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000
FXUS64 KOUN 292049
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
349 PM CDT TUE JUL 29 2014

.DISCUSSION...

OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS CONTINUE TO BE INFLUENCED BY
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. A SHORT WAVE EMBEDDED WITHIN THE FLOW IS
EXPECTED TO BRING A HIGH PROBABILITY OF RAIN TONIGHT THROUGH
EARLY THURSDAY. FLOODING CONCERNS WILL PRIMARILY BE ACROSS
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA WHERE THERE IS A FLASH FLOOD WATCH
IN EFFECT. NAM...GFS AND ECMWF QPF SIGNAL IS MOST COINCIDENT
ACROSS NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA. THERE ALSO IS A SIGNAL THAT
PRECIPITATION MAY REINTENSIFY WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY. AS A
RESULT...A SECOND MAXIMUM OF PRECIPITATION MIGHT OCCUR ACROSS
SOUTHEAST PARTS OF THE CWA. THERE WILL LIKELY BE A SHARP CUTOFF IN
RAINFALL AMOUNTS WITHIN OUR CWA. ABUNDANT CLOUD COVER AND
PRECIPITATION WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES AROUND 20 TO 25 DEGREES BELOW
AVERAGE ON WEDNESDAY ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHERN OKLAHOMA. LOW 90S
WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS WESTERN NORTH TEXAS WHERE PRECIPITATION
CHANCES ARE THE LOWEST. THE CHANCE OF RAIN WILL DECREASE FROM
NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST EARLY THURSDAY MORNING AS THE SHORT WAVE
MOVES THROUGH.

AFTER THURSDAY...THE REGION WILL CONTINUE TO BE WITHIN NORTHERLY
MID-LEVEL FLOW FOR THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE. LIGHT NORTHEASTERLY
SURFACE WINDS AND 850 MB TEMPERATURES FROM 17 TO 19 DEGREES C
WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES IN THE MID-80S ON FRIDAY. THERE IS NO
EVIDENCE OF A DEVELOPING LOW-LEVEL THERMAL RIDGE THROUGH EARLY
NEXT WEEK. THEREFORE...TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY STAY AT OR BELOW
AVERAGE THROUGH THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. RAIN CHANCES LOOK
MINIMAL AFTER THURSDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  68  76  65  78 /  60  90  90  30
HOBART OK         66  83  66  81 /  70  70  70  20
WICHITA FALLS TX  70  88  68  83 /  30  30  60  20
GAGE OK           64  74  62  81 /  90  90  50  20
PONCA CITY OK     69  72  64  80 /  70  90  50  20
DURANT OK         72  81  66  78 /  20  50  90  40

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 10 PM CDT THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
     EVENING FOR OKZ004>007-009>012-014>019-022>025-027>029-040.

TX...NONE.
&&

$$

09/10




000
FXUS64 KOUN 292049
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
349 PM CDT TUE JUL 29 2014

.DISCUSSION...

OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS CONTINUE TO BE INFLUENCED BY
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. A SHORT WAVE EMBEDDED WITHIN THE FLOW IS
EXPECTED TO BRING A HIGH PROBABILITY OF RAIN TONIGHT THROUGH
EARLY THURSDAY. FLOODING CONCERNS WILL PRIMARILY BE ACROSS
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA WHERE THERE IS A FLASH FLOOD WATCH
IN EFFECT. NAM...GFS AND ECMWF QPF SIGNAL IS MOST COINCIDENT
ACROSS NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA. THERE ALSO IS A SIGNAL THAT
PRECIPITATION MAY REINTENSIFY WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY. AS A
RESULT...A SECOND MAXIMUM OF PRECIPITATION MIGHT OCCUR ACROSS
SOUTHEAST PARTS OF THE CWA. THERE WILL LIKELY BE A SHARP CUTOFF IN
RAINFALL AMOUNTS WITHIN OUR CWA. ABUNDANT CLOUD COVER AND
PRECIPITATION WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES AROUND 20 TO 25 DEGREES BELOW
AVERAGE ON WEDNESDAY ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHERN OKLAHOMA. LOW 90S
WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS WESTERN NORTH TEXAS WHERE PRECIPITATION
CHANCES ARE THE LOWEST. THE CHANCE OF RAIN WILL DECREASE FROM
NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST EARLY THURSDAY MORNING AS THE SHORT WAVE
MOVES THROUGH.

AFTER THURSDAY...THE REGION WILL CONTINUE TO BE WITHIN NORTHERLY
MID-LEVEL FLOW FOR THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE. LIGHT NORTHEASTERLY
SURFACE WINDS AND 850 MB TEMPERATURES FROM 17 TO 19 DEGREES C
WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES IN THE MID-80S ON FRIDAY. THERE IS NO
EVIDENCE OF A DEVELOPING LOW-LEVEL THERMAL RIDGE THROUGH EARLY
NEXT WEEK. THEREFORE...TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY STAY AT OR BELOW
AVERAGE THROUGH THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. RAIN CHANCES LOOK
MINIMAL AFTER THURSDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  68  76  65  78 /  60  90  90  30
HOBART OK         66  83  66  81 /  70  70  70  20
WICHITA FALLS TX  70  88  68  83 /  30  30  60  20
GAGE OK           64  74  62  81 /  90  90  50  20
PONCA CITY OK     69  72  64  80 /  70  90  50  20
DURANT OK         72  81  66  78 /  20  50  90  40

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 10 PM CDT THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
     EVENING FOR OKZ004>007-009>012-014>019-022>025-027>029-040.

TX...NONE.
&&

$$

09/10





000
FXUS64 KOUN 291745
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1245 PM CDT TUE JUL 29 2014

.AVIATION...
A LINE OF SHOWERS OVER WESTERN OKLAHOMA WILL AFFECT CSM AND HBR
FOR AN HOUR OR TWO BEFORE DISSIPATING. LATER THIS EVENING...A
STORM COMPLEX IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO OKLAHOMA...BRINGING
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS OVERNIGHT INTO THE MORNING. THUNDER CANNOT BE
RULED OUT...BUT CONFIDENCE IS TOO LOW TO MENTION AT MOST TAF
SITES.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1002 AM CDT TUE JUL 29 2014/

DISCUSSION...
SHORT-TERM MODELS INDICATE THAT OCCASIONAL RAIN WILL OCCUR MOST OF
THE DAY IN PART OF NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA.
TEMPERATURES WERE ALSO ADJUSTED THERE. RAIN NOW IN SOUTHWEST
OKLAHOMA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE SHOWERS THEN DISSIPATE THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON. THE MORE COMPREHENSIVE RAIN EVENT FOR NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL OKLAHOMA IS STILL EXPECTED TO BEGIN VERY LATE TUESDAY
EVENING OR EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  68  76  65  78 /  60  90  70  30
HOBART OK         66  83  66  81 /  60  60  70  20
WICHITA FALLS TX  70  88  68  83 /  40  30  50  30
GAGE OK           64  74  62  81 / 100  80  50  10
PONCA CITY OK     69  72  64  80 /  60  90  40  20
DURANT OK         72  81  66  78 /  30  50  80  50

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 10 PM CDT THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
     EVENING FOR OKZ004>007-009>012-014>019-022>025-027>029-040.

TX...NONE.
&&

$$

99/99/14





000
FXUS64 KOUN 291745
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1245 PM CDT TUE JUL 29 2014

.AVIATION...
A LINE OF SHOWERS OVER WESTERN OKLAHOMA WILL AFFECT CSM AND HBR
FOR AN HOUR OR TWO BEFORE DISSIPATING. LATER THIS EVENING...A
STORM COMPLEX IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO OKLAHOMA...BRINGING
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS OVERNIGHT INTO THE MORNING. THUNDER CANNOT BE
RULED OUT...BUT CONFIDENCE IS TOO LOW TO MENTION AT MOST TAF
SITES.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1002 AM CDT TUE JUL 29 2014/

DISCUSSION...
SHORT-TERM MODELS INDICATE THAT OCCASIONAL RAIN WILL OCCUR MOST OF
THE DAY IN PART OF NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA.
TEMPERATURES WERE ALSO ADJUSTED THERE. RAIN NOW IN SOUTHWEST
OKLAHOMA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE SHOWERS THEN DISSIPATE THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON. THE MORE COMPREHENSIVE RAIN EVENT FOR NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL OKLAHOMA IS STILL EXPECTED TO BEGIN VERY LATE TUESDAY
EVENING OR EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  68  76  65  78 /  60  90  70  30
HOBART OK         66  83  66  81 /  60  60  70  20
WICHITA FALLS TX  70  88  68  83 /  40  30  50  30
GAGE OK           64  74  62  81 / 100  80  50  10
PONCA CITY OK     69  72  64  80 /  60  90  40  20
DURANT OK         72  81  66  78 /  30  50  80  50

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 10 PM CDT THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
     EVENING FOR OKZ004>007-009>012-014>019-022>025-027>029-040.

TX...NONE.
&&

$$

99/99/14




000
FXUS64 KOUN 291502
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1002 AM CDT TUE JUL 29 2014

.DISCUSSION...
SHORT-TERM MODELS INDICATE THAT OCCASIONAL RAIN WILL OCCUR MOST OF
THE DAY IN PART OF NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA.
TEMPERATURES WERE ALSO ADJUSTED THERE. RAIN NOW IN SOUTHWEST
OKLAHOMA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE SHOWERS THEN DISSIPATE THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON. THE MORE COMPREHENSIVE RAIN EVENT FOR NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL OKLAHOMA IS STILL EXPECTED TO BEGIN VERY LATE TUESDAY
EVENING OR EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  88  68  76  65 /  10  60  90  70
HOBART OK         85  66  83  66 /  70  60  60  70
WICHITA FALLS TX  88  70  88  68 /  40  40  30  50
GAGE OK           82  64  74  62 /  50 100  80  50
PONCA CITY OK     87  69  72  64 /  10  60  90  40
DURANT OK         90  72  81  66 /  20  30  50  80

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING
     FOR OKZ004>007-009>012-014>019-022>025-027>029-040.

TX...NONE.
&&

$$

09/23




000
FXUS64 KOUN 291502
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1002 AM CDT TUE JUL 29 2014

.DISCUSSION...
SHORT-TERM MODELS INDICATE THAT OCCASIONAL RAIN WILL OCCUR MOST OF
THE DAY IN PART OF NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA.
TEMPERATURES WERE ALSO ADJUSTED THERE. RAIN NOW IN SOUTHWEST
OKLAHOMA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE SHOWERS THEN DISSIPATE THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON. THE MORE COMPREHENSIVE RAIN EVENT FOR NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL OKLAHOMA IS STILL EXPECTED TO BEGIN VERY LATE TUESDAY
EVENING OR EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  88  68  76  65 /  10  60  90  70
HOBART OK         85  66  83  66 /  70  60  60  70
WICHITA FALLS TX  88  70  88  68 /  40  40  30  50
GAGE OK           82  64  74  62 /  50 100  80  50
PONCA CITY OK     87  69  72  64 /  10  60  90  40
DURANT OK         90  72  81  66 /  20  30  50  80

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING
     FOR OKZ004>007-009>012-014>019-022>025-027>029-040.

TX...NONE.
&&

$$

09/23





000
FXUS64 KOUN 291145
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
645 AM CDT TUE JUL 29 2014

.AVIATION...
12Z TAFS...A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS WILL MOVE ACROSS WESTERN OKLAHOMA
AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS THIS MORNING. OTHERWISE VFR CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN SOUTHERLY WINDS.

THIS EVENING...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA.  MVFR CONDITIONS WITH
THE STORMS...MAY IMPACT GAG/WWR AFTER 5/6Z.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 428 AM CDT TUE JUL 29 2014/

DISCUSSION...
WEAK WAA THIS MORNING WILL RESULT IN WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND PERHAPS OF FEW THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY IN WESTERN OKLAHOMA.
OTHERWISE...MID AND HIGH CLOUDS WILL CREATE MOSTLY CLOUDY
CONDITIONS.

LIGHT SURFACE WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING...WILL BECOME SOUTHERLY
TODAY...AS AN UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE CENTRAL
ROCKIES. THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS LATE
TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.

THIS EVENING...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ARE EXPECTED TO FORM IN WESTERN KANSAS AND THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES. THE STORMS WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST DURING THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS. HIGH PW`S NEAR 2 INCHES AND A MODERATE LEVEL JET WILL
RESULT IN STORMS PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL...ESPECIALLY NEAR A
DEVELOPING ELEVATED FRONTAL BOUNDARY. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH WAS
ISSUED TO HIGHLIGHT THE AREA MOST LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE HEAVY
RAIN AND POSSIBLE FLOODING.

ON WEDNESDAY...THE AXIS OF HEAVY RAIN WILL SHIFT SOUTHWARD AS AN
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE TRACKS FROM THE OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE INTO
WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. THE CURRENT FLOOD WATCH MAY NEED TO BE
EXPANDED INTO SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.

RAIN AND STORM CHANCES WILL END ON THURSDAY...AS THE UPPER LEVEL
SYSTEM MOVES IN THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THE FA WILL REMAIN
IN NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT THROUGH WEEKEND WITH AN UPPER RIDGE
CENTERED OVER ARIZONA AND NEW MEXICO.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  88  68  76  65 /  20  60  90  70
HOBART OK         85  66  83  66 /  40  60  60  70
WICHITA FALLS TX  88  70  88  68 /  30  40  30  50
GAGE OK           82  64  74  62 /  40 100  80  50
PONCA CITY OK     87  69  72  64 /  10  60  90  40
DURANT OK         90  72  81  66 /  20  30  50  80

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING
     FOR OKZ004>007-009>012-014>019-022>025-027>029-040.

TX...NONE.
&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KOUN 290928
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
428 AM CDT TUE JUL 29 2014

.DISCUSSION...
WEAK WAA THIS MORNING WILL RESULT IN WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND PERHAPS OF FEW THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY IN WESTERN OKLAHOMA.
OTHERWISE...MID AND HIGH CLOUDS WILL CREATE MOSTLY CLOUDY
CONDITIONS.

LIGHT SURFACE WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING...WILL BECOME SOUTHERLY
TODAY...AS AN UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE CENTRAL
ROCKIES. THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS LATE
TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.

THIS EVENING...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ARE EXPECTED TO FORM IN WESTERN KANSAS AND THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES. THE STORMS WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST DURING THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS. HIGH PW`S NEAR 2 INCHES AND A MODERATE LEVEL JET WILL
RESULT IN STORMS PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL...ESPECIALLY NEAR A
DEVELOPING ELEVATED FRONTAL BOUNDARY. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH WAS
ISSUED TO HIGHLIGHT THE AREA MOST LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE HEAVY
RAIN AND POSSIBLE FLOODING.

ON WEDNESDAY...THE AXIS OF HEAVY RAIN WILL SHIFT SOUTHWARD AS AN
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE TRACKS FROM THE OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE INTO
WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. THE CURRENT FLOOD WATCH MAY NEED TO BE
EXPANDED INTO SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.

RAIN AND STORM CHANCES WILL END ON THURSDAY...AS THE UPPER LEVEL
SYSTEM MOVES IN THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THE FA WILL REMAIN
IN NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT THROUGH WEEKEND WITH AN UPPER RIDGE
CENTERED OVER ARIZONA AND NEW MEXICO.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  88  68  76  65 /  20  60  90  70
HOBART OK         85  66  83  66 /  40  60  60  70
WICHITA FALLS TX  88  70  88  68 /  30  40  30  50
GAGE OK           82  64  74  62 /  40 100  80  50
PONCA CITY OK     87  69  72  64 /  10  60  90  40
DURANT OK         90  72  81  66 /  20  30  50  80

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING
     FOR OKZ004>007-009>012-014>019-022>025-027>029-040.

TX...NONE.
&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KOUN 290928
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
428 AM CDT TUE JUL 29 2014

.DISCUSSION...
WEAK WAA THIS MORNING WILL RESULT IN WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND PERHAPS OF FEW THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY IN WESTERN OKLAHOMA.
OTHERWISE...MID AND HIGH CLOUDS WILL CREATE MOSTLY CLOUDY
CONDITIONS.

LIGHT SURFACE WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING...WILL BECOME SOUTHERLY
TODAY...AS AN UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE CENTRAL
ROCKIES. THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS LATE
TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.

THIS EVENING...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ARE EXPECTED TO FORM IN WESTERN KANSAS AND THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES. THE STORMS WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST DURING THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS. HIGH PW`S NEAR 2 INCHES AND A MODERATE LEVEL JET WILL
RESULT IN STORMS PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL...ESPECIALLY NEAR A
DEVELOPING ELEVATED FRONTAL BOUNDARY. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH WAS
ISSUED TO HIGHLIGHT THE AREA MOST LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE HEAVY
RAIN AND POSSIBLE FLOODING.

ON WEDNESDAY...THE AXIS OF HEAVY RAIN WILL SHIFT SOUTHWARD AS AN
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE TRACKS FROM THE OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE INTO
WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. THE CURRENT FLOOD WATCH MAY NEED TO BE
EXPANDED INTO SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.

RAIN AND STORM CHANCES WILL END ON THURSDAY...AS THE UPPER LEVEL
SYSTEM MOVES IN THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THE FA WILL REMAIN
IN NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT THROUGH WEEKEND WITH AN UPPER RIDGE
CENTERED OVER ARIZONA AND NEW MEXICO.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  88  68  76  65 /  20  60  90  70
HOBART OK         85  66  83  66 /  40  60  60  70
WICHITA FALLS TX  88  70  88  68 /  30  40  30  50
GAGE OK           82  64  74  62 /  40 100  80  50
PONCA CITY OK     87  69  72  64 /  10  60  90  40
DURANT OK         90  72  81  66 /  20  30  50  80

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING
     FOR OKZ004>007-009>012-014>019-022>025-027>029-040.

TX...NONE.
&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KOUN 290451
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1151 PM CDT MON JUL 28 2014

.DISCUSSION...
REFER TO THE 06Z AVIATION FORECAST BELOW...

&&

.AVIATION...
SCT TO BKN MID LEVEL CIGS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH MUCH OF THE TAF
PERIOD WITH LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. WINDS WILL INCREASE BY 12Z
TO 15Z TUES...BECOMING SOUTHERLY. AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED
STORMS IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER WEST TEXAS AND TRACK EASTWARD
INTO WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND PERHAPS WESTERN NORTH TEXAS AFTER 18Z.
MAINLY RAIN IS EXPECTED...WITH SOME BRIEF REDUCTIONS IN VSBYS WITH
HEAVIER SHOWERS. OCCASIONAL THUNDER CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED WITH THIS
ACTIVITY. THIS ACTIVITY MAY GRADUALLY DRIFT EAST...AFFECTING
CENTRAL OKLAHOMA TERMINALS AFTER 06Z WED.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 954 PM CDT MON JUL 28 2014/

UPDATE...
SMALL AREA OF LIGHT SHOWERS DEVELOPING OVER WEST-CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
AND SHOULD HOLD TOGETHER OVERNIGHT AND MOVE JUST SOUTH AND WEST OF
OKC. ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT OVER PANHANDLES LATE TONIGHT STILL IN
SOME OF THE MODELS SO WILL NOT DEVIATE FAR FROM GOING POPS.
LATEST WRF MODEL TRENDING TOWARD THE ECM AND BRINGING AXIS OF
GREATEST RAIN AMOUNTS FARTHER SOUTH OVER BODY OF OKLAHOMA LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 619 PM CDT MON JUL 28 2014/

DISCUSSION...
REFER TO THE 00Z AVIATION FORECAST BELOW...

AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. BKN MID
LEVEL CIGS ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT FROM NEAR KGAG/KWWR DOWN TO
KLAW/KSPS...AS ANOTHER COMPLEX OF SHOWERS DEVELOPS OVER THE TX
PANHANDLE AND EVENTUALLY SW OK. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD MOVE INTO SW
OK AND N TX IN THE 09Z TO 15Z TIMEFRAME. OTHER SCT SHRA MAY
DEVELOP AT KCSM/KHBR LATER IN THE AFTERNOON. LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL MAY LEAD TO BRIEF MVFR/IFR VSBYS AT SOME TERMINALS...BUT
CONFIDENCE IS TOO LOW TO INCLUDE IN PREVAILING OR TEMPO GROUPS AT
THIS TIME.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 328 PM CDT MON JUL 28 2014/

DISCUSSION...
RAIN CONTINUES TO DIMINISH SLOWLY ACROSS SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA AND
WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. THIS AREA OF RAIN SHOULD COMPLETELY
DISSIPATE LATER THIS EVENING. AFTER MIDNIGHT...ANOTHER AREA OF
RAIN IS EXPECTED TO FORM OVER THE TEXAS PANHANDLE...SPREADING EAST
WITH TIME.

A FAIRLY ROBUST SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO ROUND THE UPPER-
LEVEL RIDGE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT...BRINGING VERY
HIGH CHANCES FOR RAIN. THIS RAIN MAY BE HEAVY...AND FLOODING MAY
BECOME A PROBLEM.

THE STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE AWAY FROM OKLAHOMA/NORTH TEXAS ON
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...TAKING THE RAIN WITH IT. ONLY SPORADIC
SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED...IF ANYTHING...THIS WEEKEND.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE WELL BELOW THE SEASONAL AVERAGE FOR MOST OF
THE WEEK...PARTLY DUE TO A COOLER AIRMASS OVER THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS...AND PARTLY DUE TO MORE CLOUD COVER AND PRECIPITATION THAN
NORMAL.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  69  87  67  76 /  10  20  60  80
HOBART OK         67  84  66  82 /  30  40  50  50
WICHITA FALLS TX  70  89  70  93 /  20  30  40  40
GAGE OK           65  80  64  75 /  30  40  80  70
PONCA CITY OK     64  85  66  77 /   0  10  60  80
DURANT OK         70  92  70  81 /  10  20  30  60

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

11/84




000
FXUS64 KOUN 290254
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
954 PM CDT MON JUL 28 2014

.UPDATE...
SMALL AREA OF LIGHT SHOWERS DEVELOPING OVER WEST-CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
AND SHOULD HOLD TOGETHER OVERNIGHT AND MOVE JUST SOUTH AND WEST OF
OKC. ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT OVER PANHANDLES LATE TONIGHT STILL IN
SOME OF THE MODELS SO WILL NOT DEVIATE FAR FROM GOING POPS.
LATEST WRF MODEL TRENDING TOWARD THE ECM AND BRINGING AXIS OF
GREATEST RAIN AMOUNTS FARTHER SOUTH OVER BODY OF OKLAHOMA LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 619 PM CDT MON JUL 28 2014/

DISCUSSION...
REFER TO THE 00Z AVIATION FORECAST BELOW...

AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. BKN MID
LEVEL CIGS ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT FROM NEAR KGAG/KWWR DOWN TO
KLAW/KSPS...AS ANOTHER COMPLEX OF SHOWERS DEVELOPS OVER THE TX
PANHANDLE AND EVENTUALLY SW OK. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD MOVE INTO SW
OK AND N TX IN THE 09Z TO 15Z TIMEFRAME. OTHER SCT SHRA MAY
DEVELOP AT KCSM/KHBR LATER IN THE AFTERNOON. LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL MAY LEAD TO BRIEF MVFR/IFR VSBYS AT SOME TERMINALS...BUT
CONFIDENCE IS TOO LOW TO INCLUDE IN PREVAILING OR TEMPO GROUPS AT
THIS TIME.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 328 PM CDT MON JUL 28 2014/

DISCUSSION...
RAIN CONTINUES TO DIMINISH SLOWLY ACROSS SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA AND
WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. THIS AREA OF RAIN SHOULD COMPLETELY
DISSIPATE LATER THIS EVENING. AFTER MIDNIGHT...ANOTHER AREA OF
RAIN IS EXPECTED TO FORM OVER THE TEXAS PANHANDLE...SPREADING EAST
WITH TIME.

A FAIRLY ROBUST SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO ROUND THE UPPER-
LEVEL RIDGE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT...BRINGING VERY
HIGH CHANCES FOR RAIN. THIS RAIN MAY BE HEAVY...AND FLOODING MAY
BECOME A PROBLEM.

THE STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE AWAY FROM OKLAHOMA/NORTH TEXAS ON
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...TAKING THE RAIN WITH IT. ONLY SPORADIC
SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED...IF ANYTHING...THIS WEEKEND.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE WELL BELOW THE SEASONAL AVERAGE FOR MOST OF
THE WEEK...PARTLY DUE TO A COOLER AIRMASS OVER THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS...AND PARTLY DUE TO MORE CLOUD COVER AND PRECIPITATION THAN
NORMAL.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  69  87  67  76 /  10  20  60  80
HOBART OK         67  84  66  82 /  30  40  50  50
WICHITA FALLS TX  70  89  70  93 /  20  30  40  40
GAGE OK           65  80  64  75 /  30  40  80  70
PONCA CITY OK     64  85  66  77 /   0  10  60  80
DURANT OK         70  92  70  81 /  10  20  30  60

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

11/84





000
FXUS64 KOUN 290254
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
954 PM CDT MON JUL 28 2014

.UPDATE...
SMALL AREA OF LIGHT SHOWERS DEVELOPING OVER WEST-CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
AND SHOULD HOLD TOGETHER OVERNIGHT AND MOVE JUST SOUTH AND WEST OF
OKC. ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT OVER PANHANDLES LATE TONIGHT STILL IN
SOME OF THE MODELS SO WILL NOT DEVIATE FAR FROM GOING POPS.
LATEST WRF MODEL TRENDING TOWARD THE ECM AND BRINGING AXIS OF
GREATEST RAIN AMOUNTS FARTHER SOUTH OVER BODY OF OKLAHOMA LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 619 PM CDT MON JUL 28 2014/

DISCUSSION...
REFER TO THE 00Z AVIATION FORECAST BELOW...

AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. BKN MID
LEVEL CIGS ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT FROM NEAR KGAG/KWWR DOWN TO
KLAW/KSPS...AS ANOTHER COMPLEX OF SHOWERS DEVELOPS OVER THE TX
PANHANDLE AND EVENTUALLY SW OK. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD MOVE INTO SW
OK AND N TX IN THE 09Z TO 15Z TIMEFRAME. OTHER SCT SHRA MAY
DEVELOP AT KCSM/KHBR LATER IN THE AFTERNOON. LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL MAY LEAD TO BRIEF MVFR/IFR VSBYS AT SOME TERMINALS...BUT
CONFIDENCE IS TOO LOW TO INCLUDE IN PREVAILING OR TEMPO GROUPS AT
THIS TIME.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 328 PM CDT MON JUL 28 2014/

DISCUSSION...
RAIN CONTINUES TO DIMINISH SLOWLY ACROSS SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA AND
WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. THIS AREA OF RAIN SHOULD COMPLETELY
DISSIPATE LATER THIS EVENING. AFTER MIDNIGHT...ANOTHER AREA OF
RAIN IS EXPECTED TO FORM OVER THE TEXAS PANHANDLE...SPREADING EAST
WITH TIME.

