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000
FXUS64 KSJT 070500
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SAN ANGELO TX
1100 PM CST SAT FEB 6 2016

.AVIATION...
/06Z TAFS/

Light and variable winds overnight will becomes southwest and
increase to 8 to 12 knots late Sunday morning. A cold front will
move through the TAF sites during the late afternoon/early evening
hours resulting in north winds of 6 to 12 knots. VFR conditions
will prevail through the next 24 hours.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 514 PM CST SAT FEB 6 2016/

AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

Northwest winds of 5 to 10 knots will become light and variable
after 00z. Wind will become southwest late Sunday morning and
increase to 6 to 12 knots. A cold front will approach KABI and
KSJT between 20z and 22z, resulting in northwest winds of 6 to 12
knots. VFR conditions will prevail through the next 24 hours.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 340 PM CST SAT FEB 6 2016/

SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Sunday)

Satellite loops show an upper level low dropping southeast across
East Texas this afternoon. Cloud shield on the west side almost made
it as far west as the Heartland, but stopped short and left sunny
skies across all of West Central Texas. Weak cold front has cleared
the area, with dry northwest and northerly flow prevailing. Surface
high will slide across the area tonight, and although winds will try
to return to the south late tonight, it will be a good radiational
cooling set up. With the dry air mass in place, went with the colder
guidance numbers for Sunday morning low temperatures, especially in
our normal cold air drainage locations. South winds return tomorrow
and will lead to slightly warmer temperatures. Again, given the very
dry air mass in place and the wide diurnal swings we have seen,
going with the warmer guidance numbers for highs on Sunday afternoon.

LONG TERM...
(Sunday Night through next Saturday)

Dry weather is expected to continue for our area next week, with
fairly large diurnal temperature ranges. The flow pattern aloft
will be amplified over the CONUS early in the week with a strong
upper ridge over the western states, and an upper low over
Michigan with a deep trough extending south to the eastern part of
the the Gulf Coast.

Surface cold front will push south of our area Sunday night.
Somewhat gusty north-northeast winds are expected to follow passage
of this cold front, given the surface pressure rise field behind it.
Temperatures on Monday will be cooler with highs in the mid to upper
50s. Clear and cold conditions will occur Monday night with strong
radiational cooling, as surface high pressure settles south across
our area with light winds and rather dry air. A warmup will ensue
Tuesday as light winds become southwest and the airmass quickly
moderates.

The flow pattern aloft over the CONUS will be less amplified during
the latter half of next week. The western US ridge is progged to
weaken and shift east into Texas during the middle of the week.
High temperatures are expected to be well-above average Wednesday,
with increased south-southwest winds. A cold front is progged to
move south into our far northern counties on Thursday. With low-
level thermal ridging pattern indicated ahead of this front and full
sunshine anticipated, highs on Thursday are expected to be in the 75-
80 degree range. The cold front is progged to push south across the
rest of our area Thursday night and early Friday. Following the cold
frontal passage, have some uncertainty on how much cooler
temperatures will be Friday into Saturday.  Given the forecast
strength of the surface high over the Midwest with a ridge extension
southwest into Texas, temperatures may need to be adjusted down a
few degrees from what we currently have in the forecast.

FIRE WEATHER...
Elevated fire weather conditions will continue through much of
next week. With no rain in site and dry northwest flow...afternoon
humidity values will drop to near or below 20 percent for most
locations through Thursday. Wind speeds will not likely approach
critical values...but 20 foot winds in the 10 to 15 mph range will
be possible again on Sunday afternoon...and again on Monday and
Thursday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  30  66  33  58 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  26  71  32  58 /   0   0   0   0
Junction  24  68  34  59 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

Daniels




000
FXUS64 KSJT 070500
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SAN ANGELO TX
1100 PM CST SAT FEB 6 2016

.AVIATION...
/06Z TAFS/

Light and variable winds overnight will becomes southwest and
increase to 8 to 12 knots late Sunday morning. A cold front will
move through the TAF sites during the late afternoon/early evening
hours resulting in north winds of 6 to 12 knots. VFR conditions
will prevail through the next 24 hours.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 514 PM CST SAT FEB 6 2016/

AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

Northwest winds of 5 to 10 knots will become light and variable
after 00z. Wind will become southwest late Sunday morning and
increase to 6 to 12 knots. A cold front will approach KABI and
KSJT between 20z and 22z, resulting in northwest winds of 6 to 12
knots. VFR conditions will prevail through the next 24 hours.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 340 PM CST SAT FEB 6 2016/

SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Sunday)

Satellite loops show an upper level low dropping southeast across
East Texas this afternoon. Cloud shield on the west side almost made
it as far west as the Heartland, but stopped short and left sunny
skies across all of West Central Texas. Weak cold front has cleared
the area, with dry northwest and northerly flow prevailing. Surface
high will slide across the area tonight, and although winds will try
to return to the south late tonight, it will be a good radiational
cooling set up. With the dry air mass in place, went with the colder
guidance numbers for Sunday morning low temperatures, especially in
our normal cold air drainage locations. South winds return tomorrow
and will lead to slightly warmer temperatures. Again, given the very
dry air mass in place and the wide diurnal swings we have seen,
going with the warmer guidance numbers for highs on Sunday afternoon.

LONG TERM...
(Sunday Night through next Saturday)

Dry weather is expected to continue for our area next week, with
fairly large diurnal temperature ranges. The flow pattern aloft
will be amplified over the CONUS early in the week with a strong
upper ridge over the western states, and an upper low over
Michigan with a deep trough extending south to the eastern part of
the the Gulf Coast.

Surface cold front will push south of our area Sunday night.
Somewhat gusty north-northeast winds are expected to follow passage
of this cold front, given the surface pressure rise field behind it.
Temperatures on Monday will be cooler with highs in the mid to upper
50s. Clear and cold conditions will occur Monday night with strong
radiational cooling, as surface high pressure settles south across
our area with light winds and rather dry air. A warmup will ensue
Tuesday as light winds become southwest and the airmass quickly
moderates.

The flow pattern aloft over the CONUS will be less amplified during
the latter half of next week. The western US ridge is progged to
weaken and shift east into Texas during the middle of the week.
High temperatures are expected to be well-above average Wednesday,
with increased south-southwest winds. A cold front is progged to
move south into our far northern counties on Thursday. With low-
level thermal ridging pattern indicated ahead of this front and full
sunshine anticipated, highs on Thursday are expected to be in the 75-
80 degree range. The cold front is progged to push south across the
rest of our area Thursday night and early Friday. Following the cold
frontal passage, have some uncertainty on how much cooler
temperatures will be Friday into Saturday.  Given the forecast
strength of the surface high over the Midwest with a ridge extension
southwest into Texas, temperatures may need to be adjusted down a
few degrees from what we currently have in the forecast.

FIRE WEATHER...
Elevated fire weather conditions will continue through much of
next week. With no rain in site and dry northwest flow...afternoon
humidity values will drop to near or below 20 percent for most
locations through Thursday. Wind speeds will not likely approach
critical values...but 20 foot winds in the 10 to 15 mph range will
be possible again on Sunday afternoon...and again on Monday and
Thursday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  30  66  33  58 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  26  71  32  58 /   0   0   0   0
Junction  24  68  34  59 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

Daniels





000
FXUS64 KSJT 062314
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SAN ANGELO TX
514 PM CST SAT FEB 6 2016


.AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

Northwest winds of 5 to 10 knots will become light and variable
after 00z. Wind will become southwest late Sunday morning and
increase to 6 to 12 knots. A cold front will approach KABI and
KSJT between 20z and 22z, resulting in northwest winds of 6 to 12
knots. VFR conditions will prevail through the next 24 hours.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 340 PM CST SAT FEB 6 2016/

SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Sunday)

Satellite loops show an upper level low dropping southeast across
East Texas this afternoon. Cloud shield on the west side almost made
it as far west as the Heartland, but stopped short and left sunny
skies across all of West Central Texas. Weak cold front has cleared
the area, with dry northwest and northerly flow prevailing. Surface
high will slide across the area tonight, and although winds will try
to return to the south late tonight, it will be a good radiational
cooling set up. With the dry air mass in place, went with the colder
guidance numbers for Sunday morning low temperatures, especially in
our normal cold air drainage locations. South winds return tomorrow
and will lead to slightly warmer temperatures. Again, given the very
dry air mass in place and the wide diurnal swings we have seen,
going with the warmer guidance numbers for highs on Sunday afternoon.

LONG TERM...
(Sunday Night through next Saturday)

Dry weather is expected to continue for our area next week, with
fairly large diurnal temperature ranges. The flow pattern aloft
will be amplified over the CONUS early in the week with a strong
upper ridge over the western states, and an upper low over
Michigan with a deep trough extending south to the eastern part of
the the Gulf Coast.

Surface cold front will push south of our area Sunday night.
Somewhat gusty north-northeast winds are expected to follow passage
of this cold front, given the surface pressure rise field behind it.
Temperatures on Monday will be cooler with highs in the mid to upper
50s. Clear and cold conditions will occur Monday night with strong
radiational cooling, as surface high pressure settles south across
our area with light winds and rather dry air. A warmup will ensue
Tuesday as light winds become southwest and the airmass quickly
moderates.

The flow pattern aloft over the CONUS will be less amplified during
the latter half of next week. The western US ridge is progged to
weaken and shift east into Texas during the middle of the week.
High temperatures are expected to be well-above average Wednesday,
with increased south-southwest winds. A cold front is progged to
move south into our far northern counties on Thursday. With low-
level thermal ridging pattern indicated ahead of this front and full
sunshine anticipated, highs on Thursday are expected to be in the 75-
80 degree range. The cold front is progged to push south across the
rest of our area Thursday night and early Friday. Following the cold
frontal passage, have some uncertainty on how much cooler
temperatures will be Friday into Saturday.  Given the forecast
strength of the surface high over the Midwest with a ridge extension
southwest into Texas, temperatures may need to be adjusted down a
few degrees from what we currently have in the forecast.

