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000
FXUS64 KSHV 251650
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1150 AM CDT SAT OCT 25 2014

.AVIATION...
CLOUD FREE SKIES SHOULD DESCRIBE THIS TAF FORECAST THROUGH THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. THERE IS SOME MOISTURE NEAR 5KFT OBSERVED ON THE
LZK SOUNDING THIS MORNING COULD CONDENSE WITH A LITTLE MORE
HEATING OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR SO ACROSS SOUTHERN ARKANSAS AND
NORTH LOUISIANA BUT IT SHOULD NOT AMOUNT TO MUCH IF IT DOES.
OTHERWISE...SOUTHWEST WINDS NEAR 4-8KTS DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS
WITH THESE WINDS DECOUPLING THIS EVENING.

MADE MENTION OF SOME PATCHY FOG ONCE AGAIN AT THE MLU TERMINAL
OVERNIGHT AND A SLIGHT REDUCTION IN VISIBILITY POSSIBLE AT THE LFK
TERMINAL JUST PRIOR TO SUNRISE SUNDAY MORNING. SSW WINDS NEAR 4-8
KTS ONCE AGAIN BEYOND 14Z SUN.

13

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1047 AM CDT SAT OCT 25 2014/

DISCUSSION...
ABUNDANT SUNSHINE EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
DAY WITH GENERALLY BENIGN CONDITIONS. GOING FCST LOOKS TO BE
TRACK. ONLY MINOR ADJUSTMENTS WERE MADE TO SKY AND DEWPOINT GRIDS
BASED ON LATEST OBS. UPDATED PRODUCTS WILL BE SENT SHORTLY. /09/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  60  87  60  86  64 /   0   0   0  10  10
MLU  59  86  59  85  63 /   0   0   0  10  10
DEQ  58  86  59  84  60 /   0   0   0  10  10
TXK  62  86  61  84  63 /   0   0   0  10  10
ELD  59  86  58  85  62 /   0   0   0  10  10
TYR  63  87  63  84  65 /   0   0   0  10  10
GGG  60  87  60  85  64 /   0   0   0  10  10
LFK  59  86  59  85  65 /   0   0   0  10  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

13/09








000
FXUS64 KSHV 251650
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1150 AM CDT SAT OCT 25 2014

.AVIATION...
CLOUD FREE SKIES SHOULD DESCRIBE THIS TAF FORECAST THROUGH THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. THERE IS SOME MOISTURE NEAR 5KFT OBSERVED ON THE
LZK SOUNDING THIS MORNING COULD CONDENSE WITH A LITTLE MORE
HEATING OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR SO ACROSS SOUTHERN ARKANSAS AND
NORTH LOUISIANA BUT IT SHOULD NOT AMOUNT TO MUCH IF IT DOES.
OTHERWISE...SOUTHWEST WINDS NEAR 4-8KTS DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS
WITH THESE WINDS DECOUPLING THIS EVENING.

MADE MENTION OF SOME PATCHY FOG ONCE AGAIN AT THE MLU TERMINAL
OVERNIGHT AND A SLIGHT REDUCTION IN VISIBILITY POSSIBLE AT THE LFK
TERMINAL JUST PRIOR TO SUNRISE SUNDAY MORNING. SSW WINDS NEAR 4-8
KTS ONCE AGAIN BEYOND 14Z SUN.

13

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1047 AM CDT SAT OCT 25 2014/

DISCUSSION...
ABUNDANT SUNSHINE EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
DAY WITH GENERALLY BENIGN CONDITIONS. GOING FCST LOOKS TO BE
TRACK. ONLY MINOR ADJUSTMENTS WERE MADE TO SKY AND DEWPOINT GRIDS
BASED ON LATEST OBS. UPDATED PRODUCTS WILL BE SENT SHORTLY. /09/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  60  87  60  86  64 /   0   0   0  10  10
MLU  59  86  59  85  63 /   0   0   0  10  10
DEQ  58  86  59  84  60 /   0   0   0  10  10
TXK  62  86  61  84  63 /   0   0   0  10  10
ELD  59  86  58  85  62 /   0   0   0  10  10
TYR  63  87  63  84  65 /   0   0   0  10  10
GGG  60  87  60  85  64 /   0   0   0  10  10
LFK  59  86  59  85  65 /   0   0   0  10  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

13/09








000
FXUS64 KSHV 251547 AAA
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1047 AM CDT SAT OCT 25 2014

.DISCUSSION...
ABUNDANT SUNSHINE EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
DAY WITH GENERALLY BENIGN CONDITIONS. GOING FCST LOOKS TO BE
TRACK. ONLY MINOR ADJUSTMENTS WERE MADE TO SKY AND DEWPOINT GRIDS
BASED ON LATEST OBS. UPDATED PRODUCTS WILL BE SENT SHORTLY. /09/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 625 AM CDT SAT OCT 25 2014/

AVIATION...
NO AVIATION CONCERNS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD...AS VFR
CONDITIONS/SKC WILL CONTINUE. COULD SEE A WEAK CU FIELD DEVELOP BY
LATE MORNING/MIDDAY OVER THE REGION...WHICH WILL DIMINISH BY 00Z
SUNDAY. LIGHT WSW WINDS TODAY WILL BECOME LIGHT SSW/LT AND VRB
AFTER 00Z. /15/

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 333 AM CDT SAT OCT 25 2014/

DISCUSSION...
WARMING TREND UNDERWAY THIS WEEKEND AS 592 RIDGE BUILDS INTO
CENTRAL TX...AS AFTN HIGH REACH MAINLY THE LOWER TO MID 80S TODAY
AND THE MID TO UPPER 80S ON SUNDAY. THESE TEMPS MAY CONTINUE INTO MONDAY...
ALTHOUGH INCREASING UPPER LVL CLOUDS MAY HAMPER AT LEAST A COUPLE DEGREES.
AN UPPER TROUGH APPROACHING THE REGION WILL SLOW DOWN AND BECOME
MORE EAST TO WEST ORIENTED...DUE TO STG ZONAL FLOW ALOFT WILL
STRETCH THIS TROUGH EXTENDING FROM A SLOWER MOVG PARENT UPPER LOW
OVER GREAT LAKES. ISOLD CONVECTION EXPECTED BEGINNING
TUESDAY...WITH SCATTERED COVERAGE ALONG AND JUST NORTH OF FRONTAL
BOUNDARY. THIS FRONT WILL SLOWLY SINK SWD ACROSS THE REGION FROM
LATE TUESDAY THRU WED NIGHT. CLEARING SKIES CAN BE EXPECTED
BEGINNING THURSDAY AND CONTINUE THRU NEXT WKND...WITH OVERNIGHT
LOWS FALLING INTO THE 40S FOR MOST OF THE REGION AS WELL BY THE
WKND. /VII/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  84  60  87  60  86 /   0   0   0   0  10
MLU  82  59  86  59  85 /   0   0   0   0  10
DEQ  83  58  86  59  84 /   0   0   0   0  10
TXK  83  62  86  61  84 /   0   0   0   0  10
ELD  82  59  86  58  85 /   0   0   0   0  10
TYR  86  63  87  63  84 /   0   0   0   0  10
GGG  85  60  87  60  85 /   0   0   0   0  10
LFK  85  59  86  59  85 /   0   0   0   0  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

09/13








000
FXUS64 KSHV 251125 AAA
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
625 AM CDT SAT OCT 25 2014

.AVIATION...
NO AVIATION CONCERNS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD...AS VFR
CONDITIONS/SKC WILL CONTINUE. COULD SEE A WEAK CU FIELD DEVELOP BY
LATE MORNING/MIDDAY OVER THE REGION...WHICH WILL DIMINISH BY 00Z
SUNDAY. LIGHT WSW WINDS TODAY WILL BECOME LIGHT SSW/LT AND VRB
AFTER 00Z. /15/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 333 AM CDT SAT OCT 25 2014/

DISCUSSION...
WARMING TREND UNDERWAY THIS WEEKEND AS 592 RIDGE BUILDS INTO
CENTRAL TX...AS AFTN HIGH REACH MAINLY THE LOWER TO MID 80S TODAY
AND THE MID TO UPPER 80S ON SUNDAY. THESE TEMPS MAY CONTINUE INTO MONDAY...
ALTHOUGH INCREASING UPPER LVL CLOUDS MAY HAMPER AT LEAST A COUPLE DEGREES.
AN UPPER TROUGH APPROACHING THE REGION WILL SLOW DOWN AND BECOME
MORE EAST TO WEST ORIENTED...DUE TO STG ZONAL FLOW ALOFT WILL
STRETCH THIS TROUGH EXTENDING FROM A SLOWER MOVG PARENT UPPER LOW
OVER GREAT LAKES. ISOLD CONVECTION EXPECTED BEGINNING
TUESDAY...WITH SCATTERED COVERAGE ALONG AND JUST NORTH OF FRONTAL
BOUNDARY. THIS FRONT WILL SLOWLY SINK SWD ACROSS THE REGION FROM
LATE TUESDAY THRU WED NIGHT. CLEARING SKIES CAN BE EXPECTED
BEGINNING THURSDAY AND CONTINUE THRU NEXT WKND...WITH OVERNIGHT
LOWS FALLING INTO THE 40S FOR MOST OF THE REGION AS WELL BY THE
WKND. /VII/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  84  60  87  60  86 /   0   0   0   0  10
MLU  82  59  86  59  85 /   0   0   0   0  10
DEQ  83  58  86  59  84 /   0   0   0   0  10
TXK  83  62  86  61  84 /   0   0   0   0  10
ELD  82  59  86  58  85 /   0   0   0   0  10
TYR  86  63  87  63  84 /   0   0   0   0  10
GGG  85  60  87  60  85 /   0   0   0   0  10
LFK  85  59  86  59  85 /   0   0   0   0  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

15







000
FXUS64 KSHV 251125 AAA
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
625 AM CDT SAT OCT 25 2014

.AVIATION...
NO AVIATION CONCERNS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD...AS VFR
CONDITIONS/SKC WILL CONTINUE. COULD SEE A WEAK CU FIELD DEVELOP BY
LATE MORNING/MIDDAY OVER THE REGION...WHICH WILL DIMINISH BY 00Z
SUNDAY. LIGHT WSW WINDS TODAY WILL BECOME LIGHT SSW/LT AND VRB
AFTER 00Z. /15/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 333 AM CDT SAT OCT 25 2014/

DISCUSSION...
WARMING TREND UNDERWAY THIS WEEKEND AS 592 RIDGE BUILDS INTO
CENTRAL TX...AS AFTN HIGH REACH MAINLY THE LOWER TO MID 80S TODAY
AND THE MID TO UPPER 80S ON SUNDAY. THESE TEMPS MAY CONTINUE INTO MONDAY...
ALTHOUGH INCREASING UPPER LVL CLOUDS MAY HAMPER AT LEAST A COUPLE DEGREES.
AN UPPER TROUGH APPROACHING THE REGION WILL SLOW DOWN AND BECOME
MORE EAST TO WEST ORIENTED...DUE TO STG ZONAL FLOW ALOFT WILL
STRETCH THIS TROUGH EXTENDING FROM A SLOWER MOVG PARENT UPPER LOW
OVER GREAT LAKES. ISOLD CONVECTION EXPECTED BEGINNING
TUESDAY...WITH SCATTERED COVERAGE ALONG AND JUST NORTH OF FRONTAL
BOUNDARY. THIS FRONT WILL SLOWLY SINK SWD ACROSS THE REGION FROM
LATE TUESDAY THRU WED NIGHT. CLEARING SKIES CAN BE EXPECTED
BEGINNING THURSDAY AND CONTINUE THRU NEXT WKND...WITH OVERNIGHT
LOWS FALLING INTO THE 40S FOR MOST OF THE REGION AS WELL BY THE
WKND. /VII/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  84  60  87  60  86 /   0   0   0   0  10
MLU  82  59  86  59  85 /   0   0   0   0  10
DEQ  83  58  86  59  84 /   0   0   0   0  10
TXK  83  62  86  61  84 /   0   0   0   0  10
ELD  82  59  86  58  85 /   0   0   0   0  10
TYR  86  63  87  63  84 /   0   0   0   0  10
GGG  85  60  87  60  85 /   0   0   0   0  10
LFK  85  59  86  59  85 /   0   0   0   0  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

15







000
FXUS64 KSHV 250833
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
333 AM CDT SAT OCT 25 2014

.DISCUSSION...
WARMING TREND UNDERWAY THIS WEEKEND AS 592 RIDGE BUILDS INTO
CENTRAL TX...AS AFTN HIGH REACH MAINLY THE LOWER TO MID 80S TODAY
AND THE MID TO UPPER 80S ON SUNDAY. THESE TEMPS MAY CONTINUE INTO MONDAY...
ALTHOUGH INCREASING UPPER LVL CLOUDS MAY HAMPER AT LEAST A COUPLE DEGREES.
AN UPPER TROUGH APPROACHING THE REGION WILL SLOW DOWN AND BECOME
MORE EAST TO WEST ORIENTED...DUE TO STG ZONAL FLOW ALOFT WILL
STRETCH THIS TROUGH EXTENDING FROM A SLOWER MOVG PARENT UPPER LOW
OVER GREAT LAKES. ISOLD CONVECTION EXPECTED BEGINNING
TUESDAY...WITH SCATTERED COVERAGE ALONG AND JUST NORTH OF FRONTAL
BOUNDARY. THIS FRONT WILL SLOWLY SINK SWD ACROSS THE REGION FROM
LATE TUESDAY THRU WED NIGHT. CLEARING SKIES CAN BE EXPECTED
BEGINNING THURSDAY AND CONTINUE THRU NEXT WKND...WITH OVERNIGHT
LOWS FALLING INTO THE 40S FOR MOST OF THE REGION AS WELL BY THE WKND./VII/.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  84  60  87  60  86 /   0   0   0   0  10
MLU  82  59  86  59  85 /   0   0   0   0  10
DEQ  83  58  86  59  84 /   0   0   0   0  10
TXK  83  62  86  61  84 /   0   0   0   0  10
ELD  82  59  86  58  85 /   0   0   0   0  10
TYR  86  63  87  63  84 /   0   0   0   0  10
GGG  85  60  87  60  85 /   0   0   0   0  10
LFK  85  59  86  59  85 /   0   0   0   0  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KSHV 250440
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1140 PM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014

.AVIATION...
EARLIER CIRRUS HAS COMPLETELY DISSIPATED AND AS A RESULT...WE ARE
STARTING TO SEE VSBY PROBLEMS AT THE ELD/MLU TERMINALS. FOR THE
06Z TAF PACKAGE...WILL PREVAIL 3SM AT BOTH TERMINAL LOCATIONS
BRINGING THEM DOWN WITH TEMPO GROUPS MUCH LOWER TO 1/2 MILE PRIOR
TO 13Z. SOME PATCHY MVFR VSBYS WILL BE POSSIBLE AT THE TXK/LFK
TERMINALS AS WELL. CROSS SECTIONS SHOWING SOME MOISTURE AT AROUND
5KFT THAT MAY RESULT IN SOME SCATTERED CLOUD COVER DURING THE DAY
SATURDAY BUT SHOULD NOT AMOUNT TO MUCH. WINDS WILL QUICKLY VEER
AROUND TO A SW DIRECTION AFTER SUNRISE ON SATURDAY MAINLY NEAR
4-7KTS. OTHER THAN THE VSBY CONCERNS OVERNIGHT INTO THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS ON SATURDAY...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL.

13

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 945 PM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE ON THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL PREVAIL OVER THE
FOUR STATE AREA. NO CHANGES TO THE FORECAST HAVE BEEN MADE AND NO
UPDATED NEEDED.

06

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  54  86  60  87  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
MLU  48  83  57  86  58 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEQ  54  85  56  86  55 /   0   0   0   0   0
TXK  56  85  61  86  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
ELD  51  83  58  86  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
TYR  60  86  62  87  62 /   0   0   0   0   0
GGG  55  87  59  87  59 /   0   0   0   0   0
LFK  53  86  57  86  58 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

13







000
FXUS64 KSHV 250245
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
945 PM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE ON THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL PREVAIL OVER THE
FOUR STATE AREA. NO CHANGES TO THE FORECAST HAVE BEEN MADE AND NO
UPDATED NEEDED.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 610 PM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014/

AVIATION...
BKN BAND OF CIRRUS STREAMING SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE REGION THIS
EVENING SHOULD THIN MUCH LATER TONIGHT. OTHERWISE LIMITED MOISTURE
BELOW THIS HIGH CLOUD COVER SHOULD ALLOW FOR VFR CONDITIONS TO
PREVAIL. CANNOT RULE OUT SOME PATCHY FOG OVERNIGHT AT THE MLU
TERMINAL BUT CIRRUS MIGHT PRECLUDE THIS FROM FORMING. LOOKING FOR
LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS OVERNIGHT OR NEAR CALM WITH SW WINDS NEAR
4-7KTS DURING THE DAY SATURDAY.

13

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 340 PM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
PASSING CIRRUS IS THICKENING OVER E OK...BUT WILL BE AN EVENING
AFFAIR FOR THE MOST PART. AFTER MIDNIGHT WITH FAIR SKIES AND
SPREADS CLOSING WE WILL LIKELY SEE SOME SHALLOW PATCHY FOG IN THE
USUAL SPOTS OVER AR...NE LA AND SE TX. OTHERWISE...A WARMER NIGHT
COMPARED TO LAST AND CLOSER AND EVEN SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE
AVERAGE.

WE WILL CONTINUE TO WARM OVER THE WEEKEND WITH HIGHS SOME 5 TO 10
DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE. RECORDS IN THE 90 WILL REMAIN SAFE...BUT A
NICE EARLY FALL WEEKEND TO BE SURE AS THE UPPER RIDGE BUILDS INTO
MUCH OF THE NATION. OUR RISING HEIGHTS ALOFT AND SOUTHWEST WINDS
ON THE SURFACE WILL BOOST THE MERCURY INTO THE MID AND A FEW UPPER
80S THIS WEEKEND. LOWS WILL BE INCREASING TOO WITH EVEN SOME
SCATTERED 60S. ASIDE FROM IN AND OUT CLOUDS THIS EVENING...MUCH OF
THE WEEKEND SHOULD BE MOSTLY CLEAR.

THE GFS AND EURO MODELS ARE STILL IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON A WEAK COLD
FRONT AND 1020ISH MB HIGH INTO MIDWEEK. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND SOME THUNDERSTORMS WILL FILTER IN FOR MIDWEEK AND
LINGER A BIT AS THE INITIAL FRONTAL BOUNDARY STALLS MORE OR LESS.

LATER IN THE WEEK...STRONGER REINFORCEMENTS ARRIVE WITH A LARGE
1035MB HIGH SHOULD MAKE FOR A NICE END TO THE MONTH AND FIRST
WEEKEND INTO NOVEMBER FOR THAT MATTER. MAV/MEX IS REASONABLE
THROUGH THE MEDIUM RANGE AND HAVE BEEN BLENDED THROUGH THE MIDDLE
OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  54  86  60  87  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
MLU  48  83  57  86  58 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEQ  54  85  56  86  55 /   0   0   0   0   0
TXK  56  85  61  86  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
ELD  51  83  58  86  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
TYR  60  86  62  87  62 /   0   0   0   0   0
GGG  55  87  59  87  59 /   0   0   0   0   0
LFK  53  86  57  86  58 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

06







000
FXUS64 KSHV 242310
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
610 PM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014

.AVIATION...
BKN BAND OF CIRRUS STREAMING SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE REGION THIS
EVENING SHOULD THIN MUCH LATER TONIGHT. OTHERWISE LIMITED MOISTURE
BELOW THIS HIGH CLOUD COVER SHOULD ALLOW FOR VFR CONDITIONS TO
PREVAIL. CANNOT RULE OUT SOME PATCHY FOG OVERNIGHT AT THE MLU
TERMINAL BUT CIRRUS MIGHT PRECLUDE THIS FROM FORMING. LOOKING FOR
LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS OVERNIGHT OR NEAR CALM WITH SW WINDS NEAR
4-7KTS DURING THE DAY SATURDAY.

13

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 340 PM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
PASSING CIRRUS IS THICKENING OVER E OK...BUT WILL BE AN EVENING
AFFAIR FOR THE MOST PART. AFTER MIDNIGHT WITH FAIR SKIES AND
SPREADS CLOSING WE WILL LIKELY SEE SOME SHALLOW PATCHY FOG IN THE
USUAL SPOTS OVER AR...NE LA AND SE TX. OTHERWISE...A WARMER NIGHT
COMPARED TO LAST AND CLOSER AND EVEN SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE
AVERAGE.

WE WILL CONTINUE TO WARM OVER THE WEEKEND WITH HIGHS SOME 5 TO 10
DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE. RECORDS IN THE 90 WILL REMAIN SAFE...BUT A
NICE EARLY FALL WEEKEND TO BE SURE AS THE UPPER RIDGE BUILDS INTO
MUCH OF THE NATION. OUR RISING HEIGHTS ALOFT AND SOUTHWEST WINDS
ON THE SURFACE WILL BOOST THE MERCURY INTO THE MID AND A FEW UPPER
80S THIS WEEKEND. LOWS WILL BE INCREASING TOO WITH EVEN SOME
SCATTERED 60S. ASIDE FROM IN AND OUT CLOUDS THIS EVENING...MUCH OF
THE WEEKEND SHOULD BE MOSTLY CLEAR.

THE GFS AND EURO MODELS ARE STILL IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON A WEAK COLD
FRONT AND 1020ISH MB HIGH INTO MIDWEEK. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND SOME THUNDERSTORMS WILL FILTER IN FOR MIDWEEK AND
LINGER A BIT AS THE INITIAL FRONTAL BOUNDARY STALLS MORE OR LESS.

LATER IN THE WEEK...STRONGER REINFORCEMENTS ARRIVE WITH A LARGE
1035MB HIGH SHOULD MAKE FOR A NICE END TO THE MONTH AND FIRST
WEEKEND INTO NOVEMBER FOR THAT MATTER. MAV/MEX IS REASONABLE
THROUGH THE MEDIUM RANGE AND HAVE BEEN BLENDED THROUGH THE MIDDLE
OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  54  86  60  87  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
MLU  48  83  57  86  58 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEQ  54  85  56  86  55 /   0   0   0   0   0
TXK  56  85  61  86  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
ELD  51  83  58  86  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
TYR  60  86  62  87  62 /   0   0   0   0   0
GGG  55  87  59  87  59 /   0   0   0   0   0
LFK  53  86  57  86  58 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

13







000
FXUS64 KSHV 242040
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
340 PM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...
PASSING CIRRUS IS THICKENING OVER E OK...BUT WILL BE AN EVENING
AFFAIR FOR THE MOST PART. AFTER MIDNIGHT WITH FAIR SKIES AND
SPREADS CLOSING WE WILL LIKELY SEE SOME SHALLOW PATCHY FOG IN THE
USUAL SPOTS OVER AR...NE LA AND SE TX. OTHERWISE...A WARMER NIGHT
COMPARED TO LAST AND CLOSER AND EVEN SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE
AVERAGE.

WE WILL CONTINUE TO WARM OVER THE WEEKEND WITH HIGHS SOME 5 TO 10
DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE. RECORDS IN THE 90 WILL REMAIN SAFE...BUT A
NICE EARLY FALL WEEKEND TO BE SURE AS THE UPPER RIDGE BUILDS INTO
MUCH OF THE NATION. OUR RISING HEIGHTS ALOFT AND SOUTHWEST WINDS
ON THE SURFACE WILL BOOST THE MERCURY INTO THE MID AND A FEW UPPER
80S THIS WEEKEND. LOWS WILL BE INCREASING TOO WITH EVEN SOME
SCATTERED 60S. ASIDE FROM IN AND OUT CLOUDS THIS EVENING...MUCH OF
THE WEEKEND SHOULD BE MOSTLY CLEAR.

THE GFS AND EURO MODELS ARE STILL IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON A WEAK COLD
FRONT AND 1020ISH MB HIGH INTO MIDWEEK. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND SOME THUNDERSTORMS WILL FILTER IN FOR MIDWEEK AND
LINGER A BIT AS THE INITIAL FRONTAL BOUNDARY STALLS MORE OR LESS.

LATER IN THE WEEK...STRONGER REINFORCEMENTS ARRIVE WITH A LARGE
1035MB HIGH SHOULD MAKE FOR A NICE END TO THE MONTH AND FIRST
WEEKEND INTO NOVEMBER FOR THAT MATTER. MAV/MEX IS REASONABLE
THROUGH THE MEDIUM RANGE AND HAVE BEEN BLENDED THROUGH THE MIDDLE
OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  54  86  60  87  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
MLU  48  83  57  86  58 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEQ  54  85  56  86  55 /   0   0   0   0   0
TXK  56  85  61  86  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
ELD  51  83  58  86  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
TYR  60  86  62  87  62 /   0   0   0   0   0
GGG  55  87  59  87  59 /   0   0   0   0   0
LFK  53  86  57  86  58 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

24








000
FXUS64 KSHV 241736
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1236 PM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGHOUT THE 18Z TAF PD...AS HIGH
PRESSURE AT THE SFC AND NNWLY FLOW ALOFT CONTINUE. LIGHT AND VRBL
WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...WITH SWLY WINDS
BETWEEN 5 AND 10 KTS EXPECTED AFTER SUNRISE SATURDAY. /12/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1113 AM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014/

UPDATE...
A FEW TWEAKS TO SKY WAS THE ONLY REASON FOR THE UPDATE.

DISCUSSION...
PARTS OF NE TX REMAIN UNDER SOME CLOUDS THAT CONTINUE TO SHIFT AND
ERODE. OTHERWISE...CURRENT READINGS ARE RUNNING A LITTLE BEHIND
THE CURVE AND HAVE BEEN UPDATED IN THE HOURLY PROGRESSION WITH NO
CHANGE TO EXPECTED HIGHS FOR THE AFTERNOON. LIGHT WINDS AND MOSTLY
SUNNY SKIES SHOULD YIELD A GOOD 5 OR MORE DEGREES FROM YESTERDAYS
EFFORT. THE SOUNDING THIS MORNING AGREED WITH 79 FOR SHV. A NEW
SUITE OF PRODUCTS HAVE BEEN SENT...ALTHOUGH MAY NOT BE ON THE NOAA
WX RADIO AT THIS TIME. THERE ARE STILL A FEW BUGS DUE TO THE
RECENT UPDATE. /24/

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 304 AM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
WITH TROUGH AXIS WELL TO THE EAST...UPPER RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO
BUILD IN FROM THE WEST...WITH 590 RIDGE INTO EAST TX BY FRI NIGHT.
DEWPOINTS STILL IN THE MID/UPPER 40S ACROSS MUCH OF SW AR/NORTH
LA...WILL BEGIN TO RISE INTO THE 50S LATER TODAY. THIS UPPER RIDGE
WILL BRING UNSEASONABLE WARMTH OF MID TO UPPER 80S ACROSS MOST OF
THE REGION THIS WEEKEND WITH ONLY A FEW CLOUDS IN MOSTLY DRY AIRMASS.
GFS ALSO SLOWER THAN ECMWF WITH APPROACH OF WEAK FRONTAL
BOUNDARY...AND THUS DELAYED ISOLD CONVECTION UNTIL TUE AFTN.
POPS TO REMAIN MOSTLY ISOLD DESPITE DECENT LAPSE RATES AND MODEST
LOW LVL WIND SHEAR...AS MOISTURE REMAINS MARGINAL. HOWEVER...ADDED
SOME 30 POPS NORTH MID WEEK WITH K INDICES REACHING INTO LOWER
30S. EVENTUALLY THIS TROUGH SHOULD SLIDE EAST OF AREA NEAR END OF
EXTENDED PERIOD WITH A RETURN TO NO POPS. KEEPING TEMPS ON THE
WARM SIDE AS THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY NOT APPEARING TO MAKE A SHARP
PENETRATION ACROSS THE REGION. /VII/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  79  56  85  59  87 /   0   0   0   0   0
MLU  78  52  83  57  86 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEQ  79  54  85  56  86 /   0   0   0   0   0
TXK  77  57  84  59  86 /   0   0   0   0   0
ELD  76  54  83  57  85 /   0   0   0   0   0
TYR  82  59  86  60  88 /   0   0   0   0   0
GGG  80  56  86  58  87 /   0   0   0   0   0
LFK  81  56  86  58  88 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

12







000
FXUS64 KSHV 241613
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1113 AM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014

.UPDATE...
A FEW TWEAKS TO SKY WAS THE ONLY REASON FOR THE UPDATE.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
PARTS OF NE TX REMAIN UNDER SOME CLOUDS THAT CONTINUE TO SHIFT AND
ERODE. OTHERWISE...CURRENT READINGS ARE RUNNING A LITTLE BEHIND
THE CURVE AND HAVE BEEN UPDATED IN THE HOURLY PROGRESSION WITH NO
CHANGE TO EXPECTED HIGHS FOR THE AFTERNOON. LIGHT WINDS AND MOSTLY
SUNNY SKIES SHOULD YIELD A GOOD 5 OR MORE DEGREES FROM YESTERDAYS
EFFORT. THE SOUNDING THIS MORNING AGREED WITH 79 FOR SHV. A NEW
SUITE OF PRODUCTS HAVE BEEN SENT...ALTHOUGH MAY NOT BE ON THE NOAA
WX RADIO AT THIS TIME. THERE ARE STILL A FEW BUGS DUE TO THE
RECENT UPDATE. /24/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 637 AM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014/

AVIATION...
ASIDE FROM PATCHY FG OVER PORTIONS OF NCNTRL LA THROUGH 14Z THIS
MORNING...VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE. A BKN 5KFT CU FIELD HAS
DEVELOPED OVER SE OK AND ECNTRL TX...AND SHOULD CONTINUE TO SPILL S
AFFECTING THE E TX TERMINALS THROUGH MUCH OF THE MORNING BEFORE
GRADUALLY SCATTERING OUT. A FEW CU WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE FARTHER E
ACROSS SW AR/WRN LA LATER THIS MORNING/AFTERNOON AS WELL. SOME THIN
CIRRUS WILL SPILLING S THIS EVENING...BUT OTHERWISE...SKC WILL PREVAIL
THROUGH 12Z. LT/VRB WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. /15/

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 304 AM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
WITH TROUGH AXIS WELL TO THE EAST...UPPER RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO
BUILD IN FROM THE WEST...WITH 590 RIDGE INTO EAST TX BY FRI NIGHT.
DEWPOINTS STILL IN THE MID/UPPER 40S ACROSS MUCH OF SW AR/NORTH
LA...WILL BEGIN TO RISE INTO THE 50S LATER TODAY. THIS UPPER RIDGE
WILL BRING UNSEASONAL WARMTH OF MID TO UPPER 80S ACROSS MOST OF
THE REGION THIS WEEKEND WITH ONLY A FEW CLOUDS IN MOSTLY DRY AIRMASS.
GFS ALSO SLOWER THAN ECMWF WITH APPROACH OF WEAK FRONTAL
BOUNDARY...AND THUS DELAYED ISOLD CONVECTION UNTIL TUE AFTN.
POPS TO REMAIN MOSTLY ISOLD DESPITE DECENT LAPSE RATES AND MODEST
LOW LVL WIND SHEAR...AS MOISTURE REMAINS MARGINAL. HOWEVER...ADDED
SOME 30 POPS NORTH MID WEEK WITH K INDICES REACHING INTO LOWER
30S. EVENTUALLY THIS TROUGH SHOULD SLIDE EAST OF AREA NEAR END OF
EXTENDED PERIOD WITH A RETURN TO NO POPS. KEEPING TEMPS ON THE
WARM SIDE AS THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY NOT APPEARING TO MAKE A SHARP
PENETRATION ACROSS THE REGION. /VII/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  79  56  85  59  87 /   0   0   0   0   0
MLU  78  52  83  57  86 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEQ  79  54  85  56  86 /   0   0   0   0   0
TXK  77  57  84  59  86 /   0   0   0   0   0
ELD  76  54  83  57  85 /   0   0   0   0   0
TYR  82  59  86  60  88 /   0   0   0   0   0
GGG  80  56  86  58  87 /   0   0   0   0   0
LFK  81  56  86  58  88 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

24







000
FXUS64 KSHV 241137 AAA
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
637 AM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014

.AVIATION...
ASIDE FROM PATCHY FG OVER PORTIONS OF NCNTRL LA THROUGH 14Z THIS
MORNING...VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE. A BKN 5KFT CU FIELD HAS
DEVELOPED OVER SE OK AND ECNTRL TX...AND SHOULD CONTINUE TO SPILL S
AFFECTING THE E TX TERMINALS THROUGH MUCH OF THE MORNING BEFORE
GRADUALLY SCATTERING OUT. A FEW CU WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE FARTHER E
ACROSS SW AR/WRN LA LATER THIS MORNING/AFTERNOON AS WELL. SOME THIN
CIRRUS WILL SPILLING S THIS EVENING...BUT OTHERWISE...SKC WILL PREVAIL
THROUGH 12Z. LT/VRB WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. /15/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 304 AM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
WITH TROUGH AXIS WELL TO THE EAST...UPPER RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO
BUILD IN FROM THE WEST...WITH 590 RIDGE INTO EAST TX BY FRI NIGHT.
DEWPOINTS STILL IN THE MID/UPPER 40S ACROSS MUCH OF SW AR/NORTH
LA...WILL BEGIN TO RISE INTO THE 50S LATER TODAY. THIS UPPER RIDGE
WILL BRING UNSEASONAL WARMTH OF MID TO UPPER 80S ACROSS MOST OF
THE REGION THIS WEEKEND WITH ONLY A FEW CLOUDS IN MOSTLY DRY AIRMASS.
GFS ALSO SLOWER THAN ECMWF WITH APPROACH OF WEAK FRONTAL
BOUNDARY...AND THUS DELAYED ISOLD CONVECTION UNTIL TUE AFTN.
POPS TO REMAIN MOSTLY ISOLD DESPITE DECENT LAPSE RATES AND MODEST
LOW LVL WIND SHEAR...AS MOISTURE REMAINS MARGINAL. HOWEVER...ADDED
SOME 30 POPS NORTH MID WEEK WITH K INDICES REACHING INTO LOWER
30S. EVENTUALLY THIS TROUGH SHOULD SLIDE EAST OF AREA NEAR END OF
EXTENDED PERIOD WITH A RETURN TO NO POPS. KEEPING TEMPS ON THE
WARM SIDE AS THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY NOT APPEARING TO MAKE A SHARP
PENETRATION ACROSS THE REGION. /VII/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  79  56  85  59  87 /   0   0   0   0   0
MLU  78  52  83  57  86 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEQ  79  54  85  56  86 /   0   0   0   0   0
TXK  77  57  84  59  86 /   0   0   0   0   0
ELD  76  54  83  57  85 /   0   0   0   0   0
TYR  82  59  86  60  88 /   0   0   0   0   0
GGG  80  56  86  58  87 /   0   0   0   0   0
LFK  81  56  86  58  88 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

15







000
FXUS64 KSHV 240804
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
304 AM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...
WITH TROUGH AXIS WELL TO THE EAST...UPPER RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO
BUILD IN FROM THE WEST...WITH 590 RIDGE INTO EAST TX BY FRI NIGHT.
DEWPOINTS STILL IN THE MID/UPPER 40S ACROSS MUCH OF SW AR/NORTH
LA...WILL BEGIN TO RISE INTO THE 50S LATER TODAY. THIS UPPER RIDGE
WILL BRING UNSEASONAL WARMTH OF MID TO UPPER 80S ACROSS MOST OF
THE REGION THIS WEEKEND WITH ONLY A FEW CLOUDS IN MOSTLY DRY AIRMASS.
GFS ALSO SLOWER THAN ECMWF WITH APPROACH OF WEAK FRONTAL
BOUNDARY...AND THUS DELAYED ISOLD CONVECTION UNTIL TUE AFTN.
POPS TO REMAIN MOSTLY ISOLD DESPITE DECENT LAPSE RATES AND MODEST
LOW LVL WIND SHEAR...AS MOISTURE REMAINS MARGINAL. HOWEVER...ADDED
SOME 30 POPS NORTH MID WEEK WITH K INDICES REACHING INTO LOWER
30S. EVENTUALLY THIS TROUGH SHOULD SLIDE EAST OF AREA NEAR END OF
EXTENDED PERIOD WITH A RETURN TO NO POPS. KEEPING TEMPS ON THE
WARM SIDE AS THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY NOT APPEARING TO MAKE A SHARP
PENETRATION ACROSS THE REGION./VII/.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  79  56  85  59  87 /   0   0   0   0   0
MLU  78  52  83  57  86 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEQ  79  54  85  56  86 /   0   0   0   0   0
TXK  77  57  84  59  86 /   0   0   0   0   0
ELD  76  54  83  57  85 /   0   0   0   0   0
TYR  82  59  86  60  88 /   0   0   0   0   0
GGG  80  56  86  58  87 /   0   0   0   0   0
LFK  81  56  86  58  88 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KSHV 240804
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
304 AM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...
WITH TROUGH AXIS WELL TO THE EAST...UPPER RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO
BUILD IN FROM THE WEST...WITH 590 RIDGE INTO EAST TX BY FRI NIGHT.
DEWPOINTS STILL IN THE MID/UPPER 40S ACROSS MUCH OF SW AR/NORTH
LA...WILL BEGIN TO RISE INTO THE 50S LATER TODAY. THIS UPPER RIDGE
WILL BRING UNSEASONAL WARMTH OF MID TO UPPER 80S ACROSS MOST OF
THE REGION THIS WEEKEND WITH ONLY A FEW CLOUDS IN MOSTLY DRY AIRMASS.
GFS ALSO SLOWER THAN ECMWF WITH APPROACH OF WEAK FRONTAL
BOUNDARY...AND THUS DELAYED ISOLD CONVECTION UNTIL TUE AFTN.
POPS TO REMAIN MOSTLY ISOLD DESPITE DECENT LAPSE RATES AND MODEST
LOW LVL WIND SHEAR...AS MOISTURE REMAINS MARGINAL. HOWEVER...ADDED
SOME 30 POPS NORTH MID WEEK WITH K INDICES REACHING INTO LOWER
30S. EVENTUALLY THIS TROUGH SHOULD SLIDE EAST OF AREA NEAR END OF
EXTENDED PERIOD WITH A RETURN TO NO POPS. KEEPING TEMPS ON THE
WARM SIDE AS THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY NOT APPEARING TO MAKE A SHARP
PENETRATION ACROSS THE REGION./VII/.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  79  56  85  59  87 /   0   0   0   0   0
MLU  78  52  83  57  86 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEQ  79  54  85  56  86 /   0   0   0   0   0
TXK  77  57  84  59  86 /   0   0   0   0   0
ELD  76  54  83  57  85 /   0   0   0   0   0
TYR  82  59  86  60  88 /   0   0   0   0   0
GGG  80  56  86  58  87 /   0   0   0   0   0
LFK  81  56  86  58  88 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KSHV 240411
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1111 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

.AVIATION...
SKC CONDITIONS CURRENTLY PREVAILING ACROSS ALL TERMINALS LATE THIS
EVENING WITH ONLY CLOUD COVER DEPICTED ON IR IMAGERY ACROSS NE OK
INTO NW AR. WITH THE SFC RIDGE AXIS JUST EAST OF OUR REGION THIS
EVENING AND GIVEN THE CLEAR SKIES...TEMPERATURES HAVE FALLEN
QUICKLY ACROSS THE REGION WITH VERY LITTLE TEMP/DEWPOINT
DEPRESSION. ALREADY SEEING SOME PATCHY DENSE FOG AT THE MLU
TERMINAL AND WOULD EXPECT THE SAME AT THE ELD TERMINAL OVERNIGHT.
ELSEWHERE...SPREADS ARE A LITTLE HIGHER BUT WENT AHEAD AND MADE
MENTION OF AT LEAST MVFR VSBYS ACROSS ALL TERMINALS TONIGHT BUT
THE POSSIBILITY WILL EXIST FOR THE ELD/MLU TERMINALS TO FALL TO
LIFR CONDITIONS IF NOT LOWER.

ANY FOG CONCERNS WILL QUICKLY DIMINISH IN THE 13-14Z TIMEFRAME ON
FRIDAY WITH VFR CONDITIONS PREVAILING THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF
THE TAF PERIOD.

13

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 950 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...
SFC HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO SETTLE INTO THE REGION IN THE WAKE
OF A COLD FRONT AND UPPER LEVEL TROF. THAT WILL SPELL MOSTLY CLEAR
TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES OVERNIGHT...AND TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 40S
TO LOW 50S AREA-WIDE. ALL IN ALL...THE GRIDS ARE IN GOOD SHAPE...
AND ONLY A FEW VERY MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO THE SKY GRIDS WERE MADE.

/12/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  49  79  55  86  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
MLU  45  78  52  84  56 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEQ  47  79  53  86  55 /   0   0   0   0   0
TXK  49  77  56  85  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
ELD  43  76  53  84  56 /   0   0   0   0   0
TYR  53  82  58  87  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
GGG  49  80  55  87  59 /   0   0   0   0   0
LFK  51  81  55  87  58 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

13








000
FXUS64 KSHV 240250
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
950 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

.DISCUSSION...
SFC HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO SETTLE INTO THE REGION IN THE WAKE
OF A COLD FRONT AND UPPER LEVEL TROF. THAT WILL SPELL MOSTLY CLEAR
TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES OVERNIGHT...AND TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 40S
TO LOW 50S AREA-WIDE. ALL IN ALL...THE GRIDS ARE IN GOOD SHAPE...
AND ONLY A FEW VERY MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO THE SKY GRIDS WERE MADE.
/12/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 559 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2014/

AVIATION...
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS QUICKLY MOVING THROUGH THE REGION ATTM. MOST
OF THE MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUD COVER ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROUGH
HAS MOVED SOUTH AND EAST OF THE TERMINAL SITES THIS EVENING. THERE
IS SOME REMNANT 850MB MOISTURE ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA INTO NORTH
CENTRAL TEXAS AND A NORTHERLY WIND COMPONENT AT THIS LEVEL COULD
RESULT IN SOME OF THIS MOISTURE MOVING INTO THE TXK/TYR/GGG
TERMINALS LATER THIS EVENING. PREVAILED SCT050 TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS
AS WIDESPREAD CEILINGS AT THIS HEIGHT ARE NOT EXPECTED OVERNIGHT.
EXPECTING WINDS TO BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE TO NEAR CALM
OVERNIGHT.

DURING THE DAY FRIDAY...THERE WILL LIKELY BE SOME REMNANT CLOUD
COVER NEAR 4-5KFT ONCE AGAIN BUT DRIER AIR WILL BEGIN PUSHING
SOUTHWARD FROM ARKANSAS WITH ANY MORNING CU EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY
DISSIPATE DURING THE DAY FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. LOOK FOR VARIABLE
WINDS NEAR 4 KTS DURING THE DAY FRIDAY.

13

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 356 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY REVEALS THE UPPER LEVEL TROF AXIS EXITING THE
REGION TO THE EAST. WEAK RADAR ECHOES OVER PARTS OF N CNTRL/NE LA
IS LIKELY JUST VIRGA BUT CAN NOT RULE OUT A FEW SPRINKLES THROUGH
SUNSET. VISIBLE SATELLITE SHOWS CLOUDS BREAKING ACROSS THE NW HALF
OF THE CWA AND THIS TREND WILL CONTINUE AREA WIDE LATER ON TONIGHT.
TEMPERATURES WILL DROP OFF QUICKLY AFTER SUNSET WITH CLEARING SKIES
AND NEAR CALM WINDS AS SFC HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES OVERHEAD. LOWS ON
FRIDAY MORNING SHOULD DROP OFF INTO THE 40S ACROSS MUCH OF THE
REGION WITH SOME LOWER 50S OVER THE FAR W/SW AREAS IN E/NE TX.
TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND NICELY DURING THE DAY ON FRIDAY WITH
HIGHS IN THE MID AND UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S.

A WARMING TREND WILL CARRY THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS UPPER LEVEL
RIDGING TAKES HOLD ACROSS THE REGION. THIS WILL RESULT IN ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES BY SOME 10 DEGREES FOR BOTH HIGHS AND LOWS ON
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. WARM AND DRY PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH OUR NEXT CHANCE FOR RAINFALL COMING TUESDAY
INTO WEDNESDAY AS THE NEXT COLD FRONT SHIFTS ACROSS THE REGION.
GFS SOLUTION IS SLOWER IN BRINGING THE FRONT THROUGH THE AREA SO
WE MAY SEE THE CHANCE FOR SHWRS/TSTMS PERSIST THROUGH LATER IN THE
WEEK. /19/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  49  79  55  86  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
MLU  45  78  52  84  56 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEQ  47  79  53  86  55 /   0   0   0   0   0
TXK  49  77  56  85  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
ELD  43  76  53  84  56 /   0   0   0   0   0
TYR  53  82  58  87  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
GGG  49  80  55  87  59 /   0   0   0   0   0
LFK  51  81  55  87  58 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

12







000
FXUS64 KSHV 240250
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
950 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

.DISCUSSION...
SFC HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO SETTLE INTO THE REGION IN THE WAKE
OF A COLD FRONT AND UPPER LEVEL TROF. THAT WILL SPELL MOSTLY CLEAR
TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES OVERNIGHT...AND TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 40S
TO LOW 50S AREA-WIDE. ALL IN ALL...THE GRIDS ARE IN GOOD SHAPE...
AND ONLY A FEW VERY MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO THE SKY GRIDS WERE MADE.
/12/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 559 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2014/

AVIATION...
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS QUICKLY MOVING THROUGH THE REGION ATTM. MOST
OF THE MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUD COVER ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROUGH
HAS MOVED SOUTH AND EAST OF THE TERMINAL SITES THIS EVENING. THERE
IS SOME REMNANT 850MB MOISTURE ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA INTO NORTH
CENTRAL TEXAS AND A NORTHERLY WIND COMPONENT AT THIS LEVEL COULD
RESULT IN SOME OF THIS MOISTURE MOVING INTO THE TXK/TYR/GGG
TERMINALS LATER THIS EVENING. PREVAILED SCT050 TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS
AS WIDESPREAD CEILINGS AT THIS HEIGHT ARE NOT EXPECTED OVERNIGHT.
EXPECTING WINDS TO BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE TO NEAR CALM
OVERNIGHT.

DURING THE DAY FRIDAY...THERE WILL LIKELY BE SOME REMNANT CLOUD
COVER NEAR 4-5KFT ONCE AGAIN BUT DRIER AIR WILL BEGIN PUSHING
SOUTHWARD FROM ARKANSAS WITH ANY MORNING CU EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY
DISSIPATE DURING THE DAY FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. LOOK FOR VARIABLE
WINDS NEAR 4 KTS DURING THE DAY FRIDAY.

13

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 356 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY REVEALS THE UPPER LEVEL TROF AXIS EXITING THE
REGION TO THE EAST. WEAK RADAR ECHOES OVER PARTS OF N CNTRL/NE LA
IS LIKELY JUST VIRGA BUT CAN NOT RULE OUT A FEW SPRINKLES THROUGH
SUNSET. VISIBLE SATELLITE SHOWS CLOUDS BREAKING ACROSS THE NW HALF
OF THE CWA AND THIS TREND WILL CONTINUE AREA WIDE LATER ON TONIGHT.
TEMPERATURES WILL DROP OFF QUICKLY AFTER SUNSET WITH CLEARING SKIES
AND NEAR CALM WINDS AS SFC HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES OVERHEAD. LOWS ON
FRIDAY MORNING SHOULD DROP OFF INTO THE 40S ACROSS MUCH OF THE
REGION WITH SOME LOWER 50S OVER THE FAR W/SW AREAS IN E/NE TX.
TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND NICELY DURING THE DAY ON FRIDAY WITH
HIGHS IN THE MID AND UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S.

A WARMING TREND WILL CARRY THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS UPPER LEVEL
RIDGING TAKES HOLD ACROSS THE REGION. THIS WILL RESULT IN ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES BY SOME 10 DEGREES FOR BOTH HIGHS AND LOWS ON
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. WARM AND DRY PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH OUR NEXT CHANCE FOR RAINFALL COMING TUESDAY
INTO WEDNESDAY AS THE NEXT COLD FRONT SHIFTS ACROSS THE REGION.
GFS SOLUTION IS SLOWER IN BRINGING THE FRONT THROUGH THE AREA SO
WE MAY SEE THE CHANCE FOR SHWRS/TSTMS PERSIST THROUGH LATER IN THE
WEEK. /19/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  49  79  55  86  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
MLU  45  78  52  84  56 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEQ  47  79  53  86  55 /   0   0   0   0   0
TXK  49  77  56  85  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
ELD  43  76  53  84  56 /   0   0   0   0   0
TYR  53  82  58  87  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
GGG  49  80  55  87  59 /   0   0   0   0   0
LFK  51  81  55  87  58 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

12







000
FXUS64 KSHV 232259
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
559 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

.AVIATION...
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS QUICKLY MOVING THROUGH THE REGION ATTM. MOST
OF THE MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUD COVER ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROUGH
HAS MOVED SOUTH AND EAST OF THE TERMINAL SITES THIS EVENING. THERE
IS SOME REMNANT 850MB MOISTURE ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA INTO NORTH
CENTRAL TEXAS AND A NORTHERLY WIND COMPONENT AT THIS LEVEL COULD
RESULT IN SOME OF THIS MOISTURE MOVING INTO THE TXK/TYR/GGG
TERMINALS LATER THIS EVENING. PREVAILED SCT050 TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS
AS WIDESPREAD CEILINGS AT THIS HEIGHT ARE NOT EXPECTED OVERNIGHT.
EXPECTING WINDS TO BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE TO NEAR CALM
OVERNIGHT.

DURING THE DAY FRIDAY...THERE WILL LIKELY BE SOME REMNANT CLOUD
COVER NEAR 4-5KFT ONCE AGAIN BUT DRIER AIR WILL BEGIN PUSHING
SOUTHWARD FROM ARKANSAS WITH ANY MORNING CU EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY
DISSIPATE DURING THE DAY FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. LOOK FOR VARIABLE
WINDS NEAR 4 KTS DURING THE DAY FRIDAY.

13







&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 356 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY REVEALS THE UPPER LEVEL TROF AXIS EXITING THE
REGION TO THE EAST. WEAK RADAR ECHOES OVER PARTS OF N CNTRL/NE LA
IS LIKELY JUST VIRGA BUT CAN NOT RULE OUT A FEW SPRINKLES THROUGH
SUNSET. VISIBLE SATELLITE SHOWS CLOUDS BREAKING ACROSS THE NW HALF
OF THE CWA AND THIS TREND WILL CONTINUE AREA WIDE LATER ON TONIGHT.
TEMPERATURES WILL DROP OFF QUICKLY AFTER SUNSET WITH CLEARING SKIES
AND NEAR CALM WINDS AS SFC HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES OVERHEAD. LOWS ON
FRIDAY MORNING SHOULD DROP OFF INTO THE 40S ACROSS MUCH OF THE
REGION WITH SOME LOWER 50S OVER THE FAR W/SW AREAS IN E/NE TX.
TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND NICELY DURING THE DAY ON FRIDAY WITH
HIGHS IN THE MID AND UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S.

A WARMING TREND WILL CARRY THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS UPPER LEVEL
RIDGING TAKES HOLD ACROSS THE REGION. THIS WILL RESULT IN ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES BY SOME 10 DEGREES FOR BOTH HIGHS AND LOWS ON
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. WARM AND DRY PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH OUR NEXT CHANCE FOR RAINFALL COMING TUESDAY
INTO WEDNESDAY AS THE NEXT COLD FRONT SHIFTS ACROSS THE REGION.
GFS SOLUTION IS SLOWER IN BRINGING THE FRONT THROUGH THE AREA SO
WE MAY SEE THE CHANCE FOR SHWRS/TSTMS PERSIST THROUGH LATER IN THE
WEEK. /19/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  49  79  55  86  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
MLU  45  78  52  84  56 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEQ  47  79  53  86  55 /   0   0   0   0   0
TXK  49  77  56  85  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
ELD  43  76  53  84  56 /   0   0   0   0   0
TYR  53  82  58  87  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
GGG  49  80  55  87  59 /   0   0   0   0   0
LFK  51  81  55  87  58 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

13







000
FXUS64 KSHV 232056
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
356 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

.DISCUSSION...
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY REVEALS THE UPPER LEVEL TROF AXIS EXITING THE
REGION TO THE EAST. WEAK RADAR ECHOES OVER PARTS OF N CNTRL/NE LA
IS LIKELY JUST VIRGA BUT CAN NOT RULE OUT A FEW SPRINKLES THROUGH
SUNSET. VISIBLE SATELLITE SHOWS CLOUDS BREAKING ACROSS THE NW HALF
OF THE CWA AND THIS TREND WILL CONTINUE AREA WIDE LATER ON TONIGHT.
TEMPERATURES WILL DROP OFF QUICKLY AFTER SUNSET WITH CLEARING SKIES
AND NEAR CALM WINDS AS SFC HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES OVERHEAD. LOWS ON
FRIDAY MORNING SHOULD DROP OFF INTO THE 40S ACROSS MUCH OF THE
REGION WITH SOME LOWER 50S OVER THE FAR W/SW AREAS IN E/NE TX.
TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND NICELY DURING THE DAY ON FRIDAY WITH
HIGHS IN THE MID AND UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S.

A WARMING TREND WILL CARRY THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS UPPER LEVEL
RIDGING TAKES HOLD ACROSS THE REGION. THIS WILL RESULT IN ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES BY SOME 10 DEGREES FOR BOTH HIGHS AND LOWS ON
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. WARM AND DRY PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH OUR NEXT CHANCE FOR RAINFALL COMING TUESDAY
INTO WEDNESDAY AS THE NEXT COLD FRONT SHIFTS ACROSS THE REGION.
GFS SOLUTION IS SLOWER IN BRINGING THE FRONT THROUGH THE AREA SO
WE MAY SEE THE CHANCE FOR SHWRS/TSTMS PERSIST THROUGH LATER IN THE
WEEK. /19/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  49  79  55  86  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
MLU  45  78  52  84  56 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEQ  47  79  53  86  55 /   0   0   0   0   0
TXK  49  77  56  85  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
ELD  43  76  53  84  56 /   0   0   0   0   0
TYR  53  82  58  87  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
GGG  49  80  55  87  59 /   0   0   0   0   0
LFK  51  81  55  87  58 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

19







000
FXUS64 KSHV 231858
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
158 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

AVIATION...
A PASSING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO
PRODUCE A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS FOR PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS AND
NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND LOWER PARTS OF NORTHWEST LOUISIANA.
RAINFALL WILL BE LIGHT AND MAY NOT BE HEAVY ENOUGH TO REDUCE
SURFACE VISIBILITY TO LESS THAN 6 STATUTE MILES. EXPECT TO SEE VFR
FLIGHT CATEGORIES THROUGH THE TERMINAL FORECAST PERIOD ENDING AT
24/18Z FRIDAY. CLOUDS AND CEILINGS WILL GRADUALLY LOWER AS THE
TROUGH AXIS SWINGS EAST OF THE AREA STARTING OUT AROUND 15 KFT
LOWERING TO AROUND 7 KFT AND ARRIVING AROUND 4-5 KFT. LOOKS TO BE
LATER INTO THE DAY FRIDAY WHEN CLOUD COVEAGE DECREASES. WINDS WILL BE
LIGHT AND VBARIABLE WITH SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE AREA. /06/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1108 AM CDT THU OCT 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...
UPPER TROF CONTINUES TO SHIFT EWRD ACROSS THE REGION WITH VERY
LIGHT SHWRS OVER PARTS OF SE OK/SW AR/NE TX. HOWEVER...THE TREND
HAS BEEN FOR THESE SHWRS TO DIMINISH OVER TIME AS THE TROF
ENCOUNTERS SOME VERY DRY AIR BELOW 15KFT PER THE 12Z SHV RAOB.
HAVE MAINTAINED SLIGHT CHANCE POPS OVER THE AREAS MENTIONED ABOVE
THROUGH THE MIDDAY TIMEFRAME WITH THE TROF LIFTING NWRD LATER THIS
AFTERNOON AND THE CHANCE FOR SHWRS ENDING. FOR THE UPDATE THIS
MORNING...ONLY MADE SLIGHT CHANGES TO THE SKY GRIDS TO INCREASE
COVERAGE TO THE EAST AS MUCH OF THE REGION SHOULD REMAIN UNDER
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH SOME BREAKS TO THE
WEST AS THE UPPER TROF EXITS. UPDATED TEXT PRODUCTS HAVE ALREADY
BEEN SENT. /19/

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 300 AM CDT THU OCT 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...
A BAND OF MID LVL CLOUDS ADVANCING SLOWLY EAST WITH MOVMNT OF
UPPER TROUGH ACROSS EAST TX/SE OK. SOME LIGHT RAIN MAY BE REACHING
THE GROUND...SO WILL INCLUDE ISOLD MORNING SHOWERS FOR THESE
SECTIONS OF AREA. THEREAFTER..CONTINUED DRY LOW LVL AIR ADVECTING
SWWD INTO AREA...AND BUILDING RIDGE INTO TX...WITH BOTH INTERACT
TO PRODUCE MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES FOR UPCOMING WEEKEND. AS 590 RIDGE
BUILDS INTO EAST TX...WILL SEE AFTN HIGHS THIS WEEKEND MAINLY IN
THE MID 80S ACROSS MOST OF AREA...WITH A FEW UPPER 80S POSSIBLE.
BY MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE FROM THE NORTH AND
WEST WITH NEXT UPPER TROUGH. ALTHOUGH MOISTURE APPEARS MARGINAL
AND WILL KEEP ALL POPS ISOLD FOR NOW...STEEPER LAPSE RATES AND STGR
LOW LVL SOUTHERLY FLOW MAY BE MORE CONDUCIVE FOR A FEW TSTMS ACROSS
AREA INTO MID WEEK DURG EXTENDED PERIOD./VII/.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  74  49  78  55  85 /  10  10  10   0   0
MLU  72  46  76  52  85 /  10  10  10   0   0
DEQ  72  49  79  54  85 /  20  10  10   0   0
TXK  72  50  78  56  85 /  20  10  10   0   0
ELD  71  45  76  53  84 /  10  10  10   0   0
TYR  76  53  81  58  87 /  20  10  10   0   0
GGG  75  50  79  58  86 /  20  10  10   0   0
LFK  77  49  80  55  87 /  20  10  10   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

06






000
FXUS64 KSHV 231858
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
158 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

AVIATION...
A PASSING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO
PRODUCE A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS FOR PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS AND
NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND LOWER PARTS OF NORTHWEST LOUISIANA.
RAINFALL WILL BE LIGHT AND MAY NOT BE HEAVY ENOUGH TO REDUCE
SURFACE VISIBILITY TO LESS THAN 6 STATUTE MILES. EXPECT TO SEE VFR
FLIGHT CATEGORIES THROUGH THE TERMINAL FORECAST PERIOD ENDING AT
24/18Z FRIDAY. CLOUDS AND CEILINGS WILL GRADUALLY LOWER AS THE
TROUGH AXIS SWINGS EAST OF THE AREA STARTING OUT AROUND 15 KFT
LOWERING TO AROUND 7 KFT AND ARRIVING AROUND 4-5 KFT. LOOKS TO BE
LATER INTO THE DAY FRIDAY WHEN CLOUD COVEAGE DECREASES. WINDS WILL BE
LIGHT AND VBARIABLE WITH SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE AREA. /06/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1108 AM CDT THU OCT 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...
UPPER TROF CONTINUES TO SHIFT EWRD ACROSS THE REGION WITH VERY
LIGHT SHWRS OVER PARTS OF SE OK/SW AR/NE TX. HOWEVER...THE TREND
HAS BEEN FOR THESE SHWRS TO DIMINISH OVER TIME AS THE TROF
ENCOUNTERS SOME VERY DRY AIR BELOW 15KFT PER THE 12Z SHV RAOB.
HAVE MAINTAINED SLIGHT CHANCE POPS OVER THE AREAS MENTIONED ABOVE
THROUGH THE MIDDAY TIMEFRAME WITH THE TROF LIFTING NWRD LATER THIS
AFTERNOON AND THE CHANCE FOR SHWRS ENDING. FOR THE UPDATE THIS
MORNING...ONLY MADE SLIGHT CHANGES TO THE SKY GRIDS TO INCREASE
COVERAGE TO THE EAST AS MUCH OF THE REGION SHOULD REMAIN UNDER
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH SOME BREAKS TO THE
WEST AS THE UPPER TROF EXITS. UPDATED TEXT PRODUCTS HAVE ALREADY
BEEN SENT. /19/

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 300 AM CDT THU OCT 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...
A BAND OF MID LVL CLOUDS ADVANCING SLOWLY EAST WITH MOVMNT OF
UPPER TROUGH ACROSS EAST TX/SE OK. SOME LIGHT RAIN MAY BE REACHING
THE GROUND...SO WILL INCLUDE ISOLD MORNING SHOWERS FOR THESE
SECTIONS OF AREA. THEREAFTER..CONTINUED DRY LOW LVL AIR ADVECTING
SWWD INTO AREA...AND BUILDING RIDGE INTO TX...WITH BOTH INTERACT
TO PRODUCE MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES FOR UPCOMING WEEKEND. AS 590 RIDGE
BUILDS INTO EAST TX...WILL SEE AFTN HIGHS THIS WEEKEND MAINLY IN
THE MID 80S ACROSS MOST OF AREA...WITH A FEW UPPER 80S POSSIBLE.
BY MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE FROM THE NORTH AND
WEST WITH NEXT UPPER TROUGH. ALTHOUGH MOISTURE APPEARS MARGINAL
AND WILL KEEP ALL POPS ISOLD FOR NOW...STEEPER LAPSE RATES AND STGR
LOW LVL SOUTHERLY FLOW MAY BE MORE CONDUCIVE FOR A FEW TSTMS ACROSS
AREA INTO MID WEEK DURG EXTENDED PERIOD./VII/.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  74  49  78  55  85 /  10  10  10   0   0
MLU  72  46  76  52  85 /  10  10  10   0   0
DEQ  72  49  79  54  85 /  20  10  10   0   0
TXK  72  50  78  56  85 /  20  10  10   0   0
ELD  71  45  76  53  84 /  10  10  10   0   0
TYR  76  53  81  58  87 /  20  10  10   0   0
GGG  75  50  79  58  86 /  20  10  10   0   0
LFK  77  49  80  55  87 /  20  10  10   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

06






000
FXUS64 KSHV 231608
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1108 AM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER TROF CONTINUES TO SHIFT EWRD ACROSS THE REGION WITH VERY
LIGHT SHWRS OVER PARTS OF SE OK/SW AR/NE TX. HOWEVER...THE TREND
HAS BEEN FOR THESE SHWRS TO DIMINISH OVER TIME AS THE TROF
ENCOUNTERS SOME VERY DRY AIR BELOW 15KFT PER THE 12Z SHV RAOB.
HAVE MAINTAINED SLIGHT CHANCE POPS OVER THE AREAS MENTIONED ABOVE
THROUGH THE MIDDAY TIMEFRAME WITH THE TROF LIFTING NWRD LATER THIS
AFTERNOON AND THE CHANCE FOR SHWRS ENDING. FOR THE UPDATE THIS
MORNING...ONLY MADE SLIGHT CHANGES TO THE SKY GRIDS TO INCREASE
COVERAGE TO THE EAST AS MUCH OF THE REGION SHOULD REMAIN UNDER
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH SOME BREAKS TO THE
WEST AS THE UPPER TROF EXITS. UPDATED TEXT PRODUCTS HAVE ALREADY
BEEN SENT. /19/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 643 AM CDT THU OCT 23 2014/

AVIATION...
A FEW LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS EAST TX INTO
SOUTHEAST OK AND SOUTHWEST AR THROUGH 18Z. HOWEVER THE CONVECTION
SHOULD NOT HAVE MUCH IMPACT ON VISIBILITY...WITH CIGS REMAINING
ABOVE 10 KFT. OTHERWISE VFR FLIGHT WEATHER EXPECTED THROUGH 24/12Z.
/14/

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 300 AM CDT THU OCT 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...
A BAND OF MID LVL CLOUDS ADVANCING SLOWLY EAST WITH MOVMNT OF
UPPER TROUGH ACROSS EAST TX/SE OK. SOME LIGHT RAIN MAY BE REACHING
THE GROUND...SO WILL INCLUDE ISOLD MORNING SHOWERS FOR THESE
SECTIONS OF AREA. THEREAFTER..CONTINUED DRY LOW LVL AIR ADVECTING
SWWD INTO AREA...AND BUILDING RIDGE INTO TX...WITH BOTH INTERACT
TO PRODUCE MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES FOR UPCOMING WEEKEND. AS 590 RIDGE
BUILDS INTO EAST TX...WILL SEE AFTN HIGHS THIS WEEKEND MAINLY IN
THE MID 80S ACROSS MOST OF AREA...WITH A FEW UPPER 80S POSSIBLE.
BY MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE FROM THE NORTH AND
WEST WITH NEXT UPPER TROUGH. ALTHOUGH MOISTURE APPEARS MARGINAL
AND WILL KEEP ALL POPS ISOLD FOR NOW...STEEPER LAPSE RATES AND STGR
LOW LVL SOUTHERLY FLOW MAY BE MORE CONDUCIVE FOR A FEW TSTMS ACROSS
AREA INTO MID WEEK DURG EXTENDED PERIOD./VII/.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  74  49  78  55  85 /  10  10  10   0   0
MLU  72  46  76  52  85 /  10  10  10   0   0
DEQ  72  49  79  54  85 /  20  10  10   0   0
TXK  72  50  78  56  85 /  20  10  10   0   0
ELD  71  45  76  53  84 /  10  10  10   0   0
TYR  76  53  81  58  87 /  20  10  10   0   0
GGG  75  50  79  58  86 /  20  10  10   0   0
LFK  77  49  80  55  87 /  20  10  10   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

19







000
FXUS64 KSHV 231143
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
643 AM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

.AVIATION...
A FEW LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS EAST TX INTO
SOUTHEAST OK AND SOUTHWEST AR THROUGH 18Z. HOWEVER THE CONVECTION
SHOULD NOT HAVE MUCH IMPACT ON VISIBILITY...WITH CIGS REMAINING
ABOVE 10 KFT. OTHERWISE VFR FLIGHT WEATHER EXPECTED THROUGH 24/12Z.
/14/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 300 AM CDT THU OCT 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...
A BAND OF MID LVL CLOUDS ADVANCING SLOWLY EAST WITH MOVMNT OF
UPPER TROUGH ACROSS EAST TX/SE OK. SOME LIGHT RAIN MAY BE REACHING
THE GROUND...SO WILL INCLUDE ISOLD MORNING SHOWERS FOR THESE
SECTIONS OF AREA. THEREAFTER..CONTINUED DRY LOW LVL AIR ADVECTING
SWWD INTO AREA...AND BUILDING RIDGE INTO TX...WITH BOTH INTERACT
TO PRODUCE MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES FOR UPCOMING WEEKEND. AS 590 RIDGE
BUILDS INTO EAST TX...WILL SEE AFTN HIGHS THIS WEEKEND MAINLY IN
THE MID 80S ACROSS MOST OF AREA...WITH A FEW UPPER 80S POSSIBLE.
BY MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE FROM THE NORTH AND
WEST WITH NEXT UPPER TROUGH. ALTHOUGH MOISTURE APPEARS MARGINAL
AND WILL KEEP ALL POPS ISOLD FOR NOW...STEEPER LAPSE RATES AND STGR
LOW LVL SOUTHERLY FLOW MAY BE MORE CONDUCIVE FOR A FEW TSTMS ACROSS
AREA INTO MID WEEK DURG EXTENDED PERIOD./VII/.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  74  49  78  55  85 /  10  10  10   0   0
MLU  72  46  76  52  85 /  10  10  10   0   0
DEQ  72  49  79  54  85 /  20  10  10   0   0
TXK  72  50  78  56  85 /  20  10  10   0   0
ELD  71  45  76  53  84 /  10  10  10   0   0
TYR  76  53  81  58  87 /  20  10  10   0   0
GGG  75  50  79  58  86 /  20  10  10   0   0
LFK  77  49  80  55  87 /  20  10  10   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$









000
FXUS64 KSHV 230800
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
300 AM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

.DISCUSSION...
A BAND OF MID LVL CLOUDS ADVANCING SLOWLY EAST WITH MOVMNT OF
UPPER TROUGH ACROSS EAST TX/SE OK. SOME LIGHT RAIN MAY BE REACHING
THE GROUND...SO WILL INCLUDE ISOLD MORNING SHOWERS FOR THESE
SECTIONS OF AREA. THEREAFTER..CONTINUED DRY LOW LVL AIR ADVECTING
SWWD INTO AREA...AND BUILDING RIDGE INTO TX...WITH BOTH INTERACT
TO PRODUCE MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES FOR UPCOMING WEEKEND. AS 590 RIDGE
BUILDS INTO EAST TX...WILL SEE AFTN HIGHS THIS WEEKEND MAINLY IN
THE MID 80S ACROSS MOST OF AREA...WITH A FEW UPPER 80S POSSIBLE.
BY MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE FROM THE NORTH AND
WEST WITH NEXT UPPER TROUGH. ALTHOUGH MOISTURE APPEARS MARGINAL
AND WILL KEEP ALL POPS ISOLD FOR NOW...STEEPER LAPSE RATES AND STGR
LOW LVL SOUTHERLY FLOW MAY BE MORE CONDUCIVE FOR A FEW TSTMS ACROSS
AREA INTO MID WEEK DURG EXTENDED PERIOD./VII/.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  74  49  78  55  85 /  10  10  10   0   0
MLU  72  46  76  52  85 /  10  10  10   0   0
DEQ  72  49  79  54  85 /  20  10  10   0   0
TXK  72  50  78  56  85 /  20  10  10   0   0
ELD  71  45  76  53  84 /  10  10  10   0   0
TYR  76  53  81  58  87 /  20  10  10   0   0
GGG  75  50  79  58  86 /  20  10  10   0   0
LFK  77  49  80  55  87 /  20  10  10   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$










000
FXUS64 KSHV 230458
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1158 PM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

.AVIATION...
VFR FLIGHT CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE 23/06Z TAF FORECAST
PERIOD AT ALL SITES. MID AND HIGH LVL CLOUDS ARE MOVING INTO
TYR/GGG/TXK/SHV FROM THE WEST AND WILL EVENTUALLY SPREAD EWD INTO
ALL THE TAF SITES BY 12Z. BKN CIGS BETWEEN 15 AND 25 KFT CAN BE
EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION...BUT SKIES WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH AND BECOME
SKC BY 24/01Z AT ALL SITES. WINDS SHOULD REMAIN ENE BETWEEN 3 TO 6
KNOTS AREA WIDE...EXCEPT AT TYR...WHERE WINDS ARE ESE. WINDS SHOULD
BECOME ESE BY 24/02Z AT GGG/TXK. /20/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 951 PM CDT WED OCT 22 2014/

DISCUSSION...
MID AND HIGH LVL CLOUDS BEGINNING TO SPREAD EWD INTO THE CWA FROM
OK/TX AHEAD OF AN UPPER TROUGH AXIS. SCT SHWRS HAVE DEVELOPED
ALONG THE TROUGH AND ARE JUST W OF THE I-35 CORRIDOR. DO NOT
EXPECT MUCH OF AN IMPACT FROM THIS ACTIVITY UNTIL AFTER SUNRISE
THURSDAY MORNING. FCST IS GENERALLY ON TRACK BUT DID MAKE SOME
MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO MOST GRIDS BASED ON LATEST TRENDS. RAISED MIN
TEMP FCST AREAWIDE BY A COUPLE OF DEGREES BASED ON THE EXPECTED
INCREASED CLOUD COVER SLIGHTLY HIGHER DEWPOINT VALUES.

UPDATED PRODUCTS HAVE BEEN SENT. /09/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  51  75  49  80  53 /  10  10  10  10   0
MLU  47  75  46  78  50 /  10  10  10  10   0
DEQ  48  74  47  81  52 /  10  20  10  10   0
TXK  50  73  49  80  54 /  10  20  10  10   0
ELD  46  73  44  78  50 /  10  10  10  10   0
TYR  55  77  54  82  59 /  10  10  10  10   0
GGG  53  76  52  81  56 /  10  10  10  10   0
LFK  53  80  51  82  53 /  10  10  10  10   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

20/09/13







000
FXUS64 KSHV 230458
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1158 PM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

.AVIATION...
VFR FLIGHT CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE 23/06Z TAF FORECAST
PERIOD AT ALL SITES. MID AND HIGH LVL CLOUDS ARE MOVING INTO
TYR/GGG/TXK/SHV FROM THE WEST AND WILL EVENTUALLY SPREAD EWD INTO
ALL THE TAF SITES BY 12Z. BKN CIGS BETWEEN 15 AND 25 KFT CAN BE
EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION...BUT SKIES WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH AND BECOME
SKC BY 24/01Z AT ALL SITES. WINDS SHOULD REMAIN ENE BETWEEN 3 TO 6
KNOTS AREA WIDE...EXCEPT AT TYR...WHERE WINDS ARE ESE. WINDS SHOULD
BECOME ESE BY 24/02Z AT GGG/TXK. /20/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 951 PM CDT WED OCT 22 2014/

DISCUSSION...
MID AND HIGH LVL CLOUDS BEGINNING TO SPREAD EWD INTO THE CWA FROM
OK/TX AHEAD OF AN UPPER TROUGH AXIS. SCT SHWRS HAVE DEVELOPED
ALONG THE TROUGH AND ARE JUST W OF THE I-35 CORRIDOR. DO NOT
EXPECT MUCH OF AN IMPACT FROM THIS ACTIVITY UNTIL AFTER SUNRISE
THURSDAY MORNING. FCST IS GENERALLY ON TRACK BUT DID MAKE SOME
MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO MOST GRIDS BASED ON LATEST TRENDS. RAISED MIN
TEMP FCST AREAWIDE BY A COUPLE OF DEGREES BASED ON THE EXPECTED
INCREASED CLOUD COVER SLIGHTLY HIGHER DEWPOINT VALUES.

UPDATED PRODUCTS HAVE BEEN SENT. /09/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  51  75  49  80  53 /  10  10  10  10   0
MLU  47  75  46  78  50 /  10  10  10  10   0
DEQ  48  74  47  81  52 /  10  20  10  10   0
TXK  50  73  49  80  54 /  10  20  10  10   0
ELD  46  73  44  78  50 /  10  10  10  10   0
TYR  55  77  54  82  59 /  10  10  10  10   0
GGG  53  76  52  81  56 /  10  10  10  10   0
LFK  53  80  51  82  53 /  10  10  10  10   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

20/09/13







000
FXUS64 KSHV 230251 AAA
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
951 PM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

.DISCUSSION...
MID AND HIGH LVL CLOUDS BEGINNING TO SPREAD EWD INTO THE CWA FROM
OK/TX AHEAD OF AN UPPER TROUGH AXIS. SCT SHWRS HAVE DEVELOPED
ALONG THE TROUGH AND ARE JUST W OF THE I-35 CORRIDOR. DO NOT
EXPECT MUCH OF AN IMPACT FROM THIS ACTIVITY UNTIL AFTER SUNRISE
THURSDAY MORNING. FCST IS GENERALLY ON TRACK BUT DID MAKE SOME
MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO MOST GRIDS BASED ON LATEST TRENDS. RAISED MIN
TEMP FCST AREAWIDE BY A COUPLE OF DEGREES BASED ON THE EXPECTED
INCREASED CLOUD COVER SLIGHTLY HIGHER DEWPOINT VALUES.

UPDATED PRODUCTS HAVE BEEN SENT. /09/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 652 PM CDT WED OCT 22 2014/

AVIATION...
VFR FLIGHT CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE 23/00Z TAF FORECAST
PERIOD AT ALL SITES. BKN CIGS BETWEEN 15 AND 25 KFT CAN BE
EXPECTED BY 12Z ACROSS THE REGION...BECOMING SCATTERED BY 18Z.
WINDS SHOULD REMAIN ENE BETWEEN 3 TO 6 KNOTS AREA WIDE...WITH
TYR/GGG BECOMING ESE AFTER 06Z. /20/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  51  75  49  80  53 /  10  10  10  10   0
MLU  47  75  46  78  50 /  10  10  10  10   0
DEQ  48  74  47  81  52 /  10  20  10  10   0
TXK  50  73  49  80  54 /  10  20  10  10   0
ELD  46  73  44  78  50 /  10  10  10  10   0
TYR  55  77  54  82  59 /  10  10  10  10   0
GGG  53  76  52  81  56 /  10  10  10  10   0
LFK  53  80  51  82  53 /  10  10  10  10   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

09/20/13







000
FXUS64 KSHV 222352
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
652 PM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

.AVIATION...
VFR FLIGHT CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE 23/00Z TAF FORECAST
PERIOD AT ALL SITES. BKN CIGS BETWEEN 15 AND 25 KFT CAN BE
EXPECTED BY 12Z ACROSS THE REGION...BECOMING SCATTERED BY 18Z.
WINDS SHOULD REMAIN ENE BETWEEN 3 TO 6 KNOTS AREA WIDE...WITH
TYR/GGG BECOMING ESE AFTER 06Z. /20/

&&



.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  50  75  49  80  53 /  10  10  10  10   0
MLU  46  75  46  78  50 /  10  10  10  10   0
DEQ  47  74  47  81  52 /  10  20  10  10   0
TXK  49  73  49  80  54 /  10  20  10  10   0
ELD  45  73  44  78  50 /  10  10  10  10   0
TYR  54  77  54  82  59 /  10  10  10  10   0
GGG  52  76  52  81  56 /  10  10  10  10   0
LFK  52  80  51  82  53 /  10  10  10  10   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

20/13







000
FXUS64 KSHV 222352
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
652 PM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

.AVIATION...
VFR FLIGHT CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE 23/00Z TAF FORECAST
PERIOD AT ALL SITES. BKN CIGS BETWEEN 15 AND 25 KFT CAN BE
EXPECTED BY 12Z ACROSS THE REGION...BECOMING SCATTERED BY 18Z.
WINDS SHOULD REMAIN ENE BETWEEN 3 TO 6 KNOTS AREA WIDE...WITH
TYR/GGG BECOMING ESE AFTER 06Z. /20/

&&



.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  50  75  49  80  53 /  10  10  10  10   0
MLU  46  75  46  78  50 /  10  10  10  10   0
DEQ  47  74  47  81  52 /  10  20  10  10   0
TXK  49  73  49  80  54 /  10  20  10  10   0
ELD  45  73  44  78  50 /  10  10  10  10   0
TYR  54  77  54  82  59 /  10  10  10  10   0
GGG  52  76  52  81  56 /  10  10  10  10   0
LFK  52  80  51  82  53 /  10  10  10  10   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

20/13







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