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000
FXUS63 KUNR 250937
AFDUNR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR WESTERN SD AND NORTHEASTERN WY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
337 AM MDT SAT OCT 25 2014

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT
ISSUED AT 334 AM MDT SAT OCT 25 2014

UPPER RIDGING CONTINUES TO DOMINATE THE SRN GREAT PLAINS WITH THE
MAIN AXIS EXTENDING TOWARD THE NRN ROCKIES...AHEAD OF A TROUGH
APPROACHING THE PACIFIC NW. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE NOW OVER THE NRN
PLAINS WILL SLIDE EAST TODAY INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST. RETURN FLOW
SETS UP TODAY WITH WARMER AIR MOVING BACK INTO NE WY INTO SW
SD...WHERE HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S ARE EXPECTED. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REST OF THE CWA.

UPPER TROUGH WILL CROSS THE NRN ROCKIES SUNDAY WITH LOW PRESSURE
SLIDING INTO THE NRN PLAINS. SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR WILL PUSH IN FROM
THE WEST DURING THE DAY WHILE THE THERMAL RIDGE PUSHES EWD. MAX
TEMPS WILL BE IN THE UPPER 70S/LOWER 80S ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
WRN/CNTRL SD PLAINS...WHILE NE WY WILL REMAIN IN THE 60S. A STRONGER
COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA SUN NIGHT AS THE STRONG TROUGH
CROSSES THE NRN PLAINS. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING CHANCES OF SHOWERS TO
THE CWA SUN NIGHT...MAINLY ACROSS NE WY...THE NRN BLKHLS...AND NW
SD. OVERALL LITTLE QPF IS EXPECTED WITH THIS SYSTEM.

&&

.LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
ISSUED AT 334 AM MDT SAT OCT 25 2014

WINDY CONDITIONS ALONG WITH SOME LINGERING -SHRA EXPECTED ON
MONDAY IN WAKE OF THE CDFNT. THE UPPER RIDGE WILL THEN REBUILD
THROUGH THE NRN PLAINS AND PERSIST THE REST OF THE WEEK...BRINGING
DRY WX AND TEMPS NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY MORNING
ISSUED AT 334 AM MDT SAT OCT 25 2014

VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.UNR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...NONE.
WY...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...13
LONG TERM...JOHNSON
AVIATION...JOHNSON








000
FXUS63 KUNR 250508
AFDUNR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR WESTERN SD AND NORTHEASTERN WY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
1108 PM MDT FRI OCT 24 2014

.SHORT TERM...THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT
ISSUED AT 255 PM MDT FRI OCT 24 2014

CURRENT SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS WEAK COLD FRONT STRETCHING FROM
NORTHEASTERN ND TO FAR NORTHWESTERN SD AND SOUTHERN MT. UPPER
LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS RIDGING OVER THE ROCKIES REGION... WITH
STRONG UPPER JET AROUND THE RIDGE FROM THE PACIFIC NW INTO THE
NORTHERN ROCKIES AND SOUTH CENTRAL CANADA. SKIES ARE MAINLY SUNNY
ACROSS THE AREA WITH MILD TEMPS IN THE MID 60S TO MID 70S. WINDS
HAVE BECOME A BIT BREEZY ACROSS NORTHWESTERN SD AS THE FRONT HANGS
OVER THE AREA.

ANOTHER MILD WEEKEND IS IN STORE FOR THE AREA AS THE RIDGE SLOWLY
MOVES EAST OVER THE REGION AND THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WASHES OUT OVER
THE AREA TONIGHT. SKIES WILL REMAIN CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY THROUGH
SATURDAY WITH LIGHT WINDS TONIGHT TURNING TO THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST
ON SATURDAY. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES...LIGHT WINDS...AND DRY AIR IN PLACE
WILL ALLOW TEMPS TO DROP QUICKLY THIS EVENING...WITH LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S AND LOWER 40S AT MOST LOCATIONS. SOME VALLEY LOCATIONS
WILL LIKELY DROP TO NEAR FREEZING. SOME WARMER AIR ALOFT WILL BUILD
INTO THE AREA ON SATURDAY AS THE THERMAL RIDGE AXIS MOVES OVER THE
AREA. HOWEVER...LOW LEVEL MIXING WILL NOT BE AS STRONG AS TODAY IN
MOST AREAS WITH SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS DEVELOPING. HIGHS ON SATURDAY
WILL BE SIMILAR TO TODAY IN MOST AREAS...RANGING FROM THE MID 60S
OVER THE HIGHER BLACK HILLS AND FAR NORTHWESTERN SD TO THE MID AND
UPPER 70S OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST WY AND FAR SOUTHERN SD.


&&

.LONG TERM...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
ISSUED AT 255 PM MDT FRI OCT 24 2014

THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL SHIFT OFF TO THE EAST ON SUNDAY AS AN
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. HIGH TEMPERATURES ON
SUNDAY WILL BE WELL ABOVE THE AVERAGE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. THE
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL AFFECT THE AREA ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY. A
COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT. FORCING ASSOCIATED
WITH THE UPPER TROUGH AND COOLER AIR FLOWING INTO THE REGION WILL
PRODUCE A CHANCE OF SHOWERS ON SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. WET BULB
ZERO PROFILES SUGGEST SOME LIGHT SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE
HIGHER ELEVATIONS LATE SUNDAY NIGHT/EARLY MONDAY. DRY WEATHER IS
THEN EXPECTED THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK WITH SEASONABLE HIGH
TEMPERATURES...MAINLY IN THE 50S ON THE PLAINS.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1108 PM MDT FRI OCT 24 2014

VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING.

&&

.UNR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...NONE.
WY...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...26
LONG TERM...10
AVIATION...7








000
FXUS63 KUNR 242256
AFDUNR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR WESTERN SD AND NORTHEASTERN WY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
456 PM MDT FRI OCT 24 2014

.SHORT TERM...THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT
ISSUED AT 255 PM MDT FRI OCT 24 2014

CURRENT SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS WEAK COLD FRONT STRETCHING FROM
NORTHEASTERN ND TO FAR NORTHWESTERN SD AND SOUTHERN MT. UPPER
LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS RIDGING OVER THE ROCKIES REGION... WITH
STRONG UPPER JET AROUND THE RIDGE FROM THE PACIFIC NW INTO THE
NORTHERN ROCKIES AND SOUTH CENTRAL CANADA. SKIES ARE MAINLY SUNNY
ACROSS THE AREA WITH MILD TEMPS IN THE MID 60S TO MID 70S. WINDS
HAVE BECOME A BIT BREEZY ACROSS NORTHWESTERN SD AS THE FRONT HANGS
OVER THE AREA.

