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000
FXUS66 KPQR 110456
AFDPQR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
855 PM PST WED FEB 10 2016

.SYNOPSIS...MILD AIR MASS TO REMAIN OVER THE REGION THROUGH FRI.
WEAK FRONTS OFFSHORE WILL BRUSH THE NW TODAY AND THU...WITH VARIABLE
CLOUDINESS ACROSS THE REGION...ALONG WITH SOME SPOTTY LIGHT RAIN
ALONG THE COAST AND POSSIBLY INLAND. THAT CHANGES BY FRI...AS FIRST
IN A SERIES OF FRONTS PUSH INTO THE PAC NW. SHOWERY ON SATURDAY...BUT
MORE RAIN ARRIVES ON SUNDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM...A WEAK BAROCLINIC ZONE WAS STRETCHED ACROSS THE NW
PART OF THE FORECAST THIS EVENING. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE REMAINED DEEP
ENOUGH...PRIMARILY ALONG THE COAST AND COAST RANGE...FOR SOME AREAS
OF DRIZZLE AND LIGHT RAIN THIS EVENING. THE FRONT IS LIKELY TO MOVE
LITTLE TONIGHT...BEFORE BEGINNING TO SHIFT N AGAIN THU AS A WARM
FRONT. RADAR TRENDS IN THE PAST HOUR OR SO HAVE SHOWN AN INCREASE IN
COVERAGE OF ECHOES ALONG THE CENTRAL OREGON COAST...WHICH WAS
LIFTING NE. AN INFLUX OF MID LEVEL MOISTURE LATER TONIGHT WITH
MODEST MID LEVEL ISENTROPIC LIFT SEEN AROUND THE 300K ISENTROPE WILL
BRING AN INCREASING CHANCE FOR SOME LIGHT RAIN...MAINLY TO THE N PART
OF THE FORECAST AREA LATE TONIGHT AND THU MORNING.

REMAINDER OF SHORT TERM DISCUSSION UNCHANGED...A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
IS STILL ON TRACK TO DEEPEN AS IT MOVES NORTHWARD ALONG 140W ON
THURSDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD IN RESPONSE AND
INCREASE RAIN CHANCES ACROSS THE AREA ON THURSDAY. AT THIS
POINT...THE DEEPEST MOISTURE AND BEST DYNAMICS WILL PRIMARILY
STAY OFFSHORE...BUT NONETHELESS...THERE SHOULD BE ENOUGH MOISTURE AND
LIFT TO PRODUCE PERIODS OF RAIN...PARTICULARLY NEAR THE COAST AND
ACROSS OUR MORE NORTHERN ZONES THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

THERE IS STILL SOME MODEST DISAGREEMENT IN REGARDS TO THE TIMING OF
WHEN A TRAILING COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION THURSDAY
NIGHT AND/OR FRIDAY MORNING. WHILE TIMING IS STILL
UNCERTAIN...CONFIDENCE IS HIGH THAT THE AREA WILL RECEIVE A SOLID
ROUND OF RAIN AT SOME POINT DURING THIS TIME. 12Z MODEL GUIDANCE
SUGGESTED THERE MAY BE ENOUGH INSTABILITY ALOFT TO PRODUCE A FEW
ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS AHEAD OF THE FRONT...BUT WILL HOLD OFF ON
ADDING THUNDER TO THE FORECAST UNTIL MODELS DISPLAY BETTER
CONSISTENCY.

AS COLDER AIR SPREADS INTO THE REGION FRIDAY...EXPECT SNOW LEVELS TO
LOWER INTO THE 4000-4500 FT RANGE AND PERHAPS ANOTHER 500-1000 FT
LOWER FRIDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY. QPF SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT TO
BRING SOME ACCUMULATING SNOW TO THE CASCADES AND CREATE A PERIOD OF
HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS...BUT NOT SURE IT WILL BE ENOUGH TO
WARRANT A WINTER WX ADVISORY. /NEUMAN

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THE PROGRESSIVE
WEATHER PATTERN WILL PERSIST INTO NEXT WEEK. MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW
A FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE PAC NW LATE SATURDAY/EARLY SUNDAY. HAVE
INCREASED POPS ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION SATURDAY EVENING TO ACCOUNT
FOR THE FASTER TIMING OF THE ECMWF. NOT EXPECTING TO SEE A LOT OF
CASCADE SNOW WITH THIS FRONT AS SNOW LEVELS QUICKLY RISE ABOVE 7000
FT EARLY SUNDAY. WE COULD SEE A BRIEF BREAK FROM THE RAIN MONDAY AS
A TRANSIENT UPPER LEVEL RIDGE MOVES ACROSS THE REGION...BUT WILL
MAINTAIN CHANCE POPS DUE TO SOME LINGERING INSTABILITY. A WEAK
SHORTWAVE COULD BRING SOME LIGHT SHOWERS TUESDAY. ANOTHER FRONT
ARRIVES LATE TUESDAY AND SHOULD BRING MORE RAIN AND CASCADE SNOW TO
THE REGION...WITH SNOW LEVELS LOWERING TO AROUND 3500 FT WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON. TEMPS LOOK TO REMAIN SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE
FORECAST...BUT WILL TREND COOLER AFTER MONDAY. /64
&&

.AVIATION...MOSTLY VFR INLAND THIS EVENING WITH A MIX OF MVFR AND
IFR ALONG THE COAST. CONDITIONS WILL NOT IMPROVE MUCH ALONG THE
COAST INTO THU MORNING AS A WARM FRONT APPROACHES. THE WARM FRONT
WILL BRING A MIX OF VFR AND MVFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA
THURSDAY.

KPDX AND APPROACHES...VFR CONDITIONS TONIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING.
MVFR CIGS POSSIBLE LATE THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON. BOWEN/TJ

&&

.MARINE...WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR CALM THIS EVENING. HOWEVER A
FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL SUPPORT ANOTHER ROUND OF SMALL CRAFT WINDS OUT
OF THE SOUTH THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. A SERIES OF LOWS OFFSHORE WILL
RESULT IN CONFUSED SEAS THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...WITH A LONG-
PERIOD SW SWELL AND A SHORTER PERIOD NW SWELL MOVING THROUGH THE
WATERS. THE COMBINED SEAS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 10 AND 14 FEET.
BOWEN/TJ

&&

.PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...NONE.
WA...NONE.
PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS FROM 10 AM THURSDAY TO 4 AM PST
     FRIDAY FOR WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER WA TO CASCADE HEAD
     OR FROM 10 TO 60 NM-WATERS FROM CASCADE HEAD TO FLORENCE OR
     FROM 10 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS FROM 3 AM THURSDAY TO 4
     AM PST SATURDAY FOR COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER WA TO
     FLORENCE OR OUT 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS FROM 4 PM THURSDAY TO 4 AM PST
     FRIDAY FOR COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER WA TO
     CASCADE HEAD OR OUT 10 NM-COASTAL WATERS FROM CASCADE HEAD
     TO FLORENCE OR OUT 10 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH COLUMBIA RIVER BAR FROM 4 AM TO
     9 AM PST THURSDAY.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH COLUMBIA RIVER BAR FROM 4 PM TO
     11 PM PST THURSDAY.

&&


$$

INTERACT WITH US VIA SOCIAL MEDIA
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSPORTLAND
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSPORTLAND


THIS DISCUSSION IS FOR NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON
FROM THE CASCADE CREST TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. THE AREA IS
COMMONLY REFERRED TO AS THE FORECAST AREA.





000
FXUS66 KPQR 110456
AFDPQR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
855 PM PST WED FEB 10 2016

.SYNOPSIS...MILD AIR MASS TO REMAIN OVER THE REGION THROUGH FRI.
WEAK FRONTS OFFSHORE WILL BRUSH THE NW TODAY AND THU...WITH VARIABLE
CLOUDINESS ACROSS THE REGION...ALONG WITH SOME SPOTTY LIGHT RAIN
ALONG THE COAST AND POSSIBLY INLAND. THAT CHANGES BY FRI...AS FIRST
IN A SERIES OF FRONTS PUSH INTO THE PAC NW. SHOWERY ON SATURDAY...BUT
MORE RAIN ARRIVES ON SUNDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM...A WEAK BAROCLINIC ZONE WAS STRETCHED ACROSS THE NW
PART OF THE FORECAST THIS EVENING. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE REMAINED DEEP
ENOUGH...PRIMARILY ALONG THE COAST AND COAST RANGE...FOR SOME AREAS
OF DRIZZLE AND LIGHT RAIN THIS EVENING. THE FRONT IS LIKELY TO MOVE
LITTLE TONIGHT...BEFORE BEGINNING TO SHIFT N AGAIN THU AS A WARM
FRONT. RADAR TRENDS IN THE PAST HOUR OR SO HAVE SHOWN AN INCREASE IN
COVERAGE OF ECHOES ALONG THE CENTRAL OREGON COAST...WHICH WAS
LIFTING NE. AN INFLUX OF MID LEVEL MOISTURE LATER TONIGHT WITH
MODEST MID LEVEL ISENTROPIC LIFT SEEN AROUND THE 300K ISENTROPE WILL
BRING AN INCREASING CHANCE FOR SOME LIGHT RAIN...MAINLY TO THE N PART
OF THE FORECAST AREA LATE TONIGHT AND THU MORNING.

REMAINDER OF SHORT TERM DISCUSSION UNCHANGED...A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
IS STILL ON TRACK TO DEEPEN AS IT MOVES NORTHWARD ALONG 140W ON
THURSDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD IN RESPONSE AND
INCREASE RAIN CHANCES ACROSS THE AREA ON THURSDAY. AT THIS
POINT...THE DEEPEST MOISTURE AND BEST DYNAMICS WILL PRIMARILY
STAY OFFSHORE...BUT NONETHELESS...THERE SHOULD BE ENOUGH MOISTURE AND
LIFT TO PRODUCE PERIODS OF RAIN...PARTICULARLY NEAR THE COAST AND
ACROSS OUR MORE NORTHERN ZONES THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

THERE IS STILL SOME MODEST DISAGREEMENT IN REGARDS TO THE TIMING OF
WHEN A TRAILING COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION THURSDAY
NIGHT AND/OR FRIDAY MORNING. WHILE TIMING IS STILL
UNCERTAIN...CONFIDENCE IS HIGH THAT THE AREA WILL RECEIVE A SOLID
ROUND OF RAIN AT SOME POINT DURING THIS TIME. 12Z MODEL GUIDANCE
SUGGESTED THERE MAY BE ENOUGH INSTABILITY ALOFT TO PRODUCE A FEW
ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS AHEAD OF THE FRONT...BUT WILL HOLD OFF ON
ADDING THUNDER TO THE FORECAST UNTIL MODELS DISPLAY BETTER
CONSISTENCY.

AS COLDER AIR SPREADS INTO THE REGION FRIDAY...EXPECT SNOW LEVELS TO
LOWER INTO THE 4000-4500 FT RANGE AND PERHAPS ANOTHER 500-1000 FT
LOWER FRIDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY. QPF SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT TO
BRING SOME ACCUMULATING SNOW TO THE CASCADES AND CREATE A PERIOD OF
HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS...BUT NOT SURE IT WILL BE ENOUGH TO
WARRANT A WINTER WX ADVISORY. /NEUMAN

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THE PROGRESSIVE
WEATHER PATTERN WILL PERSIST INTO NEXT WEEK. MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW
A FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE PAC NW LATE SATURDAY/EARLY SUNDAY. HAVE
INCREASED POPS ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION SATURDAY EVENING TO ACCOUNT
FOR THE FASTER TIMING OF THE ECMWF. NOT EXPECTING TO SEE A LOT OF
CASCADE SNOW WITH THIS FRONT AS SNOW LEVELS QUICKLY RISE ABOVE 7000
FT EARLY SUNDAY. WE COULD SEE A BRIEF BREAK FROM THE RAIN MONDAY AS
A TRANSIENT UPPER LEVEL RIDGE MOVES ACROSS THE REGION...BUT WILL
MAINTAIN CHANCE POPS DUE TO SOME LINGERING INSTABILITY. A WEAK
SHORTWAVE COULD BRING SOME LIGHT SHOWERS TUESDAY. ANOTHER FRONT
ARRIVES LATE TUESDAY AND SHOULD BRING MORE RAIN AND CASCADE SNOW TO
THE REGION...WITH SNOW LEVELS LOWERING TO AROUND 3500 FT WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON. TEMPS LOOK TO REMAIN SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE
FORECAST...BUT WILL TREND COOLER AFTER MONDAY. /64
&&

.AVIATION...MOSTLY VFR INLAND THIS EVENING WITH A MIX OF MVFR AND
IFR ALONG THE COAST. CONDITIONS WILL NOT IMPROVE MUCH ALONG THE
COAST INTO THU MORNING AS A WARM FRONT APPROACHES. THE WARM FRONT
WILL BRING A MIX OF VFR AND MVFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA
THURSDAY.

KPDX AND APPROACHES...VFR CONDITIONS TONIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING.
MVFR CIGS POSSIBLE LATE THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON. BOWEN/TJ

&&

.MARINE...WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR CALM THIS EVENING. HOWEVER A
FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL SUPPORT ANOTHER ROUND OF SMALL CRAFT WINDS OUT
OF THE SOUTH THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. A SERIES OF LOWS OFFSHORE WILL
RESULT IN CONFUSED SEAS THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...WITH A LONG-
PERIOD SW SWELL AND A SHORTER PERIOD NW SWELL MOVING THROUGH THE
WATERS. THE COMBINED SEAS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 10 AND 14 FEET.
BOWEN/TJ

&&

.PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...NONE.
WA...NONE.
PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS FROM 10 AM THURSDAY TO 4 AM PST
     FRIDAY FOR WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER WA TO CASCADE HEAD
     OR FROM 10 TO 60 NM-WATERS FROM CASCADE HEAD TO FLORENCE OR
     FROM 10 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS FROM 3 AM THURSDAY TO 4
     AM PST SATURDAY FOR COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER WA TO
     FLORENCE OR OUT 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS FROM 4 PM THURSDAY TO 4 AM PST
     FRIDAY FOR COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER WA TO
     CASCADE HEAD OR OUT 10 NM-COASTAL WATERS FROM CASCADE HEAD
     TO FLORENCE OR OUT 10 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH COLUMBIA RIVER BAR FROM 4 AM TO
     9 AM PST THURSDAY.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH COLUMBIA RIVER BAR FROM 4 PM TO
     11 PM PST THURSDAY.

&&


$$

INTERACT WITH US VIA SOCIAL MEDIA
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSPORTLAND
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSPORTLAND


THIS DISCUSSION IS FOR NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON
FROM THE CASCADE CREST TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. THE AREA IS
COMMONLY REFERRED TO AS THE FORECAST AREA.




000
FXUS66 KPQR 110456
AFDPQR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
855 PM PST WED FEB 10 2016

.SYNOPSIS...MILD AIR MASS TO REMAIN OVER THE REGION THROUGH FRI.
WEAK FRONTS OFFSHORE WILL BRUSH THE NW TODAY AND THU...WITH VARIABLE
CLOUDINESS ACROSS THE REGION...ALONG WITH SOME SPOTTY LIGHT RAIN
ALONG THE COAST AND POSSIBLY INLAND. THAT CHANGES BY FRI...AS FIRST
IN A SERIES OF FRONTS PUSH INTO THE PAC NW. SHOWERY ON SATURDAY...BUT
MORE RAIN ARRIVES ON SUNDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM...A WEAK BAROCLINIC ZONE WAS STRETCHED ACROSS THE NW
PART OF THE FORECAST THIS EVENING. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE REMAINED DEEP
ENOUGH...PRIMARILY ALONG THE COAST AND COAST RANGE...FOR SOME AREAS
OF DRIZZLE AND LIGHT RAIN THIS EVENING. THE FRONT IS LIKELY TO MOVE
LITTLE TONIGHT...BEFORE BEGINNING TO SHIFT N AGAIN THU AS A WARM
FRONT. RADAR TRENDS IN THE PAST HOUR OR SO HAVE SHOWN AN INCREASE IN
COVERAGE OF ECHOES ALONG THE CENTRAL OREGON COAST...WHICH WAS
LIFTING NE. AN INFLUX OF MID LEVEL MOISTURE LATER TONIGHT WITH
MODEST MID LEVEL ISENTROPIC LIFT SEEN AROUND THE 300K ISENTROPE WILL
BRING AN INCREASING CHANCE FOR SOME LIGHT RAIN...MAINLY TO THE N PART
OF THE FORECAST AREA LATE TONIGHT AND THU MORNING.

REMAINDER OF SHORT TERM DISCUSSION UNCHANGED...A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
IS STILL ON TRACK TO DEEPEN AS IT MOVES NORTHWARD ALONG 140W ON
THURSDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD IN RESPONSE AND
INCREASE RAIN CHANCES ACROSS THE AREA ON THURSDAY. AT THIS
POINT...THE DEEPEST MOISTURE AND BEST DYNAMICS WILL PRIMARILY
STAY OFFSHORE...BUT NONETHELESS...THERE SHOULD BE ENOUGH MOISTURE AND
LIFT TO PRODUCE PERIODS OF RAIN...PARTICULARLY NEAR THE COAST AND
ACROSS OUR MORE NORTHERN ZONES THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

THERE IS STILL SOME MODEST DISAGREEMENT IN REGARDS TO THE TIMING OF
WHEN A TRAILING COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION THURSDAY
NIGHT AND/OR FRIDAY MORNING. WHILE TIMING IS STILL
UNCERTAIN...CONFIDENCE IS HIGH THAT THE AREA WILL RECEIVE A SOLID
ROUND OF RAIN AT SOME POINT DURING THIS TIME. 12Z MODEL GUIDANCE
SUGGESTED THERE MAY BE ENOUGH INSTABILITY ALOFT TO PRODUCE A FEW
ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS AHEAD OF THE FRONT...BUT WILL HOLD OFF ON
ADDING THUNDER TO THE FORECAST UNTIL MODELS DISPLAY BETTER
CONSISTENCY.

AS COLDER AIR SPREADS INTO THE REGION FRIDAY...EXPECT SNOW LEVELS TO
LOWER INTO THE 4000-4500 FT RANGE AND PERHAPS ANOTHER 500-1000 FT
LOWER FRIDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY. QPF SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT TO
BRING SOME ACCUMULATING SNOW TO THE CASCADES AND CREATE A PERIOD OF
HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS...BUT NOT SURE IT WILL BE ENOUGH TO
WARRANT A WINTER WX ADVISORY. /NEUMAN

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THE PROGRESSIVE
WEATHER PATTERN WILL PERSIST INTO NEXT WEEK. MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW
A FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE PAC NW LATE SATURDAY/EARLY SUNDAY. HAVE
INCREASED POPS ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION SATURDAY EVENING TO ACCOUNT
FOR THE FASTER TIMING OF THE ECMWF. NOT EXPECTING TO SEE A LOT OF
CASCADE SNOW WITH THIS FRONT AS SNOW LEVELS QUICKLY RISE ABOVE 7000
FT EARLY SUNDAY. WE COULD SEE A BRIEF BREAK FROM THE RAIN MONDAY AS
A TRANSIENT UPPER LEVEL RIDGE MOVES ACROSS THE REGION...BUT WILL
MAINTAIN CHANCE POPS DUE TO SOME LINGERING INSTABILITY. A WEAK
SHORTWAVE COULD BRING SOME LIGHT SHOWERS TUESDAY. ANOTHER FRONT
ARRIVES LATE TUESDAY AND SHOULD BRING MORE RAIN AND CASCADE SNOW TO
THE REGION...WITH SNOW LEVELS LOWERING TO AROUND 3500 FT WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON. TEMPS LOOK TO REMAIN SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE
FORECAST...BUT WILL TREND COOLER AFTER MONDAY. /64
&&

.AVIATION...MOSTLY VFR INLAND THIS EVENING WITH A MIX OF MVFR AND
IFR ALONG THE COAST. CONDITIONS WILL NOT IMPROVE MUCH ALONG THE
COAST INTO THU MORNING AS A WARM FRONT APPROACHES. THE WARM FRONT
WILL BRING A MIX OF VFR AND MVFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA
THURSDAY.

KPDX AND APPROACHES...VFR CONDITIONS TONIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING.
MVFR CIGS POSSIBLE LATE THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON. BOWEN/TJ

&&

.MARINE...WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR CALM THIS EVENING. HOWEVER A
FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL SUPPORT ANOTHER ROUND OF SMALL CRAFT WINDS OUT
OF THE SOUTH THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. A SERIES OF LOWS OFFSHORE WILL
RESULT IN CONFUSED SEAS THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...WITH A LONG-
PERIOD SW SWELL AND A SHORTER PERIOD NW SWELL MOVING THROUGH THE
WATERS. THE COMBINED SEAS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 10 AND 14 FEET.
BOWEN/TJ

&&

.PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...NONE.
WA...NONE.
PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS FROM 10 AM THURSDAY TO 4 AM PST
     FRIDAY FOR WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER WA TO CASCADE HEAD
     OR FROM 10 TO 60 NM-WATERS FROM CASCADE HEAD TO FLORENCE OR
     FROM 10 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS FROM 3 AM THURSDAY TO 4
     AM PST SATURDAY FOR COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER WA TO
     FLORENCE OR OUT 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS FROM 4 PM THURSDAY TO 4 AM PST
     FRIDAY FOR COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER WA TO
     CASCADE HEAD OR OUT 10 NM-COASTAL WATERS FROM CASCADE HEAD
     TO FLORENCE OR OUT 10 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH COLUMBIA RIVER BAR FROM 4 AM TO
     9 AM PST THURSDAY.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH COLUMBIA RIVER BAR FROM 4 PM TO
     11 PM PST THURSDAY.

&&


$$

INTERACT WITH US VIA SOCIAL MEDIA
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSPORTLAND
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSPORTLAND


THIS DISCUSSION IS FOR NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON
FROM THE CASCADE CREST TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. THE AREA IS
COMMONLY REFERRED TO AS THE FORECAST AREA.





000
FXUS66 KPQR 102301
AFDPQR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
300 PM PST WED FEB 10 2016

.SYNOPSIS...MILD AIR MASS TO REMAIN OVER THE REGION THROUGH FRI.
WEAK FRONTS OFFSHORE WILL BRUSH THE NW TODAY AND THU...WITH VARIABLE
CLOUDINESS ACROSS THE REGION...ALONG WITH SOME SPOTTY LIGHT RAIN
ALONG THE COAST AND POSSIBLY INLAND. THAT CHANGES BY FRI...AS FIRST
IN A SERIES OF FRONTS PUSH INTO THE PAC NW. SHOWERY ON SATURDAY...BUT
MORE RAIN ARRIVES ON SUNDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY...SATELLITE IMAGERY THIS
AFTERNOON SHOWS THE REMNANTS OF A MID LEVEL FRONT PUSHING EASTWARD
INTO THE CASCADES AFTER BRINGING A FEW SPRINKLES TO PARTS OF THE
WILLAMETTE VALLEY EARLIER TODAY. LOW LEVEL CLOUDS AND AREAS OF
DRIZZLE AND LIGHT RAIN HAVE PUSHED INTO THE COAST THIS AFTERNOON.
THIS AREA OF WET WEATHER SHOULD HAVE A DIFFICULT TIME PUSHING INLAND
OVERNIGHT BEFORE IT FALLS APART. WILL KEEP IN SLIGHT CHANCE TO LOW
END CHANCE POPS ACROSS MUCH OF THE WILLAMETTE VALLEY TO ACCOUNT FOR
UNCERTAINTY...BUT AT THIS POINT...IT APPEARS ANY WET WEATHER WILL
PRIMARILY REMAIN CONFINED TO THE COAST AND COAST RANGE. THE AREA
ALONG THE LOWER COLUMBIA RIVER BETWEEN PORTLAND AND KELSO/LONGVIEW
BEING THE MOST LIKELY AREA IN THE INTERIOR TO EXPERIENCE SOME WET
WEATHER TONIGHT.

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS STILL ON TRACK TO DEEPEN AS IT MOVES
NORTHWARD ALONG 140W ON THURSDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD
IN RESPONSE AND INCREASE RAIN CHANCES ACROSS THE AREA ON THURSDAY. AT
THIS POINT...THE DEEPEST MOISTURE AND BEST DYNAMICS WILL PRIMARILY
STAY OFFSHORE...BUT NONETHELESS...THERE SHOULD BE ENOUGH MOISTURE AND
LIFT TO PRODUCE PERIODS OF RAIN...PARTICULARLY NEAR THE COAST AND
ACROSS OUR MORE NORTHERN ZONES THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

THERE IS STILL SOME MODEST DISAGREEMENT IN REGARDS TO THE TIMING OF
WHEN A TRAILING COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION THURSDAY
NIGHT AND/OR FRIDAY MORNING. WHILE TIMING IS STILL
UNCERTAIN...CONFIDENCE IS HIGH THAT THE AREA WILL RECEIVE A SOLID
ROUND OF RAIN AT SOME POINT DURING THIS TIME. 12Z MODEL GUIDANCE
SUGGESTED THERE MAY BE ENOUGH INSTABILITY ALOFT TO PRODUCE A FEW
ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS AHEAD OF THE FRONT...BUT WILL HOLD OFF ON
ADDING THUNDER TO THE FORECAST UNTIL MODELS DISPLAY BETTER
CONSISTENCY.

AS COLDER AIR SPREADS INTO THE REGION FRIDAY...EXPECT SNOW LEVELS TO
LOWER INTO THE 4000-4500 FT RANGE AND PERHAPS ANOTHER 500-1000 FT
LOWER FRIDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY. QPF SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT TO
BRING SOME ACCUMULATING SNOW TO THE CASCADES AND CREATE A PERIOD OF
HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS...BUT NOT SURE IT WILL BE ENOUGH TO
WARRANT A WINTER WX ADVISORY. /NEUMAN



.LONG TERM...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THE PROGRESSIVE
WEATHER PATTERN WILL PERSIST INTO NEXT WEEK. MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW
A FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE PAC NW LATE SATURDAY/EARLY SUNDAY. HAVE
INCREASED POPS ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION SATURDAY EVENING TO ACCOUNT
FOR THE FASTER TIMING OF THE ECMWF. NOT EXPECTING TO SEE A LOT OF
CASCADE SNOW WITH THIS FRONT AS SNOW LEVELS QUICKLY RISE ABOVE 7000
FT EARLY SUNDAY. WE COULD SEE A BRIEF BREAK FROM THE RAIN MONDAY AS
A TRANSIENT UPPER LEVEL RIDGE MOVES ACROSS THE REGION...BUT WILL
MAINTAIN CHANCE POPS DUE TO SOME LINGERING INSTABILITY. A WEAK
SHORTWAVE COULD BRING SOME LIGHT SHOWERS TUESDAY. ANOTHER FRONT
ARRIVES LATE TUESDAY AND SHOULD BRING MORE RAIN AND CASCADE SNOW TO
THE REGION...WITH SNOW LEVELS LOWERING TO AROUND 3500 FT WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON. TEMPS LOOK TO REMAIN SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE
FORECAST...BUT WILL TREND COOLER AFTER MONDAY. /64
&&

.AVIATION...MOSTLY VFR INLAND THIS EVENING WITH A MIX OF MVFR AND
IFR ALONG THE COAST. CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE ALONG THE COAST
BRIEFLY LATER THIS EVENING THEN DETERIORATE AGAIN LATE TONIGHT
INTO THU MORNING AS A WARM FRONT APPROACHES. THE WARM FRONT WILL
BRING A MIX OF VFR AND MVFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY.

KPDX AND APPROACHES...VFR CONDITIONS TONIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING.
MVFR CIGS POSSIBLE LATE THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON. TJ

&&

.MARINE...BUOY OBSERVATIONS SHOW THAT SOUTH WINDS ARE GUSTING TO
25 KT ACROSS THE WATERS THIS AFTERNOON. THESE WINDS SHOULD EASE
EARLY THIS EVENING THEN BACK TO THE SE TONIGHT. A FRONTAL SYSTEM
WILL SUPPORT ANOTHER ROUND OF SMALL CRAFT WINDS THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY. A SERIES OF LOWS OFFSHORE WILL RESULT IN CONFUSED SEAS
THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...WITH A LONG-PERIOD SW SWELL AND A
SHORTER PERIOD NW SWELL MOVING THROUGH THE WATERS. THE COMBINED
SEAS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 10 AND 14 FEET. TJ

&&

.PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...NONE.
WA...NONE.
PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS FROM 10 AM THURSDAY TO 4 AM PST
     FRIDAY FOR WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER WA TO FLORENCE OR FROM 10
     TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING
     TO 4 PM PST FRIDAY FOR COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER WA
    TO FLORENCE OR OUT 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS FROM 4 PM THURSDAY TO 4 AM PST
     FRIDAY FOR COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER WA TO FLORENCE OR
     OUT 10 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH COLUMBIA RIVER BAR UNTIL 9 PM
    PST THIS EVENING.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH COLUMBIA RIVER BAR FROM 4 AM TO
    9 AM PST THURSDAY.

&&


$$

INTERACT WITH US VIA SOCIAL MEDIA
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSPORTLAND
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSPORTLAND


THIS DISCUSSION IS FOR NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON
FROM THE CASCADE CREST TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. THE AREA IS
COMMONLY REFERRED TO AS THE FORECAST AREA.




000
FXUS66 KPQR 102301
AFDPQR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
300 PM PST WED FEB 10 2016

.SYNOPSIS...MILD AIR MASS TO REMAIN OVER THE REGION THROUGH FRI.
WEAK FRONTS OFFSHORE WILL BRUSH THE NW TODAY AND THU...WITH VARIABLE
CLOUDINESS ACROSS THE REGION...ALONG WITH SOME SPOTTY LIGHT RAIN
ALONG THE COAST AND POSSIBLY INLAND. THAT CHANGES BY FRI...AS FIRST
IN A SERIES OF FRONTS PUSH INTO THE PAC NW. SHOWERY ON SATURDAY...BUT
MORE RAIN ARRIVES ON SUNDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY...SATELLITE IMAGERY THIS
AFTERNOON SHOWS THE REMNANTS OF A MID LEVEL FRONT PUSHING EASTWARD
INTO THE CASCADES AFTER BRINGING A FEW SPRINKLES TO PARTS OF THE
WILLAMETTE VALLEY EARLIER TODAY. LOW LEVEL CLOUDS AND AREAS OF
DRIZZLE AND LIGHT RAIN HAVE PUSHED INTO THE COAST THIS AFTERNOON.
THIS AREA OF WET WEATHER SHOULD HAVE A DIFFICULT TIME PUSHING INLAND
OVERNIGHT BEFORE IT FALLS APART. WILL KEEP IN SLIGHT CHANCE TO LOW
END CHANCE POPS ACROSS MUCH OF THE WILLAMETTE VALLEY TO ACCOUNT FOR
UNCERTAINTY...BUT AT THIS POINT...IT APPEARS ANY WET WEATHER WILL
PRIMARILY REMAIN CONFINED TO THE COAST AND COAST RANGE. THE AREA
ALONG THE LOWER COLUMBIA RIVER BETWEEN PORTLAND AND KELSO/LONGVIEW
BEING THE MOST LIKELY AREA IN THE INTERIOR TO EXPERIENCE SOME WET
WEATHER TONIGHT.

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS STILL ON TRACK TO DEEPEN AS IT MOVES
NORTHWARD ALONG 140W ON THURSDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD
IN RESPONSE AND INCREASE RAIN CHANCES ACROSS THE AREA ON THURSDAY. AT
THIS POINT...THE DEEPEST MOISTURE AND BEST DYNAMICS WILL PRIMARILY
STAY OFFSHORE...BUT NONETHELESS...THERE SHOULD BE ENOUGH MOISTURE AND
LIFT TO PRODUCE PERIODS OF RAIN...PARTICULARLY NEAR THE COAST AND
ACROSS OUR MORE NORTHERN ZONES THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

THERE IS STILL SOME MODEST DISAGREEMENT IN REGARDS TO THE TIMING OF
WHEN A TRAILING COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION THURSDAY
NIGHT AND/OR FRIDAY MORNING. WHILE TIMING IS STILL
UNCERTAIN...CONFIDENCE IS HIGH THAT THE AREA WILL RECEIVE A SOLID
ROUND OF RAIN AT SOME POINT DURING THIS TIME. 12Z MODEL GUIDANCE
SUGGESTED THERE MAY BE ENOUGH INSTABILITY ALOFT TO PRODUCE A FEW
ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS AHEAD OF THE FRONT...BUT WILL HOLD OFF ON
ADDING THUNDER TO THE FORECAST UNTIL MODELS DISPLAY BETTER
CONSISTENCY.

AS COLDER AIR SPREADS INTO THE REGION FRIDAY...EXPECT SNOW LEVELS TO
LOWER INTO THE 4000-4500 FT RANGE AND PERHAPS ANOTHER 500-1000 FT
LOWER FRIDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY. QPF SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT TO
BRING SOME ACCUMULATING SNOW TO THE CASCADES AND CREATE A PERIOD OF
HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS...BUT NOT SURE IT WILL BE ENOUGH TO
WARRANT A WINTER WX ADVISORY. /NEUMAN



.LONG TERM...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THE PROGRESSIVE
WEATHER PATTERN WILL PERSIST INTO NEXT WEEK. MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW
A FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE PAC NW LATE SATURDAY/EARLY SUNDAY. HAVE
INCREASED POPS ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION SATURDAY EVENING TO ACCOUNT
FOR THE FASTER TIMING OF THE ECMWF. NOT EXPECTING TO SEE A LOT OF
CASCADE SNOW WITH THIS FRONT AS SNOW LEVELS QUICKLY RISE ABOVE 7000
FT EARLY SUNDAY. WE COULD SEE A BRIEF BREAK FROM THE RAIN MONDAY AS
A TRANSIENT UPPER LEVEL RIDGE MOVES ACROSS THE REGION...BUT WILL
MAINTAIN CHANCE POPS DUE TO SOME LINGERING INSTABILITY. A WEAK
SHORTWAVE COULD BRING SOME LIGHT SHOWERS TUESDAY. ANOTHER FRONT
ARRIVES LATE TUESDAY AND SHOULD BRING MORE RAIN AND CASCADE SNOW TO
THE REGION...WITH SNOW LEVELS LOWERING TO AROUND 3500 FT WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON. TEMPS LOOK TO REMAIN SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE
FORECAST...BUT WILL TREND COOLER AFTER MONDAY. /64
&&

.AVIATION...MOSTLY VFR INLAND THIS EVENING WITH A MIX OF MVFR AND
IFR ALONG THE COAST. CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE ALONG THE COAST
BRIEFLY LATER THIS EVENING THEN DETERIORATE AGAIN LATE TONIGHT
INTO THU MORNING AS A WARM FRONT APPROACHES. THE WARM FRONT WILL
BRING A MIX OF VFR AND MVFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY.

KPDX AND APPROACHES...VFR CONDITIONS TONIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING.
MVFR CIGS POSSIBLE LATE THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON. TJ

&&

.MARINE...BUOY OBSERVATIONS SHOW THAT SOUTH WINDS ARE GUSTING TO
25 KT ACROSS THE WATERS THIS AFTERNOON. THESE WINDS SHOULD EASE
EARLY THIS EVENING THEN BACK TO THE SE TONIGHT. A FRONTAL SYSTEM
WILL SUPPORT ANOTHER ROUND OF SMALL CRAFT WINDS THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY. A SERIES OF LOWS OFFSHORE WILL RESULT IN CONFUSED SEAS
THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...WITH A LONG-PERIOD SW SWELL AND A
SHORTER PERIOD NW SWELL MOVING THROUGH THE WATERS. THE COMBINED
SEAS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 10 AND 14 FEET. TJ

&&

.PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...NONE.
WA...NONE.
PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS FROM 10 AM THURSDAY TO 4 AM PST
     FRIDAY FOR WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER WA TO FLORENCE OR FROM 10
     TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING
     TO 4 PM PST FRIDAY FOR COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER WA
    TO FLORENCE OR OUT 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS FROM 4 PM THURSDAY TO 4 AM PST
     FRIDAY FOR COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER WA TO FLORENCE OR
     OUT 10 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH COLUMBIA RIVER BAR UNTIL 9 PM
    PST THIS EVENING.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH COLUMBIA RIVER BAR FROM 4 AM TO
    9 AM PST THURSDAY.

&&


$$

INTERACT WITH US VIA SOCIAL MEDIA
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSPORTLAND
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSPORTLAND


THIS DISCUSSION IS FOR NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON
FROM THE CASCADE CREST TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. THE AREA IS
COMMONLY REFERRED TO AS THE FORECAST AREA.





000
FXUS66 KPQR 102301
AFDPQR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
300 PM PST WED FEB 10 2016

.SYNOPSIS...MILD AIR MASS TO REMAIN OVER THE REGION THROUGH FRI.
WEAK FRONTS OFFSHORE WILL BRUSH THE NW TODAY AND THU...WITH VARIABLE
CLOUDINESS ACROSS THE REGION...ALONG WITH SOME SPOTTY LIGHT RAIN
ALONG THE COAST AND POSSIBLY INLAND. THAT CHANGES BY FRI...AS FIRST
IN A SERIES OF FRONTS PUSH INTO THE PAC NW. SHOWERY ON SATURDAY...BUT
MORE RAIN ARRIVES ON SUNDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY...SATELLITE IMAGERY THIS
AFTERNOON SHOWS THE REMNANTS OF A MID LEVEL FRONT PUSHING EASTWARD
INTO THE CASCADES AFTER BRINGING A FEW SPRINKLES TO PARTS OF THE
WILLAMETTE VALLEY EARLIER TODAY. LOW LEVEL CLOUDS AND AREAS OF
DRIZZLE AND LIGHT RAIN HAVE PUSHED INTO THE COAST THIS AFTERNOON.
THIS AREA OF WET WEATHER SHOULD HAVE A DIFFICULT TIME PUSHING INLAND
OVERNIGHT BEFORE IT FALLS APART. WILL KEEP IN SLIGHT CHANCE TO LOW
END CHANCE POPS ACROSS MUCH OF THE WILLAMETTE VALLEY TO ACCOUNT FOR
UNCERTAINTY...BUT AT THIS POINT...IT APPEARS ANY WET WEATHER WILL
PRIMARILY REMAIN CONFINED TO THE COAST AND COAST RANGE. THE AREA
ALONG THE LOWER COLUMBIA RIVER BETWEEN PORTLAND AND KELSO/LONGVIEW
BEING THE MOST LIKELY AREA IN THE INTERIOR TO EXPERIENCE SOME WET
WEATHER TONIGHT.

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS STILL ON TRACK TO DEEPEN AS IT MOVES
NORTHWARD ALONG 140W ON THURSDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD
IN RESPONSE AND INCREASE RAIN CHANCES ACROSS THE AREA ON THURSDAY. AT
THIS POINT...THE DEEPEST MOISTURE AND BEST DYNAMICS WILL PRIMARILY
STAY OFFSHORE...BUT NONETHELESS...THERE SHOULD BE ENOUGH MOISTURE AND
LIFT TO PRODUCE PERIODS OF RAIN...PARTICULARLY NEAR THE COAST AND
ACROSS OUR MORE NORTHERN ZONES THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

THERE IS STILL SOME MODEST DISAGREEMENT IN REGARDS TO THE TIMING OF
WHEN A TRAILING COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION THURSDAY
NIGHT AND/OR FRIDAY MORNING. WHILE TIMING IS STILL
UNCERTAIN...CONFIDENCE IS HIGH THAT THE AREA WILL RECEIVE A SOLID
ROUND OF RAIN AT SOME POINT DURING THIS TIME. 12Z MODEL GUIDANCE
SUGGESTED THERE MAY BE ENOUGH INSTABILITY ALOFT TO PRODUCE A FEW
ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS AHEAD OF THE FRONT...BUT WILL HOLD OFF ON
ADDING THUNDER TO THE FORECAST UNTIL MODELS DISPLAY BETTER
CONSISTENCY.

AS COLDER AIR SPREADS INTO THE REGION FRIDAY...EXPECT SNOW LEVELS TO
LOWER INTO THE 4000-4500 FT RANGE AND PERHAPS ANOTHER 500-1000 FT
LOWER FRIDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY. QPF SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT TO
BRING SOME ACCUMULATING SNOW TO THE CASCADES AND CREATE A PERIOD OF
HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS...BUT NOT SURE IT WILL BE ENOUGH TO
WARRANT A WINTER WX ADVISORY. /NEUMAN



.LONG TERM...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THE PROGRESSIVE
WEATHER PATTERN WILL PERSIST INTO NEXT WEEK. MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW
A FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE PAC NW LATE SATURDAY/EARLY SUNDAY. HAVE
INCREASED POPS ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION SATURDAY EVENING TO ACCOUNT
FOR THE FASTER TIMING OF THE ECMWF. NOT EXPECTING TO SEE A LOT OF
CASCADE SNOW WITH THIS FRONT AS SNOW LEVELS QUICKLY RISE ABOVE 7000
FT EARLY SUNDAY. WE COULD SEE A BRIEF BREAK FROM THE RAIN MONDAY AS
A TRANSIENT UPPER LEVEL RIDGE MOVES ACROSS THE REGION...BUT WILL
MAINTAIN CHANCE POPS DUE TO SOME LINGERING INSTABILITY. A WEAK
SHORTWAVE COULD BRING SOME LIGHT SHOWERS TUESDAY. ANOTHER FRONT
ARRIVES LATE TUESDAY AND SHOULD BRING MORE RAIN AND CASCADE SNOW TO
THE REGION...WITH SNOW LEVELS LOWERING TO AROUND 3500 FT WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON. TEMPS LOOK TO REMAIN SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE
FORECAST...BUT WILL TREND COOLER AFTER MONDAY. /64
&&

.AVIATION...MOSTLY VFR INLAND THIS EVENING WITH A MIX OF MVFR AND
IFR ALONG THE COAST. CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE ALONG THE COAST
BRIEFLY LATER THIS EVENING THEN DETERIORATE AGAIN LATE TONIGHT
INTO THU MORNING AS A WARM FRONT APPROACHES. THE WARM FRONT WILL
BRING A MIX OF VFR AND MVFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY.

KPDX AND APPROACHES...VFR CONDITIONS TONIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING.
MVFR CIGS POSSIBLE LATE THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON. TJ

&&

.MARINE...BUOY OBSERVATIONS SHOW THAT SOUTH WINDS ARE GUSTING TO
25 KT ACROSS THE WATERS THIS AFTERNOON. THESE WINDS SHOULD EASE
EARLY THIS EVENING THEN BACK TO THE SE TONIGHT. A FRONTAL SYSTEM
WILL SUPPORT ANOTHER ROUND OF SMALL CRAFT WINDS THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY. A SERIES OF LOWS OFFSHORE WILL RESULT IN CONFUSED SEAS
THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...WITH A LONG-PERIOD SW SWELL AND A
SHORTER PERIOD NW SWELL MOVING THROUGH THE WATERS. THE COMBINED
SEAS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 10 AND 14 FEET. TJ

&&

.PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...NONE.
WA...NONE.
PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS FROM 10 AM THURSDAY TO 4 AM PST
     FRIDAY FOR WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER WA TO FLORENCE OR FROM 10
     TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING
     TO 4 PM PST FRIDAY FOR COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER WA
    TO FLORENCE OR OUT 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS FROM 4 PM THURSDAY TO 4 AM PST
     FRIDAY FOR COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER WA TO FLORENCE OR
     OUT 10 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH COLUMBIA RIVER BAR UNTIL 9 PM
    PST THIS EVENING.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH COLUMBIA RIVER BAR FROM 4 AM TO
    9 AM PST THURSDAY.

&&


$$

INTERACT WITH US VIA SOCIAL MEDIA
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSPORTLAND
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSPORTLAND


THIS DISCUSSION IS FOR NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON
FROM THE CASCADE CREST TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. THE AREA IS
COMMONLY REFERRED TO AS THE FORECAST AREA.





000
FXUS66 KPQR 101640
AFDPQR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
838 AM PST WED FEB 10 2016

.SYNOPSIS...MILD AIR MASS TO REMAIN OVER THE REGION THROUGH FRI.
WEAK FRONTS OFFSHORE WILL BRUSH THE NW TODAY AND THU...WITH VARIABLE
CLOUDINESS ACROSS THE REGION...ALONG WITH SOME SPOTTY LIGHT RAIN
ALONG THE COAST AND POSSIBLY INLAND. THAT CHANGES BY FRI...AS FIRST
IN A SERIES OF FRONTS PUSH INTO THE PAC NW. SHOWERY ON SATURDAY...BUT
MORE RAIN ARRIVES ON SUNDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY...SATELLITE IMAGERY THIS MORNING
SHOWS A WEAKENING MID LEVEL FRONT SLOWLY SHIFTING EASTWARD INTO THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST. A FEW SHOWERS HAVE DEVELOPED ALONG AN 850MB
BOUNDARY ACROSS FAR NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON. THIS
BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT SHIFTS INLAND SO HAVE KEPT MOST
LOCATIONS WITH CHANCE OR SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR TODAY. GIVEN THE
AFOREMENTIONED BOUNDARY WILL HANG ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT...CANNOT
RULE OUT A LIGHT SHOWER OR TWO...BUT IN GENERAL...ANY RAIN THAT FALLS
SHOULD BE LIGHT AND RATHER ISOLATED.

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS THEN FORECAST TO DEEPEN AS IT MOVES
NORTHWARD ALONG 140W ON THURSDAY. THIS WILL SPREAD A WARM FRONT
NORTHWARD AND INCREASE RAIN CHANCES ACROSS THE AREA ON THURSDAY. AT
THIS POINT...THE DEEPEST MOISTURE AND BEST DYNAMICS WILL PRIMARILY
STAY OFFSHORE SO KEPT THE TREND OF KEEPING THE HIGHEST POPS ACROSS
OUR FAR NORTHWEST ZONES AND LOWEST POPS ACROSS LANE AND LINN
COUNTIES. NONETHELESS...IT LOOKS LIKE A GOOD PORTION OF THE FORECAST
AREA WILL SEE AT LEAST SOME RAIN ON THURSDAY...ESPECIALLY DURING THE
MIDDAY AND AFTERNOON HOURS.

THE TRAILING COLD FRONT SHOULD THEN PUSH INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST
AT SOME POINT THURSDAY NIGHT OR FRIDAY MORNING. THIS WILL LIKELY
SPREAD ANOTHER ROUND OF RAIN INTO THE AREA DURING THIS PERIOD. SNOW
LEVELS SHOULD LOWERING INTO THE 4000-4500 FT RANGE ON FRIDAY. AS POST
FRONTAL SHOWERS SPREAD INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST LATE FRIDAY AND
FRIDAY NIGHT...SNOW LEVELS MAY LOWER ANOTHER 500 FT OR SO AND BRING
SOME IMPACTS TO TRAVEL IN THE CASCADES. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS IN THE
CASCADES APPEAR LIKELY TO REMAIN UNDER WINTER WX ADVISORY CRITERIA
THOUGH.

A WARMER AND WETTER STORM SYSTEM APPEARS ON TRACK FOR SATURDAY NIGHT.
/NEUMAN



.LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...
COOLER ON SATURDAY...WITH SHOWERS OVER THE REGION. SNOW LEVELS
SITTING AROUND 3500 TO 4000 FEET ON SAT...WITH SOME NEW SNOW EXPECTED
OVER THE CASCADES. NOT A LOT...BUT COULD SEE 3 TO 8 INCHES OF NEW
SNOW AT THE PASSES AND ABOVE. RATHER PROGRESSIVE PATTERN OVER THE
PAC...WITH ANOTHER FRONT ARRIVING ON SUN. HAVE INCREASES PROB OF RAIN
ON SUNDAY. BRIEF BREAK ON MON...BUT LOOKS WET AFTERWARDS AS YET
ANOTHER FRONT ARRIVES ON TUE. REST OF NEXT WEEK LOOKS RATHER CLOUDY
AND WET...WITH SNOW LEVELS BOUNCING FROM 3500 TO 5500 FT.   ROCKEY.

&&

.AVIATION...MOST AREAS VFR THIS MORNING. ALTHOUGH THERE ARE
POCKETS OF IFR CIGS IN THE SOUTH WILLAMETTE VALLEY NEAR KEUG AND
KCVO. A WEAK FRONT IS BRINGING RAIN...MVFR AND GUSTY SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 25 KT TO THE COAST THIS MORNING. THE FRONT WILL WEAKEN AS IT
MOVES INLAND BUT WILL LIKELY PRODUCE MVFR CONDITIONS FOR THE COAST
RANGE AND AREAS NORTH OF PORTLAND THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. MAY
SEE BRIEF PERIODIC MVFR CIGS BETWEEN SALEM AND PORTLAND...BUT
THINK VFR WILL GENERALLY DOMINATE SOUTH OF PORTLAND EAST OF THE
COAST RANGE. EXPECT MVFR VSBYS FOR THE COAST AND PARTS OF THE
WILLAMETTE VALLEY OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. A WARM FRONT WILL CONTINUE
THE CHANCE FOR MVFR CONDITIONS THURSDAY MORNING.

KPDX AND APPROACHES...VFR NEXT 24 HRS. THERE MAY BE BRIEF MVFR
CONDITIONS AND RAIN THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS A WEAK FRONT
MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. CLOUDY WITH VFR CIGS AND VSBYS TONIGHT. TJ
&&

.MARINE...BUOY 89 AND BUOY 50 ARE SHOWING MARGINAL SMALL CRAFT
GUSTS THIS MORNING AND THE FORECAST CONFIDENCE FOR A LOW-END
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR TODAY HAS IMPROVED. THE SEAS AT THE BUOYS
ARE 1 TO 2 FT BELOW GUIDANCE THIS MORNING AND HAVE ADJUSTED TODAYS
SWELL FORECAST ACCORDINGLY. THE SEAS STILL LOOK ON TRACK TO BUILD
TO 10 FT OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AND TO ABOVE 10 FT THURSDAY...AS A
LONGER-PERIOD NW SWELL MOVES THROUGH THE WATERS. THERE IS ANOTHER
CHANCE FOR SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WINDS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. A COMPLEX LOW OFFSHORE WILL RESULT IN ELEVATED SEAS
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. TJ

&&

.PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...NONE.
WA...NONE.
PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS UNTIL 4 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON
    FOR WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER WA TO FLORENCE OR OUT TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING
     TO 4 PM PST FRIDAY FOR COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER WA
    TO FLORENCE OR OUT 60 NM.

&&



$$

INTERACT WITH US VIA SOCIAL MEDIA
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSPORTLAND
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSPORTLAND


THIS DISCUSSION IS FOR NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON
FROM THE CASCADE CREST TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. THE AREA IS
COMMONLY REFERRED TO AS THE FORECAST AREA.





000
FXUS66 KPQR 101106
AFDPQR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
247 AM PST WED FEB 10 2016

.SYNOPSIS...MILD AIR MASS TO REMAIN OVER THE REGION THROUGH FRI.
WEAK FRONTS OFFSHORE WILL BRUSH THE NW TODAY AND THU...WITH VARIABLE
CLOUDINESS ACROSS THE REGION...ALONG WITH SOME SPOTTY LIGHT RAIN
ALONG THE COAST AND POSSIBLY INLAND. THAT CHANGES BY FRI...AS FIRST
IN A SERIES OF FRONTS PUSH INTO THE PAC NW. SHOWERY ON SATURDAY...BUT
MORE RAIN ARRIVES ON SUNDAY.
&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY...
UPPER RIDGE OVER THE PAC NW WILL SLOWLY SHIFT EASTWARD TODAY AND THU.
THAT MEANS MILD SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL TAKE HOLD OVER THE REGION. AT
SAME TIME...SEVERAL WEAKENING FRONTS WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST.
WHILE MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE...WILL SEE
CONSIDERABLY MORE IN WAY OF CLOUDS ACROSS THE REGION TODAY THROUGH
THU.

REMAINS OF THE FIRST FRONT SITS JUST OFFSHORE THIS AM...AND WILL MOVE
INLAND TODAY. NOT MUCH IN WAY OF RAIN...BUT SHOULD SEE SPOTTY LIGHT
RAIN ON THE COAST WITH ONLY LIGHT RAINFALL AMOUNTS. FURTHER
INLAND...SHOULD JUST SEE OCCASIONAL SPRINKLES OR POSSIBLY A BRIEF
LIGHT SHOWER. OVERALL...DRY INLAND TODAY AND TONIGHT.  MODELS
CONTINUE TO DEPICT THIS WEAK BOUNDARY LIFTING BACK TO THE N AS A WARM
FRONT ON THU. AGAIN...NOT A LOT OF PRECIPITATION BUT ENOUGH FOR
SPOTTY LIGHT RAIN...MAINLY ALONG THE COAST AND INTO SW WASHINGTON.