FIRE WEATHER...
Elevated fire weather conditions will continue through much of
next week. With no rain in site and dry northwest flow...afternoon
humidity values will drop to near or below 20 percent for most
locations through Thursday. Wind speeds will not likely approach
critical values...but 20 foot winds in the 10 to 15 mph range will
be possible again on Sunday afternoon...and again on Monday and
Thursday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  30  66  33  58 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  27  71  32  58 /   0   0   0   0
Junction  24  68  34  59 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

Daniels





000
FXUS64 KSJT 062314
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SAN ANGELO TX
514 PM CST SAT FEB 6 2016


.AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

Northwest winds of 5 to 10 knots will become light and variable
after 00z. Wind will become southwest late Sunday morning and
increase to 6 to 12 knots. A cold front will approach KABI and
KSJT between 20z and 22z, resulting in northwest winds of 6 to 12
knots. VFR conditions will prevail through the next 24 hours.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 340 PM CST SAT FEB 6 2016/

SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Sunday)

Satellite loops show an upper level low dropping southeast across
East Texas this afternoon. Cloud shield on the west side almost made
it as far west as the Heartland, but stopped short and left sunny
skies across all of West Central Texas. Weak cold front has cleared
the area, with dry northwest and northerly flow prevailing. Surface
high will slide across the area tonight, and although winds will try
to return to the south late tonight, it will be a good radiational
cooling set up. With the dry air mass in place, went with the colder
guidance numbers for Sunday morning low temperatures, especially in
our normal cold air drainage locations. South winds return tomorrow
and will lead to slightly warmer temperatures. Again, given the very
dry air mass in place and the wide diurnal swings we have seen,
going with the warmer guidance numbers for highs on Sunday afternoon.

LONG TERM...
(Sunday Night through next Saturday)

Dry weather is expected to continue for our area next week, with
fairly large diurnal temperature ranges. The flow pattern aloft
will be amplified over the CONUS early in the week with a strong
upper ridge over the western states, and an upper low over
Michigan with a deep trough extending south to the eastern part of
the the Gulf Coast.

Surface cold front will push south of our area Sunday night.
Somewhat gusty north-northeast winds are expected to follow passage
of this cold front, given the surface pressure rise field behind it.
Temperatures on Monday will be cooler with highs in the mid to upper
50s. Clear and cold conditions will occur Monday night with strong
radiational cooling, as surface high pressure settles south across
our area with light winds and rather dry air. A warmup will ensue
Tuesday as light winds become southwest and the airmass quickly
moderates.

The flow pattern aloft over the CONUS will be less amplified during
the latter half of next week. The western US ridge is progged to
weaken and shift east into Texas during the middle of the week.
High temperatures are expected to be well-above average Wednesday,
with increased south-southwest winds. A cold front is progged to
move south into our far northern counties on Thursday. With low-
level thermal ridging pattern indicated ahead of this front and full
sunshine anticipated, highs on Thursday are expected to be in the 75-
80 degree range. The cold front is progged to push south across the
rest of our area Thursday night and early Friday. Following the cold
frontal passage, have some uncertainty on how much cooler
temperatures will be Friday into Saturday.  Given the forecast
strength of the surface high over the Midwest with a ridge extension
southwest into Texas, temperatures may need to be adjusted down a
few degrees from what we currently have in the forecast.

FIRE WEATHER...
Elevated fire weather conditions will continue through much of
next week. With no rain in site and dry northwest flow...afternoon
humidity values will drop to near or below 20 percent for most
locations through Thursday. Wind speeds will not likely approach
critical values...but 20 foot winds in the 10 to 15 mph range will
be possible again on Sunday afternoon...and again on Monday and
Thursday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  30  66  33  58 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  27  71  32  58 /   0   0   0   0
Junction  24  68  34  59 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

Daniels




000
FXUS64 KSJT 062314
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SAN ANGELO TX
514 PM CST SAT FEB 6 2016


.AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

Northwest winds of 5 to 10 knots will become light and variable
after 00z. Wind will become southwest late Sunday morning and
increase to 6 to 12 knots. A cold front will approach KABI and
KSJT between 20z and 22z, resulting in northwest winds of 6 to 12
knots. VFR conditions will prevail through the next 24 hours.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 340 PM CST SAT FEB 6 2016/

SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Sunday)

Satellite loops show an upper level low dropping southeast across
East Texas this afternoon. Cloud shield on the west side almost made
it as far west as the Heartland, but stopped short and left sunny
skies across all of West Central Texas. Weak cold front has cleared
the area, with dry northwest and northerly flow prevailing. Surface
high will slide across the area tonight, and although winds will try
to return to the south late tonight, it will be a good radiational
cooling set up. With the dry air mass in place, went with the colder
guidance numbers for Sunday morning low temperatures, especially in
our normal cold air drainage locations. South winds return tomorrow
and will lead to slightly warmer temperatures. Again, given the very
dry air mass in place and the wide diurnal swings we have seen,
going with the warmer guidance numbers for highs on Sunday afternoon.

LONG TERM...
(Sunday Night through next Saturday)

Dry weather is expected to continue for our area next week, with
fairly large diurnal temperature ranges. The flow pattern aloft
will be amplified over the CONUS early in the week with a strong
upper ridge over the western states, and an upper low over
Michigan with a deep trough extending south to the eastern part of
the the Gulf Coast.

Surface cold front will push south of our area Sunday night.
Somewhat gusty north-northeast winds are expected to follow passage
of this cold front, given the surface pressure rise field behind it.
Temperatures on Monday will be cooler with highs in the mid to upper
50s. Clear and cold conditions will occur Monday night with strong
radiational cooling, as surface high pressure settles south across
our area with light winds and rather dry air. A warmup will ensue
Tuesday as light winds become southwest and the airmass quickly
moderates.

The flow pattern aloft over the CONUS will be less amplified during
the latter half of next week. The western US ridge is progged to
weaken and shift east into Texas during the middle of the week.
High temperatures are expected to be well-above average Wednesday,
with increased south-southwest winds. A cold front is progged to
move south into our far northern counties on Thursday. With low-
level thermal ridging pattern indicated ahead of this front and full
sunshine anticipated, highs on Thursday are expected to be in the 75-
80 degree range. The cold front is progged to push south across the
rest of our area Thursday night and early Friday. Following the cold
frontal passage, have some uncertainty on how much cooler
temperatures will be Friday into Saturday.  Given the forecast
strength of the surface high over the Midwest with a ridge extension
southwest into Texas, temperatures may need to be adjusted down a
few degrees from what we currently have in the forecast.

FIRE WEATHER...
Elevated fire weather conditions will continue through much of
next week. With no rain in site and dry northwest flow...afternoon
humidity values will drop to near or below 20 percent for most
locations through Thursday. Wind speeds will not likely approach
critical values...but 20 foot winds in the 10 to 15 mph range will
be possible again on Sunday afternoon...and again on Monday and
Thursday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  30  66  33  58 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  27  71  32  58 /   0   0   0   0
Junction  24  68  34  59 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

Daniels





000
FXUS64 KSJT 062140
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SAN ANGELO TX
340 PM CST SAT FEB 6 2016

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Sunday)

Satellite loops show an upper level low dropping southeast across
East Texas this afternoon. Cloud shield on the west side almost made
it as far west as the Heartland, but stopped short and left sunny
skies across all of West Central Texas. Weak cold front has cleared
the area, with dry northwest and northerly flow prevailing. Surface
high will slide across the area tonight, and although winds will try
to return to the south late tonight, it will be a good radiational
cooling set up. With the dry air mass in place, went with the colder
guidance numbers for Sunday morning low temperatures, especially in
our normal cold air drainage locations. South winds return tomorrow
and will lead to slightly warmer temperatures. Again, given the very
dry air mass in place and the wide diurnal swings we have seen,
going with the warmer guidance numbers for highs on Sunday afternoon.

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday Night through next Saturday)

Dry weather is expected to continue for our area next week, with
fairly large diurnal temperature ranges. The flow pattern aloft
will be amplified over the CONUS early in the week with a strong
upper ridge over the western states, and an upper low over
Michigan with a deep trough extending south to the eastern part of
the the Gulf Coast.

Surface cold front will push south of our area Sunday night.
Somewhat gusty north-northeast winds are expected to follow passage
of this cold front, given the surface pressure rise field behind it.
Temperatures on Monday will be cooler with highs in the mid to upper
50s. Clear and cold conditions will occur Monday night with strong
radiational cooling, as surface high pressure settles south across
our area with light winds and rather dry air. A warmup will ensue
Tuesday as light winds become southwest and the airmass quickly
moderates.

The flow pattern aloft over the CONUS will be less amplified during
the latter half of next week. The western US ridge is progged to
weaken and shift east into Texas during the middle of the week.
High temperatures are expected to be well-above average Wednesday,
with increased south-southwest winds. A cold front is progged to
move south into our far northern counties on Thursday. With low-
level thermal ridging pattern indicated ahead of this front and full
sunshine anticipated, highs on Thursday are expected to be in the 75-
80 degree range. The cold front is progged to push south across the
rest of our area Thursday night and early Friday. Following the cold
frontal passage, have some uncertainty on how much cooler
temperatures will be Friday into Saturday.  Given the forecast
strength of the surface high over the Midwest with a ridge extension
southwest into Texas, temperatures may need to be adjusted down a
few degrees from what we currently have in the forecast.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Elevated fire weather conditions will continue through much of
next week. With no rain in site and dry northwest flow...afternoon
humidity values will drop to near or below 20 percent for most
locations through Thursday. Wind speeds will not likely approach
critical values...but 20 foot winds in the 10 to 15 mph range will
be possible again on Sunday afternoon...and again on Monday and
Thursday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  30  66  33  58 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  27  71  32  58 /   0   0   0   0
Junction  24  68  34  59 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

Short Term and Fire Weather: 07
Long Term: 19





000
FXUS64 KSJT 061721
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SAN ANGELO TX
1121 AM CST SAT FEB 6 2016

.AVIATION...
/12Z TAFS/

VFR conditions will continue across West Central Texas through the
period. Northwest winds of 10 to 15kts will diminish through the
afternoon hours, becoming light and variable after sunset.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 526 AM CST SAT FEB 6 2016/

AVIATION...
/12Z TAFS/

Look for VFR conditions to continue for the next 24 hours. Winds
at 10 to 15 knots...from the west to northwest...today will
become variable at 6 knots or less tonight.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 335 AM CST SAT FEB 6 2016/

SHORT TERM...
(Today and Tonight)

.Elevated Fire Weather Conditions Again This Afternoon...

As another cold front continues to move south across Texas, expect
gusty winds from the northwest and elevated fire weather conditions
this afternoon. Although winds will be mainly in the 10 to 15 mph
range, afternoon relative humidity will range from the upper teens
to around 20. This will create conditions where any fire may be
difficult to control. Otherwise, look for another beautiful 24 hours
across West Central Texas, with highs today close to seasonal
normals and lows tonight from the upper 20s to the mid 30s.

LONG TERM...
(Sunday through Friday)

With upper level high pressure dominating the western CONUS
through the long term, our flow aloft will remain northwesterly.
Afternoon temperatures in the lower to upper 60s Sunday will cool
to the upper 50s on Monday in the wake of a cold front Sunday
night. A warmup on Tuesday will see afternoon highs in the 60s
with afternoon highs warming back into the 70s Wednesday through
Friday. Dry conditions will prevail through the period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  55  34  64  32 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  60  31  71  32 /   0   0   0   0
Junction  58  27  69  33 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

07





000
FXUS64 KSJT 061126
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SAN ANGELO TX
526 AM CST SAT FEB 6 2016

.AVIATION...
/12Z TAFS/

Look for VFR conditions to continue for the next 24 hours. Winds
at 10 to 15 knots...from the west to northwest...today will
become variable at 6 knots or less tonight.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 335 AM CST SAT FEB 6 2016/

SHORT TERM...
(Today and Tonight)

..Elevated Fire Weather Conditions Again This Afternoon...

As another cold front continues to move south across Texas, expect
gusty winds from the northwest and elevated fire weather conditions
this afternoon. Although winds will be mainly in the 10 to 15 mph
range, afternoon relative humidity will range from the upper teens
to around 20. This will create conditions where any fire may be
difficult to control. Otherwise, look for another beautiful 24 hours
across West Central Texas, with highs today close to seasonal
normals and lows tonight from the upper 20s to the mid 30s.

LONG TERM...
(Sunday through Friday)

With upper level high pressure dominating the western CONUS
through the long term, our flow aloft will remain northwesterly.
Afternoon temperatures in the lower to upper 60s Sunday will cool
to the upper 50s on Monday in the wake of a cold front Sunday
night. A warmup on Tuesday will see afternoon highs in the 60s
with afternoon highs warming back into the 70s Wednesday through
Friday. Dry conditions will prevail through the period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  55  34  64  32 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  60  31  71  32 /   0   0   0   0
Junction  58  27  69  33 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KSJT 061126
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SAN ANGELO TX
526 AM CST SAT FEB 6 2016

.AVIATION...
/12Z TAFS/

Look for VFR conditions to continue for the next 24 hours. Winds
at 10 to 15 knots...from the west to northwest...today will
become variable at 6 knots or less tonight.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 335 AM CST SAT FEB 6 2016/

SHORT TERM...
(Today and Tonight)

..Elevated Fire Weather Conditions Again This Afternoon...

As another cold front continues to move south across Texas, expect
gusty winds from the northwest and elevated fire weather conditions
this afternoon. Although winds will be mainly in the 10 to 15 mph
range, afternoon relative humidity will range from the upper teens
to around 20. This will create conditions where any fire may be
difficult to control. Otherwise, look for another beautiful 24 hours
across West Central Texas, with highs today close to seasonal
normals and lows tonight from the upper 20s to the mid 30s.

LONG TERM...
(Sunday through Friday)

With upper level high pressure dominating the western CONUS
through the long term, our flow aloft will remain northwesterly.
Afternoon temperatures in the lower to upper 60s Sunday will cool
to the upper 50s on Monday in the wake of a cold front Sunday
night. A warmup on Tuesday will see afternoon highs in the 60s
with afternoon highs warming back into the 70s Wednesday through
Friday. Dry conditions will prevail through the period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  55  34  64  32 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  60  31  71  32 /   0   0   0   0
Junction  58  27  69  33 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KSJT 061126
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SAN ANGELO TX
526 AM CST SAT FEB 6 2016

.AVIATION...
/12Z TAFS/

Look for VFR conditions to continue for the next 24 hours. Winds
at 10 to 15 knots...from the west to northwest...today will
become variable at 6 knots or less tonight.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 335 AM CST SAT FEB 6 2016/

SHORT TERM...
(Today and Tonight)

..Elevated Fire Weather Conditions Again This Afternoon...

As another cold front continues to move south across Texas, expect
gusty winds from the northwest and elevated fire weather conditions
this afternoon. Although winds will be mainly in the 10 to 15 mph
range, afternoon relative humidity will range from the upper teens
to around 20. This will create conditions where any fire may be
difficult to control. Otherwise, look for another beautiful 24 hours
across West Central Texas, with highs today close to seasonal
normals and lows tonight from the upper 20s to the mid 30s.

LONG TERM...
(Sunday through Friday)

With upper level high pressure dominating the western CONUS
through the long term, our flow aloft will remain northwesterly.
Afternoon temperatures in the lower to upper 60s Sunday will cool
to the upper 50s on Monday in the wake of a cold front Sunday
night. A warmup on Tuesday will see afternoon highs in the 60s
with afternoon highs warming back into the 70s Wednesday through
Friday. Dry conditions will prevail through the period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  55  34  64  32 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  60  31  71  32 /   0   0   0   0
Junction  58  27  69  33 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KSJT 060935
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SAN ANGELO TX
335 AM CST SAT FEB 6 2016

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and Tonight)

...Elevated Fire Weather Conditions Again This Afternoon...

As another cold front continues to move south across Texas, expect
gusty winds from the northwest and elevated fire weather conditions
this afternoon. Although winds will be mainly in the 10 to 15 mph
range, afternoon relative humidity will range from the upper teens
to around 20. This will create conditions where any fire may be
difficult to control. Otherwise, look for another beautiful 24 hours
across West Central Texas, with highs today close to seasonal
normals and lows tonight from the upper 20s to the mid 30s.

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through Friday)

With upper level high pressure dominating the western CONUS
through the long term, our flow aloft will remain northwesterly.
Afternoon temperatures in the lower to upper 60s Sunday will cool
to the upper 50s on Monday in the wake of a cold front Sunday
night. A warmup on Tuesday will see afternoon highs in the 60s
with afternoon highs warming back into the 70s Wednesday through
Friday. Dry conditions will prevail through the period.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  55  34  64  32 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  60  31  71  32 /   0   0   0   0
Junction  58  27  69  33 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KSJT 060514
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SAN ANGELO TX
1114 PM CST FRI FEB 5 2016

.AVIATION...
/06Z TAFS/

VFR through the next 24 hours, with northwest winds becoming light
tomorrow evening. 20

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 623 PM CST FRI FEB 5 2016/

AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

VFR conditions through the next 24 hours. A cold front will turn
southwest winds this evening to the northwest at all sites by
03Z/9PM or 04Z/10PM. Northwest winds may be gusty at KABI tonight
behind the front, and across the rest of the area by late tomorrow
morning. 20

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 333 PM CST FRI FEB 5 2016/

SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Saturday)

A surface trough in the Permian Basin this afternoon will move
into the western sections of the Big Country and Concho Valley
early this evening, with winds temporarily becoming west. The
surface trough will be overtaken by a cold front later this
evening. The front should move along a San Angelo to Abilene to
Throckmorton line 9 to 10 PM, with winds becoming northwest at 10
to 20 mph and gusty. Southern sections along the I-10 corridor
will see lighter winds of 5 to 15 mph. Winds will keep the
atmosphere mixed overnight, keeping low in the low/mid 30s in the
Big Country and upper 20s along the I- 10 corridor.

Downslope compressional northwest to north winds and sunny skies
on Saturday will allow temperatures to rise back into the upper
50s to around 60. This is similar to highs today.

LONG TERM...
(Saturday Night through Friday)

Not much to say about the longer term part of the forecast, with
continued dry conditions. Deep upper level trough will dive into
the Mississippi Valley and combine with a ridge over the US West
Coast to produce northwest flow across West Central Texas for much
of the period. Warm conditions are likely on Sunday, before a cold
front drops temperatures back to near normal for Monday. Warmup
starts on Tuesday with afternoon highs heading back into the 70s
for the rest of the week.

FIRE WEATHER...

.Dry air will elevate fire weather conditions into next week...

A surface trough with west winds of 8 to 15 mph will move along a
San Angelo to Sweetwater to Haskell line early this evening. It
will be overtaken by a cold front with stronger 20 foot northwest
winds of 10 to 15 mph later this evening. The front will likely
move along a San Angelo to Abilene to Throckmorton line 9 to 10
PM. There will be limited relative humidity recovery tonight with
dry air behind the front. On Saturday, winds will weaken midday
and afternoon with winds gradually shifting to the west. Minimum
RH values Saturday will be in the 17 to 24 percent range.

Another cold front will move through Sunday afternoon in the Big
Country and Concho Valley, and early evening farther south. Winds
will shift northwest, then north with frontal passage. Fire
weather conditions will be elevated Sunday afternoon, however,
winds will remain below critical levels.

Very dry air will remain over the region next week, with minimum
relatively humidity values in the teens into Thursday. Very dry
fuels and dry air will keep fire weather conditions elevated, as
highs rise into the 70s midweek.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  35  57  32  63 /   5   0   0   0
San Angelo  32  62  32  71 /   0   0   0   0
Junction  30  60  28  69 /   5   0   0   0

&&

.SJT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KSJT 060023
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SAN ANGELO TX
623 PM CST FRI FEB 5 2016

.AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

VFR conditions through the next 24 hours. A cold front will turn
southwest winds this evening to the northwest at all sites by
03Z/9PM or 04Z/10PM. Northwest winds may be gusty at KABI tonight
behind the front, and across the rest of the area by late tomorrow
morning. 20

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 333 PM CST FRI FEB 5 2016/

SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Saturday)

A surface trough in the Permian Basin this afternoon will move
into the western sections of the Big Country and Concho Valley
early this evening, with winds temporarily becoming west. The
surface trough will be overtaken by a cold front later this
evening. The front should move along a San Angelo to Abilene to
Throckmorton line 9 to 10 PM, with winds becoming northwest at 10
to 20 mph and gusty. Southern sections along the I-10 corridor
will see lighter winds of 5 to 15 mph. Winds will keep the
atmosphere mixed overnight, keeping low in the low/mid 30s in the
Big Country and upper 20s along the I- 10 corridor.

Downslope compressional northwest to north winds and sunny skies
on Saturday will allow temperatures to rise back into the upper
50s to around 60. This is similar to highs today.

LONG TERM...
(Saturday Night through Friday)

Not much to say about the longer term part of the forecast, with
continued dry conditions. Deep upper level trough will dive into
the Mississippi Valley and combine with a ridge over the US West
Coast to produce northwest flow across West Central Texas for much
of the period. Warm conditions are likely on Sunday, before a cold
front drops temperatures back to near normal for Monday. Warmup
starts on Tuesday with afternoon highs heading back into the 70s
for the rest of the week.

FIRE WEATHER...

..Dry air will elevate fire weather conditions into next week...

A surface trough with west winds of 8 to 15 mph will move along a
San Angelo to Sweetwater to Haskell line early this evening. It
will be overtaken by a cold front with stronger 20 foot northwest
winds of 10 to 15 mph later this evening. The front will likely
move along a San Angelo to Abilene to Throckmorton line 9 to 10
PM. There will be limited relative humidity recovery tonight with
dry air behind the front. On Saturday, winds will weaken midday
and afternoon with winds gradually shifting to the west. Minimum
RH values Saturday will be in the 17 to 24 percent range.

Another cold front will move through Sunday afternoon in the Big
Country and Concho Valley, and early evening farther south. Winds
will shift northwest, then north with frontal passage. Fire
weather conditions will be elevated Sunday afternoon, however,
winds will remain below critical levels.

Very dry air will remain over the region next week, with minimum
relatively humidity values in the teens into Thursday. Very dry
fuels and dry air will keep fire weather conditions elevated, as
highs rise into the 70s midweek.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  35  57  32  63 /   5   0   0   0
San Angelo  32  62  32  71 /   0   0   0   0
Junction  30  60  28  69 /   5   0   0   0

&&

.SJT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KSJT 060023
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SAN ANGELO TX
623 PM CST FRI FEB 5 2016

.AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

VFR conditions through the next 24 hours. A cold front will turn
southwest winds this evening to the northwest at all sites by
03Z/9PM or 04Z/10PM. Northwest winds may be gusty at KABI tonight
behind the front, and across the rest of the area by late tomorrow
morning. 20

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 333 PM CST FRI FEB 5 2016/

SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Saturday)

A surface trough in the Permian Basin this afternoon will move
into the western sections of the Big Country and Concho Valley
early this evening, with winds temporarily becoming west. The
surface trough will be overtaken by a cold front later this
evening. The front should move along a San Angelo to Abilene to
Throckmorton line 9 to 10 PM, with winds becoming northwest at 10
to 20 mph and gusty. Southern sections along the I-10 corridor
will see lighter winds of 5 to 15 mph. Winds will keep the
atmosphere mixed overnight, keeping low in the low/mid 30s in the
Big Country and upper 20s along the I- 10 corridor.

Downslope compressional northwest to north winds and sunny skies
on Saturday will allow temperatures to rise back into the upper
50s to around 60. This is similar to highs today.

LONG TERM...
(Saturday Night through Friday)

Not much to say about the longer term part of the forecast, with
continued dry conditions. Deep upper level trough will dive into
the Mississippi Valley and combine with a ridge over the US West
Coast to produce northwest flow across West Central Texas for much
of the period. Warm conditions are likely on Sunday, before a cold
front drops temperatures back to near normal for Monday. Warmup
starts on Tuesday with afternoon highs heading back into the 70s
for the rest of the week.

FIRE WEATHER...

..Dry air will elevate fire weather conditions into next week...

A surface trough with west winds of 8 to 15 mph will move along a
San Angelo to Sweetwater to Haskell line early this evening. It
will be overtaken by a cold front with stronger 20 foot northwest
winds of 10 to 15 mph later this evening. The front will likely
move along a San Angelo to Abilene to Throckmorton line 9 to 10
PM. There will be limited relative humidity recovery tonight with
dry air behind the front. On Saturday, winds will weaken midday
and afternoon with winds gradually shifting to the west. Minimum
RH values Saturday will be in the 17 to 24 percent range.

Another cold front will move through Sunday afternoon in the Big
Country and Concho Valley, and early evening farther south. Winds
will shift northwest, then north with frontal passage. Fire
weather conditions will be elevated Sunday afternoon, however,
winds will remain below critical levels.

Very dry air will remain over the region next week, with minimum
relatively humidity values in the teens into Thursday. Very dry
fuels and dry air will keep fire weather conditions elevated, as
highs rise into the 70s midweek.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  35  57  32  63 /   5   0   0   0
San Angelo  32  62  32  71 /   0   0   0   0
Junction  30  60  28  69 /   5   0   0   0

&&

.SJT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KSJT 060023
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SAN ANGELO TX
623 PM CST FRI FEB 5 2016

.AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

VFR conditions through the next 24 hours. A cold front will turn
southwest winds this evening to the northwest at all sites by
03Z/9PM or 04Z/10PM. Northwest winds may be gusty at KABI tonight
behind the front, and across the rest of the area by late tomorrow
morning. 20

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 333 PM CST FRI FEB 5 2016/

SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Saturday)

A surface trough in the Permian Basin this afternoon will move
into the western sections of the Big Country and Concho Valley
early this evening, with winds temporarily becoming west. The
surface trough will be overtaken by a cold front later this
evening. The front should move along a San Angelo to Abilene to
Throckmorton line 9 to 10 PM, with winds becoming northwest at 10
to 20 mph and gusty. Southern sections along the I-10 corridor
will see lighter winds of 5 to 15 mph. Winds will keep the
atmosphere mixed overnight, keeping low in the low/mid 30s in the
Big Country and upper 20s along the I- 10 corridor.

Downslope compressional northwest to north winds and sunny skies
on Saturday will allow temperatures to rise back into the upper
50s to around 60. This is similar to highs today.

LONG TERM...
(Saturday Night through Friday)

Not much to say about the longer term part of the forecast, with
continued dry conditions. Deep upper level trough will dive into
the Mississippi Valley and combine with a ridge over the US West
Coast to produce northwest flow across West Central Texas for much
of the period. Warm conditions are likely on Sunday, before a cold
front drops temperatures back to near normal for Monday. Warmup
starts on Tuesday with afternoon highs heading back into the 70s
for the rest of the week.

FIRE WEATHER...

..Dry air will elevate fire weather conditions into next week...

A surface trough with west winds of 8 to 15 mph will move along a
San Angelo to Sweetwater to Haskell line early this evening. It
will be overtaken by a cold front with stronger 20 foot northwest
winds of 10 to 15 mph later this evening. The front will likely
move along a San Angelo to Abilene to Throckmorton line 9 to 10
PM. There will be limited relative humidity recovery tonight with
dry air behind the front. On Saturday, winds will weaken midday
and afternoon with winds gradually shifting to the west. Minimum
RH values Saturday will be in the 17 to 24 percent range.

Another cold front will move through Sunday afternoon in the Big
Country and Concho Valley, and early evening farther south. Winds
will shift northwest, then north with frontal passage. Fire
weather conditions will be elevated Sunday afternoon, however,
winds will remain below critical levels.

Very dry air will remain over the region next week, with minimum
relatively humidity values in the teens into Thursday. Very dry
fuels and dry air will keep fire weather conditions elevated, as
highs rise into the 70s midweek.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  35  57  32  63 /   5   0   0   0
San Angelo  32  62  32  71 /   0   0   0   0
Junction  30  60  28  69 /   5   0   0   0

&&

.SJT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KSJT 052133
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SAN ANGELO TX
333 PM CST FRI FEB 5 2016

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Saturday)

A surface trough in the Permian Basin this afternoon will move into
the western sections of the Big Country and Concho Valley early this
evening, with winds temporarily becoming west. The surface trough
will be overtaken by a cold front later this evening. The front
should move along a San Angelo to Abilene to Throckmorton line 9 to
10 PM, with winds becoming northwest at 10 to 20 mph and gusty.
Southern sections along the I-10 corridor will see lighter winds of
5 to 15 mph. Winds will keep the atmosphere mixed overnight, keeping
low in the low/mid 30s in the Big Country and upper 20s along the I-
10 corridor.

Downslope compressional northwest to north winds and sunny skies on
Saturday will allow temperatures to rise back into the upper 50s to
around 60. This is similar to highs today.

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday Night through Friday)

Not much to say about the longer term part of the forecast, with
continued dry conditions. Deep upper level trough will dive into
the Mississippi Valley and combine with a ridge over the US West
Coast to produce northwest flow across West Central Texas for much
of the period. Warm conditions are likely on Sunday, before a cold
front drops temperatures back to near normal for Monday. Warmup
starts on Tuesday with afternoon highs heading back into the 70s
for the rest of the week.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

...Dry air will elevate fire weather conditions into next week...

A surface trough with west winds of 8 to 15 mph will move along a
San Angelo to Sweetwater to Haskell line early this evening. It will
be overtaken by a cold front with stronger 20 foot northwest winds
of 10 to 15 mph later this evening. The front will likely move along
a San Angelo to Abilene to Throckmorton line 9 to 10 PM. There will
be limited relative humidity recovery tonight with dry air behind
the front. On Saturday, winds will weaken midday and afternoon with
winds gradually shifting to the west. Minimum RH values Saturday
will be in the 17 to 24 percent range.

Another cold front will move through Sunday afternoon in the Big
Country and Concho Valley, and early evening farther south. Winds
will shift northwest, then north with frontal passage. Fire weather
conditions will be elevated Sunday afternoon, however, winds will
remain below critical levels.

Very dry air will remain over the region next week, with minimum
relatively humidity values in the teens into Thursday. Very dry
fuels and dry air will keep fire weather conditions elevated,
as highs rise into the 70s midweek.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  35  57  32  63 /   5   0   0   0
San Angelo  32  62  32  71 /   0   0   0   0
Junction  30  60  28  69 /   5   0   0   0

&&

.SJT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

04/07




000
FXUS64 KSJT 052133
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SAN ANGELO TX
333 PM CST FRI FEB 5 2016

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Saturday)

A surface trough in the Permian Basin this afternoon will move into
the western sections of the Big Country and Concho Valley early this
evening, with winds temporarily becoming west. The surface trough
will be overtaken by a cold front later this evening. The front
should move along a San Angelo to Abilene to Throckmorton line 9 to
10 PM, with winds becoming northwest at 10 to 20 mph and gusty.
Southern sections along the I-10 corridor will see lighter winds of
5 to 15 mph. Winds will keep the atmosphere mixed overnight, keeping
low in the low/mid 30s in the Big Country and upper 20s along the I-
10 corridor.

Downslope compressional northwest to north winds and sunny skies on
Saturday will allow temperatures to rise back into the upper 50s to
around 60. This is similar to highs today.

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday Night through Friday)

Not much to say about the longer term part of the forecast, with
continued dry conditions. Deep upper level trough will dive into
the Mississippi Valley and combine with a ridge over the US West
Coast to produce northwest flow across West Central Texas for much
of the period. Warm conditions are likely on Sunday, before a cold
front drops temperatures back to near normal for Monday. Warmup
starts on Tuesday with afternoon highs heading back into the 70s
for the rest of the week.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

...Dry air will elevate fire weather conditions into next week...

A surface trough with west winds of 8 to 15 mph will move along a
San Angelo to Sweetwater to Haskell line early this evening. It will
be overtaken by a cold front with stronger 20 foot northwest winds
of 10 to 15 mph later this evening. The front will likely move along
a San Angelo to Abilene to Throckmorton line 9 to 10 PM. There will
be limited relative humidity recovery tonight with dry air behind
the front. On Saturday, winds will weaken midday and afternoon with
winds gradually shifting to the west. Minimum RH values Saturday
will be in the 17 to 24 percent range.

Another cold front will move through Sunday afternoon in the Big
Country and Concho Valley, and early evening farther south. Winds
will shift northwest, then north with frontal passage. Fire weather
conditions will be elevated Sunday afternoon, however, winds will
remain below critical levels.

Very dry air will remain over the region next week, with minimum
relatively humidity values in the teens into Thursday. Very dry
fuels and dry air will keep fire weather conditions elevated,
as highs rise into the 70s midweek.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  35  57  32  63 /   5   0   0   0
San Angelo  32  62  32  71 /   0   0   0   0
Junction  30  60  28  69 /   5   0   0   0

&&

.SJT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

04/07





000
FXUS64 KSJT 052133
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SAN ANGELO TX
333 PM CST FRI FEB 5 2016

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Saturday)

A surface trough in the Permian Basin this afternoon will move into
the western sections of the Big Country and Concho Valley early this
evening, with winds temporarily becoming west. The surface trough
will be overtaken by a cold front later this evening. The front
should move along a San Angelo to Abilene to Throckmorton line 9 to
10 PM, with winds becoming northwest at 10 to 20 mph and gusty.
Southern sections along the I-10 corridor will see lighter winds of
5 to 15 mph. Winds will keep the atmosphere mixed overnight, keeping
low in the low/mid 30s in the Big Country and upper 20s along the I-
10 corridor.

Downslope compressional northwest to north winds and sunny skies on
Saturday will allow temperatures to rise back into the upper 50s to
around 60. This is similar to highs today.

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday Night through Friday)

Not much to say about the longer term part of the forecast, with
continued dry conditions. Deep upper level trough will dive into
the Mississippi Valley and combine with a ridge over the US West
Coast to produce northwest flow across West Central Texas for much
of the period. Warm conditions are likely on Sunday, before a cold
front drops temperatures back to near normal for Monday. Warmup
starts on Tuesday with afternoon highs heading back into the 70s
for the rest of the week.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

...Dry air will elevate fire weather conditions into next week...

A surface trough with west winds of 8 to 15 mph will move along a
San Angelo to Sweetwater to Haskell line early this evening. It will
be overtaken by a cold front with stronger 20 foot northwest winds
of 10 to 15 mph later this evening. The front will likely move along
a San Angelo to Abilene to Throckmorton line 9 to 10 PM. There will
be limited relative humidity recovery tonight with dry air behind
the front. On Saturday, winds will weaken midday and afternoon with
winds gradually shifting to the west. Minimum RH values Saturday
will be in the 17 to 24 percent range.

Another cold front will move through Sunday afternoon in the Big
Country and Concho Valley, and early evening farther south. Winds
will shift northwest, then north with frontal passage. Fire weather
conditions will be elevated Sunday afternoon, however, winds will
remain below critical levels.

Very dry air will remain over the region next week, with minimum
relatively humidity values in the teens into Thursday. Very dry
fuels and dry air will keep fire weather conditions elevated,
as highs rise into the 70s midweek.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  35  57  32  63 /   5   0   0   0
San Angelo  32  62  32  71 /   0   0   0   0
Junction  30  60  28  69 /   5   0   0   0

&&

.SJT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

04/07





000
FXUS64 KSJT 051903
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SAN ANGELO TX
103 PM CST FRI FEB 5 2016


.AVIATION...
/18Z TAFS/

Main aviation concern will be strong gusty south winds with gusts
of 25 to 30 KTS through mid afternoon. Winds will begin to weaken
mid afternoon...then shift northwest at 10 to 15 KTS overnight as
a cold front moves through. Winds will begin to weaken late
morning Saturday. VFR otherwise through the next 24 hours.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 531 AM CST FRI FEB 5 2016/

AVIATION...
/12Z TAFS/

look for VFR conditions to continue for the next 24 hours. An
approaching cold front will create windy conditions this
afternoon. Expect winds from the south to southwest ranging from
around 15 knots with gusts near 30 knots, across most of West
Central Texas north of the Interstate 10 corridor this afternoon.
Tonight, plan for winds to shift and come from the west to
northwest, again for locations mainly north of the interstate 10
corridor.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 341 AM CST FRI FEB 5 2016/

SHORT TERM...
(Today and Tonight)

.Elevated Fire Weather Conditions This Afternoon...

As another cold front approaches, expect elevated fire weather
conditions this afternoon. With dry air in place at the surface and
gusty winds from the south this afternoon, much of West Central
Texas will have elevated fire weather conditions this afternoon.
Afternoon minimum relative humidity in the 20 to 25 percent range,
along with winds from the south in the 15 to 20 mph range, will
created elevated fire weather conditions. Otherwise, afternoon highs
will be slightly warmer than yesterday, mainly around 60. Tonight,
another cold front will sweep across West central Texas. This front
will bring cooler air and gusty winds from the northwest.

LONG TERM...
(Saturday through Wednesday)

Dry weather will dominate the forecast in the long term as upper
level northwest flow prevails. Temperatures will be a little above
normal through the coming week. A weak cold front pushing across
the forecast area on Sunday Night and Monday will result in Monday
highs in the mid to upper 50s. Afternoon temperatures will quickly
rebound into the 70s by Wednesday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  59  35  57  32 /   0   5   0   0
San Angelo  61  32  62  32 /   0   0   0   0
Junction  59  30  60  28 /   0   5   0   0

&&

.SJT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

99/99/04





000
FXUS64 KSJT 051903
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SAN ANGELO TX
103 PM CST FRI FEB 5 2016


.AVIATION...
/18Z TAFS/

Main aviation concern will be strong gusty south winds with gusts
of 25 to 30 KTS through mid afternoon. Winds will begin to weaken
mid afternoon...then shift northwest at 10 to 15 KTS overnight as
a cold front moves through. Winds will begin to weaken late
morning Saturday. VFR otherwise through the next 24 hours.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 531 AM CST FRI FEB 5 2016/

AVIATION...
/12Z TAFS/

look for VFR conditions to continue for the next 24 hours. An
approaching cold front will create windy conditions this
afternoon. Expect winds from the south to southwest ranging from
around 15 knots with gusts near 30 knots, across most of West
Central Texas north of the Interstate 10 corridor this afternoon.
Tonight, plan for winds to shift and come from the west to
northwest, again for locations mainly north of the interstate 10
corridor.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 341 AM CST FRI FEB 5 2016/

SHORT TERM...
(Today and Tonight)

.Elevated Fire Weather Conditions This Afternoon...

As another cold front approaches, expect elevated fire weather
conditions this afternoon. With dry air in place at the surface and
gusty winds from the south this afternoon, much of West Central
Texas will have elevated fire weather conditions this afternoon.
Afternoon minimum relative humidity in the 20 to 25 percent range,
along with winds from the south in the 15 to 20 mph range, will
created elevated fire weather conditions. Otherwise, afternoon highs
will be slightly warmer than yesterday, mainly around 60. Tonight,
another cold front will sweep across West central Texas. This front
will bring cooler air and gusty winds from the northwest.

LONG TERM...
(Saturday through Wednesday)

Dry weather will dominate the forecast in the long term as upper
level northwest flow prevails. Temperatures will be a little above
normal through the coming week. A weak cold front pushing across
the forecast area on Sunday Night and Monday will result in Monday
highs in the mid to upper 50s. Afternoon temperatures will quickly
rebound into the 70s by Wednesday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  59  35  57  32 /   0   5   0   0
San Angelo  61  32  62  32 /   0   0   0   0
Junction  59  30  60  28 /   0   5   0   0

&&

.SJT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

99/99/04




000
FXUS64 KSJT 051131
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SAN ANGELO TX
531 AM CST FRI FEB 5 2016

.AVIATION...
/12Z TAFS/

look for VFR conditions to continue for the next 24 hours. An
approaching cold front will create windy conditions this
afternoon. Expect winds from the south to southwest ranging from
around 15 knots with gusts near 30 knots, across most of West
Central Texas north of the Interstate 10 corridor this afternoon.
Tonight, plan for winds to shift and come from the west to
northwest, again for locations mainly north of the interstate 10
corridor.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 341 AM CST FRI FEB 5 2016/

SHORT TERM...
(Today and Tonight)

..Elevated Fire Weather Conditions This Afternoon...

As another cold front approaches, expect elevated fire weather
conditions this afternoon. With dry air in place at the surface and
gusty winds from the south this afternoon, much of West Central
Texas will have elevated fire weather conditions this afternoon.
Afternoon minimum relative humidity in the 20 to 25 percent range,
along with winds from the south in the 15 to 20 mph range, will
created elevated fire weather conditions. Otherwise, afternoon highs
will be slightly warmer than yesterday, mainly around 60. Tonight,
another cold front will sweep across West central Texas. This front
will bring cooler air and gusty winds from the northwest.

LONG TERM...
(Saturday through Wednesday)

Dry weather will dominate the forecast in the long term as upper
level northwest flow prevails. Temperatures will be a little above
normal through the coming week. A weak cold front pushing across
the forecast area on Sunday Night and Monday will result in Monday
highs in the mid to upper 50s. Afternoon temperatures will quickly
rebound into the 70s by Wednesday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  59  32  58  36 /   5  10   0   0
San Angelo  61  29  62  32 /   5   5   0   0
Junction  59  25  60  29 /   0  10   0   0

&&

.SJT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KSJT 051131
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SAN ANGELO TX
531 AM CST FRI FEB 5 2016

.AVIATION...
/12Z TAFS/

look for VFR conditions to continue for the next 24 hours. An
approaching cold front will create windy conditions this
afternoon. Expect winds from the south to southwest ranging from
around 15 knots with gusts near 30 knots, across most of West
Central Texas north of the Interstate 10 corridor this afternoon.
Tonight, plan for winds to shift and come from the west to
northwest, again for locations mainly north of the interstate 10
corridor.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 341 AM CST FRI FEB 5 2016/

SHORT TERM...
(Today and Tonight)

..Elevated Fire Weather Conditions This Afternoon...

As another cold front approaches, expect elevated fire weather
conditions this afternoon. With dry air in place at the surface and
gusty winds from the south this afternoon, much of West Central
Texas will have elevated fire weather conditions this afternoon.
Afternoon minimum relative humidity in the 20 to 25 percent range,
along with winds from the south in the 15 to 20 mph range, will
created elevated fire weather conditions. Otherwise, afternoon highs
will be slightly warmer than yesterday, mainly around 60. Tonight,
another cold front will sweep across West central Texas. This front
will bring cooler air and gusty winds from the northwest.

LONG TERM...
(Saturday through Wednesday)

Dry weather will dominate the forecast in the long term as upper
level northwest flow prevails. Temperatures will be a little above
normal through the coming week. A weak cold front pushing across
the forecast area on Sunday Night and Monday will result in Monday
highs in the mid to upper 50s. Afternoon temperatures will quickly
rebound into the 70s by Wednesday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  59  32  58  36 /   5  10   0   0
San Angelo  61  29  62  32 /   5   5   0   0
Junction  59  25  60  29 /   0  10   0   0

&&

.SJT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KSJT 051131
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SAN ANGELO TX
531 AM CST FRI FEB 5 2016

.AVIATION...
/12Z TAFS/

look for VFR conditions to continue for the next 24 hours. An
approaching cold front will create windy conditions this
afternoon. Expect winds from the south to southwest ranging from
around 15 knots with gusts near 30 knots, across most of West
Central Texas north of the Interstate 10 corridor this afternoon.
Tonight, plan for winds to shift and come from the west to
northwest, again for locations mainly north of the interstate 10
corridor.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 341 AM CST FRI FEB 5 2016/

SHORT TERM...
(Today and Tonight)

..Elevated Fire Weather Conditions This Afternoon...

As another cold front approaches, expect elevated fire weather
conditions this afternoon. With dry air in place at the surface and
gusty winds from the south this afternoon, much of West Central
Texas will have elevated fire weather conditions this afternoon.
Afternoon minimum relative humidity in the 20 to 25 percent range,
along with winds from the south in the 15 to 20 mph range, will
created elevated fire weather conditions. Otherwise, afternoon highs
will be slightly warmer than yesterday, mainly around 60. Tonight,
another cold front will sweep across West central Texas. This front
will bring cooler air and gusty winds from the northwest.

LONG TERM...
(Saturday through Wednesday)

Dry weather will dominate the forecast in the long term as upper
level northwest flow prevails. Temperatures will be a little above
normal through the coming week. A weak cold front pushing across
the forecast area on Sunday Night and Monday will result in Monday
highs in the mid to upper 50s. Afternoon temperatures will quickly
rebound into the 70s by Wednesday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  59  32  58  36 /   5  10   0   0
San Angelo  61  29  62  32 /   5   5   0   0
Junction  59  25  60  29 /   0  10   0   0

&&

.SJT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KSJT 050941
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SAN ANGELO TX
341 AM CST FRI FEB 5 2016

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and Tonight)

...Elevated Fire Weather Conditions This Afternoon...

As another cold front approaches, expect elevated fire weather
conditions this afternoon. With dry air in place at the surface and
gusty winds from the south this afternoon, much of West Central
Texas will have elevated fire weather conditions this afternoon.
Afternoon minimum relative humidity in the 20 to 25 percent range,
along with winds from the south in the 15 to 20 mph range, will
created elevated fire weather conditions. Otherwise, afternoon highs
will be slightly warmer than yesterday, mainly around 60. Tonight,
another cold front will sweep across West central Texas. This front
will bring cooler air and gusty winds from the northwest.

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through Wednesday)

Dry weather will dominate the forecast in the long term as upper
level northwest flow prevails. Temperatures will be a little above
normal through the coming week. A weak cold front pushing across
the forecast area on Sunday Night and Monday will result in Monday
highs in the mid to upper 50s. Afternoon temperatures will quickly
rebound into the 70s by Wednesday.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  59  32  58  36 /   5  10   0   0
San Angelo  61  29  62  32 /   5   5   0   0
Junction  59  25  60  29 /   0  10   0   0

&&

.SJT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$





000
FXUS64 KSJT 050517
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SAN ANGELO TX
1117 PM CST THU FEB 4 2016

.AVIATION...
/06Z TAFS/

Expect VFR conditions at the terminals for the next 24 hours.
Gusty southerly winds will prevail on Friday, with gusts near 30
knots at the KABI and KSJT terminals during the afternoon. There
will be a wind shift to the west at KABI and KSJT terminals after
01Z Saturday.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 522 PM CST THU FEB 4 2016/

AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

Expect VFR conditions at the terminals for the next 24 hours.
Gusty southerly winds will prevail on Friday, with gusts near 30
knots at the KABI and KSJT terminals during the afternoon.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 350 PM CST THU FEB 4 2016/

SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Friday)

.Elevated Fire Weather Conditions Friday afternoon...

South to southwest winds of 15 to 20 mph will bring elevated fire
conditions Friday afternoon, as a tighter pressure gradient develops
between a developing lee trough over West Texas and surface high
pressure over East Texas. The Big Country, Concho Valley, and
Crockett county will have the strongest winds and the higher fire
danger. However, all counties have very dry fuels and numerous grass
fires have occurred.

Otherwise, for tonight, southwest to west winds will become south as
surface high pressure moves east. Lows in the mid and upper 20s are
expected south of Interstate 20, with slightly stronger winds and
mixing keeping temperatures in the lower 30s along and north of I-
20.

LONG TERM...
(Friday NIght through Wednesday)

Very quiet pattern in the long term continues. Fairly strong
shortwave will dive across the area on Friday Night and early
Saturday, but with low and mid levels remaining very dry, dry
forecast will continue. This wave will race east, and leave a deep
trough over the Mississippi Valley and ridge over the Rockies for
much of the remainder of the period. Northwest flow will prevail,
which allows for little in the way of sustained low level moisture
return. Temperatures a little above normal will prevail until a
weak cold front pushes across on Sunday Night and Monday, then
quickly rebound into the 70s by Wednesday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  32  59  32  60 /   0   5  10   5
San Angelo  29  61  29  63 /   0   5   5   5
Junction  26  59  25  61 /   0   0  10   5

&&

.SJT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

21





000
FXUS64 KSJT 050517
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SAN ANGELO TX
1117 PM CST THU FEB 4 2016

.AVIATION...
/06Z TAFS/

Expect VFR conditions at the terminals for the next 24 hours.
Gusty southerly winds will prevail on Friday, with gusts near 30
knots at the KABI and KSJT terminals during the afternoon. There
will be a wind shift to the west at KABI and KSJT terminals after
01Z Saturday.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 522 PM CST THU FEB 4 2016/

AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

Expect VFR conditions at the terminals for the next 24 hours.
Gusty southerly winds will prevail on Friday, with gusts near 30
knots at the KABI and KSJT terminals during the afternoon.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 350 PM CST THU FEB 4 2016/

SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Friday)

.Elevated Fire Weather Conditions Friday afternoon...

South to southwest winds of 15 to 20 mph will bring elevated fire
conditions Friday afternoon, as a tighter pressure gradient develops
between a developing lee trough over West Texas and surface high
pressure over East Texas. The Big Country, Concho Valley, and
Crockett county will have the strongest winds and the higher fire
danger. However, all counties have very dry fuels and numerous grass
fires have occurred.

Otherwise, for tonight, southwest to west winds will become south as
surface high pressure moves east. Lows in the mid and upper 20s are
expected south of Interstate 20, with slightly stronger winds and
mixing keeping temperatures in the lower 30s along and north of I-
20.

LONG TERM...
(Friday NIght through Wednesday)

Very quiet pattern in the long term continues. Fairly strong
shortwave will dive across the area on Friday Night and early
Saturday, but with low and mid levels remaining very dry, dry
forecast will continue. This wave will race east, and leave a deep
trough over the Mississippi Valley and ridge over the Rockies for
much of the remainder of the period. Northwest flow will prevail,
which allows for little in the way of sustained low level moisture
return. Temperatures a little above normal will prevail until a
weak cold front pushes across on Sunday Night and Monday, then
quickly rebound into the 70s by Wednesday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  32  59  32  60 /   0   5  10   5
San Angelo  29  61  29  63 /   0   5   5   5
Junction  26  59  25  61 /   0   0  10   5

&&

.SJT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

21





000
FXUS64 KSJT 050517
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SAN ANGELO TX
1117 PM CST THU FEB 4 2016

.AVIATION...
/06Z TAFS/

Expect VFR conditions at the terminals for the next 24 hours.
Gusty southerly winds will prevail on Friday, with gusts near 30
knots at the KABI and KSJT terminals during the afternoon. There
will be a wind shift to the west at KABI and KSJT terminals after
01Z Saturday.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 522 PM CST THU FEB 4 2016/

AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

Expect VFR conditions at the terminals for the next 24 hours.
Gusty southerly winds will prevail on Friday, with gusts near 30
knots at the KABI and KSJT terminals during the afternoon.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 350 PM CST THU FEB 4 2016/

SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Friday)

.Elevated Fire Weather Conditions Friday afternoon...

South to southwest winds of 15 to 20 mph will bring elevated fire
conditions Friday afternoon, as a tighter pressure gradient develops
between a developing lee trough over West Texas and surface high
pressure over East Texas. The Big Country, Concho Valley, and
Crockett county will have the strongest winds and the higher fire
danger. However, all counties have very dry fuels and numerous grass
fires have occurred.

Otherwise, for tonight, southwest to west winds will become south as
surface high pressure moves east. Lows in the mid and upper 20s are
expected south of Interstate 20, with slightly stronger winds and
mixing keeping temperatures in the lower 30s along and north of I-
20.

LONG TERM...
(Friday NIght through Wednesday)

Very quiet pattern in the long term continues. Fairly strong
shortwave will dive across the area on Friday Night and early
Saturday, but with low and mid levels remaining very dry, dry
forecast will continue. This wave will race east, and leave a deep
trough over the Mississippi Valley and ridge over the Rockies for
much of the remainder of the period. Northwest flow will prevail,
which allows for little in the way of sustained low level moisture
return. Temperatures a little above normal will prevail until a
weak cold front pushes across on Sunday Night and Monday, then
quickly rebound into the 70s by Wednesday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  32  59  32  60 /   0   5  10   5
San Angelo  29  61  29  63 /   0   5   5   5
Junction  26  59  25  61 /   0   0  10   5

&&

.SJT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

21




000
FXUS64 KSJT 042322
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SAN ANGELO TX
522 PM CST THU FEB 4 2016

.AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

Expect VFR conditions at the terminals for the next 24 hours.
Gusty southerly winds will prevail on Friday, with gusts near 30
knots at the KABI and KSJT terminals during the afternoon.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 350 PM CST THU FEB 4 2016/

SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Friday)

..Elevated Fire Weather Conditions Friday afternoon...

South to southwest winds of 15 to 20 mph will bring elevated fire
conditions Friday afternoon, as a tighter pressure gradient develops
between a developing lee trough over West Texas and surface high
pressure over East Texas. The Big Country, Concho Valley, and
Crockett county will have the strongest winds and the higher fire
danger. However, all counties have very dry fuels and numerous grass
fires have occurred.

Otherwise, for tonight, southwest to west winds will become south as
surface high pressure moves east. Lows in the mid and upper 20s are
expected south of Interstate 20, with slightly stronger winds and
mixing keeping temperatures in the lower 30s along and north of I-
20.

LONG TERM...
(Friday NIght through Wednesday)

Very quiet pattern in the long term continues. Fairly strong
shortwave will dive across the area on Friday Night and early
Saturday, but with low and mid levels remaining very dry, dry
forecast will continue. This wave will race east, and leave a deep
trough over the Mississippi Valley and ridge over the Rockies for
much of the remainder of the period. Northwest flow will prevail,
which allows for little in the way of sustained low level moisture
return. Temperatures a little above normal will prevail until a
weak cold front pushes across on Sunday Night and Monday, then
quickly rebound into the 70s by Wednesday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  32  59  32  60 /   0   5  10   5
San Angelo  29  61  29  63 /   0   5   5   5
Junction  26  59  25  61 /   0   0  10   5

&&

.SJT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

21




000
FXUS64 KSJT 042322
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SAN ANGELO TX
522 PM CST THU FEB 4 2016

.AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

Expect VFR conditions at the terminals for the next 24 hours.
Gusty southerly winds will prevail on Friday, with gusts near 30
knots at the KABI and KSJT terminals during the afternoon.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 350 PM CST THU FEB 4 2016/

SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Friday)

..Elevated Fire Weather Conditions Friday afternoon...

South to southwest winds of 15 to 20 mph will bring elevated fire
conditions Friday afternoon, as a tighter pressure gradient develops
between a developing lee trough over West Texas and surface high
pressure over East Texas. The Big Country, Concho Valley, and
Crockett county will have the strongest winds and the higher fire
danger. However, all counties have very dry fuels and numerous grass
fires have occurred.

Otherwise, for tonight, southwest to west winds will become south as
surface high pressure moves east. Lows in the mid and upper 20s are
expected south of Interstate 20, with slightly stronger winds and
mixing keeping temperatures in the lower 30s along and north of I-
20.

LONG TERM...
(Friday NIght through Wednesday)

Very quiet pattern in the long term continues. Fairly strong
shortwave will dive across the area on Friday Night and early
Saturday, but with low and mid levels remaining very dry, dry
forecast will continue. This wave will race east, and leave a deep
trough over the Mississippi Valley and ridge over the Rockies for
much of the remainder of the period. Northwest flow will prevail,
which allows for little in the way of sustained low level moisture
return. Temperatures a little above normal will prevail until a
weak cold front pushes across on Sunday Night and Monday, then
quickly rebound into the 70s by Wednesday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  32  59  32  60 /   0   5  10   5
San Angelo  29  61  29  63 /   0   5   5   5
Junction  26  59  25  61 /   0   0  10   5

&&

.SJT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

21





000
FXUS64 KSJT 042150
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SAN ANGELO TX
350 PM CST THU FEB 4 2016

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Friday)

...Elevated Fire Weather Conditions Friday afternoon...

South to southwest winds of 15 to 20 mph will bring elevated fire
conditions Friday afternoon, as a tighter pressure gradient develops
between a developing lee trough over West Texas and surface high
pressure over East Texas. The Big Country, Concho Valley, and
Crockett county will have the strongest winds and the higher fire
danger. However, all counties have very dry fuels and numerous grass
fires have occurred.

Otherwise, for tonight, southwest to west winds will become south as
surface high pressure moves east. Lows in the mid and upper 20s are
expected south of Interstate 20, with slightly stronger winds and
mixing keeping temperatures in the lower 30s along and north of I-
20.

.LONG TERM...
(Friday NIght through Wednesday)

Very quiet pattern in the long term continues. Fairly strong
shortwave will dive across the area on Friday Night and early
Saturday, but with low and mid levels remaining very dry, dry
forecast will continue. This wave will race east, and leave a deep
trough over the Mississippi Valley and ridge over the Rockies for
much of the remainder of the period. Northwest flow will prevail,
which allows for little in the way of sustained low level moisture
return. Temperatures a little above normal will prevail until a
weak cold front pushes across on Sunday Night and Monday, then
quickly rebound into the 70s by Wednesday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  32  59  32  60 /   0   5  10   5
San Angelo  29  61  29  63 /   0   5   5   5
Junction  26  59  25  61 /   0   0  10   5

&&

.SJT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

04/07





000
FXUS64 KSJT 042150
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SAN ANGELO TX
350 PM CST THU FEB 4 2016

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Friday)

...Elevated Fire Weather Conditions Friday afternoon...

South to southwest winds of 15 to 20 mph will bring elevated fire
conditions Friday afternoon, as a tighter pressure gradient develops
between a developing lee trough over West Texas and surface high
pressure over East Texas. The Big Country, Concho Valley, and
Crockett county will have the strongest winds and the higher fire
danger. However, all counties have very dry fuels and numerous grass
fires have occurred.

Otherwise, for tonight, southwest to west winds will become south as
surface high pressure moves east. Lows in the mid and upper 20s are
expected south of Interstate 20, with slightly stronger winds and
mixing keeping temperatures in the lower 30s along and north of I-
20.

.LONG TERM...
(Friday NIght through Wednesday)

Very quiet pattern in the long term continues. Fairly strong
shortwave will dive across the area on Friday Night and early
Saturday, but with low and mid levels remaining very dry, dry
forecast will continue. This wave will race east, and leave a deep
trough over the Mississippi Valley and ridge over the Rockies for
much of the remainder of the period. Northwest flow will prevail,
which allows for little in the way of sustained low level moisture
return. Temperatures a little above normal will prevail until a
weak cold front pushes across on Sunday Night and Monday, then
quickly rebound into the 70s by Wednesday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  32  59  32  60 /   0   5  10   5
San Angelo  29  61  29  63 /   0   5   5   5
Junction  26  59  25  61 /   0   0  10   5

&&

.SJT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

04/07





000
FXUS64 KSJT 042150
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SAN ANGELO TX
350 PM CST THU FEB 4 2016

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Friday)

...Elevated Fire Weather Conditions Friday afternoon...

South to southwest winds of 15 to 20 mph will bring elevated fire
conditions Friday afternoon, as a tighter pressure gradient develops
between a developing lee trough over West Texas and surface high
pressure over East Texas. The Big Country, Concho Valley, and
Crockett county will have the strongest winds and the higher fire
danger. However, all counties have very dry fuels and numerous grass
fires have occurred.

Otherwise, for tonight, southwest to west winds will become south as
surface high pressure moves east. Lows in the mid and upper 20s are
expected south of Interstate 20, with slightly stronger winds and
mixing keeping temperatures in the lower 30s along and north of I-
20.

.LONG TERM...
(Friday NIght through Wednesday)

Very quiet pattern in the long term continues. Fairly strong
shortwave will dive across the area on Friday Night and early
Saturday, but with low and mid levels remaining very dry, dry
forecast will continue. This wave will race east, and leave a deep
trough over the Mississippi Valley and ridge over the Rockies for
much of the remainder of the period. Northwest flow will prevail,
which allows for little in the way of sustained low level moisture
return. Temperatures a little above normal will prevail until a
weak cold front pushes across on Sunday Night and Monday, then
quickly rebound into the 70s by Wednesday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  32  59  32  60 /   0   5  10   5
San Angelo  29  61  29  63 /   0   5   5   5
Junction  26  59  25  61 /   0   0  10   5

&&

.SJT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

04/07




000
FXUS64 KSJT 041744
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SAN ANGELO TX
1144 AM CST THU FEB 4 2016

.AVIATION...
/18Z TAFS/

VFR next 24 hours. South to southwest wind generally 10 KTS or
less will become south with gusts up to 25 KTS at KSJT, KABI and
KSOA mid morning Friday as a lee trough develops.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 541 AM CST THU FEB 4 2016/

AVIATION...
/12Z TAFS/

VFR conditions will continue the next 24 hours. Expect light
winds through the period.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 402 AM CST THU FEB 4 2016/

SHORT TERM...
(Today and Tonight)

Tranquil weather will continue across the area the next 24 hours.
Surface high pressure resides over Texas this morning, with clear
skies and light winds areawide. Temperatures will start off cold
today, with pre-sunrise readings in the lower and middle 20s across
much of the area. As the surface high moves off to the east today,
winds will become light south to southwesterly around 10 mph. Skies
will be sunny, with afternoon highs mainly in the middle 50s.

Clear skies continue tonight with light south winds. Temperatures
will not be as cold, with overnight lows in the upper 20s and lower
30s.

LONG TERM...
(Friday through Wednesday)

Near normal temperatures are forecast Friday with highs generally in
the upper 50s to lower 60s. South winds will increase to 15 to 20
mph, with higher gusts, becoming light during the afternoon as a
cold front approaches. A weak front will move through the area
Friday evening resulting in light north winds and slightly cooler
temperatures. Overnight lows will mainly be in the upper 20s to low
30s. Expect highs on Saturday in the upper 50s to lower 60s with
overnight lows mainly in the 30s.

The next upper level trough will swing across the Plains Sunday,
sending a cold front through West Central Texas Sunday afternoon.
Highs on Sunday will mainly be in the low to mid 60s. Near normal
temperatures are forecast on Monday, with highs in the upper 50s to
lower 60s and overnight lows in the 30s. A steady warm up will ensue
through the middle of next week, with highs Wednesday and
Thursday back into the 70s.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  54  31  59  31 /   0   0   5  10
San Angelo  58  29  60  28 /   0   0   5   5
Junction  56  26  60  28 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.SJT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

99/99/04





000
FXUS64 KSJT 041744
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SAN ANGELO TX
1144 AM CST THU FEB 4 2016

.AVIATION...
/18Z TAFS/

VFR next 24 hours. South to southwest wind generally 10 KTS or
less will become south with gusts up to 25 KTS at KSJT, KABI and
KSOA mid morning Friday as a lee trough develops.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 541 AM CST THU FEB 4 2016/

AVIATION...
/12Z TAFS/

VFR conditions will continue the next 24 hours. Expect light
winds through the period.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 402 AM CST THU FEB 4 2016/

SHORT TERM...
(Today and Tonight)

Tranquil weather will continue across the area the next 24 hours.
Surface high pressure resides over Texas this morning, with clear
skies and light winds areawide. Temperatures will start off cold
today, with pre-sunrise readings in the lower and middle 20s across
much of the area. As the surface high moves off to the east today,
winds will become light south to southwesterly around 10 mph. Skies
will be sunny, with afternoon highs mainly in the middle 50s.

Clear skies continue tonight with light south winds. Temperatures
will not be as cold, with overnight lows in the upper 20s and lower
30s.

LONG TERM...
(Friday through Wednesday)

Near normal temperatures are forecast Friday with highs generally in
the upper 50s to lower 60s. South winds will increase to 15 to 20
mph, with higher gusts, becoming light during the afternoon as a
cold front approaches. A weak front will move through the area
Friday evening resulting in light north winds and slightly cooler
temperatures. Overnight lows will mainly be in the upper 20s to low
30s. Expect highs on Saturday in the upper 50s to lower 60s with
overnight lows mainly in the 30s.

The next upper level trough will swing across the Plains Sunday,
sending a cold front through West Central Texas Sunday afternoon.
Highs on Sunday will mainly be in the low to mid 60s. Near normal
temperatures are forecast on Monday, with highs in the upper 50s to
lower 60s and overnight lows in the 30s. A steady warm up will ensue
through the middle of next week, with highs Wednesday and
Thursday back into the 70s.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  54  31  59  31 /   0   0   5  10
San Angelo  58  29  60  28 /   0   0   5   5
Junction  56  26  60  28 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.SJT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

99/99/04





000
FXUS64 KSJT 041141
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SAN ANGELO TX
541 AM CST THU FEB 4 2016

.AVIATION...
/12Z TAFS/

VFR conditions will continue the next 24 hours. Expect light
winds through the period.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 402 AM CST THU FEB 4 2016/

SHORT TERM...
(Today and Tonight)

Tranquil weather will continue across the area the next 24 hours.
Surface high pressure resides over Texas this morning, with clear
skies and light winds areawide. Temperatures will start off cold
today, with pre-sunrise readings in the lower and middle 20s across
much of the area. As the surface high moves off to the east today,
winds will become light south to southwesterly around 10 mph. Skies
will be sunny, with afternoon highs mainly in the middle 50s.

Clear skies continue tonight with light south winds. Temperatures
will not be as cold, with overnight lows in the upper 20s and lower
30s.

LONG TERM...
(Friday through Wednesday)

Near normal temperatures are forecast Friday with highs generally in
the upper 50s to lower 60s. South winds will increase to 15 to 20
mph, with higher gusts, becoming light during the afternoon as a
cold front approaches. A weak front will move through the area
Friday evening resulting in light north winds and slightly cooler
temperatures. Overnight lows will mainly be in the upper 20s to low
30s. Expect highs on Saturday in the upper 50s to lower 60s with
overnight lows mainly in the 30s.

The next upper level trough will swing across the Plains Sunday,
sending a cold front through West Central Texas Sunday afternoon.
Highs on Sunday will mainly be in the low to mid 60s. Near normal
temperatures are forecast on Monday, with highs in the upper 50s to
lower 60s and overnight lows in the 30s. A steady warm up will ensue
through the middle of next week, with highs Wednesday and
Thursday back into the 70s.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  54  31  59  31 /   0   0   5  10
San Angelo  58  29  60  28 /   0   0   5   5
Junction  56  26  60  28 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.SJT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

99/99/24





000
FXUS64 KSJT 041141
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SAN ANGELO TX
541 AM CST THU FEB 4 2016

.AVIATION...
/12Z TAFS/

VFR conditions will continue the next 24 hours. Expect light
winds through the period.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 402 AM CST THU FEB 4 2016/

SHORT TERM...
(Today and Tonight)

Tranquil weather will continue across the area the next 24 hours.
Surface high pressure resides over Texas this morning, with clear
skies and light winds areawide. Temperatures will start off cold
today, with pre-sunrise readings in the lower and middle 20s across
much of the area. As the surface high moves off to the east today,
winds will become light south to southwesterly around 10 mph. Skies
will be sunny, with afternoon highs mainly in the middle 50s.

Clear skies continue tonight with light south winds. Temperatures
will not be as cold, with overnight lows in the upper 20s and lower
30s.

LONG TERM...
(Friday through Wednesday)

Near normal temperatures are forecast Friday with highs generally in
the upper 50s to lower 60s. South winds will increase to 15 to 20
mph, with higher gusts, becoming light during the afternoon as a
cold front approaches. A weak front will move through the area
Friday evening resulting in light north winds and slightly cooler
temperatures. Overnight lows will mainly be in the upper 20s to low
30s. Expect highs on Saturday in the upper 50s to lower 60s with
overnight lows mainly in the 30s.

The next upper level trough will swing across the Plains Sunday,
sending a cold front through West Central Texas Sunday afternoon.
Highs on Sunday will mainly be in the low to mid 60s. Near normal
temperatures are forecast on Monday, with highs in the upper 50s to
lower 60s and overnight lows in the 30s. A steady warm up will ensue
through the middle of next week, with highs Wednesday and
Thursday back into the 70s.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  54  31  59  31 /   0   0   5  10
San Angelo  58  29  60  28 /   0   0   5   5
Junction  56  26  60  28 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.SJT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

99/99/24




000
FXUS64 KSJT 041141
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SAN ANGELO TX
541 AM CST THU FEB 4 2016

.AVIATION...
/12Z TAFS/

VFR conditions will continue the next 24 hours. Expect light
winds through the period.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 402 AM CST THU FEB 4 2016/

SHORT TERM...
(Today and Tonight)

Tranquil weather will continue across the area the next 24 hours.
Surface high pressure resides over Texas this morning, with clear
skies and light winds areawide. Temperatures will start off cold
today, with pre-sunrise readings in the lower and middle 20s across
much of the area. As the surface high moves off to the east today,
winds will become light south to southwesterly around 10 mph. Skies
will be sunny, with afternoon highs mainly in the middle 50s.

Clear skies continue tonight with light south winds. Temperatures
will not be as cold, with overnight lows in the upper 20s and lower
30s.

LONG TERM...
(Friday through Wednesday)

Near normal temperatures are forecast Friday with highs generally in
the upper 50s to lower 60s. South winds will increase to 15 to 20
mph, with higher gusts, becoming light during the afternoon as a
cold front approaches. A weak front will move through the area
Friday evening resulting in light north winds and slightly cooler
temperatures. Overnight lows will mainly be in the upper 20s to low
30s. Expect highs on Saturday in the upper 50s to lower 60s with
overnight lows mainly in the 30s.

The next upper level trough will swing across the Plains Sunday,
sending a cold front through West Central Texas Sunday afternoon.
Highs on Sunday will mainly be in the low to mid 60s. Near normal
temperatures are forecast on Monday, with highs in the upper 50s to
lower 60s and overnight lows in the 30s. A steady warm up will ensue
through the middle of next week, with highs Wednesday and
Thursday back into the 70s.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  54  31  59  31 /   0   0   5  10
San Angelo  58  29  60  28 /   0   0   5   5
Junction  56  26  60  28 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.SJT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

99/99/24





000
FXUS64 KSJT 041002
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SAN ANGELO TX
402 AM CST THU FEB 4 2016

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and Tonight)

Tranquil weather will continue across the area the next 24 hours.
Surface high pressure resides over Texas this morning, with clear
skies and light winds areawide. Temperatures will start off cold
today, with pre-sunrise readings in the lower and middle 20s across
much of the area. As the surface high moves off to the east today,
winds will become light south to southwesterly around 10 mph. Skies
will be sunny, with afternoon highs mainly in the middle 50s.

Clear skies continue tonight with light south winds. Temperatures
will not be as cold, with overnight lows in the upper 20s and lower
30s.

.LONG TERM...
(Friday through Wednesday)

Near normal temperatures are forecast Friday with highs generally in
the upper 50s to lower 60s. South winds will increase to 15 to 20
mph, with higher gusts, becoming light during the afternoon as a
cold front approaches. A weak front will move through the area
Friday evening resulting in light north winds and slightly cooler
temperatures. Overnight lows will mainly be in the upper 20s to low
30s. Expect highs on Saturday in the upper 50s to lower 60s with
overnight lows mainly in the 30s.

The next upper level trough will swing across the Plains Sunday,
sending a cold front through West Central Texas Sunday afternoon.
Highs on Sunday will mainly be in the low to mid 60s. Near normal
temperatures are forecast on Monday, with highs in the upper 50s to
lower 60s and overnight lows in the 30s. A steady warm up will ensue
through the middle of next week, with highs Wednesday and
Thursday back into the 70s.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  54  31  59  31 /   0   0   5  10
San Angelo  58  29  60  28 /   0   0   5   5
Junction  56  26  60  28 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.SJT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

24/Daniels




000
FXUS64 KSJT 041002
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SAN ANGELO TX
402 AM CST THU FEB 4 2016

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and Tonight)

Tranquil weather will continue across the area the next 24 hours.
Surface high pressure resides over Texas this morning, with clear
skies and light winds areawide. Temperatures will start off cold
today, with pre-sunrise readings in the lower and middle 20s across
much of the area. As the surface high moves off to the east today,
winds will become light south to southwesterly around 10 mph. Skies
will be sunny, with afternoon highs mainly in the middle 50s.

Clear skies continue tonight with light south winds. Temperatures
will not be as cold, with overnight lows in the upper 20s and lower
30s.

.LONG TERM...
(Friday through Wednesday)

Near normal temperatures are forecast Friday with highs generally in
the upper 50s to lower 60s. South winds will increase to 15 to 20
mph, with higher gusts, becoming light during the afternoon as a
cold front approaches. A weak front will move through the area
Friday evening resulting in light north winds and slightly cooler
temperatures. Overnight lows will mainly be in the upper 20s to low
30s. Expect highs on Saturday in the upper 50s to lower 60s with
overnight lows mainly in the 30s.

The next upper level trough will swing across the Plains Sunday,
sending a cold front through West Central Texas Sunday afternoon.
Highs on Sunday will mainly be in the low to mid 60s. Near normal
temperatures are forecast on Monday, with highs in the upper 50s to
lower 60s and overnight lows in the 30s. A steady warm up will ensue
through the middle of next week, with highs Wednesday and
Thursday back into the 70s.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  54  31  59  31 /   0   0   5  10
San Angelo  58  29  60  28 /   0   0   5   5
Junction  56  26  60  28 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.SJT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

24/Daniels





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