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000
FXUS66 KOTX 242348
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
448 PM PDT FRI OCT 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A warm front lifts into the region tonight with a band of rain. A
strong cold front passes Saturday Night into Sunday with very
windy conditions, including possible gusts in excess of 40 mph.
The pattern remains active into early next week. This includes the
potential for widespread rain again by Tuesday as moisture
associated with the remains of Tropical Storm Ana makes its way
toward the Pacific Northwest.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Tonight and Saturday...Warm front comes up from the south tonight
spreading clouds and precipitation from south to north. Saturday
is a bit more complicated as the warm front more or less exits
into Southern British Columbia and a cold frontal zone associated
with the same low pressure system the exiting warm front is tied
into moves inland. A surface low in the vicinity of where both
these fronts tie into low pressure system moves onto the coast as
well. The result of this scenario is an increase in the surface
pressure gradient and the moisture along and ahead of the cold
front invading the sky from the west and keeping a significant
amount of cloud cover in the forecast along with increasing
precipitation chances through the day Saturday. Winds increase
with a warming trend as well. /Pelatti

...STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...

Saturday night through Monday night...The progressive pattern
will continue through this portion of the forecast and the models
seem to be doing a good job keeping up. A cold front will move
through the forecast area Saturday night, then stall along the
Montana border Sunday morning. The atmosphere will destabilize
ahead of the front, and with ample moisture available it will
result in widespread showers for the entire forecast area. Model
guidance is picking up on enough surface based and mid level
instability to support a slight chance of thunderstorms from about
Pomeroy northeast to about Mullan Pass. Thunderstorms are not
overly common this time of year and especially at night. This may
end up with some very heavy showers, but this much instability
thunderstorm potential can`t totally be ignored. Localized
moderate to heavy rain and snow showers will be probable through
early Sunday morning. Snow levels will drop behind he front to
between 4k-5k feet. The higher mountains could pick up several
inches of snow.

Another concern will be winds and wind gusts through the night
and into Sunday. A deep surface low will move off the Pacific and
northeast into B.C. This is a perfect set up for the Inland
Northwest to get gusty winds. The surface gradient will increase
to 10-12 mb between Portland and Kalispell, and 850 mb winds
increase to between 40-50kts. Mixing associated with the front
should have no trouble mixing these higher winds down to the
surface. Sustained winds of 20-35 mph with gusts 30-40 mph will be
possible. An area of concern will be the eastern Columbia basin,
the Palouse and the Foothills of the Blue mountains where model
guidance is showing winds 25-40 mph with gusts 40-50 mph. This
will either meet wind advisory criteria or be very close and an
advisory will be issued with the afternoon package.

Rain and mountain snow showers will continue through Sunday
evening with the focus closer to the higher terrain of the the
Cascade crest, the northern Washington and Idaho Panhandle
mountains. However showers will be possible just about anywhere
outside of the deep basin through sunset. Winds will remain strong
and gusty through Sunday but will begin to decrease through Sunday
afternoon.

Weak and short lived high pressure will build into the region on
Monday. Some lingering mountain showers will be possible in the
west-northwest flow but the forecast should be mainly dry. The
next frontal system will begin to move into the Cascades by Monday
evening. Warm over-running precipitation will begin along the
Cascades around 06z Tuesday and slowly push across the forecast
area the remainder of the night for another round of valley rain
and high elevation snow. /Tobin

Tuesday through Friday: The active pattern will continue,
especially early this period as the remnants of Tropical Storm Ana
come into the Pacific Northwest, but models start to disagree by
the second half of the work week. On Tuesday morning low pressure
is centered near northern Vancouver Island, with a warm front
draped across north-central WA through the lower ID Panhandle.
This set-up provides ample isentropic lift with a tap into a
subtropical moisture plume (with PWATs around 150-190% of normal),
until that low pressure center and a westerly 100kt jet pushes
inland. This will lead to the likely threat of rain during the day
outside of the deeper Basin, before the threat backs against the
Cascade crest and retreats to the eastern mountains Tuesday night
into Wednesday. Precipitation could be moderate to locally heavy
in the Cascades and northeast WA and north ID, especially on
Tuesday.

Snow levels linger around 4-5kft in the morning, then rise to
around 5-7kft in the afternoon over a large part of the region.
The main exception could be across the Canadian border counties
where they may linger around that 4-5kft mark. So if precipitation
starts early enough there could be some snow accumulation around
the passes, with the best threat of it lingering through the day
around Sherman Pass where the warmer air may not reach. With this
said, there is still a lot of room for model changes but it is
something to monitor.

From Wednesday night into Friday a long-wave trough deepens
across the eastern Pacific and nudges toward the Pacific Northwest
coast. The southwest flow increases going through this period,
with a warm front lifting back north around late Thursday or
Thursday night, followed by shortwave disturbances skirting by the
Cascades. Models disagree over whether to hold the higher
precipitation threat associated with these features in the
Cascades or to expand it over most of eastern WA/ID. I left at
least a slight chance in most spots from Thursday, with higher
PoPs in the Cascades and mountains. I expand higher PoPs eastward
again Friday as the ridge axis shifts east of the ID/MT border and
there will be more opportunity for any impulses to actually cross
the region and given those better precipitation chances. Given the
overall set-up with the trough offshore and ridge over the
northern Rockies, I also have some patchy fog in the forecast
largely for the night and morning hours across the sheltered
northeast valleys and out into some of the typical Spokane/C`DA
area spots (along the river and out toward the West Plains).

As for temperatures, values remain near to slightly below normal
early this week. Then values start to warm above normal with the
building ridge and southwest flow ahead of the offshore trough,
especially toward Thursday into Friday. The only possible caveat
will be the potential for any fog/stratus holding temperatures
back from reaching their full potential. /J. Cote`

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAFS: A warm front lifting into eastern WA and north ID will
bring areas of mainly light rain. The -ra is expected to
progress from near the WA/OR border at 00Z to the Canadian border
toward late evening/early overnight. This will impact the TAF
sites with a 2 to 4 hour period of light rain potential, around
LWS/PUW before 03-04Z and northward around 02-06Z. Primarily VFR
conditions are expected, save for near EAT and potentially MWH
where lcl MVFR/IFR cigs are possible in the low level upslope
flow. Look for lull in the precipitation threat around TAF sites
for the overnight and morning hours, before a shower threat develops
again through the afternoon Saturday. This will be accompanied by
increased winds. (Wind speeds will continue to strengthen Saturday
night into Sunday as a cold front pushes by). /J. Cote`

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        44  63  43  53  36  50 /  60  10  80  30  10  10
Coeur d`Alene  42  64  42  52  34  49 /  50  10  90  30  20  20
Pullman        45  66  43  50  38  50 /  50  10  70  30  20  20
Lewiston       44  70  47  55  41  56 /  50  10  60  20  20  10
Colville       42  62  44  53  34  51 /  70  20  80  50  20  10
Sandpoint      40  61  42  49  33  47 /  70  20 100  70  30  20
Kellogg        41  60  40  46  34  43 /  60  20 100  50  40  30
Moses Lake     45  61  44  58  36  54 /  80  20  50  10  10   0
Wenatchee      44  60  42  56  39  54 /  80  40  80  10  10  10
Omak           42  57  42  53  34  53 /  90  40  90  30  10   0

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...Wind Advisory from 8 PM Saturday to 3 PM PDT Sunday for Lower
     Garfield and Asotin Counties-Spokane Area-Upper Columbia
     Basin-Washington Palouse.

&&

$$






000
FXUS66 KOTX 242144
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
244 PM PDT FRI OCT 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A warm front will lift through the region tonight with a band of
rain. A strong cold front passage Saturday Night and Sunday will
produce very windy conditions with gusts in excess of 40 mph. The
pattern will continue to be active into early next week. This
includes the potential for widespread rain into early next week as
moisture associated with former typhoons makes its way toward the
Pacific Northwest.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Tonight and Saturday...Warm front comes up from the south tonight
spreading clouds and precipitation from south to north. Saturday
is a bit more complicated as the warm front more or less exits
into Southern British Columbia and a cold frontal zone associated
with the same low pressure system the exiting warm front is tied
into moves inland. A surface low in the vicinity of where both
these fronts tie into low pressure system moves onto the coast as
well. The result of this scenario is an increase in the surface
pressure gradient and the moisture along and ahead of the cold
front invading the sky from the west and keeping a significant
amount of cloud cover in the forecast along with increasing
precipitation chances through the day Saturday. Winds increase
with a warming trend as well. /Pelatti

...strong...gusty winds are expected Saturday night and Sunday...

Saturday night through Monday night...The progressive pattern
will continue through this portion of the forecast and the models
seem to be doing a good job keeping up. A cold front will move
through the forecast area Saturday night, then stall along the
Montana border Sunday morning. The atmosphere will destabilize
ahead of the front, and with ample moisture available it will
result in widespread showers for the entire forecast area. Model
guidance is picking up on enough surface based and mid level
instability to support a slight chance of thunderstorms from about
Pomeroy northeast to about Mullan Pass. Thunderstorms are not
overly common this time of year and especially at night. This may
end up with some very heavy showers, but this much instability
thunderstorm potential can`t totally be ignored. Localized
moderate to heavy rain and snow showers will be probable through
early Sunday morning. Snow levels will drop behind he front to
between 4k-5k feet. The higher mountains could pick up several
inches of snow.

Another concern will be winds and wind gusts through the night
and into Sunday. A deep surface low will move off the Pacific and
northeast into B.C. This is a perfect set up for the Inland
Northwest to get gusty winds. The surface gradient will increase
to 10-12 mb between Portland and Kalispell, and 850 mb winds
increase to between 40-50kts. Mixing associated with the front
should have no trouble mixing these higher winds down to the
surface. Sustained winds of 20-35 mph with gusts 30-40 mph will be
possible. An area of concern will be the eastern Columbia basin,
the Palouse and the Foothills of the Blue mountains where model
guidance is showing winds 25-40 mph with gusts 40-50 mph. This
will either meet wind advisory criteria or be very close and an
advisory will be issued with the afternoon package.

Rain and mountain snow showers will continue through Sunday
evening with the focus closer to the higher terrain of the the
Cascade crest, the northern Washington and Idaho Panhandle
mountains. However showers will be possible just about anywhere
outside of the deep basin through sunset. Winds will remain strong
and gusty through Sunday but will begin to decrease through Sunday
afternoon.

Weak and short lived high pressure will build into the region on
Monday. Some lingering mountain showers will be possible in the
west-northwest flow but the forecast should be mainly dry. The
next frontal system will begin to move into the Cascades by Monday
evening. Warm over-running precipitation will begin along the
Cascades around 06z Tuesday and slowly push across the forecast
area the remainder of the night for another round of valley rain
and high elevation snow. /Tobin

Tuesday through Friday: The active pattern will continue,
especially early this period as the remnants of Tropical Storm Ana
come into the Pacific Northwest, but models start to disagree by
the second half of the work week. On Tuesday morning low pressure
is centered near northern Vancouver Island, with a warm front
draped across north-central WA through the lower ID Panhandle.
This set-up provides ample isentropic lift with a tap into a
subtropical moisture plume (with PWATs around 150-190% of normal),
until that low pressure center and a westerly 100kt jet pushes
inland. This will lead to the likely threat of rain during the day
outside of the deeper Basin, before the threat backs against the
Cascade crest and retreats to the eastern mountains Tuesday night
into Wednesday. Precipitation could be moderate to locally heavy
in the Cascades and northeast WA and north ID, especially on
Tuesday.

Snow levels linger around 4-5kft in the morning, then rise to
around 5-7kft in the afternoon over a large part of the region.
The main exception could be across the Canadian border counties
where they may linger around that 4-5kft mark. So if precipitation
starts early enough there could be some snow accumulation around
the passes, with the best threat of it lingering through the day
around Sherman Pass where the warmer air may not reach. With this
said, there is still a lot of room for model changes but it is
something to monitor.

From Wednesday night into Friday a long-wave trough deepens
across the eastern Pacific and nudges toward the Pacific Northwest
coast. The southwest flow increases going through this period,
with a warm front lifting back north around late Thursday or
Thursday night, followed by shortwave disturbances skirting by the
Cascades. Models disagree over whether to hold the higher
precipitation threat associated with these features in the
Cascades or to expand it over most of eastern WA/ID. I left at
least a slight chance in most spots from Thursday, with higher
PoPs in the Cascades and mountains. I expand higher PoPs eastward
again Friday as the ridge axis shifts east of the ID/MT border and
there will be more opportunity for any impulses to actually cross
the region and given those better precipitation chances. Given the
overall set-up with the trough offshore and ridge over the
northern Rockies, I also have some patchy fog in the forecast
largely for the night and morning hours across the sheltered
northeast valleys and out into some of the typical Spokane/C`DA
area spots (along the river and out toward the West Plains).

As for temperatures, values remain near to slightly below normal
early this week. Then values start to warm above normal with the
building ridge and southwest flow ahead of the offshore trough,
especially toward Thursday into Friday. The only possible caveat
will be the potential for any fog/stratus holding temperatures
back from reaching their full potential. /J. Cote`

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAFS: Little change to the previous forecast timing with VFR
conditions expected at all TAF sites through 00z with cigs steadily
lowering through the day ahead of a warm front, currently over
Oregon and Central Idaho, which will move north overnight. The
front will develop a east- west band of rain which will hit LWS
MWH EAT and PUW around 00z and push into the GEG SFF COE area
around 02z. Once the rain begins...we expect to see some clouds
develop below 030 but we don`t expect prevalent cigs at MVFR
levels. The one exception will be at EAT due to proximity to
Cascades combined with upslope flow. The warm front will deliver
about 6 hrs of precipitation to most sites (persisting a little
longer at EAT) with improving conditions after that.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        44  63  43  53  36  50 /  60  10  80  30  10  10
Coeur d`Alene  42  64  42  52  34  49 /  50  10  90  30  20  20
Pullman        45  66  43  50  38  50 /  50  10  70  30  20  20
Lewiston       44  70  47  55  41  56 /  50  10  60  20  20  10
Colville       42  62  44  53  34  51 /  70  20  80  50  20  10
Sandpoint      40  61  42  49  33  47 /  70  20 100  70  30  20
Kellogg        41  60  40  46  34  43 /  60  20 100  50  40  30
Moses Lake     45  61  44  58  36  54 /  80  20  50  10  10   0
Wenatchee      44  60  42  56  39  54 /  80  40  80  10  10  10
Omak           42  57  42  53  34  53 /  90  40  90  30  10   0

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...Wind Advisory from 8 PM Saturday to 3 PM PDT Sunday for Lower
     Garfield and Asotin Counties-Spokane Area-Upper Columbia
     Basin-Washington Palouse.

&&

$$






000
FXUS66 KOTX 241744
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
1044 AM PDT FRI OCT 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
Breezy and unsettled conditions will continue for the rest
of today but be on the decrease tonight and into tomorrow. This is
only temporary as rain is expected to return Friday night and
Saturday. A strong cold front passage Saturday Night and Sunday
will produce very windy conditions with gusts in excess of 40 mph.
The pattern will continue to be active into early next week. This
includes the potential for widespread rain into early next week as
moisture associated with former typhoons makes its way toward the
Pacific Northwest.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Today through Tonight...Looks like this period will see a little
break in the action in regards to our recent string of wet weather.
The anomalously moist atmospheric river has temporarily dipped
south of our forecast area. As of 2am...about the only weather
action was a blanket of high level moisture covering most of the
region. This cloud cover was associated with the 130-150kt upper
level jet. This dry respite will gradually come to an end this
morning in response to deep upstream trough centered near
35n/139w. Models in good agreement that as this trough moves
closer to the coast...the atmospheric river will buckle northward
as a warm front and push steadily across the Oregon/Washington
border. This transition will be accompanied by backing mid-level
flow (southerly winds)...leading toward a significant increase in
isentropic ascent and moisture advection. This will result in an
increasing chance of precipitation. By midday most of the
precipitation will be just south of our forecast area...however
some light rain could creep into the Blue Mountains and Camas
Prairie. By the latter half of the day...there is good model
agreement that the northern edge of the preciptiation will lie
approximately from Pullman to Moses Lake.

The front will continue to surge northward overnight...reaching
the Canadian Border well after midnight. Based on the good
moisture availability and moderate isentropic ascent...most areas
will receive some precipitation. Confidence is highest however
near the Cascades...as the 850-700 mb layer takes on a well
defined southeast-east wind regime. This will lead to good
orographic ascent which will only be bolstered by strong
divergence aloft. Categorical pops will be justified for locations
west of a Republic to Wenatchee line...and QPF totals will likely
range from a quarter to half inch. Snow levels will likely be
fairly high...ranging from 5.5-6k feet. This should not pose any
travel problems...however some snow can be expected to fall late
tonight over the highest parts of the North Cascades Highway.
While the precipitation really gets going late tonight over
locations near the Canadian Border...it will begin to taper off
near the Oregon border as the dry slot move in behind the warm
front. fx

Saturday through Monday Night: An upper level trough and surface
low will approach the southern Oregon coast Saturday. This weather
disturbance will bring an increase in cloud cover through the day.
As the surface low moves up the coast through the day and then
pushes inland through the evening our chance of precipitation will
increase. Have increased chance of precipitation for most
locations as many locations should receive at least 0.01 of
precip as this feature moves through. Even normally dry locations
such as the basin and east slope of the Cascades valleys could see
rain given the decent southeast upslope flow ahead of the cold
front.

...Breezy to windy conditions expected Saturday Night and Sunday...

Winds  associated with the cold front will be quite strong.
Saturday evening southerly winds 10 to 20 mph will be common
across most of the Columbia Basin and into the Palouse and
Spokane/CDA areas. Those winds will increase through the overnight
hours and into Sunday morning to 20 to 30 mph with gusts to 40 or
45 mph. Right now the strongest winds look to stretch from the
Blue Mountains up through the Palouse. Winds will slowly decrease
through Sunday afternoon and into the evening hours as the surface
low weakens and continues to move east across southern Canada.

Sunday the chance of precipitation will decrease through the
evening hours. The exception to this will be the Cascade crest and
ID Panhandle where showers will likely continue. A flat ridge
moves into the Inland Northwest Monday ahead of the next
potentially big soaker. Chance of precip will increase through the
overnight hours and into Tuesday morning, especially along the
Cascade Mountains and nearby valleys as the next weather system
moves onto the west coast.

Temperatures will start out at or above average on Saturday and
then drop to near average readings by Sunday and then to slightly
below average readings by Monday. /Nisbet

Tuesday through Thursday: The models are depicting a shortwave
trough pushing through the region followed by a weak ridge
building into the region for this period. For Tuesday, widespread
rain is expected in the morning. Precip chances will decrease from
West to East as the period progresses into Wednesday leaving only
the Idaho Panhandle with high potential to receive rain. Model
agreement on Thursday is not high but they are indicating a Low
in the Gulf of Alaska beginning to press into the Pacific
Northwest and bringing some precip to the Cascades. Light winds
associated with this pattern has potential for morning fog int he
northern valleys. Temperatures will still be above normal with
highs in the mid 50s to low 60s and lows in the upper 30s to mid
40s. /JDC

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAFS: Little change to the previous forecast timing with VFR
conditions expected at all TAF sites through 00z with cigs steadily
lowering through the day ahead of a warm front, currently over
Oregon and Central Idaho, which will move north overnight. The
front will develop a east- west band of rain which will hit LWS
MWH EAT and PUW around 00z and push into the GEG SFF COE area
around 02z. Once the rain begins...we expect to see some clouds
develop below 030 but we don`t expect prevalent cigs at MVFR
levels. The one exception will be at EAT due to proximity to
Cascades combined with upslope flow. The warm front will deliver
about 6 hrs of precipitation to most sites (persisting a little
longer at EAT) with improving conditions after that.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        55  44  65  43  52  36 /   0  60  30  80  30  10
Coeur d`Alene  55  42  65  42  51  34 /  10  50  30  90  30  20
Pullman        55  45  68  42  49  38 /  30  50  20  80  30  20
Lewiston       59  44  72  47  56  41 /  40  50  10  60  20  20
Colville       54  42  62  45  52  35 /  10  70  30  80  50  20
Sandpoint      53  40  61  42  48  34 /  10  70  30  90  50  30
Kellogg        52  41  64  40  45  34 /  10  60  20  90  40  30
Moses Lake     57  45  60  45  59  37 /  10  80  20  30  10  10
Wenatchee      57  44  57  43  55  38 /  10  80  60  40  10  10
Omak           56  42  55  43  54  35 /  10  90  50  50  30  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...None.
&&






000
FXUS66 KOTX 241221
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
520 AM PDT FRI OCT 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
Breezy and unsettled conditions will continue for the rest
of today but be on the decrease tonight and into tomorrow. This is
only temporary as rain is expected to return Friday night and
Saturday. A strong cold front passage Saturday Night and Sunday
will produce very windy conditions with gusts in excess of 40 mph.
The pattern will continue to be active into early next week. This
includes the potential for widespread rain into early next week as
moisture associated with former typhoons makes its way toward the
Pacific Northwest.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Today through Tonight...Looks like this period will see a little
break in the action in regards to our recent string of wet weather.
The anomalously moist atmospheric river has temporarily dipped
south of our forecast area. As of 2am...about the only weather
action was a blanket of high level moisture covering most of the
region. This cloud cover was associated with the 130-150kt upper
level jet. This dry respite will gradually come to an end this
morning in response to deep upstream trough centered near
35n/139w. Models in good agreement that as this trough moves
closer to the coast...the atmospheric river will buckle northward
as a warm front and push steadily across the Oregon/Washington
border. This transition will be accompanied by backing mid-level
flow (southerly winds)...leading toward a significant increase in
isentropic ascent and moisture advection. This will result in an
increasing chance of precipitation. By midday most of the
precipitation will be just south of our forecast area...however
some light rain could creep into the Blue Mountains and Camas
Prairie. By the latter half of the day...there is good model
agreement that the northern edge of the preciptiation will lie
approximately from Pullman to Moses Lake.

The front will continue to surge northward overnight...reaching
the Canadian Border well after midnight. Based on the good
moisture availability and moderate isentropic ascent...most areas
will receive some precipitation. Confidence is highest however
near the Cascades...as the 850-700 mb layer takes on a well
defined southeast-east wind regime. This will lead to good
orographic ascent which will only be bolstered by strong
divergence aloft. Categorical pops will be justified for locations
west of a Republic to Wenatchee line...and QPF totals will likely
range from a quarter to half inch. Snow levels will likely be
fairly high...ranging from 5.5-6k feet. This should not pose any
travel problems...however some snow can be expected to fall late
tonight over the highest parts of the North Cascades Highway.
While the precipitation really gets going late tonight over
locations near the Canadian Border...it will begin to taper off
near the Oregon border as the dry slot move in behind the warm
front. fx

Saturday through Monday Night: An upper level trough and surface
low will approach the southern Oregon coast Saturday. This weather
disturbance will bring an increase in cloud cover through the day.
As the surface low moves up the coast through the day and then
pushes inland through the evening our chance of precipitation will
increase. Have increased chance of precipitation for most
locations as many locations should receive at least 0.01 of
precip as this feature moves through. Even normally dry locations
such as the basin and east slope of the Cascades valleys could see
rain given the decent southeast upslope flow ahead of the cold
front.

...Breezy to windy conditions expected Saturday Night and Sunday...

Winds  associated with the cold front will be quite strong.
Saturday evening southerly winds 10 to 20 mph will be common
across most of the Columbia Basin and into the Palouse and
Spokane/CDA areas. Those winds will increase through the overnight
hours and into Sunday morning to 20 to 30 mph with gusts to 40 or
45 mph. Right now the strongest winds look to stretch from the
Blue Mountains up through the Palouse. Winds will slowly decrease
through Sunday afternoon and into the evening hours as the surface
low weakens and continues to move east across southern Canada.

Sunday the chance of precipitation will decrease through the
evening hours. The exception to this will be the Cascade crest and
ID Panhandle where showers will likely continue. A flat ridge
moves into the Inland Northwest Monday ahead of the next
potentially big soaker. Chance of precip will increase through the
overnight hours and into Tuesday morning, especially along the
Cascade Mountains and nearby valleys as the next weather system
moves onto the west coast.

Temperatures will start out at or above average on Saturday and
then drop to near average readings by Sunday and then to slightly
below average readings by Monday. /Nisbet

Tuesday through Thursday: The models are depicting a shortwave
trough pushing through the region followed by a weak ridge
building into the region for this period. For Tuesday, widespread
rain is expected in the morning. Precip chances will decrease from
West to East as the period progresses into Wednesday leaving only
the Idaho Panhandle with high potential to receive rain. Model
agreement on Thursday is not high but they are indicating a Low
in the Gulf of Alaska beginning to press into the Pacific
Northwest and bringing some precip to the Cascades. Light winds
associated with this pattern has potential for morning fog int he
northern valleys. Temperatures will still be above normal with
highs in the mid 50s to low 60s and lows in the upper 30s to mid
40s. /JDC

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAFS: VFR conditions expected at all forecast sites through
00z although cigs will steadily lower through the day ahead of
incoming warm front. The front will develop a east-west band of
rain which will hit LWS MWH EAT and PUW around 00z and push into
the GEG SFF COE area around 02z. Once the rain begins...we expect
to see some clouds develop below 030 but we don`t expect prevalent cigs
at MVFR levels. The one exception will be at EAT due to proximity
to Cascades combined with upslope flow. The warm front will
deliver about 6 hrs of precipitation to most sites (persisting a
little longer at EAT) with improving conditions after that. fx

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        55  44  65  43  52  36 /   0  60  30  80  30  10
Coeur d`Alene  55  42  65  42  51  34 /  10  50  30  90  30  20
Pullman        55  45  68  42  49  38 /  30  50  20  80  30  20
Lewiston       59  44  72  47  56  41 /  40  50  10  60  20  20
Colville       54  42  62  45  52  35 /  10  70  30  80  50  20
Sandpoint      53  40  61  42  48  34 /  10  70  30  90  50  30
Kellogg        52  41  64  40  45  34 /  10  60  20  90  40  30
Moses Lake     57  45  60  45  59  37 /  10  80  20  30  10  10
Wenatchee      57  44  57  43  55  38 /  10  80  60  40  10  10
Omak           56  42  55  43  54  35 /  10  90  50  50  30  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...None.
&&






000
FXUS66 KOTX 240950
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
250 AM PDT FRI OCT 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
Breezy and unsettled conditions will continue for the rest
of today but be on the decrease tonight and into tomorrow. This is
only temporary as rain is expected to return Friday night and
Saturday. A strong cold front passage Saturday Night and Sunday
will produce very windy conditions with gusts in excess of 40 mph.
The pattern will continue to be active into early next week. This
includes the potential for widespread rain into early next week as
moisture associated with former typhoons makes its way toward the
Pacific Northwest.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Today through Tonight...Looks like this period will see a little
break in the action in regards to our recent string of wet weather.
The anomalously moist atmospheric river has temporarily dipped
south of our forecast area. As of 2am...about the only weather
action was a blanket of high level moisture covering most of the
region. This cloud cover was associated with the 130-150kt upper
level jet. This dry respite will gradually come to an end this
morning in response to deep upstream trough centered near
35n/139w. Models in good agreement that as this trough moves
closer to the coast...the atmospheric river will buckle northward
as a warm front and push steadily across the Oregon/Washington
border. This transition will be accompanied by backing mid-level
flow (southerly winds)...leading toward a significant increase in
isentropic ascent and moisture advection. This will result in an
increasing chance of precipitation. By midday most of the
precipitation will be just south of our forecast area...however
some light rain could creep into the Blue Mountains and Camas
Prairie. By the latter half of the day...there is good model
agreement that the northern edge of the preciptiation will lie
approximately from Pullman to Moses Lake.

The front will continue to surge northward overnight...reaching
the Canadian Border well after midnight. Based on the good
moisture availability and moderate isentropic ascent...most areas
will receive some precipitation. Confidence is highest however
near the Cascades...as the 850-700 mb layer takes on a well
defined southeast-east wind regime. This will lead to good
orographic ascent which will only be bolstered by strong
divergence aloft. Categorical pops will be justified for locations
west of a Republic to Wenatchee line...and QPF totals will likely
range from a quarter to half inch. Snow levels will likely be
fairly high...ranging from 5.5-6k feet. This should not pose any
travel problems...however some snow can be expected to fall late
tonight over the highest parts of the North Cascades Highway.
While the precipitation really gets going late tonight over
locations near the Canadian Border...it will begin to taper off
near the Oregon border as the dry slot move in behind the warm
front. fx

Saturday through Monday Night: An upper level trough and surface
low will approach the southern Oregon coast Saturday. This weather
disturbance will bring an increase in cloud cover through the day.
As the surface low moves up the coast through the day and then
pushes inland through the evening our chance of precipitation will
increase. Have increased chance of precipitation for most
locations as many locations should receive at least 0.01 of
precip as this feature moves through. Even normally dry locations
such as the basin and east slope of the Cascades valleys could see
rain given the decent southeast upslope flow ahead of the cold
front.

...Breezy to windy conditions expected Saturday Night and Sunday...

Winds  associated with the cold front will be quite strong.
Saturday evening southerly winds 10 to 20 mph will be common
across most of the Columbia Basin and into the Palouse and
Spokane/CDA areas. Those winds will increase through the overnight
hours and into Sunday morning to 20 to 30 mph with gusts to 40 or
45 mph. Right now the strongest winds look to stretch from the
Blue Mountains up through the Palouse. Winds will slowly decrease
through Sunday afternoon and into the evening hours as the surface
low weakens and continues to move east across southern Canada.

Sunday the chance of precipitation will decrease through the
evening hours. The exception to this will be the Cascade crest and
ID Panhandle where showers will likely continue. A flat ridge
moves into the Inland Northwest Monday ahead of the next
potentially big soaker. Chance of precip will increase through the
overnight hours and into Tuesday morning, especially along the
Cascade Mountains and nearby valleys as the next weather system
moves onto the west coast.

Temperatures will start out at or above average on Saturday and
then drop to near average readings by Sunday and then to slightly
below average readings by Monday. /Nisbet

Tuesday through Thursday: The models are depicting a shortwave
trough pushing through the region followed by a weak ridge
building into the region for this period. For Tuesday, widespread
rain is expected in the morning. Precip chances will decrease from
West to East as the period progresses into Wednesday leaving only
the Idaho Panhandle with high potential to receive rain. Model
agreement on Thursday is not high but they are indicating a Low
in the Gulf of Alaska beginning to press into the Pacific
Northwest and bringing some precip to the Cascades. Light winds
associated with this pattern has potential for morning fog int he
northern valleys. Temperatures will still be above normal with
highs in the mid 50s to low 60s and lows in the upper 30s to mid
40s. /JDC

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAFS: The stalled frontal band has moved southeast, ending
precipitation across southeast WA and the Idaho panhandle.
Abundant low level moisture available from recent rainfall will
promote formation of fog and low clouds overnight and into Friday
morning. Models show this front will lift back north from Oregon
and push into southern WA and the central panhandle of Idaho as a
wet warm front Friday afternoon/evening. /EK

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        55  44  65  43  52  36 /   0  60  30  80  30  10
Coeur d`Alene  55  42  65  42  51  34 /  10  50  30  90  30  20
Pullman        55  45  68  42  49  38 /  30  50  20  80  30  20
Lewiston       59  44  72  47  56  41 /  40  50  10  60  20  20
Colville       54  42  62  45  52  35 /  10  70  30  80  50  20
Sandpoint      53  40  61  42  48  34 /  10  70  30  90  50  30
Kellogg        52  41  64  40  45  34 /  10  60  20  90  40  30
Moses Lake     57  45  60  45  59  37 /  10  80  20  30  10  10
Wenatchee      57  44  57  43  55  38 /  10  80  60  40  10  10
Omak           56  42  55  43  54  35 /  10  90  50  50  30  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...None.
&&






000
FXUS66 KOTX 240543
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
1043 PM PDT THU OCT 23 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
Breezy and unsettled conditions will continue for the rest
of today but be on the decrease tonight and into tomorrow. This is
only temporary as rain is expected to return Friday night and
Saturday. A strong cold front passage Saturday Night and Sunday
will produce very windy conditions with gusts in excess of 40 mph.
The pattern will continue to be active into early next week. This
includes the potential for widespread rain into early next week as
moisture associated with former typhoons makes its way toward the
Pacific Northwest.


&&

.DISCUSSION...
The broad frontal band of precipitation that was draped across the
southeast zones this evening has finally moved off to the south
and east. A few showers continue to pop up over the northern
panhandle of Idaho in the unstable post frontal air mass. Return
of westerly flow will keep a few showers over the Cascade crest
and the panhandle overnight but these will be hit or miss with
little additional rainfall accumulations. Ample low level moisture
will allow fog and low stratus to develop across the northeast
valleys and also in some of the Cascade gap valleys overnight.
This will keep min temperatures from bottoming out tonight. Those
areas that see some clearing could get rather chilly tonight as
winds have dropped off significantly. /Kelch

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAFS: The stalled frontal band has moved southeast, ending
precipitation across southeast WA and the Idaho panhandle.
Abundant low level moisture available from recent rainfall will
promote formation of fog and low clouds overnight and into Friday
morning. Models show this front will lift back north from Oregon
and push into southern WA and the central panhandle of Idaho as a
wet warm front Friday afternoon/evening. /EK



&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        40  57  43  65  44  53 /  20  10  30  30  80  30
Coeur d`Alene  42  57  40  64  42  53 /  20  10  20  30  90  30
Pullman        43  59  45  69  44  52 /  20  10  40  20  80  30
Lewiston       48  64  46  72  48  58 /  20  20  30  10  60  20
Colville       37  59  41  63  44  53 /  20  10  40  30  80  50
Sandpoint      40  56  38  60  41  49 /  40  10  30  30  90  50
Kellogg        39  53  41  63  42  46 /  60  20  30  20  90  40
Moses Lake     41  59  44  62  46  60 /  10  10  60  20  30  10
Wenatchee      42  57  47  58  46  57 /  10  10  70  60  40  10
Omak           36  58  42  56  44  56 /  10  10  60  50  50  30

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...None.
&&

$$






000
FXUS66 KOTX 232344
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
444 PM PDT THU OCT 23 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
Breezy and unsettled conditions will continue for the rest
of today but be on the decrease tonight and into tomorrow. This is
only temporary as rain is expected to return Friday night and
Saturday. A strong cold front passage Saturday Night and Sunday
will produce very windy conditions with gusts in excess of 40 mph.
The pattern will continue to be active into early next week. This
includes the potential for widespread rain into early next week as
moisture associated with former typhoons makes its way toward the
Pacific Northwest.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Tonight and Friday...Expectation for decreasing clouds and pops
overnight as the northern end of the large baroclinic band
extending southwest out into the East Pacific continues to pass
through the forecast area as a wet cold front. The cool
conditionally unstable airmass on the north side of this front
does have numerous small mesoscale shortwaves rotating in it close
to the baroclinic band, and with enough lingering moisture from
recent rainfall a small mention of thunderstorms in proximity to
the exiting frontal zone remain into the early evening hours. The
band continues to work its way to the south and stalls somewhere
in Oregon and Central Idaho which is far enough to the south to
leave a relatively dry forecast for Friday with some mention of
fog/stratus for the early morning hours. The front will come back
up again as a warm front of sorts later on Friday. Due to the
dynamic nature of the forecast and expectation cloud cover will
work to moderate temperatures forecast temperatures remain on the
warm side of what would be considered normal for this time of
year. /Pelatti

Friday night through Sunday night...Quite the active weather pattern
will be coming up through this period of the forecast. And for an
active pattern the models are in pretty good agreement. A warm
front will move back north through the forecast area ahead of an
upstream upper level low. This will bring our first shot of of
precipitation to the area. A cold front will follow Saturday
night with the upper trough lingering over the Inland Northwest
through Sunday night. This will allow the precipitation to become
showery. Also expect decreasing snow levels and windy conditions
Saturday night and Sunday.