WITH LACK OF ANY AIR MASS CHANGE...AND WEAK WINDS OVER REGION... THE
MILD TEMPERATURE WILL CONTINUE. NORMALS HIGHS FOR THIS TIME OF FEB
ARE GENERALLY IN THE LOWER 50S. SO...WILL KEEP FORECAST HIGHS FOR
NEXT FEW DAYS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S.

FOR PAST MANY DAYS...MODELS HAVE BEEN INDICATING FIRST DECENT SHOT OF
RAIN WOULD PUSH INTO THE REGION ON FRI AS A MODERATELY STRONG COLD
FRONT ARRIVES. NO CHANGES TO THAT THOUGHT TRAIN. WILL KEEP RAIN IN
FORECAST ON FRI...WITH 0.50 TO 1.00 INCH OVER COAST RANGE AND S WASH
CASCADES...WITH 0.25 TO 0.50 INCH ELSEWHERE.  SNOW LEVELS REMAIN
ABOVE 8000 FT THROUGH FRI AFTERNOON...THEN WILL LOWER TO 3500 TO 4000
FT BY LATE FRI NIGHT.      ROCKEY.


.LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...
COOLER ON SATURDAY...WITH SHOWERS OVER THE REGION. SNOW LEVELS
SITTING AROUND 3500 TO 4000 FEET ON SAT...WITH SOME NEW SNOW EXPECTED
OVER THE CASCADES. NOT A LOT...BUT COULD SEE 3 TO 8 INCHES OF NEW
SNOW AT THE PASSES AND ABOVE. RATHER PROGRESSIVE PATTERN OVER THE
PAC...WITH ANOTHER FRONT ARRIVING ON SUN. HAVE INCREASES PROB OF RAIN
ON SUNDAY. BRIEF BREAK ON MON...BUT LOOKS WET AFTERWARDS AS YET
ANOTHER FRONT ARRIVES ON TUE. REST OF NEXT WEEK LOOKS RATHER CLOUDY
AND WET...WITH SNOW LEVELS BOUNCING FROM 3500 TO 5500 FT.   ROCKEY.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR MOST AREAS ALTHOUGH THERE MAY BE SOME PATCHY
VALLEY FOG UNDER THE HIGH OVERCAST. AT THIS TIME...NOTHING IS AT
THE TAF TERMINALS AND KUAO IS THE ONLY SITE SHOWING ANY VISIBILITY
REDUCTION. KEUG BRIEFLY FOGGED IN EARLIER BUT INCREASING
SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS HAVE SCOURED IT OUT. OTHERWISE...EXPECT VFR
CONDS THROUGH 11/12Z. A WEAK FRONT BRUSHES THE COAST THIS
AFTERNOON AND MAY BRING HIGHER END MVFR CIGS TO THE COASTAL
TERMINALS. NOT MUCH IMPACT EXPECTED INLAND ASIDE FROM VERY LIGHT
RAIN POSSIBLE 16Z-03Z AS CONDS LIKELY REMAIN VFR.

KPDX AND APPROACHES...VFR NEXT 24 HRS. MAY GET SOME PERIODS OF
HIGHER TERRAIN OBSCURATION OVER THE CASCADES AS WEAK RAIN BANDS
CROSS THE AREA 20Z-03Z. /JBONK

&&

.MARINE...A DECAYING FRONT WILL CROSS THE WATERS TODAY ALTHOUGH
CONFIDENCE IS BELOW NORMAL WITH REGARD TO THE WIND STRENGTH. WIND
SPEEDS ARE CURRENTLY BEING OVERDONE BY MODELS BY A FEW KTS. ALSO
SHORTENED THE TIME OF THE SCA FOR WINDS BY SEVERAL HOURS BUT EVEN
WITH THE WEAKER WINDS, IT APPEARS THERE WILL STILL BE ENOUGH WIND
TO JUSTIFY THE SCA FOR A SEVERAL HOUR PERIOD OF FREQUENT 21-25 KT
GUSTS. SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW CRITERIA DURING THE INITIAL EVENT
BUT BECOME SOMEWHAT STEEP REACHING 7-9 FT AT 11-13 SEC.

THE LARGE AND COMPLEX PARENT LOW CENTERED OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA
WELL OFFSHORE WILL SWING THE NEXT FRONT ACROSS THE WATERS
THURSDAY AND ANOTHER ON SATURDAY NIGHT/SUNDAY. THE THURSDAY SYSTEM
IS TRENDING WEAKER OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS BUT DOES STILL APPEAR TO
BE STRONGER THEN THE IMPENDING QUESTIONABLE FRONT. SUNDAY`S WOULD
BE THE STRONGEST ASSUMING MODELS SETTLE IN ON A COMMON SOLUTION.

REGARDLESS...THE SET OF EMBEDDED LOWS INSIDE THE PARENT LOW IS
GENERATING NUMEROUS SETS OF SWELL TRAINS. THE LEADING EDGE OF
SIGNIFICANT SEAS WILL REACH THE OUTER WATERS AROUND MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT. SEAS WILL POSSIBLY STAY 10-15 FEET AND BECOME CONFUSED AT
TIMES THROUGH AT LEAST SUNDAY. DECIDED TO ONLY ISSUE A SCA FOR
SEAS THROUGH FRIDAY DAYLIGHT WITH CONFIDENCE BECOMING LIMITED
THEREAFTER GIVEN THE TIME RANGE. /JBONK

&&

.PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...NONE.

WA...NONE.

PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS FOR T0DAY ON ALL WATERS.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS ON ALL WATERS
 TODAY THROUGH FRI.

&&



$$

INTERACT WITH US VIA SOCIAL MEDIA
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSPORTLAND
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSPORTLAND


THIS DISCUSSION IS FOR NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON
FROM THE CASCADE CREST TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. THE AREA IS
COMMONLY REFERRED TO AS THE FORECAST AREA.





000
FXUS66 KPQR 101106
AFDPQR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
247 AM PST WED FEB 10 2016

.SYNOPSIS...MILD AIR MASS TO REMAIN OVER THE REGION THROUGH FRI.
WEAK FRONTS OFFSHORE WILL BRUSH THE NW TODAY AND THU...WITH VARIABLE
CLOUDINESS ACROSS THE REGION...ALONG WITH SOME SPOTTY LIGHT RAIN
ALONG THE COAST AND POSSIBLY INLAND. THAT CHANGES BY FRI...AS FIRST
IN A SERIES OF FRONTS PUSH INTO THE PAC NW. SHOWERY ON SATURDAY...BUT
MORE RAIN ARRIVES ON SUNDAY.
&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY...
UPPER RIDGE OVER THE PAC NW WILL SLOWLY SHIFT EASTWARD TODAY AND THU.
THAT MEANS MILD SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL TAKE HOLD OVER THE REGION. AT
SAME TIME...SEVERAL WEAKENING FRONTS WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST.
WHILE MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE...WILL SEE
CONSIDERABLY MORE IN WAY OF CLOUDS ACROSS THE REGION TODAY THROUGH
THU.

REMAINS OF THE FIRST FRONT SITS JUST OFFSHORE THIS AM...AND WILL MOVE
INLAND TODAY. NOT MUCH IN WAY OF RAIN...BUT SHOULD SEE SPOTTY LIGHT
RAIN ON THE COAST WITH ONLY LIGHT RAINFALL AMOUNTS. FURTHER
INLAND...SHOULD JUST SEE OCCASIONAL SPRINKLES OR POSSIBLY A BRIEF
LIGHT SHOWER. OVERALL...DRY INLAND TODAY AND TONIGHT.  MODELS
CONTINUE TO DEPICT THIS WEAK BOUNDARY LIFTING BACK TO THE N AS A WARM
FRONT ON THU. AGAIN...NOT A LOT OF PRECIPITATION BUT ENOUGH FOR
SPOTTY LIGHT RAIN...MAINLY ALONG THE COAST AND INTO SW WASHINGTON.

WITH LACK OF ANY AIR MASS CHANGE...AND WEAK WINDS OVER REGION... THE
MILD TEMPERATURE WILL CONTINUE. NORMALS HIGHS FOR THIS TIME OF FEB
ARE GENERALLY IN THE LOWER 50S. SO...WILL KEEP FORECAST HIGHS FOR
NEXT FEW DAYS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S.

FOR PAST MANY DAYS...MODELS HAVE BEEN INDICATING FIRST DECENT SHOT OF
RAIN WOULD PUSH INTO THE REGION ON FRI AS A MODERATELY STRONG COLD
FRONT ARRIVES. NO CHANGES TO THAT THOUGHT TRAIN. WILL KEEP RAIN IN
FORECAST ON FRI...WITH 0.50 TO 1.00 INCH OVER COAST RANGE AND S WASH
CASCADES...WITH 0.25 TO 0.50 INCH ELSEWHERE.  SNOW LEVELS REMAIN
ABOVE 8000 FT THROUGH FRI AFTERNOON...THEN WILL LOWER TO 3500 TO 4000
FT BY LATE FRI NIGHT.      ROCKEY.


.LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...
COOLER ON SATURDAY...WITH SHOWERS OVER THE REGION. SNOW LEVELS
SITTING AROUND 3500 TO 4000 FEET ON SAT...WITH SOME NEW SNOW EXPECTED
OVER THE CASCADES. NOT A LOT...BUT COULD SEE 3 TO 8 INCHES OF NEW
SNOW AT THE PASSES AND ABOVE. RATHER PROGRESSIVE PATTERN OVER THE
PAC...WITH ANOTHER FRONT ARRIVING ON SUN. HAVE INCREASES PROB OF RAIN
ON SUNDAY. BRIEF BREAK ON MON...BUT LOOKS WET AFTERWARDS AS YET
ANOTHER FRONT ARRIVES ON TUE. REST OF NEXT WEEK LOOKS RATHER CLOUDY
AND WET...WITH SNOW LEVELS BOUNCING FROM 3500 TO 5500 FT.   ROCKEY.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR MOST AREAS ALTHOUGH THERE MAY BE SOME PATCHY
VALLEY FOG UNDER THE HIGH OVERCAST. AT THIS TIME...NOTHING IS AT
THE TAF TERMINALS AND KUAO IS THE ONLY SITE SHOWING ANY VISIBILITY
REDUCTION. KEUG BRIEFLY FOGGED IN EARLIER BUT INCREASING
SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS HAVE SCOURED IT OUT. OTHERWISE...EXPECT VFR
CONDS THROUGH 11/12Z. A WEAK FRONT BRUSHES THE COAST THIS
AFTERNOON AND MAY BRING HIGHER END MVFR CIGS TO THE COASTAL
TERMINALS. NOT MUCH IMPACT EXPECTED INLAND ASIDE FROM VERY LIGHT
RAIN POSSIBLE 16Z-03Z AS CONDS LIKELY REMAIN VFR.

KPDX AND APPROACHES...VFR NEXT 24 HRS. MAY GET SOME PERIODS OF
HIGHER TERRAIN OBSCURATION OVER THE CASCADES AS WEAK RAIN BANDS
CROSS THE AREA 20Z-03Z. /JBONK

&&

.MARINE...A DECAYING FRONT WILL CROSS THE WATERS TODAY ALTHOUGH
CONFIDENCE IS BELOW NORMAL WITH REGARD TO THE WIND STRENGTH. WIND
SPEEDS ARE CURRENTLY BEING OVERDONE BY MODELS BY A FEW KTS. ALSO
SHORTENED THE TIME OF THE SCA FOR WINDS BY SEVERAL HOURS BUT EVEN
WITH THE WEAKER WINDS, IT APPEARS THERE WILL STILL BE ENOUGH WIND
TO JUSTIFY THE SCA FOR A SEVERAL HOUR PERIOD OF FREQUENT 21-25 KT
GUSTS. SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW CRITERIA DURING THE INITIAL EVENT
BUT BECOME SOMEWHAT STEEP REACHING 7-9 FT AT 11-13 SEC.

THE LARGE AND COMPLEX PARENT LOW CENTERED OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA
WELL OFFSHORE WILL SWING THE NEXT FRONT ACROSS THE WATERS
THURSDAY AND ANOTHER ON SATURDAY NIGHT/SUNDAY. THE THURSDAY SYSTEM
IS TRENDING WEAKER OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS BUT DOES STILL APPEAR TO
BE STRONGER THEN THE IMPENDING QUESTIONABLE FRONT. SUNDAY`S WOULD
BE THE STRONGEST ASSUMING MODELS SETTLE IN ON A COMMON SOLUTION.

REGARDLESS...THE SET OF EMBEDDED LOWS INSIDE THE PARENT LOW IS
GENERATING NUMEROUS SETS OF SWELL TRAINS. THE LEADING EDGE OF
SIGNIFICANT SEAS WILL REACH THE OUTER WATERS AROUND MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT. SEAS WILL POSSIBLY STAY 10-15 FEET AND BECOME CONFUSED AT
TIMES THROUGH AT LEAST SUNDAY. DECIDED TO ONLY ISSUE A SCA FOR
SEAS THROUGH FRIDAY DAYLIGHT WITH CONFIDENCE BECOMING LIMITED
THEREAFTER GIVEN THE TIME RANGE. /JBONK

&&

.PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...NONE.

WA...NONE.

PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS FOR T0DAY ON ALL WATERS.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS ON ALL WATERS
 TODAY THROUGH FRI.

&&



$$

INTERACT WITH US VIA SOCIAL MEDIA
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSPORTLAND
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSPORTLAND


THIS DISCUSSION IS FOR NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON
FROM THE CASCADE CREST TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. THE AREA IS
COMMONLY REFERRED TO AS THE FORECAST AREA.




000
FXUS66 KPQR 101106
AFDPQR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
247 AM PST WED FEB 10 2016

.SYNOPSIS...MILD AIR MASS TO REMAIN OVER THE REGION THROUGH FRI.
WEAK FRONTS OFFSHORE WILL BRUSH THE NW TODAY AND THU...WITH VARIABLE
CLOUDINESS ACROSS THE REGION...ALONG WITH SOME SPOTTY LIGHT RAIN
ALONG THE COAST AND POSSIBLY INLAND. THAT CHANGES BY FRI...AS FIRST
IN A SERIES OF FRONTS PUSH INTO THE PAC NW. SHOWERY ON SATURDAY...BUT
MORE RAIN ARRIVES ON SUNDAY.
&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY...
UPPER RIDGE OVER THE PAC NW WILL SLOWLY SHIFT EASTWARD TODAY AND THU.
THAT MEANS MILD SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL TAKE HOLD OVER THE REGION. AT
SAME TIME...SEVERAL WEAKENING FRONTS WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST.
WHILE MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE...WILL SEE
CONSIDERABLY MORE IN WAY OF CLOUDS ACROSS THE REGION TODAY THROUGH
THU.

REMAINS OF THE FIRST FRONT SITS JUST OFFSHORE THIS AM...AND WILL MOVE
INLAND TODAY. NOT MUCH IN WAY OF RAIN...BUT SHOULD SEE SPOTTY LIGHT
RAIN ON THE COAST WITH ONLY LIGHT RAINFALL AMOUNTS. FURTHER
INLAND...SHOULD JUST SEE OCCASIONAL SPRINKLES OR POSSIBLY A BRIEF
LIGHT SHOWER. OVERALL...DRY INLAND TODAY AND TONIGHT.  MODELS
CONTINUE TO DEPICT THIS WEAK BOUNDARY LIFTING BACK TO THE N AS A WARM
FRONT ON THU. AGAIN...NOT A LOT OF PRECIPITATION BUT ENOUGH FOR
SPOTTY LIGHT RAIN...MAINLY ALONG THE COAST AND INTO SW WASHINGTON.

WITH LACK OF ANY AIR MASS CHANGE...AND WEAK WINDS OVER REGION... THE
MILD TEMPERATURE WILL CONTINUE. NORMALS HIGHS FOR THIS TIME OF FEB
ARE GENERALLY IN THE LOWER 50S. SO...WILL KEEP FORECAST HIGHS FOR
NEXT FEW DAYS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S.

FOR PAST MANY DAYS...MODELS HAVE BEEN INDICATING FIRST DECENT SHOT OF
RAIN WOULD PUSH INTO THE REGION ON FRI AS A MODERATELY STRONG COLD
FRONT ARRIVES. NO CHANGES TO THAT THOUGHT TRAIN. WILL KEEP RAIN IN
FORECAST ON FRI...WITH 0.50 TO 1.00 INCH OVER COAST RANGE AND S WASH
CASCADES...WITH 0.25 TO 0.50 INCH ELSEWHERE.  SNOW LEVELS REMAIN
ABOVE 8000 FT THROUGH FRI AFTERNOON...THEN WILL LOWER TO 3500 TO 4000
FT BY LATE FRI NIGHT.      ROCKEY.


.LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...
COOLER ON SATURDAY...WITH SHOWERS OVER THE REGION. SNOW LEVELS
SITTING AROUND 3500 TO 4000 FEET ON SAT...WITH SOME NEW SNOW EXPECTED
OVER THE CASCADES. NOT A LOT...BUT COULD SEE 3 TO 8 INCHES OF NEW
SNOW AT THE PASSES AND ABOVE. RATHER PROGRESSIVE PATTERN OVER THE
PAC...WITH ANOTHER FRONT ARRIVING ON SUN. HAVE INCREASES PROB OF RAIN
ON SUNDAY. BRIEF BREAK ON MON...BUT LOOKS WET AFTERWARDS AS YET
ANOTHER FRONT ARRIVES ON TUE. REST OF NEXT WEEK LOOKS RATHER CLOUDY
AND WET...WITH SNOW LEVELS BOUNCING FROM 3500 TO 5500 FT.   ROCKEY.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR MOST AREAS ALTHOUGH THERE MAY BE SOME PATCHY
VALLEY FOG UNDER THE HIGH OVERCAST. AT THIS TIME...NOTHING IS AT
THE TAF TERMINALS AND KUAO IS THE ONLY SITE SHOWING ANY VISIBILITY
REDUCTION. KEUG BRIEFLY FOGGED IN EARLIER BUT INCREASING
SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS HAVE SCOURED IT OUT. OTHERWISE...EXPECT VFR
CONDS THROUGH 11/12Z. A WEAK FRONT BRUSHES THE COAST THIS
AFTERNOON AND MAY BRING HIGHER END MVFR CIGS TO THE COASTAL
TERMINALS. NOT MUCH IMPACT EXPECTED INLAND ASIDE FROM VERY LIGHT
RAIN POSSIBLE 16Z-03Z AS CONDS LIKELY REMAIN VFR.

KPDX AND APPROACHES...VFR NEXT 24 HRS. MAY GET SOME PERIODS OF
HIGHER TERRAIN OBSCURATION OVER THE CASCADES AS WEAK RAIN BANDS
CROSS THE AREA 20Z-03Z. /JBONK

&&

.MARINE...A DECAYING FRONT WILL CROSS THE WATERS TODAY ALTHOUGH
CONFIDENCE IS BELOW NORMAL WITH REGARD TO THE WIND STRENGTH. WIND
SPEEDS ARE CURRENTLY BEING OVERDONE BY MODELS BY A FEW KTS. ALSO
SHORTENED THE TIME OF THE SCA FOR WINDS BY SEVERAL HOURS BUT EVEN
WITH THE WEAKER WINDS, IT APPEARS THERE WILL STILL BE ENOUGH WIND
TO JUSTIFY THE SCA FOR A SEVERAL HOUR PERIOD OF FREQUENT 21-25 KT
GUSTS. SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW CRITERIA DURING THE INITIAL EVENT
BUT BECOME SOMEWHAT STEEP REACHING 7-9 FT AT 11-13 SEC.

THE LARGE AND COMPLEX PARENT LOW CENTERED OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA
WELL OFFSHORE WILL SWING THE NEXT FRONT ACROSS THE WATERS
THURSDAY AND ANOTHER ON SATURDAY NIGHT/SUNDAY. THE THURSDAY SYSTEM
IS TRENDING WEAKER OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS BUT DOES STILL APPEAR TO
BE STRONGER THEN THE IMPENDING QUESTIONABLE FRONT. SUNDAY`S WOULD
BE THE STRONGEST ASSUMING MODELS SETTLE IN ON A COMMON SOLUTION.

REGARDLESS...THE SET OF EMBEDDED LOWS INSIDE THE PARENT LOW IS
GENERATING NUMEROUS SETS OF SWELL TRAINS. THE LEADING EDGE OF
SIGNIFICANT SEAS WILL REACH THE OUTER WATERS AROUND MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT. SEAS WILL POSSIBLY STAY 10-15 FEET AND BECOME CONFUSED AT
TIMES THROUGH AT LEAST SUNDAY. DECIDED TO ONLY ISSUE A SCA FOR
SEAS THROUGH FRIDAY DAYLIGHT WITH CONFIDENCE BECOMING LIMITED
THEREAFTER GIVEN THE TIME RANGE. /JBONK

&&

.PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...NONE.

WA...NONE.

PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS FOR T0DAY ON ALL WATERS.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS ON ALL WATERS
 TODAY THROUGH FRI.

&&



$$

INTERACT WITH US VIA SOCIAL MEDIA
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSPORTLAND
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSPORTLAND


THIS DISCUSSION IS FOR NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON
FROM THE CASCADE CREST TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. THE AREA IS
COMMONLY REFERRED TO AS THE FORECAST AREA.





000
FXUS66 KPQR 101047
AFDPQR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
247 AM PST WED FEB 10 2016

.SYNOPSIS...MILD AIR MASS TO REMAIN OVER THE REGION THROUGH FRI.
WEAK FRONTS OFFSHORE WILL BRUSH THE NW TODAY AND THU...WITH VARIABLE
CLOUDINESS ACROSS THE REGION...ALONG WITH SOME SPOTTY LIGHT RAIN
ALONG THE COAST AND POSSIBLY INLAND. THAT CHANGES BY FRI...AS FIRST
IN A SERIES OF FRONTS PUSH INTO THE PAC NW. SHOWERY ON SATURDAY...BUT
MORE RAIN ARRIVES ON SUNDAY.
&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY...
UPPER RIDGE OVER THE PAC NW WILL SLOWLY SHIFT EASTWARD TODAY AND THU.
THAT MEANS MILD SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL TAKE HOLD OVER THE REGION. AT
SAME TIME...SEVERAL WEAKENING FRONTS WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST.
WHILE MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE...WILL SEE
CONSIDERABLY MORE IN WAY OF CLOUDS ACROSS THE REGION TODAY THROUGH
THU.

REMAINS OF THE FIRST FRONT SITS JUST OFFSHORE THIS AM...AND WILL MOVE
INLAND TODAY. NOT MUCH IN WAY OF RAIN...BUT SHOULD SEE SPOTTY LIGHT
RAIN ON THE COAST WITH ONLY LIGHT RAINFALL AMOUNTS. FURTHER
INLAND...SHOULD JUST SEE OCCASIONAL SPRINKLES OR POSSIBLY A BRIEF
LIGHT SHOWER. OVERALL...DRY INLAND TODAY AND TONIGHT.  MODELS
CONTINUE TO DEPICT THIS WEAK BOUNDARY LIFTING BACK TO THE N AS A WARM
FRONT ON THU. AGAIN...NOT A LOT OF PRECIPITATION BUT ENOUGH FOR
SPOTTY LIGHT RAIN...MAINLY ALONG THE COAST AND INTO SW WASHINGTON.

WITH LACK OF ANY AIR MASS CHANGE...AND WEAK WINDS OVER REGION... THE
MILD TEMPERATURE WILL CONTINUE. NORMALS HIGHS FOR THIS TIME OF FEB
ARE GENERALLY IN THE LOWER 50S. SO...WILL KEEP FORECAST HIGHS FOR
NEXT FEW DAYS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. DEPENDING ON HOW FAST THE WARM
FRONT LIFTS N ON THU...AS THIS WILL DETERMINE HOW MUCH CLOUD COVER
REMAINS OVER NW OREGON. THE MORE SUNSHINE...BETTER CHANCE OF REACHING
60 OR SLIGHTLY HIGHER ON THU. OTHERWISE...IF FRONT IS SLOWER MOVING
AND KEEPS CLOUDS OVER REGION LONGER...THU HIGH MAY ONLY GET INTO MID
50S. WILL TREND THU HIGHS TO FORMER IDEA.

FOR PAST MANY DAYS...MODELS HAVE BEEN INDICATING FIRST DECENT SHOT OF
RAIN WOULD PUSH INTO THE REGION ON FRI AS A MODERATELY STRONG COLD
FRONT ARRIVES. NO CHANGES TO THAT THOUGHT TRAIN. WILL KEEP RAIN IN
FORECAST ON FRI...WITH 0.50 TO 1.00 INCH OVER COAST RANGE AND S WASH
CASCADES...WITH 0.25 TO 0.50 INCH ELSEWHERE.  SNOW LEVELS REMAIN
ABOVE 8000 FT THROUGH FRI AFTERNOON...THEN WILL LOWER TO 3500 TO 4000
FT BY LATE FRI NIGHT.      ROCKEY.


.LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...
COOLER ON SATURDAY...WITH SHOWERS OVER THE REGION. SNOW LEVELS
SITTING AROUND 3500 TO 4000 FEET ON SAT...WITH SOME NEW SNOW EXPECTED
OVER THE CASCADES. NOT A LOT...BUT COULD SEE 3 TO 8 INCHES OF NEW
SNOW AT THE PASSES AND ABOVE. RATHER PROGRESSIVE PATTERN OVER THE
PAC...WITH ANOTHER FRONT ARRIVING ON SUN. HAVE INCREASES PROB OF RAIN
ON SUNDAY. BRIEF BREAK ON MON...BUT LOOKS WET AFTERWARDS AS YET
ANOTHER FRONT ARRIVES ON TUE. REST OF NEXT WEEK LOOKS RATHER CLOUDY
AND WET...WITH SNOW LEVELS BOUNCING FROM 3500 TO 5500 FT.   ROCKEY.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR MOST AREAS ALTHOUGH THERE MAY BE SOME PATCHY
VALLEY FOG UNDER THE HIGH OVERCAST. AT THIS TIME...NOTHING IS AT
THE TAF TERMINALS AND KUAO IS THE ONLY SITE SHOWING ANY VISIBILITY
REDUCTION. KEUG BRIEFLY FOGGED IN EARLIER BUT INCREASING
SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS HAVE SCOURED IT OUT. OTHERWISE...EXPECT VFR
CONDS THROUGH 11/12Z. A WEAK FRONT BRUSHES THE COAST THIS
AFTERNOON AND MAY BRING HIGHER END MVFR CIGS TO THE COASTAL
TERMINALS. NOT MUCH IMPACT EXPECTED INLAND ASIDE FROM VERY LIGHT
RAIN POSSIBLE 16Z-03Z AS CONDS LIKELY REMAIN VFR.

KPDX AND APPROACHES...VFR NEXT 24 HRS. MAY GET SOME PERIODS OF
HIGHER TERRAIN OBSCURATION OVER THE CASCADES AS WEAK RAIN BANDS
CROSS THE AREA 20Z-03Z. /JBONK

&&

.MARINE...A DECAYING FRONT WILL CROSS THE WATERS TODAY ALTHOUGH
CONFIDENCE IS BELOW NORMAL WITH REGARD TO THE WIND STRENGTH. WIND
SPEEDS ARE CURRENTLY BEING OVERDONE BY MODELS BY A FEW KTS. ALSO
SHORTENED THE TIME OF THE SCA FOR WINDS BY SEVERAL HOURS BUT EVEN
WITH THE WEAKER WINDS, IT APPEARS THERE WILL STILL BE ENOUGH WIND
TO JUSTIFY THE SCA FOR A SEVERAL HOUR PERIOD OF FREQUENT 21-25 KT
GUSTS. SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW CRITERIA DURING THE INITIAL EVENT
BUT BECOME SOMEWHAT STEEP REACHING 7-9 FT AT 11-13 SEC.

THE LARGE AND COMPLEX PARENT LOW CENTERED OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA
WELL OFFSHORE WILL SWING THE NEXT FRONT ACROSS THE WATERS
THURSDAY AND ANOTHER ON SATURDAY NIGHT/SUNDAY. THE THURSDAY SYSTEM
IS TRENDING WEAKER OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS BUT DOES STILL APPEAR TO
BE STRONGER THEN THE IMPENDING QUESTIONABLE FRONT. SUNDAY`S WOULD
BE THE STRONGEST ASSUMING MODELS SETTLE IN ON A COMMON SOLUTION.

REGARDLESS...THE SET OF EMBEDDED LOWS INSIDE THE PARENT LOW IS
GENERATING NUMEROUS SETS OF SWELL TRAINS. THE LEADING EDGE OF
SIGNIFICANT SEAS WILL REACH THE OUTER WATERS AROUND MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT. SEAS WILL POSSIBLY STAY 10-15 FEET AND BECOME CONFUSED AT
TIMES THROUGH AT LEAST SUNDAY. DECIDED TO ONLY ISSUE A SCA FOR
SEAS THROUGH FRIDAY DAYLIGHT WITH CONFIDENCE BECOMING LIMITED
THEREAFTER GIVEN THE TIME RANGE. /JBONK

&&

.PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...NONE.

WA...NONE.

PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS FOR T0DAY ON ALL WATERS.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS ON ALL WATERS
 TODAY THROUGH FRI.

&&



$$

INTERACT WITH US VIA SOCIAL MEDIA
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSPORTLAND
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSPORTLAND


THIS DISCUSSION IS FOR NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON
FROM THE CASCADE CREST TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. THE AREA IS
COMMONLY REFERRED TO AS THE FORECAST AREA.





000
FXUS66 KPQR 100451
AFDPQR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
849 PM PST TUE FEB  9 2016

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRES OVER REGION MAINTAINING DRY AND MILD AIR MASS
TONIGHT. THIS WILL SLOWLY CHANGE AS A COUPLE OF WEAK FRONTS WILL
BRING A CHANCE FOR LIGHT RAIN ALONG THE COAST AND COAST RANGE
WEDNESDAY MORNING THEN INLAND NORTH OF PORTLAND WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. A WARM FRONT WILL CONTINUE LIGHT RAIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT
AND THURSDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL SPREAD MORE WIDESPREAD RAIN ACROSS
THE REGION FRIDAY. COOLER UNSETTLED WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THE
WEEKEND.

&&

.SHORT TERM...A BROAD UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE NE PACIFIC HAS MOVED
CLOSER TO THE WEST COAST AS THE UPPER RIDGE AXIS (WHICH HAS
REMAINED STEADY OVER THE PACIFIC NW THE PAST FEW DAYS) HAS MOVED EAST
OVER IDAHO. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS SEVERAL LOWS EMBEDDED WITH IN THE
UPPER TROUGH OFFSHORE. THESE LOWS WILL BRING A SERIES OF WEAK FRONTS
ACROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS THE FIRST FRONT WEAKENING OFFSHORE WITH
WARMING CLOUD TOPS AND DECREASING ORGANIZATION. FOG PRODUCT REVEALS
THE NEAR SURFACE FRONT IS STILL INTACT BUT IS ALSO BECOMING MORE
RAGGED. THE LOWER CLOUDS WILL MAKE IT TO THE COAST LATE TONIGHT AND
EARLY WED MORNING.  NO MORE 70S AT THE COAST AS ONSHORE FLOW RETURNS.

INLAND VALLEYS WILL LIKELY SEE SOME FOG RETURN OVERNIGHT AND MAY
LIMIT THE EXTENT OF DENSE FOG. EAST WINDS ARE WEAKENING THROUGH THE
GORGE THIS EVENING...BUT WILL NOT WEAKEN ENOUGH AND MAY ALLOW MORE
FOG TO DEVELOP IN THE NORTH WILLAMETTE VALLEY ZONES.  FOG OR STRATUS
IS MORE LIKELY FOR THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN VALLEY...AND ALONG THE
COAST.

MODELS SHOW SOME RAIN REACHING THE COAST AND COASTAL MOUNTAINS LATE
TONIGHT AND WED BUT DO NOT EXPECT VERY MUCH QPF.  ANOTHER WEAK FRONT
WILL CONTINUE LIGHT RAIN FOR THE COAST WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND
INLAND...MAINLY NORTH OF PORTLAND WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE GENERALLY LESS THAN 0.15 INCH WED THROUGH
WED NIGHT...AND MOST INLAND AREAS WILL NOT SEE ANY RAIN. SNOW LEVELS
WILL REMAIN ABOVE 9000 FEET.

A WARM FRONT WILL BRUSH OVER THE REGION THURSDAY AND LIKELY BRING
ANOTHER ROUND OF HIGH POP LOW QPF RAIN THURSDAY BEFORE A COLD OR
OCCLUDED FRONT BRINGS MORE NOTICEABLE AND MORE WIDESPREAD RAIN
THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. SNOW LEVELS WILL REMAIN ABOVE 8000
FEET. THE COAST...COAST RANGE...AND CASCADES CAN EXPECT 0.75 TO 1
INCH OF RAIN BETWEEN THURSDAY MORNING AND FRIDAY NIGHT WITH 0.25 TO
0.5 INCH ELSEWHERE.

TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN MILD THROUGH FRIDAY WITH DAYTIME HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S TO LOW 60S AND NIGHTTIME LOWS IN THE 40S.  TJ /MH

.LONG TERM...AN UPPER TROUGH MOVES OVER THE PACIFIC NW FRIDAY NIGHT
THROUGH FOR COOLER WEATHER OVER THE WEEKEND. SNOW LEVELS WILL LOWER
TO NEAR OR BELOW THE CASCADE PASSES SATURDAY MORNING. A FRONTAL
SYSTEM WILL IMPACT THE AREA THIS WEEKEND FOR RAIN AND CASCADE SNOW
THROUGH SUNDAY. AN UPPER RIDGE WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT
AND MONDAY WITH A CHANCE FOR DRIER WEATHER FOR MONDAY. TJ

&&

.AVIATION...VFR THROUGH MUCH OF TONIGHT. HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS SHOULD
KEEP ANY FOG FAIRLY PATCHY WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR FOG AROUND
KEUG. ANY FOG THAT DEVELOPS SHOULD CLEAR OUT AS SOUTHERLY WINDS
PICK UP MID-MORNING WEDNESDAY. RAIN AND MVFR CIGS MOVE INTO THE
COAST BEGINNING WEDNESDAY MORNING BUT LIKELY WILL NOT AFFECT
INLAND TERMINALS.

KPDX AND APPROACHES...VFR NEXT 24 HRS. WINDS OUT OF THE EAST
DECREASING TONIGHT. IF WINDS DIE DOWN ENOUGH...COULD SEE SOME
PATCHY MVFR OR IFR FOG BUT CHANCES ARE LOW OF ANYTHING OTHER THAN
VFR CONDITIONS. BOWEN

&&

.MARINE...WINDS CURRENTLY OUT OF THE SSE AND LIGHT. A WEAK FRONT
APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTHWEST WEDNESDAY MORNING AND WILL BRING AN
INCREASE IN WINDS WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF THE SOUTH...MAINLY
REMAINING BEYOND 10 NM FROM THE COAST. WINDS DROP TO ONLY AROUND
10 KT WEDNESDAY EVENING. SEAS CURRENTLY 7 TO 8 FT WILL INCREASE
SLIGHTLY WEDNESDAY TO AROUND 9 FT AND SOMEWHAT CHOPPY WITH PERIOD
AROUND 11 SECONDS.

ANOTHER SYSTEM ON THURSDAY WILL INCREASE WINDS OUT OF THE SOUTH
AGAIN AND BRING SEAS UP INTO THE LOWER TEENS. A THIRD SYSTEM
FOLLOWS LATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY WHICH COULD BRING ANOTHER ROUND
OF SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WINDS AND KEEPS SEAS ABOVE 10 FT THROUGH
AT LEAST EARLY SUNDAY. BOWEN/MCCOY

&&

.PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...NONE.
WA...NONE.
PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS FROM 7 AM TO 9 PM PST WEDNESDAY
     FOR WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER WA TO CASCADE HEAD OR FROM
     10 TO 60 NM-WATERS FROM CASCADE HEAD TO FLORENCE OR FROM 10
     TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS FROM 1 PM TO 9 PM PST WEDNESDAY
     FOR COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER WA TO CASCADE HEAD
     OR OUT 10 NM-COASTAL WATERS FROM CASCADE HEAD TO FLORENCE
     OR OUT 10 NM.

&&

$$

INTERACT WITH US VIA SOCIAL MEDIA
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSPORTLAND
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSPORTLAND


THIS DISCUSSION IS FOR NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON
FROM THE CASCADE CREST TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. THE AREA IS
COMMONLY REFERRED TO AS THE FORECAST AREA.





000
FXUS66 KPQR 100451
AFDPQR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
849 PM PST TUE FEB  9 2016

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRES OVER REGION MAINTAINING DRY AND MILD AIR MASS
TONIGHT. THIS WILL SLOWLY CHANGE AS A COUPLE OF WEAK FRONTS WILL
BRING A CHANCE FOR LIGHT RAIN ALONG THE COAST AND COAST RANGE
WEDNESDAY MORNING THEN INLAND NORTH OF PORTLAND WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. A WARM FRONT WILL CONTINUE LIGHT RAIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT
AND THURSDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL SPREAD MORE WIDESPREAD RAIN ACROSS
THE REGION FRIDAY. COOLER UNSETTLED WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THE
WEEKEND.

&&

.SHORT TERM...A BROAD UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE NE PACIFIC HAS MOVED
CLOSER TO THE WEST COAST AS THE UPPER RIDGE AXIS (WHICH HAS
REMAINED STEADY OVER THE PACIFIC NW THE PAST FEW DAYS) HAS MOVED EAST
OVER IDAHO. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS SEVERAL LOWS EMBEDDED WITH IN THE
UPPER TROUGH OFFSHORE. THESE LOWS WILL BRING A SERIES OF WEAK FRONTS
ACROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS THE FIRST FRONT WEAKENING OFFSHORE WITH
WARMING CLOUD TOPS AND DECREASING ORGANIZATION. FOG PRODUCT REVEALS
THE NEAR SURFACE FRONT IS STILL INTACT BUT IS ALSO BECOMING MORE
RAGGED. THE LOWER CLOUDS WILL MAKE IT TO THE COAST LATE TONIGHT AND
EARLY WED MORNING.  NO MORE 70S AT THE COAST AS ONSHORE FLOW RETURNS.

INLAND VALLEYS WILL LIKELY SEE SOME FOG RETURN OVERNIGHT AND MAY
LIMIT THE EXTENT OF DENSE FOG. EAST WINDS ARE WEAKENING THROUGH THE
GORGE THIS EVENING...BUT WILL NOT WEAKEN ENOUGH AND MAY ALLOW MORE
FOG TO DEVELOP IN THE NORTH WILLAMETTE VALLEY ZONES.  FOG OR STRATUS
IS MORE LIKELY FOR THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN VALLEY...AND ALONG THE
COAST.

MODELS SHOW SOME RAIN REACHING THE COAST AND COASTAL MOUNTAINS LATE
TONIGHT AND WED BUT DO NOT EXPECT VERY MUCH QPF.  ANOTHER WEAK FRONT
WILL CONTINUE LIGHT RAIN FOR THE COAST WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND
INLAND...MAINLY NORTH OF PORTLAND WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE GENERALLY LESS THAN 0.15 INCH WED THROUGH
WED NIGHT...AND MOST INLAND AREAS WILL NOT SEE ANY RAIN. SNOW LEVELS
WILL REMAIN ABOVE 9000 FEET.

A WARM FRONT WILL BRUSH OVER THE REGION THURSDAY AND LIKELY BRING
ANOTHER ROUND OF HIGH POP LOW QPF RAIN THURSDAY BEFORE A COLD OR
OCCLUDED FRONT BRINGS MORE NOTICEABLE AND MORE WIDESPREAD RAIN
THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. SNOW LEVELS WILL REMAIN ABOVE 8000
FEET. THE COAST...COAST RANGE...AND CASCADES CAN EXPECT 0.75 TO 1
INCH OF RAIN BETWEEN THURSDAY MORNING AND FRIDAY NIGHT WITH 0.25 TO
0.5 INCH ELSEWHERE.

TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN MILD THROUGH FRIDAY WITH DAYTIME HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S TO LOW 60S AND NIGHTTIME LOWS IN THE 40S.  TJ /MH

.LONG TERM...AN UPPER TROUGH MOVES OVER THE PACIFIC NW FRIDAY NIGHT
THROUGH FOR COOLER WEATHER OVER THE WEEKEND. SNOW LEVELS WILL LOWER
TO NEAR OR BELOW THE CASCADE PASSES SATURDAY MORNING. A FRONTAL
SYSTEM WILL IMPACT THE AREA THIS WEEKEND FOR RAIN AND CASCADE SNOW
THROUGH SUNDAY. AN UPPER RIDGE WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT
AND MONDAY WITH A CHANCE FOR DRIER WEATHER FOR MONDAY. TJ

&&

.AVIATION...VFR THROUGH MUCH OF TONIGHT. HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS SHOULD
KEEP ANY FOG FAIRLY PATCHY WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR FOG AROUND
KEUG. ANY FOG THAT DEVELOPS SHOULD CLEAR OUT AS SOUTHERLY WINDS
PICK UP MID-MORNING WEDNESDAY. RAIN AND MVFR CIGS MOVE INTO THE
COAST BEGINNING WEDNESDAY MORNING BUT LIKELY WILL NOT AFFECT
INLAND TERMINALS.

KPDX AND APPROACHES...VFR NEXT 24 HRS. WINDS OUT OF THE EAST
DECREASING TONIGHT. IF WINDS DIE DOWN ENOUGH...COULD SEE SOME
PATCHY MVFR OR IFR FOG BUT CHANCES ARE LOW OF ANYTHING OTHER THAN
VFR CONDITIONS. BOWEN

&&

.MARINE...WINDS CURRENTLY OUT OF THE SSE AND LIGHT. A WEAK FRONT
APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTHWEST WEDNESDAY MORNING AND WILL BRING AN
INCREASE IN WINDS WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF THE SOUTH...MAINLY
REMAINING BEYOND 10 NM FROM THE COAST. WINDS DROP TO ONLY AROUND
10 KT WEDNESDAY EVENING. SEAS CURRENTLY 7 TO 8 FT WILL INCREASE
SLIGHTLY WEDNESDAY TO AROUND 9 FT AND SOMEWHAT CHOPPY WITH PERIOD
AROUND 11 SECONDS.

ANOTHER SYSTEM ON THURSDAY WILL INCREASE WINDS OUT OF THE SOUTH
AGAIN AND BRING SEAS UP INTO THE LOWER TEENS. A THIRD SYSTEM
FOLLOWS LATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY WHICH COULD BRING ANOTHER ROUND
OF SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WINDS AND KEEPS SEAS ABOVE 10 FT THROUGH
AT LEAST EARLY SUNDAY. BOWEN/MCCOY

&&

.PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...NONE.
WA...NONE.
PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS FROM 7 AM TO 9 PM PST WEDNESDAY
     FOR WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER WA TO CASCADE HEAD OR FROM
     10 TO 60 NM-WATERS FROM CASCADE HEAD TO FLORENCE OR FROM 10
     TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS FROM 1 PM TO 9 PM PST WEDNESDAY
     FOR COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER WA TO CASCADE HEAD
     OR OUT 10 NM-COASTAL WATERS FROM CASCADE HEAD TO FLORENCE
     OR OUT 10 NM.

&&

$$

INTERACT WITH US VIA SOCIAL MEDIA
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSPORTLAND
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSPORTLAND


THIS DISCUSSION IS FOR NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON
FROM THE CASCADE CREST TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. THE AREA IS
COMMONLY REFERRED TO AS THE FORECAST AREA.




000
FXUS66 KPQR 100451
AFDPQR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
849 PM PST TUE FEB  9 2016

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRES OVER REGION MAINTAINING DRY AND MILD AIR MASS
TONIGHT. THIS WILL SLOWLY CHANGE AS A COUPLE OF WEAK FRONTS WILL
BRING A CHANCE FOR LIGHT RAIN ALONG THE COAST AND COAST RANGE
WEDNESDAY MORNING THEN INLAND NORTH OF PORTLAND WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. A WARM FRONT WILL CONTINUE LIGHT RAIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT
AND THURSDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL SPREAD MORE WIDESPREAD RAIN ACROSS
THE REGION FRIDAY. COOLER UNSETTLED WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THE
WEEKEND.

&&

.SHORT TERM...A BROAD UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE NE PACIFIC HAS MOVED
CLOSER TO THE WEST COAST AS THE UPPER RIDGE AXIS (WHICH HAS
REMAINED STEADY OVER THE PACIFIC NW THE PAST FEW DAYS) HAS MOVED EAST
OVER IDAHO. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS SEVERAL LOWS EMBEDDED WITH IN THE
UPPER TROUGH OFFSHORE. THESE LOWS WILL BRING A SERIES OF WEAK FRONTS
ACROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS THE FIRST FRONT WEAKENING OFFSHORE WITH
WARMING CLOUD TOPS AND DECREASING ORGANIZATION. FOG PRODUCT REVEALS
THE NEAR SURFACE FRONT IS STILL INTACT BUT IS ALSO BECOMING MORE
RAGGED. THE LOWER CLOUDS WILL MAKE IT TO THE COAST LATE TONIGHT AND
EARLY WED MORNING.  NO MORE 70S AT THE COAST AS ONSHORE FLOW RETURNS.

INLAND VALLEYS WILL LIKELY SEE SOME FOG RETURN OVERNIGHT AND MAY
LIMIT THE EXTENT OF DENSE FOG. EAST WINDS ARE WEAKENING THROUGH THE
GORGE THIS EVENING...BUT WILL NOT WEAKEN ENOUGH AND MAY ALLOW MORE
FOG TO DEVELOP IN THE NORTH WILLAMETTE VALLEY ZONES.  FOG OR STRATUS
IS MORE LIKELY FOR THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN VALLEY...AND ALONG THE
COAST.

MODELS SHOW SOME RAIN REACHING THE COAST AND COASTAL MOUNTAINS LATE
TONIGHT AND WED BUT DO NOT EXPECT VERY MUCH QPF.  ANOTHER WEAK FRONT
WILL CONTINUE LIGHT RAIN FOR THE COAST WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND
INLAND...MAINLY NORTH OF PORTLAND WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE GENERALLY LESS THAN 0.15 INCH WED THROUGH
WED NIGHT...AND MOST INLAND AREAS WILL NOT SEE ANY RAIN. SNOW LEVELS
WILL REMAIN ABOVE 9000 FEET.

A WARM FRONT WILL BRUSH OVER THE REGION THURSDAY AND LIKELY BRING
ANOTHER ROUND OF HIGH POP LOW QPF RAIN THURSDAY BEFORE A COLD OR
OCCLUDED FRONT BRINGS MORE NOTICEABLE AND MORE WIDESPREAD RAIN
THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. SNOW LEVELS WILL REMAIN ABOVE 8000
FEET. THE COAST...COAST RANGE...AND CASCADES CAN EXPECT 0.75 TO 1
INCH OF RAIN BETWEEN THURSDAY MORNING AND FRIDAY NIGHT WITH 0.25 TO
0.5 INCH ELSEWHERE.

TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN MILD THROUGH FRIDAY WITH DAYTIME HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S TO LOW 60S AND NIGHTTIME LOWS IN THE 40S.  TJ /MH

.LONG TERM...AN UPPER TROUGH MOVES OVER THE PACIFIC NW FRIDAY NIGHT
THROUGH FOR COOLER WEATHER OVER THE WEEKEND. SNOW LEVELS WILL LOWER
TO NEAR OR BELOW THE CASCADE PASSES SATURDAY MORNING. A FRONTAL
SYSTEM WILL IMPACT THE AREA THIS WEEKEND FOR RAIN AND CASCADE SNOW
THROUGH SUNDAY. AN UPPER RIDGE WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT
AND MONDAY WITH A CHANCE FOR DRIER WEATHER FOR MONDAY. TJ

&&

.AVIATION...VFR THROUGH MUCH OF TONIGHT. HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS SHOULD
KEEP ANY FOG FAIRLY PATCHY WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR FOG AROUND
KEUG. ANY FOG THAT DEVELOPS SHOULD CLEAR OUT AS SOUTHERLY WINDS
PICK UP MID-MORNING WEDNESDAY. RAIN AND MVFR CIGS MOVE INTO THE
COAST BEGINNING WEDNESDAY MORNING BUT LIKELY WILL NOT AFFECT
INLAND TERMINALS.

KPDX AND APPROACHES...VFR NEXT 24 HRS. WINDS OUT OF THE EAST
DECREASING TONIGHT. IF WINDS DIE DOWN ENOUGH...COULD SEE SOME
PATCHY MVFR OR IFR FOG BUT CHANCES ARE LOW OF ANYTHING OTHER THAN
VFR CONDITIONS. BOWEN

&&

.MARINE...WINDS CURRENTLY OUT OF THE SSE AND LIGHT. A WEAK FRONT
APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTHWEST WEDNESDAY MORNING AND WILL BRING AN
INCREASE IN WINDS WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF THE SOUTH...MAINLY
REMAINING BEYOND 10 NM FROM THE COAST. WINDS DROP TO ONLY AROUND
10 KT WEDNESDAY EVENING. SEAS CURRENTLY 7 TO 8 FT WILL INCREASE
SLIGHTLY WEDNESDAY TO AROUND 9 FT AND SOMEWHAT CHOPPY WITH PERIOD
AROUND 11 SECONDS.

ANOTHER SYSTEM ON THURSDAY WILL INCREASE WINDS OUT OF THE SOUTH
AGAIN AND BRING SEAS UP INTO THE LOWER TEENS. A THIRD SYSTEM
FOLLOWS LATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY WHICH COULD BRING ANOTHER ROUND
OF SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WINDS AND KEEPS SEAS ABOVE 10 FT THROUGH
AT LEAST EARLY SUNDAY. BOWEN/MCCOY

&&

.PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...NONE.
WA...NONE.
PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS FROM 7 AM TO 9 PM PST WEDNESDAY
     FOR WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER WA TO CASCADE HEAD OR FROM
     10 TO 60 NM-WATERS FROM CASCADE HEAD TO FLORENCE OR FROM 10
     TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS FROM 1 PM TO 9 PM PST WEDNESDAY
     FOR COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER WA TO CASCADE HEAD
     OR OUT 10 NM-COASTAL WATERS FROM CASCADE HEAD TO FLORENCE
     OR OUT 10 NM.

&&

$$

INTERACT WITH US VIA SOCIAL MEDIA
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSPORTLAND
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSPORTLAND


THIS DISCUSSION IS FOR NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON
FROM THE CASCADE CREST TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. THE AREA IS
COMMONLY REFERRED TO AS THE FORECAST AREA.





000
FXUS66 KPQR 092243
AFDPQR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
243 PM PST TUE FEB  9 2016

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRES OVER REGION MAINTAINING DRY AND MILD AIR MASS
TODAY. A COUPLE OF WEAK FRONTS WILL BRING A CHANCE FOR LIGHT RAIN
ALONG THE COAST AND COAST RANGE WEDNESDAY MORNING THEN INLAND NORTH
OF PORTLAND WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A WARM FRONT WILL
CONTINUE LIGHT RAIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL
SPREAD MORE WIDESPREAD RAIN ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY. COOLER
UNSETTLED WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THE WEEKEND.

&&

.SHORT TERM...A BROAD UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE NE PACIFIC HAS MOVED
CLOSER TO THE WEST COAST TODAY AS THE UPPER RIDGE AXIS (WHICH HAS
REMAINED STEADY OVER THE PACIFIC NW THE PAST FEW DAYS) HAS MOVED EAST
OVER IDAHO. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS SEVERAL LOWS EMBEDDED WITH IN THE
UPPER TROUGH OFFSHORE. THESE LOWS WILL BRING A SERIES OF WEAK FRONTS
ACROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS THE FIRST FRONT WEAKENING OFFSHORE THIS
AFTERNOON. HIGH CLOUDS AHEAD OF THIS FRONT ARE STREAMING ACROSS NW
OREGON AND SW WASHINGTON. INLAND VALLEYS WILL LIKELY SEE SOME FOG
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT...BUT THE CLOUDY SKIES SHOULD LIMIT THE EXTENT OF
DENSE FOG. EAST WINDS ARE WEAKENING THROUGH THE GORGE THIS
EVENING...BUT WILL NOT LIKELY WEAKEN ENOUGH FOR THE NORTH WILLAMETTE
VALLEY TO BE VULNERABLE TO FOG DEVELOPMENT. FOG OR STRATUS IS MORE
LIKELY FOR THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN VALLEY...AND ALONG THE COAST.

A SHORTWAVE CURRENTLY OFFSHORE OF THE CA/OR BORDER WILL MOVE TOWARDS
THE OREGON COAST THIS EVENING AND PRODUCE LIGHT RAIN OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS LATE TONIGHT....AND THE COAST AND COAST RANGE EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING. ANOTHER WEAK FRONT WILL CONTINUE LIGHT RAIN FOR THE COAST
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND INLAND...MAINLY NORTH OF PORTLAND WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE GENERALLY LESS THAN
0.15 INCH WED THROUGH WED NIGHT...AND MOST INLAND AREAS WILL NOT SEE
ANY RAIN. SNOW LEVELS WILL REMAIN ABOVE 9000 FEET.

A WARM FRONT WILL BRUSH OVER THE REGION THURSDAY AND LIKELY BRING
ANOTHER ROUND OF HIGH POP LOW QPF RAIN THURSDAY BEFORE A COLD OR
OCCLUDED FRONT BRINGS MORE NOTICEABLE AND MORE WIDESPREAD RAIN
THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. SNOW LEVELS WILL REMAIN ABOVE 8000
FEET. THE COAST...COAST RANGE...AND CASCADES CAN EXPECT 0.75 TO 1
INCH OF RAIN BETWEEN THURSDAY MORNING AND FRIDAY NIGHT WITH 0.25 TO
0.5 INCH ELSEWHERE.

TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN MILD THROUGH FRIDAY WITH DAYTIME HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S TO LOW 60S AND NIGHTTIME LOWS IN THE 40S.  TJ

.LONG TERM...AN UPPER TROUGH MOVES OVER THE PACIFIC NW FRIDAY NIGHT
THROUGH FOR COOLER WEATHER OVER THE WEEKEND. SNOW LEVELS WILL LOWER
TO NEAR OR BELOW THE CASCADE PASSES SATURDAY MORNING. A FRONTAL
SYSTEM WILL IMPACT THE AREA THIS WEEKEND FOR RAIN AND CASCADE SNOW
THROUGH SUNDAY. AN UPPER RIDGE WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT
AND MONDAY WITH A CHANCE FOR DRIER WEATHER FOR MONDAY. TJ

&&

.AVIATION...VFR ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. OFFSHORE FLOW IS
DIMINISHING ALONG THE COAST WITH THE APPROACHING FRONTAL BOUNDARY.
THIS COULD ALLOW LOW CLOUDS TO DEVELOP ALONG THE COAST
TONIGHT...BUT THIS LIKELY DEPENDS ON WINDS DEVELOPING A WEAK
ONSHORE COMPONENT WITH THE BEST CHANCE BEING AT KONP AS OPPOSED TO
KAST. RIGHT NOW THINKING THERE WILL BE ENOUGH SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW
TO KEEP COASTAL TERMINALS VFR OVERNIGHT UNTIL LOWER CLOUDS START
TO MOVE IN AHEAD OF THE FRONT LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING.
INLAND...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON. EAST
WINDS FROM THE GORGE WILL BE DECREASING THIS EVENING...BUT WILL
STILL KEEP KTTD AND PROBABLY KPDX VFR THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.
ELSEWHERE...HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS WILL KEEP ANY FOG THAT DEVELOPS
FAIRLY PATCHY...WITH THE BEST CHANCE OF MORE WIDESPREAD FOG DOWN
NEAR KEUG WHERE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE IS HIGHER. ANY FOG THAT
DEVELOPS SHOULD START TO CLEAR OUT AS SOUTHERLY WINDS PICK UP MID-
MORNING WEDNESDAY.

KPDX AND APPROACHES...CONDITIONS SHOULD STAY VFR FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS...THOUGH THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF PATCHY FOG DEVELOPING
ALONG THE COLUMBIA RIVER AND DRIFTING INTO THE TERMINAL AFTER 12Z
WEDNESDAY. EAST WINDS DECREASING OUT OF THE WEST END OF THE GORGE.
-MCCOY

&&

.MARINE...WINDS ARE VEERING TO SOUTHERLY OVER THE OUTER WATERS
THIS AFTERNOON AND GUSTING TO 10 TO 20 KT. WINDS FOR THE MOST
PART SHOULD STAY UNDER 20 KT THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...EXCEPT
FOR A FEW LOCAL GUSTS TO 25 KT. WINDS SHOULD WEAKEN A BIT
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT BEFORE INCREASING WEDNESDAY MORNING AS A WEAK
FRONTAL BOUNDARY APPROACHES. AHEAD OF THE FRONT...EXPECT SOLID
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WINDS OUT OF THE SOUTH...DROPPING OFF BEHIND
THE FRONT WEDNESDAY NIGHT. SEAS...WHICH ARE CURRENTLY AROUND 7 TO
8 FT...COULD INCREASE TO 9 FT WITH THIS SYSTEM WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON.

ANOTHER SYSTEM ON THURSDAY WILL BRING SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WINDS
AND SEAS UP INTO THE LOWER TEENS. A THIRD SYSTEM FOLLOWS LATE
SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY WHICH COULD BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY WINDS AND KEEPS SEAS ABOVE 10 FT THROUGH AT LEAST
EARLY SUNDAY.
-MCCOY

&&

.PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...NONE.
WA...NONE.
PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS FROM 7 AM TO 9 PM PST WEDNESDAY
     FOR WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER WA TO CASCADE HEAD OR FROM
     10 TO 60 NM-WATERS FROM CASCADE HEAD TO FLORENCE OR FROM 10
     TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS FROM 1 PM TO 9 PM PST WEDNESDAY
     FOR COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER WA TO CASCADE HEAD
     OR OUT 10 NM-COASTAL WATERS FROM CASCADE HEAD TO FLORENCE
     OR OUT 10 NM.

&&
$$

INTERACT WITH US VIA SOCIAL MEDIA
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSPORTLAND
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSPORTLAND


THIS DISCUSSION IS FOR NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON
FROM THE CASCADE CREST TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. THE AREA IS
COMMONLY REFERRED TO AS THE FORECAST AREA.





000
FXUS66 KPQR 091714
AFDPQR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
913 AM PST TUE FEB  9 2016

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRES OVER REGION MAINTAINING DRY AND MILD AIR MASS
TODAY. A COUPLE OF WEAK FRONTS WILL BRING A CHANCE FOR LIGHT RAIN
ALONG THE COAST AND COAST RANGE WEDNESDAY MORNING THEN INLAND NORTH
OF PORTLAND WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A WARM FRONT WILL
CONTINUE LIGHT RAIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. ANOTHER FRONT MAY
SPREAD MORE MORE WIDESPREAD RAIN ACROSS THE REGION ON FRIDAY.  COOLER
UNSETTLED WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THE WEEKEND.

&&

.SHORT TERM...DENSE FOG IN THE SOUTH WILLAMETTE VALLEY AND ALONG THE
LOWER COLUMBIA RIVER VALLEY ARE SHOWING SIGNS OF IMPROVEMENT THIS
MORNING AND HAVE CANCELLED THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY. A STRONG UPPER
RIDGE AND INVERSION HOLDS OVER THE AREA AND EXPECT DAYTIME
TEMPERATURES IN MOST AREAS TO WARM INTO THE 60S THIS AFTERNOON.

EAST WINDS CONTINUE THROUGH THE GORGE WITH GUSTS 50 TO 70 MPH THROUGH
THE COLUMBIA RIVER GORGE AND 35 MPH NEAR THE COLUMBIA GORGE ENTRANCE
(TROUTDALE AREA). THESE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TODAY...THEN WEAKEN THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. COASTAL AREAS AND AREAS FAR FROM THE GORGE
WILL HAVE A CHANGE TO SOUTHERLY WINDS THIS AFTERNOON AS A FRONT NEARS
THE COAST.

SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS HIGH CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT
OFFSHORE APPROACHING THE CENTRAL OREGON COAST THIS MORNING. THESE
CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH INLAND TODAY AND HAVE UPDATED THE SKY
COVER FORECAST FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL
WEAKEN AS IT NEARS THE COAST TONIGHT...BUT LIKELY HOLD TOGETHER
ENOUGH TO GENERATE LIGHT RAIN OVER THE COASTAL WATERS LATE TONIGHT
AND ALONG THE COAST AND COAST RANGE WEDNESDAY MORNING.
HIGH CLOUDS  SHOULD LIMIT RADIATION FOG OVERNIGHT TONIGHT...BUT THE
WINDS WITH THE FRONT ARE FAIRLY LIGHT AND CAN EXPECT SOME PATCHY
COASTAL AND INTERIOR VALLEY FOG.

THE WEAKENING FRONT IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW THAT IS AROUND 700 MILES
OFFSHORE THE BRITISH COLUMBIA COAST. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS ANOTHER
LOW FORMING SW OF THE FIRST LOW...NEAR 40N 150W. A WEAK FRONT WITH
THIS SECOND LOW WILL MERGE WITH THE FIRST FRONT ALONG THE COAST WED
MORNING AND SPREAD LIGHT RAIN INLAND INLAND...MAINLY NORTH OF
PORTLAND WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. RAINFALL TOTALS WILL BE
LOW...AND SNOW LEVELS WILL REMAIN HIGH. A WARM FRONT WILL PRODUCE
ANOTHER CHANCE FOR RAIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. TJ

.LONG TERM...THE UPPER RIDGE WILL MOVE EAST OF THE AREA THURSDAY
NIGHT AND FRIDAY AND OPEN THE DOOR FOR A COOLER AND MOISTER WEATHER
PATTERN FOR THE WEEKEND. A FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL SPREAD WIDESPREAD RAIN
ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY. COOLER AIR BEHIND THE FRONT WILL LOWER SNOW
LEVELS DOWN TOTHE CASCADE PASSES THIS WEEKEND AS ANOTHER FRONT
MOVES IN SATURDAY NIGHT OR SUNDAY. MODELS ARE IN GREAT AGREEMENT ON
THE UPPER RIDGE REBUILDING EARLY NEXT WEEK FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF SUNNY
AND WARM WEATHER. TJ

&&

.AVIATION...VFR AT THE COAST PLUS TERMINALS IN THE NORTH
WILLAMETTE VALLEY DUE OFFSHORE WINDS KEEPING ATMOSPHERE MIXED.
EASTERLY WINDS GRADUALLY WEAKEN TODAY...BUT STILL REMAIN GUSTY
NEAR THE WEST END OF THE GORGE. FOG APPEARS SHALLOWER THAN
YESTERDAY AND IS STAYING SOUTH OF KSLE. EXPECT KEUG TO BREAK OUT
OF FOG AND IMPROVE TO VFR AROUND 18Z. VFR CONDITIONS AT ALL SITES
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING. WILL SEE HIGH LEVEL
CLOUDS MOVE IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST TODAY. THIS MAY HINDER WIDESPREAD
FOG DEVELOPMENT TONIGHT. WITH WEAKENING WINDS FROM THE
GORGE...COULD SEE PATCHY FOG DEVELOP AROUND KHIO BUT PROBABLY NOT
KPDX. DEFINITELY NO FOG AT KTTD AS THIS SITE WILL STILL HAVE
EASTERLY WINDS. SHOULD SEE FOG REDEVELOP AT KEUG TONIGHT...AND
PATCHY FOG COULD IMPACT KSLE. ALONG THE COAST...WINDS TURN
SOUTHERLY TODAY. LOW CLOUDS WILL MAKE IT TO THE COAST AROUND
03-06Z THIS EVENING LIKELY LOWERING CIGS AND VIS TO IFR AND
PERSISTING OVERNIGHT.

KPDX AND APPROACHES...VFR CONDITIONS FOR THE NEXT 24 HRS WITH
LIGHT WINDS AT THE TERMINAL. GUSTY EASTERLY HEADWINDS FOR
DEPARTURES THROUGH 20Z WITH SOME SPEED SHEAR UNDER SLIGHTLY
VEERING WINDS THROUGH LOWEST 2000 FT AGL. -MCCOY

&&

.MARINE...NO CHANGES. PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FOLLOWS...
LOW PRESSURE WELL OFFSHORE WILL MOVE NORTH TODAY AND SWING WINDS
FROM SOUTHEASTERLY TO MORE SOUTHERLY THIS AFTERNOON. FEEL THERE
WILL BE SOME LOCALIZED 20 TO 25 KT GUSTS BUT CONFIDENCE IN A
WIDESPREAD SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WIND EVENT IS LOW. HAVE BETTER
CONFIDENCE FOR WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WHEN FRONTAL REMNANTS WILL
SWING NORTH ACROSS THE WATERS WITH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVEL WIND
GUSTS LIKELY. BUT EVEN THEN...NOTABLE DISCREPANCY AMONG THE MODELS
AS TO THE STRENGTH WITH ONE KEEPING THIS AS A NON-EVENT. WILL LET
THINGS SHAKE OUT A BIT BEFORE ISSUING PRODUCTS YET. MODELS IN
DECENT AGREEMENT IN BRINGING POSSIBLE GALES SATURDAY EVENING UNDER
A PASSING FRONT BUT BEGIN TO STRAY AGAIN THEREAFTER.

SEAS HAVE REMAINED A BIT MORE STUBBORN AND ARE HOVERING 10-11 FT
ACROSS THE FAR NORTHERN WATERS. HAVE TIMED IN THE DECAY FROM BUOY
5 AND FEEL THEY WILL DROP SEE THE EXPECTED DROP OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE HOURS.

SEAS HAVE FALLEN TO 8 TO 10 FT THIS EVENING AND SHOULD GENERALLY
CONTINUE TO FALL TO AROUND 7 FT TUESDAY. WILL SEE SEAS BUILD BACK
UP AROUND 10 FT WITH THE FRONTAL REMNANTS WEDNESDAY. WHILE A
LONGER PERIOD MIXED SWELL ARRIVES THURSDAY SOLIDLY PUSHING SEAS
INTO THE LOWER TEENS. ACTIVE PATTERN WILL KEEP SEAS ABOVE 10 FT
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. /JBONK

&&

.PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...NONE
WA...NONE
PZ...NONE.

&&

$$

INTERACT WITH US VIA SOCIAL MEDIA
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSPORTLAND
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSPORTLAND


THIS DISCUSSION IS FOR NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON
FROM THE CASCADE CREST TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. THE AREA IS
COMMONLY REFERRED TO AS THE FORECAST AREA.





000
FXUS66 KPQR 091714
AFDPQR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
913 AM PST TUE FEB  9 2016

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRES OVER REGION MAINTAINING DRY AND MILD AIR MASS
TODAY. A COUPLE OF WEAK FRONTS WILL BRING A CHANCE FOR LIGHT RAIN
ALONG THE COAST AND COAST RANGE WEDNESDAY MORNING THEN INLAND NORTH
OF PORTLAND WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A WARM FRONT WILL
CONTINUE LIGHT RAIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. ANOTHER FRONT MAY
SPREAD MORE MORE WIDESPREAD RAIN ACROSS THE REGION ON FRIDAY.  COOLER
UNSETTLED WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THE WEEKEND.

&&

.SHORT TERM...DENSE FOG IN THE SOUTH WILLAMETTE VALLEY AND ALONG THE
LOWER COLUMBIA RIVER VALLEY ARE SHOWING SIGNS OF IMPROVEMENT THIS
MORNING AND HAVE CANCELLED THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY. A STRONG UPPER
RIDGE AND INVERSION HOLDS OVER THE AREA AND EXPECT DAYTIME
TEMPERATURES IN MOST AREAS TO WARM INTO THE 60S THIS AFTERNOON.

EAST WINDS CONTINUE THROUGH THE GORGE WITH GUSTS 50 TO 70 MPH THROUGH
THE COLUMBIA RIVER GORGE AND 35 MPH NEAR THE COLUMBIA GORGE ENTRANCE
(TROUTDALE AREA). THESE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TODAY...THEN WEAKEN THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. COASTAL AREAS AND AREAS FAR FROM THE GORGE
WILL HAVE A CHANGE TO SOUTHERLY WINDS THIS AFTERNOON AS A FRONT NEARS
THE COAST.

SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS HIGH CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT
OFFSHORE APPROACHING THE CENTRAL OREGON COAST THIS MORNING. THESE
CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH INLAND TODAY AND HAVE UPDATED THE SKY
COVER FORECAST FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL
WEAKEN AS IT NEARS THE COAST TONIGHT...BUT LIKELY HOLD TOGETHER
ENOUGH TO GENERATE LIGHT RAIN OVER THE COASTAL WATERS LATE TONIGHT
AND ALONG THE COAST AND COAST RANGE WEDNESDAY MORNING.
HIGH CLOUDS  SHOULD LIMIT RADIATION FOG OVERNIGHT TONIGHT...BUT THE
WINDS WITH THE FRONT ARE FAIRLY LIGHT AND CAN EXPECT SOME PATCHY
COASTAL AND INTERIOR VALLEY FOG.

THE WEAKENING FRONT IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW THAT IS AROUND 700 MILES
OFFSHORE THE BRITISH COLUMBIA COAST. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS ANOTHER
LOW FORMING SW OF THE FIRST LOW...NEAR 40N 150W. A WEAK FRONT WITH
THIS SECOND LOW WILL MERGE WITH THE FIRST FRONT ALONG THE COAST WED
MORNING AND SPREAD LIGHT RAIN INLAND INLAND...MAINLY NORTH OF
PORTLAND WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. RAINFALL TOTALS WILL BE
LOW...AND SNOW LEVELS WILL REMAIN HIGH. A WARM FRONT WILL PRODUCE
ANOTHER CHANCE FOR RAIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. TJ

.LONG TERM...THE UPPER RIDGE WILL MOVE EAST OF THE AREA THURSDAY
NIGHT AND FRIDAY AND OPEN THE DOOR FOR A COOLER AND MOISTER WEATHER
PATTERN FOR THE WEEKEND. A FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL SPREAD WIDESPREAD RAIN
ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY. COOLER AIR BEHIND THE FRONT WILL LOWER SNOW
LEVELS DOWN TOTHE CASCADE PASSES THIS WEEKEND AS ANOTHER FRONT
MOVES IN SATURDAY NIGHT OR SUNDAY. MODELS ARE IN GREAT AGREEMENT ON
THE UPPER RIDGE REBUILDING EARLY NEXT WEEK FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF SUNNY
AND WARM WEATHER. TJ

&&

.AVIATION...VFR AT THE COAST PLUS TERMINALS IN THE NORTH
WILLAMETTE VALLEY DUE OFFSHORE WINDS KEEPING ATMOSPHERE MIXED.
EASTERLY WINDS GRADUALLY WEAKEN TODAY...BUT STILL REMAIN GUSTY
NEAR THE WEST END OF THE GORGE. FOG APPEARS SHALLOWER THAN
YESTERDAY AND IS STAYING SOUTH OF KSLE. EXPECT KEUG TO BREAK OUT
OF FOG AND IMPROVE TO VFR AROUND 18Z. VFR CONDITIONS AT ALL SITES
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING. WILL SEE HIGH LEVEL
CLOUDS MOVE IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST TODAY. THIS MAY HINDER WIDESPREAD
FOG DEVELOPMENT TONIGHT. WITH WEAKENING WINDS FROM THE
GORGE...COULD SEE PATCHY FOG DEVELOP AROUND KHIO BUT PROBABLY NOT
KPDX. DEFINITELY NO FOG AT KTTD AS THIS SITE WILL STILL HAVE
EASTERLY WINDS. SHOULD SEE FOG REDEVELOP AT KEUG TONIGHT...AND
PATCHY FOG COULD IMPACT KSLE. ALONG THE COAST...WINDS TURN
SOUTHERLY TODAY. LOW CLOUDS WILL MAKE IT TO THE COAST AROUND
03-06Z THIS EVENING LIKELY LOWERING CIGS AND VIS TO IFR AND
PERSISTING OVERNIGHT.

KPDX AND APPROACHES...VFR CONDITIONS FOR THE NEXT 24 HRS WITH
LIGHT WINDS AT THE TERMINAL. GUSTY EASTERLY HEADWINDS FOR
DEPARTURES THROUGH 20Z WITH SOME SPEED SHEAR UNDER SLIGHTLY
VEERING WINDS THROUGH LOWEST 2000 FT AGL. -MCCOY

&&

.MARINE...NO CHANGES. PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FOLLOWS...
LOW PRESSURE WELL OFFSHORE WILL MOVE NORTH TODAY AND SWING WINDS
FROM SOUTHEASTERLY TO MORE SOUTHERLY THIS AFTERNOON. FEEL THERE
WILL BE SOME LOCALIZED 20 TO 25 KT GUSTS BUT CONFIDENCE IN A
WIDESPREAD SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WIND EVENT IS LOW. HAVE BETTER
CONFIDENCE FOR WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WHEN FRONTAL REMNANTS WILL
SWING NORTH ACROSS THE WATERS WITH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVEL WIND
GUSTS LIKELY. BUT EVEN THEN...NOTABLE DISCREPANCY AMONG THE MODELS
AS TO THE STRENGTH WITH ONE KEEPING THIS AS A NON-EVENT. WILL LET
THINGS SHAKE OUT A BIT BEFORE ISSUING PRODUCTS YET. MODELS IN
DECENT AGREEMENT IN BRINGING POSSIBLE GALES SATURDAY EVENING UNDER
A PASSING FRONT BUT BEGIN TO STRAY AGAIN THEREAFTER.

SEAS HAVE REMAINED A BIT MORE STUBBORN AND ARE HOVERING 10-11 FT
ACROSS THE FAR NORTHERN WATERS. HAVE TIMED IN THE DECAY FROM BUOY
5 AND FEEL THEY WILL DROP SEE THE EXPECTED DROP OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE HOURS.

SEAS HAVE FALLEN TO 8 TO 10 FT THIS EVENING AND SHOULD GENERALLY
CONTINUE TO FALL TO AROUND 7 FT TUESDAY. WILL SEE SEAS BUILD BACK
UP AROUND 10 FT WITH THE FRONTAL REMNANTS WEDNESDAY. WHILE A
LONGER PERIOD MIXED SWELL ARRIVES THURSDAY SOLIDLY PUSHING SEAS
INTO THE LOWER TEENS. ACTIVE PATTERN WILL KEEP SEAS ABOVE 10 FT
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. /JBONK

&&

.PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...NONE
WA...NONE
PZ...NONE.

&&

$$

INTERACT WITH US VIA SOCIAL MEDIA
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSPORTLAND
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSPORTLAND


THIS DISCUSSION IS FOR NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON
FROM THE CASCADE CREST TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. THE AREA IS
COMMONLY REFERRED TO AS THE FORECAST AREA.





000
FXUS66 KPQR 091110
AFDPQR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
306 AM PST TUE FEB  9 2016

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRES OVER REGION MAINTAINING DRY AND MILD AIR MASS.
WILL CONTINUE TO SEE AREAS OF LATE NIGHT AND MORNING FOG FOR INLAND
AREAS AWAY FROM THE COLUMBIA GORGE. HIGH PRES WEAKENS ON WED...WITH A
WEAK FRONT PUSHING INTO REGION THU. STRONGER FRONT WILL ARRIVE ON
FRI...FOLLOWED BY COOLER UNSETTLED WEATHER FOR THE WEEKEND.
&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY...
MAIN STORY IS THE STRONG HIGH PRES RIDGE ALOFT THAT SITS OVER THE
WESTERN USA. THIS RIDGE IS ACTING LIKE A ROCK IN A STREAM...FORCING
THE APPROACHING FRONTS TO WEAKEN AND SHIFT AROUND THE HIGH INTO SW
CANADA.

AT SURFACE...OFFSHORE FLOW CONTINUES TO FLOW THROUGH THE COLUMBIA
GORGE. AT 3 AM...TRANS-CASCADES PRES GRADIENT OVER THE GORGE WAS
HOLDING STEADY AROUND 10 MB...POINTING OFFSHORE. THIS WILL KEEP
BREEZY EAST WINDS IN THE WESTERN GORGE THIS AM...WITH GUSTS 45 TO 60
MPH FOR THE MOST PART...AND 35 TO 45 MPH OVER PARTS OF EASTERN
PORTLAND/VANCOUVER AREAS. BUT WINDS DROP OFF QUICKLY AS MOVE AWAY
FROM THAT AREA. SO MUCH THAT FOG AND VERY LOW STRATUS HAVE FORMED
OVER SOUTH WILLAMETTE VALLEY AND OVER THE COWLITZ VALLEY. WEB CAMS
IN EUGENE SHOW VERY SHALLOW LAYER OF FOG...GENERALLY 100 TO 300 FT
DEEP. WITH  VISIBILITIES IN THOSE AREAS RUNNING 1/8 TO 1/4 MILE...
WILL PUT UP DENSE FOG ADVISORIES FOR THOSE TWO AREAS UNTIL 11 AM.
FOG WILL FORM ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL WILLAMETTE VALLEY THIS AM BUT
ANY DENSE FOG WOULD BE QUITE ISOLATED...AND MAINLY BETWEEN SALEM
AND ALBANY.

OTHERWISE...TODAYS WEATHER WILL BE MUCH LIKE THAT OF MONDAY...WITH
PLENTY OF SUNSHINE AND MILD CONDITIONS. OFFSHORE FLOW WILL GRADUALLY
WEAKEN TODAY...AND MUCH MORE SO TONIGHT. SO...COASTAL AREAS WILL BE
TAD COOLER TODAY...GENERALLY IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S ONLY.

ONCE SUN GOES DOWN THIS EVENING...AIR MASS WILL COOL RAPIDLY AGAIN.
WILL SEE ANOTHER NIGHT OF FOG AND LOW CLOUDS...BUT THEY WILL SPREAD
OUT FARTHER ACROSS THE INLAND VALLEYS AS WINDS WILL BECOMING LIGHT
AND VARIABLE OVER MOST AREAS. CLOUDS WILL BE SLOWER TO CLEAR ON WED.

FIRST OF SERIES OF FRONT WILL ARRIVE LATER WED/WED NIGHT... BUT IT
SEEMS TO BE THE SACRIFICIAL FRONT AS NOT MUCH IN WAY OF MOISTURE
REACHING THE REGION. WILL KEEP 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN FOR THE
COASTAL AREAS...MAINLY N OF NEWPORT LATE WED AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
ANOTHER FRONT ARRIVES LATER THU...BUT AGAIN MOST OF ITS MOISTURE WILL
BE SHUNTED TO THE N OF THE REGION. STILL...WILL HAVE PLENTY OF CLOUDS
AND SOME CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN ON THU.                  ROCKEY.

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...THE MODELS ARE
INDICATING WE WILL STAY UNDER SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT EARLY IN THE
PERIOD...THEN HAVE A FRONT COME THROUGH FRIDAY...WITH SHOWERY WEATHER
INTO SATURDAY. THE GFS THE SLOWEST AND THE ECMWF THE FASTEST. THE
MODELS SUGGEST WE GET BACK INTO WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW FOLLOWING THAT
SYSTEM...WITH THE GFS CONSIDERABLY DRIER THAN THE ECMWF OR GEM
MODELS. HAVE TRENDED TOWARD CLIMO POPS FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY.
TOLLESON
&&

.AVIATION...VFR AT THE COAST PLUS KTTD AND KPDX AS OFFSHORE FLOW
WILL KEEP THE LOWER ATMOSPHERE MIXED. THE OFFSHORE FLOW WILL
GRADUALLY WEAKEN TODAY BUT STILL REMAIN RATHER GUSTY NEAR THE
MOUTH OF THE GORGE...INCLUDING KTTD. KEUG QUICKLY DEVELOPED A
THIN LOW DECK AND FOG. KSLE AND KHIO LIKELY ARE NOT FAR OFF GIVEN
LIGHT WINDS AND MINIMAL TEMPERATURE DEW POINT SPREADS ALTHOUGH
LAMP GUIDANCE IS AN OUTLIER AMONG MOS INFO. LAMP DOES NOT BRING
REDUCTIONS IN FLIGHT CONDITIONS TO THOSE TWO SITES. WILL LEAN ON
PERSISTENCE AND PROBABLY KEEP SOME FOG MENTION IN PLACE FOR KSLE
AND KHIO. ALL SITES SHOULD SEE THE FOG DISSIPATE BY 21Z WITH KEUG
HOLDING ON THE LATEST. CONTINUED PERSISTENCE FORECAST WILL BRING
FOG BACK TO KEUG AROUND 08Z TONIGHT.

KPDX AND APPROACHES...VFR CONDITIONS FOR THE NEXT 24 HRS WITH
EASTERLY WINDS. GUSTY HEADWINDS FOR THE DEPARTURES THROUGH 20Z WITH
SOME SPEED SHEAR UNDER SLIGHTLY VEERING WINDS THROUGH THE LOWEST
2000 FEET AGL. /JBONK
&&

.MARINE...LOW PRESSURE WELL OFFSHORE WILL MOVE NORTH TODAY AND
SWING WINDS FROM SOUTHEASTERLY TO MORE SOUTHERLY THIS AFTERNOON.
FEEL THERE WILL BE SOME LOCALIZED 20 TO 25 KT GUSTS BUT CONFIDENCE
IN A WIDESPREAD SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WIND EVENT IS LOW. HAVE
BETTER CONFIDENCE FOR WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WHEN FRONTAL REMNANTS
WILL SWING NORTH ACROSS THE WATERS WITH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVEL
WIND GUSTS LIKELY. BUT EVEN THEN...NOTABLE DISCREPANCY AMONG THE
MODELS AS TO THE STRENGTH WITH ONE KEEPING THIS AS A NON-EVENT.
WILL LET THINGS SHAKE OUT A BIT BEFORE ISSUING PRODUCTS YET.
MODELS IN DECENT AGREEMENT IN BRINGING POSSIBLE GALES SATURDAY
EVENING UNDER A PASSING FRONT BUT BEGIN TO STRAY AGAIN
THEREAFTER.

SEAS HAVE REMAINED A BIT MORE STUBBORN AND ARE HOVERING 10-11 FT
ACROSS THE FAR NORTHERN WATERS. HAVE TIMED IN THE DECAY FROM BUOY
5 AND FEEL THEY WILL DROP SEE THE EXPECTED DROP OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE HOURS.

SEAS HAVE FALLEN TO 8 TO 10 FT
THIS EVENING AND SHOULD GENERALLY CONTINUE TO FALL TO AROUND 7 FT
TUESDAY. WILL SEE SEAS BUILD BACK UP AROUND 10 FT WITH THE FRONTAL
REMNANTS WEDNESDAY. WHILE A LONGER PERIOD MIXED SWELL ARRIVES
THURSDAY SOLIDLY PUSHING SEAS INTO THE LOWER TEENS. ACTIVE
PATTERN WILL KEEP SEAS ABOVE 10 FT THROUGH THE WEEKEND. /JBONK

&&

.PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

OR...DENSE FOG ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN WILLAMETTE VALLEY AND THE
 LOWER I-5 CORRIDOR NEAR UNTIL 11 AM TODAY.

WA...DENSE FOG ADVISORY FOR THE LOWER I-5 CORRIDOR AND COWLITZ
 VALLEY UNTIL 11 AM TODAY.

PZ...NONE.
&&


&&


$$

INTERACT WITH US VIA SOCIAL MEDIA
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSPORTLAND
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSPORTLAND


THIS DISCUSSION IS FOR NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON
FROM THE CASCADE CREST TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. THE AREA IS
COMMONLY REFERRED TO AS THE FORECAST AREA.





000
FXUS66 KPQR 091110
AFDPQR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
306 AM PST TUE FEB  9 2016

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRES OVER REGION MAINTAINING DRY AND MILD AIR MASS.
WILL CONTINUE TO SEE AREAS OF LATE NIGHT AND MORNING FOG FOR INLAND
AREAS AWAY FROM THE COLUMBIA GORGE. HIGH PRES WEAKENS ON WED...WITH A
WEAK FRONT PUSHING INTO REGION THU. STRONGER FRONT WILL ARRIVE ON
FRI...FOLLOWED BY COOLER UNSETTLED WEATHER FOR THE WEEKEND.
&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY...
MAIN STORY IS THE STRONG HIGH PRES RIDGE ALOFT THAT SITS OVER THE
WESTERN USA. THIS RIDGE IS ACTING LIKE A ROCK IN A STREAM...FORCING
THE APPROACHING FRONTS TO WEAKEN AND SHIFT AROUND THE HIGH INTO SW
CANADA.

AT SURFACE...OFFSHORE FLOW CONTINUES TO FLOW THROUGH THE COLUMBIA
GORGE. AT 3 AM...TRANS-CASCADES PRES GRADIENT OVER THE GORGE WAS
HOLDING STEADY AROUND 10 MB...POINTING OFFSHORE. THIS WILL KEEP
BREEZY EAST WINDS IN THE WESTERN GORGE THIS AM...WITH GUSTS 45 TO 60
MPH FOR THE MOST PART...AND 35 TO 45 MPH OVER PARTS OF EASTERN
PORTLAND/VANCOUVER AREAS. BUT WINDS DROP OFF QUICKLY AS MOVE AWAY
FROM THAT AREA. SO MUCH THAT FOG AND VERY LOW STRATUS HAVE FORMED
OVER SOUTH WILLAMETTE VALLEY AND OVER THE COWLITZ VALLEY. WEB CAMS
IN EUGENE SHOW VERY SHALLOW LAYER OF FOG...GENERALLY 100 TO 300 FT
DEEP. WITH  VISIBILITIES IN THOSE AREAS RUNNING 1/8 TO 1/4 MILE...
WILL PUT UP DENSE FOG ADVISORIES FOR THOSE TWO AREAS UNTIL 11 AM.
FOG WILL FORM ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL WILLAMETTE VALLEY THIS AM BUT
ANY DENSE FOG WOULD BE QUITE ISOLATED...AND MAINLY BETWEEN SALEM
AND ALBANY.

OTHERWISE...TODAYS WEATHER WILL BE MUCH LIKE THAT OF MONDAY...WITH
PLENTY OF SUNSHINE AND MILD CONDITIONS. OFFSHORE FLOW WILL GRADUALLY
WEAKEN TODAY...AND MUCH MORE SO TONIGHT. SO...COASTAL AREAS WILL BE
TAD COOLER TODAY...GENERALLY IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S ONLY.

ONCE SUN GOES DOWN THIS EVENING...AIR MASS WILL COOL RAPIDLY AGAIN.
WILL SEE ANOTHER NIGHT OF FOG AND LOW CLOUDS...BUT THEY WILL SPREAD
OUT FARTHER ACROSS THE INLAND VALLEYS AS WINDS WILL BECOMING LIGHT
AND VARIABLE OVER MOST AREAS. CLOUDS WILL BE SLOWER TO CLEAR ON WED.

FIRST OF SERIES OF FRONT WILL ARRIVE LATER WED/WED NIGHT... BUT IT
SEEMS TO BE THE SACRIFICIAL FRONT AS NOT MUCH IN WAY OF MOISTURE
REACHING THE REGION. WILL KEEP 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN FOR THE
COASTAL AREAS...MAINLY N OF NEWPORT LATE WED AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
ANOTHER FRONT ARRIVES LATER THU...BUT AGAIN MOST OF ITS MOISTURE WILL
BE SHUNTED TO THE N OF THE REGION. STILL...WILL HAVE PLENTY OF CLOUDS
AND SOME CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN ON THU.                  ROCKEY.

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...THE MODELS ARE
INDICATING WE WILL STAY UNDER SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT EARLY IN THE
PERIOD...THEN HAVE A FRONT COME THROUGH FRIDAY...WITH SHOWERY WEATHER
INTO SATURDAY. THE GFS THE SLOWEST AND THE ECMWF THE FASTEST. THE
MODELS SUGGEST WE GET BACK INTO WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW FOLLOWING THAT
SYSTEM...WITH THE GFS CONSIDERABLY DRIER THAN THE ECMWF OR GEM
MODELS. HAVE TRENDED TOWARD CLIMO POPS FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY.
TOLLESON
&&

.AVIATION...VFR AT THE COAST PLUS KTTD AND KPDX AS OFFSHORE FLOW
WILL KEEP THE LOWER ATMOSPHERE MIXED. THE OFFSHORE FLOW WILL
GRADUALLY WEAKEN TODAY BUT STILL REMAIN RATHER GUSTY NEAR THE
MOUTH OF THE GORGE...INCLUDING KTTD. KEUG QUICKLY DEVELOPED A
THIN LOW DECK AND FOG. KSLE AND KHIO LIKELY ARE NOT FAR OFF GIVEN
LIGHT WINDS AND MINIMAL TEMPERATURE DEW POINT SPREADS ALTHOUGH
LAMP GUIDANCE IS AN OUTLIER AMONG MOS INFO. LAMP DOES NOT BRING
REDUCTIONS IN FLIGHT CONDITIONS TO THOSE TWO SITES. WILL LEAN ON
PERSISTENCE AND PROBABLY KEEP SOME FOG MENTION IN PLACE FOR KSLE
AND KHIO. ALL SITES SHOULD SEE THE FOG DISSIPATE BY 21Z WITH KEUG
HOLDING ON THE LATEST. CONTINUED PERSISTENCE FORECAST WILL BRING
FOG BACK TO KEUG AROUND 08Z TONIGHT.

KPDX AND APPROACHES...VFR CONDITIONS FOR THE NEXT 24 HRS WITH
EASTERLY WINDS. GUSTY HEADWINDS FOR THE DEPARTURES THROUGH 20Z WITH
SOME SPEED SHEAR UNDER SLIGHTLY VEERING WINDS THROUGH THE LOWEST
2000 FEET AGL. /JBONK
&&

.MARINE...LOW PRESSURE WELL OFFSHORE WILL MOVE NORTH TODAY AND
SWING WINDS FROM SOUTHEASTERLY TO MORE SOUTHERLY THIS AFTERNOON.
FEEL THERE WILL BE SOME LOCALIZED 20 TO 25 KT GUSTS BUT CONFIDENCE
IN A WIDESPREAD SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WIND EVENT IS LOW. HAVE
BETTER CONFIDENCE FOR WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WHEN FRONTAL REMNANTS
WILL SWING NORTH ACROSS THE WATERS WITH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVEL
WIND GUSTS LIKELY. BUT EVEN THEN...NOTABLE DISCREPANCY AMONG THE
MODELS AS TO THE STRENGTH WITH ONE KEEPING THIS AS A NON-EVENT.
WILL LET THINGS SHAKE OUT A BIT BEFORE ISSUING PRODUCTS YET.
MODELS IN DECENT AGREEMENT IN BRINGING POSSIBLE GALES SATURDAY
EVENING UNDER A PASSING FRONT BUT BEGIN TO STRAY AGAIN
THEREAFTER.

SEAS HAVE REMAINED A BIT MORE STUBBORN AND ARE HOVERING 10-11 FT
ACROSS THE FAR NORTHERN WATERS. HAVE TIMED IN THE DECAY FROM BUOY
5 AND FEEL THEY WILL DROP SEE THE EXPECTED DROP OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE HOURS.

SEAS HAVE FALLEN TO 8 TO 10 FT
THIS EVENING AND SHOULD GENERALLY CONTINUE TO FALL TO AROUND 7 FT
TUESDAY. WILL SEE SEAS BUILD BACK UP AROUND 10 FT WITH THE FRONTAL
REMNANTS WEDNESDAY. WHILE A LONGER PERIOD MIXED SWELL ARRIVES
THURSDAY SOLIDLY PUSHING SEAS INTO THE LOWER TEENS. ACTIVE
PATTERN WILL KEEP SEAS ABOVE 10 FT THROUGH THE WEEKEND. /JBONK

&&

.PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

OR...DENSE FOG ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN WILLAMETTE VALLEY AND THE
 LOWER I-5 CORRIDOR NEAR UNTIL 11 AM TODAY.

WA...DENSE FOG ADVISORY FOR THE LOWER I-5 CORRIDOR AND COWLITZ
 VALLEY UNTIL 11 AM TODAY.

PZ...NONE.
&&


&&


$$

INTERACT WITH US VIA SOCIAL MEDIA
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSPORTLAND
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSPORTLAND


THIS DISCUSSION IS FOR NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON
FROM THE CASCADE CREST TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. THE AREA IS
COMMONLY REFERRED TO AS THE FORECAST AREA.




000
FXUS66 KPQR 090507
AFDPQR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
906 PM PST MON FEB  8 2016

.SYNOPSIS...A STRONG UPPER RIDGE OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST CONTINUES
THROUGH TUESDAY WITH BRISK OFFSHORE FLOW THROUGH THE COLUMBIA RIVER
GORGE. WHILE AREAS OF FOG AND LOW CLOUDS RETURN TO MOST OF THE
INTERIOR LOWLANDS TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING.THE UPPER RIDGE WILL
WEAKEN AND MOVE EAST LATER TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS THE FIRST WEAK
SYSTEM NEARS THE COAST WEDNESDAY. OTHER SYSTEMS WILL TRY TO MAKE
INROADS INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AND
ESPECIALLY NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...GUSTY EAST WINDS THROUGH THE
WESTERN GORGE THIS EVENING AS THE KTTD-KDLS GRADIENT NOW UP TO -9.1
MB.  WINDIEST SPOT IS AT CROWN POINT WITH GUST TO 88 MPH AROUND 6 PM
BUT MOST GUSTS HAVE BEEN IN THE 60 TO 70 MPH RANGE. OTHER AREAS IN
THE WESTERN GORGE AND EAST MULTNOMAH/CLARK COUNTY WERE IN THE 20 TO
40 MPH AT 8 PM.  PEAK WINDS WILL BE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING AND
EASE AS THE UPPER RIDGE BEGINS TO BREAK DOWN.


NOT MUCH CHANGE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. EXPECT ANOTHER MILD OR WARM DAY
OVER MUCH OF THE AREA TUESDAY. WIND SHELTERED AREAS OR AREAS THAT
DECOUPLE FROM ANY WIND WILL GET COOL TONIGHT...INTO THE
30S...DUE TO GOOD RADIATIONAL CONDITIONS IN THE DRIER AIR MASS OVER
THE AREA. LOOK FOR MORE AREAS OF FOG AND LOW CLOUDS INLAND AWAY FROM
THE GORGE...BUT DO NOT EXPECT MORE COVERAGE THAN WHAT WE SAW THIS
MORNING...AND PROBABLY NO LATER CLEARING EITHER.  COASTAL
TEMPERATURES WILL BE LOWER WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 60S COMPARED TO MID
60S TO MID 70S TODAY.

THE UPPER RIDGE STARTS TO MOVE OFF TO THE EAST LATER TUESDAY DUE TO
THE GRADUAL APPROACH OF THE NEXT SYSTEM...AND THE EAST WINDS SHOULD
START TO EASE ESPECIALLY TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. THE NEXT SYSTEM
WILL TURN THE WINDS MORE SOUTHERLY ALONG THE COAST TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY...AND WE SHOULD SEE LOW CLOUDS DEVELOP THERE. THE WEAK
SYSTEM REACHES THE COAST WEDNESDAY BUT DOES NOT REALLY MAKE MUCH
HEADWAY INLAND AS IT LIFTS OUT TO THE NORTH. WILL HAVE SOME LOW POPS
ON THE COAST WEDNESDAY BUT THAT IS ABOUT IT. WITH THE WEAKER OFFSHORE
FLOW...THE FOG AND LOW CLOUDS INLAND SHOULD INCREASE IN COVERAGE
TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING BEFORE BREAKING UP WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON.

THURSDAY WILL CONTINUE TO SEE THE SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT THAT HAD
DEVELOPED WEDNESDAY WITH THE UPPER RIDGE AXIS OVER IDAHO AND A LOW
OUT AROUND 140W TO 150W...BUT THE MAIN CHANCE OF ANY PRECIPITATION
LOOKS TO BE THE NORTH COASTAL AREAS AS MUCH OF THE ENERGY HEADS
FARTHER NORTH INTO WESTERN WASHINGTON. TOLLESON /MH

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...THE MODELS ARE
INDICATING WE WILL STAY UNDER SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT EARLY IN THE
PERIOD...THEN HAVE A FRONT COME THROUGH LATE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY...
WITH THE GFS THE SLOWEST AND THE ECMWF THE FASTEST. THE MODELS
SUGGEST WE GET BACK INTO WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW FOLLOWING THAT
SYSTEM...WITH THE GFS CONSIDERABLY DRIER THAN THE ECMWF OR GEM
MODELS. HAVE TRENDED TOWARD CLIMO POPS FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY.
TOLLESON
&&

.AVIATION...OFFSHORE FLOW MEANS VFR CONDITIONS LIKELY FOR THE
NEXT 24 HRS AT COASTAL SITES. FOG WILL REDEVELOP LATE THIS EVENING
IN THE SOUTH AND CENTRAL WILLAMETTE VALLEY AS NORTHERLY WINDS DROP
OFF. THIS WILL LOWER CIGS AND VIS TO LIFR AT KEUG...BUT KSLE MAY
DRIFT IN AND OUT OF IFR CONDITIONS...SIMILAR TO LAST NIGHT. WILL
PROBABLY ALSO SEE FOG AT KHIO DEVELOP AFTER MIDNIGHT. EASTERLY
WINDS THROUGH THE GORGE WILL KEEP KTTD AND KPDX VFR THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING.

KPDX AND APPROACHES...VFR CONDITIONS FOR THE NEXT 24 HRS WITH
EASTERLY WINDS. GUSTS ON EAST APPROACHES UP TO 40 KT. IF WINDS DIE
DOWN AT THE TERMINAL...COULD SEE SOME SHALLOW FOG AROUND SUNRISE.
EASTERLY WINDS DECREASING AFTER 09Z TUESDAY. BOWEN/MCCOY

&&

.MARINE...OFFSHORE WINDS STAY FAIRLY BENIGN...EXCEPT GUSTS UP TO
25 KT NEAR GAPS IN THE COASTAL TERRAIN...BUT EVEN WINDS THROUGH
THE GAPS DECREASE TONIGHT. NEXT SYSTEM APPROACHES ON TUESDAY
STARTING OFF ANOTHER ROUND OF ACTIVE WEATHER THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
THE WARM FRONT AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM WILL SHIFT WINDS TO OUT OF THE
SOUTH ACROSS THE WATERS ON TUESDAY. WINDS FOR THE MOST PART
SHOULD STAY BELOW 20 KT...BUT MAY SEE ISOLATED GUSTS ABOVE 20 KT
IN THE FAR OUTER WATERS. THERE WILL BE A BETTER CHANCE FOR WINDS
T0 INCREASE TO 20 TO 25 KT WITH THE WEAK COLD FRONT WHICH MOVES
THROUGH MIDDAY WEDNESDAY.

SEAS HAVE FALLEN TO 8 TO 10 FT THIS EVENING AND SHOULD GENERALLY
CONTINUE TO FALL TO AROUND 7 FT TUESDAY. WILL SEE SEAS BUILD BACK
UP TO AROUND 9 FT WITH THE WEAK FRONT MOVING THROUGH ON WEDNESDAY.
ANOTHER SYSTEM ON FRIDAY COULD BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF WINDS
GUSTING TO 20 TO 25 KT...AND WILL BUILD SEAS UP INTO THE LOWER
TEENS. ACTIVE PATTERN WILL KEEP SEAS ABOVE 10 FT FROM THURSDAY
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. BOWEN/MCCOY

&&

.PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...NONE.
WA...NONE.
PZ...NONE.

&&


$$

INTERACT WITH US VIA SOCIAL MEDIA
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSPORTLAND
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSPORTLAND


THIS DISCUSSION IS FOR NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON
FROM THE CASCADE CREST TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. THE AREA IS
COMMONLY REFERRED TO AS THE FORECAST AREA.





000
FXUS66 KPQR 082237
AFDPQR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
236 PM PST MON FEB  8 2016

.SYNOPSIS...A STRONG UPPER RIDGE WILL BE OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST
TONIGHT AND TUESDAY WITH BRISK OFFSHORE FLOW THROUGH THE COLUMBIA
RIVER GORGE. THE UPPER RIDGE WILL WEAKEN AND MOVE EAST LATER TUESDAY
AND WEDNESDAY AS THE FIRST WEAK SYSTEM REACHES THE COAST WEDNESDAY.
OTHER SYSTEMS WILL TRY TO MAKE INROADS INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AND ESPECIALLY NEXT WEEKEND.
&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...A STRONG UPPER RIDGE IS IN
PLACE OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON...AND THIS PATTERN
WILL NOT CHANGE MUCH UNTIL LATER TUESDAY. THIS IS RESULTING IN BRISK
OFFSHORE FLOW THROUGH THE GORGE AS SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENTS HAVE
ALREADY REACHED OVER 8 MB FROM THE DALLES TO TROUTDALE...SUPPORTING
GUSTS 50 TO 60 MPH AT ROOSTER ROCK AND CORBETT AND 70 MPH OR HIGHER
AT CROWN POINT. THE WINDS ARE LESS ELSEWHERE AS THERE IS NOT MUCH
SUPPORT AT 850 MB OR 700 MB...BUT THERE IS A BIT OF A BREEZE ALONG
THE COAST AND OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN. THE LAST VESTIGES OF LOW
CLOUDS IN THE SOUTHERN WILLAMETTE VALLEY HAVE CLEARED THIS
AFTERNOON...THOUGH SOME HAVE FORMED IN HOOD RIVER COUNTY EARLIER
TODAY IN THE UPSLOPE OFFSHORE FLOW THAT WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.

WEATHER WISE...NOT MUCH CHANGE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. EXPECT ANOTHER
MILD OR WARM DAY OVER MUCH OF THE AREA TUESDAY. WIND SHELTERED AREAS
OR AREAS THAT DECOUPLE FROM ANY WIND WILL GET COOL TONIGHT...INTO THE
30S...DUE TO GOOD RADIATIONAL CONDITIONS IN THE DRIER AIR MASS OVER
THE AREA. LOOK FOR MORE AREAS OF FOG AND LOW CLOUDS INLAND AWAY FROM
THE GORGE...BUT DO NOT EXPECT MORE COVERAGE THAN WHAT WE SAW THIS
MORNING...AND PROBABLY NO LATER CLEARING EITHER.

THE UPPER RIDGE STARTS TO MOVE OFF TO THE EAST LATER TUESDAY DUE TO
THE GRADUAL APPROACH OF THE NEXT SYSTEM...AND THE EAST WINDS SHOULD
START TO EASE ESPECIALLY TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. THE NEXT SYSTEM
WILL TURN THE WINDS MORE SOUTHERLY ALONG THE COAST TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY...AND WE SHOULD SEE LOW CLOUDS DEVELOP THERE. THE WEAK
SYSTEM REACHES THE COAST WEDNESDAY BUT DOES NOT REALLY MAKE MUCH
HEADWAY INLAND AS IT LIFTS OUT TO THE NORTH. WILL HAVE SOME LOW POPS
ON THE COAST WEDNESDAY BUT THAT IS ABOUT IT. WITH THE WEAKER OFFSHORE
FLOW...THE FOG AND LOW CLOUDS INLAND SHOULD INCREASE IN COVERAGE
TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING BEFORE BREAKING UP WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON.

THURSDAY WILL CONTINUE TO SEE THE SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT THAT HAD
DEVELOPED WEDNESDAY WITH THE UPPER RIDGE AXIS OVER IDAHO AND A LOW
OUT AROUND 140W TO 150W...BUT THE MAIN CHANCE OF ANY PRECIPITATION
LOOKS TO BE THE NORTH COASTAL AREAS AS MUCH OF THE ENERGY HEADS
FARTHER NORTH INTO WESTERN WASHINGTON. TOLLESON

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...THE MODELS ARE
INDICATING WE WILL STAY UNDER SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT EARLY IN THE
PERIOD...THEN HAVE A FRONT COME THROUGH LATE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY...
WITH THE GFS THE SLOWEST AND THE ECMWF THE FASTEST. THE MODELS
SUGGEST WE GET BACK INTO WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW FOLLOWING THAT
SYSTEM...WITH THE GFS CONSIDERABLY DRIER THAN THE ECMWF OR GEM
MODELS. HAVE TRENDED TOWARD CLIMO POPS FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY.
TOLLESON
&&

.AVIATION...OFFSHORE FLOW MEANS VFR CONDITIONS FOR THE NEXT 24 HRS AT
COASTAL SITES. FOG WILL REDEVELOP LATE THIS EVENING IN THE SOUTH AND
CENTRAL WILLAMETTE VALLEY AS NORTHERLY WINDS DROP OFF. THIS WILL
LOWER CIGS AND VIS TO LIFR AT KEUG...BUT KSLE MAY DRIFT IN AND OUT OF
IT SIMILAR TO LAST NIGHT. WILL PROBABLY ALSO SEE FOG AT KHIO DEVELOP
AFTER MIDNIGHT. EASTERLY WINDS THROUGH THE GORGE WILL KEEP KTTD AND
KPDX VFR THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.

KPDX AND APPROACHES...VFR CONDITIONS FOR THE NEXT 24 HRS. EASTERLY
WINDS INCREASING NEAR THE GORGE THIS AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 KT
POSSIBLE NEAR THE WEST END OF THE GORGE. WINDS DECREASING AFTER 09Z
TUESDAY. -MCCOY
&&

.MARINE...OFFSHORE WINDS STAY FAIRLY BENIGN TODAY...EXCEPT GUSTS UP
TO 20 KT NEAR GAPS IN THE COASTAL TERRAIN. WINDS THROUGH THESE GAPS
DECREASE AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. NEXT SYSTEM APPROACHES ON TUESDAY
STARTING OFF ANOTHER ROUND OF ACTIVE WEATHER THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE
WARM FRONT AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM WILL SHIFT WINDS TO SOUTHERLY ACROSS
THE WATERS ON TUESDAY. WINDS FOR THE MOST PART SHOULD STAY BELOW 20
KT...BUT WE MAY SEE A FEW GUSTS ABOVE 20 KT IN THE FAR OUTER WATERS.
NOT CONFIDENT RIGHT NOW THESE GUSTS ABOVE 20 KT WILL BE FREQUENT
ENOUGH TO WARRANT A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. THERE WILL BE A BETTER
CHANCE FOR WINDS T0 INCREASE TO 20 TO 25 KT WITH THE WEAK COLD FRONT
WHICH MOVES THROUGH MIDDAY WEDNESDAY.

