Home > Products > Valid Products > AFD

000
FXUS64 KOUN 020504
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1204 AM CDT TUE SEP 2 2014

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

HRRR GUIDANCE SUGGEST ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP IN
NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA LATER TONIGHT AS THE LLJ STRENGTHENS.
THEREFORE...THUNDERSTORMS COULD BE POSSIBLE IN VICINITY OF PNC.
CONFIDENCE IS LOW THAT THESE STORMS WILL MAKE IT TO OKC OR
OUN...SO LEFT THUNDERSTORMS OUT OF THESE SITES FOR NOW.

ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT POSSIBLE NEAR ANY REMNANT BOUNDARY THIS
AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING ACROSS NORTHERN OK ...BUT SPARSE
COVERAGE PREVENTS ANY MENTION IN THE TAFS.

MAHALE

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 931 PM CDT MON SEP 1 2014/

UPDATE...
ONLY CHANGE THIS EVENING WAS TO MODIFY POPS BASED ON CURRENT
CONVECTIVE TRENDS AND ANTICIPATION OF ADDITIONAL CONVECTION LATE
TONIGHT AND TOMORROW MORNING AS WEAK S/WV PASSES OVER KANSAS. WILL
BE VERY TOUGH FOR CONVECTION TO BUILD TO AND SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE-40 WITH FAIRLY STOUT CAP IN PLACE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  75  94  75  95 /  30  30  20   0
HOBART OK         76  98  75  97 /  20  10  20   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  77  99  76  97 /   0  10   0   0
GAGE OK           67  94  73  97 /  20  20  20   0
PONCA CITY OK     70  90  75  95 /  60  40  20   0
DURANT OK         76  95  75  95 /   0  20   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

11/26/10




000
FXUS64 KOUN 020504
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1204 AM CDT TUE SEP 2 2014

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

HRRR GUIDANCE SUGGEST ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP IN
NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA LATER TONIGHT AS THE LLJ STRENGTHENS.
THEREFORE...THUNDERSTORMS COULD BE POSSIBLE IN VICINITY OF PNC.
CONFIDENCE IS LOW THAT THESE STORMS WILL MAKE IT TO OKC OR
OUN...SO LEFT THUNDERSTORMS OUT OF THESE SITES FOR NOW.

ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT POSSIBLE NEAR ANY REMNANT BOUNDARY THIS
AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING ACROSS NORTHERN OK ...BUT SPARSE
COVERAGE PREVENTS ANY MENTION IN THE TAFS.

MAHALE

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 931 PM CDT MON SEP 1 2014/

UPDATE...
ONLY CHANGE THIS EVENING WAS TO MODIFY POPS BASED ON CURRENT
CONVECTIVE TRENDS AND ANTICIPATION OF ADDITIONAL CONVECTION LATE
TONIGHT AND TOMORROW MORNING AS WEAK S/WV PASSES OVER KANSAS. WILL
BE VERY TOUGH FOR CONVECTION TO BUILD TO AND SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE-40 WITH FAIRLY STOUT CAP IN PLACE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  75  94  75  95 /  30  30  20   0
HOBART OK         76  98  75  97 /  20  10  20   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  77  99  76  97 /   0  10   0   0
GAGE OK           67  94  73  97 /  20  20  20   0
PONCA CITY OK     70  90  75  95 /  60  40  20   0
DURANT OK         76  95  75  95 /   0  20   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

11/26/10





000
FXUS64 KOUN 020231
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
931 PM CDT MON SEP 1 2014

.UPDATE...
ONLY CHANGE THIS EVENING WAS TO MODIFY POPS BASED ON CURRENT
CONVECTIVE TRENDS AND ANTICIPATION OF ADDITIONAL CONVECTION LATE
TONIGHT AND TOMORROW MORNING AS WEAK S/WV PASSES OVER KANSAS. WILL
BE VERY TOUGH FOR CONVECTION TO BUILD TO AND SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE-40 WITH FAIRLY STOUT CAP IN PLACE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  75  94  75  95 /  30  30  20   0
HOBART OK         76  98  75  97 /  10  10  20   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  77  99  76  97 /   0  10   0   0
GAGE OK           67  94  73  97 /  20  20  20   0
PONCA CITY OK     70  90  75  95 /  60  40  20   0
DURANT OK         76  95  75  95 /   0  20   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

11/26




000
FXUS64 KOUN 020231
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
931 PM CDT MON SEP 1 2014

.UPDATE...
ONLY CHANGE THIS EVENING WAS TO MODIFY POPS BASED ON CURRENT
CONVECTIVE TRENDS AND ANTICIPATION OF ADDITIONAL CONVECTION LATE
TONIGHT AND TOMORROW MORNING AS WEAK S/WV PASSES OVER KANSAS. WILL
BE VERY TOUGH FOR CONVECTION TO BUILD TO AND SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE-40 WITH FAIRLY STOUT CAP IN PLACE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  75  94  75  95 /  30  30  20   0
HOBART OK         76  98  75  97 /  10  10  20   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  77  99  76  97 /   0  10   0   0
GAGE OK           67  94  73  97 /  20  20  20   0
PONCA CITY OK     70  90  75  95 /  60  40  20   0
DURANT OK         76  95  75  95 /   0  20   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

11/26





000
FXUS64 KOUN 012344
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
644 PM CDT MON SEP 1 2014

.AVIATION...
02/00Z TAFS...TSRA WILL BE PRIMARILY FOCUSED ON KPNC THIS EVENING
AND THEN A POSSIBLE SECOND ROUND AFTER 09Z. WILL KEEP POSSIBILITY
OF TSRA AT KPNC THROUGH 13Z AND WILL INCLUDE PROB30 AT KOKC/KOUN
AFTER 11Z WITH MODEL SUPPORT FOR SOUTHWARD SURGE OF OUTFLOW. WILL
ALSO GO WITH LOW-END MVFR CONDITIONS AT KWWR/KGAG 10-14Z WHERE
LOWER LEVEL MOISTURE IS PROGD TO POOL NORTH OF SURFACE LOW. VFR
THROUGH PERIOD ACROSS WEST-CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN OK TERMINALS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 325 PM CDT MON SEP 1 2014/

DISCUSSION...
A FEW SEVERE STORMS WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS
PORTIONS OF NORTHERN OK...AND THEN MOVE SSE PERHAPS INTO CENTRAL
OK AROUND MIDNIGHT.

CURRENTLY...A SFC LOW RESIDES OVER NE OK WITH A STATIONARY
BOUNDARY EXTENDING SSW FROM IT INTO THE EASTERN TX PANHANDLE. AN
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY IS ALSO LIFTING NORTHWARD ACROSS N CENTRAL OK
INTO S KS. A CU FIELD IS PRESENT S OF THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY...BUT
IT`S UNCLEAR HOW FAST CONVECTIVE INITIATION WILL OCCUR SINCE
THERE IS LITTLE MID TO UPPER ASCENT PRESENT. THERE IS HIGHER
CONFIDENCE IN STORMS DEVELOPING EARLY THIS EVENING ALONG THE KS/OK
BORDER. STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES NEAR 7.5-8 C/KM AND EFFECTIVE
BULK SHEAR MAGS AROUND 40 KT NEAR THE KS/OK BORDER WILL SUPPORT
LARGE HAIL UP TO AT LEAST THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS THROUGH THIS
EVENING. LATE TONIGHT...ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED ACROSS
NW AND N CENTRAL OK ALONG THE BAROCLINIC ZONE. THESE STORMS COULD
ALSO POSE A SEVERE THREAT THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS...ALTHOUGH DECREASING FLOW ALOFT WILL LIMIT THE OVERALL
THREAT.

RAIN CHANCES WILL LINGER THROUGH TOMORROW WITH A STATIONARY
BOUNDARY IN PLACE...BUT DO NOT ANTICIPATE TOO MUCH COVERAGE AFTER
18Z SO WILL CONTINUE WITH LOW CHC POPS DURING THAT TIME. THE FA
WILL BE DIVIDED WITH NEAR AVG TEMPS NORTH AND ABOVE AVG TEMPS
SOUTH. BY WED...THE UPPER RIDGE CONTINUES TO BROADEN OVER THE DEEP
SOUTH AND SOUTHERN PLAINS BUT IT DOES APPEAR A VERY SUBTLE
SHORTWAVE TROUGH MAY MOVE OVER C/N OK DURING THE MORNING HOURS AS
THE BOUNDARY LIFTS BACK TO THE NORTH SO KEPT LOW POPS IN THROUGH
12Z. AFTER THAT...RAIN CHANCES DISAPPEAR FOR A WHILE WITH THE
RIDGE BECOMING DOMINATE AGAIN. HOWEVER...BY FRIDAY ANOTHER COLD
FRONT WILL DIVE SOUTH AND IMPACT THE REGION THROUGH THIS WEEKEND.
RAIN CHANCES AND TEMPS MUCH CLOSER TO...OR EVEN BELOW...AVG WILL
ACCOMPANY THIS FRONT THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  75  94  75  95 /  30  30  20   0
HOBART OK         76  98  75  97 /  30  10  20   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  77  99  76  97 /   0  10   0   0
GAGE OK           67  94  73  97 /  20  20  20   0
PONCA CITY OK     70  90  75  95 /  60  40  20   0
DURANT OK         76  95  75  95 /   0  20   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

26/99/11





000
FXUS64 KOUN 012025
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
325 PM CDT MON SEP 1 2014

.DISCUSSION...
A FEW SEVERE STORMS WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS
PORTIONS OF NORTHERN OK...AND THEN MOVE SSE PERHAPS INTO CENTRAL
OK AROUND MIDNIGHT.

