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000
FXUS64 KOUN 251128
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
625 AM CDT FRI JUL 25 2014

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 405 AM CDT FRI JUL 25 2014/

.DISCUSSION...
WARMER TEMPS EXPECTED TODAY WITH SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW
RETURNING. AFTER A BRIEF COOL DOWN TEMPS IN CENTRAL AND SE
SECTIONS WILL WARM BACK INTO THE MID/UPPER 90S WITH READINGS AOA
THE CENTURY MARK IN THE WEST. TEMPS ON SATURDAY MAY BE A FEW
DEGREES WARMER WITH VEERING LOW LEVEL FLOW AHEAD OF APCHG FRONT.
ALTHOUGH HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL BE MARGINAL...WILL CONTINUE WITH
HEAT ADVY AS IS FOR TODAY AND EXTEND IT INTO SATURDAY WITH THE HOT
TEMPS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE.

WEAK FRONT WILL BEGIN TO PUSH INTO THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT AND
CONTINUE SLOWLY SOUTHWARD ON SUNDAY. WILL CONTINUE WITH LOW POPS
IN THAT TIME FRAME AS FRONT PUSHES IN. PRECIP CHANCES WILL SPREAD
SOUTH INTO MONDAY AS FRONTAL BOUNDARY CONTINUES SWD. PRECIP
CHANCES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEK WITH NWLY UPPER FLOW
PATTERN DEVELOPING. BEST CHANCES EXPECTED AROUND MIDWEEK AS S/W
TROUGH DROPS SEWD FROM THE CENTRAL ROCKIES.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  98  74 101  74 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK        100  73 101  74 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX 100  74 101  77 /   0   0   0   0
GAGE OK          103  73 104  70 /   0   0  10  10
PONCA CITY OK     97  77 103  75 /   0   0   0  10
DURANT OK        100  75 102  75 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT SATURDAY FOR OKZ005>008-010>048-
     050>052.

TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT SATURDAY FOR TXZ083>090.

&&

$$

06/02




000
FXUS64 KOUN 251128
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
625 AM CDT FRI JUL 25 2014

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 405 AM CDT FRI JUL 25 2014/

.DISCUSSION...
WARMER TEMPS EXPECTED TODAY WITH SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW
RETURNING. AFTER A BRIEF COOL DOWN TEMPS IN CENTRAL AND SE
SECTIONS WILL WARM BACK INTO THE MID/UPPER 90S WITH READINGS AOA
THE CENTURY MARK IN THE WEST. TEMPS ON SATURDAY MAY BE A FEW
DEGREES WARMER WITH VEERING LOW LEVEL FLOW AHEAD OF APCHG FRONT.
ALTHOUGH HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL BE MARGINAL...WILL CONTINUE WITH
HEAT ADVY AS IS FOR TODAY AND EXTEND IT INTO SATURDAY WITH THE HOT
TEMPS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE.

WEAK FRONT WILL BEGIN TO PUSH INTO THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT AND
CONTINUE SLOWLY SOUTHWARD ON SUNDAY. WILL CONTINUE WITH LOW POPS
IN THAT TIME FRAME AS FRONT PUSHES IN. PRECIP CHANCES WILL SPREAD
SOUTH INTO MONDAY AS FRONTAL BOUNDARY CONTINUES SWD. PRECIP
CHANCES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEK WITH NWLY UPPER FLOW
PATTERN DEVELOPING. BEST CHANCES EXPECTED AROUND MIDWEEK AS S/W
TROUGH DROPS SEWD FROM THE CENTRAL ROCKIES.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  98  74 101  74 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK        100  73 101  74 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX 100  74 101  77 /   0   0   0   0
GAGE OK          103  73 104  70 /   0   0  10  10
PONCA CITY OK     97  77 103  75 /   0   0   0  10
DURANT OK        100  75 102  75 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT SATURDAY FOR OKZ005>008-010>048-
     050>052.

TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT SATURDAY FOR TXZ083>090.

&&

$$

06/02





000
FXUS64 KOUN 250905
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
405 AM CDT FRI JUL 25 2014

.DISCUSSION...
WARMER TEMPS EXPECTED TODAY WITH SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW
RETURNING. AFTER A BRIEF COOL DOWN TEMPS IN CENTRAL AND SE
SECTIONS WILL WARM BACK INTO THE MID/UPPER 90S WITH READINGS AOA
THE CENTURY MARK IN THE WEST. TEMPS ON SATURDAY MAY BE A FEW
DEGREES WARMER WITH VEERING LOW LEVEL FLOW AHEAD OF APCHG FRONT.
ALTHOUGH HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL BE MARGINAL...WILL CONTINUE WITH
HEAT ADVY AS IS FOR TODAY AND EXTEND IT INTO SATURDAY WITH THE HOT
TEMPS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE.

WEAK FRONT WILL BEGIN TO PUSH INTO THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT AND
CONTINUE SLOWLY SOUTHWARD ON SUNDAY. WILL CONTINUE WITH LOW POPS
IN THAT TIME FRAME AS FRONT PUSHES IN. PRECIP CHANCES WILL SPREAD
SOUTH INTO MONDAY AS FRONTAL BOUNDARY CONTINUES SWD. PRECIP
CHANCES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEK WITH NWLY UPPER FLOW
PATTERN DEVELOPING. BEST CHANCES EXPECTED AROUND MIDWEEK AS S/W
TROUGH DROPS SEWD FROM THE CENTRAL ROCKIES.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  98  74 101  74 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK        100  73 101  74 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX 100  74 101  77 /   0   0   0   0
GAGE OK          103  73 104  70 /   0   0  10  10
PONCA CITY OK     97  77 103  75 /   0   0   0  10
DURANT OK        100  75 102  75 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT SATURDAY FOR OKZ005>008-010>048-
     050>052.

TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT SATURDAY FOR TXZ083>090.

&&

$$

06/02




000
FXUS64 KOUN 250905
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
405 AM CDT FRI JUL 25 2014

.DISCUSSION...
WARMER TEMPS EXPECTED TODAY WITH SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW
RETURNING. AFTER A BRIEF COOL DOWN TEMPS IN CENTRAL AND SE
SECTIONS WILL WARM BACK INTO THE MID/UPPER 90S WITH READINGS AOA
THE CENTURY MARK IN THE WEST. TEMPS ON SATURDAY MAY BE A FEW
DEGREES WARMER WITH VEERING LOW LEVEL FLOW AHEAD OF APCHG FRONT.
ALTHOUGH HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL BE MARGINAL...WILL CONTINUE WITH
HEAT ADVY AS IS FOR TODAY AND EXTEND IT INTO SATURDAY WITH THE HOT
TEMPS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE.

WEAK FRONT WILL BEGIN TO PUSH INTO THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT AND
CONTINUE SLOWLY SOUTHWARD ON SUNDAY. WILL CONTINUE WITH LOW POPS
IN THAT TIME FRAME AS FRONT PUSHES IN. PRECIP CHANCES WILL SPREAD
SOUTH INTO MONDAY AS FRONTAL BOUNDARY CONTINUES SWD. PRECIP
CHANCES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEK WITH NWLY UPPER FLOW
PATTERN DEVELOPING. BEST CHANCES EXPECTED AROUND MIDWEEK AS S/W
TROUGH DROPS SEWD FROM THE CENTRAL ROCKIES.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  98  74 101  74 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK        100  73 101  74 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX 100  74 101  77 /   0   0   0   0
GAGE OK          103  73 104  70 /   0   0  10  10
PONCA CITY OK     97  77 103  75 /   0   0   0  10
DURANT OK        100  75 102  75 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT SATURDAY FOR OKZ005>008-010>048-
     050>052.

TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT SATURDAY FOR TXZ083>090.

&&

$$

06/02





000
FXUS64 KOUN 250351
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1051 PM CDT THU JUL 24 2014

.AVIATION...
25/06Z TAFS...VERY LITTLE CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS AVIATION FORECAST.
VFR CONDITIONS WITH GUSTY S/SW TOMORROW WITH DIURNAL BACKING AFTER
00Z.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  73  99  73 101 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         74 101  72 101 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  75 101  74 101 /   0   0   0   0
GAGE OK           73 103  73 104 /  10   0   0  10
PONCA CITY OK     75  99  76 103 /   0   0   0   0
DURANT OK         74  99  74 102 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR OKZ005>008-010>048-
     050>052.

TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR TXZ083>090.

&&

$$

25/11/11




000
FXUS64 KOUN 250351
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1051 PM CDT THU JUL 24 2014

.AVIATION...
25/06Z TAFS...VERY LITTLE CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS AVIATION FORECAST.
VFR CONDITIONS WITH GUSTY S/SW TOMORROW WITH DIURNAL BACKING AFTER
00Z.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  73  99  73 101 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         74 101  72 101 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  75 101  74 101 /   0   0   0   0
GAGE OK           73 103  73 104 /  10   0   0  10
PONCA CITY OK     75  99  76 103 /   0   0   0   0
DURANT OK         74  99  74 102 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR OKZ005>008-010>048-
     050>052.

TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR TXZ083>090.

&&

$$

25/11/11





000
FXUS64 KOUN 250242 AAA
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
942 PM CDT THU JUL 24 2014

.UPDATE...
THE FEW ISOLATED STORMS THAT OCCURRED IN NW OK LATE THIS
AFTN/EARLY EVENING HAVE DISSIPATED AND NO ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT
IS EXPECTED WITH THE LOSS OF SFC HEATING. MADE SOME MINOR TWEAKS
TO SHOW CURRENT TRENDS BUT OVERALL FORECAST LOOKS GOOD.

HEAT ADVISORY WAS EXPANDED INTO A FEW MORE COUNTIES ACROSS
NORTHERN OK EARLIER THIS EVENING TO BETTER COORDINATE WITH
NEIGHBORS AND WHERE FORECAST HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL BE AROUND THE
105 DEGREE RANGE FRIDAY.

UPDATES OUT SOON.

MAXWELL
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 643 PM CDT THU JUL 24 2014/

AVIATION...
25/00Z TAFS...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL WITH GUSTY S/SW WIND
AFTER 14Z.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 321 PM CDT THU JUL 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
PRIMARY FORECAST CONCERN IS PLACED ON HOT TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE
WEEKEND AND COOLER TEMPS AND PRECIP CHANCES NEXT WEEK.

CURRENTLY... TEMPS ARE MUCH COOLER THAN THIS TIME YESTERDAY... BUT
DPTS CONTINUE TO HANG IN THE UPPER 60S/LOWER 70S... WITH HEAT
INDICES HOVERING IN THE UPPER 90S/LOWER 100S THIS AFTN. WV ANALYSIS
SHOWS THE RIDGE AXIS ORIENTED FROM THE NRN GREAT PLAINS... SOUTHWARD
ALONG THE CENTRAL AND SRN HIGH PLAINS. THE COMBINATION OF A WEAK
SHORT WAVE AND A REGION OF SFC CONVERGENCE HAS RESULTED IN A CU
FIELD DEVELOPING ACROSS WRN OK TO THE TX ESCARPMENT. CURRENT (2015Z)
RADAR HAS A LONE UPDRAFT TRYING IN ROGER MILLS COUNTY. SO... WILL
NEED TO KEEP A CLOSE EYE AS MESOSCALE GUIDANCE SUPPORTS THIS
SCENARIO. NOT EXPECTING ANY SEVERE STORMS... BUT SOME GUSTY WINDS
MAY DEVELOP WITH ANY STOUT UPDRAFT.

FOR FRIDAY... KEPT THE CURRENT HEAT ADVISORY IN PLACE... AS
HUMIDITIES AND HIGHS WILL KEEP AFTN HEAT INDICES IN THE LOWER 100S
FOR MUCH OF THE REGION. INCLUDED NORTH CENTRAL OK BACK IN THE
ADVISORY AS HIGHS WILL CLIMB INTO THE 100S WITH HEAT INDICES NEARING
105 ONCE AGAIN. RH VALUES WILL DROP SLOWLY THROUGH THE WEEKEND...
BUT TEMPS WILL REMAIN HOT. HOWEVER... WILL HOLD OFF ON AN ADVISORY
FOR THE MOMENT AS HEAT INDICES WILL BE BORDERLINE ACROSS THE REGION.

