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000
FXUS66 KSGX 102120
AFDSGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
120 PM PST WED FEB 10 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
FAIR AND UNSEASONABLY WARM WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH NEXT
TUESDAY UNDER A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE AND WEAK OFFSHORE FLOW.
BY NEXT WEDNESDAY...THE RIDGE WILL WEAKEN AND ONSHORE FLOW
RETURNS...RESULTING IN DECREASING TEMPERATURES AS LOW PRESSURE
APPROACHES FROM THE PACIFIC.

&&

.DISCUSSION...FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA INCLUDING ORANGE...
SAN DIEGO...WESTERN RIVERSIDE AND SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO
COUNTIES...

VISIBLE SATELLITE THIS MORNING SHOWS A BAND OF HIGH CLOUDS MOVING
ACROSS THE REGION FROM THE WEST. MEANWHILE...WATER VAPOR SATELLITE
INDICATES AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHWEST...AND A LARGE LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS. OFFSHORE PRESSURE
GRADIENTS ARE CURRENTLY AT 10.3 MB FROM SAN DIEGO TO TONOPAH...AND
15.1 MB FROM SAN DIEGO TO SALT LAKE CITY...WHEREAS THE GRADIENTS
WERE 12.0 MB AND 16.1 MB 24 HOURS AGO RESPECTIVELY. THIS SHOWS THAT
OFFSHORE FLOW IS CONTINUING TO WEAKEN. RIGHT NOW...THERE ARE LIGHT
OFFSHORE BREEZES ACROSS THE AREA...WITH 20-30 MPH GUSTS IN THE
COASTAL FOOTHILLS CURRENTLY...BUT THERE ARE NO WINDS STRONGER THAN
THAT. WITH THE CONTINUED RIDGE AND OFFSHORE FLOW...IT IS ALREADY
PROVING TO BE ANOTHER DAY OF RECORD WARMTH...AS SAN DIEGO
INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT AND SANTA ANA HAVE BROKEN THEIR DAILY RECORDS
WITH TEMPERATURES OF 83 AND 88 RESPECTIVELY. STILL EXPECTING DAY-
TIME HIGHS TODAY IN THE UPPER 80S AND LOCALLY IN THE LOW 90S IN THE
INLAND COASTAL AREAS...THE VALLEYS...AND LOWER DESERTS...MID TO HIGH
70S AT THE BEACHES...70S IN THE LOWER MOUNTAIN SLOPES AND THE HIGH
DESERTS...AND 60S IN THE HIGH ELEVATIONS.

THE RIDGE ALOFT WILL WEAKEN SLOWLY THROUGH SATURDAY AS A TROUGH
MOVES INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST...WHILE WEAK OFFSHORE FLOW
CONTINUES. THUS...THERE WILL LIKELY BE SLIGHT COOLING THROUGH THE
NEXT FEW DAYS...BUT IT WILL STILL BE PRETTY WARM...WITH DAY-TIME
HIGHS 10-20 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. RIDGING WILL THEN REBUILD OVER
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...WITH OFFSHORE FLOW
STRENGTHENING A LITTLE SUNDAY AND MONDAY...PRODUCING NORTHEAST TO
EAST GUSTS OF 35-45 MPH IN THE COASTAL FOOTHILLS AND PASSES/CANYONS
AT TIMES. THUS...WE WILL SEE ANOTHER WARM-UP SUNDAY INTO
TUESDAY...WITH HIGHS REACHING VALUES SIMILAR TO WHAT WE WILL LIKELY
EXPERIENCE TODAY. IN FACT...MORE RECORDS MAY BE BROKEN NEXT MONDAY
AND TUESDAY. SKIES WILL BE MOSTLY CLEAR...EXCEPT FOR PASSING
HIGH CLOUDS FROM TIME TO TIME.

LONG-RANGE MODELS INDICATE A TROUGH MOVING INTO THE WEST COAST MID
TO LATE NEXT WEEK...BRINGING A RETURN OF ONSHORE FLOW...COOLING...A
RETURN OF THE MARINE LAYER AND POSSIBLY SOME PRECIPITATION.

&&

.AVIATION...
101600Z...FEW-SCT CLOUDS AOA 20000 FT MSL AND UNRESTRICTED VIS THROUGH
THURSDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
100 PM...NO HAZARDOUS MARINE WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY.

&&

.BEACHES...
100 PM...A LONG-PERIOD SWELL FROM 290 DEGREES ARRIVING LATE THURSDAY
AND PEAKING FRIDAY AT 9 FT/18 SEC WILL GENERATE ELEVATED SURF AND
STRONG RIP CURRENTS FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. SWELL AND SURF WILL SUBSIDE
ON SUNDAY.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
LIGHT OFFSHORE WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS...ALTHOUGH SUNDAY AND MONDAY WILL HAVE A LITTLE STRONGER
OFFSHORE WINDS. THE OFFSHORE FLOW WILL COMBINE WITH VERY WARM
CONDITIONS AND MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO
TEENS TO CREATE ELEVATED FIRE DANGER. EVEN THOUGH FUELS HAVE BEEN
DRYING THE LAST FEW DAYS...THE WINDS WILL NOT BE STRONG...SO THE
ISSUANCE OF FIRE WEATHER PRODUCTS IS NOT EXPECTED.

&&

.SKYWARN...
SKYWARN ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED. HOWEVER WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE
ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS.

&&

.SGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...NONE.
PZ...NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC/FIRE WEATHER...HARRISON
AVIATION/MARINE/BEACHES...TS





000
FXUS66 KSGX 101710
AFDSGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
910 AM PST WED FEB 10 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
IT WILL BE FAIR AND UNSEASONABLY WARM THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY UNDER A
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE AND WEAK OFFSHORE FLOW. BY NEXT
WEDNESDAY...THE RIDGE WILL WEAKEN AND ONSHORE FLOW
RETURNS...RESULTING IN DECREASING TEMPERATURES AS LOW PRESSURE
APPROACHES FROM THE PACIFIC.

&&

.DISCUSSION...FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA INCLUDING ORANGE...
SAN DIEGO...WESTERN RIVERSIDE AND SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO
COUNTIES...

VISIBLE SATELLITE THIS MORNING SHOWS A BAND OF HIGH CLOUDS MOVING
ACROSS THE REGION FROM THE WEST. MEANWHILE...WATER VAPOR SATELLITE
INDICATES AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHWEST...AND A LARGE LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS. OFFSHORE PRESSURE
GRADIENTS ARE CURRENTLY AT 11 MB FROM SAN DIEGO TO TONOPAH...AND
13.5 MB FROM SAN DIEGO TO SALT LAKE CITY...WHEREAS THE GRADIENTS
WERE 13.5 MB AND 17.4 MB 24 HOURS AGO RESPECTIVELY. THIS SHOWS THAT
OFFSHORE FLOW IS CONTINUING TO WEAKEN. RIGHT NOW...THERE ARE LIGHT
OFFSHORE BREEZES ACROSS THE AREA...WITH 20-30 MPH GUSTS IN THE
COASTAL FOOTHILLS CURRENTLY...BUT THERE ARE NO WINDS STRONGER THAN
THAT. WITH THE CONTINUED RIDGE AND OFFSHORE FLOW...IT WILL BE
ANOTHER RECORD BREAKING DAY OF WARMTH...WITH DAY-TIME HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 80S AND LOCALLY IN THE LOW 90S IN THE INLAND COASTAL
AREAS...THE VALLEYS...AND LOWER DESERTS...MID TO HIGH 70S AT THE
BEACHES...70S IN THE LOWER MOUNTAIN SLOPES AND THE HIGH
DESERTS...AND 60S IN THE HIGH ELEVATIONS.

THE RIDGE ALOFT WILL WEAKEN SLOWLY THROUGH SATURDAY AS A TROUGH
MOVES INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST...WHILE WEAK OFFSHORE FLOW
CONTINUES. THUS...THERE WILL LIKELY BE SLIGHT COOLING THROUGH THE
NEXT FEW DAYS...BUT IT WILL STILL BE PRETTY WARM...WITH DAY-TIME
HIGHS 10-20 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. RIDGING WILL THEN REBUILD OVER
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...WITH OFFSHORE FLOW
STRENGTHENING A LITTLE SUNDAY AND MONDAY...PRODUCING NORTHEAST TO
EAST GUSTS OF 35-45 MPH IN THE COASTAL FOOTHILLS AND PASSES/CANYONS
AT TIMES. THUS...WE WILL SEE ANOTHER WARM-UP SUNDAY INTO
TUESDAY...WITH HIGHS REACHING VALUES SIMILAR TO WHAT WE WILL LIKELY
EXPERIENCE TODAY. SKIES WILL BE MOSTLY CLEAR...EXCEPT FOR PASSING
HIGH CLOUDS FROM TIME TO TIME.

LONG-RANGE MODELS INDICATE A TROUGH MOVING INTO THE WEST COAST MID
TO LATE NEXT WEEK...BRINGING A RETURN OF ONSHORE FLOW...COOLING...A
RETURN OF THE MARINE LAYER AND POSSIBLY SOME PRECIPITATION.

&&

.AVIATION...
101600Z...FEW CLOUDS AOA 20000 FT MSL AND UNRESTRICTED VIS THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING.

&&

.MARINE...
800 AM...NO HAZARDOUS MARINE WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY.

&&

.BEACHES...
800 AM...A LONG-PERIOD SWELL FROM 290 DEGREES ARRIVING LATE THURSDAY
AND PEAKING FRIDAY AT 9 FT/18 SEC WILL GENERATE ELEVATED SURF AND
STRONG RIP CURRENTS FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. SWELL AND SURF WILL SUBSIDE
ON SUNDAY.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
LIGHT OFFSHORE WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS...ALTHOUGH SUNDAY AND MONDAY WILL HAVE A LITTLE STRONGER
OFFSHORE WINDS. THE OFFSHORE FLOW WILL COMBINE WITH VERY WARM
CONDITIONS AND MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO
TEENS TO CREATE ELEVATED FIRE DANGER. EVEN THOUGH FUELS HAVE BEEN
DRYING THE LAST FEW DAYS...THE WINDS WILL NOT BE STRONG...SO THE
ISSUANCE OF FIRE WEATHER PRODUCTS IS NOT EXPECTED.

&&

.SKYWARN...
SKYWARN ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED. HOWEVER WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE
ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS.

&&

.SGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...NONE.
PZ...NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC/FIRE WEATHER...HARRISON
AVIATION/MARINE/BEACHES...TS





000
FXUS66 KSGX 101710
AFDSGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
910 AM PST WED FEB 10 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
IT WILL BE FAIR AND UNSEASONABLY WARM THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY UNDER A
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE AND WEAK OFFSHORE FLOW. BY NEXT
WEDNESDAY...THE RIDGE WILL WEAKEN AND ONSHORE FLOW
RETURNS...RESULTING IN DECREASING TEMPERATURES AS LOW PRESSURE
APPROACHES FROM THE PACIFIC.

&&

.DISCUSSION...FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA INCLUDING ORANGE...
SAN DIEGO...WESTERN RIVERSIDE AND SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO
COUNTIES...

VISIBLE SATELLITE THIS MORNING SHOWS A BAND OF HIGH CLOUDS MOVING
ACROSS THE REGION FROM THE WEST. MEANWHILE...WATER VAPOR SATELLITE
INDICATES AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHWEST...AND A LARGE LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS. OFFSHORE PRESSURE
GRADIENTS ARE CURRENTLY AT 11 MB FROM SAN DIEGO TO TONOPAH...AND
13.5 MB FROM SAN DIEGO TO SALT LAKE CITY...WHEREAS THE GRADIENTS
WERE 13.5 MB AND 17.4 MB 24 HOURS AGO RESPECTIVELY. THIS SHOWS THAT
OFFSHORE FLOW IS CONTINUING TO WEAKEN. RIGHT NOW...THERE ARE LIGHT
OFFSHORE BREEZES ACROSS THE AREA...WITH 20-30 MPH GUSTS IN THE
COASTAL FOOTHILLS CURRENTLY...BUT THERE ARE NO WINDS STRONGER THAN
THAT. WITH THE CONTINUED RIDGE AND OFFSHORE FLOW...IT WILL BE
ANOTHER RECORD BREAKING DAY OF WARMTH...WITH DAY-TIME HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 80S AND LOCALLY IN THE LOW 90S IN THE INLAND COASTAL
AREAS...THE VALLEYS...AND LOWER DESERTS...MID TO HIGH 70S AT THE
BEACHES...70S IN THE LOWER MOUNTAIN SLOPES AND THE HIGH
DESERTS...AND 60S IN THE HIGH ELEVATIONS.

THE RIDGE ALOFT WILL WEAKEN SLOWLY THROUGH SATURDAY AS A TROUGH
MOVES INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST...WHILE WEAK OFFSHORE FLOW
CONTINUES. THUS...THERE WILL LIKELY BE SLIGHT COOLING THROUGH THE
NEXT FEW DAYS...BUT IT WILL STILL BE PRETTY WARM...WITH DAY-TIME
HIGHS 10-20 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. RIDGING WILL THEN REBUILD OVER
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...WITH OFFSHORE FLOW
STRENGTHENING A LITTLE SUNDAY AND MONDAY...PRODUCING NORTHEAST TO
EAST GUSTS OF 35-45 MPH IN THE COASTAL FOOTHILLS AND PASSES/CANYONS
AT TIMES. THUS...WE WILL SEE ANOTHER WARM-UP SUNDAY INTO
TUESDAY...WITH HIGHS REACHING VALUES SIMILAR TO WHAT WE WILL LIKELY
EXPERIENCE TODAY. SKIES WILL BE MOSTLY CLEAR...EXCEPT FOR PASSING
HIGH CLOUDS FROM TIME TO TIME.

LONG-RANGE MODELS INDICATE A TROUGH MOVING INTO THE WEST COAST MID
TO LATE NEXT WEEK...BRINGING A RETURN OF ONSHORE FLOW...COOLING...A
RETURN OF THE MARINE LAYER AND POSSIBLY SOME PRECIPITATION.

&&

.AVIATION...
101600Z...FEW CLOUDS AOA 20000 FT MSL AND UNRESTRICTED VIS THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING.

&&

.MARINE...
800 AM...NO HAZARDOUS MARINE WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY.

&&

.BEACHES...
800 AM...A LONG-PERIOD SWELL FROM 290 DEGREES ARRIVING LATE THURSDAY
AND PEAKING FRIDAY AT 9 FT/18 SEC WILL GENERATE ELEVATED SURF AND
STRONG RIP CURRENTS FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. SWELL AND SURF WILL SUBSIDE
ON SUNDAY.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
LIGHT OFFSHORE WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS...ALTHOUGH SUNDAY AND MONDAY WILL HAVE A LITTLE STRONGER
OFFSHORE WINDS. THE OFFSHORE FLOW WILL COMBINE WITH VERY WARM
CONDITIONS AND MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO
TEENS TO CREATE ELEVATED FIRE DANGER. EVEN THOUGH FUELS HAVE BEEN
DRYING THE LAST FEW DAYS...THE WINDS WILL NOT BE STRONG...SO THE
ISSUANCE OF FIRE WEATHER PRODUCTS IS NOT EXPECTED.

&&

.SKYWARN...
SKYWARN ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED. HOWEVER WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE
ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS.

&&

.SGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...NONE.
PZ...NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC/FIRE WEATHER...HARRISON
AVIATION/MARINE/BEACHES...TS





000
FXUS66 KSGX 101029
AFDSGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
230 AM PST WED FEB 10 2016

.SYNOPSIS...

IT WILL BE FAIR AND UNSEASONABLY WARM THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK UNDER
A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE. BY TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NEXT WEEK THE
RIDGE WILL WEAKEN AND TEMPERATURES WILL DECREASE AS LOW PRESSURE
APPROACHES FROM THE PACIFIC.

&&

.DISCUSSION...FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA INCLUDING ORANGE...
SAN DIEGO...WESTERN RIVERSIDE AND SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO
COUNTIES...

A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL CONTINUE OVER CALIFORNIA FOR MOST OF THE
COMING WEEK. THE OFFSHORE FLOW AND ASSOCIATED FOOTHILL BREEZES WILL
BE DIMINISHED THE NEXT FEW MORNINGS...BUT THE WARM AND DRY AIR MASS
WILL REMAIN IN PLACE. ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY THE FLOW TURNS ONSHORE
BRIEFLY AS A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE RIDES OVER THE RIDGE TO THE
NORTH. AS A RESULT...SATURDAY WILL BE SLIGHTLY COOLER AND A TOUCH
MORE HUMID NEAR THE COAST. THE RIDGE REBOUNDS SUNDAY AND MONDAY AND
SO DOES THE OFFSHORE FLOW. NORTHEAST FOOTHILL WINDS WILL DEVELOP
ONCE AGAIN...BUT DO NOT APPEAR AS STRONG AS THEY WERE EARLIER THIS
WEEK. TEMPERATURES IN OUR REGION WILL CONTINUE WAY ABOVE AVERAGE FOR
THIS COMING WEEK AND PROBABLY RECORDING THE HIGHEST IN THE NATION.
MAX TEMPS WILL FLIRT WITH A FEW DAILY RECORDS TODAY...THURSDAY AND
MONDAY. THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE SEEMS TO BREAK DOWN MORE
CONVINCINGLY DURING THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. A GENERAL TROUGH
PATTERN SEEMS TO SET UP OFF THE COAST. IT REACHES DOWN INTO THE
SUBTROPICS TO DRAW MOISTURE INTO THE REGION WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.
MODEL GUIDANCE SOLUTIONS ARE FRAUGHT WITH INCONSISTENCY...BUT WE
HAVE SEEN SEVERAL MODEL RUNS NOW THAT PAINT SOME SORT OF RAIN OVER
THE SOUTHWEST U.S. THOSE DAYS. ACCORDINGLY...WE HAVE A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS ENTERING THE FORECAST WINDOW NEXT WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...

100935Z... MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND UNRESTRICTED VIS THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING.

&&

.MARINE...

140 AM...NO HAZARDOUS MARINE WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY.

&&

.BEACHES...

140 AM...A LONG-PERIOD SWELL FROM 290 DEGREES ARRIVING LATE THURSDAY
AND PEAKING FRIDAY AT 9 FT/18 SEC WILL GENERATE ELEVATED SURF AND
STRONG RIP CURRENTS FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. SWELL AND SURF WILL SUBSIDE
ON SUNDAY.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

AREAS OF EASTERLY WINDS WITH ISOLATED GUSTS TO 25 MPH WILL CONTINUE
MAINLY IN FOOTHILLS THIS MORNING BEFORE DIMINISHING BY AFTERNOON.
THIS WILL COMBINE WITH NEAR RECORD TEMPERATURES AND VERY LOW RH
VALUES OF AROUND TEN PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL KEEP OUR
WILDFIRE POTENTIAL RATHER HIGH FOR SEVERAL HOURS...BUT NOT AS HIGH
AS ON TUESDAY WHEN WIND WAS MORE OF A FACTOR. WARM AND DRY WEATHER
WILL CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEK BUT WITHOUT STRONG WINDS.

EVEN THOUGH FUELS HAVE BEEN DRYING THE LAST FEW DAYS...THE WINDS
WILL NOT BE STRONG...SO THE ISSUANCE OF FIRE WEATHER PRODUCTS IS NOT
EXPECTED.

&&

.SKYWARN...

SKYWARN ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED. HOWEVER WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE
ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS.

&&

.SGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...NONE.
PZ...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC/FIRE WEATHER...MM
AVIATION/MARINE/BEACHES...SS





000
FXUS66 KSGX 100510
AFDSGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
909 PM PST TUE FEB 9 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
CLEAR AND UNSEASONABLY WARM THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK UNDER A
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE ALOFT. THE RIDGE WILL WEAKEN AS LOW
PRESSURE APPROACHES FROM THE PACIFIC BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING ONSHORE FLOW...COOLING...AND OUR NEXT CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA INCLUDING ORANGE...
SAN DIEGO...WESTERN RIVERSIDE AND SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO
COUNTIES...

SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWED PATCHY HIGH CLOUDS OVER SOCAL THIS EVENING.
THE WINDS HAD DROPPED OFF TO AROUND 15 TO 25 MPH...WITH A FEW HIGHER
GUSTS ON THE WINDIEST COASTAL SLOPES AND BELOW THE SAN GORGONIO PASS
EVEN THOUGH THE SFC PRESSURE GRADIENT WAS STILL A HEALTHY 13 MBS
OFFSHORE FROM TONOPAH. THE 00Z MIRAMAR SOUNDING STILL SHOWED SLIGHT
WARMING COMPARED TO YESTERDAY EVENING...BUT THE LOW-LEVEL EASTERLY
WINDS HAD DECREASED CONSIDERABLY. AT 8 PM PST...TEMPERATURES WEST OF
THE MTS RANGED FROM THE 60S TO MID 70S. DEWPOINTS WERE CREEPING UP
ALONG THE COAST FROM THE 30S INTO THE 40S LOCALLY.

NUMEROUS RECORD MAX TEMPS WERE BROKEN TODAY ACROSS THE REGION WITH
MANY AREAS CRACKING THE 90 DEGREE MARK. TOMORROW LOOKS SIMILAR UNDER
SUNNY SKIES.

EVEN THOUGH THE MEGA RIDGE ALOFT IS DEFLATING...500H AND THICKNESS
OVER CA WILL REMAIN ANOMALOUSLY HIGH FOR MID FEBRUARY. THE SURFACE
HIGH OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST WILL CONTINUE NEAR 1030 MBS THROUGH
THU MORNING...BEFORE WEAKENING. THIS WILL FAVOR AT LEAST WEAK
OFFSHORE FLOW MOST AREAS AND VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY. BY FRI...A
WEAK TROUGH WILL BE POISED OFF THE COAST...READY TO ADVANCE INLAND
AND WEAKEN DURING THE COMING WEEKEND. THIS SHOULD BRING A PERIOD OF
ONSHORE FLOW AND SLIGHTLY HIGHER HUMIDITY BEFORE HIGH PRESSURE
REBUILDS ALOFT...AND AT THE SURFACE OVER THE GREAT BASIN FOR MORE
WARM AND DRY WEATHER EARLY NEXT WEEK.

AFTER ABOUT TUE...THE RIDGE MOVES EAST AND THE OUTLOOK MUDDIES AS A
COMPLEX TROUGH DEVELOPS OVER THE FAR EASTPAC AND SLIDES INTO CA
AROUND MIDWEEK. MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE HAS COME UP WITH A WIDE
RANGE OF SOLUTIONS TRYING TO PIECE TOGETHER THE ARRIVAL AND INTENSITY
OF THIS SYSTEM...BUT MOST SOLUTIONS HAVE A TROUGH CAPABLE OF AT
LEAST SOME LIGHT PRECIP WED/THU TIME FRAME. GIVEN THAT...AND
CLIMATOLOGY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IS WARRANTED AND HAS BEEN
INTRODUCED AT THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD UNTIL WE GET A CLEARER
PICTURE OF THE POTENTIAL.

&&

.AVIATION...
100430Z...CLEAR SKIES AND UNRESTRICTED VIS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
830 PM...NO HAZARDOUS MARINE WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS ARE STILL
LIKELY THROUGH AND BELOW THE PASSES AND CANYONS...AND ALONG THE
COASTAL MOUNTAIN SLOPES AND FOOTHILLS THROUGH MIDDAY WED. THIS...
COMBINED WITH WELL ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES AND VERY LOW MIN RH
VALUES OF AROUND TEN PERCENT WED AFTERNOON...WILL CONTINUE AN
ELEVATED WILDFIRE THREAT FOR SEVERAL HOURS...BUT NOT AS HIGH AS ON
TUESDAY WHEN WIND WAS MORE OF A FACTOR. DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL
CONTINUE WELL ABOVE AVERAGE UNTIL THE WEEKEND WHEN MODEST COOLING IS
EXPECTED WITH A BRIEF ONSHORE PUSH. THE DRY AND WARM WEATHER WILL
CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEK.

EVEN THOUGH FUELS HAVE BEEN DRYING AFTER DAYS OF FULL SUN...VERY LOW
RH...AND GUSTY WINDS IN MANY AREAS...THE WINDS ARE DROPPING OFF...SO
THE ISSUANCE OF FIRE WEATHER PRODUCTS IS NOT EXPECTED.

&&

.SKYWARN...
SKYWARN ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED ON WEDNESDAY.

&&

.SGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...NONE.
PZ...NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC/FIRE WEATHER...JAD
AVIATION/MARINE...MAXWELL




000
FXUS66 KSGX 100510
AFDSGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
909 PM PST TUE FEB 9 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
CLEAR AND UNSEASONABLY WARM THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK UNDER A
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE ALOFT. THE RIDGE WILL WEAKEN AS LOW
PRESSURE APPROACHES FROM THE PACIFIC BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING ONSHORE FLOW...COOLING...AND OUR NEXT CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA INCLUDING ORANGE...
SAN DIEGO...WESTERN RIVERSIDE AND SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO
COUNTIES...

SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWED PATCHY HIGH CLOUDS OVER SOCAL THIS EVENING.
THE WINDS HAD DROPPED OFF TO AROUND 15 TO 25 MPH...WITH A FEW HIGHER
GUSTS ON THE WINDIEST COASTAL SLOPES AND BELOW THE SAN GORGONIO PASS
EVEN THOUGH THE SFC PRESSURE GRADIENT WAS STILL A HEALTHY 13 MBS
OFFSHORE FROM TONOPAH. THE 00Z MIRAMAR SOUNDING STILL SHOWED SLIGHT
WARMING COMPARED TO YESTERDAY EVENING...BUT THE LOW-LEVEL EASTERLY
WINDS HAD DECREASED CONSIDERABLY. AT 8 PM PST...TEMPERATURES WEST OF
THE MTS RANGED FROM THE 60S TO MID 70S. DEWPOINTS WERE CREEPING UP
ALONG THE COAST FROM THE 30S INTO THE 40S LOCALLY.

NUMEROUS RECORD MAX TEMPS WERE BROKEN TODAY ACROSS THE REGION WITH
MANY AREAS CRACKING THE 90 DEGREE MARK. TOMORROW LOOKS SIMILAR UNDER
SUNNY SKIES.

EVEN THOUGH THE MEGA RIDGE ALOFT IS DEFLATING...500H AND THICKNESS
OVER CA WILL REMAIN ANOMALOUSLY HIGH FOR MID FEBRUARY. THE SURFACE
HIGH OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST WILL CONTINUE NEAR 1030 MBS THROUGH
THU MORNING...BEFORE WEAKENING. THIS WILL FAVOR AT LEAST WEAK
OFFSHORE FLOW MOST AREAS AND VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY. BY FRI...A
WEAK TROUGH WILL BE POISED OFF THE COAST...READY TO ADVANCE INLAND
AND WEAKEN DURING THE COMING WEEKEND. THIS SHOULD BRING A PERIOD OF
ONSHORE FLOW AND SLIGHTLY HIGHER HUMIDITY BEFORE HIGH PRESSURE
REBUILDS ALOFT...AND AT THE SURFACE OVER THE GREAT BASIN FOR MORE
WARM AND DRY WEATHER EARLY NEXT WEEK.

AFTER ABOUT TUE...THE RIDGE MOVES EAST AND THE OUTLOOK MUDDIES AS A
COMPLEX TROUGH DEVELOPS OVER THE FAR EASTPAC AND SLIDES INTO CA
AROUND MIDWEEK. MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE HAS COME UP WITH A WIDE
RANGE OF SOLUTIONS TRYING TO PIECE TOGETHER THE ARRIVAL AND INTENSITY
OF THIS SYSTEM...BUT MOST SOLUTIONS HAVE A TROUGH CAPABLE OF AT
LEAST SOME LIGHT PRECIP WED/THU TIME FRAME. GIVEN THAT...AND
CLIMATOLOGY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IS WARRANTED AND HAS BEEN
INTRODUCED AT THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD UNTIL WE GET A CLEARER
PICTURE OF THE POTENTIAL.

&&

.AVIATION...
100430Z...CLEAR SKIES AND UNRESTRICTED VIS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
830 PM...NO HAZARDOUS MARINE WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS ARE STILL
LIKELY THROUGH AND BELOW THE PASSES AND CANYONS...AND ALONG THE
COASTAL MOUNTAIN SLOPES AND FOOTHILLS THROUGH MIDDAY WED. THIS...
COMBINED WITH WELL ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES AND VERY LOW MIN RH
VALUES OF AROUND TEN PERCENT WED AFTERNOON...WILL CONTINUE AN
ELEVATED WILDFIRE THREAT FOR SEVERAL HOURS...BUT NOT AS HIGH AS ON
TUESDAY WHEN WIND WAS MORE OF A FACTOR. DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL
CONTINUE WELL ABOVE AVERAGE UNTIL THE WEEKEND WHEN MODEST COOLING IS
EXPECTED WITH A BRIEF ONSHORE PUSH. THE DRY AND WARM WEATHER WILL
CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEK.

EVEN THOUGH FUELS HAVE BEEN DRYING AFTER DAYS OF FULL SUN...VERY LOW
RH...AND GUSTY WINDS IN MANY AREAS...THE WINDS ARE DROPPING OFF...SO
THE ISSUANCE OF FIRE WEATHER PRODUCTS IS NOT EXPECTED.

&&

.SKYWARN...
SKYWARN ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED ON WEDNESDAY.

&&

.SGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...NONE.
PZ...NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC/FIRE WEATHER...JAD
AVIATION/MARINE...MAXWELL





000
FXUS66 KSGX 092155
AFDSGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
155 PM PST TUE FEB 9 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
CLEAR AND UNSEASONABLY WARM WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THIS WEEK WITH
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT AND SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT
BASIN. SLOW COOLING LATE THIS WEEK TO CLOSER TO NORMAL HIGH
TEMPERATURES AS HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WEAKENS. PRECIPITATION MAY
RETURN TO THE AREA BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA INCLUDING ORANGE...
SAN DIEGO...WESTERN RIVERSIDE AND SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO
COUNTIES...

AT 1 PM PST...WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY DISPLAYED AN UPPER-
LEVEL RIDGE CENTERED OVER SOUTHERN CA AND SOUTHERN
NEVADA...STRETCHING NORTH INTO IDAHO. VISIBLE SATELLITE SHOWED
CLEAR SKIES OVER THE CWA. EAST TO NORTHEAST WIND GUSTS OF 20 TO
30 MPH WERE OBSERVED THROUGH MOUNTAIN PASSES AND ALONG COASTAL
MOUNTAIN SLOPES. TEMPERATURES FOR MANY AREAS IN THE LOW
DESERT...VALLEYS AND COAST WERE IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S.

THE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE AND BREEZY DOWNSLOPING OFFSHORE
WINDS WILL HELP RAISE INLAND HIGH TEMPERATURES 15 TO 25 DEG F
ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS THIS AFTERNOON. LOCATIONS WHERE RECORD
HIGH TEMPERATURES HAVE ALREADY BEEN TIED OR BROKEN SO FAR TODAY...

LOCATION       NEW RECORD        OLD RECORD HIGH
            HIGH SO FAR TODAY

ALPINE            82 (TIED)         82 IN 1991
ESCONDIDO         87                86 IN 1991
SAN DIEGO         82                77 IN 2008
SANTA ANA         92                86 IN 2012

THE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE WILL SLIGHTLY WEAKEN WEDNESDAY...THEN REMAIN
FAIRLY STATIONARY ALOFT THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK WITH CONTINUED
WEAK OFFSHORE FLOW. LOWERING HEIGHTS WILL HELP LIMIT HIGH
TEMPERATURES TO ONLY REACH 5 TO 15 DEG F ABOVE NORMAL BY THE
WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. EXPECT LOW AFTERNOON RELATIVE
HUMIDITY TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK...WITH A SLIGHT
INCREASE IN VALUES BY THE WEEKEND.

MODELS CONTINUE TO HINT AT AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE
REGION NEXT WEEK...BUT DIFFER IN THE DETAILS. CONFIDENCE IS
INCREASING THAT PRECIPITATION MAY RETURN TO THE AREA SOMETIME
AROUND NEXT WEDNESDAY OR THURSDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...
092100Z...NORTHEAST WINDS 15-25 KT MAINLY IN THE FOOTHILLS THROUGH
22Z. LLWS NEAR KSNA AND KONT THROUGH 22Z. CLEAR SKIES TONIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
100 PM...NO HAZARDOUS MARINE WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH
SATURDAY.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
EAST TO NORTHEAST WIND GUSTS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH MOUNTAIN PASSES AND ALONG COASTAL MOUNTAIN SLOPES
TODAY...WITH LIGHT OFFSHORE WINDS EXPECTED FOR THE END OF THE
WEEK. MIN RH VALUES WILL DIP INTO THE TEENS EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH
THE WEEKEND...WITH MODERATE OVERNIGHT RECOVERY. HIGH TEMPERATURES
TODAY WILL RISE TO 15 TO 25 DEG F ABOVE NORMAL...THEN LOWER TO 5
TO 15 DEG F ABOVE NORMAL BY THE WEEKEND. FUEL MOISTURE LEVELS ARE
NOT FAVORABLE FOR EXPLOSIVE FORE GROWTH...THEREFORE NO FIRE
WEATHER PRODUCTS ARE EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

.SKYWARN...
SKYWARN ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

&&

.SGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...NONE.
PZ...NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC/FIRE WEATHER...JJT
AVIATION/MARINE...MOEDE





000
FXUS66 KSGX 092155
AFDSGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
155 PM PST TUE FEB 9 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
CLEAR AND UNSEASONABLY WARM WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THIS WEEK WITH
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT AND SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT
BASIN. SLOW COOLING LATE THIS WEEK TO CLOSER TO NORMAL HIGH
TEMPERATURES AS HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WEAKENS. PRECIPITATION MAY
RETURN TO THE AREA BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA INCLUDING ORANGE...
SAN DIEGO...WESTERN RIVERSIDE AND SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO
COUNTIES...

AT 1 PM PST...WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY DISPLAYED AN UPPER-
LEVEL RIDGE CENTERED OVER SOUTHERN CA AND SOUTHERN
NEVADA...STRETCHING NORTH INTO IDAHO. VISIBLE SATELLITE SHOWED
CLEAR SKIES OVER THE CWA. EAST TO NORTHEAST WIND GUSTS OF 20 TO
30 MPH WERE OBSERVED THROUGH MOUNTAIN PASSES AND ALONG COASTAL
MOUNTAIN SLOPES. TEMPERATURES FOR MANY AREAS IN THE LOW
DESERT...VALLEYS AND COAST WERE IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S.

THE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE AND BREEZY DOWNSLOPING OFFSHORE
WINDS WILL HELP RAISE INLAND HIGH TEMPERATURES 15 TO 25 DEG F
ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS THIS AFTERNOON. LOCATIONS WHERE RECORD
HIGH TEMPERATURES HAVE ALREADY BEEN TIED OR BROKEN SO FAR TODAY...

LOCATION       NEW RECORD        OLD RECORD HIGH
            HIGH SO FAR TODAY

ALPINE            82 (TIED)         82 IN 1991
ESCONDIDO         87                86 IN 1991
SAN DIEGO         82                77 IN 2008
SANTA ANA         92                86 IN 2012

THE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE WILL SLIGHTLY WEAKEN WEDNESDAY...THEN REMAIN
FAIRLY STATIONARY ALOFT THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK WITH CONTINUED
WEAK OFFSHORE FLOW. LOWERING HEIGHTS WILL HELP LIMIT HIGH
TEMPERATURES TO ONLY REACH 5 TO 15 DEG F ABOVE NORMAL BY THE
WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. EXPECT LOW AFTERNOON RELATIVE
HUMIDITY TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK...WITH A SLIGHT
INCREASE IN VALUES BY THE WEEKEND.

MODELS CONTINUE TO HINT AT AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE
REGION NEXT WEEK...BUT DIFFER IN THE DETAILS. CONFIDENCE IS
INCREASING THAT PRECIPITATION MAY RETURN TO THE AREA SOMETIME
AROUND NEXT WEDNESDAY OR THURSDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...
092100Z...NORTHEAST WINDS 15-25 KT MAINLY IN THE FOOTHILLS THROUGH
22Z. LLWS NEAR KSNA AND KONT THROUGH 22Z. CLEAR SKIES TONIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
100 PM...NO HAZARDOUS MARINE WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH
SATURDAY.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
EAST TO NORTHEAST WIND GUSTS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH MOUNTAIN PASSES AND ALONG COASTAL MOUNTAIN SLOPES
TODAY...WITH LIGHT OFFSHORE WINDS EXPECTED FOR THE END OF THE
WEEK. MIN RH VALUES WILL DIP INTO THE TEENS EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH
THE WEEKEND...WITH MODERATE OVERNIGHT RECOVERY. HIGH TEMPERATURES
TODAY WILL RISE TO 15 TO 25 DEG F ABOVE NORMAL...THEN LOWER TO 5
TO 15 DEG F ABOVE NORMAL BY THE WEEKEND. FUEL MOISTURE LEVELS ARE
NOT FAVORABLE FOR EXPLOSIVE FORE GROWTH...THEREFORE NO FIRE
WEATHER PRODUCTS ARE EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

.SKYWARN...
SKYWARN ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

&&

.SGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...NONE.
PZ...NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC/FIRE WEATHER...JJT
AVIATION/MARINE...MOEDE




000
FXUS66 KSGX 092155
AFDSGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
155 PM PST TUE FEB 9 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
CLEAR AND UNSEASONABLY WARM WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THIS WEEK WITH
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT AND SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT
BASIN. SLOW COOLING LATE THIS WEEK TO CLOSER TO NORMAL HIGH
TEMPERATURES AS HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WEAKENS. PRECIPITATION MAY
RETURN TO THE AREA BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA INCLUDING ORANGE...
SAN DIEGO...WESTERN RIVERSIDE AND SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO
COUNTIES...

AT 1 PM PST...WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY DISPLAYED AN UPPER-
LEVEL RIDGE CENTERED OVER SOUTHERN CA AND SOUTHERN
NEVADA...STRETCHING NORTH INTO IDAHO. VISIBLE SATELLITE SHOWED
CLEAR SKIES OVER THE CWA. EAST TO NORTHEAST WIND GUSTS OF 20 TO
30 MPH WERE OBSERVED THROUGH MOUNTAIN PASSES AND ALONG COASTAL
MOUNTAIN SLOPES. TEMPERATURES FOR MANY AREAS IN THE LOW
DESERT...VALLEYS AND COAST WERE IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S.

THE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE AND BREEZY DOWNSLOPING OFFSHORE
WINDS WILL HELP RAISE INLAND HIGH TEMPERATURES 15 TO 25 DEG F
ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS THIS AFTERNOON. LOCATIONS WHERE RECORD
HIGH TEMPERATURES HAVE ALREADY BEEN TIED OR BROKEN SO FAR TODAY...

LOCATION       NEW RECORD        OLD RECORD HIGH
            HIGH SO FAR TODAY

ALPINE            82 (TIED)         82 IN 1991
ESCONDIDO         87                86 IN 1991
SAN DIEGO         82                77 IN 2008
SANTA ANA         92                86 IN 2012

THE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE WILL SLIGHTLY WEAKEN WEDNESDAY...THEN REMAIN
FAIRLY STATIONARY ALOFT THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK WITH CONTINUED
WEAK OFFSHORE FLOW. LOWERING HEIGHTS WILL HELP LIMIT HIGH
TEMPERATURES TO ONLY REACH 5 TO 15 DEG F ABOVE NORMAL BY THE
WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. EXPECT LOW AFTERNOON RELATIVE
HUMIDITY TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK...WITH A SLIGHT
INCREASE IN VALUES BY THE WEEKEND.

MODELS CONTINUE TO HINT AT AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE
REGION NEXT WEEK...BUT DIFFER IN THE DETAILS. CONFIDENCE IS
INCREASING THAT PRECIPITATION MAY RETURN TO THE AREA SOMETIME
AROUND NEXT WEDNESDAY OR THURSDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...
092100Z...NORTHEAST WINDS 15-25 KT MAINLY IN THE FOOTHILLS THROUGH
22Z. LLWS NEAR KSNA AND KONT THROUGH 22Z. CLEAR SKIES TONIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
100 PM...NO HAZARDOUS MARINE WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH
SATURDAY.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
EAST TO NORTHEAST WIND GUSTS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH MOUNTAIN PASSES AND ALONG COASTAL MOUNTAIN SLOPES
TODAY...WITH LIGHT OFFSHORE WINDS EXPECTED FOR THE END OF THE
WEEK. MIN RH VALUES WILL DIP INTO THE TEENS EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH
THE WEEKEND...WITH MODERATE OVERNIGHT RECOVERY. HIGH TEMPERATURES
TODAY WILL RISE TO 15 TO 25 DEG F ABOVE NORMAL...THEN LOWER TO 5
TO 15 DEG F ABOVE NORMAL BY THE WEEKEND. FUEL MOISTURE LEVELS ARE
NOT FAVORABLE FOR EXPLOSIVE FORE GROWTH...THEREFORE NO FIRE
WEATHER PRODUCTS ARE EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

.SKYWARN...
SKYWARN ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

&&

.SGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...NONE.
PZ...NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC/FIRE WEATHER...JJT
AVIATION/MARINE...MOEDE





000
FXUS66 KSGX 091709
AFDSGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
909 AM PST TUE FEB 9 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
CLEAR AND UNSEASONABLY WARM WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THIS WEEK WITH
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT AND SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT
BASIN. SLOW COOLING LATE THIS WEEK TO CLOSER TO NORMAL HIGH
TEMPERATURES AS HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WEAKENS. PRECIPITATION MAY
RETURN TO THE AREA BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA INCLUDING ORANGE...
SAN DIEGO...WESTERN RIVERSIDE AND SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO
COUNTIES...

AT 9 AM PST...WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY DISPLAYED AN UPPER-
LEVEL RIDGE CENTERED OVER SOUTHERN CA AND SOUTHERN
NEVADA...STRETCHING NORTH INTO IDAHO. VISIBLE SATELLITE SHOWED
CLEAR SKIES OVER THE CWA. THE 09/1200 UTC KNKX SOUNDING DISPLAYED
EASTERLY WINDS IN THE LOWER AND MID LEVELS...AND CALCULATED A
PRECIPITABLE WATER OF 0.19 INCHES. EAST TO NORTHEAST WIND GUSTS OF
25 TO 35 MPH WERE OBSERVED THROUGH MOUNTAIN PASSES AND ALONG
COASTAL MOUNTAIN SLOPES. THE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE ON MONDAY OF 75
DEG F FOR SANTA ANA FIRE STATION WAS THE WARMEST DAILY MINIMUM
TEMPERATURE EVER RECORDED DURING THE WINTER SEASON. THE PREVIOUS
RECORD OF 73 WAS SET IN 2009. THREE OF THE PREVIOUS 10 WARMEST
DAILY WINTER MINIMUM TEMPERATURES WERE SET IN 2015...WITH TWO IN
1983 DURING THE 1982-83 EL NINO. RECORDS FOR SANTA ANA FIRE
STATION GO BACK TO 1916.

THE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE WILL PEAK TODAY OVER THE REGION AT AROUND
587 DM AT 500 MB. THIS...AND BREEZY DOWNSLOPING OFFSHORE
WINDS....WILL HELP RAISE INLAND HIGH TEMPERATURES 15 TO 25 DEG F
ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS THIS AFTERNOON. LOCATIONS WHERE RECORD HIGH
TEMPERATURES COULD BE SET TODAY BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST...

LOCATION          FORECAST (F)  RECORD (F)

NEWPORT BEACH        80        77 IN 2002
SAN DIEGO            83        77 IN 2008
VISTA                89        81 IN 2012
CHULA VISTA          87        83 IN 1954
ESCONDIDO            91        86 IN 1991
EL CAJON             89        86 IN 2006
RAMONA               86        83 IN 1988
ALPINE               84        82 IN 1991

THE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE WILL SLIGHTLY WEAKEN WEDNESDAY...THEN REMAIN
FAIRLY STATIONARY ALOFT THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. LOWERING
HEIGHTS WILL HELP LIMIT HIGH TEMPERATURES TO ONLY REACH 5 TO 15
DEG F ABOVE NORMAL BY THE WEEKEND. THE ABOVE NORMAL HIGH
TEMPERATURES AND WEAK OFFSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK.

MODELS CONTINUE TO HINT AT AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE
REGION NEXT WEEK...BUT DIFFER IN THE DETAILS. CONFIDENCE IS
INCREASING THAT PRECIPITATION MAY RETURN TO THE AREA SOMETIME
AROUND NEXT WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...
091545Z...CLEAR SKIES TODAY AND TONIGHT. EAST-NORTHEAST WINDS MAINLY
IN THE FOOTHILLS THROUGH 22Z. POCKETS OF LLWS ARE POSSIBLE INTO
EARLY AFTERNOON AS A SURFACE SEA BREEZE DEVELOPS.

&&

.MARINE...
745 AM...NO HAZARDOUS MARINE WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
EAST TO NORTHEAST WIND GUSTS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
MOUNTAIN PASSES AND ALONG COASTAL MOUNTAIN SLOPES TODAY...WITH
LIGHT OFFSHORE WINDS EXPECTED FOR THE END OF THE WEEK. MIN RH
VALUES WILL DIP INTO THE TEENS EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH THE
WEEKEND...WITH MODERATE OVERNIGHT RECOVERY. HIGH TEMPERATURES
TODAY WILL RISE TO 15 TO 25 DEG F ABOVE NORMAL...THEN LOWER TO 5
TO 15 DEG F ABOVE NORMAL BY THE WEEKEND. FUEL MOISTURE LEVELS ARE
NOT FAVORABLE FOR EXPLOSIVE FORE GROWTH...THEREFORE NO FIRE
WEATHER PRODUCTS ARE EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

.SGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...NONE.
PZ...NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC/FIRE WEATHER...JJT
AVIATION/MARINE...MOEDE





000
FXUS66 KSGX 091709
AFDSGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
909 AM PST TUE FEB 9 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
CLEAR AND UNSEASONABLY WARM WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THIS WEEK WITH
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT AND SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT
BASIN. SLOW COOLING LATE THIS WEEK TO CLOSER TO NORMAL HIGH
TEMPERATURES AS HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WEAKENS. PRECIPITATION MAY
RETURN TO THE AREA BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA INCLUDING ORANGE...
SAN DIEGO...WESTERN RIVERSIDE AND SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO
COUNTIES...

AT 9 AM PST...WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY DISPLAYED AN UPPER-
LEVEL RIDGE CENTERED OVER SOUTHERN CA AND SOUTHERN
NEVADA...STRETCHING NORTH INTO IDAHO. VISIBLE SATELLITE SHOWED
CLEAR SKIES OVER THE CWA. THE 09/1200 UTC KNKX SOUNDING DISPLAYED
EASTERLY WINDS IN THE LOWER AND MID LEVELS...AND CALCULATED A
PRECIPITABLE WATER OF 0.19 INCHES. EAST TO NORTHEAST WIND GUSTS OF
25 TO 35 MPH WERE OBSERVED THROUGH MOUNTAIN PASSES AND ALONG
COASTAL MOUNTAIN SLOPES. THE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE ON MONDAY OF 75
DEG F FOR SANTA ANA FIRE STATION WAS THE WARMEST DAILY MINIMUM
TEMPERATURE EVER RECORDED DURING THE WINTER SEASON. THE PREVIOUS
RECORD OF 73 WAS SET IN 2009. THREE OF THE PREVIOUS 10 WARMEST
DAILY WINTER MINIMUM TEMPERATURES WERE SET IN 2015...WITH TWO IN
1983 DURING THE 1982-83 EL NINO. RECORDS FOR SANTA ANA FIRE
STATION GO BACK TO 1916.

THE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE WILL PEAK TODAY OVER THE REGION AT AROUND
587 DM AT 500 MB. THIS...AND BREEZY DOWNSLOPING OFFSHORE
WINDS....WILL HELP RAISE INLAND HIGH TEMPERATURES 15 TO 25 DEG F
ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS THIS AFTERNOON. LOCATIONS WHERE RECORD HIGH
TEMPERATURES COULD BE SET TODAY BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST...

LOCATION          FORECAST (F)  RECORD (F)

NEWPORT BEACH        80        77 IN 2002
SAN DIEGO            83        77 IN 2008
VISTA                89        81 IN 2012
CHULA VISTA          87        83 IN 1954
ESCONDIDO            91        86 IN 1991
EL CAJON             89        86 IN 2006
RAMONA               86        83 IN 1988
ALPINE               84        82 IN 1991

THE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE WILL SLIGHTLY WEAKEN WEDNESDAY...THEN REMAIN
FAIRLY STATIONARY ALOFT THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. LOWERING
HEIGHTS WILL HELP LIMIT HIGH TEMPERATURES TO ONLY REACH 5 TO 15
DEG F ABOVE NORMAL BY THE WEEKEND. THE ABOVE NORMAL HIGH
TEMPERATURES AND WEAK OFFSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK.

MODELS CONTINUE TO HINT AT AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE
REGION NEXT WEEK...BUT DIFFER IN THE DETAILS. CONFIDENCE IS
INCREASING THAT PRECIPITATION MAY RETURN TO THE AREA SOMETIME
AROUND NEXT WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...
091545Z...CLEAR SKIES TODAY AND TONIGHT. EAST-NORTHEAST WINDS MAINLY
IN THE FOOTHILLS THROUGH 22Z. POCKETS OF LLWS ARE POSSIBLE INTO
EARLY AFTERNOON AS A SURFACE SEA BREEZE DEVELOPS.

&&

.MARINE...
745 AM...NO HAZARDOUS MARINE WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
EAST TO NORTHEAST WIND GUSTS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
MOUNTAIN PASSES AND ALONG COASTAL MOUNTAIN SLOPES TODAY...WITH
LIGHT OFFSHORE WINDS EXPECTED FOR THE END OF THE WEEK. MIN RH
VALUES WILL DIP INTO THE TEENS EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH THE
WEEKEND...WITH MODERATE OVERNIGHT RECOVERY. HIGH TEMPERATURES
TODAY WILL RISE TO 15 TO 25 DEG F ABOVE NORMAL...THEN LOWER TO 5
TO 15 DEG F ABOVE NORMAL BY THE WEEKEND. FUEL MOISTURE LEVELS ARE
NOT FAVORABLE FOR EXPLOSIVE FORE GROWTH...THEREFORE NO FIRE
WEATHER PRODUCTS ARE EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

.SGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...NONE.
PZ...NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC/FIRE WEATHER...JJT
AVIATION/MARINE...MOEDE





000
FXUS66 KSGX 091155
AFDSGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
355 AM PST TUE FEB 9 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
CLEAR AND WARM WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THIS WEEK WITH HIGH PRESSURE
ALOFT AND SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT BASIN. LESS WINDY
BUT CONTINUED WELL ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES TODAY...WITH
POSSIBLE RECORD HIGHS. FOR WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...SLOW
COOLING AS HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WEAKENS...THEN WARMING FOR EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA INCLUDING ORANGE...
SAN DIEGO...WESTERN RIVERSIDE AND SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO
COUNTIES...

HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT AND WEAKENING OFFSHORE ALOFT WILL CONTINUE
WELL ABOVE AVERAGE HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY WITH THE WARMEST HIGH
TEMPERATURES IN PORTIONS OF THE INLAND COASTAL AND WESTERN VALLEY
AREAS AROUND 90. THE CURRENT FORECAST HIGH TEMPERATURES COULD
BREAK THE DAILY RECORDS FOR SEVERAL COASTAL AND VALLEY LOCATIONS.
SEE THE CLIMATE SECTION BELOW FOR DETAILS.

SLOW COOLING FOR WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
ALOFT WEAKENS. HOWEVER...HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE
AVERAGE.

WARMER FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT AND WEAK
OFFSHORE FLOW. THERE GLOBAL MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW CHANCES FOR
PRECIPITATION THE MIDDLE TO LATTER PART OF NEXT WEEK...BUT WITH
CONTINUING GREATER THAN AVERAGE SPREAD IN THE DETAILS.

&&

.AVIATION...
091000Z...CLEAR SKIES WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT. AREAS OF EAST-
NORTHEAST WINDS MAINLY IN THE FOOTHILLS WILL OCCUR THROUGH 18Z THIS
MORNING. POCKETS OF LLWS ARE POSSIBLE INTO EARLY AFTERNOON
ESPECIALLY AS A SURFACE SEA BREEZE DEVELOPS UNDER PREVAILING
OFFSHORE FLOW.

&&

.MARINE...

200 AM...NO HAZARDOUS MARINE WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
GUSTY EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH LOCAL STRONGER
GUSTS OVER 35 MPH WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE COASTAL FOOTHILLS AND
BELOW THE PASSES AND CANYONS...GRADUALLY WEAKENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AROUND TEN PERCENT
AND THE GUSTY WINDS WILL CREATE NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS FOR SEVERAL HOURS TODAY. HOWEVER...FUEL MOISTURE LEVELS
ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH. THEREFORE...NO FIRE
WEATHER PRODUCTS ARE IN EFFECT OR ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

&&

.CLIMATE

THE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE FOR SANTA ANA FIRE STATION ON MONDAY OF 75
WAS THE WARMEST DAILY MINIMUM TEMPERATURE EVER RECORDED DURING
THE WINTER SEASON. THE PREVIOUS RECORD OF 73 WAS SET IN 2009.
THREE OF THE PREVIOUS 10 WARMEST DAILY WINTER MINIMUM
TEMPERATURES WERE SET IN 2015...WITH TWO IN 1983 DURING THE
1982-83 EL NINO. RECORDS GO BACK TO 1916.

LOCATIONS WHERE RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES COULD BE SET TODAY BASED
ON THE CURRENT FORECAST...

LOCATION          FORECAST   RECORD
NEWPORT BEACH        80        77 IN 2002
SAN DIEGO            83        77 IN 2008
VISTA                89        81 IN 2012
CHULA VISTA          87        83 IN 1954
ESCONDIDO            91        86 IN 1991
EL CAJON             89        86 IN 2006
RAMONA               86        83 IN 1988
ALPINE               84        82 IN 1991


.SKYWARN...
SKYWARN ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED. HOWEVER WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE
ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS.

&&

.SGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...NONE.
PZ...NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC/FIRE WEATHER...17
AVIATION/MARINE...MM





000
FXUS66 KSGX 091155
AFDSGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
355 AM PST TUE FEB 9 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
CLEAR AND WARM WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THIS WEEK WITH HIGH PRESSURE
ALOFT AND SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT BASIN. LESS WINDY
BUT CONTINUED WELL ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES TODAY...WITH
POSSIBLE RECORD HIGHS. FOR WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...SLOW
COOLING AS HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WEAKENS...THEN WARMING FOR EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA INCLUDING ORANGE...
SAN DIEGO...WESTERN RIVERSIDE AND SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO
COUNTIES...

HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT AND WEAKENING OFFSHORE ALOFT WILL CONTINUE
WELL ABOVE AVERAGE HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY WITH THE WARMEST HIGH
TEMPERATURES IN PORTIONS OF THE INLAND COASTAL AND WESTERN VALLEY
AREAS AROUND 90. THE CURRENT FORECAST HIGH TEMPERATURES COULD
BREAK THE DAILY RECORDS FOR SEVERAL COASTAL AND VALLEY LOCATIONS.
SEE THE CLIMATE SECTION BELOW FOR DETAILS.

SLOW COOLING FOR WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
ALOFT WEAKENS. HOWEVER...HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE
AVERAGE.

WARMER FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT AND WEAK
OFFSHORE FLOW. THERE GLOBAL MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW CHANCES FOR
PRECIPITATION THE MIDDLE TO LATTER PART OF NEXT WEEK...BUT WITH
CONTINUING GREATER THAN AVERAGE SPREAD IN THE DETAILS.

&&

.AVIATION...
091000Z...CLEAR SKIES WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT. AREAS OF EAST-
NORTHEAST WINDS MAINLY IN THE FOOTHILLS WILL OCCUR THROUGH 18Z THIS
MORNING. POCKETS OF LLWS ARE POSSIBLE INTO EARLY AFTERNOON
ESPECIALLY AS A SURFACE SEA BREEZE DEVELOPS UNDER PREVAILING
OFFSHORE FLOW.

&&

.MARINE...

200 AM...NO HAZARDOUS MARINE WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
GUSTY EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH LOCAL STRONGER
GUSTS OVER 35 MPH WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE COASTAL FOOTHILLS AND
BELOW THE PASSES AND CANYONS...GRADUALLY WEAKENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AROUND TEN PERCENT
AND THE GUSTY WINDS WILL CREATE NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS FOR SEVERAL HOURS TODAY. HOWEVER...FUEL MOISTURE LEVELS
ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH. THEREFORE...NO FIRE
WEATHER PRODUCTS ARE IN EFFECT OR ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

&&

.CLIMATE

THE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE FOR SANTA ANA FIRE STATION ON MONDAY OF 75
WAS THE WARMEST DAILY MINIMUM TEMPERATURE EVER RECORDED DURING
THE WINTER SEASON. THE PREVIOUS RECORD OF 73 WAS SET IN 2009.
THREE OF THE PREVIOUS 10 WARMEST DAILY WINTER MINIMUM
TEMPERATURES WERE SET IN 2015...WITH TWO IN 1983 DURING THE
1982-83 EL NINO. RECORDS GO BACK TO 1916.

LOCATIONS WHERE RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES COULD BE SET TODAY BASED
ON THE CURRENT FORECAST...

LOCATION          FORECAST   RECORD
NEWPORT BEACH        80        77 IN 2002
SAN DIEGO            83        77 IN 2008
VISTA                89        81 IN 2012
CHULA VISTA          87        83 IN 1954
ESCONDIDO            91        86 IN 1991
EL CAJON             89        86 IN 2006
RAMONA               86        83 IN 1988
ALPINE               84        82 IN 1991


.SKYWARN...
SKYWARN ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED. HOWEVER WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE
ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS.

&&

.SGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...NONE.
PZ...NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC/FIRE WEATHER...17
AVIATION/MARINE...MM





000
FXUS66 KSGX 091155
AFDSGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
355 AM PST TUE FEB 9 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
CLEAR AND WARM WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THIS WEEK WITH HIGH PRESSURE
ALOFT AND SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT BASIN. LESS WINDY
BUT CONTINUED WELL ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES TODAY...WITH
POSSIBLE RECORD HIGHS. FOR WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...SLOW
COOLING AS HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WEAKENS...THEN WARMING FOR EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA INCLUDING ORANGE...
SAN DIEGO...WESTERN RIVERSIDE AND SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO
COUNTIES...

HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT AND WEAKENING OFFSHORE ALOFT WILL CONTINUE
WELL ABOVE AVERAGE HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY WITH THE WARMEST HIGH
TEMPERATURES IN PORTIONS OF THE INLAND COASTAL AND WESTERN VALLEY
AREAS AROUND 90. THE CURRENT FORECAST HIGH TEMPERATURES COULD
BREAK THE DAILY RECORDS FOR SEVERAL COASTAL AND VALLEY LOCATIONS.
SEE THE CLIMATE SECTION BELOW FOR DETAILS.

SLOW COOLING FOR WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
ALOFT WEAKENS. HOWEVER...HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE
AVERAGE.

WARMER FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT AND WEAK
OFFSHORE FLOW. THERE GLOBAL MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW CHANCES FOR
PRECIPITATION THE MIDDLE TO LATTER PART OF NEXT WEEK...BUT WITH
CONTINUING GREATER THAN AVERAGE SPREAD IN THE DETAILS.

&&

.AVIATION...
091000Z...CLEAR SKIES WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT. AREAS OF EAST-
NORTHEAST WINDS MAINLY IN THE FOOTHILLS WILL OCCUR THROUGH 18Z THIS
MORNING. POCKETS OF LLWS ARE POSSIBLE INTO EARLY AFTERNOON
ESPECIALLY AS A SURFACE SEA BREEZE DEVELOPS UNDER PREVAILING
OFFSHORE FLOW.

&&

.MARINE...

200 AM...NO HAZARDOUS MARINE WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
GUSTY EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH LOCAL STRONGER
GUSTS OVER 35 MPH WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE COASTAL FOOTHILLS AND
BELOW THE PASSES AND CANYONS...GRADUALLY WEAKENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AROUND TEN PERCENT
AND THE GUSTY WINDS WILL CREATE NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS FOR SEVERAL HOURS TODAY. HOWEVER...FUEL MOISTURE LEVELS
ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH. THEREFORE...NO FIRE
WEATHER PRODUCTS ARE IN EFFECT OR ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

&&

.CLIMATE

THE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE FOR SANTA ANA FIRE STATION ON MONDAY OF 75
WAS THE WARMEST DAILY MINIMUM TEMPERATURE EVER RECORDED DURING
THE WINTER SEASON. THE PREVIOUS RECORD OF 73 WAS SET IN 2009.
THREE OF THE PREVIOUS 10 WARMEST DAILY WINTER MINIMUM
TEMPERATURES WERE SET IN 2015...WITH TWO IN 1983 DURING THE
1982-83 EL NINO. RECORDS GO BACK TO 1916.

LOCATIONS WHERE RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES COULD BE SET TODAY BASED
ON THE CURRENT FORECAST...

LOCATION          FORECAST   RECORD
NEWPORT BEACH        80        77 IN 2002
SAN DIEGO            83        77 IN 2008
VISTA                89        81 IN 2012
CHULA VISTA          87        83 IN 1954
ESCONDIDO            91        86 IN 1991
EL CAJON             89        86 IN 2006
RAMONA               86        83 IN 1988
ALPINE               84        82 IN 1991


.SKYWARN...
SKYWARN ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED. HOWEVER WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE
ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS.

&&

.SGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...NONE.
PZ...NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC/FIRE WEATHER...17
AVIATION/MARINE...MM




000
FXUS66 KSGX 090522
AFDSGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
922 PM PST MON FEB 8 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
CLEAR AND WARM WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THIS WEEK WITH HIGH PRESSURE
ALOFT AND SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT BASIN. LESS WINDY
BUT CONTINUED WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES TUESDAY...WITH POSSIBLE
RECORD HIGHS. SLOW COOLING AND SLIGHTLY HIGHER RELATIVE HUMIDITY BY
THE WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WEAKENS. PRECIPITATION MAY RETURN
TO THE REGION NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA INCLUDING ORANGE...
SAN DIEGO...WESTERN RIVERSIDE AND SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO
COUNTIES...

IT IS A MILD MID-WINTER EVENING ACROSS THE SOUTHLAND WITH EASTERLY
BREEZES CONTINUING ALONG THE COASTAL FOOTHILLS. AT 8 PM PST...WINDS
WERE 15 TO 25 MPH WITH LOCAL GUSTS 35 TO 45 MPH THROUGH AND BELOW
SANTA ANA WIND-PRONE PASSES AND CANYONS. DEWPOINTS WERE VERY LOW...
KEEPING RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES MOSTLY IN THE 15-30 PERCENT RANGE.
THE 00Z MIRAMAR SOUNDING HAD A SFC-BASED INVERSION AND A DEEP LAYER
OF EASTERLY WINDS AT 10-15 MPH.

THE MEGA-RIDGE ACROSS WESTERN N.A. IS PEAKING IN AMPLITUDE THIS
EVENING AND WILL SLOWLY DEFLATE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. THE
PROCESS WILL BE GRADUAL THOUGH...KEEPING OFFSHORE FLOW IN PLACE
ACROSS SOCAL FOR VERY DRY AND MILD WEATHER. DAYTIME HIGHS WILL
BREACH RECORDS IN MANY AREAS ON TUE...WITH A FEW MORE POSSIBLE ON
WED. IT WILL STILL BE BREEZY ALONG THE COASTAL FOOTHILLS AT TIMES
THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WITH WINDS WEAKENING FURTHER ON THU.

THE LATEST AVAILABLE ECMWF/GFS/GEM SOLUTIONS ARE SHOWING BETTER
AGREEMENT WITH THE ARRIVAL AND PASSAGE OF A WEAKENING SHORTWAVE OFF
THE PACIFIC THIS COMING WEEKEND. AT THIS POINT...ANY PRECIP IS
UNLIKELY...BUT IT SHOULD PROVIDE SOME ONSHORE FLOW ON SATURDAY. THIS
MAY BE SUFFICIENT FOR A BUMP IN HUMIDITY WEST OF THE MTS.
UNFORTUNATELY...IT WILL NOT LAST AS SFC WINDS TURN BACK OFFSHORE
SUNDAY AS THE WAVE PASSES AND HIGH PRESSURE REBUILDS OVER THE GREAT
BASIN.

LOOKING AHEAD TO NEXT WEEK...ANOTHER STRONG RIDGE OVER THE EASTPAC
ALONG 30N NOSES EAST ACROSS CALIFORNIA THROUGH ABOUT TUE. BY MID
WEEK...MOST OF THE MODEL SOLUTIONS HAVE A TROUGH DEVELOPING ALONG
THE WEST COAST. SOME PRECIP LOOKS POSSIBLE AS THIS SWINGS THROUGH...
BUT IT IS ABOUT TEN DAYS OUT WHICH KEEPS CONFIDENCE QUITE LOW.

&&

.AVIATION...
090330Z...AREAS OF EAST-NORTHEAST WINDS 15-25 KT GUSTS 25-40 KT WILL
OCCUR THROUGH 18Z TUE MAINLY ON WEST/SOUTHWEST MOUNTAIN
SLOPES/FOOTHILLS AND BELOW CANYONS IN THE VALLEYS...INCLUDING VCNTY
KSBD...KBUO...KRAL...KRNM...KCZZ. AREAS OF LLWS WILL ALSO OCCUR...
INCLUDING VCNTY KONT...KSNA AND KCRQ THROUGH 23Z TUE. OTHERWISE...
CLEAR SKIES AND UNRESTRICTED VISIBILITY THROUGH TUE.

&&

.MARINE...
730 PM...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
GUSTY EAST-NORTH EAST WINDS AT 15 TO 25 MPH WITH LOCAL STRONGER GUSTS
OVER 35 MPH WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE COASTAL FOOTHILLS AND BELOW THE
PASSES AND CANYONS THROUGH WEDNESDAY. MINIMUM RH VALUES AROUND TEN
PERCENT AND WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WILL CREASTE NEAR-CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR SEVERAL HOURS AGAIN ON TUESDAY IN THE SANTA
ANA WIND-PRONE AREAS FOR SEVERAL HOURS. HOWEVER...FUEL MOISTURE
LEVELS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH. THEREFORE...NO
FIRE WEATHER PRODUCTS ARE IN EFFECT OR ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

&&

.SKYWARN...
SKYWARN ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED ON TUESDAY.

&&

.SGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...NONE.
PZ...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC/FIRE WEATHER...JAD
AVIATION/MARINE...MAXWELL




000
FXUS66 KSGX 090522
AFDSGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
922 PM PST MON FEB 8 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
CLEAR AND WARM WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THIS WEEK WITH HIGH PRESSURE
ALOFT AND SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT BASIN. LESS WINDY
BUT CONTINUED WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES TUESDAY...WITH POSSIBLE
RECORD HIGHS. SLOW COOLING AND SLIGHTLY HIGHER RELATIVE HUMIDITY BY
THE WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WEAKENS. PRECIPITATION MAY RETURN
TO THE REGION NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA INCLUDING ORANGE...
SAN DIEGO...WESTERN RIVERSIDE AND SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO
COUNTIES...

IT IS A MILD MID-WINTER EVENING ACROSS THE SOUTHLAND WITH EASTERLY
BREEZES CONTINUING ALONG THE COASTAL FOOTHILLS. AT 8 PM PST...WINDS
WERE 15 TO 25 MPH WITH LOCAL GUSTS 35 TO 45 MPH THROUGH AND BELOW
SANTA ANA WIND-PRONE PASSES AND CANYONS. DEWPOINTS WERE VERY LOW...
KEEPING RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES MOSTLY IN THE 15-30 PERCENT RANGE.
THE 00Z MIRAMAR SOUNDING HAD A SFC-BASED INVERSION AND A DEEP LAYER
OF EASTERLY WINDS AT 10-15 MPH.

THE MEGA-RIDGE ACROSS WESTERN N.A. IS PEAKING IN AMPLITUDE THIS
EVENING AND WILL SLOWLY DEFLATE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. THE
PROCESS WILL BE GRADUAL THOUGH...KEEPING OFFSHORE FLOW IN PLACE
ACROSS SOCAL FOR VERY DRY AND MILD WEATHER. DAYTIME HIGHS WILL
BREACH RECORDS IN MANY AREAS ON TUE...WITH A FEW MORE POSSIBLE ON
WED. IT WILL STILL BE BREEZY ALONG THE COASTAL FOOTHILLS AT TIMES
THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WITH WINDS WEAKENING FURTHER ON THU.

THE LATEST AVAILABLE ECMWF/GFS/GEM SOLUTIONS ARE SHOWING BETTER
AGREEMENT WITH THE ARRIVAL AND PASSAGE OF A WEAKENING SHORTWAVE OFF
THE PACIFIC THIS COMING WEEKEND. AT THIS POINT...ANY PRECIP IS
UNLIKELY...BUT IT SHOULD PROVIDE SOME ONSHORE FLOW ON SATURDAY. THIS
MAY BE SUFFICIENT FOR A BUMP IN HUMIDITY WEST OF THE MTS.
UNFORTUNATELY...IT WILL NOT LAST AS SFC WINDS TURN BACK OFFSHORE
SUNDAY AS THE WAVE PASSES AND HIGH PRESSURE REBUILDS OVER THE GREAT
BASIN.

LOOKING AHEAD TO NEXT WEEK...ANOTHER STRONG RIDGE OVER THE EASTPAC
ALONG 30N NOSES EAST ACROSS CALIFORNIA THROUGH ABOUT TUE. BY MID
WEEK...MOST OF THE MODEL SOLUTIONS HAVE A TROUGH DEVELOPING ALONG
THE WEST COAST. SOME PRECIP LOOKS POSSIBLE AS THIS SWINGS THROUGH...
BUT IT IS ABOUT TEN DAYS OUT WHICH KEEPS CONFIDENCE QUITE LOW.

&&

.AVIATION...
090330Z...AREAS OF EAST-NORTHEAST WINDS 15-25 KT GUSTS 25-40 KT WILL
OCCUR THROUGH 18Z TUE MAINLY ON WEST/SOUTHWEST MOUNTAIN
SLOPES/FOOTHILLS AND BELOW CANYONS IN THE VALLEYS...INCLUDING VCNTY
KSBD...KBUO...KRAL...KRNM...KCZZ. AREAS OF LLWS WILL ALSO OCCUR...
INCLUDING VCNTY KONT...KSNA AND KCRQ THROUGH 23Z TUE. OTHERWISE...
CLEAR SKIES AND UNRESTRICTED VISIBILITY THROUGH TUE.

&&

.MARINE...
730 PM...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
GUSTY EAST-NORTH EAST WINDS AT 15 TO 25 MPH WITH LOCAL STRONGER GUSTS
OVER 35 MPH WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE COASTAL FOOTHILLS AND BELOW THE
PASSES AND CANYONS THROUGH WEDNESDAY. MINIMUM RH VALUES AROUND TEN
PERCENT AND WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WILL CREASTE NEAR-CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR SEVERAL HOURS AGAIN ON TUESDAY IN THE SANTA
ANA WIND-PRONE AREAS FOR SEVERAL HOURS. HOWEVER...FUEL MOISTURE
LEVELS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH. THEREFORE...NO
FIRE WEATHER PRODUCTS ARE IN EFFECT OR ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

&&

.SKYWARN...
SKYWARN ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED ON TUESDAY.

&&

.SGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...NONE.
PZ...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC/FIRE WEATHER...JAD
AVIATION/MARINE...MAXWELL





000
FXUS66 KSGX 082150
AFDSGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
150 PM PST MON FEB 8 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
WINDY AND WARMER TODAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT AND SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT BASIN. LESS WINDY AND BUT CONTINUED WELL
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES TUESDAY...WITH POSSIBLE RECORD HIGHS.
SLOW COOLING AND SLIGHTLY HIGHER RELATIVE HUMIDITY BY THE WEEKEND
AS HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WEAKENS. PRECIPITATION MAY RETURN TO THE
REGION NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA INCLUDING ORANGE...
SAN DIEGO...WESTERN RIVERSIDE AND SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO
COUNTIES...

AT 1 PM PST...WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY DISPLAYED A LARGE
UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE ALONG THE WEST COAST. VISIBLE SATELLITE SHOWED
CLEAR SKIES ACROSS THE REGION. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOWED EAST TO
NORTHEAST WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH THROUGH AND BELOW MOUNTAIN
PASSES AND ALONG COASTAL MOUNTAIN SLOPES AND FOOTHILLS. INLAND
TEMPS ROSE TO THE MID TO UPPER 80S.

GUSTY SANTA ANA...EAST-NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH
THIS AFTERNOON. THE HIGHEST OBSERVED WIND GUST SO FAR WAS 68 MPH
AT SILL HILL IN SAN DIEGO COUNTY AT 410 PM SUNDAY. A LAXPNSSGX WAS
UPDATED THIS AFTERNOON AND IS HEADLINED ON OUR WEBPAGE WITH
HIGHEST OBSERVED WIND GUSTS. THE WIND ADVISORIES AND HIGH WIND
WARNINGS HAVE BEEN EXPIRED. BREEZY OFFSHORE WINDS WILL SLOWLY
DIMINISH OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE
GREAT BASIN WEAKENS.

THE RIDGE ALOFT AND DOWNSLOPING...OFFSHORE WINDS WILL CREATE VERY
WARM WEATHER TODAY AND TOMORROW...WITH SLOW COOLING INTO THE
WEEKEND AS THE RIDGE AND OFFSHORE WINDS WEAKEN. HIGH TEMPERATURES
TODAY AND TUESDAY WILL BE 10 TO 20 DEG F ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS
OVER AND WEST OF THE MOUNTAINS...AND 5 TO 15 DEG F ABOVE NORMAL IN
THE DESERTS. A FEW SITES MAY BREAK OR TIE RECORD HIGHS
TODAY...HOWEVER SEVERAL SITES COULD BREAK OR TIE RECORD HIGHS
TOMORROW. A WEATHER STORY IS ON OUR WEBPAGE AND SOCIAL MEDIA WITH
FORECAST HIGHS...RECORDS AND DATES. HIGHS WILL LOWER TO 5 TO 10
DEG F ABOVE NORMAL BY THE WEEKEND AS THE RIDGE ALOFT MOVES TO OUR
EAST AND SW FLOW DEVELOPS ALOFT. OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES OVER
THE NEXT FEW DAYS WILL BE QUITE WARM IN SOME AREAS WEST OF THE
MOUNTAINS WHERE MIXING FROM THE OFFSHORE WINDS OCCURS.
HOWEVER...IT WILL BE COOLER IN THE WIND SHELTERED AREAS. THE LOW
DEWPOINTS...WHICH HAS BEEN GIVING PEOPLE SINUS TROUBLE...WILL
IMPROVE SLIGHTLY BY THE WEEKEND AS OFFSHORE PRESSURE GRADIENTS
WEAKEN.

THE 08/1200 UTC GFS IS SHOWING AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW MOVING UP FROM
THE SW AND GENERATING PRECIP OVER SW CA EARLY NEXT WEEK.
HOWEVER...THE 08/1200 UTC ECMWF AND CANADIAN IS SHOWING A DRY
RIDGE OVER US AT THE SAME TIME. THEREFORE...HAVE KEPT NEXT MONDAY
DRY FOR NOW. SOLUTIONS ARE IN SOMEWHAT BETTER AGREEMENT WITH AN
UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH DIGGING ACROSS THE REGION BY MID NEXT
WEEK...AND POSSIBLY ENDING OUR DRY SPELL.

&&

.AVIATION...
082130...SANTA ANA WEATHER PATTERN THROUGH TUESDAY GUSTY NORTHEAST
WINDS 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS 40-50 MPH IN THE MOUNTAINS...FOOTHILLS
AND VALLEYS. STRONG UP/DOWN DRAFTS AND LLWS AT TIMES NEAR KSNA AND
KONT. CLEAR SKIES AND UNRESTRICTED VISIBILITIES.

&&

.MARINE...
130 PM...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
GUSTY EAST-NORTH EAST WINDS WILL DIMINISH THROUGHOUT THE
AFTERNOON...AND GRADUALLY THROUGHOUT THE WEEK. EVEN THROUGH GUSTY
WINDS ARE PRESENT AND RH VALUES WILL DIP INTO THE TEENS IN THE
AFTERNOONS...FUEL MOISTURE LEVELS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR EXPLOSIVE
FIRE GROWTH. THEREFORE...NO FIRE WEATHER PRODUCTS ARE IN EFFECT OR
ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

&&

.SKYWARN...
SKYWARN ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

&&

.SGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...NONE.
PZ...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC/FIRE WEATHER...JJT
AVIATION/MARINE...MOEDE





000
FXUS66 KSGX 081732
AFDSGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
932 AM PST MON FEB 8 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
WINDY AND WARMER TODAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT AND SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT BASIN. LESS WINDY AND BUT CONTINUED ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES TUESDAY...WITH POSSIBLE RECORD HIGHS. SLOW
COOLING AND SLIGHTLY HIGHER RELATIVE HUMIDITY BY THE WEEKEND AS
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WEAKENS. PRECIPITATION MAY RETURN TO THE
REGION NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA INCLUDING ORANGE...
SAN DIEGO...WESTERN RIVERSIDE AND SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO
COUNTIES...

AT 9 AM PST...WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY DISPLAYED A LARGE
UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE ALONG THE WEST COAST. VISIBLE SATELLITE SHOWED
CLEAR SKIES ACROSS THE REGION. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOWED EAST TO
NORTHEAST WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 45 MPH...ISOLATED 55 MPH...THROUGH
AND BELOW MOUNTAIN PASSES AND ALONG COASTAL MOUNTAIN SLOPES AND
FOOTHILLS.

GUSTY SANTA ANA...EAST-NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING
DUE TO A 1042 MB SURFACE HIGH OVER EASTERN NEVADA AND SURFACE LOW
PRESSURE JUST OFFSHORE. THE HIGHEST OBSERVED WIND GUST SO FAR WAS
68 MPH AT SILL HILL IN SAN DIEGO COUNTY AT 410 PM SUNDAY. A
LAXPNSSGX WAS ISSUED THIS MORNING AND IS HEADLINED ON OUR WEBPAGE
WITH HIGHEST WIND GUSTS SO FAR. THE WIND ADVISORIES AND HIGH WIND
WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON...WITH GUSTS
OF 45 TO 60 MPH POSSIBLE THROUGH AND BELOW MOUNTAIN
PASSES...CANYONS AND FOOTHILLS. BREEZY OFFSHORE WINDS WILL SLOWLY
DIMINISH OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE
GREAT BASIN WEAKENS.

THE RIDGE ALOFT AND DOWNSLOPING...OFFSHORE WINDS WILL CREATE VERY
WARM WEATHER TODAY AND TOMORROW...WITH SLOW COOLING INTO THE
WEEKEND AS THE RIDGE AND OFFSHORE WINDS WEAKEN. HIGH TEMPERATURES
TODAY AND TUESDAY WILL BE 10 TO 20 DEG F ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS
OVER AND WEST OF THE MOUNTAINS...AND 5 TO 15 DEG F ABOVE NORMAL IN
THE DESERTS. VISTA AND ESCONDIDO MAY BREAK OR TIE RECORD HIGHS
TODAY...HOWEVER SEVERAL SITES COULD BREAK OR TIE RECORD HIGHS
TOMORROW. A WEATHER STORY IS ON OUR WEBPAGE AND SOCIAL MEDIA WITH
FORECAST HIGHS...RECORDS AND DATES. HIGHS WILL LOWER TO 5 TO 10
DEG F ABOVE NORMAL BY THE WEEKEND AS THE RIDGE ALOFT MOVES TO OUR
EAST AND SW FLOW DEVELOPS ALOFT. OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES OVER
THE NEXT FEW DAYS WILL BE QUITE WARM IN SOME AREAS WEST OF THE
MOUNTAINS WHERE MIXING FROM THE OFFSHORE WINDS OCCURS.
HOWEVER...IT WILL BE COOLER IN THE WIND SHELTERED AREAS. THE LOW
DEWPOINTS...WHICH HAS BEEN GIVING PEOPLE SINUS TROUBLE...WILL
IMPROVE SLIGHTLY BY THE WEEKEND AS OFFSHORE PRESSURE GRADIENTS
WEAKEN.

THE 08/1200 UTC GFS IS SHOWING AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW MOVING UP FROM
THE SW AND GENERATING PRECIP OVER SW CA EARLY NEXT WEEK.
HOWEVER...THE 08/0000 UTC ECMWF IS SHOWING A DRY RIDGE OVER US AT
THE SAME TIME. THE SOLUTIONS ARE IN SOMEWHAT BETTER AGREEMENT WITH
AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH DIGGING ACROSS THE REGION BY MID NEXT
WEEK...AND ENDING OUR DRY SPELL. DEPENDING ON THE 12 UTC RUN OF
THE ECMWF...A CHANCE OF PRECIP MAY BE INTRODUCED TO THE FORECAST
FOR NEXT MONDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...
081630...STRONG SANTA ANA WINDS IN THE MOUNTAINS...FOOTHILLS AND
VALLEYS THROUGH TUESDAY WITH GUSTS FROM 40-60 MPH...STRONG UP/DOWN
DRAFTS AND ISOLATED ROTORS. CLEAR WITH UNRESTRICTED VISIBILITY.

&&

.MARINE...

830 AM...NO HAZARDOUS MARINE WEATHER EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
GUSTY EAST-NORTH EAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING...AND
DIMINISH THROUGHOUT THE WEEK. EVEN THROUGH GUSTY WINDS ARE PRESENT
AND RH VALUES WILL DIP INTO THE TEENS IN THE AFTERNOONS...FUEL
MOISTURE LEVELS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH.
THEREFORE...NO FIRE WEATHER PRODUCTS ARE IN EFFECT OR ANTICIPATED
AT THIS TIME.

&&

.SKYWARN...
SKYWARN ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

&&

.SGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 2 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON FOR SAN BERNARDINO
     AND RIVERSIDE COUNTY VALLEYS-THE INLAND EMPIRE-SAN DIEGO
     COUNTY MOUNTAINS-SAN DIEGO COUNTY VALLEYS-SAN GORGONIO PASS
     NEAR BANNING.

     HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 2 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON FOR ORANGE
     COUNTY INLAND AREAS-SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY MOUNTAINS-SAN
     BERNARDINO AND RIVERSIDE COUNTY VALLEYS-THE INLAND EMPIRE-
     SANTA ANA MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS.

PZ...NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC/FIRE...JJT
AVIATION/MARINE...MOEDE





000
FXUS66 KSGX 081101
AFDSGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
301 AM PST MON FEB 8 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT OVER CALIFORNIA WILL BRING WELL ABOVE AVERAGE
HIGH TEMPERATURES INTO NEXT WEEKEND. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER
THE GREAT BASIN WILL BRING PERIODS OF GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS NEAR
THE COASTAL FOOTHILLS INTO TUESDAY...STRONGEST THROUGH THIS
MORNING. CONTINUED DRY WITH WEAKER WINDS FOR THE MIDDLE TO LATTER
PART OF THE WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA INCLUDING ORANGE...
SAN DIEGO...WESTERN RIVERSIDE AND SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO
COUNTIES...

.SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT ALONG THE WEST COAST WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN ON
WEDNESDAY. OFFSHORE SURFACE GRADIENTS FROM SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
OVER THE GREAT BASIN WILL PEAK THIS MORNING...THEN WEAKEN THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. GUSTY NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS NEAR COASTAL FOOTHILLS
AND BELOW PASSES AND CANYONS WILL PEAK THIS MORNING...THEN WEAKEN
DURING THE AFTERNOON. PERIODS OF GUSTY NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS
WILL CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY...BUT ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE AS STRONG
AS THIS MORNING.

THE COMBINATION OF THE HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT AND OFFSHORE FLOW WILL
BRING WELL ABOVE AVERAGE HIGH TEMPERATURES...15 TO 20 DEGREES
ABOVE AVERAGE WEST OF THE MOUNTAINS AND 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE
AVERAGE WELL INLAND. THIS WILL PUSH HIGH TEMPERATURES INTO THE
80S WEST OF THE MOUNTAINS ALMOST TO THE COAST FOR TODAY WITH
WARMEST HIGH TEMPERATURES IN SOME INLAND COASTAL AND WESTERN
VALLEY AREAS NEAR 90. SLIGHT COOLING WILL RETURN NEAR THE COAST
TUESDAY AND SPREAD SLIGHTLY FARTHER INLAND ON WEDNESDAY BUT WITH
HIGH TEMPERATURES NEAR THE COAST STILL IN THE 70S.

OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES WILL BE QUITE WARM IN SOME AREAS WEST
OF THE MOUNTAINS WHERE MIXING FROM THE OFFSHORE WINDS OCCURS AND
COOLER IN THE WIND SHELTERED AREAS. WHERE MIXING HAS BEEN
OCCURRING OVERNIGHT WEST OF THE MOUNTAINS...TEMPERATURES ARE
STILL IN THE 60S AND LOWER 70S.

THERE SHOULD BE A FEW RECORD HIGH MAXIMUM AND RECORD HIGH MINIMUM
TEMPERATURES THE NEXT FEW DAYS...ESPECIALLY FOR INLAND COASTAL AND
WESTERN VALLEY AREAS. HOWEVER...THERE HAVE HISTORICALLY BEEN SOME
VERY WARM DRY OFFSHORE EVENTS THIS TIME OF YEAR...SO THE RECORDS
ARE SUFFICIENTLY WARM IN A NUMBER OF LOCATIONS SUCH THAT ANY
RECORDS SET SHOULD BE HIT AND MISS.

&&

.LONG TERM (THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL WEAKEN AND MOVE INLAND AS A TROUGH OF
LOW PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC WEAKENS AS IT MOVES INLAND
ALONG THE WEST COAST LEAVING A WEAK CLOSED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
WELL TO THE SOUTHWEST OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. THIS WILL BRING A
SLOW COOLING TREND THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES
STILL REMAINING ABOVE AVERAGE.

FOR THE EARLY TO MIDDLE PART OF NEXT WEEK...TROPICAL AND
SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE COULD BE DRAWN NORTHWARD TOWARD SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA WITH THE GFS AND ECMWF DIFFERING IN THE DETAILS AND
TIMING OF JUST WHEN AND HOW THAT MIGHT OCCUR. THE 06Z GFS HAS
TRENDED TOWARD THE ECMWF IN DRAWING THAT CLOSED UPPER LEVEL LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM WELL TO THE SOUTHWEST OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
TOWARD THE NORTHEAST IN RESPONSE TO AN APPROACHING TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE TO THE NORTHWEST. THIS WOULD BRING THE POSSIBILITY OF
PRECIPITATION TOWARD THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...
081000...CLEAR SKIES AND UNRESTRICTED VIS ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND
TONIGHT. AREAS OF STRONG NE TO E WINDS IN AND DOWNSTREAM OF
FOOTHILLS WILL CREATE POCKETS OF STRONG UP/DOWN DRAFTS AND
LLWS...ALONG WITH ISOLATED ROTORS. LLWS MORE LIKELY AROUND KSNA AND
KONT DURING TIMES WHEN WINDS DO NOT SURFACE.

&&

.MARINE...

200 AM...NO HAZARDOUS MARINE WEATHER EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
OFFSHORE FLOW WILL BRING DRY CONDITIONS WILL LOWEST DAYTIME
HUMIDITIES FOR VALLEY AND INLAND COASTAL AREAS TODAY AROUND 10
PERCENT WITH A VERY SLIGHT RECOVERY FOR TUESDAY. THE COMBINATION
OF THE LOW HUMIDITIES WITH GUSTY NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS OF 25 TO
35 MPH NEAR THE COASTAL FOOTHILLS AND BELOW BELOW PASSES AND
CANYONS WITH STRONGER GUSTS WILL CREATE NEAR-CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR SEVERAL HOURS THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN ON
TUESDAY. HOWEVER...FUEL MOISTURE LEVELS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR
EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH...SO NO FIRE WEATHER PRODUCTS ARE IN EFFECT
OR ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

&&

.SKYWARN...
SKYWARN ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED. HOWEVER WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE
 ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS.

&&

.SGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 2 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON FOR SAN BERNARDINO
     AND RIVERSIDE COUNTY VALLEYS-THE INLAND EMPIRE-SAN DIEGO
     COUNTY MOUNTAINS-SAN DIEGO COUNTY VALLEYS-SAN GORGONIO PASS
     NEAR BANNING.

     HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 2 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON FOR ORANGE
     COUNTY INLAND AREAS-SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY MOUNTAINS-SAN
     BERNARDINO AND RIVERSIDE COUNTY VALLEYS-THE INLAND EMPIRE-
     SANTA ANA MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS.

PZ...NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC/FIRE WEATHER...17
AVIATION/MARINE...MM





000
FXUS66 KSGX 081101
AFDSGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
301 AM PST MON FEB 8 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT OVER CALIFORNIA WILL BRING WELL ABOVE AVERAGE
HIGH TEMPERATURES INTO NEXT WEEKEND. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER
THE GREAT BASIN WILL BRING PERIODS OF GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS NEAR
THE COASTAL FOOTHILLS INTO TUESDAY...STRONGEST THROUGH THIS
MORNING. CONTINUED DRY WITH WEAKER WINDS FOR THE MIDDLE TO LATTER
PART OF THE WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA INCLUDING ORANGE...
SAN DIEGO...WESTERN RIVERSIDE AND SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO
COUNTIES...

.SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT ALONG THE WEST COAST WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN ON
WEDNESDAY. OFFSHORE SURFACE GRADIENTS FROM SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
OVER THE GREAT BASIN WILL PEAK THIS MORNING...THEN WEAKEN THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. GUSTY NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS NEAR COASTAL FOOTHILLS
AND BELOW PASSES AND CANYONS WILL PEAK THIS MORNING...THEN WEAKEN
DURING THE AFTERNOON. PERIODS OF GUSTY NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS
WILL CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY...BUT ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE AS STRONG
AS THIS MORNING.

THE COMBINATION OF THE HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT AND OFFSHORE FLOW WILL
BRING WELL ABOVE AVERAGE HIGH TEMPERATURES...15 TO 20 DEGREES
ABOVE AVERAGE WEST OF THE MOUNTAINS AND 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE
AVERAGE WELL INLAND. THIS WILL PUSH HIGH TEMPERATURES INTO THE
80S WEST OF THE MOUNTAINS ALMOST TO THE COAST FOR TODAY WITH
WARMEST HIGH TEMPERATURES IN SOME INLAND COASTAL AND WESTERN
VALLEY AREAS NEAR 90. SLIGHT COOLING WILL RETURN NEAR THE COAST
TUESDAY AND SPREAD SLIGHTLY FARTHER INLAND ON WEDNESDAY BUT WITH
HIGH TEMPERATURES NEAR THE COAST STILL IN THE 70S.

OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES WILL BE QUITE WARM IN SOME AREAS WEST
OF THE MOUNTAINS WHERE MIXING FROM THE OFFSHORE WINDS OCCURS AND
COOLER IN THE WIND SHELTERED AREAS. WHERE MIXING HAS BEEN
OCCURRING OVERNIGHT WEST OF THE MOUNTAINS...TEMPERATURES ARE
STILL IN THE 60S AND LOWER 70S.

THERE SHOULD BE A FEW RECORD HIGH MAXIMUM AND RECORD HIGH MINIMUM
TEMPERATURES THE NEXT FEW DAYS...ESPECIALLY FOR INLAND COASTAL AND
WESTERN VALLEY AREAS. HOWEVER...THERE HAVE HISTORICALLY BEEN SOME
VERY WARM DRY OFFSHORE EVENTS THIS TIME OF YEAR...SO THE RECORDS
ARE SUFFICIENTLY WARM IN A NUMBER OF LOCATIONS SUCH THAT ANY
RECORDS SET SHOULD BE HIT AND MISS.

&&

.LONG TERM (THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL WEAKEN AND MOVE INLAND AS A TROUGH OF
LOW PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC WEAKENS AS IT MOVES INLAND
ALONG THE WEST COAST LEAVING A WEAK CLOSED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
WELL TO THE SOUTHWEST OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. THIS WILL BRING A
SLOW COOLING TREND THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES
STILL REMAINING ABOVE AVERAGE.

FOR THE EARLY TO MIDDLE PART OF NEXT WEEK...TROPICAL AND
SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE COULD BE DRAWN NORTHWARD TOWARD SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA WITH THE GFS AND ECMWF DIFFERING IN THE DETAILS AND
TIMING OF JUST WHEN AND HOW THAT MIGHT OCCUR. THE 06Z GFS HAS
TRENDED TOWARD THE ECMWF IN DRAWING THAT CLOSED UPPER LEVEL LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM WELL TO THE SOUTHWEST OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
TOWARD THE NORTHEAST IN RESPONSE TO AN APPROACHING TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE TO THE NORTHWEST. THIS WOULD BRING THE POSSIBILITY OF
PRECIPITATION TOWARD THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...
081000...CLEAR SKIES AND UNRESTRICTED VIS ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND
TONIGHT. AREAS OF STRONG NE TO E WINDS IN AND DOWNSTREAM OF
FOOTHILLS WILL CREATE POCKETS OF STRONG UP/DOWN DRAFTS AND
LLWS...ALONG WITH ISOLATED ROTORS. LLWS MORE LIKELY AROUND KSNA AND
KONT DURING TIMES WHEN WINDS DO NOT SURFACE.

&&

.MARINE...

200 AM...NO HAZARDOUS MARINE WEATHER EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
OFFSHORE FLOW WILL BRING DRY CONDITIONS WILL LOWEST DAYTIME
HUMIDITIES FOR VALLEY AND INLAND COASTAL AREAS TODAY AROUND 10
PERCENT WITH A VERY SLIGHT RECOVERY FOR TUESDAY. THE COMBINATION
OF THE LOW HUMIDITIES WITH GUSTY NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS OF 25 TO
35 MPH NEAR THE COASTAL FOOTHILLS AND BELOW BELOW PASSES AND
CANYONS WITH STRONGER GUSTS WILL CREATE NEAR-CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR SEVERAL HOURS THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN ON
TUESDAY. HOWEVER...FUEL MOISTURE LEVELS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR
EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH...SO NO FIRE WEATHER PRODUCTS ARE IN EFFECT
OR ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

&&

.SKYWARN...
SKYWARN ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED. HOWEVER WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE
 ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS.

&&

.SGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 2 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON FOR SAN BERNARDINO
     AND RIVERSIDE COUNTY VALLEYS-THE INLAND EMPIRE-SAN DIEGO
     COUNTY MOUNTAINS-SAN DIEGO COUNTY VALLEYS-SAN GORGONIO PASS
     NEAR BANNING.

     HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 2 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON FOR ORANGE
     COUNTY INLAND AREAS-SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY MOUNTAINS-SAN
     BERNARDINO AND RIVERSIDE COUNTY VALLEYS-THE INLAND EMPIRE-
     SANTA ANA MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS.

PZ...NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC/FIRE WEATHER...17
AVIATION/MARINE...MM




000
FXUS66 KSGX 081101
AFDSGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
301 AM PST MON FEB 8 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT OVER CALIFORNIA WILL BRING WELL ABOVE AVERAGE
HIGH TEMPERATURES INTO NEXT WEEKEND. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER
THE GREAT BASIN WILL BRING PERIODS OF GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS NEAR
THE COASTAL FOOTHILLS INTO TUESDAY...STRONGEST THROUGH THIS
MORNING. CONTINUED DRY WITH WEAKER WINDS FOR THE MIDDLE TO LATTER
PART OF THE WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA INCLUDING ORANGE...
SAN DIEGO...WESTERN RIVERSIDE AND SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO
COUNTIES...

.SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT ALONG THE WEST COAST WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN ON
WEDNESDAY. OFFSHORE SURFACE GRADIENTS FROM SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
OVER THE GREAT BASIN WILL PEAK THIS MORNING...THEN WEAKEN THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. GUSTY NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS NEAR COASTAL FOOTHILLS
AND BELOW PASSES AND CANYONS WILL PEAK THIS MORNING...THEN WEAKEN
DURING THE AFTERNOON. PERIODS OF GUSTY NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS
WILL CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY...BUT ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE AS STRONG
AS THIS MORNING.

THE COMBINATION OF THE HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT AND OFFSHORE FLOW WILL
BRING WELL ABOVE AVERAGE HIGH TEMPERATURES...15 TO 20 DEGREES
ABOVE AVERAGE WEST OF THE MOUNTAINS AND 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE
AVERAGE WELL INLAND. THIS WILL PUSH HIGH TEMPERATURES INTO THE
80S WEST OF THE MOUNTAINS ALMOST TO THE COAST FOR TODAY WITH
WARMEST HIGH TEMPERATURES IN SOME INLAND COASTAL AND WESTERN
VALLEY AREAS NEAR 90. SLIGHT COOLING WILL RETURN NEAR THE COAST
TUESDAY AND SPREAD SLIGHTLY FARTHER INLAND ON WEDNESDAY BUT WITH
HIGH TEMPERATURES NEAR THE COAST STILL IN THE 70S.

OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES WILL BE QUITE WARM IN SOME AREAS WEST
OF THE MOUNTAINS WHERE MIXING FROM THE OFFSHORE WINDS OCCURS AND
COOLER IN THE WIND SHELTERED AREAS. WHERE MIXING HAS BEEN
OCCURRING OVERNIGHT WEST OF THE MOUNTAINS...TEMPERATURES ARE
STILL IN THE 60S AND LOWER 70S.

THERE SHOULD BE A FEW RECORD HIGH MAXIMUM AND RECORD HIGH MINIMUM
TEMPERATURES THE NEXT FEW DAYS...ESPECIALLY FOR INLAND COASTAL AND
WESTERN VALLEY AREAS. HOWEVER...THERE HAVE HISTORICALLY BEEN SOME
VERY WARM DRY OFFSHORE EVENTS THIS TIME OF YEAR...SO THE RECORDS
ARE SUFFICIENTLY WARM IN A NUMBER OF LOCATIONS SUCH THAT ANY
RECORDS SET SHOULD BE HIT AND MISS.

&&

.LONG TERM (THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL WEAKEN AND MOVE INLAND AS A TROUGH OF
LOW PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC WEAKENS AS IT MOVES INLAND
ALONG THE WEST COAST LEAVING A WEAK CLOSED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
WELL TO THE SOUTHWEST OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. THIS WILL BRING A
SLOW COOLING TREND THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES
STILL REMAINING ABOVE AVERAGE.

FOR THE EARLY TO MIDDLE PART OF NEXT WEEK...TROPICAL AND
SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE COULD BE DRAWN NORTHWARD TOWARD SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA WITH THE GFS AND ECMWF DIFFERING IN THE DETAILS AND
TIMING OF JUST WHEN AND HOW THAT MIGHT OCCUR. THE 06Z GFS HAS
TRENDED TOWARD THE ECMWF IN DRAWING THAT CLOSED UPPER LEVEL LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM WELL TO THE SOUTHWEST OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
TOWARD THE NORTHEAST IN RESPONSE TO AN APPROACHING TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE TO THE NORTHWEST. THIS WOULD BRING THE POSSIBILITY OF
PRECIPITATION TOWARD THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...
081000...CLEAR SKIES AND UNRESTRICTED VIS ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND
TONIGHT. AREAS OF STRONG NE TO E WINDS IN AND DOWNSTREAM OF
FOOTHILLS WILL CREATE POCKETS OF STRONG UP/DOWN DRAFTS AND
LLWS...ALONG WITH ISOLATED ROTORS. LLWS MORE LIKELY AROUND KSNA AND
KONT DURING TIMES WHEN WINDS DO NOT SURFACE.

&&

.MARINE...

200 AM...NO HAZARDOUS MARINE WEATHER EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
OFFSHORE FLOW WILL BRING DRY CONDITIONS WILL LOWEST DAYTIME
HUMIDITIES FOR VALLEY AND INLAND COASTAL AREAS TODAY AROUND 10
PERCENT WITH A VERY SLIGHT RECOVERY FOR TUESDAY. THE COMBINATION
OF THE LOW HUMIDITIES WITH GUSTY NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS OF 25 TO
35 MPH NEAR THE COASTAL FOOTHILLS AND BELOW BELOW PASSES AND
CANYONS WITH STRONGER GUSTS WILL CREATE NEAR-CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR SEVERAL HOURS THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN ON
TUESDAY. HOWEVER...FUEL MOISTURE LEVELS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR
EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH...SO NO FIRE WEATHER PRODUCTS ARE IN EFFECT
OR ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

&&

.SKYWARN...
SKYWARN ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED. HOWEVER WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE
 ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS.

&&

.SGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 2 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON FOR SAN BERNARDINO
     AND RIVERSIDE COUNTY VALLEYS-THE INLAND EMPIRE-SAN DIEGO
     COUNTY MOUNTAINS-SAN DIEGO COUNTY VALLEYS-SAN GORGONIO PASS
     NEAR BANNING.

     HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 2 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON FOR ORANGE
     COUNTY INLAND AREAS-SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY MOUNTAINS-SAN
     BERNARDINO AND RIVERSIDE COUNTY VALLEYS-THE INLAND EMPIRE-
     SANTA ANA MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS.

PZ...NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC/FIRE WEATHER...17
AVIATION/MARINE...MM





000
FXUS66 KSGX 080538
AFDSGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
930 PM PST SUN FEB 7 2016

.SYNOPSIS... STRONG HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT OVER CALIFORNIA WILL COMBINE
WITH OFFSHORE FLOW TO BRING AREAS OF STRONG GUSTY NORTHEAXTERLY
WINDS...ESPECIALLY BELOW PASSES AND CANYONS...THROUGH TUESDAY.
DAYTIME HIGHS WILL BE WELL ABOVE AVERAGE UNDER SUNNY SKIES.
GRADUAL COOLING WILL BEGIN ALONG THE BEACHES AROUND MID-WEEK...
SPREADING INLAND LATE IN THE WEEK AS A WEAK TROUGH MOVES BY TO THE
NORTH. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED THROUGH AT LEAST NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.DISCUSSION...FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA INCLUDING ORANGE...
SAN DIEGO...WESTERN RIVERSIDE AND SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO
COUNTIES...

SKIES WERE CLEAR THIS EVENING...WITH AREAS OF EAST TO NORTHEAST
WINDS LOCALLY GUSTING AROUND 50 MPH. IT REMAINED QUITE MILD...WITH
MID-EVENING TEMPERATURES STILL IN THE 70S IN SOME
LOCATIONS...ESPECIALLY IN URBAN HEAT ISLANDS...ON SLOPES AND IN
WINDY AREAS. PRESSURE GRADIENTS WERE 8 MB OFFSHORE FROM LAS VEGAS TO
SAN DIEGO...AND THIS COULD INCREASE TO AS MUCH AS 12 MB BY MONDAY
MORNING. WINDS SHOULD PEAK EARLY MONDAY MORNING WITH LOCAL GUSTS
OVER 70 MPH IN WINDIEST LOCATIONS...MAINLY BELOW THE CAJON PASS AND
IN THE SANTA ANA MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS...THOUGH THE WEST SLOPES OF
THE SAN DIEGO COUNTY MOUNTAINS WILL HAVE WINDY AREAS AS WELL.

FULLERTON HAD THE HIGHEST NATIONAL TEMPERATURE TODAY AT 89...AND
TEMPERATURES WILL LOCALLY REACH NEAR 90 MONDAY AND TUESDAY IN INLAND
ORANGE COUNTY AND THE VALLEYS AS THE PROFILE WILL ONLY CHANGE
SLIGHTLY AS THE OFFSHORE FLOW CONTINUES MONDAY...THEN WEAKENS
TUESDAY.

THE RIDGE WILL CONTINUE OVER CALIFORNIA THROUGH MID-WEEK...THEN A
TROUGH WILL APPROACH THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND WEAKEN THE RIDGE OVER
OUR AREA. WE WILL HAVE A RETURN TO ONSHORE FLOW...AND THAT COULD
BRIEFLY GIVE US SOME MARINE LAYER STRATUS LATE IN THE WEEK...BUT
MOISTURE SUFFICIENT FOR PRECIPITATION WILL MOST LIKELY STAY TO OUR
NORTH. THERE WILL BE A COOLING TREND...THOUGH TEMPERATURES SHOULD
STAY ABOVE NORMAL IN MOST IF NOT ALL AREAS THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND.
MODELS INDICATE POSSIBLE RIDGE BUILDING EARLY NEXT WEEK...THOUGH GFS
HAS BEEN INDICATING THE LAST 2 RUNS SOME MOISTURE AND AN UPPER LOW
AROUND NEXT TUESDAY WHICH COULD GIVE US SOME PRECIPITATION. ECMWF
RUNS HAVE BEEN KEEPING US DRY THEN THOUGH.

&&

FIRE WEATHER...
THE COMBINATION OF NORTHEAST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS
IN WIND-FAVORED AREAS...AND MINIMUM RH OF AROUND TEN PERCENT MON AND
TUE...WILL CREATE NEAR-CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR SEVERAL
HOURS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND AGAIN ON TUESDAY. HOWEVER...FUEL MOISTURE
LEVELS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH...SO NO FIRE
WEATHER PRODUCTS ARE IN EFFECT OR ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

&&

.AVIATION...
080400Z...UNRESTRICTED VIS AND MOSTLY SKC THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. NE
TO E WINDS AND ASSOCIATED UDDFS/LLWS WILL STRENGTHEN IN THE
MOUNTAINS...FOOTHILLS...AND PASSES LATER THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING. SURFACE WINDS OF 25-35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50-60 KT ARE
EXPECTED. LLWS LIKELY AT KSNA AND KONT DURING TIMES WHEN WIND DOES
NOT SURFACE. KONT WILL LIKELY SEE SUSTAINED WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH
GUSTS TO 35 KT. KSNA WILL EXPERIENCE SLIGHTLY WEAKER SUSTAINED WINDS
BUT STILL GUSTS TO AROUND 25 KT.

&&

.MARINE...
800 PM...NO HAZARDOUS MARINE WEATHER EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY.

&&

.SKYWARN...
SKYWARN ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED. HOWEVER WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE
ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS.


&&

.SGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM PST MONDAY FOR SAN DIEGO COUNTY
     MOUNTAINS-SAN DIEGO COUNTY VALLEYS.

     HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 4 PM PST MONDAY FOR ORANGE COUNTY INLAND
     AREAS-RIVERSIDE COUNTY MOUNTAINS-SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY
     MOUNTAINS-SAN BERNARDINO AND RIVERSIDE COUNTY VALLEYS-THE
     INLAND EMPIRE-SAN GORGONIO PASS NEAR BANNING-SANTA ANA
     MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS.

PZ...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC/FIRE WEATHER...MAXWELL
AVIATION/MARINE...TS





000
FXUS66 KSGX 080538
AFDSGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
930 PM PST SUN FEB 7 2016

.SYNOPSIS... STRONG HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT OVER CALIFORNIA WILL COMBINE
WITH OFFSHORE FLOW TO BRING AREAS OF STRONG GUSTY NORTHEAXTERLY
WINDS...ESPECIALLY BELOW PASSES AND CANYONS...THROUGH TUESDAY.
DAYTIME HIGHS WILL BE WELL ABOVE AVERAGE UNDER SUNNY SKIES.
GRADUAL COOLING WILL BEGIN ALONG THE BEACHES AROUND MID-WEEK...
SPREADING INLAND LATE IN THE WEEK AS A WEAK TROUGH MOVES BY TO THE
NORTH. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED THROUGH AT LEAST NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.DISCUSSION...FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA INCLUDING ORANGE...
SAN DIEGO...WESTERN RIVERSIDE AND SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO
COUNTIES...

SKIES WERE CLEAR THIS EVENING...WITH AREAS OF EAST TO NORTHEAST
WINDS LOCALLY GUSTING AROUND 50 MPH. IT REMAINED QUITE MILD...WITH
MID-EVENING TEMPERATURES STILL IN THE 70S IN SOME
LOCATIONS...ESPECIALLY IN URBAN HEAT ISLANDS...ON SLOPES AND IN
WINDY AREAS. PRESSURE GRADIENTS WERE 8 MB OFFSHORE FROM LAS VEGAS TO
SAN DIEGO...AND THIS COULD INCREASE TO AS MUCH AS 12 MB BY MONDAY
MORNING. WINDS SHOULD PEAK EARLY MONDAY MORNING WITH LOCAL GUSTS
OVER 70 MPH IN WINDIEST LOCATIONS...MAINLY BELOW THE CAJON PASS AND
IN THE SANTA ANA MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS...THOUGH THE WEST SLOPES OF
THE SAN DIEGO COUNTY MOUNTAINS WILL HAVE WINDY AREAS AS WELL.

FULLERTON HAD THE HIGHEST NATIONAL TEMPERATURE TODAY AT 89...AND
TEMPERATURES WILL LOCALLY REACH NEAR 90 MONDAY AND TUESDAY IN INLAND
ORANGE COUNTY AND THE VALLEYS AS THE PROFILE WILL ONLY CHANGE
SLIGHTLY AS THE OFFSHORE FLOW CONTINUES MONDAY...THEN WEAKENS
TUESDAY.

THE RIDGE WILL CONTINUE OVER CALIFORNIA THROUGH MID-WEEK...THEN A
TROUGH WILL APPROACH THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND WEAKEN THE RIDGE OVER
OUR AREA. WE WILL HAVE A RETURN TO ONSHORE FLOW...AND THAT COULD
BRIEFLY GIVE US SOME MARINE LAYER STRATUS LATE IN THE WEEK...BUT
MOISTURE SUFFICIENT FOR PRECIPITATION WILL MOST LIKELY STAY TO OUR
NORTH. THERE WILL BE A COOLING TREND...THOUGH TEMPERATURES SHOULD
STAY ABOVE NORMAL IN MOST IF NOT ALL AREAS THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND.
MODELS INDICATE POSSIBLE RIDGE BUILDING EARLY NEXT WEEK...THOUGH GFS
HAS BEEN INDICATING THE LAST 2 RUNS SOME MOISTURE AND AN UPPER LOW
AROUND NEXT TUESDAY WHICH COULD GIVE US SOME PRECIPITATION. ECMWF
RUNS HAVE BEEN KEEPING US DRY THEN THOUGH.

&&

FIRE WEATHER...
THE COMBINATION OF NORTHEAST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS
IN WIND-FAVORED AREAS...AND MINIMUM RH OF AROUND TEN PERCENT MON AND
TUE...WILL CREATE NEAR-CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR SEVERAL
HOURS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND AGAIN ON TUESDAY. HOWEVER...FUEL MOISTURE
LEVELS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH...SO NO FIRE
WEATHER PRODUCTS ARE IN EFFECT OR ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

&&

.AVIATION...
080400Z...UNRESTRICTED VIS AND MOSTLY SKC THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. NE
TO E WINDS AND ASSOCIATED UDDFS/LLWS WILL STRENGTHEN IN THE
MOUNTAINS...FOOTHILLS...AND PASSES LATER THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING. SURFACE WINDS OF 25-35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50-60 KT ARE
EXPECTED. LLWS LIKELY AT KSNA AND KONT DURING TIMES WHEN WIND DOES
NOT SURFACE. KONT WILL LIKELY SEE SUSTAINED WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH
GUSTS TO 35 KT. KSNA WILL EXPERIENCE SLIGHTLY WEAKER SUSTAINED WINDS
BUT STILL GUSTS TO AROUND 25 KT.

&&

.MARINE...
800 PM...NO HAZARDOUS MARINE WEATHER EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY.

&&

.SKYWARN...
SKYWARN ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED. HOWEVER WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE
ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS.


&&

.SGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM PST MONDAY FOR SAN DIEGO COUNTY
     MOUNTAINS-SAN DIEGO COUNTY VALLEYS.

     HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 4 PM PST MONDAY FOR ORANGE COUNTY INLAND
     AREAS-RIVERSIDE COUNTY MOUNTAINS-SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY
     MOUNTAINS-SAN BERNARDINO AND RIVERSIDE COUNTY VALLEYS-THE
     INLAND EMPIRE-SAN GORGONIO PASS NEAR BANNING-SANTA ANA
     MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS.

PZ...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC/FIRE WEATHER...MAXWELL
AVIATION/MARINE...TS





000
FXUS66 KSGX 080538
AFDSGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
930 PM PST SUN FEB 7 2016

.SYNOPSIS... STRONG HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT OVER CALIFORNIA WILL COMBINE
WITH OFFSHORE FLOW TO BRING AREAS OF STRONG GUSTY NORTHEAXTERLY
WINDS...ESPECIALLY BELOW PASSES AND CANYONS...THROUGH TUESDAY.
DAYTIME HIGHS WILL BE WELL ABOVE AVERAGE UNDER SUNNY SKIES.
GRADUAL COOLING WILL BEGIN ALONG THE BEACHES AROUND MID-WEEK...
SPREADING INLAND LATE IN THE WEEK AS A WEAK TROUGH MOVES BY TO THE
NORTH. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED THROUGH AT LEAST NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.DISCUSSION...FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA INCLUDING ORANGE...
SAN DIEGO...WESTERN RIVERSIDE AND SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO
COUNTIES...

SKIES WERE CLEAR THIS EVENING...WITH AREAS OF EAST TO NORTHEAST
WINDS LOCALLY GUSTING AROUND 50 MPH. IT REMAINED QUITE MILD...WITH
MID-EVENING TEMPERATURES STILL IN THE 70S IN SOME
LOCATIONS...ESPECIALLY IN URBAN HEAT ISLANDS...ON SLOPES AND IN
WINDY AREAS. PRESSURE GRADIENTS WERE 8 MB OFFSHORE FROM LAS VEGAS TO
SAN DIEGO...AND THIS COULD INCREASE TO AS MUCH AS 12 MB BY MONDAY
MORNING. WINDS SHOULD PEAK EARLY MONDAY MORNING WITH LOCAL GUSTS
OVER 70 MPH IN WINDIEST LOCATIONS...MAINLY BELOW THE CAJON PASS AND
IN THE SANTA ANA MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS...THOUGH THE WEST SLOPES OF
THE SAN DIEGO COUNTY MOUNTAINS WILL HAVE WINDY AREAS AS WELL.

FULLERTON HAD THE HIGHEST NATIONAL TEMPERATURE TODAY AT 89...AND
TEMPERATURES WILL LOCALLY REACH NEAR 90 MONDAY AND TUESDAY IN INLAND
ORANGE COUNTY AND THE VALLEYS AS THE PROFILE WILL ONLY CHANGE
SLIGHTLY AS THE OFFSHORE FLOW CONTINUES MONDAY...THEN WEAKENS
TUESDAY.

THE RIDGE WILL CONTINUE OVER CALIFORNIA THROUGH MID-WEEK...THEN A
TROUGH WILL APPROACH THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND WEAKEN THE RIDGE OVER
OUR AREA. WE WILL HAVE A RETURN TO ONSHORE FLOW...AND THAT COULD
BRIEFLY GIVE US SOME MARINE LAYER STRATUS LATE IN THE WEEK...BUT
MOISTURE SUFFICIENT FOR PRECIPITATION WILL MOST LIKELY STAY TO OUR
NORTH. THERE WILL BE A COOLING TREND...THOUGH TEMPERATURES SHOULD
STAY ABOVE NORMAL IN MOST IF NOT ALL AREAS THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND.
MODELS INDICATE POSSIBLE RIDGE BUILDING EARLY NEXT WEEK...THOUGH GFS
HAS BEEN INDICATING THE LAST 2 RUNS SOME MOISTURE AND AN UPPER LOW
AROUND NEXT TUESDAY WHICH COULD GIVE US SOME PRECIPITATION. ECMWF
RUNS HAVE BEEN KEEPING US DRY THEN THOUGH.

&&

FIRE WEATHER...
THE COMBINATION OF NORTHEAST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS
IN WIND-FAVORED AREAS...AND MINIMUM RH OF AROUND TEN PERCENT MON AND
TUE...WILL CREATE NEAR-CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR SEVERAL
HOURS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND AGAIN ON TUESDAY. HOWEVER...FUEL MOISTURE
LEVELS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH...SO NO FIRE
WEATHER PRODUCTS ARE IN EFFECT OR ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

&&

.AVIATION...
080400Z...UNRESTRICTED VIS AND MOSTLY SKC THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. NE
TO E WINDS AND ASSOCIATED UDDFS/LLWS WILL STRENGTHEN IN THE
MOUNTAINS...FOOTHILLS...AND PASSES LATER THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING. SURFACE WINDS OF 25-35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50-60 KT ARE
EXPECTED. LLWS LIKELY AT KSNA AND KONT DURING TIMES WHEN WIND DOES
NOT SURFACE. KONT WILL LIKELY SEE SUSTAINED WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH
GUSTS TO 35 KT. KSNA WILL EXPERIENCE SLIGHTLY WEAKER SUSTAINED WINDS
BUT STILL GUSTS TO AROUND 25 KT.

&&

.MARINE...
800 PM...NO HAZARDOUS MARINE WEATHER EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY.

&&

.SKYWARN...
SKYWARN ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED. HOWEVER WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE
ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS.


&&

.SGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM PST MONDAY FOR SAN DIEGO COUNTY
     MOUNTAINS-SAN DIEGO COUNTY VALLEYS.

     HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 4 PM PST MONDAY FOR ORANGE COUNTY INLAND
     AREAS-RIVERSIDE COUNTY MOUNTAINS-SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY
     MOUNTAINS-SAN BERNARDINO AND RIVERSIDE COUNTY VALLEYS-THE
     INLAND EMPIRE-SAN GORGONIO PASS NEAR BANNING-SANTA ANA
     MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS.

PZ...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC/FIRE WEATHER...MAXWELL
AVIATION/MARINE...TS




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