SEAS AROUND 10 TO 12 FT THIS AFTERNOON WILL DROP BACK DOWN TO 7 TO 8
FT TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. WILL SEE SEAS BUILD BACK UP TO AROUND 9
FT WITH THE WEAK FRONT MOVING THROUGH ON WEDNESDAY. ANOTHER SYSTEM ON
FRIDAY COULD BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF WINDS GUSTING TO 20 TO 25
KT...AND WILL BUILD SEAS UP INTO THE LOWER TEENS. ACTIVE PATTERN WILL
KEEP SEAS UP ABOVE 10 FT THROUGH THE WEEKEND. -MCCOY
&&

.PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...NONE.
WA...NONE.
PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 9 PM PST
     THIS EVENING FOR COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER WA TO
     FLORENCE OR OUT 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH COLUMBIA RIVER BAR UNTIL
     9 PM PST THIS EVENING.

&&

$$

INTERACT WITH US VIA SOCIAL MEDIA
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSPORTLAND
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSPORTLAND


THIS DISCUSSION IS FOR NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON
FROM THE CASCADE CREST TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. THE AREA IS
COMMONLY REFERRED TO AS THE FORECAST AREA.





000
FXUS66 KPQR 081924 AAA
AFDPQR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
1124 AM PST MON FEB  8 2016

ENDED DENSE FOG ADVISORY ZONE 8

.SYNOPSIS...A STRONG UPPER RIDGE WILL BE OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST
TODAY AND TUESDAY WITH BRISK OFFSHORE FLOW THROUGH THE COLUMBIA RIVER
GORGE...WEAKENING AND MOVING EAST LATER TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS THE
FIRST WEAK SYSTEM REACHES THE COAST WEDNESDAY. OTHER SYSTEMS WILL TRY
TO MAKE INROADS INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK
AND ESPECIALLY NEXT WEEKEND.
&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...A STRONG UPPER RIDGE IS IN
PLACE OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST TODAY...AND WILL NOT DO MUCH UNTIL
LATER TUESDAY. THIS IS RESULTING IN BRISK OFFSHORE FLOW THROUGH THE
GORGE AS SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENTS HAVE ALREADY REACHED 8 MB FROM
THE DALLES TO TROUTDALE. THIS SUPPORTS GUSTS 50 TO 60 MPH AT ROOSTER
ROCK AND CORBETT...AND 70 MPH OR HIGHER AT CROWN POINT. THE WINDS ARE
LESS ELSEWHERE AS THERE IS NOT MUCH SUPPORT AT 850 MB OR 700 MB...BUT
THERE IS A BIT OF A BREEZE ALONG THE COAST AND OVER THE HIGHER
TERRAIN. THE MAIN FOG AND LOW CLOUDS COVERAGE IS IN THE SOUTH
WILLAMETTE VALLEY AND ALSO SOME UP NEAR KELSO. STILL...AREAL
COVERAGE IS LESS THAN THERE WAS ON SUNDAY AND EXPECT MOST
AREAS TO CLEAR THROUGH THE DAY TODAY...WITH EUGENE THE LAST TO CLEAR.

THE AIR MASS IS WARM ALOFT ABOVE THE INVERSION...SO WE WILL HAVE
ANOTHER MILD DAY IN THE COAST RANGE...CASCADE FOOTHILLS...AND ALONG
THE COAST. INLAND VALLEY AREAS WILL PROBABLY GET CLOSE TO WHAT THEY
SAW SUNDAY...THOUGH THE EAST WIND MAY KNOCK DOWN TROUTDALE AND KPDX A
BIT. COASTAL LOCATIONS WILL BE CLOSE TO DAILY RECORDS TODAY. HAVING
TROUBLE MONITORING TEMPS IN THE COAST RANGE AND THE CASCADE FOOTHILLS
DUE TO A RAWS OUTAGE SINCE SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

A DRIER AIR MASS FROM THE OFFSHORE FLOW WILL ALLOW WIND SHELTERED
AREAS TO COOL DOWN INTO THE 30S TONIGHT.

WEATHER WISE...NOT MUCH CHANGE ON TUESDAY. THE UPPER RIDGE STARTS TO
MOVE OFF TO THE EAST DUE TO THE GRADUAL APPROACH OF THE NEXT
SYSTEM...AND THE EAST WINDS SHOULD START TO EASE ESPECIALLY TUESDAY
NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. THE NEXT SYSTEM WILL TURN THE WINDS MORE
SOUTHERLY ALONG THE COAST TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...AND WE SHOULD
SEE LOW CLOUDS DEVELOP THERE. THE WEAK SYSTEM REACHES THE COAST
WEDNESDAY BUT DOES NOT REALLY MAKE MUCH HEADWAY INLAND AS IT LIFTS
OUT TO THE NORTH. WILL HAVE SOME LOW POPS ON THE COAST WEDNESDAY BUT
THAT IS ABOUT IT. WITH THE WEAKER OFFSHORE FLOW...THE FOG AND LOW
CLOUDS INLAND SHOULD INCREASE IN COVERAGE TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY MORNING BEFORE BREAKING UP WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. TOLLESON

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...THE MODELS ARE
INDICATING WE WILL STAY UNDER SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT INTO THE
WEEKEND...WITH SYSTEMS LIFTING NORTH ALONG THE COAST AND MAINLY
BRUSHING OUR AREA. THE BEST CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION IS IN THE
NORTHWEST PART OF THE FORECAST AREA...WITH A BETTER CHANCE OF DRY
WEATHER TOWARDS EASTERN LANE COUNTY. WE FINALLY GET A SYSTEM MOVING
THROUGH WITH SOME PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE AREA THIS WEEKEND.
TOLLESON
&&

.AVIATION...OFFSHORE FLOW CONTINUES FOR THE NEXT 24 HRS. THIS MEANS
COASTAL SITES...KTTD...AND KPDX REMAIN VFR THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HRS.
WILL SEE FOG AT OTHER NORTH WILLAMETTE VALLEY SITES CLEAR OUT BY
17-18Z...IMPROVING CONDITIONS TO VFR FOR THE REST OF THE DAY.
STRONGER OFFSHORE FLOW THIS EVENING WILL HELP KEEP TERMINALS CLEAR
LONGER TONIGHT...THOUGH STILL COULD SEE SOME PATCHY FOG DEVELOP EARLY
TUESDAY AT INLAND SITES AWAY FROM THE GORGE IF OFFSHORE GRADIENT
WEAKENS ENOUGH AFTER MIDNIGHT. DOWN SOUTH NEAR KEUG...DENSE FOG THIS
MORNING WILL EVENTUALLY LIFT TO LOW STRATUS...IMPROVING CIGS TO MVFR
AND VIS TO VFR BY AROUND 20-21Z. FOG EXTENT IS LESS THAN THIS TIME
YESTERDAY...SO FEEL LIKE KEUG HAS A DECENT CHANCE OF BREAKING OUT TO
VFR TODAY AFTER 22Z. KEUG WILL LIKELY SEE FOG REDEVELOP AFTER 06Z
TONIGHT THROUGH TOMORROW MORNING.

KPDX AND APPROACHES...VFR FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. EAST WIND GUSTING TO
35 KT AT WEST END OF THE COLUMBIA GORGE THIS MORNING WILL INCREASE
THROUGH THE DAY TODAY. COULD SEE GUSTS UP TO 50 KT NEAR THE WEST END
OF THE GORGE BY 00Z...WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT AT KPDX. -MCCOY
&&

.MARINE...OFFSHORE WINDS CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. WILL SEE GUSTS
MAINLY UP TO 20 KT NEAR THE COASTAL TERRAIN GAPS...WITH A FEW GUSTS
UP TO 25 KT POSSIBLE. OTHERWISE..FAIRLY BENIGN EASTERLY WINDS OVER
THE WATERS. WESTERLY SWELL IS BUILDING SEAS TO AROUND 10 TO 12 FT
THIS MORNING. SEAS WILL STAY FOR THE MOST PART ABOVE 10 FT THROUGH
THE DAY TODAY BEFORE SEAS DROP BACK DOWN TO AROUND 8 FT TONIGHT.

SYSTEM APPROACHES TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY LEADING THE CHANGE TO A MORE
ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN LATE THIS WEEK THROUGH THE WEEKEND. WARM FRONT
AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH ON TUESDAY WHICH WILL SHIFT
WINDS TO SOUTHERLY AND COULD BRING GUSTS UP TO 20 KT ON TUESDAY. WILL
MORE LIKELY SEE SOUTHERLY WINDS COME UP TO 20 TO 25 KT ON WEDNESDAY
AS THE COLD FRONT ON THE BACK SIDE OF THIS SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH THE
WATERS. WILL SEE SEAS BUILDING BACK ABOVE 10 FT LATER THIS WEEK
THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS THE WEATHER PATTERN BECOMES MORE ACTIVE.
-MCCOY
&&

.PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...NONE.
WA...NONE.
PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 9 PM PST
     THIS EVENING FOR COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER WA TO
     FLORENCE OR OUT 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH COLUMBIA RIVER BAR UNTIL
     9 PM PST THIS EVENING.

&&

$$

INTERACT WITH US VIA SOCIAL MEDIA
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSPORTLAND
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSPORTLAND


THIS DISCUSSION IS FOR NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON
FROM THE CASCADE CREST TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. THE AREA IS
COMMONLY REFERRED TO AS THE FORECAST AREA.





000
FXUS66 KPQR 081924 AAA
AFDPQR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
1124 AM PST MON FEB  8 2016

ENDED DENSE FOG ADVISORY ZONE 8

.SYNOPSIS...A STRONG UPPER RIDGE WILL BE OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST
TODAY AND TUESDAY WITH BRISK OFFSHORE FLOW THROUGH THE COLUMBIA RIVER
GORGE...WEAKENING AND MOVING EAST LATER TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS THE
FIRST WEAK SYSTEM REACHES THE COAST WEDNESDAY. OTHER SYSTEMS WILL TRY
TO MAKE INROADS INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK
AND ESPECIALLY NEXT WEEKEND.
&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...A STRONG UPPER RIDGE IS IN
PLACE OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST TODAY...AND WILL NOT DO MUCH UNTIL
LATER TUESDAY. THIS IS RESULTING IN BRISK OFFSHORE FLOW THROUGH THE
GORGE AS SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENTS HAVE ALREADY REACHED 8 MB FROM
THE DALLES TO TROUTDALE. THIS SUPPORTS GUSTS 50 TO 60 MPH AT ROOSTER
ROCK AND CORBETT...AND 70 MPH OR HIGHER AT CROWN POINT. THE WINDS ARE
LESS ELSEWHERE AS THERE IS NOT MUCH SUPPORT AT 850 MB OR 700 MB...BUT
THERE IS A BIT OF A BREEZE ALONG THE COAST AND OVER THE HIGHER
TERRAIN. THE MAIN FOG AND LOW CLOUDS COVERAGE IS IN THE SOUTH
WILLAMETTE VALLEY AND ALSO SOME UP NEAR KELSO. STILL...AREAL
COVERAGE IS LESS THAN THERE WAS ON SUNDAY AND EXPECT MOST
AREAS TO CLEAR THROUGH THE DAY TODAY...WITH EUGENE THE LAST TO CLEAR.

THE AIR MASS IS WARM ALOFT ABOVE THE INVERSION...SO WE WILL HAVE
ANOTHER MILD DAY IN THE COAST RANGE...CASCADE FOOTHILLS...AND ALONG
THE COAST. INLAND VALLEY AREAS WILL PROBABLY GET CLOSE TO WHAT THEY
SAW SUNDAY...THOUGH THE EAST WIND MAY KNOCK DOWN TROUTDALE AND KPDX A
BIT. COASTAL LOCATIONS WILL BE CLOSE TO DAILY RECORDS TODAY. HAVING
TROUBLE MONITORING TEMPS IN THE COAST RANGE AND THE CASCADE FOOTHILLS
DUE TO A RAWS OUTAGE SINCE SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

A DRIER AIR MASS FROM THE OFFSHORE FLOW WILL ALLOW WIND SHELTERED
AREAS TO COOL DOWN INTO THE 30S TONIGHT.

WEATHER WISE...NOT MUCH CHANGE ON TUESDAY. THE UPPER RIDGE STARTS TO
MOVE OFF TO THE EAST DUE TO THE GRADUAL APPROACH OF THE NEXT
SYSTEM...AND THE EAST WINDS SHOULD START TO EASE ESPECIALLY TUESDAY
NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. THE NEXT SYSTEM WILL TURN THE WINDS MORE
SOUTHERLY ALONG THE COAST TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...AND WE SHOULD
SEE LOW CLOUDS DEVELOP THERE. THE WEAK SYSTEM REACHES THE COAST
WEDNESDAY BUT DOES NOT REALLY MAKE MUCH HEADWAY INLAND AS IT LIFTS
OUT TO THE NORTH. WILL HAVE SOME LOW POPS ON THE COAST WEDNESDAY BUT
THAT IS ABOUT IT. WITH THE WEAKER OFFSHORE FLOW...THE FOG AND LOW
CLOUDS INLAND SHOULD INCREASE IN COVERAGE TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY MORNING BEFORE BREAKING UP WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. TOLLESON

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...THE MODELS ARE
INDICATING WE WILL STAY UNDER SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT INTO THE
WEEKEND...WITH SYSTEMS LIFTING NORTH ALONG THE COAST AND MAINLY
BRUSHING OUR AREA. THE BEST CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION IS IN THE
NORTHWEST PART OF THE FORECAST AREA...WITH A BETTER CHANCE OF DRY
WEATHER TOWARDS EASTERN LANE COUNTY. WE FINALLY GET A SYSTEM MOVING
THROUGH WITH SOME PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE AREA THIS WEEKEND.
TOLLESON
&&

.AVIATION...OFFSHORE FLOW CONTINUES FOR THE NEXT 24 HRS. THIS MEANS
COASTAL SITES...KTTD...AND KPDX REMAIN VFR THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HRS.
WILL SEE FOG AT OTHER NORTH WILLAMETTE VALLEY SITES CLEAR OUT BY
17-18Z...IMPROVING CONDITIONS TO VFR FOR THE REST OF THE DAY.
STRONGER OFFSHORE FLOW THIS EVENING WILL HELP KEEP TERMINALS CLEAR
LONGER TONIGHT...THOUGH STILL COULD SEE SOME PATCHY FOG DEVELOP EARLY
TUESDAY AT INLAND SITES AWAY FROM THE GORGE IF OFFSHORE GRADIENT
WEAKENS ENOUGH AFTER MIDNIGHT. DOWN SOUTH NEAR KEUG...DENSE FOG THIS
MORNING WILL EVENTUALLY LIFT TO LOW STRATUS...IMPROVING CIGS TO MVFR
AND VIS TO VFR BY AROUND 20-21Z. FOG EXTENT IS LESS THAN THIS TIME
YESTERDAY...SO FEEL LIKE KEUG HAS A DECENT CHANCE OF BREAKING OUT TO
VFR TODAY AFTER 22Z. KEUG WILL LIKELY SEE FOG REDEVELOP AFTER 06Z
TONIGHT THROUGH TOMORROW MORNING.

KPDX AND APPROACHES...VFR FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. EAST WIND GUSTING TO
35 KT AT WEST END OF THE COLUMBIA GORGE THIS MORNING WILL INCREASE
THROUGH THE DAY TODAY. COULD SEE GUSTS UP TO 50 KT NEAR THE WEST END
OF THE GORGE BY 00Z...WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT AT KPDX. -MCCOY
&&

.MARINE...OFFSHORE WINDS CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. WILL SEE GUSTS
MAINLY UP TO 20 KT NEAR THE COASTAL TERRAIN GAPS...WITH A FEW GUSTS
UP TO 25 KT POSSIBLE. OTHERWISE..FAIRLY BENIGN EASTERLY WINDS OVER
THE WATERS. WESTERLY SWELL IS BUILDING SEAS TO AROUND 10 TO 12 FT
THIS MORNING. SEAS WILL STAY FOR THE MOST PART ABOVE 10 FT THROUGH
THE DAY TODAY BEFORE SEAS DROP BACK DOWN TO AROUND 8 FT TONIGHT.

SYSTEM APPROACHES TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY LEADING THE CHANGE TO A MORE
ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN LATE THIS WEEK THROUGH THE WEEKEND. WARM FRONT
AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH ON TUESDAY WHICH WILL SHIFT
WINDS TO SOUTHERLY AND COULD BRING GUSTS UP TO 20 KT ON TUESDAY. WILL
MORE LIKELY SEE SOUTHERLY WINDS COME UP TO 20 TO 25 KT ON WEDNESDAY
AS THE COLD FRONT ON THE BACK SIDE OF THIS SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH THE
WATERS. WILL SEE SEAS BUILDING BACK ABOVE 10 FT LATER THIS WEEK
THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS THE WEATHER PATTERN BECOMES MORE ACTIVE.
-MCCOY
&&

.PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...NONE.
WA...NONE.
PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 9 PM PST
     THIS EVENING FOR COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER WA TO
     FLORENCE OR OUT 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH COLUMBIA RIVER BAR UNTIL
     9 PM PST THIS EVENING.

&&

$$

INTERACT WITH US VIA SOCIAL MEDIA
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSPORTLAND
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSPORTLAND


THIS DISCUSSION IS FOR NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON
FROM THE CASCADE CREST TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. THE AREA IS
COMMONLY REFERRED TO AS THE FORECAST AREA.




000
FXUS66 KPQR 081716
AFDPQR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
916 AM PST MON FEB  8 2016

.SYNOPSIS...A STRONG UPPER RIDGE WILL BE OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST
TODAY AND TUESDAY WITH BRISK OFFSHORE FLOW THROUGH THE COLUMBIA RIVER
GORGE...WEAKENING AND MOVING EAST LATER TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS THE
FIRST WEAK SYSTEM REACHES THE COAST WEDNESDAY. OTHER SYSTEMS WILL TRY
TO MAKE INROADS INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK
AND ESPECIALLY NEXT WEEKEND.
&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...A STRONG UPPER RIDGE IS IN
PLACE OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST TODAY...AND WILL NOT DO MUCH UNTIL
LATER TUESDAY. THIS IS RESULTING IN BRISK OFFSHORE FLOW THROUGH THE
GORGE AS SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENTS HAVE ALREADY REACHED 8 MB FROM
THE DALLES TO TROUTDALE. THIS SUPPORTS GUSTS 50 TO 60 MPH AT ROOSTER
ROCK AND CORBETT...AND 70 MPH OR HIGHER AT CROWN POINT. THE WINDS ARE
LESS ELSEWHERE AS THERE IS NOT MUCH SUPPORT AT 850 MB OR 700 MB...BUT
THERE IS A BIT OF A BREEZE ALONG THE COAST AND OVER THE HIGHER
TERRAIN. THE MAIN FOG AND LOW CLOUDS COVERAGE IS IN THE SOUTH
WILLAMETTE VALLEY AND ALSO SOME UP NEAR KELSO. HAVE A DENSE FOG
ADVISORY FOR THE SOUTH WILLAMETTE VALLEY THIS MORNING. STILL...
AREAL COVERAGE IS LESS THAN THERE WAS ON SUNDAY AND EXPECT MOST
AREAS TO CLEAR THROUGH THE DAY TODAY...WITH EUGENE THE LAST TO CLEAR.

THE AIR MASS IS WARM ALOFT ABOVE THE INVERSION...SO WE WILL HAVE
ANOTHER MILD DAY IN THE COAST RANGE...CASCADE FOOTHILLS...AND ALONG
THE COAST. INLAND VALLEY AREAS WILL PROBABLY GET CLOSE TO WHAT THEY
SAW SUNDAY...THOUGH THE EAST WIND MAY KNOCK DOWN TROUTDALE AND KPDX A
BIT. COASTAL LOCATIONS WILL BE CLOSE TO DAILY RECORDS TODAY. HAVING
TROUBLE MONITORING TEMPS IN THE COAST RANGE AND THE CASCADE FOOTHILLS
DUE TO A RAWS OUTAGE SINCE SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

A DRIER AIR MASS FROM THE OFFSHORE FLOW WILL ALLOW WIND SHELTERED
AREAS TO COOL DOWN INTO THE 30S TONIGHT.

WEATHER WISE...NOT MUCH CHANGE ON TUESDAY. THE UPPER RIDGE STARTS TO
MOVE OFF TO THE EAST DUE TO THE GRADUAL APPROACH OF THE NEXT
SYSTEM...AND THE EAST WINDS SHOULD START TO EASE ESPECIALLY TUESDAY
NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. THE NEXT SYSTEM WILL TURN THE WINDS MORE
SOUTHERLY ALONG THE COAST TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...AND WE SHOULD
SEE LOW CLOUDS DEVELOP THERE. THE WEAK SYSTEM REACHES THE COAST
WEDNESDAY BUT DOES NOT REALLY MAKE MUCH HEADWAY INLAND AS IT LIFTS
OUT TO THE NORTH. WILL HAVE SOME LOW POPS ON THE COAST WEDNESDAY BUT
THAT IS ABOUT IT. WITH THE WEAKER OFFSHORE FLOW...THE FOG AND LOW
CLOUDS INLAND SHOULD INCREASE IN COVERAGE TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY MORNING BEFORE BREAKING UP WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. TOLLESON

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...THE MODELS ARE
INDICATING WE WILL STAY UNDER SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT INTO THE
WEEKEND...WITH SYSTEMS LIFTING NORTH ALONG THE COAST AND MAINLY
BRUSHING OUR AREA. THE BEST CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION IS IN THE
NORTHWEST PART OF THE FORECAST AREA...WITH A BETTER CHANCE OF DRY
WEATHER TOWARDS EASTERN LANE COUNTY. WE FINALLY GET A SYSTEM MOVING
THROUGH WITH SOME PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE AREA THIS WEEKEND.
TOLLESON
&&

.AVIATION...OFFSHORE FLOW CONTINUES FOR THE NEXT 24 HRS. THIS MEANS
COASTAL SITES...KTTD...AND KPDX REMAIN VFR THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HRS.
WILL SEE FOG AT OTHER NORTH WILLAMETTE VALLEY SITES CLEAR OUT BY
17-18Z...IMPROVING CONDITIONS TO VFR FOR THE REST OF THE DAY.
STRONGER OFFSHORE FLOW THIS EVENING WILL HELP KEEP TERMINALS CLEAR
LONGER TONIGHT...THOUGH STILL COULD SEE SOME PATCHY FOG DEVELOP EARLY
TUESDAY AT INLAND SITES AWAY FROM THE GORGE IF OFFSHORE GRADIENT
WEAKENS ENOUGH AFTER MIDNIGHT. DOWN SOUTH NEAR KEUG...DENSE FOG THIS
MORNING WILL EVENTUALLY LIFT TO LOW STRATUS...IMPROVING CIGS TO MVFR
AND VIS TO VFR BY AROUND 20-21Z. FOG EXTENT IS LESS THAN THIS TIME
YESTERDAY...SO FEEL LIKE KEUG HAS A DECENT CHANCE OF BREAKING OUT TO
VFR TODAY AFTER 22Z. KEUG WILL LIKELY SEE FOG REDEVELOP AFTER 06Z
TONIGHT THROUGH TOMORROW MORNING.

KPDX AND APPROACHES...VFR FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. EAST WIND GUSTING TO
35 KT AT WEST END OF THE COLUMBIA GORGE THIS MORNING WILL INCREASE
THROUGH THE DAY TODAY. COULD SEE GUSTS UP TO 50 KT NEAR THE WEST END
OF THE GORGE BY 00Z...WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT AT KPDX. -MCCOY
&&

.MARINE...OFFSHORE WINDS CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. WILL SEE GUSTS
MAINLY UP TO 20 KT NEAR THE COASTAL TERRAIN GAPS...WITH A FEW GUSTS
UP TO 25 KT POSSIBLE. OTHERWISE..FAIRLY BENIGN EASTERLY WINDS OVER
THE WATERS. WESTERLY SWELL IS BUILDING SEAS TO AROUND 10 TO 12 FT
THIS MORNING. SEAS WILL STAY FOR THE MOST PART ABOVE 10 FT THROUGH
THE DAY TODAY BEFORE SEAS DROP BACK DOWN TO AROUND 8 FT TONIGHT.

SYSTEM APPROACHES TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY LEADING THE CHANGE TO A MORE
ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN LATE THIS WEEK THROUGH THE WEEKEND. WARM FRONT
AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH ON TUESDAY WHICH WILL SHIFT
WINDS TO SOUTHERLY AND COULD BRING GUSTS UP TO 20 KT ON TUESDAY. WILL
MORE LIKELY SEE SOUTHERLY WINDS COME UP TO 20 TO 25 KT ON WEDNESDAY
AS THE COLD FRONT ON THE BACK SIDE OF THIS SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH THE
WATERS. WILL SEE SEAS BUILDING BACK ABOVE 10 FT LATER THIS WEEK
THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS THE WEATHER PATTERN BECOMES MORE ACTIVE.
-MCCOY
&&

.PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL NOON PST TODAY FOR SOUTH WILLAMETTE
     VALLEY.
WA...NONE.
PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 9 PM PST
     THIS EVENING FOR COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER WA TO
     FLORENCE OR OUT 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH COLUMBIA RIVER BAR UNTIL
     9 PM PST THIS EVENING.

&&

$$

INTERACT WITH US VIA SOCIAL MEDIA
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSPORTLAND
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSPORTLAND


THIS DISCUSSION IS FOR NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON
FROM THE CASCADE CREST TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. THE AREA IS
COMMONLY REFERRED TO AS THE FORECAST AREA.