CURRENTLY...A SFC LOW RESIDES OVER NE OK WITH A STATIONARY
BOUNDARY EXTENDING SSW FROM IT INTO THE EASTERN TX PANHANDLE. AN
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY IS ALSO LIFTING NORTHWARD ACROSS N CENTRAL OK
INTO S KS. A CU FIELD IS PRESENT S OF THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY...BUT
IT`S UNCLEAR HOW FAST CONVECTIVE INITIATION WILL OCCUR SINCE
THERE IS LITTLE MID TO UPPER ASCENT PRESENT. THERE IS HIGHER
CONFIDENCE IN STORMS DEVELOPING EARLY THIS EVENING ALONG THE KS/OK
BORDER. STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES NEAR 7.5-8 C/KM AND EFFECTIVE
BULK SHEAR MAGS AROUND 40 KT NEAR THE KS/OK BORDER WILL SUPPORT
LARGE HAIL UP TO AT LEAST THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS THROUGH THIS
EVENING. LATE TONIGHT...ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED ACROSS
NW AND N CENTRAL OK ALONG THE BAROCLINIC ZONE. THESE STORMS COULD
ALSO POSE A SEVERE THREAT THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS...ALTHOUGH DECREASING FLOW ALOFT WILL LIMIT THE OVERALL
THREAT.

RAIN CHANCES WILL LINGER THROUGH TOMORROW WITH A STATIONARY
BOUNDARY IN PLACE...BUT DO NOT ANTICIPATE TOO MUCH COVERAGE AFTER
18Z SO WILL CONTINUE WITH LOW CHC POPS DURING THAT TIME. THE FA
WILL BE DIVIDED WITH NEAR AVG TEMPS NORTH AND ABOVE AVG TEMPS
SOUTH. BY WED...THE UPPER RIDGE CONTINUES TO BROADEN OVER THE DEEP
SOUTH AND SOUTHERN PLAINS BUT IT DOES APPEAR A VERY SUBTLE
SHORTWAVE TROUGH MAY MOVE OVER C/N OK DURING THE MORNING HOURS AS
THE BOUNDARY LIFTS BACK TO THE NORTH SO KEPT LOW POPS IN THROUGH
12Z. AFTER THAT...RAIN CHANCES DISAPPEAR FOR A WHILE WITH THE
RIDGE BECOMING DOMINATE AGAIN. HOWEVER...BY FRIDAY ANOTHER COLD
FRONT WILL DIVE SOUTH AND IMPACT THE REGION THROUGH THIS WEEKEND.
RAIN CHANCES AND TEMPS MUCH CLOSER TO...OR EVEN BELOW...AVG WILL
ACCOMPANY THIS FRONT THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  75  94  75  95 /  30  30  20   0
HOBART OK         76  98  75  97 /  30  10  20   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  77  99  76  97 /   0  10   0   0
GAGE OK           67  94  73  97 /  20  20  20   0
PONCA CITY OK     70  90  75  95 /  60  40  20   0
DURANT OK         76  95  75  95 /   0  20   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

14/03




000
FXUS64 KOUN 012025
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
325 PM CDT MON SEP 1 2014

.DISCUSSION...
A FEW SEVERE STORMS WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS
PORTIONS OF NORTHERN OK...AND THEN MOVE SSE PERHAPS INTO CENTRAL
OK AROUND MIDNIGHT.

CURRENTLY...A SFC LOW RESIDES OVER NE OK WITH A STATIONARY
BOUNDARY EXTENDING SSW FROM IT INTO THE EASTERN TX PANHANDLE. AN
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY IS ALSO LIFTING NORTHWARD ACROSS N CENTRAL OK
INTO S KS. A CU FIELD IS PRESENT S OF THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY...BUT
IT`S UNCLEAR HOW FAST CONVECTIVE INITIATION WILL OCCUR SINCE
THERE IS LITTLE MID TO UPPER ASCENT PRESENT. THERE IS HIGHER
CONFIDENCE IN STORMS DEVELOPING EARLY THIS EVENING ALONG THE KS/OK
BORDER. STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES NEAR 7.5-8 C/KM AND EFFECTIVE
BULK SHEAR MAGS AROUND 40 KT NEAR THE KS/OK BORDER WILL SUPPORT
LARGE HAIL UP TO AT LEAST THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS THROUGH THIS
EVENING. LATE TONIGHT...ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED ACROSS
NW AND N CENTRAL OK ALONG THE BAROCLINIC ZONE. THESE STORMS COULD
ALSO POSE A SEVERE THREAT THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS...ALTHOUGH DECREASING FLOW ALOFT WILL LIMIT THE OVERALL
THREAT.

RAIN CHANCES WILL LINGER THROUGH TOMORROW WITH A STATIONARY
BOUNDARY IN PLACE...BUT DO NOT ANTICIPATE TOO MUCH COVERAGE AFTER
18Z SO WILL CONTINUE WITH LOW CHC POPS DURING THAT TIME. THE FA
WILL BE DIVIDED WITH NEAR AVG TEMPS NORTH AND ABOVE AVG TEMPS
SOUTH. BY WED...THE UPPER RIDGE CONTINUES TO BROADEN OVER THE DEEP
SOUTH AND SOUTHERN PLAINS BUT IT DOES APPEAR A VERY SUBTLE
SHORTWAVE TROUGH MAY MOVE OVER C/N OK DURING THE MORNING HOURS AS
THE BOUNDARY LIFTS BACK TO THE NORTH SO KEPT LOW POPS IN THROUGH
12Z. AFTER THAT...RAIN CHANCES DISAPPEAR FOR A WHILE WITH THE
RIDGE BECOMING DOMINATE AGAIN. HOWEVER...BY FRIDAY ANOTHER COLD
FRONT WILL DIVE SOUTH AND IMPACT THE REGION THROUGH THIS WEEKEND.
RAIN CHANCES AND TEMPS MUCH CLOSER TO...OR EVEN BELOW...AVG WILL
ACCOMPANY THIS FRONT THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  75  94  75  95 /  30  30  20   0
HOBART OK         76  98  75  97 /  30  10  20   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  77  99  76  97 /   0  10   0   0
GAGE OK           67  94  73  97 /  20  20  20   0
PONCA CITY OK     70  90  75  95 /  60  40  20   0
DURANT OK         76  95  75  95 /   0  20   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

14/03





000
FXUS64 KOUN 011726
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1226 PM CDT MON SEP 1 2014

.DISCUSSION...
PLEASE SEE THE 18Z AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.

&&

.AVIATION...
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EARLY THIS EVENING ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN OK...AND THEN SHIFT
SOUTHWARD A BIT THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. FEEL FAIRLY
CONFIDENT THAT TSRA WILL IMPACT PNC AROUND 00Z...BUT FOR NOW WILL
ONLY INCLUDE PROB30 GROUPS FOR OTHER TERMINALS. THESE STORMS COULD
CONTAIN LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...ESPECIALLY NEAR PNC AROUND
AND JUST BEFORE SUNSET. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS RESULTING IN NW
WINDS NEAR GAG/WWR RIGHT NOW...WITH S/SW WINDS AHEAD OF IT AT
OTHER TERMINALS. CONDITIONS WILL BE MONITORED CLOSELY FOR
AMENDMENTS AS TWO ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS COULD IMPACT NORTHERN OK
THROUGH EARLY TOMORROW MORNING.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  74  95  73  95 /  20  20  10   0
HOBART OK         75  98  73  98 /  10  10  10   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  76  99  74  98 /   0  10   0   0
GAGE OK           67  94  71  97 /  20  20  10   0
PONCA CITY OK     69  91  73  95 /  50  40  30  10
DURANT OK         75  95  72  95 /   0  10  10  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

09/03/03





000
FXUS64 KOUN 011726
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1226 PM CDT MON SEP 1 2014

.DISCUSSION...
PLEASE SEE THE 18Z AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.

&&

.AVIATION...
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EARLY THIS EVENING ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN OK...AND THEN SHIFT
SOUTHWARD A BIT THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. FEEL FAIRLY
CONFIDENT THAT TSRA WILL IMPACT PNC AROUND 00Z...BUT FOR NOW WILL
ONLY INCLUDE PROB30 GROUPS FOR OTHER TERMINALS. THESE STORMS COULD
CONTAIN LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...ESPECIALLY NEAR PNC AROUND
AND JUST BEFORE SUNSET. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS RESULTING IN NW
WINDS NEAR GAG/WWR RIGHT NOW...WITH S/SW WINDS AHEAD OF IT AT
OTHER TERMINALS. CONDITIONS WILL BE MONITORED CLOSELY FOR
AMENDMENTS AS TWO ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS COULD IMPACT NORTHERN OK
THROUGH EARLY TOMORROW MORNING.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  74  95  73  95 /  20  20  10   0
HOBART OK         75  98  73  98 /  10  10  10   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  76  99  74  98 /   0  10   0   0
GAGE OK           67  94  71  97 /  20  20  10   0
PONCA CITY OK     69  91  73  95 /  50  40  30  10
DURANT OK         75  95  72  95 /   0  10  10  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

09/03/03




000
FXUS64 KOUN 011641
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1141 AM CDT MON SEP 1 2014

.DISCUSSION...
RAIN CHANCES WERE INCREASED SOMEWHAT IN NORTH CENTRAL FOR LATE
AFTERNOON. STRONG HEATING SOUTH OF THE FRONT THERE AND A FAVORABLE
MOISTURE PROFILE IN CONVERGENT WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO GENERATE
THUNDERSTORMS BY LATE AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE, THE TEMPERATURE
GRADIENT ALNOG THE FRONT WAS INCREASED.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  98  74  95  73 /  10  20  20  10
HOBART OK        100  75  98  73 /  10  10  10  10
WICHITA FALLS TX 101  76  99  74 /  10   0  10   0
GAGE OK           93  67  94  71 /  20  20  20  10
PONCA CITY OK     96  69  91  73 /  60  50  40  30
DURANT OK         97  75  95  72 /  10   0  10  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