FOR NEXT WEEK... A WEAK FRONT WILL START TO PUSH INTO NW OK LATE SAT
INTO SUN... KEPT LOW CHANCES GOING OVERNIGHT SAT THROUGH SUNDAY
ACROSS FAR NRN OK AS THE FRONT PUSHES IN. MID/LONG RANGE GUIDANCE
ATTEMPTS TO STALL OUT THE FRONT THROUGH MON... BEFORE A STRONGER
SHORT WAVE/FRONT COMBO SWINGS ACROSS THE REGION INTO WED. IN
RESPONSE... THERE WILL BE NEAR DAILY CHANCES FOR PRECIP... WITH A
COOL DOWN BY MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK. EXPECT HIGHS IN THE 80S BY
WED.

JTK

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  73  99  73 101 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         74 101  72 101 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  75 101  74 101 /   0   0   0   0
GAGE OK           73 103  73 104 /  20   0   0  10
PONCA CITY OK     75  99  76 103 /   0   0   0   0
DURANT OK         74  99  74 102 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR OKZ005>008-010>048-
     050>052.

TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR TXZ083>090.

&&

$$

25/11




000
FXUS64 KOUN 250242 AAA
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
942 PM CDT THU JUL 24 2014

.UPDATE...
THE FEW ISOLATED STORMS THAT OCCURRED IN NW OK LATE THIS
AFTN/EARLY EVENING HAVE DISSIPATED AND NO ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT
IS EXPECTED WITH THE LOSS OF SFC HEATING. MADE SOME MINOR TWEAKS
TO SHOW CURRENT TRENDS BUT OVERALL FORECAST LOOKS GOOD.

HEAT ADVISORY WAS EXPANDED INTO A FEW MORE COUNTIES ACROSS
NORTHERN OK EARLIER THIS EVENING TO BETTER COORDINATE WITH
NEIGHBORS AND WHERE FORECAST HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL BE AROUND THE
105 DEGREE RANGE FRIDAY.

UPDATES OUT SOON.

MAXWELL
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 643 PM CDT THU JUL 24 2014/

AVIATION...
25/00Z TAFS...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL WITH GUSTY S/SW WIND
AFTER 14Z.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 321 PM CDT THU JUL 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
PRIMARY FORECAST CONCERN IS PLACED ON HOT TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE
WEEKEND AND COOLER TEMPS AND PRECIP CHANCES NEXT WEEK.

CURRENTLY... TEMPS ARE MUCH COOLER THAN THIS TIME YESTERDAY... BUT
DPTS CONTINUE TO HANG IN THE UPPER 60S/LOWER 70S... WITH HEAT
INDICES HOVERING IN THE UPPER 90S/LOWER 100S THIS AFTN. WV ANALYSIS
SHOWS THE RIDGE AXIS ORIENTED FROM THE NRN GREAT PLAINS... SOUTHWARD
ALONG THE CENTRAL AND SRN HIGH PLAINS. THE COMBINATION OF A WEAK
SHORT WAVE AND A REGION OF SFC CONVERGENCE HAS RESULTED IN A CU
FIELD DEVELOPING ACROSS WRN OK TO THE TX ESCARPMENT. CURRENT (2015Z)
RADAR HAS A LONE UPDRAFT TRYING IN ROGER MILLS COUNTY. SO... WILL
NEED TO KEEP A CLOSE EYE AS MESOSCALE GUIDANCE SUPPORTS THIS
SCENARIO. NOT EXPECTING ANY SEVERE STORMS... BUT SOME GUSTY WINDS
MAY DEVELOP WITH ANY STOUT UPDRAFT.

FOR FRIDAY... KEPT THE CURRENT HEAT ADVISORY IN PLACE... AS
HUMIDITIES AND HIGHS WILL KEEP AFTN HEAT INDICES IN THE LOWER 100S
FOR MUCH OF THE REGION. INCLUDED NORTH CENTRAL OK BACK IN THE
ADVISORY AS HIGHS WILL CLIMB INTO THE 100S WITH HEAT INDICES NEARING
105 ONCE AGAIN. RH VALUES WILL DROP SLOWLY THROUGH THE WEEKEND...
BUT TEMPS WILL REMAIN HOT. HOWEVER... WILL HOLD OFF ON AN ADVISORY
FOR THE MOMENT AS HEAT INDICES WILL BE BORDERLINE ACROSS THE REGION.

FOR NEXT WEEK... A WEAK FRONT WILL START TO PUSH INTO NW OK LATE SAT
INTO SUN... KEPT LOW CHANCES GOING OVERNIGHT SAT THROUGH SUNDAY
ACROSS FAR NRN OK AS THE FRONT PUSHES IN. MID/LONG RANGE GUIDANCE
ATTEMPTS TO STALL OUT THE FRONT THROUGH MON... BEFORE A STRONGER
SHORT WAVE/FRONT COMBO SWINGS ACROSS THE REGION INTO WED. IN
RESPONSE... THERE WILL BE NEAR DAILY CHANCES FOR PRECIP... WITH A
COOL DOWN BY MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK. EXPECT HIGHS IN THE 80S BY
WED.

JTK

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  73  99  73 101 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         74 101  72 101 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  75 101  74 101 /   0   0   0   0
GAGE OK           73 103  73 104 /  20   0   0  10
PONCA CITY OK     75  99  76 103 /   0   0   0   0
DURANT OK         74  99  74 102 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR OKZ005>008-010>048-
     050>052.

TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR TXZ083>090.

&&

$$

25/11





000
FXUS64 KOUN 242343
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
643 PM CDT THU JUL 24 2014

.AVIATION...
25/00Z TAFS...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL WITH GUSTY S/SW WIND
AFTER 14Z.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 321 PM CDT THU JUL 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
PRIMARY FORECAST CONCERN IS PLACED ON HOT TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE
WEEKEND AND COOLER TEMPS AND PRECIP CHANCES NEXT WEEK.

CURRENTLY... TEMPS ARE MUCH COOLER THAN THIS TIME YESTERDAY... BUT
DPTS CONTINUE TO HANG IN THE UPPER 60S/LOWER 70S... WITH HEAT
INDICES HOVERING IN THE UPPER 90S/LOWER 100S THIS AFTN. WV ANALYSIS
SHOWS THE RIDGE AXIS ORIENTED FROM THE NRN GREAT PLAINS... SOUTHWARD
ALONG THE CENTRAL AND SRN HIGH PLAINS. THE COMBINATION OF A WEAK
SHORT WAVE AND A REGION OF SFC CONVERGENCE HAS RESULTED IN A CU
FIELD DEVELOPING ACROSS WRN OK TO THE TX ESCARPMENT. CURRENT (2015Z)
RADAR HAS A LONE UPDRAFT TRYING IN ROGER MILLS COUNTY. SO... WILL
NEED TO KEEP A CLOSE EYE AS MESOSCALE GUIDANCE SUPPORTS THIS
SCENARIO. NOT EXPECTING ANY SEVERE STORMS... BUT SOME GUSTY WINDS
MAY DEVELOP WITH ANY STOUT UPDRAFT.

FOR FRIDAY... KEPT THE CURRENT HEAT ADVISORY IN PLACE... AS
HUMIDITIES AND HIGHS WILL KEEP AFTN HEAT INDICES IN THE LOWER 100S
FOR MUCH OF THE REGION. INCLUDED NORTH CENTRAL OK BACK IN THE
ADVISORY AS HIGHS WILL CLIMB INTO THE 100S WITH HEAT INDICES NEARING
105 ONCE AGAIN. RH VALUES WILL DROP SLOWLY THROUGH THE WEEKEND...
BUT TEMPS WILL REMAIN HOT. HOWEVER... WILL HOLD OFF ON AN ADVISORY
FOR THE MOMENT AS HEAT INDICES WILL BE BORDERLINE ACROSS THE REGION.

FOR NEXT WEEK... A WEAK FRONT WILL START TO PUSH INTO NW OK LATE SAT
INTO SUN... KEPT LOW CHANCES GOING OVERNIGHT SAT THROUGH SUNDAY
ACROSS FAR NRN OK AS THE FRONT PUSHES IN. MID/LONG RANGE GUIDANCE
ATTEMPTS TO STALL OUT THE FRONT THROUGH MON... BEFORE A STRONGER
SHORT WAVE/FRONT COMBO SWINGS ACROSS THE REGION INTO WED. IN
RESPONSE... THERE WILL BE NEAR DAILY CHANCES FOR PRECIP... WITH A
COOL DOWN BY MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK. EXPECT HIGHS IN THE 80S BY
WED.

JTK

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  73  99  73 101 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         74 101  72 101 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  75 101  74 101 /   0   0   0   0
GAGE OK           73 103  73 104 /   0   0   0  10
PONCA CITY OK     75  99  76 103 /   0   0   0   0
DURANT OK         74  99  74 102 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR OKZ005>008-010>048-
     050>052.

TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR TXZ083>090.

&&

$$

25/11/11





000
FXUS64 KOUN 242343
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
643 PM CDT THU JUL 24 2014

.AVIATION...
25/00Z TAFS...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL WITH GUSTY S/SW WIND
AFTER 14Z.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 321 PM CDT THU JUL 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
PRIMARY FORECAST CONCERN IS PLACED ON HOT TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE
WEEKEND AND COOLER TEMPS AND PRECIP CHANCES NEXT WEEK.

CURRENTLY... TEMPS ARE MUCH COOLER THAN THIS TIME YESTERDAY... BUT
DPTS CONTINUE TO HANG IN THE UPPER 60S/LOWER 70S... WITH HEAT
INDICES HOVERING IN THE UPPER 90S/LOWER 100S THIS AFTN. WV ANALYSIS
SHOWS THE RIDGE AXIS ORIENTED FROM THE NRN GREAT PLAINS... SOUTHWARD
ALONG THE CENTRAL AND SRN HIGH PLAINS. THE COMBINATION OF A WEAK
SHORT WAVE AND A REGION OF SFC CONVERGENCE HAS RESULTED IN A CU
FIELD DEVELOPING ACROSS WRN OK TO THE TX ESCARPMENT. CURRENT (2015Z)
RADAR HAS A LONE UPDRAFT TRYING IN ROGER MILLS COUNTY. SO... WILL
NEED TO KEEP A CLOSE EYE AS MESOSCALE GUIDANCE SUPPORTS THIS
SCENARIO. NOT EXPECTING ANY SEVERE STORMS... BUT SOME GUSTY WINDS
MAY DEVELOP WITH ANY STOUT UPDRAFT.

FOR FRIDAY... KEPT THE CURRENT HEAT ADVISORY IN PLACE... AS
HUMIDITIES AND HIGHS WILL KEEP AFTN HEAT INDICES IN THE LOWER 100S
FOR MUCH OF THE REGION. INCLUDED NORTH CENTRAL OK BACK IN THE
ADVISORY AS HIGHS WILL CLIMB INTO THE 100S WITH HEAT INDICES NEARING
105 ONCE AGAIN. RH VALUES WILL DROP SLOWLY THROUGH THE WEEKEND...
BUT TEMPS WILL REMAIN HOT. HOWEVER... WILL HOLD OFF ON AN ADVISORY
FOR THE MOMENT AS HEAT INDICES WILL BE BORDERLINE ACROSS THE REGION.

FOR NEXT WEEK... A WEAK FRONT WILL START TO PUSH INTO NW OK LATE SAT
INTO SUN... KEPT LOW CHANCES GOING OVERNIGHT SAT THROUGH SUNDAY
ACROSS FAR NRN OK AS THE FRONT PUSHES IN. MID/LONG RANGE GUIDANCE
ATTEMPTS TO STALL OUT THE FRONT THROUGH MON... BEFORE A STRONGER
SHORT WAVE/FRONT COMBO SWINGS ACROSS THE REGION INTO WED. IN
RESPONSE... THERE WILL BE NEAR DAILY CHANCES FOR PRECIP... WITH A
COOL DOWN BY MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK. EXPECT HIGHS IN THE 80S BY
WED.