A FAIRLY ROBUST SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO ROUND THE UPPER-
LEVEL RIDGE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT...BRINGING VERY
HIGH CHANCES FOR RAIN. THIS RAIN MAY BE HEAVY...AND FLOODING MAY
BECOME A PROBLEM.

THE STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE AWAY FROM OKLAHOMA/NORTH TEXAS ON
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...TAKING THE RAIN WITH IT. ONLY SPORADIC
SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED...IF ANYTHING...THIS WEEKEND.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE WELL BELOW THE SEASONAL AVERAGE FOR MOST OF
THE WEEK...PARTLY DUE TO A COOLER AIRMASS OVER THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS...AND PARTLY DUE TO MORE CLOUD COVER AND PRECIPITATION THAN
NORMAL.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  69  87  67  76 /  10  20  60  80
HOBART OK         67  84  66  82 /  30  40  50  50
WICHITA FALLS TX  70  89  70  93 /  20  30  40  40
GAGE OK           65  80  64  75 /  30  40  80  70
PONCA CITY OK     64  85  66  77 /   0  10  60  80
DURANT OK         70  92  70  81 /  10  20  30  60

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

11/84




000
FXUS64 KOUN 282319
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
619 PM CDT MON JUL 28 2014

.DISCUSSION...
REFER TO THE 00Z AVIATION FORECAST BELOW...

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. BKN MID
LEVEL CIGS ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT FROM NEAR KGAG/KWWR DOWN TO
KLAW/KSPS...AS ANOTHER COMPLEX OF SHOWERS DEVELOPS OVER THE TX
PANHANDLE AND EVENTUALLY SW OK. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD MOVE INTO SW
OK AND N TX IN THE 09Z TO 15Z TIMEFRAME. OTHER SCT SHRA MAY
DEVELOP AT KCSM/KHBR LATER IN THE AFTERNOON. LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL MAY LEAD TO BRIEF MVFR/IFR VSBYS AT SOME TERMINALS...BUT
CONFIDENCE IS TOO LOW TO INCLUDE IN PREVAILING OR TEMPO GROUPS AT
THIS TIME.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 328 PM CDT MON JUL 28 2014/

DISCUSSION...
RAIN CONTINUES TO DIMINISH SLOWLY ACROSS SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA AND
WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. THIS AREA OF RAIN SHOULD COMPLETELY
DISSIPATE LATER THIS EVENING. AFTER MIDNIGHT...ANOTHER AREA OF
RAIN IS EXPECTED TO FORM OVER THE TEXAS PANHANDLE...SPREADING EAST
WITH TIME.

A FAIRLY ROBUST SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO ROUND THE UPPER-
LEVEL RIDGE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT...BRINGING VERY
HIGH CHANCES FOR RAIN. THIS RAIN MAY BE HEAVY...AND FLOODING MAY
BECOME A PROBLEM.

THE STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE AWAY FROM OKLAHOMA/NORTH TEXAS ON
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...TAKING THE RAIN WITH IT. ONLY SPORADIC
SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED...IF ANYTHING...THIS WEEKEND.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE WELL BELOW THE SEASONAL AVERAGE FOR MOST OF
THE WEEK...PARTLY DUE TO A COOLER AIRMASS OVER THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS...AND PARTLY DUE TO MORE CLOUD COVER AND PRECIPITATION THAN
NORMAL.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  68  87  67  76 /  10  20  60  80
HOBART OK         68  84  66  82 /  20  40  50  50
WICHITA FALLS TX  70  89  70  93 /  20  30  40  40
GAGE OK           67  80  64  75 /  30  40  80  70
PONCA CITY OK     65  85  66  77 /   0  10  60  80
DURANT OK         69  92  70  81 /  20  20  30  60

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

11/84





000
FXUS64 KOUN 282319
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
619 PM CDT MON JUL 28 2014

.DISCUSSION...
REFER TO THE 00Z AVIATION FORECAST BELOW...

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. BKN MID
LEVEL CIGS ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT FROM NEAR KGAG/KWWR DOWN TO
KLAW/KSPS...AS ANOTHER COMPLEX OF SHOWERS DEVELOPS OVER THE TX
PANHANDLE AND EVENTUALLY SW OK. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD MOVE INTO SW
OK AND N TX IN THE 09Z TO 15Z TIMEFRAME. OTHER SCT SHRA MAY
DEVELOP AT KCSM/KHBR LATER IN THE AFTERNOON. LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL MAY LEAD TO BRIEF MVFR/IFR VSBYS AT SOME TERMINALS...BUT
CONFIDENCE IS TOO LOW TO INCLUDE IN PREVAILING OR TEMPO GROUPS AT
THIS TIME.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 328 PM CDT MON JUL 28 2014/

DISCUSSION...
RAIN CONTINUES TO DIMINISH SLOWLY ACROSS SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA AND
WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. THIS AREA OF RAIN SHOULD COMPLETELY
DISSIPATE LATER THIS EVENING. AFTER MIDNIGHT...ANOTHER AREA OF
RAIN IS EXPECTED TO FORM OVER THE TEXAS PANHANDLE...SPREADING EAST
WITH TIME.

A FAIRLY ROBUST SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO ROUND THE UPPER-
LEVEL RIDGE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT...BRINGING VERY
HIGH CHANCES FOR RAIN. THIS RAIN MAY BE HEAVY...AND FLOODING MAY
BECOME A PROBLEM.

THE STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE AWAY FROM OKLAHOMA/NORTH TEXAS ON
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...TAKING THE RAIN WITH IT. ONLY SPORADIC
SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED...IF ANYTHING...THIS WEEKEND.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE WELL BELOW THE SEASONAL AVERAGE FOR MOST OF
THE WEEK...PARTLY DUE TO A COOLER AIRMASS OVER THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS...AND PARTLY DUE TO MORE CLOUD COVER AND PRECIPITATION THAN
NORMAL.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  68  87  67  76 /  10  20  60  80
HOBART OK         68  84  66  82 /  20  40  50  50
WICHITA FALLS TX  70  89  70  93 /  20  30  40  40
GAGE OK           67  80  64  75 /  30  40  80  70
PONCA CITY OK     65  85  66  77 /   0  10  60  80
DURANT OK         69  92  70  81 /  20  20  30  60

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

11/84




000
FXUS64 KOUN 282028
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
328 PM CDT MON JUL 28 2014

.DISCUSSION...
RAIN CONTINUES TO DIMINISH SLOWLY ACROSS SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA AND
WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. THIS AREA OF RAIN SHOULD COMPLETELY
DISSIPATE LATER THIS EVENING. AFTER MIDNIGHT...ANOTHER AREA OF
RAIN IS EXPECTED TO FORM OVER THE TEXAS PANHANDLE...SPREADING EAST
WITH TIME.

A FAIRLY ROBUST SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO ROUND THE UPPER-
LEVEL RIDGE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT...BRINGING VERY
HIGH CHANCES FOR RAIN. THIS RAIN MAY BE HEAVY...AND FLOODING MAY
BECOME A PROBLEM.

THE STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE AWAY FROM OKLAHOMA/NORTH TEXAS ON
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...TAKING THE RAIN WITH IT. ONLY SPORADIC
SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED...IF ANYTHING...THIS WEEKEND.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE WELL BELOW THE SEASONAL AVERAGE FOR MOST OF
THE WEEK...PARTLY DUE TO A COOLER AIRMASS OVER THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS...AND PARTLY DUE TO MORE CLOUD COVER AND PRECIPITATION THAN
NORMAL.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  68  87  67  76 /  10  40  60  80
HOBART OK         68  84  66  82 /  20  50  50  50
WICHITA FALLS TX  70  89  70  93 /  20  40  40  40
GAGE OK           67  80  64  75 /  30  60  80  70
PONCA CITY OK     65  85  66  77 /   0  30  60  80
DURANT OK         69  92  70  81 /  20  20  30  60

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

09/23





000
FXUS64 KOUN 282028
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
328 PM CDT MON JUL 28 2014

.DISCUSSION...
RAIN CONTINUES TO DIMINISH SLOWLY ACROSS SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA AND
WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. THIS AREA OF RAIN SHOULD COMPLETELY
DISSIPATE LATER THIS EVENING. AFTER MIDNIGHT...ANOTHER AREA OF
RAIN IS EXPECTED TO FORM OVER THE TEXAS PANHANDLE...SPREADING EAST
WITH TIME.

A FAIRLY ROBUST SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO ROUND THE UPPER-
LEVEL RIDGE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT...BRINGING VERY
HIGH CHANCES FOR RAIN. THIS RAIN MAY BE HEAVY...AND FLOODING MAY
BECOME A PROBLEM.

THE STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE AWAY FROM OKLAHOMA/NORTH TEXAS ON
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...TAKING THE RAIN WITH IT. ONLY SPORADIC
SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED...IF ANYTHING...THIS WEEKEND.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE WELL BELOW THE SEASONAL AVERAGE FOR MOST OF
THE WEEK...PARTLY DUE TO A COOLER AIRMASS OVER THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS...AND PARTLY DUE TO MORE CLOUD COVER AND PRECIPITATION THAN
NORMAL.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  68  87  67  76 /  10  40  60  80
HOBART OK         68  84  66  82 /  20  50  50  50
WICHITA FALLS TX  70  89  70  93 /  20  40  40  40
GAGE OK           67  80  64  75 /  30  60  80  70
PONCA CITY OK     65  85  66  77 /   0  30  60  80
DURANT OK         69  92  70  81 /  20  20  30  60

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

09/23




000
FXUS64 KOUN 281709
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1209 PM CDT MON JUL 28 2014

.AVIATION...
SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON OVER SOUTHWESTERN
TAF SITES. THERE WILL BE ANOTHER CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT AND TOMORROW MORNING ACROSS WESTERN
SITES...BUT CONFIDENCE IS TOO LOW TO MENTION IN TAFS.
OVERNIGHT...LIGHT WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT AROUND FROM THE NORTH
TO THE SOUTH. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT ALL SITES.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 615 AM CDT MON JUL 28 2014/

AVIATION...
28/12Z TAFS...SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS CONTINUE FROM WEST CENTRAL OK INTO
N TX. WILL KEEP TEMPO TSRA GROUPS AT SW OK SITES AND KSPS FOR THE
FIRST FEW HOURS. EXPECT STORMS TO DISSIPATE LATER THIS MORNING WITH
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED AREAWIDE. MORE TSTMS POSSIBLE LATE IN THE PD
AFFECTING NW OK SITES.


PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 357 AM CDT MON JUL 28 2014/

DISCUSSION...
FRONT HAS PUSHED SOUTH OF THE FA THIS MORNING WITH COOLER AIRMASS
FILTERING IN. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WHICH DEVELOPED
AROUND MIDNIGHT CONTINUE FROM WEST CENTRAL INTO SE OK EARLY THIS
MORNING AND APPEAR TO BE ROUGHLY ALIGNED WITH ELEVATED FRONTAL
BOUNDARY PUSHING SOUTHWARD INTO SRN OK. EXPECT SHOWERS/TSTMS TO
CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS THEN GRADUALLY DIMINISH
AS BOUNDARY PUSHES SOUTH OF THE AREA.

NWLY FLOW ALOFT WILL PERSIST WITH MORE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
POSSIBLE TONIGHT...MAINLY WESTERN AREAS. MORE WIDESPREAD RAIN AND
THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY AS A MORE
PRONOUNCED S/W TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE CENTRAL ROCKIES.
INCREASING WAA AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE WILL ENHANCE PRECIP
DEVELOPMENT. MODELS HAVE BEEN FAIRLY CONSISTENT WITH THIS TREND
AND SHOW REASONABLE AGREEMENT WITH AXIS OF HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION
ACROSS PARTS OF NRN/CNTRL OK. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE
POSSIBLE. MAIN AREA OF RAIN/TSTMS WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT SEWD LATE
WEDNESDAY/WEDNESDAY NIGHT THEN TAPER OFF ON THURSDAY AS THE S/W
TROUGH MOVES THROUGH.

DRIER WEATHER IS EXPECTED LATER IN THE WEEK WITH TEMPERATURES
REMAINING BELOW SEASONAL AVERAGES AS NORTHWESTERLY UPPER FLOW
PREVAILS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  68  87  67  76 /  10  40  60  80
HOBART OK         68  84  66  82 /  30  50  50  50
WICHITA FALLS TX  70  89  70  93 /  30  40  40  40
GAGE OK           67  80  64  75 /  30  60  80  70
PONCA CITY OK     65  85  66  77 /   0  30  60  80
DURANT OK         69  92  70  81 /  10  20  30  60

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

99/99/14





000
FXUS64 KOUN 281709
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1209 PM CDT MON JUL 28 2014

.AVIATION...
SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON OVER SOUTHWESTERN
TAF SITES. THERE WILL BE ANOTHER CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT AND TOMORROW MORNING ACROSS WESTERN
SITES...BUT CONFIDENCE IS TOO LOW TO MENTION IN TAFS.
OVERNIGHT...LIGHT WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT AROUND FROM THE NORTH
TO THE SOUTH. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT ALL SITES.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 615 AM CDT MON JUL 28 2014/

AVIATION...
28/12Z TAFS...SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS CONTINUE FROM WEST CENTRAL OK INTO
N TX. WILL KEEP TEMPO TSRA GROUPS AT SW OK SITES AND KSPS FOR THE
FIRST FEW HOURS. EXPECT STORMS TO DISSIPATE LATER THIS MORNING WITH
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED AREAWIDE. MORE TSTMS POSSIBLE LATE IN THE PD
AFFECTING NW OK SITES.


PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 357 AM CDT MON JUL 28 2014/

DISCUSSION...
FRONT HAS PUSHED SOUTH OF THE FA THIS MORNING WITH COOLER AIRMASS
FILTERING IN. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WHICH DEVELOPED
AROUND MIDNIGHT CONTINUE FROM WEST CENTRAL INTO SE OK EARLY THIS
MORNING AND APPEAR TO BE ROUGHLY ALIGNED WITH ELEVATED FRONTAL
BOUNDARY PUSHING SOUTHWARD INTO SRN OK. EXPECT SHOWERS/TSTMS TO
CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS THEN GRADUALLY DIMINISH
AS BOUNDARY PUSHES SOUTH OF THE AREA.

NWLY FLOW ALOFT WILL PERSIST WITH MORE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
POSSIBLE TONIGHT...MAINLY WESTERN AREAS. MORE WIDESPREAD RAIN AND
THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY AS A MORE
PRONOUNCED S/W TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE CENTRAL ROCKIES.
INCREASING WAA AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE WILL ENHANCE PRECIP
DEVELOPMENT. MODELS HAVE BEEN FAIRLY CONSISTENT WITH THIS TREND
AND SHOW REASONABLE AGREEMENT WITH AXIS OF HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION
ACROSS PARTS OF NRN/CNTRL OK. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE
POSSIBLE. MAIN AREA OF RAIN/TSTMS WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT SEWD LATE
WEDNESDAY/WEDNESDAY NIGHT THEN TAPER OFF ON THURSDAY AS THE S/W
TROUGH MOVES THROUGH.

DRIER WEATHER IS EXPECTED LATER IN THE WEEK WITH TEMPERATURES
REMAINING BELOW SEASONAL AVERAGES AS NORTHWESTERLY UPPER FLOW
PREVAILS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  68  87  67  76 /  10  40  60  80
HOBART OK         68  84  66  82 /  30  50  50  50
WICHITA FALLS TX  70  89  70  93 /  30  40  40  40
GAGE OK           67  80  64  75 /  30  60  80  70
PONCA CITY OK     65  85  66  77 /   0  30  60  80
DURANT OK         69  92  70  81 /  10  20  30  60

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

99/99/14




000
FXUS64 KOUN 281122
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
615 AM CDT MON JUL 28 2014

.AVIATION...
28/12Z TAFS...SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS CONTINUE FROM WEST CENTRAL OK INTO
N TX. WILL KEEP TEMPO TSRA GROUPS AT SW OK SITES AND KSPS FOR THE
FIRST FEW HOURS. EXPECT STORMS TO DISSIPATE LATER THIS MORNING WITH
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED AREAWIDE. MORE TSTMS POSSIBLE LATE IN THE PD
AFFECTING NW OK SITES.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 357 AM CDT MON JUL 28 2014/

.DISCUSSION...
FRONT HAS PUSHED SOUTH OF THE FA THIS MORNING WITH COOLER AIRMASS
FILTERING IN. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WHICH DEVELOPED
AROUND MIDNIGHT CONTINUE FROM WEST CENTRAL INTO SE OK EARLY THIS
MORNING AND APPEAR TO BE ROUGHLY ALIGNED WITH ELEVATED FRONTAL
BOUNDARY PUSHING SOUTHWARD INTO SRN OK. EXPECT SHOWERS/TSTMS TO
CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS THEN GRADUALLY DIMINISH
AS BOUNDARY PUSHES SOUTH OF THE AREA.

NWLY FLOW ALOFT WILL PERSIST WITH MORE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
POSSIBLE TONIGHT...MAINLY WESTERN AREAS. MORE WIDESPREAD RAIN AND
THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY AS A MORE
PRONOUNCED S/W TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE CENTRAL ROCKIES.
INCREASING WAA AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE WILL ENHANCE PRECIP
DEVELOPMENT. MODELS HAVE BEEN FAIRLY CONSISTENT WITH THIS TREND
AND SHOW REASONABLE AGREEMENT WITH AXIS OF HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION
ACROSS PARTS OF NRN/CNTRL OK. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE
POSSIBLE. MAIN AREA OF RAIN/TSTMS WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT SEWD LATE
WEDNESDAY/WEDNESDAY NIGHT THEN TAPER OFF ON THURSDAY AS THE S/W
TROUGH MOVES THROUGH.

DRIER WEATHER IS EXPECTED LATER IN THE WEEK WITH TEMPERATURES
REMAINING BELOW SEASONAL AVERAGES AS NORTHWESTERLY UPPER FLOW
PREVAILS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  89  68  87  67 /  20  10  40  60
HOBART OK         90  68  84  66 /  60  30  50  50
WICHITA FALLS TX  90  70  89  70 /  50  30  40  40
GAGE OK           87  67  80  64 /  40  30  60  80
PONCA CITY OK     87  65  85  66 /   0   0  30  60
DURANT OK         93  69  92  70 /  50  10  20  30

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

06/02





000
FXUS64 KOUN 280857
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
357 AM CDT MON JUL 28 2014

.DISCUSSION...
FRONT HAS PUSHED SOUTH OF THE FA THIS MORNING WITH COOLER AIRMASS
FILTERING IN. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WHICH DEVELOPED
AROUND MIDNIGHT CONTINUE FROM WEST CENTRAL INTO SE OK EARLY THIS
MORNING AND APPEAR TO BE ROUGHLY ALIGNED WITH ELEVATED FRONTAL
BOUNDARY PUSHING SOUTHWARD INTO SRN OK. EXPECT SHOWERS/TSTMS TO
CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS THEN GRADUALLY DIMINISH
AS BOUNDARY PUSHES SOUTH OF THE AREA.

NWLY FLOW ALOFT WILL PERSIST WITH MORE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
POSSIBLE TONIGHT...MAINLY WESTERN AREAS. MORE WIDESPREAD RAIN AND
THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY AS A MORE
PRONOUNCED S/W TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE CENTRAL ROCKIES.
INCREASING WAA AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE WILL ENHANCE PRECIP
DEVELOPMENT. MODELS HAVE BEEN FAIRLY CONSISTENT WITH THIS TREND
AND SHOW REASONABLE AGREEMENT WITH AXIS OF HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION
ACROSS PARTS OF NRN/CNTRL OK. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE
POSSIBLE. MAIN AREA OF RAIN/TSTMS WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT SEWD LATE
WEDNESDAY/WEDNESDAY NIGHT THEN TAPER OFF ON THURSDAY AS THE S/W
TROUGH MOVES THROUGH.

DRIER WEATHER IS EXPECTED LATER IN THE WEEK WITH TEMPERATURES
REMAINING BELOW SEASONAL AVERAGES AS NORTHWESTERLY UPPER FLOW
PREVAILS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  89  68  87  67 /  20  10  40  60
HOBART OK         90  68  84  66 /  60  30  50  50
WICHITA FALLS TX  90  70  89  70 /  50  30  40  40
GAGE OK           87  67  80  64 /  40  30  60  80
PONCA CITY OK     87  65  85  66 /   0   0  30  60
DURANT OK         93  69  92  70 /  50  10  20  30

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

06/02





000
FXUS64 KOUN 280857
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
357 AM CDT MON JUL 28 2014

.DISCUSSION...
FRONT HAS PUSHED SOUTH OF THE FA THIS MORNING WITH COOLER AIRMASS
FILTERING IN. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WHICH DEVELOPED
AROUND MIDNIGHT CONTINUE FROM WEST CENTRAL INTO SE OK EARLY THIS
MORNING AND APPEAR TO BE ROUGHLY ALIGNED WITH ELEVATED FRONTAL
BOUNDARY PUSHING SOUTHWARD INTO SRN OK. EXPECT SHOWERS/TSTMS TO
CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS THEN GRADUALLY DIMINISH
AS BOUNDARY PUSHES SOUTH OF THE AREA.

NWLY FLOW ALOFT WILL PERSIST WITH MORE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
POSSIBLE TONIGHT...MAINLY WESTERN AREAS. MORE WIDESPREAD RAIN AND
THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY AS A MORE
PRONOUNCED S/W TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE CENTRAL ROCKIES.
INCREASING WAA AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE WILL ENHANCE PRECIP
DEVELOPMENT. MODELS HAVE BEEN FAIRLY CONSISTENT WITH THIS TREND
AND SHOW REASONABLE AGREEMENT WITH AXIS OF HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION
ACROSS PARTS OF NRN/CNTRL OK. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE
POSSIBLE. MAIN AREA OF RAIN/TSTMS WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT SEWD LATE
WEDNESDAY/WEDNESDAY NIGHT THEN TAPER OFF ON THURSDAY AS THE S/W
TROUGH MOVES THROUGH.

DRIER WEATHER IS EXPECTED LATER IN THE WEEK WITH TEMPERATURES
REMAINING BELOW SEASONAL AVERAGES AS NORTHWESTERLY UPPER FLOW
PREVAILS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  89  68  87  67 /  20  10  40  60
HOBART OK         90  68  84  66 /  60  30  50  50
WICHITA FALLS TX  90  70  89  70 /  50  30  40  40
GAGE OK           87  67  80  64 /  40  30  60  80
PONCA CITY OK     87  65  85  66 /   0   0  30  60
DURANT OK         93  69  92  70 /  50  10  20  30

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

06/02




000
FXUS64 KOUN 280420
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1120 PM CDT SUN JUL 27 2014

.AVIATION...
28/06Z TAFS...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL. SHORT TERM
MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE POSSIBILITY OF TSRA NEAR KLAW/KSPS
FIRST SEVERAL HOURS OF FORECAST. WILL WAIT UNTIL ISSUANCE TIME TO
MAKE CALL WHETHER TO INCLUDE TEMPO GROUP. NORTHEAST WINDS FIRST
HALF OF FORECAST PERIOD WILL SLOWLY VEER TO EAST AND SOUTHEAST
SECOND HALF OF FORECAST. STORMS TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND EVENING
EXPECTED TO BE SOUTH OF TERMINALS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  71  87  68  87 /  20  30  10  20
HOBART OK         70  87  68  86 /  40  40  20  40
WICHITA FALLS TX  75  89  70  89 /  30  40  30  30
GAGE OK           66  83  64  82 /  20  30  20  60
PONCA CITY OK     68  87  65  87 /  10   0   0  10
DURANT OK         76  91  69  90 /  40  40  10  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

26/11/11




000
FXUS64 KOUN 280420
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1120 PM CDT SUN JUL 27 2014

.AVIATION...
28/06Z TAFS...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL. SHORT TERM
MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE POSSIBILITY OF TSRA NEAR KLAW/KSPS
FIRST SEVERAL HOURS OF FORECAST. WILL WAIT UNTIL ISSUANCE TIME TO
MAKE CALL WHETHER TO INCLUDE TEMPO GROUP. NORTHEAST WINDS FIRST
HALF OF FORECAST PERIOD WILL SLOWLY VEER TO EAST AND SOUTHEAST
SECOND HALF OF FORECAST. STORMS TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND EVENING
EXPECTED TO BE SOUTH OF TERMINALS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  71  87  68  87 /  20  30  10  20
HOBART OK         70  87  68  86 /  40  40  20  40
WICHITA FALLS TX  75  89  70  89 /  30  40  30  30
GAGE OK           66  83  64  82 /  20  30  20  60
PONCA CITY OK     68  87  65  87 /  10   0   0  10
DURANT OK         76  91  69  90 /  40  40  10  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

26/11/11





000
FXUS64 KOUN 280125
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
825 PM CDT SUN JUL 27 2014

.UPDATE...
HAVE UPDATED THE PACKAGE THIS EVENING TO REMOVE THE HEAT HEADLINES
AND TO MODIFY PRECIPITATION FORECAST FOR THIS EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT. IN THE SHORT TERM... ISOLATED SHOWERS/STORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE BUT WILL LOWER POPS AND CONFINE TO THE SOUTH CLOSER TO
THE BOUNDARY. PRECIPITATION CHANCES INCREASE SOMEWHAT AFTER
MIDNIGHT... BUT CURRENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT THE MOST LIKELY FOR
CONVECTION IS ACROSS THE SOUTH... AND HAVE REDUCED OR ELIMINATED
POPS ACROSS THE NORTH OVERNIGHT.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 641 PM CDT SUN JUL 27 2014/