09/99




000
FXUS64 KOUN 011641
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1141 AM CDT MON SEP 1 2014

.DISCUSSION...
RAIN CHANCES WERE INCREASED SOMEWHAT IN NORTH CENTRAL FOR LATE
AFTERNOON. STRONG HEATING SOUTH OF THE FRONT THERE AND A FAVORABLE
MOISTURE PROFILE IN CONVERGENT WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO GENERATE
THUNDERSTORMS BY LATE AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE, THE TEMPERATURE
GRADIENT ALNOG THE FRONT WAS INCREASED.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  98  74  95  73 /  10  20  20  10
HOBART OK        100  75  98  73 /  10  10  10  10
WICHITA FALLS TX 101  76  99  74 /  10   0  10   0
GAGE OK           93  67  94  71 /  20  20  20  10
PONCA CITY OK     96  69  91  73 /  60  50  40  30
DURANT OK         97  75  95  72 /  10   0  10  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

09/99





000
FXUS64 KOUN 011128
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
625 AM CDT MON SEP 1 2014

.AVIATION...
01/12Z TAFS...WIND SHIFT REACH NW OK SITES THIS MORNING AS COLD
FRONT MOVES SLOWLY SE. OTRW...BRISK SOUTH/SW WINDS WILL PERSIST
ELSEWHERE. SCT TSTMS MAY DEVELOP BY LATE AFTN VICINITY OF THE FRONT
THEN BECOME MORE NUMEROUS TONIGHT ACROSS NRN OK. WILL INCLUDE TSRA
GROUPS AT NRN OK SITES TONIGHT WITH SOME BRIEF MVFR/IFR WITH THE
THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 347 AM CDT MON SEP 1 2014/

.DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX MOVING THROUGH SERN KS EXPECTED TO STAY
MAINLY NE OF THE FA THIS MORNING...BUT WILL INCLUDE SOME LOW POPS
IN THE FAR NE FOR EARLY THIS MORNING. FRONT/OUTFLOW BOUNDARY
EXPECTED TO PUSH INTO NRN OK TODAY AND EXTEND FROM NCNTRL TO
WCNTRL OK BY LATE AFTN. THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP IN
THE VICINITY OF THE BOUNDARY BY LATE AFTN WITH THE BEST CHANCES IN
NCNTRL OK. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS NORTHERN OK...AS A STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL JET INTERACTS
WITH THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS NRN OK LATE THIS AFTN/EVE WITH LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL ALSO POSSIBLE TONIGHT. BOUNDARY WILL BEGIN TO LIFT BACK
NORTHWARD TUESDAY/TUESDAY NIGHT WITH STORM CHANCES AGAIN LIMITED
TO NRN SECTIONS OF THE FA.

DRY AND HOT WEATHER EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY ACROSS THE
AREA BEFORE PRECIP CHANCES RETURN TO NW OK THURSDAY NIGHT AS A
COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE AREA. RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE ACROSS
THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA FRIDAY/SATURDAY AS THE FRONT PUSHES
SOUTHWARD.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  97  74  95  73 /  10  20  20  10
HOBART OK         99  75  98  73 /  10  10  10  10
WICHITA FALLS TX 100  76  99  74 /  10   0  10   0
GAGE OK           93  67  94  71 /  20  20  20  10
PONCA CITY OK     96  69  91  73 /  20  50  40  30
DURANT OK         96  75  95  72 /  10   0  10  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

25/02





000
FXUS64 KOUN 011128
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
625 AM CDT MON SEP 1 2014

.AVIATION...
01/12Z TAFS...WIND SHIFT REACH NW OK SITES THIS MORNING AS COLD
FRONT MOVES SLOWLY SE. OTRW...BRISK SOUTH/SW WINDS WILL PERSIST
ELSEWHERE. SCT TSTMS MAY DEVELOP BY LATE AFTN VICINITY OF THE FRONT
THEN BECOME MORE NUMEROUS TONIGHT ACROSS NRN OK. WILL INCLUDE TSRA
GROUPS AT NRN OK SITES TONIGHT WITH SOME BRIEF MVFR/IFR WITH THE
THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 347 AM CDT MON SEP 1 2014/

.DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX MOVING THROUGH SERN KS EXPECTED TO STAY
MAINLY NE OF THE FA THIS MORNING...BUT WILL INCLUDE SOME LOW POPS
IN THE FAR NE FOR EARLY THIS MORNING. FRONT/OUTFLOW BOUNDARY
EXPECTED TO PUSH INTO NRN OK TODAY AND EXTEND FROM NCNTRL TO
WCNTRL OK BY LATE AFTN. THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP IN
THE VICINITY OF THE BOUNDARY BY LATE AFTN WITH THE BEST CHANCES IN
NCNTRL OK. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS NORTHERN OK...AS A STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL JET INTERACTS
WITH THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS NRN OK LATE THIS AFTN/EVE WITH LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL ALSO POSSIBLE TONIGHT. BOUNDARY WILL BEGIN TO LIFT BACK
NORTHWARD TUESDAY/TUESDAY NIGHT WITH STORM CHANCES AGAIN LIMITED
TO NRN SECTIONS OF THE FA.

DRY AND HOT WEATHER EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY ACROSS THE
AREA BEFORE PRECIP CHANCES RETURN TO NW OK THURSDAY NIGHT AS A
COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE AREA. RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE ACROSS
THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA FRIDAY/SATURDAY AS THE FRONT PUSHES
SOUTHWARD.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  97  74  95  73 /  10  20  20  10
HOBART OK         99  75  98  73 /  10  10  10  10
WICHITA FALLS TX 100  76  99  74 /  10   0  10   0
GAGE OK           93  67  94  71 /  20  20  20  10
PONCA CITY OK     96  69  91  73 /  20  50  40  30
DURANT OK         96  75  95  72 /  10   0  10  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

25/02




000
FXUS64 KOUN 010847
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
347 AM CDT MON SEP 1 2014

.DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX MOVING THROUGH SERN KS EXPECTED TO STAY
MAINLY NE OF THE FA THIS MORNING...BUT WILL INCLUDE SOME LOW POPS
IN THE FAR NE FOR EARLY THIS MORNING. FRONT/OUTFLOW BOUNDARY
EXPECTED TO PUSH INTO NRN OK TODAY AND EXTEND FROM NCNTRL TO
WCNTRL OK BY LATE AFTN. THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP IN
THE VICINITY OF THE BOUNDARY BY LATE AFTN WITH THE BEST CHANCES IN
NCNTRL OK. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS NORTHERN OK...AS A STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL JET INTERACTS
WITH THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS NRN OK LATE THIS AFTN/EVE WITH LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL ALSO POSSIBLE TONIGHT. BOUNDARY WILL BEGIN TO LIFT BACK
NORTHWARD TUESDAY/TUESDAY NIGHT WITH STORM CHANCES AGAIN LIMITED
TO NRN SECTIONS OF THE FA.

DRY AND HOT WEATHER EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY ACROSS THE
AREA BEFORE PRECIP CHANCES RETURN TO NW OK THURSDAY NIGHT AS A
COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE AREA. RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE ACROSS
THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA FRIDAY/SATURDAY AS THE FRONT PUSHES
SOUTHWARD.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  97  74  95  73 /  10  20  20  10
HOBART OK         99  75  98  73 /  10  10  10  10
WICHITA FALLS TX 100  76  99  74 /  10   0  10   0
GAGE OK           93  67  94  71 /  20  20  20  10
PONCA CITY OK     96  69  91  73 /  20  50  40  30
DURANT OK         96  75  95  72 /  10   0  10  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

25/02




000
FXUS64 KOUN 010847
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
347 AM CDT MON SEP 1 2014

.DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX MOVING THROUGH SERN KS EXPECTED TO STAY
MAINLY NE OF THE FA THIS MORNING...BUT WILL INCLUDE SOME LOW POPS
IN THE FAR NE FOR EARLY THIS MORNING. FRONT/OUTFLOW BOUNDARY
EXPECTED TO PUSH INTO NRN OK TODAY AND EXTEND FROM NCNTRL TO
WCNTRL OK BY LATE AFTN. THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP IN
THE VICINITY OF THE BOUNDARY BY LATE AFTN WITH THE BEST CHANCES IN
NCNTRL OK. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS NORTHERN OK...AS A STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL JET INTERACTS
WITH THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS NRN OK LATE THIS AFTN/EVE WITH LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL ALSO POSSIBLE TONIGHT. BOUNDARY WILL BEGIN TO LIFT BACK
NORTHWARD TUESDAY/TUESDAY NIGHT WITH STORM CHANCES AGAIN LIMITED
TO NRN SECTIONS OF THE FA.

DRY AND HOT WEATHER EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY ACROSS THE
AREA BEFORE PRECIP CHANCES RETURN TO NW OK THURSDAY NIGHT AS A
COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE AREA. RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE ACROSS
THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA FRIDAY/SATURDAY AS THE FRONT PUSHES
SOUTHWARD.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  97  74  95  73 /  10  20  20  10
HOBART OK         99  75  98  73 /  10  10  10  10
WICHITA FALLS TX 100  76  99  74 /  10   0  10   0
GAGE OK           93  67  94  71 /  20  20  20  10
PONCA CITY OK     96  69  91  73 /  20  50  40  30
DURANT OK         96  75  95  72 /  10   0  10  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

25/02





000
FXUS64 KOUN 010428 AAA
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1128 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014

.AVIATION...
01/06Z TAFS...VFR AND WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
DOMINATE TONIGHT AND MOST OF TOMORROW. STORMS IN KANSAS
IN THE NEAR TERM ARE EXPECTED TO STAY NORTH OF NORTHERN
OKLAHOMA TERMINALS. FROPA STILL EXPECTED 15-17Z AT
NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA TERMINALS AND APPROACH KPNC AND KCSM
LATE IN THE PERIOD. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS TRSA POSSIBLE
NEAR FRONT TOWARD AND AFTER 00Z AND WILL MENTION IN
NORTHERN OKLAHOMA TERMINALS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 908 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014/