JTK

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  73  99  73 101 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         74 101  72 101 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  75 101  74 101 /   0   0   0   0
GAGE OK           73 103  73 104 /   0   0   0  10
PONCA CITY OK     75  99  76 103 /   0   0   0   0
DURANT OK         74  99  74 102 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR OKZ005>008-010>048-
     050>052.

TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR TXZ083>090.

&&

$$

25/11/11




000
FXUS64 KOUN 242021
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
321 PM CDT THU JUL 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...
PRIMARY FORECAST CONCERN IS PLACED ON HOT TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE
WEEKEND AND COOLER TEMPS AND PRECIP CHANCES NEXT WEEK.

CURRENTLY... TEMPS ARE MUCH COOLER THAN THIS TIME YESTERDAY... BUT
DPTS CONTINUE TO HANG IN THE UPPER 60S/LOWER 70S... WITH HEAT
INDICES HOVERING IN THE UPPER 90S/LOWER 100S THIS AFTN. WV ANALYSIS
SHOWS THE RIDGE AXIS ORIENTED FROM THE NRN GREAT PLAINS... SOUTHWARD
ALONG THE CENTRAL AND SRN HIGH PLAINS. THE COMBINATION OF A WEAK
SHORT WAVE AND A REGION OF SFC CONVERGENCE HAS RESULTED IN A CU
FIELD DEVELOPING ACROSS WRN OK TO THE TX ESCARPMENT. CURRENT (2015Z)
RADAR HAS A LONE UPDRAFT TRYING IN ROGER MILLS COUNTY. SO... WILL
NEED TO KEEP A CLOSE EYE AS MESOSCALE GUIDANCE SUPPORTS THIS
SCENARIO. NOT EXPECTING ANY SEVERE STORMS... BUT SOME GUSTY WINDS
MAY DEVELOP WITH ANY STOUT UPDRAFT.

FOR FRIDAY... KEPT THE CURRENT HEAT ADVISORY IN PLACE... AS
HUMIDITIES AND HIGHS WILL KEEP AFTN HEAT INDICES IN THE LOWER 100S
FOR MUCH OF THE REGION. INCLUDED NORTH CENTRAL OK BACK IN THE
ADVISORY AS HIGHS WILL CLIMB INTO THE 100S WITH HEAT INDICES NEARING
105 ONCE AGAIN. RH VALUES WILL DROP SLOWLY THROUGH THE WEEKEND...
BUT TEMPS WILL REMAIN HOT. HOWEVER... WILL HOLD OFF ON AN ADVISORY
FOR THE MOMENT AS HEAT INDICES WILL BE BORDERLINE ACROSS THE REGION.

FOR NEXT WEEK... A WEAK FRONT WILL START TO PUSH INTO NW OK LATE SAT
INTO SUN... KEPT LOW CHANCES GOING OVERNIGHT SAT THROUGH SUNDAY
ACROSS FAR NRN OK AS THE FRONT PUSHES IN. MID/LONG RANGE GUIDANCE
ATTEMPTS TO STALL OUT THE FRONT THROUGH MON... BEFORE A STRONGER
SHORT WAVE/FRONT COMBO SWINGS ACROSS THE REGION INTO WED. IN
RESPONSE... THERE WILL BE NEAR DAILY CHANCES FOR PRECIP... WITH A
COOL DOWN BY MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK. EXPECT HIGHS IN THE 80S BY
WED.

JTK

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  73  99  73 101 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         74 101  72 101 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  75 101  74 101 /   0   0   0   0
GAGE OK           73 103  73 104 /   0   0   0  10
PONCA CITY OK     75  99  76 103 /   0   0   0   0
DURANT OK         74  99  74 102 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR OKZ007-008-012>048-
     050>052.

TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR TXZ083>090.

&&

$$

26/04





000
FXUS64 KOUN 241746
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1246 PM CDT THU JUL 24 2014

.AVIATION...
ALTHOUGH SOME CU WILL BE DEVELOPING DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS...
ALL TERMAINALS SHOULD REMAIN UNDER VFR CONDITIONS. SOUTHERLY SFC
WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 611 AM CDT THU JUL 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
THE 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION FOLLOWS....

AVIATION...
PATCHES OF BR AND LOW CEILINGS WILL DISSIPATE BY MID-MORNING OVER
MOST OF OK AND N TX. IFR CONDITIONS IN SE OK AT SUNRISE WILL
SLOWLY IMPROVE THROUGH MVFR THROUGH THE MID-MORNING PERIOD. BY
AFTERNOON...ALL OF OK/N TX SHOULD BE WIDE-OPEN VFR. WINDS WILL
GRADUALLY TURN AROUND FROM E TO S...AND SPEEDS WILL REMAIN
GENERALLY LIGHT. SOMEWHAT STRONGER WINDS TOMORROW NIGHT WILL
REDUCE THE CHANCES OF BR/FG THEN.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 340 AM CDT THU JUL 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
HOT WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND...BUT THE OPPRESSIVE
HUMIDITY WILL ABATE SOMEWHAT OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
NEVERTHELESS...HEAT INDICES WILL AGAIN RISE TO AROUND 100 TO 105
DEGREES AT MANY LOCATIONS WITHIN OUR FORECAST AREA...ESPECIALLY
THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PARTS. THE HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN
EFFECT UNTIL TOMORROW EVENING.

A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO ARRIVE LATE IN THE WEEKEND...BRINGING
SOME MODEST RELIEF FROM THE HEAT. AS THE FRONT CONTINUES SOUTHWEST
INTO TEXAS...SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL RESUME OVER THE FRONT AROUND THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL PROBABLY SET UP A SITUATION SIMILAR
TO WHAT PRODUCED RECORD COOL MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES LAST WEEK.
MODELS ARE FAIRLY CONSISTENT IN PORTRAYING A WET...CLOUDY DAY NEXT
WEDNESDAY...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES AROUND 15 DEGREES F BELOW
AVERAGE.

A FEW SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE WEEKEND
FRONT AS IT MOVES SOUTHWEST ACROSS THE REGION...BUT WARM
TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL LIMIT COVERAGE AND INTENSITY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  95  74  99  75 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         98  74 101  74 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  97  75 100  75 /   0   0   0   0
GAGE OK           98  73 102  73 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     93  77  99  77 /   0   0   0   0
DURANT OK         97  75 102  76 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR OKZ014>019-021>048-
     050>052.

TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR TXZ083>090.

&&

$$

26/04/67





000
FXUS64 KOUN 241746
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1246 PM CDT THU JUL 24 2014

.AVIATION...
ALTHOUGH SOME CU WILL BE DEVELOPING DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS...
ALL TERMAINALS SHOULD REMAIN UNDER VFR CONDITIONS. SOUTHERLY SFC
WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 611 AM CDT THU JUL 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
THE 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION FOLLOWS....

AVIATION...
PATCHES OF BR AND LOW CEILINGS WILL DISSIPATE BY MID-MORNING OVER
MOST OF OK AND N TX. IFR CONDITIONS IN SE OK AT SUNRISE WILL
SLOWLY IMPROVE THROUGH MVFR THROUGH THE MID-MORNING PERIOD. BY
AFTERNOON...ALL OF OK/N TX SHOULD BE WIDE-OPEN VFR. WINDS WILL
GRADUALLY TURN AROUND FROM E TO S...AND SPEEDS WILL REMAIN
GENERALLY LIGHT. SOMEWHAT STRONGER WINDS TOMORROW NIGHT WILL
REDUCE THE CHANCES OF BR/FG THEN.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 340 AM CDT THU JUL 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
HOT WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND...BUT THE OPPRESSIVE
HUMIDITY WILL ABATE SOMEWHAT OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
NEVERTHELESS...HEAT INDICES WILL AGAIN RISE TO AROUND 100 TO 105
DEGREES AT MANY LOCATIONS WITHIN OUR FORECAST AREA...ESPECIALLY
THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PARTS. THE HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN
EFFECT UNTIL TOMORROW EVENING.

A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO ARRIVE LATE IN THE WEEKEND...BRINGING
SOME MODEST RELIEF FROM THE HEAT. AS THE FRONT CONTINUES SOUTHWEST
INTO TEXAS...SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL RESUME OVER THE FRONT AROUND THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL PROBABLY SET UP A SITUATION SIMILAR
TO WHAT PRODUCED RECORD COOL MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES LAST WEEK.
MODELS ARE FAIRLY CONSISTENT IN PORTRAYING A WET...CLOUDY DAY NEXT
WEDNESDAY...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES AROUND 15 DEGREES F BELOW
AVERAGE.

A FEW SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE WEEKEND
FRONT AS IT MOVES SOUTHWEST ACROSS THE REGION...BUT WARM
TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL LIMIT COVERAGE AND INTENSITY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  95  74  99  75 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         98  74 101  74 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  97  75 100  75 /   0   0   0   0
GAGE OK           98  73 102  73 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     93  77  99  77 /   0   0   0   0
DURANT OK         97  75 102  76 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR OKZ014>019-021>048-
     050>052.

TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR TXZ083>090.

&&

$$

26/04/67




000
FXUS64 KOUN 241111
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
611 AM CDT THU JUL 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...
THE 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION FOLLOWS....

&&

.AVIATION...
PATCHES OF BR AND LOW CEILINGS WILL DISSIPATE BY MID-MORNING OVER
MOST OF OK AND N TX. IFR CONDITIONS IN SE OK AT SUNRISE WILL
SLOWLY IMPROVE THROUGH MVFR THROUGH THE MID-MORNING PERIOD. BY
AFTERNOON...ALL OF OK/N TX SHOULD BE WIDE-OPEN VFR. WINDS WILL
GRADUALLY TURN AROUND FROM E TO S...AND SPEEDS WILL REMAIN
GENERALLY LIGHT. SOMEWHAT STRONGER WINDS TOMORROW NIGHT WILL
REDUCE THE CHANCES OF BR/FG THEN.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 340 AM CDT THU JUL 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
HOT WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND...BUT THE OPPRESSIVE
HUMIDITY WILL ABATE SOMEWHAT OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
NEVERTHELESS...HEAT INDICES WILL AGAIN RISE TO AROUND 100 TO 105
DEGREES AT MANY LOCATIONS WITHIN OUR FORECAST AREA...ESPECIALLY
THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PARTS. THE HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN
EFFECT UNTIL TOMORROW EVENING.

A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO ARRIVE LATE IN THE WEEKEND...BRINGING
SOME MODEST RELIEF FROM THE HEAT. AS THE FRONT CONTINUES SOUTHWEST
INTO TEXAS...SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL RESUME OVER THE FRONT AROUND THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL PROBABLY SET UP A SITUATION SIMILAR
TO WHAT PRODUCED RECORD COOL MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES LAST WEEK.
MODELS ARE FAIRLY CONSISTENT IN PORTRAYING A WET...CLOUDY DAY NEXT
WEDNESDAY...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES AROUND 15 DEGREES F BELOW
AVERAGE.

A FEW SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE WEEKEND
FRONT AS IT MOVES SOUTHWEST ACROSS THE REGION...BUT WARM
TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL LIMIT COVERAGE AND INTENSITY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  95  74  99  75 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         98  74 101  74 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  97  75 100  75 /   0   0   0   0
GAGE OK           98  73 102  73 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     93  77  99  77 /   0   0   0   0
DURANT OK         97  75 102  76 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR OKZ014>019-021>048-
     050>052.

TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR TXZ083>090.

&&

$$

30/23/23




000
FXUS64 KOUN 241111
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
611 AM CDT THU JUL 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...
THE 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION FOLLOWS....

&&

.AVIATION...
PATCHES OF BR AND LOW CEILINGS WILL DISSIPATE BY MID-MORNING OVER
MOST OF OK AND N TX. IFR CONDITIONS IN SE OK AT SUNRISE WILL
SLOWLY IMPROVE THROUGH MVFR THROUGH THE MID-MORNING PERIOD. BY
AFTERNOON...ALL OF OK/N TX SHOULD BE WIDE-OPEN VFR. WINDS WILL
GRADUALLY TURN AROUND FROM E TO S...AND SPEEDS WILL REMAIN
GENERALLY LIGHT. SOMEWHAT STRONGER WINDS TOMORROW NIGHT WILL
REDUCE THE CHANCES OF BR/FG THEN.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 340 AM CDT THU JUL 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
HOT WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND...BUT THE OPPRESSIVE
HUMIDITY WILL ABATE SOMEWHAT OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
NEVERTHELESS...HEAT INDICES WILL AGAIN RISE TO AROUND 100 TO 105
DEGREES AT MANY LOCATIONS WITHIN OUR FORECAST AREA...ESPECIALLY
THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PARTS. THE HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN
EFFECT UNTIL TOMORROW EVENING.

A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO ARRIVE LATE IN THE WEEKEND...BRINGING
SOME MODEST RELIEF FROM THE HEAT. AS THE FRONT CONTINUES SOUTHWEST
INTO TEXAS...SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL RESUME OVER THE FRONT AROUND THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL PROBABLY SET UP A SITUATION SIMILAR
TO WHAT PRODUCED RECORD COOL MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES LAST WEEK.
MODELS ARE FAIRLY CONSISTENT IN PORTRAYING A WET...CLOUDY DAY NEXT
WEDNESDAY...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES AROUND 15 DEGREES F BELOW
AVERAGE.

A FEW SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE WEEKEND
FRONT AS IT MOVES SOUTHWEST ACROSS THE REGION...BUT WARM
TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL LIMIT COVERAGE AND INTENSITY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  95  74  99  75 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         98  74 101  74 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  97  75 100  75 /   0   0   0   0
GAGE OK           98  73 102  73 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     93  77  99  77 /   0   0   0   0
DURANT OK         97  75 102  76 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR OKZ014>019-021>048-
     050>052.

TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR TXZ083>090.

&&

$$

30/23/23





000
FXUS64 KOUN 240840
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
340 AM CDT THU JUL 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...
HOT WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND...BUT THE OPPRESSIVE
HUMIDITY WILL ABATE SOMEWHAT OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
NEVERTHELESS...HEAT INDICES WILL AGAIN RISE TO AROUND 100 TO 105
DEGREES AT MANY LOCATIONS WITHIN OUR FORECAST AREA...ESPECIALLY
THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PARTS. THE HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN
EFFECT UNTIL TOMORROW EVENING.

A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO ARRIVE LATE IN THE WEEKEND...BRINGING
SOME MODEST RELIEF FROM THE HEAT. AS THE FRONT CONTINUES SOUTHWEST
INTO TEXAS...SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL RESUME OVER THE FRONT AROUND THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL PROBABLY SET UP A SITUATION SIMILAR
TO WHAT PRODUCED RECORD COOL MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES LAST WEEK.
MODELS ARE FAIRLY CONSISTENT IN PORTRAYING A WET...CLOUDY DAY NEXT
WEDNESDAY...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES AROUND 15 DEGREES F BELOW
AVERAGE.

A FEW SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE WEEKENDFRONT
AS IT MOVES SOUTHWEST ACROSS THE REGION...BUT WARM TEMPERATURES
ALOFT WILL LIMIT COVERAGE AND INTENSITY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  95  74  99  75 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         98  74 101  74 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  97  75 100  75 /   0   0   0   0
GAGE OK           98  73 102  73 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     93  77  99  77 /   0   0   0   0
DURANT OK         97  75 102  76 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR OKZ014>019-021>048-
     050>052.

TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR TXZ083>090.

&&

$$

30/23




000
FXUS64 KOUN 240840
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
340 AM CDT THU JUL 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...
HOT WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND...BUT THE OPPRESSIVE
HUMIDITY WILL ABATE SOMEWHAT OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
NEVERTHELESS...HEAT INDICES WILL AGAIN RISE TO AROUND 100 TO 105
DEGREES AT MANY LOCATIONS WITHIN OUR FORECAST AREA...ESPECIALLY
THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PARTS. THE HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN
EFFECT UNTIL TOMORROW EVENING.

A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO ARRIVE LATE IN THE WEEKEND...BRINGING
SOME MODEST RELIEF FROM THE HEAT. AS THE FRONT CONTINUES SOUTHWEST
INTO TEXAS...SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL RESUME OVER THE FRONT AROUND THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL PROBABLY SET UP A SITUATION SIMILAR
TO WHAT PRODUCED RECORD COOL MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES LAST WEEK.
MODELS ARE FAIRLY CONSISTENT IN PORTRAYING A WET...CLOUDY DAY NEXT
WEDNESDAY...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES AROUND 15 DEGREES F BELOW
AVERAGE.

A FEW SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE WEEKENDFRONT
AS IT MOVES SOUTHWEST ACROSS THE REGION...BUT WARM TEMPERATURES
ALOFT WILL LIMIT COVERAGE AND INTENSITY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  95  74  99  75 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         98  74 101  74 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  97  75 100  75 /   0   0   0   0
GAGE OK           98  73 102  73 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     93  77  99  77 /   0   0   0   0
DURANT OK         97  75 102  76 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR OKZ014>019-021>048-
     050>052.

TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR TXZ083>090.

&&

$$

30/23





000
FXUS64 KOUN 240452
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1152 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2014

.AVIATION...
06Z TAFS... STORMS HAVE ENDED FOR THE TAF SITES FOR TONIGHT. VFR
CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD WITH SOME MID AND HIGH
LEVEL CLOUDS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 931 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2014/

UPDATE...
MODIFIED POPS TO ACCOUNT FOR CURRENT ACTIVITY WITH NO OTHER STORMS
EXPECTED TO FORM OVERNIGHT. ALTHOUGH THE EDGE WILL BE TAKEN OFF OF
THE HOT TEMPERATURES ACROSS AREAS NEAR AND EAST OF
I-35...HUMIDITIES WILL STILL MAKE IT A STICKY AFTERNOON TOMORROW.
HEAT ADVISORY WAS REMOVED FROM NORTH-CENTRAL PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA
FOR TOMORROW AND WILL LIKELY BE ADDED BACK FOR FRIDAY INTO THE
WEEKEND. TYPICAL OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS HEAT WILL CONTINUE UNTIL
DECENT COOL DOWN NEXT WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  73  96  76 104 /  10   0   0  10
HOBART OK         74 100  74 105 /  10   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  75 101  76 106 /  40   0   0   0
GAGE OK           71 100  76 105 /  10   0   0  10
PONCA CITY OK     73  92  77 103 /  10   0   0  10
DURANT OK         75 100  74 104 /  70  10   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR OKZ014>019-021>048-
     050>052.

TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR TXZ083>090.

&&

$$

11/25/25





000
FXUS64 KOUN 240231
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
931 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2014

.UPDATE...
MODIFIED POPS TO ACCOUNT FOR CURRENT ACTIVITY WITH NO OTHER STORMS
EXPECTED TO FORM OVERNIGHT. ALTHOUGH THE EDGE WILL BE TAKEN OFF OF
THE HOT TEMPERATURES ACROSS AREAS NEAR AND EAST OF
I-35...HUMIDITIES WILL STILL MAKE IT A STICKY AFTERNOON TOMORROW.
HEAT ADVISORY WAS REMOVED FROM NORTH-CENTRAL PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA
FOR TOMORROW AND WILL LIKELY BE ADDED BACK FOR FRIDAY INTO THE
WEEKEND. TYPICAL OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS HEAT WILL CONTINUE UNTIL
DECENT COOL DOWN NEXT WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  73  96  76 104 /  10   0   0  10
HOBART OK         74 100  74 105 /  10   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  75 101  76 106 /  40   0   0   0
GAGE OK           71 100  76 105 /  10   0   0  10
PONCA CITY OK     73  92  77 103 /  10   0   0  10
DURANT OK         75 100  74 104 /  70  10   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR OKZ014>019-021>048-
     050>052.

TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR TXZ083>090.

&&

$$

11/25




000
FXUS64 KOUN 240231
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
931 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2014

.UPDATE...
MODIFIED POPS TO ACCOUNT FOR CURRENT ACTIVITY WITH NO OTHER STORMS
EXPECTED TO FORM OVERNIGHT. ALTHOUGH THE EDGE WILL BE TAKEN OFF OF
THE HOT TEMPERATURES ACROSS AREAS NEAR AND EAST OF
I-35...HUMIDITIES WILL STILL MAKE IT A STICKY AFTERNOON TOMORROW.
HEAT ADVISORY WAS REMOVED FROM NORTH-CENTRAL PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA
FOR TOMORROW AND WILL LIKELY BE ADDED BACK FOR FRIDAY INTO THE
WEEKEND. TYPICAL OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS HEAT WILL CONTINUE UNTIL
DECENT COOL DOWN NEXT WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  73  96  76 104 /  10   0   0  10
HOBART OK         74 100  74 105 /  10   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  75 101  76 106 /  40   0   0   0
GAGE OK           71 100  76 105 /  10   0   0  10
PONCA CITY OK     73  92  77 103 /  10   0   0  10
DURANT OK         75 100  74 104 /  70  10   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR OKZ014>019-021>048-
     050>052.

TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR TXZ083>090.

&&

$$

11/25





000
FXUS64 KOUN 232328
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
628 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2014

.AVIATION...
0Z TAFS... VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.
ISOLATED STORMS COULD AFFECT SOME OF THE TAF SITES THIS EVENING...
BUT MOST OF THE RAIN/STORMS EXPECTED TO REMAIN EAST AND SOUTH OF
THE TAF SITES. GUSTY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR ANY OF THE
STORMS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 406 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...
TWO FORECAST CONCERNS... FIRST... THE COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS
CURRENTLY DIVING S/SW ACROSS ERN OK. SECOND... THE HEAT CONTINUES.

CURRENTLY... A COMPLEX OF STORMS CONTINUES TO DIVE SOUTH ACROSS ERN
OK. ALONG THE BOWING SEGMENT OF THIS LINE... THE NWS IN TULSA
CONTINUES TO RECEIVE REPORTS OF DOWN TREES AND 70 MPH WIND GUSTS.
MESOSCALE GUIDANCE... ARW/NMM/HRRR/RAP... THE WHOLE GANG... CONTINUE
TO TURN THIS CONVECTION SW THROUGH THE EVENING. HAVE NO QUALMS WITH
THE GENERAL SOLUTION... GIVEN THE LOCATION OF THE H500 RIDGE AND HOW
CONVECTION CONTINUES TO EVOLVE ALONG THE SFC TROUGH/FRONT MOVING
SOUTH ACROSS OK/AR OZARKS. CONVECTION WILL BEGIN TO SLOWLY BUILD
WEST ALONG THE FRONT THIS AFTN... DEVELOPING INTO A REGION OF HIGHER
THETA E AIR/INSTABILITY... SUPPORTED BY SFC DEW POINTS IN THE MID
70S ACROSS S/SERN OK. THE BEST CHCS FOR CONVECTION WILL EXIST
ALONG/EAST OF I-35 AND ALONG/SOUTH OF I-40 LATE THIS AFTN AND
EVENING. WITH REGARDS TO IMPACTS... DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL BE THE
PRIMARY CONCERN GIVEN STEEP LOW LVL LAPSE RATES... 8-10 C/KM AND SFC-
600MB THETA E DIFFERENTIALS IN THE 30 K RANGE. HAIL... NICKEL TO QTR
SIZE WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE EVENING.

TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN HOT FOR TOMORROW... HOWEVER... THE FRONTAL
PASSAGE TONIGHT WILL HAVE A SMALL IMPACT. DPTS WILL IMPROVE
SLIGHTLY... BUT HEAT INDICES WILL HOLD IN THE UPPER 90S/LOWER 100S.
WITH THAT SAID... DECIDED TO EXTEND THE ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL... WRN
AND SRN OK... AND WRN N TX THROUGH 00Z SAT (7PM CDT FRI). FOR THE
MOMENT... REMOVED COUNTIES ACROSS N CENTRAL OK FROM THE ADVISORY AS
HEAT INDICES TMRW WILL ONLY REACH THE MID/UPPER 90S. HOWEVER... THEY
WILL MORE THAN LIKELY NEED TO BE ADDED BACK IN FOR FRIDAY. HIGH
TEMPS ON FRIDAY WILL TOP IN THE LOW/MID 100S FOR MUCH OF THE REGION.