AVIATION...
28/00Z TAFS...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL. ISOLATED
TSRA DEVELOPING BETWEEN KSPS AND KLAW ALONG INITIAL FRONTAL
BOUNDARY EXPECTED TO STAY SOUTH OF KLAW AND CONFIDENCE NOT HIGH
ENOUGH FOR TEMPO/PREVAILING TSRA AT KSPS. THUS TSRA WILL BE LEFT
OUT OF INITIAL FORECAST AND AMENDMENTS WILL BE ISSUED IF IT
BECOMES MORE APPARENT OF KSPS IMPACT THIS EVENING. GUSTY
NORTHEAST WINDS NEAR AND SOUTH OF KCSM/KOUN WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH
THIS EVENING AND ALL TERMINALS WILL SEE MAINLY LIGHT ELY WIND
TOMORROW.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 150 PM CDT SUN JUL 27 2014/

DISCUSSION...
THERE WILL BE GOOD OPPORTUNITIES THE NEXT FOUR MORNINGS FOR RAIN
IN PARTS OF CENTRAL AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA. THE FRONT THAT IS MOVING
THROUGH THE STATE THIS AFTERNOON WILL PROVIDE A FOCUS FOR
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS NEAR AND NORTH OF THE FRONT
LATER TODAY. THIS FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TO JUST SOUTH OF THE
RED RIVER EARLY MONDAY. THE VERY MOIST ATMOSPHERE IN THE UPSLOPE
REGION NEAR AND NORTH OF THE FRONT WILL BRING SOME RAIN/SHOWERS TO
PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA. EARLY TUESDAY MORNING
A LOW-LEVEL JET FROM THE SOUTH WILL MOVE OVER THE EASTERLY FLOW
NORTH OF THE FRONT AND PRODUCE SOME RAIN/THUNDERSTORMS IN WESTERN
OKLAHOMA AND ADJACENT PARTS OF TEXAS. WEDNESDAY MORNING A WEAK
UPPER WAVE MAY BE COINCIDENT WITH THE LOW-LEVEL JET IN NORTHERN
OKLAHOMA WHERE RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LIKELY. SINCE A
THUNDERSTORM/RAIN COMPLEX IS EXPECTED FROM THIS, MUCH OF THE
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PART OF OKLAHOMA WILL LIKELY HAVE RAIN
WEDNESDAY WHEN THE COMPLEX MOVES SLOWLY EAST-SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE
DAY. LATE WEDNESDAY OR EARLY THURSDAY ANOTHER FRONT ASSOCIATED
WITH A STRONGER UPPER WAVE MOVING THROUGH THE EASTERN U.S. TROUGH
WILL LIKELY BRING YET ANOTHER ROUND OF RAIN THURSDAY. CLOUDS AND
RAIN WILL BRING DAYTIME TEMPERATURES CLOSER TO 80 WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY. WITH PART OF THE POST-FRONTAL AIRMASS STILL IN OKLAHOMA,
THE END OF THE WEEK WILL REMAIN JUST VERY WARM INSTEAD OF VERY HOT
AS HAS RECENTLY BEEN THE CASE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  71  87  68  87 /  20  30  10  20
HOBART OK         70  87  68  86 /  40  40  20  40
WICHITA FALLS TX  75  89  70  89 /  30  40  30  30
GAGE OK           66  83  64  82 /  20  30  20  60
PONCA CITY OK     68  87  65  87 /  10   0   0  10
DURANT OK         76  91  69  90 /  40  40  10  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KOUN 280125
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
825 PM CDT SUN JUL 27 2014

.UPDATE...
HAVE UPDATED THE PACKAGE THIS EVENING TO REMOVE THE HEAT HEADLINES
AND TO MODIFY PRECIPITATION FORECAST FOR THIS EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT. IN THE SHORT TERM... ISOLATED SHOWERS/STORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE BUT WILL LOWER POPS AND CONFINE TO THE SOUTH CLOSER TO
THE BOUNDARY. PRECIPITATION CHANCES INCREASE SOMEWHAT AFTER
MIDNIGHT... BUT CURRENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT THE MOST LIKELY FOR
CONVECTION IS ACROSS THE SOUTH... AND HAVE REDUCED OR ELIMINATED
POPS ACROSS THE NORTH OVERNIGHT.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 641 PM CDT SUN JUL 27 2014/

AVIATION...
28/00Z TAFS...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL. ISOLATED
TSRA DEVELOPING BETWEEN KSPS AND KLAW ALONG INITIAL FRONTAL
BOUNDARY EXPECTED TO STAY SOUTH OF KLAW AND CONFIDENCE NOT HIGH
ENOUGH FOR TEMPO/PREVAILING TSRA AT KSPS. THUS TSRA WILL BE LEFT
OUT OF INITIAL FORECAST AND AMENDMENTS WILL BE ISSUED IF IT
BECOMES MORE APPARENT OF KSPS IMPACT THIS EVENING. GUSTY
NORTHEAST WINDS NEAR AND SOUTH OF KCSM/KOUN WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH
THIS EVENING AND ALL TERMINALS WILL SEE MAINLY LIGHT ELY WIND
TOMORROW.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 150 PM CDT SUN JUL 27 2014/

DISCUSSION...
THERE WILL BE GOOD OPPORTUNITIES THE NEXT FOUR MORNINGS FOR RAIN
IN PARTS OF CENTRAL AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA. THE FRONT THAT IS MOVING
THROUGH THE STATE THIS AFTERNOON WILL PROVIDE A FOCUS FOR
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS NEAR AND NORTH OF THE FRONT
LATER TODAY. THIS FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TO JUST SOUTH OF THE
RED RIVER EARLY MONDAY. THE VERY MOIST ATMOSPHERE IN THE UPSLOPE
REGION NEAR AND NORTH OF THE FRONT WILL BRING SOME RAIN/SHOWERS TO
PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA. EARLY TUESDAY MORNING
A LOW-LEVEL JET FROM THE SOUTH WILL MOVE OVER THE EASTERLY FLOW
NORTH OF THE FRONT AND PRODUCE SOME RAIN/THUNDERSTORMS IN WESTERN
OKLAHOMA AND ADJACENT PARTS OF TEXAS. WEDNESDAY MORNING A WEAK
UPPER WAVE MAY BE COINCIDENT WITH THE LOW-LEVEL JET IN NORTHERN
OKLAHOMA WHERE RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LIKELY. SINCE A
THUNDERSTORM/RAIN COMPLEX IS EXPECTED FROM THIS, MUCH OF THE
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PART OF OKLAHOMA WILL LIKELY HAVE RAIN
WEDNESDAY WHEN THE COMPLEX MOVES SLOWLY EAST-SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE
DAY. LATE WEDNESDAY OR EARLY THURSDAY ANOTHER FRONT ASSOCIATED
WITH A STRONGER UPPER WAVE MOVING THROUGH THE EASTERN U.S. TROUGH
WILL LIKELY BRING YET ANOTHER ROUND OF RAIN THURSDAY. CLOUDS AND
RAIN WILL BRING DAYTIME TEMPERATURES CLOSER TO 80 WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY. WITH PART OF THE POST-FRONTAL AIRMASS STILL IN OKLAHOMA,
THE END OF THE WEEK WILL REMAIN JUST VERY WARM INSTEAD OF VERY HOT
AS HAS RECENTLY BEEN THE CASE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  71  87  68  87 /  20  30  10  20
HOBART OK         70  87  68  86 /  40  40  20  40
WICHITA FALLS TX  75  89  70  89 /  30  40  30  30
GAGE OK           66  83  64  82 /  20  30  20  60
PONCA CITY OK     68  87  65  87 /  10   0   0  10
DURANT OK         76  91  69  90 /  40  40  10  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KOUN 272341
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
641 PM CDT SUN JUL 27 2014

.AVIATION...
28/00Z TAFS...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL. ISOLATED
TSRA DEVELOPING BETWEEN KSPS AND KLAW ALONG INITIAL FRONTAL
BOUNDARY EXPECTED TO STAY SOUTH OF KLAW AND CONFIDENCE NOT HIGH
ENOUGH FOR TEMPO/PREVAILING TSRA AT KSPS. THUS TSRA WILL BE LEFT
OUT OF INITIAL FORECAST AND AMENDMENTS WILL BE ISSUED IF IT
BECOMES MORE APPARENT OF KSPS IMPACT THIS EVENING. GUSTY
NORTHEAST WINDS NEAR AND SOUTH OF KCSM/KOUN WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH
THIS EVENING AND ALL TERMINALS WILL SEE MAINLY LIGHT ELY WIND
TOMORROW.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 150 PM CDT SUN JUL 27 2014/

DISCUSSION...
THERE WILL BE GOOD OPPORTUNITIES THE NEXT FOUR MORNINGS FOR RAIN
IN PARTS OF CENTRAL AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA. THE FRONT THAT IS MOVING
THROUGH THE STATE THIS AFTERNOON WILL PROVIDE A FOCUS FOR
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS NEAR AND NORTH OF THE FRONT
LATER TODAY. THIS FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TO JUST SOUTH OF THE
RED RIVER EARLY MONDAY. THE VERY MOIST ATMOSPHERE IN THE UPSLOPE
REGION NEAR AND NORTH OF THE FRONT WILL BRING SOME RAIN/SHOWERS TO
PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA. EARLY TUESDAY MORNING
A LOW-LEVEL JET FROM THE SOUTH WILL MOVE OVER THE EASTERLY FLOW
NORTH OF THE FRONT AND PRODUCE SOME RAIN/THUNDERSTORMS IN WESTERN
OKLAHOMA AND ADJACENT PARTS OF TEXAS. WEDNESDAY MORNING A WEAK
UPPER WAVE MAY BE COINCIDENT WITH THE LOW-LEVEL JET IN NORTHERN
OKLAHOMA WHERE RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LIKELY. SINCE A
THUNDERSTORM/RAIN COMPLEX IS EXPECTED FROM THIS, MUCH OF THE
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PART OF OKLAHOMA WILL LIKELY HAVE RAIN
WEDNESDAY WHEN THE COMPLEX MOVES SLOWLY EAST-SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE
DAY. LATE WEDNESDAY OR EARLY THURSDAY ANOTHER FRONT ASSOCIATED
WITH A STRONGER UPPER WAVE MOVING THROUGH THE EASTERN U.S. TROUGH
WILL LIKELY BRING YET ANOTHER ROUND OF RAIN THURSDAY. CLOUDS AND
RAIN WILL BRING DAYTIME TEMPERATURES CLOSER TO 80 WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY. WITH PART OF THE POST-FRONTAL AIRMASS STILL IN OKLAHOMA,
THE END OF THE WEEK WILL REMAIN JUST VERY WARM INSTEAD OF VERY HOT
AS HAS RECENTLY BEEN THE CASE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  71  87  68  87 /  40  30  10  20
HOBART OK         70  87  68  86 /  40  40  20  40
WICHITA FALLS TX  75  89  70  89 /  30  40  30  30
GAGE OK           66  83  64  82 /  40  30  20  60
PONCA CITY OK     68  87  65  87 /  20   0   0  10
DURANT OK         76  91  69  90 /  40  40  10  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR OKZ032-037>048-
     050>052.

TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR TXZ085-086-088>090.

&&

$$

26/11




000
FXUS64 KOUN 272341
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
641 PM CDT SUN JUL 27 2014

.AVIATION...
28/00Z TAFS...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL. ISOLATED
TSRA DEVELOPING BETWEEN KSPS AND KLAW ALONG INITIAL FRONTAL
BOUNDARY EXPECTED TO STAY SOUTH OF KLAW AND CONFIDENCE NOT HIGH
ENOUGH FOR TEMPO/PREVAILING TSRA AT KSPS. THUS TSRA WILL BE LEFT
OUT OF INITIAL FORECAST AND AMENDMENTS WILL BE ISSUED IF IT
BECOMES MORE APPARENT OF KSPS IMPACT THIS EVENING. GUSTY
NORTHEAST WINDS NEAR AND SOUTH OF KCSM/KOUN WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH
THIS EVENING AND ALL TERMINALS WILL SEE MAINLY LIGHT ELY WIND
TOMORROW.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 150 PM CDT SUN JUL 27 2014/

DISCUSSION...
THERE WILL BE GOOD OPPORTUNITIES THE NEXT FOUR MORNINGS FOR RAIN
IN PARTS OF CENTRAL AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA. THE FRONT THAT IS MOVING
THROUGH THE STATE THIS AFTERNOON WILL PROVIDE A FOCUS FOR
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS NEAR AND NORTH OF THE FRONT
LATER TODAY. THIS FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TO JUST SOUTH OF THE
RED RIVER EARLY MONDAY. THE VERY MOIST ATMOSPHERE IN THE UPSLOPE
REGION NEAR AND NORTH OF THE FRONT WILL BRING SOME RAIN/SHOWERS TO
PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA. EARLY TUESDAY MORNING
A LOW-LEVEL JET FROM THE SOUTH WILL MOVE OVER THE EASTERLY FLOW
NORTH OF THE FRONT AND PRODUCE SOME RAIN/THUNDERSTORMS IN WESTERN
OKLAHOMA AND ADJACENT PARTS OF TEXAS. WEDNESDAY MORNING A WEAK
UPPER WAVE MAY BE COINCIDENT WITH THE LOW-LEVEL JET IN NORTHERN
OKLAHOMA WHERE RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LIKELY. SINCE A
THUNDERSTORM/RAIN COMPLEX IS EXPECTED FROM THIS, MUCH OF THE
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PART OF OKLAHOMA WILL LIKELY HAVE RAIN
WEDNESDAY WHEN THE COMPLEX MOVES SLOWLY EAST-SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE
DAY. LATE WEDNESDAY OR EARLY THURSDAY ANOTHER FRONT ASSOCIATED
WITH A STRONGER UPPER WAVE MOVING THROUGH THE EASTERN U.S. TROUGH
WILL LIKELY BRING YET ANOTHER ROUND OF RAIN THURSDAY. CLOUDS AND
RAIN WILL BRING DAYTIME TEMPERATURES CLOSER TO 80 WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY. WITH PART OF THE POST-FRONTAL AIRMASS STILL IN OKLAHOMA,
THE END OF THE WEEK WILL REMAIN JUST VERY WARM INSTEAD OF VERY HOT
AS HAS RECENTLY BEEN THE CASE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  71  87  68  87 /  40  30  10  20
HOBART OK         70  87  68  86 /  40  40  20  40
WICHITA FALLS TX  75  89  70  89 /  30  40  30  30
GAGE OK           66  83  64  82 /  40  30  20  60
PONCA CITY OK     68  87  65  87 /  20   0   0  10
DURANT OK         76  91  69  90 /  40  40  10  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR OKZ032-037>048-
     050>052.

TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR TXZ085-086-088>090.

&&

$$

26/11





000
FXUS64 KOUN 271850
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
150 PM CDT SUN JUL 27 2014

.DISCUSSION...
THERE WILL BE GOOD OPPORTUNITIES THE NEXT FOUR MORNINGS FOR RAIN
IN PARTS OF CENTRAL AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA. THE FRONT THAT IS MOVING
THROUGH THE STATE THIS AFTERNOON WILL PROVIDE A FOCUS FOR
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS NEAR AND NORTH OF THE FRONT
LATER TODAY. THIS FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TO JUST SOUTH OF THE
RED RIVER EARLY MONDAY. THE VERY MOIST ATMOSPHERE IN THE UPSLOPE
REGION NEAR AND NORTH OF THE FRONT WILL BRING SOME RAIN/SHOWERS TO
PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA. EARLY TUESDAY MORNING
A LOW-LEVEL JET FROM THE SOUTH WILL MOVE OVER THE EASTERLY FLOW
NORTH OF THE FRONT AND PRODUCE SOME RAIN/THUNDERSTORMS IN WESTERN
OKLAHOMA AND ADJACENT PARTS OF TEXAS. WEDNESDAY MORNING A WEAK
UPPER WAVE MAY BE COINCIDENT WITH THE LOW-LEVEL JET IN NORTHERN
OKLAHOMA WHERE RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LIKELY. SINCE A
THUNDERSTORM/RAIN COMPLEX IS EXPECTED FROM THIS, MUCH OF THE
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PART OF OKLAHOMA WILL LIKELY HAVE RAIN
WEDNESDAY WHEN THE COMPLEX MOVES SLOWLY EAST-SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE
DAY. LATE WEDNESDAY OR EARLY THURSDAY ANOTHER FRONT ASSOCIATED
WITH A STRONGER UPPER WAVE MOVING THROUGH THE EASTERN U.S. TROUGH
WILL LIKELY BRING YET ANOTHER ROUND OF RAIN THURSDAY. CLOUDS AND
RAIN WILL BRING DAYTIME TEMPERATURES CLOSER TO 80 WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY. WITH PART OF THE POST-FRONTAL AIRMASS STILL IN OKLAHOMA,
THE END OF THE WEEK WILL REMAIN JUST VERY WARM INSTEAD OF VERY HOT
AS HAS RECENTLY BEEN THE CASE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  71  87  68  87 /  40  30  10  20
HOBART OK         70  87  68  86 /  40  40  20  40
WICHITA FALLS TX  75  89  70  89 /  20  40  30  30
GAGE OK           66  83  64  82 /  40  30  20  50
PONCA CITY OK     68  87  65  87 /  20   0   0  10
DURANT OK         76  91  69  90 /  30  40  10  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR OKZ032-037>048-
     050>052.

TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR TXZ085-086-088>090.

&&

$$

23/09





000
FXUS64 KOUN 271850
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
150 PM CDT SUN JUL 27 2014

.DISCUSSION...
THERE WILL BE GOOD OPPORTUNITIES THE NEXT FOUR MORNINGS FOR RAIN
IN PARTS OF CENTRAL AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA. THE FRONT THAT IS MOVING
THROUGH THE STATE THIS AFTERNOON WILL PROVIDE A FOCUS FOR
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS NEAR AND NORTH OF THE FRONT
LATER TODAY. THIS FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TO JUST SOUTH OF THE
RED RIVER EARLY MONDAY. THE VERY MOIST ATMOSPHERE IN THE UPSLOPE
REGION NEAR AND NORTH OF THE FRONT WILL BRING SOME RAIN/SHOWERS TO
PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA. EARLY TUESDAY MORNING
A LOW-LEVEL JET FROM THE SOUTH WILL MOVE OVER THE EASTERLY FLOW
NORTH OF THE FRONT AND PRODUCE SOME RAIN/THUNDERSTORMS IN WESTERN
OKLAHOMA AND ADJACENT PARTS OF TEXAS. WEDNESDAY MORNING A WEAK
UPPER WAVE MAY BE COINCIDENT WITH THE LOW-LEVEL JET IN NORTHERN
OKLAHOMA WHERE RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LIKELY. SINCE A
THUNDERSTORM/RAIN COMPLEX IS EXPECTED FROM THIS, MUCH OF THE
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PART OF OKLAHOMA WILL LIKELY HAVE RAIN
WEDNESDAY WHEN THE COMPLEX MOVES SLOWLY EAST-SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE
DAY. LATE WEDNESDAY OR EARLY THURSDAY ANOTHER FRONT ASSOCIATED
WITH A STRONGER UPPER WAVE MOVING THROUGH THE EASTERN U.S. TROUGH
WILL LIKELY BRING YET ANOTHER ROUND OF RAIN THURSDAY. CLOUDS AND
RAIN WILL BRING DAYTIME TEMPERATURES CLOSER TO 80 WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY. WITH PART OF THE POST-FRONTAL AIRMASS STILL IN OKLAHOMA,
THE END OF THE WEEK WILL REMAIN JUST VERY WARM INSTEAD OF VERY HOT
AS HAS RECENTLY BEEN THE CASE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  71  87  68  87 /  40  30  10  20
HOBART OK         70  87  68  86 /  40  40  20  40
WICHITA FALLS TX  75  89  70  89 /  20  40  30  30
GAGE OK           66  83  64  82 /  40  30  20  50
PONCA CITY OK     68  87  65  87 /  20   0   0  10
DURANT OK         76  91  69  90 /  30  40  10  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR OKZ032-037>048-
     050>052.

TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR TXZ085-086-088>090.

&&

$$

23/09




000
FXUS64 KOUN 271813
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
113 PM CDT SUN JUL 27 2014

.AVIATION...
A MILD COLD FRONT WILL HAVE MOVED THROUGH ALL OF CENTRAL AND
WESTERN OKLAHOMA BY 280600. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
IN CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS WILL PERSIST DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS SUNDAY
NORTH OF THE FRONT. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY OCCUR OVERNIGHT
IN SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA NEAR THE FRONT.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1024 AM CDT SUN JUL 27 2014/

DISCUSSION...
AN APPARENT MCV OVER KANSAS WILL PROBABLY CONTINUE TO GENERATE
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE NORTHERN BORDER OF OKLAHOMA
THE REST OF THIS MORNING.

AS A COLD FRONT PROGRESSES SOUTH TOWARD I-40 THIS AFTERNOON...RAIN
CHANCES WILL INCREASE ALONG THE FRONT.

THE FORECAST HAS BEEN UPDATED FOR MINOR CHANGES TO THE SHORT-TERM
PRECIPITATION FORECAST. THE REST OF THE FORECAST FOR TODAY SEEMS
TO BE IN GOOD SHAPE...AND NO OTHER CHANGES ARE PLANNED FOR THIS
MORNING.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 630 AM CDT SUN JUL 27 2014/

AVIATION...
27/12Z TAFS...FRONT/OUTFLOW NOW MOVING INTO NRN OK WILL CONTINUE SOUTHWARD
TODAY AND TONIGHT. WILL CONTINUE WITH PROB30 TSRA GROUPS AT AND BEHIND FRONT
MAINLY LATE AFTN/EVENING NORTHERN SITES AND MAINLY TONIGHT SRN SITES AS BOUNDARY
CONTINUES SOUTHWARD.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 403 AM CDT SUN JUL 27 2014...
COLD FRONT...AIDED BY TSTM OUTFLOW NOW ENTERING FAR NW PARTS OF
THE FA. FRONT IS EXPECTED TO PUSH SOUTHWARD TODAY MOVING THROUGH
NRN AND MUCH OF CENTRAL OK BY EARLY EVENING. HOT TEMPS WILL
PREVAIL AGAIN TODAY AHEAD OF THE FRONT ACROSS SRN OK AND N TX AND
A HEAT ADVY CONTINUES FOR THOSE AREAS. SCATTERED TSTMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE ALONG AND BEHIND THE FRONT TODAY AND TONIGHT.

COOLER WEATHER EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA MONDAY AND TUESDAY. PRECIP
CHANCES WILL MAINLY BE CONFINED TO SRN AND WESTERN AREAS WITH SHOWERS/TSTMS
MOVING OFF THE HIGH PLAINS UNDER NWLY FLOW ALOFT. MORE WIDESPREAD
SHOWERS/TSTMS...WITH SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE...IS
EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY AS MORE SIGNIFICANT S/W
TROUGH DROPS SEWD ACROSS THE REGION INTERACTING WITH STALLED
SURFACE BOUNDARY NEAR THE AREA.

BELOW NORMAL TEMPS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
PERIOD ALTHOUGH PRECIP CHANCES WILL DIMINISH BY LATE IN THE WEEK.
COLD FRONT...AIDED BY TSTM OUTFLOW NOW ENTERING FAR NW PARTS OF

BELOW NORMAL TEMPS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
PERIOD ALTHOUGH PRECIP CHANCES WILL DIMINISH BY LATE IN THE WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  71  87  68  87 /  40  30  10  20
HOBART OK         70  87  68  86 /  40  40  20  40
WICHITA FALLS TX  75  89  70  89 /  20  40  30  30
GAGE OK           66  83  64  82 /  40  30  20  50
PONCA CITY OK     68  87  65  87 /  20   0   0  10
DURANT OK         76  91  69  90 /  30  40  10  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR OKZ032-037>048-
     050>052.

TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR TXZ085-086-088>090.

&&

$$

23/09/09





000
FXUS64 KOUN 271524
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1024 AM CDT SUN JUL 27 2014

.DISCUSSION...
AN APPARENT MCV OVER KANSAS WILL PROBABLY CONTINUE TO GENERATE
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE NORTHERN BORDER OF OKLAHOMA
THE REST OF THIS MORNING.

AS A COLD FRONT PROGRESSES SOUTH TOWARD I-40 THIS AFTERNOON...RAIN
CHANCES WILL INCREASE ALONG THE FRONT.

THE FORECAST HAS BEEN UPDATED FOR MINOR CHANGES TO THE SHORT-TERM
PRECIPITATION FORECAST. THE REST OF THE FORECAST FOR TODAY SEEMS
TO BE IN GOOD SHAPE...AND NO OTHER CHANGES ARE PLANNED FOR THIS
MORNING.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 630 AM CDT SUN JUL 27 2014/

AVIATION...
27/12Z TAFS...FRONT/OUTFLOW NOW MOVING INTO NRN OK WILL CONTINUE SOUTHWARD
TODAY AND TONIGHT. WILL CONTINUE WITH PROB30 TSRA GROUPS AT AND BEHIND FRONT
MAINLY LATE AFTN/EVENING NORTHERN SITES AND MAINLY TONIGHT SRN SITES AS BOUNDARY
CONTINUES SOUTHWARD.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 403 AM CDT SUN JUL 27 2014...
COLD FRONT...AIDED BY TSTM OUTFLOW NOW ENTERING FAR NW PARTS OF
THE FA. FRONT IS EXPECTED TO PUSH SOUTHWARD TODAY MOVING THROUGH
NRN AND MUCH OF CENTRAL OK BY EARLY EVENING. HOT TEMPS WILL
PREVAIL AGAIN TODAY AHEAD OF THE FRONT ACROSS SRN OK AND N TX AND
A HEAT ADVY CONTINUES FOR THOSE AREAS. SCATTERED TSTMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE ALONG AND BEHIND THE FRONT TODAY AND TONIGHT.

COOLER WEATHER EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA MONDAY AND TUESDAY. PRECIP
CHANCES WILL MAINLY BE CONFINED TO SRN AND WESTERN AREAS WITH SHOWERS/TSTMS
MOVING OFF THE HIGH PLAINS UNDER NWLY FLOW ALOFT. MORE WIDESPREAD
SHOWERS/TSTMS...WITH SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE...IS
EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY AS MORE SIGNIFICANT S/W
TROUGH DROPS SEWD ACROSS THE REGION INTERACTING WITH STALLED
SURFACE BOUNDARY NEAR THE AREA.

BELOW NORMAL TEMPS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
PERIOD ALTHOUGH PRECIP CHANCES WILL DIMINISH BY LATE IN THE WEEK.
COLD FRONT...AIDED BY TSTM OUTFLOW NOW ENTERING FAR NW PARTS OF

BELOW NORMAL TEMPS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
PERIOD ALTHOUGH PRECIP CHANCES WILL DIMINISH BY LATE IN THE WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  99  71  87  68 /  20  40  30  10
HOBART OK        102  70  87  68 /  20  40  40  20
WICHITA FALLS TX 102  75  89  70 /  10  20  40  30
GAGE OK           93  66  83  64 /  30  40  30  20
PONCA CITY OK     94  68  87  65 /  20  20   0   0
DURANT OK         99  76  91  69 /  10  30  40  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR OKZ032-037>048-
     050>052.

TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR TXZ085-086-088>090.

&&

$$

23/09





000
FXUS64 KOUN 271524
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1024 AM CDT SUN JUL 27 2014

.DISCUSSION...
AN APPARENT MCV OVER KANSAS WILL PROBABLY CONTINUE TO GENERATE
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE NORTHERN BORDER OF OKLAHOMA
THE REST OF THIS MORNING.

AS A COLD FRONT PROGRESSES SOUTH TOWARD I-40 THIS AFTERNOON...RAIN
CHANCES WILL INCREASE ALONG THE FRONT.

THE FORECAST HAS BEEN UPDATED FOR MINOR CHANGES TO THE SHORT-TERM
PRECIPITATION FORECAST. THE REST OF THE FORECAST FOR TODAY SEEMS
TO BE IN GOOD SHAPE...AND NO OTHER CHANGES ARE PLANNED FOR THIS
MORNING.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 630 AM CDT SUN JUL 27 2014/

AVIATION...
27/12Z TAFS...FRONT/OUTFLOW NOW MOVING INTO NRN OK WILL CONTINUE SOUTHWARD
TODAY AND TONIGHT. WILL CONTINUE WITH PROB30 TSRA GROUPS AT AND BEHIND FRONT
MAINLY LATE AFTN/EVENING NORTHERN SITES AND MAINLY TONIGHT SRN SITES AS BOUNDARY
CONTINUES SOUTHWARD.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 403 AM CDT SUN JUL 27 2014...
COLD FRONT...AIDED BY TSTM OUTFLOW NOW ENTERING FAR NW PARTS OF
THE FA. FRONT IS EXPECTED TO PUSH SOUTHWARD TODAY MOVING THROUGH
NRN AND MUCH OF CENTRAL OK BY EARLY EVENING. HOT TEMPS WILL
PREVAIL AGAIN TODAY AHEAD OF THE FRONT ACROSS SRN OK AND N TX AND
A HEAT ADVY CONTINUES FOR THOSE AREAS. SCATTERED TSTMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE ALONG AND BEHIND THE FRONT TODAY AND TONIGHT.

COOLER WEATHER EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA MONDAY AND TUESDAY. PRECIP
CHANCES WILL MAINLY BE CONFINED TO SRN AND WESTERN AREAS WITH SHOWERS/TSTMS
MOVING OFF THE HIGH PLAINS UNDER NWLY FLOW ALOFT. MORE WIDESPREAD
SHOWERS/TSTMS...WITH SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE...IS
EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY AS MORE SIGNIFICANT S/W
TROUGH DROPS SEWD ACROSS THE REGION INTERACTING WITH STALLED
SURFACE BOUNDARY NEAR THE AREA.

BELOW NORMAL TEMPS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
PERIOD ALTHOUGH PRECIP CHANCES WILL DIMINISH BY LATE IN THE WEEK.
COLD FRONT...AIDED BY TSTM OUTFLOW NOW ENTERING FAR NW PARTS OF

BELOW NORMAL TEMPS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
PERIOD ALTHOUGH PRECIP CHANCES WILL DIMINISH BY LATE IN THE WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  99  71  87  68 /  20  40  30  10
HOBART OK        102  70  87  68 /  20  40  40  20
WICHITA FALLS TX 102  75  89  70 /  10  20  40  30
GAGE OK           93  66  83  64 /  30  40  30  20
PONCA CITY OK     94  68  87  65 /  20  20   0   0
DURANT OK         99  76  91  69 /  10  30  40  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR OKZ032-037>048-
     050>052.

TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR TXZ085-086-088>090.

&&

$$

23/09




000
FXUS64 KOUN 271136
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
630 AM CDT SUN JUL 27 2014

.AVIATION...
27/12Z TAFS...FRONT/OUTFLOW NOW MOVING INTO NRN OK WILL CONTINUE SOUTHWARD
TODAY AND TONIGHT. WILL CONTINUE WITH PROB30 TSRA GROUPS AT AND BEHIND FRONT
MAINLY LATE AFTN/EVENING NORTHERN SITES AND MAINLY TONIGHT SRN SITES AS BOUNDARY
CONTINUES SOUTHWARD.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 403 AM CDT SUN JUL 27 2014...
COLD FRONT...AIDED BY TSTM OUTFLOW NOW ENTERING FAR NW PARTS OF
THE FA. FRONT IS EXPECTED TO PUSH SOUTHWARD TODAY MOVING THROUGH
NRN AND MUCH OF CENTRAL OK BY EARLY EVENING. HOT TEMPS WILL
PREVAIL AGAIN TODAY AHEAD OF THE FRONT ACROSS SRN OK AND N TX AND
A HEAT ADVY CONTINUES FOR THOSE AREAS. SCATTERED TSTMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE ALONG AND BEHIND THE FRONT TODAY AND TONIGHT.

COOLER WEATHER EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA MONDAY AND TUESDAY. PRECIP
CHANCES WILL MAINLY BE CONFINED TO SRN AND WESTERN AREAS WITH SHOWERS/TSTMS
MOVING OFF THE HIGH PLAINS UNDER NWLY FLOW ALOFT. MORE WIDESPREAD
SHOWERS/TSTMS...WITH SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE...IS
EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY AS MORE SIGNIFICANT S/W
TROUGH DROPS SEWD ACROSS THE REGION INTERACTING WITH STALLED
SURFACE BOUNDARY NEAR THE AREA.

BELOW NORMAL TEMPS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
PERIOD ALTHOUGH PRECIP CHANCES WILL DIMINISH BY LATE IN THE WEEK.
COLD FRONT...AIDED BY TSTM OUTFLOW NOW ENTERING FAR NW PARTS OF


BELOW NORMAL TEMPS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
PERIOD ALTHOUGH PRECIP CHANCES WILL DIMINISH BY LATE IN THE WEEK.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  99  71  87  68 /  30  40  30  10
HOBART OK        102  70  87  68 /  20  40  40  20
WICHITA FALLS TX 102  75  89  70 /  10  20  40  30
GAGE OK           93  66  83  64 /  20  40  30  20
PONCA CITY OK     94  68  87  65 /  20  20   0   0
DURANT OK         99  76  91  69 /  10  30  40  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR OKZ032-037>048-
     050>052.

TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR TXZ085-086-088>090.

&&

$$

06/02





000
FXUS64 KOUN 271136
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
630 AM CDT SUN JUL 27 2014

.AVIATION...
27/12Z TAFS...FRONT/OUTFLOW NOW MOVING INTO NRN OK WILL CONTINUE SOUTHWARD
TODAY AND TONIGHT. WILL CONTINUE WITH PROB30 TSRA GROUPS AT AND BEHIND FRONT
MAINLY LATE AFTN/EVENING NORTHERN SITES AND MAINLY TONIGHT SRN SITES AS BOUNDARY
CONTINUES SOUTHWARD.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 403 AM CDT SUN JUL 27 2014...
COLD FRONT...AIDED BY TSTM OUTFLOW NOW ENTERING FAR NW PARTS OF
THE FA. FRONT IS EXPECTED TO PUSH SOUTHWARD TODAY MOVING THROUGH
NRN AND MUCH OF CENTRAL OK BY EARLY EVENING. HOT TEMPS WILL
PREVAIL AGAIN TODAY AHEAD OF THE FRONT ACROSS SRN OK AND N TX AND
A HEAT ADVY CONTINUES FOR THOSE AREAS. SCATTERED TSTMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE ALONG AND BEHIND THE FRONT TODAY AND TONIGHT.

COOLER WEATHER EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA MONDAY AND TUESDAY. PRECIP
CHANCES WILL MAINLY BE CONFINED TO SRN AND WESTERN AREAS WITH SHOWERS/TSTMS
MOVING OFF THE HIGH PLAINS UNDER NWLY FLOW ALOFT. MORE WIDESPREAD
SHOWERS/TSTMS...WITH SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE...IS
EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY AS MORE SIGNIFICANT S/W
TROUGH DROPS SEWD ACROSS THE REGION INTERACTING WITH STALLED
SURFACE BOUNDARY NEAR THE AREA.

BELOW NORMAL TEMPS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
PERIOD ALTHOUGH PRECIP CHANCES WILL DIMINISH BY LATE IN THE WEEK.
COLD FRONT...AIDED BY TSTM OUTFLOW NOW ENTERING FAR NW PARTS OF


BELOW NORMAL TEMPS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
PERIOD ALTHOUGH PRECIP CHANCES WILL DIMINISH BY LATE IN THE WEEK.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  99  71  87  68 /  30  40  30  10
HOBART OK        102  70  87  68 /  20  40  40  20
WICHITA FALLS TX 102  75  89  70 /  10  20  40  30
GAGE OK           93  66  83  64 /  20  40  30  20
PONCA CITY OK     94  68  87  65 /  20  20   0   0
DURANT OK         99  76  91  69 /  10  30  40  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR OKZ032-037>048-
     050>052.

TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR TXZ085-086-088>090.

&&

$$

06/02




000
FXUS64 KOUN 270903
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
403 AM CDT SUN JUL 27 2014

.DISCUSSION...
COLD FRONT...AIDED BY TSTM OUTFLOW NOW ENTERING FAR NW PARTS OF
THE FA. FRONT IS EXPECTED TO PUSH SOUTHWARD TODAY MOVING THROUGH
NRN AND MUCH OF CENTRAL OK BY EARLY EVENING. HOT TEMPS WILL
PREVAIL AGAIN TODAY AHEAD OF THE FRONT ACROSS SRN OK AND N TX AND
A HEAT ADVY CONTINUES FOR THOSE AREAS. SCATTERED TSTMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE ALONG AND BEHIND THE FRONT TODAY AND TONIGHT.

COOLER WEATHER EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA MONDAY AND TUESDAY. PRECIP
CHANCES WILL MAINLY BE CONFINED TO SRN AND WESTERN AREAS WITH SHOWERS/TSTMS
MOVING OFF THE HIGH PLAINS UNDER NWLY FLOW ALOFT. MORE WIDESPREAD
SHOWERS/TSTMS...WITH SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE...IS
EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY AS MORE SIGNIFICANT S/W
TROUGH DROPS SEWD ACROSS THE REGION INTERACTING WITH STALLED
SURFACE BOUNDARY NEAR THE AREA.

BELOW NORMAL TEMPS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
PERIOD ALTHOUGH PRECIP CHANCES WILL DIMINISH BY LATE IN THE WEEK.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  99  71  87  68 /  30  40  30  10
HOBART OK        102  70  87  68 /  20  40  40  20
WICHITA FALLS TX 102  75  89  70 /  10  20  40  30
GAGE OK           93  66  83  64 /  20  40  30  20
PONCA CITY OK     94  68  87  65 /  20  20   0   0
DURANT OK         99  76  91  69 /  10  30  40  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR OKZ032-037>048-
     050>052.

TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR TXZ085-086-088>090.

&&

$$

06/02




000
FXUS64 KOUN 270903
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
403 AM CDT SUN JUL 27 2014

.DISCUSSION...
COLD FRONT...AIDED BY TSTM OUTFLOW NOW ENTERING FAR NW PARTS OF
THE FA. FRONT IS EXPECTED TO PUSH SOUTHWARD TODAY MOVING THROUGH
NRN AND MUCH OF CENTRAL OK BY EARLY EVENING. HOT TEMPS WILL
PREVAIL AGAIN TODAY AHEAD OF THE FRONT ACROSS SRN OK AND N TX AND
A HEAT ADVY CONTINUES FOR THOSE AREAS. SCATTERED TSTMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE ALONG AND BEHIND THE FRONT TODAY AND TONIGHT.

COOLER WEATHER EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA MONDAY AND TUESDAY. PRECIP
CHANCES WILL MAINLY BE CONFINED TO SRN AND WESTERN AREAS WITH SHOWERS/TSTMS
MOVING OFF THE HIGH PLAINS UNDER NWLY FLOW ALOFT. MORE WIDESPREAD
SHOWERS/TSTMS...WITH SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE...IS
EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY AS MORE SIGNIFICANT S/W
TROUGH DROPS SEWD ACROSS THE REGION INTERACTING WITH STALLED
SURFACE BOUNDARY NEAR THE AREA.

BELOW NORMAL TEMPS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
PERIOD ALTHOUGH PRECIP CHANCES WILL DIMINISH BY LATE IN THE WEEK.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  99  71  87  68 /  30  40  30  10
HOBART OK        102  70  87  68 /  20  40  40  20
WICHITA FALLS TX 102  75  89  70 /  10  20  40  30
GAGE OK           93  66  83  64 /  20  40  30  20
PONCA CITY OK     94  68  87  65 /  20  20   0   0
DURANT OK         99  76  91  69 /  10  30  40  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR OKZ032-037>048-
     050>052.

TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR TXZ085-086-088>090.

