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000
FXUS64 KSHV 180313
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1013 PM CDT THU APR 17 2014

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER TROF CONTINUES TO ADVANCE SEWRD ALONG THE RED RIVER VALLEY
OF TX/OK WITH SOME INDICATIONS OF LIGHT SHWRS ON RADAR MOSAIC OVER
N CNTRL TX AND SE OK. IN ADDITION...CONTINUING TO WATCH SIMILAR
ECHOES OVER PARTS OF N CNTRL AND NE LA. QUESTION IS HOW MUCH RAIN
IS ACTUALLY REACHING THE SFC AND BY LOOKING AT LATEST OBSERVATION
TRENDS...THE ANSWER IS LITTLE IF ANY. HOWEVER...DO ANTICIPATE SOME
LIGHT QPF OVERNIGHT SO HAVE CARRIED 20 POPS ACROSS THE BOARD TO
ACCOUNT FOR THE TROF AND WEAKENING FRONTAL BNDRY IN SRN OK/NRN TX.
MOSTLY COSMETIC CHANGES ELSEWHERE IN THE GRIDS TO INCLUDE TEMPS
OVERNIGHT AND DEW POINTS TO BETTER MIMAC OBS AND TRENDS GOING
FORWARD LATER TONIGHT...ALSO INCREASED SKY COVER A BIT ALTHOUGH
WORDING IN THE ZONES LIKELY WILL NOT CHANGE. DID ALSO CARRY SLIGHT
CHANCE POPS OVER INTO FRIDAY MORNING AFTER DAYBREAK ACROSS THE
EAST AS THE TROF LIFTS OUT. OTHERWISE...NO OTHER CHANGES NEEDED AT
THE MOMENT. UPDATED PRODUCTS HAVE ALREADY BEEN SENT. /19/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 654 PM CDT THU APR 17 2014/

AVIATION...
MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THE 00Z TAF PERIOD.
SOME CU/AC AND AN EXTENSIVE CIRRUS SHIELD WILL PERSIST ACROSS
NCNTRL LA/SCNTRL AR THIS EVENING AHEAD OF A SHARP UPPER TROUGH
EXTENDING S FROM THE NRN PLAINS INTO S TX...WITH A LARGE SUCKER
HOLE NOTED IN A 50NM WIDE AREA OVER SW AR/NW LA/E TX. THIS SHOULD
QUICKLY FILL IN WITH AN EXTENSIVE 9-11KFT CIG...ALTHOUGH LOWER CU
CIGS NEAR 4.5KFT WILL SHIFT E THIS EVENING AND THEN S
OVERNIGHT...AFFECTING THE E TX TERMINALS. CAN/T RULE OUT A FEW
ISOLATED -SHRA ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT AHEAD OF THE
TROUGH...BUT THIS SHOULD NOT AFFECT CIGS/VSBYS AND WILL NOT CARRY
MENTION IN THE TAFS ATTM. HIGH BASED MVFR CIGS WILL BE POSSIBLE
AFTER 09Z THROUGH MUCH OF THE MORNING FRIDAY OVER NE LA...BUT
SHOULD GRADUALLY LIFT BY EARLY AFTERNOON WITH DIURNAL HEATING. THE
AC FIELD SHOULD DIMINISH FROM W TO E BY MID TO LATE MORNING FRIDAY
OVER E TX/SE OK/SW AR...AND OVER WRN LA DURING THE AFTERNOON AS
THE TROUGH AXIS SHIFTS E TOWARDS THE MS RIVER. CAN/T RULE OUT
ISOLATED -SHRA DEVELOPING OVER SCNTRL AR/NCNTRL LA ON THE BACKSIDE
OF THE TROUGH AXIS AFTER 18Z...WHICH COULD AFFECT THE ELD/MLU
TERMINALS BUT AGAIN...DO NOT HAVE ENOUGH CONFIDENCE INSERTING
MENTION IN THE TAFS ATTM. A SCT CU FIELD SHOULD DEVELOP BY
MIDDAY/EARLY AFTERNOON FARTHER W ACROSS THE REGION ON THE BACKSIDE
OF THE TROUGH...WHICH WILL DIMINISH DURING THE EVENING WITH THE
LOSS OF HEATING. LT NE OR LT/VRB WINDS TONIGHT WILL BECOME NNE
5-10KTS AFTER 15Z. /15/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  53  76  57  80  60 /  20  10  10  10  10
MLU  55  74  56  78  61 /  20  20  10  10  10
DEQ  46  76  52  77  58 /  20  10  10  10  10
TXK  50  75  55  79  61 /  20  10  10  10  10
ELD  50  75  54  78  60 /  20  20  10  10  10
TYR  54  78  57  79  61 /  20  10  10  10  10
GGG  52  78  56  79  60 /  20  10  10  10  10
LFK  53  79  57  80  63 /  20  10  10  10  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

19







000
FXUS64 KSHV 172354 AAA
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
654 PM CDT THU APR 17 2014

.AVIATION...
MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THE 00Z TAF PERIOD.
SOME CU/AC AND AN EXTENSIVE CIRRUS SHIELD WILL PERSIST ACROSS
NCNTRL LA/SCNTRL AR THIS EVENING AHEAD OF A SHARP UPPER TROUGH
EXTENDING S FROM THE NRN PLAINS INTO S TX...WITH A LARGE SUCKER
HOLE NOTED IN A 50NM WIDE AREA OVER SW AR/NW LA/E TX. THIS SHOULD
QUICKLY FILL IN WITH AN EXTENSIVE 9-11KFT CIG...ALTHOUGH LOWER CU
CIGS NEAR 4.5KFT WILL SHIFT E THIS EVENING AND THEN S
OVERNIGHT...AFFECTING THE E TX TERMINALS. CAN/T RULE OUT A FEW
ISOLATED -SHRA ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT AHEAD OF THE
TROUGH...BUT THIS SHOULD NOT AFFECT CIGS/VSBYS AND WILL NOT CARRY
MENTION IN THE TAFS ATTM. HIGH BASED MVFR CIGS WILL BE POSSIBLE
AFTER 09Z THROUGH MUCH OF THE MORNING FRIDAY OVER NE LA...BUT
SHOULD GRADUALLY LIFT BY EARLY AFTERNOON WITH DIURNAL HEATING. THE
AC FIELD SHOULD DIMINISH FROM W TO E BY MID TO LATE MORNING FRIDAY
OVER E TX/SE OK/SW AR...AND OVER WRN LA DURING THE AFTERNOON AS
THE TROUGH AXIS SHIFTS E TOWARDS THE MS RIVER. CAN/T RULE OUT
ISOLATED -SHRA DEVELOPING OVER SCNTRL AR/NCNTRL LA ON THE BACKSIDE
OF THE TROUGH AXIS AFTER 18Z...WHICH COULD AFFECT THE ELD/MLU
TERMINALS BUT AGAIN...DO NOT HAVE ENOUGH CONFIDENCE INSERTING
MENTION IN THE TAFS ATTM. A SCT CU FIELD SHOULD DEVELOP BY
MIDDAY/EARLY AFTERNOON FARTHER W ACROSS THE REGION ON THE BACKSIDE
OF THE TROUGH...WHICH WILL DIMINISH DURING THE EVENING WITH THE
LOSS OF HEATING. LT NE OR LT/VRB WINDS TONIGHT WILL BECOME NNE
5-10KTS AFTER 15Z. /15/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 229 PM CDT THU APR 17 2014/

DISCUSSION...
WEAKENING CONVECTION FROM A LARGER OFFSHORE TSTM COMPLEX...HAS
BEEN DRIFTING NWD ACROSS NORTHCENTRAL LA THIS AFTN. ADJUSTED
EVENING POPS TO 20 AND 30 PERCENT ACROSS MAINLY EASTERN CWA.
HOWEVER...EXPECT RAINFALL TO REMAIN FAIRLY LIGHT. UPPER LOW TO DIG
SE INTO INTO LOWER MS VALLEY...DRAGGING A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY
INTO AREA TONIGHT. WILL MAINTAIN SOME ISOLD POPS FOR SHOWERS...AS
THIS BOUNDARY CONTINUES TO WASH OUT AND NOT AFFECT THE CURRENT
WARMING TREND UNDERWAY. HIGH IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS...WITH HIGHS AT LEAST 80 FOR MUCH OF AREA BY THE WEEKEND...
UNDERNEATH UPPER RIDGE WITH A SLOWER TREND ON NEXT UPPER LVL
SYSTEM...WHICH NOW APPEARS TO KEEP SCATTERED CONVECTION WEST OF
THE CWA UNTIL AT LEAST LATER IN THE DAY ON SUNDAY...EXCEPT FOR
PERHAPS THE RED RIVER VALLEY REGION OF OK/TX COULD SEE A SHOWER BY
MIDDAY OR SO. MODERATE INSTABILITY AND MARGINAL LOW LVL DYNAMCS
COULD MEAN ISOLD STG TO SVR STORMS TOWARDS END OF WEEKEND INTO
MONDAY. HOWEVER...NO INDICATIONS OF AN EASTER REPEAT OF ANY
ORGANISED SVR WX OUTBREAK ARE SEEN ATTM. /VII/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  53  76  57  80  60 /  20  10  10  10  10
MLU  56  74  56  78  61 /  30  10  10  10  10
DEQ  46  76  52  77  58 /  10  10  10  10  10
TXK  51  75  55  79  61 /  20  10  10  10  10
ELD  50  75  54  78  60 /  20  10  10  10  10
TYR  54  78  57  79  61 /  10  10  10  10  10
GGG  53  78  56  79  60 /  20  10  10  10  10
LFK  54  79  57  80  63 /  20  10  10  10  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

15







000
FXUS64 KSHV 171929
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
229 PM CDT THU APR 17 2014

.DISCUSSION...
WEAKENING CONVECTION FROM A LARGER OFFSHORE TSTM COMPLEX...HAS
BEEN DRIFTING NWD ACROSS NORTHCENTRAL LA THIS AFTN. ADJUSTED
EVENING POPS TO 20 AND 30 PERCENT ACROSS MAINLY EASTERN CWA.
HOWEVER...EXPECT RAINFALL TO REMAIN FAIRLY LIGHT. UPPER LOW TO DIG
SE INTO INTO LOWER MS VALLEY...DRAGGING A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY
INTO AREA TONIGHT. WILL MAINTAIN SOME ISOLD POPS FOR SHOWERS...AS
THIS BOUNDARY CONTINUES TO WASH OUT AND NOT AFFECT THE CURRENT
WARMING TREND UNDERWAY. HIGH IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS...WITH HIGHS AT LEAST 80 FOR MUCH OF AREA BY THE WEEKEND...
UNDERNEATH UPPER RIDGE WITH A SLOWER TREND ON NEXT UPPER LVL
SYSTEM...WHICH NOW APPEARS TO KEEP SCATTERED CONVECTION WEST OF
THE CWA UNTIL AT LEAST LATER IN THE DAY ON SUNDAY...EXCEPT FOR
PERHAPS THE RED RIVER VALLEY REGION OF OK/TX COULD SEE A SHOWER BY
MIDDAY OR SO. MODERATE INSTABILITY AND MARGINAL LOW LVL DYNAMCS
COULD MEAN ISOLD STG TO SVR STORMS TOWARDS END OF WEEKEND INTO
MONDAY. HOWEVER...NO INDICATIONS OF AN EASTER REPEAT OF ANY
ORGANISED SVR WX OUTBREAK ARE SEEN ATTM./VII/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  53  76  57  80  60 /  20  10  10  10  10
MLU  56  74  56  78  61 /  30  10  10  10  10
DEQ  46  76  52  77  58 /  10  10  10  10  10
TXK  51  75  55  79  61 /  20  10  10  10  10
ELD  50  75  54  78  60 /  20  10  10  10  10
TYR  54  78  57  79  61 /  10  10  10  10  10
GGG  53  78  56  79  60 /  20  10  10  10  10
LFK  54  79  57  80  63 /  20  10  10  10  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KSHV 171733
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1233 PM CDT THU APR 17 2014

.AVIATION...
EXTENSIVE VFR CU FIELD TO PREVAIL AHEAD OF AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
THAT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION THIS EVENING. WIDELY SCT -SHRA
POSSIBLE AFTER 18/00Z ACROSS AREA TERMINALS BUT INSUFFICIENT
COVERAGE TO MENTION IN TAF FORECAST AT THIS TIME. MVFR CEILINGS
AND VISIBILITIES POSSIBLE BY DAYBREAK ACROSS LFK/MLU SITES.
OTHERWISE...SKIES TO CLEAR FROM THE WEST AFTER 18/12Z. ESE WINDS
5-10KTS TODAY BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT AND NORTHEAST
5-10KTS ON FRIDAY. /15/



&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  53  76  57  81  59 /  20  10  10  10  10
MLU  54  74  56  78  60 /  20  10  10  10  10
DEQ  46  77  52  76  57 /  20  10  10  10  10
TXK  51  75  55  78  60 /  20  10  10  10  10
ELD  50  75  54  78  59 /  20  10  10  10  10
TYR  54  75  57  78  60 /  20  10  10  10  20
GGG  53  75  56  78  59 /  20  10  10  10  20
LFK  54  78  57  80  62 /  20  10  10  10  20

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

05







000
FXUS64 KSHV 171533
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1033 AM CDT THU APR 17 2014

.DISCUSSION...
SHORT WAVE NEAR COAST CREATING CONVECTION OVER GULF...WITH SHOWERS
MOVG NEWD ONSHORE...BUT WEAKENING AS THEY MOVE INTO MORE STABLE
AIRMASS...AS SEEN ON 12Z LCH RAOB. ADDED ISOLD SHOWERS TO FCST FOR
THIS AFTN...TO SOUTHERN PORTIONS TO ACCOUNT FOR SHOWERS TRYING TO
WORK THEIR WAY FROM THE SOUTH. TEMPERATURES HAVE BEEN STEADILY
CLIMBING DESPITE THICKENING MID LVL CLOUDINESS...SO FOR NOW...WILL STILL
EXPECT AFTN TEMPS TO REACH UPPER 60S TO AROUND 70./VII/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 418 AM CDT THU APR 17 2014/

DISCUSSION...
OVERALL...NEXT 7 DAYS WILL REMAIN FAIRLY ACTIVE WITH PERSISTENT
RAIN CHANCES BEYOND NEXT WEEKEND...HOWEVER SEVERE WEATHER THREAT
SHOULD BE LOW FOR MUCH OF THE NEXT WEEK. TEMPS WILL CONTINUE TO
GRADUALLY WARM DESPITE THE REPEATED RAIN CHANCES.

TODAY SHOULD BE RAIN FREE UNTIL AFTER 00Z. TWO SHORTWAVE
TROUGHS...ONE CURRENTLY OVER SE CO AND ANOTHER JUST SE OF THE BIG
BEND OF TX WILL MOVE EWD OVER THE NEXT 24 HRS. THE SRN WAVE SHOULD
MOVE WELL S OF THE CWA AND ANY PRECIP SHOULD BE CONFINED MORE
TOWARDS THE GULF COAST. LATEST RUN OF THE HRRR BREAKS OUT SOME
QPF ACROSS DEEP E TX LATER THIS MORNING BUT NONE OF THE OTHER
MODELS ARE REALLY PICKING UP ON THIS. LATEST RADAR LOOPS INDICATE
CONVECTION ACROSS CNTRL TX SHOULD STAY S OF THE CWA. THUS...WILL
KEEP THE DAYTIME HRS DRY. BETTER CHANCES FOR SHWRS WILL LIKELY BE
THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT AS THE CO SHORTWAVE DIVES SE TOWARDS THE
CWA AND EVENTUALLY MERGES WITH THE TX TROUGH OVER THE LOWER MS
VALLEY. WEAK COLD FRONT WILL ALSO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT
WHICH SHOULD PROVIDE A FOCUS FOR A FEW SCT SHWRS. INSTABILITY
LOOKS TO BE QUITE MEAGER SO WILL NOT MENTION THUNDER AT THIS TIME.

FRIDAY AND SATURDAY SHOULD BE DRY AS AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDS OVER
THE AREA. FLOW ALOFT WILL REMAIN PROGRESSIVE THOUGH AND THE RIDGE
SHOULD MOVE E BY SATURDAY EVENING ALLOWING THE FLOW TO TRANSITION
TO SWLY. DEEP LAYER MOISTURE WILL INCREASE WHILE A SERIES OF WEAK
UPPER WAVES MOVE ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS. RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE
BEGINNING EARLY SUNDAY AS THE FIRST OF THESE WEAK IMPULSES
APPROACHES AND CONVECTION MOVES INTO THE CWA FROM THE W. BEST
CHANCES FOR SHWRS/TSTMS WILL LIKELY BE LATE SUNDAY AND INTO EARLY
MONDAY MORNING AS AN UPPER TROUGH ARRIVES. CANNOT RULE OUT AN
ISOLATED SEVERE STORM OR TWO BUT INSTABILITY SHOULD BE RATHER LOW
DUE TO THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING SUNDAY NIGHT/MONDAY MORNING.
CHANCES FOR SCT SHWRS/TSTMS WILL PERSIST INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS
THE UPPER TROUGH AND COLD FRONT WILL BE VERY SLOW TO PROGRESS.
GFS/ECMWF HAVE BEEN VERY CONSISTENT IN KEEPING RAIN IN THE AREA
UNTIL THE FRONT FINALLY CLEARS THE CWA SO HAVE EXTENDED SLIGHT
CHANCE POPS INTO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

AFTER A BRIEF BREAK...ACTIVE PATTERN LOOKS TO CONTINUE AS A MUCH
STRONGER UPPER TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE COUNTRY LATE NEXT WEEK BUT
IT APPEARS THE TROUGH WILL BE FARTHER N ACROSS THE CNTRL/NRN
PLAINS. STILL...A COLD FRONT AT THE SFC SHOULD STILL PROVIDE AT
LEAST A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR CONVECTION. /09/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  70  53  76  57  81 /  10  20  10  10  10
MLU  71  54  74  56  78 /  10  20  10  10  10
DEQ  70  46  77  52  76 /  10  20  10  10  10
TXK  70  51  75  55  78 /  10  20  10  10  10
ELD  70  50  75  54  78 /  10  20  10  10  10
TYR  70  54  75  57  78 /  10  20  10  10  10
GGG  70  53  75  56  78 /  10  20  10  10  10
LFK  71  54  78  57  80 /  10  20  10  10  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KSHV 170918
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
418 AM CDT THU APR 17 2014

.DISCUSSION...
OVERALL...NEXT 7 DAYS WILL REMAIN FAIRLY ACTIVE WITH PERSISTENT
RAIN CHANCES BEYOND NEXT WEEKEND...HOWEVER SEVERE WEATHER THREAT
SHOULD BE LOW FOR MUCH OF THE NEXT WEEK. TEMPS WILL CONTINUE TO
GRADUALLY WARM DESPITE THE REPEATED RAIN CHANCES.

TODAY SHOULD BE RAIN FREE UNTIL AFTER 00Z. TWO SHORTWAVE
TROUGHS...ONE CURRENTLY OVER SE CO AND ANOTHER JUST SE OF THE BIG
BEND OF TX WILL MOVE EWD OVER THE NEXT 24 HRS. THE SRN WAVE SHOULD
MOVE WELL S OF THE CWA AND ANY PRECIP SHOULD BE CONFINED MORE
TOWARDS THE GULF COAST. LATEST RUN OF THE HRRR BREAKS OUT SOME
QPF ACROSS DEEP E TX LATER THIS MORNING BUT NONE OF THE OTHER
MODELS ARE REALLY PICKING UP ON THIS. LATEST RADAR LOOPS INDICATE
CONVECTION ACROSS CNTRL TX SHOULD STAY S OF THE CWA. THUS...WILL
KEEP THE DAYTIME HRS DRY. BETTER CHANCES FOR SHWRS WILL LIKELY BE
THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT AS THE CO SHORTWAVE DIVES SE TOWARDS THE
CWA AND EVENTUALLY MERGES WITH THE TX TROUGH OVER THE LOWER MS
VALLEY. WEAK COLD FRONT WILL ALSO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT
WHICH SHOULD PROVIDE A FOCUS FOR A FEW SCT SHWRS. INSTABILITY
LOOKS TO BE QUITE MEAGER SO WILL NOT MENTION THUNDER AT THIS TIME.

FRIDAY AND SATURDAY SHOULD BE DRY AS AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDS OVER
THE AREA. FLOW ALOFT WILL REMAIN PROGRESSIVE THOUGH AND THE RIDGE
SHOULD MOVE E BY SATURDAY EVENING ALLOWING THE FLOW TO TRANSITION
TO SWLY. DEEP LAYER MOISTURE WILL INCREASE WHILE A SERIES OF WEAK
UPPER WAVES MOVE ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS. RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE
BEGINNING EARLY SUNDAY AS THE FIRST OF THESE WEAK IMPULSES
APPROACHES AND CONVECTION MOVES INTO THE CWA FROM THE W. BEST
CHANCES FOR SHWRS/TSTMS WILL LIKELY BE LATE SUNDAY AND INTO EARLY
MONDAY MORNING AS AN UPPER TROUGH ARRIVES. CANNOT RULE OUT AN
ISOLATED SEVERE STORM OR TWO BUT INSTABILITY SHOULD BE RATHER LOW
DUE TO THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING SUNDAY NIGHT/MONDAY MORNING.
CHANCES FOR SCT SHWRS/TSTMS WILL PERSIST INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS
THE UPPER TROUGH AND COLD FRONT WILL BE VERY SLOW TO PROGRESS.
GFS/ECMWF HAVE BEEN VERY CONSISTENT IN KEEPING RAIN IN THE AREA
UNTIL THE FRONT FINALLY CLEARS THE CWA SO HAVE EXTENDED SLIGHT
CHANCE POPS INTO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

AFTER A BRIEF BREAK...ACTIVE PATTERN LOOKS TO CONTINUE AS A MUCH
STRONGER UPPER TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE COUNTRY LATE NEXT WEEK BUT
IT APPEARS THE TROUGH WILL BE FARTHER N ACROSS THE CNTRL/NRN
PLAINS. STILL...A COLD FRONT AT THE SFC SHOULD STILL PROVIDE AT
LEAST A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR CONVECTION. /09/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  70  53  76  57  81 /  10  20  10  10  10
MLU  71  54  74  56  78 /  10  20  10  10  10
DEQ  70  46  77  52  76 /  10  20  10  10  10
TXK  70  51  75  55  78 /  10  20  10  10  10
ELD  70  50  75  54  78 /  10  20  10  10  10
TYR  70  54  75  57  78 /  10  20  10  10  10
GGG  70  53  75  56  78 /  10  20  10  10  10
LFK  71  54  78  57  80 /  10  20  10  10  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

09/13






000
FXUS64 KSHV 170505 AAA
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1205 AM CDT THU APR 17 2014

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE 06Z TAF PERIOD.
WHILE THE EXTENSIVE CIRRUS HAS SHIFTED E OF THE REGION LATE THIS
EVENING...ANOTHER BAND OF THICK CIRRUS OVER SCNTRL/SE TX WILL
BEGIN TO SHIFT NE INTO THE REGION BY DAYBREAK...ENCOMPASSING MUCH
OF THE REGION AHEAD OF AN UPPER TROUGH THAT WILL ENTER THE SRN
PLAINS BY EARLY AFTERNOON. ALSO CAN/T RULE OUT BRIEF HIGH MVFR
CIGS AROUND/JUST AFTER DAYBREAK ACROSS THE WRN SECTIONS OF E
TX...BUT CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW IN THIS OCCURRING AND THUS HAVE
ONLY TEMPOED MENTION IN FOR THE TYR/LFK TERMINALS BEFORE ANY LOW
CIGS LIFT/BECOME VFR. THE MORE EXTENSIVE VFR CU FIELD SHOULD
REMAIN JUST TO THE W OVER CNTRL TX...ALTHOUGH A SCT CU FIELD
SHOULD DEVELOP FARTHER E AS THE LOW LEVELS BEGINS TO MOISTEN UNDER
A SERLY FLOW. WITH THE APPROACH OF THE UPPER TROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING...SHOULD START TO SEE AN INCREASE IN AC OVER THE
REGION...IN ADDITION TO THE CU FIELD WHICH MAY THICKEN OVER NCNTRL
LA. CAN/T RULE OUT WIDELY SCT -SHRA AFTER 00Z FRIDAY OVER EXTREME
NE TX/SE OK/SW AR/NW LA...BUT LOW CONFIDENCE IN THIS AFFECTING
CIGS/VSBYS PRECLUDES MENTION IN THE TAF FORECAST ATTM. LIGHT SE
WINDS TONIGHT WILL BECOME ESE 5-10KTS AFTER 15Z. /15/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 945 PM CDT WED APR 16 2014/

DISCUSSION...
A QUIET NIGHT ACROSS THE FOUR STATE AREA THIS EVENING WITH EXITING
CIRRUS EAST AND A BIT MORE TO DRAPE DEEP E TX AND TOLEDO BEND
COUNTRY IN THE COMING HOURS. WE STILL EXPECT SOME LOW CLOUDS
MOVING IN SHORTLY AFTER DAYBREAK FROM SW TO N. JUST A FEW TWEAKS
TO SKY IN THE ZONES AND A COUPLE BUMPS DOWN AND ONE UP ON
TEMPERATURES OVER MAINLY TX AS THE GOING FORECAST IS IN FAIRLY
GOOD ORDER WITH A LIGHT SE WIND. OVERALL...WE ARE HALF WAY BACK TO
AVERAGE AFTER LAST NIGHTS CHILL IT FEELS NICE OUT THIS EVENING. WE
WILL BE 5 TO 10 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS...BUT
RIGHT BACK THERE FOR FRIDAY DESPITE WEAK HIGH PRESSURE NOSING BACK
INTO THE AREA WITH A FEW SHOWERS AND A LIGHT AND BRIEF NORTHERLY
WIND FOR THE END OF THE WORK WEEK. /24/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  43  70  53  77  57 /  10  10  20  10  10
MLU  42  69  55  75  56 /  10  10  10  10  10
DEQ  41  66  52  77  52 /  10  10  20  10  10
TXK  42  67  53  76  55 /  10  10  20  10  10
ELD  40  68  52  76  54 /  10  10  20  10  10
TYR  46  70  55  76  57 /  10  10  20  10  10
GGG  44  70  54  74  56 /  10  10  20  10  10
LFK  47  71  55  77  57 /  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

15







000
FXUS64 KSHV 170245
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
945 PM CDT WED APR 16 2014

.DISCUSSION...
A QUIET NIGHT ACROSS THE FOUR STATE AREA THIS EVENING WITH EXITING
CIRRUS EAST AND A BIT MORE TO DRAPE DEEP E TX AND TOLEDO BEND
COUNTRY IN THE COMING HOURS. WE STILL EXPECT SOME LOW CLOUDS
MOVING IN SHORTLY AFTER DAYBREAK FROM SW TO N. JUST A FEW TWEAKS
TO SKY IN THE ZONES AND A COUPLE BUMPS DOWN AND ONE UP ON
TEMPERATURES OVER MAINLY TX AS THE GOING FORECAST IS IN FAIRLY
GOOD ORDER WITH A LIGHT SE WIND. OVERALL...WE ARE HALF WAY BACK TO
AVERAGE AFTER LAST NIGHTS CHILL IT FEELS NICE OUT THIS EVENING. WE
WILL BE 5 TO 10 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS...BUT
RIGHT BACK THERE FOR FRIDAY DESPITE WEAK HIGH PRESSURE NOSING BACK
INTO THE AREA WITH A FEW SHOWERS AND A LIGHT AND BRIEF NORTHERLY
WIND FOR THE END OF THE WORK WEEK.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 635 PM CDT WED APR 16 2014/

AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE 00Z TAF PERIOD.
EXTENSIVE AREAS OF CIRRUS SHOULD CLEAR THE REGION FROM W TO E
BY/SHORTLY AFTER 06Z...WITH A SRLY LOW LEVEL FLOW RESULTING IN
SOME MVFR CIGS ADVECTING N ACROSS CNTRL AND POSSIBLY THE WRN
SECTIONS OF E TX BY/SHORTLY AFTER 12Z THURSDAY. ANY MVFR CIGS
THOUGH SHOULD LIFT/BECOME VFR BY AROUND MIDDAY...ALTHOUGH LOW VFR
CIGS SHOULD PERSIST THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE TAF PERIOD MAINLY
OVER E TX/SE OK. FARTHER E...A SCT CU FIELD SHOULD DEVELOP AROUND
MIDDAY/EARLY AFTERNOON AS SFC HEATING INTERACTS WITH A STEADILY
MOISTENING SRLY LOW LEVEL FLOW. CAN/T RULE OUT WIDELY SCT -SHRA
AFFECTING SE OK BY THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD...POSSIBLY AFFECTING
PORTIONS OF SW AR/EXTREME NE TX/NRN LA THURSDAY NIGHT. SE WINDS
5-10KTS OVER E TX TONIGHT...EXCEPT FOR LIGHT SE WINDS
ELSEWHERE...WILL BECOME 5-10KTS AREAWIDE AFTER 15Z THURSDAY. /15/

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 220 PM CDT WED APR 16 2014/

DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER MS RIVER VALLEY LAST NIGHT SHIFTING EAST...WITH
SE WIND 10 TO 15 MPH ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION THIS AFTN. FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WITH VERY STG WIND SHIFT...BUT LACKING IN ANY TEMP OR DEW
POINT GRADIENT OVER CENTRAL PLAINS...PROGGED TO WASH OUT AS IT
APPROACHES AREA. DESPITE THIS LEFTOVER FOCUSING
BOUNDARY...MOISTURE WILL REMAIN QUITE MEAGER THURSDAY AFTN INTO
FRIDAY...AND HAVE LOWERED POPS TO VERY ISOLD FOR LATE IN WEEK.
WENT WITH COOLER GFS FOR THURSDAY NIGHTS LOWS...AS NAM SEEMED TOO
WARM FOR FAIRLY LIGHT WINDS AND UNCERTAIN CLOUD COVER NEAR
REMMANTS OF BOUNDARY. DEEPER TROUGHING BEGINNING ON WEEKEND WITH
EASTER SUNDAY POSSIBLY HAVING SCATTERED CONVECTION. HOWEVER...DOES
NOT APPEAR AT THIS TIME TO BE ANOTHER SVR WX EASTER WITH WEAK
LOW LVL SHEAR AND MODEST LAPSE RATES IN MID LVLS. MONDAY SHOWING
ANOTHER FIZZLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND WILL KEEP LOW CHANCE POPS
IN...UNTIL DRIER AIR MOVES IN BY AROUND TUESDAY. /VII/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  43  70  53  77  57 /  10  10  20  10  10
MLU  42  69  55  75  56 /  10  10  10  10  10
DEQ  41  66  52  77  52 /  10  10  20  10  10
TXK  42  67  53  76  55 /  10  10  20  10  10
ELD  40  68  52  76  54 /  10  10  20  10  10
TYR  46  70  55  76  57 /  10  10  20  10  10
GGG  44  70  54  74  56 /  10  10  20  10  10
LFK  47  71  55  77  57 /  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

24







000
FXUS64 KSHV 162335 AAA
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
635 PM CDT WED APR 16 2014

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE 00Z TAF PERIOD.
EXTENSIVE AREAS OF CIRRUS SHOULD CLEAR THE REGION FROM W TO E
BY/SHORTLY AFTER 06Z...WITH A SRLY LOW LEVEL FLOW RESULTING IN
SOME MVFR CIGS ADVECTING N ACROSS CNTRL AND POSSIBLY THE WRN
SECTIONS OF E TX BY/SHORTLY AFTER 12Z THURSDAY. ANY MVFR CIGS
THOUGH SHOULD LIFT/BECOME VFR BY AROUND MIDDAY...ALTHOUGH LOW VFR
CIGS SHOULD PERSIST THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE TAF PERIOD MAINLY
OVER E TX/SE OK. FARTHER E...A SCT CU FIELD SHOULD DEVELOP AROUND
MIDDAY/EARLY AFTERNOON AS SFC HEATING INTERACTS WITH A STEADILY
MOISTENING SRLY LOW LEVEL FLOW. CAN/T RULE OUT WIDELY SCT -SHRA
AFFECTING SE OK BY THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD...POSSIBLY AFFECTING
PORTIONS OF SW AR/EXTREME NE TX/NRN LA THURSDAY NIGHT. SE WINDS
5-10KTS OVER E TX TONIGHT...EXCEPT FOR LIGHT SE WINDS
ELSEWHERE...WILL BECOME 5-10KTS AREAWIDE AFTER 15Z THURSDAY. /15/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 220 PM CDT WED APR 16 2014/

DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER MS RIVER VALLEY LAST NIGHT SHIFTING EAST...WITH
SE WIND 10 TO 15 MPH ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION THIS AFTN. FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WITH VERY STG WIND SHIFT...BUT LACKING IN ANY TEMP OR DEW
POINT GRADIENT OVER CENTRAL PLAINS...PROGGED TO WASH OUT AS IT
APPROACHES AREA. DESPITE THIS LEFTOVER FOCUSING
BOUNDARY...MOISTURE WILL REMAIN QUITE MEAGER THURSDAY AFTN INTO
FRIDAY...AND HAVE LOWERED POPS TO VERY ISOLD FOR LATE IN WEEK.
WENT WITH COOLER GFS FOR THURSDAY NIGHTS LOWS...AS NAM SEEMED TOO
WARM FOR FAIRLY LIGHT WINDS AND UNCERTAIN CLOUD COVER NEAR
REMMANTS OF BOUNDARY. DEEPER TROUGHING BEGINNING ON WEEKEND WITH
EASTER SUNDAY POSSIBLY HAVING SCATTERED CONVECTION. HOWEVER...DOES
NOT APPEAR AT THIS TIME TO BE ANOTHER SVR WX EASTER WITH WEAK
LOW LVL SHEAR AND MODEST LAPSE RATES IN MID LVLS. MONDAY SHOWING
ANOTHER FIZZLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND WILL KEEP LOW CHANCE POPS
IN...UNTIL DRIER AIR MOVES IN BY AROUND TUESDAY. /VII/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  43  70  53  77  57 /  10  10  20  10  10
MLU  42  69  55  75  56 /  10  10  10  10  10
DEQ  41  66  52  77  52 /  10  10  20  10  10
TXK  42  67  53  76  55 /  10  10  20  10  10
ELD  40  68  52  76  54 /  10  10  20  10  10
TYR  47  70  55  76  57 /  10  10  20  10  10
GGG  43  70  54  74  56 /  10  10  20  10  10
LFK  48  71  55  77  57 /  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

15







000
FXUS64 KSHV 161920
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
220 PM CDT WED APR 16 2014

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER MS RIVER VALLEY LAST NIGHT SHIFTING EAST...WITH
SE WIND 10 TO 15 MPH ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION THIS AFTN. FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WITH VERY STG WIND SHIFT...BUT LACKING IN ANY TEMP OR DEW
POINT GRADIENT OVER CENTRAL PLAINS...PROGGED TO WASH OUT AS IT
APPROACHES AREA. DESPITE THIS LEFTOVER FOCUSING
BOUNDARY...MOISTURE WILL REMAIN QUITE MEAGER THURSDAY AFTN INTO
FRIDAY...AND HAVE LOWERED POPS TO VERY ISOLD FOR LATE IN WEEK.
WENT WITH COOLER GFS FOR THURSDAY NIGHTS LOWS...AS NAM SEEMED TOO
WARM FOR FAIRLY LIGHT WINDS AND UNCERTAIN CLOUD COVER NEAR
REMMANTS OF BOUNDARY. DEEPER TROUGHING BEGINNING ON WEEKEND WITH
EASTER SUNDAY POSSIBLY HAVING SCATTERED CONVECTION. HOWEVER...DOES
NOT APPEAR AT THIS TIME TO BE ANOTHER SVR WX EASTER WITH WEAK
LOW LVL SHEAR AND MODEST LAPSE RATES IN MID LVLS. MONDAY SHOWING
ANOTHER FIZZLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND WILL KEEP LOW CHANCE POPS
IN...UNTIL DRIER AIR MOVES IN BY AROUND TUESDAY./VII/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  43  70  53  77  57 /  10  10  20  10  10
MLU  42  69  55  75  56 /  10  10  10  10  10
DEQ  41  66  52  77  52 /  10  10  20  10  10
TXK  42  67  53  76  55 /  10  10  20  10  10
ELD  40  68  52  76  54 /  10  10  20  10  10
TYR  47  70  55  76  57 /  10  10  20  10  10
GGG  43  70  54  74  56 /  10  10  20  10  10
LFK  48  71  55  77  57 /  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KSHV 161825
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
125 PM CDT WED APR 16 2014

.DISCUSSION...

UPDATED TO INCLUDE AVIATION DISCUSSION FOR 16/18Z TERMINAL
FORECASTS.

&&

.AVIATION...

STRONG SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CENTER HAS SHIFTED OVER THE E GREAT
LAKES REGION AND RIDGE AXIS REACHED SW ACROSS THE SE STATES AND
INTO THE SW GULF OF MEXICO...WHILE A STRONG SURFACE LOW PRESSURE
CENTER HAS MOVED INTO THE N CENTRAL SECTIONS OF THE COUNTRY. THE
TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THESE TWO SURFACE SYSTEMS
CONTINUED TO PRODUCE STRONG AND GUSTY S WINDS OF 8-16 KNOTS WITH
GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS FOR PARTS OF THE FOUR STATE REGION WITH
STRONGER WINDS OVER E AND NE TX INTO SE OK...AND THE IMMEDIATE
ADJACENT SECTIONS OF SW AR AND NW LA. THE WINDS WILL RELAX LATE
THIS AFTERNOON FOR MOST AREAS WHILE STILL A LITTLE STRONGER OVER THE
W RANGING FROM NEAR CALM TO S TO SE NEAR 7 KNOTS. HIGH AND
POSSIBLY MIDDLE CLOUDS WILL SCATTER OUT AFTER 17/00Z FOLLOWED BY
RETURNING GULF MOISTURE AFTER 17/07Z INTO TX AND LA AND AR NEAR
17/13Z. MVFR CEILINGS AROUND 15-25 HND FEET WILL BE MOVING INTO
E TX AFFECTING KLFK...KGGG...AND KTYR BETWEEN 17/08-17/12Z AND
LIFTING TO VFR BY MID MORNING AROUND 17/14-17/16Z WITH BROKEN
CEILINGS NEAR 35 HND-4 KFT. /06/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1025 AM CDT WED APR 16 2014/

DISCUSSION...
OVERNIGHT LOWS MAINLY IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S...WARMING STRONGLY
IN VERY DRY AIR MASS. MARGINAL UPPER LVL MOISTURE TO THE WEST WILL
BRING IN THIN LAYER OF CIRRUS...WITH LITTLE EFFECT ON TEMPS. SE
WINDS INCREASING QUICKLY THIS MORNING WITH A FEW GUSTS IN RED
RIVER VALLEY ALREADY AT 20 KTS. 30 DEGREE DIURNAL SWING EASILY
ACHIEVE WITH DAYTIME HIGHS IN MID TO UPPER 60S EXPECTED. NO UPDATE
NEEDED./VII/

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 807 AM CDT WED APR 16 2014/

UPDATE...
TEMPS HAVE RISEN WELL ABOVE FREEZING ACROSS THE ENTIRE CWA NOW
THAT THE SUN HAS BEEN UP FOR A COUPLE OF HOURS. THUS...HAVE
CANCELLED THE FREEZE WARNINGS AND HAVE ALSO REMOVED FROST FROM THE
WX GRIDS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THIS MORNING. UPDATED PRODUCTS HAVE
BEEN SENT. /09/

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 418 AM CDT WED APR 16 2014/

DISCUSSION...
VERY LITTLE CHANGE TO MOST OF THE PREVIOUS FCST ISSUANCE. TEMPS
EXPECTED TO REBOUND INTO THE MID/UPPER 60S AREAWIDE THIS AFTERNOON
AFTER ANOTHER CHILLY MORNING. HAVE OPTED TO KEEP THE FREEZE
WARNING GOING BUT WILL RE-EVALUATE AND MAY CANCEL AFTER SUNRISE IF
FREEZING TEMPS HAVE NOT BEEN REACHED IN THE WARNING AREA. COULD
SEE A FEW ISOLATED LOCATIONS FALL BELOW FREEZING BUT WIND SPEEDS
HAVE NOT DIMINISHED AS MUCH AS ANTICIPATED WHICH HAS KEPT
DEWPOINTS IN THE MID 30S. CIRRUS SPREADING IN FROM THE WEST MAY
ALSO LIMIT COOLING POTENTIAL FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE PRE-DAWN
HRS. EXPECT A GRADUAL WARMING TREND BEGINNING TODAY THAT WILL
CONTINUE FOR MUCH OF THE NEXT WEEK. THURSDAY MORNING WILL BE COOL
ONCE AGAIN BUT TEMPS SHOULD BE ABOVE 40 DEGREES F ACROSS THE
MAJORITY OF THE CWA.

NEXT CHANCES FOR RAIN WILL LIKELY LATE THURSDAY AND INTO EARLY
FRIDAY MORNING. DIFFUSE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA ALONG
WITH A WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH. LATEST NAM CONTINUES TO DEPICT A DRY
FCST WITH THE GFS NOW BEGINNING TO TREND IN THE SAME DIRECTION.
QPF SIGNALS ARE NOT VERY WELL DEFINED IN THE MODELS LIKELY DUE TO
VERY WEAK FORCING AND VERY LITTLE INSTABILITY. HOWEVER...PRESENCE OF
A WEAK SFC BOUNDARY AND THE PASSAGE OF THE S/W TROUGH WILL
PROVIDE THE CHANCE FOR AT LEAST A FEW SCT SHWRS SO WILL MAINTAIN
SLIGHT CHANCE POPS THURSDAY NIGHT/FRIDAY MORNING.

UPPER LVL RIDGE OVER THE REGION SHOULD KEEP FRIDAY AND MOST OF
SATURDAY DRY BEFORE THE FLOW ALOFT BECOMES SWLY. RAIN CHANCES
BEGIN TO INCREASE LATE SATURDAY AS A SERIES OF UPPER IMPULSES MOVE
ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS. BEST CHANCES FOR CONVECTION WILL LIKELY BE
SUNDAY AS SHWRS/TSTMS DEVELOP W OF THE REGION AND MOVE INTO THE
CWA DURING THE DAYTIME HRS. SEVERE WEATHER THREAT LOOKS LOW AT
THIS TIME AS SFC BOUNDARIES WILL STILL BE WELL TO THE NW AND BEST
UPPER FORCING WILL ALSO BE N OF THE AREA. POPS MAY NEED TO BE
INCREASED MONDAY IN LATER FCSTS AS THE GFS/ECMWF DO NOT MOVE THE
FRONT THROUGH THE CWA UNTIL LATE MONDAY WHEN A RATHER ELONGATED
UPPER TROUGH AXIS ALSO MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. /09/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  66  45  71  53  76 /   0  10  10  20  10
MLU  64  42  70  55  74 /   0  10  10  20  10
DEQ  64  41  67  50  76 /   0  10  10  20  10
TXK  65  42  68  51  75 /   0  10  10  20  10
ELD  63  40  69  50  75 /   0  10  10  20  10
TYR  67  49  71  55  75 /   0  10  10  20  10
GGG  66  45  71  54  73 /   0  10  10  20  10
LFK  70  49  72  55  76 /   0  10  10  20  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

06








000
FXUS64 KSHV 161525
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1025 AM CDT WED APR 16 2014

.DISCUSSION...
OVERNIGHT LOWS MAINLY IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S...WARMING STRONGLY
IN VERY DRY AIRMASS. MARGINAL UPPER LVL MOISTURE TO THE WEST WILL
BRING IN THIN LAYER OF CIRRUS...WITH LITTLE EFFECT ON TEMPS. SE
WINDS INCREASING QUICKLY THIS MORNING WITH A FEW GUSTS IN RED
RIVER VALLEY ALREADY AT 20 KTS. 30 DEGREE DIURNAL SWING EASILY
ACHIEVE WITH DAYTIME HIGHS IN MID TO UPPER 60S EXPECTED. NO UPDATE
NEEDED./VII/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 807 AM CDT WED APR 16 2014/

UPDATE...
TEMPS HAVE RISEN WELL ABOVE FREEZING ACROSS THE ENTIRE CWA NOW
THAT THE SUN HAS BEEN UP FOR A COUPLE OF HOURS. THUS...HAVE
CANCELLED THE FREEZE WARNINGS AND HAVE ALSO REMOVED FROST FROM THE
WX GRIDS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THIS MORNING. UPDATED PRODUCTS HAVE
BEEN SENT. /09/

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 640 AM CDT WED APR 16 2014/

AVIATION...
STRONG SFC HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE HAS SHIFTED EAST OF THE TERMINAL
LOCATIONS THIS MORNING. WITH STRONG CYCLOGENESIS DEVELOPING
IN THE LEE OF THE ROCKIES...THIS HAS RESULTED IN A STRONG PRESSURE
GRADIENT DEVELOPING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. FOR THE 12Z TERMINAL
PACKAGE...HAVE WENT WITH THE STRONGER SOUTHEAST WINDS TODAY AT THE
TYR/GGG/TXK/SHV TERMINALS WITH A FEW STRONGER GUSTS NEAR 20KTS
POSSIBLE AT THE TYR/GGG/TXK TERMINALS BY LATE MORNING/AFTERNOON.

IR IMAGERY THIS MORNING SHOWS ONLY THIN CIRRUS MOVING QUICKLY
THIS WAY FROM THE WEST. THAT WILL BE THE CASE THROUGH THE DAY
AND SHOULD THIN SOME OVERNIGHT. WINDS WILL DECOUPLE THIS EVENING
WITH A SOUTHEAST WIND MAINLY BELOW 10KTS. /13/

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 418 AM CDT WED APR 16 2014/

DISCUSSION...
VERY LITTLE CHANGE TO MOST OF THE PREVIOUS FCST ISSUANCE. TEMPS
EXPECTED TO REBOUND INTO THE MID/UPPER 60S AREAWIDE THIS AFTERNOON
AFTER ANOTHER CHILLY MORNING. HAVE OPTED TO KEEP THE FREEZE
WARNING GOING BUT WILL RE-EVALUATE AND MAY CANCEL AFTER SUNRISE IF
FREEZING TEMPS HAVE NOT BEEN REACHED IN THE WARNING AREA. COULD
SEE A FEW ISOLATED LOCATIONS FALL BELOW FREEZING BUT WIND SPEEDS
HAVE NOT DIMINISHED AS MUCH AS ANTICIPATED WHICH HAS KEPT
DEWPOINTS IN THE MID 30S. CIRRUS SPREADING IN FROM THE WEST MAY
ALSO LIMIT COOLING POTENTIAL FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE PRE-DAWN
HRS. EXPECT A GRADUAL WARMING TREND BEGINNING TODAY THAT WILL
CONTINUE FOR MUCH OF THE NEXT WEEK. THURSDAY MORNING WILL BE COOL
ONCE AGAIN BUT TEMPS SHOULD BE ABOVE 40 DEGREES F ACROSS THE
MAJORITY OF THE CWA.

NEXT CHANCES FOR RAIN WILL LIKELY LATE THURSDAY AND INTO EARLY
FRIDAY MORNING. DIFFUSE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA ALONG
WITH A WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH. LATEST NAM CONTINUES TO DEPICT A DRY
FCST WITH THE GFS NOW BEGINNING TO TREND IN THE SAME DIRECTION.
QPF SIGNALS ARE NOT VERY WELL DEFINED IN THE MODELS LIKELY DUE TO
VERY WEAK FORCING AND VERY LITTLE INSTABILITY. HOWEVER...PRESENCE OF
A WEAK SFC BOUNDARY AND THE PASSAGE OF THE S/W TROUGH WILL
PROVIDE THE CHANCE FOR AT LEAST A FEW SCT SHWRS SO WILL MAINTAIN
SLIGHT CHANCE POPS THURSDAY NIGHT/FRIDAY MORNING.

UPPER LVL RIDGE OVER THE REGION SHOULD KEEP FRIDAY AND MOST OF
SATURDAY DRY BEFORE THE FLOW ALOFT BECOMES SWLY. RAIN CHANCES
BEGIN TO INCREASE LATE SATURDAY AS A SERIES OF UPPER IMPULSES MOVE
ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS. BEST CHANCES FOR CONVECTION WILL LIKELY BE
SUNDAY AS SHWRS/TSTMS DEVELOP W OF THE REGION AND MOVE INTO THE
CWA DURING THE DAYTIME HRS. SEVERE WEATHER THREAT LOOKS LOW AT
THIS TIME AS SFC BOUNDARIES WILL STILL BE WELL TO THE NW AND BEST
UPPER FORCING WILL ALSO BE N OF THE AREA. POPS MAY NEED TO BE
INCREASED MONDAY IN LATER FCSTS AS THE GFS/ECMWF DO NOT MOVE THE
FRONT THROUGH THE CWA UNTIL LATE MONDAY WHEN A RATHER ELONGATED
UPPER TROUGH AXIS ALSO MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. /09/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  66  45  71  53  76 /   0  10  10  20  10
MLU  64  42  70  55  74 /   0  10  10  20  10
DEQ  64  41  67  50  76 /   0  10  10  20  10
TXK  65  42  68  51  75 /   0  10  10  20  10
ELD  63  40  69  50  75 /   0  10  10  20  10
TYR  67  49  71  55  75 /   0  10  10  20  10
GGG  66  45  71  54  73 /   0  10  10  20  10
LFK  70  49  72  55  76 /   0  10  10  20  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KSHV 161307 AAA
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
807 AM CDT WED APR 16 2014

.UPDATE...
TEMPS HAVE RISEN WELL ABOVE FREEZING ACROSS THE ENTIRE CWA NOW
THAT THE SUN HAS BEEN UP FOR A COUPLE OF HOURS. THUS...HAVE
CANCELLED THE FREEZE WARNINGS AND HAVE ALSO REMOVED FROST FROM THE
WX GRIDS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THIS MORNING. UPDATED PRODUCTS HAVE
BEEN SENT. /09/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 640 AM CDT WED APR 16 2014/

AVIATION...
STRONG SFC HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE HAS SHIFTED EAST OF THE TERMINAL
LOCATIONS THIS MORNING. WITH STRONG CYCLOGENESIS DEVELOPING
IN THE LEE OF THE ROCKIES...THIS HAS RESULTED IN A STRONG PRESSURE
GRADIENT DEVELOPING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. FOR THE 12Z TERMINAL
PACKAGE...HAVE WENT WITH THE STRONGER SOUTHEAST WINDS TODAY AT THE
TYR/GGG/TXK/SHV TERMINALS WITH A FEW STRONGER GUSTS NEAR 20KTS
POSSIBLE AT THE TYR/GGG/TXK TERMINALS BY LATE MORNING/AFTERNOON.

IR IMAGERY THIS MORNING SHOWS ONLY THIN CIRRUS MOVING QUICKLY
THIS WAY FROM THE WEST. THAT WILL BE THE CASE THROUGH THE DAY
AND SHOULD THIN SOME OVERNIGHT. WINDS WILL DECOUPLE THIS EVENING
WITH A SOUTHEAST WIND MAINLY BELOW 10KTS. /13/

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 418 AM CDT WED APR 16 2014/

DISCUSSION...
VERY LITTLE CHANGE TO MOST OF THE PREVIOUS FCST ISSUANCE. TEMPS
EXPECTED TO REBOUND INTO THE MID/UPPER 60S AREAWIDE THIS AFTERNOON
AFTER ANOTHER CHILLY MORNING. HAVE OPTED TO KEEP THE FREEZE
WARNING GOING BUT WILL RE-EVALUATE AND MAY CANCEL AFTER SUNRISE IF
FREEZING TEMPS HAVE NOT BEEN REACHED IN THE WARNING AREA. COULD
SEE A FEW ISOLATED LOCATIONS FALL BELOW FREEZING BUT WIND SPEEDS
HAVE NOT DIMINISHED AS MUCH AS ANTICIPATED WHICH HAS KEPT
DEWPOINTS IN THE MID 30S. CIRRUS SPREADING IN FROM THE WEST MAY
ALSO LIMIT COOLING POTENTIAL FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE PRE-DAWN
HRS. EXPECT A GRADUAL WARMING TREND BEGINNING TODAY THAT WILL
CONTINUE FOR MUCH OF THE NEXT WEEK. THURSDAY MORNING WILL BE COOL
ONCE AGAIN BUT TEMPS SHOULD BE ABOVE 40 DEGREES F ACROSS THE
MAJORITY OF THE CWA.

NEXT CHANCES FOR RAIN WILL LIKELY LATE THURSDAY AND INTO EARLY
FRIDAY MORNING. DIFFUSE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA ALONG
WITH A WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH. LATEST NAM CONTINUES TO DEPICT A DRY
FCST WITH THE GFS NOW BEGINNING TO TREND IN THE SAME DIRECTION.
QPF SIGNALS ARE NOT VERY WELL DEFINED IN THE MODELS LIKELY DUE TO
VERY WEAK FORCING AND VERY LITTLE INSTABILITY. HOWEVER...PRESENCE OF
A WEAK SFC BOUNDARY AND THE PASSAGE OF THE S/W TROUGH WILL
PROVIDE THE CHANCE FOR AT LEAST A FEW SCT SHWRS SO WILL MAINTAIN
SLIGHT CHANCE POPS THURSDAY NIGHT/FRIDAY MORNING.

UPPER LVL RIDGE OVER THE REGION SHOULD KEEP FRIDAY AND MOST OF
SATURDAY DRY BEFORE THE FLOW ALOFT BECOMES SWLY. RAIN CHANCES
BEGIN TO INCREASE LATE SATURDAY AS A SERIES OF UPPER IMPULSES MOVE
ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS. BEST CHANCES FOR CONVECTION WILL LIKELY BE
SUNDAY AS SHWRS/TSTMS DEVELOP W OF THE REGION AND MOVE INTO THE
CWA DURING THE DAYTIME HRS. SEVERE WEATHER THREAT LOOKS LOW AT
THIS TIME AS SFC BOUNDARIES WILL STILL BE WELL TO THE NW AND BEST
UPPER FORCING WILL ALSO BE N OF THE AREA. POPS MAY NEED TO BE
INCREASED MONDAY IN LATER FCSTS AS THE GFS/ECMWF DO NOT MOVE THE
FRONT THROUGH THE CWA UNTIL LATE MONDAY WHEN A RATHER ELONGATED
UPPER TROUGH AXIS ALSO MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. /09/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  66  45  71  53  76 /   0  10  10  20  10
MLU  64  42  70  55  74 /   0  10  10  20  10
DEQ  64  41  67  50  76 /   0  10  10  20  10
TXK  65  42  68  51  75 /   0  10  10  20  10
ELD  63  40  69  50  75 /   0  10  10  20  10
TYR  67  49  71  55  75 /   0  10  10  20  10
GGG  66  45  71  54  73 /   0  10  10  20  10
LFK  70  49  72  55  76 /   0  10  10  20  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

09/13







000
FXUS64 KSHV 161140
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
640 AM CDT WED APR 16 2014


.AVIATION...
STRONG SFC HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE HAS SHIFTED EAST OF THE TERMINAL
LOCATIONS THIS MORNING. WITH STRONG CYCLOGENESIS DEVELOPING
IN THE LEE OF THE ROCKIES...THIS HAS RESULTED IN A STRONG PRESSURE
GRADIENT DEVELOPING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. FOR THE 12Z TERMINAL
PACKAGE...HAVE WENT WITH THE STRONGER SOUTHEAST WINDS TODAY AT THE
TYR/GGG/TXK/SHV TERMINALS WITH A FEW STRONGER GUSTS NEAR 20KTS
POSSIBLE AT THE TYR/GGG/TXK TERMINALS BY LATE MORNING/AFTERNOON.

IR IMAGERY THIS MORNING SHOWS ONLY THIN CIRRUS MOVING QUICKLY
THIS WAY FROM THE WEST. THAT WILL BE THE CASE THROUGH THE DAY
AND SHOULD THIN SOME OVERNIGHT. WINDS WILL DECOUPLE THIS EVENING
WITH A SOUTHEAST WIND MAINLY BELOW 10KTS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 418 AM CDT WED APR 16 2014/

DISCUSSION...
VERY LITTLE CHANGE TO MOST OF THE PREVIOUS FCST ISSUANCE. TEMPS
EXPECTED TO REBOUND INTO THE MID/UPPER 60S AREAWIDE THIS AFTERNOON
AFTER ANOTHER CHILLY MORNING. HAVE OPTED TO KEEP THE FREEZE
WARNING GOING BUT WILL RE-EVALUATE AND MAY CANCEL AFTER SUNRISE IF
FREEZING TEMPS HAVE NOT BEEN REACHED IN THE WARNING AREA. COULD
SEE A FEW ISOLATED LOCATIONS FALL BELOW FREEZING BUT WIND SPEEDS
HAVE NOT DIMINISHED AS MUCH AS ANTICIPATED WHICH HAS KEPT
DEWPOINTS IN THE MID 30S. CIRRUS SPREADING IN FROM THE WEST MAY
ALSO LIMIT COOLING POTENTIAL FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE PRE-DAWN
HRS. EXPECT A GRADUAL WARMING TREND BEGINNING TODAY THAT WILL
CONTINUE FOR MUCH OF THE NEXT WEEK. THURSDAY MORNING WILL BE COOL
ONCE AGAIN BUT TEMPS SHOULD BE ABOVE 40 DEGREES F ACROSS THE
MAJORITY OF THE CWA.

NEXT CHANCES FOR RAIN WILL LIKELY LATE THURSDAY AND INTO EARLY
FRIDAY MORNING. DIFFUSE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA ALONG
WITH A WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH. LATEST NAM CONTINUES TO DEPICT A DRY
FCST WITH THE GFS NOW BEGINNING TO TREND IN THE SAME DIRECTION.
QPF SIGNALS ARE NOT VERY WELL DEFINED IN THE MODELS LIKELY DUE TO
VERY WEAK FORCING AND VERY LITTLE INSTABILITY. HOWEVER...PRESENCE OF
A WEAK SFC BOUNDARY AND THE PASSAGE OF THE S/W TROUGH WILL
PROVIDE THE CHANCE FOR AT LEAST A FEW SCT SHWRS SO WILL MAINTAIN
SLIGHT CHANCE POPS THURSDAY NIGHT/FRIDAY MORNING.

UPPER LVL RIDGE OVER THE REGION SHOULD KEEP FRIDAY AND MOST OF
SATURDAY DRY BEFORE THE FLOW ALOFT BECOMES SWLY. RAIN CHANCES
BEGIN TO INCREASE LATE SATURDAY AS A SERIES OF UPPER IMPULSES MOVE
ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS. BEST CHANCES FOR CONVECTION WILL LIKELY BE
SUNDAY AS SHWRS/TSTMS DEVELOP W OF THE REGION AND MOVE INTO THE
CWA DURING THE DAYTIME HRS. SEVERE WEATHER THREAT LOOKS LOW AT
THIS TIME AS SFC BOUNDARIES WILL STILL BE WELL TO THE NW AND BEST
UPPER FORCING WILL ALSO BE N OF THE AREA. POPS MAY NEED TO BE
INCREASED MONDAY IN LATER FCSTS AS THE GFS/ECMWF DO NOT MOVE THE
FRONT THROUGH THE CWA UNTIL LATE MONDAY WHEN A RATHER ELONGATED
UPPER TROUGH AXIS ALSO MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. /09/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  66  45  71  53  76 /   0  10  10  20  10
MLU  64  42  70  55  74 /   0  10  10  20  10
DEQ  64  41  67  50  76 /   0  10  10  20  10
TXK  65  42  68  51  75 /   0  10  10  20  10
ELD  63  40  69  50  75 /   0  10  10  20  10
TYR  67  49  71  55  75 /   0  10  10  20  10
GGG  66  45  71  54  73 /   0  10  10  20  10
LFK  70  49  72  55  76 /   0  10  10  20  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: ARZ050-051-060-061-072-073.

LA...FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: LAZ004>006-013-014-019>022.

OK...FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: OKZ077.

TX...NONE.
&&

$$

13







000
FXUS64 KSHV 160918
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
418 AM CDT WED APR 16 2014

.DISCUSSION...
VERY LITTLE CHANGE TO MOST OF THE PREVIOUS FCST ISSUANCE. TEMPS
EXPECTED TO REBOUND INTO THE MID/UPPER 60S AREAWIDE THIS AFTERNOON
AFTER ANOTHER CHILLY MORNING. HAVE OPTED TO KEEP THE FREEZE
WARNING GOING BUT WILL RE-EVALUATE AND MAY CANCEL AFTER SUNRISE IF
FREEZING TEMPS HAVE NOT BEEN REACHED IN THE WARNING AREA. COULD
SEE A FEW ISOLATED LOCATIONS FALL BELOW FREEZING BUT WIND SPEEDS
HAVE NOT DIMINISHED AS MUCH AS ANTICIPATED WHICH HAS KEPT
DEWPOINTS IN THE MID 30S. CIRRUS SPREADING IN FROM THE WEST MAY
ALSO LIMIT COOLING POTENTIAL FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE PRE-DAWN
HRS. EXPECT A GRADUAL WARMING TREND BEGINNING TODAY THAT WILL
CONTINUE FOR MUCH OF THE NEXT WEEK. THURSDAY MORNING WILL BE COOL
ONCE AGAIN BUT TEMPS SHOULD BE ABOVE 40 DEGREES F ACROSS THE
MAJORITY OF THE CWA.

NEXT CHANCES FOR RAIN WILL LIKELY LATE THURSDAY AND INTO EARLY
FRIDAY MORNING. DIFFUSE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA ALONG
WITH A WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH. LATEST NAM CONTINUES TO DEPICT A DRY
FCST WITH THE GFS NOW BEGINNING TO TREND IN THE SAME DIRECTION.
QPF SIGNALS ARE NOT VERY WELL DEFINED IN THE MODELS LIKELY DUE TO
VERY WEAK FORCING AND VERY LITTLE INSTABILITY. HOWEVER...PRESENCE OF
A WEAK SFC BOUNDARY AND THE PASSAGE OF THE S/W TROUGH WILL
PROVIDE THE CHANCE FOR AT LEAST A FEW SCT SHWRS SO WILL MAINTAIN
SLIGHT CHANCE POPS THURSDAY NIGHT/FRIDAY MORNING.

UPPER LVL RIDGE OVER THE REGION SHOULD KEEP FRIDAY AND MOST OF
SATURDAY DRY BEFORE THE FLOW ALOFT BECOMES SWLY. RAIN CHANCES
BEGIN TO INCREASE LATE SATURDAY AS A SERIES OF UPPER IMPULSES MOVE
ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS. BEST CHANCES FOR CONVECTION WILL LIKELY BE
SUNDAY AS SHWRS/TSTMS DEVELOP W OF THE REGION AND MOVE INTO THE
CWA DURING THE DAYTIME HRS. SEVERE WEATHER THREAT LOOKS LOW AT
THIS TIME AS SFC BOUNDARIES WILL STILL BE WELL TO THE NW AND BEST
UPPER FORCING WILL ALSO BE N OF THE AREA. POPS MAY NEED TO BE
INCREASED MONDAY IN LATER FCSTS AS THE GFS/ECMWF DO NOT MOVE THE
FRONT THROUGH THE CWA UNTIL LATE MONDAY WHEN A RATHER ELONGATED
UPPER TROUGH AXIS ALSO MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. /09/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  66  45  71  53  76 /   0  10  10  20  10
MLU  64  42  70  55  74 /   0  10  10  20  10
DEQ  64  41  67  50  76 /   0  10  10  20  10
TXK  65  42  68  51  75 /   0  10  10  20  10
ELD  63  40  69  50  75 /   0  10  10  20  10
TYR  67  49  71  55  75 /   0  10  10  20  10
GGG  66  45  71  54  73 /   0  10  10  20  10
LFK  70  49  72  55  76 /   0  10  10  20  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: ARZ050-051-060-061-072-073.

LA...FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: LAZ004>006-013-014-019>022.

OK...FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: OKZ077.

TX...NONE.
&&

$$

09/13








000
FXUS64 KSHV 160459 AAA
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1159 PM CDT TUE APR 15 2014

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE 06Z TAF PERIOD. SKC WILL
PREVAIL OVERNIGHT...ALTHOUGH EXTENSIVE AREAS OF CIRRUS WILL
INCREASE FROM THE W AFTER DAYBREAK ACROSS SE OK/E TX...BEFORE
RAPIDLY SPREADING E AND AFFECTING THE REMAINDER OF THE REGION BY
LATE MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON. THIS CIRRUS SHIELD SHOULD DIMINISH
FROM W TO E WEDNESDAY EVENING. SFC RIDGING IN PLACE THIS EVENING
OVER THE MID MS VALLEY SW INTO E TX WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT E
OVERNIGHT...RESULTING IN LT/VRB WINDS OVER MUCH OF THE AREA ASIDE
FROM LT SE WINDS RETURNING TO PORTIONS OF E TX. SE WINDS WILL
INCREASE TO 8-12KTS AFTER 15Z...WITH GUSTS TO 20KTS POSSIBLE FROM
LATE MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AT THE TYR TERMINAL. /15/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 957 PM CDT TUE APR 15 2014/

DISCUSSION...
CLEAR SKIES OVERHEAD...BUT THIN CIRRUS SKIRTING NORTHERN TIER.
SOME OF THIS COULD DISAPPEAR WITH OUR PWAT AT TWO TENTHS. MANY
LOCALES NORTH AND EAST HAVE BEEN CALM SINCE SUNSET AND DEW POINTS
HAVE TAKEN A HIT IN THE WRONG DIRECTION FROM FRESH VAPOR OUT OF
THE SOIL. WE STILL SEE SCATTERED LOW 30S AND WITH TEMPS FALLING
THE RESIDUAL HEAT FROM THE DAY IS GOING TO RUN OUT AS THE TOP SOIL
CONTINUES TO COOL. 18Z MODEL DEW POINTS ARE ALMOST UNREASONABLE
COMPARED THESE MID EVENING READINGS...BUT THINKING IS THAT
OVERNIGHT WE WILL FALL BACK THROUGH THE DEW POINT. TOUGH
CALL...BUT HAVE DECIDED TO LEAVE WELL ENOUGH ALONE IN THAT EVENT.
THE SECOND NIGHT IS TYPICALLY THE COLDEST NIGHT FOR OUR EAST AND
WE WILL GO WITH THAT FOR PATTERN RECOGNITION. THE HIGHEST PRESSURE
AROUND IS JUST TO OUR EAST AT GREENVILLE MS AND TALLULAH LA AT
1025 MB. SO THERE IS STILL SOME LIGHT NE WINDS IN NORTH CENTRAL LA
FOR PERHAPS A LITTLE MIXING...BUT COLD AIR MASS MAY HAVE MODIFIED
JUST A LITTLE TOO MUCH TODAY...THAT COUPLE WITH THE EARLY CALM
THIS EVENING. ONLY CHANGE TO WEATHER GRIDS IS PUSH BACK PATCHY
FROST FROM MIDNIGHT TO MATCH FREEZE WARNING IN THE WEE HOURS PRIOR
TO DAYBREAK. AT ANY RATE...BETTER SAFE THAN SORRY WITH THE LAST
GASP OF WINTER IS THE FOUR STATE AREA. PLANTS SHOULD BE SAFE FROM
HERE OUT UNTIL NEXT FALL. /24/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  36  65  45  71  54 /   0  10  10  10  10
MLU  31  64  42  70  55 /   0  10  10  10  10
DEQ  31  65  41  67  47 /   0  10  10  20  20
TXK  35  65  42  68  51 /   0  10  10  10  20
ELD  30  63  40  69  52 /   0  10  10  10  20
TYR  36  68  49  71  52 /   0  10  10  10  10
GGG  36  67  45  71  53 /   0  10  10  10  10
LFK  36  68  49  72  57 /   0  10  10  10  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...FREEZE WARNING FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: ARZ050-051-060-061-072-073.

LA...FREEZE WARNING FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: LAZ004>006-013-014-019>022.

OK...FREEZE WARNING FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: OKZ077.

TX...NONE.
&&

$$

15







000
FXUS64 KSHV 160257
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
957 PM CDT TUE APR 15 2014

.DISCUSSION...
CLEAR SKIES OVERHEAD...BUT THIN CIRRUS SKIRTING NORHTERN TIER.
SOME OF THIS COULD DISAPPEAR WITH OUR PWAT AT TWO TENTHS. MANY
LOCALES NORTH AND EAST HAVE BEEN CALM SINCE SUNSET AND DEW POINTS
HAVE TAKEN A HIT IN THE WRONG DIRECTION FROM FRESH VAPOR OUT OF
THE SOIL. WE STILL SEE SCATTERED LOW 30S AND WITH TEMPS FALLING
THE RESIDUAL HEAT FROM THE DAY IS GOING TO RUN OUT AS THE TOP SOIL
CONTINUES TO COOL. 18Z MODEL DEW POINTS ARE ALMOST UNREASONABLE
COMPARED THESE MID EVENING READINGS...BUT THINKING IS THAT
OVERNIGHT WE WILL FALL BACK THROUGH THE DEW POINT. TOUGH
CALL...BUT HAVE DECIDED TO LEAVE WELL ENOUGH ALONE IN THAT EVENT.
THE SECOND NIGHT IS TYPICALLY THE COLDEST NIGHT FOR OUR EAST AND
WE WILL GO WITH THAT FOR PATTERN RECOGNITION. THE HIGHEST PRESSURE
AROUND IS JUST TO OUR EAST AT GREENVILLE MS AND TALLULAH LA AT
1025 MB. SO THERE IS STILL SOME LIGHT NE WINDS IN NORTH CENTRAL LA
FOR PERHAPS A LITTLE MIXING...BUT COLD AIR MASS MAY HAVE MODIFIED
JUST A LITTLE TOO MUCH TODAY...THAT COUPLE WITH THE EARLY CALM
THIS EVENING. ONLY CHANGE TO WEATHER GRIDS IS PUSH BACK PATCHY
FROST FROM MIDNIGHT TO MATCH FREEZE WARNING IN THE WEE HOURS
PRIOR TO DAYBREAK. AT ANY RATE...BETTER SAFE THAN SORRY WITH THE
LAST GASP OF WINTER IS THE FOUR STATE AREA. PLANTS SHOULD BE SAFE
FROM HERE OUT UNTIL NEXT FALL.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 615 PM CDT TUE APR 15 2014/

AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE 00Z TAF PERIOD...WITH SKC
EXPECTED THROUGH AT LEAST DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY. SHOULD START TO SEE
AN INCREASE IN CIRRUS FROM THE W BY MIDMORNING OVER E TX/SE
OK...WHICH SHOULD SPREAD E ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA FOR
THE AFTERNOON. SFC RIDGING IN PLACE LATE THIS AFTERNOON FROM THE
MID MS VALLEY SW INTO ECNTRL TX SHOULD SLOWLY SHIFT E
OVERNIGHT...BUT PERSISTING OVER SCNTRL AR/NCNTRL LA THROUGH 12Z
BEFORE EASING UP. THUS...LT/VRB WINDS TONIGHT /EXCEPT FOR LT SE
WINDS RETURNING TO E TX AFTER 06Z/ WILL BECOME SE AND INCREASE TO
8-12KTS AFTER 15Z. /15/

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 519 PM CDT TUE APR 15 2014/

UPDATE...
WE HAVE EXPANDED THE FREEZE WARNING FOR ADDITIONAL PORTIONS OF
FOUR NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA PARISHES...MAINLY IN THEIR EASTERN MOST
SECTIONS ALONG RIVER AND BAYOU VALLEYS. THE LATE AFTERNOON DEW
POINTS AT ALEXANDRIA AND VARIOUS RAWS STATIONS SUPPORT A POSSIBLE DROP
TO RIGHT AT FREEZING READINGS IN THE PRE DAWN HOURS. THE STILL
DAMP GROUND WILL RADIATE MOISTURE IN THE EXTREME LOWER ATMOSPHERE
ALLOWING FOR A LIGHT TO MODERATE FROST EVEN WHERE NOT EXACTLY
FREEZING. AIR TEMPERATURE SENSORS ARE NOT ON THE GROUND..BUT
MEASURE SOME 6 FEET UP. A FACT...WHICH OF COURSE WILL NOT LIMIT
THE MICRO METEOROLOGICAL PROCESS OF FROST FORMATION.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  36  65  45  71  54 /   0  10  10  10  10
MLU  31  64  42  70  55 /   0  10  10  10  10
DEQ  31  65  41  67  47 /   0  10  10  20  20
TXK  35  65  42  68  51 /   0  10  10  10  20
ELD  30  63  40  69  52 /   0  10  10  10  20
TYR  36  68  49  71  52 /   0  10  10  10  10
GGG  36  67  45  71  53 /   0  10  10  10  10
LFK  36  68  49  72  57 /   0  10  10  10  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...FREEZE WARNING FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: ARZ050-051-060-061-072-073.

LA...FREEZE WARNING FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: LAZ004>006-013-014-019>022.

OK...FREEZE WARNING FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: OKZ077.

TX...NONE.
&&

$$

24







000
FXUS64 KSHV 152315 AAA
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
615 PM CDT TUE APR 15 2014

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE 00Z TAF PERIOD...WITH SKC
EXPECTED THROUGH AT LEAST DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY. SHOULD START TO SEE
AN INCREASE IN CIRRUS FROM THE W BY MIDMORNING OVER E TX/SE
OK...WHICH SHOULD SPREAD E ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA FOR
THE AFTERNOON. SFC RIDGING IN PLACE LATE THIS AFTERNOON FROM THE
MID MS VALLEY SW INTO ECNTRL TX SHOULD SLOWLY SHIFT E
OVERNIGHT...BUT PERSISTING OVER SCNTRL AR/NCNTRL LA THROUGH 12Z
BEFORE EASING UP. THUS...LT/VRB WINDS TONIGHT /EXCEPT FOR LT SE
WINDS RETURNING TO E TX AFTER 06Z/ WILL BECOME SE AND INCREASE TO
8-12KTS AFTER 15Z. /15/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 519 PM CDT TUE APR 15 2014/

UPDATE...
WE HAVE EXPANDED THE FREEZE WARNING FOR ADDITIONAL PORTIONS OF
FOUR NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA PARISHES...MAINLY IN THEIR EASTERN MOST
SECTIONS ALONG RIVER AND BAYOU VALLEYS. THE LATE AFTERNOON DEW
POINTS AT ALEXANDRIA AND VARIOUS RAWS STATIONS SUPPORT A POSSIBLE DROP
TO RIGHT AT FREEZING READINGS IN THE PRE DAWN HOURS. THE STILL
DAMP GROUND WILL RADIATE MOISTURE IN THE EXTREME LOWER ATMOSPHERE
ALLOWING FOR A LIGHT TO MODERATE FROST EVEN WHERE NOT EXACTLY
FREEZING. AIR TEMPERATURE SENSORS ARE NOT ON THE GROUND..BUT
MEASURE SOME 6 FEET UP. A FACT...WHICH OF COURSE WILL NOT LIMIT
THE MICRO METEOROLOGICAL PROCESS OF FROST FORMATION.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  36  65  45  71  54 /   0  10  10  10  10
MLU  31  64  42  70  55 /   0  10  10  10  10
DEQ  31  65  41  67  47 /   0  10  10  20  20
TXK  35  65  42  68  51 /   0  10  10  10  20
ELD  30  63  40  69  52 /   0  10  10  10  20
TYR  36  68  49  71  52 /   0  10  10  10  10
GGG  36  67  45  71  53 /   0  10  10  10  10
LFK  36  68  49  72  57 /   0  10  10  10  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...FREEZE WARNING FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: ARZ050-051-060-061-072-073.

LA...FREEZE WARNING FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: LAZ004>006-013-014-019>022.

OK...FREEZE WARNING FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: OKZ077.

TX...NONE.
&&

$$

15







000
FXUS64 KSHV 152219
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
519 PM CDT TUE APR 15 2014

.UPDATE...
WE HAVE EXPANDED THE FREEZE WARNING FOR ADDITIONAL PORTIONS OF
FOUR NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA PARISHES...MAINLY IN THEIR EASTERN MOST
SECTIONS ALONG RIVER AND BAYOU VALLEYS. THE LATE AFTERNOON DEW
POINTS AT ALEXANDRIA AND VARIOUS RAWS STATIONS SUPPORT A POSSIBLE DROP
TO RIGHT AT FREEZING READINGS IN THE PRE DAWN HOURS. THE STILL
DAMP GROUND WILL RADIATE MOISTURE IN THE EXTREME LOWER ATMOSPHERE
ALLOWING FOR A LIGHT TO MODERATE FROST EVEN WHERE NOT EXACTLY
FREEZING. AIR TEMPERATURE SENSORS ARE NOT ON THE GROUND..BUT
MEASURE SOME 6 FEET UP. A FACT...WHICH OF COURSE WILL NOT LIMIT
THE MICRO METEOROLOGICAL PROCESS OF FROST FORMATION.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 257 PM CDT TUE APR 15 2014/

DISCUSSION...
NEAR PERFECT RADIATION COOLING CONDITIONS EXPECTED TONIGHT...AS
SKIES ARE CLEAR AND NORTH BREEZES BECOMING NEAR CALM OVERNIGHT.
WITH DEW POINTS CURRENTLY INTO MID TO UPPER 20S...REMAINING STEADY
OR POSSIBLY DROPPING A COUPLE MORE DEGREES...HAVE ISSUED FREEZE
WARNING FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL LA/SW AR/SE OK TONIGHT.
KEEPING OVERNIGHT LOWS IN MID 30S FOR MOST OF REST OF AREA...BUT
INCLUDED PATCHY FROST FOR ALL BUT EXTREME WESTERN CWA...WHERE A
VERY LIGHT SOUTH BREEZE COULD BEGIN BEFORE DAYBREAK.
A WARMING TREND UNDERWAY BEGINNING TOMORROW AND OVERNIGHT LOWS
WILL QUICKLY BEGIN TO RANGE THROUGH THE 50S...WITH HIGHS IN THE
MID TO UPPER 70S...TO BEGIN THE WEEKEND. A SHORT WAVE MOVG THROUGH
VERY BROAD LONG WAVE TROUGHING THURSDAY AFTN...COULD BRING ISOLD
CONVECTION TO MAINLY SE OK/SW AR...AS MID LVL CAPPING AND DRY AIR
SEEM JUST A BIT MUCH FOR DEVELOPMENT FURTHER SOUTH. HOWEVER...A
SLIGHLY DEEPER BUT STILL BROAD TROUGH SHOULD IGNITE SCATTERED
CONVECTION FOR THE WEEKEND...BEGINNING LATE IN THE DAY SATURDAY...
AND CLEARING OUT EARLY MONDAY./VII/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  36  65  45  71  54 /   0  10  10  10  10
MLU  31  64  42  70  55 /   0  10  10  10  10
DEQ  31  65  41  67  47 /   0  10  10  20  20
TXK  35  65  42  68  51 /   0  10  10  10  20
ELD  30  63  40  69  52 /   0  10  10  10  20
TYR  36  68  49  71  52 /   0  10  10  10  10
GGG  36  67  45  71  53 /   0  10  10  10  10
LFK  36  68  49  72  57 /   0  10  10  10  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...FREEZE WARNING FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: ARZ050-051-060-061-072-073.

LA...FREEZE WARNING FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: LAZ004>006-013-014-019>022.

OK...FREEZE WARNING FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: OKZ077.

TX...NONE.
&&

$$

24







000
FXUS64 KSHV 151957
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
257 PM CDT TUE APR 15 2014

.DISCUSSION...
NEAR PERFECT RADIATION COOLING CONDITIONS EXPECTED TONIGHT...AS
SKIES ARE CLEAR AND NORTH BREEZES BECOMING NEAR CALM OVERNIGHT.
WITH DEWPOINTS CURRENTLY INTO MID TO UPPER 20S...REMAINING STEADY
OR POSSIBLY DROPPING A COUPLE MORE DEGREES...HAVE ISSUED FREEZE
WARNING FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHCENTRAL LA/SW AR/SE OK TONIGHT.
KEEPING OVERNIGHT LOWS IN MID 30S FOR MOST OF REST OF AREA...BUT
INCLUDED PATCHY FROST FOR ALL BUT EXTREME WESTERN CWA...WHERE A
VERY LIGHT SOUTH BREEZE COULD BEGIN BEFORE DAYBREAK.
A WARMING TREND UNDERWAY BEGINNING TOMORROW AND OVERNIGHT LOWS
WILL QUICKLY BEGIN TO RANGE THROUGH THE 50S...WITH HIGHS IN THE
MID TO UPPER 70S...TO BEGIN THE WEEKEND. A SHORT WAVE MOVG THROUGH
VERY BROAD LONG WAVE TROUGHING THURSDAY AFTN...COULD BRING ISOLD
CONVECTION TO MAINLY SE OK/SW AR...AS MID LVL CAPPING AND DRY AIR
SEEM JUST A BIT MUCH FOR DEVELOPMENT FURTHER SOUTH. HOWEVER...A
SLIGHLY DEEPER BUT STILL BROAD TROUGH SHOULD IGNITE SCATTERED
CONVECTION FOR THE WEEKEND...BEGINNING LATE IN THE DAY SATURDAY...
AND CLEARING OUT EARLY MONDAY./VII/


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  36  65  45  71  54 /   0  10  10  10  10
MLU  31  64  42  70  55 /   0  10  10  10  10
DEQ  31  65  41  67  47 /   0  10  10  20  20
TXK  35  65  42  68  51 /   0  10  10  10  20
ELD  30  63  40  69  52 /   0  10  10  10  20
TYR  36  68  49  71  52 /   0  10  10  10  10
GGG  36  67  45  71  53 /   0  10  10  10  10
LFK  36  68  49  72  57 /   0  10  10  10  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...FREEZE WARNING FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: ARZ050-051-060-061-072-073.

LA...FREEZE WARNING FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: LAZ004>006-014-021.

OK...FREEZE WARNING FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: OKZ077.

TX...NONE.
&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KSHV 151727
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1227 PM CDT TUE APR 15 2014

.AVIATION...
VFR FLIGHT WEATHER EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE 18Z TAF FORECAST PERIOD
WITH GENERALLY CLEAR SKIES AND UNRESTRICTED VISIBILITY. SURFACE
WIND NORTHERLY 8 TO 12 KTS THIS AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT AND
VARIABLE TONIGHT AND SOUTHEAST 6 TO 12 KTS FOR WEDNESDAY MORNING.
/14/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 905 AM CDT TUE APR 15 2014/

DISCUSSION...
FREEZE WARNING FOR EXTREME NORTHERN CWA WAS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM
THIS MORNING. TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED TO ABOVE FREEZING MARK
AREAWIDE SO REISSUED ZONES TO REMOVE THE WARNING. REMAINDER OF
FCST APPEARS ON TRACK FOR THIS AFTN. NO FURTHER UPDATES ANTICIPATED./VII/


PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 435 AM CDT TUE APR 15 2014/

DISCUSSION...
CLEARING SKIES AND ADVECTION OF COLD AND DRY AIR INTO THE AREA BY
LIGHT NWLY WINDS HAVE ALLOWED TEMPS TO DROP OFF NICELY THIS MORNING.
TEMPS ARE APPROACHING FREEZING IN THE TERRAIN OF SE OK/SW OK. WITH
SEVERAL MORE HRS OF NIGHTTIME COOLING AHEAD...TEMPS SHOULD REACH
OR COME VERY CLOSE TO FREEZING ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE WARNING
AREA AS WELL. LIGHT OVERNIGHT WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES WILL LEAD TO
ANOTHER COLD NIGHT TONIGHT/WEDNESDAY MORNING. ANOTHER FREEZE
WARNING MAY BE NEEDED E AND N OF A LINE FROM MCCURTAIN COUNTY TO
LA SALLE PARISH. STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY THOUGH AS BULK OF THE COLD
AIR SHOULD BE WELL NE OF THE CWA AND WINDS WILL BE MORE ELY/SELY
WHICH SHOULD TEMPER THE COOLING SOMEWHAT. DESPITE THE CHILLY
NIGHTS...DAYTIME TEMPS TODAY AND WEDNESDAY SHOULD REBOUND BACK
INTO THE 60S IN MOST LOCATIONS.

ZONAL FLOW ALOFT WILL BRING THE NEXT SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND COLD
FRONT INTO THE REGION THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. MODELS DO NOT SHOW MUCH
AGREEMENT IN TERMS OF FROPA TIMING AND QPF LIKELY BECAUSE THIS
SYSTEM IS RELATIVELY WEAK. BEST CHANCES FOR SHWRS/TSTMS SHOULD BE
LATE THURSDAY/EARLY FRIDAY AS THE UPPER TROUGH AND COLD FRONT MOVE
ACROSS THE CWA. NOT EXPECTING WIDESPREAD RAINFALL OR SEVERE
WEATHER AT THIS TIME.

SHORTWAVE RIDGING SHOULD KEEP SATURDAY DRY AS THE FLOW ALOFT
QUICKLY SHIFTS TO SWLY. THIS WILL HELP TO INCREASE DEEP LAYER
MOISTURE AND SHOULD BRING ANOTHER UPPER TROUGH OVER THE AREA ON
SUNDAY. GFS IS PRETTY AGGRESSIVE WITH BRINGING A TSTM COMPLEX OUT OF
W TX AND EWD ALONG A WEAK SFC BOUNDARY NEAR I-20 BY SUNDAY
MORNING. SFC BOUNDARY IS NOT FCST BY THE ECMWF BUT WILL MAINTAIN
CHANCE POPS ON SUNDAY AS SELY SFC WINDS COMBINED WITH SWLY FLOW
ALOFT AND SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVERHEAD USUALLY LEADS TO AT LEAST SOME
CONVECTION. RAIN CHANCES WILL LINGER INTO MONDAY BEFORE A COLD
FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE CWA AND BRINGS DRIER AIR INTO THE REGION.

TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY WARM THROUGH THE NEXT
WEEK. VERY LITTLE...IF ANY...COLD AIR IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE
REGION BEHIND ANY OF THESE COLD FRONTS. THIS SHOULD KEEP TEMPS
NEAR OR ABOVE NORMAL FOR FRIDAY THROUGH THE END OF THE EXTENDED
PERIODS. /09/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  36  66  46  71  54 /   0  10  10  10  30
MLU  33  63  43  70  55 /   0  10  10  10  30
DEQ  32  66  38  67  47 /   0  10  10  20  30
TXK  36  65  43  68  51 /   0  10  10  10  30
ELD  32  62  41  69  52 /   0  10  10  10  30
TYR  36  66  49  71  52 /   0  10  10  20  30
GGG  34  65  46  71  53 /   0  10  10  20  30
LFK  34  69  49  72  57 /   0  10  10  20  30

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KSHV 151405
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
905 AM CDT TUE APR 15 2014

.DISCUSSION...
FREEZE WARNING FOR EXTREME NORTHERN CWA WAS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM
THIS MORNING. TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED TO ABOVE FREEZING MARK
AREAWIDE SO REISSUED ZONES TO REMOVE THE WARNING. REMAINDER OF
FCST APPEARS ON TRACK FOR THIS AFTN. NO FURTHER UPDATES ANTICIPATED./VII/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 503 AM CDT TUE APR 15 2014/

AVIATION...
REAR FLANK OF EASTWARD MOVING SC DECK JUST NOW MOVING THE MLU
TERMINAL...OTHERWISE...SKC CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT MOST
TERMINALS THROUGH THE DAY. CROSS SECTIONS SHOWING SOME SLIGHT
60-70% MOISTURE DECK AT 850MB LEVEL SO MADE MENTION OF A
SCATTERED CU FIELD AT THE ELD/MLU TERMINALS NEAR OR AROUND THE
18Z HOUR BUT ANY CU FIELD SHOULD DISSIPATE BEFORE BY 00Z WED.

PRESSURE ANALYSIS THIS MORNING CONTINUES TO SHOW A STRONG
GRADIENT ACROSS N LA/S AR AND AS A RESULT...COULD SEE SOME
STRONGER GUSTS NEAR 18-20KTS AT THE SHV/MLU/ELD TERMINALS THIS
MORNING. OTHERWISE...THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE CURRENTLY ACROSS
NORTHWEST TEXAS WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION LATER THIS AFTERNOON
WITH WINDS DIMINISHING. WENT WITH LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS
OVERNIGHT OR CALM WINDS WITH A SE COMPONENT NEAR 3-5KTS AT THE
TYR/GGG/TXK TERMINALS NEAR OR AFTER 06Z WED.

/13/

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 435 AM CDT TUE APR 15 2014/

DISCUSSION...
CLEARING SKIES AND ADVECTION OF COLD AND DRY AIR INTO THE AREA BY
LIGHT NWLY WINDS HAVE ALLOWED TEMPS TO DROP OFF NICELY THIS MORNING.
TEMPS ARE APPROACHING FREEZING IN THE TERRAIN OF SE OK/SW OK. WITH
SEVERAL MORE HRS OF NIGHTTIME COOLING AHEAD...TEMPS SHOULD REACH
OR COME VERY CLOSE TO FREEZING ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE WARNING
AREA AS WELL. LIGHT OVERNIGHT WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES WILL LEAD TO
ANOTHER COLD NIGHT TONIGHT/WEDNESDAY MORNING. ANOTHER FREEZE
WARNING MAY BE NEEDED E AND N OF A LINE FROM MCCURTAIN COUNTY TO
LA SALLE PARISH. STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY THOUGH AS BULK OF THE COLD
AIR SHOULD BE WELL NE OF THE CWA AND WINDS WILL BE MORE ELY/SELY
WHICH SHOULD TEMPER THE COOLING SOMEWHAT. DESPITE THE CHILLY
NIGHTS...DAYTIME TEMPS TODAY AND WEDNESDAY SHOULD REBOUND BACK
INTO THE 60S IN MOST LOCATIONS.

ZONAL FLOW ALOFT WILL BRING THE NEXT SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND COLD
FRONT INTO THE REGION THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. MODELS DO NOT SHOW MUCH
AGREEMENT IN TERMS OF FROPA TIMING AND QPF LIKELY BECAUSE THIS
SYSTEM IS RELATIVELY WEAK. BEST CHANCES FOR SHWRS/TSTMS SHOULD BE
LATE THURSDAY/EARLY FRIDAY AS THE UPPER TROUGH AND COLD FRONT MOVE
ACROSS THE CWA. NOT EXPECTING WIDESPREAD RAINFALL OR SEVERE
WEATHER AT THIS TIME.

SHORTWAVE RIDGING SHOULD KEEP SATURDAY DRY AS THE FLOW ALOFT
QUICKLY SHIFTS TO SWLY. THIS WILL HELP TO INCREASE DEEP LAYER
MOISTURE AND SHOULD BRING ANOTHER UPPER TROUGH OVER THE AREA ON
SUNDAY. GFS IS PRETTY AGGRESSIVE WITH BRINGING A TSTM COMPLEX OUT OF
W TX AND EWD ALONG A WEAK SFC BOUNDARY NEAR I-20 BY SUNDAY
MORNING. SFC BOUNDARY IS NOT FCST BY THE ECMWF BUT WILL MAINTAIN
CHANCE POPS ON SUNDAY AS SELY SFC WINDS COMBINED WITH SWLY FLOW
ALOFT AND SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVERHEAD USUALLY LEADS TO AT LEAST SOME
CONVECTION. RAIN CHANCES WILL LINGER INTO MONDAY BEFORE A COLD
FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE CWA AND BRINGS DRIER AIR INTO THE REGION.

TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY WARM THROUGH THE NEXT
WEEK. VERY LITTLE...IF ANY...COLD AIR IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE
REGION BEHIND ANY OF THESE COLD FRONTS. THIS SHOULD KEEP TEMPS
NEAR OR ABOVE NORMAL FOR FRIDAY THROUGH THE END OF THE EXTENDED
PERIODS. /09/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  61  36  66  46  71 /   0   0  10  10  10
MLU  60  33  63  43  70 /   0   0  10  10  10
DEQ  61  32  66  38  67 /   0   0  10  10  20
TXK  59  36  65  43  68 /   0   0  10  10  10
ELD  58  32  62  41  69 /   0   0  10  10  10
TYR  62  36  66  49  71 /   0   0  10  10  20
GGG  61  34  65  46  71 /   0   0  10  10  20
LFK  62  34  69  49  72 /   0   0  10  10  20

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KSHV 151003
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
503 AM CDT TUE APR 15 2014

.AVIATION...
REAR FLANK OF EASTWARD MOVING SC DECK JUST NOW MOVING THE MLU
TERMINAL...OTHERWISE...SKC CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT MOST
TERMINALS THROUGH THE DAY. CROSS SECTIONS SHOWING SOME SLIGHT
60-70% MOISTURE DECK AT 850MB LEVEL SO MADE MENTION OF A
SCATTERED CU FIELD AT THE ELD/MLU TERMINALS NEAR OR AROUND THE
18Z HOUR BUT ANY CU FIELD SHOULD DISSIPATE BEFORE BY 00Z WED.

PRESSURE ANALYSIS THIS MORNING CONTINUES TO SHOW A STRONG
GRADIENT ACROSS N LA/S AR AND AS A RESULT...COULD SEE SOME
STRONGER GUSTS NEAR 18-20KTS AT THE SHV/MLU/ELD TERMINALS THIS
MORNING. OTHERWISE...THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE CURRENTLY ACROSS
NORTHWEST TEXAS WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION LATER THIS AFTERNOON
WITH WINDS DIMINISHING. WENT WITH LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS
OVERNIGHT OR CALM WINDS WITH A SE COMPONENT NEAR 3-5KTS AT THE
TYR/GGG/TXK TERMINALS NEAR OR AFTER 06Z WED.

/13/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 435 AM CDT TUE APR 15 2014/

DISCUSSION...
CLEARING SKIES AND ADVECTION OF COLD AND DRY AIR INTO THE AREA BY
LIGHT NWLY WINDS HAVE ALLOWED TEMPS TO DROP OFF NICELY THIS MORNING.
TEMPS ARE APPROACHING FREEZING IN THE TERRAIN OF SE OK/SW OK. WITH
SEVERAL MORE HRS OF NIGHTTIME COOLING AHEAD...TEMPS SHOULD REACH
OR COME VERY CLOSE TO FREEZING ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE WARNING
AREA AS WELL. LIGHT OVERNIGHT WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES WILL LEAD TO
ANOTHER COLD NIGHT TONIGHT/WEDNESDAY MORNING. ANOTHER FREEZE
WARNING MAY BE NEEDED E AND N OF A LINE FROM MCCURTAIN COUNTY TO
LA SALLE PARISH. STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY THOUGH AS BULK OF THE COLD
AIR SHOULD BE WELL NE OF THE CWA AND WINDS WILL BE MORE ELY/SELY
WHICH SHOULD TEMPER THE COOLING SOMEWHAT. DESPITE THE CHILLY
NIGHTS...DAYTIME TEMPS TODAY AND WEDNESDAY SHOULD REBOUND BACK
INTO THE 60S IN MOST LOCATIONS.

ZONAL FLOW ALOFT WILL BRING THE NEXT SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND COLD
FRONT INTO THE REGION THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. MODELS DO NOT SHOW MUCH
AGREEMENT IN TERMS OF FROPA TIMING AND QPF LIKELY BECAUSE THIS
SYSTEM IS RELATIVELY WEAK. BEST CHANCES FOR SHWRS/TSTMS SHOULD BE
LATE THURSDAY/EARLY FRIDAY AS THE UPPER TROUGH AND COLD FRONT MOVE
ACROSS THE CWA. NOT EXPECTING WIDESPREAD RAINFALL OR SEVERE
WEATHER AT THIS TIME.

SHORTWAVE RIDGING SHOULD KEEP SATURDAY DRY AS THE FLOW ALOFT
QUICKLY SHIFTS TO SWLY. THIS WILL HELP TO INCREASE DEEP LAYER
MOISTURE AND SHOULD BRING ANOTHER UPPER TROUGH OVER THE AREA ON
SUNDAY. GFS IS PRETTY AGGRESSIVE WITH BRINGING A TSTM COMPLEX OUT OF
W TX AND EWD ALONG A WEAK SFC BOUNDARY NEAR I-20 BY SUNDAY
MORNING. SFC BOUNDARY IS NOT FCST BY THE ECMWF BUT WILL MAINTAIN
CHANCE POPS ON SUNDAY AS SELY SFC WINDS COMBINED WITH SWLY FLOW
ALOFT AND SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVERHEAD USUALLY LEADS TO AT LEAST SOME
CONVECTION. RAIN CHANCES WILL LINGER INTO MONDAY BEFORE A COLD
FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE CWA AND BRINGS DRIER AIR INTO THE REGION.

TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY WARM THROUGH THE NEXT
WEEK. VERY LITTLE...IF ANY...COLD AIR IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE
REGION BEHIND ANY OF THESE COLD FRONTS. THIS SHOULD KEEP TEMPS
NEAR OR ABOVE NORMAL FOR FRIDAY THROUGH THE END OF THE EXTENDED
PERIODS. /09/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  61  36  66  46  71 /   0   0  10  10  10
MLU  60  33  63  43  70 /   0   0  10  10  10
DEQ  61  32  66  38  67 /   0   0  10  10  20
TXK  59  36  65  43  68 /   0   0  10  10  10
ELD  58  32  62  41  69 /   0   0  10  10  10
TYR  62  36  66  49  71 /   0   0  10  10  20
GGG  61  34  65  46  71 /   0   0  10  10  20
LFK  62  34  69  49  72 /   0   0  10  10  20

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: ARZ050-051-059>061.

LA...NONE.
OK...FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: OKZ077.

TX...FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: TXZ096.

&&

$$

13







000
FXUS64 KSHV 150935
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
435 AM CDT TUE APR 15 2014

.DISCUSSION...
CLEARING SKIES AND ADVECTION OF COLD AND DRY AIR INTO THE AREA BY
LIGHT NWLY WINDS HAVE ALLOWED TEMPS TO DROP OFF NICELY THIS MORNING.
TEMPS ARE APPROACHING FREEZING IN THE TERRAIN OF SE OK/SW OK. WITH
SEVERAL MORE HRS OF NIGHTTIME COOLING AHEAD...TEMPS SHOULD REACH
OR COME VERY CLOSE TO FREEZING ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE WARNING
AREA AS WELL. LIGHT OVERNIGHT WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES WILL LEAD TO
ANOTHER COLD NIGHT TONIGHT/WEDNESDAY MORNING. ANOTHER FREEZE
WARNING MAY BE NEEDED E AND N OF A LINE FROM MCCURTAIN COUNTY TO
LA SALLE PARISH. STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY THOUGH AS BULK OF THE COLD
AIR SHOULD BE WELL NE OF THE CWA AND WINDS WILL BE MORE ELY/SELY
WHICH SHOULD TEMPER THE COOLING SOMEWHAT. DESPITE THE CHILLY
NIGHTS...DAYTIME TEMPS TODAY AND WEDNESDAY SHOULD REBOUND BACK
INTO THE 60S IN MOST LOCATIONS.

ZONAL FLOW ALOFT WILL BRING THE NEXT SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND COLD
FRONT INTO THE REGION THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. MODELS DO NOT SHOW MUCH
AGREEMENT IN TERMS OF FROPA TIMING AND QPF LIKELY BECAUSE THIS
SYSTEM IS RELATIVELY WEAK. BEST CHANCES FOR SHWRS/TSTMS SHOULD BE
LATE THURSDAY/EARLY FRIDAY AS THE UPPER TROUGH AND COLD FRONT MOVE
ACROSS THE CWA. NOT EXPECTING WIDESPREAD RAINFALL OR SEVERE
WEATHER AT THIS TIME.

SHORTWAVE RIDGING SHOULD KEEP SATURDAY DRY AS THE FLOW ALOFT
QUICKLY SHIFTS TO SWLY. THIS WILL HELP TO INCREASE DEEP LAYER
MOISTURE AND SHOULD BRING ANOTHER UPPER TROUGH OVER THE AREA ON
SUNDAY. GFS IS PRETTY AGGRESSIVE WITH BRINGING A TSTM COMPLEX OUT OF
W TX AND EWD ALONG A WEAK SFC BOUNDARY NEAR I-20 BY SUNDAY
MORNING. SFC BOUNDARY IS NOT FCST BY THE ECMWF BUT WILL MAINTAIN
CHANCE POPS ON SUNDAY AS SELY SFC WINDS COMBINED WITH SWLY FLOW
ALOFT AND SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVERHEAD USUALLY LEADS TO AT LEAST SOME
CONVECTION. RAIN CHANCES WILL LINGER INTO MONDAY BEFORE A COLD
FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE CWA AND BRINGS DRIER AIR INTO THE REGION.

TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY WARM THROUGH THE NEXT
WEEK. VERY LITTLE...IF ANY...COLD AIR IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE
REGION BEHIND ANY OF THESE COLD FRONTS. THIS SHOULD KEEP TEMPS
NEAR OR ABOVE NORMAL FOR FRIDAY THROUGH THE END OF THE EXTENDED
PERIODS. /09/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  61  36  66  46  71 /   0   0  10  10  10
MLU  60  33  63  43  70 /   0   0  10  10  10
DEQ  61  32  66  38  67 /   0   0  10  10  20
TXK  59  36  65  43  68 /   0   0  10  10  10
ELD  58  32  62  41  69 /   0   0  10  10  10
TYR  62  36  66  49  71 /   0   0  10  10  20
GGG  61  34  65  46  71 /   0   0  10  10  20
LFK  62  34  69  49  72 /   0   0  10  10  20

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: ARZ050-051-059>061.

LA...NONE.
OK...FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: OKZ077.

TX...FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: TXZ096.

&&

$$

09/13







000
FXUS64 KSHV 150513
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1213 AM CDT TUE APR 15 2014

.DISCUSSION...
UPDATE TO REMOVE LAKE WIND ADVISORY WITH STILL SOME GUSTS TO TEENS
AND LOW 20S EAST...BUT EVEN CALM NOW AT DE QUEEN. A FEW TWEAKS TO
SKY AS WELL UPDATES ON THE WAY POST EDITING. /24/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1138 PM CDT MON APR 14 2014/

AVIATION...
CONDITIONS ACROSS MLU/ELD TO IMPROVE TO VFR BY 15/09Z.
ELSEWHERE...VFR CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL THROUGHOUT THE TERMINAL
FORECAST PERIOD. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 KNOTS TONIGHT TO INCREASE TO
10 TO 15 KNOTS ACROSS MLU/ELD/LFK ON TUESDAY WITH 10 KNOTS
ELSEWHERE. OTHERWISE...WINDS TO BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE ACROSS
AREA TERMINALS AFTER 16/00Z AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE
REGION. /05/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  36  68  47  71  56 /   0   0  10  20  30
MLU  33  67  46  72  57 /   0   0  10  20  30
DEQ  32  66  44  67  49 /   0   0  10  20  40
TXK  36  66  45  67  53 /   0   0  10  20  30
ELD  32  66  44  71  54 /   0   0  10  20  40
TYR  36  68  50  70  54 /   0   0  10  30  20
GGG  34  68  49  70  55 /   0   0  10  30  30
LFK  34  69  50  72  59 /   0   0  10  30  20

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: ARZ050-051-059>061.

LA...NONE.
OK...FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: OKZ077.

TX...FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: TXZ096.

&&

$$

24







000
FXUS64 KSHV 150438
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1138 PM CDT MON APR 14 2014


.AVIATION...
CONDITIONS ACROSS MLU/ELD TO IMPROVE TO VFR BY 15/09Z.
ELSEWHERE...VFR CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL THROUGHOUT THE TERMINAL
FORECAST PERIOD. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 KNOTS TONIGHT TO INCREASE TO
10 TO 15 KNOTS ACROSS MLU/ELD/LFK ON TUESDAY WITH 10 KNOTS
ELSEWHERE. OTHERWISE...WINDS TO BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE ACROSS
AREA TERMINALS AFTER 16/00Z AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE
REGION. /05/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  36  60  36  68  47 /  10   0   0   0  10
MLU  36  60  33  67  46 /  10   0   0   0  10
DEQ  30  60  32  66  44 /  10   0   0   0  10
TXK  34  60  36  66  45 /  10   0   0   0  10
ELD  33  60  32  66  44 /  10   0   0   0  10
TYR  34  61  36  68  50 /  10   0   0   0  10
GGG  34  61  34  68  49 /  10   0   0   0  10
LFK  36  63  34  69  50 /  10   0   0   0  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT TONIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: ARZ071>073.

     FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 9 AM CDT TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     ARZ050-051-059>061.

LA...LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT TONIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022.

OK...FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 9 AM CDT TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     OKZ077.

TX...FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 9 AM CDT TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     TXZ096.

&&

$$

05/05/05







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