*Precipitation: Yes, and quite a bit. The warm front will tap into the
 next atmospheric river...with PWATs rising to between .70 to .80
 which is right around 200 percent of normal. Wet indeed.
 Isentropic up-glide is fairly vigorous and with southeast-south
 low to mid level flow the Cascades east to the western basin
 should receive a pretty good shot of measurable precipitation.
 The warm front will get pushed east early Saturday as the flow
 becomes south-southwesterly. This will shift the focus across the
 northern mountains and finally the Idaho Panhandle Saturday
 afternoon. The cold front will follow Saturday evening. Ample
 showers will continue near the Cascade crest...the northern
 mountains and the Idaho Panhandle through Sunday night, but the
 lower east slopes...Columbia basin and the Palouse will see a
 decrease in the showers by Sunday morning. QPF totals through
 Sunday evening will be between one half and one inch in the
 Cascades. From one quarter to one half in the northern mountains
 and the Idaho Panhandle, and from several hundredths to around
 .20 in the Basin, Palouse and the Spokane/Coeur D`Alene areas.
 Snow levels will start out from 5k feet across the northwest to
 over 7k feet across the southeast and rise 1500-2000 feet through
 the night. So precipitation as mainly rain with some high level
 snow. The snow levels will drop behind the front to below 5k
 feet, but by this time the precipitation should be on the
 decrease. Still several inches of snow will be possible for the
 higher terrain over the Cascades and a couple of inches of snow
 for the Panhandle mountains Saturday night and Sunday. Small
 stream and rivers will have to be monitored for rises...but right
 now the thinking is that there should be no flooding.

*Winds: East to southeast winds Friday and Saturday will switch to the
 southwest ahead of the cold front late Saturday afternoon, then
 increase Saturday night and remain windy/gusty Sunday. Model
 guidance is indicating about 3-6 hour time frame of peak winds
 between 06-12z Sunday. Sustained winds of 25 mph to 30 mph with
 gusts 25 to 40 mph will be common for the ridges...The deep
 basin...The west Plains...but the models focus the strongest
 winds across the Palouse and the lower slopes of the blues where
 sustained winds of 30 to 35 mph or higher with gusts 40 to 50 mph
 will be possible. Winds will decrease by morning but expect a
 windy day on Sunday. This will have to be monitored closely over
 the next 48-72 hours to pin point where the potential problem
 areas may be. No highlights are expected with this forecast
 package.

*Temps: Temperatures will increase on Saturday with the strong
 warm advection associated with the warm front with highs 8-12
 degrees above normal. The temps will then cool back down into the
 50s on Sunday behind the cold front. /Tobin

Monday through Thursday: An active weather pattern continues,
with temperatures hovering around average. The remnants of
Tropical Storm Ana come into the Pacific Northwest early in the
week. This is followed by the approach and possible passage of
additional systems through the week. However by middle to late
week model consistency degrades. Some runs are more eager to bring
systems inland and keep the region wet; other runs hold them
offshore and keep the region drier.

First on Monday a weak shortwave ridge nudges in from the west-
southwest, with a mid-level impulse/jet streak riding over the top
of it during the day. This keeps shower chances alive across
southeast WA to the central Panhandle and near the immediate
Cascade crest. Cooler air behind Sunday`s trough pushes snow level
down toward 4-4.5kft; this means possible snow at pass level. So
we will monitor this, (especially across the central Panhandle
including the I-90 corridor toward Lookout Pass) for some light
accumulations. Quiet weather is expected over the rest of the
region.

From Monday night through Tuesday night that next system comes
in. Ostensibly it comes with another modest moisture fetch which
includes the remains Tropical Storm Ana that are picked up by a
system currently to its northwest. Models are coming into better
agreement. Confidence is not as high as it could be given recent
model inconsistencies, but right now it looks like Tuesday could
be rather wet. Expect thickening clouds Monday night with the main
rain chances increasing over the Cascades. The precipitation
chances rise throughout the region Tuesday as the system moves
inland, with some moderate to locally rainfall possible in the
Cascades and northeast WA and north ID. Snow levels linger around
4-5kft in the morning, then rise to around 5-7kft in the afternoon
over a large part of the region. The main exception could be
across the Canadian border counties where they may linger around
that 4-5kft mark. So if precipitation starts early enough there
could be some snow accumulation around the passes, with the best
threat of it lingering through the day around Sherman Pass where
the warmer air may not reach. With this said, there is still a lot
of room for model changes but it is something to monitor.

By Tuesday night the precipitation focus gradually backs against
the Cascades and retreats to the eastern mountains as the front
passes and a shortwave ridge moves in. From Wednesday to Thursday
models now depict a shortwave ridge dominating the pattern.
However previous runs brought a trough inland. I have trended PoPs
downward away from the Cascades, but still kept some low chances
alive given uncertainty. But if trends hold the forecast may be
dried out completely away from the Cascades. I also increased the
potential for fog across the northern valleys and portions of the
Spokane/C`dA area for the night and early morning hours. /J. Cote`

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAFS: A slow-moving frontal zone currently draped across
extreme SE WA and central panhandle of ID will keep rain and some
low stratus clouds in the KLWS-KPUW area this evening.
Additionally the unstable air behind the front on the north side
of it may allow isolated thunderstorms to develop late this
afternoon into early evening. Gusty winds associated with the
front will diminish after sunset. Abundant low level moisture
available from recent rainfall will promote formation of fog and
low clouds overnight and into Friday morning as the front sags to
the south. Models show this same front will lift back north from
Oregon and push through the aviation area as a wet warm front
Friday evening/night. /EK


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        40  57  43  65  44  53 /  60  10  30  20  50  30
Coeur d`Alene  39  57  40  64  42  53 /  60  10  20  20  60  30
Pullman        42  59  45  69  44  52 /  60  10  40  10  50  30
Lewiston       46  64  46  72  48  58 /  60  20  30  10  40  20
Colville       36  59  41  63  44  53 /  50  10  40  30  70  50
Sandpoint      37  56  38  60  41  49 /  80  10  30  20  80  50
Kellogg        39  53  41  63  42  46 /  80  20  30  10  70  40
Moses Lake     40  59  44  62  46  60 /  10  10  60  20  30  10
Wenatchee      42  57  47  58  46  57 /  10  10  70  50  40  10
Omak           36  58  42  56  44  56 /  10  10  60  50  50  30

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...None.
&&

$$






000
FXUS66 KOTX 232121
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
221 PM PDT THU OCT 23 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
Breezy and unsettled conditions will continue for the rest
of today but be on the decrease tonight and into tomorrow. This is
only temporary as rain is expected to return Friday night and
Saturday. A strong cold front passage Saturday Night and Sunday
will produce very windy conditions with gusts in excess of 40 mph.
The pattern will continue to be active into early next week. This
includes the potential for widespread rain into early next week as
moisture associated with former typhoons makes its way toward the
Pacific Northwest.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Tonight and Friday...Expectation for decreasing clouds and pops
overnight as the northern end of the large baroclinic band
extending southwest out into the East Pacific continues to pass
through the forecast area as a wet cold front. The cool
conditionally unstable airmass on the north side of this front
does have numerous small mesoscale shortwaves rotating in it close
to the baroclinic band, and with enough lingering moisture from
recent rainfall a small mention of thunderstorms in proximity to
the exiting frontal zone remain into the early evening hours. The
band continues to work its way to the south and stalls somewhere
in Oregon and Central Idaho which is far enough to the south to
leave a relatively dry forecast for Friday with some mention of
fog/stratus for the early morning hours. The front will come back
up again as a warm front of sorts later on Friday. Due to the
dynamic nature of the forecast and expectation cloud cover will
work to moderate temperatures forecast temperatures remain on the
warm side of what would be considered normal for this time of
year. /Pelatti

Friday night through Sunday night...Quite the active weather pattern
will be coming up through this period of the forecast. And for an
active pattern the models are in pretty good agreement. A warm
front will move back north through the forecast area ahead of an
upstream upper level low. This will bring our first shot of of
precipitation to the area. A cold front will follow Saturday
night with the upper trough lingering over the Inland Northwest
through Sunday night. This will allow the precipitation to become
showery. Also expect decreasing snow levels and windy conditions
Saturday night and Sunday.

*Precipitation: Yes, and quite a bit. The warm front will tap into the
 next atmospheric river...with PWATs rising to between .70 to .80
 which is right around 200 percent of normal. Wet indeed.
 Isentropic up-glide is fairly vigorous and with southeast-south
 low to mid level flow the Cascades east to the western basin
 should receive a pretty good shot of measurable precipitation.
 The warm front will get pushed east early Saturday as the flow
 becomes south-southwesterly. This will shift the focus across the
 northern mountains and finally the Idaho Panhandle Saturday
 afternoon. The cold front will follow Saturday evening. Ample
 showers will continue near the Cascade crest...the northern
 mountains and the Idaho Panhandle through Sunday night, but the
 lower east slopes...Columbia basin and the Palouse will see a
 decrease in the showers by Sunday morning. QPF totals through
 Sunday evening will be between one half and one inch in the
 Cascades. From one quarter to one half in the northern mountains
 and the Idaho Panhandle, and from several hundredths to around
 .20 in the Basin, Palouse and the Spokane/Coeur D`Alene areas.
 Snow levels will start out from 5k feet across the northwest to
 over 7k feet across the southeast and rise 1500-2000 feet through
 the night. So precipitation as mainly rain with some high level
 snow. The snow levels will drop behind the front to below 5k
 feet, but by this time the precipitation should be on the
 decrease. Still several inches of snow will be possible for the
 higher terrain over the Cascades and a couple of inches of snow
 for the Panhandle mountains Saturday night and Sunday. Small
 stream and rivers will have to be monitored for rises...but right
 now the thinking is that there should be no flooding.

*Winds: East to southeast winds Friday and Saturday will switch to the
 southwest ahead of the cold front late Saturday afternoon, then
 increase Saturday night and remain windy/gusty Sunday. Model
 guidance is indicating about 3-6 hour time frame of peak winds
 between 06-12z Sunday. Sustained winds of 25 mph to 30 mph with
 gusts 25 to 40 mph will be common for the ridges...The deep
 basin...The west Plains...but the models focus the strongest
 winds across the Palouse and the lower slopes of the blues where
 sustained winds of 30 to 35 mph or higher with gusts 40 to 50 mph
 will be possible. Winds will decrease by morning but expect a
 windy day on Sunday. This will have to be monitored closely over
 the next 48-72 hours to pin point where the potential problem
 areas may be. No highlights are expected with this forecast
 package.

*Temps: Temperatures will increase on Saturday with the strong
 warm advection associated with the warm front with highs 8-12
 degrees above normal. The temps will then cool back down into the
 50s on Sunday behind the cold front. /Tobin

Monday through Thursday: An active weather pattern continues,
with temperatures hovering around average. The remnants of
Tropical Storm Ana come into the Pacific Northwest early in the
week. This is followed by the approach and possible passage of
additional systems through the week. However by middle to late
week model consistency degrades. Some runs are more eager to bring
systems inland and keep the region wet; other runs hold them
offshore and keep the region drier.

First on Monday a weak shortwave ridge nudges in from the west-
southwest, with a mid-level impulse/jet streak riding over the top
of it during the day. This keeps shower chances alive across
southeast WA to the central Panhandle and near the immediate
Cascade crest. Cooler air behind Sunday`s trough pushes snow level
down toward 4-4.5kft; this means possible snow at pass level. So
we will monitor this, (especially across the central Panhandle
including the I-90 corridor toward Lookout Pass) for some light
accumulations. Quiet weather is expected over the rest of the
region.

From Monday night through Tuesday night that next system comes
in. Ostensibly it comes with another modest moisture fetch which
includes the remains Tropical Storm Ana that are picked up by a
system currently to its northwest. Models are coming into better
agreement. Confidence is not as high as it could be given recent
model inconsistencies, but right now it looks like Tuesday could
be rather wet. Expect thickening clouds Monday night with the main
rain chances increasing over the Cascades. The precipitation
chances rise throughout the region Tuesday as the system moves
inland, with some moderate to locally rainfall possible in the
Cascades and northeast WA and north ID. Snow levels linger around
4-5kft in the morning, then rise to around 5-7kft in the afternoon
over a large part of the region. The main exception could be
across the Canadian border counties where they may linger around
that 4-5kft mark. So if precipitation starts early enough there
could be some snow accumulation around the passes, with the best
threat of it lingering through the day around Sherman Pass where
the warmer air may not reach. With this said, there is still a lot
of room for model changes but it is something to monitor.

By Tuesday night the precipitation focus gradually backs against
the Cascades and retreats to the eastern mountains as the front
passes and a shortwave ridge moves in. From Wednesday to Thursday
models now depict a shortwave ridge dominating the pattern.
However previous runs brought a trough inland. I have trended PoPs
downward away from the Cascades, but still kept some low chances
alive given uncertainty. But if trends hold the forecast may be
dried out completely away from the Cascades. I also increased the
potential for fog across the northern valleys and portions of the
Spokane/C`dA area for the night and early morning hours. /J. Cote`

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAFS: Large stalled out frontal zone draped across the
aviation area will keep rain, and some low stratus clouds
associated with it, in the forecast for much of the day. Additionally
the cool conditionally unstable air behind the front on the north
side of it and various shortwaves moving along the edge of the
front is enough to allow for a minor mention of thunderstorms this
afternoon and evening. Winds aloft remain robust and from the
southwest and some locations remain decoupled from it this morning
so have included mention of non- convective low level windshear in
those locations as winds shift from light or light from the
northeast to more robust prevalent southwest winds aloft. As to be
expected with such a complicated wind pattern there are likely to
be wind gusts in the afternoon, possibly as high as 30-40kts. With
so much low level moisture available from this recent rainfall
there is some potential for fog and low cloud formation overnight
and into Friday Morning as the front sags to the south. Models
hint that this same front will lift back up from Oregon and push
through the aviation area as a wet warm front Friday
evening/night. /Pelatti


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        40  57  43  65  44  53 /  60  10  30  20  50  30
Coeur d`Alene  39  57  40  64  42  53 /  60  10  20  20  60  30
Pullman        42  59  45  69  44  52 /  60  10  40  10  50  30
Lewiston       46  64  46  72  48  58 /  60  20  30  10  40  20
Colville       36  59  41  63  44  53 /  50  10  40  30  70  50
Sandpoint      37  56  38  60  41  49 /  80  10  30  20  80  50
Kellogg        39  53  41  63  42  46 /  80  20  30  10  70  40
Moses Lake     40  59  44  62  46  60 /  10  10  60  20  30  10
Wenatchee      42  57  47  58  46  57 /  10  10  70  50  40  10
Omak           36  58  42  56  44  56 /  10  10  60  50  50  30

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...None.
&&

$$






000
FXUS66 KOTX 231741
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
1040 AM PDT THU OCT 23 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
Breezy and unsettled conditions will continue today...followed by
some light rain Friday. A strong cold front passage Saturday
Night and Sunday will produce very windy conditions with gusts
in excess of 40 mph. The pattern will continue to be active into
early next week. This includes the potential for widespread rain
into early next week as moisture associated with former typhoons
makes its way toward the Pacific Northwest.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Forecast updated to increase pops and qpf based on how filled the
radar is with returns this morning along with many surface
observation sites reporting some measurable rainfall this
morning. The chance of thunderstorms this afternoon remains in the
forecast as the atmosphere becomes conditionally unstable north of
the large baroclinic band associated with the jet stream which is
to passing to the south through Oregon and bending up and exiting
through parts of North Idaho and into Northwest Montana. May go
back and increase surface wind gusts this afternoon as the upper
level winds near 700mb at KOTX were near 50kts and around 35kts at
800mb and convection in this conditionally unstable airmass is
likely to mix these robust upper level winds down to the surface
as wind gusts. /Pelatti

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAFS: Large stalled out frontal zone draped across the
aviation area will keep rain, and some low stratus clouds
associated with it, in the forecast for much of the day. Additionally
the cool conditionally unstable air behind the front on the north
side of it and various shortwaves moving along the edge of the
front is enough to allow for a minor mention of thunderstorms this
afternoon and evening. Winds aloft remain robust and from the
southwest and some locations remain decoupled from it this morning
so have included mention of non- convective low level windshear in
those locations as winds shift from light or light from the
northeast to more robust prevalent southwest winds aloft. As to be
expected with such a complicated wind pattern there are likely to
be wind gusts in the afternoon, possibly as high as 30-40kts. With
so much low level moisture available from this recent rainfall
there is some potential for fog and low cloud formation overnight
and into Friday Morning as the front sags to the south. Models
hint that this same front will lift back up from Oregon and push
through the aviation area as a wet warm front Friday
evening/night. /Pelatti

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        58  40  57  44  65  46 / 100  20  10  20  20  50
Coeur d`Alene  55  39  57  41  65  44 / 100  40  10  20  20  50
Pullman        58  42  59  47  70  46 /  90  30  10  40  10  40
Lewiston       65  46  64  46  73  48 /  70  30  20  40  10  30
Colville       56  36  59  41  66  44 /  70  30  10  50  30  70
Sandpoint      53  37  56  38  62  43 / 100  70  10  30  20  70
Kellogg        51  39  53  42  63  42 / 100  70  20  20  10  60
Moses Lake     65  40  59  45  63  48 /  70  10  10  40  20  30
Wenatchee      62  42  57  47  60  46 /  90  10  10  60  40  30
Omak           61  36  58  44  58  45 /  50  10  10  60  40  50

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...None.
&&

$$






000
FXUS66 KOTX 231741
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
1040 AM PDT THU OCT 23 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
Breezy and unsettled conditions will continue today...followed by
some light rain Friday. A strong cold front passage Saturday
Night and Sunday will produce very windy conditions with gusts
in excess of 40 mph. The pattern will continue to be active into
early next week. This includes the potential for widespread rain
into early next week as moisture associated with former typhoons
makes its way toward the Pacific Northwest.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Forecast updated to increase pops and qpf based on how filled the
radar is with returns this morning along with many surface
observation sites reporting some measurable rainfall this
morning. The chance of thunderstorms this afternoon remains in the
forecast as the atmosphere becomes conditionally unstable north of
the large baroclinic band associated with the jet stream which is
to passing to the south through Oregon and bending up and exiting
through parts of North Idaho and into Northwest Montana. May go
back and increase surface wind gusts this afternoon as the upper
level winds near 700mb at KOTX were near 50kts and around 35kts at
800mb and convection in this conditionally unstable airmass is
likely to mix these robust upper level winds down to the surface
as wind gusts. /Pelatti

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAFS: Large stalled out frontal zone draped across the
aviation area will keep rain, and some low stratus clouds
associated with it, in the forecast for much of the day. Additionally
the cool conditionally unstable air behind the front on the north
side of it and various shortwaves moving along the edge of the
front is enough to allow for a minor mention of thunderstorms this
afternoon and evening. Winds aloft remain robust and from the
southwest and some locations remain decoupled from it this morning
so have included mention of non- convective low level windshear in
those locations as winds shift from light or light from the
northeast to more robust prevalent southwest winds aloft. As to be
expected with such a complicated wind pattern there are likely to
be wind gusts in the afternoon, possibly as high as 30-40kts. With
so much low level moisture available from this recent rainfall
there is some potential for fog and low cloud formation overnight
and into Friday Morning as the front sags to the south. Models
hint that this same front will lift back up from Oregon and push
through the aviation area as a wet warm front Friday
evening/night. /Pelatti

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        58  40  57  44  65  46 / 100  20  10  20  20  50
Coeur d`Alene  55  39  57  41  65  44 / 100  40  10  20  20  50
Pullman        58  42  59  47  70  46 /  90  30  10  40  10  40
Lewiston       65  46  64  46  73  48 /  70  30  20  40  10  30
Colville       56  36  59  41  66  44 /  70  30  10  50  30  70
Sandpoint      53  37  56  38  62  43 / 100  70  10  30  20  70
Kellogg        51  39  53  42  63  42 / 100  70  20  20  10  60
Moses Lake     65  40  59  45  63  48 /  70  10  10  40  20  30
Wenatchee      62  42  57  47  60  46 /  90  10  10  60  40  30
Omak           61  36  58  44  58  45 /  50  10  10  60  40  50

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...None.
&&

$$






000
FXUS66 KOTX 231446
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
746 AM PDT THU OCT 23 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
Breezy and unsettled conditions will continue today...followed by
some light rain Friday. A strong cold front passage Saturday
Night and Sunday will produce very windy conditions with gusts
in excess of 40 mph. The pattern will continue to be active into
early next week. This includes the potential for widespread rain
into early next week as moisture associated with former typhoons
makes its way toward the Pacific Northwest.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Forecast updated to increase pops and qpf based on how filled the
radar is with returns this morning along with many surface
obseration sites reporting some measurable rainfall this morning.
The chance of thunderstorms this afternoon remains in the forecast
as the atmosphere becomes conditionally unstable north of the
large baroclinic band associated with the jet stream which is to
passing to the south through Oregon and bending up and exiting
through parts of North Idaho and into Northwest Montana. May go
back and increase surface wind gusts this afternoon as the upper
level winds near 700mb at KOTX were near 50kts and around 35kts at
800mb and convection in this conditionally unstable airmass is
likely to mix these robust upper level winds down to the surface
as wind gusts. /Pelatti

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAFS: Moist occluded front will continue to cover the SE
forecast sites through most of the day. This will equate to
periodic or at least vicinity showers through 00z for LWS and
PUW. The shower threat will increase for all locations as a
shortwave trough crosses the Cascades around 18z...and heads into
eastern WA/north Idaho between 21-00z. Thunderstorms are a
possibility across the eastern third of Washington and the Idaho
Panhandle...as well as the threat of wind gusts from 30-40kts.
Despite the unsettled weather...cigs will generally remain in the
VFR category. Weather will dry at all sites overnight as shortwave
ridging moves in. Fog and stratus will be a possibility...but
too small to place in forecasts for now. fx

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        58  40  57  44  65  46 / 100  20  10  20  20  50
Coeur d`Alene  55  39  57  41  65  44 / 100  40  10  20  20  50
Pullman        58  42  59  47  70  46 /  90  30  10  40  10  40
Lewiston       65  46  64  46  73  48 /  70  30  20  40  10  30
Colville       56  36  59  41  66  44 /  70  30  10  50  30  70
Sandpoint      53  37  56  38  62  43 / 100  70  10  30  20  70
Kellogg        51  39  53  42  63  42 / 100  70  20  20  10  60
Moses Lake     65  40  59  45  63  48 /  70  10  10  40  20  30
Wenatchee      62  42  57  47  60  46 /  90  10  10  60  40  30
Omak           61  36  58  44  58  45 /  50  10  10  60  40  50

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...None.
&&

$$






000
FXUS66 KOTX 231446
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
746 AM PDT THU OCT 23 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
Breezy and unsettled conditions will continue today...followed by
some light rain Friday. A strong cold front passage Saturday
Night and Sunday will produce very windy conditions with gusts
in excess of 40 mph. The pattern will continue to be active into
early next week. This includes the potential for widespread rain
into early next week as moisture associated with former typhoons
makes its way toward the Pacific Northwest.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Forecast updated to increase pops and qpf based on how filled the
radar is with returns this morning along with many surface
obseration sites reporting some measurable rainfall this morning.
The chance of thunderstorms this afternoon remains in the forecast
as the atmosphere becomes conditionally unstable north of the
large baroclinic band associated with the jet stream which is to
passing to the south through Oregon and bending up and exiting
through parts of North Idaho and into Northwest Montana. May go
back and increase surface wind gusts this afternoon as the upper
level winds near 700mb at KOTX were near 50kts and around 35kts at
800mb and convection in this conditionally unstable airmass is
likely to mix these robust upper level winds down to the surface
as wind gusts. /Pelatti

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAFS: Moist occluded front will continue to cover the SE
forecast sites through most of the day. This will equate to
periodic or at least vicinity showers through 00z for LWS and
PUW. The shower threat will increase for all locations as a
shortwave trough crosses the Cascades around 18z...and heads into
eastern WA/north Idaho between 21-00z. Thunderstorms are a
possibility across the eastern third of Washington and the Idaho
Panhandle...as well as the threat of wind gusts from 30-40kts.
Despite the unsettled weather...cigs will generally remain in the
VFR category. Weather will dry at all sites overnight as shortwave
ridging moves in. Fog and stratus will be a possibility...but
too small to place in forecasts for now. fx

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        58  40  57  44  65  46 / 100  20  10  20  20  50
Coeur d`Alene  55  39  57  41  65  44 / 100  40  10  20  20  50
Pullman        58  42  59  47  70  46 /  90  30  10  40  10  40
Lewiston       65  46  64  46  73  48 /  70  30  20  40  10  30
Colville       56  36  59  41  66  44 /  70  30  10  50  30  70
Sandpoint      53  37  56  38  62  43 / 100  70  10  30  20  70
Kellogg        51  39  53  42  63  42 / 100  70  20  20  10  60
Moses Lake     65  40  59  45  63  48 /  70  10  10  40  20  30
Wenatchee      62  42  57  47  60  46 /  90  10  10  60  40  30
Omak           61  36  58  44  58  45 /  50  10  10  60  40  50

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...None.
&&

$$






000
FXUS66 KOTX 231159
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
459 AM PDT THU OCT 23 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
Breezy and unsettled conditions will continue today...followed by
some light rain Friday. A strong cold front passage Saturday
Night and Sunday will produce very windy conditions with gusts
in excess of 40 mph. The pattern will continue to be active into
early next week. This includes the potential for widespread rain
into early next week as moisture associated with former typhoons
makes its way toward the Pacific Northwest.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Today through Tonight...The occluded front and atmospheric river which
impacted much of the Inland Northwest has now shifted into
extreme eastern Washington and the Idaho Panhandle. Widespread
precipitation continues to fall along and ahead of the
front...while drier air has infiltrated areas west of the
front...with the precipitation turning increasingly showery. Thus
far most of the post-frontal showers have occurred near the
Cascade Crest and points westward. This was due to the presence of
the drier air combined with increased westerly mid-level flow over
the Cascades. This trend will likely continue through much of the
morning...with the drier air spreading slowly eastward. So for the
morning...the most widespread precipitation is expected to fall
either near the crest or over southern half of the Idaho Panhandle
and adjacent portions of southeast Washington.

Precipitation chances will increase once again during the afternoon.
This is in response to a weak shortwave trough forming just east
of 45n/130w. All model guidance depicts the current location of
this feature...and most take it over the Cascades by midday and
across the remainder of the forecast area during the afternoon.
Although this feature won`t have the deep moisture to work with as
the atmospheric river continues to sag south...it will feast off a
rapidly destabilizing atmosphere.. 500 mb temperatures ahead of
the feature will fall anywhere from 3-5c vs yesterday while the
low-level temperatures actually warm. This results in lifted index
values dropping below zero near the Cascades...as well as near the
Canadian border...most of the Idaho Panhandle and extreme eastern
Washington. MUCAPE values also rise into the 300-700 j/kg range.
Although these values aren`t terribly impressive by
themselves...model soundings suggest there will be a potential for
thunderstorms with equilibrium level temperatures at -20c or
colder. Since this is a borderline case...we don`t necessarily
expect widespread thunder...but certainly enough to warrant
throwing in the forecast. Precipitation amounts should be
generally light compared to yesterday...but the rain rates could
be considerably higher. Storms which form will likely move rapidly
northeast and could result in gusty winds to 30-40 mph.

The weather will settle down tonight as the shortwave trough pushes
east of the forecast area...and drier and more stable air
overtakes the region. Skies will generally undergo a clearing
trend...and valley fog will become an issue overnight...especially
for the northern valleys where winds are expected to remain the
lightest. fx

Fri through Sunday: No big changes for Fri and Fri Nt as the
slow-moving warm front doesn`t move north across Ern Wa until
Sat morning. Southeast flow/downslope off the Palouse should help
to keep rainfall amnts light for SE Wa and the Idaho Panhandle.
The areal coverage of the heaviest pcpn remains unchanged and
limited to a zone of upslope and modest isentropic ascent north
of a line from Moses Lake to Colville. Much of our focus has been
on the weekend fcst as the upper trough and strong sfc cyclone
lifts NE along the Pac Nw coast Sat. Model guidance is in better
agreement with the track of this low, with an overall slower
passage of the upper trough. This slower timing should allow much
of Ern Wa and N Idaho to remain dry and mild with well above
normal high temps within a northward-surging 850mb thermal ridge
of 10c-15c for SE Wa. Once fropa occurs Sat Nt, the pressure
gradient remains very tight as the deep sfc low moves into BC. We
should see 850mb winds of 40-50kts Sat Nt and Sunday as the post-
frontal dry slot axis moves across the Columbia Basin. If this
pattern remains unchanged, we`ll likely see very gusty winds Sat
Nt and Sunday that would easily reach wind advsy criteria with
gusts at or above 45 mph. Though snow levels lower Sat Nt and
Sunday potentially to 4500 ft for all mtn zones bordering BC,
significant accumulations are not expected. bz

Monday through Wednesday: The Southwest flow pattern will continue
to push waves of moisture and instability across the region during
this period. The models are in fairly good agreement on the track
and moisture associated with these waves. The wave on Monday is
trending drier than the wave on Tuesday. Warmer temperatures
associated with this pattern will keep the precip to mainly rain
with a chance of a few snowflakes in the higher elevations of the
Cascades. The entire Inland Northwest is expected to receive some
precip with the weakest chances on the East side of the Cascades.
Temperatures will be on the warming trend with highs starting
around low 50s and ending near 60. The lows will range from mid
30s to mid 40s. /JDC

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAFS: Moist occluded front will continue to cover the SE
forecast sites through most of the day. This will equate to
periodic or at least vicinity showers through 00z for LWS and
PUW. The shower threat will increase for all locations as a
shortwave trough crosses the Cascades around 18z...and heads into
eastern WA/north Idaho between 21-00z. Thunderstorms are a
possibility across the eastern third of Washington and the Idaho
Panhandle...as well as the threat of wind gusts from 30-40kts.
Despite the unsettled weather...cigs will generally remain in the
VFR category. Weather will dry at all sites overnight as shortwave
ridging moves in. Fog and stratus will be a possibility...but
too small to place in forecasts for now. fx

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        58  40  57  44  65  46 /  70  20  10  20  20  50
Coeur d`Alene  55  39  57  41  65  44 /  80  40  10  20  20  50
Pullman        58  42  59  47  70  46 /  80  30  10  40  10  40
Lewiston       65  46  64  46  73  48 /  70  30  20  40  10  30
Colville       56  36  59  41  66  44 /  70  30  10  50  30  70
Sandpoint      53  37  56  38  62  43 / 100  70  10  30  20  70
Kellogg        51  39  53  42  63  42 /  90  70  20  20  10  60
Moses Lake     65  40  59  45  63  48 /  50  10  10  40  20  30
Wenatchee      62  42  57  47  60  46 /  50  10  10  60  40  30
Omak           61  36  58  44  58  45 /  50  10  10  60  40  50

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...None.
&&

$$






000
FXUS66 KOTX 230958
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
258 AM PDT THU OCT 23 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
Breezy and unsettled conditions will continue today...followed by
some light rain Friday. A strong cold front passage Saturday
Night and Sunday will produce very windy conditions with gusts
in excess of 40 mph. The pattern will continue to be active into
early next week. This includes the potential for widespread rain
into early next week as moisture associated with former typhoons
makes its way toward the Pacific Northwest.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Today through Tonight...The occluded front and atmospheric river which
impacted much of the Inland Northwest has now shifted into
extreme eastern Washington and the Idaho Panhandle. Widespread
precipitation continues to fall along and ahead of the
front...while drier air has infiltrated areas west of the
front...with the precipitation turning increasingly showery. Thus
far most of the post-frontal showers have occurred near the
Cascade Crest and points westward. This was due to the presence of
the drier air combined with increased westerly mid-level flow over
the Cascades. This trend will likely continue through much of the
morning...with the drier air spreading slowly eastward. So for the
morning...the most widespread precipitation is expected to fall
either near the crest or over southern half of the Idaho Panhandle
and adjacent portions of southeast Washington.

Precipitation chances will increase once again during the afternoon.
This is in response to a weak shortwave trough forming just east
of 45n/130w. All model guidance depicts the current location of
this feature...and most take it over the Cascades by midday and
across the remainder of the forecast area during the afternoon.
Although this feature won`t have the deep moisture to work with as
the atmospheric river continues to sag south...it will feast off a
rapidly destabilizing atmosphere.. 500 mb temperatures ahead of
the feature will fall anywhere from 3-5c vs yesterday while the
low-level temperatures actually warm. This results in lifted index
values dropping below zero near the Cascades...as well as near the
Canadian border...most of the Idaho Panhandle and extreme eastern
Washington. MUCAPE values also rise into the 300-700 j/kg range.
Although these values aren`t terribly impressive by
themselves...model soundings suggest there will be a potential for
thunderstorms with equilibrium level temperatures at -20c or
colder. Since this is a borderline case...we don`t necessarily
expect widespread thunder...but certainly enough to warrant
throwing in the forecast. Precipitation amounts should be
generally light compared to yesterday...but the rain rates could
be considerably higher. Storms which form will likely move rapidly
northeast and could result in gusty winds to 30-40 mph.