.UPDATE...
REMOVED MOST POPS FOR THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. PLEASE SEE THE
DISCUSSION BELOW.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
THE DEEP MOIST CONVECTION HAS REMAINED WELL NORTH OF OUR FA THIS
EVENING NEAR A COLD FRONT AND JUST AHEAD OF AN UPPER TROUGH
TRAVERSING THE CENTRAL PLAINS. THERE IS STILL A SLIM CHANCE SOME
OF THIS ACTIVITY COULD SLIDE SOUTH FAR ENOUGH TO IMPACT EXTREME
NORTHERN OK THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS SO WILL LEAVE SCHC
POPS IN ALONG THE BORDER. OTHERWISE...EXPECT BREEZY S WINDS
THROUGH THIS EVENING AS LLJ INTENSIFIES. ADJUSTED SKY GRIDS
SLIGHTLY TO REFLECT CURRENT SAT IMAGERY. NO OTHER SIG CHANGES
NEEDED. ALL UPDATED PRODUCTS HAVE BEEN SENT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  75  97  74  95 /   0  10  20  20
HOBART OK         74  99  75  97 /   0  10  10  10
WICHITA FALLS TX  77 100  76  98 /   0  10   0  10
GAGE OK           72  93  68  94 /  10  20  20  10
PONCA CITY OK     76  96  70  92 /  10  20  60  40
DURANT OK         74  96  75  95 /   0  10   0  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

03/11




000
FXUS64 KOUN 010208 AAA
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
908 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014

.UPDATE...
REMOVED MOST POPS FOR THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. PLEASE SEE THE
DISCUSSION BELOW.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
THE DEEP MOIST CONVECTION HAS REMAINED WELL NORTH OF OUR FA THIS
EVENING NEAR A COLD FRONT AND JUST AHEAD OF AN UPPER TROUGH
TRAVERSING THE CENTRAL PLAINS. THERE IS STILL A SLIM CHANCE SOME
OF THIS ACTIVITY COULD SLIDE SOUTH FAR ENOUGH TO IMPACT EXTREME
NORTHERN OK THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS SO WILL LEAVE SCHC
POPS IN ALONG THE BORDER. OTHERWISE...EXPECT BREEZY S WINDS
THROUGH THIS EVENING AS LLJ INTENSIFIES. ADJUSTED SKY GRIDS
SLIGHTLY TO REFLECT CURRENT SAT IMAGERY. NO OTHER SIG CHANGES
NEEDED. ALL UPDATED PRODUCTS HAVE BEEN SENT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  75  97  74  95 /   0  10  20  20
HOBART OK         74  99  75  97 /   0  10  10  10
WICHITA FALLS TX  77 100  76  98 /   0  10   0  10
GAGE OK           72  93  68  94 /  10  20  20  10
PONCA CITY OK     76  96  70  92 /  10  20  60  40
DURANT OK         74  96  75  95 /   0  10   0  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

03/11




000
FXUS64 KOUN 010208 AAA
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
908 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014

.UPDATE...
REMOVED MOST POPS FOR THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. PLEASE SEE THE
DISCUSSION BELOW.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
THE DEEP MOIST CONVECTION HAS REMAINED WELL NORTH OF OUR FA THIS
EVENING NEAR A COLD FRONT AND JUST AHEAD OF AN UPPER TROUGH
TRAVERSING THE CENTRAL PLAINS. THERE IS STILL A SLIM CHANCE SOME
OF THIS ACTIVITY COULD SLIDE SOUTH FAR ENOUGH TO IMPACT EXTREME
NORTHERN OK THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS SO WILL LEAVE SCHC
POPS IN ALONG THE BORDER. OTHERWISE...EXPECT BREEZY S WINDS
THROUGH THIS EVENING AS LLJ INTENSIFIES. ADJUSTED SKY GRIDS
SLIGHTLY TO REFLECT CURRENT SAT IMAGERY. NO OTHER SIG CHANGES
NEEDED. ALL UPDATED PRODUCTS HAVE BEEN SENT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  75  97  74  95 /   0  10  20  20
HOBART OK         74  99  75  97 /   0  10  10  10
WICHITA FALLS TX  77 100  76  98 /   0  10   0  10
GAGE OK           72  93  68  94 /  10  20  20  10
PONCA CITY OK     76  96  70  92 /  10  20  60  40
DURANT OK         74  96  75  95 /   0  10   0  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

03/11





000
FXUS64 KOUN 312345
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
645 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014

.AVIATION...
01/00Z TAFS...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL. STRONG SOUTHERLY
WINDS THROUGH TONIGHT. STRONG LOW LEVEL JET ACROSS NORTHERN PARTS
OF OKLAHOMA AND WITH SLIGHTLY WEAKER SURFACE WIND EXPECTED NEAR
KPNC WILL ADD LLWS TO TERMINAL THERE. FROPA EXPECTED AROUND 16Z
OVER FAR NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA TERMINALS WITH S-SW MODERATE WINDS
AHEAD OF FRONT. ANY STORMS ASSOCIATED WITH FRONT THIS EVENING WILL
STAY WELL NORTH OF OKLAHOMA...AND ANY STORMS TOMORROW WOULD OCCUR
AFTER THIS FORECAST PERIOD ACROSS FAR NORTHERN OKLAHOMA.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 111 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014/

DISCUSSION...
MUCH OF THE COMING WEEK WILL BE VERY HOT AND HUMID WHEN HEAT INDEX
VALUES RANGE 100 TO 105. IT WILL FEEL MORE LIKE JULY THAN EARLY
SEPTEMBER. A WEAK FRONT IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE TO NORTHERN
OKLAHOMA LATER MONDAY AND STALL. ALTHOUGH THE WESTERLIES WILL
REMAIN MOSTLY NORTH OF OKLAHOMA, A WEAK WAVE IS FORECAST TO PASS
ACROSS KANSAS MONDAY NIGHT AND RAIN AND THUNDER IS LIKELY THERE.
SOME OF THIS IS EXPECTED TO EXTEND INTO NORTHERN OKLAHOMA LATE
MONDAY AND TUESDAY NEAR AND NORTH OF THE WEAK SURFACE FRONT. THIS
FRONT MAY LINGER THROUGH THE DAY TUESDAY BEFORE RETURNING NORTH
EARLY WEDNESDAY. BEYOND WEDNESDAY, RAIN CHANCES ARE VERY LOW UNTIL
THE WEEKEND. A STRONG MID-SUMMER LIKE UPPER RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO
BUILD OVER OK. A WEAK FRONT MAY MOVE INTO OK DURING NEXT WEEKEND
WHICH WOULD BRING A CHANCE FOR RAIN. HOWEVER, THE LOCATION OF THE
UPPER RIDGE AND THE TRACK OF THE WESTERLIES SO FAR NORTH OF
OKLAHOMA CURRENTLY GIVE LOW CONFIDENCE TO WEEKEND RAINFALL.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  75  97  74  95 /  10  10  20  20
HOBART OK         74  99  75  97 /  10  10  10  10
WICHITA FALLS TX  77 100  76  98 /  10  10   0  10
GAGE OK           72  93  68  94 /  20  20  20  10
PONCA CITY OK     76  96  70  92 /  20  20  60  40
DURANT OK         74  96  75  95 /  10  10   0  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

03/99/11





000
FXUS64 KOUN 312345
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
645 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014

.AVIATION...
01/00Z TAFS...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL. STRONG SOUTHERLY
WINDS THROUGH TONIGHT. STRONG LOW LEVEL JET ACROSS NORTHERN PARTS
OF OKLAHOMA AND WITH SLIGHTLY WEAKER SURFACE WIND EXPECTED NEAR
KPNC WILL ADD LLWS TO TERMINAL THERE. FROPA EXPECTED AROUND 16Z
OVER FAR NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA TERMINALS WITH S-SW MODERATE WINDS
AHEAD OF FRONT. ANY STORMS ASSOCIATED WITH FRONT THIS EVENING WILL
STAY WELL NORTH OF OKLAHOMA...AND ANY STORMS TOMORROW WOULD OCCUR
AFTER THIS FORECAST PERIOD ACROSS FAR NORTHERN OKLAHOMA.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 111 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014/

DISCUSSION...
MUCH OF THE COMING WEEK WILL BE VERY HOT AND HUMID WHEN HEAT INDEX
VALUES RANGE 100 TO 105. IT WILL FEEL MORE LIKE JULY THAN EARLY
SEPTEMBER. A WEAK FRONT IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE TO NORTHERN
OKLAHOMA LATER MONDAY AND STALL. ALTHOUGH THE WESTERLIES WILL
REMAIN MOSTLY NORTH OF OKLAHOMA, A WEAK WAVE IS FORECAST TO PASS
ACROSS KANSAS MONDAY NIGHT AND RAIN AND THUNDER IS LIKELY THERE.
SOME OF THIS IS EXPECTED TO EXTEND INTO NORTHERN OKLAHOMA LATE
MONDAY AND TUESDAY NEAR AND NORTH OF THE WEAK SURFACE FRONT. THIS
FRONT MAY LINGER THROUGH THE DAY TUESDAY BEFORE RETURNING NORTH
EARLY WEDNESDAY. BEYOND WEDNESDAY, RAIN CHANCES ARE VERY LOW UNTIL
THE WEEKEND. A STRONG MID-SUMMER LIKE UPPER RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO
BUILD OVER OK. A WEAK FRONT MAY MOVE INTO OK DURING NEXT WEEKEND
WHICH WOULD BRING A CHANCE FOR RAIN. HOWEVER, THE LOCATION OF THE
UPPER RIDGE AND THE TRACK OF THE WESTERLIES SO FAR NORTH OF
OKLAHOMA CURRENTLY GIVE LOW CONFIDENCE TO WEEKEND RAINFALL.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  75  97  74  95 /  10  10  20  20
HOBART OK         74  99  75  97 /  10  10  10  10
WICHITA FALLS TX  77 100  76  98 /  10  10   0  10
GAGE OK           72  93  68  94 /  20  20  20  10
PONCA CITY OK     76  96  70  92 /  20  20  60  40
DURANT OK         74  96  75  95 /  10  10   0  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

03/99/11




000
FXUS64 KOUN 311811
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
111 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014

.DISCUSSION...
MUCH OF THE COMING WEEK WILL BE VERY HOT AND HUMID WHEN HEAT INDEX
VALUES RANGE 100 TO 105. IT WILL FEEL MORE LIKE JULY THAN EARLY
SEPTEMBER. A WEAK FRONT IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE TO NORTHERN OKLAHOMA
LATER MONDAY AND STALL. ALTHOUGH THE WESTERLIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY
NORTH OF OKLAHOMA, A WEAK WAVE IS FORECAST TO PASS ACROSS KANSAS
MONDAY NIGHT AND RAIN AND THUNDER IS LIKELY THERE. SOME OF THIS
IS EXPECTED TO EXTEND INTO NORTHERN OKLAHOMA LATE MONDAY AND
TUESDAY NEAR AND NORTH OF THE WEAK SURFACE FRONT. THIS FRONT MAY
LINGER THROUGH THE DAY TUESDAY BEFORE RETURNING NORTH EARLY
WEDNESDAY. BEYOND WEDNESDAY, RAIN CHANCES ARE VERY LOW UNTIL THE
WEEKEND. A STRONG MID-SUMMER LIKE UPPER RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO BUILD
OVER OK. A WEAK FRONT MAY MOVE INTO OK DURING NEXT WEEKEND WHICH
WOULD BRING A CHANCE FOR RAIN. HOWEVER, THE LOCATION OF THE UPPER
RIDGE AND THE TRACK OF THE WESTERLIES SO FAR NORTH OF OKLAHOMA
CURRENTLY GIVE LOW CONFIDENCE TO WEEKEND RAINFALL.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  75  97  74  95 /  10  10  20  20
HOBART OK         74  99  75  97 /  10  10  10  10
WICHITA FALLS TX  77 100  76  98 /  10  10   0  10
GAGE OK           72  93  68  94 /  20  20  20  10
PONCA CITY OK     76  96  70  92 /  20  20  60  40
DURANT OK         74  96  75  95 /  10  10   0  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

06/09





000
FXUS64 KOUN 311811
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
111 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014

.DISCUSSION...
MUCH OF THE COMING WEEK WILL BE VERY HOT AND HUMID WHEN HEAT INDEX
VALUES RANGE 100 TO 105. IT WILL FEEL MORE LIKE JULY THAN EARLY
SEPTEMBER. A WEAK FRONT IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE TO NORTHERN OKLAHOMA
LATER MONDAY AND STALL. ALTHOUGH THE WESTERLIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY
NORTH OF OKLAHOMA, A WEAK WAVE IS FORECAST TO PASS ACROSS KANSAS
MONDAY NIGHT AND RAIN AND THUNDER IS LIKELY THERE. SOME OF THIS
IS EXPECTED TO EXTEND INTO NORTHERN OKLAHOMA LATE MONDAY AND
TUESDAY NEAR AND NORTH OF THE WEAK SURFACE FRONT. THIS FRONT MAY
LINGER THROUGH THE DAY TUESDAY BEFORE RETURNING NORTH EARLY
WEDNESDAY. BEYOND WEDNESDAY, RAIN CHANCES ARE VERY LOW UNTIL THE
WEEKEND. A STRONG MID-SUMMER LIKE UPPER RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO BUILD
OVER OK. A WEAK FRONT MAY MOVE INTO OK DURING NEXT WEEKEND WHICH
WOULD BRING A CHANCE FOR RAIN. HOWEVER, THE LOCATION OF THE UPPER
RIDGE AND THE TRACK OF THE WESTERLIES SO FAR NORTH OF OKLAHOMA
CURRENTLY GIVE LOW CONFIDENCE TO WEEKEND RAINFALL.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  75  97  74  95 /  10  10  20  20
HOBART OK         74  99  75  97 /  10  10  10  10
WICHITA FALLS TX  77 100  76  98 /  10  10   0  10
GAGE OK           72  93  68  94 /  20  20  20  10
PONCA CITY OK     76  96  70  92 /  20  20  60  40
DURANT OK         74  96  75  95 /  10  10   0  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

06/09




000
FXUS64 KOUN 311730
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1230 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014

.AVIATION...
GUSTY SOUTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT, BUT LESSEN IN NORTHWEST
OKLAHOMA AFTER 011500 WHEN A FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NORTH. VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 615 AM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014/

AVIATION...
31/12Z TAFS...SCT HIGH BASED SHOWERS MOVING THROUGH W
OK EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE WITIN A FEW HOURS AND SHOULD
NOT HAVE MUCH IMPACT. OTRW...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH PERIOD.
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BECOME FAIRLY STRONG BY MID MORNING AND
REMAIN BRISK THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 405 AM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014/

DISCUSSION...
BAND OF HIGH BASED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH LEAD S/W
TROUGH MOVING OUT OF THE CENTRAL ROCKIES WAS MOVING INTO PARTS OF
WESTERN OK. WILL SPREAD POPS ACROSS MUCH OF THE WEST AND NORTH FOR
THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. HI RES MODELS SHOW THIS PRECIP AREA
DIMINISHING BY MID MORNING AS S/W TROUGH LIFTS NEWD AND THUS WILL
LIMIT POPS TO THE MORNING. MAIN S/W TROUGH MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL
PLAINS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT PUSHING
INTO NW OK LATER TONIGHT. BEST CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL
LIKELY REMAIN NORTH OF THE FA BUT SOME ACTIVITY COULD SPREAD INTO
FAR NRN OK AND WILL CONTINUE WITH LOW PRECIP CHANCES THERE.

SURFACE FRONT DRIFTS SOUTHWARD INTO NRN OK BEFORE STALLING ON
MONDAY. ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM POSSIBLE MONDAY IN THE VICINITY OF THE
FRONT WITH BETTER CHANCES MONDAY NIGHT AS LOW LEVEL JET INTERACTS
WITH THE STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY. AGAIN BEST CHANCES WILL REMAIN
OVER NORTHERN OK WITH SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE.

SOME PRECIP MAY LINGER INTO TUESDAY BUT DRY WEATHER WILL RETURN
TUESDAY NIGHT/WEDNESDAY AS RESIDUAL SURFACE BOUNDARY LIFTS NORTH
AND UPPER RIDGE BEGINS TO BUILD. DRY AND VERY WARM WEATHER
EXPECTED WEDNESDAY THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY AS AREA REMAINS UNDER
INFLUENCE OF UPPER RIDGE.

MODEL SOLUTIONS DIVERGE TOWARD THE WEEKEND WITH THE NEW ECMWF MORE
AGRESSIVE WITH FRONT MOVING INTO THE REGION WHILE GFS KEEPS MORE
RIDGING ALOFT AND FRONT FARTHER NORTH. FOR NOW WILL NOT MAKE BIG
CHANGES AND LIMIT PRECIP CHANCES TO NRN PARTS OF THE FA.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  75  97  74  95 /  10  10  20  20
HOBART OK         74  99  75  97 /  10  10  10  10
WICHITA FALLS TX  77 100  76  98 /  10  10   0  10
GAGE OK           72  93  68  94 /  20  20  20  10
PONCA CITY OK     76  96  70  92 /  20  20  50  40
DURANT OK         74  96  75  95 /  10  10   0  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

06/09/09




000
FXUS64 KOUN 311123
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
615 AM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014

.AVIATION...
31/12Z TAFS...SCT HIGH BASED SHOWERS MOVING THROUGH W
OK EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE WITIN A FEW HOURS AND SHOULD
NOT HAVE MUCH IMPACT. OTRW...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH PERIOD.
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BECOME FAIRLY STRONG BY MID MORNING AND
REMAIN BRISK THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 405 AM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014/

.DISCUSSION...
BAND OF HIGH BASED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH LEAD S/W
TROUGH MOVING OUT OF THE CENTRAL ROCKIES WAS MOVING INTO PARTS OF
WESTERN OK. WILL SPREAD POPS ACROSS MUCH OF THE WEST AND NORTH FOR
THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. HI RES MODELS SHOW THIS PRECIP AREA
DIMINISHING BY MID MORNING AS S/W TROUGH LIFTS NEWD AND THUS WILL
LIMIT POPS TO THE MORNING. MAIN S/W TROUGH MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL
PLAINS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT PUSHING
INTO NW OK LATER TONIGHT. BEST CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL
LIKELY REMAIN NORTH OF THE FA BUT SOME ACTIVITY COULD SPREAD INTO
FAR NRN OK AND WILL CONTINUE WITH LOW PRECIP CHANCES THERE.

SURFACE FRONT DRIFTS SOUTHWARD INTO NRN OK BEFORE STALLING ON
MONDAY. ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM POSSIBLE MONDAY IN THE VICINITY OF THE
FRONT WITH BETTER CHANCES MONDAY NIGHT AS LOW LEVEL JET INTERACTS
WITH THE STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY. AGAIN BEST CHANCES WILL REMAIN
OVER NORTHERN OK WITH SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE.

SOME PRECIP MAY LINGER INTO TUESDAY BUT DRY WEATHER WILL RETURN
TUESDAY NIGHT/WEDNESDAY AS RESIDUAL SURFACE BOUNDARY LIFTS NORTH
AND UPPER RIDGE BEGINS TO BUILD. DRY AND VERY WARM WEATHER
EXPECTED WEDNESDAY THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY AS AREA REMAINS UNDER
INFLUENCE OF UPPER RIDGE.

MODEL SOLUTIONS DIVERGE TOWARD THE WEEKEND WITH THE NEW ECMWF MORE
AGRESSIVE WITH FRONT MOVING INTO THE REGION WHILE GFS KEEPS MORE
RIDGING ALOFT AND FRONT FARTHER NORTH. FOR NOW WILL NOT MAKE BIG
CHANGES AND LIMIT PRECIP CHANCES TO NRN PARTS OF THE FA.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  96  75  97  74 /  10  10  10  20
HOBART OK         99  74  99  75 /  10  10  10  10
WICHITA FALLS TX  99  77 100  76 /   0  10  10   0
GAGE OK           98  72  93  68 /  20  20  20  20
PONCA CITY OK     96  76  96  70 /  10  20  20  50
DURANT OK         94  74  96  75 /  10  10  10   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

25/02




000
FXUS64 KOUN 311123
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
615 AM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014

.AVIATION...
31/12Z TAFS...SCT HIGH BASED SHOWERS MOVING THROUGH W
OK EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE WITIN A FEW HOURS AND SHOULD
NOT HAVE MUCH IMPACT. OTRW...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH PERIOD.
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BECOME FAIRLY STRONG BY MID MORNING AND
REMAIN BRISK THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 405 AM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014/

.DISCUSSION...
BAND OF HIGH BASED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH LEAD S/W
TROUGH MOVING OUT OF THE CENTRAL ROCKIES WAS MOVING INTO PARTS OF
WESTERN OK. WILL SPREAD POPS ACROSS MUCH OF THE WEST AND NORTH FOR
THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. HI RES MODELS SHOW THIS PRECIP AREA
DIMINISHING BY MID MORNING AS S/W TROUGH LIFTS NEWD AND THUS WILL
LIMIT POPS TO THE MORNING. MAIN S/W TROUGH MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL
PLAINS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT PUSHING
INTO NW OK LATER TONIGHT. BEST CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL
LIKELY REMAIN NORTH OF THE FA BUT SOME ACTIVITY COULD SPREAD INTO
FAR NRN OK AND WILL CONTINUE WITH LOW PRECIP CHANCES THERE.

SURFACE FRONT DRIFTS SOUTHWARD INTO NRN OK BEFORE STALLING ON
MONDAY. ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM POSSIBLE MONDAY IN THE VICINITY OF THE
FRONT WITH BETTER CHANCES MONDAY NIGHT AS LOW LEVEL JET INTERACTS
WITH THE STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY. AGAIN BEST CHANCES WILL REMAIN
OVER NORTHERN OK WITH SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE.

SOME PRECIP MAY LINGER INTO TUESDAY BUT DRY WEATHER WILL RETURN
TUESDAY NIGHT/WEDNESDAY AS RESIDUAL SURFACE BOUNDARY LIFTS NORTH
AND UPPER RIDGE BEGINS TO BUILD. DRY AND VERY WARM WEATHER
EXPECTED WEDNESDAY THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY AS AREA REMAINS UNDER
INFLUENCE OF UPPER RIDGE.

MODEL SOLUTIONS DIVERGE TOWARD THE WEEKEND WITH THE NEW ECMWF MORE
AGRESSIVE WITH FRONT MOVING INTO THE REGION WHILE GFS KEEPS MORE
RIDGING ALOFT AND FRONT FARTHER NORTH. FOR NOW WILL NOT MAKE BIG
CHANGES AND LIMIT PRECIP CHANCES TO NRN PARTS OF THE FA.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  96  75  97  74 /  10  10  10  20
HOBART OK         99  74  99  75 /  10  10  10  10
WICHITA FALLS TX  99  77 100  76 /   0  10  10   0
GAGE OK           98  72  93  68 /  20  20  20  20
PONCA CITY OK     96  76  96  70 /  10  20  20  50
DURANT OK         94  74  96  75 /  10  10  10   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

25/02





000
FXUS64 KOUN 310905
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
405 AM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014

.DISCUSSION...
BAND OF HIGH BASED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH LEAD S/W
TROUGH MOVING OUT OF THE CENTRAL ROCKIES WAS MOVING INTO PARTS OF
WESTERN OK. WILL SPREAD POPS ACROSS MUCH OF THE WEST AND NORTH FOR
THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. HI RES MODELS SHOW THIS PRECIP AREA
DIMINISHING BY MID MORNING AS S/W TROUGH LIFTS NEWD AND THUS WILL
LIMIT POPS TO THE MORNING. MAIN S/W TROUGH MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL
PLAINS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT PUSHING
INTO NW OK LATER TONIGHT. BEST CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL
LIKELY REMAIN NORTH OF THE FA BUT SOME ACTIVITY COULD SPREAD INTO
FAR NRN OK AND WILL CONTINUE WITH LOW PRECIP CHANCES THERE.

SURFACE FRONT DRIFTS SOUTHWARD INTO NRN OK BEFORE STALLING ON
MONDAY. ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM POSSIBLE MONDAY IN THE VICINITY OF THE
FRONT WITH BETTER CHANCES MONDAY NIGHT AS LOW LEVEL JET INTERACTS
WITH THE STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY. AGAIN BEST CHANCES WILL REMAIN
OVER NORTHERN OK WITH SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE.

SOME PRECIP MAY LINGER INTO TUESDAY BUT DRY WEATHER WILL RETURN
TUESDAY NIGHT/WEDNESDAY AS RESIDUAL SURFACE BOUNDARY LIFTS NORTH
AND UPPER RIDGE BEGINS TO BUILD. DRY AND VERY WARM WEATHER
EXPECTED WEDNESDAY THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY AS AREA REMAINS UNDER
INFLUENCE OF UPPER RIDGE.

MODEL SOLUTIONS DIVERGE TOWARD THE WEEKEND WITH THE NEW ECMWF MORE
AGRESSIVE WITH FRONT MOVING INTO THE REGION WHILE GFS KEEPS MORE
RIDGING ALOFT AND FRONT FARTHER NORTH. FOR NOW WILL NOT MAKE BIG
CHANGES AND LIMIT PRECIP CHANCES TO NRN PARTS OF THE FA.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  96  75  97  74 /  10  10  10  20
HOBART OK         99  74  99  75 /  10  10  10  10
WICHITA FALLS TX  99  77 100  76 /   0  10  10   0
GAGE OK           98  72  93  68 /  20  20  20  20
PONCA CITY OK     96  76  96  70 /  10  20  20  50
DURANT OK         94  74  96  75 /  10  10  10   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

25/02




000
FXUS64 KOUN 310905
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
405 AM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014

.DISCUSSION...
BAND OF HIGH BASED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH LEAD S/W
TROUGH MOVING OUT OF THE CENTRAL ROCKIES WAS MOVING INTO PARTS OF
WESTERN OK. WILL SPREAD POPS ACROSS MUCH OF THE WEST AND NORTH FOR
THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. HI RES MODELS SHOW THIS PRECIP AREA
DIMINISHING BY MID MORNING AS S/W TROUGH LIFTS NEWD AND THUS WILL
LIMIT POPS TO THE MORNING. MAIN S/W TROUGH MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL
PLAINS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT PUSHING
INTO NW OK LATER TONIGHT. BEST CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL
LIKELY REMAIN NORTH OF THE FA BUT SOME ACTIVITY COULD SPREAD INTO
FAR NRN OK AND WILL CONTINUE WITH LOW PRECIP CHANCES THERE.

SURFACE FRONT DRIFTS SOUTHWARD INTO NRN OK BEFORE STALLING ON
MONDAY. ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM POSSIBLE MONDAY IN THE VICINITY OF THE
FRONT WITH BETTER CHANCES MONDAY NIGHT AS LOW LEVEL JET INTERACTS
WITH THE STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY. AGAIN BEST CHANCES WILL REMAIN
OVER NORTHERN OK WITH SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE.

SOME PRECIP MAY LINGER INTO TUESDAY BUT DRY WEATHER WILL RETURN
TUESDAY NIGHT/WEDNESDAY AS RESIDUAL SURFACE BOUNDARY LIFTS NORTH
AND UPPER RIDGE BEGINS TO BUILD. DRY AND VERY WARM WEATHER
EXPECTED WEDNESDAY THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY AS AREA REMAINS UNDER
INFLUENCE OF UPPER RIDGE.

MODEL SOLUTIONS DIVERGE TOWARD THE WEEKEND WITH THE NEW ECMWF MORE
AGRESSIVE WITH FRONT MOVING INTO THE REGION WHILE GFS KEEPS MORE
RIDGING ALOFT AND FRONT FARTHER NORTH. FOR NOW WILL NOT MAKE BIG
CHANGES AND LIMIT PRECIP CHANCES TO NRN PARTS OF THE FA.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  96  75  97  74 /  10  10  10  20
HOBART OK         99  74  99  75 /  10  10  10  10
WICHITA FALLS TX  99  77 100  76 /   0  10  10   0
GAGE OK           98  72  93  68 /  20  20  20  20
PONCA CITY OK     96  76  96  70 /  10  20  20  50
DURANT OK         94  74  96  75 /  10  10  10   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

25/02





000
FXUS64 KOUN 310359
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1059 PM CDT SAT AUG 30 2014

.DISCUSSION...
PLEASE SEE THE 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.

&&

.AVIATION...
VERY LITTLE CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE LAST SET OF TAFS. STILL
EXPECT WINDS TO INCREASE DURING THE MORNING HOURS TOMORROW AND
CONTINUE TO DO SO THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. SKIES WILL GENERALLY
REMAIN CLEAR WITH THE EXCEPTION OF SOME CIRRUS MOVING OVER W/NW
OK OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS...AND THEN INTO CENTRAL OK DURING THE
MORNING HOURS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  71  95  73  96 /  10  10  10  10
HOBART OK         71  98  73  99 /  10   0  10   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  73  99  74 100 /  10   0  10  10
GAGE OK           69  97  71  94 /  20  10  20  10
PONCA CITY OK     71  95  76  93 /  10  10  20  20
DURANT OK         72  93  74  96 /  30  10  10  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

99/03/03





000
FXUS64 KOUN 310359
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1059 PM CDT SAT AUG 30 2014

.DISCUSSION...
PLEASE SEE THE 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.

&&

.AVIATION...
VERY LITTLE CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE LAST SET OF TAFS. STILL
EXPECT WINDS TO INCREASE DURING THE MORNING HOURS TOMORROW AND
CONTINUE TO DO SO THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. SKIES WILL GENERALLY
REMAIN CLEAR WITH THE EXCEPTION OF SOME CIRRUS MOVING OVER W/NW
OK OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS...AND THEN INTO CENTRAL OK DURING THE
MORNING HOURS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  71  95  73  96 /  10  10  10  10
HOBART OK         71  98  73  99 /  10   0  10   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  73  99  74 100 /  10   0  10  10
GAGE OK           69  97  71  94 /  20  10  20  10
PONCA CITY OK     71  95  76  93 /  10  10  20  20
DURANT OK         72  93  74  96 /  30  10  10  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

99/03/03




000
FXUS64 KOUN 310201
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
901 PM CDT SAT AUG 30 2014

.UPDATE...
AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING CONVECTION ACROSS THE AREA HAS
WEAKENED OR ENDED...WHILE A FEW STORMS REMAIN OVER THE HIGH
PLAINS.

A WEAK DISTURBANCE IS FORECAST TO MOVE FROM THE CENTRAL ROCKIES
INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS OVERNIGHT.  A FEW MODELS SUGGEST THAT
SOME SHOWERS/STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY IN NORTHWEST
OKLAHOMA.

SURFACE WINDS WILL BE MUCH STRONGER BY SUNDAY...AS LOW PRESSURE
DEEPENS IN RESPONSE TO A TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE CENTRAL/NORTHERN
ROCKIES.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 641 PM CDT SAT AUG 30 2014/

DISCUSSION...
PLEASE SEE THE 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.

AVIATION...
A FEW SHOWERS AND STORMS CONTINUE TO DISSIPATE NEAR HBR EARLY
THIS EVENING AND ANY ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS NOT ANTICIPATED
THROUGH THIS EVENING. VFR WILL APPLY THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD.
WINDS WILL INCREASE LATE TOMORROW MORNING AND EARLY TOMORROW
AFTERNOON AT ALL TERMINALS TO AROUND 20 KT FROM THE SSW.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  71  95  73  96 /  10  10  10  10
HOBART OK         71  98  73  99 /  10   0  10   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  73  99  74 100 /  10   0  10  10
GAGE OK           69  97  71  94 /  20  10  20  10
PONCA CITY OK     71  95  76  93 /  10  10  20  20
DURANT OK         72  93  74  96 /  30  10  10  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KOUN 310201
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
901 PM CDT SAT AUG 30 2014

.UPDATE...
AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING CONVECTION ACROSS THE AREA HAS
WEAKENED OR ENDED...WHILE A FEW STORMS REMAIN OVER THE HIGH
PLAINS.

A WEAK DISTURBANCE IS FORECAST TO MOVE FROM THE CENTRAL ROCKIES
INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS OVERNIGHT.  A FEW MODELS SUGGEST THAT
SOME SHOWERS/STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY IN NORTHWEST
OKLAHOMA.

SURFACE WINDS WILL BE MUCH STRONGER BY SUNDAY...AS LOW PRESSURE
DEEPENS IN RESPONSE TO A TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE CENTRAL/NORTHERN
ROCKIES.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 641 PM CDT SAT AUG 30 2014/

DISCUSSION...
PLEASE SEE THE 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.

AVIATION...
A FEW SHOWERS AND STORMS CONTINUE TO DISSIPATE NEAR HBR EARLY
THIS EVENING AND ANY ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS NOT ANTICIPATED
THROUGH THIS EVENING. VFR WILL APPLY THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD.
WINDS WILL INCREASE LATE TOMORROW MORNING AND EARLY TOMORROW
AFTERNOON AT ALL TERMINALS TO AROUND 20 KT FROM THE SSW.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  71  95  73  96 /  10  10  10  10
HOBART OK         71  98  73  99 /  10   0  10   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  73  99  74 100 /  10   0  10  10
GAGE OK           69  97  71  94 /  20  10  20  10
PONCA CITY OK     71  95  76  93 /  10  10  20  20
DURANT OK         72  93  74  96 /  30  10  10  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KOUN 302341
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
641 PM CDT SAT AUG 30 2014

.DISCUSSION...
PLEASE SEE THE 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.

&&

.AVIATION...
A FEW SHOWERS AND STORMS CONTINUE TO DISSIPATE NEAR HBR EARLY
THIS EVENING AND ANY ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS NOT ANTICIPATED
THROUGH THIS EVENING. VFR WILL APPLY THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD.
WINDS WILL INCREASE LATE TOMORROW MORNING AND EARLY TOMORROW
AFTERNOON AT ALL TERMINALS TO AROUND 20 KT FROM THE SSW.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  71  95  73  96 /  10  10  10  10
HOBART OK         71  98  73  99 /  10   0  10   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  73  99  74 100 /  10   0  10  10
GAGE OK           69  97  71  94 /  20  10  20  10
PONCA CITY OK     71  95  76  93 /  10  10  20  20
DURANT OK         72  93  74  96 /  30  10  10  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

99/03/03




000
FXUS64 KOUN 302341
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
641 PM CDT SAT AUG 30 2014

.DISCUSSION...
PLEASE SEE THE 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.

&&

.AVIATION...
A FEW SHOWERS AND STORMS CONTINUE TO DISSIPATE NEAR HBR EARLY
THIS EVENING AND ANY ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS NOT ANTICIPATED
THROUGH THIS EVENING. VFR WILL APPLY THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD.
WINDS WILL INCREASE LATE TOMORROW MORNING AND EARLY TOMORROW
AFTERNOON AT ALL TERMINALS TO AROUND 20 KT FROM THE SSW.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  71  95  73  96 /  10  10  10  10
HOBART OK         71  98  73  99 /  10   0  10   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  73  99  74 100 /  10   0  10  10
GAGE OK           69  97  71  94 /  20  10  20  10
PONCA CITY OK     71  95  76  93 /  10  10  20  20
DURANT OK         72  93  74  96 /  30  10  10  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

99/03/03





000
FXUS64 KOUN 301910
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
210 PM CDT SAT AUG 30 2014

.DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED UNTIL SUNSET
ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA TODAY. A WEAK AND PASSING MID-LEVEL WAVE
SHOULD BRING AN END TO THOSE CHANCES LATER TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. THE
COMING WEEK WILL BE EXCEPTIONALLY HOT AND HUMID, MORE TYPICAL FOR
LATE JULY RATHER THAN EARLY SEPTEMBER. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL
RANGE 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMALS, AND HEAT INDEX READINGS WILL
EXCEED 100. A MID-LEVEL WAVE MOVING THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS
LATER MONDAY AND TUESDAY IS EXPECTED TO BRING A WEAK FRONT INTO
NORTHERN OKLAHOMA. THIS AREA WILL HAVE A CHANCE FOR RAIN LATER
MONDAY AND TUESDAY NEAR THE FRONT AND PASSING WAVE; OTHERWISE A
STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS FORECAST TO BUILD OVER OK FROM
WEDNESDAY INTO NEXT WEEKEND WITH LITTLE CHANCE FOR RAIN.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  71  95  73  96 /  10  10  10  10
HOBART OK         71  98  73  99 /  10   0  10   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  73  99  74 100 /  10   0  10  10
GAGE OK           69  97  71  94 /  20  10  20  10
PONCA CITY OK     71  95  76  93 /  10  10  20  20
DURANT OK         72  93  74  96 /  30  10  10  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

11/09





000
FXUS64 KOUN 301910
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
210 PM CDT SAT AUG 30 2014

.DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED UNTIL SUNSET
ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA TODAY. A WEAK AND PASSING MID-LEVEL WAVE
SHOULD BRING AN END TO THOSE CHANCES LATER TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. THE
COMING WEEK WILL BE EXCEPTIONALLY HOT AND HUMID, MORE TYPICAL FOR
LATE JULY RATHER THAN EARLY SEPTEMBER. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL
RANGE 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMALS, AND HEAT INDEX READINGS WILL
EXCEED 100. A MID-LEVEL WAVE MOVING THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS
LATER MONDAY AND TUESDAY IS EXPECTED TO BRING A WEAK FRONT INTO
NORTHERN OKLAHOMA. THIS AREA WILL HAVE A CHANCE FOR RAIN LATER
MONDAY AND TUESDAY NEAR THE FRONT AND PASSING WAVE; OTHERWISE A
STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS FORECAST TO BUILD OVER OK FROM
WEDNESDAY INTO NEXT WEEKEND WITH LITTLE CHANCE FOR RAIN.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  71  95  73  96 /  10  10  10  10
HOBART OK         71  98  73  99 /  10   0  10   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  73  99  74 100 /  10   0  10  10
GAGE OK           69  97  71  94 /  20  10  20  10
PONCA CITY OK     71  95  76  93 /  10  10  20  20
DURANT OK         72  93  74  96 /  30  10  10  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

11/09




000
FXUS64 KOUN 301746
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1246 PM CDT SAT AUG 30 2014

.AVIATION...
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE IN NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA AND
SOUTHEAST OF ADA AND HOLDENVILLE UNTIL SUNSET TODAY. OTHERWISE
WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1138 AM CDT SAT AUG 30 2014/

UPDATE...
VERY LITTLE CHANGE TO GOING FORECAST. MAY STILL SEE A FEW SHOWERS
AND STORMS DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
NEAR WEAK SURFACE BOUNDARY AND DEPARTING MID-LEVEL TROUGH AXIS.
HEAVY RAIN WOULD BE THE PRIMARY CONCERN IF STORMS CAN
FORM...PRIMARILY IN THE DURANT AND ATOKA AREAS ON EAST.

ADDITIONAL ISOLATED STORMS MAY FORM OVER THE NORTHERN PANHANDLES
AND SOUTHWEST KANSAS THIS AFTERNOON...NEAR SOUTHERN FRINGE OF
ROCKIES S/WV AND MID-LEVEL MOIST AXIS...AND APPROACH FAR WESTERN
OKLAHOMA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. ANY ACTIVITY THAT
CAN DEVELOP AND MOVE INTO BODY OF OKLAHOMA SHOULD BE SHORT-LIVED
AND NOT POSE ANY SEVERE WEATHER RISK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  71  95  73  96 /  10  10  10  10
HOBART OK         71  98  73  99 /  10   0  10   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  73  99  74 100 /  10   0  10  10
GAGE OK           69  97  71  94 /  20  10  20  10
PONCA CITY OK     71  95  76  93 /  10  10  20  20
DURANT OK         72  93  74  96 /  30  10  10  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

11/09/09




000
FXUS64 KOUN 301638
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1138 AM CDT SAT AUG 30 2014

.UPDATE...
VERY LITTLE CHANGE TO GOING FORECAST. MAY STILL SEE A FEW SHOWERS
AND STORMS DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
NEAR WEAK SURFACE BOUNDARY AND DEPARTING MID-LEVEL TROUGH AXIS.
HEAVY RAIN WOULD BE THE PRIMARY CONCERN IF STORMS CAN
FORM...PRIMARILY IN THE DURANT AND ATOKA AREAS ON EAST.

