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000
FXUS64 KOUN 251646
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1145 AM CDT SAT OCT 25 2014

.AVIATION...
SKIES WILL REMAIN CLEAR THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. LIGHT S/SW
WINDS WILL INCREASE QUICKLY AROUND 14/15Z SUNDAY MORNING AS SFC
PRES GRADIENT INCREASES AHEAD OF NEXT STORM SYSTEM. GUSTS OVER
20KTS EXPECTED MOST LOCATIONS BEFORE 18Z.

30

&&


.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 615 AM CDT SAT OCT 25 2014/

.DISCUSSION...
AVIATION DISCUSSION FOR THE 12Z TAFS IS BELOW.

&&

.AVIATION...
HAVE HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE TAFS.

PATCHY MVFR WITH BR WILL OCCUR AT A FEW SITES...PARTICULARLY KLAW
AND KPNC...THROUGH 14Z BEFORE DISSIPATING.

OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.

MBS

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 319 AM CDT SAT OCT 25 2014/

DISCUSSION...
RECORD HEAT THIS WEEKEND IS THE MAIN WEATHER STORY.

TODAY...SUNNY AND VERY WARM TO HOT CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH LIGHT
WINDS. A MID/UPPER RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD INTO THE AREA.
MODEL GUIDANCE TEMPERATURES GENERALLY SEEMED REASONABLE...THOUGH
THE 00Z METMOS/NAM12 APPEARED TO BE TOO HOT. REGARDLESS...MOST LOCATIONS
WILL BE 2 TO 5 DEGREES WARMER TODAY COMPARED TO YESTERDAY...ABOUT 15
TO 20 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

ON SUNDAY...SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST SURFACE WINDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE
COMPARED TO TODAY...THOUGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE SIMILAR UNDER SUNNY
SKIES.

MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...LATEST MODELS WERE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH
THE PROGRESSION OF COLD FRONT THROUGH THE AREA. MOST MODELS SUGGESTED
THAT ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS MAY FORM NEAR THE FRONT
MONDAY NIGHT. THE 00Z NAM12 SEEMED TO BE OUTLIER WITH WIDESPREAD
QPF BEHIND THE FRONT. SEVERE STORMS SEEM UNLIKELY DUE TO WEAK
INSTABILITY AND MANY LOCATIONS WILL NOT RECEIVE RAIN. TEMPERATURES
ON MONDAY MAY BE TRICKY WITH THE FRONT. THERE IS A SIGNAL THAT HIGHS
MAY AGAIN BE NEAR RECORDS JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT...PARTICULARLY IN
SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...GENERALLY DRY AND COOLER WEATHER CAN BE
EXPECTED WITH MID/UPPER NORTHWEST FLOW. A FEW SHOWERS AND STORMS
MAY LINGER NEAR THE FRONT TUESDAY MORNING IN FAR SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA.
TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO BE NEAR OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE.

MBS

CLIMATE...
RECORD HIGHS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH MONDAY ACROSS THE AREA. HERE ARE
THE RECORDS.

TODAY OCTOBER 25

OKLAHOMA CITY 87 1939/1891
WICHITA FALLS 92 1927

SUNDAY OCTOBER 26

OKLAHOMA CITY 92 1891
WICHITA FALLS 93 1950

MONDAY OCTOBER 27

OKLAHOMA CITY 86 1922
WICHITA FALLS 91 1938

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  90  59  90  61 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         90  59  90  61 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  91  60  91  61 /   0   0   0   0
GAGE OK           90  56  91  56 /   0   0   0  10
PONCA CITY OK     87  61  89  63 /   0   0   0  10
DURANT OK         89  62  89  62 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

03/17/17





000
FXUS64 KOUN 251646
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1145 AM CDT SAT OCT 25 2014

.AVIATION...
SKIES WILL REMAIN CLEAR THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. LIGHT S/SW
WINDS WILL INCREASE QUICKLY AROUND 14/15Z SUNDAY MORNING AS SFC
PRES GRADIENT INCREASES AHEAD OF NEXT STORM SYSTEM. GUSTS OVER
20KTS EXPECTED MOST LOCATIONS BEFORE 18Z.

30

&&


.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 615 AM CDT SAT OCT 25 2014/

.DISCUSSION...
AVIATION DISCUSSION FOR THE 12Z TAFS IS BELOW.

&&

.AVIATION...
HAVE HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE TAFS.

PATCHY MVFR WITH BR WILL OCCUR AT A FEW SITES...PARTICULARLY KLAW
AND KPNC...THROUGH 14Z BEFORE DISSIPATING.

OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.

MBS

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 319 AM CDT SAT OCT 25 2014/

DISCUSSION...
RECORD HEAT THIS WEEKEND IS THE MAIN WEATHER STORY.

TODAY...SUNNY AND VERY WARM TO HOT CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH LIGHT
WINDS. A MID/UPPER RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD INTO THE AREA.
MODEL GUIDANCE TEMPERATURES GENERALLY SEEMED REASONABLE...THOUGH
THE 00Z METMOS/NAM12 APPEARED TO BE TOO HOT. REGARDLESS...MOST LOCATIONS
WILL BE 2 TO 5 DEGREES WARMER TODAY COMPARED TO YESTERDAY...ABOUT 15
TO 20 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

ON SUNDAY...SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST SURFACE WINDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE
COMPARED TO TODAY...THOUGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE SIMILAR UNDER SUNNY
SKIES.

MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...LATEST MODELS WERE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH
THE PROGRESSION OF COLD FRONT THROUGH THE AREA. MOST MODELS SUGGESTED
THAT ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS MAY FORM NEAR THE FRONT
MONDAY NIGHT. THE 00Z NAM12 SEEMED TO BE OUTLIER WITH WIDESPREAD
QPF BEHIND THE FRONT. SEVERE STORMS SEEM UNLIKELY DUE TO WEAK
INSTABILITY AND MANY LOCATIONS WILL NOT RECEIVE RAIN. TEMPERATURES
ON MONDAY MAY BE TRICKY WITH THE FRONT. THERE IS A SIGNAL THAT HIGHS
MAY AGAIN BE NEAR RECORDS JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT...PARTICULARLY IN
SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...GENERALLY DRY AND COOLER WEATHER CAN BE
EXPECTED WITH MID/UPPER NORTHWEST FLOW. A FEW SHOWERS AND STORMS
MAY LINGER NEAR THE FRONT TUESDAY MORNING IN FAR SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA.
TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO BE NEAR OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE.

MBS

CLIMATE...
RECORD HIGHS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH MONDAY ACROSS THE AREA. HERE ARE
THE RECORDS.

TODAY OCTOBER 25

OKLAHOMA CITY 87 1939/1891
WICHITA FALLS 92 1927

SUNDAY OCTOBER 26

OKLAHOMA CITY 92 1891
WICHITA FALLS 93 1950

MONDAY OCTOBER 27

OKLAHOMA CITY 86 1922
WICHITA FALLS 91 1938

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  90  59  90  61 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         90  59  90  61 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  91  60  91  61 /   0   0   0   0
GAGE OK           90  56  91  56 /   0   0   0  10
PONCA CITY OK     87  61  89  63 /   0   0   0  10
DURANT OK         89  62  89  62 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

03/17/17





000
FXUS64 KOUN 251115
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
615 AM CDT SAT OCT 25 2014

.DISCUSSION...
AVIATION DISCUSSION FOR THE 12Z TAFS IS BELOW.

&&

.AVIATION...
HAVE HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE TAFS.

PATCHY MVFR WITH BR WILL OCCUR AT A FEW SITES...PARTICULARLY KLAW
AND KPNC...THROUGH 14Z BEFORE DISSIPATING.

OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.

MBS

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 319 AM CDT SAT OCT 25 2014/

DISCUSSION...
RECORD HEAT THIS WEEKEND IS THE MAIN WEATHER STORY.

TODAY...SUNNY AND VERY WARM TO HOT CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH LIGHT
WINDS. A MID/UPPER RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD INTO THE AREA.
MODEL GUIDANCE TEMPERATURES GENERALLY SEEMED REASONABLE...THOUGH
THE 00Z METMOS/NAM12 APPEARED TO BE TOO HOT. REGARDLESS...MOST LOCATIONS
WILL BE 2 TO 5 DEGREES WARMER TODAY COMPARED TO YESTERDAY...ABOUT 15
TO 20 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

ON SUNDAY...SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST SURFACE WINDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE
COMPARED TO TODAY...THOUGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE SIMILAR UNDER SUNNY
SKIES.

MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...LATEST MODELS WERE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH
THE PROGRESSION OF COLD FRONT THROUGH THE AREA. MOST MODELS SUGGESTED
THAT ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS MAY FORM NEAR THE FRONT
MONDAY NIGHT. THE 00Z NAM12 SEEMED TO BE OUTLIER WITH WIDESPREAD
QPF BEHIND THE FRONT. SEVERE STORMS SEEM UNLIKELY DUE TO WEAK
INSTABILITY AND MANY LOCATIONS WILL NOT RECEIVE RAIN. TEMPERATURES
ON MONDAY MAY BE TRICKY WITH THE FRONT. THERE IS A SIGNAL THAT HIGHS
MAY AGAIN BE NEAR RECORDS JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT...PARTICULARLY IN
SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...GENERALLY DRY AND COOLER WEATHER CAN BE
EXPECTED WITH MID/UPPER NORTHWEST FLOW. A FEW SHOWERS AND STORMS
MAY LINGER NEAR THE FRONT TUESDAY MORNING IN FAR SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA.
TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO BE NEAR OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE.

MBS

CLIMATE...
RECORD HIGHS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH MONDAY ACROSS THE AREA. HERE ARE
THE RECORDS.

TODAY OCTOBER 25

OKLAHOMA CITY 87 1939/1891
WICHITA FALLS 92 1927

SUNDAY OCTOBER 26

OKLAHOMA CITY 92 1891
WICHITA FALLS 93 1950

MONDAY OCTOBER 27

OKLAHOMA CITY 86 1922
WICHITA FALLS 91 1938

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  90  59  90  61 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         90  59  90  61 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  91  60  91  61 /   0   0   0   0
GAGE OK           90  56  91  56 /   0   0   0  10
PONCA CITY OK     87  61  89  63 /   0   0   0  10
DURANT OK         89  62  89  62 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

03/17/17





000
FXUS64 KOUN 251115
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
615 AM CDT SAT OCT 25 2014

.DISCUSSION...
AVIATION DISCUSSION FOR THE 12Z TAFS IS BELOW.

&&

.AVIATION...
HAVE HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE TAFS.

PATCHY MVFR WITH BR WILL OCCUR AT A FEW SITES...PARTICULARLY KLAW
AND KPNC...THROUGH 14Z BEFORE DISSIPATING.

OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.

MBS

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 319 AM CDT SAT OCT 25 2014/

DISCUSSION...
RECORD HEAT THIS WEEKEND IS THE MAIN WEATHER STORY.

TODAY...SUNNY AND VERY WARM TO HOT CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH LIGHT
WINDS. A MID/UPPER RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD INTO THE AREA.
MODEL GUIDANCE TEMPERATURES GENERALLY SEEMED REASONABLE...THOUGH
THE 00Z METMOS/NAM12 APPEARED TO BE TOO HOT. REGARDLESS...MOST LOCATIONS
WILL BE 2 TO 5 DEGREES WARMER TODAY COMPARED TO YESTERDAY...ABOUT 15
TO 20 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

ON SUNDAY...SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST SURFACE WINDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE
COMPARED TO TODAY...THOUGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE SIMILAR UNDER SUNNY
SKIES.

MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...LATEST MODELS WERE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH
THE PROGRESSION OF COLD FRONT THROUGH THE AREA. MOST MODELS SUGGESTED
THAT ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS MAY FORM NEAR THE FRONT
MONDAY NIGHT. THE 00Z NAM12 SEEMED TO BE OUTLIER WITH WIDESPREAD
QPF BEHIND THE FRONT. SEVERE STORMS SEEM UNLIKELY DUE TO WEAK
INSTABILITY AND MANY LOCATIONS WILL NOT RECEIVE RAIN. TEMPERATURES
ON MONDAY MAY BE TRICKY WITH THE FRONT. THERE IS A SIGNAL THAT HIGHS
MAY AGAIN BE NEAR RECORDS JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT...PARTICULARLY IN
SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...GENERALLY DRY AND COOLER WEATHER CAN BE
EXPECTED WITH MID/UPPER NORTHWEST FLOW. A FEW SHOWERS AND STORMS
MAY LINGER NEAR THE FRONT TUESDAY MORNING IN FAR SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA.
TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO BE NEAR OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE.

MBS

CLIMATE...
RECORD HIGHS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH MONDAY ACROSS THE AREA. HERE ARE
THE RECORDS.

TODAY OCTOBER 25

OKLAHOMA CITY 87 1939/1891
WICHITA FALLS 92 1927

SUNDAY OCTOBER 26

OKLAHOMA CITY 92 1891
WICHITA FALLS 93 1950

MONDAY OCTOBER 27

OKLAHOMA CITY 86 1922
WICHITA FALLS 91 1938

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  90  59  90  61 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         90  59  90  61 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  91  60  91  61 /   0   0   0   0
GAGE OK           90  56  91  56 /   0   0   0  10
PONCA CITY OK     87  61  89  63 /   0   0   0  10
DURANT OK         89  62  89  62 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

03/17/17





000
FXUS64 KOUN 250819
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
319 AM CDT SAT OCT 25 2014

.DISCUSSION...
RECORD HEAT THIS WEEKEND IS THE MAIN WEATHER STORY.

TODAY...SUNNY AND VERY WARM TO HOT CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH LIGHT
WINDS. A MID/UPPER RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD INTO THE AREA.
MODEL GUIDANCE TEMPERATURES GENERALLY SEEMED REASONABLE...THOUGH
THE 00Z METMOS/NAM12 APPEARED TO BE TOO HOT. REGARDLESS...MOST LOCATIONS
WILL BE 2 TO 5 DEGREES WARMER TODAY COMPARED TO YESTERDAY...ABOUT 15
TO 20 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

ON SUNDAY...SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST SURFACE WINDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE
COMPARED TO TODAY...THOUGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE SIMILAR UNDER SUNNY
SKIES.

MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...LATEST MODELS WERE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH
THE PROGRESSION OF COLD FRONT THROUGH THE AREA. MOST MODELS SUGGESTED
THAT ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS MAY FORM NEAR THE FRONT
MONDAY NIGHT. THE 00Z NAM12 SEEMED TO BE OUTLIER WITH WIDESPREAD
QPF BEHIND THE FRONT. SEVERE STORMS SEEM UNLIKELY DUE TO WEAK
INSTABILITY AND MANY LOCATIONS WILL NOT RECEIVE RAIN. TEMPERATURES
ON MONDAY MAY BE TRICKY WITH THE FRONT. THERE IS A SIGNAL THAT HIGHS
MAY AGAIN BE NEAR RECORDS JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT...PARTICULARLY IN
SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...GENERALLY DRY AND COOLER WEATHER CAN BE
EXPECTED WITH MID/UPPER NORTHWEST FLOW. A FEW SHOWERS AND STORMS
MAY LINGER NEAR THE FRONT TUESDAY MORNING IN FAR SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA.
TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO BE NEAR OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE.

MBS

&&

.CLIMATE...
RECORD HIGHS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH MONDAY ACROSS THE AREA. HERE ARE
THE RECORDS.

TODAY OCTOBER 25

OKLAHOMA CITY 87 1939/1891
WICHITA FALLS 92 1927

SUNDAY OCTOBER 26

OKLAHOMA CITY 92 1891
WICHITA FALLS 93 1950

MONDAY OCTOBER 27

OKLAHOMA CITY 86 1922
WICHITA FALLS 91 1938

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  90  59  90  61 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         90  59  90  61 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  91  60  91  61 /   0   0   0   0
GAGE OK           90  56  91  56 /   0   0   0  10
PONCA CITY OK     87  61  89  63 /   0   0   0  10
DURANT OK         89  62  89  62 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

03/17





000
FXUS64 KOUN 250349
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1050 PM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014

.AVIATION...
25/06Z TAFS...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 615 PM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014/

.AVIATION...
25/00Z TAFS...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 250 PM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014/

.DISCUSSION...
AS AN UPPER HIGH MOVES IN...TEMPERATURES WILL APPROACH RECORD LEVELS
THIS WEEKEND. SATURDAY WILL BE THE WARMEST WITH SEVERAL SITES MAKING
IT INTO THE LOWER 90S.

MOVING INTO MONDAY AND TUESDAY...TEMPERATURES BEGIN TO FALL OFF WITH
THE APPROACH OF A TROUGH. A COLD FRONT WILL ENTER THE AREA MONDAY
NIGHT...BRINGING WITH IT A CHANCE OF RAIN. RIGHT NOW...MODELS ARE
SHOWING THIS FRONT STALLING ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...KEEPING
SLIGHT PRECIP CHANCES GOING THROUGH TUESDAY INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY.

ANOTHER FRONT IS EXPECTED ON THURSDAY...BRINGING ANOTHER DROP IN
TEMPERATURES AND ANOTHER SLIGHT CHANCE FOR RAIN.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  59  90  60  87 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         59  90  60  87 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  60  92  61  90 /   0   0   0   0
GAGE OK           54  91  57  88 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     58  89  61  88 /   0   0   0   0
DURANT OK         60  88  62  86 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

23/14





000
FXUS64 KOUN 250349
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1050 PM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014

.AVIATION...
25/06Z TAFS...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 615 PM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014/

.AVIATION...
25/00Z TAFS...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 250 PM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014/

.DISCUSSION...
AS AN UPPER HIGH MOVES IN...TEMPERATURES WILL APPROACH RECORD LEVELS
THIS WEEKEND. SATURDAY WILL BE THE WARMEST WITH SEVERAL SITES MAKING
IT INTO THE LOWER 90S.

MOVING INTO MONDAY AND TUESDAY...TEMPERATURES BEGIN TO FALL OFF WITH
THE APPROACH OF A TROUGH. A COLD FRONT WILL ENTER THE AREA MONDAY
NIGHT...BRINGING WITH IT A CHANCE OF RAIN. RIGHT NOW...MODELS ARE
SHOWING THIS FRONT STALLING ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...KEEPING
SLIGHT PRECIP CHANCES GOING THROUGH TUESDAY INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY.

ANOTHER FRONT IS EXPECTED ON THURSDAY...BRINGING ANOTHER DROP IN
TEMPERATURES AND ANOTHER SLIGHT CHANCE FOR RAIN.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  59  90  60  87 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         59  90  60  87 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  60  92  61  90 /   0   0   0   0
GAGE OK           54  91  57  88 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     58  89  61  88 /   0   0   0   0
DURANT OK         60  88  62  86 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

23/14





000
FXUS64 KOUN 242315
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
615 PM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014

.AVIATION...
25/00Z TAFS...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 250 PM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014/

.DISCUSSION...
AS AN UPPER HIGH MOVES IN...TEMPERATURES WILL APPROACH RECORD LEVELS
THIS WEEKEND. SATURDAY WILL BE THE WARMEST WITH SEVERAL SITES MAKING
IT INTO THE LOWER 90S.

MOVING INTO MONDAY AND TUESDAY...TEMPERATURES BEGIN TO FALL OFF WITH
THE APPROACH OF A TROUGH. A COLD FRONT WILL ENTER THE AREA MONDAY
NIGHT...BRINGING WITH IT A CHANCE OF RAIN. RIGHT NOW...MODELS ARE
SHOWING THIS FRONT STALLING ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...KEEPING
SLIGHT PRECIP CHANCES GOING THROUGH TUESDAY INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY.

ANOTHER FRONT IS EXPECTED ON THURSDAY...BRINGING ANOTHER DROP IN
TEMPERATURES AND ANOTHER SLIGHT CHANCE FOR RAIN.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  59  90  60  87 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         59  90  60  87 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  60  92  61  90 /   0   0   0   0
GAGE OK           54  91  57  88 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     58  89  61  88 /   0   0   0   0
DURANT OK         60  88  62  86 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

23/14





000
FXUS64 KOUN 241950
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
250 PM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...
AS AN UPPER HIGH MOVES IN...TEMPERATURES WILL APPROACH RECORD LEVELS
THIS WEEKEND. SATURDAY WILL BE THE WARMEST WITH SEVERAL SITES MAKING
IT INTO THE LOWER 90S.

MOVING INTO MONDAY AND TUESDAY...TEMPERATURES BEGIN TO FALL OFF WITH
THE APPROACH OF A TROUGH. A COLD FRONT WILL ENTER THE AREA MONDAY
NIGHT...BRINGING WITH IT A CHANCE OF RAIN. RIGHT NOW...MODELS ARE
SHOWING THIS FRONT STALLING ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...KEEPING
SLIGHT PRECIP CHANCES GOING THROUGH TUESDAY INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY.

ANOTHER FRONT IS EXPECTED ON THURSDAY...BRINGING ANOTHER DROP IN
TEMPERATURES AND ANOTHER SLIGHT CHANCE FOR RAIN.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  59  90  60  87 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         59  90  60  87 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  60  92  61  90 /   0   0   0   0
GAGE OK           54  91  57  88 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     58  89  61  88 /   0   0   0   0
DURANT OK         60  88  62  86 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

23/14





000
FXUS64 KOUN 241950
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
250 PM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...
AS AN UPPER HIGH MOVES IN...TEMPERATURES WILL APPROACH RECORD LEVELS
THIS WEEKEND. SATURDAY WILL BE THE WARMEST WITH SEVERAL SITES MAKING
IT INTO THE LOWER 90S.

MOVING INTO MONDAY AND TUESDAY...TEMPERATURES BEGIN TO FALL OFF WITH
THE APPROACH OF A TROUGH. A COLD FRONT WILL ENTER THE AREA MONDAY
NIGHT...BRINGING WITH IT A CHANCE OF RAIN. RIGHT NOW...MODELS ARE
SHOWING THIS FRONT STALLING ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...KEEPING
SLIGHT PRECIP CHANCES GOING THROUGH TUESDAY INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY.

ANOTHER FRONT IS EXPECTED ON THURSDAY...BRINGING ANOTHER DROP IN
TEMPERATURES AND ANOTHER SLIGHT CHANCE FOR RAIN.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  59  90  60  87 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         59  90  60  87 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  60  92  61  90 /   0   0   0   0
GAGE OK           54  91  57  88 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     58  89  61  88 /   0   0   0   0
DURANT OK         60  88  62  86 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

23/14





000
FXUS64 KOUN 241641
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1141 AM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014

.AVIATION...
LIGHT SOUTH WINDS AND VFR CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT THE TAF PERIOD.
THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SOME FOG IN THE MORNING...BUT
NOTHING WORTH MENTIONING IN THE TAFS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1029 AM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
ALTHOUGH NO DIRECT SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOW DENSE...OR NEARLY
DENSE...FOG IN WESTERN OKLAHOMA...SATELLITE IMAGERY...SOCIAL
MEDIA...AND INFERENCE FROM OBSERVATIONS IN THE TEXAS PANHANDLE
SUGGEST THAT THERE IS STILL A MULTI-COUNTY AREA OF FOG REMAINING.
SOME OF THE FOG IS LIKELY DENSE. AS A RESULT...THE FORECAST HAS
BEEN UPDATED TO INCLUDE A COUPLE MORE HOURS OF FOG...ALTHOUGH IT
WILL LIKELY DIMINISH FAIRLY QUICKLY FROM THE EDGES.
SIMILARLY...TEMPERATURES WITHIN THE FOG AREA HAVE BEEN UPDATED TO
ACCOUNT FOR A MUCH SLOWER WARMUP THIS MORNING.

OTHERWISE...THE FORECAST LOOKS GOOD AND NO OTHER CHANGES ARE
PLANNED FOR THIS MORNING.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 530 AM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014/

AVIATION...
FOG IN WESTERN OKLAHOMA WILL KEEP VISITILITY IN THE MVFR RANGE
UNTIL ABOUT 241500Z. OTHERWISE SOUTH WIND AND VFR CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED UNTIL 251200.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 235 AM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
RECORD HEAT IS FORECAST FOR MANY AREAS ON SATURDAY. TEMPERATURES
IN THE AFTERNOON ARE EXPECTED TO EXCEED 90 DEGREES IN MANY AREAS.
NORMAL HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE IN THE UPPER 60S TO MIDDLE 70S. THE
UNUSUALLY STRONG UPPER RIDGE WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH HOT
CONDITIONS TODAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE WESTERLIES FINALLY
RETURN TO INFLUENCE THE WEATHER NEXT WEEK WITH TEMPERATURES CLOSER
TO NORMALS. AN UPPER TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO HELP A FRONT MOVE
THROUGH OKLAHOMA LATE MONDAY BRINING A FLEETING CHANCE FOR SHOWERS
IN NORTHERN OKLAHOMA. OTHERWISE NEXT WEEK IS EXPECTED TO BE DRY.
HOWEVER, MODELS HINT AT ANOTHER UPPER RIDGE BUILDING TO THE
SOUTHWEST OF OKLAHOMA LATE NEXT WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  59  90  60  87 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         59  90  60  87 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  60  92  61  90 /   0   0   0   0
GAGE OK           54  91  57  88 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     58  89  61  88 /   0   0   0   0
DURANT OK         60  88  62  86 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

23/14/14





000
FXUS64 KOUN 241529
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1029 AM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...
ALTHOUGH NO DIRECT SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOW DENSE...OR NEARLY
DENSE...FOG IN WESTERN OKLAHOMA...SATELLITE IMAGERY...SOCIAL
MEDIA...AND INFERENCE FROM OBSERVATIONS IN THE TEXAS PANHANDLE
SUGGEST THAT THERE IS STILL A MULTI-COUNTY AREA OF FOG REMAINING.
SOME OF THE FOG IS LIKELY DENSE. AS A RESULT...THE FORECAST HAS
BEEN UPDATED TO INCLUDE A COUPLE MORE HOURS OF FOG...ALTHOUGH IT
WILL LIKELY DIMINISH FAIRLY QUICKLY FROM THE EDGES.
SIMILARLY...TEMPERATURES WITHIN THE FOG AREA HAVE BEEN UPDATED TO
ACCOUNT FOR A MUCH SLOWER WARMUP THIS MORNING.

OTHERWISE...THE FORECAST LOOKS GOOD AND NO OTHER CHANGES ARE
PLANNED FOR THIS MORNING.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 530 AM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014/

AVIATION...
FOG IN WESTERN OKLAHOMA WILL KEEP VISITILITY IN THE MVFR RANGE
UNTIL ABOUT 241500Z. OTHERWISE SOUTH WIND AND VFR CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED UNTIL 251200.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 235 AM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
RECORD HEAT IS FORECAST FOR MANY AREAS ON SATURDAY. TEMPERATURES
IN THE AFTERNOON ARE EXPECTED TO EXCEED 90 DEGREES IN MANY AREAS.
NORMAL HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE IN THE UPPER 60S TO MIDDLE 70S. THE
UNUSUALLY STRONG UPPER RIDGE WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH HOT
CONDITIONS TODAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE WESTERLIES FINALLY
RETURN TO INFLUENCE THE WEATHER NEXT WEEK WITH TEMPERATURES CLOSER
TO NORMALS. AN UPPER TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO HELP A FRONT MOVE
THROUGH OKLAHOMA LATE MONDAY BRINING A FLEETING CHANCE FOR SHOWERS
IN NORTHERN OKLAHOMA. OTHERWISE NEXT WEEK IS EXPECTED TO BE DRY.
HOWEVER, MODELS HINT AT ANOTHER UPPER RIDGE BUILDING TO THE
SOUTHWEST OF OKLAHOMA LATE NEXT WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  84  59  90  60 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         86  59  90  60 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  88  60  92  61 /   0   0   0   0
GAGE OK           88  54  91  57 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     85  58  89  61 /   0   0   0   0
DURANT OK         82  60  88  62 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

23/14





000
FXUS64 KOUN 241030
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
530 AM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014

.AVIATION...
FOG IN WESTERN OKLAHOMA WILL KEEP VISITILITY IN THE MVFR RANGE
UNTIL ABOUT 241500Z. OTHERWISE SOUTH WIND AND VFR CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED UNTIL 251200.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 235 AM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
RECORD HEAT IS FORECAST FOR MANY AREAS ON SATURDAY. TEMPERATURES
IN THE AFTERNOON ARE EXPECTED TO EXCEED 90 DEGREES IN MANY AREAS.
NORMAL HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE IN THE UPPER 60S TO MIDDLE 70S. THE
UNUSUALLY STRONG UPPER RIDGE WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH HOT
CONDITIONS TODAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE WESTERLIES FINALLY
RETURN TO INFLUENCE THE WEATHER NEXT WEEK WITH TEMPERATURES CLOSER
TO NORMALS. AN UPPER TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO HELP A FRONT MOVE
THROUGH OKLAHOMA LATE MONDAY BRINING A FLEETING CHANCE FOR SHOWERS
IN NORTHERN OKLAHOMA. OTHERWISE NEXT WEEK IS EXPECTED TO BE DRY.
HOWEVER, MODELS HINT AT ANOTHER UPPER RIDGE BUILDING TO THE
SOUTHWEST OF OKLAHOMA LATE NEXT WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  84  59  90  60 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         86  59  90  60 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  88  60  92  61 /   0   0   0   0
GAGE OK           88  54  91  57 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     85  58  89  61 /   0   0   0   0
DURANT OK         82  60  88  62 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

04/09/09





000
FXUS64 KOUN 240735
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
235 AM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...
RECORD HEAT IS FORECAST FOR MANY AREAS ON SATURDAY. TEMPERATURES
IN THE AFTERNOON ARE EXPECTED TO EXCEED 90 DEGREES IN MANY AREAS.
NORMAL HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE IN THE UPPER 60S TO MIDDLE 70S. THE
UNUSUALLY STRONG UPPER RIDGE WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH HOT
CONDITIONS TODAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE WESTERLIES FINALLY
RETURN TO INFLUENCE THE WEATHER NEXT WEEK WITH TEMPERATURES CLOSER
TO NORMALS. AN UPPER TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO HELP A FRONT MOVE
THROUGH OKLAHOMA LATE MONDAY BRINING A FLEETING CHANCE FOR SHOWERS
IN NORTHERN OKLAHOMA. OTHERWISE NEXT WEEK IS EXPECTED TO BE DRY.
HOWEVER, MODELS HINT AT ANOTHER UPPER RIDGE BUILDING TO THE
SOUTHWEST OF OKLAHOMA LATE NEXT WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  84  59  90  60 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         86  59  90  60 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  88  60  92  61 /   0   0   0   0
GAGE OK           88  54  91  57 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     85  58  89  61 /   0   0   0   0
DURANT OK         82  60  88  62 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

04/09





000
FXUS64 KOUN 240346
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1055 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

.AVIATION...
24/06Z TAFS...LITTLE CHANGE TO PREVIOUS THINKING. SOME PATCHY FOG
POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT COULD BRIEFLY DROP VSBY TO MVFR AT A FEW SITES
AROUND SUNRISE...BUT THIS SHOULD BE SHORT LIVED. OTHERWISE...VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PD.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 607 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2014/

.AVIATION...
GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD. SOME PATCHY FOG
POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT COULD BRIEFLY DROP VSBY TO MVFR AT A FEW SITES
AROUND SUNRISE...BUT THIS SHOULD BE SHORT LIVED.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 307 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2014/

.DISCUSSION...
A WARMING TREND WILL LAST INTO THE WEEKEND AS AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE
BUILDS OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. BY MONDAY...A STORM SYSTEM AND
ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL ARRIVE IN THE CENTRAL PLAINS...AND
CONTINUE TO ADVANCE SOUTHEAST. THE FRONT SHOULD PASS THROUGH
OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS MONDAY NIGHT...BRINGING OUR NEXT CHANCE
FOR RAIN.

TEMPERATURES WILL RISE TO RECORD OR NEAR-RECORD VALUES THIS
WEEKEND...THEN RETURN TO MORE SEASONABLE NUMBERS ON TUESDAY.

BEYOND THE RANGE OF THIS FORECAST...MODELS HAVE BECOME A LITTLE
MORE INSISTENT THAT SIGNIFICANTLY COOLER-THAN-NORMAL TEMPERATURES
WILL ARRIVE AROUND THE END OF NEXT WEEK...AT LEAST BRIEFLY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  57  85  60  89 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         57  87  59  89 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  59  88  60  91 /   0   0   0   0
GAGE OK           54  88  54  90 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     57  85  58  87 /   0   0   0   0
DURANT OK         55  82  60  88 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

14/23





000
FXUS64 KOUN 240346
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1055 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

.AVIATION...
24/06Z TAFS...LITTLE CHANGE TO PREVIOUS THINKING. SOME PATCHY FOG
POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT COULD BRIEFLY DROP VSBY TO MVFR AT A FEW SITES
AROUND SUNRISE...BUT THIS SHOULD BE SHORT LIVED. OTHERWISE...VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PD.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 607 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2014/

.AVIATION...
GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD. SOME PATCHY FOG
POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT COULD BRIEFLY DROP VSBY TO MVFR AT A FEW SITES
AROUND SUNRISE...BUT THIS SHOULD BE SHORT LIVED.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 307 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2014/

.DISCUSSION...
A WARMING TREND WILL LAST INTO THE WEEKEND AS AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE
BUILDS OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. BY MONDAY...A STORM SYSTEM AND
ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL ARRIVE IN THE CENTRAL PLAINS...AND
CONTINUE TO ADVANCE SOUTHEAST. THE FRONT SHOULD PASS THROUGH
OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS MONDAY NIGHT...BRINGING OUR NEXT CHANCE
FOR RAIN.

TEMPERATURES WILL RISE TO RECORD OR NEAR-RECORD VALUES THIS
WEEKEND...THEN RETURN TO MORE SEASONABLE NUMBERS ON TUESDAY.

BEYOND THE RANGE OF THIS FORECAST...MODELS HAVE BECOME A LITTLE
MORE INSISTENT THAT SIGNIFICANTLY COOLER-THAN-NORMAL TEMPERATURES
WILL ARRIVE AROUND THE END OF NEXT WEEK...AT LEAST BRIEFLY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  57  85  60  89 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         57  87  59  89 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  59  88  60  91 /   0   0   0   0
GAGE OK           54  88  54  90 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     57  85  58  87 /   0   0   0   0
DURANT OK         55  82  60  88 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

14/23





000
FXUS64 KOUN 232313
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
607 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

.AVIATION...
GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD. SOME PATCHY FOG
POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT COULD BRIEFLY DROP VSBY TO MVFR AT A FEW SITES
AROUND SUNRISE...BUT THIS SHOULD BE SHORT LIVED.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 307 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2014/

.DISCUSSION...
A WARMING TREND WILL LAST INTO THE WEEKEND AS AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE
BUILDS OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. BY MONDAY...A STORM SYSTEM AND
ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL ARRIVE IN THE CENTRAL PLAINS...AND
CONTINUE TO ADVANCE SOUTHEAST. THE FRONT SHOULD PASS THROUGH
OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS MONDAY NIGHT...BRINGING OUR NEXT CHANCE
FOR RAIN.

TEMPERATURES WILL RISE TO RECORD OR NEAR-RECORD VALUES THIS
WEEKEND...THEN RETURN TO MORE SEASONABLE NUMBERS ON TUESDAY.

BEYOND THE RANGE OF THIS FORECAST...MODELS HAVE BECOME A LITTLE
MORE INSISTENT THAT SIGNIFICANTLY COOLER-THAN-NORMAL TEMPERATURES
WILL ARRIVE AROUND THE END OF NEXT WEEK...AT LEAST BRIEFLY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  57  85  60  89 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         57  87  59  89 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  59  88  60  91 /   0   0   0   0
GAGE OK           54  88  54  90 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     57  85  58  87 /   0   0   0   0
DURANT OK         55  82  60  88 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

14/23





000
FXUS64 KOUN 232007
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
307 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

.DISCUSSION...
A WARMING TREND WILL LAST INTO THE WEEKEND AS AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE
BUILDS OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. BY MONDAY...A STORM SYSTEM AND
ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL ARRIVE IN THE CENTRAL PLAINS...AND
CONTINUE TO ADVANCE SOUTHEAST. THE FRONT SHOULD PASS THROUGH
OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS MONDAY NIGHT...BRINGING OUR NEXT CHANCE
FOR RAIN.

TEMPERATURES WILL RISE TO RECORD OR NEAR-RECORD VALUES THIS
WEEKEND...THEN RETURN TO MORE SEASONABLE NUMBERS ON TUESDAY.

BEYOND THE RANGE OF THIS FORECAST...MODELS HAVE BECOME A LITTLE
MORE INSISTENT THAT SIGNIFICANTLY COOLER-THAN-NORMAL TEMPERATURES
WILL ARRIVE AROUND THE END OF NEXT WEEK...AT LEAST BRIEFLY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  57  85  60  89 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         57  87  59  89 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  59  88  60  91 /   0   0   0   0
GAGE OK           54  88  54  90 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     57  85  58  87 /   0   0   0   0
DURANT OK         55  82  60  88 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

14/23





000
FXUS64 KOUN 231724
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1224 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

.DISCUSSION...
THE 18Z AVIATION DISCUSSION FOLLOWS....

&&

.AVIATION...
AREAS OF LOW CLOUDS...MAINLY OVER W/N OK...WILL DIMINISH THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON TODAY. LOW-LEVEL CLOUDINESS SHOULD BE GONE WITHIN A
FEW HOURS AFTER SUNSET. COMPUTER GUIDANCE SUGGESTS BR/FG IN W OK
EARLY FRIDAY...BUT THIS SEEMS TO BE IN CONFLICT WITH THE FORECASTS
FOR WIND SPEED/DIRECTION AND LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE FLOW. CANNOT RULE
IT OUT...BUT AM NOT CONFIDENT ENOUGH THAT IT WILL OCCUR TO INCLUDE
IN TAFS. OTHERWISE...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS AND RELATIVELY LIGHT
S/SE WINDS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1028 AM CDT THU OCT 23 2014/

UPDATE...
LOWERED MAX TEMPS AND UPDATED POPS.

DISCUSSION...
MODELS ARE TRENDING LOWER WITH TODAYS MAX TEMPS. WITH THE
LINGERING FOG AND LOW CLOUDS...OPTED TO LOWER TEMPS. SHOWERS ARE
ALL BUT OUT OF THE CWA.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 346 AM CDT THU OCT 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...
UPPER TROUGH WILL CONT TO MOVE EAST AND TAKE THE PRECIP WITH IT
THIS MORNING. OTHERWISE... PATCHY FOG WILL BURN OFF QUICKLY THIS
MORNING WITH SKIES CLEARING AND MILD CONDITIONS EXPECTED BY AFTN.

UPPER RIDGE WILL THEN BUILD OVER THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES OUT INTO
THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS THIS WEEKEND WITH VERY WARM TEMPS
EXPECTED FROM FRIDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. RIGHT NOW ARE GOING
WITH NEAR RECORD/RECORD TEMPS FOR SATURDAY. MODELS CONT TO DIFFER
WITH THIS NEXT UPPER TROUGH AS GFS MAINTAINS A MORE PROGRESSIVE
AND OPEN WAVE... WHERE THE ECMWF IS MORE AMPLIFIED... TRIES TO
CLOSE THE UPPER LOW OFF NEAR THE AREA AND MAINTAINS PRECIP CHANCES
THROUGH THE DAY ON TUESDAY. HAVE EXTENDED THE MENTION OF RAIN
THROUGH TUESDAY.

IN WAKE OF THIS SYSTEM SHOULD SEE MORE TYPICAL MID/LATE OCTOBER
TEMPS WITH NO ADDITIONAL CHANCES FOR RAIN.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  77  57  86  59 /  10   0   0   0
HOBART OK         78  57  87  59 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  80  58  88  59 /   0   0   0   0
GAGE OK           76  53  88  53 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     75  56  85  57 /  10   0   0   0
DURANT OK         76  56  83  60 /  20   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

14/23/23





000
FXUS64 KOUN 231528
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1028 AM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

.UPDATE...
LOWERED MAX TEMPS AND UPDATED POPS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
MODELS ARE TRENDING LOWER WITH TODAYS MAX TEMPS. WITH THE
LINGERING FOG AND LOW CLOUDS...OPTED TO LOWER TEMPS. SHOWERS ARE
ALL BUT OUT OF THE CWA.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 346 AM CDT THU OCT 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...
UPPER TROUGH WILL CONT TO MOVE EAST AND TAKE THE PRECIP WITH IT
THIS MORNING. OTHERWISE... PATCHY FOG WILL BURN OFF QUICKLY THIS
MORNING WITH SKIES CLEARING AND MILD CONDITIONS EXPECTED BY AFTN.

UPPER RIDGE WILL THEN BUILD OVER THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES OUT INTO
THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS THIS WEEKEND WITH VERY WARM TEMPS
EXPECTED FROM FRIDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. RIGHT NOW ARE GOING
WITH NEAR RECORD/RECORD TEMPS FOR SATURDAY. MODELS CONT TO DIFFER
WITH THIS NEXT UPPER TROUGH AS GFS MAINTAINS A MORE PROGRESSIVE
AND OPEN WAVE... WHERE THE ECMWF IS MORE AMPLIFIED... TRIES TO
CLOSE THE UPPER LOW OFF NEAR THE AREA AND MAINTAINS PRECIP CHANCES
THROUGH THE DAY ON TUESDAY. HAVE EXTENDED THE MENTION OF RAIN
THROUGH TUESDAY.

IN WAKE OF THIS SYSTEM SHOULD SEE MORE TYPICAL MID/LATE OCTOBER
TEMPS WITH NO ADDITIONAL CHANCES FOR RAIN.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  78  57  86  59 /  20   0   0   0
HOBART OK         81  57  87  59 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  83  58  88  59 /   0   0   0   0
GAGE OK           79  53  88  53 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     77  56  85  57 /  20   0   0   0
DURANT OK         76  56  83  60 /  20   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

14/23





000
FXUS64 KOUN 230846
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
346 AM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER TROUGH WILL CONT TO MOVE EAST AND TAKE THE PRECIP WITH IT
THIS MORNING. OTHERWISE... PATCHY FOG WILL BURN OFF QUICKLY THIS
MORNING WITH SKIES CLEARING AND MILD CONDITIONS EXPECTED BY AFTN.

UPPER RIDGE WILL THEN BUILD OVER THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES OUT INTO
THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS THIS WEEKEND WITH VERY WARM TEMPS
EXPECTED FROM FRIDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. RIGHT NOW ARE GOING
WITH NEAR RECORD/RECORD TEMPS FOR SATURDAY. MODELS CONT TO DIFFER
WITH THIS NEXT UPPER TROUGH AS GFS MAINTAINS A MORE PROGRESSIVE
AND OPEN WAVE... WHERE THE ECMWF IS MORE AMPLIFIED... TRIES TO
CLOSE THE UPPER LOW OFF NEAR THE AREA AND MAINTAINS PRECIP CHANCES
THROUGH THE DAY ON TUESDAY. HAVE EXTENDED THE MENTION OF RAIN
THROUGH TUESDAY.

IN WAKE OF THIS SYSTEM SHOULD SEE MORE TYPICAL MID/LATE OCTOBER
TEMPS WITH NO ADDITIONAL CHANCES FOR RAIN.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  78  57  86  59 /  20   0   0   0
HOBART OK         81  57  87  59 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  83  58  88  59 /   0   0   0   0
GAGE OK           79  53  88  53 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     77  56  85  57 /  20   0   0   0
DURANT OK         76  56  83  60 /  20   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

11/30





000
FXUS64 KOUN 230504 AAA
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1204 AM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

.AVIATION...
MAIN AREA OF SHOWERS IS MOVING INTO EASTERN OKLAHOMA ALTHOUGH
THERE IS SOME SIGNAL THAT LIGHT RAIN WILL REDEVELOP THROUGH THE
NEXT FEW HOURS OVER CENTRAL AND NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. HAVE
BROUGHT IN CIGS A BIT LOWER THAN LAST SET OF TAFS... ESPECIALLY IN
NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 614 PM CDT WED OCT 22 2014/

AVIATION...
AREA OF SHOWERS IS MOVING ACROSS OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS THIS
EVENING. MAIN AREA OF PRECIPITATION HAS MOVED PAST KGAG AND KWWR
BUT WILL AFFECT THE OTHERS THIS EVENING. CIGS HAVE GENERALLY BEEN
VFR EVEN WITH THE PRECIPITATION. SOME MVFR CIGS/VSBYS WILL BE
POSSIBLE... ESPECIALLY IN NORTHERN OKLAHOMA.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 332 PM CDT WED OCT 22 2014/

DISCUSSION...
THE UPPER-LEVEL WAVE THAT WILL PASS OVER OKLAHOMA/NORTH TEXAS
TONIGHT WILL BRING WIDESPREAD...BUT GENERALLY LIGHT...RAIN TO THE
REGION. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE...BUT WILL AMOUNT
TO LITTLE MORE THAN SHOWERS WITH A STROKE OF LIGHTNING.

TEMPERATURES WILL RISE INTO THE WEEKEND AS AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE
BUILDS IN BEHIND THE DEPARTING WAVE. THE WEEKEND WILL GENERALLY BE
WARMER THAN AVERAGE WITH LITTLE OR NO CHANCE OF RAIN.

ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM...WITH AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT...WILL ARRIVE
ABOUT MONDAY...BRINGING ANOTHER CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS...AND COOLER WEATHER FOR THE EARLY PART OF
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  57  79  58  86 /  60  20   0   0
HOBART OK         57  81  57  88 /  30  10   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  59  83  59  89 /  30  10   0   0
GAGE OK           53  79  52  89 /  20  10   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     59  78  56  85 /  60  20   0   0
DURANT OK         56  76  56  84 /  40  10   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KOUN 230504 AAA
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1204 AM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

.AVIATION...
MAIN AREA OF SHOWERS IS MOVING INTO EASTERN OKLAHOMA ALTHOUGH
THERE IS SOME SIGNAL THAT LIGHT RAIN WILL REDEVELOP THROUGH THE
NEXT FEW HOURS OVER CENTRAL AND NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. HAVE
BROUGHT IN CIGS A BIT LOWER THAN LAST SET OF TAFS... ESPECIALLY IN
NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 614 PM CDT WED OCT 22 2014/

AVIATION...
AREA OF SHOWERS IS MOVING ACROSS OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS THIS
EVENING. MAIN AREA OF PRECIPITATION HAS MOVED PAST KGAG AND KWWR
BUT WILL AFFECT THE OTHERS THIS EVENING. CIGS HAVE GENERALLY BEEN
VFR EVEN WITH THE PRECIPITATION. SOME MVFR CIGS/VSBYS WILL BE
POSSIBLE... ESPECIALLY IN NORTHERN OKLAHOMA.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 332 PM CDT WED OCT 22 2014/

DISCUSSION...
THE UPPER-LEVEL WAVE THAT WILL PASS OVER OKLAHOMA/NORTH TEXAS
TONIGHT WILL BRING WIDESPREAD...BUT GENERALLY LIGHT...RAIN TO THE
REGION. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE...BUT WILL AMOUNT
TO LITTLE MORE THAN SHOWERS WITH A STROKE OF LIGHTNING.

TEMPERATURES WILL RISE INTO THE WEEKEND AS AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE
BUILDS IN BEHIND THE DEPARTING WAVE. THE WEEKEND WILL GENERALLY BE
WARMER THAN AVERAGE WITH LITTLE OR NO CHANCE OF RAIN.

ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM...WITH AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT...WILL ARRIVE
ABOUT MONDAY...BRINGING ANOTHER CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS...AND COOLER WEATHER FOR THE EARLY PART OF
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  57  79  58  86 /  60  20   0   0
HOBART OK         57  81  57  88 /  30  10   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  59  83  59  89 /  30  10   0   0
GAGE OK           53  79  52  89 /  20  10   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     59  78  56  85 /  60  20   0   0
DURANT OK         56  76  56  84 /  40  10   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KOUN 222314 AAA
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
614 PM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

.AVIATION...
AREA OF SHOWERS IS MOVING ACROSS OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS THIS
EVENING. MAIN AREA OF PRECIPITATION HAS MOVED PAST KGAG AND KWWR
BUT WILL AFFECT THE OTHERS THIS EVENING. CIGS HAVE GENERALLY BEEN
VFR EVEN WITH THE PRECIPITATION. SOME MVFR CIGS/VSBYS WILL BE
POSSIBLE... ESPECIALLY IN NORTHERN OKLAHOMA.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 332 PM CDT WED OCT 22 2014/

DISCUSSION...
THE UPPER-LEVEL WAVE THAT WILL PASS OVER OKLAHOMA/NORTH TEXAS
TONIGHT WILL BRING WIDESPREAD...BUT GENERALLY LIGHT...RAIN TO THE
REGION. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE...BUT WILL AMOUNT
TO LITTLE MORE THAN SHOWERS WITH A STROKE OF LIGHTNING.

TEMPERATURES WILL RISE INTO THE WEEKEND AS AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE
BUILDS IN BEHIND THE DEPARTING WAVE. THE WEEKEND WILL GENERALLY BE
WARMER THAN AVERAGE WITH LITTLE OR NO CHANCE OF RAIN.

ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM...WITH AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT...WILL ARRIVE
ABOUT MONDAY...BRINGING ANOTHER CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS...AND COOLER WEATHER FOR THE EARLY PART OF
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  57  79  58  86 /  40  20   0   0
HOBART OK         57  81  57  88 /  40  10   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  59  83  59  89 /  30  10   0   0
GAGE OK           53  79  52  89 /  30  10   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     59  78  56  85 /  50  20   0   0
DURANT OK         56  76  56  84 /  20  10   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KOUN 222314 AAA
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
614 PM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

.AVIATION...
AREA OF SHOWERS IS MOVING ACROSS OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS THIS
EVENING. MAIN AREA OF PRECIPITATION HAS MOVED PAST KGAG AND KWWR
BUT WILL AFFECT THE OTHERS THIS EVENING. CIGS HAVE GENERALLY BEEN
VFR EVEN WITH THE PRECIPITATION. SOME MVFR CIGS/VSBYS WILL BE
POSSIBLE... ESPECIALLY IN NORTHERN OKLAHOMA.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 332 PM CDT WED OCT 22 2014/

DISCUSSION...
THE UPPER-LEVEL WAVE THAT WILL PASS OVER OKLAHOMA/NORTH TEXAS
TONIGHT WILL BRING WIDESPREAD...BUT GENERALLY LIGHT...RAIN TO THE
REGION. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE...BUT WILL AMOUNT
TO LITTLE MORE THAN SHOWERS WITH A STROKE OF LIGHTNING.

TEMPERATURES WILL RISE INTO THE WEEKEND AS AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE
BUILDS IN BEHIND THE DEPARTING WAVE. THE WEEKEND WILL GENERALLY BE
WARMER THAN AVERAGE WITH LITTLE OR NO CHANCE OF RAIN.

ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM...WITH AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT...WILL ARRIVE
ABOUT MONDAY...BRINGING ANOTHER CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS...AND COOLER WEATHER FOR THE EARLY PART OF
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  57  79  58  86 /  40  20   0   0
HOBART OK         57  81  57  88 /  40  10   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  59  83  59  89 /  30  10   0   0
GAGE OK           53  79  52  89 /  30  10   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     59  78  56  85 /  50  20   0   0
DURANT OK         56  76  56  84 /  20  10   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KOUN 222032
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
332 PM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

.DISCUSSION...
THE UPPER-LEVEL WAVE THAT WILL PASS OVER OKLAHOMA/NORTH TEXAS
TONIGHT WILL BRING WIDESPREAD...BUT GENERALLY LIGHT...RAIN TO THE
REGION. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE...BUT WILL AMOUNT
TO LITTLE MORE THAN SHOWERS WITH A STROKE OF LIGHTNING.

TEMPERATURES WILL RISE INTO THE WEEKEND AS AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE
BUILDS IN BEHIND THE DEPARTING WAVE. THE WEEKEND WILL GENERALLY BE
WARMER THAN AVERAGE WITH LITTLE OR NO CHANCE OF RAIN.

ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM...WITH AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT...WILL ARRIVE
ABOUT MONDAY...BRINGING ANOTHER CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS...AND COOLER WEATHER FOR THE EARLY PART OF
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  57  79  58  86 /  50  20   0   0
HOBART OK         57  81  57  88 /  30  10   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  59  83  59  89 /  20  10   0   0
GAGE OK           53  79  52  89 /  20  10   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     59  78  56  85 /  50  20   0   0
DURANT OK         56  76  56  84 /  20  10   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

14/23





000
FXUS64 KOUN 222032
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
332 PM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

.DISCUSSION...
THE UPPER-LEVEL WAVE THAT WILL PASS OVER OKLAHOMA/NORTH TEXAS
TONIGHT WILL BRING WIDESPREAD...BUT GENERALLY LIGHT...RAIN TO THE
REGION. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE...BUT WILL AMOUNT
TO LITTLE MORE THAN SHOWERS WITH A STROKE OF LIGHTNING.

TEMPERATURES WILL RISE INTO THE WEEKEND AS AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE
BUILDS IN BEHIND THE DEPARTING WAVE. THE WEEKEND WILL GENERALLY BE
WARMER THAN AVERAGE WITH LITTLE OR NO CHANCE OF RAIN.

ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM...WITH AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT...WILL ARRIVE
ABOUT MONDAY...BRINGING ANOTHER CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS...AND COOLER WEATHER FOR THE EARLY PART OF
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  57  79  58  86 /  50  20   0   0
HOBART OK         57  81  57  88 /  30  10   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  59  83  59  89 /  20  10   0   0
GAGE OK           53  79  52  89 /  20  10   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     59  78  56  85 /  50  20   0   0
DURANT OK         56  76  56  84 /  20  10   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

14/23





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