The weather will settle down tonight as the shortwave trough pushes
east of the forecast area...and drier and more stable air
overtakes the region. Skies will generally undergo a clearing
trend...and valley fog will become an issue overnight...especially
for the northern valleys where winds are expected to remain the
lightest. fx

Fri through Sunday: No big changes for Fri and Fri Nt as the
slow-moving warm front doesn`t move north across Ern Wa until
Sat morning. Southeast flow/downslope off the Palouse should help
to keep rainfall amnts light for SE Wa and the Idaho Panhandle.
The areal coverage of the heaviest pcpn remains unchanged and
limited to a zone of upslope and modest isentropic ascent north
of a line from Moses Lake to Colville. Much of our focus has been
on the weekend fcst as the upper trough and strong sfc cyclone
lifts NE along the Pac Nw coast Sat. Model guidance is in better
agreement with the track of this low, with an overall slower
passage of the upper trough. This slower timing should allow much
of Ern Wa and N Idaho to remain dry and mild with well above
normal high temps within a northward-surging 850mb thermal ridge
of 10c-15c for SE Wa. Once fropa occurs Sat Nt, the pressure
gradient remains very tight as the deep sfc low moves into BC. We
should see 850mb winds of 40-50kts Sat Nt and Sunday as the post-
frontal dry slot axis moves across the Columbia Basin. If this
pattern remains unchanged, we`ll likely see very gusty winds Sat
Nt and Sunday that would easily reach wind advsy criteria with
gusts at or above 45 mph. Though snow levels lower Sat Nt and
Sunday potentially to 4500 ft for all mtn zones bordering BC,
significant accumulations are not expected. bz

Monday through Wednesday: The Southwest flow pattern will continue
to push waves of moisture and instability across the region during
this period. The models are in fairly good agreement on the track
and moisture associated with these waves. The wave on Monday is
trending drier than the wave on Tuesday. Warmer temperatures
associated with this pattern will keep the precip to mainly rain
with a chance of a few snowflakes in the higher elevations of the
Cascades. The entire Inland Northwest is expected to receive some
precip with the weakest chances on the East side of the Cascades.
Temperatures will be on the warming trend with highs starting
around low 50s and ending near 60. The lows will range from mid
30s to mid 40s. /JDC

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAFS: A trailing occluded front will sweep through the region
overnight with heavier rain along and immediately behind the
front. A moist boundary layer even after the FROPA will likely
promote continued MVFR (and possibly IFR) stratus ceilings through
20Z Thursday at the KGEG area TAF sites and KEAT. Gusty winds will
help to lift low stratus after 20Z Thursday. Scattered showers
will develop across the higher terrain surrounding the basin
during the afternoon hours. Isolated thunderstorms may develop
north of the KGEG-KCOE area and are not likely to affect any TAF
site. /EK




&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        58  40  57  44  65  46 /  70  20  10  20  20  50
Coeur d`Alene  55  39  57  41  65  44 /  80  40  10  20  20  50
Pullman        58  42  59  47  70  46 /  80  30  10  40  10  40
Lewiston       65  46  64  46  73  48 /  70  30  20  40  10  30
Colville       56  36  59  41  66  44 /  70  30  10  50  30  70
Sandpoint      53  37  56  38  62  43 / 100  70  10  30  20  70
Kellogg        51  39  53  42  63  42 /  90  70  20  20  10  60
Moses Lake     65  40  59  45  63  48 /  50  10  10  40  20  30
Wenatchee      62  42  57  47  60  46 /  50  10  10  60  40  30
Omak           61  36  58  44  58  45 /  50  10  10  60  40  50

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...None.
&&

$$






000
FXUS66 KOTX 230958
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
258 AM PDT THU OCT 23 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
Breezy and unsettled conditions will continue today...followed by
some light rain Friday. A strong cold front passage Saturday
Night and Sunday will produce very windy conditions with gusts
in excess of 40 mph. The pattern will continue to be active into
early next week. This includes the potential for widespread rain
into early next week as moisture associated with former typhoons
makes its way toward the Pacific Northwest.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Today through Tonight...The occluded front and atmospheric river which
impacted much of the Inland Northwest has now shifted into
extreme eastern Washington and the Idaho Panhandle. Widespread
precipitation continues to fall along and ahead of the
front...while drier air has infiltrated areas west of the
front...with the precipitation turning increasingly showery. Thus
far most of the post-frontal showers have occurred near the
Cascade Crest and points westward. This was due to the presence of
the drier air combined with increased westerly mid-level flow over
the Cascades. This trend will likely continue through much of the
morning...with the drier air spreading slowly eastward. So for the
morning...the most widespread precipitation is expected to fall
either near the crest or over southern half of the Idaho Panhandle
and adjacent portions of southeast Washington.

Precipitation chances will increase once again during the afternoon.
This is in response to a weak shortwave trough forming just east
of 45n/130w. All model guidance depicts the current location of
this feature...and most take it over the Cascades by midday and
across the remainder of the forecast area during the afternoon.
Although this feature won`t have the deep moisture to work with as
the atmospheric river continues to sag south...it will feast off a
rapidly destabilizing atmosphere.. 500 mb temperatures ahead of
the feature will fall anywhere from 3-5c vs yesterday while the
low-level temperatures actually warm. This results in lifted index
values dropping below zero near the Cascades...as well as near the
Canadian border...most of the Idaho Panhandle and extreme eastern
Washington. MUCAPE values also rise into the 300-700 j/kg range.
Although these values aren`t terribly impressive by
themselves...model soundings suggest there will be a potential for
thunderstorms with equilibrium level temperatures at -20c or
colder. Since this is a borderline case...we don`t necessarily
expect widespread thunder...but certainly enough to warrant
throwing in the forecast. Precipitation amounts should be
generally light compared to yesterday...but the rain rates could
be considerably higher. Storms which form will likely move rapidly
northeast and could result in gusty winds to 30-40 mph.

The weather will settle down tonight as the shortwave trough pushes
east of the forecast area...and drier and more stable air
overtakes the region. Skies will generally undergo a clearing
trend...and valley fog will become an issue overnight...especially
for the northern valleys where winds are expected to remain the
lightest. fx

Fri through Sunday: No big changes for Fri and Fri Nt as the
slow-moving warm front doesn`t move north across Ern Wa until
Sat morning. Southeast flow/downslope off the Palouse should help
to keep rainfall amnts light for SE Wa and the Idaho Panhandle.
The areal coverage of the heaviest pcpn remains unchanged and
limited to a zone of upslope and modest isentropic ascent north
of a line from Moses Lake to Colville. Much of our focus has been
on the weekend fcst as the upper trough and strong sfc cyclone
lifts NE along the Pac Nw coast Sat. Model guidance is in better
agreement with the track of this low, with an overall slower
passage of the upper trough. This slower timing should allow much
of Ern Wa and N Idaho to remain dry and mild with well above
normal high temps within a northward-surging 850mb thermal ridge
of 10c-15c for SE Wa. Once fropa occurs Sat Nt, the pressure
gradient remains very tight as the deep sfc low moves into BC. We
should see 850mb winds of 40-50kts Sat Nt and Sunday as the post-
frontal dry slot axis moves across the Columbia Basin. If this
pattern remains unchanged, we`ll likely see very gusty winds Sat
Nt and Sunday that would easily reach wind advsy criteria with
gusts at or above 45 mph. Though snow levels lower Sat Nt and
Sunday potentially to 4500 ft for all mtn zones bordering BC,
significant accumulations are not expected. bz

Monday through Wednesday: The Southwest flow pattern will continue
to push waves of moisture and instability across the region during
this period. The models are in fairly good agreement on the track
and moisture associated with these waves. The wave on Monday is
trending drier than the wave on Tuesday. Warmer temperatures
associated with this pattern will keep the precip to mainly rain
with a chance of a few snowflakes in the higher elevations of the
Cascades. The entire Inland Northwest is expected to receive some
precip with the weakest chances on the East side of the Cascades.
Temperatures will be on the warming trend with highs starting
around low 50s and ending near 60. The lows will range from mid
30s to mid 40s. /JDC

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAFS: A trailing occluded front will sweep through the region
overnight with heavier rain along and immediately behind the
front. A moist boundary layer even after the FROPA will likely
promote continued MVFR (and possibly IFR) stratus ceilings through
20Z Thursday at the KGEG area TAF sites and KEAT. Gusty winds will
help to lift low stratus after 20Z Thursday. Scattered showers
will develop across the higher terrain surrounding the basin
during the afternoon hours. Isolated thunderstorms may develop
north of the KGEG-KCOE area and are not likely to affect any TAF
site. /EK




&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        58  40  57  44  65  46 /  70  20  10  20  20  50
Coeur d`Alene  55  39  57  41  65  44 /  80  40  10  20  20  50
Pullman        58  42  59  47  70  46 /  80  30  10  40  10  40
Lewiston       65  46  64  46  73  48 /  70  30  20  40  10  30
Colville       56  36  59  41  66  44 /  70  30  10  50  30  70
Sandpoint      53  37  56  38  62  43 / 100  70  10  30  20  70
Kellogg        51  39  53  42  63  42 /  90  70  20  20  10  60
Moses Lake     65  40  59  45  63  48 /  50  10  10  40  20  30
Wenatchee      62  42  57  47  60  46 /  50  10  10  60  40  30
Omak           61  36  58  44  58  45 /  50  10  10  60  40  50

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...None.
&&

$$






000
FXUS66 KOTX 230547
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
1047 PM PDT WED OCT 22 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A very moist frontal boundary will produce heavy rain and high
elevation snow for the mountains and steady rain in the valleys
and basin tonight. Breezy and unsettled conditions will continue
through Thursday. A strong cold front will produce windy conditions
Saturday night into Sunday morning. The pattern will continue to
be active into early next week. This includes the potential for
widespread rain into early next week, as moisture associated with
former typhoons makes its way toward the Pacific Northwest.


&&

.DISCUSSION...
The first round of precipitation is currently moving across extreme
eastern WA into north Idaho this evening. Regional radar mosaic
shows a broad band of steady precip moving north-northeast across
the region. It looks like all but the extreme southeast corner of
the forecast area will see some light rain from this feature. The
Lewis-Clark Valley and Camas Prairie may not get measurable precip
from this feature. PoPs and QPF were adjusted to account for a
quicker advancement of this warm frontal band. Some patchy fog was
added to the weather grids in response to reports of fog in the
Spokane and West Plains area. Webcams show that the problem area
could be the North Spokane area. Patchy fog was added to the
northeast valleys that are typically favorable to fog formation.
Winds were also bumped up across the Camas Prairie and into the
Lewiston area. The windy spots could see winds of 20 to 25 kts
with gusts to 40 kts. Solidly windy but still below advisory
criteria. The occluded front appears to be on track, just reaching
the Cascade crest as of 8pm. This feature has been dropping a
quick quarter inch or so as it moved inland across western WA. It
should pass through eastern WA by 12Z then across north ID by 18Z.
The entire forecast area should see a quick soaking as the front
passes through. /Kelch

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAFS: A trailing occluded front will sweep through the region
overnight with heavier rain along and immediately behind the
front. A moist boundary layer even after the FROPA will likely
promote continued MVFR (and possibly IFR) stratus ceilings through
20Z Thursday at the KGEG area TAF sites and KEAT. Gusty winds will
help to lift low stratus after 20Z Thursday. Scattered showers
will develop across the higher terrain surrounding the basin
during the afternoon hours. Isolated thunderstorms may develop
north of the KGEG-KCOE area and are not likely to affect any TAF
site. /EK



&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        48  59  43  57  44  63 / 100  50  50  10  20  20
Coeur d`Alene  46  58  41  57  41  64 / 100  70  50  10  20  20
Pullman        48  59  45  59  47  69 /  90  80  50  10  40  10
Lewiston       53  63  48  64  46  72 /  40  60  50  20  40  10
Colville       48  57  41  58  41  60 / 100  60  50  10  50  30
Sandpoint      44  55  38  56  38  60 / 100 100  70  20  30  20
Kellogg        46  54  41  53  42  62 /  90  80  80  20  20  10
Moses Lake     50  64  43  61  45  63 /  90  20  10  10  40  20
Wenatchee      48  61  44  57  47  58 / 100  30  10  10  60  40
Omak           48  59  40  58  44  58 / 100  40  10  10  60  40

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...None.
&&

$$






000
FXUS66 KOTX 230337
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
837 PM PDT WED OCT 22 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A very moist frontal boundary will produce heavy rain and high
elevation snow for the mountains and steady rain in the valleys
and basin tonight. Breezy and unsettled conditions will continue
through Thursday. A strong cold front will produce windy conditions
Saturday night into Sunday morning. The pattern will continue to
be active into early next week. This includes the potential for
widespread rain into early next week, as moisture associated with
former typhoons makes its way toward the Pacific Northwest.


&&

.DISCUSSION...
The first round of precipitation is currently moving across extreme
eastern WA into north Idaho this evening. Regional radar mosaic
shows a broad band of steady precip moving north-northeast across
the region. It looks like all but the extreme southeast corner of
the forecast area will see some light rain from this feature. The
Lewis-Clark Valley and Camas Prairie may not get measurable precip
from this feature. PoPs and QPF were adjusted to account for a
quicker advancement of this warm frontal band. Some patchy fog was
added to the weather grids in response to reports of fog in the
Spokane and West Plains area. Webcams show that the problem area
could be the North Spokane area. Patchy fog was added to the
northeast valleys that are typically favorable to fog formation.
Winds were also bumped up across the Camas Prairie and into the
Lewiston area. The windy spots could see winds of 20 to 25 kts
with gusts to 40 kts. Solidly windy but still below advisory
criteria. The occluded front appears to be on track, just reaching
the Cascade crest as of 8pm. This feature has been dropping a
quick quarter inch or so as it moved inland across western WA. It
should pass through eastern WA by 12Z then across north ID by 18Z.
The entire forecast area should see a quick soaking as the front
passes through. /Kelch

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAFS: A very moist stream of Pacific moisture will enhance
over a slow moving developing warm front draped west to east
across the region today with gradually deteriorating conditions at
all TAF sites except KPUW and KLWS...where dry downslope winds
will promote increasing clouds but generally dry conditions today.
MVFR ceilings likely in RA at KEAT and possibly KMWH tonight. At
the KGEG area TAF sites mostly VFR showers are expected with
steady stratiform rain and occasional MVFR ceilings developing
after 04Z. Tonight a trailing occluding front will sweep through
the region with heavier rain along and immediately behind the
front. A moist boundary layer even after the FROPA will likely
promote continued MVFR (and possibly IFR) stratus ceilings
through 20Z Thursday at the KGEG area TAF sites and KEAT. Gusty
winds will help to lift low stratus after 20Z Thursday. /EK



&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        48  59  43  57  44  63 / 100  50  50  10  20  20
Coeur d`Alene  46  58  41  57  41  64 / 100  70  50  10  20  20
Pullman        48  59  45  59  47  69 /  90  80  50  10  40  10
Lewiston       53  63  48  64  46  72 /  40  60  50  20  40  10
Colville       48  57  41  58  41  60 / 100  60  50  10  50  30
Sandpoint      44  55  38  56  38  60 / 100 100  70  20  30  20
Kellogg        46  54  41  53  42  62 /  90  80  80  20  20  10
Moses Lake     50  64  43  61  45  63 /  90  20  10  10  40  20
Wenatchee      48  61  44  57  47  58 / 100  30  10  10  60  40
Omak           48  59  40  58  44  58 / 100  40  10  10  60  40

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...None.
&&

$$






000
FXUS66 KOTX 230337
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
837 PM PDT WED OCT 22 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A very moist frontal boundary will produce heavy rain and high
elevation snow for the mountains and steady rain in the valleys
and basin tonight. Breezy and unsettled conditions will continue
through Thursday. A strong cold front will produce windy conditions
Saturday night into Sunday morning. The pattern will continue to
be active into early next week. This includes the potential for
widespread rain into early next week, as moisture associated with
former typhoons makes its way toward the Pacific Northwest.


&&

.DISCUSSION...
The first round of precipitation is currently moving across extreme
eastern WA into north Idaho this evening. Regional radar mosaic
shows a broad band of steady precip moving north-northeast across
the region. It looks like all but the extreme southeast corner of
the forecast area will see some light rain from this feature. The
Lewis-Clark Valley and Camas Prairie may not get measurable precip
from this feature. PoPs and QPF were adjusted to account for a
quicker advancement of this warm frontal band. Some patchy fog was
added to the weather grids in response to reports of fog in the
Spokane and West Plains area. Webcams show that the problem area
could be the North Spokane area. Patchy fog was added to the
northeast valleys that are typically favorable to fog formation.
Winds were also bumped up across the Camas Prairie and into the
Lewiston area. The windy spots could see winds of 20 to 25 kts
with gusts to 40 kts. Solidly windy but still below advisory
criteria. The occluded front appears to be on track, just reaching
the Cascade crest as of 8pm. This feature has been dropping a
quick quarter inch or so as it moved inland across western WA. It
should pass through eastern WA by 12Z then across north ID by 18Z.
The entire forecast area should see a quick soaking as the front
passes through. /Kelch

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAFS: A very moist stream of Pacific moisture will enhance
over a slow moving developing warm front draped west to east
across the region today with gradually deteriorating conditions at
all TAF sites except KPUW and KLWS...where dry downslope winds
will promote increasing clouds but generally dry conditions today.
MVFR ceilings likely in RA at KEAT and possibly KMWH tonight. At
the KGEG area TAF sites mostly VFR showers are expected with
steady stratiform rain and occasional MVFR ceilings developing
after 04Z. Tonight a trailing occluding front will sweep through
the region with heavier rain along and immediately behind the
front. A moist boundary layer even after the FROPA will likely
promote continued MVFR (and possibly IFR) stratus ceilings
through 20Z Thursday at the KGEG area TAF sites and KEAT. Gusty
winds will help to lift low stratus after 20Z Thursday. /EK



&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        48  59  43  57  44  63 / 100  50  50  10  20  20
Coeur d`Alene  46  58  41  57  41  64 / 100  70  50  10  20  20
Pullman        48  59  45  59  47  69 /  90  80  50  10  40  10
Lewiston       53  63  48  64  46  72 /  40  60  50  20  40  10
Colville       48  57  41  58  41  60 / 100  60  50  10  50  30
Sandpoint      44  55  38  56  38  60 / 100 100  70  20  30  20
Kellogg        46  54  41  53  42  62 /  90  80  80  20  20  10
Moses Lake     50  64  43  61  45  63 /  90  20  10  10  40  20
Wenatchee      48  61  44  57  47  58 / 100  30  10  10  60  40
Omak           48  59  40  58  44  58 / 100  40  10  10  60  40

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...None.
&&

$$






000
FXUS66 KOTX 222344
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
444 PM PDT WED OCT 22 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A very moist frontal boundary will produce heavy rain and high
elevation snow for the mountains and steady rain in the valleys
and basin tonight. Breezy and unsettled conditions will continue
through Thursday. A strong cold front will produce windy conditions
Saturday night into Sunday morning. The pattern will continue to
be active into early next week. This includes the potential for
widespread rain into early next week, as moisture associated with
former typhoons makes its way toward the Pacific Northwest.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Tonight through Thursday...Pacific satellite loop displays a
baroclinic leaf cloud structure developing over western Washington
this afternoon...indicative of a frontal couplet featuring a warm
front running west to east over eastern Washington followed by a
cold occluded front running southwest to northeast just off the
Pacific Coast. This frontal complex is being fueled by a deep and
well directed fetch of sub-tropical moisture. The passage of this
sopping wet frontal complex will drive the weather for the next 24
to 36 hours. The entire forecast area is or soon will be in the
thick of this wet storm...with surface observation already
recording a general 1/2 to 1 inch of rain and high mountain snow
WE over the Cascades in the last 12 hours...with even the
normally dry deep basin locations receiving from a few hundredths
to a tenth of and inch already this afternoon. The surface
pressure gradient is producing a downslope southeast wind field
over the Palouse and points south which is retarding the onset of
precipitation.