ANOTHER MILD WEEKEND IS IN STORE FOR THE AREA AS THE RIDGE SLOWLY
MOVES EAST OVER THE REGION AND THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WASHES OUT OVER
THE AREA TONIGHT. SKIES WILL REMAIN CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY THROUGH
SATURDAY WITH LIGHT WINDS TONIGHT TURNING TO THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST
ON SATURDAY. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES...LIGHT WINDS...AND DRY AIR IN PLACE
WILL ALLOW TEMPS TO DROP QUICKLY THIS EVENING...WITH LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S AND LOWER 40S AT MOST LOCATIONS. SOME VALLEY LOCATIONS
WILL LIKELY DROP TO NEAR FREEZING. SOME WARMER AIR ALOFT WILL BUILD
INTO THE AREA ON SATURDAY AS THE THERMAL RIDGE AXIS MOVES OVER THE
AREA. HOWEVER...LOW LEVEL MIXING WILL NOT BE AS STRONG AS TODAY IN
MOST AREAS WITH SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS DEVELOPING. HIGHS ON SATURDAY
WILL BE SIMILAR TO TODAY IN MOST AREAS...RANGING FROM THE MID 60S
OVER THE HIGHER BLACK HILLS AND FAR NORTHWESTERN SD TO THE MID AND
UPPER 70S OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST WY AND FAR SOUTHERN SD.


&&

.LONG TERM...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
ISSUED AT 255 PM MDT FRI OCT 24 2014

THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL SHIFT OFF TO THE EAST ON SUNDAY AS AN
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. HIGH TEMPERATURES ON
SUNDAY WILL BE WELL ABOVE THE AVERAGE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. THE
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL AFFECT THE AREA ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY. A
COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT. FORCING ASSOCIATED
WITH THE UPPER TROUGH AND COOLER AIR FLOWING INTO THE REGION WILL
PRODUCE A CHANCE OF SHOWERS ON SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. WET BULB
ZERO PROFILES SUGGEST SOME LIGHT SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE
HIGHER ELEVATIONS LATE SUNDAY NIGHT/EARLY MONDAY. DRY WEATHER IS
THEN EXPECTED THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK WITH SEASONABLE HIGH
TEMPERATURES...MAINLY IN THE 50S ON THE PLAINS.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 455 PM MDT FRI OCT 24 2014

VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.UNR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...NONE.
WY...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...26
LONG TERM...10
AVIATION...77








000
FXUS63 KUNR 242057
AFDUNR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR WESTERN SD AND NORTHEASTERN WY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
257 PM MDT FRI OCT 24 2014

.SHORT TERM...THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT
ISSUED AT 255 PM MDT FRI OCT 24 2014

CURRENT SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS WEAK COLD FRONT STRETCHING FROM
NORTHEASTERN ND TO FAR NORTHWESTERN SD AND SOUTHERN MT. UPPER
LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS RIDGING OVER THE ROCKIES REGION... WITH
STRONG UPPER JET AROUND THE RIDGE FROM THE PACIFIC NW INTO THE
NORTHERN ROCKIES AND SOUTH CENTRAL CANADA. SKIES ARE MAINLY SUNNY
ACROSS THE AREA WITH MILD TEMPS IN THE MID 60S TO MID 70S. WINDS
HAVE BECOME A BIT BREEZY ACROSS NORTHWESTERN SD AS THE FRONT HANGS
OVER THE AREA.

ANOTHER MILD WEEKEND IS IN STORE FOR THE AREA AS THE RIDGE SLOWLY
MOVES EAST OVER THE REGION AND THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WASHES OUT OVER
THE AREA TONIGHT. SKIES WILL REMAIN CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY THROUGH
SATURDAY WITH LIGHT WINDS TONIGHT TURNING TO THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST
ON SATURDAY. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES...LIGHT WINDS...AND DRY AIR IN PLACE
WILL ALLOW TEMPS TO DROP QUICKLY THIS EVENING...WITH LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S AND LOWER 40S AT MOST LOCATIONS. SOME VALLEY LOCATIONS
WILL LIKELY DROP TO NEAR FREEZING. SOME WARMER AIR ALOFT WILL BUILD
INTO THE AREA ON SATURDAY AS THE THERMAL RIDGE AXIS MOVES OVER THE
AREA. HOWEVER...LOW LEVEL MIXING WILL NOT BE AS STRONG AS TODAY IN
MOST AREAS WITH SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS DEVELOPING. HIGHS ON SATURDAY
WILL BE SIMILAR TO TODAY IN MOST AREAS...RANGING FROM THE MID 60S
OVER THE HIGHER BLACK HILLS AND FAR NORTHWESTERN SD TO THE MID AND
UPPER 70S OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST WY AND FAR SOUTHERN SD.

&&

.LONG TERM...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
ISSUED AT 255 PM MDT FRI OCT 24 2014

THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL SHIFT OFF TO THE EAST ON SUNDAY AS AN
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. HIGH TEMPERATURES ON
SUNDAY WILL BE WELL ABOVE THE AVERAGE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. THE
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL AFFECT THE AREA ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY. A
COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT. FORCING ASSOCIATED
WITH THE UPPER TROUGH AND COOLER AIR FLOWING INTO THE REGION WILL
PRODUCE A CHANCE OF SHOWERS ON SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. WET BULB
ZERO PROFILES SUGGEST SOME LIGHT SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE
HIGHER ELEVATIONS LATE SUNDAY NIGHT/EARLY MONDAY. DRY WEATHER IS
THEN EXPECTED THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK WITH SEASONABLE HIGH
TEMPERATURES...MAINLY IN THE 50S ON THE PLAINS.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY
ISSUED AT 253 PM MDT FRI OCT 24 2014

VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH A
STREAM OF MID/HIGH CLOUDS.

&&

.UNR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...NONE.
WY...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...26
LONG TERM...10
AVIATION...10








000
FXUS63 KUNR 241711
AFDUNR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR WESTERN SD AND NORTHEASTERN WY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
1111 AM MDT FRI OCT 24 2014

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT
ISSUED AT 320 AM MDT FRI OCT 24 2014

STRONG UPPER RIDGING CONTINUES ACROSS THE SCNTRL CONUS...WITH THE
MAIN UPPER FLOW CROSSING THE PACIFIC NW TO THE NRN PLAINS. UPPER
FLOW BRINGING IN PLENTY OF HIGH CLOUDS EARLY THIS MORNING. SURFACE
ANALYSIS SHOWS HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS.

NOT MUCH CHANGE TO THE OVERALL PATTERN SINCE YESTERDAY...WITH
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO REACH THE UPPER 60S TO UPPER 70S TODAY.
HIGH CLOUDS WILL SLIDE NORTH TODAY WITH SUNNY SKIES EXPECTED IN THE
AFTERNOON. UPPER RIDGING WILL EXTEND NRD SAT INTO THE NRN
ROCKIES/PLAINS...IN RESPONSE TO A TROUGH PUSHING INTO THE PACIFIC
NW. SUNNY SKIES ARE EXPECTED SAT WITH HIGHS AGAIN IN THE UPPER 60S
TO UPPER 70S. WARMEST TEMPS TODAY WILL BE IN SCNTRL SD...BUT WARMEST
TEMPS SAT WILL SWITCH TO NE WY AS RETURN FLOW SETS UP W/ SE WINDS.


&&

.LONG TERM...SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
ISSUED AT 320 AM MDT FRI OCT 24 2014

A PERSISTENT UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL STICK AROUND A BIT
LONGER SUNDAY RESULTING IN CONTINUED ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES. AN
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY PUSHING A
COLD FRONT THROUGH THE CWA. ENOUGH FORCING PRESENT TO OVERCOME DRY
AIR AND THUS WILL CONTINUE POPS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. WET BULB
ZERO PROFILES SUGGEST SOME SNOW POSSIBLE OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS
LATE AT NIGHT. MAINLY DRY WEATHER IS THEN EXPECTED TUESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY WITH SEASONAL FALL TEMPERATURES.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY
ISSUED AT 1109 AM MDT FRI OCT 24 2014

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH PERIOD WITH PERIODS OF MID/HIGH
CLOUDS.

&&

.UNR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...NONE.
WY...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...13
LONG TERM...HELGESON
AVIATION...10








000
FXUS63 KUNR 240921
AFDUNR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR WESTERN SD AND NORTHEASTERN WY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
321 AM MDT FRI OCT 24 2014

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT
ISSUED AT 320 AM MDT FRI OCT 24 2014

STRONG UPPER RIDGING CONTINUES ACROSS THE SCNTRL CONUS...WITH THE
MAIN UPPER FLOW CROSSING THE PACIFIC NW TO THE NRN PLAINS. UPPER
FLOW BRINGING IN PLENTY OF HIGH CLOUDS EARLY THIS MORNING. SURFACE
ANALYSIS SHOWS HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS.

NOT MUCH CHANGE TO THE OVERALL PATTERN SINCE YESTERDAY...WITH
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO REACH THE UPPER 60S TO UPPER 70S TODAY.
HIGH CLOUDS WILL SLIDE NORTH TODAY WITH SUNNY SKIES EXPECTED IN THE
AFTERNOON. UPPER RIDGING WILL EXTEND NRD SAT INTO THE NRN
ROCKIES/PLAINS...IN RESPONSE TO A TROUGH PUSHING INTO THE PACIFIC
NW. SUNNY SKIES ARE EXPECTED SAT WITH HIGHS AGAIN IN THE UPPER 60S
TO UPPER 70S. WARMEST TEMPS TODAY WILL BE IN SCNTRL SD...BUT WARMEST
TEMPS SAT WILL SWITCH TO NE WY AS RETURN FLOW SETS UP W/ SE WINDS.

&&

.LONG TERM...SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
ISSUED AT 320 AM MDT FRI OCT 24 2014

A PERSISTENT UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL STICK AROUND A BIT
LONGER SUNDAY RESULTING IN CONTINUED ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES. AN
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY PUSHING A
COLD FRONT THROUGH THE CWA. ENOUGH FORCING PRESENT TO OVERCOME DRY
AIR AND THUS WILL CONTINUE POPS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. WET BULB
ZERO PROFILES SUGGEST SOME SNOW POSSIBLE OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS
LATE AT NIGHT. MAINLY DRY WEATHER IS THEN EXPECTED TUESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY WITH SEASONAL FALL TEMPERATURES.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY MORNING
ISSUED AT 320 AM MDT FRI OCT 24 2014

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH PERIOD WITH A STREAM
OF MID/HIGH CLOUDS.

&&

.UNR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...NONE.
WY...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...13
LONG TERM...HELGESON
AVIATION...HELGESON









000
FXUS63 KUNR 240502
AFDUNR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR WESTERN SD AND NORTHEASTERN WY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
1102 PM MDT THU OCT 23 2014

.SHORT TERM...THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT
ISSUED AT 233 PM MDT THU OCT 23 2014

UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS HAS BROAD RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHWEST CONUS WITH
SHORTWAVE RIDGE CROSSING THE NORTHERN PLAINS. SKIES ACROSS THE
NORTHERN PLAINS ARE PARTLY SUNNY WITH MAINLY THIN CIRRUS CROSSING
THE AREA. AT THE SURFACE...WEAK HIGH PRESSURE IS IN PLACE WITH LEE
TROF DEVELOPING ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL MONTANA. TEMPERATURES ACROSS
THE FORECAST AREA ARE IN THE 60S AND 70S...WITH LIGHT WEST TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS.

UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS TONIGHT
AND INTO FRIDAY WITH DRY AND MILD CONDITIONS EXPECTED. LOW
TEMPERATURES WILL FALL INTO THE UPPER 30S TO UPPER 40S TONIGHT
WITH LIGHT WINDS PERSISTING. ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED AGAIN ON FRIDAY UNDER MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES. HIGHS WILL BE
IN THE UPPER 60S TO UPPER 70S...WITH LIGHT WESTERLY WINDS
CONTINUING.