FOR THE WEEKEND... TEMPS REMAIN HOT... BUT A REPRIEVE IS ON TAP FOR
LATE IN THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY
SWINGING SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE REGION WILL BRING HIGHS IN THE
80S/90S AND A CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION EARLY NEXT WEEK.

JTK

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  72  96  76 104 /  20   0   0  10
HOBART OK         73 100  74 105 /  10   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  74 101  76 106 /  20   0   0   0
GAGE OK           70 100  76 105 /  10   0   0  10
PONCA CITY OK     72  92  77 103 /  10   0   0  10
DURANT OK         74 100  74 104 /  40  10   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR OKZ014>019-021>048-
     050>052.

TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR TXZ083>090.

&&

$$

11/25/25




000
FXUS64 KOUN 232328
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
628 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2014

.AVIATION...
0Z TAFS... VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.
ISOLATED STORMS COULD AFFECT SOME OF THE TAF SITES THIS EVENING...
BUT MOST OF THE RAIN/STORMS EXPECTED TO REMAIN EAST AND SOUTH OF
THE TAF SITES. GUSTY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR ANY OF THE
STORMS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 406 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...
TWO FORECAST CONCERNS... FIRST... THE COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS
CURRENTLY DIVING S/SW ACROSS ERN OK. SECOND... THE HEAT CONTINUES.

CURRENTLY... A COMPLEX OF STORMS CONTINUES TO DIVE SOUTH ACROSS ERN
OK. ALONG THE BOWING SEGMENT OF THIS LINE... THE NWS IN TULSA
CONTINUES TO RECEIVE REPORTS OF DOWN TREES AND 70 MPH WIND GUSTS.
MESOSCALE GUIDANCE... ARW/NMM/HRRR/RAP... THE WHOLE GANG... CONTINUE
TO TURN THIS CONVECTION SW THROUGH THE EVENING. HAVE NO QUALMS WITH
THE GENERAL SOLUTION... GIVEN THE LOCATION OF THE H500 RIDGE AND HOW
CONVECTION CONTINUES TO EVOLVE ALONG THE SFC TROUGH/FRONT MOVING
SOUTH ACROSS OK/AR OZARKS. CONVECTION WILL BEGIN TO SLOWLY BUILD
WEST ALONG THE FRONT THIS AFTN... DEVELOPING INTO A REGION OF HIGHER
THETA E AIR/INSTABILITY... SUPPORTED BY SFC DEW POINTS IN THE MID
70S ACROSS S/SERN OK. THE BEST CHCS FOR CONVECTION WILL EXIST
ALONG/EAST OF I-35 AND ALONG/SOUTH OF I-40 LATE THIS AFTN AND
EVENING. WITH REGARDS TO IMPACTS... DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL BE THE
PRIMARY CONCERN GIVEN STEEP LOW LVL LAPSE RATES... 8-10 C/KM AND SFC-
600MB THETA E DIFFERENTIALS IN THE 30 K RANGE. HAIL... NICKEL TO QTR
SIZE WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE EVENING.

TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN HOT FOR TOMORROW... HOWEVER... THE FRONTAL
PASSAGE TONIGHT WILL HAVE A SMALL IMPACT. DPTS WILL IMPROVE
SLIGHTLY... BUT HEAT INDICES WILL HOLD IN THE UPPER 90S/LOWER 100S.
WITH THAT SAID... DECIDED TO EXTEND THE ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL... WRN
AND SRN OK... AND WRN N TX THROUGH 00Z SAT (7PM CDT FRI). FOR THE
MOMENT... REMOVED COUNTIES ACROSS N CENTRAL OK FROM THE ADVISORY AS
HEAT INDICES TMRW WILL ONLY REACH THE MID/UPPER 90S. HOWEVER... THEY
WILL MORE THAN LIKELY NEED TO BE ADDED BACK IN FOR FRIDAY. HIGH
TEMPS ON FRIDAY WILL TOP IN THE LOW/MID 100S FOR MUCH OF THE REGION.

FOR THE WEEKEND... TEMPS REMAIN HOT... BUT A REPRIEVE IS ON TAP FOR
LATE IN THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY
SWINGING SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE REGION WILL BRING HIGHS IN THE
80S/90S AND A CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION EARLY NEXT WEEK.

JTK

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  72  96  76 104 /  20   0   0  10
HOBART OK         73 100  74 105 /  10   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  74 101  76 106 /  20   0   0   0
GAGE OK           70 100  76 105 /  10   0   0  10
PONCA CITY OK     72  92  77 103 /  10   0   0  10
DURANT OK         74 100  74 104 /  40  10   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR OKZ014>019-021>048-
     050>052.

TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR TXZ083>090.

&&

$$

11/25/25





000
FXUS64 KOUN 232106
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
406 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2014

.DISCUSSION...
TWO FORECAST CONCERNS... FIRST... THE COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS
CURRENTLY DIVING S/SW ACROSS ERN OK. SECOND... THE HEAT CONTINUES.

CURRENTLY... A COMPLEX OF STORMS CONTINUES TO DIVE SOUTH ACROSS ERN
OK. ALONG THE BOWING SEGMENT OF THIS LINE... THE NWS IN TULSA
CONTINUES TO RECEIVE REPORTS OF DOWN TREES AND 70 MPH WIND GUSTS.
MESOSCALE GUIDANCE... ARW/NMM/HRRR/RAP... THE WHOLE GANG... CONTINUE
TO TURN THIS CONVECTION SW THROUGH THE EVENING. HAVE NO QUALMS WITH
THE GENERAL SOLUTION... GIVEN THE LOCATION OF THE H500 RIDGE AND HOW
CONVECTION CONTINUES TO EVOLVE ALONG THE SFC TROUGH/FRONT MOVING
SOUTH ACROSS OK/AR OZARKS. CONVECTION WILL BEGIN TO SLOWLY BUILD
WEST ALONG THE FRONT THIS AFTN... DEVELOPING INTO A REGION OF HIGHER
THETA E AIR/INSTABILITY... SUPPORTED BY SFC DEW POINTS IN THE MID
70S ACROSS S/SERN OK. THE BEST CHCS FOR CONVECTION WILL EXIST
ALONG/EAST OF I-35 AND ALONG/SOUTH OF I-40 LATE THIS AFTN AND
EVENING. WITH REGARDS TO IMPACTS... DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL BE THE
PRIMARY CONCERN GIVEN STEEP LOW LVL LAPSE RATES... 8-10 C/KM AND SFC-
600MB THETA E DIFFERENTIALS IN THE 30 K RANGE. HAIL... NICKEL TO QTR
SIZE WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE EVENING.

TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN HOT FOR TOMORROW... HOWEVER... THE FRONTAL
PASSAGE TONIGHT WILL HAVE A SMALL IMPACT. DPTS WILL IMPROVE
SLIGHTLY... BUT HEAT INDICES WILL HOLD IN THE UPPER 90S/LOWER 100S.
WITH THAT SAID... DECIDED TO EXTEND THE ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL... WRN
AND SRN OK... AND WRN N TX THROUGH 00Z SAT (7PM CDT FRI). FOR THE
MOMENT... REMOVED COUNTIES ACROSS N CENTRAL OK FROM THE ADVISORY AS
HEAT INDICES TMRW WILL ONLY REACH THE MID/UPPER 90S. HOWEVER... THEY
WILL MORE THAN LIKELY NEED TO BE ADDED BACK IN FOR FRIDAY. HIGH
TEMPS ON FRIDAY WILL TOP IN THE LOW/MID 100S FOR MUCH OF THE REGION.

FOR THE WEEKEND... TEMPS REMAIN HOT... BUT A REPRIEVE IS ON TAP FOR
LATE IN THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY
SWINGING SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE REGION WILL BRING HIGHS IN THE
80S/90S AND A CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION EARLY NEXT WEEK.

JTK

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  72  96  76 104 /  20   0   0  10
HOBART OK         73 100  74 105 /  10   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  74 101  76 106 /  20   0   0   0
GAGE OK           70 100  76 105 /  10   0   0  10
PONCA CITY OK     72  92  77 103 /  10   0   0  10
DURANT OK         74 100  74 104 /  40  10   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR OKZ014>019-021>048-
     050>052.

TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR TXZ083>090.

&&

$$

26/04





000
FXUS64 KOUN 232106
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
406 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2014

.DISCUSSION...
TWO FORECAST CONCERNS... FIRST... THE COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS
CURRENTLY DIVING S/SW ACROSS ERN OK. SECOND... THE HEAT CONTINUES.

CURRENTLY... A COMPLEX OF STORMS CONTINUES TO DIVE SOUTH ACROSS ERN
OK. ALONG THE BOWING SEGMENT OF THIS LINE... THE NWS IN TULSA
CONTINUES TO RECEIVE REPORTS OF DOWN TREES AND 70 MPH WIND GUSTS.
MESOSCALE GUIDANCE... ARW/NMM/HRRR/RAP... THE WHOLE GANG... CONTINUE
TO TURN THIS CONVECTION SW THROUGH THE EVENING. HAVE NO QUALMS WITH
THE GENERAL SOLUTION... GIVEN THE LOCATION OF THE H500 RIDGE AND HOW
CONVECTION CONTINUES TO EVOLVE ALONG THE SFC TROUGH/FRONT MOVING
SOUTH ACROSS OK/AR OZARKS. CONVECTION WILL BEGIN TO SLOWLY BUILD
WEST ALONG THE FRONT THIS AFTN... DEVELOPING INTO A REGION OF HIGHER
THETA E AIR/INSTABILITY... SUPPORTED BY SFC DEW POINTS IN THE MID
70S ACROSS S/SERN OK. THE BEST CHCS FOR CONVECTION WILL EXIST
ALONG/EAST OF I-35 AND ALONG/SOUTH OF I-40 LATE THIS AFTN AND
EVENING. WITH REGARDS TO IMPACTS... DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL BE THE
PRIMARY CONCERN GIVEN STEEP LOW LVL LAPSE RATES... 8-10 C/KM AND SFC-
600MB THETA E DIFFERENTIALS IN THE 30 K RANGE. HAIL... NICKEL TO QTR
SIZE WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE EVENING.

TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN HOT FOR TOMORROW... HOWEVER... THE FRONTAL
PASSAGE TONIGHT WILL HAVE A SMALL IMPACT. DPTS WILL IMPROVE
SLIGHTLY... BUT HEAT INDICES WILL HOLD IN THE UPPER 90S/LOWER 100S.
WITH THAT SAID... DECIDED TO EXTEND THE ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL... WRN
AND SRN OK... AND WRN N TX THROUGH 00Z SAT (7PM CDT FRI). FOR THE
MOMENT... REMOVED COUNTIES ACROSS N CENTRAL OK FROM THE ADVISORY AS
HEAT INDICES TMRW WILL ONLY REACH THE MID/UPPER 90S. HOWEVER... THEY
WILL MORE THAN LIKELY NEED TO BE ADDED BACK IN FOR FRIDAY. HIGH
TEMPS ON FRIDAY WILL TOP IN THE LOW/MID 100S FOR MUCH OF THE REGION.

FOR THE WEEKEND... TEMPS REMAIN HOT... BUT A REPRIEVE IS ON TAP FOR
LATE IN THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY
SWINGING SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE REGION WILL BRING HIGHS IN THE
80S/90S AND A CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION EARLY NEXT WEEK.

JTK

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  72  96  76 104 /  20   0   0  10
HOBART OK         73 100  74 105 /  10   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  74 101  76 106 /  20   0   0   0
GAGE OK           70 100  76 105 /  10   0   0  10
PONCA CITY OK     72  92  77 103 /  10   0   0  10
DURANT OK         74 100  74 104 /  40  10   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR OKZ014>019-021>048-
     050>052.

TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR TXZ083>090.