ADDITIONAL ISOLATED STORMS MAY FORM OVER THE NORTHERN PANHANDLES
AND SOUTHWEST KANSAS THIS AFTERNOON...NEAR SOUTHERN FRINGE OF
ROCKIES S/WV AND MID-LEVEL MOIST AXIS...AND APPROACH FAR WESTERN
OKLAHOMA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. ANY ACTIVITY THAT
CAN DEVELOP AND MOVE INTO BODY OF OKLAHOMA SHOULD BE SHORT-LIVED
AND NOT POSE ANY SEVERE WEATHER RISK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  94  71  95  73 /   0  10  10  10
HOBART OK         95  71  98  73 /  10  10   0  10
WICHITA FALLS TX  96  73  99  74 /   0  10   0  10
GAGE OK           93  69  97  71 /  20  20  10  20
PONCA CITY OK     92  71  95  76 /   0  10  10  20
DURANT OK         93  72  93  74 /  30  10  10  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

11/09





000
FXUS64 KOUN 301113
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
610 AM CDT SAT AUG 30 2014

.AVIATION...
30/12Z TAFS...SOME PATCHY FOG MAY RESULT IN BRIEF MVFR CONDITIONS AT
A FEW SITES EARLY THIS MORNING...OTRW VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
PREVAIL THRU THE PD. SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS LATER TODAY IN SE OK
ARE NOT EXPECTED TO AFFECT ANY TAF SITES.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 334 AM CDT SAT AUG 30 2014/

.DISCUSSION...
WITH LIGHT WINDS AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES...SOME PATCHY FOG
POSSIBLE THIS MORNING...MAINLY IN AREAS WHICH SAW PRECIP
YESTERDAY. ANY FOG THAT DOES DEVELOP SHOULD BURN OFF QUICKLY THIS
MORNING. SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE...MAINLY
OVER THE SOUTHEAST TODAY AS UPPER LEVEL TROUGH GRADUALLY EXITS THE
REGION. DRY WEATHER THEN EXPECTED TONIGHT AND SUNDAY.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURN TO NORTHERN OKLAHOMA SUNDAY NIGHT AS ANOTHER
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES FROM THE CENTRAL/NRN ROCKIES INTO THE
PLAINS WITH THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT SAGGING SOUTHWARD INTO FAR
NORTHERN OKLAHOMA. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES PERSIST OVER NORTHERN
PARTS OF THE REGION THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT AS THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY
LINGERS IN THE AREA AND ADDITIONAL DISTURBANCES MOVE THROUGH THE
CENTRAL PLAINS.

DRY WEATHER RETURNS BY WEDNESDAY AS THE UPPER TROUGH SLIDES OFF
TO THE EAST AND RIDGE BEGINS TO BUILD OVER THE REGION. WARM AND
DRY WEATHER THEN EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD AS UPPER RIDGE DOMINATES THE SOUTHERN U.S.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  94  71  95  73 /  10  10  10  10
HOBART OK         95  71  98  73 /  10  10   0  10
WICHITA FALLS TX  96  73  99  74 /  10  10   0  10
GAGE OK           93  69  97  71 /  20  20  10  20
PONCA CITY OK     92  71  95  76 /  10  10  10  20
DURANT OK         93  72  93  74 /  20  10  10  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

26/02




000
FXUS64 KOUN 301113
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
610 AM CDT SAT AUG 30 2014

.AVIATION...
30/12Z TAFS...SOME PATCHY FOG MAY RESULT IN BRIEF MVFR CONDITIONS AT
A FEW SITES EARLY THIS MORNING...OTRW VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
PREVAIL THRU THE PD. SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS LATER TODAY IN SE OK
ARE NOT EXPECTED TO AFFECT ANY TAF SITES.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 334 AM CDT SAT AUG 30 2014/

.DISCUSSION...
WITH LIGHT WINDS AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES...SOME PATCHY FOG
POSSIBLE THIS MORNING...MAINLY IN AREAS WHICH SAW PRECIP
YESTERDAY. ANY FOG THAT DOES DEVELOP SHOULD BURN OFF QUICKLY THIS
MORNING. SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE...MAINLY
OVER THE SOUTHEAST TODAY AS UPPER LEVEL TROUGH GRADUALLY EXITS THE
REGION. DRY WEATHER THEN EXPECTED TONIGHT AND SUNDAY.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURN TO NORTHERN OKLAHOMA SUNDAY NIGHT AS ANOTHER
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES FROM THE CENTRAL/NRN ROCKIES INTO THE
PLAINS WITH THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT SAGGING SOUTHWARD INTO FAR
NORTHERN OKLAHOMA. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES PERSIST OVER NORTHERN
PARTS OF THE REGION THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT AS THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY
LINGERS IN THE AREA AND ADDITIONAL DISTURBANCES MOVE THROUGH THE
CENTRAL PLAINS.

DRY WEATHER RETURNS BY WEDNESDAY AS THE UPPER TROUGH SLIDES OFF
TO THE EAST AND RIDGE BEGINS TO BUILD OVER THE REGION. WARM AND
DRY WEATHER THEN EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD AS UPPER RIDGE DOMINATES THE SOUTHERN U.S.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  94  71  95  73 /  10  10  10  10
HOBART OK         95  71  98  73 /  10  10   0  10
WICHITA FALLS TX  96  73  99  74 /  10  10   0  10
GAGE OK           93  69  97  71 /  20  20  10  20
PONCA CITY OK     92  71  95  76 /  10  10  10  20
DURANT OK         93  72  93  74 /  20  10  10  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

26/02





000
FXUS64 KOUN 300834
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
334 AM CDT SAT AUG 30 2014

.DISCUSSION...
WITH LIGHT WINDS AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES...SOME PATCHY FOG
POSSIBLE THIS MORNING...MAINLY IN AREAS WHICH SAW PRECIP
YESTERDAY. ANY FOG THAT DOES DEVELOP SHOULD BURN OFF QUICKLY THIS
MORNING. SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE...MAINLY
OVER THE SOUTHEAST TODAY AS UPPER LEVEL TROUGH GRADUALLY EXITS THE
REGION. DRY WEATHER THEN EXPECTED TONIGHT AND SUNDAY.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURN TO NORTHERN OKLAHOMA SUNDAY NIGHT AS ANOTHER
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES FROM THE CENTRAL/NRN ROCKIES INTO THE
PLAINS WITH THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT SAGGING SOUTHWARD INTO FAR
NORTHERN OKLAHOMA. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES PERSIST OVER NORTHERN
PARTS OF THE REGION THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT AS THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY
LINGERS IN THE AREA AND ADDITIONAL DISTURBANCES MOVE THROUGH THE
CENTRAL PLAINS.

DRY WEATHER RETURNS BY WEDNESDAY AS THE UPPER TROUGH SLIDES OFF
TO THE EAST AND RIDGE BEGINS TO BUILD OVER THE REGION. WARM AND
DRY WEATHER THEN EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD AS UPPER RIDGE DOMINATES THE SOUTHERN U.S.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  94  71  95  73 /  10  10  10  10
HOBART OK         95  71  98  73 /  10  10   0  10
WICHITA FALLS TX  96  73  99  74 /  10  10   0  10
GAGE OK           93  69  97  71 /  20  20  10  20
PONCA CITY OK     92  71  95  76 /  10  10  10  20
DURANT OK         93  72  93  74 /  20  10  10  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

26/02





000
FXUS64 KOUN 300834
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
334 AM CDT SAT AUG 30 2014

.DISCUSSION...
WITH LIGHT WINDS AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES...SOME PATCHY FOG
POSSIBLE THIS MORNING...MAINLY IN AREAS WHICH SAW PRECIP
YESTERDAY. ANY FOG THAT DOES DEVELOP SHOULD BURN OFF QUICKLY THIS
MORNING. SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE...MAINLY
OVER THE SOUTHEAST TODAY AS UPPER LEVEL TROUGH GRADUALLY EXITS THE
REGION. DRY WEATHER THEN EXPECTED TONIGHT AND SUNDAY.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURN TO NORTHERN OKLAHOMA SUNDAY NIGHT AS ANOTHER
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES FROM THE CENTRAL/NRN ROCKIES INTO THE
PLAINS WITH THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT SAGGING SOUTHWARD INTO FAR
NORTHERN OKLAHOMA. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES PERSIST OVER NORTHERN
PARTS OF THE REGION THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT AS THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY
LINGERS IN THE AREA AND ADDITIONAL DISTURBANCES MOVE THROUGH THE
CENTRAL PLAINS.

DRY WEATHER RETURNS BY WEDNESDAY AS THE UPPER TROUGH SLIDES OFF
TO THE EAST AND RIDGE BEGINS TO BUILD OVER THE REGION. WARM AND
DRY WEATHER THEN EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD AS UPPER RIDGE DOMINATES THE SOUTHERN U.S.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  94  71  95  73 /  10  10  10  10
HOBART OK         95  71  98  73 /  10  10   0  10
WICHITA FALLS TX  96  73  99  74 /  10  10   0  10
GAGE OK           93  69  97  71 /  20  20  10  20
PONCA CITY OK     92  71  95  76 /  10  10  10  20
DURANT OK         93  72  93  74 /  20  10  10  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

26/02




    US Dept of Commerce
    National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
    National Weather Service
    1325 East West Highway
    Silver Spring, MD 20910
    Page Author: NWS Internet Services Team
Disclaimer
Information Quality
Credits
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities