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000
FXUS64 KSJT 302041
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
341 PM CDT SUN AUG 30 2015

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Monday)

Weak upper low over southwest Texas is showing up well on water
vapor imagery, with the center located south of Ozona this
afternoon. Showers and thunderstorms have developed today mainly
along and south of interstate 10, as the low continues to shift
slowly southeastward. Expect thunderstorms to continue into the
early evening mainly along and south of a San Saba to Ozona line.
Main threat from these storms will be lightning due to the dry
vegetation and potential for wildfire ignition.

Temperatures today have again been on the cool side with mostly
cloudy skies. Should see showers ending by midnight with overnight
lows in the upper 60s to lower 70s. Tomorrow should be dry as the
upper low heads farther to the southeast. Will see a warming trend
starting tomorrow with highs back into the mid 90s for most areas,
and less cloud cover expected.

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through Sunday)

Not much change to forecast reasoning through the long term
period. By Tuesday, a weak upper low over east Texas will
reposition itself along the Louisiana Gulf Coast from mid
week into next weekend, with the upper ridge axis situated
over West Texas. The upper low will be far enough away to keep
any precipitation well south and east of the area, so the forecast
will remain dry through the extended period. High temperatures
through the end of the week will range from the lower 90s across
far southern counties, to the upper 90s across far northern
counties.

The GFS does weaken the ridge some by next weekend, as heights
begin lowering in response to an upper trough moving across the
Rockies. This should allow the 850mb thermal ridge to weaken
slightly next weekend, allowing temperatures to cool a couple of
degrees, with highs mainly in the lower to middle 90s. Overnight
lows will generally be in the lower and middle 70s through the
extended period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  70  95  72  95 /   0   0   0   5
San Angelo  68  96  71  96 /  10   0   0   5
Junction  69  92  70  95 /  30  10   0   5

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

08/24




000
FXUS64 KSJT 302041
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
341 PM CDT SUN AUG 30 2015

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Monday)

Weak upper low over southwest Texas is showing up well on water
vapor imagery, with the center located south of Ozona this
afternoon. Showers and thunderstorms have developed today mainly
along and south of interstate 10, as the low continues to shift
slowly southeastward. Expect thunderstorms to continue into the
early evening mainly along and south of a San Saba to Ozona line.
Main threat from these storms will be lightning due to the dry
vegetation and potential for wildfire ignition.

Temperatures today have again been on the cool side with mostly
cloudy skies. Should see showers ending by midnight with overnight
lows in the upper 60s to lower 70s. Tomorrow should be dry as the
upper low heads farther to the southeast. Will see a warming trend
starting tomorrow with highs back into the mid 90s for most areas,
and less cloud cover expected.

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through Sunday)

Not much change to forecast reasoning through the long term
period. By Tuesday, a weak upper low over east Texas will
reposition itself along the Louisiana Gulf Coast from mid
week into next weekend, with the upper ridge axis situated
over West Texas. The upper low will be far enough away to keep
any precipitation well south and east of the area, so the forecast
will remain dry through the extended period. High temperatures
through the end of the week will range from the lower 90s across
far southern counties, to the upper 90s across far northern
counties.

The GFS does weaken the ridge some by next weekend, as heights
begin lowering in response to an upper trough moving across the
Rockies. This should allow the 850mb thermal ridge to weaken
slightly next weekend, allowing temperatures to cool a couple of
degrees, with highs mainly in the lower to middle 90s. Overnight
lows will generally be in the lower and middle 70s through the
extended period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  70  95  72  95 /   0   0   0   5
San Angelo  68  96  71  96 /  10   0   0   5
Junction  69  92  70  95 /  30  10   0   5

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

08/24





000
FXUS64 KSJT 301723
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1223 PM CDT SUN AUG 30 2015

.AVIATION...
/18Z TAFS/
VFR expected for the next 24 hours. Weak upper low spinning across
the Edwards Plateau near Ozona will slowly shift eastward today
and tonight. May see a few thunderstorms develop along outflow
boundaries mainly south of a SJT to BWD line. Coverage should be
isolated...too small to include in TAFS for this update.
Otherwise...light southwest winds of 10kt or less will shift more
to the south overnight.

08
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 638 AM CDT SUN AUG 30 2015/

UPDATE...
To add thunder to the grids...

DISCUSSION...
Scattered showers with a few thunderstorms continue across much
of West Central Texas south of Interstate 20. As temperatures
warm this afternoon and the weak upper level low remains across
the area, isolated embedded thunderstorms will continue to be
possible, so thunder was added to the grids. Otherwise, no other
changes are needed at this time.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 605 AM CDT SUN AUG 30 2015/

AVIATION...
/12Z TAFS/

Scattered showers are occurring across much of West Central Texas
early this morning, mainly south of Interstate 20. Expect shower
activity to persist into the afternoon hours, at all sites except
for KABI. Otherwise, light winds and VFR conditions are expected
through the next 24 hours.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 338 AM CDT SUN AUG 30 2015/

SHORT TERM...
(Today and Tonight)

An upper level low/weakness will remain across West Central Texas
today and slowly drift south. Currently, isolated showers are
occurring across the Heartland, and short range models indicate
these expanding into parts of the Concho Valley and Interstate 10
corridor through the morning hours. PoPs were added to the
forecast to account for the possible shower activity this morning
through the afternoon hours, mainly south of a Mertzon, to San
Angelo, to San Saba line. Rainfall totals are expected to
generally remain less than a tenth, although a few locations,
especially across the Interstate 10 corridor, may see up to one to
two tenths of an inch.

Similar to what we saw yesterday, cloud cover will help to
moderate afternoon highs this afternoon. Temperatures are forecast
to range from the mid 90s across the Big Country, where less cloud
cover is expected, to the low 90s across the Interstate 10
corridor. Overnight lows will generally be in the upper 60s to
lower 70s.

Daniels

LONG TERM...
(Monday through Saturday)

The overall theme for the long term will be continued hot and dry
weather.

The compact low that will bring the possibility of light showers
today to the area will continue migrating south and out of the
area by Monday, thus have kept the forecast dry. From Monday
through the rest of the week, a large upper level ridge will be in
control across most of the southern CONUS. The weak upper level
low over the area today will slowly move to the east/northeast
along the TX Gulf coast, and into Louisiana by Friday, resulting
in possible showers and thunderstorms to our east and southeast,
but we should remain dry for the most part. 850mb temperatures
will remain warm, and could even warm up a couple degrees by the
middle of the week, so will keep highs in the mid to upper 90s
through the end of the forecast.

20

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  95  71  98  72 /  10   0   0   5
San Angelo  94  69  99  71 /  20   5   0   5
Junction  91  68  95  70 /  20   5   5   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KSJT 301138
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
638 AM CDT SUN AUG 30 2015

.UPDATE...
To add thunder to the grids...

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Scattered showers with a few thunderstorms continue across much
of West Central Texas south of Interstate 20. As temperatures
warm this afternoon and the weak upper level low remains across
the area, isolated embedded thunderstorms will continue to be
possible, so thunder was added to the grids. Otherwise, no other
changes are needed at this time.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 605 AM CDT SUN AUG 30 2015/

AVIATION...
/12Z TAFS/

Scattered showers are occurring across much of West Central Texas
early this morning, mainly south of Interstate 20. Expect shower
activity to persist into the afternoon hours, at all sites except
for KABI. Otherwise, light winds and VFR conditions are expected
through the next 24 hours.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 338 AM CDT SUN AUG 30 2015/

SHORT TERM...
(Today and Tonight)

An upper level low/weakness will remain across West Central Texas
today and slowly drift south. Currently, isolated showers are
occurring across the Heartland, and short range models indicate
these expanding into parts of the Concho Valley and Interstate 10
corridor through the morning hours. PoPs were added to the
forecast to account for the possible shower activity this morning
through the afternoon hours, mainly south of a Mertzon, to San
Angelo, to San Saba line. Rainfall totals are expected to
generally remain less than a tenth, although a few locations,
especially across the Interstate 10 corridor, may see up to one to
two tenths of an inch.

Similar to what we saw yesterday, cloud cover will help to
moderate afternoon highs this afternoon. Temperatures are forecast
to range from the mid 90s across the Big Country, where less cloud
cover is expected, to the low 90s across the Interstate 10
corridor. Overnight lows will generally be in the upper 60s to
lower 70s.

Daniels

LONG TERM...
(Monday through Saturday)

The overall theme for the long term will be continued hot and dry
weather.

The compact low that will bring the possibility of light showers
today to the area will continue migrating south and out of the
area by Monday, thus have kept the forecast dry. From Monday
through the rest of the week, a large upper level ridge will be in
control across most of the southern CONUS. The weak upper level
low over the area today will slowly move to the east/northeast
along the TX Gulf coast, and into Louisiana by Friday, resulting
in possible showers and thunderstorms to our east and southeast,
but we should remain dry for the most part. 850mb temperatures
will remain warm, and could even warm up a couple degrees by the
middle of the week, so will keep highs in the mid to upper 90s
through the end of the forecast.

20

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  95  71  98  72 /   5   0   0   5
San Angelo  94  69  99  71 /  20   5   0   5
Junction  91  68  95  70 /  20   5   5   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

Daniels




000
FXUS64 KSJT 301138
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
638 AM CDT SUN AUG 30 2015

.UPDATE...
To add thunder to the grids...

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Scattered showers with a few thunderstorms continue across much
of West Central Texas south of Interstate 20. As temperatures
warm this afternoon and the weak upper level low remains across
the area, isolated embedded thunderstorms will continue to be
possible, so thunder was added to the grids. Otherwise, no other
changes are needed at this time.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 605 AM CDT SUN AUG 30 2015/

AVIATION...
/12Z TAFS/

Scattered showers are occurring across much of West Central Texas
early this morning, mainly south of Interstate 20. Expect shower
activity to persist into the afternoon hours, at all sites except
for KABI. Otherwise, light winds and VFR conditions are expected
through the next 24 hours.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 338 AM CDT SUN AUG 30 2015/

SHORT TERM...
(Today and Tonight)

An upper level low/weakness will remain across West Central Texas
today and slowly drift south. Currently, isolated showers are
occurring across the Heartland, and short range models indicate
these expanding into parts of the Concho Valley and Interstate 10
corridor through the morning hours. PoPs were added to the
forecast to account for the possible shower activity this morning
through the afternoon hours, mainly south of a Mertzon, to San
Angelo, to San Saba line. Rainfall totals are expected to
generally remain less than a tenth, although a few locations,
especially across the Interstate 10 corridor, may see up to one to
two tenths of an inch.

Similar to what we saw yesterday, cloud cover will help to
moderate afternoon highs this afternoon. Temperatures are forecast
to range from the mid 90s across the Big Country, where less cloud
cover is expected, to the low 90s across the Interstate 10
corridor. Overnight lows will generally be in the upper 60s to
lower 70s.

Daniels

LONG TERM...
(Monday through Saturday)

The overall theme for the long term will be continued hot and dry
weather.

The compact low that will bring the possibility of light showers
today to the area will continue migrating south and out of the
area by Monday, thus have kept the forecast dry. From Monday
through the rest of the week, a large upper level ridge will be in
control across most of the southern CONUS. The weak upper level
low over the area today will slowly move to the east/northeast
along the TX Gulf coast, and into Louisiana by Friday, resulting
in possible showers and thunderstorms to our east and southeast,
but we should remain dry for the most part. 850mb temperatures
will remain warm, and could even warm up a couple degrees by the
middle of the week, so will keep highs in the mid to upper 90s
through the end of the forecast.

20

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  95  71  98  72 /   5   0   0   5
San Angelo  94  69  99  71 /  20   5   0   5
Junction  91  68  95  70 /  20   5   5   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

Daniels





000
FXUS64 KSJT 301105
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
605 AM CDT SUN AUG 30 2015

.AVIATION...
/12Z TAFS/

Scattered showers are occurring across much of West Central Texas
early this morning, mainly south of Interstate 20. Expect shower
activity to persist into the afternoon hours, at all sites except
for KABI. Otherwise, light winds and VFR conditions are expected
through the next 24 hours.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 338 AM CDT SUN AUG 30 2015/

SHORT TERM...
(Today and Tonight)

An upper level low/weakness will remain across West Central Texas
today and slowly drift south. Currently, isolated showers are
occurring across the Heartland, and short range models indicate
these expanding into parts of the Concho Valley and Interstate 10
corridor through the morning hours. PoPs were added to the
forecast to account for the possible shower activity this morning
through the afternoon hours, mainly south of a Mertzon, to San
Angelo, to San Saba line. Rainfall totals are expected to
generally remain less than a tenth, although a few locations,
especially across the Interstate 10 corridor, may see up to one to
two tenths of an inch.

Similar to what we saw yesterday, cloud cover will help to
moderate afternoon highs this afternoon. Temperatures are forecast
to range from the mid 90s across the Big Country, where less cloud
cover is expected, to the low 90s across the Interstate 10
corridor. Overnight lows will generally be in the upper 60s to
lower 70s.

Daniels

LONG TERM...
(Monday through Saturday)

The overall theme for the long term will be continued hot and dry
weather.

The compact low that will bring the possibility of light showers
today to the area will continue migrating south and out of the
area by Monday, thus have kept the forecast dry. From Monday
through the rest of the week, a large upper level ridge will be in
control across most of the southern CONUS. The weak upper level
low over the area today will slowly move to the east/northeast
along the TX Gulf coast, and into Louisiana by Friday, resulting
in possible showers and thunderstorms to our east and southeast,
but we should remain dry for the most part. 850mb temperatures
will remain warm, and could even warm up a couple degrees by the
middle of the week, so will keep highs in the mid to upper 90s
through the end of the forecast.

20

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  95  71  98  72 /   5   0   0   5
San Angelo  94  69  99  71 /  20   5   0   5
Junction  91  68  95  70 /  20   5   5   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

Daniels




000
FXUS64 KSJT 301105
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
605 AM CDT SUN AUG 30 2015

.AVIATION...
/12Z TAFS/

Scattered showers are occurring across much of West Central Texas
early this morning, mainly south of Interstate 20. Expect shower
activity to persist into the afternoon hours, at all sites except
for KABI. Otherwise, light winds and VFR conditions are expected
through the next 24 hours.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 338 AM CDT SUN AUG 30 2015/

SHORT TERM...
(Today and Tonight)

An upper level low/weakness will remain across West Central Texas
today and slowly drift south. Currently, isolated showers are
occurring across the Heartland, and short range models indicate
these expanding into parts of the Concho Valley and Interstate 10
corridor through the morning hours. PoPs were added to the
forecast to account for the possible shower activity this morning
through the afternoon hours, mainly south of a Mertzon, to San
Angelo, to San Saba line. Rainfall totals are expected to
generally remain less than a tenth, although a few locations,
especially across the Interstate 10 corridor, may see up to one to
two tenths of an inch.

Similar to what we saw yesterday, cloud cover will help to
moderate afternoon highs this afternoon. Temperatures are forecast
to range from the mid 90s across the Big Country, where less cloud
cover is expected, to the low 90s across the Interstate 10
corridor. Overnight lows will generally be in the upper 60s to
lower 70s.

Daniels

LONG TERM...
(Monday through Saturday)

The overall theme for the long term will be continued hot and dry
weather.

The compact low that will bring the possibility of light showers
today to the area will continue migrating south and out of the
area by Monday, thus have kept the forecast dry. From Monday
through the rest of the week, a large upper level ridge will be in
control across most of the southern CONUS. The weak upper level
low over the area today will slowly move to the east/northeast
along the TX Gulf coast, and into Louisiana by Friday, resulting
in possible showers and thunderstorms to our east and southeast,
but we should remain dry for the most part. 850mb temperatures
will remain warm, and could even warm up a couple degrees by the
middle of the week, so will keep highs in the mid to upper 90s
through the end of the forecast.

20

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  95  71  98  72 /   5   0   0   5
San Angelo  94  69  99  71 /  20   5   0   5
Junction  91  68  95  70 /  20   5   5   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

Daniels




000
FXUS64 KSJT 301105
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
605 AM CDT SUN AUG 30 2015

.AVIATION...
/12Z TAFS/

Scattered showers are occurring across much of West Central Texas
early this morning, mainly south of Interstate 20. Expect shower
activity to persist into the afternoon hours, at all sites except
for KABI. Otherwise, light winds and VFR conditions are expected
through the next 24 hours.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 338 AM CDT SUN AUG 30 2015/

SHORT TERM...
(Today and Tonight)

An upper level low/weakness will remain across West Central Texas
today and slowly drift south. Currently, isolated showers are
occurring across the Heartland, and short range models indicate
these expanding into parts of the Concho Valley and Interstate 10
corridor through the morning hours. PoPs were added to the
forecast to account for the possible shower activity this morning
through the afternoon hours, mainly south of a Mertzon, to San
Angelo, to San Saba line. Rainfall totals are expected to
generally remain less than a tenth, although a few locations,
especially across the Interstate 10 corridor, may see up to one to
two tenths of an inch.

Similar to what we saw yesterday, cloud cover will help to
moderate afternoon highs this afternoon. Temperatures are forecast
to range from the mid 90s across the Big Country, where less cloud
cover is expected, to the low 90s across the Interstate 10
corridor. Overnight lows will generally be in the upper 60s to
lower 70s.

Daniels

LONG TERM...
(Monday through Saturday)

The overall theme for the long term will be continued hot and dry
weather.

The compact low that will bring the possibility of light showers
today to the area will continue migrating south and out of the
area by Monday, thus have kept the forecast dry. From Monday
through the rest of the week, a large upper level ridge will be in
control across most of the southern CONUS. The weak upper level
low over the area today will slowly move to the east/northeast
along the TX Gulf coast, and into Louisiana by Friday, resulting
in possible showers and thunderstorms to our east and southeast,
but we should remain dry for the most part. 850mb temperatures
will remain warm, and could even warm up a couple degrees by the
middle of the week, so will keep highs in the mid to upper 90s
through the end of the forecast.

20

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  95  71  98  72 /   5   0   0   5
San Angelo  94  69  99  71 /  20   5   0   5
Junction  91  68  95  70 /  20   5   5   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

Daniels





000
FXUS64 KSJT 300838
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
338 AM CDT SUN AUG 30 2015

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and Tonight)

An upper level low/weakness will remain across West Central Texas
today and slowly drift south. Currently, isolated showers are
occurring across the Heartland, and short range models indicate
these expanding into parts of the Concho Valley and Interstate 10
corridor through the morning hours. PoPs were added to the
forecast to account for the possible shower activity this morning
through the afternoon hours, mainly south of a Mertzon, to San
Angelo, to San Saba line. Rainfall totals are expected to
generally remain less than a tenth, although a few locations,
especially across the Interstate 10 corridor, may see up to one to
two tenths of an inch.

Similar to what we saw yesterday, cloud cover will help to
moderate afternoon highs this afternoon. Temperatures are forecast
to range from the mid 90s across the Big Country, where less cloud
cover is expected, to the low 90s across the Interstate 10
corridor. Overnight lows will generally be in the upper 60s to
lower 70s.

Daniels

.LONG TERM...
(Monday through Saturday)

The overall theme for the long term will be continued hot and dry
weather.

The compact low that will bring the possibility of light showers
today to the area will continue migrating south and out of the
area by Monday, thus have kept the forecast dry. From Monday
through the rest of the week, a large upper level ridge will be in
control across most of the southern CONUS. The weak upper level
low over the area today will slowly move to the east/northeast
along the TX Gulf coast, and into Louisiana by Friday, resulting
in possible showers and thunderstorms to our east and southeast,
but we should remain dry for the most part. 850mb temperatures
will remain warm, and could even warm up a couple degrees by the
middle of the week, so will keep highs in the mid to upper 90s
through the end of the forecast.

20

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  95  71  98  72 /   5   0   0   5
San Angelo  94  69  99  71 /  20   5   0   5
Junction  91  68  95  70 /  20   5   5   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KSJT 300405
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1105 PM CDT SAT AUG 29 2015

.AVIATION...
/06Z TAFS/

Expect VFR conditions at all forecast terminals through the next
24 hours. A few sprinkles are possible overnight, but otherwise
dry weather is expected with scattered to broken mid-level clouds
around 10,000 ft. Light and variable winds overnight will become
southerly at less than 10 kts at most sites tomorrow. However,
KABI is expected to veer to a more west-southwest direction by
mid/late morning.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 624 PM CDT SAT AUG 29 2015/

AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

Patchy light rain will continue for a few hours this evening but
should have minimal impact at the forecast terminals. Otherwise,
expect a broken alto-cu layer around 10-12 kft to persist through
Sunday morning. Winds will be light and variable overnight,
becoming southerly at 5-10 kts by mid/late morning.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 326 PM CDT SAT AUG 29 2015/

SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Sunday)

Weak upper trough over west Texas resulting in mostly elevated
showers/virga over the western half of the forecast area today.
Have seen a few thunderstorms try to develop this afternoon along
a weak boundary just northwest of Haskell, but so far, storms have
been pulsy and staying out of the area. Precip from weaker showers
to the west seems to be evaporating before reaching the
ground...with no measurable rainfall at this point. Based on radar
trends, will continue with 10-20 precip chances for mainly
northern counties tonight as the precip continues to move
eastward. Might see a few lingering showers in the morning...but
confidence is too low to mention in the forecast at this point.
Temps today have been several degrees cooler with increased cloud
cover. Expecting highs tomorrow to be still on the cool side...in
the mid 90s, but a little less cloud cover than today.

LONG TERM...
(Monday through Saturday)

The medium range models continue to show a quasistationary upper
level low over the Louisiana Gulf Coast next week, with the upper
ridge over West Texas. This pattern will result in dry and warm
weather continuing across West Central Texas through next
Saturday, with above normal temperatures through the period.
Normal highs for the first week of September are in the lower 90s
and we`ll see highs mainly in the mid and upper 90s for much of
the period, with overnight lows in the upper 60s and lower 70s. No
rain is expected.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  69  96  71  97 /  20   5   5   0
San Angelo  68  96  70  96 /  10   5   5   0
Junction  68  93  68  95 /  10   5   5   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

Johnson





000
FXUS64 KSJT 300405
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1105 PM CDT SAT AUG 29 2015

.AVIATION...
/06Z TAFS/

Expect VFR conditions at all forecast terminals through the next
24 hours. A few sprinkles are possible overnight, but otherwise
dry weather is expected with scattered to broken mid-level clouds
around 10,000 ft. Light and variable winds overnight will become
southerly at less than 10 kts at most sites tomorrow. However,
KABI is expected to veer to a more west-southwest direction by
mid/late morning.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 624 PM CDT SAT AUG 29 2015/

AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

Patchy light rain will continue for a few hours this evening but
should have minimal impact at the forecast terminals. Otherwise,
expect a broken alto-cu layer around 10-12 kft to persist through
Sunday morning. Winds will be light and variable overnight,
becoming southerly at 5-10 kts by mid/late morning.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 326 PM CDT SAT AUG 29 2015/

SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Sunday)

Weak upper trough over west Texas resulting in mostly elevated
showers/virga over the western half of the forecast area today.
Have seen a few thunderstorms try to develop this afternoon along
a weak boundary just northwest of Haskell, but so far, storms have
been pulsy and staying out of the area. Precip from weaker showers
to the west seems to be evaporating before reaching the
ground...with no measurable rainfall at this point. Based on radar
trends, will continue with 10-20 precip chances for mainly
northern counties tonight as the precip continues to move
eastward. Might see a few lingering showers in the morning...but
confidence is too low to mention in the forecast at this point.
Temps today have been several degrees cooler with increased cloud
cover. Expecting highs tomorrow to be still on the cool side...in
the mid 90s, but a little less cloud cover than today.

LONG TERM...
(Monday through Saturday)

The medium range models continue to show a quasistationary upper
level low over the Louisiana Gulf Coast next week, with the upper
ridge over West Texas. This pattern will result in dry and warm
weather continuing across West Central Texas through next
Saturday, with above normal temperatures through the period.
Normal highs for the first week of September are in the lower 90s
and we`ll see highs mainly in the mid and upper 90s for much of
the period, with overnight lows in the upper 60s and lower 70s. No
rain is expected.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  69  96  71  97 /  20   5   5   0
San Angelo  68  96  70  96 /  10   5   5   0
Junction  68  93  68  95 /  10   5   5   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

Johnson




000
FXUS64 KSJT 292324
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
624 PM CDT SAT AUG 29 2015

.AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

Patchy light rain will continue for a few hours this evening but
should have minimal impact at the forecast terminals. Otherwise,
expect a broken alto-cu layer around 10-12 kft to persist through
Sunday morning. Winds will be light and variable overnight,
becoming southerly at 5-10 kts by mid/late morning.

Johnson

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 326 PM CDT SAT AUG 29 2015/

SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Sunday)

Weak upper trough over west Texas resulting in mostly elevated
showers/virga over the western half of the forecast area today.
Have seen a few thunderstorms try to develop this afternoon along
a weak boundary just northwest of Haskell, but so far, storms have
been pulsy and staying out of the area. Precip from weaker showers
to the west seems to be evaporating before reaching the
ground...with no measurable rainfall at this point. Based on radar
trends, will continue with 10-20 precip chances for mainly
northern counties tonight as the precip continues to move
eastward. Might see a few lingering showers in the morning...but
confidence is too low to mention in the forecast at this point.
Temps today have been several degrees cooler with increased cloud
cover. Expecting highs tomorrow to be still on the cool side...in
the mid 90s, but a little less cloud cover than today.

LONG TERM...
(Monday through Saturday)

The medium range models continue to show a quasistationary upper
level low over the Louisiana Gulf Coast next week, with the upper
ridge over West Texas. This pattern will result in dry and warm
weather continuing across West Central Texas through next
Saturday, with above normal temperatures through the period.
Normal highs for the first week of September are in the lower 90s
and we`ll see highs mainly in the mid and upper 90s for much of
the period, with overnight lows in the upper 60s and lower 70s. No
rain is expected.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  72  96  71  97 /  20   5   5   0
San Angelo  71  96  70  96 /  10   5   5   0
Junction  71  93  68  95 /  10   5   5   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

25/99/99




000
FXUS64 KSJT 292324
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
624 PM CDT SAT AUG 29 2015

.AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

Patchy light rain will continue for a few hours this evening but
should have minimal impact at the forecast terminals. Otherwise,
expect a broken alto-cu layer around 10-12 kft to persist through
Sunday morning. Winds will be light and variable overnight,
becoming southerly at 5-10 kts by mid/late morning.

Johnson

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 326 PM CDT SAT AUG 29 2015/

SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Sunday)

Weak upper trough over west Texas resulting in mostly elevated
showers/virga over the western half of the forecast area today.
Have seen a few thunderstorms try to develop this afternoon along
a weak boundary just northwest of Haskell, but so far, storms have
been pulsy and staying out of the area. Precip from weaker showers
to the west seems to be evaporating before reaching the
ground...with no measurable rainfall at this point. Based on radar
trends, will continue with 10-20 precip chances for mainly
northern counties tonight as the precip continues to move
eastward. Might see a few lingering showers in the morning...but
confidence is too low to mention in the forecast at this point.
Temps today have been several degrees cooler with increased cloud
cover. Expecting highs tomorrow to be still on the cool side...in
the mid 90s, but a little less cloud cover than today.

LONG TERM...
(Monday through Saturday)

The medium range models continue to show a quasistationary upper
level low over the Louisiana Gulf Coast next week, with the upper
ridge over West Texas. This pattern will result in dry and warm
weather continuing across West Central Texas through next
Saturday, with above normal temperatures through the period.
Normal highs for the first week of September are in the lower 90s
and we`ll see highs mainly in the mid and upper 90s for much of
the period, with overnight lows in the upper 60s and lower 70s. No
rain is expected.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  72  96  71  97 /  20   5   5   0
San Angelo  71  96  70  96 /  10   5   5   0
Junction  71  93  68  95 /  10   5   5   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

25/99/99





000
FXUS64 KSJT 292026
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
326 PM CDT SAT AUG 29 2015

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Sunday)

Weak upper trough over west Texas resulting in mostly elevated
showers/virga over the western half of the forecast area today.
Have seen a few thunderstorms try to develop this afternoon along
a weak boundary just northwest of Haskell, but so far, storms have
been pulsy and staying out of the area. Precip from weaker showers
to the west seems to be evaporating before reaching the
ground...with no measurable rainfall at this point. Based on radar
trends, will continue with 10-20 precip chances for mainly
northern counties tonight as the precip continues to move
eastward. Might see a few lingering showers in the morning...but
confidence is too low to mention in the forecast at this point.
Temps today have been several degrees cooler with increased cloud
cover. Expecting highs tomorrow to be still on the cool side...in
the mid 90s, but a little less cloud cover than today.


.LONG TERM...
(Monday through Saturday)

The medium range models continue to show a quasistationary upper
level low over the Louisiana Gulf Coast next week, with the upper
ridge over West Texas. This pattern will result in dry and warm
weather continuing across West Central Texas through next
Saturday, with above normal temperatures through the period.
Normal highs for the first week of September are in the lower 90s
and we`ll see highs mainly in the mid and upper 90s for much of
the period, with overnight lows in the upper 60s and lower 70s. No
rain is expected.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  72  96  71  97 /  10   5   5   0
San Angelo  71  96  70  96 /  10   5   5   0
Junction  71  93  68  95 /  10   5   5   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

99/24




000
FXUS64 KSJT 292026
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
326 PM CDT SAT AUG 29 2015

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Sunday)

Weak upper trough over west Texas resulting in mostly elevated
showers/virga over the western half of the forecast area today.
Have seen a few thunderstorms try to develop this afternoon along
a weak boundary just northwest of Haskell, but so far, storms have
been pulsy and staying out of the area. Precip from weaker showers
to the west seems to be evaporating before reaching the
ground...with no measurable rainfall at this point. Based on radar
trends, will continue with 10-20 precip chances for mainly
northern counties tonight as the precip continues to move
eastward. Might see a few lingering showers in the morning...but
confidence is too low to mention in the forecast at this point.
Temps today have been several degrees cooler with increased cloud
cover. Expecting highs tomorrow to be still on the cool side...in
the mid 90s, but a little less cloud cover than today.


.LONG TERM...
(Monday through Saturday)

The medium range models continue to show a quasistationary upper
level low over the Louisiana Gulf Coast next week, with the upper
ridge over West Texas. This pattern will result in dry and warm
weather continuing across West Central Texas through next
Saturday, with above normal temperatures through the period.
Normal highs for the first week of September are in the lower 90s
and we`ll see highs mainly in the mid and upper 90s for much of
the period, with overnight lows in the upper 60s and lower 70s. No
rain is expected.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  72  96  71  97 /  10   5   5   0
San Angelo  71  96  70  96 /  10   5   5   0
Junction  71  93  68  95 /  10   5   5   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

99/24





000
FXUS64 KSJT 291732
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1232 PM CDT SAT AUG 29 2015

.AVIATION...
/18Z TAFS/

VFR expected for the next 24 hours. Weak shortwave trough has
resulted in light showers over west Texas. May see a few sprinkles
for KSJT/KSOA/KABI airports, but not enough to cause ceiling or
visibility issues. Light southwest winds may shift more southerly
overnight...but should remain below 15-20 kt.

08

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 621 AM CDT SAT AUG 29 2015/

AVIATION...
/12Z TAFS/

Expect VFR and light winds for the next 24 hours.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 248 AM CDT SAT AUG 29 2015/

SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)

The forecast for the next 24 hours remains essentially unchanged. The
potential for any organized convection remains low. Thus, will
continue a dry forecast for today and tonight. Afternoon highs today
will likely be a degree or two cooler than yesterday, mainly because
of increased cloud cover and possible cool outflow boundaries from
convection to the west. Overnight lows very close to persistence to
reasonable, mainly around 70

LONG TERM...
(Sunday through Friday)

A benign weather patterns will continue through the extended
forecast. An upper level low currently across the northern Gulf
Coast, will move west toward the Texas coast early next week. The
synoptic pattern for much of the upcoming work week will be
characterized by an upper level ridge centered over far West Texas
and the aforementioned upper level low across the Texas Gulf Coast.
West Central Texas will remain between these features, with above
normal temperatures and little to no chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs will generally be in the mid to upper 90s, with
overnight lows generally in the 70s.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  98  72  98  72 /  10  10   5   0
San Angelo  99  72  97  71 /  10  10   5   0
Junction  96  70  95  69 /   5  10   5   5

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KSJT 291732
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1232 PM CDT SAT AUG 29 2015

.AVIATION...
/18Z TAFS/

VFR expected for the next 24 hours. Weak shortwave trough has
resulted in light showers over west Texas. May see a few sprinkles
for KSJT/KSOA/KABI airports, but not enough to cause ceiling or
visibility issues. Light southwest winds may shift more southerly
overnight...but should remain below 15-20 kt.

08

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 621 AM CDT SAT AUG 29 2015/

AVIATION...
/12Z TAFS/

Expect VFR and light winds for the next 24 hours.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 248 AM CDT SAT AUG 29 2015/

SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)

The forecast for the next 24 hours remains essentially unchanged. The
potential for any organized convection remains low. Thus, will
continue a dry forecast for today and tonight. Afternoon highs today
will likely be a degree or two cooler than yesterday, mainly because
of increased cloud cover and possible cool outflow boundaries from
convection to the west. Overnight lows very close to persistence to
reasonable, mainly around 70

LONG TERM...
(Sunday through Friday)

A benign weather patterns will continue through the extended
forecast. An upper level low currently across the northern Gulf
Coast, will move west toward the Texas coast early next week. The
synoptic pattern for much of the upcoming work week will be
characterized by an upper level ridge centered over far West Texas
and the aforementioned upper level low across the Texas Gulf Coast.
West Central Texas will remain between these features, with above
normal temperatures and little to no chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs will generally be in the mid to upper 90s, with
overnight lows generally in the 70s.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  98  72  98  72 /  10  10   5   0
San Angelo  99  72  97  71 /  10  10   5   0
Junction  96  70  95  69 /   5  10   5   5

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KSJT 291732
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1232 PM CDT SAT AUG 29 2015

.AVIATION...
/18Z TAFS/

VFR expected for the next 24 hours. Weak shortwave trough has
resulted in light showers over west Texas. May see a few sprinkles
for KSJT/KSOA/KABI airports, but not enough to cause ceiling or
visibility issues. Light southwest winds may shift more southerly
overnight...but should remain below 15-20 kt.

08

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 621 AM CDT SAT AUG 29 2015/

AVIATION...
/12Z TAFS/

Expect VFR and light winds for the next 24 hours.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 248 AM CDT SAT AUG 29 2015/

SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)

The forecast for the next 24 hours remains essentially unchanged. The
potential for any organized convection remains low. Thus, will
continue a dry forecast for today and tonight. Afternoon highs today
will likely be a degree or two cooler than yesterday, mainly because
of increased cloud cover and possible cool outflow boundaries from
convection to the west. Overnight lows very close to persistence to
reasonable, mainly around 70

LONG TERM...
(Sunday through Friday)

A benign weather patterns will continue through the extended
forecast. An upper level low currently across the northern Gulf
Coast, will move west toward the Texas coast early next week. The
synoptic pattern for much of the upcoming work week will be
characterized by an upper level ridge centered over far West Texas
and the aforementioned upper level low across the Texas Gulf Coast.
West Central Texas will remain between these features, with above
normal temperatures and little to no chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs will generally be in the mid to upper 90s, with
overnight lows generally in the 70s.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  98  72  98  72 /  10  10   5   0
San Angelo  99  72  97  71 /  10  10   5   0
Junction  96  70  95  69 /   5  10   5   5

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KSJT 291732
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1232 PM CDT SAT AUG 29 2015

.AVIATION...
/18Z TAFS/

VFR expected for the next 24 hours. Weak shortwave trough has
resulted in light showers over west Texas. May see a few sprinkles
for KSJT/KSOA/KABI airports, but not enough to cause ceiling or
visibility issues. Light southwest winds may shift more southerly
overnight...but should remain below 15-20 kt.

08

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 621 AM CDT SAT AUG 29 2015/

AVIATION...
/12Z TAFS/

Expect VFR and light winds for the next 24 hours.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 248 AM CDT SAT AUG 29 2015/

SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)

The forecast for the next 24 hours remains essentially unchanged. The
potential for any organized convection remains low. Thus, will
continue a dry forecast for today and tonight. Afternoon highs today
will likely be a degree or two cooler than yesterday, mainly because
of increased cloud cover and possible cool outflow boundaries from
convection to the west. Overnight lows very close to persistence to
reasonable, mainly around 70

LONG TERM...
(Sunday through Friday)

A benign weather patterns will continue through the extended
forecast. An upper level low currently across the northern Gulf
Coast, will move west toward the Texas coast early next week. The
synoptic pattern for much of the upcoming work week will be
characterized by an upper level ridge centered over far West Texas
and the aforementioned upper level low across the Texas Gulf Coast.
West Central Texas will remain between these features, with above
normal temperatures and little to no chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs will generally be in the mid to upper 90s, with
overnight lows generally in the 70s.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  98  72  98  72 /  10  10   5   0
San Angelo  99  72  97  71 /  10  10   5   0
Junction  96  70  95  69 /   5  10   5   5

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KSJT 291121
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
621 AM CDT SAT AUG 29 2015

.AVIATION...
/12Z TAFS/

Expect VFR and light winds for the next 24 hours.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 248 AM CDT SAT AUG 29 2015/

SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)

The forecast for the next 24 hours remains essentially unchanged. The
potential for any organized convection remains low. Thus, will
continue a dry forecast for today and tonight. Afternoon highs today
will likely be a degree or two cooler than yesterday, mainly because
of increased cloud cover and possible cool outflow boundaries from
convection to the west. Overnight lows very close to persistence to
reasonable, mainly around 70

LONG TERM...
(Sunday through Friday)

A benign weather patterns will continue through the extended
forecast. An upper level low currently across the northern Gulf
Coast, will move west toward the Texas coast early next week. The
synoptic pattern for much of the upcoming work week will be
characterized by an upper level ridge centered over far West Texas
and the aforementioned upper level low across the Texas Gulf Coast.
West Central Texas will remain between these features, with above
normal temperatures and little to no chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs will generally be in the mid to upper 90s, with
overnight lows generally in the 70s.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  98  72  98  72 /  10   5   5   0
San Angelo  99  72  97  71 /  10   5   5   0
Junction  96  70  95  69 /   5   5   5   5

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KSJT 291121
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
621 AM CDT SAT AUG 29 2015

.AVIATION...
/12Z TAFS/

Expect VFR and light winds for the next 24 hours.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 248 AM CDT SAT AUG 29 2015/

SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)

The forecast for the next 24 hours remains essentially unchanged. The
potential for any organized convection remains low. Thus, will
continue a dry forecast for today and tonight. Afternoon highs today
will likely be a degree or two cooler than yesterday, mainly because
of increased cloud cover and possible cool outflow boundaries from
convection to the west. Overnight lows very close to persistence to
reasonable, mainly around 70

LONG TERM...
(Sunday through Friday)

A benign weather patterns will continue through the extended
forecast. An upper level low currently across the northern Gulf
Coast, will move west toward the Texas coast early next week. The
synoptic pattern for much of the upcoming work week will be
characterized by an upper level ridge centered over far West Texas
and the aforementioned upper level low across the Texas Gulf Coast.
West Central Texas will remain between these features, with above
normal temperatures and little to no chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs will generally be in the mid to upper 90s, with
overnight lows generally in the 70s.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  98  72  98  72 /  10   5   5   0
San Angelo  99  72  97  71 /  10   5   5   0
Junction  96  70  95  69 /   5   5   5   5

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KSJT 291121
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
621 AM CDT SAT AUG 29 2015

.AVIATION...
/12Z TAFS/

Expect VFR and light winds for the next 24 hours.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 248 AM CDT SAT AUG 29 2015/

SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)

The forecast for the next 24 hours remains essentially unchanged. The
potential for any organized convection remains low. Thus, will
continue a dry forecast for today and tonight. Afternoon highs today
will likely be a degree or two cooler than yesterday, mainly because
of increased cloud cover and possible cool outflow boundaries from
convection to the west. Overnight lows very close to persistence to
reasonable, mainly around 70

LONG TERM...
(Sunday through Friday)

A benign weather patterns will continue through the extended
forecast. An upper level low currently across the northern Gulf
Coast, will move west toward the Texas coast early next week. The
synoptic pattern for much of the upcoming work week will be
characterized by an upper level ridge centered over far West Texas
and the aforementioned upper level low across the Texas Gulf Coast.
West Central Texas will remain between these features, with above
normal temperatures and little to no chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs will generally be in the mid to upper 90s, with
overnight lows generally in the 70s.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  98  72  98  72 /  10   5   5   0
San Angelo  99  72  97  71 /  10   5   5   0
Junction  96  70  95  69 /   5   5   5   5

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KSJT 290748
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
248 AM CDT SAT AUG 29 2015

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)

The forecast for the next 24 hours remains essentially unchanged. The
potential for any organized convection remains low. Thus, will
continue a dry forecast for today and tonight. Afternoon highs today
will likely be a degree or two cooler than yesterday, mainly because
of increased cloud cover and possible cool outflow boundaries from
convection to the west. Overnight lows very close to persistence to
reasonable, mainly around 70

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through Friday)

A benign weather patterns will continue through the extended
forecast. An upper level low currently across the northern Gulf
Coast, will move west toward the Texas coast early next week. The
synoptic pattern for much of the upcoming work week will be
characterized by an upper level ridge centered over far West Texas
and the aforementioned upper level low across the Texas Gulf Coast.
West Central Texas will remain between these features, with above
normal temperatures and little to no chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs will generally be in the mid to upper 90s, with
overnight lows generally in the 70s.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  98  72  98  72 /  10   5   5   0
San Angelo  99  72  97  71 /  10   5   5   0
Junction  96  70  95  69 /   5   5   5   5

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

Huber/Daniels




000
FXUS64 KSJT 290421
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1121 PM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015

.AVIATION...
/06Z TAFS/

Scattered convection continues over far western TX with more
isolated activity just south of the Red River. The potential for
any of this to affect the forecast terminals remains low. Thus, no
mention of precipitation will be carried in the 06z TAF package.
Expect generally south winds overnight at 10 kts or less. Winds
will veer to the west at KABI by mid/late morning, becoming south
to southeast across the remainder of the CWA. A few diurnal
thunderstorms are not out of the question north of I-20 Saturday
afternoon, but coverage should be limited.

Johnson

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 603 PM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015/

AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

Mid/high clouds will increase tonight across the CWA as a
shortwave trough dives south into the southern Plains. A few
showers and/or thunderstorms will be possible across the Big
Country, mainly after midnight, but confidence remains low enough
to preclude mention in the forecast. Nonetheless, will show a
gradual decrease in cloud heights, dropping to around 10,000 ft by
Saturday. Expect winds to remain from a general southerly
direction at 10 kts or less. However, winds are forecast to veer
more westerly early Saturday at KABI. A few showers cannot be
ruled out early Saturday, but again, confidence remains quite low.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 334 PM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015/

SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Saturday)

Appears the quiet conditions will continue across West Central
Texas for tonight and Saturday. Upper level ridge has shifted to
the west, with north and northwest flow aloft across the area. Saw
an area of showers and storms develop across the South Plains and
Panhandle last night and make a run towards the northern Big
Country this morning. Similar situation may set up tonight, and
with that in mind have slipped in some slight chance PoPs into the
northern Big Country across Haskell and Throckmorton Counties.

Otherwise, not as hot on Saturday with 850mb temperatures dropping
slightly. Still, guidance looked a little too cool and stayed at
or a degree or two above guidance for highs. Kept Saturday dry
for now, but with slightly better low level moisture returning to
the area and with the possibility of a weak disturbance developing
in the northwest flow aloft, can not rule out a few stray storms.
Not going to mention for now and see if the pieces can all fall
into place.

LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through Friday)

The latest model guidance further strengthens the upper ridge
over the forecast area through the end of next week, and positions
an upper low further east of the area than previously forecasted.
Will therefore maintain a dry forecast through the period with
afternoon highs in the mid to upper 90s, a few degrees warmer than
seasonal norms. Morning lows will generally be in the lower to mid
70s, near seasonal norms.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  73  97  72  97 /   5  10   5   5
San Angelo  71  97  71  96 /   0  10   5   5
Junction  69  94  70  94 /   0   5   5   5

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

25/99/99





000
FXUS64 KSJT 290421
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1121 PM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015

.AVIATION...
/06Z TAFS/

Scattered convection continues over far western TX with more
isolated activity just south of the Red River. The potential for
any of this to affect the forecast terminals remains low. Thus, no
mention of precipitation will be carried in the 06z TAF package.
Expect generally south winds overnight at 10 kts or less. Winds
will veer to the west at KABI by mid/late morning, becoming south
to southeast across the remainder of the CWA. A few diurnal
thunderstorms are not out of the question north of I-20 Saturday
afternoon, but coverage should be limited.

Johnson

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 603 PM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015/

AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

Mid/high clouds will increase tonight across the CWA as a
shortwave trough dives south into the southern Plains. A few
showers and/or thunderstorms will be possible across the Big
Country, mainly after midnight, but confidence remains low enough
to preclude mention in the forecast. Nonetheless, will show a
gradual decrease in cloud heights, dropping to around 10,000 ft by
Saturday. Expect winds to remain from a general southerly
direction at 10 kts or less. However, winds are forecast to veer
more westerly early Saturday at KABI. A few showers cannot be
ruled out early Saturday, but again, confidence remains quite low.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 334 PM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015/

SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Saturday)

Appears the quiet conditions will continue across West Central
Texas for tonight and Saturday. Upper level ridge has shifted to
the west, with north and northwest flow aloft across the area. Saw
an area of showers and storms develop across the South Plains and
Panhandle last night and make a run towards the northern Big
Country this morning. Similar situation may set up tonight, and
with that in mind have slipped in some slight chance PoPs into the
northern Big Country across Haskell and Throckmorton Counties.

Otherwise, not as hot on Saturday with 850mb temperatures dropping
slightly. Still, guidance looked a little too cool and stayed at
or a degree or two above guidance for highs. Kept Saturday dry
for now, but with slightly better low level moisture returning to
the area and with the possibility of a weak disturbance developing
in the northwest flow aloft, can not rule out a few stray storms.
Not going to mention for now and see if the pieces can all fall
into place.

LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through Friday)

The latest model guidance further strengthens the upper ridge
over the forecast area through the end of next week, and positions
an upper low further east of the area than previously forecasted.
Will therefore maintain a dry forecast through the period with
afternoon highs in the mid to upper 90s, a few degrees warmer than
seasonal norms. Morning lows will generally be in the lower to mid
70s, near seasonal norms.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  73  97  72  97 /   5  10   5   5
San Angelo  71  97  71  96 /   0  10   5   5
Junction  69  94  70  94 /   0   5   5   5

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

25/99/99




000
FXUS64 KSJT 290421
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1121 PM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015

.AVIATION...
/06Z TAFS/

Scattered convection continues over far western TX with more
isolated activity just south of the Red River. The potential for
any of this to affect the forecast terminals remains low. Thus, no
mention of precipitation will be carried in the 06z TAF package.
Expect generally south winds overnight at 10 kts or less. Winds
will veer to the west at KABI by mid/late morning, becoming south
to southeast across the remainder of the CWA. A few diurnal
thunderstorms are not out of the question north of I-20 Saturday
afternoon, but coverage should be limited.

Johnson

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 603 PM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015/

AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

Mid/high clouds will increase tonight across the CWA as a
shortwave trough dives south into the southern Plains. A few
showers and/or thunderstorms will be possible across the Big
Country, mainly after midnight, but confidence remains low enough
to preclude mention in the forecast. Nonetheless, will show a
gradual decrease in cloud heights, dropping to around 10,000 ft by
Saturday. Expect winds to remain from a general southerly
direction at 10 kts or less. However, winds are forecast to veer
more westerly early Saturday at KABI. A few showers cannot be
ruled out early Saturday, but again, confidence remains quite low.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 334 PM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015/

SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Saturday)

Appears the quiet conditions will continue across West Central
Texas for tonight and Saturday. Upper level ridge has shifted to
the west, with north and northwest flow aloft across the area. Saw
an area of showers and storms develop across the South Plains and
Panhandle last night and make a run towards the northern Big
Country this morning. Similar situation may set up tonight, and
with that in mind have slipped in some slight chance PoPs into the
northern Big Country across Haskell and Throckmorton Counties.

Otherwise, not as hot on Saturday with 850mb temperatures dropping
slightly. Still, guidance looked a little too cool and stayed at
or a degree or two above guidance for highs. Kept Saturday dry
for now, but with slightly better low level moisture returning to
the area and with the possibility of a weak disturbance developing
in the northwest flow aloft, can not rule out a few stray storms.
Not going to mention for now and see if the pieces can all fall
into place.

LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through Friday)

The latest model guidance further strengthens the upper ridge
over the forecast area through the end of next week, and positions
an upper low further east of the area than previously forecasted.
Will therefore maintain a dry forecast through the period with
afternoon highs in the mid to upper 90s, a few degrees warmer than
seasonal norms. Morning lows will generally be in the lower to mid
70s, near seasonal norms.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  73  97  72  97 /   5  10   5   5
San Angelo  71  97  71  96 /   0  10   5   5
Junction  69  94  70  94 /   0   5   5   5

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

25/99/99





000
FXUS64 KSJT 290421
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1121 PM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015

.AVIATION...
/06Z TAFS/

Scattered convection continues over far western TX with more
isolated activity just south of the Red River. The potential for
any of this to affect the forecast terminals remains low. Thus, no
mention of precipitation will be carried in the 06z TAF package.
Expect generally south winds overnight at 10 kts or less. Winds
will veer to the west at KABI by mid/late morning, becoming south
to southeast across the remainder of the CWA. A few diurnal
thunderstorms are not out of the question north of I-20 Saturday
afternoon, but coverage should be limited.

Johnson

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 603 PM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015/

AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

Mid/high clouds will increase tonight across the CWA as a
shortwave trough dives south into the southern Plains. A few
showers and/or thunderstorms will be possible across the Big
Country, mainly after midnight, but confidence remains low enough
to preclude mention in the forecast. Nonetheless, will show a
gradual decrease in cloud heights, dropping to around 10,000 ft by
Saturday. Expect winds to remain from a general southerly
direction at 10 kts or less. However, winds are forecast to veer
more westerly early Saturday at KABI. A few showers cannot be
ruled out early Saturday, but again, confidence remains quite low.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 334 PM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015/

SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Saturday)

Appears the quiet conditions will continue across West Central
Texas for tonight and Saturday. Upper level ridge has shifted to
the west, with north and northwest flow aloft across the area. Saw
an area of showers and storms develop across the South Plains and
Panhandle last night and make a run towards the northern Big
Country this morning. Similar situation may set up tonight, and
with that in mind have slipped in some slight chance PoPs into the
northern Big Country across Haskell and Throckmorton Counties.

Otherwise, not as hot on Saturday with 850mb temperatures dropping
slightly. Still, guidance looked a little too cool and stayed at
or a degree or two above guidance for highs. Kept Saturday dry
for now, but with slightly better low level moisture returning to
the area and with the possibility of a weak disturbance developing
in the northwest flow aloft, can not rule out a few stray storms.
Not going to mention for now and see if the pieces can all fall
into place.

LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through Friday)

The latest model guidance further strengthens the upper ridge
over the forecast area through the end of next week, and positions
an upper low further east of the area than previously forecasted.
Will therefore maintain a dry forecast through the period with
afternoon highs in the mid to upper 90s, a few degrees warmer than
seasonal norms. Morning lows will generally be in the lower to mid
70s, near seasonal norms.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  73  97  72  97 /   5  10   5   5
San Angelo  71  97  71  96 /   0  10   5   5
Junction  69  94  70  94 /   0   5   5   5

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

25/99/99




000
FXUS64 KSJT 282303
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
603 PM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015

.AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

Mid/high clouds will increase tonight across the CWA as a
shortwave trough dives south into the southern Plains. A few
showers and/or thunderstorms will be possible across the Big
Country, mainly after midnight, but confidence remains low enough
to preclude mention in the forecast. Nonetheless, will show a
gradual decrease in cloud heights, dropping to around 10,000 ft by
Saturday. Expect winds to remain from a general southerly
direction at 10 kts or less. However, winds are forecast to veer
more westerly early Saturday at KABI. A few showers cannot be
ruled out early Saturday, but again, confidence remains quite low.

Johnson

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 334 PM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015/

SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Saturday)

Appears the quiet conditions will continue across West Central
Texas for tonight and Saturday. Upper level ridge has shifted to
the west, with north and northwest flow aloft across the area. Saw
an area of showers and storms develop across the South Plains and
Panhandle last night and make a run towards the northern Big
Country this morning. Similar situation may set up tonight, and
with that in mind have slipped in some slight chance PoPs into the
northern Big Country across Haskell and Throckmorton Counties.

Otherwise, not as hot on Saturday with 850mb temperatures dropping
slightly. Still, guidance looked a little too cool and stayed at
or a degree or two above guidance for highs. Kept Saturday dry
for now, but with slightly better low level moisture returning to
the area and with the possibility of a weak disturbance developing
in the northwest flow aloft, can not rule out a few stray storms.
Not going to mention for now and see if the pieces can all fall
into place.

LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through Friday)

The latest model guidance further strengthens the upper ridge
over the forecast area through the end of next week, and positions
an upper low further east of the area than previously forecasted.
Will therefore maintain a dry forecast through the period with
afternoon highs in the mid to upper 90s, a few degrees warmer than
seasonal norms. Morning lows will generally be in the lower to mid
70s, near seasonal norms.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  73  97  72  97 /   5  10   5   5
San Angelo  71  97  71  96 /   0  10   5   5
Junction  69  94  70  94 /   0   5   5   5

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

25




000
FXUS64 KSJT 282303
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
603 PM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015

.AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

Mid/high clouds will increase tonight across the CWA as a
shortwave trough dives south into the southern Plains. A few
showers and/or thunderstorms will be possible across the Big
Country, mainly after midnight, but confidence remains low enough
to preclude mention in the forecast. Nonetheless, will show a
gradual decrease in cloud heights, dropping to around 10,000 ft by
Saturday. Expect winds to remain from a general southerly
direction at 10 kts or less. However, winds are forecast to veer
more westerly early Saturday at KABI. A few showers cannot be
ruled out early Saturday, but again, confidence remains quite low.

Johnson

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 334 PM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015/

SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Saturday)

Appears the quiet conditions will continue across West Central
Texas for tonight and Saturday. Upper level ridge has shifted to
the west, with north and northwest flow aloft across the area. Saw
an area of showers and storms develop across the South Plains and
Panhandle last night and make a run towards the northern Big
Country this morning. Similar situation may set up tonight, and
with that in mind have slipped in some slight chance PoPs into the
northern Big Country across Haskell and Throckmorton Counties.

Otherwise, not as hot on Saturday with 850mb temperatures dropping
slightly. Still, guidance looked a little too cool and stayed at
or a degree or two above guidance for highs. Kept Saturday dry
for now, but with slightly better low level moisture returning to
the area and with the possibility of a weak disturbance developing
in the northwest flow aloft, can not rule out a few stray storms.
Not going to mention for now and see if the pieces can all fall
into place.

LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through Friday)

The latest model guidance further strengthens the upper ridge
over the forecast area through the end of next week, and positions
an upper low further east of the area than previously forecasted.
Will therefore maintain a dry forecast through the period with
afternoon highs in the mid to upper 90s, a few degrees warmer than
seasonal norms. Morning lows will generally be in the lower to mid
70s, near seasonal norms.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  73  97  72  97 /   5  10   5   5
San Angelo  71  97  71  96 /   0  10   5   5
Junction  69  94  70  94 /   0   5   5   5

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

25





000
FXUS64 KSJT 282303
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
603 PM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015

.AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

Mid/high clouds will increase tonight across the CWA as a
shortwave trough dives south into the southern Plains. A few
showers and/or thunderstorms will be possible across the Big
Country, mainly after midnight, but confidence remains low enough
to preclude mention in the forecast. Nonetheless, will show a
gradual decrease in cloud heights, dropping to around 10,000 ft by
Saturday. Expect winds to remain from a general southerly
direction at 10 kts or less. However, winds are forecast to veer
more westerly early Saturday at KABI. A few showers cannot be
ruled out early Saturday, but again, confidence remains quite low.

Johnson

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 334 PM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015/

SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Saturday)

Appears the quiet conditions will continue across West Central
Texas for tonight and Saturday. Upper level ridge has shifted to
the west, with north and northwest flow aloft across the area. Saw
an area of showers and storms develop across the South Plains and
Panhandle last night and make a run towards the northern Big
Country this morning. Similar situation may set up tonight, and
with that in mind have slipped in some slight chance PoPs into the
northern Big Country across Haskell and Throckmorton Counties.

Otherwise, not as hot on Saturday with 850mb temperatures dropping
slightly. Still, guidance looked a little too cool and stayed at
or a degree or two above guidance for highs. Kept Saturday dry
for now, but with slightly better low level moisture returning to
the area and with the possibility of a weak disturbance developing
in the northwest flow aloft, can not rule out a few stray storms.
Not going to mention for now and see if the pieces can all fall
into place.

LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through Friday)

The latest model guidance further strengthens the upper ridge
over the forecast area through the end of next week, and positions
an upper low further east of the area than previously forecasted.
Will therefore maintain a dry forecast through the period with
afternoon highs in the mid to upper 90s, a few degrees warmer than
seasonal norms. Morning lows will generally be in the lower to mid
70s, near seasonal norms.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  73  97  72  97 /   5  10   5   5
San Angelo  71  97  71  96 /   0  10   5   5
Junction  69  94  70  94 /   0   5   5   5

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

25




000
FXUS64 KSJT 282303
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
603 PM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015

.AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

Mid/high clouds will increase tonight across the CWA as a
shortwave trough dives south into the southern Plains. A few
showers and/or thunderstorms will be possible across the Big
Country, mainly after midnight, but confidence remains low enough
to preclude mention in the forecast. Nonetheless, will show a
gradual decrease in cloud heights, dropping to around 10,000 ft by
Saturday. Expect winds to remain from a general southerly
direction at 10 kts or less. However, winds are forecast to veer
more westerly early Saturday at KABI. A few showers cannot be
ruled out early Saturday, but again, confidence remains quite low.

Johnson

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 334 PM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015/

SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Saturday)

Appears the quiet conditions will continue across West Central
Texas for tonight and Saturday. Upper level ridge has shifted to
the west, with north and northwest flow aloft across the area. Saw
an area of showers and storms develop across the South Plains and
Panhandle last night and make a run towards the northern Big
Country this morning. Similar situation may set up tonight, and
with that in mind have slipped in some slight chance PoPs into the
northern Big Country across Haskell and Throckmorton Counties.

Otherwise, not as hot on Saturday with 850mb temperatures dropping
slightly. Still, guidance looked a little too cool and stayed at
or a degree or two above guidance for highs. Kept Saturday dry
for now, but with slightly better low level moisture returning to
the area and with the possibility of a weak disturbance developing
in the northwest flow aloft, can not rule out a few stray storms.
Not going to mention for now and see if the pieces can all fall
into place.

LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through Friday)

The latest model guidance further strengthens the upper ridge
over the forecast area through the end of next week, and positions
an upper low further east of the area than previously forecasted.
Will therefore maintain a dry forecast through the period with
afternoon highs in the mid to upper 90s, a few degrees warmer than
seasonal norms. Morning lows will generally be in the lower to mid
70s, near seasonal norms.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  73  97  72  97 /   5  10   5   5
San Angelo  71  97  71  96 /   0  10   5   5
Junction  69  94  70  94 /   0   5   5   5

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

25





000
FXUS64 KSJT 282034
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
334 PM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Saturday)

Appears the quiet conditions will continue across West Central Texas
for tonight and Saturday. Upper level ridge has shifted to the west,
with north and northwest flow aloft across the area. Saw an area of
showers and storms develop across the South Plains and Panhandle
last night and make a run towards the northern Big Country this
morning. Similar situation may set up tonight, and with that in mind
have slipped in some slight chance PoPs into the northern Big
Country across Haskell and Throckmorton Counties.

Otherwise, not as hot on Saturday with 850mb temperatures dropping
slightly. Still, guidance looked a little too cool and stayed at or
a degree or two above guidance for highs. Kept Saturday dry for now,
but with slightly better low level moisture returning to the area
and with the possibility of a weak disturbance developing in the
northwest flow aloft, can not rule out a few stray storms. Not going
to mention for now and see if the pieces can all fall into place.

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through Friday)

The latest model guidance further strengthens the upper ridge
over the forecast area through the end of next week, and positions
an upper low further east of the area than previously forecasted.
Will therefore maintain a dry forecast through the period with
afternoon highs in the mid to upper 90s, a few degrees warmer than
seasonal norms. Morning lows will generally be in the lower to mid
70s, near seasonal norms.

15

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  73  98  72  97 /   5  10   5   5
San Angelo  71  98  71  96 /   0   5   5   5
Junction  69  96  70  94 /   0   0   5   5

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KSJT 281725
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1225 PM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015

.AVIATION...
/18Z TAFS/

VFR conditions will continue across West Central Texas terminal
locations through Saturday morning. South winds around 10kts may
briefly gust over 15 kts during daylight hours.
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 601 AM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015/

AVIATION...
/12Z TAFS/

Look for VFR conditions to continue for the next 24 hours.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 337 AM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015/

SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)

Hot and Dry conditions will continue for another 24 hours. Highs
today mainly around 100 look likely, given slightly warmer 850mb
temperatures over West Central Texas this afternoon, as compared to
yesterday afternoon. Overnight lows tonight will be close to
persistence, mainly in the 70 to 75 range.

LONG TERM...
Saturday through Thursday)

Generally hot and dry conditions are forecast through the extended
forecast. A weak cold front is forecast to make it as far south as
the northern Big Country Saturday, with little to no impact on the
area, except for a brief wind shift to the north. At this time, any
convection associated with the front is forecast to remain north of
West Central Texas.

Models are in agreement on the synoptic pattern on Sunday, with an
upper level ridge across the Desert Southwest and an upper level low
across Alabama/Mississippi. The GFS drifts this upper level low
toward East Texas through the middle of next week, while the ECMWF
builds the ridge back toward Texas. For now, the forecast was kept
closer to the ECMWF with highs through the week mostly in the mid
90s, overnight lows in the 70s, and dry conditions.

Daniels

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene 100  73  98  72 /   5   5  10   5
San Angelo 101  71  98  71 /   5   0   5   5
Junction  98  69  96  70 /   5   0   0   5

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

07





000
FXUS64 KSJT 281725
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1225 PM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015

.AVIATION...
/18Z TAFS/

VFR conditions will continue across West Central Texas terminal
locations through Saturday morning. South winds around 10kts may
briefly gust over 15 kts during daylight hours.
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 601 AM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015/

AVIATION...
/12Z TAFS/

Look for VFR conditions to continue for the next 24 hours.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 337 AM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015/

SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)

Hot and Dry conditions will continue for another 24 hours. Highs
today mainly around 100 look likely, given slightly warmer 850mb
temperatures over West Central Texas this afternoon, as compared to
yesterday afternoon. Overnight lows tonight will be close to
persistence, mainly in the 70 to 75 range.

LONG TERM...
Saturday through Thursday)

Generally hot and dry conditions are forecast through the extended
forecast. A weak cold front is forecast to make it as far south as
the northern Big Country Saturday, with little to no impact on the
area, except for a brief wind shift to the north. At this time, any
convection associated with the front is forecast to remain north of
West Central Texas.

Models are in agreement on the synoptic pattern on Sunday, with an
upper level ridge across the Desert Southwest and an upper level low
across Alabama/Mississippi. The GFS drifts this upper level low
toward East Texas through the middle of next week, while the ECMWF
builds the ridge back toward Texas. For now, the forecast was kept
closer to the ECMWF with highs through the week mostly in the mid
90s, overnight lows in the 70s, and dry conditions.

Daniels

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene 100  73  98  72 /   5   5  10   5
San Angelo 101  71  98  71 /   5   0   5   5
Junction  98  69  96  70 /   5   0   0   5

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

07





000
FXUS64 KSJT 281725
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1225 PM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015

.AVIATION...
/18Z TAFS/

VFR conditions will continue across West Central Texas terminal
locations through Saturday morning. South winds around 10kts may
briefly gust over 15 kts during daylight hours.
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 601 AM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015/

AVIATION...
/12Z TAFS/

Look for VFR conditions to continue for the next 24 hours.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 337 AM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015/

SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)

Hot and Dry conditions will continue for another 24 hours. Highs
today mainly around 100 look likely, given slightly warmer 850mb
temperatures over West Central Texas this afternoon, as compared to
yesterday afternoon. Overnight lows tonight will be close to
persistence, mainly in the 70 to 75 range.

LONG TERM...
Saturday through Thursday)

Generally hot and dry conditions are forecast through the extended
forecast. A weak cold front is forecast to make it as far south as
the northern Big Country Saturday, with little to no impact on the
area, except for a brief wind shift to the north. At this time, any
convection associated with the front is forecast to remain north of
West Central Texas.

Models are in agreement on the synoptic pattern on Sunday, with an
upper level ridge across the Desert Southwest and an upper level low
across Alabama/Mississippi. The GFS drifts this upper level low
toward East Texas through the middle of next week, while the ECMWF
builds the ridge back toward Texas. For now, the forecast was kept
closer to the ECMWF with highs through the week mostly in the mid
90s, overnight lows in the 70s, and dry conditions.

Daniels

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene 100  73  98  72 /   5   5  10   5
San Angelo 101  71  98  71 /   5   0   5   5
Junction  98  69  96  70 /   5   0   0   5

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

07




000
FXUS64 KSJT 281725
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1225 PM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015

.AVIATION...
/18Z TAFS/

VFR conditions will continue across West Central Texas terminal
locations through Saturday morning. South winds around 10kts may
briefly gust over 15 kts during daylight hours.
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 601 AM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015/

AVIATION...
/12Z TAFS/

Look for VFR conditions to continue for the next 24 hours.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 337 AM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015/

SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)

Hot and Dry conditions will continue for another 24 hours. Highs
today mainly around 100 look likely, given slightly warmer 850mb
temperatures over West Central Texas this afternoon, as compared to
yesterday afternoon. Overnight lows tonight will be close to
persistence, mainly in the 70 to 75 range.

LONG TERM...
Saturday through Thursday)

Generally hot and dry conditions are forecast through the extended
forecast. A weak cold front is forecast to make it as far south as
the northern Big Country Saturday, with little to no impact on the
area, except for a brief wind shift to the north. At this time, any
convection associated with the front is forecast to remain north of
West Central Texas.

Models are in agreement on the synoptic pattern on Sunday, with an
upper level ridge across the Desert Southwest and an upper level low
across Alabama/Mississippi. The GFS drifts this upper level low
toward East Texas through the middle of next week, while the ECMWF
builds the ridge back toward Texas. For now, the forecast was kept
closer to the ECMWF with highs through the week mostly in the mid
90s, overnight lows in the 70s, and dry conditions.

Daniels

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene 100  73  98  72 /   5   5  10   5
San Angelo 101  71  98  71 /   5   0   5   5
Junction  98  69  96  70 /   5   0   0   5

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

07




000
FXUS64 KSJT 281101
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
601 AM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015

.AVIATION...
/12Z TAFS/

Look for VFR conditions to continue for the next 24 hours.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 337 AM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015/

SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)

Hot and Dry conditions will continue for another 24 hours. Highs
today mainly around 100 look likely, given slightly warmer 850mb
temperatures over West Central Texas this afternoon, as compared to
yesterday afternoon. Overnight lows tonight will be close to
persistence, mainly in the 70 to 75 range.

LONG TERM...
Saturday through Thursday)

Generally hot and dry conditions are forecast through the extended
forecast. A weak cold front is forecast to make it as far south as
the northern Big Country Saturday, with little to no impact on the
area, except for a brief wind shift to the north. At this time, any
convection associated with the front is forecast to remain north of
West Central Texas.

Models are in agreement on the synoptic pattern on Sunday, with an
upper level ridge across the Desert Southwest and an upper level low
across Alabama/Mississippi. The GFS drifts this upper level low
toward East Texas through the middle of next week, while the ECMWF
builds the ridge back toward Texas. For now, the forecast was kept
closer to the ECMWF with highs through the week mostly in the mid
90s, overnight lows in the 70s, and dry conditions.

Daniels

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene 100  73  98  72 /   5   5  10   5
San Angelo 101  71  98  71 /   5   0   5   5
Junction  98  69  96  70 /   5   0   0   5

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KSJT 281101
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
601 AM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015

.AVIATION...
/12Z TAFS/

Look for VFR conditions to continue for the next 24 hours.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 337 AM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015/

SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)

Hot and Dry conditions will continue for another 24 hours. Highs
today mainly around 100 look likely, given slightly warmer 850mb
temperatures over West Central Texas this afternoon, as compared to
yesterday afternoon. Overnight lows tonight will be close to
persistence, mainly in the 70 to 75 range.

LONG TERM...
Saturday through Thursday)

Generally hot and dry conditions are forecast through the extended
forecast. A weak cold front is forecast to make it as far south as
the northern Big Country Saturday, with little to no impact on the
area, except for a brief wind shift to the north. At this time, any
convection associated with the front is forecast to remain north of
West Central Texas.

Models are in agreement on the synoptic pattern on Sunday, with an
upper level ridge across the Desert Southwest and an upper level low
across Alabama/Mississippi. The GFS drifts this upper level low
toward East Texas through the middle of next week, while the ECMWF
builds the ridge back toward Texas. For now, the forecast was kept
closer to the ECMWF with highs through the week mostly in the mid
90s, overnight lows in the 70s, and dry conditions.

Daniels

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene 100  73  98  72 /   5   5  10   5
San Angelo 101  71  98  71 /   5   0   5   5
Junction  98  69  96  70 /   5   0   0   5

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KSJT 281101
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
601 AM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015

.AVIATION...
/12Z TAFS/

Look for VFR conditions to continue for the next 24 hours.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 337 AM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015/

SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)

Hot and Dry conditions will continue for another 24 hours. Highs
today mainly around 100 look likely, given slightly warmer 850mb
temperatures over West Central Texas this afternoon, as compared to
yesterday afternoon. Overnight lows tonight will be close to
persistence, mainly in the 70 to 75 range.

LONG TERM...
Saturday through Thursday)

Generally hot and dry conditions are forecast through the extended
forecast. A weak cold front is forecast to make it as far south as
the northern Big Country Saturday, with little to no impact on the
area, except for a brief wind shift to the north. At this time, any
convection associated with the front is forecast to remain north of
West Central Texas.

Models are in agreement on the synoptic pattern on Sunday, with an
upper level ridge across the Desert Southwest and an upper level low
across Alabama/Mississippi. The GFS drifts this upper level low
toward East Texas through the middle of next week, while the ECMWF
builds the ridge back toward Texas. For now, the forecast was kept
closer to the ECMWF with highs through the week mostly in the mid
90s, overnight lows in the 70s, and dry conditions.

Daniels

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene 100  73  98  72 /   5   5  10   5
San Angelo 101  71  98  71 /   5   0   5   5
Junction  98  69  96  70 /   5   0   0   5

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KSJT 281101
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
601 AM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015

.AVIATION...
/12Z TAFS/

Look for VFR conditions to continue for the next 24 hours.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 337 AM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015/

SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)

Hot and Dry conditions will continue for another 24 hours. Highs
today mainly around 100 look likely, given slightly warmer 850mb
temperatures over West Central Texas this afternoon, as compared to
yesterday afternoon. Overnight lows tonight will be close to
persistence, mainly in the 70 to 75 range.

LONG TERM...
Saturday through Thursday)

Generally hot and dry conditions are forecast through the extended
forecast. A weak cold front is forecast to make it as far south as
the northern Big Country Saturday, with little to no impact on the
area, except for a brief wind shift to the north. At this time, any
convection associated with the front is forecast to remain north of
West Central Texas.

Models are in agreement on the synoptic pattern on Sunday, with an
upper level ridge across the Desert Southwest and an upper level low
across Alabama/Mississippi. The GFS drifts this upper level low
toward East Texas through the middle of next week, while the ECMWF
builds the ridge back toward Texas. For now, the forecast was kept
closer to the ECMWF with highs through the week mostly in the mid
90s, overnight lows in the 70s, and dry conditions.

Daniels

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene 100  73  98  72 /   5   5  10   5
San Angelo 101  71  98  71 /   5   0   5   5
Junction  98  69  96  70 /   5   0   0   5

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KSJT 280837
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
337 AM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)

Hot and Dry conditions will continue for another 24 hours. Highs
today mainly around 100 look likely, given slightly warmer 850mb
temperatures over West Central Texas this afternoon, as compared to
yesterday afternoon. Overnight lows tonight will be close to
persistence, mainly in the 70 to 75 range.

.LONG TERM...
Saturday through Thursday)

Generally hot and dry conditions are forecast through the extended
forecast. A weak cold front is forecast to make it as far south as
the northern Big Country Saturday, with little to no impact on the
area, except for a brief wind shift to the north. At this time, any
convection associated with the front is forecast to remain north of
West Central Texas.

Models are in agreement on the synoptic pattern on Sunday, with an
upper level ridge across the Desert Southwest and an upper level low
across Alabama/Mississippi. The GFS drifts this upper level low
toward East Texas through the middle of next week, while the ECMWF
builds the ridge back toward Texas. For now, the forecast was kept
closer to the ECMWF with highs through the week mostly in the mid
90s, overnight lows in the 70s, and dry conditions.

Daniels

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene 100  73  98  72 /   5   5  10   5
San Angelo 101  71  98  71 /   5   0   5   5
Junction  98  69  96  70 /   5   0   0   5

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

Huber/Daniels




000
FXUS64 KSJT 280837
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
337 AM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)

Hot and Dry conditions will continue for another 24 hours. Highs
today mainly around 100 look likely, given slightly warmer 850mb
temperatures over West Central Texas this afternoon, as compared to
yesterday afternoon. Overnight lows tonight will be close to
persistence, mainly in the 70 to 75 range.

.LONG TERM...
Saturday through Thursday)

Generally hot and dry conditions are forecast through the extended
forecast. A weak cold front is forecast to make it as far south as
the northern Big Country Saturday, with little to no impact on the
area, except for a brief wind shift to the north. At this time, any
convection associated with the front is forecast to remain north of
West Central Texas.

Models are in agreement on the synoptic pattern on Sunday, with an
upper level ridge across the Desert Southwest and an upper level low
across Alabama/Mississippi. The GFS drifts this upper level low
toward East Texas through the middle of next week, while the ECMWF
builds the ridge back toward Texas. For now, the forecast was kept
closer to the ECMWF with highs through the week mostly in the mid
90s, overnight lows in the 70s, and dry conditions.

Daniels

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene 100  73  98  72 /   5   5  10   5
San Angelo 101  71  98  71 /   5   0   5   5
Junction  98  69  96  70 /   5   0   0   5

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

Huber/Daniels





000
FXUS64 KSJT 280445
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1145 PM CDT THU AUG 27 2015

.AVIATION...
/06Z TAFS/

VFR conditions through the next 24 hours. Light southeasterly or
variable winds tonight will become south/southwest tomorrow
morning. Could see a few gusts between 15 and 20 knots by late
morning through the afternoon. Winds will diminish around 00Z
tomorrow evening. Expect only some scattered upper level clouds
along with a few Cu during afternoon heating.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 718 PM CDT THU AUG 27 2015/

AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

VFR conditions through the next 24 hours.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 330 PM CDT THU AUG 27 2015/

SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Friday)

Quiet weather for the next 24 hours, as the hot and dry conditions
continue. Dewpoints have not fallen off quite as much as expected
this afternoon, although starting to see some dewpoints in the 50s
now for most locations. Can`t absolutely rule out a stray shower or
storm into the evening hours, but odds with the reduced low level
moisture look very small. Will not mention in the forecast at this
point. Overnight lows in the upper 60s and lower 70s areawide once
again. More of the same for tomorrow with models again suggesting
dewpoints will drop into the 50s once again. Drier air mass allows
temperatures to warm again, with highs in the upper 90s to just
above 100 degrees.

LONG TERM...
(Friday night through Thursday)

West Central Texas will remain under the influence of an upper
ridge through the coming week with the continuation of a dry
forecast. Temperatures will generally be close to seasonal norms
with afternoon highs in the mid 90s under partly to mostly sunny
skies, and morning lows in the lower 70s under partly to mostly
clear skies.

15

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  72 100  73  96 /   0   5   5  10
San Angelo  70 101  71  96 /   0   5   0   5
Junction  69  99  69  95 /   0   5   0   5

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KSJT 280445
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1145 PM CDT THU AUG 27 2015

.AVIATION...
/06Z TAFS/

VFR conditions through the next 24 hours. Light southeasterly or
variable winds tonight will become south/southwest tomorrow
morning. Could see a few gusts between 15 and 20 knots by late
morning through the afternoon. Winds will diminish around 00Z
tomorrow evening. Expect only some scattered upper level clouds
along with a few Cu during afternoon heating.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 718 PM CDT THU AUG 27 2015/

AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

VFR conditions through the next 24 hours.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 330 PM CDT THU AUG 27 2015/

SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Friday)

Quiet weather for the next 24 hours, as the hot and dry conditions
continue. Dewpoints have not fallen off quite as much as expected
this afternoon, although starting to see some dewpoints in the 50s
now for most locations. Can`t absolutely rule out a stray shower or
storm into the evening hours, but odds with the reduced low level
moisture look very small. Will not mention in the forecast at this
point. Overnight lows in the upper 60s and lower 70s areawide once
again. More of the same for tomorrow with models again suggesting
dewpoints will drop into the 50s once again. Drier air mass allows
temperatures to warm again, with highs in the upper 90s to just
above 100 degrees.

LONG TERM...
(Friday night through Thursday)

West Central Texas will remain under the influence of an upper
ridge through the coming week with the continuation of a dry
forecast. Temperatures will generally be close to seasonal norms
with afternoon highs in the mid 90s under partly to mostly sunny
skies, and morning lows in the lower 70s under partly to mostly
clear skies.

15

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  72 100  73  96 /   0   5   5  10
San Angelo  70 101  71  96 /   0   5   0   5
Junction  69  99  69  95 /   0   5   0   5

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KSJT 280445
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1145 PM CDT THU AUG 27 2015

.AVIATION...
/06Z TAFS/

VFR conditions through the next 24 hours. Light southeasterly or
variable winds tonight will become south/southwest tomorrow
morning. Could see a few gusts between 15 and 20 knots by late
morning through the afternoon. Winds will diminish around 00Z
tomorrow evening. Expect only some scattered upper level clouds
along with a few Cu during afternoon heating.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 718 PM CDT THU AUG 27 2015/

AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

VFR conditions through the next 24 hours.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 330 PM CDT THU AUG 27 2015/

SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Friday)

Quiet weather for the next 24 hours, as the hot and dry conditions
continue. Dewpoints have not fallen off quite as much as expected
this afternoon, although starting to see some dewpoints in the 50s
now for most locations. Can`t absolutely rule out a stray shower or
storm into the evening hours, but odds with the reduced low level
moisture look very small. Will not mention in the forecast at this
point. Overnight lows in the upper 60s and lower 70s areawide once
again. More of the same for tomorrow with models again suggesting
dewpoints will drop into the 50s once again. Drier air mass allows
temperatures to warm again, with highs in the upper 90s to just
above 100 degrees.

LONG TERM...
(Friday night through Thursday)

West Central Texas will remain under the influence of an upper
ridge through the coming week with the continuation of a dry
forecast. Temperatures will generally be close to seasonal norms
with afternoon highs in the mid 90s under partly to mostly sunny
skies, and morning lows in the lower 70s under partly to mostly
clear skies.

15

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  72 100  73  96 /   0   5   5  10
San Angelo  70 101  71  96 /   0   5   0   5
Junction  69  99  69  95 /   0   5   0   5

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KSJT 280445
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1145 PM CDT THU AUG 27 2015

.AVIATION...
/06Z TAFS/

VFR conditions through the next 24 hours. Light southeasterly or
variable winds tonight will become south/southwest tomorrow
morning. Could see a few gusts between 15 and 20 knots by late
morning through the afternoon. Winds will diminish around 00Z
tomorrow evening. Expect only some scattered upper level clouds
along with a few Cu during afternoon heating.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 718 PM CDT THU AUG 27 2015/

AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

VFR conditions through the next 24 hours.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 330 PM CDT THU AUG 27 2015/

SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Friday)

Quiet weather for the next 24 hours, as the hot and dry conditions
continue. Dewpoints have not fallen off quite as much as expected
this afternoon, although starting to see some dewpoints in the 50s
now for most locations. Can`t absolutely rule out a stray shower or
storm into the evening hours, but odds with the reduced low level
moisture look very small. Will not mention in the forecast at this
point. Overnight lows in the upper 60s and lower 70s areawide once
again. More of the same for tomorrow with models again suggesting
dewpoints will drop into the 50s once again. Drier air mass allows
temperatures to warm again, with highs in the upper 90s to just
above 100 degrees.

LONG TERM...
(Friday night through Thursday)

West Central Texas will remain under the influence of an upper
ridge through the coming week with the continuation of a dry
forecast. Temperatures will generally be close to seasonal norms
with afternoon highs in the mid 90s under partly to mostly sunny
skies, and morning lows in the lower 70s under partly to mostly
clear skies.

15

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  72 100  73  96 /   0   5   5  10
San Angelo  70 101  71  96 /   0   5   0   5
Junction  69  99  69  95 /   0   5   0   5

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KSJT 280018
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
718 PM CDT THU AUG 27 2015

.AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

VFR conditions through the next 24 hours.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 330 PM CDT THU AUG 27 2015/

SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Friday)

Quiet weather for the next 24 hours, as the hot and dry conditions
continue. Dewpoints have not fallen off quite as much as expected
this afternoon, although starting to see some dewpoints in the 50s
now for most locations. Can`t absolutely rule out a stray shower or
storm into the evening hours, but odds with the reduced low level
moisture look very small. Will not mention in the forecast at this
point. Overnight lows in the upper 60s and lower 70s areawide once
again. More of the same for tomorrow with models again suggesting
dewpoints will drop into the 50s once again. Drier air mass allows
temperatures to warm again, with highs in the upper 90s to just
above 100 degrees.

LONG TERM...
(Friday night through Thursday)

West Central Texas will remain under the influence of an upper
ridge through the coming week with the continuation of a dry
forecast. Temperatures will generally be close to seasonal norms
with afternoon highs in the mid 90s under partly to mostly sunny
skies, and morning lows in the lower 70s under partly to mostly
clear skies.

15

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  72 100  73  96 /   0   5   5  10
San Angelo  70 101  71  96 /   0   5   0   5
Junction  69  99  69  95 /   0   5   0   5

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KSJT 280018
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
718 PM CDT THU AUG 27 2015

.AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

VFR conditions through the next 24 hours.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 330 PM CDT THU AUG 27 2015/

SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Friday)

Quiet weather for the next 24 hours, as the hot and dry conditions
continue. Dewpoints have not fallen off quite as much as expected
this afternoon, although starting to see some dewpoints in the 50s
now for most locations. Can`t absolutely rule out a stray shower or
storm into the evening hours, but odds with the reduced low level
moisture look very small. Will not mention in the forecast at this
point. Overnight lows in the upper 60s and lower 70s areawide once
again. More of the same for tomorrow with models again suggesting
dewpoints will drop into the 50s once again. Drier air mass allows
temperatures to warm again, with highs in the upper 90s to just
above 100 degrees.

LONG TERM...
(Friday night through Thursday)

West Central Texas will remain under the influence of an upper
ridge through the coming week with the continuation of a dry
forecast. Temperatures will generally be close to seasonal norms
with afternoon highs in the mid 90s under partly to mostly sunny
skies, and morning lows in the lower 70s under partly to mostly
clear skies.

15

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  72 100  73  96 /   0   5   5  10
San Angelo  70 101  71  96 /   0   5   0   5
Junction  69  99  69  95 /   0   5   0   5

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KSJT 280018
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
718 PM CDT THU AUG 27 2015

.AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

VFR conditions through the next 24 hours.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 330 PM CDT THU AUG 27 2015/

SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Friday)

Quiet weather for the next 24 hours, as the hot and dry conditions
continue. Dewpoints have not fallen off quite as much as expected
this afternoon, although starting to see some dewpoints in the 50s
now for most locations. Can`t absolutely rule out a stray shower or
storm into the evening hours, but odds with the reduced low level
moisture look very small. Will not mention in the forecast at this
point. Overnight lows in the upper 60s and lower 70s areawide once
again. More of the same for tomorrow with models again suggesting
dewpoints will drop into the 50s once again. Drier air mass allows
temperatures to warm again, with highs in the upper 90s to just
above 100 degrees.

LONG TERM...
(Friday night through Thursday)

West Central Texas will remain under the influence of an upper
ridge through the coming week with the continuation of a dry
forecast. Temperatures will generally be close to seasonal norms
with afternoon highs in the mid 90s under partly to mostly sunny
skies, and morning lows in the lower 70s under partly to mostly
clear skies.

15

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  72 100  73  96 /   0   5   5  10
San Angelo  70 101  71  96 /   0   5   0   5
Junction  69  99  69  95 /   0   5   0   5

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KSJT 280018
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
718 PM CDT THU AUG 27 2015

.AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

VFR conditions through the next 24 hours.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 330 PM CDT THU AUG 27 2015/

SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Friday)

Quiet weather for the next 24 hours, as the hot and dry conditions
continue. Dewpoints have not fallen off quite as much as expected
this afternoon, although starting to see some dewpoints in the 50s
now for most locations. Can`t absolutely rule out a stray shower or
storm into the evening hours, but odds with the reduced low level
moisture look very small. Will not mention in the forecast at this
point. Overnight lows in the upper 60s and lower 70s areawide once
again. More of the same for tomorrow with models again suggesting
dewpoints will drop into the 50s once again. Drier air mass allows
temperatures to warm again, with highs in the upper 90s to just
above 100 degrees.

LONG TERM...
(Friday night through Thursday)

West Central Texas will remain under the influence of an upper
ridge through the coming week with the continuation of a dry
forecast. Temperatures will generally be close to seasonal norms
with afternoon highs in the mid 90s under partly to mostly sunny
skies, and morning lows in the lower 70s under partly to mostly
clear skies.

15

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  72 100  73  96 /   0   5   5  10
San Angelo  70 101  71  96 /   0   5   0   5
Junction  69  99  69  95 /   0   5   0   5

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$





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