000
FXUS66 KPQR 081047
AFDPQR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
248 AM PST MON FEB  8 2016

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRES OVER REGION WILL MAINTAIN DRY MILD DAYS THOUGH
WILL HAVE AREAS OF LATE NIGHT/AM FOG AND LOW CLOUDS IN INTERIOR
VALLEYS. WEAK FRONT WILL ARRIVE LATER WED...BUT NOT MUCH IN WAY OF
RAIN. OTHER FRONTS ARRIVE LATER IN THE WEEK...BRINGING AN INCREASING
CHANCE OF RAIN TO CLOSE THE WEEK.
&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
NOT MUCH CHANGE. HIGH PRES WILL SIT OVER THE REGION...MAINTAINING DRY
AND MILD CONDITIONS. WITH THERMAL LOW PRES ALONG THE COAST AND HIGHER
PRES EAST OF THE CASCADES...LOW LEVEL OFFSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE.
BUT SINCE THIS IS A MOSTLY GAP DRIVEN WIND EVENT...THE BREEZY WINDS
WILL BE GENERALLY THROUGH THE COLUMBIA RIVER GORGE...AND SOMEWHAT
THROUGH THE GAPS IN THE COASTAL MTNS INTO THE COASTAL LOWLANDS. AT 2
AM...CROSS GORGE GRADIENT RUNNING NEAR 7 MB OFFSHORE. THIS WILL
TIGHTEN A BIT MORE TODAY...HOLDING AT 7 TO 8 MB THROUGH TUE.  SO...
CAN EXPECT GUSTS AROUND TROUTDALE OF 35 TO 45 MPH. FURTHER INTO THE
WESTERN COLUMBIA GORGE...WINDS WILL GUST 45 TO 60 MPH.

AIR MASS ALOFT IS RATHER WARM FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR. WILL LIKELY
SEE MANY LOCATIONS REACHING THE 60S AGAIN TODAY...ESPECIALLY ALONG
THE COAST...COAST RANGE AND THROUGH THE INLAND VALLEYS. WOULD NOT BE
SURPRISED IF A FEW SPOTS ALONG THE COAST REACH AROUND 70 DEG TODAY.
CHALLENGE IS FOR THE INLAND AREAS. WITH THE GAP DRIVEN WINDS KEEPING
BULK OF PORTLAND/VANCOUVER AREA IN THE CLEAR WITH TEMPERATURES
CLIMBING INTO THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S. BUT...AREAS TO S/W OF
PORTLAND AND N OF VANCOUVER WILL SEE AREAS OF LOW CLOUDS AND FOG THIS
AM. AT 2 AM...FOG STILL AFFECTING SCAPPOOSE AND HILLSBORO...AND TO
SOUTH OF SALEM. WHILE NOT ALL THAT DEEP... LOCAL GUIDANCE INDICATES
THAT THE FOG/LOW CLOUDS BURN OFF LATER THIS AM...WITH THE  SOUTH
WILLAMETTE VALLEY CLEARING LAST...SOMETIME BETWEEN 1 AND 3 PM. AS A
RESULT... TEMPERATURES WILL BUT SOMEWHAT COOLER...WITH HIGHS MOSTLY
50 TO 55 FOR AREAS S OF SALEM...AND MAYBE IN COWLITZ VALLEY.

EAST WINDS RELAX TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AS THE UPPER RIDGE MOVES
EAST AND THE FIRST SYSTEM TRYING TO KNOCK DOWN THE UPPER RIDGE
REACHES OR APPROACHES THE COAST. WE SHOULD STILL SEE QUITE A BIT OF
MORNING FOG INLAND WEDNESDAY MORNING...AND PERHAPS SOME SMALL CHANCES
OF RAIN ALONG THE COAST AS THIS FIRST SYSTEM WEAKENS DRAMATICALLY.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...ACTIVE AND
MORE SEASONABLE WEATHER PATTERN SETS UP FOR LATE THIS WEEK. COAST
MAY SEE SOME SPRINKLES OR LIGHT RAIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY
AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY STALLS OFFSHORE. THE FRONT IS FINALLY PUSHED
EASTWARD ON FRIDAY...BRINGING A DECENT CHANCE FOR RAIN ACROSS
WESTERN OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON. RAIN TURNS TO SHOWERS
BEHIND THE FRONT AND STARTS TO TAPER OFF LATE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.
SATURDAY COULD BE MOSTLY DRY BEFORE ANOTHER SYSTEM BRINGS MORE RAIN
ON SUNDAY. -MCCOY
&&

.AVIATION...OFFSHORE FLOW PATTERN TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HRS.
THIS MEANS VFR TO PREVAIL ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA...EXCEPT FOR
LIFR IN THE SOUTHERN WILLAMETTE VALLEY. DO NOT EXPECT THIS AREA
TO IMPROVE MUCH UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON. THERE IS ALSO CHANCE OF
PATCHY IFR IN THE INTERIOR VALLEYS NORTH OF KCVO THROUGH ABOUT
18Z.

KPDX AND APPROACHES...VFR EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH TONIGHT.
HOWEVER...THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF PATCHY IFR AROUND THE
TERMINAL BETWEEN 13Z AND 16Z. EAST WIND GUSTING TO 35 KT AT THE
WEST END OF THE COLUMBIA GORGE WILL INCREASE TODAY...WITH GUSTS
UP TO 50 KT POSSIBLE BY 00Z TUE. PYLE
&&

.MARINE...OFFSHORE WIND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT...WITH
GUSTS UP TO 20 KT LIKELY NEAR COASTAL TERRAIN GAPS. A WARM FRONT
MAY BRING SOUTHERLY WIND GUSTS TO 20 KT TUE. ANOTHER SYSTEM MOVES
THROUGH THE WATERS WED AND MAY BRING A PERIOD OF SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY WINDS. ADDITIONAL SYSTEMS ARE EXPECTED LATER IN THE WEEK
AND NEXT WEEKEND AS THE WEATHER PATTERN BECOMES MORE ACTIVE.

SEAS RUNNING 5 TO 6 FT THIS MORNING. HOWEVER...A WESTERLY LONG PERIOD
SWELL IS BEGINNING TO BUILD IN AND HAS SHOWN UP AT BUOY 89. SEAS WILL
BE PEAKING IN THE 10 TO 12 FT RANGE...BEFORE DROPPING BELOW
10 FT AGAIN TONIGHT. SEAS WILL INCREASE DURING THE SECOND HALF OF
THE WEEK DUE TO THE INCREASINGLY ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN. PYLE
&&


.PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...NONE.

WA...NONE.

PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS TODAY THROUGH EARLY
THIS EVENING ON ALL COASTAL WATERS.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH COLUMBIA RIVER BAR CONDITIONS
TODAY THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING.
&&



$$

INTERACT WITH US VIA SOCIAL MEDIA
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSPORTLAND
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSPORTLAND


THIS DISCUSSION IS FOR NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON
FROM THE CASCADE CREST TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. THE AREA IS
COMMONLY REFERRED TO AS THE FORECAST AREA.




000
FXUS66 KPQR 081047
AFDPQR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
248 AM PST MON FEB  8 2016

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRES OVER REGION WILL MAINTAIN DRY MILD DAYS THOUGH
WILL HAVE AREAS OF LATE NIGHT/AM FOG AND LOW CLOUDS IN INTERIOR
VALLEYS. WEAK FRONT WILL ARRIVE LATER WED...BUT NOT MUCH IN WAY OF
RAIN. OTHER FRONTS ARRIVE LATER IN THE WEEK...BRINGING AN INCREASING
CHANCE OF RAIN TO CLOSE THE WEEK.
&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
NOT MUCH CHANGE. HIGH PRES WILL SIT OVER THE REGION...MAINTAINING DRY
AND MILD CONDITIONS. WITH THERMAL LOW PRES ALONG THE COAST AND HIGHER
PRES EAST OF THE CASCADES...LOW LEVEL OFFSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE.
BUT SINCE THIS IS A MOSTLY GAP DRIVEN WIND EVENT...THE BREEZY WINDS
WILL BE GENERALLY THROUGH THE COLUMBIA RIVER GORGE...AND SOMEWHAT
THROUGH THE GAPS IN THE COASTAL MTNS INTO THE COASTAL LOWLANDS. AT 2
AM...CROSS GORGE GRADIENT RUNNING NEAR 7 MB OFFSHORE. THIS WILL
TIGHTEN A BIT MORE TODAY...HOLDING AT 7 TO 8 MB THROUGH TUE.  SO...
CAN EXPECT GUSTS AROUND TROUTDALE OF 35 TO 45 MPH. FURTHER INTO THE
WESTERN COLUMBIA GORGE...WINDS WILL GUST 45 TO 60 MPH.

AIR MASS ALOFT IS RATHER WARM FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR. WILL LIKELY
SEE MANY LOCATIONS REACHING THE 60S AGAIN TODAY...ESPECIALLY ALONG
THE COAST...COAST RANGE AND THROUGH THE INLAND VALLEYS. WOULD NOT BE
SURPRISED IF A FEW SPOTS ALONG THE COAST REACH AROUND 70 DEG TODAY.
CHALLENGE IS FOR THE INLAND AREAS. WITH THE GAP DRIVEN WINDS KEEPING
BULK OF PORTLAND/VANCOUVER AREA IN THE CLEAR WITH TEMPERATURES
CLIMBING INTO THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S. BUT...AREAS TO S/W OF
PORTLAND AND N OF VANCOUVER WILL SEE AREAS OF LOW CLOUDS AND FOG THIS
AM. AT 2 AM...FOG STILL AFFECTING SCAPPOOSE AND HILLSBORO...AND TO
SOUTH OF SALEM. WHILE NOT ALL THAT DEEP... LOCAL GUIDANCE INDICATES
THAT THE FOG/LOW CLOUDS BURN OFF LATER THIS AM...WITH THE  SOUTH
WILLAMETTE VALLEY CLEARING LAST...SOMETIME BETWEEN 1 AND 3 PM. AS A
RESULT... TEMPERATURES WILL BUT SOMEWHAT COOLER...WITH HIGHS MOSTLY
50 TO 55 FOR AREAS S OF SALEM...AND MAYBE IN COWLITZ VALLEY.

EAST WINDS RELAX TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AS THE UPPER RIDGE MOVES
EAST AND THE FIRST SYSTEM TRYING TO KNOCK DOWN THE UPPER RIDGE
REACHES OR APPROACHES THE COAST. WE SHOULD STILL SEE QUITE A BIT OF
MORNING FOG INLAND WEDNESDAY MORNING...AND PERHAPS SOME SMALL CHANCES
OF RAIN ALONG THE COAST AS THIS FIRST SYSTEM WEAKENS DRAMATICALLY.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...ACTIVE AND
MORE SEASONABLE WEATHER PATTERN SETS UP FOR LATE THIS WEEK. COAST
MAY SEE SOME SPRINKLES OR LIGHT RAIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY
AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY STALLS OFFSHORE. THE FRONT IS FINALLY PUSHED
EASTWARD ON FRIDAY...BRINGING A DECENT CHANCE FOR RAIN ACROSS
WESTERN OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON. RAIN TURNS TO SHOWERS
BEHIND THE FRONT AND STARTS TO TAPER OFF LATE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.
SATURDAY COULD BE MOSTLY DRY BEFORE ANOTHER SYSTEM BRINGS MORE RAIN
ON SUNDAY. -MCCOY
&&

.AVIATION...OFFSHORE FLOW PATTERN TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HRS.
THIS MEANS VFR TO PREVAIL ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA...EXCEPT FOR
LIFR IN THE SOUTHERN WILLAMETTE VALLEY. DO NOT EXPECT THIS AREA
TO IMPROVE MUCH UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON. THERE IS ALSO CHANCE OF
PATCHY IFR IN THE INTERIOR VALLEYS NORTH OF KCVO THROUGH ABOUT
18Z.

KPDX AND APPROACHES...VFR EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH TONIGHT.
HOWEVER...THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF PATCHY IFR AROUND THE
TERMINAL BETWEEN 13Z AND 16Z. EAST WIND GUSTING TO 35 KT AT THE
WEST END OF THE COLUMBIA GORGE WILL INCREASE TODAY...WITH GUSTS
UP TO 50 KT POSSIBLE BY 00Z TUE. PYLE
&&

.MARINE...OFFSHORE WIND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT...WITH
GUSTS UP TO 20 KT LIKELY NEAR COASTAL TERRAIN GAPS. A WARM FRONT
MAY BRING SOUTHERLY WIND GUSTS TO 20 KT TUE. ANOTHER SYSTEM MOVES
THROUGH THE WATERS WED AND MAY BRING A PERIOD OF SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY WINDS. ADDITIONAL SYSTEMS ARE EXPECTED LATER IN THE WEEK
AND NEXT WEEKEND AS THE WEATHER PATTERN BECOMES MORE ACTIVE.

SEAS RUNNING 5 TO 6 FT THIS MORNING. HOWEVER...A WESTERLY LONG PERIOD
SWELL IS BEGINNING TO BUILD IN AND HAS SHOWN UP AT BUOY 89. SEAS WILL
BE PEAKING IN THE 10 TO 12 FT RANGE...BEFORE DROPPING BELOW
10 FT AGAIN TONIGHT. SEAS WILL INCREASE DURING THE SECOND HALF OF
THE WEEK DUE TO THE INCREASINGLY ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN. PYLE
&&


.PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...NONE.

WA...NONE.

PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS TODAY THROUGH EARLY
THIS EVENING ON ALL COASTAL WATERS.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH COLUMBIA RIVER BAR CONDITIONS
TODAY THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING.
&&



$$

INTERACT WITH US VIA SOCIAL MEDIA
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSPORTLAND
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSPORTLAND


THIS DISCUSSION IS FOR NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON
FROM THE CASCADE CREST TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. THE AREA IS
COMMONLY REFERRED TO AS THE FORECAST AREA.





000
FXUS66 KPQR 081047
AFDPQR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
248 AM PST MON FEB  8 2016

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRES OVER REGION WILL MAINTAIN DRY MILD DAYS THOUGH
WILL HAVE AREAS OF LATE NIGHT/AM FOG AND LOW CLOUDS IN INTERIOR
VALLEYS. WEAK FRONT WILL ARRIVE LATER WED...BUT NOT MUCH IN WAY OF
RAIN. OTHER FRONTS ARRIVE LATER IN THE WEEK...BRINGING AN INCREASING
CHANCE OF RAIN TO CLOSE THE WEEK.
&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
NOT MUCH CHANGE. HIGH PRES WILL SIT OVER THE REGION...MAINTAINING DRY
AND MILD CONDITIONS. WITH THERMAL LOW PRES ALONG THE COAST AND HIGHER
PRES EAST OF THE CASCADES...LOW LEVEL OFFSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE.
BUT SINCE THIS IS A MOSTLY GAP DRIVEN WIND EVENT...THE BREEZY WINDS
WILL BE GENERALLY THROUGH THE COLUMBIA RIVER GORGE...AND SOMEWHAT
THROUGH THE GAPS IN THE COASTAL MTNS INTO THE COASTAL LOWLANDS. AT 2
AM...CROSS GORGE GRADIENT RUNNING NEAR 7 MB OFFSHORE. THIS WILL
TIGHTEN A BIT MORE TODAY...HOLDING AT 7 TO 8 MB THROUGH TUE.  SO...
CAN EXPECT GUSTS AROUND TROUTDALE OF 35 TO 45 MPH. FURTHER INTO THE
WESTERN COLUMBIA GORGE...WINDS WILL GUST 45 TO 60 MPH.

AIR MASS ALOFT IS RATHER WARM FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR. WILL LIKELY
SEE MANY LOCATIONS REACHING THE 60S AGAIN TODAY...ESPECIALLY ALONG
THE COAST...COAST RANGE AND THROUGH THE INLAND VALLEYS. WOULD NOT BE
SURPRISED IF A FEW SPOTS ALONG THE COAST REACH AROUND 70 DEG TODAY.
CHALLENGE IS FOR THE INLAND AREAS. WITH THE GAP DRIVEN WINDS KEEPING
BULK OF PORTLAND/VANCOUVER AREA IN THE CLEAR WITH TEMPERATURES
CLIMBING INTO THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S. BUT...AREAS TO S/W OF
PORTLAND AND N OF VANCOUVER WILL SEE AREAS OF LOW CLOUDS AND FOG THIS
AM. AT 2 AM...FOG STILL AFFECTING SCAPPOOSE AND HILLSBORO...AND TO
SOUTH OF SALEM. WHILE NOT ALL THAT DEEP... LOCAL GUIDANCE INDICATES
THAT THE FOG/LOW CLOUDS BURN OFF LATER THIS AM...WITH THE  SOUTH
WILLAMETTE VALLEY CLEARING LAST...SOMETIME BETWEEN 1 AND 3 PM. AS A
RESULT... TEMPERATURES WILL BUT SOMEWHAT COOLER...WITH HIGHS MOSTLY
50 TO 55 FOR AREAS S OF SALEM...AND MAYBE IN COWLITZ VALLEY.

EAST WINDS RELAX TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AS THE UPPER RIDGE MOVES
EAST AND THE FIRST SYSTEM TRYING TO KNOCK DOWN THE UPPER RIDGE
REACHES OR APPROACHES THE COAST. WE SHOULD STILL SEE QUITE A BIT OF
MORNING FOG INLAND WEDNESDAY MORNING...AND PERHAPS SOME SMALL CHANCES
OF RAIN ALONG THE COAST AS THIS FIRST SYSTEM WEAKENS DRAMATICALLY.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...ACTIVE AND
MORE SEASONABLE WEATHER PATTERN SETS UP FOR LATE THIS WEEK. COAST
MAY SEE SOME SPRINKLES OR LIGHT RAIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY
AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY STALLS OFFSHORE. THE FRONT IS FINALLY PUSHED
EASTWARD ON FRIDAY...BRINGING A DECENT CHANCE FOR RAIN ACROSS
WESTERN OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON. RAIN TURNS TO SHOWERS
BEHIND THE FRONT AND STARTS TO TAPER OFF LATE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.
SATURDAY COULD BE MOSTLY DRY BEFORE ANOTHER SYSTEM BRINGS MORE RAIN
ON SUNDAY. -MCCOY
&&

.AVIATION...OFFSHORE FLOW PATTERN TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HRS.
THIS MEANS VFR TO PREVAIL ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA...EXCEPT FOR
LIFR IN THE SOUTHERN WILLAMETTE VALLEY. DO NOT EXPECT THIS AREA
TO IMPROVE MUCH UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON. THERE IS ALSO CHANCE OF
PATCHY IFR IN THE INTERIOR VALLEYS NORTH OF KCVO THROUGH ABOUT
18Z.

KPDX AND APPROACHES...VFR EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH TONIGHT.
HOWEVER...THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF PATCHY IFR AROUND THE
TERMINAL BETWEEN 13Z AND 16Z. EAST WIND GUSTING TO 35 KT AT THE
WEST END OF THE COLUMBIA GORGE WILL INCREASE TODAY...WITH GUSTS
UP TO 50 KT POSSIBLE BY 00Z TUE. PYLE
&&

.MARINE...OFFSHORE WIND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT...WITH
GUSTS UP TO 20 KT LIKELY NEAR COASTAL TERRAIN GAPS. A WARM FRONT
MAY BRING SOUTHERLY WIND GUSTS TO 20 KT TUE. ANOTHER SYSTEM MOVES
THROUGH THE WATERS WED AND MAY BRING A PERIOD OF SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY WINDS. ADDITIONAL SYSTEMS ARE EXPECTED LATER IN THE WEEK
AND NEXT WEEKEND AS THE WEATHER PATTERN BECOMES MORE ACTIVE.

SEAS RUNNING 5 TO 6 FT THIS MORNING. HOWEVER...A WESTERLY LONG PERIOD
SWELL IS BEGINNING TO BUILD IN AND HAS SHOWN UP AT BUOY 89. SEAS WILL
BE PEAKING IN THE 10 TO 12 FT RANGE...BEFORE DROPPING BELOW
10 FT AGAIN TONIGHT. SEAS WILL INCREASE DURING THE SECOND HALF OF
THE WEEK DUE TO THE INCREASINGLY ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN. PYLE
&&


.PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...NONE.

WA...NONE.

PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS TODAY THROUGH EARLY
THIS EVENING ON ALL COASTAL WATERS.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH COLUMBIA RIVER BAR CONDITIONS
TODAY THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING.
&&



$$

INTERACT WITH US VIA SOCIAL MEDIA
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSPORTLAND
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSPORTLAND


THIS DISCUSSION IS FOR NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON
FROM THE CASCADE CREST TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. THE AREA IS
COMMONLY REFERRED TO AS THE FORECAST AREA.





000
FXUS66 KPQR 081046
AFDPQR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
248 AM PST MON FEB  8 2016

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRES OVER REGION WILL MAINTAIN DRY MILD DAYS THOUGH
WILL HAVE AREAS OF LATE NIGHT/AM FOG AND LOW CLOUDS IN INTERIOR
VALLEYS. WEAK FRONT WILL ARRIVE LATER WED...BUT NOT MUCH IN WAY OF
RAIN. OTHER FRONTS ARRIVE LATER IN THE WEEK...BRINGING AN INCREASING
CHANCE OF RAIN TO CLOSE THE WEEK.
&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
NOT MUCH CHANGE. HIGH PRES WILL SIT OVER THE REGION...MAINTAINING DRY
AND MILD CONDITIONS. WITH THERMAL LOW PRES ALONG THE COAST AND HIGHER
PRES EAST OF THE CASCADES...LOW LEVEL OFFSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE.
BUT SINCE THIS IS A MOSTLY GAP DRIVEN WIND EVENT...THE BREEZY WINDS
WILL BE GENERALLY THROUGH THE COLUMBIA RIVER GORGE...AND SOMEWHAT
THROUGH THE GAPS IN THE COASTAL MTNS INTO THE COASTAL LOWLANDS. AT 2
AM...CROSS GORGE GRADIENT RUNNING NEAR 7 MB OFFSHORE. THIS WILL
TIGHTEN A BIT MORE TODAY...HOLDING AT 7 TO 8 MB  THROUGH TUE.

AIR MASS ALOFT IS RATHER WARM FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR. WILL LIKELY
SEE MANY LOCATIONS REACHING THE 60S AGAIN TODAY...ESPECIALLY ALONG
THE COAST...COAST RANGE AND THROUGH THE INLAND VALLEYS. WOULD NOT BE
SURPRISED IF A FEW SPOTS ALONG THE COAST REACH AROUND 70 DEG TODAY.
CHALLENGE IS FOR THE INLAND AREAS. WITH THE GAP DRIVEN WINDS KEEPING
BULK OF PORTLAND/VANCOUVER AREA IN THE CLEAR WITH TEMPERATURES
CLIMBING INTO THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S. BUT...AREAS TO S/W OF
PORTLAND AND N OF VANCOUVER WILL SEE AREAS OF LOW CLOUDS AND FOG THIS
AM. AT 2 AM...FOG STILL AFFECTING SCAPPOOSE AND HILLSBORO...AND TO
SOUTH OF SALEM. WHILE NOT ALL THAT DEEP... LOCAL GUIDANCE INDICATES
THAT THE FOG/LOW CLOUDS BURN OFF LATER THIS AM...WITH THE  SOUTH
WILLAMETTE VALLEY CLEARING LAST...SOMETIME BETWEEN 1 AND 3 PM. AS A
RESULT... TEMPERATURES WILL BUT SOMEWHAT COOLER...WITH HIGHS MOSTLY
50 TO 55 FOR AREAS S OF SALEM...AND MAYBE IN COWLITZ VALLEY.

EAST WINDS RELAX TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AS THE UPPER RIDGE MOVES
EAST AND THE FIRST SYSTEM TRYING TO KNOCK DOWN THE UPPER RIDGE
REACHES OR APPROACHES THE COAST. WE SHOULD STILL SEE QUITE A BIT OF
MORNING FOG INLAND WEDNESDAY MORNING...AND PERHAPS SOME SMALL CHANCES
OF RAIN ALONG THE COAST AS THIS FIRST SYSTEM WEAKENS DRAMATICALLY.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...ACTIVE AND
MORE SEASONABLE WEATHER PATTERN SETS UP FOR LATE THIS WEEK. COAST
MAY SEE SOME SPRINKLES OR LIGHT RAIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY
AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY STALLS OFFSHORE. THE FRONT IS FINALLY PUSHED
EASTWARD ON FRIDAY...BRINGING A DECENT CHANCE FOR RAIN ACROSS
WESTERN OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON. RAIN TURNS TO SHOWERS
BEHIND THE FRONT AND STARTS TO TAPER OFF LATE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.
SATURDAY COULD BE MOSTLY DRY BEFORE ANOTHER SYSTEM BRINGS MORE RAIN
ON SUNDAY. -MCCOY
&&

.AVIATION...OFFSHORE FLOW PATTERN TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HRS.
THIS MEANS VFR TO PREVAIL ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA...EXCEPT FOR
LIFR IN THE SOUTHERN WILLAMETTE VALLEY. DO NOT EXPECT THIS AREA
TO IMPROVE MUCH UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON. THERE IS ALSO CHANCE OF
PATCHY IFR IN THE INTERIOR VALLEYS NORTH OF KCVO THROUGH ABOUT
18Z.

KPDX AND APPROACHES...VFR EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH TONIGHT.
HOWEVER...THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF PATCHY IFR AROUND THE
TERMINAL BETWEEN 13Z AND 16Z. EAST WIND GUSTING TO 35 KT AT THE
WEST END OF THE COLUMBIA GORGE WILL INCREASE TODAY...WITH GUSTS
UP TO 50 KT POSSIBLE BY 00Z TUE. PYLE
&&

.MARINE...OFFSHORE WIND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT...WITH
GUSTS UP TO 20 KT LIKELY NEAR COASTAL TERRAIN GAPS. A WARM FRONT
MAY BRING SOUTHERLY WIND GUSTS TO 20 KT TUE. ANOTHER SYSTEM MOVES
THROUGH THE WATERS WED AND MAY BRING A PERIOD OF SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY WINDS. ADDITIONAL SYSTEMS ARE EXPECTED LATER IN THE WEEK
AND NEXT WEEKEND AS THE WEATHER PATTERN BECOMES MORE ACTIVE.

SEAS RUNNING 5 TO 6 FT THIS MORNING. HOWEVER...A WESTERLY LONG PERIOD
SWELL IS BEGINNING TO BUILD IN AND HAS SHOWN UP AT BUOY 89. SEAS WILL
BE PEAKING IN THE 10 TO 12 FT RANGE...BEFORE DROPPING BELOW
10 FT AGAIN TONIGHT. SEAS WILL INCREASE DURING THE SECOND HALF OF
THE WEEK DUE TO THE INCREASINGLY ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN. PYLE
&&


.PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...NONE.

WA...NONE.

PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS TODAY THROUGH EARLY
THIS EVENING ON ALL COASTAL WATERS.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH COLUMBIA RIVER BAR CONDITIONS
TODAY THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING.
&&



$$

INTERACT WITH US VIA SOCIAL MEDIA
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSPORTLAND
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THIS DISCUSSION IS FOR NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON
FROM THE CASCADE CREST TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. THE AREA IS
COMMONLY REFERRED TO AS THE FORECAST AREA.





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