&&

$$

06/02





000
FXUS64 KOUN 270352
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1052 PM CDT SAT JUL 26 2014

.AVIATION...
27/06Z TAFS...BASED ON 00Z MODEL GUIDANCE SLOWED FRONTAL MOVEMENT
TOMORROW FROM PREVIOUS FORECAST. ALSO INTRODUCED PROB30 TSRA FOR
WESTERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA TERMINALS MAINLY TOWARD AND AFTER
00Z. WRF/GFS DEPICTING SCATTERED STORMS POSSIBLE ALONG AND BEHIND
SLOW MOVING FRONTAL BOUNDARY.

MAJORITY OF STORMS CURRENTLY DEVELOPING OVER SOUTHEAST COLORADO
EXPECTED TO STAY NORTH AND WEST OF TERMINALS TONIGHT SO WILL NOT
BE MENTIONED IN NW OKLAHOMA TAFS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  74  98  70  90 /  10  20  30  30
HOBART OK         74 101  70  92 /  10  20  30  30
WICHITA FALLS TX  77 104  75  95 /   0  10  20  30
GAGE OK           70  92  65  88 /  20  20  30  30
PONCA CITY OK     76  93  67  88 /  20  20  20   0
DURANT OK         76  98  74  94 /   0  10  30  40

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT SUNDAY FOR OKZ032-037>048-050>052.

TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT SUNDAY FOR TXZ085-086-088>090.

&&

$$

26/11/11




000
FXUS64 KOUN 270352
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1052 PM CDT SAT JUL 26 2014

.AVIATION...
27/06Z TAFS...BASED ON 00Z MODEL GUIDANCE SLOWED FRONTAL MOVEMENT
TOMORROW FROM PREVIOUS FORECAST. ALSO INTRODUCED PROB30 TSRA FOR
WESTERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA TERMINALS MAINLY TOWARD AND AFTER
00Z. WRF/GFS DEPICTING SCATTERED STORMS POSSIBLE ALONG AND BEHIND
SLOW MOVING FRONTAL BOUNDARY.

MAJORITY OF STORMS CURRENTLY DEVELOPING OVER SOUTHEAST COLORADO
EXPECTED TO STAY NORTH AND WEST OF TERMINALS TONIGHT SO WILL NOT
BE MENTIONED IN NW OKLAHOMA TAFS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  74  98  70  90 /  10  20  30  30
HOBART OK         74 101  70  92 /  10  20  30  30
WICHITA FALLS TX  77 104  75  95 /   0  10  20  30
GAGE OK           70  92  65  88 /  20  20  30  30
PONCA CITY OK     76  93  67  88 /  20  20  20   0
DURANT OK         76  98  74  94 /   0  10  30  40

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT SUNDAY FOR OKZ032-037>048-050>052.

TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT SUNDAY FOR TXZ085-086-088>090.

&&

$$

26/11/11





000
FXUS64 KOUN 270254
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
954 PM CDT SAT JUL 26 2014

.UPDATE...
NO CHANGES TO THE PACKAGE THIS EVENING. HRRR AND LOCAL WRK STILL
HAVE A SLIGHT SIGNAL FOR PRECIPITATION TO THE NORTH WITH THE FRONT
SLIDING INTO THE AREA OVERNIGHT SO WILL LEAVE THE SLIGHT CHANCES
IN... ALTHOUGH NOT REAL BULLISH ON THOSE CHANCES.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 644 PM CDT SAT JUL 26 2014/

AVIATION...
27/00Z TAFS...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH FORECAST
PERIOD. FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL MAKE SLOW PROGRESS OVER TERMINALS
TONIGHT AND TOMORROW. SHOULD ENTER NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA BEFORE
DAYBREAK AND MAKE IT TO KSPS LAST FEW HOURS OF THIS FORECAST
PERIOD. ALTHOUGH A FEW STORMS WILL LIKELY BE SEEN NEAR FRONT...
DISPARITY AMONG SHORT-TERM MODELS...ANTICIPATED CAP...AND WEAK
CONVERGENCE ALONG FRONT WILL PRECLUDE MENTIONING TSRA IN
TERMINALS. BETTER CHANCES FOR STORMS WILL BE NEAR END OF FORECAST
AND BEYOND ACROSS SOUTHERN HALF OF OKLAHOMA INTO NORTHERN TEXAS.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 207 PM CDT SAT JUL 26 2014/

DISCUSSION...
A FRONT WILL MOVE INTO NORTHERN OKLAHOMA EARLY SUNDAY AND BRING A
LITTLE COOLER WEATHER WITH IT. HOWEVER, TEMPERATURES SOUTH OF THE
FRONT ARE EXPECTED TO BE ABOUT AS HOT AS TODAY AND IN SOME ZONE OF
CENTRAL OR SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AHEAD OF THE FRONT MAY EXCEED TODAY`S
AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES. THE HEAT ADVISORY HAS BEEN EXTENDED
THROUGH THE DAYTIME ON SUNDAY FOR PART OF SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHERN TEXAS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE
FRONT AS IT MOVES SOUTH THROUGH THE DAY. THE STALLING OF THIS
FRONT SOUTH OF THE RED RIVER MONDAY NIGHT WILL PROVIDE A FOCUS FOR
A MUCH BETTER CHANCE FOR RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY TUESDAY.
THESE WILL LIKELY BE CONCENTRATED IN WESTERN AND SOUTHWESTERN
OKLAHOMA IN THE UPSLOPE BOUNDARY FLOW INTO THE FRONT. WEAK MID-
LEVEL FLOW FROM THE NORTHWEST WILL HELP BRING A STRONGER FRONT
INTO OKLAHOMA WEDNESDAY. THIS IS EXPECTED TO BE ACCOMPANIED BY AN
UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH AND PLENTIFUL MOISTURE FOR MORE WIDESPREAD RAIN
AND A COOLER AIRMASS. LESSER RAIN CHANCES WILL CONTINUE THURSDAY
WHEN THE FRONT IS LIKELY STILL PRESENT. AFTER A MILD AND CLOUDY
MID-WEEK, A SLOW WARMING TREND BEGINS INTO NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  74  98  70  90 /  10  20  30  30
HOBART OK         74 101  70  92 /  10  20  30  30
WICHITA FALLS TX  77 104  75  95 /   0  10  20  30
GAGE OK           70  92  65  88 /  20  20  30  30
PONCA CITY OK     76  93  67  88 /  20  20  20   0
DURANT OK         76  98  74  94 /   0  10  30  40

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT SUNDAY FOR OKZ032-037>048-050>052.

TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT SUNDAY FOR TXZ085-086-088>090.

&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KOUN 270254
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
954 PM CDT SAT JUL 26 2014

.UPDATE...
NO CHANGES TO THE PACKAGE THIS EVENING. HRRR AND LOCAL WRK STILL
HAVE A SLIGHT SIGNAL FOR PRECIPITATION TO THE NORTH WITH THE FRONT
SLIDING INTO THE AREA OVERNIGHT SO WILL LEAVE THE SLIGHT CHANCES
IN... ALTHOUGH NOT REAL BULLISH ON THOSE CHANCES.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 644 PM CDT SAT JUL 26 2014/

AVIATION...
27/00Z TAFS...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH FORECAST
PERIOD. FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL MAKE SLOW PROGRESS OVER TERMINALS
TONIGHT AND TOMORROW. SHOULD ENTER NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA BEFORE
DAYBREAK AND MAKE IT TO KSPS LAST FEW HOURS OF THIS FORECAST
PERIOD. ALTHOUGH A FEW STORMS WILL LIKELY BE SEEN NEAR FRONT...
DISPARITY AMONG SHORT-TERM MODELS...ANTICIPATED CAP...AND WEAK
CONVERGENCE ALONG FRONT WILL PRECLUDE MENTIONING TSRA IN
TERMINALS. BETTER CHANCES FOR STORMS WILL BE NEAR END OF FORECAST
AND BEYOND ACROSS SOUTHERN HALF OF OKLAHOMA INTO NORTHERN TEXAS.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 207 PM CDT SAT JUL 26 2014/

DISCUSSION...
A FRONT WILL MOVE INTO NORTHERN OKLAHOMA EARLY SUNDAY AND BRING A
LITTLE COOLER WEATHER WITH IT. HOWEVER, TEMPERATURES SOUTH OF THE
FRONT ARE EXPECTED TO BE ABOUT AS HOT AS TODAY AND IN SOME ZONE OF
CENTRAL OR SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AHEAD OF THE FRONT MAY EXCEED TODAY`S
AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES. THE HEAT ADVISORY HAS BEEN EXTENDED
THROUGH THE DAYTIME ON SUNDAY FOR PART OF SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHERN TEXAS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE
FRONT AS IT MOVES SOUTH THROUGH THE DAY. THE STALLING OF THIS
FRONT SOUTH OF THE RED RIVER MONDAY NIGHT WILL PROVIDE A FOCUS FOR
A MUCH BETTER CHANCE FOR RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY TUESDAY.
THESE WILL LIKELY BE CONCENTRATED IN WESTERN AND SOUTHWESTERN
OKLAHOMA IN THE UPSLOPE BOUNDARY FLOW INTO THE FRONT. WEAK MID-
LEVEL FLOW FROM THE NORTHWEST WILL HELP BRING A STRONGER FRONT
INTO OKLAHOMA WEDNESDAY. THIS IS EXPECTED TO BE ACCOMPANIED BY AN
UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH AND PLENTIFUL MOISTURE FOR MORE WIDESPREAD RAIN
AND A COOLER AIRMASS. LESSER RAIN CHANCES WILL CONTINUE THURSDAY
WHEN THE FRONT IS LIKELY STILL PRESENT. AFTER A MILD AND CLOUDY
MID-WEEK, A SLOW WARMING TREND BEGINS INTO NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  74  98  70  90 /  10  20  30  30
HOBART OK         74 101  70  92 /  10  20  30  30
WICHITA FALLS TX  77 104  75  95 /   0  10  20  30
GAGE OK           70  92  65  88 /  20  20  30  30
PONCA CITY OK     76  93  67  88 /  20  20  20   0
DURANT OK         76  98  74  94 /   0  10  30  40

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT SUNDAY FOR OKZ032-037>048-050>052.

TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT SUNDAY FOR TXZ085-086-088>090.

&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KOUN 262344
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
644 PM CDT SAT JUL 26 2014

.AVIATION...
27/00Z TAFS...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH FORECAST
PERIOD. FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL MAKE SLOW PROGRESS OVER TERMINALS
TONIGHT AND TOMORROW. SHOULD ENTER NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA BEFORE
DAYBREAK AND MAKE IT TO KSPS LAST FEW HOURS OF THIS FORECAST
PERIOD. ALTHOUGH A FEW STORMS WILL LIKELY BE SEEN NEAR FRONT...
DISPARITY AMONG SHORT-TERM MODELS...ANTICIPATED CAP...AND WEAK
CONVERGENCE ALONG FRONT WILL PRECLUDE MENTIONING TSRA IN
TERMINALS. BETTER CHANCES FOR STORMS WILL BE NEAR END OF FORECAST
AND BEYOND ACROSS SOUTHERN HALF OF OKLAHOMA INTO NORTHERN TEXAS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 207 PM CDT SAT JUL 26 2014/

DISCUSSION...
A FRONT WILL MOVE INTO NORTHERN OKLAHOMA EARLY SUNDAY AND BRING A
LITTLE COOLER WEATHER WITH IT. HOWEVER, TEMPERATURES SOUTH OF THE
FRONT ARE EXPECTED TO BE ABOUT AS HOT AS TODAY AND IN SOME ZONE OF
CENTRAL OR SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AHEAD OF THE FRONT MAY EXCEED TODAY`S
AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES. THE HEAT ADVISORY HAS BEEN EXTENDED
THROUGH THE DAYTIME ON SUNDAY FOR PART OF SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHERN TEXAS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE
FRONT AS IT MOVES SOUTH THROUGH THE DAY. THE STALLING OF THIS
FRONT SOUTH OF THE RED RIVER MONDAY NIGHT WILL PROVIDE A FOCUS FOR
A MUCH BETTER CHANCE FOR RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY TUESDAY.
THESE WILL LIKELY BE CONCENTRATED IN WESTERN AND SOUTHWESTERN
OKLAHOMA IN THE UPSLOPE BOUNDARY FLOW INTO THE FRONT. WEAK MID-
LEVEL FLOW FROM THE NORTHWEST WILL HELP BRING A STRONGER FRONT
INTO OKLAHOMA WEDNESDAY. THIS IS EXPECTED TO BE ACCOMPANIED BY AN
UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH AND PLENTIFUL MOISTURE FOR MORE WIDESPREAD RAIN
AND A COOLER AIRMASS. LESSER RAIN CHANCES WILL CONTINUE THURSDAY
WHEN THE FRONT IS LIKELY STILL PRESENT. AFTER A MILD AND CLOUDY
MID-WEEK, A SLOW WARMING TREND BEGINS INTO NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  74  98  70  90 /  10  20  30  30
HOBART OK         74 101  70  92 /  10  20  30  30
WICHITA FALLS TX  77 104  75  95 /   0  10  20  30
GAGE OK           70  92  65  88 /  20  20  30  30
PONCA CITY OK     76  93  67  88 /  20  20  20   0
DURANT OK         76  98  74  94 /   0  10  30  40

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR OKZ005>008-010>031-
     033>036.

     HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT SUNDAY FOR OKZ032-037>048-050>052.

TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR TXZ083-084-087.

     HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT SUNDAY FOR TXZ085-086-088>090.

&&

$$

26/11/11




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