY AND
MONDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...(18Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.)
ISSUED AT 1122 AM CST MON JAN 26 2015

GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25KT ARE FORECAST THROUGH
23Z...THEN SPEEDS WILL DECREASE TO 10KT OR LESS. LIGHT SOUTHEAST
WINDS RETURN BY 15Z TUESDAY. OTHERWISE CLEAR SKIES CAN BE
EXPECTED.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...ZAPOTOCNY
LONG TERM...ZAPOTOCNY
AVIATION...DERGAN




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