&&

$$

26/04




000
FXUS64 KOUN 231758
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1258 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2014

.AVIATION...18Z TAF ISSUANCE
ALL TERMINALS WILL REMAIN IN VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD.
LOW CONFIDENCE THAT TSRA MAY BREAK OUT ACROSS THE CENTRAL ONE
THIRD OF OKLAHOMA... WHICH COULD AFFECT THE PNC, OKC, AND OUN
TERMINALS. A WEAK COLD FRONT PASSAGE IS EXPECTED TO KEEP WINDS
GENERALLY LIGHT AND VARIABLE.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1214 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2014/

UPDATE...
HAVE UPDATED THE FORECAST TO INCREASE POPS IN THE EAST AND
EXPANDED POPS FARTHER WEST. STORM COMPLEX IS MOVING FROM
SOUTHEAST KANSAS INTO NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA. ALTHOUGH THE SPECIFICS
VARY... THERE IS A CONSISTENT SIGNAL OF STORMS MOVING
SOUTH/SOUTHWEST FROM EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS INTO
OUR SOUTHEASTERN ZONES... AND SOME SIGNAL OF A DEVELOPMENT INTO A
COMPLEX AS THE STORMS MOVE SOUTHWEST. WITH THIS... THE RISK OF
SEVERE WINDS /AND A SECONDARY THREAT OF SEVERE HAIL/ HAS
INCREASED. UPDATED FORECAST SHOULD ALREADY BE OUT.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 617 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...
THE 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION FOLLOWS....

AVIATION...
PATCHES OF BR...AND ISOLATED AREAS OF FG...WILL DISSIPATE WITHIN
A FEW HOURS AFTER SUNRISE. THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THERE WILL
BE A POSSIBILITY OF SCT TSRA...MAINLY E OF A LINE FROM KPNC TO
KSPS. OTHERWISE...ONLY LIGHT WINDS AND VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH THE PERIOD.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 419 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...
HOT AND HUMID WEATHER WILL CONTINUE TODAY...AND WE WILL RETAIN THE
EXISTING HEAT ADVISORY...WHICH CURRENTLY EXPIRES AT 7 PM THIS
EVENING. TOMORROW AND FRIDAY WILL HAVE SLIGHTLY HIGHER
TEMPERATURES...BUT LOWER DEW POINTS...THAN TODAY. CONDITIONS WILL
BE MARGINAL FOR A CONTINUED HEAT ADVISORY TOMORROW...BUT AFTERNOON
HEAT INDICES WILL BE WELL WITHIN ADVISORY CRITERIA ON FRIDAY.
HOWEVER...WE MAY NOT MEET THE 48-HOUR PERSISTENCE CRITERIA ON
FRIDAY IF THURSDAY IS COOLER THAN EXPECTED. WILL DEFER TO LATER
SHIFTS TO DECIDE ON WHETHER AN EXTENSION TO THE HEAT ADVISORY IS
APPROPRIATE.

A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHWEST INTO OKLAHOMA
TODAY...BRINGING A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR STORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT. ANY
STORMS THAT DO FORM WILL LIKELY BE NEAR OR SOUTHEAST OF I-44.

AS MENTIONED ABOVE...FRIDAY WILL BE QUITE HOT AS SOUTHWEST LOW-
LEVEL FLOW BECOMES ESTABLISHED OVER THE REGION...IN ADVANCE OF A
DEVELOPING STORM SYSTEM TO OUR WEST AND NORTHWEST.

A STRONGER FRONT WILL ARRIVE LATE IN THE WEEKEND...BRINGING A
BREAK FROM THE HEAT...AND ANOTHER CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS. MODELS SUGGEST THAT A FAIRLY HIGH CHANCE
FOR RAIN WILL ARRIVE AROUND THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...BUT THAT IS
BEYOND THE RANGE OF THIS FORECAST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  95  72  96  76 /  20  10   0   0
HOBART OK         99  72 100  74 /  10  10   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  98  74 100  76 /  10  10   0   0
GAGE OK           98  70 100  76 /  10  10   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     94  72  92  77 /  20  10   0   0
DURANT OK         96  73 100  74 /  40  20  10   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR OKZ006>008-011>031-
     033>042-044>047-050-051.

TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR TXZ083>090.

&&

$$

26/04/67





000
FXUS64 KOUN 231758
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1258 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2014

.AVIATION...18Z TAF ISSUANCE
ALL TERMINALS WILL REMAIN IN VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD.
LOW CONFIDENCE THAT TSRA MAY BREAK OUT ACROSS THE CENTRAL ONE
THIRD OF OKLAHOMA... WHICH COULD AFFECT THE PNC, OKC, AND OUN
TERMINALS. A WEAK COLD FRONT PASSAGE IS EXPECTED TO KEEP WINDS
GENERALLY LIGHT AND VARIABLE.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1214 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2014/

UPDATE...
HAVE UPDATED THE FORECAST TO INCREASE POPS IN THE EAST AND
EXPANDED POPS FARTHER WEST. STORM COMPLEX IS MOVING FROM
SOUTHEAST KANSAS INTO NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA. ALTHOUGH THE SPECIFICS
VARY... THERE IS A CONSISTENT SIGNAL OF STORMS MOVING
SOUTH/SOUTHWEST FROM EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS INTO
OUR SOUTHEASTERN ZONES... AND SOME SIGNAL OF A DEVELOPMENT INTO A
COMPLEX AS THE STORMS MOVE SOUTHWEST. WITH THIS... THE RISK OF
SEVERE WINDS /AND A SECONDARY THREAT OF SEVERE HAIL/ HAS
INCREASED. UPDATED FORECAST SHOULD ALREADY BE OUT.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 617 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...
THE 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION FOLLOWS....

AVIATION...
PATCHES OF BR...AND ISOLATED AREAS OF FG...WILL DISSIPATE WITHIN
A FEW HOURS AFTER SUNRISE. THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THERE WILL
BE A POSSIBILITY OF SCT TSRA...MAINLY E OF A LINE FROM KPNC TO
KSPS. OTHERWISE...ONLY LIGHT WINDS AND VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH THE PERIOD.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 419 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...
HOT AND HUMID WEATHER WILL CONTINUE TODAY...AND WE WILL RETAIN THE
EXISTING HEAT ADVISORY...WHICH CURRENTLY EXPIRES AT 7 PM THIS
EVENING. TOMORROW AND FRIDAY WILL HAVE SLIGHTLY HIGHER
TEMPERATURES...BUT LOWER DEW POINTS...THAN TODAY. CONDITIONS WILL
BE MARGINAL FOR A CONTINUED HEAT ADVISORY TOMORROW...BUT AFTERNOON
HEAT INDICES WILL BE WELL WITHIN ADVISORY CRITERIA ON FRIDAY.
HOWEVER...WE MAY NOT MEET THE 48-HOUR PERSISTENCE CRITERIA ON
FRIDAY IF THURSDAY IS COOLER THAN EXPECTED. WILL DEFER TO LATER
SHIFTS TO DECIDE ON WHETHER AN EXTENSION TO THE HEAT ADVISORY IS
APPROPRIATE.

A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHWEST INTO OKLAHOMA
TODAY...BRINGING A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR STORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT. ANY
STORMS THAT DO FORM WILL LIKELY BE NEAR OR SOUTHEAST OF I-44.

AS MENTIONED ABOVE...FRIDAY WILL BE QUITE HOT AS SOUTHWEST LOW-
LEVEL FLOW BECOMES ESTABLISHED OVER THE REGION...IN ADVANCE OF A
DEVELOPING STORM SYSTEM TO OUR WEST AND NORTHWEST.

A STRONGER FRONT WILL ARRIVE LATE IN THE WEEKEND...BRINGING A
BREAK FROM THE HEAT...AND ANOTHER CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS. MODELS SUGGEST THAT A FAIRLY HIGH CHANCE
FOR RAIN WILL ARRIVE AROUND THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...BUT THAT IS
BEYOND THE RANGE OF THIS FORECAST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  95  72  96  76 /  20  10   0   0
HOBART OK         99  72 100  74 /  10  10   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  98  74 100  76 /  10  10   0   0
GAGE OK           98  70 100  76 /  10  10   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     94  72  92  77 /  20  10   0   0
DURANT OK         96  73 100  74 /  40  20  10   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR OKZ006>008-011>031-
     033>042-044>047-050-051.

TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR TXZ083>090.

&&

$$

26/04/67




000
FXUS64 KOUN 231714
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1214 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2014

.UPDATE...
HAVE UPDATED THE FORECAST TO INCREASE POPS IN THE EAST AND
EXPANDED POPS FARTHER WEST. STORM COMPLEX IS MOVING FROM
SOUTHEAST KANSAS INTO NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA. ALTHOUGH THE SPECIFICS
VARY... THERE IS A CONSISTENT SIGNAL OF STORMS MOVING
SOUTH/SOUTHWEST FROM EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS INTO
OUR SOUTHEASTERN ZONES... AND SOME SIGNAL OF A DEVELOPMENT INTO A
COMPLEX AS THE STORMS MOVE SOUTHWEST. WITH THIS... THE RISK OF
SEVERE WINDS /AND A SECONDARY THREAT OF SEVERE HAIL/ HAS
INCREASED. UPDATED FORECAST SHOULD ALREADY BE OUT.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 617 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...
THE 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION FOLLOWS....

AVIATION...
PATCHES OF BR...AND ISOLATED AREAS OF FG...WILL DISSIPATE WITHIN
A FEW HOURS AFTER SUNRISE. THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THERE WILL
BE A POSSIBILITY OF SCT TSRA...MAINLY E OF A LINE FROM KPNC TO
KSPS. OTHERWISE...ONLY LIGHT WINDS AND VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH THE PERIOD.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 419 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...
HOT AND HUMID WEATHER WILL CONTINUE TODAY...AND WE WILL RETAIN THE
EXISTING HEAT ADVISORY...WHICH CURRENTLY EXPIRES AT 7 PM THIS
EVENING. TOMORROW AND FRIDAY WILL HAVE SLIGHTLY HIGHER
TEMPERATURES...BUT LOWER DEW POINTS...THAN TODAY. CONDITIONS WILL
BE MARGINAL FOR A CONTINUED HEAT ADVISORY TOMORROW...BUT AFTERNOON
HEAT INDICES WILL BE WELL WITHIN ADVISORY CRITERIA ON FRIDAY.
HOWEVER...WE MAY NOT MEET THE 48-HOUR PERSISTENCE CRITERIA ON
FRIDAY IF THURSDAY IS COOLER THAN EXPECTED. WILL DEFER TO LATER
SHIFTS TO DECIDE ON WHETHER AN EXTENSION TO THE HEAT ADVISORY IS
APPROPRIATE.

A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHWEST INTO OKLAHOMA
TODAY...BRINGING A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR STORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT. ANY
STORMS THAT DO FORM WILL LIKELY BE NEAR OR SOUTHEAST OF I-44.

AS MENTIONED ABOVE...FRIDAY WILL BE QUITE HOT AS SOUTHWEST LOW-
LEVEL FLOW BECOMES ESTABLISHED OVER THE REGION...IN ADVANCE OF A
DEVELOPING STORM SYSTEM TO OUR WEST AND NORTHWEST.

A STRONGER FRONT WILL ARRIVE LATE IN THE WEEKEND...BRINGING A
BREAK FROM THE HEAT...AND ANOTHER CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS. MODELS SUGGEST THAT A FAIRLY HIGH CHANCE
FOR RAIN WILL ARRIVE AROUND THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...BUT THAT IS
BEYOND THE RANGE OF THIS FORECAST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  95  72  96  76 /  20  10   0   0
HOBART OK         99  72 100  74 /  10  10   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  98  74 100  76 /  10  10   0   0
GAGE OK           98  70 100  76 /  10  10   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     94  72  92  77 /  20  10   0   0
DURANT OK         96  73 100  74 /  40  20  10   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR OKZ006>008-011>031-
     033>042-044>047-050-051.

TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR TXZ083>090.

&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KOUN 231714
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1214 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2014

.UPDATE...
HAVE UPDATED THE FORECAST TO INCREASE POPS IN THE EAST AND
EXPANDED POPS FARTHER WEST. STORM COMPLEX IS MOVING FROM
SOUTHEAST KANSAS INTO NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA. ALTHOUGH THE SPECIFICS
VARY... THERE IS A CONSISTENT SIGNAL OF STORMS MOVING
SOUTH/SOUTHWEST FROM EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS INTO
OUR SOUTHEASTERN ZONES... AND SOME SIGNAL OF A DEVELOPMENT INTO A
COMPLEX AS THE STORMS MOVE SOUTHWEST. WITH THIS... THE RISK OF
SEVERE WINDS /AND A SECONDARY THREAT OF SEVERE HAIL/ HAS
INCREASED. UPDATED FORECAST SHOULD ALREADY BE OUT.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 617 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...
THE 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION FOLLOWS....

AVIATION...
PATCHES OF BR...AND ISOLATED AREAS OF FG...WILL DISSIPATE WITHIN
A FEW HOURS AFTER SUNRISE. THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THERE WILL
BE A POSSIBILITY OF SCT TSRA...MAINLY E OF A LINE FROM KPNC TO
KSPS. OTHERWISE...ONLY LIGHT WINDS AND VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH THE PERIOD.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 419 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...
HOT AND HUMID WEATHER WILL CONTINUE TODAY...AND WE WILL RETAIN THE
EXISTING HEAT ADVISORY...WHICH CURRENTLY EXPIRES AT 7 PM THIS
EVENING. TOMORROW AND FRIDAY WILL HAVE SLIGHTLY HIGHER
TEMPERATURES...BUT LOWER DEW POINTS...THAN TODAY. CONDITIONS WILL
BE MARGINAL FOR A CONTINUED HEAT ADVISORY TOMORROW...BUT AFTERNOON
HEAT INDICES WILL BE WELL WITHIN ADVISORY CRITERIA ON FRIDAY.
HOWEVER...WE MAY NOT MEET THE 48-HOUR PERSISTENCE CRITERIA ON
FRIDAY IF THURSDAY IS COOLER THAN EXPECTED. WILL DEFER TO LATER
SHIFTS TO DECIDE ON WHETHER AN EXTENSION TO THE HEAT ADVISORY IS
APPROPRIATE.

A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHWEST INTO OKLAHOMA
TODAY...BRINGING A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR STORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT. ANY
STORMS THAT DO FORM WILL LIKELY BE NEAR OR SOUTHEAST OF I-44.

AS MENTIONED ABOVE...FRIDAY WILL BE QUITE HOT AS SOUTHWEST LOW-
LEVEL FLOW BECOMES ESTABLISHED OVER THE REGION...IN ADVANCE OF A
DEVELOPING STORM SYSTEM TO OUR WEST AND NORTHWEST.

A STRONGER FRONT WILL ARRIVE LATE IN THE WEEKEND...BRINGING A
BREAK FROM THE HEAT...AND ANOTHER CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS. MODELS SUGGEST THAT A FAIRLY HIGH CHANCE
FOR RAIN WILL ARRIVE AROUND THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...BUT THAT IS
BEYOND THE RANGE OF THIS FORECAST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  95  72  96  76 /  20  10   0   0
HOBART OK         99  72 100  74 /  10  10   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  98  74 100  76 /  10  10   0   0
GAGE OK           98  70 100  76 /  10  10   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     94  72  92  77 /  20  10   0   0
DURANT OK         96  73 100  74 /  40  20  10   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR OKZ006>008-011>031-
     033>042-044>047-050-051.

TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR TXZ083>090.

&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KOUN 231117
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
617 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2014

.DISCUSSION...
THE 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION FOLLOWS....

&&

.AVIATION...
PATCHES OF BR...AND ISOLATED AREAS OF FG...WILL DISSIPATE WITHIN
A FEW HOURS AFTER SUNRISE. THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THERE WILL
BE A POSSIBILITY OF SCT TSRA...MAINLY E OF A LINE FROM KPNC TO
KSPS. OTHERWISE...ONLY LIGHT WINDS AND VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 419 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...
HOT AND HUMID WEATHER WILL CONTINUE TODAY...AND WE WILL RETAIN THE
EXISTING HEAT ADVISORY...WHICH CURRENTLY EXPIRES AT 7 PM THIS
EVENING. TOMORROW AND FRIDAY WILL HAVE SLIGHTLY HIGHER
TEMPERATURES...BUT LOWER DEW POINTS...THAN TODAY. CONDITIONS WILL
BE MARGINAL FOR A CONTINUED HEAT ADVISORY TOMORROW...BUT AFTERNOON
HEAT INDICES WILL BE WELL WITHIN ADVISORY CRITERIA ON FRIDAY.
HOWEVER...WE MAY NOT MEET THE 48-HOUR PERSISTENCE CRITERIA ON
FRIDAY IF THURSDAY IS COOLER THAN EXPECTED. WILL DEFER TO LATER
SHIFTS TO DECIDE ON WHETHER AN EXTENSION TO THE HEAT ADVISORY IS
APPROPRIATE.

A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHWEST INTO OKLAHOMA
TODAY...BRINGING A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR STORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT. ANY
STORMS THAT DO FORM WILL LIKELY BE NEAR OR SOUTHEAST OF I-44.

AS MENTIONED ABOVE...FRIDAY WILL BE QUITE HOT AS SOUTHWEST LOW-
LEVEL FLOW BECOMES ESTABLISHED OVER THE REGION...IN ADVANCE OF A
DEVELOPING STORM SYSTEM TO OUR WEST AND NORTHWEST.

A STRONGER FRONT WILL ARRIVE LATE IN THE WEEKEND...BRINGING A
BREAK FROM THE HEAT...AND ANOTHER CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS. MODELS SUGGEST THAT A FAIRLY HIGH CHANCE
FOR RAIN WILL ARRIVE AROUND THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...BUT THAT IS
BEYOND THE RANGE OF THIS FORECAST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  95  72  96  76 /  10  10   0   0
HOBART OK         99  72 100  74 /  10  10   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  98  74 100  76 /  10  10   0   0
GAGE OK           98  70 100  76 /  10  10   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     94  72  92  77 /  10  10   0   0
DURANT OK         96  73 100  74 /  20  20  10   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR OKZ006>008-011>031-
     033>042-044>047-050-051.

TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR TXZ083>090.

&&

$$

30/23/23




000
FXUS64 KOUN 231117
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
617 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2014

.DISCUSSION...
THE 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION FOLLOWS....

&&

.AVIATION...
PATCHES OF BR...AND ISOLATED AREAS OF FG...WILL DISSIPATE WITHIN
A FEW HOURS AFTER SUNRISE. THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THERE WILL
BE A POSSIBILITY OF SCT TSRA...MAINLY E OF A LINE FROM KPNC TO
KSPS. OTHERWISE...ONLY LIGHT WINDS AND VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 419 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...
HOT AND HUMID WEATHER WILL CONTINUE TODAY...AND WE WILL RETAIN THE
EXISTING HEAT ADVISORY...WHICH CURRENTLY EXPIRES AT 7 PM THIS
EVENING. TOMORROW AND FRIDAY WILL HAVE SLIGHTLY HIGHER
TEMPERATURES...BUT LOWER DEW POINTS...THAN TODAY. CONDITIONS WILL
BE MARGINAL FOR A CONTINUED HEAT ADVISORY TOMORROW...BUT AFTERNOON
HEAT INDICES WILL BE WELL WITHIN ADVISORY CRITERIA ON FRIDAY.
HOWEVER...WE MAY NOT MEET THE 48-HOUR PERSISTENCE CRITERIA ON
FRIDAY IF THURSDAY IS COOLER THAN EXPECTED. WILL DEFER TO LATER
SHIFTS TO DECIDE ON WHETHER AN EXTENSION TO THE HEAT ADVISORY IS
APPROPRIATE.

A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHWEST INTO OKLAHOMA
TODAY...BRINGING A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR STORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT. ANY
STORMS THAT DO FORM WILL LIKELY BE NEAR OR SOUTHEAST OF I-44.

AS MENTIONED ABOVE...FRIDAY WILL BE QUITE HOT AS SOUTHWEST LOW-
LEVEL FLOW BECOMES ESTABLISHED OVER THE REGION...IN ADVANCE OF A
DEVELOPING STORM SYSTEM TO OUR WEST AND NORTHWEST.

A STRONGER FRONT WILL ARRIVE LATE IN THE WEEKEND...BRINGING A
BREAK FROM THE HEAT...AND ANOTHER CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS. MODELS SUGGEST THAT A FAIRLY HIGH CHANCE
FOR RAIN WILL ARRIVE AROUND THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...BUT THAT IS
BEYOND THE RANGE OF THIS FORECAST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  95  72  96  76 /  10  10   0   0
HOBART OK         99  72 100  74 /  10  10   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  98  74 100  76 /  10  10   0   0
GAGE OK           98  70 100  76 /  10  10   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     94  72  92  77 /  10  10   0   0
DURANT OK         96  73 100  74 /  20  20  10   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR OKZ006>008-011>031-
     033>042-044>047-050-051.

TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR TXZ083>090.

&&

$$

30/23/23





000
FXUS64 KOUN 230919
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
419 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2014

.DISCUSSION...
HOT AND HUMID WEATHER WILL CONTINUE TODAY...AND WE WILL RETAIN THE
EXISTING HEAT ADVISORY...WHICH CURRENTLY EXPIRES AT 7 PM THIS
EVENING. TOMORROW AND FRIDAY WILL HAVE SLIGHTLY HIGHER
TEMPERATURES...BUT LOWER DEW POINTS...THAN TODAY. CONDITIONS WILL
BE MARGINAL FOR A CONTINUED HEAT ADVISORY TOMORROW...BUT AFTERNOON
HEAT INDICES WILL BE WELL WITHIN ADVISORY CRITERIA ON FRIDAY.
HOWEVER...WE MAY NOT MEET THE 48-HOUR PERSISTENCE CRITERIA ON
FRIDAY IF THURSDAY IS COOLER THAN EXPECTED. WILL DEFER TO LATER
SHIFTS TO DECIDE ON WHETHER AN EXTENSION TO THE HEAT ADVISORY IS
APPROPRIATE.

A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHWEST INTO OKLAHOMA
TODAY...BRINGING A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR STORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT. ANY
STORMS THAT DO FORM WILL LIKELY BE NEAR OR SOUTHEAST OF I-44.

AS MENTIONED ABOVE...FRIDAY WILL BE QUITE HOT AS SOUTHWEST LOW-
LEVEL FLOW BECOMES ESTABLISHED OVER THE REGION...IN ADVANCE OF A
DEVELOPING STORM SYSTEM TO OUR WEST AND NORTHWEST.

A STRONGER FRONT WILL ARRIVE LATE IN THE WEEKEND...BRINGING A
BREAK FROM THE HEAT...AND ANOTHER CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS. MODELS SUGGEST THAT A FAIRLY HIGH CHANCE
FOR RAIN WILL ARRIVE AROUND THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...BUT THAT IS
BEYOND THE RANGE OF THIS FORECAST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  95  72  96  76 /  10  10   0   0
HOBART OK         99  72 100  74 /  10  10   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  98  74 100  76 /  10  10   0   0
GAGE OK           98  70 100  76 /  10  10   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     94  72  92  77 /  10  10   0   0
DURANT OK         96  73 100  74 /  20  20  10   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR OKZ006>008-011>031-
     033>042-044>047-050-051.

TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR TXZ083>090.

&&

$$

30/23




000
FXUS64 KOUN 230919
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
419 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2014

.DISCUSSION...
HOT AND HUMID WEATHER WILL CONTINUE TODAY...AND WE WILL RETAIN THE
EXISTING HEAT ADVISORY...WHICH CURRENTLY EXPIRES AT 7 PM THIS
EVENING. TOMORROW AND FRIDAY WILL HAVE SLIGHTLY HIGHER
TEMPERATURES...BUT LOWER DEW POINTS...THAN TODAY. CONDITIONS WILL
BE MARGINAL FOR A CONTINUED HEAT ADVISORY TOMORROW...BUT AFTERNOON
HEAT INDICES WILL BE WELL WITHIN ADVISORY CRITERIA ON FRIDAY.
HOWEVER...WE MAY NOT MEET THE 48-HOUR PERSISTENCE CRITERIA ON
FRIDAY IF THURSDAY IS COOLER THAN EXPECTED. WILL DEFER TO LATER
SHIFTS TO DECIDE ON WHETHER AN EXTENSION TO THE HEAT ADVISORY IS
APPROPRIATE.

A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHWEST INTO OKLAHOMA
TODAY...BRINGING A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR STORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT. ANY
STORMS THAT DO FORM WILL LIKELY BE NEAR OR SOUTHEAST OF I-44.

AS MENTIONED ABOVE...FRIDAY WILL BE QUITE HOT AS SOUTHWEST LOW-
LEVEL FLOW BECOMES ESTABLISHED OVER THE REGION...IN ADVANCE OF A
DEVELOPING STORM SYSTEM TO OUR WEST AND NORTHWEST.

A STRONGER FRONT WILL ARRIVE LATE IN THE WEEKEND...BRINGING A
BREAK FROM THE HEAT...AND ANOTHER CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS. MODELS SUGGEST THAT A FAIRLY HIGH CHANCE
FOR RAIN WILL ARRIVE AROUND THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...BUT THAT IS
BEYOND THE RANGE OF THIS FORECAST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  95  72  96  76 /  10  10   0   0
HOBART OK         99  72 100  74 /  10  10   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  98  74 100  76 /  10  10   0   0
GAGE OK           98  70 100  76 /  10  10   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     94  72  92  77 /  10  10   0   0
DURANT OK         96  73 100  74 /  20  20  10   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR OKZ006>008-011>031-
     033>042-044>047-050-051.

TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR TXZ083>090.

&&

$$

30/23





000
FXUS64 KOUN 230430
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1130 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2014

.AVIATION...
06Z TAFS... RAIN CHANCES TO MOSTLY REMAIN EAST OF THE AREA
WEDNESDAY BUT A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS/STORMS MAY AFFECT
KPNC/KOKC/KOUN. HOWEVER... CHANCES TOO LOW TO PUT IN ANY TAF AT
THIS TIME. OTHERWISE... VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGHOUT TAF
PERIOD WITH A WEAK FRONT MOVING ACROSS PARTS OF THE AREA LATE
TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 931 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2014/

UPDATE...
MINIMAL CHANGES TO GOING FORECAST PACKAGE. TWEAKED OVERNIGHT LOWS
UP A FEW DEGREES AT A FEW LOCATIONS GIVEN MESONET/METAR TRENDS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  74  96  73  95 /   0  10  10   0
HOBART OK         73 100  74  98 /   0   0  10   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  74  98  76  98 /   0  10  10  10
GAGE OK           68  98  70  98 /   0   0  10   0
PONCA CITY OK     75  93  71  92 /   0  20  10   0
DURANT OK         75  97  76  98 /   0  20  20  20

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR OKZ006>008-011>031-
     033>042-044>047-050-051.

TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR TXZ083>090.

&&

$$

11/25/25





000
FXUS64 KOUN 230430
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1130 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2014

.AVIATION...
06Z TAFS... RAIN CHANCES TO MOSTLY REMAIN EAST OF THE AREA
WEDNESDAY BUT A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS/STORMS MAY AFFECT
KPNC/KOKC/KOUN. HOWEVER... CHANCES TOO LOW TO PUT IN ANY TAF AT
THIS TIME. OTHERWISE... VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGHOUT TAF
PERIOD WITH A WEAK FRONT MOVING ACROSS PARTS OF THE AREA LATE
TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 931 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2014/

UPDATE...
MINIMAL CHANGES TO GOING FORECAST PACKAGE. TWEAKED OVERNIGHT LOWS
UP A FEW DEGREES AT A FEW LOCATIONS GIVEN MESONET/METAR TRENDS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  74  96  73  95 /   0  10  10   0
HOBART OK         73 100  74  98 /   0   0  10   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  74  98  76  98 /   0  10  10  10
GAGE OK           68  98  70  98 /   0   0  10   0
PONCA CITY OK     75  93  71  92 /   0  20  10   0
DURANT OK         75  97  76  98 /   0  20  20  20

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR OKZ006>008-011>031-
     033>042-044>047-050-051.

TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR TXZ083>090.

&&

$$

11/25/25




000
FXUS64 KOUN 230231
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
931 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2014

.UPDATE...
MINIMAL CHANGES TO GOING FORECAST PACKAGE. TWEAKED OVERNIGHT LOWS
UP A FEW DEGREES AT A FEW LOCATIONS GIVEN MESONET/METAR TRENDS.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  74  96  73  95 /   0  10  10   0
HOBART OK         73 100  74  98 /   0   0  10   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  74  98  76  98 /   0  10  10  10
GAGE OK           68  98  70  98 /   0   0  10   0
PONCA CITY OK     75  93  71  92 /   0  20  10   0
DURANT OK         75  97  76  98 /   0  20  20  20

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR OKZ006>008-011>031-
     033>042-044>047-050-051.

TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR TXZ083>090.

&&

$$

11/25




000
FXUS64 KOUN 222309
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
609 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2014

.AVIATION...
0Z TAFS... VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED WITH SOME HIGH CLOUDS AND LOW
VFR CLOUDS WEDNESDAY. A WEAK FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA
WEDNESDAY. MOST OF THE RAIN IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN EAST OF THE AREA
WEDNESDAY BUT A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS/STORMS MAY AFFECT
KPNC/KOKC/KOUN. HOWEVER... CHANCES TOO LOW FOR MENTION IN ANY TAF
AT THE MOMENT.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 341 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2014/

DISCUSSION...
CURRENT HEAT INDEX VALUES RANGE FROM THE MID 90S IN SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA TO NEAR 105 IN NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. ALTHOUGH AFTERNOON
HEAT INDEX VALUES MAY STRUGGLE TO REACH 105 WEDNESDAY...WILL KEEP
HEAT ADVISORY IN PLACE.

A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL MOVE INTO NORTHEAST AND NORTH CENTRAL
OKLAHOMA LATE TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. THE MAIN RESULT WILL BE
LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS WITH SLIM CHANCES FOR RAIN ACROSS EASTERN
PARTS OF THE FA.

AN UPPER RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN ROCKIES WILL
KEEP THE SOUTHERN PLAINS MAINLY DRY THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY. A
TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND UPPER MIDWEST ON
SUNDAY AND WILL AMPLIFY AS IT MOVES EAST. THIS WILL HELP PUSH A
COLD FRONT INTO OKLAHOMA SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT. WILL KEEP LOW
CHANCES FOR SHOWERS/STORMS IN THE FORECAST WITH THE FRONTAL
PASSAGE. NEAR TO BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED MONDAY
AND TUESDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  74  96  73  95 /   0  10  10   0
HOBART OK         74 100  74  98 /   0   0  10   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  74  98  76  98 /   0  10  10  10
GAGE OK           68  98  70  98 /   0   0  10   0
PONCA CITY OK     77  93  71  92 /   0  20  10   0
DURANT OK         75  97  76  98 /   0  20  20  20

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR OKZ006>008-011>031-
     033>042-044>047-050-051.

TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR TXZ083>090.

&&

$$

11/25/25





000
FXUS64 KOUN 222309
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
609 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2014

.AVIATION...
0Z TAFS... VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED WITH SOME HIGH CLOUDS AND LOW
VFR CLOUDS WEDNESDAY. A WEAK FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA
WEDNESDAY. MOST OF THE RAIN IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN EAST OF THE AREA
WEDNESDAY BUT A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS/STORMS MAY AFFECT
KPNC/KOKC/KOUN. HOWEVER... CHANCES TOO LOW FOR MENTION IN ANY TAF
AT THE MOMENT.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 341 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2014/

DISCUSSION...
CURRENT HEAT INDEX VALUES RANGE FROM THE MID 90S IN SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA TO NEAR 105 IN NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. ALTHOUGH AFTERNOON
HEAT INDEX VALUES MAY STRUGGLE TO REACH 105 WEDNESDAY...WILL KEEP
HEAT ADVISORY IN PLACE.

A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL MOVE INTO NORTHEAST AND NORTH CENTRAL
OKLAHOMA LATE TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. THE MAIN RESULT WILL BE
LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS WITH SLIM CHANCES FOR RAIN ACROSS EASTERN
PARTS OF THE FA.

AN UPPER RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN ROCKIES WILL
KEEP THE SOUTHERN PLAINS MAINLY DRY THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY. A
TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND UPPER MIDWEST ON
SUNDAY AND WILL AMPLIFY AS IT MOVES EAST. THIS WILL HELP PUSH A
COLD FRONT INTO OKLAHOMA SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT. WILL KEEP LOW
CHANCES FOR SHOWERS/STORMS IN THE FORECAST WITH THE FRONTAL
PASSAGE. NEAR TO BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED MONDAY
AND TUESDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  74  96  73  95 /   0  10  10   0
HOBART OK         74 100  74  98 /   0   0  10   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  74  98  76  98 /   0  10  10  10
GAGE OK           68  98  70  98 /   0   0  10   0
PONCA CITY OK     77  93  71  92 /   0  20  10   0
DURANT OK         75  97  76  98 /   0  20  20  20

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR OKZ006>008-011>031-
     033>042-044>047-050-051.

TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR TXZ083>090.

&&

$$

11/25/25




000
FXUS64 KOUN 222041
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
341 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2014

.DISCUSSION...
CURRENT HEAT INDEX VALUES RANGE FROM THE MID 90S IN SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA TO NEAR 105 IN NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. ALTHOUGH AFTERNOON
HEAT INDEX VALUES MAY STRUGGLE TO REACH 105 WEDNESDAY...WILL KEEP
HEAT ADVISORY IN PLACE.

A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL MOVE INTO NORTHEAST AND NORTH CENTRAL
OKLAHOMA LATE TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. THE MAIN RESULT WILL BE
LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS WITH SLIM CHANCES FOR RAIN ACROSS EASTERN
PARTS OF THE FA.

AN UPPER RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN ROCKIES WILL
KEEP THE SOUTHERN PLAINS MAINLY DRY THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY. A
TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND UPPER MIDWEST ON
SUNDAY AND WILL AMPLIFY AS IT MOVES EAST. THIS WILL HELP PUSH A
COLD FRONT INTO OKLAHOMA SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT. WILL KEEP LOW
CHANCES FOR SHOWERS/STORMS IN THE FORECAST WITH THE FRONTAL
PASSAGE. NEAR TO BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED MONDAY
AND TUESDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  74  96  73  95 /   0  10  10   0
HOBART OK         74 100  74  98 /   0   0  10   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  74  98  76  98 /   0  10  10  10
GAGE OK           68  98  70  98 /   0   0  10   0
PONCA CITY OK     77  93  71  92 /   0  20  10   0
DURANT OK         75  97  76  98 /   0  20  20  20

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR OKZ006>008-011>031-
     033>042-044>047-050-051.

TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR TXZ083>090.

&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KOUN 222041
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
341 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2014

.DISCUSSION...
CURRENT HEAT INDEX VALUES RANGE FROM THE MID 90S IN SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA TO NEAR 105 IN NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. ALTHOUGH AFTERNOON
HEAT INDEX VALUES MAY STRUGGLE TO REACH 105 WEDNESDAY...WILL KEEP
HEAT ADVISORY IN PLACE.

A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL MOVE INTO NORTHEAST AND NORTH CENTRAL
OKLAHOMA LATE TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. THE MAIN RESULT WILL BE
LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS WITH SLIM CHANCES FOR RAIN ACROSS EASTERN
PARTS OF THE FA.

AN UPPER RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN ROCKIES WILL
KEEP THE SOUTHERN PLAINS MAINLY DRY THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY. A
TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND UPPER MIDWEST ON
SUNDAY AND WILL AMPLIFY AS IT MOVES EAST. THIS WILL HELP PUSH A
COLD FRONT INTO OKLAHOMA SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT. WILL KEEP LOW
CHANCES FOR SHOWERS/STORMS IN THE FORECAST WITH THE FRONTAL
PASSAGE. NEAR TO BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED MONDAY
AND TUESDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  74  96  73  95 /   0  10  10   0
HOBART OK         74 100  74  98 /   0   0  10   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  74  98  76  98 /   0  10  10  10
GAGE OK           68  98  70  98 /   0   0  10   0
PONCA CITY OK     77  93  71  92 /   0  20  10   0
DURANT OK         75  97  76  98 /   0  20  20  20

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR OKZ006>008-011>031-
     033>042-044>047-050-051.

TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR TXZ083>090.

&&

$$





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