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000
FXUS65 KREV 020901
AFDREV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
201 AM PDT TUE SEP 2 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. VERY WARM
TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL COOL A FEW DEGREES FOR MID WEEK AS LOW
PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST.

&&

.SHORT TERM...

NO MAJOR CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. AFTERNOON HIGHS FOR TODAY WILL
WARM INTO THE LOW TO MID 90S ACROSS THE WESTERN NEVADA VALLEYS
WITH 80S FOR THE SIERRA. WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON WITH
THE TYPICAL 20-30 MPH GUSTS OFF THE SIERRA INTO THIS EVENING.

LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND NORTHERN
ROCKIES TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL PROVIDE A FEW
DEGREES OF COOLING WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE 80S FOR THE LOWER
VALLEYS WITH 70S ACROSS THE SIERRA. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL ALSO DIP
CLOSE TO FREEZING IN THE SIERRA VALLEYS. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE
NORTH AND NORTHEAST FOR TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY BUT REMAIN
LIGHT FOR WESTERN NEVADA STANDARDS.

SOME HAZE FROM THE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA WILDFIRES MAY WORK INTO
THE NORTHERN SIERRA AND NORTHWEST NEVADA FOR TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY. HOWEVER DO NOT THINK THE SMOKE WILL PRODUCE ANY
SIGNIFICANT REDUCTIONS TO AIR QUALITY AND VISIBILITY. BRONG

.LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

THE UPPER TROUGH THAT DROPS THROUGH THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST MID-WEEK
WILL SPLIT OFF SOME ENERGY NEAR THE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST THAT
WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS LOW PRESSURE
WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES NEAR OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE SEASONAL THROUGH THE
EXTENDED.

THERE STILL REMAINS A BIT OF UNCERTAINTY BEYOND FRIDAY, AS MODELS
YESTERDAY WERE SHOWING THE JET FURTHER SOUTH IN SOUTHERN CA/NV AND
BUILDING CONVECTION INTO THE SIERRA BY THE WEEKEND. LATEST GFS/ECMWF
RUNS HAVE BACKED OFF ON THE PRECIP CHANCES, BUT ARE NOW TRENDING THE
JET FURTHER NORTH AGAIN OVER RENO-TAHOE WITH DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER
OUR FORECAST AREA. ENSEMBLES STILL SHOW QUITE A BIT OF SPREAD IN THE
HEIGHTS OVER CA/NV THIS WEEKEND AS WELL. WE INCREASED THE WINDS IN
THE EXTENDED TO MATCH LATEST DETERMINISTIC MODEL TRENDS. FOR NOW,
CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION WILL REMAIN NEAR ZERO THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK, BUT THIS WILL DEPEND HIGHLY ON WHERE THE LOW PRESSURE ENDS UP
THIS WEEKEND. HOON

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH TODAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD. A
LIGHT HAZE IS POSSIBLE FROM WILDFIRE SMOKE IN NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
AND OREGON WITH MINIMAL REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY. WINDS THIS
AFTERNOON WILL INCREASE FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 20-25KTS
THROUGH THIS EVENING. A WEAK FRONT ON WEDNESDAY WILL SHIFT THE WINDS
FROM THE NORTH TO NORTHEAST. HOON

&&

.REV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NV...NONE.
CA...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RENO (ALL LOWER CASE)





000
FXUS65 KREV 020901
AFDREV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
201 AM PDT TUE SEP 2 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. VERY WARM
TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL COOL A FEW DEGREES FOR MID WEEK AS LOW
PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST.

&&

.SHORT TERM...

NO MAJOR CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. AFTERNOON HIGHS FOR TODAY WILL
WARM INTO THE LOW TO MID 90S ACROSS THE WESTERN NEVADA VALLEYS
WITH 80S FOR THE SIERRA. WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON WITH
THE TYPICAL 20-30 MPH GUSTS OFF THE SIERRA INTO THIS EVENING.

LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND NORTHERN
ROCKIES TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL PROVIDE A FEW
DEGREES OF COOLING WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE 80S FOR THE LOWER
VALLEYS WITH 70S ACROSS THE SIERRA. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL ALSO DIP
CLOSE TO FREEZING IN THE SIERRA VALLEYS. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE
NORTH AND NORTHEAST FOR TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY BUT REMAIN
LIGHT FOR WESTERN NEVADA STANDARDS.

SOME HAZE FROM THE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA WILDFIRES MAY WORK INTO
THE NORTHERN SIERRA AND NORTHWEST NEVADA FOR TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY. HOWEVER DO NOT THINK THE SMOKE WILL PRODUCE ANY
SIGNIFICANT REDUCTIONS TO AIR QUALITY AND VISIBILITY. BRONG

.LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

THE UPPER TROUGH THAT DROPS THROUGH THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST MID-WEEK
WILL SPLIT OFF SOME ENERGY NEAR THE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST THAT
WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS LOW PRESSURE
WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES NEAR OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE SEASONAL THROUGH THE
EXTENDED.

THERE STILL REMAINS A BIT OF UNCERTAINTY BEYOND FRIDAY, AS MODELS
YESTERDAY WERE SHOWING THE JET FURTHER SOUTH IN SOUTHERN CA/NV AND
BUILDING CONVECTION INTO THE SIERRA BY THE WEEKEND. LATEST GFS/ECMWF
RUNS HAVE BACKED OFF ON THE PRECIP CHANCES, BUT ARE NOW TRENDING THE
JET FURTHER NORTH AGAIN OVER RENO-TAHOE WITH DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER
OUR FORECAST AREA. ENSEMBLES STILL SHOW QUITE A BIT OF SPREAD IN THE
HEIGHTS OVER CA/NV THIS WEEKEND AS WELL. WE INCREASED THE WINDS IN
THE EXTENDED TO MATCH LATEST DETERMINISTIC MODEL TRENDS. FOR NOW,
CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION WILL REMAIN NEAR ZERO THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK, BUT THIS WILL DEPEND HIGHLY ON WHERE THE LOW PRESSURE ENDS UP
THIS WEEKEND. HOON

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH TODAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD. A
LIGHT HAZE IS POSSIBLE FROM WILDFIRE SMOKE IN NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
AND OREGON WITH MINIMAL REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY. WINDS THIS
AFTERNOON WILL INCREASE FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 20-25KTS
THROUGH THIS EVENING. A WEAK FRONT ON WEDNESDAY WILL SHIFT THE WINDS
FROM THE NORTH TO NORTHEAST. HOON

&&

.REV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NV...NONE.
CA...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RENO (ALL LOWER CASE)






000
FXUS65 KREV 012122
AFDREV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
222 PM PDT MON SEP 1 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN FOR TUESDAY. A TROUGH OF
LOW PRESSURE WILL DROP SOUTH INTO THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL BRING SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES FOR THE
REST OF THE WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT CONTINUES INTO EARLY TUESDAY BEFORE THE FLOW
BECOMES MORE WESTERLY. A DEEPENING TROUGH OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST
WILL DROP TOWARD THE REGION LATE TUESDAY. AHEAD OF THIS TROUGH
WINDS BEGIN TO INCREASE...BUT GUSTS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW 30 MPH. A
DRY SLOT WILL ALSO MOVE IN AHEAD OF TROUGH BRINGING LOWER HUMIDITY
VALUES TO MID SLOPES AND RIDGES LATE TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH
TUESDAY NIGHT. INCREASED WINDS TUESDAY WILL ALSO AID MIXING AND
RESULT IN ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

A SURFACE BOUNDARY ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL
PUSH THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND SWITCH THE LOW LEVEL WINDS TO
THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST. THIS WILL USHER IN SLIGHTLY COOLER
TEMPERATURES FOR WEDNESDAY...NEAR NORMAL AS OPPOSED TO ABOVE
NORMAL. THESE WINDS WILL SHIFT TO A MORE EAST TO NORTHEAST
DIRECTION LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND INCREASE OVER THE RIDGES THROUGH
THE NIGHT.

THE OVERALL FLOW WEAKENS WEDNESDAY BUT TEMPERATURES REMAIN AT OR
SLIGHTLY BELOW AVERAGE. A LACK OF MOISTURE WILL LIMIT THE CHANCES
FOR ANY KIND OF PCPN THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...AND WILL LIKELY
LIMIT THE EXTENT OF ANY CLOUDINESS TO JUST PARTLY CLOUDY OVER NRN
SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA. 20

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY..
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL BE SPREAD ACROSS THE WESTERN U.S. NEXT
WEEK. MODEL GUIDANCE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT WITH MAINTAINING THIS
FEATURE THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND AND INTO THE FOLLOWING WEEK WHICH WILL
PROVIDE US WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES NEARER TO SEASONAL AVERAGES.
MODELS SHOW SOME DISCREPANCIES IN THE DETAILS OF THE POSITION OF THE
UPPER LOW BUT THUS FAR NEITHER THE GFS OR ECMWF SHOW ENOUGH INSTABILITY
OR MOISTURE WITH THE LOW TO PROVIDE ANY APPRECIABLE CHANCES FOR
PRECIPITATION AT THIS TIME.

THE BULK OF THE MOISTURE LOOKS TO ADVECT EAST ACROSS UTAH BUT THERE
IS ENOUGH SPREAD IN THE POSITION OF THE TROUGH IN THE GEFS TO NOT
RULE OUT A POTENTIAL WESTWARD SHIFT OF THIS MOISTURE SWATH. THIS
WOULD PROVIDED BETTER CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION BUT FOR NOW WILL
LEAVE MENTION OUT OF THE FORECAST AND WILL MAINTAIN HIGHER CLOUD
COVER, LIGHT NORTH TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS, AND SEASONABLE
TEMPERATURES. HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE MID TO
UPPER 80S ACROSS WESTERN NEVADA AND MID TO UPPER 70 ACROSS SIERRA
VALLEYS. FUENTES
&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO
THE AREA. LIGHT HAZE BUT MINIMAL REDUCTION TO VISIBILITY IS
POSSIBLE FROM SMOKE FROM WILDFIRES ACROSS NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AND
OREGON. LIGHT AFTERNOON BREEZES AND MINIMAL CLOUD COVER EXPECTED.
FUENTES
&&

.REV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NV...NONE.
CA...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RENO (ALL LOWER CASE)








000
FXUS65 KREV 012122
AFDREV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
222 PM PDT MON SEP 1 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN FOR TUESDAY. A TROUGH OF
LOW PRESSURE WILL DROP SOUTH INTO THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL BRING SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES FOR THE
REST OF THE WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT CONTINUES INTO EARLY TUESDAY BEFORE THE FLOW
BECOMES MORE WESTERLY. A DEEPENING TROUGH OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST
WILL DROP TOWARD THE REGION LATE TUESDAY. AHEAD OF THIS TROUGH
WINDS BEGIN TO INCREASE...BUT GUSTS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW 30 MPH. A
DRY SLOT WILL ALSO MOVE IN AHEAD OF TROUGH BRINGING LOWER HUMIDITY
VALUES TO MID SLOPES AND RIDGES LATE TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH
TUESDAY NIGHT. INCREASED WINDS TUESDAY WILL ALSO AID MIXING AND
RESULT IN ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

A SURFACE BOUNDARY ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL
PUSH THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND SWITCH THE LOW LEVEL WINDS TO
THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST. THIS WILL USHER IN SLIGHTLY COOLER
TEMPERATURES FOR WEDNESDAY...NEAR NORMAL AS OPPOSED TO ABOVE
NORMAL. THESE WINDS WILL SHIFT TO A MORE EAST TO NORTHEAST
DIRECTION LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND INCREASE OVER THE RIDGES THROUGH
THE NIGHT.

THE OVERALL FLOW WEAKENS WEDNESDAY BUT TEMPERATURES REMAIN AT OR
SLIGHTLY BELOW AVERAGE. A LACK OF MOISTURE WILL LIMIT THE CHANCES
FOR ANY KIND OF PCPN THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...AND WILL LIKELY
LIMIT THE EXTENT OF ANY CLOUDINESS TO JUST PARTLY CLOUDY OVER NRN
SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA. 20

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY..
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL BE SPREAD ACROSS THE WESTERN U.S. NEXT
WEEK. MODEL GUIDANCE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT WITH MAINTAINING THIS
FEATURE THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND AND INTO THE FOLLOWING WEEK WHICH WILL
PROVIDE US WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES NEARER TO SEASONAL AVERAGES.
MODELS SHOW SOME DISCREPANCIES IN THE DETAILS OF THE POSITION OF THE
UPPER LOW BUT THUS FAR NEITHER THE GFS OR ECMWF SHOW ENOUGH INSTABILITY
OR MOISTURE WITH THE LOW TO PROVIDE ANY APPRECIABLE CHANCES FOR
PRECIPITATION AT THIS TIME.

THE BULK OF THE MOISTURE LOOKS TO ADVECT EAST ACROSS UTAH BUT THERE
IS ENOUGH SPREAD IN THE POSITION OF THE TROUGH IN THE GEFS TO NOT
RULE OUT A POTENTIAL WESTWARD SHIFT OF THIS MOISTURE SWATH. THIS
WOULD PROVIDED BETTER CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION BUT FOR NOW WILL
LEAVE MENTION OUT OF THE FORECAST AND WILL MAINTAIN HIGHER CLOUD
COVER, LIGHT NORTH TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS, AND SEASONABLE
TEMPERATURES. HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE MID TO
UPPER 80S ACROSS WESTERN NEVADA AND MID TO UPPER 70 ACROSS SIERRA
VALLEYS. FUENTES
&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO
THE AREA. LIGHT HAZE BUT MINIMAL REDUCTION TO VISIBILITY IS
POSSIBLE FROM SMOKE FROM WILDFIRES ACROSS NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AND
OREGON. LIGHT AFTERNOON BREEZES AND MINIMAL CLOUD COVER EXPECTED.
FUENTES
&&

.REV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NV...NONE.
CA...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RENO (ALL LOWER CASE)







000
FXUS65 KREV 010931
AFDREV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
231 AM PDT MON SEP 1 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
NEAR AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND TEMPERATURES WILL
WARM A FEW DEGREES TUESDAY. EXPECT SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES FOR
THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...

HAZE FROM WILDFIRES IN NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AND SOUTHERN OREGON
WAS TRANSPORTED INTO NEVADA SOUTH OF YERINGTON AND WEST OF FALLON
YESTERDAY. TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE WEAKER TODAY AND MUCH LESS
SMOKE WILL MAKE IT INTO NORTHWEST CA/WESTERN NV. FOR TUESDAY
WESTERLY TRANSPORT WINDS 10-20 MPH WILL RETURN, BUT SURFACE WINDS
WILL INCREASE AS WELL. A WEAK ZEPHYR TUESDAY WILL CREATE WEST
WINDS GUSTING UP TO 20 MPH IN THE EVENING. WITH THESE CONDITIONS
HAZE IS LESS LIKELY TO SETTLE INTO WESTERN NV VALLEYS.

WEDNESDAY-WEDNESDAY NIGHT A PACIFIC NORTHWEST TROUGH BEGINS TO
INFLUENCE THE SIERRA AND WESTERN NV WITH WEAK UPPER IMPULSES
CROSSING THE AREA FROM WEST TO EAST. THE AIR MASS SHOULD BE TOO
DRY AND STABLE FOR MUCH OF A MOISTURE RESPONSE OTHER THAN
INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS. WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO BE A FEW DEGREES COOLER AS NORTH-NORTHEAST WINDS
10-15 MPH SUSTAINED DEVELOP IN THE AFTERNOON. THESE WINDS MAY
PERSIST OVERNIGHT WEDNESDAY NIGHT, MAINLY FOR LOCATIONS NORTH OF
I-80. JCM

LONG TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

THERE HAS BEEN A BIT OF CHANGE IN THE MODELS SINCE YESTERDAY. LATEST
00Z RUNS OF THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE STARTING TO DIVERGE IN THEIR
SOLUTIONS BEYOND THURSDAY, LEADING TO LOW OVERALL FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IN THE LONG TERM.

LATEST GFS IS SHOWING THE TROUGH STARTING TO CLOSE OFF LOW PRESSURE
OFF THE NORCAL COAST. THIS WOULD DEVELOP MORE OF A SOUTHEASTERLY
FLOW OVER THE SIERRA AND WESTERN NEVADA, DRAWING UP MOISTURE AND
POSSIBLY INCREASING CHANCES OF CONVECTION LATE IN THE WEEK. THE 00Z
ECMWF CONTINUES TO SHOW DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER THE SIERRA LATE IN
THE WEEK, ALTHOUGH DEVELOPING A CLOSED LOW BY THE WEEKEND. BOTTOM
LINE, WE DIDN`T WANT TO MAKE TOO BIG OF CHANGES IN THE FORECAST,
ALTHOUGH WE STARTED TO ADD ADDITIONAL CLOUDS AND LOW-END POPS TO THE
EXTENDED FORECAST. EITHER WAY, TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR AVERAGE FOR
EARLY SEPTEMBER, AS TROUGHING REMAINS OVER THE WEST COAST. HOON

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
INTO THE AREA. LIGHT AFTERNOON BREEZES AND CLEAR CONDITIONS
EXPECTED. FUENTES/HOON

&&

.REV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NV...NONE.
CA...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RENO (ALL LOWER CASE)










000
FXUS65 KREV 010931
AFDREV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
231 AM PDT MON SEP 1 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
NEAR AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND TEMPERATURES WILL
WARM A FEW DEGREES TUESDAY. EXPECT SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES FOR
THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...

HAZE FROM WILDFIRES IN NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AND SOUTHERN OREGON
WAS TRANSPORTED INTO NEVADA SOUTH OF YERINGTON AND WEST OF FALLON
YESTERDAY. TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE WEAKER TODAY AND MUCH LESS
SMOKE WILL MAKE IT INTO NORTHWEST CA/WESTERN NV. FOR TUESDAY
WESTERLY TRANSPORT WINDS 10-20 MPH WILL RETURN, BUT SURFACE WINDS
WILL INCREASE AS WELL. A WEAK ZEPHYR TUESDAY WILL CREATE WEST
WINDS GUSTING UP TO 20 MPH IN THE EVENING. WITH THESE CONDITIONS
HAZE IS LESS LIKELY TO SETTLE INTO WESTERN NV VALLEYS.

WEDNESDAY-WEDNESDAY NIGHT A PACIFIC NORTHWEST TROUGH BEGINS TO
INFLUENCE THE SIERRA AND WESTERN NV WITH WEAK UPPER IMPULSES
CROSSING THE AREA FROM WEST TO EAST. THE AIR MASS SHOULD BE TOO
DRY AND STABLE FOR MUCH OF A MOISTURE RESPONSE OTHER THAN
INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS. WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO BE A FEW DEGREES COOLER AS NORTH-NORTHEAST WINDS
10-15 MPH SUSTAINED DEVELOP IN THE AFTERNOON. THESE WINDS MAY
PERSIST OVERNIGHT WEDNESDAY NIGHT, MAINLY FOR LOCATIONS NORTH OF
I-80. JCM

LONG TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

THERE HAS BEEN A BIT OF CHANGE IN THE MODELS SINCE YESTERDAY. LATEST
00Z RUNS OF THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE STARTING TO DIVERGE IN THEIR
SOLUTIONS BEYOND THURSDAY, LEADING TO LOW OVERALL FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IN THE LONG TERM.

LATEST GFS IS SHOWING THE TROUGH STARTING TO CLOSE OFF LOW PRESSURE
OFF THE NORCAL COAST. THIS WOULD DEVELOP MORE OF A SOUTHEASTERLY
FLOW OVER THE SIERRA AND WESTERN NEVADA, DRAWING UP MOISTURE AND
POSSIBLY INCREASING CHANCES OF CONVECTION LATE IN THE WEEK. THE 00Z
ECMWF CONTINUES TO SHOW DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER THE SIERRA LATE IN
THE WEEK, ALTHOUGH DEVELOPING A CLOSED LOW BY THE WEEKEND. BOTTOM
LINE, WE DIDN`T WANT TO MAKE TOO BIG OF CHANGES IN THE FORECAST,
ALTHOUGH WE STARTED TO ADD ADDITIONAL CLOUDS AND LOW-END POPS TO THE
EXTENDED FORECAST. EITHER WAY, TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR AVERAGE FOR
EARLY SEPTEMBER, AS TROUGHING REMAINS OVER THE WEST COAST. HOON

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
INTO THE AREA. LIGHT AFTERNOON BREEZES AND CLEAR CONDITIONS
EXPECTED. FUENTES/HOON

&&

.REV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NV...NONE.
CA...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RENO (ALL LOWER CASE)









000
FXUS65 KREV 312052
AFDREV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
152 PM PDT SUN AUG 31 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
NEAR AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND.
TEMPERATURES WILL WARM A FEW DEGREES EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH SLIGHTLY
COOLER TEMPERATURES AND BREEZY CONDITIONS POSSIBLE BY THE MIDDLE
OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
SMOKE AND HAZE HAVE BEEN AFFECTING PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEVADA THIS
AFTERNOON. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY DOESN`T SHOW THE LOW LEVEL
SMOKE AND HAZE, BUT IT CAN BE SEEN ON LOCAL WEB CAMS, ESPECIALLY NEAR
PYRAMID LAKE. WE ALSO RECEIVED MULTIPLE PHONE CALLS AND REPORTS FROM
FACEBOOK. WITH NORTHERLY LOW LEVEL SURFACE WINDS, THE SMOKE IS
LIKELY COMING FROM FIRES IN NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AND OREGON. WINDS
SHOULD INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON ENOUGH TO CLEAR OUT THE HAZE IN THE
VALLEYS, SO WILL LEAVE SMOKE/HAZE OUT OF THE FORECAST.

DRY STABLE NORTHWEST FLOW ACROSS THE SIERRA AND WESTERN NEVADA WILL
MAINTAIN CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS THROUGH THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND.
TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL REMAIN SLIGHTLY COOLER WITH LOW LEVEL NORTH
FLOW IN PLACE BEFORE WEAK RIDGING BUILDS INTO THE REGION. WEAK
RIDGING WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO WARM A FEW DEGREES FOR LABOR DAY
AND THEN ON AGAIN ON TUESDAY. WINDS WILL BE PREDOMINANTLY UPSLOPE
DURING THE DAY AND DOWNSLOPE AT NIGHT WITH WIND SPEEDS AROUND 10 MPH
OR LESS. TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING A WEAK ZEPHYR WILL RESULT IN
STRONGER WEST WINDS, BUT WIND GUSTS 20 MPH OR LESS. ELW

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...
A BROAD TROUGHING PATTERN WILL BE PRESENT NEXT WEEK WHICH WILL KEEP
US IN A DRY PATTERN WITH SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. THIS WILL ALSO PROVIDE
COOLER CONDITIONS NEARER TO SEASONAL AVERAGES. ON WEDNESDAY, A
NORTHERLY SURFACE GRADIENT DEVELOPS PROVIDING NORTHERLY SURFACE
FLOW WHICH WILL PRODUCE ABOUT 5 DEGREES OF COOLING OVER TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. LIGHT NORTH TO NORTHEAST SURFACE GRADIENT WILL REMAIN
IN PLACE THROUGH THE WEEK WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES GENERALLY IN THE
MID TO UPPER 80S ACROSS WESTERN NEVADA AND MID TO UPPER 70S ACROSS
SIERRA VALLEYS. LITTLE TO NO CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION EXPECTED IN
THIS PATTERN WITH GENERALLY CLEAR CONDITIONS THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
FUENTES

.AVIATION...

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
INTO THE AREA. LIGHT AFTERNOON BREEZES AND CLEAR CONDITIONS
EXPECTED. FUENTES


.REV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NV...NONE.
CA...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RENO (ALL LOWER CASE)












000
FXUS65 KREV 312052
AFDREV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
152 PM PDT SUN AUG 31 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
NEAR AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND.
TEMPERATURES WILL WARM A FEW DEGREES EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH SLIGHTLY
COOLER TEMPERATURES AND BREEZY CONDITIONS POSSIBLE BY THE MIDDLE
OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
SMOKE AND HAZE HAVE BEEN AFFECTING PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEVADA THIS
AFTERNOON. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY DOESN`T SHOW THE LOW LEVEL
SMOKE AND HAZE, BUT IT CAN BE SEEN ON LOCAL WEB CAMS, ESPECIALLY NEAR
PYRAMID LAKE. WE ALSO RECEIVED MULTIPLE PHONE CALLS AND REPORTS FROM
FACEBOOK. WITH NORTHERLY LOW LEVEL SURFACE WINDS, THE SMOKE IS
LIKELY COMING FROM FIRES IN NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AND OREGON. WINDS
SHOULD INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON ENOUGH TO CLEAR OUT THE HAZE IN THE
VALLEYS, SO WILL LEAVE SMOKE/HAZE OUT OF THE FORECAST.

DRY STABLE NORTHWEST FLOW ACROSS THE SIERRA AND WESTERN NEVADA WILL
MAINTAIN CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS THROUGH THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND.
TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL REMAIN SLIGHTLY COOLER WITH LOW LEVEL NORTH
FLOW IN PLACE BEFORE WEAK RIDGING BUILDS INTO THE REGION. WEAK
RIDGING WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO WARM A FEW DEGREES FOR LABOR DAY
AND THEN ON AGAIN ON TUESDAY. WINDS WILL BE PREDOMINANTLY UPSLOPE
DURING THE DAY AND DOWNSLOPE AT NIGHT WITH WIND SPEEDS AROUND 10 MPH
OR LESS. TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING A WEAK ZEPHYR WILL RESULT IN
STRONGER WEST WINDS, BUT WIND GUSTS 20 MPH OR LESS. ELW

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...
A BROAD TROUGHING PATTERN WILL BE PRESENT NEXT WEEK WHICH WILL KEEP
US IN A DRY PATTERN WITH SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. THIS WILL ALSO PROVIDE
COOLER CONDITIONS NEARER TO SEASONAL AVERAGES. ON WEDNESDAY, A
NORTHERLY SURFACE GRADIENT DEVELOPS PROVIDING NORTHERLY SURFACE
FLOW WHICH WILL PRODUCE ABOUT 5 DEGREES OF COOLING OVER TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. LIGHT NORTH TO NORTHEAST SURFACE GRADIENT WILL REMAIN
IN PLACE THROUGH THE WEEK WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES GENERALLY IN THE
MID TO UPPER 80S ACROSS WESTERN NEVADA AND MID TO UPPER 70S ACROSS
SIERRA VALLEYS. LITTLE TO NO CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION EXPECTED IN
THIS PATTERN WITH GENERALLY CLEAR CONDITIONS THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
FUENTES

.AVIATION...

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
INTO THE AREA. LIGHT AFTERNOON BREEZES AND CLEAR CONDITIONS
EXPECTED. FUENTES


.REV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NV...NONE.
CA...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RENO (ALL LOWER CASE)











000
FXUS65 KREV 310931
AFDREV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
231 AM PDT SUN AUG 31 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
NEAR AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND.
TEMPERATURES WILL WARM A FEW DEGREES EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH SLIGHTLY
COOLER TEMPERATURES AND BREEZY CONDITIONS POSSIBLE BY THE MIDDLE
OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...

A DRY AND STABLE AIR MASS WILL PROVIDE CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT
WINDS. LOW-LEVEL NORTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO BRING COOLER AIR
SOUTHWARD WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES TODAY 2-4 DEGREES LOWER
THAN YESTERDAY. THERE WILL BE RATHER WEAK RIDGING THROUGH LABOR
DAY, BUT WITH SUNNY DAYS AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL WARM A FEW
DEGREES MONDAY AND AGAIN ON TUESDAY. WINDS WILL BE QUITE LIGHT
AND TERRAIN DRIVEN THROUGH LABOR DAY, WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SPEEDS AROUND 10 MPH OR LESS. TUESDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING A WEAK
ZEPHYR WILL BRING SLIGHTLY STRONGER WEST WINDS, BUT PROBABLY NOT
MORE THAN 10-15 MPH SUSTAINED. JCM

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

MEDIUM RANGE MODELS ARE BRINGING A POSITIVELY TILTED TROUGH INTO THE
WEST COAST FOR THE SECOND HALF OF NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL KEEP DRY
SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER CA/NV WITH LITTLE TO NO CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
THROUGH THE EXTENDED. THE TROUGH WILL ALSO BRING PERIODS OF BREEZY
CONDITIONS AS THE TEMPERATURE AND PRESSURE GRADIENTS TIGHTEN UP FROM
WEST TO EAST. LOWERING HEIGHTS ALOFT WILL BRING A COOLING TREND FROM
WEDNESDAY THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND WITH TEMPERATURES AT OR SLIGHTLY
BELOW SEASONAL FOR EARLY SEPTEMBER. EXPECT PLEASANT LATE SUMMER
HIGHS IN THE MID 80S IN THE LOWER VALLEYS AND MID 70S IN THE SIERRA
VALLEYS. HOON

&&

.AVIATION...

LIGHTER WINDS ARE EXPECTED FOR TODAY AND MONDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS INTO THE AREA, ALONG WITH VFR CONDITIONS. HOON

&&

.REV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NV...NONE.
CA...NONE.

&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RENO (ALL LOWER CASE)









000
FXUS65 KREV 310931
AFDREV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
231 AM PDT SUN AUG 31 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
NEAR AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND.
TEMPERATURES WILL WARM A FEW DEGREES EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH SLIGHTLY
COOLER TEMPERATURES AND BREEZY CONDITIONS POSSIBLE BY THE MIDDLE
OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...

A DRY AND STABLE AIR MASS WILL PROVIDE CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT
WINDS. LOW-LEVEL NORTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO BRING COOLER AIR
SOUTHWARD WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES TODAY 2-4 DEGREES LOWER
THAN YESTERDAY. THERE WILL BE RATHER WEAK RIDGING THROUGH LABOR
DAY, BUT WITH SUNNY DAYS AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL WARM A FEW
DEGREES MONDAY AND AGAIN ON TUESDAY. WINDS WILL BE QUITE LIGHT
AND TERRAIN DRIVEN THROUGH LABOR DAY, WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SPEEDS AROUND 10 MPH OR LESS. TUESDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING A WEAK
ZEPHYR WILL BRING SLIGHTLY STRONGER WEST WINDS, BUT PROBABLY NOT
MORE THAN 10-15 MPH SUSTAINED. JCM

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

MEDIUM RANGE MODELS ARE BRINGING A POSITIVELY TILTED TROUGH INTO THE
WEST COAST FOR THE SECOND HALF OF NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL KEEP DRY
SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER CA/NV WITH LITTLE TO NO CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
THROUGH THE EXTENDED. THE TROUGH WILL ALSO BRING PERIODS OF BREEZY
CONDITIONS AS THE TEMPERATURE AND PRESSURE GRADIENTS TIGHTEN UP FROM
WEST TO EAST. LOWERING HEIGHTS ALOFT WILL BRING A COOLING TREND FROM
WEDNESDAY THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND WITH TEMPERATURES AT OR SLIGHTLY
BELOW SEASONAL FOR EARLY SEPTEMBER. EXPECT PLEASANT LATE SUMMER
HIGHS IN THE MID 80S IN THE LOWER VALLEYS AND MID 70S IN THE SIERRA
VALLEYS. HOON

&&

.AVIATION...

LIGHTER WINDS ARE EXPECTED FOR TODAY AND MONDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS INTO THE AREA, ALONG WITH VFR CONDITIONS. HOON

&&

.REV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NV...NONE.
CA...NONE.

&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RENO (ALL LOWER CASE)










000
FXUS65 KREV 310433
AFDREV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
933 PM PDT SAT AUG 30 2014

.UPDATE...
ALL RED FLAG WARNINGS AND LAKE WIND ADVISORIES HAVE BEEN CANCELLED.
WINDS ARE STILL A TAD ELEVATED (GUSTS 25 TO 30 MPH) IN ISOLATED
SPOTS, HOWEVER HUMIDITIES HAVE RISEN SUFFICIENTLY THAT THIS IS NO
LONGER A FIRE WEATHER CONCERN. SNYDER

&&

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE MOVING ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WILL CREATE DRY AND
BREEZY CONDITIONS THROUGH THIS EVENING. NEAR AVERAGE TEMPERATURES
ARE EXPECTED FOR THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM A FEW
DEGREES EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES AND
BREEZY CONDITIONS POSSIBLE BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 237 PM PDT SAT AUG 30 2014/

SHORT TERM...
A TIGHT SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT ALONG WITH AN EXITING UPPER
LEVEL JET WILL PRODUCE GUSTY WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS ACROSS THE
REGION THIS EVENING. WIND GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH WILL PRODUCE CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEVADA AND CHOPPY
WATERS ON AREA LAKES INCLUDING LAKE TAHOE AND PYRAMID LAKE. FOR
MORE DETAILS ON THE FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS, CHECK OUT THE FIRE
WEATHER DISCUSSION.

HIGH PRESSURE RETURNS ACROSS THE REGION AS THE LONGWAVE TROUGH
ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST MOVES ACROSS THE ROCKIES. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BRING LIGHT WINDS AND DRY CONDITIONS TO THE SIERRA AND WESTERN
NEVADA THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO INCREASE TO
NEAR NORMAL WITH RIDGING ACROSS THE REGION. ELW

LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...
A PERSISTENT DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION WITH
BROAD TROUGHING ACROSS THE WEST COAST. MODEL GUIDANCE IN GENERAL
CONSENSUS IN DEEPENING AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH LATE TUESDAY WITH THE
TROUGH REMAINING IN PLACE THROUGH THE START OF NEXT WEEKEND. THIS
WILL PROVIDE LITTLE POTENTIAL FOR PRECIPITATION AND WILL KEEP US IN
A COOLER PATTERN WITH PERIODS OF BREEZY WINDS. MOSTLY CLEAR
CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION AS A RATHER LARGE SWATH OF DRY
AIR ALOFT PUSHES ACROSS CENTRAL CALIFORNIA. OVERALL, TEMPERATURES
WILL REMAIN NEAR SEASONAL AVERAGES WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER
80S ACROSS WESTERN NEVADA AND MID TO UPPER 70S ACROSS SIERRA
VALLEYS. THE DRY AND CLEAR CONDITIONS WILL MAKE FOR EFFICIENT
COOLING ALLOWING FOR A FEW COLDER SIERRA VALLEYS TO REACH LOWS IN
THE 30S THROUGH NEXT WEEK. FUENTES

AVIATION...
GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH STRONGEST
WINDS FROM I-80 SOUTH INCLUDING KRNO/KCXP/KMMH WITH GUSTS 25-30KTS.
BLDU POSSIBLE AT KLOL/KNFL AND BURNING MAN AIRFIELD.

SOME LIGHT TO MODERATE MOUNTAIN WAVE TURBULENCE IS POSSIBLE ALONG
AND EAST OF THE SIERRA CREST THROUGH TONIGHT WITH THE STRONGER
WINDS ALOFT. LIGHTER WINDS SUNDAY AND MONDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS BACK INTO THE REGION. HOON/TF

FIRE WEATHER...
BREEZY AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING HOURS
TONIGHT WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF POOR TO MODERATE OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES.
AFTERNOON WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY HAVE REACHED CRITICAL
CONDITIONS ALONG THE SIERRA FRONT INTO CENTRAL NEVADA. THIS EVENT
HAS BEEN MORE ON THE MARGINAL SIDE EARLY SATURDAY, BUT IS BECOMING
MORE CONSISTENT THIS AFTERNOON ESPECIALLY ALONG THE NEVADA SIERRA
FRONT. WINDS ARE LACKING INTO THE NEVADA INTERIOR, BUT SHOULD PICK
UP LATE IN THE AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING. LOCALIZED
RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE APPARENT IN MONO COUNTY BUT THESE AREAS
SHOULD ONLY HIT SPORADICALLY THROUGH THE REST OF THE DAY.

RECOVERIES OVERNIGHT AND THE NEXT COUPLE OF NIGHTS WILL BE POOR TO
MODERATE AS DRY CONDITIONS LINGER. FORTUNATELY, WINDS WILL NOT BE
STRONG AND RED FLAGS WILL NOT BE A CONCERN. WILL CONTINUE TO WATCH
FOR THE POTENTIAL LATE THIS WEEK AS A POSITIVELY TILTED TROUGH
APPROACHES THE REGION. IF THIS TROUGH HOLDS TOGETHER, RED FLAG
CRITERIA COULD BE MET AGAIN ALONG THE SIERRA FRONT INTO THE SIERRA.
THIS TYPE OF TROUGH FAVORS RED FLAG CONDITIONS FOR THE TAHOE BASIN.
HOWEVER, THERE COULD BE A LOT OF VARIATION BETWEEN NOW AND THE END
OF THIS WEEK SO JUST MENTIONING AS AN OUTSIDE CHANCE FOR NOW. BOYD

&&

.REV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NV...NONE.
CA...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RENO (ALL LOWER CASE)







000
FXUS65 KREV 310433
AFDREV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
933 PM PDT SAT AUG 30 2014

.UPDATE...
ALL RED FLAG WARNINGS AND LAKE WIND ADVISORIES HAVE BEEN CANCELLED.
WINDS ARE STILL A TAD ELEVATED (GUSTS 25 TO 30 MPH) IN ISOLATED
SPOTS, HOWEVER HUMIDITIES HAVE RISEN SUFFICIENTLY THAT THIS IS NO
LONGER A FIRE WEATHER CONCERN. SNYDER

&&

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE MOVING ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WILL CREATE DRY AND
BREEZY CONDITIONS THROUGH THIS EVENING. NEAR AVERAGE TEMPERATURES
ARE EXPECTED FOR THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM A FEW
DEGREES EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES AND
BREEZY CONDITIONS POSSIBLE BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 237 PM PDT SAT AUG 30 2014/

SHORT TERM...
A TIGHT SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT ALONG WITH AN EXITING UPPER
LEVEL JET WILL PRODUCE GUSTY WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS ACROSS THE
REGION THIS EVENING. WIND GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH WILL PRODUCE CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEVADA AND CHOPPY
WATERS ON AREA LAKES INCLUDING LAKE TAHOE AND PYRAMID LAKE. FOR
MORE DETAILS ON THE FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS, CHECK OUT THE FIRE
WEATHER DISCUSSION.

HIGH PRESSURE RETURNS ACROSS THE REGION AS THE LONGWAVE TROUGH
ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST MOVES ACROSS THE ROCKIES. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BRING LIGHT WINDS AND DRY CONDITIONS TO THE SIERRA AND WESTERN
NEVADA THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO INCREASE TO
NEAR NORMAL WITH RIDGING ACROSS THE REGION. ELW

LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...
A PERSISTENT DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION WITH
BROAD TROUGHING ACROSS THE WEST COAST. MODEL GUIDANCE IN GENERAL
CONSENSUS IN DEEPENING AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH LATE TUESDAY WITH THE
TROUGH REMAINING IN PLACE THROUGH THE START OF NEXT WEEKEND. THIS
WILL PROVIDE LITTLE POTENTIAL FOR PRECIPITATION AND WILL KEEP US IN
A COOLER PATTERN WITH PERIODS OF BREEZY WINDS. MOSTLY CLEAR
CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION AS A RATHER LARGE SWATH OF DRY
AIR ALOFT PUSHES ACROSS CENTRAL CALIFORNIA. OVERALL, TEMPERATURES
WILL REMAIN NEAR SEASONAL AVERAGES WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER
80S ACROSS WESTERN NEVADA AND MID TO UPPER 70S ACROSS SIERRA
VALLEYS. THE DRY AND CLEAR CONDITIONS WILL MAKE FOR EFFICIENT
COOLING ALLOWING FOR A FEW COLDER SIERRA VALLEYS TO REACH LOWS IN
THE 30S THROUGH NEXT WEEK. FUENTES

AVIATION...
GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH STRONGEST
WINDS FROM I-80 SOUTH INCLUDING KRNO/KCXP/KMMH WITH GUSTS 25-30KTS.
BLDU POSSIBLE AT KLOL/KNFL AND BURNING MAN AIRFIELD.

SOME LIGHT TO MODERATE MOUNTAIN WAVE TURBULENCE IS POSSIBLE ALONG
AND EAST OF THE SIERRA CREST THROUGH TONIGHT WITH THE STRONGER
WINDS ALOFT. LIGHTER WINDS SUNDAY AND MONDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS BACK INTO THE REGION. HOON/TF

FIRE WEATHER...
BREEZY AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING HOURS
TONIGHT WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF POOR TO MODERATE OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES.
AFTERNOON WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY HAVE REACHED CRITICAL
CONDITIONS ALONG THE SIERRA FRONT INTO CENTRAL NEVADA. THIS EVENT
HAS BEEN MORE ON THE MARGINAL SIDE EARLY SATURDAY, BUT IS BECOMING
MORE CONSISTENT THIS AFTERNOON ESPECIALLY ALONG THE NEVADA SIERRA
FRONT. WINDS ARE LACKING INTO THE NEVADA INTERIOR, BUT SHOULD PICK
UP LATE IN THE AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING. LOCALIZED
RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE APPARENT IN MONO COUNTY BUT THESE AREAS
SHOULD ONLY HIT SPORADICALLY THROUGH THE REST OF THE DAY.

RECOVERIES OVERNIGHT AND THE NEXT COUPLE OF NIGHTS WILL BE POOR TO
MODERATE AS DRY CONDITIONS LINGER. FORTUNATELY, WINDS WILL NOT BE
STRONG AND RED FLAGS WILL NOT BE A CONCERN. WILL CONTINUE TO WATCH
FOR THE POTENTIAL LATE THIS WEEK AS A POSITIVELY TILTED TROUGH
APPROACHES THE REGION. IF THIS TROUGH HOLDS TOGETHER, RED FLAG
CRITERIA COULD BE MET AGAIN ALONG THE SIERRA FRONT INTO THE SIERRA.
THIS TYPE OF TROUGH FAVORS RED FLAG CONDITIONS FOR THE TAHOE BASIN.
HOWEVER, THERE COULD BE A LOT OF VARIATION BETWEEN NOW AND THE END
OF THIS WEEK SO JUST MENTIONING AS AN OUTSIDE CHANCE FOR NOW. BOYD

&&

.REV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NV...NONE.
CA...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RENO (ALL LOWER CASE)








000
FXUS65 KREV 302137
AFDREV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
237 PM PDT SAT AUG 30 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE MOVING ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WILL CREATE DRY AND
BREEZY CONDITIONS THROUGH THIS EVENING. NEAR AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED FOR THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM A FEW
DEGREES EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES AND BREEZY
CONDITIONS POSSIBLE BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
A TIGHT SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT ALONG WITH AN EXITING UPPER LEVEL
JET WILL PRODUCE GUSTY WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS ACROSS THE REGION
THIS EVENING. WIND GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH WILL PRODUCE CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEVADA AND CHOPPY
WATERS ON AREA LAKES INCLUDING LAKE TAHOE AND PYRAMID LAKE. FOR
MORE DETAILS ON THE FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS, CHECK OUT THE FIRE
WEATHER DISCUSSION.

HIGH PRESSURE RETURNS ACROSS THE REGION AS THE LONGWAVE TROUGH
ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST MOVES ACROSS THE ROCKIES. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BRING LIGHT WINDS AND DRY CONDITIONS TO THE SIERRA AND WESTERN
NEVADA THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO INCREASE TO
NEAR NORMAL WITH RIDGING ACROSS THE REGION. ELW

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...
A PERSISTENT DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION WITH
BROAD TROUGHING ACROSS THE WEST COAST. MODEL GUIDANCE IN GENERAL
CONSENSUS IN DEEPENING AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH LATE TUESDAY WITH THE
TROUGH REMAINING IN PLACE THROUGH THE START OF NEXT WEEKEND. THIS
WILL PROVIDE LITTLE POTENTIAL FOR PRECIPITATION AND WILL KEEP US IN
A COOLER PATTERN WITH PERIODS OF BREEZY WINDS. MOSTLY CLEAR
CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION AS A RATHER LARGE SWATH OF DRY
AIR ALOFT PUSHES ACROSS CENTRAL CALIFORNIA. OVERALL, TEMPERATURES
WILL REMAIN NEAR SEASONAL AVERAGES WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER
80S ACROSS WESTERN NEVADA AND MID TO UPPER 70S ACROSS SIERRA
VALLEYS. THE DRY AND CLEAR CONDITIONS WILL MAKE FOR EFFICIENT
COOLING ALLOWING FOR A FEW COLDER SIERRA VALLEYS TO REACH LOWS IN
THE 30S THROUGH NEXT WEEK. FUENTES

&&

.AVIATION...
GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH STRONGEST
WINDS FROM I-80 SOUTH INCLUDING KRNO/KCXP/KMMH WITH GUSTS 25-30KTS.
BLDU POSSIBLE AT KLOL/KNFL AND BURNING MAN AIRFIELD.

SOME LIGHT TO MODERATE MOUNTAIN WAVE TURBULENCE IS POSSIBLE ALONG
AND EAST OF THE SIERRA CREST THROUGH TONIGHT WITH THE STRONGER
WINDS ALOFT. LIGHTER WINDS SUNDAY AND MONDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS BACK INTO THE REGION. HOON/TF

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
BREEZY AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING HOURS
TONIGHT WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF POOR TO MODERATE OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES.
AFTERNOON WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY HAVE REACHED CRITICAL
CONDITIONS ALONG THE SIERRA FRONT INTO CENTRAL NEVADA. THIS EVENT
HAS BEEN MORE ON THE MARGINAL SIDE EARLY SATURDAY, BUT IS BECOMING
MORE CONSISTENT THIS AFTERNOON ESPECIALLY ALONG THE NEVADA SIERRA
FRONT. WINDS ARE LACKING INTO THE NEVADA INTERIOR, BUT SHOULD PICK
UP LATE IN THE AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING. LOCALIZED
RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE APPARENT IN MONO COUNTY BUT THESE AREAS
SHOULD ONLY HIT SPORADICALLY THROUGH THE REST OF THE DAY.

RECOVERIES OVERNIGHT AND THE NEXT COUPLE OF NIGHTS WILL BE POOR TO
MODERATE AS DRY CONDITIONS LINGER. FORTUNATELY, WINDS WILL NOT BE
STRONG AND RED FLAGS WILL NOT BE A CONCERN. WILL CONTINUE TO WATCH
FOR THE POTENTIAL LATE THIS WEEK AS A POSITIVELY TILTED TROUGH
APPROACHES THE REGION. IF THIS TROUGH HOLDS TOGETHER, RED FLAG
CRITERIA COULD BE MET AGAIN ALONG THE SIERRA FRONT INTO THE SIERRA.
THIS TYPE OF TROUGH FAVORS RED FLAG CONDITIONS FOR THE TAHOE BASIN.
HOWEVER, THERE COULD BE A LOT OF VARIATION BETWEEN NOW AND THE END
OF THIS WEEK SO JUST MENTIONING AS AN OUTSIDE CHANCE FOR NOW. BOYD

&&

.REV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NV...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 10 PM PDT THIS EVENING NVZ450-453-459.

     LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM PDT THIS EVENING NVZ004.

     LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM PDT THIS EVENING NVZ002.

     LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM PDT THIS EVENING NVZ001.

CA...LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM PDT THIS EVENING CAZ072.

&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RENO (ALL LOWER CASE)













000
FXUS65 KREV 302137
AFDREV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
237 PM PDT SAT AUG 30 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE MOVING ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WILL CREATE DRY AND
BREEZY CONDITIONS THROUGH THIS EVENING. NEAR AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED FOR THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM A FEW
DEGREES EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES AND BREEZY
CONDITIONS POSSIBLE BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
A TIGHT SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT ALONG WITH AN EXITING UPPER LEVEL
JET WILL PRODUCE GUSTY WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS ACROSS THE REGION
THIS EVENING. WIND GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH WILL PRODUCE CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEVADA AND CHOPPY
WATERS ON AREA LAKES INCLUDING LAKE TAHOE AND PYRAMID LAKE. FOR
MORE DETAILS ON THE FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS, CHECK OUT THE FIRE
WEATHER DISCUSSION.

HIGH PRESSURE RETURNS ACROSS THE REGION AS THE LONGWAVE TROUGH
ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST MOVES ACROSS THE ROCKIES. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BRING LIGHT WINDS AND DRY CONDITIONS TO THE SIERRA AND WESTERN
NEVADA THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO INCREASE TO
NEAR NORMAL WITH RIDGING ACROSS THE REGION. ELW

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...
A PERSISTENT DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION WITH
BROAD TROUGHING ACROSS THE WEST COAST. MODEL GUIDANCE IN GENERAL
CONSENSUS IN DEEPENING AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH LATE TUESDAY WITH THE
TROUGH REMAINING IN PLACE THROUGH THE START OF NEXT WEEKEND. THIS
WILL PROVIDE LITTLE POTENTIAL FOR PRECIPITATION AND WILL KEEP US IN
A COOLER PATTERN WITH PERIODS OF BREEZY WINDS. MOSTLY CLEAR
CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION AS A RATHER LARGE SWATH OF DRY
AIR ALOFT PUSHES ACROSS CENTRAL CALIFORNIA. OVERALL, TEMPERATURES
WILL REMAIN NEAR SEASONAL AVERAGES WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER
80S ACROSS WESTERN NEVADA AND MID TO UPPER 70S ACROSS SIERRA
VALLEYS. THE DRY AND CLEAR CONDITIONS WILL MAKE FOR EFFICIENT
COOLING ALLOWING FOR A FEW COLDER SIERRA VALLEYS TO REACH LOWS IN
THE 30S THROUGH NEXT WEEK. FUENTES

&&

.AVIATION...
GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH STRONGEST
WINDS FROM I-80 SOUTH INCLUDING KRNO/KCXP/KMMH WITH GUSTS 25-30KTS.
BLDU POSSIBLE AT KLOL/KNFL AND BURNING MAN AIRFIELD.

SOME LIGHT TO MODERATE MOUNTAIN WAVE TURBULENCE IS POSSIBLE ALONG
AND EAST OF THE SIERRA CREST THROUGH TONIGHT WITH THE STRONGER
WINDS ALOFT. LIGHTER WINDS SUNDAY AND MONDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS BACK INTO THE REGION. HOON/TF

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
BREEZY AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING HOURS
TONIGHT WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF POOR TO MODERATE OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES.
AFTERNOON WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY HAVE REACHED CRITICAL
CONDITIONS ALONG THE SIERRA FRONT INTO CENTRAL NEVADA. THIS EVENT
HAS BEEN MORE ON THE MARGINAL SIDE EARLY SATURDAY, BUT IS BECOMING
MORE CONSISTENT THIS AFTERNOON ESPECIALLY ALONG THE NEVADA SIERRA
FRONT. WINDS ARE LACKING INTO THE NEVADA INTERIOR, BUT SHOULD PICK
UP LATE IN THE AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING. LOCALIZED
RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE APPARENT IN MONO COUNTY BUT THESE AREAS
SHOULD ONLY HIT SPORADICALLY THROUGH THE REST OF THE DAY.

RECOVERIES OVERNIGHT AND THE NEXT COUPLE OF NIGHTS WILL BE POOR TO
MODERATE AS DRY CONDITIONS LINGER. FORTUNATELY, WINDS WILL NOT BE
STRONG AND RED FLAGS WILL NOT BE A CONCERN. WILL CONTINUE TO WATCH
FOR THE POTENTIAL LATE THIS WEEK AS A POSITIVELY TILTED TROUGH
APPROACHES THE REGION. IF THIS TROUGH HOLDS TOGETHER, RED FLAG
CRITERIA COULD BE MET AGAIN ALONG THE SIERRA FRONT INTO THE SIERRA.
THIS TYPE OF TROUGH FAVORS RED FLAG CONDITIONS FOR THE TAHOE BASIN.
HOWEVER, THERE COULD BE A LOT OF VARIATION BETWEEN NOW AND THE END
OF THIS WEEK SO JUST MENTIONING AS AN OUTSIDE CHANCE FOR NOW. BOYD

&&

.REV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NV...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 10 PM PDT THIS EVENING NVZ450-453-459.

     LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM PDT THIS EVENING NVZ004.

     LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM PDT THIS EVENING NVZ002.

     LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM PDT THIS EVENING NVZ001.

CA...LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM PDT THIS EVENING CAZ072.

&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RENO (ALL LOWER CASE)














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