Two regimes or rounds will occur over the next 24 hours. The
first round will occur this evening over the west and through
tonight over the east and will be characterized by steady light
to moderate stratiform rain enhancing isentropically over the slow
moving or nearly stationary warm front. Low level upslope flow
into the Cascades will assure continued precipitation even over
the normally dry deep basin. Snow levels will remain around 6000
feet in this warm advective scenario. The currently dry Palouse
and LC valley will succumb to the rain later tonight as the fetch
becomes better directed and in particular as the robust lift
along the occlusion moves through towards dawn.

The arrival of the occluded front will mark the beginning of the
second round. Passing trough the Cascades around midnight and into
the Idaho Panhandle around dawn this front will bring an area of
dense and occasionally heavy showers just ahead of it...followed
by a quick shut off of significant precipitation but a quick
increase in winds especially over the exposed terrain of the
basin. A moist orographic regime will dominate with the usual rain
shadow off the Cascades and continued orographic showers feeding
into the northeast Washington and Idaho Panhandle mountains.

Winds on Thursday look to be solidly breezy with gust potential up
to 30-35 mph or so on exposed terrain but the models are similar
in depicting a gradient that will not justify any wind highlights
at this time. These winds will help keep temperatures on the warm
side of normal in a well mixed and adiabatically dominated surface
layer.

Hydrology Issues...rainfall totals from this storm will range
from over 2 inches near the Cascade Crest to 1 to 2 inches in the
mountains north and east of the basin. Lowland locations will
range from 1/4 to 1/2 inch in the basin to near an inch or so in
the valleys branching off the basin. River levels appear to be low
enough to be able to handle this runoff with no trouble but
smaller streams and tributaries draining the mountains will likely
see significant rises but probably no small stream flooding. The
wild card issue is how the recent burn scars in the Cascades will
handle this soaking rain. Rain rates will not be sufficient to
trigger classic flash floods but as the soil becomes saturated
there is a possibility of denuded slopes becoming unstable and
producing debris flows. These debris flows in gullies and stream
beds could also produce debris dams in the channels and lead to a
higher threat of dambreak flooding or "Ice Jam" type upstream
flooding. There is a great deal of uncertainty and little
experience/case history with these possibilities and these areas
will need to be monitored closely over the next 24 hours. /Fugazzi

Thursday night through Friday: Moist and unstable upslope flow
will produce lingering showers across the ID Panhandle. These
showers will be most numerous Thursday evening and taper off
through Friday. All of the rain from the current weather system
impacting the region will result in substantial boundary layer
moisture. This will increase the threat for fog overnight Thursday
into Friday morning as mid level clouds clear west to east across
eastern WA. Friday will be fairly benign with the region in
between weather systems. High temperatures will be near to or
slightly above normal in the 50s to low 60s.

Friday night through Saturday night: A vigorous shortwave trough
of lower pressure will pivot around the upper level low pressure
system in the Gulf of Alaska on Friday. In addition, a moderate to
strong jet streak will be draped across the state of WA. A strong
vorticity maximum at the base of the shortwave trough and favorable
jet dynamics for large scale lift in the right entrance region of
the jet streak will result in rapid surface cyclogenesis along
130W off the coast of northern CA and southern OR. Models show
good agreement with this surface low tracking northeast into
northwest WA on Saturday. The GFS is on the faster side of the
medium range model guidance available, but good agreement overall.

The warm front is progged to push north across the region Friday
night. This will result in increased low level flow out of the
east. The front itself does not appear to be particularly strong
or moist. Easterly flow down the east slopes of the ID Panhandle
Mountains will result in some downward motions across these areas
out into the eastern basin. This will counteract the lift along
the warm front somewhat. Best chances for precip will likely be
across the western portion of the forecast area, and more so in
the East Slopes of the Northern Cascades where easterly flow will
create some orographic enhancement. Temperatures will likely be
fairly mild across the eastern portion of the forecast area
behind the warm front on Saturday.

Cold front passage with this system is expected Saturday night.
This will result in increasing chances for precipitation from west
to east along the front. Precipitation with this system is not
expected to be much of a concern with light to moderate amounts
anticipated. The greater concern with the front will be the
winds. There is still quite a bit of uncertainty still at this
time, but the surface low will be pushing inland across northwest WA
near its peak intensity. The 12Z GFS and NAM model guidance has
come in with an 850 mb jet of around 50-55 kt winds. There will be
some decent cold air advection with the front, so I anticipate
these winds will have a chance to mix down to the surface even
though it will push across after sunset. These solutions are much
stronger than previous runs, so confidence is still only moderate
at this time. A wind highlight may be needed if these stronger
solutions continue as the event approaches. /SVH

Sunday through Wednesday: Models continue to depict an active
pattern, with temperature held closer to seasonal averages;
however agreement over the details decreases in the new work week.

Sunday and Sunday night a surface low over southwest Canada
tracks east. A trough trailing it sags across northeast WA and
north ID, weakening and pulling away by Monday morning. In tandem,
the supporting upper trough migrates from the Pacific NW to the
northern High Plains, with the steering flow switching from
southwest to west-northwest. Moisture and low-grade instability
wrapped up in these features will continue providing shower chances
across much of the Inland NW. Yet the best chances will be near
the Cascade crest and the mountains of northeast WA and ID; the
lowest chances will be in the lee of the Cascades and L-C Valley.

From Sunday night into Monday the threat will retreat to just the
mountain areas and if anything falls it looks light. There will
be a stratus and patchy fog threat over the eastern Columbia Basin
into the eastern mountain valleys in the night and morning hours
too, given the lower level southwest flow and moisture provided
from recent rains.

From Monday night through Tuesday night the next system comes in,
ostensibly with another modest moisture fetch which includes the
remains former tropical system Ana. However there is wide
variation amongst models over the precise track and timing of the
system. Some runs bring a defined low toward the central BC coast
and others bring a smaller scale low toward the northern Oregon
coast. The further south solutions offer higher precipitation
amounts for the Inland NW and the further north solution shows
more diffuse, lighter precipitation. These details will continue
to be monitored and fine-tuned as we get more information. Right
now look for thickening clouds on Monday night with the main rain
chances increasing over the Cascades. The precipitation chances
increase across the rest of the area going into Tuesday and
Tuesday night as the system moves inland. By Wednesday models
depict a shortwave ridge builds in, leading to a relative decrease
in the precipitation threat and some stratus/patchy fog threat
again over the eastern third of WA and north ID, especially in the
sheltered valleys. Rain chances will begin to increase from the
west again late as that next system approaches. /J. Cote`


&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAFS: A very moist stream of Pacific moisture will enhance
over a slow moving developing warm front draped west to east
across the region today with gradually deteriorating conditions at
all TAF sites except KPUW and KLWS...where dry downslope winds
will promote increasing clouds but generally dry conditions today.
MVFR ceilings likely in RA at KEAT and possibly KMWH tonight. At
the KGEG area TAF sites mostly VFR showers are expected with
steady stratiform rain and occasional MVFR ceilings developing
after 04Z. Tonight a trailing occluding front will sweep through
the region with heavier rain along and immediately behind the
front. A moist boundary layer even after the FROPA will likely
promote continued MVFR (and possibly IFR) stratus ceilings
through 20Z Thursday at the KGEG area TAF sites and KEAT. Gusty
winds will help to lift low stratus after 20Z Thursday. /EK


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        48  59  43  57  44  63 / 100  50  50  10  20  20
Coeur d`Alene  46  58  41  57  41  64 / 100  70  50  20  20  20
Pullman        48  59  45  59  47  69 /  90  80  50  10  40  10
Lewiston       53  63  48  64  46  72 /  40  60  50  20  40  10
Colville       48  57  41  58  41  60 / 100  60  50  10  50  30
Sandpoint      45  55  38  56  38  60 / 100 100  70  20  30  20
Kellogg        46  54  41  53  42  62 /  90  80  80  30  20  10
Moses Lake     50  64  43  61  45  63 /  90  20  10  10  40  20
Wenatchee      49  61  44  57  47  58 / 100  30  10  10  60  40
Omak           48  59  40  58  44  58 / 100  40  10  10  60  40

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...None.
&&

$$






000
FXUS66 KOTX 222127
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
227 PM PDT WED OCT 22 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A very moist frontal boundary will produce heavy rain and high
elevation snow for the mountains and steady rain in the valleys
and basin tonight. Breezy and unsettled conditions will continue
through Thursday. A strong cold front will produce windy conditions
Saturday night into Sunday morning. The pattern will continue to
be active into early next week. This includes the potential for
widespread rain into early next week, as moisture associated with
former typhoons makes its way toward the Pacific Northwest.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Tonight through Thursday...Pacific satellite loop displays a
baroclinic leaf cloud structure developing over western Washington
this afternoon...indicative of a frontal couplet featuring a warm
front running west to east over eastern Washington followed by a
cold occluded front running southwest to northeast just off the
Pacific Coast. This frontal complex is being fueled by a deep and
well directed fetch of sub-tropical moisture. The passage of this
sopping wet frontal complex will drive the weather for the next 24
to 36 hours. The entire forecast area is or soon will be in the
thick of this wet storm...with surface observation already
recording a general 1/2 to 1 inch of rain and high mountain snow
WE over the Cascades in the last 12 hours...with even the
normally dry deep basin locations receiving from a few hundredths
to a tenth of and inch already this afternoon. The surface
pressure gradient is producing a downslope southeast wind field
over the Palouse and points south which is retarding the onset of
precipitation.

Two regimes or rounds will occur over the next 24 hours. The
first round will occur this evening over the west and through
tonight over the east and will be characterized by steady light
to moderate stratiform rain enhancing isentropically over the slow
moving or nearly stationary warm front. Low level upslope flow
into the Cascades will assure continued precipitation even over
the normally dry deep basin. Snow levels will remain around 6000
feet in this warm advective scenario. The currently dry Palouse
and LC valley will succumb to the rain later tonight as the fetch
becomes better directed and in particular as the robust lift
along the occlusion moves through towards dawn.

The arrival of the occluded front will mark the beginning of the
second round. Passing trough the Cascades around midnight and into
the Idaho Panhandle around dawn this front will bring an area of
dense and occasionally heavy showers just ahead of it...followed
by a quick shut off of significant precipitation but a quick
increase in winds especially over the exposed terrain of the
basin. A moist orographic regime will dominate with the usual rain
shadow off the Cascades and continued orographic showers feeding
into the northeast Washington and Idaho Panhandle mountains.

Winds on Thursday look to be solidly breezy with gust potential up
to 30-35 mph or so on exposed terrain but the models are similar
in depicting a gradient that will not justify any wind highlights
at this time. These winds will help keep temperatures on the warm
side of normal in a well mixed and adiabatically dominated surface
layer.

Hydrology Issues...rainfall totals from this storm will range
from over 2 inches near the Cascade Crest to 1 to 2 inches in the
mountains north and east of the basin. Lowland locations will
range from 1/4 to 1/2 inch in the basin to near an inch or so in
the valleys branching off the basin. River levels appear to be low
enough to be able to handle this runoff with no trouble but
smaller streams and tributaries draining the mountains will likely
see significant rises but probably no small stream flooding. The
wild card issue is how the recent burn scars in the Cascades will
handle this soaking rain. Rain rates will not be sufficient to
trigger classic flash floods but as the soil becomes saturated
there is a possibility of denuded slopes becoming unstable and
producing debris flows. These debris flows in gullies and stream
beds could also produce debris dams in the channels and lead to a
higher threat of dambreak flooding or "Ice Jam" type upstream
flooding. There is a great deal of uncertainty and little
experience/case history with these possibilities and these areas
will need to be monitored closely over the next 24 hours. /Fugazzi

Thursday night through Friday: Moist and unstable upslope flow
will produce lingering showers across the ID Panhandle. These
showers will be most numerous Thursday evening and taper off
through Friday. All of the rain from the current weather system
impacting the region will result in substantial boundary layer
moisture. This will increase the threat for fog overnight Thursday
into Friday morning as mid level clouds clear west to east across
eastern WA. Friday will be fairly benign with the region in
between weather systems. High temperatures will be near to or
slightly above normal in the 50s to low 60s.

Friday night through Saturday night: A vigorous shortwave trough
of lower pressure will pivot around the upper level low pressure
system in the Gulf of Alaska on Friday. In addition, a moderate to
strong jet streak will be draped across the state of WA. A strong
vorticity maximum at the base of the shortwave trough and favorable
jet dynamics for large scale lift in the right entrance region of
the jet streak will result in rapid surface cyclogenesis along
130W off the coast of northern CA and southern OR. Models show
good agreement with this surface low tracking northeast into
northwest WA on Saturday. The GFS is on the faster side of the
medium range model guidance available, but good agreement overall.

The warm front is progged to push north across the region Friday
night. This will result in increased low level flow out of the
east. The front itself does not appear to be particularly strong
or moist. Easterly flow down the east slopes of the ID Panhandle
Mountains will result in some downward motions across these areas
out into the eastern basin. This will counteract the lift along
the warm front somewhat. Best chances for precip will likely be
across the western portion of the forecast area, and more so in
the East Slopes of the Northern Cascades where easterly flow will
create some orographic enhancement. Temperatures will likely be
fairly mild across the eastern portion of the forecast area
behind the warm front on Saturday.

Cold front passage with this system is expected Saturday night.
This will result in increasing chances for precipitation from west
to east along the front. Precipitation with this system is not
expected to be much of a concern with light to moderate amounts
anticipated. The greater concern with the front will be the
winds. There is still quite a bit of uncertainty still at this
time, but the surface low will be pushing inland across northwest WA
near its peak intensity. The 12Z GFS and NAM model guidance has
come in with an 850 mb jet of around 50-55 kt winds. There will be
some decent cold air advection with the front, so I anticipate
these winds will have a chance to mix down to the surface even
though it will push across after sunset. These solutions are much
stronger than previous runs, so confidence is still only moderate
at this time. A wind highlight may be needed if these stronger
solutions continue as the event approaches. /SVH

Sunday through Wednesday: Models continue to depict an active
pattern, with temperature held closer to seasonal averages;
however agreement over the details decreases in the new work week.

Sunday and Sunday night a surface low over southwest Canada
tracks east. A trough trailing it sags across northeast WA and
north ID, weakening and pulling away by Monday morning. In tandem,
the supporting upper trough migrates from the Pacific NW to the
northern High Plains, with the steering flow switching from
southwest to west-northwest. Moisture and low-grade instability
wrapped up in these features will continue providing shower chances
across much of the Inland NW. Yet the best chances will be near
the Cascade crest and the mountains of northeast WA and ID; the
lowest chances will be in the lee of the Cascades and L-C Valley.

From Sunday night into Monday the threat will retreat to just the
mountain areas and if anything falls it looks light. There will
be a stratus and patchy fog threat over the eastern Columbia Basin
into the eastern mountain valleys in the night and morning hours
too, given the lower level southwest flow and moisture provided
from recent rains.