&&

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
ISSUED AT 233 PM MDT THU OCT 23 2014

THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL KEEP DRY WEATHER AND WARMER THAN
AVERAGE TEMPERATURES OVER THE REGION FROM SATURDAY THROUGH MUCH OF
SUNDAY. CLOUD COVER WILL INCREASE ON SUNDAY AND THERE WILL BE A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS OVER PARTS OF NORTHEASTERN
WYOMING AS THE UPPER RIDGE MOVES OFF TO THE EAST AND A DEEPENING
UPPER TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. COOLER AIR FLOWING INTO THE
REGION WILL BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO MUCH OF THE AREA ON
SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. TEMPERATURES MAY BE COLD ENOUGH FOR A BIT
OF LIGHT SNOW OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE BLACK HILLS FROM
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING. THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS WILL END
ON MONDAY NIGHT AS DRIER AIR MOVES INTO THE REGION. MAINLY DRY
WEATHER WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE 50S IS THEN EXPECTED FOR
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1101 PM MDT THU OCT 23 2014

VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

.UNR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...NONE.
WY...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...15
LONG TERM...10
AVIATION...7








000
FXUS63 KUNR 240502
AFDUNR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR WESTERN SD AND NORTHEASTERN WY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
1102 PM MDT THU OCT 23 2014

.SHORT TERM...THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT
ISSUED AT 233 PM MDT THU OCT 23 2014

UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS HAS BROAD RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHWEST CONUS WITH
SHORTWAVE RIDGE CROSSING THE NORTHERN PLAINS. SKIES ACROSS THE
NORTHERN PLAINS ARE PARTLY SUNNY WITH MAINLY THIN CIRRUS CROSSING
THE AREA. AT THE SURFACE...WEAK HIGH PRESSURE IS IN PLACE WITH LEE
TROF DEVELOPING ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL MONTANA. TEMPERATURES ACROSS
THE FORECAST AREA ARE IN THE 60S AND 70S...WITH LIGHT WEST TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS.

UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS TONIGHT
AND INTO FRIDAY WITH DRY AND MILD CONDITIONS EXPECTED. LOW
TEMPERATURES WILL FALL INTO THE UPPER 30S TO UPPER 40S TONIGHT
WITH LIGHT WINDS PERSISTING. ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED AGAIN ON FRIDAY UNDER MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES. HIGHS WILL BE
IN THE UPPER 60S TO UPPER 70S...WITH LIGHT WESTERLY WINDS
CONTINUING.


&&

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
ISSUED AT 233 PM MDT THU OCT 23 2014

THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL KEEP DRY WEATHER AND WARMER THAN
AVERAGE TEMPERATURES OVER THE REGION FROM SATURDAY THROUGH MUCH OF
SUNDAY. CLOUD COVER WILL INCREASE ON SUNDAY AND THERE WILL BE A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS OVER PARTS OF NORTHEASTERN
WYOMING AS THE UPPER RIDGE MOVES OFF TO THE EAST AND A DEEPENING
UPPER TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. COOLER AIR FLOWING INTO THE
REGION WILL BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO MUCH OF THE AREA ON
SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. TEMPERATURES MAY BE COLD ENOUGH FOR A BIT
OF LIGHT SNOW OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE BLACK HILLS FROM
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING. THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS WILL END
ON MONDAY NIGHT AS DRIER AIR MOVES INTO THE REGION. MAINLY DRY
WEATHER WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE 50S IS THEN EXPECTED FOR
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1101 PM MDT THU OCT 23 2014

VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

.UNR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...NONE.
WY...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...15
LONG TERM...10
AVIATION...7








000
FXUS63 KUNR 232046
AFDUNR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR WESTERN SD AND NORTHEASTERN WY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
246 PM MDT THU OCT 23 2014

.SHORT TERM...THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT
ISSUED AT 233 PM MDT THU OCT 23 2014

UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS HAS BROAD RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHWEST CONUS WITH
SHORTWAVE RIDGE CROSSING THE NORTHERN PLAINS. SKIES ACROSS THE
NORTHERN PLAINS ARE PARTLY SUNNY WITH MAINLY THIN CIRRUS CROSSING
THE AREA. AT THE SURFACE...WEAK HIGH PRESSURE IS IN PLACE WITH LEE
TROF DEVELOPING ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL MONTANA. TEMPERATURES ACROSS
THE FORECAST AREA ARE IN THE 60S AND 70S...WITH LIGHT WEST TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS.

UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS TONIGHT
AND INTO FRIDAY WITH DRY AND MILD CONDITIONS EXPECTED. LOW
TEMPERATURES WILL FALL INTO THE UPPER 30S TO UPPER 40S TONIGHT
WITH LIGHT WINDS PERSISTING. ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED AGAIN ON FRIDAY UNDER MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES. HIGHS WILL BE
IN THE UPPER 60S TO UPPER 70S...WITH LIGHT WESTERLY WINDS
CONTINUING.

&&

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
ISSUED AT 233 PM MDT THU OCT 23 2014

THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL KEEP DRY WEATHER AND WARMER THAN
AVERAGE TEMPERATURES OVER THE REGION FROM SATURDAY THROUGH MUCH OF
SUNDAY. CLOUD COVER WILL INCREASE ON SUNDAY AND THERE WILL BE A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS OVER PARTS OF NORTHEASTERN
WYOMING AS THE UPPER RIDGE MOVES OFF TO THE EAST AND A DEEPENING
UPPER TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. COOLER AIR FLOWING INTO THE
REGION WILL BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO MUCH OF THE AREA ON
SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. TEMPERATURES MAY BE COLD ENOUGH FOR A BIT
OF LIGHT SNOW OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE BLACK HILLS FROM
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING. THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS WILL END
ON MONDAY NIGHT AS DRIER AIR MOVES INTO THE REGION. MAINLY DRY
WEATHER WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE 50S IS THEN EXPECTED FOR
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY AFTERNOON
ISSUED AT 233 PM MDT THU OCT 23 2014

VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT AND ON FRIDAY.

