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000
FXUS66 KOTX 041743
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
1043 AM PDT TUE AUG 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS....
Another warm, dry and breezy day is expected across much of the
Inland Northwest today. Cooler temperatures and breezier conditions
are expected Wednesday following the arrival of a cold front.
Another threat of showers and thunderstorms arrives next weekend
as yet another cosed low is expected to move into the region.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Rest of today...The main issue will be a dry cold front crossing
the region today. There is a chance of isolated showers and
thunderstorms across the northern reaches of the forecast area but
for the most part the main manifestation will be breezy conditions
across the basin this afternoon and evening...and less smoke due
to this air mass exchange. Current Red Flag Warnings for wind/RH
issues still look valid. Otherwise plenty of sunshine...albeit
filtered through some high clouds at times...and seasonably normal
summer temperatures will prevail. Current/inherited forecast
appears well in hand. No updates to State Forecast or Zone
forecast expected this morning. /Fugazzi

&&

.AVIATION... 18Z TAFS: An upper level low pressure will move into
the region today and linger into Wednesday. This system will
result in a chance for showers and thunderstorms near the Canadian
border this afternoon. An associated cold front will result in
breezy conditions this afternoon across the region with gusts up
to 25 mph possible. Otherwise...VFR conditions are expected
through 18Z Wednesday. /MJF



&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        87  59  80  57  77  57 /   0  10  10  10  10   0
Coeur d`Alene  87  57  79  55  77  53 /  10  10  10  10  10   0
Pullman        86  53  78  52  76  51 /  10  10  10   0  10   0
Lewiston       95  64  85  61  85  60 /  10  10  10   0   0   0
Colville       89  56  81  54  79  53 /  20  20  20  30  10   0
Sandpoint      85  50  78  50  74  47 /  10  10  10  20  10  10
Kellogg        86  54  77  52  74  50 /  10  10  10  10  10   0
Moses Lake     92  59  84  57  84  56 /   0   0   0  10   0   0
Wenatchee      90  66  81  63  85  64 /   0   0  10  10   0   0
Omak           92  57  81  56  84  57 /  10  10  20  20  10  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...Red Flag Warning until 9 PM PDT this evening for East Washington
     South Central Cascade Valleys (Zone 676).

     Red Flag Warning until 9 PM PDT Wednesday for East Washington
     Central Cascade Valleys (Zone 677)-East Washington Northern
     Columbia Basin (Zone 673)-East Washington Palouse and
     Spokane Area (Zone 674).

&&

$$





000
FXUS66 KOTX 041743
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
1043 AM PDT TUE AUG 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS....
Another warm, dry and breezy day is expected across much of the
Inland Northwest today. Cooler temperatures and breezier conditions
are expected Wednesday following the arrival of a cold front.
Another threat of showers and thunderstorms arrives next weekend
as yet another cosed low is expected to move into the region.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Rest of today...The main issue will be a dry cold front crossing
the region today. There is a chance of isolated showers and
thunderstorms across the northern reaches of the forecast area but
for the most part the main manifestation will be breezy conditions
across the basin this afternoon and evening...and less smoke due
to this air mass exchange. Current Red Flag Warnings for wind/RH
issues still look valid. Otherwise plenty of sunshine...albeit
filtered through some high clouds at times...and seasonably normal
summer temperatures will prevail. Current/inherited forecast
appears well in hand. No updates to State Forecast or Zone
forecast expected this morning. /Fugazzi

&&

.AVIATION... 18Z TAFS: An upper level low pressure will move into
the region today and linger into Wednesday. This system will
result in a chance for showers and thunderstorms near the Canadian
border this afternoon. An associated cold front will result in
breezy conditions this afternoon across the region with gusts up
to 25 mph possible. Otherwise...VFR conditions are expected
through 18Z Wednesday. /MJF



&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        87  59  80  57  77  57 /   0  10  10  10  10   0
Coeur d`Alene  87  57  79  55  77  53 /  10  10  10  10  10   0
Pullman        86  53  78  52  76  51 /  10  10  10   0  10   0
Lewiston       95  64  85  61  85  60 /  10  10  10   0   0   0
Colville       89  56  81  54  79  53 /  20  20  20  30  10   0
Sandpoint      85  50  78  50  74  47 /  10  10  10  20  10  10
Kellogg        86  54  77  52  74  50 /  10  10  10  10  10   0
Moses Lake     92  59  84  57  84  56 /   0   0   0  10   0   0
Wenatchee      90  66  81  63  85  64 /   0   0  10  10   0   0
Omak           92  57  81  56  84  57 /  10  10  20  20  10  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...Red Flag Warning until 9 PM PDT this evening for East Washington
     South Central Cascade Valleys (Zone 676).

     Red Flag Warning until 9 PM PDT Wednesday for East Washington
     Central Cascade Valleys (Zone 677)-East Washington Northern
     Columbia Basin (Zone 673)-East Washington Palouse and
     Spokane Area (Zone 674).

&&

$$




000
FXUS66 KOTX 041126
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
426 AM PDT TUE AUG 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS....
Another warm, dry and breezy day is expected across much of the
Inland Northwest today. Cooler temperatures and breezier conditions
are expected Wednesday following the arrival of a cold front.
Another threat of showers and thunderstorms arrives next weekend
as yet another cosed low is expected to move into the region.


&&

.DISCUSSION...
Today through Wednesday: The upper level shortwave disturbance
producing some very light showers across the Northern Panhandle
will begin to exit the region early this morning. The focus will
then shift toward the deeper upper level low pressure circulation
spinning over central BC. The center of the low is progged to
slowly drift into southern BC by Wednesday afternoon.

Water vapor satellite imagery shows a well defined dry slot
pushing across Vancouver Island on the backside of a cold front.
This cold front will push east of the Cascades late this morning
and across the interior of eastern WA through this afternoon.
Decent cold air advection through the Cascade gaps will provide
good packing of the isobars and will keep winds breezy across
this area. Winds up at 850 mbs will be between 15-20 kts across
the basin into the Spokane Area and Palouse region. Enough
momentum transfer will also keep these areas breezy with winds
picking up through the late morning and afternoon. We will
continue to be dry today, especially with the cold front
delivering another punch of dry air down the lee side of the
Cascades. Breezy winds and dry conditions will provide the
potential for rapid fire spread of any new or ongoing fires with the
current Red Flag Warning remaining valid.

The little bit of moisture that has moved across the
northern mountains tonight will keep dew points up into the lower
to mid 40s across these areas before the drier air arrives. This
should be just enough moisture for some afternoon convection,
especially near the Canadian border. Instability will be weak, so
thunderstorm coverage will likely be isolated in nature.

Winds will increase across much of the region on Wednesday with
frontal passage. Chances for showers will increase across the
northern Cascade Mtns, which will lead to increasing RH values.
This will be a welcome sign for this area with wind speeds
remaining elevated. The higher dew points do not figure to spread
much further east, so RH values dipping into the teens are
expected to be common once again on Wednesday across the basin
and over into the lower elevations of the ID Panhandle.

Temperatures will continue to cool over the next couple of days.
High temperatures by Wednesday will be in the upper 70s to mid
80s, which will be slightly below normal for early August. /SVH

Wednesday night through Tuesday...The models are coming into
better agreement showing one closed low moving slowly out of the
region Wednesday night and Thursday...and another closed low
coming into the region Saturday. In between weather systems
expect a short lived and transient ridge of high pressure.

Wednesday night and Thursday...This close low tracks through central
B.C. And just grazes the northern mountains. Deep moisture is
lacking but there is some weak surfaced based and mid level
instability with the cold core to support showers and a few
scattered lightning strikes Wednesday evening and again Thursday
afternoon. Precipitation will be spotty and on the light side.
Winds will remain southwest to west but not as breezy as on
Wednesday. With the cooler air advecting into the region
temperatures will be down another 2-3 degrees over Wednesday and
likely the coolest temperatures of the week.

Thursday night and Friday will be dry with a warming trend as the
transient ridge builds into the region. Temperatures will quickly
climb back into the mid 80s and lower 90s which will be very near
seasonal averages.

Saturday and through the weekend...there are still some timing
differences but overall the trend is similar showing another
closed low dropping south along the B.C. coast Saturday, but this
time dropping further south to roughly the northwest Washington
coast Sunday before moving back to the northeast and through B.C.
Sunday night and Monday. While this disturbance will likely tap
into deeper moisture the storm track suggest that the main
moisture and dynamics will just clip the northern Cascades and
northern Washington mountains and that will be the focus for
scattered showers and embedded thunderstorms. Precipitation will
be spotty, but the convective nature concludes that some areas
could pick up some quick but heavy rain.

A secondary wave will take a more southerly route and track northeast
through Oregon and central Idaho. At this time it looks like this
wave will stay to the south of the Blue mountains and the Camas
Prairie. The forecast leans toward some low end pops in the
forecast but there is more confidence in mid and high level clouds
then showers.

Southwest flow will keep temperatures in the mid 80s to lower 90s
and near seasonal averages. Southwest winds will be on the increase
as the disturbance tracks through the region but only in the 5-15
mph category. Tobin


&&

.AVIATION... 12Z TAFS: A weak upper level disturbance will continue
to clear east of the Panhandle early this morning; however, the
region will begin to be influenced by a deeper upper level low
sliding southward across BC. This system will result in a chance for
showers and thunderstorms near the Canadian border this afternoon.
An approaching cold front will also result in breezy conditions this
afternoon across the region with gusts up to 25 mph possible. /SVH


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        87  59  80  57  77  57 /   0  10   0   0  10   0
Coeur d`Alene  87  57  79  55  77  53 /  10  10   0   0  10   0
Pullman        86  53  78  52  76  51 /  10  10   0   0  10   0
Lewiston       95  64  85  61  85  60 /  10  10   0   0   0   0
Colville       89  56  81  54  79  53 /  20  20  10  10  10   0
Sandpoint      85  50  78  50  74  47 /  10  10  10  10  10  10
Kellogg        86  54  77  52  74  50 /  10  10  10   0  10   0
Moses Lake     92  59  84  57  84  56 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Wenatchee      90  66  81  63  85  64 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Omak           92  57  81  56  84  57 /  10  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...Red Flag Warning until 9 PM PDT Wednesday for East Washington
     Central Cascade Valleys (Zone 677)-East Washington Northern
     Columbia Basin (Zone 673)-East Washington Palouse and
     Spokane Area (Zone 674)-East Washington South Central
     Cascade Valleys (Zone 676).

&&

$$




000
FXUS66 KOTX 041126
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
426 AM PDT TUE AUG 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS....
Another warm, dry and breezy day is expected across much of the
Inland Northwest today. Cooler temperatures and breezier conditions
are expected Wednesday following the arrival of a cold front.
Another threat of showers and thunderstorms arrives next weekend
as yet another cosed low is expected to move into the region.


&&

.DISCUSSION...
Today through Wednesday: The upper level shortwave disturbance
producing some very light showers across the Northern Panhandle
will begin to exit the region early this morning. The focus will
then shift toward the deeper upper level low pressure circulation
spinning over central BC. The center of the low is progged to
slowly drift into southern BC by Wednesday afternoon.

Water vapor satellite imagery shows a well defined dry slot
pushing across Vancouver Island on the backside of a cold front.
This cold front will push east of the Cascades late this morning
and across the interior of eastern WA through this afternoon.
Decent cold air advection through the Cascade gaps will provide
good packing of the isobars and will keep winds breezy across
this area. Winds up at 850 mbs will be between 15-20 kts across
the basin into the Spokane Area and Palouse region. Enough
momentum transfer will also keep these areas breezy with winds
picking up through the late morning and afternoon. We will
continue to be dry today, especially with the cold front
delivering another punch of dry air down the lee side of the
Cascades. Breezy winds and dry conditions will provide the
potential for rapid fire spread of any new or ongoing fires with the
current Red Flag Warning remaining valid.

The little bit of moisture that has moved across the
northern mountains tonight will keep dew points up into the lower
to mid 40s across these areas before the drier air arrives. This
should be just enough moisture for some afternoon convection,
especially near the Canadian border. Instability will be weak, so
thunderstorm coverage will likely be isolated in nature.

Winds will increase across much of the region on Wednesday with
frontal passage. Chances for showers will increase across the
northern Cascade Mtns, which will lead to increasing RH values.
This will be a welcome sign for this area with wind speeds
remaining elevated. The higher dew points do not figure to spread
much further east, so RH values dipping into the teens are
expected to be common once again on Wednesday across the basin
and over into the lower elevations of the ID Panhandle.

Temperatures will continue to cool over the next couple of days.
High temperatures by Wednesday will be in the upper 70s to mid
80s, which will be slightly below normal for early August. /SVH

Wednesday night through Tuesday...The models are coming into
better agreement showing one closed low moving slowly out of the
region Wednesday night and Thursday...and another closed low
coming into the region Saturday. In between weather systems
expect a short lived and transient ridge of high pressure.

Wednesday night and Thursday...This close low tracks through central
B.C. And just grazes the northern mountains. Deep moisture is
lacking but there is some weak surfaced based and mid level
instability with the cold core to support showers and a few
scattered lightning strikes Wednesday evening and again Thursday
afternoon. Precipitation will be spotty and on the light side.
Winds will remain southwest to west but not as breezy as on
Wednesday. With the cooler air advecting into the region
temperatures will be down another 2-3 degrees over Wednesday and
likely the coolest temperatures of the week.

Thursday night and Friday will be dry with a warming trend as the
transient ridge builds into the region. Temperatures will quickly
climb back into the mid 80s and lower 90s which will be very near
seasonal averages.

Saturday and through the weekend...there are still some timing
differences but overall the trend is similar showing another
closed low dropping south along the B.C. coast Saturday, but this
time dropping further south to roughly the northwest Washington
coast Sunday before moving back to the northeast and through B.C.
Sunday night and Monday. While this disturbance will likely tap
into deeper moisture the storm track suggest that the main
moisture and dynamics will just clip the northern Cascades and
northern Washington mountains and that will be the focus for
scattered showers and embedded thunderstorms. Precipitation will
be spotty, but the convective nature concludes that some areas
could pick up some quick but heavy rain.

A secondary wave will take a more southerly route and track northeast
through Oregon and central Idaho. At this time it looks like this
wave will stay to the south of the Blue mountains and the Camas
Prairie. The forecast leans toward some low end pops in the
forecast but there is more confidence in mid and high level clouds
then showers.

Southwest flow will keep temperatures in the mid 80s to lower 90s
and near seasonal averages. Southwest winds will be on the increase
as the disturbance tracks through the region but only in the 5-15
mph category. Tobin


&&

.AVIATION... 12Z TAFS: A weak upper level disturbance will continue
to clear east of the Panhandle early this morning; however, the
region will begin to be influenced by a deeper upper level low
sliding southward across BC. This system will result in a chance for
showers and thunderstorms near the Canadian border this afternoon.
An approaching cold front will also result in breezy conditions this
afternoon across the region with gusts up to 25 mph possible. /SVH


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        87  59  80  57  77  57 /   0  10   0   0  10   0
Coeur d`Alene  87  57  79  55  77  53 /  10  10   0   0  10   0
Pullman        86  53  78  52  76  51 /  10  10   0   0  10   0
Lewiston       95  64  85  61  85  60 /  10  10   0   0   0   0
Colville       89  56  81  54  79  53 /  20  20  10  10  10   0
Sandpoint      85  50  78  50  74  47 /  10  10  10  10  10  10
Kellogg        86  54  77  52  74  50 /  10  10  10   0  10   0
Moses Lake     92  59  84  57  84  56 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Wenatchee      90  66  81  63  85  64 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Omak           92  57  81  56  84  57 /  10  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...Red Flag Warning until 9 PM PDT Wednesday for East Washington
     Central Cascade Valleys (Zone 677)-East Washington Northern
     Columbia Basin (Zone 673)-East Washington Palouse and
     Spokane Area (Zone 674)-East Washington South Central
     Cascade Valleys (Zone 676).

&&

$$




000
FXUS66 KOTX 041126
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
426 AM PDT TUE AUG 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS....
Another warm, dry and breezy day is expected across much of the
Inland Northwest today. Cooler temperatures and breezier conditions
are expected Wednesday following the arrival of a cold front.
Another threat of showers and thunderstorms arrives next weekend
as yet another cosed low is expected to move into the region.


&&

.DISCUSSION...
Today through Wednesday: The upper level shortwave disturbance
producing some very light showers across the Northern Panhandle
will begin to exit the region early this morning. The focus will
then shift toward the deeper upper level low pressure circulation
spinning over central BC. The center of the low is progged to
slowly drift into southern BC by Wednesday afternoon.

Water vapor satellite imagery shows a well defined dry slot
pushing across Vancouver Island on the backside of a cold front.
This cold front will push east of the Cascades late this morning
and across the interior of eastern WA through this afternoon.
Decent cold air advection through the Cascade gaps will provide
good packing of the isobars and will keep winds breezy across
this area. Winds up at 850 mbs will be between 15-20 kts across
the basin into the Spokane Area and Palouse region. Enough
momentum transfer will also keep these areas breezy with winds
picking up through the late morning and afternoon. We will
continue to be dry today, especially with the cold front
delivering another punch of dry air down the lee side of the
Cascades. Breezy winds and dry conditions will provide the
potential for rapid fire spread of any new or ongoing fires with the
current Red Flag Warning remaining valid.

The little bit of moisture that has moved across the
northern mountains tonight will keep dew points up into the lower
to mid 40s across these areas before the drier air arrives. This
should be just enough moisture for some afternoon convection,
especially near the Canadian border. Instability will be weak, so
thunderstorm coverage will likely be isolated in nature.

Winds will increase across much of the region on Wednesday with
frontal passage. Chances for showers will increase across the
northern Cascade Mtns, which will lead to increasing RH values.
This will be a welcome sign for this area with wind speeds
remaining elevated. The higher dew points do not figure to spread
much further east, so RH values dipping into the teens are
expected to be common once again on Wednesday across the basin
and over into the lower elevations of the ID Panhandle.

Temperatures will continue to cool over the next couple of days.
High temperatures by Wednesday will be in the upper 70s to mid
80s, which will be slightly below normal for early August. /SVH

Wednesday night through Tuesday...The models are coming into
better agreement showing one closed low moving slowly out of the
region Wednesday night and Thursday...and another closed low
coming into the region Saturday. In between weather systems
expect a short lived and transient ridge of high pressure.

Wednesday night and Thursday...This close low tracks through central
B.C. And just grazes the northern mountains. Deep moisture is
lacking but there is some weak surfaced based and mid level
instability with the cold core to support showers and a few
scattered lightning strikes Wednesday evening and again Thursday
afternoon. Precipitation will be spotty and on the light side.
Winds will remain southwest to west but not as breezy as on
Wednesday. With the cooler air advecting into the region
temperatures will be down another 2-3 degrees over Wednesday and
likely the coolest temperatures of the week.

Thursday night and Friday will be dry with a warming trend as the
transient ridge builds into the region. Temperatures will quickly
climb back into the mid 80s and lower 90s which will be very near
seasonal averages.

Saturday and through the weekend...there are still some timing
differences but overall the trend is similar showing another
closed low dropping south along the B.C. coast Saturday, but this
time dropping further south to roughly the northwest Washington
coast Sunday before moving back to the northeast and through B.C.
Sunday night and Monday. While this disturbance will likely tap
into deeper moisture the storm track suggest that the main
moisture and dynamics will just clip the northern Cascades and
northern Washington mountains and that will be the focus for
scattered showers and embedded thunderstorms. Precipitation will
be spotty, but the convective nature concludes that some areas
could pick up some quick but heavy rain.

A secondary wave will take a more southerly route and track northeast
through Oregon and central Idaho. At this time it looks like this
wave will stay to the south of the Blue mountains and the Camas
Prairie. The forecast leans toward some low end pops in the
forecast but there is more confidence in mid and high level clouds
then showers.

Southwest flow will keep temperatures in the mid 80s to lower 90s
and near seasonal averages. Southwest winds will be on the increase
as the disturbance tracks through the region but only in the 5-15
mph category. Tobin


&&

.AVIATION... 12Z TAFS: A weak upper level disturbance will continue
to clear east of the Panhandle early this morning; however, the
region will begin to be influenced by a deeper upper level low
sliding southward across BC. This system will result in a chance for
showers and thunderstorms near the Canadian border this afternoon.
An approaching cold front will also result in breezy conditions this
afternoon across the region with gusts up to 25 mph possible. /SVH


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        87  59  80  57  77  57 /   0  10   0   0  10   0
Coeur d`Alene  87  57  79  55  77  53 /  10  10   0   0  10   0
Pullman        86  53  78  52  76  51 /  10  10   0   0  10   0
Lewiston       95  64  85  61  85  60 /  10  10   0   0   0   0
Colville       89  56  81  54  79  53 /  20  20  10  10  10   0
Sandpoint      85  50  78  50  74  47 /  10  10  10  10  10  10
Kellogg        86  54  77  52  74  50 /  10  10  10   0  10   0
Moses Lake     92  59  84  57  84  56 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Wenatchee      90  66  81  63  85  64 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Omak           92  57  81  56  84  57 /  10  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...Red Flag Warning until 9 PM PDT Wednesday for East Washington
     Central Cascade Valleys (Zone 677)-East Washington Northern
     Columbia Basin (Zone 673)-East Washington Palouse and
     Spokane Area (Zone 674)-East Washington South Central
     Cascade Valleys (Zone 676).

&&

$$





000
FXUS66 KOTX 040947
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
247 AM PDT TUE AUG 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS....
Another warm, dry and breezy day is expected across much of the
Inland Northwest today. Cooler temperatures and breezier conditions
are expected Wednesday following the arrival of a cold front.
Another threat of showers and thunderstorms arrives next weekend
as yet another cosed low is expected to move into the region.


&&

.DISCUSSION...
Today through Wednesday: The upper level shortwave disturbance
producing some very light showers across the Northern Panhandle
will begin to exit the region early this morning. The focus will
then shift toward the deeper upper level low pressure circulation
spinning over central BC. The center of the low is progged to
slowly drift into southern BC by Wednesday afternoon.

Water vapor satellite imagery shows a well defined dry slot
pushing across Vancouver Island on the backside of a cold front.
This cold front will push east of the Cascades late this morning
and across the interior of eastern WA through this afternoon.
Decent cold air advection through the Cascade gaps will provide
good packing of the isobars and will keep winds breezy across
this area. Winds up at 850 mbs will be between 15-20 kts across
the basin into the Spokane Area and Palouse region. Enough
momentum transfer will also keep these areas breezy with winds
picking up through the late morning and afternoon. We will
continue to be dry today, especially with the cold front
delivering another punch of dry air down the lee side of the
Cascades. Breezy winds and dry conditions will provide the
potential for rapid fire spread of any new or ongoing fires with the
current Red Flag Warning remaining valid.

The little bit of moisture that has moved across the
northern mountains tonight will keep dew points up into the lower
to mid 40s across these areas before the drier air arrives. This
should be just enough moisture for some afternoon convection,
especially near the Canadian border. Instability will be weak, so
thunderstorm coverage will likely be isolated in nature.

Winds will increase across much of the region on Wednesday with
frontal passage. Chances for showers will increase across the
northern Cascade Mtns, which will lead to increasing RH values.
This will be a welcome sign for this area with wind speeds
remaining elevated. The higher dew points do not figure to spread
much further east, so RH values dipping into the teens are
expected to be common once again on Wednesday across the basin
and over into the lower elevations of the ID Panhandle.

Temperatures will continue to cool over the next couple of days.
High temperatures by Wednesday will be in the upper 70s to mid
80s, which will be slightly below normal for early August. /SVH

Wednesday night through Tuesday...The models are coming into
better agreement showing one closed low moving slowly out of the
region Wednesday night and Thursday...and another closed low
coming into the region Saturday. In between weather systems
expect a short lived and transient ridge of high pressure.

Wednesday night and Thursday...This close low tracks through central
B.C. And just grazes the northern mountains. Deep moisture is
lacking but there is some weak surfaced based and mid level
instability with the cold core to support showers and a few
scattered lightning strikes Wednesday evening and again Thursday
afternoon. Precipitation will be spotty and on the light side.
Winds will remain southwest to west but not as breezy as on
Wednesday. With the cooler air advecting into the region
temperatures will be down another 2-3 degrees over Wednesday and
likely the coolest temperatures of the week.

Thursday night and Friday will be dry with a warming trend as the
transient ridge builds into the region. Temperatures will quickly
climb back into the mid 80s and lower 90s which will be very near
seasonal averages.

Saturday and through the weekend...there are still some timing
differences but overall the trend is similar showing another
closed low dropping south along the B.C. coast Saturday, but this
time dropping further south to roughly the northwest Washington
coast Sunday before moving back to the northeast and through B.C.
Sunday night and Monday. While this disturbance will likely tap
into deeper moisture the storm track suggest that the main
moisture and dynamics will just clip the northern Cascades and
northern Washington mountains and that will be the focus for
scattered showers and embedded thunderstorms. Precipitation will
be spotty, but the convective nature concludes that some areas
could pick up some quick but heavy rain.

A secondary wave will take a more southerly route and track northeast
through Oregon and central Idaho. At this time it looks like this
wave will stay to the south of the Blue mountains and the Camas
Prairie. The forecast leans toward some low end pops in the
forecast but there is more confidence in mid and high level clouds
then showers.

Southwest flow will keep temperatures in the mid 80s to lower 90s
and near seasonal averages. Southwest winds will be on the increase
as the disturbance tracks through the region but only in the 5-15
mph category. Tobin



&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAFS: A weak wave tracking across the region tonight will
result in a broad area of mid and high clouds with spotty light
shower activity or sprinkles over NE Washington and North Idaho.
Gradual clearing is expected from west to east behind this wave
overnight into Tuesday morning. A drier westerly flow will result
in mostly clear skies on Tuesday...except for mainly flat cumulus
over the mountains. Gusty winds are expected during the afternoon
and early evening. JW


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        87  59  80  57  77  57 /   0  10   0   0  10   0
Coeur d`Alene  87  57  79  55  77  53 /  10  10   0   0  10   0
Pullman        86  53  78  52  76  51 /  10  10   0   0  10   0
Lewiston       95  64  85  61  85  60 /  10  10   0   0   0   0
Colville       89  56  81  54  79  53 /  20  20  10  10  10   0
Sandpoint      85  50  78  50  74  47 /  10  10  10  10  10  10
Kellogg        86  54  77  52  74  50 /  10  10  10   0  10   0
Moses Lake     92  59  84  57  84  56 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Wenatchee      90  66  81  63  85  64 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Omak           92  57  81  56  84  57 /  10  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...Red Flag Warning until 9 PM PDT Wednesday for East Washington
     Central Cascade Valleys (Zone 677)-East Washington Northern
     Columbia Basin (Zone 673)-East Washington Palouse and
     Spokane Area (Zone 674)-East Washington South Central
     Cascade Valleys (Zone 676).

&&

$$




000
FXUS66 KOTX 040947
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
247 AM PDT TUE AUG 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS....
Another warm, dry and breezy day is expected across much of the
Inland Northwest today. Cooler temperatures and breezier conditions
are expected Wednesday following the arrival of a cold front.
Another threat of showers and thunderstorms arrives next weekend
as yet another cosed low is expected to move into the region.


&&

.DISCUSSION...
Today through Wednesday: The upper level shortwave disturbance
producing some very light showers across the Northern Panhandle
will begin to exit the region early this morning. The focus will
then shift toward the deeper upper level low pressure circulation
spinning over central BC. The center of the low is progged to
slowly drift into southern BC by Wednesday afternoon.

Water vapor satellite imagery shows a well defined dry slot
pushing across Vancouver Island on the backside of a cold front.
This cold front will push east of the Cascades late this morning
and across the interior of eastern WA through this afternoon.
Decent cold air advection through the Cascade gaps will provide
good packing of the isobars and will keep winds breezy across
this area. Winds up at 850 mbs will be between 15-20 kts across
the basin into the Spokane Area and Palouse region. Enough
momentum transfer will also keep these areas breezy with winds
picking up through the late morning and afternoon. We will
continue to be dry today, especially with the cold front
delivering another punch of dry air down the lee side of the
Cascades. Breezy winds and dry conditions will provide the
potential for rapid fire spread of any new or ongoing fires with the
current Red Flag Warning remaining valid.

The little bit of moisture that has moved across the
northern mountains tonight will keep dew points up into the lower
to mid 40s across these areas before the drier air arrives. This
should be just enough moisture for some afternoon convection,
especially near the Canadian border. Instability will be weak, so
thunderstorm coverage will likely be isolated in nature.

Winds will increase across much of the region on Wednesday with
frontal passage. Chances for showers will increase across the
northern Cascade Mtns, which will lead to increasing RH values.
This will be a welcome sign for this area with wind speeds
remaining elevated. The higher dew points do not figure to spread
much further east, so RH values dipping into the teens are
expected to be common once again on Wednesday across the basin
and over into the lower elevations of the ID Panhandle.

Temperatures will continue to cool over the next couple of days.
High temperatures by Wednesday will be in the upper 70s to mid
80s, which will be slightly below normal for early August. /SVH

Wednesday night through Tuesday...The models are coming into
better agreement showing one closed low moving slowly out of the
region Wednesday night and Thursday...and another closed low
coming into the region Saturday. In between weather systems
expect a short lived and transient ridge of high pressure.

Wednesday night and Thursday...This close low tracks through central
B.C. And just grazes the northern mountains. Deep moisture is
lacking but there is some weak surfaced based and mid level
instability with the cold core to support showers and a few
scattered lightning strikes Wednesday evening and again Thursday
afternoon. Precipitation will be spotty and on the light side.
Winds will remain southwest to west but not as breezy as on
Wednesday. With the cooler air advecting into the region
temperatures will be down another 2-3 degrees over Wednesday and
likely the coolest temperatures of the week.

Thursday night and Friday will be dry with a warming trend as the
transient ridge builds into the region. Temperatures will quickly
climb back into the mid 80s and lower 90s which will be very near
seasonal averages.

Saturday and through the weekend...there are still some timing
differences but overall the trend is similar showing another
closed low dropping south along the B.C. coast Saturday, but this
time dropping further south to roughly the northwest Washington
coast Sunday before moving back to the northeast and through B.C.
Sunday night and Monday. While this disturbance will likely tap
into deeper moisture the storm track suggest that the main
moisture and dynamics will just clip the northern Cascades and
northern Washington mountains and that will be the focus for
scattered showers and embedded thunderstorms. Precipitation will
be spotty, but the convective nature concludes that some areas
could pick up some quick but heavy rain.

A secondary wave will take a more southerly route and track northeast
through Oregon and central Idaho. At this time it looks like this
wave will stay to the south of the Blue mountains and the Camas
Prairie. The forecast leans toward some low end pops in the
forecast but there is more confidence in mid and high level clouds
then showers.

Southwest flow will keep temperatures in the mid 80s to lower 90s
and near seasonal averages. Southwest winds will be on the increase
as the disturbance tracks through the region but only in the 5-15
mph category. Tobin



&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAFS: A weak wave tracking across the region tonight will
result in a broad area of mid and high clouds with spotty light
shower activity or sprinkles over NE Washington and North Idaho.
Gradual clearing is expected from west to east behind this wave
overnight into Tuesday morning. A drier westerly flow will result
in mostly clear skies on Tuesday...except for mainly flat cumulus
over the mountains. Gusty winds are expected during the afternoon
and early evening. JW


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        87  59  80  57  77  57 /   0  10   0   0  10   0
Coeur d`Alene  87  57  79  55  77  53 /  10  10   0   0  10   0
Pullman        86  53  78  52  76  51 /  10  10   0   0  10   0
Lewiston       95  64  85  61  85  60 /  10  10   0   0   0   0
Colville       89  56  81  54  79  53 /  20  20  10  10  10   0
Sandpoint      85  50  78  50  74  47 /  10  10  10  10  10  10
Kellogg        86  54  77  52  74  50 /  10  10  10   0  10   0
Moses Lake     92  59  84  57  84  56 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Wenatchee      90  66  81  63  85  64 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Omak           92  57  81  56  84  57 /  10  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...Red Flag Warning until 9 PM PDT Wednesday for East Washington
     Central Cascade Valleys (Zone 677)-East Washington Northern
     Columbia Basin (Zone 673)-East Washington Palouse and
     Spokane Area (Zone 674)-East Washington South Central
     Cascade Valleys (Zone 676).

&&

$$





000
FXUS66 KOTX 040536
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
1036 PM PDT MON AUG 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS....
The ongoing drought, combined with high heat and low humidity
will contribute to high fire danger throughout the Inland
Northwest. Cooler temperatures and windy conditions are
expected...especially Tuesday and Wednesday following the arrival
of a cold front. Another threat of showers and thunderstorms
arrives next weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
A mid level wave is tracking across Eastern Washington this
evening and will reach North Idaho during the late evening and
overnight hours. Given the very dry low level atmosphere most of
the echoes seen on radar are evaporating before reaching the
ground...although have had several reports of sprinkles. Exception
is around Colville and Northport where a nearly stationary band of
showers between 6 PM and 8 PM allowed the lower atmosphere to
moisten with a couple places reporting .01 to .02 inches of rain.
This band of showers may also have contributed to gusty outflow
winds in this area with reports of tree damage around Metaline
Falls. Thus far there have been no lightning with this activity
and models show this should be the case for the remainder of
tonight with very limited mid level instability to work with.
Clouds tonight should keep low temperatures mild over North Idaho
and adjacent portions of far NE Washington and have increased low
temps in these areas. Also tweaked precipitation chances and winds
slightly based on latest trends. JW

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAFS: A weak wave tracking across the region tonight will
result in a broad area of mid and high clouds with spotty light
shower activity or sprinkles over NE Washington and North Idaho.
Gradual clearing is expected from west to east behind this wave
overnight into Tuesday morning. A drier westerly flow will result
in mostly clear skies on Tuesday...except for mainly flat cumulus
over the mountains. Gusty winds are expected during the afternoon
and early evening. JW

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        66  87  59  81  57  78 /  10   0   0   0   0  10
Coeur d`Alene  64  87  57  82  55  79 /  10  10  10   0   0  10
Pullman        57  86  53  81  52  78 /  10  10  10   0   0   0
Lewiston       68  95  64  89  61  87 /  10  10  10   0   0  10
Colville       60  89  56  85  55  80 /  30  10  10  20  10  10
Sandpoint      62  85  50  80  49  76 /  10  10  10   0  10  10
Kellogg        62  86  54  81  53  76 /  20  10  10   0   0   0
Moses Lake     62  92  59  87  58  84 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Wenatchee      69  90  66  87  64  85 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Omak           62  92  57  87  57  84 /  10   0   0  10   0  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...Red Flag Warning until 9 PM PDT Wednesday for East Washington
     Central Cascade Valleys (Zone 677)-East Washington Northern
     Columbia Basin (Zone 673)-East Washington Palouse and
     Spokane Area (Zone 674)-East Washington South Central
     Cascade Valleys (Zone 676).

&&

$$





000
FXUS66 KOTX 040536
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
1036 PM PDT MON AUG 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS....
The ongoing drought, combined with high heat and low humidity
will contribute to high fire danger throughout the Inland
Northwest. Cooler temperatures and windy conditions are
expected...especially Tuesday and Wednesday following the arrival
of a cold front. Another threat of showers and thunderstorms
arrives next weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
A mid level wave is tracking across Eastern Washington this
evening and will reach North Idaho during the late evening and
overnight hours. Given the very dry low level atmosphere most of
the echoes seen on radar are evaporating before reaching the
ground...although have had several reports of sprinkles. Exception
is around Colville and Northport where a nearly stationary band of
showers between 6 PM and 8 PM allowed the lower atmosphere to
moisten with a couple places reporting .01 to .02 inches of rain.
This band of showers may also have contributed to gusty outflow
winds in this area with reports of tree damage around Metaline
Falls. Thus far there have been no lightning with this activity
and models show this should be the case for the remainder of
tonight with very limited mid level instability to work with.
Clouds tonight should keep low temperatures mild over North Idaho
and adjacent portions of far NE Washington and have increased low
temps in these areas. Also tweaked precipitation chances and winds
slightly based on latest trends. JW

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAFS: A weak wave tracking across the region tonight will
result in a broad area of mid and high clouds with spotty light
shower activity or sprinkles over NE Washington and North Idaho.
Gradual clearing is expected from west to east behind this wave
overnight into Tuesday morning. A drier westerly flow will result
in mostly clear skies on Tuesday...except for mainly flat cumulus
over the mountains. Gusty winds are expected during the afternoon
and early evening. JW

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        66  87  59  81  57  78 /  10   0   0   0   0  10
Coeur d`Alene  64  87  57  82  55  79 /  10  10  10   0   0  10
Pullman        57  86  53  81  52  78 /  10  10  10   0   0   0
Lewiston       68  95  64  89  61  87 /  10  10  10   0   0  10
Colville       60  89  56  85  55  80 /  30  10  10  20  10  10
Sandpoint      62  85  50  80  49  76 /  10  10  10   0  10  10
Kellogg        62  86  54  81  53  76 /  20  10  10   0   0   0
Moses Lake     62  92  59  87  58  84 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Wenatchee      69  90  66  87  64  85 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Omak           62  92  57  87  57  84 /  10   0   0  10   0  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...Red Flag Warning until 9 PM PDT Wednesday for East Washington
     Central Cascade Valleys (Zone 677)-East Washington Northern
     Columbia Basin (Zone 673)-East Washington Palouse and
     Spokane Area (Zone 674)-East Washington South Central
     Cascade Valleys (Zone 676).

&&

$$




000
FXUS66 KOTX 040536
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
1036 PM PDT MON AUG 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS....
The ongoing drought, combined with high heat and low humidity
will contribute to high fire danger throughout the Inland
Northwest. Cooler temperatures and windy conditions are
expected...especially Tuesday and Wednesday following the arrival
of a cold front. Another threat of showers and thunderstorms
arrives next weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
A mid level wave is tracking across Eastern Washington this
evening and will reach North Idaho during the late evening and
overnight hours. Given the very dry low level atmosphere most of
the echoes seen on radar are evaporating before reaching the
ground...although have had several reports of sprinkles. Exception
is around Colville and Northport where a nearly stationary band of
showers between 6 PM and 8 PM allowed the lower atmosphere to
moisten with a couple places reporting .01 to .02 inches of rain.
This band of showers may also have contributed to gusty outflow
winds in this area with reports of tree damage around Metaline
Falls. Thus far there have been no lightning with this activity
and models show this should be the case for the remainder of
tonight with very limited mid level instability to work with.
Clouds tonight should keep low temperatures mild over North Idaho
and adjacent portions of far NE Washington and have increased low
temps in these areas. Also tweaked precipitation chances and winds
slightly based on latest trends. JW

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAFS: A weak wave tracking across the region tonight will
result in a broad area of mid and high clouds with spotty light
shower activity or sprinkles over NE Washington and North Idaho.
Gradual clearing is expected from west to east behind this wave
overnight into Tuesday morning. A drier westerly flow will result
in mostly clear skies on Tuesday...except for mainly flat cumulus
over the mountains. Gusty winds are expected during the afternoon
and early evening. JW

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        66  87  59  81  57  78 /  10   0   0   0   0  10
Coeur d`Alene  64  87  57  82  55  79 /  10  10  10   0   0  10
Pullman        57  86  53  81  52  78 /  10  10  10   0   0   0
Lewiston       68  95  64  89  61  87 /  10  10  10   0   0  10
Colville       60  89  56  85  55  80 /  30  10  10  20  10  10
Sandpoint      62  85  50  80  49  76 /  10  10  10   0  10  10
Kellogg        62  86  54  81  53  76 /  20  10  10   0   0   0
Moses Lake     62  92  59  87  58  84 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Wenatchee      69  90  66  87  64  85 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Omak           62  92  57  87  57  84 /  10   0   0  10   0  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...Red Flag Warning until 9 PM PDT Wednesday for East Washington
     Central Cascade Valleys (Zone 677)-East Washington Northern
     Columbia Basin (Zone 673)-East Washington Palouse and
     Spokane Area (Zone 674)-East Washington South Central
     Cascade Valleys (Zone 676).

&&

$$




000
FXUS66 KOTX 040536
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
1036 PM PDT MON AUG 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS....
The ongoing drought, combined with high heat and low humidity
will contribute to high fire danger throughout the Inland
Northwest. Cooler temperatures and windy conditions are
expected...especially Tuesday and Wednesday following the arrival
of a cold front. Another threat of showers and thunderstorms
arrives next weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
A mid level wave is tracking across Eastern Washington this
evening and will reach North Idaho during the late evening and
overnight hours. Given the very dry low level atmosphere most of
the echoes seen on radar are evaporating before reaching the
ground...although have had several reports of sprinkles. Exception
is around Colville and Northport where a nearly stationary band of
showers between 6 PM and 8 PM allowed the lower atmosphere to
moisten with a couple places reporting .01 to .02 inches of rain.
This band of showers may also have contributed to gusty outflow
winds in this area with reports of tree damage around Metaline
Falls. Thus far there have been no lightning with this activity
and models show this should be the case for the remainder of
tonight with very limited mid level instability to work with.
Clouds tonight should keep low temperatures mild over North Idaho
and adjacent portions of far NE Washington and have increased low
temps in these areas. Also tweaked precipitation chances and winds
slightly based on latest trends. JW

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAFS: A weak wave tracking across the region tonight will
result in a broad area of mid and high clouds with spotty light
shower activity or sprinkles over NE Washington and North Idaho.
Gradual clearing is expected from west to east behind this wave
overnight into Tuesday morning. A drier westerly flow will result
in mostly clear skies on Tuesday...except for mainly flat cumulus
over the mountains. Gusty winds are expected during the afternoon
and early evening. JW

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        66  87  59  81  57  78 /  10   0   0   0   0  10
Coeur d`Alene  64  87  57  82  55  79 /  10  10  10   0   0  10
Pullman        57  86  53  81  52  78 /  10  10  10   0   0   0
Lewiston       68  95  64  89  61  87 /  10  10  10   0   0  10
Colville       60  89  56  85  55  80 /  30  10  10  20  10  10
Sandpoint      62  85  50  80  49  76 /  10  10  10   0  10  10
Kellogg        62  86  54  81  53  76 /  20  10  10   0   0   0
Moses Lake     62  92  59  87  58  84 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Wenatchee      69  90  66  87  64  85 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Omak           62  92  57  87  57  84 /  10   0   0  10   0  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...Red Flag Warning until 9 PM PDT Wednesday for East Washington
     Central Cascade Valleys (Zone 677)-East Washington Northern
     Columbia Basin (Zone 673)-East Washington Palouse and
     Spokane Area (Zone 674)-East Washington South Central
     Cascade Valleys (Zone 676).

&&

$$





000
FXUS66 KOTX 040348
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
848 PM PDT MON AUG 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS....
The ongoing drought, combined with high heat and low humidity
will contribute to high fire danger throughout the Inland
Northwest. Cooler temperatures and windy conditions are
expected...especially Tuesday and Wednesday following the arrival
of a cold front. Another threat of showers and thunderstorms
arrives next weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
A mid level wave is tracking across Eastern Washington this
evening and will reach North Idaho during the late evening and
overnight hours. Given the very dry low level atmosphere most of
the echoes seen on radar are evaporating before reaching the
ground...although have had several reports of sprinkles. Exception
is around Colville and Northport where a nearly stationary band of
showers between 6 PM and 8 PM allowed the lower atmosphere to
moisten with a couple places reporting .01 to .02 inches of rain.
This band of showers may also have contributed to gusty outflow
winds in this area. Thus far there have been no lightning with
this activity and models show this should be the case for the
remainder of tonight with very limited mid level instability to
work with. Clouds tonight should keep low temperatures mild over
North Idaho and adjacent portions of far NE Washington and have
increased low temps in these areas. Also tweaked precipitation
chances and winds slightly based on latest trends. JW

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAFS: A broad canopy of ceilings ranging from 9-14k ft agl
associated with a weak wave moving NE through the area will
produce only light amnts of rain. This pcpn threat will end first
for the KEAT and KMWH TAF sites (as well as KLWS/KPUW) around
01-02z...then move out of the Spokane/ C`da area by 03-04z. As it
does, expect west and southwest winds to gust to 25kt for all
sites. These gusty winds will slowly decrease after 05z.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        66  87  59  81  57  78 /  10   0   0   0   0  10
Coeur d`Alene  64  87  57  82  55  79 /  10  10  10   0   0  10
Pullman        57  86  53  81  52  78 /  10  10  10   0   0   0
Lewiston       68  95  64  89  61  87 /  10  10  10   0   0  10
Colville       60  89  56  85  55  80 /  30  10  10  20  10  10
Sandpoint      62  85  50  80  49  76 /  10  10  10   0  10  10
Kellogg        62  86  54  81  53  76 /  20  10  10   0   0   0
Moses Lake     62  92  59  87  58  84 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Wenatchee      69  90  66  87  64  85 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Omak           62  92  57  87  57  84 /  10   0   0  10   0  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...Red Flag Warning until 9 PM PDT Wednesday for East Washington
     Central Cascade Valleys (Zone 677)-East Washington Northern
     Columbia Basin (Zone 673)-East Washington Palouse and
     Spokane Area (Zone 674)-East Washington South Central
     Cascade Valleys (Zone 676).

&&

$$




000
FXUS66 KOTX 040348
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
848 PM PDT MON AUG 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS....
The ongoing drought, combined with high heat and low humidity
will contribute to high fire danger throughout the Inland
Northwest. Cooler temperatures and windy conditions are
expected...especially Tuesday and Wednesday following the arrival
of a cold front. Another threat of showers and thunderstorms
arrives next weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
A mid level wave is tracking across Eastern Washington this
evening and will reach North Idaho during the late evening and
overnight hours. Given the very dry low level atmosphere most of
the echoes seen on radar are evaporating before reaching the
ground...although have had several reports of sprinkles. Exception
is around Colville and Northport where a nearly stationary band of
showers between 6 PM and 8 PM allowed the lower atmosphere to
moisten with a couple places reporting .01 to .02 inches of rain.
This band of showers may also have contributed to gusty outflow
winds in this area. Thus far there have been no lightning with
this activity and models show this should be the case for the
remainder of tonight with very limited mid level instability to
work with. Clouds tonight should keep low temperatures mild over
North Idaho and adjacent portions of far NE Washington and have
increased low temps in these areas. Also tweaked precipitation
chances and winds slightly based on latest trends. JW

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAFS: A broad canopy of ceilings ranging from 9-14k ft agl
associated with a weak wave moving NE through the area will
produce only light amnts of rain. This pcpn threat will end first
for the KEAT and KMWH TAF sites (as well as KLWS/KPUW) around
01-02z...then move out of the Spokane/ C`da area by 03-04z. As it
does, expect west and southwest winds to gust to 25kt for all
sites. These gusty winds will slowly decrease after 05z.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        66  87  59  81  57  78 /  10   0   0   0   0  10
Coeur d`Alene  64  87  57  82  55  79 /  10  10  10   0   0  10
Pullman        57  86  53  81  52  78 /  10  10  10   0   0   0
Lewiston       68  95  64  89  61  87 /  10  10  10   0   0  10
Colville       60  89  56  85  55  80 /  30  10  10  20  10  10
Sandpoint      62  85  50  80  49  76 /  10  10  10   0  10  10
Kellogg        62  86  54  81  53  76 /  20  10  10   0   0   0
Moses Lake     62  92  59  87  58  84 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Wenatchee      69  90  66  87  64  85 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Omak           62  92  57  87  57  84 /  10   0   0  10   0  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...Red Flag Warning until 9 PM PDT Wednesday for East Washington
     Central Cascade Valleys (Zone 677)-East Washington Northern
     Columbia Basin (Zone 673)-East Washington Palouse and
     Spokane Area (Zone 674)-East Washington South Central
     Cascade Valleys (Zone 676).

&&

$$





000
FXUS66 KOTX 040348
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
848 PM PDT MON AUG 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS....
The ongoing drought, combined with high heat and low humidity
will contribute to high fire danger throughout the Inland
Northwest. Cooler temperatures and windy conditions are
expected...especially Tuesday and Wednesday following the arrival
of a cold front. Another threat of showers and thunderstorms
arrives next weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
A mid level wave is tracking across Eastern Washington this
evening and will reach North Idaho during the late evening and
overnight hours. Given the very dry low level atmosphere most of
the echoes seen on radar are evaporating before reaching the
ground...although have had several reports of sprinkles. Exception
is around Colville and Northport where a nearly stationary band of
showers between 6 PM and 8 PM allowed the lower atmosphere to
moisten with a couple places reporting .01 to .02 inches of rain.
This band of showers may also have contributed to gusty outflow
winds in this area. Thus far there have been no lightning with
this activity and models show this should be the case for the
remainder of tonight with very limited mid level instability to
work with. Clouds tonight should keep low temperatures mild over
North Idaho and adjacent portions of far NE Washington and have
increased low temps in these areas. Also tweaked precipitation
chances and winds slightly based on latest trends. JW

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAFS: A broad canopy of ceilings ranging from 9-14k ft agl
associated with a weak wave moving NE through the area will
produce only light amnts of rain. This pcpn threat will end first
for the KEAT and KMWH TAF sites (as well as KLWS/KPUW) around
01-02z...then move out of the Spokane/ C`da area by 03-04z. As it
does, expect west and southwest winds to gust to 25kt for all
sites. These gusty winds will slowly decrease after 05z.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        66  87  59  81  57  78 /  10   0   0   0   0  10
Coeur d`Alene  64  87  57  82  55  79 /  10  10  10   0   0  10
Pullman        57  86  53  81  52  78 /  10  10  10   0   0   0
Lewiston       68  95  64  89  61  87 /  10  10  10   0   0  10
Colville       60  89  56  85  55  80 /  30  10  10  20  10  10
Sandpoint      62  85  50  80  49  76 /  10  10  10   0  10  10
Kellogg        62  86  54  81  53  76 /  20  10  10   0   0   0
Moses Lake     62  92  59  87  58  84 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Wenatchee      69  90  66  87  64  85 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Omak           62  92  57  87  57  84 /  10   0   0  10   0  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...Red Flag Warning until 9 PM PDT Wednesday for East Washington
     Central Cascade Valleys (Zone 677)-East Washington Northern
     Columbia Basin (Zone 673)-East Washington Palouse and
     Spokane Area (Zone 674)-East Washington South Central
     Cascade Valleys (Zone 676).

&&

$$




000
FXUS66 KOTX 032351
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
451 PM PDT MON AUG 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS....
The ongoing drought, combined with high heat and low humidity
will contribute to high fire danger throughout the Inland
Northwest. Cooler temperatures and windy conditions are
expected...especially Tuesday and Wednesday following the arrival
of a cold front. Another threat of showers and thunderstorms
arrives next weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Tonight through Tuesday: No significant changes to the fcst.
Winds will continue to strengthen into early evening as pressure
gradients strengthen...most notably near the Cascades (Wenatchee
region) and parts of the Palouse. Otherwise...a weak short- wave
trough over Oregon will move NE and keep the threat of very light
showers in the fcst for all areas outside of the Columbia Basin.
Pcpn amnts should be no more than a trace for most towns due to
unimpressive instability and a very dry sub-cloud layer below
10-15k ft. Once this wave exits tonight, a cold front will move
across the region and produce very gusty, but dry conditions
Tues.bz

Tuesday Night through Friday Morning: A Low pressure system will
begin continue to push into the region and shift the ridge of high
pressure further East. The drying of moisture associated this
system has decreased the chances of precip with this system. The
areas with the chance of rain are the extreme Northern Cascades
and Northern Idaho. With the decrease of the precip chances, the
chance of thunderstorms has become next to nonexistent. The main
concern during this period will be the afternoon winds. The
thermal gradient is expected to tighten with the incoming system.
The winds along the valleys in the Cascades are expected to have
sustained around 20 MPH with gust near 35 MPH. Temperatures are
expected to be near the normal with highs in the 80s. /JDC

Friday through Monday: After a dry start to the period, a couple
features move on the region. First low pressure lingering off the
CA coast is projected to make its way inland Friday and skim by
southeast WA and the lower ID Panhandle Friday night into Saturday
night. Secondly a trough currently near the Aleutians moves toward
the coast by Friday night and gradually makes its way inland
through early next week, with impulses rounding it having
opportunity to move across the Cascades and northern mountains, if
not the entire region. There is disagreement on the strength and
track of these impulses. Overall, however, this will lead to an
increased threat of showers and thunderstorms across the mountains
and potentially the valley/basin area. The risk will increase as
the weekend progresses into early next week. Confidence is lowest
around the valley/basin areas. Temperatures will warm into
Saturday ahead of the trough, lingering near to just slightly
above normal, before dipping again into early next week. We will
also have to watch for another increase in winds Saturday,
possibly combined with lower RH values, for more fire weather
concerns. /J. Cote`

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAFS: A broad canopy of ceilings ranging from 9-14k ft agl
associated with a weak wave moving NE through the area will
produce only light amnts of rain. This pcpn threat will end first
for the KEAT and KMWH TAF sites (as well as KLWS/KPUW) around
01-02z...then move out of the Spokane/ C`da area by 03-04z. As it
does, expect west and southwest winds to gust to 25kt for all
sites. These gusty winds will slowly decrease after 05z.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        66  87  59  81  57  78 /  10   0   0   0   0  10
Coeur d`Alene  62  87  57  82  55  79 /  10  10  10   0   0  10
Pullman        57  86  53  81  52  78 /  10  10  10   0   0   0
Lewiston       68  95  64  89  61  87 /  10  10  10   0   0  10
Colville       60  89  56  85  55  80 /  10  10  10  20  10  10
Sandpoint      57  85  50  80  49  76 /  10  10  10   0  10  10
Kellogg        58  86  54  81  53  76 /  20  10  10   0   0   0
Moses Lake     62  92  59  87  58  84 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Wenatchee      69  90  66  87  64  85 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Omak           62  92  57  87  57  84 /  10   0   0  10   0  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...Red Flag Warning until 9 PM PDT Wednesday for East Washington
     Central Cascade Valleys (Zone 677)-East Washington Northern
     Columbia Basin (Zone 673)-East Washington Palouse and
     Spokane Area (Zone 674)-East Washington South Central
     Cascade Valleys (Zone 676).

&&

$$






000
FXUS66 KOTX 032351
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
451 PM PDT MON AUG 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS....
The ongoing drought, combined with high heat and low humidity
will contribute to high fire danger throughout the Inland
Northwest. Cooler temperatures and windy conditions are
expected...especially Tuesday and Wednesday following the arrival
of a cold front. Another threat of showers and thunderstorms
arrives next weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Tonight through Tuesday: No significant changes to the fcst.
Winds will continue to strengthen into early evening as pressure
gradients strengthen...most notably near the Cascades (Wenatchee
region) and parts of the Palouse. Otherwise...a weak short- wave
trough over Oregon will move NE and keep the threat of very light
showers in the fcst for all areas outside of the Columbia Basin.
Pcpn amnts should be no more than a trace for most towns due to
unimpressive instability and a very dry sub-cloud layer below
10-15k ft. Once this wave exits tonight, a cold front will move
across the region and produce very gusty, but dry conditions
Tues.bz

Tuesday Night through Friday Morning: A Low pressure system will
begin continue to push into the region and shift the ridge of high
pressure further East. The drying of moisture associated this
system has decreased the chances of precip with this system. The
areas with the chance of rain are the extreme Northern Cascades
and Northern Idaho. With the decrease of the precip chances, the
chance of thunderstorms has become next to nonexistent. The main
concern during this period will be the afternoon winds. The
thermal gradient is expected to tighten with the incoming system.
The winds along the valleys in the Cascades are expected to have
sustained around 20 MPH with gust near 35 MPH. Temperatures are
expected to be near the normal with highs in the 80s. /JDC

Friday through Monday: After a dry start to the period, a couple
features move on the region. First low pressure lingering off the
CA coast is projected to make its way inland Friday and skim by
southeast WA and the lower ID Panhandle Friday night into Saturday
night. Secondly a trough currently near the Aleutians moves toward
the coast by Friday night and gradually makes its way inland
through early next week, with impulses rounding it having
opportunity to move across the Cascades and northern mountains, if
not the entire region. There is disagreement on the strength and
track of these impulses. Overall, however, this will lead to an
increased threat of showers and thunderstorms across the mountains
and potentially the valley/basin area. The risk will increase as
the weekend progresses into early next week. Confidence is lowest
around the valley/basin areas. Temperatures will warm into
Saturday ahead of the trough, lingering near to just slightly
above normal, before dipping again into early next week. We will
also have to watch for another increase in winds Saturday,
possibly combined with lower RH values, for more fire weather
concerns. /J. Cote`

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAFS: A broad canopy of ceilings ranging from 9-14k ft agl
associated with a weak wave moving NE through the area will
produce only light amnts of rain. This pcpn threat will end first
for the KEAT and KMWH TAF sites (as well as KLWS/KPUW) around
01-02z...then move out of the Spokane/ C`da area by 03-04z. As it
does, expect west and southwest winds to gust to 25kt for all
sites. These gusty winds will slowly decrease after 05z.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        66  87  59  81  57  78 /  10   0   0   0   0  10
Coeur d`Alene  62  87  57  82  55  79 /  10  10  10   0   0  10
Pullman        57  86  53  81  52  78 /  10  10  10   0   0   0
Lewiston       68  95  64  89  61  87 /  10  10  10   0   0  10
Colville       60  89  56  85  55  80 /  10  10  10  20  10  10
Sandpoint      57  85  50  80  49  76 /  10  10  10   0  10  10
Kellogg        58  86  54  81  53  76 /  20  10  10   0   0   0
Moses Lake     62  92  59  87  58  84 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Wenatchee      69  90  66  87  64  85 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Omak           62  92  57  87  57  84 /  10   0   0  10   0  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...Red Flag Warning until 9 PM PDT Wednesday for East Washington
     Central Cascade Valleys (Zone 677)-East Washington Northern
     Columbia Basin (Zone 673)-East Washington Palouse and
     Spokane Area (Zone 674)-East Washington South Central
     Cascade Valleys (Zone 676).

&&

$$





000
FXUS66 KOTX 032132
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
232 PM PDT MON AUG 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS....
The ongoing drought, combined with high heat and low humidity
will contribute to high fire danger throughout the Inland
Northwest. Cooler temperatures and windy conditions are
expected...especially Tuesday and Wednesday following the arrival
of a cold front. Another threat of showers and thunderstorms
arrives next weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Tonight through Tuesday: No significant changes to the fcst.
Winds will continue to strengthen into early evening as pressure
gradients strengthen...most notably near the Cascades (Wenatchee
region) and parts of the Palouse. Otherwise...a weak short- wave
trough over Oregon will move NE and keep the threat of very light
showers in the fcst for all areas outside of the Columbia Basin.
Pcpn amnts should be no more than a trace for most towns due to
unimpressive instability and a very dry sub-cloud layer below
10-15k ft. Once this wave exits tonight, a cold front will move
across the region and produce very gusty, but dry conditions
Tues.bz

Tuesday Night through Friday Morning: A Low pressure system will
begin continue to push into the region and shift the ridge of high
pressure further East. The drying of moisture associated this
system has decreased the chances of precip with this system. The
areas with the chance of rain are the extreme Northern Cascades
and Northern Idaho. With the decrease of the precip chances, the
chance of thunderstorms has become next to nonexistent. The main
concern during this period will be the afternoon winds. The
thermal gradient is expected to tighten with the incoming system.
The winds along the valleys in the Cascades are expected to have
sustained around 20 MPH with gust near 35 MPH. Temperatures are
expected to be near the normal with highs in the 80s. /JDC

Friday through Monday: After a dry start to the period, a couple
features move on the region. First low pressure lingering off the
CA coast is projected to make its way inland Friday and skim by
southeast WA and the lower ID Panhandle Friday night into Saturday
night. Secondly a trough currently near the Aleutians moves toward
the coast by Friday night and gradually makes its way inland
through early next week, with impulses rounding it having
opportunity to move across the Cascades and northern mountains, if
not the entire region. There is disagreement on the strength and
track of these impulses. Overall, however, this will lead to an
increased threat of showers and thunderstorms across the mountains
and potentially the valley/basin area. The risk will increase as
the weekend progresses into early next week. Confidence is lowest
around the valley/basin areas. Temperatures will warm into
Saturday ahead of the trough, lingering near to just slightly
above normal, before dipping again into early next week. We will
also have to watch for another increase in winds Saturday,
possibly combined with lower RH values, for more fire weather
concerns. /J. Cote`


&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAFS: Wildfire smoke will continue to reduce visibilities to
to around 5 miles at times for most TAF sites...especially KMWH
and the Spokane area sites into early afternoon. This is similar
to the last few days. Expect greater restrictions around the Lake
Chelan area...including the town of Chelan. A weak weather disturbance
passing through today and tonight will result in mainly mid and
high level clouds...with a few sprinkles possibly reaching the
surface.bz


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        66  87  59  81  57  78 /  10   0   0   0   0  10
Coeur d`Alene  62  87  57  82  55  79 /  10  10  10   0   0  10
Pullman        57  86  53  81  52  78 /  10  10  10   0   0   0
Lewiston       68  95  64  89  61  87 /  10  10  10   0   0  10
Colville       60  89  56  85  55  80 /  10  10  10  20  10  10
Sandpoint      57  85  50  80  49  76 /  10  10  10   0  10  10
Kellogg        58  86  54  81  53  76 /  20  10  10   0   0   0
Moses Lake     62  92  59  87  58  84 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Wenatchee      69  90  66  87  64  85 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Omak           62  92  57  87  57  84 /  10   0   0  10   0  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...Red Flag Warning until 9 PM PDT Wednesday for East Washington
     Central Cascade Valleys (Zone 677)-East Washington Northern
     Columbia Basin (Zone 673)-East Washington Palouse and
     Spokane Area (Zone 674)-East Washington South Central
     Cascade Valleys (Zone 676).

&&

$$





000
FXUS66 KOTX 032132
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
232 PM PDT MON AUG 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS....
The ongoing drought, combined with high heat and low humidity
will contribute to high fire danger throughout the Inland
Northwest. Cooler temperatures and windy conditions are
expected...especially Tuesday and Wednesday following the arrival
of a cold front. Another threat of showers and thunderstorms
arrives next weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Tonight through Tuesday: No significant changes to the fcst.
Winds will continue to strengthen into early evening as pressure
gradients strengthen...most notably near the Cascades (Wenatchee
region) and parts of the Palouse. Otherwise...a weak short- wave
trough over Oregon will move NE and keep the threat of very light
showers in the fcst for all areas outside of the Columbia Basin.
Pcpn amnts should be no more than a trace for most towns due to
unimpressive instability and a very dry sub-cloud layer below
10-15k ft. Once this wave exits tonight, a cold front will move
across the region and produce very gusty, but dry conditions
Tues.bz

Tuesday Night through Friday Morning: A Low pressure system will
begin continue to push into the region and shift the ridge of high
pressure further East. The drying of moisture associated this
system has decreased the chances of precip with this system. The
areas with the chance of rain are the extreme Northern Cascades
and Northern Idaho. With the decrease of the precip chances, the
chance of thunderstorms has become next to nonexistent. The main
concern during this period will be the afternoon winds. The
thermal gradient is expected to tighten with the incoming system.
The winds along the valleys in the Cascades are expected to have
sustained around 20 MPH with gust near 35 MPH. Temperatures are
expected to be near the normal with highs in the 80s. /JDC

Friday through Monday: After a dry start to the period, a couple
features move on the region. First low pressure lingering off the
CA coast is projected to make its way inland Friday and skim by
southeast WA and the lower ID Panhandle Friday night into Saturday
night. Secondly a trough currently near the Aleutians moves toward
the coast by Friday night and gradually makes its way inland
through early next week, with impulses rounding it having
opportunity to move across the Cascades and northern mountains, if
not the entire region. There is disagreement on the strength and
track of these impulses. Overall, however, this will lead to an
increased threat of showers and thunderstorms across the mountains
and potentially the valley/basin area. The risk will increase as
the weekend progresses into early next week. Confidence is lowest
around the valley/basin areas. Temperatures will warm into
Saturday ahead of the trough, lingering near to just slightly
above normal, before dipping again into early next week. We will
also have to watch for another increase in winds Saturday,
possibly combined with lower RH values, for more fire weather
concerns. /J. Cote`


&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAFS: Wildfire smoke will continue to reduce visibilities to
to around 5 miles at times for most TAF sites...especially KMWH
and the Spokane area sites into early afternoon. This is similar
to the last few days. Expect greater restrictions around the Lake
Chelan area...including the town of Chelan. A weak weather disturbance
passing through today and tonight will result in mainly mid and
high level clouds...with a few sprinkles possibly reaching the
surface.bz


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        66  87  59  81  57  78 /  10   0   0   0   0  10
Coeur d`Alene  62  87  57  82  55  79 /  10  10  10   0   0  10
Pullman        57  86  53  81  52  78 /  10  10  10   0   0   0
Lewiston       68  95  64  89  61  87 /  10  10  10   0   0  10
Colville       60  89  56  85  55  80 /  10  10  10  20  10  10
Sandpoint      57  85  50  80  49  76 /  10  10  10   0  10  10
Kellogg        58  86  54  81  53  76 /  20  10  10   0   0   0
Moses Lake     62  92  59  87  58  84 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Wenatchee      69  90  66  87  64  85 /  10   0   0   0   0   0
Omak           62  92  57  87  57  84 /  10   0   0  10   0  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...Red Flag Warning until 9 PM PDT Wednesday for East Washington
     Central Cascade Valleys (Zone 677)-East Washington Northern
     Columbia Basin (Zone 673)-East Washington Palouse and
     Spokane Area (Zone 674)-East Washington South Central
     Cascade Valleys (Zone 676).

&&

$$




000
FXUS66 KOTX 031746
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
1046 AM PDT MON AUG 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS....
The ongoing drought combined with high heat and low humidity will
contribute to high fire danger throughout the Inland Northwest.
Temperatures on Monday should be a few degrees cooler with an
increase in clouds. Cooler temperatures and locally breezy winds
are expected mainly Monday through Wednesday following the arrival
of a cold front. Another threat of showers and thunderstorms
arrives next weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Rest of today: No significant changes to the fcst. Winds will
become gusty this afternoon and evening as pressure gradients
strengthen...most notably near the Cascades (Wenatchee region)
and parts of the Palouse. Otherwise...a weak short- wave trough
over Oregon will move NE and keep the threat of very light showers
in the fcst for all areas outside of the Columbia Basin. Pcpn
amnts should be no more than a trace for most towns due to
unimpressive instability and a very dry sub-cloud layer below
10-15k ft.bz

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAFS: Wildfire smoke will continue to reduce visibilities to
to around 5 miles at times for most TAF sites...especially KMWH
and the Spokane area sites into early afternoon. This is similar
to the last few days. Expect greater restrictions around the Lake
Chelan area...including the town of Chelan. A weak weather disturbance
passing through today and tonight will result in mainly mid and
high level clouds...with a few sprinkles possibly reaching the
surface.bz

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        93  66  87  59  82  57 /   0  10  10  10  10  10
Coeur d`Alene  93  62  87  57  82  54 /   0  10  10  10  10  10
Pullman        91  57  86  54  82  52 /   0  10  10  10   0   0
Lewiston       97  68  95  63  90  61 /  10  10  10  10  10  10
Colville       97  60  89  56  86  54 /  10  10  10  10  10  10
Sandpoint      90  57  85  51  80  49 /   0  10  10  10  10  10
Kellogg        95  58  86  54  81  52 /   0  20  20  10  10  10
Moses Lake     95  62  92  59  88  58 /  10  10   0   0   0   0
Wenatchee      94  69  90  66  88  64 /  10  10   0   0   0   0
Omak           96  62  92  58  88  57 /  10  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...Red Flag Warning until 9 PM PDT Tuesday for East Washington
     Central Cascade Valleys (Zone 677)-East Washington Northern
     Columbia Basin (Zone 673)-East Washington South Central
     Cascade Valleys (Zone 676).

&&

$$






000
FXUS66 KOTX 031746
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
1046 AM PDT MON AUG 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS....
The ongoing drought combined with high heat and low humidity will
contribute to high fire danger throughout the Inland Northwest.
Temperatures on Monday should be a few degrees cooler with an
increase in clouds. Cooler temperatures and locally breezy winds
are expected mainly Monday through Wednesday following the arrival
of a cold front. Another threat of showers and thunderstorms
arrives next weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Rest of today: No significant changes to the fcst. Winds will
become gusty this afternoon and evening as pressure gradients
strengthen...most notably near the Cascades (Wenatchee region)
and parts of the Palouse. Otherwise...a weak short- wave trough
over Oregon will move NE and keep the threat of very light showers
in the fcst for all areas outside of the Columbia Basin. Pcpn
amnts should be no more than a trace for most towns due to
unimpressive instability and a very dry sub-cloud layer below
10-15k ft.bz

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAFS: Wildfire smoke will continue to reduce visibilities to
to around 5 miles at times for most TAF sites...especially KMWH
and the Spokane area sites into early afternoon. This is similar
to the last few days. Expect greater restrictions around the Lake
Chelan area...including the town of Chelan. A weak weather disturbance
passing through today and tonight will result in mainly mid and
high level clouds...with a few sprinkles possibly reaching the
surface.bz

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        93  66  87  59  82  57 /   0  10  10  10  10  10
Coeur d`Alene  93  62  87  57  82  54 /   0  10  10  10  10  10
Pullman        91  57  86  54  82  52 /   0  10  10  10   0   0
Lewiston       97  68  95  63  90  61 /  10  10  10  10  10  10
Colville       97  60  89  56  86  54 /  10  10  10  10  10  10
Sandpoint      90  57  85  51  80  49 /   0  10  10  10  10  10
Kellogg        95  58  86  54  81  52 /   0  20  20  10  10  10
Moses Lake     95  62  92  59  88  58 /  10  10   0   0   0   0
Wenatchee      94  69  90  66  88  64 /  10  10   0   0   0   0
Omak           96  62  92  58  88  57 /  10  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...Red Flag Warning until 9 PM PDT Tuesday for East Washington
     Central Cascade Valleys (Zone 677)-East Washington Northern
     Columbia Basin (Zone 673)-East Washington South Central
     Cascade Valleys (Zone 676).

&&

$$





000
FXUS66 KOTX 031345
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
645 AM PDT MON AUG 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS....
The ongoing drought combined with high heat and low humidity will
contribute to high fire danger throughout the Inland Northwest.
Temperatures on Monday should be a few degrees cooler with an
increase in clouds. Cooler temperatures and locally breezy winds
are expected mainly Monday through Wednesday following the arrival
of a cold front. Another threat of showers and thunderstorms
arrives next weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
A quick update this morning to upgrade the Fire Weather Watch to a
Red Flag Warning. Winds are expected to be breezy on the
Waterville Plateau and out into southwestern portion of Grant
County, so these locations have also been included in the Warning.
Strongest winds are expected during the late afternoon and evening
hours. Similar conditions can be expected Tuesday afternoon as
well. /SVH

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAFS: Wildfire smoke will continue to reduce visibilities to
between 3-9 miles over much of the region...with greater
restrictions around Chelan. A weak weather disturbance passing
through today and tonight will result in mainly mid and high level
clouds...with a few sprinkles possibly reaching the surface. /SVH



&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        93  66  87  59  82  57 /   0  10  10  10  10  10
Coeur d`Alene  94  62  87  57  82  54 /   0  10  10  10  10  10
Pullman        92  57  86  54  82  52 /   0  10  10  10   0   0
Lewiston       97  68  95  63  90  61 /  10  10  10  10  10  10
Colville       97  60  89  56  86  54 /  10  10  10  10  10  10
Sandpoint      90  57  85  51  80  49 /   0  10  10  10  10  10
Kellogg        95  58  86  54  81  52 /   0  20  20  10  10  10
Moses Lake     97  62  92  59  88  58 /  10  10   0   0   0   0
Wenatchee      94  69  90  66  88  64 /  10  10   0   0   0   0
Omak           96  62  92  58  88  57 /  10  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...Red Flag Warning from Noon today to 9 PM PDT Tuesday for East
     Washington Central Cascade Valleys (Zone 677)-East
     Washington Northern Columbia Basin (Zone 673)-East
     Washington South Central Cascade Valleys (Zone 676).

&&

$$




000
FXUS66 KOTX 031345
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
645 AM PDT MON AUG 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS....
The ongoing drought combined with high heat and low humidity will
contribute to high fire danger throughout the Inland Northwest.
Temperatures on Monday should be a few degrees cooler with an
increase in clouds. Cooler temperatures and locally breezy winds
are expected mainly Monday through Wednesday following the arrival
of a cold front. Another threat of showers and thunderstorms
arrives next weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
A quick update this morning to upgrade the Fire Weather Watch to a
Red Flag Warning. Winds are expected to be breezy on the
Waterville Plateau and out into southwestern portion of Grant
County, so these locations have also been included in the Warning.
Strongest winds are expected during the late afternoon and evening
hours. Similar conditions can be expected Tuesday afternoon as
well. /SVH

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAFS: Wildfire smoke will continue to reduce visibilities to
between 3-9 miles over much of the region...with greater
restrictions around Chelan. A weak weather disturbance passing
through today and tonight will result in mainly mid and high level
clouds...with a few sprinkles possibly reaching the surface. /SVH



&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        93  66  87  59  82  57 /   0  10  10  10  10  10
Coeur d`Alene  94  62  87  57  82  54 /   0  10  10  10  10  10
Pullman        92  57  86  54  82  52 /   0  10  10  10   0   0
Lewiston       97  68  95  63  90  61 /  10  10  10  10  10  10
Colville       97  60  89  56  86  54 /  10  10  10  10  10  10
Sandpoint      90  57  85  51  80  49 /   0  10  10  10  10  10
Kellogg        95  58  86  54  81  52 /   0  20  20  10  10  10
Moses Lake     97  62  92  59  88  58 /  10  10   0   0   0   0
Wenatchee      94  69  90  66  88  64 /  10  10   0   0   0   0
Omak           96  62  92  58  88  57 /  10  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...Red Flag Warning from Noon today to 9 PM PDT Tuesday for East
     Washington Central Cascade Valleys (Zone 677)-East
     Washington Northern Columbia Basin (Zone 673)-East
     Washington South Central Cascade Valleys (Zone 676).

&&

$$





000
FXUS66 KOTX 031142
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
442 AM PDT MON AUG 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS....
The ongoing drought combined with high heat and low humidity will
contribute to high fire danger throughout the Inland Northwest.
Temperatures on Monday should be a few degrees cooler with an
increase in clouds. Cooler temperatures and locally breezy winds
are expected mainly Monday through Wednesday following the arrival
of a cold front. Another threat of showers and thunderstorms
arrives next weekend.


&&

.DISCUSSION...
Today and Tonight: An upper level ridge of high pressure across
the Rockies will keep the region under southerly flow through tonight.
Water vapor satellite imagery shows a shortwave disturbance
pushing across northern CA and into OR. Moisture at mid levels
will increase out ahead of this wave, but models do not show much
cooling taking place aloft to result in any substantial steepening
of the mid level lapse rates. The weak instability is resulting in
shallow convection with not enough charge separation to generate
lightning. This trend will continue as the disturbance pushes
north through this morning and into the afternoon. Thunderstorms
were removed from the forecast for the most part. The only
exception is over the higher mountain peaks in ID near the border
of MT. All other areas are expected to see plenty of mid and high
level cloud cover with passing very light showers or sprinkles.

Winds will also increase through the Cascade gaps today. Low
levels remain very dry and this will not change even with the
increasing moisture at mid levels. Although temperatures will be
cooler today compared to over the weekend, relative humidity will
be at critical levels with rapid fire spread possible as the winds
increase. The Fire Weather Watch for the central and northern
Cascade valleys remains valid, which covers both Monday and
Tuesday afternoons.

Tuesday: The upper level low pressure system currently spinning
over northwest BC early this morning will drop into central BC. A
cold front will also sweep across eastern WA and is denoted by the
darkening on the water vapor imagery northwest of Vancouver
Island. The darkening on water vapor is indicative of more dry air
approaching the region behind the front. This dry air will likely
keep much of the region free of showers. Best chances will be
near the Canadian border. Winds will continue to be breezy through
the Cascade gaps on Tuesday as well. /SVH

Tuesday night through Monday...The models are showing some differences
out towards the end of the run. But mostly they are in very good
agreement showing an upper level low moving through southern B.C.
Tuesday through Thursday. Then another low pressure system looks
to move into B.C. again Saturday and Sunday.

Tuesday night through Thursday...The upper level low will track
through the region. Lingering moisture and weak instability will
combine with up-sloping flow for a low end chance of showers and
thunderstorms Tuesday evening. Behind the front much drier air
will move into the region. This will put a cap on any additional
convection and all the chances for showers were taken out of the
forecast. A second wave will move through the low Wednesday night
and Thursday. Again this wave will be moisture starved and models
are showing little if any instability south of the Canadian
border. As such pops were lowered and any chance for thunderstorms
were taken out as well.

There is much better confidence in temperatures cooling off into
the low to mid 80s on Wednesday and upper 70s to low 80s on
Thursday. This may be as much as 10 degrees below normal on
Thursday. Southwest winds will be on the increase as the surface
gradient across the Cascades tightens up. Winds speeds of 10-20
mph with gusts 20-25 mph will be coming through the Cascade gaps
and likely on to the Waterville Plateau and into the deep Basin.
As mentioned earlier much drier air is progged to move in behind
the front dropping relative humidity down into the teen to lower
20s. This combination will be a good set up for fire weather
concerns Wednesday afternoon.

Thursday night through early Saturday a transient ridge of high
pressure will track through the region resulting in a short lived
warm up with another round of low relative humidity.

Saturday night through Monday...the models begin to break down on
the timing of the next upper level low. The GFS/Canadian model
bring the low through the quickest as an open wave which would
give the northern zones another glancing blow of showers and
possibly thunderstorms. The ECMWF is much slower, deeper and
further south. This pattern would be much wetter and cooler for
the region and is a perfect set up for thunderstorms. Consensus is
to lean in direction of the faster moving system. This would
result in isolated to scattered showers near the mountains. And
continued warm and dry for the remainder of the forecast area.
Tobin


&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAFS: Wildfire smoke will continue to reduce visibilities to
between 3-9 miles over much of the region...with greater
restrictions around Chelan. A weak weather disturbance passing
through today and tonight will result in mainly mid and high level
clouds...with a few sprinkles possibly reaching the surface. /SVH


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        93  66  87  59  82  57 /   0  10  10  10  10  10
Coeur d`Alene  94  62  87  57  82  54 /   0  10  10  10  10  10
Pullman        92  57  86  54  82  52 /   0  10  10  10   0   0
Lewiston       97  68  95  63  90  61 /  10  10  10  10  10  10
Colville       97  60  89  56  86  54 /  10  10  10  10  10  10
Sandpoint      90  57  85  51  80  49 /   0  10  10  10  10  10
Kellogg        95  58  86  54  81  52 /   0  20  20  10  10  10
Moses Lake     97  62  92  59  88  58 /  10  10   0   0   0   0
Wenatchee      94  69  90  66  88  64 /  10  10   0   0   0   0
Omak           96  62  92  58  88  57 /  10  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...FIRE Weather Watch from Noon PDT today through Tuesday evening
     for East Washington Central Cascade Valleys (Zone 677)-East
     Washington South Central Cascade Valleys (Zone 676).

&&

$$




000
FXUS66 KOTX 031142
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
442 AM PDT MON AUG 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS....
The ongoing drought combined with high heat and low humidity will
contribute to high fire danger throughout the Inland Northwest.
Temperatures on Monday should be a few degrees cooler with an
increase in clouds. Cooler temperatures and locally breezy winds
are expected mainly Monday through Wednesday following the arrival
of a cold front. Another threat of showers and thunderstorms
arrives next weekend.


&&

.DISCUSSION...
Today and Tonight: An upper level ridge of high pressure across
the Rockies will keep the region under southerly flow through tonight.
Water vapor satellite imagery shows a shortwave disturbance
pushing across northern CA and into OR. Moisture at mid levels
will increase out ahead of this wave, but models do not show much
cooling taking place aloft to result in any substantial steepening
of the mid level lapse rates. The weak instability is resulting in
shallow convection with not enough charge separation to generate
lightning. This trend will continue as the disturbance pushes
north through this morning and into the afternoon. Thunderstorms
were removed from the forecast for the most part. The only
exception is over the higher mountain peaks in ID near the border
of MT. All other areas are expected to see plenty of mid and high
level cloud cover with passing very light showers or sprinkles.

Winds will also increase through the Cascade gaps today. Low
levels remain very dry and this will not change even with the
increasing moisture at mid levels. Although temperatures will be
cooler today compared to over the weekend, relative humidity will
be at critical levels with rapid fire spread possible as the winds
increase. The Fire Weather Watch for the central and northern
Cascade valleys remains valid, which covers both Monday and
Tuesday afternoons.

Tuesday: The upper level low pressure system currently spinning
over northwest BC early this morning will drop into central BC. A
cold front will also sweep across eastern WA and is denoted by the
darkening on the water vapor imagery northwest of Vancouver
Island. The darkening on water vapor is indicative of more dry air
approaching the region behind the front. This dry air will likely
keep much of the region free of showers. Best chances will be
near the Canadian border. Winds will continue to be breezy through
the Cascade gaps on Tuesday as well. /SVH

Tuesday night through Monday...The models are showing some differences
out towards the end of the run. But mostly they are in very good
agreement showing an upper level low moving through southern B.C.
Tuesday through Thursday. Then another low pressure system looks
to move into B.C. again Saturday and Sunday.

Tuesday night through Thursday...The upper level low will track
through the region. Lingering moisture and weak instability will
combine with up-sloping flow for a low end chance of showers and
thunderstorms Tuesday evening. Behind the front much drier air
will move into the region. This will put a cap on any additional
convection and all the chances for showers were taken out of the
forecast. A second wave will move through the low Wednesday night
and Thursday. Again this wave will be moisture starved and models
are showing little if any instability south of the Canadian
border. As such pops were lowered and any chance for thunderstorms
were taken out as well.

There is much better confidence in temperatures cooling off into
the low to mid 80s on Wednesday and upper 70s to low 80s on
Thursday. This may be as much as 10 degrees below normal on
Thursday. Southwest winds will be on the increase as the surface
gradient across the Cascades tightens up. Winds speeds of 10-20
mph with gusts 20-25 mph will be coming through the Cascade gaps
and likely on to the Waterville Plateau and into the deep Basin.
As mentioned earlier much drier air is progged to move in behind
the front dropping relative humidity down into the teen to lower
20s. This combination will be a good set up for fire weather
concerns Wednesday afternoon.

Thursday night through early Saturday a transient ridge of high
pressure will track through the region resulting in a short lived
warm up with another round of low relative humidity.

Saturday night through Monday...the models begin to break down on
the timing of the next upper level low. The GFS/Canadian model
bring the low through the quickest as an open wave which would
give the northern zones another glancing blow of showers and
possibly thunderstorms. The ECMWF is much slower, deeper and
further south. This pattern would be much wetter and cooler for
the region and is a perfect set up for thunderstorms. Consensus is
to lean in direction of the faster moving system. This would
result in isolated to scattered showers near the mountains. And
continued warm and dry for the remainder of the forecast area.
Tobin


&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAFS: Wildfire smoke will continue to reduce visibilities to
between 3-9 miles over much of the region...with greater
restrictions around Chelan. A weak weather disturbance passing
through today and tonight will result in mainly mid and high level
clouds...with a few sprinkles possibly reaching the surface. /SVH


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        93  66  87  59  82  57 /   0  10  10  10  10  10
Coeur d`Alene  94  62  87  57  82  54 /   0  10  10  10  10  10
Pullman        92  57  86  54  82  52 /   0  10  10  10   0   0
Lewiston       97  68  95  63  90  61 /  10  10  10  10  10  10
Colville       97  60  89  56  86  54 /  10  10  10  10  10  10
Sandpoint      90  57  85  51  80  49 /   0  10  10  10  10  10
Kellogg        95  58  86  54  81  52 /   0  20  20  10  10  10
Moses Lake     97  62  92  59  88  58 /  10  10   0   0   0   0
Wenatchee      94  69  90  66  88  64 /  10  10   0   0   0   0
Omak           96  62  92  58  88  57 /  10  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...FIRE Weather Watch from Noon PDT today through Tuesday evening
     for East Washington Central Cascade Valleys (Zone 677)-East
     Washington South Central Cascade Valleys (Zone 676).

&&

$$





000
FXUS66 KOTX 031142
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
442 AM PDT MON AUG 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS....
The ongoing drought combined with high heat and low humidity will
contribute to high fire danger throughout the Inland Northwest.
Temperatures on Monday should be a few degrees cooler with an
increase in clouds. Cooler temperatures and locally breezy winds
are expected mainly Monday through Wednesday following the arrival
of a cold front. Another threat of showers and thunderstorms
arrives next weekend.


&&

.DISCUSSION...
Today and Tonight: An upper level ridge of high pressure across
the Rockies will keep the region under southerly flow through tonight.
Water vapor satellite imagery shows a shortwave disturbance
pushing across northern CA and into OR. Moisture at mid levels
will increase out ahead of this wave, but models do not show much
cooling taking place aloft to result in any substantial steepening
of the mid level lapse rates. The weak instability is resulting in
shallow convection with not enough charge separation to generate
lightning. This trend will continue as the disturbance pushes
north through this morning and into the afternoon. Thunderstorms
were removed from the forecast for the most part. The only
exception is over the higher mountain peaks in ID near the border
of MT. All other areas are expected to see plenty of mid and high
level cloud cover with passing very light showers or sprinkles.

Winds will also increase through the Cascade gaps today. Low
levels remain very dry and this will not change even with the
increasing moisture at mid levels. Although temperatures will be
cooler today compared to over the weekend, relative humidity will
be at critical levels with rapid fire spread possible as the winds
increase. The Fire Weather Watch for the central and northern
Cascade valleys remains valid, which covers both Monday and
Tuesday afternoons.

Tuesday: The upper level low pressure system currently spinning
over northwest BC early this morning will drop into central BC. A
cold front will also sweep across eastern WA and is denoted by the
darkening on the water vapor imagery northwest of Vancouver
Island. The darkening on water vapor is indicative of more dry air
approaching the region behind the front. This dry air will likely
keep much of the region free of showers. Best chances will be
near the Canadian border. Winds will continue to be breezy through
the Cascade gaps on Tuesday as well. /SVH

Tuesday night through Monday...The models are showing some differences
out towards the end of the run. But mostly they are in very good
agreement showing an upper level low moving through southern B.C.
Tuesday through Thursday. Then another low pressure system looks
to move into B.C. again Saturday and Sunday.

Tuesday night through Thursday...The upper level low will track
through the region. Lingering moisture and weak instability will
combine with up-sloping flow for a low end chance of showers and
thunderstorms Tuesday evening. Behind the front much drier air
will move into the region. This will put a cap on any additional
convection and all the chances for showers were taken out of the
forecast. A second wave will move through the low Wednesday night
and Thursday. Again this wave will be moisture starved and models
are showing little if any instability south of the Canadian
border. As such pops were lowered and any chance for thunderstorms
were taken out as well.

There is much better confidence in temperatures cooling off into
the low to mid 80s on Wednesday and upper 70s to low 80s on
Thursday. This may be as much as 10 degrees below normal on
Thursday. Southwest winds will be on the increase as the surface
gradient across the Cascades tightens up. Winds speeds of 10-20
mph with gusts 20-25 mph will be coming through the Cascade gaps
and likely on to the Waterville Plateau and into the deep Basin.
As mentioned earlier much drier air is progged to move in behind
the front dropping relative humidity down into the teen to lower
20s. This combination will be a good set up for fire weather
concerns Wednesday afternoon.

Thursday night through early Saturday a transient ridge of high
pressure will track through the region resulting in a short lived
warm up with another round of low relative humidity.

Saturday night through Monday...the models begin to break down on
the timing of the next upper level low. The GFS/Canadian model
bring the low through the quickest as an open wave which would
give the northern zones another glancing blow of showers and
possibly thunderstorms. The ECMWF is much slower, deeper and
further south. This pattern would be much wetter and cooler for
the region and is a perfect set up for thunderstorms. Consensus is
to lean in direction of the faster moving system. This would
result in isolated to scattered showers near the mountains. And
continued warm and dry for the remainder of the forecast area.
Tobin


&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAFS: Wildfire smoke will continue to reduce visibilities to
between 3-9 miles over much of the region...with greater
restrictions around Chelan. A weak weather disturbance passing
through today and tonight will result in mainly mid and high level
clouds...with a few sprinkles possibly reaching the surface. /SVH


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        93  66  87  59  82  57 /   0  10  10  10  10  10
Coeur d`Alene  94  62  87  57  82  54 /   0  10  10  10  10  10
Pullman        92  57  86  54  82  52 /   0  10  10  10   0   0
Lewiston       97  68  95  63  90  61 /  10  10  10  10  10  10
Colville       97  60  89  56  86  54 /  10  10  10  10  10  10
Sandpoint      90  57  85  51  80  49 /   0  10  10  10  10  10
Kellogg        95  58  86  54  81  52 /   0  20  20  10  10  10
Moses Lake     97  62  92  59  88  58 /  10  10   0   0   0   0
Wenatchee      94  69  90  66  88  64 /  10  10   0   0   0   0
Omak           96  62  92  58  88  57 /  10  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...FIRE Weather Watch from Noon PDT today through Tuesday evening
     for East Washington Central Cascade Valleys (Zone 677)-East
     Washington South Central Cascade Valleys (Zone 676).

&&

$$





000
FXUS66 KOTX 031142
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
442 AM PDT MON AUG 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS....
The ongoing drought combined with high heat and low humidity will
contribute to high fire danger throughout the Inland Northwest.
Temperatures on Monday should be a few degrees cooler with an
increase in clouds. Cooler temperatures and locally breezy winds
are expected mainly Monday through Wednesday following the arrival
of a cold front. Another threat of showers and thunderstorms
arrives next weekend.


&&

.DISCUSSION...
Today and Tonight: An upper level ridge of high pressure across
the Rockies will keep the region under southerly flow through tonight.
Water vapor satellite imagery shows a shortwave disturbance
pushing across northern CA and into OR. Moisture at mid levels
will increase out ahead of this wave, but models do not show much
cooling taking place aloft to result in any substantial steepening
of the mid level lapse rates. The weak instability is resulting in
shallow convection with not enough charge separation to generate
lightning. This trend will continue as the disturbance pushes
north through this morning and into the afternoon. Thunderstorms
were removed from the forecast for the most part. The only
exception is over the higher mountain peaks in ID near the border
of MT. All other areas are expected to see plenty of mid and high
level cloud cover with passing very light showers or sprinkles.

Winds will also increase through the Cascade gaps today. Low
levels remain very dry and this will not change even with the
increasing moisture at mid levels. Although temperatures will be
cooler today compared to over the weekend, relative humidity will
be at critical levels with rapid fire spread possible as the winds
increase. The Fire Weather Watch for the central and northern
Cascade valleys remains valid, which covers both Monday and
Tuesday afternoons.

Tuesday: The upper level low pressure system currently spinning
over northwest BC early this morning will drop into central BC. A
cold front will also sweep across eastern WA and is denoted by the
darkening on the water vapor imagery northwest of Vancouver
Island. The darkening on water vapor is indicative of more dry air
approaching the region behind the front. This dry air will likely
keep much of the region free of showers. Best chances will be
near the Canadian border. Winds will continue to be breezy through
the Cascade gaps on Tuesday as well. /SVH

Tuesday night through Monday...The models are showing some differences
out towards the end of the run. But mostly they are in very good
agreement showing an upper level low moving through southern B.C.
Tuesday through Thursday. Then another low pressure system looks
to move into B.C. again Saturday and Sunday.

Tuesday night through Thursday...The upper level low will track
through the region. Lingering moisture and weak instability will
combine with up-sloping flow for a low end chance of showers and
thunderstorms Tuesday evening. Behind the front much drier air
will move into the region. This will put a cap on any additional
convection and all the chances for showers were taken out of the
forecast. A second wave will move through the low Wednesday night
and Thursday. Again this wave will be moisture starved and models
are showing little if any instability south of the Canadian
border. As such pops were lowered and any chance for thunderstorms
were taken out as well.

There is much better confidence in temperatures cooling off into
the low to mid 80s on Wednesday and upper 70s to low 80s on
Thursday. This may be as much as 10 degrees below normal on
Thursday. Southwest winds will be on the increase as the surface
gradient across the Cascades tightens up. Winds speeds of 10-20
mph with gusts 20-25 mph will be coming through the Cascade gaps
and likely on to the Waterville Plateau and into the deep Basin.
As mentioned earlier much drier air is progged to move in behind
the front dropping relative humidity down into the teen to lower
20s. This combination will be a good set up for fire weather
concerns Wednesday afternoon.

Thursday night through early Saturday a transient ridge of high
pressure will track through the region resulting in a short lived
warm up with another round of low relative humidity.

Saturday night through Monday...the models begin to break down on
the timing of the next upper level low. The GFS/Canadian model
bring the low through the quickest as an open wave which would
give the northern zones another glancing blow of showers and
possibly thunderstorms. The ECMWF is much slower, deeper and
further south. This pattern would be much wetter and cooler for
the region and is a perfect set up for thunderstorms. Consensus is
to lean in direction of the faster moving system. This would
result in isolated to scattered showers near the mountains. And
continued warm and dry for the remainder of the forecast area.
Tobin


&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAFS: Wildfire smoke will continue to reduce visibilities to
between 3-9 miles over much of the region...with greater
restrictions around Chelan. A weak weather disturbance passing
through today and tonight will result in mainly mid and high level
clouds...with a few sprinkles possibly reaching the surface. /SVH


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        93  66  87  59  82  57 /   0  10  10  10  10  10
Coeur d`Alene  94  62  87  57  82  54 /   0  10  10  10  10  10
Pullman        92  57  86  54  82  52 /   0  10  10  10   0   0
Lewiston       97  68  95  63  90  61 /  10  10  10  10  10  10
Colville       97  60  89  56  86  54 /  10  10  10  10  10  10
Sandpoint      90  57  85  51  80  49 /   0  10  10  10  10  10
Kellogg        95  58  86  54  81  52 /   0  20  20  10  10  10
Moses Lake     97  62  92  59  88  58 /  10  10   0   0   0   0
Wenatchee      94  69  90  66  88  64 /  10  10   0   0   0   0
Omak           96  62  92  58  88  57 /  10  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...FIRE Weather Watch from Noon PDT today through Tuesday evening
     for East Washington Central Cascade Valleys (Zone 677)-East
     Washington South Central Cascade Valleys (Zone 676).

&&

$$




000
FXUS66 KOTX 030950
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
250 AM PDT MON AUG 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS....
The ongoing drought combined with high heat and low humidity will
contribute to high fire danger throughout the Inland Northwest.
Temperatures on Monday should be a few degrees cooler with an
increase in clouds. Cooler temperatures and locally breezy winds
are expected mainly Monday through Wednesday following the arrival
of a cold front. Another threat of showers and thunderstorms
arrives next weekend.


&&

.DISCUSSION...
Today and Tonight: An upper level ridge of high pressure across
the Rockies will keep the region under southerly flow through tonight.
Water vapor satellite imagery shows a shortwave disturbance
pushing across northern CA and into OR. Moisture at mid levels
will increase out ahead of this wave, but models do not show much
cooling taking place aloft to result in any substantial steepening
of the mid level lapse rates. The weak instability is resulting in
shallow convection with not enough charge separation to generate
lightning. This trend will continue as the disturbance pushes
north through this morning and into the afternoon. Thunderstorms
were removed from the forecast for the most part. The only
exception is over the higher mountain peaks in ID near the border
of MT. All other areas are expected to see plenty of mid and high
level cloud cover with passing very light showers or sprinkles.

Winds will also increase through the Cascade gaps today. Low
levels remain very dry and this will not change even with the
increasing moisture at mid levels. Although temperatures will be
cooler today compared to over the weekend, relative humidity will
be at critical levels with rapid fire spread possible as the winds
increase. The Fire Weather Watch for the central and northern
Cascade valleys remains valid, which covers both Monday and
Tuesday afternoons.

Tuesday: The upper level low pressure system currently spinning
over northwest BC early this morning will drop into central BC. A
cold front will also sweep across eastern WA and is denoted by the
darkening on the water vapor imagery northwest of Vancouver
Island. The darkening on water vapor is indicative of more dry air
approaching the region behind the front. This dry air will likely
keep much of the region free of showers. Best chances will be
near the Canadian border. Winds will continue to be breezy through
the Cascade gaps on Tuesday as well. /SVH

Tuesday night through Monday...The models are showing some differences
out towards the end of the run. But mostly they are in very good
agreement showing an upper level low moving through southern B.C.
Tuesday through Thursday. Then another low pressure system looks
to move into B.C. again Saturday and Sunday.

Tuesday night through Thursday...The upper level low will track
through the region. Lingering moisture and weak instability will
combine with up-sloping flow for a low end chance of showers and
thunderstorms Tuesday evening. Behind the front much drier air
will move into the region. This will put a cap on any additional
convection and all the chances for showers were taken out of the
forecast. A second wave will move through the low Wednesday night
and Thursday. Again this wave will be moisture starved and models
are showing little if any instability south of the Canadian
border. As such pops were lowered and any chance for thunderstorms
were taken out as well.

There is much better confidence in temperatures cooling off into
the low to mid 80s on Wednesday and upper 70s to low 80s on
Thursday. This may be as much as 10 degrees below normal on
Thursday. Southwest winds will be on the increase as the surface
gradient across the Cascades tightens up. Winds speeds of 10-20
mph with gusts 20-25 mph will be coming through the Cascade gaps
and likely on to the Waterville Plateau and into the deep Basin.
As mentioned earlier much drier air is progged to move in behind
the front dropping relative humidity down into the teen to lower
20s. This combination will be a good set up for fire weather
concerns Wednesday afternoon.

Thursday night through early Saturday a transient ridge of high
pressure will track through the region resulting in a short lived
warm up with another round of low relative humidity.

Saturday night through Monday...the models begin to break down on
the timing of the next upper level low. The GFS/Canadian model
bring the low through the quickest as an open wave which would
give the northern zones another glancing blow of showers and
possibly thunderstorms. The ECMWF is much slower, deeper and
further south. This pattern would be much wetter and cooler for
the region and is a perfect set up for thunderstorms. Consensus is
to lean in direction of the faster moving system. This would
result in isolated to scattered showers near the mountains. And
continued warm and dry for the remainder of the forecast area.
Tobin



&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAFS: Wildfire smoke will continue to reduce visibilities to
between 3-9 miles over much of the region...with greater
restrictions around Chelan. A weak weather disturbance passing
through tomorrow will result in mainly mid and high level
clouds...with a few sprinkles possibly reaching the surface.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        93  66  87  59  82  57 /   0  10  10  10  10  10
Coeur d`Alene  94  62  87  57  82  54 /   0  10  10  10  10  10
Pullman        92  57  86  54  82  52 /   0  10  10  10   0   0
Lewiston       97  68  95  63  90  61 /  10  10  10  10  10  10
Colville       97  60  89  56  86  54 /  10  10  10  10  10  10
Sandpoint      90  57  85  51  80  49 /   0  10  10  10  10  10
Kellogg        95  58  86  54  81  52 /   0  20  20  10  10  10
Moses Lake     97  62  92  59  88  58 /  10  10   0   0   0   0
Wenatchee      94  69  90  66  88  64 /  10  10   0   0   0   0
Omak           96  62  92  58  88  57 /  10  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...FIRE Weather Watch from Noon PDT today through Tuesday evening
     for East Washington Central Cascade Valleys (Zone 677)-East
     Washington South Central Cascade Valleys (Zone 676).

&&

$$




000
FXUS66 KOTX 030950
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
250 AM PDT MON AUG 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS....
The ongoing drought combined with high heat and low humidity will
contribute to high fire danger throughout the Inland Northwest.
Temperatures on Monday should be a few degrees cooler with an
increase in clouds. Cooler temperatures and locally breezy winds
are expected mainly Monday through Wednesday following the arrival
of a cold front. Another threat of showers and thunderstorms
arrives next weekend.


&&

.DISCUSSION...
Today and Tonight: An upper level ridge of high pressure across
the Rockies will keep the region under southerly flow through tonight.
Water vapor satellite imagery shows a shortwave disturbance
pushing across northern CA and into OR. Moisture at mid levels
will increase out ahead of this wave, but models do not show much
cooling taking place aloft to result in any substantial steepening
of the mid level lapse rates. The weak instability is resulting in
shallow convection with not enough charge separation to generate
lightning. This trend will continue as the disturbance pushes
north through this morning and into the afternoon. Thunderstorms
were removed from the forecast for the most part. The only
exception is over the higher mountain peaks in ID near the border
of MT. All other areas are expected to see plenty of mid and high
level cloud cover with passing very light showers or sprinkles.

Winds will also increase through the Cascade gaps today. Low
levels remain very dry and this will not change even with the
increasing moisture at mid levels. Although temperatures will be
cooler today compared to over the weekend, relative humidity will
be at critical levels with rapid fire spread possible as the winds
increase. The Fire Weather Watch for the central and northern
Cascade valleys remains valid, which covers both Monday and
Tuesday afternoons.

Tuesday: The upper level low pressure system currently spinning
over northwest BC early this morning will drop into central BC. A
cold front will also sweep across eastern WA and is denoted by the
darkening on the water vapor imagery northwest of Vancouver
Island. The darkening on water vapor is indicative of more dry air
approaching the region behind the front. This dry air will likely
keep much of the region free of showers. Best chances will be
near the Canadian border. Winds will continue to be breezy through
the Cascade gaps on Tuesday as well. /SVH

Tuesday night through Monday...The models are showing some differences
out towards the end of the run. But mostly they are in very good
agreement showing an upper level low moving through southern B.C.
Tuesday through Thursday. Then another low pressure system looks
to move into B.C. again Saturday and Sunday.

Tuesday night through Thursday...The upper level low will track
through the region. Lingering moisture and weak instability will
combine with up-sloping flow for a low end chance of showers and
thunderstorms Tuesday evening. Behind the front much drier air
will move into the region. This will put a cap on any additional
convection and all the chances for showers were taken out of the
forecast. A second wave will move through the low Wednesday night
and Thursday. Again this wave will be moisture starved and models
are showing little if any instability south of the Canadian
border. As such pops were lowered and any chance for thunderstorms
were taken out as well.

There is much better confidence in temperatures cooling off into
the low to mid 80s on Wednesday and upper 70s to low 80s on
Thursday. This may be as much as 10 degrees below normal on
Thursday. Southwest winds will be on the increase as the surface
gradient across the Cascades tightens up. Winds speeds of 10-20
mph with gusts 20-25 mph will be coming through the Cascade gaps
and likely on to the Waterville Plateau and into the deep Basin.
As mentioned earlier much drier air is progged to move in behind
the front dropping relative humidity down into the teen to lower
20s. This combination will be a good set up for fire weather
concerns Wednesday afternoon.

Thursday night through early Saturday a transient ridge of high
pressure will track through the region resulting in a short lived
warm up with another round of low relative humidity.

Saturday night through Monday...the models begin to break down on
the timing of the next upper level low. The GFS/Canadian model
bring the low through the quickest as an open wave which would
give the northern zones another glancing blow of showers and
possibly thunderstorms. The ECMWF is much slower, deeper and
further south. This pattern would be much wetter and cooler for
the region and is a perfect set up for thunderstorms. Consensus is
to lean in direction of the faster moving system. This would
result in isolated to scattered showers near the mountains. And
continued warm and dry for the remainder of the forecast area.
Tobin



&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAFS: Wildfire smoke will continue to reduce visibilities to
between 3-9 miles over much of the region...with greater
restrictions around Chelan. A weak weather disturbance passing
through tomorrow will result in mainly mid and high level
clouds...with a few sprinkles possibly reaching the surface.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        93  66  87  59  82  57 /   0  10  10  10  10  10
Coeur d`Alene  94  62  87  57  82  54 /   0  10  10  10  10  10
Pullman        92  57  86  54  82  52 /   0  10  10  10   0   0
Lewiston       97  68  95  63  90  61 /  10  10  10  10  10  10
Colville       97  60  89  56  86  54 /  10  10  10  10  10  10
Sandpoint      90  57  85  51  80  49 /   0  10  10  10  10  10
Kellogg        95  58  86  54  81  52 /   0  20  20  10  10  10
Moses Lake     97  62  92  59  88  58 /  10  10   0   0   0   0
Wenatchee      94  69  90  66  88  64 /  10  10   0   0   0   0
Omak           96  62  92  58  88  57 /  10  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...FIRE Weather Watch from Noon PDT today through Tuesday evening
     for East Washington Central Cascade Valleys (Zone 677)-East
     Washington South Central Cascade Valleys (Zone 676).

&&

$$





000
FXUS66 KOTX 030545
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
1045 PM PDT SUN AUG 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS....
The ongoing drought combined with high heat and low humidity will
contribute to high fire danger throughout the Inland Northwest.
Temperatures on Monday should be a few degrees cooler with an
increase in clouds. Cooler temperatures and locally breezy winds
are expected mainly Monday through Wednesday following the arrival
of a cold front. Another threat of showers and thunderstorms
arrives next weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Update: Satellite shows a closed low off the central California
coast with south-southwest flow drawing up mid and high level
moisture. Radar shows some high based returns along the East
Slopes of the Cascades this evening...but most...if not all of
this should evaporate before reaching the ground given our very
dry low level air mass. Sky cover was increased a bit over North
Central Washington tonight to account for more mid level cloud
cover moving in.

The biggest update to the forecast was to add the Wenatchee,
Entiat, and Chelan areas to a fire weather watch for Monday and
Tuesday. Latest guidance, especially the NAM, is showing breezy
winds and low humidity both Monday and Tuesday in these areas.
Guidance shows Wednesday could be breezy as well but will hold off
for now for Wednesday given this is still several days out. This
is a good wind pattern through the Cascade gaps with the break
down of the hot ridge followed by several days of westerly flow as
a closed low over Central BC slowly drops south.  JW

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAFS: Wildfire smoke will continue to reduce visibilities to
between 3-9 miles over much of the region...with greater
restrictions around Chelan. A weak weather disturbance passing
through tomorrow will result in mainly mid and high level
clouds...with a few sprinkles possibly reaching the surface.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        67  94  67  87  60  83 /   0   0  10  10  10  10
Coeur d`Alene  59  94  65  87  58  83 /   0   0  20  10  10  10
Pullman        56  93  59  87  55  82 /   0   0  10  10  10   0
Lewiston       68  96  69  94  64  90 /   0  10  10  10  10  10
Colville       57  96  60  89  57  87 /   0  10  20  20  20  20
Sandpoint      52  96  54  84  53  81 /   0   0  30  20  10  10
Kellogg        58  94  64  85  55  81 /   0   0  30  30  20  10
Moses Lake     66  94  63  93  60  88 /   0  10  10   0   0   0
Wenatchee      73  93  70  93  66  88 /  10  10  10   0   0   0
Omak           68  95  65  92  59  89 /  10  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...FIRE Weather Watch from Monday afternoon through Tuesday evening
     for East Washington Central Cascade Valleys (Zone 677)-East
     Washington South Central Cascade Valleys (Zone 676).

&&

$$





000
FXUS66 KOTX 030545
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
1045 PM PDT SUN AUG 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS....
The ongoing drought combined with high heat and low humidity will
contribute to high fire danger throughout the Inland Northwest.
Temperatures on Monday should be a few degrees cooler with an
increase in clouds. Cooler temperatures and locally breezy winds
are expected mainly Monday through Wednesday following the arrival
of a cold front. Another threat of showers and thunderstorms
arrives next weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Update: Satellite shows a closed low off the central California
coast with south-southwest flow drawing up mid and high level
moisture. Radar shows some high based returns along the East
Slopes of the Cascades this evening...but most...if not all of
this should evaporate before reaching the ground given our very
dry low level air mass. Sky cover was increased a bit over North
Central Washington tonight to account for more mid level cloud
cover moving in.

The biggest update to the forecast was to add the Wenatchee,
Entiat, and Chelan areas to a fire weather watch for Monday and
Tuesday. Latest guidance, especially the NAM, is showing breezy
winds and low humidity both Monday and Tuesday in these areas.
Guidance shows Wednesday could be breezy as well but will hold off
for now for Wednesday given this is still several days out. This
is a good wind pattern through the Cascade gaps with the break
down of the hot ridge followed by several days of westerly flow as
a closed low over Central BC slowly drops south.  JW

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAFS: Wildfire smoke will continue to reduce visibilities to
between 3-9 miles over much of the region...with greater
restrictions around Chelan. A weak weather disturbance passing
through tomorrow will result in mainly mid and high level
clouds...with a few sprinkles possibly reaching the surface.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        67  94  67  87  60  83 /   0   0  10  10  10  10
Coeur d`Alene  59  94  65  87  58  83 /   0   0  20  10  10  10
Pullman        56  93  59  87  55  82 /   0   0  10  10  10   0
Lewiston       68  96  69  94  64  90 /   0  10  10  10  10  10
Colville       57  96  60  89  57  87 /   0  10  20  20  20  20
Sandpoint      52  96  54  84  53  81 /   0   0  30  20  10  10
Kellogg        58  94  64  85  55  81 /   0   0  30  30  20  10
Moses Lake     66  94  63  93  60  88 /   0  10  10   0   0   0
Wenatchee      73  93  70  93  66  88 /  10  10  10   0   0   0
Omak           68  95  65  92  59  89 /  10  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...FIRE Weather Watch from Monday afternoon through Tuesday evening
     for East Washington Central Cascade Valleys (Zone 677)-East
     Washington South Central Cascade Valleys (Zone 676).

&&

$$




000
FXUS66 KOTX 030545
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
1045 PM PDT SUN AUG 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS....
The ongoing drought combined with high heat and low humidity will
contribute to high fire danger throughout the Inland Northwest.
Temperatures on Monday should be a few degrees cooler with an
increase in clouds. Cooler temperatures and locally breezy winds
are expected mainly Monday through Wednesday following the arrival
of a cold front. Another threat of showers and thunderstorms
arrives next weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Update: Satellite shows a closed low off the central California
coast with south-southwest flow drawing up mid and high level
moisture. Radar shows some high based returns along the East
Slopes of the Cascades this evening...but most...if not all of
this should evaporate before reaching the ground given our very
dry low level air mass. Sky cover was increased a bit over North
Central Washington tonight to account for more mid level cloud
cover moving in.

The biggest update to the forecast was to add the Wenatchee,
Entiat, and Chelan areas to a fire weather watch for Monday and
Tuesday. Latest guidance, especially the NAM, is showing breezy
winds and low humidity both Monday and Tuesday in these areas.
Guidance shows Wednesday could be breezy as well but will hold off
for now for Wednesday given this is still several days out. This
is a good wind pattern through the Cascade gaps with the break
down of the hot ridge followed by several days of westerly flow as
a closed low over Central BC slowly drops south.  JW

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAFS: Wildfire smoke will continue to reduce visibilities to
between 3-9 miles over much of the region...with greater
restrictions around Chelan. A weak weather disturbance passing
through tomorrow will result in mainly mid and high level
clouds...with a few sprinkles possibly reaching the surface.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        67  94  67  87  60  83 /   0   0  10  10  10  10
Coeur d`Alene  59  94  65  87  58  83 /   0   0  20  10  10  10
Pullman        56  93  59  87  55  82 /   0   0  10  10  10   0
Lewiston       68  96  69  94  64  90 /   0  10  10  10  10  10
Colville       57  96  60  89  57  87 /   0  10  20  20  20  20
Sandpoint      52  96  54  84  53  81 /   0   0  30  20  10  10
Kellogg        58  94  64  85  55  81 /   0   0  30  30  20  10
Moses Lake     66  94  63  93  60  88 /   0  10  10   0   0   0
Wenatchee      73  93  70  93  66  88 /  10  10  10   0   0   0
Omak           68  95  65  92  59  89 /  10  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...FIRE Weather Watch from Monday afternoon through Tuesday evening
     for East Washington Central Cascade Valleys (Zone 677)-East
     Washington South Central Cascade Valleys (Zone 676).

&&

$$





000
FXUS66 KOTX 030434
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
934 PM PDT SUN AUG 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS....
The ongoing drought combined with high heat and low humidity will
contribute to high fire danger throughout the Inland Northwest.
Temperatures on Monday should be a few degrees cooler with an
increase in clouds. Cooler temperatures and locally breezy winds
are expected mainly Monday through Wednesday following the arrival
of a cold front. Another threat of showers and thunderstorms
arrives next weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Update: Satellite shows a closed low off the central California
coast with south-southwest flow drawing up mid and high level
moisture. Radar shows some high based returns along the East
Slopes of the Cascades this evening...but most...if not all of
this should evaporate before reaching the ground given our very
dry low level air mass. Sky cover was increased a bit over North
Central Washington tonight to account for more mid level cloud
cover moving in.

The biggest update to the forecast was to add the Wenatchee,
Entiat, and Chelan areas to a fire weather watch for Monday and
Tuesday. Latest guidance, especially the NAM, is showing breezy
winds and low humidity both Monday and Tuesday in these areas.
Guidance shows Wednesday could be breezy as well but will hold off
for now for Wednesday given this is still several days out. This
is a good wind pattern through the Cascade gaps with the break
down of the hot ridge followed by several days of westerly flow as
a closed low over Central BC slowly drops south.  JW

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAFS: Wildfire smoke will continue to reduce visibilities to
between 4-7 miles over much of the region...with greater
restrictions around Chelan. A weak weather disturbance passing
through tomorrow will result in mainly mid and high level
clouds...with a few sprinkles possibly reaching the surface. There
will also be a slight chance of thunderstorms on Monday in the
Cascades. JW


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        67  94  67  87  60  83 /   0   0  10  10  10  10
Coeur d`Alene  59  94  65  87  58  83 /   0   0  20  10  10  10
Pullman        56  93  59  87  55  82 /   0   0  10  10  10   0
Lewiston       68  96  69  94  64  90 /   0  10  10  10  10  10
Colville       57  96  60  89  57  87 /   0  10  20  20  20  20
Sandpoint      52  96  54  84  53  81 /   0   0  30  20  10  10
Kellogg        58  94  64  85  55  81 /   0   0  30  30  20  10
Moses Lake     66  94  63  93  60  88 /   0  10  10   0   0   0
Wenatchee      73  93  70  93  66  88 /  10  10  10   0   0   0
Omak           68  95  65  92  59  89 /  10  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...FIRE Weather Watch from Monday afternoon through Tuesday evening
     for East Washington Central Cascade Valleys (Zone 677)-East
     Washington South Central Cascade Valleys (Zone 676).

&&

$$





000
FXUS66 KOTX 030434
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
934 PM PDT SUN AUG 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS....
The ongoing drought combined with high heat and low humidity will
contribute to high fire danger throughout the Inland Northwest.
Temperatures on Monday should be a few degrees cooler with an
increase in clouds. Cooler temperatures and locally breezy winds
are expected mainly Monday through Wednesday following the arrival
of a cold front. Another threat of showers and thunderstorms
arrives next weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Update: Satellite shows a closed low off the central California
coast with south-southwest flow drawing up mid and high level
moisture. Radar shows some high based returns along the East
Slopes of the Cascades this evening...but most...if not all of
this should evaporate before reaching the ground given our very
dry low level air mass. Sky cover was increased a bit over North
Central Washington tonight to account for more mid level cloud
cover moving in.

The biggest update to the forecast was to add the Wenatchee,
Entiat, and Chelan areas to a fire weather watch for Monday and
Tuesday. Latest guidance, especially the NAM, is showing breezy
winds and low humidity both Monday and Tuesday in these areas.
Guidance shows Wednesday could be breezy as well but will hold off
for now for Wednesday given this is still several days out. This
is a good wind pattern through the Cascade gaps with the break
down of the hot ridge followed by several days of westerly flow as
a closed low over Central BC slowly drops south.  JW

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAFS: Wildfire smoke will continue to reduce visibilities to
between 4-7 miles over much of the region...with greater
restrictions around Chelan. A weak weather disturbance passing
through tomorrow will result in mainly mid and high level
clouds...with a few sprinkles possibly reaching the surface. There
will also be a slight chance of thunderstorms on Monday in the
Cascades. JW


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        67  94  67  87  60  83 /   0   0  10  10  10  10
Coeur d`Alene  59  94  65  87  58  83 /   0   0  20  10  10  10
Pullman        56  93  59  87  55  82 /   0   0  10  10  10   0
Lewiston       68  96  69  94  64  90 /   0  10  10  10  10  10
Colville       57  96  60  89  57  87 /   0  10  20  20  20  20
Sandpoint      52  96  54  84  53  81 /   0   0  30  20  10  10
Kellogg        58  94  64  85  55  81 /   0   0  30  30  20  10
Moses Lake     66  94  63  93  60  88 /   0  10  10   0   0   0
Wenatchee      73  93  70  93  66  88 /  10  10  10   0   0   0
Omak           68  95  65  92  59  89 /  10  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...FIRE Weather Watch from Monday afternoon through Tuesday evening
     for East Washington Central Cascade Valleys (Zone 677)-East
     Washington South Central Cascade Valleys (Zone 676).

&&

$$





000
FXUS66 KOTX 030434
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
934 PM PDT SUN AUG 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS....
The ongoing drought combined with high heat and low humidity will
contribute to high fire danger throughout the Inland Northwest.
Temperatures on Monday should be a few degrees cooler with an
increase in clouds. Cooler temperatures and locally breezy winds
are expected mainly Monday through Wednesday following the arrival
of a cold front. Another threat of showers and thunderstorms
arrives next weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Update: Satellite shows a closed low off the central California
coast with south-southwest flow drawing up mid and high level
moisture. Radar shows some high based returns along the East
Slopes of the Cascades this evening...but most...if not all of
this should evaporate before reaching the ground given our very
dry low level air mass. Sky cover was increased a bit over North
Central Washington tonight to account for more mid level cloud
cover moving in.

The biggest update to the forecast was to add the Wenatchee,
Entiat, and Chelan areas to a fire weather watch for Monday and
Tuesday. Latest guidance, especially the NAM, is showing breezy
winds and low humidity both Monday and Tuesday in these areas.
Guidance shows Wednesday could be breezy as well but will hold off
for now for Wednesday given this is still several days out. This
is a good wind pattern through the Cascade gaps with the break
down of the hot ridge followed by several days of westerly flow as
a closed low over Central BC slowly drops south.  JW

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAFS: Wildfire smoke will continue to reduce visibilities to
between 4-7 miles over much of the region...with greater
restrictions around Chelan. A weak weather disturbance passing
through tomorrow will result in mainly mid and high level
clouds...with a few sprinkles possibly reaching the surface. There
will also be a slight chance of thunderstorms on Monday in the
Cascades. JW


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        67  94  67  87  60  83 /   0   0  10  10  10  10
Coeur d`Alene  59  94  65  87  58  83 /   0   0  20  10  10  10
Pullman        56  93  59  87  55  82 /   0   0  10  10  10   0
Lewiston       68  96  69  94  64  90 /   0  10  10  10  10  10
Colville       57  96  60  89  57  87 /   0  10  20  20  20  20
Sandpoint      52  96  54  84  53  81 /   0   0  30  20  10  10
Kellogg        58  94  64  85  55  81 /   0   0  30  30  20  10
Moses Lake     66  94  63  93  60  88 /   0  10  10   0   0   0
Wenatchee      73  93  70  93  66  88 /  10  10  10   0   0   0
Omak           68  95  65  92  59  89 /  10  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...FIRE Weather Watch from Monday afternoon through Tuesday evening
     for East Washington Central Cascade Valleys (Zone 677)-East
     Washington South Central Cascade Valleys (Zone 676).

&&

$$




000
FXUS66 KOTX 022353
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
453 PM PDT SUN AUG 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS....
The ongoing drought combined with high heat and low humidity will
contribute to high fire danger throughout the Inland Northwest.
Temperatures on Monday should be a few degrees cooler with an
increase in clouds. Cooler temperatures and locally breezy winds
are expected mainly Monday through Wednesday following the arrival
of a cold front. Another threat of showers and thunderstorms
arrives next weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Tonight and Mon: We`ve continued with the trend of increasing
clouds with only a slight chance of thunder for the east slopes of
the Cascades and the rest of the mtn zones through Mon. The best
chance will be Mon afternoon and evening as the short- wave trough
now over Nrn Calif and Srn Oregon lifts northeast across the
region. We`re not looking for much in the way of pcpn given the
very dry sub- cloud layer below 700-600mb as well as a lack of
notable sfc-based or elevated instability. However, there still
may be sufficient instability to produce a few drops of rain for
most of Ern Wa and N Idaho late Monday. Expect winds to increase
substantially by Mon evening as this wave passes and pressure
gradients strengthen.bz

Monday night through Wednesday: Models are in good agreement of
the wave exiting north ID early Tuesday morning. The models seem
to be speeding up the time of it leaving. We do keep a chance of
showers and thunderstorms overnight Monday night into Tuesday for
the northeast corner of WA and the northern ID Panhandle. Then
through the day on Tuesday the best chance of showers and
thunderstorms will reside along the US/Canadian border. The closed
low in central British Columbia will swing a wave into the area
Tuesday and another one on Wednesday. Both times the best chance
of showers and thunderstorms will reside along the border. Took
out chance of precipitation across the Blue Mountains and Camas
Prairie, as it looks like best potential remains further north. Am
not as excited about thunder potential, models are not showing a
lot of instability. The main concern Tuesday and Wednesday will be
winds. Each afternoon westerly winds will increase with winds
peaking the late afternoon and early evening hours. Even though
our temperatures will finally approach near average values on
Tuesday and maybe actually below average values by Wednesday...it
will still be very very dry. The breezy winds combined with low
daytime relative humidity values will create fire weather concerns
each day. Have issued a fire weather watch for Tuesday with the
possibility of needing one for Wednesday as well for the Kittitas
Valley. Winds will actually be more widespread than just in the
Kittitas, but for now it looks like this area will have the best
chance of reaching red flag conditions. Breezy winds are also
expected across the Wenatchee Valley...Waterville Plateau and into
the Columbia Basin/Palouse and Spokane areas. /Nisbet

Wednesday night through Sunday: Models continue to suffer from
some consistency issues, but a general trend suggests the Inland
NW will be in a progressive pattern with shower chances early this
period and again toward the weekend. Temperatures are forecast to
be near to slightly below average at the periods start, warm up
into Saturday and cool down toward next Sunday again.

So first Wednesday night into Thursday an upper trough will
continue to exit. The threat of showers will linger near the
Cascades and Canadian border, but the better lift and instability
will be north of the region. Otherwise look for thinning middle to
high clouds. It is possible there could also be lingering wildfire
smoke but there are too many variable, many of which are non-
meteorological, to have much confidence. Then Thursday night into
Friday shortwave a flat ridge enters, with continued dry weather.

From Friday night into Sunday a couple features move on the
region. First a trough in the Pacific moves toward the coast. One
or two impulses rounding it will have opportunity to move across
the Cascades and northern mountains, if not the entire region.
There is disagreement on the strength and track of these impulses.
Yet it is enough to suggest increased clouds through the region
starting Friday night and a shower/thunderstorm threat by the
weekend across the Cascades and northern mountains. Secondly low
pressure off the CA coast is projected to shift inland Friday and
track northeast Friday night into the weekend, at least skimming
by southeast WA and the lower Panhandle. This too will lead to
some increased cloud cover throughout the region. A threat of
showers and thunderstorms from this feature comes toward the Blues
and Camas Prairie Friday night. In tandem with energy coming
around the Pacific trough, this threat expand throughout the
Panhandle mountains by next weekend. Whether the precipitation
threat will also extend into the eastern Columbia Basin and
eastern valleys next weekend is less certain given the wide range
of model solutions. However given the opportunity for the
atmosphere to become increasingly moist with each passing wave and
some semblance of this threat amongst the model solutions, I added
a slight chance to aforementioned areas for next Sunday. /J. Cote`


&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAFS: Wildfire smoke will continue to reduce visibilities to
between 4-7 miles over much of the region...with greater
restrictions around Chelan. A weak weather disturbance passing
through tomorrow will result in mainly mid and high level
clouds...with a few sprinkles possibly reaching the surface. There
will also be a slight chance of thunderstorms on Monday in the
Cascades. JW

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        67  94  67  87  60  83 /   0   0  10  10  10  10
Coeur d`Alene  59  94  65  87  58  83 /   0   0  20  10  10  10
Pullman        56  93  59  87  55  82 /   0   0  10  10  10   0
Lewiston       68  96  69  94  64  90 /   0  10  10  10  10  10
Colville       57  96  60  89  57  87 /   0  10  20  20  20  20
Sandpoint      52  96  54  84  53  81 /   0   0  30  20  10  10
Kellogg        58  94  64  85  55  81 /   0   0  30  30  20  10
Moses Lake     66  94  63  93  60  88 /   0  10  10   0   0   0
Wenatchee      73  93  70  93  66  88 /  10  10  10   0   0   0
Omak           68  95  65  92  59  89 /  10  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...Heat Advisory until 8 PM PDT this evening for Lewiston Area.

WA...Heat Advisory until 8 PM PDT this evening for Lower Garfield
     and Asotin Counties.

&&

$$




000
FXUS66 KOTX 022353
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
453 PM PDT SUN AUG 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS....
The ongoing drought combined with high heat and low humidity will
contribute to high fire danger throughout the Inland Northwest.
Temperatures on Monday should be a few degrees cooler with an
increase in clouds. Cooler temperatures and locally breezy winds
are expected mainly Monday through Wednesday following the arrival
of a cold front. Another threat of showers and thunderstorms
arrives next weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Tonight and Mon: We`ve continued with the trend of increasing
clouds with only a slight chance of thunder for the east slopes of
the Cascades and the rest of the mtn zones through Mon. The best
chance will be Mon afternoon and evening as the short- wave trough
now over Nrn Calif and Srn Oregon lifts northeast across the
region. We`re not looking for much in the way of pcpn given the
very dry sub- cloud layer below 700-600mb as well as a lack of
notable sfc-based or elevated instability. However, there still
may be sufficient instability to produce a few drops of rain for
most of Ern Wa and N Idaho late Monday. Expect winds to increase
substantially by Mon evening as this wave passes and pressure
gradients strengthen.bz

Monday night through Wednesday: Models are in good agreement of
the wave exiting north ID early Tuesday morning. The models seem
to be speeding up the time of it leaving. We do keep a chance of
showers and thunderstorms overnight Monday night into Tuesday for
the northeast corner of WA and the northern ID Panhandle. Then
through the day on Tuesday the best chance of showers and
thunderstorms will reside along the US/Canadian border. The closed
low in central British Columbia will swing a wave into the area
Tuesday and another one on Wednesday. Both times the best chance
of showers and thunderstorms will reside along the border. Took
out chance of precipitation across the Blue Mountains and Camas
Prairie, as it looks like best potential remains further north. Am
not as excited about thunder potential, models are not showing a
lot of instability. The main concern Tuesday and Wednesday will be
winds. Each afternoon westerly winds will increase with winds
peaking the late afternoon and early evening hours. Even though
our temperatures will finally approach near average values on
Tuesday and maybe actually below average values by Wednesday...it
will still be very very dry. The breezy winds combined with low
daytime relative humidity values will create fire weather concerns
each day. Have issued a fire weather watch for Tuesday with the
possibility of needing one for Wednesday as well for the Kittitas
Valley. Winds will actually be more widespread than just in the
Kittitas, but for now it looks like this area will have the best
chance of reaching red flag conditions. Breezy winds are also
expected across the Wenatchee Valley...Waterville Plateau and into
the Columbia Basin/Palouse and Spokane areas. /Nisbet

Wednesday night through Sunday: Models continue to suffer from
some consistency issues, but a general trend suggests the Inland
NW will be in a progressive pattern with shower chances early this
period and again toward the weekend. Temperatures are forecast to
be near to slightly below average at the periods start, warm up
into Saturday and cool down toward next Sunday again.

So first Wednesday night into Thursday an upper trough will
continue to exit. The threat of showers will linger near the
Cascades and Canadian border, but the better lift and instability
will be north of the region. Otherwise look for thinning middle to
high clouds. It is possible there could also be lingering wildfire
smoke but there are too many variable, many of which are non-
meteorological, to have much confidence. Then Thursday night into
Friday shortwave a flat ridge enters, with continued dry weather.

From Friday night into Sunday a couple features move on the
region. First a trough in the Pacific moves toward the coast. One
or two impulses rounding it will have opportunity to move across
the Cascades and northern mountains, if not the entire region.
There is disagreement on the strength and track of these impulses.
Yet it is enough to suggest increased clouds through the region
starting Friday night and a shower/thunderstorm threat by the
weekend across the Cascades and northern mountains. Secondly low
pressure off the CA coast is projected to shift inland Friday and
track northeast Friday night into the weekend, at least skimming
by southeast WA and the lower Panhandle. This too will lead to
some increased cloud cover throughout the region. A threat of
showers and thunderstorms from this feature comes toward the Blues
and Camas Prairie Friday night. In tandem with energy coming
around the Pacific trough, this threat expand throughout the
Panhandle mountains by next weekend. Whether the precipitation
threat will also extend into the eastern Columbia Basin and
eastern valleys next weekend is less certain given the wide range
of model solutions. However given the opportunity for the
atmosphere to become increasingly moist with each passing wave and
some semblance of this threat amongst the model solutions, I added
a slight chance to aforementioned areas for next Sunday. /J. Cote`


&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAFS: Wildfire smoke will continue to reduce visibilities to
between 4-7 miles over much of the region...with greater
restrictions around Chelan. A weak weather disturbance passing
through tomorrow will result in mainly mid and high level
clouds...with a few sprinkles possibly reaching the surface. There
will also be a slight chance of thunderstorms on Monday in the
Cascades. JW

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        67  94  67  87  60  83 /   0   0  10  10  10  10
Coeur d`Alene  59  94  65  87  58  83 /   0   0  20  10  10  10
Pullman        56  93  59  87  55  82 /   0   0  10  10  10   0
Lewiston       68  96  69  94  64  90 /   0  10  10  10  10  10
Colville       57  96  60  89  57  87 /   0  10  20  20  20  20
Sandpoint      52  96  54  84  53  81 /   0   0  30  20  10  10
Kellogg        58  94  64  85  55  81 /   0   0  30  30  20  10
Moses Lake     66  94  63  93  60  88 /   0  10  10   0   0   0
Wenatchee      73  93  70  93  66  88 /  10  10  10   0   0   0
Omak           68  95  65  92  59  89 /  10  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...Heat Advisory until 8 PM PDT this evening for Lewiston Area.

WA...Heat Advisory until 8 PM PDT this evening for Lower Garfield
     and Asotin Counties.

&&

$$





000
FXUS66 KOTX 022151
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
251 PM PDT SUN AUG 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS....
The ongoing drought combined with high heat and low humidity will
contribute to high fire danger throughout the Inland Northwest.
Temperatures on Monday should be a few degrees cooler with an
increase in clouds. Cooler temperatures and locally breezy winds
are expected mainly Monday through Wednesday following the arrival
of a cold front. Another threat of showers and thunderstorms
arrives next weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Tonight and Mon: We`ve continued with the trend of increasing
clouds with only a slight chance of thunder for the east slopes of
the Cascades and the rest of the mtn zones through Mon. The best
chance will be Mon afternoon and evening as the short- wave trough
now over Nrn Calif and Srn Oregon lifts northeast across the
region. We`re not looking for much in the way of pcpn given the
very dry sub- cloud layer below 700-600mb as well as a lack of
notable sfc-based or elevated instability. However, there still
may be sufficient instability to produce a few drops of rain for
most of Ern Wa and N Idaho late Monday. Expect winds to increase
substantially by Mon evening as this wave passes and pressure
gradients strengthen.bz

Monday night through Wednesday: Models are in good agreement of
the wave exiting north ID early Tuesday morning. The models seem
to be speeding up the time of it leaving. We do keep a chance of
showers and thunderstorms overnight Monday night into Tuesday for
the northeast corner of WA and the northern ID Panhandle. Then
through the day on Tuesday the best chance of showers and
thunderstorms will reside along the US/Canadian border. The closed
low in central British Columbia will swing a wave into the area
Tuesday and another one on Wednesday. Both times the best chance
of showers and thunderstorms will reside along the border. Took
out chance of precipitation across the Blue Mountains and Camas
Prairie, as it looks like best potential remains further north. Am
not as excited about thunder potential, models are not showing a
lot of instability. The main concern Tuesday and Wednesday will be
winds. Each afternoon westerly winds will increase with winds
peaking the late afternoon and early evening hours. Even though
our temperatures will finally approach near average values on
Tuesday and maybe actually below average values by Wednesday...it
will still be very very dry. The breezy winds combined with low
daytime relative humidity values will create fire weather concerns
each day. Have issued a fire weather watch for Tuesday with the
possibility of needing one for Wednesday as well for the Kittitas
Valley. Winds will actually be more widespread than just in the
Kittitas, but for now it looks like this area will have the best
chance of reaching red flag conditions. Breezy winds are also
expected across the Wenatchee Valley...Waterville Plateau and into
the Columbia Basin/Palouse and Spokane areas. /Nisbet

Wednesday night through Sunday: Models continue to suffer from
some consistency issues, but a general trend suggests the Inland
NW will be in a progressive pattern with shower chances early this
period and again toward the weekend. Temperatures are forecast to
be near to slightly below average at the periods start, warm up
into Saturday and cool down toward next Sunday again.

So first Wednesday night into Thursday an upper trough will
continue to exit. The threat of showers will linger near the
Cascades and Canadian border, but the better lift and instability
will be north of the region. Otherwise look for thinning middle to
high clouds. It is possible there could also be lingering wildfire
smoke but there are too many variable, many of which are non-
meteorological, to have much confidence. Then Thursday night into
Friday shortwave a flat ridge enters, with continued dry weather.

From Friday night into Sunday a couple features move on the
region. First a trough in the Pacific moves toward the coast. One
or two impulses rounding it will have opportunity to move across
the Cascades and northern mountains, if not the entire region.
There is disagreement on the strength and track of these impulses.
Yet it is enough to suggest increased clouds through the region
starting Friday night and a shower/thunderstorm threat by the
weekend across the Cascades and northern mountains. Secondly low
pressure off the CA coast is projected to shift inland Friday and
track northeast Friday night into the weekend, at least skimming
by southeast WA and the lower Panhandle. This too will lead to
some increased cloud cover throughout the region. A threat of
showers and thunderstorms from this feature comes toward the Blues
and Camas Prairie Friday night. In tandem with energy coming
around the Pacific trough, this threat expand throughout the
Panhandle mountains by next weekend. Whether the precipitation
threat will also extend into the eastern Columbia Basin and
eastern valleys next weekend is less certain given the wide range
of model solutions. However given the opportunity for the
atmosphere to become increasingly moist with each passing wave and
some semblance of this threat amongst the model solutions, I added
a slight chance to aforementioned areas for next Sunday. /J. Cote`


&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAFS: Areas of smoke will not be a big concern, though vsbys
may tempo-down to near MVFR briefly. Otherwise the smoke will be
either. Mid and high level clouds will increase...with winds
remaining around 10kt this afternoon. Local higher gusts are
possible. Downslope gap winds will increase after 02z especially
in KEAT where speeds will reach around 15kt. bz


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        67  94  67  87  60  83 /   0   0  10  10  10  10
Coeur d`Alene  59  94  65  87  58  83 /   0   0  20  10  10  10
Pullman        56  93  59  87  55  82 /   0   0  10  10  10   0
Lewiston       68  96  69  94  64  90 /   0  10  10  10  10  10
Colville       57  96  60  89  57  87 /   0  10  20  20  20  20
Sandpoint      52  96  54  84  53  81 /   0   0  30  20  10  10
Kellogg        58  94  64  85  55  81 /   0   0  30  30  20  10
Moses Lake     66  94  63  93  60  88 /   0  10  10   0   0   0
Wenatchee      73  93  70  93  66  88 /  10  10  10   0   0   0
Omak           68  95  65  92  59  89 /  10  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...Heat Advisory until 8 PM PDT this evening for Lewiston Area.

WA...Heat Advisory until 8 PM PDT this evening for Lower Garfield
     and Asotin Counties.

&&

$$




000
FXUS66 KOTX 022151
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
251 PM PDT SUN AUG 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS....
The ongoing drought combined with high heat and low humidity will
contribute to high fire danger throughout the Inland Northwest.
Temperatures on Monday should be a few degrees cooler with an
increase in clouds. Cooler temperatures and locally breezy winds
are expected mainly Monday through Wednesday following the arrival
of a cold front. Another threat of showers and thunderstorms
arrives next weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Tonight and Mon: We`ve continued with the trend of increasing
clouds with only a slight chance of thunder for the east slopes of
the Cascades and the rest of the mtn zones through Mon. The best
chance will be Mon afternoon and evening as the short- wave trough
now over Nrn Calif and Srn Oregon lifts northeast across the
region. We`re not looking for much in the way of pcpn given the
very dry sub- cloud layer below 700-600mb as well as a lack of
notable sfc-based or elevated instability. However, there still
may be sufficient instability to produce a few drops of rain for
most of Ern Wa and N Idaho late Monday. Expect winds to increase
substantially by Mon evening as this wave passes and pressure
gradients strengthen.bz

Monday night through Wednesday: Models are in good agreement of
the wave exiting north ID early Tuesday morning. The models seem
to be speeding up the time of it leaving. We do keep a chance of
showers and thunderstorms overnight Monday night into Tuesday for
the northeast corner of WA and the northern ID Panhandle. Then
through the day on Tuesday the best chance of showers and
thunderstorms will reside along the US/Canadian border. The closed
low in central British Columbia will swing a wave into the area
Tuesday and another one on Wednesday. Both times the best chance
of showers and thunderstorms will reside along the border. Took
out chance of precipitation across the Blue Mountains and Camas
Prairie, as it looks like best potential remains further north. Am
not as excited about thunder potential, models are not showing a
lot of instability. The main concern Tuesday and Wednesday will be
winds. Each afternoon westerly winds will increase with winds
peaking the late afternoon and early evening hours. Even though
our temperatures will finally approach near average values on
Tuesday and maybe actually below average values by Wednesday...it
will still be very very dry. The breezy winds combined with low
daytime relative humidity values will create fire weather concerns
each day. Have issued a fire weather watch for Tuesday with the
possibility of needing one for Wednesday as well for the Kittitas
Valley. Winds will actually be more widespread than just in the
Kittitas, but for now it looks like this area will have the best
chance of reaching red flag conditions. Breezy winds are also
expected across the Wenatchee Valley...Waterville Plateau and into
the Columbia Basin/Palouse and Spokane areas. /Nisbet

Wednesday night through Sunday: Models continue to suffer from
some consistency issues, but a general trend suggests the Inland
NW will be in a progressive pattern with shower chances early this
period and again toward the weekend. Temperatures are forecast to
be near to slightly below average at the periods start, warm up
into Saturday and cool down toward next Sunday again.

So first Wednesday night into Thursday an upper trough will
continue to exit. The threat of showers will linger near the
Cascades and Canadian border, but the better lift and instability
will be north of the region. Otherwise look for thinning middle to
high clouds. It is possible there could also be lingering wildfire
smoke but there are too many variable, many of which are non-
meteorological, to have much confidence. Then Thursday night into
Friday shortwave a flat ridge enters, with continued dry weather.

From Friday night into Sunday a couple features move on the
region. First a trough in the Pacific moves toward the coast. One
or two impulses rounding it will have opportunity to move across
the Cascades and northern mountains, if not the entire region.
There is disagreement on the strength and track of these impulses.
Yet it is enough to suggest increased clouds through the region
starting Friday night and a shower/thunderstorm threat by the
weekend across the Cascades and northern mountains. Secondly low
pressure off the CA coast is projected to shift inland Friday and
track northeast Friday night into the weekend, at least skimming
by southeast WA and the lower Panhandle. This too will lead to
some increased cloud cover throughout the region. A threat of
showers and thunderstorms from this feature comes toward the Blues
and Camas Prairie Friday night. In tandem with energy coming
around the Pacific trough, this threat expand throughout the
Panhandle mountains by next weekend. Whether the precipitation
threat will also extend into the eastern Columbia Basin and
eastern valleys next weekend is less certain given the wide range
of model solutions. However given the opportunity for the
atmosphere to become increasingly moist with each passing wave and
some semblance of this threat amongst the model solutions, I added
a slight chance to aforementioned areas for next Sunday. /J. Cote`


&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAFS: Areas of smoke will not be a big concern, though vsbys
may tempo-down to near MVFR briefly. Otherwise the smoke will be
either. Mid and high level clouds will increase...with winds
remaining around 10kt this afternoon. Local higher gusts are
possible. Downslope gap winds will increase after 02z especially
in KEAT where speeds will reach around 15kt. bz


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        67  94  67  87  60  83 /   0   0  10  10  10  10
Coeur d`Alene  59  94  65  87  58  83 /   0   0  20  10  10  10
Pullman        56  93  59  87  55  82 /   0   0  10  10  10   0
Lewiston       68  96  69  94  64  90 /   0  10  10  10  10  10
Colville       57  96  60  89  57  87 /   0  10  20  20  20  20
Sandpoint      52  96  54  84  53  81 /   0   0  30  20  10  10
Kellogg        58  94  64  85  55  81 /   0   0  30  30  20  10
Moses Lake     66  94  63  93  60  88 /   0  10  10   0   0   0
Wenatchee      73  93  70  93  66  88 /  10  10  10   0   0   0
Omak           68  95  65  92  59  89 /  10  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...Heat Advisory until 8 PM PDT this evening for Lewiston Area.

WA...Heat Advisory until 8 PM PDT this evening for Lower Garfield
     and Asotin Counties.

&&

$$





000
FXUS66 KOTX 021756
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
1056 AM PDT SUN AUG 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS....
Another hot and smokey day will be on tap today with triple digit
heat over much of central and southeast Washington. The ongoing
drought combined with high heat and low humidity will contribute
to high fire danger throughout the Inland Northwest. Temperatures
on Monday should be a few degrees cooler with an increase in
clouds. Cooler, more seasonal temperatures and locally breezy
winds are expected Tuesday through Friday following the arrival
of a cold front.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Rest of today: Low visibilities...below a mile...are still a
persistent issue for the Lake Chelan and adjacent towns, and is
not expected to change much the next 24 hours. We increased cloud
cover some...mainly for the E Slopes of the Cascades as the high-
based convective ceilings currently over Nrn Oregon moves north.
There may be brief isolated showers for the Cascades late
afternoon, but the better chance is this evening. Thunder is not
expected until Monday for the Cascades associated with a weak wave
passing northeast across the area. bz

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAFS: Areas of smoke will not be a big concern, though vsbys
may tempo-down to near MVFR briefly. Otherwise the smoke will be
either. Mid and high level clouds will increase...with winds
remaining around 10kt this afternoon. Local higher gusts are
possible. Downslope gap winds will increase after 02z especially
in KEAT where speeds will reach around 15kt. bz

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        98  67  95  66  87  59 /   0   0   0  10  10  10
Coeur d`Alene  98  59  97  61  87  56 /   0   0   0  20  10  10
Pullman        98  56  93  58  86  53 /   0   0   0  10  10  10
Lewiston      104  68  99  68  93  63 /   0   0  10  10  10  10
Colville      100  57  98  59  89  55 /   0   0  10  20  20  20
Sandpoint      96  52  97  54  83  52 /   0   0   0  30  20  10
Kellogg        96  58  96  60  84  54 /   0   0   0  30  30  20
Moses Lake    101  66  97  62  93  59 /   0   0  10  10   0   0
Wenatchee     101  73  97  68  92  65 /   0  10  10  10   0   0
Omak          100  68  97  63  92  59 /   0  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...Heat Advisory until 8 PM PDT this evening for Lewiston Area.

WA...     Heat Advisory until 8 PM PDT this evening for Lower Garfield and
     Asotin Counties.

&&

$$






000
FXUS66 KOTX 021756
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
1056 AM PDT SUN AUG 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS....
Another hot and smokey day will be on tap today with triple digit
heat over much of central and southeast Washington. The ongoing
drought combined with high heat and low humidity will contribute
to high fire danger throughout the Inland Northwest. Temperatures
on Monday should be a few degrees cooler with an increase in
clouds. Cooler, more seasonal temperatures and locally breezy
winds are expected Tuesday through Friday following the arrival
of a cold front.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Rest of today: Low visibilities...below a mile...are still a
persistent issue for the Lake Chelan and adjacent towns, and is
not expected to change much the next 24 hours. We increased cloud
cover some...mainly for the E Slopes of the Cascades as the high-
based convective ceilings currently over Nrn Oregon moves north.
There may be brief isolated showers for the Cascades late
afternoon, but the better chance is this evening. Thunder is not
expected until Monday for the Cascades associated with a weak wave
passing northeast across the area. bz

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAFS: Areas of smoke will not be a big concern, though vsbys
may tempo-down to near MVFR briefly. Otherwise the smoke will be
either. Mid and high level clouds will increase...with winds
remaining around 10kt this afternoon. Local higher gusts are
possible. Downslope gap winds will increase after 02z especially
in KEAT where speeds will reach around 15kt. bz

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        98  67  95  66  87  59 /   0   0   0  10  10  10
Coeur d`Alene  98  59  97  61  87  56 /   0   0   0  20  10  10
Pullman        98  56  93  58  86  53 /   0   0   0  10  10  10
Lewiston      104  68  99  68  93  63 /   0   0  10  10  10  10
Colville      100  57  98  59  89  55 /   0   0  10  20  20  20
Sandpoint      96  52  97  54  83  52 /   0   0   0  30  20  10
Kellogg        96  58  96  60  84  54 /   0   0   0  30  30  20
Moses Lake    101  66  97  62  93  59 /   0   0  10  10   0   0
Wenatchee     101  73  97  68  92  65 /   0  10  10  10   0   0
Omak          100  68  97  63  92  59 /   0  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...Heat Advisory until 8 PM PDT this evening for Lewiston Area.

WA...     Heat Advisory until 8 PM PDT this evening for Lower Garfield and
     Asotin Counties.

&&

$$





000
FXUS66 KOTX 021347
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
646 AM PDT SUN AUG 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS....
Another hot and smokey day will be on tap today with triple digit
heat over much of central and southeast Washington. The ongoing
drought combined with high heat and low humidity will contribute
to high fire danger throughout the Inland Northwest. Temperatures
on Monday should be a few degrees cooler with an increase in
clouds. Cooler, more seasonal temperatures and locally breezy
winds are expected Tuesday through Friday following the arrival
of a cold front.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
A quick update this morning to increase the amount of smoke across
northeast Washington and north Idaho this morning as seen on the
visible satellite images.

Today through Monday night: Expect one more hot and dry day
today, then expect conditions to gradually moisten up and cool
slightly. The ridge of high pressure will stay firm over the
Inland Northwest today as the surface trough spans from the
Columbia Basin to north Idaho. This ridge is expected to shift
east tonight into Monday as an upper trough of low pressure swings
down across B.C. This will enhance a moist southwest flow and
advect moisture and clouds into the region.

Temperatures: Only a degree or two change in temperatures is
expected today as low levels remain warm. It will be another hot
and unstable day. This could make current wildfire more active
once again. Could see a few near record highs, today in Moses
Lake, Plain, Stehekin and Omak. The heat advisory will continue
for another day in the LC valley as daytime temperatures top out
from 93 to 103. Monday`s temperatures will cool a few more degrees
with mainly 90s expected.

Winds/humidity: Downslope Cascade gap winds will be another
concern today especially with the extremely dry humidity levels,
from the upper single digits to mid teens. Wind speeds will
lighten up this morning and could see some terrain driven
upslope/up valley winds in sheltered valleys. Surface pressure
gradients are expected to tighten to about 4-5 mb this afternoon
and should see a repeat of gusty gap winds into the evening across
the Cascade valleys, but speeds don`t look to be as strong as
those on Saturday. Some local afternoon gusts of 15 mph are also
possible across the Columbia Basin as the dry and unstable
atmosphere mixes. Northwest to westerly winds will prevail for
much of the day on Monday although humidity values will gradually
increase.

Clouds/weather: Areas of smoke will be a concern this morning and
into the afternoon as the wildfires remain active. The Wolverine
fire near Lake Chelan will be the main culprit although other
smaller fires especially near the Canadian border will add to the
smokey haze. High clouds will be on the increase today as cirrus
rotates in from the southwest. This moisture is associated with a
monsoonal fetch coming up from California. This moisture will
increase tonight especially across the Cascades and could squeeze
a few sprinkles. A weak disturbance in the moist southwest flow
will ripple up the Cascades Monday morning with a small chance of
elevated convection and more sprinkles. As the upper trough drops
across B.C., this will push the disturbance and moisture band
across the Inland Northwest Monday afternoon and evening.
Instability will remain and this could generate more high based
thunderstorms across northeast Washington and north Idaho. There
looks to be a better chance of measurable precipitation across
north Idaho late Monday night, albeit it will still be light.
/rfox.

Tuesday and Wednesday: A 500mb low will reside over British
Columbia Tuesday and Wednesday. The evening runs of the GFS and
ECMWF are in decent agreement that the majority of eastern
Washington and north Idaho will be under the influence of dry
westerly flow Tuesday and Wednesday. However, there may be enough
cool cyclonic flow aloft along the Canadian border to allow the
formation of widely scattered showers and thunderstorms Tuesday
and Wednesday. A 20-30 percent chance for showers and
thunderstorms has also been retained for the Idaho Panhandle
mountains along the Montana border Tuesday, but the evening models
have trended quicker pushing moisture out of the Panhandle. If
this trend continues, Tuesday will be a dry day for most of the
Panhandle. Tuesday and Wednesday look breezy with sustained 10 to
15 mph common across the Basin, Palouse and Spokane area. Gusts to
20 mph will be likely in the afternoon with localized gusts in the
25 to 30 mph range through the Cascasde gaps during the early
evening hours. Even though temperatures will be trending down
Tuesday and Wednesday, wind and low relative humidity levels could
be a concern given the exceedingly dry conditions following the
heat of the weekend.

Thursday through Saturday: It is hard to get too excited about
chances for showers Thursday through Saturday. (Though....some of
us will be excited about the cooler, more seasonal temperatures.)
With the departure of the 500mb low out of British Columbia
Thursday night, the Pacific Northwest will be under a flat
westerly flow Thursday and Friday. The persistent on-shore flow
should bring a gradual increase in our surface dewpoints Thursday
through Saturday, but probably not enough to produce much
instability. There is a hint of a weak shorwave trough on
Saturday, so a 20 percent chance of mountain showers and
thunderstorms enters ther forecast Saturday afternoon. /GKoch

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAFS: Areas of smoke will be a concern for some of the TAF
sites in the next 24 hours, especially for KMWH where the
norther winds advect lcl MVFR conditions over the site. Expect
some improvement this afternoon with daytime mixing and westerly
winds. Otherwise smoke will be either high level or cause local
MVFR vsbys. Mid and high level clouds will increase through the
period. Winds should remain under 10kt this afternoon but local
higher gusts are possible. Downslope gap winds will increase after
02z especially in KEAT where speeds will reach around 14kt. /rfox.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        98  67  95  66  87  59 /   0   0   0  10  10  10
Coeur d`Alene  98  59  97  61  87  56 /   0   0   0  10  20  10
Pullman        98  56  93  58  86  53 /   0   0   0  10  10  10
Lewiston      104  68  99  68  93  63 /   0  10  10  10  10  10
Colville      100  57  98  59  89  55 /   0   0  10  20  20  20
Sandpoint      96  52  97  54  83  52 /   0   0   0  20  20  10
Kellogg        96  58  96  60  84  54 /   0   0   0  30  30  20
Moses Lake    101  66  97  62  93  59 /  10   0  10  10   0   0
Wenatchee     101  73  97  68  92  65 /   0  10  10  10   0   0
Omak          100  68  97  63  92  59 /   0  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...Heat Advisory until 8 PM PDT this evening for Lewiston Area.

WA...Heat Advisory until 8 PM PDT this evening for Lower Garfield
     and Asotin Counties.

&&

$$






000
FXUS66 KOTX 021347
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
646 AM PDT SUN AUG 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS....
Another hot and smokey day will be on tap today with triple digit
heat over much of central and southeast Washington. The ongoing
drought combined with high heat and low humidity will contribute
to high fire danger throughout the Inland Northwest. Temperatures
on Monday should be a few degrees cooler with an increase in
clouds. Cooler, more seasonal temperatures and locally breezy
winds are expected Tuesday through Friday following the arrival
of a cold front.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
A quick update this morning to increase the amount of smoke across
northeast Washington and north Idaho this morning as seen on the
visible satellite images.

Today through Monday night: Expect one more hot and dry day
today, then expect conditions to gradually moisten up and cool
slightly. The ridge of high pressure will stay firm over the
Inland Northwest today as the surface trough spans from the
Columbia Basin to north Idaho. This ridge is expected to shift
east tonight into Monday as an upper trough of low pressure swings
down across B.C. This will enhance a moist southwest flow and
advect moisture and clouds into the region.

Temperatures: Only a degree or two change in temperatures is
expected today as low levels remain warm. It will be another hot
and unstable day. This could make current wildfire more active
once again. Could see a few near record highs, today in Moses
Lake, Plain, Stehekin and Omak. The heat advisory will continue
for another day in the LC valley as daytime temperatures top out
from 93 to 103. Monday`s temperatures will cool a few more degrees
with mainly 90s expected.

Winds/humidity: Downslope Cascade gap winds will be another
concern today especially with the extremely dry humidity levels,
from the upper single digits to mid teens. Wind speeds will
lighten up this morning and could see some terrain driven
upslope/up valley winds in sheltered valleys. Surface pressure
gradients are expected to tighten to about 4-5 mb this afternoon
and should see a repeat of gusty gap winds into the evening across
the Cascade valleys, but speeds don`t look to be as strong as
those on Saturday. Some local afternoon gusts of 15 mph are also
possible across the Columbia Basin as the dry and unstable
atmosphere mixes. Northwest to westerly winds will prevail for
much of the day on Monday although humidity values will gradually
increase.

Clouds/weather: Areas of smoke will be a concern this morning and
into the afternoon as the wildfires remain active. The Wolverine
fire near Lake Chelan will be the main culprit although other
smaller fires especially near the Canadian border will add to the
smokey haze. High clouds will be on the increase today as cirrus
rotates in from the southwest. This moisture is associated with a
monsoonal fetch coming up from California. This moisture will
increase tonight especially across the Cascades and could squeeze
a few sprinkles. A weak disturbance in the moist southwest flow
will ripple up the Cascades Monday morning with a small chance of
elevated convection and more sprinkles. As the upper trough drops
across B.C., this will push the disturbance and moisture band
across the Inland Northwest Monday afternoon and evening.
Instability will remain and this could generate more high based
thunderstorms across northeast Washington and north Idaho. There
looks to be a better chance of measurable precipitation across
north Idaho late Monday night, albeit it will still be light.
/rfox.

Tuesday and Wednesday: A 500mb low will reside over British
Columbia Tuesday and Wednesday. The evening runs of the GFS and
ECMWF are in decent agreement that the majority of eastern
Washington and north Idaho will be under the influence of dry
westerly flow Tuesday and Wednesday. However, there may be enough
cool cyclonic flow aloft along the Canadian border to allow the
formation of widely scattered showers and thunderstorms Tuesday
and Wednesday. A 20-30 percent chance for showers and
thunderstorms has also been retained for the Idaho Panhandle
mountains along the Montana border Tuesday, but the evening models
have trended quicker pushing moisture out of the Panhandle. If
this trend continues, Tuesday will be a dry day for most of the
Panhandle. Tuesday and Wednesday look breezy with sustained 10 to
15 mph common across the Basin, Palouse and Spokane area. Gusts to
20 mph will be likely in the afternoon with localized gusts in the
25 to 30 mph range through the Cascasde gaps during the early
evening hours. Even though temperatures will be trending down
Tuesday and Wednesday, wind and low relative humidity levels could
be a concern given the exceedingly dry conditions following the
heat of the weekend.

Thursday through Saturday: It is hard to get too excited about
chances for showers Thursday through Saturday. (Though....some of
us will be excited about the cooler, more seasonal temperatures.)
With the departure of the 500mb low out of British Columbia
Thursday night, the Pacific Northwest will be under a flat
westerly flow Thursday and Friday. The persistent on-shore flow
should bring a gradual increase in our surface dewpoints Thursday
through Saturday, but probably not enough to produce much
instability. There is a hint of a weak shorwave trough on
Saturday, so a 20 percent chance of mountain showers and
thunderstorms enters ther forecast Saturday afternoon. /GKoch

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAFS: Areas of smoke will be a concern for some of the TAF
sites in the next 24 hours, especially for KMWH where the
norther winds advect lcl MVFR conditions over the site. Expect
some improvement this afternoon with daytime mixing and westerly
winds. Otherwise smoke will be either high level or cause local
MVFR vsbys. Mid and high level clouds will increase through the
period. Winds should remain under 10kt this afternoon but local
higher gusts are possible. Downslope gap winds will increase after
02z especially in KEAT where speeds will reach around 14kt. /rfox.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        98  67  95  66  87  59 /   0   0   0  10  10  10
Coeur d`Alene  98  59  97  61  87  56 /   0   0   0  10  20  10
Pullman        98  56  93  58  86  53 /   0   0   0  10  10  10
Lewiston      104  68  99  68  93  63 /   0  10  10  10  10  10
Colville      100  57  98  59  89  55 /   0   0  10  20  20  20
Sandpoint      96  52  97  54  83  52 /   0   0   0  20  20  10
Kellogg        96  58  96  60  84  54 /   0   0   0  30  30  20
Moses Lake    101  66  97  62  93  59 /  10   0  10  10   0   0
Wenatchee     101  73  97  68  92  65 /   0  10  10  10   0   0
Omak          100  68  97  63  92  59 /   0  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...Heat Advisory until 8 PM PDT this evening for Lewiston Area.

WA...Heat Advisory until 8 PM PDT this evening for Lower Garfield
     and Asotin Counties.

&&

$$





000
FXUS66 KOTX 021142
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
442 AM PDT SUN AUG 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS....
Another hot and smokey day will be on tap today with triple digit
heat over much of central and southeast Washington. The ongoing
drought combined with high heat and low humidity will contribute
to high fire danger throughout the Inland Northwest. Temperatures
on Monday should be a few degrees cooler with an increase in
clouds. Cooler, more seasonal temperatures and locally breezy
winds are expected Tuesday through Friday following the arrival
of a cold front.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Today through Monday night: Expect one more hot and dry day
today, then expect conditions to gradually moisten up and cool
slightly. The ridge of high pressure will stay firm over the
Inland Northwest today as the surface trough spans from the
Columbia Basin to north Idaho. This ridge is expected to shift
east tonight into Monday as an upper trough of low pressure swings
down across B.C. This will enhance a moist southwest flow and
advect moisture and clouds into the region.

Temperatures: Only a degree or two change in temperatures is
expected today as low levels remain warm. It will be another hot
and unstable day. This could make current wildfire more active
once again. Could see a few near record highs, today in Moses
Lake, Plain, Stehekin and Omak. The heat advisory will continue
for another day in the LC valley as daytime temperatures top out
from 93 to 103. Monday`s temperatures will cool a few more degrees
with mainly 90s expected.

Winds/humidity: Downslope Cascade gap winds will be another
concern today especially with the extremely dry humidity levels,
from the upper single digits to mid teens. Wind speeds will
lighten up this morning and could see some terrain driven
upslope/up valley winds in sheltered valleys. Surface pressure
gradients are expected to tighten to about 4-5 mb this afternoon
and should see a repeat of gusty gap winds into the evening across
the Cascade valleys, but speeds don`t look to be as strong as
those on Saturday. Some local afternoon gusts of 15 mph are also
possible across the Columbia Basin as the dry and unstable
atmosphere mixes. Northwest to westerly winds will prevail for
much of the day on Monday although humidity values will gradually
increase.

Clouds/weather: Areas of smoke will be a concern this morning and
into the afternoon as the wildfires remain active. The Wolverine
fire near Lake Chelan will be the main culprit although other
smaller fires especially near the Canadian border will add to the
smokey haze. High clouds will be on the increase today as cirrus
rotates in from the southwest. This moisture is associated with a
monsoonal fetch coming up from California. This moisture will
increase tonight especially across the Cascades and could squeeze
a few sprinkles. A weak disturbance in the moist southwest flow
will ripple up the Cascades Monday morning with a small chance of
elevated convection and more sprinkles. As the upper trough drops
across B.C., this will push the disturbance and moisture band
across the Inland Northwest Monday afternoon and evening.
Instability will remain and this could generate more high based
thunderstorms across northeast Washington and north Idaho. There
looks to be a better chance of measurable precipitation across
north Idaho late Monday night, albeit it will still be light.
/rfox.

Tuesday and Wednesday: A 500mb low will reside over British
Columbia Tuesday and Wednesday. The evening runs of the GFS and
ECMWF are in decent agreement that the majority of eastern
Washington and north Idaho will be under the influence of dry
westerly flow Tuesday and Wednesday. However, there may be enough
cool cyclonic flow aloft along the Canadian border to allow the
formation of widely scattered showers and thunderstorms Tuesday
and Wednesday. A 20-30 percent chance for showers and
thunderstorms has also been retained for the Idaho Panhandle
mountains along the Montana border Tuesday, but the evening models
have trended quicker pushing moisture out of the Panhandle. If
this trend continues, Tuesday will be a dry day for most of the
Panhandle. Tuesday and Wednesday look breezy with sustained 10 to
15 mph common across the Basin, Palouse and Spokane area. Gusts to
20 mph will be likely in the afternoon with localized gusts in the
25 to 30 mph range through the Cascasde gaps during the early
evening hours. Even though temperatures will be trending down
Tuesday and Wednesday, wind and low relative humidity levels could
be a concern given the exceedingly dry conditions following the
heat of the weekend.

Thursday through Saturday: It is hard to get too excited about
chances for showers Thursday through Saturday. (Though....some of
us will be excited about the cooler, more seasonal temperatures.)
With the departure of the 500mb low out of British Columbia
Thursday night, the Pacific Northwest will be under a flat
westerly flow Thursday and Friday. The persistent on-shore flow
should bring a gradual increase in our surface dewpoints Thursday
through Saturday, but probably not enough to produce much
instability. There is a hint of a weak shorwave trough on
Saturday, so a 20 percent chance of mountain showers and
thunderstorms enters ther forecast Saturday afternoon. /GKoch

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAFS: Areas of smoke will be a concern for some of the TAF
sites in the next 24 hours, especially for KMWH where the
norther winds advect lcl MVFR conditions over the site. Expect
some improvement this afternoon with daytime mixing and westerly
winds. Otherwise smoke will be either high level or cause local
MVFR vsbys. Mid and high level clouds will increase through the
period. Winds should remain under 10kt this afternoon but local
higher gusts are possible. Downslope gap winds will increase after
02z especially in KEAT where speeds will reach around 14kt. /rfox.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        98  67  95  66  87  59 /   0   0   0  10  10  10
Coeur d`Alene  98  59  97  61  87  56 /   0   0   0  10  20  10
Pullman        98  56  93  58  86  53 /   0   0   0  10  10  10
Lewiston      104  68  99  68  93  63 /   0  10  10  10  10  10
Colville      100  57  98  59  89  55 /   0   0  10  20  20  20
Sandpoint      96  52  97  54  83  52 /   0   0   0  20  20  10
Kellogg        96  58  96  60  84  54 /   0   0   0  30  30  20
Moses Lake    101  66  97  62  93  59 /  10   0  10  10   0   0
Wenatchee     101  73  97  68  92  65 /   0  10  10  10   0   0
Omak          100  68  97  63  92  59 /   0  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...Heat Advisory until 8 PM PDT this evening for Lewiston Area.

WA...Heat Advisory until 8 PM PDT this evening for Lower Garfield
     and Asotin Counties.

&&

$$





000
FXUS66 KOTX 021142
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
442 AM PDT SUN AUG 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS....
Another hot and smokey day will be on tap today with triple digit
heat over much of central and southeast Washington. The ongoing
drought combined with high heat and low humidity will contribute
to high fire danger throughout the Inland Northwest. Temperatures
on Monday should be a few degrees cooler with an increase in
clouds. Cooler, more seasonal temperatures and locally breezy
winds are expected Tuesday through Friday following the arrival
of a cold front.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Today through Monday night: Expect one more hot and dry day
today, then expect conditions to gradually moisten up and cool
slightly. The ridge of high pressure will stay firm over the
Inland Northwest today as the surface trough spans from the
Columbia Basin to north Idaho. This ridge is expected to shift
east tonight into Monday as an upper trough of low pressure swings
down across B.C. This will enhance a moist southwest flow and
advect moisture and clouds into the region.

Temperatures: Only a degree or two change in temperatures is
expected today as low levels remain warm. It will be another hot
and unstable day. This could make current wildfire more active
once again. Could see a few near record highs, today in Moses
Lake, Plain, Stehekin and Omak. The heat advisory will continue
for another day in the LC valley as daytime temperatures top out
from 93 to 103. Monday`s temperatures will cool a few more degrees
with mainly 90s expected.

Winds/humidity: Downslope Cascade gap winds will be another
concern today especially with the extremely dry humidity levels,
from the upper single digits to mid teens. Wind speeds will
lighten up this morning and could see some terrain driven
upslope/up valley winds in sheltered valleys. Surface pressure
gradients are expected to tighten to about 4-5 mb this afternoon
and should see a repeat of gusty gap winds into the evening across
the Cascade valleys, but speeds don`t look to be as strong as
those on Saturday. Some local afternoon gusts of 15 mph are also
possible across the Columbia Basin as the dry and unstable
atmosphere mixes. Northwest to westerly winds will prevail for
much of the day on Monday although humidity values will gradually
increase.

Clouds/weather: Areas of smoke will be a concern this morning and
into the afternoon as the wildfires remain active. The Wolverine
fire near Lake Chelan will be the main culprit although other
smaller fires especially near the Canadian border will add to the
smokey haze. High clouds will be on the increase today as cirrus
rotates in from the southwest. This moisture is associated with a
monsoonal fetch coming up from California. This moisture will
increase tonight especially across the Cascades and could squeeze
a few sprinkles. A weak disturbance in the moist southwest flow
will ripple up the Cascades Monday morning with a small chance of
elevated convection and more sprinkles. As the upper trough drops
across B.C., this will push the disturbance and moisture band
across the Inland Northwest Monday afternoon and evening.
Instability will remain and this could generate more high based
thunderstorms across northeast Washington and north Idaho. There
looks to be a better chance of measurable precipitation across
north Idaho late Monday night, albeit it will still be light.
/rfox.

Tuesday and Wednesday: A 500mb low will reside over British
Columbia Tuesday and Wednesday. The evening runs of the GFS and
ECMWF are in decent agreement that the majority of eastern
Washington and north Idaho will be under the influence of dry
westerly flow Tuesday and Wednesday. However, there may be enough
cool cyclonic flow aloft along the Canadian border to allow the
formation of widely scattered showers and thunderstorms Tuesday
and Wednesday. A 20-30 percent chance for showers and
thunderstorms has also been retained for the Idaho Panhandle
mountains along the Montana border Tuesday, but the evening models
have trended quicker pushing moisture out of the Panhandle. If
this trend continues, Tuesday will be a dry day for most of the
Panhandle. Tuesday and Wednesday look breezy with sustained 10 to
15 mph common across the Basin, Palouse and Spokane area. Gusts to
20 mph will be likely in the afternoon with localized gusts in the
25 to 30 mph range through the Cascasde gaps during the early
evening hours. Even though temperatures will be trending down
Tuesday and Wednesday, wind and low relative humidity levels could
be a concern given the exceedingly dry conditions following the
heat of the weekend.

Thursday through Saturday: It is hard to get too excited about
chances for showers Thursday through Saturday. (Though....some of
us will be excited about the cooler, more seasonal temperatures.)
With the departure of the 500mb low out of British Columbia
Thursday night, the Pacific Northwest will be under a flat
westerly flow Thursday and Friday. The persistent on-shore flow
should bring a gradual increase in our surface dewpoints Thursday
through Saturday, but probably not enough to produce much
instability. There is a hint of a weak shorwave trough on
Saturday, so a 20 percent chance of mountain showers and
thunderstorms enters ther forecast Saturday afternoon. /GKoch

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAFS: Areas of smoke will be a concern for some of the TAF
sites in the next 24 hours, especially for KMWH where the
norther winds advect lcl MVFR conditions over the site. Expect
some improvement this afternoon with daytime mixing and westerly
winds. Otherwise smoke will be either high level or cause local
MVFR vsbys. Mid and high level clouds will increase through the
period. Winds should remain under 10kt this afternoon but local
higher gusts are possible. Downslope gap winds will increase after
02z especially in KEAT where speeds will reach around 14kt. /rfox.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        98  67  95  66  87  59 /   0   0   0  10  10  10
Coeur d`Alene  98  59  97  61  87  56 /   0   0   0  10  20  10
Pullman        98  56  93  58  86  53 /   0   0   0  10  10  10
Lewiston      104  68  99  68  93  63 /   0  10  10  10  10  10
Colville      100  57  98  59  89  55 /   0   0  10  20  20  20
Sandpoint      96  52  97  54  83  52 /   0   0   0  20  20  10
Kellogg        96  58  96  60  84  54 /   0   0   0  30  30  20
Moses Lake    101  66  97  62  93  59 /  10   0  10  10   0   0
Wenatchee     101  73  97  68  92  65 /   0  10  10  10   0   0
Omak          100  68  97  63  92  59 /   0  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...Heat Advisory until 8 PM PDT this evening for Lewiston Area.

WA...Heat Advisory until 8 PM PDT this evening for Lower Garfield
     and Asotin Counties.

&&

$$






000
FXUS66 KOTX 021142
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
442 AM PDT SUN AUG 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS....
Another hot and smokey day will be on tap today with triple digit
heat over much of central and southeast Washington. The ongoing
drought combined with high heat and low humidity will contribute
to high fire danger throughout the Inland Northwest. Temperatures
on Monday should be a few degrees cooler with an increase in
clouds. Cooler, more seasonal temperatures and locally breezy
winds are expected Tuesday through Friday following the arrival
of a cold front.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Today through Monday night: Expect one more hot and dry day
today, then expect conditions to gradually moisten up and cool
slightly. The ridge of high pressure will stay firm over the
Inland Northwest today as the surface trough spans from the
Columbia Basin to north Idaho. This ridge is expected to shift
east tonight into Monday as an upper trough of low pressure swings
down across B.C. This will enhance a moist southwest flow and
advect moisture and clouds into the region.

Temperatures: Only a degree or two change in temperatures is
expected today as low levels remain warm. It will be another hot
and unstable day. This could make current wildfire more active
once again. Could see a few near record highs, today in Moses
Lake, Plain, Stehekin and Omak. The heat advisory will continue
for another day in the LC valley as daytime temperatures top out
from 93 to 103. Monday`s temperatures will cool a few more degrees
with mainly 90s expected.

Winds/humidity: Downslope Cascade gap winds will be another
concern today especially with the extremely dry humidity levels,
from the upper single digits to mid teens. Wind speeds will
lighten up this morning and could see some terrain driven
upslope/up valley winds in sheltered valleys. Surface pressure
gradients are expected to tighten to about 4-5 mb this afternoon
and should see a repeat of gusty gap winds into the evening across
the Cascade valleys, but speeds don`t look to be as strong as
those on Saturday. Some local afternoon gusts of 15 mph are also
possible across the Columbia Basin as the dry and unstable
atmosphere mixes. Northwest to westerly winds will prevail for
much of the day on Monday although humidity values will gradually
increase.

Clouds/weather: Areas of smoke will be a concern this morning and
into the afternoon as the wildfires remain active. The Wolverine
fire near Lake Chelan will be the main culprit although other
smaller fires especially near the Canadian border will add to the
smokey haze. High clouds will be on the increase today as cirrus
rotates in from the southwest. This moisture is associated with a
monsoonal fetch coming up from California. This moisture will
increase tonight especially across the Cascades and could squeeze
a few sprinkles. A weak disturbance in the moist southwest flow
will ripple up the Cascades Monday morning with a small chance of
elevated convection and more sprinkles. As the upper trough drops
across B.C., this will push the disturbance and moisture band
across the Inland Northwest Monday afternoon and evening.
Instability will remain and this could generate more high based
thunderstorms across northeast Washington and north Idaho. There
looks to be a better chance of measurable precipitation across
north Idaho late Monday night, albeit it will still be light.
/rfox.

Tuesday and Wednesday: A 500mb low will reside over British
Columbia Tuesday and Wednesday. The evening runs of the GFS and
ECMWF are in decent agreement that the majority of eastern
Washington and north Idaho will be under the influence of dry
westerly flow Tuesday and Wednesday. However, there may be enough
cool cyclonic flow aloft along the Canadian border to allow the
formation of widely scattered showers and thunderstorms Tuesday
and Wednesday. A 20-30 percent chance for showers and
thunderstorms has also been retained for the Idaho Panhandle
mountains along the Montana border Tuesday, but the evening models
have trended quicker pushing moisture out of the Panhandle. If
this trend continues, Tuesday will be a dry day for most of the
Panhandle. Tuesday and Wednesday look breezy with sustained 10 to
15 mph common across the Basin, Palouse and Spokane area. Gusts to
20 mph will be likely in the afternoon with localized gusts in the
25 to 30 mph range through the Cascasde gaps during the early
evening hours. Even though temperatures will be trending down
Tuesday and Wednesday, wind and low relative humidity levels could
be a concern given the exceedingly dry conditions following the
heat of the weekend.

Thursday through Saturday: It is hard to get too excited about
chances for showers Thursday through Saturday. (Though....some of
us will be excited about the cooler, more seasonal temperatures.)
With the departure of the 500mb low out of British Columbia
Thursday night, the Pacific Northwest will be under a flat
westerly flow Thursday and Friday. The persistent on-shore flow
should bring a gradual increase in our surface dewpoints Thursday
through Saturday, but probably not enough to produce much
instability. There is a hint of a weak shorwave trough on
Saturday, so a 20 percent chance of mountain showers and
thunderstorms enters ther forecast Saturday afternoon. /GKoch

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAFS: Areas of smoke will be a concern for some of the TAF
sites in the next 24 hours, especially for KMWH where the
norther winds advect lcl MVFR conditions over the site. Expect
some improvement this afternoon with daytime mixing and westerly
winds. Otherwise smoke will be either high level or cause local
MVFR vsbys. Mid and high level clouds will increase through the
period. Winds should remain under 10kt this afternoon but local
higher gusts are possible. Downslope gap winds will increase after
02z especially in KEAT where speeds will reach around 14kt. /rfox.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        98  67  95  66  87  59 /   0   0   0  10  10  10
Coeur d`Alene  98  59  97  61  87  56 /   0   0   0  10  20  10
Pullman        98  56  93  58  86  53 /   0   0   0  10  10  10
Lewiston      104  68  99  68  93  63 /   0  10  10  10  10  10
Colville      100  57  98  59  89  55 /   0   0  10  20  20  20
Sandpoint      96  52  97  54  83  52 /   0   0   0  20  20  10
Kellogg        96  58  96  60  84  54 /   0   0   0  30  30  20
Moses Lake    101  66  97  62  93  59 /  10   0  10  10   0   0
Wenatchee     101  73  97  68  92  65 /   0  10  10  10   0   0
Omak          100  68  97  63  92  59 /   0  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...Heat Advisory until 8 PM PDT this evening for Lewiston Area.

WA...Heat Advisory until 8 PM PDT this evening for Lower Garfield
     and Asotin Counties.

&&

$$





000
FXUS66 KOTX 021142
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
442 AM PDT SUN AUG 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS....
Another hot and smokey day will be on tap today with triple digit
heat over much of central and southeast Washington. The ongoing
drought combined with high heat and low humidity will contribute
to high fire danger throughout the Inland Northwest. Temperatures
on Monday should be a few degrees cooler with an increase in
clouds. Cooler, more seasonal temperatures and locally breezy
winds are expected Tuesday through Friday following the arrival
of a cold front.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Today through Monday night: Expect one more hot and dry day
today, then expect conditions to gradually moisten up and cool
slightly. The ridge of high pressure will stay firm over the
Inland Northwest today as the surface trough spans from the
Columbia Basin to north Idaho. This ridge is expected to shift
east tonight into Monday as an upper trough of low pressure swings
down across B.C. This will enhance a moist southwest flow and
advect moisture and clouds into the region.

Temperatures: Only a degree or two change in temperatures is
expected today as low levels remain warm. It will be another hot
and unstable day. This could make current wildfire more active
once again. Could see a few near record highs, today in Moses
Lake, Plain, Stehekin and Omak. The heat advisory will continue
for another day in the LC valley as daytime temperatures top out
from 93 to 103. Monday`s temperatures will cool a few more degrees
with mainly 90s expected.

Winds/humidity: Downslope Cascade gap winds will be another
concern today especially with the extremely dry humidity levels,
from the upper single digits to mid teens. Wind speeds will
lighten up this morning and could see some terrain driven
upslope/up valley winds in sheltered valleys. Surface pressure
gradients are expected to tighten to about 4-5 mb this afternoon
and should see a repeat of gusty gap winds into the evening across
the Cascade valleys, but speeds don`t look to be as strong as
those on Saturday. Some local afternoon gusts of 15 mph are also
possible across the Columbia Basin as the dry and unstable
atmosphere mixes. Northwest to westerly winds will prevail for
much of the day on Monday although humidity values will gradually
increase.

Clouds/weather: Areas of smoke will be a concern this morning and
into the afternoon as the wildfires remain active. The Wolverine
fire near Lake Chelan will be the main culprit although other
smaller fires especially near the Canadian border will add to the
smokey haze. High clouds will be on the increase today as cirrus
rotates in from the southwest. This moisture is associated with a
monsoonal fetch coming up from California. This moisture will
increase tonight especially across the Cascades and could squeeze
a few sprinkles. A weak disturbance in the moist southwest flow
will ripple up the Cascades Monday morning with a small chance of
elevated convection and more sprinkles. As the upper trough drops
across B.C., this will push the disturbance and moisture band
across the Inland Northwest Monday afternoon and evening.
Instability will remain and this could generate more high based
thunderstorms across northeast Washington and north Idaho. There
looks to be a better chance of measurable precipitation across
north Idaho late Monday night, albeit it will still be light.
/rfox.

Tuesday and Wednesday: A 500mb low will reside over British
Columbia Tuesday and Wednesday. The evening runs of the GFS and
ECMWF are in decent agreement that the majority of eastern
Washington and north Idaho will be under the influence of dry
westerly flow Tuesday and Wednesday. However, there may be enough
cool cyclonic flow aloft along the Canadian border to allow the
formation of widely scattered showers and thunderstorms Tuesday
and Wednesday. A 20-30 percent chance for showers and
thunderstorms has also been retained for the Idaho Panhandle
mountains along the Montana border Tuesday, but the evening models
have trended quicker pushing moisture out of the Panhandle. If
this trend continues, Tuesday will be a dry day for most of the
Panhandle. Tuesday and Wednesday look breezy with sustained 10 to
15 mph common across the Basin, Palouse and Spokane area. Gusts to
20 mph will be likely in the afternoon with localized gusts in the
25 to 30 mph range through the Cascasde gaps during the early
evening hours. Even though temperatures will be trending down
Tuesday and Wednesday, wind and low relative humidity levels could
be a concern given the exceedingly dry conditions following the
heat of the weekend.

Thursday through Saturday: It is hard to get too excited about
chances for showers Thursday through Saturday. (Though....some of
us will be excited about the cooler, more seasonal temperatures.)
With the departure of the 500mb low out of British Columbia
Thursday night, the Pacific Northwest will be under a flat
westerly flow Thursday and Friday. The persistent on-shore flow
should bring a gradual increase in our surface dewpoints Thursday
through Saturday, but probably not enough to produce much
instability. There is a hint of a weak shorwave trough on
Saturday, so a 20 percent chance of mountain showers and
thunderstorms enters ther forecast Saturday afternoon. /GKoch

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAFS: Areas of smoke will be a concern for some of the TAF
sites in the next 24 hours, especially for KMWH where the
norther winds advect lcl MVFR conditions over the site. Expect
some improvement this afternoon with daytime mixing and westerly
winds. Otherwise smoke will be either high level or cause local
MVFR vsbys. Mid and high level clouds will increase through the
period. Winds should remain under 10kt this afternoon but local
higher gusts are possible. Downslope gap winds will increase after
02z especially in KEAT where speeds will reach around 14kt. /rfox.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        98  67  95  66  87  59 /   0   0   0  10  10  10
Coeur d`Alene  98  59  97  61  87  56 /   0   0   0  10  20  10
Pullman        98  56  93  58  86  53 /   0   0   0  10  10  10
Lewiston      104  68  99  68  93  63 /   0  10  10  10  10  10
Colville      100  57  98  59  89  55 /   0   0  10  20  20  20
Sandpoint      96  52  97  54  83  52 /   0   0   0  20  20  10
Kellogg        96  58  96  60  84  54 /   0   0   0  30  30  20
Moses Lake    101  66  97  62  93  59 /  10   0  10  10   0   0
Wenatchee     101  73  97  68  92  65 /   0  10  10  10   0   0
Omak          100  68  97  63  92  59 /   0  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...Heat Advisory until 8 PM PDT this evening for Lewiston Area.

WA...Heat Advisory until 8 PM PDT this evening for Lower Garfield
     and Asotin Counties.

&&

$$






000
FXUS66 KOTX 020948
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
248 AM PDT SUN AUG 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS....
Another hot and smokey day will be on tap today with triple digit
heat over much of central and southeast Washington. The ongoing
drought combined with high heat and low humidity will contribute
to high fire danger throughout the Inland Northwest. Temperatures
on Monday should be a few degrees cooler with an increase in
clouds. Cooler, more seasonal temperatures and locally breezy
winds are expected Tuesday through Friday following the arrival
of a cold front.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Today through Monday night: Expect one more hot and dry day
today, then expect conditions to gradually moisten up and cool
slightly. The ridge of high pressure will stay firm over the
Inland Northwest today as the surface trough spans from the
Columbia Basin to north Idaho. This ridge is expected to shift
east tonight into Monday as an upper trough of low pressure swings
down across B.C. This will enhance a moist southwest flow and
advect moisture and clouds into the region.

Temperatures: Only a degree or two change in temperatures is
expected today as low levels remain warm. It will be another hot
and unstable day. This could make current wildfire more active
once again. Could see a few near record highs, today in Moses
Lake, Plain, Stehekin and Omak. The heat advisory will continue
for another day in the LC valley as daytime temperatures top out
from 93 to 103. Monday`s temperatures will cool a few more degrees
with mainly 90s expected.

Winds/humidity: Downslope Cascade gap winds will be another
concern today especially with the extremely dry humidity levels,
from the upper single digits to mid teens. Wind speeds will
lighten up this morning and could see some terrain driven
upslope/up valley winds in sheltered valleys. Surface pressure
gradients are expected to tighten to about 4-5 mb this afternoon
and should see a repeat of gusty gap winds into the evening across
the Cascade valleys, but speeds don`t look to be as strong as
those on Saturday. Some local afternoon gusts of 15 mph are also
possible across the Columbia Basin as the dry and unstable
atmosphere mixes. Northwest to westerly winds will prevail for
much of the day on Monday although humidity values will gradually
increase.

Clouds/weather: Areas of smoke will be a concern this morning and
into the afternoon as the wildfires remain active. The Wolverine
fire near Lake Chelan will be the main culprit although other
smaller fires especially near the Canadian border will add to the
smokey haze. High clouds will be on the increase today as cirrus
rotates in from the southwest. This moisture is associated with a
monsoonal fetch coming up from California. This moisture will
increase tonight especially across the Cascades and could squeeze
a few sprinkles. A weak disturbance in the moist southwest flow
will ripple up the Cascades Monday morning with a small chance of
elevated convection and more sprinkles. As the upper trough drops
across B.C., this will push the disturbance and moisture band
across the Inland Northwest Monday afternoon and evening.
Instability will remain and this could generate more high based
thunderstorms across northeast Washington and north Idaho. There
looks to be a better chance of measurable precipitation across
north Idaho late Monday night, albeit it will still be light.
/rfox.

Tuesday and Wednesday: A 500mb low will reside over British
Columbia Tuesday and Wednesday. The evening runs of the GFS and
ECMWF are in decent agreement that the majority of eastern
Washington and north Idaho will be under the influence of dry
westerly flow Tuesday and Wednesday. However, there may be enough
cool cyclonic flow aloft along the Canadian border to allow the
formation of widely scattered showers and thunderstorms Tuesday
and Wednesday. A 20-30 percent chance for showers and
thunderstorms has also been retained for the Idaho Panhandle
mountains along the Montana border Tuesday, but the evening models
have trended quicker pushing moisture out of the Panhandle. If
this trend continues, Tuesday will be a dry day for most of the
Panhandle. Tuesday and Wednesday look breezy with sustained 10 to
15 mph common across the Basin, Palouse and Spokane area. Gusts to
20 mph will be likely in the afternoon with localized gusts in the
25 to 30 mph range through the Cascasde gaps during the early
evening hours. Even though temperatures will be trending down
Tuesday and Wednesday, wind and low relative humidity levels could
be a concern given the exceedingly dry conditions following the
heat of the weekend.

Thursday through Saturday: It is hard to get too excited about
chances for showers Thursday through Saturday. (Though....some of
us will be excited about the cooler, more seasonal temperatures.)
With the departure of the 500mb low out of British Columbia
Thursday night, the Pacific Northwest will be under a flat
westerly flow Thursday and Friday. The persistent on-shore flow
should bring a gradual increase in our surface dewpoints Thursday
through Saturday, but probably not enough to produce much
instability. There is a hint of a weak shorwave trough on
Saturday, so a 20 percent chance of mountain showers and
thunderstorms enters ther forecast Saturday afternoon. /GKoch

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAFS: Smoke will continue to be the main aviation concern
through Sunday. The smoke will be most prevalent in portions of
central Washington near the Wolverine Fire. Lower level smoke
will increase around Chelan tonight, with the BlueSky model
keeping this smoke east of KEAT again...but impacting KMWH
overnight into Sunday morning. Confidence is not high concerning
timing of MVFR visibility as KMWH...so went with a compromise
between timing of BlueSky model and persistance. Some improvement
is expected Sunday afternoon at KMWH as surface winds switch from
N-NW to SW. JW

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        98  67  95  66  87  59 /   0   0   0  10  10  10
Coeur d`Alene  98  59  97  61  87  56 /   0   0   0  10  20  10
Pullman        98  56  93  58  86  53 /   0   0   0  10  10  10
Lewiston      104  68  99  68  93  63 /   0  10  10  10  10  10
Colville      100  57  98  59  89  55 /   0   0  10  20  20  20
Sandpoint      96  52  97  54  83  52 /   0   0   0  20  20  10
Kellogg        96  58  96  60  84  54 /   0   0   0  30  30  20
Moses Lake    101  66  97  62  93  59 /  10   0  10  10   0   0
Wenatchee     101  73  97  68  92  65 /   0  10  10  10   0   0
Omak          100  68  97  63  92  59 /   0  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...Heat Advisory until 8 PM PDT this evening for Lewiston Area.

WA...Heat Advisory until 8 PM PDT this evening for Lower Garfield
     and Asotin Counties.

&&

$$





000
FXUS66 KOTX 020948
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
248 AM PDT SUN AUG 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS....
Another hot and smokey day will be on tap today with triple digit
heat over much of central and southeast Washington. The ongoing
drought combined with high heat and low humidity will contribute
to high fire danger throughout the Inland Northwest. Temperatures
on Monday should be a few degrees cooler with an increase in
clouds. Cooler, more seasonal temperatures and locally breezy
winds are expected Tuesday through Friday following the arrival
of a cold front.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Today through Monday night: Expect one more hot and dry day
today, then expect conditions to gradually moisten up and cool
slightly. The ridge of high pressure will stay firm over the
Inland Northwest today as the surface trough spans from the
Columbia Basin to north Idaho. This ridge is expected to shift
east tonight into Monday as an upper trough of low pressure swings
down across B.C. This will enhance a moist southwest flow and
advect moisture and clouds into the region.

Temperatures: Only a degree or two change in temperatures is
expected today as low levels remain warm. It will be another hot
and unstable day. This could make current wildfire more active
once again. Could see a few near record highs, today in Moses
Lake, Plain, Stehekin and Omak. The heat advisory will continue
for another day in the LC valley as daytime temperatures top out
from 93 to 103. Monday`s temperatures will cool a few more degrees
with mainly 90s expected.

Winds/humidity: Downslope Cascade gap winds will be another
concern today especially with the extremely dry humidity levels,
from the upper single digits to mid teens. Wind speeds will
lighten up this morning and could see some terrain driven
upslope/up valley winds in sheltered valleys. Surface pressure
gradients are expected to tighten to about 4-5 mb this afternoon
and should see a repeat of gusty gap winds into the evening across
the Cascade valleys, but speeds don`t look to be as strong as
those on Saturday. Some local afternoon gusts of 15 mph are also
possible across the Columbia Basin as the dry and unstable
atmosphere mixes. Northwest to westerly winds will prevail for
much of the day on Monday although humidity values will gradually
increase.

Clouds/weather: Areas of smoke will be a concern this morning and
into the afternoon as the wildfires remain active. The Wolverine
fire near Lake Chelan will be the main culprit although other
smaller fires especially near the Canadian border will add to the
smokey haze. High clouds will be on the increase today as cirrus
rotates in from the southwest. This moisture is associated with a
monsoonal fetch coming up from California. This moisture will
increase tonight especially across the Cascades and could squeeze
a few sprinkles. A weak disturbance in the moist southwest flow
will ripple up the Cascades Monday morning with a small chance of
elevated convection and more sprinkles. As the upper trough drops
across B.C., this will push the disturbance and moisture band
across the Inland Northwest Monday afternoon and evening.
Instability will remain and this could generate more high based
thunderstorms across northeast Washington and north Idaho. There
looks to be a better chance of measurable precipitation across
north Idaho late Monday night, albeit it will still be light.
/rfox.

Tuesday and Wednesday: A 500mb low will reside over British
Columbia Tuesday and Wednesday. The evening runs of the GFS and
ECMWF are in decent agreement that the majority of eastern
Washington and north Idaho will be under the influence of dry
westerly flow Tuesday and Wednesday. However, there may be enough
cool cyclonic flow aloft along the Canadian border to allow the
formation of widely scattered showers and thunderstorms Tuesday
and Wednesday. A 20-30 percent chance for showers and
thunderstorms has also been retained for the Idaho Panhandle
mountains along the Montana border Tuesday, but the evening models
have trended quicker pushing moisture out of the Panhandle. If
this trend continues, Tuesday will be a dry day for most of the
Panhandle. Tuesday and Wednesday look breezy with sustained 10 to
15 mph common across the Basin, Palouse and Spokane area. Gusts to
20 mph will be likely in the afternoon with localized gusts in the
25 to 30 mph range through the Cascasde gaps during the early
evening hours. Even though temperatures will be trending down
Tuesday and Wednesday, wind and low relative humidity levels could
be a concern given the exceedingly dry conditions following the
heat of the weekend.

Thursday through Saturday: It is hard to get too excited about
chances for showers Thursday through Saturday. (Though....some of
us will be excited about the cooler, more seasonal temperatures.)
With the departure of the 500mb low out of British Columbia
Thursday night, the Pacific Northwest will be under a flat
westerly flow Thursday and Friday. The persistent on-shore flow
should bring a gradual increase in our surface dewpoints Thursday
through Saturday, but probably not enough to produce much
instability. There is a hint of a weak shorwave trough on
Saturday, so a 20 percent chance of mountain showers and
thunderstorms enters ther forecast Saturday afternoon. /GKoch

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAFS: Smoke will continue to be the main aviation concern
through Sunday. The smoke will be most prevalent in portions of
central Washington near the Wolverine Fire. Lower level smoke
will increase around Chelan tonight, with the BlueSky model
keeping this smoke east of KEAT again...but impacting KMWH
overnight into Sunday morning. Confidence is not high concerning
timing of MVFR visibility as KMWH...so went with a compromise
between timing of BlueSky model and persistance. Some improvement
is expected Sunday afternoon at KMWH as surface winds switch from
N-NW to SW. JW

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        98  67  95  66  87  59 /   0   0   0  10  10  10
Coeur d`Alene  98  59  97  61  87  56 /   0   0   0  10  20  10
Pullman        98  56  93  58  86  53 /   0   0   0  10  10  10
Lewiston      104  68  99  68  93  63 /   0  10  10  10  10  10
Colville      100  57  98  59  89  55 /   0   0  10  20  20  20
Sandpoint      96  52  97  54  83  52 /   0   0   0  20  20  10
Kellogg        96  58  96  60  84  54 /   0   0   0  30  30  20
Moses Lake    101  66  97  62  93  59 /  10   0  10  10   0   0
Wenatchee     101  73  97  68  92  65 /   0  10  10  10   0   0
Omak          100  68  97  63  92  59 /   0  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...Heat Advisory until 8 PM PDT this evening for Lewiston Area.

WA...Heat Advisory until 8 PM PDT this evening for Lower Garfield
     and Asotin Counties.

&&

$$






000
FXUS66 KOTX 020528
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
1028 PM PDT SAT AUG 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS....
Expect a very hot weekend with afternoon temperatures in the mid
90s to near 105. The ongoing drought combined with high heat and
low humidity will raise concerns for wildfires the next several
days. A cold front will bring temperatures back closer to average
on Tuesday. Temperatures Wednesday through Friday will likely be
at or below average.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Update: Overall a quiet night in place with an upper ridge
persisting over the region. Main story is the area wildfires which
has contributed quite a smoke to several areas across Central and
Eastern Washington into North Idaho. The biggest
fire...Wolverine...near Lake Chelan has been putting up the
largest amount of smoke while other fires near Ione and earlier
near Sprague have also been a contributor. With the fires near
Lake Chelan and Ione still burning active as of 9 pm per evidence
from satellite and/or radar with an inversion setting in...there
will likely be quite a bit of smoke around the area tonight.
Forecast has been updated to increase coverage of smoke
tonight...as well as around the Moses Lake, Ephrata, and southern
Okanogan Valley areas for Sunday. JW

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAFS: Smoke will continue to be the main aviation concern
through Sunday. The smoke will be most prevalent in portions of
central Washington near the Wolverine Fire. Lower level smoke
will increase around Chelan tonight, with the BlueSky model
keeping this smoke east of KEAT again...but impacting KMWH
overnight into Sunday morning. Confidence is not high concerning
timing of MVFR visibility as KMWH...so went with a compromise
between timing of BlueSky model and persistance. Some improvement
is expected Sunday afternoon at KMWH as surface winds switch from
N-NW to SW. JW

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        63  97  70  94  67  87 /   0   0   0  10  10  10
Coeur d`Alene  58  96  63  94  64  87 /   0   0   0  10  10  20
Pullman        56  97  62  92  60  87 /   0   0   0  10  10  10
Lewiston       66 103  72  98  69  95 /   0   0  10  10  20  10
Colville       56  99  62  95  62  89 /   0   0   0  10  10  20
Sandpoint      50  95  58  91  60  85 /   0   0   0  10  20  20
Kellogg        58  95  58  94  61  85 /   0   0   0  10  20  20
Moses Lake     59  99  69  97  64  93 /   0   0   0  10   0   0
Wenatchee      68  98  76  96  70  91 /   0   0  10  10  10   0
Omak           60 100  70  98  64  92 /   0   0   0  10  10  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...Heat Advisory until 8 PM PDT Sunday for Lewiston Area.

WA...     Heat Advisory until 8 PM PDT Sunday for Lower Garfield and
     Asotin Counties.

&&

$$




000
FXUS66 KOTX 020528
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
1028 PM PDT SAT AUG 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS....
Expect a very hot weekend with afternoon temperatures in the mid
90s to near 105. The ongoing drought combined with high heat and
low humidity will raise concerns for wildfires the next several
days. A cold front will bring temperatures back closer to average
on Tuesday. Temperatures Wednesday through Friday will likely be
at or below average.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Update: Overall a quiet night in place with an upper ridge
persisting over the region. Main story is the area wildfires which
has contributed quite a smoke to several areas across Central and
Eastern Washington into North Idaho. The biggest
fire...Wolverine...near Lake Chelan has been putting up the
largest amount of smoke while other fires near Ione and earlier
near Sprague have also been a contributor. With the fires near
Lake Chelan and Ione still burning active as of 9 pm per evidence
from satellite and/or radar with an inversion setting in...there
will likely be quite a bit of smoke around the area tonight.
Forecast has been updated to increase coverage of smoke
tonight...as well as around the Moses Lake, Ephrata, and southern
Okanogan Valley areas for Sunday. JW

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAFS: Smoke will continue to be the main aviation concern
through Sunday. The smoke will be most prevalent in portions of
central Washington near the Wolverine Fire. Lower level smoke
will increase around Chelan tonight, with the BlueSky model
keeping this smoke east of KEAT again...but impacting KMWH
overnight into Sunday morning. Confidence is not high concerning
timing of MVFR visibility as KMWH...so went with a compromise
between timing of BlueSky model and persistance. Some improvement
is expected Sunday afternoon at KMWH as surface winds switch from
N-NW to SW. JW

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        63  97  70  94  67  87 /   0   0   0  10  10  10
Coeur d`Alene  58  96  63  94  64  87 /   0   0   0  10  10  20
Pullman        56  97  62  92  60  87 /   0   0   0  10  10  10
Lewiston       66 103  72  98  69  95 /   0   0  10  10  20  10
Colville       56  99  62  95  62  89 /   0   0   0  10  10  20
Sandpoint      50  95  58  91  60  85 /   0   0   0  10  20  20
Kellogg        58  95  58  94  61  85 /   0   0   0  10  20  20
Moses Lake     59  99  69  97  64  93 /   0   0   0  10   0   0
Wenatchee      68  98  76  96  70  91 /   0   0  10  10  10   0
Omak           60 100  70  98  64  92 /   0   0   0  10  10  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...Heat Advisory until 8 PM PDT Sunday for Lewiston Area.

WA...     Heat Advisory until 8 PM PDT Sunday for Lower Garfield and
     Asotin Counties.

&&

$$





000
FXUS66 KOTX 020422
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
922 PM PDT SAT AUG 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS....
Expect a very hot weekend with afternoon temperatures in the mid
90s to near 105. The ongoing drought combined with high heat and
low humidity will raise concerns for wildfires the next several
days. A cold front will bring temperatures back closer to average
on Tuesday. Temperatures Wednesday through Friday will likely be
at or below average.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Update: Overall a quiet night in place with an upper ridge
persisting over the region. Main story is the area wildfires which
has contributed quite a smoke to several areas across Central and
Eastern Washington into North Idaho. The biggest
fire...Wolverine...near Lake Chelan has been putting up the
largest amount of smoke while other fires near Ione and earlier
near Sprague have also been a contributor. With the fires near
Lake Chelan and Ione still burning active as of 9 pm per evidence
from satellite and/or radar with an inversion setting in...there
will likely be quite a bit of smoke around the area tonight.
Forecast has been updated to increase coverage of smoke
tonight...as well as around the Moses Lake, Ephrata, and southern
Okanogan Valley areas for Sunday. JW

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAFS: A large plume of elevated smoke will continue to track
towards Grand Coulee, Spokane, and Coeur D`Alene areas tonight
but prevailing surface visibilities should remain VFR...although a
fire near Sprague could track smoke up towards KGEG/KSFF/KCOE. As
the inversions sets in...lower level smoke will increase around
Chelan, with the BlueSky model keeping this smoke east of KEAT
again...but impacting KMWH overnight into Sunday morning.
Confidence is not high concerning timing of MVFR visibility as
KMWH...so went with a compromise between timing of BlueSky model
and persistance. Some improvement is expected Sunday afternoon at
KMWH as surface winds switch from N-NW to SW. JW

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        63  97  70  94  67  87 /   0   0   0  10  10  10
Coeur d`Alene  58  96  63  94  64  87 /   0   0   0  10  10  20
Pullman        56  97  62  92  60  87 /   0   0   0  10  10  10
Lewiston       66 103  72  98  69  95 /   0   0  10  10  20  10
Colville       56  99  62  95  62  89 /   0   0   0  10  10  20
Sandpoint      50  95  58  91  60  85 /   0   0   0  10  20  20
Kellogg        58  95  58  94  61  85 /   0   0   0  10  20  20
Moses Lake     59  99  69  97  64  93 /   0   0   0  10   0   0
Wenatchee      68  98  76  96  70  91 /   0   0  10  10  10   0
Omak           60 100  70  98  64  92 /   0   0   0  10  10  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...Heat Advisory until 8 PM PDT Sunday for Lewiston Area.

WA...     Heat Advisory until 8 PM PDT Sunday for Lower Garfield and
     Asotin Counties.

&&

$$




000
FXUS66 KOTX 020422
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
922 PM PDT SAT AUG 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS....
Expect a very hot weekend with afternoon temperatures in the mid
90s to near 105. The ongoing drought combined with high heat and
low humidity will raise concerns for wildfires the next several
days. A cold front will bring temperatures back closer to average
on Tuesday. Temperatures Wednesday through Friday will likely be
at or below average.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Update: Overall a quiet night in place with an upper ridge
persisting over the region. Main story is the area wildfires which
has contributed quite a smoke to several areas across Central and
Eastern Washington into North Idaho. The biggest
fire...Wolverine...near Lake Chelan has been putting up the
largest amount of smoke while other fires near Ione and earlier
near Sprague have also been a contributor. With the fires near
Lake Chelan and Ione still burning active as of 9 pm per evidence
from satellite and/or radar with an inversion setting in...there
will likely be quite a bit of smoke around the area tonight.
Forecast has been updated to increase coverage of smoke
tonight...as well as around the Moses Lake, Ephrata, and southern
Okanogan Valley areas for Sunday. JW

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAFS: A large plume of elevated smoke will continue to track
towards Grand Coulee, Spokane, and Coeur D`Alene areas tonight
but prevailing surface visibilities should remain VFR...although a
fire near Sprague could track smoke up towards KGEG/KSFF/KCOE. As
the inversions sets in...lower level smoke will increase around
Chelan, with the BlueSky model keeping this smoke east of KEAT
again...but impacting KMWH overnight into Sunday morning.
Confidence is not high concerning timing of MVFR visibility as
KMWH...so went with a compromise between timing of BlueSky model
and persistance. Some improvement is expected Sunday afternoon at
KMWH as surface winds switch from N-NW to SW. JW

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        63  97  70  94  67  87 /   0   0   0  10  10  10
Coeur d`Alene  58  96  63  94  64  87 /   0   0   0  10  10  20
Pullman        56  97  62  92  60  87 /   0   0   0  10  10  10
Lewiston       66 103  72  98  69  95 /   0   0  10  10  20  10
Colville       56  99  62  95  62  89 /   0   0   0  10  10  20
Sandpoint      50  95  58  91  60  85 /   0   0   0  10  20  20
Kellogg        58  95  58  94  61  85 /   0   0   0  10  20  20
Moses Lake     59  99  69  97  64  93 /   0   0   0  10   0   0
Wenatchee      68  98  76  96  70  91 /   0   0  10  10  10   0
Omak           60 100  70  98  64  92 /   0   0   0  10  10  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...Heat Advisory until 8 PM PDT Sunday for Lewiston Area.

WA...     Heat Advisory until 8 PM PDT Sunday for Lower Garfield and
     Asotin Counties.

&&

$$





000
FXUS66 KOTX 020028
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
528 PM PDT SAT AUG 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS....
Expect a very hot weekend with afternoon temperatures in the mid
90s to near 105. The ongoing drought combined with high heat and
low humidity will raise concerns for wildfires the next several
days. A cold front will bring temperatures back closer to average
on Tuesday. Temperatures Wednesday through Friday will likely be
at or below average.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Tonight and Sunday: No changes to the fcst outside of increasing
the areal coverage of smoke near the Cascades. Visibilities will
likely remain obscured to less than one mile for certainly the
immediate Lake Chelan area from the Wolverine fire. Low temps were
warmed a bit also in these smoke-filled valleys based on low temps
this morning.bz

Sunday night through Wednesday: Models are back in pretty good
agreement of the large scale synoptic pattern through the first
part of the work week. They are showing a wave move up from the
south Sunday night through Monday. With this wave will be an
increase in moisture and some very weak instability. Have added
some sprinkles and thunderstorms to the forecast. Expect the area
of sprinkles and thunderstorms to move up into the central
Cascades early Monday morning and then spread north and east
through the day and out of the area by Tuesday morning. With the
additional cloud cover Sunday night and Monday night have
increased temperatures several degrees to about 6-10 degrees above
average for this time of the year. Tuesday and Wednesday we
transition into a more west or northwesterly flow as an upper
level low pressure system moves into central British Columbia. The
track of this low is indicative of breezy winds in the Cascades,
Columbia Basin and into the Palouse and Spokane/CDA areas (about
10-20 mph). The best chance of showers or thunderstorms will
reside across the mountains. Daytime Temperatures will finally
drop to around average for Tuesday and maybe even below average
for Wednesday. /Nisbet

Wednesday night through Saturday: Expect relatively cool
temperatures and a few opportunities for showers mainly around
the mountains. Model agreement regarding the precise evolution of
the pattern degrades with a lack of solid consistency. Loose
agreement suggests an upper trough will continue to migrate across
the Pacific NW early this period. This is followed by brief
shortwave ridging before another trough approaches. Additionally
the low spinning off the CA coast moves inland and potentially by
southeast WA and southern ID late next week. In short,
shower/t-storm chances will linger around the Cascades and
northern mountains Thursday and return here and toward the Blues
through central Panhandle Saturday with approach of the next
trough from the west and possible wave approaching from the south.
Temperatures will be near to slightly below normal early this
period, warming back closer to an above normal by late in the
period. /J. Cote`


&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAFS: A large plume of elevated smoke will continue to track
towards Grand Coulee, Spokane, and Coeur D`Alene areas tonight
but prevailing surface visibilities should remain VFR...although a
fire near Sprague could track smoke up towards KGEG/KSFF/KCOE. As
the inversions sets in...lower level smoke will increase around
Chelan, with the BlueSky model keeping this smoke east of KEAT
again...but impacting KMWH overnight into Sunday morning.
Confidence is not high concerning timing of MVFR visibility as
KMWH...so went with a compromise between timing of BlueSky model
and persistance. Some improvement is expected Sunday afternoon at
KMWH as surface winds switch from N-NW to SW. JW

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        63  97  70  94  67  87 /   0   0   0  10  10  10
Coeur d`Alene  58  96  63  94  64  87 /   0   0   0  10  10  20
Pullman        56  97  62  92  60  87 /   0   0   0  10  10  10
Lewiston       66 103  72  98  69  95 /   0   0  10  10  20  10
Colville       56  99  62  95  62  89 /   0   0   0  10  10  20
Sandpoint      50  95  58  91  60  85 /   0   0   0  10  20  20
Kellogg        58  95  58  94  61  85 /   0   0   0  10  20  20
Moses Lake     59  99  69  97  64  93 /   0   0   0  10   0   0
Wenatchee      68  98  76  96  70  91 /   0   0  10  10  10   0
Omak           60 100  70  98  64  92 /   0   0   0  10  10  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...Heat Advisory until 8 PM PDT Sunday for Lewiston Area.

WA...Heat Advisory until 8 PM PDT Sunday for Lower Garfield and
Asotin Counties.

&&

$$




000
FXUS66 KOTX 020028
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
528 PM PDT SAT AUG 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS....
Expect a very hot weekend with afternoon temperatures in the mid
90s to near 105. The ongoing drought combined with high heat and
low humidity will raise concerns for wildfires the next several
days. A cold front will bring temperatures back closer to average
on Tuesday. Temperatures Wednesday through Friday will likely be
at or below average.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Tonight and Sunday: No changes to the fcst outside of increasing
the areal coverage of smoke near the Cascades. Visibilities will
likely remain obscured to less than one mile for certainly the
immediate Lake Chelan area from the Wolverine fire. Low temps were
warmed a bit also in these smoke-filled valleys based on low temps
this morning.bz

Sunday night through Wednesday: Models are back in pretty good
agreement of the large scale synoptic pattern through the first
part of the work week. They are showing a wave move up from the
south Sunday night through Monday. With this wave will be an
increase in moisture and some very weak instability. Have added
some sprinkles and thunderstorms to the forecast. Expect the area
of sprinkles and thunderstorms to move up into the central
Cascades early Monday morning and then spread north and east
through the day and out of the area by Tuesday morning. With the
additional cloud cover Sunday night and Monday night have
increased temperatures several degrees to about 6-10 degrees above
average for this time of the year. Tuesday and Wednesday we
transition into a more west or northwesterly flow as an upper
level low pressure system moves into central British Columbia. The
track of this low is indicative of breezy winds in the Cascades,
Columbia Basin and into the Palouse and Spokane/CDA areas (about
10-20 mph). The best chance of showers or thunderstorms will
reside across the mountains. Daytime Temperatures will finally
drop to around average for Tuesday and maybe even below average
for Wednesday. /Nisbet

Wednesday night through Saturday: Expect relatively cool
temperatures and a few opportunities for showers mainly around
the mountains. Model agreement regarding the precise evolution of
the pattern degrades with a lack of solid consistency. Loose
agreement suggests an upper trough will continue to migrate across
the Pacific NW early this period. This is followed by brief
shortwave ridging before another trough approaches. Additionally
the low spinning off the CA coast moves inland and potentially by
southeast WA and southern ID late next week. In short,
shower/t-storm chances will linger around the Cascades and
northern mountains Thursday and return here and toward the Blues
through central Panhandle Saturday with approach of the next
trough from the west and possible wave approaching from the south.
Temperatures will be near to slightly below normal early this
period, warming back closer to an above normal by late in the
period. /J. Cote`


&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAFS: A large plume of elevated smoke will continue to track
towards Grand Coulee, Spokane, and Coeur D`Alene areas tonight
but prevailing surface visibilities should remain VFR...although a
fire near Sprague could track smoke up towards KGEG/KSFF/KCOE. As
the inversions sets in...lower level smoke will increase around
Chelan, with the BlueSky model keeping this smoke east of KEAT
again...but impacting KMWH overnight into Sunday morning.
Confidence is not high concerning timing of MVFR visibility as
KMWH...so went with a compromise between timing of BlueSky model
and persistance. Some improvement is expected Sunday afternoon at
KMWH as surface winds switch from N-NW to SW. JW

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        63  97  70  94  67  87 /   0   0   0  10  10  10
Coeur d`Alene  58  96  63  94  64  87 /   0   0   0  10  10  20
Pullman        56  97  62  92  60  87 /   0   0   0  10  10  10
Lewiston       66 103  72  98  69  95 /   0   0  10  10  20  10
Colville       56  99  62  95  62  89 /   0   0   0  10  10  20
Sandpoint      50  95  58  91  60  85 /   0   0   0  10  20  20
Kellogg        58  95  58  94  61  85 /   0   0   0  10  20  20
Moses Lake     59  99  69  97  64  93 /   0   0   0  10   0   0
Wenatchee      68  98  76  96  70  91 /   0   0  10  10  10   0
Omak           60 100  70  98  64  92 /   0   0   0  10  10  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...Heat Advisory until 8 PM PDT Sunday for Lewiston Area.

WA...Heat Advisory until 8 PM PDT Sunday for Lower Garfield and
Asotin Counties.

&&

$$





000
FXUS66 KOTX 020028
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
528 PM PDT SAT AUG 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS....
Expect a very hot weekend with afternoon temperatures in the mid
90s to near 105. The ongoing drought combined with high heat and
low humidity will raise concerns for wildfires the next several
days. A cold front will bring temperatures back closer to average
on Tuesday. Temperatures Wednesday through Friday will likely be
at or below average.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Tonight and Sunday: No changes to the fcst outside of increasing
the areal coverage of smoke near the Cascades. Visibilities will
likely remain obscured to less than one mile for certainly the
immediate Lake Chelan area from the Wolverine fire. Low temps were
warmed a bit also in these smoke-filled valleys based on low temps
this morning.bz

Sunday night through Wednesday: Models are back in pretty good
agreement of the large scale synoptic pattern through the first
part of the work week. They are showing a wave move up from the
south Sunday night through Monday. With this wave will be an
increase in moisture and some very weak instability. Have added
some sprinkles and thunderstorms to the forecast. Expect the area
of sprinkles and thunderstorms to move up into the central
Cascades early Monday morning and then spread north and east
through the day and out of the area by Tuesday morning. With the
additional cloud cover Sunday night and Monday night have
increased temperatures several degrees to about 6-10 degrees above
average for this time of the year. Tuesday and Wednesday we
transition into a more west or northwesterly flow as an upper
level low pressure system moves into central British Columbia. The
track of this low is indicative of breezy winds in the Cascades,
Columbia Basin and into the Palouse and Spokane/CDA areas (about
10-20 mph). The best chance of showers or thunderstorms will
reside across the mountains. Daytime Temperatures will finally
drop to around average for Tuesday and maybe even below average
for Wednesday. /Nisbet

Wednesday night through Saturday: Expect relatively cool
temperatures and a few opportunities for showers mainly around
the mountains. Model agreement regarding the precise evolution of
the pattern degrades with a lack of solid consistency. Loose
agreement suggests an upper trough will continue to migrate across
the Pacific NW early this period. This is followed by brief
shortwave ridging before another trough approaches. Additionally
the low spinning off the CA coast moves inland and potentially by
southeast WA and southern ID late next week. In short,
shower/t-storm chances will linger around the Cascades and
northern mountains Thursday and return here and toward the Blues
through central Panhandle Saturday with approach of the next
trough from the west and possible wave approaching from the south.
Temperatures will be near to slightly below normal early this
period, warming back closer to an above normal by late in the
period. /J. Cote`


&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAFS: A large plume of elevated smoke will continue to track
towards Grand Coulee, Spokane, and Coeur D`Alene areas tonight
but prevailing surface visibilities should remain VFR...although a
fire near Sprague could track smoke up towards KGEG/KSFF/KCOE. As
the inversions sets in...lower level smoke will increase around
Chelan, with the BlueSky model keeping this smoke east of KEAT
again...but impacting KMWH overnight into Sunday morning.
Confidence is not high concerning timing of MVFR visibility as
KMWH...so went with a compromise between timing of BlueSky model
and persistance. Some improvement is expected Sunday afternoon at
KMWH as surface winds switch from N-NW to SW. JW

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        63  97  70  94  67  87 /   0   0   0  10  10  10
Coeur d`Alene  58  96  63  94  64  87 /   0   0   0  10  10  20
Pullman        56  97  62  92  60  87 /   0   0   0  10  10  10
Lewiston       66 103  72  98  69  95 /   0   0  10  10  20  10
Colville       56  99  62  95  62  89 /   0   0   0  10  10  20
Sandpoint      50  95  58  91  60  85 /   0   0   0  10  20  20
Kellogg        58  95  58  94  61  85 /   0   0   0  10  20  20
Moses Lake     59  99  69  97  64  93 /   0   0   0  10   0   0
Wenatchee      68  98  76  96  70  91 /   0   0  10  10  10   0
Omak           60 100  70  98  64  92 /   0   0   0  10  10  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...Heat Advisory until 8 PM PDT Sunday for Lewiston Area.

WA...Heat Advisory until 8 PM PDT Sunday for Lower Garfield and
Asotin Counties.

&&

$$




000
FXUS66 KOTX 012123
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
223 PM PDT SAT AUG 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS....
Expect a very hot weekend with afternoon temperatures in the mid
90s to near 105. The ongoing drought combined with high heat and
low humidity will raise concerns for wildfires the next several
days. A cold front will bring temperatures back closer to average
on Tuesday. Temperatures Wednesday through Friday will likely be
at or below average.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Tonight and Sunday: No changes to the fcst outside of increasing
the areal coverage of smoke near the Cascades. Visibilities will
likely remain obscured to less than one mile for certainly the
immediate Lake Chelan area from the Wolverine fire. Low temps were
warmed a bit also in these smoke-filled valleys based on low temps
this morning.bz

Sunday night through Wednesday: Models are back in pretty good
agreement of the large scale synoptic pattern through the first
part of the work week. They are showing a wave move up from the
south Sunday night through Monday. With this wave will be an
increase in moisture and some very weak instability. Have added
some sprinkles and thunderstorms to the forecast. Expect the area
of sprinkles and thunderstorms to move up into the central
Cascades early Monday morning and then spread north and east
through the day and out of the area by Tuesday morning. With the
additional cloud cover Sunday night and Monday night have
increased temperatures several degrees to about 6-10 degrees above
average for this time of the year. Tuesday and Wednesday we
transition into a more west or northwesterly flow as an upper
level low pressure system moves into central British Columbia. The
track of this low is indicative of breezy winds in the Cascades,
Columbia Basin and into the Palouse and Spokane/CDA areas (about
10-20 mph). The best chance of showers or thunderstorms will
reside across the mountains. Daytime Temperatures will finally
drop to around average for Tuesday and maybe even below average
for Wednesday. /Nisbet

Wednesday night through Saturday: Expect relatively cool
temperatures and a few opportunities for showers mainly around
the mountains. Model agreement regarding the precise evolution of
the pattern degrades with a lack of solid consistency. Loose
agreement suggests an upper trough will continue to migrate across
the Pacific NW early this period. This is followed by brief
shortwave ridging before another trough approaches. Additionally
the low spinning off the CA coast moves inland and potentially by
southeast WA and southern ID late next week. In short,
shower/t-storm chances will linger around the Cascades and
northern mountains Thursday and return here and toward the Blues
through central Panhandle Saturday with approach of the next
trough from the west and possible wave approaching from the south.
Temperatures will be near to slightly below normal early this
period, warming back closer to an above normal by late in the
period. /J. Cote`


&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAFS: VFR conditions can be expected for most sites for at
least the next 24 hours. All locations should see some smoke that
doesn`t restrict vsbys. The exception will be for the KMWH/KEPH
area late tonight and into midday Sunday where MVFR vsbys from
smoke are possible. High pressure across the region means only
light diurnal winds through Sunday. Gap winds however will
increase at KEAT after 02z but remain in the 9-12kt range.bz


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        63  97  70  94  67  87 /   0   0   0  10  10  10
Coeur d`Alene  58  96  63  94  64  87 /   0   0   0  10  10  20
Pullman        56  97  62  92  60  87 /   0   0   0  10  10  10
Lewiston       66 103  72  98  69  95 /   0   0  10  10  20  10
Colville       56  99  62  95  62  89 /   0   0   0  10  10  20
Sandpoint      50  95  58  91  60  85 /   0   0   0  10  20  20
Kellogg        58  95  58  94  61  85 /   0   0   0  10  20  20
Moses Lake     59  99  69  97  64  93 /   0   0   0  10   0   0
Wenatchee      68  98  76  96  70  91 /   0   0  10  10  10   0
Omak           60 100  70  98  64  92 /   0   0   0  10  10  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...Heat Advisory until 8 PM PDT Sunday for Lewiston Area.

WA...Heat Advisory until 8 PM PDT Sunday for Lower Garfield and
Asotin Counties.

&&

$$




000
FXUS66 KOTX 012123
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
223 PM PDT SAT AUG 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS....
Expect a very hot weekend with afternoon temperatures in the mid
90s to near 105. The ongoing drought combined with high heat and
low humidity will raise concerns for wildfires the next several
days. A cold front will bring temperatures back closer to average
on Tuesday. Temperatures Wednesday through Friday will likely be
at or below average.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Tonight and Sunday: No changes to the fcst outside of increasing
the areal coverage of smoke near the Cascades. Visibilities will
likely remain obscured to less than one mile for certainly the
immediate Lake Chelan area from the Wolverine fire. Low temps were
warmed a bit also in these smoke-filled valleys based on low temps
this morning.bz

Sunday night through Wednesday: Models are back in pretty good
agreement of the large scale synoptic pattern through the first
part of the work week. They are showing a wave move up from the
south Sunday night through Monday. With this wave will be an
increase in moisture and some very weak instability. Have added
some sprinkles and thunderstorms to the forecast. Expect the area
of sprinkles and thunderstorms to move up into the central
Cascades early Monday morning and then spread north and east
through the day and out of the area by Tuesday morning. With the
additional cloud cover Sunday night and Monday night have
increased temperatures several degrees to about 6-10 degrees above
average for this time of the year. Tuesday and Wednesday we
transition into a more west or northwesterly flow as an upper
level low pressure system moves into central British Columbia. The
track of this low is indicative of breezy winds in the Cascades,
Columbia Basin and into the Palouse and Spokane/CDA areas (about
10-20 mph). The best chance of showers or thunderstorms will
reside across the mountains. Daytime Temperatures will finally
drop to around average for Tuesday and maybe even below average
for Wednesday. /Nisbet

Wednesday night through Saturday: Expect relatively cool
temperatures and a few opportunities for showers mainly around
the mountains. Model agreement regarding the precise evolution of
the pattern degrades with a lack of solid consistency. Loose
agreement suggests an upper trough will continue to migrate across
the Pacific NW early this period. This is followed by brief
shortwave ridging before another trough approaches. Additionally
the low spinning off the CA coast moves inland and potentially by
southeast WA and southern ID late next week. In short,
shower/t-storm chances will linger around the Cascades and
northern mountains Thursday and return here and toward the Blues
through central Panhandle Saturday with approach of the next
trough from the west and possible wave approaching from the south.
Temperatures will be near to slightly below normal early this
period, warming back closer to an above normal by late in the
period. /J. Cote`


&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAFS: VFR conditions can be expected for most sites for at
least the next 24 hours. All locations should see some smoke that
doesn`t restrict vsbys. The exception will be for the KMWH/KEPH
area late tonight and into midday Sunday where MVFR vsbys from
smoke are possible. High pressure across the region means only
light diurnal winds through Sunday. Gap winds however will
increase at KEAT after 02z but remain in the 9-12kt range.bz


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        63  97  70  94  67  87 /   0   0   0  10  10  10
Coeur d`Alene  58  96  63  94  64  87 /   0   0   0  10  10  20
Pullman        56  97  62  92  60  87 /   0   0   0  10  10  10
Lewiston       66 103  72  98  69  95 /   0   0  10  10  20  10
Colville       56  99  62  95  62  89 /   0   0   0  10  10  20
Sandpoint      50  95  58  91  60  85 /   0   0   0  10  20  20
Kellogg        58  95  58  94  61  85 /   0   0   0  10  20  20
Moses Lake     59  99  69  97  64  93 /   0   0   0  10   0   0
Wenatchee      68  98  76  96  70  91 /   0   0  10  10  10   0
Omak           60 100  70  98  64  92 /   0   0   0  10  10  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...Heat Advisory until 8 PM PDT Sunday for Lewiston Area.

WA...Heat Advisory until 8 PM PDT Sunday for Lower Garfield and
Asotin Counties.

&&

$$





000
FXUS66 KOTX 011833
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
1133 AM PDT SAT AUG 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS....
Expect a very hot weekend with afternoon temperatures in the mid
90s to near 105. The ongoing drought combined with high heat and
low humidity will raise concerns for wildfires the next several
days. A cold front will bring temperatures back closer to average
on Monday. Temperatures for Tuesday through Friday will likely be
at or below average.


&&

.DISCUSSION...

Rest of today: We increased the areal coverage of the smoke for
the western part of the Columbia Basin...and especially the Lake
Chelan area. We also included significantly reduced vsbys for
these same areas. One-half mile vsby due to smoke is likely for
the Lake Chelan region as well. Vsbys down to as low as one mile
for the Waterville Plateau and Moses Lake/Ephrata areas look
likely as well. We`ll be closely watching winds for later today
for the Cascade gaps (Wenatchee region). Some of the hi- res
model data actually supports light and variable winds through late
afternoon. bz

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAFS: VFR conditions can be expected for most sites for at
least the next 24 hours. All locations should see some smoke that
doesn`t restrict vsbys. The exception will be for the KMWH/KEPH
area late tonight and into midday Sunday where MVFR vsbys from
smoke are possible. High pressure across the region means only
light diurnal winds through Sunday. Gap winds however will
increase at KEAT after 02z but remain in the 9-12kt range.bz

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        99  63  97  67  90  63 /   0   0   0   0  10  10
Coeur d`Alene  98  58  96  61  90  60 /   0   0   0   0  10  10
Pullman        99  56  97  59  89  56 /   0   0   0  10  10  10
Lewiston      105  66 103  69  95  66 /   0   0   0  10  10  20
Colville      101  56  99  59  91  58 /   0   0   0   0  10  10
Sandpoint      97  50  95  56  87  56 /   0   0   0   0  10  10
Kellogg        96  58  95  58  90  58 /   0   0   0  10  10  20
Moses Lake    102  59  99  65  94  62 /   0   0   0  10  10   0
Wenatchee     101  68  98  72  93  67 /   0   0  10   0  10  10
Omak          102  60 100  65  95  61 /   0   0   0   0  10  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...Heat Advisory until 8 PM PDT Sunday for Lewiston Area.

WA...     Heat Advisory until 8 PM PDT Sunday for Lower Garfield and
     Asotin Counties.

&&

$$





000
FXUS66 KOTX 011833
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
1133 AM PDT SAT AUG 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS....
Expect a very hot weekend with afternoon temperatures in the mid
90s to near 105. The ongoing drought combined with high heat and
low humidity will raise concerns for wildfires the next several
days. A cold front will bring temperatures back closer to average
on Monday. Temperatures for Tuesday through Friday will likely be
at or below average.


&&

.DISCUSSION...

Rest of today: We increased the areal coverage of the smoke for
the western part of the Columbia Basin...and especially the Lake
Chelan area. We also included significantly reduced vsbys for
these same areas. One-half mile vsby due to smoke is likely for
the Lake Chelan region as well. Vsbys down to as low as one mile
for the Waterville Plateau and Moses Lake/Ephrata areas look
likely as well. We`ll be closely watching winds for later today
for the Cascade gaps (Wenatchee region). Some of the hi- res
model data actually supports light and variable winds through late
afternoon. bz

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAFS: VFR conditions can be expected for most sites for at
least the next 24 hours. All locations should see some smoke that
doesn`t restrict vsbys. The exception will be for the KMWH/KEPH
area late tonight and into midday Sunday where MVFR vsbys from
smoke are possible. High pressure across the region means only
light diurnal winds through Sunday. Gap winds however will
increase at KEAT after 02z but remain in the 9-12kt range.bz

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        99  63  97  67  90  63 /   0   0   0   0  10  10
Coeur d`Alene  98  58  96  61  90  60 /   0   0   0   0  10  10
Pullman        99  56  97  59  89  56 /   0   0   0  10  10  10
Lewiston      105  66 103  69  95  66 /   0   0   0  10  10  20
Colville      101  56  99  59  91  58 /   0   0   0   0  10  10
Sandpoint      97  50  95  56  87  56 /   0   0   0   0  10  10
Kellogg        96  58  95  58  90  58 /   0   0   0  10  10  20
Moses Lake    102  59  99  65  94  62 /   0   0   0  10  10   0
Wenatchee     101  68  98  72  93  67 /   0   0  10   0  10  10
Omak          102  60 100  65  95  61 /   0   0   0   0  10  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...Heat Advisory until 8 PM PDT Sunday for Lewiston Area.

WA...     Heat Advisory until 8 PM PDT Sunday for Lower Garfield and
     Asotin Counties.

&&

$$






000
FXUS66 KOTX 011833
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
1133 AM PDT SAT AUG 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS....
Expect a very hot weekend with afternoon temperatures in the mid
90s to near 105. The ongoing drought combined with high heat and
low humidity will raise concerns for wildfires the next several
days. A cold front will bring temperatures back closer to average
on Monday. Temperatures for Tuesday through Friday will likely be
at or below average.


&&

.DISCUSSION...

Rest of today: We increased the areal coverage of the smoke for
the western part of the Columbia Basin...and especially the Lake
Chelan area. We also included significantly reduced vsbys for
these same areas. One-half mile vsby due to smoke is likely for
the Lake Chelan region as well. Vsbys down to as low as one mile
for the Waterville Plateau and Moses Lake/Ephrata areas look
likely as well. We`ll be closely watching winds for later today
for the Cascade gaps (Wenatchee region). Some of the hi- res
model data actually supports light and variable winds through late
afternoon. bz

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAFS: VFR conditions can be expected for most sites for at
least the next 24 hours. All locations should see some smoke that
doesn`t restrict vsbys. The exception will be for the KMWH/KEPH
area late tonight and into midday Sunday where MVFR vsbys from
smoke are possible. High pressure across the region means only
light diurnal winds through Sunday. Gap winds however will
increase at KEAT after 02z but remain in the 9-12kt range.bz

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        99  63  97  67  90  63 /   0   0   0   0  10  10
Coeur d`Alene  98  58  96  61  90  60 /   0   0   0   0  10  10
Pullman        99  56  97  59  89  56 /   0   0   0  10  10  10
Lewiston      105  66 103  69  95  66 /   0   0   0  10  10  20
Colville      101  56  99  59  91  58 /   0   0   0   0  10  10
Sandpoint      97  50  95  56  87  56 /   0   0   0   0  10  10
Kellogg        96  58  95  58  90  58 /   0   0   0  10  10  20
Moses Lake    102  59  99  65  94  62 /   0   0   0  10  10   0
Wenatchee     101  68  98  72  93  67 /   0   0  10   0  10  10
Omak          102  60 100  65  95  61 /   0   0   0   0  10  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...Heat Advisory until 8 PM PDT Sunday for Lewiston Area.

WA...     Heat Advisory until 8 PM PDT Sunday for Lower Garfield and
     Asotin Counties.

&&

$$





000
FXUS66 KOTX 011833
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
1133 AM PDT SAT AUG 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS....
Expect a very hot weekend with afternoon temperatures in the mid
90s to near 105. The ongoing drought combined with high heat and
low humidity will raise concerns for wildfires the next several
days. A cold front will bring temperatures back closer to average
on Monday. Temperatures for Tuesday through Friday will likely be
at or below average.


&&

.DISCUSSION...

Rest of today: We increased the areal coverage of the smoke for
the western part of the Columbia Basin...and especially the Lake
Chelan area. We also included significantly reduced vsbys for
these same areas. One-half mile vsby due to smoke is likely for
the Lake Chelan region as well. Vsbys down to as low as one mile
for the Waterville Plateau and Moses Lake/Ephrata areas look
likely as well. We`ll be closely watching winds for later today
for the Cascade gaps (Wenatchee region). Some of the hi- res
model data actually supports light and variable winds through late
afternoon. bz

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAFS: VFR conditions can be expected for most sites for at
least the next 24 hours. All locations should see some smoke that
doesn`t restrict vsbys. The exception will be for the KMWH/KEPH
area late tonight and into midday Sunday where MVFR vsbys from
smoke are possible. High pressure across the region means only
light diurnal winds through Sunday. Gap winds however will
increase at KEAT after 02z but remain in the 9-12kt range.bz

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        99  63  97  67  90  63 /   0   0   0   0  10  10
Coeur d`Alene  98  58  96  61  90  60 /   0   0   0   0  10  10
Pullman        99  56  97  59  89  56 /   0   0   0  10  10  10
Lewiston      105  66 103  69  95  66 /   0   0   0  10  10  20
Colville      101  56  99  59  91  58 /   0   0   0   0  10  10
Sandpoint      97  50  95  56  87  56 /   0   0   0   0  10  10
Kellogg        96  58  95  58  90  58 /   0   0   0  10  10  20
Moses Lake    102  59  99  65  94  62 /   0   0   0  10  10   0
Wenatchee     101  68  98  72  93  67 /   0   0  10   0  10  10
Omak          102  60 100  65  95  61 /   0   0   0   0  10  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...Heat Advisory until 8 PM PDT Sunday for Lewiston Area.

WA...     Heat Advisory until 8 PM PDT Sunday for Lower Garfield and
     Asotin Counties.

&&

$$






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