From Monday night through Tuesday night the next system comes in,
ostensibly with another modest moisture fetch which includes the
remains former tropical system Ana. However there is wide
variation amongst models over the precise track and timing of the
system. Some runs bring a defined low toward the central BC coast
and others bring a smaller scale low toward the northern Oregon
coast. The further south solutions offer higher precipitation
amounts for the Inland NW and the further north solution shows
more diffuse, lighter precipitation. These details will continue
to be monitored and fine-tuned as we get more information. Right
now look for thickening clouds on Monday night with the main rain
chances increasing over the Cascades. The precipitation chances
increase across the rest of the area going into Tuesday and
Tuesday night as the system moves inland. By Wednesday models
depict a shortwave ridge builds in, leading to a relative decrease
in the precipitation threat and some stratus/patchy fog threat
again over the eastern third of WA and north ID, especially in the
sheltered valleys. Rain chances will begin to increase from the
west again late as that next system approaches. /J. Cote`


&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAFS: A very moist stream of Pacific moisture will enhance
over a slow moving developing warm front draped west to east
across the region today with gradually deteriorating conditions at
all TAF sites except KPUW and KLWS...where dry downslope winds
will promote increasing clouds but generally dry conditions today.
MVFR ceilings in RA will likely develop at KEAT and possibly KMWH
during the day today. At the KGEG area TAF sites mostly VFR
showers are expected through 00Z with steady stratiform rain and
occasional MVFR ceilings developing after 00Z. Tonight a trailing
occluding front will sweep through the region with heavier rain
along and immediately behind the front. A moist boundary layer
even after the FROPA will likely promote continued IFR stratus
ceilings through 18Z Thursday at the KGEG area TAF sites and
KEAT. /MJF


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        48  59  43  57  44  63 / 100  50  50  10  20  20
Coeur d`Alene  46  58  41  57  41  64 / 100  70  50  20  20  20
Pullman        48  59  45  59  47  69 /  90  80  50  10  40  10
Lewiston       53  63  48  64  46  72 /  40  60  50  20  40  10
Colville       48  57  41  58  41  60 / 100  60  50  10  50  30
Sandpoint      45  55  38  56  38  60 / 100 100  70  20  30  20
Kellogg        46  54  41  53  42  62 /  90  80  80  30  20  10
Moses Lake     50  64  43  61  45  63 /  90  20  10  10  40  20
Wenatchee      49  61  44  57  47  58 / 100  30  10  10  60  40
Omak           48  59  40  58  44  58 / 100  40  10  10  60  40

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...None.
&&

$$






000
FXUS66 KOTX 221704
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
1004 AM PDT WED OCT 22 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
Through Wednesday night, a very moist frontal boundary will
produce heavy precipitation for the Cascades and possibly the
mountains of North Idaho. Though the heavy rains end Thursday
Night, the pattern will continue to be active into early next
week. This includes the potential for widespread rain Friday into
Saturday, then again Monday into  Tuesday, as moisture associated
with former typhoons makes its way toward the Pacific Northwest.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Rest of today...Satellite imagery reveals a deep and well
directed fetch of Pacific moisture beginning to hose into the
region this morning. This moisture will be efficiently enhanced
into widespread rain and high mountain snow over a developing warm
front draped across the region today. A general deterioration
first into increasingly common showers...then into outright steady
rain will overtake the eastern half of the forecast area as the
day wears on. Over the western half...the Cascades to a Moses
lake- Republic line...Steady light to moderate rain has already
begun or soon will begin with many locations in the Cascades
already tallying 1/3 to >1/2 inch in the last 12 hours. The best
chance of dry but increasingly cloudy conditions today will be
over the Central Panhandle Mountains and the Palouse and points
south where downsloping east winds will help keep the sub-cloud
layer drier for longer today...but eventually...probably sometime
this evening...rain will begin here as well.

Inherited forecast from the mid-shift has this trend well in
hand...and only a few minor tweaks in pops and temperatures have
been made fro the morning zone update. No need to update State
Forecast Product at this time. /Fugazzi

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAFS: A very moist stream of Pacific moisture will enhance
over a slow moving developing warm front draped west to east
across the region today with gradually deteriorating conditions at
all TAF sites except KPUW and KLWS...where dry downslope winds
will promote increasing clouds but generally dry conditions today.
MVFR ceilings in RA will likely develop at KEAT and possibly KMWH
during the day today. At the KGEG area TAF sites mostly VFR
showers are expected through 00Z with steady stratiform rain and
occasional MVFR ceilings developing after 00Z. Tonight a trailing
occluding front will sweep through the region with heavier rain
along and immediately behind the front. A moist boundary layer
even after the FROPA will likely promote continued IFR stratus
ceilings through 18Z Thursday at the KGEG area TAF sites and
KEAT. /MJF

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        55  48  59  43  56  44 /  70 100  50  20  40  60
Coeur d`Alene  55  45  58  41  55  41 /  60 100  70  30  40  60
Pullman        62  47  59  45  58  47 /  30  80  60  30  50  50
Lewiston       66  51  63  48  61  46 /  10  40  60  40  60  30
Colville       53  45  57  41  59  41 / 100 100  60  30  20  60
Sandpoint      54  43  55  38  57  38 /  80 100  90  50  20  60
Kellogg        52  45  54  41  53  42 /  20  90  80  60  40  60
Moses Lake     59  48  64  43  58  45 /  90  90  20  10  50  60
Wenatchee      55  48  61  44  55  47 / 100 100  30  10  60  70
Omak           56  46  59  40  58  44 / 100 100  40  20  20  60

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...None.
&&

$$






000
FXUS66 KOTX 221704
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
1004 AM PDT WED OCT 22 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
Through Wednesday night, a very moist frontal boundary will
produce heavy precipitation for the Cascades and possibly the
mountains of North Idaho. Though the heavy rains end Thursday
Night, the pattern will continue to be active into early next
week. This includes the potential for widespread rain Friday into
Saturday, then again Monday into  Tuesday, as moisture associated
with former typhoons makes its way toward the Pacific Northwest.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Rest of today...Satellite imagery reveals a deep and well
directed fetch of Pacific moisture beginning to hose into the
region this morning. This moisture will be efficiently enhanced
into widespread rain and high mountain snow over a developing warm
front draped across the region today. A general deterioration
first into increasingly common showers...then into outright steady
rain will overtake the eastern half of the forecast area as the
day wears on. Over the western half...the Cascades to a Moses
lake- Republic line...Steady light to moderate rain has already
begun or soon will begin with many locations in the Cascades
already tallying 1/3 to >1/2 inch in the last 12 hours. The best
chance of dry but increasingly cloudy conditions today will be
over the Central Panhandle Mountains and the Palouse and points
south where downsloping east winds will help keep the sub-cloud
layer drier for longer today...but eventually...probably sometime
this evening...rain will begin here as well.

Inherited forecast from the mid-shift has this trend well in
hand...and only a few minor tweaks in pops and temperatures have
been made fro the morning zone update. No need to update State
Forecast Product at this time. /Fugazzi

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAFS: A very moist stream of Pacific moisture will enhance
over a slow moving developing warm front draped west to east
across the region today with gradually deteriorating conditions at
all TAF sites except KPUW and KLWS...where dry downslope winds
will promote increasing clouds but generally dry conditions today.
MVFR ceilings in RA will likely develop at KEAT and possibly KMWH
during the day today. At the KGEG area TAF sites mostly VFR
showers are expected through 00Z with steady stratiform rain and
occasional MVFR ceilings developing after 00Z. Tonight a trailing
occluding front will sweep through the region with heavier rain
along and immediately behind the front. A moist boundary layer
even after the FROPA will likely promote continued IFR stratus
ceilings through 18Z Thursday at the KGEG area TAF sites and
KEAT. /MJF

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        55  48  59  43  56  44 /  70 100  50  20  40  60
Coeur d`Alene  55  45  58  41  55  41 /  60 100  70  30  40  60
Pullman        62  47  59  45  58  47 /  30  80  60  30  50  50
Lewiston       66  51  63  48  61  46 /  10  40  60  40  60  30
Colville       53  45  57  41  59  41 / 100 100  60  30  20  60
Sandpoint      54  43  55  38  57  38 /  80 100  90  50  20  60
Kellogg        52  45  54  41  53  42 /  20  90  80  60  40  60
Moses Lake     59  48  64  43  58  45 /  90  90  20  10  50  60
Wenatchee      55  48  61  44  55  47 / 100 100  30  10  60  70
Omak           56  46  59  40  58  44 / 100 100  40  20  20  60

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...None.
&&

$$






000
FXUS66 KOTX 221220
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
520 AM PDT WED OCT 22 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
Through Wednesday night, a very moist frontal boundary will
produce heavy precipitation for the Cascades and possibly the
mountains of North Idaho. Though the heavy rains end Thursday
Night, the pattern will continue to be active into early next
week. This includes the potential for widespread rain Friday into
Saturday, then again Monday into  Tuesday, as moisture associated
with former typhoons makes its way toward the Pacific Northwest.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Today through Tonight...Wet period awaits most of the Inland Northwest
during this period. The latest satellite images are showing a
very moist occluded front extending from deep upper level low over
the eastern Gulf of Alaska south-southwest through Vancouver
Island and the Olympic Peninsula. The blended precipitable water
product shows a very impressive atmospheric river streaming from
west of the Dateline all the way to the Washington coast.
Precipitable water values within this front ranged from 1 to 1.3
inches...which is about 2 standard deviations above normal for
this time of year. This moisture will eventually push east of the
Cascades...but the question is when. Over the past several hours
the eastward progression of the front has slowed...likely in
response to a shortwave trough forming near 42/135. This should
delay the onset of the precipitation in the lee of the Cascades.
00Z models aren`t depicting this slowing trend well....however the
new 06z NAM is doing much better. Through late morning...most of
the precipitation will occur west of a line from Colville .to
Rtzville.. By late afternoon...that line will extend from Kellogg
to the Blue Mountains. Once the precipitation begins...it will
continue through much of the night for most of the night as low-
level moisture transport and isentropic ascent look very
formidable. The only drying trend during this period will occur
after midnight in the lee of the Cascades...as the mid-level flow
trends to the west and the precipitable water plume shifts south
and east of that area. QPF amounts during this period will be
impressive with the heaviest amounts expected over the northern
Cascades. Values ranging from 1-1.5 inches will be possible...with
amounts around an inch extending across the northern mountains of
Washington. Despite the lofty precipitation amounts...hydro
problems if any...will be minor due to relatively dry in situ
conditions and low river levels...combined with a slow but steady
stratiform precipitation regime (as opposed to a rapid convective
event). If problems were to occur...it would likely be near the
Cascade burn scars. We will continue to issue hydrological
statements to address this issue. The location with the lightest
precipitation amounts will be over the LC Valley...due the the
late onset of the precipitation (last area for front to arrive)
and persistent southerly downslope flow off the Blues.

Aside from the widespread threat of precipitation...we are looking
at another warm and perhaps windy day. Until the front and
precipitation arrives...most of the area will be subject to
moderate south-southeast winds...combined with warm 850 mb
temperatures. Between late afternoon and early evening...850 mb
temps surge above 10c over the SE quarter of Washington and the
southern Idaho Panhandle. Enhanced mixing potential will allow
temperatures to surge into the mid to upper 60s (if not slightly
warmer) across SE Washington and adjacent portions of Idaho.
Meanwhile temperatures will be significantly cooler across the NW
portions of the forecast area. With the rain likely to develop
early...the impacts of diurnal heating will be largely mitigated.
Highs in these areas won`t be much warmer than the current
temperatures which suggests readings in the mid 50s. fx

Thurs through Sat: For Thurs, we slowly progressed the frontal
boundary and associated rich moisture plume through southeast Wa
and the Cntrl Idaho Panhandle. The tricky part will be determining
how far east across the Cascades and Upper Columbia Basin to bring
the post-frontal dry slot as well as steep mid-level lapse rates.
It`s possible we`ll see some cloud breaks Thurs afternoon that
would help to enhance any sfc-based instability and produce
localized heavier embedded showers. This will be especially true
for the Cascades as an inbound vort max reaches NW Wa by
afternoon. We increased winds as well for Thurs as the vertical
profile becomes nearly unidirectional from the SW in the dry slot,
with 850mb winds around 30 kts. Once the vort max moves into Srn
BC, rapidly rising hts aloft ahead of a warm front over Oregon
will help to quickly end the persistent heavy pcpn threat Thurs
Nt. Concerning this warm front, we made some significant changes
to the timing of the pcpn as this front moves north across Ern Wa.
This includes slowing down the onset of light rain, keeping Nrn
Wa and much of the N Idaho Panhandle near BC dry for Fri.bz

Sunday through Wednesday: The models are indicating a dry period
on Sunday followed by an extended period of rainshowers through
midweek with multiple systems passing through the region. The
temperatures are expected to be near the season normals with highs
around mid 50s and lows around 40. /JDC

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAFS: Focus for this period will center on strong low-level
warm air and moisture advection ahead of front currently on the WA
Coast. As the best advection heads east of the Cascades...all
sites will see an increasing and lowering cloud trend as well as
an increasing chance of rain. The rain will become widespread
before 18z at MWH and EAT...and hold off closer to 00z or a little
later for the remaining sites. The last location expected to see
rain is LWS due to downslope southerly winds. Generally
speaking...strong warm air advection cases do not lead to
widespread IFR cigs however brief MVFR cigs will be
possible...especially for EAT and MWH later today and the GEG-COE
corridor later this evening. Threat was too small to list as a
prevailing condition in forecast. fx

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        54  48  59  43  56  44 /  60 100  50  20  40  60
Coeur d`Alene  53  45  58  41  55  41 /  40 100  70  30  40  60
Pullman        63  47  59  45  58  47 /  30  80  60  30  50  50
Lewiston       67  51  63  48  61  46 /  10  40  60  40  60  30
Colville       50  45  57  41  59  41 / 100 100  60  30  20  60
Sandpoint      54  43  55  38  57  38 /  60 100  90  50  20  60
Kellogg        53  45  54  41  53  42 /  20  90  80  60  40  60
Moses Lake     60  48  64  43  58  45 /  90  90  20  10  50  60
Wenatchee      56  48  61  44  55  47 / 100 100  30  10  60  70
Omak           57  46  59  40  58  44 / 100 100  40  20  20  60

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...None.
&&

$$






000
FXUS66 KOTX 220955
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
254 AM PDT WED OCT 22 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
Through Wednesday night, a very moist frontal boundary will
produce heavy precipitation for the Cascades and possibly the
mountains of North Idaho. Though the heavy rains end Thursday
Night, the pattern will continue to be active into early next
week. This includes the potential for widespread rain Friday into
Saturday, then again Monday into  Tuesday, as moisture associated
with former typhoons makes its way toward the Pacific Northwest.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Today through Tonight...Wet period awaits most of the Inland Northwest
during this period. The latest satellite images are showing a
very moist occluded front extending from deep upper level low over
the eastern Gulf of Alaska south-southwest through Vancouver
Island and the Olympic Peninsula. The blended precipitable water
product shows a very impressive atmospheric river streaming from
west of the Dateline all the way to the Washington coast.
Precipitable water values within this front ranged from 1 to 1.3
inches...which is about 2 standard deviations above normal for
this time of year. This moisture will eventually push east of the
Cascades...but the question is when. Over the past several hours
the eastward progression of the front has slowed...likely in
response to a shortwave trough forming near 42/135. This should
delay the onset of the precipitation in the lee of the Cascades.
00Z models aren`t depicting this slowing trend well....however the
new 06z NAM is doing much better. Through late morning...most of
the precipitation will occur west of a line from Colville .to
Rtzville.. By late afternoon...that line will extend from Kellogg
to the Blue Mountains. Once the precipitation begins...it will
continue through much of the night for most of the night as low-
level moisture transport and isentropic ascent look very
formidable. The only drying trend during this period will occur
after midnight in the lee of the Cascades...as the mid-level flow
trends to the west and the precipitable water plume shifts south
and east of that area. QPF amounts during this period will be
impressive with the heaviest amounts expected over the northern
Cascades. Values ranging from 1-1.5 inches will be possible...with
amounts around an inch extending across the northern mountains of
Washington. Despite the lofty precipitation amounts...hydro
problems if any...will be minor due to relatively dry in situ
conditions and low river levels...combined with a slow but steady
stratiform precipitation regime (as opposed to a rapid convective
event). If problems were to occur...it would likely be near the
Cascade burn scars. We will continue to issue hydrological
statements to address this issue. The location with the lightest
precipitation amounts will be over the LC Valley...due the the
late onset of the precipitation (last area for front to arrive)
and persistent southerly downslope flow off the Blues.

Aside from the widespread threat of precipitation...we are looking
at another warm and perhaps windy day. Until the front and
precipitation arrives...most of the area will be subject to
moderate south-southeast winds...combined with warm 850 mb
temperatures. Between late afternoon and early evening...850 mb
temps surge above 10c over the SE quarter of Washington and the
southern Idaho Panhandle. Enhanced mixing potential will allow
temperatures to surge into the mid to upper 60s (if not slightly
warmer) across SE Washington and adjacent portions of Idaho.
Meanwhile temperatures will be significantly cooler across the NW
portions of the forecast area. With the rain likely to develop
early...the impacts of diurnal heating will be largely mitigated.
Highs in these areas won`t be much warmer than the current
temperatures which suggests readings in the mid 50s. fx

Thurs through Sat: For Thurs, we slowly progressed the frontal
boundary and associated rich moisture plume through southeast Wa
and the Cntrl Idaho Panhandle. The tricky part will be determining
how far east across the Cascades and Upper Columbia Basin to bring
the post-frontal dry slot as well as steep mid-level lapse rates.
It`s possible we`ll see some cloud breaks Thurs afternoon that
would help to enhance any sfc-based instability and produce
localized heavier embedded showers. This will be especially true
for the Cascades as an inbound vort max reaches NW Wa by
afternoon. We increased winds as well for Thurs as the vertical
profile becomes nearly unidirectional from the SW in the dry slot,
with 850mb winds around 30 kts. Once the vort max moves into Srn
BC, rapidly rising hts aloft ahead of a warm front over Oregon
will help to quickly end the persistent heavy pcpn threat Thurs
Nt. Concerning this warm front, we made some significant changes
to the timing of the pcpn as this front moves north across Ern Wa.
This includes slowing down the onset of light rain, keeping Nrn
Wa and much of the N Idaho Panhandle near BC dry for Fri.bz

Sunday through Wednesday: The models are indicating a dry period
on Sunday followed by an extended period of rainshowers through
midweek with multiple systems passing through the region. The
temperatures are expected to be near the season normals with highs
around mid 50s and lows around 40. /JDC

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAFS: Low level flow will back to out of the southeast
overnight as a moist Pacific storm system approaches the region.
Strong warm air advection should clear out the low clouds tonight
with rainfall forming northwest of a line from KMWH to KCQV by
Wednesday morning. KEAT will likely see light rain developing
after 12Z with cigs lowering to MVFR category. Light rain will
spread east to KMWH around 16Z, then to KGEG-KCOE after 20Z. KPUW
and KLWS may not see precipitation until after 06Z Thursday. Low
level wind shear will become a concern as well with winds
increasing significantly off the surface and veering to out of the
southwest, however, low level wind shear is not mentioned in the
TAFs as it does not look to be strong enough. /EK

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        54  48  59  43  56  44 /  60 100  50  20  40  60
Coeur d`Alene  53  45  58  41  55  41 /  40 100  70  30  40  60
Pullman        63  47  59  45  58  47 /  30  80  60  30  50  50
Lewiston       67  51  63  48  61  46 /  10  40  60  40  60  30
Colville       50  45  57  41  59  41 / 100 100  60  30  20  60
Sandpoint      54  43  55  38  57  38 /  60 100  90  50  20  60
Kellogg        53  45  54  41  53  42 /  20  90  80  60  40  60
Moses Lake     60  48  64  43  58  45 /  90  90  20  10  50  60
Wenatchee      56  48  61  44  55  47 / 100 100  30  10  60  70
Omak           57  46  59  40  58  44 / 100 100  40  20  20  60

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...None.
&&

$$






000
FXUS66 KOTX 220955
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
254 AM PDT WED OCT 22 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
Through Wednesday night, a very moist frontal boundary will
produce heavy precipitation for the Cascades and possibly the
mountains of North Idaho. Though the heavy rains end Thursday
Night, the pattern will continue to be active into early next
week. This includes the potential for widespread rain Friday into
Saturday, then again Monday into  Tuesday, as moisture associated
with former typhoons makes its way toward the Pacific Northwest.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Today through Tonight...Wet period awaits most of the Inland Northwest
during this period. The latest satellite images are showing a
very moist occluded front extending from deep upper level low over
the eastern Gulf of Alaska south-southwest through Vancouver
Island and the Olympic Peninsula. The blended precipitable water
product shows a very impressive atmospheric river streaming from
west of the Dateline all the way to the Washington coast.
Precipitable water values within this front ranged from 1 to 1.3
inches...which is about 2 standard deviations above normal for
this time of year. This moisture will eventually push east of the
Cascades...but the question is when. Over the past several hours
the eastward progression of the front has slowed...likely in
response to a shortwave trough forming near 42/135. This should
delay the onset of the precipitation in the lee of the Cascades.
00Z models aren`t depicting this slowing trend well....however the
new 06z NAM is doing much better. Through late morning...most of
the precipitation will occur west of a line from Colville .to
Rtzville.. By late afternoon...that line will extend from Kellogg
to the Blue Mountains. Once the precipitation begins...it will
continue through much of the night for most of the night as low-
level moisture transport and isentropic ascent look very
formidable. The only drying trend during this period will occur
after midnight in the lee of the Cascades...as the mid-level flow
trends to the west and the precipitable water plume shifts south
and east of that area. QPF amounts during this period will be
impressive with the heaviest amounts expected over the northern
Cascades. Values ranging from 1-1.5 inches will be possible...with
amounts around an inch extending across the northern mountains of
Washington. Despite the lofty precipitation amounts...hydro
problems if any...will be minor due to relatively dry in situ
conditions and low river levels...combined with a slow but steady
stratiform precipitation regime (as opposed to a rapid convective
event). If problems were to occur...it would likely be near the
Cascade burn scars. We will continue to issue hydrological
statements to address this issue. The location with the lightest
precipitation amounts will be over the LC Valley...due the the
late onset of the precipitation (last area for front to arrive)
and persistent southerly downslope flow off the Blues.

Aside from the widespread threat of precipitation...we are looking
at another warm and perhaps windy day. Until the front and
precipitation arrives...most of the area will be subject to
moderate south-southeast winds...combined with warm 850 mb
temperatures. Between late afternoon and early evening...850 mb
temps surge above 10c over the SE quarter of Washington and the
southern Idaho Panhandle. Enhanced mixing potential will allow
temperatures to surge into the mid to upper 60s (if not slightly
warmer) across SE Washington and adjacent portions of Idaho.
Meanwhile temperatures will be significantly cooler across the NW
portions of the forecast area. With the rain likely to develop
early...the impacts of diurnal heating will be largely mitigated.
Highs in these areas won`t be much warmer than the current
temperatures which suggests readings in the mid 50s. fx

Thurs through Sat: For Thurs, we slowly progressed the frontal
boundary and associated rich moisture plume through southeast Wa
and the Cntrl Idaho Panhandle. The tricky part will be determining
how far east across the Cascades and Upper Columbia Basin to bring
the post-frontal dry slot as well as steep mid-level lapse rates.
It`s possible we`ll see some cloud breaks Thurs afternoon that
would help to enhance any sfc-based instability and produce
localized heavier embedded showers. This will be especially true
for the Cascades as an inbound vort max reaches NW Wa by
afternoon. We increased winds as well for Thurs as the vertical
profile becomes nearly unidirectional from the SW in the dry slot,
with 850mb winds around 30 kts. Once the vort max moves into Srn
BC, rapidly rising hts aloft ahead of a warm front over Oregon
will help to quickly end the persistent heavy pcpn threat Thurs
Nt. Concerning this warm front, we made some significant changes
to the timing of the pcpn as this front moves north across Ern Wa.
This includes slowing down the onset of light rain, keeping Nrn
Wa and much of the N Idaho Panhandle near BC dry for Fri.bz

Sunday through Wednesday: The models are indicating a dry period
on Sunday followed by an extended period of rainshowers through
midweek with multiple systems passing through the region. The
temperatures are expected to be near the season normals with highs
around mid 50s and lows around 40. /JDC

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAFS: Low level flow will back to out of the southeast
overnight as a moist Pacific storm system approaches the region.
Strong warm air advection should clear out the low clouds tonight
with rainfall forming northwest of a line from KMWH to KCQV by
Wednesday morning. KEAT will likely see light rain developing
after 12Z with cigs lowering to MVFR category. Light rain will
spread east to KMWH around 16Z, then to KGEG-KCOE after 20Z. KPUW
and KLWS may not see precipitation until after 06Z Thursday. Low
level wind shear will become a concern as well with winds
increasing significantly off the surface and veering to out of the
southwest, however, low level wind shear is not mentioned in the
TAFs as it does not look to be strong enough. /EK

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        54  48  59  43  56  44 /  60 100  50  20  40  60
Coeur d`Alene  53  45  58  41  55  41 /  40 100  70  30  40  60
Pullman        63  47  59  45  58  47 /  30  80  60  30  50  50
Lewiston       67  51  63  48  61  46 /  10  40  60  40  60  30
Colville       50  45  57  41  59  41 / 100 100  60  30  20  60
Sandpoint      54  43  55  38  57  38 /  60 100  90  50  20  60
Kellogg        53  45  54  41  53  42 /  20  90  80  60  40  60
Moses Lake     60  48  64  43  58  45 /  90  90  20  10  50  60
Wenatchee      56  48  61  44  55  47 / 100 100  30  10  60  70
Omak           57  46  59  40  58  44 / 100 100  40  20  20  60

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...None.
&&

$$






000
FXUS66 KOTX 220533
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
1033 PM PDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A cold front exits to east this evening, leaving only some isolated
showers in the Idaho Panhandle. From late Tuesday night through
Wednesday night, the next frontal wave and round of precipitation
comes through. The active pattern continues into early next week,
with the potential for more widespread rain late Friday into
Saturday, then again late Monday into next Tuesday, as moisture
associated with former typhoons makes its way toward the Pacific
Northwest.


&&

.DISCUSSION...
The upper trough axis has moved off to the east and the air mass
has become more stable as warmer air is advected in the mid
levels. The isolated showers that lingered over the Idaho
panhandle have pretty much ended this evening. The main area of
precipitation associated with the next very moist frontal system
is just starting to move ashore. This frontal band will slowly
move east tonight, reaching the Cascade crest in the next couple
of hours. Models are still showing a southwest-northeast gradient
in QPF overnight with the Spokane area right on the edge. Low
level winds have already backed to the south, so it looks like the
basin should escape the rain shadow with this system, but
downsloping off the Camas Prairie and NE Blue Mts should keep much
of the southeast corner dry until late Wednesday. Some minor
adjustments were made for this update but for the most part, the
current forecast package is on track. /Kelch

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAFS: Low level flow will back to out of the southeast
overnight as a moist Pacific storm system approaches the region.
Strong warm air advection should clear out the low clouds tonight
with rainfall forming northwest of a line from KMWH to KCQV by
Wednesday morning. KEAT will likely see light rain developing
after 12Z with cigs lowering to MVFR category. Light rain will
spread east to KMWH around 16Z, then to KGEG-KCOE after 20Z. KPUW
and KLWS may not see precipitation until after 06Z Thursday. Low
level wind shear will become a concern as well with winds
increasing significantly off the surface and veering to out of the
southwest, however, low level wind shear is not mentioned in the
TAFs as it does not look to be strong enough. /EK


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        43  59  48  59  43  56 /  10  60  90  50  20  40
Coeur d`Alene  40  57  45  58  41  55 /  10  40  90  70  30  40
Pullman        43  62  47  59  45  58 /   0  20  70  60  30  50
Lewiston       44  66  51  63  48  61 /   0  10  30  60  40  60
Colville       44  54  46  57  41  56 /  20 100 100  60  20  20
Sandpoint      40  55  43  55  38  55 /  10  60  90  70  40  20
Kellogg        38  57  45  54  41  53 /  10  10  80  80  60  40
Moses Lake     49  59  48  64  43  58 /  20  90  90  20  10  50
Wenatchee      48  55  48  61  44  55 /  70 100  80  30  10  60
Omak           46  52  45  59  40  55 /  80 100 100  40  10  20

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...None.
&&

$$






000
FXUS66 KOTX 220533
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
1033 PM PDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A cold front exits to east this evening, leaving only some isolated
showers in the Idaho Panhandle. From late Tuesday night through
Wednesday night, the next frontal wave and round of precipitation
comes through. The active pattern continues into early next week,
with the potential for more widespread rain late Friday into
Saturday, then again late Monday into next Tuesday, as moisture
associated with former typhoons makes its way toward the Pacific
Northwest.


&&

.DISCUSSION...
The upper trough axis has moved off to the east and the air mass
has become more stable as warmer air is advected in the mid
levels. The isolated showers that lingered over the Idaho
panhandle have pretty much ended this evening. The main area of
precipitation associated with the next very moist frontal system
is just starting to move ashore. This frontal band will slowly
move east tonight, reaching the Cascade crest in the next couple
of hours. Models are still showing a southwest-northeast gradient
in QPF overnight with the Spokane area right on the edge. Low
level winds have already backed to the south, so it looks like the
basin should escape the rain shadow with this system, but
downsloping off the Camas Prairie and NE Blue Mts should keep much
of the southeast corner dry until late Wednesday. Some minor
adjustments were made for this update but for the most part, the
current forecast package is on track. /Kelch

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAFS: Low level flow will back to out of the southeast
overnight as a moist Pacific storm system approaches the region.
Strong warm air advection should clear out the low clouds tonight
with rainfall forming northwest of a line from KMWH to KCQV by
Wednesday morning. KEAT will likely see light rain developing
after 12Z with cigs lowering to MVFR category. Light rain will
spread east to KMWH around 16Z, then to KGEG-KCOE after 20Z. KPUW
and KLWS may not see precipitation until after 06Z Thursday. Low
level wind shear will become a concern as well with winds
increasing significantly off the surface and veering to out of the
southwest, however, low level wind shear is not mentioned in the
TAFs as it does not look to be strong enough. /EK


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        43  59  48  59  43  56 /  10  60  90  50  20  40
Coeur d`Alene  40  57  45  58  41  55 /  10  40  90  70  30  40
Pullman        43  62  47  59  45  58 /   0  20  70  60  30  50
Lewiston       44  66  51  63  48  61 /   0  10  30  60  40  60
Colville       44  54  46  57  41  56 /  20 100 100  60  20  20
Sandpoint      40  55  43  55  38  55 /  10  60  90  70  40  20
Kellogg        38  57  45  54  41  53 /  10  10  80  80  60  40
Moses Lake     49  59  48  64  43  58 /  20  90  90  20  10  50
Wenatchee      48  55  48  61  44  55 /  70 100  80  30  10  60
Omak           46  52  45  59  40  55 /  80 100 100  40  10  20

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...None.
&&

$$






000
FXUS66 KOTX 220349
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
849 PM PDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A cold front exits to east this evening, leaving only some isolated
showers in the Idaho Panhandle. From late Tuesday night through
Wednesday night, the next frontal wave and round of precipitation
comes through. The active pattern continues into early next week,
with the potential for more widespread rain late Friday into
Saturday, then again late Monday into next Tuesday, as moisture
associated with former typhoons makes its way toward the Pacific
Northwest.


&&

.DISCUSSION...
The upper trough axis has moved off to the east and the air mass
has become more stable as warmer air is advected in the mid
levels. The isolated showers that lingered over the Idaho
panhandle have pretty much ended this evening. The main area of
precipitation associated with the next very moist frontal system
is just starting to move ashore. This frontal band will slowly
move east tonight, reaching the Cascade crest in the next couple
of hours. Models are still showing a southwest-northeast gradient
in QPF overnight with the Spokane area right on the edge. Low
level winds have already backed to the south, so it looks like the
basin should escape the rain shadow with this system, but
downsloping off the Camas Prairie and NE Blue Mts should keep much
of the southeast corner dry until late Wednesday. Some minor
adjustments were made for this update but for the most part, the
current forecast package is on track. /Kelch

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAFS: Low level flow will back to out of the southeast
overnight as a moist Pacific storm system approaches the region.
Strong warm air advection should clear out the low clouds tonight
with rainfall forming northwest of a line from KMWH to KCQV by
Wednesday morning. KEAT will likely see light rain developing
after 12Z with cigs lowering to MVFR category. Light rain will
spread east to KMWH around 16Z, then to remaining TAF sites after
20Z. Low level wind shear will become a concern as well with
winds increasing significantly off the surface and veering to out
of the southwest, however, low level wind shear is not mentioned
in the TAFs as it does not look to be strong enough. /EK


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        43  59  48  59  43  56 /  10  60  90  50  20  40
Coeur d`Alene  40  57  45  58  41  55 /  10  40  90  70  30  40
Pullman        43  62  47  59  45  58 /   0  20  70  60  30  50
Lewiston       44  66  51  63  48  61 /   0  10  30  60  40  60
Colville       44  54  46  57  41  56 /  20 100 100  60  20  20
Sandpoint      40  55  43  55  38  55 /  10  60  90  70  40  20
Kellogg        38  57  45  54  41  53 /  10  10  80  80  60  40
Moses Lake     49  59  48  64  43  58 /  20  90  90  20  10  50
Wenatchee      48  55  48  61  44  55 /  70 100  80  30  10  60
Omak           46  52  45  59  40  55 /  80 100 100  40  10  20

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...None.
&&

$$






000
FXUS66 KOTX 220349
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
849 PM PDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A cold front exits to east this evening, leaving only some isolated
showers in the Idaho Panhandle. From late Tuesday night through
Wednesday night, the next frontal wave and round of precipitation
comes through. The active pattern continues into early next week,
with the potential for more widespread rain late Friday into
Saturday, then again late Monday into next Tuesday, as moisture
associated with former typhoons makes its way toward the Pacific
Northwest.


&&

.DISCUSSION...
The upper trough axis has moved off to the east and the air mass
has become more stable as warmer air is advected in the mid
levels. The isolated showers that lingered over the Idaho
panhandle have pretty much ended this evening. The main area of
precipitation associated with the next very moist frontal system
is just starting to move ashore. This frontal band will slowly
move east tonight, reaching the Cascade crest in the next couple
of hours. Models are still showing a southwest-northeast gradient
in QPF overnight with the Spokane area right on the edge. Low
level winds have already backed to the south, so it looks like the
basin should escape the rain shadow with this system, but
downsloping off the Camas Prairie and NE Blue Mts should keep much
of the southeast corner dry until late Wednesday. Some minor
adjustments were made for this update but for the most part, the
current forecast package is on track. /Kelch

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAFS: Low level flow will back to out of the southeast
overnight as a moist Pacific storm system approaches the region.
Strong warm air advection should clear out the low clouds tonight
with rainfall forming northwest of a line from KMWH to KCQV by
Wednesday morning. KEAT will likely see light rain developing
after 12Z with cigs lowering to MVFR category. Light rain will
spread east to KMWH around 16Z, then to remaining TAF sites after
20Z. Low level wind shear will become a concern as well with
winds increasing significantly off the surface and veering to out
of the southwest, however, low level wind shear is not mentioned
in the TAFs as it does not look to be strong enough. /EK


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        43  59  48  59  43  56 /  10  60  90  50  20  40
Coeur d`Alene  40  57  45  58  41  55 /  10  40  90  70  30  40
Pullman        43  62  47  59  45  58 /   0  20  70  60  30  50
Lewiston       44  66  51  63  48  61 /   0  10  30  60  40  60
Colville       44  54  46  57  41  56 /  20 100 100  60  20  20
Sandpoint      40  55  43  55  38  55 /  10  60  90  70  40  20
Kellogg        38  57  45  54  41  53 /  10  10  80  80  60  40
Moses Lake     49  59  48  64  43  58 /  20  90  90  20  10  50
Wenatchee      48  55  48  61  44  55 /  70 100  80  30  10  60
Omak           46  52  45  59  40  55 /  80 100 100  40  10  20

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...None.
&&

$$






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