&&

.UNR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...NONE.
WY...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...15
LONG TERM...10
AVIATION...10








000
FXUS63 KUNR 231714
AFDUNR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR WESTERN SD AND NORTHEASTERN WY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
1111 AM MDT THU OCT 23 2014

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 931 AM MDT THU OCT 23 2014

UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CONTINUES TO BUILD ACROSS THE ROCKIES INTO THE
NORTHERN PLAINS. SOME HIGH CLOUDINESS IS CURRENTLY SLIDING ACROSS
THE AREA...LIMITING INSOLATION. WITH THE INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER
ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA...HAVE TRIMMED HIGH
TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES. REMAINDER OF FORECAST IN GOOD SHAPE.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT
ISSUED AT 221 AM MDT THU OCT 23 2014

SKIES ARE CLEAR OVER THE WESTERN DAKOTAS AS AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDS
OVER THE REGION. WINDS ARE LIGHT AND VARIABLE...AND TEMPS ARE
FALLING INTO THE 30S AND 40S.

UPPER HIGH OVER THE SW US WILL RESULT IN DRY AND MILD WEATHER FOR
THE AREA THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. HIGHS TODAY WILL BE IN THE 60S
TO LOW 70S. CANADIAN UPPER LOW WILL FLATTEN THE RIDGE TONIGHT INTO
FRIDAY...CREATING ZONAL FLOW OVER THE REGION. WESTERLY WINDS SHOULD
HELP KEEP LOWS UP TONIGHT...MAINLY IN THE 40S. THEN AS THE SURFACE
TROUGH MOVES THROUGH THE NORTHERN PLAINS...A COOL FRONT WILL SHIFT
WINDS TO THE NORTHWEST. HIGHS FRIDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 60S
ACROSS NORTHWEST SD...THE BLACK HILLS...AND PARTS OF NORTHEAST
WY...TO THE UPPER 70S OVER SOUTH CENTRAL SD. NORTHWEST WINDS MAY
BECOME A BIT BREEZY ACROSS THE SD PLAINS...BUT THE STRONGEST WINDS
WILL BE IN ND.


&&

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
ISSUED AT 1010 AM MDT THU OCT 23 2014

AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER THROUGH
SATURDAY WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND DRY CONDITIONS. THE
UPPER RIDGE SHIFTS EAST SUNDAY AS A TROUGH MOVE THROUGH THE CWA
LATER SUNDAY BRINGING A COLD FRONT AND SOME SHOWERS. COULD BE COLD
ENOUGH IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS FOR A BIT OF SNOW AT NIGHT. SHOWERS
WILL END TUESDAY AS DRIER AIR PUSHES INTO THE REGION.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY
ISSUED AT 1111 AM MDT THU OCT 23 2014

VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT.

&&

.UNR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...NONE.
WY...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE...15
SHORT TERM...POJORLIE
LONG TERM...HELGESON
AVIATION...10











000
FXUS63 KUNR 231714
AFDUNR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR WESTERN SD AND NORTHEASTERN WY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
1111 AM MDT THU OCT 23 2014

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 931 AM MDT THU OCT 23 2014

UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CONTINUES TO BUILD ACROSS THE ROCKIES INTO THE
NORTHERN PLAINS. SOME HIGH CLOUDINESS IS CURRENTLY SLIDING ACROSS
THE AREA...LIMITING INSOLATION. WITH THE INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER
ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA...HAVE TRIMMED HIGH
TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES. REMAINDER OF FORECAST IN GOOD SHAPE.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT
ISSUED AT 221 AM MDT THU OCT 23 2014

SKIES ARE CLEAR OVER THE WESTERN DAKOTAS AS AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDS
OVER THE REGION. WINDS ARE LIGHT AND VARIABLE...AND TEMPS ARE
FALLING INTO THE 30S AND 40S.

UPPER HIGH OVER THE SW US WILL RESULT IN DRY AND MILD WEATHER FOR
THE AREA THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. HIGHS TODAY WILL BE IN THE 60S
TO LOW 70S. CANADIAN UPPER LOW WILL FLATTEN THE RIDGE TONIGHT INTO
FRIDAY...CREATING ZONAL FLOW OVER THE REGION. WESTERLY WINDS SHOULD
HELP KEEP LOWS UP TONIGHT...MAINLY IN THE 40S. THEN AS THE SURFACE
TROUGH MOVES THROUGH THE NORTHERN PLAINS...A COOL FRONT WILL SHIFT
WINDS TO THE NORTHWEST. HIGHS FRIDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 60S
ACROSS NORTHWEST SD...THE BLACK HILLS...AND PARTS OF NORTHEAST
WY...TO THE UPPER 70S OVER SOUTH CENTRAL SD. NORTHWEST WINDS MAY
BECOME A BIT BREEZY ACROSS THE SD PLAINS...BUT THE STRONGEST WINDS
WILL BE IN ND.


&&

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
ISSUED AT 1010 AM MDT THU OCT 23 2014

AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER THROUGH
SATURDAY WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND DRY CONDITIONS. THE
UPPER RIDGE SHIFTS EAST SUNDAY AS A TROUGH MOVE THROUGH THE CWA
LATER SUNDAY BRINGING A COLD FRONT AND SOME SHOWERS. COULD BE COLD
ENOUGH IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS FOR A BIT OF SNOW AT NIGHT. SHOWERS
WILL END TUESDAY AS DRIER AIR PUSHES INTO THE REGION.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY
ISSUED AT 1111 AM MDT THU OCT 23 2014

VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT.

&&

.UNR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...NONE.
WY...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE...15
SHORT TERM...POJORLIE
LONG TERM...HELGESON
AVIATION...10











000
FXUS63 KUNR 231537
AFDUNR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR WESTERN SD AND NORTHEASTERN WY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
937 AM MDT THU OCT 23 2014

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 931 AM MDT THU OCT 23 2014

UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CONTINUES TO BUILD ACROSS THE ROCKIES INTO THE
NORTHERN PLAINS. SOME HIGH CLOUDINESS IS CURRENTLY SLIDING ACROSS
THE AREA...LIMITING INSOLATION. WITH THE INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER
ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA...HAVE TRIMMED HIGH
TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES. REMAINDER OF FORECAST IN GOOD SHAPE.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT
ISSUED AT 221 AM MDT THU OCT 23 2014

SKIES ARE CLEAR OVER THE WESTERN DAKOTAS AS AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDS
OVER THE REGION. WINDS ARE LIGHT AND VARIABLE...AND TEMPS ARE
FALLING INTO THE 30S AND 40S.

UPPER HIGH OVER THE SW US WILL RESULT IN DRY AND MILD WEATHER FOR
THE AREA THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. HIGHS TODAY WILL BE IN THE 60S
TO LOW 70S. CANADIAN UPPER LOW WILL FLATTEN THE RIDGE TONIGHT INTO
FRIDAY...CREATING ZONAL FLOW OVER THE REGION. WESTERLY WINDS SHOULD
HELP KEEP LOWS UP TONIGHT...MAINLY IN THE 40S. THEN AS THE SURFACE
TROUGH MOVES THROUGH THE NORTHERN PLAINS...A COOL FRONT WILL SHIFT
WINDS TO THE NORTHWEST. HIGHS FRIDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 60S
ACROSS NORTHWEST SD...THE BLACK HILLS...AND PARTS OF NORTHEAST
WY...TO THE UPPER 70S OVER SOUTH CENTRAL SD. NORTHWEST WINDS MAY
BECOME A BIT BREEZY ACROSS THE SD PLAINS...BUT THE STRONGEST WINDS
WILL BE IN ND.



&&

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
ISSUED AT 221 AM MDT THU OCT 23 2014

AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER THROUGH
SATURDAY WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND DRY CONDITIONS. THE
UPPER RIDGE SHIFTS EAST SUNDAY AS A TROUGH MOVE THROUGH THE CWA
LATER SUNDAY BRINGING A COLD FRONT AND SOME SHOWERS. COULD BE COLD
ENOUGH IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS FOR A BIT OF SNOW AT NIGHT. SHOWERS
WILL END TUESDAY AS DRIER AIR PUSHES INTO THE REGION.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY NIGHT
ISSUED AT 221 AM MDT THU OCT 23 2014

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.


&&

.UNR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...NONE.
WY...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE...15
SHORT TERM...POJORLIE
LONG TERM...HELGESON
AVIATION...HELGESON








000
FXUS63 KUNR 230823
AFDUNR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR WESTERN SD AND NORTHEASTERN WY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
223 AM MDT THU OCT 23 2014

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT
ISSUED AT 221 AM MDT THU OCT 23 2014

SKIES ARE CLEAR OVER THE WESTERN DAKOTAS AS AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDS
OVER THE REGION. WINDS ARE LIGHT AND VARIABLE...AND TEMPS ARE
FALLING INTO THE 30S AND 40S.

UPPER HIGH OVER THE SW US WILL RESULT IN DRY AND MILD WEATHER FOR
THE AREA THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. HIGHS TODAY WILL BE IN THE 60S
TO LOW 70S. CANADIAN UPPER LOW WILL FLATTEN THE RIDGE TONIGHT INTO
FRIDAY...CREATING ZONAL FLOW OVER THE REGION. WESTERLY WINDS SHOULD
HELP KEEP LOWS UP TONIGHT...MAINLY IN THE 40S. THEN AS THE SURFACE
TROUGH MOVES THROUGH THE NORTHERN PLAINS...A COOL FRONT WILL SHIFT
WINDS TO THE NORTHWEST. HIGHS FRIDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 60S
ACROSS NORTHWEST SD...THE BLACK HILLS...AND PARTS OF NORTHEAST
WY...TO THE UPPER 70S OVER SOUTH CENTRAL SD. NORTHWEST WINDS MAY
BECOME A BIT BREEZY ACROSS THE SD PLAINS...BUT THE STRONGEST WINDS
WILL BE IN ND.


&&

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
ISSUED AT 221 AM MDT THU OCT 23 2014

AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER THROUGH
SATURDAY WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND DRY CONDITIONS. THE
UPPER RIDGE SHIFTS EAST SUNDAY AS A TROUGH MOVE THROUGH THE CWA
LATER SUNDAY BRINGING A COLD FRONT AND SOME SHOWERS. COULD BE COLD
ENOUGH IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS FOR A BIT OF SNOW AT NIGHT. SHOWERS
WILL END TUESDAY AS DRIER AIR PUSHES INTO THE REGION.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY NIGHT
ISSUED AT 221 AM MDT THU OCT 23 2014

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.UNR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...NONE.
WY...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...POJORLIE
LONG TERM...HELGESON
AVIATION...HELGESON








000
FXUS63 KUNR 230422
AFDUNR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR WESTERN SD AND NORTHEASTERN WY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
1022 PM MDT WED OCT 22 2014

.SHORT TERM...THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT
ISSUED AT 144 PM MDT WED OCT 22 2014

WATER VAPOR SHOWS UPPER TROF AXIS PUSHING THROUGH THE NORTHERN
PLAINS WITH WEAK RIDGING MOVING ACROSS THE ROCKIES. CLOUDY SKIES
HAVE SHIFTED EAST WITH SUNNY SKIES TAKING OVER. SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE IS IN PLACE ACROSS MUCH OF THE WESTERN CONUS.
TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA AT 2 PM ARE IN THE 50S AND
60S...AND THE WINDS ARE OUT OF THE WEST TO NORTHWEST.

UPPER RIDGE RETURNS OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS TONIGHT AND INTO
THURSDAY AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVER THE AREA. SKIES
WILL BE MOSTLY CLEAR/SUNNY...WITH TEMPS FALLING INTO THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S TONIGHT...AND WARMING INTO THE 60S AND LOWER 70S ON
THURSDAY. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT OUT OF THE WEST TO SOUTHWEST.

