Home > Products > Valid Products > AFD

000
FXUS64 KSJT 270521
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1119 PM CST MON JAN 26 2015


.AVIATION...
/06Z TAFS/

VFR next next 24 hours with southwest winds generally less than
7 KTS.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 459 PM CST Mon Jan 26 2015/

AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

VFR next 24 hours, with southwest to west winds generally less
than 7 KTS.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 338 PM CST MON JAN 26 2015/

SHORT TERM...

Currently, westerly winds are dominating the forecast area with high
clouds mainly southwest of a Lubbock, to Waco, to Beaumont line.
Expect high clouds to temper afternoon highs slightly, though
temperatures will still be well above normal.

Tonight, mostly clear skies and light west winds will allow
radiational cooling to prevail across the forecast area. Expect
overnight lows mainly in the upper 30s to low 40s.

An upper level high pressure system, currently over the Four Corners
area, will continue to migrate east through Tuesday. With mostly
sunny skies, and high pressure building into West Central Texas,
expect temperatures to warm into the mid and upper 70s on Tuesday. A
few stations may even see the mercury reach as high as 80 degrees.

18

LONG TERM...
One more warm day is expected on Wednesday with highs in the upper
70s to near 80 degrees, before the next cold front and upper
level trough head toward the area. An upper trough off the southern
California coast on Thursday will begin to head eastward, as a
cold front heads south into West Texas. Highs on Thursday will be
cooler...but not significantly cooler with highs in the 60s. Rain
chances will increase starting Friday and continuing into the
weekend as the upper tough moves east and stalls over northern
Mexico. Best chance of rain will be Friday night into
Saturday...with amounts over 3/4 inch possible. Expecting
temperatures to remain above freezing with lingering rain chances
Saturday night and early Sunday. Models differ beyond the weekend,
with GFS showing another round of rain possible starting Tuesday
of next week.

08

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  42  76  48  77  47 /   0   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  38  79  45  78  47 /   0   0   0   0   0
Junction  36  78  44  78  47 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

99/99/04









000
FXUS64 KSJT 270521
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1119 PM CST MON JAN 26 2015


.AVIATION...
/06Z TAFS/

VFR next next 24 hours with southwest winds generally less than
7 KTS.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 459 PM CST Mon Jan 26 2015/

AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

VFR next 24 hours, with southwest to west winds generally less
than 7 KTS.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 338 PM CST MON JAN 26 2015/

SHORT TERM...

Currently, westerly winds are dominating the forecast area with high
clouds mainly southwest of a Lubbock, to Waco, to Beaumont line.
Expect high clouds to temper afternoon highs slightly, though
temperatures will still be well above normal.

Tonight, mostly clear skies and light west winds will allow
radiational cooling to prevail across the forecast area. Expect
overnight lows mainly in the upper 30s to low 40s.

An upper level high pressure system, currently over the Four Corners
area, will continue to migrate east through Tuesday. With mostly
sunny skies, and high pressure building into West Central Texas,
expect temperatures to warm into the mid and upper 70s on Tuesday. A
few stations may even see the mercury reach as high as 80 degrees.

18

LONG TERM...
One more warm day is expected on Wednesday with highs in the upper
70s to near 80 degrees, before the next cold front and upper
level trough head toward the area. An upper trough off the southern
California coast on Thursday will begin to head eastward, as a
cold front heads south into West Texas. Highs on Thursday will be
cooler...but not significantly cooler with highs in the 60s. Rain
chances will increase starting Friday and continuing into the
weekend as the upper tough moves east and stalls over northern
Mexico. Best chance of rain will be Friday night into
Saturday...with amounts over 3/4 inch possible. Expecting
temperatures to remain above freezing with lingering rain chances
Saturday night and early Sunday. Models differ beyond the weekend,
with GFS showing another round of rain possible starting Tuesday
of next week.

08

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  42  76  48  77  47 /   0   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  38  79  45  78  47 /   0   0   0   0   0
Junction  36  78  44  78  47 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

99/99/04








000
FXUS64 KSJT 262259
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
459 PM CST Mon Jan 26 2015



.AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

VFR next 24 hours, with southwest to west winds generally less
than 7 KTS.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 338 PM CST MON JAN 26 2015/

SHORT TERM...

Currently, westerly winds are dominating the forecast area with high
clouds mainly southwest of a Lubbock, to Waco, to Beaumont line.
Expect high clouds to temper afternoon highs slightly, though
temperatures will still be well above normal.

Tonight, mostly clear skies and light west winds will allow
radiational cooling to prevail across the forecast area. Expect
overnight lows mainly in the upper 30s to low 40s.

An upper level high pressure system, currently over the Four Corners
area, will continue to migrate east through Tuesday. With mostly
sunny skies, and high pressure building into West Central Texas,
expect temperatures to warm into the mid and upper 70s on Tuesday. A
few stations may even see the mercury reach as high as 80 degrees.

18

LONG TERM...
One more warm day is expected on Wednesday with highs in the upper
70s to near 80 degrees, before the next cold front and upper
level trough head toward the area. An upper trough off the southern
California coast on Thursday will begin to head eastward, as a
cold front heads south into West Texas. Highs on Thursday will be
cooler...but not significantly cooler with highs in the 60s. Rain
chances will increase starting Friday and continuing into the
weekend as the upper tough moves east and stalls over northern
Mexico. Best chance of rain will be Friday night into
Saturday...with amounts over 3/4 inch possible. Expecting
temperatures to remain above freezing with lingering rain chances
Saturday night and early Sunday. Models differ beyond the weekend,
with GFS showing another round of rain possible starting Tuesday
of next week.

08

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  42  76  48  77  47 /   0   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  38  79  45  78  47 /   0   0   0   0   0
Junction  36  78  44  78  47 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

99/99/04






000
FXUS64 KSJT 262259
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
459 PM CST Mon Jan 26 2015



.AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

VFR next 24 hours, with southwest to west winds generally less
than 7 KTS.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 338 PM CST MON JAN 26 2015/

SHORT TERM...

Currently, westerly winds are dominating the forecast area with high
clouds mainly southwest of a Lubbock, to Waco, to Beaumont line.
Expect high clouds to temper afternoon highs slightly, though
temperatures will still be well above normal.

Tonight, mostly clear skies and light west winds will allow
radiational cooling to prevail across the forecast area. Expect
overnight lows mainly in the upper 30s to low 40s.

An upper level high pressure system, currently over the Four Corners
area, will continue to migrate east through Tuesday. With mostly
sunny skies, and high pressure building into West Central Texas,
expect temperatures to warm into the mid and upper 70s on Tuesday. A
few stations may even see the mercury reach as high as 80 degrees.

18

LONG TERM...
One more warm day is expected on Wednesday with highs in the upper
70s to near 80 degrees, before the next cold front and upper
level trough head toward the area. An upper trough off the southern
California coast on Thursday will begin to head eastward, as a
cold front heads south into West Texas. Highs on Thursday will be
cooler...but not significantly cooler with highs in the 60s. Rain
chances will increase starting Friday and continuing into the
weekend as the upper tough moves east and stalls over northern
Mexico. Best chance of rain will be Friday night into
Saturday...with amounts over 3/4 inch possible. Expecting
temperatures to remain above freezing with lingering rain chances
Saturday night and early Sunday. Models differ beyond the weekend,
with GFS showing another round of rain possible starting Tuesday
of next week.

08

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  42  76  48  77  47 /   0   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  38  79  45  78  47 /   0   0   0   0   0
Junction  36  78  44  78  47 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

99/99/04







000
FXUS64 KSJT 262139
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
338 PM CST MON JAN 26 2015

.SHORT TERM...

Currently, westerly winds are dominating the forecast area with high
clouds mainly southwest of a Lubbock, to Waco, to Beaumont line.
Expect high clouds to temper afternoon highs slightly, though
temperatures will still be well above normal.

Tonight, mostly clear skies and light west winds will allow
radiational cooling to prevail across the forecast area. Expect
overnight lows mainly in the upper 30s to low 40s.

An upper level high pressure system, currently over the Four Corners
area, will continue to migrate east through Tuesday. With mostly
sunny skies, and high pressure building into West Central Texas,
expect temperatures to warm into the mid and upper 70s on Tuesday. A
few stations may even see the mercury reach as high as 80 degrees.

18

.LONG TERM...
One more warm day is expected on Wednesday with highs in the upper
70s to near 80 degrees, before the next cold front and upper
level trough head toward the area. An upper trough off the southern
California coast on Thursday will begin to head eastward, as a
cold front heads south into West Texas. Highs on Thursday will be
cooler...but not significantly cooler with highs in the 60s. Rain
chances will increase starting Friday and continuing into the
weekend as the upper tough moves east and stalls over northern
Mexico. Best chance of rain will be Friday night into
Saturday...with amounts over 3/4 inch possible. Expecting
temperatures to remain above freezing with lingering rain chances
Saturday night and early Sunday. Models differ beyond the weekend,
with GFS showing another round of rain possible starting Tuesday
of next week.

08

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  42  76  48  77  47 /   0   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  38  79  45  78  47 /   0   0   0   0   0
Junction  36  78  44  78  47 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$












000
FXUS64 KSJT 262139
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
338 PM CST MON JAN 26 2015

.SHORT TERM...

Currently, westerly winds are dominating the forecast area with high
clouds mainly southwest of a Lubbock, to Waco, to Beaumont line.
Expect high clouds to temper afternoon highs slightly, though
temperatures will still be well above normal.