&&

.LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
ISSUED AT 144 PM MDT WED OCT 22 2014

AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD OVER THE CENTRAL
CONUS THROUGH SATURDAY. THIS WILL BRING WARM TEMPERATURES AND DRY
CONDITIONS. THE UPPER RIDGE WILL SHIFT TO THE EAST ON SUNDAY AS AN
UPPER LEVEL TROF MOVES INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. SHORTWAVE AHEAD
OF THE MAIN TROF AND COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE AREA SUNDAY
NIGHT...BRINGING INCREASING CLOUDS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS
THROUGH MONDAY. THE MAIN UPPER TROF EXITS THE AREA LATE MONDAY
NIGHT/EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...PUSHING THE SHOWER ACTIVITY TO THE
EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA. WEAK RIDGING THEN RETURNS ON WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1022 PM MDT WED OCT 22 2014

VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.UNR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...NONE.
WY...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...15
LONG TERM...MLS
AVIATION...JC








000
FXUS63 KUNR 222315
AFDUNR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR WESTERN SD AND NORTHEASTERN WY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
515 PM MDT WED OCT 22 2014

.SHORT TERM...THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT
ISSUED AT 144 PM MDT WED OCT 22 2014

WATER VAPOR SHOWS UPPER TROF AXIS PUSHING THROUGH THE NORTHERN
PLAINS WITH WEAK RIDGING MOVING ACROSS THE ROCKIES. CLOUDY SKIES
HAVE SHIFTED EAST WITH SUNNY SKIES TAKING OVER. SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE IS IN PLACE ACROSS MUCH OF THE WESTERN CONUS.
TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA AT 2 PM ARE IN THE 50S AND
60S...AND THE WINDS ARE OUT OF THE WEST TO NORTHWEST.

UPPER RIDGE RETURNS OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS TONIGHT AND INTO
THURSDAY AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVER THE AREA. SKIES
WILL BE MOSTLY CLEAR/SUNNY...WITH TEMPS FALLING INTO THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S TONIGHT...AND WARMING INTO THE 60S AND LOWER 70S ON
THURSDAY. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT OUT OF THE WEST TO SOUTHWEST.


&&

.LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
ISSUED AT 144 PM MDT WED OCT 22 2014

AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD OVER THE CENTRAL
CONUS THROUGH SATURDAY. THIS WILL BRING WARM TEMPERATURES AND DRY
CONDITIONS. THE UPPER RIDGE WILL SHIFT TO THE EAST ON SUNDAY AS AN
UPPER LEVEL TROF MOVES INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. SHORTWAVE AHEAD
OF THE MAIN TROF AND COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE AREA SUNDAY
NIGHT...BRINGING INCREASING CLOUDS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS
THROUGH MONDAY. THE MAIN UPPER TROF EXITS THE AREA LATE MONDAY
NIGHT/EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...PUSHING THE SHOWER ACTIVITY TO THE
EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA. WEAK RIDGING THEN RETURNS ON WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 513 PM MDT WED OCT 22 2014

VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.UNR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...NONE.
WY...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...15
LONG TERM...MLS
AVIATION...JC








000
FXUS63 KUNR 222315
AFDUNR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR WESTERN SD AND NORTHEASTERN WY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
515 PM MDT WED OCT 22 2014

.SHORT TERM...THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT
ISSUED AT 144 PM MDT WED OCT 22 2014

WATER VAPOR SHOWS UPPER TROF AXIS PUSHING THROUGH THE NORTHERN
PLAINS WITH WEAK RIDGING MOVING ACROSS THE ROCKIES. CLOUDY SKIES
HAVE SHIFTED EAST WITH SUNNY SKIES TAKING OVER. SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE IS IN PLACE ACROSS MUCH OF THE WESTERN CONUS.
TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA AT 2 PM ARE IN THE 50S AND
60S...AND THE WINDS ARE OUT OF THE WEST TO NORTHWEST.

UPPER RIDGE RETURNS OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS TONIGHT AND INTO
THURSDAY AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVER THE AREA. SKIES
WILL BE MOSTLY CLEAR/SUNNY...WITH TEMPS FALLING INTO THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S TONIGHT...AND WARMING INTO THE 60S AND LOWER 70S ON
THURSDAY. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT OUT OF THE WEST TO SOUTHWEST.


&&

.LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
ISSUED AT 144 PM MDT WED OCT 22 2014

AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD OVER THE CENTRAL
CONUS THROUGH SATURDAY. THIS WILL BRING WARM TEMPERATURES AND DRY
CONDITIONS. THE UPPER RIDGE WILL SHIFT TO THE EAST ON SUNDAY AS AN
UPPER LEVEL TROF MOVES INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. SHORTWAVE AHEAD
OF THE MAIN TROF AND COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE AREA SUNDAY
NIGHT...BRINGING INCREASING CLOUDS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS
THROUGH MONDAY. THE MAIN UPPER TROF EXITS THE AREA LATE MONDAY
NIGHT/EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...PUSHING THE SHOWER ACTIVITY TO THE
EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA. WEAK RIDGING THEN RETURNS ON WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 513 PM MDT WED OCT 22 2014

VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.UNR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...NONE.
WY...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...15
LONG TERM...MLS
AVIATION...JC








000
FXUS63 KUNR 221959
AFDUNR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR WESTERN SD AND NORTHEASTERN WY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
159 PM MDT WED OCT 22 2014

.SHORT TERM...THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT
ISSUED AT 144 PM MDT WED OCT 22 2014

WATER VAPOR SHOWS UPPER TROF AXIS PUSHING THROUGH THE NORTHERN
PLAINS WITH WEAK RIDGING MOVING ACROSS THE ROCKIES. CLOUDY SKIES
HAVE SHIFTED EAST WITH SUNNY SKIES TAKING OVER. SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE IS IN PLACE ACROSS MUCH OF THE WESTERN CONUS.
TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA AT 2 PM ARE IN THE 50S AND
60S...AND THE WINDS ARE OUT OF THE WEST TO NORTHWEST.

UPPER RIDGE RETURNS OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS TONIGHT AND INTO
THURSDAY AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVER THE AREA. SKIES
WILL BE MOSTLY CLEAR/SUNNY...WITH TEMPS FALLING INTO THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S TONIGHT...AND WARMING INTO THE 60S AND LOWER 70S ON
THURSDAY. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT OUT OF THE WEST TO SOUTHWEST.

&&

.LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
ISSUED AT 144 PM MDT WED OCT 22 2014

AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD OVER THE CENTRAL
CONUS THROUGH SATURDAY. THIS WILL BRING WARM TEMPERATURES AND DRY
CONDITIONS. THE UPPER RIDGE WILL SHIFT TO THE EAST ON SUNDAY AS AN
UPPER LEVEL TROF MOVES INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. SHORTWAVE AHEAD
OF THE MAIN TROF AND COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE AREA SUNDAY
NIGHT...BRINGING INCREASING CLOUDS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS
THROUGH MONDAY. THE MAIN UPPER TROF EXITS THE AREA LATE MONDAY
NIGHT/EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...PUSHING THE SHOWER ACTIVITY TO THE
EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA. WEAK RIDGING THEN RETURNS ON WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY
ISSUED AT 144 PM MDT WED OCT 22 2014

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.

&&

.UNR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...NONE.
WY...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...15
LONG TERM...MLS
AVIATION...26








000
FXUS63 KUNR 221727
AFDUNR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR WESTERN SD AND NORTHEASTERN WY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
1127 AM MDT WED OCT 22 2014

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT
ISSUED AT 249 AM MDT WED OCT 22 2014

WATER VAPOR SHOWS UPPER WAVE PUSHING OVER THE ROCKIES. AHEAD OF
THE WAVE THERE ARE CLOUDS AND A FEW SHOWERS...SOME OF WHICH ARE
OVER WESTERN SD. SURFACE TROUGH/COOL FRONT ARE MOVING THROUGH THE
CWA. SOUTHERLY WINDS AHEAD OF THE TROUGH ARE KEEPING CENTRAL SD IN
THE 60S...WHILE TEMPS ARE COOLING INTO THE 40S AND 50S BEHIND THE
FRONT WITH BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS.

UPPER WAVE WILL SHIFT EASTWARD TODAY...PUSHING RAIN SHOWERS INTO
CENTRAL AND EASTERN SD. HIGH PRESSURE WILL QUICKLY REBUILD...AND
SKIES WILL CLEAR. BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED ESPECIALLY
ACROSS NORTHWEST SD...ALTHOUGH BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS ACTUALLY
DECREASE DURING THE DAY SO WINDS WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH IN THE
AFTERNOON. HIGHS TODAY WILL BE IN THE 60S...WITH 50S IN THE BLACK
HILLS. LOWS TONIGHT WILL BE IN THE 30S TO LOW 40S.

WHILE THE UPPER RIDGE RETURNS OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS ON
THURSDAY...A WEAK WAVE WILL PASS THROUGH THE AREA. MOISTURE WILL BE
LACKING...AND THIS DISTURBANCE WILL CAUSE NO MORE THAN SOME BREEZY
WINDS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN CWA. SKIES WILL BE MOSTLY SUNNY...AND
TEMPS WILL WARM INTO THE 60S AND LOWER 70S. LOWS WILL BE IN THE
UPPER 30S TO UPPER 40S. IF WESTERLY WINDS DON/T GET TOO CALM
OVERNIGHT...DOWNSLOPING FLOW MAY KEEP THE EASTERN FOOTHILLS A BIT
WARMER.

&&

.LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
ISSUED AT 249 AM MDT WED OCT 22 2014

AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER FRIDAY/SATURDAY.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE 10-15F ABOVE NORMAL. UPPER RIDGE SHIFTS EAST
SUNDAY ALLOWING NEXT TROUGH TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA. IT WILL
BRING A COLD FRONT AND A FEW SHOWERS SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY
ISSUED AT 1127 AM MDT WED OCT 22 2014

SHOWERS ARE EXITING SOUTH CENTRAL SD NOW...WITH VFR CONDITIONS
EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

.UNR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...NONE.
WY...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...POJORLIE
LONG TERM...HELGESON
AVIATION...26








000
FXUS63 KUNR 221727
AFDUNR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR WESTERN SD AND NORTHEASTERN WY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
1127 AM MDT WED OCT 22 2014

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT
ISSUED AT 249 AM MDT WED OCT 22 2014

WATER VAPOR SHOWS UPPER WAVE PUSHING OVER THE ROCKIES. AHEAD OF
THE WAVE THERE ARE CLOUDS AND A FEW SHOWERS...SOME OF WHICH ARE
OVER WESTERN SD. SURFACE TROUGH/COOL FRONT ARE MOVING THROUGH THE
CWA. SOUTHERLY WINDS AHEAD OF THE TROUGH ARE KEEPING CENTRAL SD IN
THE 60S...WHILE TEMPS ARE COOLING INTO THE 40S AND 50S BEHIND THE
FRONT WITH BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS.

UPPER WAVE WILL SHIFT EASTWARD TODAY...PUSHING RAIN SHOWERS INTO
CENTRAL AND EASTERN SD. HIGH PRESSURE WILL QUICKLY REBUILD...AND
SKIES WILL CLEAR. BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED ESPECIALLY
ACROSS NORTHWEST SD...ALTHOUGH BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS ACTUALLY
DECREASE DURING THE DAY SO WINDS WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH IN THE
AFTERNOON. HIGHS TODAY WILL BE IN THE 60S...WITH 50S IN THE BLACK
HILLS. LOWS TONIGHT WILL BE IN THE 30S TO LOW 40S.

WHILE THE UPPER RIDGE RETURNS OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS ON
THURSDAY...A WEAK WAVE WILL PASS THROUGH THE AREA. MOISTURE WILL BE
LACKING...AND THIS DISTURBANCE WILL CAUSE NO MORE THAN SOME BREEZY
WINDS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN CWA. SKIES WILL BE MOSTLY SUNNY...AND
TEMPS WILL WARM INTO THE 60S AND LOWER 70S. LOWS WILL BE IN THE
UPPER 30S TO UPPER 40S. IF WESTERLY WINDS DON/T GET TOO CALM
OVERNIGHT...DOWNSLOPING FLOW MAY KEEP THE EASTERN FOOTHILLS A BIT
WARMER.

&&

.LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
ISSUED AT 249 AM MDT WED OCT 22 2014

AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER FRIDAY/SATURDAY.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE 10-15F ABOVE NORMAL. UPPER RIDGE SHIFTS EAST
SUNDAY ALLOWING NEXT TROUGH TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA. IT WILL
BRING A COLD FRONT AND A FEW SHOWERS SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY
ISSUED AT 1127 AM MDT WED OCT 22 2014

SHOWERS ARE EXITING SOUTH CENTRAL SD NOW...WITH VFR CONDITIONS
EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

.UNR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...NONE.
WY...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...POJORLIE
LONG TERM...HELGESON
AVIATION...26








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