Tonight, mostly clear skies and light west winds will allow
radiational cooling to prevail across the forecast area. Expect
overnight lows mainly in the upper 30s to low 40s.

An upper level high pressure system, currently over the Four Corners
area, will continue to migrate east through Tuesday. With mostly
sunny skies, and high pressure building into West Central Texas,
expect temperatures to warm into the mid and upper 70s on Tuesday. A
few stations may even see the mercury reach as high as 80 degrees.

18

.LONG TERM...
One more warm day is expected on Wednesday with highs in the upper
70s to near 80 degrees, before the next cold front and upper
level trough head toward the area. An upper trough off the southern
California coast on Thursday will begin to head eastward, as a
cold front heads south into West Texas. Highs on Thursday will be
cooler...but not significantly cooler with highs in the 60s. Rain
chances will increase starting Friday and continuing into the
weekend as the upper tough moves east and stalls over northern
Mexico. Best chance of rain will be Friday night into
Saturday...with amounts over 3/4 inch possible. Expecting
temperatures to remain above freezing with lingering rain chances
Saturday night and early Sunday. Models differ beyond the weekend,
with GFS showing another round of rain possible starting Tuesday
of next week.

08

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  42  76  48  77  47 /   0   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  38  79  45  78  47 /   0   0   0   0   0
Junction  36  78  44  78  47 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$











000
FXUS64 KSJT 261712
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1111 AM CST MON JAN 26 2015

.AVIATION...
/18Z TAFS/
Expect VFR conditions to prevail across all terminals through
tomorrow morning. Light west winds may become gusty for a hour or
two at KABI this afternoon. Otherwise, winds will generally be
less than 10 knots.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 525 AM CST MON JAN 26 2015/

AVIATION...
/12Z TAFS/

VFR conditions will continue today and tonight across West Central
Texas, with only some patchy high cloud intrusion from the
southwest. Light winds will become west and increase to 6-12 KT by
this afternoon, with KABI on the upper end of this wind speed range.
West winds will decrease to around 5 KT or less this evening.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 448 AM CST MON JAN 26 2015/

SHORT TERM...
(Today and Tonight)

The warming trend will continue across our area today and tonight,
as the upper ridge over New Mexico and the Rio Grande Valley shifts
east into Texas. With mostly sunny skies and west winds,
temperatures will reach the lower to mid 70s for highs this
afternoon. Mostly clear skies tonight with dry air and weaker winds
will allow for good radiational cooling. Expect overnight lows to be
mostly in the upper 30s to lower 40s, with a few mid 30s in the
low-lying areas and river valleys of our southern counties.

LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through Sunday)

A high amplitude upper level ridge across the Plains on Tuesday,
will dampen Wednesday as a short wave trough moves east from the
Northern Rockies. Dry and unseasonably warm weather will continue
both days, with temperatures 15 to 20 degrees above normal.
Temperatures on Tuesday will climb into the mid and upper 70s,
with slightly warmer readings on Wednesday due to slightly higher
850mb temps and compressional heating ahead of an approaching
cold front. Despite the unseasonably warm temperatures, not
expecting any records to be broken as current record highs for
both San Angelo and Abilene both days are in the lower and middle
80s.

The aforementioned shortwave will move across the Central Plains
late Wednesday and will send the next cold front south across the
area early Thursday. No precipitation is expected with the front
but we`ll see cooler temperatures Thursday with highs in the 60s.

Confidence continues to increase concerning rain chances by the
end of the week through next weekend. An upper level low will
develop over southern Arizona Friday night and drift slowly south
across the central Baja peninsula by early Sunday. Increasing
moisture ahead of this system and lift associated with periodic
disturbances moving across the area will result in increasing
rain chances Friday through Sunday, with the heaviest precipitation
expected Friday night into Saturday. GFS/ECMWF model QPF shows
widespread rainfall amounts between 1 and 1 1/2 inches, with
locally higher amounts near 2 inches per latest GFS guidance.

Another cold front will drop south across the area on Saturday,
bringing a considerably colder airmass into the region into
Sunday. Highs both days will be in the 40s, with overnight lows
in the 30s. While confidence remains low, there could be some
snow that mixes in with the rain late Saturday night across far
western counties and have retained this in the forecast for now.
Precipitation is expected to taper off across the area on Sunday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  42  76  48  77  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  38  79  45  80  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
Junction  36  78  44  78  48 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

18









000
FXUS64 KSJT 261125 AAA
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
525 AM CST MON JAN 26 2015

.AVIATION...
/12Z TAFS/

VFR conditions will continue today and tonight across West Central
Texas, with only some patchy high cloud intrusion from the
southwest. Light winds will become west and increase to 6-12 KT by
this afternoon, with KABI on the upper end of this wind speed range.
West winds will decrease to around 5 KT or less this evening.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 448 AM CST MON JAN 26 2015/

SHORT TERM...
(Today and Tonight)

The warming trend will continue across our area today and tonight,
as the upper ridge over New Mexico and the Rio Grande Valley shifts
east into Texas. With mostly sunny skies and west winds,
temperatures will reach the lower to mid 70s for highs this
afternoon. Mostly clear skies tonight with dry air and weaker winds
will allow for good radiational cooling. Expect overnight lows to be
mostly in the upper 30s to lower 40s, with a few mid 30s in the
low-lying areas and river valleys of our southern counties.

LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through Sunday)

A high amplitude upper level ridge across the Plains on Tuesday,
will dampen Wednesday as a short wave trough moves east from the
Northern Rockies. Dry and unseasonably warm weather will continue
both days, with temperatures 15 to 20 degrees above normal.
Temperatures on Tuesday will climb into the mid and upper 70s,
with slightly warmer readings on Wednesday due to slightly higher
850mb temps and compressional heating ahead of an approaching
cold front. Despite the unseasonably warm temperatures, not
expecting any records to be broken as current record highs for
both San Angelo and Abilene both days are in the lower and middle
80s.

The aforementioned shortwave will move across the Central Plains
late Wednesday and will send the next cold front south across the
area early Thursday. No precipitation is expected with the front
but we`ll see cooler temperatures Thursday with highs in the 60s.

Confidence continues to increase concerning rain chances by the
end of the week through next weekend. An upper level low will
develop over southern Arizona Friday night and drift slowly south
across the central Baja peninsula by early Sunday. Increasing
moisture ahead of this system and lift associated with periodic
disturbances moving across the area will result in increasing
rain chances Friday through Sunday, with the heaviest precipitation
expected Friday night into Saturday. GFS/ECMWF model QPF shows
widespread rainfall amounts between 1 and 1 1/2 inches, with
locally higher amounts near 2 inches per latest GFS guidance.

Another cold front will drop south across the area on Saturday,
bringing a considerably colder airmass into the region into
Sunday. Highs both days will be in the 40s, with overnight lows
in the 30s. While confidence remains low, there could be some
snow that mixes in with the rain late Saturday night across far
western counties and have retained this in the forecast for now.
Precipitation is expected to taper off across the area on Sunday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  72  42  76  48  77 /   0   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  74  38  79  45  80 /   0   0   0   0   0
Junction  74  36  78  44  78 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

Short Term and Aviation: 19
Long Term: 24












000
FXUS64 KSJT 261125 AAA
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
525 AM CST MON JAN 26 2015

.AVIATION...
/12Z TAFS/

VFR conditions will continue today and tonight across West Central
Texas, with only some patchy high cloud intrusion from the
southwest. Light winds will become west and increase to 6-12 KT by
this afternoon, with KABI on the upper end of this wind speed range.
West winds will decrease to around 5 KT or less this evening.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 448 AM CST MON JAN 26 2015/

SHORT TERM...
(Today and Tonight)

The warming trend will continue across our area today and tonight,
as the upper ridge over New Mexico and the Rio Grande Valley shifts
east into Texas. With mostly sunny skies and west winds,
temperatures will reach the lower to mid 70s for highs this
afternoon. Mostly clear skies tonight with dry air and weaker winds
will allow for good radiational cooling. Expect overnight lows to be
mostly in the upper 30s to lower 40s, with a few mid 30s in the
low-lying areas and river valleys of our southern counties.

LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through Sunday)

A high amplitude upper level ridge across the Plains on Tuesday,
will dampen Wednesday as a short wave trough moves east from the
Northern Rockies. Dry and unseasonably warm weather will continue
both days, with temperatures 15 to 20 degrees above normal.
Temperatures on Tuesday will climb into the mid and upper 70s,
with slightly warmer readings on Wednesday due to slightly higher
850mb temps and compressional heating ahead of an approaching
cold front. Despite the unseasonably warm temperatures, not
expecting any records to be broken as current record highs for
both San Angelo and Abilene both days are in the lower and middle
80s.

The aforementioned shortwave will move across the Central Plains
late Wednesday and will send the next cold front south across the
area early Thursday. No precipitation is expected with the front
but we`ll see cooler temperatures Thursday with highs in the 60s.

Confidence continues to increase concerning rain chances by the
end of the week through next weekend. An upper level low will
develop over southern Arizona Friday night and drift slowly south
across the central Baja peninsula by early Sunday. Increasing
moisture ahead of this system and lift associated with periodic
disturbances moving across the area will result in increasing
rain chances Friday through Sunday, with the heaviest precipitation
expected Friday night into Saturday. GFS/ECMWF model QPF shows
widespread rainfall amounts between 1 and 1 1/2 inches, with
locally higher amounts near 2 inches per latest GFS guidance.

Another cold front will drop south across the area on Saturday,
bringing a considerably colder airmass into the region into
Sunday. Highs both days will be in the 40s, with overnight lows
in the 30s. While confidence remains low, there could be some
snow that mixes in with the rain late Saturday night across far
western counties and have retained this in the forecast for now.
Precipitation is expected to taper off across the area on Sunday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  72  42  76  48  77 /   0   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  74  38  79  45  80 /   0   0   0   0   0
Junction  74  36  78  44  78 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

Short Term and Aviation: 19
Long Term: 24













000
FXUS64 KSJT 261051
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
448 AM CST MON JAN 26 2015

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and Tonight)

The warming trend will continue across our area today and tonight,
as the upper ridge over New Mexico and the Rio Grande Valley shifts
east into Texas. With mostly sunny skies and west winds,
temperatures will reach the lower to mid 70s for highs this
afternoon. Mostly clear skies tonight with dry air and weaker winds
will allow for good radiational cooling. Expect overnight lows to be
mostly in the upper 30s to lower 40s, with a few mid 30s in the
low-lying areas and river valleys of our southern counties.

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through Sunday)

A high amplitude upper level ridge across the Plains on Tuesday,
will dampen Wednesday as a short wave trough moves east from the
Northern Rockies. Dry and unseasonably warm weather will continue
both days, with temperatures 15 to 20 degrees above normal.
Temperatures on Tuesday will climb into the mid and upper 70s,
with slightly warmer readings on Wednesday due to slightly higher
850mb temps and compressional heating ahead of an approaching
cold front. Despite the unseasonably warm temperatures, not
expecting any records to be broken as current record highs for
both San Angelo and Abilene both days are in the lower and middle
80s.

The aforementioned shortwave will move across the Central Plains
late Wednesday and will send the next cold front south across the
area early Thursday. No precipitation is expected with the front
but we`ll see cooler temperatures Thursday with highs in the 60s.

Confidence continues to increase concerning rain chances by the
end of the week through next weekend. An upper level low will
develop over southern Arizona Friday night and drift slowly south
across the central Baja peninsula by early Sunday. Increasing
moisture ahead of this system and lift associated with periodic
disturbances moving across the area will result in increasing
rain chances Friday through Sunday, with the heaviest precipitation
expected Friday night into Saturday. GFS/ECMWF model QPF shows
widespread rainfall amounts between 1 and 1 1/2 inches, with
locally higher amounts near 2 inches per latest GFS guidance.

Another cold front will drop south across the area on Saturday,
bringing a considerably colder airmass into the region into
Sunday. Highs both days will be in the 40s, with overnight lows
in the 30s. While confidence remains low, there could be some
snow that mixes in with the rain late Saturday night across far
western counties and have retained this in the forecast for now.
Precipitation is expected to taper off across the area on Sunday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  72  42  76  48  77 /   0   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  74  38  79  45  80 /   0   0   0   0   0
Junction  74  36  78  44  78 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

19/24









000
FXUS64 KSJT 261051
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
448 AM CST MON JAN 26 2015

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and Tonight)

The warming trend will continue across our area today and tonight,
as the upper ridge over New Mexico and the Rio Grande Valley shifts
east into Texas. With mostly sunny skies and west winds,
temperatures will reach the lower to mid 70s for highs this
afternoon. Mostly clear skies tonight with dry air and weaker winds
will allow for good radiational cooling. Expect overnight lows to be
mostly in the upper 30s to lower 40s, with a few mid 30s in the
low-lying areas and river valleys of our southern counties.

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through Sunday)

A high amplitude upper level ridge across the Plains on Tuesday,
will dampen Wednesday as a short wave trough moves east from the
Northern Rockies. Dry and unseasonably warm weather will continue
both days, with temperatures 15 to 20 degrees above normal.
Temperatures on Tuesday will climb into the mid and upper 70s,
with slightly warmer readings on Wednesday due to slightly higher
850mb temps and compressional heating ahead of an approaching
cold front. Despite the unseasonably warm temperatures, not
expecting any records to be broken as current record highs for
both San Angelo and Abilene both days are in the lower and middle
80s.

The aforementioned shortwave will move across the Central Plains
late Wednesday and will send the next cold front south across the
area early Thursday. No precipitation is expected with the front
but we`ll see cooler temperatures Thursday with highs in the 60s.

Confidence continues to increase concerning rain chances by the
end of the week through next weekend. An upper level low will
develop over southern Arizona Friday night and drift slowly south
across the central Baja peninsula by early Sunday. Increasing
moisture ahead of this system and lift associated with periodic
disturbances moving across the area will result in increasing
rain chances Friday through Sunday, with the heaviest precipitation
expected Friday night into Saturday. GFS/ECMWF model QPF shows
widespread rainfall amounts between 1 and 1 1/2 inches, with
locally higher amounts near 2 inches per latest GFS guidance.

Another cold front will drop south across the area on Saturday,
bringing a considerably colder airmass into the region into
Sunday. Highs both days will be in the 40s, with overnight lows
in the 30s. While confidence remains low, there could be some
snow that mixes in with the rain late Saturday night across far
western counties and have retained this in the forecast for now.
Precipitation is expected to taper off across the area on Sunday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  72  42  76  48  77 /   0   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  74  38  79  45  80 /   0   0   0   0   0
Junction  74  36  78  44  78 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

19/24








000
FXUS64 KSJT 260518
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1118 PM CST Sun Jan 25 2015


.AVIATION...
/06Z TAFS/

Southwest to west winds of 5 to 12 KTS will prevail through the
next 24 hours. VFR with a dry atmosphere in place.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 545 PM CST Sun Jan 25 2015/

AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

North winds will become light as winds decouple through 2Z.
Winds will become west mid/late Monday morning as weak surface high
pressure moves east and a lee trough develops. VFR next 24 hours.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 258 PM CST SUN JAN 25 2015/

SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Monday)

A weak cold front moved across West Central TX this morning,
resulting in gusty north winds and an influx of slightly drier air.
Temperatures have warmed into the 60s areawide with high clouds
thinning throughout the day. Winds are forecast to diminish rapidly
around sunset, backing to the west during the evening and overnight
hours. The surface anticyclone will shift southeast across the
southern portion of the CWA overnight. This will yield light winds
south of the Colorado River, where temperatures are forecast to fall
into the low/mid 30s by sunrise. Farther north, winds will stay up
in the 5-10 mph range. This will keep overnight temperature in the
mid 30s to near 40 degrees.

Winds will maintain a generally westerly component throughout the
day tomorrow, increasing to 8-12 mph during the afternoon hours.
Temperatures at 850 mb are progged to warm approximately 6C (to
around 13C). With full insolation and adequate mixing, most of West
Central TX should realize max temperatures in the lower 70s. As Yoda
would say, "A fantastic day, will it be." PoPs will remain nil
through the short-term.

Johnson

LONG TERM...
(Monday night through Sunday)

Above normal temperatures are the main story for the first half of
the week. Upper level ridging on Tuesday will allow afternoon
temperatures to climb into the mid to upper 70s across most of
West Central Texas. Much of the same is forecast on Wednesday,
although compressional heating ahead of a cold front may result in
slightly warmer temperatures. Most locations will top out in the
mid to upper 70s, although a few locations may break the 80 degree
mark.

An upper level trough will swing across the Northern Plains late
Wednesday, sending a cold front through West Central Texas Thursday
morning. Cooler temperatures are forecast Thursday, with highs in
the lower to mid 60s, and overnight lows in the upper 30s to near
40. On Friday, an upper level low will develop across southern
California, then slowly meander south toward Baja California through
the weekend. The ECMWF has come into better agreement with the GFS
in sending intermittent disturbances in the southwest flow aloft
across West Central Texas, resulting in light to moderate rain. Rain
chances will increase from west to east Friday into the weekend,
with PoPs in the high end chance to likely category. Plenty of
uncertainty remains, but preliminary QPF totals look to be in the
one half to one inch range for much of the area.

In addition to the precipitation chances late this week, cooler
temperatures are forecast. The increased clouds/precipitation will
keep highs on Friday in the upper 40s to lower 50s, and highs on
Saturday in the 40s for most locations. A reinforcing shot of colder
air is forecast to move through the area Saturday night.
Temperatures Sunday morning may be supportive of snow across at
least the northern and western counties, but differences remain in
the extent of the cold airmass that will move into the region. For
now, a rain/snow mix was introduced, generally north and west of a
Mertzon to Haskell line.

Daniels

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  39  72  43  74  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  33  74  38  78  45 /   0   0   0   0   0
Junction  31  74  37  77  42 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

99/99/04






000
FXUS64 KSJT 260518
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1118 PM CST Sun Jan 25 2015


.AVIATION...
/06Z TAFS/

Southwest to west winds of 5 to 12 KTS will prevail through the
next 24 hours. VFR with a dry atmosphere in place.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 545 PM CST Sun Jan 25 2015/

AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

North winds will become light as winds decouple through 2Z.
Winds will become west mid/late Monday morning as weak surface high
pressure moves east and a lee trough develops. VFR next 24 hours.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 258 PM CST SUN JAN 25 2015/

SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Monday)

A weak cold front moved across West Central TX this morning,
resulting in gusty north winds and an influx of slightly drier air.
Temperatures have warmed into the 60s areawide with high clouds
thinning throughout the day. Winds are forecast to diminish rapidly
around sunset, backing to the west during the evening and overnight
hours. The surface anticyclone will shift southeast across the
southern portion of the CWA overnight. This will yield light winds
south of the Colorado River, where temperatures are forecast to fall
into the low/mid 30s by sunrise. Farther north, winds will stay up
in the 5-10 mph range. This will keep overnight temperature in the
mid 30s to near 40 degrees.

Winds will maintain a generally westerly component throughout the
day tomorrow, increasing to 8-12 mph during the afternoon hours.
Temperatures at 850 mb are progged to warm approximately 6C (to
around 13C). With full insolation and adequate mixing, most of West
Central TX should realize max temperatures in the lower 70s. As Yoda
would say, "A fantastic day, will it be." PoPs will remain nil
through the short-term.

Johnson

LONG TERM...
(Monday night through Sunday)

Above normal temperatures are the main story for the first half of
the week. Upper level ridging on Tuesday will allow afternoon
temperatures to climb into the mid to upper 70s across most of
West Central Texas. Much of the same is forecast on Wednesday,
although compressional heating ahead of a cold front may result in
slightly warmer temperatures. Most locations will top out in the
mid to upper 70s, although a few locations may break the 80 degree
mark.

An upper level trough will swing across the Northern Plains late
Wednesday, sending a cold front through West Central Texas Thursday
morning. Cooler temperatures are forecast Thursday, with highs in
the lower to mid 60s, and overnight lows in the upper 30s to near
40. On Friday, an upper level low will develop across southern
California, then slowly meander south toward Baja California through
the weekend. The ECMWF has come into better agreement with the GFS
in sending intermittent disturbances in the southwest flow aloft
across West Central Texas, resulting in light to moderate rain. Rain
chances will increase from west to east Friday into the weekend,
with PoPs in the high end chance to likely category. Plenty of
uncertainty remains, but preliminary QPF totals look to be in the
one half to one inch range for much of the area.

In addition to the precipitation chances late this week, cooler
temperatures are forecast. The increased clouds/precipitation will
keep highs on Friday in the upper 40s to lower 50s, and highs on
Saturday in the 40s for most locations. A reinforcing shot of colder
air is forecast to move through the area Saturday night.
Temperatures Sunday morning may be supportive of snow across at
least the northern and western counties, but differences remain in
the extent of the cold airmass that will move into the region. For
now, a rain/snow mix was introduced, generally north and west of a
Mertzon to Haskell line.

Daniels

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  39  72  43  74  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  33  74  38  78  45 /   0   0   0   0   0
Junction  31  74  37  77  42 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

99/99/04







000
FXUS64 KSJT 252345
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
545 PM CST Sun Jan 25 2015


.AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

North winds will become light as winds decouple through 2Z.
Winds will become west mid/late Monday morning as weak surface high
pressure moves east and a lee trough develops. VFR next 24 hours.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 258 PM CST SUN JAN 25 2015/

SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Monday)

A weak cold front moved across West Central TX this morning,
resulting in gusty north winds and an influx of slightly drier air.
Temperatures have warmed into the 60s areawide with high clouds
thinning throughout the day. Winds are forecast to diminish rapidly
around sunset, backing to the west during the evening and overnight
hours. The surface anticyclone will shift southeast across the
southern portion of the CWA overnight. This will yield light winds
south of the Colorado River, where temperatures are forecast to fall
into the low/mid 30s by sunrise. Farther north, winds will stay up
in the 5-10 mph range. This will keep overnight temperature in the
mid 30s to near 40 degrees.

Winds will maintain a generally westerly component throughout the
day tomorrow, increasing to 8-12 mph during the afternoon hours.
Temperatures at 850 mb are progged to warm approximately 6C (to
around 13C). With full insolation and adequate mixing, most of West
Central TX should realize max temperatures in the lower 70s. As Yoda
would say, "A fantastic day, will it be." PoPs will remain nil
through the short-term.

Johnson

LONG TERM...
(Monday night through Sunday)

Above normal temperatures are the main story for the first half of
the week. Upper level ridging on Tuesday will allow afternoon
temperatures to climb into the mid to upper 70s across most of
West Central Texas. Much of the same is forecast on Wednesday,
although compressional heating ahead of a cold front may result in
slightly warmer temperatures. Most locations will top out in the
mid to upper 70s, although a few locations may break the 80 degree
mark.

An upper level trough will swing across the Northern Plains late
Wednesday, sending a cold front through West Central Texas Thursday
morning. Cooler temperatures are forecast Thursday, with highs in
the lower to mid 60s, and overnight lows in the upper 30s to near
40. On Friday, an upper level low will develop across southern
California, then slowly meander south toward Baja California through
the weekend. The ECMWF has come into better agreement with the GFS
in sending intermittent disturbances in the southwest flow aloft
across West Central Texas, resulting in light to moderate rain. Rain
chances will increase from west to east Friday into the weekend,
with PoPs in the high end chance to likely category. Plenty of
uncertainty remains, but preliminary QPF totals look to be in the
one half to one inch range for much of the area.

In addition to the precipitation chances late this week, cooler
temperatures are forecast. The increased clouds/precipitation will
keep highs on Friday in the upper 40s to lower 50s, and highs on
Saturday in the 40s for most locations. A reinforcing shot of colder
air is forecast to move through the area Saturday night.
Temperatures Sunday morning may be supportive of snow across at
least the northern and western counties, but differences remain in
the extent of the cold airmass that will move into the region. For
now, a rain/snow mix was introduced, generally north and west of a
Mertzon to Haskell line.

Daniels

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  39  72  43  74  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  33  74  38  78  45 /   0   0   0   0   0
Junction  31  74  37  77  42 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

04









000
FXUS64 KSJT 252345
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
545 PM CST Sun Jan 25 2015


.AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

North winds will become light as winds decouple through 2Z.
Winds will become west mid/late Monday morning as weak surface high
pressure moves east and a lee trough develops. VFR next 24 hours.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 258 PM CST SUN JAN 25 2015/

SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Monday)

A weak cold front moved across West Central TX this morning,
resulting in gusty north winds and an influx of slightly drier air.
Temperatures have warmed into the 60s areawide with high clouds
thinning throughout the day. Winds are forecast to diminish rapidly
around sunset, backing to the west during the evening and overnight
hours. The surface anticyclone will shift southeast across the
southern portion of the CWA overnight. This will yield light winds
south of the Colorado River, where temperatures are forecast to fall
into the low/mid 30s by sunrise. Farther north, winds will stay up
in the 5-10 mph range. This will keep overnight temperature in the
mid 30s to near 40 degrees.

Winds will maintain a generally westerly component throughout the
day tomorrow, increasing to 8-12 mph during the afternoon hours.
Temperatures at 850 mb are progged to warm approximately 6C (to
around 13C). With full insolation and adequate mixing, most of West
Central TX should realize max temperatures in the lower 70s. As Yoda
would say, "A fantastic day, will it be." PoPs will remain nil
through the short-term.

Johnson

LONG TERM...
(Monday night through Sunday)

Above normal temperatures are the main story for the first half of
the week. Upper level ridging on Tuesday will allow afternoon
temperatures to climb into the mid to upper 70s across most of
West Central Texas. Much of the same is forecast on Wednesday,
although compressional heating ahead of a cold front may result in
slightly warmer temperatures. Most locations will top out in the
mid to upper 70s, although a few locations may break the 80 degree
mark.

An upper level trough will swing across the Northern Plains late
Wednesday, sending a cold front through West Central Texas Thursday
morning. Cooler temperatures are forecast Thursday, with highs in
the lower to mid 60s, and overnight lows in the upper 30s to near
40. On Friday, an upper level low will develop across southern
California, then slowly meander south toward Baja California through
the weekend. The ECMWF has come into better agreement with the GFS
in sending intermittent disturbances in the southwest flow aloft
across West Central Texas, resulting in light to moderate rain. Rain
chances will increase from west to east Friday into the weekend,
with PoPs in the high end chance to likely category. Plenty of
uncertainty remains, but preliminary QPF totals look to be in the
one half to one inch range for much of the area.

In addition to the precipitation chances late this week, cooler
temperatures are forecast. The increased clouds/precipitation will
keep highs on Friday in the upper 40s to lower 50s, and highs on
Saturday in the 40s for most locations. A reinforcing shot of colder
air is forecast to move through the area Saturday night.
Temperatures Sunday morning may be supportive of snow across at
least the northern and western counties, but differences remain in
the extent of the cold airmass that will move into the region. For
now, a rain/snow mix was introduced, generally north and west of a
Mertzon to Haskell line.

Daniels

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  39  72  43  74  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  33  74  38  78  45 /   0   0   0   0   0
Junction  31  74  37  77  42 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

04








000
FXUS64 KSJT 252058
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
258 PM CST SUN JAN 25 2015

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Monday)

A weak cold front moved across West Central TX this morning,
resulting in gusty north winds and an influx of slightly drier air.
Temperatures have warmed into the 60s areawide with high clouds
thinning throughout the day. Winds are forecast to diminish rapidly
around sunset, backing to the west during the evening and overnight
hours. The surface anticyclone will shift southeast across the
southern portion of the CWA overnight. This will yield light winds
south of the Colorado River, where temperatures are forecast to fall
into the low/mid 30s by sunrise. Farther north, winds will stay up
in the 5-10 mph range. This will keep overnight temperature in the
mid 30s to near 40 degrees.

Winds will maintain a generally westerly component throughout the
day tomorrow, increasing to 8-12 mph during the afternoon hours.
Temperatures at 850 mb are progged to warm approximately 6C (to
around 13C). With full insolation and adequate mixing, most of West
Central TX should realize max temperatures in the lower 70s. As Yoda
would say, "A fantastic day, will it be." PoPs will remain nil
through the short-term.

Johnson

.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through Sunday)

Above normal temperatures are the main story for the first half of
the week. Upper level ridging on Tuesday will allow afternoon
temperatures to climb into the mid to upper 70s across most of
West Central Texas. Much of the same is forecast on Wednesday,
although compressional heating ahead of a cold front may result in
slightly warmer temperatures. Most locations will top out in the
mid to upper 70s, although a few locations may break the 80 degree
mark.

An upper level trough will swing across the Northern Plains late
Wednesday, sending a cold front through West Central Texas Thursday
morning. Cooler temperatures are forecast Thursday, with highs in
the lower to mid 60s, and overnight lows in the upper 30s to near
40. On Friday, an upper level low will develop across southern
California, then slowly meander south toward Baja California through
the weekend. The ECMWF has come into better agreement with the GFS
in sending intermittent disturbances in the southwest flow aloft
across West Central Texas, resulting in light to moderate rain. Rain
chances will increase from west to east Friday into the weekend,
with PoPs in the high end chance to likely category. Plenty of
uncertainty remains, but preliminary QPF totals look to be in the
one half to one inch range for much of the area.

In addition to the precipitation chances late this week, cooler
temperatures are forecast. The increased clouds/precipitation will
keep highs on Friday in the upper 40s to lower 50s, and highs on
Saturday in the 40s for most locations. A reinforcing shot of colder
air is forecast to move through the area Saturday night.
Temperatures Sunday morning may be supportive of snow across at
least the northern and western counties, but differences remain in
the extent of the cold airmass that will move into the region. For
now, a rain/snow mix was introduced, generally north and west of a
Mertzon to Haskell line.

Daniels

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  39  72  43  74  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  33  74  38  78  45 /   0   0   0   0   0
Junction  31  74  37  77  42 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

Johnson/Daniels






000
FXUS64 KSJT 252058
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
258 PM CST SUN JAN 25 2015

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Monday)

A weak cold front moved across West Central TX this morning,
resulting in gusty north winds and an influx of slightly drier air.
Temperatures have warmed into the 60s areawide with high clouds
thinning throughout the day. Winds are forecast to diminish rapidly
around sunset, backing to the west during the evening and overnight
hours. The surface anticyclone will shift southeast across the
southern portion of the CWA overnight. This will yield light winds
south of the Colorado River, where temperatures are forecast to fall
into the low/mid 30s by sunrise. Farther north, winds will stay up
in the 5-10 mph range. This will keep overnight temperature in the
mid 30s to near 40 degrees.

Winds will maintain a generally westerly component throughout the
day tomorrow, increasing to 8-12 mph during the afternoon hours.
Temperatures at 850 mb are progged to warm approximately 6C (to
around 13C). With full insolation and adequate mixing, most of West
Central TX should realize max temperatures in the lower 70s. As Yoda
would say, "A fantastic day, will it be." PoPs will remain nil
through the short-term.

Johnson

.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through Sunday)

Above normal temperatures are the main story for the first half of
the week. Upper level ridging on Tuesday will allow afternoon
temperatures to climb into the mid to upper 70s across most of
West Central Texas. Much of the same is forecast on Wednesday,
although compressional heating ahead of a cold front may result in
slightly warmer temperatures. Most locations will top out in the
mid to upper 70s, although a few locations may break the 80 degree
mark.

An upper level trough will swing across the Northern Plains late
Wednesday, sending a cold front through West Central Texas Thursday
morning. Cooler temperatures are forecast Thursday, with highs in
the lower to mid 60s, and overnight lows in the upper 30s to near
40. On Friday, an upper level low will develop across southern
California, then slowly meander south toward Baja California through
the weekend. The ECMWF has come into better agreement with the GFS
in sending intermittent disturbances in the southwest flow aloft
across West Central Texas, resulting in light to moderate rain. Rain
chances will increase from west to east Friday into the weekend,
with PoPs in the high end chance to likely category. Plenty of
uncertainty remains, but preliminary QPF totals look to be in the
one half to one inch range for much of the area.

In addition to the precipitation chances late this week, cooler
temperatures are forecast. The increased clouds/precipitation will
keep highs on Friday in the upper 40s to lower 50s, and highs on
Saturday in the 40s for most locations. A reinforcing shot of colder
air is forecast to move through the area Saturday night.
Temperatures Sunday morning may be supportive of snow across at
least the northern and western counties, but differences remain in
the extent of the cold airmass that will move into the region. For
now, a rain/snow mix was introduced, generally north and west of a
Mertzon to Haskell line.

Daniels

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  39  72  43  74  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  33  74  38  78  45 /   0   0   0   0   0
Junction  31  74  37  77  42 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

Johnson/Daniels







000
FXUS64 KSJT 251710
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1110 AM CST SUN JAN 25 2015

.AVIATION...
/18Z TAFS/

High clouds will continue to thin across West Central TX,
resulting in mostly clear skies through the TAF period. Gusty
north winds will continue through the afternoon hours, diminishing
and backing to the west overnight. VFR conditions will prevail
areawide.

Johnson

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 529 AM CST SUN JAN 25 2015/

AVIATION...
/12Z TAFS/

VFR conditions and mostly clear skies are expected today and
tonight. Somewhat gusty north winds will follow passage of a
cold front this morning. The higher speeds and gusts will occur
at KABI. With the exception of KABI, winds will diminish this
evening to less than 5 kt and remain light overnight. Wind
speeds are expected to stay a little higher at KABI.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 452 AM CST SUN JAN 25 2015/

SHORT TERM...
(Today and Tonight)

Trailing portion of cold front, associated with an upper shortwave
trough diving southeast across the Midwest, will push south
across our area this morning. Somewhat gusty north winds will
occur across the eastern two-thirds of our area following passage
of this front. With high cloud coverage thinning out, ample
sunshine will help to offset the weak cold air advection. Highs
this afternoon will range from the lower 60s across our northern
counties, to the upper 60s along the Interstate 10 corridor.

Winds will diminish this evening and become light across much of
our area tonight, as surface high pressure ridge develops
southeast along the Rio Grande Valley. Wind speeds should stay a
little higher across our northern and northeastern counties, which
will be farther away from the surface ridge axis. With clear skies
and dry air, good radiational cooling will occur, especially
across our central and southern counties which will have the
longest duration of light winds. Overnight lows are expected to
range from near 30 in the low- lying areas and river valleys of
our central and southern counties, to the mid/upper 30s across the
Big Country.

LONG TERM...
(Monday through Saturday)

The warming trend continues Monday through Wednesday as a high
amplitude ridge develops from the Rockies down across the Southern
Plains. Unseasonably warm temperatures can be expected with the
warmest readings occurring Tuesday and Wednesday as 850 mb
temperatures warm to a around 15 degrees C both days. Should have
no problem warming into the mid 70s areawide both days and could
even argue for some upper 70s, especially on Wednesday as surface
winds become more westerly by afternoon in response to a weak
surface trough traversing the area. For now, kept max temps in the
mid 70s both days but these numbers may need to be bumped up a bit
in later forecasts.

The next cold front arrives on Thursday, with temperatures cooling
into the 60s for afternoon highs. Focus then turns to a developing
upper low off the southern California coast by Friday, which tries
to cut off over the Baja region over the weekend. This system will
bring increasing rain chances to the area as early as Friday night
across southwest counties and across the rest of the area Friday
through the weekend as periodic disturbances lift northeast across
the area. Temperatures will remain on the cool side Friday through
Sunday with abundant cloud cover, rain chances and a reinforcing
front Saturday. Highs will cool from the lower 50s Friday, to the
upper 40s both Saturday and Sunday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  64  35  70  43  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  66  32  71  41  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
Junction  68  31  72  39  75 /   0   0   0   0   5

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

25





000
FXUS64 KSJT 251710
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1110 AM CST SUN JAN 25 2015

.AVIATION...
/18Z TAFS/

High clouds will continue to thin across West Central TX,
resulting in mostly clear skies through the TAF period. Gusty
north winds will continue through the afternoon hours, diminishing
and backing to the west overnight. VFR conditions will prevail
areawide.

Johnson

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 529 AM CST SUN JAN 25 2015/

AVIATION...
/12Z TAFS/

VFR conditions and mostly clear skies are expected today and
tonight. Somewhat gusty north winds will follow passage of a
cold front this morning. The higher speeds and gusts will occur
at KABI. With the exception of KABI, winds will diminish this
evening to less than 5 kt and remain light overnight. Wind
speeds are expected to stay a little higher at KABI.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 452 AM CST SUN JAN 25 2015/

SHORT TERM...
(Today and Tonight)

Trailing portion of cold front, associated with an upper shortwave
trough diving southeast across the Midwest, will push south
across our area this morning. Somewhat gusty north winds will
occur across the eastern two-thirds of our area following passage
of this front. With high cloud coverage thinning out, ample
sunshine will help to offset the weak cold air advection. Highs
this afternoon will range from the lower 60s across our northern
counties, to the upper 60s along the Interstate 10 corridor.

Winds will diminish this evening and become light across much of
our area tonight, as surface high pressure ridge develops
southeast along the Rio Grande Valley. Wind speeds should stay a
little higher across our northern and northeastern counties, which
will be farther away from the surface ridge axis. With clear skies
and dry air, good radiational cooling will occur, especially
across our central and southern counties which will have the
longest duration of light winds. Overnight lows are expected to
range from near 30 in the low- lying areas and river valleys of
our central and southern counties, to the mid/upper 30s across the
Big Country.

LONG TERM...
(Monday through Saturday)

The warming trend continues Monday through Wednesday as a high
amplitude ridge develops from the Rockies down across the Southern
Plains. Unseasonably warm temperatures can be expected with the
warmest readings occurring Tuesday and Wednesday as 850 mb
temperatures warm to a around 15 degrees C both days. Should have
no problem warming into the mid 70s areawide both days and could
even argue for some upper 70s, especially on Wednesday as surface
winds become more westerly by afternoon in response to a weak
surface trough traversing the area. For now, kept max temps in the
mid 70s both days but these numbers may need to be bumped up a bit
in later forecasts.

The next cold front arrives on Thursday, with temperatures cooling
into the 60s for afternoon highs. Focus then turns to a developing
upper low off the southern California coast by Friday, which tries
to cut off over the Baja region over the weekend. This system will
bring increasing rain chances to the area as early as Friday night
across southwest counties and across the rest of the area Friday
through the weekend as periodic disturbances lift northeast across
the area. Temperatures will remain on the cool side Friday through
Sunday with abundant cloud cover, rain chances and a reinforcing
front Saturday. Highs will cool from the lower 50s Friday, to the
upper 40s both Saturday and Sunday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  64  35  70  43  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  66  32  71  41  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
Junction  68  31  72  39  75 /   0   0   0   0   5

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

25






000
FXUS64 KSJT 251130 AAA
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
529 AM CST SUN JAN 25 2015

.AVIATION...
/12Z TAFS/

VFR conditions and mostly clear skies are expected today and
tonight. Somewhat gusty north winds will follow passage of a
cold front this morning. The higher speeds and gusts will occur
at KABI. With the exception of KABI, winds will diminish this
evening to less than 5 kt and remain light overnight. Wind
speeds are expected to stay a little higher at KABI.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 452 AM CST SUN JAN 25 2015/

SHORT TERM...
(Today and Tonight)

Trailing portion of cold front, associated with an upper shortwave
trough diving southeast across the Midwest, will push south across
our area this morning. Somewhat gusty north winds will occur across
the eastern two-thirds of our area following passage of this front.
With high cloud coverage thinning out, ample sunshine will help to
offset the weak cold air advection. Highs this afternoon will range
from the lower 60s across our northern counties, to the upper 60s
along the Interstate 10 corridor.

Winds will diminish this evening and become light across much of our
area tonight, as surface high pressure ridge develops southeast
along the Rio Grande Valley. Wind speeds should stay a little higher
across our northern and northeastern counties, which will be farther
away from the surface ridge axis. With clear skies and dry air, good
radiational cooling will occur, especially across our central and
southern counties which will have the longest duration of light
winds. Overnight lows are expected to range from near 30 in the low-
lying areas and river valleys of our central and southern counties,
to the mid/upper 30s across the Big Country.

LONG TERM...
(Monday through Saturday)

The warming trend continues Monday through Wednesday as a high
amplitude ridge develops from the Rockies down across the Southern
Plains. Unseasonably warm temperatures can be expected with the
warmest readings occurring Tuesday and Wednesday as 850 mb
temperatures warm to a around 15 degrees C both days. Should have
no problem warming into the mid 70s areawide both days and could
even argue for some upper 70s, especially on Wednesday as surface
winds become more westerly by afternoon in response to a weak
surface trough traversing the area. For now, kept max temps in
the mid 70s both days but these numbers may need to be bumped up
a bit in later forecasts.

The next cold front arrives on Thursday, with temperatures cooling
into the 60s for afternoon highs. Focus then turns to a developing
upper low off the southern California coast by Friday, which tries
to cut off over the Baja region over the weekend. This system will
bring increasing rain chances to the area as early as Friday night
across southwest counties and across the rest of the area Friday
through the weekend as periodic disturbances lift northeast across
the area. Temperatures will remain on the cool side Friday through
Sunday with abundant cloud cover, rain chances and a reinforcing
front Saturday. Highs will cool from the lower 50s Friday, to the
upper 40s both Saturday and Sunday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  64  35  70  43  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  66  32  71  41  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
Junction  68  31  72  39  75 /   0   0   0   0   5

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

Aviation and Short Term: 19
Long Term: 24












000
FXUS64 KSJT 251053
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
452 AM CST SUN JAN 25 2015

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and Tonight)

Trailing portion of cold front, associated with an upper shortwave
trough diving southeast across the Midwest, will push south across
our area this morning. Somewhat gusty north winds will occur across
the eastern two-thirds of our area following passage of this front.
With high cloud coverage thinning out, ample sunshine will help to
offset the weak cold air advection. Highs this afternoon will range
from the lower 60s across our northern counties, to the upper 60s
along the Interstate 10 corridor.

Winds will diminish this evening and become light across much of our
area tonight, as surface high pressure ridge develops southeast
along the Rio Grande Valley. Wind speeds should stay a little higher
across our northern and northeastern counties, which will be farther
away from the surface ridge axis. With clear skies and dry air, good
radiational cooling will occur, especially across our central and
southern counties which will have the longest duration of light
winds. Overnight lows are expected to range from near 30 in the low-
lying areas and river valleys of our central and southern counties,
to the mid/upper 30s across the Big Country.

.LONG TERM...
(Monday through Saturday)

The warming trend continues Monday through Wednesday as a high
amplitude ridge develops from the Rockies down across the Southern
Plains. Unseasonably warm temperatures can be expected with the
warmest readings occurring Tuesday and Wednesday as 850 mb
temperatures warm to a around 15 degrees C both days. Should have
no problem warming into the mid 70s areawide both days and could
even argue for some upper 70s, especially on Wednesday as surface
winds become more westerly by afternoon in response to a weak
surface trough traversing the area. For now, kept max temps in
the mid 70s both days but these numbers may need to be bumped up
a bit in later forecasts.

The next cold front arrives on Thursday, with temperatures cooling
into the 60s for afternoon highs. Focus then turns to a developing
upper low off the southern California coast by Friday, which tries
to cut off over the Baja region over the weekend. This system will
bring increasing rain chances to the area as early as Friday night
across southwest counties and across the rest of the area Friday
through the weekend as periodic disturbances lift northeast across
the area. Temperatures will remain on the cool side Friday through
Sunday with abundant cloud cover, rain chances and a reinforcing
front Saturday. Highs will cool from the lower 50s Friday, to the
upper 40s both Saturday and Sunday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  64  35  70  43  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  66  32  71  41  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
Junction  68  31  72  39  75 /   0   0   0   0   5

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

19/24










000
FXUS64 KSJT 250515
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1115 PM CST Sat Jan 24 2015


.DISCUSSION...

VFR next 24 hours. A cold front will move through West Central
Texas mid/late morning, shifting winds to the northwest and north.
KABI will see the strongest winds with gusts to 23 knots at noon.
Gusts will end by 00Z Monday.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 255 PM CST SAT JAN 24 2015/

SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Sunday)

Relatively quiet weather conditions are anticipated across West
Central TX over the next 24 hours. Light northwest winds this
afternoon will back to the southwest after sunset. Temperatures will
cool quickly this evening and should drop into the mid 30s across
most of the area. Some low-lying, sheltered areas along the I-10
corridor and in the Hill Country may drop to near 30 degrees briefly
around sunrise.

A shortwave trough diving southeast across the northern Plains this
afternoon will drive a weak cold front across the CWA early Sunday.
Winds will veer to the north in the wake of this front and may
become gusty at times through mid afternoon. High clouds are
expected to thin out, with nearly optimal insolation helping offset
the weak cold advection. Statistical guidance numbers are all over
the board tomorrow, but we`ve leaned toward the warmer GFS based
MOS, with highs generally in the mid 60s.

Johnson

LONG TERM...
Sunday night through Saturday)

Above normal temperatures are expected for the first half of the
week across West Central Texas. Highs will generally be in lower to
mid 70s, with overnight lows in the 40s. No rain is forecast Tuesday
or Wednesday.

An upper level trough will swing across the Northern Plains late
Wednesday, sending a cold front through West Central Texas Thursday
morning. Cooler temperatures are forecast with highs ranging from
near 60 across the Big Country, to the mid 60s across the Interstate
10 corridor. The GFS and ECMWF are in good agreement in the
placement of an upper level trough/low off the coast of Southern
California Friday, with some discrepancies as we head into the
weekend. The GFS continues to provide a wetter solution, with
intermittent disturbances from Friday through the weekend, resulting
in showers across the West Central Texas. The current forecast
reflects a middle ground between the somewhat drier ECMWF and wetter
GFS, with chance PoPs across much of the area and the best PoPs
across our western counties. A lot of uncertainty remains, and these
rain chances will likely need to be adjusted as we get closer to
this weekend. High temperatures on Friday and Saturday will be
below seasonal normals, in the upper 40s to mid 50s.

In addition to the possible rain chances late next week, a potent
upper level trough is forecast to trek across the Great Lakes
Region, sending a stronger cold front through West Central Texas
Sunday. This will result in a continuation of the below normal
temperatures into early next week.

Daniels

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  39  64  35  69  43 /   0   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  34  66  32  71  41 /   0   0   0   0   0
Junction  29  68  31  72  39 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

04









000
FXUS64 KSJT 242055
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
255 PM CST SAT JAN 24 2015

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Sunday)

Relatively quiet weather conditions are anticipated across West
Central TX over the next 24 hours. Light northwest winds this
afternoon will back to the southwest after sunset. Temperatures will
cool quickly this evening and should drop into the mid 30s across
most of the area. Some low-lying, sheltered areas along the I-10
corridor and in the Hill Country may drop to near 30 degrees briefly
around sunrise.

A shortwave trough diving southeast across the northern Plains this
afternoon will drive a weak cold front across the CWA early Sunday.
Winds will veer to the north in the wake of this front and may
become gusty at times through mid afternoon. High clouds are
expected to thin out, with nearly optimal insolation helping offset
the weak cold advection. Statistical guidance numbers are all over
the board tomorrow, but we`ve leaned toward the warmer GFS based
MOS, with highs generally in the mid 60s.

Johnson

.LONG TERM...
Sunday night through Saturday)

Above normal temperatures are expected for the first half of the
week across West Central Texas. Highs will generally be in lower to
mid 70s, with overnight lows in the 40s. No rain is forecast Tuesday
or Wednesday.

An upper level trough will swing across the Northern Plains late
Wednesday, sending a cold front through West Central Texas Thursday
morning. Cooler temperatures are forecast with highs ranging from
near 60 across the Big Country, to the mid 60s across the Interstate
10 corridor. The GFS and ECMWF are in good agreement in the
placement of an upper level trough/low off the coast of Southern
California Friday, with some discrepancies as we head into the
weekend. The GFS continues to provide a wetter solution, with
intermittent disturbances from Friday through the weekend, resulting
in showers across the West Central Texas. The current forecast
reflects a middle ground between the somewhat drier ECMWF and wetter
GFS, with chance PoPs across much of the area and the best PoPs
across our western counties. A lot of uncertainty remains, and these
rain chances will likely need to be adjusted as we get closer to
this weekend. High temperatures on Friday and Saturday will be
below seasonal normals, in the upper 40s to mid 50s.

In addition to the possible rain chances late next week, a potent
upper level trough is forecast to trek across the Great Lakes
Region, sending a stronger cold front through West Central Texas
Sunday. This will result in a continuation of the below normal
temperatures into early next week.

Daniels

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  39  64  35  69  43 /   0   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  34  66  32  71  41 /   0   0   0   0   0
Junction  29  68  31  72  39 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

Johnson/Daniels





000
FXUS64 KSJT 242055
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
255 PM CST SAT JAN 24 2015

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Sunday)

Relatively quiet weather conditions are anticipated across West
Central TX over the next 24 hours. Light northwest winds this
afternoon will back to the southwest after sunset. Temperatures will
cool quickly this evening and should drop into the mid 30s across
most of the area. Some low-lying, sheltered areas along the I-10
corridor and in the Hill Country may drop to near 30 degrees briefly
around sunrise.

A shortwave trough diving southeast across the northern Plains this
afternoon will drive a weak cold front across the CWA early Sunday.
Winds will veer to the north in the wake of this front and may
become gusty at times through mid afternoon. High clouds are
expected to thin out, with nearly optimal insolation helping offset
the weak cold advection. Statistical guidance numbers are all over
the board tomorrow, but we`ve leaned toward the warmer GFS based
MOS, with highs generally in the mid 60s.

Johnson

.LONG TERM...
Sunday night through Saturday)

Above normal temperatures are expected for the first half of the
week across West Central Texas. Highs will generally be in lower to
mid 70s, with overnight lows in the 40s. No rain is forecast Tuesday
or Wednesday.

An upper level trough will swing across the Northern Plains late
Wednesday, sending a cold front through West Central Texas Thursday
morning. Cooler temperatures are forecast with highs ranging from
near 60 across the Big Country, to the mid 60s across the Interstate
10 corridor. The GFS and ECMWF are in good agreement in the
placement of an upper level trough/low off the coast of Southern
California Friday, with some discrepancies as we head into the
weekend. The GFS continues to provide a wetter solution, with
intermittent disturbances from Friday through the weekend, resulting
in showers across the West Central Texas. The current forecast
reflects a middle ground between the somewhat drier ECMWF and wetter
GFS, with chance PoPs across much of the area and the best PoPs
across our western counties. A lot of uncertainty remains, and these
rain chances will likely need to be adjusted as we get closer to
this weekend. High temperatures on Friday and Saturday will be
below seasonal normals, in the upper 40s to mid 50s.

In addition to the possible rain chances late next week, a potent
upper level trough is forecast to trek across the Great Lakes
Region, sending a stronger cold front through West Central Texas
Sunday. This will result in a continuation of the below normal
temperatures into early next week.

Daniels

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  39  64  35  69  43 /   0   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  34  66  32  71  41 /   0   0   0   0   0
Junction  29  68  31  72  39 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

Johnson/Daniels






000
FXUS64 KSJT 241712
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1111 AM CST SAT JAN 24 2015

.AVIATION...
/18Z TAFS/

Light northwest winds will prevail through this afternoon, backing
to the southwest after sunset. A weak cold front will move across
West Central TX early Sunday, shifting winds to the northwest.
Winds are forecast to increase to greater than 10 kts by late
morning, mainly at KABI, KSJT, and KBBD. No clouds expected below
20,000 ft.

Johnson

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 534 AM CST SAT JAN 24 2015/

AVIATION...
/12Z TAFS/

VFR conditions will continue across the terminals the next 24
hours. Expect light winds 10 knots or less through the period.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 412 AM CST SAT JAN 24 2015/

SHORT TERM...
(Today and Tonight)

A significant warming trend begins today with dry and pleasant
weather expected. A large upper level trough will encompass the
eastern half of the CONUS today, keeping northwest flow over the
area this weekend. Some high clouds will affect central and
southern sections today and tonight, resulting in partly cloudy
skies. Elsewhere, mostly clear skies will occur. Weak downsloping
west to northwest surface winds will contribute to warmer
temperatures today with afternoon highs in the upper 50s areawide.
It will be a little warmer tonight with overnight lows in the low
to mid 30s.

24

LONG TERM...
(Sunday through Friday)

An upper trough will dive southeast across the Midwest on Sunday,
with trailing portion of associated cold front pushing south
across east Texas. Mostly sunny skies and pleasant temperatures
are in store for our area Sunday, with highs in the mid to upper
60s.

With the warming trend continuing, highs will be well-above normal
Monday through Wednesday. Elongated upper ridge axis, extending
from the lower Rio Grande Valley northwest into the
Intermountain West on Monday morning, will shift slowly east into
Texas. Highs Monday through Wednesday are expected to be mostly in
the lower 70s across our area. With dry air in place, the larger
diurnal temperature ranges will continue into midweek.

The next rain chance looks to be late next week. The 00Z GFS and
ECMWF both bring another upper low from the eastern Pacific toward
the northern part of the Baja Peninsula Friday and Friday night.
The GFS is more aggressive with embedded shortwaves entering west
Texas in the southwest flow aloft ahead of the low. With
developments in the northern stream, both models also bring a cold
front south across our area on Thursday, with cooler temperatures
following this frontal passage. Cloud cover will increase
considerably late next week, along with rain chances.

With next weekend beyond the scope of the present forecast, will
only make a brief mention here that the GFS has a wetter and much
colder scenario for our area with an arctic frontal passage on
Saturday, with implications for potential winter weather.

19

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  58  36  65  37  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  58  33  69  33  73 /   0   0   0   0   0
Junction  59  32  69  32  73 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

25





000
FXUS64 KSJT 241712
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1111 AM CST SAT JAN 24 2015

.AVIATION...
/18Z TAFS/

Light northwest winds will prevail through this afternoon, backing
to the southwest after sunset. A weak cold front will move across
West Central TX early Sunday, shifting winds to the northwest.
Winds are forecast to increase to greater than 10 kts by late
morning, mainly at KABI, KSJT, and KBBD. No clouds expected below
20,000 ft.

Johnson

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 534 AM CST SAT JAN 24 2015/

AVIATION...
/12Z TAFS/

VFR conditions will continue across the terminals the next 24
hours. Expect light winds 10 knots or less through the period.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 412 AM CST SAT JAN 24 2015/

SHORT TERM...
(Today and Tonight)

A significant warming trend begins today with dry and pleasant
weather expected. A large upper level trough will encompass the
eastern half of the CONUS today, keeping northwest flow over the
area this weekend. Some high clouds will affect central and
southern sections today and tonight, resulting in partly cloudy
skies. Elsewhere, mostly clear skies will occur. Weak downsloping
west to northwest surface winds will contribute to warmer
temperatures today with afternoon highs in the upper 50s areawide.
It will be a little warmer tonight with overnight lows in the low
to mid 30s.

24

LONG TERM...
(Sunday through Friday)

An upper trough will dive southeast across the Midwest on Sunday,
with trailing portion of associated cold front pushing south
across east Texas. Mostly sunny skies and pleasant temperatures
are in store for our area Sunday, with highs in the mid to upper
60s.

With the warming trend continuing, highs will be well-above normal
Monday through Wednesday. Elongated upper ridge axis, extending
from the lower Rio Grande Valley northwest into the
Intermountain West on Monday morning, will shift slowly east into
Texas. Highs Monday through Wednesday are expected to be mostly in
the lower 70s across our area. With dry air in place, the larger
diurnal temperature ranges will continue into midweek.

The next rain chance looks to be late next week. The 00Z GFS and
ECMWF both bring another upper low from the eastern Pacific toward
the northern part of the Baja Peninsula Friday and Friday night.
The GFS is more aggressive with embedded shortwaves entering west
Texas in the southwest flow aloft ahead of the low. With
developments in the northern stream, both models also bring a cold
front south across our area on Thursday, with cooler temperatures
following this frontal passage. Cloud cover will increase
considerably late next week, along with rain chances.

With next weekend beyond the scope of the present forecast, will
only make a brief mention here that the GFS has a wetter and much
colder scenario for our area with an arctic frontal passage on
Saturday, with implications for potential winter weather.

19

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  58  36  65  37  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  58  33  69  33  73 /   0   0   0   0   0
Junction  59  32  69  32  73 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

25






000
FXUS64 KSJT 241134
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
534 AM CST SAT JAN 24 2015

.AVIATION...
/12Z TAFS/

VFR conditions will continue across the terminals the next 24 hours.
Expect light winds 10 knots or less through the period.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 412 AM CST SAT JAN 24 2015/

SHORT TERM...
(Today and Tonight)

A significant warming trend begins today with dry and pleasant
weather expected. A large upper level trough will encompass the
eastern half of the CONUS today, keeping northwest flow over the
area this weekend. Some high clouds will affect central and southern
sections today and tonight, resulting in partly cloudy skies.
Elsewhere, mostly clear skies will occur. Weak downsloping west to
northwest surface winds will contribute to warmer temperatures today
with afternoon highs in the upper 50s areawide. It will be a little
warmer tonight with overnight lows in the low to mid 30s.

24

LONG TERM...
(Sunday through Friday)

An upper trough will dive southeast across the Midwest on Sunday,
with trailing portion of associated cold front pushing south across
east Texas. Mostly sunny skies and pleasant temperatures are in
store for our area Sunday, with highs in the mid to upper 60s.

With the warming trend continuing, highs will be well-above normal
Monday through Wednesday. Elongated upper ridge axis, extending from
the lower Rio Grande Valley northwest into the Intermountain West on
Monday morning, will shift slowly east into Texas. Highs Monday
through Wednesday are expected to be mostly in the lower 70s across
our area. With dry air in place, the larger diurnal temperature
ranges will continue into midweek.

The next rain chance looks to be late next week. The 00Z GFS and
ECMWF both bring another upper low from the eastern Pacific toward
the northern part of the Baja Peninsula Friday and Friday night.
The GFS is more aggressive with embedded shortwaves entering west
Texas in the southwest flow aloft ahead of the low. With
developments in the northern stream, both models also bring a cold
front south across our area on Thursday, with cooler temperatures
following this frontal passage. Cloud cover will increase
considerably late next week, along with rain chances.

With next weekend beyond the scope of the present forecast, will
only make a brief mention here that the GFS has a wetter and much
colder scenario for our area with an arctic frontal passage on
Saturday, with implications for potential winter weather.

19

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  58  36  65  37  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  58  33  69  33  73 /   0   0   0   0   0
Junction  59  32  69  32  73 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

24











000
FXUS64 KSJT 241134
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
534 AM CST SAT JAN 24 2015

.AVIATION...
/12Z TAFS/

VFR conditions will continue across the terminals the next 24 hours.
Expect light winds 10 knots or less through the period.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 412 AM CST SAT JAN 24 2015/

SHORT TERM...
(Today and Tonight)

A significant warming trend begins today with dry and pleasant
weather expected. A large upper level trough will encompass the
eastern half of the CONUS today, keeping northwest flow over the
area this weekend. Some high clouds will affect central and southern
sections today and tonight, resulting in partly cloudy skies.
Elsewhere, mostly clear skies will occur. Weak downsloping west to
northwest surface winds will contribute to warmer temperatures today
with afternoon highs in the upper 50s areawide. It will be a little
warmer tonight with overnight lows in the low to mid 30s.

24

LONG TERM...
(Sunday through Friday)

An upper trough will dive southeast across the Midwest on Sunday,
with trailing portion of associated cold front pushing south across
east Texas. Mostly sunny skies and pleasant temperatures are in
store for our area Sunday, with highs in the mid to upper 60s.

With the warming trend continuing, highs will be well-above normal
Monday through Wednesday. Elongated upper ridge axis, extending from
the lower Rio Grande Valley northwest into the Intermountain West on
Monday morning, will shift slowly east into Texas. Highs Monday
through Wednesday are expected to be mostly in the lower 70s across
our area. With dry air in place, the larger diurnal temperature
ranges will continue into midweek.

The next rain chance looks to be late next week. The 00Z GFS and
ECMWF both bring another upper low from the eastern Pacific toward
the northern part of the Baja Peninsula Friday and Friday night.
The GFS is more aggressive with embedded shortwaves entering west
Texas in the southwest flow aloft ahead of the low. With
developments in the northern stream, both models also bring a cold
front south across our area on Thursday, with cooler temperatures
following this frontal passage. Cloud cover will increase
considerably late next week, along with rain chances.

With next weekend beyond the scope of the present forecast, will
only make a brief mention here that the GFS has a wetter and much
colder scenario for our area with an arctic frontal passage on
Saturday, with implications for potential winter weather.

19

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  58  36  65  37  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  58  33  69  33  73 /   0   0   0   0   0
Junction  59  32  69  32  73 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

24












000
FXUS64 KSJT 241012
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
412 AM CST SAT JAN 24 2015

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and Tonight)

A significant warming trend begins today with dry and pleasant
weather expected. A large upper level trough will encompass the
eastern half of the CONUS today, keeping northwest flow over the
area this weekend. Some high clouds will affect central and southern
sections today and tonight, resulting in partly cloudy skies.
Elsewhere, mostly clear skies will occur. Weak downsloping west to
northwest surface winds will contribute to warmer temperatures today
with afternoon highs in the upper 50s areawide. It will be a little
warmer tonight with overnight lows in the low to mid 30s.

24

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through Friday)

An upper trough will dive southeast across the Midwest on Sunday,
with trailing portion of associated cold front pushing south across
east Texas. Mostly sunny skies and pleasant temperatures are in
store for our area Sunday, with highs in the mid to upper 60s.

With the warming trend continuing, highs will be well-above normal
Monday through Wednesday. Elongated upper ridge axis, extending from
the lower Rio Grande Valley northwest into the Intermountain West on
Monday morning, will shift slowly east into Texas. Highs Monday
through Wednesday are expected to be mostly in the lower 70s across
our area. With dry air in place, the larger diurnal temperature
ranges will continue into midweek.

The next rain chance looks to be late next week. The 00Z GFS and
ECMWF both bring another upper low from the eastern Pacific toward
the northern part of the Baja Peninsula Friday and Friday night.
The GFS is more aggressive with embedded shortwaves entering west
Texas in the southwest flow aloft ahead of the low. With
developments in the northern stream, both models also bring a cold
front south across our area on Thursday, with cooler temperatures
following this frontal passage. Cloud cover will increase
considerably late next week, along with rain chances.

With next weekend beyond the scope of the present forecast, will
only make a brief mention here that the GFS has a wetter and much
colder scenario for our area with an arctic frontal passage on
Saturday, with implications for potential winter weather.

19

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  58  36  65  37  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  58  33  69  33  73 /   0   0   0   0   0
Junction  59  32  69  32  73 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$










000
FXUS64 KSJT 241012
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
412 AM CST SAT JAN 24 2015

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and Tonight)

A significant warming trend begins today with dry and pleasant
weather expected. A large upper level trough will encompass the
eastern half of the CONUS today, keeping northwest flow over the
area this weekend. Some high clouds will affect central and southern
sections today and tonight, resulting in partly cloudy skies.
Elsewhere, mostly clear skies will occur. Weak downsloping west to
northwest surface winds will contribute to warmer temperatures today
with afternoon highs in the upper 50s areawide. It will be a little
warmer tonight with overnight lows in the low to mid 30s.

24

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through Friday)

An upper trough will dive southeast across the Midwest on Sunday,
with trailing portion of associated cold front pushing south across
east Texas. Mostly sunny skies and pleasant temperatures are in
store for our area Sunday, with highs in the mid to upper 60s.

With the warming trend continuing, highs will be well-above normal
Monday through Wednesday. Elongated upper ridge axis, extending from
the lower Rio Grande Valley northwest into the Intermountain West on
Monday morning, will shift slowly east into Texas. Highs Monday
through Wednesday are expected to be mostly in the lower 70s across
our area. With dry air in place, the larger diurnal temperature
ranges will continue into midweek.

The next rain chance looks to be late next week. The 00Z GFS and
ECMWF both bring another upper low from the eastern Pacific toward
the northern part of the Baja Peninsula Friday and Friday night.
The GFS is more aggressive with embedded shortwaves entering west
Texas in the southwest flow aloft ahead of the low. With
developments in the northern stream, both models also bring a cold
front south across our area on Thursday, with cooler temperatures
following this frontal passage. Cloud cover will increase
considerably late next week, along with rain chances.

With next weekend beyond the scope of the present forecast, will
only make a brief mention here that the GFS has a wetter and much
colder scenario for our area with an arctic frontal passage on
Saturday, with implications for potential winter weather.

19

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  58  36  65  37  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  58  33  69  33  73 /   0   0   0   0   0
Junction  59  32  69  32  73 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$











    US Dept of Commerce
    National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
    National Weather Service
    1325 East West Highway
    Silver Spring, MD 20910
    Page Author: NWS Internet Services Team
Disclaimer
Information Quality
Credits
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities